From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2666 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-4471>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 02:01:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25492; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7428456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA56450 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712311746.LAA02741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4d3c49392efa74696176bd395626ddd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z DEC 97/011800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 311353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 311200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 98.4E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS32 PGTW 311500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4679 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626007-2622>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 02:20:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA24668; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7432439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32560 for ; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801011746.LAA04219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 882cf2122eff44a2c6b57b1d51b03669 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 084 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z JAN 98 / 021800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 010153Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 96.2E7. THIS SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 11 (WTXS32 PGTW 010300)) FOR FINAL WARNING. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626801-15467>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 01:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA34096; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA38402 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801021718.LAA05647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5dc1b34005c933012483adf86d5144e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 068 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z JAN 98 /031800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626820-15477>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:06:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA26028; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7437048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA50842 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801021754.LAA05675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 064ed3167cee91e96a6c8559a847121f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 560 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z JAN 98 /031800Z JAN 98?/ RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: ,9;3;>? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-22383>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 15:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10616; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA31818 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030656.AAA06424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e06069a16d3676ad1a52881c2d9c9c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 637 ABIO10 PGTW 030700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030700Z JAN 98 /031800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21S3 89E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 030432Z2 AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 0302252 INDICATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WAS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN). THE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATE THAT A MODERATE AMOUNT OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT OVER THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS HAD CONVECTION PERSISTENTLY FLARING UP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DESPITE THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1242 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627233-22381>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 01:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32516; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA37604 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031735.LAA07152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 305a42fa10271aa1047f10348bc043a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 642 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20S2 86E4. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER THAT WAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN). ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS, THE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE SHEER WHICH IS INHIBITING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627668-9127>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 01:32:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25368; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7447136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA21000 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041714.LAA08807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66811e693e070718cf46a31eca84bbe9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 210 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 86E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22S4 85E3. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER THAT WAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN). HOWEVER, THE CENTRAL CONVECTION IS LESS CENTRALLY LOCATED THAN PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627940-20463>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 02:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27574; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:15:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7454396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:15:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA47068 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051814.MAA10578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41ef16bc53991f00ddea957d6e0075fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 85E3 HAS MERGED WITH A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM AND IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627949-20461>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 02:43:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA56476; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7454527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA12680 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051822.MAA10597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 558e5eb07fbfbd9bb395aa14fef60c62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA LEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 85E3 HAS MERGED WITH A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM AND IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHI9#3 ,3/5 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: 95990= 60590 32960 70000 10137 20051 40246 51003 86034 333 10170 86462 83075= 60611 32960 60906 10121 21004 40256 53010 82034 333 10174 82360 85073= 60630 32765 60000 10175 20033 40213 53,# 83230 333 10221 83856 85362 = 60670 32980 40000 10132 21020 39136 48560 53008 80002 333 10162 84073 95990= 6068- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-7391>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 03:09:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34120; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA14352 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061851.MAA13796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab3c9e32b1a0a4174da2ad13e7a0363d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628079-7383>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 03:22:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25956; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:04:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:04:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24784 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:03:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:02:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061902.NAA13828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:02:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fca71fb268668a9755cd5b5bedcf4b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 382 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSUTA WEST TO COAE OF AFRICA): A. TROPINAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B.)TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMM RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. TPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628089-7391>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 03:31:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA59996; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA41802 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061907.NAA13842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 650a25054992029b718983d09a08d049 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSUTA WEST TO COAE OF AFRICHUIEEEA GA. TROPINAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B.)TROPICAL ISTURBABSARG M RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. TPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1667 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627667-24072>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 03:15:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08466; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7433379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10750 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071846.MAA16194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ce642f12a29aa6c75f796c0136384c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA10130071819 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628216-24020>; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 02:12:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA63164; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA23212 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801081753.LAA18578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fd15fab23075f00302c15922dfd1e59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628240-24024>; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 02:13:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20816; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA20800 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801081758.LAA18586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fb60c955447ca5935646983e807f698 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENOEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628879-11117>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:19:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29620; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7449733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19108 for ; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801091758.LAA21099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e219f902a7cc72c4d35117adc1b0b76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 970 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629125-8759>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 03:04:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA18964; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:51:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7456483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:51:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29644 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:50:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:50:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101850.MAA23333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:50:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f28a1bb51a7b034668c6384d05df815e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 349 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB40020101842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629120-8760>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 03:13:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA23088; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7456581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA36354 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101903.NAA23370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 986d56c332fc02566364ef30c5a0aa69 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINS P P U UUFR EAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF WAFRICA): A. TROPICAL YCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB40020101842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628206-18024>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 02:05:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA10418; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:51:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7462933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:51:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA17522 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:50:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:50:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801111750.LAA25247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:50:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52599243a86c86782f7924c215a2c703 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 691 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629292-18023>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 03:24:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA24818; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:10:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7463263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:10:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA23184 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801111909.NAA25374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07eb77893297de130683ed9cfa16af56 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627115-14575>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 02:07:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA54230; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:40:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7471302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:40:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA45416 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:40:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:39:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121739.LAA27332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:39:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50f7087dd88d4ea18f32626735604d75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 136 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627108-14574>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 02:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA51364; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7472060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA46988 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121841.MAA27493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d6e51e9877ed148e90dfc2f28923f9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCC02920121838 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-18601>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 02:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA17774; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:50:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7479783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:50:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14340 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801131749.LAA29531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f43011c79273da88c1871575932220ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. ORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629018-7163>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 02:24:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA21256; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:03:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7488354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:03:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19132 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801141802.MAA02050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3e8291f6bd0fc4e14485c4bb1171a35 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 324 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 43E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF TANZANIA WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATED UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE REGION, AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AT 140000Z5 INDICATED A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 141524Z7 INDICATED INTENSE CONVECTION, BUT THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION WAS STILL POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629516-28935>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 02:10:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA17338; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:51:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7496574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:51:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14362 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:48:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:48:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801151748.LAA04305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:48:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0132f4158bac55eb98d306efe1febcd5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 43E7 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION EXISTS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THIS AREA, A 150703Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A 151512Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS THE PRODUCT OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE AND NARROW TROUGHING. THERE IS NO INDICATION OF CLOSED CIRCULATORY FEATURES. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOUGH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627260-28907>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 02:17:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20986; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7505063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19130 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801161755.LAA07400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64fb40cbfafc22d2107e717fd942777c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 601 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOUGH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-5890>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 07:33:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22910; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7507608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19058 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA08060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801162322.RAA08060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36a9198ab00f4a7d894649da1e926a9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 885 ABIO10 PGTW 162200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/162200Z/171800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6 IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE AN AREA OF TROUGHING IS PRESENT HOWEVER WIND REPORTS SUGGEST A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH WINDS REPORTS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628137-5897>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:37:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA10854; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7507964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA16438 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA08139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801170020.SAA08139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41cafb869f0770f5f14def004bad2ccd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 145 ABIO10 PGTW 162200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/162200Z/171800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6 IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE AN AREA OF TROUGHING IS PRESENT HOWEVER WIND REPORTS SUGGEST A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH WINDS REPORTS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629976-21627>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 03:53:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18770; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7514403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA20036 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801171941.NAA09758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 943cb221362d13f495e45030481d21bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6 HAS NOW MOVED OVER LAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ONTO THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. AS LONG AS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS OVER LAND, SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER, THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY IN CASE IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 75E2. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED AN AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. EARLIER, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 170830Z INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, ALTHOUGH ONLY MINIMAL CONVECTION WAS PRESENT AT THAT TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628683-480>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 02:06:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA07108; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA11698 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801181754.LAA11603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdc3d03860ea859436b1291b7f7de54d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 181353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 17.2S0 35.9E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS31 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 75E2 HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2582 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630181-12933>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 02:46:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25300; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 12:29:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7528049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 12:29:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19496 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:54:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:54:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801191754.LAA13947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:54:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1acc92ddaba5a991628cf9cd87bf6db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 857 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 191353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 20.3S5 34.9E6, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 05 (WTXS31 PGTW 191500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629306-374>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 02:40:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA10966; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7538039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22216 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801201812.MAA16056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b4204fd4ca22861cd12bd16b03f8f48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 719 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 191353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 22.4S8 35.5E3, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 07 (WTXS31 PGTW 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-9475>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 02:43:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18102; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7549364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA16808 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801211823.MAA18366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec98ffa8ce636d29586cb5df72bd7592 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 933 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 191353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 24.8S4 39.3E5, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 09 WTXS31 PGTW 211500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MALMQUIST/MCCULLOCH/HALL/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-8096>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 01:59:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16878; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7559714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12228 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221721.LAA20828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b076036c7d8d638cb907e292953ec36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 221353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 26.6S4 44.1E9, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 11 (WTXS31 PGTW 221500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:30:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-10454>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 01:50:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA12928; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:22:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7569443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:22:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25990 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:18:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:18:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801231718.LAA24567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:18:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0cac5edb9ba90286c81919e191ad407 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 337 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 230153Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 26.3S1 46.1E1, MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 230300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 16S7 125E8 OVER THE BONAPARTE ARCHIPELAGO. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 230957Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA ALSO INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OVER LAND WITH A BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE COAST. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED WITH FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI/BOYD/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-27092>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 02:26:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18804; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:08:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7578195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:08:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA17730 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241807.MAA27940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c267321d38c09ab6a14acd64a9ac8c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 241521Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 125E8 I S NOW NEAR 17S8 123E6. THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 24153 0)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVEL OPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07S7 056E1. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATE D WITH A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTI MATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. T HE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 26 08:27:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626854-9656>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:32:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28012; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7583953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15424 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251755.LAA29987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c21d15c066ee4af15cd539c06747e517 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 289 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 251351ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 119.4E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN ED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 03A (WTXS31 PGTW 251500 COR )) (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 123E6 I S CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS NOTED IN PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07S7 056E1 I S NO LONGER ORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:03:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627546-19665>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 03:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16336; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:41:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7592866 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:41:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30094 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801261740.LAA02032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8df2d7154c85cc90f5f4ae9dedc8875f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 868 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 261351ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 18.6S5 118.1E1, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE D WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 261500)) AN D SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-2930>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 02:04:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23094; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7605957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19484 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801271723.LAA04380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7823ecf2e8f87c5b850030ccdccda02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 656 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 271351ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3S3 115.8E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND S WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL C YCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 271500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1847 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627774-4892>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23274; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7616976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA17374 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801281837.MAA07356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6a1aee8362baee33edb4c31883a4dc5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 683 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 281351ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 280253ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.6S6 111.8E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL C YCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 281500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDAT ES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 131E5 AND IS THE SUBJ ECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, REF B. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WHICH GENE RATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AND HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE WEST. THE 281200Z3 POSITION IS ON THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA NEAR THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. MAXIMUM SUS TATINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REGENER ATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626715-15473>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:21:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30980; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:56:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7627673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15542 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291755.LAA09632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d9c24c4efe33edc4ccdbc846b76e7cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/291351ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/291353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.8S8 108.8E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 16 (WTXS31 PGTW 291500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5S0 127.6E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTXS32 PGTW 291500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 131E5 IS CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS NOTED IN PARA 2.A.(2) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4753 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626953-24534>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 01:25:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19510; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7638448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36640 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301705.LAA12372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c71d57d3d06d8f6530c9028fef21e4af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/301351ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/301353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3S3 106.9E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 18A (WTXS31 PGTW 301500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 124.9E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTXS32 PGTW 301500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627127-28865>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 16:13:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14258; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7653913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15520 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802010801.CAA15584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88c8e6464b10fcd53e81e512e7172cd2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 183 ABIO10 PGTW 010800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/010800Z FEB 98 - 011800Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/010153ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 18.8S7 122.7E2, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTXS32 PGTW 010300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 18S9 105E6. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY). ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED 43 NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS OVER MOZAMBIQUE NEAR 16S8 36E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION DISSIPATING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT IS CURRENTLY BEING HINDERED BY INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS IN THE INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 11S2 65E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION LOOSELY ORGANIZED AROUND A POORLY DEFINED CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO GOOD IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANTS, POOR ELSWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3026 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-28862>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 02:35:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20978; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:20:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7656108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:20:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA11430 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:16:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:16:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011816.MAA16528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:16:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df4552d860ddfc22ecfe945c4fc222fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/011353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 20.4S6 122.1E6, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTXS32 PGTW 011500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 105E6 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMTED INFRARED SATELLITE I MAGERY SHOWED AN AREA OF CONVECTION GENERATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIM UM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIG NIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 36E9 IS NO W LOCATED NEAR 20S2 36E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEE P CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTRAL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS CE NTRALLY LOCATED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, 011301Z6 MICROWAVE IMAG ERY INDICATED AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULA TION. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED, IT HAS SHOWN LITTLE TO NO DEVE LOPMENT AS IT TRACKED OVER WATER. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTH ER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WIT H GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. TH E POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 65E1 HAS R EMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZ ED. HOWEVER, OUTFLOW ALOFT IS EXCELLENT IN ALL QUANDRANTS. A LOW-LEVEL CE NTER IS NOT DISCERNIBLE IN INFRARED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE D TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627234-4987>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:39:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21558; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7666210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32256 for ; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802021908.NAA18788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd5e59cb8546a1c0ad437fe35a31d130 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800ZFEB98/031800Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/020153ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUT INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3S6 123.1E7, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE D WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS AND IS NO LONGER CO NSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) F INAL WARNING NUMBER 23 (WTXS32 PGTW 020300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS NEAR 18S9 105E6 HAS REMAINED QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LE VEL CIRCULATION EXISTS; HOWEVER NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS ARE A OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE CIRCULATION IS IN AN AREA WITH STRON G VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WIT H GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THI S AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP MENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S8 36E6 IS NO W LOCATED NEAR 20S 36E. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, THIS AREA IS EXP ERIENCING MODERATE WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. DESPITE THE WIND SHEAR, THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OUT OVER WATER AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO AN AREA MORE FAVORABLE FO R DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WIT H GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. TH E POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 11S2 65E1 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZ ED AND THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SU STAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM S EA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERE D SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627317-8085>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 03:14:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20460; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7665259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA36564 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802031847.MAA21192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 478b3bfb8cb78ac011f3c3c9cee0d1d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 862 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800ZFEB98/041800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/020153ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 36E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 40E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS TO HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND LOSE SOME ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTS HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626661-14578>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 12:06:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA05874; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7670939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23230 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802040348.VAA22248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03ae6133753d49dd27bc1de917462e79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 584 ABIO10 PGTW 040330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040330ZFEB98/051800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 36E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 40E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS TO HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND HAS LOST SOME ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTS HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 08S8 077E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 031426Z6 AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 031752Z8 INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER MAY BE DEVELOPING NEAR THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD A SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-24800>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 03:44:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17486; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:21:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7694740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:21:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30758 for ; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:20:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802051820.MAA26351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77b3738f032e4faa8ce35030ddcef369 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800ZFEB98/061800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 44E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20S2 46E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS TRACKED EAST OVER MADAGASCAR. ORGANIZATION HAS REMAINED GOOD AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 078E5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE CONVERGENCE RATHER THAN A DISTINCT CIRCULATION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 085E3. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. LIMITED SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOWER PRESSURES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 134E8 OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DISTINCTIVE CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4479 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-21132>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 02:50:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26746; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:20:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7711585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:20:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34970 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:16:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:16:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802061816.MAA29982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:16:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc01bf0ae26770bd2be1c45eded3581a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 312 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800ZFEB98/071800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS NEAR 12.7S0 064.5E5 AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYLONE FORMATION ALERT. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. REFER TO REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 046E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20S2 045E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMIANS ORGANIZED AND HAS STARTED A SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK OVER MADAGASCAR. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BRAOD AREA OF LIGHT WINDS AND LOWER PRESSURES. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 085E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NOW A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH NO ORGANIZATION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 134E8 HAS MOVED OVER THE TIMOR SEA AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 129E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS. HOWEVER, LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50NM FROM THE CENTRAL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OVER WATER AND FURTHER AWAY FROM THE ADVERSE EFFECTS OF LAND IN THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECTS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627715-19262>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 03:41:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32786; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7724697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15360 for ; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802071925.NAA06282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b0eff9630ca39303d776de44b3264b0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 136 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800ZFEB98/081800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 064E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 064E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORM ATION ALERT. REFER TO REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 070800)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 045E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21S3 045E9. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT TH E CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED OVER LAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS FAIR ALTHOUGH CONSTRIC TED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE. CONVECTION IS ALSO INDICATED TO HAVE WARMED SIGNIFICA NTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 127E0. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES AN ASSOCIATED LO W-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER THE PRIMARY DEEP CONVECTION, LOCATED ADJACENT TO THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE OROGRAPHICALLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED A T 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POT ENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-16546>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 13:36:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31522; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7729255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18450 for ; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802080511.XAA01286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72d4ea8d743166e86794e229579ebd78 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 086 ABIO10 PGTW 080500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/080500ZFEB98/081800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 080000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 63.3E2, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (WTXS31 PGTW 080300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 045E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22S3 045E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED AND HAS BECOME SEPARATED FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM TROUGHTON ISLAND INDICATED WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 27 KNOTS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 KNOTS. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAINED AROUND 1009 TO 1010 MB, WITH 24 HOUR PRESSURE CHANGES ONLY NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS STARTED ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS FROM THE NAVAL OPERATIONAL GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS) THAT THE SHEAR MAY WEAKEN IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626970-16552>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 03:15:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA32948; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7735723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27294 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802081857.MAA02425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e1f8a62ef0d9c9cfa37503464aba6ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 705 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800ZFEB98/091800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 12.6S9 61.3E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) (WTXS31 PGTW 081500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 045E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24S6 045E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS EXPERIENCED AN INCREASE IN NEAR-CENTRAL CONVECTION WITHIN THE LAST 3 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS NEW AND DISORGANIZED, FAVORABLE LATTITUDE AND PROXIMITY OF WARM WATER MAY ALLOW FOR RELATIVELY SWIFT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9 REMAINS NEAR THIS LOCATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA, INDICATE THE PRESSENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. 081430Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL AND GENERALLY POOR ORGANIZATION, ALTHOUGH MOST RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN SIDE OF NEW CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED GRAMMAR FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-343>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 02:39:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18740; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:08:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7750629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:08:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24818 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:07:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:07:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802091807.MAA04585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:07:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eee54675802afe7ebde4c36455730e21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 556 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800ZFEB98/101800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3S8 61.1E8, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) (WTXS31 PGTW 091500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 090600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 27.2S 43.7E4, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (WTXS32 PGTW 090300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 045E9 IS NOW SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS DETAILED ABOVE IN PARAGRAPH 2.A.(2). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 090400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627895-20436>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 02:37:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17650; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:09:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7768511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:09:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28288 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:07:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:07:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802101807.MAA07302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:07:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32aa421722c8830b4083ed3bbfd0f8b6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100153Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101355Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6S3 59.7E1, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 101500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 29.3S4 45.0E9, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S FINAL WARNING NR 03 (WTXS32 PGTW 100300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8S4 118.7E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 02 (WTXS33 PGTW 101500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS DETAILED ABOVE IN PARAGRAPH 2.A.(3) (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1760 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-22443>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 01:59:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20088; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7786402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22058 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802111739.LAA10527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79225ea2582f9905c8a58483b78595b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 107 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111355Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 20.9S1 59.3E7, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 111500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 111200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 115.7E4, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 04 (WTXS33 PGTW 111500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627961-21913>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 02:21:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16592; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7801273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17582 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802121754.LAA13007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a685f239219218b1c0cff3eddfee41ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 152 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121355Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4S1 61.3E0, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5S1 111.4E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 07 (WTXS33 PGTW 121500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626392-26235>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA11278; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7805176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA21738 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA14128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130045.SAA14128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee0f084af4f8dc87089c3d86a67945b1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 ABIO10 PGTW 130000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/130000Z/131800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121955Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4S1 61.3E0, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 110.1E3, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 08 (WTXS33 PGTW 122100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT IS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 AND 44E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS NEAR THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. THE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH SCATTEROMETRY AT 120727Z9 AND 122100Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA (FROM WMO NUMBERS 61972 AND 61970) INDICATED AN AREA OF 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WITH CYCLONIC CURVATURE. KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS INDICATED THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS PRESENT IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR BUT COULD BE UPGRADED BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, LOCATED WELL SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 TO 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETRY AT 121809Z1 INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA AT 122100Z6 SUGGEST THAT SURFACE PRESSURES ACROSS THE REGION ARE SOMEWHAT HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO ADD SUSPECT AREAS TO SECTION 2.B. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628077-18168>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:56:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20464; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7812720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18622 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802131817.MAA15726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25a534daadfafe5717f1476e130b427a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 649 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 131351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 131355Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 30.5S8 66.6E8, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 16 (WTXS31 PGTW 131500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 131200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 17.7S5 106.7E4, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 11A (WTXS33 PGTW 131800)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (WTXS21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO PERSIST BUT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO THE COVERAGE OF SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW FROM TC 20S (ANACELLE). SEA LEVEL PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4504 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627264-22891>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 02:08:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13220; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:44:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7820907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:44:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA31810 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802141743.LAA17788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35d41f873f6749265a9b2ac5202f0316 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 372 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 141351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 141355Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140553Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 40.7S1 83.5E6, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) FINAL WARNING NR 18 (WTXS31 PGTW 141500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 141200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 101.6E8, MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 15 (WTXS33 PGTW 141500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (WTXS21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 5 HOURS. THE LIMITED SYNOPTIC DATA IN THE REGION IMPLIES A CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH LOW PRESSURES CORRESPONDS TO THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627446-22366>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:45:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA32670; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:12:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7826919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:12:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA10274 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:11:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:10:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802151810.MAA22219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:10:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc78e6336c9abd243fb83cb85ded99f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 052 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 151355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9S9 094.4E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 19 (WTXS33 PGTW 151500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21S3 41E5. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 70E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AND IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4056 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626729-12681>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 02:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36706; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:41:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7838027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:41:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19510 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:40:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:40:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161740.LAA03607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:40:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4182fda405454de000b3c369750144c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 341 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 21.6S9 087.1E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 21 (WTXS33 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 21.5S8 41.5E0, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS32 PGTW 160900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 161200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 22.1S5 64.1E1, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS31 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 70E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(3) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627696-10006>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:18:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA32648; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:57:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7848240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:57:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15676 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:56:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171156.FAA17521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21315845062626541dade5fbf9b81562 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 752 ABIO10 PGTW 171200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171200Z/171800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170155Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 21.7S0 083.0E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 22 (WTXS33 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 24.9S5 43.9E6, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS32 PGTW 170900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 170000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 24.7S3 63.4E3, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14S5 53E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS AND IS LOCATED OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 161924Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTED THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THAT REGION WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS INDICATED. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS BY KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS FORMED NEAR THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE BEGINNING OF ANTI-CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT SUGGESTING VERY LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WAS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627736-10005>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:41:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20020; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7852625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20004 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171812.MAA25159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93f3f2994a86ba504c548aae6ea7e201 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 21.5S8 081.0E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 23 (WTXS33 PGTW 171500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 24.9S5 43.9E6, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS32 PGTW 170900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 171200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 25.7S4 62.1E1, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS31 PGTW 171500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 53E8 IS NOW NEAR 15S 538. THE CONVECTION IN THIS REGION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 05 HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 170630Z7 INDICATED THAT A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAD NOT DEVELOPED YET, AND ONLY A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEAR THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION WILL REMAIN LOW DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628194-9420>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 02:20:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13990; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7865111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA31626 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181756.LAA14744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b834694efeede2a88b31c2e7ea2ba4e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WAS LOCATED AT 25.3S0 074.9E0, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 25 (WTXS33 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WAS LOCATED AT 24.1S7 43.4E1, MOVING NORTH AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 05 (WTXS32 PGTW 180900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 30.1S4 66.8E0, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 05 (WTXS31 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S5 53E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626788-11302>; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 03:16:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27834; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7880913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27818 for ; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802191848.MAA05318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57f9e5f5f6c7be9bfbfceabaf6e6b147 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190155Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181953Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WAS LOCATED AT 28.5S5 074.8E9, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) FINAL WARNING NR 26 (WTXS33 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.9S2 39.8E0, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) FINAL WARNING NR 06 (WTXS32 PGTW 182100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 190000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 30.2S5 070.6E3, MOVING EASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S FINAL WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21S3 50E5 OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/UROGI/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627792-18839>; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 02:23:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA29878; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7880879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29832 for ; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802201750.LAA22543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7973cf88671c0ce765acec9a436edfe4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 50E5 OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS A RESULT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, A 201208Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED STRONG CONVERGENCE IN THE AREA WITH NO ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/UROGI/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627887-20181>; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 04:48:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA32482; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7893288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28354 for ; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802212021.OAA05489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/ Corrected Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37afe147d8b9d63e2b73b4c26ede0d92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/ CORRECTED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZFEB98// A. NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 211751Z FEB 98 (ABIO10 PGTW 211800) RMKS/ 1. THIS MESSAGE SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT. 2. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21S3 50E5 OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10S1 93E2 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A CENTRAL AREA OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 4. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTED INCLUDE PREVIOUSLY OMITTED ADDEE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG18090522007 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-14644>; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 03:05:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36716; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7901423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA11828 for ; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802221842.MAA11765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 558c25c59c19033070304b272326f698 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 108 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 50E5 HAS MOVED TO NEAR 19S0 52E7A. THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR 48 HOURS. SSMI DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS LOCATED SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE NORTH AND EAST AND POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA NEAR 13S4 78E5 HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS INDICATED BY SSMI DATA SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. ? (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA NEAR 10S1 93E2 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/TANNAHILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG38700531830 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627996-23497>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 04:30:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25070; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:46:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7913645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:46:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29578 for ; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:45:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:45:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802231945.NAA25241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:45:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2251611370127c19cac4d4834eede1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A BAND OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL CENTERED NEAR 19S0 41E5 HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST FOUR HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SHIPS SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA NEAR 07S7 71E8 HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 52E7 HAS PARTIALLY DISSIPATED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 78E5 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/TANNAHILL/BILLY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66630541755 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628229-28447>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 02:28:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34310; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7926798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22772 for ; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802241805.MAA12156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e69acae33b864bba6807697b663bcea9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 088 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL REMAINS NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM DIEGO GARCIA (WMO NUMBER 61967) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION EXISTS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTERIA NEAR 11S2 137E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITH NO DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE EXISTS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG07360551758 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626480-538>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 10:40:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA34582; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:12:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7932466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:12:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA34308 for ; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:12:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:11:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802250211.UAA20377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:11:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/amended Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f661d5699d280a52ee57cd454da82467 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 451 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/AMENDED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZFEB98// RMKS/1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL REMAINS NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM DIEGO GARCIA (WMO NUMBER 61967) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS NEAR 20.3S5 54.4E3 HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN AREAL EXTENT IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH NO APPARENT SURFACE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM REUNION (STATION IDENTIFIER FMEE) INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. (5) REASON FOR AMENDMENT IS DEVELOPMENT OF AREA IN PARA (3). AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/TANNAHILL/BILLY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG23380560158 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628326-538>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 03:39:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27894; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7941777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA32678 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802251851.MAA01569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eeeef79612044c532a4e2b1409ddc033 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 759 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA LOCATED NEAR 15.4S0 139.3E6 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW) FOR DETAILS. NOTE: THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST EAST OF 135E9 AND IS INCLUDED IN THE EVENT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THIS ADVISORY AREA. ?(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE COAST OF WESTERN MADAGASCAR NEAR 17S8 45E9. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. DUE TO SYSTEM INTERACTION WITH LAND, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 54.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.0S5 56.4E5. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO THE SOUTH, FAIR TO GOOD ELSEWHERE. 251055Z8 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM PLAISANCE (WMO NUMBER 61990) INDICATES WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE AT THE GRADIENT LEVEL. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT TO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ?(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG50830561758 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2511 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628879-4429>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 05:50:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20902; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7961864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41076 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802262149.PAA25197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/amended Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 689dc28deece479d4b79ae9440c84a04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 646 ABIO10 PGTW 261430 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/AMENDED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261400Z/261800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/251751Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/261425Z FEB 98// NARR/REF A SIGNIFICANTTROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN VALID 251800Z, REF B IS TCFA CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA LOCATED NEAR 15.4S0 139.3E6 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW) FOR DETAILS. NOTE: THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST EAST OF 135E9 AND IS INCLUDED IN THE EVENT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THIS ADVISORY AREA. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE COAST OF WESTERN MADAGASCAR NEAR 17S8 45E9. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. DUE TO SYSTEM INTERACTION WITH LAND, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.0S5 56.4E5 PER REF B, HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE EXPOSED LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA IS DISPLACED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION WHICH IS 100 NM TO THE EAST. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE AT THE GRADIENT LEVEL. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT TO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. (6) THIS MSG IS A CORRECTED COPY DUE TO ADMIN ERROR IN REF B OF ORIGINAL MSG. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG02990572122 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628187-10140>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:46:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA33268; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7967151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA31934 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802270446.WAA29602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/reissued Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7347e13559480f64ad2a1ef39132aad3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 ABIO10 PGTW 270100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/REISSUED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/270100Z/271800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/261353Z FEB 98// NARR/REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING VALID 261200Z// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) HAS MOVED SOUTH OVER LAND IN NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 45E9 HAS MOVED FURTHER INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN SECTION OF THE ISLAND. ACCORDINGLY, THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.0S5 56.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.0S9 59.2E6. A LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS BEING STEERED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS PERSISTED FOR 15 HOURS NEAR 10S1 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION THAT APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF LOW-LEVEL LINEAR CONVERGENCE. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(3) TO FAIR. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG22640580056 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1338 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629186-10140>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 02:58:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23772; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:58:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7975135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21402 for ; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802271857.MAA09654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 096081195f70489b5117f5e28c2c67ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 678 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27.0S9 59.2E6 IS NO LONGER A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NEAR 22.0S4 60.0E6 REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS BEING STEERED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PERSISTS WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG60800581842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627202-18621>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 03:10:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA20350; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:10:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7987434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12820 for ; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802281909.NAA21649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d188b171e2ccb88a042d9947e9635d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 887 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.0S4 60.0E6 IS NO LONGER A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS MOVED TO THE NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, AND IS DISSIPATING. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA NEAR 14.0S5 68.0E4 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS AREA IS MOVING WEST AND HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21910591813 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627787-1313>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 02:08:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA32668; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:55:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7997705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:55:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36122 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803011754.LAA28208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2fbb07d62db39824af8ea4adca2bcbc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 024 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 68.04E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628186-26590>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 04:55:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30174; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8010552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA32712 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803022033.OAA14120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25acde23ceab4f390bb838e3b501e996 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629505-13435>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:15:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04474; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8023278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25144 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803031755.LAA28869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70f79f6047b761b2a9da21e4fd7c6cf0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627987-16266>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 16:41:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25174; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:28:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8034518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24826 for ; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803040826.CAA10035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d1f1d391a4b2dcfd41dc7e95d9ba45e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 890 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS SOUTH OF THE ISLAND OF SUMATRA NEAR 11S2 101E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 031631Z4 SCATTEROMETER DATA SUGGESTS A SECOND LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADD POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629901-16270>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 04:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA32448; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:10:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8041516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:10:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA32404 for ; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:10:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:09:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803042009.OAA20886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:09:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55bfe39966db74cc9ef023f19f7f2758 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 838 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 101E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2 IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING SOUTH OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A FAIRLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET OCCURRED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES DEFINITE BROAD AREA TROUGHING. MODERATE DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INITIAL CENTRAL CONVECTION AND SHOWS SOME INDICATION OF CYCLONIC WRAP. UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET BEEN ESTABLISHED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSTON/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630132-17762>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 11:37:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA28082; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8048115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17616 for ; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803050310.VAA27523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8fa8ce9b083eb8c96be48d4d19da3c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 101E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2 IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING SOUTH OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A FAIRLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET OCCURRED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES DEFINITE BROAD AREA TROUGHING. MODERATE DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INITIAL CENTRAL CONVECTION AND SHOWS SOME INDICATION OF CYCLONIC WRAP. UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET BEEN ESTABLISHED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSTON/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630458-17760>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 02:47:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28688; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:33:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8056973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:33:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21410 for ; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803051828.MAA08707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70fa7f4a43ee7de8375933c336bac33c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 934 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E 1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 99E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MI CROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 051436Z9 INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATI0N OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAI R TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS MAY IMPLY THAT CONVECTION MAY BECOME ORGANIZED AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 18 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09S9 92E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS STEADILY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 TO 16 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 051436Z9 MICR OWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS ONLY AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH N O ACTIVE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 62E8 IS NOW NEAR 15S6 63 E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVEC TION LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA WITH FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MA XIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PR ESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPME NT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/ HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630474-17757>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 02:48:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28762; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:30:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8056957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:30:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29580 for ; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803051828.MAA08702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e353bc7818ed98f8c59e901f41faabf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E 1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 99E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MI CROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 051436Z9 INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATI0N OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAI R TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS MAY IMPLY THAT CONVECTION MAY BECOME ORGANIZED AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 18 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09S9 92E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS STEADILY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 TO 16 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 051436Z9 MICR OWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS ONLY AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH N O ACTIVE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 62E8 IS NOW NEAR 15S6 63 E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVEC TION LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA WITH FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MA XIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PR ESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPME NT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/ HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1764 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629219-14702>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 03:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29610; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8068708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22650 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803061907.NAA29738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fe2de78210245549a81c77e03bb7526 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 812 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1S1 67.0E3 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR1 (WTXS31 PGTW 061500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 099E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH NO INCREASE IN CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 T0 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 92E1 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15S6 63E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, SEE PARA 2.A.(1). (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626954-27168>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 02:00:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17534; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8078522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04462 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803071749.LAA11230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 668c1d8ae3442977d76e530cfb1bfe51 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 70.1E8 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR3 (WTXS31 PGTW 071500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 T0 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-627>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 15:53:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12418; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8084889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15448 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803080740.BAA16280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1e1d5271f76c977aa38263c251cd392 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 ABIO10 PGTW 080700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/080700Z/081800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 19.6S6 70.0E7 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 04 (WTXS31 PGTW 080300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SUMATRA NEAR 14S5 93E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 91.1E1. THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER A WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE THE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3445 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-627>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 01:55:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04546; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15506 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803081744.LAA19133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fefb65991fd3b8d73085b4cbbcb06d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 20.7S9 69.9E4 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 05 (WTXS31 PGTW 081500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SUMATRA NEAR 11.2S4 91.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 91.0E0. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH NO INCREASE IN CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS STILL INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 10 09:57:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627202-24684>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:01:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25534; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8101331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13420 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803091800.MAA01389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 513f855fbe9dbe01e42fa0a9b5a50f12 Status: RO X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 16 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090751Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 23.5S0 072.6E5 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR7 (WTXS31 PGTW 091500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 93E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.S4 89.0E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 090800)). (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 55E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627586-26975>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20130; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8113834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20344 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803101813.MAA19415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2676660ac7090975dba630753ee8ddc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 28.9S9 072.3E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) FINAL WARNING NR9 (WTXS31 PGTW 101500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 87.9E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 100800 COR)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 55E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627399-20964>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 02:56:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17416; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8161827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34028 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141856.MAA15969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51921591b2674d17a542c0abe2be71ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1)AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4S7 080.8E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR6 (WTXS32 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 065E1 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1. 141319Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID-LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 066E2. 141103Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN OVE R THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3)NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627406-20958>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 03:08:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23646; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:08:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8161864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:08:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21802 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141907.NAA16026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3fd125f00c5ef835645e05f360bff407 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 168 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1)AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4S7 080.8E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR6 (WTXS32 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 065E1 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1. 141319Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID-LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 054E9. 141103Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN OVE R THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: LOCATION OF POOR 2.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627426-20958>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 03:10:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23684; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8161892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21868 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141910.NAA16066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ac6f902f493f16715c495d329f83684 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 282 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1)AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4S7 080.8E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR6 (WTXS32 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 065E1 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1. 141319Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID-LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 054E9. 141103Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN OVE R THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: LOCATION POOR 2.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-21547>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 03:41:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32806; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:41:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8169949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:39:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04388 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803151938.NAA21524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5526ce56529d70dd5b8d7c2c63e3706 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151353Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 22.5S9 077.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR8 (WTXS32 PGTW 151500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 67E3. 151521Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID- LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 054E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 51E6. 151130Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, WESTERLY WINDS ARE HAVE BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS ALLOWING FOR MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625942-6544>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:28:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13328; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8174186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16608 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160528.XAA24304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bcba40d0b7d8068e7155a1a58fbcce41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 069 ABIO10 PGTW 160530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/160530Z/171800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 23.1S6 077.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR9 (WTXS32 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 064E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 062E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER ITS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 151836Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANTI- CYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT IS GOOD TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 051E6 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-6548>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:54:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28842; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:54:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8174300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:54:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28938 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160552.XAA24447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8715714d96f8036d2756fda78b906765 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 407 ABIO10 PGTW 160530 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/160530Z/161800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 23.1S6 077.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR09 (WTXS32 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 064E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 062E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 151836Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANTI-CYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT IS GOOD TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 051E6 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO CORRECT VALID TIME AND CHECK SUM. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1321 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627272-6549>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 01:46:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA29162; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8022010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29114 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803161745.LAA01933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 776aaf80613bd50003ef7f60038c530f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 335 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161353Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7S3 077.0E4 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR10 (WTXS32 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 062E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 062E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED IT=S ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY DEVELOPING OVER ITS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 161101Z0 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES WINDS OF 25 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD TO THE SOUTH AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2835 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627828-13619>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 01:18:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25564; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:18:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8031979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:18:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25470 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171717.LAA20099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 517b38d4f7cc148126568e076f03faa9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 968 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171353Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 26.1S9 078.8E3 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR12 (WTXS32 PGTW 171500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 171200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 17.3S1 59.7E1 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR02 (WTXS31 PGTW 171500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 17S8 062E8 HAS DEVELOPED INTO THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSED IN SECTION 2.A.(2) ABOVE. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 16S7 110E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOOSELY ORGANIZED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-21863>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 01:20:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13498; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8042248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29560 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803181720.LAA08304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd112a2a8543e8fddcad2a9cb48b3bb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 336 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 19.8S8 59.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR04 (WTXS31 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 110E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627535-25817>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:31:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA49826; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:31:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8053141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12388 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803191830.MAA28043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9289a9b32f41895171e8b4609f7c7c3d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 244 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9S9 58.9E2 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 191500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS NEAR 6S6 45E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, 191609Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS NO SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 17S8 101E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AN UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DETECTABLE AS OF YET. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627311-29874>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:17:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28870; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:56:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8062800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:56:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41888 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803201755.LAA14901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06526fc73e5a2d1ca51d34ebbd521442 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 922 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800ZMAR98/211800ZMAR98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 22.8S2 58.8E1 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR8 (WTXS31 PGTW 201500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 45E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 101E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-5486>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 01:37:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14104; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8072501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17926 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211722.LAA27701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03e4d5c23b4522119aa7377c3c09d3df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 053 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 11.0S2 104.0E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 211200Z6 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER IS SCATTERED, WITH POOR TO FAIR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2623 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626649-1781>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 01:41:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36850; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8080460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48582 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221726.LAA04598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f867f3ce569d21daf0db77e632c81e94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 219 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 104.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 103E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY SCATTERED CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE POOR OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-11043>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:23:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26106; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:51:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8102122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:51:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA40376 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241750.LAA03679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6909b113f0e3751d157e220a95d0f770 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 568 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 72E9 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 74E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW AN AREA OF PER SISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR AN AREA OF LOW LEVEL TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTA INED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ES TIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 52E7 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION C ENTER. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS FAIR BOTH TO THE NORTH AND TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIM UM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-22925>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 01:31:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28174; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA18396 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261731.LAA07738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e84c35819a74f6a5f0d6866b50a8a82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627338-22919>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 02:29:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA38536; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8122114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24686 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261829.MAA08915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca560d055209587acf8759b09d23eaf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 027 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 IS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13S4 76E3 FOR 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE END OF A SHEAR LINE EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THIS AREA HAS FORMED UNDER A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY UNORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627342-22919>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 03:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44716; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8123454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA36208 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261954.NAA10816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: daeec9ad9a6eecc4ae32c965a6cbd3f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 631 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 IS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13S4 76E3 FOR 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE END OF A SHEAR LINE EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THIS AREA HAS FORMED UNDER A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY UNORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4685 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-3158>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 01:40:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA34226; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:40:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8132438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36448 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:40:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271739.LAA24756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 380c7c752c5313d271b07163d2497f72 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627372-3155>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 02:50:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36798; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8133103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34464 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271850.MAA26312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3110c5dd97cc13388306cf57079c02e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 802 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 271200Z2 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD, POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS DISTURBANCE HAS LESSENED HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 76E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-7906>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 01:53:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36124; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:53:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8142461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:53:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36606 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:52:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:52:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281752.LAA07475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:52:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb5ea7204124e1129480e2630c2c1553 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-7905>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 01:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31940; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8142497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21894 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281756.LAA07492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb71ce292d8f8bf2121d2eb1de60a29f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 HAS RE- DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 51E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. THE CONVECTION STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED ALTHOUGH THE OUTFLOW ABOVE THE DISTURBANCE HAS APPEARED TO IMPROVE SOME OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH APPROXIMATELY 10 DEGREES LATITUDE TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE DISTURBANCE AS SEEN IN 281246Z3 METEOSAT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627327-7415>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 01:32:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA21944; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:32:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8150081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04494 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803291731.LAA14082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 943935bc645115adc6c275f5572bf9a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 299 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 51E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627731-8510>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:44:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA07034; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8175209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA51290 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803311721.LAA15637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e9ee0347bb5217dc2a63004163949fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 494 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800ZMAR98/011800ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626989-22259>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 03:23:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19112; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8190469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA43672 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011900.NAA08483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5cb1412acd38877a3b73bed38395fe17 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS NEAR 8S8 54E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13S4 73E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS DUE TO A PRE-EXISTING UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4750 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627131-5733>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 15:22:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39804; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8197582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39738 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804020722.BAA18025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a13b8d3c17bbbcc0b8735b32d049a9cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 164 ABIO10 PGTW 020700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/020700Z/021800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 54E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 53E8. THE CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 16S7 61E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 6S6 64E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13S4 73E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD TWO SUSPECT AREAS, 2.B.(2) AND 2.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627244-5735>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:19:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA29638; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:19:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8198474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:19:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA20074 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA19291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804021218.GAA19291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3576e741b39746e508fb1759c6810161 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 760 ABIO10 PGTW 020700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/020700Z/021800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 54E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 53E8. THE CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 16S7 61E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 6S6 64E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13S4 73E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD TWO SUSPECT AREAS, 2.B.(2) AND 2.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-5735>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 01:52:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA43752; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8202532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA43682 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804021752.LAA26126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00e36d105f8921fdb169b8ce842b2537 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 002 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 53E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 61E7 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 64E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING. 021440Z1 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 021525Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME GENERALLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-17128>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 12:25:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18282; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8208638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA36144 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804030425.WAA05170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bbead65f423073d56f3759e37d9c931 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 ABIO10 PGTW 030500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030500Z/031800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 71E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS INDICATING A SLIGHT TURNING WITHIN THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, 022330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS IMPROVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-17128>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 01:31:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA41740; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:31:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8213900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:30:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17770 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:29:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:29:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804031729.LAA13150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:29:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 738a874599e01589e29a3c3787ee05d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 240 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS CONTINUING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A 031237Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS STILL ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING AND NOT AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-22210>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 03:15:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25892; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8225352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA50940 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804041914.NAA28141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a094e1a3fe2a155ea9457a708f5e92b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 8S8 72E9 IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 041200Z7 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE AND OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627060-22239>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:37:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA10364; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:37:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8231935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 11:36:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18242 for ; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804051736.MAA04480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f388657f1e48226ce2e3f0fa2c805b0d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 262 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z APR 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 72 E9 IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR 16.5S2 77.1E5. ANIMATED IN FRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 051200Z8 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE DEEP CONVE CTION FORMING OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS F AIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 10 06 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOUR S REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS IN THE SOU TH INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 12S3 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES D EEP CONVECTION FORMING IN AN ACTIVE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL O UTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 10 09 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOUR S IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11S1 51E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 05 1200Z8 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE N ORTHERN END OF A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. UPPER-LEVEL OU TFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EIBLING/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627310-5794>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 02:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22878; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:30:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8242902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 12:30:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA43578 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:30:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:30:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804061830.NAA17690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:30:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a137e1ef041a89ee5c037c259e3ff4ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 771 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 72E9 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW) FOR DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CY CLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 16.5S2 77.1E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0S8 76.1E4. AN IMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION CONCENT RATED IN A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADR ANTS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS INTERACTING WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION TO ITS WE ST MENTIONED IN 2.B.(1) ABOVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT W ITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11S2 51 E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 50E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 06120 0Z9 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BR OAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. NO DISCRETE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APP ARENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRA NTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-27658>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 13:11:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA19012; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8249905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:57:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44840 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804070457.XAA25530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3eb9545d98ba90a358041ed6ce5d88b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 ABIO10 PGTW 070500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/070500Z/071800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WAS LOCATED AT 14.1S6 071.4E6 MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS31 PGTW 070300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WAS LOCATED AT 16.8S5 075.8E0 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 33S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS32 PGTW 070300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 72E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 17.0S8 76.1E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11S2 51E6 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE RY INDICATES THE CONVECTION BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627398-27657>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 01:52:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22754; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8255778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 11:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA10454 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804071727.MAA03872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67d3e0a537eb677075b2ca7071645561 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 262 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071353Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF INDIA NEAR 4N4 75E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXITS. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 72.0E9 MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 071500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 73.7E7 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 33S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS32 PGTW 071500)) FOR FINAL WARNING. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 51E6 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 48E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-26865>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 02:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18176; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:00:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8270397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15596 for ; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804081759.MAA24120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27cbf7222a4c13574fa24fc88f049a22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4N4 75E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5S0 71.4E2 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 04 (WTXS31 PGTW 081500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 48E2 IS NOW NEAR 7S7 48E2. A 080654Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627753-25348>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 02:45:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14798; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8285716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16276 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804091845.NAA15804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08fdc37fffe8fd45197dac76fe98f58f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 100 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.0S6 71.8E6 MOVING SOUTH AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 091500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 48E2 IS NOW NEAR 8S8 51E6. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627855-21492>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 01:28:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA16172; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:28:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8296032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21524 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804101727.MAA01674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d8060e7b1ca3e0ffeff6226da7d15e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 74.1E2 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 08 (WTXS31 PGTW 101500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 48E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS DISSIPATED. THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627785-13602>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 01:49:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA41666; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8303902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26758 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804111749.MAA12745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ea21f39037e9c785996fc206453a9eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 238 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 76.6E9 MOVING EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 111500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 58E3 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626551-28189>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 01:36:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23020; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8310645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28870 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804121735.MAA19024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1899e2004003083898ecaf3df888c2e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.7S2 78.0E5 MOVING EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 58E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 36 HOURS AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 120629Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A 121422Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS STILL LINEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626890-11547>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 01:42:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28782; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:42:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8319684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28718 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804131741.MAA00215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fab937034390fa0ecbeb15a2be945b50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.6S1 77.7E1 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS W ERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL C YCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 131500)) AND TWELVE-HO URLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 60E6. THIS PERSISTENT AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION REMAINS LINEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 1 5 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE P OTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4923 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-6531>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 02:41:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18314; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:40:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8330562 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18370 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804141838.NAA19586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4674c621132dec938a27b954bd641ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 518 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.2S7 76.5E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 16 (WTXS31 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 60E6 HAS REORGANIZED NEAR 9S9 52E7. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN BE OBSERVED WITH THE 140900Z VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS WITH THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW SHEAR ANTICYCLONIC FLOW EXISTS OVER THE REGION; HOWEVER, CONVECTION REMAINS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-22358>; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 02:09:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13412; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8344707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA48936 for ; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804151809.NAA09795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fa3bf15691a44464737f1d32ca19e93 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 882 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.2S7 75.4E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD WHILE DISSIPATING OVER WATER . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 1 7 (WTXS31 PGTW 150300))FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIO USLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 52E7 HAS NOW MOVED SOUTHWARD TO A POSITION NEAR 11S2 55E0. A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN BE OBSERVED WITH T HE 150900Z VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS WITH AN ERS-1 SCATTEROM ETER PASS AT 15/0635Z. THE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS WINDS UP TO 30 KN OTS ALONG THE CIRCULATION=S SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY, BUT LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WITHIN 60NM OF THE CENTER. CONVECTION HAS YET TO P ERSIST NEAR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:18:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627386-12224>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:27:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29280; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8359352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13358 for ; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804161727.MAA28016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e7fd75f942f7265d5dfa91c57fb7fc4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 936 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 55E0. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME CONSIDERABLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 9S9 135E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED ON A 160101Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 91E0. THIS AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-18369>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 21:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13740; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8369865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA50830 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804171353.IAA11770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee78e45c7ee6d8c6c91add584673fc5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 934 ABIO10 PGTW 171300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171300Z/171800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 130E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 59E4. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 91E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 84E2. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627437-18370>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 03:31:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA47846; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:31:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8373801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA34828 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804171930.OAA18999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bc557b19718997b98bf6cff61dd2f6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627401-25913>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 15:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA35206; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8379771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA27974 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804180715.CAA25424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f67364a1accde8a0fd989193b7bd4bf7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 290 ABIO10 PGTW 180700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/180700Z/181800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 130E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS LOST ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EXIST TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BUT AN 180137Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO ELONGATE. ALTHOUGH LITTLE SHEAR IS PRESENT, UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 59E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 64E0. THIS AREA HAS BECOME ALMOST COMPLETELY SHEARED OF DEEP CONVECTION BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO HAVE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 84E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 82E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION CLOUD TOPS HAVE ALSO COOLED. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626909-4630>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA37378; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8382747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA38596 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804181744.MAA28423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 211256d5ac35d47327378182f83b219e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181451Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181521Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 126.2E1 AND MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 80.2E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627153-4634>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 03:19:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28050; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:17:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8392461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:17:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04184 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:06:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:06:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804191906.OAA06398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:06:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d65a8359b1e16f68c4067e608ce0f2c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191351Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191353Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 10.6S7 73.6E6 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAI NED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS31 191500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WAS LOCATED AT 15.0S6 125.1E9 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MA XIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 35S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS32 191500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 126.2 E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B AND PARAG RAPH 2.A (2), ABOVE, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 80.2E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A AND PARAG RAPH 2.A (1), ABOVE, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ?(3) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA NEAR 10S1 99E8. A WEAK CIRCULATION CAN BE OBSERVED IN THIS AREA WITH ANIMATED S ATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THIS AREA; HOWEV ER, A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE SOUTH OF THIS REGION IS HELPING TO DISPERSE TH E CONVECTION OVER A LARGE REGION WITH NO ORGANIZATION OR CONCENTRATION AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMU M SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TRO PICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA24551091901 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-16097>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 03:05:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA43704; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8405971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA43662 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201904.OAA21522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84065f9345e534cdae53b12cdf277ca6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 528 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZAPR98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 11.7S9 68.4E8 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ?(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EVIDENT, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE IN 2.B.(1) NEAR 4S4 90E9 OVER THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WIDELY DISPERSED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS LONGITUDE IN SECTION 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA19481101858 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627630-16094>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 03:12:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38920; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8406012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45026 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201911.OAA21734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e567f1c719259ef7a06b8415600e3efa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 653 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z/APR/98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 11.7S9 68.4E8 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EVIDENT, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE IN 2.B.(1) NEAR 4S4 80E8 OVER THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WIDELY DISPERSED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627630-16094>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 03:14:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA35988; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8406027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13424 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201912.OAA21752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c10adde53bc9091db0a0a04068cdb5ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZAPR98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 11.7S9 68.4E8 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EVIDENT, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE IN 2.B.(1) NEAR 4S4 90E9 OVER THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WIDELY DISPERSED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS LONGITUDE IN SECTION 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627732-12699>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 01:57:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA43976; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:57:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8419661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44676 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804211756.MAA08871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a4ee2da4bdbcf4bc3e4a7e3b7ef32e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 162 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 12.0S3 67.0E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 08 (WTXS31 211500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 103E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER, DIFFUSE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT IS SUPPORTING DEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 90E9 HAS DISSIPATED. HOWEVER, INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL FEATURE. THIS BROAD CIRCULATION IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 87E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-26550>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 01:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36218; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:50:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8433446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12428 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:49:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804221749.MAA27858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c3fa35a6d3e4c4f7663c5333dada8ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/221351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 12.4S7 59.6E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNI NG NR 10 (WTXS31 221500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 103E4 I S NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED CONVECTION REMAI NS NEAR THE AREA BUT APPEARS TO BE LINEAR IN NATURE. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE LOCATED NEAR 11S2 87E5 HAS NOT DEVELOPED AN Y DEEP CONVECTION OR SUBSTANTIAL MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/SANCHEZ/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:5000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627579-15589>; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 02:02:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50620; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 13:02:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8447200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 13:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41600 for ; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804231759.MAA16917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18f4a6cbc326ea42e13c9299027586c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1216 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627346-17855>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 01:21:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA45028; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:21:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29076 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241720.MAA04002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b0a17538be48b091823215bbc1a6ff5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 240930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/240930Z/241800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 54 E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE BETTER ORGA NIZATION OVER THE DISTURBANCE WITH SOME CYCLONIC TURNING VISIBLE. ADDITIONALLY , MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 240234Z5 SUGGESTS THAT A BANDING FEATURE MAY BE DEVELOPING IN THE CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL LIGHT TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL VER TICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE, IT HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE P AST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIM UM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNDSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627722-17856>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 01:31:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21916; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29310 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241731.MAA04174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70e7e0cf87e62c0ee8a81f5e4363fd8b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 ABIO10 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/240300Z/241800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR 13S 55E. ANIMATED INFR ARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE DEVELOPING ABOVE THIS SYS TEM BASED ON GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 T O 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1713 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627771-17855>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 02:12:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09854; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA20548 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241812.NAA04898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69cbfb37ea9f00f97f85ea570cf3c73d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 54E9 IS QUASI- STATIONARY. METEOSAT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FROM 241544Z INDICATES THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. THE LATEST NAVY OPERATIONAL MODEL RUNS SUGGEST THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RANGING FROM LIGHT TO MODERATE IN STRENGTH MAY CONTINUE OVER THE DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 08 HOURS. THIS DECREASE MAY BE DIURNALLY RELATED, AND MAY INCREASE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS STILL FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNDSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 11:51:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627832-28219>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 02:01:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21930; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8466465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA11100 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804251800.NAA14752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c52fb9d5cece3bfd99445ad95b896aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 032 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 054E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND, ALTHOUGH LOW TO MID-LEVEL CONVECTION REMAINS IN A LOCAL SHEAR LINE, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Apr 27 07:36:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2493 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627399-27812>; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 01:54:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34394; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:54:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8472596 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:54:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22774 for ; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804261753.MAA21650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d39ce963b63b0b0498d207fe81c83302 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 243 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Apr 28 10:03:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-15548>; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 01:53:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12412; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:53:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8483423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28350 for ; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804271751.MAA05531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fa6b2b9b170c9852651b428cb28e6a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 712 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627642-23277>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:49:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA31960; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:49:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8498310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31870 for ; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804281748.MAA24376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c63344b471b82097ee99863c63273fed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627242-6686>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 16:13:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35300; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:13:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8507843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA35224 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804290812.DAA04215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27479e25c1b2febce81d77f29cee2cf0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 954 ABIO10 PGTW 290700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/290700Z/291800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOUR. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES THE PRESENTS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-6693>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 01:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14654; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:51:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8513390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39030 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804291750.MAA11212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07caeaaebde21cd3b063f51fd00078d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 567 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E HAS NOT MOVED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE SLOW ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AT 282225Z AND RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER Y CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS LOW. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 291503Z SUGGEST THE PRESENCE OF LOW CLOUD LINES CURVING INTO AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS CONTINUES TO BE FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:45:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-25236>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 08:00:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA18540; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 19:00:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8517355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 19:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA16618 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 19:00:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA17086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 18:59:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804292359.SAA17086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 18:59:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropica To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83f8ea588705be9be8e1d3fb3f39c1da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 537 ABIO10 PGTW 290700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICA L WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/290700Z/291800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN O CEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NON E. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO C OAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMAR Y: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE S THIS AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOUR. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND 2905 30Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES THE PRESENTS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE D TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE N EXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-25237>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 15:58:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24592; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:58:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8521315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14814 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804300757.CAA20257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df3b90bf8c6e4affa190a2dc4c9e1225 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 807 ABIO10 PGTW 300800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/300800Z/301800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4S 82E. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ORGANIZED BUT HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S 98E. THIS BROAD REGION OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 291641Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: DOWNGRADE SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1) TO POOR AND ADD SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627728-25236>; Fri, 1 May 1998 02:48:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA28970; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:48:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8528636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA43522 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:47:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804301847.NAA29084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:47:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b33224614cac583dd119e34fdc3e320 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z APR 98/011800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04S4 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03S3 78E5. THE CONVECTION IS SMALL BUT SOLID. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 098E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 098E7. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD REGION OF TROUGHING. ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628053-27970>; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA49776; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8541505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA51276 for ; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805011755.MAA14672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 961ec4005bdbad6a897b9e44c42659f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 171 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03S3 78E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06S6 72E9. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND THE PRESENCE OF DEEP CONVECTION FLUCTUATES AND HAS RE-DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE IS AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 098E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2. THIS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD REGION OF TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07S7 048E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 010630Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGEST ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES LOW-LEVEL CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS IS GOOD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:59:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3305 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626934-4024>; Sun, 3 May 1998 02:06:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA38738; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:06:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8552168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:04:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17776 for ; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805021802.NAA26550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 149571ec45e8137adffc91213e9dd38c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 210 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06S6 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07S7 72E9. VISIBLE POLAR ORBITER SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM 020916Z8 INDICATED A GENERALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ONLY A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS EMBEDDED WITHIN. THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION WAS LOCATED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER DIEGO GARCIA, WITH THE LOWEST PRESSURE RECORDED AT ABOUT 1007MB. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 021607Z6 INDICATED THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL RATHER BROAD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 091E0. THE CONVECTION IS VERY DISORGANIZED ALTHOUGH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ANALYSIS AT 012225Z2 AND 021025Z0 INDICATED SOME DECREASE IN THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING TH E PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 021412Z0 INDICATED NO ORGANIZATION IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 07S7 048E2 HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8S8 56E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION, LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTH OF MADAGASCAR, HA S BEEN PERSISTANT FOR NEAR 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATE LOW VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1750 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626514-14163>; Mon, 4 May 1998 01:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA47534; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8560199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19304 for ; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805031751.MAA04736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e49a9e518d165d145f5069f99537fd1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07S7 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 70E7. THE CLOUD PATTERN AS SEEN BY ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 041315Z4 DIDN=T INDICATE A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALTHOUGH THE PRESENCE OF BROAD TROUGHING WAS EVIDENT WEST OF THE INTENSE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8S8 56E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-28981>; Tue, 5 May 1998 02:03:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15420; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:03:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8574312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:03:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA36478 for ; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805041801.NAA19739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e48008ba4ebb3b6f6547f05dd906b59e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 70E7 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 5S5 42 E6 THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR APPROXIMATELY 18 HOURS. THIS LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 041458Z2 INDICATED A RATHER DISORGANIZED AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME ANTICYCLONIC AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HAS FORMED ACROSS THE REGION EVIDENT FROM ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMU M SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627366-3813>; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:46:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16420; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8589841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29634 for ; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805051845.NAA09993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ca33f5d85d5012f9689401918af2076 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 913 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05S5 42E6 HAS DISSIPATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AND HAS NO INDICATION OF UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627318-901>; Wed, 6 May 1998 15:29:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA43528; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8597403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA34542 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805060728.CAA18243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2452dff870bf7284940ba19a0f007ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 ABIO10 PGTW 060800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/060800Z/061800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 5S5 65E1 OVER THE PA ST 12 HOURS. A 051833Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS AS SOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED A T 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE P OTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627763-903>; Thu, 7 May 1998 03:09:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA49738; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:09:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8604773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:09:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04358 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:06:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805061906.OAA29105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 14:06:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c39358b42574c754f88f7747aa54bec7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 65E1 HAS BEEN ABSORBED INTO AN EXTENDED AREA OF MID-LEVEL CONVECTION WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH LOCATED NEAR THE SAME AREA. NO CONSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:03:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627906-28996>; Fri, 8 May 1998 02:15:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA34362; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:14:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8618557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:14:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA42366 for ; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805071813.NAA17571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da4eda81018818601a134f509c6dd205 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 611 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 44E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR 18 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AT 071300Z1 INDICATED A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EAST OF THE DISTURBANCE. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 061942Z INDICATED WIND SPEEDS OF ONLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 1 0 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7S7 65E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:03:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627570-655>; Sat, 9 May 1998 01:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44902; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8634107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44858 for ; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805081753.MAA05988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 476e72a988a070cae3aea72dc06a8ae4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 578 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 44E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS BEEN FAIRLY PERSISTANT FOR TWO DAYS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE S THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS THAT THE OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION LOCATED FURTHER EAST IS CAUSING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE INHIBITING ANY FURTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONALLY, MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY FROM 081400Z4 SUGGESTS THE DISTURBANCE IS LESS ORGANIZED AS IT WAS THE PREVIOUS DAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 15 T O 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7S7 65E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627277-7359>; Sun, 10 May 1998 01:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14144; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:50:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8645418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA38012 for ; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805091749.MAA18347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf6df76b32bb283e0f8a4d15b2907d44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 5S5 60E6 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA, SCATTEROMETER DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 44E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626405-16471>; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:54:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA11830; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8674915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26852 for ; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805121752.MAA25095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05a623619a189bb8b96fac552288f78f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 541 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-21718>; Wed, 13 May 1998 12:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29256; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:32:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8684470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA29548 for ; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805130428.XAA03969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56961f8d554cf6eb4f6b44bd89f13b91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 403 ABIO10 PGTW 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/130400Z/131800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 1 N1 85E3 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 130022Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICAT ES THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF THE CONVECT ION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. M INIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1005MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/SULLINS/EIBLING/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627838-21718>; Thu, 14 May 1998 02:14:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA39506; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:14:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8692721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:12:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29270 for ; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805131810.NAA14735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b869f70cbade61c15d859b902b72936d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 395 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1N1 85E3 HAS DISSIPATED. HOWEVER, THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS BEEN SPORADIC DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SURROUNDING AREA CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE FREQUENT BUT SHORT LIVED PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE AREA LOCATED NEAR 1N1 85E3 IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626081-14890>; Thu, 14 May 1998 08:29:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38672; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:29:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8697750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11184 for ; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805140027.TAA20647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff7bef60b83a4fd90c5149e5e8d5b988 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 676 ABIO10 PGTW 140000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/140000Z/141800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 4N 85E (CONVECTION WAS LOCATED 1N 85E) HAS ONCE AGAIN STARTED TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED NEAR 8N 86E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA (INCLUDING THE 12/1637Z SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM YESTERDAY) INDICATE THAT THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE HEAVY MONSOON CONVECTION LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. RECENT DATA SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOW CONCENTRATING IN ONE REGION, WHILE NEW CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FORMING CLOSER IN TO THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMAED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVLOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24-HOUR IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFILED/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2873 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628003-855>; Sat, 16 May 1998 06:14:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA27754; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:14:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8723051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA26728 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805152213.RAA23744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d67b9c39f82f3d43d0119bcc10166de7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 412 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N0 86E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N0 82E0. THIS CONVECTION IS PART OF A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION EXTENDING EASTWARD OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND OVER SOUTHERN INDIA. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8S8 83E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY, ANIMATED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15S6 75E2. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627724-1768>; Sun, 17 May 1998 02:09:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA39898; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:08:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8732044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14236 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805161807.NAA02173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65c9f060860f0d61ff581e26bc75a741 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 081 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627847-1773>; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:57:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA11820; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:56:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8733227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA31260 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA03430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805162153.QAA03430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e8a284433000457beca680cfc8628e7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 312 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 81E9. 161312Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA IS LOCATED IN A VERY ACTIVE AREA OF THE MONSOON TROUGH WHERE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS EXIST. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC IN A LARGE REGION TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WINDS ALOFT HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY, INDICATING VERTICAL WIND SHEER HAS INCREASED NEAR THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN A GENERAL LOCATION. HOWEVER, A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS NOT DISCERNIBLE IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE SLIGHTLY DIVERGENT WINDS ALOFT. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 75E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2462 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626601-18318>; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:14:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29314; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8735457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:13:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA11832 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:10:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:10:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805170510.AAA05809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 00:10:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f53a8333071a0e389e9986d05253acf6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 81E9. 161312Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA IS LOCATED IN A VERY ACTIVE AREA OF THE MONSOON TROUGH WHERE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS EXIST. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC IN A LARGE REGION TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WINDS ALOFT HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY, INDICATING VERTICAL WIND SHEER HAS INCREASED NEAR THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN A GENERAL LOCATION. HOWEVER, A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS NOT DISCERNIBLE IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE SLIGHTLY DIVERGENT WINDS ALOFT. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 75E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// PMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 75E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-18317>; Sun, 17 May 1998 17:41:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA27752; Sun, 17 May 1998 04:41:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8736695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 04:39:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37856 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 04:39:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 04:39:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805170939.EAA07426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 04:39:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98e4adec80cae744c80475ec7682652e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 WTIO21 PGTW 170730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170721Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-18319>; Sun, 17 May 1998 18:02:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24952; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:02:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8736744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47444 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:01:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805171001.FAA07492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 05:01:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba41ebcb46ffd74916cede50e6a16936 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 981 WTIO21 PGTW 170730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170721Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.9N1 83.4E5 TO 17.1N9 86.0E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 170530Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 84.0E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS WHILE THE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS GOOD. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SPIRAL INFLOW PATTERN BEGINNING TO DEVELO P AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF 20 TO 30 KNOT WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 180730Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-18314>; Sun, 17 May 1998 23:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26734; Sun, 17 May 1998 10:54:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8738259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 10:52:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA35318 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 10:52:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA09381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 10:52:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805171552.KAA09381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 10:52:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/170721z May 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6165bb253875836f92da1c97a78d2c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 198 WTIO21 PGTW 171600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171551Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170721Z MAY 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 170730)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.4N7 83.8E9 TO 17.5N3 91.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 171258Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 87.4E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 171258Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE NORTHEASTERN CIRCULATION WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS BECOME MORE DOMINANT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ALTHOUGH MID-LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: RELOCATE FORMATION AREA. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3895 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-18317>; Mon, 18 May 1998 02:20:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19534; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:20:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8739374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA41868 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805171817.NAA10171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d5c7b9e524c02931d5e0aff1e55025c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 730 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171551Z MAY 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 171600)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 81E9 IS NOW L OCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATI ON ALERT. SEE REF A FOR MORE DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIO NARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PERSISTENT CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. HOWEVER WINDS ALOFT D O NOT FAVOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 1 5 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. TH E POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NE XT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-26351>; Mon, 18 May 1998 16:33:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29006; Mon, 18 May 1998 03:33:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8744458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 03:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12310 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 03:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 03:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180831.DAA15684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 03:31:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01b Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7244be325d60246d32aa72cbc685254 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 212 WTIO31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 88.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 88.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 89.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.6N4 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.7N6 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.0N2 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.9N2 92.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 15.8N4 89.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS FORMED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL AND IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED UPON 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS A BROAD CIRCULATION AND IS LOCATED ALONG THE RIDGE AXIS AT 200MB. THEREFORE IT SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE BECAUSE OF THESE FACTORS. ADDITIONALLY, SINCE THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ALONG THE RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRAVEL NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF THE EASTERN TIP OF BANGLADESH BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171551Z MAY 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 171600)// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3988 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626778-26357>; Mon, 18 May 1998 23:02:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA11972; Mon, 18 May 1998 10:02:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8746808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 10:00:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA17776 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 10:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA19500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 10:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805181500.KAA19500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 10:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7e520d6607ec8fcaf4126b82a412b5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 WTIO31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.0N8 89.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 89.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.7N6 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.1N3 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.2N5 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.0N4 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 23.6N1 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.4N2 89.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS ON THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH IS THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE SYSTEM=S TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. BY THE 72 HOUR POINT, HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WIND SHEAR AT UPPER AND LOWER LEVELS. THEREFORE, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2908 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628027-26356>; Tue, 19 May 1998 01:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14894; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:56:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8748630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:54:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA14116 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805181752.MAA23310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fb3dbef3cac5e55c72e245a0d3e2cea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 89.6E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 02(WTIO31 PGTW 181500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 89.6E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628114-26356>; Tue, 19 May 1998 04:08:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA46574; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:08:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8750003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22616 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:06:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805182005.PAA26162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 15:05:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50403b985d752dae79385121ceed7eb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 383 WTIO31 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI. 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 18.0N9 89.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 89.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.5N5 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.8N0 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.7N0 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 22.4N8 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.5N0 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 18.4N3 90.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO PROVIDE THE STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. SUBSTANTIAL VERTICAL AND HORIZONTAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY AND SIGNIFICANTLY SLOW THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3836 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628191-25638>; Tue, 19 May 1998 10:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14192; Mon, 18 May 1998 21:39:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8753298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 21:38:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17696 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 21:38:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 21:38:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190238.VAA00736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 21:38:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 396577a8e466039d7368ca297af063df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 362 WTIO31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.1N1 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.0N3 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.0N6 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.6N3 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6N6 90.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628159-25639>; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:22:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA14142; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:22:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8753417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:20:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22542 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:20:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190320.WAA01012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 22:20:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7eb2594ae3e144df93fe55ab591d3800 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 106 WTIO31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO PAGE 02 RUEOMCA7429 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.1N1 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.0N3 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA7429 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.0N6 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCA7429 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.6N3 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6N6 90.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE PAGE 05 RUEOMCA7429 UNCLAS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// BT #7429 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628173-25635>; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA41738; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:49:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8753647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA16464 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:48:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190348.WAA01185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 22:48:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b1e87a57aa8cd2780d013ad313589a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 591 WTIO31 PGTW 190300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.1N1 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.0N3 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.0N6 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.6N3 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6N6 90.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT STORM DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628143-25639>; Tue, 19 May 1998 12:31:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA16606; Mon, 18 May 1998 23:31:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8753942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 23:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22930 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 23:30:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 23:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190430.XAA01533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 23:30:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81a7f9f4abfc685e2b0cec3377361623 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 WTIO31 PGTW 190300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1246 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.1N1 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.0N3 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1246 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.0N6 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1246 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.6N3 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6N6 90.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE PAGE 05 RUEDMCB1246 UNCLAS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT STORM DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// BT #1246 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628123-25635>; Tue, 19 May 1998 16:13:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35134; Tue, 19 May 1998 03:12:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8755239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 03:11:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28700 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 03:11:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 03:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190811.DAA02989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 03:11:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e52261eda6019a979b896d1e440587c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 WTIO31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 20.1N3 090.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 090.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.7N0 090.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 23.4N9 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.9N5 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 26.4N2 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 20.5N7 090.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 190530Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE GANGES RIVER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628340-25638>; Tue, 19 May 1998 18:38:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13668; Tue, 19 May 1998 05:37:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8755873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 05:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA12022 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 05:36:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA03652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 05:36:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805191036.FAA03652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 05:36:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2ce914092298eb3d207c0acd656b446 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 738 WTIO31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1460 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 20.1N3 090.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 090.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.7N0 090.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1460 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 23.4N9 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.9N5 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 26.4N2 090.6E5 PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1460 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 20.5N7 090.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 190530Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE GANGES RIVER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// BT #1460 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2864 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628187-25635>; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:42:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20204; Tue, 19 May 1998 09:41:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8757757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 09:40:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA46462 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 09:40:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 09:40:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805191440.JAA06558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 09:40:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43e0dfe03177546119fde3d7e26cdca6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 273 WTIO31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 20.9N1 090.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 090.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 090.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.8N3 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.9N5 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.0N8 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 21.3N6 090.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO DO SO UNTIL AFFECTED BY LAND. LANDFALL OF THE SYSTEM CENTER IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628361-25635>; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:50:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13578; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:49:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8759415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA39536 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:48:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805191648.LAA09296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 11:48:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30c9f12a8191d3245b353e6548c627f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 WTIO31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0994 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 20.9N1 090.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 090.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 090.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0994 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.8N3 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.9N5 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0994 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.0N8 090.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 21.3N6 090.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO DO SO UNTIL AFFECTED BY LAND. LANDFALL OF THE SYSTEM CENTER IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// BT #0994 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628371-25635>; Wed, 20 May 1998 04:31:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA34372; Tue, 19 May 1998 15:27:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8761996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 15:25:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28140 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 15:25:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 15:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805192025.PAA14286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 15:25:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63cb8095e6823d44da19b1a5636b893c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 594 WTIO31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 21.3N6 90.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 90.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.4N8 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 23.6N1 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 24.7N3 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 25.8N5 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 21.6N9 90.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION. POSSIBLY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED RIDGING TO ITS WEST. HOWEVER, THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY WITH THE TC 01B REGAINING A MODERATE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS AND CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL STEERING ENVIRONMENT SHOULD INDUCE AN EASTWARD COMPONENT TO THE SYSTEM=S MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628379-25638>; Wed, 20 May 1998 06:16:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA28402; Tue, 19 May 1998 16:22:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8762778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 16:20:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA31372 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 16:20:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA15501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 16:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805192120.QAA15501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 16:20:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 465ef19cc772f4d76423b7a7a9879715 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 WTIO31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEOMCB0345 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 21.3N6 90.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 90.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.4N8 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0345 UNCLAS OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 23.6N1 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 24.7N3 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0345 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 25.8N5 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 21.6N9 90.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION. POSSIBLY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED RIDGING TO ITS WEST. HOWEVER, THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY WITH THE TC 01B REGAINING A MODERATE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS AND CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL STEERING ENVIRONMENT SHOULD INDUCE AN EASTWARD COMPONENT TO THE SYSTEM'S MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// BT #0345 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628366-25638>; Wed, 20 May 1998 06:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA27956; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:08:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8763135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:06:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA47530 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:03:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:03:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805192203.RAA16173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 17:03:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c50a0c02a759b7050b6a15b385aeed39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 229 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N1 90.4E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 06(WTIO31 PGTW 191500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626954-21198>; Wed, 20 May 1998 10:35:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA28680; Tue, 19 May 1998 21:34:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8765549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 21:33:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA34106 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 21:32:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 21:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200232.VAA18676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 21:32:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: efab46860835b2ea15e55c153ad401a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.7N0 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.5N9 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.2N7 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.1N8 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 21.9N2 90.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS SLOWLY TRACKING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE CONTINUING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MOUTHS OF THE GANGES RIVER AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626954-21200>; Wed, 20 May 1998 11:11:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA22720; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:10:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8765983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:09:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26676 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:09:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:09:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200309.WAA19030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 22:09:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af0244e9df9e04012e763ccf5f4b440b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 809 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO PAGE 02 RUEDMCA3201 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.7N0 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.5N9 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3201 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.2N7 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3201 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.1N8 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 21.9N2 90.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS SLOWLY TRACKING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE CONTINUING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MOUTHS OF PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3201 UNCLAS THE GANGES RIVER AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// BT #3201 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626542-21194>; Wed, 20 May 1998 12:47:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39522; Tue, 19 May 1998 23:47:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8767519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 23:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44828 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 23:45:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 23:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200445.XAA20053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 23:45:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 074df244e388d9d431345d99c5f481e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 635 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 RTD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.7N0 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.5N9 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.2N7 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.1N8 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 21.9N2 90.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS SLOWLY TRACKING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE CONTINUING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MOUTHS OF THE GANGES RIVER AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628383-21198>; Wed, 20 May 1998 14:11:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44936; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:11:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8768350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:09:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15372 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:09:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:09:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200609.BAA20865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 01:09:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d75434fa0e2c6eb16a2c4c608eed9b5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 151 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.8N1 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.6N0 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.0N7 93.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 22.0N4 91.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION: A 200113Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE AND THAT ITS ACTUAL POSITION IS APPROXIMATELY 30 NM FARTHER TO THE EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY REPORTED. BOTH 200230Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 200246Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MAKING LANDFALL NEAR CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-21200>; Wed, 20 May 1998 14:52:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44820; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:52:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8768486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04576 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:50:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 01:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200650.BAA21134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 01:50:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e8a803bd98e6365b6d85194b4c484f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 283 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO PAGE 02 RUEOMCC3470 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.8N1 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.6N0 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUEOMCC3470 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCC3470 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.0N7 93.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 22.0N4 91.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION: A 200113Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE AND THAT ITS ACTUAL POSITION IS APPROXIMATELY 30 NM FARTHER TO THE EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY REPORTED. BOTH 200230Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 200246Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MAKING LANDFALL NEAR CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) PAGE 05 RUEOMCC3470 UNCLAS AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// BT #3470 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626873-21194>; Wed, 20 May 1998 16:17:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA11808; Wed, 20 May 1998 03:16:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8768978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 03:15:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA17912 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 03:15:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 03:15:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200815.DAA21738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 03:15:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cceb4e85f4ba72a731baa88d1d12ee01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 WTIO31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 22.6N0 092.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 092.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.0N6 092.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 25.2N9 093.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 26.4N2 094.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 22.9N3 092.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 200530Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 14 FEET ALONG THE COAST. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627000-21194>; Wed, 20 May 1998 17:04:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA28686; Wed, 20 May 1998 04:04:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8769080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 04:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17856 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 04:03:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 04:03:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200903.EAA21989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 04:03:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e39469340d1f376a150b89d23f8f0fd4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 WTIO31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO PAGE 02 RUEOMCC3688 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 22.6N0 092.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 092.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.0N6 092.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUEOMCC3688 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 25.2N9 093.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 26.4N2 094.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 22.9N3 092.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON PAGE 04 RUEOMCC3688 UNCLAS 200530Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 200530Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 14 FEET ALONG THE COAST. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// BT #3688 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626046-21194>; Wed, 20 May 1998 22:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41934; Wed, 20 May 1998 09:56:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8773428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 09:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44976 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 09:56:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 09:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805201456.JAA26538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 09:56:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bf7d95b85a175f2b83a60af365d377f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 857 WTIO31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 23.8N3 092.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 092.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.3N0 094.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.6N4 095.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 24.2N8 93.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS QUICKLY DETERIORATING DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THE CURRENT DIRECTION UNDER MID- LEVEL STEERING INFLUENCES WITH DECREASING INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4855 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628385-21194>; Wed, 20 May 1998 23:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04174; Wed, 20 May 1998 10:32:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8774042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 10:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA41770 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 10:32:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 10:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805201532.KAA27319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 10:32:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4af025ed98fac3c973896d6791eae76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 WTIO31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0666 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 23.8N3 092.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 092.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.3N0 094.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0666 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.6N4 095.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 24.2N8 93.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS QUICKLY DETERIORATING DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THE CURRENT DIRECTION UNDER MID- LEVEL STEERING INFLUENCES WITH DECREASING INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// BT #0666 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627524-21198>; Thu, 21 May 1998 02:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14620; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8777198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17878 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805201831.NAA01360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f88584e656de6e8c69f4a59ca5296fe0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 316 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N3 92.9E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 10 (WTIO31 PGTW 201500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 91E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CIRCULATION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR OVER 12 HOURS WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION PRESENT FOR OVER 36 HOURS. SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS ALSO INDICATED WITH THE ANIMATED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2074 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628397-21197>; Thu, 21 May 1998 04:05:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29078; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:04:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8778217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:04:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41832 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:04:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805202004.PAA03449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 15:04:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbe559b7fd4c818b26f8129638be1b7a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 963 WTIO31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 24.3N9 93.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 93.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 24.5N1 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 24.4N0 93.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS DISSIPATED NEAR THE EAST INDIA ADIZ MOUNTAIN RANGE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. THE SYSTEM HAS A DISORGANIZED PRIMARILY MID-LEVEL SIGNATURE WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628396-21200>; Thu, 21 May 1998 04:52:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA46570; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:51:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8778772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:51:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13784 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:51:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 15:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805202050.PAA04431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 15:50:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Amembassy New Delhi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d3420515a7af99f0274ee5dea28751b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 696 WTIO31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO PAGE 02 RUEDMCB4183 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 24.3N9 93.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 93.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 24.5N1 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 24.4N0 93.9E1. PAGE 03 RUEDMCB4183 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS DISSIPATED NEAR THE EAST INDIA ADIZ MOUNTAIN RANGE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. THE SYSTEM HAS A DISORGANIZED PRIMARILY MID-LEVEL SIGNATURE WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #4183 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628068-9195>; Fri, 22 May 1998 02:32:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50224; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:31:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8792670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:30:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA50214 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805211828.NAA18711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 396448ad29ad6ab22a555e509f7a61dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 375 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201951Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N9 93.8E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B FINAL WARNING NR 11 (WTIO31 PGTW 202100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 91E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 92E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ALTHOUGH THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE CIRCULATION HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR AND THUS HAS NOT SHOWN ANY INDICATION OF SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 57E2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE SHOWS BOTH UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS MODERATE, BUT THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2239 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627710-7515>; Sat, 23 May 1998 01:28:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA66268; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:28:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8808342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA11120 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805221726.MAA07221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb65797a19e61f80adeb101259cc7e32 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 543 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 92E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 90E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO BE DISORGANIZED AND WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE CIRCULATION HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO RESTRICT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 57E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 50E5. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION INCLUDES TWO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH INTERMITTENT INTENSIFICATION AND WEAKENING. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO BE MODERATE WITH NO ANTI-CYCLONIC CURVATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-22816>; Sat, 23 May 1998 12:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45192; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:56:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8816966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45060 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805230454.XAA15066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ad3f8f30fe5a55f0a9c793e7952d897 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 527 ABIO10 PGTW 230500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230500Z/231800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 89E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOW THAT THIS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LESSENED DIRECTLY OVER THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, BUT IT REMAINS MODERATE JUST TO ITS SOUTH. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, CLOUD TOPS HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME WARMING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 50E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 52E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS REMAINED CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 221938Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR AND BEGINNING TO DISPLAY SOME ANTICYCLONIC CURVATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627794-22822>; Sun, 24 May 1998 03:00:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50918; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:55:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8822042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA59476 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805231853.NAA19297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 608becefcd51d4ba57c1d431cad45ec4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 786 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 90E9. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE ORGANIZATION HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES SIGNIFICANT WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS AND GENERAL DECREASE IN THE AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 52E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 55E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS SUSTAINED FOR OVER 24 HOURS BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-4705>; Mon, 25 May 1998 02:20:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32904; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:19:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8829902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26802 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805241816.NAA27269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be859519843565caeee71bb14a7c8bbf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 676 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 90E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND AREAL COVERAGE HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THIS APPEARS TO BE A DAILY FLUCTUATION THAT HAS CONTINUED FOR AT LEAST THREE CYCLES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 58E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CURRENT REDUCTION OF CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND AREAL COVERAGE. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TEMPORARY AS SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES INCREASED CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDS SUPPORTING LOWER-LEVEL INFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627748-8749>; Tue, 26 May 1998 02:16:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23706; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:15:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA23798 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805251814.NAA06593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93893156c65b04fb7fea15ad7352af45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION OR SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT GOOD CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDFLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3026 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-8749>; Tue, 26 May 1998 02:24:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26756; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:24:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:23:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA57516 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805251821.NAA06665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e41839274545dddaa1ce5d54ace76099 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID+VENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MAL XB 207- 235 59 :9-5 9> A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTLKANCE FUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOU H INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRQCA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE YQMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONVNSLENSIDEREDSSUS3:5 >94 5#3 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 58E3 IS NOW LOC C G09 <11S2 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION OR SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORO GOOD CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDFLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL CPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:07:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627782-4440>; Wed, 27 May 1998 02:51:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA55126; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:50:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8853188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63806 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805261847.NAA21240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40f659044ae3994968ce3368f8e211fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 61E7 HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR 12S2 60E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OCCURRING ALOFT OVER THE DISTURBANCE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 261700Z6 INDICATES THAT LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW IS TURNING TOWARDS THE CONVECTION SUGGESTING PRESSURES ARE LOWERING AT THE SURFACE. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61974, 61976 AND 61986 BETWEEN 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4 INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS AT A DISTANCE OF 2 TO 3 DEGREES FROM THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627819-26897>; Wed, 27 May 1998 09:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA42886; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:37:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:35:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22710 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805270134.UAA27812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef8f8df42b3e59bf1bdc895669566752 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 61E7 HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR 12S2 60E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OCCURRING ALOFT OVER THE DISTURBANCE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 261700Z6 INDICATES THAT LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW IS TURNING TOWARDS THE CONVECTION SUGGESTING PRESSURES ARE LOWERING AT THE SURFACE. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61974, 61976 AND 61986 BETWEEN 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4 INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS AT A DISTANCE OF 2 TO 3 DEGREES FROM THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627852-26891>; Thu, 28 May 1998 02:14:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA60414; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:14:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:12:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA49360 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805271810.NAA09806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28cf9fff55d0098da853bc5ec40a17c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 204 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 60E6 HAS RELOCATED NEAR 15S6 57E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRAVEL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TOWARD A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS SOUTH. THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS ENTERING AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WOULD MAKE DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DIFFICULT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF SUMATRA AT 8S8 94E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE FROM THE FRONT MOVING OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN TH E NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1239 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627838-26898>; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:48:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA60268; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:47:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8873942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA60376 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805272146.QAA14686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03caf543dd1e06d7c59052cafa173612 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 60E6 HAS RELOCATED NEAR 15S6 57E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRAVEL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TOWARD A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS SOUTH. THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS ENTERING AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WOULD MAKE DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DIFFICULT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF SUMATRA AT 8S8 94E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE FROM THE FRONT MOVING OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN TH E NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-16602>; Thu, 28 May 1998 12:09:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA57774; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:09:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8879535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA24628 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:07:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:07:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805280407.XAA18192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 23:07:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de3f737031a03e379e98d5e4b38c4d7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 WTIO31 PGTW 280500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 14.2N7 58.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 58.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0N7 58.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.5N3 58.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.8N7 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 14.7N2 58.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS FORMED IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA AND HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280100Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 271847Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 271847Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT SURFACE WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE SYSTEM. THE STEERING HAS BEEN FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THEN, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A SHOULD ENTER AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGIN TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SURFACE STEERING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627501-16602>; Thu, 28 May 1998 12:53:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA26722; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:53:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8880019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26784 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:50:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 23:50:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805280450.XAA18552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 23:50:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acc3d9fd5dbd74a4d70dd0f4f323534a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 WTIO31 PGTW 280500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCC4999 UNCLAS 280000Z0 --- 14.2N7 58.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 58.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0N7 58.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.5N3 58.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC4999 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.8N7 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 14.7N2 58.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS FORMED IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA AND HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280100Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 271847Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 271847Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT SURFACE WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE SYSTEM. THE STEERING HAS BEEN FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THEN, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A SHOULD ENTER AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGIN TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SURFACE STEERING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AFTER THE 12 PAGE 04 RUEDMCC4999 UNCLAS HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// BT #4999 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627925-873>; Thu, 28 May 1998 17:13:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA10310; Thu, 28 May 1998 04:13:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8881349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 04:11:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA22262 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 04:11:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA20372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 04:11:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805280911.EAA20372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 04:11:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fe91bc461033b7ba8251135306897f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 372 WTIO31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 13.6N0 60.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 14.9N4 60.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 16.5N2 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 13.9N3 60.2E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280801Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH WINDS BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK MORE NORTHWARD AS THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL IS STEERED BY SURFACE FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: 280801Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627088-873>; Thu, 28 May 1998 18:58:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA54236; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:58:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8881813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA54206 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:56:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA20936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:56:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281056.FAA20936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 05:56:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f84f1706a489435d0fff0a3f844b8a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 WTIO31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCC7106 UNCLAS 280600Z6 --- 13.6N0 60.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 14.9N4 60.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 16.5N2 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 03 RUEOMCC7106 UNCLAS 280900Z9 POSITION 13.9N3 60.2E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280801Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH WINDS BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK MORE NORTHWARD AS THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL IS STEERED BY SURFACE FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: 280801Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// BT #7106 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627995-872>; Thu, 28 May 1998 21:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA10476; Thu, 28 May 1998 08:48:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8883583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 08:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA54736 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 08:48:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 08:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281348.IAA22758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 08:48:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34395f5c4d328f0822dc67885a49c8ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 473 WTIO31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 13.4N8 60.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 14.0N5 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.6N1 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 13.6N0 60.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS QUASI-STATIONARY AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AND CONVECTIVE FLUCTUATION. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITH PREVAILING FLOW AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627988-872>; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:01:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52230; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:00:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8885864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:00:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA16866 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:00:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:00:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281600.LAA25787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 11:00:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29accf0ca8b998a01eb19668b2ad53e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 WTIO31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCC7213 UNCLAS 281200Z3 --- 13.4N8 60.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 14.0N5 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.6N1 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUEDMCC7213 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 13.6N0 60.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS QUASI-STATIONARY AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AND CONVECTIVE FLUCTUATION. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITH PREVAILING FLOW AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// BT #7213 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3203 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628030-873>; Fri, 29 May 1998 02:08:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA60290; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:07:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8886959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54638 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281804.NAA28469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0497670c9bdd4fbbda9d89af20861ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/281351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 60.3E9 AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 3 (WTIO31 PGTW 281500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 57E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 94E3 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628078-874>; Fri, 29 May 1998 04:33:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA50800; Thu, 28 May 1998 15:33:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8888960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 15:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34372 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 15:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 15:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805282032.PAA02124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 15:32:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78c17bc5bfb0e39b766a71bf21f60c5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 500 WTIO31 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 13.5N9 59.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 59.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.8N2 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 14.1N6 59.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 13.6N0 59.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTHWARD AND CONTINUE WEAKENING. ALTHOUGH INTERPRETATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INTENSITY BELOW WARNING CRITERIA, PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASSES SHOWED WINDS HIGHER THAN THE CORRELATED DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSIS HAD INDICATED. DUE TO NEARBY SHIPPING, THIS SYSTEM WILL BE IN WARNING STATUS UNTIL INTENSITY AMBIGUITY IS RESOLVED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2818Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626586-363>; Fri, 29 May 1998 10:19:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14906; Thu, 28 May 1998 21:19:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8891581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 21:19:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59164 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 21:19:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 21:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805290219.VAA05970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 21:19:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00bcea4bff9cf2b84ad6933f2870b803 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 WTIO31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 14.3N8 59.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 59.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 15.2N8 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 14.5N0 59.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282332Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 282330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS A LOW LEVEL WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD WITH THE SURFACE FLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-364>; Fri, 29 May 1998 11:27:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54788; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:27:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8892217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22000 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:27:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805290327.WAA06476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 22:27:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a14d7b7a3982f92ba64318ee909f6bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 WTIO31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4670 UNCLAS 290000Z1 --- 14.3N8 59.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 59.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 15.2N8 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 14.5N0 59.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282332Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4670 UNCLAS 282330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS A LOW LEVEL WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD WITH THE SURFACE FLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #4670 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-363>; Fri, 29 May 1998 17:51:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA47162; Fri, 29 May 1998 04:51:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8895141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 04:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA22564 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 04:50:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 04:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805290950.EAA09505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 04:50:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa93bcdb33a4cdefc75d71a11c391e45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 992 WTIO31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5213 UNCLAS 290000Z1 --- 14.3N8 59.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 59.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 15.2N8 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 14.5N0 59.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282332Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5213 UNCLAS 282330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A IS A LOW LEVEL WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD WITH THE SURFACE FLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #5213 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628211-358>; Sat, 30 May 1998 02:20:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23636; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:19:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8900958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:19:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22112 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:17:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805291817.NAA18171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 13:17:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9343562f6c5950aa166648adf15d4fb0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TC 02A IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 060E6. THEAMOUNT OF SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS ALTHOUGH HAS RECENTLY DISPLAYED A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION. EVIDENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS IN ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627624-9827>; Sun, 31 May 1998 02:08:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA45188; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8913719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA59226 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805301807.NAA00921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc3b9dde57bdcc8434eca8e2696ca116 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 621 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 AND 60E6 H AS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RE-DEVELOPMENT. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629306-23530>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:05:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50714; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8925250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52226 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805311805.NAA10531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d80d315e34d3b6ddfadc2eada4438e92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z MAY 98/011800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629504-17256>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 09:45:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04150; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8932550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16880 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010145.UAA15699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5e60e66ccf30ac8ca33f276e5bfa6ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 132 ABIO10 PGTW 010100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/010100Z/011800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N 69E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS COVECTION HAS PRESISTED FOR OVER 24-HOUR S BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHI N THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3942 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629557-17252>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA59336; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:10:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:10:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA64352 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010609.BAA18322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 708812c7560f08d47bb2c12ae8a5ddd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 824 ABIO10 PGTW 010100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/010100Z/011800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N 69E. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629723-17252>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:09:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52806; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:09:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8945985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17884 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:06:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011806.NAA28411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:06:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfd56f88332030401ca952f84413d217 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 761 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8N8 69E5 HAS REDEVELOPED EAS TWARD NEAR 10N1 73E0 OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARE D SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS COVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS EXTREMELY INTENSE WITH ESTIMATED CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES NEAR -90 DEGREES CELCIUS, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION IN THE CLOUD STRUCTURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHI N THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629591-17252>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 03:28:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA47308; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8947245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA57758 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011928.OAA00423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d671a9c1a30c72b27469e0312624927 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 697 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8N8 69E5 HAS REDEVELOPED EASTWARD NEAR 10N1 73E0 OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS EXTREMELY INTENSE WITH ESTIMATED CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES NEAR -90 DEGREES CELSIUS, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION IN THE CLOUD STRUCTURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHI N THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629407-14203>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54184; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:31:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8961763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24628 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806021830.NAA18623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:30:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aaf30c693bf0193b9305db5e10844167 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 73E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 71E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATE MID TO LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW. UPPER-LEVEL DATA SUPPORTS RIDGING ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. NEARBY REPORTING STATIONS HAVE NOT SHOWN ANY SIGNIFICANT DROP IN PRESSURES. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/UROGI/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627200-23104>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 18:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA55080; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:37:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8972724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49422 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:37:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:37:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031037.FAA00517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:37:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtio21 Pgtw To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b1a3b1a2693d07ae68c4c4008672eba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 839 WTIO21 PGTW 030100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030159Z JUN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 030100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N7 71.1E9 TO 13.9N3 70.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 022200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 71.1E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED STELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AREAL COVERAGE AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITHIN THE DEVELOPING MONSOON TROUGH IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASE AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 040100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1705 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627200-23104>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 18:49:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA49620; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:49:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8972874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA50882 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:49:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:49:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031049.FAA00573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:49:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtio21 Pgtw To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b958da0648950416fd4d5948ea8b252 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 006 WTIO21 PGTW 030200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030159Z JUN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 030200)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N7 71.1E9 TO 13.9N3 70.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 022200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 71.1E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AREAL COVERAGE AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITHIN THE DEVELOPING MONSOON TROUGH IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 040200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-23104>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:08:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44058; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8978498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44032 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031807.NAA16447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b3deafc07944274f960a7a8dc09c9c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 173 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030159Z JUN 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 030200Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 71E8 AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A FOR MORE DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/UROGI/JOHNSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2810 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-18589>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 11:04:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA63512; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 22:03:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8983858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 22:03:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA10246 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 22:03:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA28037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 22:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040303.WAA28037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 22:03:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 540ae8a85912b2d60abed87a5bdc476d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 WTIO31 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 11.7N9 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.9N1 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 12.0N3 68.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 12.1N4 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.2N5 67.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.6N9 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 11.7N9 69.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 040100Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE WESTWARD MOTION DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS DUE TO LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW FROM RIDGING BUILDING TO ITS NORTH. HOWEVER, THIS FLOW IS RATHER WEAK RESULTING IN A VERY SLOW WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS. AT 72 HOURS , THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALTHOUGH AT A SLOW SPEED DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE AS SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE PARTIALLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION. THE WIND RADII ASSYMETR Y WERE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z 7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030159Z JUN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 030100)// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626110-18590>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 16:33:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44186; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:33:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39042 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:33:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040833.DAA01325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:33:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9918b37247cd2cb0d724f7dc24fb4ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 993 WTIO31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 73.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 73.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 10.3N4 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.6N7 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 10.9N0 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.0N2 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.5N6 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 73.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EAST AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED IN PART ON A 040057Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS, ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE IN A LOOPING MOTION AS THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FLUCTUATIONS IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. AFTER 36 HOURS, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626110-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 16:42:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41030; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:42:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04148 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:42:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:42:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040842.DAA01381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:42:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3412d2b0717a886b08fc69cc4c249ca3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 058 WTIO31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 73.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 73.1E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 04100Z3 --- 10.3N4 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAIVNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.6N7 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 10.9N0 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.0N2 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 72 HRS; VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.5N6 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 73.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EAST AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN TE SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED IN PART ON A 040057Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS, ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLQOE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE IN A LOOPING MOTION AS THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FLUCTUATIONS IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW THS POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. AFTER 36 HOURS, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627286-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 16:53:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA61474; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:53:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986246 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:53:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47120 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:53:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:53:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040853.DAA01404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:53:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 758aa6993f4f4649ab0af8bb88e44f89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 WTIO31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 73.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 73.1E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 04100Z3 --- 10.3N4 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAIVNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.6N7 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 10.9N0 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAINNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS 48 HRS, VAL D AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.0N2 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 72 HRS VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.5N6 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 73.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAQKEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EAST AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN TE SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED IN PART ON A 040057Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS, ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLQOE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BH PS N CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE IN A LOOPING MOTION AS THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FLUCTUATIONS IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW OHS POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. AFTER 36 HOURS, VERTII ESMAL02 DAMM 040600 RRC AAXX 04064 60355 12660 70000 10232 20198 40110 53018 60074 8323/ 333 20227 83840 85360 95900= 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 17:00:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56078; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:59:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:59:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA61692 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:59:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:59:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040859.DAA01425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:59:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76aa9b2aefb7a3d40bc8cda8a059b785 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 WTIO31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 73.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BAS RBMP CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 73.1E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 04100Z3 --- 10.3N4 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAIVNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT MECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.6N7 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 10.9N0 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAINNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS 48 HRS, VAL D AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.0N2 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS DISSP C D AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 72 HRS VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10,5N6 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 73.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAQKEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EAST AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN TE SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED IN PART ON A 040057Z6 MICROWAVE QMAGERY PASS, ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED FATELLQOE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BH PS N CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE IN A LOOPING MOTION AS THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FLUCTUATIONS IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW OHS POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. AFTER 36 HOURS, VERTII ESMAL02 DAMM 040600 RRC AAXX 04064 60355 12660 70000 10232 20198 40110 53018 60074 8323/ 333 20227 83840 85360 95900= 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627472-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 17:09:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25996; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 04:09:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 04:09:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44154 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 04:09:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 04:09:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040909.EAA01610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 04:09:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7db370e9dd90d1b58d5f7bf358b938c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 566 WTIO31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 73.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BAS RBMP CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 73.1E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 04100Z3 --- 10.3N4 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAIVNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT MECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.6N7 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSOS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 10.9N0 73.4E4 MAX SUSTAINNRBI SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS 48 HRS, VAL D AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.0N2 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS DISSP C D AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 72 HRS VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10,5N6 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 73.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAQKEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EAST AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN TE SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS MASED IN PART ON A 040057Z6 MICROWAVE QMAGERY PASS, ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED FATELLQOE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BH PS N CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE IN A LOOPING MOTION AS THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FLUCTUATIONS IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW OHS POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. AFTER 36 HOURS, VERTII ESMAL02 DAMM 040600 RRC AAXX 04064 60355 12660 70000 10232 20198 40110 53018 60074 8323/ 333 20227 83840 85360 95900= 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-18590>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:42:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26652; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:41:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8989409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:40:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA54994 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:40:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806041440.JAA06173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:40:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7c288f651fde22e47fe6f410f1b6c16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTIO31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 11.5N7 71.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 71.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.6N8 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 11.5N7 71.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER WEST BASED ON 040954Z 2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040954Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 041200Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70NM WEST OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, ALL OTHER CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION IS ISOLATED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED IN THE REGION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. ADDITIONALLY, TC 03A IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED T O INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627642-18590>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:12:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52920; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:12:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8993159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:12:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40094 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:12:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:11:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806042011.PAA16428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:11:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 400e7e3e2fac4416dae0baef546829da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 ABIO10 PGTW 042030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/042030Z/051800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z JUN 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1). AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 71.5E3 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z))FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POSIBILITY EXISTS FOR REDEVELOPMENT IF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WEAKENS. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2).NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: INCLUDE SUSPECT AREA PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627679-18590>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:47:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA16714; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8993601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63514 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806042046.PAA17587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 670f3017ee61b2bc03d15094af961479 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 836 ABIO10 PGTW 042030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/042030Z/051800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z JUN 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1). AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 71.5E3 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOT S WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNIN G NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z))FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POSIBILITY EXISTS FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT IF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WEAKENS. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2).NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: INCLUDE SUSPECT AREA PARA 1.A.(1).4 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-7724>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 09:58:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16832; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 20:57:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8814169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 20:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62848 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 20:56:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 20:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050156.UAA22652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 20:56:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7de300a04d77e772da57786f660a4b75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 WTIO31 PGTW 050300 REGENE RATED 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 11.3N5 71.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 71.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 11.0N2 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 10.9N0 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 11.2N4 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 11.7N9 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.1N5 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 11.2N4 71.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS REGENERATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND REMAINS QUASI-STAIONARY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050000Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH 041020Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 041549Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATED A TIGHT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH 24 HOURS AS STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK. AFTER 24 HOURS, A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD MOTION DEVELOPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THIS IS DUE TO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS PREVIOUSLY BEEN IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SOME DURING THE PAST 10 HOURS, ALLOWING FOR THE RE-DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD FLUCTUATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ALLOWING FOR CONVECTION TO DIMINISH AND THEN FLARE UP AGAIN OVER THE TIME PERIOD. BY THE 24 POSITION, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD RELAX LONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AND THEN REMAIN STEADY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THIS IS DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 16:03:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22734; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:02:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26806 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:02:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050802.DAA26795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:02:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19ba11c141cda57fdab86e800c347fdb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 285 WTIO31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 11.6N8 71.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 71.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.8N0 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.2N5 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.7N0 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.5N9 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 15.1N7 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 11.6N8 71.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 050600Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 050256Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 16:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23704; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:09:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:09:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54910 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:09:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050809.DAA26849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:09:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1dcec12d33b7f208ca9b939ec0b21da0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 361 WTIO31 PGTW 050800 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 15.1N7 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 11.6N8 71.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A REMAINS QUASI-STATION Y IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 050600Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 050256Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOR GP SBAD. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BAB RBLAN CONTINUIOY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WW PEP PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMIUIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).5/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 16:13:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23622; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:12:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22578 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:12:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050812.DAA26874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:12:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a09d24df086e6811dd41b2b9d01ad589 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 481 WTIO31 PGTW 050800 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 15.1N7 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 11.6N8 71.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A REVAINS QUASI-STATION Y IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 050600Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 050256Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOR GP SBAD. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BAB RBLAN CONTINUIOY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WW PEP PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMIUIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Y5 (DTG 060751Z9).5/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626584-7721>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 23:21:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA63552; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:20:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8820331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA21528 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:20:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:20:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051520.KAA04101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:20:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 226a351e847cf024c3e218ed0fd0b9f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 142 WTIO31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 12.0N3 70.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 70.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.4N7 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 12.7N0 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.8N1 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 13.3N7 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.3N8 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 12.1N4 70.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW FOR TC03A IS WEAK AND IS EXPECTED TO HOLD THE SYSTEM QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WINDS ALOFT AFFECTING TC03A ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN AT THE 24-HOUR PERIOD THUS CAUSING A SLOW INTENSIFICATION. AT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD, UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS DIVERGENT AND THEREFORE HINDER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3595 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627821-7721>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 23:26:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA17700; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:25:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8820491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA11240 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:25:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:25:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051525.KAA04196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:25:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e76a2898ef717cbae1b5b342a9074cc8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 306 WTIO31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE ROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 558 747589,: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEWT POSIT: 12;OMBWAOE6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.4N7 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, OUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS 24 HRS,)VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 12.7N0 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEX PQ KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 188N1 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAI ED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: - 48 HRS, VALID AT: MAXBHK QOED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 0-0,:--=- 081200Z1 --- 14.3N8 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 12.1N4 70.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BEEN QUAI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BAXNRBMP 051200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TVOBBFBMOLGAS REMAINED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW FOR TC03A IS WEAK AND IS EXPECTED TO HOLD THE SYSTEM QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WINDS ALOFT AFFTQTING TC03A ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN AT TTE 24-HOUR PERIOD THUS CAUSING A SLOMBWPTENSIFICATION. AT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD, UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LEUS DIVERGENT AND THEREFORE HINDER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500ZXLKDTG 061351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628370-7718>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 02:57:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29852; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8822709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52814 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051856.NAA11363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af806dcfa762a21f5aef5c59a2a961ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 287 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051651Z JUN 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A AMENDED WARNING NR 006 (WTIO31 PGTW 051500Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1). AT 051200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 70.1E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A AMENDED WARNING NR 006 (WTIO31 PGTW 051500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2).NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1908 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627854-7718>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 02:59:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21870; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:58:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8822740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA38998 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:58:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:58:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051858.NAA11473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:58:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 006a Amended And Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40a60fce01d05e89abf3b3554d2ed6b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 322 WTIO31 PGTW 051500 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 11.8N0 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.0N3 69.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 12.0N3 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.1N4 68.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.2N5 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.6N9 67.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 11.8N0 70.0E7. 051549Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 051540Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS FARTHER WEST AND MORE INTENSE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 151540Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. TC03A IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTING TC03A HAS LESSENED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-7724>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 04:42:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25888; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 15:42:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8824032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 15:41:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57606 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 15:41:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 15:41:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806052041.PAA15133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 15:41:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4dcc7282b6323c8718694da05918ca2e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 WTIO31 PGTW 052100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 11.9N1 069.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 069.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.1N4 069.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.2N5 068.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.4N7 068.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.7N0 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.3N7 067.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 12.0N3 069.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051800Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 051549Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED BOTH ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION HAVE DRAMATICALLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. 051540Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WELL DEVELOPED BANDING FEATURES INDICATING A SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW AS WELL. TC03A IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48- HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626421-14003>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 10:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39462; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 21:13:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8826741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 21:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22036 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 21:13:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 21:13:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060213.VAA20250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 21:13:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 153cdbbfab067e3e078b3f110836c0e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 970 WTIO31 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 12.3N6 069.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 069.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 12.7N0 068.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.1N5 068.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 13.5N9 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.0N5 067.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.0N6 067.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 12.4N7 069.4E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052237Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS). TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. THE FORECAST FOR TC 03A IS TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MINIMUM VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-14007>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 16:33:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26030; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8829125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29850 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:32:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA23809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060832.DAA23809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 442f694a00db5f8da657cbd09a21b6cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 732 WTIO31 PGTW 060900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 12.3N6 69.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 69.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.7N0 68.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.4N8 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 14.0N5 67.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 14.7N2 67.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.9N5 67.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 12.4N7 68.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH EASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 060433Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND A SHIP REPORT OF 60 KNOTS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 69.0W5. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST TRACK. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS THE VERTICAL SHEAR DIMINISHES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627118-13998>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:41:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA10288; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:41:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8830657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:41:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA21786 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:41:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061441.JAA26807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:41:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09318ecd0cc9c0c31a9074b0b6499299 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 477 WTIO31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 13.0N4 69.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 69.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.8N2 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 14.5N0 68.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 15.4N0 68.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.6N3 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.2N2 68.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 13.2N6 69.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS, INFLUENCED BY AN AREA OF WEAKENED STEERING AND LOWER PRESSURES WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NEARER TO THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, TC 03A IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION AND BEGIN TO SHOW SLIGHT EASTWARD TENDANCY DUE TO INCREASED INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2766 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-14007>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 01:40:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56254; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:40:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8832031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:40:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04328 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:39:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:39:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061739.MAA28264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7413d03d6d4475514b252779d638cf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 789 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061651Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 69.0E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 010 (WTIO31 PGTW 061500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-14007>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA49338; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:59:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8832887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11172 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:59:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061959.OAA29629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:59:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87ee73a368dc2446f5491ea7675c0a9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 452 WTIO31 PGTW 062100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 13.7N1 68.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 68.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.0N6 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.3N0 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.9N7 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.5N5 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.7N1 68.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 14.0N5 68.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOME MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE EAST. HOWEVER, THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES AS TC 03A APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASSES AT 061305Z AND 061524Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 0618Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627884-14003>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 06:18:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA21732; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:18:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8833595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:18:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA04302 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:18:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:18:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806062218.RAA01002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:18:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ebef6d7ca8f60d97dc1c478a2a234f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 WTIO31 PGTW 062100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 13.7N1 68.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 68.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.0N6 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.3N0 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.9N7 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.5N5 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.7N1 68.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 14.0N5 68.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOME MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE EAST. HOWEVER, THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES AS TC 03A APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASSES AT 061305Z AND 061524Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 0618Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// BT #0766 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626756-11324>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 10:26:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23584; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 21:26:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8834952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 21:26:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04110 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 21:26:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 21:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070226.VAA03075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 21:26:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6267d614c508086c2d61d5fa52b7c4cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 WTIO31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 14.3N8 068.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 068.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.6N2 067.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 066.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.7N6 067.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.3N5 067.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.4N9 068.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 14.6N1 067.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 062225Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST TRACK. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY DUE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-11324>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 11:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA63510; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8835525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26874 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070357.WAA03800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d35aaeacf540692cb93669df17008da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 WTIO31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 14.3N8 068.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 068.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.6N2 067.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 066.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.7N6 067.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.3N5 067.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.4N9 068.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 14.6N1 067.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 062225Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST TRACK. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY DUE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// BT #2205 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1173 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627486-11324>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 16:03:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA50734; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:03:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8836626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA38936 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:02:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA05735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070802.DAA05735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:02:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e063148abb9e71ead757e5dcfba503cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 291 WTIO31 PGTW 070900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 14.9N4 067.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 067.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.3N0 067.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.8N6 066.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 066.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.8N0 067.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.8N8 068.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 15.2N8 067.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 070416Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I). THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERVIED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS). TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST FOR TC 03A IS FOR IT TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR DIMINISHES. WIND RADII IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627924-11327>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:26:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39108; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:26:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8838316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:25:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA12200 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:25:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071425.JAA08001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f383d89996e89ec49bc626350392ce62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 WTIO31 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 16.0N7 68.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 68.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.6N4 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.3N3 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.1N4 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.1N6 68.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 26.1N9 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 16.4N1 68.1E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING ALTHOUGH LIGHT MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHEAR CONTINUES FROM OUTFLOW OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, A NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. SHEAR IS ANTICIPATED TO LESSEN AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. ACCORDINGLY, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL WHICH IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND 5.0 (90 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627916-11329>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:54:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62922; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:54:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8838378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:54:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23734 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:54:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:54:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071454.JAA08131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:54:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64be288bfa3c1f4e8407ec2b89a5b890 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 481 WTIO31 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 16.0N7 68.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 68.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.6N4 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.3N3 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.1N4 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.1N6 68.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 26.1N9 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 16.4N1 68.1E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING ALTHOUGH LIGHT MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHEAR CONTINUES FROM OUTFLOW OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, A NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. SHEAR IS ANTICIPATED TO LESSEN AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. ACCORDINGLY, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL WHICH IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND 5.0 (90 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// BT #1043 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-11328>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:14:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21830; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26106 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071813.NAA09726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d75f3d241036b9fd347d8b9baeb6baf6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 158 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071651Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 68.1E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 014 (WTIO31 PGTW 071500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628005-11329>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:05:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57424; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:04:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8840548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24636 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:04:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806072004.PAA10566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:04:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89a392f2b4e7cd2a7b57fbbf48482df5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 WTIO31 PGTW 072100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 16.6N3 67.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 67.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.8N8 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 21.8N1 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.7N2 68.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 26.4N2 71.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.0N8 67.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY 071252Z MICROWAVE SENSOR (SSM/I) PASS. 72 HOUR INTENSITY AND WIND RADII FORECAST ADJUSTED TO REFLECT BASIC LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628000-11329>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA38946; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:54:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8840851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:53:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA23778 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:53:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806072053.PAA10905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:53:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5295a811d5364d5d0911d323ea0a65d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 162 WTIO31 PGTW 072100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 16.6N3 067.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 067.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.8N8 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 21.8N1 068.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.7N2 068.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 26.4N2 071.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.0N8 067.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY 071252Z MICROWAVE SENSOR (SSM/I) PASS. 72 HOUR INTENSITY AND WIND RADII FORECAST ADJUSTED TO REFLECT BASIC LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// BT #1670 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626626-28937>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:45:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54592; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:44:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8843196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24588 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:44:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080144.UAA13275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3af678bf87d8e6171cfd2e471a0c9f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 405 WTIO31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 17.4N2 067.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 067.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.9N8 067.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.4N6 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 21.9N2 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.3N8 068.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.5N2 069.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 17.8N6 067.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE EASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 080000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS SINCE IT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE. BY 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THIS WILL BRING TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A INLAND NEAR THE BORDER OF PAKISTAN AND INDIA BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION. SINCE THE SYSTEM IS STILL LOCATED WITHIN THE RIDGE AXIS, IT SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN AT A STEADY STATE UNTIL IT NEARS LAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2(DTG 090151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-28930>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 10:03:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63648; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:03:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8843528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56204 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:03:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080203.VAA13507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:03:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 785f277327b608ec003060b1d3b13c93 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 718 WTIO31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 17.4N2 067.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 067.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.9N8 067.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.4N6 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 21.9N2 067.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.3N8 068.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.5N2 069.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 17.8N6 067.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE EASTERN ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 080000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS SINCE IT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE. BY 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THIS WILL BRING TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A INLAND NEAR THE BORDER OF PAKISTAN AND INDIA BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION. SINCE THE SYSTEM IS STILL LOCATED WITHIN THE RIDGE AXIS, IT SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN AT A STEADY STATE UNTIL IT NEARS LAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2(DTG 090151Z6).// BT #1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626606-28930>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:27:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA49278; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8846139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63592 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:27:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080827.DAA16575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:27:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33435741bacf1599c51ecdeec51f176b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTIO31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 67.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 67.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.6N8 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.4N8 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.1N7 69.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.9N6 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 19.1N1 67.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 080600Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 080408Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS WHICH REVEALED AN ELLIPTICAL EYE. A SERIES OF MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES DURING THE PAST 18 HOURS HAS INDICATED THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES ABOVE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH LAND BETWEEN THE 24 AND 36 HOUR POSITIONS. CURRENTLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BECOME THE MOST INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE ARABIAN SEA IN AT LEAST 15 YEARS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AT THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT INTERACTS WITH STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT JUST ABOVE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. ONCE ON LAND THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-28930>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA50776; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:45:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8846158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19522 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:45:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:45:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080845.DAA16656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 03:45:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclmce In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7e3ceb7ea065311bbd7b5769bc39091 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 WTIO31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLMCE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 67.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEOICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 67.7E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID ATKM PIQIPPZ7 --- 20.6N8 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIJI F 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS 090600Z5 --- 22.4N8 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 ;5, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NMPUUUMVAUIQQCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 RS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.1N7 69.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSTKNE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - ;PVM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.9N6 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BPICDKT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 19.1N1 67.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 080600Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 080408Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS WHICH REVEALED AN ELLIPTICAL EYE. A SERIES OF MICROWAVE IMWER PASSES DURING THE PAST 18 HOURS HAS INDICATED THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AOHRA SCT01 5 BECMG 0607 14008KT= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627985-5523>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:55:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA56294; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:54:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8848795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA50874 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:54:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:54:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806081454.JAA21586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:54:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dda5ab4573997161c205560d638f9098 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 19.7N7 67.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 67.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.8N1 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.8N3 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.6N3 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 27.0N9 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 20.2N4 67.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 18 TO 24 HOURS NEAR THE PAKISTAN/INDIA BORDER, AT OR CLOSE TO THE CURRENT INTENSITY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628042-5523>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 01:56:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21508; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:56:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8851210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49326 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806081755.MAA26574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 512fbca67127f47e0bb54fdd2de89d22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 716 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081651Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N7 67.7E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 018 (WTIO31 PGTW 081500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625951-5522>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:08:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54556; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:07:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8852344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA10474 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:06:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:06:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806082006.PAA00378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:06:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 469b06445ba8385b5ef6e2fc4745bec7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 373 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 19.7N7 67.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 67.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.8N1 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.8N3 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.6N3 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 27.0N9 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 20.2N4 67.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 18 TO 24 HOURS NEAR THE PAKISTAN/INDIA BORDER, AT OR CLOSE TO THE CURRENT INTENSITY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// BT #1933 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628091-5520>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:54:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15086; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:54:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8852694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:54:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA59328 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:54:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:54:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806082054.PAA01627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:54:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fda5dac9f1500443acda0810a65495ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 993 WTIO31 PGTW 082100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 20.5N7 68.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 68.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.6N0 69.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.3N9 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.0N8 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 21.0N3 68.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LESSEN ONLY SLIGHTLY BEFORE LANDFALL IS MADE. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL BENDING TOWARDS THE EAST AS TC03A MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE POINT OF EXPECTED LANDFALL HAS MOVED SOUTH APPROXIMATELY 90 MILES FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS CHANGE REFLECTS A CHANGE IN INFRARED SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER THESE CHANGES OCCURRED ONLY RECENTLY. THEY MAY REFLECT A TEMPORARY, OR PARTIAL, OSCILLATION. THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR THE REMAININ G POSSIBILITY OF LANDFALL FURTHER TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAV E HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z 8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5)./ / +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626401-5520>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 05:36:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA49284; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:36:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8853482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA62832 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA02923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806082136.QAA02923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 16:36:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 534022ff0b00e77c39dc3a1cf13f5b67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 WTIO31 PGTW 082100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 20.5N7 68.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 68.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.6N0 69.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.3N9 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.0N8 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 21.0N3 68.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LESSEN ONLY SLIGHTLY BEFORE LANDFALL IS MADE. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL BENDING TOWARDS THE EAST AS TC03A MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE POINT OF EXPECTED LANDFALL HAS MOVED SOUTH APPROXIMATELY 90 MILES FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS CHANGE REFLECTS A CHANGE IN INFRARED SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER THESE CHANGES OCCURRED ONLY RECENTLY. THEY MAY REFLECT A TEMPORARY, OR PARTIAL, OSCILLATION. THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR THE REMAINING POSSIBILITY OF LANDFALL FURTHER TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// BT #2099 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627274-8353>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:35:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA66068; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8855931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:19:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17898 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 21:54:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 21:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090254.VAA06771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 21:54:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c640ba2730803b63151c6f4f2d5e2019 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 372 WTIO31 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 21.2N5 68.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.2N5 68.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.4N8 70.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.8N3 72.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 21.5N8 69.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ONSHORE FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED, NEAR THE CITY OF PORBANDAR. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 082226Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND BY ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A CONTINUES TO BE A FORMIDABLE SYSTEM AND IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST EVER OBSERVED IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THE SYSTEM WILL REACH LAND DURING THE NEXT 3 HOURS. ONCE INLAND, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628420-8354>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 06:17:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA45742; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:08:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8860427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:08:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66150 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:24:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:24:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090824.DAA09444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:24:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 603b07f4dca068706003b132d4e4f3d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 585 WTIO31 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628121-8354>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:41:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63664; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:37:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8856193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA57854 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:26:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:26:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090826.DAA09454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:26:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 597cab5b54d09fb3cd45bf55dd8dc676 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 606 WTIO31 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 22.6N0 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.6N2 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.8N6 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 23.1N6 70.5E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE GULF OF KUTCH AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 42634 AND 42280. THE OBSERVATION FROM WMO NUMBER 42634 INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KNOTS AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 981 MILLIBARS. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED DUE TO OBSERVATIONS FROM 42634 AND 42280 INDICATING A LARGER WIND RADII THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING INLAND, RAPIDLY WEAKENING, THEREFORE DISSIPATING BY THE 24 HOUR POINT. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628425-8354>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 06:17:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52862; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:09:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8860512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:09:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA04212 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:06:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090905.EAA09700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:05:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c58bd33da94063c5ba28e2478b6ded1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 185 WTIO31 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 22.6N0 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.6N2 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.8N6 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 23.1N6 70.5E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE GULF OF KUTCH AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 42634 AND 42280. THE OBSERVATION FROM WMO NUMBER 42634 INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KNOTS AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 981 MILLIBARS. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED DUE TO OBSERVATIONS FROM 42634 AND 42280 INDICATING A LARGER WIND RADII THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING INLAND, RAPIDLY WEAKENING, THEREFORE DISSIPATING BY THE 24 HOUR POINT. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// BT #6599 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626049-10069>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 07:03:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA60228; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:52:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8862943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:52:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49244 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 09:47:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 09:47:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091447.JAA13991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 09:47:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 719e4fcbe3cf3e94bfd29316333cc785 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 24.0N6 70.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 70.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.6N3 72.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 24.4N0 71.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS MOVED INLAND AND TOWARDS THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC FIXES. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 091240Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC03A HAS WEAKENED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND IN NORTHWEST INDIA AND SOUTHEAST PAKISTAN FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE INTENSITY OF TC03A IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO FURTHER INTERACTION WITH MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1549 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628115-8353>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:23:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26728; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:50:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8856807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22700 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:21:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:21:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091621.LAA16431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:21:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c5a4aad3a6a10e9fd610b29a9694c11 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 24.0N6 70.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 70.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.6N3 72.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 24.4N0 71.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS MOVED INLAND AND TOWARDS THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC FIXES. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 091240Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC03A HAS WEAKENED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND IN NORTHWEST INDIA AND SOUTHEAST PAKISTAN FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTH-NORTHEAST TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE INTENSITY OF TC03A IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO FURTHER INTERACTION WITH MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #7178 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628389-8352>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 05:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA57620; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:10:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8857454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:10:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA59162 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091730.MAA18222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b64f6b02306de4806da764cd26bc965 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 806 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N6 70.9E6 IN NORTHWEST INDIA. THE SYSTEM WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 022 (WTIO31 PGTW 091500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628324-10442>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:12:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62158; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8876639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15038 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806101754.MAA12018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e223f73c5df6b21b37b6ad104e884797 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 108 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628273-20442>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 03:08:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12224; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:46:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8892814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28196 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:45:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111844.NAA09454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:44:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2df237b9979a078d2e42133e57b289c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628103-29014>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:24:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA57408; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8903835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA60716 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806121805.NAA02545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89ede668edee598627c15ed465aee49c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JUNE 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628366-29019>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 06:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA29764; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:55:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8906709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:55:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAB29904 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:54:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:54:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806122154.QAA08261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:54:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba1d9195fade43731bc30a2e17837152 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 257 ABIO10 PGTW 122000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/122000Z/131800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 88E6. THE CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED. HOWEVER, INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD ORGANIZATION AND VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. ALSO, THE CONVECTION IS NEAR A LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT HAS BEEN ANALYZED TO BE OVER LAND FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SUGGEST POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW AND LIGHT UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. A 121223Z MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES LITTLE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 102E3. THE AREA IS DISORGANIZED WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION, BUT IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ALONG A SHEAR LINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMEN T OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT GRAMMAR. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627265-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 00:49:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52720; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8917040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA46040 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131637.LAA20676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b166d59817b8b5c8a05d39ac53cb348 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 519 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JUNE 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 88E6 IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 18N9 85E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS. 131351Z0 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE AREA OF CONVECTION. 131430Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE BANDING FEATURES IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO BE INHIBITING THE OUTFLOW ON THE NORTH AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 102E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627424-22321>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 02:24:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09924; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:12:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8929029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:12:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14970 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:11:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:11:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141811.NAA06478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:11:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8426c108f69463b887eaf5b40221c38 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JUNE 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED CENTERED NEAR 18N9 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 82E0. 141338Z0 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MOVED ONSHORE. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION ARE NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 90E9. 141338Z0 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINEAR CONVERGENCE IN THE AREA OF PERSISTENT, INTENSE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINUMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-12420>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA59696; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8860815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15100 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151753.MAA27230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe5ed49f90489df01255deb71a8a2acb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 553 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 90E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627830-29777>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:23:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA46022; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8878258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA09912 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161809.NAA27014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1f6e73ecbb177064e1e872a971dc13b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 529 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627673-28946>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 01:59:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA55988; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8893457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA25458 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:35:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:34:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806171734.MAA23597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:34:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecd9f70fbb3ad107a160cab78170eb14 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627239-22213>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:07:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42816; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8924773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA49442 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:56:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:55:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806191655.LAA14585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:55:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb1e5083101d543604df138fea01e5d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626729-8000>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:23:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA33800; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:08:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8938992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:08:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52942 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201928.OAA04825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 888fda0a327eebb399acb5f76cb781fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 696 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1243 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626735-8000>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22012; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8945625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA57578 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211836.NAA18746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbf11e388b9f9061d41000cf98da0411 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 343 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627028-11222>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:37:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA63676; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8958247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA55210 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806221819.NAA10322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2a3712529812e4588d96ece77f7be51 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 266 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627327-26167>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 01:43:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09792; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA58140 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231726.MAA07318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39f8eea75925ea6763415cddc05164b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-7609>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA33798; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8982630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA60390 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241738.MAA04749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 511fffb329867134cab6544de132e8be Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4378 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-21037>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:21:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54196; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:06:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8997306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:06:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA55988 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251804.NAA02851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2cccb709c7e168709a37eec496608aab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 151 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:03:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627966-9876>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:24:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23778; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9011424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA23726 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261803.NAA25880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 008e76358888a97e42c0bcc5d0344b01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 414 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:06:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1356 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627898-12221>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:09:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34916; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9023374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23554 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271751.MAA12822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 035a063b019748c65da4f87fc9e04df0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 355 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:10:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1739 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626908-15289>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:32:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13198; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9034158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA40060 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281724.MAA25370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab122f6db1a887e20bfbd863c3f41608 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 713 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627240-25022>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 01:14:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29014; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9217907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA55590 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807131705.MAA00571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a2fb60a067f83213f8a600443d19469 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 874 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-24669>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:52:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33792; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:30:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:30:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA62578 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:29:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807141929.OAA28599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:29:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3084c595726de3a977a65387d43d8e03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 706 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627472-20166>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 02:38:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22132; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8976559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA35910 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807151825.NAA20578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7bd3e0f5e90d1e599606f348a508cce1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 05S5 88E6. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CURVATURE IN THE MID-LEVEL CLOUD LINES. ANIMA TED IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE ROTATION. A 150352Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS EVIDENCE THAT THE CONVECTION IS RELATED TO TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS, ALTHOUGH LINEAR AND CROSS EQUATORIAL, SHOW SOME DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-28386>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 01:17:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA57658; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:05:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9009010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:05:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49374 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171704.MAA05044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 067fa01874f0f1b1e5d5e19fb01d341d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 514 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-11453>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 02:17:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA66240; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9020931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA09902 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181807.NAA22838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bab0fce77c4697b25577df318512877 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 822 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627247-21943>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:29:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA45588; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9031910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA39914 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191816.NAA05224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0898ade5f2158be66161f2c02c0423f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 086 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06S6 083E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE ROTATION WITH GENERAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPERLEVEL SYNOPTIC DATA AND WATERVAPOR WINDS INDICATE MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626452-351>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22706; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 01:58:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9039625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 01:58:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59558 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 01:58:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 01:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200658.BAA13154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 01:58:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 20/07/98 A 0600 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d834dcecde7ccdc0b894a009a88ea762 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 008 WTIO21 FMEE 200600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 20/07/98 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 1/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : LUNDI 20/07/98 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1004 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 6.5S/85.5E (SIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET QUATRE VINGT CINQ DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES : GRAINS LOCAUX DANS UN RAYON DE 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. POSITION PREVUE LE 20/07/98 A 1800 UTC: 7.0 SUD / 84.5 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS LOCAL DANS LE SECTEUR SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT LIE A L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626753-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:41:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA04096; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:20:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:20:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44168 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200919.EAA14426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb09ee83ee43d82e8690cb1e60d2866d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 395 ABIO10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/200600Z/201800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 86E4, NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06S6 083E1. MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 192346Z5 INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DUE TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626694-351>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 20:42:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA54220; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 07:27:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9041556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 07:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22462 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 07:27:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 07:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201227.HAA15892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 07:27:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 20/07/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ff7fed908f65a7ff2b9c01128147959 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 049 WTIO21 FMEE 201200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 20/07/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 2/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : LUNDI 20/07/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1004 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 6.6S/84.7E (SIX DEGRES SIX SUD ET QUATRE VINGT QUATRE DEGRES SEPT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES : GRAINS LOCAUX DANS UN RAYON DE 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, PLUS FREQUENTS DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. POSITION PREVUE LE 21/07/98 A 0000 UTC: 6.8 SUD / 83.5 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS LOCAL DANS LE SECTEUR SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT LIE A L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-17942>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 02:44:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA49490; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:23:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9046922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:23:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA62512 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:22:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:22:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201822.NAA24882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:22:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14097d65fdf7f5795231af08ff7b9c99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 700 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05S5 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09S 083E1. THE MOVEMENT OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS APPEARS, AS PER ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, TO BE DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS NEAR 05S5 085E3. ALTHOUGH AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND 201630Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALLOW FOR A BROAD AREA OF FIX LOCATION, INDICATING CONTINUING SYSTEM ORGANIZATION, A 201454Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS SUPPORTS A LOW-LEVEL POSITION NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627422-17942>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 03:04:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52852; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:47:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9047399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA48996 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:47:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201847.NAA25566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:47:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 944e1e89b07d1ee890f9797964473bb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 318 WTIO20 FMEE 200600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 20/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.5S/85.5E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 20/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 7.0 SOUTH / 84.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-28777>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 19:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA57576; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:21:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9056007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60918 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:16:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210616.BAA08723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:16:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 21/07/98 A 0600 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7c9384f15da3961b79655e1afe22564 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 WTIO21 FMEE 210600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 21/07/98 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 3/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 21/07/98 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1004 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 7.6S/82.9E (SEPT DEGRES SIX SUD ET QUATRE VINGT DEUX DEGRES NEUF EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES : GRAINS LOCAUX DANS UN RAYON DE 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, PLUS FREQUENTS DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. POSITION PREVUE LE 21/07/98 A 1800 UTC: 8.0 SUD / 81.0 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS LOCAL DANS LE SECTEUR SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT LIE A L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626561-28777>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 19:36:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA36670; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:21:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9056025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:21:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA67594 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:17:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210617.BAA08731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:17:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e10c93c0050d3f0134cee6dff7febec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 990 WTIO20 FMEE 210600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 3/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 21/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.6S/82.9E (SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, MORE FREQUENT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 21/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 8.0 SOUTH / 81.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3684 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626883-28777>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 19:34:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA19416; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:22:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9056067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:22:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22702 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:51:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210651.BAA08910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 01:51:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e7c27fce30eec777c0a5e0c1af1dcba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 837 WTIO20 FMEE 210600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 3/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 21/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.6S/82.9E (SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, MORE FREQUENT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 21/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 8.0 SOUTH / 81.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625928-28778>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 20:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA52886; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:24:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9058303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA31522 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:23:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:23:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211223.HAA12526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:23:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 21/07/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 311cef840078ac47a23738ec691a39a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 WTIO21 FMEE 211200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 21/07/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 4/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 21/07/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1000 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 8.6S/81.7E (HUIT DEGRES SIX SUD ET QUATRE VINGT UN DEGRES SEPT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 9 KT ZONES MENACEES : GRAINS LOCAUX DANS UN RAYON DE 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, PLUS FREQUENTS DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. POSITION PREVUE LE 22/07/98 A 0000 UTC: 9.0 SUD / 80.2 EST S'INTENSIFIANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : LE SYSTEME S'EST UN PEU DEVELOPPER AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES.POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS DANS LE SECTEUR SUD ESN RAISON DU GRADIENT LIE A L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-28778>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 20:58:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAB30404; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:45:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9058604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA53172 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:45:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211245.HAA12921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:45:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96c3711a4031faf38ee7ccbf07f1e572 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 WTIO20 FMEE 211200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/07/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 4/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 21/07/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.6S/81.7E (EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, MORE FREQUENT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 22/07/98 AT 0000 UTC: 9.0 SOUTH / 80.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLIGHT DEVELOPEMENT LAST PAST HOURS. LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1192 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-28778>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:55:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30850; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:36:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9062890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA54220 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211735.MAA20790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45c494972e9ea04f676c5a01f71fc8c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 083E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 82E0. THE AREA HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. 211050Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED AND SEPARATED FROM ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY A DISTANCE OF MORE THAN 60NM. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CREDITED FOR SUBSTANTIALLY INHIBITING ITS DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627118-28772>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 03:06:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA31728; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 13:49:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9064381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 13:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52958 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 13:49:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 13:49:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211849.NAA22870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 13:49:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70de8d9fd01e91b5429ad1f83b642a5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTIO20 FMEE 210600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 3/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 21/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.6S/82.9E (SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, MORE FREQUENT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 21/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 8.0 SOUTH / 81.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626046-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 10:50:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA04320; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9071500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18888 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220233.VAA01856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 22/07/98 A 0000 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 168e8c7fc6efbbf405ce340a9327f27d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 WTIO21 FMEE 220000 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 22/07/98 A 0000 UTC NUMERO : 5/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MERCREDI 22/07/98 A 0000 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1002 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.2S/79.2E (NEUF DEGRES DEUX SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX NEUF DEGRES DEUX EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 12 KT ZONES MENACEES : GRAINS ORAGEUX LOCAUX JUSQU'A 100 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST, PLUS ISOLES JUSQU'A 200 MN. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT, ATTEIGNANT 30 KT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 120 MN DU CENTRE. MER AGITEE A FORTE. POSITION PREVUE LE 22/07/98 A 1200 UTC: 9.6 SUD / 77.3 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : GRAND FRAIS DANS LE SECTEUR SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT DE PRESSION AVEC L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2807 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627139-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 10:50:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17836; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9071509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA35302 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220233.VAA01860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:33:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf88796abf873dde8012499a21b9e6bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 460 WTIO20 FMEE 220000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/07/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 5/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 22/07/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.2S/79.2E (NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 22/07/98 AT 1200 UTC: 9.6 SOUTH / 77.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR ARE GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH OF THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627374-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 14:49:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30580; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9073940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49000 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220637.BAA04719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 22/07/98 A 0600 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 945fc4500abbe31ca473e94026532721 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 957 WTIO21 FMEE 220600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 22/07/98 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 6/H4 AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MERCREDI 22/07/98 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENE : DEPRESSION TROPICALE 998 HPA POSITION : 9.6S/78.5E (NEUF DEGRES SIX SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX HUIT DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 11 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE DANS LES SECTEURS OUEST ET SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT, ATTEIGNANT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT AVEC MER FORTE PRES DU CENTRE ET LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE. POSITION PREVUE LE 22/07/98 A 1800 UTC: 10.1 SUD / 76.9 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : EXTENSION DU GRAND FRAIS DANS LE SECTEUR SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT DE PRESSION AVEC LA DORSALE SITUEE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3418 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 14:49:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22694; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9073947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49048 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220637.BAA04723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:37:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9fe32e477ca7d9541b93dfed6bff0b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 WTIO20 FMEE 220600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 6/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 22/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA POSITION : 9.6S/78.5E (NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE. FORECASTED POSITION 22/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.1 SOUTH / 76.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OF THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627452-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:16:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36814; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:03:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44988 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:02:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220702.CAA04980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:02:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78bce3f6eaff98e64e2f6c48e9480540 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTIO20 FMEE 220600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 6/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 22/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA POSITION : 9.6S/78.5E (NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE. FORECASTED POSITION 22/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.1 SOUTH / 76.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OF THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:16:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36832; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:03:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30654 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:02:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:02:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220702.CAA04982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:02:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebb1429c8bba9b7d0afedddcdf2a1e45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 215 WTIO20 FMEE 220000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/07/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 5/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 22/07/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.2S/79.2E (NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FORECASTED POSITION 22/07/98 AT 1200 UTC: 9.6 SOUTH / 77.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR ARE GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH OF THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:05:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67628; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA46352 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220753.CAA05430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 732e5a2e1c283eb38be97f04fcdb1720 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 370 ABIO10 PGTW 220800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/220800Z/221800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 082E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79E6. 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS FORMED APPROXIMATELY 50NM FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SHEER AND DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627597-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 19:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA29390; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:43:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9076014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:43:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA44994 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:43:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA07272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:43:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221143.GAA07272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:43:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 22/07/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 789d40e3cb6bc949ebd47104a159ff68 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 WTIO21 FMEE 221200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 22/07/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 7/H4 AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MERCREDI 22/07/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : DEPRESSION TROPICALE 998 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.7S/77.7E (NEUF DEGRES SEPT SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX SEPT DEGRES SEPT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 9 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 60 MN DU CENTRE DANS LES SECTEURS OUEST A SUD-OUEST, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 180 MN. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT, ATTEIGNANT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT AVEC MER FORTE PRES DU CENTRE ET LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES POSSIBLES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 23/07/98 A 0000 UTC: 9.9 SUD / 76.4 EST S'AFFAIBLISSANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : EXTENSION DU GRAND FRAIS DANS LE SECTEUR SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT DE PRESSION AVEC LA DORSALE SITUEE AU SUD. AFFAIBLISSEMENT PAR CONDITIONS CISAILLEES PLUS SENSIBLES. PROCHAIN BULLETIN EMIS A 00 UTC SI NECESSAIRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2772 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627593-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 19:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA31790; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:44:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9076020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:44:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA63522 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:44:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA07281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221144.GAA07281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:44:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 949de26e6a145c8e54196a21db217c73 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 136 WTIO20 FMEE 221200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/07/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 7/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 22/07/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.7S/77.7E (NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTORS, BUT EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 0000 UTC: 9.9 SOUTH / 76.4 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OF THE SOUTH. WEAKENING TREND DUE TO SHEARED CONDITIONS. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 00 UTC IF NECESSARY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2932 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627616-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:01:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA36650; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:50:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9076611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA36704 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:48:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221248.HAA08148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:48:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c8728af8104da769996e98ca10c85e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 995 WTIO20 FMEE 221200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/07/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 7/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 22/07/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.7S/77.7E (NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTORS, BUT EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 0000 UTC: 9.9 SOUTH / 76.4 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OF THE SOUTH. WEAKENING TREND DUE TO SHEARED CONDITIONS. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 00 UTC IF NECESSARY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627721-14563>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:08:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56140; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9080397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30744 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221752.MAA16005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47e77118c6ff530e6859601a2eb874af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 011 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 78E5. 221430Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RESTRICTING ITS DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 45NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627796-14569>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:10:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA31856; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:50:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9082429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44894 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807222049.PAA20696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/signifi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a6bf750f8e4a49160695b007516acbb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFI 6 >94 5#3 8,$8-, 9:3-,/221800Z/231800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COASTPMF AFRA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBAKCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): AVPOROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCESUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF COM EION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79EG IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 78E5. 221430VW INFRARED SATEL853 8.-<346 -#92- 28,$ -#3-4 43-548:58,< 85- $3;3)90.3,5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOWQHLEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 45NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 ZETS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE WS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICIE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2))NO OTHER SUSPACT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:33:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19218; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:20:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9086659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:20:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17916 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:20:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:20:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230220.VAA26494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:20:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 814d59086ec0839875d743078473e310 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 150 WTIO20 FMEE 230000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 8/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.1S/77.0E (TEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 1200 UTC: 10.4 SOUTH / 76.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OF THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1525 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-19989>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:54:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA57516; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:45:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9086955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22688 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:45:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230245.VAA26769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:45:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7846d0a1534132a9849187e2e71542d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 WTIO20 FMEE 230000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 8/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.1S/77.0E (TEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 1200 UTC: 10.4 SOUTH / 76.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OF THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:45:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA49648; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:34:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088407 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:34:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35962 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:33:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230633.BAA29284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:33:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba3f1b5048e434982d4b474db9672473 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTIO20 FMEE 230600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 9/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S/76.7E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.1 SOUTH / 76.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:08:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA67760; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:47:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30628 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:47:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230647.BAA29380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:47:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cbd95a0991e666def9e72218f90d761 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 351 WTIO20 FMEE 230600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 9/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S/76.7E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.1 SOUTH / 76.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626945-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 19:28:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA04262; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:12:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA19354 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:12:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:12:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231112.GAA01444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:12:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 23/07/98 A 0600 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f10fc077cd77a44cddf39dd1d9f36081 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 732 WTIO21 FMEE 230600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 23/07/98 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 9/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : JEUDI 23/07/98 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1000 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 10.0S/76.7E (DIX DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE SEIZE DEGRES SEPT EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 180 MN DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LES SECTEURS OUEST ET SUD. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 23/07/98 A 1800 UTC: 10.1 SUD / 76.0 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : NEANT= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626999-19989>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:06:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA67160; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:54:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:54:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA56138 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:54:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231154.GAA01697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:54:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 23/07/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70fe4f0cca9abc13a4fa41bc366a78cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 494 WTIO21 FMEE 231200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 23/07/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 10/H4 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : JEUDI 23/07/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1000 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.9S/76.4E (NEUF DEGRES NEUF SUD ET SOIXANTE SEIZE DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES : GRAINS LOCAUX JUSQU'A 200 MN DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LES SECTEURS OUEST ET SUD. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 24/07/98 A 0000 UTC: 9.8 SUD / 75.8 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : LE SYSTEME CONTINUE A S'AFFAIBLIR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626847-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:26:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA56254; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:55:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA19378 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:55:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231155.GAA01706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:55:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c7afe4008bf311f3cc08469322e4763 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 495 WTIO20 FMEE 231200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 10/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.9S/76.4E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/07/98 AT 0000 UTC: 9.8 SOUTH / 75.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS STILL WEAKENING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627134-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA36082; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:47:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9090290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:47:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA43750 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:47:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:47:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231247.HAA02330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:47:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26c4cfd10d1a10eeecad8acfdd21f188 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 267 WTIO20 FMEE 231200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 10/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.9S/76.4E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : LOCAL SQUALLS EXIST UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/07/98 AT 0000 UTC: 9.8 SOUTH / 75.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS STILL WEAKENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3459 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-9459>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:13:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA57518; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9094619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44696 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:52:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231752.MAA10873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:52:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c9a203f04e9fcc1e70ae1970bf0286a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 649 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENT WEST GU/231351Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 75.8E0 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 030 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR02 (WTXS31 PGTW 231500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 78E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627802-9459>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:00:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA35174; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:47:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA27994 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:47:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231847.NAA12395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:47:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4b7433f7f024784498d990b0e074e5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 001 WTIO20 FMEE 230600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/07/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 9/H4 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/07/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S/76.7E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/07/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.1 SOUTH / 76.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-11474>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:40:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39692; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9109418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA45030 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241729.MAA03483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed73276008be4ec5739fe0e636faa168 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENT WEST GU/241351Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 09.2S1 076.1E4 AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 030 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR05 (WTXS31 PGTW 241500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627366-18206>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:59:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA64688; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA64668 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251750.MAA20020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18d8d5f8922ad3297aa7dcf9e3a00f17 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 107 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENT WEST GU/250151Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 08.8S6 77.2E6 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S FINAL WARNING NR06 (WTXS31 PGTW 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-27108>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 01:43:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA35110; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9126709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA64534 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261729.MAA03847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 558323612ea2724202f3e0345cfdb866 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627520-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:43:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA31914; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9136958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31898 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271730.MAA21613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbfb21151d938f95a70d9ea62c7340b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 868 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-1923>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:17:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24630; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA57570 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281851.NAA18116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d41a80efbbb9a03af43ea7d9eba07c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1670 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626905-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 01:44:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36674; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA60702 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291724.MAA10009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d7333cd756ef7cf82b842c230df8e48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 496 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 01:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA64726; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:34:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9102938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28240 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311732.MAA26695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:32:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed8d24dba9cf0e61ab9035c56400e59f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 715 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z JUL/011800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-29814>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 01:46:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA45780; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9113630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA45762 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011730.MAA13597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df40d0759bb24da73455e583a5f48044 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z AUG/021800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1322 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:41:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30220; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30458 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021731.MAA26300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f9fb1b463a4c009f619952b8b0d2bb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z AUG/031800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-15049>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 01:21:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24814; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9133812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30320 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031706.MAA13152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ef9cee86bd777b8481bca9888b52f52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 855 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z AUG/041800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-26444>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:03:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA53358; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9148346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA59998 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041741.MAA05337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb00fad80662e818a32ddf0c7c25fa90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 058 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z AUG/051800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627475-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 01:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15198; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9164244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15180 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051712.MAA28646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b345b4d3c1f57addc1f03c6ea737cbc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 813 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z AUG/061800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 16:26:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22056; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:13:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:13:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63516 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:13:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:13:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060813.DAA12684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:13:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7bca7759e3a3c10ca36d05021e6ffc0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 WTIO31 PGTW 060800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO W THIN 060 NM POSITION BAEED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTAGPET KT VPVECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128.0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS TRACKEDVPMRTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS MR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SUTELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK QNTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A SMALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO 30 KNOTS AS IT REMAINUAP Z)- 9 59 475 .9$34-53 28,$ -#3-4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON PVING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 MMURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 $5< 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:42:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA42884; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24696 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060831.DAA12782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74978337101ec9b066ddac5b9f0976a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 826 WTIO31 PGTW 060800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSIOM KVW WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POWCJKAAVL PYPYPPZ2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO W THIN 060 NM POSITION BAEED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WUNDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEA POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 FORECASTS: # 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.44 00 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 05 KT, GUSTAGPET KT VPVECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 0:0KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT,-GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128;0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESWON 05W HAS TRACKEDVPMRTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS MR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SUTELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK QNTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A ALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH= NORHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 7P MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACNORTH= NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORPORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OKPTHE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO 30 KNOTS ASPIT REMAINUAP Z)= 9 59 475 .9?34-53 28,? -?3-4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOMN PVING CENTER ICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOQR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 MMURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUP051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 ?9. 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1659 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627024-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 16:48:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62892; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47520 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060836.DAA12815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e2078e192709b2f942321476810f933 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 921 WTIO31 PGTW 060800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSIOM KVW WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POWCJKAAVL PYPYPPZ2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO W THIN 060 NM POSITION BAEED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WUNDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEA POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 FORECASTS: $ 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.44 00 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 05 KT, GUSTAGPET KT VPVECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 0:0KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 OUF<7-5- 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128 0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESWONPVAQW HAS TRACKEDVPMRTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS MR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SUTELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK QNTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A ALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH= NORHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 7P MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACNORTH= NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORPORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OKPTHE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO 30 KNOTS ASPIT REMAINUAP Z)= 9 59 475 .9?34-53 28,? -?3-4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOMN PVING CENTER ICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDAK72 HOQR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 MMURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CN-2= >20-:.359::3, 23-5 <70051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 ?9. 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1760 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 16:51:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA42774; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:39:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:39:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59912 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:39:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060837.DAA12822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:37:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a592d96406e7829d99150a4b8fc54f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 WTIO31 PGTW 060800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSIOM KVW WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVOYNQNRGZL WARNING POWCJ K AAVL PYPYPPZ2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO W THIN 060 NM POSITION BAEED ON CENTER LOCATED BX;80,8 MAX SUSTAINED WUNDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEA POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.44 00 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 05 KT, GUSTAGPET KT VPVECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 0:0KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 OUF 7-5- 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128 0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESWONPVAQW HAS TRACKEDVPMRTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS MR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SUTELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK QNTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUVKAD THE LOW-LEVEL 6( TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A ALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH= NORHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 7P MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACNORTH= NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORPORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OKPTHE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO 30 KNOTS ASPIT REMAINUAP Z)= 9 59 475 .9?34-53 28,? -?3-4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOMN PVING CENTER ICIPA ES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDAK72 HOQR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATOKD ERY 12 MMURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CN-2= 20-:.359::3, 23-5 70051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 ?9. 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:00:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA16768; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:47:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:47:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62836 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:47:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:45:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060845.DAA12848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:45:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53cb455ada02c27797db6b988af44f03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 236 WTIO31 PGTW 060800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSIOM KVW WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVOYNQNRGZL WARNING POWCJ K AAVL PYPYPPZ2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS VOSITION ACCURATE TO W THIN 060 NM POSITION BAEED ON CENTER LOCATED BX 80,8 MAX SUSTAINED WUNDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEA POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.44 00 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 05 KT, GUSTAGPET KT VPVECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 0:0KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 1--.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 OUF 7-5- 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128 0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESWONPVAQW HAS TRACKEDVPMROH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS MR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SUTELLITE IMAGNYFU THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK QNTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND LF.58: 9?-34;-589,- 9> 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUVKAD THE LOW-LEVEL 6( TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A ALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH= NORHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 7P MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACNORTH= NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORPORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OKPTHE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO 30 KNOTS ASPIT REMAINUAP Z)= 9 59 475 .9?34-53 28,? -?3-4. MHIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONALPSEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOMN PVING CENTER ICIPA ES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, ;5#3, - -5-,$-(72 HTIR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE;, HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATOKD ERY 12 MMURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CN-2= 20-:.359::3, 23-5 70051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 ?9. 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 01:29:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA37864; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:17:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9177301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:17:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37722 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:15:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061715.MAA21373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:15:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 891ade05e7cd64198692863e2111ddd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z AUG/071800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627526-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 01:54:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40088; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9177589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA53128 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061740.MAA21959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d06457daebdbf35af83d28c8ad13768 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800.)-7; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 01:10:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56272; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:58:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9190299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:58:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30356 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071657.LAA11908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92117d13982523e79da405d30bb7d090 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 499 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z AUG/081800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-17369>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:26:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44722; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9199356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA64670 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081718.MAA25257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d089c3c5f5c3fe3782701b71dcdb447 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 556 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z AUG/091800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:11:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20984; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9208587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA51174 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091702.MAA06674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44c411feae2826196d94c09adbd0b934 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 528 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z AUG/101800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-23297>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 01:19:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA51052; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9219153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30552 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101702.MAA22019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 503544f86d76a067c9a6f3712d7c2159 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 323 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z AUG/111800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627552-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:17:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29176; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:57:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9232295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37752 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:55:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111755.MAA16609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:55:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffeeba75922df96710968e287e72ffca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 078 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627571-16608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:40:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA28954; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9232763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28144 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111827.NAA17519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Fo9;-. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0232d7093d44f728fed429423b1d27ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 987 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FO9;-. 8,$8-,53-.: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627086-5887>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 01:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36614; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9245268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57066 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121722.MAA08011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e306499786d37b3f463e78ca7365599 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-20944>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:32:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56860; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9256512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA58356 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131711.MAA27747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dabdb1e5470caa8ea01f4b38d98956f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF DIEGO GARCIA AT APPROXIMATELY 6S AND 71E. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A SLIGHT NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT. GRADIENT LEVEL WIND ANALYSIS (12Z) INDICATES OVERALL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT LOW LEVELS WITH THE INTER-TROPICAL BUFFER ZONE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS INDICATE FAVORABLE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627630-10073>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA64674; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:43:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9258504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA11076 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:41:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 12:43:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141743.MAA18166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 12:43:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75b44724d2ded391e6dc392010721600 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627522-10065>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:48:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19736; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:26:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9258013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15088 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:08:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:08:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141808.NAA18697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:08:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1bda7fe737fd7ab4f8e57e9763717c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 128 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 71E8 HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AND IS NOW LOCATED AT APPROXIMATELY 7S7 72E9 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-2671>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 01:30:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12850; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9270925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12832 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151717.MAA03180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd80bd68976ba865da30b26e88d57f51 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4S4 72E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT LIES WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626985-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 01:38:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30564; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9279235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA53330 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161723.MAA03081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e013c006ac7f35a1e69c51031f7cd164 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 711 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 67E3. A 151825Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA11134; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:17:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9291544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:17:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19150 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:15:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:15:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171815.NAA17504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:15:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c417623edaa2ecf101bc9c7e9428390 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.? 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: ?(1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05S5 067E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05S5 063E9. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SEPARATED FROM THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DISPLAYS A SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION AND A 161755Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL. A 171347Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA47982291811 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627463-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 04:09:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21596; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9292815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA58168 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171953.OAA19559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa1cf763b090fecd9172d0577e2eff98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 138 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MA.Y PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DI8RURP: S;NE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4459 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 07:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12968; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9293925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA12932 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA22613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808172243.RAA22613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1b40d4b0ffa72b4e817340612eebda8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 782 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 63E9. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SEPARATED FROM THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DISPLAYS A SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION AND A 161755Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL. A 171347Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627662-25693>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 01:55:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28134; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9301628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA45246 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181743.MAA05647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a126f8264ffa1e7491b100325b7fd3e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 633 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 63E9 HAS DISPERSED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS IN THE AREA, BOTH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA TO BE UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES NO DEFINITIVE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE AREA OF CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-24135>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:06:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA19756; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9311993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39686 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191741.MAA27981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09be4840ba02b8fb93dacfe4cf63fa2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 506 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2525 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626742-23368>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 01:56:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62874; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9324778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28014 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201733.MAA18827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81e5881cb5160afabf4a70e47a679e1e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 179 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-26897>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:29:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA19094; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:14:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9336021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19070 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211713.MAA09788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a53c8ff8b25cca1110dcb6e0b857aa0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3136 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-540>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:20:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30534; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9346680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30514 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221809.NAA25046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 268a12dadb86ec617d9ff01ba6a1fcf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 960 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-27530>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:36:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25108; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9355518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA53252 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231728.MAA05329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/signilnafd To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61eb31aca9247453b04a6694f983ab7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNILNAFD )P?CAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN G0QP)IEA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1808 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627103-27534>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:48:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26350; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9356051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16860 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231837.NAA05873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a233b50870a52baa62b088a3b61f386 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4019 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-27145>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:33:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA42944; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9369654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA20820 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241809.NAA24463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9bc676c098a329d25057226b5f64ff4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 826 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3808 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627706-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:24:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31720; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:14:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9385646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:14:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA31530 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:13:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:12:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251612.LAA17851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:12:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56ac5edc70149850db6bdddebeb12415 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 738 ABIO10 PGTW 250800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/250800Z/251800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 9S9 72E9 OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SEPARATED FROM A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 250052Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 01:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39208; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9386471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39172 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251725.MAA20272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f00f4a208344c0cb7339ec6ac678fe8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 68E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (250052Z4) INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN NOT BE CONFIRMED AT THIS TIME USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE 200 MB SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS DOES INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-22673>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:37:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA35036; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:25:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9387379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21716 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251823.NAA22052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dbd881297fc43b434ec984f61955b974 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 296 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 68E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (250052Z4) INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN NOT BE CONFIRMED AT THIS TIME USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE 200 MB SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS DOES INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 01:56:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627893-1954>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 01:34:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56142; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:24:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9404904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA60218 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:24:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:23:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261723.MAA16250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:23:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52f39be3519353aa811f0f9e7c0ace43 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 462 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IN ADDITION, 261200Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. SINCE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING, THIS AREA REMAINS SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628004-13465>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 01:15:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA64712; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:59:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9426247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:59:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04274 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271650.LAA10893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fb0140c880bf6c578fe2f342c9e2db1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 050 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 61E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 57E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. 270616Z2 SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND 271200Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA AS WELL. ALTHOUGH THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION WARRANT MAINTAINING THE AREA AS SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628210-17377>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:18:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25102; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:02:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9444231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18880 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281801.NAA10193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d68f034b2656ed8c6e78e2fae0eee0d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6S6 57E2 HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS BEEN LESS THAN PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO REGENERATE. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628854-4426>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 01:31:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA16814; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:24:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9457890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:24:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34458 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:24:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291723.MAA27848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:23:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b787b54c99bd45bc9140ce71014ad8f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 583 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628942-3222>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 01:32:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA63558; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:25:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9471153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:25:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19596 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:24:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301724.MAA11683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:24:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a0300b56386f1e1d22a48bd370f0856 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 553 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629418-3350>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:49:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09962; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9482676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22746 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808311737.MAA02176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a98c8464d8a3960b23ff27af4bbcbcd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z AUG 98/011800Z SEP 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4873 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629546-14708>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 02:13:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40074; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9499124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49268 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011758.MAA02452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b68c436f80dae86bc2c1d8dee899d5f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 055 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z SEP 98/021800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627599-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:41:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28956; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9515620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56292 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021720.MAA29056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:20:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20f73260c7187e10ed12b60b0e313e26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z SEP 98/031800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 7S7 90E9. MICROWAVE (012108Z2) AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627728-22342>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:25:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA42974; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:02:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9530072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA62918 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:02:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031202.HAA18727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:02:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca4af92ad4aa2ccc4e26be4303c06655 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 WTIO20 FMEE 031200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/09/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 03/09/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.3S/85.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 0000 UTC: 8.3 SOUTH / 83.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : VERY LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE STRONG GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 00 UTC IF NECESSARY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630106-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA26592; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:45:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9530384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA47568 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:45:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031245.HAA19056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:45:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2c17596cd199a233526ec62a643ac6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 WTIO20 FMEE 031200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/09/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 03/09/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.3S/85.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 0000 UTC: 8.3 SOUTH / 83.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : VERY LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE STRONG GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 00 UTC IF NECESSARY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627774-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:52:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29214; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9536159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44500 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031736.MAA27789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c4bf805d20faeae7201555c515e68f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 591 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z SEP 98/041800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 7S7 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED AT 10S1 85E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 031200Z6 UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, A 031342Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. DUE TO THE GENESIS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THIS AREA IS CONSIDERED FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627731-23661>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:46:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16738; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:27:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9543123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA23634 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:27:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040327.WAA10339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:27:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da60bb7c5adc4ab8bf16b0512931f496 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 2/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S/82.9E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 450 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 1200 UTC: 9.5 SOUTH / 80.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE STRONG GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, AND TO THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 15:32:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627824-29329>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:26:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA59250; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:07:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29028 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:07:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:06:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040606.BAA11908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:06:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbf80165d46d231761b324b90bc12147 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 3/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.4S/80.6E (NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.7 SOUTH / 77.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : VERY LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, AND TO THE RAPID SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 15:32:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629824-18634>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34466; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04748 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040645.BAA12107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56e5a639fab7db5c12740ab4e2701115 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 3/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.4S/80.6E (NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.7 SOUTH / 77.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : VERY LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, AND TO THE RAPID SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 15:32:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3779 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629812-18634>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34484; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:46:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04754 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040645.BAA12111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:45:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d58913594fad8721ce18b835b64f24b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 885 WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 2/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S/82.9E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 450 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 1200 UTC: 9.5 SOUTH / 80.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE STRONG GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, AND TO THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626779-21579>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:29:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA17800; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:17:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9546372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:17:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA48932 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:17:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:17:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041217.HAA14608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:17:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb030a07e50b2520ff28672c3451b46a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 4/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.1S/79.2E (TEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC: 10.8 SOUTH / 76.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. GRADIENT IN THE SOUTH IS BECOMING SLACKER. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TOMORROW AT 00 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627745-21579>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:56:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA45588; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:45:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9546570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA53244 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:45:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041245.HAA14881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:45:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b91886e11f4af4d2f16ed446b533b333 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 814 WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 1200 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 4/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.1S/79.2E (TEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC: 10.8 SOUTH / 76.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. GRADIENT IN THE SOUTH IS BECOMING SLACKER. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TOMORROW AT 00 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627845-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:13:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04282; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:55:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9551339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52092 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:52:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:52:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041752.MAA22075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:52:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c00d62b94998ebec0d672d2a3e91b32 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 627 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z SEP 98/051800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040553 SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6. A 041517Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT 9.5S4 78.4E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO HIGH WIND SHEAR AS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ABOUT 46NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL DEFINED AND IS STILL CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IF THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ABATES AND ALLOWS FOR RENEWED DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTXS21 PGTW 040630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627840-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:08:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA27138; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:48:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9552199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:48:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16828 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:46:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041845.NAA23383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:45:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 589a1bd0a1be0ddbf84ebd0bd2a85b13 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 3/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.4S/80.6E (NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 04/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.7 SOUTH / 77.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : VERY LOCAL GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, DUE TO THE GRADIENT OF PRESSURE WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, AND TO THE RAPID SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 14:28:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627411-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:08:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA53374; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA46698 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050553.AAA02078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50feefed05320154ee3bc9a790cc9580 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 182 WTIO20 FMEE 050000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 5/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1003 HPA POSITION : 10.2S/76.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/09/98 AT 1200 UTC: 10.3 SOUTH / 74.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. GRADIENT IN THE SOUTH IS BECOMING SLACKER. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TODAY AT 06 UTC. = MTORE 916797RE= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 14:28:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3455 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627116-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:07:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA53398; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA55920 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050553.AAA02082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:53:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f3219f354e756264e3218b9a2a69603 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 183 WTIO20 FMEE 050000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 5/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1003 HPA POSITION : 10.2S/76.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/09/98 AT 1200 UTC: 10.3 SOUTH / 74.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. GRADIENT IN THE SOUTH IS BECOMING SLACKER. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TODAY AT 06 UTC. + MTORE 916797RE= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:07:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA41100; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9562328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41082 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051754.MAA06582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8ac1bdae82251438b4dab6789ed0fea X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 489 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050630Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAKES THIS AREA UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627410-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:55:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA59696; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:46:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15130 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:45:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051845.NAA07071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:45:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca585395479758d0e2c6195b68b2aea9 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 972 WTIO20 FMEE 050000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 5/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 05/09/98 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1003 HPA POSITION : 10.2S/76.0E (TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/09/98 AT 1200 UTC: 10.3 SOUTH / 74.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. GRADIENT IN THE SOUTH IS BECOMING SLACKER. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TODAY AT 06 UTC. + MTORE 916797RE= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:22:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27956; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52752 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051910.OAA07292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1d6856a32363691a599b965f4cb5346 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050630Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAKES THIS AREA UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:32:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA60338; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA40080 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051918.OAA07328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d3c642eb5c4440eb261c4af3889a5a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 624 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAM/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98/ REF/A/RM/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEUT GU/050630Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FOGMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AEA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONIQ CIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAMDBOGIS AREA UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONEM WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA67182; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:28:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44282 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:27:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051927.OAA07370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:27:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9d7157b87bf7ba69330e99fe2664939 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 746 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 COR N MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATMER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAM/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98/ REF/A/RM/NAVPIZETOCCEN WEUT GU/050630Z SEP 98/(<#+AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLO N E FOGMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AEA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN ARZA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCA SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE MAGERY INDICAES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WEP0-30-4-53$ >49. 5#3 :9,;3:589,. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONWQPCIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAMDBOGIS AREA UNFAVOROCPNDJVYH DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOOS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT Q=.?. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONEM WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. -JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4304 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625952-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:30:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA38898; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:21:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:21:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA68582 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:21:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060620.BAA12440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:20:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74cc5a0840938b6791370408b4df2bad X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 355 WTIO20 FMEE 060600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 6/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 06/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1003 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S/70.5E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.0 SOUTH / 69.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TODAY AT 12 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626016-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:54:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34848; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:45:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34832 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:45:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060645.BAA12546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:45:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68be974e045581932c337f895e62fd94 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 166 WTIO20 FMEE 060600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 6/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 06/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1003 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S/70.5E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.0 SOUTH / 69.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TODAY AT 12 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 02:40:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626447-8436>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:16:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA67656; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9572159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41506 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061705.MAA16399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58c0bd9b34bc4e5a470ee08ae8d89cdf X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 129 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z SEP 98/071800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626428-8434>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:56:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA67702; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:45:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9573025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28006 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:45:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061845.NAA17492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:45:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5980bdbc411daa3b5560ff8679b82164 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 500 WTIO20 FMEE 060600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 6/A1 BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 06/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1003 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S/70.5E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITH ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 10.0 SOUTH / 69.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SLOW WEAKENING GOES ON WITH PERSISTENT SHEARED CONDITIONS. NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED, ONLY IF NECESSARY, TODAY AT 12 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-1821>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 01:12:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52830; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:02:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9583773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19528 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:01:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071700.MAA29496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:00:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b77395402e697a294875a1e0c5683fa7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 095 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z SEP 98/081800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627929-5181>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 01:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA48906; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9598842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22498 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081717.MAA19767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77ff10dd7fe977ff6c68365d87735135 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626346-14542>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA35898; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9615678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56288 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:55:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091755.MAA18365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:55:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 090800e4751f9f50cc19c6d2ecaf8b1d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.? 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG57872521751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628122-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:14:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52074; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:55:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9632009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52058 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:55:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101754.MAA24748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a08d7335856bfd8ba2dc6a33fd0a8300 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1.NGKNDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEA RDA (2 QJSEST DOAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANA STLMARY: NONE FORECAST TE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-5771>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:43:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15722; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9647210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28230 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111729.MAA21646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f775f12d9e83e3c92fe54214a98b52ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 149 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.? 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG48252541751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627387-5774>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25940; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:44:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9648086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA62268 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:44:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111843.NAA24407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:43:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6c67f7e70b81d69887e7e79d1b2cb49 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// KGWC GREEN FJDG AMBER 3. IF THERE ARE ANY CHANGES IN THIS STATUS OR YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, CALL THE 36 OSS/OSJ AT DSN 349-6227 OR FAX US AT DSN 349-6106. JOHNSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 02:03:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627326-20426>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29386; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9658322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29368 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121730.MAA11965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e2ceba4d3cf9d43ea24a5374599450f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 563 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 02:31:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627712-20425>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23450; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:12:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9658773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:12:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28290 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:12:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:11:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121811.NAA12395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:11:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d08a26ce8735c8d3eada640931434b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN102022+98318;Z SEP 98// RMKHQ QM NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (M VH PENINSULA WE O ZO COAST OF AFCICA-: A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NOMEZ MU TROPICAL DIST YK BSARG MARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIANNOCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMAR MNE LP B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY : NOCE FORECASZ TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIULD/HALL// MPNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 02:26:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-27879>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:43:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA54470; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:27:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9667550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49022 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131726.MAA25780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e455c6c9c59886382277a44bdaa35d18 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 212 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628234-20664>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:53:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA46818; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:29:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9679125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA55688 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141728.MAA15749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3febdd64b900cb19b99d9b8467c0341a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3315 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628435-13811>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA47620; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:49:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9692095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:49:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAB23438 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151748.MAA15451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f2edb12d056f4b9ed471f9024b71445 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 761 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628850-20257>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:18:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28392; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:56:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9710097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:56:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24814 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161754.MAA22638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e11b18570e4c8c22ae20e98abe2797d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 221 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627694-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:06:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24518; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9726559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15270 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171738.MAA23356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48e929c77e5e6ce09e0cc09362adccbf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 732 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627975-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:53:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA63496; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:36:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9742141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:36:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52416 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:35:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:34:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181734.MAA25402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:34:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6b3b8398af836a8d61c7266055ca7de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 091 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626937-15813>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA41744; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:04:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9752690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA45568 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:04:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191803.NAA16104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2af0df34d03df1cba9abf24cdd6229d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627308-22442>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52304; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:59:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9763304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:59:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA45798 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201758.MAA01064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: ($/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00fe9e6c477da93baa87962b794c539b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GD ($/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z SIB;3SRMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627564-16017>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:46:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54308; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9776487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14350 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211830.NAA01764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 264210cd3dfe91e7504a2961eacc42cb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 016 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 93E2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA IS MODERATE AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627754-10304>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:35:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA19172; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:19:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9793180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:19:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57774 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:16:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:16:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221716.MAA25328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:16:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cec68237de294f350e98abfb8defb44a X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 457 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 93E2 IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 08:32:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626533-23922>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 01:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56832; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9811901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA35050 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231705.MAA02280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e224c087e95be86678eb964af17acef X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMIAT=C-)AI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 02:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627735-19058>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:17:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44400; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9849598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34900 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251750.MAA19389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7759e74fcc6ff2bc410ba5a68a50248 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 161 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 86E4. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-12551>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 03:35:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58098; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:13:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9869137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:13:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA59538 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261912.OAA15198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7349eeba4d1a804b1dd77e560bea26e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 86E4 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-24158>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30450; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:17:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:17:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30308 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:16:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:16:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271816.NAA05406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:16:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35db748f6f1d6080dcc158110d0eb0ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 454 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOP?KS?S3 2( B;THER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRCA( +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-24156>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19052; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:41:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54378 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271840.NAA05853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c47a5a91b766d7ae1ead02bab783d21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOP?KS?S3 2( B?THER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRCA( +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:32:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627685-24153>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:25:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA47854; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:55:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:55:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54788 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:53:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:53:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271853.NAA06267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:53:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef21dfdd18a3d229fc6380b1ecdaf774 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A 5 P0L AYCLGFE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 271321Z6 INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION TOWARDS THE CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN, WATER VAPOR WIND DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION ALL INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625983-24156>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:52:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA67632; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9887612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA48896 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271932.OAA07320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf412b1f17337506f530f105dc43b5ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 399 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A 5 P0L AYCLGFE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 271321Z6 INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION TOWARDS THE CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN, WATER VAPOR WIND DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION ALL INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2402 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627883-24782>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:10:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30662; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9906339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44402 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281748.MAA04466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b41ebe596c7ed0058077204d86dd34b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 407 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281521Z9 INDICATED CYCLONICALLY CURVED CLOUD LINES WITH CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM YESTERDAY AT 271730Z1 INDICATED AT LEAST 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WITHIN THE CIRCULATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CONTINUE TO INDICATE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:30:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2464 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627286-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:14:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44094; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:45:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9921727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52530 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:44:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290644.BAA26735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:44:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df8630ac756619e1a3659ab5e69d9b83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/A2 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S/78.6E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.4 SOUTH / 77.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 15:11:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627927-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA56774; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9921769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62386 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290649.BAA26773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d684ab2af018929125b9057c44ea10e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 609 WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/A2 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S/78.6E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.4 SOUTH / 77.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627927-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:21:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA56794; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9921773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62392 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290649.BAA26777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:49:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fa31c043766b51b50dd367d80752faa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 610 WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/A2 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S/78.6E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.4 SOUTH / 77.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627962-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:36:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22156; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:15:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9921926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:15:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24192 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:15:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:15:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290715.CAA27027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:15:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/98 A 0600 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff2e9b3e045dcddeb507106cd5bacbff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 208 WTIO21 FMEE 290600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/98 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 1/A2 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 29/09/98 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1004 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.1S/78.6E (NEUF DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX HUIT DEGRES SIX EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 200 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 29/09/98 A 1800 UTC: 9.4 SUD / 77.2 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS 30KT LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3027 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:36:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41948; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:16:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9921938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:16:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44240 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:16:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:16:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290716.CAA27041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:16:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/98 A 0600 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ea8568bb698a885ca7b608b81ac1aeb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 253 WTIO21 FMEE 290600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/98 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 1/A2 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 29/09/98 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1004 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.1S/78.6E (NEUF DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX HUIT DEGRES SIX EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST-SUD-OUEST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 200 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 29/09/98 A 1800 UTC: 9.4 SUD / 77.2 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS 30KT LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627300-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:57:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA59290; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:33:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9924974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA56718 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:33:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291233.HAA00962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:33:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b578ee783a8810e741cee35de7c8e6d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 490 WTIO21 FMEE 291200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 2/A2 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 29/09/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1002 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.0S/77.7E (NEUF DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX SEPT DEGRES SEPT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST 9 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 30/09/98 A 0000 UTC: 9.1 SUD / 76.0 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS 30KT LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3624 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627983-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:05:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA59144; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:34:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9924978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA41432 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:34:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:34:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291234.HAA00982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:34:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c81c897f702f59f1f3522c3749a5099 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 WTIO21 FMEE 291200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 2/A2 AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 29/09/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1002 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 9.0S/77.7E (NEUF DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX SEPT DEGRES SEPT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT : OUEST 9 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 300 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 30/09/98 A 0000 UTC: 9.1 SUD / 76.0 EST INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : POSSIBILITE DE GRAND FRAIS 30KT LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC L'ANTICYCLONE SITUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627583-17642>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:07:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA55628; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 13:44:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9931884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 13:44:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA59200 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 13:44:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 13:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291844.NAA13205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 13:44:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa1acab66498f55b87c17aa851c8dddf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 405 WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC WARNING NUMBER : 1/A2 BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 29/09/98 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S/78.6E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS IN THE SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/09/98 AT 1800 UTC: 9.4 SOUTH / 77.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOCAL NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT ARE LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628104-17639>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:30:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA40998; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9932298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22268 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291909.OAA13969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9885ab7c9b333590d5abb0a7459d76d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/291353Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 291500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21362721751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4769 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628081-17639>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:16:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA56992; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9932837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA17798 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291954.OAA15339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bf8bdcc20c17cce61553c1a1dfd042b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 507 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/291353Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 291500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21362721751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4540 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626903-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:53:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA45118; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:32:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9940595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA38706 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300332.WAA25665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:32:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 172868bda0218a5d241fee75e1fd8106 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 213 WTIO31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 18.2N1 65.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 65.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.1N0 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 63.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.0N9 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 62.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 18.2N1 65.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WEAK STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED TROUGH TO ITS SOUTH AND THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS SLOW WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 15:07:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 15:01:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA31620; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9942851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21622 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300645.BAA28483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f69de08b6262669372278d48c018f9e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 WTIO31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 18.2N1 65.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 65.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.1N0 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4334 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 63.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.0N9 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 62.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 18.2N1 65.4E5. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4334 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WEAK STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED TROUGH TO ITS SOUTH AND THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS SLOW WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2).// BT #4334 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628093-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:52:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29750; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:27:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9947654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29718 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:27:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301427.JAA06203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c63f0050352ff50e1f6798e659b35985 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 WTIO31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 63.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3N2 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.4N3 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 18.2N1 63.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IN THE ARABIAN SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND 301001Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3237 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:15:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26806; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:58:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:58:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA58770 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:58:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:58:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301458.JAA07226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:58:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82d3bd20fa58a75dde34d6a4af470c70 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 WTIO31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 63.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3N2 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.4N3 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 18.2N1 63.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IN THE ARABIAN SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND 301001Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG56342731355 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628096-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:20:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA35842; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:00:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:00:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA31686 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:00:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:00:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301500.KAA07262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0e0e3d69e38a38c3454f828c5dc20d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 264 WTIO31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 63.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3N2 62.2E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.4N3 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 18.2N1 63.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IN THE ARABIAN SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND 301001Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS WEATHER AGENCY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5).// BT #5634 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626697-17077>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:14:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14544; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9951637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56986 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301744.MAA12706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a23cb51cd3c6107b6facb0fe1bd8274 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 532 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z SEP 98/011800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301355Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300755Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 9.6S5 76.5E8 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS NO LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 300900Z2. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628025-17073>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:17:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52474; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9951836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56264 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301751.MAA13013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f22da3ddb2a6fb21efda66b3b43f518 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z SEP 98/011800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301355Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300755Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 9.6S5 76.5E8 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS NO LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 300900Z2. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627564-17077>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:56:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13640; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:34:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9952850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA37684 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:34:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:34:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301834.NAA14654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:34:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5415c377b75d925a213d091b674cb6d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 734 WTIO31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 63.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3N2 62.2E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.4N3 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 18.2N1 63.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IN THE ARABIAN SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND 301001Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS WEATHER AGENCY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG62862731827 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628025-17077>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13810; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:39:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9952920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:39:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30438 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:39:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:38:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301838.NAA14853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:38:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94bd53e640b8cca0384696a03ad31ff1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 839 WTIO31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 63.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3N2 62.2E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6286 UNCLAS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.4N3 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 18.2N1 63.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IN THE ARABIAN SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6286 UNCLAS EXTRAPOLATION AND 301001Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS WEATHER AGENCY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5).// BT #6286 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627036-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 11:55:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA45776; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9964706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45822 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:29:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010329.WAA26504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:29:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acb964bb337154ed81d1c3d59ba0b25b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 WTIO31 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 17.7N5 63.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 63.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.4N2 62.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.3N1 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 17.6N4 63.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM 302001Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301701Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 302001Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE 301701Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A CONTINUES TO HAVE AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL AND ITS MAIN CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626678-5814>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:41:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44038; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:24:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9969500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:24:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67800 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:24:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:24:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010424.XAA27132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:24:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5336d69cabd147d7bbcbec1a58681289 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 327 WTIO31 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8526 UNCLAS 010000Z1 --- 17.7N5 063.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 63.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.4N2 062.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.3N1 061.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8526 UNCLAS REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 17.6N4 063.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM 302001Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301701Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 302001Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE 301701Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A CONTINUES TO HAVE AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL AND ITS MAIN CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8526 UNCLAS BT #8526 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627730-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 23:56:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14510; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:30:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10086960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:30:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA33852 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:09:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:09:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011809.NAA09847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:09:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9dddc766512d617e0cc79bcf9364e34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 518 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z OCT 98/021800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010155Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011351Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 17.7N5 63.2E1 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 010300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SOME CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 62E8 AND IS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A. A PARTIAL SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 010616Z4 INDICATED THAT 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING ACROSS THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 13.4S8 71.2E0 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE RE-GENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627991-2415>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:34:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52644; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10091480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA43668 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021815.NAA09059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0513bc4be0e25858a80ff68cbff117e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z OCT 98/031800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 62E8 IS NOW NEAR 20N9 59E4 AND IS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A. CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED, DISSIPATED AND RE-DEVELOPED OVER THIS AREA FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. CURRENTLY, MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 021613Z3 INDICATED THAT THE CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE WILL PROBABLY INTERACT WITH LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 16.4S1 69.8E3 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626666-4103>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 16:43:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12066; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10114610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA13044 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040830.DAA03459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b8f438bb01139f45f060ce2bb95651a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 630 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 JUST OFFSHORE IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE AREA ITSELF HAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626462-4106>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 17:23:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA12934; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10114664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA09826 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040903.EAA03609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec6b54e5dfcd581fd277d5c1b066dcda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 JUST OFFSHORE IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE AREA ITSELF HAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 08:51:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626690-4104>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:46:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA67610; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10118466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA56838 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041833.NAA07969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e83f7002c6c872cf7d0b1ea8b67c96f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 417 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 100E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF THAILAND. WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 08:51:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-4104>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:38:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA35308; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10119023 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44246 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041925.OAA08755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cf1f6326ddbaa82bf3f6849f0052c66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 100E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF THAILAND. WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 13:34:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625885-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:04:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45100; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10124621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA09732 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050445.XAA18322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2618b9ee241553be87eaa8ab5dca3425 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 567 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGIDWENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORHH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO TANTTE ANDAMAN SE A. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CPVNMWON WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SQJCVOYOMETER DATA ANE IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAHOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWCUPPER-LEVELOUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. 923;34, ZYE ARSA ITSELIHAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUO SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 VMTPBMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVVBVQMOPT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): 88)-. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAGSDISTURBANCE SKVMARY: NONE. -3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-IS SUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAMAPLUNSFORD/9#,-9,/TIRSCHEL//2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 13:34:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626519-28312>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:03:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12234; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10124655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA64664 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050450.XAA18340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c548f371f99b592174f77bf4792a2af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGIDWENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORHH INDIAN OCSKN ZJEAL(MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO TANTTE ANDAMAN SE A. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CPVNMWON WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SQJCVOYOMETER DATA ANE IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAHOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWCUPPER-LEVELOUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. 923?34, ZYE ARSA ITSELIHAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUO SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 VMTPBMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVVBVQMOPT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): 88)-. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAGSDISTURBANCE SKVMARY: NONE. -3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-IS SUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAMAPLUNSFORD/9?,-9,/TIRSCHEL//2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:19:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3239 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-28315>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:02:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA33864; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10130527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12860 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051644.LAA00422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Enadmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ef55a3e5f0aaf463db65b64db4b5380 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 132 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGIDLX ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIXICANTPQFVUIAG WMNMGEH AJISORY FOR THE IN2-, OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY POPINSULA WEST TO COAST OFN AFRICA): - NKLTRTPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMJRY: (1) HHE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 S NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 1#0E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CFONBGAS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SXPOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF THAILAND. WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED AINDSTEW P ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTEPBPALPXOL.;;3,5 9> - SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICZWWIY QHAIT W P WRI EPPIO RPPMI IRIEPD KIPMEE QPEQQ TOPWP IWIQE IRYKVKPXOTOW EWRYP EXXXX QPWYE WPWEO EPPUI R P QPQ IEO IKBLEEE QPWOR TOPWY IEIQE IQOEP OTEEIV 65599 32360 7//// 10260 20231 30017 40091 85270 333 10301 59023 827Y ITIQNBWUEYPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:19:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627558-28312>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:32:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA55558; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10131685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14838 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051812.NAA03218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8378aa9c6a7dbc9e13c5bb0a0cbab60e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 414 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 100E1 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627639-9467>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:24:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13698; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10149301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13676 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:56:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061756.MAA27136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:56:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c70f8de4dfc701cde5a348956a1c827f Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/060759Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 13N4 072E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT FOR 18 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LARGE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED OFF THE WEST COAST OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS AND SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT. ALTHOUGH SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ANIMATED IMAGERY SUGGESTS SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 086E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LARGE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED OFF THE EAST COAST OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 11S2 091E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A (WTXS 21 PGTW 060800)). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A 061147Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627734-14067>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:01:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24570; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10164604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39630 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071740.MAA24218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21a8d7b72345be35ce966e3f3f4d57e8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/071355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WAS LOCATED AT 12.0S3 093.9E1, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 072E9 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 069E5. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING WITH SHEAR OCCURRING OVER THE SYSTEM. WIND SHEAR CHARTS FORECAST THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO LESSEN OVER THE SYSTEM AFTER 24 HOURS AND SO THE POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT EXISTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD CIRCULATION REMAINS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA IS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A HIGH WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE, THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 091E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 094E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-14067>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:14:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52260; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10164875 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA33802 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071752.MAA24640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93deb50676d34fa16a4eafa9675696bd Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 290 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/071355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WAS LOCATED AT 12.0S3 093.9E1, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 072E9 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 069E5. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING WITH SHEAR OCCURRING OVER THE SYSTEM. WIND SHEAR CHARTS FORECAST THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO LESSEN OVER THE SYSTEM AFTER 24 HOURS AND SO THE POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT EXISTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD CIRCULATION REMAINS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA IS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A HIGH WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE, THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 091E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 094E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626563-16794>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:05:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54726; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:48:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10170381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA52410 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:48:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080148.UAA07073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:48:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ff51de1fae22c0a54b2cb03e8060cbc Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 912 WTIO21 PGTW 080030 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2870 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080029Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 12.7N0 67.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 071800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 68.7E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 071317Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 071800Z6 SHIP REPORTS CONFIRM THE POSITION OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. THE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2870 UNCLAS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED TOWARDS THE WEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090030Z2.// BT #2870 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626040-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:16:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38834; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:02:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10170562 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA66192 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:02:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080202.VAA07458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:02:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 080029z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68e9af6dc529e357b4c0d3a4e6218546 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 132 WTIO21 PGTW 080030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080029Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 12.7N0 67.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 071800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 68.7E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 071317Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 071800Z6 SHIP REPORTS CONFIRM THE POSITION OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED TOWARDS THE WEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090030Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627835-16793>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA59360; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10178099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54684 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081813.NAA23525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 800ec5e847e9a93dd7728a51dd7c6cb8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/080029Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/081355Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 69E5 IS NOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR 13N4 70E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (081422Z7) AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION AROUND THE OUTER EDGES. SHIP OBSERVATIONS (080600Z4) REPORTED 30 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION WERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STRONGEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (TCFA) SEE REFERENCE A FOR TCFA DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (TC 03S)WAS LOCATED AT 15.1S7 095.3E7, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626046-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 08:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA62618; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:30:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10182969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA14478 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090030.TAA03343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:30:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/080029z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b84dd95a8218481fd3fce1151da40857 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 203 WTIO21 PGTW 090030 090029Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080029Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 080030)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 13.0N4 67.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 081955Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 69.8E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 .7E B#+RE MICROWAVE SATEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626373-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30874; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:47:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10183048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:47:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA30856 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:47:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090047.TAA03477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 19:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/080029z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 549d0ad48a757c1c0dc110d60425df7d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 861 WTIO21 PGTW 090030 090029Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080029Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 080030)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 13.0N4 67.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 081955Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 69.8E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 081415Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREA IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED TOWARDS THE WEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100030Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-26109>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:27:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA63032; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:12:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10183364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:12:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA64556 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:12:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090112.UAA04074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:12:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/080029z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a51b47149ac53cdd8fe3b56f865f9064 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 WTIO21 PGTW 090030 090029Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080029Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 080030)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 13.0N4 67.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 081955Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 69.8E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6793 UNCLAS HOURS. 081415Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREA IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED TOWARDS THE WEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100030Z4.// BT #6793 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2001 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-28866>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30402; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA38832 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810101919.OAA18734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb23e4bc8028e4dee781eeb514b245da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 058 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/101355Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 70E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF INDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICCYCO FORMATION ALERT (TCFA) SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6S0 95.4E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOURS. SEE REF B FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627193-28866>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 04:05:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA37848; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63148 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810101935.OAA18876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ef2a452775eef101eb4639f1cd8c0f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 211 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/101355Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 70E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF INDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICCYCO FORMATION ALERT (TCFA) SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6S0 95.4E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOURS. SEE REF B FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4444 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 13:29:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59692; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:10:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:09:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26730 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:07:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:07:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110507.AAA23210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:07:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Vpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 764e054f30a2c43b11470b3ff941f9bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 123 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMINHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OCEAN/10UPVZ/111800Z OCT 98OLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQETTZ OCT 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: CONE. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATEDO TO BE 100< MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN HHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOQT ORICCFV8::6:9 >94.-589, -)345 (TCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. # (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXIGJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 13:38:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39606; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:22:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:22:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39590 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:22:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:21:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110521.AAA23368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:21:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Vpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95d265f51aced84428ca7df6fbeae857 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMINHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OCEAN/10UPVZ/111800Z OCT 98OLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQETTZ OCT 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: CONE. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATEDO TO BE 100? MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN HHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOQT ORICCFV8::6:9 ?94.-589, -)345 (TCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. ? (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXIGJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4942 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 13:40:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04098; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:27:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA46582 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:27:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110527.AAA23423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:27:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Cancellation 110029z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bddca1cd611d5bd29ff80ce4da946d2e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 531 WTIO21 PGTW 110030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 110029Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100029Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 100030)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THIS AREA IS EXPERIENCING CONSTANT SHEAR AND, IN SPITE OF CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT WESTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTH, HAS FAILED TO ESTABLISH A CONSISTENT CENTRAL VORTEX WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3507 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:14:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA59662; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:00:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:00:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52480 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:00:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA23957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:00:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110700.CAA23957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:00:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/100029z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 143b8618f7e5a1f4d0c1068efad8de7a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 471 WTIO21 PGTW 110030 CANCELLATION 110029Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100029Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 100030)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4750 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THIS AREA IS EXPERIENCING CONSTANT SHEAR AND, IN SPITE OF CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT WESTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTH, HAS FAILED TO ESTABLISH A CONSISTENT CENTRAL VORTEX WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.// BT #4750 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627632-22732>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 01:00:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA39580; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48732 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111638.LAA26654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Vsgid/genadmimhfn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a038177c808d4ae6f25f11ffadc638f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 705 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 CO VSGID/GENADMIMHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OVON(UQUPVZ/111800Z TCTPOIOLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQSOTZ OC 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. THOPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: COMA. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102;+4 MICROAVE IMAGER PAPS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDEX ZH THIS BROAD AFEA OF MONSOON TROUGHINX WES OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WAER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TOSREMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEA. MIIMUM KCSTAINED WIMGBLARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSUYMBIS OBOIMATEDO TO BE 108? MB. THEOPOTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOIMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN YHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOUCBMRICCFVICCYCO BORMATION JLERT KTCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. ? (2) XO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH IND AN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXILJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-22728>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 01:15:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30784; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:57:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA49530 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111650.LAA26727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Vsgid/genadmimhfn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 662ba335b97a13a5bc0e10a27a130591 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 VSGID/GENADMIMHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OVON(UQUPVZ/111800Z TCTPOIOLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQSOTZ OC 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. THOPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: COMA. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102?+4 MICROAVE IMAGER PAPS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDEX ZH THIS BROAD AFEA OF MONSOON TROUGHINX WES OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WAER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TOSREMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEA. MIIMUM KCSTAINED WIMGBLARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSUYMBIS OBOIMATEDO TO BE 108? MB. THEOPOTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOIMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN YHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOUCBMRICCFVICCYCO BORMATION JLERT KTCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. ? (2) XO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH IND AN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXILJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627542-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:13:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04120; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10191529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04104 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111755.MAA27311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5490e1105f288f0cc53a1d270c95f5f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 949 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13N4 72E9 HAS DISSIPATED. A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED LOCATED NEAR 15N6 65E1. THIS AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 10 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CYCLONIC TURNING. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY ANIMATION AND SHEAR CHARTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627526-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:15:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04350; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10191548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39386 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111759.MAA27346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5270457132b232fb975d76dfbf8effed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13N4 72E9 HAS DISSIPATED. A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED LOCATED NEAR 15N6 65E1. THIS AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 10 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CYCLONIC TURNING. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY ANIMATION AND SHEAR CHARTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 03:45:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627876-6147>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:49:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26438; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10204539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA54530 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121733.MAA12104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79d9a34959b94e55a40c004eccd92f7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 215 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 15N6 65E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 62E8. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627995-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:37:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15152; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10219563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA43534 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131821.NAA07728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 375eb24fcc89366cdef5d926cb06eb82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 314 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 15N6 62E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 66E2. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 82E0 JUST OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. 131200Z7 SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628249-23186>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:46:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18744; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10234522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15344 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141824.NAA02419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4ea29a709af1f78298dbf8156678efc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 435 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 66E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 62E8. THIS AREA REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN QUITE SPORADIC OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 82E0 JUST OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. 141200Z8 SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4705 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628323-23190>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:45:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA54918; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:25:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10235148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24662 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:24:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:24:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141924.OAA04152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:24:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e14c5455e55b47cf0d4082848c127752 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 619 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 66E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 62E8. THIS AREA REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN QUITE SPORADIC OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 82E0 JUST OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. 141200Z8 SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 13:27:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 13:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59898; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:09:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26658 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:05:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:05:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150505.AAA13410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:05:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significannxkopin To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e95e26e51c9f94360eee5beeb9c85894 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGIKKGENADMIN/CCPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANNXKOPIN WEATHER DVISORY FOR OHE INDIAN FZOCEAN/141880Z.151800MLOCT 98// YMKS/ 1. NMRTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAS OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BO THE BROAD MONSOON OUGHING EXTENDINGNKVTHE NORTHERN RABIAN SEA ACROSS ,8,59 5#3 ?-6 9> ?9<-). ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-VEEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS AN IATED INFRPFOGLIMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEM QUITE SPORADIC OVEC THE PAST 12 HOURS.-MAXIMUM SUSTAINED INDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MNIMUM SA LEVEL PRESSURE IS JICIATED O BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ISX994. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOASLY LOCMMMGLNEAR 10,6 82E0 IS NOW LOCUTED NEAR 16N7 82E0 .=7-5 9>> 5#3 3--535, :9--- 9> 8,$8-. THE NONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS NFDWSTED FOR THE POL24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENFINL FROM VGE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS KNDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENO L. 1412 Z SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHXW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATSLLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPECFBOO BE INHIBITQNG DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 GWSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICA DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECASTTEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 13:58:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 13:37:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA10272; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:12:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA43634 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:11:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150511.AAA13582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:11:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significannxkopin To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 112a709f4959d807f1526828a5591718 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGIKKGENADMIN/CCPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANNXKOPIN WEATHER DVISORY FOR OHE INDIAN FZOCEAN/141880Z.151800MLOCT 98// YMKS/ 1. NMRTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAS OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BO THE BROAD MONSOON OUGHING EXTENDINGNKVTHE NORTHERN RABIAN SEA ACROSS ,8,59 5?3 ?-6 9? ?9?-). ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-VEEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS AN IATED INFRPFOGLIMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEM QUITE SPORADIC OVEC THE PAST 12 HOURS.-MAXIMUM SUSTAINED INDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MNIMUM SA LEVEL PRESSURE IS JICIATED O BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ISX994. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOASLY LOCMMMGLNEAR 10,6 82E0 IS NOW LOCUTED NEAR 16N7 82E0 .=7-5 9?? 5?3 3--535, :9--- 9? 8,?8-. THE NONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS NFDWSTED FOR THE POL24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENFINL FROM VGE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS KNDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENO L. 1412 Z SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHXW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATSLLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPECFBOO BE INHIBITQNG DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 GWSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICA DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECASTTEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628394-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:25:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA42952; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA52326 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151106.GAA16353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b5549d20efc41db9ee5361bf7e96d3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 WTIO21 PGTW 150900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 150855Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 325 NM RADIUS OF 16.9N6 63.5E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 150701Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 62.9E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS AND A 141850Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL. DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628424-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA42794; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:57:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA42772 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:57:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151157.GAA16813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:57:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3ccc7cf6f318849228660795db70e1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 362 WTIO21 PGTW 150900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 150855Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 325 NM RADIUS OF 16.9N6 063.5E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8110 UNCLAS BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 150701Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 062.9E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS AND A 141850Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL. DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 160900Z6.// BT #8110 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4466 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628423-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:25:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15712; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:06:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246536 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:06:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA14420 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:06:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:06:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151206.HAA16949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:06:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e46d668de3481df1ff875a617a647e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 547 WTIO21 PGTW 150900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 150855Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 325 NM RADIUS OF 16.9N6 063.5E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8150 UNCLAS BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 150701Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 062.9E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS AND A 141850Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL. DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 160900Z6.// BT #8150 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 11:44:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:41:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA25062; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:29:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA43738 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:29:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160329.WAA05729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:29:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Calcutt?p To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89c334be1bddbd854b557e84b8b70f1e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 839 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 IMMEDIATE DELIVEDP LBML CALCUTT?P AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 14:07:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:43:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54666; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:28:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10259124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA41038 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:28:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160428.XAA06320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:28:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c148b553c4d2a7d342e8a67af056558 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1282 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 17.0N8 65.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 65.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.3N1 67.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.7N5 68.3E7 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1282 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.1N0 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.5N4 69.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1282 UNCLAS REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 17.1N9 66.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS FORMED IN THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AND IS TRACKING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. ALTHOUGH IT EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT THE MOMENT, TC05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING BECAUSE THE NOGAPS NUMERICAL MODEL PROGNOSTIC SERIES INDICATES THAT THE SHEAR SHOULD RELAX, PRODUCING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR VERY IMPRESSIVE IN THE IR IMAGERY AT THE MOMENT, BUT WE HAVE DECIDED TO COMMENCE WARNING ON IT BASED ON A 1518Z ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH A BAND OF 35 KNOT WINDS TO ITS SOUTH. WE EXPECT 05A TO CONTINUE EASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD, MOVING WITH THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16000Z7 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150855Z OCT 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 150900 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9).// BT #1282 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 14:07:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:10:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA50140; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:48:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10259224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA54992 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:48:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160448.XAA06548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:48:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 834cd65925be9223ec7f87f278c29eda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1406 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 17.0N8 65.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 65.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.3N1 67.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.7N5 68.3E7 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1406 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.1N0 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.5N4 69.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1406 UNCLAS REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 17.1N9 66.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS FORMED IN THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AND IS TRACKING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. ALTHOUGH IT EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT THE MOMENT, TC05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING BECAUSE THE NOGAPS NUMERICAL MODEL PROGNOSTIC SERIES INDICATES THAT THE SHEAR SHOULD RELAX, PRODUCING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR VERY IMPRESSIVE IN THE IR IMAGERY AT THE MOMENT, BUT WE HAVE DECIDED TO COMMENCE WARNING ON IT BASED ON A 1518Z ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH A BAND OF 35 KNOT WINDS TO ITS SOUTH. WE EXPECT 05A TO CONTINUE EASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD, MOVING WITH THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16000Z7 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150855Z OCT 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 150900 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9).// BT #1406 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626300-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:09:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA30764; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:52:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10264331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:52:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA63766 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:52:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA14345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:52:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161552.KAA14345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:52:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8aa0adc4d140805a119048a647b6ce6f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 346 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 18.3N2 068.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 068.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 19.5N5 070.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.5N7 072.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.1N4 073.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.2N5 074.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 18.6N5 069.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161101Z0 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD IN STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD BUT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO 40 KNOTS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL AT THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628846-17769>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 01:02:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA64614; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:46:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10265034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA67610 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161645.LAA15597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 785e3c57c8e867658a0d1804682bfe63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 506 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSCLONE 05A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627698-17769>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 01:08:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30580; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:46:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10265038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29216 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161645.LAA15605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:45:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7e4f37ca4a6e17b11816d9b5558471c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 507 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3609 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 18.3N2 068.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 068.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 19.5N5 070.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.5N7 072.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3609 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.1N4 073.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.2N5 074.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 18.6N5 069.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3609 UNCLAS AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161101Z0 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD IN STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD BUT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO 40 KNOTS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL AT THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2).// BT #3609 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3115 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628846-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 01:35:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12040; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:15:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10265480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:15:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA43772 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:15:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:15:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161715.MAA16255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:15:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 440ae1c77f5f6b13f1e616a615eca56f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 086 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3708 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 18.3N2 068.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 068.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 19.5N5 070.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.5N7 072.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3708 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.1N4 073.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.2N5 074.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 18.6N5 069.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3708 UNCLAS AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161101Z0 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD IN STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD BUT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO 40 KNOTS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL AT THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2).// BT #3708 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628843-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:31:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA48762; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA67670 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161815.NAA17544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d45af458e7b848ba214ce491ac51ba0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 068.6E0 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 64E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628870-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22124; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:35:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30224 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:32:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161832.NAA17973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:32:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 519856a4c10b1b24541932bb144ed4c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 691 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 068.6E0 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 64E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 12:42:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA48816; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:15:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39588 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:15:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:15:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170415.XAA25349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:15:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c537d3e7e21709ecabf4b745ac6b9abf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 447 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFIE2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626715-20603>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 12:57:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38834; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:19:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:19:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA12196 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:19:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:19:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170419.XAA25362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:19:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9f8b38ce73308ec4cf466180be77719 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 500 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 22.9N3 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4N9 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162302Z02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS ALREADY APPROACHING LANDFALL AS IT IS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AS IT REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. WITH THIS MOVEMENT, TC 05A SHOULD MAKE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0).// BT #6219 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626961-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 12:39:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38660; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:22:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:22:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67316 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:22:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:22:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170422.XAA25447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:22:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e858d6cdb819866c20afe65ab1d4bfcf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 577 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DEL VERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT AST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 )-5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFIE2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-20603>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 12:47:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12242; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:30:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22178 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:29:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170429.XAA25478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:29:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26eb2b956a52845cf9fb0166759823bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 689 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DEL VERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT AST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WINGBGR USPQ I MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 )-5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFIE2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626935-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 12:50:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA56964; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:33:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA12152 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:33:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170433.XAA25507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:33:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbd4cbee98d94fbd3b0b648ee6e758d2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 781 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DEL VERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORT IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6219 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT AST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WINGBGR USPQ I MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 T REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HCS, VALIDMIPUAAAAI MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFIE2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1771 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-20603>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:03:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA63814; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:35:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:35:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14392 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:35:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170435.XAA25527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:35:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1166b88fbde5cd3ae60be086dc73f26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 795 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 22.9N3 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4N9 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162302Z02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS ALREADY APPROACHING LANDFALL AS IT IS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AS IT REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. WITH THIS MOVEMENT, TC 05A SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627077-20602>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:13:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54268; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:37:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:37:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA63908 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:36:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:36:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170436.XAA25540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:36:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62d9d2715771c7042afaab40a6d2ab84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 827 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6263 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 22.9N3 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6263 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4N9 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162302Z02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS ALREADY APPROACHING LANDFALL AS IT IS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AS IT REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. WITH THIS MOVEMENT, TC 05A SHOULD MAKE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6263 UNCLAS LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0).// BT #6263 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626961-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:07:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA57574; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:41:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA63956 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:41:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:41:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170441.XAA25565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:41:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediatobrocpery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee92657eef8257d8cdd7cf76e20cf438 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATOBROCPERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3,5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SAELITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBOION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 , MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT KRRRLP88 ;3:594 59 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT RRRPP : REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162302Z02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEV ISF ZWZXW88 , 285# ;346 )855)3 :9,;3:589,. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY I DPCATES THE CONVECTION IS ALREADY APPROACHING LANDFALL ASIT IS SHEJRED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A SHOULD CONTINUE TRA-$ ,945#3--52-4$ 8, 5#3 -53348,< 8, 5#3 .9,-99, 5497<#. WITH THIS MOVEMENT, TC 05A SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PLNW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z73$/ $ 5< 180155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:10:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54090; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:45:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA63806 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:45:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170445.XAA25621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:45:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Reqpto Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfbd7e0863186421299099f770d240b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 947 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQPTO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINTRBUADWSASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6263 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 20.3N5 69.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT QIPPPPZ9 --- 22.9N3 72.3E2 MAX SBM SJE2 -6-0- 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6263 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4N9 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND +REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST LY HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION S BASED ON 162302Z02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. T O PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6263 UNC AS LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.-#TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPIK CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626961-20603>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:06:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54256; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:51:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA55010 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:51:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170451.XAA25643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:51:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediatobrocpery Req To Amembassy Colombo Anbm To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 155fc3b7df74eafb041137bcbcd09d73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIAOE DELIVERY RE TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAT IMMEDIATOBROCPERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO ANBM QMNSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURALE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOYIV GBCFBD NC P FR MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 T REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 69.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 , MAX USTAINED WINKAGA PEP KT, GUSTS 040 KT KRRRLP88 3:594 59 24 HR POSITBC PYP DEG/ 10 KTS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT RRRPP :9 REMARKS: 178300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. 5#3 2-4,8,< 09-8589, 8- ?--3$ 9, 162302Z02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PREVIOUS SCATOEROMETER PASS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW-LEV ISF ZWZXW88 , 285$ 346 )855)3 :9, 3:589,. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY I DPCATES THE CONVECTION IS ALREADY APPROACHING LANDFALL ASIT IS SHEJRER;HARDEM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A SHOULD CONTINUE TRA- ,945$3--52-4 8, 5$3 -53348, 8, 5$3 .9,-99, 5497 $. WITH THIS MOVEMENT, TC 05A SHOULD MAKE LANDFALLLUIUW ZAAJI SJT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PLNW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z73/ 5 180155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627007-20603>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:41:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56316; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:13:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10275707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:13:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30362 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:06:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170506.AAA25782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:06:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediatobrocpery Req To Amembassy Colombo Anbm To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80c21bdc4e31aae50468f49642cf4d61 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 216 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIAOE DELIVERY RE TO AOCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAT IMMEDIATOBROCPERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO ANBM QMNSUL MADJAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 85ALPNSBAB NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAIMEDIWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVNY QNRGZL WARNINGPPOSIT I MMVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 $<433- -5 10 KTS POSITION ACCURALE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOYIV GBCFBD NC P FR MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 T REPEAT POSIT: 20.3 GT YOMTE0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS9 VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 70.5E2 , MAX USTAINED WINKAGA NAGE, GUSTS 040 KT KRRRLP88 -:594 59 24 HR POSITBC PYP DEG/ 10 KTS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, IAEP KT RRRPP :9 REMARKS: 178300Z1 POSQTION 20.7N9 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. 5$3 2-4,8, -09-8589, 8- ?--3 9, 162302;+02 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WAR ING INTENSITY ZAAJI SJT 1 HOURS AS A MINIM L TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND TH OUGHOUT THE PERIOD.;0TC 05A SHOULD DISSIPAGFVLG RLLNIFINANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PLNW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z73/ 5 180155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627821-20603>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 04:16:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA12066; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:48:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10283417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67606 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:48:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810171948.OAA01073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:48:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a5008e26064d84773165a5c573f61dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 WTIO31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7988 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 21.1N4 69.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 69.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.9N2 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7988 UNCLAS 181200Z2 --- 22.7N1 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.2N7 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 23.5N0 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 21.3N6 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7988 UNCLAS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 170730Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED FROM THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AS IT REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. TC 05A IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3).// BT #7988 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627825-20597>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 04:13:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA35192; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:51:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10283492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24684 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:51:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:51:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810171951.OAA01108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:51:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32973cff32bd8a3b4e9d4817547c4393 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 526 WTIO31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 004 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7989 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 21.1N4 69.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 69.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.9N2 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7989 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.7N1 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.2N7 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 23.5N0 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 21.3N6 69.8E3. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7989 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 170730Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED FROM THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AS IT REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. TC 05A IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3).// BT #7989 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627824-20597>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 04:32:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56820; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:06:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10283737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:06:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30436 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:06:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:06:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172006.PAA01366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:06:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72c3fb5118111f3a1b2af26946e6b637 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 WTIO31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8002 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 21.1N4 69.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 69.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.9N2 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8002 UNCLAS 181200Z2 --- 22.7N1 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.2N7 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 23.5N0 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 21.3N6 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8002 UNCLAS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 170730Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A REMAINS A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED FROM THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AS IT REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. TC 05A IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 05A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TC 05A IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3).// BT #8002 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4232 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:14:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA63866; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:02:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:02:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30286 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181801.NAA10569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37efc3c1ab8617e74473e8859891f405 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 820 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627546-18315>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:23:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA48944; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:12:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:12:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63930 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181810.NAA10616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4f1f25b714f94584422569d3217d89e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 903 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628274-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:15:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40692; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA40672 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191756.MAA00624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2610062a8fd939e0fe96fda0ede2d298 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628902-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:37:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09820; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA09772 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191817.NAA01333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72bfb885e5347da1382aec86af0c0be9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629005-2043>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52480; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10330914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52718 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201809.NAA26360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5db6d3589ac8b33d76907f561ad8949c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 578 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629014-2049>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:22:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA56772; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:52:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10331275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30882 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:51:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201851.NAA27571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:51:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91fbab2f63e83c1bd9804c38c7314a0d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:25:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1873 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627411-7239>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA35110; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:53:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10349739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24250 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211852.NAA24448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78e4f5631d0fa72c932578a7395a04f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 277 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210651Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6. ALTHOUGH THE LATEST INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS NO ASSOCIATED ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE PRODUCED. THIS AREA MAY BE EXPERIENCING A TEMPORARY WEAKENING. NEARBY PRESSURES REMAIN LOW AND UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW). SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 03:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627965-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:46:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA49128; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10369983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA49070 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221830.NAA17558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c25eabb084243c52a12929c64ba3011 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTXS21 PGTW 220700)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW) AND HAS SINCE BEEN CANCELLED. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 03:55:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1173 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626926-18241>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:51:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30392; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:27:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10371128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64618 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:26:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:26:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221926.OAA19083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:26:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c85ca48d68c449f43689d9e480b83cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTXS21 PGTW 220700)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW) AND HAS SINCE BEEN CANCELLED. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627189-6318>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:01:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44346; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA54056 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230446.XAA27256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00274d6d2c72a2f3db6fc04626de788f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 025 ABIO10 PGTW 230500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230500Z/231800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6S6 75E2, JUST NORTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. 221752Z9 SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN INTENSITY OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. 222100Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3353 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626910-6324>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:03:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04268; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA37750 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230451.XAA27275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed9344657af3f71641c1c5ffe7534df7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 077 ABIO10 PGTW 230500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230500Z/231800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6S6 75E2, JUST NORTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. 221752Z9 SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN INTENSITY OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. 222100Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 17:11:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-2909>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24742; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17044 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230750.CAA28379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7fd49f57d713986ee86290b806ba84d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICNCBQYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTXS21 PGTW 220700)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMNFXKAPNONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW) AND HAS SINCE BEEN CANCELLED. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NOO 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCYE // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627483-2909>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:53:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54984; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:35:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10388094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:35:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04116 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:33:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231833.NAA08454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d37f616013a1f4a8e60987b6d8c8fb0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 986 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 75E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. 231414Z5 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA IS SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION BY A DISTANCE OF APPROXIMATELY 90NM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627458-2904>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:46:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA04200; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10388780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA54872 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231926.OAA10107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c21c42b04b4b56a0bd368a266cb0eb1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 343 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 75E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. 231414Z5 MICROWAVE SATEDLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA IS SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION BY A DISTANCE OF APPROXIMATELY 90NM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4444 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627358-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16948; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10402832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA49958 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241816.NAA23095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c8d67456c23b96ddb0b063de4830465 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2S2 83E1. ANIMATED AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OFNHD TK REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628043-8407>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:18:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA17044; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA59760 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241905.OAA23854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e592fdcfa2a8222b9d1ae598814e73f7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 219 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2S2 83E1. ANIMATED AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OFNHD TK REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 04:09:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1285 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-27945>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 04:01:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA40036; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10417966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:35:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32578 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251935.NAA07370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03f5360c0c93f74163fef8baa8b24eb1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 355 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2S2 83E1 IS NOW DISSIPATED INTO A BROAD AREA OF SHALLOW CONVECTION. A 251448Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. ANIMATED AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES NO SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION AS WELL AS UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR OVER THE AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3304 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628124-26675>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA88294; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10432151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26284 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261801.MAA25921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98fd87f873b1c10f6aa7d51237f6f8f3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 13N4 88E6. ALTHOUGH A 261435Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATED NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA SYNOPTICALLY ANALYZED FOR CYCLONIC VORTICITY. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES ONLY SOME DIVERGENCE WITHIN THE MODERATELY SHEARING EASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628368-24216>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 02:41:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44084; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:23:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10450016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:23:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA115440 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271822.MAA24282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a17a938949522668d20ab4b77d13f0bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 85E3. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH 271435Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IS EVIDENT IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 17:40:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3758 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-17706>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 14:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32580; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10458833 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32562 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280645.AAA08350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b58ca58c149ab9428fd75a3cbf22f88 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 85E3. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH 271435Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IS EVIDENT IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 08:50:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628423-21680>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:43:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA86254; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:27:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10464401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48340 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281726.LAA17675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc75d53f9a64e559bf8613cb518e66ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 155 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 85E3. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED WHILE THE OVERALL BROAD CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ELONGATED. 281306Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO BE INHIBITING ITS DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 92E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. 281424Z1 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO BE STRONG IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:52:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628720-11722>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 03:06:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA107386; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:37:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10480643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:37:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA107388 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:36:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:36:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291836.MAA12830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:36:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d519ddd14abbcccf91a27f44351e9316 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 83E1. 291208Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED LITTLE EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE WEST ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS HINDERING OUTFLOW TO THE EAST. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED OVER THE COASTLINE OF EASTERN INDIA. UN-OFFICIAL SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM OFF-SHORE PLATFORMS SUGGEST SHORT DURATION WINDS TO BE NEAR 35 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SHORE STATIONS IN THE AREA INDICATE A MAX OF 20 KNOTS SUSTAINED. PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR, IN CONJUNCTION WITH EXPECTED INCREASED LAND INTERACTION, SHOULD HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, IF THE SYSTEM STALLS, THE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF LAND MAY BE MINIMIZED. THIS IS THE PRIMARY REASON FOR KEEPING THIS DISTURBANCE CATAGORIZED AS A =FAIR= SUSPECT AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 92E1 HAS DISSIPATED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AND NON-PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09S9 086E4. ALTHOUGH THIS CONVECTION HAS ONLY PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 6 HOURS, A 291208Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES FAIRLY ORGANIZED ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL INFLOW FEATURES. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 16:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3845 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627619-18568>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 15:52:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA101906; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15104 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300709.BAA24705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 865ba887cf82de55550a6a9fbde96a57 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 447 ABIO10 PGTW 300700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/300700Z/301800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 83E1 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 15N7 83E0 WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS IN THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. A 300137Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. BOTH ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS IN A MODERATE-TO- STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED 90 NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA AND IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 96E5. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT, HOWEVER THIS CONVECTION IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 86E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 82E0. A 291208Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES FAIRLY ORGANIZED ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL INFLOW FEATURES. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE AND THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 04:55:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628877-18261>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 02:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18738; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:18:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10494570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:18:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA86270 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301817.MAA03643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6afb8898327196fe3e70a7c51eed53f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 83E1 HAS SHEARED OFF AND MOVED OVER LAND WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, A 301156Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THAT THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL STRUCTURE PRODUCING THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE LOCATED NEAR 16N7 081E9. WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, MODERATE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO HINDER ANY PERSISTENT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 96E5 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 82E0. A 301156Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA REMAINS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627735-6975>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 02:10:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42264; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:48:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10534294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:48:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA61458 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021746.LAA16122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 106f9fa50a2490567db5f76ead464354 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 983 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 82E0 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. 021339Z8 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 102E3 HAS DISSIPATED. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629075-4233>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 04:18:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA42598; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10555611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA34384 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031943.NAA13881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73b19eef33899367cb5728d97714d9a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 282 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 80E8. THE CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY EXIST OFFSHORE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 71E8 IN THE ARABIAN SEA AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD OFFSHORE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2006 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629101-4228>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 06:21:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA05716; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:54:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10557382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:54:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA05696 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:54:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:53:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811032153.PAA17266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:53:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9979ea1c56d37ffd3c8328c26ea636ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 017 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 82E0 Q LOW LOBAL? FDP3M 80E8. THE CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTI8D AHAA29O?DRP,TPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY EXIST OFFSHORE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 71E8 IN THE ARABIAN SEA AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD OFFSHORE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 04:57:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629089-14416>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:35:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20842; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10573653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20790 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041722.LAA03892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d0176d3c7644e1e4d4308fc587f98ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 954 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 80E8 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 68E4. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN AREA, BUT REMAINS IN A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 85E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION 0F WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-3774>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 10:55:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52214; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:37:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10600322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:37:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA111298 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060236.UAA11759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32d163eef1edfcb9fad8679d8c2c745e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 ABIO10 PGTW 060200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/060200Z/061800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 81E9. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 10 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED APPROXIMATELY 100NM OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM COASTAL REPORTING STATIONS CONCUR WITH THE SATELLITE POSITION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9S9 92E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION EXIST WITHIN A REGION OF LARGE SCALE TROUGHING. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628683-21897>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 18:20:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33612; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10617645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA33594 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA05195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070957.DAA05195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3528726069bf7972ef199f0ec9f83dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 ABIO10 PGTW 071000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071000Z/071800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 80E8 IS NOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. A 062313Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS A LARGE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. A 070337Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS CONFIRMS A LARGE ELONGATED CIRCULATION, AND SHOWS THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE STILL LOCATED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629446-21894>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:37:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA94594; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10621239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA64610 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071727.LAA08184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec19066d45cdf15e13574363e5eda892 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 681 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 80E8 IS NOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT. A 071231Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTIVE BANDS CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 95E4. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS MOVED WESTWARD INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING, HOWEVER MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS NO ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 20:45:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:46:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA111178; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA38454 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081129.FAA17973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43a3ad6cbd9608dc844525744c157cf5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 ABIO10 PGTW 081100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081100Z/081800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF OF INDIA INTO THE ARABIAN SEA AND IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 071752Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 95E4. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS MOVED WESTWARD INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING, HOWEVER MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS NO ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT. A 071231Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTIVE BANDS CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD FAIR SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 02:24:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627715-18139>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 02:09:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23630; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10634265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55318 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081750.LAA20558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b30cd592b73ae9b642e88784a571c17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 778 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 68E4. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CURVATURE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 071752Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A 081359Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 96E5 AND HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED AT 11.8S0 98.2E9 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628037-2411>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 02:13:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42544; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10647636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA112396 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091743.LAA07172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7b0da579e4dd8a1a095bc44d062236f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 759 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 67E3. THIS AREA OF FLUCTUATING, DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 090555Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 96E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 95.6E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 091500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630522-21610>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:03:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA64750; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:47:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10650989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:47:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA114142 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:47:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA16374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:47:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811092247.QAA16374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:47:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98fbe8107f8cb1f644ccbdfae4caf2de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 712 WTIO21 PGTW 092130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 092121Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.3N6 68.0E4 TO 12.4N7 64.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 091329Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 67.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: 091329 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED IN THE REGION. HOWEVER, THE STRONGEST WINDS REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 102130Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629494-3016>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 02:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36366; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10663798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA40168 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101740.LAA02540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3780254e7c25d39fc4d15d09832e6df5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/092121Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 67E3. THIS AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 092130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16S7 93E2 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2346 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625897-12101>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA92518; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 16:33:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10668598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 16:33:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26202 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 16:33:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA11348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 16:33:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811102233.QAA11348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 16:33:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 102121z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba57078e96826ad21e6b4dfac2c3bbf8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 667 WTIO21 PGTW 102130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 102121Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/092121Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 092130)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3N5 65.9E0 TO 11.3N5 61.9E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101647Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 65.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, 101317Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL IS SLIGHTLY ELONGATED. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA WITH INCREASED WIND SHEAR, A POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112130Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630144-15766>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:48:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA82554; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10680773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA82530 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111737.LAA26541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a50feae8313f2ab9b62a2ab13a020c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 642 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/102121Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISDPR9CD QBRRH( +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3851 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630153-15772>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:42:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA37962; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10681224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA94516 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111814.MAA27446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b366fa77293c261437085e92384058f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 696 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/102121Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 63E9. THIS AREA REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 102130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 92E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627670-15773>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 05:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA04622; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:42:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10685144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:42:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA04754 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:41:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:41:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811112141.PAA03398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:41:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/102121z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 001f88d9debebf7757ba685317c10bdc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 549 WTIO21 PGTW 112130 112129Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/102121Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 092130)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N0 63.7E6 TO 13.1N5 56.1E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 111730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 62.7E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SUSPECT AREA HAS ENTERED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A 111620Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS SUPPORTS THIS NOTION BUT ALSO DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HENCE, ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED WIND SHEAR, THE WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IMPLIES THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IF THE SHEAR ABATES. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 122130Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627195-13097>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 03:07:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09828; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:47:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10699323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:47:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA93200 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:46:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:36:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121736.LAA22552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:36:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2531dc9ad8280d69767acc269591f3e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112129Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351Z NOV 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N2 63E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 59E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS PERSISTENT, ORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. 121200Z6 SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW WESTERLIES OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 112130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL NEAR 12N3 88E6 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 120007Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MODERATE SHEAR, HOWEVER, EXISTS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE AREA AND THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19S0 91E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629043-25506>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 05:49:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAB56400; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:36:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10701861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:36:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA05670 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:36:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:36:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811122136.PAA29168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:36:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 122129z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44ce64ad1895ac7a4fe22b8e190d2841 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 WTIO21 PGTW 122130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 122129Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112121Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 112130)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL TRACKING WESTWARD, IT HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE AREA IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-3072>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 15:07:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA98320; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:46:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22020 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:46:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:46:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130646.AAA07349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:46:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 130621z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39bf20fd2d184f7f28bb5ff56a0b118e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 WTIO21 PGTW 130630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130621Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 11.0N2 87.1E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 130300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 95.0E4. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, 130308Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FORMED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND A FAVORABLE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140630Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3798 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627285-3072>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 16:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA79372; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:54:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:54:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA94464 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:54:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:54:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130754.BAA07941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:54:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e167a33469dec1979a030954d038c4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 WTIO21 PGTW 130630 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130621Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 11.0N2 87.1E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 130300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 87.2E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, 130308Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FORMED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140630Z4. 6. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGE POSITION OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND REMOVE REFERENCE TO 00 KNOTS IN PARAGRAPH 3// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626484-21807>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:02:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA109648; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:37:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10714490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:37:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20804 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:37:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131736.LAA16150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: efcd62c8a113adca9d80360d9275ecb5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130621Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122121Z NOV 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z NOV 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL NEAR 12N3 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 87E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 131425Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE REGION, WITH GREATER SHEAR TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE AREA. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO PGTW 130630 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 59E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 53E8 AND IS NO LONGER THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA REMAINS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 122130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS DISSIPATED OVER WATER. SEE REF C (WTXS31 PGTW 130300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THE SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 14:16:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-25290>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:23:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16784; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15106 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:07:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:07:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140307.VAA26145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:07:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e817433f04bcc31b5b7c096766805911 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 368 WTIO31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 001 TS UUSEDES REF A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 12.N9 86--QD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 14:16:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2348 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626660-25290>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16830; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA65428 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140308.VAA26170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:08:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9f05f420191fff14d793a461f2206d2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 WTIO31 PGTW 140300 1. /54908:-) :6:)9,3 6B WARZ NR 001 TS UUSEDES REF A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLON IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASEDON ONZAMINUE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 140800Z5 --- NEAR 12.N9 86--QD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 17:00:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627410-289>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:55:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44712; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:23:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10712032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:22:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA79516 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:22:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:22:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140822.CAA28647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:22:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06b Warning Nr 001a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36ff3f085df76dba4b4fc3e3492356e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 WTIO31 PGTW 140900 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 001A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 14.2N7 85.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 85.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.0N7 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.6N4 83.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.9N8 83.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.8N8 83.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 85.4E7. THIS WARNING IS AMENDED BASED ON INTENSITY AND FORECAST TRACK CHANGES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS MOVING AT 13 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE AND 140256Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. BASED ON RECENT DATA, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND APPROACH THE COAST OF INDIA BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER WATER THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST. AFTERWARDS, INTERACTION WITH LAND SHOULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 00:31:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627423-289>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 23:11:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA56500; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10714430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44712 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141457.IAA01891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b59f5d699fd602c875bbfac01d664d9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 204 WTIO31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 15.5N1 85.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 85.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.6N4 83.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.2N2 82.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 20.4N6 82.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z7 --- 21.4N6 82.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 84.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 141227Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. TC 06B HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND CONTACT THE COAST OF INDIA BY THE END OF THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST AS WELL. AFTERWARDS, INTERACTION WITH LAND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS THE NORTH. TC 06B IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 11:17:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-1127>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:08:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA98506; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:49:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10720132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:48:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA64702 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:48:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:48:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150248.UAA07884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:48:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06b Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f58aa1e390a982c0cc640e5c9ca758ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 885 WTIO31 PGTW 150300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 16.1N8 83.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 83.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.0N8 83.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.9N7 82.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.9N8 82.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 20.0N2 81.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 83.7E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED TO 6 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 142330Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKNESS IN THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS TC 06B REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. AFTERWARDS, TC 06B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 11:17:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4008 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626377-1127>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:14:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA63612; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:56:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10720152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:56:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24176 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:56:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:56:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150256.UAA07931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:56:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06b Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76613b6105629e3649b854e5263d87f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 948 WTIO31 PGTW 150300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAF RIJKNLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 16.1N8 83.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS O BPTP KTWINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE HXL PQP NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 83.9E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.0N8 83.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050-KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.9N7 82.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS YT KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 8 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.9N8 82.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000ZI AAA WPMPN2 81.9E8 - MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 83.7E8. ANIMATEDI NRARED SATELLITE IM AGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED TO 6 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 142330Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TRTHICAL CYCLONE 06B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKNESS IN THE HIGH PRESSURE EIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. LM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS TC 06B REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. AFTERWARDS, TC 06B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IN-4-:589, 285# )-,$. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 15:34:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626708-1122>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 15:24:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA64750; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:55:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10721489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA20950 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:53:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:53:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150653.AAA09823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:53:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45a1a07af6b45c7bca1c574f9886b21e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 312 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 87E5 IN THE BAY OF BENGAL IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 85E3. THE SYSTEM IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 53E8 HAS DISSIPATED. IT IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 55E0. THE CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 23:12:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628125-1122>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 22:48:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24126; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:35:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10724101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:35:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAB66098 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:35:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:35:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151435.IAA13294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:35:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f404bf00016b7c13e2945de22da651e6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 255 WTIO31 PGTW 151500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 17.5N3 82.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 82.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.6N5 82.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 19.5N5 82.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 20.4N6 82.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 82.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE EAST COAST OF INDIA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING TC 06B TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD AND THEN NORTHWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH LAND IS EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED. TC 06B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO LAND EFFECTS AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 23:12:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627254-1122>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 22:57:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13374; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:42:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10724191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA109616 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:42:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:42:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151442.IAA13322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 08:42:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 822cff0530337570160befc909904307 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 388 WTIO31 PGTW 151500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. 54908:-) :6:)9,3 06B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE W RNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 17.5N3 82.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITIOM ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE VER WATER RADIUSEF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE =9;34 2-534 - 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 82.8E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.6N5 82.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS U PIP NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 19.5N5 82.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TGEY HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 20.4N6 82.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REO UEPQCUQZ2 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 82.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B AS TRACKED TOWARS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE EAST COAST OF INDIA. THE WARNING POETION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151130Z1 INFRAREE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING TC 06B TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD AND THEN NORTHWARD FOR THE REMAINRY OF THE PERIOD. INLULWITH LAND IS EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM;S FORWARD SPEED. TC 06B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO LAND EFFECTS AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEM WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 10:23:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-1667>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 10:19:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44704; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 20:08:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10730119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 20:08:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21908 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 20:08:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 20:08:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811160208.UAA20705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 20:08:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06b Final Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28bbd799cb427317ffdc676ecd06c917 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 776 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B FINAL WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 22.2N6 82.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 82.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.6N2 82.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 82.2E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE TERRAIN OF INDIA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATION AND 152330Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE DUE TO LACK OF SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 151200Z9 AND HAS DISSIPATED AS IT TRACKED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF INDIA. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 02:36:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628866-1665>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:50:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA94678; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:33:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10737068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:33:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA82450 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811161731.LAA03210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e62458a3ca302a07ef78a28c64dfbfea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 075 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL CCLONE 06B WAS LOCATED NEAR 23N5 82E0 AND HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 160300) FOR DETAILS OF THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 54E9 HAS DISSIPATED. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 14:45:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627632-25336>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 14:39:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44238; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:17:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10746610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:16:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA64612 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:07:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:07:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170607.AAA17901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:07:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf6f7fe766e5f52d734b909d3ede0556 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 640 WTIO21 PGTW 170500 RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AMCONSUL MADRAS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N7 099.7E5 TO 14.0N5 092.9E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170330Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 099.7E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC ROTATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE LOW-LEVEL IS MOVING WESTWARD FROM THE GULF OF THAILAND INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE AREA IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 180500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:23:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2222 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629320-25334>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 02:04:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04622; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10753711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA44282 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171746.LAA27894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cea8e76c0556d5ee2965ca9525e072ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 453 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 099.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA TRAVELLING TO THE WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HRS. CENTRALZED CONVECTION HAS NOT APPEARED, BUT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAIND WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICALLNPJ #HE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629345-25334>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 02:30:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13466; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10754232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27004 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171813.MAA28663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d67cfcc1d7a32d11e7c14e0e3e40234 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 032 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 099.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA TRAVELLING TO THE WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HRS. CENTRALZED CONVECTION HAS NOT APPEARED, BUT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 170500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16N7 70E7 OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CENTRALIZED CIRCULATION WITH LIMITED CONVECTION IN THIS REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THM2S5LA BF:?RTEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/GOODMAN/TIRSHELL/HOWELLS/JACKSON / +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 10:29:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4852 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-13906>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 10:24:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA65138; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:50:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10759212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA34404 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:50:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:50:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180150.TAA09182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:50:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtio21 Pgtw 170500)// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e90e467b0444f5309f8e2f194af9340e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 WTIO21 PGTW 180130 REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 170500)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.1N5 093.4E6 TO 16.8N5 087.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 172331Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 093.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL THAT MOVED ACROSS THE ANDAMAN SEA HAS MOVED OUT OF THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP AND IS MOVING INTO A REGION OF DECREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO FURTHER DEVELOP AS IT ENTERS THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 190130Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 22:17:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627858-13908>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:28:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA95418; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:15:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10763048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA98478 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:15:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:15:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181115.FAA15655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:15:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 181051z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a03ea2605827547cd48d50db662feb68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 148 WTIO21 PGTW 181100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 181051Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180121Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 180130)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 95.8E2 TO 13.9N3 87.9E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 94.7E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), NR 10.5N6 94.7E0, IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE ORIGINAL POSITION NR 13.1N5 93.4E6. THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTH- NORTHWEST FROM THE LLCC. AS THE LLCC MOVES OVER THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS AND INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL, IT WILL ENTER INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPEEKR E31 $,PS A-RT VALID UNTIL 191100Z2. 5. JUSTIFIC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 22:17:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629308-13910>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 20:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA64516; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 06:06:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10763301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 06:06:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA75512 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 06:05:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 06:05:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181205.GAA16250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 06:05:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 181051z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a70320dc2715e903cefdf73b3d1769f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 947 WTIO21 PGTW 181100 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 181051Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180121Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 180130)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 95.8E2 TO 13.9N3 87.9E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 94.7E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), NR 10.5N6 94.7E0, IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE ORIGINAL POSITION NR 13.1N5 93.4E6. THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTH- NORTHWEST FROM THE LLCC. AS THE LLCC MOVES OVER THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS AND INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL, IT WILL ENTER INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 191100Z2. 5. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: TO RELOCATE THE LLCC IN PARAGRAPH 3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627720-325>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 03:04:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04692; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10766765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA92486 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181848.MAA25207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a587ee9d9e74d7041673117465a0d30 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 143 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULADIF ?FT12 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627993-326>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 03:04:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04778; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:52:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10766776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:52:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA92560 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:49:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:49:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181849.MAA25233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:49:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3b852a92b6f7458751c9ad9f3c130e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 149 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). HOWEVER, A 181138Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED T BE 1004 M( T?,PENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN T +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629401-325>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 03:09:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA65082; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10766809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA75294 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181855.MAA25404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 942c8323a4a91dc8872471d810127c6d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 230 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). HOWEVER, A 181138Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 181100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 70E7 IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER APPARENT ON THE 181200Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/GOODMAN/TIRSHELL/HOWELLS/ JACKSON/BROOKS/BALDINGER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 21:13:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628881-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:25:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA75334; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:06:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10774385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:06:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA109618 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:06:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:06:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191106.FAA10684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:06:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/181051z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c93dd68e378976f03843ee9a8a8d0e6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 928 WTIO21 PGTW 191100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 191051Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 181 00)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SI?1D ? LJ F?MSSR: 93.5E7 TO 15.0N6 86.4E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE D?DAQ(R,JETR8ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 190830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 92.1E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA REMAINS COMPLETELY EXPOSED. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY AND IS NOW APPROXIMATELY 93NM NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. AS THE LLCC CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AND THUS FAVOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 201100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 02:05:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4632 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-17501>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:45:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA112438; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:23:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10777958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA65054 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191722.LAA17520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d4d4cd7eaa194344dde9e3394e1104 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 902 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 92E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 81NM NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICADHR:=E ACRP S;NE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 02:18:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629424-17497>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 02:08:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA55376; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10778409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA111152 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191756.LAA18467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f11d1a43dee70eb8b5e09c629d4a7267 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 394 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 92E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 81NM NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICADHR:=E ACRP S?NE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 10:08:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3366 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:01:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA27084; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:40:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10783437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:40:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA98434 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:39:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:39:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200139.TAA29565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:39:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cbb72cef432b42375b5e64fc8089953 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 772 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 13.4N8 89.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 89.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.4N9 88.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.6N2 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.0N8 85.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.0N0 85.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 89.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS FORMED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL AND IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON SCATTEROMETER DATA AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A 191634Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK TURNS THE SYSTEM NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN THE 36 TO 48 HOUR PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 07B=S CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DURING THE PAST 36 HOURS. WEAKENING EASTERLY SHEAR, HOWEVER, IS NOW ALLOWING THE FURTHER ORGANIZATION AND INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY CLIMATOLOGICALLY THROUGHOUT THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191051Z NOV 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 191100) NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 10:42:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627067-9799>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:15:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15136; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:49:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10783469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA66068 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:49:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:49:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200149.TAA29647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:49:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdebfbbdd7c16c399ae87b73635757c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 942 WTIO31 PGTW 200200 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 13.4N8 89.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 89.8E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.4N9 88.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 M NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.6N2 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.0N8 85.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VCDEL WWPPPPZ4 --- 19.0N0 85.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS POP KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEASTISEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 89.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS FORMED IN THE BAY O BENGAL AND IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION N IS BASED UPON SCATTEROMETER DATA AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A 191634Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK TURNS THE SYSTEM NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN THE 36 TO 48 HOUR PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 07B;S CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DURING THE PAST 36 HOURS. WEAKENING EASTERLY SHEAR, HOWEVER, IS NOW ALLOWING THE FURTHER ORGANIZATION AND INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY CLIMATOLOGICALLY THROUGHOUT THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 HGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191051Z NOV 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 191100) NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 11:36:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626142-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 11:26:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29376; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:07:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10784191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:07:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA09864 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:05:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:05:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200305.VAA00597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:05:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dmin/navpacmet To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9682953ccdecbed6b007e32aa6209f75 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 407 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GEN DMIN/NAVPACMET CCEN LEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPIRALWEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800E/201800Z NOV 9 // REF/APXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z OV 98// ANPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIA OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COASTOS AFRICA):- A. ROPICAL CYILONE SUMMARY: NONE. B9 T OPICAL DISTURB NCT SUMMARY: < (1) THE AREA OF CONVECT ON PREVIOUSLY LTCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATE NEAR 12 3 92E1 ANE IS THE SUBJCT TFA TROPICAL CYCLONE FO OAITN ALRT. ANIMATEE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY I DICATESTHE NONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMAT Y 81NO NORTHWEST TF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTE (LLCC).-MAXIMUM SSSTAINED WIODS ARE ESTIMATED TOBE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA TEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. TH POTENTI L FOR THE DEVLOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CSCLONE WITHIN THE EXT 24 HOURS IS GOODGM SE REF A (WTIO22 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAI . (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT A EAS. 2. /-975# 8,$8-, 9:3-, -43- (1-59 WEST O COAST OF AFRICA 4 A.-TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAEHR:;E ACRP SWBNE. NORECAS TEAM:5)7,->94$/HATFTD/HALLWXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 11:36:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627507-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 11:29:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA102808; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10784234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22144 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200311.VAA00669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dmin/navpacmet To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f785a1a986368dc8cb71bd40460be4d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 584 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GEN DMIN/NAVPACMET CCEN LEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPIRALWEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800E/201800Z NOV 9 // REF/APXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z OV 98// ANPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIA OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COASTOS AFRICA):- A. ROPICAL CYILONE SUMMARY: NONE. B9 T OPICAL DISTURB NCT SUMMARY: ? (1) THE AREA OF CONVECT ON PREVIOUSLY LTCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATE NEAR 12 3 92E1 ANE IS THE SUBJCT TFA TROPICAL CYCLONE FO OAITN ALRT. ANIMATEE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY I DICATESTHE NONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMAT Y 81NO NODAAWZWO TF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTE (LLCC).-MAXIMUM SSSTAINED WIODS ARE ESTIMATED TOBE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA TEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. TH POTENTI L FOR THE DEVLOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CSCLONE WITHIN THE EXT 24 HOURS IS GOODGM SE REF A (WTIO22 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAI . (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT A EAS. 2. /-975? 8,?8-, 9:3-, -43- (1-59 WEST O COAST OF AFRICA 4 A.-TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAEHR:?E ACRP SWBNE. NORECAS TEAM:5)7,-?94?/HATFTD/HALLWXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 18:58:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627518-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:51:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA42360; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:18:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10786540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:18:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA21868 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:18:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:18:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200918.DAA04060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:18:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d1ddaa1adc056a27198886602de2161 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 055 WTIO31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.4N0 87.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 87.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.6N9 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 18:58:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628053-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:59:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA65414; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:38:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10786652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:38:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24698 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:38:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:38:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200938.DAA04160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:38:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d5a2c3eafcd947876020a06ae120f03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 634 WTIO31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.4N0 87.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 87.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.6N9 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.9N4 88.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 25.6N3 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 87.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS CONTINUED TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 200530Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A 200154Z2 MICROWAVE SENSOR IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. TC 07B HAS ACCELERATED SINCE THE 200000Z2 WARNING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE TROUGH TO ITS WEST. THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES MORE NORTHWARD THEN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION, RESPECTFULLY. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. RECENT DATA ALLOWING FOR AN ADJUSTMENT IN THE LOCATION OF TC 07B, AND THE OVERALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM, HAVE CHANGED THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND ACCELERATED LANDFALL. AFTERWARDS, TC 07B SHOULD WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. WARNING TIMES WILL RETURN TO 12 HOUR INTERVALS AT THE 201200Z5 WARNING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 18:58:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627954-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 18:07:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA38060; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:46:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10786685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:46:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA21920 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:46:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:46:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200946.DAA04197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:46:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7c8f3dbca4e98db027fa116b1c853bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 748 WTIO31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONING POSITION: MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTK FJWGU SYAVA PTT KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS TD W TP KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE P P 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE N 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 87.8E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VAL E AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINIA PTP NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NV ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 19. 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 ;3:594 59 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.6N9 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER NXVU8-),. 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 4-$87- 9> 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE H OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.9N4 88.2T 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVERWAOAAEDA LECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 94-, VALID AT: - MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PPI OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATE REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 87.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS CONTITIED TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSWZUMN IS BASED UPON 200530Z8 VISIBLTH AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A 200154Z2 MICROWAVE SECSOR IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UQON SATELLUTE CURRENT INTENSIOXB DMWVATES OF 45.-,$ 55 KNOTS. TC 07B HAS ACCELERATED SINCE THE 200050,945#-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FOR, RESPECTFULLY. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANHWQCVETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POE TION. RECENT DATA ALLOWING FOR AN ADJUSTMENT IN THE LOCATION OF TC 07B, AND THE OVERALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM, HAVE CHANGED THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROH THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND ACCELERATED LANDFALL. AFTERWARDS, TC 07B SHOULD WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXI UAI EERMATION. WARNING TIMES WIT RETURN TO 12 HOUR INTERVALS AT THE 201200Z5 WARNING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG GW210153Z2)9// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2399 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627644-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA05732; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:01:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10789320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:01:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA65606 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:01:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:01:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201501.JAA08677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:01:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 808765e1d17532470e31565d9547ef02 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 750 WTIO31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.7N3 87.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPET POSIT: 15.7N3 87.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.5N3 86.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.8N8 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.6N9 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.9N3 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 87.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE PREVIOUSLY ACCELERATED FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM WAS SHORT LIVED AS IT HAS SLOWED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. LITTLE CHANGE HAS OCCURRED REGARDING THE SYSTEM=S OVERALL STRUCTURE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONDITIONS ALOFT, HOWEVER, REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE STEERING MECHANISMS FOR THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE TROUGH TO ITS WEST. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHWESTWARD HEADING AND THEN BECOME NORTHWARD AFTER THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED SHORTLY AFTER THE 24-HOUR POINT AND THEN TC 07B IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. LAND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627753-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:24:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA33540; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:09:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10789474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:09:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA65774 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:09:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:09:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201509.JAA08849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:09:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a775bc12903bb53a126b833d0b107921 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 889 WTIO31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSULCALCUTTA AND AMAMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 003 01 CTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 0 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.7N3 87.5E0 MOVEMNT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITIOM ACCQRATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASD ON CENTER LOCATED BY S TELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF KIAVKT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICI CLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ) 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPET POSIT: 15.7N3 87.5E0 FO ECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.5N3 86.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WIN S - 050 NM EST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE WP RADIUS OF035 KT WPND S - 155 NM EAST BICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.8N8 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WAR 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUA035 KT WINDS - 155 NMPN SEMICPRCLE 0 OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 3+ HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.6N9 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVAR WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE , OVER WATER 070 NVLELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.9N3 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF WPET KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 87.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWES AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE PREVIOUSLY ACCELERATED FORWARD MOTIOM OF THE SYSTEM WAS SHORT LIVED AS IT HAS SLOWED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. LIOTLE CHANGE HAS OCCURRED REGARDING THE SYSTEM;S OVERALL STRUCTURE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONDITIONS ALOFT, HOWEVER, REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THESTEERING MECHANISMS FOR THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE TROUGH TO ITS WEST. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHWESTWARD HEADING AND THEN BECOME NORTHWARD AFTER THKQINHOUR PEVIOD. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED SHORTLY AFTER THE 24-HOUR POINT AND THEN TC 07B IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. LAND EFFECT ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIM31 PGFW FO ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARN NGS AT 210300Z6 (OG 210153Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629225-9799>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 02:31:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26306; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:17:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10792344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:17:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26282 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:17:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:16:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201816.MAA16319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:16:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50587ed83f5cce999a94fb9e8a8ca805 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 146 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201353Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 88E6 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HOOVER/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628867-9799>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 06:11:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26140; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:31:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10794851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:31:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA21776 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:31:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA23711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:31:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811202131.PAA23711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:31:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7fbf6ab574f06f8f55765ed3a09c467 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 379 WTIO31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DEIVERREQ AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.7N3 87.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 87.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.5N3 86.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.8N8 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.6N9 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.9N3 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 87.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE PREVIOUSLY ACCELERATED FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM WAS SHORT LIVED AS IT HAS SLOWED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. LITTLE CHANGE HAS OCCURRED REGARDING THE SYSTEM=S OVERALL STRUCTURE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONDITIONS ALOFT, HOWEVER, REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE STEERING MECHANISMS FOR THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE TROUGH TO ITS WEST. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHWESTWARD HEADING AND THEN BECOME NORTHWARD AFTER THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED SHORTLY AFTER THE 24-HOUR POINT AND THEN TC 07B IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. LAND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628998-20080>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:38:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA92652; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:47:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10797193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26336 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:47:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:47:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210247.UAA27334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:47:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07aedde01efe3404167f41188208b050 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 591 WTIO31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 16.6N3 087.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 087.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.4N2 087.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.4N3 087.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5N5 086.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.5N7 086.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 087.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 202330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS SLOWED IN ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS RIDGE WEAKENING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) MOVES WESTWARD OVER MYANMAR WHICH HAS RESULTED IN A WEAKENED STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THIS WEAK STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT PRESENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ONLY SLOWLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. A LOW PROBABILITY SCENARIO IS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B TO BEGIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ANIMATED WATER VAP0R IMAGERY SUGGESTS A REBUILDING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM=S NORTHWEST WHICH MAY RESULT IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2420 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628168-20080>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:12:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA64604; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:48:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10797207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:48:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA64582 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:48:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:48:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210248.UAA27342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 20:48:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6733f55c860a68bffaf93ff1a6efd01 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 605 WTIO31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO ) MAX SUSTAINED IQDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVDRWKH WUQNIIKTION: 210000.+3 --- NEAR 11.6N3 087.7E2 - MOMEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 (5+ POSITION ACCU R COO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESEQT SFUUV MAX IETAINED WINDS - 05:KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORHEAST SEMIC RCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCL -- 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 087.7E2 FORECASTS: 12 RS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.4N2 087.5E0 MAX SUSTA NE INDS - 0-0 :5, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT = - -) 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHEREN VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5N5# 6./30 90MLSUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIU O 050 KT WINDS 7 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSWHERE VERWATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 08;9;34 2-534 - 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR 9-15: -70 DEG/ 06 KTS W AAV EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5--2- 8TN7 086.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 210300ZR POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 087.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 202330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS SLOWED IN ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST PHOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDLE TOJ . ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THISRIDGE WEAKENING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) MOVES WESTWARD OVER MYANMAR WHICH HAS RESULTED IN A WEAKENED STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THIS WEAK STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT PRESENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ONLY SLOWLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. A LOW PROBABILITY SCENARIO IS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B TO BEGIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ANIMATED WATER VAP0R IMAGERY SUGGESTS A REBUILDING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM;S NORTHWEST WHICH MAY RESULT IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629640-20076>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:42:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA65188; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:27:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10799736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:27:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA65688 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:27:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:27:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211127.FAA00986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:27:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3377a65679bc4953bef3b086db4855ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 948 WTIO31 PGTW 210300 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 16.6N3 087.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 087.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.4N2 087.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.4N3 087.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5N5 086.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.5N7 086.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 087.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 202330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS SLOWED IN ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS RIDGE WEAKENING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) MOVES WESTWARD OVER MYANMAR WHICH HAS RESULTED IN A WEAKENED STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THIS WEAK STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT PRESENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ONLY SLOWLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. A LOW PROBABILITY SCENARIO IS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B TO BEGIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ANIMATED WATER VAP0R IMAGERY SUGGESTS A REBUILDING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM=S NORTHWEST WHICH MAY RESULT IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION:TO CORRECT NEXT WARNING TIMES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 23:10:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629654-20076>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:08:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA38626; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:46:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10800324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:46:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA66262 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:46:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:46:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211446.IAA02127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:46:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 115e49b8214e55c1c0a57159428b5de0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 230 WTIO31 PGTW 211500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.5N5 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.5N7 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.3N7 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 86.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. THE PRESENT TRACK SUGGESTS TC 07B HAS GAINED SPEED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AMOUNT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST, GIVING TC 07B AN ELONGATED APPEARANCE. HENCE, PART OF THE APPARENT ACCELERATION MAY BE DUE TO THE ELONGATION PROCESS DEPICTED BY THE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BECOMES HARDER TO TRACK USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD AFTER MAKING LANDFALL BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST OF TC 07B, WHICH MAY CAUSE THE SLIGHT NORTHWARD TURN IN THE TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT APPROACHES THE EAST COAST OF INDIA. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE AFTER MAKING LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF INDIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 00:28:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629647-20080>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:16:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA42332; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:55:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10800409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:55:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44624 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:55:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:55:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211455.IAA02290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:55:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc4f393f975f2b994ac76e66a085bcee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 342 WTIO31 PGTW 211500 IMMEDIE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVENOYOPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NR 1 .3NWW IYMOE3 OOVEHENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREEEAT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 0+0 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 00 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.5N5 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT GUSTS 085 ;(5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICICLE 00 OVER WATER 0 000 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 12# NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.5N7 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 $+; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 02:01:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56444; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10801823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA56426 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211749.LAA03770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dda6490815c1d575c217f89738ecadaa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 925 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINGER/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 08:24:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629658-20076>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 02:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56524; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10801854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA107930 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211752.LAA03791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fde4e1df6fc06b3e04d880a79b54a843 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 945 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINGER/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 09:49:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626969-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 09:41:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA33732; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:28:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10804181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA38556 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220127.TAA07617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thepvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c10ef3dc98bf2c9c21cc6c294d94bb7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 030 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THEPVNDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -;-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E;0-,$ 2-- .9;8,< ,945#-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL<9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3968 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 12:06:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44146; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:44:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10805105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:44:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA65382 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:44:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:44:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220344.VAA08755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:44:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c77a76d0562b8b45815ad89b7c0e7e1e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 859 WTIO31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 20.3N5 087.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 087.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.7N0 087.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0N5 088.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.1N7 089.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.1N8 089.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 087.5E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 212345Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 212330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS RIDGE IS REBUILDING. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B MOVES AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ON INDIA BY THE 12-HOUR TRACK POSITION. A MAJOR PORTION OF THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION IS ALREADY OVER LAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS UNTIL LANDFALL. THEN, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON CLOUD SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627306-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 12:19:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA95322; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:00:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10805411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:00:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA107842 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:00:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:00:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220400.WAA08878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:00:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d6e908a8221c4c63ece039951c5afe1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 069 WTIO31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVEHTROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 20.3N5 087.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ONCENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 087.4E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.7N0 087.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0N5 088.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36,HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.1N7 089.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.1N8 089.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 087.5E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 212345Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 212330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS RIDGE IS REBUILDING. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B MOVES AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ON INDIA BY THE 12-HOUR TRACK POSITION. A MAJOR PORTION OF THE SYSTEM;S CONVECTION IS ALREADY OVER LAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS UNTIL LANDFALL. THEN, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON CLOUD SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353;+6) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3990 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA65332; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA36386 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220452.WAA09294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thepvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 900338059e31d63f5f2994768aca9e2a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 056 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THEPVNDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -?-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E?0-,? 2-- .9?8,? ,945?-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL?9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 19:47:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629983-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:07:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA65526; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:50:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:50:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24810 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:50:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA11923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:50:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221050.EAA11923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:50:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e384592511f01cdcdc62580ec665d66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 WTIO31 PGTW 220900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 19.9N9 87.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 87.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.2N4 87.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.8N0 87.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.4N7 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 87.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 87.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 220530Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BECOME SHEARED. THE SYSTEM=S UPPER LEVEL DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING CARRIED NORTHEASTWARD IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST LEAVING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXPOSED. WITHOUT THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B TO SLOWLY DRIFT OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND THEN BEGIN MOVING NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z7 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 230300Z4 (DTG 230153Z4).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 19:47:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629941-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA32756; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:55:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:55:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44776 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:55:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA11934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:55:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221055.EAA11934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:55:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b687b7dbd228416b74528af3f148708 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 WTIO31 PGTW 220900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTANEDHWINDSHBASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --3 NEAR 19.9N9 87.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 87.8E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.8N0 87.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.4N80;87E2 MM SUSTAINED WINDS - 03PKT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 87.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICAT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 87.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BEEN QUASI-TATIOARY OVER THE PAST # HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 220530Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BECOME SHEARED. THE SYSTEM;S UPPER LEVEL DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING ARRD NORTHEASTWARD IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE SBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST LEAVING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXPOSED. WITHOUT THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. HE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE WPUBTT SLOWLY DRIFT OVER THE T W HOURS AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND THEN BEGIN MOVING NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD. TROPICAL CHIONE 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOU THE FORECAST PERIOD AS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIG T AT 22)600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR YSBCJ DBOEIGHT INFORMATIO. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221#00Z7 (DTG 221353Z6) A 230300Z4 (DTG 230193Z4).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 20:07:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4966 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629973-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:52:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24632; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA95244 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221139.FAA12305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj.significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thpvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d58618046c15ca4894730380925fa55f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/,,191;61:-, 23-5 <7// SUBJ.SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THPVNDIAN OCEAN/2118 00Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -?-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICU): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E?0-,? 2-- .9?8,? ,945?-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL?9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONESUMOA Y: VOMEKH B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 20:14:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630036-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:08:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA65468; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA107928 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221141.FAA12319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj.significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thpvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4171812a245d4b65a3716c9fc6494e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 923 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/,,191?61:-, 23-5 ?7// SUBJ.SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THPVNDIAN OCEAN/2118 00Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -?-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICU): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E?0-,? 2-- .9?8,? ,945?-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL?9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONESUMOA Y: VOMEKH B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 23:00:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630046-14827>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA36412; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 08:19:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10810645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 08:19:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA55344 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 08:19:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 08:19:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221419.IAA13587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 08:19:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cdeef5cd706f80a98cdaceffe229059 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 WTIO31 PGTW 221500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 20.6N8 88.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 20.6N8 88.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.0N4 88.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.4N8 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 88.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE AND INFRARED ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A 221130Z9 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS, BUT TAKES INTO ACCOUNT THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, AS IT PROGRESSES TO THE NORTH, IT SHOULD COME UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. HENCE, THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES A WESTERLY TURN AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 07B HAS SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. MEANWHILE, THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IMPLIED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION. SINCE THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, TC 07B IS RAPIDLY DISSIPATING OVER WATER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL SOUTH OF CALCUTTA, INDIA. AT THAT POINT, THE ALREADY WEAKENED TC 07B WILL DISSIPATE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 03:00:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630103-14828>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 02:07:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44180; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10812719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA34396 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221746.LAA15153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9aba105b381875681c5e2eba11f82332 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 982 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/221353Z NOV 9SAMD=DBIA?L CYCDNE WALING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N8 88.3E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 71E8 AND HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 8 HOURS. ALTHOUGH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS GROWN RAPIDLY, NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CAN BE DISCERNED AT THIS TIME. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 114E6, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED SPORADICALLY FOR OVER 24 HOURS AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MAXIMIM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINGER/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 13:22:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-22532>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:06:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16508; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:50:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10796065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:50:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA05142 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:47:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:32:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811230232.UAA19858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:32:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92b25c2f5ef95ff5a40158ddfabd4d94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 WTIO31 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 12:28:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626997-22533>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:24:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA05358; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:48:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10793987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:48:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15434 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:47:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:36:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811230236.UAA19903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:36:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07b Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b6192272c309083102dd541f7d459be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 WTIO31 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 22.8N2 091.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 091.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.4N0 093.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 23.2N7 091.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO IT=S EAST. INCREASED SHEARING HAS CONTINUED TO CAUSE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 07B TO BE SEPARATED AND PUSHED TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SHEARING, IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SYSTEM=S INTERACTION WITH LAND, WILL QUICKLY REDUCE THE STORM=S INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS, THEREFORE, FORECAST TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627828-22532>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20198; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:45 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21238 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:45:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:45:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231745.LAA01337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:45:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2f9df6226e7e42359cee192fac25ba4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 979 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OF THE CONVECTION IS SHEARING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THE AREA OF CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 36 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT BE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS/BALDINGER/ JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627557-22533>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:22:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04380; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:51:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:51:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21994 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231750.LAA01461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16eaf2e55c0b237953c2271f617069eb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 023 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OF THE CONVECTION IS SHEARING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THE AREA OF CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 36 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT BE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS/BALDINGER/ JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 12:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 12:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA05816; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA05798 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240407.WAA14226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: ?significant Tropical 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef83c4ccec8b27e47dda814374581318 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 932 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUHDVSUB ?SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, OCEAN/231800Z/ 41800?- 9. 58// RMKS. 1. NORTH INDIAF OCEAN NFONBK.-)-< 03,8,-7)- 23-5 59 ;97799 OP AFCICA): A. OROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. - B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANPCJVC(35E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRIQA): A. TROPIKAL CYCLONE SUMMAHY: NOVMKH B. 5:98NCBGWSTUJMNE LUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTIMM PREWOUX?53 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINEDIQPNBWJTATIONU Y OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAXERY SHOWS THE UCVVBVTENMPON THE CMNVECTION HNBLICCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVEKKAPANIMATED WATEV VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OK MHE CO M NT ON IS SHEARING OFF TO VHE SOUTHEAST AND THE A EA OF CONVECTIOC SEEVS OO BEHSLIGHTLXLLESS VOROANIOED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXWOUM SUITAINED WINDS ARE WUBOIMJTOD B. THE POTENTIAL .4 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFACAVT TRTPICAL CYQLONE AITH N THE NEXT WR HOKRS IS FAWVV (2? THE AYEW OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOGLNEAR 13U5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NAR 14S5 116E8. NMRTHWEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTIONNHAS PERSISTED .4 9?34 36 HOURS A D CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAPT. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL W SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONNCENTER COULD NOT ZE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERYWX OBE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 21 TO 25-KNOTS.:GGOV OINIMI SEA LEVELPRESSURE IS ASTIMATNGLTO DE 1?0? MBKH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OX A SIGNIFICANT TUI8:<# CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXTL24 MOURS IE FAIR. MCOV TEDR 2-0?24 VRB03KT CAMOK EMLO ?004 27016KO 3001 BR NSC BECOG GPYPI QWPQWVKT BECMG BQIWP RVNKT= OE N GWRPBWR VRM03KT 8000 FEQBEUVBTI HEMPO 0204 2000 +BR SCT025 BECMG 0602 1,25KT 8000 FEVEP SCT100 TEMPO 0917 FEW030CB= OEVA GWRPPW VRB03KT CAVOK BECMGHPPXLWTHQRKTKVMOO O TBPRPV 2040 SCT100 BECMG 0406 2QRKT= OZAA NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 14:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628378-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 12:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12636; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:12:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:12:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA14606 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:11:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:11:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240411.WAA14275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:11:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: ?significant Tropical 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad2c961bb369170da2a0a1ac1067105d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUHDVSUB ?SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, OCEAN/231800Z/ 41800?- 9. 58// RMKS. 1. NORTH INDIAF OCEAN NFONBK.-)-? 03,8,-7)- 23-5 59 ?97799 OP AFCICA): A. OROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. - B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANPCJVC(35E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRIQA): A. TROPIKAL CYCLONE SUMMAHY: NOVMKH B. 5:98NCBGWSTUJMNE LUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTIMM PREWOUX?53 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINEDIQPNBWJTATIONU Y OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAXERY SHOWS THE UCVVBVTENMPON THE CMNVECTION HNBLICCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVEKKAPANIMATED WATEV VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OK MHE CO M NT ON IS SHEARING OFF TO VHE SOUTHEAST AND THE A EA OF CONVECTIOC SEEVS OO BEHSLIGHTLXLLESS VOROANIOED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXWOUM SUITAINED WINDS ARE WUBOIMJTOD B. THE POTENTIAL .4 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFACAVT TRTPICAL CYQLONE AITH N THE NEXT WR HOKRS IS FAWVV (2? THE AYEW OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOGLNEAR 13U5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NAR 14S5 116E8. NMRTHWEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTIONNHAS PERSISTED .4 9?34 36 HOURS A D CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAPT. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL W SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONNCENTER COULD NOT ZE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERYWX OBE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 21 TO 25-KNOTS.:GGOV OINIMI SEA LEVELPRESSURE IS ASTIMATNGLTO DE 1?0? MBKH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OX A SIGNIFICANT TUI8:?? CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXTL24 MOURS IE FAIR. MCOV TEDR 2-0?24 VRB03KT CAMOK EMLO ?004 27016KO 3001 BR NSC BECOG GPYPI QWPQWVKT BECMG BQIWP RVNKT= OE N GWRPBWR VRM03KT 8000 FEQBEUVBTI HEMPO 0204 2000 +BR SCT025 BECMG 0602 1,25KT 8000 FEVEP SCT100 TEMPO 0917 FEW030CB= OEVA GWRPPW VRB03KT CAVOK BECMGHPPXLWTHQRKTKVMOO O TBPRPV 2040 SCT100 BECMG 0406 2QRKT= OZAA NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 03:53:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630446-13865>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 03:26:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16056; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:16:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10815381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:16:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22642 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:15:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:15:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241915.NAA27507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:15:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 047dad0017eb97c10c0da74b17ccfc25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 696 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 71S8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PERSISTS IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 240100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA, HAS DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND IS NOW SPORADIC. ADDITIONALLY, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA RATHER THAN A DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA00293281909 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 03:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4402 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630549-13866>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 03:52:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA05762; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10815634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12852 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241936.NAA28132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8110e9fd1a98856d0c9bd991fdbda6c4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 198 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 71S8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PERSISTS IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 240100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA, HAS DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND IS NOW SPORADIC. ADDITIONALLY, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA RATHER THAN A DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA00293281909 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629650-406>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:00:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17572; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:38 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA09612 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251744.LAA18100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0723dd16652c1754228e4ec306cc4bcb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 191 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630589-410>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:15:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA24354; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:48:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:48:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17894 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251747.LAA18161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19fa5da4fb20c8c583d0166d4af6e0af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 229 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1166 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630609-410>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:32:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22948; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:16:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:16:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA05216 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251815.MAA18757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b3ce72f1f36129339dccbff686924c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 782 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCB03533291811 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 17:48:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4804 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627080-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 16:43:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23122; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:27:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:27:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA11564 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:27:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:26:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260826.CAA01311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:26:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subawxeignificant Tropic To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c5f6f609584e317d5b79193652a9255 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 959 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGIGKGENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 1(H SUBAWXEIGNIFICANT TROPIC L WEATHER ADVISOY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800TGXWYQIPPZ NOV 989/ REF/A/NAVPACMTTNREN W S GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1? NO TH INDIANPOCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CY MNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH WNDIANHMCWAXIAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A? TROPICAL CYCLMNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSWY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOILWHEXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRASED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECOION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HNBDCSSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARESESTWMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SE LEVEL PREB0>9)8- 3-58.-53$ 59 ?3 100) MZBM THE POTENTIAL .4 GOELOPMOPTIOK A SUGNIFUCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.-EEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR XURTHER EEE QPQUU VI LIPUPV 60115 32965 40000 1011487?97 40227 50001 82082 333 10161 82362 83073= 60135 32960 00404 717?70:778(?60245 52006 333 10197= 60150 32960 02806 10137 20028 39580 40235 53002 333 10178= 60155 32958 01004 10164 20099 40243 51003 333 10188= 60156 32960 00610 10151 20095 40246 52011 333 10195= 60230 32962 00000 10190 2003 40222 52005 333 10217= /252,52958 0240/ 10177 20134 40218 53008 333 10239 95800= Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 17:48:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627414-22814>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 16:55:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA11542; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:32:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832407 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:32:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23280 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260831.CAA01351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subawxeignificant Tropic To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73355fbd0591758de4602ca22d00d46f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 039 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGIGKGENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 1(H SUBAWXEIGNIFICANT TROPIC L WEATHER ADVISOY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800TGXWYQIPPZ NOV 989/ REF/A/NAVPACMTTNREN W S GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1? NO TH INDIANPOCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CY MNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH WNDIANHMCWAXIAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A? TROPICAL CYCLMNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSWY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOILWHEXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRASED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECOION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HNBDCSSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARESESTWMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SE LEVEL PREB0?9)8- 3-58.-53? 59 ?3 100) MZBM THE POTENTIAL .4 GOELOPMOPTIOK A SUGNIFUCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.-EEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR XURTHER EEE QPQUU VI LIPUPV 60115 32965 40000 1011487?97 40227 50001 82082 333 10161 82362 83073= 60135 32960 00404 717?70:778(?60245 52006 333 10197= 60150 32960 02806 10137 20028 39580 40235 53002 333 10178= 60155 32958 01004 10164 20099 40243 51003 333 10188= 60156 32960 00610 10151 20095 40246 52011 333 10195= 60230 32962 00000 10190 2003 40222 52005 333 10217= /252,52958 0240/ 10177 20134 40218 53008 333 10239 95800= Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 08:50:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627914-22814>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 02:01:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17620; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10834633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22978 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261745.LAA04948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7623215a02b7c4b5d4f47b97e2461083 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 960 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1 HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DISSIPATED, AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ITSELF HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO DISCERN. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BALDINGER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629163-9720>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:37:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13208; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10839644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA13190 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271726.LAA12881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25df60aa15cc102c6d63de47be0ae3a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 031 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629207-9725>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20568; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10839706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23592 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271745.LAA13010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3234f0142f8d9bd76343bfebf1adb565 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 321 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <631546-9983>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:49:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15262; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10846469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA13428 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281724.LAA22320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 967c4c727face755964b12ce88632c1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 966 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630782-9984>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:46:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14966; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10846489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23374 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281727.LAA22345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08b2a5370b91777a23fe5e686ee65977 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 001 ABIO10 PGTW 281700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629376-4126>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 02:19:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15696; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:08:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10853376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:08:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA16396 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291806.MAA02508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weatr Adrn3or The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f40426b9b903318947207673fe6e0f10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629387-4124>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 02:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15182; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:18:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10853433 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:18:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18490 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:18:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:17:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291817.MAA02576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:17:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weatr Adrn3or The Indian????? To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0f15e536aed7b33b5016054625cd70c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 835 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE INDIAN????? OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 11:43:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 11:31:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24394; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10857611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA24376 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300315.VAA07512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Megid/genadmin/nampacmetoccen West Gu>/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13880381b77a44262fa9f3614721bf00 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 5 MEGID/GENADMIN/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU>/ SUDJ/SIGNIF CANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE IND AN????? OCEANBXWOQIPPZ/301800+ ,9; 98// ROKS/ - 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 11:43:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626366-9034>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 11:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24498; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10857633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21150 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300320.VAA07559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Megid/genadmin/nampacmetoccen West Gu?/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef8712eee0894bbba13faf631453c425 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 5 MEGID/GENADMIN/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU?/ SUDJ/SIGNIF CANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE IND AN????? OCEANBXWOQIPPZ/301800+ ,9? 98// ROKS/ - 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629006-9033>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 02:16:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15516; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:04:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10865653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:04:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23074 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:03:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:03:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301803.MAA18721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:03:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f43b08f8961165934201e979a5a4dad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 774 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z NOV 98/011800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): ROPICAL CYDNJEEMA S;LQ>> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1623 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-9034>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 03:26:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14812; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10866406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA07628 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301910.NAA20705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 576c7f9deb73b431cd911549a90a9924 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z NOV 98/011800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): ROPICAL CYDNJEEMA S?LQ?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 07:54:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1497 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627046-11325>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 03:38:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22286; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:18:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:18:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13806 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:18:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:17:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812011917.NAA13915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:17:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4969895e19827ef63debaa7d35736c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 681 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z DEC 98/021800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 95E4 IS NOW NEAR 7S7 87E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED, BUT HAS BEGUN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS (011200Z4) INDICATES THIS CONVECTION LIES WITHIN A BROAD TROUGHING AREA. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST NEAR 14S5 120E3 FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION MAY HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED 7N7 TO 7S7 IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND 14N5 TO 14S5 IN PARA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BALDINGER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 02:22:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627843-24372>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 02:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20622; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10896885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23400 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812021759.LAA05023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be01a18c9da00ffff27e1f04d74c2dbc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 859 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z DEC 98/031800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020751Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 120E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 119.2E3 AND HAS BECOME THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A). SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. SATELLITE INFRARED ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS IT IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 020800Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 87E5 IS NOW NEAR 7.5S2 89.0E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED WITH A SLIGHT SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. SURFACE ANALYSIS (021200Z5) AND PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A FAIRLY BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/BOYER/MCCULLOCH/PARKER/HERRON/EIBLING/JONES/BALDINGER/ JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 12:30:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-9213>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:19:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15322; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10904022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21444 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030354.VAA18850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed28b563a929ce0d3069a43591627f7a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 323 ABIO10 PGTW 030400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030400Z/031800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020751Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 AND HAS BECOME THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A). SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. SATELLITE INFRARED ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS IT IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 020800Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A SLIGHT SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: CHANGED AREA 2.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:30:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626400-9212>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 16:06:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA26078; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26062 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030743.BAA21263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8eedc4500d810de8f03362f055b66c0b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 ABIO10 PGTW 030400 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030400Z/031800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020751Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 AND HAS BECOME THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A). SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. SATELLITE INFRARED ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS IT IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 020800Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A SLIGHT SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: CHANGED AREA 2.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628180-9206>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:44:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15674; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:31:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10911252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:31:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25612 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812031730.LAA28910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b0473fb22d9b030026cfd728c560f7b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 551 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031351Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4S2 117.6E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4S2 117.6E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 135E9 IN THE ARAFURA SEA. THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:09:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2771 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628302-2835>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:57:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26658; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:44:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22836 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:42:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:42:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040642.AAA12838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:42:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f26e8af5ea1c1aaa1708602a39e0a63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 188 ABIO10 PGTW 040630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040630Z/041800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2S1 116.9E7, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 135E9 IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 9N9 AND 134E. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION WITH CYCLONIC TURNING. SHIP REPORTS IN THE ARAFURA SEA INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS. ADDITIONALLY, THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED WITHIN A WELL DEFINED MONSOON TROUGH AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVERLIES THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.2. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:10:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-2836>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:44:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA25200; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:31:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:31:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA26722 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:31:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA15369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:31:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041231.GAA15369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:31:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e34d84132d29c56190c4c7de1a78c11 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 235 WTIO21 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER * 1/A3 BEGINNING OF VALID * FRIDAY 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON * ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVEMENT * UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS * AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER BETWEEN 07S AND 13S AND BETWEEN 81E AND 94E AROUND AND ESTIMATED CENTER NEAR 9.5S/88.5E. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/12/98 AT 0000 UTC* OTHER INFORMATIONS * MAXIMUM WIND OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:10:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2918 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627242-2835>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:44:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA28916; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:34:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:34:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA28634 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:34:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA15398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:34:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041234.GAA15398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 06:34:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e24e114b66e23edb2e2afee23d4ee8b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 322 WTIO21 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER * 1/A3 BEGINNING OF VALID * FRIDAY 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON * ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVEMENT * UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS * AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER BETWEEN 07S AND 13S AND BETWEEN 81E AND 94E AROUND AND ESTIMATED CENTER NEAR 9.5S/88.5E. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/12/98 AT 0000 UTC* OTHER INFORMATIONS * MAXIMUM WIND OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 02:31:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627746-2835>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20926; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10924578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20888 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041713.LAA22862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a661420db760377f141365d9fac3d26e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 009 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040951Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9S8 116.4E2, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 134E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 041000)). THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARAFURA SEA HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE ORGANIZED. SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 040100Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOW A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ALONG ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME ELONGATED EAST-WEST AND IS SHOWING EVIDENCE OF MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS. THIS AREA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 02:31:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627646-2836>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:08:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA18486; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:45:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10924711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:45:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20770 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:45:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:45:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041745.LAA23920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:45:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0265d92d599341fa9e306d5b4d1343e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 660 WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 1/A3 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER BETWEEN 07S AND 13S AND BETWEEN 81E AND 94E AROUND AND ESTIMATED CENTER NEAR 9.5S/88.5E. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/12/98 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : MAXIMUM WIND OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 02:31:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627334-2836>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:03:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26512; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:47:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10924747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:47:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17540 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:47:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:47:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041747.LAA24009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:47:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b356dd90f64e73c71fad2e0100dd46ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 714 WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 1/A3 BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 04/12/98 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER BETWEEN 07S AND 13S AND BETWEEN 81E AND 94E AROUND AND ESTIMATED CENTER NEAR 9.5S/88.5E. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/12/98 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : MAXIMUM WIND OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 03:41:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-2832>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 03:35:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24576; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10925720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28910 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041916.NAA26581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 04/12/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da0aa80f489c1acd32d02c47b3d5c1f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 909 WTIO21 FMEE 041200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/12/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 1/A3 VITESSE DU VENT EN NOEUDS (KT) AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : VENDREDI 04/12/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : ZONE PERTURBEE DEPLACEMENT : INDETERMINE ZONES MENACEES : ZONE PERTURBEE ENTRE 07S ET 13S ET ENTRE 81E ET 94E. CIRCULATION DEPRESSSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT AUTOUR D'UN CENTRE ESTIME VERS 9.5S/88.5E.FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 05/12/98 A 0000 UTC: INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT OBSERVES DANS LA PARTIE SUD DU SYSTEMEAVEC LE GRADIENT DU AUX HAUTES PRESSIONS AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 03:41:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628324-2835>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 03:35:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24596; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10925723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26096 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041916.NAA26583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:16:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 04/12/98 A 1200 Utc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6226d5068394d7c3c4f95464c99768a1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 910 WTIO21 FMEE 041200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/12/98 A 1200 UTC NUMERO : 1/A3 VITESSE DU VENT EN NOEUDS (KT) AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE : VENDREDI 04/12/98 A 1200 UTC PHENOMENE : ZONE PERTURBEE DEPLACEMENT : INDETERMINE ZONES MENACEES : ZONE PERTURBEE ENTRE 07S ET 13S ET ENTRE 81E ET 94E. CIRCULATION DEPRESSSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT AUTOUR D'UN CENTRE ESTIME VERS 9.5S/88.5E.FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 05/12/98 A 0000 UTC: INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT OBSERVES DANS LA PARTIE SUD DU SYSTEMEAVEC LE GRADIENT DU AUX HAUTES PRESSIONS AU SUD= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625952-1542>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:54:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25290; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:47:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:47:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25512 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051746.LAA10751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e910b63aea0cd6af17f2376e8c95d460 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 210 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 115.2E9, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 130.5E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO RE-DEVELOP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR, BUT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INCREASED. WITH THE INCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, THIS AREA IS DOWNGRADED FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627032-1542>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:10:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25486; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA25468 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051803.MAA10963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a458c8e612862f1619949acbdf1125b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 469 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/0618 0Z DEC 98// REF/HXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMEOCCEN WEST GU/050753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINS P GQH U UUPEAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT J-1 130.5E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE R BI SYAED)--)25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 CNOTS. SEE REF B (NMKDQNIVPGTW CAUAIC G FOR FURTHER H M LQGM KEL NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO RE-DEVELOP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR, BUT VERTICAL WINHHT S 8#-( WITH THTLINCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, THIS AREA IS DOWNGRADED FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCLLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627535-22679>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:10:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23144; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19520 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061755.LAA21189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c0790f9651f7e9b7f07b415f08872ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 128 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6S0 115.6E3, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS WAS THE FINAL WARNING ON TC05S (BILLY). (2) AT 060600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 88E6 IS NOW NEAR 12S3 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. ALSO 061200Z9 SHIP REPORTS (J8FN AND 9KKS) HAVE REPORTED 25-37 KNOTS ABOUT 150NM UPSTREAM. THIS APPROACHING SURGE SHOULD LEAD TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT. HENCE, THIS AREA IS UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION AND DEIGO GARCIA (WMO 61967) HAS REPORTED GUSTS UP TO 17KTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS (051800Z4) INDICATED 15-20KT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS CIRCULATION. CURRENT SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION THROUGHOUT THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627495-22685>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:16:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13364; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10946029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18722 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061808.MAA21474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd2a1f62d71bcd1d9cf2f71f2e561350 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 407 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6S0 115.6E3, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS WAS THE FINAL WARNING ON TC05S (BILLY). (2) AT 060600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 88E6 IS NOW NEAR 12S3 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. ALSO 061200Z9 SHIP REPORTS (J8FN AND 9KKS) HAVE REPORTED 25-37 KNOTS ABOUT 150NM UPSTREAM. THIS APPROACHING SURGE SHOULD LEAD TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT. HENCE, THIS AREA IS UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION AND DEIGO GARCIA (WMO 61967) HAS REPORTED GUSTS UP TO 17KTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS (051800Z4) INDICATED 15-20KT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS CIRCULATION. CURRENT SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION THROUGHOUT THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 02:25:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3006 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627721-3878>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13036; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10959685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13530 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071803.MAA10238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97080e48cd971fcd4b89e80126d3ce20 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 393 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070753Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9N9 AND 79E6 OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE WINDSHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 131E5, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW NEAR 11S2 95E4. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. THIS WINDSHEAR IS DISPLACING THE CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS INDICATE CONTINUED WINDSHEAR DUE TO THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 YESTERDAY HAS FILLED. THE ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS ALSO DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 02:44:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3213 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-3879>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:25:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23138; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10959857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22868 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071810.MAA10428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5383982dfcf1de8c301397397f57c354 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 623 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070753Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9N9 AND 79E6 OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE WINDSHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 131E5, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW NEAR 11S2 95E4. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. THIS WINDSHEAR IS DISPLACING THE CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS INDICATE CONTINUED WINDSHEAR DUE TO THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WBTHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 YESTERDAY HAS FILLED. THE ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS ALSO DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1588 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627688-8555>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:53:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA21962; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10974554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA27804 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081736.LAA02497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dcec07fed73dd828d848f2283c46029 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 448 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 72E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF SOUTHERN INDIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS WITHIN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 129.5E7, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 95E4 HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BEEN STEADY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THIS REGION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 02:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-17323>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:23:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20820; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10989876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12080 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091705.LAA28166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 122fb4550a67713002b3506e106fda7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 081 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3S6 127.9E9, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4. A 090332Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (SHOWING 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS) REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PERSISTENT CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW A DECREASE IN OVERALL CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627853-20926>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:24:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12950; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12932 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101805.MAA21772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8edb0e8aa7ae00e6a50af370dd976ac4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 773 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627541-20926>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:37:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22888; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA06992 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101809.MAA21859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef84e02083749d6d64ac009c05c27aa1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 929 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627685-20934>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 03:23:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27762; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:47:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10871077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:47:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29804 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:33:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:33:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101833.MAA22262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:33:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c8d21a3cf8d26e4b1d9ef763db0fe99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 690 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 11:48:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 11:12:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20956; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:41:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:41:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12962 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110240.UAA01242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significantvtqow8:?:9,.<34 -$;8-946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b92c87234562b8c1680787e07c605e19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 580 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGIDKXENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANTVTQOW8:?:9,.<34 -$;8-946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, OCEAN/10.:1+/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1000:9+ $3: 98// AMPN/TROPPQAGIVYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN BCAPNFONB;2)0.QNSULA WE T TO COAET OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONAV MI B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA -,8 (1-5#3 -43- 9> :9,;3:589, 043;BPIVY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E 2 REMAINS UNIPASTATIONARY; LXPOPTIVLGNMNBN<)-,8.-53$ 8,>4-43$ IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIBN IS ASSOCPATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVEIKINLLOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN TTE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERYN MQNER, SHOWS TPUS CONHECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. .-/8.7. SUSTAINED WINDE ARE ESTIMAHED AT 10 OO 20 KNOTBKLMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIOATEE TOBE 10078VB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF NBBWGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS PMO. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEETMEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMAT E D RINFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO NE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOARS. NO OTHER SUSPER AREAS. FOCE PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BCCVWNGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 15:11:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21824; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10878466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26672 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110649.AAA03988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cad0fa92f626ad11f9de219b28f452aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSOID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER A VIS RY FOR THE INEIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DC 98//- REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPIMAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSU A WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CHCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: (15 THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSXQVAWX?//9CF6;3.-8,- 17--8-S T ATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY I AREA OF PRSISTENT CONVECION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMAE WATER VAPOR IMAGER0);KJVGCQMMGVRTICAL WWMB UHEUY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINOGWWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEU CCNXXQNI ICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IBBMYZCBVXJVVZLO OTHER SUSIECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROIICAL CYCLONE 06S (GALMA0)29?<)9:-53$ 3 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARDHQGPWMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOLF GUST NG TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REFA (WTXS32 PGU 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (+) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, THE AREA OF CONVECHPONKVXDXMCWKFAPQCS3 99BKIVFVLEIPATED. ALTHOUGH A L OW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMUICSP ANIMATED RQ MKCARED AND WATER VAPOR IMA GERY INDIC TE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO GGNGER SUSPENT FOR TPSNDAMUK;3:)8?> /97IKII Q N?854.#8:-)./7?7;(KKICU6MVQMKM 459 - BVVD1+)0.<#111800)/2VV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:56:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627871-10553>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:45:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25918; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25902 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110831.CAA04629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd3320abc81f132013ecb1252a6fc597 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 060 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSOID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER A VIS RY FOR THE INEIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DC 98//- REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPIMAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSU A WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CHCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: (15 THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSXQVAWX?//9CF6?3.-8,- 17--8-S T ATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY I AREA OF PRSISTENT CONVECION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMAE WATER VAPOR IMAGER0)?KJVGCQMMGVRTICAL WWMB UHEUY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINOGWWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEU CCNXXQNI ICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IBBMYZCBVXJVVZLO OTHER SUSIECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROIICAL CYCLONE 06S (GALMA0)29??)9:-53? 3 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARDHQGPWMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOLF GUST NG TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REFA (WTXS32 PGU 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (+) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, THE AREA OF CONVECHPONKVXDXMCWKFAPQCS3 99BKIVFVLEIPATED. ALTHOUGH A L OW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMUICSP ANIMATED RQ MKCARED AND WATER VAPOR IMA GERY INDIC TE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO GGNGER SUSPENT FOR TPSNDAMUK?3:)8?? /97IKII Q N?854.?8:-)./7?7?(KKICU6MVQMKM 459 - BVVD1+)0.??111800)/2VV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 21:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA24258; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA21886 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA06854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111256.GAA06854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Oceop/10.:1+/111800z Dec 98?/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76613b1aca5dbb29fca059395974e69c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 918 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGIDKXENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// OCEOP/10.:1+/111800Z DEC 98?/ REF/A/NAVPACMETBCCEC WEST GU/1000:9+ ?3: 98// AMPN/TROPPQAGIVYCLONE WARNINX// RMKLX 1. NORTH INDIAN BCAPNFONB?2)0.QNSULA WE TITO COAET OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONAV MI B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA -,8 (1-5?3 -43- 9? :9,?3:589, 0439BPIVY LOCATED NEAR WIQN2 66E 2 REMAINS UNIPASTATITNARY? PMPTIVLTNMNBN?)-,8.-53? 8,?4-43? IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCUTATIBN IS ASSOCPATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVEIKINLLOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN TTE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERYN MQNER, SHOWS TPUS CONHECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHONFKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDE ARE ESTIMAHED AT 10 OO 20 KNOTBKLMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIOATEE TOBE 10078VB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELTPMENT OF NBBWGCIFPCAMT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS PMO. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEETMELICUGCU-589, 43.-8,-, ANIMAT E D RINFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO NE WITHIN THE NEXT 2; POARS. NO OTHER SUSPER AREAS. FOCE ANARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BCCVWNGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 00:07:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2013 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-10553>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 23:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28088; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:23:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:23:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24212 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:23:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:22:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111522.JAA09001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:22:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Oceop/10.:1+/111800z Dec 98?/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85b5819a1a59f46978eb01929d1ec927 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 506 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGIDKXENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// OCEOP/10.:1+/111800Z DEC 98?/ REF/A/NAVPACMETBCCEC WEST GU/1000:9+ ?3: 98// AMPN/TROPPQAGIVYCLONE WARNINX// RMKLX 1. NORTH INDIAN BCAPNFONB?2)0.QNSULA WE TITO COAET OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONAV MI B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA -,8 (1-5?3 -43- 9? :9,?3:589, 0439BPIVY LOCATED NEAR WIQN2 66E 2 REMAINS UNIPASTATITNARY? PMPTIVLTNMNBN?)-,8.-53? 8,?4-43? IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCUTATIBN IS ASSOCPATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVEIKINLLOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN TTE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERYN MQNER, SHOWS TPUS CONHECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHONFKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDE ARE ESTIMAHED AT 10 OO 20 KNOTBKLMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIOATEE TOBE 10078VB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELTPMENT OF NBBWGCIFPCAMT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS PMO. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEETMELICUGCU-589, 43.-8,-, ANIMAT E D RINFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO NE WITHIN THE NEXT 2? POARS. NO OTHER SUSPER AREAS. FOCE ANARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BCCVWNGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:24:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1300 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627234-10552>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:03:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27808; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10883434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04474 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111832.MAA14475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weatorth Indian Ocean Area (malayeninsula W To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8dfaa1c9d274c10fc4e4a214a1c91f73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 794 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAYENINSULA W EST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 71E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO IMPROVE AS IMAGERY INDICATES THE WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-10552>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 04:04:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24120; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24854 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111943.NAA16218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weatorth Indian Ocean Area (malayeninsula W To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 677ec0ff85ef255c4b1c2fa8bc277e76 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 478 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAYENINSULA W EST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 71E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO IMPROVE AS IMAGERY INDICATES THE WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-13560>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:49:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA05032; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:33:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10886930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:33:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA13468 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:33:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:33:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812112333.RAA20543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:33:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e46dc8cfc752b5fd74d6ac9c711140b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 887 WTIO21 PGTW 112300 RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N7 70.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 112030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 72.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONA:Q ;9;C 3 REMARKS: THIS DISTURBANCE REMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-13560>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:10:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA15888; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:34:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10886937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:34:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19458 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:34:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:34:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812112334.RAA20552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 17:34:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca10ffbac1ea63c6c90c774b53e57268 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 895 WTIO21 PGTW 112300 RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N7 70.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 112030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 72.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONA:Q 3 REMARKS: THIS DISTURBANCE REMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:57:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627326-13564>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21492; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:44:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:44:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA11726 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:42:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:42:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121942.NAA28399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:42:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e69059a5740f5ef1887eda01c5c889f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 634 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121355Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112259Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. A 121315Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628241-13560>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:57:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21476; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:48:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:48:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13478 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121947.NAA28435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c92b21d5e5304c76ae74f7a16ab31bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 702 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121355Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112259Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. A 121315Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628212-13565>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:59:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15158; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15138 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121953.NAA28475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80c9b84caa9246e852af875babaf267c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 727 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121355Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112259Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. A 121315Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8S6 124.4E1 OVER AUSTRALIA, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS32 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625985-10316>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 09:03:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA28720; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 18:53:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10901573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 18:53:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA20772 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 18:53:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA00908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 18:53:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130053.SAA00908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 18:53:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0450b465482d3fa59adeaa3250c6e8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 498 WTIO31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.3N4 68.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 68.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 104F$ +) ?XP:NED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 1- NM NOB DHA0R:8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625985-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 09:18:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16832; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:08:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10901737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:08:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA16812 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:07:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:07:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130107.TAA01180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:07:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca610977a7dd3ee46af5f7a3752c9c85 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 931 WTIO31 PGTW 130100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.3N4 68.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 68.3E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: ?XP:NED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 1- NM NOB DHA0R:8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 10:39:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA27124; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:25:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:25:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15332 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:25:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:25:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130225.UAA01728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:25:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47a5dea75f9c6d741f7e1a0b1a1ec6b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 648 WTIO31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.3N4 68.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 68.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.7N8 64.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.4N6 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 68.0E4. TC 08A HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED, BUT SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND A 121752Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF 35 KNOT WINDS. TC 08A IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FIRST 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. THE FORECAST TRACK INDICATES A CONTINUED STEERING DOMINANCE BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH THE FIRST 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEAR 48 HOURS, NUMERICAL MODEL FIELDS INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AND SUBSEQUENT STEERING INFLUENCE OF PERIPHERAL RIDGING TO THE SYSTEMS SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 112259Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7),131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625902-10321>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21298; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:55:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18712 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:55:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:55:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130255.UAA01969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:55:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b8a34bf0763be0431a184f4967af545 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 057 WTIO31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX YUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.3N4 68.3E7 MOVEMENT PAET SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AO 9 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 68.3E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 65.8E9 MAX YUSTAINED WIND- 045 KT, GUSTS 055 K RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEGOP KTS 14120Z8 -2- UUN8 64.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE :0) 0908NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 EG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 ---114$,6 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT 4-$87- 9> 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0#;090 NM ELSEWHERE VEITOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRSWN VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035-KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSOFYE REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 68.0E4. TC 08A HAE TRAV LWESTWARD AT 5 WATS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND BISORGANIZED, BUT SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND A 121752Z8 SCATTEROMETER PAS SUPORT THE PRESENCE OF 35 KNOT WINDS. TC 08A IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FIRST 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. THE FORECAST TRACK INDICATES A CONTINUED STEERING DOMINANCE BY THE SUBTYOPICAL RIDGE THROUGH THE FIRST 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEAR 48 HOURS, NUMERICAL MODBLSCBDS INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AND SUBSEQUENT STEERING INFLUENCE OF PERIPHERAL RIDGING TO THE SYSTEMS SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INKORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMOCCEN WEST GU 112259Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 258921 PGTW 110) NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z30DTG 1307-#Z7),131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z8) = 140300Z8 (DTG 140151BQU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626943-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 16:59:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24966; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:43:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905317 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:43:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18810 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:43:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:43:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130843.CAA04646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:43:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b88c625373f961358efaa396925d4b17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 120 WTIO31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 10.9N0 68.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 68.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.6N8 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.2N5 66.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.9N2 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.4N8 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4N9 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 68.2E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130500Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INTENSITY IS BASED ON SHIP OBSERVATIONS. ALTHOUGH STILL LARGE AND LOOSELY ORGANIZED, THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. OUR FORECASTED INTENSITY REFLECTS THIS. TC 08A IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING, ITS CURRENT MOVEMENT DUE TO A WESTWARD INFLUENCE BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND A NORTHWARD INFLUENCE DUE TO A COMBINATION OF SELF-PROPAGATION AND A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SUPPORTED BY THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626906-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 17:06:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18830; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:56:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:56:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14722 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:56:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130856.CAA04678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4832e7c949ddd4380c205af93faf6c52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 247 WTIO31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 10.9N0 68.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 68.4E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.6N8 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -8100,. ,945# -3.8:84:)3 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.2N5 66.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR OSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.9N2 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OK 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.4N8 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAIED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS 72 HRSGN VALID AT: 160600Z3--- 14.4N9 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS A POT KT, GVVL115 KT 94-$87- 9> 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE - 040 NM ELEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 68.2E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORT WE TWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130500Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGEY. THE INTENSITY IS BASED ON SHIP OBSEMATIO9 ALTHOUGH STILL LURGE AND LOOSELY ORGANIZED, THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. OUR FORECASTED INTENSITY REFLECTS THIS. TC 08A IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING, ITS CURRENT MOVEMENT DUE TO A WESTWARD INFLUENCE BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND A MRTHWARD INFLUENCE DUE TO A COMBINATION OF SELF-PROP LAION AND A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUG .-THE FORECAST TRACK IS SUPPORTD BY THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 16 FEET. RENER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627292-10321>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 22:37:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA11702; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 08:19:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 08:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12202 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 08:19:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 08:19:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131419.IAA06654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 08:19:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6dd8ce8f00b51b14666c1ea98ba7e6cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 787 WTIO31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 11.2N4 67.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 67.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.0N3 66.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.7N0 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.4N8 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.0N5 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.8N3 60.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 67.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131101Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD WHICH WILL ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A TO TAKE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627576-10316>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:23:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26986; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:07:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10907371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:07:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26936 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131706.LAA07722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 169aa105eb41f2391484c3672e4f1e90 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 164 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131357Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130155Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 67.5E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS DISSIPATED OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8S7 122.6E1, MOVING WESTWARD OVER AUSTRALIA AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS32 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 98E7 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF INCREASING CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO SHOW CYCLONIC TURNING AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 10:00:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3935 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627429-10319>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:56:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16582; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:42:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10909468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:42:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18106 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:42:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:42:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131942.NAA09388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:42:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 232fd9c313b09db6e0e69b749121c210 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 970 WTIO31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.5N7 67.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 67.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.3N6 66.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.0N4 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.6N0 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.1N6 63.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.9N4 60.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.7N9 66.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131701Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS AND PREVIOUS SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE RIDGE IS WEAK AT PRESENT, DUE TO A PASSING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO TAKE ON A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A CONTINUES INTENSIFY AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 12:37:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:06:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA06506; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:55:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10913910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:55:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25950 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:55:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:55:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140255.UAA13503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:55:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropic?l Ayofeif Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da2340d6add81bd4509002cb55ae0f88 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 280 WTIO31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPIC?L AYOFEIF NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WALING POS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 17:31:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627172-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 17:23:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25544; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:09:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA06588 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:09:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA17346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:09:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140909.DAA17346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:09:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38618d63f16adf417768ccdf374e8ab8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 998 WTIO31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 13.2N6 66.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 66.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.5N0 65.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 15060 +6KJJ +R:SM 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.7N4 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.4N2 61.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.0N9 57.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 66.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140500Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE OBJECTIVE AIDS FORM THREE PRIMARY ENVELOPES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS (GFDE, NOGAPS AND NOGAPS BASED BAMS) INDICATE THE EVENTUAL WESTWARD TRACK THAT THE FORECASTED TRACK REFLECTS. ALTHOUGH NOGAPS AND THE BAMS FOLLOW A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD PATH AFTER 36 HOURS. THE STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL AIDS ARE UNEVENLY SPLIT BETWEEN A NORTHWARD TRACK AND A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK, WITH THE MAJORITY FOCUSING ON THE NORTHWARD OPTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 17:46:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626658-24579>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 17:36:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25388; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:25:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:25:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA13344 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:25:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA17432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:25:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140925.DAA17432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:25:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclonoin Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29180c3aada0f26befb3d5432e802571 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 482 WTIO31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL CYCLBNE 08A WARNINGINR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONOIN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 00:23:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4668 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626958-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 22:39:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22138; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:27:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10917310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29804 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:27:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:27:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141427.IAA20521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:27:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15f65e93dd884e0b00d2164c2d478c38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 883 WTIO31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING PO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 00:23:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-24582>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 23:15:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20806; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:01:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10917616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20788 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:01:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:01:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141501.JAA21478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:01:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9ef7e1b6f4e2113471650a6cd539a68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 425 WTIO31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING PO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 00:23:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627576-24582>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 23:20:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29080; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:09:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10917701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:09:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA12172 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:09:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:09:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141509.JAA21648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:09:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northie To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63d303bd4f5e05c5be092bba8ede5fc6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 565 WTIO31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 00:23:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626755-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 23:28:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA17744; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:16:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10917855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:16:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30178 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:15:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:15:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141515.JAA21780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:15:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7c5292353ae8f0cbe3dea7a2dbd380a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 810 WTIO31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 13.4N8 66.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 66.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.3N8 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.3N9 65.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.3N0 63.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.1N9 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.0N9 57.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 66.5E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141101Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND NORTH. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GAIN LATITUDE, THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH WILL START TO PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE AND TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO GAIN A CORRESPONDINGLY LARGER WESTWARD TRACK COMPONENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z0 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 01:49:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627576-24581>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 01:28:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22452; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17314 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141708.LAA24513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59e97ce65a691eeafe41d809ff102839 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 222 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141357Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 66.7E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7S7 120.7E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER AUSTRALIA AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ITS OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS NOT IMPROVED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 09:42:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628546-24579>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 04:12:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29536; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:55:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:55:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28740 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:55:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:55:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141955.NAA28513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:55:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e9828a65c55e77536bdb6f2117829dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING PO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 09:42:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628302-24576>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 04:26:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14764; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:08:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:08:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21920 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:08:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:08:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812142008.OAA29009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:08:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2ade14838dd6466c6b4fb3515c10ffc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 139 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 15.3N9 66.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 66.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.5N3 65.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 -KCSJRA 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.8N8 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.1N3 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.5N7 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 66.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141630Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS BEEN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH BEGINS TO PROVIDE THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 72-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 09:42:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626393-24579>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 04:44:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA04364; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:28:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA29184 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:28:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:28:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812142028.OAA29532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:28:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyvlone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38d2ce468817385c2d69cef6d6d6e94a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 552 WTIO31 PGTW 142000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYVLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONMHMIV QIVIERAGE WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 15.3N9 66.5E7 - MOVEMEVT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POEITION AQCURATE TO WITHIN 60 NM POSITION BASED MN CENTER LOCAED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBIUIVQ H MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 66.5E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.5N3 65.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 CT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 05 090 NM ELSEWHERE VENOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.8N8 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 087KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM P 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 / 10 KTS EXTENDED OIQUOKVEEDA LBAGHTS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20QN3 60.0E6 OAX SUSTAQNED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 10 K RADIUY OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM ALFJB4 > 035 KT WINDS - 150 OM NORTH EMICIRCLE WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 1718PMQ GMH GUATN7 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WD LC F 050 KT WINDUG PPNM OVER WATFRN RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHMSA VER WATER REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 66.3E5. TROICAL CYCLONE 08(- #-- 54-:(3$ ,945#-MMVGVNAP YFH CDQJIGKNOTS OVSR THE PAST 6 HOURS. TGNBP SZAE POSITION IS BASED ON 141630Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNI O INTENSITY OFP60,(,95- 8- KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS BEEN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEKQPG XLOW FROVPTHE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECADMLOO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST- NORTHWESTWAR AS THE SUBTYOPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH BEGINS TO PROVIDE THE PRIMARX$. $ 8,>)73,:3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 72-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THVOUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM DPNIFICANT NBEOM V LVO AT 141800Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 ($5< 150O+3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z- (DTG 151951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 09:42:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4967 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628477-24582>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 04:56:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16440; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:30:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:30:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA31272 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:30:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:30:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812142030.OAA29574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:30:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 587d849dd2895e1a931fe4e3da9b708b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 WTIO31 PGTW 142000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 15.3N9 66.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTR W-- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORIR RI PIP NM EL SEWHERE REPEAT POSKON9 66.5E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.5N3 65.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 -KCSJRA 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS H 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.8N8 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RA L050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NOR RCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DOTX QP KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.1N3 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS GK I RADIUS OF 050 KT WI 4-4 -3-- RADIUS OF 035 KT WIVIPBCE VWCIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.5N7 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 66.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141630Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLON08A HAS BEE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST= NORTHWESTWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH BEGINS TO PROVIDE THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 72-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629085-6312>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 05:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13332; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:43:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:43:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28556 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:42:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:42:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812152042.OAA22111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:42:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 539ce8ebf2012e629a6ccea1f63cd438 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 151 WTIO31 PGTW 152100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2397 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629022-6310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 05:21:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA20826; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:54:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA27720 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:54:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:54:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812152054.OAA22359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:54:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b125f3f6d659b472b8b10de67e05f7f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 266 WTIO31 PGTW 152100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 17.5N3 64.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 17.5N3 64.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.6N5 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.3N3 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 19.8N8 58.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.1N3 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 20.5N7 55.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 64.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 151615Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE NORTHERN COMPONENT OF TC 08A=S TRACK HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IT APPEARS THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO TURN WESTWARD. IN ADDITION, THE CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO BROADEN AND MAY BE SPLITTING INTO TWO SEPARATE CIRCULATIONS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH MOVES SOUTH AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS CONTINUING TO BE ADVECTED TO THE NORTHEAST, ALTHOUGH A LARGE AMOUNT OF THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS APPEAR TO BE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST. IN ADDITION, TC 08A HAS ACCELERATED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160157Z0), 160900Z6 (DTG 160757Z6), 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629035-6310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 05:37:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23036; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:56:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11758 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:55:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:55:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812152055.OAA22397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:55:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 230719ad49948259b89f501ec36acc89 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 WTIO31 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 17.5N3 64.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 17.5N3 64.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.6N5 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.3N3 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 19.8N8 58.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.1N3 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 20.5N7 55.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 64.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 151615Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE NORTHERN COMPONENT OF TC 08A=S TRACK HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IT APPEARS THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO TURN WESTWARD. IN ADDITION, THE CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO BROADEN AND MAY BE SPLITTING INTO TWO SEPARATE CIRCULATIONS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH MOVES SOUTH AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS CONTINUING TO BE ADVECTED TO THE NORTHEAST, ALTHOUGH A LARGE AMOUNT OF THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS APPEAR TO BE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST. IN ADDITION, TC 08A HAS ACCELERATED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160157Z0), 160900Z6 (DTG 160757Z6), 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2717 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627029-21304>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 10:20:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA11574; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10935089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA27946 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA27348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160153.TAA27348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b082de4e7478692c8318b4322041ae59 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 424 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626565-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 10:24:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16470; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10935092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA27964 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA27352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160153.TAA27352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:53:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a929828498c0010d4227f91849634a65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 17.9N7 63.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 63.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.4N3 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 19.0N0 60.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 19.5N5 58.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 19.7N7 54.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 63.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 152300Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TC 08A HAS UNDERGONE CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS RAPID SHEARING OF THE SYSTEM LEAD TO THE WEAKENING OF THE CURRENT INTENSITY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS NOW DISORGANIZED, IT SHOULD TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS TO WEAKEN. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL CIRRUS CONTINUING TO BE ADVECTED TO THE NORTHEAST, WHILE A LARGE AMOUNT OF THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS APPEAR TO BE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST INTO OMAN. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN IT MAY ALSO BECOME MORE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE UNDER THE CIRRUS CLOUD SHIELD. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY MORE WESTERLY THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH INFLUENCING A CONSIDERABLY WEAKER TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 08A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES CONDSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. TC 08A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THIS IS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160757Z6), 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3), 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 16:17:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627791-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:06:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14682; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:51:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:51:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17998 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:50:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:50:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160750.BAA01233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:50:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3c6808540f08088038a98a72167d268 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 039 WTIO31 PGTW 160900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 16:51:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627975-21310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14674; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:14:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:14:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17734 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:14:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:14:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160814.CAA01487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:14:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 724a5c691bc1aaace9740c5ff0bb8c9f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 417 WTIO31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 18.0N9 063.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 063.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.4N3 062.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.9N8 060.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.4N4 058.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 19.7N7 055.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 063.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 160500Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE (METEOSAT) IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND CLIMATOLOGICAL DECREASE OF WINDS IN A RAPID SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TC 08A HAS UNDERGONE CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS NOW DISORGANIZED, IT SHOULD TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR THIS SHEARED SYSTEM IS BASED ON THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH INFLUENCING A CONSIDERABLY WEAKER TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 08A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES CONDSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. TC 08A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THIS IS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3), 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 16:51:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2021 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629044-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:27:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28326; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:15:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:15:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17818 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:15:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:15:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160815.CAA01491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:15:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff2153ad058b08ab5de96b57bb7b7fae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 418 WTIO31 PGTW 160900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 18.0N9 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.4N3 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.9N8 60.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.4N4 58.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 19.7N7 55.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 63.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 160500Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE (METEOSAT) IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND CLIMATOLOGICAL DECREASE OF WINDS IN A RAPID SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TC 08A HAS UNDERGONE CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS NOW DISORGANIZED, IT SHOULD TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR THIS SHEARED SYSTEM IS BASED ON THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH INFLUENCING A CONSIDERABLY WEAKER TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 08A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES CONDSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. TC 08A SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THIS IS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3), 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 16:57:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2297 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-21310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:50:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA16108; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:23:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:23:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA16606 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:23:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:23:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160823.CAA01534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 02:23:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 013579db2a0d57772d5f8d7599f9f870 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 638 WTIO31 PGTW 160800 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: EAR 18.0N9 063.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS -300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINEB WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050-KT RADIUSOF 035 ;5 28,$- - 070 NM REPEAT QOSIT: 18.0N9-063.6E5 8 FORECASTS: 12 H S, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.4N3 862.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSLHT KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATINGHAS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERIATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170 00Z4 --27 9N8 060.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, 147-5- 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT OPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.4N4 058.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICULALOVER AATER VECTOR TO 48 ;#4 09-85: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600B5 --- 19.7N7 055.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROII NYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 160900ZR POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 063,E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPO A 160500W2 VISIBLE ATELLVOE (METEOSAT) IMAGERY. THE ZARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND CLIMATOLOGICAL DECREASE OF WINDSHIN A RAPID SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TC 08A HAS UNDGONE CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PEET 12 TOURS. IMATSALSO INDIA A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LDVEL CIRULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS NOW DISORGANIZED, IT SHOULD TAKE SEVERAL HOURS FOR THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS TO WEQKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR THIS SHEARED SYSTEM IS OAE ON THE LOWEGSLEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROP CAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH INFLUENCING A CONSIDERABLY WEAKER TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 08A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUG OUT THE PERIOD. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT TTE PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM EXPERIE IGNDSIDERABLE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. TC 08A SHOULD DISSIPA PLGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOM BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THIS IS DUEO STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND NTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (G 161357Z3), 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (FBG 170157Z1) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7)/// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 22:40:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629091-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 21:59:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA14774; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:43:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:43:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA07080 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:43:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:43:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161343.HAA04310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:43:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14f3745b07c96b7ce3c29d227caaff10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 817 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING PO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 22:40:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629117-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 22:23:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA05294; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 08:03:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 08:03:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21832 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 08:03:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 08:03:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161403.IAA04667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 08:03:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70534d0893595ddc8c733e070f68f1ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 095 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 18.0N9 61.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 18.0N9 61.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 18.3N2 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.7N6 57.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 19.3N3 56.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 20.0N2 54.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 61.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 161100Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE AND A FIX POSITION BASED UPON A 160628Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON BOTH A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND THE SCATTEROMETER PASS, WHICH INDICATED 40 KNOTS MAXIMUM ASSOCIATED WITH TC 08A. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW TC 08A IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LASTEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SURROUNDED BY MID-LEVEL CLOUD BANDS WHICH ARE PEALING OFF TO THE WEST. THE LLCC AND THE ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL CONVECTION IS MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO DISCERN ON THE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, WHICH WILL MAKE THE SYSTEM HARDER TO TRACK UNTIL WE REGAIN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE MORNING. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED AND TC 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER WATER UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL JUST AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TC 08A WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY OVER LAND. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE 35 KNOT WINDS REFLECTED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1), 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 02:20:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629184-21310>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 02:12:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13350; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10940833 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA28672 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161758.LAA10000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f95ff742d4d660bdb7239b83c34f28db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 02:30:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629199-21304>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 02:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24498; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10940867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30112 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161802.MAA10192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78ebe33ae1fd3ee539911226e7edee6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 172 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 03:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627715-21310>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 03:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21292; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA23814 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161918.NAA11854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ec3c69fa9c1985f983dc2102f5cafc3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 417 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161357Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 61.6E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN VERY BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING ON THE 161200Z0 SYNOPTIC GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION IN THE AREA. THE 161200Z0 SHEAR PRODUCT FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHOWS MOST OF THE AREA TO BE IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2509 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629119-21308>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:04:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA27954; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:46:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:45:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22272 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:44:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:44:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161944.NAA12420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:44:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27f9c0d9346cc121b26f36668b6981f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 791 WTIO31 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING PO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:30:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629202-21309>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:37:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25802; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:09:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:09:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13228 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:09:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:09:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162009.OAA13318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:09:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73e497016a2de86c7904739c3f66b3c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 145 WTIO31 PGTW 162100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 18.0N9 59.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 18.0N9 59.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.6N5 57.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.3N3 55.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.0N2 54.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.2N1 59.3E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS SHIP OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS TC 08A IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED AND TC 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER WATER UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL JUST AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TC 08A WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY OVER LAND. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE 35 KNOT WINDS REFLECTED IN AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1), 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7), 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171957Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:30:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629186-21309>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:51:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13454; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:14:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:14:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA07554 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:14:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:14:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162014.OAA13479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:14:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08a Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9321da79b29de13c3fd92baf6e46bf35 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 322 WTIO31 PGTW 162000 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 18.0N9 59.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 18.0N9 59.9E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.6N5 57.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.3N3 55.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.0N2 54.4E3 MAB SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.2N1 59.3E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS SHIP OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS TC 08A IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED AND TC 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER WATER UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL JUST AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TC 08A WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY OVER LAND. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE 35 KNOT WINDS REFLECTED IN AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1), 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7), 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171957Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:30:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629119-21310>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:35:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21270; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30190 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162021.OAA13793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 901713095fbe706412470941791443cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161357Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 61.6E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN VERY BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING ON THE 161200Z0 SYNOPTIC GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION IN THE AREA. THE 161200Z0 SHEAR PRODUCT FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHOWS MOST OF THE AREA TO BE IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:31:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-511>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:23:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16500; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:01:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:01:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA28580 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA18752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170058.SAA18752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subjvvsi,8>8(-.5 54918icbconmger Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6340ae3022965e45e76b5c6ba8d4d24d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJVVSI,8>8(-.5 54918ICBCONMGER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/-/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 FIR VA POPOCATEPETL 19.;N 98.6W OBS AT 170014 UTC VERTICAL TIL FL300. OUTLOOK VA 170655 UTC 120 NM ESE 20 NM WIDE BTN PWVCCUPFL29;;5 48 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 11:40:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4965 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626324-512>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 10:02:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16388; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA20414 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170132.TAA19256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subjvvsi,8?8(-.5 54918icbconmger Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79a232e8f7c63a188491e94191a05526 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 760 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJVVSI,8?8(-.5 54918ICBCONMGER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/-/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 FIR VA POPOCATEPETL 19.?N 98.6W OBS AT 170014 UTC VERTICAL TIL FL300. OUTLOOK VA 170655 UTC 120 NM ESE 20 NM WIDE BTN PWVCCUPFL29??5 48 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 11:40:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4347 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626464-512>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 10:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31696; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:31:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10946374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:31:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14520 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:31:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:31:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170231.UAA20032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:31:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3781de420a0747394ead0dcc1cefac0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 986 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 18.3N2 58.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 58.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.8N7 56.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.1N3 53.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 58.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN RELATIVELY ORGANIZED AT LOW-TO MID-LEVELS WITH MINIMAL CENTRAL CONVECTION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162300Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN TWELVE HOURS, WITH SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 11:40:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626093-511>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:06:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26540; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:35:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10946437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:35:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA31688 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:34:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:34:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170234.UAA20063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:34:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8402ab6979743fc1ccf45a35e5492602 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 021 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 12 170000Z8 --- NEAR 18.3N2 58.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS PGSITION ACCU ATE TO WITHIN 6) NN POITIONLDKSEDHONN - PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING E A IGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 58.7E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.8N7 56.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KL, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLON OVER L OECTO TOWG HR POS TGC EPP DEG/13 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT:. 18000Z9 --- 20.1N3 53.7E5 MAX SNDS AA PZP KTGN RUYTS QNXB 8DISIP TED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 170300;+1 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 58.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KCBTS OVER THE LAST SIG TMURE9 THE SYSTEM CONTINIE OR H C CELY ORGANIZED AT LOW-TO MID-LLULMINU: 16 19,;3:589,. THE WANPNG POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162300Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORACAST PHILOSOPHY. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN TWELVE HOURS, WITH SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADD ONAL SNRIO GG>784 2-4,8,<- -5 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 12100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:49:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629198-1317>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 17:20:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18664; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:53:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10948157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:53:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23878 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:50:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:45:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170745.BAA23214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:45:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58dd02683c9eb6cadddc7b708b8a99b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 449 WTIO31 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 18.6N5 57.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 57.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.5N5 54.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 21.0N3 53.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 56.7E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 190439Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO LOSE ORGANIZATION. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BECOMING SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH RAPID WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4), 172100Z1 (DTG 171957Z0) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180157Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:49:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627779-1316>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 21:51:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18552; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:35:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10949376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:35:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA23902 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:35:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA25579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:35:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171335.HAA25579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:35:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21b69b5d0ad6e9fd0f340f14b607f28d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 255 WTIO31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 19.5N5 56.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 56.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.4N7 54.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 55.9E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171046Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 171046Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER OMAN FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 12- HOUR TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT ALONG THE COAST AT 171200Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 09:31:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629082-1319>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:41:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13408; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:29:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10951659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:29:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15358 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171728.LAA00681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6e1a8e0d1a9030e11be92b0ccb5276b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171357Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N5 56.3E4, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 171500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING. CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH STRONG SHEAR TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 128E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 18 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED, HOWEVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 08:25:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628022-1982>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22416; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:31:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10960779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29240 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812181730.LAA20849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7f1e5ed234b14aab313d6d39ba2ee8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 73E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 18 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE CIRCULATION AS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS EXIST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 127E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS MOVED CLOSER TO LAND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 11:46:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3508 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626694-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 11:43:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30082; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA07532 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190335.VAA00226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/signif Cant T To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f613a706d09f38773f82799195b76a64 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/(,-;0-:.359::3, 23-5 <7// SUBJ/SIGNIF CANT T OVIRAL WATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/1918)0Z DEC 98/.- RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AF A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SSMMARY: NONE. - B. TROPICAL DISTIRBA CE SUMMARH: - =1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NE R 7;,7 73E0. THIS CO VACTITN HAS BEEN PERS STENTFOR 18 HOURS AND I ASSOCIATED WIH A EURFARE CIRCULATION AS EVIDENT IN SHNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY XSHOWS LITTLEORGE IZAT ON AND ANIMATED WATER VAIOR IMAGERY EHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIN S ARE ESTIMATED AT 05-TO 20 KNOTS. HINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB# THE POTENTIAL SOR THE DEVETTPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOME WITHIN TTE EBT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. <2. SOUTH I DIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO ROAST OF AFRICA): 2 A. TROPICAL CYCLON SUMMARY: NONE. ?. TROPICAL DISTURBA CE EUMMERY: - (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLS LOCATED NEAR 10;-1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATE NEAR 10S1 180EPQM TTIS AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP NONVENTION REOAINS LONATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHINLWN SYNOPTIC ATA A D A SCATTVROMETER PAS INDICATE MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS EXIST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOLS FAIR OUTF OW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTA NED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TOBE 100# MB. HE POTENTIAL FO THE DEVELOPMNTNON A SIGNIFII NT TROP CAL RYCLONE AITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LONATED NEAR 10S1 1281= IS NOW LOCATED NAR 13S4 127E0. THIS CONVECTION HAE MOVED CLOSER TO LAND OVER THE PAST 24 HTURSGM SYNOHTIR DATA SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION IS NOW ASSOCIATED W T THIE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM EISTAINEL WI DS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15-KNOTS. /.8,8.8. -3- -74>-:3 ;043--743 8- ;-58.-53$ -9 ?3 1005 ;.?. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIG IFICANT TROPICEL CYCLONE TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEYT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT ARE RECAST VE M: SOITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-3861>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 03:35:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12558; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30968 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191928.NAA06594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3f394a4b53c49919673e80c1ee9f3f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7N7 73E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE LAST DAY AND A HALF, AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE CONVERGENCE TROUGH AS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO DISPLAY DEEP CONVECTION BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED THROUGHOUT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT, AS DOES THE UW-CIMSS UPPERLEVEL DIVERGENCE PRODUCT. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRODUCT SHOWS WEAK SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH COAST OF AUSTRALIA HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND CEASED TO BE A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/MORRIS/BROOKS/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627466-29234>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:46:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA29226; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:34:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:34:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25762 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201732.LAA14529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d530052e24e608a7c450e932480a049 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626440-29232>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:51:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31684; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA11698 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201738.LAA14581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85cbc0874b004f10f33b7b2703394bce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 73E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS, BUT HAS VARIED IN INTENSITY. THE UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR, WHICH IS RETARDING INTENSIFICATION. IN ADDITION, THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH THE CONVECTION. INDEED, THE 201200Z5 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH IS BENEATH THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4863 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627643-29229>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:55:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25006; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:43:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04962 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201742.LAA14618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e819440fae42b08bcb105f64115edda1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NOR DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627466-29229>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 02:08:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17826; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:56:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:56:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04960 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201755.LAA14655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d921399f27bdfbcebecd5e4fe2709fab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 21:50:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627056-8212>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA29352; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:34:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10982273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:34:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA06556 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:34:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA22315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:34:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211234.GAA22315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:34:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0b904c83a2672da708beaf4f31b4781 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTIO21 FMEE 211200 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION ATTENTION... CECI EST UN ESSAI DE TRANSMISSION!!!= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 21:50:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627804-8212>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:57:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA05146; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:48:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10982442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:48:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA24334 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:48:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA22430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:48:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211248.GAA22430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 06:48:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e9d7529f5ed35b1c8a92469e61f2bc0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTIO21 FMEE 211200 ESSAI DE TRANSMISSION N'ACCORDER AUCUN INTERET A CE MESSAGE .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627808-8212>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:50:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23116; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10984423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24378 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211734.LAA27774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6bfe1ae778d02acf8db30431438cceb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE 211200Z6 GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW TROUGHING BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION; NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT. DUE TO THE LACK OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:31:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626871-13345>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 15:24:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16738; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:12:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10990153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:12:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA05206 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:12:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:12:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220712.BAA07969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:12:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: This Is A Test Of Transmission...= To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80b3501f5973db4e78b8a17abcb02dfb X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTIO30 FMEE 220600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION THIS IS A TEST OF TRANSMISSION...= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:31:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-13347>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 15:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA05236; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:18:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10990166 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:18:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA07528 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:18:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:18:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220718.BAA07992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:18:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Essai De Transmission , N'accordez Aucun Interet A Ce Message To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b4be2cc38bb8cb3154bcae5e96db37e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTIO31 FMEE 220600 ESSAI DE TRANSMISSION , N'ACCORDEZ AUCUN INTERET A CE MESSAGE MERCI= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 09:52:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627969-13344>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 02:29:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24966; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10993755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29244 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812221817.MAA15283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 954b92a175973854c5e4b591a6435b28 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 10:18:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629406-25521>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 03:18:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23890; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11002347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13122 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231907.NAA03145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df34fff0bc2736063fccefc55b249413 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LONG-STANDING AREA OF TROUGHING SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE MORE PERSISTENT OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, AND A 231059Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATED THAT A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626402-20159>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA24782; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11005495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA27068 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240411.WAA09997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d12105611d281372197f9935f69dadb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 240100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/240100Z/241800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E1 IS NOW NEAR 15N6 100E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD EXCEPT ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING AS SATELLIITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERTICAL WINDSHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENDED. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW FAIR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628847-22542>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:03:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22672; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:56:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:56:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA07528 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:55:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:55:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812241755.LAA17314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:55:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6dc020b58253b3dfd6532bd043d3b81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628844-22538>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:16:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15454; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008353 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA07482 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA17512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812241809.MAA17512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed53f49bc12fa3b1d9bf5f7e1440701c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627300-24569>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:55:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA37700; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:47:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:47:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA38174 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251746.LAA26213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01c9a6f0ea57629d5d950a1660ba6e68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627700-24569>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 02:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA38430; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41468 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251752.LAA26231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d83a6a34e2d925ec7681c35b52f8652f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627000-24567>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 02:20:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA41380; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37520 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251813.MAA26542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3005be259196adf50593a651f19ba98 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/251500Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0S8 97.4E0 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 15N6 100E1 HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY). SEE ITEM 2.A.(1) AND REF A ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 14.5S0 124.0E7. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. HOWEVER, CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED CLOSE TO LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 11.0S2 133.0E7. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED CLOSE TO LAND AND ANY DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/MCCULLOCH/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627067-27939>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 02:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24600; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11018125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24584 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261816.MAA02720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb535589df474d1eb28dbf1284e410e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/251500Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 94.6E9 MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 124.0E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 133.0E7 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627049-27940>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 02:58:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40962; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:52:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11018233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:52:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA36064 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261851.MAA02869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72fba586d02f1db4bacc632cb005f7f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261500Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 94.6E9 MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 124.0E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 133.0E7 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: DATE ADJUSTMENTS IN MESSAGE VALID PERIOD; ADDITION OF AMPN LINE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 09:27:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626836-495>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 02:14:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39082; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:07:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11023002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA35694 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812271806.MAA08146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5536636f9be298dbf9c5ede96865c6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271500Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 92.7E8 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 09:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-1342>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 02:34:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39474; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11029465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41248 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812281822.MAA16350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99db69f079626bf861506ee73eaa7ef8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280300Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 91.0E0 AND IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 280300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4665 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627289-17918>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 02:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40162; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:27:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11036919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA38324 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:26:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:26:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812291826.MAA25788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:26:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7508b8aacd3458002dd0fb892d886729 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625990-3111>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:29:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA37528; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11038406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA41096 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812292318.RAA27997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 183bbd16bef567ddbaaafa1d5c7652ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/FINTA/PARKER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 02:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-3110>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 01:27:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA37182; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:15:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11043281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:15:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA37292 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301714.LAA03968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1a8ea1e1e71199cdb5ca272642e2f43 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 78E5. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH SOUTH OF SRI LANKA. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS APPARENT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/PARKER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 10:45:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627454-3111>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 02:26:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40456; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:08:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11043527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:08:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29372 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301807.MAA04481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 492166749d0c3dc2ec253f445efb02d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 78E5. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH SOUTH OF SRI LANKA. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS APPARENT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/PARKER/JACKSON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC05623641800 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 02 10:30:42 1999 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4610 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627428-9962>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 18:42:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA31050; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11048383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA38712 for ; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812311032.EAA09429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4feb985cbf0634a74c856644a2acbc2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABIO10 PGTW 310900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/310900Z/311800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 05N5 78E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 08N8 80E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH A DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. DEEP CONVECTION AND OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAVE IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS WHILE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS ALSO IMPROVED. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF SRI LANKA BUT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER OPEN WATER AND CROSS OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE PREVIOUSLY POOR SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR IN ITEM 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HERRON/BALDINGER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC09743651024 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626076-4473>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 01:47:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25518; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7428460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA10116 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712311746.LAA02742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:46:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73894c44588abdaf5f363dd0ef58e509 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 367 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z DEC 97/011800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 311353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 311200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 98.4E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS32 PGTW 311500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626037-2619>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 10:32:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA39124; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:31:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA25536 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:31:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:31:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801010231.UAA03237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:31:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 264c305e3553bb8d28f4725e3667139c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 867 WTXS32 PGTW 010300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 16.3S0 96.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 96.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.7S4 94.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 16.4S1 95.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY SLIGHT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION AND IS SUBJECT TO HEAVY NORTHERLY SHEAR. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A HIGH WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 98010000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626050-2625>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 10:45:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA51446; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:44:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:44:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA58084 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:44:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:44:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801010244.UAA03259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 20:44:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8448ba79dbccd3b7fe1c0731ca022b50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 099 WTXS32 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 16.3S0 96.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS PAGE 02 RUEOMCA2654 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 96.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.7S4 94.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 16.4S1 95.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2654 UNCLAS SLIGHT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION AND IS SUBJECT TO HEAVY NORTHERLY SHEAR. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A HIGH WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 98010000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #2654 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626437-2625>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 01:47:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA24648; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7432434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA53550 for ; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801011746.LAA04220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 11:46:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1723a33eed97380a63efbf3591a9c9f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 084 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z JAN 98 / 021800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 010153Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 96.2E7. THIS SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 11 (WTXS32 PGTW 010300)) FOR FINAL WARNING. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626809-15467>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 01:19:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA34076; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA34052 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801021718.LAA05648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:18:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97e7e40858dc97262cabfe83ab717cb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 068 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z JAN 98 /031800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626825-15476>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 01:55:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA24780; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7437052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29592 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801021754.LAA05676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 11:54:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2765ca7fa14de07899f6ff574aca1bd3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 560 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z JAN 98 /031800Z JAN 98?/ RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: ,9;3;>? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4720 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-22378>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 14:57:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10594; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA10568 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030656.AAA06425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 00:56:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96393c1b4df597a4bc72b38284ed070a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 637 ABIO10 PGTW 030700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030700Z JAN 98 /031800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21S3 89E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 030432Z2 AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 0302252 INDICATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WAS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN). THE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATE THAT A MODERATE AMOUNT OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT OVER THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS HAD CONVECTION PERSISTENTLY FLARING UP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DESPITE THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627228-22381>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 01:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32548; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29670 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031735.LAA07153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:35:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 261dc34bbc5cd56d6eedc8881fbc81af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 642 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20S2 86E4. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER THAT WAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN). ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS, THE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE SHEER WHICH IS INHIBITING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-9123>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 13:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA32644; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:32:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:32:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA42600 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:32:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:32:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040532.XAA07967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:32:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfc242be0ce95902f2ed377d2badf31b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 WTXS23 PGTW 040500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040500Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 165 NM RADIUS OF 15.7S3 141.0E6 WITHIN PAGE 02 RUEOMCB1492 UNCLAS THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 141.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INTENSE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 40 NM OFF THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AT 07 KNOTS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE FUTURE TRACK OF THIS DISTURBANCE. IF THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES SOUTH SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN TURNS SOUTHWARD OR IF IT SLOWS IN SPEED, IT SHOULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER, THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE SYSTEM COULD MOVE INTO LAND THEREFORE PREVENTING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IF THE SYSTEM CENTER REMAINS OVER THE WATER THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050500Z0.// BT #1492 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627661-9123>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 01:15:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21042; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7447140 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA45062 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041714.LAA08808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:14:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7147f67649618872c1fcc5a046f1f91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 210 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 86E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22S4 85E3. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER THAT WAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN). HOWEVER, THE CENTRAL CONVECTION IS LESS CENTRALLY LOCATED THAN PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627954-20458>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 02:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12924; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:15:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7454381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA34266 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051814.MAA10579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:14:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c18d455748dfd31599840d2e4c02c61b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 907 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 85E3 HAS MERGED WITH A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM AND IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627940-20458>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 02:23:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA13656; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7454514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA12604 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051822.MAA10598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:22:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db0692ec497ef3a468509fc4f8426cdc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 135 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA LEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 85E3 HAS MERGED WITH A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM AND IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHI9#3 ,3/5 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: 95990= 60590 32960 70000 10137 20051 40246 51003 86034 333 10170 86462 83075= 60611 32960 60906 10121 21004 40256 53010 82034 333 10174 82360 85073= 60630 32765 60000 10175 20033 40213 53,# 83230 333 10221 83856 85362 = 60670 32980 40000 10132 21020 39136 48560 53008 80002 333 10162 84073 95990= 6068- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626332-7383>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA10154; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:55:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7458756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA50578 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:55:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:55:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060555.XAA11595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:55:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 060451z Jan 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30988a6fcbade3d34e5abcdb2cbeaf3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 126 WTXS23 PGTW 060500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 060451Z JAN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050451Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 050500)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR MORNINGTON ISLAND. NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER AND IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626401-7383>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA42604; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:09:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7458878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:09:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37592 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:03:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:03:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060603.AAA11634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:03:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 060451z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c23b6be1b246cf826a3bae3a253d0c78 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 268 WTXS23 PGTW 060500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 060451Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050451Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 050500)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUEOMCB1612 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR MORNINGTON ISLAND. NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER AND IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND.// BT #1612 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628055-7390>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:52:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA50486; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA38926 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061851.MAA13797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:51:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ce1173ce7ed6eaa5afa1e13ffd2393d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 134 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628084-7391>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 03:05:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25938; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:04:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA14790 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:02:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:02:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061902.NAA13829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:02:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f8c980b5f6840263861f23cc4a05db4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 382 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSUTA WEST TO COAE OF AFRICA): A. TROPINAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B.)TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMM RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. TPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3304 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628081-7383>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 03:08:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25990; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25928 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061907.NAA13843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 13:07:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90dbae6407ec98ae645e8033dc30534d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 491 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSUTA WEST TO COAE OF AFRICHUIEEEA GA. TROPINAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B.)TROPICAL ISTURBABSARG M RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. TPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627669-24072>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 02:47:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08502; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7433384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA18944 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071846.MAA16195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:46:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94b3313734423fad4ecf72d7398a2983 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 735 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA10130071819 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628217-24027>; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 01:54:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA63212; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA20906 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801081753.LAA18577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:53:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fbd02735cc1774db4c4eab5989db1a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 943 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628231-24020>; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 01:59:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20854; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA23102 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801081758.LAA18587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:58:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ffdc8f5afd90716b279f0c0bcceb425 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 005 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENOEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628876-11117>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:00:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA54054; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:59:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7449738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA34726 for ; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801091758.LAA21100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 11:58:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46242433d2c2bc1846c66b21db66fb50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 970 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2875 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629120-8758>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 02:52:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA36444; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:51:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7456494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:51:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10446 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:50:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:50:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101850.MAA23334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:50:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3dfd76e3097738c9ff088c9ed15168bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 349 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB40020101842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629122-8759>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 03:03:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA61470; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7456576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA23044 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101903.NAA23371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 13:03:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2e64d2a44ce4c02ec174e1f0948f686 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 600 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINS P P U UUFR EAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF WAFRICA): A. TROPICAL YCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB40020101842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629295-18024>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 01:53:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA09462; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:52:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7462944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:52:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA24692 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:50:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:50:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801111750.LAA25248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 11:50:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cf621ede3215b8f9d32463fead457a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 691 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-18026>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 03:10:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA45488; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7463258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24722 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801111909.NAA25375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:09:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9863faf8ddc49287f8504bc990babf10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 593 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3626 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-14574>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 01:41:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA54212; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:40:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7471297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:40:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA20838 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:39:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:39:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121739.LAA27331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:39:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c59a386ec548ac8b9f6dc3a57b63d001 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 136 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627108-14577>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 02:42:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA51394; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7472065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA35210 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121841.MAA27492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:41:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce55807fd0a0c8270b2926486363e109 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 561 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/MCCULLOCH/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCC02920121838 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-18600>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 01:51:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA16220; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:50:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7479778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA17410 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801131749.LAA29530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 11:49:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a97c48cb3e3ca6022d6ea2a6c2587128 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 940 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. ORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2885 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628801-7161>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 02:06:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA17644; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:03:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7488347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA12996 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801141802.MAA02051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:02:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46cee03a96c5bccae9096eb49b0379e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 324 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 43E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF TANZANIA WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATED UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE REGION, AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AT 140000Z5 INDICATED A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 141524Z7 INDICATED INTENSE CONVECTION, BUT THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION WAS STILL POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629511-28937>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 01:52:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA17304; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:51:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7496564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:50:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA18968 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:48:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:48:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801151748.LAA04306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:48:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7a900ebd09c70080b690bc42048c4c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 997 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 43E7 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION EXISTS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THIS AREA, A 150703Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A 151512Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS THE PRODUCT OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE AND NARROW TROUGHING. THERE IS NO INDICATION OF CLOSED CIRCULATORY FEATURES. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOUGH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627646-28906>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 01:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20964; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7505058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23228 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801161755.LAA07399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:55:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c26084f9c84144e46f7d9e9812311623 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 601 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOUGH/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625922-5893>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 07:24:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22940; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7507612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA16752 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA08059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801162322.RAA08059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:22:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f0ae1f68df010143b79f55b195070d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 885 ABIO10 PGTW 162200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/162200Z/171800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6 IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE AN AREA OF TROUGHING IS PRESENT HOWEVER WIND REPORTS SUGGEST A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH WINDS REPORTS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626785-5893>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:21:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA10836; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7507959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA10808 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA08140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801170020.SAA08140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e090bffa1d12a2252b7bd9d826e7506 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 145 ABIO10 PGTW 162200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/162200Z/171800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6 IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE AN AREA OF TROUGHING IS PRESENT HOWEVER WIND REPORTS SUGGEST A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH WINDS REPORTS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629984-21624>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 03:43:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18830; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:42:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7514408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA05708 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801171941.NAA09759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:41:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24cdf1757ddf025950ce561413237bbf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 063 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6 HAS NOW MOVED OVER LAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ONTO THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. AS LONG AS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS OVER LAND, SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER, THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY IN CASE IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 75E2. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED AN AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. EARLIER, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 170830Z INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, ALTHOUGH ONLY MINIMAL CONVECTION WAS PRESENT AT THAT TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2935 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625875-484>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 07:48:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA15902; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 17:47:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7515588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 17:46:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA21734 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 17:46:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 17:46:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801172346.RAA10073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 17:46:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a336eb3609c49b9ac181fbe505d8afb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 454 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.0S8 38.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 236 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 38.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4S3 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 219 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.1S3 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 203 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.8S1 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.4S9 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.4S2 38.2E3 AS OF 172230Z5, A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS LOCATED IN THE ZAMBEZIA PROVINCE OF MOZAMBIQUE, APPROXIMATELY 30NM INLAND FROM THE COAST AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 172230Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. PAST MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS SUGGESTS WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WILL TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AND BE LOCATED OVER WATER. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SHOW GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120NM OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THIS DATA ALSO SUGGESTS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER IT WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S, IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW FROM THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER WATER AND INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, TC 13S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9).REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625915-484>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 08:43:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA23812; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 18:42:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7515804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 18:42:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA21212 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 18:41:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA10143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 18:41:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180041.SAA10143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 18:41:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ad1d166d312825fbc1c8c9d54563433 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.0S8 38.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 236 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9668 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 38.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4S3 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 219 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.1S3 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 203 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9668 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.8S1 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.4S9 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.4S2 38.2E3 AS OF 172230Z5, A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS LOCATED IN THE ZAMBEZIA PROVINCE OF MOZAMBIQUE, APPROXIMATELY 30NM INLAND FROM THE COAST AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9668 UNCLAS AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 172230Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. PAST MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS SUGGESTS WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WILL TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AND BE LOCATED OVER WATER. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SHOW GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120NM OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THIS DATA ALSO SUGGESTS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER IT WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S, IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW FROM THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER WATER AND INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, TC 13S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9668 UNCLAS INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9668 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1310 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625932-480>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:05:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA18498; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:04:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7515932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:04:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA19248 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:04:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:04:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180104.TAA10188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:04:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 001a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3edfdbac83ad59ad22046737c9d50fb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.0S8 38.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 236 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 38.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4S3 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 219 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.1S3 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 203 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.8S1 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.4S9 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.4S2 38.2E3 AS OF 172230Z5, A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS LOCATED IN THE ZAMBEZIA PROVINCE OF MOZAMBIQUE, APPROXIMATELY 30NM INLAND FROM THE COAST, AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 172230Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. PAST MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS SUGGESTS WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WILL TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AND BE LOCATED OVER WATER. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SHOW GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120NM OF THE LOW- LEVEL CENTER. THIS DATA ALSO SUGGESTS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER IT WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S, IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN ON MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW FROM THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER WATER AND INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, TC 13S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 13 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: INCREASE WARNING PERIODICITY. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-480>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:18:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA18536; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:17:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7515974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:17:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11090 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:17:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:17:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180117.TAA10210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 19:17:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 001a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afa5b3344b334b226dfe49f7beaf9b9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 182 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.0S8 38.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 236 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9735 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 38.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4S3 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 219 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.1S3 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 203 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9735 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.8S1 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.4S9 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.4S2 38.2E3 AS OF 172230Z5, A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS LOCATED IN THE ZAMBEZIA PROVINCE OF MOZAMBIQUE, APPROXIMATELY 30NM INLAND FROM THE COAST, AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9735 UNCLAS SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 172230Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. PAST MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS SUGGESTS WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WILL TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AND BE LOCATED OVER WATER. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SHOW GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120NM OF THE LOW- LEVEL CENTER. THIS DATA ALSO SUGGESTS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER IT WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S, IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN ON MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW FROM THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER WATER AND INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, TC 13S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 13 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: INCREASE WARNING PERIODICITY. REFER TO PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9735 UNCLAS WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9735 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628425-483>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 00:45:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA20106; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:44:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:44:43 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA20000 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:32:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14497 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 02:17:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 02:15:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180815.CAA10759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 02:15:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97c2dc6c14e0c60f6e8f794924b71008 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 WTXS31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.7S5 36.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 36.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.6S6 34.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 21.7S0 34.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 24.0S6 34.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.1S9 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.4S5 38.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 18.2S1 36.1E0 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK ALONG THE COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED INLAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE COAST OF AFRICA. AS IT MOVES OVER WATER AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628420-480>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 00:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA11688; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:42:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519325 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:42:39 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA22040 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:32:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15393 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 02:47:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 02:44:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180844.CAA10793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 02:44:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2acc55d86e71399abcd1183fcdcbbc0a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 558 WTXS31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.7S5 36.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0531 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 36.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.6S6 34.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 21.7S0 34.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 24.0S6 34.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0531 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.1S9 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.4S5 38.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 18.2S1 36.1E0 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK ALONG THE COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0531 UNCLAS WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED INLAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE COAST OF AFRICA. AS IT MOVES OVER WATER AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z2 (DTG 181353Z7) AND 190300Z9 (DTG 190153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0531 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628387-483>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 00:39:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22090; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:38:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:38:50 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA18638 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:32:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA23923 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 08:31:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 08:28:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801181428.IAA11331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 08:28:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7446f65279b750e6aa859a6211d24524 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 922 WTXS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.2S0 35.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 35.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9S7 35.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.5S4 34.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.2S2 34.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.4S2 35.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS BEEN TRACKING FURTHER INLAND DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND HAS SLOWED AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INTO A NEARBY MOUNTAIN RANGE. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH 2000 TO 7000 FOOT MOUNTAINS. AN OBSERVATION FROM QUELIMANE (WMO NUMBER 67283) APPROXIMATELY 60 MILES FROM THE SYSTEM INDICATED WIND GUSTS OF ONLY 24 KNOTS AT 180900Z8. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN OVER LAND DURING THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181500Z IS 12 FEET ALONG NEARBY COASTAL AREAS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2136 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628377-485>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 00:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22420; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:36:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:36:31 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA21694 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:32:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25040 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:17:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:14:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801181514.JAA11400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:14:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bd12b1d28aa9c377a7ae3a090379b57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 WTXS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.2S0 35.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1124 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 35.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9S7 35.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.5S4 34.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1124 UNCLAS 200000Z2 --- 19.2S2 34.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.4S2 35.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS BEEN TRACKING FURTHER INLAND DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND HAS SLOWED AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INTO A NEARBY MOUNTAIN RANGE. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH 2000 TO 7000 FOOT MOUNTAINS. AN OBSERVATION FROM QUELIMANE (WMO NUMBER 67283) APPROXIMATELY 60 MILES FROM THE SYSTEM INDICATED WIND GUSTS OF ONLY 24 KNOTS AT 180900Z8. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN OVER LAND DURING THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181500Z IS 12 FEET ALONG NEARBY COASTAL AREAS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 191500Z6 (DTG PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1124 UNCLAS 191353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1124 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628505-484>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 01:55:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA07144; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17076 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801181754.LAA11604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:54:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5dbfd87fceef989c382f70b40bdd6ff8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 655 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 181353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 17.2S0 35.9E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS31 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 75E2 HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1994 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627578-12932>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 10:22:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18604; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:22:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7522531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:21:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21770 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:19:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:19:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190219.UAA12579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:19:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60da765002d48455daa961fc8b8ed13f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 18.8S7 35.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 35.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.2S4 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.6S9 35.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.0S5 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.4S0 36.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.2S2 35.7E5 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS STARTED A TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH NEAR THE ZAMBEZI RIVER DELTA AND IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20NM INLAND. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190002Z2 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED FROM SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND COOLED, INDICATING MORE INTENSE CONVECTION, NEAR THE COASTLINE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH AS IT TRACKS OVER WATER ALONG THE AFRICAN COASTLINE. TC 13S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS INTERACTION WITH LAND DECREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628964-12935>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:45:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25852; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:43:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7523296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:43:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21652 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:38:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:38:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190338.VAA12690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:38:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2b443c138b4d98e3aa0091c51004b37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 796 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 18.8S7 35.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2384 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 35.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.2S4 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.6S9 35.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2384 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.0S5 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.4S0 36.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.2S2 35.7E5 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2384 UNCLAS CYCLONE 13S HAS STARTED A TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH NEAR THE ZAMBEZI RIVER DELTA AND IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20NM INLAND. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190002Z2 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED FROM SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND COOLED, INDICATING MORE INTENSE CONVECTION, NEAR THE COASTLINE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH AS IT TRACKS OVER WATER ALONG THE AFRICAN COASTLINE. TC 13S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS INTERACTION WITH LAND DECREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2384 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629083-12926>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:49:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA21726; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:48:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7525462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:48:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA11090 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:44:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:44:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801191344.HAA13608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:44:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65d26ec05843dd065a961cc4460bf7b0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 064 WTXS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 20.3S5 34.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 34.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.0S4 34.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.3S8 35.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.8S4 35.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.9S7 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 20.7S9 34.9E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISUAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN 190900Z9 INLAND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION FROM WMO NUMBER 67297 OF 23 KNOTS WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE WATER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S SHOULD START TRACKING MORE SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND REMAIN OVER LAND DURING THIS TIME RESULTING IN SLIGHT WEAKENING. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD WHICH SHOULD BRING IT OVER THE WATER AND ALLOW FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629061-12933>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 22:39:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21790; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:38:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7526097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14602 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:38:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:38:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801191438.IAA13691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:38:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04feaa036de30b50f928c6e33a2db48b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 WTXS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 20.3S5 34.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3703 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 34.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.0S4 34.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.3S8 35.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.8S4 35.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3703 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.9S7 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 20.7S9 34.9E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISUAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN 190900Z9 INLAND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION FROM WMO NUMBER 67297 OF 23 KNOTS WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE WATER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S SHOULD START TRACKING MORE SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND REMAIN OVER LAND DURING THIS TIME RESULTING IN SLIGHT WEAKENING. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD WHICH SHOULD BRING IT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3703 UNCLAS OVER THE WATER AND ALLOW FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3703 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630179-12926>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 02:30:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA16468; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 12:28:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7528031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 12:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21026 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:54:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:54:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801191754.LAA13946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:54:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36695cd836569d4d6fc45a9821d99641 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 857 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 191353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 20.3S5 34.9E6, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 05 (WTXS31 PGTW 191500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4969 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626634-380>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 11:20:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13184; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:18:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7532059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:18:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13092 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801200317.VAA14706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7713b4bfff3d51b6448144d780d4f031 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 WTXS31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.5S8 35.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5050 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 35.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.0S5 35.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.5S1 36.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.0S8 36.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5050 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 27.5S4 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 21.9S2 35.3E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. THE SYSTEM'S CURRENT INTENSITY DOES NOT MEET OUR WARNING CRITERIA. HOWEVER, TC 13S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFY AFTER IT MOVES OFF-SHORE NEAR THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5050 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629103-380>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:59:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA23938; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:57:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7535572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:57:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22260 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:55:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:55:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801201455.IAA15706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:55:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3f526a6d0cdc530774f2b72a8623dd1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 701 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 22.4S8 35.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4S8 35.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.3S8 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.4S0 36.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.7S4 37.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 27.1S0 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 22.6S0 35.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO HUG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HOWEVER IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFFSHORE AND ACCELERATE RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN DISSIPATING WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629190-374>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 00:18:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA19466; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:15:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7536568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:15:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA24020 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:15:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA15817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:15:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801201615.KAA15817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:15:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0105ee9f6f0be77db4fa68c467f73b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 416 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 22.4S8 35.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7031 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4S8 35.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.3S8 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.4S0 36.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.7S4 37.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7031 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 27.1S0 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 22.6S0 35.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO HUG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HOWEVER IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFFSHORE AND ACCELERATE RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN DISSIPATING WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7031 UNCLAS 211353Z5).// BT #7031 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629311-374>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 02:15:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA10764; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7538044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20938 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801201812.MAA16055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 12:12:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 072819ac62d9d5ce25a1550036961f2e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 719 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 191353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 22.4S8 35.5E3, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 07 (WTXS31 PGTW 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626919-26379>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 11:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA27902; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:53:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7544069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:53:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA05886 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:51:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:51:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210351.VAA17026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:51:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1942b7541735f6a6388d5eb086952b6f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 658 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 23.4S9 38.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 38.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1S7 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.1S8 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.1S9 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 23.6S1 38.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY SUPPORTS AN INCREASED EASTWARD COMPONENT IN THE MOVEMENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURES OVER THE PREVIOUS 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626891-26385>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:11:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA17798; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:09:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7544331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:09:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26734 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:09:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:09:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210409.WAA17057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:09:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7789a5cd74ee9acd82ebb5a9c4939d66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 23.4S9 38.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9376 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 38.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1S7 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.1S8 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.1S9 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9376 UNCLAS WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 23.6S1 38.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY SUPPORTS AN INCREASED EASTWARD COMPONENT IN THE MOVEMENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURES OVER THE PREVIOUS 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// BT #9376 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-26385>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:42:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA14546; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:40:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7544519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:40:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19136 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:40:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:40:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210440.WAA17096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:40:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 008 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f5051dee7ea36466233710c55812d1a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 697 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 23.4S9 38.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S9 38.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.1S7 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.1S8 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.1S9 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 23.6S1 38.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY SUPPORTS AN INCREASED EASTWARD COMPONENT IN THE MOVEMENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURES OVER THE PREVIOUS 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3612 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-9475>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:26:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA11736; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:23:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7546732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:23:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA18886 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:23:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:23:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801211423.IAA17965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:23:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3b946727d33a7729a893c0c237bb658 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 176 WTXS31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 24.8S4 39.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8S4 39.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 26.1S9 41.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.4S2 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 25.1S8 39.7E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211202Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627052-9477>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 23:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19666; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:12:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7547362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:12:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA19606 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801211511.JAA18062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edc256b673fe09949cea90f02c80e3d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 975 WTXS31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 24.8S4 39.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1331 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8S4 39.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 26.1S9 41.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.4S2 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 25.1S8 39.7E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211202Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1331 UNCLAS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// BT #1331 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-9475>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 02:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21736; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7549369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24230 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801211823.MAA18367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 12:23:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55207634cd3e17b40593e6acd215c9cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 933 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 191353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 24.8S4 39.3E5, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 09 WTXS31 PGTW 211500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MALMQUIST/MCCULLOCH/HALL/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-18418>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19456; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:55:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7554166 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:55:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04584 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:55:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:55:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801220255.UAA19331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:55:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2dcd27a6ca8652c5b62e10b3be2ea4fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 594 WTXS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 25.4S1 41.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 41.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.2S0 44.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.4S3 47.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 25.6S3 42.3E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 212302Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WIND SHEER FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT INCREASES ITS FORWARD SPEED. ADDITIONALLY,THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THIS TIME PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-18417>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 12:05:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA28078; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:04:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7554651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:04:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26412 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:03:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801220402.WAA19450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75de2ee9ee11c4ceaa6539e1c8f68115 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 838 WTXS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 25.4S1 41.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3726 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 41.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.2S0 44.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.4S3 47.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 25.6S3 42.3E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS CONTINUED PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3726 UNCLAS TO TRACK TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 212302Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAG ERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WIND SHEER FROM T HE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHE AST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT INCREASES ITS FORWARD SPEED. ADDIT IONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THIS TIME PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 12 F EET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARN INGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) W ARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3726 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-8097>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 22:30:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA16822; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:29:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7557866 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19938 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:26:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:26:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221426.IAA20444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:26:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b492b30db54e922f65ea0bccce35510 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 639 WTXS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 26.6S4 44.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.6S4 44.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.1S0 46.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 27.4S3 48.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.4S3 51.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 26.7S5 44.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220802Z4 INFRAREDSATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3232 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627206-8098>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:06:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15234; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:03:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7558208 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:03:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26530 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:02:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:02:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221502.JAA20529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:02:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c97463fcaa610c431e8d84c2d1f4f168 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 288 WTXS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 26.6S4 44.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5795 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.6S4 44.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.1S0 46.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 27.4S3 48.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.4S3 51.3E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5795 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 26.7S5 44.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220802Z4 INFRAREDSATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z5).// BT #5795 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627208-8098>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:22:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA10812; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:19:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7558335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18862 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:19:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:19:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221519.JAA20554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 09:19:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 011a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df15098d0bfeea7b1f22ac3448b38054 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 WTXS31 PGTW 221500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 011A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 26.6S4 44.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.6S4 44.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.1S0 46.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 27.4S3 48.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.4S3 51.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 26.7S5 44.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220802Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: DTG ON NEXT WARNINGS REMARK.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627218-8098>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 00:50:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26520; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:45:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7559481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:45:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA12932 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:45:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA20756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:45:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221645.KAA20756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:45:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9f740a4f2673b5d881a7c44665d41bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 527 WTXS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 26.6S4 44.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6130 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.6S4 44.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.1S0 46.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 27.4S3 48.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.4S3 51.3E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6130 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 26.7S5 44.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220802Z4 INFRAREDSATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5).// BT #6130 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4665 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-8097>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 01:26:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16860; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7559709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15810 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221721.LAA20829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:21:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1969dd0e9bb5891ec36af32c80344fa6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 276 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 221353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 26.6S4 44.1E9, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 11 (WTXS31 PGTW 221500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-10457>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 10:22:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25290; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:20:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7563916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:19:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19172 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:19:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:19:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801230219.UAA23177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:19:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ebb948b8303e3973e90a1ac9431eede Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 WTXS31 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 26.3S1 46.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.3S1 46.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.8S6 48.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 26.4S2 46.7E7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS WEAKENED TO AN INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS AND HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 30 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-10457>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 13:25:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25234; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:24:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7565107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:24:00 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19534 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:23:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25686 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:23:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:17:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801230517.XAA23430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:17:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9024329e02937690d1f6b2ad7c6053e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 WTXS31 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 26.3S1 46.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.3S1 46.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.8S6 48.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 26.4S2 46.7E7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS WEAKENED TO AN INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS AND HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 30 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #8587 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:30:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627432-10458>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 01:23:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA12878; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:22:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7569431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:22:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA27754 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:18:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:18:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801231718.LAA24568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:18:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ad57707d3ae3bf3ca3d1eba4c795014 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 337 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 230153Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WAS LOCATED AT 26.3S1 46.1E1, MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 230300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 16S7 125E8 OVER THE BONAPARTE ARCHIPELAGO. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 230957Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA ALSO INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OVER LAND WITH A BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE COAST. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED WITH FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI/BOYD/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:30:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627458-10454>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 04:50:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24412; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:42:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7572310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA18500 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:42:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:42:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801232042.OAA25334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:42:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50dc58e902fb6052d224c5eb632402a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 286 WTXS21 PGTW 232100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232055Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 15.4S0 123.4E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 231730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 124.1E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE BONAPARTE ARCHIPELAGO HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS TRACKING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER WATER. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE FORMATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 242100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-10461>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 05:31:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22086; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 15:23:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7572694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 15:23:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA27438 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 15:23:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 15:23:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801232123.PAA25394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 15:23:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be49e52234f3a09a42c2001f3ffda649 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTXS21 PGTW 232100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232055Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 15.4S0 123.4E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1443 UNCLAS DATA AT 231730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 124.1E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE BONAPARTE ARCHIPELAGO HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS TRACKING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER WATER. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE FORMATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 242100Z9.// BT #1443 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627185-27086>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 23:49:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15526; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:48:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7577580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:48:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25716 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:48:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:48:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241548.JAA27720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:48:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: /a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/232051z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f42842cd78d197bd5b5c9ddbc42c23ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 968 WTXS21 PGTW 241530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241521Z JAN 98// /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/232051Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 232100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.6S3 123.1E7 TO 17.9S7 115.9E6 WI THIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMB ERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMAT ED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA AT 241400Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 122.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVI NG WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TOWARDS THE OPEN WATER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 241231Z3 INDICATE S AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM WMO NUMBER 94203 IND ICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC AN D SATELLITE DATA, HOWEVER, CONTINUE TO INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. TH E FORMATION ALERT IS BEING REISSUED DUE TO THE CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 251530Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3711 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-27086>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 23:56:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA18066; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:56:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7577611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:56:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20864 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:56:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:56:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241556.JAA27730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:56:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/232051z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e37071ac09515f257ddae0301ebdeebd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 107 WTXS21 PGTW 241530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241521Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/232051Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 232100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.6S3 123.1E7 TO 17.9S7 115.9E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUA NCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA AR E ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND RDAR DATA AT 24140 0Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 122.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVI NG WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TOWARDS THE OPEN WATER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 241231Z3 INDICATE S AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM WMO NUMBER 94203 IND ICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC AN D SATELLITE DATA, HOWEVER, CONTINUE TO INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. TH E FORMATION ALERT IS BEING REISSUED DUE TO THE CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 251530Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627487-27092>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA20774; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:56:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7577857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:56:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA05648 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:56:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:56:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241656.KAA27813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:56:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/232051z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c29f7f15b50dd402eefdb471999e16e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 WTXS21 PGTW 241530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241521Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/232051Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 232100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.6S3 123.1E7 TO 17.9S7 115.9E6 WI THIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMB PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5633 UNCLAS ERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMAT ED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA AT 241400Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 122.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVI NG WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TOWARDS THE OPEN WATER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 241231Z3 INDICATE S AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM WMO NUMBER 94203 IND ICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC AN D SATELLITE DATA, HOWEVER, CONTINUE TO INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. TH E FORMATION ALERT IS BEING REISSUED DUE TO THE CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 251530Z6.// PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5633 UNCLAS BT #5633 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627497-27086>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 02:08:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18786; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:08:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7578190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20032 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241807.MAA27941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:07:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9688fa5ba766b32fb096e637a7f44d4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 641 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 241521Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 125E8 I S NOW NEAR 17S8 123E6. THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 24153 0)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVEL OPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07S7 056E1. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATE D WITH A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTI MATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. T HE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-27094>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:18:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19870; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:17:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7578977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:16:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25672 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:16:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:15:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801242015.OAA28159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:15:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: N 98 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00452d2a5724634c8e3b4921b4707c00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 WTXS31 PGTW 242100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241421Z JA N 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 241530 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 17.1S9 121.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 121.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.4S2 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.7S5 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.0S9 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.3S2 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 17.2S0 121.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241730Z ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION SHOULD SLOW AS IT NEARS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S SHOULD STEADILY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241421Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 241530 ). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2513 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-27094>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 05:19:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA17428; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7579241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24552 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801242117.PAA28264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Jan 98 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtxs22 Pgtw 241530 ) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee58b8509069db60696191e89ec3db57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 WTXS31 PGTW 242100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241421Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 241530 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5957 UNCLAS 241800Z5 --- 17.1S9 121.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 121.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.4S2 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.7S5 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5957 UNCLAS 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.0S9 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.3S2 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5957 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 17.2S0 121.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241730Z ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD MOTION SHOULD SLOW AS IT NEARS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S SHOULD STEADILY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241421Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5957 UNCLAS FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 241530 ). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5957 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626224-9655>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:35:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17416; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:34:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7580614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16874 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:34:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:34:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250334.VAA28751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:34:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23359d426458d5683319ea5ac113d18f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 17.1S9 121.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 121.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.2S0 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.5S3 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.0S9 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.6S5 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 17.1S9 120.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING BY THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 13 FEET. IN THE FUTURE, TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626224-9655>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:37:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11518; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:36:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7580643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:36:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25834 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:36:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:36:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250336.VAA28769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:36:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 723d965cace55d1546ca76cf79febea6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 17.1S9 121.0E4 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6449 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 121.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.2S0 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.5S3 118.2E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6449 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.0S9 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.6S5 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6449 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 17.1S9 120.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING BY THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 13 FEET. IN THE FUTURE, TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6449 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626756-9655>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:56:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA24056; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 07:55:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7582917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 07:55:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22246 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 07:55:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA29661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 07:55:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251355.HAA29661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 07:55:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3969ee56611378da3c320675e85daa53 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 672 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7S6 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.2S2 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.5S5 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.6S6 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 18.1S0 118.9E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. THIS WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD SPEED OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD SLOW AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO ITS SOUTHWEST BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK DUE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO WEST-NORTHWEST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT IS LOCATED SOMEWHAT CLOSE TO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND THEREAFTER, INTENSIFICATION SHOULD OCCUR AT A MORE STEADY RATE AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-9657>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 22:24:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04158; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:23:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7582982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:23:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA23852 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:23:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:23:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251423.IAA29705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:23:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f75b93c723c2dc02a284c7888451d48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 294 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.4E5 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7566 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7S6 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.2S2 116.0E8 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7566 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.5S5 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.6S6 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7566 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 18.1S0 118.9E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. THIS WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD SPEED OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD SLOW AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO ITS SOUTHWEST BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK DUE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO WEST-NORTHWEST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7566 UNCLAS SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT IS LOCATED SOMEWHAT CLOSE TO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND THEREAFTER, INTENSIFICATION SHOULD OCCUR AT A MORE STEADY RATE AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #7566 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 26 08:27:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2381 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626748-9657>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 23:36:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14508; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 09:35:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7583155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 09:35:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA27796 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 09:35:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 09:35:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251535.JAA29798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 09:35:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 794654cbc9b82268926fff0990ee770d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7S6 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.2S2 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.5S5 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.6S6 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 18.1S0 118.9E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. THIS WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD SPEED OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD SLOW AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO ITS SOUTHWEST BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK DUE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO WEST-NORTHWEST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT IS LOCATED SOMEWHAT CLOSE TO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND THEREAFTER, INTENSIFICATION SHOULD OCCUR AT A MORE STEADY RATE AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT TIME OF SATELLITE IMAGERY.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 26 08:27:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626823-9656>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:19:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA12650; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:18:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7583365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:18:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA14410 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:18:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA29852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:18:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251618.KAA29852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:18:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31f0b8d18f280e20d3a9dd90d7cf40f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.4E5 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7855 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7S6 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.2S2 116.0E8 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7855 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.5S5 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.6S6 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7855 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 18.1S0 118.9E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. THIS WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD SPEED OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD SLOW AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO ITS SOUTHWEST BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK DUE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO WEST-NORTHWEST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7855 UNCLAS SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT IS LOCATED SOMEWHAT CLOSE TO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND THEREAFTER, INTENSIFICATION SHOULD OCCUR AT A MORE STEADY RATE AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT TIME OF SATELLITE IMAGERY.// BT #7855 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 26 08:27:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3549 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626854-9656>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 01:55:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA27992; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7583948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23874 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251755.LAA29986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 11:55:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52df352bcc25f6c11109da9576fa28e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 289 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 251351ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 119.4E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN ED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 03A (WTXS31 PGTW 251500 COR )) (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 123E6 I S CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS NOTED IN PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07S7 056E1 I S NO LONGER ORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-19665>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 10:05:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25852; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 20:04:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7586801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 20:04:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18918 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 20:04:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 20:04:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801260204.UAA00690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 20:04:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04078b14fd59f018ee1be35f1a9c0bd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 WTXS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 18.1S0 118.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 118.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5S4 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.9S8 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.4S4 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.1S3 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 18.2S1 118.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW POLEWARD OF THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE. NEAR 48 HOURS, A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHWARD MOTION IS ANTICIPATED AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES DIRECTLY POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627235-19658>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:32:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17734; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:31:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7587155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:31:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22192 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:29:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:29:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801260329.VAA00803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:29:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31979234e256fc594e504b8072a60c23 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 403 WTXS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 18.1S0 118.9E9 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8670 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 118.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5S4 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8670 UNCLAS 270000Z9 --- 18.9S8 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.4S4 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.1S3 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8670 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 18.2S1 118.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW POLEWARD OF THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE. NEAR 48 HOURS, A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHWARD MOTION IS ANTICIPATED AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES DIRECTLY POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// BT #8670 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626691-19661>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 16:40:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA17786; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:38:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7588756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:38:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25958 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:38:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:38:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801260838.CAA01211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:38:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c56832815eb594137fe9266d4b5822c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 WTXS31 PGTW 260900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 18.3S2 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7S6 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.1S1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.5S5 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.0S2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.9S1 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 18.4S3 118.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS DIRECTION, UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING TO THE SOUTH, AS IT INTENSIFIES. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 260530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IN VIEW OF THE PROXIMITY OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE SOLAR OBSERVATORY LOCATED AT LEARMONTH, WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-19658>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 17:30:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA17564; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 03:29:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7588859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 03:29:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19080 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 03:29:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 03:29:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801260929.DAA01394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 03:29:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c958bd3b4b0816cb4f4c6e1cd17592fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 437 WTXS31 PGTW 260900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9324 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 18.3S2 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7S6 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9324 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.1S1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.5S5 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9324 UNCLAS 280600Z6 --- 20.0S2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.9S1 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 18.4S3 118.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9324 UNCLAS KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS DIRECTION, UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING TO THE SOUTH, AS IT INTENSIFIES. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 260530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IN VIEW OF THE PROXIMITY OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE SOLAR OBSERVATORY LOCATED AT LEARMONTH, WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// BT #9324 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1852 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627536-19664>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:33:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18888; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:32:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7589749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:32:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17590 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:32:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:32:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801261332.HAA01660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:32:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f821f156d4e7cb3e8e24adcd2d4d35b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 605 WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 18.6S5 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.9S8 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.3S3 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 19.6S6 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.9S9 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.6S8 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 18.7S6 117.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A CLOUD FILLED EYE 14 NM IN DIAMETER. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 100 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP OBSERVATIONS LOCATED ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM AT 260600Z4 AND 260900Z7. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INTO A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALLOWING FOR SOME WEAKENING TO OCCUR THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627550-19665>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:39:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA11264; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:38:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7589761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:38:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18926 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:38:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:38:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801261338.HAA01680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 07:38:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d32f2752cc2cfaae1f646466dd5be4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 18.6S5 118.1E1 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9772 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.9S8 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9772 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.3S3 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 19.6S6 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9772 UNCLAS 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.9S9 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.6S8 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9772 UNCLAS 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 18.7S6 117.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A CLOUD FILLED EYE 14 NM IN DIAMETER. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 100 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP OBSERVATIONS LOCATED ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM AT 260600Z4 AND 260900Z7. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INTO A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALLOWING FOR SOME WEAKENING TO OCCUR THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9772 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// BT #9772 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:03:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-19665>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:43:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17854; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:41:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7592860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23164 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801261740.LAA02031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:40:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9b30c0d135eeb07591fbcedb3081c5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 868 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 261351ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 18.6S5 118.1E1, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE D WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 261500)) AN D SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:03:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627581-19664>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 04:08:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15764; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:02:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7594627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:02:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA18522 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:02:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:02:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801262002.OAA02318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:02:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf5d127438918e0c4bc5c7682e03fa64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 WTXS31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 18.6S5 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.8S7 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.1S1 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.4S4 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.7S7 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.3S5 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 18.6S5 117.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RADAR POSITION FROM WMO NUMBER 94312 (PORT HEDLAND). THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY, WITH THE SATELLITE ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS INCREASING AT LEAST 35 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (TIFFANY) CONTINUES TO SLOW IN FORWARD MOTION AS IT HAS REACHED A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A PASSING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD START TO SLOWLY GAIN FORWARD SPEED BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE BUILDS TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALSO ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) TO GRADUALLY TRACK MORE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN, PARTICULARLY AFTER 36 HOURS, AS IT WILL TRACK OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS AND MOVE INTO A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:03:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627543-19664>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 04:15:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30740; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:12:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7594723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:11:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA35070 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:11:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:11:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801262011.OAA02351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:11:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9878eda73b64a332f90c0ec5a4b15eac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 942 WTXS31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 18.6S5 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0703 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.8S7 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0703 UNCLAS 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.1S1 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.4S4 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0703 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.7S7 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.3S5 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0703 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 18.6S5 117.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RADAR POSITION FROM WMO NUMBER 94312 (PORT HEDLAND). THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY, WITH THE SATELLITE ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS INCREASING AT LEAST 35 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (TIFFANY) CONTINUES TO SLOW IN FORWARD MOTION AS IT HAS REACHED A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A PASSING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD START TO SLOWLY GAIN FORWARD SPEED BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE BUILDS TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THIS SHOULD ALSO ALLOW TROPICAL PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0703 UNCLAS CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) TO GRADUALLY TRACK MORE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN, PARTICULARLY AFTER 36 HOURS, AS IT WILL TRACK OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS AND MOVE INTO A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// BT #0703 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 11:34:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625899-2927>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 10:43:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20592; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 20:41:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7598510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 20:41:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24134 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 20:41:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 20:40:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801270240.UAA02996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 20:40:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85520fa9c39f8cdb10255e687fb3bd65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 481 WTXS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 18.5S4 117.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 117.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.6S5 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.8S7 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.1S1 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.5S5 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 18.5S4 117.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A 26 NM WELL-DEFINED EYE AND GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS AS IT TRANSITS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER 12 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE STRENGTHENING ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 24 HOUR POINT THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAJORITY OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD RECURVE THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND MOVE INTO MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS OCCURRENCE IS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-2927>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:47:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30392; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:42:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7599257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:42:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA27548 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:42:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:42:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801270342.VAA03094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 21:42:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83711b893fd885bc3387362bc3bdf11e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 586 WTXS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 18.5S4 117.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2348 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 117.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.6S5 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2348 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.8S7 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.1S1 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2348 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.5S5 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2348 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 18.5S4 117.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A 26 NM WELL-DEFINED EYE AND GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS AS IT TRANSITS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER 12 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE STRENGTHENING ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 24 HOUR POINT THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAJORITY OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD RECURVE THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND MOVE INTO MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS OCCURRENCE IS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2348 UNCLAS 270000Z9 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// BT #2348 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4074 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627600-2930>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:34:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21972; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:33:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7601515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:33:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27456 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:30:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:30:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801270730.BAA03425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:30:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4b1bd8e7d463f0431cdb2cf1b747008 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 333 WTXS31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 19.0S0 116.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 116.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.5S5 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.9S9 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.2S4 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.5S7 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.6S8 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 19.1S1 116.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN A REGION OF WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270530Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM DAMPIER (WMO NUMBER 94308). THIS SYSTEM HAS A 20 NM WELL-DEFINED EYE AND GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 24 HOUR POINT THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAJORITY OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD RECURVE THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND MOVE INTO MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS OCCURRENCE REMAINS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625914-2928>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 16:40:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23390; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 02:39:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7602191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 02:38:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA32796 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 02:38:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 02:38:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801270838.CAA03512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 02:38:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63b7de2996cfb27febe1dfc6cb7e1751 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 546 WTXS31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 19.0S0 116.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3671 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 116.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.5S5 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3671 UNCLAS 280600Z6 --- 19.9S9 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.2S4 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3671 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.5S7 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.6S8 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3671 UNCLAS REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 19.1S1 116.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN A REGION OF WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270530Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM DAMPIER (WMO NUMBER 94308). THIS SYSTEM HAS A 20 NM WELL-DEFINED EYE AND GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 24 HOUR POINT THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAJORITY OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD RECURVE THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND MOVE INTO MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS OCCURRENCE REMAINS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG3671 UNCLAS BT #3671 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627625-2928>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:39:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA21478; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 07:38:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7603356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 07:38:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA19916 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 07:38:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 07:38:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801271338.HAA03998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 07:38:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc4788f8b1d846576d5471be5ccf4db4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 310 WTXS31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 19.3S3 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 19.9S9 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.3S5 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.5S7 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.5S7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.5S7 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 19.5S5 115.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 271200Z2 RADAR OBSERVATION FROM DAMPIER (WMO 94308). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY OF 127 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS REMAINED SLIGHTLY ELONGATED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH. TC 15S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA WITH INCREASING WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627633-2928>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 22:28:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA30402; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7604005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 08:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26526 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 08:26:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 08:26:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801271426.IAA04052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 08:26:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe29e64ba46f5eddd7f97a8aee2f5825 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 WTXS31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 19.3S3 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4493 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 19.9S9 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4493 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.3S5 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.5S7 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4493 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.5S7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.5S7 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4493 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 19.5S5 115.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 271200Z2 RADAR OBSERVATION FROM DAMPIER (WMO 94308). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY OF 127 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS REMAINED SLIGHTLY ELONGATED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH. TC 15S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA WITH INCREASING WIND PAGE 06 RUHPSGG4493 UNCLAS SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// BT #4493 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627675-2927>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 01:27:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30494; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7605952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA35848 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801271723.LAA04381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b24d4024722b58a23a67f076285f7463 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 656 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 271351ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3S3 115.8E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND S WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL C YCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 271500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627694-2927>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 05:20:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA34980; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:16:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7608446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:16:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19354 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:11:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:11:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801272111.PAA04848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:11:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db6497b6d9b8417577bfaa85a1398743 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 977 WTXS31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 19.2S2 114.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5499 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 114.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.2S2 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5499 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.3S3 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.4S4 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5499 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 19.4S4 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 19.4S4 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5499 UNCLAS REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 19.2S2 114.5E1 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF RADAR DATA FROM DAMPIER (WMO 94308) AND 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE SHEAR FROM THE WEST WHICH HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED. TC 15S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT IS STEERED BY THE BUILDING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A SLOW WEAKENING TREND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5499 UNCLAS BT #5499 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626035-4894>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 10:16:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30146; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:14:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7610410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:14:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19628 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:14:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:14:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280214.UAA05608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:14:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0dd19439a45f08f1fec420ad9e405c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 WTXS31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 19.4S4 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.6S6 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 005 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.8S8 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.9S9 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.0S2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 19.5S5 113.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE EYE HAS BECOME COVERED BY CIRRUS OVERCAST, HOWEVER 272142Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA INDICATES A WELL-FORMED EYE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 272330Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY ELONGATED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626317-4892>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 10:39:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23942; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:38:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7610725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:37:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA11878 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:37:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:37:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280237.UAA05642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 20:37:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 765cd643341ae18328cbf3ba7016ae54 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 WTXS22 PGTW 280300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280253Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 12.6S9 128.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 131.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND WITH ABUNDANT ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING OVER THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626285-4892>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 11:19:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17188; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:18:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7610994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:18:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14840 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:17:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:17:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280317.VAA05708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:17:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 776d7c780bfed8fe3229a6e35671a051 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 728 WTXS22 PGTW 280300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280253Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 12.6S9 128.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272330Z PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6977 UNCLAS INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 131.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND WITH ABUNDANT ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING OVER THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4.// BT #6977 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626355-4888>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 11:25:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29952; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:20:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7611006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30956 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:20:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:20:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280320.VAA05717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 21:20:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12af457e085bb843e2990f6f6a62a4ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 WTXS31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 19.4S4 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6991 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.6S6 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 005 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6991 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.8S8 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.9S9 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6991 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.0S2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 19.5S5 113.7E2 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6991 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE EYE HAS BECOME COVERED BY CIRRUS OVERCAST, HOWEVER 272142Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA INDICATES A WELL-FORMED EYE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 272330Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY ELONGATED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// BT #6991 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2784 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626408-4892>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 14:56:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA06988; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:54:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7612430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:54:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32750 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:53:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:53:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280653.AAA06111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:53:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5f045c9cbadd0449fa849657bfda787 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 WTXS22 PGTW 280300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280253Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 12.6S9 128.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 131.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND WITH ABUNDANT ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING OVER THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-4892>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 16:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA32634; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 02:37:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7612742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 02:37:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15968 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 02:37:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 02:37:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280837.CAA06235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 02:37:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 044e464bb52f04a5d65408300d9dbadd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 906 WTXS31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 19.4S4 113.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 113.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.7S7 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.9S9 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.1S3 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.2S4 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 20.4S6 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 19.5S5 112.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 280530Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS A 20 NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ONLY SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKENING IN ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. ALL OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL, AND SOME OF OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR THE 72 HOUR POINT TOWARD AN ANTICIPATED WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-4888>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 18:00:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14090; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 03:59:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7612828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 03:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16120 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 03:59:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 03:59:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280959.DAA06463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 03:59:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fdada787fbb6e20ae7048f2f6057a9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 WTXS31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 19.4S4 113.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8791 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 113.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.7S7 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8791 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.9S9 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.1S3 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8791 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.2S4 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 20.4S6 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 19.5S5 112.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8791 UNCLAS KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 280530Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS A 20 NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ONLY SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKENING IN ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. ALL OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL, AND SOME OF OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR THE 72 HOUR POINT TOWARD AN ANTICIPATED WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// BT #8791 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627712-4891>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 21:42:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA35366; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:42:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7613844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:41:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15364 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:41:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:41:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801281341.HAA06743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:41:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebae45e2cb14b20a6ca62c52c9bb3e20 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 630 WTXS31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 19.6S6 111.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 111.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.8S8 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.9S9 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.1S3 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.3S5 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 19.6S6 111.3E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AND CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH. TC 15S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND BECOME MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED. ADDITIONALLY, TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE REMIANDER OF THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 22 FEET. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT 12 HOURLY INTERVALS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-4888>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 21:57:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15530; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:56:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7613965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA35480 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:56:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:56:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801281356.HAA06755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 07:56:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b368eddf75b23d2c5de35a366c7ddd2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 WTXS31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 19.6S6 111.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9356 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 111.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.8S8 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9356 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.9S9 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9356 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.1S3 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.3S5 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9356 UNCLAS REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 19.6S6 111.3E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AND CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH. TC 15S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND BECOME MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED. ADDITIONALLY, TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE REMIANDER OF THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 22 FEET. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT 12 HOURLY INTERVALS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// BT #9356 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3723 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-4891>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:41:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA05672; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:38:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7616981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30702 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801281837.MAA07357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:37:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78908e55f80fb14dcb127a5d7c8fe1a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 683 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 281351ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 280253ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.6S6 111.8E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL C YCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 281500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDAT ES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 131E5 AND IS THE SUBJ ECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, REF B. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WHICH GENE RATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AND HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE WEST. THE 281200Z3 POSITION IS ON THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA NEAR THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. MAXIMUM SUS TATINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REGENER ATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-4891>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 05:26:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA34952; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:23:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7618303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:23:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15712 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:22:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:22:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801282122.PAA07668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:22:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 280253zjan98 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtxs22 Pgtw 280300) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf36b842d22261341c9765278b65d07f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 WTXS32 PGTW 282100 COR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280253ZJAN98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 280300) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 008 REGENERATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 14.0S5 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.7S1 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 13.5S9 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 13.6S0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 13.8S2 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.2S7 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 13.9S3 129.2E4 LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WI TH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS MOVED WESTWARD OVER TH E NORTHERN TERRITIORY OF AUSTRALIA AND HAS REGENERATED IN THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SA TELLITE IMAGERY AND 281730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS NOW SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE EAS TERN QUADRANT AS WELL AS NORTHWEST SEMI-CIRCLE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGE RY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT IN ALL QUADRANTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW S AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE WEST-NORT HWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ENHANCED IMAGERY INDICATES THI S CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P AND IS NOT INC LUDED IN THE GALE FORCE WIND RADII. CURRENTLY, TC 14P IS TRACKING SLOWLY TO WARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOVEMENT THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TOWARDS T HE WEST AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (L ES) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS INTERACTION W ITH LAND DIMINISHES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 13 FEET. R EFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. SUBSEQUENT WARNING S WILL BE ISSUED AT 6-HOUR INTERVALS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627789-4888>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 05:35:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA18944; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:32:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7618436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA21976 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:32:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:32:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801282132.PAA07680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 15:32:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 280253zjan98 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtxs22 Pgtw 280300) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b470de837ebd54d82e62cf8242d7386c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 WTXS32 PGTW 282100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280253ZJAN98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 280300) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 008 REGENERATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0552 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 14.0S5 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.7S1 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 13.5S9 127.3E3 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0552 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 13.6S0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 13.8S2 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0552 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.2S7 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 13.9S3 129.2E4 LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS MOVED WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN TERRITIORY OF AUSTRALIA AND HAS REGENERATED IN THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 281730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0552 UNCLAS THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS NOW SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AS WELL AS NORTHWEST SEMI-CIRCLE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT IN ALL QUADRANTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ENHANCED IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P AND IS NOT INCLUDED IN THE GALE FORCE WIND RADII. CURRENTLY, TC 14P IS TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOVEMENT THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDS TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS INTERACTION WITH LAND DIMINISHES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT 6-HOUR INTERVALS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9).// BT #0552 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-15473>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 10:42:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23978; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:40:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7621274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:40:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35966 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:40:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:40:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290240.UAA08142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:40:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58984f2010b87f51f097db86238804d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 WTXS32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 14.2S7 128.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 128.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.2S7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.3S8 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 14.5S0 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 14.8S3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.5S1 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 14.2S7 128.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE EASTERLY STEERING OF A RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THIS TRACK CARRIES THE SYSTEM OVER LAND THROUGH THE NEXT 7 TO 24 HOURS, CAUSING A TEMPORARY WEAKENING UNTIL THE SYSTEM IS CLEAR OF LAND AFFECTS. THE POSITION AND WARNING INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 282330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ENHANCED IR IMAGERY INDICATES SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT OF CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 14P (LES). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3151 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626272-15478>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 10:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21196; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:48:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7621330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:47:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16040 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:47:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:47:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290247.UAA08151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 20:47:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0201f215f4641e2715447483691b5e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 WTXS31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 19.5S5 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.6S6 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.6S8 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 21.4S7 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 19.5S5 109.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PREVIOUS 12 HOURS. THIS HAS REDUCED THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY AS WELL AS ITS CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A HIGH VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 282330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4433 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-15479>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 12:12:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16050; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:11:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7622195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:10:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA07058 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:10:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:10:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290410.WAA08273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:10:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ebd95b6f5a42cc8c5df0d04b47befe1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 143 WTXS31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 19.5S5 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2108 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4636 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626272-15473>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 12:15:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA34862; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7622212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA25340 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290412.WAA08281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3287190923efa405b2237209b4b945eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTXS31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 19.5S5 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2108 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.6S6 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2108 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.6S8 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2108 UNCLAS 310000Z4 --- 21.4S7 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 19.5S5 109.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PREVIOUS 12 HOURS. THIS HAS REDUCED THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY AS WELL AS ITS CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A HIGH VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 282330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2108 UNCLAS BT #2108 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626466-15476>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 12:15:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21508; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7622204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA25326 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290412.WAA08285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 22:12:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b2ce7b9eb06a4fde75f908364e577bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 264 WTXS32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2114 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 14.2S7 128.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 128.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.2S7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.3S8 125.8E6 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2114 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 14.5S0 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 14.8S3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2114 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.5S1 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE EASTERLY STEERING OF A RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THIS TRACK CARRIES THE SYSOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 14.2S7 128.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626545-15478>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 16:23:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA35430; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:22:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7623786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:22:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28220 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:22:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:22:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290822.CAA08631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 02:22:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 495f7ae68280cdecc26d52b3ed01e41d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTXS32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 14.4S9 127.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 127.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 14.7S2 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.0S6 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.4S0 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.8S4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.7S4 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 14.5S0 127.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. INTENSITIES AND WIND RADII ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED FROM THE PREVIOU S FORECAST DUE TO A SLIGHT DIPPING OF THE SYSTEM=S TRACK AND SUBSEQUENT EARLY LANDFALL. THE EFFECTS OF LAND SHOULD BE MORE SUBSTANTIAL AS IT COVERS A GREATER PORTION OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THERE IS NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WA VE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3 ), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4840 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626601-15479>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 18:15:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25478; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 04:14:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7624003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 04:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA16242 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 04:14:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 04:14:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291014.EAA08881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 04:14:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01f813f4ff0e7cc8b2115c5d76cc7fbe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTXS32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3471 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 14.4S9 127.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 127.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 14.7S2 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.0S6 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3471 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.4S0 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.8S4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.7S4 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3471 UNCLAS REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 14.5S0 127.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. INTENSITIES AND WIND RADII ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO A SLIGHT DIPPING OF THE SYSTEM'S TRACK AND SUBSEQUENT EARLY LANDFALL. THE EFFECTS OF LAND SHOULD BE MORE SUBSTANTIAL AS IT COVERS A GREATER PORTION OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THERE IS NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3471 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-15473>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 21:37:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA35500; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 07:36:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7624908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 07:36:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA27794 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 07:36:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA09116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 07:36:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291336.HAA09116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 07:36:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3dabef8cdd5558cd7dab214a3e3ec3bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 067 WTXS32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 14.5S0 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.6S1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 14.8S3 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.1S7 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.6S2 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.5S2 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 14.5S0 127.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS TRACKING VERY SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SHIP REPORT OF 40 KNOTS LOCATED AT 13.6S0 127.6E6. THE CURRENT WIND RADIUS WAS ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED SHIP REPORT, AND OTHER SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE NEARBY REGION. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND WEAK SYNOPTIC STEERING FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, THE INTENSITY SHOULD WEAKEN FOR THAT TIME PERIOD SINCE IT IS OVER LAND. BY 36 HOURS, MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE COASTLINE. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY ONCE MORE AS LAND INTERACTION DECREASES AND THE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-15478>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:24:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA11336; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:23:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7625319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:23:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16946 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:23:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:23:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291423.IAA09168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:23:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db55ab0e6f910c3789017b6b3d5361f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 062 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-15478>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15456; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:26:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7625334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:26:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA27724 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:26:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:26:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291426.IAA09177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:26:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caddf9eff15bc9c16628e676633b6540 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 148 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 19.8S8 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.4S6 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.8S0 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 19.9S9 108.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE SURFACE RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-15478>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:31:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA35040; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:30:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7625362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA35150 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:29:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:29:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291429.IAA09182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:29:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c340c22d954ed5e14e883758a4731eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 213 WTXS32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4162 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 14.5S0 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.6S1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 14.8S3 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4162 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.1S7 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.6S2 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.5S2 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4162 UNCLAS OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 14.5S0 127.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS TRACKING VERY SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SHIP REPORT OF 40 KNOTS LOCATED AT 13.6S0 127.6E6. THE CURRENT WIND RADIUS WAS ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED SHIP REPORT, AND OTHER SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE NEARBY REGION. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND WEAK SYNOPTIC STEERING FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, THE INTENSITY SHOULD WEAKEN FOR THAT TIME PERIOD SINCE IT IS OVER LAND. BY 36 HOURS, MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE COASTLINE. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY ONCE MORE AS LAND INTERACTION DECREASES AND THE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) SHOULD CONTINUE TO PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4162 UNCLAS TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) BT #4162 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4541 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-15478>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21880; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:32:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7625373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:32:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29030 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:32:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:32:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291432.IAA09186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 08:32:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66004a9c8e418f250a1ac01850267c42 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 285 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 19.8S8 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.4S6 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.8S0 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 19.9S9 108.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE SURFACE RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-15476>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 23:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19588; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 09:17:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7625726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 09:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33906 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291517.JAA09283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50d14bebc6a988fdaeb8a1b1fc01b512 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 19.8S8 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4268 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.0S2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.4S6 106.5E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4268 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.8S0 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 19.9S9 108.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) SHOULD TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE SURFACE RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4268 UNCLAS TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) BT #4268 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626731-15473>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:00:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28402; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7627668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA27814 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291755.LAA09633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:55:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51f061b6532db420537362a3e070fefa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 220 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/291351ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/291353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.8S8 108.8E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 16 (WTXS31 PGTW 291500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5S0 127.6E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTXS32 PGTW 291500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 131E5 IS CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS NOTED IN PARA 2.A.(2) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-15473>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18542; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:52:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7628868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:52:10 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA25090 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:51:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA10792 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:51:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:46:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801291946.NAA09900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:46:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e55e23bcd6394bf91c2d1762a1eae943 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTXS32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 14.9S4 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.4S0 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.9S5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.5S2 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.1S9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 15.0S6 126.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED A BIT FURTHER SOUTHWEST DUE TO A SMALL WEAKNESS BETWEEN RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, AND A RIDGE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING MID LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD BECOME MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH TIME AS MID-LEVEL RIDGING BECOMES ESTABLISHED SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES). WHILE OVER LAND, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY DUE TO IT=S CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE OCEAN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH THE COASTLINE BY THE 36-48 HOUR POSITION AND BE BACK OVER THE OPEN WATER BY 72 HOURS. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD WITH TIME DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD INTENSIFY DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT OVER THE OPEN WATER AT 291800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-15473>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 04:05:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33902; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:02:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7629008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:02:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21834 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:02:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:02:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801292002.OAA09934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:02:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff4b1c934c1638fcfd980cbb1b3b45b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 WTXS32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5055 UNCLAS 291800Z0 --- 14.9S4 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.4S0 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.9S5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5055 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.5S2 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.1S9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5055 UNCLAS 292100Z4 POSITION 15.0S6 126.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED A BIT FURTHER SOUTHWEST DUE TO A SMALL WEAKNESS BETWEEN RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, AND A RIDGE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING MID LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD BECOME MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH TIME AS MID-LEVEL RIDGING BECOMES ESTABLISHED SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES). WHILE OVER LAND, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY DUE TO IT'S CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE OCEAN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH THE COASTLINE BY THE 36-48 HOUR POSITION AND BE BACK OVER THE OPEN WATER BY 72 HOURS. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD WITH TIME DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD INTENSIFY DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT OVER THE OPEN WATER AT 291800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1). PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5055 UNCLAS REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) BT #5055 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626053-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 10:38:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36148; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:37:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7633047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA36076 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300236.UAA10968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e5ff5983c1773d7b49ee3554b6272e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 WTXS32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 15.1S7 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.6S2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.1S8 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.6S3 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.1S9 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.1S0 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 15.2S8 126.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER LAND BUT IS MAINTAINING ITS ORGANIZATION WELL. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 292330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, FORECAST INTENSITY AND WIND RADII ARE SUBJECT TO A HIGHER THAN AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY. DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND, A SMALL VARIATION IN THE ACTUAL TRACK MAY MAKE A LARGE DIFFERENCE IN THE AFFECTS OF LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625988-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11918; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 21:23:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7633326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 21:22:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04216 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 21:22:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 21:22:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300322.VAA11027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 21:22:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e2fe16564ee3a5ffb4301442fa9c89d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 19.3S3 108.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 108.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.6S5 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.9S7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 19.1S1 108.0E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION, ALTHOUGH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SOME-MID TO DEEP CONVECTION HAS REAPPEARED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO TRACK IN A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LO W-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625970-24541>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 12:35:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA11678; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7633970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19796 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300432.WAA11109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ef63c7d8e46adce1684a064f2b7e539 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 683 WTXS32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 15.1S7 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7158 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.6S2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.1S8 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.6S3 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7158 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.1S9 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.1S0 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 15.2S8 126.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER LAND BUT IS MAINTAINING ITS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7158 UNCLAS ORGANIZATION WELL. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 292330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, FORECAST INTENSITY AND WIND RADII ARE SUBJECT TO A HIGHER THAN AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY. DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND, A SMALL VARIATION IN THE ACTUAL TRACK MAY MAKE A LARGE DIFFERENCE IN THE AFFECTS OF LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7158 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-24541>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 12:33:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA11646; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7633965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAB32862 for ; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300432.WAA11113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 22:32:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 980fdb35773867ac3bb26d6c34df3fa0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 19.3S3 108.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7159 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 108.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.6S5 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.9S7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 19.1S1 108.0E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION, ALTHOUGH ANIMATED PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7159 UNCLAS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SOME-MID TO DEEP CONVECTION HAS REAPPEARED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. TC 15S (TIFFANY) IS FORECAST TO TRACK IN A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7159 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-24541>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 16:17:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19028; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:16:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7635524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:16:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19774 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:16:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:16:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300816.CAA11495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:16:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82a65eac48e449f733f6e2855e660ec3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 163 WTXS32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 14.9S4 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.4S0 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.9S5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.5S2 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.1S9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.9S7 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 15.0S6 126.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED A BIT FURTHER SOUTHWEST DUE TO A SMALL WEAKNESS BETWEEN RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, AND A RIDGE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING MID LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD BECOME MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH TIME AS MID-LEVEL RIDGING BECOMES ESTABLISHED SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES). WHILE OVER LAND, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY DUE TO IT=S CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE OCEAN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH THE COASTLINE BY THE 36-48 HOUR POSITION AND BE BACK OVER THE OPEN WATER BY 72 HOURS. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD WITH TIME DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD INTENSIFY DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT OVER THE OPEN WATER AT 291800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 17:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19936; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:10:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7635570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:10:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15820 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:10:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:10:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300910.DAA11682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:10:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6496fa3f88e78eb5b4fdad04d2860388 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 955 WTXS32 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 16.1S8 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.9S6 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6S4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 18.2S1 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.8S7 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.8S8 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 16.3S0 124.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER LAND, BUT NEAR THE COAST. TC 14P (LES) CONTINUES TO DISPLAY GOOD LOWER-LEVEL ORGANIZATION WITH GOOD CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER WATER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300630 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626523-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 17:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26512; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:14:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7635578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15486 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:14:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:14:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300914.DAA11698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:14:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23b7c28f5f24ce83db78d005bfbc5189 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 WTXS32 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 16.1S8 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8506 UNCLASS SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.9S6 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6S4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 18.2S1 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8506 UNCLASS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.8S7 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.8S8 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 16.3S0 124.8E5 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8506 UNCLASS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER LAND, BUT NEAR THE COAST. TC 14P (LES) CONTINUES TO DISPLAY GOOD LOWER-LEVEL ORGANIZATION WITH GOOD CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER WATER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300630 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) BT #8506 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-24543>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 21:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA25472; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:09:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7636464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15200 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:09:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:09:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301309.HAA11963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:09:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78e362c63c7d22cda593c60238dff997 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTXS31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 19.3S3 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 19.0S0 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.8S7 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 19.2S2 106.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301030Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALED A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COMPLETELY DEVOID OF ANY CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD IN EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WA HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 21:47:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA26596; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:46:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7636686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:46:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA26564 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:46:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:46:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301346.HAA11994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:46:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d08bb1d31a9664e305e2c6c497387d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 065 WTXS32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 16.0S7 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.7S4 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.5S3 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3S2 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.0S0 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.6S8 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 16.2S9 124.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301100Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED PRIMARILY BY MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE EAST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW AND TAKE A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A CHANGE IN THE ORIENTATION OF THE MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN INTENSIFYING AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE OPEN WATER. HOWEVER, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT THE 72 HOUR POSITION SHOULD LIMIT ANY ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT OVER THE OPEN WATER IS 13 FEET AT 301200Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 21:59:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA11636; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:58:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7636863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:58:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16224 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:58:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:58:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301358.HAA12015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 07:58:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e924cee859e6caf995a59c0056095a9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 WTXS31 PGTW 301500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 19.3S3 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 19.0S0 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.8S7 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 19.2S2 106.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301100Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALED A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COMPLETELY DEVOID OF ANY CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD IN LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRRECT TIME OF SATELLITE IMAGERY.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626905-24534>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 22:15:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA25348; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:15:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7637057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15296 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:14:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:14:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301414.IAA12050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:14:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8aabd79dccb84cb6acc4c4e63d658f70 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 WTXS32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 16.0S7 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9276 UNCLASS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.7S4 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.5S3 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.3S2 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9276 UNCLASS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.0S0 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.6S8 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9276 UNCLASS 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 16.2S9 124.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301100Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED PRIMARILY BY MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE EAST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW AND TAKE A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A CHANGE IN THE ORIENTATION OF THE MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN INTENSIFYING AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE OPEN WATER. HOWEVER, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT THE 72 HOUR POSITION SHOULD LIMIT ANY ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT OVER THE OPEN WATER IS 13 FEET AT 301200Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6). PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9276 UNCLASS REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9276 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-24541>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:04:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15632; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 09:03:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7637462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 09:03:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA27830 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 09:02:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 09:02:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301502.JAA12115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 09:02:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5573b2414b521eeb9d90e2be513c9d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTXS31 PGTW 301500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 19.3S3 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9402 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 19.0S0 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.8S7 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9402 UNCLAS 301500Z9 POSITION 19.2S2 106.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301100Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALED A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COMPLETELY DEVOID OF ANY CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD IN LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRRECT TIME OF SATELLITE IMAGERY.// BT #9402 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-24543>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 01:07:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19554; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:06:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7638452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA34850 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301705.LAA12373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 11:05:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8c92b327b54a4362e0cfa2ba0918d61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 098 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/301351ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/301353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3S3 106.9E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 18A (WTXS31 PGTW 301500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 124.9E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTXS32 PGTW 301500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-24534>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 03:28:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14152; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 13:27:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7640224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 13:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28940 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 13:27:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 13:27:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801301927.NAA12592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 13:27:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d09d2c226099a86316d065b650c1673d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 129 WTXS32 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 16.1S8 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.6S3 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.2S0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0S9 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.8S7 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.6S8 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 16.2S9 123.9E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY OTHER THAN TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO INCREASE THE INTENSITY SLIGHTLY UPWARD DURING THE FIRST 48 HOURS. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:36:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3668 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-24541>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 04:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25414; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:36:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7641274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:35:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA33036 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:35:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:35:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801302035.OAA12728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:35:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 892caeb40e1adf3752a498563e0c65ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 119 WTXS32 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 16.1S8 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0192 UNCLASS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.6S3 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.2S0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0192 UNCLASS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0S9 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.8S7 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.6S8 116.0E8 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0192 UNCLASS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 16.2S9 123.9E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY OTHER THAN TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO INCREASE THE INTENSITY SLIGHTLY UPWARD DURING THE FIRST 48 HOURS. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0192 UNCLASS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0192 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:37:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627014-8722>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 10:18:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15714; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:17:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7643990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:17:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21320 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:17:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:17:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310217.UAA13227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:17:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd14cca49b1da853f850d8ffdccb7c46 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 WTXS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 16.6S3 123.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 123.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.2S0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.8S6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.6S5 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.4S4 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.1S4 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 16.8S5 123.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE. AFTER 48 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BE OVER THE COASTLINE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:37:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626360-8723>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 10:27:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26504; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:26:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7644117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:26:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16994 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:26:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:26:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310226.UAA13235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:26:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd43f2c8810eebb49a824623ab03976e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 673 WTXS31 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 19.4S4 106.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 106.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 19.3S3 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 19.4S4 106.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN COMPLETELY SHEARED AND LACKS ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:37:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627058-8717>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 10:47:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA32678; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7644418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14214 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310244.UAA13263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38cd48b9583cd1455125a7545494ee16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 980 WTXS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 16.6S3 123.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1448 UNCLASS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 123.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.2S0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.8S6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1448 UNCLASS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.6S5 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.4S4 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1448 UNCLASS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.1S4 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 16.8S5 123.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1448 UNCLASS ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE. AFTER 48 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BE OVER THE COASTLINE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM.// BT #1448 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:37:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-8723>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 10:46:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA32704; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7644423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19350 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310244.UAA13269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 20:44:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 175299d3bc40b2150c2e2ee3ca5e2e3d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 981 WTXS31 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 19.4S4 106.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1449 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 106.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 19.3S3 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 19.4S4 106.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN COMPLETELY SHEARED AND LACKS ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1449 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1449 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:07:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626959-8722>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 16:31:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA11812; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 02:29:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7646381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 02:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA35044 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 02:28:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 02:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310828.CAA13699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 02:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcb10affbc04a2ca4a6ee02303da14ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 WTXS32 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 17.0S8 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7S5 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.4S3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 19.1S1 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.8S8 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 21.3S6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 17.2S0 122.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 310530Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 302351Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN DESPITE BEING OVER A COASTAL LAND AREA. OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, GOOD ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 48- AND 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:07:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626921-8717>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 17:03:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA11378; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 03:02:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7646656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 03:02:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28512 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 03:02:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 03:02:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310902.DAA13861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 03:02:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 492c25d793c87e159e10214b3a847b87 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 926 WTXS32 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 17.0S8 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2804 UNCLASS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7S5 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.4S3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2804 UNCLASS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 19.1S1 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.8S8 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2804 UNCLASS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 21.3S6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 17.2S0 122.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 310530Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 302351Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN DESPITE BEING OVER A COASTAL LAND AREA. OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, GOOD ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2804 UNCLASS THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 48- AND 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6).// BT #2804 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627083-8723>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25980; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:17:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7650006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:17:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28482 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:17:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:17:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801312017.OAA14532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:17:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b04e0ac9b339691ab1c6beb40286886d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 WTXS32 PGTW 312100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 17.8S6 122.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 122.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.3S2 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.9S8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.6S6 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.2S4 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 21.3S6 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 17.9S7 122.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER WATER AND LAND. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE COASTLINE. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM CONTNIUES TO INTERACT WITH LAND THE CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DIMINISH. THEREFORE, AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P CONTINUES A TRACK ALONG THE COAST THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER WATER BETWEEN THE 24 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD WHERE A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR. AFTERWARDS, INTERACTION WITH LAND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0), 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6), 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-8717>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:54:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA32656; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:53:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7650286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:53:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA23422 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:53:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:53:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801312053.OAA14595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:53:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c86d036d3804ae90cd59cd471e3f1a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 WTXS32 PGTW 312100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 17.8S6 122.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4135 UNCLASS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 122.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.3S2 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.9S8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4135 UNCLASS OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.6S6 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.2S4 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4135 UNCLASS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 21.3S6 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 17.9S7 122.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER WATER AND LAND. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE COASTLINE. HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM CONTNIUES TO INTERACT WITH LAND THE CHANCES FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DIMINISH. THEREFORE, AS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4135 UNCLASS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P CONTINUES A TRACK ALONG THE COAST THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER WATER BETWEEN THE 24 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD WHERE A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR. AFTERWARDS, INTERACTION WITH LAND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0), 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6), 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9).// BT #4135 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-28862>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 10:22:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17122; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:21:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7652086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:21:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA17872 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:21:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:21:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802010221.UAA15128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:21:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fb93f2f7a9f94879f0d563129295b9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 770 WTXS32 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 18.8S7 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.8S8 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 20.4S6 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.9S1 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.2S5 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 19.1S1 122.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. DRY AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED FROM THE GREAT SANDY DESERT TO THE SOUTH AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A SINGLE BAND OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT DUE TO THE INFLUX OF MOIST MARITIME AIR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTERS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEVERAL OF OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IN WHICH THIS SYSTEM TRACKS WEST- SOUTHWEST OVER THE COAST AND MAINTAINS ITS INTENSITY THROUGH ENTRAINMENT OF MOIST MARITIME AIR. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS SCENARIO IS LOW. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW ISSUE TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES). SHOULD THIS SYSTEM MOVE BACK OVER THE COAST AND INTENSIFY, SIX- HOURLY WARNINGS WILL BE RESUMED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-28862>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 10:56:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA35844; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:54:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7652247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:54:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15602 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:54:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:54:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802010254.UAA15171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 20:54:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a20d50e46efab87987c35f412c01106 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 WTXS32 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 18.8S7 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLASS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.8S8 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 20.4S6 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.9S1 121.1E5 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLASS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.2S5 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 19.1S1 122.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. DRY AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED FROM THE GREAT SANDY DESERT TO THE SOUTH AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A SINGLE BAND OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT DUE TO THE INFLUX OF MOIST MARITIME AIR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLASS AND WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTERS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEVERAL OF OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IN WHICH THIS SYSTEM TRACKS WEST- SOUTHWEST OVER THE COAST AND MAINTAINS ITS INTENSITY THROUGH ENTRAINMENT OF MOIST MARITIME AIR. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS SCENARIO IS LOW. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW ISSUE TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES). SHOULD THIS SYSTEM MOVE BACK OVER THE COAST AND INTENSIFY, SIX- HOURLY WARNINGS WILL BE RESUMED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1).// BT #4641 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626596-28869>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 16:03:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14288; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7653918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17058 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802010801.CAA15585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 02:01:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 321fc4a7c87d46842fa679b308894319 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 183 ABIO10 PGTW 010800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/010800Z FEB 98 - 011800Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/010153ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 18.8S7 122.7E2, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTXS32 PGTW 010300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 18S9 105E6. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY). ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED 43 NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS OVER MOZAMBIQUE NEAR 16S8 36E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION DISSIPATING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT IS CURRENTLY BEING HINDERED BY INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS IN THE INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 11S2 65E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION LOOSELY ORGANIZED AROUND A POORLY DEFINED CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO GOOD IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANTS, POOR ELSWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-28862>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:46:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA11426; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 07:44:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7654895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 07:44:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA21902 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 07:44:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 07:44:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011344.HAA16145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 07:44:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eaaa6888e5ed0172c4a4f3d8f501ff34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 WTXS32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 20.4S6 122.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.4S6 122.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 21.6S9 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.6S0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.2S7 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 20.7S9 122.1E6 AMIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND MOVE INLAND OVER THE GREAT SANDY DESERT. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND IT REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN THAT SUGGESTS A 35 KNOT SYSTEM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH THROUGH 24 HOURS WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, DRY AIR FROM THE SURROUNDING TERRAIN AND WIND SHEAR FROM THE APPROACHING TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BELOW 35 KNOTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3918 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-28869>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 22:15:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA20256; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 08:14:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7655021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 08:14:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17678 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 08:14:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 08:14:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011414.IAA16177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 08:14:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 518c84b222b903460c62d29450a303a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 987 WTXS32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 20.4S6 122.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6003 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.4S6 122.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 21.6S9 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.6S0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6003 UNCLAS 030000Z3 --- 23.2S7 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 20.7S9 122.1E6 AMIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND MOVE INLAND OVER THE GREAT SANDY DESERT. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND IT REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN THAT SUGGESTS A 35 KNOT SYSTEM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH THROUGH 24 HOURS WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, DRY AIR FROM THE SURROUNDING TERRAIN AND WIND SHEAR FROM THE APPROACHING TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BELOW 35 KNOTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4).// PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6003 UNCLAS BT #6003 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-28866>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 02:20:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12582; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:18:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7656091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:17:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20392 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:16:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:16:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011816.MAA16529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:16:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d99b0e201c1fb1f09a88d83494303044 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 671 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/011353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 20.4S6 122.1E6, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTXS32 PGTW 011500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 105E6 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMTED INFRARED SATELLITE I MAGERY SHOWED AN AREA OF CONVECTION GENERATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIM UM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIG NIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 36E9 IS NO W LOCATED NEAR 20S2 36E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEE P CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTRAL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS CE NTRALLY LOCATED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, 011301Z6 MICROWAVE IMAG ERY INDICATED AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULA TION. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED, IT HAS SHOWN LITTLE TO NO DEVE LOPMENT AS IT TRACKED OVER WATER. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTH ER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WIT H GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. TH E POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 65E1 HAS R EMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZ ED. HOWEVER, OUTFLOW ALOFT IS EXCELLENT IN ALL QUANDRANTS. A LOW-LEVEL CE NTER IS NOT DISCERNIBLE IN INFRARED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE D TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625900-10333>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:19:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA07156; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:17:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7659089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA20704 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:17:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA17189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:17:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802020117.TAA17189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:17:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1650805cebecebe3702456f2b1e6ca94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 294 WTXS32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 21.3S6 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.0S4 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.0S5 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 21.5S8 123.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3740 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-10340>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:47:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA20736; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:45:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7659174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:45:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA16802 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:44:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA17225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:44:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802020144.TAA17225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:44:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53613db3f004b9180d1f7eda558f2446 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 928 WTXS32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 21.3S6 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7031 UNCLASS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.0S4 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.0S5 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 21.5S8 123.2E8 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7031 UNCLASS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #7031 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-10333>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 10:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA34876; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:39:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7659513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:38:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25340 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:38:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:38:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802020238.UAA17309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:38:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcb206e6477eb257953413d845b2a980 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTXS32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 21.3S6 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7147 UNCLASS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.0S4 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.0S5 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 21.5S8 123.2E8 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7147 UNCLASS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #7147 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627234-4987>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:12:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21540; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7666205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA25832 for ; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802021908.NAA18789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:08:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7be86844648111444b8ab9a323ee65f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 357 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800ZFEB98/031800Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/020153ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUT INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3S6 123.1E7, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE D WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS AND IS NO LONGER CO NSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) F INAL WARNING NUMBER 23 (WTXS32 PGTW 020300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS NEAR 18S9 105E6 HAS REMAINED QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LE VEL CIRCULATION EXISTS; HOWEVER NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS ARE A OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE CIRCULATION IS IN AN AREA WITH STRON G VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WIT H GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THI S AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP MENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S8 36E6 IS NO W LOCATED NEAR 20S 36E. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, THIS AREA IS EXP ERIENCING MODERATE WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. DESPITE THE WIND SHEAR, THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OUT OVER WATER AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO AN AREA MORE FAVORABLE FO R DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WIT H GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. TH E POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 11S2 65E1 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZ ED AND THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SU STAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM S EA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERE D SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-8091>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 02:48:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20242; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7665264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA36576 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802031847.MAA21191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 152eebb31281633eea1924a0f0571b5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 862 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800ZFEB98/041800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/020153ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 36E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 40E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS TO HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND LOSE SOME ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTS HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626180-14577>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 11:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA05834; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7670930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20640 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802040348.VAA22247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 21:48:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a325d8d43d43e8420577d930b1f19a1a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 584 ABIO10 PGTW 040330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040330ZFEB98/051800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 36E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 40E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS TO HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND HAS LOST SOME ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTS HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 08S8 077E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 031426Z6 AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 031752Z8 INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER MAY BE DEVELOPING NEAR THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD A SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627343-24802>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 02:22:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17690; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:21:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7694727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:21:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26664 for ; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:20:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802051820.MAA26352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 12:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6bda0add8c1b3c30dfa05534c9ea6d0e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 511 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800ZFEB98/061800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 44E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20S2 46E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS TRACKED EAST OVER MADAGASCAR. ORGANIZATION HAS REMAINED GOOD AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 078E5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE CONVERGENCE RATHER THAN A DISTINCT CIRCULATION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 085E3. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. LIMITED SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOWER PRESSURES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 134E8 OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DISTINCTIVE CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-21132>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 16:19:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26696; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 02:18:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7705923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 02:17:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24110 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 02:17:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 02:17:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802060817.CAA28307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 02:17:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ac7d4aaa18a7a5299755fcf53115e80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 192 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060751Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5S7 65.9E0 TO 16.2S9 58.0E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060351Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 64.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN BANDS AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 060351Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION OF 051831Z8 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A RELATIVE CLOUD-MINIMUM, LIGHT WIND CORE OF ROUGHLY 90NM RADIUS SURROUNDED BY AN ANNULUS OF STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY POOR TO FAIR BUT IMPROVING. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627486-21138>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 20:07:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA25150; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 06:02:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7706879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 06:01:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA30506 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 06:01:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA28685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 06:01:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802061201.GAA28685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 06:01:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b677b1a5157ceca379a0afbcef87bd12 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CORRECTED 061151Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060751Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5S7 65.9E0 TO 16.2S9 58.0E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060351Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 64.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN BANDS AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 060351Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION OF 051831Z8 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A RELATIVE CLOUD-MINIMUM, LIGHT WIND CORE OF ROUGHLY 90NM RADIUS SURROUNDED BY AN ANNULUS OF STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY POOR TO FAIR BUT IMPROVING. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT MONTH IN SUBJECT LINE. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627550-21132>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 02:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21080; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:20:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7711576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:20:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18840 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:16:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:16:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802061816.MAA29983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 12:16:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 650323f75e0fc2cf663ceb8d704ec86c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 312 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800ZFEB98/071800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS NEAR 12.7S0 064.5E5 AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYLONE FORMATION ALERT. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. REFER TO REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 046E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20S2 045E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMIANS ORGANIZED AND HAS STARTED A SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK OVER MADAGASCAR. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BRAOD AREA OF LIGHT WINDS AND LOWER PRESSURES. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WATER. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 085E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NOW A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH NO ORGANIZATION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 134E8 HAS MOVED OVER THE TIMOR SEA AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 129E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS. HOWEVER, LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50NM FROM THE CENTRAL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OVER WATER AND FURTHER AWAY FROM THE ADVERSE EFFECTS OF LAND IN THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECTS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-19260>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 12:27:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15604; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 22:26:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7718216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 22:26:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA12764 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 22:26:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 22:26:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802070426.WAA05017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 22:26:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu 061151z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80b7116b9124c090ae35df41356399c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 WTXS21 PGTW 070400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070400Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 12.7S0 64.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 070055Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 63.9E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERCEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS FROM 070055Z7 INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION IS STILL A LITTLE DISORGANIZED ALTHOUGH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD STILL BE SEEN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME CYCLONIC TURNING HAS DEVELOPED IN THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD ELEMENTS DURING THE PAST 8 HOURS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 080400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627710-19254>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 03:27:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15454; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:26:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7724702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16130 for ; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802071925.NAA06283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:25:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bec2c8f7ba4fa762cf804f9fe0a9352 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 136 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800ZFEB98/081800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 064E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 064E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORM ATION ALERT. REFER TO REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 070800)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 045E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21S3 045E9. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT TH E CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED OVER LAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS FAIR ALTHOUGH CONSTRIC TED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE. CONVECTION IS ALSO INDICATED TO HAVE WARMED SIGNIFICA NTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 127E0. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES AN ASSOCIATED LO W-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER THE PRIMARY DEEP CONVECTION, LOCATED ADJACENT TO THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE OROGRAPHICALLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED A T 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POT ENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4588 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-16551>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 13:12:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31582; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7729260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA30480 for ; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802080511.XAA01285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:11:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74acb1f0fe3d07fc17b3cd932cd59aa0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 086 ABIO10 PGTW 080500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/080500ZFEB98/081800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 080000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 63.3E2, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (WTXS31 PGTW 080300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 045E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22S3 045E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED AND HAS BECOME SEPARATED FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM TROUGHTON ISLAND INDICATED WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 27 KNOTS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 KNOTS. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAINED AROUND 1009 TO 1010 MB, WITH 24 HOUR PRESSURE CHANGES ONLY NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS STARTED ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS FROM THE NAVAL OPERATIONAL GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS) THAT THE SHEAR MAY WEAKEN IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625981-16552>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 16:25:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA12742; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 02:24:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7730602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 02:24:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14510 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 02:24:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 02:24:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802080824.CAA01548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 02:24:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f256795794a28d820502ef9f28dca6c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 740 WTXS31 PGTW 080900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 13.2S6 62.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 62.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.2S6 61.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.3S7 60.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.5S9 59.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.9S3 58.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.6S1 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 13.2S6 62.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 080408Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM FJDG. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS FROM FJDG AND KGWC. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626918-16550>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 22:35:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21590; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 08:35:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7732724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 08:34:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12550 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 08:34:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 08:34:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802081434.IAA02086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 08:34:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bdb75929a43959cdc44f5858ad336b1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 527 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 12.6S9 61.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 61.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.6S9 60.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.7S0 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 12.8S1 58.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 13.0S4 56.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 13.5S9 54.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 12.6S9 61.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AT ALL LEVELS. STEERING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF GENERAL RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT CONSOLIDATES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON ENHANCED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626970-16550>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21986; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:58:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7735728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:58:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31648 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802081857.MAA02426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 12:57:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29d004528841ba68e38f35bdc21f39b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 705 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800ZFEB98/091800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 12.6S9 61.3E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) (WTXS31 PGTW 081500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 045E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24S6 045E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS EXPERIENCED AN INCREASE IN NEAR-CENTRAL CONVECTION WITHIN THE LAST 3 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS NEW AND DISORGANIZED, FAVORABLE LATTITUDE AND PROXIMITY OF WARM WATER MAY ALLOW FOR RELATIVELY SWIFT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9 REMAINS NEAR THIS LOCATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA, INDICATE THE PRESSENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. 081430Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL AND GENERALLY POOR ORGANIZATION, ALTHOUGH MOST RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN SIDE OF NEW CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED GRAMMAR FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627508-16551>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 04:15:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA26032; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7736448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24196 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802082014.OAA02551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44e2b3b64290ef0fb6b9ec9813166b3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTXS31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 12.7S0 60.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 60.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.0S4 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.3S7 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.6S0 57.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.9S3 56.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 14.3S8 54.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 12.8S1 60.4E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 081730 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-344>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 10:57:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15584; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 20:55:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7741732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 20:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14500 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 20:55:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 20:55:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090255.UAA03124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 20:55:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80701a83116b8164320a1d97df4063dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 267 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 13.3S7 60.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 60.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.3S7 60.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 13.4S8 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 13.6S0 58.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 14.0S5 57.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.2S8 55.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 13.3S7 60.7E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090001Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC AND CONTINUITY WITH A 080607Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S= (ANNACELLE) POSITION WAS FURTHER SOUTH AND ITS INTENSITY WAS LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNINGS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS, THE 080607Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO WEAKEN IN 48 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THIS CHANGE IN THE STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS VERTICAL WIND SHEER SHOULD REMAIN LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-344>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:12:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA33058; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 22:11:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7742461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 22:11:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA04362 for ; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 22:11:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 22:11:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090411.WAA03221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 22:11:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0cb11728590f7254623171447bcd52b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTXS22 PGTW 090400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090353Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.9S3 124.7E4 TO 16.0S7 118.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 090100Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 123.9E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE DISTURBANCE HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS. TWO SUCCESSIVE MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASSES FROM 082120Z3 AND 090000Z9 INDICATED THAT CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP INTO A CURVED BAND. YESTERDAY, 25 TO 29 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS WERE MEASURED AS THIS SYSTEM PASSED OVER TROUGHTON ISLAND (WMO 94102). THE SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627025-341>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 16:13:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15434; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:12:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7744891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:10:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04602 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:10:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:10:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090810.CAA03565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:10:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe4fe6abca37cf98a26845bac6959a54 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 WTXS31 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 13.3S7 61.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 61.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.3S7 60.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.3S7 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.4S8 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.7S1 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.5S0 56.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.3S7 61.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANNACELLE) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090601Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYZED BY KGWC. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS, AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THIS WEAKNESS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE, ALLOWING FOR A SLOW WEST-SOUTWESTWARD MOTION TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32) FOR 12-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627040-345>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 16:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22076; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7745253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30758 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090855.CAA03603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 006a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3531dbfa80941e9490fde99983e206c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 985 WTXS31 PGTW 090900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 006A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 13.3S7 61.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 61.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.3S7 60.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.3S7 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.4S8 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.7S1 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.5S0 56.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.3S7 61.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090601Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYZED BY KGWC. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS, AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THIS WEAKNESS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE, ALLOWING FOR A SLOW WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT GRAMMAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-343>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 16:56:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24680; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7745258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22098 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090855.CAA03607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 02:55:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 21s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcbbbb60e8c0526892164ea2d89e190e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 998 WTXS32 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 27.2S1 43.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.2S1 43.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 29.5S6 43.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 31.9S3 43.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 34.5S2 44.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 37.0S0 46.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 27.8S7 43.6E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY WITH A 082010Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND 090509Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE 082010Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS WHICH INDICATED AN AREA OF 35 KNOT WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE SYSTEM DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS AS WELL AS COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE THIS SYSTEM TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD DUE TO THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TAKE A MORE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT RECURVES TOWARD THE SURFACE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 12 FEET. THE NEXT WARNING WILL BE AT 091500Z (DTG 091353Z1). THE FOLLOWING WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY 12 HOURS. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2716 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627760-344>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:05:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35872; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 09:04:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7748140 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 09:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18436 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 09:04:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 09:04:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802091504.JAA04144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 09:04:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 285e61cd66d8f1b85faab8d554b1ab40 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 14.3S8 61.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 61.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0S6 60.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5S1 60.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.9S5 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.2S9 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.6S3 57.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 14.5S0 61.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHORT TERM TREND AS A PASSING MID- LATTITUDE TROUGH EMPHASIZES THE WEAKENESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER THE TWELVE HOUR POSITION, TC 20S (ANACELLE) IS FORECAST TO REGAIN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AS IT BECOMES STEERED BY THE SOUTH-EASTERLY WINDS OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER, THERE IS A MODERATE CHANCE THAT THE TC WILL REMAIN WITHIN THE RIDGE WEAKNESS AND CONTINUE TO TRAVEL SOUTHWARD. EITHER WAY, CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION AND ORGANIZATION ARE EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627768-343>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 02:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18722; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:08:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7750624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:08:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30964 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:07:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:07:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802091807.MAA04586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:07:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 673a8f6e7195239c646b5b166ad43f37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 556 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800ZFEB98/101800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3S8 61.1E8, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) (WTXS31 PGTW 091500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 090600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 27.2S 43.7E4, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (WTXS32 PGTW 090300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22S4 045E9 IS NOW SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS DETAILED ABOVE IN PARAGRAPH 2.A.(2). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 090400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627779-344>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 04:19:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA35176; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:17:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7752979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:16:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15146 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:16:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:16:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802092016.OAA04886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:16:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a7027b4001c27e199e2ebf57695a759 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 255 WTXS32 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 28.5S5 44.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.5S5 44.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 30.2S5 45.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 31.5S9 46.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 32.8S3 47.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 28.9S9 44.8E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 091754Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 091730 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO CREATE A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, PREVENTING THE FORMATION OF CENTRAL CONVECTION AND EXPOSING AN ELONGATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN A GENERALLY SOUTHWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. DISSIPATION OVER WATER IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN 36 HOURS DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF CONTINUED HEAVY SHEAR AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2253 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-341>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 04:42:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA36698; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:38:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7753392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:38:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15104 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:37:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:37:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802092037.OAA04934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:37:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91b23296f6750738a7767f5ab8243761 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 550 WTXS31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 14.4S9 60.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 60.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 14.8S3 60.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.2S8 59.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.5S1 58.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.8S4 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.2S9 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 14.5S0 60.5E1 TROPICAL CYLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOUGH THE MODERATE CHANCE SCENERIO OF SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT DUE TO THE SYSTEM REMAINING IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENESS CONTINUES. TC 20S (ANACELLE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626670-20431>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 09:59:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA31744; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 19:57:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7758225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 19:56:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11366 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 19:55:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 19:55:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802100155.TAA05671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 19:55:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4bbb40d0412028f135b7bae2ecfe1a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 362 WTXS32 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 29.3S4 45.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.3S4 45.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 31.0S4 46.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 32.7S2 48.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 29.7S8 45.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS SUCCUMBED TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY SCATTERED AND INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY SOUTH-EASTWARD DIRECTION AS IT DISSIPATES OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR INITIAL WARNING AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2426 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626966-20436>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 10:30:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21866; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 20:28:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7758607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 20:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA31026 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 20:28:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 20:28:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802100228.UAA05730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 20:28:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 816dec1a7dec9df5d439dc5d9b9acbc4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 143 WTXS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 14.9S4 60.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 60.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.9S5 59.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.1S9 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.3S2 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.5S5 58.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 15.2S8 60.4E0 TROPCIAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING FLOW. TC 20S (ANACELLE) IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT GENERALLY SOUTHWARD TOWARD A SELF-INDUCED WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 20S (ANACELLE) IS EXHIBITING GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW BE ISSUING NEW BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM EVERY 12 HOURS, UNLESS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REQUIRES AN AMENDMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-20431>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 11:24:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA33984; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:23:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7759397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:23:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA32296 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:23:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:23:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802100323.VAA05822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:23:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Upgrades And Supersedes The Tropical To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 443f35f96b16a1ad49ae0deb612be439 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 064 WTXS33 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 001 THIS WARNING UPGRADES AND SUPERSEDES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW) FOR THIS SYSTEM 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 15.4S0 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5S1 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.9S5 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.6S3 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.5S3 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 15.4S0 120.0E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS WITH ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S IS ANTICIPATED TO INTENSIFY STEADILY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND LACK OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627864-20437>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 22:15:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA23674; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:14:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7765285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:14:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25438 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:14:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:14:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802101414.IAA06798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:14:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8eb7ed9d0ac7b535086343ad5cdcaf2c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTXS33 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 15.8S4 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0S7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5S2 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.3S1 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.1S0 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 15.8S4 118.2E2 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATTELITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 101056Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A 40 KNOT SHIP REPORT IN THE SURROUNDING AREA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM REMAINS ORGANIZED, HOWEVER, THE CENTRAL CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE FLUCTUATING IN INTENSITY AND AREAL CONVERAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH. AS THE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE IN A WEST-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST. AFTERWARDS IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627868-20436>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 22:58:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21802; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:57:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7765867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:57:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA11286 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:57:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:57:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802101457.IAA06873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 08:57:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33b17f44f67a63d7b77ee50e8d2e8400 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 16.6S3 59.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 59.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.4S3 58.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.8S8 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.4S7 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 23.4S9 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 17.0S8 59.5E9 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS AND HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY TO A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 101201Z5 SATELLITE POSITION AND INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL WHICH INDICATED A 12NM CLOUD- FILLED EYE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH. AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD TS 20S (ANACELLE) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGTW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1136 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627909-20437>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 02:10:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17632; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:09:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7768506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:08:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA14462 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:07:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:07:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802101807.MAA07301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 12:07:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37fd4b3730a17f3f5a7178669d04dedc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 908 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100153Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101355Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6S3 59.7E1, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 101500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 29.3S4 45.0E9, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S FINAL WARNING NR 03 (WTXS32 PGTW 100300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8S4 118.7E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 02 (WTXS33 PGTW 101500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 126E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS DETAILED ABOVE IN PARAGRAPH 2.A.(3) (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-22445>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 10:04:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23224; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:02:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7775073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:01:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35998 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:01:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:01:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110201.UAA08800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:01:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eecc751b44f8e29d80e670eff501f8f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 211 WTXS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 18.2S1 059.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 059.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.5S5 059.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.6S8 059.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.4S8 059.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 24.7S3 060.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 18.5S4 059.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM=S CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY INTENSIFIES, ALTHOUGH THE EYE HAS BECOME CLOUD-FILLED DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SLOWLY INTENSIFYING THROUGH 24 HOURS. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST IS EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGH 36 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN RECURVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AS A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH ERODES THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE=S STEERING INFLUENCE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWLY WEAK- ENING AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626447-22443>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 10:33:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30144; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:26:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7775591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:25:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA34734 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:25:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:25:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110225.UAA08845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:25:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 981b6d803f7186c2249e7a672b204c79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 557 WTXS33 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 15.8S4 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 117.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.2S9 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.7S4 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.0S8 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 15.8S4 117.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH STRENGTHENS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS ITS UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-22443>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 13:57:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18700; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:56:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7778136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:55:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16572 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:55:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:55:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110555.XAA09210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:55:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 011a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b5201cd271799b3f69ba7ce9e82e707 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 525 WTXS31 PGTW 110300 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 011A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 18.2S1 59.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 59.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.5S5 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.6S8 59.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.4S8 59.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 005 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 24.7S3 60.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 18.5S4 59.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTH AT 09 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON 110000Z2 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA, A 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM PLAISANCE (WMO 61990) AND EXTRAPOLATION OF 101913Z5 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1470 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627249-22440>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 22:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19686; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:16:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7782532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA31968 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:05:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:05:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802111405.IAA10054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:05:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 304e45e677b4190e431d4878e931567b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 879 WTXS33 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 15.6S2 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 115.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.8S4 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.0S7 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.3S0 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.4S1 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 15.6S2 115.3E0 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS ITENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 22S CONTINUES TO FLUCTUATE IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATION AND 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMIANS SIMILAR AS TC22S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENISFY AS IT BECOMES MORE ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-22445>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 22:26:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA33428; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:25:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7782680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA23938 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:25:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:25:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802111425.IAA10080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 08:25:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8ce6e149b363d1dc6ef0afae6df3d57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 368 WTXS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 20.9S1 59.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S1 59.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 22.9S3 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 24.7S3 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 26.5S3 59.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 005 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 28.6S6 60.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 21.4S7 59.3E7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS CONTINUED ON ITS SOUTHWARD TRACK AND IS NOW MOVING AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 111201Z6 SATELLITE BULLETIN FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL WHICH INDICATED THE SYSTEM HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND A 14NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. THE FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS SOUTHERLY TRACK AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT TRACKS THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER INCREASED WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627926-22443>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 01:40:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20068; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7786396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA35880 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802111739.LAA10526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:39:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7c9703089771ceec64e3c9b89594b7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 107 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111355Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 20.9S1 59.3E7, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 111500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 111200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 115.7E4, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 04 (WTXS33 PGTW 111500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626654-23541>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 10:49:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16920; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:44:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7794128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:44:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA33528 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:44:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:44:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802120244.UAA11634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:44:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 547b5e7c7d7f4fae318f9616a4eba665 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 WTXS33 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 15.0S6 113.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 113.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.3S8 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.1S6 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.0S5 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.0S5 105.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 14.8S3 112.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THE CONSISTENT DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER ALONG WITH BETTER ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 6 TO 8 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS TAKEN A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS DUE TO THE ORIENTATION OF RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE MOTION TRACK SHOULD TURN BACK MORE WESTERLY AND SLOW SOME IN SPEED AS THE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH WEAKENS AND BECOMES MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED. THESE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3059 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626410-23535>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 10:47:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA35590; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:45:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7794154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:45:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14320 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:45:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:45:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802120245.UAA11638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 20:45:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60ed69aef5789817c9af248bd177141b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 769 WTXS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 23.3S8 60.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3S8 60.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 26.2S0 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 29.4S5 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 32.7S2 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 35.6S4 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 24.0S6 60.7E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 120001Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 102 KNOTS FROM KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. BECAUSE OF THIS TROUGH, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD WITH A TURN SOUTHEASTWARD BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION WILL ALSO INCREASE DUE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-21910>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 16:35:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19578; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:29:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7797387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA34408 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:29:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:29:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802120829.CAA12131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:29:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99c817557b2d0b2d9fc2ac9141564443 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 WTXS33 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 14.8S3 112.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 112.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.7S2 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.7S2 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.8S3 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.9S4 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.0S6 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 14.8S3 112.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED TO 08 KNOTS AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 120532Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION TRACK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD AS RIDGING TO THE SOUTH IS STEERING THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN LOW AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ALONG THE FORECASTED TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627115-21910>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 16:59:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29252; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:54:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7797480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:54:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA33330 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:54:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:54:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802120854.CAA12155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 02:54:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 153d825026403102ea7f320b9036e1d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 755 WTXS33 PGTW 120900 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 006A COR 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 14.8S3 112.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 112.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.7S2 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.7S2 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.8S3 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.9S4 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.0S6 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 14.8S3 112.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED TO 08 KNOTS A ND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION I S BASED UPON 120532Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE WARNI NG INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KN OTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION TRACK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD AS RIDGING TO THE SOUTH IS STEERING THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLO NE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN LOW AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ALONG THE FORECASTED TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z0 (DTG 121355Z7), 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 13015 5Z5) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CHANGE NEXT W ARNING TIMES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627231-21912>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:44:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA19666; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:38:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7797807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:38:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15292 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:38:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:38:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802121038.EAA12402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:38:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 013a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e29bdf17124fe9ff9ec223824c92f836 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 WTXS31 PGTW 120300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 013A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 23.3S8 60.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3S8 60.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 26.2S0 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 29.4S5 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 32.7S2 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 35.6S4 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 24.0S6 60.7E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 120001Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 102 KNOTS FROM KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. BECAUSE OF THIS TROUGH, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH A TURN SOUTHEASTWARD BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION WILL ALSO INCREASE DUE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: PERIODICITY FOR TC 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-21913>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:51:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29396; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:49:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7797822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:49:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17798 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:48:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:48:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802121048.EAA12411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:48:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb95c495f3ac1f13a536fadac4ef0d3c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 775 WTXS33 PGTW 120900 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 06B COR 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 14.8S3 112.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 112.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.7S2 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.7S2 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.8S3 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.9S4 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.0S6 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 14.8S3 112.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED TO 08 KNOTS AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 120532Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION TRACK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD AS RIDGING TO THE SOUTH IS STEERING THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN LOW AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ALONG THE FORECASTED TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z0 (DTG 121355Z7), 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: PERIODICITY OF TC 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627989-21910>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 22:24:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA35014; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:22:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7799038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:22:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16560 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:22:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:22:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802121422.IAA12623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:22:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a97007aa0c7b8751c20401cd79ff111 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 129 WTXS33 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 15.5S1 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.3S0 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.8S5 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.2S0 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.5S3 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.6S4 99.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 15.7S3 110.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE RIDGE. AFTER THIS TIME, WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME AS THE EFFECTS OF THE TROUGH DISSIPATE. THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1130 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627961-21913>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 22:45:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29474; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:44:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7799369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:44:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA32262 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:44:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:44:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802121444.IAA12649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 08:44:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e347023ff643c3008f1589b30564e05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 WTXS31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 25.4S1 61.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 61.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 28.0S0 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 30.5S8 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 32.6S1 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 34.3S0 77.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 26.1S9 62.0E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO ACCELERATE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO THIS AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ALSO EXPECTED AS COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ENCOUNTERED. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN NEAR THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1665 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627980-21912>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 01:55:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16572; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7801268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21398 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802121754.LAA13008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:54:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b373da0225cd6bc5e82998453ff377ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 152 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121355Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4S1 61.3E0, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5S1 111.4E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 07 (WTXS33 PGTW 121500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-21910>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 04:25:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA10934; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:23:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7802889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:23:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA29334 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:22:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:22:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802122022.OAA13418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:22:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1e076202ecaa68833eaa958ea2c27d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 230 WTXS33 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 16.3S0 110.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 110.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.3S1 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.3S2 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.4S3 100.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.5S4 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 16.6S3 109.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 121730 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1), 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626390-26233>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:47:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA11514; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7805171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA21718 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA14127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130045.SAA14127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:45:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a852a8b6bc48b68ba979201b07ae08a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 579 ABIO10 PGTW 130000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/130000Z/131800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121955Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4S1 61.3E0, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWLEVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 110.1E3, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 08 (WTXS33 PGTW 122100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT IS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 AND 44E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS NEAR THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. THE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH SCATTEROMETRY AT 120727Z9 AND 122100Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA (FROM WMO NUMBERS 61972 AND 61970) INDICATED AN AREA OF 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WITH CYCLONIC CURVATURE. KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS INDICATED THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS PRESENT IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR BUT COULD BE UPGRADED BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, LOCATED WELL SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 TO 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETRY AT 121809Z1 INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA AT 122100Z6 SUGGEST THAT SURFACE PRESSURES ACROSS THE REGION ARE SOMEWHAT HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO ADD SUSPECT AREAS TO SECTION 2.B. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-26233>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 10:09:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16980; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:08:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7805881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:08:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA06968 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:08:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:08:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130208.UAA14237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:08:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d406258d42874ac1707a465e077e92c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 783 WTXS33 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 16.7S4 108.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 108.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.4S2 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.8S6 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.0S9 101.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.2S1 98.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.5S4 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 16.9S6 108.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 122330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS DEVELOPED A CLOUD FILLED 10NM EYE AS IT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 102 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING CONTINUITY FROM A 120220Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD COOL SLIGHTLY PREVENTING ANY FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1), 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8), 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3611 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-26235>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 10:23:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA33348; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:22:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7806001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:22:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14386 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:22:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:22:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130222.UAA14259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 20:22:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fa484e8d1518c93c5a562cf740f9a80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTXS31 PGTW 130300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 27.7S6 62.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.7S6 62.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 30.1S4 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 32.8S3 69.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 35.7S5 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 39.0S2 79.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 28.3S3 63.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) FORWARD MOTION HAS INCREASED TO 17 KNOTS AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 130001Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE TENDENCY OF GALE FORCE WINDS TO EXPAND AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND GAIN SPEED AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY AN UPPER LEVEL MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE WEAKENING WILL BE SLOW BECAUSE OF THE SYSTEM=S RAPID FORWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627048-26233>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:15:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA07016; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:10:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7808373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:10:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22304 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:09:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:09:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130609.AAA14607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:09:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71e9e1662de26a696686e2263f84a2bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 218 WTXS22 PGTW 130600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130553Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 275 NM RADIUS OF 17.7S5 43.3E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 130300Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 43.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED NEAR THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 12 TO 14 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61972, 61970, 67117 AND 67037 INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 120721Z3 INDICATED STRONG SOUTH- SOUTHEASTERLY TRADE FLOW OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND 10 TO 15 KNOT CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW NORTH OF IT. THIS SHOULD AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS ANTICYCLONIC AND IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625993-26235>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:27:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36624; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:21:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7808470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:21:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36836 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:21:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:21:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130621.AAA14628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:21:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 444ccd6061a3ea0640785c31ecca849d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 673 WTXS21 PGTW 130600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130553Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 275 NM RADIUS OF 17.7S5 43.3E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 130300Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 43.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED NEAR THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 12 TO 14 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61972, 61970, 67117 AND 67037 INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 120721Z3 INDICATED STRONG SOUTH- SOUTHEASTERLY TRADE FLOW OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND 10 TO 15 KNOT CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW NORTH OF IT. THIS SHOULD AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS ANTICYCLONIC AND IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-26233>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:29:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29842; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:23:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7808484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:23:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32384 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:23:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:22:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130622.AAA14632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:22:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6ada720646ac9ce31ca103abe1a6134 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 WTXS21 PGTW 130600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 275 NM RADIUS OF 17.7S5 43.3E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 130300Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 43.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED NEAR THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 12 TO 14 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61972, 61970, 67117 AND 67037 INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 120721Z3 INDICATED STRONG SOUTH- SOUTHEASTERLY TRADE FLOW OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND 10 TO 15 KNOT CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW NORTH OF IT. THIS SHOULD AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS ANTICYCLONIC AND IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627291-26230>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 16:25:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA21610; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 02:19:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7809038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 02:19:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA36696 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 02:19:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 02:19:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130819.CAA14751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 02:19:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e4361d08a92811ee6b9d7844fe2f2d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 WTXS33 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 17.2S0 107.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 107.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.7S5 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.3S2 101.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.7S6 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.0S0 95.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.6S6 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 17.3S1 106.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 130530Z VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WELL DEFINED EYE THAT FORMED AT 130000Z4 ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS DISSIPATED. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 5 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER INTENSIFYING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO STEERING FROM THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THIS MID LEVEL FLOW IS CAUSING TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) TO MOVE INTO SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WHICH IS ORIENTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS WILL PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPING ANY FURTHER, AND SHOULD BEGIN A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED SHOULD SLOW A LITTLE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8), 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4), 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628047-18166>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:49:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAB34974; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:44:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7810510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:44:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15742 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:44:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:44:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802131444.IAA15274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:44:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2eb4749b5ab30d9b2ab202a2494df21a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTXS33 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 17.7S5 106.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 106.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.6S5 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.5S5 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.1S3 99.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.4S6 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.7S9 93.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 17.9S7 106.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO HINDER OUTFLOW IN THAT QUADRANT. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WEST OF TC 22S (VICTOR). WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 131130 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER AND A 131058 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628050-18168>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:57:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA20114; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:53:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7810666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21262 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:52:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:52:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802131452.IAA15286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 08:52:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7c7576f33780a62348152d3c406fd41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTXS31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 30.5S8 66.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.5S8 66.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 33.8S4 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 36.9S8 75.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 40.2S6 81.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 43.5S2 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 31.3S7 67.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN ITS CURRENT DIRECTION AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. TC 20S (ANACELLE) HAS MOVED OVER COLDER SURFACE WATERS AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IT IS ALSO EXPERIENCING COLD AIR ADVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628070-18167>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:41:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15216; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:40:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7811034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:40:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28506 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:40:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:40:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802131540.JAA15357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:40:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b66674bf7a31e5a27a7f50a0f1f1e11 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 639 WTXS33 PGTW 131500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 011A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 17.7S5 106.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 106.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.6S5 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.5S5 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.1S3 99.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.4S6 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.7S9 93.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 17.9S7 106.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO HINDER OUTFLOW IN THAT QUADRANT. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT WEST OF TC 22S (VICTOR). WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 131130 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER AND A 131058 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (121955Z3), 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED NEXT WARNING TIMES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628089-18166>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20446; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7812715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20412 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802131817.MAA15727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 12:17:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f64edeba6f3490744eca3dec6694805b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 649 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 131351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 131355Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 30.5S8 66.6E8, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 16 (WTXS31 PGTW 131500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 131200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 17.7S5 106.7E4, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 11A (WTXS33 PGTW 131800)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (WTXS21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO PERSIST BUT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO THE COVERAGE OF SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW FROM TC 20S (ANACELLE). SEA LEVEL PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4166 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628102-18167>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 04:26:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22198; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:24:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7814388 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:24:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22180 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:24:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:24:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802132024.OAA15965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:24:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a84c807748c4bb7969872302e129870b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 WTXS33 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 17.8S6 105.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 105.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.9S7 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.0S9 100.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.1S0 097.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.3S2 095.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.7S6 091.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 17.8S6 104.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE OF RIDGING POSITIONED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS RIDGING HAS STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, LESSENING THE SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF THE TC=S MOTION. ANIMATED WATERVAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT THERE IS RIDGING BUILDING TO THE WEST OF TC 22S (VICTOR), HINDERING THE OUTFLOW ON THIS SIDE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6), 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2), 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626161-25584>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 09:51:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA36738; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 19:50:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7816697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 19:50:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA07000 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 19:50:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 19:50:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140150.TAA16471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 19:50:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26fde6350ce83ebf916bc7b1bb47de2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 291 WTXS33 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 17.9S7 104.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 104.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.1S0 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.4S3 099.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.7S6 096.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.1S1 094.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 19.5S5 089.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 18.0S9 103.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 132330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM 131559Z4 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AND IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES IN A GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING ADVECTED TOWARD THE WEST BY A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MODERATE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AFTER 36 HOURS AND ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) TO MOVE SLIGHTLY MORE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2), 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9), 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-25585>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 10:18:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20030; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 20:17:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7816843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 20:17:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16938 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 20:17:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 20:17:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140217.UAA16515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 20:17:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 882985b1f21e6c793e7897603096bcc7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 854 WTXS31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 35.3S1 072.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 38 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.3S1 072.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 40.6S0 078.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 45.4S3 085.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 48.5S7 096.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 36.6S5 074.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS ACCELERATING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 38 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130123Z0 VISIBLE, INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT ENTERS THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS APPROXIMATELY 99 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES AND COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-25583>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:46:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25794; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:45:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7817836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18858 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:45:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:45:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140545.XAA16803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:45:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa8087727701c4d3148b8dcc6c878eda Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 WTXS21 PGTW 140600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 140553Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 260 NM RADIUS OF 16.5S2 42.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 132330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.2S9 41.8E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 140000Z5 SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE 25 TO 30 KNOT INFLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST BUT LIGHT WINDS IN ALL OTHER QUADRANTS. OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 150600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626277-22892>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 16:23:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA33748; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:21:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7818391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24234 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140820.CAA17000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce2cfa2cf5ba9625565e833d6f7df4a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 WTXS33 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 17.9S7 103.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 103.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.0S9 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.3S2 098.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.7S6 096.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 005 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.1S1 094.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 20.0S2 090.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 17.9S7 102.8E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 140530Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWI030 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9), 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-22893>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 22:24:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31148; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:18:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7819784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:18:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13976 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:18:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:18:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802141418.IAA17520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:18:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82264f25d0b423105b3a7d729f1b3751 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 449 WTXS31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 40.7S1 83.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 40.7S1 83.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 43.4S1 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 41.4S9 86.1E5 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) HAS COMPLETED THE TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 23 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4024 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627304-22890>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 22:47:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA18630; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:33:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7819829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:33:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25012 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:33:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:33:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802141433.IAA17525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:33:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db46361dbbb6b7a830df38337859485a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 746 WTXS33 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 18.1S0 101.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 101.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.5S4 99.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.9S8 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.5S5 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.1S3 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.5S8 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 18.2S1 101.0E2 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC22S HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN AREAL COVERAGE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FAIR OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. HOWEVER, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS FROM THE NAVY=S GLOBAL PREDICTION SYSTEM INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER WATER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS DEVELOPED WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7), 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) FINAL WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4624 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-22891>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 22:59:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21510; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:57:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7819947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:57:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29680 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:57:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:57:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802141457.IAA17563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 08:57:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f50316cecda99954609c84ade656a050 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 092 WTXS33 PGTW 141500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 18.1S0 101.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 101.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.5S4 99.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.9S8 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.5S5 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.1S3 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.5S8 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 18.2S1 101.0E2 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC22S HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN AREAL COVERAGE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FAIR OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. HOWEVER, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS FROM THE NAVY=S GLOBAL PREDICTION SYSTEM INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER WATER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS DEVELOPED WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7), 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) FINAL WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627318-22890>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:44:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17508; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7820902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17472 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802141743.LAA17787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 11:43:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 242dddbbfa4e79bd3f292f556a071cba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 372 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 141351Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 141355Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140553Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WAS LOCATED AT 40.7S1 83.5E6, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) FINAL WARNING NR 18 (WTXS31 PGTW 141500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 141200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 101.6E8, MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 15 (WTXS33 PGTW 141500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (WTXS21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 5 HOURS. THE LIMITED SYNOPTIC DATA IN THE REGION IMPLIES A CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH LOW PRESSURES CORRESPONDS TO THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-22890>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 03:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA31802; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:35:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7821915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32764 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:34:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:34:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802141934.NAA17945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:34:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 549ad4b1af18b88262bb23a24789e6c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 WTXS33 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 18.4S3 100.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S3 100.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.7S6 98.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.2S2 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.8S8 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.4S6 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 21.9S2 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 18.5S4 99.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS AND HAS MAINTAINED AN INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TC22S IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE WEST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TC22S IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS. TC22S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH 12 HOURS AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7), 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3), 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626505-22358>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 10:44:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA32314; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 20:43:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7823555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 20:43:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA36390 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 20:43:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 20:43:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802150243.UAA18821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 20:43:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bbe8e3898228437be7f60c9e829b2e79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 WTXS33 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 19.6S6 096.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 096.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.5S7 092.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 21.1S4 089.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.6S9 087.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.8S1 085.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 19.8S8 095.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THIS REPRESENTS A RELOCATION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS, REVEALING AN EXTREMELY WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO DECELERATE AS IT CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT DISSIPATES OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. HOWEVER, THE CONCENTRATED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER MAY RESULT IN REGENERATION OF DEEP CONVECTION, PROLONGING THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627356-22366>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 14:10:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA06930; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:09:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7824333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:09:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15772 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:01:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:01:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802150601.AAA19644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:01:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e2246497190224b5f8e292e3fdb6f5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 191 WTXS21 PGTW 150600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 150551Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 150000Z6 SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND 142024Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND LIGHTER WINDS ELSEWHERE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4169 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-22366>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 15:55:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36540; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:54:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7824844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:54:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26790 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:54:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:54:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802150754.BAA20165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:54:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b58714b0db32fd6627ff2c22a450a69 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 788 WTXS33 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 19.9S9 094.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 094.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 20.5S7 091.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.8S0 088.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.0S3 086.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 20.1S3 093.6E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 150530Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER COOLER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0), 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6), 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627414-22366>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 22:19:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24184; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 08:18:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7825945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 08:18:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA23398 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 08:18:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 08:18:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802151418.IAA21233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 08:18:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8401a41949c8979429ec53cbb7f36190 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 WTXS33 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 20.1S3 92.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S3 92.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 20.7S9 89.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.4S7 87.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.2S6 84.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.2S7 81.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 20.3S5 92.0E1 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS CONTINUED ON A WEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151203Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 151130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC22S HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS STILL VERY WELL ORGANIZED. 150830Z7 VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED A VERY DISTINCT CIRCULATION CENTER AS EVIDENCED BY THE TIGHT WRAPPING OF THE LOW-LEVEL CUMULOFORM CLOUDS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH 12 HOURS AND TURN MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS. TC22S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 19 FEET. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT TWELVE-HOURLY INTERVALS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1892 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627442-22364>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:12:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA32644; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:11:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7826912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:11:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13072 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:10:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:10:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802151810.MAA22218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:10:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4d13d5bc2409c9c1917716f26bd7de4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 052 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 151355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150551Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9S9 094.4E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 19 (WTXS33 PGTW 151500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21S3 41E5. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 AND 70E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 70E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AND IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-12682>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:59:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA13296; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:53:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7829810 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:53:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA32474 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:53:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA24904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:52:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160152.TAA24904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:52:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da15b22b72e8eafe790b6e2553ad18cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 458 WTXS33 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 21.0S3 090.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 90.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.4S7 087.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.9S2 084.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.7S1 081.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.8S3 079.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 21.1S4 089.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 152330Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ONLY SPORADIC AND ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ROUGHLY WESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTH. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS WEST-SOUTHWEST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626492-12681>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:48:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22138; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 20:47:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7831024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 20:47:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14180 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 20:47:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 20:47:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160247.UAA25338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 20:47:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ampn/rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95c21a8179a15fdbd60428db1fe899ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 WTXS21 PGTW 160300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160251Z FEB 98// AMPN/RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.6S4 67.1E4 TO 32.1S6 66.7E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 152100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.0S3 67.5E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS RAPIDLY INCREASED ITS ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS ORGANIZING INTO SPIRAL BANDS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3040 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626272-12683>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:27:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11798; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:27:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7831257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25540 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160326.VAA25508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ampn/rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd115aa63f0b51919d691693cf7c1ce5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 291 WTXS21 PGTW 160300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160251Z FEB 98// AMPN/RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1628 UNCLAS WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.6S4 67.1E4 TO 32.1S6 66.7E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 152100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.0S3 67.5E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS RAPIDLY INCREASED ITS ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS ORGANIZING INTO SPIRAL BANDS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170300Z1.// BT #1628 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-12682>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:28:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA21340; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:27:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7831272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25586 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160326.VAA25516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 21:26:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f680765e9d0067c38be8f03d3321550f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 292 WTXS33 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 21.0S3 090.0E9 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1629 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 90.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.4S7 087.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.9S2 084.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1629 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.7S1 081.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.8S3 079.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 21.1S4 089.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 152330Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1629 UNCLAS SHOWS ONLY SPORADIC AND ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ROUGHLY WESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTH. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS WEST-SOUTHWEST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9).// BT #1629 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2006 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-12681>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:29:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15160; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:27:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7833015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26864 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:27:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:27:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160627.AAA26582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:27:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/160300z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5039dfc675234cfc34b476d468d3903c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 903 WTXS22 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160553Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160300Z FEB 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 160251)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.5S7 40.5E9 TO 28.4S4 44.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 160400Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.5S8 41.6E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED EXPLOSIVELY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND THE OUTFLOW HAS ASSUMED AN ANTI-CYCLONIC CHARACTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170600Z4. 5. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 21.0S3 67.5E8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-12682>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 15:06:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14336; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:05:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7833113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:05:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA05870 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:05:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:05:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160705.BAA26746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:05:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/160300z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6977fab3782995c115d3152d3ba657b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 WTXS22 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160553Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160300Z FEB 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 160251)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.5S7 40.5E9 TO 28.4S4 44.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1963 UNCLAS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 160400Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.5S8 41.6E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED EXPLOSIVELY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND THE OUTFLOW HAS ASSUMED AN ANTI-CYCLONIC CHARACTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170600Z4. 5. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 21.0S3 67.5E8.// BT #1963 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626684-12678>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 16:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA20714; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:20:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7833406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:20:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20950 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:20:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:20:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160820.CAA26984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:20:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West Gu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f000c545c8a9802b0cdbd503ff6683a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 079 WTXS32 PGTW 160900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160553Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 160600) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.5S8 041.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 41.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 22.5S9 041.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 23.6S1 041.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 24.8S4 041.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.1S9 042.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 21.8S1 041.5E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 160601Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS SWIFTLY ORGANIZED FROM A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS VIGOROUS CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION AND FULLY DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGH 36 HOURS UNDER THE ENVIRON- MENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. AFTER 36 HOURS TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS ANTICIPATED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BEGINS TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE RIDGING TO THIS SYSTEM=S SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160553Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 160600). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626731-12682>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 16:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24200; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:47:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7833455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA05748 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:47:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:47:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160847.CAA27059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 02:47:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West Gu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb0ed2cd47c601ad697cce74c76a9174 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 415 WTXS32 PGTW 160900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160553Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 160600) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2129 UNCLAS 160600Z3 --- 21.5S8 041.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 41.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 22.5S9 041.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 23.6S1 041.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2129 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 24.8S4 041.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.1S9 042.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2129 UNCLAS 160900Z6 POSITION 21.8S1 041.5E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 160601Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS SWIFTLY ORGANIZED FROM A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS VIGOROUS CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION AND FULLY DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGH 36 HOURS UNDER THE ENVIRON- MENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. AFTER 36 HOURS TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS ANTICIPATED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BEGINS TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE RIDGING TO THIS SYSTEM'S SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160553Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 160600). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2129 UNCLAS TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2129 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-12683>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 22:06:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA05716; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 08:05:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7835126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 08:05:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20856 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 08:05:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA28510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 08:05:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161405.IAA28510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 08:05:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f0fe1f4e70fa7213cce5a5a46129acb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 196 WTXS33 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 21.6S9 87.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6S9 87.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.1S5 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.7S1 82.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.6S1 80.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 21.7S0 86.5E9 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161150Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED AND NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT INTENSITY TROUGH 24 HOURS AT WHICH POINT TC22S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TC 22S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4693 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-12683>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 23:19:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15350; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:18:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7836054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15206 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:17:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:17:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161517.JAA29910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:17:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2637e1736509ffb6ce8ed5a392343876 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 WTXS33 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 21.6S9 87.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2579 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6S9 87.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.1S5 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.7S1 82.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.6S1 80.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2579 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 21.7S0 86.5E9 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161150Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED AND NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT INTENSITY TROUGH 24 HOURS AT WHICH POINT TC22S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TC 22S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2579 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-12678>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 23:51:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14342; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:50:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7836429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:50:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA32238 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:49:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:49:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161549.JAA00714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:49:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West Gu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aaf40fd0d17bda38c4fceff674e27e61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 219 WTXS31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160553Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 160600) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 22.1S5 64.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.1S5 64.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.0S5 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.0S6 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.2S9 60.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.6S4 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 22.3S7 63.8E7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 66E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161201Z INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED STEADILY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 071351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627409-12678>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 00:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14554; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:33:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7837132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:33:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA26476 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:32:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA01784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:32:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161632.KAA01784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:32:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West Gu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15574ae6a6f5fe56ea65f320df91ab5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 WTXS31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2642 UNCLAS 160553Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 160600) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 22.1S5 64.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.1S5 64.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.0S5 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2642 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.0S6 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.2S9 60.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.6S4 59.6E0 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2642 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 22.3S7 63.8E7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 66E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161201Z INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED STEADILY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 171500Z4 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2642 UNCLAS (DTG 071351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2642 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627409-12681>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:43:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36688; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:41:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7838022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:41:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12856 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:40:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:40:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161740.LAA03606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:40:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e54ea2644fca597215c43fc91bab716 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 341 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 21.6S9 087.1E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 21 (WTXS33 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 21.5S8 41.5E0, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS32 PGTW 160900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 161200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 22.1S5 64.1E1, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS31 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 44E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 70E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(3) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2378 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-12682>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 03:45:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12802; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:44:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7839839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:43:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24398 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:43:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:43:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802161943.NAA06483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:43:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ce95b138162353920d3ef839e2b3008 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 108 WTXS32 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 24.4S0 42.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.4S0 42.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.6S3 43.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.7S5 44.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.8S7 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.8S8 46.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 24.7S3 42.7E3 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 161801Z7 SATELLITE ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC23S HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THAT IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE WEST BASED ON THE OUTFLOW PATTERN ALOFT. TC23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. AFTERWARDS, TC23S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627446-12681>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 04:10:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34504; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:08:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7840213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:08:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25542 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:06:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:05:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802162005.OAA07081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:05:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a48e692ff79c7547ea915260968cbea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 WTXS32 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 24.4S0 42.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2990 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.4S0 42.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.6S3 43.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.7S5 44.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2990 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.8S7 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.8S8 46.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 24.7S3 42.7E3 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2990 UNCLAS IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 161801Z7 SATELLITE ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC23S HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THAT IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE WEST BASED ON THE OUTFLOW PATTERN ALOFT. TC23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. AFTERWARDS, TC23S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2990 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625990-10005>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 10:17:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36572; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:14:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7844338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:14:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA31688 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:14:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:14:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170214.UAA13159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:14:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69959f050109b0ad0c6127634d704f9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 120 WTXS33 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 022 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 21.7S0 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 83.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.1S5 79.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 22.6S0 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4S9 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 21.8S1 82.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REDEVELOPED CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS BUT REMAINS ELONGATED AND SUBJECT TO SOME VERTICAL SHEARING. TC 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2262 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-10003>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 10:53:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12924; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:51:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7844907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:51:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26728 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:51:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:51:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170251.UAA13540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:51:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db760394420d7d9793a5c9f2ab6b6cbc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 675 WTXS31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 24.7S3 63.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S3 63.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.9S7 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 28.7S7 63.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.2S5 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.4S8 66.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 25.2S9 63.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. TC 24S IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 162330Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-10005>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 11:16:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA36742; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:14:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7845033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:14:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA26738 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:14:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:14:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170314.VAA13732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:14:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42046621287665b769239f36b7a32f04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 WTXS33 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 022 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 21.7S0 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3758 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 83.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.1S5 79.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 22.6S0 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4S9 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3758 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 21.8S1 82.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REDEVELOPED CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS BUT REMAINS ELONGATED AND SUBJECT TO SOME VERTICAL SHEARING. TC 22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3758 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1219 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-10005>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 11:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17420; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:50:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7845414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:50:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13048 for ; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:50:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:50:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170350.VAA14033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 21:50:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25e5e6d7454777c2a2cf2039a4476e45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 755 WTXS31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 24.7S3 63.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3822 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S3 63.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.9S7 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 28.7S7 63.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.2S5 64.1E1 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3822 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.4S8 66.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 25.2S9 63.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. TC 24S IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 162330Z INFRARED SATELLITE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3822 UNCLAS IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3822 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-10003>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 16:38:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA33988; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 02:28:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7847381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 02:28:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA35762 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 02:28:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 02:28:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170828.CAA16152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 02:28:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f2b76c469bae131168514eee64b7f5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTXS32 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 24.9S5 43.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.9S5 43.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.5S2 44.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.1S9 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.7S5 46.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.3S2 46.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 25.1S8 44.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS EXPERIENCING UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 23S (BELTANE) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY INTENSIFYING ONCE IT MOVES AWAY FROM LAND. CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT UNTIL NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AT THIS POINT, UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-10005>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 18:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA32750; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 04:29:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7848027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 04:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA13020 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 04:29:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 04:29:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171029.EAA17009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 04:29:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70c578a21235b78249ca1ef464339bff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 WTXS32 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 24.9S5 43.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4738 UNCLAS SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.9S5 43.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.5S2 44.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.1S9 45.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.7S5 46.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4738 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.3S2 46.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 25.1S8 44.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS EXPERIENCING UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 23S (BELTANE) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY INTENSIFYING ONCE IT MOVES AWAY FROM LAND. CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT UNTIL NEAR THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4738 UNCLAS END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AT THIS POINT, UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4738 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-10003>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 19:58:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA32630; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:57:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7848235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:57:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA12862 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:56:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171156.FAA17522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 05:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1913a4d4a797d7309eaf211e3efbc67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 752 ABIO10 PGTW 171200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171200Z/171800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170155Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 21.7S0 083.0E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 22 (WTXS33 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 24.9S5 43.9E6, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS32 PGTW 170900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 170000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 24.7S3 63.4E3, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14S5 53E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS AND IS LOCATED OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 161924Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTED THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THAT REGION WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS INDICATED. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS BY KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS FORMED NEAR THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE BEGINNING OF ANTI-CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT SUGGESTING VERY LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WAS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627890-10000>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 22:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA32240; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:03:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7849252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:03:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA27338 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:03:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:03:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171403.IAA18850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:03:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3548c5245b9ad3179f55547729ea60c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 WTXS33 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 023 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 21.5S8 81.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 81.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.8S1 78.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.4S8 76.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.3S8 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 21.6S9 80.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171131Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE WESTERN MOST EXTENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD DEVELOP DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE DISTURBANCE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION ALLOWING TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) TO TURN MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4679 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627966-10005>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 22:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA34522; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:11:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7849320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:11:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36804 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:11:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:11:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171411.IAA18964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 08:11:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 24s Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: beef16782a689745fd8aba5e2d12ee6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 WTXS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 25.7S4 62.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 62.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.3S2 61.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.6S6 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.8S9 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.0S4 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 26.1S9 62.0E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 180901Z9 AND 181101Z2 VISIBLE AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS POSITIONED FURTHER WESTWARD THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATED THAT THE CONVECTION WAS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE DECREASE IN AREAL EXTENT OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IN CONCERT WITH COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPING ANY FURTHER. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW DURING THE PERIOD AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627705-10000>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:28:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA34014; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:27:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7850028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:26:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33960 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:26:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:26:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171526.JAA20771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:26:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d526750b4d3c55dea0a343c2d84bfd8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 106 WTXS33 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 023 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 21.5S8 81.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5296 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 81.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.8S1 78.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.4S8 76.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.3S8 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5296 UNCLAS REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 21.6S9 80.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171131Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE WESTERN MOST EXTENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD DEVELOP DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE DISTURBANCE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION ALLOWING TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) TO TURN MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR BT #5296 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627688-10006>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA32060; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:30:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7850073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24106 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:30:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:30:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171530.JAA20841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:30:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 24s Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbf5aa81f23e3bb975653575e96edf63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 200 WTXS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 25.7S4 62.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5297 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 62.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.3S2 61.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.6S6 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.8S9 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5297 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.0S4 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 26.1S9 62.0E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 180901Z9 AND 181101Z2 VISIBLE AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS POSITIONED FURTHER WESTWARD THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATED THAT THE CONVECTION WAS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE DECREASE IN AREAL EXTENT OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5297 UNCLAS ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IN CONCERT WITH COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPING ANY FURTHER. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW DURING THE PERIOD AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5297 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628136-10006>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:15:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20068; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:13:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7852630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27682 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171812.MAA25160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:12:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6e7595d2dfbf330a35ee6691b676061 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 245 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 21.5S8 081.0E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 23 (WTXS33 PGTW 171500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 24.9S5 43.9E6, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS32 PGTW 170900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 171200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 25.7S4 62.1E1, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS31 PGTW 171500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 53E8 IS NOW NEAR 15S 538. THE CONVECTION IN THIS REGION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 05 HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 170630Z7 INDICATED THAT A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAD NOT DEVELOPED YET, AND ONLY A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEAR THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION WILL REMAIN LOW DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2739 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628133-10000>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 03:46:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32080; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:42:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7853701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:42:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32046 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:42:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:42:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802171942.NAA27249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:42:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s (beltane) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0d6993e37a2bdb75ffe3e33e79b4a60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 216 WTXS32 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 25.1S8 44.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 44.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.4S1 44.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.7S4 45.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 26.1S9 45.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 26.6S4 45.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 25.2S9 44.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171801Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 171515Z0 AND 171622Z9 INDICATED THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND THEREFORE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPING ANY FURTHER DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. AS CONVECTION DIMINISHES EVEN FURTHER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AT 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD STEER THE SYSTEM BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628136-10006>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 04:16:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15696; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:15:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7854085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:15:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20198 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:14:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:14:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802172014.OAA28115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:14:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s (beltane) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf67a8eaaabbed44d590b488afae99de Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 WTXS32 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 25.1S8 44.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5876 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 44.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.4S1 44.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.7S4 45.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 26.1S9 45.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5876 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 26.6S4 45.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 25.2S9 44.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171801Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 171515Z0 AND 171622Z9 INDICATED THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND THEREFORE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPING ANY FURTHER DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5876 UNCLAS OF THE RIDGE AXIS. AS CONVECTION DIMINISHES EVEN FURTHER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AT 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD STEER THE SYSTEM BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS BT #5876 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1526 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628145-10003>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 05:05:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA27846; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:03:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7854767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:02:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25480 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:02:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:02:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802172102.PAA29548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:02:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s (beltane) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e3abe83de6e9b069b9de9bfeaece4f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 378 WTXS32 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 25.1S8 44.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5966 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 44.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.4S1 44.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.7S4 45.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 26.1S9 45.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5966 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 26.6S4 45.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 25.2S9 44.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171801Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 171515Z0 AND 171622Z9 INDICATED THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND THEREFORE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM DEVELOPING ANY FURTHER DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5966 UNCLAS OF THE RIDGE AXIS. AS CONVECTION DIMINISHES EVEN FURTHER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AT 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD STEER THE SYSTEM BACK TOWARDS THE WEST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5966 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-9413>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 10:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21590; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:30:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7858007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:30:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12866 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:30:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:30:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180230.UAA04262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:30:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a03c8c9d0b8e0b2d20926880df69d637 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 576 WTXS33 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 22.6S0 76.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 76.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.5S0 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 24.5S1 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 25.4S1 66.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 26.3S1 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 22.8S2 75.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND IN SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH 48 HOURS. HENCE, THIS WARNING COVERS 48 HOURS VICE 36 HOURS. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BE APPROACHING COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THEREFORE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627075-9419>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 10:46:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23628; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:44:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7858141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:44:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28980 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:44:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:44:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180244.UAA04392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:44:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 025092ab5150802d1387a4e7026a24e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 885 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 28.3S3 64.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.3S3 64.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.3S6 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.7S1 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 28.8S8 65.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AND IS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE PREVAILING WESTERLY WINDS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-9413>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA05638; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:35:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7858725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:35:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA35814 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:35:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:35:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180335.VAA04833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:35:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc4f95ae0025ecd6c9750847df9658fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 28.3S3 64.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7067 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.3S3 64.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.3S6 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.7S1 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 28.8S8 65.1E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7067 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AND IS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE PREVAILING WESTERLY WINDS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7067 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-9416>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:40:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA27154; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:39:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7858753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:38:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA10964 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:38:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:38:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180338.VAA04861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 21:38:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da25c30e8d078a85bf703e37b8f945f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 947 WTXS33 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 22.6S0 76.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7070 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 76.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.5S0 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 24.5S1 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 25.4S1 66.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7070 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 26.3S1 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 22.8S2 75.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND IN SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH 48 HOURS. HENCE, THIS WARNING COVERS 48 HOURS VICE 36 HOURS. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BE APPROACHING COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THEREFORE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7070 UNCLAS (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7070 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627394-9416>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 15:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29474; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 01:58:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7860812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 01:58:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA31172 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 01:58:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 01:58:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180758.BAA06814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 01:58:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bb939e91f3ad1ab4644450ee96a9844 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 921 WTXS32 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 24.1S7 43.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 43.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 23.9S4 43.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.6S1 43.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 23.4S9 43.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 23.1S6 42.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 24.0S6 43.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ALL DEEP CONVECTION HAS SHEARED OFF OF THE SYSTEM, BUT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS FAIRLY ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND REMAIN AT MINIMAL INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4015 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627751-9420>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 16:42:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA31220; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:42:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7861013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:41:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA35030 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:41:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:41:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180841.CAA07098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 02:41:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20e35d725fdb0f99a1544a3ea29a1733 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 WTXS32 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 24.1S7 43.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8279 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 43.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 23.9S4 43.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.6S1 43.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 23.4S9 43.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8279 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 23.1S6 42.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 24.0S6 43.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ALL DEEP CONVECTION HAS SHEARED OFF OF THE SYSTEM, BUT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS FAIRLY ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND REMAIN AT MINIMAL INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8279 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627763-9419>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 21:23:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA34952; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 07:23:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7862375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 07:23:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA33398 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 07:23:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 07:23:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181323.HAA08548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 07:23:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1d7a89364127ecac40ab3212f322236 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 WTXS33 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 25.3S0 74.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.3S0 74.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.6S6 73.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.9S3 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 26.1S9 74.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) SHOULD TURN SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT MERGES WITH THE SURFACE FRONT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627770-9413>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 22:05:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA10842; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:04:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7862521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:04:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA10960 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:00:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:00:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181400.IAA08963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:00:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 24s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87c3466b0805f415145f671a4a4e7516 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 643 WTXS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 30.1S4 66.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1S4 66.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.9S3 70.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 33.2S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 30.5S8 67.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S HAS BEEN MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181202Z VISIBLE, INFRARED AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYZED BY KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH A 171849Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND ON THE TENDENCY OF SYSTEMS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO HAVE STRONGER WIND SPEEDS DUE TO THEIR FAST MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT BEGINS TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL ZONE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT MERGES WITH THE EASTWARD MOVING FRONTAL ZONE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VICE DISSIPATING BECAUSE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING HIGHER WIND SPEEDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628158-9416>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 22:24:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA34420; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:24:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7862686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:24:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA34824 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181423.IAA09377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdc2fd6ba75e86f56f8594319e260083 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 WTXS33 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 25.3S0 74.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8962 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.3S0 74.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.6S6 73.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.9S3 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 26.1S9 74.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTH- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8962 UNCLAS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) SHOULD TURN SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT MERGES WITH THE SURFACE FRONT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S BT #8962 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627762-9413>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 22:25:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA27176; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:24:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7862681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04362 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181423.IAA09381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:23:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 24s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a51a5af4b80a52c6f235272904fa5d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 WTXS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 30.1S4 66.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 16 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8967 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1S4 66.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.9S3 70.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 33.2S8 75.0E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8967 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 30.5S8 67.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S HAS BEEN MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181202Z VISIBLE, INFRARED AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYZED BY KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH A 171849Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND ON THE TENDENCY OF SYSTEMS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO HAVE STRONGER WIND SPEEDS DUE TO THEIR FAST MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT BEGINS TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL ZONE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT MERGES WITH THE EASTWARD MOVING FRONTAL ZONE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VICE DISSIPATING BECAUSE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING HIGHER WIND SPEEDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 15 FEET. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8967 UNCLAS NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8967 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2264 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628183-9419>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:58:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13460; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7865106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17520 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181756.LAA14743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 11:56:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25691e9aafd97bb2e5777dbba02e832c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 112 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181355Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180753Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181351Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WAS LOCATED AT 25.3S0 074.9E0, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 25 (WTXS33 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WAS LOCATED AT 24.1S7 43.4E1, MOVING NORTH AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 05 (WTXS32 PGTW 180900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 30.1S4 66.8E0, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 05 (WTXS31 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S5 53E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628201-9420>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 03:36:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29752; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 13:33:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7866280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 13:33:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA05660 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 13:33:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 13:33:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802181933.NAA17054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 13:33:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s (beltane) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 446284c69ba79671a0a0050bcbca12f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 WTXS32 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 21.9S2 39.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 39.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 20.7S9 37.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 21.6S9 39.2E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY LOW LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FROM SURFACE RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181801Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AT WMO 61972. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628155-9413>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 04:23:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27902; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:22:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7866577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA05708 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:21:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:20:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802182020.OAA18224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:20:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23s (beltane) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0312f37826bfccb3de35982294b5ac4f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 081 WTXS32 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 21.9S2 39.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9591 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 39.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 20.7S9 37.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 21.6S9 39.2E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY LOW LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FROM SURFACE RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181801Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9591 UNCLAS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AT WMO 61972. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9591 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-12739>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 09:33:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24788; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:31:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7869836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:31:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA18882 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:31:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA23098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:31:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190131.TAA23098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:31:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a275f00f595b8a39754715ec8aadacb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 WTXS33 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 28.5S5 074.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.5S5 074.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.6S9 075.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 29.0S1 074.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS HARD TO DISCERN ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-12740>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 09:55:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15238; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:53:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7870025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:53:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA14452 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:53:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA23314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:53:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190153.TAA23314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:53:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22d9abdc534dacd209c0720c92b904b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 WTXS33 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 28.5S5 074.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0667 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.5S5 074.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.6S9 075.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 29.0S1 074.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS HARD TO DISCERN ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0667 UNCLAS INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #0667 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-12733>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 09:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15158; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:55:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7870033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:55:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA15140 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:55:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA23326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:55:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190155.TAA23326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:55:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ba57b671012bc88ea074ebc9b7baee0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 30.2S5 070.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.2S5 070.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.4S8 075.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.5S8 071.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 182150Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS DIFFICULT TO DISCERN ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND MERGE WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL ZONE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-12733>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 10:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04402; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:28:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7870630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29110 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:28:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:28:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190228.UAA23616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:28:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e0d5dfd1c74fa335646bf1c8939f126 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 869 WTXS33 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 28.5S5 074.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0724 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.5S5 074.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.6S9 075.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 29.0S1 074.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS HARD TO DISCERN ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0724 UNCLAS IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #0724 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2623 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626420-12740>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 10:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21276; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:39:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7871036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:39:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25796 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:38:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:38:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190238.UAA23720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:38:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34454a2dcf4f31941f93c13090875597 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 006 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0805 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 30.2S5 070.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.2S5 070.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.4S8 075.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0805 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.5S8 071.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 182150Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS DIFFICULT TO DISCERN ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND MERGE WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL ZONE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #0805 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-11301>; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 02:50:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27698; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:49:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7880918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:49:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA33960 for ; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802191848.MAA05319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:48:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6aa2d835073419ad50455a88a47bcbca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 248 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190155Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181953Z FEB 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190151Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) WAS LOCATED AT 28.5S5 074.8E9, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR/CINDY) FINAL WARNING NR 26 (WTXS33 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.9S2 39.8E0, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (BELTANE) FINAL WARNING NR 06 (WTXS32 PGTW 182100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 190000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WAS LOCATED AT 30.2S5 070.6E3, MOVING EASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S FINAL WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21S3 50E5 OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/UROGI/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627735-18843>; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 01:51:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA27812; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7880874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA14450 for ; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802201750.LAA22542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 11:50:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a061e341ee201c945539d01bcf165b5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 779 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 50E5 OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS A RESULT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, A 201208Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED STRONG CONVERGENCE IN THE AREA WITH NO ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/UROGI/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627893-20179>; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 04:34:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA32462; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7893283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15282 for ; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802212021.OAA05490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:21:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/ Corrected Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca2b5454739eaec0e81e613f6cc3f15f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 486 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/ CORRECTED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZFEB98// A. NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 211751Z FEB 98 (ABIO10 PGTW 211800) RMKS/ 1. THIS MESSAGE SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT. 2. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21S3 50E5 OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10S1 93E2 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A CENTRAL AREA OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 4. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTED INCLUDE PREVIOUSLY OMITTED ADDEE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG18090522007 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2862 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-14639>; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 02:44:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36684; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7901418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22578 for ; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802221842.MAA11766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 12:42:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c5258e413b08e14bbb4b368aa0b18ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 108 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21S3 50E5 HAS MOVED TO NEAR 19S0 52E7A. THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR 48 HOURS. SSMI DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS LOCATED SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE NORTH AND EAST AND POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA NEAR 13S4 78E5 HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS INDICATED BY SSMI DATA SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. ? (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA NEAR 10S1 93E2 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/TANNAHILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG38700531830 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627991-23498>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 03:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29756; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:47:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7913652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04488 for ; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:45:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:45:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802231945.NAA25242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 13:45:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6e410462e7fbd551c17724060bc1222 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 736 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A BAND OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL CENTERED NEAR 19S0 41E5 HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST FOUR HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SHIPS SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA NEAR 07S7 71E8 HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 52E7 HAS PARTIALLY DISSIPATED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 78E5 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/TANNAHILL/BILLY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66630541755 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628237-28449>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 02:06:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34366; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7926803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA35830 for ; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802241805.MAA12155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 12:05:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9315a8b65cf2f3aeb77a665323b76d0c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 088 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL REMAINS NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM DIEGO GARCIA (WMO NUMBER 61967) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION EXISTS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTERIA NEAR 11S2 137E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITH NO DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE EXISTS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG07360551758 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626462-543>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 10:16:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22094; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:12:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7932471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:12:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21272 for ; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:12:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:11:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802250211.UAA20378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 20:11:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/amended Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9236f907a35ac3302d3be27eff310f98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 451 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/AMENDED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZFEB98// RMKS/1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL REMAINS NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM DIEGO GARCIA (WMO NUMBER 61967) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS NEAR 20.3S5 54.4E3 HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN AREAL EXTENT IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH NO APPARENT SURFACE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM REUNION (STATION IDENTIFIER FMEE) INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. (5) REASON FOR AMENDMENT IS DEVELOPMENT OF AREA IN PARA (3). AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/TANNAHILL/BILLY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG23380560158 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3381 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628355-538>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 03:02:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29666; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7941772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18600 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802251851.MAA01568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:51:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19cd6b82b706a3014171dc7300adb1ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 759 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA LOCATED NEAR 15.4S0 139.3E6 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW) FOR DETAILS. NOTE: THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST EAST OF 135E9 AND IS INCLUDED IN THE EVENT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THIS ADVISORY AREA. ?(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE COAST OF WESTERN MADAGASCAR NEAR 17S8 45E9. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. DUE TO SYSTEM INTERACTION WITH LAND, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 54.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.0S5 56.4E5. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO THE SOUTH, FAIR TO GOOD ELSEWHERE. 251055Z8 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM PLAISANCE (WMO NUMBER 61990) INDICATES WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE AT THE GRADIENT LEVEL. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT TO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ?(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG50830561758 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-4425>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 07:06:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA13532; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7945132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA17354 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA07523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802252305.RAA07523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fd70e28c216a73e21d8e396020c63b3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 601 WTXS22 PGTW 252300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 252253Z FEB 98// RMKS/1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.0S5 56.1E2 TO 29.3S4 62.2E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 251801Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 23.2S7 56.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED AND IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS SYSTEM PRODUCED GUSTS TO AT LEAST 25 KNOTS AT PLAISANCE (WMO NUMBER 61990) AS IT TRANSITED THE MASCARENE ISLANDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 262300Z2. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG58140562303 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2068 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-4422>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 07:06:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA35880; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7945137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA18444 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA07531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802252305.RAA07531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 17:05:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cf67553a21aa87f4f2b4f72c37ec0c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 WTXS22 PGTW 252300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 252253Z FEB 98// RMKS/1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.0S5 56.1E2 TO 29.3S4 62.2E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 251801Z INDICATES THAT A PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 23.2S7 56.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED AND IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS SYSTEM PRODUCED GUSTS TO AT LEAST 25 KNOTS AT PLAISANCE (WMO NUMBER 61990) AS IT TRANSITED THE MASCARENE ISLANDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 262300Z2. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// BT #5814 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4354 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626565-4429>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:53:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31466; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:51:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7955418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:50:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29864 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:50:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:50:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802261450.IAA15223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:50:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5378f38418fdfaa7c7637c7d862bb469 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 603 WTXS22 PGTW 261330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 261400Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/252253Z FEB 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 252300)// RMKS/1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED 100 NM TO THE EAST. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG89220571425 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627503-4428>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA37514; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7955539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAB16958 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802261456.IAA15346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d69343d7c79cc0a4c52cfc4de912702 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 628 WTXS22 PGTW 261330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 261400Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/252253Z FEB 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 252300)// RMKS/1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8922 UNCLAS LESS ORGANIZED. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED 100 NM TO THE EAST. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// BT #8922 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628899-4429>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 05:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20862; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7961859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA04436 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802262149.PAA25196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:49:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/amended Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 229151b8b1d413c7ab9c320ed9d3d025 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 646 ABIO10 PGTW 261430 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/AMENDED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261400Z/261800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/251751Z FEB 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/261425Z FEB 98// NARR/REF A SIGNIFICANTTROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN VALID 251800Z, REF B IS TCFA CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA LOCATED NEAR 15.4S0 139.3E6 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW) FOR DETAILS. NOTE: THIS AREA IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST EAST OF 135E9 AND IS INCLUDED IN THE EVENT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THIS ADVISORY AREA. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 41.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE COAST OF WESTERN MADAGASCAR NEAR 17S8 45E9. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. DUE TO SYSTEM INTERACTION WITH LAND, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.0S5 56.4E5 PER REF B, HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE EXPOSED LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA IS DISPLACED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION WHICH IS 100 NM TO THE EAST. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07S7 71E8 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE AT THE GRADIENT LEVEL. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT TO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. (6) THIS MSG IS A CORRECTED COPY DUE TO ADMIN ERROR IN REF B OF ORIGINAL MSG. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG02990572122 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628035-10139>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA33044; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7967156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA24768 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802270446.WAA29603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:46:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/reissued Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 686e1be04f7c10347eb2c20ebd360225 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 125 ABIO10 PGTW 270100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/REISSUED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/270100Z/271800ZFEB98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/261353Z FEB 98// NARR/REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING VALID 261200Z// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) HAS MOVED SOUTH OVER LAND IN NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 45E9 HAS MOVED FURTHER INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN SECTION OF THE ISLAND. ACCORDINGLY, THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.0S5 56.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.0S9 59.2E6. A LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS BEING STEERED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS PERSISTED FOR 15 HOURS NEAR 10S1 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION THAT APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF LOW-LEVEL LINEAR CONVERGENCE. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(3) TO FAIR. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG22640580056 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2115 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629221-10140>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 03:06:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23584; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:58:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7975145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24750 for ; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802271857.MAA09653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:57:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06eb8f9494a2b50b709f952f27e51d0f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 678 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27.0S9 59.2E6 IS NO LONGER A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NEAR 22.0S4 60.0E6 REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS BEING STEERED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PERSISTS WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG60800581842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627202-18627>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 03:11:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA20380; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:10:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7987439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:10:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15652 for ; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802281909.NAA21648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:09:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d261c6cb5d70a2df31ec247362fabecf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 887 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.0S4 60.0E6 IS NO LONGER A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS MOVED TO THE NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, AND IS DISSIPATING. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA NEAR 14.0S5 68.0E4 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS AREA IS MOVING WEST AND HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21910591813 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625958-1309>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 10:31:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16822; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:29:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7991621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:29:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12440 for ; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:29:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:29:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803010229.UAA24052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:29:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 586129d06bef82bc3c948cc8131b3ddb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 WTXS21 PGTW 010200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 010135Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 162.6E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 282332Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 163.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY INCREASING IN ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE SOUTHEAST. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 020200Z4. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG35650600225 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-1314>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 10:33:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA37382; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:32:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7991634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:32:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15072 for ; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:32:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:32:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803010232.UAA24064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:32:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd9d51c4a7aca1191cbb311a4089fbe9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 932 WTXS21 PGTW 010200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 010135Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3565 UNCLAS SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 162.6E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 282332Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 163.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY INCREASING IN ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE SOUTHEAST. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 020200Z4. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// BT #3565 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-1312>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:41:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA13902; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 07:39:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7996010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 07:39:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA23862 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 07:39:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 07:39:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803011339.HAA26947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 07:39:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi 010135z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ed05f283b9b40007175eaf4d10b035d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 WTXS21 PGTW 011330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011321Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 010135Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3S5 165.5E7 TO 13.7S1 172.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT TRACKS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM CENTER IS SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE DUE TO ITS LOCATION WITHIN A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 5. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: THE DISTURBANCE HAD MOVED OUT OF THE ORIGINAL FORMATION ALERT AREA. 6. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021330Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627743-1314>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 01:56:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30602; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:55:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7997700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12824 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803011754.LAA28207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:54:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 556af0d9031bae0e485d232e645b8249 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 024 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 68.04E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627874-1312>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 04:11:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA32024; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:09:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7998873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:09:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11642 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:04:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:04:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012004.OAA29129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:04:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/011321z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de82266f19375345b3f55eb715a54507 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 WTXS22 PGTW 011930 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011923Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 250 NM RADIUS OF 8.8S6 156.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 10 TO 12 HOURS. A SCATTEROMETRY PASS AT 011235Z2 INDICATED THAT A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WITH STRONG CYCLONIC TURNING WERE PRESENT WITHIN THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME CYCLONIC TURNING MAY BE PRESENT WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021930Z5. 6. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-1313>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 05:01:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA07044; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:59:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7999400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:59:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA32348 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:59:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:59:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012059.OAA29564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:59:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi 010135z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1c7f93ecb2e6d82af8eb6cee4467d34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTXS21 PGTW 011330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011321Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 010135Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6362 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3S5 165.5E7 TO 13.7S1 172.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT TRACKS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM CENTER IS SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE DUE TO ITS LOCATION WITHIN A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 5. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: THE DISTURBANCE HAD MOVED OUT OF THE ORIGINAL FORMATION ALERT AREA. 6. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021330Z9.// PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6362 UNCLAS BT #6362 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627842-1312>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 05:05:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA27674; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:03:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7999424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:03:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11680 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:02:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:02:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012102.PAA29592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:02:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/011321z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e016c46f923f19f8acfaafd12a4df4b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 690 WTXS22 PGTW 011930 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011923Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7101 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 250 NM RADIUS OF 8.8S6 156.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 10 TO 12 HOURS. A SCATTEROMETRY PASS AT 011235Z2 INDICATED THAT A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WITH STRONG CYCLONIC TURNING WERE PRESENT WITHIN THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME CYCLONIC TURNING MAY BE PRESENT WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021930Z5. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7101 UNCLAS 6. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6// BT #7101 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627885-26589>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 04:42:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15748; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:34:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8010559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15562 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803022033.OAA14119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:33:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 591c42ec25181895ccc8ef1703cdb130 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 650 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629639-13436>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 01:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA50782; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8023273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA50746 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803031755.LAA28870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 11:55:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6ac8c863fe5cb9d652c08e18a84408d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 186 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629399-13432>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 04:29:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15496; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 14:26:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8025601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 14:26:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA40482 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 14:26:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 14:26:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803032026.OAA02422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 14:26:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48e51be2a8fbe583c59a21afc1d0afad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 185 WTXS23 PGTW 032000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 031953Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021953Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 022000)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND MAY BE OF A LINEAR NATURE. THERE IS NO DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A MAXIMUM OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. A 031130Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES LITTLE TO NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW WITHIN THREE DEGREES OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627987-16266>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 16:29:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25154; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8034513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25340 for ; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803040826.CAA10036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 02:26:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93af225354116031d7f57a5ced0017e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 890 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS SOUTH OF THE ISLAND OF SUMATRA NEAR 11S2 101E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 031631Z4 SCATTEROMETER DATA SUGGESTS A SECOND LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADD POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629873-16270>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 04:16:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13360; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:13:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8041526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:11:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20432 for ; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:10:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:09:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803042009.OAA20885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:09:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f8d8c33605aae9800dba574b4606b39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 838 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 101E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2 IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING SOUTH OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A FAIRLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET OCCURRED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES DEFINITE BROAD AREA TROUGHING. MODERATE DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INITIAL CENTRAL CONVECTION AND SHOWS SOME INDICATION OF CYCLONIC WRAP. UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET BEEN ESTABLISHED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSTON/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630036-17757>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 11:16:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38448; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:13:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8048139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:12:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28148 for ; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803050310.VAA27522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:10:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bb7ca9eef2349e2dd7a9a07edf240ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 849 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 101E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2 IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING SOUTH OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A FAIRLY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET OCCURRED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES DEFINITE BROAD AREA TROUGHING. MODERATE DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INITIAL CENTRAL CONVECTION AND SHOWS SOME INDICATION OF CYCLONIC WRAP. UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT YET BEEN ESTABLISHED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSTON/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-17760>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 02:34:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28744; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:30:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8056952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA32906 for ; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803051828.MAA08701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97dbee3939a1b1eee8cc8f40c3b59ec7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 930 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E 1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 99E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MI CROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 051436Z9 INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATI0N OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAI R TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS MAY IMPLY THAT CONVECTION MAY BECOME ORGANIZED AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 18 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09S9 92E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS STEADILY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 TO 16 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 051436Z9 MICR OWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS ONLY AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH N O ACTIVE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 62E8 IS NOW NEAR 15S6 63 E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVEC TION LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA WITH FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MA XIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PR ESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPME NT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/ HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630320-17757>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 02:35:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28904; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:33:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8056962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:32:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA32916 for ; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803051828.MAA08708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 12:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c1e56b0f519fb7d1ec2c2495ce98063 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 934 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E 1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 99E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MI CROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 051436Z9 INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATI0N OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAI R TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS MAY IMPLY THAT CONVECTION MAY BECOME ORGANIZED AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 18 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09S9 92E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS STEADILY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 TO 16 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 051436Z9 MICR OWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS ONLY AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH N O ACTIVE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 62E8 IS NOW NEAR 15S6 63 E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVEC TION LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA WITH FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MA XIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PR ESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPME NT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/ HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-14702>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:15:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28906; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 09:02:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8065515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 09:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA21638 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 09:00:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 09:00:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803061500.JAA23515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 09:00:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a0e6184220fe94c7d997b2511399e67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 503 WTXS31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 17.3S1 67.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 67.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.9S8 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8S0 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 23.1S6 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.9S6 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 17.7S5 67.5E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) HAS FORMED IN THE WESTERN INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061101Z9 VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC AND 060941Z0 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM FJDG. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO 35 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THEN TAKE A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 48 HOUR POSITION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS ITS TRACK WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING SURFACE RIDGING THROUGH THE 24 TO 48 HOUR POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629127-14699>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 00:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04560; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 10:40:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8066251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 10:39:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA45052 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 10:39:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 10:39:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803061639.KAA26034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 10:39:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8ec573d7ef8be5db78f8888e3dd1d7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 667 WTXS31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8184 UNCLAS SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 17.3S1 067.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 067.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.9S8 068.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8184 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8S0 070.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 23.1S6 072.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.9S6 073.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8184 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 17.7S5 067.5E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) HAS FORMED IN THE WESTERN INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061101Z9 VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC AND 060941Z0 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM FJDG. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO 35 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THEN TAKE A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 48 HOUR POSITION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS ITS TRACK WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING SURFACE RIDGING THROUGH THE 24 TO 48 HOUR POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8184 UNCLAS BT #8184 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629127-14702>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 03:19:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA36174; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:10:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8068715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:09:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA31626 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803061907.NAA29739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 13:07:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eabca29425cbdf9078f0ebe9eda649a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 812 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1S1 67.0E3 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR1 (WTXS31 PGTW 061500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 099E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH NO INCREASE IN CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 T0 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 92E1 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15S6 63E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, SEE PARA 2.A.(1). (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-27175>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 10:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36202; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 20:35:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8072539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 20:35:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29770 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 20:35:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 20:35:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803070235.UAA06239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 20:35:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ca2cf20683f67aefbe0106581e28c2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 874 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.5S2 069.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 069.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.7S4 071.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.8S6 072.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.5S5 074.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.5S9 076.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 16.6S3 069.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 062301Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION OF 061818Z4 SCATTEROMETER DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT AND ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AS MID-LEVEL RIDGING STRENGTHENS TO ITS NORTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH ERODES RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM 061818Z4 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 07000Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626419-27168>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 12:57:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA31590; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 22:56:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8073988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 22:56:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA20308 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 22:56:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 22:56:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803070456.WAA06888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 22:56:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b91d7e2250243cbe2cbc2953b6afffc3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 451 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0171 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.5S2 069.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 069.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.7S4 071.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0171 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.8S6 072.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.5S5 074.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 17 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0171 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.5S9 076.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 16.6S3 069.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 062301Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION OF 061818Z4 SCATTEROMETER DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT AND ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0171 UNCLAS 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AS MID-LEVEL RIDGING STRENGTHENS TO ITS NORTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH ERODES RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM 061818Z4 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 07000Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// BT #0171 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-27168>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 21:54:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA13576; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 07:52:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8076564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 07:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA12018 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 07:52:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA09681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 07:52:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803071352.HAA09681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 07:52:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e89cb8e9953679466b318b3a1c171c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 299 WTXS31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 17.9S7 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.8S7 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.8S8 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.0S3 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.5S9 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 18.1S0 70.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION OF THIS IMAGERY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. POSITIONING OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN VERY DIFFICULT DUE TO SATELLITE COVERAGE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL RIDGING NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. WIND RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626776-27174>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 22:42:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA38368; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 08:41:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8077032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 08:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04300 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 08:41:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 08:41:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803071441.IAA09956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 08:41:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 003126a614bf661477e546df47e6df02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 WTXS31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 17.9S7 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1624 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.8S7 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.8S8 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1624 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.0S3 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.5S9 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1624 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 18.1S0 70.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION OF THIS IMAGERY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. POSITIONING OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN VERY DIFFICULT DUE TO SATELLITE COVERAGE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL RIDGING NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. WIND RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// BT #1624 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2353 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-27168>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA11948; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8078527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA28268 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803071749.LAA11231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 11:49:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9be9dfcc6232a130ae840c9182ccfe8a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 884 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 70.1E8 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR3 (WTXS31 PGTW 071500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 101E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 T0 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1297 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626362-624>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 10:15:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19118; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 20:14:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8082654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 20:13:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13678 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 20:13:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 20:13:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803080213.UAA14628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 20:13:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4603904a9b078d4facd85abe6ef16b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 212 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 19.6S6 070.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 070.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.0S3 070.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.4S8 070.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.8S3 070.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.2S9 071.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z POSITION: 20.0E2 070.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072301Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. POSITION CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO INCOMPLETE SATELLITE COVERAGE OF THIS AREA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) HAS INTENSIFIED SLOWLY OVER THE PAST 09 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS ANTICIPATED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-621>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:27:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA31572; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 21:26:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8083239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 21:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13632 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 21:26:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 21:26:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803080326.VAA15003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 21:26:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59cc184cc023b418df7d54e9bf344de6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 475 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 19.6S6 070.0E7 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 070.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.0S3 070.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS 090000Z9 --- 22.4S8 070.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.8S3 070.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.2S9 071.4E2 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z POSITION: 20.0E2 070.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072301Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. POSITION CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO INCOMPLETE SATELLITE COVERAGE OF THIS AREA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) HAS INTENSIFIED SLOWLY OVER THE PAST 09 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS ANTICIPATED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS AND 090300Z2.// BT #2976 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-624>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 15:41:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12400; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8084884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA36694 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803080740.BAA16281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 01:40:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9271ea653d220badeaab28fa5c4695c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 727 ABIO10 PGTW 080700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/080700Z/081800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 19.6S6 70.0E7 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 04 (WTXS31 PGTW 080300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SUMATRA NEAR 14S5 93E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 91.1E1. THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER A WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE THE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1346 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-621>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 21:06:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19056; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 07:05:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 07:05:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16624 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 07:03:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 07:03:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803081303.HAA17733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 07:03:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99087f2af38390401b1ab1dd9cf3e22c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 026 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 20.7S9 069.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 069.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.9S2 070.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.0S5 070.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.1S7 070.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL YCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.3S0 070.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 21.0S3 069.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. POSITION CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO INCOMPLETE SATELLITE COVERAGE OF THIS AREA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080830Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT WIND RADII AND ADJUSTED IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1807 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-626>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 22:25:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21506; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 08:24:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 08:23:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29884 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 08:23:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 08:23:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803081423.IAA18088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 08:23:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79495b0efd9365803c6f26ad665b45fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 015 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 20.7S9 069.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3974 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 069.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.9S2 070.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.0S5 070.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3974 UNCLAS 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.1S7 070.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.3S0 070.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 21.0S3 069.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 06 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3974 UNCLAS KNOTS. POSITION CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO INCOMPLETE SATELLITE COVERAGE OF THIS AREA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080830Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT WIND RADII AND ADJUSTED IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// BT #3974 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-627>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 01:45:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04524; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41876 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803081744.LAA19134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 11:44:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5427db2abd76f1a313346e2692d111f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 693 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 20.7S9 69.9E4 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 05 (WTXS31 PGTW 081500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SUMATRA NEAR 11.2S4 91.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 91.0E0. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH NO INCREASE IN CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS STILL INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-21889>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 10:21:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21512; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:19:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8093606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:19:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA38612 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:19:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:18:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803090218.UAA22103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:18:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 006 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a664a5db90059a7f48dcccd0304073d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 22.7S1 071.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.7S1 071.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 24.5S1 072.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.5S3 073.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.6S6 073.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 30.8S1 073.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 23.2S7 071.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF 082140Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS REPOSITIONED BASED ON REANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS WELL ORGANIZED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS FORECAST TO MOVE ROUGHLY SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS EAST. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN STEADILY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO A REGION OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER COLDER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 AND 100300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626667-21886>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 10:52:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31518; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:51:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8093741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:51:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25338 for ; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:50:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:50:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803090250.UAA22273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 20:50:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 006 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15d6f99a571d07896908f4ef12db88d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 942 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 22.7S1 071.7E5 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5026 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.7S1 071.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 24.5S1 072.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.5S3 073.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5026 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.6S6 073.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 30.8S1 073.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 23.2S7 071.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5026 UNCLAS 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF 082140Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS REPOSITIONED BASED ON REANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS WELL ORGANIZED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS FORECAST TO MOVE ROUGHLY SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS EAST. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN STEADILY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO A REGION OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER COLDER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 AND 100300Z4.// BT #5026 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3209 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-24683>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 16:13:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47276; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:10:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8096493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:09:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA42578 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:09:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:09:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803090809.CAA24276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:09:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0af9d20bcd63d07d463625848cfdcb44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 WTXS22 PGTW 090800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090751Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.5S8 91.6E6 TO 15.2S8 83.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090532Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 90.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. EXTRAPOLATION OF 090243Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S EXTENSIVE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100800Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4198 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-24684>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 16:46:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25556; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:44:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8096729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:44:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04546 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:44:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:44:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803090844.CAA24451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 02:44:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fd31c153665ed6d01b01d30d2cd80a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 835 WTXS22 PGTW 090800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090751Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.5S8 91.6E6 TO 15.2S8 83.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5884 UNCLAS DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090532Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 90.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. EXTRAPOLATION OF 090243Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM'S EXTENSIVE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100800Z9.// BT #5884 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 10 09:57:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-24683>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 20:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA42732; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 06:55:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8098449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 06:55:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA25560 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 06:55:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA25982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 06:55:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803091255.GAA25982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 06:55:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04505b4e3ee6f78680e7ab00f7e9d978 Status: RO X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 7 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 844 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 23.5S0 072.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.5S0 072.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.6S2 073.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.8S5 074.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 23.8S3 072.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 26S LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 10 09:57:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-24684>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 21:43:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA04514; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 07:41:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8098683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 07:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA25488 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 07:41:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 07:41:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803091341.HAA26277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 07:41:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b874144449f1620233f50ae4467f6fb7 Status: RO X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 11 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 055 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 23.5S0 072.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6484 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.5S0 072.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.6S2 073.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.8S5 074.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6484 UNCLAS 091500Z5 POSITION 23.8S3 072.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 26S LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// BT #6484 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 10 09:57:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-24686>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:02:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21402; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8101326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21354 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803091800.MAA01388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 12:00:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 176f78d5a6283cffc52746ae4efa5195 Status: RO X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 17 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 597 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090751Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 23.5S0 072.6E5 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR7 (WTXS31 PGTW 091500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 93E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.S4 89.0E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 090800)). (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 55E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626184-26976>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 10:27:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15424; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 20:25:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8106649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 20:24:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28682 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 20:24:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 20:24:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100224.UAA09065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 20:24:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85494b106800820b1b84e9ae7cf82e6b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 676 WTXS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 26.4S2 072.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.4S2 072.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.3S3 071.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 29.6S7 070.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 26.9S7 072.1E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 092332Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY BY KGWC AND EXTRAPOLATION. THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING SHEAR AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 092332Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK ANALYSIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ITS CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS AND THEN TURN SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES TO SHEAR AND TRACKS INTO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-26974>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 11:17:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29676; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 21:14:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8107065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 21:14:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28374 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 21:14:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 21:14:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100314.VAA09367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 21:14:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 26s (donaline) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fb33de4e71795142b0afd74c82fb177 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 537 WTXS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 26.4S2 072.2E1 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9587 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.4S2 072.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.3S3 071.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 29.6S7 070.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9587 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 26.9S7 072.1E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 092332Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY BY KGWC AND EXTRAPOLATION. THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING SHEAR AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 092332Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK ANALYSIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ITS CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS AND THEN TURN SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT CONTINUES TO SHEAR AND TRACKS INTO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// BT #9587 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627460-26973>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 16:14:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29522; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:13:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:13:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23614 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:13:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:13:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100813.CAA11270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:13:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 313548c9ad236ab4edce54e35449aa28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 109 WTXS22 PGTW 090800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090751Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.5S8 91.6E6 TO 15.2S8 83.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090532Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 90.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. EXTRAPOLATION OF 090243Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S EXTENSIVE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100800Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627474-26976>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 16:48:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24084; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:46:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:46:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA40700 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:46:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:46:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100846.CAA11437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 02:46:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/090751z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99d42d4cf2e1aa3674edf253dc9d2d43 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 638 WTXS22 PGTW 100800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100753Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090751Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS INITIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 090800))// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.2S6 88.4E0 TO 14.6S1 82.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 100530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 87.9E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BECOME COLDER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. HOWEVER, AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110800Z0. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INCORRECT MESSAGE WAS SENT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-26974>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 17:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA13672; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 03:13:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 03:13:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA36686 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 03:13:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 03:13:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100913.DAA11726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 03:13:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/090751z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 144e30c912bb87664720f236c3edd4c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 WTXS22 PGTW 100800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100753Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090751Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS INITIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 090800))// PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0976 UNCLAS RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.2S6 88.4E0 TO 14.6S1 82.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 100530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 87.9E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BECOME COLDER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. HOWEVER, AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110800Z0. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INCORRECT MESSAGE WAS SENT.// BT #0976 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-26974>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 22:30:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04244; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 08:28:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8110908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 08:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25214 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 08:28:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 08:28:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803101428.IAA14019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 08:28:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 443f76dfd5e7d9a154aa1e1c93f02edb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 150 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 28.9S9 72.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.9S9 72.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 32.8S3 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 29.9S0 72.6E5. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF COLDER WATER. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 101131Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST CONTINUES AND THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO MUCH COLDER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1845 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627537-26976>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:31:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA34272; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 09:30:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8111569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 09:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34048 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 09:29:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 09:29:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803101529.JAA15479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 09:29:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 513e060f872700391cd25fd7ea463f67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 501 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 28.9S9 72.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 18 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1728 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.9S9 72.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 32.8S3 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 29.9S0 72.6E5. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) IS EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF COLDER WATER. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 101131Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A CURRENT INTENSITY PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1728 UNCLAS ESTIMATE FROM AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST CONTINUES AND THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO MUCH COLDER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #1728 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4210 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627586-26973>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:16:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20608; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:14:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8113852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:14:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39754 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:14:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803101813.MAA19418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:13:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c4954510b34b45ae2148f415cb6406a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 793 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) WAS LOCATED AT 28.9S9 072.3E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (DONALINE) FINAL WARNING NR9 (WTXS31 PGTW 101500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 87.9E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 100800 COR)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 55E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627228-7631>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 16:22:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22618; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:16:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:16:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18498 for ; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:16:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:15:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803110815.CAA29239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Mar 1998 02:15:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/100753z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8d16b7c065532a403c47aedd2f72cf1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 252 WTXS22 PGTW 110800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 110753Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 100800)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 220 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S7 85.8E1 TO 19.2S2 74.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 84.3E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS OVER THE SYSTEM, WITH LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 120800Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626578-7631>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 18:58:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA43534; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 04:57:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8122301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 04:57:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15572 for ; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 04:56:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA00150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 04:56:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803111056.EAA00150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Mar 1998 04:56:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/100753z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27482e8c5c0fb945c9823f8f35185946 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 WTXS22 PGTW 110800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 110753Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 100800)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5383 UNCLAS 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 220 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S7 85.8E1 TO 19.2S2 74.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 84.3E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS OVER THE SYSTEM, WITH LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 120800Z1.// BT #5383 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627151-17709>; Fri, 13 Mar 1998 17:18:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA13810; Fri, 13 Mar 1998 03:11:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8147254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Mar 1998 03:11:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA34260 for ; Fri, 13 Mar 1998 03:11:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Mar 1998 03:11:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803130911.DAA01168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 03:11:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 27s (elsie) Warning Nr 003a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4443c93acc5fadb25fb9a2eba06cee5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 WTXS32 PGTW 130300 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 003A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3356 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 19.4S4 081.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 81.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 20.1S3 080.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3356 UNCLAS 140000Z5 --- 20.7S9 080.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.2S5 079.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.9S2 078.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3356 UNCLAS 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A REANALYSIS OF 130605Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED AND HAS A SMALL, WELL-DEFINED CLOUD-FREE EYE. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE MASS OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH 12 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ASSIMILATES THE SOUTHERN CONVECTIVE MASS. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST TRACK REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTH. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: TO INCREASE THE WARNING INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8.// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3356 UNCLAS BT #3356 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627264-20961>; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 22:31:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29334; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:28:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8159617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:26:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20314 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:26:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:26:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141426.IAA14667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:26:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dfdbaeec17e4a1a8e7404509405eb3a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 664 WTXS32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 21.4S7 80.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S7 80.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.1S5 80.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.2S7 80.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.5S1 80.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 26.0S8 80.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 21.6S9 80.8E6 LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN WHICH SHOWS A MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-20961>; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:03:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11972; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 09:01:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8159749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:59:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40218 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:59:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:59:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141459.IAA14801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 08:59:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8374ea62163d53f82a364875e963f948 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 WTXS32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6327 UNCLAS 141200Z8 --- 21.4S7 80.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S7 80.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.1S5 80.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6327 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.2S7 80.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.5S1 80.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 26.0S8 80.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6327 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 21.6S9 80.8E6 LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN WHICH SHOWS A MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6327 UNCLAS BT #6327 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2766 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-20958>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 02:58:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17444; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8161832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34286 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141856.MAA15970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 12:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c078a7bb4b55fb6cacc3344f02a52503 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 929 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1)AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4S7 080.8E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR6 (WTXS32 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 065E1 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1. 141319Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID-LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 066E2. 141103Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN OVE R THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3)NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-20964>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 03:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA34118; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:08:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8161859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA45608 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141907.NAA16027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:07:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7820c40a02c2b26ccaf4a96819d9f0a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 168 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1)AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4S7 080.8E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR6 (WTXS32 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 065E1 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1. 141319Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID-LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 054E9. 141103Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN OVE R THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: LOCATION OF POOR 2.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627410-20958>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 03:21:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23710; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8161897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19054 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803141910.NAA16067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 13:10:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5baaebd7bb9a8f4fefda89698a211397 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 282 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1)AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4S7 080.8E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR6 (WTXS32 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 065E1 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1. 141319Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID-LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 054E9. 141103Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 8 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN OVE R THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: LOCATION POOR 2.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-21543>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 10:09:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17492; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 20:08:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8164603 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 20:08:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29246 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 20:08:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 20:08:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803150208.UAA17937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 20:08:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4ed6244859724588927860d14d819fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 532 WTXS32 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 21.3S6 79.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 79.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.6S9 79.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.0S4 79.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.7S1 78.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.8S3 78.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 21.4S7 79.8E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INTERPOLATION BETWEEN 142330Z3 AND 142333Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING POSITION IS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE USING INFRARED IMAGERY WHILE THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 142330Z3 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM RIDGING LOCATED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AT PRESENT, THE SYSTEM IS BEING SHEARED VERTICALLY WITH IT=S CONVECTION SHEARING TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION, TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) SHOULD BEGIN TO BE STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AND SHOULD TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT CONTINUES TO BE VERTICALLY SHEARED AND MOVE INTO COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 11:20:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA33968; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 21:17:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8165045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 21:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19102 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 21:17:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 21:17:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803150317.VAA18189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 21:17:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de553be10ecf3f9b35a2d077dc6af586 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 WTXS32 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7582 UNCLAS 150000Z6 --- 21.3S6 79.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 79.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.6S9 79.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7582 UNCLAS 160000Z7 --- 22.0S4 79.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.7S1 78.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.8S3 78.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 21.4S7 79.8E4. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7582 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INTERPOLATION BETWEEN 142330Z3 AND 142333Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING POSITION IS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE USING INFRARED IMAGERY WHILE THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 142330Z3 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM RIDGING LOCATED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AT PRESENT, THE SYSTEM IS BEING SHEARED VERTICALLY WITH IT'S CONVECTION SHEARING TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION, TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) SHOULD BEGIN TO BE STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AND SHOULD TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT CONTINUES TO BE VERTICALLY SHEARED AND MOVE INTO COLDER SEA SURFACE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7582 UNCLAS TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6).// BT #7582 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3895 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626618-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 22:55:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28726; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 08:48:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 08:46:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04332 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 08:46:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 08:46:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803151446.IAA20218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 08:46:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46ba936c838133fc861613b989f33962 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 WTXS32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 22.5S9 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S9 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.9S4 77.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.2S9 78.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.4S2 78.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 28.1S1 80.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 22.8S2 77.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) CONTINUES TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED 38 NM FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING AS IT PASSES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM=S SIZE AND INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS INTO THE WESTERLY FLOW. FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR PERIODS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4684 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:18:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21310; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:12:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:11:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04368 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:11:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:11:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803151511.JAA20303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:11:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba94f3726245187697564a23e84eccf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 WTXS32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8938 UNCLAS 151200Z9 --- 22.5S9 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S9 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 -- 22.5S9 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4851 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:21:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21266; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:15:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA38552 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803151514.JAA20317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc164cfda9ed5f999c6b417bc76148b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 251 WTXS32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8938 UNCLAS 151200Z9 --- 22.5S9 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:22:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21318; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:17:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:15:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28840 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803151514.JAA20321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:14:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c91f4ccf2729eccda52d7ae6f64eb39e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 252 WTXS32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8938 UNCLAS 151200Z9 --- 22.5S9 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S9 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.9S4 77.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.2S9 78.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8938 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.4S2 78.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 28.1S1 80.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 22.8S2 77.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) CONTINUES TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8938 UNCLAS DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED 38 NM FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING AS IT PASSES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM'S SIZE AND INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS INTO THE WESTERLY FLOW. FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR PERIODS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// BT #8938 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627145-21543>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 03:45:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32916; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:39:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8169944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA42530 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803151938.NAA21523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:38:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f89d944ba202096b84d89afde3417727 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 682 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151353Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 22.5S9 077.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR8 (WTXS32 PGTW 151500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 65E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 67E3. 151521Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DEEP MID- LEVEL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 054E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 51E6. 151130Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, WESTERLY WINDS ARE HAVE BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS ALLOWING FOR MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625950-6548>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 10:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04130; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 20:27:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8172720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 20:25:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA17632 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 20:25:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 20:25:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160225.UAA23307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 20:25:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1573164e7de18b78b07cfbd11eb3a5d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 WTXS32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 23.1S6 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.1S7 77.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.6S3 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 23.4S9 77.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INTERPOLATION BETWEEN 152330Z4 AND 152333Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 152330Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN A TURN TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AS THE FRONT PASSES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS EXPERIENCED A TEMPORARY INCREASE IN CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-6547>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:10:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17924; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:04:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8173030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:02:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28846 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:02:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:02:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160302.VAA23457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:02:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3aa7d15a3259017857c92b2d6a8f32f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 891 WTXS32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9946 UNCLAS 160000Z7 --- 23.1S6 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.1S7 77.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.6S3 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9946 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 23.4S9 77.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INTERPOLATION BETWEEN 152330Z4 AND 152333Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 152330Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN A TURN TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AS THE FRONT PASSES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS EXPERIENCED A TEMPORARY INCREASE IN CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// BT #9946 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-6548>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:31:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13352; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8174191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA46558 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160528.XAA24306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:28:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a9f02b20b3879f1adb7382f5e275163 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 069 ABIO10 PGTW 160530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/160530Z/171800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 23.1S6 077.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR9 (WTXS32 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 064E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 062E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER ITS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 151836Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANTI- CYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT IS GOOD TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 051E6 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626401-6547>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:56:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28818; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:54:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8174295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:54:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA41734 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160552.XAA24448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b970642254e8b9cb0ef937ddf2c36808 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 407 ABIO10 PGTW 160530 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/160530Z/161800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 23.1S6 077.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR09 (WTXS32 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 064E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 062E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 151836Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANTI-CYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT IS GOOD TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 051E6 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO CORRECT VALID TIME AND CHECK SUM. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626962-6544>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 22:37:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA25180; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 08:35:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8176901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 08:35:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14084 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 08:35:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 08:35:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803161435.IAA27144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 08:35:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a76f78d4806af5261e16b3cd634ce84 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 WTXS32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 24.7S3 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S3 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.8S5 76.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.6S4 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 25.0S7 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS SHOWN A PERSISTENT TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE 161130Z2 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KNOTS. THIS SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT IS IN RESPONSE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN COMPLETELY EXPOSED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN IT=S ORGANIZATION. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND FURTHER DIFFUSES THE SYSTEM. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THE SOUTHWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627272-6549>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 23:23:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39534; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:20:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8177470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:20:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33832 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:20:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:20:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803161520.JAA28106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:20:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 971d3d183cdf1f7c0c55e7694b39b914 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 WTXS32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1638 UNCLAS 161200Z0 --- 24.7S3 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S3 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.8S5 76.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.6S4 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1638 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 25.0S7 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) HAS SHOWN A PERSISTENT TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE 161130Z2 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KNOTS. THIS SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT IS IN RESPONSE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN COMPLETELY EXPOSED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN IT'S ORGANIZATION. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND FURTHER DIFFUSES THE SYSTEM. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THE SOUTHWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7).// BT #1638 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-6549>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 01:48:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17448; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:46:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8022015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17852 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803161745.LAA01932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:45:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 309aa15b78d3dc8b09851583ef18c04e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 335 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161353Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7S3 077.0E4 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR10 (WTXS32 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 062E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 062E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED IT=S ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY DEVELOPING OVER ITS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 161101Z0 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES WINDS OF 25 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD TO THE SOUTH AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-6547>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 04:03:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22640; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:59:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8023504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:59:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22554 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:58:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:58:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803161958.NAA05112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:58:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08e5c7ce2a283f8a6c916db44470d7b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 078 WTXS21 PGTW 162000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 161951Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3S0 62.2E0 TO 20.2S4 59.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 161701Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 61.7E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. 161508Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT IN THE SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS GOOD OVER THE SYSTEM. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS 20 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 172000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-6548>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 05:29:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA04446; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 15:27:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8024397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 15:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA17738 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 15:27:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 15:27:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803162127.PAA07625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 15:27:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ffa3a9e67e5f1d0745f238e77b43d43 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 599 WTXS21 PGTW 162000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 161951Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3S0 62.2E0 TO 20.2S4 59.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2467 UNCLAS DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 161701Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 61.7E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. 161508Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT IN THE SYSTEM'S ORGANIZATION AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS GOOD OVER THE SYSTEM. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS 20 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 172000Z0.// BT #2467 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626939-13619>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 09:51:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA28200; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 19:48:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 19:48:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13536 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 19:47:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 19:47:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170147.TAA11118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 19:47:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 707817ad7891ee0ad55818d074f52384 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 380 WTXS32 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 25.4S1 76.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 76.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.5S3 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.2S1 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 25.7S4 76.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CONVECTION IS SHEARED 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD BE STEERED TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST UNDER WEAK EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COLDER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-13623>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 10:04:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14140; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:01:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:01:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28712 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:01:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:01:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170201.UAA11302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:01:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa237039cd7265834886d2fa6798c750 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 663 WTXS31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 17.4S2 61.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 61.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.1S0 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.7S6 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.1S1 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.4S4 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 17.6S4 61.4E1. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED EAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS WHICH WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA). THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL SYNOPTIC PATTERN SIMILAR TO TC 27S (ELSIE) WAS 3 TO 4 DAYS AGO. AS A RESULT, WE ARE EXPECTING A FASTER THAN NORMAL RATE OF INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WHILE A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS LINKED UP WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL INFLOW HAS ALSO DEVELOPED IN THE NORTH AND EAST QUADRANTS AS INDICATED BY SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS NOTED SPIRALING INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. OUR FORECAST TRACK HAS FOLLOWED A BLEND OF OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL AIDS AND OUR DYNAMIC AID, FBAM, BY TAKING TC 28S (FIONA) SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE MEAN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND THEN TRACKING THE SYSTEM SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS INDICATED BY THE FBAM MODEL AFTER 24 HOURS. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY AFFECT THE FUTURE TRACK. HOWEVER, THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND FORECAST MODELS INDICATE TC 28S (FIONA) IS AND WILL REMAIN EMBEDDED IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT WHICH SUPPORTS OUR GENERAL FORECAST TRACK OF SLOW SOUTHWEST MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161951Z MAR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 162000 ) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626037-13623>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 10:24:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43664; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:21:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:21:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA40812 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:21:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:21:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170221.UAA11469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:21:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6a8f452f245f857d79655dfef04407b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 WTXS32 PGTW 170300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 011A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 25.4S1 76.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 76.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.5S3 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.2S1 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 25.7S4 76.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CONVECTION IS SHEARED 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD BE STEERED TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST UNDER WEAK ASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COLDER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) (WTXS31 PFTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED REFERENCE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-13619>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 10:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25182; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:53:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:53:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37964 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:53:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:53:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170253.UAA11680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:53:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abd0be1adfde370f9a6363752b9c22f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 WTXS32 PGTW 170300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 011A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 25.4S1 76.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3622 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 76.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.5S3 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.2S1 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 25.7S4 76.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3622 UNCLAS 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CONVECTION IS SHEARED 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD BE STEERED TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST UNDER WEAK EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COLDER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) (WTXS31 PFTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED REFERENCE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA).// BT #3622 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-13623>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 10:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14166; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:56:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:56:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14654 for ; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170256.UAA11699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 20:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 014245c17e2a2a2bcceb7d966e297ee0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 493 WTXS31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 17.4S2 61.5E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 61.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.1S0 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.7S6 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.1S1 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.4S4 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 17.6S4 61.4E1. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED EAST OF THE MASCARENE ISLANDS WHICH WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA). THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL SYNOPTIC PATTERN SIMILAR TO TC 27S (ELSIE) WAS 3 TO 4 DAYS AGO. AS A RESULT, WE ARE EXPECTING A FASTER THAN NORMAL RATE OF INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WHILE A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS LINKED UP WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL INFLOW HAS ALSO DEVELOPED IN THE NORTH AND EAST QUADRANTS AS INDICATED BY SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS NOTED SPIRALING INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. OUR FORECAST TRACK HAS FOLLOWED A BLEND OF OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL AIDS AND OUR DYNAMIC AID, FBAM, BY TAKING TC 28S (FIONA) SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE MEAN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND THEN TRACKING THE SYSTEM SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS INDICATED BY THE FBAM MODEL AFTER 24 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS HOURS. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY AFFECT THE FUTURE TRACK. HOWEVER, THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND FORECAST MODELS INDICATE TC 28S (FIONA) IS AND WILL REMAIN EMBEDDED IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT WHICH SUPPORTS OUR GENERAL FORECAST TRACK OF SLOW SOUTHWEST MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161951Z MAR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 162000 ) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3623 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627797-13623>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 21:22:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA25224; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 07:19:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8030305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 07:19:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17688 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 07:18:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 07:18:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171318.HAA15610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 07:18:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 27s (elsie) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e78a39bdb1692b284e5ed5877027ba7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 147 WTXS32 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 26.1S9 078.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 26.1S9 078.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.2S0 080.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.3S1 081.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171130Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ALMOST COMPLETELY SHEARED AND THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS 85 NM FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE EAST AS IT IS ABSORBED INTO A PREEXISTING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ROUGHLY THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGHOUT 24 HOURS DUE TO ACCELERATION AS IT CONTINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO HAVE COMPLETED ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627862-13619>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 22:23:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29900; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:22:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8030571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:21:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38056 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:21:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:21:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171421.IAA16172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:21:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69041526de5da27e94116750c87d8fd8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 603 WTXS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.3S1 059.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 059.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.4S2 058.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.7S5 057.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.0S9 056.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.3S2 055.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171200Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DECREASE IN OVERALL DEEP CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGENERATE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 AND 181500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627876-13619>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 22:42:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21810; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:39:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8030714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04598 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:38:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:38:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171438.IAA16505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:38:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 27s (elsie) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a3e8ae3a109d97b5b5e01d24d2e135b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTXS32 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6060 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 26.1S9 078.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 26.1S9 078.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.2S0 080.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.3S1 081.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6060 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171130Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ALMOST COMPLETELY SHEARED AND THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS 85 NM FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE EAST AS IT IS ABSORBED INTO A PREEXISTING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ROUGHLY THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGHOUT 24 HOURS DUE TO ACCELERATION AS IT CONTINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO HAVE COMPLETED ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6060 UNCLAS REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6060 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627820-13622>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 22:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29452; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:41:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8030750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:41:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21982 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:41:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:41:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171441.IAA16578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 08:41:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 27s (elsie) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a838a0ebf95ab5d0e45eba910dc0c838 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 994 WTXS32 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6072 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 26.1S9 078.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 26.1S9 078.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.2S0 080.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.3S1 081.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6072 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171130Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ALMOST COMPLETELY SHEARED AND THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION IS 85 NM FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE EAST AS IT IS ABSORBED INTO A PREEXISTING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ROUGHLY THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGHOUT 24 HOURS DUE TO ACCELERATION AS IT CONTINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS FORECAST TO HAVE COMPLETED ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6072 UNCLAS REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6072 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627919-13622>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 01:20:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25522; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:18:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8031974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA34172 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171717.LAA20100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:17:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 636146c2b34ea1888798d29c84155873 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 968 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171353Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 26.1S9 078.8E3 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR12 (WTXS32 PGTW 171500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 171200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 17.3S1 59.7E1 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR02 (WTXS31 PGTW 171500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 17S8 062E8 HAS DEVELOPED INTO THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSED IN SECTION 2.A.(2) ABOVE. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 16S7 110E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOOSELY ORGANIZED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627926-13623>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 01:56:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23838; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:54:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8032247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:54:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22000 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:54:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:53:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171753.LAA20852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:53:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 420786e2af653b11671744532cc323d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 WTXS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6513 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.3S1 059.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 059.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.4S2 058.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.7S5 057.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6513 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.0S9 056.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.3S2 055.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6513 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171200Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DECREASE IN OVERALL DEEP CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGENERATE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 AND 181500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #6513 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2829 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627921-13619>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 02:17:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34076; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 12:15:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8032454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 12:15:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28160 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 12:15:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 12:15:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171815.MAA21331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 12:15:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3e15d2a037963b2a95569511b9fe075 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 984 WTXS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6586 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.3S1 059.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 059.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.4S2 058.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.7S5 057.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6586 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.0S9 056.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.3S2 055.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6586 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171200Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DECREASE IN OVERALL DEEP CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGENERATE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 AND 181500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #6586 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626409-21867>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:39:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04492; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:38:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8036547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29302 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:38:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:38:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803180238.UAA29470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:38:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e36dbdd5a8e5247ffd9649113d9a6763 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 591 WTXS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 18.7S6 60.6E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8561 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 60.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.2S2 59.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.7S7 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8561 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.5S7 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.3S6 58.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8561 UNCLAS REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 18.8S7 60.4E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS REINTENSIFIED BY REDEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED FARTHER SOUTH BASED ON 171706Z2 SSM/I AND 171913Z2 SCATTEROMETER DATA. TC 28S (FIONA) REMAINS IN A WEAK STEERING FLOW ENVIRONMENT AND A SLOW SOUTHWEST AND THEN SOUTHWARD TRACK IS INDICATED BY MOST OF OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS. WE HAVE DISCOUNTED THE 171200Z1 NOGAPS MODEL RUN DUE TO POOR INITIALIZATION OF THE POSITION OF TC 28S. WE HAVE FOLLOWED THE GFDN MODEL'S INTENSITY FORECAST OF STEADY DEVELOPMENT WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WAS IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM AND RESTRICTING THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND INHIBITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE PREVIOUS 12 HOURS HAS WEAKENED AND LIFTED OUT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND IS NO LONGER AFFECTING TC 28S (FIONA). OUR CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON THE RELOCATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AND, AS A RESULT, WE EXPECT TC28S (FIONA) TO TRACK PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8561 UNCLAS OVER OR JUST EAST OF MAURITIUS ISLAND IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #8561 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626432-21866>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:52:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA34094; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 07:49:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8039770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 07:49:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA40242 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 07:47:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 07:47:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803181347.HAA03523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 07:47:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99657aea17fda71faa53f1b11e8877d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 WTXS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 19.8S8 59.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 59.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.3S5 59.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.9S1 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.5S8 58.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.2S6 57.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM HAS LESSENED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN INTENSITY. NO SIGNIFICANT (CHANGE TO FORECAST TRACK REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING IS ANTICIPATED TO BE FROM THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST, THEN AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MODIFY THE STEERING FLOW. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN LEVEL OFF AS IT ENCOUNTERS WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 AND 191500Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE INITIAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-21863>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 22:58:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA40772; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 08:56:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8040456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 08:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40928 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 08:54:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 08:54:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803181454.IAA04709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 08:54:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc2ef2c54f4660b43c7f39abeed43b96 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 409 WTXS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 19.8S8 59.9E3 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1141 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 59.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.3S5 59.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.9S1 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1141 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.5S8 58.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.2S6 57.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1141 UNCLAS 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM HAS LESSENED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN INTENSITY. NO SIGNIFICANT (CHANGE TO FORECAST TRACK REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING IS ANTICIPATED TO BE FROM THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST, THEN AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MODIFY THE STEERING FLOW. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN LEVEL OFF AS IT ENCOUNTERS WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 AND 191500Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE INITIAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1141 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627139-21866>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 01:28:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13532; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8042253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA14750 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803181720.LAA08305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d032df9fd21ad8d2577e0568a5423fb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 336 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 19.8S8 59.9E3 AND MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR04 (WTXS31 PGTW 181500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 110E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:28:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-25816>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 10:20:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAB12328; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 20:18:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8046232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 20:18:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21832 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 20:14:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 20:14:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190214.UAA17952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 20:14:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a10e8b1eb789f566e2222f178de92f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 493 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.5S5 60.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.8S8 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.9S1 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.1S5 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6S6 60.2E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182300Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM 181700Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182300Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S= (FIONA) MOVEMENT HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A SOUTHERLY TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MID- LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE A SOUTHWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 24 TO 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE RIDGE REMAINS AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES TO THE SYSTEM=S WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY SHOULD BEGIN A GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AT THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4557 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626992-25817>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 13:26:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28334; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:21:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8048092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:21:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40476 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:20:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:20:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190520.XAA19178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:20:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30cdb91e2db11769c770f3431475e10b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 994 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.5S5 60.3E9 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3878 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.8S8 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.9S1 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3878 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.1S5 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6S6 60.2E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182300Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM 181700Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182300Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S' (FIONA) MOVEMENT HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A SOUTHERLY TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MID- LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3878 UNCLAS CONTINUE A SOUTHWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 24 TO 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE RIDGE REMAINS AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES TO THE SYSTEM'S WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY SHOULD BEGIN A GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AT THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3878 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627460-25817>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 22:42:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28862; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:40:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8051280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:40:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA18600 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:40:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:40:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803191440.IAA23013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:40:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18292e8ede0aabb036e3bc99f47b4457 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 606 WTXS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 19.9S9 58.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 58.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.2S4 58.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.8S0 57.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.8S1 57.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 20.0S2 58.7E0. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191100Z VISIBLE IMAGERY RECEIVED FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL WHICH INDICATED THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100NM TO THE EAST OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WAS USED FOR THE WARNING INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW- LEVEL CUMULOFORM CLOUDS HAS REMAINED CONSTANT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS APPROACHING THE MASCARENE ISLANDS, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTERWARDS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE STRONG WIND SHEAR ACTING ON THIS SYSTEM, THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CONSTANT THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD BASED ON THE ORGANIZATION IN THE LOW-LEVELS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-25816>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:58:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25230; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:56:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8051827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:56:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25190 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:56:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:56:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803191556.JAA24702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:56:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37f9123ecba09b1968d70667311594ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 996 WTXS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 19.9S9 58.9E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5744 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 58.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.2S4 58.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.8S0 57.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5744 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.8S1 57.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 20.0S2 58.7E0. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191100Z VISIBLE IMAGERY RECEIVED FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL WHICH INDICATED THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100NM TO THE EAST OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WAS USED FOR THE WARNING INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW- LEVEL CUMULOFORM CLOUDS HAS REMAINED CONSTANT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS APPROACHING THE MASCARENE ISLANDS, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5744 UNCLAS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTERWARDS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE STRONG WIND SHEAR ACTING ON THIS SYSTEM, THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CONSTANT THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD BASED ON THE ORGANIZATION IN THE LOW-LEVELS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5744 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-25818>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:34:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA49794; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:31:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8053136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA17504 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803191830.MAA28044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:30:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c079a4bb58a66a1cdb7ca068eb1c3c12 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 244 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9S9 58.9E2 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 191500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS NEAR 6S6 45E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, 191609Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS NO SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 17S8 101E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AN UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DETECTABLE AS OF YET. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4321 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-29875>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 10:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA33818; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:54:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8056992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:54:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12024 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:54:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:54:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200254.UAA06171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:54:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa790be4a32187b78be93bd7a4dbdd36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 977 WTXS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.5S8 58.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 58.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.9S3 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.4S0 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 21.8S1 58.4E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192300Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE TENDENCY FOR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SYSTEMS TO RETAIN SIGNIFICANT SURFACE WINDS AFTER HAVING BEEN SHEARED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS BEGUN TRACKING SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT=S CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 12:13:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA27912; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 22:12:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8057951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 22:11:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA16612 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 22:11:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 22:11:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200411.WAA06661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 22:11:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8510e64bcff6f9171f37299290c1e953 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 342 WTXS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.5S8 58.5E8 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8295 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 58.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.9S3 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.4S0 58.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8295 UNCLAS REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 21.8S1 58.4E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192300Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE TENDENCY FOR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SYSTEMS TO RETAIN SIGNIFICANT SURFACE WINDS AFTER HAVING BEEN SHEARED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS BEGUN TRACKING SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT'S CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// BT #8295 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Mar 21 00:01:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1066 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 22:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17484; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:33:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8060992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:33:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04384 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:33:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:33:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803201433.IAA10670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:33:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f1fa895d5b4e864b3dbd944ac714fbe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 146 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 22.8S2 58.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.8S2 58.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.8S3 59.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 23.1S6 58.9E2. 200501Z8 SATELLITE VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201101Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WEAKENING TREND AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Mar 21 00:01:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627243-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:25:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25580; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:23:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8061390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:23:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28120 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:23:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:23:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803201523.JAA11707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:23:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 28s (fiona) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58ccd1f21396ca0d5c6502aa57fc6fa3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 095 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 22.8S2 58.8E1 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0168 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.8S2 58.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.8S3 59.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 23.1S6 58.9E2. 200501Z8 SATELLITE VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201101Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0168 UNCLAS IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WEAKENING TREND AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #0168 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4839 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-29863>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28852; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:56:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8062795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA28828 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803201755.LAA14900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:55:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 489117bd373f09cda85aa6dbb4e69ab7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 922 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800ZMAR98/211800ZMAR98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED AT 22.8S2 58.8E1 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNING NR8 (WTXS31 PGTW 201500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 45E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 101E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3229 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-5483>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 01:23:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14142; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8072506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21508 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211722.LAA27700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:22:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e63246106a910a70e43950f998bb6fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 053 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 11.0S2 104.0E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 211200Z6 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER IS SCATTERED, WITH POOR TO FAIR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-1778>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 01:27:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36832; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8080455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA47304 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221726.LAA04599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:26:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 384019f95148d82dad82cbf348ebd72a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 219 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 104.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 103E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY SCATTERED CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE POOR OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-11044>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 01:59:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26078; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:51:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8102117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15034 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241750.LAA03678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:50:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 282eebe1378b4eb6f0074ac41f7d9e9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 568 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 72E9 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 74E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW AN AREA OF PER SISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR AN AREA OF LOW LEVEL TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTA INED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ES TIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 52E7 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION C ENTER. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS FAIR BOTH TO THE NORTH AND TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIM UM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627335-22925>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 01:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA45812; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA18384 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261731.LAA07737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:31:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd96ce0f23c127a6ca20dcfe4a07f28e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 817 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-22925>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 02:31:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA38638; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:30:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8122119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28778 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261829.MAA08916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:29:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d78d930af03a86e05df04fb18a0b0e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 027 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 IS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13S4 76E3 FOR 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE END OF A SHEAR LINE EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THIS AREA HAS FORMED UNDER A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY UNORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627342-22922>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 04:01:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44686; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8123449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA45678 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261954.NAA10815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:54:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4616b53f695d7697dbb109cdce3169f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 631 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 IS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13S4 76E3 FOR 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE END OF A SHEAR LINE EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THIS AREA HAS FORMED UNDER A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY UNORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627387-3155>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 01:40:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA34070; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8132426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA43524 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271739.LAA24757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 11:39:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fab6333c3f87830419d1e64d5eaec2d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 105 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2192 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627378-3158>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 02:58:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36830; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8133108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA16290 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271850.MAA26311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:50:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ddf42fde2351716dcca2950bb9f19e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 802 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 271200Z2 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD, POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS DISTURBANCE HAS LESSENED HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 76E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627454-7904>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 01:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36148; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:53:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8142466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:53:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36624 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:53:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:52:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281752.LAA07474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:52:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d54874f86e21fc2d284ed7b2bcc69dd3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 539 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627454-7905>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 01:57:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31908; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8142492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA31624 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281756.LAA07493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:56:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2742ac598ffaf517f5de4bef66275cf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 575 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 48E2 HAS RE- DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 51E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. THE CONVECTION STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED ALTHOUGH THE OUTFLOW ABOVE THE DISTURBANCE HAS APPEARED TO IMPROVE SOME OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH APPROXIMATELY 10 DEGREES LATITUDE TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE DISTURBANCE AS SEEN IN 281246Z3 METEOSAT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627292-7415>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 01:34:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA21970; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:33:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8150086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:32:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA51340 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803291731.LAA14083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:31:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b10d582b75ae50b55ce21920d367b06f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 299 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9S9 51E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627694-8513>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:24:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA07126; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8175216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA44636 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803311721.LAA15636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:21:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e303ee00fc084c7bb04ef042d864958 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 494 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800ZMAR98/011800ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627851-22258>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 03:06:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19034; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8190474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:01:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA43694 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011900.NAA08482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:00:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51f0afb07be6c9fe1f6fa6995d4cc8ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 502 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS NEAR 8S8 54E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13S4 73E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS DUE TO A PRE-EXISTING UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4835 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627131-5735>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 15:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA38242; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8197577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24892 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804020722.BAA18026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:22:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d4f30b73d9e2b849cb3f45021215786 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 164 ABIO10 PGTW 020700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/020700Z/021800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 54E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 53E8. THE CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 16S7 61E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 6S6 64E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13S4 73E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD TWO SUSPECT AREAS, 2.B.(2) AND 2.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1305 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627315-5735>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA51118; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:19:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8198469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA51046 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA19290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804021218.GAA19290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 06:18:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7697532d0a66a9c124becba8a2f1571b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 760 ABIO10 PGTW 020700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/020700Z/021800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 54E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 53E8. THE CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 16S7 61E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 6S6 64E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13S4 73E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD TWO SUSPECT AREAS, 2.B.(2) AND 2.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627662-5730>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 01:53:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA38320; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8202525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29322 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804021752.LAA26125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:52:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f67f298bd07e7e562f5a7d133110be9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 002 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 53E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 61E7 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 64E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING. 021440Z1 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 021525Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME GENERALLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-17128>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 12:27:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18328; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8208643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA35880 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804030425.WAA05169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:25:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a77460cb1e4fb0af385de269a70f876 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 226 ABIO10 PGTW 030500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030500Z/031800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 71E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS INDICATING A SLIGHT TURNING WITHIN THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, 022330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS IMPROVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626826-17129>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 01:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAB21310; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:31:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8213907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23916 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:29:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:29:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804031729.LAA13151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:29:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c4810cece1af672d3146fe20ee6eca9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 240 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS CONTINUING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A 031237Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS STILL ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING AND NOT AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627006-22211>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 03:15:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25868; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8225347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA50922 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804041914.NAA28140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:14:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e490d0ad263490554265b18ae746c97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 876 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 8S8 72E9 IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 041200Z7 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE AND OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4462 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627083-22241>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA10334; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8231930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 11:36:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA51012 for ; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804051736.MAA04479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 12:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c04a29c0c4d6161343218036e4822911 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 262 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z APR 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 72 E9 IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR 16.5S2 77.1E5. ANIMATED IN FRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 051200Z8 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE DEEP CONVE CTION FORMING OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS F AIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 10 06 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOUR S REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS IN THE SOU TH INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 12S3 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES D EEP CONVECTION FORMING IN AN ACTIVE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL O UTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 10 09 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOUR S IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11S1 51E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 05 1200Z8 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE N ORTHERN END OF A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. UPPER-LEVEL OU TFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EIBLING/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626581-5791>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:45:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22996; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:44:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8237202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43710 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:44:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804060744.CAA09183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 060551z Apr 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 162ea9a7d1bc932757a9e9b2198625e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 069 WTXS21 PGTW 060700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 375 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.5S6 70.6E3 TO 23.9S4 73.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060341Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 71.1E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: CURRENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 060341Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12-HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070700Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627335-5795>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 02:33:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA43668; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:31:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8242907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 12:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA27774 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:30:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804061830.NAA17689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 13:30:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59c6c1d229308230b10aebf82104d08c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 771 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 72E9 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW) FOR DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CY CLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 16.5S2 77.1E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0S8 76.1E4. AN IMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION CONCENT RATED IN A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADR ANTS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS INTERACTING WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION TO ITS WE ST MENTIONED IN 2.B.(1) ABOVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT W ITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11S2 51 E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 50E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 06120 0Z9 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BR OAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. NO DISCRETE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APP ARENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRA NTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627338-5796>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 04:34:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15490; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8244496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 14:30:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29274 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:30:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804062030.PAA20597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:30:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/060551z Apr 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e4195ee0746ae94e1f5e76bd62da685 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 554 WTXS22 PGTW 061930 061923Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 325 NM RADIUS OF 17.9S7 76.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 061732Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 76.1E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 071800Z6. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS FORMED OVER THE PAST 04 HOURS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED AND IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS INTERACTING WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO ITS NORTHWEST WHICH IS ALSO THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS DISTURBANCE. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 071930Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-27658>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 11:22:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA46262; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:20:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8248891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 21:20:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA31598 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:20:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804070319.WAA24794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:19:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a146169dd0cb71323baa2ace2c73f29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 14.1S6 071.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 071.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 14.6S1 071.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 15.2S8 071.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 15.7S3 072.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.4S1 072.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 14.2S7 071.4E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 20 HOURS AND IS NOW CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON 062300Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY RECEIVED FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM WEST OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S (PREVIOUSLY THE TOPIC OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT). THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS IS CONTRIBUTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY MOVEMENT OF TC 32S. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060551Z APR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 060700). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1125 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626318-27658>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 11:22:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA33300; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:20:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8248907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 21:20:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA41980 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:20:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:20:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804070320.WAA24805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:20:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 644da3ac55b8fc7958b4144fda540e24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 WTXS32 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.8S5 075.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 075.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.9S6 075.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.0S8 074.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.1S9 073.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.3S1 073.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 16.8S5 075.7E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS BECOME CONSIDERABLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ESTIMATE ARE BASED ON 062332Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD WITH ONLY SLIGHT WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. THIS SHEAR IS DUE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WHICH IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300NM TO THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-27658>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18994; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8249900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 22:57:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA46102 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804070457.XAA25531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:57:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5512f08cc046c3b699e4238943ea2a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 910 ABIO10 PGTW 070500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/070500Z/071800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WAS LOCATED AT 14.1S6 071.4E6 MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS31 PGTW 070300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WAS LOCATED AT 16.8S5 075.8E0 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 33S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS32 PGTW 070300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 72E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 17.0S8 76.1E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11S2 51E6 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE RY INDICATES THE CONVECTION BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627213-27658>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:22:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA16882; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:20:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8252951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 08:20:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA35530 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:19:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:19:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804071419.JAA29470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:19:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34e670ed6a8045da6742fefcb33feee6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 599 WTXS31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 13.8S2 72.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 72.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.2S7 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.7S2 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.4S0 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.2S9 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 13.9S3 72.1E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 3 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071100Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 071100Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S HAS BEEN SLOWLY TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO WEAK MID- LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THIS WEAK STEERING FLOW IS DUE TO THE PRESENT PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH HAS WEAKENED THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM=S EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AFTER THE 12 HOUR POSITION DUE TO THE CONTINUED FORECASTED WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4739 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627387-27656>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:24:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA51128; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:22:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8253004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 08:22:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45044 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:19:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:19:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804071419.JAA29478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 09:19:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 381e959d5c572e5d107df774ced868a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 WTXS32 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 15.4S0 73.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 73.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.2S7 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 15.1S7 73.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071100Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS POSITION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S IS MERGING WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MERGER IS TAKING PLACE. KGWC HAS MERGED THE TWO SYSTEMS AS OF THE 071100Z9 FIX AND KWBC CAN NO LONGER DISTINGUISH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S SHOULD COMPLETE MERGER WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627424-27652>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 01:30:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22546; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:28:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8255783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 11:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37862 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804071727.MAA03873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 911d4c7ea174619789c13697216780b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 262 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071353Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF INDIA NEAR 4N4 75E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXITS. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 72.0E9 MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 071500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33S WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 73.7E7 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 33S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS32 PGTW 071500)) FOR FINAL WARNING. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 51E6 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 48E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3322 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-26861>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 10:29:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14618; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 21:28:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8261401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 21:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19968 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 21:27:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 21:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804080227.VAA12940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 21:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a1d84d93698082115b36e0c22279edf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.8S2 072.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 072.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.5S0 072.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.3S9 072.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0S7 072.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.8S5 071.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.0S5 072.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072201Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (KWBC). ANIMATION OF FENGYUN SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE MERGER OF TC 32S AND TC33S. THIS RESULTED IN A BROAD AND WEAK WIND FIELD. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WILL BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN A MORE SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS THE SUBTROPCIAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 31S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-26864>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 11:17:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39130; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:16:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8261816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49864 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:15:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:15:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804080315.WAA13396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:15:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s Warning Nr 003a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e64554fe4cd797e4f23b1b72ed79704 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 003A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.8S2 072.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 072.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.5S0 072.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.3S9 072.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0S7 072.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.8S5 071.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.0S5 072.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072201Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (KWBC). ANIMATION OF FENGYUN SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE MERGER OF TC 32S AND TC33S. THIS RESULTED IN A BROAD AND WEAK WIND FIELD. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WILL BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN A MORE SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS THE SUBTROPCIAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 32S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. JUSTIFICATION: TO CHANGE TC NUMBERS IN LINE 8 AND LINE 11 OF REMARKS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626300-26861>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 22:52:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49890; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:51:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8267211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20154 for ; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804081450.JAA20035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1aed3e71627af87ff8daddc693f1c7f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 14.5S0 71.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 71.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.5S2 68.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.5S3 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 14.6S1 71.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 AND 081201Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND A 081201Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THIS TIME. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627506-26865>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 02:02:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24698; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:00:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8270402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:00:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA32494 for ; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804081759.MAA24118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 12:59:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a0e81984a4e4c4e74d98d2eea57ac1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 512 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4N4 75E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5S0 71.4E2 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 04 (WTXS31 PGTW 081500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 48E2 IS NOW NEAR 7S7 48E2. A 080654Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626257-25347>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:05:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAB47770; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 20:59:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8276722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 20:59:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA27284 for ; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 20:58:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 20:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804090158.UAA02571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 20:58:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb8bfe3b56e59bc0ac27644d20fe234b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 13.8S2 70.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 70.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.8S2 68.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.1S6 66.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.9S4 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.1S8 64.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 13.8S2 69.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 082300Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5 (KGWC). THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN A REGION OF WEAK EASTERLY ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-25347>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 14:36:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28806; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 01:29:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8279272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 01:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24676 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 01:29:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 01:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804090629.BAA05041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 01:29:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 005a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38b6b8ee170ec556de72bf9af728ccf0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 WTXS31 PGTW 090900 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 005A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 14.9S4 71.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 71.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.1S7 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 15.4S0 69.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.9S5 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.5S2 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 15.0S6 71.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THIS WARNING WAS AMENDED BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 090033Z5 AND 090218Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS LOCATED 120 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF OUR ORIGINA L WARNING POSITION. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WE ARE EXPECTING TC 32S (GEMMA) TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO IT SOUTH. TC 32S (GEMMA) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627716-25345>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 23:29:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22996; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:26:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8283576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA33422 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:26:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA10828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804091526.KAA10828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:26:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25f01a40a5d48d8cb3e8e68b5bf8c71a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 963 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 15.0S6 71.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 71.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.7S3 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.3S0 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.7S4 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.2S0 69.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 15.2S8 71.8E6. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 09/1317Z INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH. POSITION IS BASED ON A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS FROM BOTH KGWC AND PGTW. IN ADDITION, ANIMATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS PULLING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH IN RESPONSE TO THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM. FORECAST IS FOR AN EVENTUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AS THE CYCLONE BECOMES MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE. LOCATED MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627690-25345>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 03:01:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA36014; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8285711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA38802 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804091845.NAA15803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:45:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1767d1748f9388eda492836b02c32ab4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 100 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.0S6 71.8E6 MOVING SOUTH AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 091500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 48E2 IS NOW NEAR 8S8 51E6. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626140-21490>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 10:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA31904; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 21:24:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8290376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 21:23:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25440 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 21:23:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 21:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804100223.VAA22194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 21:23:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4d1d077c54e84e974bbeea14ad33ef9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 385 WTXS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 15.6S2 72.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 72.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.1S8 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.6S3 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.0S8 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.3S1 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 15.7S3 72.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON 092300Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (KGWC). WE ARE EXPECTING THE SYSTEM TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, THEN BEGIN TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. TC 32S (GEMMA) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO THE INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9)./ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627843-21487>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 23:21:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04300; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 10:19:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8295070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 10:19:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA17734 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 10:18:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA28793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 10:18:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804101518.KAA28793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 10:18:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 008 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1801cccfe0f3205e48cf2237a0a30780 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 145 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 16.3S0 74.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 74.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.2S0 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.1S0 74.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.1S1 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.6S6 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 16.5S2 74.2E3. ANALYSIS OF 101130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (KGWC AND PGTW) INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS LOCATED FURTHER TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST POSITION. REANALYSIS OF PAST POSITIONS SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. HOWEVER, A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS THEN EXPECTED AS THE TROUGH MOVES ON AND THE RIDGE REBUILDS TO ITS SOUTH. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 101130Z SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS AS ITS CENTRAL CONVECTIVE REGION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS EXPEC TED TO PEAK WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR BECO MES INCREASING A FACTOR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2)./ / +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4712 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627862-21487>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 01:29:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA16210; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:28:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8296037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04118 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804101727.MAA01673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 12:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3337b5fd1313d05ee2dd96a97859d71a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 574 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 74.1E2 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 08 (WTXS31 PGTW 101500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF MADAGASCAR PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 48E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS DISSIPATED. THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626189-13602>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 10:26:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38534; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:25:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8300057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36626 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:24:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804110224.VAA08276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be3a6a4d31f4a3dc9168d8ff61571790 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 WTXS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.3S0 075.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 075.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.7S4 077.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.4S2 077.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.2S1 077.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.8S7 076.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.4S1 076.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS DERIVED FROM INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY EASTWARD TO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A TROUGH POSITIONED TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, NEAR 36 HOURS, UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM A DEVELOPING RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASINGLY BECOME A FACTOR IN BOTH INTENSITY AND DOMINANT STEERING LEVEL. THE COMBINED AFFECT SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING OF SURFACE WINDS AND A WESTWARD CHANGE OF TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2276 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626156-13601>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 10:52:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38694; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:51:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8300253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38418 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804110251.VAA08431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 21:51:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 909a233ccc230538d8dbcf4de642c5a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 244 WTXS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.3S0 075.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 075.7E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7403 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.7S4 077.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.4S2 077.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7403 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.2S1 077.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.8S7 076.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.4S1 076.0E3. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7403 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS DERIVED FROM INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY EASTWARD TO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A TROUGH POSITIONED TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, NEAR 36 HOURS, UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM A DEVELOPING RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASINGLY BECOME A FACTOR IN BOTH INTENSITY AND DOMINANT STEERING LEVEL. THE COMBINED AFFECT SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING OF SURFACE WINDS AND A WESTWARD CHANGE OF TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// BT #7403 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2509 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627187-13595>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 16:29:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41656; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 03:28:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8301524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 03:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28832 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 03:28:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 03:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804110828.DAA10170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 03:28:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 009a Amended And To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3000b11e9c7067ba9c0c1b9ed77d8b09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 WTXS31 PGTW 110900 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 009A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 15.7S3 75.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 75.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.8S4 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.3S0 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.5S2 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.5S2 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 15.7S3 76.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT AND RELOCATION: LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS SEPARATED THE UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 70NM SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED TIMES OF 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2880 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-13601>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 17:10:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA16356; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 04:05:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8301574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 04:05:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47314 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 04:05:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA10304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 04:05:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804110905.EAA10304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 04:05:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 009a Amended And To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0498c2dfe000d670eba139bf42f7b435 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 091 WTXS31 PGTW 110900 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 009A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 15.7S3 75.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8185 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 75.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.8S4 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.3S0 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8185 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.5S2 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.5S2 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 15.7S3 76.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT AND RELOCATION: LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8185 UNCLAS HAS SEPARATED THE UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 70NM SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED TIMES OF 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// BT #8185 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627345-13602>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 21:49:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA25440; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 08:44:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8302809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 08:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA32290 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 08:44:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 08:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804111343.IAA11410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 08:43:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31f426041742e15b3a75f64b5c4032c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 419 WTXS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 15.4S0 76.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 76.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.5S1 77.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.1S8 78.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.1S9 78.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.0S9 77.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 15.4S0 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 111130Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT THIS TIME AND IS TRACKING EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A 700 MB NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD BY 24 HOURS AS THE STEERING FROM THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE CONTINUES. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SURFACE STEERING FLOW AS THE SYSTEM=S UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS SHEARED AWAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD CONTINUE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3466 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627348-13595>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 22:30:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA38590; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 09:29:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8303034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26794 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 09:29:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 09:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804111429.JAA11643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 09:29:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ae731d01614b3ee2c4b5420eb2372b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 333 WTXS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 15.4S0 76.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 76.6E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.5S1 77.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.1S8 78.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.1S9 78.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.0S9 77.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 15.4S0 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD AT 6 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 111130Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT THIS TIME AND IS TRACKING EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A 700 MB NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD BY 24 HOURS AS THE STEERING FROM THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE CONTINUES. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SURFACE STEERING FLOW AS THE SYSTEM'S UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS SHEARED AWAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD CONTINUE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM EXPERIENCES INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// BT #8494 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627870-13602>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 01:50:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13538; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8303907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13448 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804111749.MAA12746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d87b59cf2be0ed5cbdb4c991ea83797 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 238 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 76.6E9 MOVING EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 111500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 58E3 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1345 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625937-28192>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 10:18:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38908; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 21:17:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8306731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 21:15:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA32454 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 21:15:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 21:15:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804120215.VAA15555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 21:15:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5729cdf508a55fc7c6fa025824e8c650 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 475 WTXS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 15.1S7 077.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 077.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.5S1 077.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.1S8 077.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.9S6 076.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.5S3 076.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 1200Z6 POSITION 15.2S8 077.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL AFFECTING THE SYSTEM BUT TO A LESSER DEGREE THAN 18 HOURS AGO. THE SHEAR IS HINDERING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH NOT CAUSING A MARKED WEAKENING. TC 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111747Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-28196>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:45:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA36712; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 23:44:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8307386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 23:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26710 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 23:44:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 23:44:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804120444.XAA16140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 23:44:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d848220790f30178c1316a5363607c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 WTXS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 15.1S7 077.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 077.0E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9365 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.5S1 077.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.1S8 077.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9365 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.9S6 076.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.5S3 076.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 15.2S8 077.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL AFFECTING THE SYSTEM PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9365 UNCLAS BUT TO A LESSER DEGREE THAN 18 HOURS AGO. THE SHEAR IS HINDERING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT ALTHOUGH NOT CAUSING A MARKED WEAKENING. TC 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111747Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// BT #9365 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626656-28196>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 21:41:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28826; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 08:40:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8309755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 08:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14728 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 08:40:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 08:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804121340.IAA18200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 08:40:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64748c9881381d3d79dc37d26a4454ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 496 WTXS31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 14.7S2 78.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 78.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.9S4 78.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.5S1 79.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.7S4 79.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.9S7 78.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 14.7S2 78.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 AND 121132Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB AND 850 MB NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK MORE SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWARD AS THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE SYSTEM=S NORTHEAST. BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEGUN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-28196>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 23:28:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA47106; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 10:27:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8310202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 10:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA28910 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 10:27:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 10:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804121527.KAA18565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 10:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c838af0a98de0c6296ca252b05a0998d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 465 WTXS31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 14.7S2 78.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 78.0E5 --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0153 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.9S4 78.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.5S1 79.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.7S4 79.6E2 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0153 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.9S7 78.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 14.7S2 78.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 AND 121132Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0153 UNCLAS OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB AND 850 MB NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK MORE SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWARD AS THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE SYSTEM'S NORTHEAST. BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEGUN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM'S CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// BT #0153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1169 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626694-28195>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 01:36:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22790; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:36:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8310650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA32456 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804121735.MAA19025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96a9526246a9190840e388794d520a99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 031 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.7S2 78.0E5 MOVING EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 58E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 36 HOURS AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 120629Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A 121422Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS STILL LINEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-11548>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:49:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA45720; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 20:48:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8313520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 20:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13422 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 20:47:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 20:47:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804130147.UAA21535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 20:47:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s (gemma) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 890448635eb0d945237d74940de7b593 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 046 WTXS31 PGTW 130300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.9S4 078.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 078.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.1S7 078.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.5S1 078.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.3S0 078.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.3S1 078.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 15.0S6 078.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SUBJECT TO UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR ALTHOUGH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO THE NORTH-EAST OF THE CENTER HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 122330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A 121406Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURES REMAIN WELL DEFINED AND TIGHTLY WRAPPED IN SPITE OF THE SHEARING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. AFTER 12 HOURS, IT IS EXPECTED THAT CONTINUED SHEARING CONDITIONS WILL INDUCE AN INCREASED STEERING INFLUENCE BY LOWER LEVEL FEATURES. SYNOPTIC RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM=S SOUTH WOULD ALLOW FOR A WESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-11542>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 10:46:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26074; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 21:45:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8313729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 21:45:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14790 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 21:45:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 21:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804130245.VAA21845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 21:45:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3d3c42968ed6e5598809ae169c5afb0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 WTXS31 PGTW 130300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0850 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.9S4 078.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 078.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.1S7 078.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0850 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.5S1 078.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.3S0 078.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0850 UNCLAS 150000Z6 --- 17.3S1 078.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 15.0S6 078.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SUBJECT TO UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR ALTHOUGH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO THE NORTH-EAST OF THE CENTER HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 122330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A 121406Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURES REMAIN WELL DEFINED AND TIGHTLY WRAPPED IN SPITE OF THE SHEARING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. AFTER 12 HOURS, IT IS EXPECTED THAT CONTINUED SHEARING CONDITIONS WILL INDUCE AN INCREASED STEERING INFLUENCE BY LOWER LEVEL FEATURES. SYNOPTIC RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM'S SOUTH WOULD ALLOW FOR A WESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0850 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). BT #0850 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3299 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626954-11547>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 21:48:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA45598; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 08:47:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8317116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 08:47:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47648 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 08:46:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 08:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804131346.IAA25193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 08:46:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 333e69e302293a179e2aaacc215d23dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 746 WTXS31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 14.6S1 77.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 77.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.6S1 77.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.8S3 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.4S0 78.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.1S8 78.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 14.6S1 77.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW, AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGHOU T THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD SLOWLY BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK AS THE 700 MB AND 850 MB RIDGE REBUILDS SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S=S (GEMMA) CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED AWAY FROM ITS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626932-11547>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 22:18:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28866; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:17:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8317430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:17:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26030 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804131417.JAA25930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c9249b6d2b9aebaaaf8041397ca2672 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTXS31 PGTW 131500 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2116 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 14.6S1 77.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 77.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.6S1 77.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2116 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.8S3 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.4S0 78.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.1S8 78.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2116 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 14.6S1 77.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW, AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) SHOULD SLOWLY BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK AS THE 700 MB AND 850 MB RIDGE REBUILDS SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S'S (GEMMA) CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED AWAY FROM ITS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2116 UNCLAS BT #2116 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2445 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-11547>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 01:49:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28808; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:42:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8319689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27178 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804131741.MAA00216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:41:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 473be0a5953cf6259b814aeeee9f61d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 199 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.6S1 77.7E1 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS W ERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL C YCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 14 (WTXS31 PGTW 131500)) AND TWELVE-HO URLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 60E6. THIS PERSISTENT AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION REMAINS LINEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 1 5 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE P OTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626745-6530>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 10:44:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17686; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 21:42:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8324287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 21:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49016 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 21:40:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 21:40:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804140240.VAA08345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 21:40:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9db1e630207ad9223b24bd3cecbbc8a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 448 WTXS31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 14.6S1 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.6S2 78.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.8S3 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.0S6 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 14.6S1 77.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 132330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1804 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626082-6530>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 12:41:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA49088; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 23:40:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8324993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 23:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA32300 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 23:38:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 23:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804140438.XAA09155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 23:38:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8b9357dd0b8624cd6c6c11fe6577160 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 554 WTXS31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4580 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 14.6S1 77.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 77.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.6S2 78.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4580 UNCLAS 150000Z6 --- 14.8S3 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.0S6 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 14.6S1 77.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 132330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4580 UNCLAS 141351Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// BT #4580 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627671-6530>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 22:36:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04222; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:30:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8327834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04098 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:26:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:25:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804141425.JAA13997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:25:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9865a4b084be02ce2f7c078de41baf78 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 WTXS31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-6531>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 22:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13514; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:28:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8327824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14840 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:25:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:25:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804141425.JAA14001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:25:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f0c95b2cc1cd60435b264dcc193ab63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 395 WTXS31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 14.2S7 76.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 76.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.2S7 75.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.2S7 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 14.2S7 76.3E6. LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM BOTH KGWC AND PGTW INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS SEPARATED FROM ITS CONVECTION. TC 32S IS NOW MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LOCATE D TO ITS SOUTH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT GALE FORCE WINDS (35 KT S) ARE STILL POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER= HOWEVER, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES AWAY FROM THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627671-6532>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 22:51:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26762; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:49:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8328126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:48:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13548 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:47:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:47:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804141447.JAA14553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 09:47:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01650d45c6ad0341f710e691553e8aa2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 834 WTXS31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6075 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 14.2S7 76.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 76.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.2S7 75.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6075 UNCLAS 151200Z9 --- 14.2S7 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 14.2S7 76.3E6. LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM BOTH KGWC AND PGTW INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS SEPARATED FROM ITS CONVECTION. TC 32S IS NOW MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT GALE FORCE WINDS (35 KTS) ARE STILL POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER; HOWEVER, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES AWAY FROM THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// BT #6075 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-6531>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 02:44:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18430; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:41:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8330567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:40:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA27332 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804141838.NAA19585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a974c632090d82d521618467895f6f44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 518 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.2S7 76.5E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 16 (WTXS31 PGTW 141500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 60E6 HAS REORGANIZED NEAR 9S9 52E7. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN BE OBSERVED WITH THE 140900Z VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS WITH THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW SHEAR ANTICYCLONIC FLOW EXISTS OVER THE REGION; HOWEVER, CONVECTION REMAINS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626168-22355>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 10:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25894; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:36:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8336194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33286 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:36:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804150236.VAA27523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f7359f8d190e7d3534836703c3c929c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 WTXS31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 14.2S7 75.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 75.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.2S7 74.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 14.2S7 75.1E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 142330Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-22355>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 11:03:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA28844; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 22:00:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8336512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19294 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:59:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804150259.VAA27854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:59:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: babdad98816ed447d562b0f71a4b66ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 734 WTXS31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE PAGE 02 RUEOMCA0718 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 14.2S7 75.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 75.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.2S7 74.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 14.2S7 75.1E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) HAS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0718 UNCLAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 142330Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 12 FEET.// BT #0718 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-22358>; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 02:24:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13438; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8344712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16710 for ; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804151809.NAA09794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:09:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d567aebd4679763488cf501dcc9eded Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 882 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.2S7 75.4E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD WHILE DISSIPATING OVER WATER . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA) WARNING NR 1 7 (WTXS31 PGTW 150300))FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIO USLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 52E7 HAS NOW MOVED SOUTHWARD TO A POSITION NEAR 11S2 55E0. A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN BE OBSERVED WITH T HE 150900Z VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS WITH AN ERS-1 SCATTEROM ETER PASS AT 15/0635Z. THE SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS WINDS UP TO 30 KN OTS ALONG THE CIRCULATION=S SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY, BUT LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WITHIN 60NM OF THE CENTER. CONVECTION HAS YET TO P ERSIST NEAR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:18:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627332-12222>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:29:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22690; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:28:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8359361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA33406 for ; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804161727.MAA28017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 12:27:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6f688882559b77d8f63a65cb54fea3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 936 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 55E0. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME CONSIDERABLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 9S9 135E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED ON A 160101Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 91E0. THIS AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627418-18369>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 21:55:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13812; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:54:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8369870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13716 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804171353.IAA11769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 08:53:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c27c0d4f9336a2b5016256ce93d8d0d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 934 ABIO10 PGTW 171300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171300Z/171800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 130E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 59E4. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 91E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 84E2. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3401 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-18371>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 03:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA46168; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8373765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA38414 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804171930.OAA18998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:30:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2e2c33161e17d8b220515b2ead871c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 574 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-25913>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 15:16:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44898; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8379766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29256 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804180715.CAA25425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:15:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdf857fffc6be0ec99d5b941849b2830 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 290 ABIO10 PGTW 180700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/180700Z/181800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 130E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS LOST ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EXIST TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BUT AN 180137Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO ELONGATE. ALTHOUGH LITTLE SHEAR IS PRESENT, UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 59E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 64E0. THIS AREA HAS BECOME ALMOST COMPLETELY SHEARED OF DEEP CONVECTION BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO HAVE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 84E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 82E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION CLOUD TOPS HAVE ALSO COOLED. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-4634>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:48:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA37592; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:08:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8382488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:07:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31930 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:07:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:07:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804181707.MAA28224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:07:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/181451z Apr 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bc99e0cd34fc19424b292f8db9561e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 860 WTXS22 PGTW 181530 181521Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181451Z APR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 181500)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-4634>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:48:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA31940; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:31:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8382614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:31:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28082 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:31:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804181731.MAA28354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:31:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/181521z Apr 98 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c11955a8ee4c15cd7ab3a1bbd89916c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 WTXS21 PGTW 181500 181451Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181521Z APR 98 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2S4 127.4E4 TO 13.4S8 121.6E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 181200Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 126.2E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST SERIES OF ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGES INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION IN THE TIMOR SEA IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT WIND INTENSITIES OF UP TO 30 KNOTS ARE LIKELY. THIS WAS ALSO SUPPORTED EARLIER BY DATA FROM THE ERS-1 SCATTEROMETER AT 18/0139Z WHICH SHOWED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION WITHIN THE STRONGEST CONVECTIVE AREA. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE REGION IS MODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION, BUT IS CURRENTLY BEING SLIGHTLY INHIBITED BY THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. SEE REF A (WTXS22 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 191500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-4630>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:48:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28140; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:32:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8382619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31958 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:32:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804181732.MAA28358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:32:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/181451z Apr 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21eb5b19bb9c3f4a7426d64362d9b887 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 355 WTXS22 PGTW 181530 181521Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181451Z APR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 181500)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.9S8 81.0E9 TO 10.9S0 74.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 181200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 80.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE CENTRAL SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. LATEST INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AND NUMERICAL WEATHER MODELS ALSO INDICATE THAT INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 191530Z9. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 126.2E1 IN THE TIMOR SEA.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626995-4632>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:48:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA38626; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8382742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA42434 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804181744.MAA28424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 12:44:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c1aefc9d9af707611a6bf4dbca29847 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 539 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181451Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181521Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 126.2E1 AND MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 80.2E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4096 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-4634>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:23:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34846; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8386067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA27914 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190222.VAA01331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 861b63c14ec7bc225dfc6966b0cb99df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 252 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 10.2S3 74.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S3 74.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 10.2S3 75.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.5S6 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.1S3 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 11.9S1 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 13.5S9 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 10.2S3 75.1E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS FORMED AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI2 .5 (35 KNOTS). TC 34S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-4632>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 11:26:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA51002; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:25:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8386438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:25:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA37670 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:25:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:25:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190325.WAA01669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:25:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c23fb4be065845f6ec515f0a7ed4b2e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 346 WTXS32 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 14.1S6 125.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 125.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.4S0 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.7S4 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 14.4S9 125.7E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S HAS FORMED AND IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS IN THE TIMOR SEA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF C2.5 (35 KNOTS). THE WARNING POS ITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 35S IS EXPECTED TO MO VE INLAND OVER AUSTRALIA AND BEGIN DISSIPATING WITHIN THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERI OD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACME TOCCEN WEST GU 181451Z APR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 181500) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626995-4632>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 11:40:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA27164; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:39:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8386527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA35074 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:39:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:39:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190339.WAA01729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:39:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aed93dcde531f417286665d21c3e11e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 658 WTXS32 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1348 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626552-4632>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 12:17:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA27154; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 23:16:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8386867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 23:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA51194 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 23:16:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 23:16:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190416.XAA02089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 23:16:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d71c7e58734da53df6a6b54171c34ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 WTXS31 PGTW 190300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 10.2S3 74.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S3 74.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 10.4S5 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.7S8 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.2S4 69.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 11.8S0 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 13.4S8 64.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 10.2S3 74.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS FORMED AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHERN INDICAN OCEAN. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIME OF CI2.5 (35 KNOTS). TC 34S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12-HOURS THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWEARD THE WEST-SOUTWEST. INTENSIFICATION WILL BE SLOW DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900 (DGT 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG191951Z1), AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181521Z APR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 181530) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT FORECAST TRACK.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627584-4634>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 16:16:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA38616; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 03:13:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8388610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 03:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA37572 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 03:13:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 03:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190813.DAA03262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 03:13:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d2768b66f9ecd1cfa31bd572fce98f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 WTXS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 10.5S6 74.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 74.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.8S9 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.3S5 70.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.8S0 68.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.5S8 66.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.1S6 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 10.6S7 73.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW ONLY A SLOW RATE OF INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3745 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627100-4630>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 03:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41858; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:10:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8392392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:10:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19208 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:05:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:05:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804191905.OAA06392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:05:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51f4add6d1b1001ec9aaf20aa80a8a5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 835 WTXS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 10.6S7 73.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.6S7 73.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.8S9 71.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.4S6 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 11.9S1 68.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 12.6S9 66.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 13.7S1 62.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 10.6S7 73.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH INFRARED AND SPECIAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 34S IS CURRENTLY UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY WIND SHEAR WHICH IS TEMPORARILY SLOWING ITS INTENSIFICATION. NUMERICAL WEATHER MODELS INDICATE THAT CONTINUED MOTION TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS WHILE MAXIMUM WINDS INTENSIFY TO NEAR 75 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII ADJUSTMENT BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MOVEMENT OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA11391091859 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627185-4634>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 03:18:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA42418; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:17:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8392468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:17:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA42330 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:06:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:06:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804191906.OAA06399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:06:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85e4da56bdfed47e130e05500f8fd771 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 843 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191351Z APR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191353Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 10.6S7 73.6E6 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAI NED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 03 (WTXS31 191500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 191200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WAS LOCATED AT 15.0S6 125.1E9 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MA XIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 35S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS32 191500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 126.2 E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B AND PARAG RAPH 2.A (2), ABOVE, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 80.2E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A AND PARAG RAPH 2.A (1), ABOVE, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ?(3) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA NEAR 10S1 99E8. A WEAK CIRCULATION CAN BE OBSERVED IN THIS AREA WITH ANIMATED S ATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THIS AREA; HOWEV ER, A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE SOUTH OF THIS REGION IS HELPING TO DISPERSE TH E CONVECTION OVER A LARGE REGION WITH NO ORGANIZATION OR CONCENTRATION AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMU M SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TRO PICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA24551091901 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627100-4634>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 03:17:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27338; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:16:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8392419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:16:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA51370 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:16:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804191916.OAA06472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 14:16:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In South Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 346d73015394e38502590fd197ea9c19 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 WTXS32 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 15.0S6 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.3S0 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 15.3S9 124.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35S HAS REACHED THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA NEAR THE NORTH KIMBERLEY AREA. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOST OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED ON SHORE, WHILE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS LAGGED BACK SOMEWHAT ALONG THE COAST. EARLIER TODAY, THE TROUGHTON ISLAND AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION (WMO 94102) REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 48 KNOTS, HOWEVER TC35S IS NOW QUICKLY LOSING ITS INTENSITY AS IT SKIRTS THE COAST AND COMES UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 09 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCENWEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB07731091900 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1192 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627533-4634>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 04:20:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA27256; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 15:18:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8393312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 15:18:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13656 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 15:18:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA06873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 15:18:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804192018.PAA06873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 15:18:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e6198e7fd585de5119255dbb4489ff8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 WTXS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 10.8S9 72.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.8S9 72.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.2S4 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.6S8 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.2S5 67.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.8S1 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.8S2 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 10.9S0 72.3E2. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS NOT INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS AS IT IS UNDERGOING SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN STILL BE SEEN ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE HEAVY CONVECTION. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. EXPECT TC34S TO RESUME INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THIS SHEARING BECOMES WEAKER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA13001092014 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626278-16099>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 10:38:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23636; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 21:35:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8396264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 21:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29250 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 21:35:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 21:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804200235.VAA09095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 21:35:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81a77b9f26142c5a9859bb926693b2ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 WTXS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 11.6S8 71.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 71.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.5S8 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.3S7 67.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.1S6 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.0S6 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 11.8S0 71.0E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SY STEM HAS DECREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12-HOURS. WE HAVE INDICATED A DEGRADED POSITION ACCURACY OF 120 NM DUE TO THE DIFFICULTY OF LOCATING THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IN THE INFRARED FROM LIMITED SATELLITE COVERAGE. TROPICAL CYCL ONE 34S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT TH E FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER-LEVEL DATA FROM DIEGO GARCIA (WMO 61967) INDIC ATES MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. WE EXPECT THI S TO HALT INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY SLIGHT INTENSIFICA TION AS THE CYCLONE MOVES UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AND VERTICAL W IND SHEAR ABATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT W ARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627134-16097>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 22:14:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13808; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:11:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8401311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:10:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29914 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:10:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:10:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201410.JAA13914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:10:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9abe1d586651abf3e18389eead7200eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 11.7S9 68.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S9 68.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 12.5S8 66.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.2S6 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 13.8S2 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.6S1 59.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 11.9S1 67.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED GOMS INFRARED AND METEOSAT VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NORTH OF THE MAIN CONVECTION AS IT HAS CONTINUED TO SHEAR AND WEAKEN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627593-16099>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 03:12:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA43754; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8405976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24972 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201904.OAA21523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:04:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0850f02d1cd0ed105e96a0ba139503e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 528 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZAPR98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 11.7S9 68.4E8 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ?(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EVIDENT, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE IN 2.B.(1) NEAR 4S4 90E9 OVER THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WIDELY DISPERSED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS LONGITUDE IN SECTION 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA19481101858 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627600-16097>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 03:14:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44832; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8406017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA36064 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201911.OAA21733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:11:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4b5e91c573d98263e024cd268201099 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 653 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z/APR/98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 11.7S9 68.4E8 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EVIDENT, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE IN 2.B.(1) NEAR 4S4 80E8 OVER THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WIDELY DISPERSED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627602-16098>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 03:15:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44922; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8406022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA23650 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804201912.OAA21753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 14:12:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73145eeec7ae4cdf91e3d45c77a421e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 750 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZAPR98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 11.7S9 68.4E8 AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 201500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EVIDENT, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN UPPER LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE IN 2.B.(1) NEAR 4S4 90E9 OVER THE PAST 12-18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WIDELY DISPERSED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS LONGITUDE IN SECTION 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627678-12705>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 10:15:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA51022; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:12:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8410946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:11:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23566 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:09:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:09:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804210209.VAA27738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:09:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78849b6f12e87564573d58076764d30d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 993 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVE ULU< RL2,ZLY 5QEZXXUUBQRJQQ1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627738-12705>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 13:39:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29218; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:36:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8413282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA34320 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:36:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:36:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804210536.AAA29480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:36:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47292a6e22a08844dd301b573bfccb8d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 RTD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 12.3S6 66.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 66.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.1S5 63.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.0S5 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.0S6 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.0S7 56.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 12.5S8 65.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210003Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 210003Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS EXPERIENCED A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF SUB-TROPICAL RIDGING SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1897 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627776-12702>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 22:38:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA31624; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:35:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8416524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:34:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44030 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:34:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804211434.JAA04178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:34:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f515e3dbe42b7eaee7a2140c120d517 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 WTXS31 PGTW 211500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 12.0S3 065.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 065.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 12.1S4 063.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.8S1 061.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.2S7 059.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 12.0S3 064.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. 211100Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 210647Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS ALSO INDICATES A LESSENING IN THE ORGANIZATION AND RADIAL EXTENT OF SURFACE WIND INFLUENCE. TC 34S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO LESS THAN 35 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A WESTWARD TO WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGING LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627834-12699>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 02:04:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA43930; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8419656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04226 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804211756.MAA08872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 12:56:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cec45f648762a0e8038fc5524d64e8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 162 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 12.0S3 67.0E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNING NR 08 (WTXS31 211500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 105E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 103E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER, DIFFUSE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT IS SUPPORTING DEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 90E9 HAS DISSIPATED. HOWEVER, INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL FEATURE. THIS BROAD CIRCULATION IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 87E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628358-28147>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 09:59:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA51336; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 20:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8425474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 20:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42346 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 20:57:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 20:57:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804220157.UAA16566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 20:57:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ee2c5a00e4eb1cbc656e69cbf6ae46a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 258 WTXS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 11.8S0 62.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 62.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.9S1 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 12.2S5 58.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 11.8S0 61.8E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220001Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 220001Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS, SYNOPTIC DATA AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS EXPERIENCED AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. HOWEVER, BOTH A 211931Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A 211630Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE THE SYSTEM=S LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING MORE ELONGATED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-26551>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 23:17:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22914; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:15:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8431431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:14:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA44842 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:14:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA24169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:14:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804221514.KAA24169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:14:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 515c0eff4941400028c05b9e3c3c2414 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 WTXS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 12.4S7 59.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 59.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.1S5 56.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 14.1S6 54.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 12.6S9 58.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AS WELL AS A 220614Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 34C IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY ELONGATED AT LOWER-LEVELS WHILE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE WEST IS HINDERED. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL AND HORIZONTAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2877 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626933-26545>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 01:56:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17854; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:51:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8433459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23954 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:49:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804221749.MAA27859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 12:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61cfffc028f529d426024bc1b8e29187 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 871 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/221351ZAPR98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WAS LOCATED AT 12.4S7 59.6E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 34S WARNI NG NR 10 (WTXS31 221500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 103E4 I S NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED CONVECTION REMAI NS NEAR THE AREA BUT APPEARS TO BE LINEAR IN NATURE. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE LOCATED NEAR 11S2 87E5 HAS NOT DEVELOPED AN Y DEEP CONVECTION OR SUBSTANTIAL MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/SANCHEZ/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627348-15589>; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 02:02:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34476; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8447185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA43906 for ; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804231759.MAA16916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 12:59:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 076a9e1c199608620bb0d12513e4c010 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 013 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1400 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627770-17857>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 01:23:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09916; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21910 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241720.MAA04003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:20:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2df8047c9903cc3ded0e247cf179064 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 240930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/240930Z/241800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13S4 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 54 E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE BETTER ORGA NIZATION OVER THE DISTURBANCE WITH SOME CYCLONIC TURNING VISIBLE. ADDITIONALLY , MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 240234Z5 SUGGESTS THAT A BANDING FEATURE MAY BE DEVELOPING IN THE CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL LIGHT TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL VER TICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE, IT HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE P AST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIM UM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNDSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627698-17853>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 01:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA32458; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29360 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241731.MAA04175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c13e2e51e93d5b02883f915954db8430 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 224 ABIO10 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/240300Z/241800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR 13S 55E. ANIMATED INFR ARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE DEVELOPING ABOVE THIS SYS TEM BASED ON GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 T O 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-17857>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 02:14:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09828; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19266 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241812.NAA04899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90b7643cbfd9900665da4809cb3b9275 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 931 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 54E9 IS QUASI- STATIONARY. METEOSAT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FROM 241544Z INDICATES THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. THE LATEST NAVY OPERATIONAL MODEL RUNS SUGGEST THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RANGING FROM LIGHT TO MODERATE IN STRENGTH MAY CONTINUE OVER THE DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 08 HOURS. THIS DECREASE MAY BE DIURNALLY RELATED, AND MAY INCREASE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS STILL FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNDSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 11:51:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627394-28218>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 02:01:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32378; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8466460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32350 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804251800.NAA14753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d261ddfbc6599c0a38d48179a68cb6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 032 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 054E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND, ALTHOUGH LOW TO MID-LEVEL CONVECTION REMAINS IN A LOCAL SHEAR LINE, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Apr 27 07:36:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-27815>; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 01:55:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34324; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:54:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8472591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34552 for ; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804261753.MAA21649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:53:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d5c96c053cc42dec4450e42cdf27ead Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 243 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Apr 28 10:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-15548>; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 01:55:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA42314; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:52:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8483417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24768 for ; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804271751.MAA05532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 12:51:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f73c1543bbf301cc418e31ded04534e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 712 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627642-23281>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:56:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA31988; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:49:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8498315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:49:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA50816 for ; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804281748.MAA24375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 12:48:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bee0f80e0f4370b24d2f1c5e1a77f79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 736 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-6692>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 16:20:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35272; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:13:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8507838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA50586 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804290812.DAA04216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 03:12:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe99789d338b339ac8b847a18b807cee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 954 ABIO10 PGTW 290700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/290700Z/291800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOUR. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES THE PRESENTS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-6686>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 01:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22998; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8513383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA51316 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804291750.MAA11213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 12:50:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3cb1b49acbc46b3b8323d735d35c5558 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 567 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E HAS NOT MOVED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE SLOW ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AT 282225Z AND RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER Y CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS LOW. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 291503Z SUGGEST THE PRESENCE OF LOW CLOUD LINES CURVING INTO AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS CONTINUES TO BE FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNSFORD/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:45:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625875-25230>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 08:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16440; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 19:00:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8517350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 19:00:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA14824 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 19:00:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA17085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 18:59:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804292359.SAA17085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 18:59:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropica To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3068e906826464ed08b6b66ccad732c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 537 ABIO10 PGTW 290700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICA L WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/290700Z/291800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN O CEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NON E. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO C OAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMAR Y: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE S THIS AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOUR. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND 2905 30Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES THE PRESENTS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE D TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE N EXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3019 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-25236>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 16:02:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24824; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8521310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28896 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804300757.CAA20258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 02:57:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b6c3ce1d90b7f34c908568f4a83d79d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 807 ABIO10 PGTW 300800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/300800Z/301800Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S 85E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4S 82E. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ORGANIZED BUT HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S 98E. THIS BROAD REGION OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 291641Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: DOWNGRADE SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1) TO POOR AND ADD SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2353 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627745-25236>; Fri, 1 May 1998 02:50:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29022; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:48:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8528641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29456 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:48:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804301847.NAA29085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:47:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b6097f9ae0cc9a1b77782261e0c4ee9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 260 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z APR 98/011800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04S4 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03S3 78E5. THE CONVECTION IS SMALL BUT SOLID. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 098E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 098E7. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD REGION OF TROUGHING. ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627967-27967>; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:58:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA49804; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:56:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8541510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA35150 for ; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805011755.MAA14671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 12:55:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 346a4c45f7687d4055f570ef7a3f85ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 171 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03S3 78E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06S6 72E9. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND THE PRESENCE OF DEEP CONVECTION FLUCTUATES AND HAS RE-DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE IS AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 098E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2. THIS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD REGION OF TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07S7 048E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 010630Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGEST ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES LOW-LEVEL CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS IS GOOD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:59:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626976-4024>; Sun, 3 May 1998 02:07:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA38868; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:04:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8552163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA39022 for ; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805021802.NAA26551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 13:02:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78fef841d1103d5c8766924ae327d39e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 210 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06S6 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07S7 72E9. VISIBLE POLAR ORBITER SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM 020916Z8 INDICATED A GENERALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ONLY A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS EMBEDDED WITHIN. THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION WAS LOCATED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER DIEGO GARCIA, WITH THE LOWEST PRESSURE RECORDED AT ABOUT 1007MB. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 021607Z6 INDICATED THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL RATHER BROAD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 093E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 091E0. THE CONVECTION IS VERY DISORGANIZED ALTHOUGH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ANALYSIS AT 012225Z2 AND 021025Z0 INDICATED SOME DECREASE IN THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING TH E PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 021412Z0 INDICATED NO ORGANIZATION IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 07S7 048E2 HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8S8 56E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION, LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTH OF MADAGASCAR, HA S BEEN PERSISTANT FOR NEAR 18 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATE LOW VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-14164>; Mon, 4 May 1998 01:58:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA47490; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8560194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA47462 for ; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805031751.MAA04737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 12:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc326f5fbe111a2f2b236ca8d208533a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07S7 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 70E7. THE CLOUD PATTERN AS SEEN BY ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 041315Z4 DIDN=T INDICATE A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALTHOUGH THE PRESENCE OF BROAD TROUGHING WAS EVIDENT WEST OF THE INTENSE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8S8 56E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-28981>; Tue, 5 May 1998 02:05:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15606; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:03:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8574304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12152 for ; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805041801.NAA19740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 13:01:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c065242ea63546d88b71780a49d2953 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 369 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 70E7 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 5S5 42 E6 THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR APPROXIMATELY 18 HOURS. THIS LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 041458Z2 INDICATED A RATHER DISORGANIZED AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME ANTICYCLONIC AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HAS FORMED ACROSS THE REGION EVIDENT FROM ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMU M SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2874 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627361-3814>; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:47:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29280; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:46:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8589854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA31190 for ; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805051845.NAA09992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 13:45:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d56a230590862a433f3c88acde4bc15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 913 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05S5 42E6 HAS DISSIPATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AND HAS NO INDICATION OF UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625905-903>; Wed, 6 May 1998 15:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA16462; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:29:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8597408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23024 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805060728.CAA18244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 02:28:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca87cf79e5adde69a013bcc49251f161 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 134 ABIO10 PGTW 060800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/060800Z/061800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 5S5 65E1 OVER THE PA ST 12 HOURS. A 051833Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS AS SOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED A T 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE P OTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627657-903>; Thu, 7 May 1998 03:13:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14628; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:09:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8604764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA14602 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:06:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 14:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805061906.OAA29104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 14:06:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b78bff95cf7cf27cba96f852d2715801 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 997 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 65E1 HAS BEEN ABSORBED INTO AN EXTENDED AREA OF MID-LEVEL CONVECTION WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH LOCATED NEAR THE SAME AREA. NO CONSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:03:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627833-28993>; Fri, 8 May 1998 02:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15536; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8618543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14976 for ; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805071813.NAA17572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a0689aabd44fd9169757488c0c04c61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 611 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 44E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR 18 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AT 071300Z1 INDICATED A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EAST OF THE DISTURBANCE. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 061942Z INDICATED WIND SPEEDS OF ONLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 1 0 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7S7 65E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:03:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-655>; Sat, 9 May 1998 01:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44980; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:54:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8634112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23608 for ; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805081753.MAA05987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 12:53:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d0b9bfb75660db99143b9c442c2a9cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 578 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 44E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR AND HAS BEEN FAIRLY PERSISTANT FOR TWO DAYS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE S THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS THAT THE OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION LOCATED FURTHER EAST IS CAUSING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE INHIBITING ANY FURTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONALLY, MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY FROM 081400Z4 SUGGESTS THE DISTURBANCE IS LESS ORGANIZED AS IT WAS THE PREVIOUS DAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 15 T O 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7S7 65E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3239 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627392-7359>; Sun, 10 May 1998 01:51:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14092; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:50:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8645410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA14206 for ; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805091749.MAA18348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 12:49:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bec2b4226593359c942d171dc6ec1b38 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 875 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 5S5 60E6 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA, SCATTEROMETER DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 44E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-16472>; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:54:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA11790; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8674910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12002 for ; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805121752.MAA25094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 12:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbc1d8817a895b0fcb752b6498228396 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 541 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-21717>; Wed, 13 May 1998 12:32:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA51358; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:30:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8684457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA51306 for ; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805130428.XAA03970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 23:28:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f1b9674966b7a623269d064ccab4f82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 403 ABIO10 PGTW 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/130400Z/131800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 1 N1 85E3 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 130022Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICAT ES THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF THE CONVECT ION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. M INIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED AT 1005MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/SULLINS/EIBLING/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4556 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627790-21718>; Thu, 14 May 1998 02:15:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA39614; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:12:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8692716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22868 for ; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805131810.NAA14734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7608c3aafba56e17e907df45c5660c5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 395 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1N1 85E3 HAS DISSIPATED. HOWEVER, THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS BEEN SPORADIC DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SURROUNDING AREA CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE FREQUENT BUT SHORT LIVED PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE AREA LOCATED NEAR 1N1 85E3 IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4864 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626342-14888>; Thu, 14 May 1998 08:31:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38766; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:30:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8697755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA24750 for ; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805140027.TAA20648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 19:27:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 416a54f045b75986ec9e864012d2d640 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 676 ABIO10 PGTW 140000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/140000Z/141800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 4N 85E (CONVECTION WAS LOCATED 1N 85E) HAS ONCE AGAIN STARTED TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED NEAR 8N 86E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA (INCLUDING THE 12/1637Z SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM YESTERDAY) INDICATE THAT THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE HEAVY MONSOON CONVECTION LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. RECENT DATA SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOW CONCENTRATING IN ONE REGION, WHILE NEW CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FORMING CLOSER IN TO THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMAED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVLOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24-HOUR IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFILED/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3001 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627990-858>; Sat, 16 May 1998 06:17:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA27868; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:16:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8723056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA04202 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805152213.RAA23745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 17:13:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06925b752807536adc96f68b2e5325e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 412 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N0 86E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N0 82E0. THIS CONVECTION IS PART OF A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION EXTENDING EASTWARD OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND OVER SOUTHERN INDIA. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8S8 83E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY, ANIMATED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15S6 75E2. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2515 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627584-1768>; Sun, 17 May 1998 02:11:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14200; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:10:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8732049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:08:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19614 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805161807.NAA02172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 13:07:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1ba7da1ecf44e4816671f5a88d00a4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 081 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627836-1773>; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:56:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA51356; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8733221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA11796 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA03429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805162153.QAA03429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 16:53:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d8ccb6d03069061cc55fb8056bb2b64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 312 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 81E9. 161312Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA IS LOCATED IN A VERY ACTIVE AREA OF THE MONSOON TROUGH WHERE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS EXIST. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC IN A LARGE REGION TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WINDS ALOFT HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY, INDICATING VERTICAL WIND SHEER HAS INCREASED NEAR THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN A GENERAL LOCATION. HOWEVER, A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS NOT DISCERNIBLE IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE SLIGHTLY DIVERGENT WINDS ALOFT. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 75E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-18319>; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:14:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04490; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:12:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8735430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:11:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA37692 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:10:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:10:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805170510.AAA05810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 00:10:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf6b20832807965c0146bb36af124337 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 003 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 81E9. 161312Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA IS LOCATED IN A VERY ACTIVE AREA OF THE MONSOON TROUGH WHERE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS EXIST. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC IN A LARGE REGION TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WINDS ALOFT HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY, INDICATING VERTICAL WIND SHEER HAS INCREASED NEAR THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN A GENERAL LOCATION. HOWEVER, A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS NOT DISCERNIBLE IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE SLIGHTLY DIVERGENT WINDS ALOFT. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 75E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// PMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 75E2 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627557-18317>; Mon, 18 May 1998 02:20:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19656; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:18:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8739369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19598 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805171817.NAA10172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb80af40bc8eab43bcd28b2ecef826ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 730 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171551Z MAY 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 171600)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 81E9 IS NOW L OCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATI ON ALERT. SEE REF A FOR MORE DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIO NARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PERSISTENT CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. HOWEVER WINDS ALOFT D O NOT FAVOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 1 5 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. TH E POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NE XT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628061-26357>; Tue, 19 May 1998 01:56:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15014; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:54:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8748625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA14886 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805181752.MAA23311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 12:52:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df118ab566fecad8a080f10a9d1fc20b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 617 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 89.6E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 02(WTIO31 PGTW 181500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 89.6E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 83E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628379-25635>; Wed, 20 May 1998 06:12:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA28064; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:06:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8763117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:05:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA11944 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:03:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:03:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805192203.RAA16172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 17:03:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: efba07a75d7d0de208321998f2950206 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 229 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N1 90.4E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 06(WTIO31 PGTW 191500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628391-21198>; Thu, 21 May 1998 02:33:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA39566; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:32:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8777209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA41944 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805201831.NAA01361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:31:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 478d8977993ee83509d79e5809886918 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 316 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N3 92.9E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 10 (WTIO31 PGTW 201500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 91E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CIRCULATION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR OVER 12 HOURS WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION PRESENT FOR OVER 36 HOURS. SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS ALSO INDICATED WITH THE ANIMATED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627520-9197>; Fri, 22 May 1998 02:31:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50340; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:30:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8792665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54056 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805211828.NAA18712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 13:28:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2388b5d80c376ce90315bfaeb04b964 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 375 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201951Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N9 93.8E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B FINAL WARNING NR 11 (WTIO31 PGTW 202100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 91E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 92E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ALTHOUGH THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE CIRCULATION HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR AND THUS HAS NOT SHOWN ANY INDICATION OF SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 57E2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE SHOWS BOTH UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS MODERATE, BUT THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627607-7515>; Sat, 23 May 1998 01:31:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39042; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:29:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8808347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23410 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805221726.MAA07222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 12:26:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e089f472747728abe21d771ea3540c1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 543 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 92E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 90E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO BE DISORGANIZED AND WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE CIRCULATION HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO RESTRICT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 57E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 50E5. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION INCLUDES TWO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH INTERMITTENT INTENSIFICATION AND WEAKENING. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO BE MODERATE WITH NO ANTI-CYCLONIC CURVATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-22822>; Sat, 23 May 1998 12:58:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45244; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:57:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8816971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA33798 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805230454.XAA15067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 23:54:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c36363aa255ac65e56e2505dfb2ec38 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 527 ABIO10 PGTW 230500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230500Z/231800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 89E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOW THAT THIS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LESSENED DIRECTLY OVER THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, BUT IT REMAINS MODERATE JUST TO ITS SOUTH. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, CLOUD TOPS HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME WARMING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 50E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 52E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS REMAINED CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 221938Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR AND BEGINNING TO DISPLAY SOME ANTICYCLONIC CURVATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627780-22822>; Sun, 24 May 1998 03:02:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50718; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:56:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8822047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:55:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA67154 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805231853.NAA19296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 13:53:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79f2e149319d3ac28367b9ef1eee77d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 786 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 90E9. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE ORGANIZATION HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES SIGNIFICANT WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS AND GENERAL DECREASE IN THE AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 52E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 55E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS SUSTAINED FOR OVER 24 HOURS BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-4710>; Mon, 25 May 1998 02:18:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32784; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:18:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8829897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26036 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805241816.NAA27270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a74a070a973d832b3575656dd85c217f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 676 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 90E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND AREAL COVERAGE HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THIS APPEARS TO BE A DAILY FLUCTUATION THAT HAS CONTINUED FOR AT LEAST THREE CYCLES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 55E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 58E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CURRENT REDUCTION OF CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND AREAL COVERAGE. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TEMPORARY AS SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES INCREASED CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDS SUPPORTING LOWER-LEVEL INFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627757-8750>; Tue, 26 May 1998 02:18:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23804; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:17:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16884 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805251814.NAA06594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 13:14:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1d91795111f3d20fe2ab70cd9c4707f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 305 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION OR SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT GOOD CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDFLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627777-8750>; Tue, 26 May 1998 02:24:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26628; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:23:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22702 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805251821.NAA06666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 13:21:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9f12c2cc97c203fafd2c0ccd131897e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 456 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID+VENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MAL XB 207- 235 59 :9-5 9> A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTLKANCE FUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOU H INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRQCA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE YQMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONVNSLENSIDEREDSSUS3:5 >94 5#3 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 58E3 IS NOW LOC C G09 <11S2 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION OR SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORO GOOD CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDFLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL CPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:07:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627721-4443>; Wed, 27 May 1998 02:51:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA55178; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:48:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8853183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21564 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805261847.NAA21241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 13:47:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d299160bb47e853fe37ca6c4fddba112 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 530 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 61E7 HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR 12S2 60E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OCCURRING ALOFT OVER THE DISTURBANCE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 261700Z6 INDICATES THAT LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW IS TURNING TOWARDS THE CONVECTION SUGGESTING PRESSURES ARE LOWERING AT THE SURFACE. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61974, 61976 AND 61986 BETWEEN 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4 INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS AT A DISTANCE OF 2 TO 3 DEGREES FROM THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627817-26896>; Wed, 27 May 1998 09:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25922; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:35:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26040 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805270134.UAA27813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 20:34:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e2b816e600fdadf90b3fdf53cca0497 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 710 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 61E7 HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR 12S2 60E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OCCURRING ALOFT OVER THE DISTURBANCE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 261700Z6 INDICATES THAT LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW IS TURNING TOWARDS THE CONVECTION SUGGESTING PRESSURES ARE LOWERING AT THE SURFACE. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 61974, 61976 AND 61986 BETWEEN 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4 INDICATE WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS AT A DISTANCE OF 2 TO 3 DEGREES FROM THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627849-26891>; Thu, 28 May 1998 02:14:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA59738; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:12:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA59854 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805271810.NAA09807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 13:10:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0597a4c31855c5243832e9b2525bac2e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 204 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 60E6 HAS RELOCATED NEAR 15S6 57E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRAVEL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TOWARD A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS SOUTH. THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS ENTERING AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WOULD MAKE DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DIFFICULT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF SUMATRA AT 8S8 94E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE FROM THE FRONT MOVING OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN TH E NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627877-26897>; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:50:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA55080; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:49:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8873949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA42970 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805272146.QAA14687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 16:46:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21bb43b25a0ff7981f4cdf4edd54aedc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 483 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 60E6 HAS RELOCATED NEAR 15S6 57E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRAVEL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TOWARD A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS SOUTH. THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION IS ENTERING AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WOULD MAKE DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DIFFICULT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF SUMATRA AT 8S8 94E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE FROM THE FRONT MOVING OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN TH E NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628031-872>; Fri, 29 May 1998 02:08:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA60226; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:06:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8886954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52336 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281804.NAA28468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 13:04:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67c8f5cdf58f48bf20da80893f54c16e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 436 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z MAY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/281351Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 60.3E9 AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 3 (WTIO31 PGTW 281500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 57E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 94E3 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1213 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628215-358>; Sat, 30 May 1998 02:22:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA39974; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:19:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8900949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:18:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA61026 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:17:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:17:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805291817.NAA18170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 13:17:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50d9d5719de20aa296fb05c6783d2910 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 279 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TC 02A IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 060E6. THEAMOUNT OF SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS ALTHOUGH HAS RECENTLY DISPLAYED A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION. EVIDENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS IN ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1897 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627645-9827>; Sun, 31 May 1998 02:10:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA45224; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:08:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8913724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:08:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA11100 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805301807.NAA00922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 13:07:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c516efbc6a98808449a7c70ee47eb21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 621 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 AND 60E6 H AS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RE-DEVELOPMENT. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629285-23530>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:06:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50740; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8925255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16644 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805311805.NAA10532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 13:05:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4054554d76a306fb8fba8f535739e39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 694 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z MAY 98/011800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2476 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626790-17256>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 09:46:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04216; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8932555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04338 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010145.UAA15700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 20:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42b0d1095e3b4c3e420c1b4aad1155e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 132 ABIO10 PGTW 010100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/010100Z/011800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N 69E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS COVECTION HAS PRESISTED FOR OVER 24-HOUR S BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHI N THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627057-17256>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:11:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA50808; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59234 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010609.BAA18323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:09:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef3810c863b5782d8e4550053742c70d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 824 ABIO10 PGTW 010100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/010100Z/011800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N 69E. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629646-17257>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA11134; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:11:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8946016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22238 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:06:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011806.NAA28412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:06:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac0f5ec983895d07405d42de705a4553 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 761 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8N8 69E5 HAS REDEVELOPED EAS TWARD NEAR 10N1 73E0 OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARE D SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS COVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS EXTREMELY INTENSE WITH ESTIMATED CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES NEAR -90 DEGREES CELCIUS, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION IN THE CLOUD STRUCTURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHI N THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629525-17255>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 03:30:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA10484; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8947250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04256 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011928.OAA00422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:28:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c61295ac41f80a9fef6356ce2ebef47e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 697 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8N8 69E5 HAS REDEVELOPED EASTWARD NEAR 10N1 73E0 OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS EXTREMELY INTENSE WITH ESTIMATED CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES NEAR -90 DEGREES CELSIUS, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION IN THE CLOUD STRUCTURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHI N THE NEXT 24 HRS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629834-14203>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:35:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54210; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:31:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8961768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA64310 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806021830.NAA18624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:30:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffdf492898f2241deb046c3cf48de3e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 334 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 73E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 71E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATE MID TO LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW. UPPER-LEVEL DATA SUPPORTS RIDGING ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. NEARBY REPORTING STATIONS HAVE NOT SHOWN ANY SIGNIFICANT DROP IN PRESSURES. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/UROGI/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1134 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627432-23104>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:14:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44084; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8978503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52226 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031807.NAA16448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:07:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9976dd076d29a2c7b7dbc5c6b1ddde6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 173 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030159Z JUN 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 030200Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 71E8 AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A FOR MORE DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HRS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/UROGI/JOHNSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1039 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627637-18590>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:19:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52946; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:12:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8993164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:12:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39068 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:12:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:11:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806042011.PAA16429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:11:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e977e85ae6ac77e8e75de365d8727ef6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 305 ABIO10 PGTW 042030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/042030Z/051800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z JUN 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1). AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 71.5E3 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z))FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POSIBILITY EXISTS FOR REDEVELOPMENT IF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WEAKENS. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2).NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: INCLUDE SUSPECT AREA PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627670-18590>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:49:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52326; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:47:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8993606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA38936 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806042046.PAA17586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:46:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa4376f4cef905ad7e741b421a650fc6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 836 ABIO10 PGTW 042030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/042030Z/051800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z JUN 98/ AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1). AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 71.5E3 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOT S WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNIN G NR 003 (WTIO31 PGTW 041500Z))FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POSIBILITY EXISTS FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT IF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WEAKENS. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2).NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: INCLUDE SUSPECT AREA PARA 1.A.(1).4 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628430-7718>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:04:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26744; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8822704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29776 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051856.NAA11364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:56:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0695764c062144890ad579907ab20399 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 287 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051651Z JUN 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A AMENDED WARNING NR 006 (WTIO31 PGTW 051500Z)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1). AT 051200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 70.1E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A AMENDED WARNING NR 006 (WTIO31 PGTW 051500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2).NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-13998>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 01:41:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56076; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:40:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8832042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26854 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:39:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:39:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061739.MAA28265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 12:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3e862b6dcbed2f35449b0542f0054aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 789 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061651Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 69.0E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 010 (WTIO31 PGTW 061500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2040 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627963-11324>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:20:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21794; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA57596 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071813.NAA09727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:13:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85b67adc25a99dfe4db65d7c318d7ada Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 158 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071651Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 68.1E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 014 (WTIO31 PGTW 071500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628036-5520>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 02:02:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04326; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8851205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49584 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806081755.MAA26573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:55:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fa4a70b3a2ae225b46b2f9ad3acc8aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 716 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081651Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N7 67.7E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 018 (WTIO31 PGTW 081500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628328-8352>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 05:26:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA49220; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:10:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8857463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:10:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA17692 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091730.MAA18223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6213c65e2eac9c20137083b34574e881 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 806 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z JUNE 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N6 70.9E6 IN NORTHWEST INDIA. THE SYSTEM WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A FINAL WARNING NR 022 (WTIO31 PGTW 091500Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628213-10440>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:12:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22038; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:55:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8876643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49600 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806101754.MAA12017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 12:54:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9b4a45f050a655b56995437ac870b8d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 108 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627975-20436>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 03:22:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA57546; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:45:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8892801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA57634 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:45:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111844.NAA09455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:44:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e57fc21c36b0ff2dde479aab525fe18 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 604 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627609-29019>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:23:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA57434; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8903839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44858 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806121805.NAA02546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:05:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 758cce4a0e41caf221705b70741f107c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 721 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JUNE 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628359-29018>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 06:15:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA58664; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:55:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8906705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA45010 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:55:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:54:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806122154.QAA08262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:54:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 025a4049943284ba2c4034374649eae9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 257 ABIO10 PGTW 122000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/122000Z/131800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 88E6. THE CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED. HOWEVER, INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD ORGANIZATION AND VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. ALSO, THE CONVECTION IS NEAR A LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT HAS BEEN ANALYZED TO BE OVER LAND FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SUGGEST POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW AND LIGHT UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. A 121223Z MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES LITTLE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 102E3. THE AREA IS DISORGANIZED WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION, BUT IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ALONG A SHEAR LINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMEN T OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT GRAMMAR. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3923 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 00:49:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52484; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8917044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA42970 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131637.LAA20677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f41099a2954ae39eec1d6193f657732 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 519 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JUNE 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 88E6 IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 18N9 85E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS. 131351Z0 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE AREA OF CONVECTION. 131430Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE BANDING FEATURES IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO BE INHIBITING THE OUTFLOW ON THE NORTH AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 102E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1444 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-22317>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 02:26:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09904; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:12:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8929025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:12:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA10356 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:11:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:11:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141811.NAA06477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:11:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6c270261aa5f8445536c3e11f3269aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 195 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JUNE 98//RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED CENTERED NEAR 18N9 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 82E0. 141338Z0 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MOVED ONSHORE. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED CIRCULATION ARE NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 90E9. 141338Z0 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINEAR CONVERGENCE IN THE AREA OF PERSISTENT, INTENSE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINUMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-12420>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:18:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA59662; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8860811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26110 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151753.MAA27229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:53:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e88a3f235cb31f4222abb259829882c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 553 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 90E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627821-29779>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:29:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA46064; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8878262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12224 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161809.NAA27015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:09:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6c55daf1de20981e081b300d62b65a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 529 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627713-28947>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 01:59:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56050; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:35:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8893463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:35:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA42864 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:35:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:34:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806171734.MAA23598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:34:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3c4701f10cf7279f9a6f30da09120a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 511 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627304-22220>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:09:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42848; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:56:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8924777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA52768 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:56:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:55:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806191655.LAA14587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:55:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b97080a2b29920b184f8edcba6f27174 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 486 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:24:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA34008; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:07:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8938986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45772 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201928.OAA04826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fdf8883960bf948f460b67b09a9f192 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 696 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-8005>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21774; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8945629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63724 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211836.NAA18747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 13:36:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 064f2947c4622f9e911f6341a08b7ef2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 343 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627060-11217>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:32:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA63696; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8958251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA50860 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806221819.NAA10323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:19:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 734ea39cdadc4956e07a2b8f708d9151 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 266 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-26167>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 01:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23780; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:28:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44826 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231726.MAA07317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:26:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 215ae2107b7930a357b38e213641cedb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 450 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627230-7606>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:51:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62758; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8982635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA42984 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241738.MAA04750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:38:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 924258fb951dba397a201fc39c7c1fe9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 050 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-21033>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:22:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54216; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8997302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15030 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251804.NAA02852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:04:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b03727e53d7f4f6c21446de717309115 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 151 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:03:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628002-9876>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:25:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA46022; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9011419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54192 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261803.NAA25881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:03:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ba7d69cf4967600a55ef789fa593393 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 414 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:06:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627888-12217>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:07:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34870; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9023367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA61444 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271751.MAA12821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:51:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5631509ce16ec56e5c7cb17583bda81 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 355 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:10:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626790-15290>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:39:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13216; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9034162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41086 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281724.MAA25371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:24:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ea78f31c9816f54629e7c8c14bafb61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 713 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JUNE 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-25016>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 01:16:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29030; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9217910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57384 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807131705.MAA00572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 12:05:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94a1a36f13d79ebf5d3a97f3d039a280 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 874 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-24669>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:44:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA47698; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:30:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA54640 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807141929.OAA28600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:29:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8aab83641310fd40f3680e38bd805e9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 706 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627577-20166>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 02:25:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA41058; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8976555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA51012 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807151825.NAA20579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:25:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4705079f1aa53c1ffba93240a96682a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 608 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 05S5 88E6. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CURVATURE IN THE MID-LEVEL CLOUD LINES. ANIMA TED IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE ROTATION. A 150352Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS EVIDENCE THAT THE CONVECTION IS RELATED TO TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS, ALTHOUGH LINEAR AND CROSS EQUATORIAL, SHOW SOME DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-28381>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 01:05:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA57644; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:05:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9009006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57824 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171704.MAA05045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:04:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33c10e1c313a025e8ef0eab48fb50b90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 514 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626626-11453>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 02:07:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA66286; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:08:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9020935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA31920 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181807.NAA22837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:07:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2700ae10028f0f834bc124953aeeb807 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 822 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-21943>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:16:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA45576; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9031906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA47340 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191816.NAA05223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bb79fee0dbba49296525a8b0e0f6e93 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 086 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06S6 083E1. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE ROTATION WITH GENERAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPERLEVEL SYNOPTIC DATA AND WATERVAPOR WINDS INDICATE MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626836-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:20:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA12072; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:20:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:20:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA33930 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200919.EAA14427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e55d0d14538f9f776e4463b18b7ac489 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 395 ABIO10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/200600Z/201800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 86E4, NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06S6 083E1. MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 192346Z5 INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DUE TO NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-17947>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 02:23:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA49544; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:23:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9046928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA57394 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:22:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:22:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201822.NAA24881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:22:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6590523a008f34c1a0021a352baafb8c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 700 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05S5 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09S 083E1. THE MOVEMENT OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS APPEARS, AS PER ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, TO BE DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE RELATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS NEAR 05S5 085E3. ALTHOUGH AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND 201630Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALLOW FOR A BROAD AREA OF FIX LOCATION, INDICATING CONTINUING SYSTEM ORGANIZATION, A 201454Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS SUPPORTS A LOW-LEVEL POSITION NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627112-28772>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:35:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44128; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9062884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56270 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211735.MAA20791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:35:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72082c2ebed92b6edbc39ae13c046d00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 579 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 083E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 82E0. THE AREA HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. 211050Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED AND SEPARATED FROM ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY A DISTANCE OF MORE THAN 60NM. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CREDITED FOR SUBSTANTIALLY INHIBITING ITS DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627332-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:54:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67654; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44818 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220753.CAA05431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77dc9079af26853e53e354b7de731e9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 370 ABIO10 PGTW 220800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/220800Z/221800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 082E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79E6. 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS FORMED APPROXIMATELY 50NM FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SHEER AND DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627669-14569>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:52:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56126; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9080393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57370 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221752.MAA16004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:52:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81e4ed6b85c50dfef3309655dc95451c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 011 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 78E5. 221430Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RESTRICTING ITS DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 45NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1216 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627787-14569>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 04:50:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA31960; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:50:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9082433 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:50:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64608 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807222049.PAA20697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:49:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/signifi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 176ee452eb67a93007214336465a3946 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 358 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFI 6 >94 5#3 8,$8-, 9:3-,/221800Z/231800Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COASTPMF AFRA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBAKCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): AVPOROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCESUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF COM EION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79EG IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 78E5. 221430VW INFRARED SATEL853 8.-<346 -#92- 28,$ -#3-4 43-548:58,< 85- $3;3)90.3,5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOWQHLEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 45NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20-25 ZETS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE WS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICIE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2))NO OTHER SUSPACT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52872; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 23:53:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9087798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 23:53:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40820 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 23:53:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 23:53:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230453.XAA28236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 23:53:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be03031f68c6e4f74b8d2115294d236d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 WTXS21 PGTW 230500 230451Z JUL 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.4S5 77.7E1 TO 11.3S5 72.0E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230230Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 77.1E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 77E4, SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. 230211Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AND 230230Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626557-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:16:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62638; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:16:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:16:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30618 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:16:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:16:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230816.DAA00135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:16:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de65b2a5c4bf8f8de41fc3bd0d744cc1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 WTXS31 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 10.5S6 76.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 76.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.7S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.0S2 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.2S4 72.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 11.4S6 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.1S4 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 10.5S6 76.0E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01S IS MOVING WEST AT 7 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH HAS BEEN RETARDING THE SYSTEM=S INTENSIFICATION, HAS ABATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTERPRETATION OF A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 2.0 (30 KNOTS). THE WIND RADII ARE A COMBINATION OF CLIMATOLOGY AND SATELLITE INTERPRETATION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE TROPICAL FORECAST AIDS AS THE SYSTEM TRAVELS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. SINCE NOGAPS ANALYSIS SHOWS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY COME UNDER ADDITIONAL SHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WHICH WOULD RETARD FURTHER INTENSIFICATION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY JUST SLIGHTLY WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCEL S NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230451Z5 JUL 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 230500Z0) NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) , 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626923-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 19:48:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA04110; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:48:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA52984 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:48:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231148.GAA01661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 06:48:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c82e81a976b35f2a243354b05325c4b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 WTXS31 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 10.5S6 76.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 76.4E7 --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC2178 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.7S8 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.0S2 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.2S4 72.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCC2178 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 11.4S6 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.1S4 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 10.5S6 76.0E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01S IS MOVING WEST AT 7 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH HAS BEEN RETARDING THE SYSTEM'S INTENSIFICATION, HAS ABATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE PAGE 05 RUEDMCC2178 UNCLAS INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTERPRETATION OF A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 2.0 (30 KNOTS). THE WIND RADII ARE A COMBINATION OF CLIMATOLOGY AND SATELLITE INTERPRETATION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE TROPICAL FORECAST AIDS AS THE SYSTEM TRAVELS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. SINCE NOGAPS ANALYSIS SHOWS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY COME UNDER ADDITIONAL SHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WHICH WOULD RETARD FURTHER INTENSIFICATION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY JUST SLIGHTLY WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230451Z5 JUL 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 230500Z0) NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).// BT #2178 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627265-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 22:47:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA57588; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:48:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63710 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:47:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:47:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231447.JAA05164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:47:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9b19699148d43d470932ef558dd6376 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 WTXS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 9.9S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 9.8S7 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.7S6 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.6S5 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 9.6S5 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 9.4S3 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 9.9S8 75.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MOST RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED, COMPLETELY EXPOSING THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOWER-LEVEL APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED THAN BEFORE AND MORE INDICATIVE OF STRONG SURFACE WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS THEREFORE FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE LOSING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION TO THE CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EQUATORWARD, WITH SHALLOW STEERING INFLUENCE, OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627783-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 23:24:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA64644; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:24:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA39776 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:24:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:24:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231524.KAA06317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:24:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97c21153f45c3e7b0d530569e87387ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 837 WTXS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 9.9S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 9.8S7 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.7S6 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.6S5 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 9.6S5 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 9.4S3 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 9.9S8 75.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MOST RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED, COMPLETELY EXPOSING THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOWER-LEVEL APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED THAN BEFORE AND MORE INDICATIVE OF STRONG SURFACE WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS THEREFORE FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE LOSING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION TO THE CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EQUATORWARD, WITH SHALLOW STEERING INFLUENCE, OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). BT #3939 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627573-9454>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 01:53:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA57564; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9094623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA54166 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:53:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:52:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231752.MAA10874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 12:52:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8485e81c59bccc128c64671681e62227 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 649 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENT WEST GU/231351Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 75.8E0 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 030 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR02 (WTXS31 PGTW 231500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 78E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627796-9459>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26144; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:15:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA62702 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:15:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231815.NAA11566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:15:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a20c7151dc3341a47a09acba7c60c4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 WTXS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 9.9S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 06ENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES A T 06 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3768 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627790-9460>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:18:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30968; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:18:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:18:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30940 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:18:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:18:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231818.NAA11656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:18:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afe9b9214b597a88a3f21c8129724c00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 232 WTXS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 9.9S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4540 UNCLAS 240000Z6 --- 9.8S7 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.7S6 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.6S5 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 9.6S5 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4540 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 9.4S3 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 9.9S8 75.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MOST RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED, COMPLETELY EXPOSING THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOWER-LEVEL APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED THAN BEFORE AND MORE INDICATIVE OF STRONG SURFACE WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS THEREFORE FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE LOSING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION TO THE CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EQUATORWARD, WITH SHALLOW STEERING INFLUENCE, OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). BT #4540 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-9454>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 04:28:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52844; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:28:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA35920 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:28:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807232028.PAA15347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2b7a69d569b55c8220c46d97074c345 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 730 WTXS31 PGTW 232100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 9.6S5 076.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 076.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 9.3S2 075.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 9.3S2 074.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 9.3S2 072.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 9.4S3 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 9.5S4 076.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON A 231558Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS, DEEP AND MID-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS SHEARED OFF. THIS, ALONG WITH A LOSS OF CIRCULATION ORGANIZATION HAS MADE THE SYSTEM DIFFICULT TO POSITION. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST TWO HOURS, SOME MID-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS REAPPEARED NEAR THE CENTER. TC 01S IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF LIGHT STEERING. WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. UPPERLEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY AND REMAIN A FAIRLY CONSTANT FACTOR THROUGH 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE WARNING CRITERIA THROUGH THE LAST 24 TO 36 HOURS, THE FORECAST IS EXTENDED DUE TO PROXIMITY TO DIEGO GARCIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627697-9454>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:00:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA26166; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:01:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26292 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:00:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA16249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807232100.QAA16249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5800422c5913fd63b2ed0b34ced68283 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 124 WTXS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 9.9S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 9.8S7 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.7S6 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.6S5 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 9.6S5 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 9.4S3 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 9.9S8 75.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MOST RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED, COMPLETELY EXPOSING THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOWER-LEVEL APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED THAN BEFORE AND MORE INDICATIVE OF STRONG SURFACE WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS THEREFORE FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE LOSING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION TO THE CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EQUATORWARD, WITH SHALLOW STEERING INFLUENCE, OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). BT #0184 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-8137>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29396; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04262 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:55:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240155.UAA20598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:55:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8b7ff6f2a6f5dab3ed6ded7d1e0cd90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 532 WTXS31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 9.5S4 76.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.5S4 76.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.4S3 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.2S1 75.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 9.2S1 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 9.5S4 75.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS QUASISTATIONARY SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED AS WELL AS ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS ONCE AGAIN AFFECTING TOPICAL CYCLONE 01S. ALTHOUGH RECENT IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, NOGAPS ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THIS CONVECTION SHOULD BE SHEARED OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST. DUE TO THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, IT IS UNLIKELY THAT TC 01S WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ALTHOUGH WE ARE CONTINUING THE WARNING DUE TO THE SYSTEM=S PROXIMITY TO DIEGO GARCIA, WE ARE SWITCHING TO 12 HOUR UPDATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNING IS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627428-13324>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:30:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22704; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:30:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:30:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30366 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:30:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241430.JAA28784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:30:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d9035e25eb5155aea253d2cc5de0c21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTXS31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 9.2S1 076.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.2S1 076.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.0S9 076.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 8.9S7 075.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 8.9S7 074.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 9.2S1 076.1E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGARY. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE AFFECTED BY UPPER-LEVEL CROSS- EQUATORIAL SHEAR. CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL STEERING, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE RIDGING LOCATED TO ITS WEST-SOUTHWEST AND BEGIN TO TRACK WESTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, AND WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-11474>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:29:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39680; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9109414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA17892 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241729.MAA03482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:29:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca31ed15f9ea52c6f8be203d046eea55 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 097 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENT WEST GU/241351Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 09.2S1 076.1E4 AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 030 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR05 (WTXS31 PGTW 241500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626930-25146>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52924; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:28:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18856 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:28:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250228.VAA13000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9d7f11febc81766ac49b630026fcde1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 179 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 8.7S5 77.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 8.8S6 77.4E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S HAS ENTERED AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 242330Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MINIMAL CONVECTION REMAINS NEAR THE CENTER. THEREFOR, THIS SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627458-18206>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA64722; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18846 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251750.MAA20021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4293434dc0ecf1bf114d0234747eb9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 107 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENT WEST GU/250151Z JULY 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 08.8S6 77.2E6 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S FINAL WARNING NR06 (WTXS31 PGTW 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-27108>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 01:32:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA46546; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:33:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9126713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30484 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261729.MAA03846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:29:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc7e3553b48341ac6461e2e9ad55090f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 717 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-6530>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:31:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA31970; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:31:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9136962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA54168 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271730.MAA21614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 616a2a8d3b4adcaa13d062fb136cb931 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 868 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-1918>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:51:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24608; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44772 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281851.NAA18117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:51:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7e026f17ac5dfbc51e0e5b4e2f209db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 763 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 01:24:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA36662; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA36636 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291724.MAA10010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:24:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee1f19e02ba59e365fad37e6310bd96d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 496 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z JULY 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2955 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627608-19152>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 01:54:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34908; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:35:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9102949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22610 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311732.MAA26696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:32:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 191912ff04293a61587c7b8124abf48d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 715 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z JUL/011800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4158 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-29814>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 01:30:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA45570; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9113634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15296 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011730.MAA13596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91d1706aef008d944d44d0d18602fdaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 114 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z AUG/021800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-27270>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:31:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30250; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09980 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021731.MAA26301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:31:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b54185abbab14515dc6192fe5f550321 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 790 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z AUG/031800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-15054>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 01:24:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28062; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9133805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15214 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031706.MAA13153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:06:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 323bc61e6a49c2b99dba8f907316c2ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 855 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z AUG/041800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627387-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:00:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA53386; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9148350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12892 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041741.MAA05336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:41:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9559a3575a714be9ce0688afe53cd048 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 058 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z AUG/051800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627464-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 01:29:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15226; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9164248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13130 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051712.MAA28645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:12:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eab9813b4362ddd5fc4707b451ba523d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 813 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z AUG/061800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627573-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 01:33:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA37832; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:17:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9177295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:17:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22104 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:15:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061715.MAA21372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:15:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16a6a12d0fcecdfc2bea3b89ef48db5f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 849 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z AUG/071800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 01:59:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA61620; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9177593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37766 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061740.MAA21960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 12:40:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 635bac80a3edf3f323f1cec3b551f10f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 315 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800.)-7; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 01:09:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56228; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9190295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA28050 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071657.LAA11909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:57:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7918d749053b431faf218bf643bc85fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 499 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z AUG/081800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625910-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:29:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44746; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9199360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20896 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081718.MAA25258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 12:18:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3d0d38b18d0b2dde0e85136db574e7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 556 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z AUG/091800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626882-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:12:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA20748; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9208591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41960 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091702.MAA06675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:02:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec587dc5165ef026cc0e88125aa260f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 528 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z AUG/101800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2611 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627598-23298>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 01:22:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30594; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:03:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9219157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:03:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20826 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101702.MAA22020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:02:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c8f695798cf77ddda16297cbd44fef4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 323 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z AUG/111800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627565-16608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:19:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28938; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9232299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:57:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22646 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:55:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111755.MAA16610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:55:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b185a405dfe6a2552d0cf2ba3524ee2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 078 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627536-16608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:41:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAB28934; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9232759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29170 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111827.NAA17520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:27:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Fo9;-. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abcd9937bcb7107cf1f3418387b02b20 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 987 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FO9;-. 8,$8-,53-.: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627091-5894>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 01:40:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22702; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:24:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9245272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23528 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121722.MAA08010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:22:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffe02c54c6d45a4810a5b0879a9a43f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 009 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-20944>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:29:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56838; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9256508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57078 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131711.MAA27746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:11:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e4d898522fa516ebf1c6f443a7c9e04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 536 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF DIEGO GARCIA AT APPROXIMATELY 6S AND 71E. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A SLIGHT NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT. GRADIENT LEVEL WIND ANALYSIS (12Z) INDICATES OVERALL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT LOW LEVELS WITH THE INTER-TROPICAL BUFFER ZONE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS INDICATE FAVORABLE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627621-10073>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:00:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15116; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:44:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9258518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA47178 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:41:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 12:43:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141743.MAA18167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 12:43:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 701da5c1fc76d5e4600102c211a2cde0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 725 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627506-10072>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19754; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:26:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9258018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26354 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:08:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:08:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141808.NAA18696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:08:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ef55193e5bf7ba423365097291d7577 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 128 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 71E8 HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AND IS NOW LOCATED AT APPROXIMATELY 7S7 72E9 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3988 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-2680>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 01:27:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12924; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:19:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9270929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49182 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151717.MAA03181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:17:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe746f3b6311a33101f608c2f2dcd3f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 406 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4S4 72E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT LIES WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626996-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 01:46:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30586; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9279239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20564 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161723.MAA03082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:23:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a25e558a88e777886971ff4d4147dbd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 711 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 67E3. A 151825Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:38:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18946; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:16:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9291529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:16:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA11216 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:15:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:15:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171815.NAA17505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:15:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d916a62b6d890662771d2c084f874c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 483 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.? 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: ?(1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05S5 067E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05S5 063E9. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SEPARATED FROM THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DISPLAYS A SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION AND A 161755Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL. A 171347Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA47982291811 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2650 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627507-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 04:19:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21574; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9292811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19002 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171953.OAA19558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:53:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e09c58866f5c2eb1c6366f4b4ed0b64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 138 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MA.Y PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DI8RURP: S;NE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627411-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 07:01:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12950; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9293921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA25222 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA22614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808172243.RAA22614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:43:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5523ad01ae5e02b8fb0eab2d2f0bf482 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 782 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 63E9. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SEPARATED FROM THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DISPLAYS A SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION AND A 161755Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL. A 171347Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627706-25693>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 02:02:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28110; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9301624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21692 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181743.MAA05648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 12:43:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c77e331e4b27cc3e41fac4962dbe04c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 633 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 63E9 HAS DISPERSED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS IN THE AREA, BOTH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA TO BE UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES NO DEFINITIVE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE AREA OF CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626637-24136>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 01:41:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA19744; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9311989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56072 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191741.MAA27980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:41:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41fb800cda404d442cf37b6c95faeace Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 506 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627021-23368>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 01:33:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62862; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9324774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA64624 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201733.MAA18828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:33:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e817ceb2c35fa19720760ddd186a09e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 179 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626887-26897>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:24:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA19156; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:14:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9336025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:14:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20608 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211713.MAA09789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:13:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d9ec4954d9043ef7728dda9c8a1707c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 602 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:25:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30604; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:10:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9346684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:10:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA37680 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221809.NAA25045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:09:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51c16a3d4b70f6a8fd86b2833480a4e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 960 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627081-27535>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:37:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25132; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9355522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27906 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231728.MAA05330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:28:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/signilnafd To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c8ca36a3a5670be807cd82e7968622d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 396 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNILNAFD )P?CAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN G0QP)IEA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627080-27530>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:49:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26114; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9356055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28126 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231837.NAA05874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:37:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffd7995b458be3fe531c3c3b160f6e74 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 870 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-27148>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:13:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15076; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:13:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9369721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA34902 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241809.NAA24464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:09:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2dfb283a5a2f4a9ea62037807fe03451 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 826 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4259 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627193-22675>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:27:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31544; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:13:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9385642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36646 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:13:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:12:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251612.LAA17852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:12:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e940921b2990776606ea9b5ba4f5ad3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 738 ABIO10 PGTW 250800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/250800Z/251800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 9S9 72E9 OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SEPARATED FROM A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 250052Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627731-22674>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 01:42:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39366; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:28:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9386475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44808 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251725.MAA20273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 12:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ea66c3c65dd0577212a536a0c4b3d7d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 167 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 68E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (250052Z4) INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN NOT BE CONFIRMED AT THIS TIME USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE 200 MB SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS DOES INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:37:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA64488; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9387375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA45010 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251823.NAA22053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:23:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ae71085e1e5a2182475cef6b178e086 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 296 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 68E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (250052Z4) INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN NOT BE CONFIRMED AT THIS TIME USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE 200 MB SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS DOES INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 01:56:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627834-1948>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 01:46:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56162; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:24:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9404908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:24:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA25150 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:24:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:23:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261723.MAA16251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:23:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d33706f85720abf2fae1704e8961eaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 462 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 61E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IN ADDITION, 261200Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. SINCE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING, THIS AREA REMAINS SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1972 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627997-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 01:07:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA33504; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:51:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9426023 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24244 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271650.LAA10894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4aff0fa43ca95974364dd54198cf0a71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 050 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 61E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 57E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. 270616Z2 SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND 271200Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA AS WELL. ALTHOUGH THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION WARRANT MAINTAINING THE AREA AS SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628196-17377>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21716; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9444227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA64450 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281801.NAA10192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f4436e93dbeebf7ac99834227e837bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 061 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6S6 57E2 HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS BEEN LESS THAN PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO REGENERATE. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628848-4431>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 01:33:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62668; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:24:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9457894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA62620 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:24:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291723.MAA27847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:23:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a395f92197e5b867009facf142585af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 583 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628951-3228>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 01:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA63576; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:25:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9471157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:25:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA67722 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:24:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301724.MAA11684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:24:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d3f843d2e9451ae01eac87611c5c5ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 553 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z AUG 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629415-3356>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:49:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22542; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9482680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09948 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808311737.MAA02175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:37:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2396ebfb2340467f6de43ea531a0809 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 345 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z AUG 98/011800Z SEP 98// 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629545-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40110; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9499128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA61558 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011758.MAA02453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:58:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0632a6b4e41764e0b7d1b74c67e46581 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 055 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z SEP 98/021800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 01:23:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627451-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:21:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28934; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9515616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29158 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021720.MAA29057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:20:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b6d316f40b4b987bae66fb3c5ec7e6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 750 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z SEP 98/031800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 7S7 90E9. MICROWAVE (012108Z2) AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629605-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:36:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29192; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9536153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29394 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031736.MAA27788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1b3a006b851e462b8bfa45fa914ce39 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 591 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z SEP 98/041800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 7S7 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED AT 10S1 85E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 031200Z6 UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, A 031342Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. DUE TO THE GENESIS OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THIS AREA IS CONSIDERED FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 15:32:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629731-18634>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:54:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA58272; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:54:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:54:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39054 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:54:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040654.BAA12239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:54:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01eb05c8eafd96c182e8a7a8de27313c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 014 WTXS21 PGTW 040630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040553Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.2S3 82.8E8 TO 14.4S9 73.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040230Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 81.5E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A 040245Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED. 040230Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS 30 KNOTS. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, HOWEVER THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050630Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 16:26:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4540 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629698-26640>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:59:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47400; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:59:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15638 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:59:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:59:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040759.CAA12609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:59:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93333dbc0015342915ec4d87413cfa8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 067 WTXS21 PGTW 040630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040553Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.2S3 82.8E8 TO 14.4S9 73.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040230Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1617 UNCLAS NEAR 10.9S0 81.5E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A 040245Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED. 040230Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS 30 KNOTS. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, HOWEVER THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050630Z4.// BT #1617 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627818-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 01:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04340; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:56:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9551348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41106 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:52:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:52:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041752.MAA22076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 12:52:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b84effb9e2ff1fa05dd31ac5b9e9e8d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 627 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z SEP 98/051800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040553 SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6. A 041517Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT 9.5S4 78.4E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO HIGH WIND SHEAR AS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ABOUT 46NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL DEFINED AND IS STILL CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IF THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ABATES AND ALLOWS FOR RENEWED DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTXS21 PGTW 040630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627145-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25160; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:31:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:31:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA33852 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:31:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050731.CAA02603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:31:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu 040553z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30bdd18659842f733e9a36eaeb3a7983 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 WTXS21 PGTW 050630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 050553Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040553Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 040630)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 81.5E4 HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED. IN ADDITION, 050230Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA WAS APPROXIMATELY 85NM FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW POOR. 2. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 16:19:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33872; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:08:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:08:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16706 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:08:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:08:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050808.DAA02949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:08:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu 040553z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e232053ec05787e7b3e01d3e18989b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 972 WTXS21 PGTW 050630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 050553Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040553Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 040630)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 81.5E4 HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED. IN ADDITION, 050230Z0 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6110 UNCLAS VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA WAS APPROXIMATELY 85NM FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW POOR. 2. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// BT #6110 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:06:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA35056; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9562336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:55:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34940 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051754.MAA06583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45ed7b697c864a145543d3a051184d9a X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 489 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050630Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAKES THIS AREA UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627361-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:20:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA55840; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA55822 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051910.OAA07291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:10:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e6f98c132e1c3523269badc91c57aee X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 436 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050630Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAKES THIS AREA UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627639-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA60320; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52878 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051918.OAA07329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:18:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17dd27bd4ca3b4a41fb339ff85716b15 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 624 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAM/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98/ REF/A/RM/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEUT GU/050630Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FOGMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AEA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONIQ CIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAMDBOGIS AREA UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONEM WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4216 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:37:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA48970; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:28:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA46844 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:27:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051927.OAA07371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:27:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d049841d91d9fa3a1394a53462a00e8d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 746 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 COR N MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATMER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAM/051800Z SEP 98/061800Z SEP 98/ REF/A/RM/NAVPIZETOCCEN WEUT GU/050630Z SEP 98/(<#+AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLO N E FOGMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AEA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN ARZA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCA SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 79E6, AND THE SUBJECT OF REF A, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1. SATELLITE MAGERY INDICAES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WEP0-30-4-53$ >49. 5#3 :9,;3:589,. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A CYCLONWQPCIRCULATION, BUT THE WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY MAMDBOGIS AREA UNFAVOROCPNDJVYH DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-20 KNOOS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT Q=.?. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONEM WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. -JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 02:40:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626512-8436>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:14:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA67634; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9572155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52256 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061705.MAA16400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 12:05:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d89bd8756f919e39c294ab4bb5d34ed X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 129 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z SEP 98/071800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 74E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3318 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-1821>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 01:01:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA45616; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:02:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9583758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA58694 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:01:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071700.MAA29497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 12:00:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 686c1e9e44400ccab32d61d18e2fad80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 095 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z SEP 98/081800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4032 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627900-5179>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 01:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAB49150; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9598838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15840 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081717.MAA19768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:17:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c76306807e0d1f0045a930f82a09ad0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 948 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628051-14540>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:01:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30478; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 13:01:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9615686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:59:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA68578 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:55:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091755.MAA18366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:55:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fe59263094338ce630d73bff507b0dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 486 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.? 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG57872521751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628122-149>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:55:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52112; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:55:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9632013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49240 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:55:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101754.MAA24747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:54:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7f1308b4da594799fc1a6e25209d31f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 037 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1.NGKNDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEA RDA (2 QJSEST DOAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANA STLMARY: NONE FORECAST TE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 01:32:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-5774>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:29:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15710; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9647206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15684 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111729.MAA21645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:29:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 541cc953523adeaf4488ad4c34d01ce5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 149 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.? 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG48252541751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2804 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626026-5771>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 02:44:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25974; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:44:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9648090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:44:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12862 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:44:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111843.NAA24408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:43:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ceebbb000c81d0bfba305aa53b0bf54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 917 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// KGWC GREEN FJDG AMBER 3. IF THERE ARE ANY CHANGES IN THIS STATUS OR YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, CALL THE 36 OSS/OSJ AT DSN 349-6227 OR FAX US AT DSN 349-6106. JOHNSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 02:03:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2004 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627602-20423>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:30:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29422; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9658326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26810 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121730.MAA11966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:30:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa0cf549a33d6e441f9135099ccfd1bd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 563 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 02:31:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627662-20425>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:12:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23436; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:12:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9658769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63602 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:12:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:11:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121811.NAA12394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:11:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23c853b7abe4ccf5dcddeeb705a16016 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 302 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN102022+98318;Z SEP 98// RMKHQ QM NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (M VH PENINSULA WE O ZO COAST OF AFCICA-: A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NOMEZ MU TROPICAL DIST YK BSARG MARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIANNOCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMAR MNE LP B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY : NOCE FORECASZ TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIULD/HALL// MPNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 02:26:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627620-27879>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:27:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA54458; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:27:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9667546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA54400 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131726.MAA25781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:26:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 636c6f080efa667aeab2465638ace124 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 212 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628221-20653>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:28:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30674; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:29:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9679121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA45190 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141728.MAA15748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b979f83717dbeff7d8d2cbf53768a808 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 234 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626922-13811>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:49:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA47858; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:49:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9692089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA47724 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151748.MAA15452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:48:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f7ea5ea6db4ffa0c9f0945be3782795 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 761 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628738-20255>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 01:56:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28374; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:56:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9710091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30700 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161754.MAA22637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:54:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 824566dca0d5f4f5e58af4c2a26ec307 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 221 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628213-29116>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:38:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24506; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9726555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56726 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171738.MAA23355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:38:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65c26b25b32a31bad8acfaa239972972 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 732 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627972-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:35:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA63732; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:36:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9742137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA51138 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:35:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:34:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181734.MAA25403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:34:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d549c3ef3e98a3cfa0bf860478c3576 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 091 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4723 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-15814>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:04:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA41770; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:04:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9752694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:04:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA35582 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:04:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191803.NAA16105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e05af2d7f363fa580d92a96a6f8e9cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 429 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627184-22438>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 01:59:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52224; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9763300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52456 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201758.MAA01065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:58:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: ($/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58e3ab0967a0e20f07078bd145263bd9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 784 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GD ($/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z SIB;3SRMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4006 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-16014>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:31:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA54368; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:31:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9776493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA20502 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211830.NAA01763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 195cdca101f2124513116dd7fbf59f53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 016 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 93E2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA IS MODERATE AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1403 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627740-10300>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:19:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52794; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:19:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9793161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:18:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA57760 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:16:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:16:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221716.MAA25327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:16:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a93d62884f0cfb508b9d84075aa7246 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 457 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 93E2 IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 08:32:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-23919>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 01:05:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56864; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9811905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09960 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231705.MAA02279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:05:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb67006ccbb14eb79c145305ad8c7d7b X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 445 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMIAT=C-)AI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 02:08:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628030-19058>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:53:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA30290; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:53:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9849602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09810 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251750.MAA19388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:50:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0340f2c4ce203ab7361551dace912230 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 161 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 86E4. THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627842-12554>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 03:13:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58076; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:13:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9869133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA58000 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261912.OAA15199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:12:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc67c0d0e4af6d60d7640460fcbe349f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 037 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 86E4 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-24158>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:16:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA40656; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:17:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:17:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA54370 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:16:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:16:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271816.NAA05405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:16:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b358e47ec6135f67cd1e59a72a4e463 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 454 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOP?KS?S3 2( B;THER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRCA( +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627699-24158>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:40:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA57356; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19052 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271840.NAA05852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:40:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff9342edb7822f39a6727c979445d080 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 248 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOP?KS?S3 2( B?THER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRCA( +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-24160>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:55:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA33862; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:55:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA62210 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:53:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:53:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271853.NAA06268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:53:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c54717bc05a43fb4c65dfa3c465746ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 533 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A 5 P0L AYCLGFE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 271321Z6 INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION TOWARDS THE CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN, WATER VAPOR WIND DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION ALL INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627685-24160>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:32:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA67620; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9887608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA37634 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271932.OAA07321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:32:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f82483ac3ca327a5290185f2c5a79d6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 399 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A 5 P0L AYCLGFE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA ARE LOW WITH VALUES NEAR 1004 MB, AND 24 HOUR PRESSURE DROPS OF ABOUT 1MB. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION THAT IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 271321Z6 INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION TOWARDS THE CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN, WATER VAPOR WIND DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION ALL INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-24780>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:48:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40100; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9906329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09828 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281748.MAA04464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba4188523f87f9e3927b62dc3eb06b38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 407 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6. A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281521Z9 INDICATED CYCLONICALLY CURVED CLOUD LINES WITH CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM YESTERDAY AT 271730Z1 INDICATED AT LEAST 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WITHIN THE CIRCULATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CONTINUE TO INDICATE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627081-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:44:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24166; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:44:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9922017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:44:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52560 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:44:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:44:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290744.CAA27159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:44:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78ab882cc82139e437f1fd6cf73c179d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 WTXS21 PGTW 290559 290559Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.0S9 82.1E1 TO 9.0S9 66.0E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 40 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 290000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 76.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 300559Z2. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-17639>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:46:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA16886; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:46:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9922029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22236 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:46:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290746.CAA27183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:46:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e04e931772e2c310be9afd158405d87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 WTXS21 PGTW 290559 290559Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.0S9 82.1E1 TO 9.0S9 66.0E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 40 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 290000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 76.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 300559Z2. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 17:49:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627291-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:17:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA19072; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:17:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9922841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:17:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA59958 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:17:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:17:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290917.EAA28379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:17:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7e6f006b09e1377740065a1712ba9b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 526 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 9.2S1 78.0E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER- TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 17:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627023-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:28:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA17898; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:28:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9923003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17872 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290928.EAA28559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3fa0114b27a398d8694bef6b947f6499 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 9.2S1 78.0E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER- TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 17:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627974-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:33:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA33824; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:33:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9923083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:33:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA29702 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:33:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290933.EAA28639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:33:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Are Based On 290530z9 Infrared Satellite Imagery, 290042z7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfa9c322a1643d0945c64e0ba62d9cf3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 879 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER- TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z6).// //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 17:49:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2942 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627934-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:34:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA39328; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9923095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA29068 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:34:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290934.EAA28648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:34:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a81a971e790060a2be1236b888a1b618 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 9.2S1 78.0E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4072 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628051-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:21:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA59136; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:20:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9927777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:20:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA19194 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:18:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291518.KAA06408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:18:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aef9db2555569d945996b247bc8e808d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 231 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 77.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 8.8S6 77.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 8.9S7 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 9.0S9 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 9.2S1 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 9.5S4 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 8.7S5 77.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 20NM TO WEST. ANIMATION INDICATES THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. AFTERWARDS, TC 02S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG16632721353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4437 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627994-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:26:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA51104; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:25:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9927853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:25:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA21884 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:25:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:25:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291525.KAA06610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:25:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28996088b3bf30e18f1467b521601132 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 77.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 8.8S6 77.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 8.9S7 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 9.0S9 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 9.2S1 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 9.5S4 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 8.7S5 77.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 20NM TO WEST. ANIMATION INDICATES THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. AFTERWARDS, TC 02S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG16632721353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628030-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:30:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA21820; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:30:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9927928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA44518 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:30:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291529.KAA06734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:29:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e42ebb380e4cce079ce1a9888f4df33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 77.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 8.8S6 77.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 8.9S7 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 9.0S9 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 9.2S1 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 9.5S4 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628042-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:30:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA21850; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:30:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9927932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA22258 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:30:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291529.KAA06738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:29:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To Track Towards The West-southwest Over The Past 6 Hours. The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d564a77ce7b38f252b567bca9f4ac673 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 513 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 291500Z7 POSITION 8.7S5 77.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 20NM TO WEST. ANIMATION INDICATES THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. AFTERWARDS, TC 02S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG16632721353 //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1420 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628058-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:36:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04268; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:36:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9928009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:36:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA29056 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:31:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291531.KAA06810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:31:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6389fdbfed3aa9dbff12f4cde32fc1cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSH VORT LOUVGGZ1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 0 2 S WARNICG CR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 9 WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 8.7S5 27;8E2 -MOVEVENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 77.8E2, FORECASOS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000ZOBCNNXIWSY UUMPE4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0408KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUSSMI035 KT WINDS KQQUUPNM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE ) ) 050 NM ELSEWHECKAWPBL VECTOR TO VCFBHR PO S IT( 265 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z/)--- 8.9S7 76.2E5 MAXHSUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUYTU 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 5.0S9 75.4E6 OAX SUSTAQFTGLWINDS - 040 KT, GUSTSH050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 9. -975# -3.8:84:)3 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTWOOK: 48 HRSGN VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 9.2S1 74.6E7 8,8MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 9)035 KT. GUSTS 045 KT VECTMMMF HR VOBWT: 255 DEG/ 2;(5# H UW HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 9.5S4 73.3EKOM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KTV GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER =;;;+REMA 297:71+7 POSITION 8.7S5 77.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02SSC:58.73$ TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWONMLOVER THE PAST 6 HOURS; ,5#3 WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 VISIBLE FCVOBLITE IMAGERY. 291130Z6 VISUBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN O9-3$ )92-LEVELCIRQULATITN WWLG THE NEAREST CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 20NM TO WEST. ANIMATION INDICATES OHE VERTICAL WIND SHE R A WEAKENEF SLIXHTLY OVER THEIPAOCVXLHOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUTTTHE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS SHEAR IS EXPECTED MM WEAKEC; 0AFPERWARDS, TC 02S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE O INCREASED SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2912;1Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HXIKXO INFORMATION. NEXT WUCMQNGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953W9?, 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) ,77(71+2 (DTG 300753Z8) AVJK301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGESRECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG16632721353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628072-17642>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:40:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA42160; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9930521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04228 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291740.MAA11284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 363822739f67b0e6ec4271c740268ee1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1396 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1396 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 9.2S1 78.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER- TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1396 UNCLAS FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEST GU 290559Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628065-17639>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:40:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA42198; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9930525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29332 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291740.MAA11289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:40:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae004ed14783f64ce2f3cda291bd07dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1396 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1396 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 9.2S1 78.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER- TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1396 UNCLAS FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z6).// BT #1396 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-17643>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:42:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA67754; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:42:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9930556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:42:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12952 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:42:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:42:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291742.MAA11342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:42:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2b7f73a3d9a229e5a4033c28f7e34db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 803 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.7S6 76.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1624 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 10.4S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 11.2S4 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.0S3 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1624 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.2S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 9.2S1 78.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 290042Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. 290000Z1 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOWER- TROPOSHERIC RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THUS MAINTAINING A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 02S IS UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY GREATLY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 12 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1624 UNCLAS FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290559Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290600Z) NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z6).// BT #1624 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627583-17636>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14472; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:45:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9930599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA29286 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:45:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA11421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291745.MAA11421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:45:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09630d8489bf916d26d39286f01b0984 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 WTXS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 77.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 8.8S6 77.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1663 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 8.9S7 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 9.0S9 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1663 UNCLAS 011200Z4 --- 9.2S1 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 9.5S4 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 8.7S5 77.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. 291130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 20NM TO WEST. ANIMATION INDICATES THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1663 UNCLAS PERIOD AS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. AFTERWARDS, TC 02S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// BT #1663 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628084-17643>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA40982; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9932294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA40190 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291909.OAA13968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:09:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dba77f7c7a4963ffc96db0ff0ac0419f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 790 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/291353Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 291500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21362721751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628094-17636>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:55:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA57084; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:55:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9932843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAB22170 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291954.OAA15340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:54:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6112f6cabc2e0ac88dbb257a9c2cc07b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 507 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/291353Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 8.7S5 77.8E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 291500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21362721751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628027-17642>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA44374; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:40:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9934677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:40:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA42968 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:33:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA18455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:33:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809292133.QAA18455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:33:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71320b0660302270fa254504096497d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.9S7 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 8.8S6 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 105NM EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM LIES BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS STRONG THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25502721953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2379 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628095-17636>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:40:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA13046; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:40:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9934710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA55774 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:36:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA18523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809292136.QAA18523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:36:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f684f440129ae4731af4c9aaf66c004 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 156 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.9S7 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2550 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 8.8S6 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 105NM EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2550 UNCLAS STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM LIES BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS STRONG THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// BT #2550 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626875-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:14:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26862; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:13:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:13:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA40604 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:11:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300211.VAA24247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:11:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75c2227aa230fd867a78431fa169eb83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.9S7 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 8.8S6 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 105NM EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM LIES BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS STRONG THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25502721953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626857-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA56752; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15252 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300216.VAA24320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c136bc136b201a02bb46d7e0734e86f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.9S7 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 8.8S6 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 105NM EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM LIES BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TC 02S IS //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44248; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25494 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300216.VAA24322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Windshear Remains Strong Throughout The Period. Maximum Significant To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02b6b10c4c45b8ba043681e60e042ca8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS STRONG THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25502721953 //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:25:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15154; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:24:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:24:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41246 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:24:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300224.VAA24420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:24:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 301500z9 (dtg 301353z5) And 302100z6 (dtg 301953z1).// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64dd05f482fdcd198c621c67059d3ad7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 858 WTXS31 PGTW 300200 SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54846; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:35:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:34:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41280 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:27:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300227.VAA24449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 636523442be14d8614c00fae70f52e55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 WTXS31 PGTW 300200 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 9.3S2 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 9.8S7 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.2S3 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 9.4S3 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 155NM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626600-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:49:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA42902; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:49:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62534 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300248.VAA24812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80f9a6d57699a0734abfb92de35caa0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 236 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 9.3S2 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 9.8S7 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.2S3 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 9.4S3 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 155NM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625976-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:49:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62268; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:49:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA43562 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300248.VAA24816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclmfe 02s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a2dfda3035bdb095f2e59aec8c000ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 238 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PMRT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLMFE 02S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICWL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSIMWON: 291800Z AAA IMIS6 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PASTISIX HOURS ,?(/ DEGREES AT 06 KTS 8 POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM W POSITION BASED ONLCENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MNLSUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT,8GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT1 8.8S6 77.2E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.5S7 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR LO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -7030 KT, GUSTS 04, KT DISSIIATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG. 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID ATAAWPKBL PUPYPPZ7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3.: M M SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANTTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 292100Z4 POLITION 8.8SY UYMOE2. TROPICAL EXPECTED TO BEGIN LEAKENICG OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS STRONG THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNI2:2?# WAVE HEIOHT AT 291800Z0 ISH12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753+8), 301500Z9 (DTG 501353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25502721953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626696-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:49:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45098; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:50:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9939911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA42806 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300248.VAA24820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:48:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Hrs, Valid At: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09bffedd950f5f4ab7af5541051789a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 239 WTXS31 PGTW 300200 IMMEXCMOLDELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 2-- 10.2S3 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSPA PWT KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPIVAL CYCLONOLOVOY WOOER REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 9.4S3 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AMD AAQN?256 -43 ?--3$ 9, 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WUCNM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. 5#3 -53348,< DLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MGQSGMN TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, 23-(3,8,< $73 59 8,:43--3$ VEKTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIP TES AS A SIGNI1:,9 54908:-) CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 PEEO. ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:21:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21646; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:21:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9940447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA43636 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:21:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:21:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300321.WAA25552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:21:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 760fead411cc9c933cb152d52f80e393 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 9.3S2 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 9.8S7 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3653 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.2S3 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 9.4S3 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 155NM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3653 UNCLAS SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// BT #3653 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2632 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627081-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA42842; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:37:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9940655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:37:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA63812 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:37:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:37:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300337.WAA25735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:37:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a85632d8cf36a39cbfe1ab463ab0ee0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 9.3S2 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 9.8S7 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3653 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.2S3 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 9.4S3 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 155NM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3653 UNCLAS SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// BT ?3653 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2965 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:41:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA14496; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:40:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9940675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA43622 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:40:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:40:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300340.WAA25752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:40:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Page 04 Ruhpsgg3653 Unclas To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7300575bbd7da600984a48e497bf88e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3653 UNCLAS SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// BT ?3653 //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626509-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:43:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA42804; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:42:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9940760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:42:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18720 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:42:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300342.WAA25822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:42:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5fe8513e12948417817ac8169938216 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 401 WTXS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 9.3S2 77.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 77.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 9.8S7 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3653 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.2S3 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 9.4S3 76.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 155NM NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2428 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:46:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA15146; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:46:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA11028 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:46:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300846.DAA29814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:46:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36e7451b5eb0b3f14c7eb2d56b8ba752 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 WTXS31 PGTW 300900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:50:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA31518; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:50:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA14346 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:50:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300850.DAA29847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:50:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aed24d467b97ffba85d9e75c11f47c16 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 WTXS31 PGTW 300900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627318-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:51:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA43370; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:51:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943833 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30292 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:51:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300851.DAA29870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:51:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf234514550dcdee0131b00b627e6f22 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 268 WTXS31 PGTW 300900 9 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICALNCYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAI N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3444 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 17:03:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA31502; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:03:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:03:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA41978 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:03:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA00083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:03:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300903.EAA00083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:03:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3354c432578faf405bdfa909d4b57a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 WTXS31 PGTW 300900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 9.6S5 76.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 76.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 10.2S3 75.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4898 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 9.7S6 76.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300600Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED EXPOSED. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #4898 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627609-17078>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:44:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA64556; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:45:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9951644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA62396 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301744.MAA12705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:44:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc8d78ab783af0bc6d325921dfe97430 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 532 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z SEP 98/011800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301355Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300755Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 9.6S5 76.5E8 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS NO LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 300900Z2. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-17077>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:51:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA33838; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9951842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA43462 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301751.MAA13012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:51:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfe0fb8b0a71d48d6f6afd3347390adf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 569 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z SEP 98/011800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301355Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300755Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 18.2N1 63.7E6 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 67E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 9.6S5 76.5E8 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS NO LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE FINAL WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 300900Z2. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3110 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-2420>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29704; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:31:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10058078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62470 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:37:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011437.JAA03583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:37:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 571e4bf4118f68c89086a9c515f89522 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 WTXS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN QS2 RE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSHTION> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:34:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45256; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:34:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10058325 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04100 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:38:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011438.JAA03618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:38:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bdecb62392d87f3fbeefd9fcfed235aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 WTXS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN QS2 RE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSHTION? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627631-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 23:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA42054; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:23:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10008069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:23:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA38836 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:22:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:22:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011522.KAA04928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:22:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfa92f2da04a556f6cb4827fc99d930f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 525 WTXS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 13.4S8 71.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 71.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 4 H , VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATNGAS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.8S6 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 14.0S5 70.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS RE-GENERATED IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 011130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS, A PRVHSU ;SA SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING AT LEAST 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE QPHEF THA CI?,TION9A SHIP REPORT FROM 010000Z1 INDICATING 30 KNOT WINDS (10 MDDE AVERPTXM A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-2420>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 18:58:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13026; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:58:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10064319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:57:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA40668 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:27:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA05050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011527.KAA05050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:27:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e189357d259efda992cdec62d407bb3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 640 WTXS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 13.4S8 71.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 71.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0475 UNCLAS 020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.8S6 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 14.0S5 70.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS RE-GENERATED IN THE SOUTHERN PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0475 UNCLAS INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 011130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS, A PREVIOUS 301734Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING AT LEAST 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION, AND A SHIP REPORT FROM 010000Z1 INDICATING 30 KNOT WINDS (10 MINUTE AVERAGE). A 1 MINUTE AVERAGE WOULD INDICATE 35 KNOT WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM, THEREFORE, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER WINDS NEARER THE CENTER. CONVECTION BEGAN TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER EARLIER TODAY, ALTHOUGH IT HAS REMAINED SHEARED TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WILL BEGIN TO SLOW DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM PASSES TO ITS SOUTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONTAL SYSTEM BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 HOUR PERIOD. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FORECASTED TO BE FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE SYSTEM, AND LOWER LEVEL PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0475 UNCLAS FLOW FROM THE EAST, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE EVEN MORE AND SHOULD SHEAR OFF THE REMAINING CONVECTION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN TURNING TOWARDS THE WEST UNDERNEATH LOWER LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN THEN DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4).// BT #0475 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 18:58:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA41378; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10064301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA10412 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:27:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA05054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011527.KAA05054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:27:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92c3b836e70c02fa0b0f7beba26d0d82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 WTXS31 PGTW 011500 COR: IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 13.4S8 71.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 71.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.8S6 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 14.0S5 70.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS RE-GENERATED IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 011130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS, A PREVIOUS 301734Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING AT LEAST 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION, AND A SHIP REPORT FROM 010000Z1 INDICATING 30 KNOT WINDS (10 MINUTE AVERAGE). A 1 MINUTE AVERAGE WOULD INDICATE 35 KNOT WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM, THEREFORE, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER WINDS NEARER THE CENTER. CONVECTION BEGAN TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER EARLIER TODAY, ALTHOUGH IT HAS REMAINED SHEARED TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WILL BEGIN TO SLOW DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM PASSES TO ITS SOUTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONTAL SYSTEM BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 HOUR PERIOD. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FORECASTED TO BE FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE SYSTEM, AND LOWER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE EAST, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE EVEN MORE AND SHOULD SHEAR OFF THE REMAINING CONVECTION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN TURNING TOWARDS THE WEST UNDERNEATH LOWER LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN THEN DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627972-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 23:30:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14482; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:30:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10086954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30270 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:09:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:09:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011809.NAA09848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:09:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af6cf64b06db41782de683ccc5636f2e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 518 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z OCT 98/021800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010155Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011351Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 17.7N5 63.2E1 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 010300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SOME CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 62E8 AND IS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A. A PARTIAL SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 010616Z4 INDICATED THAT 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING ACROSS THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 13.4S8 71.2E0 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE RE-GENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627123-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA56178; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:37:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10034332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:37:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14674 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:37:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:37:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020237.VAA21820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:37:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88cb4a744f04824cf172a8a6acf57a29 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 WTXS31 PGTW 020300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 70.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.1S8 69.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5S3 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 19.1S1 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 70.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020033Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON 020033Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW SHOULD TAKE THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4027 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627213-2420>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA10426; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:49:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10042945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:49:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33976 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:48:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020548.AAA24189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:48:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8d5d66eadc002341166b14589b4e415 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 894 WTXS31 PGTW 020300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 70.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.1S8 69.9E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3335 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5S3 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 19.1S1 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 70.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020033Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON 020033Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3335 UNCLAS MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW SHOULD TAKE THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM'S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2).// BT #3335 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627050-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:54:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58632; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:54:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10043304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:54:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40166 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:54:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020554.AAA24249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:54:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d847d5a6dd6d32bbdbc655f44c9e3e83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 976 WTXS31 PGTW 020300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 70.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.1S8 69.9E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3335 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5S3 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 19.1S1 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 70.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020033Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON 020033Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3335 UNCLAS MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW SHOULD TAKE THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM'S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2).// BT ?3335 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:57:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA42830; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:57:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10043525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:57:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10284 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:57:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:57:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020557.AAA24272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:57:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Shear And The System's Deep Convection Is Sheared To The Southeast To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b93973cd4cff5e74042f02d1d778317a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 027 WTXS31 PGTW 020300 TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM'S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2).// BT ?3335 //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:58:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56082; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:58:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10043580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:58:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29944 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:58:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:58:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020558.AAA24285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:58:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 698a7739fedce2d8ed9b53681a97aa26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 WTXS31 PGTW 020300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 70.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.1S8 69.9E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3335 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5S3 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 19.1S1 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 70.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020033Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON 020033Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3335 UNCLAS MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW SHOULD TAKE THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627733-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:06:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA17880; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:05:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10079307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:05:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA12220 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:05:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021405.JAA01148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:05:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7297ddcded3241f5738057978e2c9713 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 590 WTXS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 16.4S1 69.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 69.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 69.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON EXTRAPOLATION SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627057-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45062; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:51:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10083233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62418 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:51:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021451.JAA02704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e4a90dc42dfab08f1acc6fc7ed0b983 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 503 WTXS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 16.4S1 69.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 69.8E3 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4985 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 69.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON EXTRAPOLATION SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4985 UNCLAS BT #4985 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 23:03:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62178; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:57:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10083858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:57:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39354 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:57:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:57:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021457.JAA02844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:57:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e5cb2f9c5eca3cc31260037da44d16f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 563 WTXS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 16.4S1 69.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 69.8E3 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4985 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 69.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON EXTRAPOLATION SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4985 UNCLAS BT ?4985 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-2420>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 23:01:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA44530; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:01:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10084244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA41926 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:00:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA03140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:00:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021500.KAA03140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:00:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51b75c716ad0d225a6e19285a6412d53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 632 WTXS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 16.4S1 69.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 69.8E3 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4985 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 69.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON EXTRAPOLATION SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4985 UNCLAS BT ?4985 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627991-2420>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:15:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA45774; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10091484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52626 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021815.NAA09058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:15:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09e8d2e40e2e0a011597933d3ff74569 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 480 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z OCT 98/031800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 62E8 IS NOW NEAR 20N9 59E4 AND IS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A. CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED, DISSIPATED AND RE-DEVELOPED OVER THIS AREA FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. CURRENTLY, MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 021613Z3 INDICATED THAT THE CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE WILL PROBABLY INTERACT WITH LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WAS LOCATED AT 16.4S1 69.8E3 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2476 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626559-4101>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 16:30:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12054; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10114606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12278 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040830.DAA03460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9fe51200ef78315918a5476b5e28ece Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 630 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 JUST OFFSHORE IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE AREA ITSELF HAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3071 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-4106>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 17:03:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA12922; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10114660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA12900 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040903.EAA03610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 04:03:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6dfcf79be8b7f01eadea65389d7f719d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 135 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 JUST OFFSHORE IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE AREA ITSELF HAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 08:51:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3283 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626639-4101>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:32:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA67636; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10118470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA67588 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041833.NAA07970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c2e1220a6f1b83a3330b1b57b168c17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 417 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 100E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF THAILAND. WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 08:51:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-4101>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:25:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34008; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10119019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44224 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041925.OAA08754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:25:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 145a2d5a8f8504117ca1205d16b7f01c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 644 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 100E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF THAILAND. WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 13:34:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:45:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45088; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10124617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA64262 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050445.XAA18323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:45:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78770297882410f53b63b1ea334678e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 567 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGIDWENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORHH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO TANTTE ANDAMAN SE A. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CPVNMWON WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SQJCVOYOMETER DATA ANE IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAHOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWCUPPER-LEVELOUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. 923;34, ZYE ARSA ITSELIHAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUO SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 VMTPBMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVVBVQMOPT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): 88)-. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAGSDISTURBANCE SKVMARY: NONE. -3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-IS SUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAMAPLUNSFORD/9#,-9,/TIRSCHEL//2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 13:34:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:49:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12214; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10124649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39574 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050450.XAA18341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 23:50:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4dafbb5fb3a33a0a09dbe0706863f3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 608 ABIO10 PGTW 040900 MSGIDWENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040900Z/041800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORHH INDIAN OCSKN ZJEAL(MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO TANTTE ANDAMAN SE A. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CPVNMWON WAS INDICATED BY 031603Z3 SQJCVOYOMETER DATA ANE IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAHOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWCUPPER-LEVELOUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. 923?34, ZYE ARSA ITSELIHAS MAINTAINED NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUO SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 VMTPBMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVVBVQMOPT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): 88)-. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAGSDISTURBANCE SKVMARY: NONE. -3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-IS SUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 1.B.1. FORECAST TEAMAPLUNSFORD/9?,-9,/TIRSCHEL//2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 06 00:50:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-28314>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 00:45:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA33992; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:45:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10130531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:45:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19534 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051644.LAA00423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:44:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Enadmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8a8cf1721cdd42f51ec9460098d7a2b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 132 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGIDLX ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIXICANTPQFVUIAG WMNMGEH AJISORY FOR THE IN2-, OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY POPINSULA WEST TO COAST OFN AFRICA): - NKLTRTPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMJRY: (1) HHE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 98E7 S NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 1#0E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CFONBGAS VERY LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SXPOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF THAILAND. WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED AINDSTEW P ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTEPBPALPXOL.;;3,5 9> - SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICZWWIY QHAIT W P WRI EPPIO RPPMI IRIEPD KIPMEE QPEQQ TOPWP IWIQE IRYKVKPXOTOW EWRYP EXXXX QPWYE WPWEO EPPUI R P QPQ IEO IKBLEEE QPWOR TOPWY IEIQE IQOEP OTEEIV 65599 32360 7//// 10260 20231 30017 40091 85270 333 10301 59023 827Y ITIQNBWUEYPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:19:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3022 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627595-28312>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:12:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA55602; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10131689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12280 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051812.NAA03217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:12:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8237b2be675a58ff92a9571f7bacf3e7 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 414 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 100E1 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:16:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48882; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:17:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:17:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22238 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:17:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:17:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060817.DAA16425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:17:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b8506a6d4a030933d33d167527d314a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 264 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 92.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 91.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2877 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:21:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48832; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:22:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:21:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22188 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:21:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:21:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060821.DAA16453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:21:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a09aea93430a1aa94cc3e693828140e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 333 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 92.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 91.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:27:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48772; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA10354 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060827.DAA16471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:27:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2614c758638934eb68c5c0b449db5dba Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 92.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 91.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626517-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:31:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA64756; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:31:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64702 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:31:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060831.DAA16511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:31:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 217a8da5c74b0925a6057e62be5c5e3f Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 475 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 92.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 91.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:33:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA39246; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:33:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA23356 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:33:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060833.DAA16551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:33:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rvkskh To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46b33078eb62455ccd1d209794e22fa2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 529 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATIONNMBERTY061759Z OCT 98// RVKSKH C>94.3585KWANT TROPNAL CYCLOCOLIS ZPOSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM R ADIUS OF 12.9S2 92.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURBKLAVAILABLE DATA GMES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED OFQCCC,3.5 ;28-22 - 98.3. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30,(,95-. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 91.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-SOATIONARY. .2;;CNNFJPAUIOHOLSYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROIH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEA T RLQCSHOZQJBTYEWKQAU WILL MOSH PIKEWYR REMAINHDIFFCCULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINU TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 05164:+-,0>?# IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48812; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:37:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:37:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA33946 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:37:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060837.DAA16606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:37:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rvkskh To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c302819f899bc8311c6d25c0840349d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATIONNMBERTY061759Z OCT 98// RVKSKH C?94.3585KWANT TROPNAL CYCLOCOLIS ZPOSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM R ADIUS OF 12.9S2 92.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURBKLAVAILABLE DATA GMES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED OFQCCC,3.5 ?28-22 - 98.3. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30,(,95-. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 91.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-SOATIONARY. .2??CNNFJPAUIOHOLSYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROIH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEA T RLQCSHOZQJBTYEWKQAU WILL MOSH PIKEWYR REMAINHDIFFCCULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINU TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 05164:+-,0??? IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626586-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:18:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52656; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA45716 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060918.EAA17003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3493d9fc9940e96582d58146905bb1a5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 297 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 092.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// BT #6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2515 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626648-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA37744; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:34:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:33:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52528 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:33:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060933.EAA17084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:33:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 023352941707844b4188872a604eeff3 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 587 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 092.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// BT ?6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:35:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA37842; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:35:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:35:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17852 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:35:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060935.EAA17103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:35:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db4317ffa12b3365ca3770d806fdbbc9 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/$ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: ;XMBQONSO PL TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF SOOPG POLAR INFLOW. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BT ?6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2634 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:36:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52508; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:36:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52482 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:36:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060936.EAA17107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:36:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8ad1351f108ed5a45939d4b959da794 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 310 NM RADIUS OF 12.9S2 092.5E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF STRONG POLAR INFLOW. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070800Z5.// BT ?6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4176 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626589-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:54:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA63652; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:55:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA57480 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:55:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060955.EAA17236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:55:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 093771bdbe73a1e5ca71ffe5193455d2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/? 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: ?XMBQONSO PL TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF SOOPG POLAR INFLOW. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BT ?6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:58:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54596; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:58:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:58:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA23346 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:58:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060958.EAA17267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:58:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Bpkfktropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a67a37cfc3a5cdab81b42ee9e3cab7a3 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BPKFKTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/? 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTUMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: ?XMBQONSO PL TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLIS ING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS ENIDENCE GU SOOPGHO:64 BT ?6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626741-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:26:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA62380; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:27:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA52378 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:27:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061027.FAA17433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:27:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Bpkfktropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a219141034dcc62560e97068bfcb362e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BPKFKTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/? 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTUMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: ?XMBQONSO PL TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLIS ING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS ENIDENCE GU SOOPGHO:64 BT ?6463 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:31:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA48836; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA62898 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:31:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061031.FAA17460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:31:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Bpkfktropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1c64ca4f550f6eb649a13e6588a6b8d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 466 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BPKFKTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/? 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTUMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: ?XMBQONSO PL TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLIS ING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS ENIDENCE GU SOOPGHO:64 BT ?6463 DUPE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:39:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA63558; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA13620 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061039.FAA17516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Bpkfktropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80a3679972938e7c746d3c4bdf39c3e4 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 590 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BPKFKTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/? 8(7 KORMATION OF A SIGNCFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONA IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTUMATED TONVAP20 TO 30 KNOTS9 OTSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATAS OHAT U CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASPA, IT IS SMWLL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFIKANT U P PER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLIS ING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS ENIDENCE GU SOOPGHO:64 ?6463 C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 19:28:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA43650; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:29:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA48750 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:29:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA17826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:29:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061129.GAA17826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:29:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Bpkfktropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 367217771afffe2e563ea63c2bfe54e5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 420 WTXS21 PGTW 060800 WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS BPKFKTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98// RMKS/? 8(7 KORMATION OF A SIGNCFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONA IS POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTUMATED TONVAP20 TO 30 KNOTS9 OTSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z INDICATAS OHAT U CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG VGMIS9 091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASPA, IT IS SMWLL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFIKANT U P PER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY ZREMOWN DIFFIC IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AIDS IN ESTABLIS ING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS ENIDENCE GU SOOPGHO:64 ?6463 C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627639-9468>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13728; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:57:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10149305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39534 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:56:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061756.MAA27135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:56:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1d19e83347b9baae4d2d9847763874e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 764 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/060759Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 13N4 072E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT FOR 18 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LARGE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED OFF THE WEST COAST OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS AND SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT. ALTHOUGH SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ANIMATED IMAGERY SUGGESTS SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 086E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LARGE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED OFF THE EAST COAST OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN NEAR 11S2 091E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A (WTXS 21 PGTW 060800)). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A 061147Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626634-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA40154; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:24:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10157426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA64382 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:23:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:23:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070423.XAA10922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:23:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 497c655aa869aa2f04118a103f632adc Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 933 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.3S6 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.2S6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 11.2S4 91.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN . THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED ITS LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSI TY ARE BASED ON 070130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LO CATED TO ITS WEST. MODERATE INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626725-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:40:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA53242; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:41:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA53222 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:40:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:40:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070540.AAA11795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:40:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 24 Hours Before Moving Southeastward Under The Influence Of Ridging L To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 372af726f8d1c7811e595b8234021eaa Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING L O CATED TO ITS WEST. MODERATE INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOL //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:41:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17688; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:41:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:41:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA48646 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:41:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:41:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070541.AAA11803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:41:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91dd1a00d4ed627781ac76b65d94b71b Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE MNF2,< 1. TROPICAL 11 ACTIVE TGOPICNCBQYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHE E 7MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE =--,4<;2 WARNING POSITUMV(, 070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6 MOVEM0500-?. ?2/ #974- - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KOUMDAI POSIOION A C CURATE TO WITVPNPVRPDNM POSITION BASAD ON CENTOY LOCNVOGWVXPSATELLITE A MCDSENT KUHNJI YLJIBUTION: I MAX SUSTAINED MWNDL ,?35 KT, GUSTS T KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E FORNALZS: ) 071-00Z0 ---7KYS8 92.0E1. 2(880.-LBPICNI B WPNDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 090 KT ROGWUYUVP 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM R VECTORTO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG / 06 KTS 08#000Z8 --3 12.316#92.9E0 OAX SUSTAINED WICDS - 045 KT, #7-5- 055 A RADIIU O- KP O RADIUS OF 07 KT WWA PTP NM NORTHEAST S VRCLE GVL H N H PCTWNM ELSDCXOYE VS?1 99 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 0 HUPEXTENDOGLOUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALIB ATNN 090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 2-RT KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDST- 0551NM NORTHEAST BEQCUCCLE 045 NM ELSEVGERE MQI AAA REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 11.2S4 917E7. TJOPICAL KYCLONE XS IS QUASI-STATIONOYY IVLTVE SOUTHERN INDUAN OCEAXW . THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPRTVED ITS LOW-LEVET ORGANIZATION IN SPITQ OF CONT NPNGLUPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE WARNING PSITION AND INTEN I TY ARE BASED ON 070130Z VISQXBE SATELLITE IMAGE YM THE SZSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMOWN QUASI-STATIWEBO. MOOYATE INT ENSIFICATIONMQS FORECAST AS THE R STEM CONTINQZU TO COMSOL NCNNV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1264 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:42:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46398; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:42:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:42:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA48684 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:42:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:42:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070542.AAA11819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:42:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4afd0af1aed9603bc1e3db25233400c2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.3S6 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.2S6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 11.2S4 91.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN . THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED ITS LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENS I TY ARE BASED ON 070130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:53:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39532; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA48698 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070554.AAA11860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b315d86b825bc7a34f212b2dfd7bfe1 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 407 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9721 UNCLAS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:53:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39514; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39484 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070554.AAA11858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56c1b3b609b53b19b3bcd6d2c5dc62ff Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9721 UNCLAS BT UNCLAS //N03145// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:53:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39554; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA52304 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070554.AAA11866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:54:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 103030a5bde64d7e522dfbae2c76d267 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9721 UNCLAS SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9721 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.3S6 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.2S6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9721 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 11.2S4 91.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED ITS LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 070130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO ITS WEST. MODERATE INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND ORGANIZE AT MID- AND UPPER- LEVELS. INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE LATER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE HINDERED BY INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060759Z7 OCT 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 060800). NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// BT #9721 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626708-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:52:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39038; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:52:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10161402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:52:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12136 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:52:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071352.IAA16851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:52:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6309c2ebcc4ae2ca792c808bb2299fc8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 WTXS31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 12.0S3 93.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 93.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.1S5 95.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.2S7 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.3S9 97.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.6S3 98.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 12.3S6 94.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 071143Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON 070600Z3 SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOWING 25 KNOT (INTERPOLATED FROM TEN-MINUTE AVERAGES) WINDS WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE SYSTEM=S CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S IS BEGINNING TO EXPERIENCE SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE PASSAGE OF THIS TROUGH AND THE FORECASTED MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080155Z9) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 22:47:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39976; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:47:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10162244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:47:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA53010 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:47:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071447.JAA18278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:47:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f25117074a5e0a081a831eef8f4dd1a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 838 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1006 UNCLAS SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1006 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.3S6 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.2S6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1006 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4568 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627664-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 22:47:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA40086; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:48:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10162256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26756 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:48:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:48:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071448.JAA18291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:48:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7dba6d2c19688fc5228108a8c5d6269 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 890 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1006 UNCLAS SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1006 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.3S6 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.2S6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1006 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 11.2S4 91.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED ITS LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 070130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO ITS WEST. MODERATE INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND ORGANIZE AT MID- AND UPPER- LEVELS. INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE LATER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE HINDERED BY INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060759Z7 OCT 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 060800). NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// BT #1006 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-14067>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:39:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24556; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10164600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52688 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071740.MAA24217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:40:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca2887352a18eec2b75af7398b16df5e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 159 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/071355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WAS LOCATED AT 12.0S3 093.9E1, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 072E9 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 069E5. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING WITH SHEAR OCCURRING OVER THE SYSTEM. WIND SHEAR CHARTS FORECAST THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO LESSEN OVER THE SYSTEM AFTER 24 HOURS AND SO THE POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT EXISTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD CIRCULATION REMAINS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA IS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A HIGH WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE, THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 091E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 094E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627684-14059>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:52:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52314; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10164879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA58632 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071752.MAA24641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:52:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7df5a9340b737aa55efd24a896f5ce41 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 290 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/071355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WAS LOCATED AT 12.0S3 093.9E1, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 072E9 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 069E5. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING WITH SHEAR OCCURRING OVER THE SYSTEM. WIND SHEAR CHARTS FORECAST THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO LESSEN OVER THE SYSTEM AFTER 24 HOURS AND SO THE POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT EXISTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD CIRCULATION REMAINS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA IS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A HIGH WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE, THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 091E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 094E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:15:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13656; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:16:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10170799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:16:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52292 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:16:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:16:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080216.VAA07610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:16:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac5ffebcbb70a56bb64a11bdc66bba47 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.0S5 95.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 95.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.1S8 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.4S3 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.8S0 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.5S0 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5S0 95.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 03S HAS BEEN GOVERNED BY THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TC 03S IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFY TC 03S WITH BOTH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ACCELERATED MOTION, SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENING TC 03S. THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD FURTHER INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S AS WELL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627161-16793>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 14:48:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54568; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:48:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA48662 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:48:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:48:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080648.BAA10479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:48:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 185c333b8abfc6c61fd1c0f26326cb7d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.0S5 95.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 95.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.1S8 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.4S3 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.8S0 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.5S0 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5S0 95.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 03S HAS BEEN GOVERNED BY THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TC 03S IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFY TC 03S WITH BOTH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ACCELERATED MOTION, SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENING TC 03S. THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD FURTHER INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S AS WELL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0).// BT #3880 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627208-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:55:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40978; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:55:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:55:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA46590 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:55:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:55:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080755.CAA10979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:55:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ff6e3307831b802758bf0972f3fcb60 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 630 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.0S5 95.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 95.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.1S8 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.4S3 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.8S0 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.5S0 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5S0 95.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 03S HAS BEEN GOVERNED BY THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TC 03S IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFY TC 03S WITH BOTH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ACCELERATED MOTION, SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENING TC 03S. THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD FURTHER INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S AS WELL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0).// BT ?3880 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1540 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627200-16793>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:59:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA37840; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 03:00:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA37778 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080759.CAA10997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f2a46d061cefc58f0c18ccd91632819 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 670 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.0S5 95.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 95.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.1S8 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.4S3 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.8S0 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.5S0 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5S0 95.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 03S HAS BEEN GOVERNED BY THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627300-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:59:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA37874; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 03:00:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 03:00:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA37786 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080759.CAA11001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:59:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Infrared And Water Vapor Imagery Shows Tc 03s Is To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15cf394323d3530f44bea46252c72f3b Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TC 03S IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFY TC 03S WITH BOTH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ACCELERATED MOTION, SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENING TC 03S. THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD FURTHER INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S AS WELL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3880 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0).// BT ?3880 //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:15:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA45658; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:15:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10174350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:15:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA53062 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:15:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:15:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081215.HAA13752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:15:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa796d4a27d58bc9b6c6f444633178e5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 056 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.0S5 95.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 95.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4763 UNCLAS 081200Z1 --- 16.1S8 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.4S3 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.8S0 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.5S0 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4763 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5S0 95.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 03S HAS BEEN GOVERNED BY THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TC 03S IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFY TC 03S WITH BOTH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ACCELERATED MOTION, SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENING TC 03S. THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD FURTHER INHIBIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S AS WELL. THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4763 UNCLAS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0).// BT #4763 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627371-16793>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 22:30:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA53070; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:31:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10175551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA10338 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:30:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA16469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081430.JAA16469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:30:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 022d735dacfbca4fb38792823100dc46 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 382 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.1S7 95.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 95.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.5S2 95.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.8S6 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.0S0 97.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.1S3 99.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.4S0 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON THE 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND INTENSIFIED FROM 35 TO A 45 KNOT SYSTEM. SATELLITE ANIMATION OF INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE AREAS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER ALLOWING IT TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UNIV. OF WISCONSIN WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AS THE TAIL END OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITS THE AREA. TC 03S SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD IT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE FORWARD MOTION AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE WESTERLIES. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES FURTHER SOUTH INTO A GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. AS SUCH, THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627821-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 22:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA16814; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:55:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10175884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23080 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:54:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:54:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081454.JAA17131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:54:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b7bd0e67ba856c5b5201bd08bc100e0 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.1S7 95.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 09 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5165 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 95.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.5S2 95.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.8S6 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5165 UNCLAS 100000Z1 --- 19.0S0 97.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.1S3 99.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.4S0 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON THE 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND INTENSIFIED FROM 35 TO A 45 KNOT SYSTEM. SATELLITE ANIMATION OF INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5165 UNCLAS AREAS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER ALLOWING IT TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UNIV. OF WISCONSIN WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AS THE TAIL END OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITS THE AREA. TC 03S SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD IT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE FORWARD MOTION AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE WESTERLIES. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES FURTHER SOUTH INTO A GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. AS SUCH, THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3).// BT #5165 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627853-16793>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:53:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA64436; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:53:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10176533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA57504 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:53:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:53:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081553.KAA18798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:53:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4eb06974f13f2371eda78f7e2c8a143 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.1S7 95.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 95.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.5S2 95.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.8S6 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.0S0 97.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.1S3 99.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.4S0 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON THE 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND INTENSIFIED FROM 35 TO A 45 KNOT SYSTEM. SATELLITE ANIMATION OF INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE AREAS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER ALLOWING IT TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UNIV. OF WISCONSIN WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AS THE TAIL END OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITS THE AREA. TC 03S SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD IT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE FORWARD MOTION AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE WESTERLIES. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES FURTHER SOUTH INTO A GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. AS SUCH, THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627856-16794>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:58:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA16742; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:58:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10176573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:58:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA37714 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:58:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:58:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081558.KAA18957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:58:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Imagery Indicate The System Has Moved In Between Two High Pressure To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07a7ecdf26f119ac63777b712759cacf Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 45 KNOT SYSTEM. SATELLITE ANIMATION OF INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE AREAS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER ALLOWING IT TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UNIV. OF WISCONSIN WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AS THE TAIL END OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITS THE AREA. TC 03S SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD IT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE FORWARD MOTION AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE WESTERLIES. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES FURTHER SOUTH INTO A GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. AS SUCH, THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3).// //END OF PART 02/02// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627851-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:59:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA57596; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:59:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10176578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:59:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA16860 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:59:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:59:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081559.KAA18987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:59:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e99965a7aec1b5b1f07ffea4dbb5334c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.1S7 95.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 95.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.5S2 95.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.8S6 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.0S0 97.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.1S3 99.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.4S0 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON THE 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND INTENSIFIED FROM 35 TO A //END OF PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627844-16790>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 00:20:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA59220; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:21:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10176738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:21:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA34008 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:20:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081620.LAA19760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:20:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 8 01 Activeitropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d4674748161f8b0ed9761bfd9d5d853 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 146 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICALMLONS 03S WARNICGINR V04 8 01 ACTIVEITROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE O MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASE)9: 9,3-MINUTE AERAGE WARNINGLPOSITION: 081200;(70 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627601-16796>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:33:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA59338; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10178095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16798 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081813.NAA23524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:13:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d4b4b7702019bcc59bd896cc3815f4c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 357 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/080029Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/081355Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 69E5 IS NOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR 13N4 70E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (081422Z7) AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION AROUND THE OUTER EDGES. SHIP OBSERVATIONS (080600Z4) REPORTED 30 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION WERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STRONGEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (TCFA) SEE REFERENCE A FOR TCFA DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (TC 03S)WAS LOCATED AT 15.1S7 095.3E7, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626755-26109>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 10:36:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15632; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:19:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA24324 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:19:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:19:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090219.VAA05339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:19:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: efa067d5d13dbf6cf967459dbee2e6ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 952 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.1S7 95.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION0> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 10:53:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63778; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:40:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:40:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15638 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:40:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:40:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090240.VAA05609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:40:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5799dec6e9f120052918ad45c1c7308 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 327 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POS 8 090000Z9 --- 17.5S3 96.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 96.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.6S6 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 21.7S0 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 23.4S9 101.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.4S0 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 18.0S9 96.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON THE 082330Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE AN AREA OF GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AS A RESULT OF THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITING THE AREA. TC 03S (ZELIA)IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE STRONG WESTERLIES. TC 03S (ZELIA) IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT EXPERIENCES INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 100300Z4 (DTG100155Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 12:46:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39174; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:27:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA57594 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:27:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090427.XAA06871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:27:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bfc4a1eb3ee099c1582dd6bd97349f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 17.5S3 96.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 13 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7453 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 96.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.6S6 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 21.7S0 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7453 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 23.4S9 101.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.4S0 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 18.0S9 96.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON THE 082330Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7453 UNCLAS AN AREA OF GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AS A RESULT OF THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITING THE AREA. TC 03S (ZELIA)IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE STRONG WESTERLIES. TC 03S (ZELIA) IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT EXPERIENCES INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 100300Z4 (DTG100155Z2).// BT #7453 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627371-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 22:22:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54928; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52348 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810091400.JAA00923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fd13ad204110834a36ed3c4b99d47e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 079 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 14.5S0 96.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 96.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.8S3 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.4S0 97.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0S7 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5S2 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 14.6S1 96.6E1. THE POSITION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) HAS BEEN RELOCATED. RELOCATION WAS DUE TO EXTENSIVE SHEARING OCCURRING OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (WARNING POSITION) IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 230NM NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TC 03S HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED (091130Z4) AND MICROWAVE (091122Z5) SATELLITE ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SUDDEN SHIFT, BETWEEN 081800Z7-081900Z8, IN THE TRACK AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR INCREASED SEPARATING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING MORE SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TC 03S SHOULD BEGIN MOVING WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD. FORWARD MOTION SHOULD SLOW AS TC 03S BEGINS TRANSITIONING BETWEEN THE STEERING REGIMES. AS TC 03S REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL SYSTEM AND CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED, THE INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TC 03S SHOULD DROP BELOW WARNING CRITERIA (35 KTS) IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627141-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 22:29:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA37806; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:11:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:11:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA67234 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:11:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810091411.JAA02014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:11:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11030d77b4a29f9029dc7267cc77f2c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 14.5S0 96.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 96.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.8S3 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.4S0 97.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0S7 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5S2 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 14.6S1 96.6E1. THE POSITION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) HAS BEEN RELOCATED. RELOCATION WAS DUE TO EXTENSIVE SHEARING OCCURRING OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (WARNING POSITION) IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 230NM NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TC 03S HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED (091130Z4) AND MICROWAVE (091122Z5) SATELLITE ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SUDDEN SHIFT, BETWEEN 082100Z1-090300Z2, IN THE TRACK AS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR INCREASED SEPARATING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING MORE SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TC 03S SHOULD BEGIN MOVING WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD. FORWARD MOTION SHOULD SLOW AS TC 03S BEGINS TRANSITIONING BETWEEN THE STEERING REGIMES. AS TC 03S REMAINS A LOW-LEVEL SYSTEM AND CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED, THE INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TC 03S SHOULD DROP BELOW WARNING CRITERIA (35 KTS) IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-28865>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:49:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30254; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:20:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:20:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA48050 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810101919.OAA18735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:19:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b594f139e151eccc77d04b59022f178 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 058 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/101355Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 70E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF INDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICCYCO FORMATION ALERT (TCFA) SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6S0 95.4E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOURS. SEE REF B FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-28859>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 04:03:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA37826; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA39598 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810101935.OAA18877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:35:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7b0a95c9baadf25ff81cab93ac238a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 211 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/101355Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 70E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF INDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICCYCO FORMATION ALERT (TCFA) SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (ZELIA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6S0 95.4E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOURS. SEE REF B FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627365-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 13:30:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59742; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:10:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:10:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA52588 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:07:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:07:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110507.AAA23211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:07:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Vpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af0f91fd7a3a428c2d48194b773239d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 123 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMINHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OCEAN/10UPVZ/111800Z OCT 98OLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQETTZ OCT 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: CONE. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATEDO TO BE 100< MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN HHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOQT ORICCFV8::6:9 >94.-589, -)345 (TCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. # (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXIGJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627042-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 13:37:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39638; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:22:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:22:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26532 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:22:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:21:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110521.AAA23369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:21:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Vpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4029775a12a3642a3f335708cf3fb4da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 271 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMINHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OCEAN/10UPVZ/111800Z OCT 98OLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQETTZ OCT 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: CONE. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDED IN THIS BROAD AREA OF MONSOON TROUGHING WEST OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TO REMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATEDO TO BE 100? MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN HHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOQT ORICCFV8::6:9 ?94.-589, -)345 (TCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. ? (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXIGJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:57:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15746; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:40:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:40:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26718 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111638.LAA26655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Vsgid/genadmimhfn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af80602231f27fd6d3b27be386ec52b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 705 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 CO VSGID/GENADMIMHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OVON(UQUPVZ/111800Z TCTPOIOLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQSOTZ OC 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. THOPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: COMA. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102;+4 MICROAVE IMAGER PAPS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDEX ZH THIS BROAD AFEA OF MONSOON TROUGHINX WES OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WAER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TOSREMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEA. MIIMUM KCSTAINED WIMGBLARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSUYMBIS OBOIMATEDO TO BE 108? MB. THEOPOTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOIMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN YHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOUCBMRICCFVICCYCO BORMATION JLERT KTCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. ? (2) XO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH IND AN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXILJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4994 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627493-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 01:16:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA43656; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:59:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:59:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55676 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111650.LAA26728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Vsgid/genadmimhfn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f05b979bd10800ad8bfba10d1524bfd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 884 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 VSGID/GENADMIMHFN VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROIINA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE IFGWBP OVON(UQUPVZ/111800Z TCTPOIOLREF/A/RMG/NAVPNAETOCCEN WEST/100029Z OCT 98// REF//RMG/NAVPACMETOCCENHWEST/PQSOTZ OC 98// RMKS/ AFRUI WN A. THOPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: COMA. NOW LOCATED NEA HQEN4 72E9. A 100102?+4 MICROAVE IMAGER PAPS SHOWS MULTIPTENITAIONS ARE EMBEDDEX ZH THIS BROAD AFEA OF MONSOON TROUGHINX WES OF IMDIA. SHEAR CHARTS AS WELL AS ANPMGH INFRARED AND WAER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THE JCZA CONTINUES TOSREMAIN UNDER MODE TEVERTICAL WIND SHEA. MIIMUM KCSTAINED WIMGBLARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 OATS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSUYMBIS OBOIMATEDO TO BE 108? MB. THEOPOTENTIAL FOR SIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOIMENT TO OCCUR WUTHIN YHE M-224 HOURS IS GOOE9 THIS SUSPECT AREA IS THE SCVFOUCBMRICCFVICCYCO BORMATION JLERT KTCFA) SEE REP A FOR FURTHERDETAILS. ? (2) XO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH IND AN OCNN-43- (135E9 WEST TT COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLO E SUOMTWESTQARD A 7 KNOTSKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS FORECAST T.WAKOP AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOUCVK SEE REF BIAR THE FINAL WAR ING ON THIS UMXOEM. (2)XOLVSXILJOPICAL CYLMNABK FORECAST TEAMWC SMITH/PATTERSON/HALL//5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627661-22732>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:15:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04140; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10191533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39174 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111755.MAA27312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:55:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eafd2fbe392fc07859cdba11ba3e3a2c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 949 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13N4 72E9 HAS DISSIPATED. A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED LOCATED NEAR 15N6 65E1. THIS AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 10 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CYCLONIC TURNING. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY ANIMATION AND SHEAR CHARTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4163 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-22733>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:22:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04330; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10191544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA04312 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111759.MAA27347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:59:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e4408e5a638587612e9576f6a6ddd6d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 012 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 13N4 72E9 HAS DISSIPATED. A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED LOCATED NEAR 15N6 65E1. THIS AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 10 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CYCLONIC TURNING. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY ANIMATION AND SHEAR CHARTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 03:45:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627757-6148>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:50:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26386; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10204535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26368 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121733.MAA12105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0ece2af89ec77c30c62d05800d45c95 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 215 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 15N6 65E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 62E8. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1754 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627994-11330>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:21:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15140; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10219559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30728 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131821.NAA07727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:21:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e279ae596cf2582e138ac66bb1da2b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 314 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 15N6 62E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 66E2. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 82E0 JUST OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. 131200Z7 SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 02:32:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628323-23190>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:24:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18732; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10234518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18926 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141824.NAA02418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:24:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 624bad2d382d0e9c19074b26351e45a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 435 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 66E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 62E8. THIS AREA REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN QUITE SPORADIC OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 82E0 JUST OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. 141200Z8 SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628334-23190>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:25:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA04304; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:26:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10235154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:26:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA43604 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:24:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:24:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141924.OAA04153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:24:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a89a17d15bb63717789b32ebf71a19b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 619 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 66E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 62E8. THIS AREA REMAINS WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN QUITE SPORADIC OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 82E0 JUST OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS INDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. 141200Z8 SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 13:27:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-16748>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 13:09:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59754; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:09:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA18724 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:05:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:05:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150505.AAA13411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:05:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significannxkopin To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6148168785fefe841c9b6db85757934 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 491 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGIKKGENADMIN/CCPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANNXKOPIN WEATHER DVISORY FOR OHE INDIAN FZOCEAN/141880Z.151800MLOCT 98// YMKS/ 1. NMRTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAS OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BO THE BROAD MONSOON OUGHING EXTENDINGNKVTHE NORTHERN RABIAN SEA ACROSS ,8,59 5#3 ?-6 9> ?9<-). ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-VEEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS AN IATED INFRPFOGLIMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEM QUITE SPORADIC OVEC THE PAST 12 HOURS.-MAXIMUM SUSTAINED INDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MNIMUM SA LEVEL PRESSURE IS JICIATED O BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ISX994. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOASLY LOCMMMGLNEAR 10,6 82E0 IS NOW LOCUTED NEAR 16N7 82E0 .=7-5 9>> 5#3 3--535, :9--- 9> 8,$8-. THE NONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS NFDWSTED FOR THE POL24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENFINL FROM VGE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS KNDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENO L. 1412 Z SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHXW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATSLLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPECFBOO BE INHIBITQNG DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 GWSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICA DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECASTTEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 13:27:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626006-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 13:11:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62964; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:12:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:12:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA37748 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:11:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150511.AAA13583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:11:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significannxkopin To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3827e7573242c9abef70594f23392e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 686 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGIKKGENADMIN/CCPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANNXKOPIN WEATHER DVISORY FOR OHE INDIAN FZOCEAN/141880Z.151800MLOCT 98// YMKS/ 1. NMRTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAS OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BO THE BROAD MONSOON OUGHING EXTENDINGNKVTHE NORTHERN RABIAN SEA ACROSS ,8,59 5?3 ?-6 9? ?9?-). ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SOME ORGANIZATION BUT NO DISCERNABLE LOW-VEEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS AN IATED INFRPFOGLIMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEM QUITE SPORADIC OVEC THE PAST 12 HOURS.-MAXIMUM SUSTAINED INDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MNIMUM SA LEVEL PRESSURE IS JICIATED O BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ISX994. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOASLY LOCMMMGLNEAR 10,6 82E0 IS NOW LOCUTED NEAR 16N7 82E0 .=7-5 9?? 5?3 3--535, :9--- 9? 8,?8-. THE NONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS NFDWSTED FOR THE POL24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGHING EXTENFINL FROM VGE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA ACROSS KNDIA INTO THE BAY OF BENO L. 1412 Z SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHXW EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATSLLITE IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. LAND EFFECTS APPECFBOO BE INHIBITQNG DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 GWSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICA DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECASTTEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628845-17769>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:30:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA48742; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA48724 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161815.NAA17543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:15:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a140b9d23f4a51faa5e0d129a9c75c4f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 948 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 068.6E0 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 64E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628868-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:55:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30766; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:35:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:35:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA38670 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:32:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161832.NAA17972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:32:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 165b0bf0d445abe91d52961a9e4ff06d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 691 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161355Z OCT 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 068.6E0 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 64E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627325-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:22:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA63840; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:02:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63824 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181801.NAA10570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eaf6cb774675deca2199501bc11c9fa7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 820 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1807 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:26:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA30902; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63914 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181810.NAA10615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:10:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56750c67f4b6243dba5210e7cc71669d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 903 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628889-27949>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40538; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:57:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAB09954 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191756.MAA00623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bf970bf2feaeee6083e90be766d829d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 425 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-27949>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09806; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17710 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191817.NAA01334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:17:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f8331cf8416508f08b595824affcb21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 884 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629002-2049>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:51:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15652; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10330917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA39412 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201809.NAA26359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:09:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 620056ba6950ae3e3d441b29c72f1154 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 578 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628991-2048>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:18:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA56786; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:52:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10331278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA64676 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:51:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201851.NAA27572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:51:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3be16f35ef6fb9db14c263d367c01ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 671 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 16:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626757-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24586; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:59:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:59:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44286 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:59:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:59:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210659.BAA10353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:59:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a6d79177f3989bb08ca021cc90eeb91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 WTXS21 PGTW 210700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210651Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 175 NM RADIUS OF 8.7S5 104.7E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 210330Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 104.5E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS, BUT HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 20 KNOT SHIP REPORT WITHIN 5 DEGREES OF THE LOW- LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS OUTFLOW ABOVE THE CONVECTION IS GOOD. HOWEVER, UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220700Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 16:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3568 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627200-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:29:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53208; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:03:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA48844 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:03:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:03:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210703.CAA10549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:03:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab5773460e5425e39b8dba44952d4d55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 398 WTXS21 PGTW 210700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210651Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 175 NM RADIUS OF 8.7S5 104.7E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 210330Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 104.5E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS, BUT HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 20 KNOT SHIP REPORT WITHIN 5 DEGREES OF THE LOW- LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS OUTFLOW ABOVE THE CONVECTION IS GOOD. HOWEVER, UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220700Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 16:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-7236>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:31:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39382; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:10:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:10:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53194 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:10:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:10:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210710.CAA10583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:10:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e4f3e1180f02123abdcb8261c10a57f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 WTXS21 PGTW 210700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210651Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 175 NM RADIUS OF 8.7S5 104.7E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 210330Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 104.5E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS, BUT HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 20 KNOT SHIP REPORT WITHIN 5 DEGREES OF THE LOW- LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS OUTFLOW ABOVE THE CONVECTION IS GOOD. HOWEVER, UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220700Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:25:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627385-7238>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:22:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA35284; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10349735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12984 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211852.NAA24449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:52:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4a174f27b7fa9ca5ce0cf196ff31771 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 277 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210651Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6. ALTHOUGH THE LATEST INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS NO ASSOCIATED ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE PRODUCED. THIS AREA MAY BE EXPERIENCING A TEMPORARY WEAKENING. NEARBY PRESSURES REMAIN LOW AND UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW). SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 15:45:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-23064>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:26:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40560; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:09:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10360791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:09:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30558 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:09:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220709.CAA05729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:09:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/210651z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d2e421c2d5108ea275f808616a0b54b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTXS21 PGTW 220700 CANCELLATION 220651Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 210700)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO UNDERGO SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE. THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE CLUSTER HAS ALSO BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 03:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627908-18241>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:52:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAB14542; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10369979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA45744 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221830.NAA17557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe0830e1835cb4edacbc68dd20ea059e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 641 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTXS21 PGTW 220700)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW) AND HAS SINCE BEEN CANCELLED. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 03:55:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4624 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627908-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:46:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52960; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:27:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10371133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52584 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:26:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:26:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221926.OAA19084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:26:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ccc1a421d51518b765e463d8e2ecf9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 012 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTXS21 PGTW 220700)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW) AND HAS SINCE BEEN CANCELLED. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2687 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626679-6318>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 12:46:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44374; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44330 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230446.XAA27257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:46:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e78ceae36d4f2753dfc295d70e83885 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 025 ABIO10 PGTW 230500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230500Z/231800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6S6 75E2, JUST NORTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. 221752Z9 SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN INTENSITY OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. 222100Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626985-6323>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 12:51:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54174; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44408 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230451.XAA27276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2652fee54ce39283b551b41fe63728f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 077 ABIO10 PGTW 230500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230500Z/231800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6S6 75E2, JUST NORTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. 221752Z9 SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN INTENSITY OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. 222100Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 17:11:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24780; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:51:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63894 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230750.CAA28380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:50:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d450290c2c9b05541eb6d593c0364efe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 533 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220651Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICNCBQYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTXS21 PGTW 220700)// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMNFXKAPNONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09S9 105E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW) AND HAS SINCE BEEN CANCELLED. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NOO 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCYE // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-2909>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA37648; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:34:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10388076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA50172 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:33:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231833.NAA08453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94e09cc5cb505f0fdad0e258c0c4c505 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 986 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 75E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. 231414Z5 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA IS SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION BY A DISTANCE OF APPROXIMATELY 90NM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627536-2904>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:26:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA04236; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:27:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10388784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA39514 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231926.OAA10108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:26:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35f5d7c6cce80d66dcd913b9a7a8a36f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 343 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 75E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. 231414Z5 MICROWAVE SATEDLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA IS SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION BY A DISTANCE OF APPROXIMATELY 90NM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627706-8407>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:29:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16970; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10402835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22330 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241816.NAA23096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:16:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec456a687c9ef5c5cdd845a485762681 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 930 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2S2 83E1. ANIMATED AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OFNHD TK REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628025-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:21:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA17026; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22386 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241905.OAA23855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:05:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63a2fcc4c79e68745e15286d301ab0aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 219 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2S2 83E1. ANIMATED AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OFNHD TK REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CONDITIONS ALOFT TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 03:51:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627612-27946>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 03:45:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA40058; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10417969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA65092 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251935.NAA07371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:35:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1b3d3efa408efd5f3867f906935ffe7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 355 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2S2 83E1 IS NOW DISSIPATED INTO A BROAD AREA OF SHALLOW CONVECTION. A 251448Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. ANIMATED AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES NO SUSTAINED DEEP CONVECTION AS WELL AS UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR OVER THE AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627964-26676>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:19:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA113944; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10432156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA65454 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261801.MAA25922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:01:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20d39828b3c0f89fcba8fc6d2900253d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 334 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 13N4 88E6. ALTHOUGH A 261435Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATED NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA SYNOPTICALLY ANALYZED FOR CYCLONIC VORTICITY. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES ONLY SOME DIVERGENCE WITHIN THE MODERATELY SHEARING EASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628359-24216>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 02:22:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09764; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:23:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10450012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31970 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271822.MAA24281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:22:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce5bd00e1f5f0b84b12120c41a78a637 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 421 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 85E3. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH 271435Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IS EVIDENT IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 15:11:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627942-17703>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 14:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32614; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10458837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA59956 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280645.AAA08351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:45:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16e3e508bb2f2884fb1a9f6f4deef758 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 569 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 85E3. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH 271435Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IS EVIDENT IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 08:50:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628356-21674>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:26:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA55518; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10464397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA115106 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281726.LAA17676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:26:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5bb7f097e37c55de406281317abd2ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 155 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 85E3. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED WHILE THE OVERALL BROAD CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ELONGATED. 281306Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO BE INHIBITING ITS DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 92E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. 281424Z1 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO BE STRONG IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:52:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628730-11722>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 02:40:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA66874; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:39:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10480654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:38:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA55422 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:36:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:36:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291836.MAA12831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 12:36:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9795c0e1f6f6d86610c0ff24cf06f1f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 209 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 85E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 83E1. 291208Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED LITTLE EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE WEST ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS HINDERING OUTFLOW TO THE EAST. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED OVER THE COASTLINE OF EASTERN INDIA. UN-OFFICIAL SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM OFF-SHORE PLATFORMS SUGGEST SHORT DURATION WINDS TO BE NEAR 35 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SHORE STATIONS IN THE AREA INDICATE A MAX OF 20 KNOTS SUSTAINED. PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR, IN CONJUNCTION WITH EXPECTED INCREASED LAND INTERACTION, SHOULD HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, IF THE SYSTEM STALLS, THE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF LAND MAY BE MINIMIZED. THIS IS THE PRIMARY REASON FOR KEEPING THIS DISTURBANCE CATAGORIZED AS A =FAIR= SUSPECT AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 92E1 HAS DISSIPATED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AND NON-PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09S9 086E4. ALTHOUGH THIS CONVECTION HAS ONLY PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 6 HOURS, A 291208Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES FAIRLY ORGANIZED ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL INFLOW FEATURES. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 16:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627284-18568>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 15:09:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA101932; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA65282 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300709.BAA24706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:09:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4dc7db7e529d6c82115e64b295297f0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 447 ABIO10 PGTW 300700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/300700Z/301800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 83E1 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 15N7 83E0 WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS IN THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. A 300137Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. BOTH ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS IN A MODERATE-TO- STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED 90 NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA AND IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 96E5. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT, HOWEVER THIS CONVECTION IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 86E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 82E0. A 291208Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES FAIRLY ORGANIZED ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL INFLOW FEATURES. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE AND THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 04:55:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628852-18261>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 02:17:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18726; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:18:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10494566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA120832 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301817.MAA03642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:17:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b25247d062b0da37c81727be832ccf8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 135 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 83E1 HAS SHEARED OFF AND MOVED OVER LAND WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, A 301156Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THAT THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL STRUCTURE PRODUCING THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE LOCATED NEAR 16N7 081E9. WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, MODERATE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO HINDER ANY PERSISTENT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 96E5 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 82E0. A 301156Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA REMAINS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628075-6975>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:47:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA48226; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:47:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10534279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26132 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021746.LAA16123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 11:46:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecc5664c81fca3ca6488cc41ab368cea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 983 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 82E0 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. 021339Z8 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 102E3 HAS DISSIPATED. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629078-4233>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:43:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA42652; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10555615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA64594 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031943.NAA13880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ef1d2940417787b8bad8eff0ae48638 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 282 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 80E8. THE CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY EXIST OFFSHORE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 71E8 IN THE ARABIAN SEA AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD OFFSHORE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629107-4233>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 05:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44156; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:54:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10557387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:54:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA48194 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:54:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:53:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811032153.PAA17267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:53:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e412f61298a71fc987542a5fbc0fa2de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 017 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 82E0 Q LOW LOBAL? FDP3M 80E8. THE CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTI8D AHAA29O?DRP,TPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY EXIST OFFSHORE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 71E8 IN THE ARABIAN SEA AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD OFFSHORE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 04:57:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628029-14422>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20910; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10573657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24120 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041722.LAA03893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 11:22:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0469b99464cb4619c12f1ac7bfafb03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 954 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 80E8 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 68E4. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN AREA, BUT REMAINS IN A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 85E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION 0F WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-3778>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 10:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52192; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:37:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10600318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA52164 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060236.UAA11760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 20:36:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a4dd201c93f35ccdc09b879610afcd2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 241 ABIO10 PGTW 060200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/060200Z/061800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 81E9. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 10 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED APPROXIMATELY 100NM OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM COASTAL REPORTING STATIONS CONCUR WITH THE SATELLITE POSITION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9S9 92E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION EXIST WITHIN A REGION OF LARGE SCALE TROUGHING. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1667 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628725-21889>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:57:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33642; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10617649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA23612 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA05196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070957.DAA05196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4d01ff52be7afbb409208059716a746 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 680 ABIO10 PGTW 071000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071000Z/071800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 80E8 IS NOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. A 062313Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS A LARGE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. A 070337Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS CONFIRMS A LARGE ELONGATED CIRCULATION, AND SHOWS THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE STILL LOCATED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629429-21897>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:27:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA94630; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10621243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23652 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071727.LAA08185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:27:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fcce5cf7ab0ba9db3007c38c218caa5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 681 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 80E8 IS NOW LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT. A 071231Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTIVE BANDS CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 95E4. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS MOVED WESTWARD INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING, HOWEVER MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS NO ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 13:40:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA107462; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 23:40:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10629860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 23:40:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA38576 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 23:40:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 23:40:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080540.XAA15696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 23:40:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 080559z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f563fd2196f892bd8bd81ccb2947c9ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 378 WTXS21 PGTW 080600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080559Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.4S6 99.7E5 TO 15.6S2 97.4E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080230Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 99.0E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, 072300Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AS WELL. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SINCE THE CONDITIONS ALOFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 20:45:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:29:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA111258; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:30:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA58168 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081129.FAA17974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:29:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9769fb030b9887c1762fe286dce5e84b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 733 ABIO10 PGTW 081100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081100Z/081800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF OF INDIA INTO THE ARABIAN SEA AND IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 071752Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 95E4. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS MOVED WESTWARD INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING, HOWEVER MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS NO ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT. A 071231Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTIVE BANDS CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD FAIR SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 21:36:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627373-18139>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 21:29:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA112464; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:30:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA79368 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:29:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:29:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081329.HAA18676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:29:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1285bcf147726de65ebf43b599d2fb9b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 972 WTXS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 11.8S0 98.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 98.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.2S5 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.7S0 96.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 13.3S7 95.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 13.9S3 94.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 11.9S1 98.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN AND IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 081130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY CLIMATOLOGICALLY AT ONE DVORAK T-NUMBER PER DAY AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080948Z NOVEMBER 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 080600).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 21:50:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 21:38:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA112454; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:39:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:39:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA114996 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:39:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:39:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081339.HAA18745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:39:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 007f34cc5f60659bfa01646ea92ef3fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 WTXS31 PGTW 081400 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISONL WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MI UTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 11.8SJP OIMWE9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREAVL06 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 02:24:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627734-18143>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23616; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10634261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23576 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081750.LAA20559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:50:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ad75bc3435c99df240ae9b4c4dec86b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 778 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 68E4. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CURVATURE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 071752Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A 081359Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 96E5 AND HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED AT 11.8S0 98.2E9 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 99E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 05:00:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4923 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627661-18144>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 04:38:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33670; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:39:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10635967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:37:38 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64660 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:33:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13747 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:33:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:31:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811082031.OAA21924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:31:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04s (alison) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c21a95ed2a760d5cc55c34a1bcac08b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 923 WTXS31 PGTW 082100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 13.1S5 97.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 97.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.2S7 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.3S9 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.4S1 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.5S3 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 13.4S8 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS FROM PGTW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. 081730Z9 INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED CLOUD TOP COOLING AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH A SUGGESTION OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WARM SPOT INDICATIVE OF A 55 KNOT SYSTEM. 081800Z7 OBSERVATION FROM COCOS ISLAND (WMO 96996) SHOW SUSTAINED 34 KNOTS (TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE) WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 47 KNOTS (TEN- MINUTE AVERAGE). TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MAY WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SUFFICIENTLY TO IMPART A MORE SOUTHWARD COMPONENT TO THE TRACK AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 05:00:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2338 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627716-18143>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 04:50:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24228; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:50:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10636298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26240 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:50:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:50:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811082050.OAA22157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:50:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04s (alison) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67e4f30f7032a8969e726f58e13f2fa2 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 318 WTXS31 PGTW 082100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 13.1S5 97.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 97.3E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.2S7 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.3S9 94.8E1 5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIU F 035 KTLINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.4S1 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.5S3 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 13.4S8 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS FROM PGTW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. 081730Z9 INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED CLOUD TOP COOLING AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH A SUGGESTION OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WARM SPOT INDICATIVE OF A 5 KNOT SYSTEM. 081800Z7 OBSERVATION FROM COCOS ISLAND (WMO 96996) SHOW SUSTAINED 34 KNOTS (TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE) WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 47 KNOTS (TEN= MINUTE AVERAGE). TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MAY WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SUFFICIENTLY TO IMPART A MORE SOUTHWARD COMPONENT TO THE TRACK AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO CONTPNUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 10:37:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626780-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 10:35:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA79684; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 20:36:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10639054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 20:35:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA65398 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 20:33:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 20:33:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090233.UAA25719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 20:33:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04s (alison) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07d99437c59d508aef8c8d9b356fc1b5 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 WTXS31 PGTW 090300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 13.5S9 96.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 96.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.1S6 95.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.7S2 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.3S9 92.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.8S4 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 13.7S1 96.4E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF COCOS ISLAND AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS BASICALLY THE SAME FOR TC 04S (ALISON), THE FORECAST TRACK WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD AND SLOWED DUE TO THE SHIFTING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FUTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED UPON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED IN ACCORDANCE WITH SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA FROM COCOS ISLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627789-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:20:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA79806; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:19:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10644412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:19:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA98474 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:19:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:19:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091419.IAA01011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:19:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31c81f1b07ef9f9fd45e2a1f23175447 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 282 WTXS31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 13.8S2 095.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 095.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.2S7 094.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.6S1 093.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.1S7 091.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.6S2 090.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 13.9S3 095.3E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091142Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS IS BASED ON 091130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHWEST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS RIDGE IS REBUILDING AND HAS DEVELOPED A NORTHWEST- SOUTHEAST ORIENTATION. THE STEERING FLOW FROM THIS RIDGE SHOULD KEEP TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4716 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627909-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:38:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24074; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:38:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10644517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15348 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:38:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:38:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091438.IAA01476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:38:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd65397c71463591eb4e156c4b8c2e90 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 704 WTXS31 PGTW 091400 1. TROPICAL CHCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 13.8S2 095.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWGERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 095.6E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.2S7 094.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.6S1 093.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAT SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.1S7 091.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM VBOFYE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM E-32#343 VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.6S2 090.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAET SEMICIRCLE # 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUT EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE -REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 13.9S3 095.3E7. TROPICAL CYCLNE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 ;(,95- 9;34 5#3 0--5 6 HOURS. THE WA NING POSITION IS BASED ON 091142Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS IS BASED ON 091130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) CONTINUES TO INOENSIFY AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHWEST. ANIMWTED WATER VAPOR IM YY SHOWS TH S RIDGE IS REBUILDING AND HAS DEVELOPED A NORTHWEST= 1-975#3--5 9483,5-589,. THE STEERING FLOW FROM THI RIDGE SHOULD KEEP TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYC9,3 RS (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THKOUGHOUT THE FORENAST PERIODWM MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHO AT 091200Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627733-2411>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA38050; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:44:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10647642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:44:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15114 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091743.LAA07173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:43:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0192426e5a66cf47f1508b050114f0f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 759 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 67E3. THIS AREA OF FLUCTUATING, DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 090555Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 96E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 95.6E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 091500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 10:33:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627525-21610>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 10:23:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23554; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 20:23:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10653728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 20:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44192 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 20:22:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 20:22:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811100222.UAA19345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 20:22:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In-odhe#?dlispu) Max Sustained Winds Ba To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bf8354f745ff53bf93fed3c8c4fb453 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 474 WTXS31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN-ODHE#?DLISPU) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BA SED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POCATHMJ$ RE?--- NEAR 14.7S2 93.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 00:25:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4163 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629632-3016>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 22:44:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA75496; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:43:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10660476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:43:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44208 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:43:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:43:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101443.IAA27328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:43:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9f5ca378cf402527997f49d258faa46 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 150 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 16.3S0 92.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 92.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.6S4 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.0S0 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.5S7 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.3S7 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 92.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE TRACK WAS CONFIRMED BY 100343Z1 SCATTEROMETRY DATA. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD, TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. BY THE 36-HOUR POINT, THE PASSING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE A SOUTHWARD TURN IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 00:25:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629639-3016>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 22:49:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA75492; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:49:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10660543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:49:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15312 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:49:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:49:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101449.IAA27466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 08:49:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68e0741cc9b73fc46fced4aa988f4134 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 212 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED NDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 107200Z4 --- NEAR 16.3S0 92.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HO - 215 DEGREES AT ;(5- POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DIORIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMI IRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 .2.8Z. FORECASS: 000 HRS, VAGMKAAVL QQPPPPZ2 --- 17.6S4 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUSOF 050 KT WINIVQ50 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE #0 040 NM ELSEWHER RADIUS OF 035 KM WINDS - 105 CV SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE M VECTOR TO 24 /79-85: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.0S00.72E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OUTHOMO SEMICIRCLE # 045 NM ELEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE Q QPP NM ELYOFYE VECTOR36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG PI KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.5S7 91#0Z MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 0#0 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIC RCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629572-3022>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:40:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56392; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10663802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04838 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101740.LAA02539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:40:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5b2a6ba70577e9bb80531b477378690 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 426 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/092121Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 67E3. THIS AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 092130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16S7 93E2 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 11:03:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628070-27451>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 10:07:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04736; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:07:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10671659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:07:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA40110 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:06:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:06:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110206.UAA14473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:06:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccd4385c2f7105f2de715d09e96ff662 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 044 WTXS31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 17.5S3 92.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 92.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.5S4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.4S4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.1S3 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 20.8S0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 17.8S6 92.4E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON 100343Z1 SCATTEROMETRY DATA. TC 04S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 11:03:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2819 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629692-27449>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 10:15:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA92670; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:15:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10671838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42470 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:15:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:15:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110215.UAA14631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:15:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Soihern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2829ef596abb6b6830309264ae901ca9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 WTXS31 PGTW 110200 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOIHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINEWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 17.5S3 92.4;-5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACC R TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CEDZLQATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MSUSTAINED WINDS - 06-KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 92.4E5 < FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.5S4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 06# KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE <;3:594 59 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS UAIIVH 24 HRS, JLID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.4S4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 TS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.1S3 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EI IPING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROHICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 0/PNV EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE O 007VECTMC TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALZCKAAVL QEPPPPZ4 --- 20.8SP OWMRE5 MAX SUSTAI ELNDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKSCT #10300Z# POWCLNEAR .8S6 92#4E5. 2NIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY S HOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 1= GO INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE NURRENT WIND RADII HAVE B3;M , 100343Z1 SCATTEROMETRY DATA. TC 04S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPTED TO WEAKEN EUE TO COLDER SEA SURJXLEMPERATURES AND CREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 11)500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 12030#Z6 (DTG 1201511+0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 22:27:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628060-15766>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 22:22:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA16780; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:23:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10677664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:23:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA115034 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:23:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:23:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111423.IAA21778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:23:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03832b289286178aa98e5b9c8216a321 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 466 WTXS31 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 18.3S2 91.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 91.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.5S5 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.5S7 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.8S1 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 23.2S7 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.6S5 91.5E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 04S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 22:45:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629881-15766>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 22:30:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA40830; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:30:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10677759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:30:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA93268 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:30:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:30:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111430.IAA21919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:30:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84bd250b82a38363c390dafc318c0e7c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 497 WTXS31 PGTW 111400 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 18.3S2 91.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MALSUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSDWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 91.7E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.5S5 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.5S7 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 2 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.8S1 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 23.2S7 90.7E6 MAX SUTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.6S5 91.5E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 04S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOLA LSOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FORIADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629980-15773>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:37:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22200; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10680777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA65124 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111737.LAA26540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:37:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9af2fd256495a22e9be9ca80b6b5f76 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 642 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/102121Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISDPR9CD QBRRH( +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630101-15766>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:14:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA38010; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:15:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10681228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30518 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111814.MAA27447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 12:14:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 912594856ed670fed422a91925e22b0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 696 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/102121Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 63E9. THIS AREA REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 102130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 92E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-15258>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 10:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA55366; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:13:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10688795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:13:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA65580 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:13:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:13:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120213.UAA08392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:13:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a979a1f2158d2506da8495a141a5a9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 712 WTXS31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 19.5S5 92.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 92.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.4S6 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.5S8 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.3S7 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 22.9S3 93.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.7S7 92.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 04S (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN A SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED TC 04S (ALISON) IS UNDERGOING MODERATE TO SEVERE SHEAR. HENCE, TS 04S (ALISON) SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-15250>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:01:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA55370; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10689892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA112424 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120301.VAA09290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ing Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e85681d15e661d9bbb9cacc3525f55c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 WTXS31 PGTW 120200 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAR ING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 19.5S5 92.0E1 MOVEMPT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITQKQAVNM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATEDOY SAOLPL PREST WIND CTRIBUTIOVM A X SUSTAINED WINDFS-<;65 KT GUSTS 0 K RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 077;,. RADIUS OS 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 06 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 92.#E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.41-6 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAI AD WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS O 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RA USGPET KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST EEMICIRCLE 0 01- - 535 NM ELUEWHERE VECTOR TOH2= YHOSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS - 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.5S82RE5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -,050 W, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 F WINDS - 0)NM SOUOGEAST HVCNIRCLE ,/ 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECOT 36 HR POSIT: 155 $3< - 36 HRS, VALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSOY PRT KT - DHSI AS A SIGCQWCANT TROPUCAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KLS B AAV EXTENDED OUTLOOK:- 48-#4-, VALID AT: MAX SASTAINED IPDS - 025 KTN GQSTQ HQZT KT DISKIPAOED AS A SIGNIFI C ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REVARKS: ?180300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.7-7 92.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISMN) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVERT E PASTPHOURS. THE WARNING OSITION DINTENSITY ARE BSED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED IICIMAGERY. TC 04S (ALISON) IS FORECAST TO OA2 - -975#-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK FOR THE RMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER.0ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IIMAGE RY IPWCATEXSTC 04S (ALISON) IS UNDERGOING MODERATE TO SEVE E SHEAR. HENCE, TS 04S (ALISON) STOULS<8)NLOVER WATY THE :7 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAHEIGHT AT 120000(+3 ISP15 FEET9 EXT WAR NLS AT 121500MLKDTG 121351Z3) AND 12Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 22:01:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628964-21242>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 21:58:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA44598; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10695732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA114960 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121358.HAA16662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf3390e8f24a67d737981415c3150b96 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 WTXS31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 18.9S8 090.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 090.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.7S6 090.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.5S4 089.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.3S2 088.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.2S1 088.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.9S8 090.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND 121030Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A TIGHTLY WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION INDICATIVE OF A MORE INTENSE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ITS DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES THE SYSTEM TOWADS THE WEST-NORTHWEST BECOMING MORE WESTWARD WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE END OF THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTAT 21200Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// NNJHX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628877-13105>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:47:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA65426; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:47:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10699328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:47:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15126 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:46:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:36:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121736.LAA22551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:36:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03f1bfcf4d5b1fb0c8d7ad0e4a577522 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 735 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112129Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351Z NOV 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N2 63E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 59E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS PERSISTENT, ORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. 121200Z6 SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW WESTERLIES OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 112130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL NEAR 12N3 88E6 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 120007Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MODERATE SHEAR, HOWEVER, EXISTS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE AREA AND THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19S0 91E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 10:03:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626518-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 10:00:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA65092; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:01:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10705819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:01:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21760 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:01:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:01:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130201.UAA03900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:01:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96cd33582eee0124cfa3946feef58afd X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 822 WTXS31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 18.2S1 89.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 89.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.9S7 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.1S0 89.6E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED UPON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) CAN NOT BE DISTINGUISHED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) IS RAPIDLY DISSIPATING OVER WATER DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-21807>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 01:36:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20794; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10714486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA113944 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131736.LAA16149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:36:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78bb842810be4392df59678802b4c0cb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 364 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130621Z NOV 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122121Z NOV 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z NOV 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL NEAR 12N3 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 87E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 131425Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE REGION, WITH GREATER SHEAR TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE AREA. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO PGTW 130630 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 59E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 53E8 AND IS NO LONGER THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA REMAINS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 122130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) HAS DISSIPATED OVER WATER. SEE REF C (WTXS31 PGTW 130300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THE SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 15:18:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-1125>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 14:55:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA94688; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:55:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10721485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:54:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA64728 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:53:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:53:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150653.AAA09824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:53:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac468f4e5b4f5a25bb28b5b6d20c1778 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 312 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 87E5 IN THE BAY OF BENGAL IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 85E3. THE SYSTEM IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 53E8 HAS DISSIPATED. IT IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 55E0. THE CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 02:36:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628441-1665>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:33:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44696; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:33:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10737058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA75280 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811161731.LAA03211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:31:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b00c8f321894630a978d0ae837fd97e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 075 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL CCLONE 06B WAS LOCATED NEAR 23N5 82E0 AND HAS SINCE DISSIPATED. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 160300) FOR DETAILS OF THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 54E9 HAS DISSIPATED. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 01:51:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625873-25333>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:46:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04664; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10753714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15352 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171746.LAA27893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:46:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8bf46e7a72ed8da68f312f118dd9482 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 453 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 099.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA TRAVELLING TO THE WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HRS. CENTRALZED CONVECTION HAS NOT APPEARED, BUT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAIND WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICALLNPJ #HE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627074-25336>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 02:13:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40154; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10754237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA95358 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171813.MAA28664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 12:13:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7b6241eadd6ec7d786a9b910136a93f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 032 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 099.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA TRAVELLING TO THE WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HRS. CENTRALZED CONVECTION HAS NOT APPEARED, BUT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 170500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16N7 70E7 OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CENTRALIZED CIRCULATION WITH LIMITED CONVECTION IN THIS REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THM2S5LA BF:?RTEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/GOODMAN/TIRSHELL/HOWELLS/JACKSON / +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626595-326>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:51:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04756; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:52:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10766770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA79688 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181848.MAA25208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:48:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57aa24c71d1b00f3d5a420834f2fe042 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 143 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULADIF ?FT12 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4184 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629365-324>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:54:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA65210; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10766786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA111246 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:49:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:49:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181849.MAA25232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:49:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d6be1a177802af827623201c621fa0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 149 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). HOWEVER, A 181138Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED T BE 1004 M( T?,PENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN T +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627993-326>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:58:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04862; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:58:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10766812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:57:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA79654 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181855.MAA25405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6664336a3bc6757cf1df8ac03ad9a53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 230 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). HOWEVER, A 181138Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 181100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 70E7 IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER APPARENT ON THE 181200Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/GOODMAN/TIRSHELL/HOWELLS/ JACKSON/BROOKS/BALDINGER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 02:05:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2976 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629445-17500>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:22:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA112466; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:23:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10777961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:23:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA92444 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191722.LAA17521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:22:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e7ae2670b44a165e89596ad38a2d6c4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 902 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 92E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 81NM NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICADHR:=E ACRP S;NE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 02:05:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629390-17497>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:56:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA55398; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10778412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA65588 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191756.LAA18466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 457b3bb2d6c6b1b90cc4667081dcb446 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 394 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 92E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 81NM NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICADHR:=E ACRP S?NE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 11:36:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626380-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 11:08:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA114150; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:07:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10784194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:07:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20874 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:05:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:05:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200305.VAA00598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:05:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Dmin/navpacmet To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c6df44909f73e0f7e92dfc21e3f5c34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 407 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GEN DMIN/NAVPACMET CCEN LEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPIRALWEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800E/201800Z NOV 9 // REF/APXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z OV 98// ANPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIA OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COASTOS AFRICA):- A. ROPICAL CYILONE SUMMARY: NONE. B9 T OPICAL DISTURB NCT SUMMARY: < (1) THE AREA OF CONVECT ON PREVIOUSLY LTCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATE NEAR 12 3 92E1 ANE IS THE SUBJCT TFA TROPICAL CYCLONE FO OAITN ALRT. ANIMATEE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY I DICATESTHE NONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMAT Y 81NO NORTHWEST TF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTE (LLCC).-MAXIMUM SSSTAINED WIODS ARE ESTIMATED TOBE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA TEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. TH POTENTI L FOR THE DEVLOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CSCLONE WITHIN THE EXT 24 HOURS IS GOODGM SE REF A (WTIO22 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAI . (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT A EAS. 2. /-975# 8,$8-, 9:3-, -43- (1-59 WEST O COAST OF AFRICA 4 A.-TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAEHR:;E ACRP SWBNE. NORECAS TEAM:5)7,->94$/HATFTD/HALLWXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 11:36:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 11:11:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA102836; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10784237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA112518 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200311.VAA00671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:11:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Dmin/navpacmet To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93cdd2e5278b4d0c5c12b48e0179e705 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 584 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GEN DMIN/NAVPACMET CCEN LEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPIRALWEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800E/201800Z NOV 9 // REF/APXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191051Z OV 98// ANPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIA OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COASTOS AFRICA):- A. ROPICAL CYILONE SUMMARY: NONE. B9 T OPICAL DISTURB NCT SUMMARY: ? (1) THE AREA OF CONVECT ON PREVIOUSLY LTCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 IS NOW LOCATE NEAR 12 3 92E1 ANE IS THE SUBJCT TFA TROPICAL CYCLONE FO OAITN ALRT. ANIMATEE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY I DICATESTHE NONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED APPROXIMAT Y 81NO NODAAWZWO TF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTE (LLCC).-MAXIMUM SSSTAINED WIODS ARE ESTIMATED TOBE 15 TO 25 KTS. MINIMUM SEA TEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. TH POTENTI L FOR THE DEVLOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CSCLONE WITHIN THE EXT 24 HOURS IS GOODGM SE REF A (WTIO22 PGTW 191100)FORFURTHERDETAI . (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT A EAS. 2. /-975? 8,?8-, 9:3-, -43- (1-59 WEST O COAST OF AFRICA 4 A.-TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAEHR:?E ACRP SWBNE. NORECAS TEAM:5)7,-?94?/HATFTD/HALLWXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627359-9799>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 02:19:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26206; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:19:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10792347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:18:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA65196 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:17:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:16:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201816.MAA16318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:16:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa9e8580def8d2986a170224082adf48 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 146 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201353Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 88E6 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HOOVER/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 08:24:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629673-20080>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 01:49:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56524; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:50:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10801826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55404 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211749.LAA03769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:49:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 047f39e2b3336df0d5a398b72da2c95b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 925 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINGER/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 08:24:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629667-20076>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 01:52:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56508; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10801850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA56472 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211752.LAA03792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:52:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5551cdf82a53bd9682215783ef928f52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 945 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINGER/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 09:33:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626948-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 09:27:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA33720; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:28:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10804177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA44186 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220127.TAA07616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:27:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thepvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddd411e1fe0bd45c6bbd223108d2ad21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 030 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THEPVNDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -;-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E;0-,$ 2-- .9;8,< ,945#-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL<9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2402 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627699-14827>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 12:51:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA65354; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18724 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220452.WAA09295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:52:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thepvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bab2ff3c72bdd916335314482a54ee1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 056 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THEPVNDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -?-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E?0-,? 2-- .9?8,? ,945?-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL?9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 19:47:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630014-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:38:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24620; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA24590 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221139.FAA12306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:39:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj.significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thpvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be3d6f7888f45b6bb440164b408d74de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 852 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/,,191;61:-, 23-5 <7// SUBJ.SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THPVNDIAN OCEAN/2118 00Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -?-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICU): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E?0-,? 2-- .9?8,? ,945?-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL?9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONESUMOA Y: VOMEKH B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 19:47:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630013-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA65456; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA33690 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221141.FAA12320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:41:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj.significant Tropical Weather Advisory Kor Thpvndian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32fa8d3a9d8d36af0da5238546df3af5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 923 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/,,191?61:-, 23-5 ?7// SUBJ.SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY KOR THPVNDIAN OCEAN/2118 00Z/221800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEC WEST GU/211353Z NOV 98// -?-90,/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/. RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULNBCOBO TO COAST OF AFRICU): A. TROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 86.9E?0-,? 2-- .9?8,? ,945?-NORTHWESTWAAD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BOL?9 ,MTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAIWS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES BVV TROPICA DISTURBANCESUOMARY: NONE. :LSOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONESUMOA Y: VOMEKH B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTECSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINXER/ HOWELLS// I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 03:00:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630103-14821>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 01:47:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56444; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10812715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA44126 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221746.LAA15154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:46:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6abbc65e0f9d0734ad55b2c9de15b91b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 982 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/221353Z NOV 9SAMD=DBIA?L CYCDNE WALING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N8 88.3E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 71E8 AND HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 8 HOURS. ALTHOUGH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS GROWN RAPIDLY, NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CAN BE DISCERNED AT THIS TIME. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 114E6, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED SPORADICALLY FOR OVER 24 HOURS AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MAXIMIM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON/BALDINGER/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628024-22528>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:53:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20180; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:46:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17140 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:46:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:45:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231745.LAA01338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:45:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91502c754c8a1c5e224cf43c76ae6f26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 979 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OF THE CONVECTION IS SHEARING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THE AREA OF CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 36 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT BE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS/BALDINGER/ JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627463-22533>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:54:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAB19974; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:51:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:51:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04584 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231750.LAA01462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 11:50:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4ca7e3c0e5197ec0add86091c39dc38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 023 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OF THE CONVECTION IS SHEARING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THE AREA OF CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 36 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COULD NOT BE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS/BALDINGER/ JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2353 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-25653>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:38:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA15070; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:38:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10805965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:38:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA18606 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:38:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:38:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811232338.RAA10738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:38:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical 3-5#34 -$;8-946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1979f892f29ca4cc0e7b420ee9a8e2d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 105 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 3-5#34 -$;8-946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, OCEAN/231800Z/ 41800;- 9. 58// RMKS. 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OP AFRICA): A. OROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANPCJVC(135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRIQA): A. TROPIKAL CYCLONE SUMMAHY: NONE. B. 5:98NCBGWSTUJMNE LUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTIMM PREWOUX;53 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINEDIQPNBWJTATIONU Y OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UCVVBVTENOPON THE CMNVECTION HNBLICCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVEKKAPANIMATED WATEC VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OK MHE CO M NT ON IS SHEARING OFF TO VHE SOUTHEAST AND THE A EA OF CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS VOROANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXWOUM SUITAINED WINDS ARE WUBOIMJTOD B. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFACAVT TRTPICAL CYQLONE AITH N THE NEXT WR HOKRS IS FAWVV (2< THE AYEW OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOGLNEAR 13U5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NAR 14S5 116E8. NMRTHWEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTIONNHAS PERSISTED .4 9;34 36 HOURS A D CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAPT. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL W SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONNCENTER COULD NOT ZE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY/ 9#3 .-/8.7. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 21 TO 25 KNOTS.,GGOVV OINIMI SEA LEVELPRESSURE IS ASTIMATNGLTO BE 1;0< MBKH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXTL24 MOURS IS FAIR. MCOV TEDR 2-0#24 VRB03KT CAVOK EMLO #004 27016KO 3001 BR NSC BECOG GPYPI QWPQWVKT BECMG BQIWP RVNKT= OEJN 240;24 VRM03KT 8000 FEQ030 ;58 TEMPO 0204 2000 +BR SCT025 BECMG 0602 1,25KT 8000 FEVEP SCT100 TEMPO 0917 FEW030CB= OEMA GWRPPW VRB03KT CAVOK BECMGHPRPXLWTPQRKT 9999 9 ,5<040= <9955 ;>3 2040 SCT100 BECMG 0406 2QRKT= OZAA NIL= OYSN NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625895-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA20820; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:44:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10805993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:44:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA13312 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:44:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:43:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811232343.RAA10778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 17:43:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2cf3ee37794c64a68efd6bbb9357b2e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 196 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, OCEAN/231800Z/ 41800?- 9. 58// RMKS. 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OP AFRICA): A. OROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANPCJVC(135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRIQA): A. TROPIKAL CYCLONE SUMMAHY: NONE. B. 5:98NCBGWSTUJMNE LUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTIMM PREWOUX?53 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINEDIQPNBWJTATIONU Y OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UCVVBVTENOPON THE CMNVECTION HNBLICCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVEKKAPANIMATED WATEC VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OK MHE CO M NT ON IS SHEARING OFF TO VHE SOUTHEAST AND THE A EA OF CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS VOROANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXWOUM SUITAINED WINDS ARE WUBOIMJTOD B. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFACAVT TRTPICAL CYQLONE AITH N THE NEXT WR HOKRS IS FAWVV (2? THE AYEW OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOGLNEAR 13U5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NAR 14S5 116E8. NMRTHWEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTIONNHAS PERSISTED .4 9?34 36 HOURS A D CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAPT. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL W SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONNCENTER COULD NOT ZE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY/ 9?3 .-/8.7. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 21 TO 25 KNOTS.,GGOVV OINIMI SEA LEVELPRESSURE IS ASTIMATNGLTO BE 1?0? MBKH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXTL24 MOURS IS FAIR. MCOV TEDR 2-0?24 VRB03KT CAVOK EMLO ?004 27016KO 3001 BR NSC BECOG GPYPI QWPQWVKT BECMG BQIWP RVNKT= OEJN 240?24 VRM03KT 8000 FEQ030 ?58 TEMPO 0204 2000 +BR SCT025 BECMG 0602 1,25KT 8000 FEVEP SCT100 TEMPO 0917 FEW030CB= OEMA GWRPPW VRB03KT CAVOK BECMGHPRPXLWTPQRKT 9999 9 ,5?040= ?9955 ??3 2040 SCT100 BECMG 0406 2QRKT= OZAA NIL= OYSN NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-25655>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 09:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA21848; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA12100 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240124.TAA12137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebdf5ed24ab8249d81219cd8c80128bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 325 WTXS21 PGTW 240100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240051Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.1S6 69.7E2 TO 7.5S2 62.3E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231800Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.3S8 68.9E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 231744Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL EXISTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 231531Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THIS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:51:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627041-25653>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:48:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA05282; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:49:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10807922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:48:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19296 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:48:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:48:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240248.UAA13145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:48:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b349c65afb1da5adeb186b7bfe5404f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 WTXS21 PGTW 240100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240051Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.1S6 69.7E2 TO 7.5S2 62.3E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231800Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.3S8 68.9E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 231744Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL EXISTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 231531Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THIS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MQVIMUM SEASURACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 12:10:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628302-25654>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 12:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA05836; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:29 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA11688 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240407.WAA14227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: ?significant Tropical 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 948c6753ec1ed19513b572d7d96559dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 932 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUHDVSUB ?SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, OCEAN/231800Z/ 41800?- 9. 58// RMKS. 1. NORTH INDIAF OCEAN NFONBK.-)-< 03,8,-7)- 23-5 59 ;97799 OP AFCICA): A. OROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. - B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANPCJVC(35E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRIQA): A. TROPIKAL CYCLONE SUMMAHY: NOVMKH B. 5:98NCBGWSTUJMNE LUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTIMM PREWOUX?53 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINEDIQPNBWJTATIONU Y OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAXERY SHOWS THE UCVVBVTENMPON THE CMNVECTION HNBLICCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVEKKAPANIMATED WATEV VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OK MHE CO M NT ON IS SHEARING OFF TO VHE SOUTHEAST AND THE A EA OF CONVECTIOC SEEVS OO BEHSLIGHTLXLLESS VOROANIOED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXWOUM SUITAINED WINDS ARE WUBOIMJTOD B. THE POTENTIAL .4 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFACAVT TRTPICAL CYQLONE AITH N THE NEXT WR HOKRS IS FAWVV (2? THE AYEW OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOGLNEAR 13U5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NAR 14S5 116E8. NMRTHWEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTIONNHAS PERSISTED .4 9?34 36 HOURS A D CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAPT. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL W SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONNCENTER COULD NOT ZE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERYWX OBE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 21 TO 25-KNOTS.:GGOV OINIMI SEA LEVELPRESSURE IS ASTIMATNGLTO DE 1?0? MBKH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OX A SIGNIFICANT TUI8:<# CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXTL24 MOURS IE FAIR. MCOV TEDR 2-0?24 VRB03KT CAMOK EMLO ?004 27016KO 3001 BR NSC BECOG GPYPI QWPQWVKT BECMG BQIWP RVNKT= OE N GWRPBWR VRM03KT 8000 FEQBEUVBTI HEMPO 0204 2000 +BR SCT025 BECMG 0602 1,25KT 8000 FEVEP SCT100 TEMPO 0917 FEW030CB= OEVA GWRPPW VRB03KT CAVOK BECMGHPPXLWTHQRKTKVMOO O TBPRPV 2040 SCT100 BECMG 0406 2QRKT= OZAA NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 12:18:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628338-25655>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 12:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12160; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:12:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:12:39 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22544 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:11:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:11:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240411.WAA14276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 22:11:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: ?significant Tropical 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edef00745acc718a95c4fdeef1eea0d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 089 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/ENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUHDVSUB ?SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 3-5?34 -??8-946 ?94 5?3 8,?8-, OCEAN/231800Z/ 41800?- 9. 58// RMKS. 1. NORTH INDIAF OCEAN NFONBK.-)-? 03,8,-7)- 23-5 59 ?97799 OP AFCICA): A. OROPICAT CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. - B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA RY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEANPCJVC(35E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRIQA): A. TROPIKAL CYCLONE SUMMAHY: NOVMKH B. 5:98NCBGWSTUJMNE LUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTIMM PREWOUX?53 4.5S9 70.5E2 HAS REMAINEDIQPNBWJTATIONU Y OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAXERY SHOWS THE UCVVBVTENMPON THE CMNVECTION HNBLICCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVEKKAPANIMATED WATEV VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME OK MHE CO M NT ON IS SHEARING OFF TO VHE SOUTHEAST AND THE A EA OF CONVECTIOC SEEVS OO BEHSLIGHTLXLLESS VOROANIOED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXWOUM SUITAINED WINDS ARE WUBOIMJTOD B. THE POTENTIAL .4 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFACAVT TRTPICAL CYQLONE AITH N THE NEXT WR HOKRS IS FAWVV (2? THE AYEW OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOGLNEAR 13U5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NAR 14S5 116E8. NMRTHWEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTIONNHAS PERSISTED .4 9?34 36 HOURS A D CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAPT. HOWEVER, THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL W SHEAR AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONNCENTER COULD NOT ZE FOUND ON 231023Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERYWX OBE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 21 TO 25-KNOTS.:GGOV OINIMI SEA LEVELPRESSURE IS ASTIMATNGLTO DE 1?0? MBKH THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OX A SIGNIFICANT TUI8:?? CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXTL24 MOURS IE FAIR. MCOV TEDR 2-0?24 VRB03KT CAMOK EMLO ?004 27016KO 3001 BR NSC BECOG GPYPI QWPQWVKT BECMG BQIWP RVNKT= OE N GWRPBWR VRM03KT 8000 FEQBEUVBTI HEMPO 0204 2000 +BR SCT025 BECMG 0602 1,25KT 8000 FEVEP SCT100 TEMPO 0917 FEW030CB= OEVA GWRPPW VRB03KT CAVOK BECMGHPPXLWTHQRKTKVMOO O TBPRPV 2040 SCT100 BECMG 0406 2QRKT= OZAA NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 03:21:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630601-13864>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 03:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22754; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:16:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10815386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:16:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA05236 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:15:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:15:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241915.NAA27506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:15:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afd042dc11f505546f9bf773ba347792 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 696 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 71S8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PERSISTS IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 240100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA, HAS DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND IS NOW SPORADIC. ADDITIONALLY, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA RATHER THAN A DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA00293281909 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 03:53:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630592-13866>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 03:36:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14708; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10815630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19250 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241936.NAA28133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:36:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44a90a540c91936f171c1afbad7d03d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 198 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 71S8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PERSISTS IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 240100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 116E8, NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA, HAS DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND IS NOW SPORADIC. ADDITIONALLY, 241200Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA RATHER THAN A DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA00293281909 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 08:47:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 08:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA21944; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 18:42:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10818910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 18:41:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA16550 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 18:41:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA04719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 18:41:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250041.SAA04719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 18:41:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/240051z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5fe21199030bd2c3ed52d1c849e4889 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 499 WTXS21 PGTW 250100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 250051Z NOV 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240051Z NOV 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 240100)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, JUST WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 1 HOURS.P. Y(NJRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE JB PRQIS POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630581-409>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:44:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17430; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:45:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:45:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24458 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251744.LAA18101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:44:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 424c2521f71c9ec0f33bff0a98e96fae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 191 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630629-409>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:47:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA24342; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:48:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:48:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24552 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251747.LAA18162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c170525ddc99feda4791c2c479af25e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 229 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630561-409>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:16:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA14992; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:16:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21598 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251815.MAA18756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 12:15:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9bcb964c2aecca7fabc71e9fd15a335 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 782 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCB03533291811 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 17:48:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3173 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627390-22812>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 16:26:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23110; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:27:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:27:02 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22062 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:27:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:26:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260826.CAA01312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:26:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subawxeignificant Tropic To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc2ea4d51dd476983990dde3326e202f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 959 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGIGKGENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 1(H SUBAWXEIGNIFICANT TROPIC L WEATHER ADVISOY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800TGXWYQIPPZ NOV 989/ REF/A/NAVPACMTTNREN W S GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1? NO TH INDIANPOCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CY MNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH WNDIANHMCWAXIAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A? TROPICAL CYCLMNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSWY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOILWHEXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRASED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECOION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HNBDCSSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARESESTWMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SE LEVEL PREB0>9)8- 3-58.-53$ 59 ?3 100) MZBM THE POTENTIAL .4 GOELOPMOPTIOK A SUGNIFUCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.-EEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR XURTHER EEE QPQUU VI LIPUPV 60115 32965 40000 1011487?97 40227 50001 82082 333 10161 82362 83073= 60135 32960 00404 717?70:778(?60245 52006 333 10197= 60150 32960 02806 10137 20028 39580 40235 53002 333 10178= 60155 32958 01004 10164 20099 40243 51003 333 10188= 60156 32960 00610 10151 20095 40246 52011 333 10195= 60230 32962 00000 10190 2003 40222 52005 333 10217= /252,52958 0240/ 10177 20134 40218 53008 333 10239 95800= Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 17:48:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3285 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627390-22812>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 16:31:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA11530; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:32:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23026 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260831.CAA01352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:31:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subawxeignificant Tropic To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 314ddd19dcdab6efef9f82bc235711a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 039 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGIGKGENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 1(H SUBAWXEIGNIFICANT TROPIC L WEATHER ADVISOY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800TGXWYQIPPZ NOV 989/ REF/A/NAVPACMTTNREN W S GU/250051Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1? NO TH INDIANPOCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CY MNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH WNDIANHMCWAXIAREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A? TROPICAL CYCLMNE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TRMPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSWY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOILWHEXISTS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRASED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECOION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HNBDCSSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARESESTWMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SE LEVEL PREB0?9)8- 3-58.-53? 59 ?3 100) MZBM THE POTENTIAL .4 GOELOPMOPTIOK A SUGNIFUCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.-EEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 250100) FOR XURTHER EEE QPQUU VI LIPUPV 60115 32965 40000 1011487?97 40227 50001 82082 333 10161 82362 83073= 60135 32960 00404 717?70:778(?60245 52006 333 10197= 60150 32960 02806 10137 20028 39580 40235 53002 333 10178= 60155 32958 01004 10164 20099 40243 51003 333 10188= 60156 32960 00610 10151 20095 40246 52011 333 10195= 60230 32962 00000 10190 2003 40222 52005 333 10217= /252,52958 0240/ 10177 20134 40218 53008 333 10239 95800= Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 08:50:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627006-22813>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:45:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17648; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:46:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10834636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24516 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261745.LAA04949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:45:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74a249c857288a275cbf1642a43fc598 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 960 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 65E1 HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DISSIPATED, AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ITSELF HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO DISCERN. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BALDINGER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629155-9720>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:26:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13240; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:27:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10839647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23688 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271726.LAA12882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:26:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bb17964aae40e172b3e8d08cfa2e540 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 031 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629168-9720>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:45:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20556; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10839702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:29 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19750 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271745.LAA13011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:45:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 914208b7b3bb7facbddac784299c9724 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 321 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629501-9983>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:23:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15250; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10846465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15218 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281724.LAA22321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:24:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6041b6db823f9daeff5afc4be0873ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 966 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <631514-9983>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:27:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14954; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10846485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:45 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA13392 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281727.LAA22346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:27:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe2106a189e02fbda1a001b848cfb54a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 001 ABIO10 PGTW 281700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629372-4124>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 02:07:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15168; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:08:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10853372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:31 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15118 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291806.MAA02509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:06:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weatr Adrn3or The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92b5410687b63c8b3e785c74275108a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 390 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629373-4125>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 02:18:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15274; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:19:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10853436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:18:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA23614 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:18:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:17:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291817.MAA02577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 12:17:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weatr Adrn3or The Indian????? To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc414427c46144e9dcbfd5734fb214d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 835 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE INDIAN????? OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 11:19:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-9033>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 11:14:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24418; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10857614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19770 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300315.VAA07513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:15:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Megid/genadmin/nampacmetoccen West Gu>/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0f9d168df1842f75ba261d42f1f52ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 445 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 5 MEGID/GENADMIN/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU>/ SUDJ/SIGNIF CANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE IND AN????? OCEANBXWOQIPPZ/301800+ ,9; 98// ROKS/ - 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 11:29:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-9031>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 11:19:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24530; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10857636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15776 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300320.VAA07560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:20:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Megid/genadmin/nampacmetoccen West Gu?/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a84a72818b42f60841617a0b9236721e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 579 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 5 MEGID/GENADMIN/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU?/ SUDJ/SIGNIF CANT TROPICAL WEATR ADRN3OR THE IND AN????? OCEANBXWOQIPPZ/301800+ ,9? 98// ROKS/ - 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN ARE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4305 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629006-9028>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 02:03:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09682; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:04:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10865662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:04:21 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18468 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:03:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:03:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301803.MAA18720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 12:03:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 572b0dd5b523479bd5e58d679f4f3269 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 774 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z NOV 98/011800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): ROPICAL CYDNJEEMA S;LQ>> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629037-9033>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 03:10:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14636; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:11:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10866409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:11:02 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAB18122 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301910.NAA20706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:10:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2147e435306448a401d764dfa88ac3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 305 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z NOV 98/011800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): ROPICAL CYDNJEEMA S?LQ?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 07:54:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2373 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-11321>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 03:49:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22508; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:18:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:18:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13722 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:17:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:17:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812011917.NAA13916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:17:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49e554a379764e711a6c1d0e89c8e564 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 681 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z DEC 98/021800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 95E4 IS NOW NEAR 7S7 87E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED, BUT HAS BEGUN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS (011200Z4) INDICATES THIS CONVECTION LIES WITHIN A BROAD TROUGHING AREA. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST NEAR 14S5 120E3 FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION MAY HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED 7N7 TO 7S7 IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND 14N5 TO 14S5 IN PARA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BALDINGER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627837-24372>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 16:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13976; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA19846 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020739.BAA25512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 020751z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0eb1e22613e82e227c76073ff51b1a53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 WTXS21 PGTW 020800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 020751Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8S3 121.8E2 TO 18.0S9 117.1E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 020530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.4S0 120.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OFF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 030800Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-24375>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 16:17:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18812; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:41:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:41:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA11632 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:41:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:41:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020741.BAA25532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:41:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 020751z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6670760e991642715f4d65a196a9072 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 WTXS21 PGTW 020800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 020751Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSI)3 285#8, 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8S3 121.8E2 TO 18.0S9 117.1E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE M NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 020530Z INDWCATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.4S0 120.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH= SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREIJTHE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORBLEGG OR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENBN THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT ROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 030800Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 02:22:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627843-24373>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 02:19:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20590; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10896881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20286 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812021759.LAA05024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 11:59:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3764d6977c14f1905a73a2bf410004d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 859 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z DEC 98/031800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020751Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 120E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 119.2E3 AND HAS BECOME THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A). SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. SATELLITE INFRARED ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS IT IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 020800Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 87E5 IS NOW NEAR 7.5S2 89.0E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED WITH A SLIGHT SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. SURFACE ANALYSIS (021200Z5) AND PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A FAIRLY BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/BOYER/MCCULLOCH/PARKER/HERRON/EIBLING/JONES/BALDINGER/ JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 04:43:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627698-24372>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 04:23:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18906; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:56:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:56:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19916 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:56:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:56:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812021956.NAA08741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:56:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14e01e888bced7d8effb52cbe241cf70 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 WTXS31 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 16.5S2 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.2S0 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.9S7 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.7S6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.6S6 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.7S4 119.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS FROM A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY/SHEAR LINE. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TC 05S HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDS NOW SPIRALING AROUND THE CENTER. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS ALSO INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. TC 05S SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 05S SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD. AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER SOUTH, TC 05S SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800ZZ1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020751Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW020800) NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 05:22:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627843-24374>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 05:10:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA26632; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:40:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:40:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA05094 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:40:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:40:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812022040.OAA10219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:40:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Souhern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7aaced30921f4a57ee712ba0e469acb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 379 WTXS31 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINEDSWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 16.5S2 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOUWA WEP DHREES AT 06 KTS O POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN UKUAVNM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 119.3E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.2S0 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, 7-5- 045 (5 VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.9 7 117.9E8 MUX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: ;DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.7S6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT , RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS 0 NENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 0418#0Z3 --- 19.6S6 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WNDS - 051 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KL WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEQST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NAWGL16.7S4 119.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE NORTHWEST CO ST O AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POTION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS FROM A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY/SHEAR LINE. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TC 05S HASTECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDS NOW SPIRALING AROUND THE CEOER. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS ALSO INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTEGO UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LUEL DIVER3,:3 -,$ 23-( ;3458:-) 28,$-#3-4 9;34 THE AREA. TC 05S SHOUL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC QTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD. JS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER SOUTH, TC 05S SHOULSEL EEPTO E XPERIENCE SLIGHTLY INCREASED V TICAL W NDSHNNXLMAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800ZZ1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020751Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW020800) NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTX 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) ND 032100ZJH KDTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 11:12:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-9209>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 10:52:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA07590; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 20:34:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 20:34:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14746 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 20:34:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 20:34:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030234.UAA17655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 20:34:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 359bc4fb7fe868a3aa56a7c48d57ef15 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 726 WTXS31 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.5S4 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.8S8 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 21.4S7 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 23.2S7 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 26.1S9 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.5S3 118.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A SUPPORTING SHIP REPORT. TC 05S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES MORE SOUTHWARD BETWEEN THE 24 TO 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS TC 05S BEGINS TO MOVE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 05S IS THEN FORECAST TO TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST. AS TC 05S CONTINUES ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO UNDERGO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 12:30:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627231-9209>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15334; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10904025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21958 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030354.VAA18851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:54:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 532900c8b0b2032d5882fdd52d334864 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 323 ABIO10 PGTW 030400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030400Z/031800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020751Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 AND HAS BECOME THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A). SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. SATELLITE INFRARED ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS IT IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 020800Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A SLIGHT SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: CHANGED AREA 2.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627161-9212>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 16:08:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25324; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25292 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030743.BAA21264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:43:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afa662c82b42a701fac2bcf1c520c1b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 419 ABIO10 PGTW 030400 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/030400Z/031800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020751Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COAST PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 AND HAS BECOME THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A). SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A DEEPENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1000MB. SATELLITE INFRARED ANIMATION SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION DEVELOPED ALONG THE TAILEND OF A SHEARLINE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS IT IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 021026Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING ABOUT HALF WAY AROUND THE CENTER. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 020800Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 89E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A SLIGHT SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: CHANGED AREA 2.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:31:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-9213>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 17:36:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19636; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:02:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:02:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA17320 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:02:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:01:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030901.DAA21850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:01:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2dc0e3b432bc5af23c94e5b3ff80ab4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 659 WTXS31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 17.0S8 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.9S6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.2S0 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0S9 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.2S2 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.0S4 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.0S8 117.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S HAS BEGUN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON AN EARLIER 030038Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND PREVIOUS SUPPORTING SHIP REPORTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A SIGNIFICANTLY MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN THAT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. WEAKENED STEERING FLOW AND THE SYSTEM=S ASYMMETRIC STRUCTURE MAY BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SUDDEN TRACK CHANGE AND SLOWER MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S IS LOCATED BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING TROUGH TO ITS SOUTHWEST, CAUSING THE AFOREMENTIONED WEAKENED STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNTIL RETURNING TO A MORE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, RESULTING IN A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO UNDERGO INCREASING SHEAR AS THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW REINSTATES. THEREFORE, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN ONLY SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, THEN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:31:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627841-9213>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 17:33:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA05128; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:09:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24060 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:09:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:09:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030909.DAA21893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:09:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Tive Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea89ac07f8c2a0ca3fc6b2f8ce88808c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 812 WTXS31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05YYWARNING NR 003 01 TIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 17.0S8 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE W PRESENT WIND D ISTRIBUTION:, 2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RHFGGI035 KT WINDSH- 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAOHMLPA QUMPS8#118.MM L PAAV H FORECASTS: 120#:-, CKBMAAV PEQIPPZ2 --- 16.9S6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 8 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.2S0 115.9E6 92 MAX SUSTAINZDQINDS - 040 KT, GUST S 050 KT RADIUS OF PET KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECT36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VA ID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0S9 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.2S2 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.0S4 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035#KT DISSIPATINGPA SIL IFICANT TROPICA :6:)9,3 9;34 2-534 REMARKS: 030900ZGW POSITITN NEAR 17.0S8 117.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S HAS BEGUN TRACKING WESTWARD AOPY KNOTS DURING OHE PASTPUVHOURS. THLWARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON AN ERLIER 030038:(?.8:492-;3 8.-<34 0--- -,$ 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENYQTQ IS BHDOLUPM NLE CURRENT INTENSITYPESTIMCOLOF 35 KNOTS AND PREVIOUS SUPPORTING SHIP REPORTS. IATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A SIGNIFICANTLY MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN THAT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. WEAKENED STEERING FLOW AND THE SYSTEM;S ASYMMETRIC VSTRUCTURE MAY BE RESPONSIBLE FORTHE SUDDEN TRACK CHANGE AND SLOWER MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S IS LOCATED BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING TROUGH TO ITS SOUTHWEST, CAUSING THE AFOCMENTIONED WZM BOEERING FLO. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNTIL RETURNING TO A MORE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, RESULTING IN IBRE SOUTHWESTWARD TRN ER THE 24 HOURS FORECASTLOSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONEI05S EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO UNDERGMIINCREASING SHEAR AS THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW REINSTATES. 5#343>94+, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05LIS FORECAST TO STCENTHEN ONLY BIGHTLYPT HROUGHOUT THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.THEN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DWSSIPATE OVY WATER THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT ATPPEPYPPZ IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628194-9212>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15640; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10911248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA13062 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812031730.LAA28911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 11:30:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47b6ed3df0f093a1cac53eab02ae8262 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 551 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031351Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4S2 117.6E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4S2 117.6E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 135E9 IN THE ARAFURA SEA. THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3009 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628336-9212>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 04:49:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25748; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:14:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10912680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:14:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09568 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:14:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:13:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812032013.OAA03239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:13:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 939017c7fa75a7577611d6ff15a69be2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 WTXS31 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 17.5S3 117.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 117.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.8S6 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.3S2 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.0S0 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.0S2 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.6S0 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.6S4 117.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 031730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE GRADUALLY WEAKENS DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION AT WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS LOCATED WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SUGGESTING THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVES AGAINST THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:09:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2262 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-2837>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:43:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28418; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:44:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:43:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24626 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:42:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:42:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040642.AAA12839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:42:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6cdc6695aa86d4e3d9640b5560319c4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 188 ABIO10 PGTW 040630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/040630Z/041800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2S1 116.9E7, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 88E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 135E9 IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 9N9 AND 134E. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION WITH CYCLONIC TURNING. SHIP REPORTS IN THE ARAFURA SEA INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS. ADDITIONALLY, THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED WITHIN A WELL DEFINED MONSOON TROUGH AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVERLIES THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.2. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:10:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627129-2832>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 16:47:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA12180; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 02:47:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10920022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 02:47:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14462 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 02:47:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 02:47:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040847.CAA13701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 02:47:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca9287d27af65c123c1b9006bad5cc21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 429 WTXS31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 18.5S4 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.3S3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.8S0 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.5S9 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 23.6S1 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 25.3S0 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.7S6 116.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 040640Z4 RADAR IMAGERY FROM WMO NUMBER 94308 (DAMPIER, AUSTRALIA) AND ANALYSIS OF 04530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. RADAR IMAGERY STILL INDICATES THE THE PRESENCE OF A 13NM DIAMETER EYE. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS BEGUN TO AFFECT THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AS THE EYE FEATURE IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE DUE TO CIRRUS CLOUD COVER. WITH STRONGER WEST- NORTHWESTERLY WINDS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH, IT APPEARS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED AND WILL BEGIN WEAKENING SOON DUE TO THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS WEAKENING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD MOTION SPEEDS, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:10:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627534-2837>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:50:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA18836; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 04:50:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10920414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 04:50:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA19838 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 04:50:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 04:50:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041050.EAA14684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 04:50:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a63b675bc7cb7e85b13f0096fae60344 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 868 WTXS21 PGTW 041000 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 275 NM RADIUS OF 8.8S6 133.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.9S7 133.7E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARAFURA SEA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 040108Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND 040000Z4 SYNOPTIC SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS OF 15 KNOTS AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, THE SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS 20 TO 25 KNOT WESTERLY WINDS NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. BOTH 200 MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 051000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628156-2832>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:22:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22856; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 10:20:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10923680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 10:20:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA20744 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 10:20:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA20260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 10:19:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041619.KAA20260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 10:19:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad354da998a60847fe15a90d2a704dd3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 933 WTXS31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 18.9S8 116.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 116.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.7S7 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.8S0 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 21.9S2 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 22.9S3 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 24.5S1 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.1S1 116.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 040949Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 041130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER DISPLAYING AN EYE FEATURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO BE CARRIED SOUTHWARD IN THE MID- LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION, SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION, THE WEAKENING SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE MORE WESTWARD AS IT BEGINS TO BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 01:19:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1693 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627218-2837>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:13:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20912; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10924574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26778 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041713.LAA22861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 11:13:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e5c7bc9bb7f7b827fbc7e3493d42f3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 009 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040951Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9S8 116.4E2, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 134E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 041000)). THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARAFURA SEA HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE ORGANIZED. SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 040100Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOW A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ALONG ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME ELONGATED EAST-WEST AND IS SHOWING EVIDENCE OF MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS. THIS AREA REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 04:01:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627621-2835>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 03:53:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12032; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:40:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10925937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:39:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA05308 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:39:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:39:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041939.NAA27049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:39:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5aa68d2b3e6705a0b819b79c26e9a09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 384 WTXS31 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 18.9S8 116.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 116.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.6S6 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.6S8 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.8S1 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.8S2 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 24.7S3 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.1S1 116.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 041318Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 041730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY)IS DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO ELONGATE AS THE DEEP CONVECTION MOVES SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY)=S LOW-LEVEL IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY AND THE WARNING POSITION WAS EXTRAPOLATED FROM A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS WHICH SHOWED THE LOW-LEVEL NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD AND SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWARD IT WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AS WELL AS LAND INTERACTION AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL, WHICH WILL FURTHER WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 04:01:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627567-2832>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 03:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18528; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:51:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10926052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:51:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24488 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:49:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:49:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041949.NAA27317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 13:49:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Tive Troi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65a19b8d0e3e01470d59cc3e1f1ef8cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 493 WTXS31 PGTW 042000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 009 01 TIVE TROI T CYCLONE IN SOUTHERNHEMISPHERE MAXHBRPNWIMPRAMN ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 18.9S8 116.4E2 MVEME T PAST SIX HOURS - 180 ETREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION O ED ON CENTER LOCATED BY S TELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRICQE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE - - 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS,--975#3--5 -3.8:84:)3 070 NM ELSEWHERE 00 REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 116.4E2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VAL AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.6S6 116.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WNDS - 02 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVERWATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS AAV 24 HRS, VALIAT: 051800Z4 --- 20.6S8 115.<34 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT LINDS - 065-NM EOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.8S1 115.3E0 MAX SVPN D RT KT, GUSTS 055 RADIUS OF 035 KT W DS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 10:37:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626098-1543>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 10:11:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA27732; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:12:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10929698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:12:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04414 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:12:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:12:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050212.UAA04449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 20:12:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 05s (billy) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 089927a3827b1021c087035cc5aaba84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 084 WTXS31 PGTW 050300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 19.4S4 116.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 19.4S4 116.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.2S4 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.9S1 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.7S0 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 22.5S9 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.6S6 116.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 042330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS AS WELL AS CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT TC 05S (BILLY) IS UNDERGOING MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR. ALTHOUGH TC 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO ITS SOUTHEAST, THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CHANGE ITS ORIENTATION TO ALLOW FOR THE MORE SOUTHWARDLY TRACK. DUE TO THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD NOT INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES LANDFALL AND SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-1542>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:43:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA11600; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:43:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:43:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA11536 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:43:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:43:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050743.BAA07047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:43:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 05s (billy) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a606b69c3b2ee296f1a90317b9bb66d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 099 WTXS31 PGTW 050900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 19.5S5 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 19.5S5 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.9S9 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.6S8 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.1S4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.8S1 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 23.2S7 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.6S6 115.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS BUT TAKES INTO ACCOUNT THE INCREASED SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE CURRENT POSITION OF TC 05S (BILLY) HAS BEEN LOCATED FURTHER WEST FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO BE UNDER MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS MOST OF THE CONVECTION HAS SHEARED AWAY TO THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) SHOULD COUNTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA DUE TO THE INCREASED SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD DISSIPATE EVEN MORE RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2971 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626413-1543>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 16:18:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26970; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:18:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:18:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21060 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:18:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:18:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050818.CAA07219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 02:18:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7372fd6855e8f37f57a506bac35dc7bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 622 WTXS32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 9.2S1 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 9.2S1 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 9.3S2 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 9.6S5 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 9.9S8 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.3S4 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 9.2S1 130.2E6. THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT TC 06S HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S SHOULD TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. IN ADDITION, TC 06S SHOULD INTENSIFY STEADILY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER THE WARM WATERS NORTH OF AUSTRALIA. ALSO, THE UW-CIMSS 050000Z5 WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040951Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 041000) NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 22:10:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3923 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-1536>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 21:56:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18496; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:57:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10934667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:57:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18458 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:57:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:57:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051357.HAA08898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:57:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4418491215cc3e3b5211ad0b6e681152 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 283 WTXS31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 20.1S3 115.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 20.1S3 115.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 21.1S4 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 22.1S5 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.1S6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 24.2S8 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.4S6 115.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY (45KTS) ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES (55KTS) AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA (45 KTS). THE MICROWAVE SCATTEROMETER PASS (050220Z9) INDICATED THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS A FLARE-UP OF DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM OVER THE LAST THREE HOURS. THIS INCREASE IN CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER INDICATES A TEMPORARY WEAKENING OF VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS ALSO SHOW TC 05S (BILLY) IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) SHOULD ALSO COUNTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA DUE TO THE INCREASED WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD DISSIPATE EVEN MORE RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-1536>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:46:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA29622; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:47:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19610 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051746.LAA10750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 11:46:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7967c2afa2bf77974d16e0399f3a0f7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 210 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 115.2E9, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 130.5E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO RE-DEVELOP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR, BUT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INCREASED. WITH THE INCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, THIS AREA IS DOWNGRADED FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626680-1536>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:02:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25504; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19834 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051803.MAA10962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:03:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54ab7fd1c4c500393ab5ce6e3ae0e9e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 469 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/0618 0Z DEC 98// REF/HXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMEOCCEN WEST GU/050753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINS P GQH U UUPEAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT J-1 130.5E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE R BI SYAED)--)25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 CNOTS. SEE REF B (NMKDQNIVPGTW CAUAIC G FOR FURTHER H M LQGM KEL NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO RE-DEVELOP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR, BUT VERTICAL WINHHT S 8#-( WITH THTLINCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, THIS AREA IS DOWNGRADED FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCLLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626680-1536>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:40:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA04530; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:41:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:40:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22902 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:40:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:40:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051940.NAA11727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:40:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1315324a45c09ed81c0fb8e79efc0039 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 028 WTXS31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 20.3S5 115.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 115.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.8S0 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.3S6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.0S4 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.9S3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.8S4 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.4S6 115.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY (45KTS) ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (051253Z6). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME EXPOSED. THIS EXPOSURE WOULD INDICATE AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SYNOPTIC WIND REPORTS FROM BARROW=S ISLAND AUSTRALIA (WMO 94304) OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS IS QUASI-STATIONARY. UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE TC 05S (BILLY) IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. ANIMATION ALSO REVEALS SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THUNDERSTORMS INTERSECTING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM. TC 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD WITH THE LOW-MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) SHOULD ALSO COUNTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA DUE TO THE INCREASED WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD DISSIPATE EVEN MORE RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626997-1543>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 04:05:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA07514; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:05:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22850 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:05:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:05:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812052005.OAA11979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:05:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71aee8baaa3d3222bba432f398c3e02f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 299 WTXS32 PGTW 052100 RELOCA TED 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 9.2S1 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.2S1 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 9.2S1 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 9.2S1 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.2S1 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.3S2 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 9.2S1 130.8E2. TC 06S HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER EAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S IS A VERY BROAD CIRCULATION AREA WITH WIDESPREAD DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREA CONTINUES ON A WESTWARD TRACK AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KTS) ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 06S HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS INCREASE IN AREAL EXTENT IS MAKING IT MORE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS 0501200Z8 WATER VAPOR WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE THE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. TC 06S SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER THE WARM WATERS NORTH OF AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4).REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-1545>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 04:26:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA18622; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:27:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11688 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:27:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:27:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812052027.OAA12159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:27:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cycwmnes In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bd4b7915b20851218040823ef8dd5da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 710 WTXS31 PGTW 052000 1. ROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCWMNES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONWAMINKOE AVERAGE WARNINGPOSITIONC PTQIPPZ4 --- NEAR 20.3S5 115.0E79 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURWTE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTAUKT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM UTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 115.0E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.8S0 114.8EWR R MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUS TS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0-0 NM ELSEWHEREO VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.3S6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WIN - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.0S4 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LANF VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.9S3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT D DISWIQWNG AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS,8VALID AT: + 08180;Z7 --- 24.8S4 114.3-9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - #20 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.4S6 115.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS DSIFTED SOUTHWARD ATHPBKNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENTINTENSITY (45KTS) ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (051253Z6). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOKRS. THE MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME EXPOSED. THIS EXPOSURE WOULD INDICATE AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SYNOPTIC W ND REPORTS FROM B FCVKS ISLANDNAUSTRALIA (WMO 94304) OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS IS QUASI-STATIONARY. UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS ANE WMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE TC 05S (BILLY) IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OFMODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. -,8.-589, -)-9 REVEALS SEVERAL OUTFLODUNDARIES FROM THUNDERSTORMS QNTERSECTING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM. TC 05S (BILLY) IS FORECASTO CONTPNUE TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD WITH THE LOW-MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) SHOULD ALSO COUNTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT AP49-:#3- 5#3 ,945#25 :9--5 OF AUSTRALIA DUE TO THE INCREASED WINDSHEAR ENVIRONONT. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD DISSIPATE EVEN MORE RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 JBR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-1536>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 05:54:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12272; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:55:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA26024 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:55:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:54:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812052154.PAA12966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:54:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc700f3988e48df5fed58824655ac942 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 481 WTXS31 PGTW 052100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 013 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 20.3S5 115.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 115.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.8S0 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.3S6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.0S4 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.9S3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.8S4 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.4S6 115.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY (45KTS) ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (051253Z6). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME EXPOSED. THIS EXPOSURE WOULD INDICATE AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SYNOPTIC WIND REPORTS FROM BARROW=S ISLAND AUSTRALIA (WMO 94304) OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS IS QUASI-STATIONARY. UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE TC 05S (BILLY) IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. ANIMATION ALSO REVEALS SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THUNDERSTORMS INTERSECTING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM. TC 05S (BILLY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD WITH THE LOW-MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) SHOULD ALSO COUNTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA DUE TO THE INCREASED WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD DISSIPATE EVEN MORE RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO REMOVE REFERENCE TO WWIO31 AND CHANGE TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S TO REFLECT 12 HOUR WARNINGS IN THE REMARKS SECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-1545>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 06:02:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA12208; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 16:03:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 16:03:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26012 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 16:03:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA13114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 16:03:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812052203.QAA13114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 16:03:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f60699a4626969f18cac409756f2fc5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 640 WTXS31 PGTW 052100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (8))60WARNING NR 013 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYC ONES IN SOUOHE, #3.8-0#343 MAX SUSTAIND WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAJ 20.3S5 615.0E7 MOVEMENT PASFQX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS L POSITION AC CURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050,NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 115.0E7 FORECASTS: 12 PRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.8S0 11-.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TOPICAL CHCONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WI4- 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 ---,UES6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSIA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSQPATQVG MA SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.0S4 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS ASIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS EXENDED OUTLOO: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.9S3 114.4E0 MAX SLCDIK25 KT, GUETS 0-5 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.84 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINES -020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT D SSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: )(5112Z8 POSIITN NEAR 20.4S6 115.#E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLYL HMLDRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY (45KTS ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFAED SATELLITE IMAGE AMALYSIS TECHNIQIES AND A MWCRO-.3,8.-<34 0--- 0#1253Z.). AVIMYED STELLITE IMA GERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECMME QUASIXMO AY OVERTHELQUQO / HOURS. THE MICROWAVE PASS NDICATE TTE OW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CNTER HASN3:9.3 +096 5 -975#2-4$ 285 9#+/92-MID LEVEL STEERING FLO OF GE SSBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTG. TCOPCAL CYCLONE 05S (-:/.691D ALSO COUTINEAKSM AS IT APPROACHEXEMHE NORTHWEST COWST OF AUSTRALI PKSC TUFN NIOMT. AFTDEALMAK N;$>-?). TCBPAPKTTLLY SHOUNCPVATEVEN MMRRAPIDLT DUEUTO LAND INTE RACTIOCGM MAXIMUM SIGNIFICAMLWAVE HTHT AT 52071+4 LGIYPFQN PYQTPPWW OG YQZ6) QVPCPLVOG ONXPZ2). 8REF TO MMAH CBONEM YS WA QYNDPGTWHL FOR TAELV JHOI S APDATSWM IKLJUSTIFICATIOHA VECTINN0-9 43.93 4336:/ 2289, AA QI GE TROZCLONE S TO REFLECT 1 OUR WARZAI X O REVR TIOMXXO L WI MFHV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-22679>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 09:37:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA25344; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:38:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10940019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:38:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA18668 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:38:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:38:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060138.TAA14564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:38:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 05s (billy) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2cd808304a294abfc58918adafebd9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 199 WTXS31 PGTW 060300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 20.8S0 114.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 20.8S0 114.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.3S6 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.9S2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.8S2 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.9S1 114.9E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA NEAR PORT EXMOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHEAST, TC 05S (BILLY) IS IN AN AREA WITH LIGHT LOW LEVEL STEERING, WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR ITS SLOW MOVEMENT. IN ADDITION, THE 0512000Z8 UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR/WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE TC 05S (BILLY) IS UNDERGOING MODERATE TO SEVERE UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR. INDEED, SATELLITE ANALYSIS CONFIRMS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALMOST TOTALLY EXPOSED. SINCE THE CONVECTION HAS BLOWN AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, TC 05S (BILLY) IS DISSIPATING RAPIDLY OVER WATER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE UNTIL IT STRIKES LAND BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TC 05S (BILLY) WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE AUSTRALIAN MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626185-22686>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 09:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24360; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:46:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10940048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA21782 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:46:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:46:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060146.TAA14642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:46:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cycponptvkbilly))warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a95cd138f54229ecf5722cd74f8444f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 362 WTXS31 PGTW 060200 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCPONPTVKBILLY))WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL YCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 20.8S# 11 .9E5 MOVEMENT PAST HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATE OY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICNTTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 0 03 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 20.8S0 114.9E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.3S6 114.8E4 MAX SUSTWINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.9S2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 048KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: -071200Z0 --- 22.8S2 114.5E1 MU SUSTAINE WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAMD REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.9S1 114.9E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO TRAKK SLOWLY SOUHWARD TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA NENORT EXMOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHEAST, TC 05S (BILLY) IS IN AN AREA WITH LQGHT LOW LEVEL STEER G, WHICH ACCOUNTS VF +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4851 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626932-22685>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 16:13:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28756; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:13:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:13:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26434 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:13:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:13:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060813.CAA17867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:13:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 05s (billy) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b364caa93c9a631855916d9109a348aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 314 WTXS31 PGTW 060900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 21.5S8 115.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 21.5S8 115.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.3S7 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.8S2 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 21.7S0 115.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 060530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE AND IS CONSISTANT WITH AN 060018Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE ANIMATED INFRARED, VISIBLE, AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO SHOW A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM MOVING JUST OFF THE COAST. THE 060000Z6 UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW MODERATE TO SEVERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DIRECTLY OVER TC 05S (BILLY) AND CONTINUING TO THE SOUTHEAST. DUE TO THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, TC 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER WATER AND WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER THE AUSTRALIAN MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626900-22686>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 16:21:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA16856; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:22:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:22:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28866 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:22:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:22:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060822.CAA17893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:22:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3de875ad3c071cf0d655aefc8f635af8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 498 WTXS32 PGTW 060900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626941-22679>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 16:29:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23066; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:29:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:29:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA13318 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:29:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:29:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060829.CAA17911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:29:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5f72f9eed023f3aa2ee754e5be358ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 589 WTXS32 PGTW 060900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 003 02 AIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 9.8S7 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.2S3 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 10.6S7 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.1S3 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 09.6S5 130.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 060530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, CURRENT ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALTHOUGH TC 06S CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE, THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVELCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS BROAD IN NATURE. SINCE THE BROAD NATURE OF THE LLCC MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE LLCC LOCATION WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, IT WILL BECOME EVEN MORE SO AS WE GO INTO NIGHTFALL AND HAVE TO RELY ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN ADDITION, THE UW-CIMMS 060000Z6 UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE TC 06S IS SITUATED UNDER AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. HENCE, TC 06S SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES OVER THE WARM WATERS NORTH OF AUSTRALIA AND THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-22685>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 16:32:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA13452; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:32:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:32:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23160 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:32:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:32:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060832.CAA17929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 02:32:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06s Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fffdefe71c1df59d8acd5478f07fe494 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 612 WTXS32 PGTW 060900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 9.8S7 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.2S3 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 10.6S7 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.1S3 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 09.6S5 130.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 060530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, CURRENT ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALTHOUGH TC 06S CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE, THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVELCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS BROAD IN NATURE. SINCE THE BROAD NATURE OF THE LLCC MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE LLCC LOCATION WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, IT WILL BECOME EVEN MORE SO AS WE GO INTO NIGHTFALL AND HAVE TO RELY ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN ADDITION, THE UW-CIMMS 060000Z6 UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE TC 06S IS SITUATED UNDER AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. HENCE, TC 06S SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES OVER THE WARM WATERS NORTH OF AUSTRALIA AND THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1847 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627765-22679>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 17:10:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA11650; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:11:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:11:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA27758 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:11:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:11:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060911.DAA18285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:11:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pical Cyclt To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 200dd294fe8149a8a460ce8371d8ee92 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 179 WTXS32 PGTW 060900 1. TR PICAL CYCLT PS WARNING NR 003 = MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERARZT WARNING POQITION:, 060600Z2 --- NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KLSPL POSITION ACC U RATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE -PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 / 5, GUSTS 055 KT RADISS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 N SOUTHEAST UEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIZ: NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3 FOREC STSJC B QW HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z5 ---,9.8S7 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED W DS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NMLSOQTHEAST SEMICURCBYP N PYT NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG6 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.2S3 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 05- KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIKS OX 050 JPCIFIQ20 NM AUS OF 035 78 (885 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - , 070 NM ELSEWERE -VECTOR TO 36 HR POS T: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 10.6S7 129.3T MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WPNDS - 035 NM EOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE - -2025 NM ELSEWHERE ADISY VER WATER 026#.4 59 48 HR POSIT: +35 ($3; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 21:45:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28990; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:45:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10944302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:45:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA21800 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:45:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:45:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061345.HAA19596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:45:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e9debb5bb86a68cf1d8a88e1f429836 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 976 WTXS31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 00:31:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627335-22685>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 21:46:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA25444; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:46:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10944306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:46:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA29008 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:46:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:46:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061346.HAA19600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:46:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d763179df7066a9398efc6922b0b247 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 007 WTXS31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 22.6S0 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.1S7 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 23.0S5 115.7E4. FINAL WARNING FOR TC 05S (BILLY). TC 05S MADE LANDFALL NEAR ONSLOW, AUSTRALIA AROUND 060630Z5. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES MAX SUSTAINED (ONE MINUTE AVERAGE) WINDS WERE 30KTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 05S (BILLY) INCREASED FORWARD MOVEMENT AS IT BECAME SHEARED AND NOW EXISTS AS A LOW-LEVEL FEATURE WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25KTS) ARE BASED UPON 061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND SYNOPTIC DATA INTERPRETATION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE REMNANTS OF TC 05S (BILLY) SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 05S HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. THE COMBINATION OF THIS WINDSHEAR AND LAND EFFECTS HAVE CAUSED TC 05S (BILLY) TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-22679>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 01:54:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23130; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25154 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061755.LAA21190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 11:55:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f78d41e72617e24e7e37fa3a6d7b4d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 128 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6S0 115.6E3, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS WAS THE FINAL WARNING ON TC05S (BILLY). (2) AT 060600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 88E6 IS NOW NEAR 12S3 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. ALSO 061200Z9 SHIP REPORTS (J8FN AND 9KKS) HAVE REPORTED 25-37 KNOTS ABOUT 150NM UPSTREAM. THIS APPROACHING SURGE SHOULD LEAD TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT. HENCE, THIS AREA IS UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION AND DEIGO GARCIA (WMO 61967) HAS REPORTED GUSTS UP TO 17KTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS (051800Z4) INDICATED 15-20KT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS CIRCULATION. CURRENT SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION THROUGHOUT THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627512-22685>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:07:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA13384; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10946032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA07460 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061808.MAA21475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:08:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7bb8e137375fc9efc61a1c8a7aef83d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 407 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6S0 115.6E3, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS WAS THE FINAL WARNING ON TC05S (BILLY). (2) AT 060600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6S5 130.9E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 88E6 IS NOW NEAR 12S3 93E2. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. ALSO 061200Z9 SHIP REPORTS (J8FN AND 9KKS) HAVE REPORTED 25-37 KNOTS ABOUT 150NM UPSTREAM. THIS APPROACHING SURGE SHOULD LEAD TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT. HENCE, THIS AREA IS UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION AND DEIGO GARCIA (WMO 61967) HAS REPORTED GUSTS UP TO 17KTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS (051800Z4) INDICATED 15-20KT WINDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS CIRCULATION. CURRENT SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION THROUGHOUT THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1229 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627506-22682>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 03:50:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29816; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:51:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10946963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:51:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15204 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:51:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:51:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061951.NAA22699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:51:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abb11440672f2f9b01e8334a6e2a9378 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 974 WTXS32 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 9.4S3 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 9.4S3 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.4S3 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.5S4 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 9.7S6 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 10.0S1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 9.4S3 130.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY (55KTS) ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF AUSTRALIA. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AND IS BEGINNING TO CONTRACT. THIS IS A GOOD INDICATION OF INCREASING INTENSITY. AS IT CONTINUES TO CONTRACT AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SHOULD BECOME EASIER TO LOCATE. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN DIVERGENCE CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. THEY ALSO INDICATE MINIMAL VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ABOVE THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVEHEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 18:39:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627631-3878>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 16:36:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29884; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:37:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10954265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:37:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24742 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:37:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:37:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070837.CAA01630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 02:37:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d38ea9ae352eedfed4e24612305bd06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 791 WTXS32 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 10.0S1 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 10.0S1 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 10.2S3 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 10.4S5 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 10.6S7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 10.9S0 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.0S1 131.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE ARAFURA SEA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 070530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITIES ARE BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 95 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH TC 06S (THELMA) IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MITIGATING THE STEERING EFFECTS OF THE RIDGE. APPARENTLY, THE TROUGH, WHICH EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA AND DIGS NORTH TOWARDS TC 06S (THELMA), IS CREATING ENOUGH WESTERLY FLOW NEAR TC 06S (THELMA) TO COUNTERACT THE EASTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THIS MITIGATION EFFECT HAS ALLOWED TC 06S (THELMA) TO DRIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTH. ACCORDING TO THE NAVAL OPERATIONAL GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS), THE TROUGH/RIDGE INTERACTION SHOULD AFFECT THE TRACK OF TC 06S (THELMA) FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BY THE 48 HOUR MARK, TC 06S (THELMA) SHOULD TAKE A MORE WESTERLY TRACK AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BEGINS TO HAVE SOME SWAY OVER THE COURSE OF TC 06S (THELMA). HENCE, THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SLOW TO QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT TENDS TOWARD THE SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OVER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED UPON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM BUT WERE SOMEWHAT REDUCED DUE TO THE AVAILABLE SURFACE SYNOPTIC INFORMATION OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND INDEED TC 06S (THELMA) HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY, BUT NOT AT SUCH AN ACCELERATED RATE, AS TC 06S (THELMA) SHOULD BEGIN TO USE UP THE AVAILABLE SURFACE LEVEL ENERGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 02:06:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-3880>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:03:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24940; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10959688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA25048 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071803.MAA10239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:03:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73b0236ed1a0cc0fdc3bb0d7b7155813 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 393 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070753Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9N9 AND 79E6 OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE WINDSHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 131E5, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW NEAR 11S2 95E4. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. THIS WINDSHEAR IS DISPLACING THE CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS INDICATE CONTINUED WINDSHEAR DUE TO THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 YESTERDAY HAS FILLED. THE ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS ALSO DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 02:15:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627885-3878>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:10:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23114; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10959853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22832 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071810.MAA10429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:10:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fb054c1b133ba12361a71fe3e7e69ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 623 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070753Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9N9 AND 79E6 OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE WINDSHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 131E5, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 93E2 IS NOW NEAR 11S2 95E4. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS FLARED UP WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. THIS WINDSHEAR IS DISPLACING THE CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS INDICATE CONTINUED WINDSHEAR DUE TO THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WBTHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 71E8 YESTERDAY HAS FILLED. THE ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS ALSO DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 04:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627809-3879>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 04:23:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21216; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 14:23:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10961841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 14:23:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA17586 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 14:23:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 14:23:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812072023.OAA13922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 14:23:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d306f2699e22188e3e46d07192d87799 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 690 WTXS32 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 10.9S0 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.9S0 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.5S7 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.1S4 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.8S1 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.4S8 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.1S3 130.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS DRIFTED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (115KTS) ARE BASED ON 071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERY REVEALS A 19NM RAGGED EYE WITH THE EYEWALL APPROACHING BATHURST AND MELVILLE ISLANDS, JUST NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A SLIGHTLY MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A FAIRLY CONTRACTED WIND RADII. ALTHOUGH TC 06S (THELMA) IS UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHEAST IS MITIGATING THE STEERING EFFECTS OF THE RIDGE. THIS MITIGATION EFFECT ALLOWED TC 06S (THELMA) TO DRIFT MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. ACCORDING TO THE NAVAL OPERATIONAL GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS), THE TROUGH/RIDGE INTERACTION IS WEAKENING AND SHOULD ONLY AFFECT THE TRACK OF TC 06S (THELMA) FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE FORECAST TRACK IS MORE WESTERLY AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BEGINS TO BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. THE FORECAST TRACK SPEED GRADUALLY INCREASES AS THE STEERING FLOW TRANSITIONS. TC 06S SHOULD NOW BE AT MAX INTENSITY AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE AUSTRALIAN ISLANDS AND NORTH COAST. TC 06S (THELMA)=S INTENSIFY IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DUE TO THIS INTERACTION. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED UPON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM, SATELLITE SIGNATURE, AND AVAILABLE SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6). // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 14:18:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625890-8556>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:30:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA24076; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 17:31:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10964168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 17:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA25042 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 17:29:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 17:29:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812072329.RAA18535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 17:29:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5ea4f918464d1af9b807c6934944edb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 506 WTXS32 PGTW 072000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNINV POSITION: 071800Z6 ---,NEAR 10.9S0 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PTSITION ACCURATA TO WITHI , FM POSITIOM BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DIETRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WI NDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATEJ ADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER 6303-5 09-85: 10.9S0 130.5E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.5S7 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE .9;34 2-534 , 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 0500KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WAER 8 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 110 ?,. 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 VECTO TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.1S4 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDE - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER VECTORLTO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600;+5 --- 12.8SILTOPE2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KHS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.4S8 128.0E1 ) MAX SUSTAINED WINDY - 105 KT, GUST S 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 88888 <9;34 2-534 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSIITN NEAR 11.1S3 130.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS DRIFTED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (115KTS) ARE BASED ON 071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERY REVEALS A 19NMPJAGGED EYE WITH THE EYEWALL APPROACHING BATHURST UND MELVILLE ISLANDS, JUST NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A SLIGHTGY MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACKPMVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A FAIRLY CONTRACTED WIND RADII. ALTHOUGH OCHQS (THELMA) IS UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INBUENCE OF THE SIBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHEASTS MITIGATING THE STEERING EFFECTS OF THE RIDGE. THIS MITIGATION EFFECT ALLOWED TC 06S (THELMA) TO DRIFT MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. ACCORDING TO THE NAVAL XOPER ATIONAL LOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS), THE TROUGH/RIDV INTERACTION IS WEAKENING AND SHOULD ONLY AFFECT THE TRACK OF TC 06S (THELMA) FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE FORECAST TRACK IS MORE WESTERLY AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BEGINS TO BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. THE FORECAST TRACK SPEED GRADUATLY INCREASES AS THE STEERING FLOW HRANSITIONS. TC 06S SHOULD NOW BE AT MAX INTENSITY AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE AUSTRALIAN ISLANDS AND NORTH COAST. TC 06S (THELMA);S INTENSIFY IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DUE TO THIS INTERACTION. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED UPON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER ZHAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM, SATELLITE SIGNATAND AVAILABLE SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVELHEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6). // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 16:38:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-8555>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 16:08:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25460; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:09:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA16462 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:09:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:09:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080809.CAA24137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:09:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 752eb927bf0b78d41c6629b41b631ab1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 090 WTXS32 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 11.6S8 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.2S5 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.7S0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.0S4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.3S7 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 129.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A SMALL CIRCULAR EYE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY ALONG THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BELIEVED TO HAVE PEAKED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT SHOULD WEAKEN ONLY SLOWLY. SYNOPTIC DATA AS WELL AS THE VISIBLE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CONTRACTED WIND RADII. THE STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAKLY DOMINATED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 16:38:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626633-8556>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 16:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24172; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:18:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24922 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:17:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:17:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080817.CAA24203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:17:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 439ad01af6ba3532c942bf8eec84bd34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 348 WTXS32 PGTW 080800 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 11.6S8 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLPTE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: #MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 0)0 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WWTER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.6-8 129.5E7 FORECASTBUAAL QW HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.2S5 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSBPP KT M RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 2HR POSIT: 245 EG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.7S0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 QGUSTU 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.0S4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWEE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.3S7 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 0159,# <4-$87- 9> 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 129.2E<. 4 TROPI L CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED STUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PASTNSIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A SMALL CIRCULAR EYE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY ALONG THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z VISIZLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BELIEVED TO HAVE PEAKED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT SHOULD WEAKEN ONLY SLOWLY. SYNOPTIC DATA AS WELL AS THE VISIBLE IMAGERY CONTINIE TO SUPPORT CONTRACTED WIND RADII. THE STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAKLY DOMINATED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM, THROUGHOUT THFORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANTWAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627989-8552>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:35:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA21950; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10974550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21914 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081736.LAA02496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:36:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1fd1d07bedc3e92c13d37ba2fcf6987 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 448 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 72E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED OFF SOUTHERN INDIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS WITHIN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 129.5E7, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 95E4 HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BEEN STEADY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW A BROAD TROUGH THROUGHOUT THIS REGION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-8555>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:42:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24746; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:42:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:42:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14580 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:40:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:40:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081940.NAA05962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:40:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e74dd8c9fb67a89779e3a2239070f738 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 151 WTXS32 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 11.8S0 128.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 128.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.1S4 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.5S8 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.1S5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.7S1 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.9S1 128.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 081730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS DISPLAYING A 10-NM DIAMETER CLOUD FILLED EYE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THIS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVES AGAINST THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON CURRENT CLOUD SIGNATURE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1811 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627472-8558>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:49:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26110; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:49:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10976083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:49:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14056 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:49:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:49:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081949.NAA06276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:49:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Activerop Cal Clone In Southern Hemispherem To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 817276c5cedb91d56c8a11daafce6996 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 247 WTXS32 PGTW 082000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING V 008 01 ACTIVEROP CAL CLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHEREM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE B P AWMM WARNING POSITION: - 081800Z7 --- NEAR 178S0 128.7E8 MOVEMENT PST SIX HOIRS--250/ 3<433- -5 05 KS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM # POSITION BASED ON EE O BY SATETLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTTN: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, VUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 02 NM- ADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NOR T H SEMICIRCLE - 040 NM ELSE#343 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE -- OVER WATER 120 NM ELWR OVER WATER FORECASTS: 12 HRLN VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.1S4 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 14- KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NOL RADIUS OF 050 KT INDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIR 030 NM BF RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE - 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS PWR HRS, VALID AT: 091800ZLI AAA QWMTS8 127.4E4 MAX SUSTALINES - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 K = $87- 9> 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RAJ 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 0 FM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 888888888 8 8 8888 9;34 2-534 --- 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 3-(54 09-85: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.1S5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WIND - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.7S1 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEVICIRCLE 00 OVER WATER # 0 030 NM ELSEWHEREOMER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.9S1 128.5E6. TT L CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATBLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 081730Z9 SATELLITE INSITY ESTIME . TRMPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMLVTEACHED ITS PEAK INTEMFITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS DISPLAYING A 10-NM DIAMETER CLOUD FILLED EYE. OVOPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS MM OQM1:-) :6:)9,+-06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THIS YOPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCONTER INCREASING WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVEU AGAINST THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON CURRNTCLOUD SIGNATURE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 16:13:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627881-17323>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 16:01:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA13368; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:02:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:02:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12828 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:02:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:02:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090802.CAA19453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:02:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2d26e0d8eb23f1455d13f9e3c824fc1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 WTXS32 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 12.3S6 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.8S1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.2S6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.6S0 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.1S6 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WNDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.4S7 127.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM RETAINS ITS EYE AND CONTINUES TO BE EXTREMELY INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. THE GAIN IN LATITUDE REFLECTS MODULATION OF THE RIDGE BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE WAVES AS WELL AS THAT BY THE TC ITSELF. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SLOWLY WEAKENS. THERE HAVE BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECASTED INTENSITIES OR WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 16:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2300 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627949-17324>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 16:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26800; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:22:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:22:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29844 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:22:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:22:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090822.CAA19539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:22:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: + - 01 Active Tropicul To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e91d495506bbe09afc62d8c0be95e8f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 WTXS32 PGTW 090800 1. TROICAL CYCLONE 06S(THELMA) WARNING NR 009 + - 01 ACTIVE TROPICUL KYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASEDTN ONEJMMINUTE AVERAG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 02:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2428 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628179-17324>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:06:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20880; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10989881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24882 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091705.LAA28165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 11:05:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f586a36ccaf24fd3e8dbc74f97f16050 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 081 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3S6 127.9E9, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4. A 090332Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (SHOWING 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS) REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PERSISTENT CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW A DECREASE IN OVERALL CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 04:02:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4640 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628438-17324>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16106; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10992591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:53:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13988 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:53:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:52:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091952.NAA02721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:52:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a8a7374631f8de5698599e0bcde4a47 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 846 WTXS32 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 12.9S2 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S2 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.6S0 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.3S8 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.1S7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.9S5 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.1S5 126.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 091730Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS PRESENTLY DISPLAYING A 10-NM CLOUD FILLED EYE FEATURE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN MAINTAINING ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ITS EYE FEATURE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PREVIOUS 6 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD AND BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON A 091419Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627127-20936>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 17:25:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA21062; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:25:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:24:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15346 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:24:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:24:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100924.DAA14486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:24:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85f1e5c83118bbd37bfe36ec45a259be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 192 WTXS32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.9S3 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.4S9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.2S8 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.8S4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.5S9 125.9E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 125 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 100530Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS PRESENTLY DISPLAYING A 30-NM PARTIALLY CLOUD FILLED EYE FEATURE, BUT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYE FEATURE HAS EXPANDED AND CONTRACTED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS APPARENTLY REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY AND IS BEGINNING TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM THE FLOW COMING IN OFF NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA AND SLIGHTLY COOLER WATER TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1047 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-20936>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 17:32:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA21234; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:31:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:31:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26334 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:31:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:31:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100931.DAA14527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:31:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southen Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c2ec012699b3b4e9318a6350a7d0388 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 390 WTXS32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRI BUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT 8QKAF 100 KT WINDS 3 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.9S3 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATC 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG)05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.4S9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS O100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.2S8 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAIND WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVQ WATER 080 .+ 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK3) 48 HRS, VALID ATW 120600Z9 --- 15.8S4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER A 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.5S9 125.9E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERYZOVTHE WARNING INTENSITY OF 125 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 100530Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS PRESENTLY DISPLAYING A 30-NM PARTIALLY CLOUD FILLED EYE FEATURE, BUT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYE FEATURE HAS EXPANDED AND CONTRACTED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS APPARENTLY REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY AND IS BEGINNING TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06SI(THELMA)-IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM THE FLOW COMING IN OFF NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA AND SLIGHTLY COOLE WATER TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-20935>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:04:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12978; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09606 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101805.MAA21773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:05:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 134c69466708493b3bd2509ad126fc09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 773 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628045-20934>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:09:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12888; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22850 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101809.MAA21860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:09:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afa4800760b7b8fb9d013eb406a00bc7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 929 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627590-20936>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:46:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27792; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:47:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10871080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:47:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15210 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:33:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:33:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101833.MAA22261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:33:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4b154397b01e9c4aed8d54f7d20db18 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 690 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 95E4 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4081 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627640-20936>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 03:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12802; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:15:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10871651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:15:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12272 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:15:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:15:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101915.NAA23145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:15:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae9526078580ad427baef10007f2b762 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 845 WTXS32 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 14.5S0 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.5S1 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.2S9 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0S8 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.7S5 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.8S3 125.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 120 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 101730Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA)=S EYE IS NO LONGER APPARENT. ANIMATION SHOWS TC 06S HAS APPROACHED THE COASTLINE OF NORTHERN AUSTRALIA AND IS BEGINING TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN APPROACHING UPSTREAM TROUGH SHOULD BEGIN INFLUENCING THE TRACK AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AFTER THE 48 HOUR POINT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY AND IS BEGINNING TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO A COMBINATION OF DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM THE FLOW COMING IN OFF NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA, LAND INTERACTION, AND INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 11:48:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627236-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 10:40:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20942; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:41:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA20896 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110240.UAA01241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:40:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significantvtqow8:?:9,.<34 -$;8-946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c53929f5a18fc60f6a3f986329b2be4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 580 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGIDKXENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANTVTQOW8:?:9,.<34 -$;8-946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, OCEAN/10.:1+/111800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1000:9+ $3: 98// AMPN/TROPPQAGIVYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN BCAPNFONB;2)0.QNSULA WE T TO COAET OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONAV MI B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA -,8 (1-5#3 -43- 9> :9,;3:589, 043;BPIVY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E 2 REMAINS UNIPASTATIONARY; LXPOPTIVLGNMNBN<)-,8.-53$ 8,>4-43$ IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIBN IS ASSOCPATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVEIKINLLOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN TTE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERYN MQNER, SHOWS TPUS CONHECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. .-/8.7. SUSTAINED WINDE ARE ESTIMAHED AT 10 OO 20 KNOTBKLMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIOATEE TOBE 10078VB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF NBBWGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS PMO. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEETMEL CIRCULATION REMAINS, ANIMAT E D RINFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO NE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOARS. NO OTHER SUSPER AREAS. FOCE PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BCCVWNGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627212-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:49:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21842; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10878469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16430 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110649.AAA03989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:49:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5c788c3f6ced3ee40aa50eced1341d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 073 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSOID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER A VIS RY FOR THE INEIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DC 98//- REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPIMAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSU A WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CHCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: (15 THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSXQVAWX?//9CF6;3.-8,- 17--8-S T ATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY I AREA OF PRSISTENT CONVECION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMAE WATER VAPOR IMAGER0);KJVGCQMMGVRTICAL WWMB UHEUY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINOGWWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEU CCNXXQNI ICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IBBMYZCBVXJVVZLO OTHER SUSIECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROIICAL CYCLONE 06S (GALMA0)29?<)9:-53$ 3 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARDHQGPWMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOLF GUST NG TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REFA (WTXS32 PGU 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (+) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, THE AREA OF CONVECHPONKVXDXMCWKFAPQCS3 99BKIVFVLEIPATED. ALTHOUGH A L OW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMUICSP ANIMATED RQ MKCARED AND WATER VAPOR IMA GERY INDIC TE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO GGNGER SUSPENT FOR TPSNDAMUK;3:)8?> /97IKII Q N?854.#8:-)./7?7;(KKICU6MVQMKM 459 - BVVD1+)0.<#111800)/2VV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627901-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:30:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25936; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21804 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110831.CAA04630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:31:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cb196d48f5752b540875552496e0ce8 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 060 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSOID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER A VIS RY FOR THE INEIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DC 98//- REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100753Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPIMAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSU A WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CHCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: (15 THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSXQVAWX?//9CF6?3.-8,- 17--8-S T ATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY I AREA OF PRSISTENT CONVECION SOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMAE WATER VAPOR IMAGER0)?KJVGCQMMGVRTICAL WWMB UHEUY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINOGWWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEU CCNXXQNI ICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IBBMYZCBVXJVVZLO OTHER SUSIECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7 TROIICAL CYCLONE 06S (GALMA0)29??)9:-53? 3 13.4S8 126.1E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARDHQGPWMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 KNOLF GUST NG TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REFA (WTXS32 PGU 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (+) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, THE AREA OF CONVECHPONKVXDXMCWKFAPQCS3 99BKIVFVLEIPATED. ALTHOUGH A L OW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMUICSP ANIMATED RQ MKCARED AND WATER VAPOR IMA GERY INDIC TE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO GGNGER SUSPENT FOR TPSNDAMUK?3:)8?? /97IKII Q N?854.?8:-)./7?7?(KKICU6MVQMKM 459 - BVVD1+)0.??111800)/2VV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:56:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:36:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15286; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:37:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:37:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26018 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:37:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:37:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110837.CAA04682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:37:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8d531a308846388523c8ac4e618385a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 175 WTXS32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.6S3 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.2S0 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.7S5 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3S2 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 124.8E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TC 06S (THELMA) IS DIGGING INTO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA EAST OF YAMPI SOUND. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF THE DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM MAINLAND AUSTRALIA REDUCING THE AVAILABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, AND THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:56:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4347 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625970-10553>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:46:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA21850; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:46:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:46:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24136 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:46:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:46:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110846.CAA04753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:46:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5eb6708d5550a91baaf062f1f6ab8386 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 WTXS32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL CYNONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGEES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NMNORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6 FORECWSTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.6S3 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINBY - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYNLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OHPTP KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE , - OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.2S0 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER B VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.7S5 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3S2 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 124.8E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TC 06S (THELMA) IS DIGGING INTO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA EAST OF YAMPI SOUND. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF THE DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM MAINLAND AUSTRALIA REDUCING THE AVAILABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, AND THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627720-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:55:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA24244; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA22656 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA06855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111256.GAA06855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 06:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Oceop/10.:1+/111800z Dec 98?/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2dff3126012b6f733cde6701cec2b54d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 918 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGIDKXENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// OCEOP/10.:1+/111800Z DEC 98?/ REF/A/NAVPACMETBCCEC WEST GU/1000:9+ ?3: 98// AMPN/TROPPQAGIVYCLONE WARNINX// RMKLX 1. NORTH INDIAN BCAPNFONB?2)0.QNSULA WE TITO COAET OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONAV MI B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA -,8 (1-5?3 -43- 9? :9,?3:589, 0439BPIVY LOCATED NEAR WIQN2 66E 2 REMAINS UNIPASTATITNARY? PMPTIVLTNMNBN?)-,8.-53? 8,?4-43? IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCUTATIBN IS ASSOCPATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVEIKINLLOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN TTE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERYN MQNER, SHOWS TPUS CONHECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHONFKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDE ARE ESTIMAHED AT 10 OO 20 KNOTBKLMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIOATEE TOBE 10078VB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELTPMENT OF NBBWGCIFPCAMT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS PMO. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEETMELICUGCU-589, 43.-8,-, ANIMAT E D RINFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO NE WITHIN THE NEXT 2; POARS. NO OTHER SUSPER AREAS. FOCE ANARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BCCVWNGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 23:23:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28076; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:23:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:23:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28054 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:23:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:22:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111522.JAA09000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:22:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Oceop/10.:1+/111800z Dec 98?/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0c69b1ccd5a819bc761aec3a3ff8492 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 506 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGIDKXENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// OCEOP/10.:1+/111800Z DEC 98?/ REF/A/NAVPACMETBCCEC WEST GU/1000:9+ ?3: 98// AMPN/TROPPQAGIVYCLONE WARNINX// RMKLX 1. NORTH INDIAN BCAPNFONB?2)0.QNSULA WE TITO COAET OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONAV MI B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA -,8 (1-5?3 -43- 9? :9,?3:589, 0439BPIVY LOCATED NEAR WIQN2 66E 2 REMAINS UNIPASTATITNARY? PMPTIVLTNMNBN?)-,8.-53? 8,?4-43? IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCUTATIBN IS ASSOCPATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVEIKINLLOUTHWEST OF INDIA IN TTE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERYN MQNER, SHOWS TPUS CONHECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHONFKLMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDE ARE ESTIMAHED AT 10 OO 20 KNOTBKLMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIOATEE TOBE 10078VB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELTPMENT OF NBBWGCIFPCAMT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS PMO. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEETMELICUGCU-589, 43.-8,-, ANIMAT E D RINFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS ARE IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO NE WITHIN THE NEXT 2? POARS. NO OTHER SUSPER AREAS. FOCE ANARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BCCVWNGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:24:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-10552>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 02:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA27796; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10883430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27768 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111832.MAA14474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:32:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weatorth Indian Ocean Area (malayeninsula W To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7334516ddecc980ed87d1460db0c9980 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 794 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAYENINSULA W EST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 71E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO IMPROVE AS IMAGERY INDICATES THE WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:24:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-10549>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:43:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24198; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:44:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA25368 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111943.NAA16217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:43:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weatorth Indian Ocean Area (malayeninsula W To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: baef13e97d58267ad4e9ddc66b882c42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 478 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAYENINSULA W EST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 66E2 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 71E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO IMPROVE AS IMAGERY INDICATES THE WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 124.9E6, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:50:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-13560>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 15:54:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21074; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:55:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:54:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA06424 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:54:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:54:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120754.BAA24163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:54:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 486728aed9e382f2a73d56bf66bdc869 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 136 WTXS32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 17.8S6 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 124.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.4S3 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.0S0 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.5S5 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.4S6 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.0S9 124.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WESTWARD COMPONENT IS DUE TO INFLUENCE BY A PASSING TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. ALTHOUGH HAVING BEEN OVER LAND FOR AWHILE, THE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING ITS LOW- AND MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION AS WELL AS SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION. DUE TO THIS, IN ADDITION TO IT APPROACHING THE COASTLINE, THE FORECAST PERIOD IS THE FULL 48 HOURS, EVEN THOUGH THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW WARNING CRITERIA DUE TO CONTINUED LAND INTERACTION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 120530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:52:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628198-13563>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:40:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA06492; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:41:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:40:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13494 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:39:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:39:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121939.NAA28368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:39:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3982bda923b1aec5263bdee40349d8ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 599 WTXS32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 18.6S5 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 123.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.4S4 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1S3 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.6S8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.5S8 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.8S7 123.8E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS LOCATED OVER THE GREAT SANDY DESERT, THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MAINTAINING GOOD UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND MOIST INFLOW FROM THE COAST, WHICH HAS ALLOWED THE SYSTEM TO TEMPORARILY INTENSIFY TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, AND THEN TURN SOUTHWESTWARD, IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PROXIMITY TO THE COAST AND STEADY ORGANIZED STRUCTURE, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO ONLY WEAKEN TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT CLOUD SIGNATURE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:52:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4835 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627429-13565>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21480; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:44:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:44:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04556 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:42:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:42:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121942.NAA28400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:42:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a79a17570f8a8d4ea63711f4e9d325f6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 634 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121355Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112259Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. A 121315Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:53:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628198-13560>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:46:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12056; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA11538 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:45:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:45:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121945.NAA28424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:45:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Soarnhemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01de84406a4946b5da5ce494f9467bfd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 680 WTXS32 PGTW 122000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOARNHEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BAD ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 18.6S5 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 123.9E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, V CBMKAAVL QEPYPPZ0 --- 19.4S4 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER 8 VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 1318#0Z3 --- 20.1S3 122.5E0 )- MAX SUSTAINED WIND - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.6S8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT <;3594 59 48 HR POSIT: 225 EG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.5S8 120.5E8 VAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.867 123.8E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATERLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. TROPICAL CYLONE PYS (THELMA) HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM TVBYOPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS LOCATED OVER THE GREAT SANDY DESERT, THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MAINTAINING GOOD UPPEG LEVEL SUPPORT AND MOIST INFLOW FROM THE COAST, WHICH HAS ALLOED THE SYSTEM TO TEMPORARILY INTENSIFY TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, AND THEN TURN SOUTHWESTWARD, IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PROXIMITY TO THE COAST AND STEADY ORGANIZED STRUCTURE, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO ONLY WEAKEN TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT CLOUD SIGNATURE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 13075$Z9) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:53:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628166-13565>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21460; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:48:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:48:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21412 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121947.NAA28436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:47:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09529efb308883b196d12fef65f4fe4d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 702 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121355Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112259Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. A 121315Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:57:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628198-13560>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:52:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15184; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26148 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121953.NAA28476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:53:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53db1b47e5ebbacc1aab499983ae7dcf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 727 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121355Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/112259Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 71E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ARABIAN SEA. A 121315Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 112300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8S6 124.4E1 OVER AUSTRALIA, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS32 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:58:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-10322>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 15:22:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18764; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:23:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10904814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:23:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18488 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:23:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:23:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130723.BAA04227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:23:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e2445162b19e930cb34c6944ddb28b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTXS32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 18.8S7 122.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 122.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.1S1 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.6S6 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.2S4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.9S1 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.9S8 122.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH STILL OVER LAND, THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING ITS ORGANIZATION AND SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION. AS TC 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE CLOSER TO AND THEN OVER THE WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE WEAKENING AGAIN OVER LAND. THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 40753Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627542-10316>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:06:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23126; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:07:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10907365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA16438 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131706.LAA07721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 11:06:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e6ec363d9bbaeb9873b95d9a023f65e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 164 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131357Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130155Z DEC 98// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF C, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 67.5E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS DISSIPATED OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 68E4 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8S7 122.6E1, MOVING WESTWARD OVER AUSTRALIA AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS32 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9S9 98E7 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF INCREASING CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO SHOW CYCLONIC TURNING AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 10:00:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627558-10322>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:55:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29608; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:54:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10909592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:54:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04988 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:54:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:54:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131954.NAA09495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:54:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecd98f2a6b0117dec7ba1e491d611c00 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 WTXS32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 19.2S2 121.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 121.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.6S6 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.0S2 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.7S9 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 21.4S7 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.3S3 121.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS LOST MOST OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION BUT HAS RETAINED ITS ORGANIZATION. THE SYSTEM HAS NOW MOVED OVER WATER AND IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MOVES BACK OVER LAND NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 16:42:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-24576>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 16:09:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA16874; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:09:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:09:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25046 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:09:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:09:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140809.CAA16751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:09:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5206815827edae7f2701c318ba81b9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 910 WTXS32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 19.7S7 120.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOUR - 23 QWES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINB 035 K ;U +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 17:01:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625949-24579>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 16:54:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA06446; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:54:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:54:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA16668 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:54:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:54:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140854.CAA16972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:54:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b6b07803c885cde0cc2b602b2e56dfc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 652 WTXS32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 19.7S7 120.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 120.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.2S4 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.9S1 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 21.6S9 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 22.7S1 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8 120.5E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BORDERING ON THE COASTLINE AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE BACK OVER LAND, EVENTUALLY GAINING LATITUDE IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW TC 06S (THELMA) TO DISSIPATE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 21:29:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628214-24576>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 20:50:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA04904; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:51:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10916602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA21010 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:51:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA18967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:51:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141251.GAA18967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:51:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 977c3e647a7b4c6654a09c66a943f350 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 367 WTXS21 PGTW 141100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 141051Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.7S4 155.6E7 TO 24.5S1 158.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS VAILA. DATA P(Q( BTTIFY CRUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 21:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628248-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 20:59:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA06582; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:59:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10916668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:58:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA25974 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:58:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA19032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:58:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141258.GAA19032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:58:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dbeaac3f8e4eb5cafcd003a2aee89ffc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 554 WTXS21 PGTW 141100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 141051Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.7S4 155.6E7 TO 24.5S1 158.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 140830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 155.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE CORAL SEA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS EXIST, THE CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 19S0 156E2 IS BECOMING DOMINANT. ADDITIONALLY, A 140745Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FORMED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHEAR CHARTS, HOWEVER, SUGGEST THIS AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 151100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 01:49:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628375-24579>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 01:09:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17696; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:09:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17322 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141708.LAA24512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 11:08:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fed26d2de909e4d14cd782d40878db6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 222 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141357Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140753Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 66.7E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7S7 120.7E0, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER AUSTRALIA AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ITS OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS NOT IMPROVED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 03:29:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628212-24581>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 03:22:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22948; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:21:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10920780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:15:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17676 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:15:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:15:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141915.NAA27557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:15:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71a9817fc0bec91869d2238f91a3cb54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 346 WTXS32 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 20.2S4 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 119.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.8S0 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 21.6S9 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 22.5S9 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 23.2S7 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.3S5 118.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 141730Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING CARRIED SOUTHWARD AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, THEN BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD, IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO AN INCREASING WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 02:13:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629181-21308>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:58:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13336; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10940829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA17666 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161758.LAA10001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 11:58:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d36b9b19fd998d9567e7ba46b5d35b8f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 113 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 02:13:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3839 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629197-21310>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 02:03:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24520; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10940870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24482 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161802.MAA10191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:02:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b355f5c906e57dbe7f538f5314d0bc24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 172 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 03:57:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629193-21304>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 03:19:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21280; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA28680 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161918.NAA11855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:18:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea80cff8d44e4a6f34830f2ef9c95536 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 417 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161357Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 61.6E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN VERY BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING ON THE 161200Z0 SYNOPTIC GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION IN THE AREA. THE 161200Z0 SHEAR PRODUCT FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHOWS MOST OF THE AREA TO BE IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:30:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629196-21304>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:21:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21258; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04588 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162021.OAA13794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:21:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 475be11c029bc860790fc37168ddb327 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 462 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161357Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 61.6E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 161500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN VERY BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING ON THE 161200Z0 SYNOPTIC GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION IN THE AREA. THE 161200Z0 SHEAR PRODUCT FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHOWS MOST OF THE AREA TO BE IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:31:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626324-511>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:00:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16488; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:00:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA21158 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA18753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170058.SAA18753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:58:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subjvvsi,8>8(-.5 54918icbconmger Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bcb187d93fdbda944a44cbfbbb4d49f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 762 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJVVSI,8>8(-.5 54918ICBCONMGER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/-/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 FIR VA POPOCATEPETL 19.;N 98.6W OBS AT 170014 UTC VERTICAL TIL FL300. OUTLOOK VA 170655 UTC 120 NM ESE 20 NM WIDE BTN PWVCCUPFL29;;5 48 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:35:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-512>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16106; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA16064 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170132.TAA19257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:32:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subjvvsi,8?8(-.5 54918icbconmger Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 999e4055b94636a900733bf2e7b7e784 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 760 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJVVSI,8?8(-.5 54918ICBCONMGER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 98// REF/-/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1 FIR VA POPOCATEPETL 19.?N 98.6W OBS AT 170014 UTC VERTICAL TIL FL300. OUTLOOK VA 170655 UTC 120 NM ESE 20 NM WIDE BTN PWVCCUPFL29??5 48 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 09:31:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628003-1318>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:29:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13382; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:29:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10951655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20994 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171728.LAA00680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6a13fe40dd07ac7d8ebe7f35b95b40d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171357Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N5 56.3E4, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 171500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING. CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH STRONG SHEAR TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S1 128E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 18 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED, HOWEVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 08:25:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-1984>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:30:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22402; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:31:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10960775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23094 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812181730.LAA20850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 11:30:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1c4ef7d1fa51def46517491a83baf50 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 73E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 18 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE CIRCULATION AS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1. THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS EXIST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 127E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS MOVED CLOSER TO LAND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 11:46:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3239 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626959-3861>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 11:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30108; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:36:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:36:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20590 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190335.VAA00227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:35:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/signif Cant T To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae575e0442fc0d28c6a14e4f1e25e7e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/(,-;0-:.359::3, 23-5 <7// SUBJ/SIGNIF CANT T OVIRAL WATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/1918)0Z DEC 98/.- RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AF A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SSMMARY: NONE. - B. TROPICAL DISTIRBA CE SUMMARH: - =1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NE R 7;,7 73E0. THIS CO VACTITN HAS BEEN PERS STENTFOR 18 HOURS AND I ASSOCIATED WIH A EURFARE CIRCULATION AS EVIDENT IN SHNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY XSHOWS LITTLEORGE IZAT ON AND ANIMATED WATER VAIOR IMAGERY EHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIN S ARE ESTIMATED AT 05-TO 20 KNOTS. HINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB# THE POTENTIAL SOR THE DEVETTPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOME WITHIN TTE EBT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. <2. SOUTH I DIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO ROAST OF AFRICA): 2 A. TROPICAL CYCLON SUMMARY: NONE. ?. TROPICAL DISTURBA CE EUMMERY: - (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLS LOCATED NEAR 10;-1 98E7 IS NOW LOCATE NEAR 10S1 180EPQM TTIS AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP NONVENTION REOAINS LONATED WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHINLWN SYNOPTIC ATA A D A SCATTVROMETER PAS INDICATE MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS EXIST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOLS FAIR OUTF OW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTA NED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TOBE 100# MB. HE POTENTIAL FO THE DEVELOPMNTNON A SIGNIFII NT TROP CAL RYCLONE AITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LONATED NEAR 10S1 1281= IS NOW LOCATED NAR 13S4 127E0. THIS CONVECTION HAE MOVED CLOSER TO LAND OVER THE PAST 24 HTURSGM SYNOHTIR DATA SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION IS NOW ASSOCIATED W T THIE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM EISTAINEL WI DS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15-KNOTS. /.8,8.8. -3- -74>-:3 ;043--743 8- ;-58.-53$ -9 ?3 1005 ;.?. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIG IFICANT TROPICEL CYCLONE TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEYT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT ARE RECAST VE M: SOITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627211-3864>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 03:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12584; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18682 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191928.NAA06595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00441a8e29ad482349838dc4570fe8f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7N7 73E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE LAST DAY AND A HALF, AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE CONVERGENCE TROUGH AS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO DISPLAY DEEP CONVECTION BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED THROUGHOUT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT, AS DOES THE UW-CIMSS UPPERLEVEL DIVERGENCE PRODUCT. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRODUCT SHOWS WEAK SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH COAST OF AUSTRALIA HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND CEASED TO BE A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/MORRIS/BROOKS/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627618-29229>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA06422; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:34:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21152 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201732.LAA14530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:32:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b2a3e18b8f30e18a30a26ef376622eb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627686-29233>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:40:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31664; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:41:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:39:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA06580 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201738.LAA14582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:38:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83cf29a9e533d0d6790fda4ed10f9dc8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 73E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 98E7. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL DAYS, BUT HAS VARIED IN INTENSITY. THE UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR, WHICH IS RETARDING INTENSIFICATION. IN ADDITION, THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH THE CONVECTION. INDEED, THE 201200Z5 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH IS BENEATH THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627466-29234>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:42:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA29338; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:43:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA31584 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201742.LAA14617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:42:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a8b21a08363bcb763c62bb7d31479a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NOR DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626440-29232>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:56:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17814; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:56:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10977579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20574 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201755.LAA14656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 11:55:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 937330db11a26d28fc6e9e42cfcafdca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-8212>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 01:34:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23190; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:35:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10984426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04924 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211734.LAA27775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:34:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7167ec639ad576bc648ff0e6bf4e7471 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 100E1 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE 211200Z6 GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW TROUGHING BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION; NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT. DUE TO THE LACK OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/MORRIS/GOODMAN/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 09:52:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628021-13344>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 02:16:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA29292; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10993749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28734 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812221817.MAA15282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:17:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bdb24036592c8ad59ef6763ece5fad4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 01:01:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629239-25521>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:08:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA12816; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:08:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11000969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:06:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA18876 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:06:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA29362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:06:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231606.KAA29362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:06:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 2. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c462e63dc4a604152abfede384b47e0f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTXS21 PGTW 231500 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S7 178.1W7 TO 17.9S7 174.1E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231130Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 179.7E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THIS TCFA RE-ISSUED TO ADJUST THE POSITION OF THE TCFA BOX. CENTRAL CONVECTION PERSISTS BUT ITS ORGANIZATION FLUCTUATES. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO FAIR FROM THE NORTHERN QUADRANT CLOCKWISE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRANSFERRED TO JTWC GUAM AS IT CROSSES 180 DEGREES. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 01:01:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-25522>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:09:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA12570; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:10:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11001000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:08:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA18826 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:08:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA29413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:08:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231608.KAA29413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 10:08:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 2. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a72203ddc55e8a89a3bad61f7d8c8771 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTXS21 PGTW 231500 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S7 178.1W7 TO 17.9S7 174.1E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231130Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 179.7E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING AEST= SOUTHWESTWARD AT GQE KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THIS TCFA RE-ISSUED TO ADJUST THE POSITION OF THE TCFA BOX. CENTRAL CONVECTION PERSISTS BUT ITS ORGANIZATION FLUCTUATES. OUTFLOW IS GOOD FAIR FROM THE NORTHERN QUADRANT CLOCKWISE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRANSFERRED TO JTWC GUAM AS IT CROSSES 180 DEGREES. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 10:18:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629428-25520>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 03:11:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23838; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:10:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11002350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30528 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231907.NAA03144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:07:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 282c2fca393923573c4a2040306a504c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LONG-STANDING AREA OF TROUGHING SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE MORE PERSISTENT OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, AND A 231059Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATED THAT A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR STILL EXISTS OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-20158>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:20:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21986; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11005498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA13246 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240411.WAA09998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:11:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0199019cdd99c10034dc25e39530479d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 240100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/240100Z/241800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 100E1 IS NOW NEAR 15N6 100E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD EXCEPT ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING AS SATELLIITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERTICAL WINDSHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENDED. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW FAIR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628779-22542>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 13:41:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31606; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 23:36:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11006151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 23:36:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA13408 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 23:36:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 23:36:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240536.XAA10549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 23:36:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/240251z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df180eddc69744d8ad825a5c61e75187 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTXS21 PGTW 240430 240421Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240251Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 240300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.0S5 100.3E4 TO 20.7S9 100.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 240330Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 100.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS OVER A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250430Z4. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 148.5E8.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC06883580523 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-22541>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:55:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22656; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:56:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15466 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:55:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:55:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812241755.LAA17315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 11:55:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1dfb18f2bf81a562c80a124fba5d158 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627713-22542>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:08:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15442; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30524 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA17513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812241809.MAA17513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:09:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a80b89bbfbe49fe30f9edf2e5ca22f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626490-24567>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 10:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04384; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:24:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:24:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12044 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:24:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:24:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250224.UAA20454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:24:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 552352930ac31254a732028b6f0a8b61 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626499-24567>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 10:24:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA11396; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:25:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:25:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19822 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:25:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:25:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250225.UAA20464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:25:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34ab1494b22026899be4ca68fab5d683 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626475-24564>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 10:36:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA11316; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:36:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:36:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13602 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:36:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:36:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250236.UAA20518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:36:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s Wa To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e26a243a5ef37df4093f57b3c33e4261 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-24564>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 10:47:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21066; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:48:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12088 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:48:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:48:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250248.UAA20588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:48:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e46fd5d173fdb5e43dcb503d363b126 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:12:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA35826; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:13:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:13:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36320 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:13:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:13:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250313.VAA20748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:13:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s War To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0300479847a0390e0c49011fe1ab0682 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WAR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4804 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626607-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:22:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA36304; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:23:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:22:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA24764 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:22:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:22:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250322.VAA20785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:22:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ade0335e947e100a72a8867aaf360cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1497 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-24567>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:37:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA31162; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:38:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41382 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:38:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:38:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250338.VAA20901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:38:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5cedfc2126d728ed9c9a6d40506a4fec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626947-24564>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA33538; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:27:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:26:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39896 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:26:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:26:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250426.WAA21246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:26:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s Warning N To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8acda61f54be14549efcee1ee92f5b16 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626826-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40426; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:38:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:38:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA31192 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:38:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:38:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250438.WAA21352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:38:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af247e305bab7b1d33503f3025e562e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASE DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39544; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:49:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:49:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA41304 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:49:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:49:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250449.WAA21393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:49:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s W To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7ec06e659be23a283049fd27f507c0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA30980; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:57:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:57:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39666 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:57:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:57:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250457.WAA21419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 22:57:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 566db8ae65e17ed1712da69064db22ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-24564>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:11:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA40736; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA29950 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250512.XAA21562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclo To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a6953c5c8ccea062495a5cdec3c6327 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626661-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:11:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38458; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40706 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250512.XAA21566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 23:12:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e2b2eb3b50d5ab21ed6ade8d79890e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:22:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41172; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:23:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011545 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA38582 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:23:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:23:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250623.AAA22129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:23:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 993be9337b2e7ab535474b7bdb9a995a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 16.4S1 99.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 99.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.1S9 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.5S3 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.9S7 97.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.0S9 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 99.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S HAS DEVELOPED SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA. A MICROWAVE SCATTEROMETER PASS (241624Z9) INDICATED WINDS OF 35KTS AROUND THE CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE TC 10S IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE DEEPER CONVECTION IS BEING ADVECTED TO THE SOUTHEAST AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STEERING INFLUENCE IS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST AND SOUTH. TC 10S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SOUTHWESTWARD AND TURN MORE WESTWARD BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BEGINS TO DOMINATE THE STEERING. TC 1OS IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT REMAINS IN A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. WIND RADII ARE OMITTED UNTIL THE STORM INTENSITY BECOMES GREATER THAN 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240421Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 240430). NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA04533590618 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 00:16:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 22:13:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA37998; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:13:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11012554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:13:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA33606 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:13:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:13:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251413.IAA25012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:13:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e1590b6a2fba2f3a34d1a5c6eacd882 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 00:16:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 22:23:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA36158; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:23:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11012578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:23:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29738 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:23:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:23:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251423.IAA25048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:23:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08ac2d1a9c392cf57f8cf6c51f7c8435 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 251400 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 00:16:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627658-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 22:30:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA38638; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:30:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11012597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:30:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38106 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:30:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:30:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251430.IAA25091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 08:30:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9542bec0a1e576af3874e992eab7037c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 002 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627140-24569>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:46:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA37688; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:47:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA37664 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251746.LAA26214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:46:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b9461d3a11a2c10714562424b83ef73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3925 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627018-24569>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:51:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA38418; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA40442 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251752.LAA26232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:52:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c45fb8128098a32c1fbb7ef693f5df3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/2 DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627270-24564>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 02:06:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40554; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:07:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:07:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41044 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:07:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:07:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251807.MAA26497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:07:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9480c8ff5b04d3392ef2e20de521de59 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 17.0S8 97.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 97.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.3S1 95.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.6S4 94.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.1S0 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.8S7 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.1S9 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TC10S) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON 25/1130Z SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0 TO T2.5 (30-35 KT) AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF TC10S HAS IMPROVED BUT THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS BEING DRAWN INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER ON THE SOUTH SIDE WHICH IS ACTING TO DECREASE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. MOST OF THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO TC10S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY WARM WATER (27C SST). AS A RESULT, LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH 48 HOURS EVEN THOUGH TC10S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND UNDERNEATH A FAVORABLE 200 MB RIDGE AXIS. OWING TO THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION... TC10S IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED MORE BY THE EASTERLY LOW- AND MID-LEVEL WIND FLOW ON THE NORTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THAT LIES ALONG 35S LATITUDE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627300-24569>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 02:12:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA41400; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA38802 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251813.MAA26543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:13:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57f8709d8d580757540182fcca607bab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/251500Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0S8 97.4E0 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 15N6 100E1 HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY). SEE ITEM 2.A.(1) AND REF A ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 14.5S0 124.0E7. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. HOWEVER, CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED CLOSE TO LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 11.0S2 133.0E7. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED CLOSE TO LAND AND ANY DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/MCCULLOCH/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 02:23:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627329-24568>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 02:13:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA35658; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:14:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:14:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA40758 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:14:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:14:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251814.MAA26567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:14:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 10s Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4643cf184afb00a2f1da7218be587ee6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 251500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 17.0S8 97.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOS- 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WINE DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 97.4E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.3S1 95.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.6S4 94.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.1I TF MAX BVC IDWIPDS - 040 KT,8GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 K WQNDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 0 030 NM SEWHERE VECTOR TO GRIPPRNOSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOKC 48 HRS, VIRBNEPL WUQWPPZ2 --- 18.8S7 90.4E3 MAX USTAINE WINDS - 035 KTP GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.1S9 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TC10S) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ATL08 KNOTS WHILE MAINTAINING ITS IMTENSITY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON 25/5130Z SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIVATES OWOF T2.0 TO T2.5 (30-35 KT) AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF C10S HAS IM49;3$ ?75 5#3 DEEP CONVULNEAR THE SYSTEM CETER HAA M H CONSIDERABLY. SATELLITOMAGERY INDICATES CBLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS BEING DRAWN INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER ON THE SOUTH SIDE WHICH IS ACTING TO DECREASE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMEPT. MOST OF TH LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO C10S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH THROUGTUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY WARM WATER (27C SST). AS A RESULT, LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH 68 HOURS EVEN T OUGH TC10;- 8- >943:--5 59 REMAIN IN A LODGEAR ENVIRONMENT AND UNDERNEATH A FAVORABLE 200 ;? 48$<3 -/8-. OWING TO THE ACK OF DEE :9,;3:589,... TC10 IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED MORE BY THE EASTERLY LOW= AND MID-LEVEL WIND FLOW ON THE NORTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THAT LIES ALONG 35S LATITUDE. MABWMUM OQ VPNEH GHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300ZQG$5< 260151Z5) AND 231500Z4 DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNCN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 12:04:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626580-27940>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 10:15:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA38658; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:16:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11015052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:14:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA41110 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:14:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:14:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812260214.UAA29158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:14:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44e42c14e9dfe92ec1792101e59b33bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 16.6S3 95.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 95.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.8S5 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.0S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.3S1 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.6S4 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 252330Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY)=S LOW-LEVEL IS BECOMING AN EXPOSED CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO IS SOUTH. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING CARRIED SOUTHWARD IN MID-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOSE ITS CONVECTIVE SUPPORT, IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 12:04:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3909 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-27942>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 10:24:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA38828; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:25:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11015074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:23:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA40484 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:23:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:23:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812260223.UAA29185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:23:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropirl Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4233f32d530a3bc44c053fbbcd0c7e2c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 260200 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPIRL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARING POSITION 2+0000Z8 --- NEAR 16.6S3 95.9E3 OOVEMENT PAST SIX HTURS - 270 DEGGNLAT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PMSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 95.9E3 FORECASTS: , VALID AT: 261200ZGH6.8S5 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24#4 09-85: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS 24HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.0S89290E1 MAX SUSTAINED I DS - 035 KT, GUSTFPRT KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.3S1 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.6S4 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSCPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNPFG INTENSITY IS BASED ON 252330Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IVAGERY CONFIRMS TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY);S LOW-LEVEL ISHBECOMING AN EXPOSED CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE LOW-TO MID-LEVEL STEE FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO IS SOUTH. HOAE, THE SYSTEM;S DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING CARRIED SOUTHWARD IN MID-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATTB IS FORECAST TO CGNTINU MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOSE ITS CONCTIVE SUPPORT, IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DT JWYQETQZ8) AND 270300Z-.$(;8:+6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-27940>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 22:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39908; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:12:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11017037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:12:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA31184 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:12:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:12:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261412.IAA01838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:12:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 876b73f113569ee0260ad70efc0a0310 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 16.6S3 94.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 94.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.6S3 93.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.6S3 91.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6S3 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.5S2 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 94.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANALYSIS OF 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 2.5 AND 3.0 (35 AND 45 KNOTS) AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. EARLIER, VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER AND THIS SHOULD REMAIN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS DUE TO LOWER TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW FROM RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626596-27933>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 22:18:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA38422; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:19:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11017048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:19:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24580 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:19:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:19:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261419.IAA01857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 08:19:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d75ecc2773274eb94ff39c3f84365626 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 261400 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WAING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 16.6S3 94.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 94.6E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.6S3 93.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.6S3 91.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6S3 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.5S2 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 94.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANALYSIS OF 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 2.5 AND 3.0 (35 AND 45 KNOTS) AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. EARLIER, VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER AND THIS SHOULD REMAIN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS DUE TO LOWER TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW FROM RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEITT AT 261200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6 AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-27942>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 02:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24622; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:17:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11018128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:17:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41222 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261816.MAA02721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:16:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 971e327627d109db42918125e414a206 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/251500Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 94.6E9 MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 124.0E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 133.0E7 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3160 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625988-27933>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 02:51:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA41206; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:52:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11018229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA41182 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261851.MAA02870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 12:51:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 842363730b9cb2354b8f5c5041f4d6ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261500Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 94.6E9 MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 124.0E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 133.0E7 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: DATE ADJUSTMENTS IN MESSAGE VALID PERIOD; ADDITION OF AMPN LINE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2253 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-497>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 10:23:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39948; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:24:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11020305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:24:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39152 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:24:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:24:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270224.UAA04650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:24:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b8c1656e5a73e4c9d0d552d0b1b6418 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 16.7S4 93.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 93.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.7S4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.8S5 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.8S5 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.7S4 87.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.7S4 93.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 262330Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD IN THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED SOUTH OF ITS LOW-LEVEL, A REFLECTION OF THE WIND SHEAR OCCURRING OVER THE SYSTEM. SHEAR HAS INTERMITTENTLY RELAXED ALLOWING THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION TO REBUILD OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS HAS ALLOWED TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) TO CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) TRACKS WESTWARD, IT WILL MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 22:16:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1798 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-490>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 22:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA30668; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 08:04:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11022097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 08:04:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA37560 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 08:04:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 08:04:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812271404.IAA07320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 08:04:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d562e646aaee1ccdf1a70c81598f2266 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 16.1S8 92.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 92.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.8S4 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.6S2 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 15.7S3 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.0S7 92.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 2271130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THAT THE SYSTEM=S MID-LEVEL AND DEEP CONVECTION IS COMPLETELY SHEARED, EXPOSING A FAIRLY ORGANIZED SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF RIDGING TO THE SYSTEMS SOUTH. AS TC 10S (CATHY) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A HIGH VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, DISSIPATION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS ANTICIPATED NEAR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 09:27:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3918 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-497>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 02:06:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39070; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:07:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11022998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA39024 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812271806.MAA08147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 12:06:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ed6e62476b6b75aef7e1ab408e287e6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271500Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 92.7E8 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 10:06:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-1346>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 09:36:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38450; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:36:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11024891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:36:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA33556 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:36:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:36:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280136.TAA09934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:36:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 140b6eaede6ae6e498728f40baddc063 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTXS31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 15.8S4 091.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 091.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.1S8 089.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 090.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 272330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AND DISSIPATE BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT CONTINUES WITHIN A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 09:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-1346>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 02:21:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA39498; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11029468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37922 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812281822.MAA16349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 12:22:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fda23f00f6c2c6868a02f79057989d64 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280300Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (CATHY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 91.0E0 AND IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 280300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-17918>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 02:26:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40150; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:27:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11036915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA40118 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:26:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:26:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812291826.MAA25787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 12:26:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5d0fcc95f07790d612a5ffda071ee3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-3111>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:17:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA37546; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11038409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA37510 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812292318.RAA27996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:18:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 451cb0f57ed13dcb97ed0aa3e7a06694 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/FINTA/PARKER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 01:24:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627483-3107>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 01:15:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA37170; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:15:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11043277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA39342 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301714.LAA03969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 11:14:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2c3f696010251e32bcec94cadb773fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 78E5. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH SOUTH OF SRI LANKA. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS APPARENT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/PARKER/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 10:45:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627473-3112>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 02:08:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA35834; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:08:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11043523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA35002 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301807.MAA04482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 12:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09b5b9d6538c9c936deec02ebdf2a275 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 78E5. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH SOUTH OF SRI LANKA. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS APPARENT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/PARKER/JACKSON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC05623641800 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 02 10:30:42 1999 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626995-9962>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 18:32:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA31072; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:33:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11048386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA31034 for ; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812311032.EAA09430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1998 04:32:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13bd1f5bd8803540af3ed7b7fb632721 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 999 ABIO10 PGTW 310900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/310900Z/311800Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 05N5 78E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 08N8 80E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH A DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. DEEP CONVECTION AND OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAVE IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS WHILE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS ALSO IMPROVED. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF SRI LANKA BUT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER OPEN WATER AND CROSS OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE PREVIOUSLY POOR SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR IN ITEM 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HERRON/BALDINGER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC09743651024 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627502-1773>; Sat, 16 May 1998 18:04:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA04410; Sat, 16 May 1998 04:59:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8728294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 04:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA34332 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 04:59:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA29073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 04:59:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805160959.EAA29073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 04:59:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da1bd0b8f6c63d4270094f0690bbc7fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 ABPZ20 KNHC 160958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT MAY 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 02 10:30:43 1999 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4685 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-9961>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 21:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA37646; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 07:36:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11049945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 07:36:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA39682 for ; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 07:36:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 07:36:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812311336.HAA10208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1998 07:36:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 325b3a70bbbdd3da0e0a60aa5c511fda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 311334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 31 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1200 UTC... ...1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N135W. HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 15N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-6N92W-9N108W- 11N118W-12N122W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 130W AND 134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 6N78W-5N82W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 11N121W-10N128W AND 8N134W-7N137W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF COLOMBIA COAST FROM 3N TO 6N...AND IT HAS BEEN DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 8N108W-9N114W-11N120W. PATCHES OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS FROM EQUATOR TO 7N77W-7N94W-6N110W... WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 3N110W-5N117W-7N120W...AND FROM EQUATOR TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE N OF 10N SW OF LINE 26N132W-12N116W...MOVING NORTHWARD. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 10:45:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627194-16753>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 09:42:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA40702; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:31:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11045840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA36850 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:31:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:31:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812310131.TAA07058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:31:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24d2f77a46340370a401e21102dc8fbd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 310129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 31 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0000 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 31N128W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 5N100W 9N110W 10N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE INLAND COASTAL AREAS OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 1N78W TO 5N76W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-20N BETWEEN 136W-140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20N138W TO 31N129W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 10:45:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627493-3110>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 03:28:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA35868; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 13:20:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11044003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 13:20:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA36110 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 13:20:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 13:20:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301920.NAA05023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 13:20:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 882acb8fa6b0a74232cdd2dfa02f454e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 301917 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 30 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS EXTREME NW CORNER OF THE AREA...PASSING THROUGH 33N137W BEYOND 30N140W..MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 118W AND COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-5N97W- 9N110W-10N123W-10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 8N118W-11N123W- 10N125W-7N130W. ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N109W...9N109W...AND 9.5N112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4.5N TO 6N BETWEEN 80W AND 81W. PATCHES OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS ARE SOUTH OF LINE 7N77W-7N90W- 10N100W-12N123W-10N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 10.5139W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE 30N132W-20N137W-14N137W...CURVING NORTH AND NORTHEAST. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 22:10:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627431-3107>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:52:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA29366; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:43:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11041722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:43:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA38314 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:43:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:43:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301343.HAA02832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:43:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1d7309378b4a24ef26729c720700f78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 301343 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 30 DEC 1998 ...COR TO DELETE INFORMATION FROM THE SECTION TITLED ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS EXTREME NW CORNER OF THE AREA...PASSING THROUGH 32N139W TO 26N143W...MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 118W AND COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-5N89W-5N97W- 9N110W-10N123W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 110W AND 111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE 10N120W-7N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 12N135.5W AND 15.5N 137.5W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 4N78W-7N82W...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 4N83.5W... 5.5N 87.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 5.5N89W. PATCHES OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS ARE SOUTH OF LINE 7N77W-6N89W- 6N97W-10N110W-11N123W-10N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXIST FROM 17N BEYOND 32N...EAST OF 140W AND NW OF LINE 29N117W-24N128W-17N137W...MOVING NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 21:46:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627425-3111>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:39:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA39976; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:26:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11041704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:26:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA36124 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:26:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:26:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812301326.HAA02778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:26:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c919c276b52e68a30db2bc5edb49bf9e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 301327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 30 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS EXTREME NW CORNER OF THE AREA...PASSING THROUGH 32N139W TO 26N143W...MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 118W AND COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-5N89W-5N97W- 9N110W-10N123W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 110W AND 111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE 10N120W-7N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 12N135.5W AND 15.5N 137.5W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 4N78W-7N82W...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 4N83.5W... 5.5N 87.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 5.5N89W. PATCHES OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS ARE SOUTH OF LINE 7N77W-6N89W- 6N97W-10N110W-11N123W-10N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 80W-82W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXIST FROM 17N BEYOND 32N EAST OF 140W AND NW OF LINE 29N117W-24N128W-17N137W...MOVING NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 16:33:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-3112>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 15:18:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39072; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 01:09:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11040987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 01:09:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39826 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 01:09:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 01:09:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812300709.BAA00720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 01:09:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 356b7ac41ad8c9031f79b6d3d06fcc69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 300706 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 30 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 5N90W 5N100W 8N110W 9N120W 8N130W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-4N BETWEEN 81W-82W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 105W-115W...AND BETWEEN 120W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 80W-82W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 10:05:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-3112>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 09:24:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA40902; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 19:12:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11039177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 19:12:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA35002 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 19:12:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 19:12:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812300112.TAA28761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 19:12:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a483c1cead201a602148a12156d5ca4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 300110 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 30 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N90W 6N110W 8N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-17913>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 03:38:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA38382; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:26:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11037133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:26:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA40930 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:26:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:26:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812291926.NAA26258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:26:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09c7ffa20dffbc54272168aaddedef82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 291923 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 29 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-6N96W- 10N122W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS BETWEEN COAST OF PANAMA/COLOMBIA AND LINE 8N79W-6N81W-3N81W- 3N77W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7.5N TO 9N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W. PATCHES OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS ARE N OF THE EQUATOR...S OF THE LINE 7N82W-6N90W-7N96W-8N100W-10N112W-10N133W-8N134W-5N14 ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 12N TO 32N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W ARE MOVING NORTHWARD...WHILE THOSE CLOUDS FROM 20N TO 32N BETWEEN 122W AND 135W ARE MOVING ANTICYCLONICALLY. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627245-17913>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 21:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA38236; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 07:27:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11035277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 07:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA35920 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 07:27:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA23991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 07:27:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812291327.HAA23991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 07:27:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1688f62302ec95aeb1fe5bda22d0f133 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 291324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 29 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-8N91W-7N100W- 9N123W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 122W AND 124W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 4N77W-6N79W-7N81W. PATCHES OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS ARE N OF THE EQUATOR...S OF THE LINE 3N78W-7N83W-9N90W-8N97W-10N122W-9N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 11N125.5W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 10N TO 32N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W ARE MOVING NORTHWARD...WHILE BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS FROM 15N TO 30N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W ARE MOVING NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627115-17916>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 15:25:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30686; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11034125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40914 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290713.BAA21536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a7d1168352a812ff322effd8b88928a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 290710 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 29 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 5N100W 5N110W 5N120W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-5N BETWEEN 77W-79W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 78W-81W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE FROM 10N-30N BETWEEN 125W-140W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 09:31:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626269-17916>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 09:17:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA31114; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 19:07:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11031771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 19:07:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA39806 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 19:07:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA18898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 19:07:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290107.TAA18898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 19:07:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44e2e9b835199b74d6d813326f7db38b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 290104 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 29 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 6N110W 6N130W 7N140W. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ENTIRE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE FROM 25N TO THE ITCZ BETWEEN 127W AND 140W DUE TO A MID/UPPER LEVEL FEATURE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 09:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627067-1346>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 03:48:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA36244; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:36:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11030030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:36:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA37644 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:35:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:35:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812281935.NAA16901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:35:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8906d9d2c2d036e9a84e1617b1d7e00d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 281933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 28 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE E PAC NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-8N107W-9N114W- 10N126W-10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 7N78W-3N81W-6N69W-7N78W. BROKEN LOW/MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 4N79W-5N100W-6N120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS S OF THE LINE 16N120W-28N133W-27N140W-12N147W...MOVING NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AS THEY PASS EAST OF 130W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 21:42:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4139 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626518-1346>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 21:35:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA38256; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 07:22:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11027412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 07:22:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA40292 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 07:22:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 07:22:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812281322.HAA14065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 07:22:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48a1de3b30754faaf7fb317e7fff9352 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 281318 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 28 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ...1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N132W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE E PAC NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-8N107W-9N114W- 10N126W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 129.5W AND 131.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 126.5W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE 11N136W- 9N142W. BROKEN LOW/MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 3N79W-5N100W-5N120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS S OF LINE 11N118W-33N133W-10N150W...MOVING NORTHWARD AND CURVING NORTHEAST/EASTWARD AS THEY PASS THROUGH THE AREA FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 17:11:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-1346>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 15:28:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33672; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 01:22:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11026348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 01:22:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39036 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 01:22:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 01:22:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280722.BAA11906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 01:22:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 652b6ec5721bc0aa56c47f3a7617dc65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 280718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 28 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ...A 1028 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 31N130W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 5N100W 5N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 125W-128W...AND FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 130W-133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 120W-124W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 133W-138W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 78W-81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 25N BETWEEN 120W-140W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 10:06:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-1345>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 09:26:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA40464; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:19:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11024814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:19:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA35588 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:19:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:19:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280119.TAA09871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 19:19:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af96a10a98f14c1bc6d740fad34aecb9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 280116 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 28 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ...A 1025 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 28N141W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 21N WEST OF 100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N85W 5N100W 7N110W 8N120W 12N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 118W TO 124W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 18N FROM 126W TO 140W AND FROM 18N TO 30N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 09:27:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-495>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:29:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA37974; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 13:17:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11023260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 13:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA40748 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 13:17:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 13:17:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812271917.NAA08453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 13:17:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c780d00c4668e77b9f3bc8d0995219e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 271915 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 27 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N129W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC OCEAN N OF 15N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-8N106W- 10N122W-11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND LINE 7N77W-4N83W-2N79W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 83W AND 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 10N119W-9N122W-7.5N124W. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 12N136W-10N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 131W AND 136W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 15N TO 26N BETWEEN 130W AND 136W... AND THIN SCATTERED/BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS BETWEEN THE LINE 23N109W-10N122W AND THE LINE 27N114W-21N129W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 21:55:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-495>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 21:17:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA40052; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 07:10:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11022019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 07:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA40292 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 07:10:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA07194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 07:10:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812271310.HAA07194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 07:10:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6faca405cacd1267f5d9935fa48dd78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 271307 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 27 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG LINE 15N107W THROUGH 32N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1200 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-7N100W-9N112W- 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 119.5W AND 122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 6.5N78W-6.5N79W-5N81W...FROM 2.5N TO 3.5N BETWEEN 77.5W AND 82W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 10.5N138W-10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION... WITH THIS CONVECTION DISSIPATING GRADUALLY DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS...FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 123.5W AND 126.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 134W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 133W AND 135W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 16N TO 26N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W... WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE 11N125W-21N124W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 21N124W-26N117W-27N113W...MOVING N/NE. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 21:55:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1363 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626430-497>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:22:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39096; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:13:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11021513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:13:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA38060 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:13:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:13:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270713.BAA05711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:13:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cc25e3216ff2c77a93e9a552ac23c04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 270708 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 27 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ...A 1030 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N136W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 6N100W 8N110W 7N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-4N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 123W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 80W-86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 106W-109W...AND FROM 11N-18N BETWEEN 130W-137W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-495>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 09:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30702; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 19:27:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11020106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 19:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA40162 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 19:27:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 19:27:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270127.TAA04441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 19:27:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ff4c5ee2ce83f2dee524a4b56eaaaa3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 270123 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 27 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 6N91W 3N100W 2N106W 7N112W 6N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 70 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 73W-77W. OTHER SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-23N BETWEEN 132W-136W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS NOTED FROM 14N TO BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 120W-140W...AND NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN MEXICO AND 120W MOVING NE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626934-27942>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 03:08:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA37602; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 13:02:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11018263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 13:02:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA40662 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 13:02:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 13:02:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261902.NAA02936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 13:02:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ca39c9f4e26ef38f541d2b0bfd9e5de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 261859 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 26 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N89W 3N100W 7N111W 9N122W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 117W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N82W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 3N77W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 300 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N137W 22N233W TO BEYOND 32N125W IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL JET. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-27942>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 21:09:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA38686; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 07:03:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11016762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 07:03:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA38418 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 07:03:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 07:03:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261303.HAA01669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 07:03:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58a12a5ee340ed49ce5812437f5bcf37 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 261300 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 26 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ...A 1035 MB HIGH IS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE REGION NEAR 34N132W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 4N89W 4N100W 6N110W 8N120W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 83W AND FROM 128W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WEST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N TO 4.5N. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL JET. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 20:23:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626140-27940>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 15:17:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA37408; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:09:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11016044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:09:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39444 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:09:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:09:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812260709.BAA00238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 01:09:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76bb90bc6a2f11cfc5de9b874b9f917f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 260705 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 26 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ...1036 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 33N131W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 5N100W 6N110W 7N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-4N BETWEEN 76W-78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-18N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-7N BETWEEN 106W-108W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 127W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 78W-80W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 12:04:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625971-27940>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 09:48:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24748; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 19:38:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11014892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 19:38:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA38048 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 19:38:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 19:38:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812260138.TAA28986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 19:38:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8819f12701939183cbc291b3ad7cb8ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 260135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 26 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ...1036 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 34N127W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 6N100W 6N110W 5N120W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE ITCZ FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 123W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE ITCZ ALONG AND 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N138W TO 21N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER COLOMBIA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 74W-78W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF 8N81W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE FROM 18N-30N BETWEEN 120W-140W...AND FROM 18N-27N BETWEEN 100W-120W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 03:52:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-24568>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 03:40:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA35728; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:31:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11013715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:31:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA38784 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:31:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:31:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251931.NAA27034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 13:31:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de163dc663de19a5f9cbc47eef55f441 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 251929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 25 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ...1036 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 34N126W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N75W 6N90W 7N100W 6N110W 6N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 102W-105W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 137W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 124W-128W. OVERCAST JET CIRRUS IS LOCATED FROM 18N-28N BETWEEN 110W-140W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 21:42:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1951 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627646-24567>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 21:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA41250; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 07:22:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11012452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 07:22:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA37910 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 07:22:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA24694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 07:22:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812251322.HAA24694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 07:22:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c5ed6541bd2b5e73988b6db29eccba1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 251320 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 25 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ...1033 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N126W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N75W 5N90W 6N100W 5N110W 10N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 76W-78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 78W-81W...AND FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 91W-92W...FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 97W-106W...AND FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 137W-143W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS WITH TRANSVERSE BANDING APPEARANCE FROM 13N...JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS...TO 30N BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1760 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627131-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 15:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33702; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:33:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:33:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40090 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:33:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:33:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250733.BAA22412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:33:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a8a15a25600cf13db6bcfa8688d1356 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 250730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 25 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-6N95W-6N109W- 12N122W-10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 12N121.5W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 11N127W-8N125W. ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 6N76W...4N77W...AND FROM 4N TO 5N BETWEEN 80W AND 81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 95W AND 97.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS WITH TRANSVERSE BANDING APPEARANCE FROM 13N...JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS...TO 30N BETWEEN 115W AND 143W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-24568>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 09:41:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15496; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 19:30:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 19:30:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA22628 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 19:29:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 19:29:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250129.TAA20150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 19:29:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: def50f1849a4f6f6b04e7746d767b2ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 250127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 25 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 3N85W 3N92W 7N99W 5N105W 6N110W 11N120W 10N128W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-100W...WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-108W...WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-123W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA WITHIN 20 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3N77W TO 6N77W. BROKEN/OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS WITH TRANSVERSE BANDING APPEARANCE FROM 10N-24N WEST OF 105W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2047 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628939-22542>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 03:36:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA11484; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 13:30:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 13:30:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13006 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 13:30:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 13:30:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812241930.NAA18115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 13:30:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6bce89df3d14ba34077f3f9e498df925 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 241922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 24 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N76W 5N90W 5N100W 6N110W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 119W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 80W-82W ...FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 93W-100W...AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 114W-118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE SEEN WITHIN 300 NM ALONG THE LINE 12N140W 19N127W 24N105W...MOVING NORTHEAST. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627535-22542>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:40:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28260; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 07:32:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11007465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 07:32:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA09560 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 07:32:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 07:32:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812241332.HAA13993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 07:32:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 873afbf9feeaea5efa56a621db9aec7f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 241330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 24 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 5N90W 5N100W 8N110W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 95W-98W...FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 117W-125W...AND FROM 8N-16N BETWEEN 130W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 76W-78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 110W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE SEEN FROM 14N120W TO 26N105W...MOVING NORTHEAST. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 17:06:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1321 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628858-22541>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 15:47:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19804; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 01:41:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11006589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 01:41:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA11344 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 01:41:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 01:41:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240741.BAA11882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 01:41:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf1753b8165862d7607dad45700a48b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 240721 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 24 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-7N94W-11N115W- 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 95W AND 96.5W...WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 5N96.5W...8N117.5W...9N121W...AND 10N122.5W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 9N132W AND 9.5N134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS FROM ITCZ AXIS TO 26N112W-26N135W-12N150W...MOVING NORTHEAST. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 10:19:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627176-13401>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 09:39:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA31596; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 19:31:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11004636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 19:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13408 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 19:30:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA08581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 19:30:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240130.TAA08581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 19:30:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a7e1f153548696d0e239afa85de0f3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 240128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 24 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N96W 8N110W 11N113W 8N117W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-115W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-127W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6N122W TO 8N125W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ALONG AND 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N140W TO 19N123W 27N110W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 10:18:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629270-25523>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 03:17:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA07474; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:18:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11002403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:17:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12264 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:17:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:17:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231917.NAA03299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:17:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea5ac837cb7d898e4747e51dfc901117 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 231914 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 23 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N75W 6N90W 5N100W 8N110W 10N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 110W-117W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 132W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 106W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 120W-129W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE SEEN OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 81W-86W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 22:39:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628523-25522>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 21:32:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA26610; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 07:33:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10999961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 07:33:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA29916 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 07:33:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 07:33:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231333.HAA26682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 07:33:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 964b76193ed38bad4a41ce0011eeea5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 231330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 23 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 6N90W 5N100W 8N110W 9N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 106W-108W...AND FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 113W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 125W-136W... AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 136W-140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 80W-83W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 15:40:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626135-24584>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 15:32:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29734; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:33:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10998786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:33:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13076 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:33:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:33:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230733.BAA24026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:33:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69a29db4d7f3538a4f10819af2e96503 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 230729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 23 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W-9N109W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 109W AND 110W...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 119W AND 120W...FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 125W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N133W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 10:10:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630379-7592>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:48:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA29308; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:49:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10996474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:49:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA05728 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:49:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:49:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230149.TAA21257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:49:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab4d93de52ea39678e397e751eca23f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 230145 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 23 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE FROM 15N TO 32N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0015 UTC EAST OF 110W AND 22/1930 UTC WEST OF 110W... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N86W 4N90W 4N95W 6N100W 9N106W 7N110W 11N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-111W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-118W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N122W TO 9N126W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-123W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE MAINLY OVER COSTA RICA AND WESTERN PANAMA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 81W-87W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 10:10:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629953-4086>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:33:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA29144; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:34:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10996345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:34:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA24508 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:34:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:34:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230134.TAA21157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:34:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 580b3abc7499ab325a7d76f3432d7585 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 230131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 23 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE FROM 15N TO 32N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N86W 4N90W 4N95W 6N100W 9N106W 7N110W 11N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-111W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-118W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N122W TO 9N126W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-123W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS MAINLY OVER COSTA RICA AND WESTERN PANAMA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 81W-87W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 09:52:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4285 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628083-13347>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 03:10:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29296; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:10:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10994019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:10:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA31578 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:10:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:10:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812221910.NAA16136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:10:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d8227c87094ea63590234bdc33abfea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 221908 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 22 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1800 UTC... ...NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 131W/132W FROM 14N TO 28N. ...HIGH PRESSURE FROM 15N TO 32N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 3N90W 7N100W 9N105W 6N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 133W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER COSTA RICA AND SURROUNDING WATERS FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 82W-87W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 00:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627946-13341>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 21:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA24434; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 07:20:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10991447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 07:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16732 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 07:20:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 07:20:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812221320.HAA10299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 07:20:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9dc2fb756a63ce5fda58377bc5acbd9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 221318 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 22 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 131W/132W FROM 14N TO 28N. ...HIGH PRESSURE FROM 15N TO 32N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 9N100W 6N110W 10N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 100W-104W...AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 105W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 130W-133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 97W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 00:28:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627270-13347>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 19:56:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA31574; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 05:57:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10990985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 05:56:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA20464 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 05:56:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA09764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 05:56:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812221156.FAA09764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 05:56:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd992c33710c2fbf5fe884d2d3d6c734 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 221153 RTD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 22 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0600 UTC... ...NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 131W/132W FROM 14N TO 28N. ...HIGH PRESSURE FROM 15N TO 32N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-10N98W-9N105W- 11N120W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 9N99W-6N94W WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 10N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 10N127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 8N104W...FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 106W AND 107W... FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 110W AND 111W...AND FROM 7N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 5N78W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-13347>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:13:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA05770; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:13:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10987965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:13:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA15732 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:13:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:13:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220113.TAA05052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:13:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cb8ec80a9b733080fca6e3da28e8dbc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 220109 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 22 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 14N131W TO 28N135W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 9N100W 6N107W 10N117W 10N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 106W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8.5N TO 11N. OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 250 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N118W 23N113W ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 27N110W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627853-8204>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 03:28:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA27808; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:28:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA27008 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:28:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:28:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211928.NAA29903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:28:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ac200488083b79d67ade86c78984f85 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 211925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 21 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ...NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 133W FROM 18N TO 30N. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC WATERS N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 7N100W 8N110W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 78W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 100W-107W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 131W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 81W-85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 14N126W TO 28N111W. SIMILAR OVERCAST CIRRUS IS LOCATED FROM 26N-34N BETWEEN 120W-130W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 21:50:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627822-8212>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 21:33:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA12116; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:34:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10982540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24382 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:34:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:34:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211334.HAA22829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:34:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 821f9dd6a5dbe2201a12ac527a639651 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 211332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 21 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ...NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 136W FROM 18N TO 35N. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC WATERS N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 7N100W 7N110W 10N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER E PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF W PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 80W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 76W-78W...AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 97W-101W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 102W-106W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 130W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... OVERCAST JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 13N128W TO 29N111W. SIMILAR OVERCAST CIRRUS IS LOCATED FROM 26N-32N BETWEEN 122W-131W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 16:10:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-8210>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 15:32:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18622; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:33:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:33:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30122 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:33:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:33:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210733.BAA20107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:33:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59328c5762c98feb2eec45ee0fef8f80 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 210731 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 21 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ...NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 139W/140W FROM 17N TO 35N. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC WATERS N OF 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-8N99W-10N122W- 9N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W...AND FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 96W AND 105W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/ STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 8N80W AND 6N81W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 9N81.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 13N119.5W. JET STREAM CIRRUS CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE 28N114W-13N123W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 12N129W-8N136W-8N140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 09:30:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-8212>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 09:23:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA29224; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 19:24:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10979969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 19:24:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA31506 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 19:24:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA17598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 19:24:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210124.TAA17598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 19:24:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecb89e71073efe8fe41a22525189b756 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 210121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 21 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ...1016 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 26N140W. TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW THROUGH 27N140W 26N136W TO ABOUT 23N136W. IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N96W 7N111W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 136W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W-95W AND 134W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W...81W-84W AND AND 119W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W-101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN PANAMA AND ITS ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N. AN AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 118W-123W. SIMILAR AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 20N-32N BETWEEN 130W-138W...AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1016 MB LOW AND TROUGH. EXTENSIVE AREA OF CIRRUS CLOUDINESS IS STREAMING NORTH-NORTHEAST DUE TO SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 115W-130W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 03:31:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3636 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627707-29233>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 03:25:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA31602; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:26:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10978108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:25:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA13600 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:25:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:25:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201925.NAA15322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:25:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8328243308024e81623c4d7da6ac9a82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 201923 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 20 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ...1016 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 115W- 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N85W 6N92W 7N101W 10N118W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-84W...AND 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-101W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N121W-12N116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-32N BETWEEN 131W-139W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1016 MB LOW. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:28:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA04868; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:29:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16048 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:27:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:27:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201327.HAA12950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:27:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08d90f9e4ae8d7a107db6a8a8fa66708 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 201325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 20 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ...1016 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N138W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO 22N140W. IT IS MOVING EAST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 115W TO 130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N128W TO 25N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N92W 8N110W 11N117W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-94W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-120W...AND 137W-141W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN 77W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-115W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 25N-32N BETWEEN 132W-139W IN ASSOCIATION WITHIN THE 1016 MB LOW. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626986-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 15:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA17700; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 01:33:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10973802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 01:31:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA06622 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 01:31:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 01:31:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200731.BAA11126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 01:31:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8741773bf19187118e7299deef868d0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 200723 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 20 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ...A 1016 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 25N136W TO 21N143W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 115W TO 130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N128W TO 20N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N90W 7N100W 8N111W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 13N117.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE BORDER OF ECUADOR TO 4N AND FROM 6N TO THE BORDER OF PANAMA. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1016 MB LOW. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625951-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 09:33:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA23236; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 19:34:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10972055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 19:34:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11546 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 19:27:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA08754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 19:27:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200127.TAA08754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 19:27:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0bfca716e58c8f535bedfb9fa8d44cf9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 200124 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 20 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ...RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES THROUGH 25N127W 21N122W TO ABOUT 17N121W. HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY PRESENT NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N90W 7N100W 9N113W 12N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-95W AND 105W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 7N82W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTRAL COAST OF COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4245 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627233-3867>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 03:27:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12602; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA05644 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191928.NAA06601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:28:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7858d7543eee316ff47ec2db77d14435 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 191926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 19 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COVERS REGION N OF 18N BETWEEN 115W-130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N90W 10N100W 12N116W 10N124W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-83W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-132W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N111W TO 13N120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COSTA RICA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 82W-85W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT NEARING THE REGION FROM 23N TO BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 131W TO BEYOND 140W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 22:32:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 21:30:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18608; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:31:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10967405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:31:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA20634 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:31:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:31:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191331.HAA04325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:31:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65b58e6d4b4ab68526ffbb66a0be720e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 191329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 19 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COVERS REGION N OF 18N BETWEEN 115W-130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 7N100W 7N107W 11N115W 10N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-80W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT NEARING THE REGION IS FROM 27N-31N W OF 138W. CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED IN BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 20N-32N WEST OF 131W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NOTED FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 107W-120W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 16:16:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626484-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 15:33:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23154; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:34:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:34:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27742 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:34:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:34:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190734.BAA02108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:34:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 167bdfe5f0f517f71748a515da5970e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 190732 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 19 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG 18N105W-20N120W THROUGH 32N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED 6N78W-8N106W- 11N116W-8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W...AND FROM 5.5N TO 7N BETWEEN 104W AND 105.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 5.5N86W AND 6.5N101W...FROM 8.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 113W AND 121W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 115.5W AND 117.5W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 10:40:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2557 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-3867>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 09:26:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA06412; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 19:27:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10964849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 19:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA05114 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 19:27:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 19:27:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190127.TAA28990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 19:27:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e2c4379d6023098e33cd6738f54923b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 190124 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 19 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 6N100W 9N110W 9N120W 6N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W- 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W-119W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-88W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 82W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SEEN FROM 12 TO 17N BETWEEN 108W-121W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W-120W. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 6N FROM 80W-85W INCLUDING COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 08:25:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-1984>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 03:34:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA12090; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 13:35:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10962068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 13:35:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29124 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 13:35:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 13:34:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812181934.NAA23378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 13:34:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05e20de1cb2af1bfb0c811077d0bb43d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 181932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 18 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 7N88W 5N95W 5N95W 6N103W 10N110W 10N120W 8N130W THEN DIFFUSE BEYOND 130W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N107W TO 11N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-95W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 109W-114W...AND OVER PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 77W-83W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 08:25:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-1982>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 21:33:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA16568; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 07:34:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10958658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 07:34:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22946 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 07:34:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 07:34:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812181334.HAA15858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 07:34:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee013c4dfff15cb5b2091185daf23941 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 181332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 18 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N83W 6N90W 5N95W 6N100W 10N110W 8N115W 11N119W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N107W TO 13N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-123W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR FROM 1N-3N BETWEEN 77W-79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 81W-85W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 15:27:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2908 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626989-1976>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 15:13:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22932; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:14:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10957528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16512 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:14:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812180714.BAA13264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80fa680b2c3fe5c8e92eff2bb8e62292 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 180706 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 18 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-6N94W-7N99W- 10N111W-8N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 106W AND 111W. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COVER REST OF AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 14N110W-11N106W-5N104W-8N114W-14N110W. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 117W...AND FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 84W AND 85W...FROM 4.5N TO 6N BETWEEN 89W AND 91.5W...AND FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 98W AND 99W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 09:53:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-1976>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 09:32:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA05256; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 19:33:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10955289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 19:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA18546 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 19:33:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 19:33:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812180133.TAA10205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 19:33:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3a4f87feafdd7f20ce97e90da3da7d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 180130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 18 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N90W 7N100W 9N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS OVER PANAMA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 80W-83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 104W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 82W-85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 100W-105W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 09:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2139 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627779-1319>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 03:25:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26606; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 13:26:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10952775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 13:26:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15310 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 13:26:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 13:26:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171926.NAA03623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 13:26:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f33446d2b66b7f8413fe5b6ae15ee44b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 AXPZ20 KNHC 171924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 17 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N83W 6N101W 12N112W 8N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-84W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 105W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N93W- 14N89W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:49:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626118-1319>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 21:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA31634; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:22:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10949340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:22:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA23936 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:22:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA25450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:22:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171322.HAA25450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 07:22:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02b47d3396fa757c1175bb594610b58d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 AXPZ20 KNHC 171321 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 17 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 4N90W 9N105W 12N111W 8N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 107W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-82W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 8N117W-14N121W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 15N-23N BETWEEN 104W-128W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:48:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627370-1316>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 15:16:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22970; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:17:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10947994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:16:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27036 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:16:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:15:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170715.BAA23047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 01:15:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba3d2199e713c0b104a296800c98b7fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 AXPZ20 KNHC 170713 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 17 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N90W 7N100W 12N111W 10N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 106W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W...AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 6N TO JUST INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 14N120W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:31:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626623-513>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:20:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA25602; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:20:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10945511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:20:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA28386 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:20:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:20:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170120.TAA19106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 19:20:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7408c70d7bb7d1d375c6f46e7ec87097 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 463 AXPZ20 KNHC 170119 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 17 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N75W 4N90W 7N100W 10N110W 11N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 105W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 111W-117W...FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 117W-124W...AND FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 79W-81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 03:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3515 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-21309>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 03:21:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13398; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:22:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:22:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22852 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:22:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:22:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161922.NAA11920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:22:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b8c7e8913358e1a0d4a210b338552c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 481 AXPZ20 KNHC 161920 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 16 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 6N100W 10N110W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-125W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZE THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 110W-117W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N124W-12N118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N BETWEEN 91W-98W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 12N-28N BETWEEN 119W-131W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 22:40:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629096-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 21:26:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18826; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:27:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10938456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA07030 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:27:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:27:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161327.HAA04093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:27:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba3ca09a35bdedd3954e04166b68ad79 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 420 AXPZ20 KNHC 161325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 16 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 7N100W 10N113W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N76W-7N79W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-110W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED IN BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-19N BETWEEN 110W-118W WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N116W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 13N-26N BETWEEN 120W-132W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 15:28:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628958-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 15:04:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA26630; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:04:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:04:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23026 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:04:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:04:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160704.BAA00860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:04:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df79ebe6fd4b52d73ec9be32dec60ce9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 AXPZ20 KNHC 160702 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 16 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 7N100W 10N110W 11N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 106W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W AND FROM 119W TO 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N112W TO 14N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N117.5W AND 8.5N112W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 09:27:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30132; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:27:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10934754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA23966 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:27:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA27118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:27:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160127.TAA27118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 19:27:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d04222f82793f149a8adbe3dc69c8ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 905 AXPZ20 KNHC 160124 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 16 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 7N100W 8N110W 8N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 102W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 87W-99W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 121W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 131W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN N OF THE ITCZ FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 127W-138W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 104W-118W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 03:43:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628084-24581>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 03:28:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA28408; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:27:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10920800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:22:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA31352 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:16:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:16:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141916.NAA27587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:16:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41448155e69c99cb56734f13f703d93c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 417 AXPZ20 KNHC 141915 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 14 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N103W IS NO LONGER EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. ...DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N116W AND CONTINUES TO 26N121W. ...1037 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 32N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N84W 6N90W 9N105W 12N115W 7N118W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-90W...AND 127W-133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-105W...AND 119W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N113W-15N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N BETWEEN 94W-99W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 21:29:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628360-24582>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 21:17:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19588; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 07:17:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10916701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 07:17:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA21084 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 07:17:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 07:17:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141317.HAA19321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 07:17:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37d10873912dd2e02b54a89ed4fa75ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 238 AXPZ20 KNHC 141314 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 14 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N103W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N117W AND CONTINUES ALONG 26N121W WHERE IT BECOMES A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 23N128W. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 6N90W 7N100W 12N110W 9N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS FROM 114W-117W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W-89W AND 128W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-92W AND 124W-128W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 200 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W-137W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 101W-114W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-12N EAST OF 90W TO COAST OF NORTHERN NICARAGUA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 16:42:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-24579>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 15:24:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25438; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:25:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:25:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA06470 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:25:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:25:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140725.BAA16363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:25:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18f5016a388f39a839ee871418582a5e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 269 AXPZ20 KNHC 140721 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 14 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N103W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N118W AND CONTINUES ALONG 26N122W WHERE IT BECOMES A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 24N128W. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N87W 10N97W 11N107W 12N113W 8N126W 10N134W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 114W AND FROM 122W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO JUST BEYOND 140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W...FROM 92W TO 95W...AND FROM 96W TO 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 6.5N TO 8N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 10:00:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2435 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-24579>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA12178; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 19:31:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10913032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 19:31:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA05064 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 19:30:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 19:30:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140130.TAA12692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 19:30:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31d7786cd06dd78b1213d9ca1baecfd1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 780 AXPZ20 KNHC 140129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 14 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N102W. ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N125W...AND CONTINUES TO 28N130W. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W ...EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 10N90W 11N100W 10N110W 9N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 100W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 90W-92W...FROM 10N-11N BETWEEN 95W-98W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 117W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 124W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 79W-82W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-10322>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:37:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA07058; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:38:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10909447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:38:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15228 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:38:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:38:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131938.NAA09359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:38:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11997c1eeb1b98a3f4d9ae5c1b159fae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 900 AXPZ20 KNHC 131937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 13 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION THROUGH 32N127W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 29N134W TO OUT OF REGION AT 27N140W. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W ...EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 12N102W 10N110W 9N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA...BETWEEN 110W-113W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W-129W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-117W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 89W-91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N89W 12N89W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627147-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 21:26:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18894; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:26:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:26:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA20922 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:25:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:25:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131325.HAA06380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:25:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e4c2d9fc63b4412676a7ecc12060d3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 496 AXPZ20 KNHC 131323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 13 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION THROUGH 32N133W...AND CONTINUES TO OUT OF REGION AT 28N140W. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W ...EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N93W 10N103W 9N114W 9N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W-113W...150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-102W... WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 78W AND WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF COSTA RICA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 97W-103W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:58:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-10322>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 15:09:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA07088; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:10:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10904762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:10:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA20892 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:10:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:10:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130710.BAA04191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:10:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bcc583a288005222977542cbe40f9080 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 707 AXPZ20 KNHC 130706 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 13 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N136W BEYOND 30N140W...MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC N OF 15N WEST OF 115W TOWARD THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-10N99W-9N110W- 8N127W-8N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W... WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 7N128W... AND FROM 6.5N TO 7.5N BETWEEN 134.5W AND 137W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 7.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626027-10322>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 09:22:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15480; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:22:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10901851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:22:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA23132 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:22:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:22:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130122.TAA01220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:22:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7abca487b5cfc420371a1cff76448871 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 329 AXPZ20 KNHC 130121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 13 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0000 UTC... ...DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...1025 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 28N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 10N100W 9N110W 10N120W 7N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N80W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 96W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 11N89W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:52:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627924-13564>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 03:14:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26154; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:14:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:14:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22040 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:14:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:14:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121914.NAA28204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 13:14:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac86ad1f108b44d5e270ebd7daecd47e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 070 AXPZ20 KNHC 121911 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 12 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N75W 7N90W 8N100W 8N110W 9N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 119W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 77W-81W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 127W-133W...AND FROM 6N-7N BETWEEN 135W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 97W-101W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 105W-111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 95W-97W....FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 105W-107W...AND FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 103W-104W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:51:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2964 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628085-13563>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 21:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA27068; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:28:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10892985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18078 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:27:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:27:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121327.HAA26090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:27:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c69e7346194030520d51d12de56711a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 561 AXPZ20 KNHC 121326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 12 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N75W 7N90W 8N100W 8N110W 10N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 106W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 97W-100W...AND FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 120W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 122W-127W... AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 132W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 94W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 102W-105W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:50:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627713-13560>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 15:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04582; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:25:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29620 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:25:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:25:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120725.BAA24063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 01:25:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71cc3cacc9bbaaa246e7e16524e92e60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 804 AXPZ20 KNHC 120722 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 12 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-9N107W-10N120W- 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF COLOMBIA COAST FROM 5N TO 7N... WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 7N96W-8N102W...FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 119W AND 120W...FROM 7.5N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W...AND FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 133W AND 138W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N95.5W AND 13N103W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-13565>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 09:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA29450; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:05:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10887564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:05:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA06626 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:05:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:05:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120105.TAA21231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:05:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cbf854059555d234d59f0317b624dc4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 630 AXPZ20 KNHC 120104 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 12 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0015 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 8N94W 7N110W 9N121W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 122W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 110W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITH A SMALL AREA OF EMBEDDED ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 10N94W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-10549>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:47:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA04970; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:47:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26196 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:47:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:47:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111947.NAA16320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:47:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2792053ba625c2aeb59908f561aee766 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 519 AXPZ20 KNHC 111945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 11 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N90W 6N100W 7N110W 9N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 118W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 104W-107W...FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 100W-102W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 127W-133W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2066 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627603-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 21:12:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28622; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 07:13:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 07:13:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15284 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 07:13:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA07011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 07:13:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111313.HAA07011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 07:13:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3582f05a9e495b70bc554cec84ed9240 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 523 AXPZ20 KNHC 111308 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 11 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N90W 6N100W 7N110W 9N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 93W-96W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 123W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 127W-128W...AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 136W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 105W-106W...AND FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 120W-122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N85W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1974 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627489-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 15:14:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20994; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 01:14:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10878577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 01:14:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23276 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 01:14:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 01:14:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110714.BAA04148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 01:14:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c4d6c9b8e451270ae8fd3ea572be197 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 AXPZ20 KNHC 110709 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 11 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N79W-8N107W-9N126W- 8N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 125W AND 126.5W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W...AND FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 97W. SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 136W AND 138W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 09:23:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:19:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA19646; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 19:20:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10875285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 19:20:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA23920 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 19:20:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA00176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 19:19:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110119.TAA00176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 19:19:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2756b0009d018397f5d9e093e5ed783f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 AXPZ20 KNHC 110116 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 11 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 5N100W 7N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W- 133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W-125W AND 136W-139W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-95W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 200 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-104W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS NORTH OF 6N AND EAST OF 86W TO CENTRAL PANAMA. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N93W TO COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N94W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-20936>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 03:20:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29944; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:21:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10871708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:21:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24026 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:21:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:21:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101921.NAA23300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:21:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e494752f6aaef56a4f840b4de1db398b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 992 AXPZ20 KNHC 101918 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 10 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N88W 6N97W 8N102W 9N122W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS TO THE WEST OF 122W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 11N92W-13N100W. BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE FROM 10N-22N BETWEEN 108W-120W...CONTINUING NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4080 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627440-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 21:25:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28644; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:25:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10877684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:25:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA14538 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:25:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:25:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101325.HAA15964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:25:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3ca10fa1237a8e67cc980f9229bdd52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 079 AXPZ20 KNHC 101320 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 10 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1200 UTC... ...1033 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 33N130W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N87W 6N96W 5N110W 9N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W IN RESPONSE TO THE REMNANTS OF AN ITCZ LOW. SIMILAR CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS TO THE WEST OF 120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS CHARACTERIZE THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 15:33:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 15:21:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12040; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:22:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10875632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:21:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27124 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:21:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:21:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100721.BAA13678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 01:21:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df36204fccb831152225cf5f7a77993b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 AXPZ20 KNHC 100718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 10 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ...THE 1011 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 8N88W HAS DISSIPATED. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 6N94W 7N110W 8N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 09:35:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626341-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 09:25:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA29482; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 19:26:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10872042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 19:25:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA29456 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 19:25:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 19:25:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100125.TAA09630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 19:25:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70e52886f11b7a6d45ef8e7bedd90c80 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 199 AXPZ20 KNHC 100121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 10 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ...WEAK 1011 MB LOW CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 8N88W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 6N100W 7N1110W 9N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 131W-132W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 200 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZE REMAINDER OF ITCZ BETWEEN 96W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS NORTH OF 13N FROM GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR BORDER TO MEXICAN BORDER. SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET FROM 13N- 20N WEST OF 110W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 03:54:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628400-17320>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 03:23:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA14064; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:21:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10992051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:20:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA23220 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:20:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:20:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091920.NAA01855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 13:20:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b7516a15b6e1bf7e3dccb8c79ac1f53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 399 AXPZ20 KNHC 091917 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 09 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1800 UTC... ...WEAK 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 8N88W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N88W 8N100W 8N110W 9N121W 8N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-125W ...AND BETWEEN 131W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-94W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1011 MB LOW. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 02:12:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628035-17320>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 21:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA12256; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 07:16:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10987311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 07:16:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16816 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 07:16:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 07:16:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091316.HAA22776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 07:16:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5fa733bf545b4924f01b16b8f0a79bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 301 AXPZ20 KNHC 091313 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 09 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ...WEAK 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 8N88W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N88W 6N100W 8N110W 8N122W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 45 NM OF 9N86W-7N90W-10N92W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1009 MB LOW. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 15:24:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627753-17323>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 15:02:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13540; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:02:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10984932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:02:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27088 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:02:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:02:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090702.BAA19003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 01:02:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5616863a4159b828c5bbc4894fa15f7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 AXPZ20 KNHC 090659 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 09 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ...WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 8N87W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...A 1033 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 34N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N90W 6N100W 7N110W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA NORTH OF 8N WEST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-17323>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 08:41:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA24532; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 18:41:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10979366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 18:41:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA26046 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 18:41:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA13361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 18:41:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090041.SAA13361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 18:41:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d1d6071a8aa5eef79a409b73adc160e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 620 AXPZ20 KNHC 090035 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 09 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ...WEAK 1009 MB LOW CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 7N87W. IT IS MOVING WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS. ...1035 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 34N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 113 WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0135 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 7N100W 7N110W 9N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 98W- 99W...AND WEST OF 138W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-92W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER- STORMS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-136W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PANAMA. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628017-8555>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:16:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18150; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:17:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:17:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18786 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:16:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:16:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081916.NAA05282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:16:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89431ce51b070090ad3bbc239ba92e05 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 754 AXPZ20 KNHC 081914 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 08 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ...WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 8N86W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...1033 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N136W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N134W-23N126W-17N111W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N90W 7N95W 8N100W 9N122W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-100W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:49:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627750-8558>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 21:24:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15320; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:25:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10971300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:25:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16566 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:25:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:25:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081325.HAA26474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:25:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cede3f27bf6c2710e68f512f99785e73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 409 AXPZ20 KNHC 081322 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 08 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ...WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 8N86W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...1034 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N134W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N87W 8N100W 9N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 8N88W- 13N90W AND IS RELATED TO THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE WEAK LOW. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 16:09:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627518-8558>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 15:16:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28536; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 01:15:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 01:14:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12828 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 01:14:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 01:14:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080714.BAA23775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 01:14:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e3a52273935f143abe613dedf237878 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 267 AXPZ20 KNHC 080711 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 08 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N90W 7N110W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM THE BORDER OF COLOMBIA TO 79.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 14:18:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-8555>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 09:18:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16546; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 19:18:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 19:18:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAB26508 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 19:18:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 19:18:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080118.TAA19972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 19:18:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6359e616e0bd0369ea052e1df813759 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 808 AXPZ20 KNHC 080117 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 08 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ...1032 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N144W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 7N100W 7N110W 10N120W 7N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-87W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 131W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-99W AND 125W-127W. BROKEN LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZE ITCZ FROM 101W-111W...AND WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NORTH OF 9N AND EAST OF 86W TO JUST INLAND COAST OF NORTHERN COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 04:15:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-3874>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 03:48:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA27086; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:48:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10961297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:48:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21926 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:48:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:48:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071948.NAA12819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:48:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f209b5546acd1add135a9c4d6aca6fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 075 AXPZ20 KNHC 071946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 07 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ...1035 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 31N141W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N86W 7N110W 10N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS COVER THE AREA NORTH OF 11N BETWEEN WEST OF 110W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 01:55:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-3879>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 21:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA29666; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 07:30:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10955425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 07:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA27686 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 07:28:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 07:28:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071328.HAA03940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 07:28:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0af15d2833a40a8dcfcb68475136dbe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 065 AXPZ20 KNHC 071326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 07 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ...1036 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 32N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N92W 8N110W 10N120W 8N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-106W... AND BETWEEN 122W-128W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4500 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-3880>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 15:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29930; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 01:10:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10953762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 01:10:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26570 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 01:10:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 01:10:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070710.BAA01018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 01:10:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a14701c5c642554250b33ea171418a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 AXPZ20 KNHC 070707 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 07 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ...THE WEAK COLD FRONT HAS DISSIPATED. ...A 1036 MB HIGH IS LOCATED AT THE EDGE OF THE REGION NEAR 32N140W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 8N110W 9N122W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N79W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA NEAR 8.5N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM THE PANAMA BORDER TO 84W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2039 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626389-3880>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 09:15:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16430; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 19:16:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10950130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 19:16:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA12058 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 19:16:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA26767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 19:16:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070116.TAA26767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 19:16:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9a9e7b8e6af5a49a72cc7573dbc7dd9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 450 AXPZ20 KNHC 070114 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 07 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ...A WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N110W TO 28N114W 27N121W. IT IS MOVING EAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N90W 8N100W 7N110W 9N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 96W-98W...FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 121W-125W...AND FROM 7N-10N TO BEYOND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-11N BETWEEN 114W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 77W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 129W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 09:22:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627335-22682>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 03:32:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18810; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:33:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10946708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16744 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:33:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:33:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061933.NAA22372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 13:33:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76f3c0a102f3d5d880281d2d3d52d177 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 776 AXPZ20 KNHC 061931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 06 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N114W TO 30N116W 29N121W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE TO 30N130W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N90W 10N90W 8N100W 7N110W 10N118W 7N125W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-90W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-120W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 00:31:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-22679>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 21:31:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA21976; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:31:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10944294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:31:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA21186 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:31:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:31:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812061331.HAA19558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 07:31:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 042ece1d9b029be73ea2724d973f8c5e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 626 AXPZ20 KNHC 061329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 06 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N120W TO 31N126W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE TO 32N132W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20-25 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N84W 10N90W 7N100W 7N110W 11N118W 8N125W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-87W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-127W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 78W-79W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-106W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626790-22679>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 15:29:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12124; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:30:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:30:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18704 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:29:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:29:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060729.BAA17586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 01:29:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78a5606aa73ae1ac09729bec87e227d4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 650 AXPZ20 KNHC 060726 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 06 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG LINE 12N108W TO 22N115W... THROUGH 32N134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-9N98W-9N120W- 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 9N97.5W...FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 11N117W-10N120W-9N121W...AND FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 121W AND 124W...AND WITHIN IN 15-30 NM RADIUS 8N138.5W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626167-22685>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 09:04:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA21846; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:05:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10939907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:05:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA24642 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:05:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:05:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060105.TAA14420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:05:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5d7595e52189e8a76efc11b4e7fa2f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 272 AXPZ20 KNHC 060106 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 06 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 9N100W 9N110W 9N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 78W-83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 97W-101W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 113W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 92W-97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 10:03:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-1542>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 03:28:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26958; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:29:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17414 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:28:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:28:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051928.NAA11635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 13:28:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 771629141a093219c51dcdc8d5ffb536 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 791 AXPZ20 KNHC 051929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 05 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...TROUGH ACROSS COSTA RICA ALONG A LINE FROM 13N81W TO 10N83W 7N85W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 8N100W 7N110W 11N122W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-86W OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 22:10:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3345 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-1543>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 21:30:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18484; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:30:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10934592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18698 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:30:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:30:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051330.HAA08825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 07:30:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a3245cf7523d83aa53981b052397ab1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 AXPZ20 KNHC 051332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 05 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ...TROUGH ACROSS COSTA RICA ALONG A LINE FROM 13N80W TO 10N83W 6N85W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 7N100W 7N110W 9N120W 11N122W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-100W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N113W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COSTA RICA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 82W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625949-1542>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:35:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA06590; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:36:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04524 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:36:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:36:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050736.BAA07031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:36:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc7fd8f4be1fa9154896206792c5a12a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 AXPZ20 KNHC 050737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 05 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ...1017 MB LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA NEAR 34N118W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD 20-25 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 10N AND WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 7N100W 7N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W- 119W...AND 50 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 121W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 129W-131W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-110W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS E OF 93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF 10N86W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 10:37:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626013-1542>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 08:42:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA24802; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:43:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10929012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:43:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA19920 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:43:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA03720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:43:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050043.SAA03720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:43:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b19774ea16ff9d4bd86fb42a7fe8fd0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 AXPZ20 KNHC 050040 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 05 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ...1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N123W WITH TROUGH FROM LOW CENTER TO 31N120W AND 26N128W...SYSTEM IS MOVING SE 20-25 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC WATERS SE OF LOW/TROUGH...FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER E PAC WATERS TO THE NORTHWEST OF LOW/TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0000 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N83W-6N99W-8N112W- 13N125W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 106W AND 117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 121W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 10N131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE 21N118W-18N129W...AND FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 04:42:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628336-2832>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 04:14:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA09512; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:04:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10926220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:04:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26470 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:03:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:03:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812042003.OAA27715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:03:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b235efbb2798df19579d826136a89e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 681 AXPZ20 KNHC 042004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 04 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ...TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N122W AND EXTENDS TO 28N129W. IT IS MOVING SE AT 25-30 KT. ...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 30N136W TO 20N112W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N79W 8N90W 5N99W 8N105W 8N110W 7N115W 11N123W 10N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-84W...AND 115W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 115W. IN ADDITION BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST IN AN AREA BOUNDED WITHIN THE REGION BY 10N140W- 21N140W-30N117W-20N110W-10N140W. THERE ARE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH THE ABOVE CLOUDINESS. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:10:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627673-2832>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 21:36:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15304; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 07:36:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10921686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 07:36:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA26788 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 07:36:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 07:36:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041336.HAA15898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 07:36:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc696e2eafb3ca91c1009eb40d884f3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 380 AXPZ20 KNHC 041338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 04 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ...DIFFUSING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 30N117W AND CONTINUES ALONG 23N131W TO 22N138W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 30N136W TO 20N112W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N89W 6N97W 8N105W 7N115W 11N122W 10N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. IN ADDITION BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST IN AN AREA BOUNDED WITHIN THE REGION BY 8N140W- 20N140W-30N117W-20N111W-8N140W. THERE ARE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH THE ABOVE CLOUDINESS. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:09:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4673 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627065-2837>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 15:40:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA17894; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:38:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:37:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17854 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:37:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:37:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040737.BAA13315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 01:37:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f3b35890f49955eb81fd0138248c595 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 316 AXPZ20 KNHC 040738 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 04 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N118W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 25N126W TO ABOUT 14N135W...DIFFUSE WESTWARD FROM THERE. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS EAST OF 130W.. AND SOUTH 10-15 KNOTS WEST OF 130W. ...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 30N126W 24N125W 18N116W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N86W 6N95W 8N110W 10N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-120W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-111W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS 85W-90W AND 129W-137W. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM OF REMAINDER OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED RAIN PATCHES AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 117W-140W. HIGH CLOUDINESS WITHIN THIS AREA IS STREAMING NORTH- EASTWARD. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4173 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627612-2836>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 08:43:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA14420; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:42:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10916029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:42:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA05182 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:42:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA08415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:42:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040042.SAA08415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:42:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b48bffe709f2f856ed91d003f3ba4b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 118 AXPZ20 KNHC 040039 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 04 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N120W-27N130W...DISSIPATING FROM 27N130W TO 26N140W...MOVING EAST 20 KT E OF 130W... AND SOUTH 10-15 KT WEST OF 130W. ...RIDGE BUILDING OVER E PAC WATERS...BEHIND THE 32N120W- 26N140W COLD FRONT. 1044 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS WELL NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE ALSO COVERS E PAC NORTHWEST OF 15N110W...TOWARD THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0000 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-9N86W-5N96W- 10N120W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS 9N85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W... AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 11N121.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 8N106W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W...COVERING INTERIOR/COASTAL SECTIONS OF PANAMA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS COVER E PAC WATERS FROM 16N TO 26W BETWEEN 114W AND 132W...AND FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628382-9213>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 03:20:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21428; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:20:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10912296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:20:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21400 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:20:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:20:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812031920.NAA01740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:20:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4803a62bfbad64f83eee71419ec94733 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 125 AXPZ20 KNHC 031921 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 03 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W AND CONTINUES TO 28N130W WHERE IT BECOMES A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 27N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20-25 KNOTS. ...STRONG 1046 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N134W TO 20N110W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N85W 4N94W 7N108W 12N121W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA... INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-85W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 105W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N131W- 23N127W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:32:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628156-9206>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 21:19:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA22338; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 07:20:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10907692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 07:20:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA19756 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 07:20:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA23582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 07:20:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812031320.HAA23582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 07:20:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84fa20bcb59c82c162f65660d09a39ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 126 AXPZ20 KNHC 031320 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 03 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N129W AND CONTINUES TO 28N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20-25 KNOTS. ...STRONG 1048 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N134W TO 20N112W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N87W 5N94W 8N109W 12N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA... INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-120W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N133W- 20N129W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:30:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-9212>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 15:41:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22310; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:40:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:40:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24070 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:40:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:40:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030740.BAA21230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:40:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5397d8e98c568896d01181b9b0a369ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 380 AXPZ20 KNHC 030740 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 03 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST SECTION OF THE REGION ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS TO OUT OF REGION AT 30N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD 20-25 KNOTS. ...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 31N134W THROUGH 27N127W 25N122W TO 23N119W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N85W 4N94W 7N101W 8N115W 12N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-107W AND WEST OF 134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS WITHIN 50 NM OF A LINE FROM NORTHERN PANAMA NEAR 8N82W TO 7N83W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE SOUTHERN PANAMA...AND OVER GULF OF PANAMA NEAR CENTRAL PORTION PANAMA. AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NOTED FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 131W-134W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 130W-131W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 10:02:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-9213>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 09:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24512; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 19:38:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 19:38:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13484 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 19:38:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 19:38:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030138.TAA16935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 19:38:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 863b9c183c73dd4f016d90295633fcdd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 AXPZ20 KNHC 030138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 03 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ...A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING FROM THE NW...PASSING THROUGH 32N/33N ALONG 140W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC SE OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. RIDGE IS ALONG LINE 20N110W-23N126W TO 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N79W-10N102W-11N120W-10N133W-9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION COVERS INTERIOR SECTIONS/ COASTAL SECTIONS OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 83W AND 84.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF PANAMA FROM 8.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 82.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS OVER INTERIOR/COASTAL WATERS OF PANAMA FROM 7.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 8N102W-7N105W-9N104W- 8N102W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 119W AND 121W... WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 13N119W-14N121W-14N123W... FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 132W AND 134W... WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 10N135.5W...AND FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W...AND FROM 8N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 122W AND 126W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 03:31:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628002-24374>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 03:22:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23750; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:22:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10897733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:22:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22932 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:22:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:22:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812021922.NAA07752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:22:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bd4f18f8f5dbaee2e91f5cafd8d03b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 197 AXPZ20 KNHC 021922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 02 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ...A 1032 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N140W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N91W 11N110W 11N121W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-89W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 100W-133W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-100W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 00:32:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627769-24373>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 21:28:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA22880; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 07:29:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10892912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 07:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA13134 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 07:29:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 07:29:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812021329.HAA28075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 07:29:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 007c6c59013ad206c4639bfdfd054acb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 270 AXPZ20 KNHC 021329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 02 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ...A 1014 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N115W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO 19N118W. ...A 1032 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N143W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N86W 8N100W 10N110W 11N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N77W- 7N79W-8N84W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-125W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-99W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF 13N125W- 28N112W WHERE THEY CONTINUE AS BROKEN/OVERCAST MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627667-24372>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 15:14:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25854; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:14:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10890823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18912 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:14:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:14:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020714.BAA25382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:14:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25ab431f5293621bf03f59a9fced0f5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 950 AXPZ20 KNHC 020713 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 02 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ...A 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N118W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 30N116W TO 26N119W. ANOTHER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW INLAND OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. ...A 1032 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N138W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N85W 8N100W 9N120W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 83W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND FROM 119W TO 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 138W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ FROM 106W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N109W 12N117W TO 14N120W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 85W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 12:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-28029>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 09:52:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15526; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 19:53:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10886835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 19:52:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA17032 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 19:52:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 19:52:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020152.TAA21694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 19:52:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66eef2c0d15ce4d59479e4692153bc40 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 082 AXPZ20 KNHC 020150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 02 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ...1018 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N119W. ONE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THIS LOW NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 33N118W. ANOTHER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 30N118W AND 26N120W. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N81W- 8N86W-8N90W-9N100W-9N120W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 115W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE BETWEEN 127W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...EMBEDDED IN BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 17N122W-13N119W-11N115W TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 07:54:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-11325>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 03:58:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA17384; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:59:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10881829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:59:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15816 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:59:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:58:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812011958.NAA14964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:58:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31008d1e59ad4cbceb45f279ff008ce3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 556 AXPZ20 KNHC 011928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 01 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ...1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N120W. A DIFFUSING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW THROUGH 28N119W TO 22N130W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N85W 9N110W 10N124W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-100W THEN CONTINUING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-115W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 84W...FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 115W-128W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 117W-124W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 22:02:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627438-11326>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 21:28:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA17084; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 07:29:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 07:29:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15884 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 07:28:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA05280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 07:28:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812011328.HAA05280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 07:28:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edbbff4df1c6c188e9e98767b67fef26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 764 AXPZ20 KNHC 011328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 01 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ...1016 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N122W. A DIFFUSING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW THROUGH 30N120W TO 24N130W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N85W 6N96W 9N110W 11N124W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-98W THEN CONTINUING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-110W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 110W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND WEST OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 116W-124W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 16:00:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2533 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-11326>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 15:34:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23366; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:35:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10874423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14340 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:34:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:34:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010734.BAA02502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:34:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36b592b219f92c72bf0de37da404eff8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 203 AXPZ20 KNHC 010735 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 01 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N121W 25N126W 22N129W... MOVING EAST/SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC N OF 17N W OF 120W...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N85W 7N90W 8N100W 7N110W 9N120W 9N126W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-107W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N117W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 16N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 117W-119W...AND FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 129W-135W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ALONG AND 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N140W TO 13N130W 26N110W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 14:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627063-11325>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 14:26:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23550; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:27:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10873884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA05304 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:15:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:15:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010615.AAA01702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:15:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9491a2e0cb2d3fe37dc3f10a368e072f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 141 ABPZ20 KNHC 010615 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS PERSISTS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE OFFICIAL HURRICANE SEASON ENDS TONIGHT WHEN THE LAST TROPICAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED. TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME 15 MAY 1999. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626653-11321>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 09:19:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA20878; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:19:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10869638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:19:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA05230 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:19:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:19:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010119.TAA28323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:19:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 889a360738102b4be077c96633b88423 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 AXPZ20 KNHC 010113 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 01 DEC 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N123W-25N130W BEYOND 22N140W... MOVING EAST/SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC SE OF COLD FRONT TO 15N AND 115W. HIGH PRESSURE ALSO IS BUILDING NW OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-8N88W-9N99W- 7N105W-8N116W-12N121W-10N125W-8N131W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 99W AND 116W...AND 120W AND 131W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 8N84W...9N85W...AND 7N94.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 116.5W AND 119W. BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED WITH A JET STREAM...WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE 25N110W-15N125W- 12N132W-13N140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625925-11326>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 07:26:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22340; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 17:26:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10868806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 17:26:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19500 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 17:26:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 17:26:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811302326.RAA26863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 17:26:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 367aa2bb01ab2df6f0f7b34e127fbbe2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 ABPZ20 KNHC 302316 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS CONTINUES SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. THE OFFICIAL HURRICANE SEASON ENDS TONIGHT WHEN THE LAST TROPICAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED. TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME 15 MAY 1999. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628996-9031>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 03:33:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22450; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:34:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10866628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:34:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15510 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:34:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:34:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301934.NAA21263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:34:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3452d9929032e973402acf49aaa2fdee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 191 AXPZ20 KNHC 301933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 30 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W CONTINUES THROUGH 26N130W TO 22N140W WHERE IT EXITS THE REGION. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 24N122W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N SOUTHEAST OF THE COLD FRONT...AND IS BUILDING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N86W 6N94W 8N100W 7N110W 10N124W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS FROM 10N-19N BETWEEN 111W-121W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-9028>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 03:23:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24756; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:23:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10866558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:23:28 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12188 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:23:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:23:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301923.NAA21037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:23:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6862fdd725f8f842fb46b66aac015ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 ABPZ20 KNHC 301911 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS CONTINUES SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 21:35:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628998-9034>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 21:25:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA09684; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:25:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10861180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:25:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA09656 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:25:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:25:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301325.HAA12293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:25:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72204d6071da5b09ac675b81b6b4242a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 AXPZ20 KNHC 301325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 30 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N128W...AND EXITS THE REGION NEAR 24N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...1021 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N124W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N EAST OF THE COLD FRONT...AND IS BUILDING NW OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N87W 6N93W 9N100W 8N110W 10N124W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 111W-121W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 12N140W AND EXTENDS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE TO 11N136W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 20:38:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629003-9033>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:30:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13482; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 05:30:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10860304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 05:30:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA16786 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 05:30:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 05:30:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301130.FAA11183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 05:30:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52a351e562bed960bda2fd43ba6eeaf6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 ABPZ20 KNHC 301130 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 16:55:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627815-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 15:28:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA17024; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:29:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10859220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:29:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17262 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:29:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:29:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300729.BAA09466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:29:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acf3ca94e83fc588a89ba9804c113bb7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 206 AXPZ20 KNHC 300729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 30 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N131W...AND EXITS THE REGION NEAR 26N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 6N100W 6N110W 11N120W 9N126W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 96W-100W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N137W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-21N BETWEEN 111W-119W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 16:55:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626091-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:08:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17446; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:08:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10858696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:08:40 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19736 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:03:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:03:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300603.AAA08776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:03:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3d3581f18bc2b845c20e7edd8948a94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 891 ABPZ20 KNHC 300604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 09:22:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626178-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 09:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA19908; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:08:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10856568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:08:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA23210 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:07:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:07:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300107.TAA06242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:07:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e757724857b850deb2401af3031926b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 787 AXPZ20 KNHC 300106 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 30 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N135W...AND EXITS THE REGION NEAR 29N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 6N90W 7N100W 6N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 79W-80W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 136W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 84W-85W...AND FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 102W-107W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 107W TO 112W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND N OF THE ITCZ FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 115W-118W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2754 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-9033>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:40:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA14150; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 17:41:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10855890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 17:41:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA17698 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 17:41:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 17:41:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811292341.RAA05333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 17:41:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7be48f1f7163dcbdad32ba1c78ab5fa0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 261 ABPZ20 KNHC 292340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625958-4121>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 03:18:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA05222; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:19:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10853964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:19:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19796 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:19:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:19:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291919.NAA03114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:19:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12402feb5bf0d5c21738efaa2efb0a11 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 AXPZ20 KNHC 291919 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 29 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ...NEW COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N138W...AND CONTINUES TO OUT OF THE REGION AT 32N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST- WARD 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N79W 6N90W 7N100W 6N110W 8N125W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 99W-104W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-113W AND 123W-127W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W-80W AND 115W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 112W-118W. BROKEN MID/HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD DENOTING SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM ARE ON EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N123W THROUGH 16N119W 20N114W TO ACROSS BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 24N111W. THE JET STREAM AXIS HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD ABOUT 1 DEG DURING PAST SIX HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-100 NM OF COAST OF SOUTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629376-4126>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:42:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17548; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 11:43:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10853285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 11:43:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA14202 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 11:43:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 11:43:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291743.LAA02322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 11:43:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea7b548978e587ea9718394ddb0dfe8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 068 ABPZ20 KNHC 291744 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628410-4121>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:42:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA17292; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 07:42:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10851651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 07:41:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17558 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 07:37:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 07:37:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291337.HAA00605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 07:37:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2b42d6b7d6bc3a0eeb95062710a925e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 939 AXPZ20 KNHC 291336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 29 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ...WEAKENING COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N109W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 27N110W TO 20N114W. IT IS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W... EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N90W 7N100W 8N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 132W-136W ...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-125W AND WEST OF 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W-112W...114W-119W...AND 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-95W...AND 129W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 112W-117W. BROKEN MID/HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING NORTH- EASTWARD MARK SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM ON EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N125W THROUGH 16N120W 21N115W TO ACROSS BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 25N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG SOUTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA...AND NORTH OF 7N TO INLAND COAST OF PANAMA BETWEEN 81W-83W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626802-4124>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:46:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24444; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 05:46:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10851332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 05:46:40 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA17510 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 05:46:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA29985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 05:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291146.FAA29985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 05:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b267a1982c2d0f587459d1d5632f9d24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 664 ABPZ20 KNHC 291145 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-4125>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 15:16:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA17666; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:16:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10850574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:16:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17896 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:16:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:16:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290716.BAA28462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:16:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d1050d196c434e27b40b390ef5a4d4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 806 AXPZ20 KNHC 290716 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 29 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ...WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N111W...AND CONTINUES TO 20N117W. IT IS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W... EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 7N100W 7N110W 11N120W 10N130W 8N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-133W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 81W-84W...AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N118W TO 19N112W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626623-4121>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 14:08:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13778; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:09:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10850248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:09:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23734 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:09:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:09:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290609.AAA27980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:09:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f9f486d8a17561e2142e2540ec32bb8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 829 ABPZ20 KNHC 290608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 10:35:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-4121>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 09:38:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA14252; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:39:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10848705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:39:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA16794 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:39:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:39:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290139.TAA25966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:39:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10c3cc25f22075e68e42b4d05273e45e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 690 AXPZ20 KNHC 290138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 29 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ...WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N114W...AND CONTINUES TO 20N119W. IT IS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W... EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 7N100W 9N110W 10N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-135W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 95W-109W...FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 115W-123W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 18W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 111W-116W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE WEAK COLD FRONT WITHIN 60 NM OF 25N114W TO 20N119W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 10:34:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2659 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625874-4125>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 07:21:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA17368; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 17:21:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10848133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 17:21:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA11718 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 17:21:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 17:21:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811282321.RAA25053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 17:21:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ce48a0608393ee25032ee9f6eb38495 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 758 ABPZ20 KNHC 282321 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 03:46:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629309-9984>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 03:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA17406; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:38:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10847163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:38:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17378 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:38:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:38:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281938.NAA23315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:38:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a66aa2470b250366dde86e316660a6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 989 AXPZ20 KNHC 281937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 28 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N115W...AND CONTINUES TO 23N122W...WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE WESTWARD FROM THERE. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W... EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 7N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-100W...124W-129W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-96W...AND 112W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN AREA BOUNDED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 106W-110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 115W- 119W. BROKEN LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN WITHIN 120 NM OF COLD FRONT EAST OF 119W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS CLOUDS STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO SUB- TROPICAL JET STREAM ARE WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF LINE 13N131W 17N125W 23N118W TO ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 27N115W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630954-9976>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:33:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13334; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:34:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10846520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:34:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA13564 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:34:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:34:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281734.LAA22391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 11:34:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f947aee0e026daf1b6aec82983aacc83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 090 ABPZ20 KNHC 281734 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:47:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629232-9984>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 21:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA21916; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:16:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10845371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:16:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22920 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:16:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:16:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281316.HAA20807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:16:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7d9386ddc198db303c76493878c029e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 803 AXPZ20 KNHC 281316 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 28 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N116W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 26N120W 21N127W 19N133W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE WESTWARD FROM THERE. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 20-25 KNOTS NORTH OF 25N...AND SOUTHEAST ABOUT 15 KNOTS ELSEWHERE. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W... EXCEPT IN IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 8N100W 7N110W 9N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-101W ...122W-126W...131W-133W AND 135W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W-110W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-95W...AND 111W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN AREA BOUNDED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 113W-120W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF COLD FRONT EAST OF 120W. BROKEN LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN WITHIN 60-120 NM OF COLD FRONT WEST OF 120W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS CLOUDS STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM ARE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF LINE 20N120W 26N116W TO ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 28N114W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 19:22:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628884-9981>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 18:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA17972; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 04:39:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844893 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 04:39:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA14112 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 04:39:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA20045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 04:39:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281039.EAA20045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 04:39:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0053150eca8caada260e6456da81e5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 804 ABPZ20 KNHC 281039 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628184-9984>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 15:25:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24522; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:25:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:25:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA20920 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:25:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:25:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280725.BAA18847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:25:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99167e9b009af9346b0e528974ee87b8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 295 AXPZ20 KNHC 280724 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 28 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N116W...AND CONTINUES TO 23N128W. IT IS MOVING EAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N90W 7N100W 7N110W 9N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-105W...WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-120W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-130W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE ITCZ FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 105W-126W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 13:04:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2964 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627509-9983>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 12:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15234; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 22:58:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10843615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 22:58:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA15982 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 22:58:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 22:58:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280458.WAA17872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 22:58:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2ec9399f2a25ae199886a4eb46182a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 916 ABPZ20 KNHC 280458 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 10:40:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3981 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626187-9976>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 09:09:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16474; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:10:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10842349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:10:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11576 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:10:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:10:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280110.TAA16817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:10:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a431dab863dbe51beaa59872d2e147bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 176 AXPZ20 KNHC 280108 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 28 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N122W...AND CONTINUES TO 23N130W. IT IS MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N75W 7N90W 8N100W 9N110W 8N120W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 127W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 87W-92W...FROM 9N-1N BETWEEN 102W-105W...FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 105W-107W...AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 110W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 94W-98W...AND FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 121W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 105W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 30N-32N BETWEEN 119W-126W DUE TO PREFRONTAL ACTIVITY. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 10:40:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625912-9983>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 06:56:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA13572; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 16:57:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10841970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 16:57:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA18158 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 16:57:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA15792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 16:57:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811272257.QAA15792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 16:57:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47fd032b2a147b53e2213e0d4f8976a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 ABPZ20 KNHC 272257 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 10:40:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629118-9723>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 03:28:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA20764; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 13:28:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10840315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 13:28:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA19722 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 13:28:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 13:28:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271928.NAA13913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 13:28:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b78e6ca9a28822ea1a2d6cb32624aa74 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 899 AXPZ20 KNHC 271926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 27 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N124W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 28W126W 25N130W 22N138W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE WESTWARD FROM THERE. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 20-25 KNOTS NORTH OF 26N...AND AROUND 15 KNOTS ELSEWHERE. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. HIGH PRESSURE ALSO RAPIDLY BUILDING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N86W 8N100W 9N110W 8N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-115W...WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-122W ...AND WEST OF 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W AND 104W- 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN AREA BOUNDED FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 106W-109W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM JUST NORTH OF ITCZ-AXIS TO 13N BETWEEN 114W-119W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF COLD FRONT NORTH OF 25N. BROKEN LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT WEST OF 131W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 21N124W 25N119W TO ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 29N116W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2113 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629190-9725>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:27:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19738; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:28:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10839662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:28:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04872 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:28:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:28:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271728.LAA12893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 11:28:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e88096f0572dab2366dc2db6ae65862 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 038 ABPZ20 KNHC 271727 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628252-9723>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 21:35:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19748; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:35:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10838417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:35:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA07434 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:35:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:35:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271335.HAA11401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:35:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84aa15076e248149083088e06b3c8803 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 144 AXPZ20 KNHC 271335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 27 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N128W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 27W133W TO 25N136W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE WESTWARD FROM THERE. IT IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS. ...1028 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 32N140W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. HIGH PRESSURE ALSO BUILDING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1335 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N86W 8N110W 9N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W-129W...WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 108W-110W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W-99W AND 103W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 132W ...AND EAST OF 77W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 11N114W 14N112W...AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 90W-97W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF COLD FRONT NORTH OF 25N. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 22N125W 24N121W TO ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 28N115W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:13:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA16554; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 05:14:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10837744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 05:14:13 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA23448 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 05:14:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 05:14:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271114.FAA10856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 05:14:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9efd43c2485c7084f8030ff7bef19276 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 358 ABPZ20 KNHC 271113 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 15:29:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3354 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627225-9723>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 15:26:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20546; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:24:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10837335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:24:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17456 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:24:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:24:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270724.BAA09658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:24:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c405f2cb0a69b454a3251202fe310289 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 102 AXPZ20 KNHC 270724 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 27 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N125W TO 27N130W...BEYOND 24N140W...MOVING E/SE 15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS SE OF COLD FRONT...NORTHWESTWARD FROM 14N118W TO THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE ALSO IS BUILDING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-8N92W-9N110W-9N130W-9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 125W AND 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 8.5N86W... WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 9N90W AND 8N106W... FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W... FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W... FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W... AND FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 128W AND 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED WITH A JET STREAM... ARE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE 28N117W-19N129W... AND WITHIN 60-75 NM EITHER SIDE 19N129W-16N140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 14:30:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626167-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 12:49:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA07562; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 22:49:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10836657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 22:48:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA14900 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 22:48:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 22:48:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270448.WAA08517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 22:48:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 078e05417d6bec06623f96913ebfcdf1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 ABPZ20 KNHC 270447 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE BECOME DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 09:53:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625939-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 09:20:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA20786; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:20:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10835915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:20:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13344 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:20:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:20:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270120.TAA07483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:20:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d15d7efecb5ffe5af183eac5dacbd10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 AXPZ20 KNHC 270120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 27 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N128W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 27N135W 25N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W ...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 8N100W 10N104W 9N113W 8N124W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W AND 126W-131W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W-126W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-90W AND 99W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W-110W AND 110W- 118W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATE STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N95W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 102W-110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 130W-138W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 08:50:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626061-9723>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:50:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA13668; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 17:51:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10835725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 17:50:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA21832 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 17:50:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 17:50:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811262350.RAA06999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 17:50:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d9b46af0b19a4f716741e4405093b8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 ABPZ20 KNHC 262349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE AREA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH...AWAY FROM THE MAINLAND. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 08:50:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628690-22814>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 03:33:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13032; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:34:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10835071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:33:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA20650 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:33:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:33:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261933.NAA05640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:33:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1f79798062f25be4f5efd0c6fa45712 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 634 AXPZ20 KNHC 261932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 26 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N130W BEYOND 26N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N134W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N85W 10N88W 5N95W 10N103W 8N110W 10N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IS FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 100W-110W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-126W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT IS ALONG AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 01:40:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627914-22814>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:31:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13280; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:32:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10834538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:31:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23758 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:31:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:31:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261731.LAA04831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 11:31:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e582942a462bbf2b24404aa8ba2f2dda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 699 ABPZ20 KNHC 261731 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE AREA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH...AWAY FROM THE MAINLAND. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 22:13:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4836 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627663-22813>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 21:28:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA17620; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:29:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10833357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:28:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA13460 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:28:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:28:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261328.HAA03186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:28:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe5c71928d89c361c73d2649e277d5da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 729 AXPZ20 KNHC 261328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 26 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N133W BEYOND 27N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N128W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N85W 8N90W 5N94W 7N100W 10N103W 8N110W 11N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N103W TO 15N103W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 117W-121W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W-138W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-92W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-107W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 19N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 32N134W TO 29N142W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 22:13:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627469-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:37:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA22256; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 05:38:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10833021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 05:37:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA17878 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 05:37:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA02608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 05:37:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261137.FAA02608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 05:37:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11ae46e437fd3ffd5ff68889be1175d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 473 ABPZ20 KNHC 261138 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 15:53:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 15:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19796; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:39:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:39:30 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12098 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:39:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:39:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260739.BAA00780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:39:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 737a5c60028a1ad560bb352b03ed833a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 194 AXPZ20 KNHC 260736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0175 UTC THU 26 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N133W BEYOND 28N140W... MOVING E/SE 15 KT. ...1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N131W. HIGH PRESSURE OVER REST OF E PAC FROM 15N120W NORTHWESTWARD TO APPROACHING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-8N90W-11N102W- 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 8N88W AND 7.5N91W...AND FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W...WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF 8.5N BETWEEN 126W AND 128W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 10N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7.5N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 134W AND 135.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 7N112W-8N114W-8N116W-9N118W AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 13N137.5W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626370-7037>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:32:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA14014; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 17:33:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10829826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 17:33:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA07592 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 17:32:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 17:32:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811252332.RAA25337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 17:32:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0222cfd580e16f92baf67f6a7383e659 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 326 ABPZ20 KNHC 252332 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628549-409>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 03:36:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22138; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:36:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10827759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:36:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04944 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:36:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:36:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251936.NAA20360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:36:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2e822d295b5c9e1255ae1a87d94e095 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 671 AXPZ20 KNHC 251936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 25 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ...1023 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 29N127W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N89W 9N105W 7N118W 7N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-131W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 100W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 130W FROM 10N-14N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 90W-100W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3515 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630733-410>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:35:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22000; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:36:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10826420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:36:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA18638 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:36:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:36:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251736.LAA17957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:36:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df0ace3ee29ceba5c62e579fe0c79b16 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 101 ABPZ20 KNHC 251736 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:49:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627436-411>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 21:33:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA20702; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:34:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10823673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:33:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA12746 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:33:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:33:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251333.HAA12375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:33:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75d5d47b9d7bdb56e0510dc0213ff155 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 357 AXPZ20 KNHC 251333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 25 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ...1023 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N127W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N87W 10N106W 8N117W 7N126W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-87W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-127W...AND WEST OF 138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-84W...AND FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 103W-111W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 99W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N BETWEEN 128W-134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 89W-97W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:49:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 19:01:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA09674; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:02:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10822937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:02:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA16814 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:02:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:02:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251102.FAA11012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:02:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31e982be43eff637899f33660c3cf17f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 662 ABPZ20 KNHC 251100 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-411>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 15:18:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16750; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:19:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10822064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:19:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17198 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:18:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:18:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250718.BAA08832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:18:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfd389ef2ba5053d8624bf9376756dec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 978 AXPZ20 KNHC 250716 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 25 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N126W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-8N96W-9N112W- 9N118W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 129W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 123W...AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE 10N113W-7N117W...AND FROM 10N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1651 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626689-409>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:11:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12184; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:11:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:11:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA12934 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:11:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:11:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250511.XAA07690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:11:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba3f1042d801b8f18ae612d582c22ad6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 119 ABPZ20 KNHC 250511 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-411>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:38:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14658; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:38:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10820130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:38:39 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04902 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:38:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:38:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250238.UAA06039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:38:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6181019c335d92837cda9efb46cbcbf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 222 ABPZ20 KNHC 250236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626939-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:12:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA20854; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:12:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10819207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:12:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA21084 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:12:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:12:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250112.TAA05111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:12:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea7eff9828a79cb469078dc4367c1e3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 381 AXPZ20 KNHC 250111 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 25 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 32N125W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N75W 7N90W 13N100W 10N110W 6N120W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 76W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 111W-117W...FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 123W-128W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 136W-141W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 98W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 82W-84W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 91W-93W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 104W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 03:53:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628352-13864>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 03:35:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15808; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:35:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10815613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:34:52 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15760 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:34:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:34:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241934.NAA28072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:34:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98b76bb055464f7ba94751d21362e9fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 145 AXPZ20 KNHC 241932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 24 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N127W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N88W 13N100W 8N113W 11N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-105W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-93W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-122W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N105W-15N110W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N92W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 02:36:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630535-13864>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:18:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20660; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:18:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10813826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:18:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA18480 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:18:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:18:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241718.LAA24670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:18:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21becbca515ce7c64d4753cb670c5332 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 285 ABPZ20 KNHC 241715 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 02:36:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630409-13863>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 21:38:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA06570; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:39:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10810854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:39:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA14740 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:39:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:39:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241339.HAA19223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:39:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 644f4ed654d2860b2623a1cea84a3d6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 080 AXPZ20 KNHC 241336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 24 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ...DIFFUSING COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N121W-28N130W-25N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. ...1026 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N134W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N88W 13N100W 9N112W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-83W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-103W... AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-91W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-124W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N85W-14N90W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 02:36:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630351-13865>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:13:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA05216; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 05:14:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10810355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 05:14:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA06476 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 05:14:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 05:14:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241114.FAA17966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 05:14:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a005b72f2cfb948a15371131d45e5e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 905 ABPZ20 KNHC 241113 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 15:51:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630256-25653>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:38:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12638; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:38:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:38:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA20812 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:38:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:38:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240738.BAA16116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:38:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54ed50c660c10533c4780e94835f5146 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 AXPZ20 KNHC 240738 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 24 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ...E PAC COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N124-29N130W-25N140W... MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. ...1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N137W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REST OF E PAC FROM 15N TO COLD FRONT BETWEEN 115W AND COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-9N110W-11N130W- 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 81W AND 82.5W...FROM 10.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 96W AND 97W...FROM 9.5N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 111W AND 112W... IN CLUSTERS FROM 7.5N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W...WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 9N126W-11N131W...AND 8.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 136.5W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 132W AND 134.5W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 14:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628076-25653>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:20:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15840; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:20:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:19:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16010 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:19:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:19:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240519.XAA14913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:19:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b17ee149b676bb6d48079f22d14df389 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 350 ABPZ20 KNHC 240518 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:30:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-25653>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 09:30:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA05010; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:31:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:31:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA18816 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:31:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:31:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240131.TAA12217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:31:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85807052b9784f6f27c863e52a437259 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 469 AXPZ20 KNHC 240130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 24 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N127W...AND EXTENDS TO 27N137W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE TO 26N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. ...1022 MB HIGH NEAR 28N125W. HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0046 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N90W 5N100W 9N110W 10N120W 7N130W 9N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-124W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 91W-106W. CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 17N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NICARAGUA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N85W...AND OVER SOUTH MEXICO WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N100W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4759 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627064-25655>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 09:24:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA18808; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA12134 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240124.TAA12153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:24:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a37938033b2fc0d2ae50c3ac836b82cd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 ABPZ20 KNHC 240124 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626586-22528>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 03:18:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16240; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:18:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10803304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:18:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15452 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:18:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:17:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231917.NAA04289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:17:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36792b1131776f4faa2b65863a8b5e68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 265 AXPZ20 KNHC 231917 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 23 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS REGION NEAR 32N132W...AND EXTENDS TO 28N137W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE TO 27N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AROUND 15 KNOTS. ...1011 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 9N93W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...1023 MB HIGH NEAR 27N131W. HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1846 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 6N100W 10N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 137W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 116W-118W AND 131W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-113W AND 121W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W-108W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W -104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 100W- 104W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 90W-98W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628093-22532>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:18:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12376; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:18:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:18:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA18984 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:18:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:18:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231818.MAA02292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:18:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3725272c4a48f87ee3f9fd74424ee50 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 652 ABPZ20 KNHC 231817 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 13:22:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626651-22533>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 12:51:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA17916; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:51:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10796090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:51:38 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA07004 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:47:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:28:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811230128.TAA19372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:28:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43763fe862db7467019192c085bb2613 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 AXPZ20 KNHC 230128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 23 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 7N96W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...1023 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N138W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0046 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N85W 7N90W 6N95W 9N103W 11N112W 9N117W 11N122W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-124W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N88W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-103W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 87W-100W FROM 10N TO 18N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 78W-83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER NICARAGUA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 84W-86W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 08:51:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2348 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-22528>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 07:31:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA92592; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10817569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA42398 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811222331.RAA18212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03e6a2857435b7a8a12b72803649cf06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 ABPZ20 KNHC 222331 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 22 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR OUTLOOK PERIOD... FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 08:51:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626010-22532>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 07:31:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA112534; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10817565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA42372 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811222331.RAA18208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 17:31:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6807e22e8d319d542630fa9bf7985fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 882 ABPZ20 KNHC 222329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 08:51:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630135-14824>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 03:43:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA32762; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:37:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10814350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:35:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA107918 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:35:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:35:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221935.NAA16152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:35:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 655b2d6b14e402b4ae36ad9442c2bc8f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 AXPZ20 KNHC 221934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 22 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 9N91W...DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 8N100W 10N110W 10N120W 12N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 112W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 79W TO ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA...BETWEEN 120W-125W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W ARE ENHANCED BY THE 1012 MB LOW IN THAT VICINITY. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-108W...AND 133W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 90W-100W FROM 10N TO 15N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 01:26:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630153-14821>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 01:19:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA38614; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:07:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10812148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:07:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA98432 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:07:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:07:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221707.LAA14887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:07:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8fbbfee1606c6ec0b9215dabdc5a14d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 290 ABPZ20 KNHC 221705 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 23:00:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628860-14827>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:27:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18886; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:27:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10810025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18858 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:27:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:27:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221327.HAA13151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:27:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cce30586546c4750113eb8550e873f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 AXPZ20 KNHC 221325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 22 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N91W...DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 9N100W 9N110W 11N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-99W ...112W-115W AND 138W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-123W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W...AND BETWEEN 134W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 90W-100W NORTH OF 10N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 14N93W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 19:47:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630013-14827>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:27:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA36452; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:26:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44110 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:26:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:26:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221126.FAA12229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:26:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 429fc35f2608d68d8659cc00694f2b88 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 639 ABPZ20 KNHC 221122 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 11:52:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24662; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:51:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10805254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:51:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44082 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:51:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:51:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220351.VAA08797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:51:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70d3f4e54d79ca0839b69d2b86ed4887 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 936 ABPZ20 KNHC 220350 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 09:33:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626992-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 09:30:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA18738; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:29:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10804188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:29:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107806 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:29:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:29:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220129.TAA07628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:29:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b211b52a70a7b1d8efec471293ee08a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 048 AXPZ20 KNHC 220128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 22 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N89W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N89W 8N100W 6N104W 9N110W 10N115W 12N121W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-89W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-95W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-100W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N108W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-122W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA...FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 77W-82W...AND OVER COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N84W TO 15N89W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER GUATEMALA AND SOUTH MEXICO FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 90W-93W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 08:24:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626260-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:10:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA16642; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 17:08:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10803660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 17:08:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA44784 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 17:08:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 17:08:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811212308.RAA06572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 17:08:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db9d0764b2a5c8af8648cb894b60ec0b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 191 ABPZ20 KNHC 212306 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 08:24:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629676-20073>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 03:38:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18736; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:38:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:37:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44054 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:37:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:37:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211937.NAA04596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:37:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d825bcba499c907a9c8ae5459f66a0b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 556 AXPZ20 KNHC 211936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 21 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N87W 8N100W 8N110W 11N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-88W....AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W- 93W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W-109W AND 137W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N-6N...AND JUST OFFSHORE CENTRAL PANAMA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 7N81W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 01:35:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629650-20078>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 01:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42454; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:31:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10801581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA18882 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:31:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:31:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211731.LAA03644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 11:31:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9784862e58a0d877ff01adc272e7924 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 696 ABPZ20 KNHC 211730 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 22:42:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629611-20076>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 21:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA56440; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:38:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10800135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:38:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24676 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:38:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:38:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211338.HAA01772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:38:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64fa5e3289491e7caa9b37889db4c4c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 777 AXPZ20 KNHC 211337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 21 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ...1029 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 29N139W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE HIGH THROUGH 28N125W TO 15N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 10N100W 8N110W 11N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-94W...97W-99W...AND WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS FROM 112W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-86W...AND 104W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-104W ...AND 135W-138W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG REMAINDER OF ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 9N85W TO COAST OF COSTA RICA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 10N89W TO COAST OF NORTHERN COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-5N...AND WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE FROM 13N93W TO COAST OF MEXICAN/GUATEMALA BORDER. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629639-20076>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:24:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA25534; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:25:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10799706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:24:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA66156 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:24:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:24:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211124.FAA00979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 05:24:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 682c4ff33d13cb530dd5568740836667 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 ABPZ20 KNHC 211122 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629595-20073>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 15:20:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA38402; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:20:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10798856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:20:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22252 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:20:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:20:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210720.BAA29317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:20:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07961791979409c5f8f65d9174ff9877 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 545 AXPZ20 KNHC 210718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 21 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ...A 1029 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N139W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE HIGH ALONG 22N127W TO 15N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 9N101W 8N110W 12N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 84W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ FROM 104W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 88W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA IN THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 78W TO 80W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629029-20073>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 12:30:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18690; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 22:30:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10797762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 22:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA24790 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 22:30:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA28002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 22:30:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210430.WAA28002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 22:30:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc043a8b96ad21017cee4b97e5712d0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 888 ABPZ20 KNHC 210427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-20078>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 08:24:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA33780; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 18:25:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10796412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 18:25:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA108002 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 18:25:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA26317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 18:25:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210025.SAA26317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 18:25:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3764d1e2ce3a15b4958004fcbb8133fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 055 AXPZ20 KNHC 210023 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 21 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0000 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-8N90W-8N100W- 13N122W-9N130W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 13N122W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W...AND FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 90W AND 93W. ...ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTER WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 11.5N94W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-20078>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:57:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA107886; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:58:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10796280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:57:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA98390 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:57:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:57:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811202357.RAA26023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 17:57:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a7a37fb71bfdcb67ae60c89d0b56616 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 135 ABPZ20 KNHC 202356 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628867-9794>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 03:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29340; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:34:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10793388 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:32:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52166 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:32:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA18508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:32:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201932.NAA18508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:32:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8d0b6836fba2a2387909863669357ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 218 AXPZ20 KNHC 201930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 20 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N87W 8N105W 10N120W 10N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-96W... WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-120W...AND FROM 8N-15N WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N90W-16N94W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3113 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628477-9799>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 00:59:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA33742; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:57:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10791287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:56:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA109700 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:56:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA13715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:56:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201656.KAA13715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:56:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee461070ad68b178fbf5d5f5a6e1e4d4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 379 ABPZ20 KNHC 201652 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 21:33:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 21:24:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA65460; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:25:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10788257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:24:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA109672 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:24:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:24:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201324.HAA06099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:24:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbb91b152bc440a303ddab00fcd27582 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 748 AXPZ20 KNHC 201321 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 20 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N86W 8N103W 11N116W 10N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N77W-7N79W-8N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-17N BETWEEN 130W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DETECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N91W- 17N95W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 21:12:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626774-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 19:21:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA65320; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 05:20:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10787157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 05:20:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA29206 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 05:20:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA04948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 05:20:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201120.FAA04948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 05:20:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3be4663bccbd5e562696cbfc159844b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 422 ABPZ20 KNHC 201118 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 17:35:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627212-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:09:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61614; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:08:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10786157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:08:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34458 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:08:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:08:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200708.BAA03063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:08:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fb5dcb9be46d7bdaccb45ccc162166c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 AXPZ20 KNHC 200705 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 20 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 8N101W 12N115W 9N126W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N133W ACROSS THE AXIS NEAR 10N132W TO 7N134W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 127W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER PANAMA AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND FROM 82W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 13:26:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 12:52:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA52102; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 22:44:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10785313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 22:44:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56428 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 22:44:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 22:44:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200444.WAA01605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 22:44:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5a4c7e8259eb89e7fa4a85d15161095 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABPZ20 KNHC 200442 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 09:38:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:33:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA26944; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:32:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10783424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:32:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA26916 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:32:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:32:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200132.TAA29513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:32:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61262705694b67e84d5e58d966c5f5a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 AXPZ20 KNHC 200130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 20 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-9N91W-11N107W- 12N118W-9N123W-13N135W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS OF 9N133W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 9N124W-11N130W-13N135W-12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 7N83W...FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 90W AND 91W...FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 94W AND 95W... 7N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 116W... AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 13N119W-9N121W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 09:26:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626105-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:36:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22028; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 17:25:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10782360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 17:25:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA98548 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 17:25:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 17:25:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811192325.RAA27820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 17:25:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf882df33561a800cd5e1ea8a7df3f4e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 099 ABPZ20 KNHC 192323 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 03:58:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629448-17502>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:52:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA18884; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:39:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10779626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:38:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA95346 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:38:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:38:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191938.NAA21406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:38:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8e158efa021056ae6f71eb74ecc2bdf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 972 AXPZ20 KNHC 191937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 19 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 7N100W 12N115W 10N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 132W-135W AND 138W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W...119W-120W...AND FROM 122W-129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W-84W...87W-89W AND 95W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 4N-6N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFFSHORE CENTRAL COSTA RICA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 9N85W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 02:05:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627907-17497>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:05:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25466; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:02:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10777677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:02:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24668 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:02:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:02:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191702.LAA16989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 11:02:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b160b644f7dc4f2b6300cf989104d5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 327 ABPZ20 KNHC 191654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 21:29:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629278-17502>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:26:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA61456; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:18:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10775229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA26622 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:17:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:17:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191317.HAA11607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:17:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e0d02e845181e9abd4f8ad94d149ab8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 692 AXPZ20 KNHC 191315 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 19 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 7N100W 12N110W 10N120W 12N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-88W...112W-115W AND 120W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W-97W AND 100W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 84W TO COAST OF CENTRAL PANAMA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-50 NM OF COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 5N-7N. SIMILAR CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL COSTA RICA...AND OFFSHORE ITS NORTHERN COAST. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 21:13:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628876-17497>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:28:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA52090; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:28:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10774453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA34408 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:28:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:28:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191128.FAA10783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 05:28:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b46dd508988e9513e53456e2c150b753 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 398 ABPZ20 KNHC 191125 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 17:34:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 15:12:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA112530; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:02:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10773669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:02:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA42366 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:02:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:02:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190702.BAA08737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:02:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31743395b37899e1144ddf2d5204a561 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 AXPZ20 KNHC 190700 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 19 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 9N100W 13N112W 10N120W 13N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 139W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 134W AND FROM 138W TO 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 88W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 89W TO 90W AND THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 13:36:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-17502>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:05:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA95448; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 23:04:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10772803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 23:04:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA95410 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 23:04:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 23:04:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190504.XAA07149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 23:04:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47b01190fafb1e82f755aa38fa20626b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 ABPZ20 KNHC 190409 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4213 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-17502>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 09:24:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24772; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:16:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10770728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:16:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA52132 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:16:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:16:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190116.TAA03983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:16:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 525a984f975952758227db212f231070 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 AXPZ20 KNHC 190114 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 19 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE IN E PAC N OF 15N W OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-7N107W-12N113W- 12N129W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 111W AND 115W...AND A SMALL CLUSTER WAS DEVELOPING WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 11N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE 13N129W-12N127W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 83W AND 85W...AND FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 137W AND 142W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4812 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626500-17501>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:05:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA39950; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 18:03:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10770176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 18:03:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA25588 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 18:03:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA02954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 18:03:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190003.SAA02954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 18:03:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74c4f2c91e8246c04915d44826c0cf9b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 ABPZ20 KNHC 182357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-326>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 03:28:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA42738; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:26:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10767115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04808 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:26:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:26:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181926.NAA26257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:26:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a508064ffce76f3a7e8bc705f12dd212 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 AXPZ20 KNHC 181924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 18 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N94W 10N117W 6N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N94W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS NOTED JUST WEST OF THE AREA FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 139W-145W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 6N-15N WEST OF 111W WITH THE MOST CONCENTRATED ACTIVITY OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N128W-14N130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA TO THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N79W- 10N86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N100W-13N110W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 01:06:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629427-326>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:01:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16754; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 11:00:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10765751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 11:00:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA65612 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 11:00:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA22148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 10:59:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181659.KAA22148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 10:59:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 490d8189c3b72a4631bf7a4d985aea82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 431 ABPZ20 KNHC 181657 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 22:17:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628905-13906>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 21:20:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA64528; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:19:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10763773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:19:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA36606 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:19:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:19:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181319.HAA16995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:19:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f99580606b567024afbce97c3df37be4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 611 AXPZ20 KNHC 181316 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 18 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 6N91W 9N102W 9N113W 12N129W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 45 NM OF 7N77W- 10N86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 6N-14N WEST OF 110W WITH THE MOST CONCENTRATED ACTIVITY OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N128W-11N133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DETECTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N89W- 11N100W-13N110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 17.5N101W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 22:17:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627959-13910>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:53:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA26158; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:52:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10763196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:52:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA20764 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:52:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:52:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181152.FAA15986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 05:52:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0abd63726c17cd5f3ca01de82be4350c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 704 ABPZ20 KNHC 181150 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 15:45:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4568 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627597-13908>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 15:16:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16784; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:04:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10761995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:04:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44158 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:04:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:04:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180704.BAA13438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:04:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4561374e7780cfdb0d6fb790e544d9c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 026 AXPZ20 KNHC 180702 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 18 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 6N85W 7N96W 13N110W 11N117W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W AND FROM 125W TO 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 6N EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 14:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2160 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627920-13908>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:04:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA36422; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:03:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10761108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:03:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA112436 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:03:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:03:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180503.XAA11992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:03:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5392414595d42829b03db226c700957b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 ABPZ20 KNHC 180500 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:24:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626002-13911>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 09:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38106; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:08:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10758740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:08:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA15172 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:07:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA08395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:07:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180107.TAA08395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:07:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 464e9c5d044f3527b9f8c3271277af2e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 344 AXPZ20 KNHC 180104 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 18 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 6N100W 11N110W 8N120W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 135W-138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 125W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 130W-133W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 77W-81W...AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 87W-89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 79W-81W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626418-13910>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 08:00:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA42380; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 17:57:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10758082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 17:57:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA64582 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 17:57:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA07309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 17:57:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811172357.RAA07309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 17:57:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79a341877d27f2dcebcc4698f1bb98d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 ABPZ20 KNHC 172355 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:23:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629345-25336>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 03:40:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44062; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:38:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10755231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:38:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA34556 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:38:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:38:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171938.NAA00867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:38:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19eda1a2750c642dbeae1ea19ffa1d86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 221 AXPZ20 KNHC 171935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 17 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ...DIFFUSING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N120W AND CONTINUES THROUGH 28N130W TO 27N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 11N110W 7N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 78W FROM 4N-8N. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-131W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 105W-112W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N88W-12N102W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 7N-30N WEST OF 120W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 01:44:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629320-25333>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:13:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA64756; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:12:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10753199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:12:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA18912 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:12:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:12:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171712.LAA27018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 11:12:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28c2a0d64f5adaa67f20d9ee4b98bab6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 768 ABPZ20 KNHC 171707 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 21:31:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-25335>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 21:30:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA65392; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:25:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10749088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA64598 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:25:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA21519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:25:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171325.HAA21519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:25:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d5a9040b6f554117525a8f51f3c176 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 932 AXPZ20 KNHC 171321 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 17 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N125W CONTINUING THROUGH 29N131W TO 28N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 15N TO THE COLD FRONT WEST OF 120W...AND IS THEN BUILDING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N88W 11N100W 12N110W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-131W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 105W...AND FROM 7N-16N BETWEEN 105W-122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 5N-30N WEST OF 128W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 20:41:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3434 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629217-25335>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:40:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA64628; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 05:39:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10748217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 05:38:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA92468 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 05:38:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA20612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 05:38:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171138.FAA20612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 05:38:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29ac15a3f6bbe3b634e87c029f75e4c0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 821 ABPZ20 KNHC 171137 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 15:11:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628261-25334>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 15:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20774; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:09:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10746982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:09:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA111122 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:09:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:09:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170709.BAA18547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:09:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a36ea72ea159871561b0faddf1a7000c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 463 AXPZ20 KNHC 170705 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 17 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ...E PAC COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 33N126W-30N132W BEYOND 29N140W MOVING E/SE 15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE IN E PAC N OF 15N TO THE COLD FRONT W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0600 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W3-11N101W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 124W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 9.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 128W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE N OF 10N REACHING TO 20N AND 25N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 13:11:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-25335>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:00:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15110; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 22:49:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10746032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 22:49:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA40936 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 22:49:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 22:49:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170449.WAA17137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 22:49:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58c0617050e2b9404c300e59084badc6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 116 ABPZ20 KNHC 170448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 09:30:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-10299>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 09:25:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA114030; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:21:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10743162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:21:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA95318 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:21:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:21:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170121.TAA14387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:21:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 740922ce35a9d61b562bc832c0577f1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 810 AXPZ20 KNHC 170120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 17 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 9N90W 11N100W 11N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 124W-140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN OVER INLAND PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FOUND FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 116W-119W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 09:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-10302>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 08:41:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA44208; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 18:40:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10742705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 18:39:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA13418 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 18:39:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA13801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 18:39:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170039.SAA13801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 18:39:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 321231a8e937ecad0dcc5a1e516ff0c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 513 ABPZ20 KNHC 170038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 04:03:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628503-1668>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 03:37:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA64638; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:36:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10739068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:34:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA58164 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:34:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:33:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811161933.NAA06778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:33:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7db2fc0661c3fe4da2e5895b47b20574 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 012 AXPZ20 KNHC 161933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 16 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ...DIFFUSING STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N135W AND CONTINUES TO 29N142W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N92W 10N109W 8N117W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-17N BETWEEN 101W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 93W...AND FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 93W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N111W-26N109W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 02:36:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628739-1659>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 02:01:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA65106; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:53:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10737325 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:52:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA109736 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:49:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:49:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811161749.LAA03804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 11:49:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e378afb3f3ca01c1827fccce32439663 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 345 ABPZ20 KNHC 161749 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 09:20:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-1668>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 09:05:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA98336; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:04:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10729617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:04:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA24824 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:04:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:04:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811160104.TAA20043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:04:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0614dd27f9be80409f7db90671df788 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 320 AXPZ20 KNHC 160104 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 16 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ...A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W AND EXTENDS TO 26N 140W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 8N90W 9N100W 10N110W 9N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 102W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 83W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 90W-94W...FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 116W-122W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 137W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 09:03:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627116-1667>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 07:30:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA66104; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 17:29:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10728971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 17:29:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA24098 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 17:29:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 17:29:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811152329.RAA18914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 17:29:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b056270e1eb9964adad6f7d3157e97ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 575 ABPZ20 KNHC 152328 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 09:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627601-1122>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 03:18:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA94616; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:16:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10726975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:15:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA65288 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:15:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:14:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151914.NAA15782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:14:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4440596a67dfdb67c3300f6249805092 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 529 AXPZ20 KNHC 151908 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 15 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 120W/121W IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N85W 9N100W 10N110W 8N122W 8N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-109W AND 116W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W-97W AND 102W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 79W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM NEAR COAST OF SOUTHERN COSTA RICA TO 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 09:03:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628265-1125>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 01:27:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA40182; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:19:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10725570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:18:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA09872 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:18:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:18:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151718.LAA14649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:18:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bdd8925a1e2b575b62831090e317f16a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 709 ABPZ20 KNHC 151718 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 22:19:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628337-1126>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 21:15:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA65496; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:13:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10723211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:11:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA26538 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:11:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:11:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151311.HAA12791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:11:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98c157d5d43c2a2595b3d7da242234af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 177 AXPZ20 KNHC 151310 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 15 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 118W/119W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 120W/121W FROM 8N TO 14N MOVING WEST 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N85W 9N100W 10N110W 11N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 99W-103W...105W-108W... AND 116W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W-113W...116W-122W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W...AND 133W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 8N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTRAL COAST OF COSTA RICA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 6N78W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 20:19:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1920 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627799-1122>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:41:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24300; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 05:24:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10722634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 05:22:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15238 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 05:22:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 05:22:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151122.FAA12064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 05:22:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dd850e4f80d8fa30bdfeda29654a6d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 132 ABPZ20 KNHC 151122 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 15:33:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1729 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-1126>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 15:21:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA56520; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:14:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10721819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:13:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56360 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:13:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:13:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150713.BAA09990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:13:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 213c37b53f5bf94dd259e89d1e4ba5d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 743 AXPZ20 KNHC 150711 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 15 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 117W IS NOW ALONG 118W/119W FROM 8N TO 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N95W 11N112W 12N130W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W AND FROM 115W TO 125W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 85W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 14:56:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2540 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626549-1122>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 12:14:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA66218; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:13:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10720704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:11:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44140 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:11:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:11:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150411.WAA08515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:11:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a359602fb7a666ff4abf04c3b57916a4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 607 ABPZ20 KNHC 150405 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 11:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4433 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-1126>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:44:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA107512; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:17:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10719643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:15:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA109760 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:15:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:15:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150115.TAA07207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:15:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8be58a2a25aa5298f4c3ad2e0f72b5aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 971 AXPZ20 KNHC 150112 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 15 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W/116W IS NOW ALONG 117W FROM FROM 8N TO 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 8N100W 11N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 101W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 80W-82W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 90W-95W...FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 129W-135W...AND FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 138W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 11:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1805 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-1127>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 10:16:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA65328; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:59:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10718300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:57:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26312 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:57:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:57:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811142257.QAA06076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:57:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96ac27166aa2be76fc5a1bbaac706596 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 172 ABPZ20 KNHC 142257 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 09:32:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628193-289>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 03:39:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13422; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:38:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10716639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:36:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26276 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:35:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:35:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141935.NAA04282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:35:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: daa4e1d9420512afa405edc6598960f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 518 AXPZ20 KNHC 141934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 14 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 114W/115W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 115W/116W FROM FROM 8N TO 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 8N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 98W-103W....AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W-136W AND 137W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W-87W...AND 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W-82W AND 92W-96W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-117W IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 14N116W 15N119W...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N115W IS DUE TO TROPICAL WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 9N86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE CENTRAL COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF 8N80W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 09:32:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628197-290>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:51:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA114048; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:50:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10715840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:48:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA29388 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:48:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:48:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141748.LAA03192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 11:48:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d137cc69be376da30fce2b1ab2e4318 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 844 ABPZ20 KNHC 141748 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 22:11:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627589-286>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 21:05:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA31354; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:04:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10713287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:04:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA107368 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:04:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:04:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141304.HAA01125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:04:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcd508931dd5678971145c3f38e04f13 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 AXPZ20 KNHC 141303 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 14 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 113W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 114W/115W FROM FROM 8N TO 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 8N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-102W...130W-139W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-93W...AND 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N85W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY ALONG AND JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N-6N. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS NORTH OF 10N FROM 88W-90W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 19:01:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628114-286>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 18:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA55362; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:33:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10712449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:32:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44588 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:32:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA29570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:32:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141032.EAA29570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:32:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da9b627cad57fb850ad4de7053b76db5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 057 ABPZ20 KNHC 141033 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 14:16:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4231 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627432-25290>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 12:11:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA56548; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:10:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10710095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:10:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA20780 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:09:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:08:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140408.WAA26638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:08:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a5b03607f869ba63e41521de049a0d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 568 ABPZ20 KNHC 140404 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 14:16:49 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <627443-25288>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 12:50:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630908-25290>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 09:38:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA31472; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:34:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:34:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107996 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:34:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:34:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140134.TAA25356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:34:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: 5e94f9862c11241294a9f569722e1469 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 AXPZ20 KNHC 140133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 14 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W IS NOW ALONG 110W FROM 8N-16N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 8N90W 9N100W 14N110W 13N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 133W-136W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-104W...AND BETWEEN 123W-131W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 110W-113W...FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 117W-120W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 137W TO BEYOND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 80W-83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-25290>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:13:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA33770; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 17:12:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10706159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 17:12:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA107440 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 17:12:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 17:12:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811132312.RAA23907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 17:12:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c67f8b79101cba31ab37bde0c1a1d62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 835 ABPZ20 KNHC 132311 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627242-21813>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 03:41:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA98342; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:39:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10715909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:39:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA75490 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:38:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:38:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131938.NAA19034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:38:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce805f1d91fc23f911bc9f69f0a35076 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 AXPZ20 KNHC 131938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 13 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 109W FROM 8N-16N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 9N100W 13N110W 12N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 108W-109W ...124W-127W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 137W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 80W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W-119W.AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 114W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 114W-117W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3920 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627830-21812>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 01:30:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA63720; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:28:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10714406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA42696 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:27:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:27:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131727.LAA15969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 11:27:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3b708bf19477f4aac5ff6edbc7ee52c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 ABPZ20 KNHC 131727 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS DISSIPATING. NO DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 22:44:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627249-21812>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 21:39:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA38626; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:37:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10711073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:37:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22224 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:37:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:37:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131337.HAA11076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:37:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70e7fe0561bc8eae029996710071deab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 AXPZ20 KNHC 131336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 13 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 108W FROM 8N-16N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 11N100W 15N110W 11N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 137W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W-107W AND 134W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 79W-83W ...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-107W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-99W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 114W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 116W-119W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 20:43:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627229-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 18:46:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA66138; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:43:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:43:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA39996 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:43:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:43:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131043.EAA09409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:43:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14643a685e230196c2297687ca519f85 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 378 ABPZ20 KNHC 131042 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. NO DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...THIS AREA COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626551-3072>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 15:05:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA63660; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:04:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:04:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA115096 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:04:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:04:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130704.BAA07609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:04:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c97f6f7ba3224ca903ca7c4e813c2e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 AXPZ20 KNHC 130703 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 13 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ALOFT PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W/106W IS NOW ALONG 107W S OF 16N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N115W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N94W 9N110W 9N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N100W TO 14N104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N114W TO 11N126W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 14:05:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626973-3072>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:45:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA56516; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:44:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:44:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44208 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:44:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:44:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130544.XAA06431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:44:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 431aaff073c3734ab221196c48b1f58b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 423 ABPZ20 KNHC 130543 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. NO DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...THIS AREA COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 09:43:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3292 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-3072>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 09:26:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA65722; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:15:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10705268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA61582 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:14:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:14:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130114.TAA03252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:14:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61b6685451986a09e998ea1d74bf0be0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 AXPZ20 KNHC 130114 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 13 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W WILL BE ALOFT IN VICINITY OF 105W FROM 7N-16N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 14N114W....MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KNOTS. ATTENDED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 14N106W THROUGH 10N112W TO LOW...AND CONTINUES SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG 13N115W 10N120W TO 9N126W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 6N90W 8N100W 15N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 6N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-106W... AND 124W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-84W...117W-120W...128W-133W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 137W-139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-122W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 300 NM OF AXIS FROM 133W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N114W 16N112W IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1012 MB LOW. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW AND TROUGH WITHIN AREA BOUNDED FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 106W-110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING NORTH-NORTHEAST FROM JUST NORTH OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 104W-110W NORTHWARD ACROSS MEXICO. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626010-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA16640; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:49:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10704409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:49:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA44746 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:49:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:49:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811122349.RAA01978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:49:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7198f3e12b5b837ee952d698f2b24d28 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 176 ABPZ20 KNHC 122348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628902-13105>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 03:24:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA107838; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:20:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10699854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:20:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA37922 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:20:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:20:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121920.NAA25445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:20:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48f83857b19209cbb236087fefa7ad3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 322 AXPZ20 KNHC 121919 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 12 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 103W IS NOW ALONG 104W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N113W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N85W 8N100W 15N110W 10N118W 9N129W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-84W...FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 105W-112W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-104W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-119W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N123W- 17N117W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY PERSISTS ALONG THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N84W-10N87W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628968-13105>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:49:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA09814; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:47:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10699319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:46:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA108022 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 12:46:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:36:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121736.LAA22558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 11:36:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edb6bf2f171e25ad3b42c918b873b95c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 ABPZ20 KNHC 121736 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 21:41:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4009 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-21238>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 21:34:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA09882; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:33:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10695628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:32:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24188 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:32:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:32:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121332.HAA16383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:32:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b1730ccb1471beda0f38d3614e41716 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 AXPZ20 KNHC 121331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 12 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W/102W IS NOW ALONG 103W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N122W-17N106W. ...A DIFFUSING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 30N114W AND CONTINUES TO 26N122W. IT IS MOVING SOUTH AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N89W 9N100W 16N108W 10N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 104W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-83W...AND 115W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-104W...AND WEST OF 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N110W- 22N106W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N87W-12N83W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 21:24:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-21238>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA92534; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 05:25:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10694243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 05:25:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA42594 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 05:25:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 05:25:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121125.FAA14674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 05:25:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9ab3517528b2b2dd546999b6af6fbae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 490 ABPZ20 KNHC 121122 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS AREA HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 15:33:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627948-21241>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:28:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA107300; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:18:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10692998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:18:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23568 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:18:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:18:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120718.BAA12181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:18:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1dad394e356843cb283faa9d4c12ec0f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 280 AXPZ20 KNHC 120718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 12 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W/100W IS NOW ALONG 101W/102W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N120W THROUGH 13N113W TO 17N106W. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 31N116W TO 27N121W WHERE IT BECOMES A DIFFUSED COLD FRONT ALONG 25N129W TO 27N137W. IT IS MOVING SOUTH AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 115W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 5N89W 9N101W 14N105W 10N115W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W AND FROM 112W TO 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N109W TO 17N107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IN WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N107W TO 20N106W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626919-15256>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:02:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21778; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:00:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10691822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 22:58:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44668 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 22:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 22:56:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120456.WAA10462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 22:56:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29f46a34163c10ec76851c68eb3c18e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 ABPZ20 KNHC 120455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-28060>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 09:37:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA93304; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:27:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10688259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA37974 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:27:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:26:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120126.TAA07647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:26:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bce16b24901d84d1ec9926abbd24e86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 611 AXPZ20 KNHC 120126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 12 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W/99W NOW IN VICINITY OF 99W/100W SOUTH OF 16N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N116W THROUGH 12N110W 14N108W. ...1027 MB HIGH NEAR 34N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 9N100W 11N110W 10N120W 6N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W-103W...AND 90 WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-97W AND 115W-119W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-86W AND 90W-91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH COVER AREA FROM JUST NORTH OF ITCZ BETWEEN 102W-108W NORTH TO ABOUT 19N. BROKEN TO HIGH CLOUDINESS FROM THIS AREA IS STREAMING NORTH-NORTHEAST TO ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 250 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZE ITCZ BETWEEN 120W-131W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-28060>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:43:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA92506; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 17:42:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10687136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 17:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA92478 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 17:42:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 17:42:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811112342.RAA06087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 17:42:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4acac75b304dc6c60ccb16c71a32a519 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 596 ABPZ20 KNHC 112341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630098-15772>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 03:41:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA65532; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:28:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10682808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA36560 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:28:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:28:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111928.NAA29493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:28:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 599fdc512cd9ab86ba1e7f99f84b3f92 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 AXPZ20 KNHC 111927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 11 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ...THE TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W/98W NOW ALONG 98W/99W SOUTH OF 16N...MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 15N109W-7N117W. ...A 1027 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 32N137W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 13N106W 9N117W 6N129W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-102W...FROM 11N-21N BETWEEN 102W-110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-83W ...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629976-15766>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:22:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA65054; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:20:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10680530 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:20:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA63490 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:20:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:20:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111720.LAA26090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 11:20:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f21f702bdb4d79a4a5754f52296e9dd0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 ABPZ20 KNHC 111715 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND COULD BRING CLOUDINESS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 21:42:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629858-15773>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:39:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA64530; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:33:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10677123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA40704 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:32:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:32:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111332.HAA20928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:32:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9b5a2c11b551b44b821bb3b0f799be5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 691 AXPZ20 KNHC 111332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 11 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ...A TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE REGION AND EXTENDS ALONG 97W/98W SOUTH OF 16N. ...A 1010 MB LOW...IN A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N110W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...A 1026 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 32N139W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 10N98W 12N108W 9N116W 6N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 103W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-101W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DETECTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N104W-21N105W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 19:00:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629787-27445>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 18:55:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA33594; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:44:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10675717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:44:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA65574 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:44:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:44:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111044.EAA19527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:44:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e57302fff8ee107d4959e700a732f026 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 227 ABPZ20 KNHC 111043 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE...BUT DISORGANIZED...AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 15:48:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629737-27449>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:22:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA40896; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:15:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10674964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:15:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA38052 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:15:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:15:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110715.BAA17954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:15:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c40bb1876d9ae9c3e425f7885f30fce4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 707 AXPZ20 KNHC 110713 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 11 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N108W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N97W 13N110W 7N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 6N TO 8N EAST OF 80.5W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 13:49:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629628-27449>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:45:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA107426; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:41:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10673957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA63606 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:41:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:41:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110541.XAA16884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:41:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0aa848365c59f4d405961ad30bff24d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 ABPZ20 KNHC 110541 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE...BUT DISORGANIZED...AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627256-12101>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 09:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA64582; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:10:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10670807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:08:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13370 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:08:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:08:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110108.TAA13714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:08:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba228525dba8b32a71b1df16e6b7bfa1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 748 AXPZ20 KNHC 110104 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 11 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N107W. IT IS MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. ...1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 9N100W 12N110W 6N120W 5N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 102W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM9N-11N BETWEEN 93W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED IN THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 79W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 13N-14N BETWEEN 87W-88W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-12101>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:59:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA94668; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 17:55:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10669861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 17:55:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA38570 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 17:55:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 17:55:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811102355.RAA12856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 17:55:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9280418f9645809ac541f4c6c0ec9bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 454 ABPZ20 KNHC 102352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE...BUT DISORGANIZED...AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629643-3022>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:07:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44778; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:06:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10666041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:06:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04802 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:06:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:06:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811102006.OAA07361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:06:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86c1ee9c319463ae6e6ec4edaf3d4fd2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 188 AXPZ20 KNHC 101935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 10 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ...1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N106W...AND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N138W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1715 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 8N120W 5N135W 10N40W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W...WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-119W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 92W-96W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 92W- 97W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING NORTH-NORTHEAST FROM 100W-109W NORTH OF 15N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1640 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629608-3016>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA65168; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:00:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10663076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:00:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA37916 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 10:59:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA01424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 10:59:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101659.KAA01424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 10:59:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe04ec848a10ad5efe4f53d13532544a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 613 ABPZ20 KNHC 101659 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 00:25:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629009-3022>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 21:39:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA75480; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:38:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10659667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:38:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA82622 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:38:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:38:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101338.HAA26209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:38:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 101106b5671b1687f2d1337810c2fc26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 AXPZ20 KNHC 101337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 10 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1200 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR NEAR 11N106W...DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST. ...1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N137W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1335 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 10N100W 10N1110W 5N120W 5N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-106W...WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 79W...AND BETWEEN 106W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-93W AND 116W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 106W- 110W...ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1012 MB LOW. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 00:25:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629566-21614>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:23:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA21938; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 05:03:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10658504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 05:03:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA93344 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 05:03:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA24741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 05:02:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101102.FAA24741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 05:02:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8a8b0b1873258a2236e140b8c533aaa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 235 ABPZ20 KNHC 101101 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 17:25:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1658 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629278-21610>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 15:43:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21802; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:37:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10657210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:37:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA93206 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:37:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:37:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811100737.BAA22786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:37:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb1066e714566cd0252fb2a672f53aad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 718 AXPZ20 KNHC 100737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 10 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR NEAR 10N104W..DRIFTING WEST. ...1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-6N89W-11N106W- 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W ASSOCIATED WITH 1002 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 82W...AND FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 111W...AND FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 12.5N90W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 13:29:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630646-21615>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 12:30:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA26196; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:29:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10655502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:29:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA95452 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:28:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA20761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:28:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811100428.WAA20761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:28:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 702c0519da877ef41a674790a05e5412 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 659 ABPZ20 KNHC 100428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <632825-21615>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 09:13:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA40188; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:09:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10652838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:08:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA63616 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:08:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA18563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:08:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811100108.TAA18563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:08:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8e3bd75d1c7dfacd113503193faeae6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 819 AXPZ20 KNHC 100105 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 10 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 10N104W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N73W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 7N120W 6N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 137W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 100W-106W...FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 107W-109W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 133W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 86W-88W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1636 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629968-21614>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:13:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA111170; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:12:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10651464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:12:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA15212 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:11:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:11:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811092311.RAA16840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:11:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddbd6125e8a47dfb53acb984a2316cca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 802 ABPZ20 KNHC 092303 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628135-2411>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 03:53:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA55378; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:52:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10649393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:51:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA64556 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:51:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:51:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091951.NAA11350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:51:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06f6b1013d4e14771e1c4f7b85171d62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 AXPZ20 KNHC 091929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 09 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW IS REPOSITIONED TO BE NEAR 10N104W DUE TO VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N137W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 11N106W 6N120W 9N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 98W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ BETWEEN 109W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N93W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627923-2411>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:32:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA107938; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:24:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10647391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:24:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23676 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:24:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:24:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091724.LAA06577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 11:24:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a469f476d9794bad4a1c4bb29d119b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 ABPZ20 KNHC 091707 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 21:37:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4678 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627025-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 21:32:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA82440; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:31:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10643874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:31:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA75502 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:31:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:31:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091331.HAA00254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:31:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e04ae791cc7ee2241a4042f133b255b X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 AXPZ20 KNHC 091321 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 09 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N106W...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N139W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N93W 11N106W 7N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-95W...AND FROM 6N-16N BETWEEN 96W- 108W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ BETWEEN 109W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 12.5N91W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 21:28:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2172 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:58:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA26224; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 05:57:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10643109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 05:57:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA114014 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 05:57:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA29618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 05:57:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091157.FAA29618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 05:57:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 945840ea792cddb728b7b5e2b82d0bf7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 988 ABPZ20 KNHC 091111 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 15:37:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4479 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629657-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 15:31:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA95398; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:29:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10642060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04712 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:28:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:28:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090728.BAA28012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:28:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d32448c05476f1d3fe0ef0b0728b5aa3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 789 AXPZ20 KNHC 090727 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 09 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N105W... MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 34N143W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS E PAC NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-7N92W-10N102W- 6N123W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 130W AND 132W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE OF 11N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE REST OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 13:46:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 12:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA95382; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 22:31:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10640685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 22:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA34434 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 22:31:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 22:31:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090431.WAA26701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 22:31:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a89b2864ecdb51c194fd6012304250e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 ABPZ20 KNHC 090429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 09:18:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626578-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 09:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA95410; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:05:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10638337 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:05:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA18846 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:05:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA24873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:05:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090105.TAA24873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:05:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfa944972100abdd8843080b68820290 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 AXPZ20 KNHC 090103 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 09 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N104W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 7N100W 9N110W 6N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 134W TO BEYOND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 95W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 102W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER INLAND NICARAGUA FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 83W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 85W-87W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 08:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 08:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA52210; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 18:09:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10637950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 18:08:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA64646 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 18:08:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA24288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 18:08:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090008.SAA24288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 18:08:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86834527d03cd3dc084a51ae0ccb4c27 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 146 ABPZ20 KNHC 090006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 05:00:50 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <627718-18139>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 04:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627751-18143>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 04:08:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA40012; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:04:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10635558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:02:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA79580 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:02:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:00:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811082000.OAA21575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:00:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: 87acbab2d7bde05e93b48edb8527a61a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 342 AXPZ20 KNHC 081930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 08 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N103W. IT IS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N118W CONTINUING TO 31N123W 32N129W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N140W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1846 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N85W 6N100W 9N110W 6N115W 7N120W 6N125W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-137W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N144W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-131W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 138W-143W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 145W-150W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N92W TO 10N101W 16N103W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 01:50:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627721-18139>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:31:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA58270; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:25:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10633993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:25:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26244 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:25:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:25:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081725.LAA20287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 11:25:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5ad5c5908a6f8629d698c13072d2c33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 320 ABPZ20 KNHC 081715 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 21:36:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627561-18143>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 21:34:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA79540; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:33:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:33:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA55456 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:33:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:33:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081333.HAA18702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:33:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9506bdc525f62b7326ea02c024f90d14 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 144 AXPZ20 KNHC 081332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 08 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N101W. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N139W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N86W 9N100W 9N110W 6N120W 6N125W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N129W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-100W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-79W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-88W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 100W-103W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 20:45:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-18139>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:29:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA40056; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:17:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:17:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA111206 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:17:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:17:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081117.FAA17952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 05:17:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c74875e14dcca5c162c784ca71f93ef7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 ABPZ20 KNHC 081116 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:15:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:20:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38404; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:20:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10630260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:20:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA114162 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:20:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:20:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080620.AAA16164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:20:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 055529172418e21086385600ca35ef87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 AXPZ20 KNHC 080619 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 08 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0600 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N87W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N98W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...RIDGE 18N110W-32N140W...PASSING THROUGH 1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0600 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W-8N93W-9N112W- 6N112W-10N129W-10N131W-7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 87W...AND FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 128W AND 129...AND FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 131W AND 132W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W...AND FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 101W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4184 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626654-18143>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 12:14:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA42728; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 22:04:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10628919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 22:02:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA38550 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 22:02:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 22:02:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080402.WAA14906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 22:02:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d25926fe072b7b29cbc536354fb81963 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 ABPZ20 KNHC 080401 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4039 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626320-18139>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 09:18:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA23752; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:12:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10627288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:11:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA94644 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:11:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:11:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080111.TAA13630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:11:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7c658fa4a70717ffa5e55ad5ba92453 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 493 AXPZ20 KNHC 080108 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 08 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N87W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5 KNOTS. ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N98W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N130W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 7N90W 7N100W 9N110W 6N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 80W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-93W...AND BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTH OF THE ITCZ FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 99W-101W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2634 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625940-18143>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:33:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA79758; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:32:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10626272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:32:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA79654 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:32:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:32:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811072332.RAA12629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:32:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: faefeaef7839194e63072def19824613 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 ABPZ20 KNHC 072330 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629479-21897>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 03:33:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA34400; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:32:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10622935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:32:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA38474 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:32:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:32:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071932.NAA09558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:32:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b808802f46996769159205c8324dfc1e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 560 AXPZ20 KNHC 071930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 07 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N86W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5 KNOTS. ...1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N97W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1846 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N90W 4N100W 9N108W 6N114W 6N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-96W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 77W-81W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N89W...AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 98W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N86W TO 16N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N84W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2668 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628537-21897>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:09:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA94602; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:08:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10620956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:08:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA64622 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:08:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:08:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071708.LAA08071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 11:08:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 723836a26b58d32d2ed6409beff219ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 285 ABPZ20 KNHC 071705 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629440-21894>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 21:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA112634; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:32:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10618657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:32:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA65238 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:32:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:32:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071332.HAA06545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:32:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2c420300359fc794439698e6203e34f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 521 AXPZ20 KNHC 071331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 07 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N137W. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N81W 7N89W 5N100W 9N108W 7N114W 7N120W 9N126W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-11N BETWEEN 75W-79W...AND WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5N82W TO 10N82W...OVER COSTA RICA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N85W...AND FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 94W-99W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628433-21897>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:11:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA38564; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 05:01:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10618000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 05:01:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA94610 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 05:01:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA05712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 05:01:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071101.FAA05712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 05:01:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b352010af185483b46e047db0a1b0e74 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 ABPZ20 KNHC 071059 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628118-21889>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 15:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36364; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:21:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10617226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:21:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24312 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:21:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:21:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070721.BAA04406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:21:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa5e213265f926a6a2e000b7fc3d9793 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 AXPZ20 KNHC 070719 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 07 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N94W MENTIONED EARLIER NO LONGER IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-8N92W-7N105W- 5N123W-10N125W-8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 84W AND 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FORM 5N TO 6.5N BETWEEN 87W AND 90W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 9N93.5W AND 10.5N96W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING/DISSIPATING WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 83.5W AND 86W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 13:25:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627683-19759>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 12:47:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA115114; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 22:44:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10616258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 22:44:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA38548 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 22:44:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 22:44:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070444.WAA03178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 22:44:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16b2afd59c600fdcd75a65691d8f52a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 ABPZ20 KNHC 070441 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:57:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627323-19759>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 09:38:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA04662; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:37:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10614628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:37:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA82532 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:36:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:36:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070136.TAA01845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:36:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 957097973fc8a849fefba47da9146876 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 300 ABPZ20 KNHC 070134 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:57:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3280 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627208-19756>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 09:04:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA65622; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:03:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10614221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:03:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107332 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:03:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:03:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070103.TAA01544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:03:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: adef6749337acebfb83d6305d2ab905e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 473 AXPZ20 KNHC 070101 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 07 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ...A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N94W MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N75W 5N90W 5N100W 8N110W 7N120W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 124W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 80W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 83W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 80W-90W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629372-5810>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:43:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13396; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:25:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10609596 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:25:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA79390 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:25:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:25:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811061925.NAA25914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:25:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a129f9970a185da4b91c81c8a80e2e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 607 AXPZ20 KNHC 061922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 06 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N94W MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N87W 8N106W 6N117W 10N127W 10N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 87W-98W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:56:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627555-17605>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 21:37:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA22122; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:27:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10605421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA11096 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:26:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:26:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811061326.HAA17611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:26:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9386b3b6533d9fc78efad7fd5e04d59a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 AXPZ20 KNHC 061324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 06 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N89W 8N100W 8N110W 6N118W 10N124W 10N129W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W- 135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N86W-15N93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N93W-13N98W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:56:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-10175>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 20:15:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA82514; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 06:14:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10604899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 06:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA98324 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 06:13:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA17052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 06:13:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811061213.GAA17052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 06:13:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caadc74a9ca6003ce337cbafdbfd46e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 648 ABPZ20 KNHC 061210 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 17:24:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627064-10175>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 15:03:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA82624; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:01:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10603036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:01:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22176 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 00:52:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 00:52:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060652.AAA14460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 00:52:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c627576a610ad42072974f96c7e5900 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 317 AXPZ20 KNHC 060650 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 06 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0600 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N79W-9N93W-8N114W- 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 7N79W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 5N BETWEEN 80W AND 81W...FROM 3.5N TO 5N BETWEEN 85W AND 86W...AND FROM 8N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7.5N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W...AND FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF NICARAGUA FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 84.5W AND 86.5W...AND SIMILAR CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFFSHORE ALONG THE NICARAGUA COAST BETWEEN THE COAST AND 13N89W-10N87W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627018-10181>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 12:53:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA109774; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 22:51:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10601622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 22:51:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA114106 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 22:51:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 22:51:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060451.WAA13209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 22:51:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2efe6f6d2859acd3d06210b7b379f7a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 ABPZ20 KNHC 060450 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:30:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-3779>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 09:20:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA23658; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:15:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10598984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:15:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA42584 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:15:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:15:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060115.TAA10872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:15:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90244f9ff23b90da093b51e95d5bd3ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 592 AXPZ20 KNHC 060113 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 06 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N75W 5N85W 8N90W 9N100W 8N110W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 82W-87W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 133W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 113W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER INLAND NICARAGUA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 84W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 78W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED OVER INLAND HONDURAS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 85W-89W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-16N BETWEEN 92W-94W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN N OF THE ITCZ FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 132W-134W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:30:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-3778>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 08:02:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA04786; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 17:55:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10597964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 17:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA15250 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 17:55:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA09909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 17:55:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811052355.RAA09909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 17:55:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 404117809d4be00f1bad2a1965025f41 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 041 ABPZ20 KNHC 052351 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:30:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3610 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629256-11022>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 03:27:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA33652; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 13:13:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10594528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 13:13:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA34376 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 13:13:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 13:13:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811051913.NAA03452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 13:13:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7579fa5237868ef427fd7eaae2260852 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 588 AXPZ20 KNHC 051911 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 05 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N87W 11N95W 7N110W 8N120W 10N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 126W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF 15.5N93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N85W-14N97W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:29:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628007-11022>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA65482; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 11:47:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10593122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 11:46:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21940 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 11:46:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 11:46:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811051746.LAA01046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 11:46:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 557c9ff3799eadaf38b135a8b7fece5d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 399 ABPZ20 KNHC 051745 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS PERSIST NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628364-11017>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 21:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA107946; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:30:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10589904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:30:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA11158 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:30:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA24668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:30:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811051330.HAA24668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:30:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7dbb763add7542f4106be6afbb5150a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 035 AXPZ20 KNHC 051327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 05 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ...AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED DIFFUSING COLD FRONT REMAINS JUST NORTH OF THE REGION. ...1027 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 29N136W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1215 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N84W 11N95W 8N105W 7N119W 10N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N78W-8N79W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-120W ...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 120 NM OF 11N88W-14N97W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:29:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628403-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:57:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13562; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 05:56:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10589107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 05:56:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA75486 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 05:56:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA23669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 05:56:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811051156.FAA23669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 05:56:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c8e56c5955118b2c310608b559ed488 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 654 ABPZ20 KNHC 051154 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS PERSIST ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 15:25:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2009 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628225-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 15:21:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA48300; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:20:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10587165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:20:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18840 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:20:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:20:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050720.BAA20941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:20:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7258ce26641693dcf575736222bdc82b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 191 AXPZ20 KNHC 050718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 05 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0630 UTC... ...A COLD FRONT IS STILL JUST OUTSIDE THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA. ...1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N136W. HIGH PRESSURE IS NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-8N86W-9N103W- 8N132W-6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6.5N TO 7.5N BETWEEN 77.5W AND 79W...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 10N131W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 9N103W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 83W AND 89W.BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 131W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 95W IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 87W AND 88W WEST OF NICARAGUA...AND FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W ALONG COAST OF EL SALVADOR. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 11N93W-10N96W...AND FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 97W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 13:16:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627540-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 13:09:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44580; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 22:54:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10585799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 22:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18704 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 22:54:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 22:54:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050454.WAA18694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 22:54:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e537e3577288ff07d6117c614ad10518 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 953 ABPZ20 KNHC 050453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS PERSIST ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 10:41:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628261-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 09:43:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA05648; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:30:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10582566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:30:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA98500 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:30:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:30:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050130.TAA16017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:30:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf2ed9fe71eed96613058de0c2ae29a4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 568 AXPZ20 KNHC 050130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 05 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ...1027 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N136W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N90W 8N105W 10N100W 9N110W 7N120W 8N131W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-88W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-106W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W-84W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 300 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZE ITCZ BETWEEN 115W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN PANAMA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF 13N BETWEEN 94W-100W TO INLAND MEXICAN COAST. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N94W 12N98W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 04:57:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627886-14416>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 03:39:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA42702; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:29:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10575659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:29:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA58336 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:27:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:27:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041927.NAA07709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:27:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09d6f8b84164a7624085c5dc74b7f089 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 785 AXPZ20 KNHC 041927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 04 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ...1027 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N133W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N87W 13N97W 9N116W 9N127W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 92W-100W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-108W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 109W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N88W-14N90W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 23:42:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629110-14416>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 21:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA48350; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:40:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10569992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:40:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24772 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:40:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:40:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041340.HAA28193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:40:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 467fcd0b35cdf2128b52b881f0a1dc0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 AXPZ20 KNHC 041339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 04 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ...1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 29N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N85W 13N90W 13N97W 9N106W 8N120W 8N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-87W... 101W-105W...AND 128W-132W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 1N-10N BETWEEN 106W-127W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 23:42:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627840-14421>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 20:13:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA33598; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 06:12:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10569441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 06:12:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA33784 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 06:12:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA27441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 06:12:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041212.GAA27441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 06:12:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a5601799764da13850706793f480499 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 ABPZ20 KNHC 041209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH REGENERATED TROPICAL STORM MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 23:42:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627925-14421>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 17:27:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23642; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:26:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10567492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:26:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52036 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:26:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:26:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040926.DAA26054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:26:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecf5317d7ea4ccf7f023e086c2006022 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 558 ABPZ20 KNHC 040926 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH REGENERATED TROPICAL STORM MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 23:42:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-14416>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 15:15:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA26498; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:11:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10566517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:11:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA101998 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:11:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:11:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040711.BAA24863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:11:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a0bc801d0dab4c0eafd888b6519bd6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 320 AXPZ20 KNHC 040711 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 04 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ...1026 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 26N131W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N FROM 120W TO 138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 10N87W 13N98W 4N113W 8N128W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 88W IN THE GULF OF FONSECA TO 92W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:57:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1130 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630596-1933>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 09:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30656; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:36:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10560503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:36:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA102054 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:36:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:36:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040136.TAA20862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:36:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a713b3e04664c12158d8a0fe4629a0d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 AXPZ20 KNHC 040136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 04 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ...1024 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 11N90W 13N100W 8N110W 9N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS FROM 92W-95W AND 96W-101W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 118W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ...GENERALLY WEAK...WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W-99W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:57:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626823-1933>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 10:12:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA20934; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 18:15:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10559160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 18:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA58276 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 18:15:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA19796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 18:15:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040015.SAA19796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 18:15:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85ee6175ceb8419338a6785a4f6e5bbb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 346 ABPZ20 KNHC 040015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH REGENERATED TROPICAL STORM MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629021-4233>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 03:52:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA79718; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:50:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10555656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:50:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA75436 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:49:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:49:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031949.NAA14019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:49:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1df1ae3fa802ef8aca7b4bfdd3b3ea57 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 485 AXPZ20 KNHC 031933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 03 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ...A 1023 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N88W 13N97W 13N100W 8N110W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 121W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3659 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629056-4232>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 02:00:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22048; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 11:50:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10554155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 11:50:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26568 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 11:50:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 11:50:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031750.LAA10700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 11:50:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69de75284c88d010124d7aea5ac562cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 ABPZ20 KNHC 031750 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 00:02:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629092-4233>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 21:45:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA95410; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:29:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10549569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:29:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA65182 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:29:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:29:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031329.HAA03916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:29:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5364742f2b0663229046e362e914d25f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 AXPZ20 KNHC 031329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 03 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ...A 1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 28N135W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N87W 13N96W 10N104W 8N110W 9N120W 8N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 90W-97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W-90W WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 45 NM OF 8N78.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N BETWEEN 96W-102W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 00:02:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628866-4232>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 18:23:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA24186; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 04:01:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10546043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 04:01:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA114022 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 04:01:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 04:01:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031001.EAA02328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 04:01:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ace0ee4c2969da01b0b057500dbed4a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 ABPZ20 KNHC 031001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...APPEARS MORE LIKELY IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THAN IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 16:52:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628971-4233>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:27:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA65248; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:16:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10545234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:16:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23758 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:16:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:15:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030715.BAA01099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:15:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be726858fc731a1d1c6bb3d8fbad2bb6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 AXPZ20 KNHC 030714 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 03 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ...A 1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N131W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 12N95W 11N104W 9N111W 9N120W 9N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 86W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W AND FROM 111W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N101.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 93W TO 98W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 86W INTO THE GULF FONSECA AND ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 90W TO 91W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 15:24:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626931-4233>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 12:45:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA36360; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 22:40:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10543923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 22:40:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA36584 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 22:40:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 22:40:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030440.WAA29365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 22:40:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea01bda1c6f1cffba77fdbf878a3a953 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 811 ABPZ20 KNHC 030438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...APPEARS MORE LIKELY IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THAN IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1754 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-4228>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 09:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24096; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:31:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10540764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:31:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA36364 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:30:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA26253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:30:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030130.TAA26253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:30:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 878b274709ef241cde4c8777e5c48514 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 633 AXPZ20 KNHC 030129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 03 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N90W 13N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 12N140W. STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W-128W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL PANAMA... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTRAL PORTION OF COSTA RICA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 16N98W...AND OFFSHORE MEXICO WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 91W-92W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4251 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626012-4233>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 08:02:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA61608; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 17:55:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10539894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 17:54:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA55420 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 17:54:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 17:54:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811022354.RAA25136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 17:54:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45b0a7d4d88d0c2a9a9ec4358e6f27ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 ABPZ20 KNHC 022352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...APPEARS MORE LIKELY IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THAN IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628294-6979>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 03:59:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA107810; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:55:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10537287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA64384 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:55:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:54:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021954.NAA19762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:54:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f9d361c0c9acdb0ae96f67218e679c0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 AXPZ20 KNHC 021907 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 02 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N75W 8N90W 12N100W 10N110W 10N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN 77W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 83W-86W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 128W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 89W-93W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628075-6979>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 02:09:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA101864; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 12:03:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10534696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 12:02:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA98512 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 12:00:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 12:00:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021800.MAA16548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 12:00:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc6738a2542371dfac576a666de6f3c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 152 ABPZ20 KNHC 021758 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH ARE CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR... GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO... ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. AT THIS TIME...REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...APPEARS MORE LIKELY IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THAN IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627717-6978>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 21:39:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA98496; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:28:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10530580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18860 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:28:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:28:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021328.HAA10208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:28:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2610e07bc87de5eaa2ed0cf40a580466 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 986 AXPZ20 KNHC 021327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 02 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 9N90W 11N100W 10N110W 11N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 93W-99W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 90W-95W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 80W-85W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 88W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 88W-93W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1434 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627359-6977>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 18:43:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA65054; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 04:28:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10529236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 04:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA65214 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 04:26:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 04:26:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021026.EAA08988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 04:26:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52fce0f87352644c736d2d8150eb2b35 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 937 ABPZ20 KNHC 021022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE OR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 15:49:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1470 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-6979>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 15:30:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA32754; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:11:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10528359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:11:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA65166 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:10:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:10:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020710.BAA07732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:10:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ac524f66ddb6e5f92ead0ec695aa218 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 659 AXPZ20 KNHC 020707 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 02 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N87W 13N102W 10N110W 11N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...FROM 96W TO 99W...AND FROM 101W TO 107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W AND FROM 113W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N95.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 88W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO AND IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 92W TO 99W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 15:28:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626464-6977>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:08:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA56520; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:01:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10526811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:01:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA33718 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:01:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:01:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020501.XAA06637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:01:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3acdff0df0d32af5689400960f7d2ee4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 ABPZ20 KNHC 020501 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE OR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 11:03:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629583-390>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 09:40:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA107498; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:23:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10524435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:23:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA18814 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:22:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:22:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020122.TAA04756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:22:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10ecf796e40ac1a3d14591ad840799ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 AXPZ20 KNHC 020121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 02 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 12N100W 12N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W-108W AND 110W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-99W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-119W. BROKEN LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZES ITCZ WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH LOCATED FROM 12N-14N AND EAST OF 92W TO INLAND COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND OFFSHORE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 15N93W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF MITCH FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 95W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA NORTH OF 9N. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER GULF OF PANAMA...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTRAL COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80W-83W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 08:50:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625915-26113>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:47:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA15232; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 17:42:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10523080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 17:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA60008 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 17:42:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 17:42:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811012342.RAA03620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 17:42:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18190f5b9d93dd142472b0f1e6e471a4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 162 ABPZ20 KNHC 012341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON ATLANTIC BASIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH CENTERED OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE OR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 08:50:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627671-25430>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 03:27:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA64458; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:16:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10519369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA75444 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:15:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:15:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811011915.NAA01032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:15:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d72637692ed8992de1992f4bacd1c8a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 033 AXPZ20 KNHC 011913 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 01 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 9N90W 12N100W 12N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 102W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 89W-92W DUE TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN GUATEMALA NEAR 15N92W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 02:43:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627572-25424>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:32:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36534; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 11:29:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10518583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 11:29:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA102048 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 11:29:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 11:29:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811011729.LAA29985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 11:29:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75a9f6c11bdd2230bb4db193766c0c09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 553 ABPZ20 KNHC 011729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ALONG AND NEAR THE PACIFIC COAST OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH...CENTERED APPROXIMATELY 75 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CITY OF GUATEMALA. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND RE-STRENGTHEN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3458 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627523-25424>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 21:32:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA40182; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:25:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10516022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:25:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA61660 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:25:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:25:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811011325.HAA28021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:25:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8332154f12077b3602a8cb59c1fcf86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 AXPZ20 KNHC 011323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 01 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 10N90W 12N100W 13N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 104W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 78W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 90W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN PANAMA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 81W-83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 133W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 88W-93W DUE TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN GUATEMALA NEAR 14.8N 91.3W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-25430>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:36:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA34470; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 05:29:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10515087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 05:29:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA101780 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 05:29:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA27174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 05:29:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811011129.FAA27174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 05:29:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fdc6ac1b0276c9ffc3ed02038f32dbd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 100 ABPZ20 KNHC 011128 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH...CENTERED APPROXIMATELY 100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CITY OF GUATEMALA. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND RE-STRENGTHEN. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627028-25431>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 15:19:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36376; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:08:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10514213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:08:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA64262 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:08:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:08:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010708.BAA25362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:08:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f768dd9e2b9d6341321880ea107aab7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 572 AXPZ20 KNHC 010705 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 01 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ...A COLD FRONT IS JUST NORTH OF THE REGION ENDING NEAR 32N130W. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 12N91W 12N106W 9N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 108W AND FROM 133W TO 137W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N96W TO 13N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NORTH OF 2N AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA EAST OF 80W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627139-25432>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:31:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA36426; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:28:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10513368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA24120 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:28:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:27:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010527.XAA24343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:27:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dea24a97dee191af74f92ca309069cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 ABPZ20 KNHC 010526 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT OCT 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THIS WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH...LOCATED NEAR GUATEMALA...GUATEMALA. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND RE-STRENGTHEN. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 01 10:08:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-25432>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 09:00:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA34356; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:45:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10510366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:44:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA78568 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:44:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA22086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:44:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010044.SAA22086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 18:44:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76cae1fc9c5db393e3b019c4058bc93f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 AXPZ20 KNHC 010043 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 01 NOV 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT JUST OUTSIDE OF NW CORNER OF THE AREA... FROM 33N TO 35N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 18N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0000 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-10N92W-13N106W- 11N110W-9N122W-11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 87W AND 95W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 135W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION OF T.D. MITCH. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION DEVELOPING WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 15N92.5W NEAR BORDER OF EXTREME S MEXICO AND EXTREME SW GUATEMALA. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 01 10:08:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626007-25432>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:43:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA60150; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:34:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10509816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:34:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA32740 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:34:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA21529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:34:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810312334.RAA21529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 17:34:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11fa6c67443f60e7d97e0defc03820f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 107 ABPZ20 KNHC 312333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT OCT 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR. THIS WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH...CENTERED ABOUT 75 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF SANTA ROSA DE COPAN HONDURAS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND RE-STRENGTHEN. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 01 10:08:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628876-8307>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 03:19:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA51988; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:05:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10507213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:05:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA115144 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:05:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:05:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810311905.NAA19129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:05:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1256bf08dd31dea141bbc66d1afc631 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 AXPZ20 KNHC 311904 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 31 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 10N90W 11N100W 13N110W 8N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 103W-112W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 135W-141W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 77W-81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA...NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 86W-92W DUE TO TROPICAL STORM MITCH CENTERED OVER EASTERN HONDURAS. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 01 10:08:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627999-8303>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 03:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26124; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:03:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10507193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:03:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22264 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:03:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:03:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810311903.NAA19112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:03:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 708de3cf7c89e9adc8597feb330fc1d4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 ABPZ20 KNHC 311902 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT OCT 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR. THIS WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM...CENTERED OVER HONDURAS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND RE-STRENGTHEN. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 22:12:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627945-8303>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 21:26:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA22166; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:18:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10503934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:18:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA102018 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:18:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:18:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810311318.HAA16293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:18:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53aef82ee6aa93ed05bd8ffecce09789 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 543 AXPZ20 KNHC 311317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 31 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 10N90W 11N100W 13N105W 12N110W 8N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 102W-108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 135W-144W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 95W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA...NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 86W-89W DUE TO TROPICAL STORM MITCH CENTERED OVER HONDURAS. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 86W-92W DUE TO MITCH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 76W-79W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 20:25:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:5000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627950-8300>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:25:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA75332; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 05:16:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10503237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 05:15:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA107314 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 05:15:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 05:15:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810311115.FAA15464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 05:15:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fbcc6cb9864e593ab68bb142f1418b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 489 ABPZ20 KNHC 311113 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT OCT 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR. THIS WEATHER HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MITCH CENTERED OVER HONDURAS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND STRENGTHEN. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 20:25:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-8300>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 15:31:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15200; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:30:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10502233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:30:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44106 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:30:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:30:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310730.BAA14102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:30:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71639f5ba0ae3b7350c85393f118e3d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 956 AXPZ20 KNHC 310728 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 31 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N85W 9N90W 10N100W 13N108W 9N115W 8N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-108W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COLOMBIA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N77W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MITCH ARE OVER WESTERN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 85W-91W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 13:34:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625967-8300>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:26:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA112566; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 23:24:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10500921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 23:24:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA102050 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 23:24:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 23:24:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310524.XAA13068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 23:24:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 386b7da369b138bcb19fb481b7d033ce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 343 ABPZ20 KNHC 310522 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI OCT 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR. THIS WEATHER HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MITCH CENTERED OVER HONDURAS. THIS AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT OVER EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 11:17:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-8304>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 09:22:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15346; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 19:17:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10499212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 19:17:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA65248 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 19:17:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 19:17:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310117.TAA11053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 19:17:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b7d54a186ee48e39dc48c6ed080b500 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 AXPZ20 KNHC 310117 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 31 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N79W 10N100W 11N111W 7N124W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W-112W AND 136W-139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W-97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 112W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MITCH LOCATED FROM 11N-13N AND EAST OF 89W TO INLAND COAST OF NICARAGUA AND SOUTHEAST PORTION OF EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN PANAMA. LOW LEVEL SWIRL OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH FEW SHOWERS WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 14N120W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 11:17:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626049-8300>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:43:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA107502; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 17:42:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10498358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 17:42:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA60058 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 17:41:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 17:41:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810302341.RAA10228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 17:41:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c10665cf34bd41569017629fe4542ec4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 126 ABPZ20 KNHC 302341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI OCT 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 04:55:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628827-18262>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 03:37:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA107416; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:26:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10495542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:25:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA33618 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:25:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:25:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301925.NAA05071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:25:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21077ae42466371a38ac9167d88c8fb4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 AXPZ20 KNHC 301923 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 30 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ...THE WEAKENING 1011 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...HAS DISSIPATED. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N100W 12N110W 8N118W 9N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ EAST OF 100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG WESTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 85W-89W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N102W- 20N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 04:55:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-18259>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 02:21:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18894; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:20:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10494662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:20:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22198 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:20:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:20:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301820.MAA03687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 12:20:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5da0673c6e97cc4ce18b86ca1c18a3a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 206 ABPZ20 KNHC 301818 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI OCT 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 22:23:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627780-18260>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 21:34:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA48220; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:33:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10490671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:33:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA101904 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:33:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA27352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:33:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301333.HAA27352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:33:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0949d146a1e550bf7627389e230d588e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 690 AXPZ20 KNHC 301332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 30 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...A WEAKENING 1011 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER... IS CENTERED NEAR 15N119W...DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N100W 12N110W 10N115W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM OF 78W FROM 4N-8N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG WESTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N86W-13N88W IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM MITCH LOCATED OVER NORTHERN HONDURAS. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N98W-19N102W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 22:23:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2056 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-18262>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 19:48:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA48206; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 05:43:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10490111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 05:43:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA120892 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 05:43:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA26512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 05:43:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301143.FAA26512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 05:43:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e35fd8f8bf05693b67b378a8919117a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 590 ABPZ20 KNHC 301142 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI OCT 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 16:54:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-18571>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 16:47:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA65326; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 02:40:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 02:40:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA101914 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 02:40:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 02:40:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300840.CAA25151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 02:40:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cabec728d2843957016f6bb40289baa0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 ABPZ20 KNHC 300838 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU OCT 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 16:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-18571>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 15:42:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33584; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:36:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:36:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA112414 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:36:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:36:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300736.BAA24835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:36:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b21eceeb1eef05a1708f61ecf16b3e77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 024 AXPZ20 KNHC 300734 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 30 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ...1011 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...NEAR 16N118W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N84W 9N90W 8N94W 10N100W 12N105W 11N110W 6N118W 9N129W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION MAINLY ALONG WESTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 85W-89W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:53:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-24484>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 09:30:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA55528; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:28:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10485197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA101858 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:27:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:27:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300127.TAA21710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:27:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebaf83b417aa5aa0a004d2cf81326967 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 AXPZ20 KNHC 300125 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 30 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...NEAR 16N118W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W-8N96W-8N109W- 6N117W-9N128W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 129W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION MAINLY ALONG WESTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN HONDURAS AND SOUTHEASTERN EL SALVADOR FROM 11N T0 13.5N BETWEEN 85.5W AND 87.5W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:52:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628505-11722>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 03:44:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA65166; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:32:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10481464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32624 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:28:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:28:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291928.NAA14070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:28:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32c4a9cc1716be1bae61e98c0ec054ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 316 AXPZ20 KNHC 291926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 29 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...IS LOCATED NEAR 17N118W...DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N88W 9N97W 11N104W 7N115W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-98W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N107W-11N108W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 134W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO EL SALVADOR WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N86W-13N89W IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE MITCH LOCATED IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:52:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627471-11722>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:52:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA102688; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 11:49:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10480013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 11:49:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24302 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 11:49:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 11:49:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291749.LAA11614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 11:49:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 730af71369a37195072f0268e513f5ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 922 ABPZ20 KNHC 291748 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU OCT 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 23:43:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627765-11722>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 21:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA82518; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:32:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10476708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:32:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA61506 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:32:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:32:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291332.HAA04505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:32:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf2ab9c2e3e1a58d1fd937d2f8a370cb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 443 AXPZ20 KNHC 291330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 29 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...IS LOCATED NEAR 17N118W...MOVING SOUTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N89W 12N104W 7N115W 8N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-100W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-113W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 126W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO EL SALVADOR WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N85W-13N89W IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE MITCH LOCATED IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N117W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1010 MB LOW. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N100W-20N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 23:43:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-11722>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:31:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA48204; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 05:24:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10475873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 05:24:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA18746 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 05:24:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA03554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 05:24:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291124.FAA03554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 05:24:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebf130712236ca973a2f3147bb0f85e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 ABPZ20 KNHC 291124 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU OCT 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 15:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627452-11729>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 15:29:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA40070; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:29:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10474836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:29:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA67186 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:29:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:29:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290729.BAA01952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:29:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbd6fd028b9b0fb7057c5790c17cd1ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 895 AXPZ20 KNHC 290727 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 29 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...LOCATED NEAR 17N117W...MOVING SOUTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 11N85W 8N90W 10N100W 11N110W 8N120W 8N130W 10N140W SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-112W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N134W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE SCATTERED OVER NICARAGUA AND OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 85W-91W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 14:07:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628437-11729>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:30:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA67272; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:29:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10473308 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA34230 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:29:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:29:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290529.XAA00877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:29:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51e0973a7a77c31c7d174fdd9114ca48 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 ABPZ20 KNHC 290528 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED OCT 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 11:17:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625894-11722>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 09:37:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA52152; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:28:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10470600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA52024 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:27:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:27:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290127.TAA28686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:27:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b1dcea9c9b3d5c6590d7c7df478a8bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 AXPZ20 KNHC 290126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 29 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...LOCATED NEAR 18N116W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N86W-11N101W-9N111W- 7N116W-9N124W-7N131W-10N135W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 112W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 11N136.5W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N88W...13N90W...AND 14N91W...ALONG COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO EL SALVADOR TO GUATEMALA. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 08:50:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3040 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628275-21680>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 03:46:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA98344; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:41:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10466515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:40:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA48138 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:40:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:40:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281940.NAA21858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:40:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6547d592b28b0a9427206438ae9e41b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 966 AXPZ20 KNHC 281936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 28 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...LOCATED NEAR 18N115W...REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N128W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 30N135W TO 31N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 5 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N88W 9N95W 10N100W 8N111W 6N120W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W-90W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-125W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN INFLOW FEEDER BAND RELATED TO HURRICANE MITCH OVER WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS WITHIN 60-70 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST FROM 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA AND ITS ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN PANAMA AND ITS ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 08:50:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628420-21674>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA112618; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:32:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10464537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:32:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA78538 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:32:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:31:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281731.LAA17868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 11:31:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06f2d45fc4ae5baf41f0f8a6d49a3ff5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 ABPZ20 KNHC 281729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED OCT 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 21:53:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628098-9466>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 21:39:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18798; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:38:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10461433 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:38:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA107858 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:38:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:38:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281338.HAA11961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:38:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdc9171098bf3efbf4e06248ed3e52e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 AXPZ20 KNHC 281337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 28 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...LOCATED NEAR 18N116W...REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N129W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 31N135W TO 31N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 5 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N85W 10N100W 9N110W 8N121W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W-99W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS NEAR 90W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-138W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INFLOW FEEDER BAND RELATED TO HURRICANE MITCH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO NOTED OFFSHORE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST NORTH OF 12N TO ALONG COAST OF EL SALVADOR. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 20:51:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627601-17703>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:31:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA31438; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 05:30:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10460184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 05:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA56508 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 05:30:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 05:30:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281130.FAA10743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 05:30:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 993cfb9b8f0b8032b534748e42a67261 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 890 ABPZ20 KNHC 281129 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED OCT 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 17:40:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-17703>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 15:31:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA107946; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:30:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10458993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA108184 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:30:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:30:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280730.BAA08684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:30:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 081628093fc7939986e3b58a5759bbaa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 AXPZ20 KNHC 280729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 28 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...CENTERED NEAR 18N115W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N131W CONTINUES TO 31N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 14N W OF 120W...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 9N100W 10N110W 8N120W 10N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-98W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-109W. ...ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF GUATEMALA...EL SALVADOR AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N87W TO 14N91W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 17:40:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627302-17703>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 15:17:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA98520; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:08:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10458946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:07:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26284 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:07:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:07:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280707.BAA08543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:07:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89c432e9207fe3f930c197521aa2a6f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 583 ABPZ20 KNHC 280704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE OCT 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 15:11:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626905-22299>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 09:34:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA34440; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:32:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10455472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:32:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107374 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:32:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:32:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280132.TAA04401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:32:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c14a1dc24b90a64334ad632f235db1ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 AXPZ20 KNHC 280131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 28 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...CENTERED NEAR 18N115W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N84W-8N94W-10N102W- 8N111W-10N131W-8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 107W. ...ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 19N BETWEEN 115W AND 116W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 15:10:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1163 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-22299>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 08:29:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA34210; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 18:28:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10454959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 18:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA115088 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 18:27:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA03301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 18:27:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280027.SAA03301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 18:27:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f2617ce26c0f20861988d959cd277e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 ABPZ20 KNHC 280026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE OCT 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628250-24216>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 03:43:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44034; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:42:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10451042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:42:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA33772 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:42:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:42:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271942.NAA26160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:42:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e02c8602907579e31b6a53ac188039b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 192 AXPZ20 KNHC 271936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 27 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...CENTERED NEAR 17.5N115W. IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N85W 9N95W 9N100W 8N117W 8N125W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-134W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 12N104W 14N102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 102W-104W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628359-24223>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 02:26:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA31378; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:26:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10450065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:26:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA17280 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:26:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:26:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271826.MAA24351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:26:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9f5105102ea85b804188d8afd518b28 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 ABPZ20 KNHC 271824 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON OCT 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628229-22419>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 21:19:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA67094; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:19:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10444730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:19:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA05634 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:19:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:19:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271319.HAA17390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:19:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 161a0b96de2ff3848e69095d296649dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 834 AXPZ20 KNHC 271319 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 27 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ...A 1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...CENTERED NEAR 17N115W. IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N85W 9N95W 9N100W 8N115W 8N121W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W-136W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF HONDURAS AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF EL SALVADOR. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W-101W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628330-22419>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 20:30:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA114064; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 06:30:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10444141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA40778 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 06:30:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 06:29:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271229.GAA16913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 06:29:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb03d623737a5ebc507fd09c5d07bdfc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 384 ABPZ20 KNHC 271227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON OCT 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 15:22:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628099-22425>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 15:05:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44132; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:04:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10442010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA107856 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:04:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:04:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270704.BAA14596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:04:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7fbbfb520072cfec3f55fbd23902fe6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 AXPZ20 KNHC 270703 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 27 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ...A 1012 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N115W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N85W 8N94W 10N103W 9N115W 10N127W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ENTIRE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N86W TO 13N89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 101W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 13:14:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-22424>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 12:34:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA31814; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:32:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10440563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22066 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:32:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:32:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270432.WAA13057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:32:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b3e5ccaf118cc8d7159e5331fab8e9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 244 ABPZ20 KNHC 270431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON OCT 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4658 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-14864>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 09:16:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA09928; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:15:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10437590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA65440 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:15:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:15:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270115.TAA10534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:15:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82cb821be83da6416471ec65959563a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 AXPZ20 KNHC 270114 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 27 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N115W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 8N90W 9N100W 8N110W 7N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-95W...AND BETWEEN 100W-105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 111W-115W DUE TO REMNANTS OF LESTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO S MEXICO BETWEEN 86W-92W EXTENDING 90 NM OVER THE OCEAN. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628026-26668>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24624; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:27:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10433324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52202 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:27:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:27:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261927.NAA28260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:27:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05bc4f301feb735dfff33de0e0370be9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 AXPZ20 KNHC 261925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 26 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER HAS DISSIPATED. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ...A 1005 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. LESTER...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N115W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INLAND OVER MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N86W 8N92W 10N101W 8N108W 8N124W 9N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N86W- 13N91W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-98W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N112W-19N116W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF LESTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N105W- 15N108W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 17N101W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627791-26676>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:43:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44658; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:41:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10432700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:41:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA82438 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:41:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA26881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:41:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261841.MAA26881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 12:41:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a4541b58cfbb51f09cc13f56c1fa100 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 ABPZ20 KNHC 261838 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON OCT 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER HAS WEAKENED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-4052>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:59:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA115034; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:56:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10429247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:56:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA63726 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:56:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261456.IAA21014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Lester Forecast/advisory Number 47 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c1a7336f7a548fa8f147fce5313ebfb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 079 WTPZ24 KNHC 261456 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z MON OCT 26 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.8N 115.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.3N 115.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N 115.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 115.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627798-4058>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:58:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA102098; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:54:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10429214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:54:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA82544 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:53:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:53:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261453.IAA20937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:53:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Lester Discussion Number 47 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f9ecc2508dfc4d69063555f6731aaaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 WTPZ44 KNHC 261453 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 47 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST MON OCT 26 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE IS ALMOST NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION. THERE IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL WINDS THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE STEERING CURRENTS NEAR THE SYSTEM VERY WEAK. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS...GFDL...NOGAPS...AND THE AVN...SUGGEST LITTLE MOTION IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHILE MODELS THAT IMPOSE A DEEP-LAYER STEERING INDICATE A NORTH NORTHEASTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A SLOW DRIFT TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 17.6N 115.3W 25 KTS 12HR VT 27/0000Z 17.8N 115.3W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 27/1200Z 18.3N 115.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 28/0000Z 18.6N 115.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-4058>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:32:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA48294; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:30:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10428073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24212 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:30:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:30:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261330.HAA19247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:30:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd302f7aba2710652900bb77bda8ec9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 464 AXPZ20 KNHC 261329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 26 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 26/1200 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 30N111W THEN ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 27N119W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER... THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS BEST DESCRIBED AS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N113W-20N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 11N88W 8N94W 10N100W 10N110W 8N128W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N86W- 11N89W-13N90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W- 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 17N100W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627765-4058>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:01:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA64342; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 05:01:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10426835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 06:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA05780 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 05:00:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA18084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 05:00:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261100.FAA18084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 05:00:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 307f4195d77cafadbfe0b0a24ec140cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 753 ABPZ20 KNHC 261059 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON OCT 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 16:47:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-4052>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:29:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22152; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:28:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 03:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA61556 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:28:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:28:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260828.CAA16772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:28:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Lester Forecast/advisory Number 46 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f8dfa4e07026062af627c26a05a92a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 266 WTPZ24 KNHC 260827 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z MON OCT 26 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 115.5W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 115.5W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 115.5W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.5N 115.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 115.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 115.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 17.5N 115.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 16:47:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2662 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-4059>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:28:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA31840; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:27:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 03:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA31768 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:27:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:27:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260827.CAA16765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:27:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Lester Discussion Number 46 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f68068092df56ee51a97040319665936 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 262 WTPZ44 KNHC 260826 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 46 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST MON OCT 26 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A LIMITED AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS ALTHOUGH INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STEERING CURRENTS HAVE COLLAPSED AND THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS...GFDL...NAVY NOGAPS...AND UKMET...ALL SHOW LITTLE OVERALL MOTION THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AS WELL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 17.4N 115.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 26/1800Z 17.5N 115.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 27/0600Z 17.5N 115.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 27/1800Z 17.5N 115.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 28/0600Z 17.5N 115.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 29/0600Z 17.5N 115.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 15:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627013-4059>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:17:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34132; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:16:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:16:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA05684 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:16:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:16:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260716.BAA16293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:16:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d0bbbff3eb41e887037c57d296827a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 067 AXPZ20 KNHC 260715 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 26 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 26/0300 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 17.4N 115.5W AT 26/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N88W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 29N112W ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 27N115W TO 24N125W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER... NO DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE EAST OF LESTER WITH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION EXPOSED. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 9N92W 11N98W 10N105W 11N111W 9N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W AND FROM 104W TO 106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS DOTS THE ITCZ FROM 90W TO 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 16N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 11N EAST OF 89W TO THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 13:23:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:10:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18924; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:09:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10424780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:09:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA107482 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:09:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:09:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260509.XAA15182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:09:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8b91fdac65655f22ec12dc23fa598e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 126 ABPZ20 KNHC 260507 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 11:43:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2297 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627218-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:28:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAB18850; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:27:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10423202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 22:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22160 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:27:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:27:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260327.VAA14066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:27:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 843fb3f5d7c9cff2ac4e79a02fac468a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 ABPZ20 KNHC 241612 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 11:43:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626653-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 10:52:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA114012; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:44:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10422385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA107438 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:43:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260243.UAA13367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Lester Forecast/advisory Number 45 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6a7da448ff8763049e6ded5dc192b4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 WTPZ24 KNHC 260242 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z MON OCT 26 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.5W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.5W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.2N 116.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 115.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 117.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 117.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 11:43:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627035-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 10:51:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA113934; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:45:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10422399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22194 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:43:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260243.UAA13371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Lester Discussion Number 45 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cb18d0cd29334383349d444d3141d26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 WTPZ44 KNHC 260243 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 DEEP CONVECTION IS MOSTLY GONE...AND...ALTHOUGH IT MAY INTERMITTENTLY RE-APPEAR NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...LESTER IS ON A WEAKENING TREND. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 30 KNOTS...SO THE SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION. LESTER SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...OR LESS. INITIAL MOTION IS 300/05. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS IS IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE MEDIUM/SHALLOW LAYER STEERING MODELS...BUT NEARLY SO FAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 17.5N 115.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 18.0N 116.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 18.5N 116.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 19.2N 116.8W 25 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 20.0N 117.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 29/0000Z 21.0N 117.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 09:46:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:26:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA63520; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:16:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10421754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA33540 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:16:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:16:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260116.TAA12331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:16:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f60aa84ecd602532392ffe0c45c590da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 AXPZ20 KNHC 260115 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 26 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 115.3W AT 26/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N88W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N114W AND CONTINUES OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 30N116W TO 27N120W 25N125W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY EAST OF THE CENTER FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 111W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 10N90W 10N100W 12N110W 8N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 85W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 96W-99W...FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 108W-111W...AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 136W-142W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 97W-99W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 08:07:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-27945>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 04:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA17234; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:53:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10418885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 15:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA107812 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:50:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:50:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810252050.OAA08429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:50:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 44 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f17e5077d1990b88f87ced11f9d7159 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 WTPZ24 KNHC 252050 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z SUN OCT 25 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.0W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 115.0W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 115.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 08:07:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-27946>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 04:51:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA17246; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:51:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10418759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 15:51:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA60108 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:50:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:50:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810252050.OAA08407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:50:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 44 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6c478a15b891a7de82f9164015b3d29 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 WTPZ44 KNHC 252050 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 44 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/07. THE GFDL...UKMET AND NOGAPS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW VERY LITTLE MOTION FOR 72 HOURS. THE LBAR AND BAM DEEP MODELS CONINUE TO SHOW AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY SHOWING A SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD DRIFT FOR 72 HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION. THIS SUGGESTS WEAKENING AND THE WIND SPEED IS REDUCED TO 35 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING FOLLOWING THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 17.5N 115.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 26/0600Z 18.0N 115.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 26/1800Z 18.5N 115.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 27/0600Z 19.0N 115.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 27/1800Z 19.5N 115.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 28/1800Z 20.0N 115.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 03:51:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4310 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626937-27945>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 03:43:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA108194; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:33:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10417956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:33:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA40080 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:33:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:33:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251933.NAA07344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:33:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a2895de571667688a6f11c3426b1bf5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 352 AXPZ20 KNHC 251932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 25 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 114.5W AT 25/1800 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N88W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N114W AND CONTINUES ALONG 28N120W TO 25N130W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1730 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY IN THE EAST SOUTHEAST QUADRANT FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 111W-114W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 108W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N82W 10N87W 8N95W 9N100W 9N105W 12N110W 8N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-89W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N137W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 90W-100W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 01:02:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626907-27940>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:50:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA32704; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:49:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10416232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 11:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA17312 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:49:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA05856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:49:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251649.KAA05856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:49:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ad4892415a872ad3114767b12967a42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 822 ABPZ20 KNHC 251648 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 23:43:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:33:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21858; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10414890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:23:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18746 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251523.JAA05088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 43 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 528c1978ecee7f0bec06fb6e9ee935fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 WTPZ24 KNHC 251523 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z SUN OCT 25 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 114.3W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 114.3W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.1W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 114.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.6N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 114.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.2N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 23:43:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:35:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21840; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10414886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:23:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA105016 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251523.JAA05090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:23:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 43 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25814156db005c205edab2d8f7dfb7e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 WTPZ44 KNHC 251522 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 43 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/07. THE GFDL...UKMET AND NOGAPS MODELS SHOW VERY LITTLE MOTION FOR 72 HOURS. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE 06Z AVIATION MODEL 500 MB FORECAST WHICH SHOWS VERY WEAK STEERING CURRENTS AROUND THE STORM. THE LBAR AND BAM DEEP MODELS CONINUE TO SHOW AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTH EAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY SHOWING A SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD DRIFT FOR 72 HOURS. A CDO FEATURE CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER THE STORM. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL FORECASTS GRADUAL WEAKENING AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 17.2N 114.3W 40 KTS 12HR VT 26/0000Z 17.5N 114.6W 40 KTS 24HR VT 26/1200Z 18.0N 115.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 27/0000Z 18.6N 115.0W 35 KTS 48HR VT 27/1200Z 19.2N 115.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 28/1200Z 20.0N 115.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 21:47:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-27940>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA32604; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:35:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10413986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 08:35:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17220 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:35:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:35:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251335.HAA04295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:35:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14519a4cc1a857b6a5c1b149e45cf74e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 132 AXPZ20 KNHC 251333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 25 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 114.1W AT 25/1200 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N91W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N118W AND CONTINUES ALONG 27N125W TO 26N132W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 110W-116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N83W 9N90W 9N100W 9N104W 12N109W 9N116W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 93W-99W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 20:31:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-27940>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:20:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA22118; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 06:19:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10412796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA24800 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 06:17:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA03681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 06:17:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251217.GAA03681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 06:17:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f15263a6e9a368c4cc41a0cdcb8ef86c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 737 ABPZ20 KNHC 251215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 3 AM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 17:50:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 16:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA124042; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:57:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:57:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA121464 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:57:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:57:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810250857.CAA01847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:57:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 42 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96c061e2c5b9ee265e72680515d38368 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 WTPZ24 KNHC 250857 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z SUN OCT 25 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.0W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.0W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 113.8W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 114.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.2N 115.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 114.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 17:50:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-27940>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 17:04:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA119150; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:57:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA123228 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:56:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810250856.CAA01842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:56:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 42 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2e004b82f7384a052a970cd63d9cc9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 WTPZ44 KNHC 250856 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 42 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 40 KNOTS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN VARIOUS DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES. SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATES WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR WHILE THE GFDL SHOWS A LITTLE STRENGTHENING. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/09. HOWEVER...THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ...GFDL...NOGAPS...AND UKMET...ALL INDICATE A SLOW DOWN AS STEERING CURRENTS WEAKEN. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS ADJUSTED CONSIDERABLY BASED ON THIS AND IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE DYNAMICAL MODELS AND THE SHALLOW/MID LAYER BAMS. IF LESTER WERE TO BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN FORECAST...A MORE RAPID RECURVATURE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST COULD OCCUR...SIMILAR TO THE DEEP LAYER BAM. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 16.9N 114.0W 40 KTS 12HR VT 25/1800Z 17.5N 114.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 26/0600Z 18.2N 115.3W 40 KTS 36HR VT 26/1800Z 18.7N 115.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 27/0600Z 19.5N 115.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 28/0600Z 20.0N 115.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 15:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 15:02:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA81656; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:01:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA108262 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:01:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:01:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810250701.BAA01033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:01:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fc500b1d7053b18dca4487fab2464f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 030 AXPZ20 KNHC 250700 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 25 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 113.8W AT 25/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N91W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N121W AND CONTINUES ALONG 29N125W TO 26N132W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0615 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N86W 8N91W 8N103W 10N108W 7N116W 6N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 98W AND FROM 100W TO 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 11N EAST OF 88W TO THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 13:31:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626152-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 12:47:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33686; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 23:46:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10409838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 23:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17342 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 23:44:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 23:44:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250444.XAA29659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 23:44:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87030c1bd875784cb4941fccb4b311ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 131 ABPZ20 KNHC 250443 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 11:54:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626152-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 11:11:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21796; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:01:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10408191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA35338 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:01:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA28728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250301.WAA28728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:01:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 41 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7c8e7c133aa4ec8395db78ab4e05bb8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 227 WTPZ24 KNHC 250300 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z SUN OCT 25 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 113.4W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 113.4W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 113.0W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.2N 114.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 114.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.9N 114.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 113.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 21.0N 112.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 23.1N 109.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 11:54:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1764 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625973-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 11:01:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24214; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:59:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10408176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA34946 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:59:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250259.VAA28545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:59:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 41 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55b4768bca6dd97511d6dddf4749ac66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 WTPZ44 KNHC 250259 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION CENTER BECAME EXPOSED FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...A NEW CDO FEATURE IS BEING CREATED WITH A NEW BURSTING PATTERN. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/09. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE FOLLOWING FORECAST AND THIS MAY BE THE BEGINNING OF RECUVATURE TO NORTH. GUIDANCE REMAINS MOSTLY UNCHANGED SINCE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. MOST MODELS SHOW A SLOW NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS EXCEPT THE LBAR AND DEEP BAM WHICH ACCELERATE THE STORM NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO AND AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DVORAK ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 35 KNOTS...HOWEVER...THE BURSTING CDO PATTERN INDICATES THAT WINDS COULD BE STRONGER. THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT 40 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 16.4N 113.4W 40 KTS 12HR VT 25/1200Z 17.2N 114.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 26/0000Z 18.5N 114.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 26/1200Z 19.9N 114.0W 40 KTS 48HR VT 27/0000Z 21.0N 112.8W 40 KTS 72HR VT 28/0000Z 23.1N 109.9W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4139 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625990-27940>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:28:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52678; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:27:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10407202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:26:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13002 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:22:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:22:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250122.UAA27822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:22:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 628f22a53f209d18c8a68621af699f04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 596 AXPZ20 KNHC 250120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 25 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 113.0W AT 25/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC /MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N94W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N127W AND CONTINUES TO 28N132W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 110W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 109W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 9N90W 10N100W 8N110W 7N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 86W-89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 89W-91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND S MEXICO FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 91W-94W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628083-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 06:27:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22078; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 17:26:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10405310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 17:26:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA40492 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 17:26:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 17:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810242226.RAA26197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 17:26:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c40c94c4d98d6e1d049adda60d34fc58 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 594 ABPZ20 KNHC 242225 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628071-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 04:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62590; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:49:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63850 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:49:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810242049.PAA25334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:49:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89c944ffd2d394062874dfe33bb07b18 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 891 WTPZ24 KNHC 242048 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z SAT OCT 24 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 112.0W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 112.0W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.6N 112.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.3N 113.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.3N 113.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 112.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N 113.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628081-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 05:03:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54832; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:48:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:48:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22028 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:48:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:48:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810242048.PAA25329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:48:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 124685b86ec73fa8869547705efb3d7f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 890 WTPZ44 KNHC 242048 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED OR ELSE IT IS HIDDEN UNDER THE CDO FEATURE WHICH IS ON THE WEAKENING STAGE OF A BURSTING PATTERN. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/05. THE GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL SHOWING A 500 MB LOW CUTTING OFF OVER CALIFORNIA. MOST MODELS SHOW A SLOW NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS EXCEPT THE LBAR AND DEEP BAM WHICH ACCELERATE THE STORM NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMLAR TO AND AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. EVEN THOUGH DVORAK ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 35 KNOTS...THE BURSTING CDO PATTERN INDICATES THAT WINDS COULD BE STRONGER. THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT 45 KNOTS THROUGH 48 HOURS...AFTER WHICH WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR COULD BE ENCOUNTERED...RESULTING IN SOME WEAKENING. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 15.3N 112.0W 45 KTS 12HR VT 25/0600Z 15.6N 112.7W 45 KTS 24HR VT 25/1800Z 16.3N 113.4W 45 KTS 36HR VT 26/0600Z 17.3N 113.3W 45 KTS 48HR VT 26/1800Z 18.2N 113.3W 45 KTS 72HR VT 27/1800Z 21.0N 110.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3068 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628025-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:38:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA59810; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:37:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:37:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44054 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:36:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241936.OAA24303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:36:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7adc2847f07b8cd8f146ee1787893414 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 AXPZ20 KNHC 241933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 24 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 111.7W AT 24/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N94W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N127W AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 26N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 130 NM OF THE CENTER. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CIRCULATION FROM 16N-17N BETWEEN 109W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N88W 8N95W 8N100W 8N110W 5N120W 4N127W 9N137W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N78W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N96W TO 13N98W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628032-8407>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:29:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52308; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 11:28:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10401323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 11:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA37672 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 11:28:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 11:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241628.LAA21952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 11:28:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24d4db94a6c550e6d8cc7fe6b1e7e968 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 ABPZ20 KNHC 241612 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 23:30:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627915-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:39:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA59868; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10399981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:36:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22472 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:36:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241436.JAA21156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:36:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fe1dc2801009329391770750297ba52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 962 WTPZ24 KNHC 241436 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z SAT OCT 24 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.2W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.2W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 111.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.6N 111.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.3N 112.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.2N 112.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 111.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 111.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 23:30:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627599-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 22:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA59786; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:35:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10399969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA16998 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:35:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:35:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241435.JAA21144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:35:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1eab748fc9932e85fd54055d569f6fa1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 WTPZ44 KNHC 241435 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES DECREASED THE WINDS TO 35 KNOTS AT 12Z BUT A RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER DICTATES THAT I LEAVE THE WIND SPEED AT 45 KNOTS. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL INDICATES LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/04. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS SLOW FORWARD MOTION FOR THREE DAYS WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AS A TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES CUTS OFF A LOW IN CALIFORNIA. THE LBAR AND DEEP BAM ARE CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN THE OTHER MODELS AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS NOT AS FAST AS THESE TWO MODELS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 15.4N 111.2W 45 KTS 12HR VT 25/0000Z 15.6N 111.8W 45 KTS 24HR VT 25/1200Z 16.3N 112.5W 45 KTS 36HR VT 26/0000Z 17.2N 112.9W 45 KTS 48HR VT 26/1200Z 18.0N 111.6W 45 KTS 72HR VT 27/1200Z 20.5N 111.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 21:59:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA54766; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:38:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10399680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA59852 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:38:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:38:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241338.IAA20693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:38:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9f832444b3d6876ced32f2e982b0def Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 AXPZ20 KNHC 241336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 24 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 111.0W AT 24/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 9N93W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N129W AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 26N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...A 1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 24N132W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CIRCULATION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 108W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N90W 6N101W 11N105W 9N110W 6N120W 5N125W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-89W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N96W TO 17N100W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 19:46:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628016-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 18:49:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24672; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 05:46:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10398484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 05:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA39498 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 05:46:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA19700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 05:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241046.FAA19700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 05:46:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19f907756a442062a5a5f0aabb801db7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 ABPZ20 KNHC 241044 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 545 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 17:36:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-8406>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 16:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22370; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16702 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240842.DAA18874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7583b873d93b7ee34be7fcfa7aca37ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 761 WTPZ24 KNHC 240842 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z SAT OCT 24 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.8W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.8W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.5W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.1N 111.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.7N 112.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.6N 112.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 110.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 113.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 17:36:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627657-8406>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 16:43:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22352; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22322 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240842.DAA18870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:42:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1911ad7e430ef079543d51da2670a5af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 760 WTPZ44 KNHC 240841 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 IR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT IS ELONGATED FROM NW TO SE...WITH DEEP CONVECTION LIMITED TO THE LOWER PART OF THAT PATTERN. DVORAK TECHNIQUE INTENSITY ESTIMATES CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND...CORRESPONDINGLY...THE WIND SPEED IS CURRENTLY SET AT 45 KT. WHILE THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION ARE RATHER UNCERTAIN...A SMALL WESTWARD COMPONENT IS ANALYZED. THE 00Z AVN SHOWS THAT THE NEXT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE U.S. WEST COAST WILL CUTOFF OVER NEVADA BY 72 HOURS. MOST ASSOCIATED TRACK MODELS END THE WESTWARD PROGRESSION. SOME SHOW RECURVATURE WITH THE FASTEST...BAMD AND LBAR...PUTTING LESTER OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AT 72 HOURS. THIS SEEMS TOO FAST...BUT THE NHC FORECAST NOW SHOWS A TURN TOWARD THAT PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE BAM OUTPUT IMPLIES INCREASING SW SHEAR. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS ESSENTIALLY NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY. THE NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR...RETAINING 45 KT. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 15.0N 110.8W 45 KTS 12HR VT 24/1800Z 15.1N 111.5W 45 KTS 24HR VT 25/0600Z 15.7N 112.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 25/1800Z 16.6N 112.9W 45 KTS 48HR VT 26/0600Z 17.6N 113.0W 45 KTS 72HR VT 27/0600Z 19.5N 111.5W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 15:28:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627606-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:26:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30238; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:24:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:24:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24842 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:24:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:24:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240724.CAA18311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:24:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d8c065c933293f197cfd4d61811c290 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 AXPZ20 KNHC 240722 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 24 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER CENTERED NEAR 15.0N 111.0W AT 24/0600 UTC...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N133W AND CONTINUES TO BEYOND 28N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 25N134W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 7N98W 8N111W 5N125W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 85W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 110W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N97W TO 12N98W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 12:31:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 12:27:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12876; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:26:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10396454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:26:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA12842 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:26:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240426.XAA17045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:26:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2aa8ddffc47eb32aeeecb1a43b4cd824 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 ABPZ20 KNHC 240425 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 10:37:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626589-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 10:32:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23484; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:31:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10394274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14478 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240230.VAA16173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a13c949522a957df64435ff4e0e5a3f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 726 WTPZ24 KNHC 240230 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z SAT OCT 24 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 110.2W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 90SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 110.2W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.6N 110.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.6N 111.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.3N 112.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 110.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 10:37:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3433 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 10:31:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23460; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10394268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16766 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240230.VAA16165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d4b8e62058d3505c1b0c1ca1eaed63b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 WTPZ44 KNHC 240229 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 23 1998 THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 215/04 IS BASED ON 24 HOURS OF MOTION. THE NOGAPS...UKMET AND AVIATION MODEL SHOW A SLOW MOSTLY NORTHWARD DRIFT FOR 72 HOURS. THE GFDL AND LBAR SHOW AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTH...APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO A 500 MB TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD TO NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 72 HOURS. SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY CALLED FOR A SLOW MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED CONSIDERABLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO ACCOMODATE THE POSSIBILITY SUGGESTED BY THE GFDL AND LBAR. A SMALL CDO TYPE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES PUT THE WIND SPEED AT 55 KNOTS OR LESS. ONLY A SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 14.9N 110.2W 55 KTS 12HR VT 24/1200Z 14.6N 110.7W 55 KTS 24HR VT 25/0000Z 14.6N 111.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 25/1200Z 15.3N 112.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 26/0000Z 16.0N 112.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 27/0000Z 18.0N 113.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 10:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-8406>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA37776; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:54:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10393839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA58750 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:54:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:54:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240154.UAA15740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:54:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 010550430ae252f71cdf2020a95e139d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 955 AXPZ20 KNHC 240151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 24 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER CENTERED NEAR 15.0N 109.7W AT 24/0000 UTC...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N135W...AND CONTINUES ALONG 28N140W 25N147W TO 24N150W WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFUSE TO 24N155W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 15 KNOTS. ...1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N124W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W TO VICINITY OF COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 14N107W 15N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N85W 6N95W 11N104W 7N113W 7N120W 10N133W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W-110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZE ITCZ WEST OF 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 15N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N84W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:05:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 06:52:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA10476; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:51:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10391264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA54990 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:51:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA14261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:51:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810232251.RAA14261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:51:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fe35bc3209f915fecc9cdf9a27554bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 532 ABPZ20 KNHC 232249 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:05:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627523-2904>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 04:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA17090; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:27:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10389729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA48814 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:27:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810232027.PAA11649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:27:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b07a000b1acc0bf94594a876c6dda900 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 WTPZ44 KNHC 232025 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 23 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER BUT WIND ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 60 KNOTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IS INTENSITY ARE LIKELY. LESTER HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST BUT A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED AS INDICATED BY SOME OF THE TRACK MODELS. HOWEVER...LATEST GDFL RUN SUGGESTS THAT LESTER WOULD TURN TO THE NORTH AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A NEW TROUGH. WE PREFER NOT TO MAKE A DRASTIC CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT THIS TIME. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 15.3N 109.8W 60 KTS 12HR VT 24/0600Z 15.0N 110.5W 55 KTS 24HR VT 24/1800Z 15.0N 111.0W 50 KTS 36HR VT 25/0600Z 15.0N 112.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 25/1800Z 15.0N 113.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 26/1800Z 15.0N 114.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:05:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3101 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627572-2904>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 04:29:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA48794; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:27:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10389724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA17028 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:26:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810232026.PAA11633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:26:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cf240e83825d46065fdcf441261814b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 205 WTPZ24 KNHC 232022 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z FRI OCT 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.8W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.8W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 109.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 15.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2090 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-2910>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:35:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28410; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:33:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10388926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA60124 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:33:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231933.OAA10296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:33:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a20b2da277268c429944f79a4e0c23ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 AXPZ20 KNHC 231931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 23 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...LESTER HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AND IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 109.6W AT 23/1800 UTC. MOVEMENT IS SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ...A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION AT 32N138W CONTINUING ALONG 31N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. ...A 1021 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 28N124W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W UP TO THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 70 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N109W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SHOWERS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 107W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N85W 9N90W 7N100W 9N107W 8N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-84W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627598-2909>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 00:26:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15422; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 11:25:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10386145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 11:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA64516 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 11:25:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 11:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231625.LAA05332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 11:25:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1553133b2bb0bf145658f523a16ecaf9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 532 ABPZ20 KNHC 231624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627445-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 22:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54702; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:43:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10384835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52370 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:43:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:43:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231443.JAA02719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:43:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66fc7f0518fd17c5228dcd5ffa6bf580 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 926 WTPZ44 KNHC 231442 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 23 1998 THERE ARE ONLY A FEW SPOTS OF DEEP CONVECTION AND T-NUMBERS ARE DECREASING. LESTER IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT THIS TIME. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IS INTENSITY ARE LIKELY. LESTER HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST BUT A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED AS INDICATED BY TRACK MODELS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 15.6N 109.5W 60 KTS 12HR VT 24/0000Z 15.5N 110.0W 55 KTS 24HR VT 24/1200Z 15.0N 110.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 25/0000Z 15.0N 111.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 25/1200Z 15.0N 112.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 26/1200Z 15.0N 113.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627458-2904>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 22:44:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35204; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:42:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10384780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:42:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52276 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:41:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:41:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231441.JAA02674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:41:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 604d0bc1924781e03d9b9ef190374be4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 WTPZ24 KNHC 231440 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z FRI OCT 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 109.5W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 109.5W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3974 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-2904>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:34:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA30786; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:33:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10384060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16944 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231332.IAA01089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:32:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a57c6938c1c13a5a1b22d9c8a2109ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 524 AXPZ20 KNHC 231331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 23 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 15.7N 109.4W AT 23/1200 UTC. MOVEMENT IS SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 2 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ...A 1021 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 28N123W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1245 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 70 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENT IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N109W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SHOWERS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 105W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N90W 7N100W 9N110W 8N115W 9N120W 9N126W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N99W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N85W TO 12N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 97W-100W...AND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 17N101W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 20:44:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1668 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627516-2904>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 18:45:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA47882; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 05:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10381745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 05:44:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44518 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 05:44:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA29517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 05:44:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231044.FAA29517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 05:44:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e45ca19cb3ffe994c8bcddd2bfe638b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 437 ABPZ20 KNHC 231044 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 17:11:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-2904>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 16:38:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04134; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04348 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230836.DAA28761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bcf00a3c23c096040de389e41ec634c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 294 WTPZ24 KNHC 230836 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z FRI OCT 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.1W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.1W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 109.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 110.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.1N 111.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 109.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 16.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 16.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 17:11:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2137 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-2904>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 16:38:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04114; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04338 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230836.DAA28757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:36:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d157b807ef641fdd58b2063b3b66ea9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 WTPZ44 KNHC 230835 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 23 1998 THE INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LESTER HAS DECREASED MARKEDLY DURING THE LAST 6-12 HOURS...MOST LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO UPWELLING. IN FACT...BASED ON THE DVORAK INTENSITY SCHEME THE CURRENT COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION IS INSUFFICIENT TO CLASSIFY THE SYSTEM AS A HURRICANE. HOWEVER... THE CIRCULATION REMAINS INTACT AND TYPICALLY TROPICAL CYCLONES TAKE TIME TO UNWIND...A PROPERTY INCORPORATED INTO THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 65 KNOTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WITH LESTER BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM BY 12 HOURS. LESTER HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE LAST 36 HOURS BUT SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE LAST 3-6 HOURS SUGGEST THAT A SOUTH TO SOUTH- SOUTHWEST DRIFT HAS BEGUN. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY U.S. AIR FORCE AND U.S. NAVY DMSP FIXES/IMAGERY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 200/02 KNOTS. A SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST DRIFT SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A MORE WESTERLY MOTION THEREAFTER AS HIGH DEVELOPS NORTHWEST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND IS SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 16.4N 109.1W 65 KTS 12HR VT 23/1800Z 16.3N 109.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 24/0600Z 16.2N 110.0W 60 KTS 36HR VT 24/1800Z 16.1N 111.0W 55 KTS 48HR VT 25/0600Z 16.0N 112.5W 55 KTS 72HR VT 26/0600Z 16.0N 114.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 15:11:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4108 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627245-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA12968; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:03:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380102 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30352 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:03:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:03:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230703.CAA28235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:03:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea94e3a84f4baeb48ae1e5fb0c01e701 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 AXPZ20 KNHC 230701 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 23 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 16.5N 109.1W AT 23/0600 UTC. IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ...A 1021 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N123W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 5N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0615 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... THE SYSTEM HAS LOST MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N107W TO 14N109W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 106W AND 111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 7N98W 7N110W 6N116W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 89W TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N87W TO 13N91W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR AND NICARAGUA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N98W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-6318>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 12:26:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12800; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:24:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:24:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA13034 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:24:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:24:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230424.XAA27065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:24:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1da4fa0f2dffbbf0eb3d7ad09bd7ca04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 ABPZ20 KNHC 230422 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 10:49:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2251 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626145-5680>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:40:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12838; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:36:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10378342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28380 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:36:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:36:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230236.VAA26135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:36:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa59860ebe5d0c62f6758f18607b56d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 714 WTPZ44 KNHC 230234 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 LESTER APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING SINCE CONVECTION HAS BEEN DECREASING DURING THE DAY...PERHAPS DUE TO UPWELLING. T-NUMBERS ARE DECREASING QUITE FAST BUT WIND ESTIMATES ARE STILL 80 TO 85 KNOTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS INDICATED AS SUGGESTED BY SHIFOR. LESTER HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK SHOULD BEGIN WHEN A HIGH DEVELOPS THE NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. THIS IS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 16.8N 109.0W 85 KTS 12HR VT 23/1200Z 16.8N 109.0W 80 KTS 24HR VT 24/0000Z 16.7N 110.0W 80 KTS 36HR VT 24/1200Z 16.5N 111.0W 75 KTS 48HR VT 25/0000Z 16.5N 112.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 26/0000Z 16.5N 114.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 10:49:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2229 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-5689>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:40:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30650; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:38:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10378361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA48658 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:35:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230234.VAA26107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:34:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff576525c5480a35fd397881b561e0aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 712 WTPZ24 KNHC 230233 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z FRI OCT 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.8N 109.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.7N 110.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 109.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 16.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 09:53:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627481-5680>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:35:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44362; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:33:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10377575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:33:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA54104 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:30:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230129.UAA25466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:29:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8634457a632b840f4d4eda7f67c3509a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 361 AXPZ20 KNHC 230127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 23 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 23/0000 UTC ...AND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS GUSTS 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... OVERALL STRUCTURE OF SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER IN WESTERN QUADRANT...AND 90 NM ON SOUTHERN QUADRANT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A RAIN BAND EXTENDS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LINE 16N107W 17N108W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 104W- 107W. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MARKING SOME OUTFLOW ARE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 110W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N85W 7N95W 9N100W 12N107W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-89W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-99W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-92W ...AND WEST OF 138W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-101W...AND BETWEEN 127W-132W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF 8N AND EAST OF 85W TO JUST INLAND COAST OF COSTA RICA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 91W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER PANAMA...AND ITS ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BORDERING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N-7N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 09:53:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626187-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 05:58:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA30846; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:58:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10374118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA47946 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:58:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810222158.QAA22965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:58:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7965c6a087cea17cd1da00b30e8bb0b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 ABPZ20 KNHC 222156 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 04:51:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627973-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 04:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA58750; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:41:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10372883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:41:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52584 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:40:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810222040.PAA21223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:40:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 908c7c664419e253825a1bb1e6b99235 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 WTPZ44 KNHC 222039 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 LESTER HASNT MOVED TODAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT UPWELLING IS STARTING TO AFFECT THE SYSTEM. WHILE THE EYE REMAINS APPARENT...THE INNER CORE AREA JUST NORTH OF THE EYEWALL HAS DETERIORATED TODAY. TAFB AND SAB NOW HAVE 4.5/5.5 AS DVORAK T/CI NUMBERS. UNLESS LESTER/S DEEP CONVECTION REDEVELOPS...THE WIND SPEEDS COULD BE REDUCED ON THE NEXT ADVISORY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE SEEN FOR THE FUTURE TRACK. A HIGH DEVELOPING TO THE NORTHWEST IS STILL EXPECTED TO STEER LESTER SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST. THIS IS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 16.8N 109.0W 100 KTS 12HR VT 23/0600Z 16.8N 109.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 23/1800Z 16.4N 109.9W 100 KTS 36HR VT 24/0600Z 16.3N 110.9W 100 KTS 48HR VT 24/1800Z 16.3N 112.1W 90 KTS 72HR VT 25/1800Z 16.5N 115.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 04:51:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627897-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 04:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA50112; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:40:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10372852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:40:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30702 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:39:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:39:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810222039.PAA21212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:39:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a590d7570aaecd21abb744a263f252a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 WTPZ24 KNHC 222038 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z THU OCT 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.8N 109.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.4N 109.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N 110.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 109.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 16.3N 112.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 03:47:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626926-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:34:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44036; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:33:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10371278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA54748 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:32:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221932.OAA19270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:32:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b63a66c56ca964352b55be0231c89ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 101 AXPZ20 KNHC 221929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 22 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 109.0W AT 22/1800 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS GUSTS 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1245 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW...ARE FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 105W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 70 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 11N100W 13N105W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N136W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-100W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-116W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3N78W TO 6N77W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 01:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627887-18241>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:58:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57362; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 11:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10368182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 11:57:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA45560 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 11:57:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 11:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221657.LAA14681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 11:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1621266b23e16ff0d0f64d17f10772b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 786 ABPZ20 KNHC 221655 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 415 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 22:54:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3908 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627851-18241>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 22:51:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29258; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:50:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10365266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45320 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:50:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221450.JAA10802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:50:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d25c20aecf6283dc25940e898313354c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 WTPZ44 KNHC 221449 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 LESTER REMAINS STATIONARY. THE 06Z AVN AGAIN SHOWS RIDGING TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SHOULD STEER LESTER TOWARD THE WEST...OR SOUTH OF WEST...BEGINNING DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE HURRICANE HAD A DISTINCT EYE SURROUNDED BY A RING OF RATHER COLD CLOUD TOPS UNTIL AN HOUR AGO...WHEN THE EYE BEGAN TO SHRIVEL. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 5.5...OR ABOUT 100 KT...AS SHOWN IN THE ADVISORY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 16.9N 108.9W 100 KTS 12HR VT 23/0000Z 16.9N 108.9W 100 KTS 24HR VT 23/1200Z 16.7N 109.4W 100 KTS 36HR VT 24/0000Z 16.5N 110.4W 100 KTS 48HR VT 24/1200Z 16.5N 111.6W 90 KTS 72HR VT 25/1200Z 16.5N 114.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 23:06:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626631-18260>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 22:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63870; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:49:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10365206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59734 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:49:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:49:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221449.JAA10792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:49:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 652718c423a607b7fbd6a008248d9a4a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 506 WTPZ24 KNHC 221448 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z THU OCT 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.9W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.9W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.9N 108.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.7N 109.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.5N 110.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 108.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 21:54:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627851-18260>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15812; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:37:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10364299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:37:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38822 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:37:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:37:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221337.IAA09223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:37:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c14ff426089765a3404db9bbb28c82bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 979 AXPZ20 KNHC 221335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 22 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 108.9W AT 22/1200 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS GUSTS 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1245 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS...UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW...ARE FROM 12N-21N BETWEEN 102W-115W. LESTER HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE WHICH HAS A DIAMETER OF ABOUT 20 NM. STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 9N94W 12N100W 13N105W 11N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3N78W TO 7N78W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 21:54:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1420 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626941-18261>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 18:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA22454; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 05:33:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10361921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 05:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA41084 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 05:31:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 05:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221031.FAA07198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 05:31:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcdef191f6750420a548cb3e55fd37ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 ABPZ20 KNHC 221018 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 18:07:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627783-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:44:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12990; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:43:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10361212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:42:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12942 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:36:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220836.DAA06435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:36:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8618ada88ca0fc6ac7279653ca972307 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 WTPZ44 KNHC 220836 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 22 1998 THERE CONTINUES TO BE LITTLE NET MOTION...WITH THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE JUST MEANDERING ABOUT. ALTHOUGH STEERING CURRENTS HAVE COLLAPSED AT THIS TIME...NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A MID- TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF LESTER. THUS A SLOW...GENERALLY WESTWARD...MOVEMENT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AND CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A WELL-DEFINED EYE EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF CLOUD TOPS OF -60 TO -70 DEGREES CELSIUS. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER GIVE AN ESTIMATED CURRENT INTENSITY CLOSE TO 100 KNOTS. NOT MUCH CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS CALLED FOR UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD WHEN GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST... MAINLY BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 16.8N 108.7W 100 KTS 12HR VT 22/1800Z 16.8N 108.7W 100 KTS 24HR VT 23/0600Z 16.6N 109.5W 100 KTS 36HR VT 23/1800Z 16.5N 110.5W 100 KTS 48HR VT 24/0600Z 16.5N 111.5W 90 KTS 72HR VT 25/0600Z 16.5N 113.5W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 18:07:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627783-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 16:42:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24928; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:42:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10361193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:40:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA23346 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:35:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220835.DAA06428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:35:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 817cb53b90a78aeb46f58f1584de376f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTPZ24 KNHC 220834 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z THU OCT 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.7W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.7W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.8N 108.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.6N 109.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 108.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 16.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 16.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 15:45:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2932 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-23064>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:28:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA55606; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:18:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10360846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:17:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52456 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:17:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:17:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220717.CAA05770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:17:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c2e4ba0664b64497adfcc76be8b3563 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 138 AXPZ20 KNHC 220715 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 22 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 108.7W AT 22/0600 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KNOTS GUSTS 110 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0600 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM REMAINS VERY WELL ORGANIZED AS INDICATED BY ITS WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW PATTERN AND THE STRUCTURE OF THE CONVECTION. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF CENTER IN ALL DIRECTIONS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N80W-9N90W-10N100W- 11N114W-9N125W-9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N123W AND 9N128W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION... DISSIPATING WITH TIME...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION...DISSIPATING WITH TIME...FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 12:40:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626945-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 12:35:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA53022; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 23:34:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10359360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 23:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67760 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 23:33:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 23:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220433.XAA04568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 23:33:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3b08c0dc55565562e0757f8c31bc541 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 903 ABPZ20 KNHC 220436 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 12:40:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1509 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-23064>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 10:16:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24232; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:14:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10357347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:13:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29298 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220209.VAA03349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f54548a22e2492eb65b4344062d99e0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 230 WTPZ44 KNHC 220212 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 LESTER HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE SURROUNDED BY VERY DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AN 90 KNOTS AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS INDICATED. THE HURRICANE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD TO THE NORTH OF LESTER IN DAY OR TWO SO A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK SHOULD THEN BEGIN. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH TRACK MODELS WHICH ALSO RESPOND TO THE BUILDING RIDGE BY MOVING LESTER SLOWLY WESTWARD. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 16.7N 109.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 22/1200Z 16.7N 109.0W 90 KTS 24HR VT 23/0000Z 16.7N 109.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 23/1200Z 17.0N 110.5W 90 KTS 48HR VT 24/0000Z 17.0N 111.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 25/0000Z 17.0N 113.5W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 12:40:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626255-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 10:11:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67642; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:10:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10357321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29254 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220209.VAA03342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:09:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e73fe31d7e67eff673e65def27cabf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 229 WTPZ24 KNHC 220213 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z THU OCT 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 109.0W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 109.0W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.7N 109.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 109.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:46:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:29:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43732; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:28:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10356656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12952 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:26:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220126.UAA02828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:26:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebed517ddee057323d3113bb226b8569 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 AXPZ20 KNHC 220128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 22 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 109.0W AT 22/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0115 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM REMAINS VERY WELL ORGANIZED AS INDICATED BY ITS WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW PATTERN AND STRUCTURE OF CONVECTION. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF EYE IN SOUTHERN QUADRANT...AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-70 NM OF EYE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN OUTER RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 12N98W 14N101W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN WITH ANOTHER OUTER RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LINE 12N105W 14N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N107W...AND 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N86W 8N95W 12N105W 9N117W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS AXIS BETWEEN 90W-97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-89W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZE REMAINDER OF ITCZ WEST OF 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER COASTAL WATERS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN COSTA RICA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER GULF OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MEXICO FROM 99W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHEAST PORTION OF EL SALVADOR. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:26:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3907 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627761-7238>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 05:33:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA67110; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:31:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10352692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA54792 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:31:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:31:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810212131.QAA29205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:31:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e3b7439d1694ae0ad310233eb76bbdd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 ABPZ20 KNHC 211731 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:26:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627744-7239>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 04:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA38712; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10351526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30908 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810212039.PAA27893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc0969b8cb782b52740bf7d03989d67f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 156 WTPZ24 KNHC 211640 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z WED OCT 21 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 108.8W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.2N 109.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.6N 110.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.8N 111.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 109.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.1N 112.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:26:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627733-7238>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 04:41:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15624; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10351521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45736 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:39:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810212038.PAA27891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:38:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 241747a19e6049ca8f9b9a5427da7287 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 155 WTPZ44 KNHC 211639 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 A THIN LAYER OF NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS NOTED BUT IT DOESNT SEEM TO BE ADVERSELY AFFECTING LESTER AT THIS TIME. THE EYE HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS AND T- AND CI-NUMBERS NOW MATCH AT 5.0...90 KT. THE HEADING IS 290/7 KT. THE 12Z AVN AGAIN SHOWS A RIDGE DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH OF LESTER...NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BY 72 HOURS A MORE PROMINENT HIGH IS SHOWN COVERING MUCH OF THE OFFSHORE AREA TO THE NW OF THE HURRICANE. THESE FEATURES SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE LEFT...AS INDICATED BY MOST GUIDANCE MODELS. NO THREAT TO LAND IS INDICATED AT THIS TIME. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 16.8N 109.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 22/0600Z 17.2N 109.8W 90 KTS 24HR VT 22/1800Z 17.6N 110.7W 90 KTS 36HR VT 23/0600Z 17.8N 111.4W 90 KTS 48HR VT 23/1800Z 18.1N 112.2W 85 KTS 72HR VT 24/1800Z 18.0N 114.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:25:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627752-7239>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:34:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13044; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:32:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10350453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA12982 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:31:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211931.OAA25840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:31:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21ed0f1a2eae418581238ef0c8e719a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 103 AXPZ20 KNHC 211933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 21 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 108.8W AT 21/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1845 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... AN EYE HAS REAPPEARED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 106W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N87W 9N98W 13N106W 10N116W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 100W- 110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-100W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS INLAND FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W-8N73W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N88W-13N90W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N9W-19N99W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:25:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625941-7236>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 01:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA64712; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 11:59:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10347729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 11:58:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55686 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 11:58:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 11:58:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211658.LAA20637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 11:58:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f701005ec3305a745b0c7555a26a147 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 ABPZ20 KNHC 211656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 23:50:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 23:07:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24114; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:55:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10345555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44212 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA16853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211453.JAA16853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 813f6b8c9acc906244720013a078d6bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 554 WTPZ44 KNHC 211453 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE NOW SEEN AT CIRRUS LEVEL JUST UPSTREAM FROM LESTER. THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME LESS CIRCULAR...BUT AN EYE HAS REAPPEARED ON IR IMAGES AT 1400Z. WHILE DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED TO 4.5 AT 1200Z...CI NUMBERS ARE STILL 5.0...SO 90 KT WILL BE USED AS THE INITIAL WIND SPEED. THE FORWARD MOTION APPEARS TO HAVE SLOWED...TO ABOUT 6 KT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND PERHAPS EVEN SLOWER OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS DECELERATION COULD BE EVIDENCE OF LESTER NEARING THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE TO THE NE. SOME ADDITIONAL NORTHWARD COMPONENT COULD BE EXPERIENCED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE ANOTHER RIDGE DEVELOPS NEARER TO BAJA CALIFORNIA. THAT FEATURE WOULD FORCE A MORE WESTWARD MOTION AGAIN...AND MOST OF THE MODELS INDICATE A RATHER SHARP BEND BACK TOWARD THE WEST BY 36 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THESE TRENDS...BUT SHOWS A SMOOTHER TRACK THAN PROVIDED BY THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 16.6N 108.3W 90 KTS 12HR VT 22/0000Z 17.1N 109.1W 90 KTS 24HR VT 22/1200Z 17.8N 110.0W 90 KTS 36HR VT 23/0000Z 18.3N 110.8W 85 KTS 48HR VT 23/1200Z 18.8N 111.9W 80 KTS 72HR VT 24/1200Z 19.5N 114.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 23:50:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 22:59:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA23304; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:54:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10345541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23472 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA16849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211453.JAA16849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:53:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44af27b038d1decd2edc26cd37758657 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 553 WTPZ24 KNHC 211454 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z WED OCT 21 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.3W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.3W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.1N 109.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.8N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.3N 110.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 108.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 18.8N 111.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 19.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 23:50:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-7236>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:36:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17726; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:30:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10344459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA54534 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:30:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211330.IAA14606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:30:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd91df166477a9a6f80001656a7bc3a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 743 AXPZ20 KNHC 211330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 21 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 16.5N 108.1W AT 21/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1245 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N90W 10N100W 12N109W 8N121W 6N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-96W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM OF 77.5W FROM 3N-6N. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 14N100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 85W-90W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 23:50:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3113 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627339-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 18:24:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA54930; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 05:19:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10342418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 05:19:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA57470 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 05:19:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 05:19:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211019.FAA12300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 05:19:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c8470da482a404bff64c4af8d1d2e94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 ABPZ20 KNHC 211020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 465 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 17:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627175-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:42:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24778; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10342085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52408 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:30:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210830.DAA11298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:30:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37d296bbbedd889d19505be05c1e928c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 WTPZ44 KNHC 210832 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 21 1998 LESTER APPEARS TO BE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY...WITH THE CENTER EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -60 DEG CELSIUS. DVORAK ANALYSES FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER...THE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS BRANCH AND THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER AGENCY GIVE A CONSENSUS T5.0...I.E. 90 KNOTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE IN A DAY OR SO...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WIND SPEEDS ARE QUITE CLOSE TO THOSE GIVEN BY THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY FORECAST SCHEME. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD...INCREASED SHEAR COULD CAUSE THE WEAKENING TO BE MORE RAPID THAN SHOWN HERE. THE MOTION HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY BUT IS STILL TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST. THE TRACK PREDICTION GUIDANCE GENERALLY INDICATES A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE... WITH A TURN BACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD...AS THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH THIS IDEA...MORE OR LESS. OBVIOUSLY THERE IS STILL SOME CONCERN ABOUT A POSSIBLE RECURVATURE...BUT AT THIS TIME THERE IS NO OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE TO INDICATE THAT THIS WILL OCCUR. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 16.5N 107.9W 90 KTS 12HR VT 21/1800Z 17.0N 109.3W 90 KTS 24HR VT 22/0600Z 18.0N 110.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 22/1800Z 19.0N 111.5W 85 KTS 48HR VT 23/0600Z 20.0N 112.5W 80 KTS 72HR VT 24/0600Z 21.0N 115.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 17:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626784-7236>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24734; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:30:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10342081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54610 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:29:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210829.DAA11274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:29:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6043853eeb888cc543e2983e2ae8a78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 613 WTPZ24 KNHC 210830 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z WED OCT 21 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 107.9W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 107.9W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 107.5W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 107.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 16:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3838 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627212-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:35:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA38736; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:34:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12860 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:34:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210734.CAA10729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:34:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8a0113a492780d29168dc7148e2ed12 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 998 AXPZ20 KNHC 210735 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 21 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 107.5W AT 21/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0700 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-9N93W-12N110W- 10N114W-8N124W-8N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 95W...AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS 8N135W-8N137W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 14:06:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627033-13750>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 12:20:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52808; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:11:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10339966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA53018 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:11:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210411.XAA08835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:11:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36917117c92d11c6fc7502bf6c4aed66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 863 ABPZ20 KNHC 210409 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 12:19:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626272-13755>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 10:27:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52734; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10338057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15852 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210224.VAA07667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25b5bede8a9832af66d7c21d5949496a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 920 WTPZ44 KNHC 210225 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY AND T-NUMBERS REMAIN AROUND 5.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE...SUPPORTING AN INITIAL WIND SPEED OF 90 KNOTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS INDICATED BY SHIFOR. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/10. MODELS CONTINUE TO BE DIVERGENT...WITH TRACKS TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND TO THE NORTH. AS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE FUTURE TRACK OF LESTER IS CONTROLLED INITIALLY...BY THE PROGRESS OF THE UPPER-LOW ALONG THE WEST COAST AND THEN BY A NARROW RIDGE WHICH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. LESTER COULD BE PICKED UP BY THE TROUGH AND MOVE MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AS SUGGESTED BY THE GFDL OR IT COULD TURN BACK TO THE WEST WHEN THE TROUGH MOVES OUT...AS INDICATED BY NOGAPS. WE ARE NOT MAKING ANY CHANGES AT THIS TIME AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 16.0N 107.4W 90 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 16.5N 109.0W 90 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 17.5N 110.0W 90 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 18.5N 111.0W 90 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 19.5N 112.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 24/0000Z 21.5N 113.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 12:19:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3373 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626276-13755>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 10:29:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24760; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:23:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10338053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:23:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15778 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:23:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:23:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210223.VAA07663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:23:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c65eb73364ca3fd9f6c1cb465ba3da88 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 919 WTPZ24 KNHC 210224 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z WED OCT 21 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 107.4W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 107.4W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 107.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 12:19:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625968-13750>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:38:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22150; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:30:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10337191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA59680 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210129.UAA06649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:29:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d7259a8c47e2b27b72dbd4783ee55db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 AXPZ20 KNHC 210129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 21 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 15.9N 107.0W AT 21/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 70 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. HIGH LEVEL OVERCAST CLOUDS...UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW...ARE FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 102W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 11N100W 12N106W 13N110W 9N120W 7N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N98W TO 14N99W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 102W-108W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-116W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N84W TO 13N87W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1670 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629031-2048>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 06:19:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52778; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 17:17:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10334193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 17:17:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA24080 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 17:17:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 17:17:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810202217.RAA03528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 17:17:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5f6c6f562ed1e98834284376b09a0d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 485 ABPZ20 KNHC 202215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629022-2048>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 04:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44090; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:26:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10332863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29190 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:26:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:26:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810202026.PAA00714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:26:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26802e49a309ef049967d7c9e0f52e70 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 498 WTPZ44 KNHC 202023 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 LESTER CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD 285/10 KT. THE FUTURE TRACK WILL APPARENTLY BE CONTROLLED BY THE PROGRESS OF THE UPPER-LOW ALONG THE WEST COAST AND A NARROW RIDGE FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WHEN THE LOW WEAKENS AND LIFTS OUT TO THE NE. IF LESTER PASSES 20N BY 48 HOURS...THEN RECURVATURE WOULD BE POSSIBLE. IF NOT...THEN THE DEVELOPING RIDGE COULD TURN LESTER AWAY FROM LAND ONCE AGAIN. THE GFDL AND SEVERAL OTHER MODELS SEEM TO SHOW THIS SCENARIO WITH THEIR TRACKS BECOMING NW OR NNW AND THEN TURNING BACK MORE TOWARD THE WEST AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. AS OF NOW...NONE OF THE TRACK MODELS SHOW LESTER REACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA OR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE NHC FORECAST IS NEARLY IDENTICAL TO OUR TRACK OF 6 HOURS AGO. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRUCTURE HAS OCCURRED TODAY WITH A PARTIALLY FILLED EYE NOTED ON SATELLITE PICTURES. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES STILL SUPPORT A 90 KT INITIAL WIND SPEED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 15.8N 106.6W 90 KTS 12HR VT 21/0600Z 16.3N 108.1W 90 KTS 24HR VT 21/1800Z 17.2N 109.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 22/0600Z 18.2N 110.7W 90 KTS 48HR VT 22/1800Z 19.2N 111.6W 85 KTS 72HR VT 23/1800Z 21.0N 113.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629007-2049>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 04:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52386; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:27:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10332888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA09856 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:25:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:25:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810202025.PAA00686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:25:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82b9d248493ec76e4664be9e0b58e627 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 477 WTPZ24 KNHC 202021 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z TUE OCT 20 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.6W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.6W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.3N 108.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.2N 109.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.2N 110.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 106.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.2N 111.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629002-2049>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:38:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33852; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:36:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10331954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:35:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA35238 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:32:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:32:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201932.OAA28961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:32:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4818268523ee06273f1ceac3e32fff2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 AXPZ20 KNHC 201921 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 20 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 106.1W AT 20/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1815 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... THIS CONTINUES TO BE AN ORGANIZED STORM. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 10N99W 12N112W 8N122W 8N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 118W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N100W 12N97W TO 13N94W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627485-4439>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:23:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA54594; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:16:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10330437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:16:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA48670 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:16:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:16:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201716.MAA24351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:16:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de12891ac48d346c8ec072364471bd39 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 ABPZ20 KNHC 201711 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 23:06:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628985-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 22:53:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA38826; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:50:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10328850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:49:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52504 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201446.JAA19959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bcf8958b76e9f4c561553ea601c0689 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 809 WTPZ24 KNHC 201447 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z TUE OCT 20 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.6W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.6W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.7N 108.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.7N 110.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 105.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.7N 111.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 21.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 23:06:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2210 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628274-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 22:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA57592; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10328825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39382 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201446.JAA19922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7c8174b043dd6bf30e112f3e637784e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTPZ44 KNHC 201446 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 AN EYE HAS BEEN SEEN INTERMITTENTLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS TOWARD THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF A NEARLY CIRCULAR AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION. DVORAK T-NUMBERS REMAIN AT 5.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND THE ESTIMATE OF WIND SPEED IS AGAIN 90 KT. LESTER IS STILL MOVING TOWARD THE WNW BUT HAS ACCELERATED TO ABOUT 10 KT. THE 00Z AVN SHOWED THE CUTOFF LOW OVER THE U.S. SOUTHWEST DEVELOPING SOUTHWARD A LITTLE MORE BEFORE LIFTING OUT...AND SO DOES THE 06Z RUN. IN ITS WAKE...A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY CURRENT REMAINS AT 500 MB AND THIS SHOULD HELP INDUCE A GREATER NORTHWARD COMPONENT WITH TIME. THE TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS REASONING AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS SEVERAL PREDICTIONS. IT REMAINS BETWEEN THE TWO FORECAST TRACK SCENARIOS DESCRIBED 6 HOURS AGO. NO CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 15.4N 105.6W 90 KTS 12HR VT 21/0000Z 15.9N 107.1W 90 KTS 24HR VT 21/1200Z 16.7N 108.9W 90 KTS 36HR VT 22/0000Z 17.7N 110.1W 90 KTS 48HR VT 22/1200Z 18.7N 111.1W 90 KTS 72HR VT 23/1200Z 21.0N 112.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 22:05:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628960-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:36:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA54714; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:28:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10327789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16680 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:26:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:26:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201326.IAA17778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:26:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf32d10a13043c2bab612bcb8c70ae21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 185 AXPZ20 KNHC 201326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 20 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 105.1W AT 20/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1300 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 102.5W-106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 10N108W 12N112W 9N124W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE GULF OF PANAMA AND INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N78W-8N79W-11N82W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 93W-99W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-116W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 81W-93W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N104W-24N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 18:51:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629009-4449>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 18:30:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA43602; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:30:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10325599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:30:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59712 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:30:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201030.FAA15881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:30:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b9ea96ed4214ea5d2e031ac780e0bdb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 258 ABPZ20 KNHC 201029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 16:49:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627522-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 16:42:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30866; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10325242 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30828 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200832.DAA14898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b20b44dc2c42d20142a0eec97d42dad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTPZ44 KNHC 200833 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 20 1998 THE HURRICANE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH THE CENTER APPARENTLY EMBEDDED WELL WITHIN AN AREA OF QUITE COLD CLOUD TOPS. DVORAK ANALYSES FROM TAFB AND SAB GIVE A CONSENSUS T5.0 WHICH IS EQUIVALENT TO A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS NOTED EARLIER...THERE ARE 2 GENERAL TRACK FORECAST SCENARIOS. ONE IS A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN 2-3 DAYS AS SHOWN BY THE DEEP- LAYER BAM...LBAR AND THE GFDL MODEL. THE OTHER IS A CONTINUED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AS SHOWN BY THE SHALLOW- TO MEDIUM-LAYER BAM AND THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODEL. THE LATTER SCENARIO ASSUMES THAT THE HURRICANE WILL BE ESSENTIALLY UNAFFECTED BY A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY ALONG 115W-120W NORTH OF 20N. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS THIS TROUGH GRADUALLY LIFTING OUT IN 48 TO 72 HOURS...WHICH WOULD ARGUE AGAINST A NORTHWARD TURN. HOWEVER THE NOGAPS MODEL DOES NOT LIFT THE TROUGH OUT QUITE AS MUCH. REGARDLESS...THERE WILL PROBABLY BE ENOUGH OF A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE NEAR 110W-115W SO THAT LESTER SHOULD TURN AT LEAST NORTHWESTWARD IN THAT VICINITY. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOR THIS PACKAGE IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IS ESSENTIALLY BETWEEN THE 2 AFOREMENTIONED SCENARIOS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 15.2N 104.3W 90 KTS 12HR VT 20/1800Z 15.7N 105.5W 90 KTS 24HR VT 21/0600Z 16.2N 107.0W 90 KTS 36HR VT 21/1800Z 17.0N 108.5W 90 KTS 48HR VT 22/0600Z 18.0N 109.5W 90 KTS 72HR VT 23/0600Z 20.0N 111.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 16:49:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 16:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30846; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10325238 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30818 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200832.DAA14894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:32:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b249144c5d5ad7991c3c6f01a8cd19a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 WTPZ24 KNHC 200832 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z TUE OCT 20 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.3W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.3W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.7N 105.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.2N 107.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 104.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 18.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 16:07:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627462-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:47:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24576; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:36:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10325037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA56800 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:36:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200736.CAA14371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:36:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b03decc33d126cad1aedaa1047d1fef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 AXPZ20 KNHC 200736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 20 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTER NEAR 15.1N 103.9W AT 20/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH T.D. MADELINE HAS DISSIPATED. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0700 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 102.5W AND 105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-9N98W-12N112W- 9N131W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 97W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N105W... 9N107W...AND FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 111.5W AND 114W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 13:11:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627131-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33848; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:54:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10323334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:54:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA30754 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:54:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:54:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200454.XAA12766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:54:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b694044ffd45913caa8554b9e14a38a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 ABPZ20 KNHC 200455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:56:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627527-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:45:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16888; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10322328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52696 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200239.VAA11379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ef6febceee769b56e4d2101784600ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 WTPZ25 KNHC 200239 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0300Z TUE OCT 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE HAS DISSIPATED. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. LOW LEVEL CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 109.0W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 109.0W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 108.5W THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:56:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627260-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:44:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16650; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10322332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17116 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200239.VAA11383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:39:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Madeline Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aecdf6e28fec6ef63e86ee70ab496c81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 335 WTPZ35 KNHC 200240 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE HAS DISSIPATED. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OF THE DISSIPATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH... 35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:56:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:45:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16720; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:38:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10322313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12066 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200237.VAA11369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Madeline Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7c91968a442d304bc678773d3821350 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 WTPZ45 KNHC 200239 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR CONTINUES TO DISRUPT MADELINES CIRCULATION AND THWART ANY CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT. FORECAST CALLS FOR MORE OF THE SAME SO MADELINE IS DECLARED DISSIPATED AND HAS BECOME A LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL IN THE SEA OF CORTEZ. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 24.0N 109.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:56:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12280; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10322294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA54186 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200237.VAA11357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4abe17e6c704d5a6dcb8f64bc8cb96a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 274 WTPZ24 KNHC 200237 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z TUE OCT 20 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 103.4W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 103.4W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 103.0W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.2N 104.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.7N 106.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.4N 108.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 103.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.3N 109.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.6N 111.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:56:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-4449>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:38:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA48844; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10322290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA48802 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200237.VAA11352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:37:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa07137eb51dddc7a1ec0128f4d8e5fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 273 WTPZ44 KNHC 200236 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 LESTER CONTINUES TO UNDERGO EAST/NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ...ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA....WHICH IS INHIBITING THE OUTFLOW NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...AS THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL INDICATED SOME STRENGTHENING WAS LIKELY AND...LOW AND BEHOLD... DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE BACK UP. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 85 KTS AND INCREASED TO 90 KTS THROUGH REMAINDER OF FORECAST PERIOD PER SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 285/08 KNOTS. MODEL GUIDANCE FALLS INTO TWO SCENARIOS. BAMD...LBAR...UKMET AND GFDL BEGIN RECURVATURE AROUND 110 W UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. REMAINING MODELS MOVE THE SYSTEM WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS UNDER INFLUENCE OF MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT IS NOT MODIFIED BY MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. FORECAST CALLS FOR GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 14.9N 103.4W 85 KTS 12HR VT 20/1200Z 15.2N 104.6W 90 KTS 24HR VT 21/0000Z 15.7N 106.4W 90 KTS 36HR VT 21/1200Z 16.4N 108.1W 90 KTS 48HR VT 22/0000Z 17.3N 109.8W 90 KTS 72HR VT 23/0000Z 18.6N 111.7W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 09:56:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:46:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43712; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:36:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10321298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15774 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:36:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:36:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200136.UAA10583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:36:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32508e5e2dac9ffcdc5d225d5e580d15 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 AXPZ20 KNHC 200135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 20 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 103.0W AT 20/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTERED NEAR 23.7N 108.5W AT 20/0000 UTC MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED STRONG TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE EAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED STRONG TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-50 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE WEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS BEYOND 50 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE WEST SEMICIRCLE EXTENDING OUT TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTER. HIGH CLOUDS...UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM THE HURRICANES CONVECTION...ARE FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 100W-111W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE... SYSTEM ILL-DEFINED WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION EVIDENT NEAR CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 22N106W TO 25N106W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 20N-27N BETWEEN 102W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N84W 7N90W 10N100W 11N103W 10N109W 13N115W 9N120W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 76W-79W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-94W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-108W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...GUATEMALA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO ALONG AND 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N84W TO 15N90W 17N98W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626542-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA52302; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:18:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10319872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:17:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA22322 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:17:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200017.TAA09682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:17:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Madeline Special Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2aeb1162dcad6832c5b2db2db79368d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 652 WTPZ45 KNHC 200018 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO DOWNGRADE MADELINE FROM A TROPICAL STORM TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE TRACK REMAINS UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0000Z 23.7N 108.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 25.2N 109.7W 25 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 27.1N 110.2W 20 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 29.0N 110.3W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA09902; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:17:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10319849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:15:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA52260 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:15:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:15:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200015.TAA09659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:15:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Madeline Special Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 890a285dbfb522f1770ae4e642b99c4e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 630 WTPZ25 KNHC 200015 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0000Z TUE OCT 20 1998 AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 108.5W AT 20/0000Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 108.5W AT 20/0000Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 108.4W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.2N 109.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.1N 110.2W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.0N 110.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:21:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA35130; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:15:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10319842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA29354 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:14:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:14:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200014.TAA09644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:14:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Madeline Special Advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76eaf6ed450e9f15d0f670a06c073595 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 600 WTPZ35 KNHC 200015 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...MADELINE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...260 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LAS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...23.7 N...108.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626542-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 07:48:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA37672; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 18:48:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10319512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 18:48:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA53184 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 18:47:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA09269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 18:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192347.SAA09269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 18:47:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4176eaef8dcb6148e4a0e5fd781d382 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 897 WTPZ25 KNHC 192349 COR TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 2100Z MON OCT 19 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR 19/1800Z POSITION... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. THESE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKLEY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.7N 108.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.9N 109.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N 110.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 108.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4013 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-4449>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 06:55:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA56928; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 17:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10318591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 17:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA54196 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 17:29:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA08140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 17:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192229.RAA08140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 17:29:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4961b456f40bdfd9dc01c10b2f8b72fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 544 ABPZ20 KNHC 192228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER...LOCATED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL STORM MADELINE...LOCATED ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628890-27949>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:56:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA30628; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:54:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA22408 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192134.QAA07019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85e229e3c3c076834acdacfb5e979cca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 WTPZ24 KNHC 192058 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.9W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 125SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.9W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 102.4W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.9N 104.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.4N 106.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 102.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2015 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628895-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA62960; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:50:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA29308 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192134.QAA07015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85cae9841852a1fb53e23845d6a1e501 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 702 WTPZ34 KNHC 192057 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER NO LONGER A THREAT TO SOUTHERN MEXICO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.9 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES ...355 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.7 N...102.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. THIS WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON LEST UNLESS IT THREATENS LAND AGAIN. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628890-27943>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA56798; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:38:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:36:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA24112 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192133.QAA07005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0063e1e34bb46e46843264d62e881418 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 698 WTPZ44 KNHC 192056 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 LESTER CONTINUES TO UNDERGO EAST/NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ...ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA....WHICH IS INHIBITING THE OUTFLOW NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. INDEED...PART OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CYCLONE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 80 KNOTS...IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK ESTIMATES. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE FORECASTING THE MID-TO UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE WESTWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MEXICO AND WEAKEN BY 48 HOURS. THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME...SHIPS...ACTUALLY STRENGTHENS LESTER SLIGHTLY...TO 90 KNOTS BY 24 HOURS. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THE FUTURE UPPER ENVIRONMENT...THE INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 80 KNOTS UNTIL A SOLID TREND...UP OR DOWN...IS IDENTIFIED. AS SUSPECTED EARLIER...AND CONFIRMED BY SATELLITE FIXES THROUGH THE DAY...THE CENTER OF LESTER IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 280/10 KNOTS. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING BEHIND THE FORECAST TRACK REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AS THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD KEEP IT ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING THEREAFTER AS LESTER NEARS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE MOSTLY DUE TO THE POSITION ADJUSTMENT. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THUS...THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITH THIS PACKAGE UNLESS LESTER THREATENS LAND AGAIN. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 14.7N 102.9W 80 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 14.9N 104.5W 80 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 15.4N 106.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 16.0N 108.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 16.5N 110.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 22/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4920 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628947-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:43:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA63990; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:41:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA24078 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192133.QAA06980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a2ad1db23c0dbf229da3b4affb1806f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 697 WTPZ35 KNHC 192055 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. THESE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKLEY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES...300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LAS MOCHIS MEXICO. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SLIGTHLY ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...23.2 N...108.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:47:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-27943>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:37:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA56830; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:35:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA56890 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192130.QAA06928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecdf447d1c984f018ebedff9930b1a35 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 WTPZ25 KNHC 192052 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 2100Z MON OCT 19 1998 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. THESE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKLEY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 107.8W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.7N 108.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.9N 109.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N 110.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 108.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4399 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628943-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 05:34:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA56792; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:32:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA29240 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192130.QAA06924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:30:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 840076cf85f0224d3d37233e93817f0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 648 WTPZ45 KNHC 192051 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 MADELINE HAS COLLAPSED...NOW DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND HENCE UNCLASSIFIABLE VIA THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. THE WEAKENING IS DUE IN LARGE PART TO SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW COMPLETELY EXPOSED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 35 KNOTS...A MINIMUM TROPICAL STORM. THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION ON THE NEXT ADVISORY UNLESS THERE IS A STRONG RESURGENCE OF CONVECTION. THIS TIME YESTERDAY WE HAD A 980 MB HURRICANE WITH 73 KT SURFACE WINDS. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS ONCE AGAIN THE DIFFICULTY IN INTENSITY FORECASTING...IN THIS CASE RAPID WEAKENING. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/8 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST BRINGS THE SYSTEM ON A NORTHWEST THEN NORTH HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS...IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHALLOW BAMD. THIS TRACK BRINGS WHAT/S LEFT OF MADELINE INLAND BY 48 HOURS...IF IT SURVIVES THAT LONG. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY DISCONTINUE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS LATER TODAY. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 23.2N 108.3W 35 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 23.7N 108.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 24.9N 109.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 26.5N 110.2W 25 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 28.0N 110.5W 25 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 22/1800Z 31.0N 110.5W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628958-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 04:36:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44502; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:34:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10316907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44454 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:33:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192033.PAA05286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:33:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e166d7bfbe0430bb454e73bc9e7f69d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 652 AXPZ20 KNHC 191941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 19 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 14.6N 102.4W AT 19/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS AT 19/1800...AND WAS CENTERED NEAR 22.5N 107.7W AT 19/1800 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1915 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED STRONG TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION IN A RATHER LARGE CLUSTER EVIDENT FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 100W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 103W-105W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 18N104W. TROPICAL STORM MADELINE... SYSTEM ILL-DEFINED WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION EVIDENT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 23N107W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 20N-21N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N83W 7N90W 9N100W 10N115W 8N125W 9N13W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-89W...AND 118W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-108W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-99W AND 137W-138W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS CHARACTERIZE REMAINDER OF ITCZ FROM 120W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFFSHORE CENTRAL COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 9N84W...AND NORTHERN COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 8N83W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER GULF OF PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628936-27943>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:25:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA40478; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:22:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:22:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA25052 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:22:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191822.NAA01491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:22:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Special Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f322e0078b135e2bda56f9df14dc3a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 966 WTPZ35 KNHC 191801 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...MADELINE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING/WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING/WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...22.5 N...107.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628952-27949>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:19:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA17904; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:19:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12208 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191818.NAA01368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Special Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 109f81a67ef17acdb9ca60454c02260d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 WTPZ25 KNHC 191756 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1800Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING/WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING/WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 107.0W AT 19/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 107.0W AT 19/1800Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 107.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628899-27943>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:19:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09878; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA60032 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191818.NAA01352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:18:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Special Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fff44b8c56f141f5f4d2cb60bc8bb69b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 888 WTPZ45 KNHC 191756 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUE TO DOWNGRADE MADELINE FROM A HURRICANE TO A TROPICAL STORM. THE TRACK REMAINS UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME. THE HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1800Z 22.5N 107.0W 60 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W 55 KTS 24HR VT 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W 45 KTS 36HR VT 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W 40 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628955-27949>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:18:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA56304; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:14:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:14:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA14554 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:14:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:14:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191814.NAA01247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:14:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 19a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8691366eb37a1b1bd4552d21186ab9fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 WTPZ34 KNHC 191747 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WEST... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN EFFECT WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES ...345 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...14.6 N...102.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627872-27943>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:20:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24890; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10314002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:17:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12252 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:15:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191715.MAA29435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:15:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec531bb3939b74e1079697e44d09e7c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 ABPZ20 KNHC 191653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO...AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE...LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4551 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629052-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:55:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA15788; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:48:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10312698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA24202 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:46:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191546.KAA26969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:46:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eda4f34492fa10620cb994d7911bbc60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 500 WTPZ25 KNHC 191509 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z MON OCT 19 1998 ...CORRECTION TO MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 106.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629079-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:50:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA39562; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:44:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10312651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA12132 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:44:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:44:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191544.KAA26909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:44:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 840342b55371c210ab9b73e1c077182f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 475 WTPZ25 KNHC 191502 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 106.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628794-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:21:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA28284; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:20:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10312170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:20:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA49936 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:19:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:19:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191519.KAA26055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:19:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b92c39e47575023db7067cbe274939d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 056 WTPZ45 KNHC 191513 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 LOCATING THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF MADELINE IS A DIFFICULT TASK WITH INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE HAS DIMINISHED AND INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AS A RESULT OF SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...PER IMAGERY AND CIMSS ANALYSES. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 4.0 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB... AND ARE THE BASIS FOR REDUCING THE WINDS TO 65 KNOTS. THIS INTENSITY WILL BE HELD UNTIL LANDFALL FOR NOW...FORECAST IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...UNTIL A DEFINITIVE TREND CAN BE ESTABLISHED THROUGH VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 360/04 KNOTS. THE SATELLITE FIXES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER MAY BE SLIGHTLY WEST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. THUS...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED A BIT TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WHILE MAINTAINING THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION AND SPEED OF MOTION. THERE STILL IS UNCERTAINLY SURROUNDING WHICH FEATURE WILL DOMINATE THE STEERING OF MADELINE... I.E. THE MID- TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE BAJA PENINSULA OR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD TO THE VICINITY OF THE HURRICANE. THE WESTWARD POSITION ADJUSTMENT SEEMS TO SUPPORT THE LATTER FEATURE AS THE MORE INFLUENTIAL...WITH A SLOWER NORTH TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 22.3N 106.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W 65 KTS 24HR VT 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W 65 KTS 36HR VT 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W 40 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4402 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628937-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:17:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14444; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:08:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA30224 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:08:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:08:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191508.KAA25822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:08:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b472c57060ed46fa48215224687f7d78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 859 WTPZ25 KNHC 191509 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z MON OCT 19 1998 ...CORRECTION TO MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 106.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3729 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628888-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA17828; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:07:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:07:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA48010 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:07:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:07:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191507.KAA25804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:07:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0eabde6967afb846b1819a7bf17ec124 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 857 WTPZ35 KNHC 191508 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING NORTH OF ISLAS MARIAS... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES ...110 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...22.3 N...106.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628750-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 23:12:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA50106; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:03:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:02:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA44086 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:02:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191502.KAA25707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:02:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb731f8fbea0c8b755ef851093d402a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 722 WTPZ25 KNHC 191502 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 106.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628905-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 22:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24908; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:36:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA67638 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:36:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191436.JAA24899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f924b2d0712199f2c11b68783737983 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 377 WTPZ34 KNHC 191437 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WEST... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN EFFECT WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES ...355 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.4 N...101.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627351-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 22:34:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28244; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:31:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:31:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24620 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:31:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191431.JAA24782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:31:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ba70ce8a54565eac4305336f8539d9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 255 WTPZ24 KNHC 191432 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.7W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.7W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 101.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.5N 103.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.7N 105.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.0N 106.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 101.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 15.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 16.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 22:32:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41028; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22300 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191430.JAA24756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95fcab62219428418bbde40468735a3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 254 WTPZ44 KNHC 191431 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LESTER HAS MADE A COMEBACK THIS MORNING WITH -80 DEG C TOPS NEAR/OVER THE CENTER. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB IS 90 KNOTS WHILE SAB AND AFGW ARE 77 KNOTS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 85 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE IS STILL EXPERIENCING EAST/NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR WHICH IS INHIBITING THE OUTFLOW NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. AS MENTIONED EARLIER THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW MAY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR STRENGTHENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD...BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST... CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. LESTER HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/9 KNOTS. THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THE CENTER MAY BE SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE 12Z FIXES HOWEVER...WE WILL WAIT FOR A FEW MORE PICTURES BEFORE MAKING ANY ADJUSTMENT. THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD KEEP IT ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING THEREAFTER AS LESTER APPROACHES A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. MOST OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE REFLECTS THIS AND IS MORE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THAN 6 HOURS AGO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH NOGAPS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY AS THE HURRICANE SHOULD REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO COULD EXPERIENCE SOME FRINGE EFFECTS OF LESTER...NAMELY LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TIDES. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 14.4N 101.7W 85 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 14.5N 103.0W 85 KTS 24HR VT 20/1200Z 14.7N 105.0W 85 KTS 36HR VT 21/0000Z 15.0N 106.7W 85 KTS 48HR VT 21/1200Z 15.5N 108.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 22/1200Z 16.5N 111.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628245-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:50:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15654; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:49:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10310311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24592 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:49:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:49:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191349.IAA23590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:49:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d902497557bf99393afd5163f4015cd5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 357 AXPZ20 KNHC 191348 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 19 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 101.3W AT 19/1200 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE CENTERED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W AT 19/1200 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1315 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... ORGANIZATION NOT THAT WELL EXHIBITED. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 14N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 17N104W. SIMILAR CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 102W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 18N108W 19N107W. HURRICANE MADELINE... SYSTEM BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED WITH TIME WITH ONLY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 22N107W 23N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 106W- 107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N83W 8N90W 9N110W 13N116W 9N125W 9N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-118W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W ...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 134W-136W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W-127W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W-97W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W- 108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE CENTRAL COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 7N79W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N83W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 21:30:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627360-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:59:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA48786; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:54:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10309180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:54:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA56658 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:54:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA21911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:53:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191153.GAA21911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:53:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 18a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3e62545ff8bf1c256d633f43a7e8353 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 025 WTPZ34 KNHC 191154 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES TOWARD THE WEST... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES ...365 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...145 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...101.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 21:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628245-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 19:52:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA09852; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:51:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10309152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA09782 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:50:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA21896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191150.GAA21896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:50:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 13a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15b2a85323dcfb7af773ac5250e8a497 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 966 WTPZ35 KNHC 191150 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING NORTH OF ISLAS MARIAS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 10 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH... 120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...22.3 N...106.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 18:45:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 18:37:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA40622; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:37:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10308483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:37:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44156 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:37:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA21441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191037.FAA21441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:37:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 262ebb3b14a96be62332cb831a6e672b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 796 ABPZ20 KNHC 191036 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3500 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627978-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:38:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12148; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA40526 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190834.DAA20559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15f0e2b725e84f9a3a6bf0f4c293d3ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 814 WTPZ45 KNHC 190835 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE SO NO LARGE CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE MOTION ESTIMATE...SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THE STEERING OF MADELINE DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE ROLES OF A MID- TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE BAJA PENINSULA AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH EXTENDS WESTWARD TO THE VICINITY OF THE HURRICANE. IF THE FORMER FEATURE DOMINATES...THEN MADELINE WOULD ACCELERATED NORTH TO NORTHEASTWARD. IF THE LATTER IS MORE INFLUENTIAL...THEN A SLOWER NORTH TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION COULD DEVELOP. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN A NORTH TO NORTHEASTWARD OPTION AS SHOWN BY SOME OF THE MODELS SUCH AS THE MEDIUM BAM AND THE BAROTROPIC..AND A NORTH TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS SHOWN BY NOGAPS AND THE GFDL MODEL. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT LOOK VERY IMPRESSIVE AT THE MOMENT WITH ONLY A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION AND EVIDENCE OF SOUTHERLY SHEARING. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS KEPT AT 75 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES LATER TODAY SHOULD PROVIDE A BETTER INTENSITY ESTIMATE. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE LANDFALL. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 21.9N 106.5W 75 KTS 12HR VT 19/1800Z 22.5N 106.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 20/0600Z 23.5N 106.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 20/1800Z 24.5N 106.5W 45 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 21/0600Z 25.5N 106.5W 35 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 22/0600Z 27.5N 106.5W 25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:35:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12128; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12102 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190834.DAA20555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:34:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45416d228cecec47927f575914164b4f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 813 WTPZ35 KNHC 190834 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING NORTH OF ISLAS MARIAS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627710-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:34:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA43770; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:33:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA17892 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:33:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190833.DAA20543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c25bdd54defcb5751446d4423eada809 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 812 WTPZ25 KNHC 190833 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0900Z MON OCT 19 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 106.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 106.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 25.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA67606; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:31:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52984 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:31:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190831.DAA20538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:31:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e135bb548d0dc7feb54f05d4f173fb24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 WTPZ44 KNHC 190832 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 THE INTENSITY...COVERAGE...AND ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 85 KNOTS ON THIS ADVISORY. UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC OUTFLOW IS BEING IMPEDED TO THE NORTHEAST AT THIS TIME. AS LESTER CONTINUES FARTHER TO THE WEST...THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW MAY AGAIN BECOME MORE FAVORABLE...BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST. MOTION IS SLIGHTLY FASTER TOWARD THE WEST...AROUND 8 OR 9 KNOTS. OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTION GUIDANCE AND THE 500 FLOW FORECAST FROM THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SUPPORT A CONTINUED GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD...A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY AS LESTER NEARS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS REASONABLY CLOSE TO THE NOGAPS AND BAROTROPIC MODEL GUIDANCE. AS A PRECAUTION...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 14.2N 100.8W 85 KTS 12HR VT 19/1800Z 14.3N 102.0W 85 KTS 24HR VT 20/0600Z 14.5N 103.5W 85 KTS 36HR VT 20/1800Z 14.7N 105.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 21/0600Z 15.0N 107.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 22/0600Z 16.0N 110.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627872-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:33:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14550; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA17854 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190830.DAA20525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:30:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c5d6f1417038ef74501bbe1b4491653 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 767 WTPZ24 KNHC 190831 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.8W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.8W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.4W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.3N 102.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.5N 103.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.7N 105.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 100.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 15.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:31:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35154; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:29:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA35130 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:29:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190829.DAA20509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:29:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14b5fc50c5a6bdcc7b5facf101dd43b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 755 WTPZ34 KNHC 190830 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 19 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES TOWARD THE WEST... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...100.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627291-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:34:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53194; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:28:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30898 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:27:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190727.CAA20028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:27:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc78bd0f3c12174f54a1b6d44f1eb326 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 967 AXPZ20 KNHC 190726 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 19 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 100.2W AT 19/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 21.5N 106.6W AT 19/0600 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0630 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED MODERATE STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N104W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 18N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N99W TO 15N103W. HURRICANE MADELINE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 21N107W TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO NEAR 23N106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N85W 7N95W 8N110W 13N116W 9N124W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 97W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N FROM 90W TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND THE GULF OF FONSECA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 13:47:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4498 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627019-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:38:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56634; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10306691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA50114 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:31:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190531.AAA19105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:31:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 12a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3d2db763ce17cf7bd5e5d7439fcd21a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 148 WTPZ35 KNHC 190532 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE BATTERING ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST OR NEAR ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES ...190 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF MADELINE WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...21.5 N...106.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 13:33:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627149-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:30:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA49946; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:29:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10306669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA56584 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:29:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:29:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190529.AAA19077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:29:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 17a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5827540c206ebed78265cc47def63d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 120 WTPZ34 KNHC 190530 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER STILL MOVING MOVING WESTWARD... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N... 100.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 12:17:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626812-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 12:00:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA64644; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:58:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10305195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:58:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA41072 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:58:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190358.WAA18040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:58:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 393cc5f43403ee2ab9b6121022d1cf9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 ABPZ20 KNHC 190358 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE LOCATED NEAR ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:46:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626957-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:43:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25002; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:42:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56212 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:42:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:42:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190242.VAA17339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:42:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 841e8954082caecac17219c7524348a8 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 WTPZ35 KNHC 190242 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE BATTERING ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM MELAQUE TO JUST SOUTHEAST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWESTWARD FROM MAZATLAN TO EL DORADO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WARNING NOW EXTENDS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR JUST SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO OR ABOUT 135 MILES ...220 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER MADELINE WILL MOVE OVER ISLAS MARIAS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.3 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:53:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626285-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24954; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41028 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190241.VAA17322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4956ecc3c89e3c32ff959771aa8705d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 719 WTPZ25 KNHC 190241 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0300Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM MELAQUE TO JUST SOUTHEAST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO. HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWESTWARD FROM MAZATLAN TO EL DORADO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WARNING NOW EXTENDS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 106.5W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 106.5W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.9N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.6N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.4N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.4N 106.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 26.9N 105.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:46:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:42:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA57442; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57404 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190241.VAA17317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:41:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f00ebee7ce10b9d5e584aab0af16cce X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 718 WTPZ45 KNHC 190241 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 AS THE U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT MADE ITS LAST PASS THROUGH THE CENTER OF MADELINE IT REPORTED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 980 MB. DOWN 2 MB FROM THE PREVIOUS PASS. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE 979 MB REPORTED BY SATELLITE ESTIMATES SEVERAL HOURS LATER. SO THE PRESSURE IS SET AT 979 MB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 75 KNOTS. NO STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/03 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST MOVES MADELINE ON A SLOW NORTHWARD COURSE THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH A BEND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. THIS SEEMS LIKE THE MOST PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER AND LBAR...ALTHOUGH NOT AS FAST . JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 21.3N 106.5W 75 KTS 12HR VT 19/1200Z 21.9N 106.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 20/0000Z 22.6N 106.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 20/1200Z 23.4N 106.5W 65 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 21/0000Z 24.4N 106.4W 35 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 22/0000Z 26.9N 105.9W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:46:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626751-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:40:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA66168; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64578 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190239.VAA17293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6cc87e3ca5cd9430df37febc22c3b04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 WTPZ24 KNHC 190240 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z MON OCT 19 1998 HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 99.7W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 12 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 99.7W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 99.3W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.3N 100.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.5N 102.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.7N 103.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 99.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 15.0N 105.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 109.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:46:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:41:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45662; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45628 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190239.VAA17289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:39:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a537ee2767ee6212b7dc079d478d2df0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 656 WTPZ44 KNHC 190239 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN THE SAME AS PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND NO CHANGE IS MADE TO INTENSITY...90 KTS...973 MB. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL FORECAST...CONSISTENT WITH THE OUTPUT FROM SHIPS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 270/07 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THEREAFTER...A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM NEARS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND IS JUST SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. A THREAT TO SOUTHERN MEXICO STILL REMAINS AND THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DECIDED TO CONTINUE THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS UNTIL LESTERS THREAT DIMINISHES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 14.3N 99.7W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/1200Z 14.3N 100.7W 95 KTS 24HR VT 20/0000Z 14.5N 102.2W 95 KTS 36HR VT 20/1200Z 14.7N 103.7W 95 KTS 48HR VT 21/0000Z 15.0N 105.7W 95 KTS 72HR VT 22/0000Z 16.0N 109.6W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:46:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626778-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:39:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30340; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:38:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:38:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45674 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:38:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190238.VAA17277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:38:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f905b0bd217d1151ff6402cfe888d409 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 WTPZ34 KNHC 190238 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.7 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N... 99.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 09:52:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626708-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA50126; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:07:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10303040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:07:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24760 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:07:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190106.UAA16362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:06:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 192fadac1fe83d79d96ee4a9ccb515c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 681 AXPZ20 KNHC 190105 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 19 0CT 1998 ...COR FOR DATE/TIME GROUP IN THE HEADER... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTER NEAR 14.3N 99.3W AT 19/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE CENTER NEAR 21.2N 106.5W AT 19/0000 UTC MOVING NORTH 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W. HURRICANE MADELINE... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 101.5W AND 103.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N79W-8N95W-10N110W- 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 95W... AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 11N120W-10N123W-10N127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 10N110W- 11N113W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL POSSIBLE...WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 6N79W-8N84W-7N88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 09:52:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1751 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626603-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:03:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15152; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:02:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10303011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:02:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA48664 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:02:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:02:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190102.UAA16316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 20:02:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2758c852a47dbab8337e1931e8176ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 AXPZ20 KNHC 190101 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER CENTER NEAR 14.3N 99.3W AT 19/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE CENTER NEAR 21.2N 106.5W AT 19/0000 UTC MOVING NORTH 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W. HURRICANE MADELINE... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 101.5W AND 103.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N79W-8N95W-10N110W- 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 95W... AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 11N120W-10N123W-10N127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 10N110W- 11N113W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL POSSIBLE...WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 6N79W-8N84W-7N88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 07:51:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA54088; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:47:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10302439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA33832 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:47:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA15012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182347.SAA15012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:47:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 16a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 905fbd2d5576f0d99eb2c0708f065f63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 WTPZ34 KNHC 182348 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER MOVING WESTWARD...THREAT LESSENS FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY DISCONTINUE THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER SINCE COASTAL SECTIONS COULD STILL EXPERIENCE SOME EFFECTS OF THIS HURRICANE. SMALL CRAFT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES ...280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 99.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 07:35:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA64702; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:33:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10302361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA30890 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:33:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA14854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:33:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182333.SAA14854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:33:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 11a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae72aac690be8c0bfc22b6b5aa23f941 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 317 WTPZ35 KNHC 182334 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...THREATING COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR JUST SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO OR ABOUT 140 MILES ...225 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK MADELINE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.2 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626465-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 06:48:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA14554; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 17:44:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10301840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 17:44:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA64706 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 17:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA14111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 17:44:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182244.RAA14111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 17:44:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c15b9f0a77e95397893cdbfff6bca05 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 ABPZ20 KNHC 182244 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627849-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:17:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA43670; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:16:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:15:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA40498 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:15:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA12981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:15:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182115.QAA12981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:15:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 579f7e1c545ed5904ca5358e4fc67cb1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 835 WTPZ45 KNHC 182115 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 THE U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT JUST SENT A VORTEX MESSAGE BACK FROM ITS PENETRATION OF MADELINE. THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND WAS 76 KNOTS WITH A 73 KNOT SURFACE WIND AND A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 982 MB RECORDED BY A GPS DROPSONDE. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE-BASED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE INCREASED TO 75 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORTED A CLOSED 15 NMI EYE WHILE SATELLITE DATA IS NOT AS CONCLUSIVE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/04 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST MOVES MADELINE ON A SLOW NORTHWARD COURSE THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH A BEND TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. THIS SEEMS LIKE THE MOST PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER AND LBAR...ALTHOUGH NOT AS FAST . GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 21.1N 106.5W 75 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 21.8N 106.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 22.6N 106.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 23.4N 106.5W 65 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 20/1800Z 24.5N 106.5W 35 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 21/1800Z 27.0N 106.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627597-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 04:59:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAB67590; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:57:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15342 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:57:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:57:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182057.PAA12620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:57:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a3648f46e1fa413ace009d7e85c7116 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 412 WTPZ35 KNHC 182058 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...THREATING COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR JUST SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXIC OR ABOUT 145 MILES ...230 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK MADELINE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.1 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4101 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627630-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 04:55:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45706; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:54:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:53:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA56136 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:53:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:53:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182053.PAA12550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:53:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fdf5145fb73b35740955bb7a274693f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 378 WTPZ25 KNHC 182053 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 2100Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 106.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 106.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.8N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.6N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.4N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 27.0N 106.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627561-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 04:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67740; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:48:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:48:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63882 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:48:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:48:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182048.PAA12479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:48:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c74a564ee7dbaa05d1f18bbbc46fd79 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 329 WTPZ24 KNHC 182048 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z SUN OCT 18 1998 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO...AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. SMALL CRAFT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 99.0W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 12 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 99.0W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 98.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.3N 100.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.4N 101.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.6N 102.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 98.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-18315>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 04:51:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63816; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:46:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67630 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:46:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182046.PAA12462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:46:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5578c9ded63a59af6e93968ec77631cd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 WTPZ44 KNHC 182046 COR TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL POSITION... THE U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MADE ITS PASS THROUGH LESTER A FEW HOURS AGO AND REPORTED 85 KNOT SURFACE WINDS AND A 973 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A GPS DROPSONDE. ON ITS EXIT LEG THROUGH THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT IT FOUND A FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 98 KNOTS. BASED ON THIS DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES HAVE SHOWN A FAINT EYE-TYPE FEATURE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY WHILE INFRARED IMAGERY HAS BEEN LESS DEFINITIVE. THE RECON AIRCRAFT OBSERVED A CIRCULAR 15 NMI CLOSED EYE WHICH IS VERY CONSISTENT WITH ITS REPORTS YESTERDAY. THE OUTFLOW IS WELL-ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WHILE IMPROVING OVER THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL FORECAST... CONSISTENT WITH THE OUTPUT FROM SHIPS. THE RECON FIX ALONG WITH SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT LESTER HAS BEEN MOVING JUST SOUTH OF WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 265/07 KNOTS. THIS A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THEREAFTER...A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM NEARS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODEL NHC P91E. THE GFDL IS THE RIGHT-MOST OF THE TRACK PREDICTION GUIDANCE WHICH MOVES LESTER ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THEN BENDS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BEYOND 24 HOURS APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE LOWER U.S. WEST COAST. BESIDES BEING INCONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT MOTION HISTORICALLY THE GFDL HAS NOT BEEN A VERY GOOD PERFORMER WITH EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT FORECAST TRACK SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHES THE THREAT TO SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY DISCONTINUE THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER SINCE COASTAL SECTIONS COULD STILL EXPERIENCE SOME EFFECTS OF THIS HURRICANE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 14.3N 99.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 14.3N 100.0W 95 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 14.4N 101.5W 95 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 14.6N 102.9W 95 KTS 48HR VT 20/1800Z 15.0N 104.5W 95 KTS 72HR VT 21/1800Z 16.0N 108.5W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-18315>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 04:50:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29426; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:45:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67802 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:45:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182045.PAA12444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:45:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61f13db44b3b78a80f64645396fddf81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 WTPZ44 KNHC 182045 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 THE U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MADE ITS PASS THROUGH LESTER A FEW HOURS AGO AND REPORTED 85 KNOT SURFACE WINDS AND A 973 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A GPS DROPSONDE. ON ITS EXIT LEG THROUGH THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT IT FOUND A FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 98 KNOTS. BASED ON THIS DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES HAVE SHOWN A FAINT EYE-TYPE FEATURE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY WHILE INFRARED IMAGERY HAS BEEN LESS DEFINITIVE. THE RECON AIRCRAFT OBSERVED A CIRCULAR 15 NMI CLOSED EYE WHICH IS VERY CONSISTENT WITH ITS REPORTS YESTERDAY. THE OUTFLOW IS WELL-ESTABLISHED OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WHILE IMPROVING OVER THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL FORECAST... CONSISTENT WITH THE OUTPUT FROM SHIPS. THE RECON FIX ALONG WITH SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT LESTER HAS BEEN MOVING JUST SOUTH OF WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 265/07 KNOTS. THIS A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THEREAFTER...A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM NEARS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODEL NHC P91E. THE GFDL IS THE RIGHT-MOST OF THE TRACK PREDICTION GUIDANCE WHICH MOVES LESTER ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THEN BENDS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BEYOND 24 HOURS APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE LOWER U.S. WEST COAST. BESIDES BEING INCONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT MOTION HISTORICALLY THE GFDL HAS NOT BEEN A VERY GOOD PERFORMER WITH EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT FORECAST TRACK SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHES THE THREAT TO SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY DISCONTINUE THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER SINCE COASTAL SECTIONS COULD STILL EXPERIENCE SOME EFFECTS OF THIS HURRICANE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 14.3N 98.9W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 14.3N 100.0W 95 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 14.4N 101.5W 95 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 14.6N 102.9W 95 KTS 48HR VT 20/1800Z 15.0N 104.5W 95 KTS 72HR VT 21/1800Z 16.0N 108.5W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627555-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 04:47:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67682; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:44:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA35092 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:44:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182043.PAA12428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:43:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6510ec34ac9afae62c2f085659acb98 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 292 WTPZ34 KNHC 182044 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER MOVING WESTWARD...THREAT LESSENS FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO MEXICO. A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY DISCONTINUE THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER SINCE COASTAL SECTIONS COULD STILL EXPERIENCE SOME EFFECTS OF THIS HURRICANE. SMALL CRAFT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES ...290 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N... 99.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627604-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:19:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63752; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:17:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:17:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63974 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:17:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:17:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181917.OAA11331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:17:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e8df91805348ff159dfa9be09c7bfa7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 954 AXPZ20 KNHC 181917 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 98.5W AT 18/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 21.0N 106.6W AT 18/1800 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1900 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 97W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 94W-102W. HURRICANE MADELINE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 106W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 19N-24N BETWEEN 105W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 10N100W 11N110W 11N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 119W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 108W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627325-18315>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:15:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA50174; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:14:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:14:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA53226 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:14:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:14:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181814.NAA10657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:14:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e680ba0227c20cf7739f99e6ea3c929 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 WTPZ35 KNHC 181810 COR TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR ISSUANCE TIME... ...MADELINE CONTINUES DRIFTING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE AS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES ...70 KM...SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...106.7 W. MOVEMENT ...DRIFTING NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4166 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-18315>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:14:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA09890; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:13:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:13:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA41098 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:13:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181813.NAA10643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:13:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b6240ce151d862f1766fb7e63341379 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 966 WTPZ35 KNHC 181806 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE CONTINUES DRIFTING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE AS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES ...70 KM...SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...106.7 W. MOVEMENT ...DRIFTING NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 01:54:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA64682; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 12:51:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10298012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 12:51:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15256 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 12:51:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 12:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181751.MAA10348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 12:51:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 15a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46ac09881f29e48569aa26582e6a9e43 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 WTPZ34 KNHC 181751 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.6 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES ...290 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 98.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1723 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627392-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:29:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30390; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:29:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10296912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48034 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:29:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181629.LAA09682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:29:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09270737601f79de09f4781061d70748 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 527 ABPZ20 KNHC 181629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627272-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 23:16:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22312; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:12:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10296101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA14494 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:08:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA09122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181508.KAA09122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:08:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8f3c08c7cfbbd9629cd62204e90f6d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 WTPZ25 KNHC 181508 COR TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z SUN OCT 18 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR PRESENT MOVEMEMT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 106.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.3N 106.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.3N 106.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 106.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 105.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 23:09:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14408; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:06:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10296083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:06:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA45364 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:06:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA09118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:06:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181506.KAA09118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:06:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42a559bfe3c312007c6c0e854dd168f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 825 WTPZ35 KNHC 181507 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE CONTINUES DRIFTING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE AS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES ...65 KM...SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...20.6 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627318-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 23:04:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA48868; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:00:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:00:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA09914 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:00:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA09028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:00:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181500.KAA09028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:00:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e4e35d597652ab561e245efda51aa67 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 WTPZ25 KNHC 181500 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 106.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.3N 106.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.3N 106.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 106.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 105.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3435 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627376-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 23:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA41038; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:03:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10296012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:02:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA54188 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:59:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181459.JAA08838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:59:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77e710369b6e1364254314ae27bdecad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 676 WTPZ45 KNHC 181500 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 SATELLITE FIXES FROM TAFB...SAB AND AFGW SUGGEST THAT MADELINE HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW DRIFTING NORTHWARD. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 010/2 KNOTS. THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME SCATTER. THE LEFT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS THE AVIATION WHICH BRINGS MADELINE WEST THEN NORTHWEST TOWARDS BAJA WHILE THE GFDL AND CLIPER KEEP THE SYSTEM MOVING ON A SLOW GENERAL NORTHERLY HEADING. AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY THIS SEEM LIKE THE MOST PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK GOES ALONG WITH SLOW NORTH TRACK WITH A BEND BACK TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE EVENLY DISTRIBUTED AROUND MADELINE THE COLDEST TOPS...-80 DEG C...REMAIN PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE OUTFLOW IS WELL-ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE WHILE RESTRICTED OVER THE EAST. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE MADELINE REACHES THE COAST. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 20.6N 106.5W 70 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 21.5N 106.4W 75 KTS 24HR VT 19/1200Z 22.3N 106.4W 75 KTS 36HR VT 20/0000Z 23.3N 106.3W 60 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 20/1200Z 24.5N 106.0W 35 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 21/1200Z 27.0N 105.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 23:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2385 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627272-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:57:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54036; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA35072 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181454.JAA08810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d510d1fa82392e3911039ce156cf510 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 627 WTPZ44 KNHC 181455 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 THE EYE OF LESTER WHICH HAS BEEN A PROMINENT FEATURE FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS OR SO IS NO LONGER APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CENTER IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SYMMETRIC CDO OF -70 TO -80 DEG C CLOUD TOPS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE WILL BE HELD AT 85 KNOTS WITH A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE LESTER LATER TODAY. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STILL HAS FAIR OUTFLOW PATTERN OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AHEAD...PER CIMSS ANALYSES. THUS...SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. A 24-HOUR SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS THAT LESTER HAS BEEN MOVING ON A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/07 KNOTS. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL- DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODEL P9UK. AS A CONSEQUENCE...THE THREAT TO SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD DIMINISH. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME CONCERN THAT LESTER COULD MOVE MORE NORTHWESTWARD AND COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COAST TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT EFFECTS. IF THE CURRENT MOTION PERSISTS THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO MAY DISCONTINUE THE HURRICANE WARNINGS LATER TODAY. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 14.5N 98.1W 85 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 14.6N 99.2W 90 KTS 24HR VT 19/1200Z 15.0N 100.9W 95 KTS 36HR VT 20/0000Z 15.3N 102.4W 95 KTS 48HR VT 20/1200Z 16.0N 104.5W 95 KTS 72HR VT 21/1200Z 17.0N 108.0W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 23:04:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627357-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:59:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA56248; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63870 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:54:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:53:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181453.JAA08805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:53:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f904aeb337b59ee3f9071c38ab905b1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 622 WTPZ34 KNHC 181453 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES ...305 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.5 N... 98.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 22:53:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627325-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:51:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA67584; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:48:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:48:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA67818 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:48:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181448.JAA08770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:48:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d046cec4d0df245a438bd4a4aa01d9ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 562 WTPZ24 KNHC 181448 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 98.1W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 98.1W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 97.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.6N 99.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.0N 100.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.3N 102.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 98.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 22:23:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:42:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22418; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:38:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67166 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:34:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181334.IAA08217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:34:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9d96c401e149e47ef53e89ab47dddfa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 AXPZ20 KNHC 181333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 97.8W AT 18/1200 UTC MOVING WEST AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 106.6W AT 18/1200 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1300 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 96W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 95W-102W. HURRICANE MADELINE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 106W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N90W 10N100W 11N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 81W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 110W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 93W-95W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 119W-122W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 84W-86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 86W-89W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627144-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 19:51:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA45512; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:49:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10294075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA28340 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:49:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA07292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:49:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181149.GAA07292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:49:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 9a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f7d06064aa2faefad9ffe5aa49e56f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 398 WTPZ35 KNHC 181150 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE DRIFTING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES ...65 KM...SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...20.9N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTH NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 19:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA22072; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:47:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10294067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA67622 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:47:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA07277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181147.GAA07277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:47:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 14a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66d8eef6d08a5df2666a70dda5502cac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 WTPZ34 KNHC 181148 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES ...315 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH ...14 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE COULD STILL POSSIBLY BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.5 N... 98.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 18:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA43770; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:17:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10293568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA43748 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA06815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:17:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181017.FAA06815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:17:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac1898a6e5f6a1c1d4b4d3e6f3ed6abc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 825 ABPZ20 KNHC 181018 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1101 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626930-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:34:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA15194; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:34:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA67142 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:34:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180834.DAA06253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:34:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1cd428cd5397b30b40218897f241010 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 WTPZ45 KNHC 180835 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 AN EYE HAS NOT BEEN APPARENT ALTHOUGH RECENT ENHANCED IR IMAGES SHOW A BIT OF A WARM SPOT NEAR THE APPARENT CENTER. THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE ASYMMETRIC WITH COLDEST TOPS PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIRLY STRONG EXCEPT TO THE EAST. A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE MADELINE REACHES THE COAST. MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE NORTHWARD...010/5. THE 06Z RUN OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS MADELINE NEAR THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WITH A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SPREAD BUT...BASED ON THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN...THE MOST REASONABLE SOLUTION SEEMS TO BE A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BEND NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODEL NHC91. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 20.8N 106.5W 70 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 21.6N 106.4W 75 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 22.9N 106.3W 75 KTS 36HR VT 19/1800Z 24.2N 106.2W 60 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 20/0600Z 25.5N 106.0W 40 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 21/0600Z 28.0N 105.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:33:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57470; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:32:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA57430 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:32:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180832.DAA06244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:32:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ae7e5de9f622be388575d44efb2ee83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 070 WTPZ25 KNHC 180833 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0900Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 106.5W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 106.5W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.6N 106.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.9N 106.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.2N 106.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 25.5N 106.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 28.0N 105.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:33:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30212; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA40676 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180831.DAA06240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8952a1d9fa4d0e091515a5c30e15b9f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 069 WTPZ35 KNHC 180832 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS NEAR OVER THE ISLAS MARIAS LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627200-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:30:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24828; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA49128 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180830.DAA06218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 659fc67a61ce43138db997413462577c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 043 WTPZ44 KNHC 180830 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 THE EYE HAS BEEN WOBBLING BUT MOVING IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION NEAR 7 KNOTS...AND A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION LESSENS THE THREAT TO SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE LATEST NCEP GLOBAL MODEL PREDICTION FOR 500 MB SHOWS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WITH SOME WEAKENING NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SUPPORTS A MOTION BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ONLY SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT GENERALLY ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS. ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS THAT THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...THERE IS STILL SOME CONCERN THAT LESTER COULD MOVE MORE NORTHWESTWARD AND COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COAST TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT EFFECTS. THE RING OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS HAS BEEN ERODING ON RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES...BUT THIS IS PROBABLY JUST A FLUCTUATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE CONTINUES NEAR 85 KNOTS...ALTHOUGH DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE SOMEWHAT HIGHER. ANOTHER AERIAL RECONNAISSANCE OF LESTER WILL GIVE MORE DEFINITIVE INTENSITY INFORMATION. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS SINCE THE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO BE FAVORABLE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 14.6N 97.5W 85 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 14.7N 98.5W 90 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 15.0N 100.0W 95 KTS 36HR VT 19/1800Z 15.5N 101.5W 95 KTS 48HR VT 20/0600Z 16.0N 103.0W 95 KTS 72HR VT 21/0600Z 17.0N 107.0W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4418 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626897-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:29:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA53158; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:29:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63886 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:29:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180829.DAA06195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:29:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f67512289dddf1932787274944f44e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 034 WTPZ24 KNHC 180829 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 97.5W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 97.5W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 97.1W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.7N 98.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.0N 100.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.5N 101.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 97.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 103.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626494-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:28:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63822; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA33846 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:28:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180828.DAA06189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:28:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b59861261fb30c71c1fe0bea21386c71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 033 WTPZ34 KNHC 180829 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 1998 ...LESTER CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE WOULD BRING THE HURRICANE NEARER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.6 N... 97.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:14:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22386; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:14:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA67166 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:14:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:14:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180714.CAA05808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:14:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2263106b3a8ab223842bc52b16f339cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 778 AXPZ20 KNHC 180712 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 97.1W AT 18/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 106.6W AT 18/0600 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF KAY...HAS DISSIPATED. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0630 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12.5N101W TO 13N98W. HURRICANE MADELINE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 106W TO 109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 10N100W 12N110W 11N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N83W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 6N87W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N85W 10N86W TO 13N87W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA... THE GULF OF FONSECA...AND ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N99W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 17N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 90W TO 91W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:01:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30356; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 01:02:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10291946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 01:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28284 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 01:02:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 01:02:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180602.BAA05447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 01:02:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 13a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6152c78c44ecae92be154613543a3f25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 274 WTPZ34 KNHC 180602 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER MOVING WESTWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER A NORTHWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS COURSE WOULD BRING THE HURRICANE CLOSE TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.5 N... 97.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:52:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29406; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:51:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10291747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22418 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180551.AAA05289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:51:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 219969e9083b608b5bac2f9134ea6af7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTPZ35 KNHC 180551 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH OF THE ISLAS MARIAS AND ABOUT 180 MILES...285 KM...SOUTH OF MAZATLAN. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...8 KM/HR... AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MADELINE WILL BE PASSING NEAR THE ISLAS MARIAS ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...20.6 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE...NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626355-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 12:02:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33886; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 23:01:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 23:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28234 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 23:01:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 23:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180401.XAA04504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 23:01:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dbda4096108a52607ad0ac55255ef604 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 ABPZ20 KNHC 180401 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ON HURRICANE MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626442-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:16:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA35116; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:16:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA53222 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:16:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:16:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180316.WAA04250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:16:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcd3d915e5c36dd27430e686023ea0ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 AXPZ20 KNHC 180314 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 ...COR FOR HURRICANE POSITIONS... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.6N 96.3W AT 18/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KNOTS GUSTS 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE... CENTERED NEAR 20.1N 107.0W AT 18/0000 UTC...MOVING NORTHEAST 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KNOTS GUSTS 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF KAY...NEAR 12N120W... NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A 15-20 NM EYE DIAMETER. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE IS GOOD...WHILE IT IS RESTRICTED IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS IN SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS IN SW QUADRANT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/ STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER REST OF AREA FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 104W. HURRICANE MADELINE... THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...WITH SOME COMPARATIVELY COLDER CLOUD TOPS FORMING OVER THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18.5N TO 22.5N BETWEEN 106.5W AND 108.5W. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 4 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-7N94W-11N100W- 11N113W-10N122W-9N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 116W AND 121W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 9N84W ALONG COAST OF COSTA RICA. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626274-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67802; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:59:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:59:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15800 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:59:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180259.VAA04083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:59:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f289f4744766421754a07c0d78dfb67 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 932 AXPZ20 KNHC 180259 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 ...COR FOR HURRICANE POSITIONS... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.6N 96.3W AT 18/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KNOTS GUSTS 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE... CENTERED NEAR 20.1N 107.0W AT 18/0000 UTC...MOVING NORTHEAST 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KNOTS GUSTS 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF KAY...NEAR 12N120W... NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A 15-20 NM EYE DIAMETER. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE IS GOOD...WHILE IT IS RESTRICTED IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS IN SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS IN SW QUADRANT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/ STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER REST OF AREA FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 104W. HURRICANE MADELINE... THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...WITH SOME COMPARATIVELY COLDER CLOUD TOPS FORMING OVER THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18.5N TO 22.5N BETWEEN 106.5W AND 108.5W. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 4 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-7N94W-11N100W- 11N113W-10N122W-9N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 116W AND 121W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 9N84W ALONG COAST OF COSTA RICA. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626352-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:57:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54752; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:57:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA67276 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180256.VAA04054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd3494eeba64a91bf29aeaaa82e79ef0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 867 WTPZ35 KNHC 180257 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAS MARIAS. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MADELINE WILL BE PASSING OVER OR NEAR THE ISLAS MARIAS ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...20.3 N...107.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626136-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:56:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39584; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53114 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180256.VAA04047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca8f6aeb4aa0903af01fb9c79ac574b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 857 WTPZ25 KNHC 180256 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0300Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.0W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 0NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 75NE 45SE 45SW 45NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.0W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.8N 106.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.8N 106.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.0N 106.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 107.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.2N 106.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 26.7N 105.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626070-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39564; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53022 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:55:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180255.VAA04037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:55:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d109329480dbba9362976f2d98e1aa0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 WTPZ45 KNHC 180256 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 RECON MEASURED A 989 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE AND A MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 70 KNOTS ON SOUTHWEST LEG. COMMENTS FROM THE RECON COMMANDER WERE THAT THE VERTICAL MOTIONS IN THE DEEP CONVECTION WERE GIVING THEM A VERY BUMPY RIDE. SINCE THE RECON LEFT TAFB AND SAB ARE GETTING COOLER TOPS AND T-NUMBERS OF 4.5. THE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 985 MB AND THE WINDS ARE INCREASED TO 70 KTS. MADELINE CONTINUES TO CREEP TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 4 KT. THE HURRICANE IS LOCATED VERY NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE LARGE-SCALE E-W RIDGE AXIS. THE WATER-VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A SHORT-WAVE APPROACHING SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM THE WEST. THIS IS THE FEATURE THAT THE AVN MODEL SUGGESTS WILL NOT MOVE MADELINE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...BUT OTHER MODELS DO...SUCH AS GFDL...BAMM...P91E...AND CLIP. THEY INDICATE A NORTHWARD MOTION OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FOLLOWS THE NORTHWARD SOLUTION ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY SLOWER. HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS REMAIN A THREAT. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 20.3N 107.0W 70 KTS 12HR VT 18/1200Z 20.8N 106.8W 75 KTS 24HR VT 19/0000Z 21.8N 106.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 19/1200Z 23.0N 106.3W 75 KTS 48HR VT 20/0000Z 24.2N 106.2W 45 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 21/0000Z 26.7N 105.4W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626081-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:54:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53138; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA54628 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180254.VAA04032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a633b516a628f8094e62a85fc0263b9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 845 WTPZ44 KNHC 180255 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 SATELLITE-BASED ESTIMATES OF INTENSITY HAVE DECREASED ONE-HALF T- NUMBER FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...MORE IN LINE WITH PREVIOUS RECON OBS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 85 KT. HOWEVER...FORECAST TRACK IS STARTING TO SLOWLY MOVE LESTER AWAY FROM MAINLAND...AND LEAVES THE POSSIBILITY FOR LATER STRENGTHENING. LESTER IS MOVING MORE TOWARD THE WEST 280/05 KNOTS. IF THIS PERSISTS THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE MAINLAND. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE SYSTEM WEST-NORTHWEST OR APPROXIMATELY PARALLEL TO THE COAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS NHC PREDICTION BUT SLIGHTLY SOUTH. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 14.7N 96.5W 85 KTS 12HR VT 18/1200Z 14.8N 97.3W 90 KTS 24HR VT 19/0000Z 15.1N 98.6W 95 KTS 36HR VT 19/1200Z 15.6N 100.2W 95 KTS 48HR VT 20/0000Z 16.3N 102.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 21/0000Z 17.7N 105.8W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2462 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:54:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53112; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29278 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180254.VAA04028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:54:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b4e0d04044d473b23fc38d921f2b8ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 844 WTPZ24 KNHC 180253 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z SUN OCT 18 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 96.5W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 96.5W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 96.3W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.8N 97.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.1N 98.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.6N 100.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 96.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 16.3N 102.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.7N 105.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:52:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAC29314; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:51:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:51:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57454 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:51:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:51:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180251.VAA04012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:51:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 372c0204dda0151b4471360a4ac8518e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 WTPZ34 KNHC 180251 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 270 MILES...435 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.7 N... 96.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 10:10:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626081-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:26:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA38834; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:25:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10286772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA53138 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:25:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:25:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180125.UAA03521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:25:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89dc30cb8c1a8fdf5f6c4abbc6aea65d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 AXPZ20 KNHC 180123 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 18 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 95.8W AT 18/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KNOTS GUSTS 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE... CENTERED NEAR 20.0N 107.1W AT 18/0000 UTC...MOVING NORTHEAST 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KNOTS GUSTS 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF KAY...NEAR 12N120W... NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A 15-20 NM EYE DIAMETER. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE IS GOOD...WHILE IT IS RESTRICTED IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS IN SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS IN SW QUADRANT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/ STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER REST OF AREA FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 104W. HURRICANE MADELINE... THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...WITH SOME COMPARATIVELY COLDER CLOUD TOPS FORMING OVER THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18.5N TO 22.5N BETWEEN 106.5W AND 108.5W. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 4 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-7N94W-11N100W- 11N113W-10N122W-9N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 116W AND 121W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 9N84W ALONG COAST OF COSTA RICA. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:38:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625976-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:30:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24716; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 19:30:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10286505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 19:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA22158 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 19:27:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 19:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180027.TAA03158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 19:27:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 7a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3991caf1b3517c9c8e6f3a815770567 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 743 WTPZ35 KNHC 180003 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 ...MADELINE CREEPING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 160 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAS MARIAS. MADELINE HAS SLOWED DOWN AND MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 3 MPH...5 KPH. A MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MADELINE WILL BE PASSING OVER OR NEAR THE ISLAS MARIAS ON SUNDAY. SATELLITE PICTURES AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.1 N...107.0 W. MOVEMENT NORTHEAST...3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625937-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 07:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA49122; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 18:48:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10286190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 18:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA15312 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 18:48:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA03036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 18:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172348.SAA03036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 18:48:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 12a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2431320b9ce7bbdca077e64ebc137b79 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 WTPZ34 KNHC 172349 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 295 MILES...475 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESTER WILL BE MOVING PARALLEL TO AND JUST OFFSHORE FROM THE WARNING AREA. HOWEVER...JUST A SLIGHT NORTHWARD TURN WOULD BRING THE HURRICANE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.7 N... 96.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-20603>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 06:22:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA56592; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 17:21:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10285039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 17:21:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA28414 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 17:21:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 17:21:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172221.RAA02508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 17:21:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b578c2fa745f5eaec3a84ae144544b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 ABPZ20 KNHC 172220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTH OF HUATULCO MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL STORM MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS STILL OCCURRING WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627839-20597>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA53008; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10284133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA50174 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA01861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172101.QAA01861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 036048bbff631e916ce1b19ce2b398c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 552 WTPZ25 KNHC 172102 TCMEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 2100Z SAT OCT 17 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.0W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 110SE 110SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 150SW 95NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.0W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 107.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.9N 106.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 110SE 110SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 106.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.1N 106.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 107.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.3N 106.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 40SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 26.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3314 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627824-20597>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:02:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA50150; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10284129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA43672 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:00:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA01847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:00:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172100.QAA01847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 385619cef4e51dde303d0759532c96f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 WTPZ35 KNHC 172101 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 ...MADELINE BECOMES A HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES... 150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAS MARIAS. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MADELINE WILL BE PASSING OVER OR NEAR THE ISLAS MARIAS ON SUNDAY. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE STRENGTH OF MADELINE WILL LIKELY BE PROVIDED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT THAT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SYSTEM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH MADELINE. STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.2 N...107.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628897-20597>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:00:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22250; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:59:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10284100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30416 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:59:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172059.PAA01754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:59:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Madeline Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a7b3705b09919e386e0f97a5db6d904 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 488 WTPZ45 KNHC 172059 TCDEP5 HURRICANE MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 DEEP CONVECTION NOW WRAPS TWO-THIRDS OF THE WAY AROUND THE CENTER AND WITH T-NUMBERS OF 4.0 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...MADELINE IS UPGRADED TO A 65 KT HURRICANE. PERHAPS A BETTER MEASURE OF THE INTENSITY WILL BE PROVIDED SHORTLY BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERS WHO ARE NOW ARRIVING AT THE SYSTEM. RECON FOUND 60 KT FLT LEVEL WINDS ON NORTHEAST SIDE AND SHOULD FIND HIGHER WINDS ON SOUTHWEST SIDE WHERE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION IS. MADELINE APPEARS TO BE HEADING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 4 KT. THE HURRICANE IS LOCATED VERY NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE LARGE-SCALE E-W RIDGE AXIS. THE 12Z AVN SHOWS THE NEXT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH NEARING THE BAJA PENINSULA WITHIN 36 HOURS...BUT... INTERESTINGLY...SHOWS NO MOTION FOR MADELINE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THEN LOSES TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE NHC FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO 6 HOURS AGO AND TO THE CURRENT GFDL...BAMM...P91E... AND CLIP. THEY INDICATE A NORTHWARD MOTION OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS REMAIN A THREAT. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 20.2N 107.0W 65 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 20.9N 106.9W 70 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 22.0N 106.8W 75 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 23.1N 106.8W 75 KTS 48HR VT 19/1800Z 24.3N 106.8W 50 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 20/1800Z 26.5N 106.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2378 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627823-20603>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 04:43:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49072; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:42:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10284021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:42:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA43670 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:42:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:42:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172042.PAA01623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:42:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52fa96738feface62272c1f4ffe4ff23 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 WTPZ34 KNHC 172042 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 ...HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED WESTWARD TO INCLUDE ACAPULCO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR LESTER. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF SALINA CRUZ IS DISCONTINUED. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 275 MILES...440 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESTER WILL BE MOVING PARALLEL TO AND JUST OFFSHORE FROM THE WARNING AREA. HOWEVER...JUST A SLIGHT NORTHWARD WOBBLE WOULD BRING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNED AREA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.8 N... 96.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627821-20597>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 04:41:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29280; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:41:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10284014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:41:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA48970 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:41:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:41:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172041.PAA01608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:41:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bd724ec2742b17774a4cb0976d51998 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 328 WTPZ24 KNHC 172041 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z SAT OCT 17 1998 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR LESTER. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF SALINA CRUZ IS DISCONTINUED. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT EAST OF SALINA CRUZ SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 96.2W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 96.2W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 97.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.6N 98.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 100.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 96.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.6N 101.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627825-20603>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 04:40:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA43682; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:39:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10283999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:39:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52606 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:39:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:39:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172039.PAA01599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:39:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22756f6f87598b51eac502349ea12514 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 327 WTPZ44 KNHC 172039 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 1998 CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SINCE THE HURRICANE HUNTERS DEPARTED A FEW HOURS AGO. HOWEVER...THE EYE AND EYEWALL REMAIN WELL DEFINED AND GIVEN THAT THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATED WIND SPEED...BASED ON AIRCRAFT DATA...WAS ALREADY BELOW THE SATELLITE-BASED ESTIMATES...85 KT IS AGAIN CHOSEN AS THE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ONCE AGAIN...ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST. THE 12Z AVN SUGGESTS THAT THE STEERING FLOW...IF REPRESENTED BY THE WINDS AT 500 MB...INCREASES BY ABOUT 5 KT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. UNFORTUNATELY...THAT MODEL DOESN/T DISTINGUISH BETWEEN LESTER AND MADELINE AT 850 MB AT THE END OF THAT PERIOD. THE GFDL SHOW A MARKED ACCELERATION TO NEAR 20 KT BEGINNING NOW...WHICH SEEMS UNREALISTIC. MOST OF THE REST OF THE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ARE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS NHC PREDICTION...SHOWING LESTER MOVING PARALLEL TO AND NEAR THE SW COAST OF MEXICO. THIS REQUIRES EXTENDING THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO INCLUDE ACAPULCO. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS SHOWN. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 14.8N 96.2W 85 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 15.0N 97.2W 90 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 15.6N 98.8W 95 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 16.0N 100.4W 95 KTS 48HR VT 19/1800Z 16.6N 101.9W 90 KTS 72HR VT 20/1800Z 18.0N 105.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627825-20603>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33840; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:46:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10283378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67100 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:45:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810171945.OAA01036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:45:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19b4c334b59556fc0993b88bf6ce166c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 481 AXPZ20 KNHC 171944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 17 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 95.8W AT 17/1800 UTC...STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 20.0N 107.1W AT 17/1800 UTC...EAST NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF KAY...NEAR 11.5N 120.0W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1900 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A 25 NM DIAMETER EYE AND EXCELLENT OUTFLOW PATTERN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 94W-99W. TROPICAL STORM MADELINE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 106W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 9N90W 10N100W 10N110W 11N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF HURRICANE LESTER FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 95W-100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 77W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 116W-121W DUE TO REMNANTS OF KAY. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 87W-89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:50:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627218-20602>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:33:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53186; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:27:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10277064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54178 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:27:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170727.CAA26700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:27:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9637da4f37bd43a986b2028cf7c8329f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 449 AXPZ20 KNHC 170725 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 17 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LAST ADVISORY WAS ISSUED AT 17/0300 UTC. SEE THE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS FZPN03 KNHC/MIAHSFEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...HURRICANE LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 95.3W AT 17/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W AT 17/0600 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0630 UTC... HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED AND EXHIBITS EXCELLENT OUTFLOW PATTERN OF HIGH CLOUDS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N94W TO 12N96W. TROPICAL STORM MADELINE... THE OUTFLOW PATTERN OF HIGH CLOUDS IS SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTH/CENTRAL UNITED STATES. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 22N107W TO 19N109W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING NORTHWARD ARE NORTH OF 16N TO OVER MEXICO FROM 106W TO 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N87W 12N99W 11N111W 7N124W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11N121W. THE ABOVE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF KAY. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 85W AND 87W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17836; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:37:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10276012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:37:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA57494 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:37:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170537.AAA26166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:37:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 9a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50d44721e27a0b60639f4dbd4e0a7adb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 WTPZ34 KNHC 170537 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER...THREATENS SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR BUT THE HURRICANE SHOULD RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD GRADUALLY BRING THE CENTER OF LESTER NEAR THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.5 N... 95.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT AVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT... SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:36:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29264; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:35:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10276008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28212 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:35:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:35:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170535.AAA26150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:35:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c138a10a0e1f4fcc0d8167cb34ba3d42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 832 WTPZ35 KNHC 170535 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING LITTLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF MADELINE WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.8 N...108.0 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2421 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627017-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 11:52:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA38662; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:51:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57070 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:51:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170351.WAA25179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 226a1e013b149293edcf72f809a6fe9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 ABPZ20 KNHC 170351 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO...ON TROPICAL STORM MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 10:59:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67152; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:57:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA63806 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:57:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170257.VAA24735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:57:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7e70c91c021a947004427163c701a94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 902 WTPZ44 KNHC 170258 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 AS THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE LEFT THE HURRICANE AT 2100Z IT REPORTED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 989 MB. LATEST DEVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 4.5 AND AN ESTIMATED PRESSURE OF 980 MB. SO MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE INCREASED TO 75 KTS. LESTER HAS SLOWED DOWN SLIGHTLY AND TAKEN A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. INITIAL MOTION IS 295/04 KTS. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT LESTER WILL TRACK ALMOST PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE BUT A SLIGHT CHANGE IN DIRECTION COULD BRING THE HURRICANE INLAND. REGARDLESS...THE SYSTEM WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE COASTLINE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE MODEL GUIDANCE AND PARALLELS THE COASTLINE AND IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL TRACK. AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE THE UKMET AND NOGAPS SHOW RELATIVELY LITTLE MOTION. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 14.5N 94.9W 75 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 14.8N 95.5W 80 KTS 24HR VT 18/0000Z 15.2N 96.4W 80 KTS 36HR VT 18/1200Z 15.7N 97.6W 60 KTS 48HR VT 19/0000Z 16.1N 98.7W 55 KTS 72HR VT 20/0000Z 17.1N 100.8W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627069-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 11:02:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39446; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:57:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA63748 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170256.VAA24727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0296eeefe40fdcf0d584aee5e41f6049 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 WTPZ34 KNHC 170257 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER...THREATENS SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF LESTER NEAR THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.5 N... 94.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 11:02:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30678; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39616 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170256.VAA24718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:56:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8da60f55c394cfbeb24e35cf3c8d6e42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 869 WTPZ24 KNHC 170256 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z SAT OCT 17 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 94.9W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT....... 55NE 30SE 25SW 45NW 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 45SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 94.9W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 94.7W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.8N 95.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT... 55NE 30SE 25SW 45NW 34 KT...100NE 60SE 45SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.2N 96.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT... 55NE 30SE 25SW 45NW 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 55NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.7N 97.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 94.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 16.1N 98.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.1N 100.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 11:04:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24582; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39650 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170254.VAA24713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93b7d93655dd264940074cc6864a094d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 WTPZ45 KNHC 170253 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS SO THE MAXIMUM WINDS REMAIN AT 55 KT. THE SHIPS MODEL GUIDANCE MAKES MADELINE A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW FORWARD SPEED OF MADELINE AND ITS RATHER LARGE CENTER...FIXES HAVE MADE IT APPEAR THAT THE CENTER WAS MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST-NORTHEAST. HOWEVER...SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE MOVING NORTH/360/04 KNOTS. THE AVN STILL SHOWS A SECONDARY SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST AND SWEEPING MADELINE NORTHEASTWARD IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE AVN-BASED TRACK MODELS AND NHC FORECAST ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ABOUT THAT AS WELL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE LAST TRACK BUT SLIGHTLY EAST. THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND FORECAST MOVEMENT AND WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST THAT MADELINE COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS TO A CONSIDERABLE AREA OVER MEXICO...AND CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TO THE U.S. SOUTH-CENTRAL OR SOUTHWESTERN STATES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 19.8N 108.0W 55 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 20.3N 108.0W 60 KTS 24HR VT 18/0000Z 21.7N 107.9W 65 KTS 36HR VT 18/1200Z 23.5N 107.6W 70 KTS 48HR VT 19/0000Z 25.1N 107.0W 35 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 20/0000Z 28.1N 105.2W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:59:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 10:55:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24818; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39640 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170254.VAA24709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b40b679c5aec8e2bd719bf1253a24e0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 WTPZ25 KNHC 170254 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 0300Z SAT OCT 17 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.3N 108.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.7N 107.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 107.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 108.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.1N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.1N 105.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626906-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 10:59:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24742; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53134 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170254.VAA24704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:54:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd06e96427726f86b3e6b2ab97777751 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 WTPZ35 KNHC 170252 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...19.8 N...108.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 10:29:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15862; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:28:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10273978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15800 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170227.VAA24559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5e2db3ce7341aa34dd3baf34e35bf8a X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 314 WTPZ23 KNHC 170228 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0300Z SAT OCT 17 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 120.4W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 130 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 120.4W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 120.6W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.3N 119.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.3N 119.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON KAY...UNLESS RE-GENERATION OCCURS. FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSES AND FORECAST BRANCH... TAFB...AT THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:57:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 10:32:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15834; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:28:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10273974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56752 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170227.VAA24555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2f68f1e7db924dd868b2a25020e067c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 WTPZ43 KNHC 170227 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF KAY REMAINS EXPOSED WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. KAY HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 130/04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS NOW INVOLVED WITH THE ITCZ AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT SE/E AND WEAKEN. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON KAY...UNLESS RE-GENERATION OCCURS. FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSES AND FORECAST BRANCH... TAFB...AT THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 11.6N 120.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 11.3N 119.9W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 18/0000Z 11.3N 119.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626824-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 09:51:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA48882; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:48:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10273515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA56246 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:47:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170147.UAA24278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:47:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5811fd963b53c0d373dda0f165b1cf5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 729 AXPZ20 KNHC 170146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 17 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 120.6W AT 17/0000 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS UPGRADED TO HURRICANE STATUS AT 16/2100 UTC. IT WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 94.7W AT 17/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE CENTERED NEAR 19.6N 108.0W AT 17/0000 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/ MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ALMOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A CONVECTIVE BURST OF STRONG INTENSITY NORTH OF THE CENTER WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N121W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-50 NM OF LINE 11N118W 12N119W. A SWIRL OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS DEPICT REMAINDER OF SYSTEM FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 119W-123W. HURRICANE LESTER... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS EXHIBITED IN EXCELLENT OUTFLOW PATTERN OF HIGH CLOUDS. ALSO...SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WRAPPING AROUND CENTER FROM 13N-14N BETWEEN 94W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 97W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FORMING AND OUTER FEEDER RAINBAND NOTED NORTH OF 13N EAST OF 93W TO INLAND MEXICAN COAST. TROPICAL STORM MADELINE... SYSTEM SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AS NOTED IN ITS OUTFLOW PATTERN OF HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING NORTHWARD NORTH OF 18N AND EAST OF 118W...AND ITS CONCENTRATION OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19N109W 20N109W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 19N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION MARKING A FEEDER RAINBAND WITHIN 60-100 NM OF LINE FROM 20N109W TO INLAND COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 22N106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION DENOTING OTHER FEEDER RAINBAND ROTATING AROUND SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 30-50 NM OF LINE 17N110W 17N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 12N100W 10N110W 11N118W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-116W AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-106W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 78W-82W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZE REMAINDER OF ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF COSTA RICA...EXTENDING OFFSHORE FOR 50 NM. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W-99W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626563-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 07:58:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA52638; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10272249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA57484 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:57:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA23328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:57:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162357.SAA23328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:57:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09b52c56474c051cbb3ecea25afacac5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 WTPZ34 KNHC 162357 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...HURRICANE LESTER...THREATENS SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES ...220 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 8 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF LESTER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO NEAR 85 MPH...135 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING...PRIOR TO LANDFALL...IS POSSIBLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. AS THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT LEFT THE HURRICANE AT 2100Z IT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. BASED ON THIS AND MORE RECENT SATELLITE INTENSITY MEASUREMENTS THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 94.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 07:57:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA34040; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:54:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10272191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAB40658 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:54:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA23304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:54:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162354.SAA23304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 18:54:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 3a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6898320cfbbcc641dd5ef12d873414c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 WTPZ35 KNHC 162353 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...MADELINE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES...430 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH ... 8 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...107.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628750-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 06:26:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA45478; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:26:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10271272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA59270 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:25:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA22428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:25:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162225.RAA22428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:25:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fc5d5e619c56bf54bba0d3b1262406e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 ABPZ20 KNHC 162224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 1035 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...ON HURRICANE LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL STORM MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1925 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628026-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 05:29:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA17746; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:28:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10270146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA38702 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:04:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162104.QAA21202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:04:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a67d29264905db727e9b06d4d10b5feb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 389 WTPZ24 KNHC 162101 COR TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z FRI OCT 16 1998 ...CORRECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE TO 992 MB... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 94.7W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 94.7W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 94.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.0N 95.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.8N 96.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.4N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 40SW 0NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 94.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 16.8N 98.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 100.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2511 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628883-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 05:08:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA59188; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:08:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10269440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:07:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA09908 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:00:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:00:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162100.QAA21098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:00:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99d0e85868e489e448b41e38814f729a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 341 WTPZ34 KNHC 162058 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...LESTER BECOMES A HURRICANE...THREATENS SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES ...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF LESTER TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. SATELLITE PICTURES AND DATA FROM A U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH WITH POSSIBLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628867-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 05:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA15194; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:00:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10269387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:58:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30228 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162054.PAA20951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 483b98d4d941a6790fab708794356ef3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 WTPZ44 KNHC 162052 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT HAS CONFIRMED THE ESTIMATES MADE FROM SATELLITE PICTURES EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. THE HURRICANE HUNTERS INITIALLY FOUND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 993 MB AND THEN 992 MB. WHILE PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 70 KT WERE FOUND ON THE ONLY LEG NE OF THE CENTER...A DROP IN THE EYEWALL SHOWED WINDS AS HIGH AS 80 KT...AND 71 KT AT THE SURFACE.. CLOUD TOPS WARMED CONSIDERABLY TODAY...BUT AN EYE HAS BECOME VISIBLE ON SATELLITE PICTURES AND DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE NOW 4.0. LESTER IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WITH 70 KT SURFACE WINDS. THE NW HEADING HAS PERSISTED...ALTHOUGH THE PAST FEW HOURS SUGGEST A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING. THE FORWARD MOTION APPEARS TO HAVE DECREASED TO ABOUT 5 KT. THE 12Z AVN KEEPS LESTER ON THE SW SIDE OF THE ANTICYCLONE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ASSOCIATED TRACK MODELS AND THE NHC FORECAST SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THE NW HEADING...AND LANDFALL WITHIN 24 HOURS. IN CONTRAST...THE UKMET AND NOGAPS SHOW RELATIVELY LITTLE MOTION. AS LESTER NEARS LAND...THE CENTER COULD BE DIVERTED AROUND THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO. ON POSSIBILITY IS FOR LESTER TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ON THE WEST SIDE OF THESE OBSTACLES...ALONG THE COAST IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF ACAPULCO. A MORE DRASTIC CHANGE IN TRACK WOULD OCCUR IF LESTER TURNED TOWARD THE NORTH AND MOVED INTO THE PASS NORTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 14.4N 94.7W 70 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 15.0N 95.4W 75 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 15.8N 96.4W 75 KTS 36HR VT 18/0600Z 16.4N 97.5W 35 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 18/1800Z 16.8N 98.7W 30 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 19/1800Z 17.5N 100.5W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:56:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22216; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:56:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10269288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15294 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162054.PAA20941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Lester Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04f9c674e39a8f11dec51a0b422f62ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 306 WTPZ24 KNHC 162054 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z FRI OCT 16 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 94.7W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 94.7W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 94.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.0N 95.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.8N 96.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.4N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 40SW 0NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 94.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 16.8N 98.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 100.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:49:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63964; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:47:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10269062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:46:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA35304 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:45:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162045.PAA20796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:45:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d6bf16b5f153ae72744ea5a7108da2b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 215 WTPZ35 KNHC 162044 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...MADELINE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SHIP ABOUT 45 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 58 MPH A FEW HOURS AGO. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...19.7 N...108.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:54:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28300; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:54:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10269267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:52:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24128 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:39:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162039.PAA20711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:39:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d34dd9ee1ce6cba6564ec56db2454cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 174 WTPZ25 KNHC 162038 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 2100Z FRI OCT 16 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 108.5W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 108.5W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.4N 108.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.6N 108.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.2N 108.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 108.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.7N 108.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-17766>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:41:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67664; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:41:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10268986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:40:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63876 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:38:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162037.PAA20687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:37:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a46f55d64ef6c04486ae86d748c6df05 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 WTPZ45 KNHC 162037 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 THE RECENT WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS ON SATELLITE PICTURES IS SOMEWHAT DECEIVING AS DVORAK T-NUMBER HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE...NOW TO 3.5 AT TAFB. SHIP 3FMH7 ABOUT 40 NM NE OF THE CENTER REPORTED 50 KT WINDS. SO...THE ESTIMATE OF THE MAXIMUM WINDS IS NOW 55 KT. THE 340 DEGREE HEADING PERSISTS WITH THE SPEED HAVING DECREASED TO ABOUT 5 KT. THE 12Z AVN STILL SHOWS A SECONDARY SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST AND SWEEPING MADELINE NORTHEASTWARD IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE AVN-BASED TRACK MODELS AND NHC FORECAST ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ABOUT THAT AS WELL. THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND FORECAST MOVEMENT AND WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST THAT MADELINE COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS TO A CONSIDERABLE AREA OVER MEXICO...AND CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TO THE U.S. SOUTH-CENTRAL OR SOUTHWESTERN STATES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 19.7N 108.5W 55 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 20.4N 108.7W 60 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 21.6N 108.7W 65 KTS 36HR VT 18/0600Z 23.2N 108.4W 70 KTS 48HR VT 18/1800Z 24.7N 108.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 19/1800Z 27.5N 106.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628852-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:35:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA55646; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:35:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10268855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:33:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44272 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:16:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:15:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162015.PAA20320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:15:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b82f50cbb4e270466d5d6a83e6b5b6f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 WTPZ43 KNHC 162013 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 150/04. THE GFDL...UKMET..AVIATION AND NOGAPS MODELS ALL SHOW A SLOW EAST TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION FOR 72 HOURS. THE LBAR SHOWS A FASTER NORTHWARD MOTION AND THE DEEP AND MEDIUM BAMS SHOW A SOUTHWEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD SLOW MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY MOVING THE DEPRESSION SLOWLY EASTWARD THEN NORTHEASTWARD SIMILAR TO MANY OF THE MODELS. THE DEEP CONVECTION DISAPPEARED FOR A WHILE BUT IS COMING BACK TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ON THE PAST FEW SATELLITE IMAGES. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS...BUT 72 HOURS OF POSITIONS ARE GIVEN IN THE FORECAST IN CASE IT DOES NOT DISSIPATE. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 11.7N 120.6W 25 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 11.4N 120.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 11.4N 119.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 18/0600Z 11.6N 118.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/1800Z 12.0N 117.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/1800Z 13.0N 116.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628867-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:23:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA66124; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:23:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10268541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:21:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA53228 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:14:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:14:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162014.PAA20300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:14:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6088b4eeec8e0462602fee5d68e012f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 701 WTPZ23 KNHC 162013 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 2100Z FRI OCT 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 120.6W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST OR 150 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 120.6W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 120.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.4N 120.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 11.4N 119.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 11.6N 118.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 120.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 12.0N 117.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 13.0N 116.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628862-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 03:40:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63870; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:37:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10267505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:36:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA56124 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:26:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:26:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161926.OAA19316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:26:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 945c259ccec1e25dbbd4dd8fcebf4ab4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 982 AXPZ20 KNHC 161924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 16 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 11.9N 120.8W AT 16/1800 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 94.4W AT 16/1800 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E HAS INTENSIFIED AND TROPICAL STORM MADELINE HAS FORMED. TROPICAL STORM MADELINE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.5N 108.5W AT 16/1800 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/ AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MEANDER OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AS STEERING CURRENTS IN THE VICINITY OF THE DEPRESSION REMAIN WEAK. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 119W-123W. TROPICAL STORM LESTER... TROPICAL STORM LESTER CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH COLD CLOUD TOPS WRAPPING CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE CENTER FROM THE NE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 91W-99W. TROPICAL STORM MADELINE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 23N106W-18N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PERSISTS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N107W-19N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 12N103W 11N116W 8N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 2N-9N EAST OF 80W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 117W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628877-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:10:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA59166; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:08:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:07:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63928 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:07:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161807.NAA17347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:07:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c662b47dcd5b18b3e0a4684300e37d56 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 816 WTPZ 35KNKNHC 161755 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE THREATENING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 11 AM PDT..1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR ...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...108.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628855-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 01:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA59280; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:55:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30326 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:55:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161755.MAA16961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:55:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbd85524008fe4f09e51e5d02d53297e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 692 WTPZ35 KNHC 161755 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE THREATENING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 11 AM PDT..1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR ...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...108.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628859-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 01:48:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA64588; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:47:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10266128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA43568 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:47:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:47:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161747.MAA16811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:47:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 7a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f60229454d5f6480243c0b9a16bb549 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 WTPZ34 KNHC 161747 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...LESTER STRENGTHENING WHILE HEADING FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF LESTER TO NEAR THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT AN EYE COULD BE DEVELOPING AND ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND LESTER IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. A U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO LESTER AND COULD PROVIDE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE STORMS STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...TOTALLING 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY MUCH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 94.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628792-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28196; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:26:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10264819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA54802 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:26:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161626.LAA15129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:26:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e64ae4e228fd5a9ed7a66f4b7ca8e4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 049 ABPZ20 KNHC 161626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO...AND ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM MADELINE LOCATED ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MADELINE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP5. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627895-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA33926; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:00:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:00:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA56140 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA12916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161500.KAA12916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15de104735af9ef08b5205ead2557cb6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 WTPZ24 KNHC 161459 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 1500Z FRI OCT 16 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA BE DISCONTINUED. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 94.3W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 94.3W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 94.1W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.7N 95.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.6N 96.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 40NE 75SE 75SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.4N 97.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 94.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 16.9N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628894-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA55592; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:59:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAB52882 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:58:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:58:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161458.JAA12786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:58:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25bb5c5ac6d952be10a10781e59b8626 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 211 WTPZ34 KNHC 161458 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...LESTER HEADING FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUATEMALA BE DISCONTINUED. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE GUATEMALA COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF LESTER TO NEAR THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ...AND LESTER IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...NOW APPROACHING THE COAST...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.3 N... 94.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627660-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22272; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:56:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:56:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA55786 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:56:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:56:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161456.JAA12702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:56:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d7973758a6a4fcf81a301c6f9bc783c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 158 WTPZ44 KNHC 161455 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 COLD CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO WRAP CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE CENTER FROM THE NE...BUT DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE NOT CHANGED SO NEITHER HAS THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED...50 KT. MORE INFORMATION COULD BE AVAILABLE LATER TODAY WHEN A U.S. AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM. THIS FLIGHT IS PART OF A TEST TO WORK OUT OVERFLIGHT CLEARANCE PROCEDURES FOR MEXICO. THE MOTION REMAINS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN THE STEERING CURRENT NEAR LESTER...BUT THE TRACK GUIDANCE PAINTS A MORE CONFUSED PICTURE. SEVERAL OF THE MODELS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION TO LANDFALL IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE NOGAPS HEADS SE...THE UKMET SHOWS DISSIPATION NEAR THE CURRENT POSITION...AND THE GFDL AND BAM STOP SHORT OF THE COAST. THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER LAND WILL BE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN...FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 14.3N 94.3W 50 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 14.7N 95.1W 55 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 15.6N 96.1W 65 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 16.4N 97.1W 30 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 18/1200Z 16.9N 98.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 19/1200Z 17.5N 99.5W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627660-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:58:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63994; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:54:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:54:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09960 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:54:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161454.JAA12646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:54:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72e901540db7b10e5db6d955dce79a8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 145 WTPZ35 KNHC 161453 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...NEW TROPICAL STORM THREATENING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E HAS STRENGTHENED TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM MADELINE. AT 8 AM PDT..1500Z ...THE CENTER OF MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES...425 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MADELINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF MADELINE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...108.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627946-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:51:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30824; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:47:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22240 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:46:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161446.JAA12440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:46:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05c933da43714d7db4f2a1a2f5f8b8d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPZ25 KNHC 161446 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1500Z FRI OCT 16 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.3W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.5N 108.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 108.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.4N 108.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 108.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 25.1N 108.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 28.0N 106.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628743-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:47:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22042; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:46:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10262999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:46:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA50046 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:45:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:45:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161445.JAA12397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:45:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Madeline Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35ec038515547a77a15c6a01018b5870 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 WTPZ45 KNHC 161445 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 A LARGE CDO PATTERN IS DEVELOPING OVER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A CORE AREA OF CLOUD-TOP TEMPERATURES LOWER THAN -80C. DVORAK T- NUMBERS WERE UP TO 2.5 AT 1200 UTC...AND THE WIND SPEED AT ADVISORY TIME IS ESTIMATED AS 45 KT FOR WHAT IS NOW TROPICAL STORM MADELINE. THE NNW HEADING FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IS RETAINED...ALTHOUGH THE CLOUD PATTERN MAKES IDENTIFYING THE CENTER RATHER DIFFICULT. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH BYPASSING MADELINE...BUT A FOLLOWING SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TOWARD THE NE. MOST GUIDANCE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOW THIS. THE CENTER WILL BE PASSING CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THAT WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NOW REQUIRED. THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CLOUD PATTERN AND FORECAST MOVEMENT AND WINDS ALOFT SUGGEST THAT MADELINE COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS TO A CONSIDERABLE AREA OVER MEXICO...AND CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TO THE U.S. SOUTH-CENTRAL OR SOUTHWESTERN STATES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 19.5N 108.4W 45 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 20.5N 108.6W 55 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 22.0N 108.8W 65 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 23.4N 108.6W 75 KTS 48HR VT 18/1200Z 25.1N 108.1W 75 KTS 72HR VT 19/1200Z 28.0N 106.0W 30 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:39:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30530; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:39:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10262959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:39:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39472 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:39:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161439.JAA12267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:39:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a51bc6514321e41eaff913433c0ab329 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 934 WTPZ23 KNHC 161439 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 1500Z FRI OCT 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 120.7W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 120.7W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 120.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.8N 120.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.8N 119.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.9N 118.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 120.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 12.2N 118.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 13.0N 117.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:38:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52888; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:38:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10262946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:38:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22144 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:38:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:37:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161437.JAA12229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:37:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1aaed79995c686163a659d444d66897 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 WTPZ43 KNHC 161438 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 140/04. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DRIFTING IN A MORE OR LESS CYCLONIC LOOP FOR SEVERAL DAYS IN A STAGNANT STEERING CURRENT WHICH COVERS A LARGE AREA. THE TRACK GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE DIVERGENT BUT ALL MODELS SHOW VERY LITTLE ADDITIONAL SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE IDEA OF CONTINUING THE CYCLONIC LOOP TOWARD THE EAST AND NORTHEAST FOR 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE AVIATION MODEL AND NOGAPS BUT IS SLOWER THAN THE GFDL AND UKMET WHICH TAKE THE DEPRESSION FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND MORE APPEARS TO BE GROWING TO THE SOUTHWEST. AN AVERAGE OF THE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS OF 1.5 FROM TAFB AND KGWC AND A 2.0 FROM SAB GIVES A WIND SPEED NEAR 25 KNOTS...BUT IT WILL BE KEPT AT 30 KNOTS FOR 12 MORE HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 12.1N 120.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 11.8N 120.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 11.8N 119.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 11.9N 118.9W 25 KTS 48HR VT 18/1200Z 12.2N 118.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/1200Z 13.0N 117.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:33:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627814-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 21:27:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24184; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:27:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10262357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22104 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:27:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161327.IAA10743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:27:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 170572222e95457b2e78baf50a6923b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 457 AXPZ20 KNHC 161325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 16 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 12.3N 120.9W AT 16/1200 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 2 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 14.0N 94.1W AT 16/1200 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N108W HAS INTENSIFIED AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E HAS FORMED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E IS CENTERED NEAR 19.3N 108.5W AT 16/1200 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY DEFINED WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N120W...AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE SW OF THE CENTER WITHIN 30 NM OF 11.5N122W. TROPICAL STORM LESTER... TROPICAL STORM LESTER CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST IN 24 HOURS OR SO. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N95W-15N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N98W-15N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF 10.5N BETWEEN 92W-101W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N107W-18N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N110W-19N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N87W 10N100W 11N117W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N79W-7N78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 115W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:33:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4169 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 19:54:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA28172; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:54:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10261714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:54:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA24274 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:54:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA09542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161154.GAA09542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:54:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd3bc23d775596f40ef3f261d8487ae8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 788 WTPZ34 KNHC 161154 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...LESTER HEADING FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA ARISTA MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF LESTER WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LESTER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST AS A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...NOW APPROACHING THE COAST...COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:33:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2138 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627015-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 19:16:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA24662; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:16:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10261298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:15:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA30786 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:15:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA09252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:15:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161115.GAA09252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:15:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Special Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07285557c6d696ff0aa02daf3e6469ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 138 WTPZ25 KNHC 161115 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1200Z FRI OCT 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 108.5W AT 16/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 108.5W AT 16/1200Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 108.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:33:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626987-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 19:21:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA30952; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:14:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10261294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:14:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA24276 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:14:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA09241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:14:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161114.GAA09241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:14:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Special Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b6cf5bfe28e9c2026f48874a0d36385 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 121 WTPZ45 KNHC 161115 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO HAS ENOUGH SURFACE CIRCULATION AND DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STATUS IN 12 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND BEST ESTIMATE IS 330/08. MODELS ARE SUGGESTING TRACKS BETWEEN NORTH NORTHWEST AND NORTH- NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ENSEMBLE AND CALLS FOR A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWEST TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING OR WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1200Z 19.3N 108.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 20.0N 109.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 21.0N 109.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 22.0N 109.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 18/0600Z 23.0N 109.3W 40 KTS 72HR VT 19/0600Z 25.0N 108.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:32:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA28266; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:56:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA30550 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:56:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160956.EAA08760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:56:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75681be7b27ae33789ee129cdb997ce4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 ABPZ20 KNHC 160956 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES..ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH AND COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 17:35:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627686-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:10:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15320; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:07:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:07:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA43718 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:07:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:07:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160907.EAA08463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:07:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl Ep1498 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c89643978b311aecd2df1e0fd2da209 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 WTPZ24 KNHC DDHHMM ..COR TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z FRI OCT 16 1998 ..COR TO WARNING POINTS AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA ARISTA MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 93.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 93.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 93.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.8N 94.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.5N 95.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.5N 96.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 93.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 18.0N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 17:35:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:08:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA50096; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:06:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:05:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA43676 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:05:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160905.EAA08447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:05:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bea84b02a7472c2b09716ac6b6fafbd1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 WTPZ34 KNHC DDHHMM...COR BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ..COR TO WARNING POINTS... ...LESTER HEADING FOR THE MEXICAN COAST... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA ARISTA MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF LESTER SHOULD BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LESTER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST AS A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...ALREADY APPROACHING THE COAST...COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.1 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627674-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:27:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24976; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:27:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52862 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:26:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160826.DAA08139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:26:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3064dac1e588bae9df45c085e96e130 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 967 WTPZ44 KNHC 160826 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT LESTER CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH VERY DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER. THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTHWEST BUT IS ENOUGH TO FAVOR STRENGTHENING. LESTER IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST IN 24 HOURS OR SO. THEREFORE...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ACCORDINGLY. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 315/07. MOST OF THE HURRICANE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS GENERAL TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 3 DAYS SINCE THE RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MOVE EASTWARD. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF LESTER SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A GOOD REPRESENTATION OF THE STORM AND MOVE LESTER VERY LITTLE OR ERRATICALLY. THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER LAND IS PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN...FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 14.1N 93.8W 50 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 14.8N 94.6W 55 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 15.5N 95.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 16.5N 96.5W 35 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 18/0600Z 17.0N 97.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 19/0600Z 18.0N 98.5W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:26:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57428; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:25:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24842 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:24:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:24:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160824.DAA08133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:24:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cffaf3d5b74d250469a092f7394b68c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 WTPZ24 KNHC 160825 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z FRI OCT 16 1998 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA MALDONALDO MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 93.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 93.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 93.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.8N 94.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.5N 95.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.5N 96.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 93.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 18.0N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:28:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30958; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:24:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25006 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:23:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160823.DAA08125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:23:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a11604368567c398fc0543b6ca63031d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 WTPZ34 KNHC 160823 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 ...LESTER HEADING FOR THE MEXICAN COAST... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA MALDONALDO MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF LESTER SHOULD BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LESTER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST AS A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...ALREADY APPROACHING THE COAST...COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.1 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627612-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:25:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48046; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:18:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:18:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24706 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:18:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:17:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160817.DAA08094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:17:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1468d0eb04f5becd04167f9180194969 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 WTPZ43 KNHC 160818 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 THE DEPRESSION IS DEFINED BY A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION AND INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 3O KNOTS AND NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS INDICATED AT THIS TIME. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AND SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...LITTLE MOTION IS FORECAST. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 12.5N 120.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 12.3N 120.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 12.0N 120.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 12.0N 119.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 18/0600Z 12.0N 119.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 19/0600Z 12.0N 118.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:19:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48026; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:18:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:18:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24698 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:17:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:17:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160817.DAA08090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:17:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9636e58aa5d2bb1f6b85cb1b6afdb61a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 906 WTPZ23 KNHC 160817 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0900Z FRI OCT 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 120.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 130 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 120.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 121.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.3N 120.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 120.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 12.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 12.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4397 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:27:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24086; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:25:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:25:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15108 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:25:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:25:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160725.CAA07666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:25:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12bbd385bf4aae62c60cc1c85b2a8c05 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 AXPZ20 KNHC 160723 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 16 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY CENTERED NEAR 12.6N 120.9W AT 16/0600 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 16/0300 UTC. TROPICAL STORM LESTER IS CENTERED NEAR 13.5N 93.6W AT 16/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1001 MB LOW...IS LOCATED NEAR 19N108W. IT IS MOVING NW 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N121W. TROPICAL STORM LESTER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N95W TO 14N93W JUST OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF 10N TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 91W TO 97W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 111W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 106W FROM 15N TO 18N. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N85W 9N93W 11N100W 10N110W 8N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 93W AND FROM 95W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 4N TO 8N IN PANAMA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 14:07:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:36:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA09866; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:34:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10259569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA54646 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:34:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160534.AAA07021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:34:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46d470da09092775bf1f90d2bc9eb026 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 834 WTPZ34 KNHC 160534 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...LESTER HEADING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA MALDONALDO MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESTER. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...SOUTHWEST OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK ...THE CENTER OF LESTER WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS..ALREADY APPROACHING THE COAST...COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...13.5 N... 93.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 14:07:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 12:23:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA09782; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:22:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10259099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:22:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA09748 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:22:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160422.XAA06271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 23:22:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7e5dbbf844e63d1b850ed293b3bcd2c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 ABPZ20 KNHC 160420 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 1005 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM LESTER...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL STORM LESTER CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 11:44:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:31:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44044; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22204 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:30:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160330.WAA05758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52fe444513d65aa73e4aaa6dd7d89aad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 WTPZ34 KNHC 160330 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORMS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...FLOOD THREAT FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO... AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA MALDONALDO MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. LESTER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESTER WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE AND WHEN THEY SPREAD INLAND THEY COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...13.2 N... 93.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 11:44:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:27:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA53020; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:24:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56774 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160323.WAA05682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a589fba3bc3e0f440bfddf4a6a88c7de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 728 WTPZ44 KNHC 160323 COR TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL WIND SPEED... TD 14-E HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING THIS EVENING WITH PROMINENT BANDING FEATURES AND A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION ONGOING OVER/NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. DVORAK OBJECTIVE-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOW 3.0 FROM TAFB AND 2.5+ FROM SAB. ON THIS BASIS TD 14-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS...LESTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 45 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM IS WELL-ESTABLISHED AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WITH LESTER BECOMING A HURRICANE BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS. THE ONLY INHIBITING FACTOR WILL LIKELY BE THE SYSTEMS/S PROXIMITY TO LAND. SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE COURSE OF THE LAST 6 HOURS SUGGEST THAT LESTER HAS TURNED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 305/6 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE U.S WEST COAST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GENERAL NORTHWESTERLY STEERING ENVIRONMENT. MOST OF THE 00Z TRACK MODELS ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND THIS SCENARIO WITH VARIATIONS IN SPEED. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS SOLUTION ARE THE UKMET AND NOGAPS WHICH TURN THE SYSTEM BACK TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN IT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. WITH THE LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT IN THE TRACK THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONALDO AND HAS ISSUED A HURRIANCE WATCH FROM PUNTA ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER LAND REMAINS PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN...FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 13.2N 93.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 13.7N 94.0W 55 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 14.4N 94.8W 65 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 15.1N 95.6W 65 KTS 48HR VT 18/0000Z 16.0N 96.5W 40 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 19/0000Z 17.5N 98.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 11:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626522-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:24:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA53002; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:24:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56764 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160323.WAA05678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:23:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9a1ff44d493cbcc7e479e469a3009e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 WTPZ24 KNHC 160323 COR TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z FRI OCT 16 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL WIND SPEED... AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA MALDONALDO MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 93.3W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 93.3W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 93.1W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.7N 94.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.4N 94.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.1N 95.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 93.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.0N 96.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 17.5N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 11:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627701-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA28240; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:17:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA09780 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:17:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160317.WAA05522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:17:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75efdaafe29ab34f8f5131684d67632b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 WTPZ44 KNHC 160316 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 TD 14-E HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING THIS EVENING WITH PROMINENT BANDING FEATURES AND A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION ONGOING OVER/NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. DVORAK OBJECTIVE-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOW 3.0 FROM TAFB AND 2.5+ FROM SAB. ON THIS BASIS TD 14-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS...LESTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 45 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM IS WELL-ESTABLISHED AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WITH LESTER BECOMING A HURRICANE BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS. THE ONLY INHIBITING FACTOR WILL LIKELY BE THE SYSTEMS/S PROXIMITY TO LAND. SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE COURSE OF THE LAST 6 HOURS SUGGEST THAT LESTER HAS TURNED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 305/6 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE U.S WEST COAST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GENERAL NORTHWESTERLY STEERING ENVIRONMENT. MOST OF THE 00Z TRACK MODELS ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND THIS SCENARIO WITH VARIATIONS IN SPEED. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS SOLUTION ARE THE UKMET AND NOGAPS WHICH TURN THE SYSTEM BACK TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN IT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. WITH THE LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT IN THE TRACK THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONALDO AND HAS ISSUED A HURRIANCE WATCH FROM PUNTA ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER LAND REMAINS PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN...FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 13.2N 93.3W 50 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 13.7N 94.0W 55 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 14.4N 94.8W 65 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 15.1N 95.6W 65 KTS 48HR VT 18/0000Z 16.0N 96.5W 40 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 19/0000Z 17.5N 98.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 11:18:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627194-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 11:15:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA09876; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:14:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:14:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA09848 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:14:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:14:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160314.WAA05485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 22:14:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Lester Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7dfc79bc3574c4fb93d25b40d398a297 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 474 WTPZ24 KNHC 160315 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z FRI OCT 16 1998 AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO ARISTA TO PUNTA MALDONALDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT EAST OF PUNTA MALDONALDO MEXICO TO SIPICATE GUATEMALA IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUNTA MALDONALDO TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 93.3W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 93.3W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 93.1W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.7N 94.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.4N 94.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.1N 95.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 93.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.0N 96.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 17.5N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 10:53:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4885 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:48:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47966; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:48:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA55610 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:48:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160248.VAA05142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 206eb64e3a0886d5791e4d737f2ba3e4 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 985 WTPZ23 KNHC 160246 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0300Z FRI OCT 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 121.3W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 121.3W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 121.4W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.6N 120.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.4N 120.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.3N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 121.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 12.2N 119.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 12.2N 119.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 10:53:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:48:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA43690; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:46:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10258022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA50072 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:46:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160246.VAA05115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:46:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df8aaa822346939d256728591b85ecdc X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 954 WTPZ43 KNHC 160246 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS REAPPEARED INTERMITTENTLY DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED AND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE STILL 2.0. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 30 KT AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LAST ADVISORY. SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE LAST SUGGEST THAT KAY HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 140/04 KNOTS. THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS CONSIDERABLE SCATTER AT VARYING SPEEDS. THE GFDL...AVN AND UKMET CONTINUE THE IDEA OF THE DEPRESSION LOOPING TOWARD THE EAST TO EAST-NORTHEAST PARTIALLY IN RESPONSE TO THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE U.S. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS KAY ON A SLOW SOUTHEAST THEN EAST COURSE THROUGH 72 HOURS ASSUMING THAT IT MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. IF IT WEAKENS IT MAY TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO LOW-LEVEL STEERING. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 12.9N 121.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 12.6N 120.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 12.4N 120.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 12.3N 120.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 18/0000Z 12.2N 119.6W 30 KTS 72HR VT 19/0000Z 12.2N 119.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 10:53:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:52:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24064; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:51:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10257524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24280 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:50:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:50:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160150.UAA04467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:50:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db98f3fb88dece5b9370abda6a4b562a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 AXPZ20 KNHC 160148 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 16 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 121.4W AT 16/0000 UTC...AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E CENTERED NEAR 13.0W 93.0W AT 16/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1001 MB LOW...IS LOCATED NEAR 18N108W. IT IS MOVING NW 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 14N121W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PRESENT 50 NM TO THE NORTHWEST OF STRONG CONVECTION AND 30-50 NM ELSEWHERE FROM STRONG CONVECTION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E... SYSTEM BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH TIME...AND LIKELY UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS BY 16/0300 UTC. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION MORE CONCENTRATED FROM 13N-14N BETWEEN 94W-96W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 92W-94W... AND FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 94W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 95W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING INTO A BAND EXTENDS WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 8N92W-10N91W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 106W-107W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 18N109W 20N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LINE 14N108W 17N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N90W 12N105W 10N110W 9N120W 9N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W-106W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W- 120W AND 127W-129W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZE REMAINDER OF ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFFSHORE NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 9N86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N88W 13N88W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF NORTHERN COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626237-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 07:59:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA25000; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:58:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10256090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA52874 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:58:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA03145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:58:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152358.SAA03145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:58:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfc2c2a356822ac7526870f0d103e34b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 WTPZ34 KNHC 152358 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...FLOOD THREAT FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPICATE GUATEMALA TO PUERTO ARISTA MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH... 11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE AND WHEN THEY SPREAD INLAND THEY COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...13.0 N... 93.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-17766>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 06:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39538; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:47:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10255110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:47:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA44126 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:47:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152247.RAA01790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:47:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4efb36b0e39141fe979306a9abdf92d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 180 ABPZ20 KNHC 152246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 1015 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628549-4282>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:51:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49988; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:50:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28210 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:50:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152050.PAA29582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:50:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9be81030d51a693c35a80dc17a869f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 048 WTPZ34 KNHC 152041 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...FLOOD THREAT FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPICATE GUATEMALA TO PUERTO ARISTA MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE AND WHEN THEY SPREAD INLAND THEY COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...13.0 N... 92.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628532-4283>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:49:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52828; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:47:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44104 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:47:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:47:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152047.PAA29524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:47:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3447613438c694afa2b3200b852cf43b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 WTPZ24 KNHC 152031 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z THU OCT 15 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPICATE GUATEMALA TO PUERTO ARISTA MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 92.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 92.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 92.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.6N 93.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.3N 93.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.2N 94.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 45NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 92.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.0N 95.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 17.5N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628597-4282>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:32:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52998; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:31:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13030 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:31:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152031.PAA29110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:31:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2214262efca9c695ee55c15ddbeae53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 867 WTPZ44 KNHC 152030 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 DEEP CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY FORMING CLOSER TO THE CENTER. THE MOST RECENT T-NUMBERS AVAILABLE ARE 2.5 FROM TAFB AND 2.0 FROM SAB AND AFWA. HENCE...THE CONSENSUS IS THAT THE TD IN NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE MOTION APPEARS TO BE TOWARD 325 DEGREES AT ABOUT 5 KT. THE 12Z AVN LARGE-SCALE PATTERN AT 500 MB RESEMBLES ITS 06Z COUNTERPART ...KEEPING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN A GENERAL SE TO NW STEERING CURRENT TO THE SW OF AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ASSOCIATED TRACK MODELS...INCLUDING THE GFDL...SHOW A NW HEADING. THE NHC FORECAST DOES AS WELL...WITH THE SYSTEM NEAR THE COAST IN AROUND 48 HOURS. EVEN IF THAT OCCURS...THE SUBSEQUENT TRACK BECOMES HIGHLY UNCERTAIN BECAUSE THE MOUNTAINS OF SW MEXICO COULD DIVERT THE CYCLONE EITHER UP THE COAST TOWARD ACAPULCO OR THROUGH THE GAP NORTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE UKMET AND NOGAPS...ON THE OTHER HAND...SHOW LITTLE MOTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE PRIMARY THREAT OVER LAND REMAINS PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN...FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 13.0N 92.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 13.6N 93.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 14.3N 93.7W 45 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 15.2N 94.7W 55 KTS 48HR VT 17/1800Z 16.0N 95.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 18/1800Z 17.5N 97.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628578-4283>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:32:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22200; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:30:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA53152 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:30:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152030.PAA29073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:30:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1f3f6e9e82eb40532827b14b6a2b652 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 857 WTPZ23 KNHC 152029 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 2100Z THU OCT 15 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 121.7W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 121.7W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 121.7W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 121.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 13.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 13.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627737-4282>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:31:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54914; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:29:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA47898 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:29:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152029.PAA28981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:29:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8872e9f00d3cf5ddd27962d4b9a5e668 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 813 WTPZ43 KNHC 152028 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 DVORAK T-NUMBERS CAME BACK UP TO 2.0 AT 1800Z...BUT CONVECTION HAS SUBSEQUENTLY FIZZLED AGAIN. THE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 30 KT AND LITTLE CHANGE IS FORECAST. KAY HAS BARELY MOVED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS...PERHAPS A SW DRIFT. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION WILL BE SHOWN FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD...IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NOGAPS. OTHER MODELS SHOW SCATTERED HEADINGS BUT GENERALLY A SLOW MOTION. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 13.4N 121.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 13.4N 121.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 13.4N 121.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 13.4N 121.7W 30 KTS 48HR VT 17/1800Z 13.4N 121.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 18/1800Z 13.4N 121.7W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:33:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3830 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628441-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:34:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA48064; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:25:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10247210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:25:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA48030 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:25:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:25:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151325.IAA17939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:25:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce4b44b824e1eeff1fd4dd1e05f9c630 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 030 AXPZ20 KNHC 151324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 15 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 13.5N 121.9W AT 15/1200 UTC MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/ MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 92.0W AT 15/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1002 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N107W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 120W-123W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 90W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N85W-14N90W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 102W-108W WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER ON THE E SIDE. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N103W-21N107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N89W 10N100W 8N120W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 4N78W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628446-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:09:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA59350; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:09:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:09:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59288 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:08:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:08:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151008.FAA15861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:08:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1c88187678a30b1a125b22dc13dc079 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 321 ABPZ20 KNHC 151006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 980 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1078 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628376-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:42:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48724; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:31:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA18754 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:31:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150831.DAA15006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 736e9d2437a3748cd42bcb2e59e92b41 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 WTPZ44 KNHC 150831 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER-ORGANIZED WITH INCREASED BANDING FEATURES...AND UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS FAIRLY PRONOUNCED OVER THE SYSTEM. THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS MORNING. THE CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CLIMATOLOGY AND THE SHIPS MODEL. THE MOTION IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN DUE TO INFRARED FIXES BUT IS ESTIMATED TO BE 285/05...JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...A 500 MB ANTICYCLONE THAT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EASTWARD AS A LARGE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THUS A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND THE GFDL MODEL SUGGESTS AN EVEN MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. HOWEVER THAT MODEL DOES NOT HAVE A VERY GOOD TRACK RECORD FOR EASTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 11.7N 92.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 12.0N 93.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 12.6N 94.0W 50 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 13.5N 95.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 17/0600Z 14.5N 96.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 18/0600Z 17.0N 98.0W 50 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4066 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628357-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:31:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18714; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:30:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244317 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15624 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:30:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150830.DAA15001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:30:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d725cb546b82502515d5992bdc33a23 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 667 WTPZ24 KNHC 150829 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0900Z THU OCT 15 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 92.3W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 92.3W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 92.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.0N 93.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.6N 94.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.5N 95.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 92.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 14.5N 96.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628381-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18828; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:28:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44154 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:28:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150828.DAA14985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:28:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa6099ab2961f96bac4ff5e1f5b8256c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 WTPZ43 KNHC 150828 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 A LIMITED AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN RECURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE...SO THE SYSTEM IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A 30- KNOT DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME. THE FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR DISSIPATION IN THE 36 HOUR TIME FRAME. MOTION CONTINUES TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. THE NOGAPS MODEL ALSO SHOWS A FAIRLY SIMILAR TRACK. AS NOTED EARLIER...OTHER MODELS SUCH AS THE UKMET AND GFDL SHOW THE SYSTEM LOOPING TOWARD THE EAST AND EAST-NORTHEAST IN A DAY OR TWO. THIS IS APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFYING NEAR THE U.S. WEST COAST. HOWEVER IT IS PRESUMED THAT KAY WILL BE SO WEAK THAT IT WILL BE STEERED PRIMARILY BY THE NEAR-SURFACE NORTHEAST TRADEWIND FLOW. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 13.6N 121.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 13.0N 122.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 12.5N 122.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 12.0N 123.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628367-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:32:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44136; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:27:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA18774 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:27:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150827.DAA14981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:27:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e46b727e91fcd28e90410c732eda5ba9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 628 WTPZ23 KNHC 150827 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0900Z THU OCT 15 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 121.5W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 210 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 121.5W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 121.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.0N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 121.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628223-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA04304; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:38:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:38:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54190 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:38:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:38:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150738.CAA14507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:38:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92d81ef60769f61b91d7d61777ec3f63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 830 AXPZ20 KNHC 150735 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 15 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM KAY WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 15/0300 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 13.8N 121.3W AT 15/0600 UTC MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 11N92W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 15/0300 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.6N 92.0W AT 15/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1002 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N107W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0645 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N92.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 95.5W FROM 13N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W TO 91W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N92W 10N94W TO 13N95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N95W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N108W TO 16N105W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N105W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 19N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N89W 10N103W 9N110W 7N123W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N106W TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO NEAR 21N105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 101W FROM 11N TO 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N97W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 12:39:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 12:35:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAB15798; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:29:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:29:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA53152 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:29:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:29:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150429.XAA13077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:29:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7a5aa634421bb066c268bfab58b74c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 ABPZ20 KNHC 150428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 405 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FRO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 11:18:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625969-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 11:16:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40546; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:15:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:15:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA64336 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:15:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:15:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150315.WAA12481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:15:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09d328ed590545dd95a8440cd16f589c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 WTPZ24 KNHC 150314 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 0300Z THU OCT 15 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 91.7W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 91.7W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 91.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.6N 92.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.1N 93.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.7N 94.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 91.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 13.5N 95.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 97.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 11:18:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625945-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 11:16:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40686; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:14:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:14:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA10452 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:14:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150314.WAA12463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:14:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39139a1bc8cb975f4ca293479be27113 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 439 WTPZ44 KNHC 150314 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. A BANDING FEATURE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER WHILE CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING NEAR/ AROUND THE CENTER. DVORAK PATTERN-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 2.0. THUS...THE SYSTEM IS BEING UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14-E. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS A LARGE ENVELOPE AND THE OUTFLOW IS BECOMING WELL- ESTABLISHED. WITH SUFFICIENTLY WARM WATERS AND LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LINES OF THE DVORAK DEVELOPMENT CURVE...AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS. THE ONLY POSSIBLE HINDERANCE TO STRENGTHENING BEYOND 24-36 HOURS MAY BE THE PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO LAND. SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS SUGGEST THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING ON A SLOW WESTWARD PATH. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/04 KNOTS. ALL THE AVAILABLE 00Z TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK...AS IT IS STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THE NHC TRACK IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH P9UK AND CLIPER. THE CURRENT TRACK DOES NOT REQUIRE ANY WATCH OR WARNING ISSUANCES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THIS COULD CHANGE IF THE SYSTEM HEADS ON A MORE NORTHWEST COURSE AND/OR INCREASES IN SPEED. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE GUATEMALA AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 11.4N 91.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 11.6N 92.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 12.1N 93.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 12.7N 94.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 17/0000Z 13.5N 95.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 18/0000Z 15.5N 97.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 11:09:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626015-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 11:03:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA64436; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10241868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39288 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150303.WAA12393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0524a37433f69dad62281fcb3fffa2d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 WTPZ23 KNHC 150303 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0300Z THU OCT 15 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 121.1W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OR 205 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 121.1W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 121.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.9N 122.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.7N 123.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 121.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 11:09:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-16748>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 11:05:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA64400; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10241862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39282 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150303.WAA12389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:03:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kay Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e71e526c15fa2899080eb09d8772b610 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 139 WTPZ43 KNHC 150302 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 KAY HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION HAVING ALL BUT DISAPPEARED. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN A FLARE-UP IN A NARROW BAND OF SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER IT IS INSUFFICIENT FOR DVORAK CLASSIFICATION PURPOSES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 30 KNOTS AND KAY IS DOWNGRADED TO DEPRESSION STATUS. THE FORECAST HAS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING BY 36 HOURS. THE DEPRESSION HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE IN A SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 205/06 KNOTS. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST ...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS SCENARIO. THE AVN AND GFDL HAVE NOW JOINED THE UKMET IN LOOPING THE SYSTEM BACK TO THE NORTHEAST. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 14.1N 121.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 13.5N 121.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 12.9N 122.3W 25 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 12.7N 123.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 10:46:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <640231-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 09:22:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA59682; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:21:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10240268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:20:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37762 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:20:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:19:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150119.UAA10983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:19:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe1cb4f2fc319c1c13162ff812dda8de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 AXPZ20 KNHC 150118 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 15 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 121.0W AT 15/0000 UTC MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 7 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1004 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N92W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND STRENGTHENING. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1002 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N107W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM KAY... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE SW QUADRANT FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 121W-123W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N91W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN CLUSTERS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 87W-96W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N107W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG PERSISTS FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 102W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N76W 10N90W 10N100W 9N110W 8N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 103W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER INTERIOR PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 81W-86W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2810 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <634545-2476>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:14:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA13674; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:39:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10237387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:39:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA34818 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:39:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA08754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:39:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810142239.RAA08754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:39:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 877ca6cf2ee1be88f6b5ce9ce8588d4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 ABPZ20 KNHC 142237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KAY LOCATED ABOUT 915 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630469-23188>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA43748; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:12:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10236473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:12:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA40112 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:12:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810142111.QAA07025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa06f3bde0d876aa9918bab70d069f46 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 WTPZ23 KNHC 142033 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 2100Z WED OCT 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.9W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OR 210 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.9W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.8W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.2N 121.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.8N 121.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.6N 122.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 120.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 13.5N 123.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 13.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630476-23190>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:12:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA26630; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:12:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10236478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA40142 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:12:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810142111.QAA07021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d82944cfdc1789fa28c57d6c2d4048 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 030 WTPZ43 KNHC 142032 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 A SPOT OF THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION...BUT IT IS DISAPPEARING NOW. CURRENT WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS 35 KT...ABOUT 10 KT BELOW THE FORMAL DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE. KAY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE SSW...WITH THE 12Z AVN SHOWING WEAK STEERING CURRENTS TO PERSIST. WHILE TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE NOT KNOWN FOR STRENGTHENING WHEN MOVING IN THIS DIRECTION...WARMER WATERS ARE AHEAD IN THIS CASE WHICH SUGGESTS THAT SOME REDEVELOPMENT COULD EVENTUALLY OCCUR. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS AND THE NHC FORECAST SHOW A TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST. THE UKMET...WHICH SEEMS TO BE DOING QUITE WELL ON THIS SYSTEM...CONTINUES THE CYCLONIC LOOP. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 14.6N 120.9W 35 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 14.2N 121.4W 30 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 13.8N 121.9W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 13.6N 122.6W 30 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 13.5N 123.4W 30 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 13.5N 124.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628361-23188>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30296; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:59:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10235558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:59:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA40460 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:59:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141959.OAA04956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 14:59:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb45d77460ae8af553e2a9ed360a9f57 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 139 AXPZ20 KNHC 141928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 14 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 120.8W AT 14/1200 UTC MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 7 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N92W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1005 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N107W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM KAY... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N121W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N91W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-15N BETWEEN 87W-96W. THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N90W-8N93W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N107W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG PERSISTS FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 102W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 11N93W 11N101W 9N110W 8N120W 10N128W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-105W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 01:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628249-23190>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:01:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA48120; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:59:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10233458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:59:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41672 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:59:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:59:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141659.LAA00307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:59:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfd29b6c5f65b2a4eb7748ccd08a4bdb X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 675 ABPZ20 KNHC 141658 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KAY LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD WHILE GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628219-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:42:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63756; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10231211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26826 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141439.JAA26297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b44de9988795528f695b9992bf65813a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 046 WTPZ23 KNHC 141438 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 1500Z WED OCT 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 120.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 120.8W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.9N 121.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.6N 122.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.4N 123.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 120.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 14.4N 124.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 14.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1251 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628201-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63990; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10231207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26812 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141439.JAA26293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c6004191080babf3ae2e29795e4b17e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 WTPZ43 KNHC 141438 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS ESSENTIALLY VANISHED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND KAY COULD BE WEAKENING AS FAST AS IT STRENGTHENED YESTERDAY. DVORAK TECHNIQUE RULES CONSTRAIN SATELLITE ANALYSTS FROM LOWERING THEIR INTENSITY ESTIMATES TO BELOW A CI OF 3.5...55 KT...AT 1200 UTC. THERE COULD STILL BE A CIRCULATION ALOFT OF THAT STRENGTH. IT IS UNLIKELY...HOWEVER...LACKING A MECHANISM TO GENERATE/SUSTAIN SUCH A STRONG WIND AT THE SURFACE OR TO TRANSPORT IT THERE FROM ALOFT... THAT SURFACE WINDS ARE AS HIGH AS 55 KT. ERS-2 DATA IMPLY WINDS NO HIGHER THAN 40 KT...AND THIS IS THE OFFICIAL ESTIMATE FOR 1500 UTC. THE BEND IN TRACK TOWARD THE LEFT CONTINUES WITH INITIAL MOTION NOW SW...230/7 KT. A SLOW WEST TO SW MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSEST TO THE GFDL PREDICTION. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 15.4N 120.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 14.9N 121.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 14.6N 122.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 14.4N 123.4W 30 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 14.4N 124.1W 30 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 14.5N 125.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628252-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:40:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15838; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10231201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24756 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141439.JAA26288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:39:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffea59143d403515ce3972fff9f755cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 044 WTPZ43 KNHC 141438 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS ESSENTIALLY VANISHED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND KAY COULD BE WEAKENING AS FAST AS IT STRENGTHENED YESTERDAY. DVORAK TECHNIQUE RULES CONSTRAIN SATELLITE ANALYSTS FROM LOWERING THEIR INTENSITY ESTIMATES TO BELOW A CI OF 3.5...55 KT...AT 1200 UTC. THERE COULD STILL BE A CIRCULATION ALOFT OF THAT STRENGTH. IT IS UNLIKELY...HOWEVER...LACKING A MECHANISM TO GENERATE/SUSTAIN SUCH A STRONG WIND AT THE SURFACE OR TO TRANSPORT IT THERE FROM ALOFT... THAT SURFACE WINDS ARE AS HIGH AS 55 KT. ERS-2 DATA IMPLY WINDS NO HIGHER THAN 40 KT...AND THIS IS THE OFFICIAL ESTIMATE FOR 1500 UTC. THE BEND IN TRACK TOWARD THE LEFT CONTINUES WITH INITIAL MOTION NOW SW...230/7 KT. A SLOW WEST TO SW MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSEST TO THE GFDL PREDICTION. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 15.4N 120.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 14.9N 121.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 14.6N 122.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 14.4N 123.4W 30 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 14.4N 124.1W 30 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 14.5N 125.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 22:07:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2322 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628187-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:34:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA52612; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:30:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10230115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA10354 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:30:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141330.IAA24232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:30:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 708694e362eb79024a6b463e14328489 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 622 AXPZ20 KNHC 141329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 14 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE KAY WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM AT 14/0900 UTC. TROPICAL STORM KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 120.5W AT 14/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 4 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N92W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1005 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N107W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM KAY... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION CHARACTERIZES THE TROPICAL STORM. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N91W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 87W-92W. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED THAN IT WAS AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N107W... THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE MORE SYMMETRICAL THAN IT WAS AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE BROAD CENTER FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 103W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 11N91W 11N107W 9N120W 11N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N92W-11N99W- 14N98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-88W...AND 100W-108W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 18:18:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3219 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628083-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 18:15:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45334; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 05:11:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 05:10:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA55038 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 05:10:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 05:10:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141010.FAA22220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 05:10:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cf5e23b164d98507688d7b70dd489bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 ABPZ20 KNHC 140959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KAY LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD...DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:40:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628069-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:36:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63806; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:35:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52520 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:35:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:35:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140835.DAA21435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:35:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20787000bd7d2195040fd6a85cc70c70 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTPZ43 KNHC 140834 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 14 1998 IT IS DIFFICULT TO KEEP KAY AS A HURRICANE AT THIS TIME. THE EYE IS NO LONGER OBSERVED AND DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB HAVE BEEN DECREASING DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THERE IS ONLY A SMALL CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER BUT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD REDEVELOP ONCE AGAIN AND I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF KAY RESTRENGTHENS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS IT WITH 60 KNOTS THROUGH 48 HOURS AND THEN CALLS FOR SLOW WEAKENING AS PREVIOUS FORECAST. KAY IS WITHIN A NON-DESCRIPTIVE FLOW PATTERN AND WEAK STEERING CURRENTS. CONSEQUENTLY MODELS ARE SUGGESTING EVERY POSSIBLE TRACK. KAY IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...ABOUT 4 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS AS INDICATED BY THE GFDL. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 15.7N 120.1W 60 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 15.6N 120.7W 60 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 15.5N 121.2W 60 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 15.5N 121.7W 60 KTS 48HR VT 16/0600Z 15.5N 122.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 17/0600Z 15.5N 123.5W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:36:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4836 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627603-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:34:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA15228; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:32:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA10346 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140832.DAA21406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:32:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c05e553e883be54860ce91388e6a7f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 023 WTPZ23 KNHC 140832 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0900Z WED OCT 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 120.1W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 120.1W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 119.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.6N 120.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.5N 121.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.5N 121.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 120.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 15.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628088-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA10294; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:39:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:39:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17700 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:39:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140739.CAA20935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:39:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6a8866db4b46f80a5afd7c675c685f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 131 AXPZ20 KNHC 140737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 14 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 119.9W AT 14/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 3 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N91W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N107W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 13N129W HAS DISSIPATED. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N EAST OF 130W AND NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0646 UTC... HURRICANE KAY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 119.5W AND 121.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N91W... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N92W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N107W... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERING AN AREA FROM 16N TO 19.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 108.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N86W 6N91W 11N98W 10N110W 9N124W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE ITCZ FROM 90W TO 93W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N95W TO 13N98W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W IN NICARAGUA TO 90W AT THE BORDER OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627421-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 12:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA47952; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:02:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10227113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:02:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18812 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:01:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140401.XAA19108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:01:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c9cacfafac6f2c2bf471366b661cf55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 ABPZ20 KNHC 140359 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE KAY LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD...DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH - SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 11:04:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2791 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:02:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA40566; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:51:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10226445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30306 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:50:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140250.VAA18146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d04286ee3cc3bd3de8e5f761ff9ec3a7 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 204 ABPZ20 KNHC 140249 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR ISSUANCE TIME... FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE KAY LOCATED ABOUT 745 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD...DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST AND INLAND FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ALL OF THESE SYSTEMS ARE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST- NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 10:38:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:35:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA10350; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:30:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10226007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62808 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:30:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140230.VAA17845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:30:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Kay Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4f445d79ada6be2d71fbc55972f45c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 911 WTPZ23 KNHC 140229 TCMEP3 HURRICANE KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0300Z WED OCT 14 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.4W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.4W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 119.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.9N 120.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.8N 121.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 119.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 15.7N 121.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 15.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 10:36:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627445-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:29:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63862; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:28:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10225985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47964 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:28:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140228.VAA17824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:28:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Kay Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7910ae720bdd92ec4aaf98b78ec7e41f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 WTPZ43 KNHC 140228 TCDEP3 HURRICANE KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 KAY IS A COMPACT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A CDO-TYPE VISIBLE CLOUD PATTERN. THE PINHOLE EYE FEATURE WHICH WAS SEEN MOST OF THE DAY IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE. DVORAK INTENSITY CLASSIFICATIONS FROM SAB AND KGWC REMAIN 4.0 WHILE TAFB IS UP TO 3.5. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE REMAINS 65 KNOTS. THE OUTFLOW IS REASONABLY DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTH AND EAST QUADRANTS. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN A LIGHT VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...PER CIMSS ANALYSES. THE ONLY POSSIBLE DETRIMENT TO FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS THE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUD FIELD TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST MAINTAINS KAY AS A HURRICANE THROUGH 48 HOURS...CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. SATELLITE FIXES FROM TAFB...SAB AND KGWC ALL SUGGEST THAT KAY IS MOVING ON A MORE WESTERLY HEADING AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 270/03 KNOTS. THE TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS VERY CONSISTENT WITH THE 18Z OUTPUT WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING A W TO WNW TRACK... SOME INDICATING A WESTWARD TRACK FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST WHILE THE AVNI AND UKMET SUGGEST A SW TO S COURSE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK INDICATES A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH A MORE WSW HEADING THEREAFTER...IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH P9UK AND THE 18Z GFDL. THIS REPRESENTS A MODEST LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 16.0N 119.4W 65 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 16.0N 119.8W 70 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 15.9N 120.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 15.8N 121.1W 65 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 15.7N 121.7W 65 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 15.5N 122.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:48:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4310 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627319-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:43:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA34836; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:41:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10225430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:40:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35040 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:40:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140140.UAA17106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:40:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5ff7eed8aee514a00a7ef2f82fcc5ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 922 AXPZ20 KNHC 140138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 14 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 119.2W AT 14/0000 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 3 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/ MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N90W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N107W AT 14/0000 UTC DRIFTING WEST. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 13N129W AT 14/0000 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0100 UTC... HURRICANE KAY... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 118W-120W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N90W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF THE LOW CENTER FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 90W-93W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N107W... THE SYSTEM PERSISTS AS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-19N BETWEEN 105W-110W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N129W... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 126W-134W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 10N96W 12N110W 10N120W 12N130W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 83W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 90W-92W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:38:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626357-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 06:56:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA34866; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 17:55:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10223305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 17:55:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA34818 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 17:55:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA14494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 17:53:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810132253.RAA14494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 17:53:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f671b62b3fc3e50ab636775fc2ab7eb9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 ABPZ20 KNHC 132252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE KAY LOCATED ABOUT 745 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD...DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST AND INLAND FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ALL OF THESE SYSTEMS ARE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST- NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628036-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:28:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30354; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:28:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10221091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41556 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:27:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810132027.PAA11218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Kay Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f638e2364e74ce7d0bee4061fd1458d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 927 WTPZ23 KNHC 132027 TCMEP3 HURRICANE KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 2100Z TUE OCT 13 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.9W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.9W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.8W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 119.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.3N 119.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.4N 120.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 118.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 120.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 16.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628011-11325>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:28:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33890; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:27:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10221080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44238 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:26:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:26:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810132026.PAA11197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:26:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Kay Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f69944bcab730674dad3bfccec4a7c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 WTPZ43 KNHC 132026 TCDEP3 HURRICANE KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 AN EYE HAS PERSISTED ON MOST OF THE SATELLITE PICTURES FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND...WITH A T-NUMBER OF 4.0 FROM SAB...KAY IS UPGRADED TO A 65 KT HURRICANE. THE HEADING CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARD THE LEFT. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/3 KT. THE TRACK GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. A SLOW MOVEMENT IS IN STORE...WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING A W TO WNW HEADING. A TURN TOWARD THE S OR SW IS STILL SHOWN BY THE REMAINDER. THE NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO OUR PREVIOUS PREDICTION. WHILE THE LAST FEW SATELLITE PICTURES IMPLY SOME LEVELLING OFF AT THIS POINT...NHC AND SHIPS INTENSITY FORECASTS INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 16.1N 118.9W 65 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 16.2N 119.4W 70 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 16.3N 119.9W 75 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 16.4N 120.4W 75 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 16.5N 120.9W 65 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 16.5N 121.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA39958; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:33:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10220341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:33:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA40172 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:33:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131933.OAA09623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d624d04b551bed10a53515d03f582233 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 110 AXPZ20 KNHC 131929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 13 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13-E HAS INTENSIFIED AND TROPICAL STORM KAY HAS FORMED. TROPICAL STORM KAY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 118.8W AT 13/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 3 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N90W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 15N105W AT 13/1800 UTC DRIFTING WEST. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 13N129W AT 13/1800 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N90W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 86W-97W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N105W... THE SYSTEM PERSISTS AS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60-90 NM OF 20N106W-14N108W-9N109W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 13N129W... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 126W-134W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 14N105W 10N118W 13N129W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 01:10:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1739 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627947-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:38:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA37664; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10217911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48072 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:34:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131634.LAA04590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:34:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bca1879a909da0ef832fd5deae13427f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 310 ABPZ20 KNHC 131632 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KAY...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E... LOCATED ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST AND INLAND FROM ACAPULCO TO NEAR MANZANILLO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ALL OF THESE SYSTEMS ARE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST- NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL STORM KAY CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 23:05:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627944-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45348; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:39:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10216587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:38:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA43678 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:38:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:38:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131438.JAA01572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:38:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 642ae004952a039c944fc4ff969f32e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 WTPZ23 KNHC 131437 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 1500Z TUE OCT 13 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.7W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.7W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.5W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.2N 119.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.4N 119.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.6N 120.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 118.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 120.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 23:05:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627929-11328>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:40:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45412; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:37:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10216579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA43596 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:37:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:37:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131437.JAA01554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:37:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kay Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d17256a4c2eb923e2d2e89b0e6c5faa2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 164 WTPZ43 KNHC 131436 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 SATELLITE PICTURES HAVE INTERMITTENTLY REVEALED A SMALL WARM SPOT ...PERHAPS AN EYE. GIVEN THAT EXTREMELY RAPID INTENSITY CHANGES ...UP OR DOWN...SEEM TO OCCUR MOST OFTEN WITH SMALL SYSTEMS LIKE THIS ONE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD HAVE JUMPED TO HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER...DVORAK TECHNIQUE CLASSIFICATIONS AT 1200 UTC...WHEN THE WARM SPOT WAS NOT DISTINCT... WERE SOMEWHAT LOWER...45 TO 55 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE ADJUSTED UPWARD TO 60 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM KAY. THE TRACK CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BEND TOWARD THE LEFT...NOW 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT. KAY IS LOCATED TO THE SW OF A LARGE ANTICYCLONE AND TO THE SE OF A TROUGH NEAR THE U.S. WEST COAST. THE 06Z AVN OUTPUT SHOWS THE TROUGH BYPASSING KAY...WITH MOST ASSOCIATED TRACK MODELS AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK INDICATING THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR WNW FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE AVN ITSELF...THE UKMET...AND GFDL SHOW A SOUTHWESTWARD HEADING. A LITTLE MORE INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST...AS SHOWN BY THE SHIPS SCHEME. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 16.1N 118.7W 60 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 16.2N 119.0W 70 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 16.4N 119.6W 75 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 16.6N 120.2W 75 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 16.8N 120.9W 65 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 17.0N 122.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 21:33:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2333 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627947-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:29:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA41690; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:24:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10216051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40648 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:24:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:24:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131324.IAA29943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:24:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f2d43e105cf7bdfc5b68bb7c4e8a926 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 596 AXPZ20 KNHC 131322 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 13 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13-E IS CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 118.5W AT 13/1200 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 4 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N104W AT 13/1200 UTC DRIFTING WEST. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 13N129W AT 13/1200 UTC DRIFTING WEST. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ...1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N88W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N120W-15N116W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N104W... THE SYSTEM IS DESCRIBED AS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N105W-16N107W-10N109W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 13N129W... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 125W-133W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N88W 12N95W 15N106W 14N121W 13N129W 12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 92W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W...AND FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 86W-92W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 18:10:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627152-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 18:04:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24626; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:04:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10214817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:03:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA52714 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:03:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA28179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131003.FAA28179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:03:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a417a78606109b5fdd61fa2c23b2d11 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 310 ABPZ20 KNHC 131003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST AND INLAND FROM ACAPULCO TO NEAR MANZANILLO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 17:08:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4771 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627152-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 16:48:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA10446; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10214190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA43688 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130843.DAA27403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b340ff0cc1ed8517c0bf22727397c793 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 047 WTPZ23 KNHC 130842 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0900Z TUE OCT 13 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 118.3W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 118.3W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 118.1W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.2N 118.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.6N 119.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 120.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 118.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.3N 120.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 17:08:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4659 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627059-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 16:44:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA10426; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10214186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA43680 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130843.DAA27399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:43:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 874e972590a5a34f56b04f318a5eafca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 046 WTPZ43 KNHC 130842 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 1998 THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IR IMAGES BUT INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/04 BASED ON PAST 24 HOURS OF MOTION. THE AVIATION MODEL ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FOLLOWING THE LARGE SCALE STEERING CURRENTS FROM A RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY LBAR AND THE BAM MODELS. HOWEVER THE GFDL MODEL DRIFTS THE SYSTEM SOUTHEASTWARD FOR 30 HOURS AND THEN DISSIPATES IT. THE UKMET DRIFTS THE SYSTEM SOUTHWESTWARD FOR 3 DAYS AND THE AVATION MODEL SHOWS LITTLE MOTION FOR 3 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND A LITTLE SLOWER...OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE DIVERGENCE OF THE GUIDANCE. SOME CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST. THE SHIPS MODEL CALLS FOR SLIGHT STRENGTHENING AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 15.9N 118.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 16.2N 118.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 16.6N 119.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 17.0N 120.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 17.3N 120.9W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 18.0N 122.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 16:15:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626945-11328>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:52:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40634; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:46:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10214047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24734 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:46:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130746.CAA26931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:46:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0982462f17035b3bf2bd68acaae82ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 178 AXPZ20 KNHC 130743 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 13 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13-E HAS DEVELOPED AND ITS CENTER IS NEAR 15.8N 118.1W AT 13/0600 UTC MOVING NW 5 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N103W AT 13/0600 UTC DRIFTING WEST. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N130W AT 13/0600 UTC DRIFTING WEST. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 11N85W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...DISSIPATING COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N132W BEYOND 28N140W. MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N126W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 20N TO 32N BETWEEN 115W AND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13-E... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 119W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N103W... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE LINE 17N103W-14N107W- 12N109W-10N108W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 12N130W... BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-10N98W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 93W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 6N77W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 8N91W-7N87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N87.5W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 13:05:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1096 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-11328>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:35:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39424; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 23:35:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10212687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 23:35:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA12270 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 23:35:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 23:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130435.XAA25669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 23:35:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4aa1e7970040c7219a79eda7d1ce2e96 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 440 ABPZ20 KNHC 130433 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS JUST OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST AND INLAND FROM ACAPULCO TO NEAR MANZANILLO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626319-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:39:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45666; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:33:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17736 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:33:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130233.VAA24582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:33:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b65c1b9342d8efced5ba9a87b67f65e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 WTPZ23 KNHC 130232 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1398 0300Z TUE OCT 13 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 118.0W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 118.0W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.6N 118.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.2N 119.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.9N 120.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 118.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA66054; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:32:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30958 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:32:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130232.VAA24570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:32:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fc89f1e1cc4db9f587221af70bb88c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 368 WTPZ43 KNHC 130231 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 12 1998 WE HAVE BEEN TRACKING A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS INITIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ AND BEGAN LIFTING NORTHWARD ON THE 10TH BECOMING DETACHED FROM THE ITCZ ON THE 11TH. WHILE THE SYSTEM HAS HAD A SMALL WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FOR THE LAST 18-24 HOURS THE COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN MEAGER. HOWEVER...THE AREAL EXTENT OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS EXPANDED SUFFICIENTLY DURING THE LAST 6-9 HOURS TO WARRANT UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. FURTHERMORE...DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH KGWC AND SAB ARE NOW 2.0. THUS...ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON TD THIRTEEN-E AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KNOTS. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC AND ANALYSES FROM THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES...CIMSS...AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATES LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST..IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE PREDICTION SCHEME..SHIPS..WITH THE SYSTEM ATTAINING TROPICAL STORM STATUS BY 12 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 320/05 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE SYSTEM ON A SLOW NORTHWESTERLY COURSE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH LBAR AND BAMD. THE GFDL IS THE RIGHT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE TAKING THE SYSTEM ON A SLOW EAST-NORTHEAST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 16.2N 118.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 16.6N 118.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 17.2N 119.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 17.9N 120.6W 40 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 18.5N 121.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 19.0N 123.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626774-11328>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:39:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39944; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:34:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10210659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:34:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA50148 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:34:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:34:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130134.UAA23833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:34:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a3a8945cb615ecb65aca00f2e6c8729 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 247 AXPZ20 KNHC 130132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 13 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N103W AT 13/0000 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N118W AT 13/0000 UTC DRIFTING WEST NORTHWEST 5 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N129W AT 13/0000 UTC DRIFTING WEST. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 11N85W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 28N140W... MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N125W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 19N UP TO COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N103W... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER A BROAD AREA FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 100W-110W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N118W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 116W-119W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 12N129W... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-13N BETWEEN 128W-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 8N90W 5N94W 8N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 80W-83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 93W-95W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 89W-93W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3817 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626036-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 07:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA59220; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:30:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10208666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA15240 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA21298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122230.RAA21298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07c2b2e5be1d2f962f2822add0af46ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 927 ABPZ20 KNHC 122228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM PERSISTS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO NEAR MANZANILLO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STRONG SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627859-6147>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 04:02:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39078; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:01:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10206583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45642 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:01:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122001.PAA16056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:01:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddcc28d06c6e0e57272b09088b0ba5f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 AXPZ20 KNHC 121935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 12 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N102W AT 12/1800 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N118W AT 12/1800 UTC DRIFTING WEST NORTHWEST 5 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER SOUTH NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 11N85W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPED NEAR 12N129W. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N133W TO BEYOND 28N140W... MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 15-20 KNOTS. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N125W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 19N UP TO COLD FRONT W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N101W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N101W TO 19N105W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N109W TO 17N107W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE LOCATED FROM 10N-22N BETWEEN 100W-110W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N117W... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 15N118W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 115W-121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 11N90W 12N100W 13N117W 10N121W 11N127W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627858-6148>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 04:02:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA41560; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:01:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10206572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:00:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39428 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:00:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:00:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122000.PAA16039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:00:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 395e6bad56e1bcf248bacc838f4829bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 AXPZ20 KNHC 121933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 12 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N102W AT 12/1800 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N118W AT 12/1800 UTC DRIFTING WEST NORTHWEST 5 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER SOUTH NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 11N85W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPED NEAR 12N129W. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N133W TO BEYOND 28N140W... MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 15-20 KNOTS. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N125W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 19N UP TO COLD FRONT W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N101W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N101W TO 19N105W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N109W TO 17N107W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE LOCATED FROM 10N-22N BETWEEN 100W-110W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N117W... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 15N118W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 115W-121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 11N90W 12N100W 13N117W 10N121W 11N127W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 03:45:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2072 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627775-6149>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 00:52:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA43540; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:51:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10203880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41986 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121651.LAA11132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:51:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66e4fff5193a23872455ea3f5ecb573c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 492 ABPZ20 KNHC 121648 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER... ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS JUST BELOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. HOWEVER... THE SYSTEM IS ENTRAINING DRY STABLE AIR FROM THE NORTH AND THIS MAY INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 21:54:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:31:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA64518; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:29:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10200300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:29:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39404 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121329.IAA06482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:29:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb1f12e5a6427e822ffecf19f0d45493 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 718 AXPZ20 KNHC 121328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 12 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N101W AT 12/1200 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 15N117W AT 12/1200 UTC DRIFTING WEST NORTHWEST 5 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N137W TO BEYOND 30N140W... MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N127W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 19N UP TO COLD FRONT W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N101W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 100W-103W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N107W TO 16N108W 18N104W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE LOCATED FROM 10N-22N BETWEEN 98W-110W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N117W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 116W-118W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 114W-121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N90W 11N100W 12N110W 12N118W 11N124W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-83W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-90W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N128W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W TO BEYOND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION OFF COAST OF EL SALVADOR WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N89W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 18:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA67210; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10199207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:55:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44114 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:55:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA05125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121055.FAA05125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:55:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9494882e33293319f6cab62700ee7aaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 255 ABPZ20 KNHC 121053 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO AND INLAND. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE WELL ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA67264; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:58:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15782 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:58:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA04934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:58:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120958.EAA04934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:58:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26274ec3b9795d3f986ea18159d5c25e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABPZ20 KNHC 120957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR PUNTA MALDONALDO THROUGH LAZARO CARDENAS. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626625-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:47:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26510; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:46:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45436 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:45:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120745.CAA04223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:45:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17183a762f9836bb025a97edc897b4bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 064 AXPZ20 KNHC 120743 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 12 0CT 1998 ...COR FOR SAT INTERPRETATION FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCES... AND FOR PARTS OF THE ITCZ... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N99W AT 12/0600 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N117W AT 12/0600 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 31N140W... MOVING S/SE 10 KT. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N127W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EPAC FROM 15N TO COLD FRONT W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N99W... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 101W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 18N100.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N117W... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 118.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-10N94W-12N117W- 10N130W-9N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N105.5W AND 13N106.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 16N106.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 127W AND 128W...AND BETWEEN 128W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 7N82W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 87W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN 77W AND 78W...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 8N85W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 21N103.5W OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MEXICO...DISSIPATING CONVECTION JUST WEST OF THIS AREA. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1640 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626625-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:40:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45724; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:36:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:36:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54922 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:36:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:36:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120736.CAA04179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:36:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9fa2c2fd02fd75d85b782f7c361a852 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 703 AXPZ20 KNHC 120733 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 12 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N99W AT 12/0600 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N117W AT 12/0600 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 31N140W... MOVING S/SE 10 KT. ...1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N127W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS EPAC FROM 15N TO COLD FRONT W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N100W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 98W-101W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N117W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-10N94W-12N117W- 10N130W-9N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 127W AND 128W...AND BETWEEN 128W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 7N82W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 87W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN 77W AND 78W...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 8N85W.69 TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626118-6146>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:43:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA67104; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:40:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10196715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:40:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA64526 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:40:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120340.WAA03007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:40:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5039511be97ad20216f2649eea1cfbb3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 110 ABPZ20 KNHC 120336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR PUNTA MALDONALDO THROUGH LAZARO CARDENAS. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626055-4123>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:39:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA49098; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:38:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10195453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:38:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA57528 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:38:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:38:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120138.UAA02002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:38:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 076acfb63a89779af4dad52fc7fb969e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 783 AXPZ20 KNHC 120136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 12 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N100W AT 12/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N117W AT 12/0000 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ...1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N129W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N100W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 98W-101W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N117W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 10N94W 12N100W 13N110W 11N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 78W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 93W-95W...AND FROM 12N-13N BETWEEN 126W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 84W-88W...FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 103W-110W...AND FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 98W-99W...AND FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 1-2W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 87W-91W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1397 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625928-4123>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 07:23:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA67230; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 18:21:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10194118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 18:21:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA59276 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 18:21:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA00527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 18:21:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810112321.SAA00527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 18:21:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 745d943a932fb117bc5c2bd19567a87b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 ABPZ20 KNHC 112320 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR HUATULCO THROUGH LAZARO CARDENAS. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4262 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-22728>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:43:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45332; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:42:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10192296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:40:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64722 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:40:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:40:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111940.OAA28384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:40:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ff3b93ce6381cc1e5e5d6f47d1121af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 558 AXPZ20 KNHC 111938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 11 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 15N98W AT 11/1800 UTC DRIFTING WEST NORTHWEST. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N117W AT 11/1800 UTC MOVING NORTH 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ...1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N130W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N98W... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE NEAR THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 101W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N99W TO 16N94W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 11N-20N BETWEEN 93W-107W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N117W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N117W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS LOCATED FROM 9N-17N BETWEEN 115W-121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N80W 7N90W 12N100W 14N109W 14N114W 11N120W 12N126W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-82W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-89W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N94W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-110W... AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 78W-84W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627485-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:14:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA39272; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:13:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:11:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24348 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:11:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:11:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111611.LAA26446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:11:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b77b4d91e6b6566929460ec57b18667 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 ABPZ20 KNHC 111607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION SINCE YESTERDAY...BUT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR HUATULCO THROUGH LAZARO CARDENAS. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION...THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 21:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA66052; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA54918 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:29:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111329.IAA25479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:29:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10fab2f1ce3b30fda5b1a506974f65a1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 AXPZ20 KNHC 111328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 11 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 15N98W AT 11/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N117W NEARLY STATIONARY. ...1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N130W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 94W-104W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 11N-20N BETWEEN 94W-105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N80W 7N90W 12N97W 11N105W 13N110W 11N119W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N93W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-110W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-122W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 78W-84W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 18:02:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA59674; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 05:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 05:00:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA66296 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 05:00:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA24818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 05:00:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111000.FAA24818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 05:00:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3cb5a6cba757b41cfc448f08ee75e125 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 448 ABPZ20 KNHC 110958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ALONG AND OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO IS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:22:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52302; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:21:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:19:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30440 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:19:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA23998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:19:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110719.CAA23998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:19:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f81dea6479ed529756ae14341d5868c4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 944 AXPZ20 KNHC 110716 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 11 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 15N96W AT 11/0600 UTC DRIFTING WEST. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N118W MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ALONG MEXICO COAST IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 18N102W-18N98W-14N99W-18N102W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AREA FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 97.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W-10N93W-11N106W- 12N119W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3.5N TO 6.5N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS OF 8N82W AND 11N87W...AND FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N106W-10N103W-10N107W-13N106W. ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N109W. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627033-22732>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:31:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39954; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:29:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA64766 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:29:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA22408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:29:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110329.WAA22408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:29:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a1c25878001009f7a2dbea1cfd0ec38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 ABPZ20 KNHC 110327 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ALONG AND OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO. SATELLITE PICTURES CONTINUE TO SHOW A CENTER OF CLOUD ROTATION OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...BUT SURFACE DATA DOES NOT INDICATE A CORRESPONDING SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626684-22732>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:40:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54740; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 20:38:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 20:37:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12206 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 20:37:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 20:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110137.UAA21601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 20:37:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa55a2c6b611fb8f133d3d248b985b13 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 381 AXPZ20 KNHC 110136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 11 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ...1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N96W. IT IS DRIFTING NORTH. ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N118W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 12N100W 10N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 77W-82W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 104W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 83W-87W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 127W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 94W-96W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 97W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 86W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 91W-104W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626486-22732>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 07:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA49610; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:43:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10185592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA48056 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:43:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810102243.RAA20597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:43:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d39506af3792b906c40f88d5fad9a78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 ABPZ20 KNHC 102240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ALONG AND OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO. SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A CENTER OF CLOUD ROTATION OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...BUT DATA FROM SHIPS AND LAND SITES SUGGEST THAT THERE IS NO CORRESPONDING SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF ACAPULCO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627483-28859>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:30:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30734; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:29:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA23280 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:29:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810101929.OAA18833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:29:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe82f71feb9aefbdee1092d7e10a03c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 121 AXPZ20 KNHC 101927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 10 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 15N95W. IT IS DRIFTING NORTH. ...1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N117W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 12N95W 10N100W 10N106W 13N116W 13N125W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 91W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-120W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2479 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 21:39:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24438; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 08:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 08:36:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA48994 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 08:36:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 08:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810091336.IAA01244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 08:36:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5fae65238cb61972b969d8d6e4f38039 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 AXPZ20 KNHC 091334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 09 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N93W MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N127W MOVING WEST 15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N85W 11N90W 9N100W 11N110W 13N120W 13N125W 10N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-91W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-105W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-118W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N129W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N95W TO 12N102W...AND OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N81W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627091-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 15:39:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA46550; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:38:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA66242 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:38:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090738.CAA08580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:38:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa094d442faf4f50b6c5c417dcadcbed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 AXPZ20 KNHC 090736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 09 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N125W MOVING WEST 15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N85W-14N117W-12N125W- 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 3.5N78W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 87.5W AND 90W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER REST OF AREA WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE 13N102W-8N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 121W AND 122W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 124W AND 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 14N109W...FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 108W AND 113W...AND FROM 13.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 12N94W... AND FROM 13N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION ALONG EL SALVADOR COAST WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N88.5W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-26109>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 12:25:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA62550; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:08:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA46380 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:07:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:07:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090407.XAA06783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 23:07:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa73998f1029c11d65264e79794c00a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 ABPZ20 KNHC 090405 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626180-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:40:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54996; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:40:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10183808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:39:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16794 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:39:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090139.UAA04566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:39:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de33028ca2d37d57bec4e4bee5bc0ed3 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 AXPZ20 KNHC 090138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 09 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW FOUND NEAR 12N123W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N88W 12N95W 9N107W 13N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 89W-92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-114W AND 137W-138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-100W AND 118W-120W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W-82W AND 125W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 108W-111W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 111W-125W. BOTH AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH SWATH OF LOWER PRESSURES OVER THAT PORTION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL COSTA RICA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF GUATEMALA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W-104W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-16796>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 06:22:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA41162; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:21:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10181573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:21:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA49080 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:21:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:21:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810082221.RAA01410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:21:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a06fd18e4d2493c39927fa1b7efcf40b Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 622 ABPZ20 KNHC 082220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627835-16794>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 05:56:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA62486; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:54:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10181006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA44036 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:54:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA00649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810082154.QAA00649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:54:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bae2bacf9e5855c0162fca9641e970e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 692 AXPZ20 KNHC 082129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 08 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N89W 11N95W 15N108W 12N120W 9N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-90W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 90W-101W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-110W...AND WEST OF 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-122W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-117W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627745-16796>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 04:25:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62432; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:23:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10180050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:23:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14512 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:23:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810082023.PAA27696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:23:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a3ba5688ae3986c7c54d92e107287a6 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 AXPZ20 KNHC 081922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 08 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N89W 11N95W 15N108W 12N120W 9N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-90W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 90W-101W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-110W...AND WEST OF 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-122W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-117W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1318 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627745-16794>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 00:56:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA39188; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:55:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10177136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA59336 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:55:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:55:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081655.LAA20932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 11:55:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4afebec7900aaafe9e89a4e00a8ad801 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 983 ABPZ20 KNHC 081641 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627813-16794>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:26:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA62492; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:25:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10174838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30458 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:25:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081325.IAA14813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:25:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ccf8874edc61da7d48d65aced38ab4c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 AXPZ20 KNHC 081323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 08 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ...THE 1009 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 14N106W IS NO LONGER EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ...A DIFFUSING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N126W AND CONTINUES TO 28N137W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE AREA OF THE DIFFUSING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N89W 9N99W 15N109W 11N124W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-108W...AND WEST OF 117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N91W-13N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM 14N95W-17N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N123W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626777-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 18:26:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13740; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:25:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:25:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA24472 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:25:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:25:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081025.FAA12693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:25:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c39c906325749a36a5c6339cb30389d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 ABPZ20 KNHC 081021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627229-16793>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:26:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45640; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:26:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:26:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54582 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:26:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:26:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080726.CAA10862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:26:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c64a9a0c577e2e153eda734fe51b354 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 286 AXPZ20 KNHC 080721 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 08 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0600 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N106W. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 9N100W 12N110W 11N124W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N98W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 8N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 13N118W TO 11N124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N88W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 16N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 99W TO 101W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 11N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N126W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626786-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 12:16:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54604; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 23:09:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10172172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 23:08:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40972 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 23:08:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 23:08:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080408.XAA09040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 23:08:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26bb80060840488923971e2064fa3cbf Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 ABPZ20 KNHC 080405 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626870-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 09:39:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52272; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:33:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10170182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA43546 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:32:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080132.UAA06873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 20:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bd2b607467af696565bdfc0998500b0 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 611 AXPZ20 KNHC 080131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 08 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ...1008 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 12N103W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 9N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-89W...123W-127W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-123W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-101W AND WEST OF135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 14N106W IS ASSOCIATED WITH 1010 MB LOW. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER WESTERN PORTION OF EL SALVADOR. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 92W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION INLAND COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 5N-7N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3428 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627529-14069>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 06:31:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA41990; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 17:29:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10168413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 17:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA64500 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 17:29:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 17:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810072228.RAA03307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 17:28:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c6c3508923228d165ed863094994f34 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 ABPZ20 KNHC 072226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627571-14067>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 03:24:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58862; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:22:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10166322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:22:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA39118 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:22:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:22:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071922.OAA27855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:22:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f35c6b85399f1ea0b6a504c5310d503c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 AXPZ20 KNHC 071920 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 07 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N104W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N88W 8N100W 10N110W 10N125W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N78W-7N80W- 9N87W-8N100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 88W-95W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF 15N104W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1010 MB LOW. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N106W-15N114W-14N124W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N131W-9N140W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627670-14059>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 00:47:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA39468; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:36:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10163917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:35:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA53214 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:35:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:35:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071635.LAA21998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:35:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 719ff6140b90815cb3fa824dd843b87c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 944 ABPZ20 KNHC 071614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2455 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627694-14067>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 00:43:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA53240; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:29:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10163861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA63956 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071629.LAA21801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bd1d560c039f47bd6be69f5b2b0ce38 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 770 ABPZ20 KNHC 071614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:42:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA54758; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:31:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10161179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA43608 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071330.IAA16282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:30:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6641e58635e1cc8614e04c9ce0a2b94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 AXPZ20 KNHC 071328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 07 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N86W 8N100W 11N115W 11N127W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-81W...FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 82W-89W...AND FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 118W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 105W-118W...AND FROM 5N-12N WEST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 92W FROM 9N-13N...AND FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 96W FROM 14N-26N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N103W-17N104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N86W-11N91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N BETWEEN 105W-112W... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N BETWEEN 120W-128W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627543-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 18:43:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA64340; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:33:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10159962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA17702 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:31:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071031.FAA14274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:31:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab0ceafe4fad381dffae6386e78ea179 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 132 ABPZ20 KNHC 071023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26816; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:24:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:24:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA33964 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:24:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:24:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070724.CAA12531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:24:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16c64dcb778d05ccba0f9c11170d32e8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 AXPZ20 KNHC 070723 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 07 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W/97W HAS DISSIPATED. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N90W 10N110W 8N120W 6N131W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO ACROSS PANAMA EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 94W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N117W TO 13N121W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N88W TO 13N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N102W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N FROM 136W TO 139W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N121W TO 9N122W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 12:34:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA30840; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:32:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10157460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA54630 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:32:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:32:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070432.XAA10998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:32:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 824473399871d40b441218cb6413568d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 ABPZ20 KNHC 070431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:09:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA63108; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:09:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10154806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:09:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14570 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:08:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:08:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070108.UAA08172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:08:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d314c894136f4932ff3e817d7ef98585 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 AXPZ20 KNHC 070105 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 07 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY NORTH OF 10N ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W/97W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 9N90W 10N100W 10N110W 10N120W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 80W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 90W-93W... AND FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 115W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 102W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 103W-109W...AND FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 134W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COASTS OF S MEXICO AND GUATEMALA FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 91W-94W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4192 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-9466>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 06:14:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA41104; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:12:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10152624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA48896 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:09:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062209.RAA05398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:09:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 078ba3fc11b57eb5ddc4685cab5d0e0f Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 ABPZ20 KNHC 062205 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-9468>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 04:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62458; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:04:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10150630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12960 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:03:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:03:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062003.PAA01374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:03:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a7abf24615db6c769669dcd16df9f81 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 104 AXPZ20 KNHC 061923 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 06 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 116W IS NO LONGER EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY NORTH OF 10N ALONG 93W/94W NOW ALONG 95W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 9N110W 8N120W 7N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N78W- 8N85W...FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 85W-92W...AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 110W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 6N-13N WEST OF 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N93W-14N95W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N102W-16N101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N108W- 18N116W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2779 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627292-9468>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:32:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA58634; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:26:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10148179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA58856 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:26:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061626.LAA24862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:26:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09828300b250d3b466f5a8e44079f66d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 185 ABPZ20 KNHC 061622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:33:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43758; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:30:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10145436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17886 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:27:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061327.IAA19120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e8d97d1c34942255a307240d1412c34 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 AXPZ20 KNHC 061326 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 06 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W IS NOW ALONG 116W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY NORTH OF 10N ALONG 92W/93W NOW ALONG 93W/94W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N86W 14N100W 10N110W 8N125W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N78W- 8N79W-8N84W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 85W-90W...AND FROM 7N-17N BETWEEN 105W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-105W...AND WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N99W-11N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N120W-14N129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N93W-16N96W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N101W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:27:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA23428; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:25:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144246 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:25:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA52338 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:25:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:25:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061025.FAA17427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:25:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3a72f938557e0a70e4f7f93c26c51a1 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 403 ABPZ20 KNHC 061025 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1966 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626053-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:39:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA64612; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:35:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:35:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52682 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:26:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:26:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060726.CAA16047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:26:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65c775ba5593a36df2ddf7a154e8c2e0 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 485 AXPZ20 KNHC 060722 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 06 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N103W MOVING WESTWARD AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 113W IS NOW ALONG 115W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE IS NORTH OF 10N ALONG 92W/93W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 11N100W 9N110W 6N120W 8N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 89W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 13N101.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N113W TO 15N116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 92W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N85W TO 11N89W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N114W TO 11N116W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 14:17:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64610; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:12:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10142835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:12:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18758 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:11:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:10:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060610.BAA15711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:10:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c650c9665647597d12b900583f28640 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 594 ABPZ20 KNHC 060605 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON OCT 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1191 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 10:00:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA49068; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:59:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10139059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:59:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA34958 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:59:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060159.UAA13324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:59:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...updated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1696be5baad91efb05f916dc8005a370 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 950 AXPZ20 KNHC 060158 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 06 0CT 1998 ...UPDATED SURFACE SYNOPTIC FEATURES... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE. ...1009 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 11N101W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W/112W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 113W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE IS NORTH OF 10N ALONG 87W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 10N100W 8N110W 8N120W 9N130W 11N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-89W AND 130W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W-99W AND 132W-136W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 12N88W TO COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N89W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 5N77W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N-4N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER BORDER OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 112W-116W IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626405-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:48:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12054; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:46:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10138754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA09730 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:46:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060146.UAA13132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:46:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ee138f8d24e12a74acd556af662a1d4 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 769 AXPZ20 KNHC 060144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 06 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W/112W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 113W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE IS NORTH OF 10N ALONG 87W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 10N100W 8N110W 8N120W 9N130W 11N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-89W AND 130W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W-99W AND 132W-136W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 12N88W TO COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N89W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 5N77W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N-4N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER BORDER OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 112W-116W IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:16:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA62868; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 19:13:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10136857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 19:13:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA09842 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 19:13:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 19:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060013.TAA11393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 19:13:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f54ef67eab68b3b0c52c02fbcba4d1e9 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 928 ABPZ20 KNHC 060005 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:19:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627438-28315>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:04:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12116; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:01:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10132971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62008 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:01:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA06390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810052001.PAA06390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:01:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f50191a4a6472f898c197dd6c68acc8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 845 AXPZ20 KNHC 051930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 05 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E...IS CENTERED NEAR 24N111W. IT IS DRIFTING NORTHEAST. ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N98W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS NOW ALONG 111W/112W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 15N87W TO 10N87W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 9N100W 7N110W 7N120W 10N130W 11N135W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-107W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-130W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 94W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N116W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N120W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:19:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-28315>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:05:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA54776; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:03:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10130896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12248 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:03:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:03:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051703.MAA01116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 12:03:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bad971dbc8bb02876d876c93de6f1bc Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 424 ABPZ20 KNHC 051659 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E HAS DISSIPATED JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 21:33:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627481-28309>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:30:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA09796; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:28:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10127889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14620 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:28:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051328.IAA23807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:28:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c9ef228ce7c5240c8726df3fffc3865 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 353 AXPZ20 KNHC 051326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 05 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E...IS CENTERED NEAR 23N111W. IT IS DRIFTING NORTHEAST. ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N95W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W/109W IS NOW ALONG 110W FROM 5N TO 17N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 8N100W 11N104W 8N111W 8N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-102W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-115W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE ITCZ AND PANAMA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 93W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N121W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 19:56:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627317-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 18:09:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA12086; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 05:08:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10126488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 05:08:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA09758 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 05:08:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA21581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 05:08:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051008.FAA21581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 05:08:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 545147ca3fdf698a8b142c8bdd4ccd04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 642 ABPZ20 KNHC 051005 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS MAINLY OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-28309>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:17:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57350; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:16:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:16:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54772 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:16:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:16:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050816.DAA20363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:16:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c2ae9ec62d375af1a0731d9df8bc20b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 AXPZ20 KNHC 050812 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 05 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E...IS CENTERED NEAR 23N112W. IT IS DRIFTING NORTHEAST. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W IS NOW ALONG 108W/109W FROM 5N TO 17N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N92W 11N102W 9N120W 10N134W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 93W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N109W TO 9N114W...FROM 6N96W TO 9N97W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N121W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM THE BORDER OF COLOMBIA TO 80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 93W TO 96W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-28312>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:27:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28248; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:25:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA41270 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:25:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050725.CAA19879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55bd6c67ad3b76be56112df9144ae91e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 AXPZ20 KNHC 050723 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 05 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E...IS CENTERED NEAR 23N112W. IT IS DRIFTING NORTHEAST. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W IS NOW ALONG 108W/109W FROM 5N TO 17N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N92W 11N102W 9N120W 10N134W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 93W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N109W TO 9N114W...FROM 6N96W TO 9N97W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N121W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM THE BORDER OF COLOMBIA TO 80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 93W TO 96W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 12:14:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-28309>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:48:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA57414; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 22:46:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10124064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 22:46:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19472 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 22:46:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 22:46:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050346.WAA17776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 22:46:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7de50774ef2bbf40bf149540e5c44bb2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 ABPZ20 KNHC 050345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS MAINLY OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 10:49:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 10:25:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63740; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:25:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10123113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:24:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA35220 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:24:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050224.VAA16617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac8e01b21c92a3952d6cfcc782b6af18 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 002 ABPZ20 KNHC 050221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 730 PM PDT SUN OCT 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS MAINLY OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 09:43:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:39:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA67716; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:37:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10122428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18778 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:37:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:37:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050137.UAA15874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:37:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6bc8a7cb6511bfee173f3c695274fda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 AXPZ20 KNHC 050135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 05 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E... TWELVE-E...NEAR 22N110W...DRIFTING EAST. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W/106W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 107W FROM 5N TO 15N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 17N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 8N100W 9N110W 10N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 128W-134W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-104W AND 107W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 134W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-94W AND 113W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 94W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LINE 11N99W 12N99W. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 92W-97W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER EXTREME NORTHWEST PORTION OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 20N105W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 08:51:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2745 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626847-4103>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:30:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41300; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:30:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10119056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:30:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45632 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:30:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041930.OAA08892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:30:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b45d9a791d898a282d2e4ba66eca7942 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 720 AXPZ20 KNHC 041928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 04 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E... TWELVE-E...NEAR 22N111W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W IS NOW ALONG 105W/106W N OF 5N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 8N100W 9N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-85W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-95W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N88W TO 13N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N97W TO 14N96W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 01:28:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3253 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-4101>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:02:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA63664; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:01:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10117606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA63638 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:01:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041701.MAA06888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:01:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f19773a6d11e22aacaaa900f9e8a06ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 384 ABPZ20 KNHC 041700 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626785-4104>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:27:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22052; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:26:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10116156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA56848 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:26:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:26:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041326.IAA05267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:26:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 210e35a4ad15117ffa2bd66c07ffcd6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 138 AXPZ20 KNHC 041325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 04 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E... TWELVE-E...NEAR 23N111W...MOVING N 5-10 KT. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 102W/103W NOW ALONG 104W N OF 5N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 8N100W 9N110W 10N120W 10N130W 12N135W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-84W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-95W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-120W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-18N BETWEEN 92W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N90W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4965 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-4101>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 18:18:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45370; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 05:17:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10115221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 05:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA56864 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 05:16:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA04176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 05:16:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041016.FAA04176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 05:16:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9f412382c5536b1de3cff706132d913 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 645 ABPZ20 KNHC 041016 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 80 MILES WESTOF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:06:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4437 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626125-4103>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 15:37:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45432; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 02:34:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10114160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 02:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA41316 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 02:34:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 02:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040734.CAA03092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 02:34:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d08a681d2de439d9f7068d66c4cc1540 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 785 AXPZ20 KNHC 040733 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 04 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ...1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E... TWELVE-E...NEAR 22N111W...MOVING LITTLE. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W/102W NOW ALONG 102W/103W N OF 5N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-8N92W-10N111W- 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 8N100W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 10N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N117W...WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE 9N126W-11N132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 14N92W-12N92W-12N91W-12N90W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:06:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626119-4104>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:18:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44350; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 22:17:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10112284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 22:17:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA59680 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 22:17:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 22:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040317.WAA01290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 22:17:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09de9716e64d33be1cac766ee3663e99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 734 ABPZ20 KNHC 040314 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW SQUALLS ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626107-4103>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:32:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA09800; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:30:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10111304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62216 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:29:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040129.UAA00304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:29:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18d0211ea1459c4acdac21c84df4788c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 824 AXPZ20 KNHC 040129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 04 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. TWELVE-E...LOCATED NEAR 22N111W...MOVING LITTLE. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W WILL BE IN VICINITY OF 102W FROM 6N-17N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 8N100W 9N110W 10N120W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 124W-128W...120 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-95W ...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W-92W ...AND 60 NM 0F AXIS BETWEEN 130W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-85W AND 97W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF 11N AND EAST OF 88W TO INLAND EL SALVADOR AND NORTHWEST NICARAGUA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF PANAMA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 98W-105W PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS NOTED AS A SWIRL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1010 MB LOW MENTIONED ABOVE ARE SEEN FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 111W-112W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4798 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625899-4101>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 06:51:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA59680; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:51:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10109675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:51:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA33806 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:51:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810032251.RAA28970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04ff691ae478bdf4893cd420e1550b29 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 ABPZ20 KNHC 032249 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW SQUALLS ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627422-21860>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 06:25:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA19614; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:22:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10109232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:22:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA56972 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:22:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810032222.RAA28748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 17:22:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d3858c9759eab4b03f4c9f363319603 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 374 ABPZ20 KNHC 032221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW SQUALLS ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-21863>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA54600; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:30:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10107664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA29736 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:30:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:30:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031930.OAA27359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:30:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c23266f607dfa18005a69dcad16f082 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 AXPZ20 KNHC 031927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 03 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. TWELVE-E...IS CENTERED NEAR 22N111W. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W/100W IS NOW ALONG 101W FROM 7N TO 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 12N102W 10N110W 9N123W 12N134W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-90W...108W-116W...AND 125W-134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-88W...90W-108W...AND 116W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N110W-23N111W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1010 MB LOW. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS SOUTH OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N96W-9N105W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N103W-16N95W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 01:44:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626029-21860>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 00:28:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA09832; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:27:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10105434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12884 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:27:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031627.LAA24972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5456a8737ebfc96da5a31a26fb720b6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 ABPZ20 KNHC 031610 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW SQUALLS...AND IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 22:13:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-21862>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28388; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:36:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10103138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44486 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:36:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:36:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031336.IAA23857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:36:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbc2fe7a4a5381c2ec2563fb827fe402 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 AXPZ20 KNHC 031334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 03 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. TWELVE-E...IS CENTERED NEAR 21N110W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W/99W IS NOW ALONG 99W/100W FROM 7N TO 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N94W 10N110W 9N123W 12N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N79W-7N78W...AND 125W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 87W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-124W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N110W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 1008 MB LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N96W-18N93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 13N97W-12N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 19:30:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3172 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626491-21861>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 18:28:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA48848; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:25:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10101460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:25:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA10426 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:25:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031025.FAA22558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:25:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd6683f41129f921be2f2d68bb8f71de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 ABPZ20 KNHC 031012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW SQUALLS...AND IS MOVING LITTLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 16:02:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626758-21862>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 15:31:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA35306; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:30:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19670 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:30:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030730.CAA21084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6048aa5eed783f5e6ca54723cc4216e6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 AXPZ20 KNHC 030729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 03 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E HAS DISSIPATED. NEARLY STATIONARY 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 20N110W. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W/98W NOW ALONG 98W/99W FROM 8N TO 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0600 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N76W-10N89W...AND THEN FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 107W AND 140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 78W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W...FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 93W...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 107W AND 108W...FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 93W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N125W...FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 7N96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...LEFT OVER FROM DISSIPATING CONVECTION DURING LAST 4 HOURS FROM REMNANTS OF T.D. 12-E... WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 21N110W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 12:38:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626097-891>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:29:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA64634; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:27:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10098802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44384 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:26:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030326.WAA19030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:26:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6aed61c53285ca340ddb12a608776717 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 801 ABPZ20 KNHC 030322 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS INTERMITTENTLY PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW SQUALLS...AND IS MOVING LITTLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 10:25:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-890>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 10:21:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29928; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:20:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10097785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:20:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19666 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:20:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030220.VAA18330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:20:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01029f485727dba2db00df2c1be50cab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 635 WTPZ42 KNHC 030220 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A FEW PATCHES OF INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL OCCURRING IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE LOW. SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 21.3N 109.7W 25 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 21.5N 110.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 04/0000Z 22.0N 111.0W DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 10:25:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625981-886>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 10:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19646; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:20:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10097781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:19:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29812 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:19:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030219.VAA18323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 292654cae57ebc5b6323cb45f91070f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 634 WTPZ22 KNHC 030219 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1298 0300Z SAT OCT 03 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 109.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 109.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.5N 110.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 111.0W...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 109.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 10:25:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625958-891>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:32:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA49576; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:30:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10097262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45462 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:30:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030130.UAA17731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:30:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 642435b3ef0e2d5ba6ba6a8214a717c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 AXPZ20 KNHC 030128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 03 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 21.3N 109.5W AT 03/0000 UTC. IT IS STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W IS NOW ALONG 97W FROM 8N-20N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-23N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 7N80W 9N90W 11N100W 10N110W 10N120W 12N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 98W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-131W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 104W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER HONDURAS... EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 87W-90W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626561-2419>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 06:17:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA57484; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:14:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10095211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA39272 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:14:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:13:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810022213.RAA15495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 17:13:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef57a175a67d98dd1b98670b4e07295e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 146 ABPZ20 KNHC 022208 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CENTERED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627938-2420>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:10:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39286; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:10:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10094507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAB14690 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:10:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA13877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:10:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810022110.QAA13877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:10:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e754e9dd4b025467a77b95d03e9de40 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 337 WTPZ42 KNHC 022025 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. THERE IS AN EAST/WEST 500 MB RIDGE ANCHORED NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION. THE GFDL...NOGAPS AND UKMET ALL SHOW LITTLE MOTION FOR 72 HOURS. THE LBAR AND BAM MODELS SHOW A WESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT THROUGH 72 HOURS. ALTHOUGH A SHIP REPORTED 33 KNOTS JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AT 15Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NUMEROUS OTHER SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION REMAINS BELOW STORM STRENGTH. THERE IS VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION AND WHAT CONVECTION THERE IS IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED. THE SHIPS STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL INTENSITY MODEL BRINGS THE DEPRESSION TO 35 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 20.6N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0600Z 20.5N 109.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/1800Z 20.5N 110.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 04/0600Z 20.5N 110.7W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1800Z 20.5N 111.1W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/1800Z 20.5N 111.9W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628039-2420>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA56844; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10094503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA14586 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA13870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810022109.QAA13870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62cf17c7ccce87eac91dd2b813f4e96b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 333 WTPZ42 KNHC 022025 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. THERE IS AN EAST/WEST 500 MB RIDGE ANCHORED NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION. THE GFDL...NOGAPS AND UKMET ALL SHOW LITTLE MOTION FOR 72 HOURS. THE LBAR AND BAM MODELS SHOW A WESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT THROUGH 72 HOURS. ALTHOUGH A SHIP REPORTED 33 KNOTS JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AT 15Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NUMEROUS OTHER SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION REMAINS BELOW STORM STRENGTH. THERE IS VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION AND WHAT CONVECTION THERE IS IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED. THE SHIPS STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL INTENSITY MODEL BRINGS THE DEPRESSION TO 35 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 20.6N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0600Z 20.5N 109.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/1800Z 20.5N 110.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 04/0600Z 20.5N 110.7W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1800Z 20.5N 111.1W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/1800Z 20.5N 111.9W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627983-2415>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 05:10:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA59890; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10094499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA45790 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA13861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810022109.QAA13861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:09:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f97f14ec2296165895cb83d2f3414906 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 WTPZ22 KNHC 022026 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1298 2100Z FRI OCT 02 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 109.5W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 109.5W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.5N 109.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N 110.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 110.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 111.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N 111.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628007-2418>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 04:24:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA41766; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:23:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10093801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:23:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57078 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:23:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:23:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810022023.PAA12386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:23:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d6847b345b088a7cd2c91357da36463 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 493 AXPZ20 KNHC 021930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 02 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 109.5W AT 02/1800 UTC. IT IS STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W FROM 8N-18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 104W-112W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 45 NM OF 25.5N109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N87W 9N100W 9N115W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W- 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 92W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3651 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627756-2419>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 00:28:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28190; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:28:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10089400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA54618 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021627.LAA05711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0528babeefef663270de318a6a7d161d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 472 ABPZ20 KNHC 021624 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 2 1998 CORRECTION...ADD THE WORD HURRICANE TO SECOND SENTENCE FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627763-2420>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 00:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19684; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10089362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA52596 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021627.LAA05694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:27:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e567b9d42f889a37435bf1119824e57a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 WTPZ42 KNHC 021626 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 20.0 109.5. THIS IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND VIOLATES THE 06Z C6LF9 SHIP REPORT AT 21.4N 109.6W WITH A WIND OF 230/27. IF THAT SHIP IS CORRECT...THEN THERE IS NO WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. REALIZING THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATING THE CENTER OF A WEAK SYSTEM...THE INITIAL POSITION IS PUT AT 20.O 109.5 AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AS STATIONARY. THE GUIDANCE DIVERGES QUITE A BIT WITH THE NOGAPS SHOWING A SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION......THE LBAR SHOING A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWING A MOSTLY SOUTHWARD MOTION...AND THE GFDL AND UKMET SHOWING VERY LITTLE MOTION. THE FORECAST RESOLVES THIS DIVERGENCE BY HOLDING THE DEPRESSION STATIONARY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AND HOLDS THE WIND SPEED AT 30 KNOTS UNTIL 36 HOURS WHEN THE WIND IS INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS FOLLOWING THE SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627733-2418>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 00:25:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42076; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:23:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10089286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:22:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA14650 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:22:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021622.LAA05554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 11:22:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcb12c3277872f99d5fdd2d2b482e572 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 ABPZ20 KNHC 021614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627759-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 23:23:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA43718; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:20:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10086060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA66208 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:20:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA03836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021520.KAA03836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:20:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3dbba3361863dfbaeea8525c0600029 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 117 WTPZ42 KNHC 021512 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 20.0 109.5. THIS IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND VIOLATES THE 06Z C6LF9 SHIP REPORT AT 21.4N 109.6W WITH A WIND OF 230/27. IF THAT SHIP IS CORRECT...THEN THERE IS NO WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. REALIZING THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATING THE CENTER OF A WEAK SYSTEM...THE INITIAL POSITION IS PUT AT 20.O 109.5 AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AS STATIONARY. THE GUIDANCE DIVERGES QUITE A BIT WITH THE NOGAPS SHOWING A SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION......THE LBAR SHOING A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWING A MOSTLY SOUTHWARD MOTION...AND THE GFDL AND UKMET SHOWING VERY LITTLE MOTION. THE FORECAST RESOLVES THIS DIVERGENCE BY HOLDING THE DEPRESSION STATIONARY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AND HOLDS THE WIND SPEED AT 30 KNOTS UNTIL 36 HOURS WHEN THE WIND IS INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS FOLLOWING THE SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3646 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:22:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52688; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10080228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49508 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021420.JAA01600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9406d149deb2c90925c3dabbe3f0e9b8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 WTPZ42 KNHC 021416 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 20.0 109.5. THIS IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND VIOLATES THE 06Z C6LF9 SHIP REPORT AT 21.4N 109.6W WITH A WIND OF 230/27. IF THAT SHIP IS CORRECT...THEN THERE IS NO WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. REALIZING THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATING THE CENTER OF A WEAK SYSTEM...THE INITIAL POSITION IS PUT AT 20.O 109.5 AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AS STATIONARY. THE GUIDANCE DIVERGES QUITE A BIT WITH THE NOGAPS SHOWING A SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION......THE LBAR SHOING A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWING A MOSTLY SOUTHWARD MOTION...AND THE GFDL AND UKMET SHOWING VERY LITTLE MOTION. THE FORECAST RESOLVES THIS DIVERGENCE BY HOLDING THE DEPRESSION STATIONARY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AND HOLDS THE WIND SPEED AT 30 KNOTS UNTIL 36 HOURS WHEN THE WIND IS INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS FOLLOWING THE SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3966 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627664-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:24:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA67594; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10080236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA35158 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021420.JAA01595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:20:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e83efa5e1d2294c1fa2201f51dca0a36 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 WTPZ42 KNHC 021416 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 20.0 109.5. THIS IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND VIOLATES THE 06Z C6LF9 SHIP REPORT AT 21.4N 109.6W WITH A WIND OF 230/27. IF THAT SHIP IS CORRECT...THEN THERE IS NO WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. REALIZING THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATING THE CENTER OF A WEAK SYSTEM...THE INITIAL POSITION IS PUT AT 20.O 109.5 AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AS STATIONARY. THE GUIDANCE DIVERGES QUITE A BIT WITH THE NOGAPS SHOWING A SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION......THE LBAR SHOING A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWING A MOSTLY SOUTHWARD MOTION...AND THE GFDL AND UKMET SHOWING VERY LITTLE MOTION. THE FORECAST RESOLVES THIS DIVERGENCE BY HOLDING THE DEPRESSION STATIONARY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AND HOLDS THE WIND SPEED AT 30 KNOTS UNTIL 36 HOURS WHEN THE WIND IS INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS FOLLOWING THE SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3498 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 22:21:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA17766; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:18:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10080047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:18:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA17868 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:17:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021417.JAA01511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:17:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07341a61e4817424edb28ec2c3157f07 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPZ22 KNHC 021416 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1298 1500Z FRI OCT 02 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 109.5W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 109.5W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627587-2420>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:29:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA62032; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:28:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10075497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA41252 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:28:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021328.IAA29970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:28:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 674881d2d1a63090817d84ee802e1ee8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 AXPZ20 KNHC 021327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 02 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 20.9N 109.0W AT 02/1200 UTC. IT IS STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W/94W IS NOW ALONG 95W FROM 8N-20N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N111W-22N106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N107W-17N105W-20N106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N86W 9N100W 10N120W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA INCLUDING THE GULFS OF PANAMA AND URABA IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 4N78W-8N86W- 13N84W-9N76W-4N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-130W...AND FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF GUATEMALA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N90W-12N100W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627456-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 18:24:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA41410; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:22:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10061313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:22:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA42904 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:22:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA27258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021022.FAA27258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 05:22:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e795a8bff54fc58c9682d49f00b7289f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 ABPZ20 KNHC 021020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CENTERED ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1905 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627526-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:30:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44222; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10054250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66204 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020829.DAA25866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fab78cce61940143e665faf267968490 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 291 WTPZ22 KNHC 020828 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1298 0900Z FRI OCT 02 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 109.5W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 109.5W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30644; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:28:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10054191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA42880 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:28:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020828.DAA25852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:28:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96bcb671a148b174ba646eddc7c1bf62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 WTPZ42 KNHC 020827 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 02 1998 ANALYSIS OF SATELLITE PICTURES PUTS THE CENTER CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY LOCATION...NEAR 21N109W. SHIP REPORTS 50-75 NMI TO THE N AND NE OF THAT POSITION...HOWEVER...SHOW SW WINDS AT BOTH LOCATIONS. THIS IMPLIES THAT EITHER THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS EXCEEDINGLY SMALL...THERE IS NO SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER...OR THE CENTER IS LOCATED FARTHER TO THE NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED AND WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. FOR THIS FORECAST CYCLE...ADVISORIES WILL BE CONTINUED FOR A CENTER THAT IS CONSISTENT WITH THE SHIP DATA. WITH THE POOR ORGANIZATION CURRENTLY OBSERVED...NO INTENSIFICATION WILL BE SHOWN FOR THE SHORT TERM. THE GFDL AND UKMET DISSIPATE THE TD NEARLY IN PLACE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE SHIPS SCHEME SHOWS SLOW WEAKENING BY THREE DAYS. THE OTHER TRACK GUIDANCE HAS SCATTERED HEADINGS...BUT A SLOW SPEED THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK KEEPS THE SYSTEM STATIONARY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 21.8N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 02/1800Z 21.8N 109.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 03/1800Z 21.8N 109.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 05/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:47:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA58824; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:33:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10050018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA64678 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:33:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020733.CAA25234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:33:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2d3f85be89539e065026a8cd38f596a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 327 AXPZ20 KNHC 020732 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 02 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CENTER NEAR 21.8N 109.5W AT 02/0600 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 3 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W NOW ALONG 93W/94W FROM 6NO TO 22N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-9N105W-10N120W- 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF NW COLOMBIA FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...AND FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W...FROM 7.5N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 92W AND 93W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 9N104.5W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N93W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 13N94W-11N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 131W AND 134W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 12N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W VICINITY EL SALVADOR. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:57:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627129-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 12:25:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA42822; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 23:23:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10039165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 23:23:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17700 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 23:23:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 23:22:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020422.XAA23239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 23:22:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40e5bdbc13c7078c55a6a1175339b057 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 405 ABPZ20 KNHC 020420 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E LOCATED 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4356 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627173-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:35:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26796; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:32:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10034018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64536 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:31:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020231.VAA21752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:31:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36111c83a8ab228716a5626393a98a13 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 WTPZ42 KNHC 020230 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 01 1998 THE DEPRESSION IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEEP CONVECTION IS DECREASING AT THIS TIME. BECAUSE T-NUMBERS REMAIN 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 30 KNOTS. SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST MODEL DOES NOT INTENSIFY THE DEPRESSION SIGNIFICANTLY AND THE GFDL DISSIPATES IT BY 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR AND THE OCEAN IS WARM...SO A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED AS SUGGESTED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND ARE NOT FORECAST TO CHANGE. MODELS INDICATE TRACKS IN ALL DIRECTIONS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 20.8N 109.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 02/1200Z 21.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 03/0000Z 21.0N 110.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 03/1200Z 21.3N 110.5W 50 KTS 48HR VT 04/0000Z 21.5N 111.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 05/0000Z 21.5N 112.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:34:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39280; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:32:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10034000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56206 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:29:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020229.VAA21720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:29:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4eeb48d946ada0f2120ee2d360266cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 WTPZ22 KNHC 020228 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1298 0300Z FRI OCT 02 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 109.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 109.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 108.9W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.3N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 109.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 21.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 21.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:21:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA41336; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:17:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10029699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:17:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA56922 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:17:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:17:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020117.UAA20466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:17:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: faeced70850760d20bb276d3c9859784 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 039 AXPZ20 KNHC 020112 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 02 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 108.9W AT 02/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC /MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W IS NOW ALONG 92W/93W N OF 6N. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 107W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 107W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 9N90W 11N100W 9N110W 10N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 76W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 90W-92W...AND FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 84W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 127W-129W...AND FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 130W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 77W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 93W-96W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627753-5817>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 06:03:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12924; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:02:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10020072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA12836 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:01:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810012201.RAA16679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:01:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7bfa2fde32c84b27f8d96a18825a2c69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 ABPZ20 KNHC 012159 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E LOCATED 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ31 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627722-5821>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:29:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63632; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:28:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10016043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40978 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:26:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810012024.PAA13858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:24:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d222a4e15ecc25e0effa3ae6b33858cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 651 WTPZ42 KNHC 012024 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 01 1998 THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER IS INVOLVED WITH A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION WHICH HAS PERSISTED MOST OF THE DAY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW 2.0...30 KNOTS. THUS...ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED AND THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KNOTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LINES OF THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME...SHIPS...BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS BY 12 HOURS. THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/5 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT AND A SLOW WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED WITH A MORE WESTERLY TRACK BY 72 HOURS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WILL LIKELY BYPASS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 20.6N 109.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 02/0600Z 20.9N 109.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 02/1800Z 21.2N 110.2W 45 KTS 36HR VT 03/0600Z 21.5N 111.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 03/1800Z 21.8N 112.3W 50 KTS 72HR VT 04/1800Z 22.0N 115.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627754-5819>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:33:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63534; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:27:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10016027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA58788 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:25:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:24:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810012024.PAA13854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:24:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccea98837764e0e96fbc0f793c8c9e3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 WTPZ42 KNHC 012024 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 01 1998 THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER IS INVOLVED WITH A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION WHICH HAS PERSISTED MOST OF THE DAY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW 2.0...30 KNOTS. THUS...ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED AND THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KNOTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LINES OF THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME...SHIPS...BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS BY 12 HOURS. THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/5 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT AND A SLOW WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED WITH A MORE WESTERLY TRACK BY 72 HOURS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WILL LIKELY BYPASS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 20.6N 109.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 02/0600Z 20.9N 109.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 02/1800Z 21.2N 110.2W 45 KTS 36HR VT 03/0600Z 21.5N 111.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 03/1800Z 21.8N 112.3W 50 KTS 72HR VT 04/1800Z 22.0N 115.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627730-5814>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:28:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62332; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10016006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30622 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:25:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810012024.PAA13832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:24:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d3489a452d4041f1f0e783816460561 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 649 WTPZ22 KNHC 012022 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1298 2100Z THU OCT 01 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 109.0W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 109.0W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 108.8W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.9N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.2N 110.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 109.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 21.8N 112.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627705-5814>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:50:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63850; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:48:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10014445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63986 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:47:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:47:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011947.OAA12585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:47:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4be1cb92c117f52908ac9f7f05f9ee83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 774 AXPZ20 KNHC 011928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 01 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 91W N OF 7N. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N109W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 17N110W TO 15N113W. THE SYSTEM IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N98W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N86W 10N90W 10N100W 12N105W 10N110W 9N121W 8N130W 8N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 5N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-87W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-104W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 108W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 17N-22N BETWEEN 104W-107W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 24N107W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627631-5819>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 01:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA45580; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:10:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10009683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:08:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30328 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:08:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:08:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011708.MAA08082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:08:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8384b0c01680681758694320924d6057 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 411 ABPZ20 KNHC 011702 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627567-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:51:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA41310; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:49:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10077666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:49:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24456 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:04:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:04:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011704.MAA07996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:04:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d94605d6e570414fe4d6332646b5cf33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 297 ABPZ20 KNHC 011702 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626843-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:47:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA44274; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:46:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10005478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA35902 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:45:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011345.IAA02304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:45:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a338a5045dfb9bb29bb5ffc0d704357 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 AXPZ20 KNHC 011344 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 01 0CT 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR LOCATION OF TROPICAL WAVE... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 89W/90W N OF 6N. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N110W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 16N111W TO 15N117W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N97W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 10N98W 8N105W 10N112W 9N120W 8N130W 7N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-103W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW ARE OFF AND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19N110W TO 23N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3N79W TO 6N78W...AND NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N101W TO 20N106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N88W TO 14N89W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-5819>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 21:41:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA35924; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:32:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10005020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA64384 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:32:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:32:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011332.IAA02034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:32:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38df200a8962e02de6a367d63b7b8094 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 612 AXPZ20 KNHC 011331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 01 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 88W/89W N OF 6N. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N110W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 16N111W TO 15N117W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N97W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 10N98W 8N105W 10N112W 9N120W 8N130W 7N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-103W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW ARE OFF AND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19N110W TO 23N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3N79W TO 6N78W...AND NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N101W TO 20N106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N88W TO 14N89W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3750 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626764-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 09:38:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA41396; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:31:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10030598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA40124 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 05:07:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 05:06:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011006.FAA00169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 05:06:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1853da5d10df3d48e7554c80ea27f224 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 663 ABPZ20 KNHC 011003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4381 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627426-5814>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:30:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA58682; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:26:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9983672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:23:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA50972 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:19:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010719.CAA28581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:19:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44f042299ff33d159a1fedc9469e6d55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 033 AXPZ20 KNHC 010717 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 01 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N109W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 16N110W TO 14N117W. THE SYSTEM IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N92W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 12N103W 10N113W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 83W...WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W...AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 109W FROM 19N TO 22N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 16N TO JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 101W TO 105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 21N TO 23N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N87W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N79.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626993-5819>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 11:04:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA49648; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:02:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9962288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:02:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA11064 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:01:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010301.WAA26037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:01:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a763def0778c00463f7695dc253e416c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 716 ABPZ20 KNHC 010300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1000 PM PDT WED SEP 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 11:04:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40830; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:01:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9962202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45306 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:00:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010300.WAA26023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:00:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f654853cf5298d3d549e6d09a5862d10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 704 ABPZ20 KNHC 010300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 100 PM PDT WED SEP 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1758 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626328-5821>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:19:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39216; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:17:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9958474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:17:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62460 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:17:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:17:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010117.UAA23858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:17:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e87f20fc95cb6db447de266512cd6da5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 AXPZ20 KNHC 010111 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 01 0CT 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N109W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO 12N113W. THE SYSTEM IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N92W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 11N100W 12N110W 8N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 100W-105W...FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 120W-122W...AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 124W-130W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 83W-87W...AND FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 92W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 104W-110W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4160 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628125-17078>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 06:15:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA11044; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 17:13:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9955990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 17:13:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA38906 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 17:12:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 17:12:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809302212.RAA20839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 17:12:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02325b5728745923f496ddff0fb4c9db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 350 ABPZ20 KNHC 302206 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 400 PM PDT WED SEP 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627970-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:26:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21732; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:25:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9946460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA59340 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:25:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301325.IAA04110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:25:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4001944761067bc7b3d15e87cea6d01d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 AXPZ20 KNHC 301321 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 30 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N92W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. ...A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N109W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N118W THROUGH THE LOW TO 26N107W. THE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING NORTHWEST. ...A TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 128W FROM 11N-18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 10N102W 9N113W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 89W-99W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 19N109W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 24.5N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 23.5N107W-21N108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 100W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 9.5N85W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N109W-11N119W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627180-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 19:02:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA25530; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:52:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9944629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:51:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15252 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:51:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301051.FAA01406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edffdd2c8084a41701faa2ae2cafee73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 540 ABPZ20 KNHC 301050 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627081-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 15:37:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA21570; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:26:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25390 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:26:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300726.CAA28993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:26:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 207947b36c2cca0c54e9d1fb87624bdc X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 AXPZ20 KNHC 300721 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 30 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N109W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 15N110W TO 12N117W. THE LOW IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 27W FROM 12N TO 17N. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N90W 11N102W 9N115W 8N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N106W TO 21N110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 16N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 101W TO 104W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 21N TO 23N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4597 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 12:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52260; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:49:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9941660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52240 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:49:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300449.XAA26840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:49:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e709a1db069c7c720cbc848e817e1859 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 541 ABPZ20 KNHC 300444 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 09:53:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:16:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA63896; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:15:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9937840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:14:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28218 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:14:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:14:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300114.UAA22767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:14:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2efa61a557a96527e61442f7984bbb9b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 AXPZ20 KNHC 300106 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 30 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N106W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO 10N115W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N126W MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 12N100W 9N110W 8N120W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 98W-107W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 115W-118W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 88W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 90W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 103W-111W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 112W-116W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 09:53:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625930-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 07:42:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA43732; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9935480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA17908 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:29:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA19914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809292229.RAA19914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:29:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a75f65ad490ea578f4b13e248dfbc70e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 222 ABPZ20 KNHC 292226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628104-17639>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:28:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58748; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:25:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9932500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:25:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA62570 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:25:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291925.OAA14498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 14:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5cecbe2cd54a26aa9ce4235eaa48f6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 AXPZ20 KNHC 291920 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 29 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ...A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N92W 13N102W 8N115W 4N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-90W...AND 104W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N82W-13N90W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 23N107W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N105W...AND 11N113W-17N110W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628072-17643>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 00:19:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA29132; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:16:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9928931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:16:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41870 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:16:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291616.LAA08657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:16:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef5417efb7d38ee1cce2c0144ddc3118 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 ABPZ20 KNHC 291609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:39:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22124; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 08:36:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9925807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 08:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22102 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 08:36:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 08:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291336.IAA02648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 08:36:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26cec15e22945359b73537b870eacdb1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 AXPZ20 KNHC 291334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 29 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N125W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N92W 12N101W 9N110W 5N126W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 86W- 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N99W-17N103W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N110W-18N107W-24N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N96W-15N97W...1N106W-8N104W ...AND 14N117W-18N115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N81W- 10N86W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627965-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 18:35:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA16834; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 05:34:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9923344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 05:32:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA48968 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 05:31:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA29165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 05:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291031.FAA29165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 05:31:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9c910b0257ec44bfc579b6feb7fae79 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 873 ABPZ20 KNHC 291030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627975-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:33:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41858; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:25:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9921962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:25:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA62316 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:25:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:25:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290725.CAA27073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 02:25:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a354cafcf9729ffb4400bd636eb77979 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 543 AXPZ20 KNHC 290720 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 29 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ...A 1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N124W MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N85W 11N93W 12N101W 8N110W 5N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W...EAST OF 107W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N TO 22N...AND EAST OF 98W TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 11N TO 12N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N112W TO 16N110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NORTH OF 15N FROM 93W TO 95W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 13:22:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1363 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44352; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:33:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9920425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAB59916 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:32:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:32:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290432.XAA24682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:32:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f085d15dd81978019dbc51691a0d8ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 760 ABPZ20 KNHC 290430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1716 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626633-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:14:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA41296; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:11:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9915552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA56648 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:09:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:09:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290109.UAA19623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:09:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ac341aff53f432cba2694f92c8c5107 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 726 AXPZ20 KNHC 290104 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 29 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 13N100W 9N110W 7N120W 6N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 95W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 86W-92W...AND FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 106W-111W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM NICARAGUA TO GUATEMALA FROM 12N-16 N BETWEEN 87W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 80W-86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 140W-142W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 102W-106W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3203 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627910-24782>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 06:15:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAB51040; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:13:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9912471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA56744 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:12:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA14812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809282212.RAA14812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:12:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5850bec4f3a7192df4554a107cd372c0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 663 ABPZ20 KNHC 282207 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627883-24780>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:36:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA39238; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:31:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9908677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA39204 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:31:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281931.OAA08352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:31:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc79570418b240062c82ff167e3d85ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 AXPZ20 KNHC 281928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 28 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N90W 10N100W 8N115W 8N120W 7N130W 10N137W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-91W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-102W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 102W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N140W TO 19N141W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1099 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-24774>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 01:00:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56748; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:58:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9905582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:58:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA49042 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:58:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281658.LAA02744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:58:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b719b1806cc5298b8fdff95edfc7acc8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 ABPZ20 KNHC 281656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 21:34:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19054; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:32:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9902092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:32:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16728 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:32:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281332.IAA24983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:32:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e7d797ec4937bc7d2b3ac947aa33bec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 AXPZ20 KNHC 281330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 28 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 8N90W 9N100W 9N109W 8N120W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-89W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N106W TO 16N103W 14N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 3N80W...FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 104W-110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N140W TO 18N140W. OTHER AREAS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N102W...AND FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 103W-106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 18:16:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626404-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 18:13:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24140; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:11:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9899595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:11:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA57658 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:11:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281011.FAA22170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:11:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25536c450c1e175d30b13c97e248255d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 ABPZ20 KNHC 281006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 15:56:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 15:48:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA62482; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:46:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9898390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA33792 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:46:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280746.CAA20356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:46:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51d4c78d5b93fc616f60e92f6afcafff X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 AXPZ20 KNHC 280742 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 28 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 7N90W 9N110W 7N120W 8N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N100W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 7N104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS A 60/90 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 16.5N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 81W IN PANAMA TO 84W IN COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 17N140W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 13:15:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA37650; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:13:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9896391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA67822 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:13:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:13:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280513.AAA18488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:13:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b75737a72be2a079939312cad3385131 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 ABPZ20 KNHC 280508 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2553 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39308; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:29:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9892938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:28:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24184 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:28:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:28:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280128.UAA14775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:28:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 952ab465acfdf55ef3729b20a2b508c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 812 AXPZ20 KNHC 280127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 28 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 11N105W 10N100W 7N123W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W- 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-103W AND 137W-140W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W AND 130W-135W. OTHER WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-117W AND 121W-124W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 91W-92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 10N86W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN COAST OF NICARAGUA AND ITS ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 13N88W 13N87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA SOUTH OF 6N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625948-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 07:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA16848; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 18:05:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9890549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 18:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA59710 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 18:02:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA12060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 18:02:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809272302.SAA12060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 18:02:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 947171cf52f0ea4a2f9eecceab89ecd0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 924 ABPZ20 KNHC 272300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:32:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-24160>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:31:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA37806; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:29:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9887565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24430 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:29:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271928.OAA07223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:28:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ad438b38b4b5b3304907273e768b89c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 326 AXPZ20 KNHC 271926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 27 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 18N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N90W 13N96W 12N100W 9N110W 9N115W 8N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-100W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-95W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-125W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626515-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:54:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA47774; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:52:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9884082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA28480 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:49:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA03099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271549.KAA03099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:49:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5c86a2f6aa6b78b8316e7b51dfd0cb9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 815 ABPZ20 KNHC 271547 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 21:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA67716; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 08:31:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9882379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 08:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA57698 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 08:31:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 08:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271331.IAA01071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 08:31:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 378a9b91a9c1a376e256d1ae73c2513b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 AXPZ20 KNHC 271329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 27 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 18N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 11N90W 13N95W 12N100W 9N110W 8N115W 9N120W 8N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-88W...WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-93W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-104W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 18:22:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA41264; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:21:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9881109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:21:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15380 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:21:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA29278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271021.FAA29278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:21:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 983f47ac7613d4a982105df36a62275f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 471 ABPZ20 KNHC 271018 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4479 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626515-24160>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 15:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA34964; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:19:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9879410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:19:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA66176 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:19:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:19:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270719.CAA26724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:19:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3efc4510107495437e5c5c405a967b77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 AXPZ20 KNHC 270718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 27 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W- 11N99W-12N106W-8N121W-10N135W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 134W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 8N79W... WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 11N91W-9N90W-7N88W...FROM 10N TO 13N WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 100W...WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 9N104W... FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W...AND FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626419-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 12:46:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA09910; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 23:44:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9877408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 23:44:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA49060 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 23:44:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 23:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270444.XAA24721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 23:44:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ea8c0482a930e37561ad476352c9e86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 032 ABPZ20 KNHC 270443 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1489 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625902-24156>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:33:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA09754; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:31:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9874628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14598 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:31:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270131.UAA22145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:31:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc0c0112c8f91872abdc8092f8024d87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 AXPZ20 KNHC 270130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 27 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N85W 11N94W 11N105W 11N113W 8N121W 10N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 132W-134W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-82W AND 96W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W-107W AND 124W-129W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 136W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO COAST WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 15N94W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 8N81W ...AND OVER SOUTHERN PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N88W...AND OFFSHORE NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627692-12552>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 03:34:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28980; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:33:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9869565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15526 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:32:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261932.OAA15513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:32:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d95c2c6e619fbc5ab04c38a2b282695a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 AXPZ20 KNHC 261932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 26 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 11N95W 10N110W 8N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W-8N81W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-105W...AND 123W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-90W...AND 106W- 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N86W-15N95W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N111W-23N107W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N138W-16N139W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627674-12553>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:18:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA38954; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 13:13:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9868241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 13:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24086 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 13:13:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 13:13:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261813.NAA14302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 13:13:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59225075023d719f4e0d14e9e3149a75 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 ABPZ20 KNHC 261812 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 21:39:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626841-12552>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:38:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA12218; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 08:37:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9863540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 08:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30348 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 08:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 08:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261336.IAA09815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 08:36:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b66e788c98c6f303a42cf6d517d31ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 AXPZ20 KNHC 261335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 26 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 11N93W 11N100W 9N110W 9N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W-8N80W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-103W...AND 126W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N90W-15N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N99W-19N105W-24N107W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N111W-16N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 21:39:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626378-12554>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 18:48:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30216; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:47:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9862315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA11194 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:46:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261046.FAA08029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:46:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 886889ac45d9689207e9f0051f7e07dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 ABPZ20 KNHC 261045 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-12554>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:28:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA60030; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:18:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9860420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24150 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:16:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:16:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260716.CAA05669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:16:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 915ac9cb8b6efc13a054bcc13acd0944 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 627 AXPZ20 KNHC 260715 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 26 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0645 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N86W 10N98W 8N110W 9N122W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...FROM 97W TO 101W...AND FROM 131W TO 135W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627367-11118>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 12:38:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA49218; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 23:32:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9858058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 23:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA62230 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 23:29:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 23:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260429.XAA02632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 23:29:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57747e0f6d24502ffa78375c27f1e049 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 166 ABPZ20 KNHC 260428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:47:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626627-11121>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:46:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA48920; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:41:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9856033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA59840 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:37:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:37:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260137.UAA00190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:37:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d24da4f0aff86f15429998a414682215 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 079 AXPZ20 KNHC 260137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 26 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 11N97W 9N105W 9N121W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COLOMBIA/PANAMA BORDER FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 77W AND 78.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 11N97.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 6N77W.. WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS 7N82.5W...FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 84.5W AND 87W...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 8.5N79W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W...AND FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 08:15:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4662 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625885-11120>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 06:47:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA38994; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 17:45:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9854333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 17:43:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA12178 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 17:43:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 17:43:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809252243.RAA27647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 17:43:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3704a11c57196f6b6e57a27bb0d4a40 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 ABPZ20 KNHC 252241 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 08:14:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627949-19057>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15600; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:35:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9851540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63570 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:34:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251934.OAA23239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:34:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce1b1dbeee4aad718d7d89e5c5c02a2d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 718 AXPZ20 KNHC 251933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 25 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 11N97W 9N105W 9N121W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N90W-14N102W-19N107W-24N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N133W-15N139W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 01:08:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627987-19058>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 00:36:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA40184; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9847450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA44224 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:25:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:25:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251625.LAA16559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:25:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 993f7e0a4e6ae3b54e5d885fea17daa8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 719 ABPZ20 KNHC 251621 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 01:07:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4705 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627859-19058>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:36:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA66238; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 08:33:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9844409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 08:32:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA66050 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 08:32:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 08:32:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251332.IAA10287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 08:32:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca5fd50d7ef5fba03f3e0b5b53a4a226 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 501 AXPZ20 KNHC 251331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 25 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N90W 10N97W 8N104W 8N124W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N79W-6N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-92W...AND FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 100W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5N-16N WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 93W-100W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N100W-23N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N79W-11N88W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N109W-12N120W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 01:07:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626735-19058>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 18:36:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15576; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 05:34:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9841970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 05:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47902 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 05:25:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 05:25:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251025.FAA07477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 05:25:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b645eadb20cef67ac2e0c97b636a235 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 118 ABPZ20 KNHC 251024 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 15:51:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626962-19059>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:34:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40622; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:32:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9840681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30564 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:31:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250731.CAA05649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:31:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4bffaa83c2c00132f7af93a3cb0d587 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 181 AXPZ20 KNHC 250730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 25 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N90W 9N104W 7N113W 7N125W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N93.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N90W TO 10N95W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N135W TO 13N140W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 13:17:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626480-19057>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:45:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54638; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 23:42:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9838855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 23:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA60036 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 23:38:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 23:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250438.XAA03541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 23:38:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c13fdf8a70c038bde7d15ee8c449d37 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 ABPZ20 KNHC 250435 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:58:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-19058>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:45:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29044; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:35:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9836587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:33:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28590 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:33:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:33:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250133.UAA00063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:33:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 229edfff5d3b65936baea6e70d10a377 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 AXPZ20 KNHC 250131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 25 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 10N100W 7N110W 11N122W 10N130W 13N135W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N128W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-92W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-104W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-127W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER N COLOMBIA AND PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4N77W TO 9N79W...OVER COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N84W 12N85W...OVER GUATEMALA AND S MEXICO FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 88W-94W...AND ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N98W TO 20N103W 24N106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:24:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-19057>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 06:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA29808; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 17:46:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9833826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 17:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA40126 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 17:45:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 17:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809242245.RAA26283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 17:45:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af17e2bcdb4ec64c138338b51fb13967 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 091 ABPZ20 KNHC 242245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:24:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627879-26530>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 03:39:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27176; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:31:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9831583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA34948 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:29:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:29:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241929.OAA13188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:29:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61e78c3884914b5864b40b4443884f2a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 664 AXPZ20 KNHC 241918 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 24 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N90W 8N100W 8N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-106W...AND BETWEEN 120W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 136W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF GUATEMALA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 89W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 134W-135W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:23:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627804-26527>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 00:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44032; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 11:55:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9829578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 11:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA35494 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 11:54:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 11:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241654.LAA05544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 11:54:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abacb7db5d995fc086f19debb3998d2e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 508 ABPZ20 KNHC 241652 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627836-26532>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 21:29:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA09794; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:26:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9826407 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:26:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA49182 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:25:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:25:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241325.IAA26488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:25:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f90fde5bb2d0e8f6de34040b2bca93f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 323 AXPZ20 KNHC 241324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 24 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N76W 9N90W 8N100W 8N110W 13N120W 12N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 135W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-88W...91W-101W...AND BETWEEN 120W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 85W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 77W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 93W-97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO N OF PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 105W-107W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:23:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627793-26532>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:44:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15574; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:40:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9824870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA14530 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:40:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA23384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:40:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241040.FAA23384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:40:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e45adc5721bf365b18d84ff97c0a3719 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 ABPZ20 KNHC 241038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 18:37:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627783-26532>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:16:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA57544; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:13:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9824781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:13:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA43446 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:13:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA23168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:13:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241013.FAA23168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 05:13:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83e5206420571dcc19ab9ea34bc88044 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 814 ABPZ20 KNHC 241010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 16:15:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627550-26531>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 15:42:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA09830; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 02:34:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9823278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 02:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52810 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 02:34:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 02:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240734.CAA20920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 02:34:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0856e1911d3fd88fd4c47d4c6fdad64d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 288 AXPZ20 KNHC 240733 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 24 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N76W-8N86W-9N92W-8N97W- 6N118W-7N132W-8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 7N79W-5N78W-3N78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SW NICARAGUA FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 85W AND THE COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 14N92W...AND IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 95W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 136W AND 137.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN SMALL CLUSTERS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IN SMALL CLUSTERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 133W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 13:47:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625975-26530>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 13:33:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39214; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:20:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9822339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:19:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA53716 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:11:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:11:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240511.AAA18777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:11:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6655fb823665b0145db3cd74ca616e52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 048 ABPZ20 KNHC 240507 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 11:34:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-26527>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 11:24:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA57730; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 22:19:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9820810 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 22:19:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA35416 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 22:19:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 22:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240319.WAA12773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 22:19:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c20991f3c9d4ae1ce731f3355af8e428 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 ABPZ20 KNHC 240317 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 09:33:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625981-26530>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 09:32:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43404; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:30:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9819572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30576 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240130.UAA08642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b17e50fb76b204049f3b14df949b9fe4 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 950 AXPZ20 KNHC 240126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 24 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N82W 7N90W 8N100W 6N110W 7N120W 6N125W 11N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-102W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 6N127W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER N COLOMBIA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 72W-77W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 78W-84W...OVER WESTERN NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N86W TO 14N89W. OTHER SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER INLAND AND COASTAL AREAS OF W MEXICO WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17N95W TO 20N103W 25N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 125W-131W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 08:32:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-23921>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:57:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44084; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:51:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9815100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28960 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:51:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:51:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231951.OAA22095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:51:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6429de645d991041f9f2b9e2b9299ab1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 923 AXPZ20 KNHC 231950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 23 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 5N90W 7N100W 7N110W 7N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 78W-81W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 100W-104W..AND FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 134W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 119W-122W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 106W-107W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 00:43:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627629-23920>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:19:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44170; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 11:13:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9810832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 11:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41240 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 11:10:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 11:10:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231610.LAA27225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 11:10:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7aa9b908834f647844215b980ba9242 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 560 ABPZ20 KNHC 231609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 21:31:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626533-23919>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 21:11:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA57550; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:08:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9807365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:07:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21670 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:07:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:07:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231307.IAA15221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:07:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2563ecac56868b676e5920634d7d52d2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 AXPZ20 KNHC 231306 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 23 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 6N90W 7N110W 7N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-99W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 133W-138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 77W-79W...AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 121W-124W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 117W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 86W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 93W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 118W-121W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 18:34:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-7546>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 18:27:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56756; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 05:25:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9805674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 05:25:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA35490 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 05:25:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 05:25:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231025.FAA12134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 05:25:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8dc4b4cfcfe09c18fd63ed50b2a32042 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 014 ABPZ20 KNHC 231022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 15:49:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627381-7542>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 15:31:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA37756; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:30:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9804542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA57702 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:30:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230730.CAA09652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:30:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d5700e378fe58b96939289ee03a0b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 AXPZ20 KNHC 230730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 23 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-6N99W-8N117W- 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 5N79W-5N78W-3N78W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W...AND FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 8N85W-7N87W-9N88W-9N85W-8N85W...AND FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W..AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 99W AND 100W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 128W AND 137W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 13:15:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-7536>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:41:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA59412; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 23:38:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9803319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 23:38:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA63942 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 23:37:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 23:37:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230437.XAA02496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 23:37:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0791262f4d048fab0076a9126a43fe0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 630 ABPZ20 KNHC 230434 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:46:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1080 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-7536>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 09:42:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA61220; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9800899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39184 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:31:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230131.UAA13309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:31:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13275203112a266f1d510e89bee98641 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 AXPZ20 KNHC 230130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 23 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 6N100W 6N110W 8N120W 13N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 87W-90W...OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 17N90W...AND OVER S MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 17N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO FROM 17N-22N BETWEEN 96W-100W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 20N104W...AND OVER COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6N76W TO 8N81W 11N85W. SIMILAR SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 2N78W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625993-7543>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 07:42:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA21624; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 18:39:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9799223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 18:39:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA29028 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 18:39:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA05953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 18:39:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809222339.SAA05953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 18:39:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0d7817ad21f06a590af1ab187c5f25e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 409 ABPZ20 KNHC 222308 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627521-10300>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 03:30:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29702; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:26:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9795284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63970 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:25:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221925.OAA03297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:25:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53c92151be9bed22ca428193b08d784d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 AXPZ20 KNHC 221922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 22 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N89W 6N96W 9N110W 9N120W 11N136W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 91W-112W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N106N- 18N105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N86W-12N92W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 21.5N107.5W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627737-10303>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 00:29:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57036; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 11:27:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9792002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 11:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA57470 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 11:27:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 11:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221626.LAA21325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 11:26:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 024401e46eea57c11e20458cf2a4560a X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 499 ABPZ20 KNHC 221623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2830 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-10303>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 21:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA63770; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:28:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9789456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA59390 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221327.IAA10930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:27:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5771bb1f0e4e76a46140b1b2f92cd743 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 897 AXPZ20 KNHC 221323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 22 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N89W 9N100W 8N110W 9N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-103W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 119W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N79W-8N84W-12N89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N105W-17N103W-23N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 18:59:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-10305>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 18:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA40850; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:32:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9788008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:31:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44160 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:31:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221031.FAA08562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:31:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcdc54f6a614305243bec5f64db2ba65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 977 ABPZ20 KNHC 221030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627460-10304>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52834; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:25:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9786390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:25:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63824 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:25:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:25:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220725.CAA06031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:25:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed90f63e7e048f32fe6520a7d218ef14 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 AXPZ20 KNHC 220721 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 22 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-7N88W-10N116W- 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 7N83W...5N82W...3N78W...5N88W... 8N106W...9.5N131W...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 134W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 87W AND 88W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 12:37:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627071-10300>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 12:28:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54624; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:24:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9784892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39238 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:24:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:24:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220424.XAA00810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:24:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eeaa0d56bb6cada76ca5a33565faa769 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABPZ20 KNHC 220423 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:52:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626611-10305>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 09:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44454; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:34:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9782522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14482 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:34:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220133.UAA22843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:33:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24b373f590b3626c254625f03690c854 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 001 AXPZ20 KNHC 220131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 22 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 8N100W 8N110W 10N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N86W TO 17N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N78W TO 11N85W. SIMILAR SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST FROM 5N-8N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO INCLUDING THE COASTAL AREAS FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 100W-105W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627132-16009>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:34:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA43558; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:31:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9779201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA38918 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:31:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA11187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809212131.QAA11187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:31:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b37107722d6639f8fe625833e0e7bb9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 ABPZ20 KNHC 212130 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-16016>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:33:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA43562; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:29:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9777315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA35334 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211928.OAA04887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:28:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62914a59c9b569264cea408445f51d6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 586 AXPZ20 KNHC 211926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 21 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 7N100W 8N115W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W-134W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-89W AND 120W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-83W INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS AND INLAND SECTION OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-97W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 RADIUS OF 18N105W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 87W-90W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 01:05:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627592-16017>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 00:30:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56258; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 11:28:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9774676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 11:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA61288 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 11:28:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 11:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211627.LAA28093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 11:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b55a5cff5f3bfb7fbbaf0a8370fb0f53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 ABPZ20 KNHC 211625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 21:30:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627382-16017>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:20:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA12944; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:19:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9772191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:19:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12910 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:19:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:19:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211319.IAA22315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:19:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bdfc79a67880dcbd5dad86edffeee1d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 AXPZ20 KNHC 211315 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 21 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1335 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 8N100W 9N115W 10N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W... AND FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W...FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W...WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-134W...AND WITHIN AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W AND 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-120W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W-130W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 16:06:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 15:46:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54534; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:38:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA51188 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:38:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:38:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210738.CAA18689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:38:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9d3755ad2f40e5ae77235a73c4f6d66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 AXPZ20 KNHC 210738 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 21 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-9N93W- 10N107W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 4.5N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER REST OF AREA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 6N78W-3N79W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 9N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W...AND FROM 9.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W...FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 124W AND 125W... FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 123W AND 124W...AND FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 126W AND 128W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 13:37:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-16017>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 12:32:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA16664; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:20:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9768450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:20:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22022 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:20:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:19:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210419.XAA15803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:19:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6154ee735c87ec947850e9590d68bd19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 274 ABPZ20 KNHC 210418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-16016>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 09:22:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA56774; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:19:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9766659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:19:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA38826 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:19:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:19:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210119.UAA10535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:19:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fe62dcb378f9238c64dbf00cb734c2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 AXPZ20 KNHC 210119 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 21 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N76W 7N90W 9N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 77W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 102W-109W...FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 130W-132W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 134W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 86W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 81W-84W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO S MEXICO FROM 11N-15N EXTENDING 60 NM OVER THE OCEAN. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625869-16009>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 06:45:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA11226; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:42:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9765639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA54690 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:42:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA07762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:41:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809202241.RAA07762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:41:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f2ee18117e8f2d2e1d4b194ef1f5fd6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 ABPZ20 KNHC 202242 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-22442>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:18:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA56742; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:15:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9763841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:15:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22160 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:15:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201915.OAA02105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:15:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3f6af6a2bfd4ddf80014dbeccadba27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 920 AXPZ20 KNHC 201913 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 20 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N94W 10N100W 9N110W 10N120W 12N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-95W...134W-137W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W...AND 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W-90W7W AND 134W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE CENTRAL PORTION OF PANAMA WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 7N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFFSHORE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 4N78W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4333 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627263-22435>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:16:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA54918; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 11:15:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9762418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 11:14:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA57406 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 11:14:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 11:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201614.LAA00062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 11:14:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7028a6aa49dfe33dfad0d067cac23da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 ABPZ20 KNHC 201614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 21:27:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:24:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA11010; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:22:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9760805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:22:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14574 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:22:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:22:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201322.IAA27547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:22:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21fd5a18bae24b6dc5a754d5b0684079 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 571 AXPZ20 KNHC 201322 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 20 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1335 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 10N100W 9N110W 9N120W 13N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-95W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W-103W AND 105W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-127W AND 134W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG OFFSHORE CENTRAL PORTION OF PANAMA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 7N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFFSHORE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 4N78W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 20:23:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627010-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:36:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56632; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:31:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9759648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA14422 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:22:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA26515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:21:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201021.FAA26515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:21:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb2c48eb9d4d0a045f4cd9c2dbb7a362 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 463 ABPZ20 KNHC 201022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627007-22438>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:15:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41878; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:13:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9758772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:13:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA60036 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:13:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:13:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200713.CAA25128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:13:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 457e2d925120142fd0e18236d6571868 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 665 AXPZ20 KNHC 200712 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 20 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N87W 10N95W 10N105W 7N115W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 90W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 83W AND FROM 90W TO 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER WESTERN GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO WITHIN SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 91W TO 94W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-22435>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 12:56:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29344; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:54:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9757940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:54:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14474 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:54:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200454.XAA23954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:54:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 732b0a7b393dd3ce8839251c60ea6147 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 738 ABPZ20 KNHC 200453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626339-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 09:25:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31696; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:18:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9755710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA67748 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:18:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:18:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200118.UAA21238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:18:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96ed0967b2c4468295236008805f0ba9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 AXPZ20 KNHC 200118 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 20 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 10N100W 9N110W 10N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 85W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 80W-84W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM COSTA RICA TO HONDURAS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 84W-89W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625900-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 07:09:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA47844; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 17:30:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9754608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 17:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA45266 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 17:30:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA19384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 17:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192230.RAA19384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 17:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1be2068270a51b19e385c4203ff2c0be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 765 ABPZ20 KNHC 192229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-15814>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:02:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14722; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:01:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9753418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29296 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:00:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:00:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192000.PAA17570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:00:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9c7f62d8dc1b57704352550c8f5afaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 041 AXPZ20 KNHC 191935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 19 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ...A LOW/MID CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 18N116W... MOVING EAST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 10N100W 8N110W 5N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-90W ...AND 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 80W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W-110W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE NORTHERN COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 8N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 18N102W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 15N BETWEEN 96W-100W. BROKEN LOW AND MID CLOUDS ROTATING CYCLONICALLY WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS NOTED FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 117W-125W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626981-15813>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:18:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA11138; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 12:18:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9752333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 12:18:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA12910 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 12:18:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 12:17:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191717.MAA15496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 12:17:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1d66ace7cbe9a91ff9aa9037a535ece Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 612 ABPZ20 KNHC 191718 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626756-15814>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:39:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15542; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:35:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9750852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA63610 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:28:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191326.IAA13262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:26:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22aaf9471faa5254543198860c681f99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 099 AXPZ20 KNHC 191327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 19 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ...A LOW/MID CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 18N117W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1335 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N85W 9N94W 8N100W 9N110W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-87W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 79W TO ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-127W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 8N84W 9N87W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 101W-103W. BROKEN LOW AND MID CLOUDS ROTATING CYCLONICALLY WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS NOTED FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 115W-126W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1192 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626834-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:31:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13034; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:27:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9749851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA53716 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:27:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191026.FAA11803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:26:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4824b5a5baef041b428c0efda145ba22 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 ABPZ20 KNHC 191026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:27:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15562; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:17:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9749022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:17:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43448 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:17:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190716.CAA10157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:16:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c442582d2bbfa2de433169f98972366 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 748 AXPZ20 KNHC 190716 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 19 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ...A LOW/MID LEVEL VORTEX IS CENTERED NEAR 19N118W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 10N100W 9N110W 7N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 93W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W AND ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE COSTA RICA BORDER TO 87W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 99W AND FROM 102W TO 105W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2572 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 12:30:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA43470; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:29:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14752 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:29:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190428.XAA08591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:28:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 150658c9e88be4a2544b0c8010fff909 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 ABPZ20 KNHC 190427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 09:42:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21560; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:25:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9746684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:25:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA27160 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:25:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190124.UAA06643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aad680b4be1417969f87b7fdb97192a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 873 AXPZ20 KNHC 190125 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 19 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 9N100W 9N110W 10N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 76W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 108W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 84W-92W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 102W-106W...AND FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 127W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 76W-78W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628078-22881>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 06:15:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52736; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:15:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9745426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:15:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA43756 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:15:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:14:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182214.RAA04075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:14:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1d9f832d7d486bac7cabe0542f0d7a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 373 ABPZ20 KNHC 182209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-22875>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45518; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:27:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9743498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA43702 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:27:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181927.OAA29358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:27:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acdbd0e4aa1277279bb4fed050f5879c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 540 AXPZ20 KNHC 181927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 18 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N89W 9N101W 9N119W 13N126W 12N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-108W...AND FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 122W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 45 NM OF 16N102W-19N105W-23N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627953-22881>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:29:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA21912; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:26:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9741485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55682 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:26:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181626.LAA23032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:26:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa0c735417e6228ef2106bc059e95d3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 794 ABPZ20 KNHC 181626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4373 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627950-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:34:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28380; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:33:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:33:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA58826 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:32:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181332.IAA17566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:32:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63e8eed2a318dd589dea067613a9308e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 370 AXPZ20 KNHC 181332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 18 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N87W 10N98W 9N103W 10N115W 11N127W 12N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 77W-86W. THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-100W... WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-126W...AND FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 126W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 45 NM OF 22N105W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-22879>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA58648; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:30:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA56582 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:30:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181030.FAA15076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:30:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e25bde6665221e486960899f2e2b734d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 ABPZ20 KNHC 181030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627948-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:24:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28400; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:19:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9736663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:19:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54750 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:19:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180719.CAA13041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:19:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3727d0ce9f7563d508079133f948abf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 AXPZ20 KNHC 180719 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 18 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N87W 10N92W 9N103W 9N111W 8N121W 9N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 109W AND FROM 131W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL WATERS OF MEXICO FROM 95W TO 97W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626454-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20068; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9735605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52816 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:31:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180430.XAA11154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:30:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bac9c5df25c94cc20dd4d24506cc5426 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 324 ABPZ20 KNHC 180431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:45:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:40:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40504; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:38:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9733819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:37:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47630 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:35:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:34:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180134.UAA08235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:34:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bcbdea31e7aa5d91e880ef5f812f7d9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 829 AXPZ20 KNHC 180134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 18 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N88W 10N92W 10N110W 9N110W 8N120W 11N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-133W... AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-105W AND 124W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-116W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W-83W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 15N AND EAST OF 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 12N132W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628223-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 06:28:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA20522; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:27:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9730865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA15376 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:26:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172226.RAA04994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:26:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7621f17db8bf812fe419c94e8718b019 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 189 ABPZ20 KNHC 172226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628914-29110>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:32:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19556; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:27:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9728390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09798 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:27:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171926.OAA28374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:26:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ec791b900384686ab25bcc9cdcb0244 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 AXPZ20 KNHC 171925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 17 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N86W 10N95W 10N102W 8N106W 6N120W 11N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N81W- 7N78W-8N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-105W...AND BETWEEN 125W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N140W-21N106W-25N109W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628879-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 00:23:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15352; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:18:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9725736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA53222 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:18:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171617.LAA20543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 609031fd924f2a86eee08440489c0bf9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABPZ20 KNHC 171612 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1062 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627208-29113>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 00:22:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15338; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:15:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9725694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:15:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA35278 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:15:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171615.LAA20468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:15:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42aabcecf2a014f6115c57afdcd7d1f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 ABPZ20 KNHC 171612 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 21:33:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627601-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:32:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21998; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:30:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9723210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA46520 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:30:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171329.IAA15482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:29:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37f2eef2651bf4d821a04a5cdac0d875 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 241 AXPZ20 KNHC 171329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 17 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N88W 10N100W 7N115W 7N125W 11N135W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 79W FROM 2N-7N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-90W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-103W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W- 131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 136W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11.5N92W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627801-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:50:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26006; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:49:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA21846 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:49:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170848.DAA12316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:48:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19c5f0e64f63bba5e0b0d792d2a76db1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 930 ABPZ20 KNHC 170848 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 15:39:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627514-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15712; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:31:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22602 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170731.CAA11470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:31:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92f4b2b393d1d94293d95c979cbd629e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 895 AXPZ20 KNHC 170731 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 17 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N85W 10N93W 9N100W 8N110W 7N120W 10N130W 11N134W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-6N...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 105W-107W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 10:55:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627177-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:41:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA56850; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 20:38:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9717344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 20:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18746 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 20:37:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 20:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170137.UAA04975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 20:37:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b6ce029f9fe1df5c3d901258cf8b086 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 023 AXPZ20 KNHC 170137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 17 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ...DIFFUSING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N131 TO 30N132W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N85W 10N92W 8N103W 8N110W 7N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W0-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER COASTAL WATERS OF PANAMA NORTH OF 7N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628730-20255>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:22:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA54466; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 17:20:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9714269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 17:20:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA23448 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 17:20:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 17:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809162219.RAA01071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 17:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b8172e13974d9af237a3b1ab05ce399 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 311 ABPZ20 KNHC 162218 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628735-20258>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63634; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:29:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9711649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24810 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:27:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161927.OAA25772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:27:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e0d6f3083a88cf4aca6b9bf9621c958 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 409 AXPZ20 KNHC 161926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 16 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ...A DIFFUSING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N134W AND EXTENDS TO 29N140W. IT IS DRIFTING SOUTHEAST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N87W 10N92W 8N100W 8N110W 7N118W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-112W...AND 119W-123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO OCCURRING FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 87W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N99W-17N106W-22N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628733-20256>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 01:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA53238; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:29:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9709682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28296 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:26:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:26:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161726.MAA21706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:26:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b5bda68230db168b12fbcd8a1076e3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 851 ABPZ20 KNHC 161726 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628532-20255>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA49084; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:33:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9705112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA48904 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161330.IAA12282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d141510eb5bae8151a5b753a26b45268 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 023 AXPZ20 KNHC 161329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 16 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1200 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N135W TO 30N140W. IT IS DRIFTING SOUTHEAST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W... EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N88W 7N100W 9N110W 7N119W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N102W- 11N98W-15N94W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N77W-8N80W ...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-98W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-108W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 120W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-13N92W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N99W-18N106W-23N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-20258>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 18:42:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA42752; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:41:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9703380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:40:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA35848 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:38:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:38:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161038.FAA08567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:38:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e781538ff7f287c3fc87ac747dc0d0be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 265 ABPZ20 KNHC 161037 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628508-6174>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25220; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:33:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9702301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15172 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:30:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160730.CAA06764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:30:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1146f4f0cbc7996f9669eb131cfa5f6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 130 AXPZ20 KNHC 160730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 16 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0600 UTC... ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 32N135W TO 30N140W. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W...EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N85W 6N97W 9N101W 9N110W 9N120W 9N125W 12N132W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-111W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N78W NEAR THE PANAMA AND COLOMBIAN COASTS...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM OF 10N87W...OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 15N95W...ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 98W-101W...AND FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 101W-104W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA49010; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:32:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9700715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA58704 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:32:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:31:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160431.XAA04589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:31:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1600c2923a8579ecb8ca409021adcd6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 806 ABPZ20 KNHC 160431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:34:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA35922; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:32:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9698096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:32:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA46636 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:32:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160131.UAA01394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:31:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: efdb1510ad69006549ba2d67db9e3247 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 611 AXPZ20 KNHC 160131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 16 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N85W 7N95W 9N100W 9N110W 9N120W 8N125W 12N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-104W...AND 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W- 110W AND 115W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W-98W AND 106W-108W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA NORTH OF 7N TO PANAMA BORDER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N-7N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND AREAS OF RAIN JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W-101W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 07:00:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA57052; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9696119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA49282 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:47:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809152247.RAA26779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:47:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b17500f32658cc8ed54336906f2a2d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 509 ABPZ20 KNHC 152245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-13809>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:30:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27224; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:27:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9693339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA33852 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:27:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151926.OAA18144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:26:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 115d36458e372f51fac06f46374a9a66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 152 AXPZ20 KNHC 151924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 15 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N92W 9N110W 9N117W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W...AND BETWEEN 103W-117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-90W...AND 98W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 120 NM OF 10N88W- 12N92W-16N96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N96W-16N101W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628376-13811>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA62416; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:46:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9691521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:46:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA66234 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:46:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151645.LAA14007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:45:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6347d73fc9a06989c539ecd98ee27c1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 713 ABPZ20 KNHC 151645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 23:34:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4965 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628376-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:28:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13274; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:27:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9689200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29362 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:26:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151326.IAA07808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:26:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7862904b7d8d2c19c2c11493474401fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 427 AXPZ20 KNHC 151325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 15 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N85W 7N95W 9N110W 9N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N86W-10N84W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-97W...AND 104W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 84W...BETWEEN 99W-104W...AND BETWEEN 113W-122W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N98W-13N89W ...AND FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N93W-17N101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N106W-24N109W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 19:27:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628334-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:14:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA44090; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 06:11:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9688479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 06:11:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA40486 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 06:11:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA06163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 06:10:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151110.GAA06163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 06:10:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78fd97e432ea2695858a261d1a2826cb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 ABPZ20 KNHC 151106 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE LOCATED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-13809>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:31:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54318; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA50458 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150730.CAA04246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:30:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 027197ca76c2f6a038e56a6ffcf1d9fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 AXPZ20 KNHC 150729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 15 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N90W 8N100W 9N110W 8N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-94W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N111W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 74W-78W. OTHER SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER AND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N94W 15N95W...ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 96W-101W...AND OVER THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 20N106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-13812>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:19:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44102; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:17:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9685867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:17:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA64308 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:17:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:16:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150316.WAA01338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:16:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5551db4950768b228217342f6a8ba008 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 120 ABPZ20 KNHC 150315 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE LOCATED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-13812>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:39:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54496; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:37:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9684213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:37:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19148 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:37:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150137.UAA29172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:37:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43a33fecfcff98beda8670e803d3160b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 280 AXPZ20 KNHC 150136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 15 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 9N100W 10N110W 9N120W 9N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 134W-137W AND WEST OF 137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-85W AND 105W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT WAS ONCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE NOTED FROM 15N-20N AND EAST OF 110W TO MEXICAN COAST FROM 18N-20N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN 91W-97W AND NORTH OF 12N TO GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE COAST OF GUATEMALA BETWEEN 91W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFFSHORE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 5N78W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER INTERIOR OF NORTHERN COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4013 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625928-13812>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 07:06:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA15260; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 18:02:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9682598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 18:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA64298 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 18:01:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA26505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 18:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809142301.SAA26505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 18:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0e02a66b78e4a73222e271b603ea8ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 ABPZ20 KNHC 142301 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED MILES OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627414-20664>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:31:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19168; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:27:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9680761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA23478 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:26:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:26:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141926.OAA19362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:26:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c906f5311f584ac9932734340d4d5cd1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 841 AXPZ20 KNHC 141925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 14 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N76W 7N90W 5N100W 8N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 86W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 78W-87W...FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 93W-96W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 135W-138W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 107W-111W...FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 117W-120W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 103W-109W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4091 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627366-20665>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA46668; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:57:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9678769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:57:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25940 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:55:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:54:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141654.LAA14889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:54:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 658e4241a62ac86882869c9c4034d550 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 559 ABPZ20 KNHC 141654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CONTINUE TO PRODUCE OCCASSIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED MILES OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627275-20653>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 16:11:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29262; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:10:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9674811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:10:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19004 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:10:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:10:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140810.DAA06677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:10:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a570d6db6886c8bb60cd7f20c4d5799d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 025 ABPZ20 KNHC 140807 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627221-20656>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:34:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25264; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:33:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9674635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24476 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:33:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140732.CAA06269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:32:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d16a6dcf410e3f839076bf5c410c896d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 AXPZ20 KNHC 140732 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 14 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0700 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 19N105W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS OVER REST OF AREA FROM 12N-22N BETWEEN 105W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N90W 9N103W 12N110W 11N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 86W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N105W 17N97W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3716 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627410-20665>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:54:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA33952; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:52:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9673581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA67178 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:52:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:51:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140351.WAA04474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:51:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2de45df2403fc36b06fa7ebcca005518 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 085 ABPZ20 KNHC 140350 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-20664>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52028; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:55:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9671966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13608 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:55:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140154.UAA03027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:54:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad4d4c1751d960d6b38bc39d15e228b9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 AXPZ20 KNHC 140151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 14 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0000 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 19N106W AND 20N106W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS OVER REST OF AREA FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-9N90W-11N107W- 10N127W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 84W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 10N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 10N106W AND 12N107W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626027-20653>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 07:12:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA46734; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:35:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9670138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA49014 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:35:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA00624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132235.RAA00624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:35:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a3419e717ef1919b886442edd0444b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 163 ABPZ20 KNHC 132231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO NOT FAR FROM MANZANILLO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627650-27879>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:19:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA46622; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:18:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9668364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:18:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67716 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:17:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:17:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131917.OAA27595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:17:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09fdbd150db48fdef7096a498ce0af98 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 886 AXPZ20 KNHC 131916 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 13 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1800 UTC... ...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... NEAR 19N107W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1900 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO FIND. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-22N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 7N90W 6N100W 11N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 79W-83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 107W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 86W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 88W-94W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 02:26:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627428-27874>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 00:12:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA40702; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 11:11:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9666965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 11:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20968 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 11:11:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 11:11:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131611.LAA25031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 11:11:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7785020446be74e24c09d00f077518d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 892 ABPZ20 KNHC 131608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER REMAIN IS LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO NOT FAR FROM MANZANILLO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627065-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:30:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24370; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:29:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9666038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA52220 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:29:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131328.IAA23692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:28:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f82765a80acfe7e0756add7f44408990 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 690 AXPZ20 KNHC 131328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 13 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... NEAR 19N107W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1300 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO FIND. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-23N BETWEEN 106W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N90W 6N100W 12N110W 11N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 83W-88W...AND FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 86W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 93W-96W...AND FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 107W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 103W-106W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627429-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 18:31:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA27236; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:30:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9665118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA13136 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:30:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131030.FAA22460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2ae85955efb771402edd3110feb419c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 ABPZ20 KNHC 131028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN INCREASING INTERMITTENTLY NEAR THE CENTER. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 15:46:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2347 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627247-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA46628; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:33:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA13586 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:33:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130733.CAA21045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:33:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49eac7d692ffd47898ab838b093fda86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 422 AXPZ20 KNHC 130731 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 13 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... NEAR 21N109W...MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0700 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO FIND. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 19N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 7N90W 6N100W 12N110W 12N120W 9N126W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-92W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION INLAND OVER WESTERN COLOMBIA FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 74W-78W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626924-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 10:51:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54108; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9662453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA48712 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:49:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130249.VAA18374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:49:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c9ec0b33ba75061fb6cb9e1cce4e9cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 ABPZ20 KNHC 130248 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN INCREASING INTERMITTENTLY NEAR THE CENTER. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626511-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA35886; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 19:40:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9661172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 19:40:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA54300 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 19:40:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 19:40:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130040.TAA16794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 19:40:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63f5d37c6259f323100767d06f5a33e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 452 AXPZ20 KNHC 130038 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 13 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0100 UTC... ...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... NEAR 19N108W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0100 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. JAVIER... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO FIND. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 22N106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-10N111W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 78W AND 85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EMERGING OFF NICARAGUA COAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 89W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627725-20420>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 06:27:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA48862; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 17:26:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9660529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 17:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA29386 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 17:26:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 17:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122225.RAA15622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 17:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77c1e90b5781b06b80529ef1eeb2ffbb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPZ20 KNHC 122223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN INCREASING INTERMITTENTLY NEAR THE CENTER. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627658-20426>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:18:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25910; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:14:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:14:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA48670 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:14:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:14:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121914.OAA13235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:14:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffb646df41e22e0b42ccc6a9d126ca55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 979 AXPZ20 KNHC 121911 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 12 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ...A 1002 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY JAVIER...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N108W. NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 5N90W 3N100W 8N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 77W-83W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 107W-111W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 121W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 108W-110W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN 108W-112W...DUE TO THE LOW PREVIOUSLY JAVIER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 103W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 84W-88W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 00:25:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627602-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:52:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA63608; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 10:50:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9657470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 10:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA48734 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 10:50:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA10625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 10:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121550.KAA10625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 10:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5caa0acf8e308e7fbb7f33e8f134959 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 665 ABPZ20 KNHC 121548 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE REMNANT CIRCULATION. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627350-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:20:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA47500; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:19:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9656402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:19:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA27244 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:19:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121318.IAA09250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:18:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccb919e4e94663b982ca172ddcb78590 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 AXPZ20 KNHC 121314 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 12 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1200 UTC... ...A 1003 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY JAVIER...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N108W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N90W 3N100W 8N110W 10N120W 10N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 78W-81W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 115W-122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 107W-111W DUE TO THE LOW THAT WAS FORMERLY JAVIER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 102W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 85W-89W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3855 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626922-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:20:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA27318; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 05:19:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9655608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 05:19:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA30628 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 05:19:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 05:19:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121019.FAA08027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 05:19:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eab4e07e7945e33bcf107db4d1d6ff25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 ABPZ20 KNHC 121017 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE CENTERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626785-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA27190; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 02:17:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9654784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 02:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA67620 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 02:17:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 02:16:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120716.CAA06556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 02:16:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7d3e7a07c21522d7ad6be9333fe9a49 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 317 AXPZ20 KNHC 120714 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 12 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ...A 1004 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY JAVIER...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N107W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 9N90W 12N98W 9N110W 12N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N TO 20N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 19N111W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N110W 17N108W TO 18N106W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 11:08:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4547 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626393-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 10:57:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22844; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:54:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9653242 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:54:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23338 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:54:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:54:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120254.VAA03994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:54:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2985c74d55b2f504f68b566223485104 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 ABPZ20 KNHC 120252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ARE CENTERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 10:25:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626440-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:31:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA67168; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:30:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAB35866 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:30:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120129.UAA02982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:29:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24975ac145ea741824cc6e5d07df87f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 448 AXPZ20 KNHC 120127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 12 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER HAS WEAKEANED TO A LOW CENTERED NEAR 19.0N 109.0W AT 12/0000 UTC. SEE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 13N100W 10N110W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-109W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-94W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 18N109W IS ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANT LOW FORMERLY JAVIER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 110W-111W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17N103W 18N105W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF SOUTHERN COAST OF NICARAGUA...AND NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF SOUTERN COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NORTHERN COAST OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 50-60 NM OF COAST OF COLOMBIA SOUTH OF 5N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1462 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-5771>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 05:54:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA67788; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:51:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9650537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA47540 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:50:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:50:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809112150.QAA29522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:50:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e75496a341d456bacacd641c0867c889 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 122 ABPZ20 KNHC 112146 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-5773>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:51:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23456; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:50:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9649709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA23506 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:40:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809112039.PAA27743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:39:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34c81f5f8bcfbc6080b2971473364cea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 936 WTPZ21 KNHC 112038 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 2100Z FRI SEP 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 109.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 109.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 109.1W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.5N 108.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-5772>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:45:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29436; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:39:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9649670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:39:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13014 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:39:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809112038.PAA27703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:38:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: baf0c3d07be660127571740d879a4ae1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 934 WTPZ41 KNHC 112038 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY BY ANALYSTS AT TAFB AND SAB. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS CONTINUING TO ADVERSELY AFFECT THE SYSTEM...AND THERE APPEARS TO BE A MID-LEVEL VORTICITY MAX JUST SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO THAT MAY BE INTERFERING WITH THE CIRCULATION. JAVIER IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LOSE ITS IDENTITY AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON JAVIER UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. HOWEVER...A LOW WILL BE CARRIED ON THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR A WHILE LONGER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 19.0N 109.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 18.5N 108.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626039-5771>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:36:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA66198; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:34:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9648910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49026 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:34:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:34:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111934.OAA26004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:34:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bb1453c5cf8346c18ee020432d1639d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 795 AXPZ20 KNHC 111926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 11 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 19.1N 109.1W AT 11/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 4 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME ELONGATED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR SOCCORRO ISLAND WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N89W 12N100W 15N105W 10N112W 13N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 12N110W-16N107W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF 7N77W-6N88W-9N89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N BETWEEN 102W-107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 01:05:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3646 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-5771>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 00:55:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA49100; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 11:51:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9646879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 11:51:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA47794 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 11:51:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 11:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111650.LAA20197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 11:50:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5779fe4a897c34fdde635786e73f98e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 ABPZ20 KNHC 111647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR MANZANILLO. THIS WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 00:20:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627546-5772>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 23:26:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26092; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9645901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA46808 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA17789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111524.KAA17789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da1326798edc2d2d18037290d5ba80a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 WTPZ41 KNHC 111521 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS CENTER HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD. MODEL GUIDANCE IS HIGHLY DIVERGENT IN DIRECTION OF MOTION...SO THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FOR LITTLE MOTION. THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...BUT DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 19.5N 109.3W 25 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 19.0N 109.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 00:20:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628205-5771>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 23:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22440; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9645894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA58004 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:24:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA17783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111523.KAA17783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:23:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8476d3a1c93677e804293a6e630fd1d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 702 WTPZ21 KNHC 111522 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 1500Z FRI SEP 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.3W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.3W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.0N 109.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 00:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2231 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627368-5774>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:31:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA44248; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:30:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9644609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44214 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:30:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111330.IAA14692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:30:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2344703e168cf153dd6bc9a9359134f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 386 AXPZ20 KNHC 111326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 11 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 19.9N 109.5W AT 11/1200 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... THE SYSTEM IS DESCRIBED AS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR SOCCORRO ISLAND TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 30 NM OF 19N110.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N92W 13N104W 11N111W 13N122W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-90W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 87W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N103W-17N101W-21N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 20:29:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627308-5771>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 18:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA44774; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 05:55:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9643306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 05:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA30666 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 05:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 05:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111055.FAA12994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 05:55:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 566ff1f7e2942698d622644b0ef66b6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 ABPZ20 KNHC 111052 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR MANZANILLO. THIS WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 17:33:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-5771>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:58:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22996; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9642289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47548 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:57:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110857.DAA12015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:57:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 610e08595465bab29993ab2a4011ffdd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 963 WTPZ21 KNHC 110856 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0900Z FRI SEP 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 109.5W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 109.5W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.3N 109.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.3N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.3N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.3N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 20.3N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 16:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627117-5772>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:54:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24760; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:54:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9642252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:54:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15270 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:54:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:53:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110853.DAA11970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:53:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8a48a836eda91dcfc7cd8ba9a2d5286 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 WTPZ31 KNHC 110851 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 ...JAVIER STILL NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAK... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.3 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 16:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1455 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627196-5772>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 16:50:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23026; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:48:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9642210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA34016 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:48:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:48:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110848.DAA11916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:48:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7ca40f82c9d416d8f5d3cd63401f19c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 842 WTPZ41 KNHC 110846 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998 NOT MUCH CHANGE TO REPORT. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A CIRCULATION OF LOW CLOUDS...WITH A SPOT OF THUNDERSTORMS SW OF THE CENTER. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE MOTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. JAVIER IS STILL EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN WHILE MOVING SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 20.3N 109.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 20.3N 109.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 20.3N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 12/1800Z 20.3N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/0600Z 20.3N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/0600Z 20.3N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 15:40:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626837-29064>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:36:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44670; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:30:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9641871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54124 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:30:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110730.CAA11119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd8ebd84ad4d6ff3e7ac4d7ebb866aef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 AXPZ20 KNHC 110728 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0635 UTC FRI 11 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS ESTIMATED TO BE CENTERED NEAR 20.2N 109.7W AT 11/0600 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0646 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND ITS OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS ALREADY LOST ITS CYCLONIC CONFIGURATION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 12N100W 15N107W 11N112W 10N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 109W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N118W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 10N114W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM EAST OF 90W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N101W ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO INLAND NEAR 18N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N98W TO 12N100W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 14:17:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4812 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-29063>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 12:49:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28338; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 23:47:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9640825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 23:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA35222 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 23:46:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 23:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110446.XAA09537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 23:46:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ea3306b0bddc18129f7f8d8bb003187 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 ABPZ20 KNHC 110445 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO. THIS WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 10:44:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626961-29062>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15230; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:36:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9639340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28266 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:36:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110236.VAA07731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:36:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5fac4c6b3097dde0dbb9d39a94b3a6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 144 WTPZ31 KNHC 110236 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 ...JAVIER REMAINS STATIONARY... SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES...275 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...20.5 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 10:39:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1459 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-29065>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:37:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22536; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:33:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9639302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53238 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:33:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110233.VAA07561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:33:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 963032fc372ae83ba1b5c2cd387c0cdc X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 117 WTPZ21 KNHC 110232 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0300Z FRI SEP 11 1998 SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.5W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.5W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.5N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 20.5N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 10:39:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1209 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-29065>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:35:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29374; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:32:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9639290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29344 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:32:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110232.VAA07544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:32:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3cd26295c5b5b15fad20ca026b76189e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 WTPZ41 KNHC 110231 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS...BUT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS COMPLETELY DISSIPATED AGAIN. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED AS LONG AS THE SHEAR PERSISTS. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 25 KNOTS...AND THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. JAVIER HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK...AND LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NAVY NOGAPS AND UKMET MODELS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 20.5N 109.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 11/1200Z 20.5N 109.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 12/0000Z 20.5N 109.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 12/1200Z 20.5N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/0000Z 20.5N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/0000Z 20.5N 109.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 10:18:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-29063>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 09:31:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24364; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 20:29:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9637933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 20:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19570 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 20:28:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 20:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110128.UAA06621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 20:28:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eda57d4073e914c9bda69b45509d71dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 816 AXPZ20 KNHC 110126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 11 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED NEAR 20.4N 109.9W AT 11/0000 UTC...MOVING SOUTHEAST 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... SYSTEM RAPIDLY LOSING ITS DEEP CONVECTION AS OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS ALREADY LOST ITS CYCLONIC CONFIGURATION. ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CAN BE SEEN WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 21N112W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 113W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N90W 13N100W 14N110W 11N115W 11N125W 9N135W 8N14W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W... AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-89W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 120 NM. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 17N-18N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-10N. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER GULF OF PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1758 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628177-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 06:18:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA20750; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 17:17:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9635534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 17:17:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA44186 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 17:16:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 17:16:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809102216.RAA03704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 17:16:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6cb53d669a254c20236c10cddd2761dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 737 ABPZ20 KNHC 102215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO. THIS WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 04:34:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA41328; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9634004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA59484 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:31:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809102031.PAA00530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:31:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7932381c4c369e91ce5734f8214a0f4f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 WTPZ31 KNHC 102030 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 ...JAVIER DRIFTING SOUTHEAST... SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.5 N...110.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628185-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 04:30:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA42872; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:29:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9633990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA56662 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:29:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809102028.PAA00459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c3536f22b67e76e28b90828572ba83f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 150 WTPZ21 KNHC 102029 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 2100Z THU SEP 10 1998 SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 110.2W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 110.2W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 110.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.2N 109.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.4N 109.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 110.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 18.9N 108.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 107.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628163-152>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 04:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25306; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9633974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60352 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809102028.PAA00422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:28:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0be6cb5ac9c6073e8718645c4b990860 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 131 WTPZ41 KNHC 102028 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 SATELLITE PICTURES CONTINUE TO SHOW DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. DVORAK CI NUMBERS REMAIN NEAR 1.5 OR LOWER... IMPLYING WINDS OF ABOUT 25 KT. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY...PERHAPS A SLIGHT DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL EASTERLIES CONTINUE TO SHEAR THE SYSTEM AND PREVENT ANY POSSIBILITY OF INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER...IF THE SHEAR WERE TO DECREASE THE SYSTEM COULD MAKE A COME BACK. THERE IS LITTLE FLOW TO STEER JAVIER. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT A SLIGHT WESTWARD STEERING WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHICH WOULD MOVE JAVIER IN THAT DIRECTION. THE TRACK MODELS CONTINUE TO REMAIN VERY DIVERGENT...THE GFDL MOVES THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OUT TO 48 HOURS AND THAN A TURN TO THE EAST AT 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GFDL TRACK BUT AT A SLOWER SPEED. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 20.5N 110.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 11/0600Z 20.2N 109.9W 25 KTS 24HR VT 11/1800Z 19.8N 109.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 12/0600Z 19.4N 109.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 12/1800Z 18.9N 108.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 13/1800Z 18.4N 107.7W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628118-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:33:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52954; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9633349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67756 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:31:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101931.OAA28428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:31:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72b47d38c2d7e6a8ddbaa5cee3d68ced Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 433 AXPZ20 KNHC 101930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 10 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 110.3W AT 10/1800 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N87W 12N100W 14N105W 15N111W 12N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 93W-108W. THIS AREA INCLUDES THE COAST OF MEXICO AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-88W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-128W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZE THE ITCZ WEST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N94W-8N92W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628138-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 00:32:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA66206; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:30:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9630760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24700 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:30:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101629.LAA21611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa734663f37e393c1202d4fb6cea3c64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 ABPZ20 KNHC 101628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO. THIS WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3459 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628155-152>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 23:04:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA55734; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:03:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9629240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:02:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA20076 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:02:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA19019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:02:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101502.KAA19019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:02:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9c72161beb3f69a0a8bb943b755c857 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 147 WTPZ31 KNHC 101502 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 ...JAVIER REMAINS STATIONARY... SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED ON TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...20.9 N...110.6 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628158-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 22:58:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35446; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9629136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA54160 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:54:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101453.JAA18678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:53:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f0020c659e30ed58eb427baec5e747e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 975 WTPZ41 KNHC 101452 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 SATELLITE PICTURES CONTINUE TO SHOW A SINGLE SPOT OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. DVORAK CI NUMBERS ARE NOW 1.5 OR LOWER...IMPLYING WINDS OF ABOUT 25 KT. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE IS LITTLE FLOW TO STEER JAVIER. THE 00Z AVN AND NOGAPS LIFT THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE U.S. SOUTHWEST A LITTLE TO THE NE AND BUILD SOMEWHAT THE RIDGE BETWEEN THAT LOW AND THE DEPRESSION. THAT INTRODUCES A SLIGHT WESTWARD STEERING CURRENT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHICH COULD MOVE JAVIER IN THAT DIRECTION. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 20.9N 110.6W 25 KTS 12HR VT 11/0000Z 20.9N 110.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 11/1200Z 20.9N 110.6W 25 KTS 36HR VT 12/0000Z 20.9N 111.2W 20 KTS 48HR VT 12/1200Z 20.9N 112.0W 20 KTS 72HR VT 13/1200Z 20.9N 113.6W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2611 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628151-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 22:59:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA42788; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:56:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9629127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:56:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA61068 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:54:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:53:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101453.JAA18674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:53:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10fc8e8563bfbbb3fcad07d5251723eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 WTPZ21 KNHC 101452 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 1500Z THU SEP 10 1998 SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 110.6W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 110.6W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.9N 110.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.9N 110.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.9N 111.2W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 110.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 20.9N 112.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.9N 113.6W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-150>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA47824; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:36:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9628224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA53180 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:36:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:36:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101336.IAA16476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:36:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7345d7dbd5655fd633a2375a2a7c85e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 737 AXPZ20 KNHC 101335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 10 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 20.9N 110.6W AT 10/1200 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N111W-23N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N91W 12N106W 13N117W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 79W FROM 3N-8N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-124W. BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS CHARACTERIZE THE ITCZ WEST OF 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N98W-19N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 120 NM OF 9N98W- 16N94W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM OF 22N105.5W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 19:05:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628164-152>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 18:45:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13172; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 05:44:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9626797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 05:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA18742 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 05:43:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 05:43:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101043.FAA14262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 05:43:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a661e3138c7f0076411dfc31783ae104 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 553 ABPZ20 KNHC 101041 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO. THIS WIND PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 19:05:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 16:28:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA49090; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:27:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9626013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30578 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100825.DAA12961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27f27c3a2d66089b06326444babbae91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTPZ31 KNHC 100825 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 ...WEAK DEPRESSION STATIONARY SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY IN THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.9 N...110.8 W. MOVEMENT ...NONE...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 19:05:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1549 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627997-142>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 16:27:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18834; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:26:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9626005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25190 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100825.DAA12955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50d233f6b3cce1eb08c203eac5be4dab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 070 WTPZ21 KNHC 100824 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0900Z THU SEP 10 1998 SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 110.8W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 110.8W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 110.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.9N 110.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.9N 110.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.0N 111.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 110.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 112.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 21.0N 113.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 19:05:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1557 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627576-152>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 16:27:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18858; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:26:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9626009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:26:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25196 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100825.DAA12959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:25:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b3dfd228c3c32f5615474021bcbf425 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 WTPZ41 KNHC 100823 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 10 1998 SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A SINGLE SPOT OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. DVORAK CI NUMBERS CONTINUE TO FALL AND ARE NOW 1.5 OR LOWER...IMPLYING WINDS OF ABOUT 25 KT. TOP WINDS SPEEDS DETECTED BY THE ERS-2 ARE ALSO NEAR 25 KT. THE DEPRESSION HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...PERHAPS DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST. THERE IS LITTLE FLOW TO STEER JAVIER. THE 00Z AVN AND NOGAPS LIFT THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE U.S. SOUTHWEST A LITTLE TO THE NE AND BUILD SOMEWHAT THE RIDGE BETWEEN THAT LOW AND THE DEPRESSION. THAT INTRODUCES A SLIGHT WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD STEERING CURRENT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHICH COULD MOVE JAVIER IN THAT DIRECTION IF...IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT THAT..IT IS A FAIRLY DEEP SYSTEM THEN. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 20.9N 110.8W 25 KTS 12HR VT 10/1800Z 20.9N 110.8W 25 KTS 24HR VT 11/0600Z 20.9N 110.8W 25 KTS 36HR VT 11/1800Z 21.0N 111.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 12/0600Z 21.0N 112.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 13/0600Z 21.0N 113.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 15:47:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628047-150>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:22:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA20912; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:19:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9625798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:19:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45212 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:19:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:19:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100719.CAA12294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:19:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c154b9b6e8a4a7eb11a97bf42a082948 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 268 AXPZ20 KNHC 100717 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 10 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 20.9N 110.8W AT 10/0600 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0646 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 20.5N112W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS ARE FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 109W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N90W 12N107W 12N104W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N95W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 7N99W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 99W TO 105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N100W TO 16N106W AND FROM 15N113W TO 16N119W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 6N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 13:13:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626972-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 12:45:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25298; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 23:44:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9624785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 23:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA54696 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 23:44:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 23:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100443.XAA10524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 23:43:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9466b526a5a13e577d50e41a8b1d4b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 ABPZ20 KNHC 100442 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG...MOIST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FRANCES...IS AFFECTING A LARGE PORTION OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO. THIS WIND PATTERN...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR A FEW DAYS...WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:30:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA66060; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:30:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9622718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18938 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:30:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100229.VAA08694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:29:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2c3bbbb41aabe9d1db0acfed15f5c1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 619 WTPZ31 KNHC 100229 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 09 1998 ...JAVIER STALLS NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STEERING CURRENTS HAVE COLLAPSED AND THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...111.0 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626937-142>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:29:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA49236; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9622706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA48686 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100228.VAA08671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3c7d900dda87c4240da8f648aef67c5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 WTPZ21 KNHC 100228 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0300Z THU SEP 10 1998 SMALL CRAFT IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO SOUTHWARD SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 111.0W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 111.0W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 111.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.5N 111.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 111.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N 111.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 113.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626935-152>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:29:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA49216; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9622702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA46630 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:28:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100227.VAA08666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:27:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Javier Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5e7b6777ea39c27053b78efa5c00cf5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 WTPZ41 KNHC 100227 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 09 1998 ALTHOUGH JAVIER REMAINS OVER WARM WATER...EASTERLY SHEAR HAS BEEN STRONG ENOUGH TO REDUCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST SATELLITE ESTIMATES. THE POSSIBILITY OF REGENERATION IS REMOTE AS LONG AS THE SHEAR REMAINS AS STRONG AS IT IS AT PRESENT. OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR JAVIER TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS HAVE COLLAPSED AND LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS LIKELY DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFDL SHOWS ESSENTIALLY NO MOTION WHILE MOST OTHER GUIDANCE MODELS INDICATE MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR WEST AT VARYING SPEEDS. OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS THE SYSTEM REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A SLOW MOTION GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 21.0N 111.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/1200Z 21.0N 111.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 11/0000Z 21.5N 111.2W 25 KTS 36HR VT 11/1200Z 22.0N 111.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 12/0000Z 22.5N 111.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 13/0000Z 23.5N 113.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-142>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:58:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA49002; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:56:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9622333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:56:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA31830 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:56:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100155.UAA08003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:55:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76ba626586b618920c26f176510a58d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 AXPZ20 KNHC 100153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 10 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER HAS WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION AND IS CENTERED NEAR 21.0N 111.1W AT 10/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 3 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 19N-26N BETWEEN 111W-118W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 113W-116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 13N97W 13N104W 14N110W 16N117W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-86W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N78W 9N83W 13N85W...AND OVER INLAND MEXICO WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 17N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 100W-106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4796 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626606-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 09:36:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22296; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:32:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9622117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA46540 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:32:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100132.UAA07587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1a4149805268e4dac834d31cb617c66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 460 AXPZ20 KNHC 100130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 09 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER HAS WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION AND IS CENTERED NEAR 21.0N 111.1W AT 10/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 3 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 19N-26N BETWEEN 111W-118W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 113W-116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 13N97W 13N104W 14N110W 16N117W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-86W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N78W 9N83W 13N85W...AND OVER INLAND MEXICO WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 17N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 100W-106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625918-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 07:04:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA56708; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 17:37:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9619587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 17:37:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA60180 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 17:37:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 17:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809092236.RAA03429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 17:36:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69df8d147f372f3efb6d8795853b7542 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 ABPZ20 KNHC 092234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. STRONG MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FRANCES IS AFFECTING A LARGE PORTION OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR ACAPULCO. THIS WIND PATTERN...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR A FEW DAYS...WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND MUD SLIDES...OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-14540>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 03:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23498; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9617126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA41654 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:31:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091931.OAA22573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:31:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ead8d8e0e9dd045a6adda06e49c7681a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 AXPZ20 KNHC 091929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 09 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 21.0N 111.2W AT 09/1800 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE STORM WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N113W-22N115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N105W-24N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N84W 11N91W 14N96W 13N110W 16N118W 10N131W 7N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF 13.5N BETWEEN 92W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-85W...AND FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 105W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-15N BETWEEN 86W-92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N BETWEEN 101W-107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628090-14542>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 22:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA59824; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:38:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9612307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:38:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23450 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:38:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:37:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091437.JAA11716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:37:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d933dd4c039f296f35c4970858aa6ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 WTPZ21 KNHC 091437 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 1500Z WED SEP 09 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.6W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.6W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 111.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 20.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628080-14541>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 22:38:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA27950; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:37:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9612294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18950 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:36:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:36:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091436.JAA11698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:36:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 299ba95f2b3234effd96ce79cfb18ebb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 WTPZ41 KNHC 091436 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 09 1998 THE CENTER OF JAVIER REMAINS FULLY EXPOSED WITH ONLY A NARROW BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AT THIS TIME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 35 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IF CONVECTION DOES NOT INCREASE IN AND AROUND THE CIRCULATION JAVIER MAY BE DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 18 TO 24 HOURS. MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE TROUGH OFF THE U.S. WEST COAST DROPPING SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 20N BY 24-36 HOURS. HOWEVER...IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN ITS WEAKEN STATE ITS UNLIKELY TO BE IMPACTED BY THIS FEATURE. WE WILL WAIT FOR VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES BEFORE MAKING ANY CHANGES TO THE MOTION. SO...UNTIL SOME DETECTABLE MOTION OCCURS THE SYSTEM WILL BE HELD STATIONARY...PER THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 20.6N 111.6W 35 KTS 12HR VT 10/0000Z 20.6N 111.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 10/1200Z 20.6N 111.6W 35 KTS 36HR VT 11/0000Z 20.6N 111.6W 35 KTS 48HR VT 11/1200Z 20.6N 111.6W 35 KTS 72HR VT 12/1200Z 20.6N 111.6W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628061-14542>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 21:37:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA30310; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 08:36:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9611439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 08:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30436 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 08:31:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 08:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091331.IAA09564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 08:31:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd6550fb5a0fc8f97639e3f5f5d19e29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 AXPZ20 KNHC 091329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 09 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 111.6W AT 09/1200 UTC. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/ MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER REMAINS EXPOSED AND VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT WITHIN 60 NM OF 23N113W-19N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N87W 14N97W 12N110W 15N120W 11N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N85W-6N79W...AND 5N89W- 8N82W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-114W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-92W...AND 114W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ WEST OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N101W-18N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N106W-11N93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N78W-7N83W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628065-14541>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 18:30:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30346; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:30:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9609913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA25462 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091030.FAA07465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b506ede60c85e5b48790ec586f35b085 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 183 ABPZ20 KNHC 091028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 17:21:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628097-14540>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 16:25:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29406; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9609299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46776 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090825.DAA06323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d42f17d551d9a20c5078d8756711fdd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 WTPZ21 KNHC 090824 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0900Z WED SEP 09 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 111.6W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 111.6W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 111.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 20.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 20.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 17:21:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627974-14542>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 16:25:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29386; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9609295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19632 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090825.DAA06319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:25:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfca09a95d1b611ebeddc5c63aa26c21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPZ41 KNHC 090823 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 09 1998 JAVIER HAS NOT MOVED MUCH DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. MEANWHILE...ITS CENTERED HAS BECOME MORE EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION ONLY EVIDENT TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. THE 00Z AVN ONCE AGAIN SHOWS A TROUGH DEVELOPING UNUSUALLY FAR TO THE SOUTH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ALONG THE WEST COAST. INTERESTINGLY ...IT SEEMS TO HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON THE MODEL/S FORECAST TRACK FOR THE TROPICAL STORM...WHICH IT KEEPS ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE TRACK MODELS ALSO SHOW LITTLE MOTION...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. JAVIER HAS BEEN WEAKENING WHILE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECASTS SUGGESTED STRENGTHENING WAS POSSIBLE. THIS FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE FROM ITS CURRENT STRENGTH. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 20.5N 111.6W 35 KTS 12HR VT 09/1800Z 20.5N 111.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 10/0600Z 20.5N 111.6W 35 KTS 36HR VT 10/1800Z 20.5N 111.6W 35 KTS 48HR VT 11/0600Z 20.5N 111.6W 35 KTS 72HR VT 12/0600Z 20.5N 111.6W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 17:21:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627961-14540>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 15:30:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36624; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 02:29:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9609067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 02:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25580 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 02:29:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 02:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090728.CAA05697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 02:28:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba60b85f4b703a83f769b6f667ee68c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 AXPZ20 KNHC 090727 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 09 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTER NEAR 20.5N 111.6W AT 09/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 1 KNOT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0646 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... STRONG DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 13N100W 12N110W 15N122W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 129W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W AND FROM 125W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N91W TO 14N94W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N96W TO 17N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N96W TO 6N100W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 14:18:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-14542>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 12:37:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18688; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 23:35:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9607934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 23:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26282 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 23:34:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 23:34:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090434.XAA03564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 23:34:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61e6c1074b56c084e43b920d8f348c3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 548 ABPZ20 KNHC 090432 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 10:49:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-14540>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:39:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19182; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:37:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9606763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64472 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090236.VAA02037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f793da0c5133cedeecbf735337d431a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 524 WTPZ21 KNHC 090236 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0300Z WED SEP 09 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 111.8W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 111.8W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.9N 111.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.2N 112.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 111.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 10:49:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626105-14541>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:43:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAB23484; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9606757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18842 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:36:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090235.VAA02005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:35:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0820c4bff999770679b230e8a7da1e6 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 477 WTPZ41 KNHC 090235 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 THE MOTION HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS DIVERGENT AS FAR AS DIRECTION OF MOTION IS CONCERNED...BUT MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW VERY SLOW MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE 18Z AVIATION MODEL WHICH SHOWS THE STORM CUT OFF AND NEARLY STATIONARY. THE AVIATION MODEL ALSO SHOWS A TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES DIGGING SOUTHWARD JUST WEST OF THE STORM AND THIS COULD GET THE STORM MOVING DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER AND A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED MOST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXPOSED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION WAS WELL WEST OF THE CENTER. THIS IS THE BASIS FOR DECREASING THE WIND SPEED TO 35 KNOTS. THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE MUCH VERTICAL SHEAR NEARBY...EVEN THOUGH THE EXPOSED CENTER SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR. THE FORECAST IS FOR SOME STRENGTHENING AFTER 12 HOURS. THE STORM IS RATHER CLOSE TO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...BUT THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND AND LOCATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION INDICATES THAT WARNINGS ARE NOT NECESSARY AT THIS TIME. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 20.8N 111.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 09/1200Z 20.9N 111.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 10/0000Z 21.2N 112.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 10/1200Z 21.5N 112.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 11/0000Z 22.0N 113.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 12/0000Z 23.0N 113.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626454-14542>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:39:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA64336; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:37:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9606147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:37:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18982 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:37:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090137.UAA01232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:37:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c03ea01a79fe7ec1afb6b6914fb07462 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 328 AXPZ20 KNHC 090136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 09 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTER NEAR 20.7N 111.7W AT 09/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 3 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ...A 1005 MB LOW IS REPOSITIONED NEAR 15N124W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 21N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 115W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 13N100W 13N105W 12N110W 14N123W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N81W...WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM BETWEEN 114W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PANAMA FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 80W-86W. SIMILAR SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17N95W 19N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 101W-105W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625927-3758>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 07:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA41660; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9604880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA49048 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:55:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA29783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809082354.SAA29783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:54:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 290a4c6d36671272139b6ce33a96e3e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 ABPZ20 KNHC 082354 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP1. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627789-5180>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:37:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA41802; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:36:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9603106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA42808 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:35:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA27728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:35:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809082135.QAA27728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:35:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71a0c09ef2f373433c3a30c470c12b41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 131 WTPZ21 KNHC DDHHMM COR TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 2100Z TUE SEP 08 1998 CORRECTION TO ADVISORY NUMBER...6 INSTEAD OF 7 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 117.0W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 117.0W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.0N 112.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.3N 112.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.7N 113.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 117.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.2N 113.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 23.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627931-5179>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 05:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52368; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9603097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA58748 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:34:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA27674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809082134.QAA27674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:34:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d87282a8c41021757b9621581efee747 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 103 WTPZ41 KNHC 082133 COR TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 CORRECTION TO ADVISORY NUMBER...6 INSTEAD OF 7 VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES DURING THE DAY INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF JAVIER IS EXPOSED EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER OF JAVIER IS NOW UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED AND THE OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED SOMEWHAT. THE MODEST STRENGTHENING TREND FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IS MAINTAINED. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES IMPLY THAT JAVIER/S FORWARD SPEED HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY FROM THE LAST ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 285/03 KNOTS. THE DRIVING FACTOR BEHIND THE TRACK FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH APPROACHING THE U.S. WEST COAST. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FAR ENOUGH SOUTH...NEAR 20N...BY 48 HOURS TO PULL JAVIER NORTHWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWEST ..THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST HEADING BEYOND 48 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT ACCELERATION. THIS FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THERE IS ONE CAVEAT TO THIS TRACK FORECAST...IF JAVIER STRENGTHENS MORE THAN FORECAST IT COULD RECURVE SOONER. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 20.7N 117.0W 40 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 21.0N 112.1W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/1800Z 21.3N 112.5W 45 KTS 36HR VT 10/0600Z 21.7N 113.2W 50 KTS 48HR VT 10/1800Z 22.2N 113.8W 55 KTS 72HR VT 11/1800Z 23.5N 114.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627914-5181>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 04:28:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA53088; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:25:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9602092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:24:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52218 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:24:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:24:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809082024.PAA25653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:24:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ee46667b8735e92a20a85c4832b7a76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 800 WTPZ21 KNHC 082022 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 2100Z TUE SEP 08 1998 ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER. 5-8 FOOT WAVES/ SWELLS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 111.7W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 111.7W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.0N 112.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.3N 112.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.7N 113.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 111.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.2N 113.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 23.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627910-5180>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 04:22:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA53148; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:20:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9601993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:20:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52344 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:20:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809082020.PAA25453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:20:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a47ca6469d9b5790e4bc5b8e2ef2d02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 WTPZ41 KNHC 082019 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE DAY SHOW THAT JAVIER IS IN A SHEARED STATE WITH THE CENTER EXPOSED ABOUT 45 NMI EAST OF THE EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ON THIS BASIS THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 40 KNOTS. ANALYSES FROM THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES...CIMSS...AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SUGGESTS THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD RELAX AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THUS...THE INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 40 KNOTS FOR 12 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL STRENGTHENING. FIXES FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES PLACE THE CENTER EAST OF THE EARLIER ESTIMATES...THIS IS SUBSTANTIATED BY SSM/I 85GHZ DATA. THEREFORE...THE CENTER IS BEING RE-LOCATED ABOUT 30 NMI EAST OF THE 15Z POSITION. BASED ON THIS RE-LOCATION THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 300/3 KNOTS. THE WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT WILL LIKELY ALLOW A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST DRIFT TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...THE MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE U.S. WEST COAST IS FORECAST TO DROP FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO TURN JAVIER ON A MORE NORTHWEST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE SYSTEM ON A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 36 HOURS...THEN A NORTHWEST MOTION...AND SLIGHT ACCELERATION... THROUGH 72 HOURS. WHILE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK DOES NOT DICTATE ANY WATCH OR WARNING ISSUANCES AT THIS TIME...ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. THE MOST IMMEDIATE THREAT WILL BE LARGE WAVES/SWELLS... 5-8 FEET...WHICH WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 20.7N 111.7W 40 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 21.0N 112.1W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/1800Z 21.3N 112.5W 45 KTS 36HR VT 10/0600Z 21.7N 113.2W 50 KTS 48HR VT 10/1800Z 22.2N 113.8W 55 KTS 72HR VT 11/1800Z 23.5N 114.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-5182>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 00:24:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52154; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 11:22:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9597783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 11:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA16878 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 11:21:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 11:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081620.LAA17917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 11:20:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12afe29f8a728543167cfaeca0f2ede4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 017 ABPZ20 KNHC 081619 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP1. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-5182>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 22:59:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA16654; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:58:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9596634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA53462 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081457.JAA15118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 280c281b5b1d7cc5780888381152ce33 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 266 WTPZ21 KNHC 081457 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 1500Z TUE SEP 08 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 112.1W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 112.1W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 112.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.7N 112.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 112.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627901-5180>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 22:59:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41140; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9596618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA56922 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081457.JAA15090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:57:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84cfa886ac37dab5ea7225ca75d71cc8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 265 WTPZ41 KNHC 081456 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER OF JAVIER IS NOW UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED AND THE OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED SOMEWHAT. THE MODEST STRENGTHENING TREND FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IS MAINTAINED. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES IMPLY THAT JAVIER/S FORWARD SPEED HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY FROM THE LAST ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 285/03 KNOTS. THE DRIVING FACTOR BEHIND THE TRACK FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH APPROACHING THE U.S. WEST COAST. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FAR ENOUGH SOUTH...NEAR 20N...BY 48 HOURS TO PULL JAVIER NORTHWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWEST ..THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST HEADING BEYOND 48 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT ACCELERATION. THIS FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THERE IS ONE CAVEAT TO THIS TRACK FORECAST...IF JAVIER STRENGTHENS MORE THAN FORECAST IT COULD RECURVE SOONER. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 20.6N 112.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 20.7N 112.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 09/1200Z 21.0N 113.0W 55 KTS 36HR VT 10/0000Z 21.5N 113.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 10/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 11/1200Z 23.0N 114.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627883-5180>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:38:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19046; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 08:37:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9595462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 08:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19526 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 08:35:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 08:35:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081335.IAA12897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 08:35:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1eb84d1d83246f169ce1c8dff60f8c06 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 AXPZ20 KNHC 081334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 08 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTER NEAR 20.6N 112.0W AT 08/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 4 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N128W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 111W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 111W-116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N90W 12N100W 12N110W 14N120W 12N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 78W-82W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 83W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-124W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 91W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED E OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FROM 20N-21N BETWEEN 106W-108W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 18:39:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627398-5181>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:32:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA60338; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 05:29:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9593631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 05:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA19102 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 05:29:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 05:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081029.FAA10772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 05:29:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6457b6586eb824bb1ebc8af3c89be678 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 ABPZ20 KNHC 081028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP1. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 16:43:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627595-5182>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:37:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22846; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:36:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9592918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:36:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19608 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080834.DAA09961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f638614a44974fbca1ed4c6d0b130af X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 WTPZ21 KNHC 080834 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0900Z TUE SEP 08 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.9W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.9W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.8N 112.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.1N 112.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 113.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 111.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.0N 113.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 16:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627296-5182>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:37:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22906; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9592888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAB19558 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080834.DAA09956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:34:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cfbc6a5c1bd8295b7afaa2d533ae431 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 WTPZ41 KNHC 080833 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 08 1998 SPECIAL GOES IR CHANNEL REVEALS A SHEARED CIRCULATION EXPOSED OVER MOST OF THE NORTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE. CENTER POSITION ESTIMATES FROM THIS IMAGERY IMPLY A SLOWER INITIAL MOTION THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED ...NEAR 290/4 KT. INTENSITY ESTIMATES BASED ON A DVORAK SHEAR PATTERN GIVE MAXIMUM WINDS AROUND 40 KT. WITH THE SLOWER MOTION USED TO INITIALIZE THE TRACK MODELS...MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS LITTLE NET MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. EARLY ON...THERE IS AN INDICATION OF A CONTINUED SLOW WNW OR NW HEADING. THEN... THERE IS THE SUGGESTION OF A NORTHWARD TO EASTWARD DRIFT...PERHAPS AS THE FORECAST TROUGH ALOFT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SIMILAR HEADING TO 6 HOURS AGO...BUT PULLS BACK THE FORECAST POINTS ALONG THAT TRACK. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AND THIS ASSUMES THAT THE SHEAR WILL DECREASE AND UPWELLING WILL NOT INHIBIT STRENGTHENING. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 20.6N 111.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 08/1800Z 20.8N 112.3W 45 KTS 24HR VT 09/0600Z 21.1N 112.8W 50 KTS 36HR VT 09/1800Z 21.5N 113.2W 55 KTS 48HR VT 10/0600Z 22.0N 113.7W 55 KTS 72HR VT 11/0600Z 23.0N 114.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 15:37:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-5179>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 15:29:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67746; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 02:27:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9592620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 02:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23696 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 02:27:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 02:26:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080726.CAA09395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 02:26:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18b75b7fb76aa872ac45b56f5f441447 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 AXPZ20 KNHC 080724 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 08 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 08/0300 UTC. TROPICAL STORM JAVIER IS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 111.8W AT 08/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0600 UTC... ...A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N128W. IT IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 135W THE REMAINDER OF REGION COVERED BY RELATIVELY LOW PRESSURE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N112W TO 22N115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 11N100W 11N110W 16N124W 13N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 4N83W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 9N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 91W AND WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W TO 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N95W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND GUATEMALA NEAR 15N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 95W TO 100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 6N TO ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 81W TO 84W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 3N82W TO 4N87W...FROM 16N124W TO 15N129W...AND WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N103W TO 13N110W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 14:41:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-5180>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 12:58:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA41482; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 23:55:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9591814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 23:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40180 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 23:55:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 23:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080454.XAA08185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 23:54:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41d89a21d62803a9af701577d3f333fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 420 ABPZ20 KNHC 080451 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JAVIER CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP1. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-6662>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 10:32:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA40976; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:30:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9590647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41120 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080229.VAA06999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44ede1219480166b6407b11250ae0aaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 WTPZ21 KNHC 080229 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 0300Z TUE SEP 08 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 112.0W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 112.0W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 111.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N 113.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.5N 114.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.4N 115.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 112.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.4N 116.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 26.4N 118.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1768 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-6663>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 10:34:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62670; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:31:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9590657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47516 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080229.VAA06995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:29:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Javier Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd9861918b26f2a090dc307ffeed6de4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 WTPZ41 KNHC 080228 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB ARE BOTH 2.5. IN ADDITION...SOCCORRO ISLAND REPORTED A WIND OF 270/28 KTS AND A PRESSURE OF 1000.6 MB. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KTS...AND TD ELEVEN-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM JAVIER. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WITH THE SYSTEM UNTIL ABOUT 48 HOURS...WHEN A WEAKENING TREND IS INITIATED AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES 24 DEG C SST/S. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/10 KNOTS. TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW CONSIDERABLE SCATTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR A GENERAL NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECELERATION. THIS IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS TWO FORECAST PERIODS AND THE SYNOPTIC REASONING REMAINS THE SAME...MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS MOVE A LARGE AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE U.S. WEST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS COULD RESULT IN A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE...POSSIBLY EVEN RECURVING THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE BAJA PENINSULA. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 20.8N 112.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 21.6N 113.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 22.5N 114.6W 50 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 23.4N 115.8W 55 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 24.4N 116.9W 55 KTS 72HR VT 11/0000Z 26.4N 118.8W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4769 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627373-6663>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:46:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62548; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:44:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9589675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA34850 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:44:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080144.UAA06355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:44:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dba3a62934946141b78052da8c2d9142 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 AXPZ20 KNHC 080141 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 08 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...CORRECTION UNDER SPECIAL FEATURE... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 111.5W AT 08/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SYSTEM LIKELY TO BE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS AT 08/0300 UTC. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 14N129W. IT IS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 130W. REMAINDER OF REGION COVERED BY RELATIVELY LOW PRESSURE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11-E... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION WITH TIME AS EVIDENT IN MORE SYMMETRICAL STRUCTURE...AND DEVELOPING OUTFLOW PATTERN. LARGE STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTER NOTED FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 111W-113W. CIRRUS MARKING OUTFLOW EXTEND OUTWARD FOR UP TO 300 NM FROM CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 12N100W 13N110W 15N120W 13N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-126W AND WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER AND ALONG SOUTHERN COAST OF PANAMA AND NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4515 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-6663>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:43:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA47446; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:40:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9589612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47404 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:40:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080140.UAA06329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:40:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9af279dd3ffbf44138cbeb6b5e61276f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 AXPZ20 KNHC 080138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 08 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 111.5W AT 08/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SYSTEM LIKELY TO BE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STATUS AT 08/0300 UTC. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 14N129W. IT IS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 130W. REMAINDER OF REGION COVERED BY RELATIVELY LOW PRESSURE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11-E... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION WITH TIME AS EVIDENT IN MORE SYMMETRICAL STRUCTURE...AND OUTFLOW PATTERN DEVELOPING. LARGE STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTER NOTED FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 111W-113W. CIRRUS MARKING OUTFLOW EXTEND OUTWARD FOR UP TO 300 NM FROM CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 12N100W 13N110W 15N120W 13N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-126W AND WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER AND ALONG SOUTHERN COAST OF PANAMA AND NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626518-6662>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 07:22:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA44066; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 18:22:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9587952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 18:22:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA58638 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 18:22:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA04724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 18:21:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809072321.SAA04724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 18:21:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e648ce8eb02730f057f843a1397a83fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 ABPZ20 KNHC 072321 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP1. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-1821>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 04:19:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56986; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:19:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9586398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA33882 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:18:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:18:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809072018.PAA02825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:18:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d65b0ba5b9f55e9609cbe46de2d6221 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTPZ41 KNHC 072014 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON WITH A CONVECTIVE BAND ATTEMPTING TO FORM ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPERIENCING UPPER- LEVEL EAST-NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR...APPROXIMATELY 100 MB... RESULTING IN RESTRICTED OUTFLOW OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. HOWEVER...ANALYSES FROM THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES SUGGESTS THAT THE SHEAR WILL RELAX AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB ARE 2.0 AND 2.5...RESPECTIVELY. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS MAINTAINED AT 30 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WITH THE SYSTEM ATTAINING TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN 12 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS A WEAKENING TREND IS INITIATED AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES 24 DEG C SST/S. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/09 KNOTS. AS WAS THE CASE AT 12Z THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS CONSIDERABLE SCATTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR A GENERAL NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECELERATION. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING BEHIND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AS MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS MOVE A RATHER EXPANSIVE MID-LEVEL TROUGH...CURRENTLY POSITIONED NORTH OF 35N ALONG 140W...TO THE U.S. WEST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS COULD RESULT IN A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE...POSSIBLY EVEN RECURVING THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PRIMARILY DUE TO THE INITIAL POSITION ESTIMATE. BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 20.4N 110.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 21.1N 111.9W 40 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 22.1N 113.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 23.1N 114.9W 55 KTS 48HR VT 09/1800Z 24.0N 116.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 10/1800Z 26.0N 118.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-1823>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 04:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56976; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:16:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9586357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:15:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22636 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:15:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:15:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809072015.PAA02798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:15:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a82ace6eb5c376cae41ba8ac1db78f3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 WTPZ21 KNHC 072015 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 2100Z MON SEP 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 110.8W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 110.8W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.1N 111.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.1N 113.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.1N 114.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 110.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4838 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-1822>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:27:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58784; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:26:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9585742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA48996 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:26:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:25:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071925.OAA01924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:25:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eafd1df87dd80901842eaa84f9cf5d83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 285 AXPZ20 KNHC 071921 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 07 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11-E...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 20.2N 110.4W AT 07/1800 UTC...MOVING WNW 9 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ21 KNHC/MIATCMEP1 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 110W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 108W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N90W 12N100W 10N110W 12N120W 14N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 79W-84W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 77W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF S MEXICO FROM 8N-18N BETWEEN 88W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 105W-120W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 129W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1318 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-1823>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 00:28:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA27926; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 11:26:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9583446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 11:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA41476 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 11:26:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 11:26:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071626.LAA29038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 11:26:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92fab17149faf3ceeddb9f0809f40308 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 565 ABPZ20 KNHC 071625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP1. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 22:37:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30434; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:37:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9582222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62664 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:37:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:37:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071437.JAA27861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:37:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 727f5ed770dfa1b619744f361f8dd72f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 WTPZ41 KNHC 071437 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS HAS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST DAY OR SO AND IS NOW ESTIMATED TO HAVE BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF EASTERLY SHEAR AND IT IS BELIEVED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS. HOWEVER...NEW CONVECTIVE CELLS ARE BEING GENERATED NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW...WHICH HAD BEEN RATHER PALTRY...IS GETTING A LITTLE BIT BETTER ESTABLISHED. THEREFORE THE SHEAR OVER THE CYCLONE APPEARS TO BE LESSENING AND SOME STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR. THIS IS SHOWN IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...WITH COOLING OCEAN TEMPERATURES BRAKING THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS LATER IN THE PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION...QUITE UNCERTAIN FOR A NEWLY-DEVELOPED TROPICAL CYCLONE...IS ESTIMATED TO BE 300/09. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HAS WEAKENED THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ELEVEN-E. MOREOVER THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A SIZEABLE 500 MB TROUGH DROPPING INTO CALIFORNIA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE FLOW FEATURES COULD CAUSE THE TRACK TO TURN MORE TO THE RIGHT...POSSIBLY EVEN RECURVE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TOWARD BAJA. NOTWITHSTANDING...THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS FAVOR A MORE SOUTHERN ROUTE...ALTHOUGH SOME OF THEM LOOK A BIT BIZARRE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GOES MORE WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND TRENDS MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT DEPENDING ON OBSERVED AND MODEL TRENDS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 19.7N 110.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 20.4N 111.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 21.3N 113.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 09/0000Z 22.2N 114.4W 45 KTS 48HR VT 09/1200Z 23.0N 115.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 10/1200Z 25.0N 117.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626906-1821>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 22:37:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58756; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:36:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9582209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62566 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:36:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:36:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071436.JAA27856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:36:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09b695de88bec6afe7a104d5c8a504fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 553 WTPZ21 KNHC 071435 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1198 1500Z MON SEP 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 110.3W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 110.3W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.9W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.4N 111.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.3N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 114.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 110.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-1818>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:09:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA55812; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:06:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9581598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA59890 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:06:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:05:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071305.IAA27061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:05:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ffd5dfd85d9b6fdf6c0977dc32ca957 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 AXPZ20 KNHC 071303 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 07 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 20N110W AT 07/1200 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 108W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 10N100W 10N110W 10N120W 15N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 76W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 77W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-11N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 100W-106W...FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 127W-132W...FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 132W-135W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 138W-142W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 90W-100W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 19:32:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4759 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 18:32:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA25114; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 05:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9580374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 05:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59654 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 05:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 05:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071030.FAA25765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 05:30:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2fd6c8531b0b7a0217f5614753ff897 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 ABPZ20 KNHC 071028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 15:41:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626119-1818>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67720; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:37:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9579287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19572 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:37:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:36:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070736.CAA24379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:36:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 600ce4fbe5a20b202a1b2de6fbfde3c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 078 AXPZ20 KNHC 070737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 07 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 20N110W AT 07/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 24N BETWEEN 107W AND 108W...AND WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 26N108W...FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W...AND FROM 19N TO 20N BETWEEN 105.5W AND 106.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-7N93W-11N110W- 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 7N82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 91W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 83W AND 93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 12:26:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-1823>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 11:25:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40102; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:25:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9577263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:24:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA67676 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:24:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA22360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070324.WAA22360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:24:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 069b122888ce8668325daed801fbb8ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 101 ABPZ20 KNHC 070324 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 09:48:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4907 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626113-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 09:39:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22330; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 20:37:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9575963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 20:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44070 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 20:37:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 20:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070137.UAA21450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 20:37:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e897df6a9e8991a075763a7a9ca6d57b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 175 AXPZ20 KNHC 070136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 07 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 19N109W AT 07/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 22N AND WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE NOTED WITHIN PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH THIS SYSTEM. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 108W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 110W-114W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS SPREADING NORTH-NORTHWEST FROM CONVECTION NORTH TO 23N FROM 110W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 12N100W 10N115W 10N120W 15N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 94W-100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-114W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W-86W AND 90W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... THE REGION FROM 4N-20N EAST OF 120W IS COVERED BY BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WHICH INCLUDES THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM 20N TO 23N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COLOMBIAN COAST NORTH OF 4N TO PANAMANIAN BORDER. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PANAMA AND ADJACENT WATERS. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 15N94W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3222 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625916-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 06:56:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA58794; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 17:55:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9574826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 17:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19094 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 17:55:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA19984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 17:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809062255.RAA19984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 17:55:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0849645346ccfc7876727c1d4b3df08f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 895 ABPZ20 KNHC 062252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2758 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-8435>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 03:16:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44236; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:15:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9573225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:15:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67258 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:15:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:14:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061914.OAA17849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:14:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f65dcccff02f21f0c910b92ffcb3e151 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 120 AXPZ20 KNHC 061912 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 06 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 18N107W AT 06/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER 14N134W...TROUGH ALONG 16N129W 8N142W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 107W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 15N-22N BETWEEN 106W-114W. REFER TO MIATWOEP FOR DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N90W 11N100W 10N110W 10N120W 15N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR FROM 1N-7N BETWEEN 77W-82W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO S MEXICO FROM 5N-16N BETWEEN 86W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 5N-20N BETWEEN 98W-106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 106W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE LINE 15N131W TO 9N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 02:40:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-8435>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 00:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22626; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:54:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9572119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:54:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23628 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:54:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061654.LAA16130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:54:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53485796b235003ef4f7f254227cce11 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 953 ABPZ20 KNHC 061652 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626413-8435>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA27272; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:29:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9570198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40054 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:29:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061328.IAA14711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:28:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df4e467f35e99e065965eb320ec6ed78 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 052 AXPZ20 KNHC 061328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 06 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 17N106W AT 06/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1200 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER 13N134W...TROUGH ALONG 15N132W 12N135W 10N140W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 107W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 104W-112W. REFER TO MIATWOEP FOR DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 10N100W 10N110W 10N120W 15N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO S MEXICO FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 86W-93W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 130W TO BEYOND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 100W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR FROM 1N-7N EXTENDING 60 NM OVER THE OCEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 100W-104W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626347-8436>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 19:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA27244; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 05:58:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9569496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 05:58:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA38744 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 05:58:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA13927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 05:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061058.FAA13927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 05:58:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e34a9d4e94a2397109faaff26fecc1dd X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 166 ABPZ20 KNHC 061051 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:44:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA27338; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:43:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52150 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:43:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060743.CAA12772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:43:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6fd1bbeb6b7bcd82cb6ff6eca3c70da X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 187 AXPZ20 KNHC 060741 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 06 SEP 1998 ...COR FOR 0735 UTC DATE... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 17N106W AT 06/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER 13N134W...TROUGH ALONG 15N132W- 12N135W-10N140W-8N149W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0530 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... PART OF BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COVERING EASTERN PORTION OF PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 21N107W-17N105W-17N109W-19N110W-21N107W. REFER TO MIATWOEP FOR DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N85W-10N100W-11N123W- 10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626029-8436>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18964; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:30:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39938 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060630.BAA12498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:30:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9323165c83e3ad45639ed7fb0fc2db9d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 675 AXPZ20 KNHC 060629 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 06 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 17N106W AT 06/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER 13N134W...TROUGH ALONG 15N132W- 12N135W-10N140W-8N149W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0530 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... PART OF BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COVERING EASTERN PORTION OF PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 21N107W-17N105W-17N109W-19N110W-21N107W. REFER TO MIATWOEP FOR DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N85W-10N100W-11N123W- 10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-8435>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:42:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA30408; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:41:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9567464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:41:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA40118 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:41:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060341.WAA11263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:41:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0fc9744247d18c2c6a77255897144c6 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 552 ABPZ20 KNHC 060339 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630381-7240>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 10:00:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40172; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 20:58:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9566716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 20:58:50 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19576 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 20:57:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA27723 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 20:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 20:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060151.UAA10410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 20:51:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 554d8d248b34eb36b374f2243549b915 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 447 AXPZ20 KNHC 060143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 06 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1005 MB LOW...CENTERED NEAR 17N105W AT 06/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 13N134W WITH TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 17N131W 13N134W TO 10N137W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... PART OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COVERING EASTERN PORTION OF PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 17N107W. THE REMAINDER OF THIS AREA IS DEPICTED AS BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF 12N FROM 102W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18N110W 19N1108W. REFER TO MIATWOEP FOR OUTLOOK ON THIS SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 13N94W 14N100W 13N111W 10N124W 14N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 12N135W 12N137W ASSOCIATED WITH 1009 MB LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N131W 16N133W DUE TO TROUGH. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO FORM 20N-22N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626649-7239>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 07:02:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA67274; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 18:01:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9565414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 18:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA41138 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 18:01:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA09283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 18:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809052301.SAA09283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 18:01:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2cdbabef097836360c0bf0834e556c68 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 256 ABPZ20 KNHC 052300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:34:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA60196; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:34:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563477 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA51984 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:34:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:34:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051934.OAA07438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:34:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c580ae849eb3f0fcd811ba66e224514 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 AXPZ20 KNHC 051934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 05 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1003 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N105W AT 05/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N137W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1845 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 14N94W-16N102W-15N109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N95W 11N104W 8N110W 12N126W 15N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60-90 NM OF 7N92W-13N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 114W-120W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:46:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA27146; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 11:45:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9561719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 11:45:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA46838 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 11:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 11:44:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051644.LAA06129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 11:44:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e1d6734ce5957726d3861f4ec8d1bc2 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 351 ABPZ20 KNHC 051643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA27206; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:32:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9560350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA60210 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:32:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051331.IAA04866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:31:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c27d7a37a8be28023cb12ca1b9bdab1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 AXPZ20 KNHC 051331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 05 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ...A 1004 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N103W. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N124W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N137W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 12N104W 8N116W 11N126W 13N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 90.5W FROM 5N-12N...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 1N-13N BETWEEN 92W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO AND INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 90 NM OF 14N93W-16N101W-18N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO EL SALVADOR WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N86W-14N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 117W-121W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4251 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 17:59:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25096; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:58:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9559316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:58:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA19702 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:58:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050958.EAA03568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:58:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da7cab227ddf417ef28698d7f8f670c1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 ABPZ20 KNHC 050958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1172 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627394-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:30:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA33972; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:28:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25250 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:28:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050728.CAA02588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:28:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f72b75c7d11416c8b2cd0ec55a9652aa X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 434 AXPZ20 KNHC 050726 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 05 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N98W. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N121W TO 17N121W. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N93W 12N103W 7N113W 14N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 114W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 127W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N107W TO 20N108W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N100W TO 20N105W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS EAST OF 107W TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO FROM 20N TO 22N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 13N TO INLAND OVER THE COAST FROM 91W IN GUATEMALA TO 97W IN MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60/90 NM RADIUS OF 12N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 1N IN ECUADOR TO 4N IN COLOMBIA. PATCHES OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N96W TO 6N102W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 12:07:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627884-9776>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 11:56:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA28110; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9557405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57004 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:55:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:54:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050354.WAA00988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:54:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9095112e91fbf8b0b5b534de71b974b8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 049 ABPZ20 KNHC 050354 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:58:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627366-19380>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 09:46:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19140; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:45:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9556271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:44:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA27266 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:42:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:42:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050142.UAA00054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 20:42:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6db49f505909d25b253d02b77097c12 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 546 AXPZ20 KNHC 050140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 05 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 14N97W. IT IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N120W TO 11N120W. ...HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED NORTH OF 22N AND WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N85W 8N92W 10N98W 11N103W 10N115W 15N132W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-107W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W- 117W AND 124W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED WITH 1007 MB LOW NOTED FROM 16N-17N BETWEEN 105W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH 1007 MB LOW WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N103W 14N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N97W 15N100W...AND OVER GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NORTH OF 15N AND EAST 95W TO INLAND COAST OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626061-19380>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 07:10:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA25110; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:37:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9555142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA30210 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:37:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809042237.RAA28293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:37:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bd2a4439899aef0fa57455e5e91bcc9 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABPZ20 KNHC 042236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT HAS POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627877-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:42:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63644; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:38:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9553004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:38:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA47492 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:38:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:38:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041938.OAA24743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:38:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb7cdd20587764fa30c95edcb1193fb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 257 AXPZ20 KNHC 041937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 04 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ...A 1003 MB LOW IS INTRODUCED OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO CENTERED NEAR 14N97W. IT IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE IN THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. ...A TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED FROM 12N136W TO 18N134W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N81W 9N90W 11N95W 10N102W 10N110W 12N120W 13N130W 15N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-107W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5N90W 12N88W...WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N93W 6N101W...WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-119W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL WAVE IS FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 94W-100W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627848-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 01:00:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA34858; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:56:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9550527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA34984 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:55:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041654.LAA20875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:54:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3496c15e1bf2dee26aa6a4fba7b81d60 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 ABPZ20 KNHC 041653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO THE SOUTH OF ACAPULCO. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT HAS POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-25343>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:39:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA59916; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:35:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9547386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:35:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19144 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:34:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041334.IAA15870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:34:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bbab9995d739d9e77ead535acce7386 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 048 AXPZ20 KNHC 041334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 04 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ...A 1005 MB LOW...FORMERLY TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. ...TROPICAL WAVE IS INTRODUCED INTO THE REGION ALONG 96W N OF 13N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 11N95W 10N100W 7N105W 8N110W 12N120W 13N130W 14N136W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-99W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-120W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-132W...AND WITHIN 135W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N98W 20N93W. OTHER NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 98W-106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628105-13342>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 18:05:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA59376; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:03:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA16860 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:03:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA13726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:03:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041003.FAA13726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:03:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a24142ddfe29c2e442f0bcec3676c38b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 078 ABPZ20 KNHC 041002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 15:32:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4102 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627740-22238>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:19:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA34486; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:16:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:16:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA47524 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:16:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040716.CAA12411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:16:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7603c50f89b8e438b78622eb1d1b6151 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 466 AXPZ20 KNHC 040716 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 04 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ...A 1002 MB LOW...FORMERLY TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS NOW OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED WEST OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0646 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N93W 8N100W 11N107W 10N115W 12N125W 14N133W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 88W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 138W TO 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 116W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 132W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N98W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 8N107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 97W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 123W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 96W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF A LINE FORM 12N92W 10N99W 12N103W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N102W TO 14N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N90W 6N101W TO 7N106W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2723 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627433-23661>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:38:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA57812; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:36:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9543171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:36:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA34496 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:36:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040335.WAA10428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:35:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b90ebd62ebe0a0d51a68f3e7409840a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 ABPZ20 KNHC 040335 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627723-8070>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:45:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52952; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:37:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15814 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:37:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040137.UAA08912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:37:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f86555d2eaa60853ca592613a4d95712 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 800 AXPZ20 KNHC 040135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 04 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ...1002 MB LOW...FORMERLY TROPICAL STORM ISIS...LOCATED OVER MEXICO NEAR 29N109W. ...HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED WEST OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 11N97W 11N110W 11N122W 12N130W 12N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W...120 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-122W... 135W-138W...AND 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80-90W AND 128W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SIMILAR CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 17N102W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N102W 17N101W. OTHER SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA AND ITS ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N AND E OF 86W TO COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-27343>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 07:02:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA59180; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:59:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9540774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:59:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA18962 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:59:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:59:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032259.RAA06477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:59:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b60b0b70454816e52768630a17b06e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 664 ABPZ20 KNHC 032258 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON ISIS...WHICH DISSIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHWEST MEXICO...ABOUT 125 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHIHUAHUA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627433-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:33:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45760; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:27:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9537753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA34460 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:27:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:26:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031926.OAA01166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:26:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 469d68fb273866e2a8ca8147b27b92b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 180 AXPZ20 KNHC 031926 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 03 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 108.0W AT 03/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTHEAST 17-22 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 20 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER WMO/ AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. THIS WAS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY NHC. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED WEST OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1845 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ISIS... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH MEXICO FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 103W-110W. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM REMAINS THE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WHICH COULD OCCUR OVER HIGH TERRAIN RESULTING IN POSSIBLE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. OUTFLOW CIRRUS CLOUDS EXTEND ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N92W 7N104W 10N111W 12N120W 12N131W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N92W-9N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 3N-14N BETWEEN 100W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO WITHIN 120 NM OF 11N89W-13N98W- 17N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 8N84W- 12N87W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627715-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:31:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA44298; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:28:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9535967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA44512 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:28:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031727.MAA27567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:27:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86c50f017438a45273998ad011a3fada Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 452 WTPZ35 KNHC 031727 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...ISIS CIRCULATION DISSIPATING OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ITS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. AT 11 AM PDT... THE REMNANTS OF ISIS WERE CENTERED OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHWEST MEXICO...NEAR 28.0N 108.0W...OR ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF CHIHUAHUA MEXICO. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ... COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. SOME RAINFALL WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON ISIS. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629854-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 00:29:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28396; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:26:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9534587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:25:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA57660 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:25:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:25:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031625.LAA25582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:25:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0bb9857782900a0c003919699a5165a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 339 ABPZ20 KNHC 031624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISIS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629797-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 23:52:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA49142; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:49:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9533576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA49268 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:47:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA24333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:47:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031547.KAA24333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:47:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdee6aa042d6d83e08dd4dc0db31cf53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 745 WTPZ25 KNHC 031547 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 1500Z THU SEP 03 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 109.3W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 00NE 00SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 109.3W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.5N 109.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629814-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 23:50:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA53276; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:47:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9533554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA50852 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:45:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA24246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031545.KAA24246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:45:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89f45e16f27a6a155d2062dff30df947 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 WTPZ35 KNHC 031545 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...ISIS BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS MEXICO. WARNINGS MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...NORTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF ISIS...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...27.3 N...109.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629785-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 23:34:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA44922; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:32:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9533266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA56192 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:25:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA23435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031525.KAA23435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:25:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f854bf044dc1774c060c4ec17a9186a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 WTPZ45 KNHC 031524 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WARMING OF THE CLOUD TOPS OVER THE SYSTEM AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 50 KNOTS...AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 355/08 KNOTS. MOST OF THE 12Z TRACK GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO MOVE ISIS ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK AND THAN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES THIS NORTHWARD TRACK AND DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. AS INDICATED PREVIOUSLY THE MAIN IMPACT FROM ISIS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL...5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS RESULTING IN POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN HIGH TERRAIN. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 27.3N 109.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/0000Z 28.5N 109.5W 30 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629761-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 23:15:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA45190; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:13:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9532854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:12:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA35134 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:11:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA23068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:11:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031511.KAA23068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:11:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 947f778cea7b6ddaf84e3b76fc8c4d62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 WTPZ25 KNHC 031511 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 1500Z THU SEP 03 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 109.3W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 00NE 00SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 109.3W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.5N 109.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1455 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629767-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 23:13:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA48982; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:11:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9532820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:10:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAB19630 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:10:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA22997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:10:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031510.KAA22997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:10:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33a49745461b598ffe283e8c6a309276 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 990 WTPZ35 KNHC 031510 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...ISIS BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS MEXICO. WARNINGS MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...NORTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF ISIS...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...27.3 N...109.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629585-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:38:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA42864; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:36:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9531223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39228 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:35:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031334.IAA20172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:34:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 471af377619b74d4ba905259917ec1d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 141 AXPZ20 KNHC 031333 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 03 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE ...HURRICANE ISIS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 26.9N 109.3W AT 03/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTH 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED WEST OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ISIS... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. OUTFLOW CIRRUS CLOUDS EXTEND ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 8N100W 10N110W 12N120W 12N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 120 NM OF 79W FROM 3N-9N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-92W...AND 100W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 112W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 92W-100W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N87W-14N95W-15N103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N81W-10N85W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630246-20781>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:07:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA04132; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:01:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9530043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA52206 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:58:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA18527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031158.GAA18527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:58:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 7a Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7bcae7db8e4c861f8040d769e2a1ca5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 174 WTPZ35 KNHC 031158 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...COR...NORTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO ...COR...DIRECTION OF MOTION NORTH NEAR 10 MPH ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS SLOWLY WEAKENING...POSING HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO MAINLAND MEXICO... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...NORTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH ...16 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF ISIS...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...26.9 N...109.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630064-20781>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 19:54:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA09862; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:48:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9529896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA18784 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:48:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA18484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031147.GAA18484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 06:47:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 7a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 368e03e88eeeeda963db6c01f82eacd2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 017 WTPZ35 KNHC 031148 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS SLOWLY WEAKENING...POSING HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO MAINLAND MEXICO... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH ...16 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF ISIS...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...26.9 N...109.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 18:47:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-6153>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 18:01:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52808; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:56:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9529205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:56:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA42804 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:56:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:56:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030956.EAA17641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:56:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 812bdf030af437d8f57790bcf6b456ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 ABPZ20 KNHC 030955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ISIS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:36:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629632-6153>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:12:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA17766; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:00:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:00:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47432 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:00:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:00:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030900.EAA17176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:00:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0df20dba4883a039a989779204e178d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 983 WTPZ35 KNHC 030900 COR TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR MAX WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION FROM LOS MOCHIS... ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...POSING HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO MAINLAND MEXICO... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THRUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF ISIS...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...26.5 N...109.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:56:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23520; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:48:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04790 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:48:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030847.DAA16909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:47:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bba7aeea99f40b4c31e40a9aa9ad756c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 WTPZ25 KNHC 030847 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 0900Z THU SEP 03 1998 AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 109.4W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 109.4W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.7N 109.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.1N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.7N 112.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA...AND SMALL CRAFT IN THAT AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 109.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 32.4N 113.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 35.5N 116.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3597 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:53:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41156; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:48:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA41128 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:48:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030847.DAA16905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:47:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d208541458ae3ac78b31bbc60b02921e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 842 WTPZ35 KNHC 030846 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...POSING HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO MAINLAND MEXICO... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM LOS MOCHIS TO GUAYMAS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THRUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF ISIS...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...26.5 N...109.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629627-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:48:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA50806; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:43:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:43:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA50764 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:43:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:43:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030843.DAA16880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:43:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f068350fcd868bbccf8538e61bdfbebe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 783 WTPZ45 KNHC 030842 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 03 1998 THE LAST AVAILABLE RADAR IMAGE FROM THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT GUASAVE...0413Z...SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF ISIS IS OVER LAND ABOUT 60 MILES OF LOS MOCHIS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 55 KNOTS...AND ISIS IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. THE SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A MORE NORTHERLY HEADING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 350/10 KNOTS. MOST OF THE 00Z TRACK GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO MOVE ISIS ON A GENERAL NORTHWEST COURSE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MEDIUM BAM MODEL. SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH TOPS TO -75C INDICATING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. AS INDICATED PREVIOUSLY THE MAIN IMPACT FROM ISIS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL...5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...OVER THE NEXT 12-36 HOURS RESULTING IN POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN HIGH TERRAIN. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO THE MEXICAN-ARIZONA BORDER BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS. WE WILL BE COORDINATING WITH HPC AND THE APPROPRIATE WEATHER OFFICES REGARDING THE RAINFALL THREAT IN THIS REGION. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 26.5N 109.4W 50 KTS 12HR VT 03/1800Z 27.7N 109.9W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 04/0600Z 29.1N 111.0W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 04/1800Z 30.7N 112.2W 20 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 05/0600Z 32.4N 113.4W 20 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 06/0600Z 35.5N 116.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 15:47:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629635-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:36:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41738; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:29:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA62968 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:29:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:29:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030729.CAA16281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:29:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e2bd32a7974657f332c5144d986fd07 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 607 AXPZ20 KNHC 030728 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 03 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE ...HURRICANE ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 109.2W AT 03/0600 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE IS WEST OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0646 UTC... HURRICANE ISIS... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 25N TO 27.5N EAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS INLAND OVER MEXICO TO 106W. OUTFLOW CIRRUS CLOUDS EXTEND ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 9N100W 11N110W 9N120W 11N131W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 82W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N94W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N91W 11N90W TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND NICARAGUA AT THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N95W TO 5N102W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N95W 14N96W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 12N92W TO 8N100W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 14:09:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4961 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629695-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 13:53:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33388; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:49:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9527693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04698 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:49:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030549.AAA15653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:49:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c3db18a1a7b147531a2b6d46aa53c55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 WTPZ35 KNHC 030548 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...HURRICANE INLAND OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO NEAR LOS MOCHIS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES ...15 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A POSSIBLE GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIS WILL MOVE INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREAS...AND SMALL CRAFT THERE SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...25.8 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 13:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 13:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45784; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:12:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9527339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:12:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33438 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:02:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030502.AAA15203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:02:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54d41cb5b39fcf031eebb616dc4e05a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 544 WTPZ35 KNHC 030502 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...HURRICANE INLAND OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO NEAR LOS MOCHIS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES ...15 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A POSSIBLE GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIS WILL MOVE INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREAS...AND SMALL CRAFT THERE SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...25.8 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3437 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627505-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:26:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44790; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 23:22:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9526751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 23:22:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA41920 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 23:22:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 23:22:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030422.XAA14812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 23:22:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4b30e9f01a3f9e86d41e64d68a4ebf2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 ABPZ20 KNHC 030421 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ISIS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629685-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23326; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:55:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9525681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:55:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33292 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:55:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030255.VAA13726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a647d8331a78348098c038a7fc03af85 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 222 WTPZ45 KNHC 030254 TCDEP5 HURRICANE ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG WITH RADAR DATA FROM MEXICO/S WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT GUASAVE SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF ISIS IS MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME...JUST SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS. THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS FROM LOS MOCHIS SINCE 02/2245Z. THE SYSTEM HAS A NICE RADAR PRESENTATION AND SHOWS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER INLAND SECTIONS JUST NORTH AND EAST OF LOS MOCHIS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS ISIS AS A HURRICANE AT ADVISORY TIME FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 005/10 KNOTS. MOST OF THE 00Z TRACK GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO MOVE ISIS TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE LAST PACKAGE AS MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW DEVELOPING OFFSHORE FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WOULD RESULT IN THE ADVECTION OF MUCH OF ISIS/S ASSOCIATED MOISTURE EAST AND NORTHEAST TOWARD EASTERN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO. IF THE TROUGH DROPS FARTHER SOUTHWEST OR BECOMES MORE NEGATIVELY-TILTED...THEN ISIS COULD BE DRAWN MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AT A FASTER SPEED ...AND WOULD THEN BRING MOISTURE FARTHER TO THE WEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS ISIS MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS WITH A NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION BEYOND. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT RIGHT ADJUSTMENT...THEREFORE A MORE INLAND TRAJECTORY...THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BASED PRIMARILY ON THE INITIAL MOTION. AS MENTIONED IN EARLIER ADVISORIES THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ISIS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS RESULTING IN POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS...AND MUDSLIDES IN HIGH TERRAIN. A STORM SURGE OF 3-5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD RUSH ALL PREPARATION TO COMPLETION. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 25.6N 109.1W 65 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 26.5N 109.3W 60 KTS 24HR VT 04/0000Z 28.3N 110.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 04/1200Z 30.0N 111.8W 30 KTS 48HR VT 05/0000Z 32.0N 113.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 06/0000Z 35.5N 116.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629685-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:50:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39356; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:49:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9525573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA67754 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:49:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:49:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030249.VAA13642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:49:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c87e6bcaf2d9fb173aae3c9a88bc9d27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 WTPZ25 KNHC 030248 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 0300Z THU SEP 03 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. SMALL CRAFT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 109.1W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 150SE 120SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 120SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 109.1W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.5N 109.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.3N 110.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.0N 111.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA...AND SMALL CRAFT IN THAT AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 109.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 35.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629678-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:50:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39192; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:48:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9525551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39166 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:48:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030247.VAA13616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:47:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 801f8ca4db734dd8e1b681fcedafa63e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 144 WTPZ35 KNHC 030247 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...HURRICANE ISIS MAKING LANDFALL NEAR LOS MOCHIS MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. SMALL CRAFT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 5 MILES ...10 KM...SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR... WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A POSSIBLE GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIS WILL MOVE INLAND THROUGH THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREAS...AND SMALL CRAFT THERE SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...25.6 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625909-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:18:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA41204; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:17:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9523373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:17:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA23558 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:16:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:16:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030116.UAA12097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:16:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2749ff25c6489f6435434761b2ff3f5e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 AXPZ20 KNHC 030113 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 03 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 25.2N 109.0W AT 03/0000 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0030 UTC... HURRICANE ISIS... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER OF ISIS. LARGE AREA OF MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS MOST OF NORTHERN MEXICO N OF 22N. OUTFLOW CIRRUS IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO AND OVER SW TEXAS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 12N98W 10N115W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 110W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N94W. CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626673-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:02:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38920; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:57:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9522905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA45810 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:57:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030057.TAA11495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:57:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f421832662825c761f2c2d457b537501 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 AXPZ20 KNHC 030056 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 03 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 25.1N 109.0W AT 03/0000 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0030 UTC... HURRICANE ISIS... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER OF ISIS. LARGE AREA OF MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS MOST OF NORTHERN MEXICO N OF 22N. OUTFLOW CIRRUS IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO AND OVER SW TEXAS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 12N98W 10N115W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 110W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N94W. CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626110-21470>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:23:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA19482; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:20:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9522454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:20:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA35320 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:20:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:20:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030020.TAA10913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:20:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ae30d968583e91bdb10ab08cb84dfd9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 352 ABPZ20 KNHC 030015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ISIS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625940-21470>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 07:59:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA61490; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9522115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:57:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA61460 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:56:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA10397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022356.SAA10397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:56:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 612fc6074effddbc7f7ce757b1e1b316 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTPZ35 KNHC 022356 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...HURRICANE ISIS MOVING UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR WITHIN THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIS IS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A POSSIBLE GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A SLIGHT DEVIATION FROM THIS TRACK...HOWEVER...WILL BRING THE CENTER INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREAS...AND SMALL CRAFT THERE SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO REPORTED 13 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE CABO SAN LUCAS AREA OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...25.2 N...109.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1283 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:57:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA59382; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:55:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9518914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA23374 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:54:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:54:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022054.PAA05863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:54:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcec65026fe2f820851880b523ac71be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 176 WTPZ25 KNHC 022051 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 2100Z WED SEP 02 1998 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THE WARNINGS FOR ISIS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 109.1W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 150SE 120SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 120SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 109.1W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 109.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.2N 109.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.8N 111.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 150SE 120SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.4N 112.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 120SE 100SW 60NW A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO THE WARNING AREA...AND SMALL CRAFT IN THAT AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 109.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 31.0N 113.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 34.0N 115.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628105-24963>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:54:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62468; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:51:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9518836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39888 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:51:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:51:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022051.PAA05749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:51:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10a50fd107f9d4cbf24df4433700afef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 WTPZ45 KNHC 022050 TCDEP5 HURRICANE ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 RADAR DATA FROM MEXICO/S WEATHER SERVICE SITE AT GUASAVE...AND MORE RECENTLY THE APPEARANCE OF AN EYE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...HAS HELPED LOCATE THE CENTER OF ISIS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TAKEN 75-100 NM FROM THE CENTER AT LA PAZ AND CULIACAN. IT IMPLIES A MOTION OF ABOUT 005 DEGREES/10 KT. ALTHOUGH WINDS AT THOSE SURFACE SITES ARE ONLY 10 KT AND 20 KT...RESPECTIVELY...AND DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT COMPLETELY ENCIRCLE THE CENTER...THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO A 65 KT HURRICANE BASED ON THE SATELLITE PICTURES. WHILE THE GUIDANCE AGAIN TAKES ISIS TO THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH THROUGH 72 HOURS...MOST OF THE TRACKS THIS TIME HEAD INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO...AS WOULD BE IMPLIED WITHIN 12 HOURS BY EXTRAPOLATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION. IF THAT HAPPENS IT WOULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE THE DURATION OF THE STORM/S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ITS POTENTIAL TO GENERATE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. THE NHC TRACK IS MORE CAUTIOUS...SHOWING SOME BENDING BACK TO A NORTHWEST MOTION...WITH ISIS MOVING UP THE EAST SIDE OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. IT ALSO SHOWS A FASTER MOVEMENT THAN IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AS DOES THE GUIDANCE. REGARDLESS OF THE ABOVE IMPORTANT DETAILS ABOUT TRACK...ISIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A FLOOD THREAT TO MEXICO FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. FOR THE U.S. SOUTHWEST...THE 12Z 200-300 MB FORECASTS BY THE NOGAPS... AVN...GFDL...AND ETA...SHOW AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW DEVELOPING OFFSHORE FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE FORECAST CONFIGURATION AT THIS TIME KEEPS RATHER STRONG WESTERLIES OR SOUTHWESTERLIES OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW. THIS WOULD CREATE A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT IF ISIS MOVES INTO THAT REGION...AND ONE WHICH WOULD LIKELY ADVECT MUCH OF ISIS/S MOISTURE TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST... MOSTLY TOWARD EASTERN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO. IF THE TROUGH DROPS FARTHER SOUTHWEST OR BECOMES MORE NEGATIVELY-TILTED...THEN ISIS COULD BE DRAWN MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AT A FASTER SPEED...AND WOULD THEN BRING MOISTURE FARTHER TO THE WEST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 24.7N 109.1W 65 KTS 12HR VT 03/0600Z 26.2N 109.5W 65 KTS 24HR VT 03/1800Z 27.8N 111.0W 65 KTS 36HR VT 04/0600Z 29.4N 112.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 04/1800Z 31.0N 113.6W 45 KTS 72HR VT 05/1800Z 34.0N 115.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-24963>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:50:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA55010; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:46:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9518759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA59984 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:46:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:46:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022046.PAA05588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:46:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Isis Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d386f55d4a93322de90f585bbcea43a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 WTPZ35 KNHC 022045 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...ISIS BECOMES A HURRICANE...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED ALONG PART OF GULF OF CALIFORNIA COASTS... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THE WARNINGS FOR ISIS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL DORADO TO BAHIA KINO AND FOR THE EAST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM DOLORES TO PUNTA SAN GABRIEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO CORTEZ TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR WITHIN THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIS IS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...SOUTH OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A POSSIBLE GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A SLIGHT DEVIATION FROM THIS TRACK...HOWEVER...WILL BRING THE CENTER INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SATELLITE PICTURES THIS AFTERNOON INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE AND THIS IS THE BASIS FOR UPGRADING ISIS TO A HURRICANE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREAS...AND SMALL CRAFT THERE SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. THE WEATHER SERVICE OF MEXICO REPORTED 13 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE CABO SAN LUCAS AREA OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...24.7 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1612 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627712-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:39:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA47466; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:35:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9517413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:35:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA50770 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:34:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021934.OAA03223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:34:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 257644d562cd87b4db1fda2bcfcda9df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 AXPZ20 KNHC 021933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 02 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 24.3N 109.6W AT 02/1800 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 9 KNOTS. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1845 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ISIS... NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER OF ISIS. NUMEROUS MODERATE AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED ALONG A BAND ABOUT 120 NM WIDE FROM 17N107W TO 23N106W. MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 20N TO 30N W OF 102W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W TO 8N100W 11N120W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120-150 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS 240 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG IS 180-240 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ABOUT 120 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5.5N TO 9N BETWEEN 93W AND 104W. ARS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4337 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627380-24963>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA46772; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:51:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9516056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56106 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:50:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021749.MAA00023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:49:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7355da7d5c1d2d650b9fe492edff020b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 WTPZ35 KNHC 021749 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...ISIS BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODS TO WESTERN MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE PICTURES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM EAST OF LA PAZ ON THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM ...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO THE WARNING AREA...AND SMALL CRAFT IN THAT AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 01:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627361-24963>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:22:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA47538; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:20:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9514707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:20:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA28038 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:20:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:19:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021619.LAA27300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:19:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3324ac2dabbe96d2fd1b960099b22fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 665 ABPZ20 KNHC 021618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISIS CENTERED NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-24963>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35316; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45262 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:30:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021430.JAA23923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:30:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9badf952a0ac25512d580e2606543549 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 587 WTPZ25 KNHC 021430 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 1500Z WED SEP 02 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 109.5W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 275SE 150SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 109.5W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 24.3N 109.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 25.6N 110.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.8N 110.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO THE WARNING AREA...AND SMALL CRAFT IN THAT AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 28.0N 111.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 30.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627357-24968>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30306; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30276 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:26:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:26:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021426.JAA23818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:26:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04a4e50dfea35ba8eeb2cd095caa6e0a X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 516 WTPZ45 KNHC 021426 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 IT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE CENTER OF ISIS ON IR IMAGES. SHIP REPORTS HAVE HELPED...AND IMPLY A NORTHWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 7 KT. CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS NEAR THE CENTER...PERHAPS DUE TO INTERACTION BETWEEN THE INNER CIRCULATION AND THE NARROW MOUNTAIN RANGE THAT RUNS DOWN THE SPINE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE 06Z AVN INITIALIZATION SHOWS A LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONE IN THE SHAPE OF AN INVERTED V DRAPED OVER ISIS. HENCE...THE FUTURE COURSE OF ISIS WILL BE HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO CHANGES IN THE HIGH. AT PRESENT...THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE PART OF THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AND NE WILL DOMINATE AND STEER ISIS TO THE NW TO N. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT WITH THAT EVOLUTION...WITH MOST MODELS SHOWING TRACKS UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FOLLOWS THE GUIDANCE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THAT TRACK. A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OR LEFT WOULD PUT THE CENTER OVER LAND AND LEAD TO WINDS LESS THAN WHAT WE SHOW IN THE FORECAST. IT IS RARE...BUT NOT UNPRECEDENTED...FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO MOVE UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. KATRINA IN 1967 IS AN EXAMPLE OF A HURRICANE THAT CAUSED CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE. REGARDLESS...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM POSES A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 23.3N 109.5W 60 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 24.3N 109.6W 60 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 25.6N 110.0W 60 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 26.8N 110.8W 60 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 28.0N 111.9W 60 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 30.5N 113.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1342 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627291-24963>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:21:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45224; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:17:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:17:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33420 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:17:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021417.JAA23583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:17:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42eb55ed440ff9e2a31ebc3186e72b22 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 366 WTPZ35 KNHC 021416 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...ISIS BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODS TO WESTERN MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM ...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES. LARGE WAVES AND ROUGH SEAS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO THE WARNING AREA...AND SMALL CRAFT IN THAT AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627240-16936>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA50798; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:34:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:34:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA35126 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:34:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021334.IAA22414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:34:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a743a8f1dbbe9f099460dec45451a0a X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 399 AXPZ20 KNHC 021332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 02 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 23.1N 109.5W AT 02/1200 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 5 KNOTS. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ISIS... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 26N EAST OF 113W. NUMEROUS MODERATE AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO NOTED ALONG A BAND ABOUT 120-150 NM WIDE FROM 17N106W TO 21N106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO S OF 27N W OF 104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W TO 8N100W 11N120W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS 240 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 90W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG IS 240 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS ABOUT 120 NM WIDE ALONG AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 11.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 104W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ARS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627258-7692>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 19:53:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA35130; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 06:51:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9510793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 06:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA49160 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 06:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA20702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 06:50:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021150.GAA20702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 06:50:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 3a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fa10bceac1360946d458916469cab61 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 WTPZ35 KNHC 021150 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE PICTURES TO BE CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM ...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...23.1 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626824-7685>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:07:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA19564; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9510155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA45654 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA19840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021005.FAA19840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 581a46d69e7939192b3eefbf8427af06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 434 ABPZ20 KNHC 021003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISIS CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 16:52:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626824-23335>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:42:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA61656; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:41:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA35270 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:41:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020840.DAA18851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:40:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b34b5874e03bd7ede97c2e0154244c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 100 WTPZ35 KNHC 020839 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES MILES...90 KM...EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...22.8 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 16:52:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627258-23335>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:40:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14712; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:39:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15204 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:39:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020839.DAA18844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:39:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4baa7702b0f0728139af2f089efb65c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 099 WTPZ25 KNHC 020838 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 0900Z WED SEP 02 1998 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 109.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 275SE 100SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 109.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 109.1W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 23.5N 109.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 24.4N 109.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N 109.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 109.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 27.0N 110.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 29.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 16:52:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-23330>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA20984; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:38:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:38:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA40166 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:38:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020837.DAA18840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:37:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a965dc3dcf3969ceb73f3e6f65a11ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 084 WTPZ45 KNHC 020837 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 A VERY LARGE SYMMETRICAL AREA OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION... TOPS TO -80C...HAS BEEN FIRING FOR THE LAST 3-4 HOURS AROUND THE SUSPECTED CENTER OF ISIS. RECENTLY A BANDING-TYPE FEATURE HAS BECOME EVIDENT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 60 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. WITH THE FAIR TO POOR OUTFLOW AND THE SYSTEMS PROXIMITY TO LAND NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH 36 HOURS. BEYOND 36 HOURS SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS ISIS BECOMES MORE INVOLVED WITH MAINLAND MEXICO. THE LAST AVAILABLE RADAR IMAGE FROM THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE/S DOPPLER RADAR IN CABO SAN LUCAS...AROUND 05Z...PLACED THE CENTER ABOUT 60-70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. THIS POSITION ESTIMATE IS CONFIRMED BY SSM/I...85GHZ IMAGERY OBTAINED FROM THE U.S. NAVY RESEARCH LABORATORY IN MONTEREY. THE SYSTEMS FORWARD SPEED HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 360/5 KNOTS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE SOUTHWEST U.S. INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC IS FORECAST TO KEEP ISIS ON A GENERAL NORTHERLY COURSE THROUGH 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. MOST OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. THE NHC TRACK IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH LBAR AND THE UKMET...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY FASTER. THE 12-FOOT SEA RADII IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO 275 NMI BASED ON 06Z SHIP DATA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE UNCHANGED FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS SYSTEM WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FOR INLAND AREAS WITH POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN HIGH TERRAIN REGIONS. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 22.8N 109.1W 60 KTS 12HR VT 02/1800Z 23.5N 109.1W 60 KTS 24HR VT 03/0600Z 24.4N 109.1W 60 KTS 36HR VT 03/1800Z 25.7N 109.4W 60 KTS 48HR VT 04/0600Z 27.0N 110.4W 50 KTS 72HR VT 05/0600Z 29.5N 112.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 15:53:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4750 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:21:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41084; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 02:16:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9508749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 02:16:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20582 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 02:16:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 02:16:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020716.CAA18125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 02:16:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f1ebdcf770dd7ec110b1eacd6dc3154 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 785 AXPZ20 KNHC 020715 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 02 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS CENTERED NEAR 22.5N 109.1W AT 02/0600 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0646 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ISIS... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 26N EAST OF 113W ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA TO WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 20N TO 26N. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N89W 7N100W 9N115W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 91W IN GUATEMALA TO 96W IN MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N102W TO 17N104W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N...ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 82W TO 83W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF OF COSTA RICA FROM 9N TO 11N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 15:53:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627148-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:21:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39712; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:17:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9508458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:17:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28140 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:17:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020617.BAA17656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:17:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 778abea53cc4a81080744cfec542c759 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 216 WTPZ35 KNHC 020617 COR TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR ISSUANCE TIME... ...TROPCIAL STORM ISIS HEADING FOR GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ISIS HAS MOVED LITTLE THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...22.4 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 15:53:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2014 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627132-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:15:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30300; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:08:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9508359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:08:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35146 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:08:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:07:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020607.BAA17573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 01:07:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a0ac6b2a908e6e558100d8b391ca07b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 WTPZ35 KNHC 020607 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PDT WED SEP 02 1998 ...TROPCIAL STORM ISIS HEADING FOR GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 1 AM PDT...0600Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 1 AM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ISIS HAS MOVED LITTLE THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...22.4 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 12:51:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1125 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA49106; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:24:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9507592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:24:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA47294 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:24:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:24:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020424.XAA16421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:24:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d796535b044a39deb946374f700f7b6d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 194 ABPZ20 KNHC 020422 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISIS CENTERED ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 11:06:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627117-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 10:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45598; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:57:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9506598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:57:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59142 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:57:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020257.VAA15356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:57:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 842ef2de04d8a7aac68fb81e5ac25005 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 WTPZ35 KNHC 020257 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 ...TROPCIAL STORM ISIS HEADING FOR GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES ...55 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE WARNING AREA DURING MUCH OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...22.4 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 11:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626961-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 10:58:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54242; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9506558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52926 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020254.VAA15289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1decaf94c13e89df056d62de921338ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 WTPZ45 KNHC 020251 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 RADAR DATA FROM THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE/S DOPPLER RADAR IN CABO SAN LUCAS SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. MOREOVER...A SHIP OBSERVATION WAS RECEIVED LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE ESTIMATED RADAR LOCATION REPORTING NORTHEAST WINDS AT BEAUFORT FORCE 10...48-55 KNOTS...AND A 993 MB PRESSURE. BASED ON THIS DATA...THE CENTER OF ISIS IS BEING RE-LOCATED NORTHWARD AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS INCREASED TO 60 KNOTS. THIS INTENSITY WILL BE HELD THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES MORE INVOLVED WITH LAND. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS EXTENDING THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ON THE BAJA PENINSULA SOUTH OF A LINE SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREAJOS....AND MAINLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/09 KNOTS. ISIS SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHWEST U.S. INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC. MOST OF THE 00Z TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWARD HEADING THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO....AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL MODELS P91E AND P9UK. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 22.4N 109.5W 60 KTS 12HR VT 02/1200Z 23.7N 109.5W 60 KTS 24HR VT 03/0000Z 25.3N 109.7W 60 KTS 36HR VT 03/1200Z 26.9N 110.4W 60 KTS 48HR VT 04/0000Z 28.5N 111.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 05/0000Z 31.0N 114.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 11:06:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2259 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 10:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54224; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9506554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52916 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020254.VAA15285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:54:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e247aaafff98351792c394ea179b27d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 399 WTPZ25 KNHC 020252 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 0300Z WED SEP 02 1998 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSALIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO ELDORADO TO GUAYMAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 109.5W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 200SE 100SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 109.5W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 23.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.3N 109.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.9N 110.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 100SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 31.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:19:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25508; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:17:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9504613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:16:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA46726 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:16:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:16:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020116.UAA13848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:16:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2223dcbde21f55d5b85caf20be1af43 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 479 AXPZ20 KNHC 020113 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 02 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS NEAR 20.8N 109.5W AT 02/0000 UTC...MOVING NORTH 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ25 KNHC/MIATCMEP5 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ISIS... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 108W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 16N-26N BETWEEN 104W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N72W 8N80W 6N90W 9N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 81W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 113W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED OVER A LARGE AREA S OF MEXICO FROM 6N-17N BETWEEN 91W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-78W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625900-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 07:29:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA59210; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 18:26:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9503343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 18:26:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA47416 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 18:26:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA11359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 18:26:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012326.SAA11359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 18:26:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Intermediate Advisory Number 1a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be487f137d1b5066ac17af33c52bdedd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 204 WTPZ35 KNHC 012325 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 TROPICAL STORM ISIS THREATENING SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PUERTO CORTEZ ON THE WEST COAST TO DOLORES ON THE EAST COAST...ROUGHLY ALONG LATITUDE 25N. AT 5 PM PDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SOON BEGIN SPREADING OVER THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625925-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 06:52:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA26596; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:50:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9502828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA31584 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:49:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:49:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012249.RAA10928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:49:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 987b9792123021b8e41249a42332c6c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 ABPZ20 KNHC 012248 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM ISIS CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ISIS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ35 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCPEP5. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629561-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:33:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA61584; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9501189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA09852 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:31:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012031.PAA07879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:31:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd0eba9970666855bd84c4ed60b45b1c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 280 WTPZ35 KNHC 012031 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ISIS ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORMS JUST SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PUERTO CORTEZ ON THE WEST COAST TO DOLORES ON THE EAST COAST...ROUGHLY ALONG LATITUDE 25N. AT 2 PM PDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...300 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ISIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL SOON BEGIN SPREADING OVER THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SHIP REPORTED WINDS OF ABOUT 45 MPH WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. A SECOND SHIP...NEARER TO THE CENTER...REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 997 MB AT 11 AM PDT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.2 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2102 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629558-14708>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:31:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA61690; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:30:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9501173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60136 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:30:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012030.PAA07836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:30:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6cf4b4621c7966260f8a746c5cd0da62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 AXPZ20 KNHC DDHHMM COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 01 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...CORRECTION...ON TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PRESSURE. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BY 01/2100 UTC..997 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 20N109W AT 01/1800 UTC...MOVING NORTH 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION N OF 21N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1830 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-24N BETWEEN 106W-113W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS CONTAINING THIS CONVECTION ARE FROM 14N-25N BETWEEN 106W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N86W 6N90W 7N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 78W-82W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 94W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N93W 14N91W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629570-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:27:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA46596; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:25:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9501138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA09970 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:25:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:25:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012025.PAA07698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:25:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d91de8abba6056904ae9f9b77e14b680 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 192 WTPZ45 KNHC 012021 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 WHILE DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL NOT WELL-ORGANIZED IN THE LARGE...MONSOON-LIKE...SYSTEM SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...A SHIP REPORTED 997 MB WHILE ANOTHER HAD 40 KT AT 18Z. BASED ON THIS SURFACE DATA...THE DISTURBANCE IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ISIS WITH 45 KT WINDS. DUE TO THE LOOSE STRUCTURE THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOVEMENT ARE UNCERTAIN. CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS 350/8 KT. THE 06Z AND 12Z AVN MODEL RUNS TAKE ISIS NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ALTHOUGH PART OF THE MOTION COULD HAVE BEEN INDUCED BY THE EXTRANEOUS MODEL VORTEX TO THE WEST. THE UKMET OUTPUT FROM 12Z IS NOT TOO DIFFERENT...SHOWING ISIS MOVING ALL THE WAY UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 3 DAYS. OTHER GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY SIMILAR...AS IS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BUT THE AMOUNT OF INTENSIFICATION WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 20.2N 109.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 02/0600Z 21.5N 109.6W 50 KTS 24HR VT 02/1800Z 22.8N 109.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 03/0600Z 24.3N 109.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 03/1800Z 25.5N 110.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 04/1800Z 27.5N 111.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629562-14708>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:26:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA41840; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:24:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9501126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:24:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34900 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:24:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:24:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012024.PAA07661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:24:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Isis Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: decba1489b16a9680fece08fe78553a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 188 WTPZ25 KNHC 012023 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ISIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1098 2100Z TUE SEP 01 1998 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PUERTO CORTEZ ON THE WEST COAST TO DOLORES ON THE EAST COAST... ROUGHLY ALONG LATITUDE 25N. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 109.5W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 200SE 150SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 200SE 150SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 109.5W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.5N 109.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 75SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 200SE 150SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 22.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 75SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 175SE 150SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 24.3N 109.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 75SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 125SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 75SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 27.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 75SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629567-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:19:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA41132; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:18:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9501072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:18:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA42884 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:18:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:18:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012018.PAA07461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:18:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 351be041052b0b9809b6371d90bd2cf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 AXPZ20 KNHC 012012 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 01 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 20N109W AT 01/1800 UTC...MOVING NORTH 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION N OF 21N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1830 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-24N BETWEEN 106W-113W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS CONTAINING THIS CONVECTION ARE FROM 14N-25N BETWEEN 106W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N86W 6N90W 7N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 11N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 78W-82W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 94W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N93W 14N91W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629550-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 00:45:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA46690; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:43:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9497788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:43:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20854 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:41:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011641.LAA00383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:41:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ea80d84115d2b580c4b3b6092acd3d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 ABPZ20 KNHC 011638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PERSISTS OVER THE WATERS EXTENDING FROM OFFSHORE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO TO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO AFFECTING ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629461-14708>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:37:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA45776; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 08:35:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9494553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 08:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA57778 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 08:35:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 08:34:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011334.IAA24557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 08:34:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a26ac32449300ccf9b96efa9ba5e5699 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 AXPZ20 KNHC 011333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 01 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 19N109W AT 01/1200 UTC...MOVING NORTH 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION N OF 21N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1230 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 110W-115W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS CONTAINING THIS CONVECTION ARE FROM 13N-21N BETWEEN 107W-116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 8N100W 10N110W 10N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-97W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 3N79W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 15N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N91W 16N105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE S GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 106W-111W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629023-13072>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30228; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:49:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9492779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17664 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:49:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010949.EAA21600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:49:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 673234c1580a93a90ac9c4f98ed212c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 255 ABPZ20 KNHC 010947 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3056 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627046-13065>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:43:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA60268; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9491913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20558 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010739.CAA20353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1222a6a1bc42cfdcc30b652be5be1411 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 204 AXPZ20 KNHC 010738 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 01 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 18N109W AT 01/0700 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ...THE 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD IS NEAR 15N141W. THERE WILL BE NO MORE DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS IT REDEVELOPS E OF 140W. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-7N86W-7N96W- 10N110W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W...AND FROM 5N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. CONVECTION DISSIPATING FROM 2.5N TO 4N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 18N91W-15N92W-12N93W...FROM INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MEXICO/ GUATEMALA OVER LAND AND INTO THE EPAC...AND FROM 14.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 17N105W-16N104W-15N103W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-13072>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:42:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA60244; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9491909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20540 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010739.CAA20349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 02:39:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d1a28610b62ec84a93565c8559bdb79 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 AXPZ20 KNHC 010737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 01 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 18N109W AT 01/0700 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ...THE 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD IS NEAR 15N141W. THERE WILL BE NO MORE DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS IT RE-DEVELOPS E OF 140W. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-7N86W-7N96W- 10N110W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W...AND FROM 5N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. CONVECTION DISSIPATING FROM 2.5N TO 4N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 18N91W-15N92W-12N93W...FROM INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MEXICO/ GUATEMALA OVER LAND AND INTO THE EPAC...AND FROM 14.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 17N105W-16N104W-15N103W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 13:36:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-16818>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:51:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04256; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 23:48:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9491028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 23:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04220 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 23:48:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 23:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010448.XAA18970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 23:48:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75958e408551a6267e7239923cf6ce86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 ABPZ20 KNHC 010446 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS NOT BECOME CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-16823>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA59344; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:16:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9488686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:15:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA17826 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:15:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:15:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010115.UAA15608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:15:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5b2f860da9c60a233d545a8ce9f2d81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 598 AXPZ20 KNHC 010106 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 01 SEP 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... IS LOCATED NEAR 18N109W AT 01/0000 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD... NEAR 15N140W...DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 110W-117W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN 103W-107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 10N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 80W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 92W-102W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-125W...AND BETWEEN 130W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2723 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625938-16818>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 06:53:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39808; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 17:51:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9487160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 17:51:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA16748 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 17:51:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 17:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808312250.RAA12508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 17:50:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77ddc9a937bd778000b176471d7440f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 924 ABPZ20 KNHC 312248 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS NOT BECOME CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629427-3350>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:38:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13232; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:34:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9484661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:33:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA42806 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808311933.OAA06166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:33:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 110c80f69bdbad73909dd4c0d6ccb40f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 AXPZ20 KNHC 311932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 31 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... IS RELOCATED NEAR 18N109W AT 31/1800 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1800 UTC... ...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD... NEAR 15N140W...DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1830 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 110W-115W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 11N-20N BETWEEN 108W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 12N100W 10N105W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-85W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-102W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 103W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N90W 14N94W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1851 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629375-3356>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 00:47:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30300; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:43:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9482011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:42:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30250 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:42:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:42:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808311642.LAA00132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:42:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1754a8b1450f3f6a7b2ea55bd8dc013 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 ABPZ20 KNHC 311640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629134-22799>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 18:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA22600; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:13:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9478426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA13070 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:11:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:11:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808311011.FAA22544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:11:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: daefc8b781f8e3e7275e28c77056bd6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 033 ABPZ20 KNHC 311007 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629083-22801>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 15:43:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23470; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 02:40:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9477675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 02:39:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29270 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 02:39:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 02:39:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310739.CAA20853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 02:39:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 803795d2c74e1cc02f6fa8a65fd0d913 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 544 AXPZ20 KNHC 310736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 31 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 16N110W AT 31/0600 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0600 UTC... ...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD... NEAR 16N138W...DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 110W AND 113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-8N90W-13N103W- 10N123W-10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 99W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 9N100W-6N102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 15N97W...AND FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W...AND FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 18N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 12:44:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2543 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626551-10116>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 12:33:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04146; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 23:31:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9476802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 23:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA41902 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 23:29:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 23:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310429.XAA19381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 23:29:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edbc9aa44d9eddfac5823b3e7c00e24f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 ABPZ20 KNHC 310427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 09:29:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626140-10109>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 09:28:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39216; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:26:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9475048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:25:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13062 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:25:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:25:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310125.UAA17419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:25:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcaca8d27085b42846a40b82eea76743 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 189 AXPZ20 KNHC 310121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 31 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N111W AT 31/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N137W NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 110W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 11N100W 10N110W 9N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 98W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-13N BETWEEN 86W-90W...FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 110W-120W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 122W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN 77W-78W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO EXTENDING 30 NM OVER THE OCEAN FROM ALTATA NEAR 25N108W TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA NEAR 15N92W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625895-9561>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 07:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA20492; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 18:00:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9473438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 17:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA42268 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 17:26:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 17:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808302226.RAA15226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 17:26:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d53caa629327422fc2b6ccbf6948cb8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 092 ABPZ20 KNHC 302223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628965-3222>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 03:38:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA17820; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 14:36:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9472192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 14:36:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67696 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 14:36:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 14:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301935.OAA13210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 14:35:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5dd16fa80e9bd2b69e4754bc17c71c34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 223 AXPZ20 KNHC 301933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 30 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N110W AT 30/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ...1011 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N137W MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1845 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 109W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N105W-21N108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N119W-13N111W-16N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 5N78W 8N95W 13N105W 9N115W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-96W... WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-105W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 90W... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14W BETWEEN 93W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N86W-13N91W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628940-3222>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:26:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA61478; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 11:25:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9470780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 11:24:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19636 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 11:24:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 11:24:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301624.LAA11003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 11:24:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f83943fb37a71cef202278c18b6d6d1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 558 ABPZ20 KNHC 301622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION...AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627555-3222>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 21:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA09948; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:32:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9469115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA42434 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:32:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301331.IAA09227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:31:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f43e259f8c275c49333acb15c197c135 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 252 AXPZ20 KNHC 301330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 30 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1005 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 15N109W. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N136W MOVING SOUTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1245 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THE DISTURBANCE IS DEPICTED BY A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED ON THE WEST SIDE WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N110W-19N110.5W AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ON THE EAST SIDE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N104W-20N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 5N78W 7N85W 11N98W 13N104W 9N114W 12N124W 9N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-104W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N109W-13N119W-10N130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATE STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60-90 NM OF 11N87W-15N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N87W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1967 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-3228>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 18:05:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA42768; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 05:02:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9467681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 05:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA42490 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 05:02:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 05:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301001.FAA07682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 05:01:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b06e5e983f66dce71c2fb7cc4a11bc0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 497 ABPZ20 KNHC 300959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...DISSIPATING ABOUT 1485 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-3222>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:21:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA49270; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:19:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9466458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:19:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA34916 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:19:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:19:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300719.CAA05982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:19:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 552ad8275ab5636e73e3598a13085dff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 AXPZ20 KNHC 300718 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 30 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ...1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 15N108W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HOWARD NEAR 17N135W... MOVING SOUTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0600 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-10N120W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 8N83.5W... 9N85.5W...7N87W...AND FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 84W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 12N94W-12N100W-13N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 12N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 108W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627194-24241>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 12:58:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA41930; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 23:57:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9465526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 23:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA50854 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 23:56:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 23:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300456.XAA04872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 23:56:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfcf6e27c40acdec9e0181561e08fafd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 197 ABPZ20 KNHC 300455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...DISSIPATING ABOUT 1485 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-13942>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:44:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31738; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:42:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9463498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29416 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:42:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300141.UAA03035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:41:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfcce7333436b477d89d5ef6cb327c5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 AXPZ20 KNHC 300139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 30 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ...1005 MB LOW FOUND NEAR 15N110W. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD... LOCATED NEAR 19N133W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 12N101W 13N110W 9N120W 11N126W 10N130W 11N140W. N115W 11N123W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-87W AND 92W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-119W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-139W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W-89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... EXTENSIVE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE PACIFIC SOUTH OF 20N BETWEEN 105W-114W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 18N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 20N105W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ALONG...AND JUST INLAND COAST OF NORTHERN PANAMA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 15N93W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628899-9124>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 06:23:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA23616; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:20:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9461579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:20:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA29218 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:20:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808292220.RAA01148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:20:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a54f3bbab2433fa3e3d2f262c049a902 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 ABPZ20 KNHC 292219 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...DISSIPATING ABOUT 1485 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628885-9119>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:37:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19092; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:34:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9460373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29228 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808292033.PAA29950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Howard Discussion Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09ad246b926959cde311cb1f038206e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 WTPZ44 KNHC 292033 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 29 1998 HOWARD IS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION MOVING WEST- SOUTHWEST STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 19.3N 132.7W 25 KTS 12HR VT 30/0600Z 19.0N 133.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2026 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628900-9124>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:36:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA24118; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9460364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62688 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808292033.PAA29936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:33:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Howard Forecast/advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f2c6006c00ea9d986f9cd69bf5b449c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 207 WTPZ24 KNHC 292032 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z SAT AUG 29 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 132.7W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 132.7W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 132.5W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.0N 133.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 132.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628886-4426>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:31:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25394; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:29:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9459458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA14870 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:29:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:29:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291929.OAA29093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:29:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 355a02acf424cab143481655e81a97e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 AXPZ20 KNHC 291927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 29 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 19.3N 132.2W AT 29/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ...A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N107W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION THE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1845 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 16N-25N BETWEEN 126W-138W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N97W 11N102W 9N110W 9N115W 11N123W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W- 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-108W...AND 127W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-90W...100W-108W...116W-127W...AND WEST OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N89W-12N94W...WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N100W-15N101W-19N111W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N111W-13N115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 21N113W-29N117W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628781-4431>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:33:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16706; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9457385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA62498 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:30:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291630.LAA27220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:30:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 708b3a6405ad98b5caa274c851774ed6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 642 ABPZ20 KNHC 291629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1380 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4433 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628690-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:59:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15222; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:57:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9456145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:57:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34380 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:48:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291448.JAA26006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:48:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Howard Forecast/advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 203b7d682b70b74cdbdfa6d129bb0da0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 610 WTPZ24 KNHC 291447 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z SAT AUG 29 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 131.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 131.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 131.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.0N 134.0W...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 131.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628473-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19514; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:57:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9456131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:57:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA58672 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:48:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291447.JAA26002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:47:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Howard Discussion Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f3043839dbfb5a093ee65a6022233af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 WTPZ44 KNHC 291447 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 1998 HOWARD IS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION MOVING WEST- SOUTHWEST STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 19.5N 131.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 30/0000Z 19.0N 133.0W 20 KTS 24HR VT 30/1200Z 19.0N 134.0W DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4838 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628473-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 21:35:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA10308; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:34:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9455314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA34352 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:34:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:33:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291333.IAA25340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:33:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90703c99ac619bdcc924821ce10b4de7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 110 AXPZ20 KNHC 291332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 29 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 19.6N 131.2W AT 29/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... THE TROPICAL STORM IS CHARACTERIZED BY A SWIRL OF BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WHICH EXTEND FROM 17N-24N BETWEEN 127W-137W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N94W 9N100W 10N110W 10N120W 12N125W 10N132W 11N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF 79W FROM 2N-8N...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N94W-12N90W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 5N-20N BETWEEN 96W-114W IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N81W- 8N86W-6N90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N92W-16N96W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 17:17:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628461-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 16:34:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA67740; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24186 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290830.DAA22747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:30:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca4a2bffbfdf4732e29bec367e659de1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 552 WTPZ44 KNHC 290830 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 1998 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT HOWARD HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH ONE SMALL PERSISTENT PATCH OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCE TO 35 KNOTS...MINIMUM TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY IN KEEPING WITH THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES. AN ERS2 WIND PASS WAS OBTAINED OVER HOWARD SHOWING ONLY A SMALL BAND OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS WINDS MOSTLY OVER THE WESTERN QUADRANTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/08. UNCERTAINTIES INCREASE WITH INFRARED IMAGERY BUT IT APPEARS THAT HOWARD IS NOW ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE AND MAYBE EVEN A LITTLE SOUTH OF DUE WEST. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 20.2N 130.6W 35 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 20.2N 131.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 30/0600Z 20.2N 133.7W 25 KTS 36HR VT 30/1800Z 20.2N 135.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 17:17:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627360-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 16:31:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA67802; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:29:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA23744 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:29:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290829.DAA22711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:29:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7b91bdd4f9af5671b28795f5a284fc0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 521 WTPZ24 KNHC 290828 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z SAT AUG 29 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 130.6W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 130.6W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 130.2W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.2N 131.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.2N 133.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.2N 135.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 130.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 16:03:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628337-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:32:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25114; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:30:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19662 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290730.CAA22199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:30:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 525b2e5aabfdfe87e99502fdb39d3ec5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 668 AXPZ20 KNHC 290729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 29 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD CENTERED NEAR 20.2N 130.2W AT 29/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 26N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... SYSTEM DEPICTED AS A SWIRL OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 17N-25N BETWEEN 126W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 21N131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N86W 9N90W 10N100W 13N106W 8N110W 11N120W 13N127W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-112W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N102W 19N99W...AND OVER MEXICO FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 109W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR THE COAST OF COSTA RICA... EL SALVADOR...AND NICARAGUA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 10N86W 15N93W....OVER MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 22N104W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 2N79W 6N78W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3786 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628419-369>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA42960; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 23:26:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9452217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 23:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44970 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 23:26:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 23:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290426.XAA20459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 23:26:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8bc33f6aabdbc730595a10744f47063 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 058 ABPZ20 KNHC 290423 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1540 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2969 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-19472>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 10:48:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13062; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:43:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9451418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:42:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36844 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:42:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:42:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290242.VAA19543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:42:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e02130940c72877ca0c710b47b960a29 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 136 WTPZ24 KNHC 290240 COR TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z SAT AUG 29 1998 ...CORRECTION...REMOVED 72 HOUR POSITION FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 129.9W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 129.9W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 129.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.6N 131.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.7N 132.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.7N 134.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 129.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 20.8N 136.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-19472>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 10:41:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA46662; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:40:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9451393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA46794 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290239.VAA19526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6823213dc643bf4e5b04835a4223e15b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 082 WTPZ24 KNHC 290239 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z SAT AUG 29 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 129.9W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 129.9W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 129.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.6N 131.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.7N 132.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.7N 134.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 129.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 20.8N 136.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 20.9N 140.0W...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-19479>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 10:41:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA46616; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:40:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9451389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36802 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290239.VAA19522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:39:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89d1cde445ffa430f16df08eb5e329e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 081 WTPZ44 KNHC 290237 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT HOWARD HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH ONE SMALL PATCH OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 40 KNOTS IN KEEPING WITH THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/08. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS BEING STEERED MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME AS IT WEAKENS AND BECOMES STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 20.5N 129.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 29/1200Z 20.6N 131.2W 35 KTS 24HR VT 30/0000Z 20.7N 132.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 30/1200Z 20.7N 134.6W 25 KTS 48HR VT 31/0000Z 20.8N 136.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628217-18396>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62920; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:49:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9450507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21686 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:49:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290149.UAA18931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:49:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe4ef5cac55c5cf7e88b9b25abc5ed94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 AXPZ20 KNHC 290147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 29 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 129.5W AT 29/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... SYSTEM DEPICTED AS A SWIRL OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MOSTLY LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 1228W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 22N130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N86W 6N82W 12N105W 10N110W 13N124W 11N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-113W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 14N105W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE CENTRAL COAST OF PANAMA...AND OFFSHORE GUATEMALA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 8N82W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-8348>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 06:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA13178; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:55:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9448647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:55:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA13140 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:55:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:54:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282254.RAA16735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:54:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af8098a875425052a2a6bfc0820f6189 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 ABPZ20 KNHC 282250 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1235 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628222-17377>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA24774; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:42:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9446914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:42:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22700 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:42:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282041.PAA14307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:41:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 434f514d5a94aa7d089e6f7109e75909 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 WTPZ44 KNHC 282040 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT HOWARD HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW PATCHES OF CONVECTION. THE CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 40 KNOTS AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/7. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE STEERED MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME AS IT WEAKENS AND BECOMES STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 20.6N 129.2W 40 KTS 12HR VT 29/0600Z 21.0N 130.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 29/1800Z 21.0N 132.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 30/0600Z 21.3N 134.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 30/1800Z 21.5N 137.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1632 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628324-17377>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15104; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:41:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9446896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24302 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:41:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:40:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282040.PAA14289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:40:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ad6b14f498a6d182ab530ba89a4da21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 WTPZ24 KNHC 282039 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z FRI AUG 28 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 129.2W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 129.2W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 128.8W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.3N 134.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 129.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 21.5N 137.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4500 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628211-17373>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:33:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA42486; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 14:30:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9445799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 14:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09924 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 14:30:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 14:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281930.OAA12576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 14:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d3688deafa87e41c7ab02421b8d3a9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 264 AXPZ20 KNHC 281928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 28 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 128.8W AT 28/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1845 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 6N84W 6N92W 12N100W 15N106W 10N111W 12N121W 10N133W 9N137W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-105W WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N105W-21N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 105W-118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-95W...118W-123W...AND WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 9N89W-14N96W-15N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N113W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4363 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628165-17377>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 00:28:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA62180; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 11:26:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9442615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 11:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23746 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 11:26:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 11:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281626.LAA07317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 11:26:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0dcdd99dfb449808c5b54ba44e8ffcc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 ABPZ20 KNHC 281620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628130-17379>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA23522; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:56:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9440756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63726 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:54:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:54:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281454.JAA04495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:54:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84c9ae9eb72fae6e31f04b2b1b808674 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 709 WTPZ44 KNHC 281450 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 45 KNOTS AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/10. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE STEERED MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME AS IT WEAKENS AND BECOMES STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 21.1N 128.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 29/0000Z 21.5N 130.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 29/1200Z 22.5N 131.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 30/0000Z 23.5N 133.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 30/1200Z 23.5N 135.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 31/1200Z 24.0N 140.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628105-17379>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:57:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58272; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:56:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9440792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49990 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:50:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:50:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281450.JAA04360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:50:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1321084c14ef1d38b24d18cd4a135442 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 640 WTPZ24 KNHC 281449 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z FRI AUG 28 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 128.5W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 128.5W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 128.1W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 128.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 24.0N 140.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2533 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628069-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39070; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:25:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9439495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:25:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17802 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:25:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281325.IAA02392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:25:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d07e8daddd91955ddf41f6644936a760 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 863 AXPZ20 KNHC 281322 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 28 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 20.9N 128.1W AT 28/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 8N100W 11N110W 13N122W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-85W...88W-95W...AND 105W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-102W...AND 134W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 12N96W-17N109W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N110W-23N109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 90W FROM 8N-12N...WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N108W-10N115W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N136W-13N140W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 17:35:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-26175>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:30:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA64602; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:29:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24646 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:29:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280829.DAA29316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b562c59115d3b0fd0e17d2406b7d459a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 897 WTPZ24 KNHC 280828 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z FRI AUG 28 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 127.6W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 127.6W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 127.2W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.4N 128.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N 130.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.2N 133.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 127.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.7N 135.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 24.0N 141.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 17:35:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-26175>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:27:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29092; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:26:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437407 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64658 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:26:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280826.DAA29306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:26:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50a33173cb49d47816e3da24122e6502 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 873 WTPZ44 KNHC 280825 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998 DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 55 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST DVORAK ESTIMATES. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/10. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF HOWARD...AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE STEERED MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME. CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS MIDWAY BETWEEN THE SHALLOW BAM AND CLIPER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 20.5N 127.6W 55 KTS 12HR VT 28/1800Z 21.4N 128.8W 50 KTS 24HR VT 29/0600Z 22.5N 130.8W 45 KTS 36HR VT 29/1800Z 23.2N 133.0W 40 KTS 48HR VT 30/0600Z 23.7N 135.3W 30 KTS 72HR VT 31/0600Z 24.0N 141.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:39:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626595-26175>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:35:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23660; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:33:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53338 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:33:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280733.CAA28892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:33:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c9aef58e66cda8255392081ccdac78b X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 531 AXPZ20 KNHC 280730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 28 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AND IS CENTERED NEAR 20.1N 127.2W AT 28/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE CENTER. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 17N-24N BETWEEN 124W-131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N90W 9N100W 10N110W 14N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-91W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 12N88W 15N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF MEXICO WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 18N103W 23N109W 29N110W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:12:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-26176>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 12:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA58154; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:55:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9435976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA53260 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:55:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280455.XAA27011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:55:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a4f875e21cfecd2e625c463f3702b2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 ABPZ20 KNHC 280453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 11:00:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626116-5196>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:50:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62806; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:48:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9434931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64632 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:42:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280242.VAA24933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:42:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 421209163953f2362a12df1e19b97118 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 WTPZ44 KNHC 280241 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. AVERAGING THE LATEST DVORAK SATELLITE CLASSIFICATION INTENSITIES FROM TPC AND NESDIS YIELD A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS...SO HOWARD IS DOWNGRADED TO A STORM ON THIS ADVISORY. HOWARD IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES... AND SATELLITE-DERIVED ANALYSES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS SHOW INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS STEADY WEAKENING AS IN PREVIOUS PACKAGES. THE LATEST NCEP GLOBAL MODEL RUN FORECASTS A LOW- TO MID- TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO BUILD SOMEWHAT TO THE NORTH OF HOWARD. ALSO AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS...IT SHOULD TEND TO BE STEERED MORE BY THE FLOW IN THE LOWER HALF OF THE TROPOSPHERE. HOWARD/S CURRENT NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...305/10...IS EXPECTED TO BEND MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME. THIS IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 19.9N 127.0W 60 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 20.8N 128.3W 55 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 21.8N 130.3W 50 KTS 36HR VT 29/1200Z 22.5N 132.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 30/0000Z 23.0N 134.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 31/0000Z 23.5N 139.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 11:00:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625994-5196>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:47:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA09836; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:45:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9434849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29380 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:40:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280240.VAA24915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:40:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6b37d1525ec569f56aa2b1cd06877cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 509 WTPZ24 KNHC 280240 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z FRI AUG 28 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 127.0W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 127.0W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 126.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.8N 128.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.8N 130.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 132.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 127.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 23.0N 134.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 23.5N 139.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 10:12:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-5196>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:39:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22550; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 20:37:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9434045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 20:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA20726 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 20:36:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 20:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280136.UAA24122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 20:36:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb756d3be0c2666adbed0af3ea62d75f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 AXPZ20 KNHC 280134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 28 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 19.6N 126.5W AT 28/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 125W-129W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS EXTENDS FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 17N-23N BETWEEN 125W-130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 9N100W 10N110W 13N120W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 129W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 93W-100W...AND FROM 8B-12N BETWEEN 104W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF N MEXICO EXTENDING 60 NM OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 20N104W TO 24N108W 29N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO GUATEMALA EXTENDING 60 NM OVER THE OCEAN. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO BETWEEN PUNTA CORNETA AND CABO CORRIENTES BETWEEN 96W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 108W-110W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 09:11:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-26718>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 07:09:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA20668; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:36:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9432266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:35:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA37634 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:35:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA21426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272235.RAA21426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:35:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a663d42d2471deea6cab12d8780d469 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 519 ABPZ20 KNHC 272232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 930 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628096-13465>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 05:13:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA44556; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 16:06:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9430599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 16:06:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA59956 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:57:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:57:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272057.PAA18118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:57:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad20dc85f9fbb9afe1884e1852b40285 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 630 WTPZ24 KNHC 272057 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z THU AUG 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 126.0W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 126.0W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 125.6W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.8N 127.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.7N 128.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.5N 130.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 126.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 132.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628088-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 05:11:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA04622; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 16:02:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9430474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 16:02:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25262 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:56:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272056.PAA18088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:56:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44c1639cc9ca65e67bdd668c06a89c11 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 606 WTPZ44 KNHC 272056 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE. DEEP CONVECTIVE EXISTS ONLY OVER THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT AND IS DECREASING. IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS INDICATED BY THE DECREASING DVORAK CI-NUMBERS WHICH YIELD INTENSITIES RANGING FROM 55 TO 65 KNOTS. THIS PACKAGE LOWERS THE INTENSITY TO 65 KNOTS...MAKING HOWARD A MINIMAL HURRICANE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/08 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED. AS THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE...HOWARD IS FORECAST TO ATTAIN A MORE WESTERLY TRACK AS IT WILL BE STEERED BY THE LOWER LEVEL WINDS DURING THE LATER FORECAST PERIODS. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 19.1N 126.0W 65 KTS 12HR VT 28/0600Z 19.8N 127.0W 60 KTS 24HR VT 28/1800Z 20.7N 128.6W 55 KTS 36HR VT 29/0600Z 21.5N 130.7W 45 KTS 48HR VT 29/1800Z 22.1N 132.7W 35 KTS 72HR VT 30/1800Z 23.0N 137.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628039-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28184; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:29:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9428862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:29:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25334 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:29:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271929.OAA15478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:29:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e7d9f1bf23ddd7ad1a294279992adc0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 377 AXPZ20 KNHC 271927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 27 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 18.9N 125.6W AT 27/1800 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W/112W IS NO LONGER EVIDENT AS A SURFACE FEATURE. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1845 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WHICH EXTENDS FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N88W 9N97W 11N106W 10N112W 14N120W 11N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-113W...AND 130W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N85W-12N90W-14N99W-17N103W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 23:15:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627983-13460>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:28:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA46834; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:23:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9423713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA48976 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:58:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:57:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271457.JAA07387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:57:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 756ef30ce80b6fde7bf6a027d0670e0a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 879 WTPZ24 KNHC 271457 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z THU AUG 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 125.3W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 125.3W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 125.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 126.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.7N 127.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.4N 129.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 125.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.9N 136.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 23:14:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3243 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627978-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:15:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA35140; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:09:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9423370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:09:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26138 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:56:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271456.JAA07337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:56:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2dcd99f0a622c09ba1287e6c41e2dd91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 836 WTPZ44 KNHC 271456 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RAPIDLY DECREASING RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS INDICATED BY DVORAK T-NUMBERS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS 70 KNOTS AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS INDICATED. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/07 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 18.4N 125.3W 70 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 19.0N 126.2W 65 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 19.7N 127.7W 60 KTS 36HR VT 29/0000Z 20.4N 129.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 29/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W 45 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 21.9N 136.3W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 22:11:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1782 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627202-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 22:15:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA16688; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:11:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9422757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:11:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49072 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:03:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:03:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271403.JAA06064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:03:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88d0013f82cdc53cf91b304292b9ab91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 803 AXPZ20 KNHC 271401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 27 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 18.2N 125.0W AT 27/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KNOTS THE GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS NOW ALONG 111W/112W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N141W MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1245 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED IN AN AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WHICH EXTENDS FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN 122W-128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N88W 9N95W 11N104W 14N118W 11N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N105W- 12N104W-8N112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-12N90W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 120 NM OF 13N96W-16N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N135W- 13N140W-11N142W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N107W-25N109W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 18:18:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3840 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627889-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:43:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA28414; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:34:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:34:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62000 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:30:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270930.EAA02603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:30:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93c4c5623150a5012ff18669ce149cee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 816 ABPZ20 KNHC 270930 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 17:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:17:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA35030; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:10:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:10:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA50148 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270902.EAA02380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d1be7a1aa2986dc9797e74a0e4f1e7b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 086 WTPZ44 KNHC 270856 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 27 1998 HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RAPIDLY DECREASING RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS INDICATED BY DVORAK T-NUMBERS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS 80 KNOTS AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS INDICATED. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/06 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 17.9N 124.8W 80 KTS 12HR VT 27/1800Z 18.1N 125.7W 75 KTS 24HR VT 28/0600Z 18.7N 127.0W 65 KTS 36HR VT 28/1800Z 19.0N 128.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 29/0600Z 19.5N 130.0W 45 KTS 72HR VT 30/0600Z 20.0N 135.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 17:32:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627742-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:24:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA40106; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:15:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:15:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47188 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:00:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270900.EAA02333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:00:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ca96781067e4e21b0b6b9ebb71c77d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 059 WTPZ24 KNHC 270855 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z THU AUG 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 124.8W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 124.8W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 124.5W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N 125.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.7N 127.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 124.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 17:23:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627692-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:40:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40156; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 02:32:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9418961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 02:32:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14774 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 02:32:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 02:32:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270732.CAA01619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 02:32:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a11e83b0e1f4e6a996543ec4510a671 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 843 AXPZ20 KNHC 270733 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 27 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 124.5W AT 27/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS THE GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W IS NOW ALONG 110W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N140W MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0630 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100 NM OF THE CENTER. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 14N-21N BETWEEN 120W-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 6N90W 10N100W 10N110W 14N117W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-85W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-94W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-113W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 106W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N102W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 13N92W 16N99W...AND FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 102W-106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 13:42:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 12:31:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA62822; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 23:27:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9417562 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 23:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA62786 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 23:27:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 23:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270427.XAA00064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 23:27:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d86c08594262b262711c02cb2d21199 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 207 ABPZ20 KNHC 270428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 12:19:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627189-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:21:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16878; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:17:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9416179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:17:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44902 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:16:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:16:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270316.WAA29333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:16:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eac79ad84a724c34270ebb04d3793da7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 WTPZ44 KNHC 270313 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RAPIDLY DECREASING RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITH RECENT DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS RANGING FROM 5.5 TO 4.5...102 KNOTS TO 77 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS HELD TO 85 KNOTS FOR THIS PACKAGE BUT EXPECT IT TO DECREASE LATER TODAY AS HOWARD HAS CROSSED THE 26 SST ISOTHERM AND STRATOCU IS BEGINNING TO WRAP AROUND THE SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/08 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS MORE WESTERLY THEN PREVIOUSLY BECAUSE THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE BASED ON THE MRF APPEARS CONFUSED BY A PHANTOM VORTEX TO ITS WEST. THE MRF SHOWS HOWARD ROTATING AROUND THE NON-EXISTANT SYSTEM. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 17.5N 124.3W 85 KTS 12HR VT 27/1200Z 17.7N 125.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 28/0000Z 18.1N 127.4W 65 KTS 36HR VT 28/1200Z 18.6N 129.6W 60 KTS 48HR VT 29/0000Z 19.0N 132.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 30/0000Z 19.2N 136.3W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 12:19:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627633-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:03:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14786; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9415709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56238 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:58:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA29043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:57:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270257.VAA29043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:57:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89e08c7a97266cb4ec7d7817397c26db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 WTPZ24 KNHC 270300 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z THU AUG 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 124.3W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 124.3W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.9W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.7N 125.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.1N 127.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.6N 129.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 124.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.2N 136.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:53:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626764-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA55014; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:31:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9413585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:31:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA49352 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:31:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270131.UAA27681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:31:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4856e3b1411ec425b7ed0c2d9e4fcb25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 824 AXPZ20 KNHC 270132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 27 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 123.9W AT 27/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS THE GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W IS NOW ALONG 109W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N140W MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 122W-126W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 14N-21N BETWEEN 121W-127W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N75W 6N90W 9N100W 10N110W 12N120W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 125W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA EXTENDING 30NM OVER THE OCEAN BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR. SIMILAR CONVECTION EXTENDS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GUATEMALA BORDER TO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-1948>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 06:28:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA04842; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:25:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9410467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:25:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA23706 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:21:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA24585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:21:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262221.RAA24585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:21:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0510b941d581b86d1642896f1b36ec21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 210 ABPZ20 KNHC 262222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 970 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627883-1954>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:45:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20528; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:43:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9408357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:43:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52736 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:43:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:43:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262043.PAA22067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:43:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90c401b818771aea61905646b8ef84c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 451 WTPZ24 KNHC 262045 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z WED AUG 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.9W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.9W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.5W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 125.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.8N 128.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 123.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 20.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627450-1952>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:42:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA13140; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:37:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9408250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:37:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA49964 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:37:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:37:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262037.PAA21862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:37:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a6a9f0bf42756df38ad46f56d7e3ae2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 WTPZ44 KNHC 262039 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND WINDS ARE DOWN TO 85 KNOTS . THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE AS HOWARD APPROACHES COOLER WATER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/08 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 17.5N 123.9W 85 KTS 12HR VT 27/0600Z 17.5N 125.2W 80 KTS 24HR VT 27/1800Z 18.0N 127.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 28/0600Z 18.8N 128.7W 70 KTS 48HR VT 28/1800Z 19.5N 130.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 29/1800Z 20.5N 135.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627938-1953>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:40:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA60366; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:28:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9406893 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64418 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:28:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261928.OAA19784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:28:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f9649c8cd268186facbdd24ed178844 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 295 AXPZ20 KNHC 261928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 26 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 123.5W AT 26/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 95 KNOTS THE GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W IS NOW ALONG 108W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N139W MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1830 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 60 NM TO 150 NM FROM THE EYE IN ALL QUADRANTS. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N85W 8N92W 7N98W 9N107W 13N115W 11N125W 11N132W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 88W AND FROM 124W TO 132W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N96W TO 13N92W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N106W TO 16N105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N103W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 01:56:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627889-1952>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 01:20:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24144; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:17:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9404741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:17:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA51984 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:17:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:17:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261717.MAA15997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:17:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ef35aeb8f526164a838024396c9c8f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 334 ABPZ20 KNHC 261716 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 965 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 22:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627860-1954>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA40070; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:49:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9401512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62068 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:49:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:49:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261449.JAA12114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:49:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18d8934300f35d0d79f1460dcf2fe6e9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 368 WTPZ44 KNHC 261450 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND WINDS ARE 95 KNOTS . THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE AS HOWARD APPROACHES COOLER WATER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/09 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 17.5N 123.5W 95 KTS 12HR VT 27/0000Z 17.5N 125.0W 90 KTS 24HR VT 27/1200Z 17.7N 127.0W 80 KTS 36HR VT 28/0000Z 18.0N 128.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 28/1200Z 18.5N 130.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 29/1200Z 19.0N 135.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 22:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627823-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:49:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20884; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:47:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9401497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33410 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:47:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261447.JAA12051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:47:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43db4f3b924e0707909945bf3a7c4a0e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 358 WTPZ24 KNHC 261449 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z WED AUG 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.5W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.5W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.0W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.7N 127.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 123.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 22:57:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2693 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627854-1954>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:34:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19166; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:32:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9400505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA42946 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261332.IAA09922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:32:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c22b9e9001a210871110ec9ca443b340 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 804 AXPZ20 KNHC 261333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 26 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD CENTER NEAR 17.5N 123.0W AT 26/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W NOW ALONG 107W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N138W MOVING W 10 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1245 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. A LARGE EYE IS NOTED WITH A DIAMETER OF 40 NAUTICAL MILES. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE HOWARD ARE FROM 14N-22N BETWEEN 118W-128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 10N90W 7N100W 11N104W 9N110W 13N117W 11N125W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-81W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-99W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-127W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 101W-106W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N94W 15N96W...AND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 21N104W 23N107W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 18:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627801-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 18:17:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24296; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:16:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9398487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:16:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA45270 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:16:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:16:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261016.FAA07657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:16:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0a80f62cb3dd823ba73dacacddee05d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 040 ABPZ20 KNHC 261014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 16:56:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626480-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:37:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60218; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:32:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9397682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA21798 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:32:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:32:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260832.DAA06579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:32:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43cd4d814beeb826ef6f44176ac2d40f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 WTPZ24 KNHC 260833 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z WED AUG 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 122.5W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 122.5W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 122.1W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.6N 123.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.8N 126.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 127.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 122.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 18.2N 130.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.4N 134.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 16:56:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626480-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA42958; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:31:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9397667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:31:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29372 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:31:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260831.DAA06570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:31:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7dbf86be67488f833569015748cc72d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 WTPZ44 KNHC 260833 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 26 1998 HOWARD CONTINUES ITS SLOW DECLINE. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM STILL HAS A WELL-DEFINED EYE...ABOUT 30 NM IN DIAMETER...THE SURROUNDING CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW 5.5...102 KNOTS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 100 KNOTS. THE GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND SHOULD CONTINUE AS HOWARD APPROACHES COOLER WATER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/09 KNOTS. THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOST OF THE DYNAMIC- BASED MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEST-NORTHEAST MOTION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. A 24-HOUR SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS THAT HOWARD HAS BEEN ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE...NOTWITHSTANDING A WOBBLE OR TWO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST CALLS FOR A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING ...AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 17.5N 122.5W 100 KTS 12HR VT 26/1800Z 17.6N 123.9W 90 KTS 24HR VT 27/0600Z 17.8N 126.0W 80 KTS 36HR VT 27/1800Z 18.0N 127.9W 70 KTS 48HR VT 28/0600Z 18.2N 130.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 29/0600Z 18.4N 134.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 16:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3582 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627346-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:40:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA33390; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:40:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9397575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA16680 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:40:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:39:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260739.CAA06085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:39:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f4c7761b6aaed27fafa36b05f4a0cf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 402 AXPZ20 KNHC 260740 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 26 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD CENTER NEAR 17.6N 121.2W AT 26/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W NOW ALONG 106W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N137W MOVING W 10 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 22N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0630 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 15.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. 54FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 119W-124W. A LARGE EYE IS NOTED WITH A DIAMETER OF 49 NAUTICAL MILES. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-9N94W-13N104W- 12N115W-11N130W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W...WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 115W AND 123W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N127.5W AND 11N132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION VICINITY OF PANAMA FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 80W AND 82W...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 86W AND 87W... FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 87W AND 88W...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W...AND IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 16N95W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 14:42:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 12:30:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA23678; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:28:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9396179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04202 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:28:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260428.XAA04131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 950cda8483b952e32023f9cae9ee4a67 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 ABPZ20 KNHC 260428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627224-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 11:21:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAB40168; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:18:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9395468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:18:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49094 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:18:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260317.WAA03376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:17:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be50e9e3fb17b371e98cdb2e3941b60d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 WTPZ44 KNHC 260318 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A LARGE EYE ASSOCIATED WITH HOWARD SURROUNDED BY A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION BUT NO BANDING FEATURES. LOW LEVEL STRAT0-CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEING ADVECTED INTO HOWARD AND THIS COMBINED WITH COOLER SSTS ARE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE ALL DECREASED TO 5.5.. SO INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 105 KTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. HOWARD HAS SLOWED DOWN SO THAT THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/08. THE MODEL ENSEMBLE GENERALLY TAKES THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST...ALSO AT A SLOWER PACE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND SOMEWHAT SLOWER. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 17.7N 121.6W 105 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 17.9N 123.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 18.1N 124.7W 95 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 18.4N 126.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 18.5N 128.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 29/0000Z 18.6N 131.4W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1650 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627360-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 10:56:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45118; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:55:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9394904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49098 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260254.VAA03043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a303fa715f1614c53abfc53c192881d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 805 WTPZ44 KNHC 260256 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A LARGE EYE ASSOCIATED WITH HOWARD SURROUNDED BY A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION BUT NO BANDING FEATURES. LOW LEVEL STRAT0-CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEING ADVECTED INTO HOWARD AND THIS COMBINED WITH COOLER SSTS ARE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE ALL DECREASED TO 5.5.. SO INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 105 KTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. HOWARD HAS SLOWED DOWN SO THAT THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/08. THE MODEL ENSEMBLE GENERALLY TAKES THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST...ALSO AT A SLOWER PACE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND SOMEWHAT SLOWER. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 17.7N 121.6W 105 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 17.9N 123.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 18.1N 124.7W 95 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 18.4N 126.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 18.5N 128.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 29/0000Z 18.6N 131.4W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 11:02:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA50046; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:55:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9394922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13126 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260254.VAA03035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0dd542268f2fae7c7a78954640ae4927 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 803 WTPZ24 KNHC 260254 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z WED AUG 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 121.6W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 121.6W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 121.2W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.9N 123.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.1N 124.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.4N 126.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 121.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.6N 131.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4768 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-1952>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22220; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 20:30:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9394060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 20:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63622 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 20:29:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 20:29:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260129.UAA01869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 20:29:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4bc13f2e4d8b597bbb6af009484ce551 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 AXPZ20 KNHC 260129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 26 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 17.6N 121.2W AT 26/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W IS NOW LOCATED ALONG 105W S OF 17N. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 14N137W. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 119W-124W. A LARGE EYE IS NOTED WITH A DIAMETER OF 49 NAUTICAL MILES. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 6N90W 8N100W 10N110W 12N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 77W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 101W-106W...FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 109W-122W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 125W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 86W-90W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER N MEXICO AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N-29N BETWEEN 107W-110W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1928 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627873-22675>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 06:17:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA20930; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 17:14:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9392169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 17:14:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA50090 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 17:14:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA29375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 17:14:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808252214.RAA29375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 17:14:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0de7fd3b66b35a26f4885737e853ffe5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 628 ABPZ20 KNHC 252208 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 790 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED... BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1511 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627795-22675>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:01:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA11104; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:54:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9390331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22750 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808252051.PAA27045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:51:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1448d5dccca617fd179666f6394f3545 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 WTPZ24 KNHC 252052 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z TUE AUG 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 120.8W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 120.8W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.3W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.2N 122.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 126.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 120.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:46:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA16788; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:44:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9389983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA16658 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:43:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:43:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808252043.PAA26804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:43:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79d11fb71b5f6debf7cbc3366e7025af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 055 WTPZ44 KNHC 252044 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A LARGE EYE ASSOCIATED WITH HOWARD SURROUNDED BY A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION BUT NO BANDING FEATURES. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 125 KNOTS AS SUGGESTED BY DVORAK T-NUMBERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/11 AND THE GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TROUGH 72 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK HOWARD WILL BE MOVING OVER COOL WATERS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREFORE A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS INDICATED. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 17.7N 120.8W 125 KTS 12HR VT 26/0600Z 18.2N 122.4W 115 KTS 24HR VT 26/1800Z 19.0N 124.5W 105 KTS 36HR VT 27/0600Z 19.5N 126.5W 95 KTS 48HR VT 27/1800Z 20.0N 128.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 28/1800Z 21.0N 133.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627795-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:30:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA62710; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:24:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9388509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22728 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:24:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:24:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251924.OAA24109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:24:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 088151c10376f871046d3c1e090741a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 836 AXPZ20 KNHC 251925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 25 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 120.3W AT 25/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 102W/103W HAS DISSIPATED. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1830 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N90W 13N104W 13N113W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N109W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 15N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 21N108W TO THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO NEAR 25N107W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627705-22673>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA11242; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:25:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9385975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22648 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:24:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251624.LAA18197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 131cca0c4090eaf20a67d8b56f9ecfa9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 984 ABPZ20 KNHC 251625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 740 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627506-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA24602; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:15:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9384864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:14:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA62896 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:14:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA16154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:14:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251514.KAA16154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:14:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 782bcfe4c0348c129dcd1a2155b7d30b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 WTPZ24 KNHC 251516 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z TUE AUG 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.0W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.0W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 119.4W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.0N 121.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.6N 123.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.3N 125.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 120.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.9N 128.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.9N 132.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:08:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA60198; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:06:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9384588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:05:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA49974 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:00:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA15454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251500.KAA15454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:00:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 501af4ee8b9a5cca2b33a43655e04645 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 WTPZ44 KNHC 251502 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 HOWARD CONTINUES AS AN IMPRESSIVE HURRICANE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11 AND THE GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TROUGH 72 HOURS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING...WITH THE SYSTEM APPROACHING 25 DEG C WATERS BY 36 HOURS OR SO. THIS ADVISORY IS PRACTICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 17.5N 120.0W 125 KTS 12HR VT 26/0000Z 18.0N 121.8W 115 KTS 24HR VT 26/1200Z 18.6N 123.9W 105 KTS 36HR VT 27/0000Z 19.3N 125.9W 95 KTS 48HR VT 27/1200Z 19.9N 128.2W 85 KTS 72HR VT 28/1200Z 20.9N 132.5W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627490-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15200; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:28:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9382837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA56108 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:13:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:13:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251313.IAA12453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:13:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 838f7a82877c0334a2f5392ef1d1cc6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 AXPZ20 KNHC 251311 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 25 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 17.4N 119.4W AT 25/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 102W/103W IS NOW ALONG 104W NORTH OF 9N. THE ASSOCIATED LOW HAS DISSIPATED. THE WAVE IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1245 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N118W TO 15N122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 11N98W 13N110W 11N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 112W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N84W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 7N79W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITH SMALL CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N87W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 9N84W ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 24N EAST OF 108W TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 2N TO 7N EAST OF 82W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627443-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 18:27:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA64688; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:26:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9380298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:26:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA22686 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:26:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:26:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251026.FAA10423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:26:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 660a4969203a499ad1c1481643115ce2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 236 ABPZ20 KNHC 251027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REAMINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627004-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 16:53:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA49406; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:52:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9379780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAB20504 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:47:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:47:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250847.DAA09501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:47:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7bd1aac18f74f36d49d8d0af4e06ee4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 518 WTPZ24 KNHC 250849 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z TUE AUG 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 118.8W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 118.8W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.2W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N 120.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N 122.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.2N 124.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 118.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:03:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627429-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 16:52:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA49356; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:50:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9379776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA49156 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:47:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250847.DAA09497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74399d7c320889748047d3436c78b5b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 517 WTPZ44 KNHC 250849 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 1998 HOWARD IS AN IMPRESSIVE HURRICANE WITH A VERY SYMMETRIC SATELLITE PRESENTATION. THE EYE REMAINS RATHER LARGE...ABOUT 30 NMI IN DIAMETER...WITH A 60 NMI WIDE SURROUNDING RING OF -70 TO -75C CLOUD TOPS. THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS NOW 6.5 WHILE SUBJECTIVE-BASED ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN 6.5 FOR SEVERAL HOURS. ON THIS BASIS THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF HOWARD IS INCREASED TO 125 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING ...WITH THE SYSTEM APPROACHING 25 DEG C WATERS BY 36 HOURS. HOWARD IS MOVING ON A CLIMATOLOGICALLY-FAVORED TRACK WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 285/11 KNOTS. ALL THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AS THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST CALLS FOR A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 17.3N 118.8W 125 KTS 12HR VT 25/1800Z 17.8N 120.5W 115 KTS 24HR VT 26/0600Z 18.5N 122.6W 105 KTS 36HR VT 26/1800Z 19.2N 124.8W 95 KTS 48HR VT 27/0600Z 20.0N 127.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 28/0600Z 20.5N 132.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 15:48:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626931-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:33:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA49384; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:31:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9379335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA62006 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250729.CAA08588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:29:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28acc86cdde76d98a7f63680e7308f9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 AXPZ20 KNHC 250729 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 25 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD CENTER NEAR 17.0N 118.2W AT 25/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 110 KNOTS GUSTS 135 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W/102W NOW ALONG 102W/103W WITH ASSOCIATED 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N102W... ENTIRE SYSTEM MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 22N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0630 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-10N94W- 13N104W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 6N81W AND FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 7N76W-7N78W-4N78W-3N78W...FROM 6N TO 7N WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE 86W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N94W...WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 14N110W-12N107W...FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 114W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 107W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1716 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:11:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22586; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:09:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9378344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:08:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA60018 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 23:59:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250459.XAA07158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 23:59:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7502ad080a314e1909f8478efe0f09c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 203 ABPZ20 KNHC 250501 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 620 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:44:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29284; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:42:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9376722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:40:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53256 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250230.VAA05384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a35a2ce5f4740735f39554b670447f71 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WTPZ24 KNHC 250232 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z TUE AUG 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 117.5W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 117.5W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 117.0W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N 119.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.4N 121.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.1N 123.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 117.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.6N 125.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.4N 130.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3016 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:41:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20828; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:39:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9376697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:37:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47604 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250230.VAA05374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 087548bc696e2312f4f3f607c5c3f513 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 430 WTPZ44 KNHC 250231 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 THE EYE REMAINS LARGE...ABOUT 50 TO 60 MILES IN DIAMETER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE INCREASED FROM 5.5 TO 6.0. THE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS INCREASED BACK TO 110 KT...BUT ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE IN 12 HOURS. THESE FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE NOT UNUSUAL FOR A SYSTEM THAT UNDERGOES SIZE CHANGES AS HOWARD HAS DONE. HOWARD REMAINS ON TRACK...MOVING AT 290/11 KT. WITH A STRONG ANTICYCLONE FORECAST TO REMAIN TO THE N TO NE...THE CURRENT TRACK GUIDANCE AND NHC FORECAST LOOK MUCH LIKE THEY DID 6 HOURS AGO. A WNW TO W TRACK IS EXPECTED AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLOW WEAKENING AS COOLER WATERS ARE ENCOUNTERED. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 17.0N 117.5W 110 KTS 12HR VT 25/1200Z 17.6N 119.2W 105 KTS 24HR VT 26/0000Z 18.4N 121.4W 100 KTS 36HR VT 26/1200Z 19.1N 123.5W 90 KTS 48HR VT 27/0000Z 19.6N 125.7W 80 KTS 72HR VT 28/0000Z 20.4N 130.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:22:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA53262; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:20:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9375703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:20:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21614 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:19:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250119.UAA04386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:19:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36ba6b349d82c7fd604ce3866c7075c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 AXPZ20 KNHC 250119 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 25 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 117.0W AT 25/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...A TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS NOW ALONG 101W/102W NORTH OF 10N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 115W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 8N90W 13N100W 10N110W 10N110W 10N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-78W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 98W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 114W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 85W-95W...AND BETWEEN 124W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO EL SALVADOR EXTENDING 30 NM OVER THE OCEAN BETWEEN 81W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST FROM GUATEMALA TO NEAR LOS MOCHIS MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-109W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 16N134W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:22:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62854; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:19:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9375693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:19:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62798 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:19:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:18:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250118.UAA04382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:18:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5d87b1a13b03ad74ae66ce643853fdd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 AXPZ20 KNHC 250119 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 25 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 117.0W AT 25/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...A TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS NOW ALONG 101W/102W NORTH OF 10N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 115W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 8N90W 13N100W 10N110W 10N110W 10N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-78W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 98W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 114W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 85W-95W...AND BETWEEN 124W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO EL SALVADOR EXTENDING 30 NM OVER THE OCEAN BETWEEN 81W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST FROM GUATEMALA TO NEAR LOS MOCHIS MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-109W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 16N134W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625875-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 06:53:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA62158; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:48:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9373885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA41056 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:46:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808242246.RAA02077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:46:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70964a236b03467766a82ed3bcd77a15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 ABPZ20 KNHC 242242 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627394-27147>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 04:47:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA58188; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:44:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9372310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62530 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:43:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808242043.PAA29531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:43:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45bcc9f2a8b60e3b13ba80334dc641cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 816 WTPZ24 KNHC 242044 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z MON AUG 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 116.3W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 116.3W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 115.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.1N 117.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N 119.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N 121.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 116.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.1N 123.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4373 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627426-27145>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 04:45:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37646; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:42:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9372298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:42:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30686 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:42:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:42:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808242042.PAA29479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:42:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d44b49ed3c0c9e96e68e96d70874ceb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 815 WTPZ44 KNHC 242043 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 THE EYE HAS OPENED UP AND IS QUITE LARGE NOW WITH A DOUBLE STRUCTURE APPARENT...PERHAPS WITH A MESOCYCLONE ROTATING AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE CENTER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 5.5. THE WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS REDUCED SLIGHTLY TO 105 KT. HOWARD REMAINS ON TRACK...MOVING AT 290/10 KT. WITH A STRONG ANTICYCLONE FORECAST TO REMAIN TO THE N TO NE...THE CURRENT TRACK GUIDANCE AND NHC FORECAST LOOK MUCH LIKE THEY DID 6 HOURS AGO. A WNW TO W TRACK IS EXPECTED AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLOW WEAKENING AS COOLER WATERS ARE ENCOUNTERED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 16.6N 116.3W 105 KTS 12HR VT 25/0600Z 17.1N 117.7W 100 KTS 24HR VT 25/1800Z 17.8N 119.4W 90 KTS 36HR VT 26/0600Z 18.5N 121.4W 80 KTS 48HR VT 26/1800Z 19.1N 123.6W 70 KTS 72HR VT 27/1800Z 20.0N 128.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627381-27145>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:18:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA11192; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:08:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9370817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:08:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA41124 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:08:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:08:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241908.OAA26479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:08:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee0a728ea8330a2c6433e4446010b000 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 AXPZ20 KNHC 241906 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 24 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 115.8W AT 24/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ...A TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W/99W IS NOW ALONG 100W NORTH OF 10N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1830 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N92W 13N99W 10N104W 9N112W 10N120W 12N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 90W TO 96W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 121W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS 86W TO 90W AND FROM 105W TO 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 109W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-27145>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:56:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25124; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:50:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9368375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:50:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA50012 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:49:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:48:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241648.LAA21735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:48:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e0a4ab1698fedcff9c6973e2760a9c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABPZ20 KNHC 241649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627306-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 22:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA53270; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:54:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9365630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:54:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49406 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:54:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241454.JAA18154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:54:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67c032bb115f8e1c621564e4c7129d51 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 WTPZ24 KNHC 241453 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z MON AUG 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 115.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 115.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 117.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.9N 119.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 121.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 115.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.0N 123.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 22:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAB45746; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:51:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9365594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23456 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:51:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241451.JAA18092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:51:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93590cfe1329935d1046a535a03e4a8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 503 WTPZ44 KNHC 241452 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 MAXIMUM WINDS ARE AGAIN ESTIMATED AT 110 KT...AS IMPLIED BY THE ANALYSES FROM TAFB AND SAB. HOWARD STILL HAS A RATHER LARGE COLD CLOUD CANOPY BUT THE EYE IS NOT DISTINCT. THE TRACK REMAINS TOWARD ABOUT 285/11 KT ON AVERAGE...WITH SOME WOBBLING NOTED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE 06Z AVN RETAINS THE STRONG ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH TO NE. THIS PATTERN IS CONSISTENT WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE WNW TO WEST TRACK...WHICH THE NHC FORECAST AND GUIDANCE SHOW. LITTLE CHANGE IS MADE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 16.4N 115.3W 110 KTS 12HR VT 25/0000Z 17.0N 117.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 25/1200Z 17.9N 119.3W 95 KTS 36HR VT 26/0000Z 18.5N 121.4W 85 KTS 48HR VT 26/1200Z 19.0N 123.6W 75 KTS 72HR VT 27/1200Z 19.5N 128.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627206-27146>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA36814; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:22:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9364275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:22:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25272 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:22:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:22:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241322.IAA16007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:22:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0abfbf8d6fd96acafdb264806b34a366 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 AXPZ20 KNHC 241322 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1235 UTC MON 24 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 114.8W AT 24/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ...A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AND IS LOCATED ALONG 98W/99W NORTH OF 9N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1230 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N90W 10N100W 11N110W 12N122W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 96W...FROM 111W TO 117W...AND FROM 121W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N110W ACROSS THE AXIS NEAR 11N108W TO 7N111W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W AND FROM 104W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 13N TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO FROM 106W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N88W TO 6N91W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 81W...AND WITHIN 30/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N85W TO 12N89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 16N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 100W TO 102W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 107W FROM 21N TO 23N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 93W TO 96W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627100-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 18:55:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45306; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 05:51:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9363137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 05:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15184 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 05:48:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 05:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241048.FAA14307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 05:48:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f174dfc5c5807ac888a6307bd875273 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 ABPZ20 KNHC 241049 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OFTHE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-27146>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:14:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34494; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:10:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA13144 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:38:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240838.DAA13378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:38:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5812fc2c68970b3023a3c6309b434581 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 WTPZ24 KNHC 240839 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z MON AUG 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 114.3W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 114.3W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.5N 115.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.3N 117.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.2N 120.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 114.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-27147>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 16:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23360; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:37:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA42804 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:33:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240833.DAA13346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:33:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9042366bf2b1d06275c9067f0a32649a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 351 WTPZ44 KNHC 240835 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 24 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT HOWARD HAS MADE A BIT OF A COMEBACK THIS MORNING. THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED SOME OF ITS SYMMETRY AS THE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...WHICH HAD ERODED EARLIER...HAS EXPANDED. MEANWHILE...THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE CENTER HAS INCREASED IN INTENSITY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL MAINTAINED AT 110 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS...NEAR 24/25 DEG C BY 72 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/11 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS THIS. THE TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 16.0N 114.3W 110 KTS 12HR VT 24/1800Z 16.5N 115.9W 100 KTS 24HR VT 25/0600Z 17.3N 117.9W 95 KTS 36HR VT 25/1800Z 18.2N 120.2W 85 KTS 48HR VT 26/0600Z 19.0N 122.5W 75 KTS 72HR VT 27/0600Z 19.5N 127.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627152-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:37:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23512; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:32:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04180 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:29:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:29:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240729.CAA12872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:29:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a70a4d794130a7862a9d9065c3dad425 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 AXPZ20 KNHC 240730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 24 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD CENTER NEAR 15.8N 113.7W AT 24/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 11 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 110 KNOTS GUSTS 135 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N131W AT 24/0000 UTC HAS DISSIPATED. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0630 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W-10N95W-11N130W- 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 12N100W-8N92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 122W AND 123.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W...WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 16N99W...FROM 17N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-14821>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:59:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52066; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 23:54:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9361157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 23:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40172 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 23:46:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 23:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240446.XAA11542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 23:46:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 518bb24fd2298628471c6230236075b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 ABPZ20 KNHC 240447 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OFTHE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-14820>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:21:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21582; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:14:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9360528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25308 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:38:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:38:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240238.VAA10516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:38:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c4f46ac34031ebe1876d8ea1145ec34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 713 WTPZ24 KNHC 240240 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z MON AUG 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.2W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.2W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.2N 114.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.9N 117.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 119.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 113.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.0N 121.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N 125.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627150-14821>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:15:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA45288; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:08:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9360467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53400 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:38:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:38:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240238.VAA10511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:38:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b058e4c8bb50b77f6c958d9539cc9cf9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 712 WTPZ44 KNHC 240239 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 HOWARD HAS WEAKENED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT STILL REMAINS A STRONG HURRICANE. T-NUMBERS ARE 5.0..5.5..6.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 110 KTS WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND FORECAST OUT TO 72 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/11. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS EXPECTED SINCE THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 15.7N 113.2W 110 KTS 12HR VT 24/1200Z 16.2N 114.8W 105 KTS 24HR VT 25/0000Z 16.9N 117.0W 100 KTS 36HR VT 25/1200Z 17.5N 119.1W 95 KTS 48HR VT 26/0000Z 18.0N 121.4W 90 KTS 72HR VT 27/0000Z 18.3N 125.9W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627100-14818>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:43:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14724; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:36:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9359558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA53298 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:35:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240135.UAA10011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:35:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e1b06cf9f693f123bede2fa713320fe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 385 AXPZ20 KNHC 240134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 24 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 112.7W AT 24/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N131W AT 24/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 112W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE LINE 13N112W TO 11N116W DUE TO A FEEDER BAND S OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 130W-133W...AND IS WEAKENING. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N90W 10N100W 12N110W 11N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-112W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 120W-123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 83W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO S MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA BETWEEN 87W-106W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4009 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625900-14818>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:10:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA23406; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 17:30:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9357705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 17:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA49380 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 17:29:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA08108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 17:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808232229.RAA08108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 17:29:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea139724e51456087f13d121b25f4ffe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 830 ABPZ20 KNHC 232228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-27533>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:47:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39414; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9356895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40164 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:34:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808232034.PAA07111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:34:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af66c2fa0855fb18f64253d304d32422 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTPZ44 KNHC 232035 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 HOWARD HAS NOT CHANGED IN STRUCTURE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONTINUE AS A POWERFUL HURRICANE. T-NUMBERS ARE SOLID 6.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS HOWARD APPROACHES COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/12. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS EXPECTED SINCE THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF ENSEMBLE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 15.4N 112.2W 125 KTS 12HR VT 24/0600Z 16.0N 114.0W 125 KTS 24HR VT 24/1800Z 17.0N 116.0W 125 KTS 36HR VT 25/0600Z 18.0N 118.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 25/1800Z 18.5N 120.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 26/1800Z 19.0N 125.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2819 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-27535>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA53304; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:33:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9356873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:32:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11046 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:32:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:32:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808232032.PAA07101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:32:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c10e14244c34d55614c97a4dd5ed1844 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 780 WTPZ24 KNHC 232033 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z SUN AUG 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 112.2W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 112.2W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 112.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-27533>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:15:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19962; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:10:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9356343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:10:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49382 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:10:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:10:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231910.OAA06207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:10:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e1d69cc8046d8a37b7d5eb959a2b5eb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 466 AXPZ20 KNHC 231908 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 23 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 111.6W AT 23/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N130W AT 23/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1830 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 109W AND 115W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 10N100W 9N114W 12N124W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 104W AND FROM 120W TO 122W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W AND FROM 88W TO 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A 15N96W 15N100W 12N107W TO 10N108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N90W TO 13N92W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-27530>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:25:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA49256; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:21:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9354995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36694 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:21:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:21:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231621.LAA04951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:21:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98f8b2000a0ec6ba6109cc3436e6b8ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 205 ABPZ20 KNHC 231621 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-27535>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:37:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14732; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:28:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9354041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14692 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231427.JAA03971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51724c01ff6e5ef57680aae9147eb042 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 077 WTPZ24 KNHC 231429 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z SUN AUG 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.2W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.2W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.8N 113.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 111.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:31:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14676; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9354034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49210 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231427.JAA03967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:27:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0d1709b1564892385fb7de3b2a1786c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 060 WTPZ44 KNHC 231428 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES CONTINUE AROUND 6.0 AND 6.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE SUGGESTING WINDS OF 125 KNOTS. SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS HOWARD APPROACHES COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 209/12. MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS EXPECTED SINCE THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF ENSEMBLE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 15.1N 111.2W 125 KTS 12HR VT 24/0000Z 15.8N 113.0W 125 KTS 24HR VT 24/1200Z 16.5N 115.5W 125 KTS 36HR VT 25/0000Z 17.5N 118.0W 120 KTS 48HR VT 25/1200Z 18.0N 120.0W 110 KTS 72HR VT 26/1200Z 19.0N 124.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:20:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21524; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 08:16:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9353646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 08:16:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14846 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 08:16:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 08:16:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231316.IAA03563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 08:16:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de5e2341a00c1684d2fc4d2a4cc95da9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 606 AXPZ20 KNHC 231316 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 23 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 14.9N 110.6W AT 23/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N129W AT 23/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1230 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 16N128.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 12N105W 9N113W 12N123W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W AND FROM 117W TO 122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 80W...FROM 81W TO 82W... AND FROM 128W TO 137W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 139W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N95W TO 14N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N88W AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W TO 102W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-27530>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 18:44:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA34452; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:39:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:39:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA21622 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:39:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA02642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:39:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231039.FAA02642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:39:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39de07ff408517b9914ae3e7797952be Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 ABPZ20 KNHC 231039 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 16:21:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30666; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:20:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22664 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230819.DAA01718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e4ef093c01e70edca9e786ce1597c59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 WTPZ24 KNHC 230820 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z SUN AUG 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.0W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 110.0W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.7N 111.9W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.6N 114.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N 116.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 110.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.3N 119.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626975-27535>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 16:20:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26222; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22618 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230819.DAA01714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:19:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1a12cc5657fced915df86343416b7a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 375 WTPZ44 KNHC 230820 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 1998 THE PAST 12 HOUR INITIAL MOTION IS 285/13 AND THE PAST 24 HOUR MOTION IS 295/13. THE ADVISORY INITIAL MOTION WILL BE 290/13 WHICH IS WHAT MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS SHOWING FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THIS SHIFTS THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...EXCEPT AT 72 HOURS WHERE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH COULD SLOW THE FORWARD SPEED AND MOVE THE HURRICANE A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH. THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS T NUMBER 6.5 OR 127 KNOTS. HOWEVER THE COLDEST TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED FROM 130 TO 125 KNOTS ON THIS BASIS. THE FORECAST WIND SPEEDS ARE DECREASED SOME FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY ALSO BECAUSE OF THE ABOVE SUGGESTION THAT THE RAPID INTENSIFICATION TREND MENTIONED EARLIER MAY BE OVER. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 15.0N 110.0W 125 KTS 12HR VT 23/1800Z 15.7N 111.9W 125 KTS 24HR VT 24/0600Z 16.6N 114.5W 125 KTS 36HR VT 24/1800Z 17.5N 116.8W 120 KTS 48HR VT 25/0600Z 18.3N 119.0W 110 KTS 72HR VT 26/0600Z 19.5N 121.5W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626984-27530>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:49:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25338; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:49:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22730 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:49:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:48:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230748.CAA01377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:48:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90263f0aa819d3f3d1572da1a4188921 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 899 AXPZ20 KNHC 230747 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 23 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD CENTER NEAR 14.7N 109.4W AT 23/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 13 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 130 KNOTS GUSTS 160 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 15N127W AT 23/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0700 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13.5N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 105W AND 106W...AND WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 10N109W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N127W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 128W AND 129W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 129W AND 130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N79W-10N101W-11N118W- 10N134W-9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE 11N BETWEEN 96W AND 98W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 15N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 15-30 NM OF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 7N TO 13N. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626993-27530>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22624; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 01:25:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9351743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 01:25:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30542 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 01:25:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 01:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230625.BAA00908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 01:25:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 940ffd87be02451699496ad912a2a64e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 ABPZ20 KNHC 230625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626265-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 10:44:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53490; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9350160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36778 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:34:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230234.VAA28860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:34:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d276871444cae44bc6d971fccfd859ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 137 WTPZ44 KNHC 230234 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/13...LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH ABOUT 36 HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME GFDL AND NOGAPS MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...WHILE ALL THE BAMS...UKMET...AND STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST AGREES WITH THE MODELS TO 36 HOURS AND MAINTAINS THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OUT TO 72 HOURS. THE EYE CONTINUES TO BE WELL DEFINED AND HAS CONTINUED TO SHRINK IN SIZE...NOW APPROXIMATELY 11 NM IN DIAMETER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 6.0...6.0...6.5PLUS FROM GLOBAL...SAB...AND TAFB RESPECTIVELY. BASED UPON THESE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND THE TREND DURING THE PAST 24-HOURS IT APPEARS THAT HOWARD IS ON A RAPID INTENSIFICATION CURVE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 130 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING...FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING AFTER 12 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS AND VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 14.7N 108.6W 130 KTS 12HR VT 23/1200Z 15.5N 110.4W 140 KTS 24HR VT 24/0000Z 16.4N 112.8W 130 KTS 36HR VT 24/1200Z 17.4N 115.0W 130 KTS 48HR VT 25/0000Z 18.2N 117.2W 120 KTS 72HR VT 26/0000Z 19.0N 121.0W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-27534>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 10:34:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA60192; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:32:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9350149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62732 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:32:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230232.VAA28855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:32:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1842368c242b9c79e83ba08266c1fcae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 092 WTPZ24 KNHC 230233 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z SUN AUG 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 108.6W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 108.6W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.5N 110.4W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.4N 112.8W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.4N 115.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 108.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N 117.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626366-27530>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:41:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19810; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:37:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9349538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16720 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:37:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:37:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230137.UAA28298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:37:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d614f36716b2fd2398ae319475096a0c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 AXPZ20 KNHC 230137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 23 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 108.0W AT 23/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N126W AT 23/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0100 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 107W-109W. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 106W-111W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN LOCATED FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 12N120W 10N130W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 76W-78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 131W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 115W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 85W-90W...AND FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 92W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND S MEXICO FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 90W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 96W=100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 81W-85W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626037-27534>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 07:09:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA62962; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:31:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9348419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA50144 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:31:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808222231.RAA27037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:31:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f2c6ded48e5f9b95021884a96e51364 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 ABPZ20 KNHC 222231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626727-538>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:49:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA19872; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:44:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9348112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:44:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA49294 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:44:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA26676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808222144.QAA26676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:44:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 8 Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64fd020a650080d82fd2a36bd0ca3dc6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 902 WTPZ44 KNHC 222145 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 ...COR...INITIAL POSITION AT 22/2100Z 14.3N 107.3W THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 300/12. AS EARLIER...THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST AGREES WITH THE MODELS AND IS ADJUSTED JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AT 72 HOURS. THE EYE CONTINUES TO BE WELL DEFINED AND IS SMALL WITH A DIAMETER ESTIMATED AT LESS THAN 20 NMI FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE AT 100 KNOTS OR HIGHER AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING...FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING AFTER 24 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS AND VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 14.3N 107.3W 100 KTS 12HR VT 23/0600Z 15.2N 109.0W 110 KTS 24HR VT 23/1800Z 16.3N 111.3W 110 KTS 36HR VT 24/0600Z 17.3N 113.2W 100 KTS 48HR VT 24/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 95 KTS 72HR VT 25/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-540>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:45:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA49202; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:42:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9348108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA22560 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:42:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA26671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808222142.QAA26671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 8 Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19a2c69d30ee47f063621faa9f215042 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 861 WTPZ24 KNHC 222143 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z SAT AUG 22 1998 ...COR...INITIAL POSITION AT 22/2100Z 14.3N 107.3W HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 107.3W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 107.3W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.2N 109.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 111.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.3N 113.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 108.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3967 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-541>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:43:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA20704; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:40:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9348104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:40:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA49358 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:40:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA26660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:40:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808222140.QAA26660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 16:40:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 8 Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ccb7bf0b08a21c206f6ae13f7b1c4d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 WTPZ44 KNHC 222141 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 ...COR...INITIAL POSITION AT 22/2100Z 14.3N 107.3W THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 300/12. AS EARLIER...THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST AGREES WITH THE MODELS AND IS ADJUSTED JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AT 72 HOURS. THE EYE CONTINUES TO BE WELL DEFINED AND IS SMALL WITH A DIAMETER ESTIMATED AT LESS THAN 20 NMI FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE AT 100 KNOTS OR HIGHER AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING...FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING AFTER 24 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS AND VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 14.3N 108.3W 100 KTS 12HR VT 23/0600Z 15.2N 109.0W 110 KTS 24HR VT 23/1800Z 16.3N 111.3W 110 KTS 36HR VT 24/0600Z 17.3N 113.2W 100 KTS 48HR VT 24/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 95 KTS 72HR VT 25/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626432-538>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 04:34:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA40108; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:33:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9347747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:33:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25200 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:33:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808222033.PAA26214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:33:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f0a119aaa6929eef591df637c3ebfc3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 675 WTPZ24 KNHC 222034 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z SAT AUG 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 108.3W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 108.3W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.2N 109.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 111.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.3N 113.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 108.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-541>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 04:33:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25220; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:31:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9347717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34406 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808222031.PAA26197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:31:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86469f4ee7814c44e1b7629b1459223b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 665 WTPZ44 KNHC 222032 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 300/12. AS EARLIER...THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST AGREES WITH THE MODELS AND IS ADJUSTED JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AT 72 HOURS. THE EYE CONTINUES TO BE WELL DEFINED AND IS SMALL WITH A DIAMETER ESTIMATED AT LESS THAN 20 NMI FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE AT 100 KNOTS OR HIGHER AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING...FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING AFTER 24 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS AND VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 14.3N 108.3W 100 KTS 12HR VT 23/0600Z 15.2N 109.0W 110 KTS 24HR VT 23/1800Z 16.3N 111.3W 110 KTS 36HR VT 24/0600Z 17.3N 113.2W 100 KTS 48HR VT 24/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W 95 KTS 72HR VT 25/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2648 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-540>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:33:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34360; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:33:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9347427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA47128 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:33:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221932.OAA25694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d683d76ad13af08205c64cb5fdd12293 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 AXPZ20 KNHC 221932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 22 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 14.0N 106.8W AT 22/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N124W AT 22/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1845 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 104W-110W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N125W- 12N126W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N94W 11N104W 8N111W 13N124W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-100W...AND WEST OF 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-13N95W- 17N100W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626544-540>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 00:06:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA37666; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9345956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:04:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA36624 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:04:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221604.LAA24129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:04:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a932a9163a93d925e507b2374a2f8b89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 755 ABPZ20 KNHC 221604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-540>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 22:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29064; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:25:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9344610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39218 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221424.JAA23069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a331f4c326782d33ad4034095fef886 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 WTPZ24 KNHC 221426 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z SAT AUG 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 106.2W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 106.2W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 105.5W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.7N 107.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.8N 109.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.1N 111.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 106.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.3N 113.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 21.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-538>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 22:27:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28994; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9344606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39202 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221424.JAA23064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:24:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5699ea8507a4e9981e2c273cba045074 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 044 WTPZ44 KNHC 221425 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/12. THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A CONTINUATION OF THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE AVIATION MODEL 00Z RUN SHOWS SOME WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE SO THAT THERE COULD BE SOME SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED AND PERHAPS A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS SLIGHT DECELERATION AFTER ABOUT 48 HOURS. WITH A WELL DEFINED EYE...THE WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 95 KNOTS AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS COULD START A WEAKENING TREND. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 13.8N 106.2W 95 KTS 12HR VT 23/0000Z 14.7N 107.6W 105 KTS 24HR VT 23/1200Z 15.8N 109.7W 110 KTS 36HR VT 24/0000Z 17.1N 111.9W 110 KTS 48HR VT 24/1200Z 18.3N 113.7W 100 KTS 72HR VT 25/1200Z 21.0N 116.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1401 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-540>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:58:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA60192; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:56:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9344382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA60160 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:56:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221356.IAA22747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4c5220694c8b927a9ef2c61b8e92cd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 382 AXPZ20 KNHC 221353 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 22 AUG 1998 ...CORRECTION TO ADD CONVECTION BETWEEN 110W-117W TO ITCZ... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 13.4N 105.5W AT 22/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N123W AT 22/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1245 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 104W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN A BAND TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N102W-15N106W... AND TO THE SOUTHEAST WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N102W-14N103W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 18N123W-11N127W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N96W 10N110W 13N124W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N79W-8N78W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-86W...94W-98W...AND BETWEEN 110W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS WEST 0F 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-13N96W-18N104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N105W-23N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-540>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA57680; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:34:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9344313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:34:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA59962 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:34:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221334.IAA22647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:34:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d30d0a4950de7ee788006f91f507709 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 941 AXPZ20 KNHC 221334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 22 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 13.4N 105.5W AT 22/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N123W AT 22/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1245 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 104W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN A BAND TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N102W-15N106W... AND TO THE SOUTHEAST WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N102W-14N103W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 18N123W-11N127W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N96W 10N110W 13N124W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N79W-8N78W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-86W...AND 94W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS WEST 0F 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-13N96W-18N104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N105W-23N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626383-533>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 18:37:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA37672; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 05:30:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9343340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 05:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA39696 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 05:30:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA21599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 05:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221030.FAA21599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 05:30:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83776a200f5b5a9e65ab2c10fa56db79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 610 ABPZ20 KNHC 221031 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 465 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4397 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-538>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:18:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56194; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:12:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9342956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:12:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62824 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:12:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:12:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220912.EAA21112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:12:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36a44554783cb17a1156d60cbfeccf53 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 WTPZ44 KNHC 220910 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998 AN EYE FEATURE HAS APPEARED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND INDICATES STRENGTHENING. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 5.0 AND 4.5 RESPECTIVELY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 85 KNOTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LINES OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/12. MOST OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND THE SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY DUE TO SEVERAL 06Z SHIP REPORTS. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 13.1N 104.9W 85 KTS 12HR VT 22/1800Z 13.9N 106.5W 95 KTS 24HR VT 23/0600Z 15.2N 108.6W 100 KTS 36HR VT 23/1800Z 16.4N 110.4W 105 KTS 48HR VT 24/0600Z 18.0N 112.0W 105 KTS 72HR VT 25/0600Z 21.5N 115.0W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-533>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 17:16:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA21510; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:09:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9342897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:09:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37866 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:09:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220909.EAA21040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:09:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14bf30d58ce9a2a52e1771546e9ccc6a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 992 WTPZ24 KNHC 220910 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z SAT AUG 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 104.9W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 104.9W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 104.4W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.9N 106.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.2N 108.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.4N 110.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 104.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626419-540>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:42:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA60336; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:35:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9342600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26752 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:35:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220734.CAA20280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:34:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e6f44d0ea440d2229d2c1bb75162359 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 623 AXPZ20 KNHC 220735 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 22 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 12.8N 104.4W AT 22/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N122W AT 22/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0600 UTC... ...A 1026 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 31N151W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION THE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0700 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN RAIN BANDS FORMING ON THE WEST AND NORTHWEST SIDES OF THE CIRCULATION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N107W 12N108W 11N106W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS AND LINES OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE OVER THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 100W-114W...AND ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 99W-102W. THE LARGE AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS IS LOCATED FROM 4N-17N BETWEEN 98W-113W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N126W 16N122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N90W 10N105W 10N110W 12N123W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-130W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N95W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-117W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N94W 16N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 87W-92W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626494-541>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 12:29:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA57672; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 23:27:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9341458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 23:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA37686 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 23:27:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 23:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220427.XAA18796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 23:27:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e03b3deb5cd60b04b1e3a5458ee8010e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 ABPZ20 KNHC 220428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626053-538>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:17:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40164; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:15:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9340854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:15:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA34510 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:15:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:15:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220315.WAA18200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:15:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 644ebbdddd196871ad7170ba826619b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 652 WTPZ44 KNHC 220312 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/11. ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION CONTINUING FOR 72 HOURS...INCLUDING THE GFDL....AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT SLIGHTLY FASTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SHOW THAT HOWARD HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE IN STRENGTH TO 80 KNOTS AND INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR 36 HOURS...AFTER WHICH SOME LEVELING OFF IS EXPECTED. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 12.5N 103.8W 85 KTS 12HR VT 22/1200Z 13.3N 105.2W 90 KTS 24HR VT 23/0000Z 14.5N 107.1W 100 KTS 36HR VT 23/1200Z 15.7N 108.9W 105 KTS 48HR VT 24/0000Z 17.2N 110.6W 105 KTS 72HR VT 25/0000Z 20.5N 113.6W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-538>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 11:08:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA52140; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:06:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9340769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:06:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA61590 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:06:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220306.WAA18128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:06:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dbf4ebf7ae6e9ed84d8c1fdbde3d86f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 418 WTPZ24 KNHC 220307 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0300Z SAT AUG 22 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 103.8W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 103.8W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 103.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.3N 105.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.5N 107.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.7N 108.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 103.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.2N 110.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.5N 113.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626001-541>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:37:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62968; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 20:30:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9339892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 20:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA67730 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 20:29:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 20:29:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220129.UAA17229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 20:29:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2c0df3156bb6da5272084e22f885a29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 566 AXPZ20 KNHC 220128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 22 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD WAS UPGRADED TO HURRICANE HOWARD AT 21/2100 UTC. HURRICANE HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 103.3W AT 22/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N121W AT 22/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ...A 1025 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 30N138W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION THE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0045 UTC... HURRICANE HOWARD... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N103.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA BOUNDED BY THE POINTS 16N103W 11N100W 8N105W AND 12N108W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF OF A LINE FROM 15.5N119W TO 14N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N123W TO 12N124W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N91W 10N104W 9N112W 12N122W 10N131W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 137W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N126W TO THE AXIS NEAR 12N122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE ITCZ EAST OF 113W AND WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 13N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 91W IN GUATEMALA TO 94W IN MEXICO AND NORTH OF 16N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 97W TO 99W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 19N TO 21N...FROM 22N TO 23N...AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 24N TO 27N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 86W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 6N FROM 84W TO 86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 81W IN PANAMA TO 86W IN COSTA RICA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1972 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627576-26896>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 06:44:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22222; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 17:42:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9338898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 17:41:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA22702 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 17:41:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 17:41:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808212241.RAA15755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 17:41:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 567bbedd08c3647fff6ca85588734305 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 ABPZ20 KNHC 212241 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR HURRICANE HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627600-26895>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:48:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14764; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:45:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9338149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:43:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11216 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:43:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808212043.PAA13775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:43:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 4 Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86050c367880629c95b6d7f51e50e53d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 519 WTPZ24 KNHC 212044 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z FRI AUG 21 1998 ...COR...12 FT SEAS 175NE QUAD .... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 102.6W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 102.6W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 102.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.7N 103.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.6N 105.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.8N 107.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 102.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627604-26897>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:49:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA13168; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:41:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9338095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28976 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:40:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:40:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808212040.PAA13718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:40:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33c896a8f64e2be08b34ae60ccbfc78e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 WTPZ24 KNHC 212042 TCMEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 2100Z FRI AUG 21 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 102.6W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..1175E 125SE 125SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 102.6W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 102.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.7N 103.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.6N 105.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.8N 107.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 102.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627576-26897>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 04:42:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56082; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:40:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9338084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39312 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:39:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:39:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808212039.PAA13701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:39:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Howard Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8120c2147a93ff23bd52fbbcdd8b7f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 WTPZ44 KNHC 212041 TCDEP4 HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/08...A SLIGHT TURN TO THE RIGHT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION CONTINUING FOR 72 HOURS...INCLUDING THE GFDL....AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT TO THE RIGHT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SHOW THAT HOWARD HAS INCREASED TO MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH AND A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR 48 HOURS...AFTER WHICH SOME LEVELING OFF IS EXPECTED. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 11.9N 102.6W 65 KTS 12HR VT 22/0600Z 12.7N 103.8W 75 KTS 24HR VT 22/1800Z 13.6N 105.3W 85 KTS 36HR VT 23/0600Z 14.8N 107.2W 90 KTS 48HR VT 23/1800Z 16.0N 109.0W 95 KTS 72HR VT 24/1800Z 19.0N 112.0W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-26896>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 03:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30562; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:29:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9337414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26694 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:29:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211928.OAA12207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:28:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fbbdcc318ec7145359ae8d8b5e6ce7d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 419 AXPZ20 KNHC 211928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 21 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 102.2W AT 21/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N120W AT 21/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ...1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N138W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION THE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1845 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... THE TROPICAL STORM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED AROUND THE CENTER AND IN A BAND TO THE NW OF THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N103W-10N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N100W-9N107W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N120W... THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N119W-12N125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N87W 10N100W 8N110W 13N120W 10N132W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-95W...106W-115W...AND 120W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N107W...AND 22N108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N87W-14N95W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627444-26897>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 23:54:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26746; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:51:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9335334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA49194 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:50:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA08067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:50:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211550.KAA08067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:50:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93b154e71d8b37d9484fd8b8a379f2d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 ABPZ20 KNHC 211550 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL STORM HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627384-26897>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:53:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24808; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:52:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9334218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36678 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211447.JAA06422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5ad324ab65571e310dcfa2b2ab1fa14 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 836 WTPZ24 KNHC 211448 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 1500Z FRI AUG 21 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 102.0W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 102.0W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 101.5W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.7N 103.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.2N 105.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.1N 107.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 102.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 14.0N 108.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627444-26897>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 22:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24694; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:48:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9334209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36668 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211447.JAA06417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:47:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8b1900ab53c244a7a9b20096cca3967 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 835 WTPZ44 KNHC 211448 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/09. ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS MOTI0N CONTINUING FOR 72 HOURS...EXCEPT THE GFDL WHICH SHOWS A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. THE BEHAVIOR OF THE GFDL MAY BE DUE TO A VORTEX IN THE AVIATION MODEL NEAR 13N 122W...BUT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT AS A COURSE OF LEAST REGRET. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR STRENGTHENING AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 11.3N 102.0W 55 KTS 12HR VT 22/0000Z 11.7N 103.3W 65 KTS 24HR VT 22/1200Z 12.2N 105.2W 75 KTS 36HR VT 23/0000Z 13.1N 107.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 23/1200Z 14.0N 108.7W 85 KTS 72HR VT 24/1200Z 16.0N 111.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4969 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627207-26896>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:38:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA36636; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:33:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9333517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04282 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:32:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211332.IAA04675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:32:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5f87841454cd1a00bcaeac4a6fe1f95 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 AXPZ20 KNHC 211332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 21 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD IS CENTERED NEAR 11.0N 101.5W AT 21/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ24 KNHC/ MIATCMEP4 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N118W AT 21/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W IS NOW ALONG 93W NORTH OF 7N...MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION THE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD... THE TROPICAL STORM HAS STRENGTHENED OVER NIGHT WITH AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED AROUND THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 99W-104W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N118W... THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 118W-125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N95W 11N103W 9N110W 12N120W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-95W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W- 135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N78W-1N80W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-87W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N102W-22N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N83W-14N93W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627058-26896>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 18:53:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA14772; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 05:52:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9332021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 05:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA23410 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 05:50:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA02953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 05:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211050.FAA02953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 05:50:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26e831554421d97fdf3953a4e48a67e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 178 ABPZ20 KNHC 211050 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL STORM HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-7128>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 16:57:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45582; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:57:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9331398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19830 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210854.DAA01859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ed5f40e96ac9378c41710609530ff84 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 WTPZ44 KNHC 210852 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 21 1998 HOWARD HAS STRENGTHENED. A CENTRAL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH A STRONG RAIN BAND TO THE SOUTHWEST ARE APPARENT ON SATELLITE PICTURES. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 3.5...INDICATING 55 KT WINDS. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD ABOUT 280/10 KT. THE 00Z AVN MAINTAINS A MID-LEVEL E-W RIDGE TO THE NORTH WHICH WOULD IMPLY A WNW MOTION AS SHOWN BY MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS. THE RIDGE DOES NOT SHOW UP PROMINENTLY ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...HOWEVER...AND THE GFDL SHOWS A NW OR NNW HEADING FOR MOST OF THE 3-DAY PERIOD. IN CONSIDERATION OF THAT FORECAST...THE NHC TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. HOWARD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 11.0N 101.3W 55 KTS 12HR VT 21/1800Z 11.4N 102.7W 60 KTS 24HR VT 22/0600Z 11.9N 104.6W 70 KTS 36HR VT 22/1800Z 12.5N 106.3W 75 KTS 48HR VT 23/0600Z 13.5N 108.4W 80 KTS 72HR VT 24/0600Z 15.0N 111.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4908 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626887-7128>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 16:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45790; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:55:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9331394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19820 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210854.DAA01855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:54:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a05bf0cbf6762185298a1631dc8f29cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 WTPZ24 KNHC 210853 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0998 0900Z FRI AUG 21 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.3W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 101.3W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 100.9W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 11.4N 102.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.9N 104.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N 106.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 101.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 13.5N 108.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 15.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625865-7130>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:44:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19784; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:37:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9331209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25134 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:37:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210737.CAA01182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:37:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d55c1bca21549a327a107dac62f7f88 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 AXPZ20 KNHC 210736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 21 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...1000 MB LOW...CENTERED NEAR 11N101W AT 21/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...CENTERED NEAR 13N118W AT 21/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W IS IN VICINITY OF 92W NORTH OF 7N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0700 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 11N101W.. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH SOME CURVED RAIN BANDS FORMING...DEEP CONVECTION AROUND CENTER AND OUTFLOW PATTERN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-80 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN AN OUTER RAIN BAND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N100W 12N103W 10N104W 9N103W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 6N-15N BETWEEN 94W-105W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N118W... SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 118W-121W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS NOTED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 114W-122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 9N101W 10N110W 11N118W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N91W 11N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-110W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-126W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-90W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N86W 14N90W. CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF MEXICO FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 1N-4N BETWEEN 77W-79W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4093 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-23367>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 12:45:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA62786; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 23:42:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9330103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 23:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39728 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 23:42:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 23:42:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210442.XAA29437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 23:42:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e0634417df2a6d766de2e58fc923819 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 ABPZ20 KNHC 210440 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM HOWARD LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL STORM HOWARD CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-23367>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:47:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26856; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:46:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9329253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19158 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:46:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210246.VAA28282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:46:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6511bb54a04e72f7f37de94bc10cc60f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 458 WTPZ24 KNHC 210247 COR TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP9098 0300Z FRI AUG 21 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL INTENSITY... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.7N 102.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.2N 105.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.8N 107.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 100.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 12.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627106-23368>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:49:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA04268; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:45:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9329249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39834 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:45:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210245.VAA28271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:45:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39a911bcfcbad0034384964455aa72fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 457 WTPZ44 KNHC 210246 COR TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 20 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL INTENSITY... SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WHICH HAS BEEN MOSTLY EXPOSED DURING THE DAY IS NOW UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRIMARY BANDING FEATURE TO THE WEST. A SHIP REPORTING A 40 KNOT WIND AND A 1005 MB PRESSURE WAS RECEIVED AT 00Z JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER. THIS ALONG WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB JUSTIFY BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO 40 KNOTS...AND TROPICAL STORM STATUS. WITH NO OBVIOUS IMPEDANCES TO DEVELOPMENT...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST....ALONG THE LINES OF THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME (SHIPS). THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/12 KNOTS. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS THIS. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE CLOSELY CLUSTERED ON THIS SCENARIO THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER AND P91E. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 10.6N 100.6W 40 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 10.7N 102.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 11.2N 105.0W 60 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 11.8N 107.4W 70 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 12.5N 110.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 24/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627203-23366>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:47:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37744; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:42:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9329220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:42:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA50006 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:42:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210242.VAA28234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:42:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 956d5f9d4d56d93477c62b4ffaeb4bbc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 433 WTPZ24 KNHC 210242 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP9098 0300Z FRI AUG 21 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.7N 102.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.2N 105.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.8N 107.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 100.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 12.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-23361>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:44:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37852; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:41:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9329190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA67690 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:40:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:40:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210240.VAA28195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:40:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Howard Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08b7f4632fdf5a05f9c44cba72b2cbec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTPZ44 KNHC 210240 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 20 1998 SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WHICH HAS BEEN MOSTLY EXPOSED DURING THE DAY IS NOW UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRIMARY BANDING FEATURE TO THE WEST. A SHIP REPORTING A 40 KNOT WIND AND A 1005 MB PRESSURE WAS RECEIVED AT 00Z JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER. THIS ALONG WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB JUSTIFY BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO 40 KNOTS...AND TROPICAL STORM STATUS. WITH NO OBVIOUS IMPEDANCES TO DEVELOPMENT...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST....ALONG THE LINES OF THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME (SHIPS). THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/12 KNOTS. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS THIS. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE CLOSELY CLUSTERED ON THIS SCENARIO THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER AND P91E. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 10.6N 100.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 10.7N 102.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 11.2N 105.0W 60 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 11.8N 107.4W 70 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 12.5N 110.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 24/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-23368>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:41:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44830; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:39:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9328725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:39:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47116 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:39:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210139.UAA27723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:39:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5aa5b7a5964ac7de2dea0a4308340d49 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 274 AXPZ20 KNHC 210139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 21 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...CENTERED NEAR 11N100W AT 21/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...CENTERED NEAR 13N117W AT 21/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W IS IN VICINITY OF 91W NORTH OF 7N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N100W.. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS NOTED IN ITS CONCENTRATION OF DEEP CONVECTION AND OUTFLOW PATTERN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 100W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING OUTER RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N100W 11N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 101W-102W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITH ANOTHER DEVELOPING OUTER RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 8N106W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N117W... SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED WITH NOT MUCH DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N117W... AND 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N119W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 114W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 136W-138W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W-90W AND 120W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W-129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 92W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ALONG AND JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 102W-106W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY JUST INLAND SOUTHEAST HONDURAS EXTENDING INTO NORTHWEST NICARAGUA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER COSTA RICA AND JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W-94W INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 97W-99W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626980-23367>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 06:31:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA26198; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:26:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9327831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA24644 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:26:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808202226.RAA25613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:26:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b3b03e6c85afc278bfd6c9006ab35ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 651 ABPZ20 KNHC 202226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627061-23361>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 03:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14662; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 14:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9326279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 14:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44842 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 14:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 14:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201930.OAA21572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 14:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 224d5a15c0ac8087b9066146dac00d85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 720 AXPZ20 KNHC 201930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 20 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N99W AT 20/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST 5 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 13N116W AT 20/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 89W IS NOW ALONG 90W NORTH OF 7N...MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1845 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N99W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N96W-7N98W-7N105W...AND 16N100W-12N103W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N116W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N122W-12N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N113W-15N118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N91W 10N100W 10N117W 9N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 123W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N137W-10N141W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626847-23361>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA62960; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 11:15:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9323812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 11:15:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA49304 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 11:14:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 11:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201614.LAA17209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 11:14:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57674b98f66a8e9765407d25de0efea8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 796 ABPZ20 KNHC 201614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WHILE MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 MPH. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626932-23367>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA56174; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:28:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9321067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14932 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:28:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201328.IAA13129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:28:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7e364c5522d29eb2189e9ec7e15f62d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 AXPZ20 KNHC 201327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 20 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N99W AT 20/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N115W AT 20/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION AND EXTENDS ALONG 89W NORTH OF 7N...MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1245 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N99W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N99W-9N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N96W-8N102W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N115W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N118W-17N115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N88W 10N100W 10N122W 8N128W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 86W-91W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 134W-143W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W- 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N77W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N101W-23N108W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N120W-11N128W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1684 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-23368>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 18:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30370; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 05:25:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9319705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 05:25:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA12942 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 05:25:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 05:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201025.FAA11315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 05:25:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 849279d030b44810699cb2800f033309 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 173 ABPZ20 KNHC 201022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-23368>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:33:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52138; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:30:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9318636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45706 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:30:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200730.CAA09837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3cb5f4575e758f1cd87e567014ecb1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 AXPZ20 KNHC 200730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 20 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 12N97W AT 20/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 14N115W AT 20/0600 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0600 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N97W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 99W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N115W... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-6N88W-9N104W- 10N117W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 136W AND 139W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE REST OF AXIS E OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 9N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 85W AND 87W...FROM 10.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 89.5W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 15N95.5W...WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 14.5N 97W AND 13.5N99W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626556-23367>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:53:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA30212; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:36:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9317863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52208 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:36:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200436.XAA08084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:36:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd4ea425685ae356f2bc7ba9919652f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 900 ABPZ20 KNHC 200429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-23367>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 12:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44842; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:12:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9317737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:12:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA24774 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:12:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200412.XAA07946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 23:12:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ebf227afe90147d657815b1786ef50e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 479 AXPZ20 KNHC 200408 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 20 AUG 1998 ...CORRECTION TO TIME OF DISTURBANCES... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 10N97W AT 20/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N114W AT 20/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 18W WEST OF 127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N97W... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N98W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF 9N101W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N114W... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG ITCZ-AXIS WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 11N114W 10N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17N111W 17N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N93W 8N100W 10N110W 9N120W 8N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-90W ...AND 60-70 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-85W AND 102W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-127W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ALONG COASTS AND JUST INLAND OF NORTHERN COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER EL SALVADOR AND JUST OFFSHORE MEXICO FROM 15N93W TO GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY JUST OFFSHORE MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-23366>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 09:46:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21714; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:43:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9316185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12982 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:43:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200143.UAA06341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:43:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17cbd5389b249ecad8a9e4dd3b308b28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 673 AXPZ20 KNHC 200141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 20 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 10N97W AT 19/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N114W AT 19/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 18W WEST OF 127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N97W... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N98W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF 9N101W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N114W... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG ITCZ-AXIS WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 11N114W 10N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17N111W 17N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N93W 8N100W 10N110W 9N120W 8N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-90W ...AND 60-70 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-85W AND 102W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-127W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ALONG COASTS AND JUST INLAND OF NORTHERN COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER EL SALVADOR AND JUST OFFSHORE MEXICO FROM 15N93W TO GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY JUST OFFSHORE MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625955-23367>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 07:13:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA44574; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 17:33:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9314899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 17:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA23306 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 17:33:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 17:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808192233.RAA04173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 17:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 270ebccb07743d4614b3444991f8babe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 ABPZ20 KNHC 192233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-24136>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 03:32:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25224; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:30:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9313292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13148 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:30:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191930.OAA00405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:30:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 915c8aa4b3628c384d31e1d43483d4a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 983 AXPZ20 KNHC 191931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 19 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 10N97W AT 19/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N114W AT 19/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ...A WEAK 1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. GEORGETTE...IS CENTERED NEAR 21N135W MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1845 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N97W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N99W-14N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N91W-8N97W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N114W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N115W. IN ADDITION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-17N BETWEEN 106W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N93W 8N102W 9N118W 7N123W 9N135W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W- 136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-105W...AND 117W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N119W-13N131W-11N140W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-24135>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 01:06:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA25342; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:04:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9311608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA47324 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:04:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:04:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191704.MAA27167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 12:04:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52d706bcbb4a618714a0a90c70fe6ed9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 ABPZ20 KNHC 191704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE YESTERDAY...BUT IT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4402 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-24135>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 21:31:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA23304; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:29:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9309716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:29:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20724 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:29:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191329.IAA21830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40457780f243648e9a0b984330c398a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 AXPZ20 KNHC 191329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 19 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 11N96W AT 19/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N112W AT 19/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ...1014 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. GEORGETTE...IS CENTERED NEAR 21N134W MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1245 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N96W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N87W-15N97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N102W-10N93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N97W-14N99W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N112W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 104W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N93W 9N107W 9N114W 8N125W 9N136W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS... ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA...BETWEEN 77W-90W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N117W-13N135W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626465-24130>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 17:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45632; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:57:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9308551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA11050 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:57:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:57:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190957.EAA19369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:57:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c83a5d412d804f693bf4d89545bd03b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 707 ABPZ20 KNHC 190957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FURTHER WEST...ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS ALSO BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626479-24137>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 15:41:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA21754; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 02:38:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9308115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 02:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA11240 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 02:38:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 02:38:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190738.CAA18116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 02:38:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 266442788ff093d52225357263d2d31c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 529 AXPZ20 KNHC 190737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 19 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 11N95W AT 19/0600 UTC...MOVING W 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 14N111W AT 19/0600 UTC...MOVING W 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D.GEORGETTE... NEAR 22N132W MOVING SW 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 25N W OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N95W... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 98W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N111W... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W-9N100W-9N114W- 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 10N110W-8N114W-9N117W. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 131W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W...COVERING PARTS OF NW NICARAGUA...EL SALVADOR...AND SW HONDURAS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 119W AND 120W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1836 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-24135>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 11:35:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA50070; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:29:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9306624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA47236 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:29:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190329.WAA16037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:29:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd62384f5151ac1d2e8792e51f70213d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 734 ABPZ20 KNHC 190329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FURTHER WEST...ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS ALSO BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3363 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626007-24137>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 09:44:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20548; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 20:42:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9305445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 20:42:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45224 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 20:40:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 20:40:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190140.UAA14648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 20:40:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f26f810c6fefd750f738bb3df0541f5d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 741 AXPZ20 KNHC 190140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 19 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N94W AT 19/0000 UTC. IT IS IS MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ...A 1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE...IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 22N130W. IT IS DRIFTING SOUTH. ...A 1011 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 14N110W REMAINS NEAR 14N110W. IT IS QUASISTATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 136W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 94W-97W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 92W-97W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 9N90W 11N100W 12N110W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 106W-112W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 111W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 117W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 119W-122W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 129W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 102W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 76W-78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 80W-83W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-24137>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 07:11:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA64748; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 17:37:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9304228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 17:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA52126 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 17:37:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 17:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808182237.RAA12412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 17:37:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1669c3aedb6dfaffe8fa3c033c671b9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 261 ABPZ20 KNHC 182235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627676-25699>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 03:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22270; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:34:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9302700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04278 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:33:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181933.OAA08227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:33:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3588af8c62f70c91b0be57222392e653 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 076 AXPZ20 KNHC 181933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 18 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ...A 1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE...IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 23N130W. IT IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. ...A 1011 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 14N108W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 14N110W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...A 1010 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 11N92W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 12N93W. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE AS A SURFACE FEATURE. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 136W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 11N93W 10N102W 9N110W 7N120W 6N125W 7N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-97W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-83W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-125W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 102W-111W. OTHER SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 92W-97W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627649-25699>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:18:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30266; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:14:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9300267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA39956 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:13:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:13:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181613.LAA03826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:13:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fee3f36675af42b3840666b10f4fc15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 ABPZ20 KNHC 181610 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1791 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627683-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:34:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15040; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:32:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9298754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47190 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:30:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181330.IAA00086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:30:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 429218d5ec5e35108cb2f548553388a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 678 AXPZ20 KNHC 181329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 18 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ...A 1014 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE...IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 24N129W. IT IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. ...A 1011 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 13N107W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 14N108W. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1010 MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11N92W. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS NOW ALONG 101W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N90W 10N100W 12N107W 8N110W 7N120W 10N128W 7N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N92W 13N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-111W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 101W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N116W...AND OVER INLAND MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 17N96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N101W 19N104W 22N106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4798 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627812-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 18:14:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA47304; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 05:14:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 05:14:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA56200 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 05:13:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA28537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 05:13:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181013.FAA28537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 05:13:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 786f4a02797b474c69e980a87f22e0aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 295 ABPZ20 KNHC 181011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627587-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:16:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45126; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:14:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297102 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25140 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:14:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:14:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180714.CAA27404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:14:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c12ec6bad41d43bec8dc24af76fce2eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 310 AXPZ20 KNHC 180713 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 18 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ...A 1014 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE...IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 24N129W. IT IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. ...A 1011 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 13N104W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 13N107W. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W IS NOW ALONG 100W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0630 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N93W 9N105W 7N115W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 111W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ EAST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 102W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 95W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N115W AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 6N83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 6N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2509 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627579-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:23:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAB30828; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:21:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9295803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:21:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA09816 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:21:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:21:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180321.WAA25414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:21:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7dbc73c04e8b408d6eeac69da99987e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 934 ABPZ20 KNHC 180321 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627590-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:43:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA13048; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:42:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9294806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:41:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21632 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:41:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180141.UAA24441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:41:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e1cc90878c304b52afb9af30627cbf2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 AXPZ20 KNHC 180140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 18 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ...A 1013 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE...IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 25N128W. IT IS QUASISTATIONARY. ...A 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 12N103W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 13N104W. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W IS NOW ALONG 98W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 10N90W 11N100W 7N110W 7N120W 12N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 76W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN CLUSTERS FROM 6N-16N BETWEEN 84W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 121W-127W...AND FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 132W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA TO EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 85W-89W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627527-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 06:18:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA45136; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:16:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9293806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA58144 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:16:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA22452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:16:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808172216.RAA22452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:16:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6cc0375c041e45d8d3bb82f6084dd9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 ABPZ20 KNHC 172208 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:29:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22238; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:26:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9292405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26278 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:26:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:25:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171925.OAA18941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:25:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2c9936a60f7adff0654340122282624 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 811 AXPZ20 KNHC 171924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 17 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ...A 1013 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE...PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 25N127W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 25N128W. IT IS MOVING W 5-10 KNOTS. ...A 1011 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 10N101W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 12N103W. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W IS NOW ALONG 97W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N88W 8N95W 10N101W 8N110W 8N120W 10N126W 13N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-86W...WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-94W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N123W 8N125W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-109W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N89W...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 14N97W 16N96W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N102W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N113W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:18:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA18954; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 12:16:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9290842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 12:16:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA21748 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 12:16:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 12:15:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171715.MAA16269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 12:15:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca09e21e6802a6262ccf59e3937987f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 ABPZ20 KNHC 171713 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:39:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24670; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:35:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9287566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24762 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:32:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171332.IAA11589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:32:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b36d55362878e796491133d68bef5bc4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 AXPZ20 KNHC 171332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 17 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ...A 1013 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY GEORGETTE...IS CENTERED NEAR 25N127W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N101W. IT IS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 10N100W 7N105W 7N110W 9N120W 12N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-80W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N99W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-98W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10N134W 8N134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N123W 10N122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N88W 15N95W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627244-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 18:49:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA36776; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 05:33:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9285318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 05:24:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA60126 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 05:15:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA09961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 05:15:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171015.FAA09961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 05:15:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1586eee64285977baac16ec5d48ab294 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 285 ABPZ20 KNHC 171013 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 19:31:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA67672; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:25:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9285794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:25:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19816 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 02:32:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 02:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170732.CAA09015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 02:32:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78d51068651de283d0013581f641600b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 AXPZ20 KNHC 170732 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 17 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A LOW PRESSURE CENTER. THE LAST ADVISORY WAS WRITTEN AT 17/0300 UTC. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY GEORGETTE...IS CENTERED NEAR 25N127W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N98W. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W/94W IS NOW ALONG 95W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 28N FROM 120W TO 135W AND NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N90W 7N120W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 108W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 93W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WEST OF 138W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 88W IN EL SALVADOR TO 92W IN GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 111W FROM 14N TO 17N...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N99W...AND WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N135W TO TO 8N138W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO THE BORDER OF ECUADOR AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA TO 94W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2403 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625907-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 11:40:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40084; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:39:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9284042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:39:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA11122 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:39:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170339.WAA07714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:39:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b95c9245ab247b6064d65ddaa674d34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 611 ABPZ20 KNHC 170336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE. THE REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE WILL BE CARRIED AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH (TAFB) AT TPC UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03...AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626672-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:32:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24656; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA11070 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170225.VAA07166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcf12677e2be511cd1834cd64a1b1022 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 247 WTPZ23 KNHC 170226 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0300Z MON AUG 17 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 126.9W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 126.9W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 126.7W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.4N 127.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.7N 128.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.0N 129.5W...DISSIPATED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED ON GEORGETTE. THE REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE WILL BE CARRIED AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH (TAFB) AT TPC UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03...AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626672-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:26:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA27906; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA11248 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170225.VAA07157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:25:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Georgette Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57a14ce02102e453687ff4296d45b900 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 WTPZ43 KNHC 170224 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 GEORGETTE IS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION...AS IT HAS BEEN FOR THE LAST 18 HOURS OR SO. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION OF GEORGETTE CONSISTS OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 25 KNOTS. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS OVER COOL WATER...ABOUT 21 DEG C...AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WITH DISSIPATION BY 36 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE...BASED ON THE LAST 12 HOURS...IS 300/03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC STEERING UNTIL DISSIPATION. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON GEORGETTE. THE REMNANTS OF GEORGETTE WILL BE CARRIED AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH (TAFB) AT TPC UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03...AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 25.1N 126.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 25.4N 127.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 18/0000Z 25.7N 128.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 18/1200Z 26.0N 129.5W.............DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627041-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:41:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30212; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 20:37:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9282979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 20:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19172 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 20:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 20:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170129.UAA06522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 20:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1edd5e4cf8f89b151e3413369ccf96cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 962 AXPZ20 KNHC 170129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 17 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...CENTER NEAR 25.0N 126.7W AT 17/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 4 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KNOTS GUSTS 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N97W NOW NEAR 9N98W MOVING W 10 KT. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W NOW ALONG 93W/94W S OF 21N MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 28N W OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 22N TO 31N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N82W-8N105W-8N121W- 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 6N83W...WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W...AND BETWEEN 133W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 136W.5 ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS AT COLOMBIA COAST WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 4N77W...VICINITY BORDER OF EL SALVADOR...HONDURAS...AND NICARAGUA...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N87.5W...FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 108W AND 109W... AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 15N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION AT BORDER OF PANAMA/COLOMBIA WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 7.5N77W...ALONG COAST OF W PANAMA FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W...FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 100W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:31:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA64744; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 17:31:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9281798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 17:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA26828 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 17:30:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 17:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162230.RAA05272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 17:30:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 737694ecd937ab2b6b341b077f37860c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 ABPZ20 KNHC 162230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE CENTERED ABOUT 1060 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA53488; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9281107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60366 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162030.PAA04526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aec8bfef7fde929d8cb93337af893f0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 011 WTPZ23 KNHC 162030 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z SUN AUG 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 126.5W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 126.5W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 126.3W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 25.3N 127.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.7N 128.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 25.9N 129.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 126.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 26.1N 130.0W...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627000-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA21638; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9281082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22118 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162030.PAA04513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:30:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Georgette Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac5b85a0053bdb72a4fbfb4ff3c01dd7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 WTPZ43 KNHC 162030 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 THE SYSTEM REMAINS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/04 BASED ON THE PAST 24 HOURS OF MOTION. WITH VERY WEAK RIDGING TO THE NORTH...THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD DRIFT UNTIL DISSIPATION. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF SHIPS WITH 10 FOOT SEAS WITHIN ABOUT 200 NMI OF THE CENTER AND A RADIUS OF 150 NMI IS ESTIMATED FOR 12 FOOT SEAS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 24.9N 126.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 25.3N 127.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 17/1800Z 25.7N 128.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 18/0600Z 25.9N 129.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/1800Z 26.1N 130.0W DISSIPATED 72HR VT 19/1800Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626996-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:33:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA26846; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 14:31:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9280578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 14:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09914 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 14:30:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 14:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161930.OAA04076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 14:30:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b61ec5ae19c7687cc419578862f206e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 AXPZ20 KNHC 161931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 16 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 24.8N 126.3W AT 16/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY NEAR 12N97W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 12N99W. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W IS NOW ALONG 92W/93W N OF 8N MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... BROKEN/OVERCAST PRIMARILY LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 119W AND 133W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N87W 6N93W 7N100W 9N110W 10N113W 10N121W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-82W...AND WITHIN A 30-60 NM RADIUS OF 11N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W...WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-109W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N114W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N137W 11N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 80W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 79W-82W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:24:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA53414; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 11:12:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9278865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 11:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26772 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 11:12:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 11:12:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161612.LAA02511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 11:12:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78d34eedd07d6d89b38a623198ff90c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 350 ABPZ20 KNHC 161607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CENTERED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626922-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:47:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAB09828; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:41:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9278088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:41:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34822 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:40:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161440.JAA01847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:40:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 234a18b818f55d4ef59198834fd46efe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 666 WTPZ23 KNHC 161439 COR TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z SUN AUG 16 1998 CORRECTION TO PRESENT MOVEMENT...5 KNOTS...NOT 50 KNOTS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 126.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 126.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 126.1W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 25.0N 127.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.3N 128.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.5N 129.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 126.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 25.7N 130.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-25693>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24746; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9277978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14998 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161427.JAA01751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11899253bf9cf2122007d5ada2a7b208 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 385 WTPZ23 KNHC 161427 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z SUN AUG 16 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 126.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 50 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 126.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 126.1W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 25.0N 127.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.3N 128.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 25.5N 129.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 126.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 25.7N 130.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626920-25699>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:34:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24706; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9277970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13158 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161427.JAA01742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:27:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa9de7d89021518597fe3bf77e29c99d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 384 WTPZ43 KNHC 161427 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 ALTHOUGH THE CENTER FIXES HAVE BECOME RATHER UNCERTAIN ON INFRARED IMAGERY...ALL RECENT FIXES INDICATE A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/05. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE AVIATION MODEL 00Z 500 MB ANALYSIS WHICH SHOWS THAT THERE IS NOT MUCH OF A RIDGE LEFT TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD DRIFT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN ABSENCE OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION CONFIRMS THE CONTINUATI0N OF THE WEAKENING PROCESS OVER COLD WATER. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 24.7N 126.4W 35 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 25.0N 127.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 25.3N 128.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 18/0000Z 25.5N 129.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/1200Z 25.7N 130.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4771 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626923-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:38:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA52132; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:32:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9277650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26258 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:31:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:31:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161331.IAA01405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:31:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19d6e0f5e8d6e943453b047fa2a6ca23 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 AXPZ20 KNHC 161331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 16 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 126.1W AT 16/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1200 UTC... ...A 1009 MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 12N97W. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION ALONG 91W N OF 8N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... BROKEN/OVERCAST PRIMARILY LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 21N TO 32N BETWEEN 119W AND 134W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 7N100W 9N110W 10N120W 11N130W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N136W 11N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-104W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-79W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6N80W 10N87W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626673-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 18:21:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA60400; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 05:15:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9276899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 05:15:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49366 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 05:15:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 05:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161015.FAA10643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 05:15:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f204e8c0d3aadd78e7313e17ad6e1488 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 944 ABPZ20 KNHC 161011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CENTERED ABOUT 1040 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3557 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626255-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 16:37:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA34966; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:36:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9276621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52100 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:36:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:36:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160836.DAA09988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5f11d964ced67356b2e2fd25d07f5a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 WTPZ43 KNHC 160835 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS ESSENTIALLY NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH GEORGETTE. ALTHOUGH SOME LAYERS OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS LINGER OVER THE AREA...THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING PREDOMINANTLY A LOW CLOUD SWIRL. SINCE THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AROUND 22 DEG C...A CONTINUED SPINDOWN OF THE CIRCULATION IS FORECAST. GEORGETTE SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN A DAY OR TWO BUT COULD BE DOWNGRADED TO A LOW SOONER THAN THAT...AND CARRIED IN THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER HIGH SEAS FORECASTS. CENTER FIXES ARE SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN ON INFRARED IMAGES BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED SOMEWHAT...TO NEAR 8 KNOTS. A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST...ROUGHLY ALONG THE TRAJECTORY OF THE SHALLOW LAYER BETA AND ADVECTION MODEL... BAMS...BUT NOT AS FAST AS SHOWN BY THAT GUIDANCE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 24.6N 126.2W 40 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 25.1N 127.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 25.5N 129.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 26.0N 131.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/0600Z 26.5N 134.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-25693>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 16:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35040; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:32:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9276613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:32:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62924 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:32:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:32:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160832.DAA09961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:32:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 421daa53e83c18bfec7811a0b54688f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 287 WTPZ23 KNHC 160832 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0900Z SUN AUG 16 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 126.2W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 100SE 100SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 126.2W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 125.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 25.1N 127.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 25.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N 131.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 126.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 26.5N 134.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626452-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:19:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA56260; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 02:15:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9276354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 02:15:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26290 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 02:15:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 02:15:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160715.CAA09461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 02:15:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf3a6197ce74024972b2f3409f574bea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 AXPZ20 KNHC 160713 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 16 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM AT 16/0300 UTC. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 24.3N 125.3W AT16/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 21N TO 30N BETWEEN 122W AND 131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 6N90W 6N100W 9N110W 9N118W 5N128W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 90W AND FROM 110W TO 116W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 103W AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N137W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 8N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N89W TO 11N87W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-25693>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 12:19:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA53336; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:18:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9275527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:17:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28992 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:17:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160417.XAA08114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:17:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 080b35f7d2ea12c57b227fcccd1ae8f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 627 ABPZ20 KNHC 160416 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE...DOWNGRADED FROM A HURRICANE...CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 10:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29118; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:31:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9274690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62926 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:28:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:26:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160226.VAA07336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:26:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3ad6cd041325ae455cd47d5f6160e4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 WTPZ23 KNHC 160226 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0300Z SUN AUG 16 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 125.8W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 125.8W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 125.3W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.4N 127.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 26.5N 129.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 27.0N 131.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 125.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N 134.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4972 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626236-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 10:33:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12916; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9274678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:30:49 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19810 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA05008 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160225.VAA07332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb815ffcd7d3a3c88bea4c2ef866b944 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 WTPZ43 KNHC 160225 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 GEORGETTE IS RAPIDLY BECOMING A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND THERE ARE ONLY A FEW PATCHES OF WEAKENING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THIS TIME. LATEST ERS2 ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT WINDS ARE AROUND 45 KNOTS WHILE DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE DECREASING. THEREFORE ...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 45 KNOTS. SINCE GEORGETTE IS OVER COOL WATERS IT SHOULD WEAKEN TO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 300/11. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WHICH IS BEST DEPICTED BY BAM-SHALLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 24.6N 125.8W 45 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 25.4N 127.3W 35 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 26.5N 129.5W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/1200Z 27.0N 131.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/0000Z 27.5N 134.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-25699>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:44:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26226; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:41:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9274434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:41:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA67678 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:41:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:40:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160140.UAA06961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:40:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b78f1776dce964d35f1f8e108038c2c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 AXPZ20 KNHC 160138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 16 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTER NEAR 24.3N 125.3W AT 16/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KNOTS GUSTS 80 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AND IT IS LIKELY THAT IT WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM AT 16/0300 UTC. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W/106W NOW ALONG ALONG 107W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0100 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 25N126W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 22N TO 30N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-8N100W-8N116W- 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 6N82W-7N92W-9N102W...FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 110W AND 113W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 9N135W... 11N136W...AND 12N136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA FROM 8.5N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 84.5W AND 87W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS...WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES... AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 98W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-2678>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 05:58:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52210; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:56:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9273145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA29152 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:56:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA05295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:56:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808152156.QAA05295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:56:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6dcfa985d37a3fd3d649738260920196 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 266 ABPZ20 KNHC 152153 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 970 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626823-2678>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 04:27:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA53350; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:25:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9272676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:25:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA26708 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:25:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:25:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808152025.PAA04790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:25:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a730c020bd5de5f6b4d41412118d8dba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 813 WTPZ43 KNHC 152020 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED A LITTLE NEAR WHERE EXTRAPOLATION AND CONTINUITY WOULD PLACE THE CENTER AT 18Z. HOWEVER A HOLE IN THE CLOUDS HAS RECENTLY APPEARED TO THE SOUTH. THIS COULD BE THE CENTER...NOT AN EYE...OR IT COULD BE A SUCKER HOLE. A COMPROMISE INITIAL POSITION IS SELECTED WHICH GIVES AN INITIAL MOTION OF 305/10. THIS RESULTS IN A CONTINUATION OF THE GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD SPEED AND A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE LEFT. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS NOW SHOW A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD TRACK EXCEPT THE LBAR BAROTROPIC MODEL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. EVEN WITH THE SMALL CONVECTIVE BURST...DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SHOW WEAKENING. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AS GEORGETTE MOVES OVER COLDER WATER. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 24.3N 125.3W 65 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 25.1N 126.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 26.1N 128.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 27.0N 130.0W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 17/1800Z 27.8N 131.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/1800Z 28.5N 135.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-2678>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 04:29:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26132; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:24:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9272672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:24:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA16886 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:24:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808152024.PAA04786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:24:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d2de1f4808dc760e2a1ec529ad0250e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 812 WTPZ23 KNHC 152021 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z SAT AUG 15 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 125.3W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 50NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 125.3W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 124.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.1N 126.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 26.1N 128.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 27.0N 130.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 125.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.8N 131.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.5N 135.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1864 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626837-2677>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:28:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52170; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:26:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9272056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67766 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:26:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:26:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151926.OAA04210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:26:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 657e75f3fa163ac3cd4e08670aeddc09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 AXPZ20 KNHC 151922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 15 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 24.0N 124.8W AT 15/1800 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY IN VICINITY OF 105W/106W IS NOW ALONG 107W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1900 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 23N-25N BETWEEN 124W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 123W-126W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS EXTENDS FROM 20N-30N BETWEEN 116W-131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 11N92W 8N100W 7N110W 9N120W 11N130W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 89W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 82W-88W...AND FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 106W-117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 94W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 17N-22N BETWEEN 104W-108W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626775-2680>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:04:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA12800; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 11:02:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9270139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 11:02:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30442 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 11:02:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 11:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151602.LAA02676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 11:02:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53c2befdbe7d6b3b698ef6ce528a3a7a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 ABPZ20 KNHC 151601 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 910 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626741-2677>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:03:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA47288; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:01:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9269607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA12966 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:01:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA02341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151501.KAA02341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:01:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34e494b8f4fccca4da222069cea717e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 927 WTPZ43 KNHC 151501 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 GEORGETTE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER PROGRESSIVELY COLDER SSTS AND THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR THE CENTER. GALE WIND RADII ANALYSIS FROM KGWC USING DMSP IMAGERY IS THE BASIS FOR DECREASING THE WIND SPEED RADII FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/12. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...THE WEAKENING SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ON A NORTHWEST TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL STEERING. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 23.9N 124.3W 75 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 25.2N 125.5W 60 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 26.5N 127.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 17/0000Z 27.5N 129.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 17/1200Z 28.5N 130.6W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/1200Z 29.8N 134.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626775-2671>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:03:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14900; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:00:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9269579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:00:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA04322 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:00:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA02333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:00:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151500.KAA02333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:00:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e91dcfdbbe2952e194431997736abb7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 906 WTPZ23 KNHC 151500 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z SAT AUG 15 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 124.3W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 50NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 124.3W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 123.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.2N 125.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.5N 127.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 124.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 28.5N 130.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 29.8N 134.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626695-2678>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:33:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19016; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9268670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47156 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:31:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151331.IAA01548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:31:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8788084df966ce67c67075f971e4a6c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 168 AXPZ20 KNHC 151330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 15 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 23.5N 123.8W AT 15/1200 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY IN VICINITY OF 104W IS NOW ALONG 105W/106W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1300 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 121W-125W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS EXTEND FROM 20N-30N BETWEEN 115W-130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N90W 7N100W 8N110W 13N120W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 87W-95W...FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 91W-100W...AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 105W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 82W-88W...FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 112W-116W... FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 130W-135W...AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 138W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO N OF PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 20N-25N BETWEEN 105W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 94W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE LINE 16N103W TO 19N106W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626086-2671>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:38:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04184; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:37:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9267036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:37:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60230 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:37:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150837.DAA28851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:37:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2e21859c0930772c04496cfb3667cee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 WTPZ23 KNHC 150836 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0900Z SAT AUG 15 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 123.6W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 123.6W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 123.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.4N 125.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.0N 127.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 123.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 28.5N 131.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 29.5N 135.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626061-2677>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:37:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56120; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:36:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9267032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60198 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:36:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150836.DAA28847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:36:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb40fcc0907c0c3c9beabaec44342959 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 WTPZ43 KNHC 150835 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 15 1998 DEEP CONVECTION IS DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND IT IS BECOMING DIFFICULT TO DISCERN AN EYE ON IR IMAGERY. WHILE DVORAK CI NUMBERS AT 06 UTC WERE 5.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY WEAKEN OVER COOLER WATERS DURING THE WEEKEND. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER ABOUT 500 NM NW WEST OF GEORGETTE AND THIS COULD CONTRIBUTE TO A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT HEADING FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH WEAKENED AND MORE LIKELY STEERED BY LOWER LEVEL FEATURES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS BAMM THROUGH ABOUT 36 HOURS WITH A TRANSITION TOWARDS BAMS FROM 36-72 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 23.2N 123.6W 85 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 24.4N 125.2W 65 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 26.0N 127.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 27.5N 129.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 17/0600Z 28.5N 131.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/0600Z 29.5N 135.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626601-2677>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:57:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA11062; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:39:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9266850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA60404 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:38:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:38:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150738.CAA28458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 02:38:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd7f03b5f9d414d0e02a3dddf8890c98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 372 AXPZ20 KNHC 150736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 15 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 22.8N 123.1W AT 15/0600 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY IN VICINITY OF 102W IS NOW ALONG 104W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0630 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE FROM 18N TO 29N BETWEEN 117W AND 129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 121W AND 125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 7N110W 10N117W 13N124W 11N132W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N130W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 12N133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF AXIS FROM 95W TO 98W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 102W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 139W TO BEYOND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS CHARACTERIZES THE REMAINDER OF THE ITCZ EAST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N131W TO 11N135W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 94W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6.5N FROM 94W TO 97W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 9N TO 10N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM 21N TO 24N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 3.5N78.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1862 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626295-2678>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:42:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA23512; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 23:39:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9265535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 23:39:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA30406 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 23:39:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 23:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150439.XAA27063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 23:39:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88ac0a755f9c1948555a5a8abdfbad47 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 173 ABPZ20 KNHC 150438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 795 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4322 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626082-2677>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:27:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47236; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:25:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9263824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:25:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62834 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:25:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:25:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150225.VAA26111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:25:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddb0c492b34c070efb733264d212ec04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 119 WTPZ43 KNHC 150222 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 GEORGETTE IS MOVING OVER INCREASING COOLER WATERS...ALREADY OVER 23 DEGREES CELSIUS. THEREFORE...RAPID WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. THE EYE IS DISAPPEARING AND CONVECTION IS DECREASING QUICKLY. HOWEVER... NO SURPRISE IF CONVECTION TEMPORARILY REDEVELOPS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. T-NUMBERS STILL SUPPORT 85 TO 90 KNOTS SINCE DVORAK RULES DO NOT PERMIT SUCH A FAST WEAKENING. GEORGETTE IS LIKELY TO BE A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND PROBABLY WILL BE DECLARED DISSIPATED IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION IS 315/14. THIS GENERAL TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WEAKENS AND BECOMES STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TRACK MODELS ARE DIVERGENT BEYOND 36 HOURS WITH MOTIONS EITHER SLOW OR FAST AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST...NORTH AND WEST. THE BEST OPTION IS TO USE BAM-SHALLOW WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING AND ITS PROBABLY APPROPRIATE FOR A RAPID WEAKENING SYSTEM. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 22.4N 122.5W 85 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 23.7N 124.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 25.0N 126.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 26.0N 128.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 17/0000Z 26.5N 130.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 18/0000Z 27.5N 136.0W DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626291-2677>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 10:27:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26726; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:25:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9263820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:24:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62756 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:24:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:24:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150224.VAA26107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:24:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bddcccf2d2eaadbcb83f49e1adff1890 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 WTPZ23 KNHC 150224 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0300Z SAT AUG 15 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 122.5W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 122.5W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 122.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.7N 124.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 122.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 26.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N 136.0W...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626120-2671>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 09:51:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA11014; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:49:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9263372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:49:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47338 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:49:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150149.UAA25677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:49:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13d1c8616d8f591473a59192f86e4d6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 AXPZ20 KNHC 150147 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 15 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...CORRECTION TO GEORGETTE MAXIMUM WINDS... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 21.9N 122.0W AT 15/0000 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY IN VICINITY OF 101W/102W IS NEAR 103W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0100 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SYSTEM LOSING DEEP CONVECTION RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. RAIN BANDS BECOMING LESS DISTINCT WITH TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER IN WESTERN QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PRESENT ELSE- WHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER IN NORTHERN QUADRANT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS DENOTING OUTFLOW SEEN FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 120W-127W...AND FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 8N100W 11N115W 15N120W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-99W AND 129W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-105W AND 123W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-111W AND WEST OF 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE NORTHERN PANAMA WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 8N82W 8N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 19N-21N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4264 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-2671>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 09:31:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA61450; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:29:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9263114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA23442 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150127.UAA25561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:27:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26871d97f615dc041ce659997495b4f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 AXPZ20 KNHC 150126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 15 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 21.9N 122.0W AT 15/0000 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY IN VICINITY OF 101W/102W IS NEAR 103W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0100 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SYSTEM LOSING DEEP CONVECTION RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. RAIN BANDS BECOMING LESS DISTINCT WITH TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF EYE IN WESTERN QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PRESENT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF EYE...EXCEPT WITHIN 90 NM EYE IN NORTHERN QUADRANT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS DENOTING OUTFLOW SEEN FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 120W-127W...AND FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 8N100W 11N115W 15N120W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-99W AND 129W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W-105W AND 123W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-111W AND WEST OF 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OFFSHORE NORTHERN PANAMA WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 8N82W 8N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 19N-21N. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627613-10071>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 05:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA13134; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:57:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9261329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA13096 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:56:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA23335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808142156.QAA23335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:56:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83ebe77d7d8cad2fb760f9f760278f9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 294 ABPZ20 KNHC 142153 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 775 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627616-10071>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 04:30:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA42980; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9259962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA42824 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:26:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808142026.PAA21685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:26:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f7eb4d2b71753470ebfe23f7a1e134f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 WTPZ43 KNHC 142023 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 DVORAK T NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 4.5 BUT THE CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS REMAIN AT 5.5 OR NEAR 100 KNOTS. THE WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 95 KNOTS AT 21Z BASED ON A WEAKENING TREND AND COLD SSTS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN GEORGETTE TO A DEPRESSION BY 72 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/15. SOME OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE DEEP BAM...THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL P91E...AND THE LBAR...SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. HOWEVER GEORGETTES EXPECTED WEAKENING SHOULD RESULT IN A MORE WESTWARD STEERING BY THE LOWER LEVEL FLOW AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A GRADUAL MORE WESTWARD MOTION ALONG WITH SOME DECELERATION...SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A SHIP REPORT OF 20 KNOTS AT A POSITION ABOUT 80 NMI NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AT 18Z SUGGESTS THAT THE 34-KNOT WIND SPEED RADIUS OF 175 NMI IS TOO LARGE. HOWEVER THE SAME SHIP HAD RATHER HIGH SEAS AND COULD BE BETWEEN CONVECTIVE BANDS. SO THE RADIUS IS LEFT AT 175 MILES IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT UNTIL THERE IS ADDITIONAL CONFIRMATION OF A SMALLER RADIUS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 21.4N 121.8W 95 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 22.8N 124.5W 90 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 24.6N 125.9W 75 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 25.5N 128.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 26.2N 130.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 26.7N 135.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4771 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627528-10072>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 04:30:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67614; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:25:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9259948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67838 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:25:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:25:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808142025.PAA21675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:25:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9063afb3894dd18af2efd43e44a7bad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 702 WTPZ23 KNHC 142024 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z FRI AUG 14 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 121.8W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 121.8W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 121.2W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.8N 124.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.6N 125.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 121.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 26.2N 130.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 26.7N 135.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-10071>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:45:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24708; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:42:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9259558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24682 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:42:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141942.OAA20763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:42:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50cb9ad56c705a00304e07f81c4d6344 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 181 AXPZ20 KNHC 141940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 14 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 121.2W AT 14/1800 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS IN VICINITY OF 101W/102W NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND MEXICO MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1900 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N90W 13N100W 11N110W 13N118W 12N125W 10N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-85W...WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-98W...WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-105W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 76W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 21N107W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627471-10073>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 01:07:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA36786; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 11:59:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9257478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 11:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19100 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 11:59:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 11:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141659.LAA17101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 11:59:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdda001e55bb2c8f43d295d773dad2c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 ABPZ20 KNHC 141658 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 715 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627462-10071>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 22:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11032; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:50:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9255612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30460 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:50:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:50:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141450.JAA13964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:50:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 720221499e8cde72e5e0da70d7b75cb8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 WTPZ23 KNHC 141449 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z FRI AUG 14 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 120.7W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 120.7W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 120.2W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.9N 122.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.6N 124.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.7N 127.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 120.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 25.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 26.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-10072>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 22:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30774; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:49:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9255590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22556 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:49:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141449.JAA13936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76a431ca616e1841f8e850eef8528beb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 577 WTPZ43 KNHC 141448 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SUGGESTS THAT GEORGETTE/S INTENSITY HAS PEAKED. ALTHOUGH THE 30 NMI EYE REMAINS WELL-DEFINED SURROUNDING CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED. THE CONVECTION WEST/SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER HAS ALSO ERODED. LATEST SST ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT GEOGRETTE IS NOW OVER 25 DEG C WATERS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 100 KNOTS...PER DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES THE GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND NOTED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. GEORGETTE CONTINUES ON A NORTHWEST HEADING WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SPEED. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/15 KNOTS. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 350 NMI NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GEORGETTE MAY BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MORE NORTHWESTERLY COURSE THE LAST 18 HOURS OR SO. THE AVIATION MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THIS TROUGH WILL DRIFT WESTWARD AND WEAKEN. BAM DEEP..LBAR...THE GFDL AND THE UKMET TRACK GUIDANCE INDICATE A NORTHWEST MOTION WITH A TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS...ALL AT VARIOUS SPEEDS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK MAINTAINS A NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH 24 HOURS WITH A SLOWER WEST-NORTHWEST/WEST HEADING THEREAFTER AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND LOWER LEVEL STEERING TAKES OVER. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 20.4N 120.7W 100 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 21.9N 122.4W 90 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 23.6N 124.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 24.7N 127.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 25.5N 129.5W 45 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 26.0N 134.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1811 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626986-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:35:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28004; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:33:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9254908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA28998 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:33:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141333.IAA12111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:33:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 613d4dc4573bd00a49faedbb93b778a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 AXPZ20 KNHC 141331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 14 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 19.9N 120.2W AT 14/1200 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS IN VICINITY OF 99W/100W NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND MEXICO MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1300 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N90W 10N100W 11N110W 13N118W 12N120W 11N130W 11N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-80 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-94W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-130W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO BEYOND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 21N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N94W 16N92W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 22N112W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626167-10071>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 18:29:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA19866; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 05:27:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9253462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 05:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA62600 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 05:27:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 05:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141027.FAA10479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 05:27:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef6adbd55521003173deed93c828b67e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 ABPZ20 KNHC 141025 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 670 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627311-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:28:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56200; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:27:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29040 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:26:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140826.DAA09730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:26:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36f608c3b5fbfd3d31044a62fa56892d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 WTPZ23 KNHC 140826 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0900Z FRI AUG 14 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 119.6W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 119.6W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.4N 121.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.6N 122.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...275NE 125SE 100SW 275NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.7N 124.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 119.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 23.7N 127.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 24.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4717 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 16:27:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41780; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:25:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28962 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:25:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:25:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140825.DAA09717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:25:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 227684fc7703d461feb06123689da743 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 WTPZ43 KNHC 140825 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 14 1998 THE EYE IS QUITE LARGE...30-35 NMI IN DIAMETER AND IS SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF DEEP CONVECTION. INTERESTINGLY...THERE IS ALMOST NO VERY DEEP CONVECTION ELSEWHERE. THE WIND SPEED IS AGAIN ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KT AS IMPLIED BY THE 5.5 TAFB AND SAB T-NUMBERS. GEORGETTE TOOK A JOG TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. IT HAS COME BACK A LITTLE BUT A SMOOTHED VERSION OF ITS MOTION SINCE LAST EVENING GIVES A HEADING OF ABOUT 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT. THE WIND AND 12 FT SEAS RADII NW OF CENTER HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON THE OBSERVATIONS FROM SHIP KGTI AT 03Z AND 06Z. IT IS HARD TO RECONCILE THE RECENT MOTION WITH FEATURES ANALYZED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OR SHOWN IN THE 00Z AVN INITIALIZATION. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION... PERHAPS CLOSED...TO THE NNW OF THE HURRICANE. IT MIGHT BE RELATED TO THE VORTEX NOTED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS AND THE CIRCULATION ON THE SE SIDE OF IT COULD BE HELPING TO ACCELERATE GEORGETTE ON A MORE NORTHWARD HEADING. THIS MIGHT BE TEMPORARY. OTHERWISE...THE AVN LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS. THE TRACK MODELS COVER THE HEADINGS FROM W TO NW AND HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DIFFERENCES IN SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SLOW BEND BACK TOWARD WNW AND GRADUAL DECELERATION. THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE WILL BE CROSSING THE 25C SST ISOTHERM TOWARD COOLER WATERS IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO COMMENCE SHORTLY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 19.2N 119.6W 100 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 20.4N 121.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 21.6N 122.9W 85 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 22.7N 124.9W 65 KTS 48HR VT 16/0600Z 23.7N 127.1W 45 KTS 72HR VT 17/0600Z 24.5N 131.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-10071>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:32:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26822; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:30:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15282 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:30:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140730.CAA09308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:30:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d2c7f40a68fe755ff6c943e78a10ba5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 141 AXPZ20 KNHC 140728 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 14 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 18.8N 119.1W AT 14/0600 UTC. IT WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS IN VICINITY OF 97W/98W NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND MEXICO MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 115W TO 130W AND NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0630 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 7N100W 10N110W 11N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W AND FROM 122W TO 128W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 98W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF A LINE FROM 10N88W TO 11N92W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO FROM 25N TO 28N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 3.5N78.5W AND A 45 NM RADIUS OF 8N79.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N103W TO 10N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N132W TO 6N133W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626486-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:02:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA14596; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 23:58:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 23:58:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA23536 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 23:58:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 23:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140458.XAA08199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 23:58:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92222c5c3163122b83dd318490681401 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 381 ABPZ20 KNHC 140458 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 660 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625942-10073>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 10:26:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37714; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA34366 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140224.VAA07127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 220847568953cfcfd21dd3b4b40e4d98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 570 WTPZ43 KNHC 140222 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 GEORGETTE HAS A DISTINCT EYE AND EXCELLENT BANDING FEATURES ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES. SUBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 5.0 AND 5.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. CI OBJECTIVE AND RAW NUMBERS ARE OSCILLATING AROUND 5.4 AND 6.0 RESPECTIVELY... SUGGESTING THAT WINDS ARE PROBABLY 100 KNOTS. SINCE THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE IS ALREADY THERE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST. HOWEVER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN IN ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 300/11. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE...SO A CONTINUED WET-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED. A TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST IS POSSIBLE AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS AND GEORGETTE WEAKENS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE GFDL. THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK BUT IN GENERAL THE MODELS APPEAR TO BE EITHER TOO FAST OR TOO SLOW. THE BEST OPTION IS THE GFDL WHICH IS IN THE MIDDLE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 18.0N 118.6W 100 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 18.6N 120.3W 100 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 19.7N 122.2W 90 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 20.5N 124.5W 75 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 21.5N 127.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 22.5N 132.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627279-10071>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 10:26:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53300; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA34338 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140224.VAA07118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:24:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d16505ac8d392d5fd447d2547687f2e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 546 WTPZ23 KNHC 140223 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0300Z FRI AUG 14 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 118.6W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 118.6W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 118.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.6N 120.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.7N 122.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 118.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 21.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-10072>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12960; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:43:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:43:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42894 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:43:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:43:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140143.UAA06698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:43:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c359456c9ca81b6aeca80b660d2ea66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 822 AXPZ20 KNHC 140140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 14 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE CENTERED NEAR 17.6N 118.2W AT 14/0000 UTC. IT WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS IN VICINITY OF 95W/96W NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND MEXICO...AND MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0100 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW WELL DEFINED SYMMETRY IN OVERALL STRUCTURE WITH EXCELLENT EYE DEFINITION AND OUTFLOW. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF EYE IN SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF EYE IN ALL OTHER QUADRANTS. OUTER RAIN BAND DEPICTED BY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 13N118W 15N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 116W-120W DEFINES ANOTHER OUTER RAIN BAND. CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 21N112W ON EAST SIDE OF THIS RAIN BAND. EYE DIAMETER...36 NM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N90W 10N100W 10N110W 12N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 133W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W-96W...106W-108W AND 124W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 99W-102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER EASTERN PORTION OF EL SALVADOR EXTENDING TO NORTHWEST NICARAGUA...AND OFFSHORE FOR 60 NM. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF MEXICAN COAST FROM 99W-100W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM 103W-105W...OFFSHORE CENTRAL PANAMA WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 7N81W...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 21N112W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627410-20944>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 06:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22736; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 17:10:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9248820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 17:10:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA11174 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 17:10:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 17:10:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808132210.RAA04842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 17:10:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e6659eef6daa78dca15d747ce6883bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 ABPZ20 KNHC 132204 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-20944>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 04:37:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26830; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:35:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9247942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:35:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57774 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:35:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:35:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808132035.PAA02253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:35:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2018776cfdd2f6daa6ba473a28f21ec8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 449 WTPZ23 KNHC 132034 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z THU AUG 13 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.8W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.8W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 117.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.8N 119.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.8N 121.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.7N 123.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 117.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 22.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627405-20947>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 04:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14694; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:33:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9247914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:33:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57668 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:33:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808132033.PAA02172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:33:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 020e4111e60b7a5af9680731269aa9c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 WTPZ43 KNHC 132032 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 AN EYE HAS NOW BECOME EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING THAT GEORGETTE HAS STRENGTHEN. DMSP 85 GHZ SATELLITE DATA SUGGESTED AN EYE-TYPE FEATURE EARLIER. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 4.5 AND 5.0... RESPECTIVELY WHILE OBJECTIVE- BASED DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE 4.7. THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY IS PUSHED UPWARDS TO 85 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST TREND FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IS MAINTAINED WITH GEORGETTE WEAKENING BEYOND 24 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS 23/24 DEG C WATERS. A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION HAS CONTINUED TODAY...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/11 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF GEORGETTE SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND ONCE AGAIN MOST OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS CLUSTERED AROUND THIS HEADING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THIS SCENARIO...AND IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 17.1N 117.8W 85 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 17.8N 119.2W 95 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 18.8N 121.2W 95 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 19.7N 123.6W 75 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 20.5N 126.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 22.0N 132.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-20944>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:19:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA12936; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:17:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9257728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA53364 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:17:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:17:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131917.OAA00427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:17:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb19112e4107c5b807990ff32bc08ff5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 239 AXPZ20 KNHC 131916 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 13 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE IS CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 117.3W AT 13/1800 UTC. IT WAS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS CURRENTLY ALONG 94W/95W NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1900 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 116W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 115W-120W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FOUND IN FEEDER BANDS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 109W-112W...AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 115W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 9N100W 11N110W 10N120W 8N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 77W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 90W-95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST S MEXICO FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 93W-105W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2766 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-20947>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 00:32:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22640; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 11:30:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9256230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 11:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19038 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 11:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 11:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131630.LAA26900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 11:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b02596e20a9d4caca7b944c6d8be124b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 761 ABPZ20 KNHC 131629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 22:43:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47146; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:40:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9255253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:40:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA19900 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131439.JAA24321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9a6091b1ef92e25b1b0c14fb92c3914 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 928 WTPZ43 KNHC 131439 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 GEORGETTE HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS OR SO. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC...DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY NEAR THE CENTER. SATELLITE-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB BEAR THIS OUT WITH DVORAK T-NUMBERS REMAINING STEADY AT 4.5...75 KNOTS. THUS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH 24 HOURS WITH WEAKENING COMMENCING BEYOND 36 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES COOLER WATERS. GEORGETTE SEEMS TO HAVE SETTLED INTO A WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/10 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOST OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION WITH THREE NOTABLE OUTLIERS...NOGAPS...GFDL AND THE AVIATION. THE GFDL AND AVIATION SHOW A MORE WESTWARD TRACK POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SPURIOUS VORTEX LOCATED ABOUT 5 DEG SOUTHWEST OF GEORGETTE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWING A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 16.5N 116.9W 75 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 17.3N 118.5W 80 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 18.3N 120.8W 85 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 19.2N 123.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 20.2N 125.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 21.5N 131.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627366-20944>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 22:43:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47304; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9255249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29100 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131439.JAA24317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:39:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae38e1e0294e53b895af49e8545d435a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 927 WTPZ23 KNHC 131438 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z THU AUG 13 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.9W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.9W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 116.4W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.3N 118.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.3N 120.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.2N 123.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 116.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 20.2N 125.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627295-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 22:04:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19026; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:02:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9255013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:02:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28984 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:02:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:02:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131402.JAA23476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:02:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 200d994c5beee3348e755d044c4a1023 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 256 AXPZ20 KNHC 131400 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 13 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 116.4W AT 13/1200 UTC. IT WAS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS CURRENTLY ALONG 91W/92W NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1300 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 113W-119W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FOUND IN FEEDER BANDS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 112W-116W...AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 114W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 9N100W 9N110W 10N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 77W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 86W-90W...AND FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 104W-106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND S MEXICO WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE LINE 10N89W-14N98W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE LINE 14N98W-9N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 86W-90W...AND FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 104W-106W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3831 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-20944>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 18:34:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA29096; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 05:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9253763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 05:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA42898 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 05:31:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA20944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 05:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131031.FAA20944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 05:31:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0485afc85a08c41e82485eb4161adda9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 ABPZ20 KNHC 131030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1885 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627161-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 16:32:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA34320; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:30:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9253384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:30:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64766 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:30:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130830.DAA19892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:30:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af4636eb1d4990a080f697c59aa59056 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 601 WTPZ23 KNHC 130829 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0900Z THU AUG 13 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 116.2W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 116.2W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.7N 117.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.8N 120.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 116.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 20.1N 125.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 22.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627254-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 16:33:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30400; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:29:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9253380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64684 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130829.DAA19876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0b85ad117f370e717245b74cbdad7e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 599 WTPZ43 KNHC 130828 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 13 1998 CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION INCREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY INCREASING THE INITIAL WIND SPEED FROM 75 KT. THE SYSTEM RETAINS A SMALL CDO THAT...WHEN COMBINED WITH THE PRINCIPAL CONVECTIVE BAND...APPEARS IN IR IMAGERY IN THE SHAPE OF THE NUMBER 6. A SEPARATE SHORTER BAND IS NOTED TO THE SE OF THE CENTER. THE HEADING IS 295 DEGREES...AT 12 KT. THE 06Z AVN MAINTAINS A TWO-CELLED ANTICYCLONE FROM THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHWEST OF GEORGETTE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IMPLIES A TRACK TOWARD THE WNW. THE NHC TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE FORECAST FROM 6 HOURS AGO AND ALONG THE CONSENSUS OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE BUT WITHOUT AS MUCH ACCELERATION AS SHOWN BY THE BAM OUTPUT. IF THE TRACK FORECAST IS GENERALLY CORRECT...THEN THERE IS ANOTHER 36 HOURS OR SO AVAILABLE FOR STRENGTHENING. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 15.9N 116.2W 75 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 16.7N 117.8W 80 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 17.8N 120.3W 85 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 19.0N 123.0W 90 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 20.1N 125.9W 70 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 22.0N 131.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627063-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:36:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA42964; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:34:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9253163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53186 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:34:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130734.CAA19347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:34:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd8a8b1e13792192b264bf87f150586d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 651 AXPZ20 KNHC 130733 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 13 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE IS CENTERED NEAR 15.7N 115.6W AT 13/0600 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ...THE WEAK 1017 MB LOW HAS DISSIPATED. ...TROPICAL WAVE IS CURRENTLY ALONG 90W NORTH OF 11N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0630 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 9N100W 9N110W 8N116W 9N126W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE AZUERO PENINSULA OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 127W AND WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60/90 ALONG THE COAST FROM 88W IN EL SALVADOR TO 91W IN GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N100W 12N97W TO 13N95W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 108W FROM 17N TO 19N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15N IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 93W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 6.5N EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 3N TO 4N EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-14568>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 13:15:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22566; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:11:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19032 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:00:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:00:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130500.AAA18035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:00:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 626f2f1d117af55bb94623cb1a766f5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 663 ABPZ20 KNHC 130459 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626871-28399>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 10:24:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22250; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:21:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:21:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA11222 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:21:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:21:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130221.VAA16635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:21:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b0f6ebd271a619f614333e8cc4d0344 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 896 WTPZ43 KNHC 130220 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 GEORGETTE CONTINUES AS A BANDING TYPE HURRICANE WITH AN EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE EYE IS NOT OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGES YET BUT T-NUMBERS FROM SAB AND TAFB HAVE INCREASED TO 4.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THE WINDS ARE THEN ADJUSTED TO 75 KNOTS IN THIS ADVISORY. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. INITIAL MOTION IS 305/12. MOST OF THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE WILL EXPAND WESTWARD. THEREFORE...THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TRACK MODELS...INCLUDING THE LATEST GFDL SUGGEST A GRADUAL TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 15.5N 115.1W 75 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 16.5N 116.5W 85 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 17.5N 118.5W 100 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 19.0N 120.5W 100 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 20.0N 122.5W 75 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 22.0N 127.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627187-28399>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 10:20:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22046; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:17:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:17:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49164 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:17:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130217.VAA16617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:17:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b823436a612c590bbb78732dd73812d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 823 WTPZ23 KNHC 130216 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0300Z THU AUG 13 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 115.1W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 115.1W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 120.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 115.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 22.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627014-28399>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA56306; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:46:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:46:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA49370 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:46:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130146.UAA16220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:46:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 808c448dd499c9d729fc3bcd820b8ef0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 171 AXPZ20 KNHC 130143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 13 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE GEORGETTE WAS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 114.6W AT 13/0000 UTC. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0000 UTC... ...WEAK 1017 MB LOW...FORMERLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK...IS LOCATED NEAR 28N126W MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KNOTS AS IT BECOMES LESS IDENTIFIABLE WITH TIME. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0100 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... WELL DEFINED SYSTEM AS EVIDENT IN BANDING STRUCTURE AND OUTFLOW PATTERN. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM NORTH OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION DEFINE A RAIN BAND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N116W 15N114W. AN OUTER RAIN BAND IS NOTED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 115W-116W...AND FROM 17N-18N BETWEEN 113W-116W. AREAS OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER IN EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 9N100W 11N115W 7N125W 11N130W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W-89W...AND 100W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS MOVING NORTH OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 29N112W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FORM 20N-21N. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OFFSHORE NORTHERN...EL SALVADOR...COSTA RICA AND COLOMBIA FROM 4N-6N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627147-5894>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 05:53:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA15168; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:50:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9248917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA27942 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:50:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA13882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:50:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808122150.QAA13882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:50:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26fc5c7eff6d57daa27fe76d28ef5fa3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 062 ABPZ20 KNHC 122149 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-5894>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 04:53:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15106; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:50:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9248155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11244 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:50:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:50:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808122050.PAA12667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:50:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6449127569b65233d9d761f44ba16f41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 WTPZ23 KNHC 122049 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z WED AUG 12 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 113.8W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 113.8W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.1N 115.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.6N 117.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.9N 118.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 113.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-5887>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 04:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56184; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:49:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9248141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:49:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64562 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:48:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:48:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808122048.PAA12641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:48:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7818133133023458b8d113e58486c4e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 WTPZ43 KNHC 122048 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 GEORGETTE IS A GOOD EXAMPLE OF A BANDING-TYPE HURRICANE. THE SYSTEM HAS A LARGE ENVELOPE AS INDICATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SHIP REPORTS. A SHIP LOCATED ABOUT 205 NMI NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER ...ID KGTI...REPORTED AN E WIND OF 20 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 16 FT. BASED ON THIS DATA THE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WIND AND 12-FOOT SEA RADII HAS BEEN MODIFIED. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE IN AGREEMENT... AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. WITH WELL-ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW AND NO OBVIOUS FACTORS TO HINDER DEVELOPMENT...GEORGETTE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND SHOULD BEGIN AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS...NEAR 22 DEG C BY 72 HOURS. GEORGETTE HAS CONTINUED ON A NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH THE DAY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/11 KNOTS. THE MID- TO UPPER- LEVEL LOW POSITIONED ABOUT 450 NMI NORTH OF GEORGETTE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH A RIDGE BUILDING TO ITS EAST. THIS SYSTEM IS HAVING LITTLE IMPACT ON THE HURRICANE...PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ...AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. THE 18Z TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS MORE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A GENERAL NORTHWEST TRACK MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST SHOWS THIS SCENARIO...AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH BAM DEEP AND NHC91. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 15.1N 113.8W 70 KTS 12HR VT 13/0600Z 16.1N 115.1W 85 KTS 24HR VT 13/1800Z 17.6N 117.0W 100 KTS 36HR VT 14/0600Z 18.9N 118.8W 90 KTS 48HR VT 14/1800Z 20.5N 121.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 15/1800Z 23.0N 125.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-5894>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 03:30:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA37808; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 14:27:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9247117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 14:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19088 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 14:27:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 14:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121927.OAA10927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 14:27:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ce93c619add55f0339e6d04d83e2115 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 598 AXPZ20 KNHC 121925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 12 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE HAS INTENSIFIED TO HURRICANE STRENGTH. HURRICANE GEORGETTE IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 113.4W AT 12/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/ MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1015 MB LOW...ARE CENTERED NEAR 29N125W MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS AND WEAKENING. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1900 UTC... HURRICANE GEORGETTE... THE HURRICANE HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS THE DAY HAS PROGRESSED WITH GOOD BANDING FEATURES PREVALENT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N114W-16N112W. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-18N BETWEEN 110W-117W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN A BAND TO THE EAST OF THE HURRICANE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N106W-16N105W -19N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N89W 7N103W 9N115W 7N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-87W...AND 98W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-98W ...AND WEST OF 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N94W-13N91W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 23N106W-26N109W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N133W EXITING THE REGION NEAR 13N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N108W-19N118W...AND 14N123W- 11N134W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4874 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627150-5887>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:08:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA64762; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:06:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9245920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:04:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44670 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:04:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121804.NAA09044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:04:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe775788510606e8ef5383b34f6c4034 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 ABPZ20 KNHC 121802 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-5894>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 23:20:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA19836; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:16:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9243616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:16:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA14788 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:12:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121512.KAA04801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:12:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a66be52835e6f83cbe487b332a80e94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTPZ23 KNHC 121511 COR TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z WED AUG 12 1998 ...CORRECTION TO ADD 64 KT WIND RADII... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.9W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 100SW 180NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.9W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 114.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 115.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 112.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 23.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4008 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627088-23839>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 23:09:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAB26238; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:06:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9243512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA47134 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:05:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:05:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121505.KAA04635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:05:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6425c323f0c60aef39b0cb4d9e19b20d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 183 WTPZ43 KNHC 121502 TCDEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 GEORGETTE HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY THIS MORNING WITH A WELL- DEFINED BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB ARE NOW 4.0...65 KNOTS... AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 65 KNOTS. THIS MAKES GEORGETTE THE 4TH HURRICANE OF THE EAST PACIFIC SEASON. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES THE STRENGTHENING TREND THROUGH 24 HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING BEYOND 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS 23/24C WATERS. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME (SHIPS). A SHIP LOCATED ABOUT 180NM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A SSE WIND OF 25 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 15 FT. ACCORDINGLY...THE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WIND AND 12-FOOT SEA RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED. SATELLITE PICTURES THIS MORNING SUGGEST THAT GEORGETTE/S FORWARD MOTION HAS INCREASED...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 310/ 10 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW LOCATED ABOUT 460NM NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD...AS FORECAST BY THE AVIATION MODEL. THIS SHOULD KEEP GEORGETTE ON A MORE NW TRACK HEADING. MOST OF THE 12Z TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION...AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REFLECTS THIS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BAM DEEP AND NHC91. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 14.2N 112.9W 65 KTS 12HR VT 13/0000Z 15.3N 114.0W 75 KTS 24HR VT 13/1200Z 16.8N 115.7W 85 KTS 36HR VT 14/0000Z 18.5N 117.5W 85 KTS 48HR VT 14/1200Z 20.0N 119.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 15/1200Z 23.0N 123.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627071-23839>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 23:06:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26300; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:04:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9243500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA34412 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:04:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121504.KAA04602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:04:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 807f45d57cb0b513f76333893565a1d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 WTPZ23 KNHC 121503 TCMEP3 HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z WED AUG 12 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.9W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 100SW 180NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.9W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 114.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 115.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 112.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 23.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-23839>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:38:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA23514; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:33:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9242286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA50110 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:33:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121333.IAA02241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:33:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fd628953deb587f7cf423f1eac94660 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 AXPZ20 KNHC 121331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 12 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE IS CENTERED NEAR 13.8N 112.6W AT 12/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/ MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1200 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1015 MB LOW...ARE CENTERED NEAR 29N124W MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS AND WEAKENING. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1245 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 109W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 110W-118W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS IN A BAND TO THE EAST OF THE STORM WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N103W-18N109W-21N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N89W 6N97W 10N113W 7N127W 12N137W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 2N-10N EAST OF 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-110W...AND 118W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 90W FROM 7N-13N. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N105W-25N108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N122W-14N132W EXITING THE REGION NEAR 13N140W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627127-23846>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 18:34:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30332; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:32:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9240660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA19306 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:32:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:32:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121032.FAA00233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:32:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33a96060000ddaf1d628bc70de507fdc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 ABPZ20 KNHC 121030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 665 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1093 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627717-14077>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:27:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30306; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9240064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19278 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120825.DAA29139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c7b93755aa6b885adee47c647037597 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 WTPZ23 KNHC 120825 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0900Z WED AUG 12 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 111.6W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE 100SW 180NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 111.6W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 111.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.3N 112.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 113.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.1N 114.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 111.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 20.3N 116.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 24.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627709-14083>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:26:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28992; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9240060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19246 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120825.DAA29130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:25:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1a43107d525a27b9e2ca67046ef2f76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 WTPZ43 KNHC 120824 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 12 1998 THE TRACK HAS EDGED A LITTLE MORE TO THE RIGHT...315/7 KT... PRESUMABLY IN RESPONSE TO THE INTERACTION BETWEEN GEORGETTE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NOW CENTERED ABOUT 500 NM TO THE NORTH. GEORGETTE HAS A SMALL...BUT GROWING...SPOT OF DEEP CONVECTION AT THE ESTIMATED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND A STRONG BAND OF CONVECTION THAT WRAPS INTO THE CENTER FROM THE SW-S-E-N. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT INCREASING THE WIND SPEED TO 50 KT. A SHIP ABOUT 160 NM NE OF THE CENTER REPORTED 25 KT WINDS AND 15 FT SEAS AT 0600 UTC. THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST HAD THE TRACK OF GEORGETTE WRAPPING AROUND THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW...WHICH THE AVN FORECASTS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD. THE 00Z GFDL AND AVN HAVE SIMILAR SOLUTIONS TO THAT SEQUENCE OF EVENTS...SHOWING A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN AN ACCELERATION BACK TOWARD THE NW. IT IS NOT CLEAR...HOWEVER...WHETHER THEY DO SO BECAUSE OF THE UPPER LOW OR... INSTEAD...BECAUSE OF A RESIDUAL MODEL VORTEX INITIALIZED BY THE AVN NEAR 12N 119W. THE NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE OFFICIAL TRACK OF 6 HOURS AGO AND ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE...BETWEEN GFDL AND P91E IN BOTH POSITION AND SPEED. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS CLOSE TO SHIFOR/S. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 13.4N 111.6W 50 KTS 12HR VT 12/1800Z 14.3N 112.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 13/0600Z 16.0N 113.4W 65 KTS 36HR VT 13/1800Z 18.1N 114.7W 65 KTS 48HR VT 14/0600Z 20.3N 116.6W 65 KTS 72HR VT 15/0600Z 24.0N 121.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627013-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:45:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23356; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:41:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9239950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:40:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA47146 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:40:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:40:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120740.CAA28667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:40:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfd7f887fe49da1c8507f9cde4fa85e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 142 AXPZ20 KNHC 120739 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 075 UTC WED 12 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ..COR FOR POSITION OF T.S. GEORGETTE/PRELIM SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS.. SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CENTER NEAR 13.1N 111.4W AT 12/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1015 MB LOW...NEAR 29N123W MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS AND WEAKENING. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0600 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-6N96W-10N130W- 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR/COASTAL SECTIONS OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W..WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 4N78W AND 8N76W...9N85W... 8N87W...AND 8N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N88W NEAR BORDER OF EL SALVADOR/HONDURAS/NICARAGUA...AND FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 134W AND 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 15N122W- 14N123W-13N126W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625931-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:38:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30506; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:35:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9239928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39702 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:35:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120735.CAA28653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:35:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45193472ea3b6475e96f791f2650a1dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 062 AXPZ20 KNHC 120734 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 075 UTC WED 12 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CENTER NEAR 12.5N 110.9W AT 12/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1015 MB LOW...LOCATED NEAR 29N122W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS AND BECOMING LESS IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH 0F 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0600 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-6N96W-10N130W- 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR/COASTAL SECTIONS OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W..WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 4N78W AND 8N76W...9N85W... 8N87W...AND 8N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N88W NEAR BORDER OF EL SALVADOR/HONDURAS/NICARAGUA...AND FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 134W AND 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 15N122W- 14N123W-13N126W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625944-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:58:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22656; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:56:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9239068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39790 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120456.XAA27157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c49d4c4b9cddb42a41e1aa7b86b7ab8f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 979 ABPZ20 KNHC 120456 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE...CENTERED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-27605>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:51:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA61530; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:50:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9237908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45646 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:49:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:49:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120249.VAA25849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:49:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ac7044830b0d48347b03f2bbf167b97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 697 WTPZ23 KNHC 120248 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0300Z WED AUG 12 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.1W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.1W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.0N 111.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.5N 112.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.7N 113.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 111.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 19.2N 115.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 24.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 10:50:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26366; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:48:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9237869 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA61674 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:48:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120248.VAA25839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:48:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 132a6dc08fa28cf6c0ab323294ee4667 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 WTPZ43 KNHC 120247 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES EARLY THIS EVENING SHOW THAT GEORGETTE HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN. T-NUMBERS ARE 3.0/3.0/2.5 FROM TAFB/GLOBAL/SAB RESPECTIVELY. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 45 KNOTS. THE OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY THE DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AS SEEN IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR STRENGTHENING TO HURRICANE IN 24 HOURS BUT LITTLE CHANGE AFTER THAT...IN LINE WITH SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE. GEORGETTE IS INTERACTING WITH THE DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED TO ABOUT 5 KNOTS AND IS CONTINUING TO TAKE ON MORE OF A NORTHERLY COMPONENT IN DIRECTION THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/05. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD. LATEST GUIDANCE FROM THE BAMD...GFDL...NAVY NOGAPS AND P91 MODELS SUGGEST A SLOW FORWARD MOTION UNTIL THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES TO THE WEST AND THEN AN INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AND A MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED TRACKS AND IS SOMEWHAT TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 12.6N 111.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 13.0N 111.7W 55 KTS 24HR VT 13/0000Z 14.5N 112.4W 65 KTS 36HR VT 13/1200Z 16.7N 113.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 19.2N 115.3W 65 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 24.0N 120.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626420-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 09:44:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA47278; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:43:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9236895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:43:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37786 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:41:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120141.UAA25133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:41:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cfb63383aab7a6202bd28b860396905 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 AXPZ20 KNHC 120140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 12 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE AT 11/2100 UTC. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 12.5N 110.9W AT 12/0000 UTC...AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1015 MB LOW...LOCATED NEAR 29N122W. IT IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS AND BECOMING LESS IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH 0F 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE... SYSTEM BECOMING BETTER DEFINED WITH TIME AS DEPICTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER IN WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 14N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18N108W 18N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N92W 7N100W 12N101W 13N107W 7N128W 9N135W 13N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-94W ...AND 102W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-123W AND 138W-139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN OVER NORTHERN COAST OF COSTA RICA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER BORDER OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-27178>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 06:47:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA60258; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:46:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9235370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA58192 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:46:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808112246.RAA23262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:46:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 3 Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d655501e1c11d6d5cf3e05fbf1d529ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 630 WTPZ23 KNHC 112246 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z TUE AUG 11 1998 ...COR ..ADD OR ADJUST 50 KT RADII FOR ALL FORECAST TIMES.. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.3N 112.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.2N 113.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.3N 115.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 111.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 19.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-27178>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 06:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52050; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:43:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9235348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:43:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19008 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:43:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808112243.RAA23232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:43:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 3 Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f18390f53f93bcafada6a858c97bdf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 603 WTPZ23 KNHC 112243 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z TUE AUG 11 1998 ...COR ..ADD OR ADJUST 50 KT RADII FOR ALL FORECAST TIMES.. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.3N 112.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 250NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.2N 113.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.3N 115.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 111.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 19.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-27605>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 07:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52104; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:35:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9235269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:35:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAB36724 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:35:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:35:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808112235.RAA23171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:35:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3162b041d44e9eb75a5c02d8ed7e3ed3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 ABPZ20 KNHC 112233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE...FORMERLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E... CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627601-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:02:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49286; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:59:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9234437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA47214 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:59:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:59:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808112059.PAA21163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:59:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aadbb076a16708548e855be3e75d3f58 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 674 WTPZ43 KNHC 112058 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES THIS AFTERNOON SHOW THAT TD EIGHT-E HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY. THE SYSTEM HAS IMPRESSIVE BANDING FEATURES AND THE CENTER IS UNDER AN EXPANDING CDO. THUS... TD EIGHT-E IS BEING UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE WITH THE INITIAL INTENSITY SET AT 40 KNOTS. THE OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE REMAINS HINDERED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH/LOW NORTH OF THE SYSTEM PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING THROUGH 72 HOURS...IN LINE WITH DVORAK DEVELOPMENT CURVES. RECENT SATELLITE FIXES SHOW THAT GEORGETTE NOW HAS A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/ 7 KNOTS. PREDICTING THE FUTURE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM IS SOMEWHAT COMPLICATED. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF GEORGETTE MAY BE WEAKENED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD. THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A NORTHWEST TO NORTH MOVEMENT BUT THIS IS PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO A SPURIOUS VORTEX INITIALIZED ABOUT 7 DEG WEST OF GEORGETTE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST MOTION BY 72 HOURS. THIS IS MIDWAY BETWEEN BAM DEEP AND LBAR...AND IS ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 12.6N 111.0W 40 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 13.3N 112.1W 50 KTS 24HR VT 12/1800Z 14.2N 113.7W 60 KTS 36HR VT 13/0600Z 15.3N 115.2W 70 KTS 48HR VT 13/1800Z 16.5N 117.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 14/1800Z 19.0N 121.0W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1385 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627584-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 05:01:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22250; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:58:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9234423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:58:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA47284 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:58:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:58:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808112058.PAA21143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:58:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Georgette Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b8a3ca40f8879ebc19856b25485f3cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 652 WTPZ23 KNHC 112058 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 2100Z TUE AUG 11 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 111.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.3N 112.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.2N 113.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.3N 115.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 111.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 19.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627578-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 03:35:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29172; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:31:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9233504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA58336 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:31:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111931.OAA19163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:31:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b66937f6e7433d686b9d95a1eb77da6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 517 AXPZ20 KNHC 111930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 11 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 110.6W AT 11/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 29N121W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH 0F 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 108W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N93W 9N110W 7N124W 9N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 4N98W-11N100W-16N102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N130W EXITING THE REGION NEAR 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N95W-13N89W...AND 14N106W-19N108W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627565-16608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:01:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23418; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:53:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9232156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:53:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA37726 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:53:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:53:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111753.MAA16538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:53:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d98da9a1aa9efa5aabeeef13ec4bffea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 ABPZ20 KNHC 111746 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS BEGUN ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...CENTERED ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1714 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626980-6858>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:00:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26270; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9230290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:57:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22544 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:56:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111456.JAA12063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:56:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1986296c63b67f4ff870594a89f2d0f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 WTPZ43 KNHC 111452 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E HAS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND IS NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN VICINITY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...LATEST VISIBLE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER IS ON THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF THIS CONVECTION. THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED IN THE NW QUADRANT...DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW ABOUT 10 DEG NORTH OF TD 8-E...AND GOOD ELSEWHERE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 30 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY WITH THE SYSTEM LIKELY TO ATTAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING TREND IS FORECAST ...IN LINE WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/9 KNOTS. THE AVIATION MODEL MAINTAINS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SUGGESTING A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. THE 12Z TRACK GUIDANCE MODEL SUITE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ON A GENERAL WEST- NORTHWEST HEADING...AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REFLECTS THIS. THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 12.3N 110.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 12.8N 111.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 13.7N 113.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 13/0000Z 14.5N 115.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 13/1200Z 15.5N 117.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 14/1200Z 17.5N 121.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-6858>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:01:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA51998; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:56:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9230212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39976 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:55:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111455.JAA12038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6da4bd67ae3f10c6b58ee414dab0b01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 197 WTPZ23 KNHC 111451 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 1500Z TUE AUG 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 110.5W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 110.5W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 12.8N 111.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.7N 113.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 110.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626959-6858>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 22:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA23396; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:50:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9230101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:49:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34478 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:49:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111449.JAA11927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:49:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09829f8d0c18b9afed7fc9174e21b977 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 147 AXPZ20 KNHC 111442 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION COR TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 11 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... ...CORRECTION FOR ITCZ... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11N110W HAS INTENSIFIED AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E HAS FORMED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 110.3W AT 11/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W/101W IS WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND IS LONGER DISCERNIBLE AS A SEPARATE FEATURE. ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 30N121W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH 0F WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N109W-10N111W. IN ADDITION SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 106W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 8N100W 9N110W 7N120W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-91W...ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N99W-15N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-131W. ...ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 123W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N83W-12N90W...AND 18N101W-15N109W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-6864>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 21:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA62960; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 08:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9229215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 08:29:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA37720 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 08:29:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 08:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111329.IAA10319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 08:29:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 081d8ad80e40160627d82d042c205396 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 AXPZ20 KNHC 111326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 11 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11N110W HAS INTENSIFIED AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E HAS FORMED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 110.3W AT 11/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ23 KNHC/MIATCMEP3 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W/101W IS WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE NEWLY DEVELOPED TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND IS LONGER DISCERNIBLE AS A SEPARATE FEATURE. ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 30N121W. IT IS DRIFTING WEST. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH 0F WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N109W-10N111W. IN ADDITION SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 106W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 8N110W 9N110W 7N120W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-91W...ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N99W-15N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-131W. ...ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 123W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N83W-12N90W...AND 18N101W-15N109W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3285 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627697-491>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 18:44:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA23460; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 05:39:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 05:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA28050 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 05:39:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 05:39:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111039.FAA08341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 05:39:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46a1570bcff919e0d10d296b6490482d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 015 ABPZ20 KNHC 111037 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEGUN ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...CENTERED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP3. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627017-18911>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 16:48:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57002; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:46:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19864 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:46:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110845.DAA07437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1de00f3308c5c603a34446761b722eb9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 128 WTPZ23 KNHC 110845 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0898 0900Z TUE AUG 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 109.8W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 109.8W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 12.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.3N 112.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.1N 114.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 109.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 14.9N 115.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626893-18911>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 16:49:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19842; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26222 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110845.DAA07433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:45:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90d8d1ffcad41c32d53808a5a075cbc5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 123 WTPZ43 KNHC 110844 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 1998 AN AREA OF CONCENTRATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE FAR TO THE SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SOME THIN BANDING FEATURES ARE NOTED AS WELL...MAINLY TO THE W-WNW OF THE CENTER. TAFB AND SAB GIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 2.0+ AND 2.5...RESPECTIVELY...SO THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WITH 30 KT WINDS. POSITION ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN JUMPING AROUND A BIT AND SOME ADJUSTMENT TO INITIAL MOTION...300/9 KT...AND TRACK MAY BE REQUIRED WHEN VISIBLE PICTURES BECOME AVAILABLE LATER. THE 00Z AVN SHOWS A LARGE AND STRONG ANTICYCLONE PERSISTING TO THE NORTH OF THE TD THROUGH 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD SUGGEST A WEST TO WNW FORECAST TRACK...AS INDICATED BY THE AVN-BASED GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THOSE TRACKS AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE BAMM AND CLIPER. FUTURE INTENSITY OF SYSTEM POTENTIALLY GOVERNED BY SEVERAL FACTORS. CURRENTLY...THE TD SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE UNDER NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR...WITH BAM GUIDANCE IMPLYING STRONG NW SHEAR BY THE END OF THE 3-DAY PERIOD. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED JUST WEST OF CABO CORRIENTES. AVN FORECASTS INDICATE THAT THIS FEATURE COULD EVENTUALLY INTERACT WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AT CLOSE TO THE RATE INDICATED BY SHIFOR. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 11.8N 109.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 12.5N 111.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 13.3N 112.4W 45 KTS 36HR VT 12/1800Z 14.1N 114.1W 50 KTS 48HR VT 13/0600Z 14.9N 115.7W 55 KTS 72HR VT 14/0600Z 16.5N 118.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-2428>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:45:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52140; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:44:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:44:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19866 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:44:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:44:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110744.CAA06756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:44:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed524196439a177aef603e4564ed51c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 AXPZ20 KNHC 110743 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 11 AUG 1998 ...COR FOR ITCZ AXIS AND RELATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE DEVELOPING NEAR 11N110W MOVING W 10 KT. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W/100W NOW ALONG 100W/101W MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...REMNANTS OF T.D. FRANK...1015 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NEAR 30N120W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ...1016 MB QUASI-STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 21N133W. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0700 UTC... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N110W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 108.5W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS REST OF WATERS FROM 7N TO 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-8N98W-8N114W- 8N126W-13N132W-12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 78.5W AND 80.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 97W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 78W...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 102W...WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 13N97W...AND FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 99W AND 100W. ...ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N124W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:04:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA27920; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:00:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9225925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:00:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52214 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:00:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:00:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110400.XAA04650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:00:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 235c01677209d766634f5a756a39d39b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 ABPZ20 KNHC 110359 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY GETTING ORGANIZED AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626445-2428>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30492; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:36:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9224378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA49930 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:36:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110136.UAA02707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:36:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 265d2c0d016244796592075dab5f9c5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 014 AXPZ20 KNHC 110135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 11 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W/98W IS NOW ALONG 99W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1011 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 11N108W IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 12N108W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1015 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY FRANK...IS CENTERED NEAR 29N119W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...A 1016 MB LOW DEVELOPED NEAR 21N133W. IT IS MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 3N92W 8N100W 12N105W 10N110W 8N114W 8N120W 10N125W 14N130W 12N133W 12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-106W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-123W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 135W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-87W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 96W-101W...AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23N109W 31N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 103W-107W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625966-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 07:11:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA50166; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 17:32:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9222999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 17:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA30904 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 17:31:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA00306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 17:31:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808102231.RAA00306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 17:31:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed8bd99b3fa3706f1f39817d3e473baa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 ABPZ20 KNHC 102231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-24987>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:33:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23402; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:30:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9221467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA40002 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:30:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101930.OAA25785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:30:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 645b4b2adb2e050ef7a3afbc60ca97fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 475 AXPZ20 KNHC 101929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 10 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1010 MB LOW...CENTERED NEAR 11N108W AT 10/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W IS NOW ALONG 97W/98W MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1015 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY FRANK...IS CENTERED NEAR 29N119W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THE 1015 MB LOW. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1830 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 106W TO 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N83W 5N96W 13N106W 7N120W 13N135W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 140W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 118W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13.5N FROM 130W AND 131W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N109W TO 19N105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N FROM 95W TO 102W AND WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 12N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N FROM 92W TO 95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N81W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-23298>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 01:19:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56264; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:18:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9218655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:17:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19114 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:17:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:17:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101617.LAA20700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30f160b9e7f95e155f58b0e940407bd5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 ABPZ20 KNHC 101613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3815 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-9476>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 21:27:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA41894; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:19:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9216779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:19:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA61576 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:19:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:19:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101319.IAA16100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:19:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d12417a9c95ade4d8710493484ef23c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 AXPZ20 KNHC 101317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 10 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W. THE 1012 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 11N95W HAS DISSIPATED. THE WAVE IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N107W MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ...A 1015 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY FRANK...IS CENTERED NEAR 29N118W. IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N92W 9N103W 11N110W 10N118W 13N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 112W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 81W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 139W TO BEYOND 140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N106W TO 10N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N FROM 92W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF MEXICO. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 8N TO THE COAST OF COSTA RICA BETWEEN 84W AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N116W TO 6N110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N110W TO 7N107W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626636-10183>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 18:17:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA62830; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 05:16:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 05:16:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA62554 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 05:16:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 05:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101016.FAA14698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 05:16:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d75e2da04c11c904d049dfa83e9a09af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 ABPZ20 KNHC 101013 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-10190>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:39:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26146; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:38:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:38:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39182 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:38:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100738.CAA13361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:38:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bb7b5106c6e33fb444dfa0a4cfd6610 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 AXPZ20 KNHC 100736 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 10 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK HAS DISSIPATED AND NOW EXISTS AS 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N118W MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0600 UTC... ...1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N106W MOVING W 15 KT. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 21N91W-15N93W-8N94W NOW ALONG 95W WITH POORLY DEFINED 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N95W...MOVING W 10 KT. ...1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N106W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0700 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-10N108W-10N119W- 14N129W-10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 12N119W-13N107W-8N105W-6N109W-12N119W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS W OF 138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 12N94W...WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 18N104W- 17N102W...AND FROM 25N TO 26N BETWEEN 108W AND 109W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626395-5544>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 12:19:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20868; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:17:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9214143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:17:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA37744 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:17:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:17:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100417.XAA11830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:17:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95408fdc61a286ce4a3719784cfcf955 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 152 ABPZ20 KNHC 100415 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK TO A LOW PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE ISLAND OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 10:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20910; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:34:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA37784 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100234.VAA11006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:34:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dba6b03fbd471300885ef65700f7e542 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 WTPZ42 KNHC 100233 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH IS FILLED WITH STRATIFIED CLOUDS. INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 25 KNOTS. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS OVER COOL WATER AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST DISCUSSION ON FRANK UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FRANK WILL BE CARRIED AS A WEAK LOW IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/10. ALL TRACK PREDICTION MODELS SHOW EITHER A NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE ADVECTING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. JARVINEN INITIAL POSITION AND MAX WIND INITIAL 10/0300Z 28.8N 117.6W 25 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 10:32:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20746; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19192 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100231.VAA10975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6861d17d0027e3cbe6d0e1bfef7e7728 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 155 WTPZ22 KNHC 100231 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0300Z MON AUG 10 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISSIPATES AND BECOMES A LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28.8N 117.6W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...LOW LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 117.6W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 117.1W THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON FRANK UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL BE CARRIED IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2 AND WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 10:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA60078; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA67730 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100231.VAA10971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:31:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fee55f56d218d7dfaf2961a12a47f45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 WTPZ32 KNHC 100231 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 ...FRANK DISSIPATES... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...FRANK DISSIPATED AND BECAME A LOW PRESSURE CENTER. THE LOW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...70 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE ISLAND OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA. THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. ALTHOUGH WELL-REMOVED FROM THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...28.8 N...117.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON FRANK ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. THE LOW WILL BE CARRIED IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER THE AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2 AND WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:47:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA13178; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9212628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22118 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100145.UAA10551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction... To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b9e3645041ccdc02120647bcd6e72c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 324 AXPZ20 KNHC 100143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION... TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 10 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS CENTERED NEAR 28.6N 117.1W AT 10/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC...CORRECTION TO LOW PRESSURE POSITION... ...A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 9N104W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 8N94W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 15N92W IS NOW ALONG 21N91W 15N93W 8N94W WITH A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 9N94W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0130 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK... NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED NEAR THE CENTER OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 32N113W 32N116W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM 26N TO BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 112W-122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 4N86W 7N95W 11N100W 7N110W 9N120W 13N127W 11N135W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N96W 18N101W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23N107W 30N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N80W 11N84W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 20N104W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-5544>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:39:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62926; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:37:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9212559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44730 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:37:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:37:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100137.UAA10512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 20:37:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a5ed0b5b4ee46a1e003ea21d5124619 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 150 AXPZ20 KNHC 100136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 10 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS CENTERED NEAR 28.6N 117.1W AT 10/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ...A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 9N107W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 8N94W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 15N92W IS NOW ALONG 21N91W 15N93W 8N94W WITH A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 9N94W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0130 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK... NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED NEAR THE CENTER OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 32N113W 32N116W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM 26N TO BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 112W-122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 4N86W 7N95W 11N100W 7N110W 9N120W 13N127W 11N135W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION PARTIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N96W 18N101W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23N107W 30N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8N80W 11N84W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 20N104W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625865-5544>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 07:00:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39384; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 17:59:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9211254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 17:59:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA64708 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 17:59:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA09178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 17:59:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092259.RAA09178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 17:59:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c93a2ba93ec8f25ed400cfd1864ff6f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 213 ABPZ20 KNHC 092258 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE ISLAND OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:35:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22126; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:34:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA37710 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:31:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092031.PAA08197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:31:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e22655f5b85219da769314aeae26360d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 WTPZ22 KNHC 092031 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 2100Z SUN AUG 09 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 116.4W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 116.4W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 116.0W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 29.3N 117.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.3N 119.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N 120.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N 116.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627139-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:34:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22036; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:34:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA50954 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:30:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092030.PAA08180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:30:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1dc6a99c67c18ce9468c9f188b420714 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 WTPZ42 KNHC 092030 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHOUT MUCH DEEP CONVECTION. THE CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER IS WELL DEFINED ON VISIBLE IMAGERY AND REMAINS PRETTY MUCH ON THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...THIS IS A WEAK SYSTEM AND IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THE CENTER IS NOT THAT IMPORTANT. RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY CONCERN. INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 25 KNOTS. MUCH OF THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY OVER COOL WATER...SO CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE CARRIED AS A DEPRESSION FOR A WHILE LONGER. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY CEASE SOMETIME TONIGHT AND FRANK WILL BE CARRIED AS A WEAK LOW ON THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST. THE NAVY NOGAPS LOOSES THE CIRCULATION COMPLETELY WITHIN 36 HOURS WHILE THE GFDL DISSIPATES IT ALMOST IMMEDIATELY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/10. ALL TRACK PREDICTION MODELS SHOW EITHER A NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. OUR TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID- LEVEL BAM GUIDANCE. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED MORE BY THE LOW- LEVEL FLOW...THE ACTUAL TRACK COULD BE EVEN FURTHER TO THE LEFT THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE ADVECTING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/2100Z 28.3N 116.4W 25 KTS 12HR VT 10/0600Z 29.3N 117.6W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 10/1800Z 30.3N 119.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 11/0600Z 31.0N 120.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627139-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:31:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22182; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:30:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41792 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:29:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092029.PAA08161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:29:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9aed7e0f9a8c973c8bb7b30dfb620ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 729 WTPZ32 KNHC 092029 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK SPREADING RAINS OVER SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.4 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA SAN ANTONIO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AS FRANK MOVES OVER COOL WATER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH WELL-REMOVED FROM THE DEPRESSION CENTER...RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE SPREADING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...28.3 N...116.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4081 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627096-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:16:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41776; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:14:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9209614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA42764 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:14:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091914.OAA07620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:14:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ea6d60b7c8a327fd31f76482f5c0de9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 AXPZ20 KNHC 091906 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 09 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 116.0W AT 09/1800 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W IS NOW FROM 8N94W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 15N92W WITH A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N92W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1830 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK... NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NORTH OF 26N FROM 110W TO 119W COVERING PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N86W 12N91W 12N100W 7N112W 8N120W 12N124W 11N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W AND FROM 105W TO 109W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 119W AND WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 114W...AND FROM 116W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W...FROM 138W TO BEYOND 140W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 137W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N95W TO THE AXIS NEAR 12N98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 93W TO 95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 27N148W TO 25N150W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N102.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626939-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 00:23:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22750; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 11:21:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9208449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 11:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22220 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 11:21:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 11:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091621.LAA06381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 11:21:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af4f7a2e55c7c3062e92b968a2120ac2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 ABPZ20 KNHC 091613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 50 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:50:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04278; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:47:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:46:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30462 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:44:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:44:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091444.JAA05529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:44:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b8ff331f876b9b285d9a4db5337aea1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 064 WTPZ22 KNHC 091443 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 1500Z SUN AUG 09 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 115.7W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 115.7W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS RELOCATED NEAR 27.1N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 28.6N 117.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.5N 119.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 121.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 115.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4971 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626681-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:48:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62582; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:46:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA51142 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091443.JAA05525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f42a0114edeac5d9c6ed63c3adfa967a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 062 WTPZ42 KNHC 091443 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHOUT MUCH DEEP CONVECTION. THE CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED...AND IN FACT...THE SATELLITE FIXES HAVE JUMPED ABOUT 100 MILES TO THE WEST BETWEEN 0900Z AND 1200Z. THEREFORE...THE CENTER IS RELOCATED ON THIS ADVISORY AND THE TRACK IS SHIFTED WELL TO THE LEFT. LUCKILY...THE CENTER IS NOT THAT IMPORTANT SINCE FRANK IS A WEAK SYSTEM. RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY CONCERN. INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 30 KNOTS. MUCH OF THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY OVER COOL WATER...SO CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WERE DISCONTINUED EARLIER ...THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE CARRIED AS A DEPRESSION FOR A WHILE LONGER. WITHIN 24 HOURS OR SO...ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY CEASE AND FRAN WILL BE CARRIED AS A LOW ON THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST. IT IS NOTED THAT THE GFDL DISSIPATES FRANK WITHIN ABOUT 18 HOURS. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE NIGHTTIME CENTER FIXES...BUT BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 310/11. IT LOOKS LIKE FRANK IS FINALLY DOING WHAT MOST OF THE MODELS PREDICTED...TURNING AWAY FROM LAND. AS STATED EARLIER...THE CURRENT TRACK IS SHIFTED WELL TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID- LEVEL BAM GUIDANCE. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED MORE BY THE LOW- LEVEL FLOW...THE ACTUAL TRACK COULD BE EVEN FURTHER TO THE LEFT THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA AND THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE ADVECTING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 27.4N 115.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/0000Z 28.6N 117.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 10/1200Z 29.5N 119.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 11/0000Z 30.0N 121.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4880 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:47:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62478; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:45:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30386 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091443.JAA05520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:43:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a92368e2ffcd709f7db8f177137b7e70 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 060 WTPZ32 KNHC 091442 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 ...FRANK SPREADING RAINS OVER SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MEXICO... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS RELOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 115.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS FRANK MOVES OVER COOL WATER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ALTHOUGH WELL-REMOVED FROM THE DEPRESSION CENTER...RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE SPREADING OVER OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA...FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...27.4 N...115.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626681-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:21:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39376; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:19:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:19:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24750 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:19:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:19:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091319.IAA05021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:19:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30ec3a6d57f401224b3676a38a28b59a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 AXPZ20 KNHC 091313 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 09 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 09/0900 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS CENTERED NEAR 26.9N 113.6W AT 09/0900 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE IS CURRENTLY ALONG 90W WITH A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N90W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK... NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS OBSERVED. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM NORTH OF 23N FROM 110W TO 120W COVERING PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA PENINSULA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N88W 9N104W 6N111W 11N129W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 121W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 117W AND FROM 118W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 130W...FROM 131W TO 133W...AND FROM 134W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N101W TO 14N100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N FROM 92W TO 95W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 10N TO TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 92W...AND NORTH OF 9N TO 12N FROM 92W TO 94W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N115W TO 10N118W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 99W FROM 13N TO 16N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 20N TO 23N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3961 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626580-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 18:39:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30458; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:37:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:36:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA67796 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:36:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA03896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:36:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091036.FAA03896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:36:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9aa9299c73b5c61abd08abfd8878f366 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 ABPZ20 KNHC 091033 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2004 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626491-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 16:34:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14896; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:33:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30238 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:33:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090833.DAA03156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:33:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d23965d7bf1d9e5cf27ad741bf8becc7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 397 WTPZ42 KNHC 090832 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 THE CENTER APPEARS TO HAVE MOVED INLAND OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FRANK IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS LIKELY DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH BAJA...AND FRANK IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATING IN 24-36 HOURS ALTHOUGH IT COULD DO SO EVEN SOONER THAN THAT. MOTION ESTIMATE IS NNW...340/10. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ROUGHLY MAINTAINS THIS MOTION FOR 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS COURSE...THE REMNANTS OF FRANK WOULD BE NEAR THE U.S. DESERT SOUTHWEST IN 36 HOURS OR SO. THIS IS ON THE EAST SIDE OF OUR OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE TRACKS...WHICH HAVE BEEN OF LITTLE USE FOR FRANK. HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA TODAY...AND SHOULD SPREAD OVER PARTS OF ADJACENT MAINLAND MEXICO. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD ADVECT MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 26.9N 113.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 09/1800Z 28.4N 114.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 10/0600Z 30.5N 114.7W 25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 10/1800Z 32.5N 115.5W 20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626519-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 16:35:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56082; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:32:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30462 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:32:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:32:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090832.DAA03152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:32:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b5bd7b7511260a4eb64cb3a05754f0a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 352 WTPZ22 KNHC 090831 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0900Z SUN AUG 09 1998 ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 113.6W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 113.6W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 28.4N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.5N 114.7W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 32.5N 115.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 113.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626403-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 16:32:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA51162; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:30:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA20908 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:30:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090830.DAA03134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:30:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Frank Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b27cf9aebcf29c02bee1a8f217abeee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 WTPZ32 KNHC 090829 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998 ...FRANK MOVES INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA...WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER LAND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUED TODAY...KEEPING THE CENTER OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...26.9 N...113.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1039 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:44:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41772; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:40:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:40:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA62476 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:40:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:40:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090740.CAA02727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:40:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dc8ae5d4d9162bdd8daf85a026859e7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 556 AXPZ20 KNHC 090739 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 09 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTER NEAR 26.4N 113.4W AT 09/0600 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPZ22 KNHC/MIATCMEP2 FOR MORE DETAILS. IT IS LIKELY THAT T.S. FRANK WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY 09/0900 UTC. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N89W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0700 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FRANK... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-9N90W-8N106W- 7N111W-13N126W-8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS W OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 16N94W-14N97W-15N98W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626092-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:00:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14906; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:57:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9205752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:57:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA50984 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:57:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090557.AAA01967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:57:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26b73807b3fe7c15d8ed83830b77a145 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 WTPZ32 KNHC 090557 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 ...FRANK NEAR THE COASTLINE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST. THIS POSITION IS VERY NEAR THE COAST ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA ABREOJOS AND ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN BAJA COASTLINE IN A FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...26.4 N...113.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:34:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA62588; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:31:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9205180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:31:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19012 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:30:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090430.XAA01277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:30:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69deab533f0e319df7a585ac4e5b6c04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 963 ABPZ20 KNHC 090430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA59944; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:38:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9204103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:38:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA43000 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090237.VAA00355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d2ba14c2b3420a09bb120ef507ca175 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 WTPZ22 KNHC 090237 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0300Z SUN AUG 09 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 113.4W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 113.4W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 28.1N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 30.5N 114.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.0N 115.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 113.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:43:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA59926; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:38:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9204099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA42994 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090237.VAA00350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:37:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f228bffe31430c919f82b1bace6136ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 906 WTPZ42 KNHC 090236 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 FRANK APPEARS TO HAVE INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION TO ABOUT 13 KNOTS SO THE INITIAL MOTION IS 345/13. THIS SHOULD BRING THE STORM INLAND OVER BAJA IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IGNORES THE MODEL GUIDANCE...AS FRANK HAS BEEN DOING... AND MOVES THE SYSTEM RIGHT UP THE BAJA GRADUALLY WEAKENING IT AND DISSIPATING IT IN 36 HOURS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.. INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 35 KNOTS. WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AT LANDFALL. THE 200 MB WIND PATTERN APPEARS FAVORABLE TO ADVECT MOISTURE FROM FRANK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. IN ABOUT 24 TO 36 HOURS. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 26.2N 113.4W 35 KTS 12HR VT 09/1200Z 28.1N 114.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 10/0000Z 30.5N 114.8W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 10/1200Z 33.0N 115.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:38:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA41954; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:36:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9204095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:36:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA42958 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:36:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090236.VAA00340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:36:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43a512abb34e54c8d79611a453b909c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 859 WTPZ32 KNHC 090235 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 ...FRANK APPROACHING BAJA COASTLINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE WESTERN BAJA COASTLINE IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...26.2 N...113.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3464 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-29046>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62718; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 20:34:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9203452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 20:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAB44990 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 20:33:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 20:33:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090133.UAA29798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 20:33:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14051089fe96ad2396d0b9b9103b1dc7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 564 AXPZ20 KNHC 090132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 09 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM FRANK IS CENTERED NEAR 25.6N 113.2W AT 09/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ...1012 MB LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9N87W. IT IS MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FRANK... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE CENTER PRIMARILY IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN RAIN BANDS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23N115W 25N113W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23N112W 26N111W 26N112W 26N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N84W 7N90W 10N100W 6N110W 12N119W 11N130W 7N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9N91W 10N94W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-105W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N93W 17N94W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N88W OVER EL SALVADOR...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N97W 17N100W...AND OVER MEXICO FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 99W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO FROM 21N-28N BETWEEN 100W-110W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-27687>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:00:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA39950; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:58:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9202616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:58:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA41976 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:58:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA28879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:58:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082358.SAA28879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:58:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Intermediate Advisory Number 9a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91aa5d213a6167c6d970058039004db2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 658 WTPZ32 KNHC 082358 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM...NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK HAS INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. IF THIS SPEED AND DIRECTION CONTINUE FRANK WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS ON THE WESTERN BAJA COASTLINE. THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES FRANK UP THE BAJA PENINSULA... OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...WHICH SHOULD DISRUPT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CAUSE WEAKENING TO OCCUR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL... AFTER WHICH WEAKENING WILL TAKE PLACE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...25.6 N...113.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-27687>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 07:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA29046; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:40:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:40:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19272 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:40:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082240.RAA28132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:40:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1423e913f4cbc97946356a71044844e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 ABPZ20 KNHC 082238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 65 MILES NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:43:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA51174; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:41:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:41:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15060 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:41:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:41:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082041.PAA27076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:41:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 288a34670dca746342765d60f85d6f02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 292 WTPZ32 KNHC 082040 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS FRANK VERY CLOSE TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...25.0 N...113.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:42:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA60092; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:40:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12970 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:40:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082040.PAA27068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:40:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c25f23012cdbaa466dfbdb40c5dd939b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 238 WTPZ22 KNHC 082039 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 2100Z SAT AUG 08 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 113.0W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 113.0W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 26.4N 113.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 27.8N 114.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 28.8N 116.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 113.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N 120.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-17369>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:41:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA59992; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24646 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082039.PAA27063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ade54b3111216c13dacd3fac74bb2a12 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 237 WTPZ42 KNHC 082038 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 350/10. THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WEST...EXCEPT THE LBAR AND DEEP BAM WHICH SHOW A NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION. AND AGAIN THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS THE STORM EMBEDDED IN A LARGE 500-MB LOW WHICH IS NOT EXACTLY THE CASE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE LEANING A LITTLE RIGHT OF CONCENSUS...AND SHOWS A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND DECELLERATION OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. WITH A SMALL CDO...THE INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 35 KNOTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SOON AS COLDER SSTS ARE ENCOUNTERED. THE 200 MB WIND PATTERN APPEARS FAVORABLE TO ADVECT MOISTURE FROM FRANK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. IN ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 25.0N 113.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 26.4N 113.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/1800Z 27.8N 114.9W 35 KTS 36HR VT 10/0600Z 28.8N 116.4W 30 KTS 48HR VT 10/1800Z 29.5N 118.0W 25 KTS 72HR VT 11/1800Z 30.5N 120.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4158 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:25:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41744; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 14:22:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9200507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 14:22:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26366 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 14:22:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 14:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081922.OAA26404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 14:22:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9619ba1ae246e1d5f22a9efc8a6fef91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 090 AXPZ20 KNHC 081920 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 08 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM FRANK IS CENTERED NEAR 24.3N 112.7W AT 08/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FRANK... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 24N113W AS THE TROPICAL STORM CONTINUES TO PARALLEL THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 23N109W-28N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N73W 6N94W 7N108W 13N119W 7N134W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-84W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-117W...AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N102W-12N98W-16N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N82W-12N93W...AND 13N100W-10N106W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627119-17369>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA62520; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:03:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9199627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA50958 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:01:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081801.NAA25693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 551111f3cfc29a271c4390372215f744 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 172 WTPZ32 KNHC 081801 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...72 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FRANK IS MOVING PARALLEL AND VERY CLOSE TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...112.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:46:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA62476; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:43:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9199200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:43:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20984 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:43:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081643.LAA24963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:43:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 710062af5aa8deff7e928ceae4aa3816 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 ABPZ20 KNHC 081641 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2739 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-8079>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:59:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15020; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:59:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62618 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:59:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081459.JAA24364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:59:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43330226970e4b2ce09438b713aa1197 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 769 WTPZ32 KNHC 081459 COR TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 CORRECTION TO SPELLING OF FRANK IN HEADLINE ...FRANK NEARS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES ...120 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FRANK WILL MOVE PARALLEL AND VERY CLOSE TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...23.8 N...112.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY A COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2623 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-8079>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:58:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA59976; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:58:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:58:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14900 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:58:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:58:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081458.JAA24355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:58:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f201b5af052ddd5d89da0a37fc151988 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 WTPZ42 KNHC 081457 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 350/10. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO EXCEPT FOR LBAR AND THE DEEP BAM WHICH MOVE THE STORM NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWARD. THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL AND MRF INITIALIZED A RATHER LARGE 500 MB LOW AROUND THE STORM AND MOVES THIS SYSTEM MOSTLY WESTWARD WHILE REBUILDING A RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS INITIALIZATION MAY NOT BE VERY ACCURATE. IN ANY CASE...THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY SHOWING A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND DECELERATION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES KEEP FRANK AT MINIMAL STORM STRENGTH... 35 KNOTS. THERE ARE COLD SSTS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK AND WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER WITHIN ABOUT 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW BE ISSUED FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. THERE IS AN OUTER RAINBAND LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. OTHERWISE MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN IS CONFINED TO A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST NEAR THE STORM CENTER AND IS OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 23.8N 112.6W 35 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 25.2N 113.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/1200Z 26.5N 114.5W 34 KTS 36HR VT 10/0000Z 27.5N 116.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 10/1200Z 28.5N 118.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 11/1200Z 29.5N 120.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627075-8079>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14878; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:56:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59916 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:56:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081456.JAA24346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:56:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec5148cc739ea63d4401af53039c508a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 740 WTPZ22 KNHC 081456 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 1500Z SAT AUG 08 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 112.6W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 112.6W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 112.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.2N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 34 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 112.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 29.5N 120.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-8085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:56:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29094; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:54:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62612 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:54:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081454.JAA24340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:54:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 513085128a942117a7e940a36e9b1035 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 723 WTPZ32 KNHC 081452 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 ...FRAN NEARS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA TOSCA TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES ...120 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FRANK WILL MOVE PARALLEL AND VERY CLOSE TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...23.8 N...112.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY A COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3403 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626973-8085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:27:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29044; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:26:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9197911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24670 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:26:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:26:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081326.IAA23978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:26:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2e63b805d005903e386f2f4bcf351d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 027 AXPZ20 KNHC 081324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 08 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM FRANK IS CENTERED NEAR 23.8N 112.7W AT 08/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING NORTH AT 11 KT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FRANK... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N112W-25N115W AS THE TROPICAL STORM PARALLELS THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N109W-27N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N84W 8N94W 8N100W 7N110W 12N118W 8N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 86W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N78W-7N81W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 150 NM OF 12N128W-9N135W- 7N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N93W-15N98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N98W-10N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-8079>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 19:43:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA29144; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 06:41:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9197365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 06:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA60100 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 06:41:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA23543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 06:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081141.GAA23543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 06:41:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Intermediate Advisory Number 7a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed2ace901d1f559cd6e98914c8bc8bce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 152 WTPZ32 KNHC 081140 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 ...FRAN MOVING NORTHWARD...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM JUST NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 130 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF FRANK WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE PARALLEL AND NOT TOO FAR FROM THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...23.8 N...112.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626319-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:34:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA41774; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37658 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:31:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080931.EAA23072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:31:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d75a6fb2873a718df840ac64403d102f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 ABPZ20 KNHC 080931 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 ..COR ..SUNDAY INSTEAD OF MONDAY... FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA41928; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA67766 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:30:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080930.EAA23067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:30:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb5f982119ccc5e60157724c85768312 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 ABPZ20 KNHC 080928 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62874; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA67692 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080831.DAA22796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c466e5ece0a7e34cc48338bd87ad3719 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 WTPZ42 KNHC 080830 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 SATELLITE...SURFACE AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT FRANK IS MOVING NORTHWARD ABOUT 11 KNOTS. FRANK IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY REACH A PORTION OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THEREFORE ... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. SINCE THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE PARALLEL TO BAJA CALIFORNIA...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A WEAKNESS OF THE 500 MB HIGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF FRANK IS CAUSING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO MOVE NORTHWARD. BECAUSE THE MODELS BUILD THE RIDGE ONCE AGAIN IN 24 TO 36 HOURS...A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST. THIS NORTHWEST TRACK IS REFLECTED IN MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS. THERE IS AN AREA OF DEEP AND CIRCULAR CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 2.5 FROM BOTH TSAF AND SAB. WINDS ARE KEPT AT 35 KNOTS BUT FRANK COULD STRENGTHEN SOME BEFORE REACHING COOL WATERS IN 24 HOURS. RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA COULD INDUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 23.1N 112.4W 35 KTS 12HR VT 08/1800Z 24.7N 112.6W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/0600Z 26.0N 113.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 09/1800Z 27.0N 115.0W 35 KTS 48HR VT 10/0600Z 28.0N 116.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 11/0600Z 29.0N 119.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626531-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:32:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28990; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:30:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19236 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:30:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080830.DAA22779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 839cf6378d2780e88ea1dad0a762c2ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 862 WTPZ22 KNHC 080829 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0900Z SAT AUG 08 1998 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM JUST NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE REMAINDER OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 112.4W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 112.4W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.7N 112.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 26.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 27.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 112.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 28.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 29.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3262 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626319-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:32:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62910; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:29:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39298 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080829.DAA22764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ce7e94aaaba1e445f8c19051c95ca58 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 859 WTPZ32 KNHC 080828 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 08 1998 ...FRAN MOVING NORTHWARD...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM JUST NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE REMAINDER OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF FRANK WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE PARALLEL AND NOT TOO FAR FROM THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE -THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...23.1 N...112.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19302; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 02:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 02:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA42828 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 02:36:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 02:36:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080736.CAA22521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 02:36:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c65c6860e2d4d99541430eb75ee33f67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 993 AXPZ20 KNHC 080735 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 08 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM FRANK WITH CENTER NEAR 22.6N 112.3W AT 08/0600 UTC...MOVING NORTH 7 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0700 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FRANK... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 24N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 108W AND 111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-8N91W-9N111W- 12N112W-9N125W-6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 13N92W-11N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 5W AND 6W...WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 10N102W-8N104W...FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 110W AND 111W...WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 128W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 133W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626436-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:28:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29142; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:27:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9195728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19388 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080527.AAA21912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:27:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c6e74509da93661261f8cc9c70b0997 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 WTPZ32 KNHC 080526 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 ...FRANK MOVING NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK PARALLELS THE BAJA COASTLINE AND IF THIS OCCURS THE STRONGEST WINDS COULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES NORTHWARD THE WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A WARNING SOON. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...22.2 N...112.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:56:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA62634; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:55:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9195189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19094 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:54:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080354.WAA21343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:54:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b49fdb26c29388e2c0c443b713bc396 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 664 ABPZ20 KNHC 080352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CENTERED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRANK CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29038; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:55:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:54:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15158 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:54:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080254.VAA20749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:54:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48a748d67f130abbca239778b4d5c73a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 580 WTPZ42 KNHC 080252 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT THE SYSTEM HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. TAFB NOTES A FOUR TENTHS BANDING FEATURE ON THE BD CURVE AND HAS A T NUMBER OF 2.5. SAB IS STILL GIVING A T NUMBER OF 2.0 AT 2100 AND OOOO UTC SEVERAL SHIPS PASSING ABOUT 100 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED 25 TO 33 KNOTS OF WIND. BASED ON THIS WE ARE UPGRADING THE DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM FRANK WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AND THAN DECREASE AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FRANK IS MOVING ABOUT 360/07. THIS INITIAL MOTION AND OUR TRACK FORECAST WILL BRING THE STORM APPROXIMATELY PARALLEL TO THE BAJA PENINSULA AND WOULD KEEP THE STRONGEST WINDS JUST OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT TURN BACK TO THE NORTH COULD BRING THE SYSTEM INLAND OVER BAJA. THUS THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THEY MAY BE CHANGED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. MOST TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TURN THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. HOWEVER THE NAVY NOGAPS AND LBAR MODEL TRACKS DO PARALLEL THE COASTLINE. THE NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND VERY CLOSE TO THE NAVY NOGAPS TRACK FORECAST. RAINFALL OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA COULD INDUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 21.6N 112.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 22.5N 112.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 23.7N 113.3W 40 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 25.0N 113.9W 35 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 26.2N 114.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 11/0000Z 28.3N 116.6W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-3391>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:50:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19716; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:49:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19442 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:49:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080249.VAA20708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:49:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32153dbe9fc7028c66d06cdd495eabf6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 531 WTPZ32 KNHC 080249 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORMS OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA. FRANK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK PARALLELS THE BAJA COASTLINE AND IF THIS OCCURS THE STRONGEST WINDS COULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES NORTHWARD THE WATCH WILL BE CHANGED TO A WARNING LATER TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.6 N...112.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625964-3391>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:48:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12954; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:48:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30284 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080247.VAA20668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Frank Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a767ff4bdcbcba62a2d7e21cb055645d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 506 WTPZ22 KNHC 080247 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0300Z SAT AUG 08 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 112.0W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 112.0W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 112.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.5N 112.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.7N 113.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 113.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 112.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.2N 114.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 28.3N 116.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4964 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626041-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:48:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA61630; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA63646 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080247.VAA20648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:47:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Seven Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46d6038c9085557d4a42de496ceee24c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 WTPZ42 KNHC 080246 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT THE SYSTEM HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. TAFB NOTES A FOUR TENTHS BANDING FEATURE ON THE BD CURVE AND HAS A T NUMBER OF 2.5. SAB IS STILL GIVING A T NUMBER OF 2.0 AT 2100 AND OOOO UTC SEVERAL SHIPS PASSING ABOUT 100 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED 25 TO 33 KNOTS OF WIND. BASED ON THIS WE ARE UPGRADING THE DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM FRANK WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AND THAN DECREASE AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FRANK IS MOVING ABOUT 360/07. THIS INITIAL MOTION AND OUR TRACK FORECAST WILL BRING THE STORM APPROXIMATELY PARALLEL TO THE BAJA PENINSULA AND WOULD KEEP THE STRONGEST WINDS JUST OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT TURN BACK TO THE NORTH COULD BRING THE SYSTEM INLAND OVER BAJA. THUS THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THEY MAY BE CHANGED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. MOST TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TURN THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. HOWEVER THE NAVY NOGAPS AND LBAR MODEL TRACKS DO PARALLEL THE COASTLINE. THE NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND VERY CLOSE TO THE NAVY NOGAPS TRACK FORECAST. RAINFALL OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA COULD INDUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 21.6N 112.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 22.5N 112.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 23.7N 113.3W 40 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 25.0N 113.9W 35 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 26.2N 114.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 11/0000Z 28.3N 116.6W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:29:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAB39378; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:26:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9193802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30882 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:26:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:26:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080126.UAA20036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:26:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10bbb8e167427f8c11e844ec16fb50aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 AXPZ20 KNHC 080123 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 08 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 21.2N 112.2W AT 08/0000 UTC IT IS MOVING NORTH AT 8 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 111W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 20N-25N BETWEEN 109W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 10N100W 8N110W 10N120W 7N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 5N-13N BETWEEN 92W-103W...AND FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 106W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 118W-122W ...AND FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 125W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM PANAMA TO S MEXICO WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE LINE 6N80W 11N87W 16N95W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 102W-106W...AND FROM 23N-29N BETWEEN 106W-111W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625916-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:27:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA23508; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:26:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9193128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:25:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA64704 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:25:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080025.TAA19529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:25:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d655a3f5ac6237507759532540451e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 WTPZ32 KNHC 080025 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO... AT 5 PM PDT...0000 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. AT 5 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES ...300 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR ON SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY BRINGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...21.2 N...112.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625972-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 08:10:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA67784; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:09:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9193103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:09:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA56244 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:09:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:09:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080009.TAA19466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:09:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d2533887d01b7f1977c70618af6afa3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 WTPZ32 KNHC 080008 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO... AT 5 PM PDT...0000 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. AT 5 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES ...300 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR ON SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY BRINGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...21.2 N...112.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626449-2505>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 06:53:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA56216; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:51:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA30338 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:51:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072251.RAA18698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:51:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51385f857a50d3738c439565835f855a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 ABPZ20 KNHC 072249 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CENTERED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:37:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19720; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:35:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62958 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:35:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:35:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072035.PAA16695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:35:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55bc60c36789c3e5e2ec5ad94bde65fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 WTPZ32 KNHC 072035 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. AT 2 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES ...275 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR ON SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY BRINGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...111.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4784 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:33:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28140; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:32:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191941 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:32:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19930 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:32:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072032.PAA16591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:32:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ab07e752aa12bb219ec7947b1e1afe5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 816 WTPZ22 KNHC 072031 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 2100Z FRI AUG 07 1998 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF LOS BURROS ON THE EAST COAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 111.8W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 111.8W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.2N 111.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.4N 112.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.5N 112.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 111.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 25.6N 113.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 28.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:36:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA64718; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:31:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20916 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:31:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072031.PAA16574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:31:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7da4a78e024723411a0a71ff575aa90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 815 WTPZ42 KNHC 072031 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES CONFIRM THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING NORTHWARD...AT ABOUT 360/8 KT. THE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON CONTINUES TO SHOW TWO CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION OR PARTIAL BANDS...ONE TO THE NORTH AND THE OTHER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. TAFB AND SAB NOW HAVE T-NUMBERS OF 2.0...WHICH GIVES US 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. AT 18Z...SOCORRO ISLAND...ABOUT 120 NMI SSE OF THE CENTER...REPORTED WINDS SOUTH AT 25 KNOTS...WITH 1008.7 MB FOLLOWING A 3 HR PRESSURE RISE OF 3.1 MB. ALSO AT 18Z...WINDS OF 20 KT AND 33 KT WERE REPORTED BY TWO SHIPS NOT FAR FROM EACH OTHER ABOUT 130 NMI TO THE NE OF THE CENTER IN THE VICINITY OF A CONVECTIVE BAND. THE 12Z AVN IS SIMILAR TO THE 06Z RUN...WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE HEIGHT PATTERN TO THE NW AND A FORECAST TRACK IN THAT DIRECTION. THE AVN BASED GUIDANCE HAS MOSTLY NW TRACKS. THE NHC FORECAST IS AGAIN TO THE RIGHT OF ALL THAT GUIDANCE AND FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE 00Z NOGAPS. OUR TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. THE SYSTEM COULD REMAIN OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATERS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND IS NOW FORECAST TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO FOR THE SOUTHERN PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RAINFALL OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA COULD INDUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 21.0N 111.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 22.2N 111.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 23.4N 112.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 24.5N 112.7W 40 KTS 48HR VT 09/1800Z 25.6N 113.3W 40 KTS 72HR VT 10/1800Z 28.0N 115.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15122; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:27:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191353 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28154 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:27:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071927.OAA15229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:27:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2aa0180de686bd9559858a6b2bf48b8d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 805 AXPZ20 KNHC 071925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 07 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 111.8W AT 07/1800 UTC IT IS MOVING NORTH AT 8 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-24N BETWEEN 109W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 6N89W 8N99W 12N114W 8N121W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULFS OF PANAMA AND URABA FROM 4N-12N BETWEEN 78W-84W...FROM 6N-15N BETWEEN 90W-100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N106W-9N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-90W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-106W ...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-127W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N109W- 19N108W...AND 11N128W-15N119W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626341-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16702; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:26:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9190025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:25:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04114 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:25:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071625.LAA11315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:25:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 347f8c0999e735fbdd3eba98a6ed7800 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 ABPZ20 KNHC 071624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627265-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:51:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19940; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:50:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9188693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59996 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071449.JAA08860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54c71012b0dfd304dfb3fdc54db54799 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 WTPZ22 KNHC 071449 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 1500Z FRI AUG 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.9W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.9W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.1N 112.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.5N 112.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.9N 113.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 111.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.3N 114.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626341-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:53:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30916; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:50:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9188687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA16724 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071449.JAA08856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:49:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e04d08f294f5abfc87201df313c344bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 WTPZ42 KNHC 071448 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 THE SYSTEM HAS SOME DEEP CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORTING KEEPING THE SYSTEM AS A DEPRESSION. IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE CENTER WITH IR IMAGERY...BUT THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT IT IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF EARLIER ESTIMATES...GIVING A MOTION JUST WEST OF DUE NORTHWARD. FIRST VISIBLE PICTURES ARE NOT CONCLUSIVE. SOME ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS TO TRACK WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY IN THE NEXT ADVISORY. THE 06Z AVN SPLITS A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE INITIALIZED TO THE NW...LEAVING HIGH CENTERS WNW AND NE BY 48 HOURS. THAT MODEL FORECASTS A NW MOTION FOR THE DEPRESSION...BETWEEN THE TWO HIGHS AND THE DEPENDENT TRACK MODELS GENERALLY DO AS WELL. THE NOGAPS...ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES TO SHOW A NORTHWARD TRACK. GIVEN THAT THIS APPEARS TO BE THE CURRENT MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF OUR PREVIOUS FORECASTS. IF THE NORTHWARD MOTION IS CORRECT AND PERSISTS...AND THERE IS ANY INDICATION OF FUTURE STRENGTHENING...THEN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHERN PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 20.1N 111.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 21.1N 112.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 22.5N 112.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 09/0000Z 23.9N 113.4W 30 KTS 48HR VT 09/1200Z 25.3N 114.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 10/1200Z 28.0N 117.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:43:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39244; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 08:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9187849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 08:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22586 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 08:36:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 08:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071336.IAA07445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 08:36:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4471f5dd11a97de243f5f37d2916b307 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 678 AXPZ20 KNHC 071335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 07 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 19.7N 111.8W AT 07/1200 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N112W-24N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N89W 7N102W 12N116W 11N125W 7N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULFS OF PANAMA AND URABA FROM 4N-11N BETWEEN 75W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC FROM THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N92W-11N93W-9N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N101W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:57:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA60112; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA30906 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:55:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA05060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070955.EAA05060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:55:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b905507cdb68f001305bf7ab6e1055ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 312 ABPZ20 KNHC 070952 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2437 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:26:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22252; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19418 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070824.DAA04411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e66ff9a1710e20b068328b015cf6f4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 881 WTPZ42 KNHC 070821 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 1998 THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND APPEARS TO BE ELONGATED ALONG A NORTH-NORTHEAST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AXIS. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY A FEW SHIP REPORTS WITH WINDS BLOWING AWAY FROM THE CIRCULATION. CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AND T-NUMBERS ARE 1.5 AND 2.0...LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. NEVERTHELESS...THERE IS ENOUGH OF A SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN A 25-KNOT DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME BUT THE SYSTEM COULD DEGENERATE INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING IN THIS BASIN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE EFFECTS OF COOL WATERS. SO...I WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF CONVECTION REDEVELOPS AND WINDS INCREASE SOME. THIS STRENGTHENING MUST OCCUR SOON BECAUSE AFTER 24 HOURS...THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY MOVE OVER 25 DEGREE WATER AND RAPID WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. INITIAL MOTION IS 325/09. THIS TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN MORE TO WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THIS TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 19.1N 112.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/1800Z 20.2N 113.3W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/0600Z 21.5N 114.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/1800Z 23.0N 116.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 09/0600Z 25.0N 118.0W 25 KTS 72HR VT 10/0600Z 27.0N 122.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626784-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:25:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA13008; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19390 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070824.DAA04406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:24:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9a96c5cb279820a352dd1cb64cb4a7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 WTPZ22 KNHC 070822 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0900Z FRI AUG 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 112.5W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 112.5W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.2N 113.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 112.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 122.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627000-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:29:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19830; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:25:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:25:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19794 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:25:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:25:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070725.CAA03779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:25:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 066f11bdf6d651dc3e54c6063cf65dab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 956 AXPZ20 KNHC 070721 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 07 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 18.8N 112.3W AT 07/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 120W TO 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 18.5N110.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N111W TO 18N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N85W 6N90W 7N100W 11N110W 10N125W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A 126W FROM 7N ACROSS THE AXIS TO 12N. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W TO 90W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...NICARAGUA...AND ALL OF EL SALVADOR AND THE GULF OF FONSECA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 21.5N FROM 109W TO 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 102W TO 104W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1624 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626673-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:50:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA67584; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:49:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9184746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:49:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA37868 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:49:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:49:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070349.WAA01723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:49:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36a76e6b3324d6e4e81a43587394a50c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 780 ABPZ20 KNHC 070346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626236-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 11:29:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA37788; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:28:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9184236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA04196 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:27:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070327.WAA01607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:27:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5d5c35ae28542dce22492e05f0c7ab6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 435 WTPZ42 KNHC 070326 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E LOOKS RAGGED...AND DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 25 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH TAFB AND AFGWC ESTIMATES. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT WELL DEFINED... AND ON LAST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGES APPEARED ELONGATED ALONG A NORTH- NORTHEAST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AXIS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER 28 TO 29 DEG C WATER...BUT THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED OVER THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE MOVING OVER COOLER WATER...AND OUR INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE LESS THAN INDICATED BY SHIFOR AND SHIPS GUIDANCE. IT IS NOTED THAT THE GFDL MODEL DISSIPATES THE TD WITHIN 48 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/09. NWS AVIATION MODEL MAINTAINS A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S....BUT THIS IS WELL REMOVED FROM OUR TROPICAL SYSTEM AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAKNESS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE TD. MOST TRACK GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...WHILE CLIPER IS MORE WESTWARD AND THE NAVY NOGAPS IS MORE NORTHWARD. FOR NOW...OUR TRACK ASSUMES THE CURRENT STEERING FLOW WILL PERSIST AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 18.3N 112.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/1200Z 19.5N 112.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/0000Z 20.7N 113.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/1200Z 21.8N 115.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 09/0000Z 22.6N 116.2W 30 KTS 72HR VT 10/0000Z 24.0N 118.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1363 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 10:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62532; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:35:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9183686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52152 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070234.VAA01151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee7b3ff7175d9493d4afe7c45d4169ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 448 WTPZ22 KNHC 070232 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 0300Z FRI AUG 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 112.1W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 112.1W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.5N 112.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.7N 113.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.8N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 112.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.6N 116.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625880-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:47:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24660; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:45:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9182977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA61506 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:45:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070145.UAA00591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:45:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7900801c95b59180a0f3f13295c8314 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 AXPZ20 KNHC 070143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 07 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 20.8N 141.7W AT 07/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED WEST OF OUR AREA. ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED BY PHNL UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS HNLTCMCP1/WTPA21. ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 18.0N 111.8W AT 07/0000 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF THE CENTER FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 140W-143W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 111W-115W...AND FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 108W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N75W 5N90W 6N100W 12N110W 10N120W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 125W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA FROM 5N-13N BETWEEN 79W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 95W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 96W-110W EXTENDING 30 NM OVER THE PACIFIC AND 120 NM INLAND. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 23N-25N BETWEEN 110W-112W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627592-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 06:30:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA15246; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:27:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9181141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA62842 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062227.RAA28449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:27:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 263a6e659707a4d41782ab090deaaab2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 730 ABPZ20 KNHC 062222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CENTERED ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2299 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:47:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19376; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30618 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062038.PAA26382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca67e7e82882ca28363f074c9cf375cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 808 WTPZ22 KNHC 062037 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0798 2100Z THU AUG 06 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 112.1W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 112.1W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.2N 113.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.5N 114.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 112.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 22.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAB19348; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39298 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062038.PAA26378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:38:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2883d1cc699495b53323cae9007d44f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 807 WTPZ42 KNHC 062037 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS CONTINUES TO BE SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED...AND ANIMATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES REVEALS A LOW-CLOUD CIRCULATION...ALBEIT ONE THAT IS SOMEWHAT ELONGATED ALONG A NORTH-NORTHEAST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AXIS. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM SOCORRO ISLAND...ABOUT 100 N MI NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND A SHIP ABOUT 150 N MI SOUTH OF THE CENTER...CONFIRM THAT THE CIRCULATION IS ON THE SURFACE. THUS THE SYSTEM IS BEING NUMBERED AT THIS TIME. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS SOMEWHAT ELONGATED ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED AXIS...AND THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME NORTHERLY SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM. INITIAL MOTION IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN BUT APPEARS TO BE ABOUT 325/11. THE NHC FORECAST TRACK...WHICH IS A BLEND MAINLY OF THE GFDL...NHC91 AND THE BAROTROPIC MODEL LBAR...TAKES SEVEN-E TOWARD COOLER WATERS FAIRLY SOON SO NOT MUCH STRENGTHENING APPEARS LIKELY. HOWEVER THE INTENSITY FORECAST MAY NEED TO BE RE-EVALUATED LATER IF THE SYSTEM CHANGES SIGNIFICANTLY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 17.9N 112.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 19.2N 113.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 20.5N 114.2W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 21.5N 115.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 22.5N 116.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/1800Z 24.0N 118.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:33:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63538; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:29:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9178992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22774 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:29:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061929.OAA24608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:29:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ec5e4c5c0086dba32f0135b8041c0e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 AXPZ20 KNHC 061926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 06 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 20.5N 140.3W AT 06/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED WEST OF THE AREA SO LATER ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY PHNL UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS HNLTCMCP1/WTPA21. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N112W AT 06/1800 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N FROM 118W-135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 18N-28N BETWEEN 137W-144W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD LOW AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN 12-24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 110W-115W... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N94W 12N115W 9N125W 12N136W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N79W-8N84W... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N85W-4N96W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 92W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-106W...121W-126W...AND 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM OF 25N109W...AND SOUTH OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N99W-4N104W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-26133>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:21:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA53162; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:18:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9176786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA43004 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:17:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:16:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061616.LAA20097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:16:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b080a591dc526b8fa53310bcc963783 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 ABPZ20 KNHC 061614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS CROSSING 140W AND ENTERING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN...ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FUTURE ADVISORIES ON ESTELLE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625987-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:38:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21580; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:37:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9175465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:37:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13068 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:37:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061437.JAA17276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:37:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c18b8f82fe9142858ecd37ddd483b61b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 WTPZ41 KNHC 061436 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED...AND MAY IN FACT BE CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AGAIN. ESTELLE HAD BEEN PRODUCING A LIMITED AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION...BUT RECENTLY THIS ACTIVITY HAS WANED. ALTHOUGH SST DOES NOT CHANGE MUCH IN THE PATH OF THE CYCLONE...AS ESTELLE APPROACHES 150W VERTICAL SHEAR IS LIKELY TO INCREASE DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THUS...ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATING NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 275/14. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WESTWARD TRACK AS BEFORE. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE UNITED KINGDOM MET. OFFICE MODEL FORECAST...WHICH HAS BEEN DOING A FAIRLY GOOD JOB WITH ESTELLE. AS ESTELLE WILL CROSS 140W LONGITUDE IN A FEW HOURS...FUTURE ADVISORIES ON THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 20.5N 139.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 20.7N 141.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 21.0N 144.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 21.3N 147.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 21.5N 149.5W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 09/1200Z 22.0N 154.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627530-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:35:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20520; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:33:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9175404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:33:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA42756 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:33:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:33:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061433.JAA17207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:33:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd587787d8fa4e189e3fd969963cec11 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 WTPZ21 KNHC 061432 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z THU AUG 06 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 139.7W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 139.7W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 139.0W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.7N 141.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 144.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.3N 147.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 139.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 149.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.0N 154.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3864 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:37:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA47580; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9174940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA53192 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:31:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061331.IAA15828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:31:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c0a752d9d7b2f982f6d0956edf47cee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 AXPZ20 KNHC 061330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 06 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.9N 137.5W AT 06/1200 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N112W AT 06/1200 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N FROM 115W TO 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N140W- 23N138W. IN ADDITION BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 17N-25N BETWEEN 136W-141W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N110W-22N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N96W 11N106W 12N116W 9N123W 11N137W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS OUTWARD FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N78W-8N87W-9N90W-9N97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 28N110W-23N106W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N98W-8N103W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N89W-15N94W-18N102W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626921-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:33:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA04220; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:30:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9173060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47556 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:27:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060927.EAA13294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 839247d6701ad0d60bbadb650e86c408 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 ABPZ20 KNHC 060924 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE LOCATED ABOUT 1035 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626908-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 16:37:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA39320; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA42886 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060836.DAA12811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:36:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b4a40eed5d30cfc6b532e92f788b0c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 WTPZ21 KNHC 060820 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z THU AUG 06 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 138.1W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 138.1W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 137.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.3N 140.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.0N 144.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 138.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 147.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.0N 152.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1265 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627267-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 16:34:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA39338; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA42900 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060831.DAA12786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:31:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b37e81b4f80eb3c5bbf125a17c5f648d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 846 WTPZ41 KNHC 060820 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 ESTELLE CONSIST OF A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A FEW SPOTS OF INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KNOTS AND SINCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING OVER 24 C DEG WATER...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/13. THE CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERLIES...AND ESTELLE SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 20.0N 138.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/1800Z 20.3N 140.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/0600Z 20.5N 142.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 07/1800Z 21.0N 144.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 08/0600Z 21.5N 147.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 09/0600Z 22.0N 152.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3679 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627262-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:19:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41828; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:17:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:17:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA42830 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:17:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:17:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060717.CAA12070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:17:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b529cc66a5255b6a4140336cc8dbf81 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 AXPZ20 KNHC 060714 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 06 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.9N 137.5W AT 06/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N111W AT 06/0600 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 115W TO 130W AND NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 136W AND 139W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 16N110.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 113W FROM 15N TO 18N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 5N88W 5N96W 8N107W 8N119W 12N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W AND FROM 95W TO 98W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 6N ACROSS THE AXIS TO OVER PANAMA FROM 79W TO 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W IN NICARAGUA TO 88.5W IN EL SALVADOR INCLUDING ALL OF THE GULF OF FONSECA. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-663>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA24752; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:49:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9170946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:49:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA60094 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:48:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:48:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060348.WAA09925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:48:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68ba2cc90a0d2ddc1f39da9a3f99f837 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 ABPZ20 KNHC 060345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626695-663>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 10:29:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24684; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:28:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9170239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16724 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:28:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:28:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060228.VAA09130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:28:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5737dbff003011f6f095e4531443f1e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 WTPZ21 KNHC 060227 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z THU AUG 06 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 136.9W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 136.9W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 136.2W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.2N 138.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.6N 141.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.9N 143.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 136.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 21.0N 146.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.0N 151.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626410-658>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 10:29:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37688; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:27:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9170228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA51998 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:27:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060227.VAA09124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:27:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f32408340412e7df60b08e8fdebc321 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 WTPZ41 KNHC 060226 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED LOW- TO MID- LEVEL CIRCULATION. A LIMITED AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AROUND 6 HOURS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER 24 C DEG WATER AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/13. THE CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERLIES...AND THE CURRENT TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NAVY NOGAPS MODEL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 19.9N 136.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/1200Z 20.2N 138.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/0000Z 20.6N 141.4W 25 KTS 36HR VT 07/1200Z 20.9N 143.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 08/0000Z 21.0N 146.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 09/0000Z 21.0N 151.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-658>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:29:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA42756; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 20:26:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9169524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 20:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37872 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 20:26:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 20:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060126.UAA08346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 20:26:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 400b601d3d7b7cc17122b2182541f793 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 818 AXPZ20 KNHC 060120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 06 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 19.8N 136.2W AT 06/0000 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 15N110W AT 06/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-22N BETWEEN 134W-137W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N110W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 109W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 106W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 7N90W 10N100W 15N110W 10N120W 12N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 76W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 90W-97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 25N111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM GUATEMALA TO PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO BETWEEN 90W-106W EXTENDING 90NM INLAND. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625982-663>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 07:11:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA64564; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:34:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9167861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:34:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA47514 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:33:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808052233.RAA05987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:33:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39cae6958a8999196b232455c9a21eb8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 ABPZ20 KNHC 052231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627502-2377>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 05:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA56266; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:07:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9166771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA12972 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:06:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:06:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808052106.QAA04322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:06:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c9cfef418e30eda2cfe3d323e83a665 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 WTPZ41 KNHC 052103 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS RETURNED...IN A FEW THIN BANDS AROUND ESTELLE...BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT VERY DEEP AND THIS IS LIKELY ONLY A TRANSIENT EVENT. CURRENT WINDS ARE HELD AT 30 KNOTS WITH WEAKENING FORECAST AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATING IN 36-48 HOURS. MOTION IS ABOUT THE SAME AS IN THE EARLIER ADVISORY PACKAGE AND THE FORECAST IS ALSO SIMILAR. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE NAVY OPERATIONAL GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM...NOGAPS...MODEL TRACK AND CLIMATOLOGY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 19.7N 135.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/0600Z 20.2N 137.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 06/1800Z 20.8N 139.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 07/0600Z 21.0N 142.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 07/1800Z 21.0N 144.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627501-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 05:06:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA62110; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:04:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9166744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:04:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA14984 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:04:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808052104.QAA04245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:04:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fca876947d4dc8a05d8416d6e911fd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 WTPZ21 KNHC 052103 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z WED AUG 05 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 135.2W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 135.2W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 134.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.2N 137.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.8N 139.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.0N 142.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 135.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.0N 144.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:43:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15358; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:41:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9165928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15150 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:30:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051930.OAA01587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:30:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7392537888f3c356b81638e356f8cc9d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 AXPZ20 KNHC 051929 AMD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 ...AMD FOR INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1900 UTC... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WITH CENTER NEAR 19.6N 134.6W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 13N111W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 132W AND 137W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N111W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 112.5W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE 19N107W-17N108W-16N109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-8N100W-8N120W- 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W...AND IN CLUSTERS FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 77W AND 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION... DISSIPATING WITH TIME...FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W... AND FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. DISSIPATING CONVECTION AND WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES IN AREA WHICH HAD NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION DURING LAST 6 HOURS...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 11N93W-5N90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 24N108W...AND FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-2377>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:39:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23348; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:30:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9165819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAB51190 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:26:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:26:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051926.OAA01481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:26:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bb0776c74be2159b38fa6f222b72b2b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 541 AXPZ20 KNHC 051920 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 ...COR FOR ITCZ CONVECTION FROM COSTA RICA/PANAMA TO 11N BETWEEN 80W AND 83W... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WITH CENTER NEAR 19.6N 134.6W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 13N111W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1730 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 132W AND 137W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N111W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 112.5W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE 19N107W-17N108W-16N109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-8N100W-8N120W- 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 79W...FROM 9N TO 10N WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 78W...FROM COASTS OF COSTA RICA/PANAMA TO 11N BETWEEN 80W AND 83W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 5N81W...IN CLUSTERS FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION... DISSIPATING WITH TIME...FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 24N108W...AND FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4304 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:20:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28570; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:17:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9165668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:17:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20604 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:17:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:17:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051917.OAA01282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:17:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 718b7a419b8754a85467f402c836d981 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 AXPZ20 KNHC 051915 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 ...COR FOR DATE/TIME GROUP... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WITH CENTER NEAR 19.6N 134.6W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 13N111W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1730 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 132W AND 137W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N111W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 112.5W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE 19N107W-17N108W-16N109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-8N100W-8N120W- 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 79W...FROM 9N TO 10N WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 78W...FROM COASTS OF COSTA RICA/PANAMA BETWEEN 80W AND 83W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 5N81W...IN CLUSTERS FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION... DISSIPATING WITH TIME...FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 24N108W...AND FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-2377>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:18:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13158; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:15:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9165632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:15:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67662 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:15:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:15:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051915.OAA01218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:15:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c10e6eaa8c3c8b69ce3e773bc611ea8c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 320 AXPZ20 KNHC 051909 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WITH CENTER NEAR 19.6N 134.6W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 13N111W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1730 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 132W AND 137W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N111W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 112.5W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE 19N107W-17N108W-16N109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W-8N100W-8N120W- 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 79W...FROM 9N TO 10N WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 78W...FROM COASTS OF COSTA RICA/PANAMA BETWEEN 80W AND 83W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 5N81W...IN CLUSTERS FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION... DISSIPATING WITH TIME...FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 24N108W...AND FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:46:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30212; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:44:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9163737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:44:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA16862 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:44:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051644.LAA28079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:44:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbee117e807eebec40106c570764c6a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 284 ABPZ20 KNHC 051640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM...LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4650 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627452-2377>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09938; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:39:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9161855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:39:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA46728 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:39:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:39:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051439.JAA24620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:39:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae03fa50db61d69ff58d129f8d571a7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 WTPZ41 KNHC 051438 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 ESTELLE CONTINUES AS A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL LAYERED CLOUDS...AND HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION SINCE YESTERDAY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOW DOWN TO 30 KNOTS...SO THE CYCLONE IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. A CONTINUED SPINDOWN IS EXPECTED AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...OR SOONER. ESTELLE TURNED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT AND ITS MOTION IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 285/11. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE...IN ACCORD WITH STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 19.5N 133.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/0000Z 19.9N 135.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 06/1200Z 20.5N 138.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 07/0000Z 21.0N 140.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 07/1200Z 21.5N 143.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-2377>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12124; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:29:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9161646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA27972 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:29:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051429.JAA24384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:29:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04a4124305599b9ff934444ff29fdbcc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 868 WTPZ21 KNHC 051428 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z WED AUG 05 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 133.9W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 133.9W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 133.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 135.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.0N 140.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 133.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 143.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:38:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13170; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:36:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9160666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29276 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:36:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051336.IAA23097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:36:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe7294b4594d904e21ce8e3357973f48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 AXPZ20 KNHC 051332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CENTER NEAR 19.4N 1331.8W AT 05/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 12N109W AT 05/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W/98W HAS DISSIPATED. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 114W HAS DISSIPATED. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 132W AND 135W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N109W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-7N88W-10N102W- 8N115W-10N120W-10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W...FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W...FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W...AND FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF 11N123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 21N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 106W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA41808; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:36:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9158541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:36:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA25150 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:36:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA20344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:36:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050936.EAA20344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:36:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 499d1e30ddbcdd87ba420af74a54a333 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 339 ABPZ20 KNHC 050933 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1470 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627022-2377>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA15214; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:26:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9158116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA56914 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:26:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:26:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050826.DAA19703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:26:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2390127de050d8df26f9d8d3f2a0b526 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 WTPZ41 KNHC 050825 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 05 1998 ESTELLE CONSISTS OF A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK CI NUMBERS ARE DOWN TO 2.0 AND 2.5. SINCE ESTELLE WAS A STRONG SYSTEM THERE ARE PROBABLY A FEW REMAINING AREAS WITH 35 KNOTS. ESTELLE IS EXPECTED TO BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TODAY AND MAY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED IN 48 HOURS OR LESS. SHIFOR..SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS ALSO WEAKEN ESTELLE VERY FAST. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/10. SINCE ESTELLE IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK OVER COOL WATERS...STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 19.0N 132.3W 35 KTS 12HR VT 05/1800Z 19.1N 133.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 06/0600Z 19.3N 136.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 06/1800Z 19.5N 138.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 07/0600Z 20.0N 140.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626343-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:26:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28338; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:24:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9158099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39830 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:24:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050824.DAA19694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:24:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d434d80321b6c27256d23295eb077a80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 193 WTPZ21 KNHC 050823 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z WED AUG 05 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 132.3W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 200SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 132.3W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 131.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.1N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.3N 136.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 132.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 140.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626545-2377>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:39:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA20536; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:37:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9157853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:36:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA56868 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:36:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:36:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050736.CAA19171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:36:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa4424690ff9a7424bf339ce3a62e866 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 523 AXPZ20 KNHC 050735 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 18.9N 131.8W AT 05/0600 UTC MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N108W AT 05/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W IS NOW ALONG 97W/98W FROM OF 5N TO 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 112W/113W IS NOW ALONG 114W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 12N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N85W 10N100W 8N110W 9N120W 10N130W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 103W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 112W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 117W AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 83W AND 88W INCLUDING COSTA RICA AND PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N119W TO 8N120W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N99W TO 17N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 22N TO 24N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS EAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO FROM 24N TO 27N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626493-18135>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 12:02:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13278; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 23:01:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9156403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 23:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45760 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 23:01:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 23:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050401.XAA16954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 23:01:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4304360d4329dddcbc9704aceefa6ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 446 ABPZ20 KNHC 050359 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625997-27774>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 10:29:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34310; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:28:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9155156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12880 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:27:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050227.VAA15495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:27:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9162e981caa23e5c6173897316d2ad9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTPZ21 KNHC 050225 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z WED AUG 05 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 131.3W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 200SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 131.3W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 130.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.8N 132.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.9N 134.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.1N 137.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 131.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N 139.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 145.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626413-27769>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 10:30:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22606; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:28:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9155174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA11136 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:26:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050226.VAA15486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:26:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ad163ba65178c8ba4fe9db2ba714157 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 WTPZ41 KNHC 050224 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A VERY WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT DEEP CONVECTION IS NON- EXISTENT. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 45 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. ESTELLE WAS ONCE A LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE...AND IT WILL STILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR THE CIRCULATION TO SPIN DOWN. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING OVER 24 TO 25 DEG C WATER AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/10. THE GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WILL CONTINUE IN RESPONSE TO A PERSISTENT LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS TRACK BASICALLY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS A BLEND BETWEEN CLIPER AND THE SHALLOW BAM. MOST OTHER GUIDANCE MODELS ARE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR TRACK. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 18.7N 131.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 05/1200Z 18.8N 132.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 06/0000Z 18.9N 134.9W 35 KTS 36HR VT 06/1200Z 19.1N 137.1W 30 KTS 48HR VT 07/0000Z 19.3N 139.7W 25 KTS 72HR VT 08/0000Z 19.5N 145.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-27769>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA46794; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:38:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9154056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA20646 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:38:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:38:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050138.UAA14584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:38:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b3e3701d0eb6f748bf3f405271803c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 AXPZ20 KNHC 050136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 05 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 18.7N 130.8W AT 05/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST 10 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KNOTS GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 12N 105W...MOVING W 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W/95W IS NOW ALONG 96W S OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W IS NOW ALONG 112W/113W S OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-16N BETWEEN 102W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 9N90W 10N100W 10N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA...PANAMA... AND COSTA RICA FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 76W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 98W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED 7N-12N BETWEEN 87W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF N MEXICO FROM 22N-29N EXTENDING 90 NM INLAND. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND S MEXICO FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 90W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 95W-99W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625906-27774>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 06:48:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA44752; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 17:47:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9151705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 17:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA30652 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 17:47:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 17:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042247.RAA11950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 17:47:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a52ba017d44bee939f6d6a1e6c2cd2a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 ABPZ20 KNHC 042245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-26444>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:49:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28572; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:45:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19846 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:45:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:45:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042045.PAA09510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:45:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c6cee7f2c2e054824c401b7df4aa189 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTPZ41 KNHC 042043 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 THERE HAS BEEN A FURTHER SLOWING OF THE FORWARD MOTION OF ESTELLE... TO NEAR 10 KNOTS...STILL TOWARD THE WEST. CONSEQUENTLY THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN SLOWED JUST A BIT MORE BUT OTHERWISE IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED. DEEP CONVECTION HAS PRACTICALLY VANISHED AT THIS TIME. CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER IS 3.0 FROM BOTH THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND THE NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL SATELLITE DATA INFORMATION SERVICE... CORRESPONDING TO A WIND SPEED OF 45 KNOTS. EVEN THOUGH IT HAS A LARGE...WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION...AND WILL BE RATHER SLOW TO SPIN DOWN...ESTELLE SHOULD BE REDUCED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN A DAY OR TWO AND DISSIPATING AROUND THE END OF THE PERIOD. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 18.5N 130.4W 45 KTS 12HR VT 05/0600Z 18.5N 132.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 05/1800Z 18.7N 134.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 06/0600Z 19.0N 136.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 06/1800Z 19.0N 139.0W 25 KTS 72HR VT 07/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627414-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA16696; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:35:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:35:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15344 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:34:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:34:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042034.PAA09305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:34:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1843d3c91c36382f9757628bbb639e63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 500 WTPZ21 KNHC 042033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z TUE AUG 04 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.4W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 200SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.4W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 129.8W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.7N 134.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 130.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 03:39:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44546; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:36:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9149984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:36:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52960 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:36:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041936.OAA07846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a5ce6c3b1d6008dc2af9ac04e0a41b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 522 AXPZ20 KNHC 041933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 04 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CENTER NEAR 18.5N 129.8W AT 04/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST 12 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KNOTS GUSTS 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W/110W NOW ALONG 111W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 10.5N 104.5W MOVING NW 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1830 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 17N129.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-10N101W-10N131W- 12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W...FROM 12N TO 15N WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE 95W...FROM 9.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W...AND IN CLUSTERS FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627395-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 00:10:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44660; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9146548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22586 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041607.LAA03380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68e56c33aa586cecd9b863e3ef1a49bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 103 ABPZ20 KNHC 041602 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1714 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627381-26444>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:40:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28564; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:37:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9144577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA64626 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:37:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:37:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041437.JAA01122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:37:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcb8514e18e802ab696c693ad4a98cdb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 474 WTPZ41 KNHC 041435 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 ESTELLE HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION CONSIDERABLY IN COMPARISON TO LAST NIGHT. CURRENT ESTIMATE IS SET AT 12 KNOTS...AND AFTER JOGGING A LITTLE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST...IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AGAIN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO ACCOMMODATE THE SLOWER INITIAL MOTION...BUT CONTINUES TOWARD THE WEST. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST NCEP GLOBAL MODEL RUN WHICH SHOWS A LARGE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ONLY A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS FOUND...OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE CYCLONE. CURRENT DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB AGREE AT 55 KNOTS. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING DUE TO COOLER WATERS AND A MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 18.5N 129.4W 55 KTS 12HR VT 05/0000Z 18.5N 131.4W 50 KTS 24HR VT 05/1200Z 18.7N 133.9W 45 KTS 36HR VT 06/0000Z 19.0N 136.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 06/1200Z 19.3N 139.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 07/1200Z 19.5N 144.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627342-26444>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29296; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:31:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9144481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09788 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:31:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041431.JAA01004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:31:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e5d11ce39a95ef7f23b136da658adb0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 WTPZ21 KNHC 041430 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z TUE AUG 04 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 129.4W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 150SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 129.4W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 128.7W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.5N 131.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.7N 133.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 129.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 19.3N 139.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 19.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627380-26444>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:43:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19876; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:40:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9143899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19222 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:38:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041338.IAA29695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:38:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3e1075e3422b0a13517554fff6b07c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 AXPZ20 KNHC 041339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 04 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...CENTER NEAR 18.5N 128.7W AT 04/1200 UTC...MOVING WEST 14 KT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 60 KNOTS GUSTS 75 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W NOW ALONG 109W/110W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N103W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1230 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 18N129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-10N101W-10N131W- 12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 9N98W AND WITHIN 30-60 NM RADIUS 10N103.5W...AND FROM 9N TO 12N WITHIN 15-30 NM EITHER SIDE OF 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W...AND FROM 20N TO 21.5N BETWEEN COAST OF MEXICO AND 107W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-26444>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 18:38:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA34876; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 05:37:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9142404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 05:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44578 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 05:36:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA27685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 05:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041036.FAA27685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 05:36:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88a052f4805313ed621737e1595da20a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 ABPZ20 KNHC 041038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT ...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627405-5396>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 16:45:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22126; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:44:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:44:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA34908 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:44:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:44:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040844.DAA26865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:44:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd2c6d7bf23db6633ba49ce2446b6dd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 WTPZ21 KNHC 040847 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z TUE AUG 04 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 128.6W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 250SE 250SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 128.6W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 127.9W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.5N 130.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.6N 133.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.8N 136.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 128.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 139.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N 145.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2004 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627351-5390>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 16:44:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45594; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:43:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:43:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA34824 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:43:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:43:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040843.DAA26861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:43:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2769178de79c73361004409aa3b2e42d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 WTPZ41 KNHC 040846 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998 ESTELLE HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THIS MORNING WITH ONLY A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR THE CENTER. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ANALYSES FROM THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 60 KNOTS...AND ESTELLE IS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...IN LINE WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AS ESTELLE MOVES OVER 24/25C WATERS. SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB SUGGEST THAT ESTELLE IS MOVING A BIT SOUTH OF DUE WEST...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 265/14. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND CONTINUES A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. LIKE THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE...AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH NOGAPS AND CLIPER. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 18.4N 128.6W 60 KTS 12HR VT 04/1800Z 18.5N 130.8W 55 KTS 24HR VT 05/0600Z 18.6N 133.7W 50 KTS 36HR VT 05/1800Z 18.8N 136.6W 45 KTS 48HR VT 06/0600Z 19.0N 139.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 07/0600Z 19.5N 145.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627325-5390>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:38:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA64516; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:33:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:32:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39888 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:32:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040732.CAA26282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:32:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f121f5efdf7a3565219f45b6d8fc3001 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 571 AXPZ20 KNHC 040734 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 04 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 18.5N 127.9W AT 04/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 14 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W IS NOW ALONG 108W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N102W MOVING WESTWARD AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0630 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 126W AND 129W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 125W AND 131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N85W 8N90W 8N100W 5N109W 10N116W 10N134W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 118W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 92W AND FROM 101W TO 108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 3.5N78W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N85W ACROSS THE AZUERO PENINSULA OF PANAMA TO 8N80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 104W FROM 8N TO 12N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 114.5W FROM 10N TO 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 22N TO 23N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N85W AND 11N89W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627253-18982>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:38:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28468; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:32:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9140723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:32:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA61474 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:32:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040432.XAA24610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:32:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c986b47e197a131caba8fc1bb0eef97e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 861 ABPZ20 KNHC 040433 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT ...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-22823>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 10:36:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22122; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:30:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9139689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22074 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:30:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040230.VAA23470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:30:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13823697bbf5fa5950f166772139eacc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTPZ21 KNHC 040232 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z TUE AUG 04 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 127.4W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 250SE 250SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 127.4W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 126.7W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N 129.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.2N 132.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 127.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.8N 138.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 20.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625959-22823>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 10:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13248; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:28:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9139683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23468 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:28:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040227.VAA23459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:27:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d23cb0c83f8538bf056457c0c4122a09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 WTPZ41 KNHC 040229 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 WEAKENING HAS CONTINUED AS ESTELLE MOVES OVER 24 TO 25 DEG C WATER. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 70 KNOTS. ESTELLE SHOULD BE ROUGHLY PARALLELING THE 24 DEG C ISOTHERM IN ANOTHER DAY OR TWO...SO GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 270/14...AND THE INITIAL POSITION AND CURRENT TRACK HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT. NWS AVIATION MODEL MAINTAINS A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE ...SO THE GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. CURRENT TRACK REMAINS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 18.9N 127.4W 70 KTS 12HR VT 04/1200Z 19.0N 129.7W 65 KTS 24HR VT 05/0000Z 19.2N 132.6W 55 KTS 36HR VT 05/1200Z 19.5N 135.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 06/0000Z 19.8N 138.4W 35 KTS 72HR VT 07/0000Z 20.5N 144.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-22823>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:41:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA11046; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:39:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9138718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA34822 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:39:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:39:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040139.UAA22899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:39:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45df4316088759170d131680128de28e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 565 AXPZ20 KNHC 040141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 04 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 18.9N 126.7W AT 04/0000 UTC ...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 90 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W NOW IN VICINITY OF 107W FROM 5N-22N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...1009 MB LOW LOCATED NEAR 9N100W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0100 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH TIME AS EVIDENT IN DECREASE OF DEEP CONVECTION AND BRAKING UP RAIN BANDS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF CENTER IN SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE MARKS AND INNER RAIN BAND. THIS RAIN BAND CONTINUES WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 21N126W TO 19N124W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 9N100W 6N105W 8N115W 10N120W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-114W AND 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W-106W AND 125W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W-120W AND 132W-135W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN COSTA RICA AND GUATEMALA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER EL SALVADOR...AND OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N99W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625958-22828>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 07:09:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAB19388; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 17:38:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9137149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 17:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA22142 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 17:38:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 17:38:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808032238.RAA20671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 17:38:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5421151b5e32bf569a51227e2bf2108 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 ABPZ20 KNHC 032239 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY... IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4687 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-15049>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:33:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44782; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA46810 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808032032.PAA18202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbc33dd03339631c7af84522c5a83287 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 854 WTPZ21 KNHC 032035 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z MON AUG 03 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 125.7W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 125SE 125SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 125.7W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 125.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.8N 127.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.3N 130.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.8N 133.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 125.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 135.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 141.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627146-15049>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:34:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA11214; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11188 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:32:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:31:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808032031.PAA18184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:31:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4afed507f7716f0979d128c9de15c83a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 WTPZ41 KNHC 032034 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 THE GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND CONTINUES. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A MORE STABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF ESTELLE...AND THE HURRICANE HAS NOW CROSSED THE 25 DEG C SST ISOTHERM. IN A DAY OR TWO ESTELLE SHOULD BE ROUGHLY PARALLELING THE SST ISOTHERMS...BUT BE OVER 23-24 DEG C WATERS. THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS THE CYCLONE WEAKENING TO A DEPRESSION BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION IS SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT AND JUST SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THIS ENTAILS SOME COSMETIC CHANGES TO THE NHC FORECAST. THE LATEST RUN OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A 500 MB HIGH BUILDING BETWEEN 20N-30N AND 125W-145W IN 2-3 DAYS...WHICH SHOULD DISCOURAGE ESTELLE FROM TURNING MUCH TO THE RIGHT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE NHC FORECAST IS GENERALLY ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE OBJECTIVE TRACKS WHICH...SO FAR THIS SEASON...HAVE SHOWN A NORTHWARD BIAS ON AVERAGE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE REPORTED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST SSM/I ESTIMATES FROM THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 19.3N 125.7W 75 KTS 12HR VT 04/0600Z 19.8N 127.7W 70 KTS 24HR VT 04/1800Z 20.3N 130.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 05/0600Z 20.8N 133.0W 55 KTS 48HR VT 05/1800Z 21.3N 135.7W 45 KTS 72HR VT 06/1800Z 22.0N 141.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-15054>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:39:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34898; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:37:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:37:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67626 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:37:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031937.OAA16918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:37:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9ccc4057b5bc592ecc92dd8f2b37abe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 978 AXPZ20 KNHC 031939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 03 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTER NEAR 19.2N 125.0W AT 03/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 95 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W/105W NOW ALONG 106W FROM 5N-22N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1830 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18.5N TO 21N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N76W-8N107W-10N120W- 12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 4N81W-5N83W-6N85W-7N86W-8N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND 100W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 18N104.5W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627091-15054>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA47222; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 11:17:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9133216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 11:16:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA45666 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 11:16:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 11:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031616.LAA11915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 11:16:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1258a3ba0e9b5181ec69d5cf51b1d9dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 153 ABPZ20 KNHC 031618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2918 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627100-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:39:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14796; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:38:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:38:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47290 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:38:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031438.JAA09001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 847da12404ced0ad75749bee95b6ada7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 268 WTPZ41 KNHC 031440 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT ESTELLE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM WIND ESTIMATE IS 80 KNOTS AT THIS TIME...IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS. MULTI- LAYERED CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE CIRCULATION SUGGEST A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD. THE HURRICANE IS NEARING 25 DEG C SST/S...AND BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WATERS SHOULD COOL TO NEAR 23 DEG C. IF ESTELLE MOVES MORE NORTHWESTWARD...IT WOULD ENCOUNTER EVEN COOLER WATERS AND WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. MOTION REMAINS 290/12. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL RUN FROM 06Z SHOWS A 500 MB RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH 25N135W...AND BUILDING WESTWARD FROM THE LATTER LOCATION FROM 48-72 HRS. THIS PATTERN SHOULD MORE OR LESS MAINTAIN THE CURRENT MOTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THE MOST RECENT GFDL GUIDANCE SHOWS A TRACK SIMILAR TO THE OFFICIAL...BUT IS JUST SLIGHTLY SLOWER. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 19.1N 124.1W 80 KTS 12HR VT 04/0000Z 19.7N 126.0W 75 KTS 24HR VT 04/1200Z 20.5N 128.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 05/0000Z 21.0N 131.0W 55 KTS 48HR VT 05/1200Z 21.5N 133.5W 45 KTS 72HR VT 06/1200Z 22.0N 139.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-15054>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:38:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15132; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:37:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:37:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA64514 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:37:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031437.JAA08963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:37:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81324b841e4dfc35481c158a91e2b142 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTPZ21 KNHC 031439 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z MON AUG 03 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 124.1W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 125SE 125SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 124.1W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 123.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N 126.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 124.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4967 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:15:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA11200; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:13:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12974 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:13:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:13:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031313.IAA06571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:13:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 831f3d68e3c005f94fbbf8dabba426af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 267 AXPZ20 KNHC 031311 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 03 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTER NEAR 18.9N 123.5W AT 03/1200 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 103W NOW ALONG 104W/105W FROM 5N-22N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1230 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 19.5N BETWEEN 122.5W AND 124W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17.5N TO 21N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N76W-8N107W-10N120W- 12N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 7N77W-4N77W-7N84W-7N77W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE 9N99W- 8N105W-7N109W...FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 87W AND 88W...FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 90W AND 93W...AND FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 97W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS W OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-15054>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA46746; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 07:55:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9130842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 07:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA26246 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 07:55:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 07:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031255.HAA06138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 07:55:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97d81bc94275ce01c1b6a7d1af394104 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 ABPZ20 KNHC 031257 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-830>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 16:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28044; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:29:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA11124 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:29:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030829.DAA03916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:29:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8ff9320c582b5023f306330104795f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 WTPZ21 KNHC 030831 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z MON AUG 03 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 122.8W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 125SE 125SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 122.8W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 122.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.4N 124.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.1N 127.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.7N 129.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 122.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 21.2N 132.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627093-835>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 16:30:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41012; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:28:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA11040 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:28:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030828.DAA03908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:28:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83d22289d0a31d7c11d68011ab50a6dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 326 WTPZ41 KNHC 030830 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 03 1998 ESTELLE HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS AS THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED...AND CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER HAS DECREASED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EMBEDDED CENTER PATTERN. THE OUTFLOW AROUND THE SYSTEM IS UNIMPRESSIVE AND RECENT SST ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT ESTELLE IS CROSSING INTO 25/26C WATERS. THIS ALL POINTS TO CONTINUED WEAKENING AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT THIS TREND. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCE TO 90 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME - SHIPS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/12 KNOTS. A DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE SHOULD ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH A MORE WESTERLY HEADING THEREAFTER AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT THE GFDL GUIDANCE. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 18.8N 122.8W 90 KTS 12HR VT 03/1800Z 19.4N 124.6W 80 KTS 24HR VT 04/0600Z 20.1N 127.0W 70 KTS 36HR VT 04/1800Z 20.7N 129.4W 60 KTS 48HR VT 05/0600Z 21.2N 132.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 06/0600Z 22.0N 137.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626843-835>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:31:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47116; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:30:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26314 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:29:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030729.CAA03329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:29:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43811fed6700b94c30cd157ee4891027 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 446 AXPZ20 KNHC 030730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 03 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 18.6N 122.2W AT 03/0600 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 115 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 102W NOW ALONG 103W FROM 5N-22N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 26N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0630 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED WITH TIME AS OUTER RAIN BAND ON EAST AND NORTHEAST SIDE WEAKENS WITH WARMING OF TOPS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-80 NM OF CENTER IN NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE...WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-80 NM OF CENTER IN SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN A RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N125W 16N121W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN A WEAKENING OUTER RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19N119W 21N122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N85W 7N90W 9N95W 5N106W 10N110W 13N117W 10N125W 11N134W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 77W-80W...WITHIN 160 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-105W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COLOMBIA AND E PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 75W-78W...ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19N102W 23N106W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25N109W 28N108W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-17915>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:40:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20644; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:38:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9128419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:38:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67720 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:38:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030438.XAA02035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:38:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9487b41985db896619014cb20de0818d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 ABPZ20 KNHC 030439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626365-20786>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:36:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAB41860; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9127559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13158 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030234.VAA00941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9590edf6b96121cd6043b02e0c3da810 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 801 WTPZ21 KNHC 030236 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z MON AUG 03 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 121.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 125SE 125SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 121.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 121.1W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 123.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.5N 126.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 128.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 121.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626101-20786>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:36:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22742; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9127573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA50042 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030234.VAA00937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:34:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2b4e32ac035404d95f21ad2c8284a82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 800 WTPZ41 KNHC 030235 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN EMBEDDED CENTER WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION...BUT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CONSIDERABLY DIMINISHED AND THE SYSTEM IS NOT AS SYMMETRIC AS 12 HOURS AGO. INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 95 KNOTS...WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM SAB...TAFB...AND KGWC. COOLER WATERS LIE AHEAD OF THE HURRICANE WHICH WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED WEAKENING. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/12. A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE WILL ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE. CURRENT TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS A BLEND OF THE DIFFERENT TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 18.3N 121.7W 95 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 18.9N 123.6W 85 KTS 24HR VT 04/0000Z 19.5N 126.1W 75 KTS 36HR VT 04/1200Z 20.0N 128.6W 65 KTS 48HR VT 05/0000Z 20.5N 131.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 06/0000Z 21.5N 136.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-20786>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:44:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29242; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:41:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9126564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA20520 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:41:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030141.UAA00474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:41:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78e124e921d626265e9638f9baa8599f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 730 AXPZ20 KNHC 030142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 03 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 18.1N 121.1W AT 03/0000 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 120 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W NOW ALONG 102W FROM 5N-22N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0100 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... SYSTEM IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED WITH TIME AS EVIDENT IN DECREASE OF DEEP CONVECTION AND BRAKING UP OF MOST RAIN BANDS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER IN SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINES 16N120W 18N119W AND 18N119W 19N121W MARK AND OUTER RAIN BAND. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N85W 7N103W 6N110W 10N118W 10N130W 11N138W 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-90W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W-1110W...AND 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 131W-133W...AND 30-60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W- 115W...AND WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER CENTRAL PANAMA EXTENDING OFFSHORE TO WITHIN 50 NM OF THAT COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG OFFSHORE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO ...JUST INLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM 18N-21N...AND WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 11N100W 14N98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 13N1103W ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-20786>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 07:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA43582; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:32:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9125392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA37676 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:31:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA29010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808022231.RAA29010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:31:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 178d6f8a2c55067a800b2802345d1ff6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 ABPZ20 KNHC 022233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627001-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:37:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15274; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:35:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:34:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29298 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:34:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:34:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808022034.PAA28037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:34:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f307b546c831d8441df819a1cd8e5d35 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 227 WTPZ21 KNHC 022037 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z SUN AUG 02 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 120.2W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 125SE 125SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 120.2W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 119.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 122.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 127.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 120.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 129.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N 134.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626984-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA35060; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:33:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14814 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:32:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808022032.PAA28024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed7d9591bc4c15328d263b63e8647201 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 181 WTPZ41 KNHC 022035 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 ESTELLE HAS BEEN WEAKENING TODAY. THE EYE IS NO LONGER APPARENT...DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED IN EXTENT AND BECOME RATHER DISORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS WEAKENED. COOLER WATERS LIE AHEAD OF THE HURRICANE SO A CONTINUED DECREASE IN INTENSITY IS LIKELY...AND IS FORECAST. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CONSIDERABLY LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE TO REFLECT THE LATEST TREND. BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ESTELLE SHOULD BE OVER 23-23 DEG C WATERS...AND BE EVEN WEAKER THAN INDICATED HERE. THE TRACK FORECAST AND REASONING IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS BEFORE. MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING SHOULD BE MAINTAINED TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE. THEREFORE A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION AT AROUND THE CURRENT FORWARD SPEED...12 KNOTS...IS FORECAST. THIS IS ROUGHLY THE AVERAGE OF THE TRACKS GIVEN BY OUR OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE MODELS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 17.8N 120.2W 100 KTS 12HR VT 03/0600Z 18.4N 122.0W 90 KTS 24HR VT 03/1800Z 19.0N 124.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 04/0600Z 19.7N 127.0W 70 KTS 48HR VT 04/1800Z 20.0N 129.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 05/1800Z 20.5N 134.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2547 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626991-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:35:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41030; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:32:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64552 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021932.OAA27488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:32:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44dd38265e9316a32a0fbcd2e25b3607 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 339 AXPZ20 KNHC 021934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 02 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTER NEAR 17.6N 119.6W AT 02/1800 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W/100W NOW ALONG 101W N OF 8N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1800 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 118.5W AND 120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE 20N116W-13N122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W-8N93W- 6N106W-9N123W-12N134W-11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-120 NM EITHER SIDE 8N84W-7N96W-6N106W...AND FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 98W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 12N101W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626967-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 00:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA34934; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 11:55:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 11:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19302 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 11:51:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 11:51:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021651.LAA25984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 11:51:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae2c41588d64a25955b2e27189a4c7d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 ABPZ20 KNHC 021651 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3176 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 22:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58304; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:31:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:31:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47278 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:31:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021431.JAA24822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:31:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 692d1a36f569ca9887010a8ad008f075 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 WTPZ41 KNHC 021433 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 THE INTENSIFICATION TREND HAS...AT LEAST TEMPORARILY...CEASED. THE EYE HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED ON INFRARED IMAGERY AND THERE IS AN EROSION OF THE COLD CLOUD TOPS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SYSTEM. IT IS NOT CERTAIN WHETHER THIS IS A SHORTER-TERM FLUCTUATION OR THE BEGINNING OF A LONG-TERM WEAKENING TREND. ESTELLE IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE 27 DEG C SST ISOTHERM...SO FURTHER WEAKENING SEEMS PLAUSIBLE. HOWEVER BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTIES... THE CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS A RELATIVELY SLOW DECAY. LATE IN THE PERIOD...SEA TEMPS COULD BE NEAR 24 DEG C SO ESTELLE MIGHT BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER THAN SHOWN HERE. GLOBAL MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THAT A WELL-ESTABLISHED MID- TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE SHOULD CONTINUE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/11 AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE DEVIATION FROM THIS MOTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 17.3N 119.2W 115 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 17.8N 121.1W 110 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 18.3N 123.5W 105 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 18.8N 126.0W 95 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 19.3N 128.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 133.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-27265>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 22:31:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58206; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52810 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021430.JAA24806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:30:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01da6c36b4e8b14705b2190b270228af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 398 WTPZ21 KNHC 021432 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z SUN AUG 02 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 119.2W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 125SE 125SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 119.2W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 118.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.8N 121.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.3N 123.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.8N 126.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 119.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.3N 128.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.0N 133.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-27265>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:36:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA26204; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:34:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:34:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA43594 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:34:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021334.IAA24419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:34:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f765e5e54d63c98716a588b547697516 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 AXPZ20 KNHC 021335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 02 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTER NEAR 17.2N 118.6W AT 02/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 100 KT GUSTS 130 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W NOW ALONG 99W/100W N OF 8N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1200 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 117W AND 119W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE 18N115W-11N121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W-9N99W- 11N113W-12N133W-11N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 6N94W-6N95W-8N98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 99W AND 101W...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 12N102W AND 12N106W...FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 25N108W-21N107W OFF COAST OF MEXICO. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1560 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626257-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 18:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13232; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 05:56:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 05:56:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA29342 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 05:56:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA23266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 05:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021056.FAA23266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 05:56:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e18c6f2bb9b5de10bd6db1e55fe76c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 ABPZ20 KNHC 021059 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 685 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626847-27265>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:09:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30276; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62504 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020906.EAA22562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 682e128b10d01de0269920d388a3e72a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 218 WTPZ41 KNHC 020906 COR TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INTENSITY FORECAST... ESTELLE IS A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE WITH A VERY SYMMETRIC CLOUD PATTERN...A WELL-DEFINED 20 NMI EYE AND A SECONDARY BANDING FEATURE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. OBJECTIVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE BEEN STEADY AT 6.0..115 KNOTS...HE LAST 6 HOURS OR SO. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE ALSO 6.0. THEREFORE ...THE CURRENT INTENSITY WILL BE ADJUSTED UPWARDS TO 115 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE SHOWING SOME WEAKENING BY 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/12 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF ESTELLE SHOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS CLOSELY CLUSTERED AROUND THIS THEME...AS IS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL MODEL NHC91. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 16.8N 118.1W 115 KTS 12HR VT 02/1800Z 17.2N 119.9W 115 KTS 24HR VT 03/0600Z 17.7N 122.6W 110 KTS 36HR VT 03/1800Z 18.2N 125.6W 100 KTS 48HR VT 04/0600Z 18.5N 128.5W 90 KTS 72HR VT 05/0600Z 19.0N 134.9W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:09:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30258; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA23320 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020906.EAA22558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:06:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 906a7e748ca25357fefbc10bf887cbf3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 WTPZ21 KNHC 020908 COR TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z SUN AUG 02 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR INTENSITY FORECAST... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 120SE 120SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.2N 119.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.7N 122.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.2N 125.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 118.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 19.0N 134.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3113 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-27265>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:03:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA53166; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:00:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:00:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62620 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:00:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020900.EAA22521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:00:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ed9cf6f1a7ea8debb4c5ec84107537e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 081 WTPZ41 KNHC 020902 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 02 1998 ESTELLE IS A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE WITH A VERY SYMMETRIC CLOUD PATTERN...A WELL-DEFINED 20 NMI EYE AND A SECONDARY BANDING FEATURE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. OBJECTIVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE BEEN STEADY AT 6.0..115 KNOTS...HE LAST 6 HOURS OR SO. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE ALSO 6.0. THEREFORE ...THE CURRENT INTENSITY WILL BE ADJUSTED UPWARDS TO 115 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE SHOWING SOME WEAKENING BY 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/12 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF ESTELLE SHOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A GENERAL WESTWARD HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS CLOSELY CLUSTERED AROUND THIS THEME...AS IS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL MODEL NHC91. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 16.8N 118.1W 105 KTS 12HR VT 02/1800Z 17.2N 119.9W 115 KTS 24HR VT 03/0600Z 17.7N 122.6W 110 KTS 36HR VT 03/1800Z 18.2N 125.6W 105 KTS 48HR VT 04/0600Z 18.5N 128.5W 90 KTS 72HR VT 05/0600Z 19.0N 134.9W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626798-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:02:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA13144; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:59:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:59:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62532 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:59:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:59:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020859.DAA22347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:59:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b4fc713cdc02f1c3c4c4127aa53c8f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 WTPZ21 KNHC 020901 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z SUN AUG 02 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 120SE 120SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.2N 119.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.7N 122.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.2N 125.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 118.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 19.0N 134.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-23581>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29422; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:31:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:31:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA09936 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:31:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020731.CAA21557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:31:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 788c3dca63717f94a0c98091435c79b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 AXPZ20 KNHC 020732 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 02 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 117.5W AT 02/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W IS NOW ALONG 98W NORTH OF 8N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0630 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... ESTELLE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE. A LARGE CIRRUS CANOPY OF UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FROM 10N-21N BETWEEN 110W-129W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-50 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED IN RAIN BANDS FORMING WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N120W 14N117W 16N115W 18N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED IN OTHER RAIN BANDS FORMING WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N123W 13N123W 12N120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 11N101W 11N110W 9N120W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS OVER THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N77W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-113W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W TO BEYOND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 90W-97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 87W-91W MOVING RAPIDLY SW...AND OVER MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 90W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4N97W 7N100W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR COASTS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 1N79W 4N77W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N98W 25N108W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS AROUND PANAMA FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 78W-87W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-9897>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 13:17:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23550; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:12:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119433 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:12:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA67820 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:12:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:12:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020512.AAA20632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:12:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a58eced5589379f9bddcefc3d50ef56f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 ABPZ20 KNHC 020512 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 635 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626265-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:32:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19234; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:32:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9118055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47104 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020231.VAA19095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 480e7b69976a35194cf4befcb9f23e17 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 189 WTPZ21 KNHC 020234 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z SUN AUG 02 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 117.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 117.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.3W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.9N 119.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 121.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.6N 124.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 117.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 17.7N 127.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626145-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:32:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12994; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9118040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12952 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020231.VAA19078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2b270190c2b1df9fc686cdbb3b7a1e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 161 WTPZ41 KNHC 020233 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 ESTELLE RETAINS A WELL-DEFINED EYE WITHIN A RING OF INTENSE CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS QUITE LARGE...ALTHOUGH THE ONLY OTHER AREA WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS -50C ARE IN A SPIRAL BAND TO THE SE. WIND RADII ARE ALSO KEPT LARGE...AND SOMEWHAT BIGGER THAN ESTIMATED FROM SSM/I DATA. INITIAL MOTION HAS SHIFTED TO 280/13 KT...BUT THE INCREASED NORTHWARD COMPONENT COULD BE ONLY A WOBBLE AS THE AVN FORECASTS THAT A STRONG ANTICYCLONE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF ESTELLE. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM MOVING JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST. THE NHC TRACK REPRESENTS AN EXTENSION OF THE FORECAST 6 HOURS AGO AND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE RATHER TIGHTLY PACKED TRACK GUIDANCE AND THE 18Z AVN. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 16.6N 117.0W 100 KTS 12HR VT 02/1200Z 16.9N 119.0W 105 KTS 24HR VT 03/0000Z 17.3N 121.8W 105 KTS 36HR VT 03/1200Z 17.6N 124.4W 105 KTS 48HR VT 04/0000Z 17.7N 127.1W 90 KTS 72HR VT 05/0000Z 18.0N 133.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626164-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:43:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA45630; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:41:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA49962 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:41:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020141.UAA18651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:41:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be13082e9d215c2d3872a1a2a66ee814 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 225 AXPZ20 KNHC 020142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 02 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 16.5N 116.3W AT 02/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W/96W IS NOW ALONG 97W NORTH OF 8N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0100 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... ESTELLE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 115W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 114W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 7N90W 10N100W 8N110W 10N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 91W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 75W-77W...AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 134W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-15N BETWEEN 100W-111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER N MEXICO AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 108W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN CLUSTERS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO S MEXICO FROM 7N-19N EXTENDING 60 NM OVER THE OCEAN. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 07:10:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA44776; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:31:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA22742 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808012231.RAA16749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:31:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65a330b2efb567cb9ea75ed335e46499 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 ABPZ20 KNHC 012230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3768 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-29814>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA09832; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:36:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62550 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808012035.PAA15562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42acf06f5e93fb96dca1dbdcbfdc20cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 737 WTPZ41 KNHC 012038 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 ESTELLE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A DISTINCT EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN A CDO AND WELL DEFINED BANDING FEATURES. T-NUMBERS ARE 5.5 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB SO WINDS ARE ADJUSTED TO 100 KNOTS. SHEAR IS LIGHT AND OCEAN IS WARM SO FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED. AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE MAY PRODUCE TEMPORARY FLUCTUATIONS IN THE NEAR FUTURE BUT THAT IT IS EVEN HARDER TO FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/13. THERE IS A PERSISTENT AND SOLID DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE. THIS PATTERN WILL SUGGEST THAT ESTELLE WILL CONTINUE ON A GENERAL WEST MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. GUIDANCE REFLECTS THE STRENGTH OF THAT RIDGE BY KEEPING ESTELLE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 16.0N 115.6W 100 KTS 12HR VT 02/0600Z 16.0N 117.5W 105 KTS 24HR VT 02/1800Z 16.5N 120.0W 105 KTS 36HR VT 03/0600Z 16.5N 122.5W 105 KTS 48HR VT 03/1800Z 17.0N 125.5W 100 KTS 72HR VT 04/1800Z 17.5N 132.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3782 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-29809>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:36:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45634; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64548 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808012035.PAA15552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:35:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0edd3b86b8658756cd6fd7182d868675 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 WTPZ21 KNHC 012036 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z SAT AUG 01 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.0W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 115.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 17.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-29809>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:31:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22752; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:29:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA12952 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:28:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011928.OAA14830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:28:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5dc9bd44c15cb4ebd244f813acde4476 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 731 AXPZ20 KNHC 011927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 01 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 114.8W AT 01/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W NOW ALONG 95W/96W NORTH OF 8N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1900 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... ESTELLE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION REMAIN WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-19N BETWEEN 111W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N95W 12N105W 11N115W 11N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N106W-13N108W ...AND FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 97W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-94W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N121W-17N126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 90 NM OF 21N107W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-29809>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:21:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13158; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 11:18:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9112812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 11:18:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26196 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 11:18:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 11:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011618.LAA12764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 11:18:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98bfce44a5a312effd7190a196d13202 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 905 ABPZ20 KNHC 011618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 555 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626760-16649>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 22:30:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA64622; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:28:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9112127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41050 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011428.JAA11712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a747b92bd60270bab65e54a6ae0d27d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 WTPZ21 KNHC 011427 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z SAT AUG 01 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 114.3W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 114.3W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.0N 116.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 114.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 22:29:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26148; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:27:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9112120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA64528 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011427.JAA11707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:27:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bfac40e739f90b56fc0eaa3f28fb3b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 WTPZ41 KNHC 011427 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 ESTELLE IS LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY. T- NUMBERS ARE OSCILLATING AROUND 5.0 AND 5.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. AN EYE IS CLEARLY OBSERVED ON IR IMAGES AND THERE ARE PLENTY OF BANDING FEATURES. WINDS ARE INCREASED TO 95 KNOTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED EXCEPT SOME WEAKENING BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WHEN ESTELLE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/13. THERE IS A PERSISTENT AND SOLID DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE. THIS PATTERN WILL SUGGEST A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/1500Z 15.9N 114.3W 95 KTS 12HR VT 02/0000Z 16.0N 116.3W 105 KTS 24HR VT 02/1200Z 16.5N 119.0W 105 KTS 36HR VT 03/0000Z 17.0N 121.5W 105 KTS 48HR VT 03/1200Z 17.5N 124.0W 100 KTS 72HR VT 04/1200Z 18.5N 130.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:24:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA20542; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:21:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9111580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:21:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67620 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:21:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:21:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011321.IAA11151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:21:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36f99741493a6b81e48b8d1774e2d6df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 225 AXPZ20 KNHC 011320 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 01 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 15.9N 113.7W AT 01/1200 UTC MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W NOW ALONG 94W NORTH OF 8N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1300 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 110W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N126W-12N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N122W-10N116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N94W 10N100W 10N115W 10N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 97W-107W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N112W-12N111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-10N EAST OF 83W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N102W-22N106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N BETWEEN 86W-92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N123W-13N119W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2023 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 18:34:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA22590; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 05:30:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9110588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 05:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA14636 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 05:30:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA09727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 05:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011030.FAA09727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 05:30:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da993d39ab085b760786e3b18fae1270 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 350 ABPZ20 KNHC 011029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626606-16649>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:05:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34832; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:04:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9110223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62668 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010903.EAA09151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77637ce9b6035000cf2c490d1597fc47 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 772 WTPZ21 KNHC 010903 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z SAT AUG 01 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 112.6W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 100SE 100SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 112.6W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 112.0W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.4N 114.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N 116.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.9N 119.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 112.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 122.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 17:05:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA22722; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9110219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62640 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA09147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010903.EAA09147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:03:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0479aa93d6b0d05bb3f0b59c3bbb127f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 WTPZ41 KNHC 010902 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 01 1998 THE CDO HAS EXPANDED THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH A HINT OF POSSIBLE WARM SPOT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. DMSP SSM/I SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW A EYE-LIKE FEATURE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB REMAIN 4.5...77 KNOTS. THUS...THE INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 75 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE WITH THE SYSTEM WEAKENING BY 48 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/12 KNOTS. THE TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS RATHER CLOSELY CLUSTERED ALONG A GENERAL WEST TO WEST- NORTHWEST TRACK...WITH A TURN BACK TO THE WEST BY 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE AVIATION MODEL FORECAST FOR THE E-W ORIENTED HIGH TO THE NORTH TO REMAIN THE CONTROLLING FEATURE THROUGH 72 HOURS. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0900Z 16.0N 112.6W 75 KTS 12HR VT 01/1800Z 16.4N 114.5W 85 KTS 24HR VT 02/0600Z 17.1N 116.9W 90 KTS 36HR VT 02/1800Z 17.9N 119.6W 85 KTS 48HR VT 03/0600Z 18.5N 122.0W 65 KTS 72HR VT 04/0600Z 19.5N 128.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626433-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67734; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:32:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9110039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26242 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010732.CAA08404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:32:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3150fe925338a22419e2ed780d95aaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 AXPZ20 KNHC 010731 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 1 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 15.9N 112.0W AT 01/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W NOW IN VICINITY OF 92W/93W FROM 7N-23N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0630 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... A DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN IS VISIBLE IN THE CIRRUS CANOPY SPREADING OUTWARD ABOVE SYSTEM TO 21N BETWEEN 105W-123W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN AN OUTER RAINBAND IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N116W 13N112W 15N110W ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 10N99W 8N104W 12N110W 11N115W 13N125W 12N130W 13N130W TO ABOUT 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-88W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-116W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COLOMBIA AND THE ITCZ FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 74W-79W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N92W...WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-108W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER NORTHERN VENEZUELA AROUND LAKE MARACAIBO WITHIN A 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 9N72W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 87W-91W...OVER THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 100W-104W...AND FROM 25N-28N BETWEEN 107W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 2N-4N BETWEEN 77W-79W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:27:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA53118; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 23:26:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9108825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 23:26:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA41834 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 23:26:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 23:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010426.XAA06666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 23:26:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18a0c23cf914165e99e594c2389b37dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 946 ABPZ20 KNHC 010425 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 10:45:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19266; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:44:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30348 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:43:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010243.VAA05696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:43:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e38df2eb8ea8cd0bfb8ed7d039cfb582 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 941 WTPZ21 KNHC 010242 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z SAT AUG 01 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 111.4W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 100SE 100SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 111.4W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 110.8W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.2N 113.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.7N 115.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 111.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 121.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2014 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-16649>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 10:46:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA09752; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:44:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:44:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47236 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:43:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:43:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010243.VAA05692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:43:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23f8e862ede0f1a652d541a76c548580 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 WTPZ41 KNHC 010241 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 LITTLE CHANGE HAS BEEN NOTED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE NHC PREDICTION OF 6 HOURS AGO. ESTELLE HAS A CORE OF COLD CLOUD TOPS AT ITS CENTER WITH A LARGE AREA OF SURROUNDING CLOUDS AND RAINBANDS. NO EYE IS APPARENT AS YET...EXCEPT IN SSM/I IMAGES. INITIAL WIND SPEED IS AGAIN 75 KT AND THE MOTION IS 280/12 KT. THE GUIDANCE IS RATHER CLOSELY CLUSTERED ALONG A W TO WNW TRACK AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE AVN FORECAST FOR THE E-W ORIENTED HIGH TO THE NORTH TO REMAIN THE CONTROLLING FEATURE THROUGH 72 HOURS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED FOR 24 TO 36 HOURS...WITH WEAKENING OVER COOLER WATERS TO OCCUR THEREAFTER. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0300Z 15.8N 111.4W 75 KTS 12HR VT 01/1200Z 16.2N 113.3W 85 KTS 24HR VT 02/0000Z 16.7N 115.6W 90 KTS 36HR VT 02/1200Z 17.5N 118.5W 90 KTS 48HR VT 03/0000Z 18.3N 121.3W 85 KTS 72HR VT 04/0000Z 20.0N 127.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:45:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29306; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:35:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45656 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:35:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:35:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010135.UAA05032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:35:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6248a3e1c4ef8f39f6e30c2b6e9c212 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 AXPZ20 KNHC 010133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 1 AUG 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 15.7N 110.8W AT 01/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W NOW IN VICINITY OF 91W FROM 7N-23N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0100 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ALLOWING THIS SYSTEM TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. A DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN IS VISIBLE IN THE CIRRUS CANOPY SPREADING OUTWARD ABOVE SYSTEM TO 20N BETWEEN 105W-120W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM NORTHWEST OF CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION MARKING INNER RAIN BAND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N110W 16N110W...AND FROM 16N-17N BETWEEN 111W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN OUTER RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 12N111W 15N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION DENOTING OUTER RAIN BAND FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 112W-113W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ALONG ITCZ PORTION SW OF THE SYSTEM FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 111W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 9N99W 7N105W 10N110W 12N120W 13N130W TO ABOUT 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-90W AND 101W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W- 124W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N88W TO COAST OF NORTHERN PANAMA. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N94W...JUST OFFSHORE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 17N102W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 96W-99W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2712 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625865-15206>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 06:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA35026; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 17:48:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 17:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA26304 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 17:48:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 17:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312248.RAA03048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 17:48:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e75d01756fc2339f5dc202474e2b4b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 498 ABPZ20 KNHC 312247 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1758 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627557-19152>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 05:15:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA61516; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:14:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9105192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA41786 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:14:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA01968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:14:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312114.QAA01968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:14:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 481ffa55b999a5e3165fc811775dc5df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 831 WTPZ41 KNHC 312107 COR TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 ...CORRECTED 24 HR LATITUDE TO 16.4N RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THE FORMATION OF A COLD CDO ...WITH -80C TOPS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW IN AGREEMENT WITH 77 KNOTS...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS INCREASED TO 75 KNOTS. NO EYE FEATURE IS APPARENT AT THIS TIME HOWEVER...DMSP SSM/I IMAGERY RECEIVED FROM THE U.S. NAVY DMSP SHOWS A DISTINCT EYE-TYPE FEATURE. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE SUBSIDENCE IS NOT YET SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AN EYE...AND IT IS LIKELY A THIN VAIL OF CIRRUS REMAINS. THIS FACTOR...ALONG WITH THE SLOWLY IMPROVING OUTFLOW...POINTS TO CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS THIS...AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/12 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF ESTELLE SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK TO CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. ALL THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REFLECTS THIS SCENARIO...A AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE AVIATION AND THE STATISTICAL- DYNAMICAL MODEL NHC91. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/2100Z 15.6N 110.2W 80 KTS 12HR VT 01/0600Z 15.9N 112.1W 85 KTS 24HR VT 01/1800Z 16.4N 114.5W 95 KTS 36HR VT 02/0600Z 17.1N 117.2W 95 KTS 48HR VT 02/1800Z 18.0N 120.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 03/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:33:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28572; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:32:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14702 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:32:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312032.PAA00718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:32:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e8c4b9880860c9f0d1421c4958e504c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 WTPZ21 KNHC 312031 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z FRI JUL 31 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 110.2W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 100SE 100SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 110.2W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.9N 112.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N 117.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 110.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1928 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:32:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA09856; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:30:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA47200 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312030.PAA00645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:30:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01d87601f3c0dc2641ec8c19b76b5b5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 WTPZ41 KNHC 312029 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THE FORMATION OF A COLD CDO ...WITH -80C TOPS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW IN AGREEMENT WITH 77 KNOTS...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS INCREASED TO 75 KNOTS. NO EYE FEATURE IS APPARENT AT THIS TIME HOWEVER...DMSP SSM/I IMAGERY RECEIVED FROM THE U.S. NAVY DMSP SHOWS A DISTINCT EYE-TYPE FEATURE. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE SUBSIDENCE IS NOT YET SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AN EYE...AND IT IS LIKELY A THIN VAIL OF CIRRUS REMAINS. THIS FACTOR...ALONG WITH THE SLOWLY IMPROVING OUTFLOW...POINTS TO CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS THIS...AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/12 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF ESTELLE SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK TO CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. ALL THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST REFLECTS THIS SCENARIO...A AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE AVIATION AND THE STATISTICAL- DYNAMICAL MODEL NHC91. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/2100Z 15.6N 110.2W 80 KTS 12HR VT 01/0600Z 15.9N 112.1W 85 KTS 24HR VT 01/1800Z 25.0N 114.5W 95 KTS 36HR VT 02/0600Z 17.1N 117.2W 95 KTS 48HR VT 02/1800Z 18.0N 120.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 03/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627597-19152>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 03:36:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28588; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:34:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:34:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28312 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:34:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311934.OAA29462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:34:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca60a979fd015b4934b87258f2f2abae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 AXPZ20 KNHC 311932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 31 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 109.6W AT 31/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION AND EXTENDS ALONG 90W N OF 10N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1900 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WITH BANDING FEATURES AND A DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN PREVALENT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER 108W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS IN A BAND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N111W-13N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 104W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 107W FROM 14N-19N. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N89W 8N99W 10N109W 9N120W 9N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 3N-11N BETWEEN 77W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 4N-12N BETWEEN 95W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12.5N BETWEEN 114W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 120 NM OF 9N86W- 13N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 18N119W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 22:32:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30510; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44562 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA22262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311431.JAA22262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a61c333418ff5d6d676fcb7c288c257 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 WTPZ21 KNHC 311430 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z FRI JUL 31 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 109.1W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 100SE 100SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 109.1W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.7N 111.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.3N 113.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.9N 116.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 109.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 123.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 22:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20722; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44768 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA22241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311431.JAA22241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:31:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75c077eeeea43cdbb595fdf20b5aaa67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WTPZ41 KNHC 311430 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 ESTELLE HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING WITH WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES AND THE CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN -80C TOPS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 77 AND 65 KNOTS... RESPECTIVELY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. ESTELLE IS EXPERIENCING SOME EAST/NORTHEAST VERTICAL SHEAR RESULTING IN RESTRICTED OUTFLOW. HOWEVER...ANALYSES FROM THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES SUGGEST THAT ESTELLE SHOULD MOVE INTO A LOWER SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY...IN LINE WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. RECENT SATELLITE FIXES SUGGEST THAT ESTELLE/S FORWARD MOTION HAS INCREASED...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 275/13 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF ESTELLE SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK TO PERSIST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE MAJORITY OF THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO... WITH SOME VARIATION IN SPEED. THE NOGAPS MODEL CONTINUES TO BE A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE RIGHT OF THE OTHER MODELS SHOWING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BEYOND 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET AND LBAR. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 15.4N 109.1W 70 KTS 12HR VT 01/0000Z 15.7N 111.1W 80 KTS 24HR VT 01/1200Z 16.3N 113.8W 90 KTS 36HR VT 02/0000Z 16.9N 116.3W 90 KTS 48HR VT 02/1200Z 17.5N 119.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 03/1200Z 19.0N 123.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627230-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:37:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA53084; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:36:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:35:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA64578 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:35:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311335.IAA21131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:35:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebf16ffda25aeeb1df785b88788e4775 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 AXPZ20 KNHC 311334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 31 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE HAS INTENSIFIED AND BECOME A HURRICANE. HURRICANE ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 108.4W AT 31/1200 UTC MOVING WEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1300 UTC... HURRICANE ESTELLE... THE SYSTEM CONTAINS GOOD BANDING FEATURES WITH A DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-19N BETWEEN 105W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N87W 6N97W 9N110W 12N124W 12N128W 8N133W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULFS OF PANAMA AND URABA FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 76W- 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N81W-6N87W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 94W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-119W...AND WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N94W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N98W-17N100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N83W-15N90W...ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N104W-28N110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N119W-13N116W-10N111W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2346 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627026-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 17:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29378; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:56:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA22704 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:56:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA18897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:56:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310956.EAA18897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:56:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07647515b103831cc38fb3b8c717f13b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 182 ABPZ20 KNHC 310952 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:57:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12990; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA20652 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310854.DAA18349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56712f99df16497aeb7f85b00d39ccb2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 142 WTPZ41 KNHC 310852 TCDEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/09. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE. THE NOGAPS MODEL IS A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE RIGHT OF THE OTHER MODELS SHOWING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS CLOSEST TO THE UKMET AND GFDL MODELS. ESTELLE IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RATHER COLD AND SYMMETRIC CDO HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CENTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS THERE ARE NO APPARENT INHIBITING FACTORS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS LAWRENCE INITIAL 31/0900Z 15.1N 108.0W 65 KTS 12HR VT 31/1800Z 15.2N 109.0W 70 KTS 24HR VT 01/0600Z 15.5N 111.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 01/1800Z 16.0N 113.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 02/0600Z 16.5N 115.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 03/0600Z 18.0N 119.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45724; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62600 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310854.DAA18345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:54:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 897930ea77638521bd1b10c7df3089bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 141 WTPZ21 KNHC 310853 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z FRI JUL 31 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 108.0W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 100SE 100SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 108.0W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 107.0W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.2N 109.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 108.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 16.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626802-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:34:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA20572; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04170 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:31:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310731.CAA17717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:31:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24cceb904f9547cd2910f43bd28af358 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 AXPZ20 KNHC 310730 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 31 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 15.0N 107.0W AT 31/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0600 UTC... ...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N137W 24N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... WELL DEFINED SYSTEM SHOWING DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN AS INDICATED BY HIGH CIRRUS CLOUD CANOPY SPREADING OUTWARD TO 20N FROM 100W-114W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FORMING RAIN BANDS IS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N109W 13N106W 16N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FORMING RAIN BANDS IS WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17N109W 13N109W...AND IN AN OUTER RAIN BAND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N100W 15N102W 17N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N90W 8N100W 11N107W 9N110W 12N120W 9N130W 7N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N95W...WITHIN 60-80 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-112W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W...WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-101W...WITHIN 60-80 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-118W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-85W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-122W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA AND EASTERN PANAMA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 72W-78W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COSTA RICA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N85W...AND OVER THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 94W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 21N103W 28N110W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3873 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626189-5105>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:49:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12258; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 23:47:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 23:47:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22760 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 23:45:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 23:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310445.XAA16128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 23:45:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91408a1003410ce6d841b74201f3979a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 570 ABPZ20 KNHC 310442 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-5105>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:49:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14704; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:48:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12116 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:46:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310246.VAA14841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:46:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eac4812658ca1d9e5195543df4d3ae04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 441 WTPZ21 KNHC 310245 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z FRI JUL 31 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.9W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.9W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 105.5W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.1N 107.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.5N 109.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.0N 111.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 105.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.4N 113.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626799-5105>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:49:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA09754; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:48:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:47:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20556 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:46:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310246.VAA14837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:46:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e51f7d3a97fbd9c20e0ea23592f9f36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 440 WTPZ41 KNHC 310245 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 ESTELLE HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION WITH A STRONG CORE OF CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER AND SEVERAL RAINBANDS CONTAINING CONVECTION OF MODERATE INTENSITY. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 3.5...SO NO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 60 KT IS MADE. THE FORWARD SPEED HAS DECREASED A LITTLE...TO 275/8 KT. THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE KEEPS A NARROW E-W ORIENTED ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH OF ESTELLE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE TRACK GUIDANCE AND OFFICIAL FORECAST ARE CONSISTENT WITH THAT PATTERN...INDICATING A WEST TO WNW MOVEMENT. WITH THE STORM INTENSITY UNCHANGED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND WITH THE INTENSITY FORECAST SCHEMES LESS AGGRESSIVE THIS TIME AROUND...A LITTLE SLOWER RATE OF STRENGTHENING IS SHOWN. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0300Z 15.0N 105.9W 60 KTS 12HR VT 31/1200Z 15.1N 107.2W 65 KTS 24HR VT 01/0000Z 15.5N 109.3W 70 KTS 36HR VT 01/1200Z 16.0N 111.4W 75 KTS 48HR VT 02/0000Z 16.4N 113.5W 80 KTS 72HR VT 03/0000Z 17.5N 118.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4134 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-18735>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:28:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11162; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:26:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:26:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA43654 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:26:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:26:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310226.VAA14597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:26:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e7deab6367917f0166d55d40958fc99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 119 AXPZ20 KNHC 310223 COR TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 31 JUL 1998 ...CORRECTION UNDER TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 14.9W 105.5W AT 31/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0000 UTC... ...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 29N132W 24N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... WELL DEFINED SYSTEM SHOWING DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN AS INDICATED BY HIGH CIRRUS CLOUD CANOPY SPREADING OUTWARD TO 20N FROM 100W-112W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EAST OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FORMING RAIN BANDS ARE WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LINES 10N103W 13N103W ...13N105W 15N104W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OVER WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N90W 5N100W 10N110W 10N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-97W...110W-114W AND 117W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER PANAMA/COSTA RICA BORDER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N89W 10N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER EXTREME SE MEXICO NEAR GUATEMALA AND OVER GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N92W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-18735>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:48:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43656; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:45:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15218 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:45:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310145.UAA14146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:45:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d80cd099703bdbbcc05fa6b9776b99f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 324 AXPZ20 KNHC 310143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 31 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CENTERED NEAR 14.9W 105.5W AT 31/0000 UTC MOVING WEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0000 UTC... ...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 29N132W 24N120W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... WELL DEFINED SHOWING DISTINCT OUTFLOW PATTERN AS INDICATED BY HIGH CIRRUS CLOUD CANOPY SPREADING OUTWARD TO 20N FROM 100W-112W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EAST OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FORMING RAIN BANDS ARE WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LINES 10N103W 13N103W...13N105W 15N104W...AND OVER WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-18N BETWEEN 101W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SPIRALING INTO THE CENTER FROM THE SOUTH WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N110W-11N103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N106W- 25N107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N90W 5N100W 10N110W 10N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-97W...110W-114W AND 117W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER PANAMA/COSTA RICA BORDER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER GULF OF PANAMA...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N89W 10N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER EXTREME SE MEXICO NEAR GUATEMALA AND OVER GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N92W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2234 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-18160>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 07:09:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA43636; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:31:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA52834 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:30:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302230.RAA11978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:30:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c30fd8da668f392ddf98774a73e93fb9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 ABPZ20 KNHC 302228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627720-4290>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49968; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:35:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:35:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14618 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:35:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302035.PAA09293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:35:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8e90fdcf2a233a05c2c692858d2b21b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 WTPZ41 KNHC 302035 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 ESTELLE CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB. DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ON ALL SIDES OF THE SYSTEM AND THE PRESENTATION ON THE VISIBLE IMAGE IS IMPRESSIVE. THE STORM SHOULD REMAIN OVER WARM WATER AND SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD SO THE CURRENT STRENGTHENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. THE PREDICTED TRACK HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE BAM AND GFDL MODELS SUGGEST A SOMEWHAT SLOWER MOTION THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL MODEL NHC91 WHICH HAS PERFORMED WELL IN THE EAST PACIFIC SO FAR THIS SEASON. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 14.8N 105.2W 60 KTS 12HR VT 31/0600Z 15.0N 106.9W 65 KTS 24HR VT 31/1800Z 15.3N 109.3W 75 KTS 36HR VT 01/0600Z 15.6N 111.6W 80 KTS 48HR VT 01/1800Z 15.9N 113.9W 85 KTS 72HR VT 02/1800Z 17.0N 118.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627748-4296>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 04:37:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67650; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:33:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:33:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA46638 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:33:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:33:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302033.PAA09224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:33:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 754c88d019f5be9c6bb3d590c0b7d23b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 628 WTPZ21 KNHC 302031 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z THU JUL 30 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.2W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.2W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 104.7W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.3N 109.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 105.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 15.9N 113.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626436-4296>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:42:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA56906; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 14:38:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9090781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 14:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA41206 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 14:35:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 14:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301935.OAA07411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 14:35:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ca0521e0e3d12e14fae05fc813e7974 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 AXPZ20 KNHC 301932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 30 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 104.7W AT 30/1800 UTC MOVING WEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-18N BETWEEN 101W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SPIRALING INTO THE CENTER FROM THE SOUTH WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N110W-11N103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N106W- 25N107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N88W 5N93W 9N106W 11N115W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 2N-11N BETWEEN 78W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N82W-6N87W-4N95W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 7N-11N WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 84W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N125W-18N115W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627708-4296>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30942; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 11:25:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 11:25:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12888 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 11:25:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 11:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301625.LAA02597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 11:25:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5fce3bdc6692e7d91eb79e8e5a9aebf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 158 ABPZ20 KNHC 301620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627106-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 22:51:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11244; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:50:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57036 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:50:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301450.JAA00021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:50:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4d6ca68e60ea359b5910650fb3a6998 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WTPZ41 KNHC 301449 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF ESTELLE HAVE INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM APPEARS WELL ORGANIZED WITH STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK REMAIN ABOVE 28 DEG C FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS AND THE STORM IS LOCATED SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. THEREFORE FAIRLY RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS PREDICTED...IN AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME (SHIPS). THE CURRENT MOTION IS WESTWARD ABOUT 10 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVN RUN INDICATES THAT ESTELLE WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED AS ESTELLE MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THIS MOTION IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS AND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/1500Z 14.8N 104.6W 50 KTS 12HR VT 31/0000Z 15.0N 106.3W 55 KTS 24HR VT 31/1200Z 15.3N 108.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 01/0000Z 15.6N 110.9W 75 KTS 48HR VT 01/1200Z 16.0N 113.4W 80 KTS 72HR VT 02/1200Z 16.8N 118.3W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627128-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 22:51:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45030; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:49:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28574 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:48:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:48:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301448.JAA29985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:48:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae8397da52d058a94baca00ab9ca608c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 WTPZ21 KNHC 301447 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 1500Z THU JUL 30 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.6W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.6W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.0N 106.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.3N 108.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.6N 110.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 104.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 16.0N 113.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 16.8N 118.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2348 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627106-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:28:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA46670; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 08:26:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9097812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 08:26:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA60220 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 08:26:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA28004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 08:26:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301326.IAA28004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 08:26:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad65a1c540c00cd01638705df84afb6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 AXPZ20 KNHC 301323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 30 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E HAS INTENSIFIED AND BECOME TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE. TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 104.1W AT 30/1200 UTC MOVING WEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP WITH CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION AND BANDING FEATURES ATTEMPTING TO TAKE SHAPE IN THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 101W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N105W-25N106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS CONTAINED IN A BAND TO THE SOUTH OF THE STORM WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N110W-11N102W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N90W 9N104W 10N111W 11N121W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 77W-82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-93W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W- 131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-13N WEST OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N84W-12N89W-15N96W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 91W-97W...AND FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 110W-121W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627030-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 18:19:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA41748; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:17:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:15:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA45022 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:15:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA26086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:15:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301015.FAA26086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:15:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d137d17b48b57e5d510263ac204ba1a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 ABPZ20 KNHC 301008 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM DEPRESSION SIX-E...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627030-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:07:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25140; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:07:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:06:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA23360 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300903.EAA25460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: ...corrected Discussion Number... To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 904081cf935af0a34e47e73d8aecf32a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 WTPZ41 KNHC 300848 COR TCDEP1 ...CORRECTED DISCUSSION NUMBER... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON ARE AT 35 KNOTS...SUPPORTING THE UPGRADING OF THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO TO TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE. THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP...WITH CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER AND BANDING FEATURES TRYING TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND SST/S IN THE 28-29 DEG C RANGE...FURTHER STRENGTHENING SEEMS INEVITABLE. THE CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS WESTWARD AT 10-11 KNOTS. THERE IS A LARGE MID-TROPOSPHERIC HIGH DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA NORTH OF ESTELLE. CONSEQUENTLY THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS THE CURRENT WESTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS ALSO IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS...AND ONLY SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 14.7N 103.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 30/1800Z 14.9N 105.5W 45 KTS 24HR VT 31/0600Z 15.1N 107.8W 55 KTS 36HR VT 31/1800Z 15.3N 110.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 01/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 02/0600Z 16.0N 117.1W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626666-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25100; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:06:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:06:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52792 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300903.EAA25456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: ...corrected Avisory Number... To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2488e527b3958d49bc4728a1a51d8c2b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 WTPZ21 KNHC 300846 COR TCMEP1 ...CORRECTED AVISORY NUMBER... TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z THU JUL 30 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.8W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.8W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.2W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.9N 105.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 107.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.3N 110.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 103.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 117.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:05:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA61528; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:05:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA25326 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300902.EAA25432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07c1a032451ec0b7c6eb73ef1d46d51f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 656 WTPZ21 KNHC 300837 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0900Z THU JUL 30 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.8W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.8W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.2W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.9N 105.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 107.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.3N 110.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 103.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 117.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1626 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626993-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:09:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA61458; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA67814 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300902.EAA25428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Estelle Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65637ff6d9192a300645d378d122c681 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 651 WTPZ41 KNHC 300836 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUL 30 1998 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON ARE AT 35 KNOTS...SUPPORTING THE UPGRADING OF THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO TO TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE. THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP...WITH CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER AND BANDING FEATURES TRYING TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND SST/S IN THE 28-29 DEG C RANGE...FURTHER STRENGTHENING SEEMS INEVITABLE. THE CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS WESTWARD AT 10-11 KNOTS. THERE IS A LARGE MID-TROPOSPHERIC HIGH DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA NORTH OF ESTELLE. CONSEQUENTLY THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS THE CURRENT WESTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS ALSO IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS...AND ONLY SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 14.7N 103.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 30/1800Z 14.9N 105.5W 45 KTS 24HR VT 31/0600Z 15.1N 107.8W 55 KTS 36HR VT 31/1800Z 15.3N 110.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 01/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 02/0600Z 16.0N 117.1W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627049-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 15:33:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41894; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 02:31:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 02:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21906 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 02:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 02:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300730.CAA24689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 02:30:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 399a170a986e5dccb8fef38c8430756a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 610 AXPZ20 KNHC 300728 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 30 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 103.2W AT 30/0600 UTC MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 32N133W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0630 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. IT IS NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N102W TO 15N103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N104W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 18N103W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N88W 10N100W 11N110W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120/150 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N130W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 13N136W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N124W TO THE AXIS NEAR 10N122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NORTH OF 2N TO THE BORDER OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W IN NICARAGUA TO 89W IN EL SALVADOR. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626531-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 13:18:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36052; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:15:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9094803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25178 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:14:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:14:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300514.AAA23620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:14:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 999bc4f3e0e10706b3a799f9a40cf09b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 567 ABPZ20 KNHC 300508 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRITHURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 10:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44972; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04714 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300254.VAA21941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a00e56505cd409f9b78b5fd0dc84c5c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 WTPZ41 KNHC 300251 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUL 29 1998 INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE DATA PUT THE CYCLONE AT THE THRESHOLD OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. A SHIP REPORT OF 4 KT WIND ABOUT 120 NM EAST OF THE CENTER IS THE JUSTIFICATION USED TO HOLD OFF ON UPGRADING THE SYSTEM FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE SYSTEM HAS CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION...SOME IN BANDS THAT HAVE NOT AS YET FILLED IN...AND DISTINCT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. WITH THE DEPRESSION IN AN ORGANIZING MODE...THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION ARE A LITTLE UNCERTAIN. CURRENT MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 280/10...FASTER THAN 6 HOURS AGO. THE 18Z AVN MAINTAINS AN EAST-WEST RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SHOULD DRIVE THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST...AS INDICATED BY THE TRACK GUIDANCE AND OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE MOST STRIKING NEARBY FEATURE ON SATELLITE PICTURES IS THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHICH APPEARS TO BE APPROACHING THE TD FROM THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN. THE AVN KEEPS THE UPPER LOW EAST OF THE TD...WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR FURTHER STRENGTHENING. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0300Z 14.9N 102.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 30/1200Z 15.2N 104.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 31/0000Z 15.5N 107.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 31/1200Z 15.9N 110.1W 50 KTS 48HR VT 01/0000Z 16.0N 113.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 02/0000Z 16.0N 117.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1687 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 10:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44928; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04704 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300254.VAA21937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11b50757309d4e64b76ab60a738b3606 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 WTPZ21 KNHC 300252 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 0300Z THU JUL 30 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.8W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.8W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.3W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 15.2N 104.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.5N 107.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.9N 110.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 102.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-16550>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:42:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30946; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 20:40:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 20:40:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26054 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 20:40:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 20:40:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300140.UAA20993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 20:40:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e62d1273f34d22adc0b58ff213328ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 811 AXPZ20 KNHC 300138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 30 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 102.3W AT 30/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS 3 0KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 RESPECTIVELY FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 119W/120W IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE. ...RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 28N118W 27N123W. HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH TIME AS EVIDENT IN OUTFLOW PATTERN SPREADING CIRRUS CLOUDS NORTH-NORTHEAST TO INLAND MEXICO NEAR 20N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF 15N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FORMING POSSIBLE OUTER RAIN BAND FORM 10N-12N BETWEEN 98W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N106W 17N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N97W 10N103W 10N112W 10N115W 10N120W 11N131W 11N136W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-104W...AND 60-70 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W-122W AND 128W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 136W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N.... ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS JUST INLAND COAST OF COLOMBIA SOUTH OF 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER SOUTHERN PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PANAMA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 19N-20N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST INLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 99W-104W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3662 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-16544>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 07:10:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA44544; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA60886 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:31:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292231.RAA18489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd878ccfb765a690db3e8dda7855d34b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 327 ABPZ20 KNHC 292229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEGUN ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E...LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627657-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:42:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49180; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:30:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19148 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:27:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:27:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292027.PAA15603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:27:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42584906981ee7b56d3638764397ac91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 WTPZ41 KNHC 292026 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED JUL 29 1998 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 150 NMI SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AND IS BEING UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/06 AND IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN SINCE THE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN TRACKED FOR ONLY ABOUT 12 HOURS OLD. THE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A RIDGE WILL PERSIST TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION CAUSING IT TO MOVE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS REASONING. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK AND GRADUAL STRENGTHENING TO 60 KNOTS IN 72 HOURS IS FORECAST. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL CALLS FOR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48 HOURS BUT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION TO BE WEAKENING AT PRESENT. SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE SHIPS MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 14.7N 101.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 30/0600Z 15.1N 102.2W 35 KTS 24HR VT 30/1800Z 15.5N 103.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 31/0600Z 16.1N 105.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 31/1800Z 16.5N 107.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 01/1800Z 17.0N 112.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627653-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:37:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33810; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60812 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:26:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292026.PAA15525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:26:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9688722de765b7021689425ce82c8c6a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 039 WTPZ21 KNHC 292024 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0698 2100Z WED JUL 29 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.2W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.2W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 100.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.1N 102.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.5N 103.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.1N 105.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 101.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 16.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2242 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 03:37:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44684; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:33:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49312 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291931.OAA13727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:31:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b93299239c64b68a4c4b78754c86900 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 AXPZ20 KNHC 291926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 29 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW CENTER...NEAR 14N101W AT 29/1800 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 118W/119W NOW ALONG 119W/120W FROM 10N TO 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...RIDGE ALONG 24N122W THROUGH 32N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1830 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N101W... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 9N102W-12N99W-14N99W-15N102W-15N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-7N96W-11N107W- 10N120W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 7N79W-2N84W-6N87W-8N84W- 7N79W...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W...FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W...WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE 10N127W- 7N131W-5N132W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N136W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627607-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:44:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA24694; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:41:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA63586 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:41:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291641.LAA08902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:41:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6a7bc22968a1ddc47dc65b5592bd8c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 723 ABPZ20 KNHC 291636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTUBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-9965>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:39:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA62480; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 08:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9101257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 08:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36782 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 08:36:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 08:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291336.IAA04114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 08:36:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67c08cb0e8a9d714d3b0631a5e08452b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 AXPZ20 KNHC 291333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC WED 29 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY HAS MOVED TO A POSITION WEST OF 140W... NEAR 19.6N 142.0W AT 29/1200 UTC. THIS WILL BE THE LAST TIME THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE DISCUSSED HERE. FOR MORE DETAILS SEE ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER WMO/AFOS HEADERS WTPA21 PHNL/HNLTCMCP1. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW CENTER...NEAR 14N100W AT 29/1200 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 117W NOW ALONG 118W/119W FROM 10N TO 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...RIDGE ALONG 22N122W THROUGH 32N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1200 UTC... TROPICAL STORM DARBY... ALL CLOUDS/CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE W OF 140W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N100W... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 15N104W-15N97W-10N100W-15N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W-7N96W-11N107W- 10N120W-9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 6N96W-7N98W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3874 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627294-9970>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 18:24:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA49188; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 05:22:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9099392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 05:22:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59656 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 05:22:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 05:22:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291022.FAA01900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 05:22:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6dba54386a9ccafdb4a44e1a08581c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABPZ20 KNHC 291021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTUBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626595-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:32:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA56120; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:30:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18716 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:30:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA00194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290730.CAA00194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:30:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62d5f37ed146351ab7b16fbf1603c6b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 AXPZ20 KNHC 290727 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC WED 29 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY CENTERED NEAR 18.9N 140.6W AT 29/0600 UTC... MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE LAST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. ADVISORIES WILL ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE...A 1012 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 14N100W MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W/116W IS NOW ALONG 117W FROM 10N TO 20N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0630 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 137W AND 143W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 16.5N FROM 99W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N FROM 97W TO 100W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N87W 11N97W 11N110W 9N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 113W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 130W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 117W AND FROM 120W TO 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N99.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE BORDER OF ECUADOR TO 2N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2434 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-27613>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:46:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA57534; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 23:43:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9097586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 23:43:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA47788 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 23:43:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 23:43:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290443.XAA28514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 23:43:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65844932bbd4d7a9cd445b02100dd71d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 ABPZ20 KNHC 290443 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... HURRICANE DARBY HAS CROSSED 140W LONGITUDE AND ENTERED THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN BASIN ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FUTURE ADVISORIES ON DARBY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HAWAII. AN AREA OF DISTUBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34032; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:56:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:56:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36818 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:56:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290256.VAA27334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:56:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51fb1e2fe18446148f2c23203161b35e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 253 WTPZ25 KNHC 290255 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0300Z WED JUL 29 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 140.0W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 140.0W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 139.2W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.4N 142.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.9N 144.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.4N 147.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 140.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 23.8N 150.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N 152.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 29/0900 UTC BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627180-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 10:55:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA31538; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:51:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:51:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57026 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:51:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290251.VAA27295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:51:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45a92296dd9aa6c8a8cf545908b37424 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTPZ45 KNHC 290250 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...IN PART DUE TO SLOWLY COOLING WATERS ALONG THE TRACK AND IN PART TO INCREASING SHEAR. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NOW SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH TO THE WEST GREATLY DISTORTING DARBY/S MOISTURE PATTERN WITH AN ELONGATED PLUME HEADING NORTHWARD. DEEP CONVECTION...AS MEASURED BY TOPS LOWER THAN -50C... IS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 70 KT. INITIAL MOTION IS NEAR 285/16 KT. DARBY APPEARS TO BE ROUNDING THE WESTERN EXTENSION OF THE RIDGE AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO GAIN IN NORTHWARD COMPONENT...UNTIL IT WEAKENS TO THE POINT OF BEING STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL CURRENT IN A DAY OR TWO. THE NHC TRACK IS PARALLEL TO BAMM FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THEN PARALLEL TO BAMS THEREAFTER. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW CROSSING 140W AND ENTERING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE BASIN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE PROVIDED BY THE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HAWAII. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 18.6N 140.0W 70 KTS 12HR VT 29/1200Z 19.4N 142.2W 60 KTS 24HR VT 30/0000Z 20.9N 144.9W 50 KTS 36HR VT 30/1200Z 22.4N 147.6W 40 KTS 48HR VT 31/0000Z 23.8N 150.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 01/0000Z 26.5N 152.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3299 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-11805>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA33844; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 20:38:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 20:38:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12042 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 20:38:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 20:38:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290138.UAA26477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 20:38:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1f6930810786cdf5e54387bbf9def20 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 949 AXPZ20 KNHC 290136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC WED 29 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 139.2W AT 29/0000 UTC... MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE LAST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. FURTHER ADVISORIES WILL ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 114W/115W NOW ALONG 115W/116W FROM 9N TO 20N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W/97W NOW ALONG 98W N OF 13N MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0115 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF CENTER IN NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 7N90W 12N100W 10N110W 9N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-114W...AND 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W-120W AND 124W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 101W-103W AND 116W-118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 95W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANAMA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY INLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM 18N-20N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 15N111W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625878-11800>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 07:09:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12050; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 17:35:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 17:35:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA57598 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 17:35:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 17:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807282234.RAA23985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 17:34:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2fb7e4e294d8ce65b98b7da75c59060 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 545 ABPZ20 KNHC 282232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2826 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627579-1918>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 05:05:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA38950; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:02:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA31504 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:02:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:02:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807282102.QAA22132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:02:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 896a7995ad393d3dbea3e5481e887ef6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 WTPZ25 KNHC 282101 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z TUE JUL 28 1998 ...COR FOR 12 FT SEAS RADII... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 138.2W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 138.2W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 137.5W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.6N 140.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.4N 143.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.5N 146.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 138.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N 149.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 24.5N 153.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627587-1918>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49316; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:30:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA56210 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:30:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807282030.PAA21052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:30:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79f0e797bc203481e27f9db6cff328b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 510 WTPZ25 KNHC 282029 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z TUE JUL 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 138.2W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 138.2W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 137.5W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.6N 140.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.4N 143.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.5N 146.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 138.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N 149.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 24.5N 153.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627566-1923>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:33:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52380; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:28:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA49290 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807282028.PAA20981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00b8585084bc0e513bed27cc2c6dc6c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 WTPZ45 KNHC 282027 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES THIS AFTERNOON SHOW THAT THE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUD FIELD WEST OF DARBY IS BECOMING INVOLVED WITH THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE DECREASE IN THE AREAL COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 75 KNOTS...IN LINE WITH CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB... SAB AND KGWC. THE WEAKENING TREND OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WILL BE ACCELERATED SOMEWHAT BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITHIN 12 HOURS. THEREAFTER...THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO UNWIND AS IT MOVES INTO INCREASING SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR AND PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. SATELLITE FIXES DURING THE DAY SUGGEST THAT DARBY IS MOVING ON A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTERLY TRACK...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS ADJUSTED TO 280/14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS NEARING THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE WITH A MORE NORTHERLY COMPONENT OF MOTION EXPECTED BY 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION BEYOND 24 HOURS AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH BAM SHALLOW...THE GFDL...AND THE AVIATION TRACK GUIDANCE. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS DARBY TO 140W...DENOTING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY....LATER TODAY. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 18.1N 138.2W 75 KTS 12HR VT 29/0600Z 18.6N 140.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 29/1800Z 19.4N 143.4W 50 KTS 36HR VT 30/0600Z 20.5N 146.1W 35 KTS 48HR VT 30/1800Z 22.0N 149.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 31/1800Z 24.5N 153.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627409-1918>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:19:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA04648; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:17:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:16:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA12046 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:16:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:16:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281916.OAA18958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:16:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4b60c4a29b999fd1598ebec1ec071e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 266 AXPZ20 KNHC 281910 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC TUE 28 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY CENTER NEAR 18.0N 137.5W AT 28/1800 UTC... MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 113W/114W NOW ALONG 114W/115W FROM 9N TO 20N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W/96W NOW ALONG 96W/97W N OF 13N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1800 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 138W AND 139W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-10N97W-10N116W- 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N116W AND 9.5N119W...AND FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 117W AND 118W...AND IN CLUSTERS FROM 6N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 129W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 3N81W-8N86W-10N90W.. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 13N95W-10N96W-10N100W-13N95W...AND FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 96W AND 105W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627224-1923>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA57514; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:05:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:04:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52784 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:04:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:04:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281704.MAA15564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:04:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90d0e0e8b35c19b3b75420c1ffe3286f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 ABPZ20 KNHC 281701 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1185 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1489 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626900-1918>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 22:29:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA46582; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:26:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9087917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33920 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281425.JAA10932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5125bbb65bce3a2239e58b951c191f75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 540 WTPZ25 KNHC 281424 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 1500Z TUE JUL 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 136.6W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 125SE 125SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 136.6W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 135.9W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.7N 138.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.5N 141.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.7N 144.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 136.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.0N 146.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 24.5N 151.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626837-1918>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 22:29:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA53198; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9087906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA54130 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281425.JAA10928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:25:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba2d73b1e6c7d388b01fdd6f703aeadc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 WTPZ45 KNHC 281423 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 DARBY HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THIS MORNING WITH CONVECTION HAVING DECREASED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MOREOVER...THE EYE IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE IN INFRARED SATELLITE PICTURES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 85 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY IN LINE WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS AND INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. THE STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS EVIDENT NEAR 140W IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND ANALYSES BY THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH THE PERIOD ...AND IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DARBY SHOULD BE CROSSING 140W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING IT INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 18.1N 136.6W 85 KTS 12HR VT 29/0000Z 18.7N 138.7W 80 KTS 24HR VT 29/1200Z 19.5N 141.4W 70 KTS 36HR VT 30/0000Z 20.7N 144.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 30/1200Z 22.0N 146.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 31/1200Z 24.5N 151.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626797-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:18:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA33976; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 08:15:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9087275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 08:15:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA54182 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 08:15:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 08:15:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281315.IAA09212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 08:15:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e4fb3a500fa08769c2e33287ee95d62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 805 AXPZ20 KNHC 281311 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC TUE 28 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY CENTER NEAR 17.9N 135.9W AT 28/1200 UTC... MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W/112W NOW ALONG 112W/113W FROM 9N TO 20N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W/94W NOW ALONG 94W/95W N OF 13N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1200 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 135W AND 137W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W-10N97W-10N116W- 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 100W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 92W...AND FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 92W AND 93W...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 15N99.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W...FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W...AND FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. TICHY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4047 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 18:32:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30348; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:30:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9086156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44922 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:30:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281030.FAA07443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49c5897b1ccb621879457eba1b3b1247 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 ABPZ20 KNHC 281028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1290 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-1918>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04692; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:32:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30274 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:32:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:31:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280831.DAA06462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:31:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5a69073249fb7c5c9c50d1bceaa1882 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 778 WTPZ45 KNHC 280831 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 1998 THE EYE IS BECOMING DIFFUSE AND OVERALL DARBY LOOKS WEAKER THAN IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO. CURRENT MAXIMUM WINDS ARE REDUCED TO 90 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE 25 DEG C SST ISOTHERM AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY. THE RATE OF WEAKENING WILL LIKELY INCREASE LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. THE DIRECTION OF MOTION HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY MORE TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST BUT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS MADE TO THE TRACK FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DARBY SHOULD BE NEARING THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE IN A FEW DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS QUITE CLOSE TO THE LATEST GFDL MODEL GUIDANCE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 17.5N 135.3W 90 KTS 12HR VT 28/1800Z 18.0N 137.5W 85 KTS 24HR VT 29/0600Z 18.7N 140.2W 80 KTS 36HR VT 29/1800Z 19.5N 143.0W 70 KTS 48HR VT 30/0600Z 20.5N 145.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 31/0600Z 22.5N 150.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:38:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04642; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30224 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:30:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280830.DAA06452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:30:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04fc7ecfd4728a3b9f8661925f5ffb49 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 WTPZ25 KNHC 280829 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0900Z TUE JUL 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 135.3W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 175SE 175SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 135.3W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 134.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.7N 140.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 143.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 135.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.5N 145.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.5N 150.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4504 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:36:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA50792; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 02:33:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 02:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44858 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 02:33:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 02:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280733.CAA05928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 02:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b045d8f3e364484a206acf442e69721 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 898 AXPZ20 KNHC 280731 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC TUE 28 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.4N 134.6W AT 28/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS NOW ALONG 111W/112W FROM 9N TO 20N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC ALONG 93W/94W NORTH OF 13N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25N TO 20N ALONG A LINE FROM 20N129W TO 20N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0630 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 133W AND 136W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 5N85W 9N93W 10N101W 8N110W 10N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W AND FROM 135W TO 140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 94W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 19N TO 23N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N94W TO 10N98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 94W FROM 10N TO 13N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W TO 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626292-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:24:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04716; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 23:19:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9084398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 23:19:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44888 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 23:19:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 23:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280419.XAA03971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 23:19:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c32292e1ca63314d0cea6e9ca099a23 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 075 ABPZ20 KNHC 280417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1380 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626471-7200>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 10:39:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA50902; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9083377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:36:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30916 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:36:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:36:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280236.VAA02635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:36:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e768b4ef4d3501fb1e65ebcce2f5e88f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 161 WTPZ25 KNHC 280235 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0300Z TUE JUL 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 133.7W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 175SE 175SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 133.7W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 135.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N 138.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 141.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 133.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 144.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.5N 149.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-7200>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 10:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30870; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9083366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:36:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04172 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:35:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280235.VAA02623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:35:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 327ddc61282c37940aa5004961909246 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 160 WTPZ45 KNHC 280234 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 DARBY CONSISTS OF A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY AN EYEWALL AND NO BANDING FEATURES. T-NUMBERS ARE ALREADY DECREASING BUT DARBY REMAINS AS 100-KNOT HURRICANE AS INDICATED BY CI NUMBERS. IT APPEARS THAT THE WEAKENING PROCESS SHOULD BEGIN SOON. NOTHING HAS CHANGED...THE SAME STEERING PATTERN...AND THE SAME MOTION...275/13. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS TURN DARBY MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BEYOND 48 HOURS AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W AND MOVE INTO THE HONOLULU AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY IN A DAY OR SO. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 17.1N 133.7W 100 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 17.2N 135.8W 95 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 17.7N 138.7W 90 KTS 36HR VT 29/1200Z 18.5N 141.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 30/0000Z 19.5N 144.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 31/0000Z 21.5N 149.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626339-7200>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:37:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30382; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:35:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9082656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63644 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:35:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:35:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280135.UAA01852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:35:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aef5f8e1753036c161cacd42983d546b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 AXPZ20 KNHC 280133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC TUE 28 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 133.0W AT 28/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W IS NOW ALONG 110W FROM 7N TO 18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0100 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 131W-136W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N BETWEEN 77W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 74W-87W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 90W-120W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 128W TO BEYOND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 123W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO TO INCLUDE THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 92W-99W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF N MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE LINE 30N111W TO 18N103W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:53:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA54096; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:50:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9080953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA56122 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:50:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA28481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807272150.QAA28481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:50:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f31a3fd14ee58a769581db197b09f32d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 775 ABPZ20 KNHC 272147 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627520-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 04:46:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA68474; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9080329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30286 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807272039.PAA26765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff9943b228cd867fd5e1d7748c1b8949 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 WTPZ25 KNHC 272038 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z MON JUL 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 132.4W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 175SE 175SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 132.4W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 131.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.1N 134.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.6N 137.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.2N 139.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 132.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.9N 142.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 148.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627543-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 04:51:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63708; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:40:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9080333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:40:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25192 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807272039.PAA26761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:39:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fb8d91256ebe20e872ca62273b869ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 504 WTPZ45 KNHC 272037 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/13. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS AN INCREASING NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION WITH TIME... APPARENTLY DUE TO A 500-MB LOW INITIALIZED ON THE AVIATION MODEL NORTHWEST OF HAWAII. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS REASONING AND IS CLOSE TO THE UKMET AND GFDL MODELS. AGAIN THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY AS THE TRACK PARALLELS THE SST ISOPLETHS. HOWEVER GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY ABOUT 24 HOURS AS DARBY ENCOUNTERS SSTS IN THE 25 DEG C RANGE. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 16.9N 132.4W 100 KTS 12HR VT 28/0600Z 17.1N 134.4W 100 KTS 24HR VT 28/1800Z 17.6N 137.0W 90 KTS 36HR VT 29/0600Z 18.2N 139.8W 80 KTS 48HR VT 29/1800Z 18.9N 142.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 30/1800Z 21.0N 148.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627551-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 04:35:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57018; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:31:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9080214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19072 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:30:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807272030.PAA26561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:30:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb5700855f87e5c839f5c36b4a86af6f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 AXPZ20 KNHC 272028 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 27 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 131.7W AT 27/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W/107W IS NOW ALONG 108W FROM 7N TO 18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1900 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IN THE SE QUADRANT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 9N100W 9N110W 10N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-82W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-107W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-102W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-112W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N114W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 90W-96W...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N95W 16N93W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N102W 15N99W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 102W-111W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627527-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:36:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA26098; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9137945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA57026 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:30:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271930.OAA24752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f87553296774e8ba0915785c9230e3a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 AXPZ20 KNHC 271929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC MON 27 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 131.7W AT 27/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W/107W IS NOW ALONG 108W FROM 7N TO 18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1900 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IN THE SE QUADRANT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 9N100W 9N110W 10N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-82W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-107W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-102W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-112W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 9N114W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 90W-96W...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N95W 16N93W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N102W 15N99W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 102W-111W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 00:32:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA40956; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 11:25:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9136057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 11:25:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19270 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 11:25:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 11:24:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271624.LAA20090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 11:24:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9469c177ad48e9bd282d83e35551d5d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 738 ABPZ20 KNHC 271622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1430 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-6530>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 22:34:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29302; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:30:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9134684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA56930 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271430.JAA17246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b62d77a2f8ba932796fc8e51b1f48b03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 619 WTPZ25 KNHC 271429 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 1500Z MON JUL 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 130.9W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 175SE 175SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 130.9W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 130.3W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.9N 132.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 135.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.8N 138.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 130.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 146.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4237 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-6534>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 22:33:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA17908; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:29:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9134671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA10450 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:29:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271429.JAA17208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:29:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78f2badf1d666a8fcd40d6f5636d1eee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 610 WTPZ45 KNHC 271428 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 DARBY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY THE LAST 6 HOURS OR SO WITH OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS AVERAGING BETWEEN 5.5 AND 5.7. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY SYMMETRIC HURRICANE WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE...ABOUT 25 N MI IN DIAMETER. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE 5.5...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 100 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH DARBY EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/12 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE NORTH OF DARBY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING THE SYSTEM ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE THROUGH 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING IS ANTICIPATED AS DARBY APPROACHES THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE WHICH BRINGS DARBY INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTERS AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...140W...IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 16.8N 130.9W 100 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 16.9N 132.9W 100 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 17.3N 135.3W 90 KTS 36HR VT 29/0000Z 17.8N 138.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 29/1200Z 18.5N 141.0W 65 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 20.0N 146.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-6534>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:42:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28316; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:38:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9134296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA10266 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:33:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:33:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271333.IAA16094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:33:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddf04e2202ffdd4d0a9264f4751a65a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 458 AXPZ20 KNHC 271331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC MON 27 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 130.3W AT 27/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W IS NOW ALONG 106W/107W FROM 7N TO 18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1300 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 8N100W 9N110W 10N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-81W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-85W... WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-93W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 87W-94W...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N100W 15N101W...AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N101W 21N106W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-6534>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 18:27:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56212; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:26:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9132684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44670 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:26:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271026.FAA14241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:26:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14ece243baf1b265e7d2cd68a05d7b54 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 046 ABPZ20 KNHC 271021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1340 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-7025>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA10350; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:34:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9132158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:34:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44892 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:34:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:34:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270834.DAA13356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:34:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1b8223dc942658bde938df72b2cbef2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 139 WTPZ45 KNHC 270833 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUL 27 1998 CONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS OR SO...BUT DARBY REMAINS VERY WELL-ORGANIZED WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 25 N MI IN DIAMETER. THUS FAR...DARBY HAS KEPT FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH SO AS TO AVOID THE STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR NEAR 20N LATITUDE. THE HURRICANE APPARENTLY UNDERWENT AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE OVER THE PAST 24 TO 36 HOURS...LEADING TO THE SECOND PEAK IN INTENSITY. IT IS NOT CERTAIN WHETHER THE SYSTEM WILL GO THROUGH ANOTHER SUCH CYCLE OR NOT. THIS LIKELY DEPENDS ON HOW MUCH LONGER THE ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC ENVIRONMENT REMAIN FAVORABLE. SINCE THE CURRENT TREND SUGGESTS SLOW WEAKENING...AND EYEWALL CYCLES ARE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO FORETELL...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS PREDICTED AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE MOTION OR THE TRACK FORECAST. STEERING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY A DEEP- LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF DARBY...ALONG ABOUT 27N LATITUDE. THE LATEST NCEP GLOBAL MODEL RUN SHOWS THIS RIDGE EXTENDING THROUGH 145W LONGITUDE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ON THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK...DARBY WILL BE NEARING THE BORDER OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTERS AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...140W...IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 16.5N 129.5W 100 KTS 12HR VT 27/1800Z 16.7N 131.2W 100 KTS 24HR VT 28/0600Z 17.1N 133.7W 90 KTS 36HR VT 28/1800Z 17.5N 136.3W 80 KTS 48HR VT 29/0600Z 18.0N 139.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 30/0600Z 19.5N 144.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626769-7024>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:35:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12060; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:33:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9132154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44808 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:33:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270833.DAA13351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c62db0c74c6cfbafb18820492efd0883 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTPZ25 KNHC 270832 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0900Z MON JUL 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.5W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 175SE 175SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.5W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 128.9W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.7N 131.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.1N 133.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 136.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 129.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 19.5N 144.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-7025>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 15:31:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA62644; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:28:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19350 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:28:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270728.CAA12701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:28:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55ea2b8eb87742d53dc9d95374684ce0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 990 AXPZ20 KNHC 270726 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC MON 27 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.5N 128.9W AT 27/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 103W/104W IS NOW ALONG 105W FROM 7N TO 18N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0630 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N84W 8N91W 8N110W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W AND FROM 116W TO 121W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W AND FROM 102W TO 106W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 100W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 11N TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA FROM 90W TO 92W AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 12N89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 16N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 99W TO 101W AND ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS FROM 101W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR FROM 1N TO 7N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO FROM 20N TO 28N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N FROM 98W TO 101W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626285-7019>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 12:24:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA40762; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 23:21:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9130615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 23:21:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04136 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 23:21:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 23:21:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270421.XAA11110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 23:21:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3311ece443be587b8483b9a5ccde8244 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 497 ABPZ20 KNHC 270420 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-7024>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 10:30:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52960; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9130264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45006 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270228.VAA10025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f04c0e3e801b3f495a23cbe27844c83 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 WTPZ25 KNHC 270227 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0300Z MON JUL 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 128.2W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 150SW 330NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 128.2W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 127.7W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 128.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 138.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N 144.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3929 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626039-7019>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 10:29:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA60720; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:27:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9130223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA50708 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:26:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270226.VAA10020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:26:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd9d29f2efe942761f3a39786bd3130a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 WTPZ45 KNHC 270227 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 DARBY IS ANOTHER EXAMPLE THAT CLEARLY SHOWS THAT SKILLS IN PREDICTING INTENSITY CHANGES ARE LOW. THIS IS DIFFICULT PROBLEM THAT BOTH OPERATIONAL AND RESEARCH COMMUNITIES ARE TRYING TO OVERCOME. HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND EVERY AVAILABLE MODEL...RANGING FROM THE SIMPLE SHIFOR TO THE HIGHLY SOPHISTICATED STATE OF THE ART GFDL...FORECAST WEAKENING. DARBY DID NOT WEAKEN AS FORECAST AND IN FACT...IT COULD BE A LITTLE BIT STRONGER TODAY IF THE NEW OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS ARE CONSIDERED. THESE NUMBERS ARE PEAKING AROUND A 6.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. HOWEVER...MORE RELIABLE SUBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS FROM SAB AND TAFB REMAIN ABOUT 5.5 GIVING AN INTENSITY OF ABOUT 100 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE HAS A DISTINCT AND LARGE EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN A WELL DEFINED CDO BUT WITHOUT BANDING FEATURES. DARBY IS MOVING PARALLEL TO THE 25 DEGREE SST ISOTHERM SO ONLY A SLOW WEAKENING IS INDICATED AND AS SUGGESTED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DARBY IS MOVING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A STRONG DEEP LAYER MEAN ANTICYCLONE WHICH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A SMALL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED AS SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. ON THIS TRACK...IN ABOUT 48 TO 60 HOURS...DARBY WILL BE CROSSING 140 DEGREES WEST...MOVING INTO THE HONOLULU AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 16.5N 128.2W 100 KTS 12HR VT 27/1200Z 16.5N 130.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 28/0000Z 17.0N 132.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 28/1200Z 17.5N 135.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 29/0000Z 18.0N 138.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 30/0000Z 20.0N 144.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626285-7019>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44710; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 20:43:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 20:43:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA40850 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 20:43:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 20:43:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270143.UAA09464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 20:43:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1b6d1d617d2bf77e8556c93a04d713a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 509 AXPZ20 KNHC 270141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC MON 27 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 127.7W AT 27/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W/102W IS NOW ALONG 103W NORTH OF 8N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 120W TO 140W AND NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0100 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 126W-130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N74W 8N90W 8N100W 8N110W 8N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 87W-96W...AND FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 114W-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 101W-108W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 131W-137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 120W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 21N-29N BETWEEN 103W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 96W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 101W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA FROM ECUADOR TO GUATEMALA EXTENDING 60 NM OVER THE OCEAN. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-27103>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:49:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA67266; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:47:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9128261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:47:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA47790 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:47:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807262147.QAA06659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:47:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e3e6f386b1cce91ea5e1e8e82b44ab4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 446 ABPZ20 KNHC 262145 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-27108>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 04:26:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA35972; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:24:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9127965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:24:39 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA43632 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA05063 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:19:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807262019.PAA05881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:19:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb5d95715a42c5bed8fd4693525ed216 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 023 WTPZ25 KNHC 262019 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z SUN JUL 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 127.2W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 125SE 125SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 127.2W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 126.5W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.7N 131.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.1N 134.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 127.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 137.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N 143.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-27103>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 04:26:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA04128; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:18:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9127939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19214 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:18:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807262018.PAA05877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:18:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e13e6092e7ef1aae57943242c2236196 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 984 WTPZ45 KNHC 262019 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/12. THE AVIATION MODEL 12Z RUN...LIKE THE 00Z RUN...SHOWS A CUT-OFF 500 MB LOW TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. IT ALSO SHOWS A RIDGE BUILDING JUST NORTH OF THE HURRICANE THROUGH 72 HOURS SUCH THAT THE TRACK SHOULD REMAIN ON A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ALL SHOWS A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS EXCEPT THE AVIATION MODEL WHICH IS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS WITH THE GUIDANCE AND ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE GFDL AND UKMET WHICH ARE WITHIN 25 NMI OF EACH OTHER AT 72 HOURS. A WELL-DEFINED EYE CONTINUES TO PERSIST AND DVORAK ESTIMATES INCREASE THE WIND SPEED TO 100 KNOTS AGAIN. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ALMOST PARALLEL TO THE SST ISOPLETHS SO THAT WEAKENING MAY BE SLOW AND IS SLOWED DOWN SOME FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 16.3N 127.2W 100 KTS 12HR VT 27/0600Z 16.5N 129.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 27/1800Z 16.7N 131.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 28/0600Z 17.1N 134.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 28/1800Z 17.5N 137.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 29/1800Z 19.0N 143.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4445 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627372-27108>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 03:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44578; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:33:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9127699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA36624 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:33:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261933.OAA05370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:33:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6364cdf7ccdc2d7f12bf83a4cc179a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 329 AXPZ20 KNHC 261933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SUN 26 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 126.5W AT 26/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W/100W IS NOW ALONG 101W/102W NORTH OF 8N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 120W TO 140W AND NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1900 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 8N100W 7N110W 7N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W...WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-123W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-128W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 91W-96W...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 9N88W 12N90W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N102W...AND NEAR THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 103W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7N84W 9N86W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627329-27103>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:20:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA67236; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:18:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9126124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12178 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:18:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:18:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261618.LAA03064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:18:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29226b3772aadf16be7506958c04fa9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 ABPZ20 KNHC 261618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO. THIS SYSTEM WWILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 22:36:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA50874; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:34:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9125653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28008 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261433.JAA01625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 079a4bbf25d202266b7ee453ec3a0b89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 531 WTPZ25 KNHC 261433 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 1500Z SUN JUL 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 125.8W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 125SE 125SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 125.8W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 125.2W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.5N 127.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.9N 130.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 132.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 125.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N 135.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627233-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 22:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA50788; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9125649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA64594 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261433.JAA01621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:33:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a97a09b2cfed7c16692cfe0cefd8170 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 WTPZ45 KNHC 261433 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/12. THE AVIATION MODEL 00Z RUN SHOWS A CUT-OFF 500 MB LOW TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. IT ALSO SHOWS A RIDGE BUILDING JUST NORTH OF THE HURRICANE THROUGH 72 HOURS SUCH THAT THE TRACK SHOULD REMAIN ON A WEST TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS EXCEPT NOGAPS AND THE AVIATION MODEL ITSELF WHICH SHOW A SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE WESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE CONCENSUS OF THE MODELS AND IS JUST SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A WELL-DEFINED LARGE EYE CONTINUES TO BE EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 90 KNOTS. THE TRACK FORECAST MOSTLY PARALLELS THE SST ISOPLETHS WITH THE CENTER NEAR 24 DEG C WATER BY 72 HOURS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING...A LITTLE SLOWER WEAKENING THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 16.3N 125.8W 90 KTS 12HR VT 27/0000Z 16.5N 127.6W 85 KTS 24HR VT 27/1200Z 16.9N 130.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 28/0000Z 17.4N 132.7W 65 KTS 48HR VT 28/1200Z 18.0N 135.5W 55 KTS 72HR VT 29/1200Z 19.5N 141.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627186-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:37:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA27906; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:35:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9125311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:35:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19438 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:35:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:35:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261335.IAA01161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:35:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: baf1e3820b0f61729999cd511af6a9c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 410 AXPZ20 KNHC 261332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SUN 26 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 125.2W AT 26/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W/98W IS NOW ALONG 99W/100W NORTH OF 8N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 120W TO 130W AND NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1300 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-70 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-70 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED IN AN OUTER RAINBAND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 20 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N127W 19N126W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N90W 7N100W 7N110W 8N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-120W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 4N78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 89W-96W...AND OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N83W 10N87W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 18:29:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA27928; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 05:27:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 05:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA22534 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 05:27:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA29656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 05:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261027.FAA29656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 05:27:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e042678ce5fdf32f2e4b562ad407e5a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 846 ABPZ20 KNHC 261025 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627181-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:35:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA50884; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:33:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22706 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:33:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260833.DAA28744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:33:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6feb2bfed4fb66ae1efecd840f1887c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPZ45 KNHC 260832 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 26 1998 DVORAK ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT...FOR THE TIME BEING...THE INTENSITY HAS LEVELLED OFF NEAR 90 KNOTS. A LARGE EYE HAS RE-APPEARED...AND DARBY HAS LIKELY BEEN UNDERGOING A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL PHASE AS SUGGESTED BY INFRARED AND MICROWAVE DATA. ANALYSES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMMS TROPICAL CYCLONE HOMEPAGE SHOW INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR NEAR 130W LONGITUDE...AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE PROJECTED PATH OF THE HURRICANE AS WELL. THEREFORE GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. MOTION IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS BEFORE...285/11. A MID- TO UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC LOW IS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR 31N130W...BUT THIS FEATURE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE EXERTING MUCH INFLUENCE ON THE MOTION OF DARBY. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST MORE OR LESS MAINTAINS THE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS IS A BLEND OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE...SANS THE AVN AND NOGAPS MODELS WHOSE TRACKS APPEAR TO BE TOO FAR TO THE SOUTH. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 16.3N 124.5W 90 KTS 12HR VT 26/1800Z 16.7N 126.2W 80 KTS 24HR VT 27/0600Z 17.3N 128.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 27/1800Z 17.9N 131.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 28/0600Z 18.5N 133.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/0600Z 20.0N 138.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3068 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627101-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:33:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25494; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22660 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:31:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260831.DAA28740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:31:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b7f76fde40e6acce8bb3d6ed15c4927 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 008 WTPZ25 KNHC 260831 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0900Z SUN JUL 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 124.5W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 125SE 125SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 124.5W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.9W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.7N 126.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.3N 128.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.9N 131.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 124.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 18.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 138.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1363 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627101-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:28:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47816; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:27:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA47768 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:26:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:26:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260726.CAA28055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:26:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7564b3e594a93ba43b63a344761b0018 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 AXPZ20 KNHC 260722 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SUN 26 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 123.9W AT 26/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 97W/98W NORTH OF 8N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 120W TO 130W AND NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0630 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N123W TO THE CENTER OF ROTATION AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM THE CENTER OF ROTATION TO 19N125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N100W 7N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 127W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15N TO JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 99W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WEST OF A LINE FROM 11N89W TO INLAND OVER NICARAGUA NEAR 13N87W AND EAST OF A LINE FROM 11N90W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91W INCLUDING ALL OF EL SALVADOR. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 14N93.9W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N94W TO 13N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14.5N FROM 98W TO 101W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 8N96W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626353-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 12:27:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22690; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 23:25:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 23:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19344 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 23:25:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 23:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260425.XAA26381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 23:25:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84521bcb76ee1934c29fa81114f61cd4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 563 ABPZ20 KNHC 260423 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 975 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 10:28:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA40766; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:27:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19240 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:26:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260226.VAA25276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:26:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9bebca913874c4a2d5a8043f4360317 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 WTPZ45 KNHC 260226 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 DARBY BEGAN TO WEAKEN AS INDICATED BY T-NUMBERS. THE EYE IS NOT LONGER DEPICTED BUT IT MAY COME BACK TEMPORARILY AND CONVECTION IS DIMINISHING. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO 90 KNOTS AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST SINCE DARBY WILL OVER 25 DEGREE WATERS IN A DAY OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS EXCEPT UK AND AVN WHICH MOVE DARBY WEST AND SOUTHWEST RESPECTIVELY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 16.2N 123.1W 90 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 16.5N 124.8W 80 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 17.3N 127.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 18.0N 130.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 19.0N 132.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/0000Z 21.0N 137.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 10:26:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44704; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:24:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:24:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25484 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:24:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260224.VAA25253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:24:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3aabbb7333d909c13ae159c27e5401c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 422 WTPZ25 KNHC 260222 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0300Z SUN JUL 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.1W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..270NE 125SE 125SW 270NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.1W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 122.6W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.5N 124.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.3N 127.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 123.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:41:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36062; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:39:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:39:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39366 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:39:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:39:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260139.UAA24716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:39:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26587c1346abac90f11273cb929849d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 635 AXPZ20 KNHC 260137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SUN 26 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 122.6W AT 26/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W IS NOW ALONG 95W NORTH OF 10N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0100 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 121W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS WITH BANDING FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 121W-125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 7N90W 6N100W 7N110W 9N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 110W-113W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-108W....AND BETWEEN 114W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 96W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND S MEXICO FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 90W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 83W-86W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-18209>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 06:14:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39406; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:12:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:12:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA14628 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:45:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:45:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807252145.QAA22403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:45:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b61f5afa11752e44302ea68c01bda608 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 515 ABPZ20 KNHC 252144 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 920 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-18201>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 06:03:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA30694; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:01:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:01:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22558 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:44:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:44:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807252044.PAA21931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:44:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d955049ce9fb68e9ad1bef8c0b7ff01a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 WTPZ45 KNHC 252044 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/11. THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. HOWEVER THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO RETROGRADE NORTHWESTWARD AND ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS IGNORE THIS FEATURE AND SHOW A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS...EXCEPT THE AVIATION MODEL WHICH DEVELOPS A SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS...EXCEPT SLIGHTLY SLOWER...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE EYE FEATURE IS NO LONGER VISIBLE AS OF ABOUT 18Z. THE WIND SPEED IS DROPPED 5 KNOTS TO 100 KNOTS ON THIS BASIS AND A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER 23 DEGREE C WATER BY 72 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 16.0N 122.2W 100 KTS 12HR VT 26/0600Z 16.4N 123.5W 100 KTS 24HR VT 26/1800Z 17.0N 125.6W 90 KTS 36HR VT 27/0600Z 17.6N 127.8W 80 KTS 48HR VT 27/1800Z 18.2N 130.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 28/1800Z 19.5N 134.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-18209>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 05:15:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA36728; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:59:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30396 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:43:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807252043.PAA21925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:43:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2137796a8f10b5bda3498243badedf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTPZ25 KNHC 252044 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z SAT JUL 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 122.2W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 125SE 225SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 122.2W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.4N 123.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 125.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.6N 127.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 122.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.2N 130.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 134.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2852 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-18206>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:33:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA39198; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:31:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64522 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:30:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251930.OAA21138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:30:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7606bb1f0268b478bdc4bbcb42f24a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 337 AXPZ20 KNHC 251931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC SAT 25 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 121.5W AT 25/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W IS NOW ALONG 93W NORTH OF 10N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 21N136W-15N141W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1900 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO HAVE A WELL DEFINED EYE WITH DISTINCT BANDING AS IT PROGRESSES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 120W-124W WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N90W 6N100W 6N110W 9N120W 5N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 96W-104W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N106W-24N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-12N90W-12N96W...AND FROM 8N-16N BETWEEN 110W-118W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-18209>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 00:35:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA64762; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:29:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9118743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26322 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:29:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251629.LAA19335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:29:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88c12597b2077fd784367d34cdf42af7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 696 ABPZ20 KNHC 251629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3016 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627282-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:38:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63742; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44260 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251437.JAA18381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6de14d29b931a710ff3ed5934c7746a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 423 WTPZ25 KNHC 251438 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 1500Z SAT JUL 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 121.0W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 125SE 125SW 225NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 121.0W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 120.4W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.3N 122.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.7N 127.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 121.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.4N 130.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2974 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-18201>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52938; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA64694 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251437.JAA18368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:37:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a43ba02bdb82654818c613e15f1029a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 WTPZ45 KNHC 251438 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/11. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE NEAR 125 TO 130 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE. BUT THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO RETROGRADE WESTWARD SUCH THAT THE MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS. A WELL DEFINED EYE PERSISTS AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN NEAR 105 KNOTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED FOR ABOUT 36 HOURS WHEN DARBY ENCOUNTERS SLIGHTLY COOLER WATER TEMPERATURES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 15.7N 121.0W 105 KTS 12HR VT 26/0000Z 16.3N 122.6W 105 KTS 24HR VT 26/1200Z 17.0N 125.0W 105 KTS 36HR VT 27/0000Z 17.7N 127.5W 95 KTS 48HR VT 27/1200Z 18.4N 130.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 28/1200Z 20.0N 135.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4234 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627093-18209>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:30:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39346; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 08:29:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 08:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19358 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 08:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 08:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251329.IAA18047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 08:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e189d8cb2dfd15ceae88d25d42c260af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 006 AXPZ20 KNHC 251329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC SAT 25 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 120.4W AT 25/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ...TROPICAL WAVE ENTERS THE REGION AND EXTENDS ALONG 91W/92W NORTH OF 10N. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KNOTS. ...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 21N135W-15N140W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1300 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... THE HURRICANE HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE AND DISTINCT BANDING REMAINS EVIDENT ON THE SATELLITE PICTURES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 119W-123W WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-20N BETWEEN 114W-126W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 7N100W 10N111W 9N120W 6N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W-6N84W-6N93W...AND FROM 4N-13N BETWEEN 91W-114W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N86W-14N95W-17N101W-23N105W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 18:38:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA52854; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 05:37:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 05:37:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA61028 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 05:37:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 05:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251037.FAA17330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 05:37:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa6b6aadc3aa60bb3745c145117b7783 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 778 ABPZ20 KNHC 251037 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626070-18209>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:32:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60998; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:32:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44594 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:32:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:32:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250832.DAA16479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:32:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aefc74cbd92bcf0ac5f9f226ca12a0b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 WTPZ25 KNHC 250832 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0900Z SAT JUL 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 119.8W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 119.8W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 119.3W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 121.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 123.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.7N 125.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 119.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N 128.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-18209>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:32:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19236; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:30:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44560 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:30:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250830.DAA16474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:30:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7216f76d0871d55318acdcc53f58f56e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 WTPZ45 KNHC 250832 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 A WELL-DEFINED EYE AND DISTINCT BANDING REMAIN EVIDENT ON SATELLITE PICTURES. THE PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION APPEARS TO HAVE ENDED AS DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES MAY HAVE REACHED A PLATEAU AT 5.5... ABOUT 100 KT. DARBY IS NOW MOVING SLIGHTLY FASTER TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST...ABOUT 11 KT. THE 00Z AVN FORECASTS A DISCONTINUOUS RETROGRESSION OF THE STRONG ANTICYCLONE CENTER FROM TEXAS TO SOUTHERN NEVADA DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THIS SHOULD MEAN LITTLE CHANGE IN DARBY/S TRACK...UNLESS THE CYCLONE OUTRUNS THE HIGH AND IS AFFECTED BY THE INCREASING SOUTHERLIES FORECAST ALONG 125W NORTH OF 20N...BETWEEN THE HIGH AND THE NEIGHBORING LOW ALOFT. THE TRACK FORECAST REPRESENTS AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS NHC PREDICTION. WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 15.5N 119.8W 105 KTS 12HR VT 25/1800Z 16.2N 121.5W 105 KTS 24HR VT 26/0600Z 17.0N 123.6W 105 KTS 36HR VT 26/1800Z 17.7N 125.8W 95 KTS 48HR VT 27/0600Z 18.5N 128.2W 80 KTS 72HR VT 28/0600Z 19.5N 133.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627113-18201>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44680; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 02:13:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 02:13:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44148 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 02:13:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 02:13:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250713.CAA15815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 02:13:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a44faf23c9b31dd68db019d6bc4d220 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 AXPZ20 KNHC 250711 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC SAT 25 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 119.3W AT 25/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 25N126W TO 16N134W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0630 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... THE HURRICANE HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N90W 6N100W 8N110W 9N120W 6N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W AND FROM 110W TO 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS JUST OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N87W TO 12.5N89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC JUST OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13.5N93W TO 15N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15.5N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 99W TO 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 102W TO 104W AND ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM 21N TO 22N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS A WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 12N100W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3138 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-13285>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 12:32:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25394; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 23:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 23:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA36636 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 23:30:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 23:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250430.XAA14111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 23:30:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7963192d02fa6393f2ca0602563b122d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 380 ABPZ20 KNHC 250429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626758-25137>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63646; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:28:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62584 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250227.VAA12996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47cb83ae2e01aed19cf720c9de65656d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 178 WTPZ25 KNHC 250227 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0300Z SAT JUL 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.6W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.6W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 118.2W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.5N 120.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 118.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.5N 132.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-25146>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:32:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63628; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62576 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250227.VAA12992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:27:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0795c7f49e11dfd22716785b0060211a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPZ45 KNHC 250227 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 DARBY HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MAXIMUM WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS. THIS ESTIMATE IS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS FROM SAB...TAFB AND RAW NUMBERS OBTAINED FROM THE NEW OBJECTIVE DVORAK TECHNIQUE (ODT). THESE RAW NUMBERS HAVE BEEN OSCILLATING AROUND 5.0 AND 6.0. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS EXCELLENT AND CONSISTS OF A DISTINCT EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN A CDO...WELL DEFINED CURVED BANDS AND OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. DARBY HAS AT LEAST 24 MORE HOURS OVER WARM WATERS...SO ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE. THEREAFTER... THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE 25 DEGREE ISOTHERM AND WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WEAKENS THE HURRICANE IN AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS MODEL BUT SLOWER THAN SHIFOR AND MUCH SLOWER THAN THE GFDL. THE GFDL WEAKENS DARBY TO A 50-KNOT STORM IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. DARBY...LIKE MOST OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANES IS MOVING AT 290/10. SINCE THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE ...THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 15.0N 118.6W 100 KTS 12HR VT 25/1200Z 15.5N 120.1W 110 KTS 24HR VT 26/0000Z 16.0N 122.0W 120 KTS 36HR VT 26/1200Z 17.0N 124.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 27/0000Z 18.0N 127.0W 100 KTS 72HR VT 28/0000Z 19.5N 132.5W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4541 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626732-25137>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:39:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40904; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:35:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9113575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12160 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:34:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:34:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250134.UAA12423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:34:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84535e8b4d50f4432dbee3be21b25599 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 AXPZ20 KNHC 250134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC SAT 25 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 118.2W AT 25/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 23N130W 11N136W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 115W TO 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0100 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... THE HURRICANE HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 117W-119W BETWEEN 117W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 11N-19N BETWEEN 116W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N74W 8N90W 6N100W 80N110W 8N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 76W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF THE ITCZ FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 97W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 91W-93W SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 86W-89W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO TO PUERTO VALLARTA WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE LINE 16N98W TO 20N105W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-16334>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 05:57:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA46564; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:47:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9111869 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30658 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:47:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA09617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:47:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807242147.QAA09617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:47:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a745b87b0bba6179f8bad9162179030 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 967 ABPZ20 KNHC 242147 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627360-16332>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14606; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:26:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9111415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:26:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63730 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:26:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:26:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807242026.PAA07716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:26:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2002ba63791aadbd5963635c750536b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 WTPZ45 KNHC 242023 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/10. THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ALL SHOW A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME ACCELERATION THROUGN 72 HOURS...ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT CLEAR FROM THE AVIATION MODEL 12Z RUN AS TO WHY THE MOTION SHOULD ACCELERATE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND SHOWS ONLY A SMALL ACCELERATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED EYE HAS FORMED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 80 KNOTS. THIS IS BETWEEN THE 4.5 DVORAK T NUMBER FROM TAFB AND THE 5.0 T NUMBER FROM SAB. THE ONLY FACTOR TO AFFECT THE INCREASING INTENSITY TREND IS THAT THE TRACK MOVES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATER AFTER 36 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 14.7N 117.8W 80 KTS 12HR VT 25/0600Z 15.2N 119.3W 90 KTS 24HR VT 25/1800Z 16.0N 121.5W 100 KTS 36HR VT 26/0600Z 16.7N 124.2W 100 KTS 48HR VT 26/1800Z 17.5N 127.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 27/1800Z 18.5N 132.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3426 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626732-16327>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:34:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63592; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:25:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9111401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:25:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44880 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:25:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807242025.PAA07701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:25:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99a0a6aa75de0d78e251e80f46f45792 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 570 WTPZ25 KNHC 242023 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z FRI JUL 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 117.8W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 117.8W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 117.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.2N 119.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.7N 124.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 117.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-16327>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44986; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:28:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9110775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA50842 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:28:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241928.OAA06406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:28:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9939f46a26f2417af06073880f76afb7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 662 AXPZ20 KNHC 241926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC FRI 24 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY HAS INTENSIFIED TO HURRICANE STRENGTH. HURRICANE DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 117.2W AT 24/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N131W-12N137W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 25N FROM 115W TO 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1900 UTC... HURRICANE DARBY... THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A WELL- DEFINED BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 115W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN A BAND TO THE SOUTH OF THE HURRICANE WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N BETWEEN 113W-122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 6N100W 10N110W 7N120W 7N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-93W ...AND FROM 4N-14N BETWEEN 103W-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 123W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO NICARAGUA WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N82W-11N90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 90W-100W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-11469>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:08:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40786; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:06:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9109168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:05:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA30242 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:04:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:04:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241704.MAA02955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:04:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4814210b3b1ef897a640328b98ff791d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 506 ABPZ20 KNHC 241704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-13319>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19294; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:55:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:55:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52878 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:54:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:54:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241454.JAA29250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:54:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fe7ff3521fce15e54c50c8bc69bbf7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 932 WTPZ45 KNHC 241453 TCDEP5 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 DARBY HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION AND A RATHER IMPRESSIVE...WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER. MOREOVER...THERE HAVE BEEN OCCASIONAL HINTS OF A WARM SPOT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY... SUGGESTIVE OF EYE DEVELOPMENT...WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS. DVORAK-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW 4.0...65 KNOTS. THUS...DARBY IS BEING UPGRADED TO HURRICANE STATUS. DARBY CONTINUES ON A CLIMATOLOGICALLY-FAVORED WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/10 KNOTS. DARBY/S MOTION APPEARS TO BE CONTROLLED PRIMARILY BY THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. MOST OF THE 00Z GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 32N/125W WILL CUT-OFF AND DRIFT WEST IN RESPONSE TO THE WESTWARD BUILDING RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST ACCEPTS THIS SCENARIO...AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE SHOWING A GENERAL WEST/WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS NO IMPEDANCE TO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WITH THE ANTICIPATION OF THE WESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE RIDGE NOTED ABOVE. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE. THE INTENSITY IS DECREASED SLIGHTLY BY 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES MARGINALLY COOLER WATERS. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 14.0N 116.9W 65 KTS 12HR VT 25/0000Z 14.4N 118.4W 75 KTS 24HR VT 25/1200Z 14.8N 120.6W 85 KTS 36HR VT 26/0000Z 15.3N 123.1W 90 KTS 48HR VT 26/1200Z 15.8N 125.7W 90 KTS 72HR VT 27/1200Z 16.5N 131.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3960 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627364-13323>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:56:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29242; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:55:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18736 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:53:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241453.JAA29242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:53:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d06910037eec433165ce5139a7bc9c27 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 WTPZ25 KNHC 241454 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 1500Z FRI JUL 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 116.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 116.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.4N 118.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.8N 120.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.3N 123.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 116.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 15.8N 125.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-13319>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31584; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 08:31:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9105919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 08:30:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25924 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 08:30:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 08:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241330.IAA27389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 08:30:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fde054e6ba6a4b659e4da7d76cef928 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 213 AXPZ20 KNHC 241330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC FRI 24 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 24/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N130W-15N135W-11N137W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N FROM 115W TO 135W AND NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM DARBY... CONVECTION HAS INCREASED STEADILY THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT WITH GOOD BANDING FEATURES PREVALENT IN THIS INTENSIFYING SYSTEM. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 114W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN A BAND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N120W-17N116W-18N112W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS SPIRALING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTH WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N120W-11N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N84W 7N90W 6N100W 8N113W 6N129W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N80W-9N77W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N103W-12N108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO EL SALVADOR WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N84W-13N91W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N97W-15N95W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-13324>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 18:28:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA43672; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:28:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA67204 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:27:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241027.FAA25365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:27:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a3d4b7351fb06c76a8b56c8c29d2057 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 896 ABPZ20 KNHC 241028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2862 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627088-13319>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:43:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA17688; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:42:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:42:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA31490 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:42:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:42:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240842.DAA24485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:42:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a829632c8edda144d2f8af735e79967 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 022 WTPZ25 KNHC 240842 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0900Z FRI JUL 24 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 115.8W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 115.8W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.0N 117.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.4N 119.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.7N 121.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 115.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 123.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 15.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627385-13324>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:48:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26098; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:41:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA31710 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:41:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:41:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240841.DAA24481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:41:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3f0d07a8a033a9732931f8b9b6d8bfd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 988 WTPZ45 KNHC 240842 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUL 24 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED A LITTLE TONIGHT IN A SMALL AREA AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND RATHER VIGOROUS BANDS ARE NOTED...PARTICULARLY TO THE NW OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED WIND SPEED BASED ON THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE IS NOW 50 KT. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/9 KT. DARBY/S MOTION APPEARS TO BE CONTROLLED PRIMARILY BY THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST. A RATHER LARGE AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ALOFT...EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE STORM...IS NOT INFLUENCING THE MOTION AT THIS TIME. THE 00Z AVN AND GFDL IMPLY SOME WESTWARD RIDGING OF THE HIGH TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON THAT DEVELOPMENT AND SHOWS A MOSTLY WNW TO W MOTION WITH SOME ACCELERATION. A HIGH LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY CURRENT IS IMPINGING ON THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS HAS INTERFERED SOMEWHAT WITH THE OUTFLOW THAT HAD BEEN MOSTLY UNIMPEDED IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AS YET...THIS FEATURE HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED DARBY/S DEVELOPMENT. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS AGAIN FORECAST AND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE EXPECTATION THAT THE SW SHEAR WILL DIMINISH WHEN RIDGING TO THE NORTH BEGINS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 13.7N 115.8W 50 KTS 12HR VT 24/1800Z 14.0N 117.2W 60 KTS 24HR VT 25/0600Z 14.4N 119.2W 65 KTS 36HR VT 25/1800Z 14.7N 121.4W 75 KTS 48HR VT 26/0600Z 15.0N 123.8W 80 KTS 72HR VT 27/0600Z 15.5N 129.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626732-13323>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 15:28:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA17804; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:25:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:25:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29306 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:25:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA23830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:25:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240725.CAA23830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 02:25:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c561eb99e1f2dcf9687e8787d9ffe0e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 937 AXPZ20 KNHC 240724 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC FRI 24 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY IS CENTERED NEAR 13.6N 115.3W AT 24/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 23N FROM 115W TO 135W AND NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM DARBY... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. A RAIN BAND CONSISTING OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N114W 15N118W TO 12N118W. A SOUTHERN RAIN BAND CONSISTING OF SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N111W TO 9N115W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 5N90W 3N100W 11N110W 5N120W 6N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED/MODERATE STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 92W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 11N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 87.5W TO 89.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA FROM 81W TO 88W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-13319>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 12:32:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44962; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 23:30:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9102266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 23:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA31630 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 23:30:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 23:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240429.XAA22177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 23:29:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfea0c4cbc4f0be68d96519295df08d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 515 ABPZ20 KNHC 240429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DARBY CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626138-8144>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 10:35:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA40764; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9101006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18920 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240229.VAA20992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e4aebc591e712950dc53b627831b6f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 WTPZ25 KNHC 240229 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0300Z FRI JUL 24 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.9W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.9W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.2N 116.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.0N 120.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 114.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 14.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 14.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626476-8137>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 10:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA40736; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9101002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA46552 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:28:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240228.VAA20988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:28:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad585ceb2ba3e79031ed77030ff2aa2c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 225 WTPZ45 KNHC 240229 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT DARBY HAS WELL DEFINED CLOUD BANDS WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER BUT IT LACKS CENTRAL FEATURES. IR IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CONVECTIVE TOPS ARE NOT VERY COLD AT THIS TIME. T-NUMBERS ARE 3.0 AND 2.5 SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KNOTS. SHIFOR SHOWS ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY WHILE THE GFDL FORECASTS NO CHANGE AT ALL. DARBY IS MOVING OVER WARM WATERS...LOW LATITUDES...AND THERE IS NO WIND SHEAR AHEAD. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO HURRICANE STATUS IN 36 HOURS...FOLLOWING SHIPS MODEL AND AS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/10. A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM IS FORECAST TO PERSIST SO A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH ALL TRACK MODELS EXCEPT BY THE HIGHLY UNLIKELY SOLUTION OF THE AVN WHICH TURNS DARBY SOUTHWESTWARD. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 13.2N 114.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 24/1200Z 13.2N 116.5W 45 KTS 24HR VT 25/0000Z 13.5N 118.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 25/1200Z 14.0N 120.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 26/0000Z 14.5N 122.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 27/0000Z 14.5N 127.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627381-25207>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:43:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19364; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:36:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:36:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39292 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240136.UAA20315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:36:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 155a707bb186f21f70300754c2b6cd6b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 AXPZ20 KNHC 240135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC FRI 24 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS CENTERED NEAR 13.1N 114.4W AT 24/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0100 UTC... ...HIGH PRESSURE PRESENT NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM DARBY... COMPACT SYSTEM SHOWING VERY WELL DEFINED SYMMETRIC PATTERN WITH GOOD OUTFLOW PATTERN EVIDENT IN NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLES. RAIN BAND CONSISTING OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50-60 NM OF 14N116W 15N115W 16N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 109W-111W INDICATING POSSIBLE OUTER RAIN BAND FORMING. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EMBEDDED IN RAIN AREA WITHIN 60-120 NM NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N90W 5N100W 10N110W 6N120W 4N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-110W AND 120W-128W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER CENTRAL PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER COASTAL WATERS OF GUATEMALA...OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA...AND JUST INLAND MEXICAN COAST FROM 94W-95W...AND 97W-104W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF 12N103W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2873 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627787-9459>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 06:22:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA14636; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 17:13:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9097320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 17:13:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA26130 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 17:13:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA17827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 17:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807232213.RAA17827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 17:13:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 455578b098d1331c5ec5939896a780df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 598 ABPZ20 KNHC 232206 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DARBY LOCATED ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DARBY CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1506 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627572-9460>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 04:51:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67746; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:40:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA54138 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:40:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:40:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807232040.PAA15730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:40:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca9c0db684c5e86b260ab882dd0d0bd2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 936 WTPZ25 KNHC 232040 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z THU JUL 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.4W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.4W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.7N 116.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.0N 118.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 114.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1458 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627164-9454>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 04:50:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19320; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:33:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA53090 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:33:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807232033.PAA15513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:33:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e80b60125517b21b045142eb2ed22a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 833 WTPZ25 KNHC 232033 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 2100Z THU JUL 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.4W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 114.4W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.7N 116.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.0N 118.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 114.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1305 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-9459>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 04:45:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19280; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:32:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA18734 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:32:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807232032.PAA15498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:32:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab49c887effbda2a25890713f20a5599 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 829 WTPZ45 KNHC 232032 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE WITH BANDING FEATURES WRAPPING FURTHER AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...HOWEVER DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE UP SLIGHTLY TO 2.5...35 KNOTS. THEREFORE...THE SYSTEM IS BEING UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM DARBY. WITH WELL-ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND IMPROVING ELSEWHERE...AND A LOW VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO REACH HURRICANE STATUS BY 36 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 36 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES MARGINALLY COOLER WATERS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED ON A WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING THIS AFTERNOON AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER PACE WITH THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE NOW 285/11 KNOTS. THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE DENOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY STEERING ENVIRONMENT SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A TAD TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN CLIPER...GFDL... AND THE UKMET. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 13.3N 114.4W 40 KTS 12HR VT 24/0600Z 13.7N 116.1W 45 KTS 24HR VT 24/1800Z 14.0N 118.3W 55 KTS 36HR VT 25/0600Z 14.3N 120.3W 65 KTS 48HR VT 25/1800Z 14.5N 122.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 26/1800Z 15.0N 126.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3925 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627786-9460>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:35:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63514; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:31:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:31:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67592 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:31:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231931.OAA13649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:31:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b9f40a5e3a2a11da6aae6dd02a2570a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 836 AXPZ20 KNHC 231931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC THU 23 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.2N 113.9W AT 23/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ...1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF CELIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 24N129W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5-E... THE DEPRESSION HAS A WELL-DEFINED SYMMETRIC CIRCULATION WITH ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N117W- 15N112W...AND SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N109W-14N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N95W 10N109W 6N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N80W-8N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-94W...98W-119W...AND 124W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N106W-27N109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N86W-14N96W...11N100W- 14N105W...AND 18N120W-10N125W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-9454>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA49628; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:33:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA52922 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:33:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231633.LAA08508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c757419b6a62b235a5d05abe80a350cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 ABPZ20 KNHC 231633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH -SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP5. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-19989>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 22:43:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22728; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63646 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231432.JAA04754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39d60dfecb848b60f62dbb8bb0bca960 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 801 WTPZ25 KNHC 231433 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 1500Z THU JUL 23 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 113.3W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 113.3W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.2N 114.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.7N 116.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.3N 118.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 113.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 14.7N 120.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 15.7N 125.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-19989>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 22:39:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA31658; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA17802 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231432.JAA04750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:32:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c23cee44491b0e05732573a19e50e02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 800 WTPZ45 KNHC 231432 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF TD 5-E IS QUITE IMPRESSIVE WITH A WELL-DEFINED SYMMETRIC CIRCULATION AND ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM STILL LACKS CONCENTRATED DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 2.0 AND 2.5...RESPECTIVELY. THUS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD JUST BELOW STORM STRENGTH FOR THIS ADVISORY. ANALYSES BY THE COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE STUDIES SHOW LOW VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. THEREFORE...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/09 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS NOTHING IN THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT WHICH WILL CHANGE THE GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 12.9N 113.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 24/0000Z 13.2N 114.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 24/1200Z 13.7N 116.6W 50 KTS 36HR VT 25/0000Z 14.3N 118.6W 60 KTS 48HR VT 25/1200Z 14.7N 120.6W 60 KTS 72HR VT 26/1200Z 15.7N 125.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:36:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA30554; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:33:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9090819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39230 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231333.IAA03168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 327344ddba547a75e2085073a4f067c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 548 AXPZ20 KNHC 231332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1335 UTC THU 23 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5-E HAS FORMED FROM THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5-E IS CENTERED NEAR 12.8N 112.8W AT 23/1200 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AFOS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ...1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF CELIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 24N128W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1300 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5-E... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 111W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N89W 7N95W 10N109W 8N117W 7N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N93W-5N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 110W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-93W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N93W -8N103W-10N110W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W- 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N87W-12N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N103W-23N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC INTO EASTERN PACIFIC WITHIN 90 NM OF 15N94W-15N100W-11N104W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 14N121W-11N126W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2169 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 18:35:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA47852; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:33:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9089235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:33:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49626 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:33:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231033.FAA01056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:33:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c4c518fcf7ac9c9dddbe1fd335e663c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 ABPZ20 KNHC 231032 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEGUN ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E CENTERED ABOUT 720 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3874 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:44:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA52774; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:39:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:39:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA35090 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:39:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:39:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230839.DAA00228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:39:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c700b3af2b87cbf3adcbfaa95d00c5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPZ25 KNHC 230838 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0598 0900Z THU JUL 23 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 112.5W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 112.5W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 112.0W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.2N 113.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.7N 115.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.3N 117.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 112.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 14.8N 119.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 16.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626806-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 16:43:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22738; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:38:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:38:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA35262 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:38:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230838.DAA00222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 03:38:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31358c40758674f7f423d948018f3c65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 WTPZ45 KNHC 230838 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUL 23 1998 THE DISTURBANCE WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA RETAINS A DISTINCT LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT CONCENTRATED...THERE IS ENOUGH BANDING TO ALLOW TAFB AND SAB TO GIVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 2.0...AND TO SUPPORT UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS MOST PROMINENT IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE...REPRESENTING A CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY WHEN A SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WAS EVIDENT. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD ABOUT 290/11 KT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SOUNDING DATA SHOW AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE U.S. SOUTHWEST AND A TROUGH ALOFT NEAR THE WEST COAST. THE 00Z AVN IS INITIALIZED...CONTAMINATED...WITH A STRONG MULTI-CENTERED VORTEX...SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE WNW OF THE DEPRESSION. THERE IS LITTLE IF ANY INDICATION OF THE ACTUAL DISTURBANCE. WITH NO CONFIDENCE IN THAT MODEL/S FORECAST...I AM LEFT WITH YESTERDAY/S NOGAPS OUTPUT WHICH SUGGESTS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LACKING RELIABLE CURRENT DYNAMICAL MODEL DATA...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS STATISTICAL GUIDANCE...CLIPER AND SHIFOR. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 12.8N 112.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 23/1800Z 13.2N 113.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 24/0600Z 13.7N 115.8W 40 KTS 36HR VT 24/1800Z 14.3N 117.7W 45 KTS 48HR VT 25/0600Z 14.8N 119.7W 50 KTS 72HR VT 26/0600Z 16.0N 124.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625871-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:38:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67602; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:35:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18688 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:35:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230735.CAA29727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ee006e9bb53790e5c02ac66dafa0122 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 232 AXPZ20 KNHC 230734 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0735 UTC THU 23 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 13N112W AT 23/0600 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ...1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF CELIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 24N127W. IT IS MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0700 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A NEW BAND OVER THE EASTERN QUADRANT IN ADDITION TO A LARGER BAND OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN 210 NM NORTHWEST OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SE QUADRANT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N90W 7N100W 11N111W 7N120W 7N130W TO 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER COASTAL AREAS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 107W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 4N90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 18N99W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20N102W 23N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER MEXICO WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 26N107W. JEW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2459 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-19989>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:37:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA04274; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 22:35:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9087172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 22:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39284 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 22:35:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA27409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 22:35:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230335.WAA27409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 22:35:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f0a63fd8f41f24970543f4d78941da3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 567 ABPZ20 KNHC 230324 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE HAS BEEN SOME DECREASE IN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 09:50:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31590; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 20:48:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 20:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63572 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 20:48:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 20:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230148.UAA25959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 20:48:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5213e339d7208dc29c35a8b33e17b054 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 516 AXPZ20 KNHC 230147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0135 UTC THU 23 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 13N111W AT 23/0000 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ...1015 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF CELIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 24N126W. IT IS MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS SHOWN BY BANDING FEATURES WITHIN 150 NM NORTHWEST OF CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN 180 NM NORTHWEST OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION MARKING A RAIN BAND IS WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 8N113W 9N110W 10N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N110W...AND 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N90W 8N100W 10N109W 7N120W 7N130W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 91W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-89W...AND 122W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS JUST OFFSHORE AND INLAND COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS JUST INLAND EL SALVADOR AND COAST OF MEXICO FROM 16N-20N AND 27N-30N. AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 96W- 104W. AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625865-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:10:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22670; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 17:32:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9083964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 17:32:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA31950 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 17:29:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA22962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 17:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807222229.RAA22962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 17:29:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b44d7dbfcf04009d63f05bf3185e13ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 202 ABPZ20 KNHC 222229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...FORECAST ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4047 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-14569>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:26:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39422; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:18:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9082734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:18:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA52926 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:18:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:18:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807222118.QAA21414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:18:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd678db9c492d509caf274ac25434eae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 016 AXPZ20 KNHC 222113 RTD TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1935 UTC WED 22 JUL 1998 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1009 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 12N110W AT 22/1800 UTC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1800 UTC... ...1014 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF CELIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 24N125W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS. ...HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1900 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 9N108W-14N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N87W 10N100W 10N109W 11N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-88W...AND FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 97W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 90 NM OF 91W FROM 4N-12N...AND FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 116W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N79W-4N87W...AND 13N121W-19N119W. FREDERICK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627664-14569>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 00:40:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31552; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:31:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9079666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26150 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:31:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:31:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221631.LAA13992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:31:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0531a5d82cb96172710e949afd15f4b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 894 ABPZ20 KNHC 221631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 18:02:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54252; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 04:59:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9075532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 04:58:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44972 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 04:58:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA06486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 04:58:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220958.EAA06486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 04:58:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f54515e83585d02f89bcf555200950fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 288 ABPZ20 KNHC 220958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA26266; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:25:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9072199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:25:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29280 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:25:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:25:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220325.WAA02620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:25:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c16e74629e940102b6dbd97f3b2cd53 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 374 ABPZ20 KNHC 220323 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2385 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627050-28778>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 06:22:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA30628; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 17:18:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9067389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 17:18:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA14738 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 17:18:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 17:18:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807212218.RAA27944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 17:18:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24a18a7b0c9fc38e723e208500b7dedd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 921 ABPZ20 KNHC 212209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-28772>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:35:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA67590; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 11:32:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9061933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 11:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA09948 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 11:32:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 11:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211632.LAA18979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 11:32:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0983b3039f2a88b002cec4993b7eb75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 508 ABPZ20 KNHC 211630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-28772>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 19:42:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA57350; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:40:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9057231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA18706 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:01:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211001.FAA10631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:01:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5dd67dd1c9d2cc76406de85d790c861 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 086 ABPZ20 KNHC 211000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...WHICH IS SLOWLY DISSIPATING ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1588 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626497-8680>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 11:38:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA36660; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:31:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9054498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA35858 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:31:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:31:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210331.WAA06671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:31:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a57d5b151ecfeba8481392d4335a161 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 ABPZ20 KNHC 210330 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...WHICH IS SLOWLY DISSIPATING ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-8685>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 10:43:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30284; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9054111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52764 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210242.VAA05950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 415d16a75c09c9fe737f3424282c4e15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 008 WTPZ24 KNHC 210242 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0300Z TUE JUL 21 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 121.2W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 121.2W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 120.8W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.9N 122.4W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.2N 124.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 125.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 121.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2 AND WMO HEADER FZPN03 LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626432-8684>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 10:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30266; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9054107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36634 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210242.VAA05949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:42:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be27b77ee2e1de249c5251e6c71a4009 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 WTPZ44 KNHC 210242 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH WINDS OF 25 KNOTS OR LESS. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AT 280/08 UNTIL DISSIPATION IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. FUTURE INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2 AND WMO HEADER FZPNO3. LAWRENNCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 22.7N 121.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 22.9N 122.4W 20 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 23.2N 124.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 22/1200Z 23.4N 125.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 23/0000Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4526 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626016-8680>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 07:11:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA40948; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:39:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9050977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:39:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA22740 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:39:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807202239.RAA02137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:39:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9b1ff5be5757be8a37a3621660884dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 403 ABPZ20 KNHC 202237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627346-17948>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 04:42:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57402; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:40:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9048985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:40:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67598 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:40:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807202040.PAA29161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:40:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97c11f056e2fba9269fd60b2dadc5270 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 ABPZ20 KNHC 202039 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 580 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627456-17942>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 04:39:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA31720; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:36:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9048858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:36:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19958 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807202034.PAA29002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e8a1862bf3f08a4a0ebf7a16ff7f21b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 215 WTPZ24 KNHC 202034 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 2100Z MON JUL 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 120.2W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 120.2W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 119.8W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.6N 121.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.7N 123.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.8N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 120.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-17948>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 04:37:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA31786; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9048851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA36076 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807202034.PAA28998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:34:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c7cacc99de339a081b1fcc2976faeb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTPZ44 KNHC 202034 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THERE IS STILL A DISTINCT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IDENTIFYING THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER...DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN NON-EXISTENT FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS. CELIA IS IN A STABLE...COOL WATER ENVIRONMENT AND A CONTINUED GRADUAL SPINDOWN IS FORECAST. DISSIPATION SHOULD OCCUR IN A DAY OR TWO. LATEST SATELLITE FIXES REQUIRED ONLY A SLIGHT NORTHWARD SHIFT IN TRACK. A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION OF AROUND 8 KNOTS OR SO IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL CELIA/S DEMISE. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 22.4N 120.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/0600Z 22.6N 121.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 21/1800Z 22.7N 123.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 22/0600Z 22.8N 125.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626975-17942>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:35:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA23670; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:34:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9043153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA55638 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:34:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:34:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201434.JAA18788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:34:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2623b848939e3d3925469912026ea4a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 WTPZ44 KNHC 201434 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 CELIA PERSISTS AS A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION OF LOW- TO MIDDLE-LEVEL CLOUDS...BUT WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB REMAIN 2.0...30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM WILL BE HELD AT TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS FOR THIS ADVISORY...WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/07 KNOTS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES THE WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE PERIOD ...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 22.1N 119.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/0000Z 22.1N 120.1W 25 KTS 24HR VT 21/1200Z 22.1N 121.7W 20 KTS 36HR VT 22/0000Z 22.1N 123.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4066 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626755-17942>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA57824; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9043030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47798 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:30:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:30:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201430.JAA18708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:30:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe5c50aad607dc25a44b7b59e9300975 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 132 WTPZ24 KNHC 201430 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 1500Z MON JUL 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 119.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 119.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 118.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.1N 120.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.1N 121.7W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.1N 123.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 119.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626753-351>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 18:42:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA34998; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 05:40:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 05:40:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA57500 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 05:40:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA14910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 05:40:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201040.FAA14910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 05:40:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb0cc1452744c1a09d176e4b3b800eac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 656 ABPZ20 KNHC 201039 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM...LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 16:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12240; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62600 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200834.DAA14005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2414e4ce21abf41b2e68472e7217873 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 639 WTPZ24 KNHC 200834 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0900Z MON JUL 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 118.4W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 118.4W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 118.0W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.1N 119.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.2N 121.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.2N 122.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 118.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626722-353>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 16:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA11124; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39778 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200834.DAA14000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:34:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Celia Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b93b5ec10fc673515622e9dc9773772 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 WTPZ44 KNHC 200834 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUL 20 1998 CELIA RETAINS A DISTINCT CIRCULATION OF LOW- TO MIDDLE-LEVEL CLOUDS. THE CENTER IS A LITTLE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT ON IR IMAGES...HOWEVER ...WITH CURRENT ESTIMATES SHOWING A SLOWING TO ABOUT 7 KT ON A NEARLY DUE WESTWARD HEADING. THIS TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE. DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO AN OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM. WITH DVORAK T/CI NUMBERS NOW 1.5/2.0 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...THE CYCLONE IS DOWNGRADED TO A 30 KT DEPRESSION ON THIS ADVISORY. THE REMAINING CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY UNWIND WITH DISSIPATION LIKELY TO BE DECLARED IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 22.1N 118.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 20/1800Z 22.1N 119.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 21/0600Z 22.2N 121.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 21/1800Z 22.2N 122.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 12:44:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA60118; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 23:42:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9038249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 23:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22724 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 23:42:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 23:42:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200442.XAA11915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 23:42:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 701939e12bd3e7792eada20eaaf1ef0c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 438 ABPZ20 KNHC 200440 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626311-8641>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 10:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22454; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:33:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9036837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41370 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:33:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200233.VAA10474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:33:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36daef64c5cbe2303ff98a6fd38579b1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 192 WTPZ24 KNHC 200233 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0300Z MON JUL 20 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 117.8W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 117.8W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 117.4W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.4N 119.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.6N 121.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 23.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 117.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 23.4N 125.2W...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-8641>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 10:39:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20828; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:32:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9036828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49222 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:32:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:32:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200232.VAA10465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:32:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d603f2090b3f5ff27583d1bb9a8c8dbb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 WTPZ44 KNHC 200232 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 THE STORM IS BEING STEERED BY EASTERLIES AS THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A WELL-ESTABLISHED EAST-WEST RIDGE ALONG 30 TO 35 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. FOLLOWING THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS...A MOTION JUST NORTH OF DUE WESTWARD IS MAINTAINED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A SMALL AREA OF SPORADIC CONVECTION CONTINUES NEAR THE CENTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. BUT SSTS ARE NEAR 23 DEGREES C AND DISSIPATION SHOULD COMMENCE SOON. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 22.2N 117.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 20/1200Z 22.4N 119.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 21/0000Z 22.6N 121.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 21/1200Z 23.0N 123.0W 20 KTS 48HR VT 22/0000Z 23.4N 125.2W DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627018-21942>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:27:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52364; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:25:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9033515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64368 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:25:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA06778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807192025.PAA06778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:25:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6db0c11a5c30b02a62ee562aee03bcb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 WTPZ24 KNHC 192024 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 2100Z SUN JUL 19 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 116.8W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 50SE 50SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 116.8W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 116.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 22.4N 118.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.6N 120.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.8N 122.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 116.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.0N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627175-21938>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12180; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:18:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9033474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:18:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12076 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:17:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA06723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:17:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807192017.PAA06723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 15:17:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76a05e2f413cbcdcde3240ce153ff202 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 507 WTPZ44 KNHC 192016 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME RATHER SPARSE IN CELIA...ALTHOUGH A FEW CELLS SPORADICALLY DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER. THE CYCLONE IS STILL FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AS PER DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM THE TPC TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST SINCE SST/S ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 22-23 DEG C RANGE ALONG THE PATH OF THE SYSTEM. CELIA SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. NO CHANGES TO THE MOTION ARE APPARENT AND THE TRACK FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IS MERELY EXTENDED FARTHER TO THE WEST. AGAIN...AS NOTED EARLIER...THE LACK OF REAL DATA AND THE PRESENCE OF SPURIOUS VORTICES IN THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL MAKES MOST OF OUR DYNAMICAL TRACK PREDICTION MODEL OUTPUT...AT BEST...QUESTIONABLE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 22.2N 116.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 22.4N 118.3W 30 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 22.6N 120.4W 25 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 22.8N 122.6W 25 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 23.0N 125.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 22/1800...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2658 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626810-21943>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 00:27:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57818; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 11:25:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9031291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 11:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12228 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 11:25:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 11:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191625.LAA04345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 11:25:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43ae0fe569bf2c0493c326313d080fb3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 ABPZ20 KNHC 191623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626775-21938>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 22:36:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49154; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:35:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9029965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59366 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:35:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:35:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191435.JAA03536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:35:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9d71388472afcd19750125dd4c93bfb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 WTPZ44 KNHC 191435 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 ALTHOUGH DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED...CELIA STILL HAS A WELL- ORGANIZED CLOUD PATTERN. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH SO CURRENT INTENSITY IS HELD AT 40 KNOTS. SINCE VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE STORM/S ENVIRONMENT IS LIGHT...WEAKENING WILL BE SLOW. NONETHELESS AS SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE CYCLONE/S PATH ARE IN THE 22-23 DEG C RANGE IT IS LIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL BE DISSIPATING IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. NOT MUCH CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. MOTION CONTINUES SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 9 KNOTS. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IS GENERALLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE. AS HAS BEEN NOTED EARLIER...MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS LIKELY BEING ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY A LARGE SPURIOUS VORTEX IN THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SITUATED ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF CELIA. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 22.1N 115.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 22.3N 117.2W 35 KTS 24HR VT 20/1200Z 22.6N 119.2W 30 KTS 36HR VT 21/0000Z 22.8N 121.3W 25 KTS 48HR VT 21/1200Z 23.0N 123.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625894-21942>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 22:34:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA60808; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:32:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9029919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49270 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:32:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:32:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191432.JAA03501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 09:32:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 293ee96d0c9be1a2d0cec06c4ebd914a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 WTPZ24 KNHC 191432 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 1500Z SUN JUL 19 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 50SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.3N 117.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.6N 119.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.8N 121.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 115.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 23.0N 123.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 18:38:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA57612; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 05:36:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9028730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 05:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44234 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 05:35:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 05:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191035.FAA01858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 05:35:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 744d0af4fa2d0e5fe27e8f8a6b20eca4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 689 ABPZ20 KNHC 191032 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626654-27524>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 16:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33872; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:33:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9027944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA51006 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:33:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190833.DAA00996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:33:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 334120296973e49ff098d180375737b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 WTPZ24 KNHC 190833 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0900Z SUN JUL 19 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 115.1W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 50SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 115.1W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.1N 116.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 22.3N 118.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.4N 120.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 115.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.5N 122.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 16:35:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA31534; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:32:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9027940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:32:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52250 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:32:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190832.DAA00991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:32:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48fbbd17c9ad9e159405cc1593e3a84c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 WTPZ44 KNHC 190832 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 19 1998 CELIA HAS LOST MOST OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. SST ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS ENTERING 24-25C WATERS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB INDICATE THAT CELIA IS ON A WEAKENING TREND WITH T-NUMBERS OF 2.5 AND 3.0 RESPECTIVELY. THUS...THE INTENSITY WILL BE LOWERED TO 40 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE WITH THE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 48 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SHOWS THAT CELIA HAS BEEN MOVING ON A MORE WESTERLY HEADING. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY 06Z TAFB AND SAB FIX LOCATIONS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/10 KNOTS. THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE THAT RELY ON AVIATION MODEL FIELDS ...WHICH CONTINUE A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS...ARE CONSIDERED SUSPECT DUE TO THE SPURIOUS VORTEX SOUTHWEST OF CELIA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 48 HOURS. THIS IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER... NOGAPS AND UKMET GUIDANCE AND IS CONSISTENT WITH LOWER TROPOSPHERIC STEERING. GUINEY FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 22.0N 115.1W 40 KTS 12HR VT 19/1800Z 22.1N 116.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 20/0600Z 22.3N 118.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 20/1800Z 22.4N 120.8W 25 KTS 48HR VT 21/0600Z 22.5N 122.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 22/0600Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626026-27524>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 12:33:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22160; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 23:31:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9026377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 23:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21882 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 23:31:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 23:31:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190431.XAA28656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 23:31:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1094601f357b3829542ffe31fdf4ee5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 414 ABPZ20 KNHC 190431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626026-27524>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 10:16:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29754; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:15:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9024722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:15:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49336 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190214.VAA27418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80ea4ca4c4919ed1bcd7b27484b669f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 888 WTPZ44 KNHC 190212 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 295/13. THE TRACK GUIDANCE ALL SHOWS A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH STEERING PROVIDED BY A HIGH ANCHORED NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A SMALL BAND OF MODERATELY DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS AROUND THE CENTER. THE WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 45 KNOTS FOR 12 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL DISSIPATION BY 48 HOURS OR SO OVER INCREASINGLY COLDER WATER. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS LAWRENCE INITIAL 19/0300Z 22.2N 114.2W 45 KTS 12HR VT 19/1200Z 22.9N 115.9W 45 KTS 24HR VT 20/0000Z 23.8N 118.1W 35 KTS 36HR VT 20/1200Z 24.8N 120.4W 25 KTS 48HR VT 21/0000Z 25.8N 122.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 22/0000Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626347-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 10:15:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29846; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9024708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39790 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190214.VAA27408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:14:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58b5e11f705b8bb460b63839ccac0b4f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 887 WTPZ24 KNHC 190214 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0300Z SUN JUL 19 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 114.2W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 50SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 114.2W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.9N 115.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.8N 118.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.8N 120.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 114.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 25.8N 122.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627180-11453>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 06:27:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA44700; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 17:25:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9022997 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 17:25:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA66186 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 17:25:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 17:25:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807182225.RAA25266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 17:25:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44ecb8632d9db2e9ed3dc5f21e20fffe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 ABPZ20 KNHC 182223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1213 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626943-11455>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 04:37:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA55702; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:29:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9021859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52860 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:29:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA24146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807182029.PAA24146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:29:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4f0b7e59942f35c29c52f3c41f2a8fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 678 WTPZ24 KNHC 182028 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 2100Z SAT JUL 18 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 113.1W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 113.1W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 112.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.6N 115.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.7N 117.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.7N 120.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 113.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 25.5N 122.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627165-11450>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 04:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22418; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:27:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9021826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12146 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:27:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA24127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807182027.PAA24127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:27:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ca8a2215dad446974f7a6055c90bb2f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 639 WTPZ44 KNHC 182027 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 AN ISOLATED STRONG CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN CYCLING AROUND...CLOSE-IN...TO THE CENTER. OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING. INITIAL WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS NOW 45 KT...AS PROVIDED BY TAFB AND SAB. THE TRACK HAS LEANED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT...NOW TOWARD 295/13 KT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THE STRONG ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH OF CELIA. 12Z AVN MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A GENERALLY WNW TRACK FOR THE CELIA TO THE SOUTH OF THIS HIGH...WHICH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE U.S. SOUTHWEST. THE SEVERAL MORE INTENSE VORTICES SHOWN IN THE AVN INITIALIZATION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SHOULD BE IGNORED. WEAKENING IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 21.8N 113.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 22.6N 115.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 23.7N 117.7W 35 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 24.7N 120.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 20/1800Z 25.5N 122.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-11453>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:50:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA09844; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 11:49:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9020462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 11:49:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA37684 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 11:49:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 11:48:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181648.LAA22256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 11:48:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 978dced2f91fa3b15d084bdbb09bf261 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 ABPZ20 KNHC 181647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-11453>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 22:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA61454; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:32:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9019065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA60400 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:32:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:32:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181432.JAA21271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:32:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51362a54962830fc8dff1ef70690a3e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 066 WTPZ34 KNHC 181431 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 ...THREAT TO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DIMINISHING... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 8 AM THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM... SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF CELIA WILL BE GRADUALLY MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST OVER ADJACENT MARINE AREAS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OBSERVATIONS FROM NEARBY SHIPS INDICATE THAT CELIA HAS A SOMEWHAT SMALLER AREA OF STRONG WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...21.7 N...111.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THIS WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON CELIA ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...UNLESS A THREAT TO LAND REDEVELOPS. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626962-11455>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 22:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22746; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:30:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9019013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59470 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181429.JAA21231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98e7d7dde923358b4826ac15c38141d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 WTPZ24 KNHC 181428 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 1500Z SAT JUL 18 1998 AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.9W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.9W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 111.3W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.8N 113.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 119.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 111.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.8N 121.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1791 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-11450>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 22:32:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22370; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9018996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09792 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181429.JAA21227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:29:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f640122b60c6c99cc15fc15df50e7da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 002 WTPZ44 KNHC 181428 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 CELIA CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD 305/15 KT. CONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...SUGGESTING THAT WINDS SHOULD SOON DECREASE FROM THE ESTIMATED 50 KT ON THIS ADVISORY. TWO SHIP REPORTS...ONE AT 12Z AND ONE FROM VWSD AT 03Z...IMPLY A SOMEWHAT SMALLER CIRCULATION THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. THE 06Z AVN...LIKE ITS PREDECESSORS...CONTAINS SPURIOUS STRONG VORTICES IN ITS INITIALIZATION WHICH WILL LIKELY HAVE AN ADVERSE IMPACT ON ITS TRACK FORECAST OF CELIA. NOTWITHSTANDING...THE CONTROLLING FEATURE FOR TRACK IS THE STRONG ANTICYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN TO THE NW TO N OF CELIA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THAT HIGH AND THE INCREASING INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL STEERING SHOULD DRIVE CELIA GENERALLY TOWARD THE NW AND THEN THE WNW AS INDICATED BY MOST TRACK GUIDANCE AND THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. GIVEN THE FORECAST TRACK AND THE REDUCED WIND RADII...IT IS LIKELY THAT THE THREAT TO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IS LESSENED. ACCORDINGLY...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS DISCONTINUING THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AS OF 1500 UTC. ROUGH SEAS WILL LIKELY PERSIST...HOWEVER...FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO OVER THE ADJACENT MARINE AREAS. CELIA IS CURRENTLY OVER 26C WATERS. BY 36 HOURS IT WILL BE OVER 21C WATERS. THEREFORE...A SHARP WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 21.7N 111.9W 50 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 22.8N 113.9W 45 KTS 24HR VT 19/1200Z 24.0N 116.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 20/0000Z 25.0N 119.1W 25 KTS 48HR VT 20/1200Z 25.8N 121.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-11453>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 19:34:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA59418; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 06:32:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 06:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA12036 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 06:31:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA20277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 06:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181131.GAA20277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 06:31:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 547a455197b777b11e44eb48e0376a73 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 559 WTPZ34 KNHC 181131 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 ...CELIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES ...225 KM...SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD BE OCCURRING NEAR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...220 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...21.1 N...111.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-11455>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 17:47:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54708; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:45:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA60828 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:45:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180945.EAA19734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:45:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 851489b3b36a458e36d9f324b061cd83 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 769 ABPZ20 KNHC 180944 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626363-11455>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 16:27:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33934; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:26:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA61050 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:26:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180826.DAA19137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:26:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 935f72c2c2b516f45572e0b3a2090a1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 437 WTPZ44 KNHC 180826 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 THE CENTER OF CELIA CAN BE OBSERVED FROM LOS CABOS RADAR IN MEXICO AND IT IS ALSO DEPICTED IN THE LAST AVAILABLE SSM/I IMAGE. IT APPEARS THAT THE STORM IS JUST PASSING ABOUT 120 N MI TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WHILE MOVING NEARLY 305/15. IF THIS TRACK CONTINUES...AS EXPECTED...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL PROBABLY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY AS INDICATED BY T- NUMBERS. THE CENTER OF THE STORM APPEARS TO BE EMBEDDED WITHIN A SMALL BUT CONCENTRATED AREA OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR LESS...CELIA WILL BE MOVING OVER COOL WATERS SO A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. GFDL MODEL ALSO WEAKENS CELIA. THE STORM IS MOVING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A DEEP LAYER MEAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD. CONSEQUENTLY...MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS FORECAST A GENERAL NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. SINCE CELIA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...IT WILL PROBABLY BE STEERED MORE TO THE WEST BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AS SUGGESTED BY BAM SHALLOW LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. NOTE: PLEASE IGNORE THE LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST OF CELIA GENERATED BY THE AVN MODEL. THIS FEATURE IS SO LARGE AND SO UNREALISTIC IN THE MODEL THAT CELIA IS PRACTICALLY NOT REPRESENTED. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 20.8N 110.3W 50 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 22.0N 112.0W 50 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 23.5N 114.5W 45 KTS 36HR VT 19/1800Z 24.5N 117.0W 40 KTS 48HR VT 20/0600Z 25.0N 119.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 21/0600Z 26.0N 123.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-11453>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 16:25:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33976; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:24:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA61032 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180823.DAA19107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93bd6d2591b2fb709004a8bc8b13a04e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 405 WTPZ24 KNHC 180823 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0900Z SAT JUL 18 1998 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 110.3W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 110.3W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 110.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 25.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626580-11450>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 16:25:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33958; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:24:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017388 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA61022 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180823.DAA19103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 03:23:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ff609bb3bf80c27f3bcb9e68216b476 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 WTPZ34 KNHC 180822 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUL 18 1998 ...CELIA PASSING ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THE CENTER OF CELIA IS CURRENTLY PASSING ABOUT 140 MILES FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MIGHT REACH THE COAST IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...220 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...110.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-11450>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:38:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31842; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9016812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23374 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:36:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180536.AAA17494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:36:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Intermediate Advisory Number 3a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1016d0745f9f9a3e54e65f7ded135c49 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 056 WTPZ34 KNHC 180532 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF CELIA WILL BE PASSING ABOUT 100 MILES FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MIGHT REACH THE COAST IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...20.5 N...109.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4506 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626404-18728>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 12:07:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA64330; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 23:06:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9016073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 23:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA60726 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 23:06:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 23:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180406.XAA16619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 23:06:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef4bd06c6c6aaf8d7375691ed4ab6d98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 ABPZ20 KNHC 180403 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626377-18728>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 10:58:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34034; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22752 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:57:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:57:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180257.VAA15787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:57:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1418d20b49ce4d4cb0f87bf58d6b929 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 362 WTPZ34 KNHC 180257 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES ...365 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH ...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS ABOUT 100 MILES FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MIGHT REACH THE COAST IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...19.9 N...108.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-18735>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 10:57:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA60782; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA50970 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:55:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180255.VAA15753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:55:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd1331f0f272857e0e71a8b0dc74186e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 310 WTPZ24 KNHC 180255 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 0300Z SAT JUL 18 1998 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.5W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.5W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 110.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 108.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1636 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626364-18728>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 10:56:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA60680; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:55:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:54:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33972 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:54:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180254.VAA15749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:54:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 750c246597eb83cb7bc76b5047ed6ad9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 292 WTPZ44 KNHC 180254 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/14. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF MOST OF THE TRACK FORECAST MODELS. THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL HAS A STRONG SPURIOUS VORTEX NEAR 17N 117W WHICH REDUCES MY CONFIDENCE IN THE GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER TO ABOUT 100 NMI OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 12 HOURS AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE POSTED FOR THIS AREA AS A COURSE OF LEAST REGRET. THE SHIP 4XGX AT 17Z REPORTED 50 KNOTS WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 90 NMI NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS ON THIS BASIS. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN WELL ORGANIZED AND DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE 35 KNOTS AT MOST. HOWEVER DURING THE PAST HOUR OR SO...THERE HAS BEEN AN APPARENT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS TO 60 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS COLDER WATER IS ENCOUNTERED. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 19.9N 108.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 18/1200Z 21.2N 110.0W 55 KTS 24HR VT 19/0000Z 22.5N 112.5W 60 KTS 36HR VT 19/1200Z 23.5N 115.0W 55 KTS 48HR VT 20/0000Z 24.0N 117.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 21/0000Z 24.5N 121.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-18735>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 08:18:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA22690; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:17:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9014268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA12174 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:17:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180017.TAA13914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:17:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Intermediate Public Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd758abf6e1d67f07fbe96f10a5d4c10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 WTPZ34 KNHC 180017 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 ...CELIA MIGHT BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AT 8 PM PDT TONIGHT... AT 5 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...405 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL PASS WITHIN ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY AND THIS COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CLOSE TO LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...19.7 N...108.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1845 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625969-18728>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 08:14:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA66244; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:13:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9014221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA22162 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:12:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:12:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180012.TAA13867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:12:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Intermediate Public Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60c5f46239e561f3071f5ab282206045 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 WTPZ34 KNHC 180011 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CELIA INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 ...CELIA MIGHT BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AT 8 PM PDT TONIGHT... AT 5 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...405 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL PASS WITHIN ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY AND THIS COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CLOSE TO LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...19.7 N...108.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626037-28387>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 06:27:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA04136; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 17:26:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9013631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 17:25:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA23316 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 17:25:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 17:25:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807172225.RAA12464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 17:25:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b0c0c6246ae686116db5645a2959243 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 541 ABPZ20 KNHC 172221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627451-28386>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:40:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37730; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:39:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9011862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24092 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807172038.PAA10242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 184aadaf9ed6a93459a877f6ff30be3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 669 WTPZ24 KNHC 172038 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 2100Z FRI JUL 17 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.8W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.8W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 107.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.1N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.1N 111.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 107.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 23.0N 120.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627456-28387>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:40:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37686; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9011858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA37644 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807172038.PAA10238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:38:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e077da533a2efe3be19f2ef2963c83c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 668 WTPZ44 KNHC 172038 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CELIA HAS NOT INCREASED IN INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM IS ASYMMETRIC WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. RADAR DATA FROM THE CUYUTLAN MEXICO SHOWS THE CENTER IS RATHER BROAD AND NOT WELL- DEFINED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 40 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL FORECAST THROUGH 24 HOURS BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS COOLER SST/S. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/12 KNOTS. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER CELIA ON A GENERAL NORTHWEST COURSE THROUGH 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A MORE WESTERLY HEADING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES DOMINANT. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 19.2N 107.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 20.1N 109.0W 45 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 21.1N 111.2W 50 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 22.0N 113.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 19/1800Z 22.5N 116.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 20/1800Z 23.0N 120.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-28386>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:19:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA51102; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 11:16:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9007804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 11:16:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA44924 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 11:16:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 11:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171615.LAA03974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 11:15:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c55942f59c3d23a547dc918b438241a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 ABPZ20 KNHC 171613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM CELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 160 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CELIA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4587 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-28381>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 22:17:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA55940; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:16:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:15:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44658 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:15:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171415.JAA01095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:15:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c28b68a2b7e525004be5f07399a3e5d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 342 WTPZ24 KNHC 171415 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0498 1500Z FRI JUL 17 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 107.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 107.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 106.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.4N 108.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.1N 111.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.6N 113.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 107.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-28381>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 22:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA37718; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:15:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA37870 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:14:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:14:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171414.JAA01069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:14:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Celia Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d737018928699e48b4989c90debf56f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 341 WTPZ44 KNHC 171414 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 A 45-KNOT OBSERVATION FROM SHIP KGTI AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WE HAVE BEEN WATCHING OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF CELIA CAN NOW BE OBSERVED BY THE CUYUTLAN RADAR IN MEXICO. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KNOTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS COOLER SST/S. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/14 KNOTS. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE SYSTEM SO THIS GENERAL TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS... INCLUDING CLIMATOLOGY. RADAR AND SATELLITE SHOW THAT THERE ARE BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS APPROACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY...PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. GUINEY/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 18.4N 107.0W 40 KTS 12HR VT 18/0000Z 19.4N 108.9W 45 KTS 24HR VT 18/1200Z 20.1N 111.4W 50 KTS 36HR VT 19/0000Z 20.6N 113.8W 40 KTS 48HR VT 19/1200Z 21.0N 116.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 20/1200Z 21.5N 120.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-28381>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 18:37:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56154; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 05:35:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9004616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 05:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA55868 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 05:35:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA28104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 05:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171034.FAA28104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 05:34:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 372f32c00cf399acfdf69ff0e1987c0f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 938 ABPZ20 KNHC 171018 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND IS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER COASTAL AREAS OF MEXICO FROM NEAR ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1851 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626803-16091>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 12:33:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA50894; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 23:31:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9002309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 23:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA36010 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 23:31:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 23:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807170431.XAA24822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 23:31:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b34608472af6573f7564fc2e29f07abe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 420 ABPZ20 KNHC 170431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND IS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER COASTAL AREAS OF MEXICO FROM NEAR ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626054-16093>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 07:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22248; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 17:39:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8997258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 17:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA62648 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 17:39:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 17:39:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807162239.RAA20421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 17:39:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d05885470743fdfef929f42fd849ff9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 ABPZ20 KNHC 162234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE FROM SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MANZANILLO...CONTINUES PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627566-8218>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:28:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23406; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:26:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8990727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA57672 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:26:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807161626.LAA10606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:26:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7a857ee367d3bd795d637aada677eba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 577 ABPZ20 KNHC 161626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE FROM SOUTHWEST MEXICO...BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MANZANILLO ...CONTINUES PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-8212>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 18:30:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA40530; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 05:29:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8985596 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 05:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA20796 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 05:29:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA04133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 05:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807161029.FAA04133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 05:29:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4948f28daf3f93f4d101d2468e7f09a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 040 ABPZ20 KNHC 161029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND IS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME BUT IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-8217>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 12:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA50952; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 22:57:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8983305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 22:57:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA36026 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 22:54:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 22:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807160354.WAA00429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 22:54:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee53e4ebec46c950bfa92cfb0114dece Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 652 ABPZ20 KNHC 160355 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3148 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-8218>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 07:09:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA33818; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 17:35:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8979742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 17:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA34820 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 17:35:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 17:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807152235.RAA26388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 17:35:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e2b661b6b37357550e1d707d4fdae09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 048 ABPZ20 KNHC 152234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627527-20160>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 00:35:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44716; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 11:33:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8975027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 11:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA12180 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 11:33:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 11:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807151633.LAA17748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 11:33:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 037bf0f64866014112efeaf2503af3f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 ABPZ20 KNHC 151633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3264 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626603-6369>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 18:51:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA66120; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 05:50:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8971345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 05:50:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47668 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 05:50:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 05:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807151050.FAA11100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 05:50:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42d20f2851832f9a36873f25b478307e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 947 ABPZ20 KNHC 151050 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626265-6369>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 12:02:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA23426; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 22:56:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8968870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 22:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57456 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 22:55:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 22:55:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807150355.WAA07295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 22:55:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b14a481fc9ea13568abfe069b1170260 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 ABPZ20 KNHC 150352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627411-24669>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 06:21:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52224; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 17:19:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8965639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 17:19:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA25324 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 17:19:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 17:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807142219.RAA02951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 17:19:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2652c52fa93415e43d8af5366d34d93d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 ABPZ20 KNHC 142214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627117-24669>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:36:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17710; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 11:33:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8961902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 11:33:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA20970 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 11:33:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 11:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807141633.LAA24086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 11:33:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83cea1631c3be30e6c38f99f61ec61c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 256 ABPZ20 KNHC 141632 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO... HAVE DECREASED. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-10854>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 19:26:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA22142; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 06:25:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9225200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 06:25:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA09804 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 06:25:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA17523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 06:25:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807141125.GAA17523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 06:25:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4388f643c81246f6acb6ab63455c937b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 ABPZ20 KNHC 141123 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL- ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD OVER COOL WATER. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4111 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626557-5304>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 11:58:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15078; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 22:57:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9223182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 22:57:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45774 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 22:56:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 22:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807140356.WAA13201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 22:56:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0b96ff57f4df17344d0508b496edb49 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 053 ABPZ20 KNHC 140354 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD OVER COOL WATER. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625988-5299>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 07:09:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA40566; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 18:07:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9221842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 18:07:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA40022 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 18:07:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA09726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 18:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807132307.SAA09726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 18:07:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0563b62db70a8aaba97d280d9413f3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 ABPZ20 KNHC 132304 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD OVER COOL WATER. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627763-25016>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 00:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA66146; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 11:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9217766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 11:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23358 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 11:55:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 11:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807131655.LAA00152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 11:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09c8c5772118a058d42439996553df3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 ABPZ20 KNHC 131654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS BECOMING ILL-DEFINED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2351 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626509-15397>; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 18:23:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA57398; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 05:21:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9214756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 05:21:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA60962 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 05:21:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA23086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 05:21:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807131021.FAA23086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 05:21:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22907af4816e1ae98f68e74b954d1bb2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 ABPZ20 KNHC 131020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER COOL WATER WITHOUT DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 17:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627239-12176>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 16:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA66240; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:25:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9042274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59542 for ; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290824.DAA04343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06b9a1c9b48963ba37d1a582a37097f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 960 WTPZ43 KNHC 290825 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUN 29 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/10. THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL RUN SHOWS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE LBAR...BAM AND STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL P91E SHOW A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WHILE THE AVIATION MODEL... GFDL AND NOGAPS SHOW A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. AS BLAS SPINS DOWN OVER COOL WATER AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS GONE...THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES CONTINUE TO DECREASE. THE OFFICIAL INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 45 KNOTS AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED AFTER 36 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 18.4N 124.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 18.6N 126.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 30/0600Z 18.9N 128.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 30/1800Z 19.2N 130.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 01/0600Z 19.5N 133.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 02/0600Z 20.0N 137.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 17:03:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627293-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 16:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA59528; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9042269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66164 for ; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290824.DAA04339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:24:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cca204c5534c75bcec328fb665f0834 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 959 WTPZ43 KNHC 290822 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUN 29 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/10. THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL RUN SHOWS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE LBAR...BAM AND STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL P91E SHOW A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WHILE THE AVIATION MODEL... GFDL AND NOGAPS SHOW A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. AS BLAS SPINS DOWN OVER COOL WATER AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS GONE...THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES CONTINUE TO DECREASE. THE OFFICIAL INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 45 KNOTS AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED AFTER 36 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 18.4N 124.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 18.6N 126.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 30/0600Z 18.9N 128.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 30/1800Z 19.2N 130.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 01/0600Z 19.5N 133.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 02/0600Z 20.0N 137.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:11:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626393-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 12:49:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52192; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 23:47:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 23:47:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA61520 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 23:46:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 23:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290446.XAA02409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 23:46:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8eac643b0ae9414166e61ec50b14494d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 032 ABPZ20 KNHC 290445 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:11:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-12176>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 10:34:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAB52986; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:34:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9039135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA42828 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:32:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290232.VAA01056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:32:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03acdc955ce6f5126aa0ff935cc7f8c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 642 WTPZ43 KNHC 290232 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE STORM CENTER HAVE WARMED A LITTLE MORE THIS EVENING BUT SATELLITE IMAGES STILL SHOW A SUBSTANTIAL CIRCULATION. CURRENT MAXIMUM WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS 50 KNOTS. BLAS HAS REMAINED IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND THIS IS LIKELY ONE OF THE REASONS THAT IT HAS BEEN SO SLOW TO WEAKEN...IN SPITE OF RELATIVELY COOL WATERS. NOTWITHSTANDING...FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND BLAS SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW JUST SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST AT 10 KNOTS. THE CURRENT NHC TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT SOUTH OF MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED HOWEVER THAT...IN GENERAL...SEVERAL OF THE DYNAMICALLY-BASED TRACK PREDICTION MODELS HAVE SHOWN A NORTHWARD BIAS FOR THIS STORM. HENCE...IT IS PRUDENT NOT TO DEVIATE MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS FEW OFFICIAL TRACK FORECASTS THAT SHOWED A MAINLY WESTWARD MOTION. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 18.3N 123.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 29/1200Z 18.4N 125.1W 45 KTS 24HR VT 30/0000Z 18.7N 127.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 30/1200Z 19.0N 130.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 01/0000Z 19.3N 132.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 02/0000Z 19.5N 137.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:11:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2432 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626728-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 10:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52966; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:30:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9039109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA61638 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290230.VAA01041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6520a764c8f96d953afa8c5d34aa1180 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 609 WTPZ23 KNHC 290231 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z MON JUN 29 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 123.5W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 100SE 100SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 123.5W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 123.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.4N 125.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.7N 127.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 123.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.3N 132.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 19.5N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:10:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626976-15290>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 06:27:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA54574; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 17:25:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9036627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 17:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA45830 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 17:25:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 17:25:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806282225.RAA28226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 17:25:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1071560811c02b6e77daafa066a93243 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 317 ABPZ20 KNHC 282224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:10:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-15282>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 04:39:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA58184; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:38:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9036226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:38:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57398 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:38:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806282038.PAA27191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:38:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78ec08553e61d4e0ad618230d74411e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 WTPZ43 KNHC 282038 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 THE WARM SPOT CENTER HAS DISAPPEARED...AND THE COLDEST TOPS WITHIN THE SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAVE WARMED. BLAS IS DOWNGRADED TO A 55 KNOT TROPICAL STORM...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE CIRCULATION IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER 22 TO 23C WATER...AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ROUGHLY PARALLELS THESE ISOTHERMS. THE GFDL AND SHIPS GUIDANCE DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM BEFORE THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/11. A PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE WILL ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE. CURRENT TRACK BASICALLY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE SHALLOW BAM BUT FASTER THAN CLIPER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 18.0N 122.6W 55 KTS 12HR VT 29/0600Z 18.0N 124.2W 45 KTS 24HR VT 29/1800Z 18.0N 126.6W 35 KTS 36HR VT 30/0600Z 18.0N 129.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 30/1800Z 18.0N 131.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 01/1800Z 18.0N 136.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:10:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-15290>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 04:39:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA50704; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:37:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9036219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:37:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52222 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:37:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806282037.PAA27181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:37:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d21689fc891a8ab605b4fd5213a18753 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 416 WTPZ23 KNHC 282037 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z SUN JUN 28 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 122.6W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 100SE 100SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 122.6W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N 124.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 126.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 122.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N 131.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N 136.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:09:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-15290>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 00:45:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA54214; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 11:43:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9033940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 11:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15024 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 11:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 11:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281643.LAA24979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 11:43:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4616354c1f2973a82ec1c8084511a34b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 ABPZ20 KNHC 281641 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:09:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <631264-15282>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 22:35:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA50690; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:35:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9032649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:33:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39984 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281432.JAA23905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61838786ee3c3f7a23c5a8db8d31e8a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 810 WTPZ23 KNHC 281433 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 1500Z SUN JUN 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 121.6W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 121.6W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 121.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 123.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 121.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 18.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 136.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:09:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628423-15289>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 22:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA50760; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:33:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9032642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA55052 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281432.JAA23900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 09:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d61ff030a28feecb147d071e8064b77a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 774 WTPZ43 KNHC 281432 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 A WARM SPOT EYE HAS REAPPEARED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...EMBEDDED WITHIN A SMALL AREA OF COLD TOPPED CONVECTION. THEREFORE...INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH ON THIS ADVISORY. BLAS WAS A STRONG HURRICANE AT ONE TIME...SO IT WILL STILL TAKE A WHILE FOR IT TO SPIN DOWN. THE CIRCULATION IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER 23 TO 24C WATER...AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IS ROUGHLY PARALLELS THESE ISOTHERMS. THE GFDL AND SHIPS GUIDANCE DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM BEFORE THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 270/12. A PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE WILL ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE. CURRENT TRACK BASICALLY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 17.9N 121.6W 65 KTS 12HR VT 29/0000Z 18.0N 123.5W 60 KTS 24HR VT 29/1200Z 18.0N 126.0W 45 KTS 36HR VT 30/0000Z 18.0N 128.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 30/1200Z 18.0N 131.0W 25 KTS 72HR VT 01/1200Z 18.0N 136.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:09:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626269-15282>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 19:14:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA33962; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 06:04:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9031236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 06:02:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA21976 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 05:58:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 05:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281058.FAA22138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 05:58:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cba9857b413431480ee067a23b75a224 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 ABPZ20 KNHC 281053 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626631-15289>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 16:40:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA52264; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:17:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9030725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:17:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52714 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280816.DAA21104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7819d258d8e0f1c3e4b8393e4cfbcea0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 WTPZ23 KNHC 280816 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z SUN JUN 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 120.5W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 120.5W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 119.9W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 124.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.9N 127.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 120.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 17.9N 129.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 134.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-15282>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 16:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA52228; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9030720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA50910 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280816.DAA21100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:16:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfd1ef9faeb2563bdb62a75a909788e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 062 WTPZ43 KNHC 280815 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 1998 BLAS CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF BLAS THROUGH 72 HOURS AND THE TRACK FORECAST MODELS GENERALLY SUPPORT THIS IDEA WITH THE LBAR AND DEEP BAM SHOWING SOME NORTHWARD MOTION AND THE AVIATION... SHALLOW BAM AND NOGAPS SHOWING A SLIGHT SOUTHERN COMPONENT. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR AND AN UPDATE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY CONTINUING A 270/12 MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH BLAS BUT THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE CALLS FOR MAINTAINING HURRICANE FORCE FOR A WHILE LONGER. BLAS IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH 72 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 17.9N 120.5W 65 KTS 12HR VT 28/1800Z 18.0N 122.5W 55 KTS 24HR VT 29/0600Z 17.9N 124.9W 45 KTS 36HR VT 29/1800Z 17.9N 127.4W 35 KTS 48HR VT 30/0600Z 17.9N 129.8W 25 KTS 72HR VT 01/0600Z 18.0N 134.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-15289>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 12:19:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52638; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 23:11:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9028581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 23:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52354 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 23:11:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 23:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280411.XAA18666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 23:11:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 061d969e692e7f7e6e86dcd622788e62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 588 ABPZ20 KNHC 280409 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626026-15282>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 10:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA66300; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:36:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9027779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA58856 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:36:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:36:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280236.VAA17858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:36:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 437442fb2309484fd2c73fe7c4ffc383 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 867 WTPZ23 KNHC 280236 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z SUN JUN 28 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 119.4W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 119.4W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 118.8W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.8N 121.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.8N 123.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.8N 126.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 119.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N 128.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 17.8N 133.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625974-15289>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 10:42:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54714; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:35:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9027770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA66200 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:35:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:35:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280235.VAA17851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:35:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36acaf0764cb0398ee0080bb7b52cdbc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 WTPZ43 KNHC 280236 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE NEAR THE CENTER AND IS CORROBORATED BY DECREASING T-NUMBERS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN EASTERLY STEERING CURRENT CONTINUES TO CARRY BLAS WESTWARD...NEAR 12 KNOTS. TRACK PREDICTION MODELS SHOW SOME SPREAD...WITH THE DEEPER-LAYER STEERING MODELS SHOWING A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. NONETHELESS...A LOW- TO MID- LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD REMAIN ENTRENCHED TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS DUE WEST AND IN LINE WITH THE LOWER-LEVEL STEERING. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 17.8N 119.4W 65 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 17.8N 121.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 17.8N 123.9W 50 KTS 36HR VT 29/1200Z 17.8N 126.4W 40 KTS 48HR VT 30/0000Z 17.8N 128.9W 30 KTS 72HR VT 01/0000Z 17.8N 133.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625915-15289>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 06:49:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA45102; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 17:41:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9026095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 17:40:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA09766 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 17:37:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 17:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806272237.RAA15671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 17:37:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2f65245d4ee284ac84ce1692811cfdc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 495 ABPZ20 KNHC 272236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627908-12217>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 04:37:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA34984; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9025118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22734 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806272028.PAA14412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e9826edc27d399c33d3ac4de9fe89c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 466 WTPZ23 KNHC 272029 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z SAT JUN 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 118.4W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 150SW 225NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 118.4W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.3N 120.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N 122.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 118.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N 132.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627710-12217>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 04:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19484; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9025106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA04772 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806272028.PAA14408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:28:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93713a18ec0274537977766bea78090c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 WTPZ43 KNHC 272028 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN DECREASING OVER THE CENTER...AND T-NUMBERS ARE SLOWLY DECLINING. HOWEVER DVORAK RULES FOR CURRENT INTENSITY STILL SUPPORT A MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 75 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. EVEN THOUGH THE HURRICANE IS MOVING PRACTICALLY PARALLEL TO THE SST ISOTHERMS... THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH COOLING TO FURTHER WEAKEN BLAS. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD BLAS IS PREDICTED TO BE DISSIPATING OVER WATERS NEAR 23 DEG C. THE GFDL AND NOGAPS MODELS ALSO DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM WITHIN THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN EASTERLY STEERING CURRENT CONTINUES TO CARRY BLAS WESTWARD...NEAR 12 KNOTS. TRACK PREDICTION MODELS SHOW SOME SPREAD...WITH THE DEEPER-LAYER STEERING MODELS SHOWING A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. NONETHELESS...A LOW- TO MID- LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD REMAIN ENTRENCHED TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR THE SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...LIKE ITS PREDECESSOR...IS MORE WESTWARD AND IN LINE WITH THE LOWER-LEVEL STEERING. THIS IS APPROPRIATE FOR A WEAKENING STORM. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 18.1N 118.4W 75 KTS 12HR VT 28/0600Z 18.3N 120.2W 65 KTS 24HR VT 28/1800Z 18.7N 122.7W 55 KTS 36HR VT 29/0600Z 19.0N 125.0W 40 KTS 48HR VT 29/1800Z 19.5N 127.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 30/1800Z 20.0N 132.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:06:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3022 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-12221>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:31:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA59470; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 11:30:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9022308 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 11:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA04666 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 11:30:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 11:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271630.LAA12161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 11:30:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8009555ef80a4c396b838d03fcc3380 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 985 ABPZ20 KNHC 271630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 570 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:06:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627743-12221>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 22:40:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52856; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:39:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9021566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57656 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:38:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:38:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271438.JAA11178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:38:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2be09b4bfe5530f45e6e13b5a577dd21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTPZ43 KNHC 271439 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 THE GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND CONTINUES. HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER AND CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS. BLAS IS NEARING 24 DEG C WATERS... AND...EVEN THOUGH ITS TRACK IS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE SST ISOTHERMS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD CROSS INTO SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. BLAS SHOULD WEAKEN TO DEPRESSION STATUS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST AROUND 12 KNOTS. THE 06Z AVN RUN OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A WELL- DEFINED RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF BLAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THUS A CONTINUED WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE ALBEIT SLIGHTLY FASTER AND A BIT FARTHER SOUTH. THIS IS CLOSE TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER THAN...THE MEDIUM-DEPTH BAM FORECAST. THE DEEP-LAYER BAM SHOWS A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IN 48 TO 72 HOURS...BUT BY THAT TIME BLAS SHOULD BE WEAKENED TO THE POINT THAT IT WILL BE AFFECTED MAINLY BY LOWER- TO MIDDLE-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 18.0N 117.1W 75 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 18.4N 119.0W 65 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 18.8N 121.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 29/0000Z 19.3N 123.7W 40 KTS 48HR VT 29/1200Z 19.8N 126.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 20.5N 130.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:06:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-12221>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 22:32:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13250; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:32:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9021539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22700 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:32:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271432.JAA11126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e390f4054b775beb598fa3b41e433938 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 753 WTPZ23 KNHC 271432 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 1500Z SAT JUN 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 117.1W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 150SW 225NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 117.1W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.5W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.4N 119.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N 121.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 123.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 117.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.8N 126.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-12223>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 18:15:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45606; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 05:13:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9020021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 05:13:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59396 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 05:13:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA09011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 05:13:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271013.FAA09011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 05:13:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfc5de7aabc1c814654e2dc7cfc645e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 ABPZ20 KNHC 271010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:05:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2356 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-12217>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 17:04:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA09762; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:01:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9019731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA57616 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:01:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270901.EAA08476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:01:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c63fb9c6269a6d743db874610d841ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 WTPZ23 KNHC 270902 COR TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z SAT JUN 27 1998 CORRECTION TO 12 FT SEAS HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.6W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 150SW 225NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.6W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 115.0W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N 117.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.4N 119.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 121.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 115.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N 123.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 21.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:05:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1892 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-12223>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 16:33:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA52294; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:32:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9019702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:32:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA09778 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:32:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:32:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270832.DAA08269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:32:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 609d9c2d31e8268411892bec74740313 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 495 WTPZ23 KNHC 270832 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z SAT JUN 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.6W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.6W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 115.0W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N 117.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.4N 119.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 121.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 115.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N 123.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 21.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:05:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627146-12217>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 16:28:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33832; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:26:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9019689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:26:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA09750 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:26:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270826.DAA08227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:26:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: beff0ad472f9160bb24013f84186666b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 410 WTPZ43 KNHC 270826 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 280/11. THE AVIATION MODEL KEEPS A RIDGE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE THROUGH 72 HOURS AND ALL OF THE TRACK MODELS SHOW A CONTINUED MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. ONLY THE DEEP BAM AND LBAR SHOW A SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE MODELS AND SIMILAR TO...AND AN UPDATE OF... THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE EYE FEATURE IS NOT EVIDENT AT THIS TIME. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE DOWN TO T-NUMBER 4.5 FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB AND THE OFFICIAL INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 80 KNOTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AS BLAS ENCOUNTERS ENCREASINGLY COLDER SSTS. THE WIND RADII ARE DECREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BASED ON SSM/I PASS AT 0402Z. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 17.8N 115.6W 80 KTS 12HR VT 27/1800Z 18.1N 117.2W 70 KTS 24HR VT 28/0600Z 18.4N 119.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 28/1800Z 19.0N 121.6W 40 KTS 48HR VT 29/0600Z 19.6N 123.8W 30 KTS 72HR VT 30/0600Z 21.5N 128.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627210-16918>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:21:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04696; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 23:20:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 23:19:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA60706 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 23:19:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 23:19:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270419.XAA05664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 23:19:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f62d8847833bebabd72f1c712c1a94b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 998 ABPZ20 KNHC 270419 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 455 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3533 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-16911>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 10:30:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22716; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:29:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA60748 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:28:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270228.VAA04550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:28:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5121ba923fde25955ee55d11c57d7f3c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 802 WTPZ23 KNHC 270228 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z SAT JUN 27 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 114.4W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 150SW 225NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 114.4W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 118.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 120.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 114.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 19.6N 122.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 60 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 21.2N 127.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-16920>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 10:31:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22642; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:28:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28218 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:27:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270227.VAA04541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:27:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb4840df338cb7894326e126ed3d816b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 775 WTPZ43 KNHC 270227 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH BLAS IS CONTRACTING AND CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING. HOWEVER...THE LATEST OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS VALUES ARE STILL AT 5.0. THUS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 90 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SYMMETRIC WITH A RATHER WELL-DEFINED EYE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES THE WEAKENING TREND SHOWN IN PREVIOUS PACKAGES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/10 KNOTS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST NORTH OF BLAS...KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 17.7N 114.4W 90 KTS 12HR VT 27/1200Z 18.0N 116.0W 85 KTS 24HR VT 28/0000Z 18.5N 118.1W 80 KTS 36HR VT 28/1200Z 19.0N 120.4W 60 KTS 48HR VT 29/0000Z 19.6N 122.7W 45 KTS 72HR VT 30/0000Z 21.2N 127.3W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:03:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3829 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625936-16911>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 06:49:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA13252; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:47:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9014247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:47:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA34992 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:47:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806262247.RAA02165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:47:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4018bf9e84217d5b440f8d4310c7eb66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 672 ABPZ20 KNHC 262246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:03:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628016-10123>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:39:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA66168; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9013121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:36:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14904 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:36:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:36:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806262036.PAA29643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:36:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f8dd54ae467774e626d53af3378a546 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WTPZ23 KNHC 262036 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z FRI JUN 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 113.5W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 150SE 150SW 225NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 113.5W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 115.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 117.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.0N 119.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 113.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 122.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:03:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628024-10123>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 04:38:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA04642; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:35:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9013108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA54674 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:34:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:34:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806262034.PAA29590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:34:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ad4c165d32fb63964b3e1bd60f87a9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 389 WTPZ43 KNHC 262034 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH BLAS IS CONTRACTING AND CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING. THE EYE IS ALSO A BIT MORE RAGGED. THE OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE BEEN DECLINING WITH THE LATEST VALUES AROUND 5.0...AND DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THUS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 90 KNOTS...A 10 KNOT DECREASE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SYMMETRIC WITH A RATHER WELL-DEFINED EYE DESPITE BEING OVER 26C/25C WATERS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES THE WEAKENING TREND SHOWN IN PREVIOUS PACKAGES. BLAS IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/11 KNOTS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST NORTH OF BLAS...KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. LATER IN THE PERIOD...THE TRACK IS PREDICTED TO BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...AS SUGGESTED BY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL. THE DEMISE OF BLAS COULD OCCUR SOONER IF IT TURNS MORE NORTHWARD THAN SHOWN IN THIS FORECAST. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 17.6N 113.5W 90 KTS 12HR VT 27/0600Z 18.0N 115.2W 85 KTS 24HR VT 27/1800Z 18.5N 117.4W 80 KTS 36HR VT 28/0600Z 19.0N 119.7W 65 KTS 48HR VT 28/1800Z 19.5N 122.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/1800Z 21.0N 126.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:08:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-9876>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA46062; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:52:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9010688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA58212 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:51:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:51:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261651.LAA24438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:51:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d874b4f72ccb62f87eb25db928c158c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 150 ABPZ20 KNHC 261651 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:07:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2511 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627808-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 22:39:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA34924; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:37:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9009148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:37:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45912 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:37:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261437.JAA21722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:37:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe5397a6193c3088260c623861381c15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 WTPZ23 KNHC 261437 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 1500Z FRI JUN 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 112.4W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 112.4W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.7N 114.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.2N 116.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.7N 118.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 112.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.3N 121.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:07:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-9881>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 22:38:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA57630; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:37:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9009138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45832 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:36:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261436.JAA21697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:36:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b5bae3fccebbb085948feda78e8cfca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 599 WTPZ43 KNHC 261436 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 THE OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING THIS MORNING RANGING FROM 5.5 TO 6.0. THIS CORRESPONDED WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD RING OF CONVECTION...TOPS TO -70C...AROUND THE EYE. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB FIX THE CURRENT INTENSITY AT 5.5...100 KNOTS AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL ADVISORY. WITH THE DETERIORATION OF THE OUTFLOW PATTERN AND PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES TO CALL FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING...IN AGREEMENT WITH THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A MORE DECIDEDLY WESTWARD TRACK THE LAST 6 TO 12 HOUR AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/11 KNOTS. A STRONG MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST NORTH OF BLAS KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 17.4N 112.4W 100 KTS 12HR VT 27/0000Z 17.7N 114.1W 90 KTS 24HR VT 27/1200Z 18.2N 116.3W 75 KTS 36HR VT 28/0000Z 18.7N 118.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 28/1200Z 19.3N 121.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 29/1200Z 20.5N 126.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:07:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627749-9881>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:50:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA09898; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:49:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9007004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA60822 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:49:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA18043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260949.EAA18043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:49:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c44e54b1251695482ffb7ddfaeca9838 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 222 ABPZ20 KNHC 260948 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627674-9880>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 16:27:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA59782; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:26:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:25:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA58740 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:25:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA17538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:25:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260825.DAA17538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:25:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43c09b300e11dc92f65ac3beae9ef36a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 879 WTPZ43 KNHC 260826 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 1998 THERE ARE INTERMITTENT RINGS OF VERY INTENSE CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE WARM SPOT BUT...IN GENERAL...THE SLOW WEAKENING PROCESS CONTINUES AS SUGGESTED BY THE SEQUENCE OF OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS. WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES BLAS OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATER...SO WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/09. A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST TO THE NORTH OF BLAS. CONSEQUENTLY...THIS GENERAL MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE. THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING SHOULD BEGIN TO HAVE MORE INFLUENCE LATE IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 17.3N 111.0W 95 KTS 12HR VT 26/1800Z 18.0N 112.5W 90 KTS 24HR VT 27/0600Z 19.0N 114.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 27/1800Z 19.5N 116.5W 50 KTS 48HR VT 28/0600Z 20.5N 119.0W 40 KTS 72HR VT 29/0600Z 22.0N 124.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627672-9881>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 16:26:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA58652; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:24:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59654 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:24:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA17533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260824.DAA17533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:24:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be7937af9a52ae33752e47085d78d91e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 WTPZ23 KNHC 260823 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z FRI JUN 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.0W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.0W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 111.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4493 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:57:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54208; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:55:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9003979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:55:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA54090 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:54:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA15051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260354.WAA15051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:54:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0761d39806b8b58017078aa7a32c58e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 821 ABPZ20 KNHC 260353 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:05:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627724-9881>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 10:32:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45220; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9003094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:30:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52304 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:30:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260230.VAA13926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:30:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fcd34c19c0e934fa67b884fbe79f94a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 WTPZ23 KNHC 260230 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z FRI JUN 26 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.1W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.1W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.9N 111.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.9N 113.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.8N 116.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 110.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N 118.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 23.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:05:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 10:32:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45188; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:30:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9003087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA10244 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:29:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260229.VAA13907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:29:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6366b539ed2809eef1b120f6177b4112 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 WTPZ43 KNHC 260229 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 A WARM SPOT EYE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A COLD CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST...BUT THE CDO IS NOT AS SYMMETRIC AS BEFORE. THE DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE COMING DOWN...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES BLAS OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATER...SO WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/10. A MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF BLAS WILL ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE AND OUR CURRENT FORECAST TRACK BASICALLY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND P91E. THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING SHOULD BEGIN TO HAVE MORE INFLUENCE LATE IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 17.1N 110.1W 100 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 17.9N 111.5W 90 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 18.9N 113.7W 75 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 19.8N 116.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 20.8N 118.6W 45 KTS 72HR VT 29/0000Z 23.0N 124.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:05:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 06:50:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA21916; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:49:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9001118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA42916 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:43:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806252243.RAA10455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:43:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f008c1486ebd207feca42df4644c067 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 ABPZ20 KNHC 252242 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-21038>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:40:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19554; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8999924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA47164 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806252038.PAA08037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94be111bc4d381dfb161c95ec908be8f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 WTPZ23 KNHC 252037 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z THU JUN 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.9W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.9W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.5W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.4N 110.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.6N 112.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.7N 115.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 108.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 23.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627665-21037>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 04:41:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19528; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8999919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28202 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806252038.PAA08033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:38:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 925378449d9295eb71905d33bf77600c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 240 WTPZ43 KNHC 252037 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 THE EYE OF BLAS HAS BECOME LESS DISTINCT OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. IN FACT...IT HAS DISAPPEARED IN THE LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES. THUS...THE ANTICIPATED WEAKENING TREND HAS BEGUN. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE DVORAK T NUMBERS TRENDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 115 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGH 72 HOURS... CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH BY 48 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES 22C WATERS. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS98 INTENSITY FORECAST MODELS. HOWEVER...THE WEAKENING MAY BE MORE RAPID IF BLAS MOVES AT A FASTER PACE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE NOW OF 305/09 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE PACIFIC SHOULD KEEP BLAS ON A GENERAL NORTHWEST COURSE THROUGH 48 HOURS. THEREAFTER...THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DECELERATE AND TAKE A MORE NORTHERLY HEADING AS IT APPROACHES THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE BAM MODELS. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 16.6N 108.9W 115 KTS 12HR VT 26/0600Z 17.4N 110.3W 100 KTS 24HR VT 26/1800Z 18.6N 112.6W 85 KTS 36HR VT 27/0600Z 19.7N 115.0W 70 KTS 48HR VT 27/1800Z 21.0N 118.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 28/1800Z 23.5N 123.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627566-21033>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 00:38:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52790; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 11:36:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8996476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 11:34:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19606 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 11:34:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 11:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251634.LAA00564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 11:34:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 326972d1a6e6c49697a21bf1118acc25 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 ABPZ20 KNHC 251632 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:38:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63496; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:35:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8995146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63718 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:33:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251433.JAA27287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:33:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d489eee38ee933cf40ec269ab374fd21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 276 WTPZ23 KNHC 251434 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 1500Z THU JUN 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.1W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.1W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.7N 109.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 111.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...130NE 115SE 115SW 130NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N 114.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 108.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 117.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N 122.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 22:38:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA55946; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:37:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8995156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:36:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57536 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:33:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:33:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251433.JAA27272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:33:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89424f4173b389e310a8841d6b7fd66f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 WTPZ43 KNHC 251433 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SUGGEST SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY. THE COLDER CLOUD TOPS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE EYE WERE ERODING BUT HAVE MADE A COMEBACK IN RECENT PICTURES. OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS HAVE BEEN RANGING FROM 5.5 TO 6.5 WHILE SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 6.0 AND 6.5 RESPECTIVELY. BASED ON THIS DATA THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS HELD AT 120 KNOTS. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE CONSIDERING THE WELL- ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW AND OVERALL HEALTHY CLOUD PATTERN. BY 12 HOURS...THE GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS PRESERVED AS BLAS ENCOUNTERS PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS98 INTENSITY FORECAST MODELS. BLAS REMAINS ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK WITH THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 300/09 KNOTS. THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE STRETCHING FROM NORTHERN MEXICO WESTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO KEEP BLAS ON THIS GENERAL HEADING THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH GFDL..BAM DEEP AND THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL NHC91 TRACK MODEL. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 16.1N 108.1W 120 KTS 12HR VT 26/0000Z 16.7N 109.6W 110 KTS 24HR VT 26/1200Z 17.5N 111.7W 90 KTS 36HR VT 27/0000Z 18.3N 114.4W 80 KTS 48HR VT 27/1200Z 19.0N 117.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 28/1200Z 20.5N 122.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626951-17628>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 18:09:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA10308; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 05:01:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8993003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 04:59:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA63618 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 04:59:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 04:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250959.EAA22982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 04:59:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 232098ed2a04703206e6a373032467dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 ABPZ20 KNHC 250959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 535 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628259-17627>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 16:41:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA58714; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:35:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8992606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66212 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:33:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250833.DAA22253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:33:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1064a9f6a4120be080ad2f5596839d37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 715 WTPZ23 KNHC 250833 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z THU JUN 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 107.3W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 107.3W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 108.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 110.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 107.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627808-17628>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 16:41:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA58862; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:34:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8992598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62596 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:32:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250832.DAA22245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:32:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04c9cb53b5facd08c4651937f4de5e3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 714 WTPZ43 KNHC 250832 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUN 25 1998 THERE IS NOTHING NEW TO ADD SINCE EVERYTHING HAS BEEN ALREADY SAID IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES WITH A WELL DEFINED EYE...SURROUNDED BY A RING OF VERY STRONG CONVECTION. OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE BEEN OSCILLATING BETWEEN 6.0 AND 7.0 DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. SO...WINDS HAVE BEEN INCREASED TO 120 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL WEAKENING BEYOND 24 HOURS...AS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED AND SUGGESTED BY SHIPS AND THE GFDL. BLAS IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ABOUT 10 KNOTS...290/10...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A STRONG AND PERSISTENT DEEP LAYER MEAN HIGH. GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED SO...THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY THE SAME AS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 15.5N 107.3W 120 KTS 12HR VT 25/1800Z 16.0N 108.7W 120 KTS 24HR VT 26/0600Z 17.0N 110.7W 110 KTS 36HR VT 26/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W 90 KTS 48HR VT 27/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 28/0600Z 19.0N 119.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626391-17627>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 12:03:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25536; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 23:00:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8989955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 23:00:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45980 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 23:00:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 23:00:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250400.XAA19057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 23:00:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c097a8f9075695247b2c0df00e091d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 461 ABPZ20 KNHC 250359 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47240; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:31:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8988828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:31:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33900 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:31:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250231.VAA17867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:31:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b057497564812934ce642f36aff0070 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 881 WTPZ23 KNHC 250231 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z THU JUN 25 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 106.5W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 106.5W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.6N 108.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.3N 112.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 18.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2610 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626680-17627>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:32:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13110; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:30:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8988817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33824 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250230.VAA17842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89dd5e17e101a0fe31866d8aeee03de1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 WTPZ43 KNHC 250230 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT BLAS HAS UNDERGONE ANOTHER DEEPENING PHASE THIS EVENING WITH THE EYE BECOMING MORE WELL-DEFINED AND COLDER SURROUNDING CLOUD TOPS...-80C. OBJECTIVE DVORAK T NUMBERS HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS TOPPING OUT AROUND 6.0. SUBJECTIVE 00Z DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB CONCUR. THUS...THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE FOR THIS PACKAGE IS INCREASED TO 115 KNOTS. WITH WELL-ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM WATERS BENEATH BLAS SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. BEYOND 24 HOURS...THE SYSTEM WILL ENCOUNTER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS AND GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR. SATELLITE ANIMATION OVER THE LAST 6-12 HOURS SHOWS A WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING...NOTWITHSTANDING SOME TYPICAL EYE WOBBLES. THE INITIAL ESTIMATED MOTION IS 295/10 KNOTS...VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MID-TO UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE EAST PACIFIC SHOULD KEEP BLAS ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS REFLECT THIS MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL...DEEP LAYER BAM AND NHC91. GUINEY/MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 15.0N 106.5W 115 KTS 12HR VT 25/1200Z 15.6N 108.0W 115 KTS 24HR VT 26/0000Z 16.5N 110.0W 100 KTS 36HR VT 26/1200Z 17.3N 112.3W 90 KTS 48HR VT 27/0000Z 18.0N 115.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 28/0000Z 19.0N 120.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626509-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 07:10:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA33844; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:34:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8985843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA45846 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:34:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA13709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:34:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806242234.RAA13709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:34:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d11e9e70a5a05998e674dac57766c2e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 407 ABPZ20 KNHC 242232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627469-7606>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 04:35:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62890; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:34:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8984405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45928 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806242033.PAA10671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1ab558925fc167e693dfe0b3fe4ae62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 WTPZ23 KNHC 242033 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z WED JUN 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 105.7W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 175SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 105.7W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.5N 107.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 109.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 105.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627430-7609>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 04:35:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62792; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8984400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14900 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806242033.PAA10650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:33:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b530fc1a6a0062bef1d0710032d4554 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 WTPZ43 KNHC 242032 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT BLAS IS MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE EYE INTERMITTENTLY BECOMES BETTER-DEFINED...AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK T NUMBERS HAVE BEEN OSCILLATING GENERALLY BETWEEN 5.0 AND 6.0. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON YIELDED A SIMILAR RANGE FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE KEPT AT 100 KNOTS...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRENGTHENING SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN CONTINUES TO LOOK IMPRESSIVE AND THE SEA SURFACE IS STILL FAIRLY WARM. HOWEVER WITHIN A DAY OR SO...WEAKENING IS LIKELY TO COMMENCE AS WATER TEMPERATURES BECOME MARGINAL. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME...SHIPS. THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE HURRICANE IS MOVING ROUGHLY 300/11 AND THERE IS A STRONG DEEP-LAYER RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. ALL OF THE AVAILABLE TRACK PREDICTION GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...SO BLAS IS LIKELY TO REMAIN AT SEA. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS CLOSEST TO THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODEL NHC91. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 14.7N 105.7W 100 KTS 12HR VT 25/0600Z 15.5N 107.2W 110 KTS 24HR VT 25/1800Z 16.5N 109.3W 105 KTS 36HR VT 26/0600Z 17.6N 111.6W 95 KTS 48HR VT 26/1800Z 18.5N 114.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 27/1800Z 19.5N 119.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628039-75>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:33:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52814; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8982464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52218 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:30:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241729.MAA04485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:29:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9d056187c3683ef6018f3868c5dd040 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 934 ABPZ20 KNHC 241729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627436-24477>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 22:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14778; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:37:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8980691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:37:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47272 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:37:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:36:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241436.JAA29147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:36:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4db56f2adfb2dc088840dd1e165cbedd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 624 WTPZ43 KNHC 241436 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS WRAPPING AROUND THE EYE. THE MOST RECENT OBJECTIVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS SUPPORT INCREASING THE INTENSITY TO 100 KNOTS. THE UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC OUTFLOW IS IMPRESSIVE OVER ALL BUT THE EASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. BLAS HAS NOW PASSED THE HIGHEST SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...BUT THE WATERS ARE STILL SUFFICIENTLY WARM TO ALLOW FURTHER STRENGTHENING TODAY. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF OCEAN WATERS COOLER THAN 26 DEGREES C. THE FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED A BIT AND IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 295/11. THERE IS A STRONG DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE...AND ALL AVAILABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THEREFORE...A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS FORECAST. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS RATHER SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND CLOSE TO THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE MODEL NHC91. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 14.0N 104.7W 100 KTS 12HR VT 25/0000Z 14.8N 106.3W 115 KTS 24HR VT 25/1200Z 15.9N 108.4W 110 KTS 36HR VT 26/0000Z 17.0N 110.5W 100 KTS 48HR VT 26/1200Z 18.0N 113.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 27/1200Z 19.0N 118.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-24477>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 22:36:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58156; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:34:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8980649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45080 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241434.JAA29042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:34:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b84dba8b1efd0ab1d614f719072e3e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 587 WTPZ23 KNHC 241433 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 1500Z WED JUN 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 104.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 104.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 104.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.8N 106.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.9N 108.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 104.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627469-9771>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:27:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44858; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:25:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8978285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:25:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA12072 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:25:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA24323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240925.EAA24323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:25:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2405eaa7a4bebc852102c3a8e5816be7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 ABPZ20 KNHC 240924 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2526 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-9766>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 16:32:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA54182; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:32:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8978123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:32:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA58260 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:32:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA23882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:32:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240832.DAA23882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:32:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1ccd00dc70a2c04ba3374c19ea14572 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 086 WTPZ23 KNHC 240831 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z WED JUN 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 104.1W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 104.1W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...135NE 135SE 135SW 135NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...135NE 135SE 135SW 135NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 104.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627215-9772>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 16:32:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA58208; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:31:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8978114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54094 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA23870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240831.DAA23870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 03:31:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac45985bca0a9079760d15347415cdcb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 049 WTPZ43 KNHC 240830 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED JUN 24 1998 A RAGGED EYE IS DEPICTED IN CONVENTIONAL IR IMAGES AND IT IS CLEARLY DEFINED ON THE LATEST NRL MONTEREY SATELLITE MOSAIC (JEFF HAWKINS HOME PAGE). T-NUMBERS ARE OSCILLATING AROUND 5.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE AND OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING. WINDS ARE ADJUSTED TO 95 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. SINCE THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR AND THE OCEAN IS WARM...SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AS SUGGESTED BY GFDL...SHIPS AND SHIFOR MODELS. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/13. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS ANCHORED FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WESTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA. BLAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ON A GENERAL WEST NORTHWEST TRACK AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THAT HIGH WHICH IS FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODELS TO PERSIST AND BUILD WESTWARD. THIS TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GFDL WHICH TURNS BLAS MORE TO THE NORTHWEST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 13.4N 104.1W 95 KTS 12HR VT 24/1800Z 14.0N 106.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 25/0600Z 15.0N 108.0W 115 KTS 36HR VT 25/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 26/0600Z 17.0N 112.5W 90 KTS 72HR VT 27/0600Z 18.0N 116.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626041-9772>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:15:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52454; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 23:12:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8976723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 23:12:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45266 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 23:12:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 23:12:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240412.XAA21274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 23:12:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd5c8bc428ef4b448bc9cb47435c118f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 321 ABPZ20 KNHC 240407 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-9766>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 10:44:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62030; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:44:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8976032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23612 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:44:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:44:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240244.VAA20003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:44:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5a6f1682fdbc53653df3ed65b31e888 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 WTPZ23 KNHC 240243 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z WED JUN 24 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 103.4W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..185NE 185SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 103.4W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 102.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.8N 105.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.8N 107.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...135NE 135SE 135SW 135NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.6N 110.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...135NE 135SE 135SW 135NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 103.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 17.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-9771>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 10:44:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54734; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:43:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8976021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:42:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45226 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:42:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:42:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240242.VAA19989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:42:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4f0519ed78690fcd950d99f18a3e525 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 748 WTPZ43 KNHC 240241 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 BLAS HAS INTENSIFIED CONSIDERABLY THIS EVENING. AN EYE HAS RECENTLY APPEARED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM TAFB. WITH THE OUTFLOW AROUND BLAS WELL-ESTABLISHED AND WARM SST/S... CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS ONLY TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM REMAINS ON A WEST-NORTHWEST HEADING WITH THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 290/14 KNOTS. THE MID-TO UPPER LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO..PER LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY... SHOULD KEEP BLAS ON THIS GENERAL COURSE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL 500 MB ENSEMBLE DATA. THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN U.S. COULD WEAKEN THE RIDGE ENOUGH TO SLOW THE FORWARD SPEED LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE BAM GUIDANCE. GUINEY/MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 13.1N 103.4W 90 KTS 12HR VT 24/1200Z 13.8N 105.5W 100 KTS 24HR VT 25/0000Z 14.8N 107.9W 115 KTS 36HR VT 25/1200Z 15.6N 110.1W 115 KTS 48HR VT 26/0000Z 16.5N 112.0W 100 KTS 72HR VT 27/0000Z 17.5N 115.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-563>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 07:10:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA52286; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 17:32:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8973647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 17:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA12074 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 17:32:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 17:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806232232.RAA16160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 17:32:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62ed69008d3adca419b59224cda3c71f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 034 ABPZ20 KNHC 232230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2015 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627365-26167>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:36:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45246; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8972634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44940 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806232034.PAA13665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03d6e80c361382e6859a4d0474fc20a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 011 WTPZ23 KNHC 232033 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z TUE JUN 23 1998 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 101.8W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 101.8W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.7N 103.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.7N 105.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.6N 107.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 101.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.4N 109.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2007 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-26168>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:36:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57756; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8972629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44930 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806232034.PAA13661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:34:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Blas Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3cbe01e4b18c3f3e32f89118a5c07206 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 WTPZ43 KNHC 232033 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW AN IMPRESSIVE PRIMARY RAINBAND WRAPPED AROUND A SMALL CENTRAL CONVECTIVE BALL...WITH HINTS OF A BANDING- TYPE EYE. TAFB DVORAK CLASSIFICATION HAS REACHED 4.0 AND SUPPORTS UPGRADING BLAS TO BE THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE YEAR IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 13 KT...STILL TOWARD THE WNW. THE 06Z AVN RUN MAINTAINS THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH THROUGH WEST OF BLAS WHICH IMPLIES A GENERAL CONTINUATION OF ITS CURRENT MOTION ...AS INDICATED BY NEARLY ALL TRACK MODELS. THIS TRACK IS ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO...AND ABOUT 300 MILES OFFSHORE OF...THE COAST. A TROUGH THAT MOVES ONSHORE CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 72 HOURS DOES WEAKEN THE HIGH A LITTLE...LEAVING AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT BLAS COULD EVENTUALLY HAVE SOME IMPACT ON FAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE GFDL TRACK SUGGESTS THIS...BUT IT IS AN OUTLIER FROM THE OTHER GUIDANCE AND GFDL METEOROLOGISTS INDICATE THAT THE GFDL MODEL MAY HAVE BEEN ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY A LESS THAN OPTIMAL AVN INITIALIZATION. THE INTENSITY FORECAST AGAIN CALLS FOR INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BEFORE BLAS REACHES SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER WATERS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 12.8N 101.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 24/0600Z 13.7N 103.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 24/1800Z 14.7N 105.8W 80 KTS 36HR VT 25/0600Z 15.6N 107.9W 85 KTS 48HR VT 25/1800Z 16.4N 109.7W 85 KTS 72HR VT 26/1800Z 18.0N 113.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-26159>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:52:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA41180; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 11:49:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 11:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA28356 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 11:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 11:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231649.LAA06241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 11:49:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd21ff6997d1bea81e8388e1d643a0f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 780 ABPZ20 KNHC 231647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE THIS AFTERNOON...LOCATED ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627271-26167>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 22:31:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44936; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:30:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8968607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA60276 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:30:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231430.JAA01899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:30:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b065182f1c6ba4c3276411169aabe59d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 233 WTPZ23 KNHC 231429 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 1500Z TUE JUN 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 100.3W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 100.3W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 99.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.8N 101.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.8N 103.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.6N 105.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 100.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.6N 107.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627171-26167>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 22:31:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA60214; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:30:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8968598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23806 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:29:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231429.JAA01862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:29:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fda9dc4f5370356afad112672fda0b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 210 WTPZ43 KNHC 231428 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 BLAS CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A WELL- DEFINED AND STRONG BANDING FEATURE IN THE SHAPE OF THE NUMBER 6. IT COULD MAKE IT TO HURRICANE INTENSITY LATER TODAY...BUT DVORAK SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS DO NOT YET SUPPORT INCREASING THE WIND SPEED ABOVE 55 KT. THE ORGANIZATIONAL PROCESS HAS LED TO SOME JUMPING AROUND OF THE ESTIMATED SATELLITE-DERIVED POSITION ESTIMATES. INITIAL MOTION IS CURRENTLY NEAR 300/11 KT. THE 00Z MRF OUTPUT SUGGESTS THAT THE LARGE WSW-ENE ORIENTED ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL REMAIN IN PLACE DESPITE THE FORECAST PROGRESSION OF SEVERAL TROUGHS INTO THE U.S. WEST COAST. HENCE...LITTLE CHANGE IN TRACK HEADING OR SPEED IS SHOWN IN THE NHC FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH TRACK MODELS AS WELL...EXCEPT FOR A MUCH SLOWER SPEED INDICATED BY THE UKMET...AND THE 06Z GFDL RUN WHICH ENDS UP A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF MOST OF THE OTHER GUIDANCE...AND ITS 00Z FORECAST. THE PATTERN ALSO CONTAINS A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WV IMAGERY OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO BE CONTRIBUTING TO THE OUTFLOW ALOFT FROM THE CYCLONE. WITH WARM WATERS AHEAD AND THIS ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT...INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH 48 HOURS. SOMEWHAT COOLER THAN NORMAL WATERS COULD AFFECT BLAS THEREAFTER. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 12.0N 100.3W 55 KTS 12HR VT 24/0000Z 12.8N 101.8W 65 KTS 24HR VT 24/1200Z 13.8N 103.6W 75 KTS 36HR VT 25/0000Z 14.6N 105.6W 85 KTS 48HR VT 25/1200Z 15.6N 107.6W 85 KTS 72HR VT 26/1200Z 17.5N 111.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627119-8834>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 18:38:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13104; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:37:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8967125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:37:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA55068 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:37:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA28048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231037.FAA28048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:37:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a51fb41988c7eaa1eee32c67f8643dcf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 869 ABPZ20 KNHC 231035 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP3. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2292 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627311-8839>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 16:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA09832; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8966329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47190 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230844.DAA26852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c44e996eced0e2d20edf5f05cda86d0d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 WTPZ23 KNHC 230843 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0900Z TUE JUN 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 99.0W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 99.0W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 98.5W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.9N 100.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.0N 102.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.2N 103.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 99.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 15.5N 105.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2125 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629208-8839>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 16:45:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28208; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8966320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA09736 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230844.DAA26843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:44:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d377b84f31336ccaefacb735d8b39df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 WTPZ43 KNHC 230842 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE JUN 23 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/09. THIS IS A PAST 24 HOUR MOTION. THE STORM HAS SLOWED IN FORWARD SPEED AND THE MOTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS MAY BE AS SLOW AS 6 KNOTS. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR 72 HOURS. THIS IS BASED ON A RIDGE HOLDING TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM AS INDICATED ON THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL RUN. MOST OF THE MODELS MAINTAIN ABOUT A 10 KNOT SPEED EXCEPT THE UKMET WHICH IS MUCH SLOWER AND LBAR WHICH IS SOMEWHAT FASTER. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS IN THE MIDDLE AND NEAR THE GFDL AND NOGAPS MODELS. A COLD CDO IS PERSISTING OVER THE CENTER OF THE STORM. INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB ARE DVORAK T NUMBER 3.5 OR 55 KNOTS WHICH IS THE BASIS FOR INCREASING THE CURRENT WIND SPEED TO THIS VALUE. THE FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING TO 85 KNOTS IN 36 HOURS...SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE SHIPS MODEL AND SHIFOR BRING BLAS TO 90 KNOTS IN 36 HOURS WHILE THE GFLD STAYS BELOW 70 KNOTS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 11.2N 99.0W 55 KTS 12HR VT 23/1800Z 11.9N 100.2W 65 KTS 24HR VT 24/0600Z 13.0N 102.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 24/1800Z 14.2N 103.7W 85 KTS 48HR VT 25/0600Z 15.5N 105.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 26/0600Z 18.0N 110.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-11116>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:50:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52450; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 23:50:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8964792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 23:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA59856 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 23:50:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 23:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230450.XAA24179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 23:50:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f87543988048d63c0e6eccbd6396dde Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 796 ABPZ20 KNHC 230448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS...LOCATED ABOUT 405 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP3. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-11116>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:54:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52242; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:54:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA60160 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:54:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:54:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230254.VAA22755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:54:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7287929dad86ab1a1c5c552b9aed03c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 631 WTPZ43 KNHC 230251 COR TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR STORM NAME.... SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SHOWS A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION...TOPS NEAR -80C...OCCURRING OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER OF BLAS. THE OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE IS WELL-DEFINED WHILE IMPROVING OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 3.0 AND 3.5 FROM TAFB AND SAB RESPECTIVELY. THEREFORE THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY IS SET AT 50 KNOTS. THE FORECAST BRINGS BLAS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH BY 24 HOURS. BOTH GFDL AND SHIPS SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO WITH SHIPS SUGGESTING THE WARM SST AS THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTING FACTOR. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/11. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DECELERATION FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A MID- TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN WITH A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION THEY DIVERGE CONSIDERABLY WITH REGARDS TO THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS FASTER THAN CLIPPER AND NHC90 WHILE SLOWER THAN THE MID AND DEEP BAMS AND LBAR. IT CLOSELY RESEMBLES THE GFDL. NOGAPS IS THE ONLY MODEL WHICH BRINGS BLAS MORE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE COAST OF MEXICO. GUINEY/MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 11.2N 98.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 23/1200Z 11.9N 99.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 24/0000Z 12.9N 101.2W 75 KTS 36HR VT 24/1200Z 14.0N 103.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 25/0000Z 15.0N 105.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 26/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2666 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-11116>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:52:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA09910; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:51:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14752 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:51:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230251.VAA22721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:51:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 637c894b9e6aee3ffdd360b5e6526a2a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 WTPZ23 KNHC 230250 COR TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z TUE JUN 23 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR STORM NAME... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 98.1W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 98.1W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 97.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 11.9N 99.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.9N 101.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 103.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 98.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626135-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:50:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA41036; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:50:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA55832 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:50:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230250.VAA22704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:50:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88077bd53a9b4e006a136b269682a936 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 WTPZ43 KNHC DDHHMM...COR TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 ...CORRECTION FOR STORM NAME.... SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SHOWS A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION...TOPS NEAR -80C...OCCURRING OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER OF BLAS. THE OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE IS WELL-DEFINED WHILE IMPROVING OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 3.0 AND 3.5 FROM TAFB AND SAB RESPECTIVELY. THEREFORE THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY IS SET AT 50 KNOTS. THE FORECAST BRINGS BLAS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH BY 24 HOURS. BOTH GFDL AND SHIPS SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO WITH SHIPS SUGGESTING THE WARM SST AS THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTING FACTOR. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/11. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DECELERATION FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A MID- TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN WITH A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION THEY DIVERGE CONSIDERABLY WITH REGARDS TO THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS FASTER THAN CLIPPER AND NHC90 WHILE SLOWER THAN THE MID AND DEEP BAMS AND LBAR. IT CLOSELY RESEMBLES THE GFDL. NOGAPS IS THE ONLY MODEL WHICH BRINGS BLAS MORE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE COAST OF MEXICO. GUINEY/MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 11.2N 98.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 23/1200Z 11.9N 99.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 24/0000Z 12.9N 101.2W 75 KTS 36HR VT 24/1200Z 14.0N 103.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 25/0000Z 15.0N 105.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 26/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1498 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA66132; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:35:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45120 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:35:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230235.VAA22523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:35:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Three Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22f4039177ed9f5abb6ba80277245914 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 WTPZ23 KNHC 230234 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 0300Z TUE JUN 23 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 98.1W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 98.1W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 97.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 11.9N 99.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.9N 101.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 103.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 98.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626135-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:41:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA58208; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:34:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:34:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA58180 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:34:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230234.VAA22504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:34:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Three Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea6b7c945d487b5691d406d15e9e2e65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 WTPZ43 KNHC 230233 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM THREE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS SHOWS A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION...TOPS NEAR -80C...OCCURRING OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER OF BLAS. THE OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE IS WELL-DEFINED WHILE IMPROVING OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 3.0 AND 3.5 FROM TAFB AND SAB RESPECTIVELY. THEREFORE THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY IS SET AT 50 KNOTS. THE FORECAST BRINGS BLAS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH BY 24 HOURS. BOTH GFDL AND SHIPS SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO WITH SHIPS SUGGESTING THE WARM SST AS THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTING FACTOR. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/11. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DECELERATION FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A MID- TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN WITH A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION THEY DIVERGE CONSIDERABLY WITH REGARDS TO THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS FASTER THAN CLIPPER AND NHC90 WHILE SLOWER THAN THE MID AND DEEP BAMS AND LBAR. IT CLOSELY RESEMBLES THE GFDL. NOGAPS IS THE ONLY MODEL WHICH BRINGS BLAS MORE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE COAST OF MEXICO. GUINEY/MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 11.2N 98.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 23/1200Z 11.9N 99.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 24/0000Z 12.9N 101.2W 75 KTS 36HR VT 24/1200Z 14.0N 103.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 25/0000Z 15.0N 105.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 26/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-11222>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 06:26:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA09790; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 17:26:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8961037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 17:26:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA66090 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 17:26:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 17:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806222226.RAA18747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 17:26:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80b7d578437868ab87c1884ff4f6e43c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 815 ABPZ20 KNHC 222224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS...LOCATED NEAR 430 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP3. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-11217>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 04:42:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA21878; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:40:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8960031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:40:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62820 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:40:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:40:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806222040.PAA15589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:40:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13ec3ca5969e1714aa5209cb4bf7a122 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 WTPZ23 KNHC 222039 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0398 2100Z MON JUN 22 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 97.9W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 97.9W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 97.4W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.0N 99.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.4N 101.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N 104.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 97.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N 106.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.6N 111.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627071-11217>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 04:40:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29874; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:39:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8960016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:39:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41112 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:39:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806222039.PAA15501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 15:39:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blas Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc9ceff5bdc6d9f5fd6382c1bc670186 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 022 WTPZ43 KNHC 222038 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM BLAS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BOTH 3.0 FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE SYSTEM IS ON A MODERATE INTENSIFICATION TREND. VISIBLE PICTURE ANIMATION SHOWS GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADS EXCEPT THE NORTHEAST WHERE IT IS EITHER NEUTRAL OR SLIGHTLY INWARD. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER SOME OF THE WARMEST WATERS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC SO THAT THE SUPPLY OF LATENT AND SENSIBLE HEAT IS NOT A PROBLEM. THEREFORE...THE SYSTEM IS BEING UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 45 KTS. INTENSIFICATION TO A HURRICANE IS FORECAST IN 24 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 310/13. ALL TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION BUT DIFFER IN FORWARD SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE DIRECTION OF THE MODEL FORECASTS BUT IS A COMPROMISE IN THE DIFFERENT SPEEDS. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 10.9N 97.9W 45 KTS 12HR VT 23/0600Z 12.0N 99.5W 55 KTS 24HR VT 23/1800Z 13.4N 101.8W 65 KTS 36HR VT 24/0600Z 14.8N 104.1W 75 KTS 48HR VT 24/1800Z 16.2N 106.4W 85 KTS 72HR VT 25/1800Z 18.6N 111.2W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-11217>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:46:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21964; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:44:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8959375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA55196 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:44:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:44:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806221944.OAA12942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:44:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook...cor For Location/distance To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20efc59bc575cbd73347da9d262627db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 188 ABPZ20 KNHC 221942 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...COR FOR LOCATION/DISTANCE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WHICH WAS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E. THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E. THESE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 OR WMO HEADER WTPZ23. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-11221>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 01:00:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA12144; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 11:58:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8957046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 11:58:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA54606 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 11:58:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 11:58:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806221658.LAA07628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 11:58:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0719e2d028bc0594d5f2b8c83520a19b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 ABPZ20 KNHC 221656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WHICH WAS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E. THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED ABOUT 810 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON EP0398. THESE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 OR WMO HEADER WTPZ23. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-11217>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 16:50:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA50942; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 03:50:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8952918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 03:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA57834 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 03:50:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 03:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220850.DAA28299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 03:50:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0eafb3580529a63589a508bcbf474f96 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 ABPZ20 KNHC 220848 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-6261>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 12:21:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA40024; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:20:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8951249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:20:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21834 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:17:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA25659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:17:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220417.XAA25659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:17:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ace3d496335b89ef8d32f17928b5eb26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 ABPZ20 KNHC 220415 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BUT ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. UPPER LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1829 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626479-6255>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 10:30:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62046; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:30:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8950104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45642 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:30:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220230.VAA24628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:30:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6876c51d2b278569db166d22b6f703fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 757 WTPZ22 KNHC 220228 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 0300Z MON JUN 22 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.1W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.1W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 115.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 114.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-6255>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 10:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA61468; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:27:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8950074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA42762 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:27:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220226.VAA24584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 21:26:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 863e4cf8df2dfdccf9c8aea4dea65aae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 WTPZ42 KNHC 220225 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 IMAGERY FROM LAST LIGHT VIS AS WELL AS FOG CHANNEL SHOW A VERY WELL DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW CLOUDS. HOWEVER...THE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN VOID OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION FOR OVER 6 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOL WATER. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/09 AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE AS THE CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO SPIN DOWN. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E UNLESS UNEXPECTED REGENERATION OCCURS. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CARRIED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR AWHILE ON THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCHSFEP1 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 18.7N 114.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 22/1200Z 19.0N 115.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625973-6261>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 07:42:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12242; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 17:41:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8947890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 17:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA09820 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 17:39:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA21786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 17:38:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806212238.RAA21786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 17:38:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42b8ad16cd455d315f2f3454e608b2bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 ABPZ20 KNHC 212235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BUT ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. UPPER LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-8005>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 04:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23716; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8947050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:33:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA54162 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806212033.PAA20239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57c8312077bf72b645817842c24fa002 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 WTPZ22 KNHC 212031 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 2100Z SUN JUN 21 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 113.2W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 113.2W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 112.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.6N 114.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 113.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4066 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626685-8000>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 04:32:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29778; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:31:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8947037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA50744 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:31:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806212031.PAA20227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 15:31:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c26bfe90de99a597975d6ff6e8a5d3b0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 WTPZ42 KNHC 212030 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/09. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST CONTINUES THIS MOTION FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE COOLER WATERS ARE HAVING A DRAMATIC EFFECT ON THE SYSTEM...THERE IS ALMOST NO DEEP CONVECTION LEFT AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED. DISSIPATION IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 18.3N 113.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 22/0600Z 18.6N 114.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-8005>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57344; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:56:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8944693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:56:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55780 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211656.LAA17490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c0db8103579060ce6b00814f3bc4922 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 ABPZ20 KNHC 211653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. UPPER LEVEL WINDS BLOWING FROM THE NORTHEAST ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. IF THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD INTO A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2784 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 22:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28368; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:55:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8938557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA46048 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:54:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:54:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211454.JAA14279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:54:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe0de825b59b4a7c1fb28ce9f8336297 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 897 WTPZ42 KNHC 211452 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/10. MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH THIS AND IS CHANGED LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT LOOKING WELL WITH JUST A LITTLE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS AND WILL BE OVER 25 DEG C WATER LATER TODAY. THUS...WEAKENING IS FORECAST WITH DISSIPATION IN APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 18.0N 112.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 22/0000Z 18.2N 114.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 22/1200Z 18.3N 116.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 23/0000Z 18.5N 118.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 22:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28308; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:55:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8938545 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA21980 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:54:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211454.JAA14275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:54:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a56ef72ffa6c6a28d5dddc9b456e0fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 896 WTPZ22 KNHC 211453 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 1500Z SUN JUN 21 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.5W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.5W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.2N 114.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.3N 116.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.5N 118.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 112.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4808 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-8000>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56048; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:41:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8944040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:40:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA45980 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 05:14:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 05:14:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211014.FAA12225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 05:14:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b42e28571e649d073e14b67df315773 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 975 ABPZ20 KNHC 211007 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629697-8006>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 16:47:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14878; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:41:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA13226 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:32:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:32:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210832.DAA11453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:32:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98af0e254b4225760994d168612e6d87 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 297 WTPZ22 KNHC 210830 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 0900Z SUN JUN 21 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 111.3W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 298 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 111.3W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 110.8W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.8N 112.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.2N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.3N 116.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 111.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.5N 118.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4597 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628456-8006>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 16:58:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA13276; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:52:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45726 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:31:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210831.DAA11449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:31:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4a780eb0473c491a0ab44130bf9ce7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 281 WTPZ42 KNHC 210830 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUN 21 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/09. MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH THIS AND IS CHANGED LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT LOOKING WELL WITH JUST A LITTLE DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. THE CENTER IS WITHIN 50 N MI OF SOCORRO ISLAND AND THEIR WIND SPEED AT 03Z WAS 5 MPS. ALL INTENSITY GUIDANCE CALLS FOR WEAKENING AND THE FORECAST TRACK IS OVER 23 DEG C WATER IN 48 HOURS. DISSIPATION IS FORECAST AT 48 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 18.2N 111.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/1800Z 18.8N 112.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 22/0600Z 19.2N 114.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 22/1800Z 19.3N 116.4W 25 KTS 48HR VT 23/0600Z 19.5N 118.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-8005>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:11:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52918; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:11:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8942449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:11:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21798 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 23:22:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 23:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210422.XAA09182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 23:22:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f5f2f3bf35e555fdd94f6c0b253461e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 836 ABPZ20 KNHC 210419 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628371-21440>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:59:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25356; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:52:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19496 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:27:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210227.VAA08262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:27:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cf8786999e9e79084fed572c945c3cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 WTPZ22 KNHC 210226 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 0300Z SUN JUN 21 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 110.5W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 110.5W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.9N 114.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.2N 116.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 110.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 118.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:59:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA57406; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:58:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8941789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17702 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:27:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210227.VAA08258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:27:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cee958b02d6676b17bea274aff6fa00b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 WTPZ42 KNHC 210225 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 THE DEPRESSION IS GENERATING A RATHER SMALL...AND DIMINISHING...AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER AND JUST WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS KEPT AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BASED ON ANALYSES OF SATELLITE PICTURES. SOME GROUND TRUTH ON THE INTENSITY COULD COME FROM SOCORRO ISLAND WHICH WILL BE NEAR THE CYCLONE CENTER DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SLOWER MOTION NOTED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PERSISTS...NOW TOWARD 295/10 KT. A MODEST LEFTWARD BEND IN THE TRACK COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IN RESPONSE TO TWO FACTORS...A STRONG WSW-ENE ORIENTED ANTICYCLONE THAT LAYS AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THE INCREASING INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL STEERING WHILE THE DEPRESSION WEAKENS OVER COOLER WATERS. THE TRACK MODELS AND OFFICIAL FORECAST ARE CONSISTENT WITH THAT EXPECTATION...WHILE THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOWS A MORE SUBSTANTIAL LEFTWARD TURN. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 18.1N 110.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 18.5N 112.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 18.9N 114.1W 35 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 19.2N 116.2W 30 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 19.5N 118.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HT VT 24/0000Z ...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-21433>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 07:00:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA55208; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 17:53:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 17:44:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA45238 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 17:36:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 17:36:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806202236.RAA06454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 17:36:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2843d0a4391c5b72ee7e48bcf10dc50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 ABPZ20 KNHC 202234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627799-13299>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 05:04:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52756; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:57:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:49:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12182 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:30:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806202030.PAA05339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:30:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bb3504ba0d9a517392168f7a4942bf6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 619 WTPZ22 KNHC 202028 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 2100Z SAT JUN 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 109.5W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 109.5W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627816-13298>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 04:53:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25942; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:46:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:36:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45122 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:29:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806202029.PAA05309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:29:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edec9f59380137b54e7c24c49916b001 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 WTPZ42 KNHC 202028 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AS WELL AS NRL MONTEREY ARRAY OF SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. THIS WAS CAUSED PRIMARILY BY PREVAILING NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL POSITION HAS BEEN ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE EAST NORTHEAST OF THE LOCATION GIVEN IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE SYSTEM MAY BE VERY NEAR TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS BUT... SINCE THE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY WEAKENING AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS...IT IS BEING KEPT AS A DEPRESSION IN THIS ADVISORY. HOWEVER...A CONVECTIVE BURST COULD BRING THE SYSTEM TO STORM STATUS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE WEAKENING OVER COOL WATER BEGINS. BOTH GFDL AND SHIPS DISSIPATE THE DEPRESSION BY 48 HOURS OR SO. THE DEPRESSION HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW MOVING 290/11. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 17.5N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/0600Z 18.0N 111.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 21/1800Z 18.5N 113.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 22/0600Z 19.0N 115.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 22/1800Z 19.5N 118.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627195-13299>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:12:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25420; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 11:12:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 11:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA62768 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 11:12:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 11:12:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201612.LAA03186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 11:12:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d78bfa7f2a499aed520013a585a558fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 ABPZ20 KNHC 201607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. GLOBAL MODELS ALSO SUGGEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS GENERAL AREA IN THE SHORT RANGE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 22:27:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45224; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:27:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28302 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201426.JAA02265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3dce2ddbd3f90d30774e9594138a4431 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 972 WTPZ22 KNHC 201425 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 1500Z SAT JUN 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 109.8W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 109.8W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 109.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1572 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626803-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 22:27:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45248; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:27:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA10398 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201426.JAA02261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 09:26:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f8395f1d98977fdf1b50c248934d0ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 WTPZ42 KNHC 201425 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE MAIN FEATURE IS A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION MAY BE VERY CLOSE TO BE A STORM. HOWEVER...SINCE CONVECTIVE TOPS ARE WARMING AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS POORLY DEFINED...WE WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A DEPRESSION IN THIS ADVISORY. VISIBLE PICTURES LATER TODAY MAY INDICATE IF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE SHARP GRADIENT OF SST IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS SO STRENGTHENING...IF OCCURS...HAS TO BE SOON. BOTH GFDL AND SHIPS WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES TO BE 290/16 AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER...A TURN MORE TO THE WEST IS LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 17.1N 109.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/0000Z 18.0N 112.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 21/1200Z 18.5N 115.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 22/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 22/1200Z 19.5N 120.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 23/1200Z 20.0N 125.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628911-13294>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 18:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA59584; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:18:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:18:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA17838 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:18:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:18:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201018.FAA00343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:18:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ec994e737c2ca72a73103a7aefe4c75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 ABPZ20 KNHC 201015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS AREA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1587 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626626-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 16:35:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26014; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:32:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:32:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62068 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:31:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200831.DAA29601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:31:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1149d2463535bc6bee81e7624cdb814f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 WTPZ22 KNHC 200830 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 0900Z SAT JUN 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.6W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 108.6W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 107.8W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.6N 110.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N 116.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 108.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.0N 123.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1553 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626020-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 16:33:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25960; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:30:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59474 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200830.DAA29597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 03:30:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f78f8b813f33414358962ba9f571919 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 537 WTPZ42 KNHC 200829 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/16. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS SHOW A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE BAM AND GFDL MODELS SHOW A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. BUT THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL UNREALISTICALLY INITIALIZES A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 08N 92W AND INTENSIFIES IT TO A HURRICANE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THIS COULD CAUSE THE SOUTHWARD MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY MOVING THE SYSTEM WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD WITH SOME DECELERATION. THERE HAS BEEN A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR WHERE THE CENTER IS ASSUMED TO BE LOCATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE LAST COUPLE OF IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE BURST HAS PEAKED. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NEAR STORM STRENGTH WITH A 2.5 T NUMBER FROM TAFB AND 2.0 FROM SAB AND KGWC. THE SYSTEM IS KEPT AT DEPRESSION STRENGTH FOR THIS ADVISORY AND FORECAST TO A STORM IN 12 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER OVER SSTS BELOW 23 DEGREES C IN 72 HOURS WHICH IS EXPECTED TO REVERSE THE FORECAST OF SLOW STRENGTHENING DURNING THE FIRST DAY OR TWO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 16.8N 108.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 20/1800Z 17.6N 110.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 21/0600Z 18.5N 113.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 21/1800Z 19.0N 116.1W 40 KTS 48HR VT 22/0600Z 19.5N 118.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 23/0600Z 20.0N 123.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626498-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 12:21:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA47290; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 23:20:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8932038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 23:20:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45224 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 23:20:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 23:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200420.XAA27259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 23:20:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c9e1650341ef727027a3a4b02356034 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 194 ABPZ20 KNHC 200417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626595-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 10:46:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA21870; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:46:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8931156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59450 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200245.VAA26333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdc4fa3cb6e4d8a683815e6faff6a132 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 WTPZ22 KNHC 200243 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 0300Z SAT JUN 20 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 107.1W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 107.1W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.4W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.8N 109.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 112.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 107.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 117.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626136-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 10:46:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA21844; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8931151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59440 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200245.VAA26329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 21:45:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1058f522d44497fb637601758a86b303 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 458 WTPZ42 KNHC 200243 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 ANIMATION OF SATELLITE PICTURES AGAIN SHOWS A LARGE CIRCULATION ELONGATED FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IN THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE ELONGATION BASED ON TAFB AND SAB ANALYSES. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 290/15 KT. CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING AT THE MOMENT WHILE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT KEEPING THE SYSTEM AS A DEPRESSION IN THIS ADVISORY. THE AVN MODEL MAINTAINS A STRONG AND LARGE ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTH-CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES THROUGH THE 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THIS PATTERN IS CONSISTENT WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE TRACK MODELS AND OFFICIAL FORECAST ALSO SHOW THAT OUTCOME. THE GFDL SHOWS DISSIPATION WITHIN 24 HOURS...WHILE THE UKMET SEEMS TO BE FOLLOWING SOMETHING ELSE THAT IT HAS MODELED ABOUT 5 DEGREES TO THE SOUTH. SOME EASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENT WITH AN OTHERWISE PROMINENT OUTFLOW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY ANOTHER DAY OR SO TO BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED AND STRENGTHEN PRIOR TO REACHING THE SHARP GRADIENT AND A NEGATIVE ANOMALY IN SSTS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 16.0N 107.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 20/1200Z 16.8N 109.4W 35 KTS 24HR VT 21/0000Z 17.8N 112.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 21/1200Z 18.5N 115.0W 45 KTS 48HR VT 22/0000Z 19.0N 117.6W 35 KTS 72HR VT 23/0000Z 19.5N 122.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625883-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 06:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA55888; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 17:56:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8929254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 17:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA42778 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 17:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 17:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806192256.RAA23610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 17:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a15a9567637cc5645c7e21be2f62a75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 ABPZ20 KNHC 192253 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEGUN ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627756-22219>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA10242; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 16:03:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8928039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 16:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA58668 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 16:01:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 16:01:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806192101.QAA21352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 16:01:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl Ep0298 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e0c99394ac0c2a1008b328cb38e80f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTPZ22 KNHC DDHHMM COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 2100Z FRI JUN 19 1998 ...CORRECTED AFOS BIN NUMBER FROM 1 TO 2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.7W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.7W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N 107.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.4N 110.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.6N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 105.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627794-22219>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 05:04:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA21894; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:59:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8928011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:59:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45168 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:59:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:59:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806192059.PAA21223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:59:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a23e6f0e2ca403dfbd4c345150e86926 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 942 WTPZ42 KNHC DDHHMM COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 ...CORRECTED AFOS BIN NUMBER FROM 1 TO 2 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICAN COASTS DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A LARGE CIRCULATION WITH SOME BANDING FEATURES. THEREFORE...THE SYSTEM IS BEING CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE ELONGATED AND STILL IS IN FORMATIVE STAGE SO ADJUSTMENTS IN THE INITIAL POSITION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KT...IN AGREEMENT WITH TAFB DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS. THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED SINCE THE SYSTEM IS UNDER EASTERLY SHEAR BUT LIGHT ENOUGH TO ALLOW A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING. THE GFDL DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN 18 HOURS AND SHIPS BEGINS TO WEAKEN IT BY 48 HOURS BASICALLY DUE TO COOL SST. HOWEVER..SHIPS IS BASED ON LBAR TRACK FORECAST WHICH HAS A NORTHWARD BIAS. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/15. GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN A 500 MB RIDGE FROM MEXICO WESTWARD ANN THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THE SAME GENERAL WET NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. GUINEY/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 15.3N 105.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 16.1N 107.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 17.4N 110.7W 45 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 18.6N 113.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W 40 KTS 72HR VT 22/1800Z 21.0N 121.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1812 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629011-22220>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 04:31:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57376; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8927541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA42760 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806192030.PAA20362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62149ea658919d41dd9cffb501d7872a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 594 WTPZ41 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN MOVING SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICAN COASTS DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A LARGE CIRCULATION WITH SOME BANDING FEATURES. THEREFORE...THE SYSTEM IS BEING CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE ELONGATED AND STILL IS IN FORMATIVE STAGE SO ADJUSTMENTS IN THE INITIAL POSITION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KT...IN AGREEMENT WITH TAFB DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS. THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED SINCE THE SYSTEM IS UNDER EASTERLY SHEAR BUT LIGHT ENOUGH TO ALLOW A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING. THE GFDL DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN 18 HOURS AND SHIPS BEGINS TO WEAKEN IT BY 48 HOURS BASICALLY DUE TO COOL SST. HOWEVER..SHIPS IS BASED ON LBAR TRACK FORECAST WHICH HAS A NORTHWARD BIAS. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/15. GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN A 500 MB RIDGE FROM MEXICO WESTWARD ANN THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THE SAME GENERAL WET NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. GUINEY/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 15.3N 105.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 16.1N 107.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 17.4N 110.7W 45 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 18.6N 113.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W 40 KTS 72HR VT 22/1800Z 21.0N 121.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630549-22220>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 04:30:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA42996; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8927536 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12232 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806192030.PAA20332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 15:30:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl Ep0298 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe5d3f4a5ae1274e85c33b7cec28b14f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 WTPZ21 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0298 2100Z FRI JUN 19 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.7W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.7W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N 107.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.4N 110.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.6N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 105.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630329-22220>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 00:14:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17700; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:13:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8924193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:12:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA40118 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:12:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:11:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806191611.LAA13271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:11:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22266bb2a430d90a3bf7a405b8ed148d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 586 ABPZ20 KNHC 191606 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CAUSING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO AND SOUTHWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED BUT LACKS AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO AND INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3071 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-22213>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 18:20:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56050; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 05:19:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8920490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 05:19:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA25560 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 05:19:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA06317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 05:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806191019.FAA06317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 05:19:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dac1051303d016a7986aa632788d5de2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 ABPZ20 KNHC 191009 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626667-22213>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 11:58:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA10424; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 22:56:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8918221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 22:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA09888 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 22:56:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 22:56:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806190356.WAA02769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 22:56:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ebe56c9445d00ac6e79166014a7efa3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 187 ABPZ20 KNHC 190352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-22219>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 07:10:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA21924; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 17:41:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8913992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 17:41:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA45970 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 17:41:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 17:41:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806182241.RAA28429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 17:41:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 240bd07ee3c8821f007c5a4e56e95202 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 479 ABPZ20 KNHC 182237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627717-29554>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:09:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14806; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 11:08:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8907692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 11:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA59580 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 11:08:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 11:08:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806181608.LAA16787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 11:08:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 652998fe96d239b099b7e369eeffcb05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 ABPZ20 KNHC 181604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MOVE TOWARD THE WEST AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627190-29561>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 18:15:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA63728; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 05:15:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8903588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 05:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA42926 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 05:15:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA10437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 05:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806181015.FAA10437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 05:15:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0bae8c2c4210260e2a1c85df010bf98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 ABPZ20 KNHC 181009 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REMAINS LIMITED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627212-14996>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 11:42:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA52134; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 22:41:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8900948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 22:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA23698 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 22:41:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 22:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806180341.WAA06741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 22:41:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f63c7de1444ec34dba7a44f52da27d27 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 653 ABPZ20 KNHC 180339 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DIMINISHED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-14996>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 07:08:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA62130; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 17:41:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8897099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 17:41:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA45982 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 17:41:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 17:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806172241.RAA02219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 17:41:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4632e59334c35987aa85c8a8b85b7e50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 058 ABPZ20 KNHC 172242 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE...SLOW-MOVING...AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS LESS ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY AND TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627608-28946>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:16:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA50796; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 11:14:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8892276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 11:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA54614 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 11:14:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 11:14:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806171614.LAA21225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 11:14:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c1e23aa50babb21c86dd05abdd95b6f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 021 ABPZ20 KNHC 171613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625877-7410>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 17:50:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56058; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:49:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8888188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:49:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA28382 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:49:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:49:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806170949.EAA14384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:49:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aaac6875bfb442be5bcd6d39f72d3cb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 769 ABPZ20 KNHC 170950 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOWLY-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:15 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <627656-7410>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:24:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630214-7418>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 12:17:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29862; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 23:14:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8886240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 23:13:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25886 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 23:13:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 23:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806170413.XAA12135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 23:13:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: 9b8922c0e75f7e0b5df347e2cd6a0205 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 802 ABPZ20 KNHC 170408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOWLY-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627868-693>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 06:31:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA60770; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 17:31:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8881956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 17:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA19536 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 17:31:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA07254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 17:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806162231.RAA07254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 17:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f8920d78b1f63ed2dfc6404c9e1a48a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 386 ABPZ20 KNHC 162230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISSIPATING ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SLOWLY-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627845-693>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:33:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26090; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:32:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8880301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19620 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:32:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:32:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806162032.PAA03705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:32:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9588e4cf35caeeea814b9a14a5b1006d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 385 WTPZ21 KNHC 162033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 2100Z TUE JUN 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.9N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.9N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 123.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627848-693>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 04:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19548; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:30:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8880240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:30:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA49428 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:30:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806162030.PAA03572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 15:30:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 067c7ce88acfbec6a200d2b9fb1465f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 WTPZ41 KNHC 162031 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998 THE DEPRESSION REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AS STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 19.9N 123.0W 20 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 19.9N 123.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 17/1800Z 19.9N 123.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627807-29771>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:47:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA59636; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 11:47:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8877220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 11:46:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA54238 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 11:46:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 11:46:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161646.LAA23922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 11:46:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ea6562117f2cf42ba9e4301314f89a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 ABPZ20 KNHC 161646 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627812-29771>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 22:40:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09970; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:40:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8875055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28344 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:40:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161440.JAA18536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:40:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5ece927c7a5eddfe07142b72d91b52e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 WTPZ21 KNHC 161440 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z TUE JUN 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 123.0W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 123.0W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 123.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.8N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.8N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.8N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 123.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 19.8N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2831 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627804-29779>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 22:39:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA18894; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:38:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8875032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:38:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA60858 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:38:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:38:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161438.JAA18485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:38:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96990f9784223a848e10acb0dc0b24ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 WTPZ41 KNHC 161439 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998 THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AS STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY AS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 19.8N 123.0W 20 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 19.8N 123.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 17/1200Z 19.8N 123.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 18/0000Z 19.8N 123.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/1200Z 19.8N 123.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627302-29777>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 16:32:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26044; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8871125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA55720 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160831.DAA13159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb3b8e14e35fd164b2fc588a20b90ab4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 WTPZ21 KNHC 160832 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0900Z TUE JUN 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 123.4W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 123.4W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 123.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.2N 124.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.3N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 126.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 123.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626509-29777>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 16:32:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25994; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8871116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52854 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160831.DAA13155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 03:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb55ed1aff531ca74d6f6ad6b93caf97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 942 WTPZ41 KNHC 160832 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE JUN 16 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MAINLY IN THE LOW CLOUDS...VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATE FROM TAFB. ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY CEASE AND THE SYSTEM WILL BE CARRIED AS A WEAK LOW IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST LATER TODAY. LOW-LEVEL STEERING IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST DRIFT TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN A DAY OR SO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 20.0N 123.4W 25 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 20.2N 124.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 17/0600Z 20.3N 125.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/1800Z 20.5N 126.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626317-29771>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 12:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45228; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 23:17:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8869724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 23:17:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25478 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 23:17:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 23:17:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160417.XAA10790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 23:17:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2d471d2bbe866590fb004adb6ee2be5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 ABPZ20 KNHC 160418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-29777>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 10:36:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA55702; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:35:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8868508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:35:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57724 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:35:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160235.VAA09611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:35:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93d7056ddac1b82df280bc57321c3fca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 WTPZ21 KNHC 160236 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0300Z TUE JUN 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.1W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.1W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 122.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.1N 124.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.4N 125.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.7N 127.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 123.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N 128.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626523-29777>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 10:35:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25534; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:34:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8868488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22678 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:34:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160234.VAA09587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 21:34:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1d6433031fa9850ad5788fddc4f697b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 WTPZ41 KNHC 160235 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 AGATHA REMAINS A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE INTENSITY TREND IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE WITH THE SYSTEM FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATING IN 24 HOURS OR SO. BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION OF AGATHA. THIS YIELDS A CURRENT MOTION OF 280/06. THE MORE WESTERLY HEADING OVER THE LAST 6 TO 12 HOURS IS LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING...AND THIS INFLUENCE SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST MOTION UNTIL DISSIPATION. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 19.9N 123.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 20.1N 124.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 20.4N 125.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/1200Z 20.7N 127.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/0000Z 21.0N 128.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627716-29265>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 06:31:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA57636; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 17:30:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8865631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 17:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA23806 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 17:30:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 17:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806152230.RAA05553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 17:30:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0f1e8392bc41c16f4a9c87835ebe0c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 ABPZ20 KNHC 152229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 820 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627669-12420>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 04:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45134; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:39:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8863857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:37:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA66196 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:37:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806152037.PAA02676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:37:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c80093bda7f64dcec429cfb849b89d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 WTPZ21 KNHC 152037 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 2100Z MON JUN 15 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 122.4W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 122.4W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 122.2W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.3N 123.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.8N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 124.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 122.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.2N 125.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 21.4N 126.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627664-12420>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 04:37:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA24670; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:36:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8863795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41174 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:35:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:34:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806152034.PAA02578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:34:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Agatha Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2253716a73796ed885382d6cbac118d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 WTPZ41 KNHC 152035 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 AGATHA IS A SWIRL OF LOWER CLOUDS AND IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AS OF 1800Z. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/06. THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF VERY WEAK STEERING CURRENTS WITH A VERY WEAK RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. IT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 20.0N 122.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 20.3N 123.1W 25 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 20.8N 124.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/0600Z 21.0N 124.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 17/1800Z 21.2N 125.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/1800Z 21.4N 126.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-12425>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 00:28:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA46674; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 11:26:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 11:24:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA25470 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 11:24:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 11:24:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151624.LAA24857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 11:24:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69090164953a470c44d7e5817ef7ef85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 ABPZ20 KNHC 151623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-12425>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 22:31:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14800; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:28:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63556 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151424.JAA20949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f0a151b00f24c71eba65a94df9795f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 WTPZ21 KNHC 151425 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z MON JUN 15 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 122.1W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 122.1W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 121.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.9N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.4N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.7N 124.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 122.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.9N 125.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 126.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626483-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 22:26:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41014; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:26:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62780 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151424.JAA20945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:24:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10acc39d4be5f64c78b33067dcaab838 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 WTPZ41 KNHC 151424 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 THE STORM IS MAINLY A SWIRL OF LOWER CLOUDS AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/07. THE GFDL...UKMET AND LBAR DISSIPATE THE STORM BEFORE 72 HOURS. THE MODELS REMAIN HIGHLY DIVERGENT AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT UNTIL DISSIPATION. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 19.6N 122.1W 35 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 19.9N 123.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 20.4N 124.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/0000Z 20.7N 124.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 17/1200Z 20.9N 125.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/1200Z 21.2N 126.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4016 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626953-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 18:31:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA60884; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 05:31:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 05:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA57394 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 05:28:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 05:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151028.FAA17295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 05:28:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3eb05ead56b2b12c636ae7e8d346a21d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 309 ABPZ20 KNHC 151028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626891-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 16:37:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45582; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:36:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46640 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:31:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150831.DAA16313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:31:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e25fc450d905aac14fe81bfcc95ed215 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 WTPZ21 KNHC 150832 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0900Z MON JUN 15 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 121.7W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 121.7W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 121.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.0N 122.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.4N 123.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.7N 124.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 121.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 126.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-12425>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 16:34:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45662; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:33:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46596 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:30:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150830.DAA16309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:30:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7b3baf0bfce1d366f8f38456e7336a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 WTPZ41 KNHC 150831 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED LOW- TO MID- LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS VERY LIMITED. INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 35 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS AGATHA MOVES OVER COOL WATER...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATED LATE IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/08. CONSIDERABLE SCATTER PERSISTS IN THE VARIOUS TRACK PREDICTION MODELS...BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT THE GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WHILE THE FORWARD SPEED DECREASES IN RESPONSE TO WEAKENING STERRING CURRENTS. CURRENT TRACK IS IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH CLIPER GUIDANCE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 19.4N 121.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 20.0N 122.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 20.4N 123.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 20.7N 124.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 17/0600Z 21.0N 125.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/0600Z 21.5N 126.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626505-12425>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:34:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25430; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 23:32:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8934854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 23:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52692 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 23:29:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 23:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150429.XAA13690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 23:29:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6feb96fd9da74786ea3f7e09624d2eaa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 ABPZ20 KNHC 150428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4101 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626379-24035>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 10:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA04658; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:50:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8934146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62080 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:47:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150247.VAA12602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:47:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2818593e75352179ccbe12eba5f6ea6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 WTPZ21 KNHC 150247 COR TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0300Z MON JUN 15 1998 ...CORRECTED HEADER... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 120.9W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 120.9W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.7N 123.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.2N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 120.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.5N 124.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N 125.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626161-24035>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 10:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22530; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:41:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8934099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:38:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29908 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:37:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:37:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150237.VAA12523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 21:37:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b20ea1c32476032b0d266486d9ccc448 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 WTPZ41 KNHC 150237 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 IN SPITE OF BEING OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ESTIMATED AROUND 23 DEGREES CELSIUS...THE STORM HAS MAINTAINED SOME DEEP CONVECTION AROUND ITS CENTER. CURRENT INTENSITY IS HELD AT 45 KNOTS FOLLOWING DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON. SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE OVER AGATHA AND COOLER WATERS SHOULD EVENTUALLY TAKE THEIR TOLL ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. WEAKENING TO A DEPRESSION IS FORECAST WITHIN 24 HOURS OR SO. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE DISSIPATING LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. AGATHA IS NEARING THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 9 KNOTS. SOME FURTHER SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED. IF THIS WERE A STRONGER SYSTEM...AGATHA WOULD PROBABLY BEGIN TO RECURVE AROUND THE RIDGE AND BE STEERED NORTHWARD AND NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO A MID- TO UPPER- LEVEL TROUGH OR CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD FROM NORTHERN BAJA. AGATHA IS A RATHER WEAK STORM HOWEVER...AND ITS MOTION IS MORE LIKELY TO BE CONTROLLED BY SHALLOWER-LAYER STEERING...I.E. THE TRADEWINDS. OUR TRACK MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLY DIVERGENT...AND AT THIS TIME THE MOST PRUDENT FORECAST SEEMS TO BE A MAINTENANCE OF A SLOW NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. THIS IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 19.2N 120.9W 45 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 20.0N 122.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 20.7N 123.2W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 21.2N 124.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 17/0000Z 21.5N 124.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/0000Z 22.0N 125.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2525 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627514-22321>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 06:24:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA55584; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 17:23:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8931302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 17:22:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA52714 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 17:22:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA09304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 17:22:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806142222.RAA09304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 17:22:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37a65e9cb9da123e097f5fa6a5dd05ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 834 ABPZ20 KNHC 142217 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627508-22321>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 04:40:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62140; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:39:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8930599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA61996 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:38:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806142038.PAA07991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a326300ed08e95d840d64f5854a3a251 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 WTPZ41 KNHC 142038 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/10 AND THE MOTION CONTINUES TO DECELERATE. TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS HIGHLY DIVERGENT...BUT IT DOES NOT MATTER SINCE THE STORM IS WEAKENING OVER COLDER WATER AND IS ALREADY MOSTLY DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 45 KNOTS...BUT ONLY BECAUSE THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE REQURIES A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF TIME FOR THE CIRCULATION TO SPIN DOWN. AGATHA HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF MOSTLY LOW CLOUDS AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 18.6N 120.0W 45 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 19.4N 121.3W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 20.1N 122.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 16/0600Z 20.7N 123.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 16/1800Z 21.3N 124.6W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 17/1800Z 21.5N 125.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627542-22322>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 04:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57664; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:38:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8930589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29942 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:36:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806142036.PAA07970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 15:36:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6579cec525ab46b73aec5eeb96c56a25 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 954 WTPZ21 KNHC 142036 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 2100Z SUN JUN 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.6W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.4N 121.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.1N 122.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.7N 123.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 120.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.3N 124.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 125.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-22317>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 01:58:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62788; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 12:57:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8928909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 12:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA10480 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 12:56:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 12:56:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141756.MAA06121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 12:56:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a47b662ac794200da4cee698d2bccf8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 825 ABPZ20 KNHC 141753 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 690 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627518-22317>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:04:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52490; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 11:03:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8927890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 11:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA67226 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 11:01:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 11:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141601.LAA05056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 11:01:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a58fbcc97d63d13052da57b81e25188a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 021 ABPZ20 KNHC 141601 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 690 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627424-22321>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 22:51:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63594; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:49:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8927271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:48:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA10426 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141445.JAA04074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7061c03636b08a8105a65899f31753f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 580 WTPZ41 KNHC 141446 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 300/14...AGATHA CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN. THE TRACK FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED DECELERATION AS STEERING CURRENTS WEAKEN WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN DIRECTION OF MOTION. THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION LEFT AS COLDER WATER IS ENCOUNTERED. HOWEVER CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN AT T NUMBER 3.0 TO 3.5...SO 50 KNOTS IS THE INITIAL WIND SPEED. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 18.3N 119.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 19.2N 121.2W 40 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 20.3N 123.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 21.0N 124.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 16/1200Z 21.5N 125.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 17/1200Z 22.0N 126.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-22321>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 22:48:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63730; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:46:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8927266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45990 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141445.JAA04070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 09:45:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 737039f0ba98a0762f12b8a0b654ff5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 WTPZ21 KNHC 141445 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z SUN JUN 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.5W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 119.5W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 118.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.2N 121.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.3N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.0N 124.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 119.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.5N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 126.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627183-22322>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 18:43:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA14754; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 05:42:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8925890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 05:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA39012 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 05:40:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 05:40:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141040.FAA01994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 05:40:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60b682e2db19eb9987d51c3ccc2ebd8d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 ABPZ20 KNHC 141038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627236-22322>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 16:39:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60772; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:37:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8925389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52682 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:34:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140834.DAA01046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:34:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 481bd1a9012032e68b7312439e371c9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 WTPZ21 KNHC 140834 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0900Z SUN JUN 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 118.6W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 100SE 75SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 200SE 150SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 118.6W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 117.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.7N 120.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...125NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.7N 123.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.4N 125.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 118.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 21.0N 126.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.5N 128.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-22322>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 16:36:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60684; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:35:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8925384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:33:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52096 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:33:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:33:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140833.DAA01041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:33:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4797f5f6f00d30712588e8f7e40ecaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 803 WTPZ41 KNHC 140833 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUN 14 1998 CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED IN THE OUTER BANDS...AND DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW LIMITED TO A RELATIVELY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED A LITTLE TO 50 KNOTS...WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM VARIOUS ANALYSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/16. LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING SHOULD ALLOW THE GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TO CONTINUE BUT WITH A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS. THE CURRENT TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN CLIPER BUT FASTER THAN THE NAVY NOGAPS. GFDL SHOWS DISSIPATION WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 17.6N 118.6W 50 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 18.7N 120.9W 45 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 19.7N 123.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 20.4N 125.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 16/0600Z 21.0N 126.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 17/0600Z 21.5N 128.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-3867>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 12:47:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA60776; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:45:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8923723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:44:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA55050 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:44:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140444.XAA28408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:44:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d30a9cab1abbf1c17a79e13720b14f96 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 566 ABPZ20 KNHC 140443 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 615 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1549 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-3871>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 10:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39006; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:36:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8922494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52134 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:34:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:34:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140234.VAA27133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:34:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 373bf93adc548fced9c84ca0b32fead5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 WTPZ21 KNHC 140234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0300Z SUN JUN 14 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 117.1W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT.......120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 117.1W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.4W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.8N 119.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 117.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.5N 127.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626091-3873>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 10:35:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA60916; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:35:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8922479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52560 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:33:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140233.VAA27125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 21:33:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad55115c2a95f19e7130c088007a32bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 191 WTPZ41 KNHC 140234 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 AGATHA HAS A WELL DEFINED CURVED CLOUD BAND THAT WRAPS AROUND THE CENTER...BUT DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED. T-NUMBERS FROM ALL AGENCIES ARE BETWEEN 3.0 AND 3.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THEREFORE... THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 55 KNOTS. AGATHA IS ABOUT TO CROSS THE 26 DEGREE ISOTHERM AND IS HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS. SO... WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON. MODELS ARE BUILDING SUCH A STRONG RIDGE NORTH OF AGATHA THAT THE STORM IS BEING FORECAST...BY SOME MODELS... TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AND EVEN SOUTHEASTWARD. THE UK MODEL HAS NOW JOINED THE GFDL AND THE AVN IN THIS VENTURE. BAM MODELS ARE DECREASING THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE STORM AND THEN TURN IT EASTWARD WHILE NOGAPS AND STATISTICAL MODELS ARE MOVING AGATHA WESTWARD. THIS WOULD MAKE SENSE IF THE STORM WEAKENS FAST AND THE TRACKING ALGORITHM GATHERS SOME OTHER SPURIOUS VORTICES NOT RELATED TO AGATHA. I HARD TO ACCEPT THAT...IN THIS CASE...GLOBAL MODELS AND THE GFDL WOULD BE SO WRONG. AT THIS TIME...WITH SUCH A DISCREPANCY...I WOULD GO WITH GOOD OLD CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTENCE...AND MOVE AGATHA ON A GENERAL WEST NORTHWEST TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WHICH IS NOW ABOUT 17 KNOTS. OBVIOUSLY..IF THE STORM MOVES SOUTHWARD...AS SUGGESTED BY SOME MODELS...THE SST ARGUMENT IS NOT VALID AND THE STORM WILL PROBABLY SURVIVE LONGER. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 16.8N 117.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 17.8N 119.3W 50 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 18.5N 121.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 19.5N 122.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 20.0N 124.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 21.5N 127.4W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 06:00:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA38940; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 17:00:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8919938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA67214 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:59:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA24109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:59:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806132159.QAA24109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:59:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 501767fffabc0864e2304edeefed5a4b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 300 ABPZ20 KNHC 132159 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNINA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627412-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 04:51:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54616; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:49:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8919397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:48:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45252 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:47:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA23353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806132047.PAA23353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:47:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9449804308c378bcd7db45e30d237f48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 987 WTPZ21 KNHC 132048 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 2100Z SAT JUN 13 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.7W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT.......120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.7W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 114.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.7N 118.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.8N 120.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.9N 122.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627412-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 04:55:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54764; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:47:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8919392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:46:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60838 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:46:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA23344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806132046.PAA23344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 15:46:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f0729740a75e32d939f09736161f8bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 978 WTPZ41 KNHC 132046 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/18 KNOTS...REPRESENTING A 5 KNOT INCREASE FROM THE LAST ADVISORY. LBAR WAS THE ONLY MODEL TO PICK UP ON THIS ACCELERATION. SATELLITE-BASED FIXES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE 18Z AVIATION-BASED BAM TRACK MODELS CONTINUE TO INSIST ON A SOUTHWEST MOTION BY 24 HOURS. THE REMAINDER OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION...AND IS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS. THE PRIMARY DISCREPANCY IS WITH THE FORWARD SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL DECELERATION AS THE MEAN STEERING DIMINISHES...IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH LBAR. THE GFDL DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM BY 48 HOURS. SATELLITE-BASED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 3.5+ AND 3.0 RESPECTIVELY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 55 KNOTS. THE TAFB ANALYST NOTED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POSSIBLE WARM SPOT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS THE SYSTEM AT 55 KNOTS THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY WEAKENS IT AS IT MOVES INTO COOLER WATERS. THE 34 KNOT WIND RADII HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT BASED ON A 18Z SHIP DATA. ALL OTHER RADII REMAIN UNCHANGED. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 15.7N 115.7W 55 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 16.7N 118.0W 55 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 17.8N 120.6W 45 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 18.9N 122.6W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 20.0N 124.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 21.5N 126.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3553 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 00:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52512; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8917048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA52188 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131637.LAA20679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 11:37:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55ff0eade89002b94956a7cc7dd8e6ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 520 ABPZ20 KNHC 131636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNINA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:05:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA45808; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:05:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8916081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA55882 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:04:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA19753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:04:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131504.KAA19753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:04:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2610e85ac022861665c32eb073f24a8b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 WTPZ41 KNHC 131504 COR TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 CORRECTION...CHANGE STORM ONE TO AGATHA INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/13 AND THIS IS A CONSERVATIVE SPEED...THE SHORT TERM MOTION COULD BE 15 KNOTS OR EVEN HIGHER. THE TRACK MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLY DIVERGENT WITH THE NOGAPS AND LBAR SHOWING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THE GFDL AND UKMET TURNING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH CONSIDERABLE DECELERATION AFTER 24 HOURS. THE DECELERATION IS A STRATEGY OF CHOICE DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF DIRECTION OF MOTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM T NUMBERS 3.0 TO 3.5 AND THE WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS WITH SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING FOR 12 HOURS OR SO...AFTER WHICH COOLER SSTS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL FORECAST. THERE IS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER AND THE 34 KNOT WIND RADII ARE INCREASED TO 200 N MI IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE ON THIS BASIS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 14.8N 113.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 15.7N 115.2W 55 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 17.7N 119.0W 45 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 18.5N 120.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 19.0N 123.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627213-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 23:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA52362; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:01:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8916041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA52086 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:01:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA19724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131501.KAA19724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:01:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 365d747410988ee3100dacda64539dc5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 662 WTPZ21 KNHC 131502 COR TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z SAT JUN 13 1998 CORRECTION...CHANGE STORM ONE TO AGATHA TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.5W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 200SE 200SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 200SE 200SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.5W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 115.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 200SE 200SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.7N 119.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 113.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627216-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 22:47:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA50844; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:47:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8915846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:47:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25480 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:47:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:47:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131447.JAA19457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:47:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm One Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1192849e8a656f016276791982ff537 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 493 WTPZ41 KNHC 131446 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/13 AND THIS IS A CONSERVATIVE SPEED...THE SHORT TERM MOTION COULD BE 15 KNOTS OR EVEN HIGHER. THE TRACK MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLY DIVERGENT WITH THE NOGAPS AND LBAR SHOWING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THE GFDL AND UKMET TURNING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH CONSIDERABLE DECELERATION AFTER 24 HOURS. THE DECELERATION IS A STRATEGY OF CHOICE DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF DIRECTION OF MOTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM T NUMBERS 3.0 TO 3.5 AND THE WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS WITH SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING FOR 12 HOURS OR SO...AFTER WHICH COOLER SSTS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL FORECAST. THERE IS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER AND THE 34 KNOT WIND RADII ARE INCREASED TO 200 N MI IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE ON THIS BASIS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 14.8N 113.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 15.7N 115.2W 55 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 17.7N 119.0W 45 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 18.5N 120.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 19.0N 123.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3925 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627130-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 22:41:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA50810; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:41:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8915783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:41:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39016 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:41:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:41:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131441.JAA19433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:41:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm One Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9adbb0bb77f93138dbc5d04ea052f523 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 WTPZ41 KNHC 131441 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/13 AND THIS IS A CONSERVATIVE SPEED...THE SHORT TERM MOTION COULD BE 15 KNOTS OR EVEN HIGHER. THE TRACK MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLY DIVERGENT WITH THE NOGAPS AND LBAR SHOWING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THE GFDL AND UKMET TURNING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH CONSIDERABLE DECELERATION AFTER 24 HOURS. THE DECELERATION IS A STRATEGY OF CHOICE DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF DIRECTION OF MOTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM T NUMBERS 3.0 TO 3.5 AND THE WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS WITH SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING FOR 12 HOURS OR SO...AFTER WHICH COOLER SSTS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL FORECAST. THERE IS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER AND THE 34 KNOT WIND RADII ARE INCREASED TO 200 N MI IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE ON THIS BASIS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 14.8N 113.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 15.7N 115.2W 55 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 17.7N 119.0W 45 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 18.5N 120.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 19.0N 123.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627240-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 22:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA67120; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:40:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8915775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:40:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52494 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:40:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:40:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131440.JAA19420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:40:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm One Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 025095525eacc3587cf0f73030ec3fa1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 WTPZ21 KNHC 131440 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z SAT JUN 13 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.5W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 200SE 200SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 200SE 200SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.5W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 115.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 200SE 200SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.7N 119.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 113.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626416-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 18:26:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA50838; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 05:26:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8914030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 05:26:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA28292 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 05:26:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 05:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131026.FAA17013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 05:26:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c103416699ddcb9dcfb08a1ffd2a19f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 ABPZ20 KNHC 131023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM AGATHA LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627122-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:45:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18886; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:45:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8913156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:45:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44978 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:45:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:45:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130845.DAA15995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:45:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f8ad55afc9eee3557001bf5a19fac94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 WTPZ21 KNHC 130844 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0900Z SAT JUN 13 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 112.3W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 112.3W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.9N 113.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 118.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 112.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N 120.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.9N 124.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:44:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25934; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:44:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8913147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:44:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59696 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:44:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130844.DAA15989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 03:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Agatha Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3219e9055827f6dfbd9fd109e4c61810 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 200 WTPZ41 KNHC 130843 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 1998 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND BANDING FEATURES ARE INCREASING. T-NUMBERS RANGE FROM 2.5 AT SAB AND GLOBAL TO 3.0 AT TAFB. ALSO THE OUTFLOW PATTERN HAS IMPROVED ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM IN THE PAST 24-HOURS. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS BEING UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AGATHA...THE FIRST EASTERN PACIFIC STORM OF THE 1998 SEASON. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM UNTIL IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TRACK MODELS REMAIN IN DISAGREEMENT. HOWEVER...THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODELS TO BUILD TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM APPEARS CORRECT. THUS...THE OFFICIAL TRACK CONTINUES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 14.0N 112.3W 40 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 14.9N 113.9W 40 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 16.0N 116.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 17.2N 118.1W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 18.3N 120.2W 30 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 19.9N 124.1W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 12:19:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25590; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:18:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8911136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:18:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67298 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:18:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:18:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130418.XAA13171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:18:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 558bc5cff2e3363abbb6bed2f42964cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 231 ABPZ20 KNHC 130418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:32:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45124; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8909987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA55060 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130232.VAA11998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67a46ea8ab78bc489d2b48ae8cd0133e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 WTPZ21 KNHC 130233 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0300Z SAT JUN 13 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 110.6W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 110.6W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.5N 112.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 110.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 15.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 15.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:33:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45098; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8909982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59666 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130232.VAA11996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:32:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eea02ffbf3c5117422a0a6949d3b52bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 314 WTPZ41 KNHC 130232 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUN 12 1998 LATEST AVAILABLE VISIBLE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME SO MUCH BETTER DEFINED THAT I WAS TEMPTED TO UPGRADE THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...IR IMAGES REVEAL THAT THE CONVECTION IS WEAK AND CONFINED TO A CURVED BAND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. IF CONVECTION REDEVELOPS AND WRAPS AROUND THE CENTER DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY BE NAMED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY. WE ARE FORECASTING AN INCREASE OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. HOWEVER...SKILLS IN FORECASTING INTENSITY CHANGE ARE LIMITED. TRACK MODELS ARE IN DISAGREEMENT. THE NOGAPS AND THE UK MODELS ARE TAKING THE SYSTEM NORTHWESTWARD. STATE OF THE ART AND RELIABLE GFDL...AND THE AVN MODELS ARE MOVING THE SYSTEM SOUTHWARD. BAM AND STATISTICAL MODELS MOVE THE SYSTEM WESTWARD. IF WARNINGS HAD TO BE ISSUED UNDER THESE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE TRACK MODELS...IT WOULD REQUIRE TO ISSUE THEM FOR A RATHER LARGE AREA. SINCE GLOBAL MODELS ARE BUILDING A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTWARD...A CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST IS REASONABLE AS SUGGESTED BY CLIMATOLOGY AND BAM MODELS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 13.1N 110.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 13.5N 112.3W 35 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 14.5N 116.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 15.0N 118.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 15.0N 122.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628353-29019>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 05:59:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA44984; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:56:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8906720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA29842 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:56:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806122156.QAA08303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:56:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07cdbfd1d3d862d339ed99608bf09205 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 273 ABPZ20 KNHC 122153 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED ABOUT 570 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628352-29019>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 04:38:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63606; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:37:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8905910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:37:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA42830 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:37:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA06660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:37:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806122037.PAA06660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:37:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62ebf86bfcc5e606f325bdf94bc7ef39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 970 WTPZ21 KNHC 122037 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 2100Z FRI JUN 12 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 109.5W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 109.5W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.3N 111.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.6N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 12.9N 114.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 13.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 13.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628347-29019>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 04:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12228; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:36:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8905892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA50848 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:35:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA06645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806122035.PAA06645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a0cd0d33a83cd1847b12425603ddf79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 947 WTPZ41 KNHC 122036 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 12 1998 THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD WITH SOME BANDING FEATURES ATTEMPTING TO WRAP INTO THE CENTER. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THESE BANDS IS RATHER WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. THUS...THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY..IN AGREEMENT WITH TAFB AND SAB. WHILE THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY FOR THIS SYSTEM TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STATUS THE LIMITATION WILL BE THE COOLER WATERS NEAR 114W/115W DENOTED IN CURRENT IMAGERY AS THE LEADING EDGE OF A STRATOCUMULUS CLOUD DECK. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10 KNOTS. SATELLITE-BASED LOCATION FIXES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE 18Z FORECAST TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS CONSIDERABLE SCATTER. THE NOGAPS AND UKMET SOLUTION ARE TAKING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD WHILE THE AVIATION AND GFDI SHOW A SOUTHWEST MOTION. ONCE AGAIN A SPURIOUS VORTEX IN THE AVIATION INITIALIZATION EAST OF THE SYSTEM...11N97W.. IS THE LIKELY CULPRIT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS IN BETWEEN AND CALLS FOR A WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST AS THE STEERING CURRENTS BECOME WEAKER. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 12.1N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/0600Z 12.3N 111.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 13/1800Z 12.6N 113.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 14/0600Z 12.9N 114.8W 35 KTS 48HR VT 14/1800Z 13.0N 116.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 15/1800Z 13.5N 119.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-29014>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 00:13:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14704; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 11:12:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8902778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 11:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA57436 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 11:12:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 11:12:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806121612.LAA29576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 11:12:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c453c1f2af360f3f86caa76831b88062 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 734 ABPZ20 KNHC 121610 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 12 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627429-29018>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:11:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04684; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:10:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8901925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA44810 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:07:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:07:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806121507.KAA27703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:07:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53f7cbc58991c1c043deea0f041248c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 WTPZ41 KNHC 121458 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 12 1998 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E IS LOCATED ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER AND THE FIRST AVAILABLE VISIBLE IMAGES SUPPORT THIS LOCATION ESTIMATE. A BAND OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE REMAINS GOOD WHILE SATELLITE- DERIVED MID- TO UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC WINDS SHOW 20-30 KT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE SYSTEM. THIS MAY BE PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE INABILITY OF THE DEPRESSION TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE 00Z MRF MID- TO UPPER- LEVEL WIND FIELDS SHOW 20-30 KNOTS SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AS THE ANTICYCLONE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO MIGRATES WESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR THE SYSTEM REACHING TROPICAL STORM STATUS...35 KNOTS...BY 24 HOURS AND HELD CONSTANT THEREAFTER AS THE SYSTEM ENCROACHES ON COOLER WATERS. THE INITAL MOTION IS 280/09 KNOTS. SATELLITE-BASED POSITION FIXES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE OFFICAL FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES THE MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE 12Z FORECAST TRACK MODELS IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH BAMM/BAMD ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY SLOWER. GUINEY/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 11.8N 108.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/0000Z 12.0N 109.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/1200Z 12.3N 111.4W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/0000Z 12.7N 113.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 14/1200Z 13.0N 115.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 15/1200Z 14.0N 119.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4448 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627398-29018>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 23:09:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04800; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:09:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8901918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA43004 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:06:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:06:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806121506.KAA27691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:06:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21321015a1e9cb59cd9d54d41428cb81 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 WTPZ21 KNHC 121459 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z FRI JUN 12 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 108.2W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 108.2W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 107.8W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.0N 109.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.3N 111.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.7N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 108.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 13.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 14.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-28885>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 12:21:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA14692; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 23:20:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8898288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 23:19:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA55272 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 23:19:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 23:19:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120419.XAA20026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 23:19:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e5ca539de8bbc1f41b3b8f5c37e05fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 845 ABPZ20 KNHC 120419 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626311-28885>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 11:16:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA45968; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:16:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8897567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:15:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA62840 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:15:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:15:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120315.WAA18954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:15:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d888fb1a1a1effec61310857f423789f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 WTPZ21 KNHC 120316 COR TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0300Z FRI JUN 12 1998 ...COR FOR GUSTS AT 36H 13/1200Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 106.3W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 106.3W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 106.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 13.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 14.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-28885>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:27:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62046; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:27:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8897282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA67138 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120226.VAA18419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4159e9665b011045f9347412c1ef7d1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 WTPZ41 KNHC 120226 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUN 11 1998 LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS VERY BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED. LETS FACE IT...THE CENTER CAN BE LOCATED ANYWHERE WITHIN A RADIUS OF 100 N MI. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND THE CONVECTION IS SHAPELESS MEANING THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CONTINUES DISORGANIZED. SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST MODEL HAS ONLY A MODEST STRENGTHENING...THE GFDL PRACTICALLY DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM BY 72 HOURS OR SO. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN BETWEEN AND CALLS FOR 50 KNOT WINDS...BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES COOLER WATERS. THIS IS A LITTLE BIT LESS THAN INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING AIMLESSLY...POSSIBLY DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL POSITION. MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT A RIDGE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS THE CURRENT MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. THIS PATTERN SHOULD KEEP THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A GENERAL WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS AS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE GFDL. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 12.0N 106.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 12.0N 107.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/0000Z 12.0N 109.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 13/1200Z 12.5N 111.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 13.0N 114.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 14.5N 119.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626348-28885>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:26:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62936; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8897264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62144 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120226.VAA18409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 21:26:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33411f7b7d2c38e0d072bc968fc97f11 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 788 WTPZ21 KNHC 120226 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 0300Z FRI JUN 12 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 106.3W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 106.3W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 106.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 13.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 14.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628338-20441>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 05:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52530; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 16:57:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8895016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 16:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA46612 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 16:57:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 16:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806112157.QAA14806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 16:57:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7a7c31a0029b487582f36ebd0b77c3d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 ABPZ20 KNHC 112156 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628329-20436>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 04:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54260; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 15:30:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8894101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 15:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62930 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 15:30:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 15:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806112030.PAA12671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 15:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6be00279aac9d994c0bf325ac4fc74d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 497 WTPZ21 KNHC 112030 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 2100Z THU JUN 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 106.6W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 106.6W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 12.8N 108.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.3N 110.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.8N 112.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 106.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 14.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N 120.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628150-15298>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 01:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA57468; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 12:48:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8892202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 12:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA59436 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 12:46:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 12:46:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111746.MAA07827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 12:46:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df84a09e50bf1a931ad46519472d2d21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 146 ABPZ20 KNHC 111026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ON A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628132-15297>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:47:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19492; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8890257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA54770 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111446.JAA03111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1efd78b2d20f4559e71a073d4da5b292 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 741 WTPZ21 KNHC 111446 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0198 1500Z THU JUN 11 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 105.0W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 105.0W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 104.5W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 13.2N 106.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.8N 108.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.5N 111.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 105.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628070-15298>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:46:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA59834; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8890246 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14746 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111446.JAA03096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 09:46:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53fe310cdb3803cfe55e542081507f7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 740 WTPZ41 KNHC 111445 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUN 11 1998 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WE HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER...ALTHOUGH STILL NOT WELL- DEFINED...IS NOW SUFFICIENTLY INVOLVED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION TO WARRANT UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO DEPRESSION STATUS. THE VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM IS FAIRLY LIGHT ALTHOUGH THE OUTFLOW IS INHIBITED OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE FORECAST INTENSIFICATION WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED BY COOLER SST LATER IN THE PERIOD. SATELLITE-BASED CENTER FIXES OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS SHOW CONSIDERABLE SCATTER. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS COMPLICATED BY THE AVIATION MODEL INITIALIZATION OF A SPURIOUS VORTEX TO THE EAST OF THE DEPRESSION. THIS VORTEX MAY BE PRODUCING A LEFTWARD BIAS IN THE MODEL FORECASTS...MOST OF WHICH RELY ON THE AVIATION MODEL FIELDS IN ONE WAY OR ANOTHER. MEANWHILE NOGAPS SEEMS TO HAVE A MORE REALISTIC INITIALIZATION AND SHOWS A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. THIS APPEARS MORE REASONABLE GIVEN THE LARGE MID- TO UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE OPTIONS AND LEANS TOWARD THE NOGAPS SOLUTION. GUINEY/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 12.7N 105.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 13.2N 106.7W 35 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 13.8N 108.8W 45 KTS 36HR VT 13/0000Z 14.5N 111.4W 55 KTS 48HR VT 13/1200Z 15.5N 114.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 119.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627798-15299>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 18:29:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13210; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 05:28:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8887726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 05:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49488 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 05:27:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA28646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 05:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111027.FAA28646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 05:27:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfdabe2ac2406564dee0798cff70d2b6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 761 ABPZ20 KNHC 111026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 11 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ON A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626527-21531>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 11:26:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18920; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 22:25:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8884721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 22:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA52892 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 22:24:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 22:24:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806110324.WAA24126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 22:24:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccc2ec422144580eab8409fe3c46360a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 ABPZ20 KNHC 110321 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS ORGANIZED...HOWEVER...THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS VERY LIMITED AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628332-10440>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 06:17:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA63582; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:16:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8880945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:16:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA52036 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:16:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA19909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:16:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806102216.RAA19909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:16:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea47e1c37b1ac1cd7d8ba9fa3b849375 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 ABPZ20 KNHC 102208 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627795-10441>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 00:34:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA66116; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:34:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8875470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA33836 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:34:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806101634.LAA09827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:34:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac11efc4bd65cbb0059fca6f403560dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 ABPZ20 KNHC 101632 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER-ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3479 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627361-10439>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:06:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23772; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:45:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52456 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:43:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100843.DAA01915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:43:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22ea972a69b4dd5aae9ae7ec43a49943 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 983 ABPZ20 KNHC 100842 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT WED JUN 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BRAOD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3245 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627373-7494>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 16:58:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60794; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:41:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:41:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59240 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:41:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:41:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100841.DAA01911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 03:41:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e444d9c28cfc04d34ea938b4c7b5b9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 952 ABPZ20 KNHC 100840 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT WED JUN 10 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WESS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1433 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627121-10072>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:58:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA13220; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 22:44:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8868179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 22:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44178 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 22:44:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 22:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100344.WAA29450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 22:44:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 504bcd58ad3e5af72a79f2ccfe418a1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 299 ABPZ20 KNHC 100343 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-10069>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 07:29:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA36070; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:21:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8861416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:21:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA54828 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:20:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:20:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806092220.RAA25589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:20:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b4b42a03b8253e49ad8898145c671e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 323 ABPZ20 KNHC 092218 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628398-8353>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 05:11:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57386; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 15:55:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8857121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 15:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA45064 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:44:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091644.LAA17085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 11:44:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8766b3e0b97f6af353ba9ac2722e440 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 133 ABPZ20 KNHC 091642 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD...BUT DISORGANIZED...AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT... IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-8352>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:52:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAB14948; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:33:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8856232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 04:21:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54826 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:39:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:39:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090839.DAA09545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:39:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a889125fb9ee9c20c1e19904281b4c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 832 ABPZ20 KNHC 090838 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 9 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2099 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628332-8348>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 05:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA14764; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:44:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8858949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:44:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA14912 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:27:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:27:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090327.WAA07158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:27:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccdeeca602d45b0e4eb7383e7f717899 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 082 ABPZ20 KNHC 090325 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625938-8352>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 06:55:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39062; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:48:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8854244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA10344 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:48:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806082248.RAA04368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:48:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d2314a5dbc84bdf9a8e457fe0f1a6a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 ABPZ20 KNHC 082235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628044-5521>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:39:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA54714; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 11:26:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8850104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 11:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA49522 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 11:26:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 11:26:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806081626.LAA24383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 11:26:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab9583ef31c5aee3abdcbd3194471cc9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 ABPZ20 KNHC 081625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627628-28937>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:48:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA23370; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:41:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8846354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA62756 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:41:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA16983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:41:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080941.EAA16983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:41:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e1c0c677a93ca5073b4bd600b900bf8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 885 ABPZ20 KNHC 080940 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 8 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626488-28936>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 11:29:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA61120; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:22:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8844463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:21:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA23462 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:21:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:21:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080321.WAA14207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:21:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd5f1b74fac9d3f2b7933e97d89f76b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 ABPZ20 KNHC 080320 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627931-11324>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 06:20:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA24736; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 17:14:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8841230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 17:14:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA23688 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 17:14:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 17:14:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806072214.RAA11548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 17:14:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4ebfc7b5e0aa81b143f048be4c24ab5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 646 ABPZ20 KNHC 072209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2479 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627937-11328>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 01:05:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34486; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 12:00:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8839252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 12:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA26012 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 12:00:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 12:00:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071700.MAA09124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 12:00:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd1fb12a383818a4f0d4866a5cecc356 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 ABPZ20 KNHC 071658 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-11329>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 18:37:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA25900; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 05:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8837196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 05:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA17684 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 05:31:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA06559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 05:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071031.FAA06559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 05:31:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a96f064be4458b23cf4b0b2c659926f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 758 ABPZ20 KNHC 071030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 7 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627161-11324>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 11:55:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19680; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:49:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8835431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA14792 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:49:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:49:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070349.WAA03761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:49:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e95ab22c6d54e75d2ca97c40d3157ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 673 ABPZ20 KNHC 070347 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4588 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-11324>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 06:51:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA21694; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:47:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8833683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:47:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA22182 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:47:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806062247.RAA01260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0303d693d9b5db4c58b92c7cc02d5240 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 ABPZ20 KNHC 062246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627354-13998>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:58:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA49240; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 11:54:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8831629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 11:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA50750 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 11:54:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 11:54:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061654.LAA27828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 11:54:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1eec61705de2f60aa119e3481a06a414 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 860 ABPZ20 KNHC 061651 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED WHILE MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626902-14005>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 19:20:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA55000; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 06:16:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8829611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 06:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA10432 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 06:16:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA24937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 06:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061116.GAA24937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 06:16:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cdbb77724c23c1daf164fffe7777857 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 522 ABPZ20 KNHC 061112 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 6 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-14005>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 11:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA68380; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 22:48:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8827446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 22:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA68354 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 22:48:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 22:48:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060348.WAA21231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 22:48:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c158337aac3f348a3a8a94944722ca3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 595 ABPZ20 KNHC 060346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3476 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-7722>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 06:27:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA59220; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 17:18:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8824623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 17:17:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA55022 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 17:17:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA17352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 17:17:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806052217.RAA17352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 17:17:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae5da12db409f3eae719af217dd13e39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 755 ABPZ20 KNHC 052211 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS WITHIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2379 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-7724>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:00:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22730; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:51:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8821456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21936 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:51:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051651.LAA07035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:51:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53693cd4bcf25965f59dc7addae3ea9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 ABPZ20 KNHC 051649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS WITHIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-7718>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 18:23:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA21922; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 05:19:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 05:18:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA16732 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 05:18:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA27840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 05:18:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051018.FAA27840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 05:18:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59c43022bf55f67e531b45a1dae0bcc5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 ABPZ20 KNHC 051012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 5 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-7718>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 12:23:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04142; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:14:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8815674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:13:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA56086 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:13:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050413.XAA24430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:13:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28ac19800d178893a4e7d65dcf6f81ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 862 ABPZ20 KNHC 050407 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 12:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52430; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:07:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8815648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:07:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22194 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:07:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050407.XAA24358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 23:07:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f674fa972530ba88903beddc4e24ab4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 ABPZ20 KNHC 050402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625890-7718>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 07:08:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA66144; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 18:02:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8812318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 18:02:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA04158 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 18:02:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA20443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 18:02:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806042302.SAA20443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 18:02:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e77bd066ec99a448c94351550640ea31 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 ABPZ20 KNHC 042301 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627581-18589>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA68490; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 11:43:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8990882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 11:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA59404 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 11:42:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 11:42:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806041642.LAA10201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 11:42:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0499b208b6e9bd03d1712679fa70880 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 ABPZ20 KNHC 041643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 19:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA61520; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 06:14:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 06:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA21558 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 06:14:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA02482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 06:14:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806041114.GAA02482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 06:14:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38ae433849418a455b379b2ef570a05d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 631 ABPZ20 KNHC 041111 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 4 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 12:07:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA10408; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 23:01:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8984430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 23:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25988 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 23:01:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 23:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040401.XAA28634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 23:01:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96e30fe3cdfd6054e8570282d4760b13 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 820 ABPZ20 KNHC 040402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-23110>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 06:08:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA60990; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:01:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8980955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA59170 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:01:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA24411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806032201.RAA24411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:01:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1351cdb284eeb7234435b7687a4c220 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 734 ABPZ20 KNHC 032201 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627473-23109>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:04:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA41170; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 11:57:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8977691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 11:57:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA56244 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 11:57:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 11:57:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031657.LAA10458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 11:57:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d23b6d7c8c6172b28bef44211d05ba5f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 845 ABPZ20 KNHC 031658 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627135-23109>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 18:13:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA55994; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:07:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8972559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:07:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA57762 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:07:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:07:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031007.FAA00299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:07:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b416f636e72257e86d5a409391de3d0a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 314 ABPZ20 KNHC 031006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 3 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626996-23109>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 12:12:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45000; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 23:00:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 23:00:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA47276 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 23:00:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 23:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806030400.XAA27281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 23:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1baf5d27b00cbbf0a2bd0205c9450a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 ABPZ20 KNHC 030401 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626519-23104>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 07:02:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA50700; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 17:55:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8965656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 17:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA55002 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 17:55:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA24067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 17:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806022255.RAA24067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 17:55:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2fd210586f595b52b78ed2bd31828c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 ABPZ20 KNHC 022254 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629804-14203>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:01:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA22594; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:55:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8960669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22568 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806021655.LAA16393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:55:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf04c3715667d7f4222f415474a6378a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 246 ABPZ20 KNHC 021654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629874-14205>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 18:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA14782; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 05:39:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8955496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 05:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA26788 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 05:39:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA09625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 05:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806021039.FAA09625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 05:39:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c1ff0eda620d9a0baab65ad40942f18 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 207 ABPZ20 KNHC 021038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 2 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629797-6629>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 12:04:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA22180; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:54:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8953239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45194 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:54:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806020354.WAA06799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:54:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d48e7076e0f573fe38f6649f1cff7e87 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 847 ABPZ20 KNHC 020353 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625983-6632>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 06:46:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA22012; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 17:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8949483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 17:36:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA59358 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 17:36:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 17:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806012236.RAA04328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 17:36:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54a645c6e10b907c4986120edfe20f7f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 823 ABPZ20 KNHC 012235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON JUN 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627491-17252>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 00:09:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA34314; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:02:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8943585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA10462 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:02:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011602.LAA25613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:02:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0826092c9efbb15973bfb70015e6837 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 742 ABPZ20 KNHC 011602 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2558 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629609-17255>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 18:56:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA10278; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 05:51:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 05:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA57614 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 05:51:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA19787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 05:51:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011051.FAA19787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 05:51:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66321d03e6739aacfced30302c9de4e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 ABPZ20 KNHC 011049 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 1 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2611 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629498-17255>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA62896; Sun, 31 May 1998 22:41:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 22:40:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA16892 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 22:39:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 22:39:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010339.WAA16674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 22:39:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3506246c1f24550020856ec884c1e6e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 258 ABPZ20 KNHC 010339 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN MAY 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4673 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625915-17256>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 06:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA29874; Sun, 31 May 1998 17:34:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8929154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 17:34:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA24674 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 17:34:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA13343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 17:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805312234.RAA13343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 17:34:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d652bdce79fbc523dc6abb1e0f571a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 648 ABPZ20 KNHC 312233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN MAY 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629032-23530>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:36:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA50868; Sun, 31 May 1998 11:32:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8924419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 11:31:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA47258 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 11:31:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 11:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805311631.LAA09858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 11:31:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0aa3a15921661e9d80e75ffa6f3d533a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 ABPZ20 KNHC 311632 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN MAY 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628848-23533>; Sun, 31 May 1998 18:07:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA22116; Sun, 31 May 1998 05:03:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8921274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 05:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA60970 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 05:01:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 05:01:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805311001.FAA07364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 05:01:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62bfa0c3194f9a23a539d373440b46db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 ABPZ20 KNHC 311002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN MAY 31 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-23532>; Sun, 31 May 1998 11:36:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA22108; Sat, 30 May 1998 22:31:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8918122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 22:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA23624 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 22:29:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 22:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805310329.WAA04595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 22:29:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1f744cb6e211f50ba3391f51c8a1b4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 605 ABPZ20 KNHC 310329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT MAY 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625919-23533>; Sun, 31 May 1998 06:53:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA45180; Sat, 30 May 1998 17:47:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8915674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 17:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA47198 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 17:47:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 17:47:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805302247.RAA02868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 17:47:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f2eb9394d5ee1c1903670ceb43aa16c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 753 ABPZ20 KNHC 302247 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT MAY 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-9828>; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:31:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA49642; Sat, 30 May 1998 11:26:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8912779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 11:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA61648 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 11:26:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 11:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805301626.LAA00246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 11:26:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 914b8b9bdcbc3bf3a5fc26064324ee36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 ABPZ20 KNHC 301626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT MAY 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626973-9828>; Sat, 30 May 1998 18:19:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA64426; Sat, 30 May 1998 05:15:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8910024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 05:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59274 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 05:15:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA28035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 05:14:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805301014.FAA28035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 05:14:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61fcfd2b7f7dca217bf4757cdd22748b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 420 ABPZ20 KNHC 301010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT MAY 30 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629267-9823>; Sat, 30 May 1998 11:33:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44066; Fri, 29 May 1998 22:28:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8907654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 22:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA55238 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 22:26:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 22:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805300326.WAA25460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 22:26:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e6e2a55948cd644ac4516dcbb894b2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 242 ABPZ20 KNHC 300324 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI MAY 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629307-9823>; Sat, 30 May 1998 07:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA63640; Fri, 29 May 1998 17:28:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8904571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 17:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA22142 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 17:28:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 17:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805292228.RAA23364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 17:28:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86b03b93fe4e10a455623557aa8d6db5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 ABPZ20 KNHC 292227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI MAY 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1711 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628143-364>; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA47142; Fri, 29 May 1998 11:48:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8899526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 11:48:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA61686 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 11:48:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 11:48:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805291648.LAA16293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 11:48:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b2a2fc1e43112a38685fe6a048c6851 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 ABPZ20 KNHC 291647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI MAY 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627526-363>; Fri, 29 May 1998 19:01:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAB21896; Fri, 29 May 1998 05:55:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8895338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 05:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47164 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 05:55:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA09816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 05:54:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805291054.FAA09816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 05:54:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e007565c63bc9f0f8a3abe2524dcaada Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 964 ABPZ20 KNHC 291053 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI MAY 29 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1111 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-358>; Fri, 29 May 1998 11:35:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29930; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:29:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8892240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39120 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:29:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 22:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805290329.WAA06503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 22:29:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3b760f9a96316d8634e54735ac35333 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 127 ABPZ20 KNHC 290328 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU MAY 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626189-358>; Fri, 29 May 1998 06:52:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA15048; Thu, 28 May 1998 17:42:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8889982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 17:42:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA55212 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 17:42:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 17:42:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805282242.RAA04296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 17:42:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e02a69538aa5586ba3ea80ed647edbc2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 802 ABPZ20 KNHC 282241 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU MAY 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2932 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627986-872>; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA16858; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:31:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8886219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA61094 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:30:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281630.LAA26426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 11:30:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6753d7093b5ab6fc7c0419378af65467 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 ABPZ20 KNHC 281631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU MAY 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627932-873>; Thu, 28 May 1998 18:19:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA52422; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:14:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8881650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA22188 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:14:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA20750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 05:14:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805281014.FAA20750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 05:14:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 421515d9b4ed91ffe582dc7a84ab52b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 433 ABPZ20 KNHC 281011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU MAY 28 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626732-16603>; Thu, 28 May 1998 11:31:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA26782; Wed, 27 May 1998 22:26:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8878790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 22:26:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56020 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 22:24:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 22:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805280324.WAA17834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 22:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6384f338efc17422909f6887c45afb8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 068 ABPZ20 KNHC 280323 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED MAY 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2262 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625931-16601>; Thu, 28 May 1998 06:54:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA41030; Wed, 27 May 1998 17:46:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8874831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 17:46:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA10276 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 17:46:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 17:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805272246.RAA15453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 17:46:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b566f3afa2baddea6e04322bfa2acf30 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 587 ABPZ20 KNHC 272244 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED MAY 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1245 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627844-26898>; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:25:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA60858; Wed, 27 May 1998 11:20:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8868799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 11:20:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA55202 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 11:20:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 11:20:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805271620.LAA07565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 11:20:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72146ddc4cc98281659e4de2447f34e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 252 ABPZ20 KNHC 271619 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED MAY 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-26896>; Wed, 27 May 1998 20:03:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA23490; Wed, 27 May 1998 06:59:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8865297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 06:59:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA66208 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 06:59:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA02591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 06:59:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805271159.GAA02591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 06:59:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d60c4b7f42825a69a48463cb3b38a01a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 366 ABPZ20 KNHC 271013 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED MAY 27 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1830 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626665-26896>; Wed, 27 May 1998 11:39:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54646; Tue, 26 May 1998 22:32:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8861076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 22:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA42842 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 22:31:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 22:31:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805270331.WAA29119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 22:31:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f962e407c0295db794b2f339c7a28ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 ABPZ20 KNHC 270331 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:07:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625874-26891>; Wed, 27 May 1998 06:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA33810; Tue, 26 May 1998 17:50:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8857104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 17:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA49384 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 17:50:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 17:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805262250.RAA26071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 17:50:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3243d9d66b59afb16a5b33518078ba66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 535 ABPZ20 KNHC 262249 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed May 27 00:47:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3880 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-4437>; Wed, 27 May 1998 00:04:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA21884; Tue, 26 May 1998 10:59:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8850720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 10:57:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA23530 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 10:57:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA17691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 10:57:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805261557.KAA17691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 10:57:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b53ce4fd7cbf297b13cd120f7364c1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 ABPZ20 KNHC 261557 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE MAY 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:48:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3826 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-4441>; Tue, 26 May 1998 18:07:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA33846; Tue, 26 May 1998 05:02:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8847464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 05:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA60392 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 05:01:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 05:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805261001.FAA12960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 05:01:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75e472018b4f107b96f9e1155b4e3275 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 361 ABPZ20 KNHC 261000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE MAY 26 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:48:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626390-4443>; Tue, 26 May 1998 11:47:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39612; Mon, 25 May 1998 22:40:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8845149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 22:40:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA33936 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 22:40:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 22:40:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805260340.WAA10565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 22:40:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8dceb9382a7819eeeecac458f31db93f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 545 ABPZ20 KNHC 260340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON MAY 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1981 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626038-4437>; Tue, 26 May 1998 07:08:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA11020; Mon, 25 May 1998 17:30:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8841844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 17:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA56168 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 17:29:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA08463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 17:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805252229.RAA08463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 17:29:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a63c5925f51e1e65b4ffaa3d70a5f384 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 ABPZ20 KNHC 252227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON MAY 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627384-8749>; Tue, 26 May 1998 00:51:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA32926; Mon, 25 May 1998 11:46:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8838991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 11:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA50818 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 11:46:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 11:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805251646.LAA06074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 11:46:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1331ac6c03673e63714233a342de468 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 ABPZ20 KNHC 251644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON MAY 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2670 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627052-8751>; Mon, 25 May 1998 18:20:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA46694; Mon, 25 May 1998 05:16:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8836383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 05:15:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA23620 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 05:15:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA03551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 05:15:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805251015.FAA03551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 05:15:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1568c4dc6f31a92184ac4d1d5c28b819 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 ABPZ20 KNHC 251013 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON MAY 25 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2626 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626415-8749>; Mon, 25 May 1998 12:17:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA46732; Sun, 24 May 1998 23:13:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8834243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 23:13:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18786 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 23:13:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 23:12:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805250412.XAA00970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 23:12:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb2c2f0564a64833c079c458ea30c8ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 ABPZ20 KNHC 250407 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625923-8750>; Mon, 25 May 1998 07:08:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA21920; Sun, 24 May 1998 17:27:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8831330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 17:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA52872 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 17:27:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 17:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805242227.RAA28539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 17:27:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d465f99916c495e8fc0d003c9cf4283 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 043 ABPZ20 KNHC 242224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2356 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626731-4705>; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:23:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA68478; Sun, 24 May 1998 11:18:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8829209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 11:18:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21860 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 11:18:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 11:18:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805241618.LAA26668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 11:18:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4e2681bee920bc3b88506f85c0fda76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 ABPZ20 KNHC 241617 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626592-4705>; Sun, 24 May 1998 18:03:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59884; Sun, 24 May 1998 04:59:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8827587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 04:58:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52884 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 04:58:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 04:58:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805240958.EAA25009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 04:58:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e5ac8c3b68087f699a557d5c96b77b6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 869 ABPZ20 KNHC 240956 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN MAY 24 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626158-4708>; Sun, 24 May 1998 11:08:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA68598; Sat, 23 May 1998 22:02:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8825159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 22:02:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA54748 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 22:02:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA22244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 22:02:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805240302.WAA22244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 22:02:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44bf7ebaa8ab6fede15e5aa1ca1ad8e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 ABPZ20 KNHC 240300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627801-22816>; Sun, 24 May 1998 06:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA62956; Sat, 23 May 1998 17:11:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8823181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 17:11:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA39626 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 17:11:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 17:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805232211.RAA20462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 17:11:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1f36793d49be8d24615073abd7148b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 ABPZ20 KNHC 232206 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627793-22820>; Sun, 24 May 1998 01:05:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26676; Sat, 23 May 1998 11:55:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8821289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 11:55:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA50710 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 11:55:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA18667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 11:55:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805231655.LAA18667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 11:55:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fd8898198079f54e9737d6caebc5e43 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 ABPZ20 KNHC 231653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627356-22819>; Sat, 23 May 1998 18:38:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA18740; Sat, 23 May 1998 05:26:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8818794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 05:26:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA68378 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 05:26:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 05:26:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805231026.FAA16866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 05:26:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5c05e43e98def0110311c541e2a897f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 607 ABPZ20 KNHC 231023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627059-22820>; Sat, 23 May 1998 11:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44940; Fri, 22 May 1998 22:05:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8815473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 22:05:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA46702 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 22:05:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 22:05:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805230305.WAA14207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 22:05:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c321bc697235c763879677f4c02bd98b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 607 ABPZ20 KNHC 230302 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1072 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627750-7514>; Sat, 23 May 1998 06:28:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA19710; Fri, 22 May 1998 17:21:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8812616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 17:20:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA50908 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 17:20:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 17:20:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805222220.RAA12356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 17:20:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f28dc212a444361e7a7c80f83f5c330e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 697 ABPZ20 KNHC 222219 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER LEVEL WINDS NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627609-7514>; Sat, 23 May 1998 00:51:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26012; Fri, 22 May 1998 11:46:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8808120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 11:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAB39550 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 11:46:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 11:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805221646.LAA06523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 11:46:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ab2681af71bf8853b2f22d3a428e6c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 ABPZ20 KNHC 221644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI MAY 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GUINEY/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-7513>; Fri, 22 May 1998 18:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA44842; Fri, 22 May 1998 05:01:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8802664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 05:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA25866 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 05:01:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA00454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 05:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805221001.FAA00454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 05:01:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ea616e9b81ec9575cffe06b7f7468f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 670 ABPZ20 KNHC 221000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI MAY 22 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2798 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627016-7514>; Fri, 22 May 1998 12:17:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA66160; Thu, 21 May 1998 23:06:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8799991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 23:05:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39506 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 23:05:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 23:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805220405.XAA27493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 23:05:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58e2c9f4bfd7d0d308593aa7f88fb970 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 550 ABPZ20 KNHC 220402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU MAY 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625906-7513>; Fri, 22 May 1998 06:52:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA68444; Thu, 21 May 1998 17:42:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8796329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 17:42:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA64322 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 17:42:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 17:42:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805212242.RAA23885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 17:42:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe547fd66eca723ef4f8a057d171ee64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 898 ABPZ20 KNHC 212240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU MAY 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627689-9196>; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:52:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA43616; Thu, 21 May 1998 11:47:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8791541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 11:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19502 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 11:47:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 11:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805211647.LAA16919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 11:47:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04797c6a5bf2b1114c030938383d878b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 ABPZ20 KNHC 211645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU MAY 21 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4318 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626602-9195>; Thu, 21 May 1998 12:08:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04308; Wed, 20 May 1998 23:01:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8784403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 23:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA51386 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 23:00:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 23:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805210400.XAA08917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 23:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66bff033c8495bc491734923d97d3f69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 472 ABPZ20 KNHC 210400 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED MAY 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625869-17398>; Thu, 21 May 1998 06:50:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA13630; Wed, 20 May 1998 17:39:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8780396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 17:39:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA15396 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 17:39:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 17:39:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805202239.RAA06005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 17:39:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35003dcb68a73832dd4ccd2cf04c0940 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 ABPZ20 KNHC 202237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED MAY 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628395-21198>; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:45:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17442; Wed, 20 May 1998 12:40:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8776263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 12:39:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA35240 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 12:39:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 12:39:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805201739.MAA00151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 12:39:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea67d15470e713f51cf7113a442d13ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 133 ABPZ20 KNHC 201738 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED MAY 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-21198>; Wed, 20 May 1998 18:45:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA27856; Wed, 20 May 1998 05:41:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8769517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 05:41:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA14966 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 05:40:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 05:40:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805201040.FAA22425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 05:40:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ebd47000e7531f2aa15b804023f281a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 ABPZ20 KNHC 201040 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED MAY 20 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3508 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626637-21194>; Wed, 20 May 1998 11:54:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA11190; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:49:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8766711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA15180 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:46:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 22:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200346.WAA19410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 22:46:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3994fc8a5ac5058c1185d15fe20ea751 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 ABPZ20 KNHC 200344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE MAY 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2968 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625968-21200>; Wed, 20 May 1998 07:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA04356; Tue, 19 May 1998 18:05:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8763837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 18:05:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA04564 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 18:05:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA16861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 18:05:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805192305.SAA16861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 18:05:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf5d673253c185af00a759be001e3d62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABPZ20 KNHC 192301 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE MAY 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628365-25635>; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA46484; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:44:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8759343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA15438 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:43:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805191643.LAA09198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 11:43:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c767a86669298c993d614f0525f79c8a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 257 ABPZ20 KNHC 191642 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE MAY 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GUINEY/MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628221-25641>; Tue, 19 May 1998 17:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA14934; Tue, 19 May 1998 04:35:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8755622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 04:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA27708 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 04:35:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 04:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190935.EAA03439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 04:35:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c178522bfd33508477b3e6940d6d5ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 ABPZ20 KNHC 190934 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE MAY 19 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628120-25638>; Tue, 19 May 1998 11:36:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA26838; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:27:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8753456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26812 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:27:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 22:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190327.WAA01048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 22:27:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bce37ee2d0bc1a8ac016029708c30d53 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 ABPZ20 KNHC 190326 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON MAY 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3712 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-25639>; Tue, 19 May 1998 07:03:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA25552; Mon, 18 May 1998 17:55:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8751755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 17:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA39588 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 17:55:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 17:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805182255.RAA28829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 17:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef7162f346e0fa59f3f2bb8860b2231e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 268 ABPZ20 KNHC 182253 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON MAY 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628041-26351>; Tue, 19 May 1998 01:02:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA28782; Mon, 18 May 1998 11:57:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8748096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 11:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA14932 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 11:56:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 11:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805181656.LAA22233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 11:56:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0b20ce51c0111ce30a32bc2ee76e47d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 563 ABPZ20 KNHC 181654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON MAY 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1538 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627675-26356>; Mon, 18 May 1998 17:37:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAB49690; Mon, 18 May 1998 04:32:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8744823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 04:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17666 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 04:32:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA16044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 04:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180932.EAA16044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 04:32:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdebbd3396091fe5f748236908aff88d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 200 ABPZ20 KNHC 180930 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON MAY 18 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628013-26351>; Mon, 18 May 1998 11:58:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39444; Sun, 17 May 1998 22:46:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8743127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 22:46:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA31484 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 22:46:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 22:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180346.WAA13995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 22:46:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b9ac3bebfd8b0c543892fdaa1722ef4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 923 ABPZ20 KNHC 180344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN MAY 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-26351>; Mon, 18 May 1998 07:16:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39584; Sun, 17 May 1998 17:34:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8740567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 17:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA07040 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 17:34:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 17:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805172234.RAA11661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 17:34:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6816a4f7797d3a11667235c03fb9d81 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 ABPZ20 KNHC 172231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN MAY 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627138-18317>; Sun, 17 May 1998 18:35:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA47482; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:30:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8736795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15458 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:30:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 05:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805171030.FAA07595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 05:30:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5191dbdae0a694df9cdc90a148fd296 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 557 ABPZ20 KNHC 171028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN MAY 17 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626347-18314>; Sun, 17 May 1998 11:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29340; Sat, 16 May 1998 22:48:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8735016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 22:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA17794 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 22:48:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 22:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805170348.WAA05364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 22:48:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd5bdf25c7e343a7adf86ee8b40499c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 ABPZ20 KNHC 170346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT MAY 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625949-18319>; Sun, 17 May 1998 06:55:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA27712; Sat, 16 May 1998 17:45:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8733410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 17:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAB35108 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 17:45:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 17:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805162245.RAA03757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 17:45:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f22d99bf52d3600f471407d99ff02b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 179 ABPZ20 KNHC 162242 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT MAY 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3280 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627584-1771>; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:45:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA17728; Sat, 16 May 1998 11:40:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8731471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 11:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA35108 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 11:40:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA01639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 11:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805161640.LAA01639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 11:40:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcd317991ef626d4a5eba5dd0efd1027 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 550 ABPZ20 KNHC 161637 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT MAY 16 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-1773>; Sat, 16 May 1998 11:59:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39780; Fri, 15 May 1998 22:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8726670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 22:54:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA47426 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 22:54:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 22:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805160354.WAA26741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 22:54:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 137e3a404f3ea5d9199cd3d58d846bc2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 435 ABPZ20 KNHC 160353 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI MAY 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE PICTURES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW NO ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627989-855>; Sat, 16 May 1998 06:31:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA34076; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:25:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8723211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA29176 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:25:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 17:25:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805152225.RAA23842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 17:25:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cff936b172443f3616df1de46204e30f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 636 ABPZ20 KNHC 152222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI MAY 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC SEASON BEGINS...SATELLITE PICTURES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW NO ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3547 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627776-855>; Sat, 16 May 1998 00:53:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA15490; Fri, 15 May 1998 11:46:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8719229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 11:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24682 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 11:46:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 11:46:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805151646.LAA17821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 11:46:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ee9e84cd818003b187594489297d8bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 ABPZ20 KNHC 151644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI MAY 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY BEGINS TODAY AND ENDS NOVEMBER 30TH. DURING THE SEASON...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL ISSUE A TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK AT 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. THE OUTLOOK WILL BRIEFLY DESCRIBE DISTURBED WEATHER AREAS AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. IT ALSO WILL LIST TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR WHICH ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED. IN AN AVERAGE SEASON...THERE ARE 16 TROPICAL STORMS OF WHICH 9 REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY. LAST YEARS TOTALS WERE NEAR AVERAGE ...WITH 17 TROPICAL STORMS LEADING TO 9 HURRICANES. THE TROPICAL CYCLONES USUALLY FORM OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE PACIFIC OCEAN TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO...THEN MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATERS. OCCASIONALLY... A TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES FAR ENOUGH WEST TO AFFECT THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ON AVERAGE...THREE OR FOUR TROPICAL CYCLONES HIT MEXICO DURING THE SEASON. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES CAN PRODUCE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES. HERE ARE THE NAMES FOR THE 1998 TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ---- -------------- ---- ------------- AGATHA MADELINE BLAS NEWTON CELIA ORLENE OR LEAN- DARBY PAINE ESTELLE ROSLYN FRANK SEYMOUR GEORGETTE TINA HOWARD VIRGIL ISIS EYE- SIS WINIFRED JAVIER HA- VEEAIR XAVIER ZAY- VIER KAY YOLANDA YO LAHN- DA LESTER ZEKE - INDICATES ACCENTED SYLLABLE AS THE SEASON BEGINS...SATELLITE PICTURES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW NO ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-858>; Fri, 15 May 1998 19:23:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA46408; Fri, 15 May 1998 06:15:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8716334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 06:15:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA14894 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 06:15:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA12262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 06:15:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805151115.GAA12262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 06:15:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc89bc48df8d67319d9d0e5cac9d8d24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 ABPZ20 KNHC 151111 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI MAY 15 1998 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY BEGINS TODAY AND ENDS NOVEMBER 30TH. DURING THE SEASON...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL ISSUE A TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK AT 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. THE OUTLOOK WILL BRIEFLY DESCRIBE DISTURBED WEATHER AREAS AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. IT ALSO WILL LIST TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR WHICH ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED. IN AN AVERAGE SEASON...THERE ARE 16 TROPICAL STORMS OF WHICH 9 REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY. LAST YEARS TOTALS WERE NEAR AVERAGE ...WITH 17 TROPICAL STORMS LEADING TO 9 HURRICANES. THE TROPICAL CYCLONES USUALLY FORM OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE PACIFIC OCEAN TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO...THEN MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATERS. OCCASIONALLY... A TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES FAR ENOUGH WEST TO AFFECT THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ON AVERAGE...THREE OR FOUR TROPICAL CYCLONES HIT MEXICO DURING THE SEASON. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES CAN PRODUCE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES. HERE ARE THE NAMES FOR THE 1998 TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ---- -------------- ---- ------------- AGATHA MADELINE BLAS NEWTON CELIA ORLENE OR LEAN- DARBY PAINE ESTELLE ROSLYN FRANK SEYMOUR GEORGETTE TINA HOWARD VIRGIL ISIS EYE- SIS WINIFRED JAVIER HA- VEEAIR XAVIER ZAY- VIER KAY YOLANDA YO LAHN- DA LESTER ZEKE - INDICATES ACCENTED SYLLABLE AS THE SEASON BEGINS...SATELLITE PICTURES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW NO ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING AT LEAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT/GUINEY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 16:23:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3283 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627345-11321>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 16:10:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA09498; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:58:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10874499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:58:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15886 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:58:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:58:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010758.BAA02646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:58:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd656fcfd3ca0cb0732e7e6f816e1687 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 424 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE OFFICIAL HURRICANE SEASON ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THIS YEAR. ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME JUNE 1 OF NEXT YEAR. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629505-17256>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 10:02:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40150; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:57:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8932711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:57:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45240 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 20:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010157.UAA15783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 20:57:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 377b83bd2cb86b927bd6216c9e66654e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 326 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SUN MAY 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629575-17257>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 15:57:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23798; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:53:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA47302 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:52:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:52:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010752.CAA18757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 02:52:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f70a95635af28417388bb4961fdec43 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 944 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUN MAY 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629640-17255>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 21:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22094; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 08:52:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8941198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 08:52:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA50730 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 08:52:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 08:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011352.IAA21952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 08:52:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64d4daf561750ecadc635c2d3440affe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 ABPA20 PHNL 011400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST MON JUN 01 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1345 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629654-17257>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 03:45:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22160; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:44:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8947359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63592 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:44:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:44:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806011944.OAA00804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:44:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77ef88fcf2f119826e2f0580be10dce6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 ABPA20 PHNL 012000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MON JUN 01 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2553 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-6629>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 10:01:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26676; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 20:57:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8951390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 20:57:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39434 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 20:57:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 20:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806020157.UAA05926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 20:57:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6e0ef184f8d91a91ff78ad289d66d44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 ABPA20 PHNL 020200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST MON JUN 01 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628361-6629>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 15:59:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14744; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:57:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8954736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA61538 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:57:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806020757.CAA08591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:57:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b401db74bfd523783686698b61c54cf6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 365 ABPA20 PHNL 020800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST MON JUN 01 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1895 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629803-14204>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 22:01:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA49568; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 08:57:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8957861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 08:57:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40058 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 08:57:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 08:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806021357.IAA11848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 08:57:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2240527f9f996e0b1134df7a617a96cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 ABPA20 PHNL 021400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST TUE JUN 02 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629909-14202>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 06:04:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA54820; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 16:56:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8964659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 16:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA52720 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 16:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA23209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 16:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806022156.QAA23209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 16:56:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50daa2526928b26b306adce841ca452b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 ABPA20 PHNL 022000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST TUESDAY JUNE 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627001-23109>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 09:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39638; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 20:49:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8968427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 20:49:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA50832 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 20:48:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 20:48:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806030148.UAA26048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 20:48:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 728d2d2907df3ad63de0c31609c90a9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 ABPA20 PHNL 030200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-23107>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 16:02:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA61040; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:58:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8971911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA64342 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:58:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:58:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806030758.CAA29272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 02:58:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d98c9b29dcbdc4a63dd3379a8c7c4df6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 240 ABPA20 PHNL 030800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 02 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627282-23110>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 22:02:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA66220; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:58:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8975186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA34558 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:57:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806031357.IAA03390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:57:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afb0081b96dde2422e689ba36470bda8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 ABPA20 PHNL 031400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 03 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3766 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627458-23110>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 04:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62822; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 15:04:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8979426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 15:03:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62758 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 15:03:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 15:03:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806032003.PAA20351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 15:03:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ff3a3412a5a1f9e5cd1f5e2a26c1e99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 810 ABPA20 PHNL 032000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2143 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626627-577>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:53:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA59240; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 20:47:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8983169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 20:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA66120 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 20:47:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 20:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040147.UAA27152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 20:47:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7ea6662269e5db3e0de435ab6b22b41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 241 ABPA20 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUN 3 1998 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-18591>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 15:57:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47152; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:53:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8986079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:53:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44060 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:53:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA00851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040753.CAA00851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 02:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cab561d2ea3a8e09bafceec525a336a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 ABPA20 PHNL 040800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4907 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627453-18589>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 21:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA59148; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 08:53:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8988829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 08:52:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA52916 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 08:52:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 08:52:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806041352.IAA05021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 08:52:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f80e0880bb768d071a6329976cc0e240 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 ABPA20 PHNL 041400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627637-18591>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:55:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA59388; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:52:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8992990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:52:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49634 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:52:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806041952.OAA15718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:52:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 849322f1361e24a4640b2938cd3988ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 986 ABPA20 PHNL 042000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUN 4 1998 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3091 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-7721>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:54:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA49422; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:49:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8815496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56150 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:48:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050348.WAA24085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:48:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e76be9bc9a8d456a28725287c2bfbbf4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 ABPA20 PHNL 050348 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUN 4 1998 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 17:53:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25908; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:50:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA12062 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:50:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA27584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050950.EAA27584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 04:50:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87d2692cd4adcbd93fb5106ccab78219 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 030 ABPA20 PHNL 050800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST THURSDAY JUNE 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627472-7724>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 21:56:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA45204; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 08:52:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8819330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 08:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA61562 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 08:52:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 08:52:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051352.IAA01268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 08:52:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ef47f5159fd48d69ef20b764e6168d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 ABPA20 PHNL 051400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST THURSDAY JUNE 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627581-7722>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 03:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA50830; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 14:54:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8823521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 14:54:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA61468 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 14:53:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 14:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806051953.OAA13645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 14:53:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df42668994f0b1bde9b7fe119c8f00c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 ABPA20 PHNL 052000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRIDAY JUNE 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626238-14005>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:53:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17862; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 20:52:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8826486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 20:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24754 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 20:51:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 20:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060151.UAA19852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 20:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e893f4b10e2736a8b0cb5154cb3881d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 ABPA20 PHNL 060200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-14003>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 17:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54800; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 04:41:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8829387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 04:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA57596 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 04:41:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA24303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 04:41:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060941.EAA24303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 04:41:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bedb5bc09e62ce663f90c37df719007c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 902 ABPA20 PHNL 060800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 5 1998 THERE ARE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ITCZ...ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. OTHERWISE...THE TROPICAL WEATHER IS RATHER QUIET. WE HAVE HAD NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC SO FAR THIS SEASON. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-14005>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 21:48:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA61472; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 08:46:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8830529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 08:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA10254 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 08:46:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 08:46:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061346.IAA26295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 08:46:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87e2ded257eba2651f814b2d6f78e786 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 6 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER REMAINS RATHER QUIET. THERE ARE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ITCZ... ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...BUT NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3010 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-14005>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:52:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22212; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8832843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49330 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:51:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806061951.OAA29550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:51:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48afc3222fa340ee5edfc415f57035e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPA20 PHNL 062000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-11329>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 09:52:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04268; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 20:50:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8834765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 20:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA54682 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 20:50:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 20:50:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070150.UAA02793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 20:50:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52ba57e2c694696425ab458e5ce46fb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 562 ABPA20 PHNL 070200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-11329>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 16:00:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23618; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 02:58:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8836549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 02:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA50734 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 02:58:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 02:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070758.CAA05420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 02:58:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d89d9f11a83cbe3121d68ba14a3d51f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 ABPA20 PHNL 070800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 6 1998 A STRONG UPPER ATMOSPHERIC LOW IS DOMINATING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS PATTERN...MORE WINTER-LIKE THAN SUMMER-LIKE...HAS BEEN SUPPRESSING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627918-11328>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:50:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA14720; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:46:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8838113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14702 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:46:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071346.IAA07690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:46:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1090c4f205fa5d1088f0ae47f482d46c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 207 ABPA20 PHNL 071400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 7 1998 A STRONG UPPER ATMOSPHERIC LOW CONTINUES TO DOMINATING THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. THIS PATTERN...MORE WINTER-LIKE THAN SUMMER-LIKE... IS SUPPRESSING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627920-11328>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 21:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA14662; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:49:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8838128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:49:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26076 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:48:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071348.IAA07705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 08:48:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5ea52d5fda33268e216cc340a17bd22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABPA20 PHNL 071401 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 7 1998 A STRONG UPPER ATMOSPHERIC LOW CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. THIS PATTERN...MORE WINTER-LIKE THAN SUMMER-LIKE... IS SUPPRESSING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1315 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627999-11327>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 04:02:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34494; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 14:58:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8840457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 14:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA17836 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 14:58:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 14:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806071958.OAA10386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 14:58:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51df5bd25ac9912af33a8351c8ea5756 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 301 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3366 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-28933>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:57:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA52876; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:51:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8843304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26656 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:51:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080151.UAA13337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 20:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfa764df210d4ff06e3109412da588ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 520 ABPA20 PHNL 080200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY JUNE 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-28937>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:57:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA21536; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:52:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8846094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63498 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:52:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080752.CAA16259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:52:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 111df671fafa94e3736bb0f68ea11866 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 ABPA20 PHNL 080800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY JUNE 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4819 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627741-5520>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:48:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25870; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:44:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8848642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA61176 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:44:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806081444.JAA21240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:44:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a3d105e352b6461768401751a70e9a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 ABPA20 PHNL 081400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY JUNE 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626462-8353>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 07:09:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA34346; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8854051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA26638 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:30:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806082230.RAA04137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 17:30:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55c92c49ef4aa35b53a30d7bf9ad9c6c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 788 ABPA20 PHNL 082230 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUN 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1994 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-8354>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 09:59:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14694; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 20:51:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8855735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 20:50:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37708 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 20:50:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 20:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090150.UAA06254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 20:50:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9ad619d67ccd4e607ace44a27871fec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 225 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUN 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628098-8352>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:20:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25902; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:02:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8856148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 02:52:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21652 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 02:51:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 02:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090751.CAA09147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 02:51:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a503ea3e03e8fdcb8495719b204ba9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 ABPA20 PHNL 090800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUN 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625920-10073>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 06:52:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA29924; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:42:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8862597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 17:42:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26750 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 08:51:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 08:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091351.IAA12337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 08:51:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af2967147b15f000dbf2002b051e012d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 825 ABPA20 PHNL 091400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUN 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1648 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626395-10069>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 07:31:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA22600; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 18:23:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8864494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 18:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA37784 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 14:52:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 14:52:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806091952.OAA21727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 14:52:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db90a51a64056b06534ab34382f868c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 796 ABPA20 PHNL 092000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY JUNE 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-10073>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 09:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA67094; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 20:46:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8866712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 20:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25858 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 20:46:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 20:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100146.UAA28235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 20:46:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1077fe11e7397c832ea05232a5ea7617 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 ABPA20 PHNL 100200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627300-10072>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 16:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44968; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:51:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8869957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12188 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:51:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100751.CAA01488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:51:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 458b182229cce3c11f611421a428d3ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 ABPA20 PHNL 100800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUN 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-10441>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 22:56:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA34028; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 09:21:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8873579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 09:21:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52960 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 09:21:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 09:21:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806101421.JAA06262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 09:21:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 009fdee3f3c36dd7f409cd646b5410a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 ABPA20 PHNL 101420 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUN 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627794-10440>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 03:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52112; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:46:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8878758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:46:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA58748 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:46:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:46:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806101946.OAA15689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:46:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a84ac87b3194918873b153d2e2ee95e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 548 ABPA20 PHNL 102000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626093-21531>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 10:11:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA33798; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 20:46:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8883501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 20:46:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44280 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 20:46:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 20:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806110146.UAA22766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 20:46:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aaa12205630ffd3284606603a37c742c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 ABPA20 PHNL 110200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3072 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626803-21536>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 16:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA59420; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:51:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8887030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45048 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806110750.CAA27008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 02:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1678e57720cd223d8af0027b607e2626 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 518 ABPA20 PHNL 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUN 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627896-15296>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 22:05:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA57808; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 08:51:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8889822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 08:51:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36034 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 08:51:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 08:51:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111351.IAA01561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 08:51:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ef7f973bec7f41e7fd769c299a434bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 645 ABPA20 PHNL 111400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUN 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628294-20441>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 04:18:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA09852; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8893710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA55660 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:55:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806111955.OAA11785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:55:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fff0ec015f6371dac9e0f787b8d900c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 858 ABPA20 PHNL 112000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THU JUN 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626364-28884>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:13:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04750; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 20:56:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8897173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 20:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21888 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 20:56:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 20:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120156.UAA18007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 20:56:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 628bb894e05a4a78c5203ab35517ca8b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 230 ABPA20 PHNL 120200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST THU JUN 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2265 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628350-29019>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 04:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58860; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:56:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8905447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:56:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26078 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:56:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:56:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806121956.OAA05498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:56:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ac87e145bf4d0e16270d3ea580377da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 250 ABPA20 PHNL 122000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRI JUN 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:55:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626569-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:06:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29876; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 20:58:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8909735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 20:58:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA57416 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 20:56:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 20:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130156.UAA11533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 20:56:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21a3cb10436ebb18a2b4fc2d1f61074a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 560 ABPA20 PHNL 130200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST FRI JUN 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 16:04:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA63698; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:51:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8912842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45234 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:51:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130751.CAA15368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 02:51:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 699234734717118c434ed177d7d10d77 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 ABPA20 PHNL 130800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 22:06:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA59736; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 08:53:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8915415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 08:53:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA59716 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 08:53:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 08:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131353.IAA19017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 08:53:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23731e493e6ee5300e74647462e096b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 441 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-3138>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:19:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA54678; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:07:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8918262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:07:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44880 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:06:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806131906.OAA22250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:06:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59b83d5c800fbd1fbc30e519dec255d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SAT JUN 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2673 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-3871>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 10:01:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14696; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 20:52:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8922099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 20:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42842 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 20:51:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 20:51:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140151.UAA26624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 20:51:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b23d3d60216526ea70f85638363ae8b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SAT JUN 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1782 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-22321>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 16:15:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60756; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:01:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8925333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28232 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:01:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140801.DAA00853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:01:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca40257999982a144d5c61d49bfed07d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 286 ABPA20 PHNL 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 13 1998 ALTHOUGH THERE IS A TROPICAL STORM...AGATHA...IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC...TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IS UNUSUALLY QUIET. THERE ARE NOT EVEN ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ENTIRE AREA. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627380-22322>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 22:01:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA10300; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 08:51:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8926944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 08:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA63536 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 08:51:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 08:51:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141351.IAA03619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 08:51:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccf67842671d0401d42055b20cd6c351 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 458 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 14 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS UNUSUALLY QUIET. THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS VERY WEAK WITH ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-22322>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:59:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA18938; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:51:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8929933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25582 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806141950.OAA07443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0365ff056941694f52b92ef7957da167 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 210 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 14 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS UNUSUALLY QUIET. THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS VERY WEAK WITH ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-24041>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 10:05:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15060; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 20:52:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 20:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA60868 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 20:52:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 20:52:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150152.UAA11959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 20:52:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69b92264e510b9063fb880e3ed23cd9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY JUNE 14 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS UNUSUALLY QUIET. THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS VERY WEAK WITH ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1111 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 16:13:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA67314; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:01:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA55782 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:01:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150801.DAA16123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 03:01:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3085247a6443e529519f3de4ebd6d710 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY JUNE 14 1998 THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE ITCZ IS A 200 MILE WIDE CLOUD BAND THAT EXTENDS EASTWARD FROM A POINT ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. SINCE YESTERDAY... MORE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED ALONG THE BAND BUT THE ITCZ REMAINS RATHER WEAK. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 22:07:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA66138; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 08:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 08:51:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA55626 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 08:51:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 08:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151351.IAA19989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 08:51:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 033a802e8536cde6fa17b469d7efae71 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY JUNE 15 1998 SOME ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII BUT THERE ARE STILL NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627674-12420>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 04:24:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA60884; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 14:56:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8862985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 14:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67272 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 14:56:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 14:56:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806151956.OAA01178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 14:56:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f3946c85755d0268c23556edf8864fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 083 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MONDAY JUNE 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4209 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626599-29779>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 10:11:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62204; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 20:57:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8868027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 20:57:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25584 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 20:57:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 20:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160157.UAA08951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 20:57:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4110761abc8509a4cf419773fb82244f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST MONDAY JUNE 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627804-29777>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 16:01:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA55770; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:52:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26048 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:52:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160752.CAA12633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 02:52:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25fe406fe70dbc46446fd9988527a915 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 270 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST MONDAY JUNE 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627802-29771>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 22:17:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28174; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:06:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8874770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29782 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:04:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161404.JAA17571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:04:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65f21ee9465b8c3bf1b6e5a8309be059 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY JUNE 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627844-693>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 03:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA50778; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:46:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8879683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:46:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25920 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:46:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806161946.OAA01431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:46:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a44b81605311af109b875f0a1eb65a1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY JUNE 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:13 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <628000-7410>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:24:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628386-7419>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 09:45:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA42976; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 20:35:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8884529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 20:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28360 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 20:35:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 20:35:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806170135.UAA10261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 20:35:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: e41536d95526fb355c355c4dc5fcb412 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625877-7418>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 16:02:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26000; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:51:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8887760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:51:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12164 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:51:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806170751.CAA13665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 02:51:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b5ad4e2a803cff179b06c71fa348cbe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 816 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 16 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN 90 NM OF 09N162W...750 MILE SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. WEAK CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...STRETCHING FROM 06N159W TO 10N140W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627093-7418>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 21:51:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA62758; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 08:52:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8890084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 08:52:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA61972 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 08:52:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 08:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806171352.IAA16826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 08:52:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af7bbe17549d12c9533d13bbd50bfcbf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 17 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED WITHIN 120 NM OF 08N155W...800 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU. ANOTHER AREA OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS WITHIN 90 NM OF 08N165W...ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. WEAK CONVECTION IS OCCURRING WITHIN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...STRETCHING FROM 07N152W TO 09N140W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627867-28946>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 03:48:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52386; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:48:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8895030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:48:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25488 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:48:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806171948.OAA27573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:48:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98b6901ce71bb057f690006aba9b6356 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 17 1998 THE HURRICANE SEASON IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC USUALLY GETS OFF TO A SLOW START. THIS YEAR HAS BEEN NO EXCEPTION. THERE HAVE BEEN NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC SO FAR THIS SEASON. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-15004>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 10:29:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA49434; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 21:15:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8899830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 21:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14600 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 21:15:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 21:15:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806180215.VAA05595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 21:15:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1425ec16449a778e5c13864a015095c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 17 1998 THE HURRICANE SEASON IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC USUALLY STARTS SLOWLY. THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE ACTIVE BUT THERE HAVE BEEN NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC SO FAR THIS SEASON. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627660-29561>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 16:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15050; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 02:57:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8902924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 02:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14780 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 02:57:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 02:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806180757.CAA09216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 02:57:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a36236574695332d4cad1676ea3843f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627753-29560>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 21:57:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA45766; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:57:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8905965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:57:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19620 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:57:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:57:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806181357.IAA12990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:57:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 040660ce2ecf8c5b97989d63132e4e08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY JUNE 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-29560>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 04:23:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA18890; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 15:23:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8911258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 15:23:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62884 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 15:23:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA24259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 15:23:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806182023.PAA24259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 15:23:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2677d690eb2de225b111c94964007e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 975 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY JUNE 18 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HAS NOT BECOME ACTIVE SO FAR THIS YEAR. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS GRADUALLY INCREASING BUT THERE ARE STILL NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626790-22220>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 10:35:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63640; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 21:19:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8916739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 21:19:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49548 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 21:19:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 21:19:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806190219.VAA01648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 21:19:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: deb9fe4d6cd2764e537027e901baba71 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY JUNE 18 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HAS NOT BECOME ACTIVE SO FAR THIS YEAR. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS GRADUALLY INCREASING BUT THERE ARE STILL NO WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627081-22219>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 16:06:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18860; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 02:56:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8919895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 02:56:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26016 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 02:56:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 02:56:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806190756.CAA05200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 02:56:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f85b15412487fe05a2926a4dfe082c5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 615 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY JUNE 18 1998 THERE IS ISOLATED CONVECTION JUST NORTH OF THE EQUATOR...BUT NO ORGANIZED TROPICAL SYSTEM HAS YET DEVELOPED FROM 140W TO THE DATELINE THIS SEASON. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627302-22219>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 22:13:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17666; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 08:56:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8922119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 08:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13302 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 08:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 08:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806191356.IAA09249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 08:56:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93335c8c1a89c181f753b71591239579 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 984 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY JUNE 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3796 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628739-22220>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 04:02:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19704; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 14:46:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8927042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 14:46:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26078 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 14:46:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 14:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806191946.OAA19184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 14:46:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 480d24d64d4b54a6748e6736b7f47031 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 921 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY JUNE 19 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...BUT THE TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC REMAINS LESS ACTIVE. THERE ARE NO WELL ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN OUR PART OF THE OCEAN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626581-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 10:00:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54112; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 20:46:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8930820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 20:46:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA41028 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 20:46:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 20:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200146.UAA25816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 20:46:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85daa7d7c01356462305a67410aee04e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 19 1998 THE SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON HAS FORMED OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC USUALLY BECOMES ACTIVE LATER THAN IN THE EAST PACIFIC AND THIS YEAR HAS BEEN NO EXCEPTION. THERE ARE STILL NO WELL ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN OUR PART OF THE OCEAN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-13294>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:57:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA57574; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 02:46:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 02:46:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52442 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 02:46:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 02:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200746.CAA29128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 02:46:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 623d5664c64b3223dc22cfe843f2aa99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 19 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS DRIFTING WEST AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-13294>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 22:06:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA59572; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 08:51:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 08:51:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA28328 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 08:51:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 08:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806201351.IAA01932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 08:51:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d7cb09debd5db96384266bd057020fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 20 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAS NEARLY DISSIPATED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 23:29:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA13188; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:13:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8939279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:13:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA50790 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:08:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806202008.PAA05171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 15:08:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8419761ad5377b07b9d41d01f00b9c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 231 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 20 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FORMED AS A BULGE ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...LAST EVENING. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOW DISSIPATING. ALL THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE NEAR THE DISTURBANCE ARE NOW GONE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629103-21439>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 10:51:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA55250; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:14:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8936602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 21:14:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA55172 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 20:56:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 20:56:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210156.UAA07879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 20:56:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b680d6d7d00251df1bd674edee5c6d22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 20 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN OUR PART OF THE PACIFIC IS RATHER QUIET. A WELL DEFINED ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...NOW EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BUT THERE ARE NO WELL-ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ZONE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-8005>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:47:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57358; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:34:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8943466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:34:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25442 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 02:48:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 02:48:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210748.CAA10912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 02:48:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acf6c952125603711c212276b71fe854 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 580 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3759 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 22:32:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12068; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:14:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8937357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 09:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14980 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 08:46:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 08:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806211346.IAA13585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 08:46:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9d3d91f18375bb2038ab31507640efa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 715 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625982-6261>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 07:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA29788; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 18:04:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8948177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 18:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA62790 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 18:04:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA22229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 18:04:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806212304.SAA22229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 18:04:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3efe31dedeaeec454d0d28c465bdd531 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 965 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626428-6255>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 10:13:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA66286; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 20:52:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8949785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 20:52:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45020 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 20:52:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 20:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220152.UAA24159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 20:52:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 397e9060ba649b8104b045509d4da5af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 985 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY JUNE 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-11222>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 16:03:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23708; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:51:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8952766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:51:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA60814 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:51:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220751.CAA27645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 02:51:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec11e8030512676b415f14e3051fb58b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 648 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY JUNE 21 1998 THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HAS BECOME MORE ACTIVE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. A 250 MILE WIDE BAND OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS RUNS ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 19N 179W...1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...TO 09N 147W...950 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. SINCE THIS MORNING...THE CLOUD BAND HAS BULGED NORTH TO ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THESE BULGES ALONG THE ITCZ SOMETIMES DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONES. WE DO NOT EXPECT THIS ONE TO DEVELOP...BUT WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626921-11221>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 21:59:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA26100; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 08:47:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8955057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 08:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12262 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 08:47:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 08:47:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806221347.IAA01932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 08:47:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f303ba38f73eeed0b32d58aaeb32bc87 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY JUNE 21 1998 THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...HAS WEAKENED AGAIN DURING THE NIGHT. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ZONE HAVE DISSIPATED. IT IS APPARENTLY STILL TOO EARLY IN THE SEASON FOR THE TROPICAL WEATHER TO BECOME ACTIVE IN OUR PART OF THE PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-11217>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 03:46:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22006; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:46:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8959409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA66274 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:46:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806221946.OAA12999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:46:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13485865a53721fdd7b6c34297802222 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 204 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MONDAY JUNE 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1470 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:46:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA61962; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 20:46:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 20:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22008 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 20:46:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 20:46:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230146.UAA21806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 20:46:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf620f32d8eee7b20fe32df4dc60015c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 443 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MONDAY JUNE 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629439-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 15:58:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28376; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:58:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8966186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54724 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:58:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230758.CAA26238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 02:58:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25a05f6bed328fc29e68c460db743ffd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 311 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MONDAY JUNE 22 1998 A SECOND TROPICAL STORM...BLAS...HAS FORMED IN THE EAST PACIFIC OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO BUT THERE IS STILL NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY IN OUR PART OF THE PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627271-26167>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 22:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45634; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:42:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8968698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:42:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA50742 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:42:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231442.JAA02243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 09:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df6f05ce90fd368ce61dcefd56c5b510 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 441 ABPA20 PHNL 231400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY JUNE 23 1998 IN THE EAST PACIFIC...TROPICAL STORM BLAS IS INTENSIFYING OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO...BUT THERE IS STILL NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY IN OUR PART OF THE PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:02:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627314-26159>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44892; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 14:56:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8972294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 14:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44872 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 14:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 14:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806231956.OAA12535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 14:56:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cce9e58aeb38546098daa7574724eea3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY JUNE 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-9772>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:57:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23606; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 20:57:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8975698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 20:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA59682 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 20:57:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 20:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240157.UAA19252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 20:57:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ae110381d68e93fc7fd74f580c85c4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626938-9771>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:46:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA59678; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 02:46:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8977793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 02:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA66058 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 02:46:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA23311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 02:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240746.CAA23311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 02:46:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3e4e36f169c10aa3a3a418078baae7f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY JUNE 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-22163>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:47:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA59694; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 08:47:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8980237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 08:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39948 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 08:47:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 08:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241347.IAA27842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 08:47:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d461507bca0592a4f16d697352fdd8cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-7602>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 03:51:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA62910; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 14:51:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8984121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 14:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA57766 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 14:51:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 14:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806241951.OAA08772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 14:51:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46b489fea7d416d8d72fb453bf377097 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 24 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N180 06N161W 04N179W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625971-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:52:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA59702; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 20:52:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8988211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 20:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA34850 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 20:52:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 20:52:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250152.UAA17127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 20:52:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f65e9b1fcb42c7b4443b262b5717c52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 057 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 24 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N180 06N161W 04N179W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2955 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-17628>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:48:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45066; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 02:48:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8992391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 02:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52214 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 02:47:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 02:47:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250747.CAA21475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 02:47:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef26bf929c96694a1bbafe96884ec171 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 992 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY JUNE 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1099 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627532-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 21:49:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA57464; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 08:49:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8994789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 08:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA62726 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 08:47:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 08:47:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251347.IAA26093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 08:47:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68167007c4b23b66e9fcd2e5395e8f39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY JUNE 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-21037>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:54:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA66218; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:53:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8999297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:53:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA50782 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:52:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:52:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806251952.OAA06805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:52:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bab7df03888d33993dad469b988a2e24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 520 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY JUNE 25 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF 10N AND WEST OF 160W DISSIPATED OVERNIGHT. IN CONTRAST...A 60 MILE WIDE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED EXTENDING FROM 05N155W TO 10N147W TO 10N142W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:05:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627674-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:52:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA59498; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 20:52:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9002727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 20:51:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA54088 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 20:51:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 20:51:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260151.UAA13183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 20:51:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5dcb10308a63282893a674cc7e0df7f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY JUNE 25 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF 10N AND WEST OF 160W DISSIPATED LAST NIGHT. HOWEVER...A 60 MILE WIDE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FORMED THIS MORNING AND EXTENDS FROM 05N155W TO 10N147W TO 10N142W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2981 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627674-9880>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:56:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA55828; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:56:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:56:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52478 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:56:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260756.CAA17196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:56:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d127f83eed11d3e5ff30918435c9b6d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 373 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY JUNE 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:07:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3817 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627848-9880>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:57:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA58742; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9008754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA62804 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:57:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:57:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261357.IAA20748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:57:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abd2ddf6084e6b6e7796f922bfd6e56a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 796 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY JUNE 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:03:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628021-10118>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 03:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41188; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:53:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9012566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA33974 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:52:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:52:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806261952.OAA28618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:52:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05e166cbf2944f04f1567d4fd20ba394 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY JUNE 26 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 08N157W TO 09N140W...OTHERWISE THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-16911>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 09:53:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA61452; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 20:53:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 20:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA60902 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 20:52:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 20:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270152.UAA04205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 20:52:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8705aae513ba872d2a86b8ab0890264 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 069 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 26 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N160W TO 08N157W TO 09N140W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 02N173W. OTHERWISE...THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS RATHER QUIET. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:05:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627736-12221>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 15:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA55064; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9019500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:57:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21762 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:57:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:57:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270757.CAA07856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:57:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab2c4daa469c6ac501a697fa9cafc389 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 925 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY JUNE 26 1998 VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS FIRING IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. THERE ARE NO SUSPECT AREAS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:06:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1162 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627670-12221>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13124; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 08:56:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9021441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 08:56:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA57648 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 08:56:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 08:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271356.IAA10846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 08:56:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fac98e6bd7b9fe40b04942b2c1a8ca2b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627908-12217>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 03:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA09824; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:55:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9024896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19532 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:55:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806271955.OAA14085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:55:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9018bb82a9421965fa6b6f5ac0b06ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 860 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY JUNE 27 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC HAS SLOWLY BECOME MORE ACTIVE. THERE ARE NOW ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG MUCH OF THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE ITCZ DOES BULGE NORTH TO 12N 146W...ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...BUT THE THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA ARE WEAKENING. THERE ARE STILL NO WELL DEVELOPED DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:07:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626101-15290>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 10:03:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA59698; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:03:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9027404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21790 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:03:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280203.VAA17564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 21:03:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0492488108b6354ae14e8b28045a99a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 235 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 27 1998 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC HAS SLOWLY BECOME MORE ACTIVE. THERE ARE NOW ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG MUCH OF THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE ITCZ DOES BULGE NORTH TO 11N 146W...ABOUT 840 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...BUT THE THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA ARE WEAKENING. THERE ARE STILL NO WELL DEVELOPED DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HAMILTON/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626631-15290>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 16:39:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23700; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9030505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22656 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:56:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280756.CAA20733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 02:56:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 481a775da7d2122090ee567d346998fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 713 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY JUNE 27 1998 ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS INCREASED NORTH OF THE EQUATOR BUT STILL WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOST OF THIS IS CAUSED BY WIND CONVERGENCE AND NOT BY DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. THERE ARE NO SUSPECT AREAS APPARENT AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:09:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629329-15282>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 21:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA41082; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 08:57:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9032474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 08:57:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA45160 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 08:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 08:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806281357.IAA23626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 08:57:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d32dc97d9c882a5680a087fb7e64d644 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 092 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:10:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4897 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627307-15289>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 04:10:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA60378; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:10:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9035907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:09:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62962 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:07:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:07:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806282007.PAA26827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:07:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b094706c1252b2607be8fbd0c409c33 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY JUNE 28 1998 THUNDERSTORMS ALONG MOST OF THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE... HAVE WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY. ONE AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS NEAR 08N 175W...ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...BUT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 17:03:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3714 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626600-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 16:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33890; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:04:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9042246 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA61520 for ; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:04:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:04:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290804.DAA04273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:04:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47aabfba8e7583eab8748f21fb8cca78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 598 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 17:03:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3751 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 16:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33998; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:06:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9042251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:06:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59580 for ; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:06:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290806.DAA04279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 03:06:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected Date To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed5e9fa7e194a97e92070a62bfd7d897 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 620 ABPA20 PHNL 290804 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED DATE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3723 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626681-15397>; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 21:51:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA61082; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:49:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:49:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25190 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:49:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:48:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807131348.IAA25510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:48:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e45d3e478bfb68e01fdf085c064fb072 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 292 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY JULY 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK CIRCULATION 800 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...11N145W... PERSISTS WITH NO INDICATIONS OF DEVELOPMENT. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 MPH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-25016>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 03:59:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA51106; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 14:58:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9219669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 14:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA57450 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 14:58:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 14:58:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807131958.OAA05666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 14:58:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19652ba97c5d70b46a7f28504ab9be57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 645 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUL 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK CIRCULATION ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MPH AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-5299>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 09:52:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40132; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 20:52:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9222499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 20:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44208 for ; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 20:52:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jul 1998 20:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807140152.UAA11767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 20:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 910ba9524978d9f3deca37fe315f290c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 881 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUL 13 1998 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXISTS ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS AREA IS MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH BUT SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626649-10856>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 16:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22040; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 03:04:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9224351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 03:04:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44036 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 03:04:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 03:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807140804.DAA16031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 03:04:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b60d50af5a1baac6df1d87b9f6440a28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 822 ABPA20 PHNL 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MONDAY JULY 13 1998 THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...BULGES NORTH IN A COUPLE OF PLACES. ONE IS 850 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 12N 145W. ANOTHER IS 1250 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 13N 176W. NEITHER OF THESE BULGES HAS DEVELOPED INTO A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SO FAR. WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THEM FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-10854>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 21:55:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA25284; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 08:53:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9226398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 08:53:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36018 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 08:53:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 08:53:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807141353.IAA19603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 08:53:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91e2f4e1adc04049749af50505cd553b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 227 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY JULY 14 1998 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...675 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS INTENSIFIED. THE THUNDERSTORM AREA IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THIS THUNDERSTORM AREA HAS NOT YET DEVELOPED INTO A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS FAR SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII HAS WEAKENED SINCE LAST EVENING AND DOES NOT LOOK THREATENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4353 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-24670>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 04:05:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA24610; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 15:03:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8963760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 15:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA17680 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 15:03:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 15:03:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807142003.PAA29504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 15:03:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8748371a19e5e9d14321fd4c9c8ebcc9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUL 14 1998 WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...BETWEEN 06N164W AND 09N146W. ANOTHER AREA OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MPH BUT SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-6370>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 09:59:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24696; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 20:57:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8967740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 20:57:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA61002 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 20:57:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 20:57:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807150157.UAA05879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 20:57:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abfa8953ab96244c7ae2f29ddba84c39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUL 14 1998 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...BETWEEN 06N166W AND 10N146W. THE THUNDERSTORM AREA IS MIGRATING SLOWLY WESTWARD. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627022-6369>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 16:05:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35024; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:04:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54206 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:04:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:04:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807150804.DAA09995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 03:04:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd40d519ca8cfab727c64e4f8e0234a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUL 14 1998 A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...FROM 850 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO TO 1050 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. NO WELL-ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE ITCZ. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1421 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627461-6369>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 22:06:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA31590; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 09:02:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8973215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 09:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34888 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 09:01:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 09:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807151401.JAA13940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 09:01:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7f21afbecec71c748c1c6eeb4354477 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 442 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUL 15 1998 A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...FROM 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO TO 950 MILES SOUTH OF KAUAI HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE ARE NO WELL-ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES IN OUT AREA. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-20160>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 03:58:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22206; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:56:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8978001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA47256 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:56:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807151956.OAA23076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:56:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1555a8ae0c90ccb18e893a0a2c16abe4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUL 15 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST BUT HAVE WEAKENED WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N150W 08N146W 08N162W...FAR SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-8212>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 09:56:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54570; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 20:54:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8981638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 20:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42408 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 20:52:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 20:52:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807160152.UAA29107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 20:52:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fbb9330ad70e58d6c5432b7793ff74e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUL 15 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST BUT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N150W 08N146W 08N162W...FAR SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627906-8218>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 16:09:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40598; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 03:07:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8985024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 03:07:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22374 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 03:06:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 03:06:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807160806.DAA03149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 03:06:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72d43733b7c17c5c624c071a55392d6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 488 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUL 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-8212>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 21:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA40646; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 08:52:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8987271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 08:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67242 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 08:52:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 08:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807161352.IAA06415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 08:52:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0022cd066dbfe3bfe9855ac5dd38ebf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 706 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUL 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627731-8217>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 03:55:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA59318; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:53:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8994247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:53:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44116 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:52:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807161952.OAA16364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:52:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6436b7cfe1890dbad01018337d8a0d68 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 525 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626514-16091>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 09:53:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28356; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 20:52:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9000330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 20:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA57520 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 20:52:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 20:52:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807170152.UAA22943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 20:52:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 920e9dc715a1d282e1eb557c6c2f5ad9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUL 16 1998 THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IS RATHER QUIET. NO ORGANIZED SYSTEMS OR SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXIST. HOWEVER...ISOLATED ITCZ THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ALONG 11N BETWEEN 162W AND 168W...780 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST TO 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627165-28387>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:53:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA09866; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 02:52:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9003713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 02:52:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12152 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 02:52:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 02:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807170752.CAA26704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 02:52:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a27a558871d4aa1f1552faf4cec79770 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUL 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-28387>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA47274; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 08:53:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 08:53:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA09872 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 08:53:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 08:53:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807171353.IAA00433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 08:53:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7dbb5f7c1213b584f1422ae4b4615d68 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 785 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUL 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627393-28381>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 04:02:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22180; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:01:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9011418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12164 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:01:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807172001.PAA09335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 15:01:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be30427721319e8e94e9ed3abd8cefa1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-18728>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:53:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22644; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 20:52:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9015156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 20:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA60762 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 20:52:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 20:52:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180152.UAA15160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 20:52:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8564e2c7433bdd390152051bc345f310 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-11453>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:59:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52852; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:58:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:58:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04128 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180757.CAA18646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e1bb9b11b09b6c884b18b8da82c7715 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUL 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627652-11453>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 22:03:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54762; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:02:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9018677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:02:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04312 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:02:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:02:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181402.JAA21096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 09:02:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e96fd570b0cc4e11382456f642be283b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 343 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUL 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626749-11455>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:45:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA31698; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 14:45:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9021421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 14:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA57738 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 14:44:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 14:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807181944.OAA23662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 14:44:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f31ac628ebc23a5c3eaba07d1261e88d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626339-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 10:23:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22616; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:22:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9024818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:22:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04158 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:22:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:22:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190222.VAA27478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 21:22:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86fdf5d63bc6115367cdaa66dea8a60a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 040 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY JULY 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 16:03:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA31580; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:01:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9027758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22344 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:01:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190801.DAA00813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 03:01:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b12add21abf445ab86fbc27a7f22835c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 099 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUL 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4444 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-21942>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 21:59:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA44116; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 08:58:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9029802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 08:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04162 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 08:58:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 08:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191358.IAA03204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 08:58:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12d6d6cfafea18ba3b037c634d99b58b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 200 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUL 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-21942>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 03:58:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25326; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 14:57:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9033357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 14:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13276 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 14:57:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 14:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807191957.OAA06424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 14:57:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79c0f4ddde656f1ec67ab0fd22bf8fac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 19 1998 DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...SOMETIMES CALLED THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626137-8641>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA55024; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 20:57:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9036478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 20:57:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA41436 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 20:57:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 20:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200157.UAA10032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 20:57:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2cc603363caf4a6225415003f75e9c99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 370 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 19 1998 DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...SOMETIMES CALLED THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 15:50:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54904; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:49:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:48:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA41006 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:48:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200748.CAA13569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 02:48:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d776da2eb41fbef8f055505dca8d96a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 895 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CELIA IS WEAKENING FAR TO THE EAST AND SHOULD BE DISSIPATED WHILE STILL WELL EAST OF 140W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-17948>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:20:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA31932; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:15:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9042485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 09:15:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA52738 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 08:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 08:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201348.IAA17332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 08:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 240093107dd741c31dad574c08a7a092 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 251 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY JULY 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FAR TO THE EAST...T.S. CELIA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-17942>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 03:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA47818; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 14:52:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9048471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 14:52:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA46518 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 14:52:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 14:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807201952.OAA27522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 14:52:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04c6dffc5f70a9cf31fb7c15e737ba63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 471 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUL 20 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF HAWAII...SPECIFICALLY BETWEEN 07N AND 10N FROM 152W TO 175W. NO ORGANIZATION IS NOTED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-8685>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 09:54:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28014; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 20:52:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9053281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 20:52:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA27972 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 20:52:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 20:52:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210152.UAA05029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 20:52:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a25471427ef6a0eeae9e17e165ab0bc3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 956 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUL 20 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF HAWAII...SPECIFICALLY BETWEEN 07N AND 10N. NO ORGANIZATION IS NOTED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625928-28777>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 19:37:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA39694; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:36:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9056912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 06:36:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46354 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 03:40:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 03:40:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210840.DAA09957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 03:40:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78594eef1ddf4857b63669e547bc4bf3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 778 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MONDAY JULY 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627042-28772>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 21:53:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17764; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:51:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9059438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22770 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:50:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807211350.IAA14441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:50:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b915e0cea5528afec3c6dffaef365a1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 285 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY JULY 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SMALL CONVECTIVE CLOUD AREA NEAR 09N139W AND A SLIGHTLY LARGER ONE NEAR 09N160W SHOW LITTLE ORGANIZATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3590 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-28777>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 04:15:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39780; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 15:11:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9065668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 15:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA56290 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 15:09:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 15:09:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807212009.PAA25086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 15:09:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0b0c16272a42016173fb719b13c3b98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 545 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY JULY 21 1998 THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED ALONG THE PART OF THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...THAT EXTENDS EAST FROM A POINT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THERE ARE NO WELL DEVELOPED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...THOUGH. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:45:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA35092; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:42:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9072399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:42:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA04240 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:40:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:40:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220340.WAA02762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 22:40:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c939a8e0d46310bd86da3fcd3727f00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 662 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY JULY 21 1998 THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED ALONG THE PART OF THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...THAT EXTENDS EAST FROM A POINT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NO WELL ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES HAVE FORMED IN OUR AREA...THOUGH. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4899 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627567-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:10:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67616; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28414 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220753.CAA05420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:53:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c94fbc97d4545169d7921bcb78360f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY JULY 21 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN A MEANDERING 120 MILE WIDE BAND MARKING THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF HAWAII. SPECIFICALLY...THE MOST ACTIVE AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE 900 MILES SOUTH AND 1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. NO ORGANIZATION IS NOTED WITHIN ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627597-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:54:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43770; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:53:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9077208 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:53:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47846 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:53:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807221353.IAA09481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:53:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac4cc86b234f1a058f7d73c66df31d27 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 22 1998 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN A MEANDERING 90 MILE WIDE BAND MARKING THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF HAWAII. SPECIFICALLY...THE MOST ACTIVE AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST AND 1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. NO ORGANIZATION IS NOTED WITHIN ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-14563>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 05:52:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA22570; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:51:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9083258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA14842 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:50:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:50:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807222150.QAA22101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 16:50:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5abdd02bcf9a2225ad1d16229ad48834 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 525 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 22 1998 THERE ARE NO DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN OUR AREA THIS MORNING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625940-19989>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 10:32:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA35986; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:31:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9086794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49532 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:31:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230231.VAA26600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 21:31:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d5be081b438da18d59f5893d9daf98c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 287 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 22 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. THERE IS AN ACTIVE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI BUT THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18886; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:53:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:53:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19380 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:53:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230753.CAA29795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 02:53:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d76526273b24d2ba0c1d295d646c8d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 22 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. THERE IS AN ACTIVE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI BUT THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627080-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 21:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA54168; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:53:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:53:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26246 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:53:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:53:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231353.IAA03721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 08:53:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3659a1dc749a2c03932f6fbdce955c5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 987 ABPA20 PHNL 231400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 23 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. THERE IS AN ACTIVE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI BUT THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626984-9460>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 04:11:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30828; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:58:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:58:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19278 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:58:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807231958.OAA14499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:58:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe933cd2f84670d0e83348bc737facc0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 138 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 23 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-8137>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 10:03:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31498; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA57590 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:58:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240158.UAA20609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 20:58:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d2ce5f3563426cfe15da7a4da4e9dde Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 558 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY JULY 23 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS NEAR 13.5N 147.0W...AROUND 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ONLY ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM...AND THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE THAT IT WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT CONTINUES ON ITS COURSE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-13319>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 16:07:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56286; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:06:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:06:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA31688 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:06:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:06:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240806.DAA24315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 03:06:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b599eda110ba9d32298ff87e624b354 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY JULY 23 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE SOME AREAS OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE OVER 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BUT THERE ARE NO WELL ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES IN THAT AREA. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS NO NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS AND IS UNLIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-13324>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:02:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52856; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:01:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA31574 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:01:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241401.JAA28148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f9767cf57495458d8103a0322f235a2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 874 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 24 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A PAIR OF WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...ONE ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 13N 150W...AND THE OTHER ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...NEAR 11N 154W. THE DISTURBANCES ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST ABOUT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4929 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-16334>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:03:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA40734; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:57:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9111101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:57:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA35846 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:57:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:57:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807241957.OAA07018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 14:57:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f32f1fb87e29976fcfa10b51d8321843 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 24 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...ONE ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 13N 152W AND THE OTHER 600 MILES SOUTH OF HILO NEAR 11N 155W...ARE MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH SYSTEMS...AND NEITHER IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626924-25147>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36042; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:57:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9113820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28088 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:57:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250157.UAA12597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 20:57:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7065f9c8a9f6108b3424dee1a5b7d837 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 526 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 24 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...ONE ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU NEAR 11.5N 156.5W AND THE OTHER 480 MILES SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 13.0N 153.5W...ARE MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH SYSTEMS...AND NEITHER IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626504-18201>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:18:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44826; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:17:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:17:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63496 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:17:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:17:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250817.DAA16428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:17:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5284c656ccb80b5ef9d61b5e92c09b32 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 460 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 24 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ARE DISSIPATING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-18209>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:02:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA64574; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:01:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36642 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:01:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251401.JAA18187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:01:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56cf77ee20a59256d25fb735aa8e1e6c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 25 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAVE DISSIPATED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-18201>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 03:17:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14598; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:15:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA46560 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:15:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:15:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251915.OAA21025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:15:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa6aa5fc003624340ff3ed533b4a73ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 25 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAVE DISSIPATED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:58:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43772; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:57:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAB36054 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:56:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260156.UAA24823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:56:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f1d36b6cdc13acfc734b6d6a9be69f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 2 PM HST SATURDAY JULY 25 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE DARBY SHOULD BE NEAR 140W IN THREE OR FOUR DAYS BUT MUCH WEAKER THAN NOW. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625958-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:59:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA12278; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:58:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43748 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:58:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:58:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260758.CAA28171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:58:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 498e9264fa52b828caff65a7c676a64a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY JULY 25 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE DARBY SHOULD BE NEAR 140W IN ABOUT THREE DAYS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH WEAKER THAN IT IS NOW. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 22:00:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA64664; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:58:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9125353 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:58:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22660 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:58:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:58:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261358.IAA01274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:58:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92f62c49d7847e63fc1b16ea228b92e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 809 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY JULY 26 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE DARBY SHOULD BE NEAR 140W IN ABOUT THREE DAYS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH WEAKER THAN IT IS NOW. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2831 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627351-27107>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 05:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA50880; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:07:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9128126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:07:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA35246 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:07:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807262107.QAA06389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:07:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33caa8d527e4257046c27dfcc5523360 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 633 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY JULY 26 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING. THE NEW GOES-10 SATELLITE IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W TO 135W TO REPLACE GOES-9. WE ARE NOW STILL USING GOES-9 PICTURES SINCE GOES-9 PROVIDES BETTER COVERAGE OF THE HAWAII AREA. WE PLAN TO SWITCH OVER TO RECEIVE GOES-10 PICTURES ON SUNDAY JULY 26. GOES-9 WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED ON MONDAY MORNING...JULY 27. GOES-10 WILL TAKE ABOUT A MONTH TO REACH 135W. IT SHOULD REACH THERE AROUND AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY...NOW HURRICANE DARBY SOME TWO THOUSAND MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BEFORE ENTERING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN ABOUT 60 HOURS. DARBY SHOULD CROSS LONGITUDE 140W AT A POINT A THOUSAND MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND ON TUESDAY NIGHT HAWAII TIME. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4074 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626529-7025>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 10:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44846; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:29:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9130268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52976 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270228.VAA10029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:28:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8907a398a416c73a69a0c9467c0534e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 380 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 26 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING AND WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED TOMORROW MORNING. WE HAVE JUST SWITCHED OVER RECEIVE PICTURES FROM GOES-10 WHICH IS NOW EAST OF GOES-9. PICTURES OF HAWAII FROM GOES-10 ARE NOW AT LOWER LOOK ANGLE THAN THOSE FROM GOES-9. THE NEWER GOES-10 IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W. IT WILL TAKE NEARLY A MONTH TO REACH ITS NEW POSITION...135W...ARRIVING ABOUT AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE DARBY IS STILL ALMOST TWO THOUSAND MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE REACHING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA ...CROSSING LONGITUDE 140W AT A POINT ABOUT A THOUSAND MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT HAWAII TIME. TWO MINOR CIRCULATIONS WELL SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS AND WEST OF 160W ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AMOUNT TDEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625969-7025>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 10:32:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25568; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:31:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9130283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA40908 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270231.VAA10053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:31:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 713c4ba55c19b4f11d06dff227f291d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 422 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 26 1998 ...NOTE...THE GOES-9 SATELLITE IS FAILING AND WILL BE DE-ACTIVATED TOMORROW MORNING. WE HAVE JUST SWITCHED OVER RECEIVE PICTURES FROM GOES-10 WHICH IS NOW EAST OF GOES-9. PICTURES OF HAWAII FROM GOES-10 ARE NOW AT LOWER LOOK ANGLE THAN THOSE FROM GOES-9. THE NEWER GOES-10 IS MOVING WEST FROM 105W. IT WILL TAKE NEARLY A MONTH TO REACH ITS NEW POSITION...135W...ARRIVING ABOUT AUGUST 21. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE DARBY IS STILL ALMOST TWO THOUSAND MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE REACHING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA ...CROSSING LONGITUDE 140W AT A POINT ABOUT A THOUSAND MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT HAWAII TIME. TWO MINOR CIRCULATIONS WELL SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS AND WEST OF 160W ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-7025>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:00:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA49330; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:58:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9132106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:58:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA10400 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:58:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:58:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270758.CAA12927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 02:58:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea01d0d195909735d52f9f633a18f9b3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 399 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 26 1998 ...NOTE...WE HAVE SWITCHED OVER TO DIRECT-READOUT OF GOES-10 IMAGERY. GOES-10 IS NOW BEING MOVED TO ITS FINAL LOCATION ABOVE THE EQUATOR AT 135 WEST LONGITUDE. THE NEW SATELLITE WILL NOT ARRIVE THERE UNTIL ABOUT AUGUST 21... NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE DARBY IS STILL WELL TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO MINIMAL HURRICANE...OR STRONG TROPICAL STORM...INTENSITY BEFORE REACHING 140 WEST LONGITUDE...THE EASTERN BOUNDARY OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH 140W SOMETIME LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. AT THAT TIME...IT WILL ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF CAPE KUMUKAHI ON THE ISLAND OF HAWAII. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626611-6534>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 21:59:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24774; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:57:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9134469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:57:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67252 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:57:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:57:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271357.IAA16559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 08:57:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ce8669fdd755d954dec16cfd1a2b3df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY JULY 27 1998 ...NOTE...WE HAVE SWITCHED OVER TO DIRECT-READOUT OF GOES-10 IMAGERY. GOES-10 IS NOW BEING MOVED TO ITS FINAL LOCATION OVER THE EQUATOR AT 135 WEST LONGITUDE. THE NEW SATELLITE WILL NOT ARRIVE THERE UNTIL ABOUT AUGUST 21... HURRICANE DARBY IS STILL WELL TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO MINIMAL HURRICANE INTENSITY BEFORE REACHING 140 WEST LONGITUDE...THE EASTERN BOUNDARY OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY . THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH 140W LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. AT THAT TIME...IT WILL ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF CAPE KUMUKAHI ON THE ISLAND OF HAWAII. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4684 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-6534>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:54:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30850; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:52:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9138274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA39266 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:52:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:52:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807271952.OAA25330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 14:52:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 633b902eb74f9440f14a06c287546506 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 712 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MONDAY JULY 27 1998 ...NOTE...WE HAVE SWITCHED OVER TO DIRECT-READOUT OF GOES-10 IMAGERY. GOES-10 IS NOW BEING MOVED TO ITS FINAL LOCATION OVER THE EQUATOR AT 135 WEST LONGITUDE. THE NEW SATELLITE WILL NOT ARRIVE THERE UNTIL ABOUT AUGUST 21... HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AND IS MOVING WEST AT NEARLY 15 MPH. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO MINIMAL HURRICANE INTENSITY AS IT MOVES WEST OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY LATE TUESDAY EVENING NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-7200>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 10:00:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17026; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:57:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9082986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:57:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA59722 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:57:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:57:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280157.UAA02019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 20:57:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c85b9a0b1158b2154738383bf8153e7d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MONDAY JULY 27 1998 ...NOTE...WE HAVE SWITCHED OVER TO DIRECT-READOUT OF GOES-10 IMAGERY. GOES-10 IS NOW BEING MOVED TO ITS FINAL LOCATION OVER THE EQUATOR AT 135 WEST LONGITUDE. THE NEW SATELLITE WILL NOT ARRIVE THERE UNTIL ABOUT AUGUST 21... HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 1440 MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...NEAR 17N 133W...AND HAS BEEN MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY LATE TUESDAY EVENING. SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC ADVISORY FOR THE LATEST DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626479-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 16:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04662; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:47:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52772 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:47:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280847.DAA06551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 03:47:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a70b16d69d82f0325b02c6c4b2e321d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 970 ABPA20 PHNL 280900 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MONDAY JULY 27 1998 ...NOTE...WE HAVE SWITCHED OVER TO DIRECT-READOUT OF GOES-10 IMAGERY. GOES-10 IS NOW BEING MOVED TO ITS FINAL LOCATION OVER THE EQUATOR AT 135 WEST LONGITUDE. THE NEW SATELLITE WILL NOT ARRIVE THERE UNTIL ABOUT AUGUST 21... HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST OF HILO AND 1500 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU...NEAR 17N 135W...MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST OF LONGITUDE 140W...INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...TUESDAY EVENING. SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC ADVISORY FOR THE LATEST DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626540-1918>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 22:16:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04124; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:12:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9087769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:12:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39688 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:12:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807281412.JAA10599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:12:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce42854c68adf5f61b5247d6fb6cd777 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY JULY 28 1998 HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST OF HILO AND ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AREA...TO CROSS LONGITUDE 140W...THIS EVENING. NO OTHER TROPICAL CIRCULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-1923>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44628; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:07:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:06:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12068 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:06:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:06:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807282006.PAA20456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:06:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21b46058acfa7c8f833f56a7b70e60fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY JULY 28 1998 HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH AND WEAKENING. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS NOW ISSUING BULLETINS ON DARBY. WHEN DARBY CROSSES 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER THE BULLETINS. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AREA THIS EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3811 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627588-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 10:04:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA56884; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:03:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:02:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59670 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:02:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:02:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290202.VAA26870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 21:02:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91cf5e8c7b79ecf61cd3b860e20c7fae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 353 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY JULY 28 1998 HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 1025 MILES EAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH AND WEAKENING. DARBY IS ABOUT TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI WILL ISSUE ITS FINAL BULLETIN ON DARBY AT 5 PM HST. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL ISSUE THE NEXT BULLETIN AT 11 PM HST. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-27613>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:17:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA46590; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:16:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:16:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA31724 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:16:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:16:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290816.DAA00718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:16:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8136368065d53b5f9b72286e8ff51633 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 535 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY JULY 28 1998 HURRICANE DARBY IS ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH AND WEAKENING. DARBY HAS CROSSED LONGITUDE 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL ISSUE THE NEXT BULLETINS AT 11 PM HST. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1299 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626738-27613>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:46:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA31542; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:45:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA56090 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:45:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA00897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290845.DAA00897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 03:45:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Darby Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf772586fa0f06ba26de544d1267189d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 937 WTPA45 PHNL 290900 HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE JUL 28 1998 DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES 140W LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. IT IS MOVING OVER MARGINALLY COOL WATERS AT 24.5C AND FEELING SOME SHEARING EFFECTS WHICH ARE CLEARLY SEEN IN THE DISTORTED MOISTURE PATTERN IN THE SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WE HAVE MOVED DARBY ON A BEARING OF ABOUT 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT SLOWING IT SLIGHTLY WITH TIME. INTENSITY BROUGHT DOWN AS PER PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND GUIDANCE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 19.1N 141.3W 65 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 19.8N 143.6W 60 KTS 24HR VT 30/0600Z 20.9N 146.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 30/1800Z 21.8N 149.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 31/0600Z 22.8N 151.7W 35 KTS 72HR VT 01/0600Z 24.8N 156.6W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1864 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627036-9965>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:30:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA46342; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:28:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:28:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA50904 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:28:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290928.EAA01358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:28:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Darby Advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5691e04d1f96c1b45393c259fd72e8d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 WTPA45 PHNL 290900 BULLETIN HURRICANE DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE JUL 28 1998 ...HURRICANE DARBY ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN A WEAKENING MODE... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.3 WEST OR ABOUT 885 MILES EAST OF HILO HAWAII. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...19.1 N...141.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...WEDNESDAY. ROSENDAL CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627319-9970>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 17:42:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30346; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:40:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:40:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA39136 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:38:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290938.EAA01434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 04:38:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Darby Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32ad924f9e02758dba23059f0a6898e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 863 WTPA45 PHNL 290900 HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 0900Z WED JUL 29 1998 ...HURRICANE DARBY ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN A WEAKENING MODE... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 141.3W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 141.3W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 140.6W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.8N 143.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.9N 146.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.8N 149.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 141.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.8N 151.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.8N 156.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z ROSENDAL CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-9970>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 22:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24718; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:19:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9101682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:19:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA68476 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:19:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:19:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291419.JAA05170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:19:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd0f621244874c8f8fa869d0248e1c29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 ABPA20 PHNL 291400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 29 1998 TROPICAL STORM DARBY...DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE...IS 800 MILES EAST OF HILO AND ALMOST A THOUSAND MILES EAST OF HONOLULU. DARBY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A MINOR CIRCULATION ABOUT 2000 MILES TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU IS BEING MONITORED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4815 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626991-28723>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 22:46:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25576; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:46:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9101908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36054 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:45:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291445.JAA05792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:45:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9684d03f147fc51b030c073962f2d866 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 526 WTPA45 PHNL 291500 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED JUL 29 1998 DARBY IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES IN A WNW DIRECTION AT CLOSE TO 15 KT. IT REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY COOL WATERS AT 24 TO 25 DEGREES. IT IS ROUGHLY FOLLOWING THE ISOTHERMS. SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER NOW LIES OUT AHEAD OF DARBY ALONG THE PROJECTED PATH. THE TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PRIOR ISSUANCE AND THE INTENSITY IS ALSO DECREASED AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 19.9N 142.7W 60 KTS 12HR VT 30/0000Z 20.9N 144.7W 55 KTS 24HR VT 30/1200Z 22.4N 147.4W 50 KTS 36HR VT 31/0000Z 24.0N 150.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 31/1200Z 25.1N 153.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 01/1200Z 26.7N 158.9W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2434 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:41:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA18854; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:38:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:38:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA33940 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:38:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291638.LAA08839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b42c343a8ff780f767d4ba0e38b7649a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 643 WTPA25 PHNL 291500 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 1500Z WED JUL 29 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 142.7W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 142.7W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 142.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.9N 144.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.4N 147.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.0N 150.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 142.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 25.1N 153.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 26.7N 158.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z ROSENDAL CPHC HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627453-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:46:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA62562; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:39:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9103809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:39:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48970 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:39:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:39:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291639.LAA08862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:39:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54f834b6e8d43111061b210cb4adf753 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 WTPA35 PHNL 291500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED JUL 29 1998 ...TROPICAL STORM DARBY DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.7 WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...19.9N...142.7W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL CPHC HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 01:13:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56092; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:11:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:11:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56306 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:11:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:11:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291711.MAA09705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:11:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eaf15f69a43934290a3082c2501d9ed3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 WTPA45 PHNL 291500 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED JUL 29 1998 DARBY IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES IN A WNW DIRECTION AT CLOSE TO 15 KT. IT REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY COOL WATERS AT 24 TO 25 DEGREES. IT IS ROUGHLY FOLLOWING THE ISOTHERMS. SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER NOW LIES OUT AHEAD OF DARBY ALONG THE PROJECTED PATH. THE TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PRIOR ISSUANCE AND THE INTENSITY IS ALSO DECREASED AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 19.9N 142.7W 60 KTS 12HR VT 30/0000Z 20.9N 144.7W 55 KTS 24HR VT 30/1200Z 22.4N 147.4W 50 KTS 36HR VT 31/0000Z 24.0N 150.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 31/1200Z 25.1N 153.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 01/1200Z 26.7N 158.9W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626905-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 01:50:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26108; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:38:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19162 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:38:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:38:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807291738.MAA10366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 12:38:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a097bcb34564687ae3488cdaeee39c55 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 711 WTPA45 PHNL 291500 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED JUL 29 1998 DARBY IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES IN A WNW DIRECTION AT CLOSE TO 15 KT. IT REMAINS OVER MARGINALLY COOL WATERS AT 24 TO 25 DEGREES. IT IS ROUGHLY FOLLOWING THE ISOTHERMS. SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER NOW LIES OUT AHEAD OF DARBY ALONG THE PROJECTED PATH. THE TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PRIOR ISSUANCE AND THE INTENSITY IS ALSO DECREASED AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 19.9N 142.7W 60 KTS 12HR VT 30/0000Z 20.9N 144.7W 55 KTS 24HR VT 30/1200Z 22.4N 147.4W 50 KTS 36HR VT 31/0000Z 24.0N 150.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 31/1200Z 25.1N 153.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 01/1200Z 26.7N 158.9W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627513-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:06:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA10436; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:03:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9106766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30894 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:03:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292003.PAA14876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 15:03:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 803c92428ca988879fe9e4a68294a5a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 632 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 29 1998 AT 8 AM TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS ABOUT 775 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 20N 143W...MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AND WEAKENING. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39850; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:05:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30408 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292104.QAA17004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b26b216b4f4f3123a03c25479328644c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 WTPA35 PHNL 292100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED JUL 29 1998 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.9 WEST OR ABOUT 720 MILES EAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...20.3 N...143.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:13:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA59662; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA39114 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292104.QAA17006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51154593c133450981104e664826ccb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 469 WTPA45 PHNL 292100 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED JUL 29 1998 DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE WATERS TO THE EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE CLIPPER MODEL AND EXTRAPOLATION AND TAKES DARBY ON A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE CURRENT MOTION IS BASED ON FURTHER DECAY TO A SHALLOW SYSTEM AND STEERING BY THE EASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE DOMINANT HIGH CENTER TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 20.3N 143.9W 50 KTS 12HR VT 30/0600Z 20.8N 145.9W 40 KTS 24HR VT 30/1800Z 21.4N 148.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 31/0600Z 22.1N 151.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 31/1800Z 22.8N 154.4W 25 KTS 72HR VT 01/1800Z 24.2N 159.5W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627640-1892>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:16:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA59888; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26054 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292104.QAA17003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:04:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 710849388917495a6b92120c1b762416 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 468 WTPA25 PHNL 272100 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 2100Z WED JUL 29 1998 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 143.9W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 143.9W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 143.3W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.8N 145.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 20SE 20SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.4N 148.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.1N 151.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 143.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.8N 154.4W MAX WIND 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.2N 159.5W MAX WIND 20 KT. NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3203 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-1896>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 05:29:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA30416; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:26:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30652 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:26:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807292126.QAA17470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 16:26:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 27...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de984cd5e9568c7855679e824c86d15d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 WTPA25 PHNL 292100 COR TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 2100Z WED JUL 29 1998 ...CORRECTED DATE TIME GROUP TO READ 292100... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 143.9W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 143.9W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 143.3W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.8N 145.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 20SE 20SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.4N 148.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.1N 151.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 143.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.8N 154.4W MAX WIND 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.2N 159.5W MAX WIND 20 KT. NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625972-16550>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 10:05:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA46530; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:01:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA68526 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:00:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:00:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300200.VAA21298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:00:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68013668b22e9b3d097e745a44e706c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 100 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 29 1998 AT 4 PM TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 21N 144W...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AND WEAKENING. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626041-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 10:50:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA28192; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12266 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300250.VAA21858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae3956616673f0f1ad8efc029bb788ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 950 WTPA25 PHNL 300300 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 0300Z THU JUL 30 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENING EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 144.6W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 50SE 50SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 144.6W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 144.2W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.9N 145.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 10SE 10SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.7N 147.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 23.5N 149.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 144.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.3N 151.6W MAX WIND 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 25.3N 158.2W MAX WIND 20 KT. NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 10:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA28214; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47852 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300250.VAA21860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51d0b881daca5245ba740d0c2c3de35f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTPA35 PHNL 300300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED JUL 29 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENING EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.6 WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES..1090 KM...EAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...21.1 N...144.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626097-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 10:51:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA31832; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9093041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19694 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300250.VAA21863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 21:50:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67501714dcb93f115a889217c0bd678e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 953 WTPA45 PHNL 300300 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED JUL 29 1998 DARBY HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWEST THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE INITIAL TRACK CONTINUES THIS MOTION. DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND IS BECOMING A SHALLOW SYSTEM. ITS MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WESTWARD IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND CLIPPER FORECASTS. THIS MOVEMENT WILL TAKE DARBY ON A PATH 200 TO 300 MILES NORTH OF THE ISLANDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0300Z 21.1N 144.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 30/1200Z 21.9N 145.9W 40 KTS 24HR VT 31/0000Z 22.7N 147.4W 30 KTS 36HR VT 31/1200Z 23.5N 149.1W 25 KTS 48HR VT 01/0000Z 24.3N 151.6W 25 KTS 72HR VT 02/0000Z 25.3N 158.2W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626666-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:04:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA16892; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA25260 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300901.EAA25387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cac022bfe92bd3011377f65a2a21836b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 WTPA25 PHNL 300900 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 0900Z THU JUL 30 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENING EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 145.5W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 145.5W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 145.0W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.6N 147.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 10SE 10SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.1N 149.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.8N 151.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 145.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.4N 153.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 23.9N 158.2W DISSIPATED. NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627135-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:04:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA16716; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:03:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44734 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300901.EAA25397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 062510817c8fc3c5713f433afd56af70 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 453 WTPA45 PHNL 300900 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED JUL 29 1998 DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE WATERS TO THE EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS EXTRAPOLATION AND CLIMATOLOGY...TAKING DARBY ON A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE CURRENT MOTION IS BASED ON FURTHER DECAY TO A SHALLOW SYSTEM. CONVECTION IS NOW MINIMAL AND CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN QUADRANT OF THE STORM. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS CLEARLY VISIBLE AND HAS ALREADY DECOUPLED FROM THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND HIGH CLOUD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. STEERING IS PRIMARILY BY THE LOWER LEVEL FLOW AND THE RESULTANT TRACK WILL TAKE THE CENTER BY SOME 250 MILES NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SOMEWHAT CLOSER THAN PREVIOUS TRACKS. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 21.1N 145.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 30/1800Z 21.6N 147.1W 40 KTS 24HR VT 31/0600Z 22.1N 149.1W 35 KTS 36HR VT 31/1800Z 22.8N 151.2W 30 KTS 48HR VT 01/0600Z 23.4N 153.3W 25 KTS 72HR VT 02/0600Z 23.9N 158.2W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:04:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA11204; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA67782 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300901.EAA25402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89169548a4c1b6ad2e4caab1236c8cf0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 29 1998 AT 10 PM TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU ...NEAR 21N 145W...MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AND WEAKENING. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626666-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:05:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA41206; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44760 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300901.EAA25407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:01:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70a1f2c0b7e278f2a4c4127a2be3b028 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 496 WTPA35 PHNL 300900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED JUL 29 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENING EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.5 WEST OR ABOUT 615 MILES...1140 KM... DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...21.1 N...145.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...THURSDAY. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4932 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626883-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 17:06:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA61588; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:05:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:05:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA12832 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300902.EAA25444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:02:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 29 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 442b1ed34ec7020d4868de3eea75ac1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 WTPA35 PHNL 300900 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 29 CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED JUL 29 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENING EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.5 WEST OR ABOUT 615 MILES...1140 KM...EAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...21.1 N...145.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...THURSDAY. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4711 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 22:16:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28400; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:15:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41852 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:15:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:15:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301415.JAA29222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:15:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5371f00241c9ddce100ece76fe05cfe8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 30 1998 THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY IS ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU AND MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. SEE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS MORE THAN THREE THOUSAND MILES EAST OF THE ISLANDS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627097-4296>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 22:30:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11166; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:28:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39182 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:27:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301427.JAA29454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:27:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1403b61df1cca01d35a54d9aa614954 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTPA25 PHNL 301500 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 1500Z THU JUL 30 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENS AND WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 146.8W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 146.8W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 146.3W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.6N 148.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 23.5N 150.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.9N 152.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 146.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 26.3N 154.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 29.9N 158.1W...DISSIPATED. NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 22:30:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09946; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:29:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28352 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:28:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301428.JAA29472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:28:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7f7a2019b3c1b9908a4f1b997e92a1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 WTPA45 PHNL 301500 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU JUL 30 1998 DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE WATERS TO THE EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND IS NOW EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS EXTRAPOLATION AND IS CLOSE TO THE AVN MODEL TRACK...TAKING DARBY ON A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE CURRENT MOTION IS BASED ON CONTINUING DECAY. NO CONVECTION IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH DARBY. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS CLEARLY VISIBLE AND SHOWS A WIDE EYE-LIKE FEATURE IN THE LOW CLOUD PATTERN WHICH WAS USED FOR LOCATING THE STORM. STEERING IS PRIMARILY BY THE LOWER LEVEL FLOW AND THE RESULTANT TRACK WILL TAKE THE CENTER BY WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/1500Z 22.0N 146.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 31/0000Z 22.6N 148.3W 35 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 31/1200Z 23.5N 150.6W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 01/0000Z 24.9N 152.8W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 01/1200Z 26.3N 154.9W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 02/1200Z 29.9N 158.1W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1880 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 22:30:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11178; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:29:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:29:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09864 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:29:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807301429.JAA29485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:29:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53abf8bc826c5cdc75e2372ef6ef8dff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 125 WTPA35 PHNL 301500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU JUL 30 1998 ...DARBY WEAKENS AND WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.8 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...885 KM...EAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...22.0 N...146.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3971 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627737-4290>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 05:06:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA41810; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA43750 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:00:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA09964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302100.QAA09964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0662906f71071480238bf2e35bb109a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 021 WTPA25 PHNL 302100 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 2100Z THU JUL 30 1998 ...DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 148.2W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 148.2W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 147.5W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 23.6N 150.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.6N 152.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.6N 155.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 148.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 26.6N 158.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 27.8N 163.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627750-4290>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 05:05:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA41850; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA67818 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:00:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA09968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:00:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302100.QAA09968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:00:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f8ee5f863763bf9d41fd3fb31f263de Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 022 WTPA45 PHNL 302100 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU JUL 30 1998 DARBY IS WEAKENING AND IS NEARLY LOSING ALL OF ITS CONVECTION...THE CLOSEST CB WAS 120 NM NORTH OF THE CENTER AT 18Z. THE UPPER SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS HELPED STEER DARBYS CENTER MORE NORTH OF WEST SINCE ITS CROSSING 140W. HOWEVER AS THE STORM TURNS MORE SHALLOW THE TRACK SHOULD BE GUIDED BY THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES SOUTH OF RIDGE. ALTHO MOST MODELS STILL MAINTAIN A MORE NORTHERLY PROJECTION. WE WILL SLANT THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL PATH MORE TOWARD THE CLIPPER MODEL WHICH FAVORS AN EVENTUAL WESTERLY BEND. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 22.9N 148.2W 35 KTS 12HR VT 31/0600Z 23.6N 150.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 31/1800Z 24.6N 152.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 01/0600Z 25.6N 155.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 01/1800Z 26.6N 158.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 02/1800Z 27.8N 163.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627552-4296>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 05:03:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA04226; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30626 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA10009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302101.QAA10009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:01:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77d41407931d8f9a18d3573a59117882 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 039 WTPA45 PHNL 302100 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU JUL 30 1998 DARBY IS WEAKENING AND IS NEARLY LOSING ALL OF ITS CONVECTION...THE CLOSEST CB WAS 120 NM NORTH OF THE CENTER AT 18Z. THE UPPER SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS HELPED STEER DARBYS CENTER MORE NORTH OF WEST SINCE ITS CROSSING 140W. HOWEVER AS THE STORM TURNS MORE SHALLOW THE TRACK SHOULD BE GUIDED BY THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES SOUTH OF RIDGE. ALTHO MOST MODELS STILL MAINTAIN A MORE NORTHERLY PROJECTION. WE WILL SLANT THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL PATH MORE TOWARD THE CLIPPER MODEL WHICH FAVORS AN EVENTUAL WESTERLY BEND. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 22.9N 148.2W 35 KTS 12HR VT 31/0600Z 23.6N 150.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 31/1800Z 24.6N 152.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 01/0600Z 25.6N 155.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 01/1800Z 26.6N 158.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 02/1800Z 27.8N 163.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627738-4296>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 05:06:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA30492; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9091973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA41166 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA10018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302102.QAA10018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:02:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84804cfa05c4ff791eb389bda6e99bdf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 046 WTPA35 PHNL 302100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU JUL 30 1998 ...DARBY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... AT 11 AM HST THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.2 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES EASTNORTHEAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. DARBY IS NOT A DANGEROUS THREAT TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE STATE IN THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...22.9N 148.2W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4216 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627737-4296>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 05:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA20706; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:06:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9092043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA37794 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:05:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA10089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:05:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807302105.QAA10089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:05:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9acaa98a3a8006815a3e8e4775bd7c3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 30 1998 AT 10 AM TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS ABOUT 500 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 23N 148W...AND MOVING WEST/NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626939-18727>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:57:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30342; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:57:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30308 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310157.UAA14205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 20:57:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df53e1fac90af9e2bf0d02bece73cdcf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 492 ABPA20 PHNL 310200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY JULY 30 1998 AT 230 PM HST...TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS ABOUT 460 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 23.3N 149.0W...AND MOVING WEST/NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627046-5099>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:45:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA57706; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:44:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:44:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44708 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:40:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:40:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310240.VAA14773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:40:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84e78a030e5fc906f8b7ae97317d5a19 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 WTPA35 PHNL 310300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU JUL 30 1998 ...WEAKENING DARBY CONTINUES ON PATH SAFELY DISTANT FROM ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.7 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. DARBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH REMAINING SO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. DARBY IS NOT A DANGER TO THE ISLANDS. ITS CENTER WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES NORTH OF THE ISLANDS FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...23.4N 149.7W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627103-5099>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA61606; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:51:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA27914 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:41:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:41:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310241.VAA14799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:41:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33e8ea12d3d1f6244568d9623c7af486 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 WTPA25 PHNL 310300 TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 0300Z FRI JUL 31 1998 ...WEAKENING DARBY CONTINUES ON PATH SAFELY DISTANT FROM ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 149.7W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 149.7W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 149.0W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 24.2N 151.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.3N 154.7W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.3N 157.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 149.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 27.2N 160.6W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-5099>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:52:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA04336; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:51:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9096037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22550 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:41:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310241.VAA14803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 21:41:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Darby Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ee9af1ee43194b000f20f868fc3f7b1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 361 WTPA45 PHNL 310300 TROPICAL STORM DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU JUL 30 1998 WILL MAINTAIN EARLIER NEARLY PURE EXTRAPOLATIVE PATH AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN CLIPPERS LATER TURN WESTWARD AND ALL OTHER MODELS MORE NORTHWARD BENT...MOVEMENT TODAY HAS BEEN A STEADY 290 DEGREES SO FAR. AS DARBY MOVES WEST OF UPPER TROUGHING NEAR 150 CONTINUED CONVECTION BECOMES DOUBTFUL AND A MORE WESTWARD DIRECTION GUIDED BY FIRM LOWER LEVEL RIDGING MORE PROBABLE. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0300Z 23.4N 149.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 31/1200Z 24.2N 151.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 01/0000Z 25.3N 154.7W 25 KTS 36HR VT 01/1200Z 26.3N 157.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 02/0000Z 27.2N 160.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626519-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30264; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:56:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:55:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19748 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:55:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310755.CAA17799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 02:55:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a1233883066ce8d85672a102af77030 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 229 ABPA20 PHNL 310800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY JULY 30 1998 AT 730 PM HST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WAS ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 23.3N 149.9W...MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE ...POSITIONED BETWEEN 07N AND 11N...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627228-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:29:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19938; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:29:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA20688 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:28:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310828.DAA18187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:28:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5cbada0d230240b70443838266880b61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 WTPA25 PHNL 310900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 0900Z FRI JUL 31 1998 ...WEAKENING DARBY CONTINUES ON PATH SAFELY NORTH OF THE ISLANDS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 150.4W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 150.4W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 149.9W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.1N 152.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.8N 154.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N 156.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 150.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 26.1N 158.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.9N 164.2W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3047 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627196-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:30:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19820; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA67668 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310830.DAA18205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50c988f31004d2ce5529d257e12ffd3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 874 WTPA45 PHNL 310900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU JUL 30 1998 CONTINUING TO FOLLOW EXTRAPOLATIVE PATH WITH CLIMATE-PERSISTANCE AS GUIDANCE. THIS SEEMS PRUDENT AS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND BECOME EVER MORE SHALLOW AND THUS EMBEDDED IN LOW-LEVEL TRADE FLOW. BAM SHALLOW AND AVN...ALTHOUGH THEY TAKE THE STORM SOMEWHAT FARTHER NORTH...ALSO EVENTUALLY RELEASE THE SYSTEM TO THE LOW-LEVEL TRADES. OTHER MODELS WHICH ARE MORE USEFUL FOR A BETTER-DEVELOPED SYSTEM RECURVE THE STORM TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND HAVE BEEN DISREGARDED. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0900Z 23.6N 150.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 31/1800Z 24.1N 152.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 01/0600Z 24.8N 154.1W 30 KTS 36HR VT 01/1800Z 25.5N 156.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 02/0600Z 26.1N 158.9W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 03/0600Z 26.9N 164.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627229-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30344; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA23414 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310830.DAA18209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 03:30:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09497f686cae4db0db6ffd34829f2469 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 WTPA35 PHNL 310900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU JUL 30 1998 ...WEAKENING DARBY CONTINUES ON PATH SAFELY NORTH OF THE ISLANDS... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.4 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...23.6 N...150.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...FRIDAY. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627315-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:58:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43752; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:52:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67798 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:52:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311352.IAA21386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 08:52:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0566b467f45687ffde7ac38f8700aaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 ABPA20 PHNL 311400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 31 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WAS ABOUT 360 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 23.0N 151.3W...MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...NEAR 10N 161W...IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. ALTHOUGH NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-19152>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 22:47:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44594; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:45:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA40992 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:45:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA22526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311445.JAA22526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:45:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Forecast/advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f113a92807534ef95db67c2846207ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 677 WTPA25 PHNL 311500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 1500Z FRI JUL 31 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY MOVING WEST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 151.9W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 151.9W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 151.3W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.4N 153.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.6N 156.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.8N 158.4W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 151.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 22:46:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22638; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44636 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA22536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311446.JAA22536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Discussion Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3514874993102a919ba5797a21e3441c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 WTPA45 PHNL 311500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI JUL 31 1998 CONTINUING TO FOLLOW EXTRAPOLATIVE PATH AND CLIMATE-PERSISTANCE AS GUIDANCE. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND HAS NOW TURNED WEST. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN IT WILL MOVE EMBEDDED IN LOW-LEVEL TRADE FLOW. OTHER MODELS APPEAR TO IGNORE THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THE STORM AS THEY VEER ITS PATH TOWARD THE NORTH AND SOME TO THE NORTHEAST AND THUS HAVE BEEN IGNORED. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 23.2N 151.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 01/0000Z 23.4N 153.9W 25 KTS 24HR VT 01/1200Z 23.6N 156.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 02/0000Z 23.8N 158.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:5000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 22:47:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22704; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9100700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41116 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA22548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311446.JAA22548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 09:46:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46e158025755ca57e48dc9440c7379d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 WTPA35 PHNL 311500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI JUL 31 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY MOVING WEST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.9 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...23.2 N...151.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627624-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 03:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24616; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:56:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13068 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:56:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:56:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807311956.OAA29940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 14:56:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23fa38bac548e159f31c524b5bc4ecb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 ABPA20 PHNL 312000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 31 1998 AT 830 AM HST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WAS ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 23.5N 152.5W...AND MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 10N 163W...ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTH/SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3351 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627604-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:46:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12900; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104848 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19260 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312045.PAA01019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Forecast/advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a432194e982dd977808c11c4b3f506e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 378 WTPA25 PHNL 312100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 2100Z FRI JUL 31 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WILL BE PASSING SAFELY NORTH OF THE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.0W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 153.0W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 152.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.6N 155.0W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.7N 157.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.7N 160.9W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 153.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:47:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12928; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:46:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12864 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312045.PAA01021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:45:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Discussion Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e320aa30106bf4c0d7c65f65fd5fff9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 379 WTPA45 PHNL 312100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI JUL 31 1998 DARBY IS ASSUMING A STRAIGHT WESTWARD PATH BEING GUIDED STRICTLY BY THE FIRM LOW LEVEL EATERLIES...NO WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE TO DARBYS NORTH IS EXPECTED. CONVECTION IS ABSENT AND NOT FORECAST TO REOCCUR IN THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/2100Z 23.5N 153.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 01/0600Z 23.6N 155.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 01/1800Z 23.7N 157.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 02/0600Z 23.7N 160.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3342 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627585-19158>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 04:46:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12984; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:46:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9104865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:46:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22694 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:46:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807312046.PAA01044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 15:46:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c942d23e22733a7ea662ddd0b57f4f62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 380 WTPA35 PHNL 312100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI JUL 31 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WILL BE PASSING SAFELY NORTH OF THE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.0 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THRU 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...23.5 N...153.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626355-16649>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 09:56:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12924; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:56:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29288 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:56:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010156.UAA05144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 20:56:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b5960e6ec72e64d3c2f2d959d0ab27c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 026 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 31 1998 AT 230 PM HST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WAS ABOUT 280 MILES NORTH/NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 23.6N 153.7W...AND MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 11N 164W...ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. IT IS MOVING WEST/NORTHWESTWARD AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626405-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 10:47:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19272; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41778 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010246.VAA05730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:46:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Discussion Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a87d732eeea485e72f667cb5cf6b48fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 977 WTPA45 PHNL 010300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI JUL 31 1998 ...THIS THE FINAL ISSUANCE ON DARBY... WITH REJUVENATION OF DARBY CONSIDERED UNLIKELY AS IT PASSES NORTH OF HAWAII TOMORROW WE WILL MAKE THIS THE LAST BULLETIN SET. ITS LOW LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN AND CIRCULATION HOWEVER HAS HELD UP QUITE WELL...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR ITS REMNANTS AS IT MOVES FURTHER WEST OF THE ISLANDS AND UNDER THE CONVECTIVE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN 48 TO 72 HOUR AND POSSIBLE REVIVAL. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0300Z 23.7N 154.3W 25 KTS 12HR VT 01/1200Z 23.8N 156.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 02/0000Z 24.0N 159.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 02/1200Z 24.0N 162.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626433-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 10:48:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12982; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20644 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010247.VAA05749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:47:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Forecast/advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4003f399242d429f304f7b183dfac40 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 982 WTPA25 PHNL 010300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0598 0300Z SAT AUG 1 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WILL BE DISSIPATING AS IT PASSES NORTH OF THE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 154.3W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 154.3W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 153.6W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.8N 156.3W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.0N 159.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.0N 162.0W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24N 155W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 10:50:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19386; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:50:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9107946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30374 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:50:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010250.VAA05775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 21:50:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Darby Advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e4c5dea214e5e91de15cc3dc938def3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 006 WTPA35 PHNL 010300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI JUL 31 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY WILL BE DISSIPATING AS IT PASSES NORTH OF THE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... AT 5 PM HST...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.3 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHNORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 MPH. THIS MOTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014MB OR 29.94 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION 23.7N 154.3W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626408-16649>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 15:57:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA37744; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:56:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9110074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:56:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12892 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:56:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010756.CAA08521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 02:56:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41cfaea428c9f98fe470c81822c7581f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 31 1998 THE CENTER OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY IS 280 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU NEAR 23.7N 154.4W AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 11N 166W...ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE CONTAINS UNORGANIZED ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-16649>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29374; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:56:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9111759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA62536 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:56:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:55:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011355.IAA11341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 08:55:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f564d94eb92bf09d25cc3c7071f94dce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 034 ABPA20 PHNL 011400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 1 1998 THE CENTER OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY IS 250 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU NEAR 24.4N 156.1W AND IS MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 MILES PER HOUR. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3231 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626798-29809>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15318; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:56:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:56:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA62658 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:56:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:56:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011956.OAA15175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:56:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ebc6ba1f256dc216ea171d378652196 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 ABPA20 PHNL 012000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 01 1998 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ARE CENTERED NEAR 24.5N 157.4W...OR ABOUT 220 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITH THE DISTURBANCE AT THIS TIME. A CLUSTER OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS FIRING IN THE VICINITY OF 12N 166W. THE HIGHER CLOUDS ARE OBSCURING THE VIEW OF THE LOWER LEVELS...BUT A DISTURBANCE WAS IN THIS GENERAL AREA YESTERDAY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:56:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29324; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:55:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62574 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:55:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020155.UAA18721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 20:55:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9794cac60e8315b9e3f903ab6d8e3dab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 440 ABPA20 PHNL 020200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 01 1998 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ARE CENTERED NEAR 24.5N 158.5W...OR ABOUT 225 MILES NORTH/NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. CONVECTION WITH THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS WEAK AND ISOLATED. A DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 11N 168W AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEEN FIRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM EARLIER IN THE DAY...BUT MOST OF THE CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED...AT LEAST FOR THE TIME BEING. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION FOR ANY SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626679-23586>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29336; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:56:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20614 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:56:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:56:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020756.CAA21684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 02:56:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a424cfe833d540d2148edfeadaaf23a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 ABPA20 PHNL 020800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 01 1998 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ARE CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 159.4W...OR ABOUT 240 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. A DISTURBANCE THAT WAS NEAR 11N 168W AT 2 PM HST HAS DISSIPATED. DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IS CONFINED TO THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY ALONG 09N. NO ORGANIZATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1420 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43602; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:57:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:57:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13120 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:57:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021357.IAA24490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 08:57:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79ef366abbd7d3cf4ec3059cb7a3b430 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 ABPA20 PHNL 021400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 02 1998 AT 3 AM HST...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY ARE CENTERED NEAR 25.1N 160.7W...OR ABOUT 310 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. A COUPLE OF CB TOWERS HAVE FLARED UP DURING THE PAST HOUR THAT MAY BE THE RESULT OF ENHANCED DIVERGENCE IN A SPLIT UPPER LEVEL JET. WHILE DARBY IS NOT EXPECTED TO REGENERATE...IT WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY ALONG 09N HAS DISSIPATED. THE ONLY ACTIVE TOWERS ARE ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. NO ORGANIZATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3110 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626997-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:58:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28024; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA29284 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021957.OAA27639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e130a7a702cf470cf0e86d486e3c8e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 584 ABPA20 PHNL 022000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 02 1998 A WEAK CIRCULATION...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY...IS CENTERED NEAR 25.4N 162.2W...OR ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU AT 9 AM. MOVEMENT WEST NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM THIS MORNING JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER BENEATH AN UNSTABLE...DIVERGENT UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD TO 10N LATITUDE. THIS 200 MILES WIDE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHES BETWEEN POINTS 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626463-20782>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:54:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44644; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:53:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9126664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:53:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA58186 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:53:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030153.UAA00515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 20:53:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0dbeef872523c4f5b1ce90a815930db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 922 ABPA20 PHNL 030200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 02 1998 A WEAK CIRCULATION...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY...IS CENTERED NEAR 26N 164W...OR ABOUT 500 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU AT 1 PM. MOVEMENT IS WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DIMINISH JUST EAST OF THE CENTER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS CIRCULATION SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-835>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA37820; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:57:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:57:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22696 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:57:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030757.CAA03488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 02:57:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc0339132423632ef0fc10a45e78f962 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 774 ABPA20 PHNL 030800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 02 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY...IS CENTERED NEAR 26N 166W...OR ABOUT 600 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. MOVEMENT IS WESTWARD AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REINTENSIFYING. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627146-15054>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:10:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA50058; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:09:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9132318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA46708 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:09:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA09995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:09:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031509.KAA09995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:09:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5117b84282d66b93eafc9f0ceabfef7a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 696 ABPA20 PHNL 031400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 03 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-15054>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:54:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28518; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:51:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:51:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09792 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031951.OAA17319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:51:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed4f0211bf2b78a3eaa7f85fe32cfbb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 ABPA20 PHNL 032000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 03 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627263-22828>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19414; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:52:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9138981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35000 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:52:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040152.UAA23039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 20:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88347ba7af836c27ee8a6b1a5553c47d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 726 ABPA20 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 03 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-5396>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:58:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA35050; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA64724 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:55:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040755.CAA26431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 02:55:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e5b2377f7f46e27bf7dda85904a79c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 810 ABPA20 PHNL 040800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 03 1998 HURRICANE ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR 20N 140W IN THE LATE EVENING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY...AUG 05...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. WHEN IT REACHES 140W...IT WILL BE ENTERING THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. AT THAT TIME THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM ...OR TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STRENGTH. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL THEN TAKE OVER FORECAST RESPONSIBILITY FOR ESTELLE. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627374-26439>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19356; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:56:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9144189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA58242 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:56:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:55:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041355.IAA00027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:55:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb5cec5190fe67b746701b37abd40fa5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 ABPA20 PHNL 041400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 04 1998 HURRICANE ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR 19N 140W IN THE LATE EVENING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY...AUG 05...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. WHEN IT REACHES 140W...IT WILL BE ENTERING THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. AT THAT TIME THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM ...OR TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STRENGTH. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL THEN TAKE OVER FORECAST RESPONSIBILITY FOR ESTELLE. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3004 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 00:09:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44630; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9146544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA22070 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041607.LAA03376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:07:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: daf3f0c957354dc01ab444e6550212ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 102 ABPA20 PHNL 041605 AMD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 6 AM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 4 1998 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 18N 129W. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 14 MILES AN HOUR AND WEAKENING. THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE STORM HAS SLOWED SINCE LAST NIGHT. ESTELLE IS NOW FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THURSDAY MORNING. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. AFTER ESTELLE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:03:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15192; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:02:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44594 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:02:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:02:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042002.PAA08637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:02:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 226e2e46d6802cc3fa50afad805a945a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 885 ABPA20 PHNL 042000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 4 1998 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1640 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 18N 130W. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 14 MILES AN HOUR AND WEAKENING. ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THURSDAY MORNING. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. AFTER ESTELLE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-18135>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:44:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA13084; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:44:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9156207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:44:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA58362 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:44:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:44:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050344.WAA16657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:44:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fae82c592940cc76450a82ab1c983cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 ABPA20 PHNL 050200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 4 1998 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 19N 131W. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR AND WEAKENING. ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ON THURSDAY. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. AFTER ESTELLE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-2377>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41794; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:56:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9158032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30768 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:56:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050756.CAA19265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 02:56:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d3ba0263ae309b747ac1222a9ad0582 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 ABPA20 PHNL 050800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 4 1998 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1525 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 19N 132W. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 MPH AND WEAKENING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. AFTER ESTELLE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627450-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39756; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:50:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9160831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA43528 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:49:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:49:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051349.IAA23395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:49:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c2398387f937b4115f79cfe719c4c97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 053 ABPA20 PHNL 051400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUG 5 1998 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 19.5N 133.5W AT 3 AM. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAKENING TREND. ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W THURSDAY NIGHT BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY DISSIPATED BY THEN. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE ...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4909 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627450-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:42:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28210; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:41:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9161892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29214 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:41:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051441.JAA24675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 09:41:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53d899b1805eaace859ecb36c852c75a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 078 ABPA20 PHNL 051440 AMD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 440 AM HST WED AUG 5 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WAS ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 19.5N 133.9W. IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC REGION ON FRIDAY. FOR DETAILS ON THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4176 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627507-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:13:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25220; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:10:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9166311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:10:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA36720 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:10:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:10:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808052010.PAA02762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:10:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c8fb2603c55814ae07e0ba17f275b9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 327 ABPA20 PHNL 052000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 5 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1330 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 20N 135W. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 14 MILES AN HOUR AND WEAKENING. ESTELLE...OR HER REMNANT...IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE...SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. IF ESTELLE IS STILL A DEPRESSION AFTER SHE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-663>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 10:06:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47482; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:05:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9170065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA37734 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:05:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:05:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060205.VAA08862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 21:05:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ca5d611ab7fdcad152bc6536635bd32 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 ABPA20 PHNL 060200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 5 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1220 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 20N 136W. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. ESTELLE...OR HER REMNANT...IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC TOMORROW. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE... SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. IF ESTELLE IS STILL A DEPRESSION AFTER SHE CROSSES 140W... THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626777-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:56:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22182; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:56:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA40084 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:56:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060756.CAA12304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:56:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd400797f6092bbe2fbabc2243e7a2fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 363 ABPA20 PHNL 060800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 5 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS ABOUT 1125 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 20N 137.5. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. ESTELLE...OR HER REMNANT...IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THURSDAY. FOR DETAILS ON ESTELLE... SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. IF ESTELLE IS STILL A DEPRESSION AFTER SHE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING THE BULLETINS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627535-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:59:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA20868; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:59:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9175049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20592 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:59:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:59:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061359.IAA16387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 08:59:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38e653860d7aa183b7b7410fc4fa2d9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 006 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU AUG 6 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WAS ABOUT 1030 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 20.2N 139.2W AT 3 AM. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON ESTELLE. WHEN ESTELLE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL TAKE OVER ISSUING BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:58:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA61578; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:56:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19828 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:56:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:56:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061956.OAA25295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:56:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1377ca3820a3548a78419d6692b57f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 ABPA20 PHNL 062000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 6 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WAS ABOUT 855 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 20.4N 140.0W...AT 7 AM. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 13 MILES AN HOUR. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:34:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29070; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28028 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062032.PAA26257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc3f085e8d73c85b3b5aa7b359923edb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 720 WTPA41 PHNL 062100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU AUG 06 1998 THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED...BUT THE LIMITED AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES DO NOT CHANGE MUCH IN THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION AND WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT INTENSITY UNTIL ESTELLE REACHES 150W IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. AT THAT TIME...THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO BE SHEARED UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AS A RESULT... ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATION AFTER 48 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 275/13. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 20.6N 141.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 20.7N 143.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 21.0N 145.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 21.2N 148.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 21.5N 150.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 09/1800Z 22.0N 155.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627572-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:34:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA42962; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:33:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28092 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062032.PAA26271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:32:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ce21ac514cb50df3cee8ec33326fa88 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 729 WTPA21 PHNL 062100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 2100Z THU AUG 06 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 141.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 141.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 140.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.7N 143.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.0N 145.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 148.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 141.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 150.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.0N 155.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627560-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:35:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63534; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:34:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:34:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA58130 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:34:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062034.PAA26293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:34:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d16bcc5412d5e1172205c949d563075d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 731 WTPA31 PHNL 062100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU AUG 06 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.0 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES...1450 KM...EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...20.6 N...141.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625881-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28078; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:56:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9183077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA40086 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:56:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:56:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070156.UAA00666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:56:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23e2933935eaaf1ad373c47726c5a9e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 ABPA20 PHNL 070200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 6 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WAS ABOUT 880 MILES EAST OF HILO... NEAR 20.8N 141.6W...AT 130 PM. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 16 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 13N 147W. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THOUGH FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625886-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 10:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA41978; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9183651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44776 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070233.VAA01119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de51b81a9af3cc0bc5739f1263a5fd66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 WTPA41 PHNL 070300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU AUG 06 1998 ESTELLE REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED AND SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DVORAK ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 2.0 AND WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT INTENSITY. WITHIN 36 HOURS...THE SYSTEM WILL BE NEAR 150W AND BE SHEARED UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER SOUTHWEST FLOW. AS A RESULT...ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATION AFTER 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 275/13. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH AND IS SIMILAR TO THE AVIATION...CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTENCE...AND THE UNITED KINGDOM METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE MODELS. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 20.9N 142.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/1200Z 21.1N 144.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/0000Z 21.5N 147.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/1200Z 21.8N 149.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 09/0000Z 22.1N 152.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 10/0000Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626162-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 10:34:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA41798; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9183663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44588 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070233.VAA01137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:33:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb4a341253eb90c1ad0e3ebb82a6fb1a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 WTPA21 PHNL 070300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 0300Z FRI AUG 07 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 142.4W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 142.4W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 141.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.1N 144.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N 147.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.8N 149.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 142.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.1N 152.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.8N 157.0W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 10:34:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62658; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9183672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62624 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070234.VAA01143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 21:34:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8a61956bce33a48f0bec2fc9ddc24c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 446 WTPA31 PHNL 070300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU AUG 06 1998 AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.4 WEST OR ABOUT 820 MILES...1320 KM...EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...20.9 N...142.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:58:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40096; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:58:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:58:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA49294 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:58:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070758.CAA04022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 02:58:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d53461712062cee3868245bcc9fdfcd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 ABPA20 PHNL 070800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 6 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. ESTELLE IS CENTERED ABOUT 780 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 21.0N 143.0W...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 14 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 13N 148.5W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2786 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627195-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:31:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30584; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19284 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070831.DAA04492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c867af15298dc86bdfe45e524ec8aa2b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 WTPA21 PHNL 070900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 0900Z FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 143.5W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 143.5W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 142.9W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.4N 145.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.8N 148.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.2N 150.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 143.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.5N 153.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2855 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626957-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:32:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30602; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19300 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070831.DAA04496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70f9bbe0101befb8ef2e2ab76e181b67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 959 WTPA41 PHNL 080900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU AUG 06 1998 ESTELLE CONTINUES TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SURROUNDED BY LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS. OVER THE LAST 3 TO 4 HOURS...A NEW 50 NM CB CLUSTER HAS FORMED JUST EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DVORAK ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 2.0 OR 30 KT. WILL KEEP ESTELLE AT THIS INTENSITY THROUGH 24 HOURS...THEN WEAKEN IT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. THE SHEAR WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY JETSTREAM LOCATED ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH OR TUTT. THE FORECAST TRACK IS AN EXTENTION OF THE PREVIOUS AND IS SIMILAR TO THE AVIATION...CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTENCE...AND THE UNITED KINGDOM METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE MODEL. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 21.1N 143.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/1800Z 21.4N 145.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/0600Z 21.8N 148.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/1800Z 22.2N 150.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 09/0600Z 22.5N 153.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 10/0600Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30622; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15214 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070831.DAA04500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:31:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e91648b45e4671a8ead7bd3bfd1eb58 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 960 WTPA31 PHNL 070900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU AUG 06 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.5 WEST OR ABOUT 750 MILES...1200 KM...EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...21.1 N...143.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...FRIDAY. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627379-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:06:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41768; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:01:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9188141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41936 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:01:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071401.JAA08029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a06db8ba807e9bc407ebda46178a7f1d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 121 ABPA20 PHNL 071400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 7 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. ESTELLE IS CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF HILO...NEAR 21.4N 144.3W...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 14 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 12.5N 149.5W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:32:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13242; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:31:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9188369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59978 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071430.JAA08558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a67bcad3228210a413ec2b2da0fa0ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 715 WTPA21 PHNL 071500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 1500Z FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 144.8W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 144.8W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 144.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.9N 146.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.4N 149.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.9N 151.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 144.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:32:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13282; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9188373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13142 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071430.JAA08562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b287215c84d74983c8e55ba34c6a7ec6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 716 WTPA41 PHNL 071500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI AUG 07 1998 ESTELLE HAS RETAINED A WELL-DEFINED EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THROUGH THE NIGHT...THOUGH IT APPEARS LESS ORGANIZED THAN 12 HOURS AGO. LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SURROUNDED ESTELLE BUT MIDDLE CLOUDS HAVE DECREASED WEST OF THE CENTER. A CB CLUSTER HAS PERSISTED THROUGH THE NIGHT ON THE EAST SIDE BUT IS NOW FARTHER FROM THE CENTER. DVORAK ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 2.0 OR 30 KT. WILL KEEP ESTELLE AT THIS INTENSITY FOR ANOTHER 12 TO 18 HOURS THEN WEAKEN IT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TUTT. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 285/12. THE FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS SIMILAR TO CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTENCE... AND THE UNITED KINGDOM METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE MODEL. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 21.4N 144.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 21.9N 146.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 22.4N 149.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 09/0000Z 22.9N 151.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:31:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA56102; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:31:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9188381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:31:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13152 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071430.JAA08566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 09:30:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75bac82a5ebf8e6af13d5ee54aeb6bc6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 WTPA31 PHNL 071500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.8 WEST OR ABOUT 665 MILES...1075 KM...EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...21.4 N...144.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3016 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:57:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22590; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:57:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30508 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:56:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:56:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071956.OAA15914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:56:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79d1030c230e095ac33bcaf307f50950 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 137 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 7 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. ESTELLE IS CENTERED ABOUT 670 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 21.5N 145.0W...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 12.4N 150.4W...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20736; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:41:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:41:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67814 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:41:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072041.PAA16818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:41:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5599413164e0d3018c77fda5858e80d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 WTPA41 PHNL 072100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 7 1998 ESTELLE REMAINS A VIABLE DEPRESSION WITH EXCELLENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CBS STILL 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF ITS CENTER. RESTRENGTHENING APPEARS IMPROBABLE AS ESTELLE MOVES INTO INCREASINGLY GREATER SHEAR ALOFT. WILL INITIALIZE A SLIGHT NORTHWARD TURN FROM AN OTHERWISE STRAIGHT PERISISTENCE TRACK WITH SOME UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING NORTH OF THE ISLANDS HELPING TO WEAKEN THE STRONG LOWER LEVEL RIDGING. HOWEVER THE UPPER TROUGH AND GENERAL WATER WARMING NEAR HAWAII WILL TEND TO SUPPORT ESTELLES CONVECTION. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 21.6N 145.7W 25 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 21.9N 147.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 22.4N 149.9W 25 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 23.0N 152.3W 25 KTS 48HR VT 09/1800Z 23.6N 154.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 10/1800Z 24.9N 158.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:43:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15198; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:42:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:42:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28998 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:42:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:42:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072042.PAA16856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:42:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 447fe31f7fd9fb9fb3638fdab87cacfa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 994 WTPA21 PHNL 072100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 2100Z FRI AUG 7 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES ON FUTURE PATH SAFELY NORTH OF ISLANDS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 145.7W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 145.7W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 145.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N 147.6W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.4N 149.9W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 152.3W MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22N 146W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.6N 154.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.9N 158.5W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627516-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:44:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15272; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:43:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:43:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64644 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:43:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072043.PAA16872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:43:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68bb273f94261d41220cf3eda42cbf03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 996 WTPA31 PHNL 072100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 7 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES ON FUTURE PATH SAFELY NORTH OF ISLANDS... AT 11 AM HST THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.7 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH WITH NO CHANGE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...21.6N 145.7W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627509-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 05:22:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA28012; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:21:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:21:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA64640 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:17:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:17:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072117.QAA17542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:17:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39cf977133e8a566ac57e1c05c369d44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 7 1998 ...CORRECTED TO ADD TIME TO POSITION OF ESTELLE... THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. AT 730 AM HST...ESTELLE WAS CENTERED ABOUT 670 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 21.5N 145.0W...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 12.4N 150.4W...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 05:39:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39986; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:38:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA62752 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:38:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:38:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072138.QAA17903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:38:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 37...correction To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4631911bd4745e0f04794a5b50c7ebf4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTPA31 PHNL 072140 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 37...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1140 AM HST FRI AUG 7 1998 ...CORRECTED DISTANCE FROM HILO... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES ON FUTURE PATH SAFELY NORTH OF ISLANDS... AT 11 AM HST THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.7 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH WITH NO CHANGE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...21.6N 145.7W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627049-3391>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA51182; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:56:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9193953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24796 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:55:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080155.UAA20173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 20:55:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9518049fcc238656d33c5a6dcff01e6f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 527 ABPA20 PHNL 080200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 7 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. AT 130 PM HST...ESTELLE WAS CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 21.9N 145.5W... MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 12N 151W...IS MOVING WEST AT 11 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:42:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12986; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA51098 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080240.VAA20594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0247e91aa1ae000375c8509cbc6a075d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 WTPA21 PHNL 080300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 0300Z SAT AUG 8 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ON A MORE NORTHWARD AND SAFE PATH... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 146.2W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 146.2W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 145.7W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.9N 147.6W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.7N 149.5W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.5N 151.5W MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22N 146W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 25.4N 153.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N 157.2W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626041-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:42:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13018; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12960 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080240.VAA20598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:40:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e89b4fc9c52756573ee89507fd81514c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 407 WTPA41 PHNL 080300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI AUG 7 1998 ESTELLE APPEARS TO HAVE TAKEN A MORE NORTHWESTWARD JOG OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WE WILL STILL RETAIN A MORE CONSERVATIVE PERSISTENCE TRACKED BIAS THAN INDICATED BY THE DYNAMIC MODELS. OUR NEW WILL RECOGNIZE THE JOG BUT THE HEADING WILL BE UPPED ONLY TEN DEGREES AND AVERAGING 295 DEGREES. UPPER TROUGHING NEAR 155W AND PERSISTENT 24 TO 25 DEGREE WATER WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN A PARTIAL CB BONNET AND RETAIN DEPRESSION STATUS THRU 24 HOURS. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 22.2N 146.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 22.9N 147.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 23.7N 149.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 24.5N 151.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 25.4N 153.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 11/0000Z 27.5N 157.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-3386>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:42:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13040; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30916 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080241.VAA20607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:41:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5055734dca307f818980a10b6d7862a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTPA31 PHNL 080300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI AUG 7 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ON A MORE NORTHWARD AND SAFE PATH... AT 5 PM HST...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.2 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH WITH NO CHANGE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...22.2N 146.2W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NORTHWEST 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626619-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:10:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26262; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:09:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:09:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA41860 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:09:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:09:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080809.DAA22720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:09:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d864123ccdf5b89d1a397028cab21202 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 ABPA20 PHNL 080800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 7 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. ESTELLE IS CENTERED ABOUT 560 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 22.4N 146.8W...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. SEE THE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626596-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:31:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62832; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA37702 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080831.DAA22784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5023364a085bf9ef9ff111f8a057760d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 863 WTPA21 PHNL 080900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 0900Z SAT AUG 08 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES TO THE WEST NORTHWEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 146.9W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 146.9W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 146.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.9N 148.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.5N 150.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N 152.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 146.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.8N 154.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.2N 158.7W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626482-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:34:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62856; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62798 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080831.DAA22788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77847959353eddcc121af74d609257c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 WTPA41 PHNL 080900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI AUG 07 1998 ESTELLE IS STARTING TO FEEL VERTICAL SHEARING. THE EXPOSED AND WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO SEPARATE ITSELF FROM THE HIGHER LAYERED CLOUDS AND DEEP CONVECTION WHICH ARE BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HAVE THEREFORE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TRACK SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK IN ANTICIPATION THAT THE TRADES INCREASINGLY DIRECT ESTELLE'S MOVEMENT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 295/08. WILL KEEP IT MORE OR LESS IN THE SAME DIRECTION AND SPEED THROUGH 72 HOURS. AM EXPECTING... HOWEVER...THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION WILL CEASE WELL BEFORE 72 HOURS MAKING ESTELLE UNCLASSIFIABLE BY THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 22.5N 146.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 08/1800Z 22.9N 148.3W 25 KTS 24HR VT 09/0600Z 23.5N 150.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 09/1800Z 24.2N 152.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 10/0600Z 24.8N 154.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 11/0600Z 26.2N 158.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3159 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:31:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62892; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA67678 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080831.DAA22792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:31:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e97f14c7b9a24f2f19c8fd32ec526d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPA31 PHNL 080900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI AUG 07 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE CONTINUES TO THE WEST NORTHWEST... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.9 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...890 KM...EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...22.5 N...146.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...SATURDAY. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-8079>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:31:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15054; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:31:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29096 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081430.JAA24176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 847b3342593c179edada1079208c70c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 374 WTPA21 PHNL 081500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 1500Z SAT AUG 08 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 148.0W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 148.0W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 147.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.4N 149.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 151.6W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 148.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-8079>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:31:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15072; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:31:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29102 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081430.JAA24180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b0ea24e70ad6903cea77e5c945669fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 375 WTPA41 PHNL 081500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT AUG 08 1998 THE TOP HALF OF ESTELLE IS BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SEPARATING ITSELF FROM THE HIGHER LAYERED CLOUDS. THERE NO LONGER IS ANY DEEP CONVECTION. ESTELLE SHOULD CONTINUE ON A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK SPINNING DOWN TO A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE BY 24 HOURS. CRAIG. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 22.9N 148.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 23.4N 149.6W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/1200Z 24.0N 151.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-8085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:31:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15092; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:31:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15034 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081430.JAA24184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:30:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Advisory Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16ae9dcf2b88f83f5171dcce519b64df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 WTPA31 PHNL 081500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT AUG 08 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE IS DISSIPATING... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.0 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...800 KM...EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESTELLE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...22.9 N...148.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:05:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19068; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:03:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9200916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14952 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:03:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082003.PAA26823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:03:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82b0912d3c928e948d829ff1e676cedc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 ABPA20 PHNL 082000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 8 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627135-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:43:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA18980; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20958 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082038.PAA27055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Discussion Number 41 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f5d467121b7888018e8c44ed7772c10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 235 WTPA41 PHNL 082100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT AUG 8 1998 ALTHO CIRCULATION IS STILL WELL MARKED BY LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ESTELLE HAS BECOME NO LONGER CLASSIFIABLE UNDER DVORAK. SYSTEM MOVEMENT IS LARGELY CONTROLLED BY LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES UNDER CONSIDERABLY HIGH LEVEL WESTERLY SHEAR. WITH REJUVENATION IMPROBABLE WILL MAKE THIS THE LAST ISSUANCE ON ESTELLE. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 22.9N 149.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 23.3N 150.9W 25 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3138 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:40:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA18998; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20964 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082038.PAA27059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:38:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Estelle Forecast/advisory Number 41 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d40f3444a311cd386c4f63c58f9e76de Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 236 WTPA21 PHNL 082100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0698 2100Z SAT AUG 8 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 149.2W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 149.2W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 148.7W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.3N 150.9W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23N 149W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2666 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:05:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39286; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:03:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9205035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:03:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA44598 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:02:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090402.XAA01175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:02:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afa327a487351d4cb54ae7bb77e38e96 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 8 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS NO LONGER ISSUING BULLETINS ON FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. THE REMNANTS OF ESTELLE ARE LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 12:06:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA41948; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:04:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9205047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA51144 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:04:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:04:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090404.XAA01181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:04:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b115c0c1d3acd96656a172eb3dd1ae0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 375 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 8 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS NO LONGER ISSUING BULLETINS ON FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE. THE REMNANTS OF ESTELLE ARE LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:59:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41942; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:57:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:57:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20928 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:57:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090757.CAA02752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 02:57:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d9cf80be8c65a314beef54a8d3d5c7f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 719 ABPA20 PHNL 090800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:58:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA51092; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:56:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:56:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24704 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:56:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091356.IAA05168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 08:56:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cca0d4080bdaf9390d1fb735de3fd4da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 ABPA20 PHNL 091400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-29927>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:48:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44716; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:47:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9209970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA41878 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:47:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:47:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091947.OAA07798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:47:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31519bf6aa212345aee37e48511fe5fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 ABPA20 PHNL 092000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 09 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626445-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:47:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19380; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA30370 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100345.WAA11511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee79b64b04d947d3b5b0d08bd114ba3d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 498 ABPA20 PHNL 100200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 09 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:47:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19434; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:46:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22200 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100345.WAA11515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:45:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6acd8488575266153acb20ef70695455 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 504 ABPA20 PHNL 100200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 2 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 09 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626559-10183>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA61552; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:56:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44636 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:56:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100756.CAA13411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:56:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0af4200e83f1b0289c319c400b753c00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 203 ABPA20 PHNL 100800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-9476>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 21:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA62740; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:56:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9217102 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:56:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA61440 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:56:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101356.IAA16822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:56:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69dc865ef6779e0ba659155a0705b450 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 669 ABPA20 PHNL 101400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 10 1998 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...NOW A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED 320 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WESTWARD. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627211-24992>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24676; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:57:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9221720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26194 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:57:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:57:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101957.OAA26422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:57:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86460ce696640c73c155e9c1dcf8ab7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 787 ABPA20 PHNL 102000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 10 1998 THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE WAS CENTERED NEAR 23.5N 154.4W...OR 270 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU AT 9 AM HST AND WAS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN 150 MILES OF THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY BETWEEN 07N AND 10N...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627335-2428>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:57:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30442; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:56:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9224905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19378 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:56:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110156.UAA02938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 20:56:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48eed19eaea0c462ea6f3b1f48f6a606 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABPA20 PHNL 110200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 10 1998 AT 2 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 155.0W...OR 230 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE 90 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY BETWEEN 07N AND 10N...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52056; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:53:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:52:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA56132 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:52:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:52:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110752.CAA06816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:52:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1be5125e5f999e0af6975d89855918bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 ABPA20 PHNL 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 10 1998 AT 7 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 155.4W...OR 210 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 8 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE 90 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY BETWEEN 07N AND 10N...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627290-6864>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 22:12:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39864; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:08:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9229638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:07:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA37824 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:07:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:07:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111407.JAA11206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:07:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6e9075a65e60308af7ac3d4b30c732c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 723 ABPA20 PHNL 111400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 11 1998 AT 330 AM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 157.5W...155 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 TO 15 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE SPORADICALLY FORMING AND DYING WITHIN 90 MILES WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...ROUGHLY BETWEEN 07N AND 11N...REMAINS ISOLATED AND UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-16608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 04:03:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26190; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:02:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9233911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA37668 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:02:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:02:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808112002.PAA20023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:02:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27ad59284c864f014751fa99c2a33bb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 867 ABPA20 PHNL 112000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUG 11 1998 AT 730 AM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 158.3W...140 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 MILES PER HOUR. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE REMAINS UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625991-27605>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 09:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA45802; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:57:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9237249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:57:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45776 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:57:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120157.UAA25240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 20:57:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6b1b833bb0ec9633fc86def3495b284 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 ABPA20 PHNL 120200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE AUG 11 1998 AT 130 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 158.9W...140 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE REMAINS UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-10956>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:52:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30536; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:51:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9239980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:51:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12850 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:51:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120751.CAA28713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 02:51:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba1f99483bd557579368bd0d2afaa211 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 ABPA20 PHNL 120800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE AUG 11 1998 AT 730 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 159.2W...155 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE REMAINS UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-23839>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:54:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22768; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:53:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9242482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67708 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:52:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808121352.IAA02702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:52:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e89f00c2bd20243ffade1f460c6bbb43 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 773 ABPA20 PHNL 121400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUG 12 1998 AT 130 AM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 160.4W...210 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES PER HOUR. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE REMAINS UNORGANIZED. THESE STORMS LIE WITHIN 120 MILES OF A LINE FROM 09N161W TO 12N140W...FAR SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-5894>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 04:03:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19862; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:01:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9247452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64640 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:01:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808122001.PAA11639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 15:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: def15dbe7fbfaaca576761f893582702 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 ABPA20 PHNL 122000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED AUG 12 1998 AT 9 AM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 161.3W...OR ABOUT 140 MILES NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MILES PER HOUR. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. THESE STORMS LIE WITHIN 100 MILES OF A LINE FROM 09N158W TO 13N135W AND REMAIN UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-28393>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:54:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA62656; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:52:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19104 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:52:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:52:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130152.UAA16271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 20:52:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c010c0fc1bb13bd62b5bac9a64392b28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 ABPA20 PHNL 130200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED AUG 12 1998 AT 3 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 161.5W...OR ABOUT 150 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 5 MILES PER HOUR. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. THESE STORMS...LYING WITHIN 125 MILES OF A LINE FROM 09N160W TO 13N135W...REMAIN UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627181-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 15:57:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36818; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:56:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9253223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA42944 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130756.CAA19472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 02:56:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de0a80706f4b3b7828a92f11a6bae127 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 ABPA20 PHNL 130800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 12 1998 AT 9 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 161.9W...OR ABOUT 170 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 6 MILES PER HOUR. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. THESE STORMS ARE WITHIN 90 MILES OF A LINE FROM 12N140W...TO 10N152W...TO 08N164W AND ARE UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2538 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626756-20944>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28066; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 08:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9254951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 08:57:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40000 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 08:56:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 08:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131356.IAA23248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 08:56:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20f150a0fefab1020fc5e0f0a1361f15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 162 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU AUG 13 1998 AT 3 AM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 162.7W...OR ABOUT 240 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 8 MILES PER HOUR. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. THESE STORMS ARE WITHIN 90 MILES OF A LINE FROM 11N140W TO 11N156W AND ARE UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627376-20947>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 03:57:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA39786; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:54:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9258085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:54:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA37718 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:54:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:54:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808131954.OAA01149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:54:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 358e2e3f57d18f5c4302d76df0f60827 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 13 1998 AT 9 AM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS CENTERED NEAR 23.5N 164.1W...OR ABOUT 310 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES PER HOUR. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM BETWEEN 07N AND 13N GENERALLY EAST OF 150W ALONG THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. HOWEVER...THE STORMS REMAIN UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-10072>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:56:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA56124; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9250213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA57642 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:56:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140156.UAA06762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 20:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77a77869eb3fca9ad4e50205d947d968 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 001 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 13 1998 AT 3 PM HST...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS CENTERED NEAR 23.8N 165.5W...OR ABOUT 405 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE HAS INCREASED IN SPEED AND WAS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MILES PER HOUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKEND IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM 100 MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N151W TO 11N141W ALONG THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE. HOWEVER...THE STORMS SHOW NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626867-10073>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:58:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30304; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:56:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA41806 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:56:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140756.CAA09382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 02:56:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61e9e51128cabba4fef4c6c3f867d032 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 452 ABPA20 PHNL 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 13 1998 AT 9 PM HST...A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS CENTERED NEAR 23N 166W...OR ABOUT 450 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW VERY WEAK WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ITS CIRCULATION. REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THESE STORMS ARE WITHIN 100 MILES OF A LINE FROM 12N 140W TO 11N 152W AND ARE UNORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627447-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 21:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29010; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:56:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9255098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:56:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30272 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:56:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141356.IAA12542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 08:56:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5e9e0e5577f6a636f74212ece7761ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 507 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 14 1998 AT 3 AM HST...A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS CENTERED NEAR 23N 168W...OR ABOUT 550 MILES WEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST AT 17 MILES PER HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW VERY WEAK WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ITS CIRCULATION. REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE LOCATED NEAR 11N 144W...OR 940 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 09N 159W...OR 845 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING GENERATED WITHIN 70 MILES OF BOTH SYSTEMS. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-10065>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:50:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22726; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:50:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9259628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30624 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808141950.OAA20926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:50:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc70794120326c77bea96931cc73cb35 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 251 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 14 1998 AT 9 AM HST...A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS CENTERED NEAR 23N 169W...OR ABOUT 610 MILES WEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST AT 17 MILES PER HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW VERY WEAK WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ITS CIRCULATION. REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE LOCATED NEAR 11N 144W...OR 940 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 09N 160W...OR 855 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING GENERATED WITHIN 70 MILES OF BOTH SYSTEMS. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626026-2680>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 09:52:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA41910; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:51:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9263385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA41882 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:51:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150151.UAA25696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 20:51:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bac03d4c0cc82e77b35e373465cc5dac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI AUG 14 1998 AT 3 PM HST...A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE...WAS CENTERED NEAR 23N 170W...OR ABOUT 720 MILES WEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DISTURBANCE WAS MOVING WEST AT 17 MILES PER HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW VERY WEAK WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ITS CIRCULATION. REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. TWO WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADE WIND CONVERGENCE ZONE FAR SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE LOCATED NEAR 11N 145W...OR 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 09N 161W...OR 1130 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING GENERATED WITHIN 70 MILES OF BOTH SYSTEMS. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-2677>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 16:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60184; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:09:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9266991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:09:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62726 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:09:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA28753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:09:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150809.DAA28753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 03:09:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f806c95cef68add56ec802e0f7ff9a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...FAR SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...SOMETIMES CALLED THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TRADEWIND CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS A LONG BAND OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. TONIGHT...THE ITCZ STRETCHES ALL THE WAY FROM THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA TO THE DATELINE. IT SHOWS UP AS A VERY PROMINENT FEATURE ON SATELLITE PICTURES. OCCASIONALLY...ONE OF THE DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ DEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES WE SEE TONIGHT SHOW ANY SIGN OF DEVELOPING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-2680>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 22:07:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA60410; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:59:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9268917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30952 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:59:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151359.IAA01634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 08:59:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc049ed07bf401eb949f1d76207f3486 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...FAR SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE ITCZ IS A VERY PROMINENT FEATURE ON SATELLITE PICTURES. IT APPEARS AS A LONG BAND OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHING ALL THE WAY FROM THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA TO THE DATELINE. OCCASIONALLY ONE OF THE DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ DEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES WE SEE IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THIS MORNING SHOWS ANY SIGN OF DEVELOPING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626823-2677>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15020; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:51:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9272188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26266 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:51:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808151951.OAA04346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 14:51:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b0bbfc5a02caeed4cf8f7db678ddff5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ARE CENTERED NEAR 08N163W...09N159W AND 12N141W. RESPECTIVELY...THESE ARE 850 MILES SOUTHWEST...750 MILES SOUTH AND 1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THESE DISTURBANCES REPRESENT WEAKLY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625940-25693>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:58:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30344; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:56:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9274540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA60252 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:55:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160155.UAA07024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:55:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2db157b84d321c6a369a5f260524433 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 236 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ARE CENTERED NEAR 08N165W...09N161W...11N151W AND 12N143W. RESPECTIVELY...THESE ARE 950 MILES SOUTHWEST...760 MILES SOUTH...730 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST AND 1010 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE FIRST THREE DISTURBANCES REPRESENT WEAKLY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THE DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N143W IS THE BEST ORGANIZED OF THE FOUR...AND IS BEING WATCHED CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3022 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-25699>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 16:02:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26812; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:01:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9276540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04256 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:01:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160801.DAA09867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:01:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee892cf14f101ce6b538f5b0fdd36be7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 15 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 920 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 13N 143W...HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THIS MORNING. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST ABOUT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE COULD DEVELOP INTO A DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WE WILL BE WATCHING IT CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...FARTHER SOUTHWEST...BUT NONE ARE VERY WELL-ORGANIZED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1507 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-25693>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19794; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9277735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:57:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA62766 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:57:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:57:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161357.IAA01477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 08:57:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f637898221707fbef645a6f5971c0e29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 635 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 16 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 870 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 14N 144W...HAS INTENSIFIED. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED NORTHWEST ABOUT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL START ISSUING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM AT 5 AM HST. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CALLED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-25696>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:32:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09812; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9278017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09778 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161431.JAA01788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a33f7026fe0971d5433339bd79154997 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 WTPA21 PHNL 161500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 1500Z SUN AUG 16 1998 ...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 143.6W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 143.6W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 143.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.1N 144.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.9N 146.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.4N 147.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 143.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.8N 149.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.4N 152.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3432 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626928-25698>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:32:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26226; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9278021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24634 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161431.JAA01792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d3b6f25ea2630c3154d63218622972c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 468 WTPA31 PHNL 161500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 ...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.6 WEST OR ABOUT 850 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII OR 1065 MILES FROM HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...13.7 N...143.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626920-25699>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 22:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26260; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9278025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49224 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808161431.JAA01796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 09:31:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bec46c2ecd31092f8e1077c2bfe095d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 469 WTPA41 PHNL 161500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C HAS FORMED ALONG A NORTHWARD BULGING ITCZ OR MONSOONAL TROUGH ABOUT 1000 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AS YET IS RATHER DRY SO THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE SLOW IN DEVELOPING. SHIP REPORTS INDICATE WINDS 30 KT AND YESTERDAYS VISUAL PICTURES CONFIRM A GOOD CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED. NIGHTTIME IR PICTURES SHOW THE CONVECTIVE BAND HAS BEGUN TO WRAP AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS SITUATED OVER 28 DEGREE WATER SO THE POTENTIAL IS THERE. HAVE MOVED THE SYSTEM FIRST NW AND LATER WNW AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED IT SLOWLY ACCORDING TO THE MODEL GUIDANCE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 13.7N 143.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 14.1N 144.4W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 14.9N 146.1W 35 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 15.4N 147.7W 40 KTS 48HR VT 18/1200Z 15.8N 149.5W 45 KTS 72HR VT 19/1200Z 16.4N 152.9W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626996-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:02:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA35032; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:00:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9280772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:00:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34996 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:00:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:00:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162000.PAA04328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:00:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 104cfcd5a47d209c016ab458aae1018e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 772 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CENTERED NEAR 13.8N 145.1W...OR 775 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 9 AM. THE DEPRESSION HAS INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN HOUR. IT HAS NOT SHOWED SIGNS OF FURTHER STRENGTHENING IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627000-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:36:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12956; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:35:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9281167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62858 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:35:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162035.PAA04574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:35:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d199a0c9332305edca5dc070e009d732 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 049 WTPA41 PHNL 162100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 VISUAL IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WEST OF AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE EAST QUADRANT. SOME CONVECTION IS FORMING TO THE WEST. FINAL TROPICAL NUMBER REMAINS AT 2 AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SIMILAR TO THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE FORECAST...SHFR... MODEL. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/10. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 13.8N 145.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 14.2N 146.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 14.7N 148.6W 35 KTS 36HR VT 18/0600Z 15.1N 150.6W 35 KTS 48HR VT 18/1800Z 15.4N 152.7W 40 KTS 72HR VT 19/1800Z 16.0N 156.6W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:36:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62734; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:36:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9281184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:36:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64764 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:36:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:36:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162036.PAA04593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:36:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 371383bd3cc21c2fd388088103d9611e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 WTPA21 PHNL 162100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 2100Z SUN AUG 16 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 145.2W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 145.2W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 144.7W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.2N 146.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.7N 148.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.1N 150.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 145.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.4N 152.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 156.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:37:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA64598; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:37:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9281194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:37:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA16704 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:37:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808162037.PAA04604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 15:37:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f8163ccbb12314bd0e3ace189a7e9d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 060 WTPA31 PHNL 162100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.2 WEST OR ABOUT 760 MILES...1230 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...13.8 N...145.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1898 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626653-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:07:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA49298; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:03:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64604 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:02:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:02:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170202.VAA07003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:02:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 534294fd2ba56b3f4d7bc2278e52808a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 775 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CENTERED NEAR 14.0N 145.6W...OR 735 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 3 PM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MILES AN HOUR. THOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY IN THE PAST 12 HOURS...FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:32:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53364; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA60226 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170231.VAA07236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40168b25d4f397c9001b88b02ab9e4e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 368 WTPA41 PHNL 170300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON GOOD VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES OF A WELL EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION IS FOLLOWING A DIURNAL PATTERN AND IS PRESENTLY AT A MINIMUM WITH ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. EXPECT THAT THE CONVECTION WILL AGAIN INCREASE TO A MAXIMUM TONIGHT. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/08 WHICH IS ABOUT 2 KNOTS SLOWER AND SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE 18Z TRACK. MOST ALL OF THE NWS AND NAVY OBJECTIVE AIDS ARE IN A TIGHT GROUPING MOVING ONE-C TO THE WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST WITH THE ONLY DIFFERENCES BEING IN SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK. FORECAST INTENSITY FOLLOWS THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE FORECAST...SHFR...WHICH STRENGTHENS ONE-C TO A TROPICAL STORM IN 36 HOURS. THIS IS ALSO AT A SLOWER PACE THAN AT 18Z. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 13.9N 145.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 14.1N 147.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 18/0000Z 14.4N 148.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 18/1200Z 14.8N 150.7W 35 KTS 48HR VT 19/0000Z 15.1N 152.6W 35 KTS 72HR VT 20/0000Z 15.7N 156.2W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627022-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53342; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21564 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170231.VAA07234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8df46c9d7951c815f22c038646d2de16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 WTPA21 PHNL 170300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 0300Z MON AUG 17 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 145.8W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 145.8W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 145.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.1N 147.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.4N 148.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.8N 150.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 145.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.1N 152.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N 156.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53382; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21574 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170231.VAA07240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c-c Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df063873f5282987fc3818c0f4adc1a7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 WTPA31 PHNL 170300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.8 WEST OR ABOUT 725 MILES...1165 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...13.9 N...145.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 10:35:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53312; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:34:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9283630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:34:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA04142 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:34:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:34:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170234.VAA07280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 21:34:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8e5e704b6be58ded4575c664aa3f6ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 411 WTPA31 PHNL 170300 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 ...CORRECTS THE ABOVE DEPRESSION NAME FROM ONE-C-C TO ONE-C... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.8 WEST OR ABOUT 725 MILES...1165 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...13.9 N...145.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627244-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 19:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA30490; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:32:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9285978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA64734 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 02:50:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 02:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170750.CAA09073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 02:50:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e720fa085ea1804746ad4c4bacee7664 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CENTERED NEAR 14.1N 146.1W...OR 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 9 PM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY IN THE PAST 12 HOURS...FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627228-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 19:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA67740; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:33:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9286055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 06:33:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26844 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:49:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170849.DAA09442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:49:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0b0bb6ebecc3685583286e9c1e158b3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPA21 PHNL 170900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 0900Z MON AUG 17 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 146.5W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 146.5W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 146.1W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.4N 147.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.7N 149.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.2N 151.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 146.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.6N 153.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 16.4N 157.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626983-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:09:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA27986; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:01:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9285059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA42966 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:51:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:51:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170851.DAA09456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:51:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d262891c422c51180d28296e0161de8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 WTPA41 PHNL 170900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON GOOD VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE PICTURES OF A WELL EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION IS FOLLOWING A DIURNAL PATTERN AND IS NOW INCREASING ALONG A SPIRAL BAND TO THE EAST AND ALSO TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. EXPECT FURTHER INCREASES IN CONVECTION THROUGH THE NIGHT. HAVE THUS KEPT THE INTENSITY AT 30 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/09 WHICH IS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SPEED FROM THE 00Z FORECAST. THE BULK OF THE AIDS ARE IN A TIGHT GROUPING JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK...BUT FELT ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENT SHOULD BE MADE AT THIS TIME. FORECAST INTENSITY FOLLOWS CLOSELY THE STATISTICAL HURRICANE FORECAST...SHFR...WHICH STRENGTHENS ONE-C TO A TROPICAL STORM IN 36 HOURS...BUT WITH A 6 HOUR DELAY IN TRANSITION TO TROPICAL STORM...A SLOWER PACE THAN AT 00Z. FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0900Z 14.1N 146.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/1800Z 14.4N 147.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 18/0600Z 14.7N 149.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 18/1800Z 15.2N 151.6W 30 KTS 48HR VT 19/0600Z 15.6N 153.6W 35 KTS 72HR VT 20/0600Z 16.4N 157.2W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627210-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 17:09:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA28042; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:07:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9285071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 04:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60160 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:53:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:53:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170853.DAA09465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 03:53:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8b24a5bd487f0abdaf3e5f947c5beff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 068 WTPA31 PHNL 170900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SUN AUG 16 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.5 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...14.1 N...146.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...MONDAY. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627303-25696>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:02:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA26640; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:53:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9287812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:53:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26800 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:51:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:51:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171351.IAA11987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 08:51:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b44fb35e5d07cd38b15dfc7baba285d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 17 1998 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CENTERED NEAR 13.9N 147.1W...OR 670 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 3 AM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON YESTERDAY BUT THEN MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVERNIGHT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627507-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:45:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12972; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:41:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9288481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:40:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36820 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:36:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171436.JAA12886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:36:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3600e4c5c6982476e5f27d5e6223000c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 274 WTPA21 PHNL 171500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 1500Z MON AUG 17 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 147.6W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 147.6W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 147.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.1N 149.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.4N 150.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.9N 152.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 147.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 15.3N 154.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 158.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z FARRELL NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627448-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:42:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA56078; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:41:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9288501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20746 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:37:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:37:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171437.JAA12898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:37:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fbdc35bae026248d15e7aff6b0424f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 WTPA41 PHNL 171500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON AUG 17 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE PICTURES OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL WEAKENED CIRCULATION CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT PROGRESSED AS EXPECTED AND HAS DECREASED IN THE VICINITY OF THE CIRCULATION OVERNIGHT. THUS THIS FACT...COMBINED WITH THE LOWERED CI NUMBER OF 1.5 FOR TWO CONSECUTIVE FIXES HAS FORCED A DECREASE IN INTENSITY TO 25 KT WITH NO CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH 48 HOURS AT THIS TIME. INITIAL MOTION NOW APPEARS MORE WESTERLY. THE BULK OF THE AIDS ARE IN A TIGHT GROUPING CLOSE AROUND THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND SO LITTLE ADJUSTMENT FROM EARLIER THINKING HAS BEEN MADE. FORECAST INTENSITY SHOWS NO CHANGE AS THIS SYSTEM IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING AT THIS TIME. FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 13.9N 147.6W 25 KTS 12HR VT 18/0000Z 14.1N 149.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 18/1200Z 14.4N 150.8W 25 KTS 36HR VT 19/0000Z 14.9N 152.8W 25 KTS 48HR VT 19/1200Z 15.3N 154.8W 25 KTS 72HR VT 20/1200Z 15.8N 158.6W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-25693>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 22:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA67600; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:42:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9288549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:42:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20864 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:38:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171438.JAA12931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 09:38:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8745483945ad51fe47014f90edf4cb5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 WTPA31 PHNL 171500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON AUG 17 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TO THE WEST... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.6 WEST OR ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...13.9 N...147.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 04:02:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA42986; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:01:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9292877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49266 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:58:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808171958.OAA19669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 14:58:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9c805cefb533bc29759e5807fc0a15e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 176 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 17 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 147.6W...OR 620 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 9 AM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT GETS NEARS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITTING JUST NORTHWEST OF HAWAII. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3173 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627411-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 04:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA60280; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:35:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9293260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22092 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:35:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808172035.PAA20511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8020eede41f1ded3c22b1f7f998bc813 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 614 WTPA41 PHNL 172100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON AUG 17 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL WEAKENED CIRCULATION CENTER. SOME CONVECTION HAS REAPPEARED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT...BUT NONE ELSEWHERE. DISSIPATION IS LIKELY WITHIN 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO OVERALL SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING AT THIS TIME. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/08. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO SHOW THE WEST NORTHWEST DIRECTION. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH ALL BUT ONE OF THE AIDS. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 14.6N 148.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 15.0N 149.2W 25 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 15.5N 150.8W 25 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 15.9N 152.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 19/1800Z 16.4N 154.5W...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627479-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 04:36:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62756; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:36:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9293279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:36:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA49154 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:36:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808172036.PAA20540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:36:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc4711dcb30d9ccde567c0ab00f5d396 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 615 WTPA21 PHNL 172100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 2100Z MON AUG 17 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 148.0W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 148.0W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 147.6W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 149.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.5N 150.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.9N 152.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 148.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3232 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 04:37:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30322; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:37:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9293289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14944 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:37:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:37:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808172037.PAA20556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 15:37:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbf557e0390fbd3f767ffd8bf7636f80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 WTPA31 PHNL 172100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON AUG 17 1998 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.0 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES...932 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...14.6 N...148.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:57:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26332; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:57:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9294999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26818 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:57:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:57:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180157.UAA24509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 20:57:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2002bcd08395c84e17a48cde48e46f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 148.8W...OR 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 1 PM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3455 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 10:31:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23296; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9295385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA09948 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180231.VAA24904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f5f88951f0c7e1a4666afa064b04ca7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 WTPA21 PHNL 180300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 0300Z TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING WESTNORTHWEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 148.9W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 148.9W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 148.5W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 150.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 152.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.8N 154.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 148.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 16.1N 156.7W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z JENDROWSKI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627652-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 10:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23314; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9295389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62948 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180231.VAA24908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61f6f68e44dcbbd373897f59b4ff5ddc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 060 WTPA41 PHNL 180300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOWS AN EXPOSED CENTER WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION OCCURRING JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. ONE-C HAS NOT SHOWN ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING IN THE PAST 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATION IS LIKELY BY 48 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 277/09. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND FALLS IN THE MIDDLE OF A TIGHT GROUPING OF OBJECTIVE AIDS. JENDROWSKI FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 14.7N 148.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 18/1200Z 15.0N 150.3W 25 KTS 24HR VT 19/0000Z 15.5N 152.4W 25 KTS 36HR VT 19/1200Z 15.8N 154.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 20/0000Z 16.1N 156.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627590-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 10:33:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23334; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9295393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62962 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180231.VAA24912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 21:31:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 763e61138e1a2a1f2fbc472dd3fd3017 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 WTPA31 PHNL 180300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING WESTNORTHWEST... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.9 WEST OR ABOUT 525 MILES...851 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.7 N...148.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. JENDROWSKI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627479-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:47:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA11200; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:46:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22190 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:46:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180746.CAA27600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 02:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d650bd41bbc7a782fe76abc1c04e8857 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 902 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 149.6W...OR 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 7 PM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 16:29:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25296; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30398 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180828.DAA27886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0941862a33db258098c364017eaeff5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 WTPA21 PHNL 180900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 0900Z TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 150.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 150.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 149.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.6N 151.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.8N 153.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.0N 155.8W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 150.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627589-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 16:30:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA58114; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30448 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180828.DAA27895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:28:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b97fd4a5019a74109e83f3ba345e0d41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 WTPA41 PHNL 180900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOWS AN EXPOSED CENTER WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION OCCURRING JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. ONE-C HAS NOT SHOWN ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING IN THE PAST 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATION IS LIKELY BY 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 277/09. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND FALLS IN THE MIDDLE OF A TIGHT GROUPING OF OBJECTIVE AIDS. FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 14.5N 150.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 14.6N 151.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 14.8N 153.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 19/1800Z 15.0N 155.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627666-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 16:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26342; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:34:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA58324 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:34:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180834.DAA27924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:34:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c-c Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a6bd73c80b939c8419c7a86b9956a6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 701 WTPA31 PHNL 180900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C-C ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING WEST... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.1 WEST OR ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...14.5 N...150.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...TUESDAY. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627654-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 16:45:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA60316; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:43:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:43:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA22154 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:43:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:43:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180843.DAA27957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:43:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46f2ca74542321897549053a062ab083 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 808 WTPA21 PHNL 180900 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 0900Z TUE AUG 18 1998 ...CORRECTED FOR DISSIPATION TIME... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 150.1W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 150.1W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 149.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.6N 151.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.8N 153.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.0N 155.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 150.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-25698>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 16:46:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30240; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:45:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9297475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45310 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:45:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:44:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180844.DAA27961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 03:44:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 428c858513213b19cb71f94fdf62a17f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 819 WTPA41 PHNL 180900 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON AUG 17 1998 ...CORRECTED FOR DISSIPATION TIME... THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOWS AN EXPOSED CENTER WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION OCCURRING JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. ONE-C HAS NOT SHOWN ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING IN THE PAST 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATION IS LIKELY BY 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 277/09. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND FALLS IN THE MIDDLE OF A TIGHT GROUPING OF OBJECTIVE AIDS. FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 14.5N 150.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 14.6N 151.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 14.8N 153.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 19/1800Z 15.0N 155.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627686-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:58:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA60336; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:54:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9298901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30758 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:53:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:53:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181353.IAA00530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 08:53:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d694aeefcbbac128475be2460e089a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 151.2W...OR 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 1 AM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2907 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627633-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:07:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26210; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:06:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9298941 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:04:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA26800 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:04:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181404.JAA00817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:04:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a4edb659ee558ba106dcf4d5ccfb419 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 WTPA21 PHNL 181500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 1500Z TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CONTINUES MOVING WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 152.0W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 152.0W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 151.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.5N 154.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.6N 157.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 152.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626533-25696>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:14:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26294; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:07:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9298945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14848 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:05:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:05:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181405.JAA00845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:05:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bbdf48100f524292895543e4b24fe68 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 WTPA41 PHNL 181500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 THE CURRENT POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOWS AN EXPOSED CENTER WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION NOW SOME DISTANCE TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ONE-C NOW APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION IS LIKELY BY 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/12. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT THE INCREASED SPEED AND REMAINS IN THE MIDDLE OF A TIGHT GROUPING OF OBJECTIVE AIDS. FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 14.4N 152.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 14.5N 154.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 19/1200Z 14.6N 157.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:13:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19036; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:12:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9299026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:11:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23540 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:11:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:11:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808181411.JAA01131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:11:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d565ad65b085d36fd7ddda1fb034aef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 WTPA31 PHNL 181500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C CONTINUES MOVING WEST... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.0 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL BE DISSIPATING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.94 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...14.4 N...152.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627696-25699>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:11:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22736; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:10:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9302988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:10:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60092 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:10:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:10:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808182010.PAA09424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:10:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea4fb3a95d66884d123c290e5b89d634 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 152.8W...OR 380 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 8 AM. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK AND DIFFUSE AND MAY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627692-25698>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:33:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22048; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9303185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22530 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808182031.PAA09929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ebb524ffde2a4aa489e346a0dde3e9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTPA21 PHNL 182100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 2100Z TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 153.6W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 153.6W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 152.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.4N 155.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 153.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627696-25699>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:33:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23360; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9303189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20490 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808182031.PAA09933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bbb3517356530efd110ca26802f91d57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 952 WTPA41 PHNL 182100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 T.D. ONE-C IS VERY WEAK AND DIFFUSE AND IS BARELY CLASSIFIABLE BY THE DVORAK SYSTEM. ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FORM AND DISSIPATE WITH THE LATEST EAST OF THE CENTER. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED...EVEN THOUGH THE SYSTEM IS ON ITS LAST LEGS. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR DISSIPATION BY 24 HOURS...BUT IT IS ENTIRELY LIKELY THAT THE NEXT FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE LAST. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE LAST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. THE TRACK REMAINS IN THE MIDDLE OF A TIGHT GROUPING OF OBJECTIVE AIDS. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 14.4N 153.6W 25 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 14.4N 155.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627697-25698>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 04:33:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52060; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9303195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20514 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808182031.PAA09938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:31:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a46511f096d2770a41087e4affa31733 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 953 WTPA31 PHNL 182100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS DISSIPATING... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.6 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES...605 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ONE-C IS FORECAST TO DISSSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.94 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...14.4 N...153.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626055-24130>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 10:03:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23500; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:01:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9305615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20916 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:01:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190201.VAA15001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:01:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f04dcb7ed8ed98ab7d578680f1aca63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 155.0W...OR 360 MILES SOUTH OF HILO AT 2 PM HST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM IS WEAK AND DIFFUSE AND MAY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626044-24135>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 10:32:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA09820; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9305969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA37656 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190231.VAA15326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 013ed635fcfb4d430068a0b0aaf0157c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 WTPA41 PHNL 190300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 ONE-C CONTINUES TO BE ORGANIZED AT LOW LEVELS BUT IS WEAK AND HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM...BEING EMBEDDED IN THE TRADE WINDS...IS MOVING DUE WEST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS. WITH STRENGTHENING UNLIKELY...WILL MAKE THIS THE LAST ISSUANCE. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 14.4N 155.3W 25 KTS 12HR VT 19/1200Z 14.5N 157.8W...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626018-24137>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 10:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44862; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9305965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44822 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190231.VAA15324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65848f4f39310afa1ba8622551c22127 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 WTPA21 PHNL 190300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0198 0300Z WED AUG 19 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 155.3W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 155.3W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 154.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.5N 157.8W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 155.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-24137>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 10:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA09846; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9305973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA09764 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190231.VAA15328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 21:31:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43d35d5f5aa021888fbf1d8e8de944a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 726 WTPA31 PHNL 190300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISSIPATING... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.3 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...585 KM...SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR... WITH NO CHANGE IN THIS MOTION EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.94 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.4 N...155.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-24136>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 16:03:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45122; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 03:02:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9308227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 03:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA13104 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 03:02:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 03:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190801.DAA18399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 03:01:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e8adbba8f10a18178eaae3df0eefbb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE AUG 18 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C...WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 157.5W OR 375 MILES SOUTH OF KONA AT 9 PM HST. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS OR SO. A SMALL CIRCULATION NEAR 12N 139W IS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR AND WILL CROSS 140W LONGTITUDE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ANY DEVELOPMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2062 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-24135>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 21:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39768; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:57:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9309958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:57:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22596 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:57:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:57:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191357.IAA22436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 08:57:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2a3cff878d2ed274d52c7bdbeff8990 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 283 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUG 19 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C...WAS ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU AT 3 AM HST. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AND IS NOT SHOWING SIGNS OF REINTENSIFICATION AT THIS TIME. TWO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...ONE ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND THE OTHER 1330 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU ARE BOTH BEING MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-24136>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 03:57:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25254; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:55:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9313573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45122 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:55:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:55:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808191955.OAA00900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:55:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82141bb519a57f5658b0d8919bf9c18a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED AUG 19 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C...WAS ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 15N 163W AT 9 AM HST. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST 15 KT AND DOES NOT SHOW SIGNS OF REINTENSIFYING AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING THE DATELINE NEAR 15N 178W WILL NOT DEVELOP IN THE CPHC AREA. OTHER MINOR DISTURBED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII SHOW NO SIGN OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626181-23368>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 09:47:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA53430; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:47:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9316199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19872 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:47:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200147.UAA06369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 20:47:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4281c85af7025bbbfb62635b49d8c39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 761 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED AUG 19 1998 SEVERAL WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE PRESENT IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BUT NONE SHOWS SIGN OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE AND OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626569-23361>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:51:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45600; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:49:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9318809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19724 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:49:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200749.CAA09951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 02:49:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2eb718a2ccb1a0009076223b6545e1e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 576 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3113 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626905-23366>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 22:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA53434; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:56:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9321473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:56:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20630 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808201356.IAA13620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:56:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd05a8c1c6d2aeb14137b07e4d0efce0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 082 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 14 AM HST THU AUG 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3800 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627060-23366>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 04:10:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45704; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:01:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9326622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA09826 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:01:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808202001.PAA22599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 15:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7a47b222a17efc005ae8b25ee979733 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-23367>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 10:01:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26790; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:59:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9328775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA56270 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:56:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210156.UAA27784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:56:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30e4cd9ac2593b4a6b2438823c11535f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 506 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF CB CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 10N140W...1200 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF HAWAII...HAS INTENSIFIED AND A WEAK CIRCULATION MAY BE DEVELOPING. THIS AREA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2899 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627255-7130>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 15:47:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA09778; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:46:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9331291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:46:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24600 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:46:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210746.CAA01235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:46:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 970265c279cfd07717190d8105516516 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 136 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 10N 140W IS BEING WATCHED CLOSELY FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-26894>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA56212; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:48:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9333648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:47:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25144 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:47:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211347.IAA04940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:47:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e58b45b382ed50d206ba7c00801eebd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 650 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 10N 142W HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION EXCEPT FOR A SOLITARY NEW CB. A COLD CORE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH NEAR 30N 160W HAS SEVERAL NEW CB WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER NEAR 27.5N 160W. HR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4347 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-26895>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 03:59:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA56130; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9337755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA16838 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:56:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808211956.OAA12658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a79e8808694c27461b2859982a08d8bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 761 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626136-538>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 10:02:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62856; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:01:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9340276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA37750 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:01:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220201.VAA17570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 21:01:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8cb58ef78d14403677203a67f47c671 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI AUG 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626140-541>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 15:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA13062; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:47:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9342683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA56308 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:47:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:47:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220747.CAA20376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 02:47:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afd0cad3de5d8eb6d77297360ab3ac56 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 780 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626419-541>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 21:48:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA49264; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:47:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9344345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:46:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA61514 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:46:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:46:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221346.IAA22696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:46:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3416477671e02cfa8fd52ad171ab5f3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 282 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-541>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:53:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA62742; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:52:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9347585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:52:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25092 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:52:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808221952.OAA25836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:52:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57ab9fda5ee793ecdf759d4708ce5a7c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT AUG 22 1998 OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY IS CONFINED TO A 120 NM WIDE LINE CENTERED ALONG 10N BETWEEN 160W AND 140W...FAR SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. AN UPPER LOW CENTERED 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF KAUAI HAS GENERATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. THIS LOW IS DRIFTING SOUTH SLOWLY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3137 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626611-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 09:53:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39948; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:52:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9349716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14840 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:52:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230152.UAA28374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 20:52:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da5f44688e02366a329d64127ecb76e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 22 1998 OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY IS CONFINED TO A 120 NM WIDE LINE CENTERED ALONG 10N BETWEEN 162W AND 140W...FAR SOUTHWEST...SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. AN UPPER LOW CENTERED 350 MILES NORTHWEST OF KAUAI HAS GENERATED AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXTENDING IN AN ARC 300 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF CENTER. THIS LOW IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 18:46:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA52222; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:46:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47340 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:46:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA02653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231046.FAA02653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 05:46:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e53f1ec3f0fcfc92e1c70b057173eaff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED ABOUT 62O MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG ISLAND NEAR 09N157W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THERE ARE ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE BUT THE DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED. THIS DISTURBANCE SHOWS NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFYING AT THIS TIME...BUT WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4508 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-27534>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:52:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44646; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:52:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9356615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:52:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA14926 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:52:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808231951.OAA06613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 14:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94da9b6c99b0eac8e1ab52c29dd740ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 158 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 840 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...NEAR 09N159W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR THE DISTURBANCE BUT ORGANIZATION APPEARS WEAK. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-14820>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:57:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25144; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:53:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9359699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62896 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:51:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240151.UAA10137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c3cb48c71fe3d99690a37a1c305a5ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 745 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...NEAR 09N161W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR THE DISTURBANCE BUT ORGANIZATION IS SO WEAK IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1920 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627196-27145>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 16:14:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44556; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:10:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:08:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60270 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:08:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:07:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240807.DAA13244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:07:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb2dad0145661cc4a4b395181fe47c98 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 863 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE GOES-10 SATELLITE GIVES A GOOD VIEW OF THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THIS 400 MILE WIDE BAND OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS RUNS FROM OFF THE WEST COAST OF PANAMA TO HURRICANE HOWARD...SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO...SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TO NEAR JOHNSTON ISLAND. THERE IS A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALONG THE ITCZ ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 11N 161W. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT IT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE THAT THIS DISTURBANCE WILL STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-27147>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA60368; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:55:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9364561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:55:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA62906 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:55:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:55:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241355.IAA16672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 08:55:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 347df30c8148072b0c8905546daa0251 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY AUGUST 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON OUR LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES...THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...APPEARS AS A 400 MILE WIDE BAND OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT RUNS FROM OFF THE WEST COAST OF PANAMA...SOUTH OF HURRICANE HOWARD...SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TO NEAR JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE EAST END OF THE ITCZ IS QUITE ACTIVE BUT THE PART IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 36 HOURS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT HAD BEEN ALONG THE ITCZ SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAS DISSIPATED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-27148>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 04:10:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA61536; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:08:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9371691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:08:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA09794 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:08:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:08:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808242008.PAA28357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:08:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbd60e143ec6483531e3c2946fad3601 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUGUST 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22180; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:59:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9376255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:57:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA14908 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:57:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250157.UAA04923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:57:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecc776eed459c463b29f424e64799e10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 867 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUGUST 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 16:07:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:54:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24778; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:53:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9379554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA11178 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:52:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:51:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250751.CAA08818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 02:51:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 994d4b99e6e715dbeb4acb15549c94c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUGUST 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627705-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:54:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA64606; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:52:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9383519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA28232 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:52:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251352.IAA13553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 08:52:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b48ff8a2950b05afd668524d10a3eda5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 009 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUGUST 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627790-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:22:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57710; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:20:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9389546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:19:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62966 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:19:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:19:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808252019.PAA25964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:19:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2689fed9a5802d8d6ff30b6e6ca069db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 694 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUGUST 25 1998 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N173W WHOSE OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WAS NOTEWORTHY APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AND SHOWING LESS ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM FOR SUSTAINED INTENSIFICATION. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 16:56:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627330-1954>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:48:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18808; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:45:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9397591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA41826 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:45:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260745.CAA06117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 02:45:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ca4f639811e24b0ff74d64de729d64b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 468 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE AUGUST 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 22:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627852-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:46:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19036; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:44:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9400598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19000 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:44:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261344.IAA10258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:44:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42fcae188baec68082d603b7a2efce4a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 126 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUGUST 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. A SECOND WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU IS ALSO MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. BOTH DISTURBANCES HAVE GENERATED AREAS OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BUT NEITHER ONE SHOWS SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627221-1952>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:57:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37710; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:55:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9408679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20812 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:51:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262051.PAA22240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 394f5bb05b76c7d8696513db95a98eec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED AUGUST 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1150 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 13N 139W IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OF A SPIRAL OF LOW CLOUDS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN QUITE PERSISTENT BUT IT IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A DEPRESSION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 12:19:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627653-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:50:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA56194; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:50:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9417057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:49:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA16678 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:49:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:49:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270349.WAA29648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:49:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ed490dc432d079df0a8dddbdc4c6bbb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 472 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1120 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 140W IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS A SPIRAL OF LOW CLOUDS AROUND IT BUT NO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN QUITE PERSISTENT BUT IT IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A DEPRESSION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 17:23:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627692-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:03:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29364; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47254 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:57:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:57:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270857.DAA02305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:57:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a67760ba6d21d5905d277971704e12b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 015 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 141W IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS A SPIRAL OF LOW CLOUDS AROUND IT AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN QUITE PERSISTENT... BUT IT IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A DEPRESSION. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 22:11:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627928-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:53:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA67824; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 08:51:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9422424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 08:51:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39732 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 08:46:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 08:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271346.IAA05699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 08:46:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14fe391a46795e1d0ec3f9ad1fbdaf62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 523 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1000 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 142W IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS A SPIRAL OF LOW CLOUDS AROUND IT AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN QUITE PERSISTENT... BUT IT IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A DEPRESSION. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628047-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:04:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49064; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:00:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9429277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:00:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30328 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:00:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:00:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272000.PAA16411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32d9903d34c41bb06a75a40e3aa5fc5d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 754 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ONE...THE BEST DEVELOPED...IS 1060 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 11.5N 141.5W...ANOTHER IS 580 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 12N 151W...AND A THIRD IS 830 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...NEAR 11N 165W. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE ALL MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MILES AN HOUR. NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES IS VERY STRONG AND NONE IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A DEPRESSION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 10:12:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625903-5196>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:03:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA31732; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:01:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9434356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64480 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:01:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280201.VAA24592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:01:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91cc6ee852761112e85858d396014808 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ONE IS 1020 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 11.5N 142.5W. THAT DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MILES AN HOUR. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE...830 SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...NEAR 12N 167W...IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MILES AN HOUR. A DISTURBANCE THAT WAS BETWEEN THE TWO THIS MORNING HAS DISSIPATED. NEITHER OF THE REMAINING DISTURBANCES IS VERY STRONG AND NEITHER IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A DEPRESSION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 16:08:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625918-26176>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:58:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18898; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:57:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:57:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45248 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:57:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280757.CAA29011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:57:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f92063cb7a6b656552669963c50afc84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 676 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A COUPLE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ONE IS 955 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 143W AND MOVING WEST AT 8 MILES AN HOUR. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 970 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11.5N 168W AND MOVING WEST AT 13 MILES AN HOUR. BOTH DISTURBANCES ARE WEAK AND SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-17373>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:00:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17834; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:59:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9439933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA45200 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:59:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281359.IAA03118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:59:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2100ed673e34585ee91b0c9001d7ef3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 621 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A COUPLE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ONE IS 960 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12.5N 143W AND MOVING WEST AT 7 MILES AN HOUR. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 990 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11.5N 168.5W AND MOVING WEST AT 13 MILES AN HOUR. BOTH DISTURBANCES REMAIN WEAK AND SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628323-17373>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:27:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA13186; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:25:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9446550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:24:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA21534 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:24:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:24:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282024.PAA13835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:24:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e7c1b7997b7a24f7c75c2c1a9f2807a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 126 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 28 1998 A COUPLE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ONE IS ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12.5N 143.5W MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THAT DISTURBANCE HAS A WELL-DEFINED LOW CLOUD SPIRAL BUT NO THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY. A DISTURBANCE 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...NEAR 12.5N 169W...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR. THERE IS A 200 MILE DIAMETER AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THAT DISTURBANCE. WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THESE SYSTEMS FOR SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2428 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626400-19479>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 10:18:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA19540; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:17:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9450895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:17:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22586 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:17:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:17:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290217.VAA19208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 21:17:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b013699a09c6703e9aab25352cb26916 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 685 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 28 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12.5N 144.5W HAS A LOW CLOUD SPIRAL BUT NO THUNDERSTORMS NEARBY. A SECOND DISTURBANCE 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...NEAR 12.5N 169.5W....HAS A 200 MILE DIAMETER AREA OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE CENTER. BOTH DISTURBANCES ARE MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS QUITE WEAK AND NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. THE ONE SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI IS A BIT STRONGER AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO INTENSIFY BUT IT MAY MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BEFORE IT DOES. WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THESE SYSTEMS FOR SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 16:03:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628337-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:57:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44984; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22182 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:56:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:56:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290756.CAA22326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 02:56:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46290dffc1c06b882fb8b3f4ddd84b6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 28 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS 820 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 13N 145W. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12N 173W. BOTH ARE MOVING WESTWARD AND REMAIN WEAK AND UNORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628690-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 21:55:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22058; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:54:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9455573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:54:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13284 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:54:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:53:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291353.IAA25474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:53:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75e85b4f4a61a7115a15ea464af94be7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 479 ABPA20 PHNL 291400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 29 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS 785 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 13N 146W. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 1225 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12N 174W. BOTH ARE MOVING WESTWARD AND REMAIN WEAK AND UNORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628422-4426>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:54:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19482; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:53:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9459868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:53:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25344 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:52:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:51:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291951.OAA29426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:51:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3919f8d16bd278c98886fc28ff31608c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 463 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT AUG 29 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS 750 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 146W. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 1275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12N 174W. BOTH ARE MOVING WESTWARD AND REMAIN WEAKLY ORGANIZED WITHIN AREAS OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THESE SYSTEMS FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-13949>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:47:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04230; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:45:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9463582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA53354 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:45:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300145.UAA03076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:45:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86bc584d602d92c22959ab28cff76b76 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 29 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS 730 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 147W. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12N 176W. BOTH ARE MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR AND REMAIN WEAKLY ORGANIZED WITHIN AREAS OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THESE SYSTEMS FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627419-3228>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:00:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23570; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:59:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9466797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA13056 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:59:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:59:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300759.CAA06202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:59:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce57d2959e9571c4cb7b9985ac8df06c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT AUG 29 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 1440 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS 735 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. BOTH ARE MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR BUT REMAIN WEAK WITH NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-3222>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 22:01:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19582; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:59:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9469300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:59:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36714 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:59:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:59:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301359.IAA09395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 08:59:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4097ba65333619452b1d9cc3c6c0682d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 912 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN AUG 30 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 675 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS SHOWING AN INCREASED INCREASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR AND IS BEING MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU REMAINS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. IT IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MILES AN HOUR. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628982-3228>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:04:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA61442; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:03:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9472405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64494 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:02:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808302002.PAA13652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:02:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9972a291a9539ec9c7e07c79176810c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 580 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 30 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 675 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO REMAINS WEAK...BUT IS SHOWING INCREASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR AND IS BEING MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1580 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU IS ABOUT TO CROSS THE DATELINE AND OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 15 MILES AN HOUR. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 10:05:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-10109>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 09:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA42950; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:55:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9475270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:53:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA53382 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:51:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:51:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310151.UAA17587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:51:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34d3cea2f866f07ff9ce22667a280edd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 ABPA20 PHNL 310200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 30 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO REMAINS WEAK...BUT IS SHOWING INCREASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. IT IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR AND IS BEING MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAS CROSSED THE DATELINE AND IS NO LONGER IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. IT IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 15 MILES AN HOUR. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629163-22799>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 16:18:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24786; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 03:17:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9478047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 03:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63620 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 03:15:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 03:15:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310815.DAA21453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 03:15:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 060e9a0bf0bc9b37a195637b34ab5567 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 ABPA20 PHNL 310800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS CENTERED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 11N 149W. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 7 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED...BUT WEAK...AND IT IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...NOW A DISTURBANCE...IS CENTERED 1200 MILES EAST OF HILO NEAR 16N 137W. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 9 MILES AN HOUR. THE CLOUD AREA AROUND THE DISTURBANCE IS SPREADING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE THAT THE REMNANT OF HOWARD WILL RE-INTENSIFY BUT IT MIGHT BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 09:39:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629436-3350>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:53:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA54070; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:50:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9484895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45584 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:50:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808311950.OAA06711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 14:50:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48b22876a1286a26a21cc6ea00502f27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 027 ABPA20 PHNL 312000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MONDAY AUGUST 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WAS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE SOUTHEAST OF HILO YESTERDAY EVENING WAS HARD TO FIND ON IR DATA OVERNIGHT...AND REMAINS ELUSIVE ON VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...NOW A DISTURBANCE...IS CENTERED 1050 MILES EAST OF HILO NEAR 16N 140W. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED WEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR. THE CLOUD AREA AROUND THE DISTURBANCE HAS ALREADY SPREAD WELL WEST OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE THAT THE REMNANT OF HOWARD WILL RE-INTENSIFY BUT IT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 10:14:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-16823>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:56:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16678; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:55:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9489213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:54:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47322 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:54:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010154.UAA16306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 20:54:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37faee5d806fbbf1231b452ec98b323b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 447 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MONDAY AUGUST 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WAS RATHER ELUSIVE ON VISIBLE IMAGERY THIS MORNING IS NOW BARELY DISCERNIBLE AS A WEAK SWIRL WITHIN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR 11N151W...690 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...NOW A DISTURBANCE...IS CENTERED 1000 MILES EAST OF HILO NEAR 16N 141W. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE UNSTABLE CLOUD AND SHOWER AREA AROUND THE DISTURBANCE HAS ALREADY SPREAD WEST TO 150W. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANCE THAT THE REMNANT OF HOWARD WILL RE-INTENSIFY BUT IT MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY MID-WEEK. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3590 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627056-13072>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 16:04:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA59976; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:02:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9491993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:02:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04150 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:02:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:02:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010802.DAA20681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:02:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9939b27b70ade8405f6afff03df967df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MONDAY AUGUST 31 1998 THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD...NOW A DISTURBANCE...IS CENTERED 950 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 15N 142W....MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS SURPRISINGLY WELL-ORGANIZED. OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...DEEPER LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED AROUND THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE. THESE ARE SIGNS THAT THE DISTURBANCE MAY BE STRENGTHENING...SO WE WILL BE KEEPING A CLOSE WATCH ON IT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629526-14713>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:00:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39706; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:59:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9495947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:59:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA53486 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:59:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011459.JAA27343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:59:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae112aed5c11e9c7cbc3105cf96cb10d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 ABPA20 PHNL 011400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 1 1998 THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 15N 142W....MOVING WEST AT 7 MILES AN HOUR. SINCE YESTERDAY EVENING...LAYERED CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AROUND THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE. THESE ARE SIGNS THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS STRENGTHENED. THE DISTURBANCE COULD RE-DEVELOP INTO A DEPRESSION TODAY..SO WE WILL BE KEEPING A CLOSE WATCH ON IT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629558-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:58:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14770; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 14:57:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9500903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 14:57:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25388 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 14:56:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 14:56:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011956.OAA06631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 14:56:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f2f34f19769ca2bdc6b61432c162b55 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 578 ABPA20 PHNL 012000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 1 1998 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE CENTERED ABOUT 890 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 15.0N 142.5W. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE ALMOST STATIONARY NEAR THAT POSITION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FIRING WITHIN 100 MILES OF THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. WE WILL KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON THE SYSTEM FOR SIGNS OF ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 10:55:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627184-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:57:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA47452; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:56:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9505255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19000 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:56:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020156.UAA14376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 20:56:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f8870f15b9395b4c34645b945ad9181 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 ABPA20 PHNL 020200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 1 1998 THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE CENTERED ABOUT 890 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 15.0N 142.5W. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED IN THAT SAME TIME PERIOD. WE WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THE DISTURBANCE FOR SIGNS OF ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 16:22:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627326-23335>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:03:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41948; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:02:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15306 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:02:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020802.DAA18639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 03:02:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acd285e02c3d386f155cd25a14e51b72 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 369 ABPA20 PHNL 020800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 1 1998 THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE CENTERED ABOUT 890 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 15.0N 142.5W. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED IN THAT SAME TIME PERIOD. WE WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THE DISTURBANCE FOR SIGNS OF ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627309-16941>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29164; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:41:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20932 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:41:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:41:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021341.IAA22614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 08:41:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cafedd9d927b5b0cffa44860b40ff6a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 609 ABPA20 PHNL 021400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 2 1998 THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE CENTERED ABOUT 890 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 14.7N 142.6W. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED ISOLATED AND UNCHANGED DURING THAT SAME TIME PERIOD. WE WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THIS DISTURBANCE FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:57:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA61534; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:56:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9517864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA16694 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:56:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:56:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021956.OAA03896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:56:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00757736c69324b51ba791cc89b35298 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 151 ABPA20 PHNL 022000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 2 1998 THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE CENTERED ABOUT 890 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 14.7N 142.7W. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND HAS BEEN IGNITING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTH...SOUTHWEST AND NORTHEAST OF ITS CIRCULATION CENTER. WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS DISTURBANCE FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626628-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15174; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:58:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9524241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28330 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:56:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:56:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030156.UAA12657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:56:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e9cc6cb5595f200d547bb557586e174 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 179 ABPA20 PHNL 030200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 2 1998 THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE CENTERED ABOUT 880 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 14.2N 143.1W. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MOST OF THE CONVECTION THAT HAD BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH IT HAS DISSIPATED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DISTURBANCE FOR ANY SIGNS OF REGENERATION. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625882-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:56:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23472; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:52:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:52:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA41886 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:52:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:51:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030751.CAA16434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 02:51:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a762ce9d2283ccc43b0c04a82e2d1c0d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 918 ABPA20 PHNL 030800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 2 1998 THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD ARE NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER SEEMS TO HAVE MERGED WITH THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 900 TO 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:54:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04338; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:52:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9531497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:52:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA09952 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:52:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:52:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031352.IAA20602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:52:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8c4a604703bf424e5a6f4d5168cddcb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 ABPA20 PHNL 031400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626224-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA04180; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:56:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9538196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04122 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031956.OAA02140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 14:56:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cdf71660443fc66404599dc2e5cc237 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 555 ABPA20 PHNL 032000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU SEP 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626999-8070>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:58:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA47500; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29050 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:56:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:56:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040156.UAA09194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 20:56:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70288205327e8f2feb72657a976728e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 093 ABPA20 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU SEP 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 16:26:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629643-26640>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:57:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15798; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:56:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53156 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:56:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040756.CAA12600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d448c8e72835f4e20f35ff7ade66909 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 ABPA20 PHNL 040800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU SEP 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626751-25343>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA53056; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9547787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30254 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:56:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:56:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041356.IAA16322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:56:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6608db5ae8b74ace5122078bf05489f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 ABPA20 PHNL 041400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI SEP 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627888-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA53376; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:56:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9553289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67082 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:56:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041955.OAA25137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:55:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d474de4a340847b2e3160e3f5a1078e9 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 452 ABPA20 PHNL 042000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 12:07:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627145-19380>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:02:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63526; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:01:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9556392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57062 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:01:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050201.VAA00276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:01:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43cea81fc0d712630d2325e056a10313 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 959 ABPA20 PHNL 050200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 4 1998 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:56:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25136; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:56:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63514 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:56:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050755.CAA02700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:55:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 860a1e84646bb553cc6450a45894f77f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 ABPA20 PHNL 050800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 4 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 13N 165W...OR ABOUT 740 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627215-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:57:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22520; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:57:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9560394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA34022 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:57:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051356.IAA04950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 08:56:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80364f9e3be09ad85045896f7702f1db X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 256 ABPA20 PHNL 051400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 5 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 13N 166W...MORE THAN 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4769 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:01:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44068; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67074 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:01:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809052001.PAA07720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70d947275f8f0bcba0d179a9f2905df0 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 210 ABPA20 PHNL 052000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SPIRAL OF LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS CLOUDS CENTERED 740 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...AT 14N 167W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY. A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 830 MILES WEST OF KAUAI IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE. THE LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIG DOWN TO THE SURFACE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630509-7241>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 10:20:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15690; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:18:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9567004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:18:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA67126 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:18:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:18:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060218.VAA10745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 21:18:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d058632b2b08f3cfcdce0b3a95bb7565 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 ABPA20 PHNL 060200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SPIRAL OF LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS CLOUDS CENTERED 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...AT 13N 167W...IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 830 MILES WEST OF KAUAI ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE. THE LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIG DOWN TO THE SURFACE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625994-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:57:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28154; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:57:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA35048 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:57:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:56:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060756.CAA12830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 02:56:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f393c5795247afb4eb473e8a37b3cf2 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 323 ABPA20 PHNL 060800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 00:04:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-8436>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA48896; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:57:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9570410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40078 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:56:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:56:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061356.IAA14807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:56:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45a2b0871e2cb868fa1cf8f572bd530f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 631 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-8435>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 04:13:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA38852; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:12:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9573848 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA27308 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:12:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:11:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809062011.PAA18511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:11:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3072690db9457663cdf6a5f65f202039 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 ABPA20 PHNL 062000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 14N 170W IS MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS WEAK AND IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. AN AREA OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS 1050 MILES WEST OF KAUAI IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE. THE LOW IS MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY TO GENERATE A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 10:12:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627672-1818>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 10:06:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52938; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:06:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9576266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:06:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53428 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:05:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:05:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070205.VAA21764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:05:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef2b63c4a0fdb2aa136f50a28d734600 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 568 ABPA20 PHNL 070200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 16:16:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626119-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 15:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA41018; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:57:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9579337 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:56:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52768 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070756.CAA24415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 02:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea33c5b3915dc9f7ce77d579520afc3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 291 ABPA20 PHNL 070800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1304 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626374-1821>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 21:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22718; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:57:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9581862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA55856 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:56:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071356.IAA27411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 08:56:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57f33e9f4a07e70355e84becd22402f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 697 ABPA20 PHNL 071400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2314 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626953-1818>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:57:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33860; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:56:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9586156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:56:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA60206 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:56:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809071955.OAA02282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:55:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35c36c80eb454265474e522b11a4e643 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 685 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 7 1998 THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS RELATIVELY QUIET WITH ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCURRING ALONG 09N. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 11:04:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2551 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-6658>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 10:01:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30376; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:58:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9589908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:58:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA45700 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:56:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080156.UAA06447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 20:56:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e2168d557d6a68c0db4c349c3158a8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 ABPA20 PHNL 080200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 7 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS ABOUT 865 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 16:43:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-5182>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:39:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22914; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:37:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9592922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:37:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47436 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:36:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:36:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080836.DAA10004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:36:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 118f447f8c9d99adf7dbe02ac7f57c79 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 525 ABPA20 PHNL 080800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE IS A DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 09N 149W. IT IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THE DISTURBANCE IS WEAK AND NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1265 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627742-5182>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 22:13:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47396; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:12:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9595803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57038 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:10:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:10:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081410.JAA13840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 09:10:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e3e25b781070f7fcefdfcc65123c552 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 ABPA20 PHNL 081400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY SEP 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 09:50:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2362 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-5181>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:58:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52470; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 14:56:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9601380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 14:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA49084 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 14:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 14:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809081955.OAA24699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 14:55:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 700a34c635ac6b86a93d50a329c33702 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 ABPA20 PHNL 082000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY SEP 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 10:06:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626383-14541>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:56:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA59784; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:56:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9606288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA23412 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:56:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090156.UAA01346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 20:56:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66d3652f8b84f01e4ef99c668be86e3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY SEP 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A PORTION OF THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...HAS PUSHED NORTH OF 10N. THE APEX OF THIS BULGE IN THE ITCZ IS MARKED BY A VERY WEAK DISTURBANCE LOCATED 715 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 85 MILES OF THE DISTURBANCE'S NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 09 17:21:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628070-14541>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 16:20:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19668; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:20:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9609280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:20:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29370 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:20:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809090820.DAA06304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 03:20:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57b64657495a41630e1cd9c69858ab2a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 ABPA20 PHNL 090800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY SEP 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 11N 151W...IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE DISTURBANCE FORMED IN A NORTHWARD BULGE OF THE ITCZ ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE DISTURBANCE IS WEAK AND IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628090-14542>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 23:32:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA15244; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:32:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9613258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA39002 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:31:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA13239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091531.KAA13239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 10:31:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20e80dcd1b719473a0d134f8042d8b9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 950 ABPA20 PHNL 091400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEP 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 11N 151W...IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE DISTURBANCE...WHICH FORMED IN A NORTHWARD BULGE OF THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS WEAK AND IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628112-14541>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 04:00:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA31930; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:58:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9617389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:58:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67230 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:58:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809091958.OAA23644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 14:58:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2d19d7096f8c194879f8be88dea29e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 ABPA20 PHNL 092000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEP 9 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 11N 152W...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS WEAK AND NOT LIKELY TO INTENSIFY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 11:04:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1885 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18766; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:59:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9622352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47674 for ; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:59:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:59:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100159.UAA08060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 20:59:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b714342bffdab62d13759b0b66caf68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 020 ABPA20 PHNL 100200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEP 9 1998 THREE TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ONE IS NEAR 30.5N 170.5W...890 MILES NORTHWEST OF KAUAI...AND IS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST. ANOTHER IS AT 10N 153W...OR ABOUT 685 MILES SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS ONE IS MOVING WEST/SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE LAST IS NEAR 28.5N 145.5W...850 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO...AND IS HEADING TO THE WEST AT 10 MPH. ALL THESE SYSTEMS ARE WEAK AND NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 16:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1153 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627926-142>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA58824; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9625982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30646 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:55:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100755.CAA12511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 02:55:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 570a4dd783e214dabe8f5ddf32897f6d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 ABPA20 PHNL 100800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEP 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...REMAINS INTACT BUT VERY WEAK NEAR 10N 153W...OR ABOUT 680 MILES SOUTH OF HILO. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR AND IS PRODUCING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 180 MILES OF THE CENTER IN ITS EASTERN QUADRANT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. A TRADE WIND DISTURBANCE NEAR 28N 146W...OR ABOUT 790 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT PRODUCING ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:03:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-152>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA18760; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:56:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9628531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15130 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:56:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101356.IAA17090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 08:56:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08d129f40888ed99e83aee8484eba687 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 041 ABPA20 PHNL 101400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY SEP 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS NEAR 10N 155W...OR ABOUT 660 MILES SOUTH OF HILO. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR AND IS PRODUCING WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 250 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN ITS EASTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. ALTHOUGH FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED. A TRADE WIND DISTURBANCE NEAR 28N 148W...OR ABOUT 720 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT PRODUCING ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628118-142>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 04:03:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63904; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:00:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9633697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:00:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63876 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:00:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809102000.PAA29427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e52ddb1bfaf96665d6ef107330fe37e7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 757 ABPA20 PHNL 102000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU SEP 10 1998 WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN 100 MILES OF A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEARLY 650 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST NEAR 12 MILES AN HOUR. THE THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE DISTURBANCE REMAIN UNORGANIZED BUT ARE BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 10:18:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-29062>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA28404; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:06:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9638908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:06:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13192 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:06:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110206.VAA07286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:06:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a936aa3ce92de78954f16a04fc4e60c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 ABPA20 PHNL 110205 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU SEP 10 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEARLY 750 MILES SOUTH OF KONA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED AS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED AROUND THE DISTURBANCE IN THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 16:00:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627172-29063>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44776; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:56:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9642079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA49108 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:56:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110756.CAA11477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 02:56:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 060014e1f17bb07101d74a0dc953f494 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 ABPA20 PHNL 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU SEP 10 1998 A WEAKENING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N 156W...OR ABOUT 720 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS LOST NEARLY ALL OF ITS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 00:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-5773>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA47440; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:56:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9644747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:56:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22838 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:56:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111356.IAA15174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 08:56:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6f7b6cea9a2a24744415db827a98837 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 017 ABPA20 PHNL 111400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI SEP 11 1998 A WEAKENING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N 157W...OR ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE LOST ALL OF ITS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THURSDAY EVENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626410-5773>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:58:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19652; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:56:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9649219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24488 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809111956.OAA26590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:56:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61fece69cc01563b4499c5be48c051d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 156 ABPA20 PHNL 112000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 10:25:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625991-20426>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:58:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26034; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:57:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22936 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:57:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120157.UAA03251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:57:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 353a5b0638494a578ccb0145b71ba603 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 084 ABPA20 PHNL 120200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626684-20426>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 16:05:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA35902; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:04:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9654983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:04:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA47404 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:04:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120803.DAA07024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:03:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6ee1cbb89f7cb1d393b6528603a49a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 065 ABPA20 PHNL 120800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 00:25:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4032 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627350-20425>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 00:18:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA67072; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:18:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9657770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:18:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA58094 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:18:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:18:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121618.LAA10983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:18:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c33c545f66a945c519c741ac62efb646 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 278 ABPA20 PHNL 121400 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627658-20425>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:56:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58040; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:56:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA47524 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:56:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:56:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121956.OAA13672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:56:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfcf6076e18b9d313d71c0a4391057d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 ABPA20 PHNL 122000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT SEP 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4850 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626672-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:58:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA57894; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 20:57:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9661899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 20:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA47834 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 20:56:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 20:56:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130156.UAA17619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 20:56:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14cd69f64859f34764e848ef525fe78a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 107 ABPA20 PHNL 130200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 16:01:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:48:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA46642; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:47:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664596 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA27166 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:47:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130747.CAA21125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 02:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41d0bba00ca46cef574b6a6014d59ec3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 ABPA20 PHNL 130800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:48:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA44266; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:48:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9666145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:48:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47824 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:48:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:47:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131347.IAA23865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:47:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 616995fe4bcfe2dc83a3cc20ae10f8ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 091 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627720-27877>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:56:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA20924; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9668865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA58024 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131956.OAA28162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa5f1de8c5fefe960c9095331e208b91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-20656>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36018; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9671981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:57:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA67226 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140156.UAA03035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 20:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07966d2b3725447169d4a03030f88614 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 992 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627743-20664>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 16:09:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29264; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:57:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9674803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:57:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA27196 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:57:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:56:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140756.CAA06400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 02:56:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e50a8114c5a12efd07af3b90ca2babf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 ABPA20 PHNL 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N 160W...OR ABOUT 745 MILES SOUTH OF LIHUE...IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MILES PER HOUR. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE'S EASTERN SEMICIRCLE UP TO 240 MILES FROM THE CENTER. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-20656>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 21:58:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19486; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:56:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9676917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA31756 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:56:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:56:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141356.IAA10113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:56:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 455d7883bf0808a7a8823a3e2a504039 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N 162W...OR ABOUT 745 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...IS MOVING WEST AT 11 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 340 MILES OF THE DISTURBANCE'S SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND WITHIN 200 MILES OF ITS NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627414-20656>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:04:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25312; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:00:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9680996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:00:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28356 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:00:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:59:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141959.OAA20691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:59:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04a559b5f638b4afda3c623334837b9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 265 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 14 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 11N 162W...ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH/SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FIRING CLOSE TO THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM...HOWEVER...IS UNLIKELY TO INTENSIFY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625994-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA33810; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:56:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9684402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13300 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:56:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:55:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150155.UAA29416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 20:55:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6e662f85ceab239e0a7cc09acd39664 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 14 1998 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 11N 163W...ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FIRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM... HOWEVER...IS UNLIKELY TO INTENSIFY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626349-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:57:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19066; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:56:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:56:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA50536 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:56:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150756.CAA04381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 02:56:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05111f7700ca8cdc5e6d3206ccad7e67 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 591 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 14 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 12N 164W...OR ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO GENERATE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 250 MILES FROM ITS CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ANY FURTHER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 23:34:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628383-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:58:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA50468; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9689465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:57:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22788 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:57:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151357.IAA08698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:57:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bf13a6c6918f847de65dfa4476122a1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 164 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 15 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 12N 165W...OR ABOUT 770 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE...MOVING WEST AT 9 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO GENERATE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY WITHIN 150 MILES NORTH THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF ITS CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ANY FURTHER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628450-13812>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 04:07:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28182; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:04:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9693685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28410 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:04:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:03:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809152003.PAA19330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 15:03:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2641986b9371874e23b462cec03fc37c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 681 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N 140W...ABOUT 1125 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N 167W...ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...IS MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES PER HOUR. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-6181>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA50620; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:06:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9698685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47502 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:06:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:05:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160205.VAA02229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:05:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffe4aa4aee2b66941152cc0e72c4c290 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 205 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N 140W...ABOUT 1125 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N 169W...ABOUT 920 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...IS MOVING WEST AT 20 MILES PER HOUR. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628706-6174>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53042; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:59:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9702371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:57:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA35214 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:56:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160756.CAA06916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 02:56:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f685005909805734ffc3074499857f6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 457 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 15 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12.5N 140W...MORE THAN 1100 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 11.5N 170.5W...ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI... IS MOVING WEST AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4498 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627956-20257>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:01:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA44752; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:59:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9705686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA53190 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:56:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161356.IAA13007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:56:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cd7b6a1938315afc73acd70bb4e1402 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 636 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 16 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12.5N 140W...MORE THAN 1100 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE NEARING 11.5N 172W...ABOUT 1080 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...IS MOVING WEST AT BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628861-20256>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28176; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:05:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9712073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:04:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62308 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:02:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809162001.PAA27126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:01:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc4d97e9d860db338507636de3ef1691 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 895 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A STRING OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE BETWEEN 10N AND 12N...550 OR MORE MILES FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE ALL WEAK AND NONE ARE LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 10:55:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627236-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:02:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA35232; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:01:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9717734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56698 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:01:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:00:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170200.VAA05634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:00:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 193fc6f295508263a4ceac2f1b972b6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 413 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM 1200 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO TO 600 MILES SOUTH OF HILO TO 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THESE DISTURBANCES ARE ALL WEAK AND NONE ARE LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627442-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47752; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:57:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15724 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:56:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170756.CAA11654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:56:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 126a5c6ec059342255c817b6f6dbee3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 197 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 22:11:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3737 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627696-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15662; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:57:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9723420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:57:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA63516 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:57:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171357.IAA16112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 08:57:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b9c9c62f5c9b34c9a5d9aa37b8d63e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 915 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-29113>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:02:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27156; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:57:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9728900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA47842 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171956.OAA29818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 14:56:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fe6fa7a32e70a8c52a1b15d51aa9d5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 644 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N 157W...OR ABOUT 715 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 MILES OF THE CENTER. ALTHOUGH THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER IT WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 10:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626362-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 10:02:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA58772; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:57:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA62770 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:56:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180156.UAA08558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 20:56:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 135e608d371ad44055dc6ec3bdf8f32c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 243 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N 158W ...OR ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 MILES OF THE CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627951-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:37:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28204; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:36:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:36:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52762 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:36:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:35:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180835.DAA13750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:35:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e45e657d966f186e13ab9392310c9b51 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 966 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627975-22879>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:47:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA49176; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:47:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:47:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA58630 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:47:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181346.IAA17868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:46:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d4f197b4aa8dea5ef2ddd7f953a2e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 706 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:59:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA30750; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:57:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9743793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:57:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA48644 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:57:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:57:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181957.OAA00149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:57:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e69bc1673853a4bf27f5f946f3b6b739 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 904 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626446-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:57:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA38860; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9746856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30394 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:56:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190155.UAA06857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:55:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 298407fcb1935d101693bdf8d88d141d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 547 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2971 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:34:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12868; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:32:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9749299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:32:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52528 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:32:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:32:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190832.DAA10783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:32:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42265c10e5a5e7de54149c73caffce63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE HAS BULGED NORTH TO WITHIN 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 22:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04344; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:40:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9751259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:40:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13028 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:40:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:40:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191440.JAA13852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:40:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6205ae662f4c02823cec11d51f23bba0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 524 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE HAS BULGED NORTH TO WITHIN 300 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DECREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1310 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626926-15810>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA11086; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:56:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9753393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21552 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:56:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:56:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191956.OAA17378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:56:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd1b7dbb8fcf57a7f334109bd6f07232 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 988 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT SEP 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626535-22438>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:00:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA50964; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:59:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9756323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:59:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63738 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:59:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:58:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200158.UAA21623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 20:58:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bce9b39109ace4aefbe9b35453fea78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 19 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 785 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE IS 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KONA. THEY ARE MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. BOTH REMAIN UNORGANIZED AND SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626842-22442>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:58:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52662; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:57:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9758974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:57:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21668 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:57:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200756.CAA25320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 02:56:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a12886a05d51a07cc8655fd643013cdb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 121 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 19 1998 A COUPLE OF WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE FIRST IS ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR AND THE SECOND IS ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. BOTH ARE GENERATING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. NEITHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-22442>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 22:00:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA14462; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:57:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9760880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA45156 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:57:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA28568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201357.IAA28568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 08:57:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b8625bfc96fa1935941ac4053aa876c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 20 1998 TWO TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE FIRST IS ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS DISTURBANCE IS GENERATING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND IS MOVING WEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR. THE SECOND DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE AND IS MORE ACTIVE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 MILES OF ITS EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ANY FURTHER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627318-22442>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52584; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:58:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9764229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:57:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA59720 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:57:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:57:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201957.OAA03356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:57:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac8a4c0c2a51a64b1e002ca348b8715c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 513 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 20 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10 MILES AN HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THIS SYSTEM REMAIN UNORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 10:11:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628099-16009>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 09:59:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31700; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:57:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9766979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA56764 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:57:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:57:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210157.UAA11020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:57:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 557c9110f298f7766139843b5dc8d540 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 440 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 20 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 16:06:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1630 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627384-16009>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:00:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA38850; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:57:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52912 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:57:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210756.CAA18796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:56:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc5b8ac84e74b32ecb571600f7080338 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 496 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 695 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAS BEEN PRODUCING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 5 MILES PER HOUR. THE PRESENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET NEARBY WILL LIKELY PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ANOTHER MUCH WEAKER DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 730 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MILES PER HOUR AND IS GENERATING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 22:02:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:59:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA51128; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:58:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9772395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29766 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:57:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211357.IAA23262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 08:57:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 315701941903ec0d59ca3fcaaa75d8c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 728 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 21 1998 TWO TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE BEING MONITORED AT THIS TIME. THE FIRST DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE AND IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MILES PER HOUR. ALTHOUGH THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO GENERATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IT REMAINS RATHER DISORGANIZED. THE PROXIMITY OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET MAKES THE ENVIRONMENT UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. A WEAKER DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 MILES OF ITS NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-16016>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:53:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA37766; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:52:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9777679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:52:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA35376 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:52:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211952.OAA05835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 14:52:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 925774a3cda6b00e479875554542a3f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 918 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 21 1998 WE CONTINUE TO WATCH TWO DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. THE FIRST DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE AND IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES PER HOUR. ALTHOUGH THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO GENERATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IT REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. A WEAKER DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND IS MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 MILES OF ITS NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:52:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-10305>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 09:48:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA37664; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:47:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9782703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:47:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44302 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:47:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:46:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220146.UAA23489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:46:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a5d00e009908d1479711261a69bd428 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 320 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 21 1998 WE CONTINUE TO WATCH TWO DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 820 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAS DETERIORATED INTO A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 14N169W TO 12N164W. NO MAJOR CIRCULATION CENTER IS DISCERNIBLE ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR THE LAST REPORTED CENTER NEAR 14N168W. THE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 630 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 MILES SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE CONTINUES MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 5 MILES AN HOUR. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1976 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627457-10300>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 16:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56946; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:00:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9786498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:00:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63896 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:57:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:57:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220757.CAA06401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 02:57:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 305620e921a4c87f97319c35bf83e051 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627676-10303>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 21:57:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24200; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9789813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39222 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:56:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221356.IAA11876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:56:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ab6dad2f2500bb660904ed3cf30004b X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627774-10304>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 04:00:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34996; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:58:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9795620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:58:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30364 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:57:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA06316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221957.OAA06316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:57:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb2db8ef59a3f84e93ffc9c628ecf1a5 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE SEP 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 10:13:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627324-7543>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 10:00:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA57770; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:57:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9801305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA57496 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:57:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230157.UAA15390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e60b0cd1636746fc5d9e3364c9522986 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 634 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE SEP 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 16:10:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1796 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626689-7546>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 15:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24448; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9804748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA61290 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:57:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230757.CAA10217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 02:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ca547961cebf8395ad3d3b8ef4a9b2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 534 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE SEP 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 22:12:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3964 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-23919>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 22:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21712; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:59:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9807852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21682 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:59:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:59:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231359.IAA17633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 08:59:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5340a6bbe1e6cf68cebfc5f9acf9f25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 918 ABPA20 PHNL 231400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED SEP 23 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 470 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST AT 7 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS UNORGANIZED BUT IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 08:32:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627651-23919>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:53:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29102; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:52:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9815111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:52:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44184 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:52:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809231952.OAA22488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:52:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 993533d67aa6ae93a0096af9c9372a78 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 946 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED SEP 23 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 11:34:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2024 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626324-26532>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 09:54:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15570; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:53:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9819730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:53:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA29884 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:53:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:53:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240153.UAA09449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 20:53:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d77e92b3cbb9b093aa93766e7078c0e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 477 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED SEP 23 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N154W...450 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE PERSIST WITHIN 60 MILE OF A LINE FROM 13N154W TO 12N151W. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 16:15:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627765-26531>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 16:09:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29796; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:03:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9823512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:03:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15442 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:03:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240803.DAA21463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 03:03:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e58ec85015e265a7944520c678bdda60 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N 156W...ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND...IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 12 MILES AN HOUR. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT ARE LIKELY TO INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THE DISTURBANCE BUT WE WILL WATCH FOR ANY CHANGES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:23:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627856-26527>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 22:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12200; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 09:03:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9826780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 09:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39988 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:59:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241359.IAA27784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 08:59:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eaea308c3a4eb7446e1e6954fef8c7fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG ISLAND IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:24:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627923-26531>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 04:01:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16766; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:58:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9831940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA18988 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:55:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809241955.OAA16732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 14:55:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8960f6a4c228c4af2fee1fb92c32a4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 103 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 10:17:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626639-19057>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:57:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA39144; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:54:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9836723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28546 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:53:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:53:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250153.UAA00407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:53:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 569b05611c281b014b1f773ba9700186 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 653 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU ARE MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SHEARED APART AND NOW CONSISTS OF A DISORGANIZED AREA OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 17:15:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4758 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626917-19059>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 16:03:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA21860; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 03:02:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9840837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 03:00:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28416 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:58:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:58:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250758.CAA05784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:58:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef9510d5f66d6e107d4e8f738caea253 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 01:08:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627259-19054>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 22:25:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA40824; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:24:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9845289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:22:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44366 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:05:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251405.JAA11490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:05:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95d3db1031fa33cf538987789e9748d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 08:14:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627006-19057>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 04:00:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38996; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:58:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9851814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63546 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:53:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251953.OAA23742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:53:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34f711debe5343d769d5c824b3a2b536 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 972 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:47:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626859-11118>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 10:06:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20676; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:04:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9856535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12886 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:59:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:59:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260159.UAA00447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 20:59:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 924ddb8270dc7856beaadda6162874a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-12553>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:07:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19556; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:01:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9860744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12274 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:59:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:59:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260759.CAA05868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 02:59:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 307fd468ad0396c14c77f840c14c92a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 240 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627532-12553>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:02:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12208; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:02:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9863742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:00:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33902 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:00:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:00:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261400.JAA10020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:00:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad3d26a06f218a5ec82b478145914d9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 698 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627747-12553>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:05:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49400; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:00:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9870046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:00:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA48084 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:00:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:00:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809262000.PAA16237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce2e24ef4acd7bcf767ac1412feae0e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 715 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT SEP 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-24160>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:02:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30498; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:01:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9875038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57358 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:00:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270200.VAA22627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:00:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9abddd85c6cb711d6c95925b98917f9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626586-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:00:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19558; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:59:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9879569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA61268 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:59:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:59:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270759.CAA26935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 02:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c3dcaa75ba3232e31ec4d9119acec7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 985 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:01:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14800; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:00:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9882630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:00:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52924 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:00:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271400.JAA01496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:00:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d63ddaab1aad1ca1cd7eab86e956c9e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 702 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627738-24156>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:56:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19196; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:55:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9887980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:54:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA34988 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:54:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:54:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271954.OAA07712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:54:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96665f4f235143c56e00bd4ff513a0fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 670 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2488 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:59:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA63592; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:55:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9893408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28498 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:55:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280155.UAA15191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:55:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d20e06b8d8060b849c999632f756da67 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 16:17:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 16:07:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA42944; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:00:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9898467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:00:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54438 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:00:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280800.DAA20573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:00:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6cebb5c63087969c1db8b89ba0e24d5b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 519 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 745 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...ONLY A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 280 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:02:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19710; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:00:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9902730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:00:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA19688 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:00:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:00:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281400.JAA25896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:00:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd0576d88dfb41282c0d9c0ada5f9119 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 109 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N 145W...OR ABOUT 690 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 17N 142W...OR ABOUT 880 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 MILES OF THE SYSTEM'S EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4139 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627883-24781>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:58:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA43416; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:56:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9909169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:56:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA27380 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:55:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:54:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281954.OAA09112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:54:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4826281e889cd22dd298650ec3f2cdc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N 146W...OR ABOUT 660 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 17N 142W...OR ABOUT 880 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAS ALMOST COMPLETELY DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 10:03:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:02:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29278; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:57:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9916834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:57:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA49010 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:55:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA20741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290155.UAA20741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 20:55:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32e8e43879e24d0667f5baa80efc5122 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS LIES 450 TO 900 MILES EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...GENERATED BY TWO WEAKLY ROTATING DISTURBANCES. CENTERED NEAR 15N146W AND 19N144W...THESE DISTURBANCES ARE MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10 MILES PER HOUR. A 45 MILE WIDE LINE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM 19N141W TO 17N140W. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 16:31:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627943-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:06:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA59316; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:00:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9922097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:00:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15520 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:00:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:00:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290800.DAA27307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 03:00:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c62ec1c55768a364370cd2b6fe9ce6f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 17.5N 145.5W...OR ABOUT 630 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 5 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ABOUT 340 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT WAS NEAR 19N 144W HAS DISSIPATED. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1812 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627601-17639>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 22:03:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA18946; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:00:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9926255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:00:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22250 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:00:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:00:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291400.JAA03613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:00:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 851440c777b104b4458dfa94c9324fd5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 ABPA20 PHNL 291400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 18.0N 146.3W...OR ABOUT 575 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING 350 MILES NORTH TO 400 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-17639>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 04:40:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14500; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:39:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9933795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:39:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA14556 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:36:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809292036.PAA16770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 15:36:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 450295cd767081e20dfc778f42d542e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 222 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 560 MILES EAST HILO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 20 MILES AN HOUR OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AN UPPER ATMOSPHERIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE HAS CAUSED THE DISTURBANCE TO MOVE NORTH. THE TROUGH IS ALSO STRETCHING OUT THE DISTURBANCE... TEARING IT APART. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29882; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:09:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9938888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA58830 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:07:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:07:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300207.VAA24158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:07:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f9c13275ecee9f80a91da9ce2c1070d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 521 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 685 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 23N 145W...IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 25 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS BEING TORN APART BY AN UPPER ATMOSPHERIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ONE IS ABOUT 735 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...NEAR 09N 157W...AND THE OTHER IS ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KAUAI...NEAR 08N 177W. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN ENOUGH TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 15:54:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18760; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:52:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25398 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:52:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300752.CAA29161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 02:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54207ee91c6c0b09308691fad95698c4 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 246 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 750 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 24N 145W...IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 25 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS BEING TORN APART BY AN UPPER ATMOSPHERIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ONE IS ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...NEAR 09N 158W...AND THE OTHER IS ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...NEAR 08N 177W. NEITHER DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN ENOUGH TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1509 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628053-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA59272; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:51:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9946938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA43638 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:51:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301351.IAA05100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d28f2470ad47a23da6fad4025a0dea30 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 780 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 24N 145W...IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE AS A DISTINCT CIRCULATION. ASSOCIATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 30N141W TO 23N145W. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 20 MILES PER HOUR. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627518-17078>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 03:02:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14498; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 14:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9953146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 14:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA44426 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 14:01:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 14:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301901.OAA15746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 14:01:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f148a1dbf79ef7c536003ebfe2cb6287 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCES NORTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BOTH DISSIPATED LAST NIGHT. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THIS MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:00:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29808; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:55:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9959082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35928 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:55:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010155.UAA24584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 20:55:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aed8efa948377f5fb0afba196d5844ce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 640 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THIS AFTERNOON. A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627448-5821>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:54:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26684; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:51:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9985851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26782 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:51:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010750.CAA28836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:50:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 940678c58272f59d48f30802d20bf337 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 443 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:31:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4009 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626908-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30686; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:11:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10052886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:11:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA56084 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:51:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011351.IAA02437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:51:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33a0fef79d314960d5f0dbe642c5d9a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 110 ABPA20 PHNL 011400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 01 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:24:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627722-5814>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 04:04:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12878; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:03:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10015096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:02:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40148 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:02:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810012002.PAA13195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:02:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15d6c2e4d1521829915b61a0d29b3a33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 101 ABPA20 PHNL 012000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 01 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627260-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 10:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44032; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:57:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10032126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26842 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:57:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020157.UAA21176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:57:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e964118e2d2298b566f6b4bf6d6e8a1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 ABPA20 PHNL 020200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 01 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 08.0N 171.5W AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND IS PART OF A LARGER AREA OF CONVECTION ...BETWEEN 05N AND 10N AND WEST OF 160W...BEING CAUSED BY WIND CONVERGENCE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DISTURBANCE FOR SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:31:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1624 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627219-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 16:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA33892; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:23:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10053752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:23:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39222 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:22:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:22:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020822.DAA25822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 03:22:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe44379939c812aa3139d71ad6eb8018 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 ABPA20 PHNL 020800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 1 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED ABOUT 940 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 12N 144W. IT IS MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. A SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE DISTURBANCE SHOWS UP ON INFRARED SATELLITE PICTURES. THE DISTURBANCE IS WEAK AND IS UNLIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627057-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 21:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA42080; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:51:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10077890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:51:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA42026 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:51:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810021351.IAA00594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:51:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67aead612b326d37be2e14039b881330 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 336 ABPA20 PHNL 021400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WAS SOUTHEAST OF HILO LAST EVENING HAS ALREADY DISSIPATED. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 08:32:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627801-2415>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 04:38:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA10320; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:38:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10094027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA55614 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:38:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA12769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:38:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810022038.PAA12769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:38:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e673bc21e9bf1c1534d3768104cc8d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 ABPA20 PHNL 022000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 10:25:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625989-890>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44456; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:56:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10097642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37780 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:56:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030156.UAA18007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 20:56:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc5369fb9bab69fc42dd412de45fb23e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 112 ABPA20 PHNL 030200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 17:53:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4582 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626020-21861>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 16:31:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44448; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:30:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA14466 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030830.DAA21656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a337698af62ad774226124fba66d3b0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 ABPA20 PHNL 030800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE SOME ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 600 OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BUT NO WELL ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 22:13:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626569-21863>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 22:04:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62330; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:03:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10103448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57446 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:03:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031403.JAA24039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 09:03:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b85a46836c7f828900f7822f9dccd87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 862 ABPA20 PHNL 031400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE SOME ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 500 OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BUT NO WELL ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626976-21860>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA41402; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10107886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45476 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:56:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031956.OAA27495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d48bd16e84bb53e22b83dd1525a56f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 766 ABPA20 PHNL 032000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A VERY ACTIVE AREA OF DEEP THUNDERSTORMS IS BETWEEN 09N AND 13N FROM 152W TO 160W. NO TROPICAL DISTURBANCE APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626359-4101>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:59:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA09864; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:58:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10111552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:57:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18716 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:56:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040156.UAA00452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 20:56:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ead2990c5e39432e54d13767486307b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 ABPA20 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626185-4101>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 16:07:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45512; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:06:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10114444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:06:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64434 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:06:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040806.DAA03383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:06:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b18e794361daff6b1a78d87bb4a2bccc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 ABPA20 PHNL 040800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626780-4106>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:57:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA45780; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:56:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10116182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22200 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:55:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041355.IAA05373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 08:55:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40ec37142734a910ffaa4a2d62e486b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 ABPA20 PHNL 041400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 08:51:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-4106>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:53:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45214; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:52:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10119185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67722 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:52:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:52:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041952.OAA09139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 14:52:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed5a73f889b5f0fd6ad4b0b56b9ed2ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 ABPA20 PHNL 042000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 10:19:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626445-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19470; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:52:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10122652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44262 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:52:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:52:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050152.UAA16118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:52:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 829fb2234fea1378c5411521b2e42648 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 353 ABPA20 PHNL 050200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA57556; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:56:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA57016 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050756.CAA19964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a1ed941bef1417d38936ab02679d6bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 ABPA20 PHNL 050800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 22:32:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-28309>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13028; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:56:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10128175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA67776 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:55:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051355.IAA24377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 08:55:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1173c426cdb137e1b075b08135e4a33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 085 ABPA20 PHNL 051400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:19:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627629-28312>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:25:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA35194; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:23:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10133354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:23:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45646 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:23:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:23:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810052023.PAA07011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:23:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c0f3d1f379c25452cf9b997d5a31970 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 135 ABPA20 PHNL 052000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625986-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12238; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10139009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63920 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060156.UAA13284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd6d8c3d1cc9f0e945971fada77c7c60 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 ABPA20 PHNL 060200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:00:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA17760; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:55:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54596 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:55:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060755.CAA16210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:55:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2485d09ab91280a5680aef5dc8bcfccc Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 ABPA20 PHNL 060800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:59:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17894; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:57:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10146032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:56:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17674 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:55:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061355.IAA19935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:55:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 115f1b604a34636dfcfe028e7df9df4f Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 300 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627668-9467>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 04:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26732; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:27:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10150946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA47950 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:27:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062027.PAA02156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:27:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4d364d86c701edce3297dd5979b7807 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 ABPA20 PHNL 062000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626907-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA37714; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:51:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10155327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:51:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04150 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:51:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070151.UAA08889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 20:51:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70cb134c1cf5670ca629e6cacddc0c1f Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 955 ABPA20 PHNL 070200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE OCT 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1684 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:06:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA63892; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:56:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63856 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:56:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:56:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070756.CAA12702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:56:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 340c77336c497f70d30fbd9761bead63 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 ABPA20 PHNL 070800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626987-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA33986; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:55:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10161453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12192 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:55:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071355.IAA16918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 08:55:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72a1fa6480660c2b427ed40f0253818a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 065 ABPA20 PHNL 071400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-14069>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:12:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA43622; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:11:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10166901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:11:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA66130 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:11:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810072011.PAA29591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:11:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f15610cdf401918c0961808053ff3f32 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 192 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF SMALL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 500...OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627003-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 10:01:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA12210; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:00:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10170525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45728 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:00:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080200.VAA07339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 21:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 984da3ad4b124683c828118f351398b6 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 092 ABPA20 PHNL 080200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF SMALL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...500 OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627583-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 15:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA04154; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:56:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA46376 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:56:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080756.CAA10983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 02:56:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f39cfa2002523cad827f6f23729d7b1a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 640 ABPA20 PHNL 080800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED OCT 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-16794>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43712; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:52:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10175048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA45726 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:51:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:51:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081351.IAA15347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 08:51:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62853a6c07e0acdb9026178e641bdd47 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 675 ABPA20 PHNL 081400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 08 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1130 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626870-16796>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 05:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA24458; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:07:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10180518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:07:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA58742 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:07:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:07:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810082107.QAA29234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 16:07:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8af0672a5cb5c531ab4fd1c9d14ab77a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 ABPA20 PHNL 082000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF SMALL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...650 OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 10:11:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15616; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:12:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:12:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA43754 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:12:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090212.VAA05269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 21:12:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a6347660f6e382bdc8d13c522e11495 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF SMALL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...650 OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE BEST ORGANIZED OF THE DISTURBANCES IS ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 12N 165W. THERE ARE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. SOME OF THE HIGH CLOUDS BLOWING OFF THE TOPS OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 15:51:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40080; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:51:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:51:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15742 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:51:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090751.CAA08642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 02:51:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6249a865ab0114c295e2acfc5bcccc2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 ABPA20 PHNL 090800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE IS A SERIES OF SMALL DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...650 OR MORE MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NONE OF THE DISTURBANCES IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE BEST ORGANIZED OF THE DISTURBANCES IS ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 12N 165W. THERE ARE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. SOME OF THE HIGH CLOUDS BLOWING OFF THE TOPS OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627858-26108>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 22:00:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52312; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33840 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810091400.JAA00736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 09:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2849f3f0ce945272736412718434b97a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 043 ABPA20 PHNL 091400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 13N168W...830 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...CONTINUES TO GENERATE AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS 20 TO 350 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. SOME OF THE HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PASSING OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. OTHER WEAK DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ARE CENTERED NEAR 10N148W AND 08N143W...ALL FAR SOUTHEAST OF THE STATE. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-28866>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:56:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA57486; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:56:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10184971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA45684 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:55:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810101955.OAA18973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 14:55:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 796c03138a7ce8681edaa47318c6024d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 416 ABPA20 PHNL 102000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626684-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:11:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37784; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:11:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:11:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44164 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:11:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:11:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110211.VAA21841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:11:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea51d4f5fbd514db3612767ca5c364d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 ABPA20 PHNL 110200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:57:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA46492; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:57:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:56:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52338 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110756.CAA24078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7000b7dd34d39cd32608d108eefaa638 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 434 ABPA20 PHNL 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT OCT 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627410-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 21:57:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA63178; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:57:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA46494 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:56:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111356.IAA25618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 08:56:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9f5da29cf43024325bd71d28e31ef86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 543 ABPA20 PHNL 111400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN OCT 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627495-22732>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:58:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44166; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:58:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10192469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04176 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:57:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111957.OAA28540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:57:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94e27ebdb431c9fea950e8ffcd4ffaf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 669 ABPA20 PHNL 112000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN OCT 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ALL OF THEM ARE WEAK. NONE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626413-4118>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:43:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA37758; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:43:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10195533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA64728 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:42:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120142.UAA02040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 20:42:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c52f9dac66b2548865621aa264105c82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 880 ABPA20 PHNL 120200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN OCT 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ALL OF THEM ARE WEAK. NONE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627350-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44138; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:56:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15702 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:56:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:56:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120756.CAA04272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:56:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab32ba8ae3de4164672e734d95b8b2a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 ABPA20 PHNL 120800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN OCT 11 1998 THERE ARE A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ALL OF THEM ARE WEAK...AND NONE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 21:57:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627744-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:56:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04132; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:57:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10200552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:56:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15634 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:56:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:56:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121356.IAA07016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 08:56:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a66e91d11095e5653aa8520c49726880 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 468 ABPA20 PHNL 121400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON OCT 12 1998 THERE ARE A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ALL OF THEM ARE WEAK...AND NONE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627856-6147>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 04:14:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA43648; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:14:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10206704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:14:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15206 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:14:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:14:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122014.PAA16381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:14:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9175948ebdc9959748a01d36addc558 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 440 ABPA20 PHNL 122000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 12 1998 THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE SINCE YESTERDAY...BUT THERE ARE STILL NO WELL DEVELOPED DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626107-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 09:48:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA30872; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:49:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10210772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:49:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18896 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:48:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130148.UAA23974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:48:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3855ce05f4129a7bd9a5bad25754af0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 ABPA20 PHNL 130200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 12 1998 THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE SINCE YESTERDAY BUT THERE ARE NO WELL DEVELOPED DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 16:15:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627892-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:56:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30802; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:56:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10214129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45376 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:56:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130756.CAA26984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 02:56:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93e41bc912021c877cb245fa9b125ab3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 298 ABPA20 PHNL 130800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 22:13:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA48960; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:56:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10216294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA04122 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:56:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131356.IAA00573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 08:56:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de539644c302e9f85addc637475475dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 099 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-11325>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA54932; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:59:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10220601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:59:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04096 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:57:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131957.OAA10351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:57:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a50349d4b61892a0d1a131b7b7a4f34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 449 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 10:01:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:59:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA33826; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:57:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10225625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA33796 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:56:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140156.UAA17313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 20:56:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3f68747557e21411aecbdf484c64f40 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 157 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE OCT 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:05:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628183-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:01:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA52480; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15342 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:56:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140756.CAA21007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc5fddad11bd44b0a8072b18cc5c7838 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 328 ABPA20 PHNL 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 22:07:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628218-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:58:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA10390; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:57:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10230436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15226 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:57:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141357.IAA24925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:57:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d74fe51552f3dcffa75192d01268ef59 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 14 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 12.5N 171.5W AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. CONVECTION HAS BEEN FAIRLY PERSISTENT WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DISTURBANCE FOR ANY FURTHER SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2971 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628971-23183>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:33:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA40168; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10235874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15784 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810142030.PAA05818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:30:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2df964cf8f17c47e51c2792d4caab09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 504 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED OCT 14 1998 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12.5N 172.0W...OR ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WEST AT 5 MILES PER HOUR. THE SYSTEM SHOWED BETTER DEVELOPMENT LAST NIGHT BUT THE LATEST IMAGES SHOW CONSIDERABLE WEAKENING OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DISTURBANCE FOR SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 10:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3721 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629062-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 10:00:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA42236; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:58:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10240738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:57:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18822 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150156.UAA11663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:56:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b357271036db9fa609d38cbd55804bfa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 928 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED OCT 14 1998 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN 400 MILES OF THE SYSTEM'S NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627564-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:42:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24800; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:32:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA48846 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:31:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:31:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150731.CAA14468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:31:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd73adf3604c68e0743bef0368ee685b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI... NEAR 12N 177W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO STRENGTHEN...BUT IT WILL BE MOVING WEST OF THE DATELINE...OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2466 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628450-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:14:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15152; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:09:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10247092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:09:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA10264 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:09:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151309.IAA17643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:09:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18a2727322922fe5b03d0f545a874b05 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI... NEAR 11.5N 178W...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO STRENGTHEN...BUT IT WILL BE MOVING WEST OF THE DATELINE...OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...BY TONIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628597-4282>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:57:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44070; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:57:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA55796 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:56:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:56:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151956.OAA27904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:56:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f36ca5ed0f64d06859413f9f60c2f1b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 258 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 10:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626184-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28294; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:57:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10257692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA52980 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:56:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:56:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160156.UAA04574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 20:56:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f631c2a2a9678ca53392fa20b0da8a7b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 913 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626012-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:56:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54776; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:56:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:56:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA56804 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:56:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160756.CAA07788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 02:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7e412872e00c19563733a961a451315 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 730 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 15 1998 THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE IN THE AREA BETWEEN 05N AND 10N FROM 165W TO 170W BUT REMAIN UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2351 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:00:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24124; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:01:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10262662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA67626 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:01:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161401.JAA11468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:01:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b70989a186ae622a71b8fcf31e20e0b9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 986 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 16 1998 THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE IN THE AREA BETWEEN 05N AND 15N WEST OF 165W BUT REMAIN UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627964-17768>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 03:53:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA48988; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:53:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10267828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:52:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA41056 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:52:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:51:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161951.OAA19825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 14:51:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b84f6c1783b344650ad9405f1ea440f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 259 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 16 1998 THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE IN THE AREA BETWEEN 05N AND 15N WEST OF 165W BUT REMAIN UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 09:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA41084; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:56:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10273559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:56:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30566 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:56:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:56:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170156.UAA24315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:56:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0cdfbd1246487d056a9d2c2e541aeed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 868 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 16:58:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4504 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627261-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:57:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54618; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:56:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10277403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:56:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA59204 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:56:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:56:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170756.CAA26815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:56:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a96112fdb518873c4336c897a53b39d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 08:11:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627832-20603>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:22:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA50162; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:22:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10284259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:22:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30674 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:22:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA01990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:22:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810172122.QAA01990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 16:22:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69c434d099d5d5445d95297c82a315d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 037 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 10:10:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626136-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:45:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43608; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:46:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10286968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39490 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:46:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180146.UAA03632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 20:46:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f6ac5b8a2af5ecbc0ba5a53af5a3723 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 757 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 15:51:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24678; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:51:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:51:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39498 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180751.CAA05891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 02:51:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 670d654fe3bce844f9828b56decd24f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 22:23:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627158-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:52:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA53128; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:51:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:51:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA40540 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:51:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181351.IAA08306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 08:51:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37d3820538f285e0a90034af3bcb87b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 523 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-18315>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22194; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:57:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10299637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:57:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30622 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:57:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:57:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181957.OAA11639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 14:57:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6038bebdc913c9f6a94369cbae513d87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 10:03:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:01:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA57412; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:02:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10303608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:02:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30770 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:02:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:02:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190202.VAA16988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:02:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38dc8b7b7e7421162d23a4a390c022e6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 964 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4096 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627326-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:51:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA12166; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:52:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA49002 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:51:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190751.CAA20100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 02:51:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4ced5c9b571419e49b9fd76fdfc40ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 117 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627866-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:51:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15642; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:51:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10310327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:51:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30726 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:51:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:51:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191351.IAA23621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 08:51:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e09979357309d18484085534a047911d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628936-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 04:45:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29226; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10317126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:43:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45436 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:42:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:42:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192042.PAA05505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:42:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77f5c330ac05e90470015a3a79ca8dac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 783 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627312-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:01:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA64686; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:56:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10321496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA55706 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200156.UAA10736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 20:56:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9a2eb3a28fe7fd633c934117da23ebe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 461 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 16:07:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626775-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:53:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA62838; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:51:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10325158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:51:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43618 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:51:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200751.CAA14425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 02:51:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fb93a34f7ee927e11f6325e06691bdb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 22:05:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-4449>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39388; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:51:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10328116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17858 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:51:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201351.IAA18345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 08:51:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ccf664519f7c8dae1ee27a94946a8c5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 770 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629002-2043>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:58:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA40542; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:57:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10332499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:57:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA66092 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:57:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201957.OAA29794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:57:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0b666f4978eb3637aead89e46e46f15 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 044 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 12:19:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625873-13754>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:56:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44230; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:56:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10337416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:56:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44206 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:56:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:56:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210156.UAA07183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 20:56:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c71cd3ebdedd6ce5527e1b864c2897dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 371 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 16:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627186-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:35:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24754; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:35:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:35:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12956 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:35:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:35:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210735.CAA10754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:35:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9d7d9e0034f9ceae703670811178dfa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 007 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 23:50:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-7238>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:47:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA12912; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:47:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10344757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:47:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30532 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:47:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211347.IAA14996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 08:47:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f593d98b0b1f1a1f85057e7a3253b7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 247 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:25:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627744-7236>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 03:48:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23364; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:48:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10350671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:48:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA55560 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:47:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211947.OAA26372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:47:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25aadfa286fdd08990da09b318d31aba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 336 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 10:00:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-23064>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA54218; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:49:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10356989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:47:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12902 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:47:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:47:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220147.UAA03091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:47:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f05b64552c8e22172e4072218af3553 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 15:59:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3265 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627803-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA67726; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:57:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10361040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA45664 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:56:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220756.CAA06019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:56:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47100c7f2b59854c97b786d6c44b35a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 606 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 22:05:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2015 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-18241>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 22:01:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30634; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:02:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10364468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30658 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:56:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221356.IAA09586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:56:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c4a45f85ab77127a1ecdfd693b8cd63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 492 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 04:12:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627941-18260>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 03:54:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14378; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:55:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10371996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA57398 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:52:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:52:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221952.OAA19809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 14:52:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27bad9883d8b9fb6c6167dde7970b1f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 10:06:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627279-5680>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:58:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA45412; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:58:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10378025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:58:52 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16978 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:58:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA03976 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:58:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230152.UAA25649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4aca014237701a006f42fd1c92079f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 17:11:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:56:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15698; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:56:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12864 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:56:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:56:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230756.CAA28416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:56:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46dfa655c3fd78d4221cb6edddd42385 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 628 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627415-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:57:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15808; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:57:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10384307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA35246 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:56:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231356.IAA01564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 08:56:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18496a454eaea46deac5809021914910 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 ABPA20 PHNL 231400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:05:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-2904>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:52:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA55038; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:52:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10389154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA10282 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231951.OAA10650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:51:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d9ae3eb52fcbe82d1e6323f2ea9a4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTENTLY FIRE ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE WITHIN 60 MILES OF A LINE FROM 10N160W TO 06N170W...MORE THAN 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. NO ORGANIZATION IS DISCERNIBLE AS THIS ACTIVITY DRIFTS TO THE WEST. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 10:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:53:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA58674; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:53:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10393833 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44296 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:52:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:52:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240152.UAA15733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:52:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03ac44420e68cf6fb4c7b84c4609adaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTENTLY FIRE ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE WITHIN 75 MILES OF A LINE FROM 10N162W TO 06N172W...MORE THAN 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. NO ORGANIZATION IS DISCERNIBLE AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES TO THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES PER HOUR. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 15:57:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1835 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627646-8406>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:52:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25064; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:52:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:52:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44500 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:52:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240752.CAA18445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 02:52:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a74c2e4badf3203aa9112a78cca31538 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 919 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN UPPER ATMOSPHERIC LOW WEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAS CAUSED SOME ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLANDS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 21:59:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627186-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:47:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24654; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:47:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10399723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:47:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47932 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:47:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241347.IAA20734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:47:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aba93ed0211d2c6dd3eb59960cf574f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER ATMOSPHERIC LOW WEST OF THE ISLANDS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY IN THAT AREA. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628055-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:52:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23526; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:52:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:52:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63956 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:52:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241952.OAA24610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:52:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 081a5570ed621aaa10dae15beaa98ecb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 015 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 11:54:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625983-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:53:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA56624; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:53:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10407639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA48888 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:52:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250152.UAA27965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95cf74a1795b6b8d5f8c9d5af269bb68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 15:46:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626402-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 15:41:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA118848; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:42:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:42:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA118062 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:41:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:41:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810250741.BAA01221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:41:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 753800689d85652185a19a27775a9dda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 21:47:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4808 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:46:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA34110; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:46:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10414315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 08:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA05672 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:46:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:46:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251346.HAA04402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 07:46:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a09636f859f7c9dc42cb24476f40d325 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 399 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 04:09:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-27946>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 03:56:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA101812; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:56:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10418176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA34466 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:56:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:56:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251956.NAA07605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:56:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4103008d7be994c512ee15dce469e60c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 623 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN OCT 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 11:43:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2786 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:56:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA66958; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:57:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10422054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA40060 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:57:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:57:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260157.TAA12761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:57:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b99f67d93063d47f0dd4050822fd7b9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN OCT 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 16:13:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627454-4052>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:51:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA115362; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:51:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18830 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:51:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:51:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260751.BAA16505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:51:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0417c5a931d7ba7f58be981c79f45c73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 588 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN OCT 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627807-4052>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 21:52:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA44092; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:53:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10428273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA51974 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:52:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:52:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261352.HAA19508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 07:52:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e53ee4e882c14465a1c9324c117802b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON OCT 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627807-26676>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:46:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA115196; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:47:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10433671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44238 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:46:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:46:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261946.NAA28878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:46:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3e669a991e40c50716123996bceb6a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625888-14870>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 09:46:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA115392; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:47:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10438063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107438 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:47:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA10887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:47:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270147.TAA10887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:47:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdc205a716dd12a8294b874ed171bb48 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 215 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 16:10:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628085-22425>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 15:51:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA82440; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:51:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10442164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:51:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56566 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:51:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:51:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270751.BAA14910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 01:51:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a9d7e9f499d4b3923f3358606d9bc22 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 208 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628238-22419>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 21:51:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA32598; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:52:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10444933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA32578 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:51:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:51:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271351.HAA17767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 07:51:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a148879d92fb44a026fe4f56eb6e5ec4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 520 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2310 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628370-24216>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 03:57:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26162; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:57:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10451321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:57:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17180 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:57:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:56:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271956.NAA26566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:56:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fc447ad29e13edd9fc926870d24a6cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 411 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 15:11:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1877 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626678-22297>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 09:56:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA31464; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:57:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10455826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:57:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107990 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:57:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:57:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280157.TAA04743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 19:57:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0fbc6167a840c1bb214631026aeb756 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 933 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE OCT 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 17:40:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4750 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627254-17698>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 15:57:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA63694; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:57:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10459073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:57:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56508 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:57:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:57:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280757.BAA08837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 01:57:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff4f1e4a75313dc83ff8e3aed07e3b4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 106 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 22:21:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2847 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627903-9466>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 21:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA108132; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:56:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10461637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:56:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18770 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:56:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:56:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281356.HAA12228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 07:56:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e45dc06e3654e5ceb134b87ef5220a59 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 08:50:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3234 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628171-21681>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 03:48:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52062; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:49:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10466674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:49:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15330 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:48:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:48:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810281948.NAA22037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:48:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32f7c7600599c03bf56cab622ca937f7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 081 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 11:17:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626810-11730>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 09:53:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA121068; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:54:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10471076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:54:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA107948 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:53:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:53:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290153.TAA28933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 19:53:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1674b6db9a295f1c740442df6c474c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 874 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 23:43:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-11730>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 15:57:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA102668; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:57:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10474977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:56:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34282 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:56:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:56:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290756.BAA02072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 01:56:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddcd2ce4efdad45aeaab7e0d37672b69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED OCT 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 23:43:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2711 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627787-11730>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 21:56:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA52162; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:57:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10476825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:56:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA64686 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:56:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:56:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291356.HAA04827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 07:56:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34ddeae012e6975177c98dd094e4f51e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 ABPA20 PHNL 291400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:53:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628077-11730>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 03:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA31922; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:58:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10481780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:58:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA52128 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:58:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:57:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810291957.NAA15103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:57:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a81baaa0448c36b3a160afd72de091b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 696 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU OCT 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 13:53:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626147-24484>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 09:57:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA65532; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:58:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10485686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:58:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA105194 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:58:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA22111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:58:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300158.TAA22111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 19:58:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5f20e2c9e0661d430bfb5abd270fe19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU OCT 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 16:24:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627561-18570>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 15:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA32758; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:57:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:57:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA65508 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:57:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300757.BAA24898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad17b9e0c2c9ef026eeb5c92a453f135 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU OCT 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 22:23:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627778-18262>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 21:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA115398; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:57:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10490994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:57:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA66210 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:57:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA27566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:57:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301357.HAA27566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:57:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f92441c6b10b8632f70768d3ea7f2546 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 160 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI OCT 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 04:55:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628854-18260>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 03:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA48232; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:57:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10496370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:57:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA67156 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:57:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:57:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810301957.NAA05885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:57:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1b68aa57dd5f2dceae1bb36e2d71916 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 253 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI OCT 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 11:18:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-8303>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 10:02:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40146; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 20:02:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10499604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 20:02:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA75454 for ; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 20:02:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 20:02:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310202.UAA11424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 20:02:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdd4a5e306c253806aa4127af68a772b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 ABPA20 PHNL 310200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI OCT 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING ABOUT 970 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU WITHIN A NORTHWARD BULGE IN THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. THIS AREA IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 20:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627858-8307>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 15:31:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA31392; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:32:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10502241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:32:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22158 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:32:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:32:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310732.BAA14109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:32:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48b76a6a1d5d98be58d8be2289b9fc14 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 ABPA20 PHNL 310800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI OCT 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A SUSPICIOUS LOOKING AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAS DISSIPATED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 22:12:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627957-8307>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 21:26:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA75416; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:27:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10504074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:27:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA64644 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:27:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:27:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810311327.HAA16314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 07:27:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20cba6050c530a0ff2a40063ed48b738 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 745 ABPA20 PHNL 311400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT OCT 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 01 10:08:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2161 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628892-8304>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 03:51:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA115426; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:52:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10507679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:52:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA108238 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:52:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:52:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810311952.NAA19563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 13:52:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8872cb655831ac1e29a8fa20ebd3442d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 152 ABPA20 PHNL 312000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT OCT 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 01 10:08:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3081 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626374-25431>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 09:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA64684; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:53:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10510876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:52:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA82576 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:52:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA22635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:52:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010152.TAA22635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 19:52:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e70dab314023d19bb9f3fd8ab1d27e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 805 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT OCT 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-25432>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 15:56:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61604; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:57:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10514357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:57:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56456 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:57:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:57:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010757.BAA25511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 01:57:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 563ffcd053ba2817affb3d3e860dc657 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT OCT 31 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627462-25432>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 21:57:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA24094; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:57:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10516370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:57:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA107276 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:57:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:57:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811011357.HAA28119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 07:57:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9087b2d1c66fa03c69e94d629dc28a1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 ABPA20 PHNL 011400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 1 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 08:50:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627568-25424>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 03:52:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA115344; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:52:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10519724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:52:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA63610 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:52:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:52:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811011952.NAA01234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:52:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d57dd28e8ce7d485be8ae733d91b9dc2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 504 ABPA20 PHNL 012000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 1 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 11:03:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629755-390>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 09:52:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA101882; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:52:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10524673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:52:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA22246 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:52:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:52:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020152.TAA04962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 19:52:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fb376e7e3675229463982ec56c6138d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 615 ABPA20 PHNL 020200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 1 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 16:17:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-6978>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 15:56:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA48200; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:56:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10528495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:56:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA32566 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:56:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:56:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020756.BAA07938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 01:56:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c01c3afbdc9c3e2c0758094c838e9c6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 383 ABPA20 PHNL 020800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 1 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627705-6975>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 21:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA60104; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:57:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10530860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:57:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA40118 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:57:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:57:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811021357.HAA10498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 07:57:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3dd6b0287110740f2e707aa5e73f2625 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 ABPA20 PHNL 021400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 09:48:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628828-6975>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 04:26:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21892; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:26:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10537663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:26:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA65112 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:26:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:26:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811022026.OAA20604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:26:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16b1ece15c78032ecbeeda10b2ed1885 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 792 ABPA20 PHNL 022000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 11:37:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-4228>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 09:57:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA44116; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:57:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10541179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:57:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA40762 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:57:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA26587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:57:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030157.TAA26587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 19:57:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98d5fee8670158c0b90e49fbc15c8784 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 171 ABPA20 PHNL 030200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 2 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 00:02:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629044-4231>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 21:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15106; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:52:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10549726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA20976 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:52:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:52:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811031352.HAA04168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:52:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce6d01268ed3f8f28c5bb0fd74195c82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 811 ABPA20 PHNL 031400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629028-4228>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 04:04:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA64558; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 14:03:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10555805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 14:03:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26362 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 14:02:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 14:02:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811032002.OAA14416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 14:02:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abe4e5083820dd7fafe3dc349eb52993 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 ABPA20 PHNL 032000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 10:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629827-1933>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 09:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA56450; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:57:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10561150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:57:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA58222 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:57:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:57:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040157.TAA21109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 19:57:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03f14bb969a0a6440718670dcea6cafc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 280 ABPA20 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE NOV 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 23:42:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627698-14416>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 16:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42622; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:52:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10566646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:52:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21868 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:52:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:52:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040752.BAA25057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 01:52:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6e447814775457e50d8d8f9b0607b83 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 ABPA20 PHNL 040800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 3 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 23:42:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629199-14421>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 21:54:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA79632; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:52:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10570150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:52:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA79856 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:52:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:52:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041352.HAA28331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 07:52:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6811ac59d9081810ab4e12f16b831172 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 649 ABPA20 PHNL 041400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 04:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629135-14421>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 03:57:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA05640; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:57:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10576213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:57:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA95470 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:57:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:56:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811041956.NAA08364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:56:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 826f4ec495cca1f7cdb42ba142609729 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 233 ABPA20 PHNL 042000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN 30 MILES OF THE CENTER AND ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 10:41:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628120-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 09:56:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA13314; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:57:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10583310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11234 for ; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:56:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:56:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050156.TAA16338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 19:56:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d849b1c52fdec4362fdb2b2e96dc0e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 067 ABPA20 PHNL 050200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED NOV 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ANY FURTHER. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 16:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2981 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628208-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 15:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA112410; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:56:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10587357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA98310 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:56:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:56:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050756.BAA21156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 01:56:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35bda9f8941a39df29709423a8e10be4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 438 ABPA20 PHNL 050800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 4 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:29:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628363-11021>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 21:57:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA112602; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:57:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10590031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:57:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA61620 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:57:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA24937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811051357.HAA24937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 07:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e58d4ad81283cac8ff0554dbab6eb1d4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 901 ABPA20 PHNL 051400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:30:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629314-11017>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 04:15:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA11084; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:15:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10595329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:15:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA113958 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:15:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:15:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811052015.OAA05337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:15:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b54fff3978eed1119caa5627148d51d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 574 ABPA20 PHNL 052000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 09:53:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-3774>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 09:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA09888; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:49:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10599451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:49:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA26560 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:48:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:48:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060148.TAA11157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 19:48:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d16a6eaf013e83fd2c50049e0e41f163 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 ABPA20 PHNL 060200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 17:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-10181>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 15:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA109734; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:57:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10603696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:57:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA09872 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:57:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:57:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060757.BAA14912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 01:57:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37d3e6e0ff00d15c72366c962f82fb9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 355 ABPA20 PHNL 060800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 5 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 17:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627149-10175>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 17:08:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA82634; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 03:09:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10603936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 03:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA112514 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 03:08:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 03:08:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060908.DAA15549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 03:08:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ce2923f65f7206ec33fad479848aaf6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 377 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:56:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2590 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628385-17600>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 21:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA40914; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:57:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10605670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:57:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15282 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:57:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:57:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811061357.HAA17966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 07:57:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 262adb7e8a0196b986c532997df84bb0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 742 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:57:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2158 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629390-5814>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA79606; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:57:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10610109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:57:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA55524 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:57:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:57:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811061957.NAA26627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:57:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12b139a0b246e30e6fa4637c18eba283 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 ABPA20 PHNL 062000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI NOV 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 10:57:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627174-19760>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 09:57:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA34410; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:57:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10614823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:57:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA21832 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:57:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:57:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070157.TAA01948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:57:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f57e99d658d5485ab0d5a6148964f110 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 656 ABPA20 PHNL 070200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628463-21894>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 15:47:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24076; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:47:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10617403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:47:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40186 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:47:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:47:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070747.BAA04526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 01:47:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7e48f0ee8e772287ff5a15659f18368 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 591 ABPA20 PHNL 070800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 6 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 00:56:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4064 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629440-21897>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 21:47:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA107518; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:48:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10618851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:48:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA108000 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:48:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:48:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071348.HAA06635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 07:48:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f8525c218cd254001440f2f87f28a80 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 846 ABPA20 PHNL 071400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3158 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629471-21897>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 03:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26238; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:58:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10623324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:58:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA23722 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:57:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:57:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811071957.NAA09923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:57:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5983cab6ec6f78400c96688ff9c993e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 821 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:14:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2421 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-18143>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 09:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA58128; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:57:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10627778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:57:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA111356 for ; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:57:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:57:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080157.TAA13978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 19:57:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13b0f0487c299ea780f16d7b05463d40 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 ABPA20 PHNL 080200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:15:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3676 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627033-18139>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 15:47:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA95290; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:47:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10631064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:47:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26148 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:47:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:47:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080747.BAA16627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 01:47:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9cbbd0587a5a2be7d9867e1c0c9a86d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 023 ABPA20 PHNL 080800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 7 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 21:50:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627615-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 21:46:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA107490; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:47:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10632733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:47:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA55504 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:47:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:47:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811081347.HAA18791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 07:47:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b3af7bdd503eca79172bf3771760de0 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 ABPA20 PHNL 081400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 04:23:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-18143>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 04:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA42332; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:16:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10635709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:15:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA112432 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:15:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:13:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811082013.OAA21741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:13:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b961350fc042f79e4492c120476d3a17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 632 ABPA20 PHNL 082000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 10:37:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626799-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 09:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA65784; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:57:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10638716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:57:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA114150 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:57:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:57:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090157.TAA25360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 19:57:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a02af00cc34f3e12a57c039e626c75e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 16:10:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630726-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 15:51:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04782; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:52:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10642130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA79770 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:52:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:52:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090752.BAA28130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 01:52:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 433696299f00f17f937e8e640f9fe0bd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 136 ABPA20 PHNL 090800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 8 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 22:18:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 21:51:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA42742; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:52:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10644123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA109794 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:52:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:52:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811091352.HAA00469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 07:52:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c37d83746794a120ec0f14f971573ce4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 ABPA20 PHNL 091400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 09:50:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1115 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629720-2411>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 04:46:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA26582; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 14:46:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10649874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 14:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21954 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 14:46:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 14:46:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811092046.OAA13210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 14:46:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4e65849952649da1bddc486754e4b78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 321 ABPA20 PHNL 092000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 10:23:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-21615>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 09:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30480; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:57:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10653355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:57:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA44286 for ; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:57:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:56:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811100156.TAA19067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 19:56:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 933fceaa99b7a24f69c9361adc90b3cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 918 ABPA20 PHNL 100200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 10 17:25:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2024 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629255-21614>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 15:51:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA37890; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:52:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10657332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:52:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA94700 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:52:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:52:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811100752.BAA22912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 01:52:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f306dd44430a9658019d4cd064a9cd2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 ABPA20 PHNL 100800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 9 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 00:25:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629579-3022>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 21:52:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA42348; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:53:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10659812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:53:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA114004 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:53:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:53:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811101353.HAA26433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:53:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 467bc457fefc71052c4e763849dab8dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 032 ABPA20 PHNL 101400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 09:28:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629606-3022>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 04:18:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA33596; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:18:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10666266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:18:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA33566 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:18:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:17:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811102017.OAA07673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:17:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49aff7b55b0d2b80a6f1836ea30758ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 438 ABPA20 PHNL 102000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 10:00:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628547-27445>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 09:57:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38468; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:57:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10671461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:57:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA65072 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:57:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:57:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110157.TAA14281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 19:57:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c7fdb5017c34458095040da47e8cf75 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 ABPA20 PHNL 110200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE NOV 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 16:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4751 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629771-27445>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 15:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13456; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:57:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10675101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:57:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40830 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:57:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:57:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110757.BAA18196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 01:57:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f05331aba0f6e90521b3018f6db120e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 ABPA20 PHNL 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 10 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 21:59:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4450 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629934-15766>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA64690; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:57:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10677270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:57:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA114080 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:57:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA21235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:57:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111357.HAA21235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 07:57:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 913f0cc97ab8d6092c80b433dda12c13 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 121 ABPA20 PHNL 111400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 08:23:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1895 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629975-15773>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 03:58:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA79598; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:58:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10683126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:58:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA112596 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:58:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:58:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111958.NAA00288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:58:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e5c3fca48a4a19827b51d62ae5d43df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 ABPA20 PHNL 112000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4219 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630155-15250>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 09:57:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA115130; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:58:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10688680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:58:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA92550 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:58:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA08009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:58:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120158.TAA08009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 19:58:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5791d147d50f7876d3cc002e6e5e2629 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 294 ABPA20 PHNL 120200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED NOV 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 18:27:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626989-21242>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 15:57:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42750; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:57:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10693108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:57:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40170 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:57:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120757.BAA12406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 01:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d90c33f948e40193c41017a68347c58 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 ABPA20 PHNL 120800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 11 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 22:01:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-21241>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 21:57:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA44548; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10695728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA115184 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121358.HAA16656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 07:58:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0656b6a325ce2b9027c69fe26d26d82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 ABPA20 PHNL 121400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630321-25505>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:00:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA42514; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10700618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09950 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811122001.OAA26641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9da7a262eddbb82be516db9d732bbb20 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 898 ABPA20 PHNL 12142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2506 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630328-25505>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:01:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA98364; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10700626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24316 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811122001.OAA26643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:01:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a9c14c22353e953aa6bcc3da12a4889 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 ABPA20 PHNL 122000 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 10:03:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 09:59:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA42484; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:00:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10705750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 20:00:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA82584 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:57:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:57:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130157.TAA03678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:57:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 509ceebf837b3b0abf8213720374ae4e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 ABPA20 PHNL 130200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626260-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 15:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA94622; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:57:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:57:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA114060 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:57:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:57:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130757.BAA07964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:57:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf8188cacfe6e166ddbd714f7d40249b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 380 ABPA20 PHNL 130800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 12 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-21813>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:46:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA18866; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:46:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10712128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA64636 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:46:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:57:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131357.HAA11285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 07:57:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf8efa733f5c3260a58c9c308313ec1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3222 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627296-21807>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:05:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15342; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:05:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10716182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:05:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24756 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:58:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:58:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131958.NAA19673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:58:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e1f60a6764c9cb82504491b2eeef70c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 484 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 10:10:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4401 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626697-25282>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 09:58:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA55388; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:59:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:58:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA112494 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:57:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:57:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140157.TAA25488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 19:57:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3172c17bd42ce9bc312840481da066d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 13 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 22:11:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-286>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 21:57:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA55300; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:57:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10713597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:57:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA107470 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:57:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:57:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141357.HAA01503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 07:57:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1aedbc208ea8168a264fa726349cd423 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 09:32:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4665 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628176-286>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 03:53:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA05886; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:54:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10716979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:52:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29266 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:52:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:52:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141952.NAA04454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:52:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9d7c3b94559f6ecd0d02dfc7631a5eb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 748 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 11:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626285-1126>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA109614; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:54:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10719728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:53:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA63552 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:52:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:52:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150152.TAA07439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 19:52:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de89e96dd98e90006754d1615797aa39 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 764 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 16:07:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626960-1126>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 16:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA09902; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 02:01:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10721939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:59:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA65606 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:59:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:58:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150758.BAA10149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 01:58:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3bd8ba76314e756d50b642acbee136a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 363 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 14 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 22:19:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2556 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628348-1125>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 22:00:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA44208; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:59:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10723755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:58:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA38458 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:57:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:57:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151357.HAA12942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 07:57:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae2d229d92ecccfac2187f900eb9c0d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 300 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 09:03:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628360-1122>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 03:59:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA107914; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:59:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10727302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:58:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA65528 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:58:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:58:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151958.NAA16145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:58:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e453ff4e053ad943571325dac315052 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 287 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 10:11:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628411-1668>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 09:57:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA21890; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:57:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10730075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:57:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA64586 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:57:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:57:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811160157.TAA20505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:57:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f3842f200b275c73e8d6254339dd3f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 570 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 15 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 00:47:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4612 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628463-1667>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 22:43:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA55348; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 08:44:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10734831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 08:42:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36528 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 08:42:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA28145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 08:42:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811161442.IAA28145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 08:42:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64847b610bdcd7784881172ae38827ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 639 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 04:03:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2879 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628407-1665>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 03:54:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA44564; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:54:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10739425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:53:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA114094 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:53:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:52:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811161952.NAA07382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:52:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea38f8ab1d708edaa0f6cfeb20244e87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 231 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 10:01:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2470 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-25335>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 09:52:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA04716; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:53:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10743357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:53:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA36426 for ; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:53:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:53:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170153.TAA14778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 19:53:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b7f92e95caf18bd474dbea71ae27765 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 500 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 16:05:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628779-25334>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 15:57:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04680; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:58:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10747235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:58:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA32544 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:58:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:58:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170758.BAA18843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 01:58:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2d19a8cd7575cfe7a3e85cd6f19c3f3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 329 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 16 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 22:35:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629250-25333>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 21:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA121064; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:59:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10749567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:59:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA36434 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:57:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA21918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171357.HAA21918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c0a9d73dd34b7876d64dbd06d866471 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 675 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:23:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629331-25333>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 03:54:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA20812; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:54:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10755418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:54:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA55308 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:52:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA01365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811171952.NAA01365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 13:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aac94c1d112aafc6683af1f594983813 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 397 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 10:29:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626454-13908>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 09:51:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA121010; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:52:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10759215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:52:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA65184 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:52:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:52:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180152.TAA09211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 19:52:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f1743d937b654a56e6889b72d6664a1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 513 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE NOV 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 16:00:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627959-13906>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 15:57:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA75390; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:57:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10762164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:57:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA120934 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:57:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:57:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180757.BAA13749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:57:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 502858beef221a008bb35ce58a610410 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 17 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 22:17:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629364-13910>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 21:59:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA121062; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 08:00:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10764113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:58:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA56382 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:58:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:58:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181358.HAA17506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:58:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 290a37280bbf3cc5d2b9e07c8eafc3fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 518 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4528 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629401-322>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 03:57:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA114168; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:58:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10767420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:58:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA66268 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:58:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA27157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:58:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181958.NAA27157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:58:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93062157f738fc78d47c924af178bf97 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 405 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 10:03:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1080 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626504-17501>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 09:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA34376; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:57:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10771141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:57:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA75316 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:57:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:57:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190157.TAA04544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 19:57:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 670a63d97176f17fb78fcaa7d79cf61e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 474 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED NOV 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 17:34:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628253-17502>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 15:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16822; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:53:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10773899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:53:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA66212 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:53:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:53:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190753.BAA09053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 01:53:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2368faa3510dab25bd1d07c72d465135 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 121 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 18 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 22:44:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628253-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 21:52:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA26482; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:53:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10775558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA25432 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:53:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:53:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191353.HAA11923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 07:53:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e678052fb9f3cc711298319ae0673f4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 455 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 04:14:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1990 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629447-17502>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 03:58:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52104; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10779785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA29262 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191958.NAA21969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c370d291e73b101b688143cb0581e1c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 173 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 10:42:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626802-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA42254; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:57:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10783536 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:57:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA25346 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:57:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:57:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200157.TAA29731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:57:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86f98cee5864769693e07b29d5d0a2ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 17:35:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627874-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 16:20:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61452; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:53:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10786262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:53:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56320 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:53:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:53:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200753.BAA03311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 01:53:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61a834a75b20984230a3c2fd41bea929 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 515 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 19 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 22:46:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628477-9799>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 22:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA44226; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:53:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10788453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA38068 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:53:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:53:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201353.HAA06384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 07:53:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bcab32e45707e6c84d767936c1deeec1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 368 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 08:05:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2676 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629498-9797>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 04:19:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA102870; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:57:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10793627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:57:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA102848 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:57:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:57:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811201957.NAA19871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:57:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4af0e9e20063fe6179a5137ec04ed46f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 528 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI NOV 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627122-20078>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 10:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA44718; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 19:57:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10796640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 19:57:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA32674 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 19:57:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA27010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 19:57:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210157.TAA27010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 19:57:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab2151dbb6be02ac0d17ffa6d2c754f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 706 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-20073>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 16:19:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA26184; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:57:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10799029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:57:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA102716 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:57:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:57:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210757.BAA29461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 01:57:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8228cc2bd2c18fe09139abcf3731cedc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 985 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 20 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 22:42:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3740 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629608-20073>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 22:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA20964; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:57:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10800164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:57:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA102870 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:57:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:57:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211357.HAA01810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 07:57:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79ee287ac9a70538365156c6f5afba09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 097 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 08:24:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629722-20073>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 04:14:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA98350; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:53:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10802510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:53:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA55308 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:53:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:53:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811211953.NAA04676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:53:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f78ce64d84c6b26f010eff1ea4948b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 691 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 10:28:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2191 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627017-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 10:00:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA38598; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:47:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10804278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:47:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA42426 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:47:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:47:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220147.TAA07733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 19:47:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86f8d434f846073a1ebdcfcc4c03f10c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 500 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 21 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 23:00:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630080-14828>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:10:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA107950; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:58:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10810319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:58:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA112536 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:58:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:58:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221358.HAA13253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 07:58:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e05c5ea2389ceea4ad15525ddfa9daf2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 08:51:35 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <630145-14821>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 04:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630152-14821>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 04:04:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA107784; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:57:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10814620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:57:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA32764 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:57:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:57:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221957.NAA16256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:57:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: b105de34bdcf52aae96d32e327a7bdf2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 823 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 23 13:22:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-22528>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:00:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16790; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:51:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10796070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 22:51:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA05148 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 21:47:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA19589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:57:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811230157.TAA19589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:57:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ffd314cdbd93a7adf2f4fae1424e09b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 22 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 07:49:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2764 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628117-22531>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 04:18:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA16904; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:58:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10803690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:58:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA16380 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:58:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:57:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811231957.NAA05577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 13:57:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7b051c7752514a3f27d6e980eb5d5e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 809 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:30:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628241-25654>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:12:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA12568; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:57:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10807141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:57:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA20748 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:57:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:57:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240157.TAA12444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:57:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e969488aedce5451dc46d3ab62cbeee9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 959 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 16:26:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630313-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 16:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA05260; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:58:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:58:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14720 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:58:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:58:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240758.BAA16205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 01:58:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd1f1f6736deec73dad899716818d1ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 23 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 02:36:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630395-13865>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 22:12:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA14962; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:58:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10811045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:58:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15716 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:58:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA19465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:58:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241358.HAA19465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 07:58:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fc9abcd9d305f1bcf637e1db77ce4c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 390 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 04:13:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629650-13866>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 04:08:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23252; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:53:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10815778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:53:18 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18630 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:53:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:53:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241953.NAA28649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:53:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcb3db3dd07fd999fc4d541189a8bb08 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 380 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626775-411>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:08:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA12204; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:55:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10819569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:55:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13744 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:53:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:53:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250153.TAA05509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 19:53:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a8fe765c24bfbdd8c8dd396fbe2a236 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 255 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE NOV 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:49:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628426-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 16:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA17494; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 02:00:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10822202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:59:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15910 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:59:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:59:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250759.BAA09004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:59:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2661a1649220c07bbdccd43bc183352f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 544 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 24 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:49:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 22:17:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA20538; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:58:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10823715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:58:28 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA12590 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:58:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:58:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251358.HAA12801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 07:58:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a50ce726a07cca7ac736e6f752b6de86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 949 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-410>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 04:04:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21174; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:53:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10827867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:53:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA23204 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:53:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:53:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251953.NAA20681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:53:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99b763e7ba41ba28ec706edfde5f429a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 869 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 17:48:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-22813>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 16:13:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA11638; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:58:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:58:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13674 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:58:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:58:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260758.BAA01075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:58:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1dc1e78d982239c392ce4d297cf9156 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 401 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 25 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 22:23:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626658-22813>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 22:15:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA24374; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:58:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10833406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:58:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA07466 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:58:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:58:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261358.HAA03313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 07:58:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75c73959c2a0c03728829b9de83fb22d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 354 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 08:50:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1556 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628237-22814>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 04:10:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA23042; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:59:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10835117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:59:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22252 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:59:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:59:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261959.NAA05765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 13:59:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f06842d807ca6cf27d3f83654b166ee5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 10:47:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 10:25:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA12872; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:58:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10835985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:58:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA17212 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:58:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:58:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270158.TAA07579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 19:58:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3d825106d0dc7fa2d319e6dbb16e1d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 060 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 17:09:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627168-9720>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 16:12:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14154; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:53:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10837364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:53:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22078 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:53:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:53:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270753.BAA09717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 01:53:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf44345beed53f6296376b9a78196bdc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 468 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 26 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 03:04:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628732-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 22:05:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA20818; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:52:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10838431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:52:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA20526 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:52:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:52:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811271352.HAA11428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 07:52:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9774c7e2aba5b691cb933e2d4989df9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 470 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 10:40:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629231-9723>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 04:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19722; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:03:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10840614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:03:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24406 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:00:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:00:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811272000.OAA14293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:00:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d464e59cb1ee40d9960e28aa07b587d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 360 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI NOV 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 10:40:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626701-9976>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 10:17:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA11686; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:58:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10842457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:58:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA15258 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:58:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA17031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:58:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280158.TAA17031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 19:58:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a2d0f796378818c0d72855c651cc375 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 187 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:51:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628399-9981>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:43:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18146; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:53:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:53:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13014 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:53:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:52:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280752.BAA18931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:52:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 838647b5e0f687763c58d0f10159269f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 672 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 27 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:47:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629251-9984>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 22:05:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA11632; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10845397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:53:40 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA05220 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:53:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:53:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281353.HAA20898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 07:53:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c5435c3cadb43e21f9a849eb2ed9e5e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 585 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 04:12:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1490 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629235-9981>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 04:04:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13386; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:58:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10847279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:58:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22846 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:58:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA23433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:58:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281958.NAA23433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 13:58:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b43c59e1932b32ce438c296956ee64f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 210 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 10:35:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625944-4125>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 10:08:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA16606; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:58:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10848826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:58:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA13010 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:58:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA26064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:58:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290158.TAA26064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 19:58:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c44b77c9176f8a84ee96660d7a40318 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 968 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2560 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-4124>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 16:02:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA05046; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:49:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10850594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:49:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16554 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:49:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:49:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290749.BAA28593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 01:49:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f762620e5b91227720d1461797da6bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 328 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 28 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 23:08:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628862-4125>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 22:47:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA23600; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 08:33:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10851902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 08:33:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14116 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 08:33:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 08:33:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291433.IAA00863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 08:33:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2691f73bec9da39ff8ed4d4825b22dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 073 ABPA20 PHNL 291400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 08:44:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627609-4126>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 04:06:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA17570; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:58:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10854336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:58:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA07562 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:58:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:58:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811291958.NAA03385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 13:58:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 667243873ff117920e5c07ac2dc9d541 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM NOVEMBER 30. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1ST OF NEXT YEAR...OR EARLIER SHOULD A TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP DURING THE OFF SEASON. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 10:20:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626344-9033>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 10:09:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA04416; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:58:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10856891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:58:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA17964 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:58:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:58:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300158.TAA06605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 19:58:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01c11aa331794cef0a44a1a2452730b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 918 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME ON JUNE 1 OF NEXT YEAR... BUT SOONER IF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OCCURS IN OUR AREA. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 16:55:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626636-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 16:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18618; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:47:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10859250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:47:29 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13742 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:47:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:47:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300747.BAA09562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 01:47:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe246aa40c3262773e24ca2ad2d4e9ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 587 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 29 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME ON JUNE 1 OF NEXT YEAR... OR SOONER SHOULD A TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP IN OUR AREA. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629047-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 22:14:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA17286; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:49:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10861466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:49:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA12154 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:49:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:49:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301349.HAA12490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 07:49:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 215bb478b39e1b6b0f14b7a360484eac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 666 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME ON JUNE 1 OF NEXT YEAR... OR SOONER SHOULD A TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP IN OUR AREA. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627705-9034>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 04:13:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24222; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:00:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10866940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:00:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA07434 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:59:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:56:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811301956.NAA21848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:56:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2af9609d8290134f6112096c8d1396a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME ON JUNE 1 OF NEXT YEAR... OR SOONER SHOULD A TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP IN OUR AREA. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-11326>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 10:09:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA05636; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:52:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10870121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:52:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA19956 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:52:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:52:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010152.TAA28682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 19:52:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 258506a80edaa5e00b6dfda4a7426437 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 30 1998 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME ON JUNE 1 OF NEXT YEAR... OR SOONER SHOULD A TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP IN OUR AREA. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626166-2623>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 14:20:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA61474; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:18:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:18:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43728 for ; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801010617.AAA03510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8daab7483b2885a555a1130d7ca0edd1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 101 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z JAN 98 /020600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 172E0. A 311934Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THERE MAY BE A CUSP FEATURE RATHER THAN A CIRCULATION PRESENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE HAS FLUCTUATED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND DEPTH CONSISTENCY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT DIVERGENCE ALOFT CONTINUES BUT IS SHOWING LITTLE ORGANIZATIONAL IMPROVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2091 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-2619>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 21:33:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA29634; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:32:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7431804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA29606 for ; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801011331.HAA03997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 182bf30e3027b09eae75ac3725fd9d76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 ABPW10 PGTW 011400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011400Z JAN 98 /020600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 172E0. A 311934Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THERE MAY BE A CUSP FEATURE RATHER THAN A CIRCULATION PRESENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE HAS FLUCTUATED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND DEPTH CONSISTENCY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT DIVERGENCE ALOFT CONTINUES BUT IS SHOWING LITTLE ORGANIZATIONAL IMPROVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 151E7. A 011043Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM,I) INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. A SPIRAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626618-15476>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 14:51:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA61500; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:49:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7435032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA34266 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801020647.AAA04988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af86fb1862f02c927b716f9e7b79b1dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z JAN 98 /030600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E3. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED AREAL COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION AND A VERY RECENT SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. IMAGERY THREE HOURS AGO SHOWED A ROUGHLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT WAS SUPPORTING RELATIVELY NEW CENTRAL CONVECTION BUT HAD VERY LITTLE ORGANIZATION. SUBSTANTIAL DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR DERIVED WIND FIELDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABSENCE OF CONVECTIVE AND LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. DUE TO TECHNICAL PROBLEMS, THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS OF IMAGERY WERE MISSED AND WE ARE UNABLE TO TRACK THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SUDDEN DISORGANIZATION. IN VIEW OF THIS, THE AREA REMAINS INCLUDED ON THIS BULLETIN IN A DOWNGRADED STATUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-22385>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 13:38:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA24770; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:35:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA55664 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030534.XAA06270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0a4183d211c6b6df844105e1d9974a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 888 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 173.8E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 152.2E0 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(2) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626930-22383>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 13:41:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA09378; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA31884 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030539.XAA06292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: /030600z/040600z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a1cbe4141dfd2551a214cb0c2c631ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// /030600Z/040600Z JAN 98// ;43>/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030153Z JA 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TOOI LBL AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 173.8E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSX SJZGUISY GQ YNDNNBKNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. )SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 152.2E0 AND MOVING SOUTHESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GVAS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPIIILYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBUNCE SUMMARY: (1) TGTLAREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E- IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE O WAGNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8 IS NOW TYE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PAR UY AAGWMA(2) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627069-22385>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 16:55:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA55606; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31772 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030853.CAA06509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c523ecb525bfdc65093b1a0a0a640a59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 ABPW10 PGTW 030830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030830Z/040600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 173.8E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 152.2E0 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(2) FOR DETAILS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15S6 137E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 94151, 94150 AND A BUOY OBSERVATION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA INDICATE WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SURFACE PRESSURES NEAR 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627289-9128>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 14:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43630; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7445120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA44876 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040610.AAA08088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a98238d5187ec826b7adff285655937 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 284 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 040153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 040151Z JAN 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 040451Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 13.0S4 171.5E4 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 3 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 15.5S1 153.4E3 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 3 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15S6 137E1 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 141E6. THIS AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 137E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE FROM THE IMAGERY THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE DEVELOPING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627534-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 14:17:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA34588; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7450998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA34804 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050614.AAA09735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcb6ed622af35a9509cab387a4b42693 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 395 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 050153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 050151Z JAN 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 050451Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3S7 170.6E4 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 5 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8S4 154.3E3 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 5 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 140E5. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14S5 137E1 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626471-7383>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 15:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA52380; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 01:13:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7459235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 01:13:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA13570 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:58:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:58:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060658.AAA11680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:58:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3739955a547c4d0f07f5c281f022d90d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 060153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 060151Z JAN 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 060451Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 170.0E8 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 07 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 060000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS RELOCATED AT 14.2S7 157.0E3 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 07 RELOCATED (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 16S7 140E5 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 138E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. THIS AREA WAS THE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTPS21 PGTW 060500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 16:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17650; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:20:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA17570 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070819.CAA15115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3510e6ac09698eeebfdeff62c58db34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 070153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 070151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 172.9E9 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 09 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 07000Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 160.0E7 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 09 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 16S7 139E2 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 16S 140E5. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BROAD AND ELONGATED. THE CENTER OF WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFUSE AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATED IN THE CURRENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB38240070814 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628129-24027>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:32:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58234; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7437569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA40288 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080629.AAA17316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa852ea902bbe27f380f812e689474ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 354 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 21.8S1 177.9E4 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 08000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 163.0E0 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 16S7 140E5 HAS NOT MOVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE AND MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION STARTING TO DEVELOP NEAR IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 071340Z5 INDICATED 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB17110080556 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628140-24024>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:59:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24684; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7437649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA58938 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080654.AAA17352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 236fa00bb3ef9a3bdb170d853275d383 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 21.8S1 177.9E4 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 08000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 163.0E0 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 16S7 140E5 HAS NOT MOVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE AND MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION STARTING TO DEVELOP NEAR IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 071340Z5 INDICATED 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:5000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629009-8755>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:12:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA40800; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA47684 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100805.CAA22384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a93688741558422f026f089063f8bfc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 243 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 164.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20S2 147E2. THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED OVER LAND AND APPEARS TO BE MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN RANGES IN THE AUSTRALIAN PROVINCE OF QUEENSLAND. THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY HAS INDICATED THE POSSIBILITY OF GALE CONDITIONS ALONG THE QUEENSLAND COAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS A POSSIBILITY SHOULD THE SYSTEM MOVE OFFSHORE. FURTHER INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE BUREAU 0F METEOROLOGY WEB PAGE AT WWW.BOM.GOV.AU. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS CONSIDERED POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629017-8760>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA33912; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA33890 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100810.CAA22400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea0feb268586606d1eff682a5d370a17 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10000Z1, TROPPCALCYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 164.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTIO VSMJD20 OJAM 100600 AAXX 10064 40340 32960 03608 10096 20034 40178 52013 333 20080 30006= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628896-8758>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:22:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10044; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA59130 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100816.CAA22412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 414709ace67c6eb9ed94ce887cd06ed9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 460 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (9;178 52013 333 20080 30006= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629019-8759>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:26:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA12672; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:21:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:21:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA54092 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:21:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:20:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100820.CAA22420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:20:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0db807fab6af87c8ec2b203deb7730b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 531 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (9 178 52013 333 20080 30006= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-18026>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 15:00:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA35872; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:54:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7460696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA21432 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110653.AAA24287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 625a1586a021fd5d31f0a7edae8f1b0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8S3 161.7E5 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 17 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S 147E2 HAS BECOME BROAD AND ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HOOVER/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB17900110632 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-18026>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 15:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA34658; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7460752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA21326 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110711.BAA24329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b78e470dd2f53c5b2f9a894fd7bbe38 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 981 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8S3 161.7E5 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 17 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S 147E2 HAS BECOME BROAD AND ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626943-27033>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 13:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA58030; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7467088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA22902 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120553.XAA26238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6a05f41fc3e177bfe60ab1756ec3d60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 120151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 159.7E2 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 19 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-27033>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 14:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA51264; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7467346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA57868 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120652.AAA26333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5aa095cbc6c965c8032a64e0491bbb29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/120151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 159.7E2 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 19 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA23660120646 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-18602>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 14:50:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10800; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:46:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7476542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:44:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA05852 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:09:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:09:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801130609.AAA28522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:09:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9f008f307396face182a2c6a1af2917 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 130151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3S7 157.8E1 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTPS31 PGTW 130300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627445-7161>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:59:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA04594; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7484284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA10958 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801140452.WAA00474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3130ffe11f9b3a57c125fb987b7bdf48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 030 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 140151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 153.0E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 23 (WTPS31 PGTW 140300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178W6. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOOSELY ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HILDEBRAND/SMITH/HATFIELD/ PATTERSON/JONES/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-27033>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 13:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA22988; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7493103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA22962 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801150531.XAA03158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae78f713bb37ca5a91e183e45adfd116 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 668 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 140151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 150.3E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 25 (WTPS31 PGTW 150300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178W6 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1538 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626603-17314>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 13:59:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA14456; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:56:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7501134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA11092 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801160555.XAA05918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8a40ef596ff0a67f078c9fb7bb4f0fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 748 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 160151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8S3 149.2E6 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 27 (WTPS31 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MALMQUIST/EIBLING/DOBBINS/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628200-21627>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:39:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18992; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7510153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAB21780 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801170536.XAA08507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cab980cf9fbe1ef0d2588a11d8ba8db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 950 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 170151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1S8 149.1E5, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 29 (WTPS31 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628273-485>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 13:51:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22340; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:47:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7517250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22308 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180546.XAA10549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fed57dda667c1d130386a3716ebec058 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 180151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 148.2E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 31 (WTPS31 PGTW 180300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629011-12935>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 14:00:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21718; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:55:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7524046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:55:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19504 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190553.XAA12888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27c212ddc3c283d96ebbb23354b7aa3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 168 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9S4 150.0E6, MOVING EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 33 (WTPS31 PGTW 190300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-381>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 15:18:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA07106; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:11:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7533566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:10:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25242 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:10:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:10:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801200710.BAA15058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:10:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50e4a5cc31abbbd2d91b804744b8a573 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 191 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 200151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 18.7S6 152.8E6, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 35 (WTPS31 PGTW 200300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626991-26379>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 15:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14812; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:28:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7545192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12994 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210727.BAA17346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fe2c5a60df9616236ace4fa8119a41f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 920 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 210151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 20.9S1 154.2E2, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 37 (WTPS31 PGTW 210300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE ELONGATED TROUGHING AND POSSIBLE CIRCULATION WITHIN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. CONVECTION HAS SUSTAINED FOR OVER 24 HOURS ALTHOUGH REMAINS UNORGANIZED. DEEP CONVECTION IS FAIRLY NEW, HAVING FORMED WITHIN PAST 12 HOURS. CYCLONIC VORTICITY HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR SEVERAL DAYS BUT ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE ORGANIZATION OF SURFACE CU LINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-8099>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 21:15:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19830; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:11:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7557381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18168 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221310.HAA20348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 715924cb71eae20e3fac599ea9f4970c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 855 ABPW10 PGTW 221300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/221300Z/230600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 220151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 21.9S2 155.2E3, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 39 (WTPS31 PGTW 220300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6 IS LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 143.0E8 OVER THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE FORMATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THIS DISTURBANCE. CONVECTION IS SCATTERED AND IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA APPROXIMATELY 75NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. REISSUED TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-10458>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 13:39:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24002; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:34:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7565141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25988 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801230533.XAA23442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7004aef6a50891ac461a38f3ad6c75c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 230151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 20.2S4 156.0E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 41 (WTPS31 PGTW 230300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6 HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE WEST AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2. THIS CONVECTION IS DUE TO LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A DISTINCTIVE CIRCULATION THAT IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80NM INLAND OF THE EASTERN GULF OF CARPENTAR IA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND S YNOPTIC DATA, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626187-27092>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11278; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:20:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7575926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:20:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19950 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:20:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240619.AAA26920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c657f7a8e1a3f26145f13559d02841b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 300 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 240151ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 240153ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 18.0S9 153.9E8, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 43 (WTPS31 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 138.5E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNING NUMBER 01 (WTPS32 240300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS NOTED IN PARA 2.A.(2) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626394-9655>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 14:15:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12550; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7581508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24248 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250610.AAA28998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5526048d901aadcecdc779c3c869fe47 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 117 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 250153ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4S9 135.8E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 05 (WTPS32 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4373 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-9655>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 19:03:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15280; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:59:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7582285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA14666 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA29462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251058.EAA29462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a0b0344066c9bfb37ea7c8a018d02031 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 216 ABPW10 PGTW 251030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/251030Z/260600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 250753ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250600Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 14.6S1 134.9E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 06 (WTPS32 250900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19S0 151E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KA TRINA). CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO NUMBER 94298 (MARION REEF ) STILL INDICATE 25 KNOT WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CURRENTLY, THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOW ARD A MID- LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM LOCATED OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SHOULD BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINI MUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE RE-DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627204-19661>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:21:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25632; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:16:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7588147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15360 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801260615.AAA01064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31fd7584f40138c5e7f83d0c87bd8d45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 251353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED OVERLAND A T 14.4S9 133.5E2, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 07 (WTPS32 251200)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 152E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). CONVECTION IS PERIODICALLY RE-DEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD A MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM LOCATED OVEREASTERN AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE RE- DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-2930>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:44:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16868; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7601520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21444 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801270738.BAA03453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3757dac0bc2ad6c1e8d1bc0f3583244 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 504 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 151E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION ON ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626476-4892>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 13:50:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA23500; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7611948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA35990 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280539.XAA05955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f954ab2321b659b78435377a8b3632cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 424 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19S0 149E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS OBSCURED BY ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS, POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626515-15476>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA34044; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7622816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA23228 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:54:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290554.XAA08425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04f8b278b87dbbf7c4d496a53ae42ab6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 994 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 149E4 I S NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/PATTERSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2754 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625972-24541>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:54:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19160; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:45:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7635148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33870 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300644.AAA11348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fa61aa9a972bc50c69b965ab384638a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 13:28:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-8723>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 13:23:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28940; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:18:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7645301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:18:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26554 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310517.XAA13432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d5b48049a6bfdace505f1ac94377470 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JAN 98 - 010600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS NEAR 14S5 148E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED AND SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3543 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-28862>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 13:54:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA19364; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:47:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7653069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:47:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15716 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802010546.XAA15408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08ab8a4d7941fd222616196ffe9777ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z FEB 98 - 020600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 146E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF THIS VERY SMALL SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD AUSTRALIA=S CAPE YORK PENINSULA, AND ITS SHORT-TERM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE HINDERED BY INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626178-10339>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20614; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:19:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7660403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:19:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA33256 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802020517.XAA17491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3296ec95e526dd36750bf69c3c8cc5b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 041 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z - 030600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 144E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFUSE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627065-8088>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 14:27:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25914; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:11:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7671770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29942 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802030610.AAA19995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3bc1f8cde5c4131013092e29efb404a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 702 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z - 040600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 141E6. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CARPENTERIA. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1421 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-14574>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 14:23:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18726; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7672154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15362 for ; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802040615.AAA22505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b52394f5dcc49d4511746c3cf49d3d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 312 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z - 050600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 141E6 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626116-20145>; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 13:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22648; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:12:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7686649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA35858 for ; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802050511.XAA24898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fb06e8849a0144b1a7d6750bfa0fb1e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 818 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z - 060600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13S4 134E8. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS OVER ARNHEM LAND IN NORTHERN AUSTRALIA AND DRIFTING IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INTERMITTENT, ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL IMPROVE IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST OVER THE TIMOR SEA. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-21132>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 14:44:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25704; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:37:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7704934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25934 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802060636.AAA28187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f5debb32f7e07be050c76b768344fcb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 310 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z - 070600Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/051751ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 134E8 CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN AND IS NOW DISCUSSED IN THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN (SEE REF A FOR DETAILS). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-19262>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:58:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15684; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7718897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15648 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802070552.XAA05160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1adcf08457bd47402fd58c9c60d3a845 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 246 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z - 080600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3342 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-19261>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 14:05:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33132; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7718963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA33106 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802070558.XAA05174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subjpacific Ocean/070600z - 080600z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 476f61f6c421f7f7baed673ce155e366 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 304 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETORCEN WEST GU// SUBJPACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z - 080600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT PACIFIC AREA (10; TM MALAY PENINSULA): 9G A. T MPICAL CYCLONYXAVARY7-/99,3. B. TROVVNR I IPACIFIC AREA (180 QDDMLOO 135 EAST): T TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMWQKKDL EQHT FORECAST TEAM: COMVS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACNTTTT VSILY20 HLLT 05030044- --// 05034 62002 32960 02304 10W UPPEV YWPPU SWOYP WNW LUWAH HIAAT RPQPR TYPPRV YWPPI EWOUP PWUPU QPWJ WPPWW EOJTINRIRTO TRPPPV YWPPO NIL YWPQP EWOTI EWWPT QPPOP WPPUO J8 62012 3296 KACVNBYPQW T39 620XGCVUUW(;/)10WTHWPQPHRPPOXGOYPVWVHHLXCQOHOCIM41:?+ 10YTHCUR SVOF P I DJQIAII L PU>MXIBBW= 62059) 62062 NIL= 62103 32965 03307 10143 20065 40128 52006= 62120 32965 000011177 ?<-00 52002= 62124 31951 03507 10194 0014 39639 40126 52007 7100= 52#31 NIL= 62YQ NIWC YWQUY NIL= 62200 $=;;;12=8<220050 39606 40129 50005#70500; 62212 I 62259 (08)= 62271 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3720 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-16552>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 13:54:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA26784; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7729827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA12870 for ; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802080546.XAA01364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f40b01a0ce1a6f308b34b4d546de1de9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 653 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z - 090600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-341>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:38:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04422; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:31:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7744431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26650 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090630.AAA03438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 756e6a3bb631e292bf7dc8f6dbfaa834 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 542 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z - 100600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627132-20431>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 13:45:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31234; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:38:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7761503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA23994 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802100537.XAA06008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aebaa9ef29e9d312be364ad2bf3b09de Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 529 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z - 110600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626327-22445>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 13:31:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20114; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7777635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA35692 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110517.XAA09129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5fa0ada70b167889f5e91a8fc0627d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 924 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z - 120600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1964 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626623-21912>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:03:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15682; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:55:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7796046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21720 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802120554.XAA11934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a7a05da5a1187d5db49f34e85f22506 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 283 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z - 130600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3418 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-26235>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:01:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31768; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7808184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA31992 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130552.XAA14558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59cccc05312c405aed3ec13c1d2cb11a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 903 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z - 140600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2458 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-25583>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:01:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA24230; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7817766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29066 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140456.WAA16683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 696e818dc16da1f40d68244eb88d0e6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z - 140600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13.2S6 149.9E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2890 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626071-25579>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:16:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33342; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7817798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25606 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140510.XAA16714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f4cdc1f35ae1dd80485dd11686fcc25 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z - 150600Z FEB 98 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13.2S6 149.9E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. JUSTIFICATION: TO CHANGE DATE FROM 13 TO 14 FEB IN MESSAGE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3292 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627347-22364>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 13:29:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25002; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:23:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7824053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:23:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26726 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802150522.XAA19471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b759b1470693771fdc57f2c9058907f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 559 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z - 150600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 149.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 151.0E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTING OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THIS AREA AND OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-12681>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA27654; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7832215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA20154 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160520.XAA26116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 472efef96046e7c3584e3b1a29df9698 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 542 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z - 170600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 151.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 153.0E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS ORGANIZED INTO WEAK SPIRAL BANDS. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-10005>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20148; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7846911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA20108 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170700.BAA15588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10ba3ff90bf27826cbe74f09eaf64323 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 646 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z - 180600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 153E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO SUSTAINED CONVECTION REMAINS. ALTHOUGH, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT GENERAL VORTICITY IS PRESENT IN THE AREA, MINIMAL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ALLOWS FOR EXCELLENT VIEW OF LOW-LEVEL CU LINES AND THESE SHOW NO DISCERNIBLE ORGANIZATION. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627080-9419>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:02:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA10874; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7859852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15694 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:53:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:52:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180552.XAA05871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:52:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ded2bcd40caea03cc2659eb602915b0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 346 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z - 190600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-11300>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 13:17:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA23916; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:10:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7873145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:10:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25696 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190508.XAA24893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1b95043355c887d3551dbf46031401f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z - 200600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 18S9 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. 190000Z0 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA WHICH CANNOT BE PRECISELY LOCATED IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627213-11302>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 15:08:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33942; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7874456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13430 for ; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190702.BAA25748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40965ab47bc3d5734ab04f5191fec121 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z - 200600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 18S9 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. 190000Z0 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA WHICH CANNOT BE PRECISELY LOCATED IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3961 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626300-18844>; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 14:53:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25106; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:49:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7876561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:49:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29586 for ; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:48:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:48:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802200648.AAA14800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:48:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1deb34bbdb21a960a9ff39fcbbf2c9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 044 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z - 210600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19S0 157E3. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 16S7 153E0. ALSO, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATERVAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS OF A LINEAR NATURE. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-20181>; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:29:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33768; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7888990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33434 for ; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802210625.AAA01476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aeab245d8db34641fc87d11310f3a2b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 458 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z - 220600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-14644>; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 14:27:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33086; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:24:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7897200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA35036 for ; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802220623.AAA08883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92b1484b3c1c747ac53bc45d980c6451 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 250 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z - 230600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG29170530615 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-28103>; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 15:31:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA32366; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:28:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7907495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15356 for ; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802230726.BAA15734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 548264e3bf411c6e449ca342c2c813ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 153 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z - 240600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG53860540537 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627378-28447>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 14:05:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA07138; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7920308 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28358 for ; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802240557.XAA03269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d66ae5f951de15d462fd3f37f4c15ea6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 341 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG88780550556 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627383-28446>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 14:21:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24888; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:10:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7920485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:10:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36400 for ; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:02:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:02:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802240602.AAA03338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:02:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/sigiwguh To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c41c0aec3f481681afa9fdbcb4393f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 422 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGIWGUH H :3-,/240600Z=81=1Z FEB 98.6 RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-545>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 14:45:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28378; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:36:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7934999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04522 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802250635.AAA22373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4662a8728c9af2f4efe23b385586d112 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 329 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION EXISTS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTERIA NEAR 14.2S7 139.1E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS ON VISUAL AND IR IMAGERY. THERE IS A WEAK ANTI-CYCLONE ALOFT, WITH LITTLE TO NO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG33110560629 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625972-4425>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:40:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32396; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7951450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24422 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802260635.AAA11293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0caf31d5520038b999f588c3a419daa2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCEN PEARL HARBOR/260153 FEB 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 01.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WAS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AT 15.7S3 138.7E9, MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 260000)) AND TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NONE. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG76360570633 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628458-10139>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 15:35:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA35930; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7969050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16146 for ; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802270728.BAA00862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 856d62873021c0ee8dbf94aa32330663 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 544 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCEN PEARL HARBOR/261353Z FEB 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WAS LOCATED INLAND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AT 17.4S2 139.1E4, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE MOVEMENT OVER OPEN OCEAN AREAS AND SUBSEQUENT REGENERATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: ? (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION WITH POOR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG30290580603 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627106-21523>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:55:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA10842; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:46:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7982635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA06942 for ; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802280545.XAA17507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7bf1ccdba4371a32ca72dd4bb0a47917 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z-290600Z FEB 98// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS NEAR 13S4 158E4 HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OF SAN CRISTOBAL TO NEAR 11.8S0 160.9E6. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY INCREASING IN ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE NORTH, POOR ELSE- WHERE. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 271200Z2 SHIP SYNOPTIC AND GRADIENT LEVEL CLOUD- DRIFT DERIVED SATELLITE WINDS INDICATE STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE CYCLONIC SHEAR VORTICITY IN THIS REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. ? (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG01180590540 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626148-26591>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA17502; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8000672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA11544 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA00914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803020032.SAA00914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c27272a216fb9e2073211c7c28421e3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 ABPW10 PGTW 020000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020000Z-020600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011321Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011923Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 163.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. REFER TO REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6 TO THE EAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. A 011235Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WITH STRONG CYCLONIC TURNING WITHIN THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18S9 139E3 ON THE COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE 012330Z9 IMAGERY SHOWS THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPROXIMATELY 40NM INLAND FROM THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA COASTLINE. LIMITED SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH LOWER PRESSURES IS NEAR THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT IF IT TRACKS OVER WATER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. ( 4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4444 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627021-26589>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:39:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23624; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:22:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8003690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:20:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30894 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:17:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:17:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803020617.AAA03162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:17:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9a649dbb09bdabde50e8ad0923e968f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 206 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z-030600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011321Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020223Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 163.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. REFER TO REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.8S7 157.3E6. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FOR THIS AREA HAS BEEN CANCELED. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A 012334Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED AN AREA OF 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THERE IS NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EVIDENT IN THE SCATTEROMETER DATA. CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE AREA AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A WEAK CIRCULATION. THEREFOR, THIS AREA IS STILL CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18S9 139E3 ON THE COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA HAS REMAINED QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS OVER LAND. HOWEVER, AN AREA OF DEEP ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THIS SYSTEM ILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT IF IT TRACKS OVER WATER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627212-16267>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 13:41:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12452; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:34:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8033156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA48432 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803040533.XAA08938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c6d0cc99ce449122ff8e04924eeaafd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 499 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751ZMAR98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031953ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 175.5E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION MESSAGE. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE REMNANTS OF THIS AREA HAVE MOVED EAST OF 180 DEGREES. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 139E3 ON THE COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 140E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION MESSAGE. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ALL CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 89 NM AWAY FROM THE NEAREST CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUADALCANAL NEAR 5S5 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED. 040000Z4 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE EXISTENCE OF A DIFFUSE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DISCERNIBLE ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-17760>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 14:35:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27960; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:29:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8050352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:29:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA38564 for ; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803050628.AAA29029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d95723a26389936b5c93624a65f0073 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 834 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 175.5E8 HAS REORGANIZED AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178E6. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A SMALL AMOUNT OF ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE LIMITED SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2 IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE CLOSEST CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER 100 NM TO THE NORTH AND EAST. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH LIGHT WINDS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS LACKING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IT IS WELL ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629178-14699>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 14:56:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20290; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:43:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8063459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25114 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803060642.AAA19184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09eb1b6fbd3c09cec17e689eff33e76c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 208 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 178W6 TO THE NORTHEAST OF FIJI. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THERE IS NO LONGER A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WEST OF 180 DEGREES LONGITUDE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 139E3 IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. A 051348Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED AN AREA OF 30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CENTRAL WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS IN THE AREA. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-27176>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 13:46:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15106; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:40:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8074154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:40:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA42636 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803070539.XAA07107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1900f61006becbf67f64de5452b8268 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 282 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 139E3 IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA HAS DISSIPATED. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626580-621>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 13:53:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA32778; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:48:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8084262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19154 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803080547.XAA15632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf6044dee9a1d8d7e36228c7d4c18ea1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 907 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627027-24683>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 14:15:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32952; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:09:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8095605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:08:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA44974 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:00:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:00:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803090600.AAA23423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:00:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c95e045f9c026f185b0d3323bc17397 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:14:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626178-26974>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 13:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20502; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:32:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8108148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40412 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100531.XAA10259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 306cead999489b6b7ea2538b588dcd9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 108 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626430-20783>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 13:41:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39880; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:27:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA38284 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:24:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:24:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803110524.XAA28171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:24:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94133ec1b2dc24c70b11d01f9dcb2755 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627065-20783>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 13:43:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA46536; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28838 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803110535.XAA28238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b064ddcb0f5db2b52d59369a719f803 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 944 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626601-21540>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:17:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24296; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8165825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA24786 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803150506.XAA18469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 276577e40054a8f69b861679f394aed7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12S3 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626785-6549>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 14:00:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA16418; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:53:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8174283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:51:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA29142 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:51:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:51:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160551.XAA24435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:51:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b99b6acba0b7eb4638b2ccbb7b52864f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627010-13622>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 14:41:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40432; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:36:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8028765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:35:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA18616 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:35:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:35:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170635.AAA13358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:35:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9a3f3d4b5c21a4464b604128e1b43bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 174E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD, WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WIT H THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/STEWART/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627925-13622>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 01:47:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23814; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8032169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA24024 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171740.LAA20586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfb6a19b52cb8b00e70b3a0d96d51639 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 351 ABPW10 PGTW 171900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/171900Z-180600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 171.0E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN BANDS AROUND A RELATIVELY CLOUD-MINIMUM CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED AND IS NOW GOOD IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO UPGRADE THE AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626541-21863>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 14:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA45586; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8037599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25594 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803180553.XAA00732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53c7359ad5f72c653192d8d8f7ed743a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 955 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 172255Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 169.9E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 172300)). THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4650 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-25817>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:23:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28254; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:16:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8048591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:16:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21630 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:01:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:01:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190601.AAA19481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:01:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 363e1080c4b54df4c7fa9233cae0f98f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 606 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190155Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WAS LOCATED AT 12.4S 165.4E6 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 3A (WTPS31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S 145E. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-29873>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:54:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45596; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:47:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8059047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:47:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32980 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:47:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:46:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200646.AAA07746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:46:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13d6fbd8dd93e27d4cdbdf7f60bc9278 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200521Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7S1 163.3E3 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 7 (WTPS31 PGTW 200300) ) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 143.2E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 200530) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4693 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-5477>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:17:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23954; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:12:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8068772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:12:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA49790 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:58:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:58:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210558.XAA24240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:58:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed8282b8b630bc058d0cb04905a8dd01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 976 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 165.1E3 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 11 (WTPS31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 11.2S4 143.4E2 AND QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-1781>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13676; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8077009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21304 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220547.XAA01555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48f6cae4d0c6d03589bd6a2d7f195520 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 167.7E1 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SE E REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 14A (WTPS31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 11.6S8 145.0E0 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIN DS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P WARNING NR 05 (WTPS32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1378 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626793-19242>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:03:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32992; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:57:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8087101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:57:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45728 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230656.AAA09375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical We Her Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2478ad91e924886e017dc38dc14514dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 025 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WE HER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPAC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2385 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-19242>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:56:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15422; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA34342 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231350.HAA11443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ther Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a22179d5f702e240bfde0251bbdbb5fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 586 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// J)/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEA THER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 20.6S8 169.5E6 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 16 (WTPS31 PGTW 230300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4S8 145.6E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WI NDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P WARNING NR 09 (WTPS32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-9646>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 14:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14898; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8108925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29206 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250607.AAA13085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c626c4b74d8536ecbfbbf63f7687d24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 552 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 25.1S8 161.4E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 20 (WTPS31 PGTW 250300) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 151.4E1 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 17 (WTPS32 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-22922>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA43672; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:15:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8117794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:14:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15046 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:05:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:05:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803260605.AAA00273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:05:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ee83719c05244c27606946b36426284 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 662 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 26. 0S8 158.5E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 22 (WTPS31 PGTW 260300) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURT HER DETAILS. (2) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 1 3.5S9 157.3E6 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNI NG 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 20 (WTPS32 PGTW 260300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATE S FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1751 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626777-3155>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 14:04:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04190; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8128084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45616 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803270558.XAA17627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbd0698049f094226c4dcba41168e9ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 122 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 30. 3S6 158.2E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMAT ED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 24 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 1 5.0S6 158.8E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNI NG 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 22 (WTPS32 PGTW 270300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATE S FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SANCHEZ/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627380-3157>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 00:08:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA38814; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8131139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA24946 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA22520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271600.KAA22520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Dmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2677c524afdab435c77920f0b8f2b576 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 ABPW10 PGTW 271600 MSGID/8 DMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/271600Z/280600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) COMPLETED TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 24 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8S4 158.8E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 23 (WTPS32 PGTW 271500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS BETWEEN VANUATU AND FIJI NEAR 16S7 173E1. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN ELONGATED CONVERGENCE LINE WITH ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE SOUTHWEST END. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN A REGION OF WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND ITS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY GOOD IN THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD THE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626002-7905>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 14:05:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44556; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:59:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8138150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:59:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA43686 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803280558.XAA03914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ee3ca43eaad2cb8da64519505a992a7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 899 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1S8 158.0E4 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 24 (WTPS32 PGTW 280300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA REMAINS ORGANIZED. THE REGION CONSISTS OF LINES OF CUMULUS CLOUDS WIDELY DISPERSED AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS IN A REGION OF WEAK UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WITH ITS STRONGEST UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626715-7906>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:06:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA36310; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:02:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8140098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:02:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA37786 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA05819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281201.GAA05819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef9dd8184d73838e2e55c6f1a2ab715c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 613 ABPW10 PGTW 281100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/281100Z/290600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626741-7415>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:19:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15050; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:15:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8147279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:15:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15100 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290614.AAA11244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82ebadc0501fa16b27fc79076e6803db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1S8 155.0E1 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 26 (WTPS32 PGTW 290300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 171E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGRY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO ARREST SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING OVER THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 18. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 14:27:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28256; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8170041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36158 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310620.AAA07874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f12598fae61fc0057f4e5fd15986491a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 956 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z MAR 98/010600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYNONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 144.9E8 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 34 (WTPS32 PGTW 300300)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0S5 168.4E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 3 (WTPS31 PGTW 310300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626702-8513>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 15:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29284; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:01:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8170392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29230 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310700.BAA08089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b25ce25f3c59dd5614ef4d3a514054ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 979 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z/010600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4874 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626797-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 15:07:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA17822; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:02:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8170398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA42374 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:01:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:01:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310701.BAA08103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:01:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5268b25c160a5029b384a64de6e09a91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z/010600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 144.9E8 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 34 (WTPS32 PGTW 310300)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0S5 168.4E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 3 (WTPS31 PGTW 310300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT MANOP TIME ON WTPS32. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627113-22259>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 16:00:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20478; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:52:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8185287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:52:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27306 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804010751.BAA28126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00f0d6f44b6dd0603fc9e1fdb892e1f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1242 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627868-22256>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 03:10:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19126; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:03:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8190487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:03:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA22812 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011902.NAA08517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 477f5f7ef317970cd1bd42b3f622459b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 556 ABPW10 PGTW 011900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011900Z/020600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011353Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 166.2E5 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 6 (WTPS31 PGTW 011500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 12S3 140E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER A LOOSELY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE IS DEVELOPING UNDER A PRE-EXISTING UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD THE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-5736>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 15:28:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA51186; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8197539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44736 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804020719.BAA18002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a593f133eb6cf019f291624adfc5e6a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 869 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.7S3 164.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 7 (WTPS31 PGTW 020300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 12S3 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 138E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOOSELY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND DISORGANIZED IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625881-17129>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 13:54:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21284; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:47:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8209306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:47:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA35238 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804030546.XAA05679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87e7753164a83bbc79ffec6077721176 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 666 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 161.9E7 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 10 (WTPS31 PGTW 030300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 138E2 HAS BECOME CONSIDERABLE LESS ORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-22207>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 14:00:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA09760; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:47:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8221204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:47:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18088 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804040546.XAA23269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e51c1471ae1f2bc7c848fb730df515d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6S3 161.53 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN)WARNING NR 12 (WTPS31 PGTW 040300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S 175E. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626544-22242>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 14:05:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27164; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 00:00:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8228276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15432 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804050558.XAA01368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ac51bf82491abff787f1943adb33e51 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 109 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 19.6S6 164.1E2 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN)WARNING NR 14 (WTPS31 PGTW 050300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S 175E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ABOVE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DESPITE A LACK OF CENTRAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1750 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-5791>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 14:39:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA37698; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8236927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 00:30:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA38174 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804060630.BAA08913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weaher Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b2d7490975801b94ddf7871fc745726 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 585 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEAHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 166.0E MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND BECOMING AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING #15 (WTPS31 PGTW 051500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4091 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626695-5794>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:55:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36154; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:50:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8237222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:49:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21952 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804060749.CAA09201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5dc0bcb3508de7f2912ce4b2e841d773 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 103 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 166.0E MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND BECOMING AN EXT RATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING #15 ( WPTS31 PGTW 051500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION AND HAS BECOME BETTER OR GANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627030-5796>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 20:17:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA38300; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:13:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8238349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 06:12:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA39020 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:12:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:12:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804061212.HAA10467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:12:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91b6070c6c9654719121c55fcc6c947f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 166.0E MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND BECOMING AN EXT RATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING #15 ( WPTS31 PGTW 051500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION AND HAS BECOME BETTER OR GANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626580-27652>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 13:17:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04238; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8249964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:08:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA51008 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804070508.AAA25620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f63ca855a3d294086e14af780d9e0beb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 077 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626373-26866>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:49:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33516; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:41:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8263314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA48930 for ; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804080539.AAA14478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9004e9bc59b29216f1dcdee6f7f1bdd2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 128 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-25345>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 14:11:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17614; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:58:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8278999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22650 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804090556.AAA04811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd269aa5c9b78e0b03be330110e63d08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 998 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-21487>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 13:46:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36048; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:41:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8292191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:40:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24616 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804100539.AAA23675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05fbda6f958436b0d670501cd23f92c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 994 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-13603>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 13:41:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22716; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:37:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8301011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA41608 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804110535.AAA09308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d6816b42f2bc03eae2f0a5c33bde93a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 329 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2636 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-28192>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 13:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32440; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:22:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8307579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45638 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804120521.AAA16432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c0b602ac563c4221a07bab1c5172f8f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 976 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626039-11548>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 13:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14782; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:38:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8314826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16758 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804130536.AAA22783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06388037c5898ae25af7a86652ff7e08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-6530>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:17:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04296; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:12:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8325204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:09:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16508 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804140507.AAA09460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20bac6a576f090b755a0e4f62bcd37d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 030 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4308 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625894-22356>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:44:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19058; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:39:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8338189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36338 for ; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804150537.AAA29443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f968703d8b73e05e9721ff1843974b3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 830 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4877 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626575-12222>; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 14:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36028; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:52:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8353083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35980 for ; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804160651.BAA19921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fff114ab631d4611b53ca3279454518 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 791 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-15558>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:18:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA31836; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:01:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8367245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:00:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA31894 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804170559.AAA08133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e4ef65c708b53d1cf470bb33492aa4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 667 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626750-15556>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:20:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA31128; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:05:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8367280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13798 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804170603.BAA08186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41039a43b57544485cc8640deca9c7bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-25913>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 13:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47794; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:40:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8379496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA47632 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804180538.AAA24994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e600f79cf102826cfe35367d642e8dc2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627499-4633>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 13:59:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26872; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:54:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8387538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:52:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA47702 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190551.AAA02646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74dfaa1305b56c1044a0972eab5d1a30 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-16099>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 13:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47836; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:30:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8397640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA37650 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804200528.AAA10018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a48f40c0c55f096cc0fbca885df55c34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 302 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1040 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627718-12702>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 13:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA50950; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:33:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8413199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45726 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804210531.AAA29421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df88574fa7fd81599616594c5e16eeea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 926 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3988 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625899-26551>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 13:51:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13404; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:43:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8427953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17426 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804220542.AAA18684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3396f8ad6eccea8aa8578dc46dc89913 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 485 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-15582>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 13:31:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17990; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:21:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8440954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA11072 for ; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804230518.AAA07656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15f6112a1efced7c04c358de27c1f40e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 278 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627771-17853>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 01:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34240; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:11:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19210 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241709.MAA03826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5966648e8944ea4b14c4d523dab26859 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 692 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:24:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-28217>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:51:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46564; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:45:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8463721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28996 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804250543.AAA11238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f14666273c90ba0f2beb41e977bf199 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 22:07:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626342-27815>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 13:29:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22998; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:24:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8469570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22884 for ; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804260523.AAA18183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f58254f04c907a5f2d088def5095d6e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 572 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Apr 27 19:53:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627449-15544>; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 14:11:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29086; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:58:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8477753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29008 for ; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804270556.AAA26620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3563ebc14cbd03c6805420111f134c9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 722 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627485-23280>; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 16:02:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47120; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:57:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8492283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29856 for ; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804280755.CAA16348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4659a6b2b1ec07fa6c4e545d09198a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 326 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOUGH/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627138-6693>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 14:25:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA50834; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:16:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8507223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA50940 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804290614.BAA03559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf1b026b02b5f03b73cc644c8336e427 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 546 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOUGH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:45:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626599-25233>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 14:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44924; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8520693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16384 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804300555.AAA19625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfa5ffd9264a305ce92fc4ec1124ec0e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z APR 98/010600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6S 170E. THIS AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. BOTH ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY AND A 292238Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SCATTEROMETER PASS ALSO INDICATES WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AND 20 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED JUST POLEWARD OF THE LOW LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS GENERALLY POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626727-2935>; Fri, 1 May 1998 13:45:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14700; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:35:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8535267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA11216 for ; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805010533.AAA05988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e64370378a062d823c87f3ba514356fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 998 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 8S8 165E2. ALTHOUGH BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS, THIS AREA CONTINUES TO SHOW PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AN ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6S6 152E8. THIS AREA OF DEEP ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS FORMED WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626757-4017>; Sat, 2 May 1998 14:26:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16782; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:20:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8547412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA36326 for ; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805020618.BAA23027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ba25dbb82aeb10739ce3fa0277e1a45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 165E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 152E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:59:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-14164>; Sun, 3 May 1998 15:00:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29658; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:49:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8556840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA36216 for ; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805030648.BAA01274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb1ff935df2f0b70ef8109898f50dd80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:59:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-14159>; Sun, 3 May 1998 15:07:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21622; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:56:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8556924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25386 for ; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805030655.BAA01306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2509b76874f22d71c7416a9b15020d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 980 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-28981>; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17916; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:51:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8566135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:50:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24676 for ; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805040549.AAA09833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c328c69f2760d4b49d13681d76b0c37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-28981>; Mon, 4 May 1998 14:03:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25362; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:56:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8566149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29120 for ; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805040555.AAA09855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b82df5b6d7e3eaae4ad5cd73162740bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B.-TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.4 FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/LNBZEZ/BACO UPZA02 S PR 040000 RRA PPAA 53230 68816 44385 29023 27037 27056 44340 27561 28067 27098 44320 28566 28066 27548 77249 27098 43131= PPAA 53230 68842 44385 29012 28042 29050 44340 28555 29047 28046 44220 29558 29059 77442 27567 42113= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-3813>; Tue, 5 May 1998 14:03:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24052; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:56:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8583072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:53:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA43560 for ; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:52:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805050552.AAA00012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 00:52:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 285ba954aeea65b3ca07b0abfb2e9241 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 949 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625905-902>; Wed, 6 May 1998 13:38:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28826; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:32:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8596784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24884 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805060530.AAA17564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb6f1d9c8ba9a0253705f87699420fbb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 718 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:02:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626959-28997>; Thu, 7 May 1998 14:02:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15230; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:57:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8611952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA13352 for ; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805070555.AAA07651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe8731aeb085c06a8f50dcdea9911ca1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 922 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDERBRAND/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-650>; Fri, 8 May 1998 14:09:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA51288; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:02:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8628225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44832 for ; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805080600.BAA26897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf49849129f2ae9f8f8a0688258239f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 580 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:04:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4611 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626665-7357>; Sat, 9 May 1998 13:54:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36180; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:50:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8641365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA11916 for ; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805090548.AAA13912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f4da1f20dfd0c17a954857ff3756c05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/09600Z/100600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3110 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-17744>; Mon, 11 May 1998 14:28:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16842; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:23:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8657037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:20:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28462 for ; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:20:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:19:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805110619.BAA29567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 01:19:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fa42c76df7b7e3cfd9a7d56e4953d56 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 931 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/11600Z/120600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626618-17738>; Mon, 11 May 1998 14:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA49834; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:48:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8657100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16718 for ; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805110646.BAA29674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d21896f57e1cb780232892df56754aa2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 577 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/11600Z/120600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626668-26280>; Tue, 12 May 1998 14:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34400; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:05:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8669708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15058 for ; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805120603.BAA16668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36f058605fb60e704cec5b0baf4df323 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-21718>; Wed, 13 May 1998 15:08:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA11158; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:58:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8685611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:57:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24890 for ; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:56:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:55:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805130655.BAA05079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 01:55:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b455884dbc020a3d70462d887b072c6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 162 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:07:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626722-267>; Thu, 14 May 1998 22:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17974; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:52:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8700650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA11250 for ; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805140550.AAA23065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfaa50c875dac4c3df791ba46171dcb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4679 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627244-857>; Fri, 15 May 1998 14:24:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19518; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:18:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8714960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28680 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805150616.BAA10510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec6873108d20c8d372c0a35f78553131 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 056 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627430-1775>; Sat, 16 May 1998 14:26:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34482; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:21:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8727665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26662 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805160619.BAA27900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 562643ce5c47a45a46e30b02c92775f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 014 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626702-18319>; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:23:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17782; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:17:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8735487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:15:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17852 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805170514.AAA05956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8687245a60cff87229b9bf241f45e2f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 079 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628121-26351>; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:02:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34558; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8743910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25438 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180654.BAA15102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5d9f8376e1b089a472048b583447011 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 232 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 04N4 148E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR A T LEAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL WAVE I N EASTERLY FLOW MAY BE THE CAUSE OF THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AT 180000Z9 INDICATES A SMALL REGIO N OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE AREA. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4724 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628095-26356>; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:05:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA26664; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:58:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8743915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23024 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180657.BAA15115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 912ee5c79b1f15ce8c46bf55b22b6092 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 535 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 04N4 148E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR A T LEAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL WAVE I N EASTERLY FLOW MAY BE THE CAUSE OF THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AT 180000Z9 INDICATES A SMALL REGIO N OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE AREA. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: CORRECTED DATES IN MANOP HEADER AND DATE TIME GROUP. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628154-25639>; Tue, 19 May 1998 13:55:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36028; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:48:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8754660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA35968 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190546.AAA02162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9994faad6a6532273f98afe1854c1f67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 611 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627456-21197>; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:52:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04566; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:46:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8768211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04444 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200544.AAA20726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 775515bdef2fc5f862378900102efb59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627041-9196>; Thu, 21 May 1998 14:26:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39466; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:18:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8785409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04354 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805210617.BAA09925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb3e2a4e2e7cbb96c0862fff7b346c11 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 932 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/EIBLING/HONG/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626985-7513>; Fri, 22 May 1998 13:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67132; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:46:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8800763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA60296 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805220544.AAA28558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d990b96712568260ef89c182f2508396 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 188 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627306-22816>; Sat, 23 May 1998 14:12:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52838; Sat, 23 May 1998 01:01:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 01:00:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA26088 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 00:59:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 00:59:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805230559.AAA15628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 00:59:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61c31372da4a57954f9dcf630ca332d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-4705>; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04308; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:24:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8826525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA68474 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805240522.AAA23611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50a8475e0c06c22524f76288569b1c64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 272 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626983-8751>; Mon, 25 May 1998 14:02:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16866; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8835191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21880 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805250555.AAA01941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7543711deef783b7553a9c71b8fc2d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 920 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:48:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-4437>; Tue, 26 May 1998 14:44:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44836; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:38:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8846199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:35:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34010 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805260632.BAA11682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 554f3fb1b8e399bdebbc7bcb3eec0abc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 836 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 120E3. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS NOT EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:48:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627564-4443>; Tue, 26 May 1998 22:35:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11196; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:29:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8849609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA11206 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805261426.JAA15538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d4be11fe968d9d555cc7d004454e511 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 117E9. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS NOT EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT POSITION OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-26891>; Wed, 27 May 1998 14:24:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54916; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:17:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8863005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23340 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805270615.BAA00480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8e8f802a88aee31ec37c2cf0380e940 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 075 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 117E9 HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627918-16602>; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:56:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62930; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:48:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8880522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39026 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805280545.AAA19019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ab12ef8e62eaf7e33a50c45f77e46c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-358>; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:59:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23492; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:50:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8893578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21994 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805290548.AAA07763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2e80e8ec7b0b3e1b4415b46f9e00f71 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 683 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4403 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625940-9826>; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA61628; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:44:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8908822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17708 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805300542.AAA26477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31ec3b375377cefbdf51fa36e1e48f74 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 714 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2693 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627885-23533>; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:55:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA54658; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:45:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8919253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17672 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805310544.AAA05615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76fcbbcdbafb4c2546135388f614052c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 838 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z/010600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3348 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629566-17252>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:03:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41104; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:56:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29944 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010554.AAA18166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c527811f4624e3fc983771b83f473081 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 518 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-6626>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 14:11:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA62960; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:05:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8954059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21598 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806020603.BAA07904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6b69c8ed5dbfdaabf19f2b9348c8ddd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 961 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4994 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626995-23104>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 14:05:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA66166; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:56:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8971079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22534 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806030554.AAA28498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9241257721b597d1fb4755089e8207bd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3493 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-18588>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22270; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:45:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8985794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22130 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040643.BAA00280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e92a15b04962dfa7740d512061c71416 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 114 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TOPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/HONG/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:48:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29836; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8816352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:31:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23588 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050530.AAA25398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44396db4de22f1f6c41216d79e1d4415 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 299 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626449-14003>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:22:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04102; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:13:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8828452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA54930 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:10:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:10:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060610.BAA22741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:10:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1bd5b302cf5c48cd855fa13e7b9f62c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 134 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2659 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-11328>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 14:05:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62940; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:55:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8836153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21894 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070554.AAA04788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a32d7033136f1aeaddc7394dc9c59197 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-28933>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 13:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11056; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:45:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8845578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19626 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080543.AAA15452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d2c003f9f81d146f6c8db87a0f7e926 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 497 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 23N5 124E7 THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MEI-YU FRONT THAT STRETCHES FROM EASTERN ASIA TO SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF JAPAN. SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT COOLER AIR HAS WRAPPED INTO THE CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628410-8352>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 06:17:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39532; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:59:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:59:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10260 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090554.AAA08470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 814f1e4e611fd0e40e5dac23c7d83914 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 639 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 124E 7 HAS MOVED NORTH-EASTWARD ALONG THE MEI-YU FRONT. ACCORDING TO 090032Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION HAS ELONGATED AS IT TRAVELED UP THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. (2). THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627121-10075>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:22:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33892; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8869586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60730 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100607.BAA00854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d13f500925b9a14ef1172d1dc603a6bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 708 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4557 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-21537>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:49:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52252; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8886120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23556 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806110617.BAA26198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41dcc8dc38d4f3ca2ccc90088fcd9ab8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626983-28878>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:14:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57648; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8899314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA57616 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120554.AAA21124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20b9bde122d759c59b6b8cc5f535ee78 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25S7 156E2. A SPIRAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SERA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626549-3143>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:18:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA45148; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8912213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44844 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130618.BAA14605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78ef027499f61d1475fc6baddd406e59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION NEAR 25S7 156E2 IS NOW NEAR 23S5 157E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AT 200MB AND AT THE GRADIENT LEVEL INDICATES STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS PREVENTING ANY CONVECTION FROM BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1130 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626713-3867>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:05:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04670; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:04:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8924432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA55660 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:03:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:03:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140603.BAA29432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:03:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4202cc2dd1177f2de520838714905b4f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 842 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626625-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 13:48:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14674; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:48:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA62192 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:45:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150545.AAA14688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:45:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 679910a5cac889b38aa6927468333d2e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 10N1 AND 137E1 HAS MOVED WESTWARD AN D IS NOW LOCATED AT 10N1 133E7. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 142059Z1 INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 36 HOURS BUT HAS LOST SOME OF ITS ORGANIZATION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN TRANSVERSING AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH HAS RETARDED ITS DEVELOPMENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS DIMINISHED THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 2 0 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626945-29779>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:08:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA09764; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25354 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160608.BAA11821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74a5f29a30f56a3308eb13d7c3a455e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628387-7410>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 13:58:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA55916; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:58:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8887357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA18746 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806170557.AAA13124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7db8765852c6d8c51ed126d85e7425e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 434 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4224 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626152-14996>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 13:45:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58652; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8902278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA14592 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806180545.AAA08159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0749f150437ec35d6f7a53c7a7d7d77 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/SULLINS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-22213>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 13:26:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52136; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8918993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA52080 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806190525.AAA03927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 258180fd411cb080e0643915ba5482d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-13294>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:18:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28374; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:16:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA09784 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200614.BAA28481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4a27886b546c70c76aeb49d3f749519 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 156 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-8000>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:18:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57508; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:18:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8942777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:17:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29786 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:41:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210541.AAA09956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:41:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00ffd3e4aa139b6db64185ba2eed20ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 113 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626788-11221>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:21:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61596; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8952100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA61564 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220621.BAA26959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a33c84a6a73c0ed4d068b777bf6ca8a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-11116>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 13:10:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62974; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:10:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8965065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:10:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45160 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230509.AAA24592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03a10f428eda272ce958e8c3485400ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2873 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626091-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 13:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60202; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8965209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA44804 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230516.AAA24730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 921cf3e94448103fedfcf4e61872b56e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 239 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-9766>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 13:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57850; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:20:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8977278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA55960 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240519.AAA22210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9db4865b90f0e4a911433a90613218df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 545 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626189-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:10:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA58876; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:03:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8991648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA58292 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250601.BAA20620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0840974bf2ffe7fecb709325896b3a07 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:21:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA09868; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA09816 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260618.BAA16451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a981960a02fa6778913d6c472636a7d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-16920>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 13:54:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58636; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9018696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA58844 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270552.AAA06763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a0e1412e452f65b6f579d5f687c2e19 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 487 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-16920>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 13:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47132; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9018715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA58848 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270555.AAA06797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8956d660d5d37195bd210f9ec2e270f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 515 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 127E0 THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AS IT APPROACHED THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. HOWEVER, 262356Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THERE IS NO LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626522-15290>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 13:29:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22624; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:29:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9029475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA58844 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280527.AAA19536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18a29cd46f81757d8c21f640b2293470 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 873 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 127E0 HAS RELOCATED TO 7N7 122E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION DISSIPATED CONSIDERABLY AS IT PASSED OVER THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF MINDANAO. SINCE THE 272324Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWED NO DEVELOPMENT OF A LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION BELOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:11:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627204-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 14:23:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33846; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9041518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA33822 for ; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290617.BAA03352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7ff22d921e109a8579ec2d775a48736 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-10850>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 15:54:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54800; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:53:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9224323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA55030 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807140752.CAA15690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d54c064927200be022ebea46c28a2fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT 20N2 137E1. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS VARIED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT HAS PERSISTED IN THE GENERAL AREA. ALTHOUGH THE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA O CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE EXTENDING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST, 132347Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE BEGINNING OF A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4356 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-6364>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:54:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62470; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAB66286 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807150553.AAA08666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6625a90d43ee535379eb5b7c6f4cf228 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 576 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED AT 20N2 137E1 IS NO MORE. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HA S DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 140908Z2 SCATTEROMETERY DATA SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SHEAR LINE. ALTHOUGH AREAS OF CONVECTION CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALON G THE SHEAR LINE NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF ANOTHER LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING AT THIS TIME. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627145-8217>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:23:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36094; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:22:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8984547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40604 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807160620.BAA02164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fd3ba3d2942cb7c5d6d151b697624cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 471 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-16088>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 13:48:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47114; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:47:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9002774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA58834 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807170546.AAA25744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f43d44f3ddf8723f8e77eb119ea8829 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 866 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-11455>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 15:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA59482; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA09980 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180757.CAA18638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea85f228635809eaea4b223e7a8a7979 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 889 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626365-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59474; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:13:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9026707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:13:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA54974 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190507.AAA29127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c32160483cdadd672faaa4c738ccce6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 886 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3685 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-351>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:16:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA47278; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52862 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200914.EAA14386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3884b92515f14c505f91815ef5fc6f72 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625928-28772>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:54:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA46358; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:54:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9055317 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA46508 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 00:17:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 00:17:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210517.AAA08163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 00:17:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 057906c562e21d0f009cbeb3dca010a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 801 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2582 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:21:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA44258; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9068014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA44216 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA28948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807212319.SAA28948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89a99793b6822641665be366b339a5c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 ABPW10 PGTW 212300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/212300Z/220600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E, NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. 210035Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. HOWEVER, 212135Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:28:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA35090; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9068068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA35320 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA29031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807212325.SAA29031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb21b0c2b38c3d7afb2670d9466105f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 ABPW10 PGTW 212300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/212300Z/220600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E, NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. 210035Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. HOWEVER, 212135Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3497 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 12:06:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA63658; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 23:03:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9072695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 23:03:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14744 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 23:03:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 23:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220403.XAA03092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 23:03:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f4805bc59fe3aa12478f74f0bbaefc0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 919 WTPN32 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 21.4N7 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5899 UNCLAS 081800Z7 --- 22.1N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.7N1 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.0N5 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.4N9 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5899 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1754 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 13:52:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28198; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9073747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA53006 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220550.AAA04328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4d6cdc27fff071c446a26cccea3512c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 823 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INIDCATES THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS REMAINED MINIMAL AND INTERMITENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:17:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26332; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA36786 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220715.CAA05103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Nichole (02w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b66c33e1d36971d17b306eec8fafe0e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 23.2N7 119.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 119.5E6 --- PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2135 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.6N1 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 24.3N9 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.8N4 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2135 UNCLAS OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.1N8 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 23.3N8 119.5E6. TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF TAIWAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK IS DUE TO STEERING FROM AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS FORCED TS NICHOLE (02W) FURTHER NORTHEASTWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, THE BASIC FORECAST PHILIOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PROGRESSES WESTWARD OVER CHINA, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL TAKE OVER THE STEERING FLOW AND TS NICHOLE (02W) SHOULD INCREASE SPEED AS IT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2135 UNCLAS TAKES UP A WESTERLY TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7),100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0), 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2135 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627315-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:17:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26350; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44994 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220715.CAA05107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c82bd4cc63f33d9bb7141de5ef21be32 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 22.2N6 126.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 126.9E8 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0355 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.1N6 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.8N3 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 24.4N0 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0355 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.1N8 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 26.4N2 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 22.4N8 126.5E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627285-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:17:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26112; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA36812 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220715.CAA05111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:15:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Nichole (02w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe4bba5f6d7026cd9d92e9ff993ea62b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 723 WTPN32 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 23.1N6 119.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 119.7E8 --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1593 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.3N8 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.8N3 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 24.5N1 118.6E6 PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1593 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.3N0 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 23.1N6 119.8E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) NICHOLE (02W) IS HOLDING A QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF TAIWAN. THE CURRENT LOCATION I S BASED UPON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH HAS CAUSED TS NICHOLE PAGE 05 RUEDMCB1593 UNCLAS (02W) TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS HAS MOVED W ESTWARD OVER MAINLAND CHINA. THE LOW SHOULD DRAW TS NICHOLE (02W) NORTHWESTWA RD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH ONCE AGAIN BECOMES D OMINANT. IN ADDITION, THE OUTFLOW DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SHOULD PRECIPITAT E A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY FOR TS NICHOLE (02W) BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0),100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1593 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4819 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627315-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26182; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:18:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39210 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220717.CAA05125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Nichole (02w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4805c493e59f1be51efc5eac4045dfe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 806 WTPN32 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 23.5N0 120.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 120.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4482 UNCLAS 101200Z4 --- 23.9N4 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.2N8 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.5N1 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4482 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 25.2N9 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 23.6N1 120.1E4. TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. LOCAL STATION INFORMATION INDICATES THAT LANDFALL ON TAIWAN WAS MADE NEAR 091740Z. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AT THAT TIME. CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST WEAKENING DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON THE 092330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC INFORMATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS TURN NORTHWESTWARD, AS STEERING INFLUENCE BECOMES DOMINATED BY THE RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH, AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS LAND INTERACTION DECREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA4482 UNCLAS INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. BT #4482 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:19:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26206; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:18:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43578 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220717.CAA05129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr 011 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2992781496cd9af270b7f969a180065d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 807 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 011 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 22.8N2 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4486 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 23.5N0 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.2N8 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.9N5 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4486 UNCLAS 120000Z3 --- 25.7N4 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 23.0N5 125.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR, THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE CENTRAL CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED AT AN INCREASED RATE BY THE DEEPENED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INTERPOLATION FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE APPEARANCE OF THE TIGHTLY WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CU LINES. AS IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE, TD 01W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT FORWARD MOTION AS WELL AS A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. PAGE 05 RUEOMCA4486 UNCLAS JUSTIFICATION: INCORRECT MOVEMENT AND SPEED IN REMARKS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. BT #4486 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627521-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:19:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26236; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:18:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43592 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:18:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220717.CAA05133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:17:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ec5228ea476aaa3421a666ea07e8243 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 808 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 23.3N8 124.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 124.7E4 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2797 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.5N1 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.8N5 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 27.1N0 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 23.6N1 124.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM'S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS CURRENTLY NOT PRODUCING CENTRAL CONVECTION AND IS BECOMING MORE ELONGATED. THE CENTRAL WRAPPING PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2797 UNCLAS OF CU LINES ALSO APPEARS LOOSER AND LESS REGULAR THAN IN PREVIOUS VISIBLE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE CURRENT (100530Z) VISIBLE IMAGERY STILL INDICATES ENOUGH ORGANIZATION TO SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A 25 KNOT SYSTEM. THERE IS NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NICHOLE (02W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2797 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1111 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627261-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:22:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA43580; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44822 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220721.CAA05148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd13c717e3a4034740126531f475ed90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 863 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 23.9N4 119.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 119.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2885 UNCLAS 101800Z0 --- 24.5N1 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.3N0 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 24.1N7 119.5E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE 100530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION AND GENERAL CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE. HOWEVER, THE LATEST IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL AREA OF CENTRAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED WATERVAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL STRAIGHT LINE FLOW OVER THE AREA INSTEAD OF A DIVERGENT OUTFLOW PATTERN AS WAS PREV IOUSLY EVIDENT. TD 02W (NICHOLE) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A SLOW NORTHWESTWAR PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2885 UNCLAS D WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION, BUT REMAINING AT MINIMAL INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 10 0600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATIO N. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNINGS ( WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2885 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1533 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:27:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA43600; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44832 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220721.CAA05152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 352271e847ad925c114f096a02cfea3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 WTPN32 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 24.2N8 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCC1100 UNCLAS 110000Z2 --- 24.8N4 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.3N0 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 24.3N9 119.3E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS TOWARDS THE COAST OF CHINA. 100930Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS LAND. ADDITIONALLY, THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THIS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) HAS LITTLE CHANCE OF INTENSIFYING BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM PAGE 04 RUEDMCC1100 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9),110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES.// BT #1100 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627354-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:22:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA43622; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA36658 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220721.CAA05156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:21:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e49ff4b30a1c98b9112e106d85ed8b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 24.0N6 123.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 123.8E4 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEDMCC1126 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.2N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 26.4N2 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 27.4N3 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 24.3N9 123.4E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO SKIRT THE NORTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER CHINA. THE MOST RECENT INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL PAGE 04 RUEDMCC1126 UNCLAS CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED BUT SOME CONVECTION IS NOTED JUST SOUTH O F THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVEMENT CONTINUES TO BE GUIDED BY THE SUBTROPICA L RIDGE TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARN INGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 0 2W (NICHOLE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1126 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1432 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:26:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45006; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28336 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220724.CAA05170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93ea3cbd3ecaeab575778eba24e2c496 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 24.3N9 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEDMCC3795 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 24.5N1 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 24.4N0 119.2E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) IS QUASI-STATIONARY WEST OF TAIWAN. THERE HAS NOT BEEN SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR SOME TIME AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CAN NO LONGER DETECT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3795 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:25:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45026; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19906 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220724.CAA05174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:24:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbc6ec8435732d720a7635a1f6c6e8a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 24.7N3 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEDMCC3802 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 26.1N9 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 27.2N1 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 25.0N7 122.2E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW SOME CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE NORTHEAST TIP OF TAIWAN. HOWEVER, THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH TAIWAN BEFORE HEADING PAGE 04 RUEDMCC3802 UNCLAS TOWARDS CHINA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) IF WARRANTED. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3802 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39294; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA67676 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220727.CAA05190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36b1be2412210f74965e3c4ff3f3d9b0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 964 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 25.1N8 121.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 121.3E7 --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0711 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.9N6 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 25.3N0 120.8E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTERACTION WITH LAND AS IT PASSED OVER THE NORTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN CAUSED FURTHER WEAKENING OF THE ALREADY DISSIPATING SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, TD 01W HAS NOW ENTERED AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THUS CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM AND THEREFORE MAINTAIN THE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL PAGE 04 RUEDMCC0711 UNCLAS WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #0711 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1817 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627354-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:28:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39312; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA67692 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220727.CAA05194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76761647116071ba554fb43a22b062fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 965 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 23.0N5 118.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 118.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.8N2 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCC1609 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.7N1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.7N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 22.9N3 118.6E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM'S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SHOWN ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY TO BE CLEARLY EXPOSED THUS INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS IN A WEAKENED STATE. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE TD 02W (NICHOLE) IS IN AN AREA OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. PAGE 04 RUEDMCC1609 UNCLAS FINALLY, MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS RESTRICTED TO ITS SOUTH. THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM IS AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE WEAK EASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST PERIOD. TD 02W (NICHOLE) IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SINCE IT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// BT #1609 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627571-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:28:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39336; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29300 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220727.CAA05198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:27:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 013a Amended And To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 595450bf099283b64357ce136b37389c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 966 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 AMD 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 013A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 22.2N6 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 119.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.0N4 119.1E2 PAGE 03 RUEDMCC2490 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.0N4 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.2N6 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 22.1N5 119.0E1. 110917Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLE (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE 110600Z8 WARNING POSITION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY POSITION. ADDITIONALLY, SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AT 110900Z1 INDICATES A PAGE 04 RUEDMCC2490 UNCLAS SURGE OF WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AREA OF TD NICHOLE. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY BASED ON NEW DATA. NICHOLE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A VERY SLOW DRIFT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// BT #2490 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627315-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:32:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44124; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:30:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12100 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:30:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220730.CAA05233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:30:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da78fe7e4c4233a43b52d6a3f4976598 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 22.5N9 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.8N2 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2580 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 23.2N7 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.5N0 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 22.6N0 118.8E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) HAS CONTINUED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. UW- CIMSS WIND SHEER PRODUCTS INDICATE VERTICAL WIND SHEER HAS INCREASED NEAR THE FORMOSA STRAIT. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER-LEVEL PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2580 UNCLAS DIVERGENCE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY AS TD 02W IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING INFLUENCES OF MOSTLY SOUTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130900Z6 (DTG 130753Z9). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// BT #2580 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627250-14563>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:34:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44880; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:33:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18746 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220733.CAA05269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddea389b9465aaf9ab689e95f0205cc2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 100 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 22.8N2 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.9N3 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 01 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCB5303 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.0N5 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.1N6 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 22.8N2 117.7E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 120530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A POORLY DEFINED, EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT ON THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF TD 02W (NICHOLE), UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AS INDICATED ON THE UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR WIND PRODUCT HAVE SEVERELY INHIBITED INTENSIFICATION. THE WEAK EASTERLY PAGE 04 RUEOMCB5303 UNCLAS FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM'S NORTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING IT SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST. SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PREVENT INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// BT #5303 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 15:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28166; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:36:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9074252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:36:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44274 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:36:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:36:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220736.CAA05298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 02:36:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02w (nichole) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a79ea6552eb767cc325354764908972 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 25.1N8 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 26.2N0 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4376 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 25.4N1 118.0E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (NICHOLE) HAS DISSIPATED OVER MAINLAND CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 121130Z8 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #4376 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4803 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-19994>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:13:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30508; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:11:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:11:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52986 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230610.BAA29156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfda824dce19e280bc42ee8dbd040ccc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 401 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT 21N3 154E0, NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS RELATED TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST WHICH IS PRODUCING A BROAD DIVERGENCE AREA ALOFT. ADDITIONALLY, 221959Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO FORM UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E IS NOW LOCATED AT 17N8 144E9. AS IN THE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.1, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FOR THE AREA. VISIBLE S ATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POT ENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-13323>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 13:52:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39274; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9102915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39248 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240551.AAA23111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a23df6cb8356ee9ad872322772ae81a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 883 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 21N3 154E0 CURRENTLY SURROUNDS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED ON 24N6 146E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WRAP AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS JAPAN AT APROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. IN ADDITION, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. ALSO, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, AS WELL AS UW-CIMSS 150-300 MB DIVERGENCE CHARTS, SHOW THE DIVERGENCE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED AT 19N0 147E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS MASKED AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT FLOWS INTO THE BROAD CIRCULATION FORMED BY THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MENTIONED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626958-25146>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:14:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47844; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47814 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250213.VAA12921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c6bfce95bf813ea60b9e6c0f5c451a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 904 ABPW10 PGTW 250100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250100Z/250600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 142E7 AND IS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. 242230Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED CIRCULATIO N ON THE SURFACE WHICH HAS DEVELOPED AS A RESULT OF UPPER-LEVEL LOW. ANIMATED INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTIO N MAY BE WRAPPING AROUND THE PERIPHERAL OF THIS BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCLUATION. HOWEVER ANY CONVECTION STILL REMAINS OVER 80NM FROM THE EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER AT 28N0 142E7. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR PLOTS INDICATE THE CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED OVER THE LAST 8 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED AT 26N8 149E4. 242230Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY SUGGESTS THERE ARE NUMEROUS VORTICIY MAXIMUMS IN THE PERIPHERAL OF THE LARGE, GRYE-LIKE FEATURE OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. 242330Z4 IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTICULAR CIRCULATION WHICH HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED AT 20 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTH. UW-CIMSS INDICATE THIS CIRCULATION HAS MOVED INTO A REGION WITH ENHANCED OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-25137>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:54:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA26322; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:53:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:53:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA25532 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:53:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:53:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250353.WAA13719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 22:53:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df460ef7783268e1ad965fbbf0ff345b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 27.4N3 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 28.5N5 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.9N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.0N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.7N1 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 32.3N8 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 27.7N6 148.6E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTERWARDS, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE WEST WHICH WILL CAUSE TD 03W TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627067-18209>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:21:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA35942; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:20:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:20:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27908 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250619.BAA15379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8538201c801a1f6fa5d40b6392ecc7da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 361 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 27.4N3 148.8E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W WARNING NR01 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 AND IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400NM TO THE EAST OF THIS CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE UPPER- LEVEL LOW IS BECOMING MORE ELONGATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626504-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:21:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63664; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:20:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:20:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44958 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:20:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:20:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250820.DAA16442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:20:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed2523d7ca5e0a1946310edc2f0b56a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 28.8N8 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.7N0 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.3N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 34.0N7 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.1N0 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 40.2N6 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 29.3N4 148.0E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SLIGHT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IS DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT IS BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF TD 03W. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS RIDGE, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700NM TO THE EAST OF HOKKAIDO JAPAN, IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST. THIS RIDGE COMBINED WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN ARE EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE TD 03W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTERWARDS, TD 03W IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN. TD 03W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AND REMAIN A WEAK TROPICAL STORM THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TD 03W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:48:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30276; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:47:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30512 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:47:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:47:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250847.DAA16534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 03:47:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a407089ab31b92c0f7a95a7fbf43f3c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL B8, ,945#23-50-: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 28.8N8 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 148.3E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.7N0 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.3N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 34.0N7 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.1N0 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS 72 HRS, I T B LWQZ6 ,#0.2N6 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: )-50900Z6 POSITION 29.3N4 148.0E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SLIGHT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IS DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT IS BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF TD 03W. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERS NDICATES THIS RIDGE, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700NM TO THE EAST OF HOKKAIDO JAPAN, IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST. THIS RIDGE COMBINED WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN ARE EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE TD 03W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PER TD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTERWARDS, TD 03W IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT IACTS CLTHE ME-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN. TD 03W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AND REMAIN A WEAK TROPICAL STORM THROUGH THE <8 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TD 03W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:53:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA36056; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:51:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:51:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA63686 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:51:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250951.EAA17097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 04:51:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 232ca6dd452e0af8853fc8f80c66e2cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 898 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 28.8N8 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUEDMCC3560 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.7N0 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.3N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 34.0N7 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCC3560 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.1N0 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 40.2N6 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 29.3N4 148.0E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SLIGHT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IS DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT IS BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF TD 03W. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS RIDGE, LOCATED PAGE 04 RUEDMCC3560 UNCLAS APPROXIMATELY 700NM TO THE EAST OF HOKKAIDO JAPAN, IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST. THIS RIDGE COMBINED WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN ARE EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE TD 03W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTERWARDS, TD 03W IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN. TD 03W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AND REMAIN A WEAK TROPICAL STORM THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TD 03W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3).// BT #3560 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-18201>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:22:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28006; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:21:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:21:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA44882 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:21:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:21:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251221.HAA17748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:21:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33ac66877fea14ee35c28457dc52bf2f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCC3842 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 27.4N3 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 28.5N5 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.9N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC3842 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.0N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.7N1 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 32.3N8 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 27.7N6 148.6E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE PAGE 04 RUEDMCC3842 UNCLAS IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTERWARDS, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE WEST WHICH WILL CAUSE TD 03W TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7).// BT #3842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-18209>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:28:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA30586; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:28:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9116927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA35174 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:28:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251228.HAA17778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:28:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d276987d28bc3e032afceda3533dbe5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 267 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEDMCC3842 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 250000N VMMBVIRN3 148.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASNLON CENTER LOCATEDMBY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDYP- 025 KT, GUSOS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 148.8E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: - 251)00Z0 --- 28.5N5 148.1E4 MAX SSTAINED WINDS - 030 :(5, GUSTS 040 KT ECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALWD AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.9N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KO, GUSTS 045,M VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCC3842 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.0N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.7N1 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 32.3N8 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAI D WINDS - 05) KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 27.7N6 148.6E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE MM PAGE 04 RUEDMCC3842 UNCLAS IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL ORGANIZED AREA OONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. THE WARING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.#TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTERWARDS, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE WEST WHICH WILL CAUSE TD 03W TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD. THE SYSOEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY EAFTERWA RDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT WTPOPPZ6 (DTG 250753Z2), 25155#.3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG CMOZ5) AND 260300Z1 (DUVPIOK= FMMT 251100Z 251212 20010KT 9999 SCT020 SCT040 BECMG 1821 16008KT FEW017 BKN033 TEMPO 21)6 8000 RA BECMG 0710 20008KT 9999 SCT017 -;SCT 020= FIMP 250730Z 251212 12012G25KT 9999 SCT018 SCT050 PROB30 TEMPO 1604 5000 -SHRA FEW010 BKN016 BKNDHRTV FMCH 251100Z 251212 18012G28KT 9999 SCT023 BECMG182,10008KT FEW023 BECMG 0608 18015G25KTLBKN023= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:47:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA40866; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:47:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA43660 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:47:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:47:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251447.JAA18418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:47:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3113bd75c331f8398e9c16f4a80024a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 595 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 30.9N2 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.9N2 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 33.3N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.1N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 36.4N3 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.7N7 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 40.7N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 31.5N9 146.9E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 21 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. IT HAS, HOWEVER, BEGUN SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT DURING THE PAST 4 HOURS. THE WARNING POSTION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TD 03W HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST AND ALLOWS THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH. TD 03W IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF REDUCED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. BY THE 72-HOUR POINT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SUFFER GREATER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT ENTERS THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WIND FLOW AND THUS DECREASE ITS INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626625-18201>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:54:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35934; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:53:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA61004 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:53:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251453.JAA18455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:53:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33b012896c1487b98b7e296277109c1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 670 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 30.9N2 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGQEES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.9N2 147.2E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 33.3N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.1N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 36.4N3 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDEB OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.7N7 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS 281200Z3 --- 40.7N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 31.5N9 146.9E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 21 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. IT HAS, HOWEVER, BEGUN SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT DURING THE PAST 4 HOURS. THE WARNING POSTION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 25113#Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TD 03W HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST AND ALLOWS THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH. TD 03W IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF REDUCED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THL48-HOUR PERIOD. BY THE 72-HOUR POINT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SUFFER GREATER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT ENTERS THE ACCELERATING WESTER6 UPPER-LEVEL WIND FLOW AND TCIXQREASE ITS INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT ICFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0);// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626623-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 23:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26338; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:33:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9118212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA35270 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:33:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:33:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807251533.KAA18798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:33:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 851618268001c02ec2ca534c4739c3ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 30.9N2 147.2E4 PAGE 02 RUEDMCC4219 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.9N2 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 33.3N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.1N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 36.4N3 145.5E5 PAGE 03 RUEDMCC4219 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.7N7 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 40.7N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 31.5N9 146.9E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT PAGE 04 RUEDMCC4219 UNCLAS 21 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. IT HAS, HOWEVER, BEGUN SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT DURING THE PAST 4 HOURS. THE WARNING POSTION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TD 03W HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST AND ALLOWS THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH. TD 03W IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF REDUCED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. BY THE 72-HOUR POINT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SUFFER GREATER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT ENTERS THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WIND FLOW AND THUS DECREASE ITS INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0).// BT #4219 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627479-18201>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 06:04:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA30602; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:02:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:02:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30416 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:48:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807252048.PAA21959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:48:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e231e3a97d547b7a5c0de2d15822a402 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 495 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 32.3N8 146.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 146.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 34.6N3 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 36.7N6 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 38.2N3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 39.6N8 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 42.3N9 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 32.9N4 145.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION OF TD 03W HAS BECOME EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 35NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS PORTRAYED ON UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR PRODUCTS IS CREDITED FOR THIS RESTRICTION IN THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ESCAPE FROM THE ORBIT OF THE GYRE TO ITS SOUTHWEST AND MOVE NORTHWARD ABOVE THE RIDGE AND INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE EAST OF TD 03W IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES THROUGH AN AREA OF DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AT THE 72-HOUR POINT HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ABOVE THE RIDGE AND INTO INCREASED SHEAR OF THE WESTERLY WIND FLOW. THE COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN TD 03W AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627483-18206>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 06:04:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA39358; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA18692 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807252056.PAA22010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 15:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3513c88a3a65fe41942849635cda7671 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 541 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 32.3N8 146.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 146.1E2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 34.6N3 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 36.7N6 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 38.2N3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 39.6N8 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 42.3N9 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 32.9N4 145.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH= NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOW= LVEL CIRCULATION OF TD 03W HAS BECOME EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY 35NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS PORTRAYED ON UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR PRODUCTS IS CREDITED FOR THIS RESTRICTION IN THE SYSTEM;S DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ESCAPE FROM THE ORBIT OF THE GYRE TO ITS SOUTHWEST AND MOVE NORTHWARD ABOVE THE RIDGE AND INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE EAST OF TD 03W IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVNTHROUGH AN AREA OF DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AT THE 72-HOUR POINT HOWEVER, THE SYEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ABOVE THE RIDGE AND INTO INCREASED SHEAR OF THE WESTERLY WIND FLOW. THE COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN TD 03W AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260910Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627490-18209>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 06:13:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA43764; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:11:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 17:11:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30304 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:27:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807252127.QAA22304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 16:27:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90102153fde67280b579578304ee1c4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 183 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 32.3N8 146.1E2 PAGE 02 RUEDMCC5251 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 146.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 34.6N3 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 36.7N6 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 38.2N3 145.2E2 PAGE 03 RUEDMCC5251 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 39.6N8 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 42.3N9 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 32.9N4 145.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION OF TD 03W HAS BECOME EXPOSED AND APPROXIMATELY PAGE 04 RUEDMCC5251 UNCLAS 35NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS PORTRAYED ON UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR PRODUCTS IS CREDITED FOR THIS RESTRICTION IN THE SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ESCAPE FROM THE ORBIT OF THE GYRE TO ITS SOUTHWEST AND MOVE NORTHWARD ABOVE THE RIDGE AND INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE EAST OF TD 03W IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES THROUGH AN AREA OF DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AT THE 72-HOUR POINT HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ABOVE THE RIDGE AND INTO INCREASED SHEAR OF THE WESTERLY WIND FLOW. THE COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN TD 03W AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6).// BT #5251 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:56:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA35206; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30526 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:54:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:54:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260154.UAA24800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:54:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a642b264949306533ccae6f3b4875bf9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 34.6N3 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.1N2 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.2N7 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 42.8N4 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 35.5N3 144.9E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS CONTINUED ITS NORTHERLY TRACK AT 23 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND IN TENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 01W IS A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 09:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43688; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35218 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260155.UAA24805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 20:55:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1a2134bac78c1613eec01220a574395 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 34.6N3 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.1N2 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.2N7 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 42.8N4 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 35.5N3 144.9E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS CONTINUED ITS NORTHERLY TRACK AT 23 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND I N TENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 01W IS A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626136-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 10:44:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44748; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:42:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:42:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17850 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:42:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260242.VAA25412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 21:42:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8881b17c8d9fa70256614675d3615309 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 34.6N3 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.1N2 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.2N7 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 42.8N4 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 35.5N3 144.9E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AT 23 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 03W IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL BANDING FEATURES MEASURES APPROXIMATELY 90NM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR, AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS EAST. AFTER THE 12 HOUR PERIOD THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE EAST AS IT ENCOUNTERS WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF COLD WATER AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:18:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA35898; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:17:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA35102 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260316.WAA25823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bae0d3d9f175dc3c74532b367a88b2c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 326 ABPW10 PGTW 250200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260200Z/260600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 34.6N3 144.8E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W WARNING NR05 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 30N3 142E7 AND IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THIS LARGE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 23N5 144E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 252312Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN AN AREA THAT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS SIMILAR TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WHEN IT WAS IN ITS FORMATION STAGES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:21:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA36068; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:20:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:20:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22602 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:18:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:18:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260318.WAA25831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:18:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcd888ec41efa269cfb5f89e5aaa4e19 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCC5885 UNCLAS 260000Z8 --- 34.6N3 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.1N2 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.2N7 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCC5885 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 42.8N4 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 35.5N3 144.9E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AT 23 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 03W IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL BANDING FEATURES MEASURES APPROXIMATELY 90NM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR, AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS EAST. AFTER THE 12 HOUR PERIOD THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE EAST AS IT ENCOUNTERS WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE PAGE 04 RUEDMCC5885 UNCLAS BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF COLD WATER AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8).// BT #5885 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4305 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627014-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:47:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12270; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:46:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA43720 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260645.BAA27668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 911802b382a547c7ea52bb49f01b05e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 34.6N3 144.8E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W WARNING NR05 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 30N3 142E7 AND IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UW-CIMSS SHEAR PLOTS SHOW THE UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE IS ABOVE THIS CIRCULATION HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE WEST AND IS SMALLER IN AREAL COVERAGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 144E9 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS. UW- CIMMS DIVERGENCE CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE REGION. DESPITE FAVORABLE GENESIS CONDITIONS, AN ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1210 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:27:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA22636; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:25:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA47706 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:25:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260725.CAA28051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:25:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b91f0803160c9e23ea32417c50d2976 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 36.5N4 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.5N4 144.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 39.0N2 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 41.1N6 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 37.1N1 144.6E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH HAS LEFT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION COMPLETELY EXPOSED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627182-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:35:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA56312; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA50918 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:34:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260734.CAA28086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:34:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bd545190a91509645af54cf324a777c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 WTPN31 PGTW 260800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING VOSITION: 260600Z4 --- 36.5N4 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0250(5, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.5N4 144.5E4 FORECSTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 39.0N2 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPIC L CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 41.1N6 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:49:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA50788; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:48:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:48:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA47694 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:48:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260747.CAA28147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 02:47:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e84012c4e9bae1353ab3dfa308443bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCB0116 UNCLAS 260600Z4 --- 36.5N4 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.5N4 144.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 39.0N2 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 41.1N6 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0116 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 37.1N1 144.6E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH HAS LEFT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION COMPLETELY EXPOSED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #0116 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627264-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:55:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22546; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:54:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9125349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:54:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA50688 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:54:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807261354.IAA01255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 08:54:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 711702d633d6e7ce47fde9b0fc151d7c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCC7218 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 27.4N3 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 28.5N5 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.9N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC7218 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.0N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.7N1 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 32.3N8 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 27.7N6 148.6E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE PAGE 04 RUEDMCC7218 UNCLAS IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE WEST AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTERWARDS, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE WEST WHICH WILL CAUSE TD 03W TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7).// BT #7218 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-7019>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 13:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39872; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39838 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270532.AAA11841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec03fffb8e547f587e97e30bc27295df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 616 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260753ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260600Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 36.5N4 144.5E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W FINAL WARNING NR06 (WTPN31 PGTW 260900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 HAS BECOME EMBEDDED IN SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N4 145E0. 270430Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY SMALL, EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:15:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28284; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:14:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA33826 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280613.BAA05248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb7896eb1d242705b3301d564f23505b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 110 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-27613>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:10:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA46552; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25536 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290609.BAA29609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fe688d7bdeb009c586c78b74ffe1636 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 902 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 111E3. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN VERY CONSISTENT, SYNOPTIC DATA HAS SUPPORTED A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THIS AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2064 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:44:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25524; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:43:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:43:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59776 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290642.BAA29798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1c723836a5eaf8b3e284469894c7ef4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 921 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 111E3. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN VERY CONSISTENT, SYNOPTIC DATA HAS SUPPORTED A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THIS AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 13:37:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56292; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30920 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300535.AAA23776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 380abcf41825759cabbd477aa65275a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 874 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 111E3 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA, NO CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED. THEREFORE, THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPEMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 13:34:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16800; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9097550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04212 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310530.AAA16875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f366b0df0ea6d51b66f330cd21239150 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JULY/010600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3426 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 13:32:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67666; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9109473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40990 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010528.AAA07439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15133a633660642c1c0b0043ea6103ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 947 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z AUG/020600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14N5 130E4 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 18 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS FORMING. HOWEVER, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS NO CLEAR LOW- LEVEL, ONLY A FEW ASSOCIATED BANDS OF SCATTERED CYCLONICALLY- TURNING CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-29809>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 01:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26364; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:51:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9113876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA09956 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011750.MAA13766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39fc77deaba0f88e206d5b4f65e13c8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 ABPW10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011800Z AUG/020600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED AT 14N5 128E1, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING BENEATH THE ARE A OF CONVECTION, BUT A 011212Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS FAILED TO REFLECT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, 011200Z4 UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS IN A LOW WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAP H 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626176-9897>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:07:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14798; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:06:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20668 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:06:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020206.VAA18947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:06:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcf861778ab6b5be970d5f5cffb2b254 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 14.8N3 126.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 126.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.4N0 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.1N0 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.8N8 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 14.9N4 126.5E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO (04W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO (04W) IS PRESENTLY AT 30 KNOTS BUT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 012330Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND A 011411Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 30 KNOT SURFACE WINDS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO (04W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4587 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626257-9897>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:28:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67802; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:27:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9117979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA43718 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:27:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA19047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020227.VAA19047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 21:27:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29a0aa9863ca02c001e09dcd19ab0bfa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 COR 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 14.8N3 126.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 126.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.4N0 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.1N0 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.8N8 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 14.9N4 126.5E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W IS PRESENTLY AT 30 KNOTS BUT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 012330Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND A 011411Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 30 KNOT SURFACE WINDS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT NAME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626453-9897>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 12:37:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA41204; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 23:36:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 23:35:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67810 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 23:35:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 23:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020435.XAA20250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 23:35:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e719d34e19a2ea96fc421e438452913 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB1391 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 14.8N3 126.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 126.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.4N0 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEOMCB1391 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.7N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.1N0 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.8N8 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEOMCB1391 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 14.9N4 126.5E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W IS PRESENTLY AT 30 KNOTS BUT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 012330Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND A 011411Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING 30 KNOT PAGE 05 RUEOMCB1391 UNCLAS SURFACE WINDS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0).// BT #1391 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1905 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 13:44:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41144; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:40:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:40:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA34388 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020539.AAA20808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f5a223985c506e395dccebbe3120005 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z AUG/030600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N3 126.7E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY REPORTED NEAR 14N5 128E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626679-23586>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 16:17:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA09756; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:16:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:16:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26116 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:16:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:16:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020816.DAA22118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:16:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da5a8738db820e2f23d58fb8ed235392 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 14.7N2 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.3N0 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.7N5 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.0N0 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.6N9 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 14.8N3 125.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AT 9 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 020530Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-27265>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:01:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40960; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:58:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:57:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA62702 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:57:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:57:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020857.DAA22328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 03:57:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c8788534dd5381a0b291eca3e4273f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 020 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNIVPVR 002 92 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLO NE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 14.7N2 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 125.5E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.3N0 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 17:23:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA09796; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:22:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9120406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA09746 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:21:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020921.EAA22633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 04:21:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bbe12b0a262eb03415b3d4a00de5ffae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 619 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 14.7N2 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2104 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.3N0 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.7N5 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2104 UNCLAS 040600Z0 --- 19.0N0 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.6N9 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 14.8N3 125.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AT 9 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 020530Z0 PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2104 UNCLAS SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6).// BT #2104 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-27265>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 22:24:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26316; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:23:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:23:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41134 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:23:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:23:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021423.JAA24740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:23:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66efb2bcfc4071fd4e1e5dc07b2ad7ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 281 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 14.8N3 124.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 124.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.9N5 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.2N0 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.6N5 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.0N2 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.7N1 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 15.1N7 124.4E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) OTTO (04W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON. WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KTS). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TS OTTO HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS OTTO SHOULD START A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. TS OTTO SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UW-CIMSS SHEAR ANALYSIS SHOWS TS OTTO WILL CONTINUE UNDER A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 22:46:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA27934; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:45:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9121881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47116 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:45:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021445.JAA24953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 09:45:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Deliverypreq To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 086a446283a7a47bd0232896f4d33bad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 646 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERYPREQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROQICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 14.8N3 124.7E4 MOVEMENTSPAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEVEES AT 08 KTS #0 POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BMBOON CENTER LOCAT BY SATELLITE PRESEVT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 124.734 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AO: 9 030000Z3 --- 15.9N5 123.6E2- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050KT RADIUYLOF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.2N0 1;9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS TT KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KO 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.6N5 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM MRTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTSO EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.0N2 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM ADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE , 060 NM ELSEXYE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID ATMMW 051200Z8 --- 22.7N1 119.1E2 MAX SUSTACNED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT CISXAP25 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 15.1N7 124.4E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) OTOO (04W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON. WARNIMG POSITION S BASED UPON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED U.. - $;94-( CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KTS). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TSPOTTO HMH INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WEST UNG THE INFLUENCE OFNTHE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS OTTO SHOULD START A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. TS MTTO SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UW-CIVSS SHEAR ANALYSIS SHOWS TS OTTO WILL CONTINUE UNDER A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMKM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626997-27270>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:56:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA62640; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:54:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:54:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA62612 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:54:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:54:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021554.KAA25555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:54:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5fe335f95b94ef5e363ab434370f6db4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 14.8N3 124.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 124.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.9N5 123.6E2 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3952 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.2N0 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.6N5 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3952 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.0N2 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.7N1 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 15.1N7 124.4E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) OTTO (04W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON. WARNING PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3952 UNCLAS POSITION IS BASED UPON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KTS). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TS OTTO HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS OTTO SHOULD START A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. TS OTTO SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UW-CIMSS SHEAR ANALYSIS SHOWS TS OTTO WILL CONTINUE UNDER A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3).// BT #3952 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626972-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:47:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15126; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:46:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA14596 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:45:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021945.OAA27589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:45:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7d4f773b8c70e9d3e7deb7766cd02d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 484 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.7N3 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 124.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.8N5 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.9N7 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.0N0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.1N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.1N5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 16.0N7 124.2E9. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KNOTS). TS OTTO SHOULD CONTINUE ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TROPICAL OBJECTIVE AID ANALYSES ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST AS EVEN THE NOGAPS ANALYSIS HAS PREDICTED A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF TS OTTO CONTINUES TO ELONGATE THE STORM AND MAY BE RETARDING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHART ANALYSIS AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW THE STORM MOVING INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HENCE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY HAS HELD STEADY SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626984-27270>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:59:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29268; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20546 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808021957.OAA27635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 14:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembas78-,8)-. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a653f172c94fcd1f8e604d794d93873 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 576 WTPN31 PGTW 022000 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBAS78-,8)-. 2. TROPICAL STORM MTTO (04W) 2828 ,4 004 UPGRADED ROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL QLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.7N3 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAIVEB U K V35 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 124.4E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 ---016.8N5 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIULOF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALQD AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.9N7 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 00 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.0N0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS- 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICICLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.1N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE 0 VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 2 051800Z4 --- 22.1N5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, 7-5- 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM #0 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMIQRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 16.0N7 124.2E9. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWEPV XD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGECY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KNOTS). TS OTTO SHOULD CONTINUE ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TROPICAL OBJECTIVE AID ANALYSES ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST AS EVEN THE NOGAPS ANALYSIS HAS PREDICTED A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OFPOS OTTO CONTINUES TO ELONGATE THE STORM AND MAY BE RETARDING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHART ANALYSIS AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW THE STORM MOVING INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HENCE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY HAS HELD STEADY SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0),, 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:19:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA11170; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:18:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:18:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28046 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:18:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:18:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808022018.PAA27949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:18:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dafb5e26932926baa4fbeb64001eb672 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.7N3 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 124.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.8N5 123.5E1 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2895 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.9N7 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.0N0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2895 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.1N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.1N5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 16.0N7 124.2E9. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2895 UNCLAS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KNOTS). TS OTTO SHOULD CONTINUE ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TROPICAL OBJECTIVE AID ANALYSES ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST AS EVEN THE NOGAPS ANALYSIS HAS PREDICTED A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF TS OTTO CONTINUES TO ELONGATE THE STORM AND MAY BE RETARDING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHART ANALYSIS AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW THE STORM MOVING INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HENCE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY HAS HELD STEADY SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// BT #2895 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1648 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626984-27265>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:44:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA35026; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:43:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9124727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62656 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:43:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:43:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808022043.PAA28129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:43:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d3471b3c3b3027f6882ac8b5f555df6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA. 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE ) WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15,7N3 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREMLAT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASNON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KOVXUPRT KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 124.4E --= FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.8N5 123.5E1 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2895 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTL050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - TP NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 0 0 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 0031800Z2 --- 17.9N7 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.0N0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: GE 04 RUEOMCB2895 UNCLAS 48 HRULVALID AT:.,- 041800Z3 --- 20.1N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINEF WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT A RADIUS OF 0508? 28,$- - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NV NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72-HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z4 --- 22.1N5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 + RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -0WT NM RADIUS OF 03509 28,$- - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 16.0N7 124.2E9. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2895 UNCLAS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 0KNOTS). TS OTTO SHOULD CONTINUE ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TROPICAL OBJECTIVE AID ANALYSES ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST AS EVEN THE NOGAPS ANALYSIS HAS PREDICTED A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF TS OTTO CONTINUES TO ELONGATE THE STORM AND MAY BE RETARDING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER UW-CIMSS SHEAR CPI ANALYSIS AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW THE STORM MOVING INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HENCE, THE FMRECAST INTENSITY HAS HELD STEADYPWNCE THE PREIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. RFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTO 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// BT ?2895 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626383-20786>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45768; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:22:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9127441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA47286 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:22:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030222.VAA00858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 21:22:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e91c1c6f630bdfba0874d06cb6aee61d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 577 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 16.9N6 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.2N1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.3N3 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.5N7 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 21.6N9 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.7N2 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 17.2N0 123.9E5. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022331Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 022331Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN DOMINANT. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (O4W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-17915>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 12:15:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12956; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:12:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9128363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:12:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA62594 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:12:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030412.XAA01910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 23:12:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b91cacd7ca99c04a426f54a024758f1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 692 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 16.9N6 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.2N1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1088 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.3N3 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.5N7 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1088 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 21.6N9 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.7N2 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 17.2N0 123.9E5. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT PAGE 05 RUEDMCB1088 UNCLAS 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022331Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 022331Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN DOMINANT. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (O4W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1).// BT #1088 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626732-17918>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:01:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA47226; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA37730 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030600.BAA02784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 251659075271585fa19a96d57196b041 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z AUG/040600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 5 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z2 TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N6 124.2E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 5 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627030-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 16:47:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44562; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:45:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26112 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030845.DAA04006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:45:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7c1ba34a29906f1100edfa103ded689 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 18.7N6 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.4N6 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 21.8N1 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 23.1N6 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 24.4N0 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.6N4 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 19.1N1 123.7E3. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 030530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) AND ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY HAVE IMPROVED THE IDENTIFICATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN NORTHWESTWARD AS IT BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY THE SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER CHINA. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR POSITION AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2318 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 16:55:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45680; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:53:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26206 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:53:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030853.DAA04052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 03:53:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f82daf70d783bdd4a90c96148276836a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 630 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 18.7N6 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN PYP NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST BVICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 124.0E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VULID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.4N6 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 21.8N1 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 23.1N6 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 24.4N0 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.6N4 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 19.1N1 123.7E3. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 030530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) AND ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY HAVE IMPROVED THE IDENTIFICATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCU ATION. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN NORTHWESTWARD AS IT BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY THE SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER CHINA. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR POSITION AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-15054>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 17:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44610; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:09:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:09:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA67630 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:09:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA04292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:09:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030909.EAA04292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 04:09:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b4b145492f205c5721b09fd6c8e2bec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 18.7N6 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0029 UNCLAS 031800Z2 --- 20.4N6 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 21.8N1 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 23.1N6 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0029 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 24.4N0 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.6N4 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0029 UNCLAS REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 19.1N1 123.7E3. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 030530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) AND ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY HAVE IMPROVED THE IDENTIFICATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN NORTHWESTWARD AS IT BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY THE SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER CHINA. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR POSITION AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT INTERACTS PAGE 06 RUEOMCB0029 UNCLAS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// BT #0029 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627103-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:49:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA64574; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:47:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:47:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12844 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:47:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031347.IAA07178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:47:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fac1e3dd8a6fed790d39f5f45207bddc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 163 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 20.3N5 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 22.0N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.8N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.2N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 122.7E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS TOWARDS TAIWAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0 (65 KTS). TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO STRIKE THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF TAIWAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627115-15054>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:58:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA57630; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:57:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14604 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:57:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031357.IAA07710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:57:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 079b190732de4ad4f3f4d20bed2f43f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 WTPN31 PGTW 031400 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN MORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 20.3N5 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREEU AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE >0 00 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 123.1E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 22.0N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -,025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.8N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.2N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 122.7E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS TOWARDS TAIWAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. ZHE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0 (65 KTS). 56 9559 (04W) IS EXPECTED TO STRIKE THE SOUTHEAST COASTSOF TAIWAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7)AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627117-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:39:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28216; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:39:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:39:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA37668 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:39:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:39:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031439.JAA09026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:39:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4c1939d686b24a9263888399cc613bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 20.3N5 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0972 UNCLAS 040000Z4 --- 22.0N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.8N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0972 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.2N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 122.7E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS TOWARDS TAIWAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0 (65 KTS). TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO STRIKE THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0972 UNCLAS TAIWAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// BT #0972 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3587 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626924-15049>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:53:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49952; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:50:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA19714 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:50:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031450.JAA09300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 09:50:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f8c91b84cfa3cfdd05d15bad230503f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 384 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 20.3N5 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NOR HEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 123.1E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0972 UNCLAS 040000Z4 --- 22.0N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS UT NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ,9;34 2-534 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.4N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.8N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0972 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.2N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 122.7E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS TOWARDS TAIWAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING IVOWTY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0,(65 KTS). TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO STRIKE THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0972 UNCLAS TAIWAN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// BT ?0972 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-15049>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:45:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA67718; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:43:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA67688 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:43:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:43:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031943.OAA17062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:43:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b7b6d15811138fb1147a068d15bd8eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 21.4N7 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 22.9N3 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.2N8 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.5N2 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.4N2 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 21.8N1 122.1E6. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS TAIWAN AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0 (65 KTS). ANIMATED INFRARED AN D WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRM TY OTTO (04W) IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHWESTERLY COURSE BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN. SINCE WATE R VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM, TY OTTO (04W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MAKES LANDFALL. ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH TAIWAN SHOULD REDUCE TY OTTO=S (04W) INTENSITY SOMEWHAT, THE TYPHOON SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WATER A S IT HEADS INTO MAINLAND CHINA BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICAN T WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627174-15054>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:00:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22770; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:57:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28638 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:57:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808031957.OAA17415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec6abcb0084d45ac47351b59e81c957a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 215 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 21.4N7 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0997 UNCLAS 040600Z0 --- 22.9N3 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.2N8 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.5N2 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCC0997 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.4N2 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 21.8N1 122.1E6. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS TAIWAN AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0 (65 KTS). ANIMATED INFRARED AN D WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRM TY OTTO (04W) IS BEING STEERED PAGE 05 RUEDMCC0997 UNCLAS BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHWESTERLY COURSE BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN. SINCE WATE R VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM, TY OTTO (04W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MAKES LANDFALL. ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH TAIWAN SHOULD REDUCE TY OTTO'S (04W) INTENSITY SOMEWHAT, THE TYPHOON SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WATER A S IT HEADS INTO MAINLAND CHINA BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICAN T WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// BT #0997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:25:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627150-15049>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:18:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA58266; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:11:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9135817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:11:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA50056 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:11:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:11:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808032011.PAA17788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 15:11:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23214836f4a9978d0bc7c1b6362b14d8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 465 WTPN31 PGTW 032000 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MICUTE AVERAGE 031800Z2 --- 21.4N7 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRVLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 122.5E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 22.9N3 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS 041800Z3 --- 24.2N8 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KTI8;$- 025. RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NRTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVE WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS ;) 36 HRS, VALD AT: 050600Z1 0.$;5N2 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNPWCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NMNVVGMMO SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO RI TRPOSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 051800Z4 --- 26.4N2 116.6-<4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 M DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICIT TROPICAL CXLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: .)EWQPPZ6 POSITION 21.8N1 122.1E6. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS T ACKED NORTHANORTHWESTWACD TOWARDS TAIWAN AT 12 KNOOUER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE VNMG LOCATION IS BASED UPONN ANIMATED INFRARED SATELTE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY OF 4.0 (65 KTS). ANIMATED INFARED AN D WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRM TY OTTO (04W) IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHWESTERLY COURSE BEFORE IT MAS LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN. SINCE WATE R VAPORIMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM, TY OTTO (04W) SHOULD ONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MAKES LANDFALL. ALTHOUGH INTERACTION WITH TAIWAN SHOULD REDUCE TY OTTO;S (04W) INTENSITY SOMEWHAT, THE TYPHOON SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WATER A S IT HEADS INTO MAINLAND CHINA BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICAN T WAVE HEIGHT AT PEQIPPZ2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHTIFORMATION. NEXT XWBI- -5 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z)(DTG 040751Z7), 0415.Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG ;6.51Z0)./ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627101-22828>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:05:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22610; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:58:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9139815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:58:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41784 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:58:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040258.VAA23738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:58:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fca11ae9be3e55ab42fb11f17d71b31 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 827 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 22.2N6 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.1N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.1N7 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 24.9N5 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 25.6N3 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.3N1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 22.4N8 121.6E0. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN AND HAS BEEN TRACKING RAPIDLY NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, THE INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY. INTERACTION WITH LAND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF TAIWAN BY THE 12-HOUR POINT. TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN BRIEFLY RE- INTENSIFY WHILE IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT. FINALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN UPON CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHINA. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627347-15933>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:13:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA37634; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:07:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9139867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:06:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA15268 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:06:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA23871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:06:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040306.WAA23871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:06:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (0;w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e74573478ad67f829c4e78b92c642edd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 990 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON OTTO (0;W) WARNING NR 009 #UPGRADED FROM TROTPAL DEQB DWON BLKW L LQMACTIVE TROPICEL YCLONE IN NORTHWESTPACOM MA SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONEPAKI YAGX SETT WARNING POSITIVN: L NSTCEMENT PASM SIX OURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITOIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ONSCENTBOCATED D E W PRESENT WIND DISYQBUTION,9 980 MAX SUINED WINDS - YT CT,-GUSTS 080 KT # # 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 888888888 7<9;34 2-53 8 -00 T NM ELSEWHYE OVMQNY P IVREPEAT POSIT1#;LQWIO L AAV G FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627187-18977>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:01:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA56082; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9140458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:55:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA34506 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:54:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:54:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040354.WAA24325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:54:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 009 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd9091361b20e11deb5ab818028c2df0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 923 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 COR 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 009 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 22.2N6 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.1N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.1N7 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 24.9N5 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 25.6N3 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.3N1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 22.4N8 121.6E0. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN AND HAS BEEN TRACKING RAPIDLY NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, THE INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY. INTERACTION WITH LAND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF TAIWAN BY THE 12-HOUR POINT. TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN BRIEFLY RE- INTENSIFY WHILE IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT. FINALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN UPON CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHINA. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: DELETED LINE THAT READ UPGRADE FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627204-18977>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:21:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA30388; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:15:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9140633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:15:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15264 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:15:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:15:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040415.XAA24507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 23:15:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7013f22c058a16b2ae484cfbe528b74f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 540 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 22.2N6 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0242 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.1N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.1N7 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 04 RUEDMCC0242 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 24.9N5 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 25.6N3 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUEDMCC0242 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.3N1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 22.4N8 121.6E0. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN AND HAS BEEN TRACKING RAPIDLY NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, THE INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY. INTERACTION WITH LAND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF TAIWAN BY THE 12-HOUR POINT. TY OTTO (04W) IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN BRIEFLY RE- INTENSIFY WHILE IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT. FINALLY, THE SYSTEM IS PAGE 06 RUEDMCC0242 UNCLAS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN UPON CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHINA. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// BT #0242 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3176 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627284-18982>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA64734; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:56:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22682 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040555.AAA25565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35c2ac2b7d1322696f6966f0f010874e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z AUG/050600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 9 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N6 121.8E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 9 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2022 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-5390>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 16:45:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30282; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:39:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA41960 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:37:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA26836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040836.DAA26836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 03:36:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 013e87495adb4a1a91ddb2632bf9a9f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 566 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 23.6N1 121.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 121.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.3N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.3N0 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.0N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.8N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 23.8N3 120.9E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 11 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. HOWEVER, THE LAND MASS AND PRIMARILY THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL TAIWAN BOTH WEAKENED IT AND SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE, ITS STEERING INFLUENCE, CONTINUES TO BUILD EASTWARD. TY OTTO (04W) WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE IT IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY AGAIN AS IT TRAVERSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT. CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA WILL INTRODUCE FURTHER LAND INTERACTION AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SO THAT IT IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627359-21220>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 17:16:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA58132; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:13:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9142026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA45750 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:12:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA27109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:12:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040912.EAA27109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 04:12:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 788cbdbee014a57b7ad5ed77dd2f570b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 123 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 23.6N1 121.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 121.1E5 PAGE 03 RUEDMCC1253 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.3N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.3N0 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEDMCC1253 UNCLAS OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.0N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.8N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUEDMCC1253 UNCLAS 040900Z3 POSITION 23.8N3 120.9E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 11 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. HOWEVER, THE LAND MASS AND PRIMARILY THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL TAIWAN BOTH WEAKENED IT AND SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE, ITS STEERING INFLUENCE, CONTINUES TO BUILD EASTWARD. TY OTTO (04W) WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE IT IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY AGAIN AS IT TRAVERSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT. CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA WILL INTRODUCE FURTHER LAND INTERACTION AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SO THAT IT IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 PAGE 06 RUEDMCC1253 UNCLAS (DTG 050751Z8).// BT #1253 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-26439>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:09:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA29280; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:08:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9142574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:08:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA41802 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:08:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA27981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:08:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041108.GAA27981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:08:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 010a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e700634b7d2eb2bbfc2ee1cbe78f716 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 COR 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 23.6N1 121.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 121.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.3N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.3N0 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.0N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.8N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 23.8N3 120.9E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 11 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. HOWEVER, THE LAND MASS AND PRIMARILY THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL TAIWAN BOTH WEAKENED IT AND SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE, ITS STEERING INFLUENCE, CONTINUES TO BUILD EASTWARD. TY OTTO (04W) WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE IT IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY AGAIN AS IT TRAVERSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT. CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA WILL INTRODUCE FURTHER LAND INTERACTION AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SO THAT IT IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). JUSTIFICATION: TO DELETE UPGRADE REMARK FROM PARA 1. LINE 2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627296-26439>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:18:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA34946; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:18:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9142598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:17:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA64622 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:17:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA28031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:17:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041117.GAA28031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:17:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr Qpa Correooh To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7d0e15147e4c0e3ea3a3aca5535e62e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 COR 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR QPA CORREOOH 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITIOM: 040600Z0 --- 23.6N1 121.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOUY - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CEVOER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WIQG WBIKO, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WAO 80 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER WPRADIIS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ?5;34 2-534 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER :4303-5 09-85: 23.6N1 121.1E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRSN VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.3N9 :20.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.3N0 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM LSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 851800Z4 --- 26;,8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.8N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 23.8N3 120.9E2. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 11 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. HOWEVER, THE LAND MASS AND PRIMARILY THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL TAIWAN BOTH WEAKENED IT AND SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE SUB= TROPICAL RIDGE, ITS STEERING INFLUENCE, CONTINUES TO BUILD EASTWARD. TY OTTO (04W) WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE IT IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY AGAIN AS IT TRAVERSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT. CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA WILL INTRODUCE FURTHER LAND INTERACTION AND SIGNIF QVLWEAKEN THE SYSTEM SO THAT IT IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100+7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). JUSTIFICATION: TO DELETE UPGRADE REMARK FROM PARA 1. LINE 2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627233-26444>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA22774; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:54:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9142811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA30436 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:54:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA28239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041154.GAA28239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 06:54:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 010a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ad8677029c5f7a664e9017a1cd92dbd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 970 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 COR 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 23.6N1 121.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 121.1E5 --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC1799 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.3N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.3N0 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEDMCC1799 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.0N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.8N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 23.8N3 120.9E2. PAGE 05 RUEDMCC1799 UNCLAS TYPHOON OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 11 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. HOWEVER, THE LAND MASS AND PRIMARILY THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL TAIWAN BOTH WEAKENED IT AND SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE, ITS STEERING INFLUENCE, CONTINUES TO BUILD EASTWARD. TY OTTO (04W) WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE IT IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY AGAIN AS IT TRAVERSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT. CONTACT WITH THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA WILL INTRODUCE FURTHER LAND INTERACTION AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SO THAT IT IS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). JUSTIFICATION: TO DELETE UPGRADE REMARK FROM BT #1799 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-26439>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:56:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28362; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:54:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9144159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA09876 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:54:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041354.IAA29984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 08:54:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Otto (04w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c69ee66ba9e8141a0c7e327212b711ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 557 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 24.6N2 120.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 500 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 120.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 26.4N2 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 500 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 27.7N6 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 350 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 29.0N1 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 25.0N7 120.1E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04 W) HAS CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3265 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627397-26439>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09770; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:09:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9144265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:09:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41752 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:09:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041409.JAA00535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:09:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Otto (04w) Warning Nr 011a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce606095017b34809654fb9ce1f2008b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 839 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 011A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 24.6N2 120.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 120.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 26.4N2 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 27.7N6 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 29.0N1 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 25.0N7 120.1E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM, OTTO REMAINS JUST BELOW TYPHOON INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE TAIWAN STRAIGHT WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD, OTTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND CHINA NEAR FUZHOU. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION. TROPICAL STORM OTTO IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT THE FORECAST NM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626680-26439>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:27:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26344; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:26:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9144341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:26:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34536 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:24:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:24:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041424.JAA00817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 09:24:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Otto (04w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d63c6fc3aabedf40723ee0532d6df7a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 011 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC0750 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 24.6N2 120.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 120.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 26.4N2 119.4E5 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0750 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 27.7N6 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0750 UNCLAS 060000Z6 --- 29.0N1 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 25.0N7 120.1E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) HAS CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM, OTTO REMAINS JUST BELOW TYPHOON INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE TAIWAN STRAIGHT WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD, OTTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND CHINA NEAR FUZHOU. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION. TROPICAL STORM OTTO IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0750 UNCLAS ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG BT #0750 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627443-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:00:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA34506; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:57:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:57:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20632 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:57:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808041957.OAA08439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:57:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b208cb06d56538cd556fe9e13d90dcb2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 25.1N8 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.4N2 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 27.8N7 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.3N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 25.4N1 119.6E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND MORE INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION HAS NEAR THE CENTER OF TY OTTO HAS CAUSED A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. A DECREASE IN LAND INTERACTION AS THE SYSTEM MOVED OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT HAS PROVIDED MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AS OTTO MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION OF CHINA, FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-26444>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:18:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67646; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:15:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:15:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11044 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:15:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042015.PAA08900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:15:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b38d8e1412f1106aa1e3e7e25fd10fa7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 176 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 25.1N8 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.4N2 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 27.8N7 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.3N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 25.4N1 119.6E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND MORE INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF TY OTTO HAS CAUSED A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. A DECREASE IN LAND INTERACTION AS THE SYSTEM MOVED OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT HAS PROVIDED MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AS OTTO MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION OF CHINA, FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3830 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-26444>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:34:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA43650; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:26:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:26:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13168 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:25:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:25:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042025.PAA09081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:25:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 012a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc42a79a19b78ef0e5a29a7568bf2607 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 333 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 COR 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 012A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 25.1N8 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.4N2 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 27.8N7 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.3N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 25.4N1 119.6E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND MORE INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF TY OTTO HAS CAUSED A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. A DECREASE IN LAND INTERACTION AS THE SYSTEM MOVED OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT HAS PROVIDED MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AS OTTO MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION OF CHINA, FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE LINE IN PAR.1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627403-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:29:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA13294; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA58310 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:26:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042026.PAA09092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:26:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 593706d0976fe836a9ee3aac937d1470 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 WTPN31 PGTW 042000 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWE-: MAX SUSTAINED WQNDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4900 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627436-26439>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:50:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30788; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:49:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:47:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67698 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:47:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:47:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042047.PAA09539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:47:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otompqpwpwarning Cr 012a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f6707fa1e4c3f221d4ff1e53e5555fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 613 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 COR 1. TYPHOON OTOMPQPWPWARNING CR 012A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CBOMQN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627426-26444>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 04:54:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15266; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:53:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:51:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67606 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:51:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042051.PAA09602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:51:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e986274bce86b02a569a257f21e0d543 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 012 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA6089 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 25.1N8 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.4N2 119.2E3 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA6089 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 27.8N7 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.3N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 25.4N1 119.6E7. PAGE 04 RUEOMCA6089 UNCLAS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND MORE INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF TY OTTO HAS CAUSED A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. A DECREASE IN LAND INTERACTION AS THE SYSTEM MOVED OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT HAS PROVIDED MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AS OTTO MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION OF CHINA, FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// BT #6089 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627445-26444>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 05:00:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67702; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:58:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9150805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:58:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34894 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:57:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:57:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808042057.PAA09732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:57:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Otto (04w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0961722f011eb6080c344f92fc622b1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 726 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 012 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA6089 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 0000--= WARNING POSITION: 00;VLAABVQN8 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATEWLILE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBI7--;) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE LPP PQT NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER NEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 119.8E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.4N2 119.2E3 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA6089 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVBVY 7 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 27.8N7 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AVBWGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.3N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 25.4N1 119.6E7. PAGE 04 RUEOMCA6089 UNCLAS ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON OTTO (04W) HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND MORE INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BAS 41730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CUROPINTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF TY OTTO HAS CAUSED A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. A DECREASE IN LAND INTERACTION AS THE SYSTEM MOVED OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT HAS PRMXOLMORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALLN MAINND CHINA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AS OTTO MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS REGION OF CHINA, FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// BT ?6089 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4663 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625927-27774>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:11:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA41944; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:06:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9152554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA39896 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:03:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:03:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050003.TAA13116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:03:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be38444065ac668973573267b39dbef2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 ABPW10 PGTW 050000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050000Z AUG/050600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041951Z AUG 98// AMPN/TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 042100)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041800Z3 TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N8 119.8E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 042100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 132E6. ALTHOUGH MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES NOT SHOW A DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS IMPROVING PARTICULARLY ON THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: INCLUDE SUSPECT AREA PARA B. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2402 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627415-16311>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 10:44:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16648; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:43:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9155431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:42:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16860 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:42:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:42:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050242.VAA15814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:42:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Otto (04w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7adceee744b3aeb8c3a53cd067a05894 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 212 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 25.9N6 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.5N3 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 26.1N9 118.6E6. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN CHINA. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 10 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS IT CROSSED THE TAIWAN STRAIT. UPON GOING ONSHORE, INTERACTION WITH LAND SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO STEERING BY THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. CONTINUED LAND INTERACTION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AND THEREFORE DISSIPATE TS OTTO (04W) AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2162 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626235-18135>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:31:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA46776; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:30:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9156154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA13220 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050330.WAA16469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 22:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Otto (04w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3c6f6fdb0b976aa07cbcf0ed4388c81 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 013 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA2435 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 25.9N6 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2435 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.5N3 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 26.1N9 118.6E6. TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) IS LOCATED ONSHORE IN CHINA. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING AT 10 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS OTTO (04W) BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED AS IT CROSSED THE TAIWAN STRAIT. UPON GOING ONSHORE, INTERACTION WITH LAND SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO STEERING BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. CONTINUED LAND INTERACTION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AND THEREFORE DISSIPATE TS OTTO (04W) AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2435 UNCLAS (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #2435 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:07:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25132; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:07:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9157526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:07:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52990 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050606.BAA18555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4822cbdf10ee59d7c85af908b4eddd8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 555 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z AUG/060600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) FINAL WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N6 118.8E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) FINAL WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 132E6 IS NOW RELOCATED TO NEAR 10N1 130E4. THE OVERALL AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, 050017Z3 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA REMAINS ILL-DEFINED WITH NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627501-2384>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 03:16:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA51190; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:05:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9165457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:05:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20948 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:05:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808051905.OAA00995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:05:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 051851z Aug 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70d5bd2cd2e891c644c58824d65b4284 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 WTPN21 PGTW 051900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 051851Z AUG 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.1N2 129.6E8 TO 14.4N9 127.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 051730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 129.2E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED IN AREAL EXTENT, COVERING AN AREA OF LESS THAN 150 NM. ADDITIONALLY, 051130Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA WITH TIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING IS LOCATED NEAR THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED. HOWEVER, UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN DIVERGENCE AND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW AN AREA OF ENHANCED OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 061900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-2377>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:49:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12972; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:48:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9166615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:48:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30868 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:48:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:48:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808052048.PAA03579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:48:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 051851z Aug 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07561e869452aafdf65efed06a52ebff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 826 WTPN21 PGTW 051900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 051851Z AUG 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.1N2 129.6E8 TO 14.4N9 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2108 UNCLAS 127.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 051730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 129.2E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED IN AREAL EXTENT, COVERING AN AREA OF LESS THAN 150 NM. ADDITIONALLY, 051130Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA WITH TIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING IS LOCATED NEAR THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED. HOWEVER, UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN DIVERGENCE AND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW AN AREA OF ENHANCED OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. BT #2108 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 13:50:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62810; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:49:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19726 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060548.AAA11212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa2c02bbe6d5409db68c3b06065d64a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 825 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z AUG/070600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051951Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 128E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 060019Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING MORE CLEARLY DEFINED. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION, HOWEVER, HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST WIND SHEAR CHARTS FROM UW SUGGEST SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4321 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626777-26129>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:49:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36736; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:48:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22630 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:47:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060747.CAA12273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 02:47:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75db6d26aa864703b3891425fca83373 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 300 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128.0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A SMALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY TO 30 KNOTS AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BUT MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2360 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:10:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA47606; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:09:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9173021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA60130 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:09:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:09:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060909.EAA13207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 04:09:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e403315089c253c088eb546d1f90abf3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 505 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEDMCB5478 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCB5478 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 13.2N6 128.0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 060530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS A SMALL SYSTEM THAT HAS FORMED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM A 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TAKE A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY PAGE 04 RUEDMCB5478 UNCLAS TO 30 KNOTS AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BUT MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051851Z0 AUG 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900Z5). NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// BT #5478 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2270 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627571-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:40:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16790; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:38:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA61572 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:38:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808061938.OAA24912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:38:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e1112bc70874e84701e88c7b424f2f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 832 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 14.1N6 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.2N8 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.4N2 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 14.4N9 126.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A NORTHWESTWARDLY COURSE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SMALL SYSTEM HAS LOST SOME OF ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 060902Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED, AND THE UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 05W IS NOW UNDER LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TD 05W TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:15:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA64692; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:12:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30626 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:12:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:12:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062012.PAA25758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:12:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 287c7ce49c7434bf8b56fbbea94e9f79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 392 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEOMCC8806 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 14.1N6 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.2N8 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCC8806 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.4N2 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 14.4N9 126.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A NORTHWESTWARDLY COURSE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SMALL SYSTEM HAS LOST SOME OF ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 060902Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED, AND THE UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 05W IS NOW UNDER LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TD 05W TO INTENSIFY PAGE 04 RUEOMCC8806 UNCLAS SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// BT #8806 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-21412>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19360; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:35:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19328 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:35:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:35:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062035.PAA26316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:35:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f51e1d3b359b0c7ed3b9afdac2ab9dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 758 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEOMCC8806 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 14.1N6 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREEIVL06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM VMWTION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.4E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VUDMKAAVL PUPYPPZ3 --- 15.2N8 125.:E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT;0310 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - EP KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCC8806 UNCLAS 36 VYS, VALID AT: 180600Z4 --- 17.4N2 123.0E6 0MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT 062100Z9 POSITPBM 14.4N9 126.1. TROPICAL DERE2)(TD) 05W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRAGED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THEPWARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 WATBLTD 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTICUE A NORTHWESTWARDLY COURSE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SMALL SYSTEM HAS LOST SOME OF ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 060902Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED, AND THE UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 05W IS NOW UNDER LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR. THIS SHOULDICVOD 05W TO INTENSIFY PAGE 04 RUEOMCC8806 UNCLAS SLUGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 2 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IFTHE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTIKIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THENA STANDARD 72 HOUR TMPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// BT ?8806 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627560-21417>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:51:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49968; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:49:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9179863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:49:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19286 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:47:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:47:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808062047.PAA26550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 15:47:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb6095155859475a3d4207de135f0a54 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 973 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 14.1N6 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.2N8 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2N9 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.4N2 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 14.4N9 126.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A NORTHWESTWARDLY COURSE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SMALL SYSTEM HAS LOST SOME OF ITS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 060902Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED, AND THE UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 05W IS NOW UNDER LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TD 05W TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626137-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 13:39:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56178; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9185656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA56154 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070537.AAA02946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb54525994a1eedccfb6399e9a01add4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 652 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z AUG/080600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061951Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 062100)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 125.4E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (WTPN31 PGTW 062100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 125.4E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 7N7 148E3 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR 8 HOURS. CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. HOWEVER, THERE IS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND UW SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 5N5 171E9 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR 10 HOURS. A 061129Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF TROUGHING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND UW SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626897-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:23:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40122; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:18:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:18:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60072 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:18:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070818.DAA04391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:18:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed777035d2f758616498c9d1c1f63937 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 15.8N4 125.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 125.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.3N1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0N2 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 16.2N9 124.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 AND 070531Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM PGTW AND KGWC. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 070530Z5 AND 070531Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD BUT HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL AND ITS CONVECTION HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. LATEST IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF 700 MB STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. IT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF LUZON AND INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-12080>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:43:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22588; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:42:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:42:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15144 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:42:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:42:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070842.DAA04552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 03:42:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immevmldelivery Req Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d6544023fc77d879c11f03d009060ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 126 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. IMMEVMLDELIVERY REQ AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 0706;0Z3 --- 15.8N4 125.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITIONPIBLYMLTO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT 4303-5 09-85: 15.8N4 125.0E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: ,1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 G/ 12 KTS 24 HRS, ALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0N2 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 16.2N9 124.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 AND 070531Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM PGTW AND KGWC. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 070530Z5 AND 070531Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD BUT HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD WSPEED OO 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL AND ITS CONVECTION HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. LATEST IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF 700 MB STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. IT IS FORECAST TO CRMSS THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF LUZON AND INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WHICH STOULD ALLOL THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERW SE, 36 HOUR TROPQCCRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DOVMML0719 5 1Z3) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3724 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 17:03:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA22606; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:01:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9186375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA41744 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:00:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA04618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:00:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070900.EAA04618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 04:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Immediate Delivery Req Amembassy Manila To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b95cfd8edb4897f9277e58e01a1f9ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 277 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ AMEMBASSY MANILA 2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 003 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA2086 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 15.8N4 125.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 125.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.3N1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 120.9E2 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2086 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0N2 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 16.2N9 124.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 AND 070531Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM PGTW AND KGWC. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 070530Z5 AND 070531Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD BUT HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL AND ITS CONVECTION HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. LATEST IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE CONTINUED PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2086 UNCLAS INFLUENCE OF 700 MB STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. IT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF LUZON AND INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// BT #2086 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:56:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23506; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:54:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA19886 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:54:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808071954.OAA15859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 14:54:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51194f05eb8b41ba0c689d3f6562b7dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 109 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.9N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.4N2 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT INTERACTS WITH LUZON, BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WARM WATERS AS IT HEADS TOWARDS MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627509-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:08:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22592; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:07:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30510 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:07:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:06:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072006.PAA16236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:06:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Wwrning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8ea374c651eba8cc49d1c10c1c583bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 321 WTPN31 PGTW 072000 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WWRNING 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TOPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHNPAC MAX SUSTEINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 1219E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION SED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 (5, GUSTSP045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEGWX QP KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3OKH MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECOOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 3/$3; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:27:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA41814; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:25:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:25:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67620 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:25:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072022.PAA16446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:22:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a57ee84929972f810bf1b470b149a594 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 675 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.9N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.4N2 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT INTERACTS WITH LUZON, BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WARM WATERS AS IT HEADS TOWARDS MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). DUE TO THE UPGRADE FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM, THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW SWITCH FROM THE 12 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 36 HOURS TO 6 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 72 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:32:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA27946; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:29:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9191930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:29:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19736 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072029.PAA16530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: daa9a2efb4c426dbb18ef6cc7c0d1917 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 776 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.9N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.4N2 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT INTERACTS WITH LUZON, BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WARM WATERS AS IT HEADS TOWARDS MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). DUE TO THE UPGRADE FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM, THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW SWITCH FROM THE 12 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 36 HOURS TO 6 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 72 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627516-12080>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:46:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26208; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:45:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:45:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20762 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:45:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072044.PAA16897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 15:44:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dce88b82831a82577be05a1c4ea0fa82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 022 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA1249 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA1249 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.9N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEOMCA1249 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.4N2 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT INTERACTS WITH LUZON, BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WARM WATERS AS IT HEADS TOWARDS MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUEOMCA1249 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). DUE TO THE UPGRADE FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM, THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW SWITCH FROM THE 12 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 36 HOURS TO 6 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 72 HOURS.// BT #1249 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 05:10:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39364; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:09:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:09:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA62898 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:09:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072109.QAA17421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:09:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7543b2734405f36caeeea699500c3a5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.9N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.4N2 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED ACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWA RD AT 12 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627379-12085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 05:12:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA40182; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:12:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9192231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:12:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA56286 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:12:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:12:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808072112.QAA17464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 16:12:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2639db4553fe1b39fcd684792f135df9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 464 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.9N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 17.4N2 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT INTERACTS WITH LUZON, BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY OVER WARM WATERS AS IT HEADS TOWARDS MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUEDMCB1165 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). DUE TO THE UPGRADE FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM, THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL NOW SWITCH FROM THE 12 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 36 HOURS TO 6 HOURLY WARNINGS OUT TO 72 HOURS.// BT #1165 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626018-3391>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 11:37:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA64568; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:36:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9194972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:36:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39972 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:36:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080336.WAA21272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 22:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad5f0756d5f07534f010139fb78aedb3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 005 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5207 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 17.3N1 122.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 122.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.8N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.5N4 119.4E5 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5207 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.3N3 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.1N3 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5207 UNCLAS 110000Z2 --- 22.5N9 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 17.4N2 121.8E2. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. IT IS CURRENTLY JUST INLAND FROM THE EASTERN COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING LOCATION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TS PENNY (05W) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. INTERACTION WITH LAND APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING THE SYSTEM AS IT CONTINUES ONSHORE IN LUZON. OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE ON THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO STEERING BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES LUZON DUE TO FURTHER LAND INTERACTION. AN AREA PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5207 UNCLAS OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LOCATED JUST WEST OF LUZON AND IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT THE SYSTEM'S INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE 24- HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARD, TS PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY UPON REACHING MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS. BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST CHINA AND BEGIN WEAKENING DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).// BT #5207 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4768 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:58:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19066; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:54:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:54:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12902 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:54:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:54:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080854.DAA22869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 03:54:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression Penny (05w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08182b1b971500ce7f6bf21884c1dcaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 120 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 17.7N5 121.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 121.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.4N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.2N2 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.1N4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.9N3 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 17.9N7 121.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NO RTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INT ENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626594-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:02:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15006; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:00:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:00:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37772 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:00:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:00:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080900.EAA22901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:00:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1;0tropical Depression Penny (05) Wavung Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2664747caec64cebc6347ddb962cdc6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 204 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1;0TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05) WAVUNG NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE INPVORTHWESTPAC MV YVVNIDCIKIMBM9, 9,3+-MINUTE AVERAGE WANING POSITION: 0806PZ4 ---17.7V5 1MRE8 92 0 MOVEMENT PAST SIXHHOURS - 290 DEGREE S AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM VOSITION BASED ON CENOER LOCATED BY SATELWITE PRESENTHCIKWFCIFI(--; MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -8030 KT, GUSTS 04PKT REPEAT POSUT: 1-7N5 11.4E8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626436-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:11:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45000; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:09:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:09:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24758 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:09:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:09:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080909.EAA22992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:09:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression Penny (05w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d60a8ca9d2e1e4c2a536e537709e767e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 341 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE - +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1119 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-26360>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:14:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15202; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:12:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:12:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64582 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:12:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:12:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080912.EAA23014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:12:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression Penny (05w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a90227633606764964c93353ab9698a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 457 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 17.7N5 121.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 121.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.4N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.2N2 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.1N4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.9N3 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 17.9N7 121.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS CONTINUED TO BE RESTRICTED ON ITS NORTHERN HALF. THE SYSTEM HAS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AS A RESUL T, TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH LAND INTERACTION WHILE OVER LUZON CONSIDERABLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM, TD PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF TH E SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RETUR N TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. STRONG STEERING BY THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND LESS SURFACE FRICTION ARE FORECAST TO ACCELERA TE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS WELL. TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF HONG KONG BY THE END OF THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. INTERAC TION WITH THE LAND MASS OF SOUTHEASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TD PENNY (05W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEX T WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z 2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:23:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15024; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:21:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:21:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA41886 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:21:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080921.EAA23035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:21:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression Penny (05w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bee0b4b5753d13e22e8f594dde5a56f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 659 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEOMCB0417 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 17.7N5 121.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 121.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.4N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.2N2 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0417 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.1N4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0417 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.9N3 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 17.9N7 121.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM'S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS CONTINUED TO BE RESTRICTED ON ITS NORTHERN HALF. THE SYSTEM HAS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0417 UNCLAS STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AS A RESULT, TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH LAND INTERACTION WHILE OVER LUZON WILL CONSIDERABLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM, TD PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. STRONG STEERING BY THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND LESS SURFACE FRICTION ARE FORECAST TO ACCELERATE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS WELL. TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF HONG KONG BY THE END OF THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF SOUTHEASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TD PENNY (05W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// BT #0417 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:01:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44672; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37736 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080959.EAA23136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23667ebffdf862ead45c737d1ac87e85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z AUG/090600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 062100)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N1 122.1E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNEY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 148E3 HAS SHOWN NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ONLY LINEAR CONVERGENCE IS EVIDENT AT THE SURFACE WITH NO LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY. BRIEF PERIODS OF CONVECTION HAVE ALTERNATED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS CONSIDERABLE LINEAR CONVERGENCE AT THE SURFACE, WHILE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR OUTFLOW EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-8085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:41:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24802; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:40:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:40:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15304 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:40:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:40:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081440.JAA24242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 09:40:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w (penny) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3f9bdc53ea5cad304a186580a3bf46d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 564 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 18.2N1 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.8N7 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.6N6 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.4N6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.3N6 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.6N0 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 18.3N2 119.6E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) CONTINUED TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST BUT HAS ACCELERATED AS IT MOVED ACROSS LUZON DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE AND 081117Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATION SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TD 05W IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20NM NORTHEAST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO MOVE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9-10 KNOTS WITH THE PREDOMINANT STEERING CAUSED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO REORGANIZE AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE AND INTO THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) WILL ONCE AGAIN REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12HR PERIOD AND INTENSITIES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE UNTIL IT APPROACHES THE CHINESE COAST APPROXIMATELY 150NM WEST OF HONG KONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3009 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-8085>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:14:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA22686; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:12:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9198545 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:12:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA39306 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:12:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA24429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:12:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808081512.KAA24429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:12:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05w (penny) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3b96ffc12f6af5cbf725f59419a128a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 141 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCB2597 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 18.2N1 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.8N7 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.6N6 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2597 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.4N6 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.3N6 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2597 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.6N0 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 18.3N2 119.6E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) CONTINUED TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST BUT HAS ACCELERATED AS IT MOVED ACROSS LUZON DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE AND 081117Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATION SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TD 05W IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20NM NORTHEAST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO MOVE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9-10 KNOTS WITH THE PREDOMINANT STEERING CAUSED BY THE SUBTROPICAL PAGE 05 RUEDMCB2597 UNCLAS RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO REORGANIZE AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE AND INTO THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PENNY) WILL ONCE AGAIN REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12HR PERIOD AND INTENSITIES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE UNTIL IT APPROACHES THE CHINESE COAST APPROXIMATELY 150NM WEST OF HONG KONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// BT #2597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3572 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:44:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14866; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:42:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:42:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA51198 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:42:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:42:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082042.PAA27091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:42:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3206d7fedc178a75af503bb69a25415 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 293 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 18.8N7 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.6N8 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.7N0 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.7N1 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 19.0N0 118.3E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDI CATING A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATION SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30NM NORTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OUT OF A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH AN INDICATION OF A POSSIBLE BANDING FEATURE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 10-11 KNOTS WITH THE PREDOMINANT STEERING CAUSED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CHINESE COAST BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4006 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAB12950; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:57:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:57:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41860 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:57:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082057.PAA27189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 15:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29556c94fc55dd0356a10ba5c191a73b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 442 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 18.8N7 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BSATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 118.8E8 FOREVS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.6N8 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KTLGUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.7N0 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLM ) OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.7N1 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 19.0N0 118.3E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITEO IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDI CATING A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CURRENT INTENTY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATIONLSHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30NM NORTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OUT OF A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVENMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED LITH AN INICATION OF A POSSIBLE BANDING FEATURE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A CMNTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 10-11,KNOTS WITH THE PREDOMINANT STEERING CAUSED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL O PATTERN. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CHINESE COAST BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMX SIGNIFICANT WAVE MEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), OQTPPZ5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4902 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:18:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA42766; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:16:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:16:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA60412 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:16:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA27436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:16:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082116.QAA27436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:16:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 008 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b43f299986663efe46efbc2457045d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 897 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 008 CORRECTED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 18.8N7 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.6N8 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.7N0 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.7N1 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 19.0N0 118.3E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATION SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30NM NORTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OUT OF A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH AN INDICATION OF A POSSIBLE BANDING FEATURE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 10-11 KNOTS WITH THE PREDOMINANT STEERING CAUSED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CHINESE COAST BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT WIND RADII AT 12 AND 24-HOUR FORECAST POINTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2356 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-17374>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 05:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA19842; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA19056 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA27617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082151.QAA27617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:51:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b14be81597b46995de579699acbe144 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 445 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEOMCC1977 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 18.8N7 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.6N8 114.8E4 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC1977 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.7N0 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.7N1 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCC1977 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 19.0N0 118.3E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATION SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30NM NORTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OUT OF A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH AN INDICATION OF A POSSIBLE BANDING FEATURE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 10-11 KNOTS WITH THE PREDOMINANT STEERING CAUSED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS PAGE 05 RUEOMCC1977 UNCLAS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CHINESE COAST BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// BT #1977 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627347-17369>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 06:03:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA62582; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:00:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:00:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA26212 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:00:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082200.RAA27773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:00:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression Penny (05w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b4b8d5f83ff5abe5837e4938566bd23 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 586 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 17.7N5 121.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 121.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.4N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.2N2 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.1N4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.9N3 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 17.9N7 121.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM'S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS CONTINUED TO BE RESTRICTED ON ITS NORTHERN HALF. THE SYSTEM HAS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE PAGE 05 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AS A RESULT, TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH LAND INTERACTION WHILE OVER LUZON WILL CONSIDERABLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM, TD PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. STRONG STEERING BY THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND LESS SURFACE FRICTION ARE FORECAST TO ACCELERATE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS WELL. TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF HONG KONG BY THE END OF THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF SOUTHEASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TD PENNY (05W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// BT #7365 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3021 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-17369>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 06:12:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12886; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:08:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9201700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:08:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA04162 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:08:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA27894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:08:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808082208.RAA27894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 17:08:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Deprobwon Penny (05w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c717a5da5fcd1abc35d230d3c862a7f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPROBWON PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 17.7N5 121.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITCON BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 121.4E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.4N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09.KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: ) 090600Z5 --- 19.2N2 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 116.4E2 2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUST S 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.1N4 114.6E2 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.9N3 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 17.9N7 121.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TR 8 592-4$- 5#3 23-5= NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM-S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS CONTINUED TO BE RESTRICTED ON ITS NORTHERN HALF. THE SYSTEM HAS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE PAGE 05 RUEDMCA7365 UNCLAS STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AS A RESULT, TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH LAND INTERACTION WHILE OVER LUZON WILL CONSIDERABLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM, TD PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION M PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. STRONG STEERING BY THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND LESS SURFACE FRICTION ARE FORECAST TO ACCELERATE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS WELL. TD PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MADE LANDFALL SOUTH OF HONG KONG BY THE END OF THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF SOUTHEASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN TD PENY (05W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// BT ?7365 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3582 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:38:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA59994; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9204088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:34:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA41800 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:34:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:34:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090234.VAA00321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 21:34:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 993746fdfbd671dd41b995bb193205d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 827 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 19.2N2 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.0N2 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.8N0 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.7N0 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.5N9 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 19.4N4 117.5E4. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PERSISTENT NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RESTRICTED THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INHIBIT INTENSIFICATION AND PREVENT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFYING SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY JUST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. ONCE ONSHORE, LAND EFFECTS ARE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 11:06:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA62716; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:03:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9204688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56290 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:03:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090303.WAA00728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 22:03:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c0134dc0bf5b271a6ce41caa3155b44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCA7807 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 19.2N2 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.0N2 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.8N0 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA7807 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.7N0 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.5N9 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUEDMCA7807 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 19.4N4 117.5E4. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PERSISTENT NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RESTRICTED THE SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INHIBIT INTENSIFICATION AND PREVENT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFYING SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY JUST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. ONCE ONSHORE, LAND EFFECTS ARE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// BT #7807 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3708 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626300-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:18:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA51006; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:16:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9205859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA50980 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:15:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090615.BAA02248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:15:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94b0a15ce6bd2bec562afa0dc9b780e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z AUG/100600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N2 118.0E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNEY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE DUE TO CONSIDERABLE LOW-LEVEL, LINEAR CONVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW NO DISCERNABLE CYCLONIC ROTATION. HOWEVER, WINDS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 174E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA HAS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, YET THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626491-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 16:49:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14872; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:44:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:44:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA41732 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:44:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:44:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090844.DAA03197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:44:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf0041674f9f1fa75db2b454a28ff50c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 499 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 19.4N4 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.2N5 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.1N5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 19.6N6 116.0E8. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE ITS STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RESTRICTED THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT AND COMPLETELY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD ON THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM, THE STRONG SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO LIMIT INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2751 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626518-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 16:53:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24744; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:51:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44694 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090850.DAA03244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 03:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1# Oopical Torm Vznm (05l Wnwmgpvyp010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23379186aae261abb8dfa1dbf6a94e8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 562 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1# OOPICAL TORM VZNM (05L WNWMGPVYP010 UPORADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAXHUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUOE AVECAGH WARNING POSIT JI 090600Z5 -7- 19.4N4 116.6E4 MOVEMEN PASTZSIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WINN 060 NVXPII POSITION BAYZMNPCPOY LOCA TED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 116.6E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -8045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 0 # 035+ 3)732#343 VECTOZL2 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS , 24 S, VALID AT: 91) 11QQZ78-1-,21.2N5 111.8E19. MAVVN FSN- 04 0(5,,GUSLU 050 KT RJVVIL0350KT WINDS - 045 NM N THEAST SEWIRCLE OVER WATER 00 PET NM ELSEWHERE OZR WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POUQT: 5 DZG/ 08 KTE 36 HRS, VALID AT= .20 101800MKUHMCN5 110.4EDY MAX SUSTINED WIN DS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION OMFN6 116.0E8. TROPICA -59M PENNY (05W) HAS TRACOOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BAED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLES ELLITE IMPERY.-T BATROPICJLIRIDGENCORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) HAS DEEN AN D IS EXPECTED TO CONTPNUE TO BE ITS STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUTLZGZFOREC A ST PERIOD. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VASPROCFPMLVVE WJVV ETMAOMPLETELY E9-#3 )9+-LEVEL VRCULATION. APTHUO UPHLTVLMBMKVKWMD ON THE SMA H PALQMF OHE SYSTEM, TME SWR SHEAR IS EXLECTED OMPCOCZINUE TO LIMIT INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND INYACTMV. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. RAPOO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADJCTWONAL SEA ZEIGHTSINFORMATION. NET WARNINGS WT 091500Z5 (DTG QMEOQZ.), 092100WW KDTG 091951MTLN M W+4 (DHGP10019WIL AND WWKW+0 (BOGPQ1Z4).// 22 CI814 00,, SPCN46 XVL050847 FQ() 09IRUZ AUTO 207KT 7;8SM RA FEHQQ FEW016 OVC021 1=16 A2991= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626551-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 17:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56176; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:30:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9206489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA67672 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:30:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090930.EAA03548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 04:30:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f0c327dcda7a4ff56f1e2b349ee45ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 342 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCC2926 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 19.4N4 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.2N5 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCC2926 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.1N5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 19.6N6 116.0E8. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE ITS STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RESTRICTED THE SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT AND COMPLETELY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD ON THE SOUTHERN PAGE 04 RUEDMCC2926 UNCLAS HALF OF THE SYSTEM, THE STRONG SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO LIMIT INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// BT #2926 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:06:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30406; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:04:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA51116 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:04:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:04:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091404.JAA05374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:04:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90cb8e0218e06829f77bd94d183a7d10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 19.6N6 116.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 116.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.3N5 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.1N4 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.1N5 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 19.8N8 115.7E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (0 5W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX (6) HO URS AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SAT ELLITE IMAGERY, +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626882-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA51180; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:15:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:15:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44760 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:15:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:15:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091415.JAA05416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:15:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff338f8cee7024189c38dec775d7b490 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 WTPN31 PGTW 091400 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUCUM(7( MBOLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGM WARNINL POSITION: 091200Z2 ---09.6N6 116.1E9 MOVVO VXX HOURS - 295 DEGREES WTIOPKTS 00 VOSITION ACCURATE TO QITVIN 06# NM 00 POSITION BMBOLONPTEVLLOCATED BY SVBLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:.,2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -0040 KT, GUST S 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KTHCIKIQSVNM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0MINM ELSEWHERE REOLPOSIT: 19.6N- 116.1E9 FORECASTS:9 012 HRSN VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.3N5 114.3E9 M SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS O PKT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 8 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT:#295 D/ 09 KTS ,24 HRS, VNCBMUAA QPQWPPZ4 --- 21.1,4 15E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -0150 KT, GUSTS 065 AW RADIKIL035 KT WINDS - 049 NM NORTHEAET SEMICIRCLE 0;00) #8 OVER WATER 0 0 035 NM EGSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO OHR POSIT: 305 DEG/809 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- ;QN5#QAOE1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS APQQGVPQVANT TRMPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS:. OQTPPZ5 POSITION 19.8N8#0(;34;. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ORMPICAL STORM PEVVL(0 5W) HAS CONOINUED O TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWAROVER THE PA SIX (6) HO WQ ULKNTTS. TMWARNING POSITION IS BWSED ON 091130Z4 INFRARAD SAT ELTITE IMAGERY, +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626917-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:21:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04136; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:18:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9207714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44566 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:18:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:18:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091418.JAA05435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 09:18:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbe9c91a51d3e86bb72a3772332beba9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 19.6N6 116.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 116.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.3N5 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.1N4 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.1N5 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 19.8N8 115.7E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX (6) HOURS AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 091103Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 15NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (40 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES FROM THE 091130Z4 INFRARED IMAG ERY. TS PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTH WEST AT 9 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NO RTH. TS PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES IN TO A WEAKER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. LAN DFALL IS STILL EXPECTED SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG ALONG THE GUANGDONG COAST BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ONCE ONSHORE, LAND EFFECTS ARE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z 2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z 0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:36:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA60094; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:33:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9208071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA20890 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA05983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091533.KAA05983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 10:33:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51b5b588eeced53b9f4947eacd9ed4c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 016 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8472 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEDMCC2926 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 19.4N4 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.1N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.2N5 111.8E1 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8472 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCC2926 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.1N5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 19.6N6 116.0E8. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE ITS STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RESTRICTED THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8472 UNCLAS SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT AND COMPLETELY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD ON THE SOUTHERN PAGE 04 RUEDMCC2926 UNCLAS HALF OF THE SYSTEM, THE STRONG SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO LIMIT INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// BT #8472 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2110 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626939-29927>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:15:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA26166; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 13:12:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9209106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 13:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA44580 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 13:12:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 13:12:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808091812.NAA07124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 13:12:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0a17380e03efae6da4b4d97f3598e66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 858 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 19.6N6 116.1E9 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC3257 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 116.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.3N5 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.1N4 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC3257 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.1N5 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: BT #3257 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-29927>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:03:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA59920; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:02:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:02:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39392 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:01:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092001.PAA08058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:01:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1f9179a4f96fee5bf7fbd9c747f2005 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 200 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 115.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 115.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.9N1 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.8N1 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.7N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 20.2N4 115.0E7. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED IMAGERY AND INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION. THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS EXPANDING TO WITHIN APPROXIMATELY 15 NM OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CU RRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627183-29927>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:08:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30238; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:07:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:07:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22026 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:07:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092007.PAA08092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:07:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w0warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0eb40f521a090a902db34266e471cc1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 WTPN31 PGTW 092000 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W0WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NOTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE , WJRNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 2 N2 115.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 115.4E1 FORECA TS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.9N1 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WNDS - 055 NM NORTHO SEMICIRCLE .-888801)NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.8N1 112.5E9 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVR WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.7N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 20.2P4 115.0E7. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRAR IMAGERY AND INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION. THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS EXPANDING TO WITHIN APPROXIMATELY 15 NM OF T SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CU RRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:47:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30362; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:45:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:45:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60270 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:45:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092045.PAA08258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:45:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60816ab996aeb96824f44999c06ab7fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 926 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 115.4E1 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC3381 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 115.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.9N1 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.8N1 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC3381 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.7N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 20.2N4 115.0E7. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED IMAGERY AND INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION. THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS EXPANDING TO WITHIN APPROXIMATELY 15NM OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST PAGE 04 RUEOMCC3381 UNCLAS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO A DECREASED WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TS PENNY (05W) WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG ALONG THE GUANGDONG COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// BT #3381 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1648 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627148-29922>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:52:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62486; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:51:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9210519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60164 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:51:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808092051.PAA08283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 15:51:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dab0ebffa44a0c53d97da760ce02f37a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 962 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINEDPWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAM WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 115.4E1 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC3381 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIXHHOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTITN: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 VVPNORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 115.4E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT, 100600Z7 --- 20.9N1 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 VM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.8N1 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC3381 UNCLAXGMH RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.7N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 20.2N4 115.0E7. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOU. THE WARNWNG POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED IMAGERY AND INFRARED SATELLIHLANIMATION. THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS EXPANDING TO WITHIN APPROXIMATELY 15NM OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TERHNIQUES. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST PAGE 04 RUEOMCC3381 UNCLAS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH.0THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO A DECREASED WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TS PENNY (05W) WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT MMVIPV<,8?.934 5#3 24 HOUR PERIOD SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG ALO THE GUANGDONG COA. MAXIMUM WGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 10;;Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751ZLPQTPPZ7 (DTGQ1,Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// BT (OWQ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3006 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626665-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 10:57:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA51050; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:54:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15192 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:54:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:54:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100254.VAA11107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 21:54:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cde291d456603fde5ae588456de84c3a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 454 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 013 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 20.5N7 114.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 114.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.5N8 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.4N8 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 23.0N5 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 20.8N0 114.0E6. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) CONTINUES TO BE THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE IT TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS KEPT THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER PARTIALLY EXPOSED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RESTRICTING DEVELOPMENT. TS PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. FINALLY, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:18:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19430; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:17:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:17:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA62672 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:17:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:17:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100317.WAA11379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:17:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 013 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1285241f7264e7478deb1c4fddb53eff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 016 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 013 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 20.5N7 114.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 114.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.5N8 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.4N8 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 23.0N5 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 20.8N0 114.0E6. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) CONTINUES TO BE THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE IT TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS KEPT THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER PARTIALLY EXPOSED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RESTRICTING DEVELOPMENT. TS PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. FINALLY, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. VERIFICATION: REMOVED LINE THAT READ UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSIO N 05W. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1 ), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626408-5549>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:18:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA30224; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:18:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9213669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:18:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA62974 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:18:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:18:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100318.WAA11387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 22:18:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd8c46798f444e945c6df791d97a8ecd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 041 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 20.5N7 114.5E1 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA1146 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 114.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.5N8 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.4N8 111.4E7 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1146 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 23.0N5 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 20.8N0 114.0E6. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TS PENNY (05W) CONTINUES TO BE THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE IT TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS KEPT THE SYSTEM'S LOW-LEVEL CENTER PARTIALLY EXPOSED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RESTRICTING DEVELOPMENT. TS PENNY (05W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1146 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. FINALLY, TS PENNY (05W) IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// BT #1146 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2966 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-10183>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:43:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19396; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:43:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9214872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62606 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100642.BAA12977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb99dc34916da5c3eff453ee52da373e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 321 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z AUG/110600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 114.5E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. LOW-LEVEL, LINEAR CONVERGENCE HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IN THE AREA FO R THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS NO DISCERNABLE CYCLONIC ROTATION, WINDS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7S7 174E2 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA HAS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, YET UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-10190>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:53:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA62862; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:51:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:51:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04218 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:51:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:51:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100751.CAA13375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 02:51:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ac11f10e91b36cfb59ff4c0f4077850 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 175 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 20.6N8 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.4N7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.2N6 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 20.8N0 113.5E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREA COVERAGE. ADDITIONALLY, DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT HAS IMPROVED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, NO PERSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS TS PENNY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626637-10190>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 16:15:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA62524; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:13:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:13:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA18984 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:13:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100813.DAA13786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:13:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr K To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a01133e16d42925fb8e4dd09869f33aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 337 WTPN31 PGTW 100800 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR K 01 ACTIVE TROPICA CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 20.6N8 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 113..34 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.4N7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.2N6 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KTJN GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 20.8N0 113.5E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE ARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT QVOZMSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREA COVERAGE. ADDITIONALLY, DIVERGENCE CHARTS INXICATE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT HAS IMPROVED NEAR THE LOVVWEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, NO PE SISOENT CENTRAL CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS TS PENNY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1),01WQPPZ4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151+9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-10183>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 16:40:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22178; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:38:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19082 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:38:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:38:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100838.DAA13859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:38:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 892095539e39e5c7a3b05ccaad9d67dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 442 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 20.6N8 113.9E4 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC4532 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.4N7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.2N6 111.1E4 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC4532 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 20.8N0 113.5E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREA COVERAGE. ADDITIONALLY, DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT HAS IMPROVED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, NO PERSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS TS PENNY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// BT #4532 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-10183>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 16:44:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22196; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:44:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15190 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:43:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100843.DAA13869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 03:43:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d452ec670a2ab38f8e567fab115bc0cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 468 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BWSED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSCTION: 1;1600Z7 --- 20.6N8 113.9E4 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC4532 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOPXL- 290 DKYOOLAT 08 KTS POSITION ACCQVATLTO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENTWIND DISTRIXU(--;) MA SV DCISQIVQ45 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 113.9E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 8101800Z0 --- 21.4N7 112.4E8 MA SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, 97-5- 065JT B S RADIUS OF 035 KT WIN DS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTORPTO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8#2.$;PN6 111.1E4 ,)0-<+0;3 RUZOMVC4532 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 20.8N0 113.5E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNIV PMUN IS BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE QED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE ASUOIAOED CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREA COVERAGE. ADDITIONALLY, DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT HAS IMPROVED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, NO PXKVPT CENTRAL CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS TS PENNY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 14 0M 59 220230 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 ( GQPQOT1Z7)..-ISW V +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-5378>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 19:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA62668; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 06:06:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9215919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 06:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA51128 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 06:06:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA14965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 06:06:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101106.GAA14965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 06:06:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b107c7444960cacc212b5172b7fd64d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 326 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCC0317 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 19.2N2 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.0N2 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.8N0 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0317 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.7N0 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.5N9 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUEDMCC0317 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 19.4N4 117.5E4. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PERSISTENT NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RESTRICTED THE SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INHIBIT INTENSIFICATION AND PREVENT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFYING SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY JUST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. ONCE ONSHORE, LAND EFFECTS ARE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// BT #0317 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-9470>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 21:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19102; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:55:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9217088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:55:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30584 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:55:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:55:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101355.IAA16793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 08:55:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4edcd1592e047fd32b60f28c807e58ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 646 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 20.4N6 112.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 112.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.1N4 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 21.8N1 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 22.6N0 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 20.6N8 111.8E1. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101008Z0 MICROWAVE AND 101130Z6 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (50 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE 101130Z6 INFRARED IMAGERY USING SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WE HAVE SEEN THE SYSTEM INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH. WITH THE DRIER AIR AND CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND THE FORECAST INTENSITY WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED THROUGH 12 HOURS DESPITE IMPROVED CONDITIONS ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL NEAR LUICHOW PENINSULA. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 10 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. ONCE TS PENNY REACHES LAND, AFTER THE 12 HOUR PERIOD, IT WILL TAKE A MORE NORTHWESTERLY MOVEMENT AND SLOW TO 6-7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626803-17005>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19352; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:54:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9217534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30342 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101454.JAA18384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 09:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf124ca9f22fa4b01ac62e1df6984e10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 791 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 20.4N6 112.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS PAGE 02 RUEOMCA0454 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 112.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.1N4 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 21.8N1 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0454 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 22.6N0 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 20.6N8 111.8E1. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101008Z0 MICROWAVE AND 101130Z6 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (50 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE 101130Z6 INFRARED IMAGERY USING SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WE HAVE SEEN THE SYSTEM INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH. WITH THE DRIER AIR AND CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND THE FORECAST INTENSITY WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED THROUGH 12 HOURS DESPITE IMPROVED CONDITIONS ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0454 UNCLAS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL NEAR LUICHOW PENINSULA. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 10 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. ONCE TS PENNY REACHES LAND, AFTER THE 12 HOUR PERIOD, IT WILL TAKE A MORE NORTHWESTERLY MOVEMENT AND SLOW TO 6-7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// BT #0454 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627217-24987>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 03:55:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27930; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:53:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9221610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30954 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:53:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808101953.OAA26323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:53:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c64164de46d1e230835c526c0668537 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 714 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 20.8N0 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.5N8 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.3N7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 21.0N3 110.9E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (0 5W) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HO URS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAG ERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED UPON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627217-24992>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:35:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23414; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:33:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9221968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30308 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:33:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:33:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808102033.PAA27698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 15:33:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f10d4323d0cdedf01c86a431be0425a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 403 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 20.8N0 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUEOMCC7289 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.5N8 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.3N7 108.1E0 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC7289 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 21.0N3 110.9E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED UPON THE 101730Z2 INFRARED IMAGE USING SATELLITE DERIVED ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS, IMAGERY INDICATES A LITTLE MORE NORTHWESTERLY MOVEMENT AND A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF INTENSITY. TS PENNY (05W) WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND MOVE INTO A LESS FAVORABLE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) PAGE 04 RUEOMCC7289 UNCLAS AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// BT #7289 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2871 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19726; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:06:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9225621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:06:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19434 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:06:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:06:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110306.WAA03935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:06:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9afdac6dec46790682e5079e7061d9fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 486 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUEOMCC8640 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.2N7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC8640 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 21.6N9 111.2E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE IN A NORTHWESTERLY COURSE AND LOSE INTENSITY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AS WARRANTED.// BT #8640 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA37778; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:21:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9225686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19316 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:21:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110321.WAA04081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:21:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b54368f06dcc5c79f45cb8dc1d90c2e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 873 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1274 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.2N7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1274 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 21.6N9 111.2E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE IN A NORTHWESTERLY COURSE AND LOSE INTENSITY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AS WARRANTED.// BT #1274 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:46:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA64548; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:44:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9226363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39910 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:43:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110443.XAA04997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 23:43:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f25f6f45c6fb611422e1f731dd2d7c72 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.2N7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 21.6N9 111.2E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE IN A NORTHWESTERLY COURSE AND LOSE INTENSITY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AS WARRANTED.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625931-2428>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:35:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39908; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9226705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA47184 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110533.AAA05756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94790220ebd721282bbe9ad435465f1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z AUG/120600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 111.4E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS TOWARDS THE SOUTH CHINA COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 IS NO MORE. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW NO DISCERNABLE LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. DUE TO THE LACK OF LOWER LEVEL OR UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 174E2 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THERE IS NO WELL DEVELOPED AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS CANNOT DISCERN A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THE LACK OF EITHER ORGANIZED CONVECTION OR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:38:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19812; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:37:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:37:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53330 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:37:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110737.CAA06728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:37:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72eab0fdc2b8b49d7f49f77a23b3592a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 174 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 22.5N9 110.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 110.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 24.2N8 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 22.9N3 109.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER SOUTH CHINA FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS PENNY (05W) IS ELONGATING AND BECOMING LESS INTENSE AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK OVER SOUTH CHINA. SINCE TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING OVERLAND, IT SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WELL BEFORE THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626959-2428>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 15:43:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53340; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:43:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19786 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:43:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110743.CAA06749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 02:43:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aca3786bf881a16b0cac031f8cb78af1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 246 WTPN31 PGTW 110800 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: - 110600Z8 7.?89N9 110.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRYSENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS APSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REVEOSIT: 22.5N- 110.4N FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800ZUGMMBCVN8 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 01#KT;0GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 22..N3 109.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TVKBPENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER SOUTH CHINA FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS PECNY (05W) IS ELONGATING AND BECOMING LESS INTENSE AS IT CONTINUES TOPTRACK OVER SOUTH CHIVA. SINCLOS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKINGIOVERLAND, IT SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WELL BEFORE THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626980-18911>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:20:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA53322; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:19:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:19:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA30946 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:18:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110918.EAA07761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:18:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caf620202ffa7c2c53d414b67c0f201c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 700 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 22.5N9 110.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2639 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 110.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 24.2N8 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 22.9N3 109.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER SOUTH CHINA FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS PENNY (05W) IS ELONGATING AND PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2639 UNCLAS BECOMING LESS INTENSE AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK OVER SOUTH CHINA. SINCE TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING OVERLAND, IT SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WELL BEFORE THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #2639 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627472-18911>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 17:23:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30954; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:22:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9227600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:22:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA49368 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:22:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:22:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110922.EAA07784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 04:22:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) ( To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d6810e85c9abd5658cdfce504d21871 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 779 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) ( 01 ACTIVE TROPICAB YCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-VQNUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 22.5N9 110.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT R KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENOWQV LBY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUEOMCVVWABL PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:..2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 GUSTS 04 5 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNWFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LANBNN REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 11VXOH 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 24.2N8 108.3E2 MALVJQNIBCIKIG20 KT, GUSTS GIEL KT REMARKS= 110900Z1 POSITION 22.9N3 109.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARDPDKNOTS OVER SOUTH CHINA FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING PMSIOION IS BASED UPON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. LE WARNING M INTENSITY IS BASEPLA SATELLITEPCURRENTNTENSITY ESTIMATEIOW KNOTY;0.-53$ ;8-8?)3 --53))853 IMAGERY SHOWS TS PENNY (05W) IS ELONGATING AND WM PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2639 UNCLAS BECOMING LESS INTENSE AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK OVER SOUTH CHINA. SINCE TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING OVERLAND, IT SHOULD FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WELL BEFORE THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT ?2639 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-16608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 01:03:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA52194; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9231649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:56:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19910 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:56:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:56:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111656.LAA15095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:56:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2952c7e00045d1a581eb30a4c6a60dc1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 298 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3970 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEOMCC8640 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OV ER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627570-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 01:05:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19200; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:59:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9231692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30958 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:59:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:59:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111659.LAA15135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 11:59:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ac3f3225b485b3710353e23ae3432c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: #PPPZ2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3970 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEOMCC8640 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OFLKCUVKT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OV ER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2630 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 01:06:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA62928; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:00:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9231714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:00:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA19902 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:00:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111700.MAA15220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9c13422e3bbd19e9eb5170519aac86e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3970 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEOMCC8640 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.2N7 109.6E6 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3970 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC8640 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 21.6N9 111.2E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE IN A NORTHWESTERLY COURSE AND LOSE INTENSITY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AS WARRANTED.// BT #3970 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627552-16614>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 01:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA23414; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:03:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9231730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24644 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:03:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA15417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:03:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808111703.MAA15417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:03:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Penny (05w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1767d11de5963f2e01afeabaa1b3fd77 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 419 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 21.4N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3971 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1274 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.2N7 109.6E6 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3971 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1274 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 21.6N9 111.2E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) PENNY (05W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TS PENNY (05W) SHOULD CONTINUE IN A NORTHWESTERLY COURSE AND LOSE INTENSITY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AS WARRANTED.// BT #3971 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:38:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30560; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9239459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30532 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120536.AAA27719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d25a709c8fb15a023c94c7f337172c97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z AUG/130600Z AG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-20944>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 13:55:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30638; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:54:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39964 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130553.AAA18550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8dd3133b85a9bafca8924a7f5e0af28f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 861 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z AUG/140600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 14:19:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19922; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56230 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140617.BAA08945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddafc4f61faa2113d06b3c967ed82c66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 549 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z AUG/150600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3553 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626339-2678>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 13:10:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA64658; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:09:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9265698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:09:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04118 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:04:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:04:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150504.AAA27380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:04:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a94f07dce126e80e131880d3d2e82a2b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 446 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z AUG/160600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES AT APPROXIMATELY 9N9 129E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, A 142354Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO FORM. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-25696>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 13:13:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22216; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:11:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9275816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:11:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19018 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160507.AAA08497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d1dda8934024f08cb8b6ff3e48ed617 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 438 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z AUG/170600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 129E2 IS NOW LOCATED AT 8N8 128E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES IS GREATER IN EXTENT, BUT LESS ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS AGO. ADDITIONALLY, 152341Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, UPPER AIR ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND BOTH ARE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2673 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:19:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60204; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9284815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19720 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170513.AAA08483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3688727bfe02b65751b1fb9affa80a2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 204 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z AUG/180600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 128E1 HAS DISPERSED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES HAS DISPERSED AS CONVECTION INCREASED TO THE WEST. ACCORDING TO SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION FAILED TO ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4237 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:23:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA60336; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:20:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9296846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22088 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:19:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:18:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180618.BAA26948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:18:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3dfdff643aa9870425e2729ea9fd6abb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 079 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z AUG/190600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT APPROXIMATELY 14.5N0 114.5E1. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS OF THE 00Z GRADIENT WINDS INDICATES A CIRCULATION CENTER JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS CONVECTION AREA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, UW-CIMSS DIVERGENT CHART (180000Z9), AND THE 00Z 200MB ANALYSIS SHOW DIVERGENC E ALOFT. MICROWAVE (180112Z3) AND MULTISPECTRAL (180427Z2) IMAGERY REVEAL SOME BANDING AND CYCLONIC TURNING TO THE NORTH, BUT NO LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS EVIDENT FROM THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE COMBINED WITH AN EXISTING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIO N MAKES THIS AREA FAVORABLE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1632 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-24136>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 13:38:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA09874; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9307352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA53368 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190536.AAA17206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 425ea3e8f6c6b51a7b48aebc3139423b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z AUG/200600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT APPROXIMATELY 14.5N0 114.5E1 HAS DISSIPATED. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS OF THE 00Z GRADIENT LEVEL WIND FLOW INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS NOW LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA VERSUS THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ONLY CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. MICROWAVE (182256Z4) IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CONVERGENT LIN E AND NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-23366>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 13:10:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60300; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:08:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9317968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22050 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:01:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200500.AAA08402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d91529dc362baff7fcb78584df9a65c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z AUG/210600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED EAST OF LUZON AT APPROXIMATELY 16N7 124E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 200033Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND 200000Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. HOWEVER, ACCORDING TO ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 200000Z2 200 MB ANALYSIS, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME, A NECESSARY INGREDIANT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED AT APPROXIMATELY 7N7 167E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. 192109Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 200000Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS FORMING BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627177-23367>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 13:34:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22752; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:28:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9330531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29126 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:27:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210527.AAA00024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:27:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af1ca090e59bab4fdad030ade0cbad03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 366 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z AUG/220600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 16N7 124E7 IS NOW LOCATED AT 18N9 116E8, WEST OF LUZON. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, 202217Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 210000Z3 SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT IT HAS REMAINED BROAD IN SCOPE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT APPROXIMATELY 18N9 130E4, WELL EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. FURTHERMORE, THE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS SEPARATING FROM A LARGER AREA OF CONVECTION AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 210000Z3 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING WITHIN THE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROVIDING DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE COMBINATION OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT MAKES THIS AREA FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 7N7 167E4 HAS DISPERSED. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DISAPPEARED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS MORE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO ITS EAST. 202056Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWED THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION FAILED TO ORGANIZE, AND THE CURRENT CONVECTION IS DUE TO LOW LEVEL LINEAR CONVERGENCE. SINCE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DISPERSED AND NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS SURVIVED, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-540>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:23:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA57748; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:18:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9342226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39278 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:18:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:17:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220617.BAA19728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:17:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2863aaadcdcc26c15c58d697379f77fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 936 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z AUG/230600Z AUG 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 130E4 IS NOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED AT 18.5N4 133.5E2. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION HA S EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, VISIBLE ANIMATION, AND 220000Z4 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH SLIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SURFACE 00Z ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FORMED WITHIN THIS CONVECTION. CONTINUED FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAKE THIS AREA FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNO TS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FO R THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 116E8, APPROXIMATELY 180NM WEST HAINAN, IS NOW LOCATED AT 19.5N5 112.5E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED WELL WEST OF THE CENTER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (212219Z7) AND SURFACE ANALYSIS (220000Z4) INDICATE THE SYSTE M HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. IT ALSO APPEARS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INCREASED IN THE AREA. THESE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND LEAD TO THE DOWNGRADE OF POTENTIAL FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 22N4 146E1. UPPER LEVEL (200MB) ANALYSIS SHOWS THI S CONVECTION IS A RESULT OF A TUTT LOW TO ITS WEST. UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE AND SHEAR CHARTS (220000Z4) AND THE 200MB 220000Z4 ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOCATION OF THIS CONVECTION IS IN A FAVORABLE AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS DATA INDICATES THE AREA HAS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D AT 10-15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626975-27530>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:11:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29148; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:07:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9351871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:07:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA50060 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:06:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230706.CAA01113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:06:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97213bc816401d83f3820c80c625d855 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTE L0>CD?L/2306 XTI> 2 + E 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3862 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626975-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 16:28:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26356; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19916 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230826.DAA01727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6028cffe739a7df5625d9f1489c53d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z AUG/240600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 133.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, VISIBLE ANIMATION, AND 230000Z5 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH SLIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SURFACE (230000Z5) ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS CONSIDERABLY BROADENED AND ELONGATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (222335Z7) INDICATED POSSIBLE CYCLONIC CURVATURE IN THE CU BANDS SOUTHEAST OF THIS ELONGATED AREA. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE A STRONG AREA OF CONVERGENCE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT. THIS CONVERGENCE SHOULD LIMIT MOVEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE ELONGATION SEEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA AS IT REMAINS QUASI- STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 134E8. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THIS AREA OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE HAS MOVED RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE WEST AND DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. SURFACE ANALYSIS (230000Z5) SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF CYCLONIC CURVATURE WITH NO CLOSED CIRCULATION CENTER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (222024Z2) AND VISIBLE AND INFRARED ANIMATION INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND ESTIMATE A WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS. UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE AND SHEAR CHARTS (230000Z5) INDICATE MODERATE SHEAR WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SURFACE ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES THE WAVE IS APPROACHING A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE, SO DECELERATION IS EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH CURRENT MOVEMENT OF 15 KNOTS AND MODERATE SHEAR ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR INITIAL DEVELOPMENT, THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM SLOWS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.5N5 112.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED ON THE HAINAN COAST NEAR 20N2 110E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CONTINUED WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOW LOCATED INLAND AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS NO LONGER SUPPORT POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 146E1 HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW DECREASED CONVECTION IN THIS AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL (200MB) ANALYSIS AND 230000Z5 UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHART SHOW THIS AREA, NEAR A TUTT LOW, IS NO LONGER FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627103-14820>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:25:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA45224; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:20:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9360600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:17:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29134 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:15:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:15:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240315.WAA10870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:15:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d650ceba47cf8575e2c1b98b29e80f62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 422 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.4N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.2N6 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.2N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.3N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.5N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 129.9E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (232154Z7) AND VISIBLE IMAGERY (240030Z9). THIS AREA FORMED WITHIN T HE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER Y SHOWS THE AREA HAS MINIMUM UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL T ROUGH TO ITS NORTH HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY, REDUCING THE SHEAR IN THE AREA. TD 0 6W IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD A S IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE SYS TEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFI CANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240 751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).//NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2169 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-14815>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:07:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25156; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 23:02:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9360904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:59:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA14962 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:59:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240359.WAA11150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:59:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81b085a0e6ade0656925534b92f29fcf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 141 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.4N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.2N6 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.2N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.3N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.5N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 129.9E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (232154Z7) AND VISIBLE IMAGERY (240030Z9). THIS AREA FORMED WITHIN T HE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER Y SHOWS THE AREA HAS MINIMUM UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL T ROUGH TO ITS NORTH HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY, REDUCING THE SHEAR IN THE AREA. TD 0 6W IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD A S IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE SYS TEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFI PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS CANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240 751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).//NNNN BT #2584 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-14815>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:05:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA53394; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:00:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9361871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA44764 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:57:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:57:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240557.AAA12271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:57:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc7bc1f0c0f8b5d4ba5f36092f972fa5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 207 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0301 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.4N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.2N6 130.8E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0301 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.2N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.3N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.5N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0301 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 129.9E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (232154Z7) AND VISIBLE IMAGERY (240030Z9). THIS AREA FORMED WITHIN T HE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER Y SHOWS THE AREA HAS MINIMUM UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL T ROUGH TO ITS NORTH HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY, REDUCING THE SHEAR IN THE AREA. TD 0 6W IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD A S PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0301 UNCLAS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE SYS TEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFI PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2584 UNCLAS CANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240 751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).//NNNN BT #0301 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-14818>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:28:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44552; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:24:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9361929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:21:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29160 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:06:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:06:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240606.BAA12398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:06:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant ; Nl Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 581b53a0d7e5e0036bf6f1e2b77e073e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 399 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT ; NL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z AUG/250600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RLG/NAVP?(CBE EST GU/240151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING (WTPN31 PG: 3R >(C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-14821>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:47:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15288; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:43:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:40:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA61692 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:39:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240639.BAA12562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:39:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8eb2406d22dbac8e9aad905532fc464 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 329 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z AUG/250600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WAS LOCATED AT 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 3 0 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 130E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 134E8 HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED NORTHWESTWARD. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627184-27147>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 16:08:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25176; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:02:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:59:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20676 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:59:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:59:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240759.CAA13018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 02:59:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f317268c2ae993e15b235e741c62792 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB3171 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.4N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.2N6 130.8E2 PAGE 03 RUEDMCB3171 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.2N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.3N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.5N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEDMCB3171 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 129.9E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (232154Z7) AND VISIBLE IMAGERY (240030Z9). THIS AREA FORMED WITHIN T HE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER Y SHOWS THE AREA HAS MINIMUM UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL T ROUGH TO ITS NORTH HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY, REDUCING THE SHEAR IN THE AREA. TD 0 6W IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD A S IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE SYS TEM IS PAGE 05 RUEDMCB3171 UNCLAS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFI CANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240 751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).//NNNN BT #3171 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3717 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 16:53:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40142; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:49:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29052 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:42:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240842.DAA13423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 03:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c4dc783bbbc62e078d817d3993e1658 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 509 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 21.1N4 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.2N6 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 23.3N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.6N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.9N6 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 28.8N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 21.4N7 130.0E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (240530Z4) AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY INTERPRETATION AND A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 25 KNOTS. SURFACE ANALYSIS (240000Z6) SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING INTO SOUTHERN JAPAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627186-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:20:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34550; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:15:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:12:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA13140 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:09:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:08:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240908.EAA13655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 04:08:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e933c5a4552ca5b8091fd68ef32de77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 914 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEOMCA3299 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 21.1N4 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.2N6 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 23.3N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA3299 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.6N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.9N6 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 28.8N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEOMCA3299 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 21.4N7 130.0E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (240530Z4) AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY INTERPRETATION AND A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 25 KNOTS. SURFACE ANALYSIS (240000Z6) SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING INTO SOUTHERN JAPAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA61632; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:53:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9364014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA42844 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:50:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241250.HAA15406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:50:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4f7919a611a4b1795adc41c4580175e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 715 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUFRSGG8683 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.4N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.2N6 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUFRSGG8683 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.2N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.3N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.5N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUFRSGG8683 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 20.7N9 129.9E1. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (232154Z7) AND VISIBLE IMAGERY (240030Z9). THIS AREA FORMED WITHIN THE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA HAS MINIMUM UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO ITS NORTH HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY, REDUCING THE SHEAR IN THE AREA. TD 06W IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240 751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).// PAGE 05 RUFRSGG8683 UNCLAS BT #8683 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627284-27147>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 22:25:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA34494; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:23:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9365109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:23:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA61608 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:22:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:22:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241422.JAA17258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:22:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1738fb482b98e7e73aa6f63b84e04d11 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 22.7N1 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.5N3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.8N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 23.0N5 131.1E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BASED ON 240857Z6 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W CONTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627240-27148>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 23:08:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA61488; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 10:06:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9366036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 10:06:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA62944 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 10:06:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 10:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241505.KAA18643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 10:05:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0af080a19534e8c07245911a0ceb854e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 22.7N1 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.5N3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.8N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 23.0N5 131.1E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BASED ON 240857Z6 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W CONTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), PAGE 05 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// BT #4584 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-27146>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:21:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA28084; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:18:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9369105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:17:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA28030 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:17:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA22696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:17:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808241717.MAA22696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:17:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depressioni06w Warning Nr 003 Relocaomvm To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b14470c53dae7c632a80c8757b8578f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 952 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSIONI06W WARNING NR 003 RELOCAOMVM 010ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 22.7N1 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST WX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WIOHIN 06; ,. POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE L Q3-3,5 (8(-4:>C(--;) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 130.9E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0,LQEQMOEKMM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 05003+ PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS RWDIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 05 NM ELSEWHERE VEOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --2#175,3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS 200 EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 26CQZ1 --- 27.8N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 16.6 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 241500Z2 POUITION 23.0N5 131.1E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS.,5#3 2-4,8,< 09-8589, -,$ 8,53,-856 ARE BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM WA WTED APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGRZE TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BASED ON 24085+6 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W CORTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSIONP06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORAB3 :9,$8589,- -5 -)) LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TM WWPW31 PGFBR ADDITIONIGHGEIGHOPPMMVWOION...2..9 2-4,8,<- -5 2 42100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151:(-# PAGE 05 RUEOMCA4584 UNCLAS 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z00$ 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// BT ?4584 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4791 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627423-27145>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 04:28:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15354; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:24:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9371898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA60120 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:24:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:24:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808242024.PAA28875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:24:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c18b97ab9fe89e6e104bf8d9de96fa32 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 528 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 23.6N1 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.0N7 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.4N2 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.8N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 29.2N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 32.3N8 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 23.9N4 131.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W REMAINS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627394-27146>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 04:57:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67706; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:53:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9372569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13160 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:53:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:53:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808242053.PAA29855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 15:53:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 171fd6a2ac2d26c4504fc190551f84a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 930 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEDMCA2259 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 22.7N1 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2259 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.5N3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.8N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2259 UNCLAS 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 23.0N5 131.1E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BASED ON 240857Z6 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W CONTINUES TO BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), PAGE 05 RUEDMCA2259 UNCLAS 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// BT #2259 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:26:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA09932; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:23:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9375733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:23:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22704 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:23:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:23:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250123.UAA04425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:23:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 391f919d3126af31b34eb5e49db2e975 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 23.6N1 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.0N7 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.4N2 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.8N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 29.2N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS 271800Z8 --- 32.3N8 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 23.9N4 131.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W REMAINS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// BT #0403 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:31:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA61694; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:27:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9376573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15232 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250226.VAA05337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06s) Ur>r? 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 042f5baae312e321e8514952be222885 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 313 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06S) UR>R? 5 UPGR?DD WM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE AF LMRVEB IA SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:35:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45572; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9376593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29374 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250226.VAA05345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:26:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d76f13bd0e966ce7c5e1bf85ff0ed3c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0560 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.9N6 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0560 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.6N5 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 29.3N4 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.1N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0560 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.8N5 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 24.8N4 132.6E2. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 242330Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS SLOWLY INCREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL SHIFT PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0560 UNCLAS TOWARD A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY INCREASE THE SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// BT #0560 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626091-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:35:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34998; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:33:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9376606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:31:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA26280 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:29:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:29:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250229.VAA05357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:29:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b498e637a7e377180c4fb2f87870805 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.9N6 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.6N5 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 29.3N4 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.1N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.8N5 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 24.8N4 132.6E2. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 242330Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS SLOWLY INCREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL SHIFT TOWARD A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY INCREASE THE SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626779-22673>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:48:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20668; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:46:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9378753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA50024 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:44:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250544.AAA07733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:44:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a30424e5e1edfa5f36be60132b1a1f20 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 021 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCA0268 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.9N6 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.6N5 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 29.3N4 134.8E6 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0268 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.1N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.8N5 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0268 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 24.8N4 132.6E2. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 242330Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS SLOWLY INCREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL SHIFT TOWARD A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY INCREASE THE SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0268 UNCLAS 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// BT #0268 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:23:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626875-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:21:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39398; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:18:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9378924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:17:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA19082 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250615.BAA07976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a1aead74fc22eedd4d5e1729563ae61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 679 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z AUG/260600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AR E 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3023 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626985-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 16:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29376; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:12:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9379582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29326 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250811.DAA09114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb1cdc8896266e5dfcc793de14e6677b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z AUG/260600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AR E 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/HONG// D PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND KEEP TROPICAL S TORM REX (06W) ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. BY 48 HOURS THE NAVY OPERATIONAL GLOB AL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS) INDICATES A TRANSITION TO A ST ANDARD PATTERN AS THE RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM BUILDS, AND THE NOGAPS VORTEX TRACKER AND THE BETA AND ADVECTION MODELS SHOW NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD M OTION STARTING AT THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE JAPANESE MODEL, HOWEVE R, SUGGESTS THE RIDGE DOES NOT BUILD AS STRONGLY. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE FORECA STED NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 48 TO 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. C. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROU GHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT EXPERIENCED A BRIEF PERIOD OF SHEARING AS EVINCED BY THE 242128Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS WHICH INDICATED THE MAIN CONVECTION WA S SHEARED TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. HOWEVER, RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS T HAT THE CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO REDEVELOP AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT UNTIL THE 72-HO UR POSITION WHEN IT SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 19:54:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA23744; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 06:52:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9381155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 06:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA15250 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 06:50:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA11143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 06:50:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251150.GAA11143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 06:50:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8d7ee6cd0984b60a677d0bf012c7d22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9071 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 24.7N3 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.7N4 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9071 UNCLAS 260600Z4 --- 26.8N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 28.1N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 29.7N8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9071 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 32.8N3 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 25.0N7 133.1E8. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z5 SATELLI TE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9071 UNCLAS STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONA L SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// BT #9071 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627658-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:13:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62764; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:11:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9383755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49938 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:11:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251411.JAA14160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:11:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90b1981893234327991761cc1d2d3a55 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 25.2N9 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9158 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.3N1 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7N6 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.2N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9158 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 34.0N7 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9158 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 25.5N2 133.7E4. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// BT #9158 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627658-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:26:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15034; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:24:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9383941 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA46692 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:24:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:24:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251424.JAA14460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:24:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ad622502542f8a94ce580e8c387f5cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 647 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 25.2N9 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.3N1 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7N6 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.2N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 34.0N7 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 25.5N2 133.7E4. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627678-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:49:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA21868; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:46:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9384113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA42840 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:46:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251446.JAA14983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:46:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 007. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f462856e1f50e7512855934e6656af34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 151 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 007. 01 ACTIVE TRMPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 25.2N9 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 JZ POSITION ACCU R ATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTIOM: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHEREM REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 133.5E2 FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG915107,:)-- 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.3N1 134.3E1 MAX SUSTACNED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7N6 135.0E99. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 07;0(5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM M SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 #4-, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.2N3 135.4E3 .) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUST S 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSP- 0800NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9158 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE 0VEOMC TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 2712;Z2 --- 30.7N0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM 804-$87- 9> 035 KT WINK- 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 34.0N7 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAGICYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATAAZ PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9158 UNCLAS REMIXUAEPCZ3 POSITION 25.5N2 133.7E4. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT VKNOTS OVER THE PASY HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFJARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THWARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TVMPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS WT TRACKS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WWVNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DT 251951Z3), 11Z1 (DTG V151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND VFCQZ4 (DTG 261351Z8).// BT ?9158 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1731 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627643-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 23:54:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA39886; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:51:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9385387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA39804 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:50:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA17202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251550.KAA17202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 10:50:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37eeac4d3b4af45fbfda72131024b728 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 25.2N9 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 133.5E2 --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2782 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.3N1 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7N6 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.2N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2782 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 30.7N0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 34.0N7 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUEDMCA2782 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 25.5N2 133.7E4. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON AN INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// BT #2782 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627769-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:42:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA57656; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:39:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9388897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22216 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:38:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251938.OAA24700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:38:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1160243852aa6f6de001c7f0e697d348 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 25.4N1 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 26.2N0 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED INDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 27.6N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 28.9N9 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 30.6N9 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 34.7N4 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 25.6N3 134.6E4. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON 251730Z8 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE TAKING A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK AS THE BUILDING RIDGE TO ITS EAST ONCE MORE PROVIDES THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY AND SPEED UP AS IT NEARS THE JAPANESE MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627790-22670>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:04:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21788; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:58:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9389201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:58:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA64400 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:57:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808251956.OAA25166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:56:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 030754d59d1584e2c1cdad0aa470819d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 222 WTPN31 PGTW 252000 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE LP AAV WARNING POSITION: 000251800Z6 --- 25.4N1 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SQPHOURS - 065 (/433- -5 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WIOVQVIKQUVNM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATEBY SATEPLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: ) MIX SUSTAICCWINDS - 0450KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE /4303-5 09-85: 25.4N1 134.2E0 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 26.2N0 135.6E5 VALSUSTAINED INDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTMPOM 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HJS, VALIFPAT: 261800Z7 --- 27.6N5 136.0E= MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUVL070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 0008 0600:;03??9 /# VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS PH EY HRS, VALID AT: # 270600Z5 --- 28.9N9 136.1E1 MAX SSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUYTL075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDUPCUVNM RADIUS OF 035 KTYCAKIVQ80 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 000 0 , 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 30.6N9 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT B RADIUS OF 050 T WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELMXYE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 34.7N4 136.1E1 MAXVSUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 8 5 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF PT WINDS - 010 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ,0:00# OVER WATER 050 NM ELEEWHEXE OVER WWTER REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 25.6N3 134.6E4. TROPICA0-594. 43/ (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST= NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPMV 251730Z00ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE TAKING A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK AS THE BUILDING RIDGE TO ITS E ONCE MORE PROVIDES THE DOMINANT STEERING AVLTROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD QMTZNSIFY SLOWLY AND SPEED UP AS IT NEARS THE JAPANESE MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS # FEET. REFZR TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT ;300Z1 (>5 260151Z5), 9 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 26+8) AND 262100Z1 (DT PXCVRLMXX 5 LLL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-22673>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:26:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA59176; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:24:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9389595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:23:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA23738 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:23:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:23:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808252023.PAA26126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:23:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 912a9d2a3732883005a6740c52d56a1e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 25.4N1 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 26.2N0 135.6E5 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0764 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 27.6N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 28.9N9 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0764 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 30.6N9 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 34.7N4 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0764 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 25.6N3 134.6E4. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED UPON 251730Z8 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE TAKING A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK AS THE BUILDING RIDGE TO ITS EAST ONCE MORE PROVIDES THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY AND SPEED UP AS IT NEARS THE JAPANESE MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4).// BT #0764 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627795-22674>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:54:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33382; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:47:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9390128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34830 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:47:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808252047.PAA26919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 15:47:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7d9cc4863df705f2382f1d2b8618a30 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLMNE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 25.4N1 134.2E0 8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT PMUIT: 25.4N1 134.2E0 FORECASTS: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627221-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 10:44:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA56124; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:43:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9394632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA46818 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:42:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260242.VAA02917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 21:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5018915a9ebf915d90eb31ab4b122fa2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 659 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 24.8N4 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.1N8 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.1N9 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.6N5 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 29.2N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 32.5N0 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 24.9N5 135.9E8. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 252330Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A RAGGED EYE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 11:43:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA48982; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:42:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9395713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44844 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:41:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:41:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260341.WAA03659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:41:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2d43647066f730d42e37b24d8cc8092 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 801 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 24.8N4 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.1N8 137.3E4 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.1N9 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.6N5 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 29.2N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 32.5N0 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 24.9N5 135.9E8. PAGE 05 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 252330Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A RAGGED EYE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// BT #7047 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627303-1954>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 11:49:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18798; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:44:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9395750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA52058 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:44:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260344.WAA03690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:44:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56469c45020b128da86ea03a8d98f7f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 827 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEOMCA2742 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 23.6N1 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.0N7 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.4N2 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2742 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.8N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 29.2N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2742 UNCLAS 271800Z8 --- 32.3N8 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 23.9N4 131.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W REMAINS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// BT #2742 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:04:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627221-1952>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 11:54:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54866; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:53:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9395839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:53:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA52012 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:53:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:53:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260353.WAA03750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:53:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a602a67093c1e2bd18abced16742307 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 912 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 24.7N3 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.7N4 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS 260600Z4 --- 26.8N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 28.1N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 29.7N8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 32.8N3 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 25.0N7 133.1E8. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z5 SATELLI TE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL PAGE 05 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONA L SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// BT #0437 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 14:42:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2796 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 13:55:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA63650; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9396839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA18800 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260554.AAA05143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d0b9082aa1e047fdb16cb528bb4411a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 985 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z AUG/270600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTP- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 16:56:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627013-1954>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:53:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA42968; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:53:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9397776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:52:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA18880 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:52:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:52:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260852.DAA06723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 03:52:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 650c759975586c583185ab43f9b2a28f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 517 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 25.0N7 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.4N1 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.3N1 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.7N6 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 29.3N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 32.6N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 25.1N8 136.4E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 260530Z6 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND HAS DEVELOPED A WELL DEFINED 19 NM EYE. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AS IT BECOMES STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 18:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627873-1952>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 17:18:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52092; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:18:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9398026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:17:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA42858 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:17:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260917.EAA07118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 04:17:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3ffc2e29533043df5228eb0d579a982 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 011 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 25.0N7 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.4N1 137.5E6 PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0338 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.3N1 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.7N6 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0338 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 29.3N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 32.6N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUEDMCB0338 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 25.1N8 136.4E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 260530Z6 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND HAS DEVELOPED A WELL DEFINED 19 NM EYE. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AS IT BECOMES STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA FAVORABLE PAGE 06 RUEDMCB0338 UNCLAS FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// BT #0338 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 22:57:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627847-1948>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:52:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA20982; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:49:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9400664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA64694 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:48:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261348.IAA10378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 08:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f81ac6c717c26184493022232b8d9b04 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 181 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 24.8N4 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.0N7 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.2N0 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.7N6 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 29.3N4 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 33.4N0 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 24.9N5 137.5E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ITS EASTWARD MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 22:57:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627872-1952>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:16:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA60306; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:14:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9400885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:14:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45182 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:14:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261414.JAA11048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 09:14:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74ecceb18decc57855b92d3d327e0aa4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 742 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 24.8N4 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.0N7 138.6E8 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC4237 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.2N0 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.7N6 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCC4237 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 29.3N4 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 33.4N0 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 05 RUEOMCC4237 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 24.9N5 137.5E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ITS EASTWARD MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND PAGE 06 RUEOMCC4237 UNCLAS 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// BT #4237 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-1952>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:48:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23628; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:44:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9407233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25276 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:44:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261944.OAA20300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:44:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 588496689981ed99185b5974080dba58 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 534 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 24.4N0 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.1N7 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.9N5 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.2N0 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.9N8 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.6N0 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 24.3N9 138.0E2. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261730Z9 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT TY REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO KEEP THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FROM MOVING IN FROM THE EAST. IN ADDITION, THE INTERPLAY BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TY REX (06W) HAS CHANGED THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TY REX (06W), WHICH HAS TURNED THE TRACK EAST- SOUTHEASTERLY. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNTIL THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS ABATED. AT THAT TIME, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW AND TY REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE. SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-1954>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA52794; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:58:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9407494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21796 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:58:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:58:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808261958.OAA20598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:58:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Oyqhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr Qw To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6bae27381e2b1fd731e00be3b219e6e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 660 WTPN31 PGTW 262000 1. OYQHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR QW 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IM NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON OVMQMMQNUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 24.4N0 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM ## POQIOIOV BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBC= MAX SUSTAINED KAKIVQ90 KT, GUSTS 110 KTM RAXIUS OF 050 KT WINDSHAPQ NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NVPUOQTH SEMICIRCLE 0 8065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 137.7E8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-1948>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:10:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25336; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:02:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9407562 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24286 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:02:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:02:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262002.PAA20722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:02:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01d866421373a3b57f3b7a3406882e99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 750 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 24.4N0 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.1N7 138.9E1 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2221 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.9N5 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.2N0 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2221 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.9N8 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.6N0 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2221 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 24.3N9 138.0E2. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261730Z9 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT TY REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO KEEP THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FROM MOVING IN FROM THE EAST. IN ADDITION, THE INTERPLAY BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TY REX (06W) HAS CHANGED THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TY REX (06W), WHICH HAS TURNED THE TRACK EAST- SOUTHEASTERLY. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNTIL PAGE 06 RUEOMCA2221 UNCLAS THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS ABATED. AT THAT TIME, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW AND TY REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE. SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// BT #2221 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3768 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627894-1952>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 05:12:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA61476; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:07:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9408950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:07:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA62798 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:05:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262105.QAA22626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:05:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 06w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e52293e1ccda037b20c7b9ffd1a7a112 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 713 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9014 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 23.6N1 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.0N7 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.4N2 132.9E5 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9014 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.8N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 29.2N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9014 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS 271800Z8 --- 32.3N8 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 23.9N4 131.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TD 06W REMAINS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE ON THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TD 06W TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT ALL LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9014 UNCLAS WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// BT #9014 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 09:00:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627221-1953>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 05:46:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA49974; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:41:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9409447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA51990 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:41:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA23804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:41:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808262141.QAA23804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:41:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 684e84a2d6042b03b92d06b05deb3e1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 557 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9097 UNCLAS PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 24.7N3 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.7N4 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9097 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS 260600Z4 --- 26.8N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 28.1N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 29.7N8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9097 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 32.8N3 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 25.0N7 133.1E8. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z5 SATELLI TE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9097 UNCLAS THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL PAGE 05 RUEDMCB0437 UNCLAS STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONA L SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// BT #9097 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 10:18:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627590-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:58:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24634; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:53:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9414009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:53:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA46616 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:53:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:53:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270153.UAA28035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 20:53:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35bebc1f908515b39657029806a50b01 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 235 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 24.8N4 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS 261200Z1 --- 25.1N8 137.3E4 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.1N9 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.6N5 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 29.2N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 32.5N0 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 24.9N5 135.9E8. PAGE 05 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 252330Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A RAGGED EYE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// BT #0287 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 10:18:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627688-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:08:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24132; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:04:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9414207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18956 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:02:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270202.VAA28132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:02:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38ef3123842ff8fda267173345147447 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 422 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE..8,753 -;34-<3 WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 24.8N4 135.4E3 MMEMENT AST SIX HOURS - 090 JEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 135.4E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS 261200Z1 --- 25.1N8 137.3E4 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT L RADIUS MF 050 KT WI NDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.1N9 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAPSEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POS T: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.6N5 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 0 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS VECTOR TM 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 29.2N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 32.5N0 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 24.9N5 135.9E8. PAGE 05 RUEOMCB7047 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 252330Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A RAGGED EYE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0287 UNCLAS (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// BT ?0287 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 12:19:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627520-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:14:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA61518; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:10:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9416022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:10:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA16692 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:10:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:10:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270310.WAA29270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:10:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1f25e9db5c078d0d0a06e5334e67b03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 749 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 24.6N2 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 25.1N8 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.3N1 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.9N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 33.6N2 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 24.7N3 138.4E6. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FL OW HAS BEEN INFLUENCED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (90 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON SATELLITE ANAL YSIS TECHNIQUES FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (272330Z7) WHICH DEPICTED A N EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 15NM. TY REX IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE NORTHEASTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH STRENGTHENS. A SLIGHT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED AROUND THE 72 HOUR POINT DUE TO A STRENGTHENING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TY REX IS FOREC AST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FO R DEVELOPMENT. INTENSITY SHOULD THEN REMAIN STEADY AND WEAKEN AFTER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH NORTH OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 270000Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7)./ / BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 12:19:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:45:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18810; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:42:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9416928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:41:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29278 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:41:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270341.WAA29576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 22:41:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1615e3df01d7ac6dbade7c5cf4b0ff7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 24.6N2 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0699 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 25.1N8 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.3N1 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0699 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.9N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0699 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 33.6N2 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 24.7N3 138.4E6. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW HAS BEEN INFLUENCED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (90 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (272330Z7) WHICH DEPICTED AN EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 15NM. TY REX IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE NORTHEASTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH STRENGTHENS. A PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0699 UNCLAS SLIGHT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED AROUND THE 72 HOUR POINT DUE TO A STRENGTHENING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TY REX IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. INTENSITY SHOULD THEN REMAIN STEADY AND WEAKEN AFTER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH NORTH OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// BT #0699 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 14:04:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4322 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:01:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24314; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9418396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA62666 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270555.AAA00982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdf86edb78159e6805690a3fe753dfaa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 574 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z AUG/280600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.6N2 138.2E4 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 8N8 148E3. MICROWAVE (262305Z)IMAGERY SHOWS NO DISCERNIBLE CIRCULATION IN THE CONVECTION. VISIBLE SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A WESTWARD MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. GRADIENT ANALYSIS FROM 270000Z SHOWS NO CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW SEVERAL WESTERLY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE AREA, INDICATING GOOD TROUGHING. U. OF WISCONSIN-CIMSS (270000Z9) DIVERGENCE CHARTS ALSO INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 17:23:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627894-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 16:53:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29424; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:49:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60330 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:48:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270848.DAA02232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:48:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4841ee1b70dbaa26e2eac88ef5a07135 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 924 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 25.0N7 139.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 139.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.2N0 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.5N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.0N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 31.1N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 35.3N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 25.3N0 139.4E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS EFFECTED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. WARN ING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWED A 19NM EYE. TY REX IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TRACK MORE NORTHERLY AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BECOMES THE PRIMA RY STEERING INFLUENCE. BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, TY RE X IS EXPECTED TO MAKE AN S TRACK WITH 139 DEGREES EAST AS THE WESTERN M OST LONGITUDE. THIS CURVE IS DUE TO AN EXPECTED BUILDING IN THE SUBTROPI CAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. DUE TO THE PERIOD BETWEEN FORECAST POSITIONS, THI S TRACK IS NOT DEPICTED ON THE WARNING GRAPHIC. FORWARD MOTION IS FORE CAST TO REMAIN AT 6-8 KNOTS THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE TO 11 KNOTS WITH THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. TY REX IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER TH E NEXT 48 HOURS AND THEN REMAIN STEADY AS IT MOVES INTO MORE VERTICAL WIND S HEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN. THE WIND RADI I HAS BEEN INCREASED BASED ON A SCATTEROMETER PASS (270112Z3). MAXIMUM SIGN IFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z 2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 17:23:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3898 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627685-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:09:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29384; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45202 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:57:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:57:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270857.DAA02295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 03:57:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b099f47433dafbe178b06587e1f1f77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 27600Z5 --- 25.0N7 139.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 05 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS 8;CAVNM SOUTHEAST SEVICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 139.2E5 FORECESTS: 12 VRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.2N0 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS A QWP NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.5N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.0N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUSLOF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 31.1N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIKS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 35.3N1 39.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 25.3N0 139.4E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS EFFECTED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. WARN ING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWED A 19NM EYE. TY REX IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TRACK MORE NORTHERLY AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BECOMES THE PRIMA RY STEERING INFLUENCE. BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, TY RE X IS EXPECTED TO MAKE AN S TRACK WITH 139 DEGREES EAST AS THE WESTERN M OST LONGITUDE. THIS CURVE IS DUE TO AN EXPECTED BUILDING IN THE SUBTROPI CAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. DUE TO THE PERIOD BETWEEN FORECAST POSITIONS, THI S TRACK IS NOT DEPICTED ON THE WARNING GRAPHIC. FORWARD MOTION IS FORE CAST TO REMAIN AT 6-8 KNOTS THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE TO 11 KNOTS WITH THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. TY REX IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER TH E NEXT 48 HOURS AND THEN REMAIN STEADY AS IT MOVES INTO MORE VERTICAL WIND S HEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN. THE WIND RADI I HAS BEEN INCREASED BASED ON A SCATBEROMETER PAS(270112Z3). MAXIMUM SIGN FICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITION AL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351MBN WUWQPPZ 2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 18:18:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627909-13460>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 17:49:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA50150; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:42:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9419973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:42:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47152 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:15:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:14:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270914.EAA02452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 04:14:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 192b54a9e95bd314ce78a103db0226c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 526 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 25.0N7 139.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1683 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 139.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.2N0 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.5N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1683 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.0N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 31.1N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1683 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 35.3N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 25.3N0 139.4E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1683 UNCLAS REMAINS EFFECTED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWED A 19NM EYE. TY REX IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TRACK MORE NORTHERLY AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BECOMES THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, TY REX IS EXPECTED TO MAKE AN S TRACK WITH 139 DEGREES EAST AS THE WESTERN MOST LONGITUDE. THIS CURVE IS DUE TO AN EXPECTED BUILDING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. DUE TO THE PERIOD BETWEEN FORECAST POSITIONS, THIS TRACK IS NOT DEPICTED ON THE WARNING GRAPHIC. FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT 6-8 KNOTS THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE TO 11 KNOTS WITH THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. TY REX IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THEN REMAIN STEADY AS IT MOVES INTO MORE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN. THE WIND RADII HAS BEEN INCREASED BASED ON A SCATTEROMETER PASS (270112Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// BT #1683 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 22:42:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627931-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 22:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62604; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:44:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9423119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04694 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:44:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271444.JAA06999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:44:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28c23b432eb3e9e3039af87c74613041 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 691 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 015 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 25.5N2 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.8N9 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.4N8 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 35.5N3 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 25.8N5 140.1E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION AND MOVEMENT WERE REAFFIRMED BY 270820Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY REX (06W) IS IN THE PROCESS OF TRANSITIONING FROM THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST TO THAT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY AT THE 12-HOUR POINT AND THEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN ITS INTENSITY BY THE 48- HOUR PERIOD. THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF THE STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627976-13466>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:45:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA46826; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:39:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9424196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:39:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA62860 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:05:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:05:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271505.KAA07621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:05:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04e72fb99ce96a6c3483652a0169fae7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 989 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE K, +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627973-13460>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:34:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA56096; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:29:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9423846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA56226 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:26:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA08199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:26:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271526.KAA08199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:26:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbd2363425d822414700103ea0c1355c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 488 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 25.5N2 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2308 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2308 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.8N9 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.4N8 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2308 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 35.5N3 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 25.8N5 140.1E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION AND PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2308 UNCLAS MOVEMENT WAS REAFFIRMED BY 270820Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY REX (06W) IS IN THE PROCESS OF TRANSITIONING FROM THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST TO THAT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY AT THE 12-HOUR POINT AND THEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN ITS INTENSITY BY THE 48- HOUR PERIOD. THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF THE STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// BT #2308 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627437-13465>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 23:57:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA64614; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:47:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9424307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA48968 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:43:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA08734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271543.KAA08734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:43:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01d51d79e8f99d0ddfbc562bdb55e582 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 844 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 25.5N2 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.8N9 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.4N8 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 35.5N3 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 25.8N5 140.1E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION AND MOVEMENT WAS REAFFIRMED BY 270820Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY REX (06W) IS IN THE PROCESS OF TRANSITIONING FROM THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST TO THAT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY AT THE 12-HOUR POINT AND THEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN ITS INTENSITY BY THE 48- HOUR PERIOD. THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF THE STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628045-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:04:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA62478; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9429145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:54:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA56072 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:54:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808271954.OAA16168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:54:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c060c46856e7082d1a27775317e5b286 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 657 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.6N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.0N0 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.6N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.2N6 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 35.2N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 26.0N8 140.1E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED AT 4 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY REX (06W) REMAINS IN A TRANSITION OF STEERING MECHANISMS. THE SYSTEM IS COMING UNDER THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS PROCESS IS CAUSING IT TO SLOW AND TURN NORTHWARD. ONCE THE TRANSITION IS COMPLETE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN INCREASE ITS SPEED IN THE SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND PEAK BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AS WELL AS LAND INTERACTION ARE EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM=S SPEED OF APPROACH AND SLIGHTLY DECREASE THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628058-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:13:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA26760; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:06:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9429354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:05:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA58736 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:05:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272005.PAA16608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:05:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f93d6f74222fb6124c558da39cf8fdd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 847 WTPN31 PGTW 272000 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITIONVM.; 363 >8/3$ ?6 --53))853 PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIQE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 140.0E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z60--- 26.6N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 08 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS ) 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.0N0 14MTE0 MAX SUSTAINED WINBIQBQDKT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.6N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM ZST SEMIVQRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.2N6 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 0. RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 3550DEG/ 10 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 35.2N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 18OVER WATER 065 NV ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 26.0N8 140.1E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED AT 4 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INGSITY ARE BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY REX (06W) REMAINS IN A TRANSITION OF STEERING MECHANISMS. THE SYSTEM IS COMING UNDER THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS PROCESS IS CAUSING IT TO SLOW AND TURN NORTHWARD. ONCE THE TRANSITION IS COMPLETE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN INCREASE ITS SPEED IN THE SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND PEAK BY THE 40.#974>YIOD. INTERACTION WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AS WELL AS LAND INTERACTION ARE EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM;S SPEED OF APPROACH AND IGHTLY DECREASE THE SYSTEM;S INTENSITY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANO WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITQMNAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628050-13460>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:52:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20480; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9430129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:44:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64676 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:32:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272032.PAA17221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:32:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6bbf82cc327897495d6920dd9a679dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 313 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.6N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.0N0 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.6N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628046-13465>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:46:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39872; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:38:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9429887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:37:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA56144 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:35:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272035.PAA17318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:35:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70d045c74b2326e7b8841d2ed6057bc3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 367 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.6N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.0N0 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.6N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.2N6 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 35.2N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 26.0N8 140.1E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED AT 4 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY REX (06W) REMAINS IN A PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS TRANSITION OF STEERING MECHANISMS. THE SYSTEM IS COMING UNDER THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS PROCESS IS CAUSING IT TO SLOW AND TURN NORTHWARD. ONCE THE TRANSITION IS COMPLETE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN INCREASE ITS SPEED IN THE SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND PEAK BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AS WELL AS LAND INTERACTION ARE EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM'S SPEED OF APPROACH AND SLIGHTLY DECREASE THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// BT #2863 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 06:44:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3556 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628057-13465>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:50:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20562; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:43:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9430064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67818 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:43:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808272043.PAA17505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 15:43:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhomn Vepkpyw) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa6fc1ab105261e5b3ffb50e4b15a999 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 482 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOMN VEPKPYW) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDSIBASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 140.0E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS,0VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.6N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 00 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.0N0 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUSPMF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2863 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTMHOMPEY HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.6N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 10:30:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626034-5192>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:25:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23686; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:22:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9434553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:22:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA58726 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:22:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:22:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280222.VAA24776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:22:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e991e2bc08d63c0632f4c9d6fb61589 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 281 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.7N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.3N7 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.9N4 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.7N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 26.9N7 140.5E0. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ON A NORTHEASTERLY TRACK WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATED A 28NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOHPY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY REX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY NORTHERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIODS, TY REX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASED WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 11:00:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-5196>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:56:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA33486; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:53:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9435009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:53:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45220 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:53:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:53:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280253.VAA25333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 21:53:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f80bebb19bb50ab7a0d68a6630106f6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 603 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.7N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.3N7 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.9N4 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.7N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 26.9N7 140.5E0. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ON A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATED A 28NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOHPY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY REX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY NORTHERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIODS, TY REX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASED WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:12:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-26176>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:54:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58300; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:53:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9436821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:53:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24710 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:53:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280552.AAA28023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:52:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20577693472a9c9de2a4905f0236725d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z AUG/290600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAMETCCEN WEST GU/28015 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:12:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626586-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:05:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45288; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA61626 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280703.CAA28678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c2c2a058de242e09f5f9256ba07301a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 227 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z AUG/290600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z9 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.5N3 140.4E9 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N8 172E0 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. GRADIENT WIND FIELD ANALYSIS (280000Z0) AND MICROWAVE (272125Z9) IMAGERY REVEAL A CLOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION JUST SOUTH OF THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A 10-15 KNOT MOVEMENT. UNIV. OF WISCONSIN-CIMSS (280000Z0) DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH LIGHT VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 143E8 SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, BUT IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. VISIBLE SATELLITE (280330Z6)IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND SHEAR HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. GRADIENT LEVEL 280000Z0 ANALYSIS REVEALS THIS AREA IS LAYING A BROAD TROUGHING AREA. THIS TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A CIRCULATION (PAPRA 1B1) NEAR 9N9 AND 170E8 TO 8N8 145E0. U. OF WISCONSIN-CIMSS (280000Z0) DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE FAIR DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:44:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-26176>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:42:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29282; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:41:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:41:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21840 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:41:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:41:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280741.CAA28950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:41:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ee5220585e3a13a36a6ed35df90b52b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 583 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5175 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.1N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.7N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5175 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.3N7 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.9N4 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5175 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.7N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 26.9N7 140.5E0. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ON A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATED A 28NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5175 UNCLAS INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOHPY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY REX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY NORTHERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIODS, TY REX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASED WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// BT #5175 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 17:35:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-26176>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:25:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28964; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:24:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:24:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64530 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:24:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280823.DAA29293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:23:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9aff45a3b94d9b109c6f96760909afb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 27.1N0 140.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 140.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.6N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 30.1N4 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.8N2 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS (ER5 AT M?8N7LE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO#CC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 17:35:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3731 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625918-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:59:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA36852; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45250 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:55:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280854.DAA29490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 03:54:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d13b52488f0b0f97c131c12b65f7596b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 061 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 27.1N0 140.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 140.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.6N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 30.1N4 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.8N2 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 34.2N9 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 42.0N6 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 27.5N4 140.8E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 280531Z9. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS WHICH IS AN INCREASE DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DUE TO SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBER 47971 WHICH INDICATED 62 KNOT GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AT 280000Z0. IT APPEARS THAT TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY AND NO FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM SHOULD FOLLOW A NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 72 HOUR POSITION DUE TO MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST. OVERALL, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD AND IS IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE FROM OUR DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE AIDS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL JUST AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION, AND THEN WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 17:35:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:16:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45130; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:13:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:13:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA38948 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:13:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA29719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:13:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280913.EAA29719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:13:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d623f324dcee21450bd93d76fad477b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 27.1N0 140.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5376 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 140.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.6N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 30.1N4 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5376 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.8N2 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 34.2N9 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5376 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 42.0N6 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 27.5N4 140.8E3. PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5376 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 280531Z9. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS WHICH IS AN INCREASE DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DUE TO SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBER 47971 WHICH INDICATED 62 KNOT GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AT 280000Z0. IT APPEARS THAT TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY AND NO FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM SHOULD FOLLOW A NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 72 HOUR POSITION DUE TO MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST. OVERALL, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD AND IS IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE FROM OUR DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE AIDS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL JUST AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION, AND THEN WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG5376 UNCLAS BT #5376 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 17:35:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626642-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 17:21:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA53254; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:19:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:19:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15092 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:19:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA29796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:19:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280919.EAA29796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 04:19:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da089f98ce3507f984e897ac7cfde661 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 203 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC )-MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVXNH WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 27.1N0 140.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCUGAE TO WITHIN 030 NM P POSITION BASED O EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 61?09. GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT CUKIVOT NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 140.8E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.6N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADPUS OF 0-5 KT WIQDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRILE 1#00 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: - 290600MQIVMND.1;,-140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140#KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS 15 NM EDIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OP NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WCNRBKUVNM EAST SEMICPWE 0 , ,09NNMPD FEMH VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS 9 9)HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.8N2 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED W DS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT , RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLEMOI8 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KZIWINDS (ER5 AT M?8N73 0 090 NN ELSEWHEE VECTOR TO?CC IIWWW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3470 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628119-17377>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29182; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:37:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9440288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:37:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA17884 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:37:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:37:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281437.JAA04055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:37:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d0779034445ee35c054390061c94468 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 445 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 27.5N4 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.8N8 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.6N9 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.9N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 35.6N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 43.7N4 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 27.8N7 141.1E7. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL JUST PRIOR TO THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. AFTER LANDFALL, TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS SPEED OF APPROACH AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:34:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3595 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628105-17373>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 23:25:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA50164; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9441438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:24:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA37830 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:24:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA05476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:23:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808281523.KAA05476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:23:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f81a0aefb7c9ca9456491214aec90196 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 145 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 27.5N4 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6089 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.8N8 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.6N9 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6089 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.9N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 35.6N4 140.0E5 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6089 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 43.7N4 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHPSGG6089 UNCLAS 281500Z6 POSITION 27.8N7 141.1E7. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD SPEED UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL JUST PRIOR TO THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. AFTER LANDFALL, TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS SPEED OF APPROACH AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// BT #6089 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4383 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628249-17373>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56304; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:36:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9446724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:36:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA16842 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:36:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282035.PAA14134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6edf59dec63161c8128fc8bddd63cc24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 306 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 27.9N8 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.5N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 33.8N4 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS 301800Z2 --- 37.3N3 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 45.5N4 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 06 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 28.3N3 141.0E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A NORTHEASTWARD ARC AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER JAPAN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST TRACK IN RESPONSE TO THE DOMINANT SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48-HOUR PERIODS. LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY HINDER THE SYSTEM'S DEVELOPMENT AFTER LANDFALL. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO BE IN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS BT #6886 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628331-17373>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:49:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39796; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:45:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9446952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA35138 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:45:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282044.PAA14364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:44:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c876bd8ce538ffd723b839eb63496c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPQCAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 27.9JI QRQMQE7 MOVEMENT PAST SIXPVMURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYEPXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 141.1E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERO RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSITPETP DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 ---31.5N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6886 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINRL- 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z.0--- 33.8N4 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - ?(5, GJQRP KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 05 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 08:35:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3337 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628344-17373>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 05:39:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA34332; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:36:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9447677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:36:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA36618 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:36:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA15576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:35:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808282135.QAA15576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 16:35:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 181abf19d5791b6a9e313746786f6cf6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 403 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 27.9N8 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.5N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 33.8N4 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 37.3N3 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 45.5N4 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 28.3N3 141.0E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A NORTHEASTWARD ARC AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER JAPAN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST TRACK IN RESPONSE TO THE DOMINANT SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48-HOUR PERIODS. LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY HINDER THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT AFTER LANDFALL. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO BE IN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1515 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628448-24602>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:13:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA22640; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:12:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9451804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19534 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:11:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:11:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290311.WAA19934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:11:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab88741a4623a1bb2d9cf6ec080cb6e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 640 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.1N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.7N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 38.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 28.3N3 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 282330Z8 AND 282357Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY FROM PGTW AND RODN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A WELL-DEFINED 31 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTHWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 36-HOUR POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO. BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR FROM THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS BT #8618 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 12:52:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628690-24603>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:15:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16716; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:14:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9451825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18744 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:14:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:14:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290314.WAA19952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:14:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb26db37295f0582d7bea8648bcea552 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 746 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.1N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.7N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 38.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 28.3N3 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 282330Z8 AND 282357Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY FROM PGTW AND RODN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A WELL-DEFINED 31 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTHWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 36-HOUR POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO. BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR FROM THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS BT #8621 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 14:15:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:02:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA62466; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9452967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22758 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290601.BAA21701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6f72f22f5ef498a0dda3b1614484c4e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 620 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z AUG/300600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10N1 139E3 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 281322Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. SHEAR CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N8 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 14:15:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:10:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18850; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:10:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:10:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15296 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290608.BAA21734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc822cac070c5496662b799663154f01 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 831 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z AUG/300600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10N1 139E3 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 281322Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. SHEAR CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN P :,OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACEPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N8 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 17:17:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628452-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 16:24:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18714; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:20:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:20:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39172 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:20:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:20:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290820.DAA22649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:20:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcebd99124afe084178a011539d8a13d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 418 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9314 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.1N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.7N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9314 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9314 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 38.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9314 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 28.3N3 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 282330Z8 AND 282357Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY FROM PGTW AND RODN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A WELL-DEFINED 31 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTHWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 36-HOUR POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO. BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR PAGE 07 RUHPSGG9314 UNCLAS FROM THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG8618 UNCLAS BT #9314 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 17:17:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628464-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 16:24:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25520; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:23:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39324 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:23:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:23:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290823.DAA22663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:23:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 390b5a7eb62cf0173dc5e6bc5903c936 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9316 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.1N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.7N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9316 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9316 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 38.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9316 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 28.3N3 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 282330Z8 AND 282357Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY FROM PGTW AND RODN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A WELL-DEFINED 31 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTHWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 36-HOUR POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO. BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR PAGE 07 RUHPSGG9316 UNCLAS FROM THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS BT #9316 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 17:17:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628471-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:05:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA62780; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:02:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16836 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:59:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:58:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290858.DAA22937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 03:58:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63ec0920283ace6f89ffdee34b503e8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 946 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.1N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.7N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 38.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 28.3N3 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 282330Z8 AND 282357Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY FROM PGTW AND RODN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A WELL-DEFINED 31 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTHWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 36-HOUR POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO. BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR FROM THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 18:21:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628455-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:35:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA62512; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9454334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA45596 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:32:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290932.EAA23586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:32:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3690db6ec5e76c40184a73b783a8e1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 781 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 28.7N7 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N7 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 30.6N9 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 33.4N0 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 36.9N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 40.5N9 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 49.4N7 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 29.2N3 140.8E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 290530Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. THE EYE ON TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS ENLARGED TO 40 NM IN DIAMETER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TYPHOON REX (06W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECASTED TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO BETWEEN THE 24- AND 36-HOUR TRACK POSITIONS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT OVER JAPAN BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72-HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AS IT IS STEERED AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL, THE INTENSITY WILL DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 18:21:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628488-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA13110; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:35:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9454356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:35:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA18722 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:35:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:35:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290935.EAA23623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:35:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a8f15c11fb6e662002de94f2a2f5dc1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 819 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 28.7N7 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9395 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N7 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 30.6N9 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 33.4N0 140.3E8 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9395 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 36.9N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9395 UNCLAS SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 40.5N9 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 23 KTS PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9395 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 49.4N7 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 29.2N3 140.8E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 290530Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. THE EYE ON TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS ENLARGED TO 40 NM IN DIAMETER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TYPHOON REX (06W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND PAGE 07 RUHPSGG9395 UNCLAS THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECASTED TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO BETWEEN THE 24- AND 36-HOUR TRACK POSITIONS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT OVER JAPAN BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72-HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AS IT IS STEERED AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL, THE INTENSITY WILL DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// BT #9395 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 18:21:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4162 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628398-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:47:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25490; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9454368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA46718 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290944.EAA23650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 04:44:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a86998b0bde9cadf432aa3c674b4be65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 947 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9387 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.1N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.7N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9387 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9387 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 38.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9387 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 28.3N3 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 282330Z8 AND 282357Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY FROM PGTW AND RODN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A WELL-DEFINED 31 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG THIS NORTHWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 36-HOUR POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF TOKYO. BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED WIND SHEAR PAGE 07 RUHPSGG9387 UNCLAS FROM THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// PAGE 07 RUHPSGG8621 UNCLAS BT #9387 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628406-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47370; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:15:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9455817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:15:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22770 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:15:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:15:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291415.JAA25747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:15:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 770e4f610d4cafd4e58407a5b5ec0215 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 28.8N8 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.0N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 33.2N8 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.5N4 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 40.1N5 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 47.9N0 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 29.1N2 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS STILL MOVING NORTH UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, THE TRACK HAS SLOWED DOWN AS TYPHOON REX (06W) BREAKS THROUGH A 200 MB RIDGE AXIS TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W)SHOULD SPEED UP AND TURN MORE EASTERLY AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGH THIS RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628717-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:28:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13224; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:26:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9455913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA23658 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:26:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291426.JAA25818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:26:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d79407d9d59b1a3957ebd2742886f1ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 161 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 28.8N8 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.0N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 33.2N8 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 17 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.5N4 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 40.1N5 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 47.9N0 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 29.1N2 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS STILL MOVING NORTH UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, THE TRACK HAS SLOWED DOWN AS TYPHOON REX (06W) BREAKS THROUGH A 200 MB RIDGE AXIS TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W)SHOULD SPEED UP AND TURN MORE EASTERLY AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGH THIS RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// BT #9709 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628717-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:42:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62824; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:40:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9455984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25426 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:40:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:40:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291440.JAA25924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:40:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 9117 Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98840c2cb414fec018f9376548975001 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 476 WTPN31 PGTW 291400 9117 TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESOPAC MAX VVPNIDIDKMBOLON ONE-MINUTE IX H WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 28.8N8 140.9E4 MOVEMENO PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT ;1 KTS 0POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESECO WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 140.9E4 FORECASTS: 9 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.0N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED CIF VQQUPKT, GUSTSP RADIUS OF VO KT WINDS - 07 VM VXOM SEMICIRCLE 8 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS 002 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 3.2N8 140.7E2 00 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF050 KTWINDS -0O NM FOM SEMICPRCLE O 035 NMPVZKVMAP RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -8 8 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOJ OM 36 HR POSIOC PPT DEG/# 36 HRS, VALID UT 310000Z4 --- 36.5N4 1<7;38 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GU110 KT CGVIL050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 OY WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 0350KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE Z 800 OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATE W VECTOR TO 48 VPPOSIT: 015 $ 19 KTS 2) EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AO: 311200Z7 --- 40.1N5 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDSN- 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER QNY RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OPER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER ;3:594 59 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 200J --= P VQQWPPZ4 --- 47.9N0 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 29.1N2 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS STILL MOVING NORTH UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, THE TRACK HAS SLOWED DOWN AS TYPHOON REX (06W) BREAKS THROUGH A 200 MB RIDGE AXIS TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W)SHOULD SPEED UP AND TURN MORE EASTERLY AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGM THIS RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTXP291951ZQLN EPPEPPZ6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 22:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628733-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 23:00:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA62722; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 10:00:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9456253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 10:00:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15034 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:52:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808291452.JAA26034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:52:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f99604b7060180fba36fcf00ff77b36e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 636 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 28.8N8 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 POSITION ACCURA T E TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MA SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 0 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSP- 150 NM SOUOVEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9709 UNC REPEAT POSIT: 788N8 140.9E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.0N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT,0GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEWSO SEMICIRCLE 000 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 33.2N8 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTMEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ,, 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 17 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.5N4 141.2E8 MA ;;,8?8=0790 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEQHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS. VALID AT: 311200(+7 --- 40.1N5 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMINGHEXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSC- 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 47.9N0 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINBS -0UP NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 29.1N2 140.9E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HATRACKED NORTHWARD AT 7;(,.5 9;34 THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSTION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRAREDPSATELLITE IVCV THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS STILL MOVING NORTH UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9709 UNCLAS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, THE TRACK HAS SLOWED DOWN AS TYPHOON REX (06W) BREAKS TTROUGH AHCWZMB RIDGE AXIS TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W)SHOULD SPEED UP AND TURN MORE EASTERLY AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGH THIS RIDGE. MAXIMUM YIGNIFICANT WAVHEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO 80OUVPGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100T4 (DTG 29195Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z20DTG 300751Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// BT ?9709 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628892-9124>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:10:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15842; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:09:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9460084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:09:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA46796 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:09:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:09:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808292009.PAA29734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:09:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c9c9cda378f5d43f6b6189864944505 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 829 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 29.1N2 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 30.3N6 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 33.7N3 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 37.4N4 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 41.0N5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 48.7N9 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 29.4N5 140.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291730Z2 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TY REX (06W) CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AS IT DIGS INTO THE WEAKENED RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS SPEED AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGH THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH, WHICH UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AS IT APPROACHES THE JAPANESE MAINLAND, TY REX (06W) SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT JOINS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN AND TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. AS TY REX (06W) BREAKS THROUGH THE RIDGE, ITS INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASE SLIGHTLY AS THE LOWER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, TY REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR MARK AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE JAPANESE ISLANDS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6),301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628885-9124>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:19:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62590; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:18:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9460189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:18:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39786 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:18:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:18:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808292018.PAA29823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:18:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edca91fb814bf6c4215cbcd5a871ed0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 972 WTPN31 PGTW 292000 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 024 01 AC VE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WAVQVG POSITITN: 291800Z0 --- 29.1NWW QRPMOE4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEG EES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM EGSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NSOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 140.9E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 30.3N6 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 17 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 33.7N3 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDSI65 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSE ERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELMKM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 19 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: -310600Z0 --- 37.4N4 141.4E0 MAX SUSTPABI KIVQ90 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 030 NM ELSEWHEE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSAWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS 00EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 41.0N5 142.7E4 MAX USTAINED WINDSC- 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 88 0) 00 OVER WATEY 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECOOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS 72 6;?VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 48.7N9 145.7E7 / MAX SUSTAINED WINFL- 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHO SEMICIRCLE 00VVPELSEWHERE REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 29.4N5 140.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOTHE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291730Z2 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IF BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TY REX (06W) CONTINUES O BE QTEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL IDGE TO ITS EAST AS I DIGS INTO THE WEAKENED RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORQAULQNCREASE ITS SPEED AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGH THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH, WHICH UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE QHA S WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AS IT APPROACHES THE JAPANESE VN <)TY REX (06W) SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT JOINS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN AND TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. AS TY REX (06W) BREAKS THROUGH THE VIDGE, ITS INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASEPBIGHTLY AS THE LOWER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE FVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, TY REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR MARK AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE JAPANESE ISLANDS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6),301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301.51Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3010 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628892-9119>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:22:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39000; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:21:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9460204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:21:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39734 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:20:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:20:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808292020.PAA29842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 15:20:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 725a9c3d6c96bc4cf00ed05fd1e50946 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 039 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 29.1N2 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0173 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 30.3N6 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 33.7N3 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0173 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 37.4N4 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 41.0N5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0173 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 48.7N9 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 29.4N5 140.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS TOWARDS JAPAN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291730Z2 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0173 UNCLAS INDICATE TY REX (06W) CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AS IT DIGS INTO THE WEAKENED RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS SPEED AFTER IT BREAKS THROUGH THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH, WHICH UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AS IT APPROACHES THE JAPANESE MAINLAND, TY REX (06W) SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT JOINS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN AND TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. AS TY REX (06W) BREAKS THROUGH THE RIDGE, ITS INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASE SLIGHTLY AS THE LOWER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, TY REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR MARK AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE JAPANESE ISLANDS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6),301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG PAGE 07 RUHPSGG0173 UNCLAS 301951Z9).// BT #0173 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3464 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-13942>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 10:01:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA63598; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:59:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9463725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA54862 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:59:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:59:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300159.UAA03183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 20:59:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 994eb33679b1d7a5966856f3b9882930 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 089 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 29.5N6 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.6N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 32.9N4 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 36.0N9 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 39.4N6 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 47.4N5 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 29.8N9 141.0E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 292330Z9 AND 292331Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 KNOTS AND 90 KNOTS BY PGTW AND KWBC RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06W) CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDING OFF JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN, AND ITS EYE FEATURE HAS BECOME INTERMITTENT. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE QUICKLY AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627179-13949>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 11:08:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA42780; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:06:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9464601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 22:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA09882 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 21:54:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 21:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300253.VAA03822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 21:53:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76837c74174065c2cea6532b4fd44246 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 034 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 29.5N6 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0513 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.6N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 32.9N4 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0513 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 36.0N9 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 39.4N6 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0513 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 47.4N5 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 29.8N9 141.0E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 292330Z9 AND 292331Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 KNOTS AND 90 KNOTS BY PGTW AND KWBC RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06W) CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0513 UNCLAS WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDING OFF JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN, AND ITS EYE FEATURE HAS BECOME INTERMITTENT. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE QUICKLY AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1).// BT #0513 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2547 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627249-24241>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 13:47:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35006; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:46:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9466050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04222 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300545.AAA05382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffef1287bf06dcf454c9a79c35c635e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 978 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z AUG/310600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 141.0E6 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 139E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION HAS BEEN DISORGANIZED AND CYCLIC FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. SHEAR CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON REX. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 29N1 165E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS NOT EXTENDED TO THE SURFACE. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION IS IN A LOW WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND SO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP IF A LOW-LEVEL DEVELOPS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOUR IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-3228>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:55:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23744; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:53:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9466779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:53:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA49326 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:53:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:53:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300753.CAA06166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 02:53:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 627dd06a9cb5928e6b752d0b8b32a146 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 460 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 30.1N4 141.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 141.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.8N2 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 34.2N9 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 37.0N0 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 40.1N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 48.0N2 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 30.5N8 141.3E9. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 AND 300531Z2 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 300530Z1 AND 300531Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 80 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KGWC RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06) CONTINUES ON A NORTHWARD TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION TO 6 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) DISPLAYS A 38 DIAMETER RAGGED EYE. THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW IS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECASTED TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS UNTIL THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION WHEN IT SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3),302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-3228>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 17:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA53496; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:00:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9467108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29374 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:59:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:59:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300859.DAA06889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:59:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4707ed8e5b0b6b51f73da4ccde19e5ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 375 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 30.1N4 141.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0862 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 141.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.8N2 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 34.2N9 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0862 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 37.0N0 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 40.1N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0862 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 48.0N2 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 30.5N8 141.3E9. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 AND 300531Z2 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 300530Z1 AND 300531Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 80 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KGWC RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06) CONTINUES ON A NORTHWARD TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION TO 6 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) DISPLAYS A 38 DIAMETER RAGGED EYE. THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW IS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0862 UNCLAS FORECAST TRACK POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECASTED TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS UNTIL THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION WHEN IT SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3),302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7).// BT #0862 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627419-3228>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 17:17:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34542; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:14:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9467175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:14:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA28376 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:14:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:14:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300914.EAA07079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 04:14:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoonpnpcpyw) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caa9b7ecd0a72c92470a753e9f2fccc0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 729 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOONPNPCPYW) WARNING NR 026 11 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASMOV MNE-MINUTE AVERAGE 8 WARNING POTION: 300600Z9 --- 30.N4141.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATEPOMPWITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SAOKC HRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTIONKMN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, V110 KT RADIUS OFHTP KT WINDS -#060 NM SOUTHEAO SEMICI E 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OFPET KT WINDS -8145 NM SOUTMZVBICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG08628UNCLAS 80000 0 8065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.VK YAWE8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.8N2 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KTLGUST110 KT RADIUS OF 050#9 28,$- - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 00 0 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE - # 065 NM ELSEWHERE #ECOMPTO 24 VR POSPT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS 8 24 HRS, VALID AT: 800310600Z0 ---#3VN9 141;935 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GISTS 110 KT RADIUSHOF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOKTHEAYO SEMICPCCGE 00 8 ) 030 NM ELSE## CADIUS OF ET KTIWINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ##0#0#0 065)NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0862 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 PR POSIO( 010 DEG/ 14 KTS .2 8 36 HRS, VALIATUAMW EQQIPPZ3 --- 37.0N0 142.6E3 MQ SUSTAINED WINDU80 KT,0GR100 KT RADIUSHOF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NMISOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 025 NMELSEWHZR RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSPBQUVNM SOUTHEMO SEMICPRCLE 00000000000;8 8 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 $3 100 AND 80 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KGWCRESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06) CONTINUES ON A NORTHWARD TRACK AND HULIMPPQTF FORWARD MOTION TO 6 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) DISPLAYS A 38 DIAMETEPRAGEDPNXNLTHE DOMINANT STEERINV FLOW IS FROM THLDTROPICAL RIDGE TOPITS EAO. 57<#975 5#3 36-HOUR LKK7;47#0-<<0862 UNCLHIZORECAST TRACK POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH BATIONARY MID-LATITUDE TROUH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECASTED TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT IMTENSITY OF 90 TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600CLIS 26 FEET. RZOO WWPW30 PGFWLMR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATQON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 DTG 301.1;3WQPPZ6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627571-3228>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:49:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA62690; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 07:47:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9468762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 07:47:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24778 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 07:47:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 07:47:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301247.HAA08801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 07:47:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 671d7b2d5bfb21d9a37a1ff7ec197b0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 072 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 30.1N4 141.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1069 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 141.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.8N2 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 34.2N9 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1069 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 37.0N0 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 40.1N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1069 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 48.0N2 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 30.5N8 141.3E9. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 AND 300531Z2 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 300530Z1 AND 300531Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 80 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KGWC RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06) CONTINUES ON A NORTHWARD TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION TO 6 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) DISPLAYS A 38 DIAMETER RAGGED EYE. THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW IS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1069 UNCLAS FORECAST TRACK POSITION AT WHICH TIME TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECASTED TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS UNTIL THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION WHEN IT SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3),302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7).// BT #1069 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627555-3222>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 22:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA42836; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:31:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9469446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA46774 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:29:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808301429.JAA09669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 09:29:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84f831dbd419d351afd0cbab8453869f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 392 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 30.6N9 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 141.7E3 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1232 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 31.9N3 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 34.2N9 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1232 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 36.9N8 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 40.0N4 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 22 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1232 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 48.0N2 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 30.9N2 141.8E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1232 UNCLAS 301200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4).// BT #1232 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629019-3228>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:13:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20984; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:12:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9472523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62694 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:12:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808302012.PAA13723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:12:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a38133660e2657abfd38c797ad26dbc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 740 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 31.0N4 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 142.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 32.3N8 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 34.5N2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 37.5N5 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 40.9N3 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 48.4N6 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 31.3N7 142.7E4. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) CURRENTLY HAS A 21NM DIAMETER EYE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TY REX (06W) CONTINUING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HASN=T CHANGED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW CONTINUES TO BE DRIVEN BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TY REX (06W). HOWEVER, THE TYPHOON TRACK SHOULD ENCOUNTER SLIGHT DEVIATIONS TO THE EAST DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO BE MORE NORTHWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR MARK AS TY REX (06W) SHOULD SPEED UP AND BE DRAWN INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS NORTH. THE INTENSITY SHOULD REMAIN STEADY UNTIL IT APPROACHES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THEN TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO LOSE INTENSITY DUE TO THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628986-3228>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:25:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA63634; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:22:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9472615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:22:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63608 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:22:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808302022.PAA13821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:22:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e700366fc146bded2a7d2d822268ea75 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 938 WTPN31 PGTW 302000 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 31.0N4 142.4E1 0MOVEMENT PAST SIPVOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLEM 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIVIRCLE # 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 142.4E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 32.3N8 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS 2 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 34.5N2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 000# 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 37.5N5 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 40.9N3 1<1;2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 02VKX/ 20 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 48.4N6 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL M REMARKS:#92302100Z6 POSITIONH31.3N7 142.7E4. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KMOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301730Z4 IMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 9 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) CURRENTLY HAS A 21NM DCAMETER EYE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER CPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TY REX (06W) CONTINUING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE FRONTAL BOUNDNAUER JAPAN. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HASN;T CHANGED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERIMG FLOW CONTINUES TO BE DRIVEN BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TY REX (06W). HOWEVE, THE TYPHOON TRACK SHOULD ENCOUNTER SLIGHT DEVIATIONS TO THE EAST DUE TO AUPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO BE MORE NORTHWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR MARK AS TY REX (06W) SHOULD SPEED UP AND BE DRAWN INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS NORTH. THE INTENSITY SHOULD REMAIN STEADY UNTIL IT APPROACHES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THEN TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO LOSE INTENSITY DUE TO THE INCREASED VERTICNVIIKWVIMND5#3 COOLER SARVPX:;034-5743-. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WALHEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. ;3/5 2-4,8,<- -5 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z)(DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628992-3228>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:04:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA20854; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:02:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9472920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:02:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA41826 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:02:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:02:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808302102.QAA14437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:02:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe031e22bba2e9871616b51590985d21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 463 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 31.0N4 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 142.4E1 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1761 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 32.3N8 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 34.5N2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1761 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 37.5N5 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 40.9N3 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1761 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 48.4N6 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 31.3N7 142.7E4. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) CURRENTLY HAS A 21NM DIAMETER EYE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TY REX (06W) CONTINUING TO TRACK TOWARDS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER JAPAN. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HASN'T CHANGED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW CONTINUES TO BE DRIVEN BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TY REX (06W). HOWEVER, THE TYPHOON TRACK SHOULD ENCOUNTER SLIGHT DEVIATIONS TO THE EAST PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1761 UNCLAS DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO BE MORE NORTHWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR MARK AS TY REX (06W) SHOULD SPEED UP AND BE DRAWN INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS NORTH. THE INTENSITY SHOULD REMAIN STEADY UNTIL IT APPROACHES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THEN TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO LOSE INTENSITY DUE TO THE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0).// BT #1761 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4988 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628997-3222>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 05:12:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA63730; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:12:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9472964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:12:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA35034 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:12:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808302111.QAA14526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 16:11:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e47be5bd944ea09b400247b8a60158f7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 639 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 31.0N4 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTSP1-;(5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEVICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 142#4E1 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1761 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 32.3N8 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KOPWINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 34.5N2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KOIWINDSHA QWT NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSPOUWP87;$3; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 10:16:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13114; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 21:14:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9475640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 21:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23446 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 21:11:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 21:11:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310211.VAA17971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 21:11:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22b5ad8a1c61f2bcde10079c7607e875 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 WTPN31 PGTW 310300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 31.3N7 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.3N7 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 32.2N7 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 33.4N0 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.4N2 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 38.1N2 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 44.8N6 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 31.5N9 143.2E0. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 AND 302331Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 302330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS A RAGGED 31 NM EYE. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE HAS DEFORMED INTO AN S-SHAPE DUE TO INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A MORE NORTHEASTWARD STEERING PATTERN WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD RETURN TO A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE PATTERN. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN INTERACTING WITH A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH AFTER THE 36-HOUR POSITION AND BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD NOT WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ITS PRESENT INTENSITY UNTIL IT BEGINS INTERACTING WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT. INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT AT THAT TIME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-10116>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 13:20:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20990; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:20:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9477130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA42854 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310518.AAA19946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36854975d9232ce3a7258a552e314477 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 674 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG/010600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.3N7 142.9E6 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DRIFTED ACROSS 180E AND IS NOW NEAR 12N3 178E6. BOTH MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 302047Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING OF LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES. CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS NEAR 22N4 123E6. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED JUST SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT LYING ACROSS SOUTHERN CHINA. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA ANALYZED TO HAVE WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, HOWEVER ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 29N1 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N4 163E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A CIRCULATION IS STARTING TO EXTEND TO THE SURFACE. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, HOWEVER ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 13N4 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 138E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED SPORADIC FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS AND THE AREA REMAINS IN A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS AREA NO LONGER HAS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627623-10116>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 13:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24612; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:33:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9477192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17864 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:30:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310530.AAA20007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:30:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3f765339518ae04f7bc78ee6be4ca71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 944 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 29.5N6 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2448 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.6N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 32.9N4 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2448 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 36.0N9 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 39.4N6 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2448 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 47.4N5 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 29.8N9 141.0E6. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 292330Z9 AND 292331Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 KNOTS AND 90 KNOTS BY PGTW AND KWBC RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON REX (06W) CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2448 UNCLAS WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDING OFF JAPAN. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN, AND ITS EYE FEATURE HAS BECOME INTERMITTENT. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE QUICKLY AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1).// BT #2448 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3023 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629210-22801>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 17:04:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA14880; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:03:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9478192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:02:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17900 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:02:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310902.EAA21948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 04:02:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7340f181967b06b565f385c0e6a8f3dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 760 WTPN31 PGTW 310900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 31.6N0 144.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.6N0 144.1E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2985 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 31.9N3 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 32.5N0 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2985 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 34.3N0 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 37.0N0 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2985 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 43.8N5 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 31.7N1 144.6E5. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 310530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 310530Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOWS A 32 NM RAGGED EYE. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS BEING MODIFIED BY A UPPER LEVEL TUTT LOCATED NORTHEAST OF TYPHOON REX (06W) AND MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE ON A GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK UNTIL THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS THE STEERING FLOW REALIGNS WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE TUTT. AFTER THE 36-HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN INTERACTING WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED TO PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2985 UNCLAS ITS NORTH AND WITH THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN AN INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE 24- HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. AFTER THE 36-HOUR POSITION THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND INTERACTS WITH THE FRONT. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN MODIFIED AS A RESULT OF A 3100043Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING THE ORIENTATION AND EXTENT OF THE 35 KNOT WINDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TYPHOON REX (06W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4).// BT #2985 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 11:49:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3232 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626826-16823>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12850; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:36:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9490755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA47378 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:35:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010335.WAA18251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b2625558a53d4aaee5125b9ed34540a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 457 WTPN31 PGTW 010300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5985 UNCLAS 010000Z1 --- 30.4N7 147.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.4N7 147.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.7N8 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5985 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 29.6N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 30.0N3 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5985 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 30.7N0 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.6N0 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 30.2N5 147.5E7. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5985 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE MONSOONAL FLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS CREDITED FOR THE SYSTEM'S SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT. TY REX (06W)IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM, THUS CAUSING A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT BEGINS ITS TRANSITION TO THE STEERING OF THE RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9).// BT #5985 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 11:49:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627003-16818>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:42:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA09926; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:42:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9490844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:42:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA46772 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:42:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:41:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010341.WAA18366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:41:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e9013c0675502ef4d5e4090500f83b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 608 WTPN31 PGTW 010300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 30.4N7 147.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.4N7 147.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.7N8 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 29.6N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 30.0N3 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 30.7N0 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.6N0 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 30.2N5 147.5E7. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE MONSOONAL FLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS CREDITED FOR THE SYSTEM=S SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT. TY REX (06W)IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM, THUS CAUSING A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT BEGINS ITS TRANSITION TO THE STEERING OF THE RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 15:07:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627042-13065>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:00:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44972; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9491716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA57708 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010656.BAA20016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e2ca79295f7aac397c87bb86c229d50 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 282 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z SEP/020600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 010300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.4N7 147.7E9 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 178E6 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA NOW HAS LINEAR CHARACTERISTICS. PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS NOT EXISTED IN THE AREA FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 25N7 124E7 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ITS SPAN OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA HAS IMPROVED UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW BUT WITH NO DISCERNABLE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 31N4 163E0 HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF EXTENDING DOWN TOWARDS THE SURFACE. THE AREA OF CONVECTION WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. HOWEVER, NO CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE AREA FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4624 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-13072>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 16:31:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA09834; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:29:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9492115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA23638 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:29:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010829.DAA20847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:29:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 400bbb5187dd72d4b7b7d5ad8d9fbe4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 869 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 30.1N4 148.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 148.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 29.5N6 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.3N4 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 29.8N9 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 30.7N0 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.4N8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 29.9N0 148.5E8. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 010530 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ENHANCED BY THE WESTERLY FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHWEST, TY REX (06W) CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST BETWEEN THE 24 AND 48-HOUR PERIOD AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626798-13065>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 16:49:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19610; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:47:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9492290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:47:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA50810 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:47:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010847.DAA21029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:47:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1dd1d6324a81e51d21a614a86c5a2121 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 153 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE ROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 30.1N4 148.1EBR MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREAT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TWWN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: - MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 ;(5 RAD US OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 148.1E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 29;5N6 149.7Z1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 K WINDYI2 060 NM SOUTH SEMCIRCL 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM QOUTV SEMICIRCLE 070 M ELSEWHERE VECTO TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS,-VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.3N4 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT #0RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLZ 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE # 0#5 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 059 DLPT KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 29.8N9 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT PP RABIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 0450NM SOUTHEAST SEMQIRCLE L PWT NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIIIRCLEM 0 00 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48#HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VAID AO 0300Z9 --- 30.7N0 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WQNDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTSN L AAV 72 HRS, VALID AT: 0402Z0 --- 31.4N8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT #RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM UTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEA T SEMICIRV3 88 - 050 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 29.9N0 148.5E8. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS BEEN TRIKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNINGPPOSITION ANDLINTENSITY ARE BASED ON 010530 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ENHANCED BY THE WESTERLY FLOWMF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHWEST, TY REX (06W) CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE UPPER-LEVZL LOW TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO THE MMINANT STEERING FLOW TF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST BETWEEN THE 24 AND 4(.#974 0348 -,$ TURN TOWARDS THE XQNOR H. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM IGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012200Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020310Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5).X BT ?0001 W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 18:00:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-13065>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:07:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA46800; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:05:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9492364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:05:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39714 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:59:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010859.DAA21101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 03:59:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca46980dc97af756119e4ce9d75bb445 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7165 UNCLAS 010600Z7 --- 30.1N4 148.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 148.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 29.5N6 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7165 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.3N4 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 29.8N9 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7165 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 30.7N0 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.4N8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 29.9N0 148.5E8. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7165 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 010530 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ENHANCED BY THE WESTERLY FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHWEST, TY REX (06W) CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST BETWEEN THE 24 AND 48-HOUR PERIOD AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5).// BT #7165 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2713 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629460-14713>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 22:54:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39882; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:54:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9495782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA21884 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:54:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:53:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011453.JAA27109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:53:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fc7ccbd51ac81f4420f881c655941e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 741 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 29.2N3 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 28.7N7 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.1N2 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 30.1N4 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629518-14708>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 22:56:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52002; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:55:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9495805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09728 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:55:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011455.JAA27160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 09:55:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b31e660700eb85966cbbc064c30d18cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 29.2N3 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 28.7N7 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.1N2 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 30.1N4 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 31.3N7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 33.7N3 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 29.1N2 149.9E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES AN EYE APPROXIMATELY 18NM WIDE. ANIMATED IMAGERY OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS INDICATES A SLIGHT SLOWING AND MORE EASTWARD MOVEMENT. AS TY REX (06W) BEGINS TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO DECELERATE AND MAKE A NORTHWARD TURN. TY REX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT MOVES INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTERWARD, THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629511-14708>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:08:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA33486; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 10:07:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9496067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 10:07:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA26544 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 10:07:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 10:07:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011507.KAA27621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 10:07:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81d7512e230df3d2e28b62f3cec6024c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 964 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAM MAX SUSTAINED W NDS BASED ON ONE;;8,753 -;34-<3 WARNING POSITION: .288 011200Z4 --- 29;2N3 149.5EH L MOVEMENT P AST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIVP030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 N ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 149.5E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 28.7N7 151.1MQNM MAX SUSTAINMWINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 0 08 030 NM ELSEWHERE 2-$87- 9> 035 T WIVDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4315 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629538-14713>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 00:26:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA60186; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:24:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9497575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:23:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA60240 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:23:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:23:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809011623.LAA29700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:23:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b8adaedf5b38f46a27cf75d5954afe6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 393 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8070 UNCLAS 011200Z4 --- 29.2N3 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 28.7N7 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8070 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.1N2 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 30.1N4 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8070 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 31.3N7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 33.7N3 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 29.1N2 149.9E3. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8070 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES AN EYE APPROXIMATELY 18NM WIDE. ANIMATED IMAGERY OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS INDICATES A SLIGHT SLOWING AND MORE EASTWARD MOVEMENT. AS TY REX (06W) BEGINS TO BE STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO DECELERATE AND MAKE A NORTHWARD TURN. TY REX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT MOVES INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTERWARD, THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2).// BT #8070 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629554-14708>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56136; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:08:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9500993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:08:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA64300 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:08:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012008.PAA07172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:08:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aee221635685cdb5f42557280521147f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 886 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS 011800Z0 --- 28.7N7 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N7 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 28.3N3 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 28.3N3 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 28.7N7 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 29.5N6 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.0N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 28.6N6 150.3E9. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (011730Z2) AND INTENSITY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERY ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES A WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME, WITH A CONTINUED SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT UNTIL THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STEERING TURNS IT NORTHWARD AROUND THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. FORWARD MOVEMENT WILL SLOW SLIGHTLY AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONS TO THE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT. AFTERWARDS, A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED IS EXPECTED AS IT MOVES NORTH AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS. FORECAST INTENSITY IS TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS TY REX (06W) MOVES INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8).// BT #8850 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 09:20:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629538-14708>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:54:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44914; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:52:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9501511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA26392 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:51:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809012051.PAA08412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 15:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83e7c2a95ed5293056de8502d9a5a0f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 502 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASD ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS 011800Z0 --- 28.7N7 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N7 150.0E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 28.3N3 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 28.3N3 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUSHOF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 28.7N7 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 29.5N6 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 808 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.0N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ,50 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 28.6N6 150.3E9. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8850 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (011730Z2) AND INTENSITY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERY ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES A WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 6 ;VPTHE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME, WITH A CONTINUED SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT UNTUFLSUBTROPICAL RIDGE STEERING TURNS IT NORTHWARD AROUND THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. FORWARD MOVEMENT WILL SLOW SLIGHTLY AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONSTO THE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT. AFTERWARDS, A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED IS EXPECTED AS IT MOVES NORTH AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS. FORECAST INTENSITY IS TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS TY RE(06W) MOVES INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8).// BT ?8850 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 12:23:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627141-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:15:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17804; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:14:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9507512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:14:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15222 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:14:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:14:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020414.XAA16369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:14:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3dc07b4c9e2c82e5f16dc31cb2f4b2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 978 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 037 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 29.0N1 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.0N1 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.4N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.1N4 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 30.9N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.9N4 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 29.0N1 151.7E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE EAST DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTH. AFTERWARDS, TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD WITH THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 12:23:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4176 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626569-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:16:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17682; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:15:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9507524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:15:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA60414 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:15:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:15:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020415.XAA16376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:15:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a731b9c7ccde638219d253d44993a75a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 993 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 037 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 29.0N1 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.0N1 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.4N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.1N4 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 30.9N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.9N4 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 29.0N1 151.7E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE EAST DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTH. AFTERWARDS, TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD WITH THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST PROVIDING THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. DURING THIS TRANSITION, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER INCREASED SHEAR AND WEAKEN. ONCE UNDER THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE, TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AND PROCEED ON A NORTHWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0).// BT #1251 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 12:23:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4419 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-21192>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:21:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA57600; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:19:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9507541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:19:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28102 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:19:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:19:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020419.XAA16391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 23:19:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: face947cc60e6142127156acc719c469 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 101 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 . 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 037 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAAAG PQ ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTP A C MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 29.0N1 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATEVBY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUW050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 151.2E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.0N1 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SDMCIRCLZ 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.4N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NIELSEWHBYE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.1N4 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDL- 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 08 060 M ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 30.9N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS TF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.9N4 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1251 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 29.0N1 151.7E4. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE EAST DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTH. AFTERWARDS, TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD WITH THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627185-23330>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 17:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA60228; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:04:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA39720 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:04:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:04:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020904.EAA19104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:04:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9d61f687adac55a0e1a693719cad146 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 29.4N5 152.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 152.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 30.2N5 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 31.3N7 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 32.3N8 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 33.4N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 36.0N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 29.6N7 152.5E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTH AND INCREASING INFLUENCE BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD AS THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER LESS SHEAR AND STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE 72- HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1860 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-23330>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 17:05:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30378; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:05:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:05:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44440 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:05:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020905.EAA19110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:05:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c27a76aeece399835afc9ca90b31967 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 29.4N5 152.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 152.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 30.2N5 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 31.3N7 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 32.3N8 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT,?US1#:$U RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 0 45 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 33.4N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 36.0N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 29.6N7 152.5E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTH AND INCREASING INFLUENCE BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD AS THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER LESS SHEAR AND STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE 72- HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-23335>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 17:09:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA63704; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:08:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:08:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA34500 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:08:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:08:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020908.EAA19180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:08:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cbd1eed44073b0f55c042abc19acc40 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 418 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 27.3N2 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N2 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 28.7N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2174 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 30.3N6 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 31.9N3 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 33.5N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 35.9N7 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2174 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 27.7N6 132.0E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 30 KNOTS. 020000Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE TROUGH OFF THE EAST COAST OF CHINA AND IS BEING STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TD 07W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE FOR THE ENTIRE 72-HOUR PERIOD. TD 07W IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2174 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-23330>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 17:11:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34452; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA28002 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020910.EAA19197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29216f4b7b3a000e03627500eb618164 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z SEP/030600Z QKBS. REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151 SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 020300// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 151.2E9 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 124E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26N8 131E5 AND WILL BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VORTICITY MAXIMUM HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EAST OF CHINA. UW-CIMMS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A WELL DEFINED, EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 37N0 154E0. THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER. PRESENTLY, ONLY SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 118E0 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING BUT CONSISTS OF NO DISCERNABLE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH THE AREA HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, THE CONVECTION ITSELF HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3064 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627219-23335>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 17:40:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA58338; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:38:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:38:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA13262 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:38:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:38:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020938.EAA19550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:38:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7f4df1dc9b9f87f0d2c6a1d75f0633c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 157 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2267 UNCLAS 020600Z8 --- 29.4N5 152.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 152.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 30.2N5 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2267 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 31.3N7 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 32.3N8 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2267 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 33.4N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 36.0N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 29.6N7 152.5E3. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2267 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TY REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTH AND INCREASING INFLUENCE BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TY REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD AS THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER LESS SHEAR AND STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BY THE END OF THE 72- HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2267 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627183-7685>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:07:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45638; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9510149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:05:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA54194 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:03:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA19828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:03:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021003.FAA19828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:03:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ae0eb7dd47bd730e7a4c95676d8b865 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL AYCLNS IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- UALH MNL RA --- 27.3N2 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITA9)AURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE SLDUB#-TRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPENR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-7692>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 18:10:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA17690; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:08:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9510171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:08:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA34824 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:08:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA19849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:08:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021008.FAA19849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:08:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 652941cbc89edc8c4e3cc4de93fcd9bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 584 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 27.3N2 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N2 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 28.7N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 30.3N6 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 31.9N3 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 33.5N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 35.9N7 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 27.7N6 132.0E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 30 KNOTS. 020000Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE TROUGH OFF THE EAST COAST OF CHINA AND IS BEING STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TD 07W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE FOR THE ENTIRE 72-HOUR PERIOD. TD 07W IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1885 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-24963>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA64312; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:23:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:23:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45592 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:23:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:22:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021422.JAA23677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:22:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06fd7ea1815276db8714f89946314003 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 426 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 29.8N9 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.6N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.8N4 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 35.1N9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 38.2N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 30.1N4 153.4E3. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (90 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (021130Z7) ANALYSIS. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TY REX HAS BEGUN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS AND BECOME SLIGHTLY DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR WIND SHEAR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE TY REX REMAINS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES TY REX IN A MORE NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AS TY REX (06W) TRANSITIONS FROM THE NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY TRACK, AFTER THE 36 HOUR POINT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DECELERATE SLIGHTLY. THE INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE AS TY REX (06W) REMAINS IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-24963>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:27:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29042; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:25:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15200 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:25:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021425.JAA23779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:25:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3615fceea3fc58344a2f81e74b6cf563 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 470 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-24968>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:50:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41076; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:47:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:47:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA63572 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:47:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021447.JAA24335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f60b6fe8c6ada0da7553ce6964196ce0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 897 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 29.8N9 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREE AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TOPWITHINPKQUVNM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE RESENT WIND DISTRCBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDQ - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VVI050 KT WINDS- 0 60 NM SOUTHEAQO SEMICIRCLE 030 NM E#>63 RADIUSPOF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEWST SEMICIRCLE , 070 NM ELSEZ REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 153.1E0 FORECASTS: 12 HS, VALID AT: 0300;0Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.3E3 MAX SQ IBCIKQIV90 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 RT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE 0 VECTOR TO 24-HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.6N1094.9E9 MAX SUSTAINEX WIN S - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -0050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EWVWCIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 23:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627309-24968>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49506; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:50:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9512985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:50:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36682 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:50:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021450.JAA24448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 09:50:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea90234467a23dde6c825884f8ba591d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 927 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2941 UNCLAS 021200Z5 --- 29.8N9 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2941 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.6N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.8N4 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2941 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 35.1N9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 38.2N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 30.1N4 153.4E3. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2941 UNCLAS TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (90 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (021130Z7) ANALYSIS. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TY REX HAS BEGUN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS AND BECOME SLIGHTLY DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR WIND SHEAR PRODUCTS ALSO INDICATE TY REX REMAINS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES TY REX IN A MORE NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AS TY REX (06W) TRANSITIONS FROM THE NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY TRACK, AFTER THE 36 HOUR POINT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DECELERATE SLIGHTLY. THE INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE AS TY REX (06W) REMAINS IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2941 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:38:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA17696; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:35:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9515803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA56070 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:35:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:35:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021735.MAA29465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:35:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2aca971927ae0787d9110c87b127a55c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 001 WTPN32 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3375 UNCLAS 021200Z5 --- 27.9N8 133.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 133.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.0N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.2N5 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3375 UNCLAS 040000Z4 --- 31.2N6 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.1N6 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 34.2N9 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 28.2N2 133.5E2. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED (021130Z7) AND MICROWAVE (020848Z2) SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. TD 07W HAS TRACKED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3375 UNCLAS RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND BECOME CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. SURFACE ANALYSIS (020600Z8) SHOWS THE ELONGATED TROUGH WHICH TD 07W RESIDES IN IS SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED. THE FORECAST TRACK IS A CONTINUED NORTHEAST MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST DOMINATES THE STEERING FLOW. SINCE CONTINUED MODERATE WINDSHEAR AND RELATIVE FAST MOVEMENT IS FORECAST, NO INTENSITY INCREASE IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3375 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627382-24963>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:45:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA56064; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:41:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9515902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA31722 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:41:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:41:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021741.MAA29666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 12:41:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1, Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79c61f2f5c21cd1e5f608c7d5b7037b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 WTPN32 PGTW 021500 1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MIMUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3375 UNCLAS 021200Z5 --- 27.9N8 133.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SAELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 133.0E7 FORECASTS:4 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.0N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.2N5 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID ATC PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3375 UNCLAS 040000BR AAA EQMWN6 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: ) 041200Z7 --- 32.1N6 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ P KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 34.2N9 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REMARKS: 021900Z8 POSITION 28.2N2 133.5E2. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED (021130Z7) AND MICROWAVE (020848Z2) SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. TD 07W HAS TRACKED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTJOPICAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3375 UNCLAS RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND BECOME CLOFER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. SURFACE ANALYSIS (020600Z8) SHOWS THE ELONGATED TROUGH WHICH TD 07W RESIDES IN IS SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED. THE FORECAST TRACK S A CONTINUED NORTHEAST MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST DOMINATES THE STEERING FLOW. SINCE CONTINUED MODERATE WINDSHEARM AND RELATIVE MO MOVEMENT IS FORECAST, NO INTENSITY INCREASE IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021953E0), 030300Z6 (9< 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DOG 030753Z8) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 09.9+5). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT ?3375 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629591-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:45:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA49958; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:43:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9517650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:43:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA46840 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:42:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021942.OAA03511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:42:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 603617a63e9d8fd2b398463e581c4f87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 016 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 30.5N8 153.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 153.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 32.0N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 33.7N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 35.4N2 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 37.2N2 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 40.5N9 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 30.9N2 154.1E1. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (80 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 021730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES TY REX (06W) HAS BEGUN ITS MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AND HAS WEAKENED. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES TY REX IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SO WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TY REX (06W) IS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO STEER TY REX NORTHWARD INTO THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. MOVEMENT WILL REMAIN AROUND 9 KNOTS. AS TY REX MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. BY THE 72 HOUR POINT TY REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627444-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:56:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19568; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:52:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9517782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:52:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA18776 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:52:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:52:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809021952.OAA03807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 14:52:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce7fa020739daf879084023d97cf3f54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 123 WTPN31 PGTW 022000 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 30.5N8 153.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 153.8E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 32.0N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE W RADIUS OF 035 KT WIN DS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO024 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: #31800Z2 --- 33.7N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 35.4N2 156.3S5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUOF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST QEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 37.2N2 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 40.5N9 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 0508KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEXICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE - 050 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 30.9N2 154.1E1. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING SITION AND INTENSITY (80 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 021730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANAPFWS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED PMAGERY INDICATES TY REX (06W) HAS BEGUN ITS MORE NORTHWARD TRACK INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SO WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TY REX (06W) IS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO STEER TY REX NORTHWARD INTO THE MID= LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. MOVEMENT WILL REMAIN AROUND 9 KNOTS. AS TY REX MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. BY THE 72 HOUR POINT TY REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXOCATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS /250,32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT ?0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628105-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:06:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA18912; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:03:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9517990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:03:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA17804 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:02:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:02:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022002.PAA04295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:02:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e97b024ab5d9c0cf81a6586033f0803 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 274 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3900 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 30.5N8 153.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 153.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 32.0N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3900 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 33.7N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 35.4N2 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3900 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 37.2N2 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 40.5N9 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3900 UNCLAS REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 30.9N2 154.1E1. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (80 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 021730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES TY REX (06W) HAS BEGUN ITS MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AND HAS WEAKENED. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES TY REX IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SO WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TY REX (06W) IS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO STEER TY REX NORTHWARD INTO THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. MOVEMENT WILL REMAIN AROUND 9 KNOTS. AS TY REX MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. BY THE 72 HOUR POINT TY REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY PAGE 06 RUHPSGG3900 UNCLAS UPDATES.// BT #3900 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627444-24968>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:29:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA16720; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:26:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9518410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62518 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:26:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:26:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022026.PAA04979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:26:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1276c172d08255687cdb458efec9cf60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 WTPN32 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 28.1N1 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 28.7N7 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 29.7N8 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 30.7N0 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 31.7N1 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 34.0N7 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 28.3N3 134.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AND SLOWED SLIGHTLY TO 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS)ARE BASED ON SATELLITE INFRARED ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND 021800Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED. DESPITE THE IMPROVED OUTFLOW, ANIMATION SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, AN EXPOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AT 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE IS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TD 07W IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD. THEREFORE, TD 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 08:13:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627719-24963>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 05:17:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA67754; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:14:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9519357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:14:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA58244 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:14:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809022114.QAA06592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:14:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74c9cf911f87d68160739fc23aa714b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 584 WTPN32 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 28.1N1 133.8E5 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4171 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 28.7N7 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 29.7N8 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 30.7N0 139.4E7 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4171 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 31.7N1 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 34.0N7 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 28.3N3 134.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AND SLOWED SLIGHTLY TO 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS)ARE BASED ON SATELLITE INFRARED ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND 021800Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4171 UNCLAS INCREASED. DESPITE THE IMPROVED OUTFLOW, ANIMATION SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, AN EXPOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AT 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE IS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TD 07W IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD. THEREFORE, TD 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4171 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:09:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67642; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:08:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9524470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:08:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA49578 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:53:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:53:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030153.UAA12625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:53:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f1d36b79549629488d7ef7c5472ad1d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 144 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 31.9N3 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.0N6 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 34.8N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 37.1N1 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 42.4N0 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 31.2N6 154.1E1. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 022330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TAKEN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS BECOMING CONCENTRATED ALONG THE SYSTEM=S SOUTHEAST SIDE. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS TRANSITIONING FROM BEING UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST TO BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT MOVES AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626762-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:06:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20980; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:05:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9524371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:05:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23492 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:03:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030203.VAA12898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:03:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caa26450202a83b4263aba5f24a31887 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 349 WTPN31 PGTW 030200 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) 02 ACTIVE TRNCAL YCLON PLNORTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 9 WARNING TSION: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 7 KTS POSITIONQCURATE TO WITHIN 060-NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PSENT WINDLVCFVQC(--;) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GKSTS 100 KT RMWUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 MMNMO SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT:831.0N4 154.0E0 FORECASTS: .1 03120;+61--- 31.9N3 154.3E3 MEX SUSTAPNED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM ESEMP0> 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 10-;,. 3--5 -3.8:84:)3 ) 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.0N6 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMIC RCLE $) 030 NM ELSEWHE E RADIUSHOF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36#G VPQWPQUVDEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 34.8N5 155.1E2 MAX BVV IDCIKJI70 KVKTUQKT W .4-$0=81)050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ) 025 NM ELSEWHE E L035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8888888 88880QUGNM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEGLW KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 050000Z5 --- 37.1N1 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT:# 060000Z6 --- 42.4N0 157.1E4 XAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS KUT KT N DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICAT TV WG CYCPVA OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627647-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:38:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47392; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:36:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9525241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:36:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45568 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:34:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:34:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030234.VAA13398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:34:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e566fcb9ca07fbafa05e34739006708 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 893 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 29.1N2 136.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 136.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.6N9 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 32.1N6 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 33.5N1 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.6N3 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 36.5N4 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 29.5N6 137.4E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 022132Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS BEEN RAPIDLY TRACKING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST. LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL BUT AN EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL DOES EXIST. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD BEGIN TO FEEL THE INFLUENCE OF TYPHOON REX=S (06W) CIRCULATION AS WELL AS INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR FROM ITS OUTFLOW . TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3026 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629677-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:44:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA18934; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:42:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9525438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57716 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:41:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:41:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030241.VAA13533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 21:41:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5fdd40f93f5d1707185bfac1ac9fdb3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 31.9N3 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.0N6 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 34.8N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 37.1N1 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 42.4N0 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 31.2N6 154.1E1. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 022330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TAKEN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS BECOMING CONCENTRATED ALONG THE SYSTEM'S SOUTHEAST SIDE. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS TRANSITIONING FROM BEING UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST TO BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT MOVES AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5814 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3711 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629624-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:17:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA60050; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:12:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9526044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:12:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA33326 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:12:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030312.WAA14063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:12:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50739d76decfb714fb0d30c974089c8e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINEEWCM ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5 14 UNLWARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITQMN ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OXTP KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 55 KT WIM- 120 NM EAST XZMICCRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 154.0E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 31.9N3 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE - 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.0N6 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 34.8N5 1<5.1EP P XMAX SUSLAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RWUSSOF 851 TBCIKIVRT NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE Y?87- 9> 035 KT WINDS -;0NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 37.1N1 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105NO IPVC CLE N 6 8 #0#9 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ /(5- 72,XWVVALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 42.4N0 TUMQE4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE .() 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 31.2N6 154.1E1. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 022330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TAKEN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOSCVA MAIN CONVECTION IS BECOMING CONCENTRATED ALONG THE SYSTEM-S SOUTHEAST SIDE. TYPHOON REX (06W) IS TRANSITIONING FROM BEING UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST TO BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICALSIXE TOPITS EAST. THIS TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT MOVES AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FOREC POSQTVON. TMF SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE A GRADUAL DECRSE IN INTENSITY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5814 UNCLAS PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z/) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL EPRESSO N 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT ?58QR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 12:52:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627433-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 11:48:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39102; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:44:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9526421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA33452 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:44:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:44:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030344.WAA14417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 22:44:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00718618d3e30bef861b57f5daa1a738 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 29.1N2 136.6E6 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6118 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 136.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.6N9 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 32.1N6 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 33.5N1 146.7E8 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6118 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.6N3 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 36.5N4 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 29.5N6 137.4E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 022132Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6118 UNCLAS HAS BEEN RAPIDLY TRACKING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST. LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL BUT AN EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL DOES EXIST. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD BEGIN TO FEEL THE INFLUENCE OF TYPHOON REX'S (06W) CIRCULATION AS WELL AS INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR FROM ITS OUTFLOW . TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6118 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 14:09:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627759-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 13:51:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA09824; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:46:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9527661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:46:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA47114 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:46:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030545.AAA15615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:45:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6aee978a3327f2e67d2e493fd6af3602 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151 SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 030300). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW 030300))// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.0N4 154.0E0 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED 29.1N2 136.6E6 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTGW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 131E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29.1N2 136.6E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE 1.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 37N0 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 41N5 158E4. DEEP CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 118E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627647-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:27:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24704; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:24:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63546 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:23:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:23:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030823.DAA16755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:23:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 350ec6d12c35cedb46d86a466685cdac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 419 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 29.7N8 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 138.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 30.9N2 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 32.1N6 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.9N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 33.2N8 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 33.3N9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 30.0N3 138.7E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W CONTINUES TO QUICKLY TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION, THEN THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE SYSTEM=S TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3086 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:47:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24770; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:41:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:41:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60080 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:41:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030841.DAA16864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:41:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf9fceef132b4f7a2188e0d23b012115 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7001 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 31.3N7 154.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.3N7 154.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 31.9N3 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7001 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 32.7N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 34.0N7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7001 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 36.3N2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 42.1N7 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 31.5N9 154.5E5. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7001 UNCLAS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 030530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W)HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS IN WEAK STEERING FLOW. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED AND TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AS IT BECOMES MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629690-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:50:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA58114; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:44:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:44:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04848 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:44:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:44:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030844.DAA16888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 03:44:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57847ff23c7b51bb8363ec2fbf741f7f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 29.7N8 138.1E3 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7002 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 138.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 30.9N2 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 32.1N6 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.9N4 146.3E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7002 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 33.2N8 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 33.3N9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 30.0N3 138.7E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W CONTINUES TO QUICKLY PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7002 UNCLAS TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION, THEN THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE SYSTEM'S TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7002 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 17:36:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2784 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629680-6153>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 17:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56226; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:03:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9528813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:03:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA41052 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:03:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:03:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030903.EAA17254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 04:03:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) -4,8,< ,4 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c66b4c18d891902b648fc4e9cb78adb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) -4,8,< ,4 042 ) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAPNED WINDS BASED ON ONE MINUTE AVERA E PAGE 02 RUHPSGG70010UNCAS WARNING POSITION: ) 030600Z9 --- 31.3N7,154.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO IITHIN 060 NM POSION BASED ON CEVOHWOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 (5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 00 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUSHOQ03))K WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPNPOSIT: 31.3N7 154.4E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 31.9N3 154/8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTAVKQPUGKT RADIUSPOF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE W 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7001 UNCLAS 0 070 NM ELSHERE ;3:594 59 24 HR POYIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 32.7N2 155.2E3 MMSUSTAINED WO FLQPQQKO, GUUS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSOXYE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 1 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 2 041800;XMBYMPN7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WQVDL55 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUSIMF PTP KT WINDS - 035 NM EAS SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHEVM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 099 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NMPELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 15 DEGQQW KTS PAGE CPRUHPSGG70;-.7,:).# EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 36.3N2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT OJMICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EASTNSVICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 42.1N7 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLON.;34 2-534 RADIUSNOF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE - 045 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITIONPNUTNO QTRMTE5. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKEDPNORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7001 UNCLAS OVER THE PAST 6 HOIJ THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED OV 030530Z1 VIIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERYLTHE WARNING INTENSITY IS KMDOLON A 038530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHTON REX (06W)HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS IN WZAK STEERI LHFLOIM TYPHOON REX (0<) SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEEF AND TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AS IT BECOMES MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OVER COOLER SEA SURFJCE TEMPERATURES. MAXIM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT QNFORMATION. NXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9-(DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT ?7001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627762-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:17:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49592; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:14:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9531692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:14:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29044 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:14:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:14:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031414.JAA21253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:14:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4b5d02553ef7bf2277f19177e7146f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 002 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7623 UNCLAS 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 31.4N8 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 154.8E8 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7623 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.8N2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.6N1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7623 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.0N7 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 36.3N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 41.2N7 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7623 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 31.5N9 154.9E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT IS FORECAST TO START MOVING NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS NORTH OVER COOLER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG PAGE 06 RUHPSGG7623 UNCLAS 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7623 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 22:34:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629697-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:18:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58190; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:17:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9531734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:17:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36668 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:17:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:17:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031417.JAA21372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:17:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 576cba47a7ed09acb05fc53c91fbb1e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 028 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 30.0N3 139.9E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7624 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.5N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.3N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.5N0 149.3E7 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7624 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.5N0 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 32.5N0 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 30.4N7 140.7E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7624 UNCLAS PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD CONTINUE ITS CURRENT TRACK UNTIL TURNING MORE EASTWARD AS IT FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF TYPHOON REX (06W) LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7624 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629734-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:40:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49578; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:36:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9531967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57632 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:35:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031435.JAA21784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2c6e3537604dfb0eb78acf1d23af93a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 31.4N8 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 154.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.8N2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.6N1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.0N7 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 36.3N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 41.2N7 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 31.5N9 154.9E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT IS FORECAST TO START MOVING NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS NORTH OVER COOLER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4210 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629731-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:40:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04610; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:37:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9531983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA49644 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:36:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031436.JAA21817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:36:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b1eb0699160ce9a8039897540af3ac8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 30.0N3 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.5N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.3N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.5N0 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.5N0 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 32.5N0 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 30.4N7 140.7E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD CONTINUE ITS CURRENT TRACK UNTIL TURNING MORE EASTWARD AS IT FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF TYPHOON REX (06W) LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629720-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:44:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA62532; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:40:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9532036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:39:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04748 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:39:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:39:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031439.JAA21851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:39:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54df8c86040cf2d2ed0150d5926dd722 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 PAGE IKVUNCLAS 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICW :6:)9,3- 8, ,945#23-50-: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 7031200Z6 --- 31.4N8 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS OSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 154.8E8 FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7623 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 31.8N2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMCIJKQH ( 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST MBVEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS - 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.6N1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 07;<(5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 06; ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7623 UNCL# 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.0N7 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 099KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS F 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EASOCIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 0512Z8 --- 36.3N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629755-24599>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA36764; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:52:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9532248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:51:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA59960 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:50:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA22076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:50:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809031450.JAA22076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 09:50:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd3acad36889a2457c1ecbdcc54f6104 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 591 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SSTAINED WINDYLBASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 30.0N3,139.9E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7624 UNCLAS M MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NMOMW POSITION BASED ON CENT E R LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIPD DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 139.9E2 12 HRS, VALID AT: #40000Z4 --- 31.5N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 14 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.3N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSITWLWBDEGX QE KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.5;00 149.3E7 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7624 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT UO 48 HR POSIT: ;/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.5N0 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT,0GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIV POP KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 32.5N0 154.7E7 MAX IMAINED WINDS - 030 T, 040 KT REMARKS: 0 ;0Z9 POSITION 30.4N7 140.7E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE W RNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE CMAGERY.#ZING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7624 UNCLAS PREVIOUS FORECAST.;54908:-) $3043--89, 07W SHOULD CONTINUE ITS CURRENT TRACK UNTIL TURNING MORE EASTWARD AS IT FAL PKPOHE INFLUENCE OF TYVOON REX KPYW) LOCATED TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTSITY THROUGHOUT THE XORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVEHEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100O6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153ZLN 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT ?7624 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626745-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:19:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45676; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:15:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9538441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:15:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA28224 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:15:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:14:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032014.PAA02805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:14:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3061343d297c5c01809628bc10b3729f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 927 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 31.5N9 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.7N1 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.5N0 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 33.8N4 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 36.1N0 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 40.7N1 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 31.6N0 155.4E5. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 031730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TY REX HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE SLOWLY UP THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, AND THE TUTT CELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TY REX CONTINUES TO DRAW MUCH OF THE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST. TYPHOON REX IS STILL FORECAST TO GAIN SPEED AS IT TRAVELS NORTH ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COLDER WATERS TO THE NORTH WHILE THE TUTT CELL CONTINUES TO DRAW MUCH OF THE CONVECTION AWAY FROM TY REX. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:25:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA13072; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:23:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9538587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:22:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29040 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:22:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:22:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032022.PAA03046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:22:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65950ee6da776c9830bad43edc3e48a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 30.7N0 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.9N3 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.3N8 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.5N0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 32.5N0 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 32.5N0 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 31.0N4 142.7E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 031730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO POSITION USING ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, MUCH OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 07W HAS SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER, RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MORE CONVECTION IS FORMING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS STILL FORECAST TO TRAVEL EASTWARD AND SLOW DOWN AS IT APPROACHES TYPHOON REX (06W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626628-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:28:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39262; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:25:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9538616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:25:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA45642 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:25:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:25:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032025.PAA03177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 15:25:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rel(06w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 549b9e492c3cb5ed01b48d69d993096a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 068 WTPN31 PGTW 032000 1. TYPHOON REL(06W) WARNING NR 044 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON TNE-MINUTEHIMW --= 9 031800Z2 --- 31.5N9 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACURATE TO WIOHPN 160 NVMMW POSITION BASED ON CENTE R LOCATED BY SATELLITE PREUET WINDHDPSTRQBUTQVVMMW MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KTN GUSTPP I P KT MW PPRAUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 ,. -975#3--59 )00; #00 08 030 NM ELSE;3 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTVEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ZLSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 155.2E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.7N1 195.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OK 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUT EAST SEMICIRCLE 010NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TOS24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 0= KTAVL AAV 88 24 HRS, VALIVKEAVL PRQIPPZ3 --- 32.5N0 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSOSH070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMQCIRCLE 0 0 020 VM ELSEWHERE RADIUS 035 KTPKUKQPOT NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 0; TOPNMVE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/007 KTS PPPPVCMM 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 33.8N4 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, UL065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWVERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOMK: 048 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 36.1N0 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, USTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8000000 00 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTO TO 72 HR POSIT( 1+PK/ 13 KTS 872 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 40.7N1 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0390V GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 31.6N0 155.4E5. 2OYVHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BMLUPON 03130Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERQ UQVTY REX HUPANTINUED TO MOVKCUP THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, AND THE TUTT CELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TY REXPONTINUES TO DRAW MUCH OF TME CONVECTPON TO THE SOUTHEAST. TYPHOON REX IS STILL FORECAST TO GAIN SPEED AS IT TRAVELS NORTH A9;<..2THE SUBTROPIC A L RIDGE. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COLG WATERS TO THE NORTH WHILE THE TUTT CELL CONTINUES TO DRAW MUCH OF THE CMVQVPVVPFROM TY REX. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANTNMAVNE HEIGHT AT 031800Z 7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 DTG 041951Z0). REFEPTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNQCGS (WTPN32 PGTW) >94 -8/-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626628-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:07:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA19504; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:04:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9539343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA41750 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:04:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032104.QAA04465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:04:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1daf0925fd9b47a92934efb5a9b943b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 30.7N0 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: $ - J -$#0J# >$$E MAH SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 H N(: 0 >- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:17:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA42956; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:35:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9539656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA19120 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:35:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA05162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:35:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032135.QAA05162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:35:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b3b2be89cae996e102257c578fb43e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 209 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9108 UNCLAS 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 31.5N9 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9108 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.7N1 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.5N0 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9108 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 33.8N4 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 36.1N0 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 40.7N1 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9108 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 31.6N0 155.4E5. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 031730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TY REX HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE SLOWLY UP THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, AND THE TUTT CELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TY REX CONTINUES TO DRAW MUCH OF THE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST. TYPHOON REX IS STILL FORECAST TO GAIN SPEED AS IT TRAVELS NORTH ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COLDER WATERS TO THE NORTH WHILE THE TUTT CELL CONTINUES TO DRAW MUCH OF THE CONVECTION AWAY FROM TY REX. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9108 UNCLAS 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9108 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4969 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626731-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:41:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA61454; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:38:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9539701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:38:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA41966 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:38:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA05206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032138.QAA05206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:38:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdf98017eb747b14e0a057a0ab1fb97f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 30.7N0 141.8E4 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9106 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 31.9N3 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 32.3N8 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.5N0 150.6E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9106 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 32.5N0 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 32.5N0 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 31.0N4 142.7E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 031730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9106 UNCLAS SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO POSITION USING ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, MUCH OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 07W HAS SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER, RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MORE CONVECTION IS FORMING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS STILL FORECAST TO TRAVEL EASTWARD AND SLOW DOWN AS IT APPROACHES TYPHOON REX (06W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9106 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-24599>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 05:45:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52792; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:44:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9539767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA04636 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:44:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA05293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809032143.QAA05293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 16:43:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0679e3ca23994388b5c6888823e14ebf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 281 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9108 UVCGAS 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) QNWNG NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 031800MQDMMBOUTN9 195.2E3 MOVEMENT PASTPQV HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCMMBY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MA SVVNADCIKIV9 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627018-8070>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 10:13:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA57634; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:12:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:12:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44300 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:12:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:12:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040212.VAA09430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:12:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8255f4b6ce2d4fb81737227f2eef4ad4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 469 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 045 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 31.5N9 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER CATED?Y SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 31.6N0 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.9N3 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.4N9 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 33.0N6 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 34.3N0 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 31.5N9 155.7E8. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 032330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS RIDGE SHOULD PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BECOME STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST WHICH WILL TAKE THE FORECAST TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627477-15780>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 10:49:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45646; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:48:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA59186 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:48:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040248.VAA09818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 21:48:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 008 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1d65a40311db6168454ac0a0502ee60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 194 WTPN32 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 30.5N8 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 31.0N4 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 31.8N2 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.8N2 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 31.8N2 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 30.6N9 141.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 032330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWING A TIGHTLY WOUND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF A 30 KNOT SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW- LEVEL. HOWEVER, THE MAIN CONVECTION IS LOCATED 65 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS BEING STEERED BY THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE CIRCULATION AROUND TYPHOON REX (06W). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD REMAIN AT ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IDENTIFYING THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-15780>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:10:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA34366; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:05:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45612 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:05:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:05:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040305.WAA10101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:05:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8229ab74183fd02bf44a700c21b224ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 479 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 045 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 31.5N9 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0596 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 31.6N0 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.9N3 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.4N9 157.9E2 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0596 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 33.0N6 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 34.3N0 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0596 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 31.5N9 155.7E8. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 032330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS RIDGE SHOULD PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BECOME STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST WHICH WILL TAKE THE FORECAST TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0596 UNCLAS 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0596 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627457-15780>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:19:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA23630; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:17:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:17:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA59946 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:17:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:17:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040317.WAA10248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:17:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 008 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b925220ba9f50e391b0e9a0184a8c3de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 797 WTPN32 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0610 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 30.5N8 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 31.0N4 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0610 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 31.8N2 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.8N2 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 31.8N2 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 30.6N9 141.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0610 UNCLAS BASED ON 032330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWING A TIGHTLY WOUND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF A 30 KNOT SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW- LEVEL. HOWEVER, THE MAIN CONVECTION IS LOCATED 65 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS BEING STEERED BY THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE CIRCULATION AROUND TYPHOON REX (06W). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD REMAIN AT ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IDENTIFYING THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0610 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627485-15780>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 11:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA23654; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:20:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9542964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:20:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57680 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:20:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:20:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040320.WAA10279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:20:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 008 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a4be4a2698baa4882e1646803f76cb3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 WTPN32 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0611 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 30.5N8 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 31.0N4 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0611 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 31.8N2 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.8N2 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 31.8N2 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 30.6N9 141.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0611 UNCLAS BASED ON 032330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWING A TIGHTLY WOUND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF A 30 KNOT SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW- LEVEL. HOWEVER, THE MAIN CONVECTION IS LOCATED 65 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS BEING STEERED BY THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE CIRCULATION AROUND TYPHOON REX (06W). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W SHOULD REMAIN AT ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IDENTIFYING THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0611 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627760-29329>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:11:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44468; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:10:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:10:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA53096 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:10:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:09:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040609.BAA11920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:09:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1866b868b9c594ed91f052e87ff649f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151 SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040153 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 040300). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW 040300))// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.5N9 155.5E6 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED 30.5N8 141.1E7 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTGW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 16:26:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627789-26640>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 16:11:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA34436; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:10:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:10:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA34400 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:10:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:10:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040810.DAA12884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:10:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b60ef691db8aa9f9b0389be67bd03e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 320 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 046 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 31.5N9 156.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 156.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 31.6N0 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.1N6 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 32.8N3 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 33.6N2 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 35.7N5 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 31.5N9 156.8E0. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 040530Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN UNTIL THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND SLOWLY TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD BASED ON A 031158Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR ITS FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1764 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629720-528>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 16:24:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA17684; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:23:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:22:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA53242 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:22:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:22:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040822.DAA12949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:22:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7444889fd88fed93c564ba9bd1873a6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 514 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 30.6N9 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 30.9N2 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 31.1N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 30.7N0 142.3E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040532Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 040532Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS BEEN MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO SEPARATE FROM ITS LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOW SHEARED 74 NM AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1835 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629843-528>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 16:29:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA67598; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:29:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15822 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:28:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040828.DAA12962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 03:28:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf3d08dba6678f02b8473fdbc4fc1bca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 600 WTPN32 PGTW 040800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPCEE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS B A SNON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 30.6,9 1 1.8E4 MOVEVT PWYT SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM 0 POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITH PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEATPOSIT: 30.6N9 141.8E4 FORECASTS: 2 12 HRS, VALID ET: 041800Z300.?.9N2 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WICDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z( --- 31.1N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 30.7N0 142.3E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION PLBASED ON 040532Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 040532Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST;054908:-) $3043--89, 07W HAS BEEN MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W;S DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONT UED TO SEPARATE FROM ITS LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM;S DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOW SHEARED 74 NM AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). TTE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FMR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627896-4842>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:04:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA53204; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:02:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA34488 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:02:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:02:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040902.EAA13208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:02:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 847db88e75e8f04dde286411ea0f4d2e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 046 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 31.5N9 156.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 156.4E6 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1798 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 31.6N0 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.1N6 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 32.8N3 161.0E8 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1798 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 33.6N2 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 35.7N5 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1798 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 31.5N9 156.8E0. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 040530Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN UNTIL THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND SLOWLY TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. TYPHOON REX (06W) SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD BASED ON A 031158Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1798 UNCLAS 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR ITS FINAL WARNING.// BT #1798 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627817-6950>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:06:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44436; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:05:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47234 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:05:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040905.EAA13216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:05:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2390dda9accdc6305314cb8b6122ce8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 032 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1797 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 30.6N9 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 30.9N2 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 31.1N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 025 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1797 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 30.7N0 142.3E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040532Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 040532Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS BEEN MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W'S DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO SEPARATE FROM ITS LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM'S DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOW SHEARED 74 NM AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1797 UNCLAS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1797 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-8418>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 17:23:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30280; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:21:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9545365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:21:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47414 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:21:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:21:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040921.EAA13363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:21:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42ff2824e1c532918f02c6394a5636ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 009 02 ACHPE TROPICAL CY ONES IMINORTHWEETPAC -MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAG PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1797 UNCLAS N WARNING POSITION: 06PPX AAA EPMYN9 141.8E4 # MOVEMENT PAST SIX .1)- 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCUCTO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BADFON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: VAX UUSTAINEDPWINDS - 030 KT, GUSOSP04).(5 DISSIPTING ALW SIGNIFICANT TRICA CYCLONE GVER WATER 00REVOPOSIT: 30.6N9 141.8E,. ) FORECASTS: 8 12 HRS, VALID AT: 04IPPZ30--- 30.9N2 143.6EPR MAXNSUSTAINED WINDA - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTMR TO 24 HR POSIT: 089 DE/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 31.1N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KON GUSTS 025 KT AGE 03 RUHPSGG1797 UNCLAS M DISSIPAONAS A WGNIFICANTTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION EPMUN0 142.-E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARVING POSITITN IQPBWQED ON BIRPTEWZ4 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4297 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-25343>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:51:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA52018; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:49:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9547718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:49:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13062 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:49:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:49:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041349.IAA16228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:49:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8477cd10d504eed477887d8eed58bd22 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 341 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 047 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 31.5N9 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.5N9 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 31.3N7 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.6N0 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 32.6N1 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 34.7N4 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 31.5N9 157.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 041130Z9 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX SHOULD CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE SWITCHES TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SLIGHT SOUTHWARD JAUNT IN THE TRACK IS DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW, WHICH COULD AFFECT TY REX=S TRACK BETWEEN THE 12 AND 36-HOUR MARK. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COOLER WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627812-25343>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:58:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA58364; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:58:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9547803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:58:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA53216 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:58:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:57:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041357.IAA16357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:57:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f4d70ab375c275f26478adba95925c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 448 WTPN31 PGTW 041400 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 047 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 2H WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 31.5N9 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM 0 POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 880 VMPSOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIKY OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT PMSIT: 31.5N9 157.2E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALIAT:9.2) 050000Z5 --- 31.5N9 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 31.3NU QYPMRE1 MX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF )50 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.6N0 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOG TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS M EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AO: 061200Z9 --- 32.6N1 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE # 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 34.7N4 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 31.5N9 157.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDY THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BJBOH UPON 041130Z9 ANIMATED INFRAGESATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX SHOULD CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT EY HOURS BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE SWITCHES TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SLIGHT SOUTHWARD JAUNT IN THE TRACK IS DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW, WHICH COULD AFFECT TY REX;S TRACK BWEEN THE 12 AND 3/.#974 .-4(. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE ASPQT TRAVELS OVEK COOLER WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFERNTO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 23:12:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2714 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627825-25343>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47486; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:18:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9548054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:18:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA60106 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:17:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA16761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:17:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809041417.JAA16761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:17:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45da069526dee51f4e08da2f1d9272bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 854 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 047 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 31.5N9 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2584 UNCLAS 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 31.5N9 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 31.3N7 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2584 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.6N0 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 32.6N1 162.9E8 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2584 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 34.7N4 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ?WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 31.5N9 157.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2584 UNCLAS UPON 041130Z9 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX SHOULD CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE SWITCHES TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SLIGHT SOUTHWARD JAUNT IN THE TRACK IS DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW, WHICH COULD AFFECT TY REX'S TRACK BETWEEN THE 12 AND 36-HOUR MARK. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COOLER WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// BT #2584 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627876-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:07:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA62598; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:06:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9553585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:06:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA27172 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:05:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:05:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809042005.PAA25428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:05:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3369bf07657f3294880d29db83a7517 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 584 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 048 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 31.7N1 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N1 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.3N8 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 32.9N4 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 33.5N1 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 34.4N1 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 36.6N5 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 31.8N2 157.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 041730Z5 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX HAS SLOWED AS IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS SLOWED AND SHIFTED TO THE WEST SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TY REX IS INTERACTING WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BEFORE THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW CAN CHANGE THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TY REX, WHICH WAS THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE UNTIL NOW. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COOLER WATER AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 09:39:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2150 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627881-25343>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:21:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25210; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9553771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:17:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA63592 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:17:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:17:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809042017.PAA25682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 15:17:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rex (06w) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e4717c81152230c562ce657286d6c05 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 814 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON REX (06W) WARNING NR 048 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 31.7N1 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3751 UNCLAS 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N1 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.3N8 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 32.9N4 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3751 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 33.5N1 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 34.4N1 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3751 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 36.6N5 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 31.8N2 157.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) REX (06W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 041730Z5 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON REX HAS SLOWED AS IT APPROACHES THE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG3751 UNCLAS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON REX SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS SLOWED AND SHIFTED TO THE WEST SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TY REX IS INTERACTING WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BEFORE THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW CAN CHANGE THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TY REX, WHICH WAS THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE UNTIL NOW. TYPHOON REX SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS OVER COOLER WATER AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO THE APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// BT #3751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 12:07:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2807 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-19380>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA27360; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:55:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9556826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30410 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:55:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050255.VAA00614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:55:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 049 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ef41a352ab0cd9aad2b39ce073e38f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 049 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 31.9N3 157.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N3 157.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.5N0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 33.3N9 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 34.4N1 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 35.5N3 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 38.2N3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 32.1N6 157.9E2. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE TRACK AND POSITION WERE VERIFIED USING 042254Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TS REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION AS ITS DOMINANT STEERING FLOW BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. TS REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A NORTH- EASTWARD TRACK AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING NR 9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 05 12:42:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA52198; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 23:00:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9557417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:59:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA46750 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:59:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:59:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050359.WAA01009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:59:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 049 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b19406d9c7ce35eaedf08776be30a7df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 049 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 31.9N3 157.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N3 157.7E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5477 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 32.5N0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 33.3N9 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5477 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 34.4N1 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 35.5N3 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 38.2N3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5477 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 32.1N6 157.9E2. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE TRACK AND POSITION WERE VERIFIED USING 042254Z7 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TS REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION AS ITS DOMINANT STEERING FLOW BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. TS REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A NORTH- EASTWARD TRACK AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5477 UNCLAS REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING NR 9.// BT #5477 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:34:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA46660; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA46630 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050734.CAA02616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1275cabe1648c0e1fbf0c2dd610c00fd X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 543 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151 SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040753 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 050300). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW 040900))// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.9N3 157.7E0 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTGW 040900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:44:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA46674; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA33828 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050734.CAA02617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:34:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99f69670431c582103a429756f0ed26e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 543 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151 SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040753 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 050300). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW 040900))// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.9N3 157.7E0 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTGW 040900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 16:50:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63652; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:50:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9558978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19600 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:50:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050849.DAA03109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 03:49:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 050 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2114e523f264164df044b149b32e70f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 32.8N3 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N3 157.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 34.1N8 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 35.8N6 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 37.4N4 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 39.1N3 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 42.5N1 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 33.1N7 158.1E5. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS REX (06W) IS NOW UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE BLOCKING HIGH TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEEDS FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST DUE TO THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE AS TS REX (06W) ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 17:45:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34852; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:44:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9559183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:44:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA53254 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:44:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809050944.EAA03469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 04:44:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 050 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ca34b0324d102a11fdd7f97adbfcff5 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 32.8N3 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N3 157.9E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6307 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 34.1N8 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 35.8N6 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6307 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 37.4N4 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 39.1N3 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 42.5N1 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6307 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 33.1N7 158.1E5. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS REX (06W) IS NOW UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE BLOCKING HIGH TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEEDS FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST DUE TO THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE AS TS REX (06W) ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// BT #6307 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:38:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22472; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 09:37:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9560537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 09:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA52140 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 09:37:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 09:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051436.JAA05185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 09:36:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5d499750a42cdcba4df4429bac7a431 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 33.5N1 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.5N1 157.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 34.8N5 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 36.5N4 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 38.5N6 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 40.7N1 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 45.8N7 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 33.8N4 158.0E4. TS REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED (051130Z0) AND MICROWAVE (051011Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST HAS BECOME THE DOMINATE STEERING MECHANISM. ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TS REX IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD AS IT BEGINS INTERACTING WITH MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. TS REX IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TS REX IS EXPECTED WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINING FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TS REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW AFTER THE THE 48 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 23:05:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA52070; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:05:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9560647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:05:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA33874 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:05:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA05396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:05:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051505.KAA05396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 10:05:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0323ab3333320a4ac7c822e4066cddc X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 400 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 33.5N1 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.5N1 157.9E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6913 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 34.8N5 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 36.5N4 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 38.5N6 160.2E9 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6913 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 40.7N1 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 45.8N7 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 33.8N4 158.0E4. TS REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6913 UNCLAS THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED (051130Z0) AND MICROWAVE (051011Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST HAS BECOME THE DOMINATE STEERING MECHANISM. ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TS REX IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD AS IT BEGINS INTERACTING WITH MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. TS REX IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TS REX IS EXPECTED WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINING FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TS REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW AFTER THE THE 48 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// BT #6913 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627633-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45678; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:53:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA55900 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:53:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809051953.OAA07561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 14:53:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f9b1cd2a7860bd61763686a7c9cf4d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 083 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 34.0N7 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N7 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 35.2N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 36.8N7 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 38.8N9 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 40.9N3 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 46.0N0 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 34.3N0 158.2E6. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INFRARED (051130Z0) AND MICROWAVE (051011Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE (55 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING TS REX FROM THE WEST. TS REX IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND GRADUAL ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST IS THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. TS REX SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND MOVE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE WATERS. TS REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM AROUND THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:08:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA49140; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:08:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44252 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:07:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809052007.PAA07797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:07:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fced4c1be842a9fd28dbafe5f825fb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 WTPN31 PGTW 052000 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYLONE I NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSONA LWINDS BASED ON MNE-MINUTE AVERAGHM WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 34.0N7 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURSHA PWP DEVREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCUATE TO WITHIN060 NM M POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: ) MAX SUSTAQNEDWINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT 0 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE 0 0RADIUS OF 035 KOH1:$- -0250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWMV REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N7 158.1E5 PPPFORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID A: 060600Z2 --- 35(;,0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, KVL070 KT RADI S OF 050 KT 8,$- - 070 NM SOUTHEAVWCIRCLE 000 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINKU NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS 06180Z5 --- 36.8N7 159.5E0 RADIUS OF 035 KO WINDS - 2200;;0-975#3--5 -3.8:84:)3 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 825 DEG/ 11 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 38.8N9 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSP40 KT,0GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 09 KO CIUIVBQPUVNM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOJPOMP48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS ##,93;MMUTLOOK;./20 048 HRS, ;-)7$ -5M 071800Z6 --- 40.9N3 162;5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT M BEOMING EXTRATROPICAL VOOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 0 081800Z7 --- 46.0N0 167.4E8 000; -7-5-8,3$ 28,$- - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 34.3VKUUOIMWE6. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENOQWCLIS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INFRARED (0511+0Z0) AND MICROWAVE (051011Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY. CUKRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE (55 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUEBL AVQVC LWATY VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICMMUVQMLATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING TS REX FROM THE WEST. T LIS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS NMRTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND GRADUAL ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SUOKOPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST IS TV;;8,-,5 -53348,< 8,>)73,:3.992TS RE X SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE OOUGH AND MOVE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE WATERS. TS REX IS FOREC T TOPKUIX2589,8,< 59 -, 3/54--TROPICAL SYSTEM AROUND THE Q HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 18 FEET. -O6 59 2202=31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNQVGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3)060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 06,Z2).// ?0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:31:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA34468; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:30:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52216 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:29:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809052029.PAA07930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:29:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 583d314dbeb05745429d42d94642446e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 695 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 34.0N7 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N7 158.1E5 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7267 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 35.2N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 36.8N7 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 38.8N9 160.7E4 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7267 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 40.9N3 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 46.0N0 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 34.3N0 158.2E6. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7267 UNCLAS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INFRARED (051130Z0) AND MICROWAVE (051011Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE (55 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING TS REX FROM THE WEST. TS REX IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST IS THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. TS REX SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND MOVE OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE WATERS. TS REX IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM AROUND THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// BT #7267 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:02:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627648-10935>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:40:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA59818; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:40:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9563966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40088 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:40:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:40:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809052040.PAA08041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:40:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7328354b8b3f745009536f42107e1f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 904 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 052 01 81)3 54908:-)0YCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 11:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2590 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625947-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 11:16:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA52972; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:12:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9567384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:12:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA52440 for ; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:12:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:11:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060311.WAA11128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 22:11:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 428d9ec9763b12e576e1cd0822daa7bf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 767 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 053 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 35.3N1 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.3N1 158.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 37.5N5 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 40.0N4 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 43.0N7 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 46.1N1 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 50.9N4 177.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 35.9N7 159.2E7. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARAT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 052330Z3 VISIBLE AND 052242Z5 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) IS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. TS REX (06W) IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS WELL. TS REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO BE AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:13:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19174; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:11:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9567977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23686 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:09:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:08:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060508.AAA11915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:08:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9212f24819b35fedb7dda15737190843 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 053 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 35.3N1 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.3N1 158.9E3 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7875 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 37.5N5 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 40.0N4 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 43.0N7 164.2E3 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7875 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 46.1N1 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 50.9N4 177.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 35.9N7 159.2E7. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7875 UNCLAS KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 052330Z3 VISIBLE AND 052242Z5 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) IS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. TS REX (06W) IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD SPEED. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS WELL. TS REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO BE AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// BT #7875 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4139 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-8433>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:28:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19564; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44114 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060627.BAA12474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 098d51cde2a60b54b4e15b697b4f8b49 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 612 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z5 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.3N1 158.9E3 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 122E5 IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF TAIWAN. THE OVERALL AREA HAS EXISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS BUT WITH NO PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH MOVING OFF-SHORE FROM EASTERN CHINA. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, UW-CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE THE AREA HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LASTLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS POOR. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-8433>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:37:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19576; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25172 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060627.BAA12475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:27:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f217089373f380c6f1c687bf79be89e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 612 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z5 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.3N1 158.9E3 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 122E5 IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF TAIWAN. THE OVERALL AREA HAS EXISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS BUT WITH NO PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. THE AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH MOVING OFF-SHORE FROM EASTERN CHINA. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. HOWEVER, UW-CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE THE AREA HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LASTLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS POOR. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-8435>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 16:49:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19048; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:48:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9568947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25162 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:48:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:47:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060847.DAA13275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 03:47:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 054 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e33f107835cd835415a92b32b83b962 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 095 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 054 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 36.9N8 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.9N8 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 39.6N8 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 42.1N7 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 44.8N6 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 47.8N9 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 51.2N8 170.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 37.6N6 160.1E8. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 060530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM IS AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. TS REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE 48-PERIOD DUE TO THE STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE AND INTERACTION WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TS REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48- HOUR POINT AS WELL. AFTERWARDS, THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE EASTWARD WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. INCREASED SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 06 21:45:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626116-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 17:41:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA49104; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:38:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9569173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44214 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:38:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809060937.EAA13544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 04:37:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 054 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94bc9c3b2f870b28ac404476b34c49bd X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 034 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 054 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 36.9N8 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.9N8 159.7E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8149 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 39.6N8 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 42.1N7 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8149 UNCLAS 071800Z6 --- 44.8N6 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 47.8N9 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 51.2N8 170.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8149 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 37.6N6 160.1E8. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 060530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM IS AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. TS REX (06W) IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE 48-PERIOD DUE TO THE STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE AND INTERACTION WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TS REX (06W) IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48- HOUR POINT AS WELL. AFTERWARDS, THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE EASTWARD WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. INCREASED SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// BT #8149 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 00:04:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626391-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 21:47:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA38782; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:46:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9570365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA27240 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:46:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061345.IAA14778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 08:45:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 055 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8323079b170496360681684b6f779e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 463 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 38.6N7 161.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.6N7 161.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 42.1N7 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 45.5N4 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 48.3N5 173.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 49.8N1 178.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 51.1N7 170.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 39.5N7 162.1E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 061130Z1 INFRARED AND 060805Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TS REX IS PROVIDING THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS INFLUENCING TS REX. A CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REFLECTS TS REX BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN THE 24 AND 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE LENGTH OF THE FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE EXPECTED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TIME. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN DELETED FOR THE EXTRATROPICAL FORECAST POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 00:04:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3489 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-8434>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:17:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47488; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 09:17:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9570638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 09:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41580 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 09:17:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 09:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061417.JAA14970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 09:17:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 055 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e993547e54ae6c53ad08cac57f4f553c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 175 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 38.6N7 161.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8465 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 38.6N7 161.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 42.1N7 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 45.5N4 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8465 UNCLAS 080000Z8 --- 48.3N5 173.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 49.8N1 178.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 51.1N7 170.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 39.5N7 162.1E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED ON A PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8465 UNCLAS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 061130Z1 INFRARED AND 060805Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TS REX IS PROVIDING THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS INFLUENCING TS REX. A CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REFLECTS TS REX BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN THE 24 AND 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE LENGTH OF THE FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE EXPECTED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TIME. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN DELETED FOR THE EXTRATROPICAL FORECAST POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// BT #8465 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2955 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626428-8434>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 03:22:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA27958; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:22:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9573249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52004 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:21:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061921.OAA17883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:21:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 056 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a84dc0574fecabbdc10948485389488 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 240 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 056 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 41.0N5 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 41.0N5 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 45.4N3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 48.7N9 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 50.5N0 177.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 51.3N9 172.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 42.1N7 164.4E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LEVEL JET AXIS IS APPROACHING TS REX. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45NM TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. HOWEVER, TS REX IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET. THE FORECAST PERIOD REFLECTS THIS ACCELERATED TRANSITION. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN OMITTED FROM THE EXTRATROPICAL FORECAST POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626512-8434>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 03:53:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38768; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:53:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9573621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:53:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA52318 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:53:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:53:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809061953.OAA18269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 14:53:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 056 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ad9c465ba8c473e7dadfde5008bb919 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 679 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 056 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 41.0N5 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8863 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 41.0N5 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 45.4N3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 48.7N9 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 50.5N0 177.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 31 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8863 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 51.3N9 172.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 42.1N7 164.4E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LEVEL JET AXIS IS APPROACHING TS REX. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45NM TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. HOWEVER, TS REX IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET. THE FORECAST PERIOD REFLECTS THIS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8863 UNCLAS ACCELERATED TRANSITION. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN OMITTED FROM THE EXTRATROPICAL FORECAST POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// BT #8863 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 08:34:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-8433>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 04:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA57032; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:18:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9573903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22452 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:18:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:17:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809062017.PAA18560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 15:17:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr Bpty To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a39dc2fcde4f88266fbeb4bdde6cd78c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 096 WTPN31 PGTW 062000 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR BPTY 01 ACTIVE TR PICAL CYC9,3 0, ,945#23-50-0W VAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASE D ON ONE-MINUONERAGE WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 41.0N5 163.2E2 ,MOVAVZOPPAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES ATH28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM G POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAWNDDPWINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPIAL RADUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE M L RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG886- UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT:--1.0N5#163.2E2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VAGQD AT: 070600ZAAA RTMR- 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050)(5, GUSTS 0650KTX VECTOR TO 26)#4 09-85: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS 24 HRS>,VALID AT: 0880Z6 --- 48.7N9 174.6OK MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 06 5 KT ZXMJATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HJ POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29(5- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 ---50.5N0 177.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSG: 075 DEG/ 31 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG863 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 51.3N9 172.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055;(5$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 13:07:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3968 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627464-1818>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 13:02:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA68404; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 23:59:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9578003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 23:59:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52768 for ; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 23:59:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 23:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070459.XAA22972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 23:59:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 057 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6f0487d30a32a4a5c152862c18f8a5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 720 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 44.6N4 166.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9491 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 44.6N4 166.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 48.7N9 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 51.0N6 178.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 51.5N1 168.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9491 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 45.6N5 167.6E0. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 31 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TS REX (06W) IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO DECREASE THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU WWPW30 PGFW FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// BT #9491 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 14:28:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628046-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:26:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19594; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9578696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA67692 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070625.BAA23831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4af4da95580cca59710ad58c71217b71 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 44.6N4 166.0E3 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. AT 070600Z3, THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 070300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 122E5 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 22N4 165E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. UW-CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE THE AREA HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, 200MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS IMPROVING. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL SURFACE CIRCULATION CAN BE DETECTED IN THE VISUAL IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 14:33:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628053-1823>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19658; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:26:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9578707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA41656 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:26:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070626.BAA23838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:26:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rex (06w) Warning Nr 057 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad902218f9952dc314165bb7ea2f22bb X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 433 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 44.6N4 166.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 44.6N4 166.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 48.7N9 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 51.0N6 178.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 51.5N1 168.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 45.6N5 167.6E0. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 31 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TS REX (06W) IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO DECREASE THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU WWPW30 PGFW FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 16:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3434 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626181-5181>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:06:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19518; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:05:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9592706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:04:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA60390 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:04:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080803.DAA09801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:03:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf94ee3e0fa5bbd5d6821032d7ecdd9a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 165E2 HAS A LARGE, BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N5 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13N4 AND 154E0. THIS REGION OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WHICH IS SOUTH OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 072216Z8 DO NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14N5 129E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR CLOSE TO 20 HOURS; HOWEVER, MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 072358Z5 AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DO NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION SHOULD ENTER A REGION OF UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 14:49:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3366 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-142>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:39:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25302; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:37:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9625550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA55736 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100636.BAA11914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ceea85d2954ebb0cb2e9e7e4b829e45a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS A BROAD LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA HAS HAD NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS SHOW THE AREA IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS WELL. SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627978-152>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:37:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA46812; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:35:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9633399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:35:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63686 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:35:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:34:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101934.OAA28546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:34:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0bceeb0bfc796509eb046fb696c2ed1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 489 ABPW10 PGTW 102000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/102000Z/110600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16N7 153E9, APPROXIMATELY 500NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING ALONG 14 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED TO THE EAST OF GUAM. ALTHOUGH SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST A MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH THE REGION, UW-CIMMS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW AN AREA OF STRONG SHEAR JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THIS CONVECTION. A DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 14:17:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626890-29064>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29346; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:10:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9641567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:10:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13192 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:10:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:09:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110609.BAA10536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:09:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 862e0b230f881d7c700f19c946da6064 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 723 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 148E3 WITHIN A VERY ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. THE TROUGH HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LOCATED PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 143E8 AND 159E5. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION HAS YET TO CONCENTRATE OR BECOME ORGANIZED ABOUT THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER LEVEL- DERIVED WINDS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. SURFACE WINDS DEPICTED FROM THE EUROPEAN SCATTEROMETER SHOW SEVERAL AREAS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 TO 180 NM BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 08:50:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4428 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625878-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:31:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA13812; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 19:29:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9651904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 19:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA27360 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 19:29:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA02179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 19:29:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120029.TAA02179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 19:29:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c12e3ac84d325eac76ac3970a3fbf6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 383 WTPN21 PGTW 110000 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO 18.0N9 141.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VI R( SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL M? LD$RDICATE THAT THE CENTER IS NORTH- NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR T$ HLDICATD ,ZUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 120000Z3. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 09:14:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-20426>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA47652; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:08:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:08:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA48654 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:08:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:08:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120108.UAA02732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:08:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b075fb9c22b723426c1deaeb0cfe9dc8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 929 WTPN21 PGTW 120000 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO 18.0N9 141.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6656 UNCLAS 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL AS A 111242Z1 SCATTEROMITER PASS INDICATES THAT THE CENTER IS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 130000Z3.// BT #6656 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 09:25:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2229 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625995-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:16:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA67274; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:15:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:15:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26030 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:15:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:15:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120115.UAA02816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:15:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75c1e610400ea4f29a9f805a815ce384 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 027 WTPN21 PGTW 120000 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO 18.0N9 141.8E4 WILHIN THE NEXT 12 TO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6656 UNCLAS 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLON WARNINGS AT THIS TIME WINDS ZXLAREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15:TOCAVKNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 11101Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION TER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATEDIINFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA CF CONVECTION HALECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. -6,9058: $-5- >49. 2.9 ,7.?34- 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL AS A 111242Z1 SCATTEROMITER PASS INDICATES THAT THE CENTER IS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICA :1)$3;3)90.3,5 285#8, 5#3 NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 130000Z3.// BT ?6/56 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 10:24:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625991-20423>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:25:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28294; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:23:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:23:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26738 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:23:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:23:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120123.UAA02918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:23:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Corrected 112351z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9d567b1ac365cbdbd05191d61591f10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 WTPN21 PGTW 120000 COR CORRECTED 112351Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120000Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO 18.0N9 141.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNO TS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS SLOWLY MOVI NG WESTWARD. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL AS A 111242Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THAT THE CENTER IS NORTH-NORTHWE ST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE FAIR OUTFNEAFD. D P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 10:24:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:28:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA35948; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:28:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA22998 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:26:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120126.UAA02951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:26:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Corrected 112351z Sep Oixx To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ce2c4cb581c4f1a0480b6e3479bd3a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 332 WTPN21 PGTW 120000 R CORRECTED 112351Z SEP OIXX REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1200)0Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110000)// RHKS/ 1. FORMATION OF ASSIGNIFICANT ZROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO 18.0N9 141.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXL 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULAHUON VEER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNM 2. REMARKS: ANIMATZD INFRARE);8-8?)3 --53))853 8.-<346 8,$8:-53- THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGNED AND IS SLOWLY MOVI NG WESTWARD. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL AS A 111242Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICNLTHAT THE CENTER IS NORTH-NORTHWE ST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE FAIR OUTFNEA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 10:25:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625995-20423>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 09:40:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA58088; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:38:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9652569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:38:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28372 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:38:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:38:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120138.UAA03071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 20:38:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Corrected 112351z Sep Oixx To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87fff2f1a2fa1e244c5f05cf109b2b26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 754 WTPN21 PGTW 120000 RTD CORRECTED 112351Z SEP OIXX REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/1200)0Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110000)// RHKS/ 1. FORMATION OF ASSIGNIFICANT ZROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO ,8.0N9 141.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXL 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULAHUON VEER IS LOCAMED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WXPPNXLAT 05 KNM 2. REMARKS: ANIMATZD INFRARE)?8-8?)3 --53))853 8.-?346 8,?8:-: THE AREA OF CONVETION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGNED AND IS SLOWLY MOVI NG WESTWARD. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WM NUMBERS 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL AS A 111242Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICNLTHAT THE CENTERSIS MRTH-NORTHWE ST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE A R OUTFNEA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-20423>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA46626; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:15:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9654471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30648 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120614.BAA06056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95c20b98cd5bd0be8f96606d33145268 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 614 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 148E3 IS NOW NEAR 16N7 145E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(WTPN21 PGTW 120000Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR 21N3 117E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626498-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:34:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA58004; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:33:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9654607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30592 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:33:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120633.BAA06153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:33:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b2c7366d706cd864eca64ba171c914a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 230 WTPN21 PGTW 120000 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7597 UNCLAS 16.0N7 145.9E9 TO 18.0N9 141.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 145.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 91212 AND 91232 AS WELL AS A 111242Z1 SCATTEROMITER PASS INDICATES THAT THE CENTER IS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 130000Z3.// BT #7597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626921-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 16:54:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA46662; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:52:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9655008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:51:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44076 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:51:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120851.DAA07199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 03:51:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: - D9?lprenn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88e65bd1b857675fe069a31b8d2ff84d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 829 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 ? - D9?LPRENN B; WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626684-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 17:17:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29364; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:17:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9655250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA29340 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:17:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120917.EAA07562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 04:17:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88caaceafa34fa5a8bb0375899ab4036 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 072 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 18.3N2 144.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 144.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 19.3N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.3N5 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.8N1 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 23.5N0 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 27.4N3 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 18.6N5 144.4E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF SAIPAN AND GUAM AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS OF 120530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 36 HOURS AS IT WILL BE STEERED BY LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVEL RIDGING LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. FROM 48 HOURS TO 72 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DEVELOP A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION DUE TO RIDGING DEVELOPING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY BECAUSE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. WIND RADII ASSYMETRIES WILL BE DUE TO ENHANCED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF TD 08W THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. AFTERWARDS, WIND RADII ASSYMETRIES WILL BE CAUSED BY THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 112351Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120000 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-20420>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:36:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA54296; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:35:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9656456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA48890 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:35:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:34:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121334.IAA09331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 08:34:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 206f769128a7ffd7f6c4b582d1692776 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 120 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 19.4N4 144.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 144.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.1N4 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.6N0 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 24.3N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.1N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 29.8N9 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 19.8N8 143.7E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W=S LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY INTENSIFIES. AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD START TO BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-20423>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:56:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28406; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:54:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63712 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:54:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809121953.OAA13626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:53:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1130bcd3fd443fa1f10416949de73af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 12180B??--- 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WIDN 2 S5) POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 143.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 21.5N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.0N5 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 24.7N3 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 26.4N2 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 29.9N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 20.4N6 143.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND ITS LOW- LEVEL REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION WITH INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AT WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. OVERALL, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN NORTHWARD BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4477 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627662-20426>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:08:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22730; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:06:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:06:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA54158 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:06:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122005.PAA13987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:05:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecfdc2f7deccff604f15b0411a8bca6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 753 WTPN31 PGTW 122000 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPNEEVL MAX SUSTAINED WINDS B ASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 12180B??--- 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS 88 2 S5) POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE ,0PREAIIKFGCFKCJKAAVL MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 143.5E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 21.5N8 142.6EE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.0N5 141.7E3 MAX SQIIBCIKYIP35 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POUITK EET DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 24.7N3 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUYOS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NMPELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS .2000EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 048 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 26.4N2 140.9Z0 MAX SUSGAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EASTSEMICIRCL 065#NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 29.9N0 140.1OQN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 20.4N6 143.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNINXPPOSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARVING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND ITS LOW= LEVEL REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION WITH INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING Q VARECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIESPAT WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO QOS EAST. OVERALL, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULDNTRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN NORTHWARD BY TVE 36-;974 >943:--5 POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT OGFORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4)8AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4832 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627662-20425>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:12:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28370; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:11:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:11:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA54462 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:11:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:11:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122011.PAA14063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:11:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0163af002f4a0789836c50274f92b060 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8564 UNCLAS 121200Z6 --- 19.4N4 144.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 144.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.1N4 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.6N0 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8564 UNCLAS 140000Z5 --- 24.3N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.1N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 29.8N9 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8564 UNCLAS 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 19.8N8 143.7E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W'S LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY INTENSIFIES. AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD START TO BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8564 UNCLAS FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// BT #8564 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627662-20425>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33874; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:35:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA48952 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:35:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122035.PAA14341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:35:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29eb9a6f5fea093bc69cd08144295420 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 306 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS 121800Z2 --- 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 143.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 21.5N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.0N5 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS 140600Z1 --- 24.7N3 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 26.4N2 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 29.9N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 20.4N6 143.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND ITS LOW- LEVEL REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION WITH INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AT WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. OVERALL, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN NORTHWARD BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// BT #8587 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627713-20426>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:43:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20914; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:42:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9659938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:42:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22688 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:42:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA14420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122042.PAA14420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:42:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e23daf9b6bc46ed212b2d0e554f62b74 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 409 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVEJAGE WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS 121800Z2 --- 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOIVBODEGREES AT 10 JTS 0 POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON QENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESPT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 -43.5E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, M LID AT: 130600Z0 --- 21.5N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 3-0 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.0N5 141.7E3 MAX SUSOAINED WINDS - 035 KTLGUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS 140600Z1 --- 24.7N3 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 35 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK:,.2 80410HRS, VALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 29.9N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS 095 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 20.4N6 143.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HORS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 12 Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND ITS LOW= LEVEL REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION WITH INFRARED IMLZLM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS TRWV INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THISHSOEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AT WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBT OPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. OVERALL, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWAR0?5#3012-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN NORTHWARD BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8587 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATIONV NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0#. (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// BT ?8587 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625907-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 07:11:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA58016; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:10:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9660691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:10:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA48698 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:09:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA16069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:09:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122309.SAA16069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:09:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9558b13776532fe78793287a13ae7181 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 101 ABPW10 PGTW 122300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/122300Z/130600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121951Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WAS LOCATED AT 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 117E9. IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21N3 114E6. ALTHOUGH INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES CONTINUED DISORGANIZATION AND SHEAR, 121800Z SYNOPTIC DATA AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE INCREASED PERIPHERAL WIND SPEEDS AND LOWERED SURFACE PRESSURES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2711 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 10:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA40606; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:34:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9662352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:33:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA63582 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:33:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130233.VAA18233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:33:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b88cb5828fa562518c14b565fdf8cb4a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPIC?E DQ(I>S;RTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- P:NJO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 10:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA49108; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9662481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44224 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130250.VAA18399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 21:50:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 912068325c75fb08723cfc2b1934d16e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 213 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 21.3N6 142.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9181 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 142.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 23.1N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 25.0N7 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 27.2N1 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9181 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 28.7N7 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 31.2N6 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9181 UNCLAS REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 21.8N1 141.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE, STILL AND ANIMATED, SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 122057 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 1.5 (25 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TO A NORTHWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. AS TD 08W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE, CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// BT #9181 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 14:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626788-27881>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA63548; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:14:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9662879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26664 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:14:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:14:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130414.XAA19153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:14:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d030510db987d0c9b50333f1821b538 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 622 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 14:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627176-27881>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:19:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA48646; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:18:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9662897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:18:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19188 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:18:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:17:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130417.XAA19170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:17:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e958de8bfb767b6939ced3a9666ad46e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 706 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 21.3N6 142E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 142.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 23.1N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 25.0N7 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 27.2N1 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 28.7N7 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 31.2N6 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 21.8N1 141.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE, STILL AND ANIMATED, SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 122057 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 1.5 (25 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TO A NORTHWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. AS TD 08W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE, CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 14:28:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627036-27881>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 12:24:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA26752; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9662921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:24:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA19052 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:24:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:23:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130423.XAA19196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 23:23:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 08wnwagcwng Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2d0af8be730ecfb7158cc0ade807a64 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 802 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08WNWAGCWNG NR 004 01 ACTIVE TTPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUAINED WINDENM GM NUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 327;$3<433- -5 14 KTF OL( POSITION Q CCURATE TO WIZN060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATEDPBLSATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KWNHRUSTS 03) (9 ; REPEATNOSCBC WQMEN FORE AYUAAVL QW HRSCLVALIFNJHJN 8.IWZ7 --- 23.1N6 140.6E1 #JX UUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSWTL EWT DEG/ 12 KTS 24 HRS, VALI SV 140000Z5 --- 25.0N7 139.E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS- 035 KT, GUSTS KQLKT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS 37;#4-, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 27.2N1 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WVK VA PRP KT, GUSTS 050 KT #RD;8L035 KT WI SJ PUP NM EASO SEMICIRCLE 2 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR YOPI HRPOSIOC EYP DEG/ 08 KTS EXTE DD R -- 48 MS, GALIDSW: 150000Z6 ---.:87N7 138.;4 VSUSTAINED WIND BA PRT KTJN OUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OFH08-VIDNN EASHLSZVQKKPM L IWAII I VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT:)01-4/ 06 KTS < -72 HRS0 VALID AT: 72N6 138.6E8 2MA SSQYUPNWINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS ;XH RADU OF 050 KT AINDS 04)0V EAST SEMICIRCLE 8# 030 NM ELSEWVEJE D /4-?87- 9> 035 KT WIKBDVEAS SEMPVQFYXD 095 NM EVXXE REMARKS: 130300Z70OSITION 21.8N11-RQMOE+. O8:-) $3043--89, 08W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BXXMPF VISIBLE, STILL AND ANIMATED, BNLITE IMAGSJY -<-2 -- 7 122057 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. =5#3 2-4,8,<;8:53,-856 IS BASED ON SATELLITE INSITY ESTIMATES OF CCVQV (2# ZAVYUPTHEUSVMRZQAST LO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN VXINQRUJUAL ZZIWLALNORTHWARD TRA D BY THE 488P9-8589,. AS MUQVW CONTINUES TO ORGAFIZE, CLIMATOLOGICAPNTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 14:28:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627036-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:26:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44086; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:25:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9663997 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA54502 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130624.BAA20485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65af61ace8ea2cd7dcb49c4c296ce454 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 894 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 142.3E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO ODI T AL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE A?1?;F P3XTION PAFEACOCATED NEAR 21N3 114E6. IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 113E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD ENSEMBLE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CORRESPONDING TO A LARGE LOW- PRESSURE AREA WITH HIGH WINDS LOCATED PRIMARILY ALONG THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE PERIPHERY. CENTRALLY, NON- PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE PRESENT. THE POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS AMBIGUOUS. THESE OBSERVATIONS ARE CHARACTERISTIC OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION. THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND LIMITS THE AVAILABLE TIME REQUIRED TO ORGANIZE INTO A STANDARD MESO-SCALE CORE SYSTEM WITH CONSISTENT CENTRALLY LOCATED SIGNIFICANT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627267-27881>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40494; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:13:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:13:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24346 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:13:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:12:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130812.DAA21427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:12:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94ac83082dac7919f0df2db0cf66864c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 998 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.1N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.1N3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.2N4 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 20.1N3 111.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE ANIMATED AND STILL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. AS THIS =MONSOON DEPRESSION= HAS AN EXTREMELY LARGE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD STRUCTURE, POSITIONING IS DIFFICULT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS IT ORGANIZES. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL AS THE SYSTEM INVOLVES AN EXTENSIVE AREA, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627338-27881>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:34:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA46838; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:33:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30688 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:32:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130832.DAA21512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 03:32:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: - Ormqal Dqxobwon 09w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9510c949cc1bc4a87f4bea401dc34dcc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 349 WTPN32 PGTW 130800 - ORMQAL DQXOBWON 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WIN S BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.1N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT UIKWFVCFC(--;) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.7E0 FORENASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 10.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT - VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.1N3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - EP KT, JVIVKQFUVKT VECTOR TO 480 4 09-85 : 275 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.2N4 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 20.1N3 111.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSIO09W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. /2-4,8,< INTENSITY BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE ANIMATED AND STILL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. AS THIS ;MONSOON DEPRESSION; HAS AN EXTREMELY LARGE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD STRUCTURE, POSITIONING IS DIFFICULT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS IT ORGANIZES. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL AS THE SYSTEM INVOLVES AN EXTENSIVE AREA, APPROXIMATELY 40 N IN DIAMZXER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100ZU KDTG 131951Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3650 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627326-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:04:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA40534; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:02:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:02:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA57922 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:02:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130902.EAA21707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:02:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91255198d33ccd249db67c29b1f8e571 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9798 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.1N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.1N3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9798 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.2N4 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 20.1N3 111.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE ANIMATED AND STILL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. AS THIS 'MONSOON DEPRESSION' HAS AN EXTREMELY LARGE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD STRUCTURE, POSITIONING IS DIFFICULT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS IT ORGANIZES. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL AS THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9798 UNCLAS SYSTEM INVOLVES AN EXTENSIVE AREA, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. BT #9798 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:08:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA57904; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:07:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA26654 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:07:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:07:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130907.EAA21792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:07:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1; T To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 324ba0c0ee33b73a27b20a9dc6623bff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 805 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1; T OPICALNDEE1, 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MV SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON OMHMINUTEVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9798 UNLAS OM WARNING POSITION: MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURSTBVLUVDEGREES AT 07 KTS G HP POSITION AC CURATE T IHIN 061 NM POSITIO OALON CENTER LOCM LBY SATELLITE 8VZT IND DISTCIBUOQON: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.7E0 FORECASTS: ? 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 110.2E4 81ZOOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:18:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA57914; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:17:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52000 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:16:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:16:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130916.EAA21862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:16:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf7528d7b38496269f9aa517ae3f2c79 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 046 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 21.9N2 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.5N0 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.2N9 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 27.4N3 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.6N7 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.4N0 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 22.3N7 141.0E6. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY AS WELL AS FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 130608Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE LARGE WIND RADII ARE INDICATIVE OF A DEVELOPING MONSOON DEPRESSION AND ARE A FACTOR IN THE SLOWER RATE OF DEVELOPMENT THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4555 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627378-27881>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:23:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA13774; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:23:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:23:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA47546 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:23:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:23:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130923.EAA21932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:23:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: .094911vujav Stella (08w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 534269e266d5757f0ae4b60ff39f3a94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 246 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 .094911VUJAV STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TMQICAL DEPRMWN 08W L PW ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MALSUSTN WCIKY D LON ONE-MINUTE AVE83.. WARNING POSITION: 1.9N2 141.4E0 )000;.VVTIII HOUKIBOQUPDEGREES AT 11 KTS #0POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENT LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRE LICDISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 141.4E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.5N0,139.7E0 MAX SUSOKUED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 039 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEGIQQPKTS 8 ;2= HRS, VCKPAT: 140600Z1 --- 25.2N9 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KTPCIFIVQB0 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ) 150 NM ELUFE VECTHR TO 36 HR POSIT: 390 DEG/ 11 KTS 8 9HRS,#WBCB AT: 141800Z4 --?;8N3 1+79E0 MAX SUSTANED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WIND- 300 NM EAST YEVUCIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO =8 HR POSIT: 010 DEG UVKTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:46:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA27256; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA46692 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:45:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130945.EAA22057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:45:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 001a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6fa2ec49c73f272b531eabbc000503c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 646 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.1N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.1N3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.2N4 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 20.1N3 111.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE ANIMATED AND STILL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. AS THIS =MONSOON DEPRESSION= HAS AN EXTREMELY LARGE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD STRUCTURE, POSITIONING IS DIFFICULT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS IT ORGANIZES. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL AS THE SYSTEM INVOLVES AN EXTENSIVE AREA, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) . REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SIX VICE 12 HOURLY WARNINGS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:52:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA13204; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA27266 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:51:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:51:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130951.EAA22078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:51:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Lv Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 001a Cor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06877119c80c24697932657ac8c103c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 COR LV TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001A COR RECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAG KYCLONES IN NORTHWZSTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BWB ON ONE-MINUTE AVZRAGE H AAV WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.1N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREMLAT 07 KTS POSITION I/.)59 285#8, 060 NM POSITION BASED N CENTER LOCATZCLSATELLITE PRESENTPKID DISTGIBUTION: 2 MAX SUSTAINED WIMDS QKKT, GUSTS KT L REPEAT POSIT: 20.1V- 111.7E0 FORECASTS: 10HRS, VALID AT: 2811+3 --- 20.1N3 110.2ER MAX SUSTAI ED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POWT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRC VALID AOKAAGL QRPYPPZ1 --- 20.1NQQIPN MAX SUSTAINED WINDA A P8T, GUSS 040 KT VEOR T36 HR POSIT: 270 DEGX PU KTS 360HRS, VA8$ -9: UPPZ4 --- 20.1N3 107.4E .-0 MAX SUSTAIVEKAKIVU PEP KT, GUSTS 040 K T VECTOR TO 48 HR POSITZC WUT DEG/ 07 KTS -# EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 1506;Z2 --- 20.2N4 6.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 035 KT, <7-5-#045 KT REMARKS: 13090;Z30MSIT ON WPVQN3 111.3E6. TROPICAL DZBWON 09W IS MOVING WEPNXLAT 7 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS.#WNAO POSITION ISOASED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 18:12:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA27362; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:11:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9665073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA26832 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:11:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:11:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131011.FAA22371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:11:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a30ed88b9e02604ff2774d38cce15641 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 023 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9863 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 21.9N2 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.5N0 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9863 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.2N9 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 27.4N3 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.6N7 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9863 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.4N0 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 22.3N7 141.0E6. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY AS WELL AS FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 130608Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE LARGE WIND RADII ARE INDICATIVE OF A DEVELOPING MONSOON DEPRESSION AND ARE A FACTOR IN THE SLOWER RATE OF DEVELOPMENT THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9863 UNCLAS WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. BT #9863 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627424-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 18:14:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA44130; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:14:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9665077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:14:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA27216 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:14:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131014.FAA22382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 05:14:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 001a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9437ae285c07a5190430e1e4ce993919 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9864 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.1N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.1N3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9864 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.2N4 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 20.1N3 111.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE ANIMATED AND STILL SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. AS THIS 'MONSOON DEPRESSION' HAS AN EXTREMELY LARGE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD STRUCTURE, POSITIONING IS DIFFICULT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS IT ORGANIZES. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9864 UNCLAS INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL AS THE SYSTEM INVOLVES AN EXTENSIVE AREA, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) . REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SIX VICE 12 HOURLY WARNINGS. BT #9864 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627462-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 19:12:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA13182; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 06:11:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9665241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 06:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA49000 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 06:11:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA22717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 06:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131111.GAA22717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 06:11:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f82a19b3a4be7fea1d122555c9d8b27c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 052 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9944 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 21.9N2 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.5N0 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9944 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.2N9 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 27.4N3 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.6N7 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9944 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.4N0 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 22.3N7 141.0E6. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY AS WELL AS FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 130608Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE LARGE WIND RADII ARE INDICATIVE OF A DEVELOPING MONSOON DEPRESSION AND ARE A FACTOR IN THE SLOWER RATE OF DEVELOPMENT THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9944 UNCLAS WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. BT #9944 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4382 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627071-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:12:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26720; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:12:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9666188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:12:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25930 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:12:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:11:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131411.JAA24052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:11:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: feb8f9e7abc44857c3b5bfa724e0fbbc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 538 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 22.4N8 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 23.4N9 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 24.6N2 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.5N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 28.8N8 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 33.9N5 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 22.7N1 140.7E2. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT SHOULD REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. THE SOUTHEAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-27879>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25896; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:27:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9666267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20756 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:26:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131426.JAA24149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:26:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e670dd1d80864064b3d6d2f4a701151b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 866 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 20.1N3 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 109.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.1N3 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.1N3 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.2N4 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 20.1N3 109.3E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND THE GULF OF TONKIN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH0UT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SHOULD REMAIN AT 25 KNOT INTENSITY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AND THEN BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 23:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:44:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47552; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:43:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9666365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47778 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:43:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131443.JAA24252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 09:43:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bba1e96963f893db4e1baccf45d68023 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 155 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC 0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 22.4N8 141.0E6 MOVEMENT VRPV HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS PTT KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 141.0E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 23.4N9 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 870 KT RUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE 0 VECOM TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 14WPPZ8 --- 24.6N2 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT,/<7-5- 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KO WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID ATMM 150000Z6 --- 26.5N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WQNDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE W VECTOR TO 48 HR POSI T: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 28.8N8 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, V110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WIN- 090 NM SOXNNO SEMICIRCLE 0 0 070 NM E-32;343 RMUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ) 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 33.9N5 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSOAQQP KT RADIV L050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 800 0000 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIQY OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 :. 7975#3--5 -3.8:84:)3 - OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 22.7N1 140.7E2. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W5 HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWWRD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TML-4,8,<,9-8589, 8- ?--3$ 9, 131130Z9 INFRARED SATLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS INTENSPFIED OVEPTHQAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCAT TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OMER OVVEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THE 2VMMLBMRECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK ASTRTHE QAHOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO INOEVQ AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RAE THROUGHOUT TE 48= HOUIFORECAO POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT SHOULD REACHPA PEAK INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. THE SOUTHM WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SCATTERMMETER DATW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 PSM 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NNO WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), <140900Z4 (DTG 14079Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351ZM REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-27879>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:35:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA46720; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:34:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9668567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:34:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA27244 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:34:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:33:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131933.OAA27805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:33:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc0b80293451c8192dabe5e78f6d5257 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 126 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 20.4N6 108.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 108.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.7N9 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.1N4 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 20.5N7 107.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR VIETNAM=S RED RIVER DELTA REGION PRIOR TO THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SHOULD REMAIN AT 25 KNOTS UNTIL LANDFALL, AT WHICH TIME IT WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-27881>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:55:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA20974; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:54:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9668847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:53:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30636 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:53:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131953.OAA28090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e7b610e1839cbf55de92da6a4f33d85 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 335 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0433 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 20.1N3 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 109.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.1N3 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.1N3 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0433 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.2N4 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 20.1N3 109.3E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND THE GULF OF TONKIN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH0UT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SG FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH0UT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SG FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH0UT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SHOULD REMAIN AT 25 KNOT INTENSITY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AND THEN BEGIN PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0433 UNCLAS TO DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0433 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627720-27874>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23536; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:57:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9668872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20958 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:57:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131956.OAA28172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:56:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0aa57b7b8614aa94bbee19bf7b5c4077 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0439 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 20.4N6 108.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 108.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.7N9 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.1N4 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0439 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 20.5N7 107.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR VIETNAM'S RED RIVER DELTA REGION PRIOR TO THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SHOULD REMAIN AT 25 KNOTS UNTIL LANDFALL, AT WHICH TIME IT WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0439 UNCLAS REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0439 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3134 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-27874>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:58:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23358; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:58:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9668880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:58:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA63514 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:58:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:57:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809131957.OAA28183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:57:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32107033c6f76c4e16d793041f1f28b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 WTPN32 PGTW 132000 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVEPE WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 20.4N6 108.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280#;(/99)-5 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SAOQCH PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 108.2E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.7N9 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTORPOO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.1N4 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMAKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 20.5N7 107.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 VMTS OVER THE PDLHOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD ZUNDER TH E STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITLNORTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR VIETNAM;S RED RIVER DELTA REGION PRIOR TO THE 12-HOUR FOJECAST TRACK POQKN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SHOULD REMAIN AT 25 KNOTS UNTIL LANDFALL, AT WHTIME IT WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINTPTYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYPWQLL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIVNS OF REGENERATIONV REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-27877>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:28:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22878; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9669191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30524 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:26:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:26:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132026.PAA28888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:26:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e338a4fa2547b4fc21a4e9e635923735 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 900 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 22.4N8 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 23.4N9 140.0E5 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0478 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 24.6N2 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.5N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0478 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 28.8N8 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 33.9N5 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0478 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 22.7N1 140.7E2. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT SHOULD REACH A PEAK PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0478 UNCLAS INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. THE SOUTHEAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0478 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627871-27874>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:30:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23002; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9669241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA27308 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132029.PAA28947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83f8af4b2c2a0cd97aea4eada81849df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 22.4N8 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 23.4N9 140.0E5 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0480 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 24.6N2 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.5N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0480 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 28.8N8 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 33.9N5 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0480 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 22.7N1 140.7E2. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT SHOULD REACH A PEAK PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0480 UNCLAS INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. THE SOUTHEAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0480 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627896-27879>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:30:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23024; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9669245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA58050 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132029.PAA28955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:29:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df27d48d24f6deffe2dff3da71a14665 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 001 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0471 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 20.1N3 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 109.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.1N3 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.1N3 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0471 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.2N4 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 20.1N3 109.3E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND THE GULF OF TONKIN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH0UT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SHOULD REMAIN AT 25 KNOT INTENSITY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AND THEN BEGIN PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0471 UNCLAS TO DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0471 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-27877>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:49:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23398; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9669464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24396 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:47:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132046.PAA29231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:46:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2c173d5531cb5cd57698d2a122cbb49 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 230 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 22.5N9 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 23.1N6 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 24.1N7 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 25.6N3 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 28.0N0 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 33.8N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 22.7N1 140.9E4. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627720-27874>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:57:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA48676; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:55:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9669567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA67598 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:55:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132055.PAA29310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 15:55:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2005ef9b54af44195f7643849a304ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASZF ON OCE-MPVUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --7 22.5N9 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION MAX SUSTAINEWINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF ET KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 141.0E6 -FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 23.1N6 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINJS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PRP NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 730 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 24.1N7 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM UOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 25.6N)139.0MEM W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 MM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG)12 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 28.0N0 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 09;0KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - ;90 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE VQTOR TO 72 H POWT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 33.8N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 00 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 00 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 22.7N1 140.9E4. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKENORTH= NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATE2853 8.-<346. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ONOM 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THOUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION AND M THEN GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 48-HOU FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE; TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOPVCONTINUE TM INTENSIFY THROPUT THE 48-HOURNORECAST POSITION. ;-/8.7. -8<,8>8:-,5 WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMKTION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 1482+1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142,0ZI (DTGPRQOTQZ1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR FINAL WARNING ON THATH SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627743-27874>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 05:24:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA48776; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:23:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9669751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:23:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA54388 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:23:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:23:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809132123.QAA29644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 16:23:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38dc4bdf64b18d21b4eeb9ed9271a12f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 978 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 22.5N9 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 23.1N6 140.5E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0551 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 24.1N7 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0551 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 25.6N3 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 28.0N0 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0551 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 33.8N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ? ??????WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 22.7N1 140.9E4. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0551 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// BT #0551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4663 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626533-20653>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 10:42:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24522; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:41:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9672835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA31928 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:41:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:40:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140240.VAA03711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 21:40:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc234f99df9b5445d79626d1341183ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 879 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 24.3N9 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND ON SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.8N6 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.3N4 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 31.9N3 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 34.3N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 39.3N5 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 24.9N5 140.0E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND A 132045Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. WARNING INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED OVER THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM IWO JIMA (WMO 47981). THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE FEATURES REMAIN WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN HEMISPHERE, WITH THE LARGEST AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED ABOUT 200 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE INFRARED IMAGERY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA INDICATED A SLOWING MORE SIGNIFICANT THAN THE CURRENT VISIBLE IMAGERY SUPPORTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-20665>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:04:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA31804; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:03:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9673001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:02:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19456 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:02:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140302.WAA03996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:02:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bd721fc83be25c22934b74bd330178d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1079 UNCLAS 140000Z5 --- 24.3N9 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND ?ON SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.8N6 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1079 UNCLAS ?SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.3N4 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 31.9N3 139.3E6 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1079 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 34.3N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1079 UNCLAS ?WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 39.3N5 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 24.9N5 140.0E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1079 UNCLAS A 132045Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. WARNING INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED OVER THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM IWO JIMA (WMO 47981). THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE FEATURES REMAIN WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN HEMISPHERE, WITH THE LARGEST AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED ABOUT 200 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE INFRARED IMAGERY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA INDICATED A SLOWING MORE SIGNIFICANT THAN THE CURRENT VISIBLE IMAGERY SUPPORTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// BT #1079 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:57:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-20653>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 12:00:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA47816; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 23:00:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9673721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA24440 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:59:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:59:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140359.WAA04519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 22:59:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a459b3f970753c32043da6ff85d35308 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 228 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1160 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 24.3N9 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND ?ON SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.8N6 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1160 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.3N4 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1160 UNCLAS 151200Z9 --- 31.9N3 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 34.3N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1160 UNCLAS 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 39.3N5 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ?WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 24.9N5 140.0E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1160 UNCLAS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND A 132045Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. WARNING INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED OVER THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM IWO JIMA (WMO 47981). THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE FEATURES REMAIN WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN HEMISPHERE, WITH THE LARGEST AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED ABOUT 200 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE INFRARED IMAGERY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA INDICATED A SLOWING MORE SIGNIFICANT THAN THE CURRENT VISIBLE IMAGERY SUPPORTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// BT #1160 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-20665>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:24:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25178; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:24:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9674405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA42814 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:24:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140623.BAA05908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:23:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 965b5d1eed08b4d4a18aa717add3ad3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 820 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131953Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.3N9 140.3E8 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 113E5. WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 132100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627539-20665>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 16:59:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA67198; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:58:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9675004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:58:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19562 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:58:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:57:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140857.DAA06894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 03:57:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b352a1d48fc56e736acc339662b2f1b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 674 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 25.7N4 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 28.6N6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 31.6N0 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 34.9N6 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 39.0N2 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 48.5N7 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 26.4N2 138.6E8. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF DVORAK CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED SPEED AND IS CONTINUING TO BUILD ITS CENTRAL CONVECTION AND BANDING ORGANIZATION. EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND BE COMPLETE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST TO REMAIN WITHIN THE TRACK WINDOW SET BY THE PRIMARY DYNAMIC AIDS AND TO ACCOUNT FOR A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 20 FEET (RECALCULATED FROM PREVIOUS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-20653>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 17:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA67320; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:08:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9675014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:08:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA34016 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:08:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA06975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:07:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140907.EAA06975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:07:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: ;0tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warninpnr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f71626db871071a9ffe443e5cc1b9e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 764 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 ;0TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINPNR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 25.7N4 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 17 KTS 0OSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WQVJL- 070 ,. -975#3--5 -3.8:84:)3 0 00# 0 04 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDYIA EPP UNM SOEASTHYICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE 88REPEWOPOSPO: 25.7N4 2.9E1 FORECASTS: .2) 12 HRS, VALID A ,141800Z4 --- 28.6N6 137.936 - MAXSUSTAINED WINDSHA PYP KT, G075 KT RAXIUS OFITP KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 00# #00 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSP- 300 NM SOUT EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NMHEWSEWMWVH VECTOR TO CWHR POQITIPQP DEG/ 15 KTS AW 2 HKUZICBCC 190600Z2 --- 31.6N0 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINEWINFIA PYT KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIKIRCL 0 05; NM PFYE , RADIUS OFI03505 28;B0 VVPMDDVICIRCLE , 130 NM ELSEWHEYE PPIVECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS 36 HRS, VALI AT: 0 151800:9 --- 34.9N6 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF PTP KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE MVER WATER 8 00 00 0 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVERWATER ADIUS OL035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 OVER WATER P QEP NMPSEWHERE OVER WATER 88ECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 39.0N2 142.5E2 BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 OVER WATER T NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER 000ADIUS OF 035 KOPCUXUV NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLEONW 0 DVM W VECTMPTO 72 HR POSIT:0EP DEG/ 29 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 48.5V VVURE1..2000VM SUSTAINED WINDS - 06 KT, GUSTS 0$75..2 EXTRATOICAL --;9.2REMARKS: 140900CKBOUQOQMV 26.4N2 138.6E8...254.08:-) 994. -53))- (08W) IS MOV I NG NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POUITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMALERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS UUPVMOLBY A SAOELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE MK DVMRAAL8;VT KTKNOTS). THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED SPEEF AND IS NTNTINUING TO BUILD ITS CENTRAL CONVECTION AND DANDING ORGANIZATION. EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITIOM IS EXPECTED TOPBEGIN 9+09= )HOUR POSITIMN AND BE COMPLETE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HMVTHE MRECAST TRACKHVMI P ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST TO REMAIN WITHINHOHE TRACK WICMW SET BY OVE RIMARYPWCM AIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR A SLQGHTLY MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION. 929#343 PHILOSOPVQ. MAXIMUO SIGNIFICANT WAVZ MQVO AT 140600Z1 IS 20 FEET LCULATED FROM PREVIOUS ARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIG T INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500B KDTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951(+1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 1-0751Z9). NNCNO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627479-20656>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 17:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA29224; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:14:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9675030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA26644 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:14:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140914.EAA07029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 04:14:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58aaec42a6a79028bbaf0591c2123e76 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 864 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1933 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 25.7N4 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 28.6N6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1933 UNCLAS 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 31.6N0 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 34.9N6 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1933 UNCLAS 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 39.0N2 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 48.5N7 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1933 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 26.4N2 138.6E8. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF DVORAK CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED SPEED AND IS CONTINUING TO BUILD ITS CENTRAL CONVECTION AND BANDING ORGANIZATION. EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND BE COMPLETE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST TO REMAIN WITHIN THE TRACK WINDOW SET BY THE PRIMARY DYNAMIC AIDS AND TO ACCOUNT FOR A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 20 FEET (RECALCULATED FROM PREVIOUS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). BT #1933 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627618-20656>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:03:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52114; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:00:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9676937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22850 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:59:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:59:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141359.IAA10216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 08:59:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e013948b421ba21b6ec7363c59ff1a2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 257 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 26.4N2 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.0N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.6N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 36.5N4 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 41.1N6 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.2N8 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 27.1N0 138.1E3. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 141130Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. THIS STEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE 12-HOUR TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W). THEN, THE DOMINANT STEERING WILL BE FROM THE EASTERN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT STARTS TO UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND BEGINS ACCELERATING OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628185-20665>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44254; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:09:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9677038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45260 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:09:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:09:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141409.JAA10431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:09:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storo Stella (08ubwarning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7631af5ee80c22f463a7349c16d1d01f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 514 WTPN31 PGTW 141400 1. TROPICAL STORO STELLA (08UBWARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAIMED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITIO: 141200Z8 --- 26.4N2 138.4E6 00 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - ;1)KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF HET KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 138;4E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: ,8 150000Z6 --- 29.0N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUSPOF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.6N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z70HBOVTN4 140.9E4 MAX SUIIBCIKIV75 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 - 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATERO I;) RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIIRCLE .) OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 26 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 41.1N6 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG), KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.2N8 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -800 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1466 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628210-20664>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25186; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:21:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9677076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:21:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33860 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:21:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:21:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141421.JAA10678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 09:21:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fe4f2170f17f30bba0922013071f5bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2371 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 26.4N2 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.0N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2371 UNCLAS 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.6N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 36.5N4 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2371 UNCLAS 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 41.1N6 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.2N8 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2371 UNCLAS REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 27.1N0 138.1E3. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 141130Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND NORTHEAST. THIS STEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE 12-HOUR TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W). THEN, THE DOMINANT STEERING WILL BE FROM THE EASTERN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT STARTS TO UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND BEGINS ACCELERATING OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2371 UNCLAS SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// BT #2371 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627515-20665>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 00:23:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31926; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:20:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9678467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26724 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141619.LAA13709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f13eae2dc8712412208ee66dddfcf95 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 945 ABPW10 PGTW 141700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/141700Z/150600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.4N2 138.4E6 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 115E7 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PRESSURE FALLS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE REGION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2062 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628061-20664>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:03:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25334; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:00:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9681000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:00:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25288 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:00:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:59:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141959.OAA20682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:59:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e366f5e25ccccd02fb5776b2c71938ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 26.8N6 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.9N0 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 34.5N2 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 40.2N6 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.3N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 27.6N5 137.6E7. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON 141730Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS FROM KGWC AND 65 KNOTS FROM PGTW. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND THE WEAKENING RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THE STEERING SHOULD BE PRIMARILY FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD START ACCELERATING BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES JAPAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR POSITION AFTER WHICH TIME IT SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4791 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628043-20665>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:50:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAB50578; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:48:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9681494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA53114 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:48:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809142047.PAA22710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 15:47:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abbe2994c809534609428909c124796e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 026 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3110 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 26.8N6 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.9N0 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3110 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 34.5N2 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 40.2N6 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3110 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.3N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 27.6N5 137.6E7. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON 141730Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS FROM PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3110 UNCLAS KGWC AND 65 KNOTS FROM PGTW. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND THE WEAKENING RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THE STEERING SHOULD BE PRIMARILY FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD START ACCELERATING BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES JAPAN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR POSITION AFTER WHICH TIME IT SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// BT #3110 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625880-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:43:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA64286; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:40:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9683347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:39:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA55592 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:38:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150038.TAA28299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:38:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84c0e132401eb1c73ad0c5e2c1c8e873 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 471 ABPW10 PGTW 150030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150030Z/150600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141951Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z8 TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.8N2 137.8E9 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 115E7 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PRESSURE FALLS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE REGION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2. SHIP REPORTS FROM 141200Z AND 141800Z SUGGEST THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA, EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS ONLY WEAKLY DIVERGENT AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1668 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 10:43:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54136; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 21:41:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9685519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 21:41:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64356 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 21:41:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 21:40:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150240.VAA00278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 21:40:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86f13def2b868c0ef8f2920ed341ec9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.5N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 37.2N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.9N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 700 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.3N5 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 29.4N5 137.0E1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 142330Z3. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS= HOWEVER SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF CONVECTION AND THEREFORE TYPHOON STELLA (08W) MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY SHOULD NOT CHANGE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL ON JAPAN. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).//BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-13809>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:11:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54158; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:11:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9685832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:10:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22900 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:10:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150310.WAA01250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:10:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a95f6bc848897d7d33595bfe9a4fcafc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 976 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 COR 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.5N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 37.2N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.9N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 700 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.3N5 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 29.4N5 137.0E1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 142330Z3. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS= HOWEVER SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF CONVECTION AND THEREFORE TYPHOON STELLA (08W) MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY SHOULD NOT CHANGE PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ON JAPAN. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT GRAMMAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).//BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2900 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:19:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12958; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:18:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9685872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:18:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA44172 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:18:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150317.WAA01354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:17:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbeb62c4c9dec6a3d1bd4a3eadf1df03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 124 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4376 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.5N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 37.2N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4376 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.9N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 700 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.3N5 155.4E5 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4376 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 29.4N5 137.0E1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 142330Z3. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS; HOWEVER SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF CONVECTION AND THEREFORE TYPHOON STELLA (08W) MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY SHOULD NOT CHANGE PRIOR TO LANDFALL ON JAPAN. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG4376 UNCLAS BT #4376 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626436-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:27:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29404; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:25:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9685921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:24:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA54174 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:24:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:24:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150324.WAA01455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 22:24:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4369a2337910da3f66d8843257270660 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 COR 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.5N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 37.2N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.9N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.3N5 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 29.4N5 137.0E1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 142330Z3. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS= HOWEVER SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF CONVECTION AND THEREFORE TYPHOON STELLA (08W) MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY SHOULD NOT CHANGE PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ON JAPAN. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT WIND RADII VALUES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).//BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:08:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA54294; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 23:06:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9686227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 23:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA48888 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 23:06:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 23:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150406.XAA02372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 23:06:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47ba67705980d3897abead8a761db6df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 965 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 COR 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4596 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.5N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 37.2N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4596 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.9N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.3N5 155.4E5 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4596 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 29.4N5 137.0E1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 142330Z3. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS; HOWEVER SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF CONVECTION AND THEREFORE TYPHOON STELLA (08W) MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY SHOULD NOT CHANGE PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ON JAPAN. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT WIND RADII VALUES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).//BT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG4596 UNCLAS BT #4596 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 14:20:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-13812>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:16:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19020; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA50454 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150612.BAA03620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5f8f6142a1b95ca3efdcdca8801b51d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 117E9 HAS NOT MOVED. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. CURRENTLY, CONVECTION IS SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED; HOWEVER THERE IS GOOD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND LOW SURFACE PRESSURES WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 20N 129E AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS (150000Z6) AND UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-13809>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:19:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA50638; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:16:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA58018 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:16:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150815.DAA04635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:15:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61cf43064309a4c7f777466fd1fd1beb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSILION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - $45 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: R VB.NM YOUPHEUST SEMIBS (,PLPQ LNKLLGL PRPHNLBSEQHYE RADIUS OLZNAVCIKIVB0 NSOUTHEA ST SEMICIRCLE 10 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATE 1 REPEAT POLCKWVCIEN3 136.9E9 FORECASTS: W HRS, VALID AL: 7 1120;Z9 -- 32;9N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015(),)GJ UQLUVKT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEASTPSEMICIRCLE ) # 040 NM EWSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE , #) OVER WUTER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TOH24,HJ OWEKWIVKS 8 24 HRSVA1$--5:4 16000Z( .WGKUUE2 PICASPV QL150(.AAITPV SOUOOMBAVVFBA KR J L VLG HL U MVEQMY 6?)5028 8 8 E UOHOMQVID.Q H HPQ-8880 8-88888;- . # OEGBTJ=200)0 075 NM ELSEWHEVENBVER WATDROV ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:26:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19080; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:25:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:25:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA56692 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:25:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150825.DAA04672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:25:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 012 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1fda1e542ac63dea2d052f425cf3d25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 051 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 COR 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 012 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CHC BNE IN NORBHWMAK MWXCSUSXAIMA)1;$2M ON ONAAMINUHE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 0 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 136.9E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.5N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMIVIRCLE )88888888 8888888888 888801-7<, 3)?9/63 ADIUS OF 05 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 28 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 37.2N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 650 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z AAA WMON5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINDBWINDS - 060 ONGUFTS 075 KT BKCOMUNG EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 700 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 OVDVNY 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 0?9 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ) 0 OVER WATER ) 075 NELSE#343 9;34 2-534 VECTOO < )8ZENDED OUTLK: 5 .48 ZXBLVKLID AT: 70000Z8 -.68.3N5;435 ; MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -#0600(5, GUSTS 075 KT SXWRATROPIKAL REMARS: 0,300Z9 POSITIOML29.4N5 137.1E1. :TYPHOON KTELLAH(08W) VMPM KEDX-NOR THWDPVNXAT 14 KNOS O OVEJ HHLPAT 06 HODTHZBVNWNG POSITION IS BASEDMQPMP ANALYSIJ OF VSBVE SALE IOMXE BASED UPON A SATE LITZ CURRENT INTENSITYLESTIMATE ON 65 KNOTS= HOWEVER SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYFTEM HAS POMWN OENSITY. VIME SATEWLITE IGRZTKC TAT THE VBEVELNC XCIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE WESO OFVOOVECTION AND LHEREFORE TYPHOON STELLA (08W) MAY HAVE EXPERIENCED SOME VEROICAL M8,/HVP;W H OURS. OHE SYSTEM;S PBNLSPOULD FOTC CGAGA IQQOR TON KVXXHON JAPANMGTGEUE RA SIGNISKCANT BDHANGES M THE FOREC SOORACC PHILOSOPHY. JUSTIFICATIO C TO CORRECT GRAMMAVLM XIHUH SGXIFICAMT WAVE MWVVCQWQZ IS 20 FEET. RSFER TO W0230 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9),-151900Z2 (DTGS51351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTVVNZ1) -,$ 160300Z0 (DTG 160151(,4).//BLO ?0001 I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628150-13809>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:30:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29398; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:30:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54356 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150829.DAA04698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:29:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3e6a3960926cb54011794f0ac607299 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 129 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 30.0N3 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 136.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 35.1N9 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 40.8N2 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 52.8N5 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 31.3N7 136.7E7. TYPHOON STELLA=S (08W) FORWARD MOTION HAS NOW INCREASED TO 19 KNOTS AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 150530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS FROM KGWC AND PGTW SATELLITE ANALYSTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN AT 65 KNOTS PRIOR TO LANDFALL DUE TO THE HIGH TRANSLATIONAL SPEED. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON STELLA WILL WEAKEN, BUT ONLY SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUS FORECASTS DUE TO TYPHOON STELLA=S DELAY IN BEGINNING RECURVATURE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE 50 KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THE MOTION TRACK DO TO THE HIGHER TRANSLATIONAL SPEEDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628328-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:32:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48778; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:32:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52082 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:31:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150831.DAA04735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:31:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6bd402e021a159cb26a1863b2739e767 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 163 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 30.0N3 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION 8(M#O WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628150-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:43:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23390; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA29254 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:41:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150841.DAA04811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:41:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8992b9327fe8f738e799952564d68788 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 WTPN31 PGTW 150800 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 30.0N3 136.3EM MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 19 KTS ,, POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POUITION BASED ON CENTERSP CCVH PRESETLWUND DISTRIBUTIOM:.$4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT: VUUTS 080 KT # JADIUS OF 050 T WINDS - 10; NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE -68 0 , 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 30) NM SOUTHEASTNSEMICIRCLE 0 120 NM ELSEWHERE 48REPEAT POSIT: 30.0V3 1 36.3E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRBN VALID AT: 0151800Z5 --- 35.1N98137.9E0 8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ,;)- OVER WATER 2 88 87-8 888888801>7;,. 3--2#343 9;34 2-534 ;4-$87- 9> 035 KT WIV - 300 NM SOUOQEAST SEMICIRCLE 8888 888 OVEGPQCY 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 2 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 33.KTS 24 HRS, VALIDAT: 160600Z3 --- 40.8N2 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT 1#BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL GADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEA ST SEMICIRCLE : OVER WATER # 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUSPMF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEHICIRCLE .00 ) OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATEC VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 39 KTS 36 HRS, V CBMKAPL QYQIPPZ6 --- 46.7N7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 44 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 170600Z4 --- 52.8N5 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTQPUT KT EXTRATMPICAL REMARKS: 9 150900Z5 POSITION 31.3N7 136.7E7. TY#99, -53))-;S (08W) FORWARD MOTION HAS NOW INCREASED TO 19 KNOTS AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASODLANALYSIS OF 150930Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPMV CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS FROM KGWC AND PGTW SATELLITE ANALYETS. CIRCULATION CENTER.0#934, THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIPAT 65 KNOTS PRIOR TO LANDFALL DUE TO THE HIGH TRANSLATIONAL SPEED. AFT LANDFALL, TYPHOON STELLA WILL WEAKEN, BUT ONLY SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE SYSTEM;S FORWARD SPEED. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, A JBSVVSVBRATROPICAL BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE FGXVCX XWLVIGER WEST THAN PRSUS FORECASTS DUE TO TYPHOON STELLA;S DELAY IN BEGINNING RECUVAOS INTO THE MID-LATITUDE ARLIES. THE 50 KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED ON THE RIGHOYXKWVPXLOF THE MOTI K DO TO THE HIGHER TRANSLATIONAL SPEEDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900ZWY KDOG 160751Z0).// RMLQ LNMMC ZK YIII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628259-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:42:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23410; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687530 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA13128 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150842.DAA04813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 03:42:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella Ppw Warning Nr 013$88 01 Active Tr To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09892b6f2c720b37deb734508b1fca3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 339 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON STELLA PPW WARNING NR 013$88 01 ACTIVE TR PICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWSTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAVE WARNING POSITION: 15#600Z2 --- 30.0N3 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PASWX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 19 KTS L POSITION 8(M?O WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATE BY SATELLITE PR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4623 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628240-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:06:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA48710; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:06:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA18994 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:06:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA05008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:06:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150906.EAA05008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:06:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f4c75c7a18bdea0ec280cdfc66c8327 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 666 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 30.0N3 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 136.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5416 UNCLAS 151800Z5 --- 35.1N9 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 40.8N2 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5416 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 44 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 52.8N5 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 31.3N7 136.7E7. TYPHOON STELLA'S (08W) FORWARD MOTION HAS NOW INCREASED TO 19 KNOTS AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 150530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CURRENT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5416 UNCLAS INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS FROM KGWC AND PGTW SATELLITE ANALYSTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN AT 65 KNOTS PRIOR TO LANDFALL DUE TO THE HIGH TRANSLATIONAL SPEED. AFTER LANDFALL, TYPHOON STELLA WILL WEAKEN, BUT ONLY SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD SPEED. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUS FORECASTS DUE TO TYPHOON STELLA'S DELAY IN BEGINNING RECURVATURE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE 50 KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THE MOTION TRACK DO TO THE HIGHER TRANSLATIONAL SPEEDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0).// BT #5416 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628338-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:17:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA42940; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:17:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:16:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA50598 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:16:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA05075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150916.EAA05075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:16:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 150851z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfc4aff02a25400d73133154d89b70d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 975 WTPN22 PGTW 150900 150851Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.4N4 126.6E5 TO 22.0N4 134.7E5 WITH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628339-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:19:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA42994; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:18:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:18:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA54496 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:18:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA05086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:17:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150917.EAA05086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:17:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 150851z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69e903ce3bd0d55ff946a42ff3e7bdec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN22 PGTW 150900 150851Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSE WITHIN 120 NM EITHEC SIDE OF A LINE FROM QMX 4 126.6E5 TO 22.0N4 134.7E5 WITH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 18:57:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628346-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:49:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44058; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:48:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA50440 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:48:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA05353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150947.EAA05353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 04:47:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 150851z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 837f5e8efc230d40a09f407c7278c8a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 593 WTPN22 PGTW 150900 150851Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.4N4 126.6E5 TO 22.0N4 134.7E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5508 UNCLAS METSAT IMAGERY AT 150600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N7 127.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES EASTWARD AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW ALOFT INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 160900Z6.// BT #5508 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 23:34:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628397-13805>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA58658; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:48:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9689972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA58092 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:48:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151447.JAA10002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:47:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecc3c29126cf7ef6dae47e3c0ae9b956 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 213 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 32.2N7 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 136.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 36.7N6 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.6N2 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 43 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.9N1 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 46 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 54.3N2 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 33.3N9 137.4E5. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 22 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH 151100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 151129Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 151100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A COMBINATION OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST AND INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL AND THEN BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 24-HOUR POINT. TY STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36-HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 23:34:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628403-13809>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:59:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA24506; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:56:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9690170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA62360 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:56:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151456.JAA10233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 09:56:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbcde7683caa7181483b2f6241d941f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 345 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 32.2N7 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCPE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 136.8E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 36.7N6 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 35 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.6N2 143.9E74>) MAX SUSTAINED WINDSH)KT, GUSTS 070 K T BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL , RABWKIPKCUVKT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 43 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.9N1 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 46 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: <8 HXS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 54.3N2 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: 15:11+2 POSITION 33.3N9 137.4E5. TYPHOON SOELLA (08W) HATRACKED NORTHWARD AT 22 KNOTU FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH 151100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 151129Z9 M CROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 151100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A COMBINATION OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST AND INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER TANDFALL AND THEN BEGIN NTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 24-HOUR POINT. TY STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36-HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A151200Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATUOM; NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160301Z0 (BLG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626002-13805>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:38:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA58002; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:33:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9691406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:33:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19014 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:33:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:32:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809151632.LAA13654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 11:32:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 340c44228f069d18d29e84c489149476 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 402 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 32.2N7 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6236 UNCLAS 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 136.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 36.7N6 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.6N2 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6236 UNCLAS OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 43 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.9N1 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 46 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 54.3N2 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6236 UNCLAS 151500Z2 POSITION 33.3N9 137.4E5. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 22 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH 151100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 151129Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 151100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A COMBINATION OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST AND INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL AND THEN BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 24-HOUR POINT. TY STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36-HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// BT #6236 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628465-13811>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA13020; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:05:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9694566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:05:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA58822 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:05:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809152104.QAA21887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:04:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0ae19d4d2ef239e8e7e687346407fea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 556 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 34.3N0 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.3N0 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 38.9N0 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 43.8N5 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 48.4N6 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 41 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 52.8N5 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 35.5N3 138.7E9. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 24 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY STELLA (08W) REMAINS IN THE SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. MEANWHILE, THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM, FURTHER ACCELERATING IT NORTHEASTWARD. LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPORARILY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24-HOUR PERIODS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL. ONCE THE SYSTEM IS EAST OF JAPAN, TY STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY AND CONTINUE ACCELERATING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628472-13805>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:34:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA15178; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:30:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9694994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA55644 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:27:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA23311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809152126.QAA23311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:26:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82e95a6db037383e38969e84b3196c0f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 102 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 34.3N0 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6776 UNCLAS OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.3N0 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 38.9N0 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 43.8N5 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6776 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 48.4N6 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 41 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 52.8N5 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6776 UNCLAS REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 35.5N3 138.7E9. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 24 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY STELLA (08W) REMAINS IN THE SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. MEANWHILE, THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM, FURTHER ACCELERATING IT NORTHEASTWARD. LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPORARILY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24-HOUR PERIODS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL. ONCE THE SYSTEM IS EAST OF JAPAN, TY STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY AND CONTINUE ACCELERATING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// BT #6776 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 08:35:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628453-13809>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 06:07:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA56966; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:04:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9695305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:03:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA58686 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:03:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:03:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809152203.RAA25428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:03:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4035cf2adafdb72e04c6a65dccca8d42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 701 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE T OICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 34.3N0 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TOPIWN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 00 OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE L OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.3N0 138.0E2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 38.9N0 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT; ;;PUT KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE MVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEQHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: ;30 DEG/ 29;(5- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 43.8N5 145.2E2 2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUST S PUP KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM FOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELS XYENER ATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS 8 36 MWVVALIDNAZ: 170600Z4 --- 48.4N6 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS #75 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 41 KTS EXTENDERVKUMK: 40;64-, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 970;)112.7E6 MAX SUSTAINRKQIDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 35.5N3 138.7E9. TYPHMON STELLA (08W) HAS TGACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 24 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY STELLA (08W) REMAINS IN THE SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST. MEANWHILE, THE MID-LATITUDE TBH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM, FURTHER ACCELERATING IT NORTHEASTWARD. LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED VECTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPORARILY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, BETWEENO M THE 12 AND 24-HOUR PERIODS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL. ONCE THE SYSTEM IS EAST OF JAPAN, TY STELLA (08W) IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLX AND CONTINUE ACCELERATING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVEON HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG N 161951Z3).// ?0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2745 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626497-6181>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:44:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA54476; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:34:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9697105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:34:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA41656 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:34:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:33:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160033.TAA28979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:33:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5336d500f37f59e9edc48c5b63e28504 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 584 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 001 02 A8UNT?DBOPICAL 0V0LJS IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 20.8N0 130.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.1N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.6N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.1N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.5N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 21.1N4 130.6E0. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BECOMING A WELL DEVELOPED TROPICAL STORM. TS TODD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS AT 10 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TODD SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A NORMAL RATE AND REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN AVERAGE SIZE STORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150851Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 150900 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4013 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-6181>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:59:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA35864; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:55:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9697539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA50676 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:55:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA00015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160054.TAA00015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 19:54:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 064ccdecdc052fe05ac512169acb3b06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 543 WTPN32 PGTW 160100 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 001 02 A8UNT?DBOPICAL 0V0LJS IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 20.8N0 130.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 130.2E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.1N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KTR RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.6N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.1N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.5N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 VM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 21.1N4 130.6E0. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BECOMING A WELL DEVELOPED TROPICAL STORM. TS TODD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS AT 10 KNOTS THROUGUT THE PERIOD. TODD SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A NORMAL RATE AND REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN AVERAGE SIZE STORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150851Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 150900 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT ?0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2072 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:17:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA35248; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:15:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9697869 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:15:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA35202 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:15:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:14:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160114.UAA00972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 20:14:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce369ffc62883298a79cf0c665a8261d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 160 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 20.8N0 130.2E6 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7365 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.1N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.6N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7365 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.1N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7365 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.5N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 21.1N4 130.6E0. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BECOMING A WELL DEVELOPED TROPICAL STORM. TS TODD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS AT 10 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TODD SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A NORMAL RATE AND REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN AVERAGE SIZE STORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7365 UNCLAS 160000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150851Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 150900 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7365 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627922-6181>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:15:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15216; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:11:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9698761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:11:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA63768 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:09:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:09:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160209.VAA02307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:09:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa5375381876dc82d825942f7e337549 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 401 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 35.8N6 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 40.1N5 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 45.1N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 48.3N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 41 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 50.3N8 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 36.9N8 140.2E7. TYPHOON STELLA CONTINUED ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (152330Z4), MICROWAVE IMAGERY (152209Z9), AND SYNOPTIC DATA. CURRENT INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TYPHOON STELLA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING JAPAN. TYPHOON STELLA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND AND TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. DESPITE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE INTENSITIES REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM, 25-40 KNOTS. TY STELLA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS, BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 24 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-6174>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:17:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA33836; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:15:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9698855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:15:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33926 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:14:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:14:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160214.VAA02418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:14:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 496c63def5e8bb6e76032b86c82c2b9f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 494 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 35.8N6 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 40.1N5 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 45.1N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 = -06 = ETBPWPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 48.3N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 41 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 50.3N8 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 36.9N8 140.2E7. TYPHOON STELLA CONTINUED ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (152330Z4), MICROWAVE IMAGERY (152209Z9), AND SYNOPTIC DATA. CURRENT INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TYPHOON STELLA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING JAPAN. TYPHOON STELLA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND AND TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. DESPITE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE INTENSITIES REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM, 25-40 KNOTS. TY STELLA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS, BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 24 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628038-6174>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:31:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63852; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:20:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9698921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62810 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:20:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160219.VAA02521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:19:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1/ Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b9bc602264d2aafc029d19a3d8818cb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 549 WTPN31 PGTW 160200 1/ TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016 >02 ACTIVE TROPICAG CYOIC NOROHWESTPAC MAX FUSTAITCLWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 -3$.8/ 139.. 8;.;2- 6.5 -8/ #974- - 030 DEGREES )<;KH 20 , POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCAYBZ EULTIV 0 PRESENT WI DISRBTIOM-7;5.-/ -5-8,3$ 27 -=- 065 GUST P080 KT RSAL050 KT WIND 035 .;0-975#3-5 -;V7 WL B08-88 ;I IIIII IIIIOVEBAND . TII IIIIIIIIIIIPQ NM EHYE OVE LAND RADIUS OF 035KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEWST SEMICIRCLDM 8 ) 7OVER LAND WT TGL KPVHELSEWHERE OVER WANX REPEAT PMQTQMIN6 139.5E8 FORECASTS: - 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 40.1/-2,-49E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT,8GUSTS 075 KT L BECOOI ORATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHZASP UEVICIRCLE . )# S P S XOVER LAND 030 NM ELEEWR OVER LAND RDIUS OF 0350KT WINFS DIWAVN SOXOMO SEICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 038 DEG/ 29 KBF 2 23= 24 HRS, VALID AT: 1000Z8 --- 45.1N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRAORNICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS <0 36 HRS, CLID AT: # 171200Z1 --- 48.3N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT,8US KVOPKP N EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 41 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626002-6181>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:39:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63870; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:37:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9699213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:37:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56850 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:37:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160236.VAA02785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 21:36:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1/ Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64b71100ff8a7821007868a25e8026bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 803 WTPN31 PGTW 160200 1/ TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016 >02 ACTIVE TROPICAG CYOIC NOROHWESTPAC MAX FUSTAITCLWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 -3$.8/ 139.. 8;.;2- 6.5 -8/ #974- - 030 DEGREES )<;KH 20 , POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCAYBZ EULTIV 0 PRESENT WI DISRBTIOM-7;5.-/ -5-8,3$ 27 -=- 065 GUST P080 KT RSAL050 KT WIND 035 .;0-975#3-5 -;V7 WL B08-88 ;I IIIII IIIIOVEBAND . TII IIIIIIIIIIIPQ NM EHYE OVE LAND RADIUS OF 035KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEWST SEMICIRCLDM 8 ) 7OVER LAND WT TGL KPVHELSEWHERE OVER WANX REPEAT PMQTQMIN6 139.5E8 FORECASTS: - 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 40.1/-2,-49E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT,8GUSTS 075 KT L BECOOI ORATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHZASP UEVICIRCLE . )# S P S XOVER LAND 030 NM ELEEWR OVER LAND RDIUS OF 0350KT WINFS DIWAVN SOXOMO SEICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 038 DEG/ 29 KBF 2 23= 24 HRS, VALID AT: 1000Z8 --- 45.1N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRAORNICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS <0 36 HRS, CLID AT: # 171200Z1 --- 48.3N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT,8US KVOPKP N EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 41 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626987-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:18:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA55758; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:15:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9699684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56232 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:15:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160314.WAA03478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:14:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d2d7bb65dd8d83d24176425d38e993f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 227 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7849 UNCLAS OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 35.8N6 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 40.1N5 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 45.1N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7849 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 48.3N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 41 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 50.3N8 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 36.9N8 140.2E7. TYPHOON STELLA CONTINUED ITS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (152330Z4), MICROWAVE IMAGERY (152209Z9), AND PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7849 UNCLAS SYNOPTIC DATA. CURRENT INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TYPHOON STELLA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING JAPAN. TYPHOON STELLA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND AND TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. DESPITE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE INTENSITIES REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM, 25-40 KNOTS. TY STELLA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS, BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 24 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7849 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626690-6181>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:27:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA20776; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:25:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9699713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:25:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49184 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:22:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:22:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160322.WAA03560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 22:22:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1280d85ddea82aa0dbbde62b0e56b7db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 329 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 160000Z1#---035.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENTIPAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7849 UNCLAS OVER LAND ###.00-MXLELQEWHERE OVER LAND L8 REPEAT POSIT : 35.8N6 139.5E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 40.1N5 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXO8:-) RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KOLWQNDS - 200 NM SOUTVEAST SEMH OVER LAND 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 ---45.1N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7849 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL VNTORPTO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 48.3N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINES A PTP KT>0GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 41 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628067-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:35:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA47512; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:35:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9700768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45696 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:35:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160435.XAA04697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:35:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5573895ea70655aa995bc1ec18b3a535 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 WTPN31 PGTW 160430 AMD 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMAB(X +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:55:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA36052; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:54:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9700998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:54:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45760 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:54:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160453.XAA05081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:53:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20427731c96cf76fec9040d0f1986bf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTPN31 PGTW 160430 AMD 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.8N6 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.3N9 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 47 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.1N3 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 49 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 50.8N3 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 50 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 51.9N5 175.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 37.4N4 140.6E1. THIS WARNING WAS AMENDED TO REFLECT THE RAPID ACCELERATION OF TY STELLA OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN TRACK OR INTENSITY, BUT THE FORWARD SPEED HAS BEEN INCREASED DRAMATICALLY OVER THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS IN JAPAN AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TY STELLA MOVED RAPIDLY BETWEEN 00-02Z. TY STELLA IS BEGINNING TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM AND WILL BE TRANSITIONED BY THE 18 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16000Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 13:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47500; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:39:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:37:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA53216 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160535.AAA05597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:35:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 359eee8f13b173d9e7d165bff2792e72 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 728 WTPN31 PGTW 160430 AMD 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 13:41:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15186; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:41:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:39:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22398 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:39:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:38:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160538.AAA05605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:38:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Stella (08w) Warning Nr 016a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fba28f79195e9525f1815104d565825 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 WTPN31 PGTW 160430 AMD 1. TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 016A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8324 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.8N6 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 42.3N9 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 47 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 48.1N3 154.3E3 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8324 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 49 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 50.8N3 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 50 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 51.9N5 175.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 37.4N4 140.6E1. THIS WARNING WAS AMENDED TO REFLECT THE RAPID ACCELERATION OF TY STELLA OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN TRACK OR PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8324 UNCLAS INTENSITY, BUT THE FORWARD SPEED HAS BEEN INCREASED DRAMATICALLY OVER THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS IN JAPAN AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TY STELLA MOVED RAPIDLY BETWEEN 00-02Z. TY STELLA IS BEGINNING TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM AND WILL BE TRANSITIONED BY THE 18 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16000Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8324 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627980-6174>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 13:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17714; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:48:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:47:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA13808 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:47:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:46:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160546.AAA05661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:46:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 160521z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40fcb9316343dd9bbf0bf9737e8cab6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 909 WTPN23 PGTW 160530 160521Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 113.9E4 TO 20.2N4 120.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 160430Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 115.9E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO INDICATES THERE IS A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS IN THIS AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE AREA, SO CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170530Z6. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 13:55:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44692; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:55:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:53:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45766 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:53:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160553.AAA05712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 160521z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58273988a7dcbf3465bea691aa8a4a60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 WTPN23 PGTW 160530 160521Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE :J +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2783 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627982-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:14:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA45626; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:14:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:12:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA53208 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:12:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160612.BAA05950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:12:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db0dc6cba25fe4c9c66b5b2348b11a7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 377 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 20.8N0 130.2E6 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8516 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.1N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.6N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8516 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.1N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8516 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.5N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 21.1N4 130.6E0. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED TECHNIQUES AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BECOMING A WELL DEVELOPED TROPICAL STORM. TS TODD IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS AT 10 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TODD SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A NORMAL RATE AND REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN AVERAGE SIZE STORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8516 UNCLAS 160000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150851Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 150900 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8516 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627956-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:57:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15574; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:50:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25312 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:47:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160647.BAA06391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:47:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aff5e13a6f53de14999e62ce68d193e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 268 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMDDMCN WE3ABD 4HKBSREF/C/RMG/NAVP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3601 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627956-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:55:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15398; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:53:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA41516 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:48:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160648.BAA06403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 160521z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf8033d037f6138d30836f78f04514d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 320 WTPN23 PGTW 160530 160521Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.0N7 113.9E4 TO 20.2N4 120.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8591 UNCLAS METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 160430Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 115.9E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO INDICATES THERE IS A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS IN THIS AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE AREA, SO CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170530Z6.// BT #8591 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628473-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:52:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA52900; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:52:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9702599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46846 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:49:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:48:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160848.DAA07414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:48:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8343cefc7b80906106d35ed62d7e260 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628473-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:57:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA46338; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:56:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9702628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15548 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160855.DAA07455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 03:55:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b82e40727e7c37daee087b4f61995fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 305 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-20258>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 18:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA46372; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:34:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9703355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:33:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA22432 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:33:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161032.FAA08527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:32:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 613b0ca739723770ced398f4ef390720 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 140 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9123 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9123 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628473-20256>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 18:36:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA46494; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:36:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9703359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:34:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA22456 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:33:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:32:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161032.FAA08531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:32:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd332014ef407b6bbc6be8849d9cc3f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 141 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9123 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9123 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD BT #9123 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628547-20257>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 18:38:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA44754; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:37:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9703365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47496 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:35:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:35:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161035.FAA08556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 05:35:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69b1e82fcd7bf505cc5012aa9c5443fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9122 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9122 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9122 UNCLAS REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) BT #9122 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628355-20255>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:25:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44586; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:23:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9705968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41602 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161421.JAA13782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 230922c34f2a044b7bd95f50aaccd254 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 190 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9502 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9502 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9502 UNCLAS REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) BT #9502 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 22:45:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2245 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628732-20256>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:25:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44770; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:24:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9705972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:23:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA17810 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161421.JAA13786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:21:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bac58b4e01cafd0da15cca7a2941c473 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 191 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9503 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9503 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD BT #9503 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628781-20255>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:18:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA15854; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:16:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9706969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA53128 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:12:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA16596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:12:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161512.KAA16596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 10:12:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc1c5985d5e4b721ef090cc96f8a5856 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 149 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9759 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9759 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9759 UNCLAS REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) BT #9759 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628709-20256>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 00:45:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA57898; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:42:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9708943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:40:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA66238 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:40:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161640.LAA20493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:40:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05a0d7f9cbefca8e7552b6d214133221 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 980 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 43.9N6 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 52 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 43.9N6 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 49.1N4 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 60 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.4N0 179.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 62 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 51.9N5 160.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 45.2N1 150.4E0. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 51 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TS STELLA (08W) IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONG STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 20 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR FUTURE STORM WARNINGS. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3011 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628515-20258>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 00:49:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA27362; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:46:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9709017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:44:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA42798 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:44:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161644.LAA20601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:44:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 382525fb4741d0b12c8b98915da88031 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 099 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 21.5N8 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.6N0 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.8N3 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.3N0 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.8N6 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 29.8N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 21.8N1 133.2E9. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. TS TODD (10W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD TS TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TOWARDS THE WEST. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TS TODD (10W) TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE AT TYPHOON STRENGTH BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628683-20256>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 00:50:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA21782; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:48:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9709057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA21922 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:46:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161646.LAA20642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:46:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) War To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24d365e23e57519978dff92a10d2226f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 156 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAR NG NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAIN WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINKTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 43.9N6 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOUS - 045 DEGRES AT 52 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE MAX SUSTAQNED WINDS - 060 OC GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WIPDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 888888 88888888888<9;34 2-534 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 25; NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 120 NMNSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 43.9N6 14699E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 49.1N4 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 60 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.4N0 179.2E9# MAX SUSTAIVED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTO TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 62 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 51.9N5 160.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 45.2N1 150.4E0. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 51, KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. HE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TS STELLA (08W) IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWUYD FOR THE REMAUUPMF THE FORECAST PEROD DUE TO THE STRONG STEERINR FLOW OF THE RIDGE. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO GRADUNCVLDECREASE THE SYSTEM;S INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16120#Z0 IS M 20 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).)REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR FUTURE STORM WARNINPUREFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLYPPXMOBH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628848-20257>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 00:59:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA56584; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9709141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA53158 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:55:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:54:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161654.LAA20869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:54:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warnipg Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14a8df38c296ffa9f3cbde1299b35847 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 253 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNIPG NR 003 - 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES I NPORTHWESTPAC MAX BVVNIBJIMBOLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARN NG POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 21.5N8 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS , POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 M POSITION BASEE C CENTER LOCATEBY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION, MAX SUSTAIND8,$- - 060 KT. GUSTS 075 T RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ) 020 NM ELSEWHERE ADIUS OF 35 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICICLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 132.9E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VAL D AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.6N0 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSH- 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUYHOF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHDRE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS NM SOUT EAST SEMICIRVLE 040 NM ELSEWHEGA VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628791-20258>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 01:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA24502; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:04:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9709203 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA40486 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:00:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:00:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161700.MAA20996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5e4f02f8dd235168c058c08df0667ce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9961 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 21.5N8 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.6N0 134.2E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9961 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.8N3 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.3N0 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9961 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.8N6 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 29.8N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9961 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 21.8N1 133.2E9. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. TS TODD (10W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. HOWEVER, BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD TS TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TOWARDS THE WEST. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TS TODD (10W) TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE AT TYPHOON STRENGTH BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9961 UNCLAS WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// BT #9961 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:36:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1203 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628816-20257>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 01:16:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40542; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:13:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9709408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA22286 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:12:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809161711.MAA21321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:11:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bddfbc5fd315ecc0647fc08331692fdf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 43.9N6 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 52 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9960 UNCLAS OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 43.9N6 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 49.1N4 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 60 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.4N0 179.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 62 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 51.9N5 160.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9960 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 45.2N1 150.4E0. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 51 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TS STELLA (08W) IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONG STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 20 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR FUTURE STORM WARNINGS. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9960 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628772-20257>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 05:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA25180; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9712775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:54:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52916 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:54:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809162054.PAA28667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 15:54:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89c6e5eeb1792e98b6be6a147afd02eb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 669 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 21.7N0 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.6N0 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.6N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.9N5 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.3N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 29.5N6 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 21.9N2 133.5E2. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TY TODD (10W) IS COMING UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628866-20257>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 05:06:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA55754; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9712983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA50536 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:01:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA28887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809162101.QAA28887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:01:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0dbefbe5ca77b790febfcfeac66da256 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 004 2 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE I N NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 21.7N0 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS WLNM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 133.3E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.6N0 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OFN050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHV SEMICIRCLE - - 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.6N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.9N5 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS MF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.3N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 29.5N6 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERAOO RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 21.9N2 133.5E2. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE --5 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER;#OHE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TY TODD (10W) IS COMING UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO TS EAST WHICH IS EXPECTEEO CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIODM MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPVOUM KWTIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTM 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1115 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628730-20258>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 05:37:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA44046; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9713557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA20630 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809162126.QAA29680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:26:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5975c9d5761940f26cd54a0fdfdbbd17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 389 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 21.7N0 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 133.3E0 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0607 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.6N0 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.6N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0607 UNCLAS ?SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.9N5 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.3N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0607 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 29.5N6 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 21.9N2 133.5E2. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TY TODD (10W) IS COMING UNDER THE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0607 UNCLAS STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS EAST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// BT #0607 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 06:37:02 1998 Received: from neptune.sixdegrees.com ([206.41.12.34]:1407 "HELO neptune.sixdegrees.com" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <628860-20258>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:49:18 +0800 Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 16:48:44 -0500 From: "sixdegrees" To: "ALexis Lau" Subject: An Important Letter from the President of sixdegrees Message-Id: <19980916204923Z628860-20258+504@uxmail.ust.hk> Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;alau@ust.hk X-UIDL: b4d3539660fb7a9d906234dbcee7cfb7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 September 16, 1998 Dear ALexis, Twenty months ago and before we had a single member in our community, I described to an audience of 150 people in New York City our vision for building a service called sixdegrees which would change the way people network and interact. We began with simple connectivity tools, and later allowed members to post questions to their first and second degrees as well as to publish their recommendations on Web sites and films to the entire sixdegrees community. As sixdegrees offered new tools, you responded in ever-greater numbers and with ever increasing amounts of participation. For this, I thank you. You also suggested how we could improve the service. In thousands of emails, you asked us to connect you to every member of our community - no matter how many degrees it took. In essence, you asked us to prove the theory that every person on the planet is connected by no more than six relationships. Today we respond. With the introduction of four new services, which utilize our proprietary "Connection Engine," you can connect to almost every member of sixdegrees, whether they are two degrees away from you or twenty-two degrees away from you. A description of the new services follow: ** all my degrees allows you to determine the number of people to whom you are connected, and then to filter through those relationships based on criteria such as occupations, hobbies, skills and locations. With the results of the filtered search, you can selectively choose which members to contact within the sixdegrees community. ** who's on allows you to see who is on the site at any given moment, and to communicate with them through instant messaging, chat or degreemail. ** people surfing allows you to start with all the people you know and then connect through them to the people they know, and the people they know, and so on and so on. ** degree mail is our version of instant messaging with a sixdegrees twist. You can send a private message to another member of sixdegrees, whether or not they are logged-on to the site. ***Our Updated Privacy Policy: Here at sixdegrees, we take privacy very seriously and have done everything in our power to develop a set of rules that balance our members privacy concerns with their ability to enjoy the most positive networking experience. As you explore the world of the new sixdegrees, you will immediately notice how the sheer number of members connected to you has multiplied. On the old site, connections went out 2 and 3 degrees. On the new site connection paths go out 6 degrees and beyond. Because you are connected to so many new people, you will find that your ability to network and correspond has greatly increased. As a result of this greater connectivity, it became necessary to reexamine certain rules that were sufficient in the past. I have highlighted the important changes for your reference: *Previously, the network me search allowed members to identify other sixdegrees members whom they were connected to based on their occupation, hobbies, skills, and basic geography (City, State, Country). Since the definition of who you are connected to has been greatly expanded (from 3 degrees to an infinite number of degrees), members can now search for nearly every member of sixdegrees based on these four criteria. *Given the site's unprecedented level of connectivity, we also have revamped the "how do I look" section (the place where you would go to choose what profile information was viewable to other members in your member directory listing) and renamed it "my permissions." This updated section allows you to choose how you would like your more personal profile information (not including occupation, hobbies, skills and basic geography which are now viewable to all sixdegrees members) to be viewed by other members via the new services we have introduced. As always, you can specifically set your permissions to control how and if other members view your contact information (including your email address, phone number and street address). Our privacy policy also dictates that we will never sell, rent or lease your names and e-mail addresses to anyone. Please take the time to visit the new and improved "my permissions" page at http://www.sixdegrees.com/Services/Profile/how.cfm to re-examine how you have set your permissions and to see how the revised rules affect your sixdegrees experience. If you would like to read our updated privacy policy, which reflects our enhanced functionality, please visit http://www.sixdegrees.com/Public/About/Privacy.asp The sixdegrees site has obtained the certification of TrustE, a leading Internet privacy organization, to ensure that our privacy policy meets today's strict standards. We could not be more excited about the new sixdegrees and hope that after a visit to http://www.sixdegrees.com you will share in our excitement and let us know what you think. Please also continue to share with us your ideas about additional functionality that we should build for the sixdegrees community. Emails can be addressed to issues@sixdegrees.com (put "the new sixdegrees" in the subject heading). Thank you again for your continued support. Best Regards, Andrew Weinreich President & CEO ================================================================= T O U N S U B S C R I B E: PLEASE NOTE: This is a special one-time only letter sent to all sixdegrees members. It is NOT one of our twice-monthly member updates. If you’ve already unsubscribed from the member update, your unsubscription is still valid. If you would like to unsubscribe from future sixdegrees member updates, just send a reply to this e-mail that reads only UNSUBSCRIBE in the subject line or stop by the URL below and log in with your e-mail address and password to unsubscribe directly at the site: http://www.sixdegrees.com/Services/profile/email.cfm From - Thu Sep 17 10:55:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626910-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:41:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67080; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:37:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:37:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56812 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:37:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170237.VAA06170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:37:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d9bc003dab19c4e5f92247615826eca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 22.3N7 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.1N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.8N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.1N0 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.2N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 29.4N5 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 22.8N2 134.4E2. TYPHOON TODD(10W) CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 162330Z5 AND 170032Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NAUTICAL MILE EYE AND HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEVELOP A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SPEED WILL SLOW AS STEERING FLOW ALOFT WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN 31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627283-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:58:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44594; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:51:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57882 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:51:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:51:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170251.VAA06386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 21:51:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0b31a5454b3ccb54e5c7ebffc78acf2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 247 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 22.3N7 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1701 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.1N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1701 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.8N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.1N0 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1701 UNCLAS 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.2N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 29.4N5 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1701 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 22.8N2 134.4E2. TYPHOON TODD(10W) CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 162330Z5 AND 170032Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NAUTICAL MILE EYE AND HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD TURN PAGE 07 RUHPSGG1701 UNCLAS MORE TO THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEVELOP A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SPEED WILL SLOW AS STEERING FLOW ALOFT WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN 31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1701 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627164-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15860; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:21:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718536 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:21:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49122 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:21:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:20:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170320.WAA07137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:20:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34fe215b8e37a89f610ac59a0c52626d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1771 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 22.3N7 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.1N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1771 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.8N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1771 UNCLAS 181200Z2 --- 27.1N0 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.2N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1771 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 29.4N5 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 22.8N2 134.4E2. TYPHOON TODD(10W) CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 162330Z5 AND 170032Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 PAGE 07 RUHPSGG1771 UNCLAS KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL DEFINED 12 NAUTICAL MILE EYE AND HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEVELOP A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SPEED WILL SLOW AS STEERING FLOW ALOFT WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN 31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1771 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4315 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:44:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA18926; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:41:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA19674 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:40:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:40:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170340.WAA07729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:40:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf2367ff927d4b291d94662cc4521bae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 17.0N8 120.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 120.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.0N8 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.0N8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.1N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.3N1 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.7N5 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 17.0N8 120.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 162150Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS NEAR THE LUZON COAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE ONTO THE ISLAND OF LUZON DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS; THIS WILL CAUSE THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO WEAKEN UNTIL IT EMERGES BACK OVER THE WATER BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE OVER WATER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE. THE SYSTEMS MOTION WILL BE SLOW AS STEERING FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IS WEAK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160521Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 160530 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627245-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:50:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19508; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18700 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170347.WAA07845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:47:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95553f475525fa7bc93b3adc43fc4d96 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1795 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 17.0N8 120.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 120.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.0N8 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.0N8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1795 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.1N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.3N1 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.7N5 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1795 UNCLAS REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 17.0N8 120.3E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 162150Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS NEAR THE LUZON COAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE ONTO THE ISLAND OF LUZON DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS; THIS WILL CAUSE THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO WEAKEN UNTIL IT EMERGES BACK OVER THE WATER BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE OVER WATER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE. THE SYSTEMS MOTION WILL BE SLOW AS STEERING FLOW WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IS WEAK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160521Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 160530 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1795 UNCLAS (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1795 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:57:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19528; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57884 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170347.WAA07849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:47:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3967a3cfad28a7af15a7b38ed0718e68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 358 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 43.9N6 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 52 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1800 UNCLAS OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 43.9N6 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 49.1N4 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 60 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 51.4N0 179.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 62 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 51.9N5 160.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1800 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 45.2N1 150.4E0. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 51 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TS STELLA (08W) IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL JET AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE STRONG STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 20 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR FUTURE STORM WARNINGS. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1800 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627303-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:50:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19596; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:49:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:49:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18720 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:48:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170347.WAA07853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:47:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Qmptical Depressions11w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f09ed0ee9d571c7693e62d41d859c08 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 359 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 QMPTICAL DEPRESSIONS11W WARNING NR 001 02 JCTIVEHTROPICAL VQLONE IN NORTHWS EAGL MAX FUSTNIXWINDF BKPELMN WARNING PMCXKAV QUPPPPZ8 --2 17.0N8 120.1E4 , 8.93;5 0?>2HA POXQEES ATS04 KTS POSITION ACCURTE TOWITHIN 06 X H IVOSITIOC KD WHP LOCATED BY SATZBLITEVQ PRESENT WIND DIYTRIBUTVONC : SUSTMVE WINDSI-)030 KT, GUYTS 040 ;(5 CSPEATHOSIT:< PN8 12.1E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: UQWPPZ1 --- 17.0N8 120.8E1 MAX SUOKIOLWINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0350KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTSHPL A V 2 7VAPWBLSOC L 1800;?9 2.80N8 (VOOF M MAX SUSTAINEF WINDS -#02 5 KTGTSHPETCKT XKFL36 GR POSCPKWPQLKVDEG KTS 36 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627164-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44596; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:51:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:51:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56098 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:51:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170350.WAA07892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:50:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99ae9820e01c3121322ae779e5dd8a71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 370 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1813 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1813 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1813 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1813 UNCLAS 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1813 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627239-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:08:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19478; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:54:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26100 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:54:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:53:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170353.WAA07947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:53:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b387b2530dacebfac0cfa84da66b6112 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1817 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1817 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1817 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:01:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA19496; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:54:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA56070 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:54:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:53:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170353.WAA07953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:53:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92b4c8228d06d97334e2dd8ca1264462 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1819 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1819 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1819 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1377 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:02:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15864; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA24550 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:58:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:57:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170357.WAA08024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:57:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 248b324dbe60371dcf058386a5cb4e2b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 490 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1827 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1827 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1827 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1827 UNCLAS 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1827 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1334 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627113-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:01:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33838; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:00:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:00:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15640 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:00:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:59:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170359.WAA08104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 22:59:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21181c45995c17a23a3fd82208696cfc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 518 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1831 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.6N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1831 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 51.5N1 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z, STELLA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1831 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626607-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:12:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA47786; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:03:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:03:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA58008 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:03:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:03:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170403.XAA08331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:03:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff6146270365ac1c7adac11f5e27ffba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 559 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1889 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 21.1N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1889 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.1N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.1N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1889 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.6N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.6N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1889 UNCLAS 160900Z6 POSITION 21.2N5 132.6E2. TS TODD (10W) HAS MOVED AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (160530Z5) AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. CURRENT INTENSITY (45 KNOTS) IS BASED ON THE RODN SATELLITE FIX ANALYSIS. TS TODD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT 6 KNOTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT IT WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS NORTHWEST, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. TS TODD WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS TODD IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1889 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 12:22:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626518-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 12:07:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA56952; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:06:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9718842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA56924 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:06:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170406.XAA08358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:06:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Stella (08w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03cb3337db635c5bb32db9f97580b0b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 607 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPCQAL QYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE , WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 40.4N8 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 48 KTS VMSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1817 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELMXYE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.4N8 641.4E FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.7N7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 0707KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41-KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 49.>,9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 3)HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 40 KTS PAGE 0 RUHPSGGAQIQU UNCLAS P QUQIPPZ AHQMTN1 174.5E7 MAXUSTAINBD WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL ARKS: 160900Z6 POSILION 42.0N6 143.7E5. TROPICAL STORM STELLA IS MOVING NORTH-NM+;3--52-4$ -5 48 KNOTS. AT 0600Z( STELLA WAS LORTED ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU NEAR AOMORI, JAPAN. SURFACE PRESSURE WAS NEAR 975 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXTECTED TM COMPLEM EXTRATRGPICAL TRANSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTNAT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR CTIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 16131Z7).162100Z0 (DTGS161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151ZP AND 170900Z7 (DTG 10V+QLM REFER TO TROPICAL STOREAKQPW) WARN NG(WTP EW PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT B1817 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 15:48:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:43:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54596; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22010 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170741.CAA11543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cd543ae8e129fd394fe2d29a0e59adf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PAFIC?N-L2 R;170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 15:48:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:43:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54616; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:42:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:42:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15636 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170741.CAA11551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 377a51653885d22d0e292b317cdc1367 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161351Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z7 TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 52 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 161500) FOR DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 170000Z TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.3N7 134.2E0 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 170000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WAS LOCATED AT 17N 120.1E MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C(WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 115E7 IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W REFERENCED IN PARAGRAPH 1.A.(3) ABOVE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10N1 147E2 IS NOW NEAR 10N1 144E9. WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT 160000Z7 SURFACE REPORTS DON=T INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INSTEAD. THEREFORE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 16N7 112E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM 170000Z, AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS 1615058 INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF HAINAN DAO. CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATING THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA IS LOW. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627852-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:49:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25100; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:45:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA58100 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:45:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170845.DAA12270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:45:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76a491c6e7fbac153a7aa481c51b7e0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 896 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VE OR TOCI PSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627285-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:50:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24636; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:47:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:47:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25130 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:47:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170846.DAA12275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:46:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f873576349bb1f6f6e930e4911ebd1da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 919 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.1N9 119.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 119.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.1N9 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.2N0 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.3N1 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.6N4 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.5N4 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.1N9 120.2E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO BECOME ORGANIZED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS TO INCREASE THE FORWARD MOTION TO 5 TO 6 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN WHILE INTERACTING WITH LAND DURING THE 12 AND 24 HOUR POSITION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AGAIN AT THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS IT WILL BE OVER WATER AGAIN AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BE LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627640-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:52:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA23462; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:51:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:51:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52866 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:51:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170850.DAA12348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:50:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a736b5809b4aff4d820f3d8a778e0019 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 937 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE -HPPWARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1:(7;;3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VE OR TOCI PSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS 36 HRS, ALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130/:5 RADIUS OF 100 KTPCIK VQ20 NR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627590-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24796; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44740 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170856.DAA12401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr ;02 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a50046325beb7b829b9a585013ccf1f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR ;02 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHLETPAC B MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-(.8,(5)-;-4-<3 WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.1N9 119.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIXHOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0400KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 119.9E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.1N9 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.2N0 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINDD WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.3N1 12+;MKMW MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS DXZEFDOUTOC: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17 ;,4 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS <00,. -975# -3.8:84:)3 PEP NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT:8090DEG/ 06 KTS ) 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.5N4 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIU OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.1N9 120.2E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO BECOME ORGANIZED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BAB LUPON ANABYSIS OF 170530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUU FORECAST IS TO INCREASE THE FORWARD MOTION TO 5 TO 6 KNOTS THROUGM OHEIFORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN WHILE INTERACTING WITH LAND DURING THE 12 AND 24 HOUR POSITION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOUL INTENSIFY AGAIN VEPTJG HOUR POSITIMN ES IT WILL BE OVER WATER AGAIN AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BE LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 12 FEET. ER TO WWPW3;8PGFW FMR ADDIZIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 18030MQDDTG 180151Z6) AND YIPOPPZ8 (DTG 180751Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FO GBAM OURLY UPDATES.//. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626986-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:57:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA20524; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:57:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:57:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA56090 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:57:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170856.DAA12413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 03:56:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6e8cfb3937635a0048ee2e548fd397e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.3N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 23.8N3 134.8E6. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP REPORTS FROM 170000Z8 INDICATING A LARGER AREA OF 35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. THE FORECAST TRACK DIRECTION IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE GUIDANCE FROM THE BRITISH METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE (BRACKNELL). THE FORECAST TRACK HAS TYPHOON TODD (10W) TAKING A NORTHWARD THEN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FLOW FROM AN ELONGATED MID- LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS WEST AND RIDGING TO THE EAST. THE SPEED WILL REMAIN STEADY UNTIL THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS WHERE SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH A PEAK IN INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. THIS IS BECAUSE THE INNER CONVECTION OF TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS SMALL AND SHOULDN=T BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITIES PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE LANDFALL OCCURS BETWEEN THE 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4815 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626824-29117>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44704; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:12:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:12:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA21900 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:12:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170911.EAA12827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:11:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 020c5cf43a4e67c7f435def8653e74ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 245 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.1N9 119.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 119.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.1N9 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2874 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.2N0 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.3N1 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.6N4 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.5N4 126.8E7 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2874 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.1N9 120.2E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO BECOME ORGANIZED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS TO INCREASE THE FORWARD MOTION TO 5 TO 6 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN WHILE INTERACTING WITH LAND DURING THE 12 AND 24 HOUR POSITION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AGAIN AT THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS IT WILL BE OVER WATER AGAIN AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BE LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2874 UNCLAS UPDATES.// BT #2874 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 17:24:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4926 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627590-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 17:16:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54400; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:16:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:15:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA21860 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:15:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:15:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170915.EAA12852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 04:15:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f312798bd3f00ab95887f78f6727b17 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2873 UNCLAS 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2873 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2873 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.3N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG2873 UNCLAS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 23.8N3 134.8E6. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP REPORTS FROM 170000Z8 INDICATING A LARGER AREA OF 35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. THE FORECAST TRACK DIRECTION IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE GUIDANCE FROM THE BRITISH METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE (BRACKNELL). THE FORECAST TRACK HAS TYPHOON TODD (10W) TAKING A NORTHWARD THEN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FLOW FROM AN ELONGATED MID- LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS WEST AND RIDGING TO THE EAST. THE SPEED WILL REMAIN STEADY UNTIL THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS WHERE SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH A PEAK PAGE 07 RUHPSGG2873 UNCLAS IN INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. THIS IS BECAUSE THE INNER CONVECTION OF TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS SMALL AND SHOULDN'T BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITIES PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE LANDFALL OCCURS BETWEEN THE 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2873 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 21:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627699-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 19:16:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA15680; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:16:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9721609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:16:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA18734 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:16:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA13868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:16:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171116.GAA13868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:16:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 171055z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6db9cf4fc56113e479a774918c7515d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 627 WTPN23 PGTW 171100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171055Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF 16.3N0 109.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.;INDS IN PH>IEA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 109.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST EAST OF VIETNAM. A LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN ANALYZED WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND THE AREA HAS BEEN SHOWING OVERALL SLIGHT PRESSURE DROPS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 21:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4172 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627696-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 19:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA21922; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:33:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9721783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA52868 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:33:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA13988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171133.GAA13988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 06:33:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bed835d09d8c70fc2c6ad11843bd3d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 006 WTPN23 PGTW 171100 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3098 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171055Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF 16.3N0 109.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 109.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST EAST OF VIETNAM. A LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN ANALYZED WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND THE AREA HAS BEEN SHOWING OVERALL SLIGHT PRESSURE DROPS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181100Z1.// BT #3098 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627699-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:30:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA42898; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:28:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9723685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA42866 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:28:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA16943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171428.JAA16943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:28:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c683edaa7893e40e817428656b266e4a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 405 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 24.6N2 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.8N6 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.9N9 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.2N6 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 33.5N1 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 38.4N5 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 25.1N8 135.1E0. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 120 KNOTS. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS A SMALL, INTENSE SYSTEM WITH A CLOUD FILLED 13 NM DIAMETER EYE. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS EAST. THIS STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AS MODIFIED BY THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS PRESENTLY PEAKING IN INTENSITY AT 120 KNOTS AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL FURTHER WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627689-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52766; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:50:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9724011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18826 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:44:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171443.JAA17347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 09:43:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 642cceeb4211b3e7ddc690dc92764528 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICALPKYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BAYED MNNONE..8,753 -;34-<3 WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 24.6N2 135.0E9 MOVEMET PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRWBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 117;,. -975#3--5 -3.8:84:)3 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 135.0E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT 180000Z9 --- 26.8N6 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 < RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.9N9 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM ET SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8110 NM ELSEWHERE L VECTOR TO 36 HR POSI T: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.2N6 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 00) 000000 OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 33.5N1 133.0E7 - MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NV EAST SEMICIRCLE 0 0)- OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER 800RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 888 8 888;9;34 2-534 00 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627892-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:20:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA52738; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:19:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9724532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:19:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA12914 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:18:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:18:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171518.KAA18453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:18:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8642363e56620927f3521a406c338861 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 240 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.5N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.8N6 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.4N3 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0N0 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.4N6 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.4N2 119.3E4. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND A SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 25 KNOTS FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN WEAK MONSOONAL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:23:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA57900; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:21:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9724555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:21:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA42776 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:21:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171521.KAA18565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:21:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8ee67a5082251a11e74aa4e05f1c71f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3596 UNCLAS 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3596 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3596 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.3N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG3596 UNCLAS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 23.8N3 134.8E6. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP REPORTS FROM 170000Z8 INDICATING A LARGER AREA OF 35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. THE FORECAST TRACK DIRECTION IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE GUIDANCE FROM THE BRITISH METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE (BRACKNELL). THE FORECAST TRACK HAS TYPHOON TODD (10W) TAKING A NORTHWARD THEN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FLOW FROM AN ELONGATED MID- LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS WEST AND RIDGING TO THE EAST. THE SPEED WILL REMAIN STEADY UNTIL THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS WHERE SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH A PEAK PAGE 07 RUHPSGG3596 UNCLAS IN INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. THIS IS BECAUSE THE INNER CONVECTION OF TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS SMALL AND SHOULDN'T BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITIES PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE LANDFALL OCCURS BETWEEN THE 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3596 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627779-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:30:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA42934; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:25:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9724635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA44706 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:25:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:24:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171524.KAA18686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:24:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropicalsstorm Vicki (11w) Warnin Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b25e71672c9d8864751a6856f1f81f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICALSSTORM VICKI (11W) WARNIN NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TRO8:-) :/GONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 0 WARNING POSITION: , 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PREQOPKUDISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT JEPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 119.3E4 12 ;4-, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.5N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT: GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TT 24 HR POS IT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS I AAV 24 HRS, VALID AT: 001200Z2 --- 17.8N60119.8E9 P SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KTGUSTS 050 KT # RADWUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.4N3 120.6E9 MAXPRCND WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSPPQ7;,. 9;34 2-534 VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: ) 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 09.0N0 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, USTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCL OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATH VECTMJ TO 72 HR VOSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 #4-, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.4N6 122.8E3 MAUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT ZINDSM- 020 NMHSOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 ;,. -975#3--5 -3.8:84:)3 8 , 040 NM ELSEAHERE REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.4N2 119.3E4. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASEDON 171130Z3 SATELLITLINTENSITY ESTIMATE OK 35 KNOTS AND A SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 25 KNOTS FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN WEAK MONSOONAL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MLGIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEQMT AT 171200Z1 UYPVNREFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 1809PZ8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNIMVLKWTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDNOBH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627905-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 23:43:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA15274; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:40:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9724927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA50628 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:39:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA19213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:39:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171539.KAA19213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 10:39:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1e4015255c737b18aea3e2e0f5bca6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.5N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.8N6 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.4N3 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0N0 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.4N6 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.4N2 119.3E4. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND A SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 25 KNOTS FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN WEAK MONSOONAL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3623 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628223-29113>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 00:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA67200; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:49:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9726013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:49:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA53028 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:49:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171648.LAA21400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 11:48:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74abfe6a795b56dadc8ce34a317caea9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 WTPN23 PGTW 171100 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3786 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171055Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF 16.3N0 109.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 109.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST EAST OF VIETNAM. A LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN ANALYZED WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND THE AREA HAS BEEN SHOWING OVERALL SLIGHT PRESSURE DROPS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181100Z1.// BT #3786 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628895-29113>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 02:53:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA15190; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 13:45:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9727572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 13:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA48956 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 13:45:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 13:44:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809171844.NAA26647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 13:44:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33392c88454ee084c800d294273928f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 254 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.5N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4070 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.8N6 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.4N3 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0N0 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4070 UNCLAS OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.4N6 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.4N2 119.3E4. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AT 1 KNOT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND A SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 25 KNOTS FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4070 UNCLAS STORM VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN WEAK MONSOONAL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3623 UNCLAS 700 MB RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4070 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628901-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:52:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15666; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:43:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9729303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:42:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA35264 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:42:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:42:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172042.PAA01250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:42:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2efc78eb3eff4bb815d5da36d76b29c0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 26.3N1 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 29.2N3 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 32.3N8 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 35.9N7 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 39.5N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 44.7N5 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 27.0N9 134.2E0. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS IS BASED ON 171730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE AND HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL EMBEDDED IN THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM=S EAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN EMBEDDED IN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 36-HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE AROUND THE RIDGE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND THEN EVENTUALLY MOVES OUT OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (VICKI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1961 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA67818; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:53:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9729562 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25294 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:53:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172052.PAA01712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:52:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c77a95b96ce9958b8d07af6436da1bfd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 516 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC -) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AERAGE WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 26.3N1 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:$ MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 04 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 134.6E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 29.2N3 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 0 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 3-5 DEG/ 17 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 32.3N8 131.4E9 MAX SUSAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OFQ035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 18 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 35.9N7 130.E8 MAX SUETAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NVMALSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRSBN VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 39.5N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 8# 8#000 0 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 44.7N5 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 27.0N9 134.2E0. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNIVG INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS IS BASED ON 171730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE D HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL EMBEDDED IN THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LATITUDE TROLH AND IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM;S EAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN EMBEDDED IN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 36-HOUR POSPOQMPLTHE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A NORTH= NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE AROUND THE RIDGE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND THEN EVENTUALLY MOVES OUT OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITQMVI;8, 8,>94.-589,. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (VICKI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3519 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628866-29110>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:13:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52770; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:11:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9729850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:11:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA30474 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:11:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA02749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172110.QAA02749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:10:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 004 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83f66aee692bcd98b0c927c8d4527bcc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 772 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 16.6N3 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.4N1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.0N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.6N4 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.8N7 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 16.5N2 118.6E6. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 171730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED AS ITS MOVEMENT IS BECOMING MORE DISCERNABLE OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AS THE LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL HAS IMPROVED. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) IS TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER WEAK MONSOONAL STEERING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AND BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, IT SHOULD BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH AND BEGIN TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4760 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627853-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:25:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA46616; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:19:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9729971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:19:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA15352 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:19:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA03063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:19:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172119.QAA03063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:19:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 004 Reloated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf29a3552143e4ed3f98b769a7fb8ce9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 004 RELOATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 17180)Z7 --- 16.6N3 118.7E7 00VMVEMENT PAST SIX HOURSP-:240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WQTPCVP060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT CMVV 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 118.7E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.4N1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2787 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628952-29117>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:45:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA34024; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:39:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9730315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA67270 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:39:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA03766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:38:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172138.QAA03766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:38:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a085917119fb87a9fff727229197f819 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 421 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4407 UNCLAS 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4407 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4407 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.3N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG4407 UNCLAS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 23.8N3 134.8E6. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP REPORTS FROM 170000Z8 INDICATING A LARGER AREA OF 35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. THE FORECAST TRACK DIRECTION IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE GUIDANCE FROM THE BRITISH METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE (BRACKNELL). THE FORECAST TRACK HAS TYPHOON TODD (10W) TAKING A NORTHWARD THEN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FLOW FROM AN ELONGATED MID- LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS WEST AND RIDGING TO THE EAST. THE SPEED WILL REMAIN STEADY UNTIL THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS WHERE SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH A PEAK PAGE 07 RUHPSGG4407 UNCLAS IN INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. THIS IS BECAUSE THE INNER CONVECTION OF TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS SMALL AND SHOULDN'T BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITIES PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE LANDFALL OCCURS BETWEEN THE 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4407 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 09:44:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-29113>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 05:49:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA26002; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:46:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9730369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA67072 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:45:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA03983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:44:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809172144.QAA03983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 16:44:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 004 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65fe7f43375bada5d0351c1f4603a32c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 460 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 16.6N3 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.4N1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4530 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.0N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.6N4 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4530 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.8N7 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 16.5N2 118.6E6. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 171730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED AS ITS MOVEMENT IS BECOMING MORE DISCERNABLE OVER THE LAST 12 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4530 UNCLAS HOURS AS THE LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM'S LOW-LEVEL HAS IMPROVED. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) IS TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER WEAK MONSOONAL STEERING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AND BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, IT SHOULD BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH AND BEGIN TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4530 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 10:19:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA58650; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:15:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA15622 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:15:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:15:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180215.VAA08937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:15:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb97618cd5fc81741eb855bd07abe35f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 683 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5584 UNCLAS 170600Z4 --- 23.3N8 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.1N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5584 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.1N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5584 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.3N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5584 UNCLAS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 23.8N3 134.8E6. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 170530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING SHIP REPORTS FROM 170000Z8 INDICATING A LARGER AREA OF 35 AND 50 KNOT WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. THE FORECAST TRACK DIRECTION IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE GUIDANCE FROM THE BRITISH METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE (BRACKNELL). THE FORECAST TRACK HAS TYPHOON TODD (10W) TAKING A NORTHWARD THEN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FLOW FROM AN ELONGATED MID- LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS WEST AND RIDGING TO THE EAST. THE SPEED WILL REMAIN STEADY UNTIL THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS WHERE SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WILL OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH A PEAK PAGE 07 RUHPSGG5584 UNCLAS IN INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. THIS IS BECAUSE THE INNER CONVECTION OF TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS SMALL AND SHOULDN'T BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITIES PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. ONCE LANDFALL OCCURS BETWEEN THE 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5584 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 10:25:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44086; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:18:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:18:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA31780 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:18:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:17:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180217.VAA08965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:17:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e1c4c177749966c516bc80ec2f0996a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 773 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5615 UNCLAS 171800Z7 --- 26.3N1 134.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 134.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 29.2N3 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5615 UNCLAS 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 32.3N8 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 35.9N7 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5615 UNCLAS OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 39.5N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 44.7N5 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5615 UNCLAS 172100Z1 POSITION 27.0N9 134.2E0. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS IS BASED ON 171730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE AND HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL EMBEDDED IN THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM'S EAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN EMBEDDED IN THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 36-HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE AROUND THE RIDGE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MAKES LANDFALL AND THEN EVENTUALLY MOVES OUT OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT PAGE 07 RUHPSGG5615 UNCLAS 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (VICKI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5615 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626274-22879>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 10:30:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47548; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:28:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:28:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49322 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:28:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180228.VAA09111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:28:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26276a10bd2497e0090c6b8d485b55f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 32.5N0 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 34.0N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 34.6N3 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.8N5 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 29.9N0 132.7E3. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY AND HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND THE RAPID TRANSLATIONAL SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS SYSTEM. WE NO LONGER BELIEVE THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO MOVE INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AS LOWER TO MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THE 24 HOUR AND 48 HOUR POSITION. INSTEAD THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO THE ISLAND OF KYUSHU BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND. THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, ENTERING THE KOREAN STRAITS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MORE WESTWARD MOTION WILL DEVELOP AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY LOWER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF SOUTH KOREA BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 10:40:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13690; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:36:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:36:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA50002 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:36:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180236.VAA09269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:36:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 284a3e71e0649ac01ba26cc5a192e6bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 111 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.2N9 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.9N5 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.8N4 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.4N1 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.3N1 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.2N2 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.1N8 118.7E7. TROPICAL STORM VICKI HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANALYSIS OF 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY AS THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN WEAK STEERING FLOW FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS A MORE PRONOUNCED NORTHWESTWARD THEN NORTHWARD DRIFT WILL DEVELOP AS THE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER BUILDS. BY 72 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DEVELOP A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION. TROPICAL STORM VICKI SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2637 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626021-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 10:44:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA56304; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:40:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20606 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:39:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180238.VAA09312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:38:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99dc904ec786d8a10da98c70b0cab39a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 190 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5742 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ? ?WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 32.5N0 131.4E9 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5742 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ? ?WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 34.0N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT ?DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ?OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 34.6N3 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT ?DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ?OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5742 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.8N5 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT ?DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ?OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 29.9N0 132.7E3. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY AND HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND THE RAPID TRANSLATIONAL SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS SYSTEM. WE NO LONGER BELIEVE THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO MOVE INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AS LOWER TO MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5742 UNCLAS CENTER AT THE 24 HOUR AND 48 HOUR POSITION. INSTEAD THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO THE ISLAND OF KYUSHU BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND. THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, ENTERING THE KOREAN STRAITS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MORE WESTWARD MOTION WILL DEVELOP AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY LOWER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF SOUTH KOREA BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5742 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625992-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:05:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA20670; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:03:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9734918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA41634 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:03:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:03:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180303.WAA09826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:03:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e85736f491b9bc2ff849488ee34ae54c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W 02 ACTVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PNQL03 RUHPSG562 7 WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX TURS - 335 DEGCEES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT L ROIUN O 7;5 78(VA POP NM NORTGEAUT ?? ?SEMICIRCLE 72 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSE#343 9;34 ? ?WATER OH RZPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 133.1E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT 181200Z2 --- 32.5N0 131.4E9 PAGEH2$47#0-<<574 UNCLAS Z MAXVUUSTAIPWINDS 50 KT, GUSTS065 KT ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0; 003;,. 3)-32#343 9;34 ? ?WATER C : VECTOR TO 2 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4566 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626283-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:18:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA49266; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:16:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9735027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:16:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA13140 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:16:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:15:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180315.WAA10085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:15:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 009 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b210678e3c6259ec60e0acabaa85eb7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 896 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 COR 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 009 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 32.5N0 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 34.0N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 34.6N3 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.8N5 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 29.9N0 132.7E3. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY AND HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND THE RAPID TRANSLATIONAL SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS SYSTEM. WE NO LONGER BELIEVE THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO MOVE INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AS LOWER TO MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THE 24 HOUR AND 48 HOUR POSITION. INSTEAD THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO THE ISLAND OF KYUSHU BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND. THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, ENTERING THE KOREAN STRAITS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MORE WESTWARD MOTION WILL DEVELOP AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY LOWER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF SOUTH KOREA BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT SUBJECT LINE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626482-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:28:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15854; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:18:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9735038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:18:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA15824 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:18:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:17:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180317.WAA10222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:17:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 009 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1c8e4d41eca139a6237997ae1a8b4f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 COR 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 009 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5839 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ? ?WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 32.5N0 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5839 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST ?? ?SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER ? ?WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 34.0N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT ?DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ?OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 34.6N3 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT ?DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ?OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5839 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.8N5 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT ?DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ?OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 29.9N0 132.7E3. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY AND HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND THE RAPID TRANSLATIONAL SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THIS SYSTEM. WE NO LONGER BELIEVE THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO MOVE INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AS LOWER TO MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THE 24 HOUR AND 48 HOUR POSITION. INSTEAD PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5839 UNCLAS THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO THE ISLAND OF KYUSHU BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINS ON THE ISLAND. THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, ENTERING THE KOREAN STRAITS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MORE WESTWARD MOTION WILL DEVELOP AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY LOWER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF SOUTH KOREA BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT SUBJECT LINE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5839 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:20:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15616; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:18:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9735042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:18:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45280 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:18:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:17:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180317.WAA10227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 22:17:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: facdeac4c9e8e28127cdaa50cd276c61 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 916 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.2N9 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.9N5 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5866 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.8N4 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.4N1 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.3N1 117.5E4 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5866 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.2N2 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST ? ?SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST ?SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.1N8 118.7E7. TROPICAL STORM VICKI HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5866 UNCLAS ON ANALYSIS OF 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY AS THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN WEAK STEERING FLOW FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS A MORE PRONOUNCED NORTHWESTWARD THEN NORTHWARD DRIFT WILL DEVELOP AS THE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER BUILDS. BY 72 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DEVELOP A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION. TROPICAL STORM VICKI SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5866 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3766 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626522-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:31:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA67232; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9736380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13184 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180627.BAA12478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 969f699ac7774543b4c3c65f6b2b7f2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171055Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.2N 118.8E MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B(WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 112E4. IS NOW NEAR 16N7 109E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE VIETNAM COAST, AND IS SOUTH OF HAINAN DAO ISLAND. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT; SEE REF C (WTPN23 PGTW 171100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 16N7 135E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE MONSOON TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP IN THIS REGION. HOWEVER, AT THE TIME THERE IS NOT AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627992-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45190; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:54:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:54:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA58740 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:54:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180853.DAA13886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:53:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f3bb51436a7403581219f25ec3259170 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 30.3N6 130.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 130.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 31.1N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.9N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 33.0N6 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 34.3N0 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 30.5N8 129.5E7. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 180600Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM TANEGASHIMA AND AMAMIOSHIMA ISLANDS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON WIND REPORTS FROM THESE ISLANDS WHICH INDICATED 50 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS (ONE MINUTE AVERAGE) WITH A GUST MEASURED AT 63 KNOTS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER AT 0437Z4. THIS WOULD INDICATE THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR STRONGER WINDS CLOSER TO THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE WEST. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST, ALTHOUGH THE SPEED SHOULD SLOW AS THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT IS PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR STEERING TYPHOON TODD (10W) MOVES CLOSER TOWARDS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING OVER EASTERN ASIA. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATER BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627969-22879>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA43460; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:55:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30294 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:55:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:55:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180855.DAA13904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 03:55:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2dda65da4b920c9126d2979c65ad7177 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 16.1N8 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.9N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.1N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.9N9 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 16.0N7 118.9E9. TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627951-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:06:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56812; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:05:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:05:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA58072 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:05:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:05:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180905.EAA14248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:05:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90483be5e212a66ba9e755efe9cfc1df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 355 WTPN33 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.1N9 107.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 107.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.9N7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.4N3 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.7N6 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.3N1 107.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF VIETNAM. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWARD ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW, WHICH IS DOMINATED BY AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH, WILL FORCE THE CYCLONE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL AND DISSIPATING RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171055Z9 SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 171100 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9),190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627931-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:12:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA13232; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:11:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737388 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:11:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA30332 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:11:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180911.EAA14320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:11:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a98da8aa31727bd30cb16d9c68a2e3df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 528 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 16.1N8 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KTPWINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.0E1 2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.9N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS HA PUP KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.1N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 117.6E5 MAX SU TAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 05;8KT WPNDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KTWINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: ;50$3 VALID AT: 21;11+9 --- 19.9N9 119.5E6, MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KTPUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDL- 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 00 OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWGWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 16.0N7 118.9E9. TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) CONTINUES TO INTENUIFY OVER THE SOUTH CVQNAHUOH AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 180530+UVVISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TMVNWNG INTENSITY IS BASED UPONHA SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENQVLPHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FMJ ADDIHIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. N O WARNINGS AT QAPCW+5 (DTG 181+; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:29:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52814; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:27:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:27:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA58042 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:25:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:25:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180925.EAA14432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:25:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e10196db92367fce703aabcba6b829ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 882 WTPN33 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.1N9 107.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 1088E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.9N7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.4N3 1;71E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NMRTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 9ER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.7N6 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.3N1 107.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF VIETNAM. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWARD ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW, WHICH IS DOMINATED BY AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH, WILL FORCE THE CYCLONE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM RIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL AND DISSIPATING RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT QQP11Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCIWEST GU PQQPTTZ9 SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 171100 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 18;11Z2 (DTG 181955Z9),190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON TMDD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627967-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:46:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56064; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:45:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64480 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:44:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180944.EAA14624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:44:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 116b4149b2a00351dfc48161b99e7ccf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 16.1N8 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.9N5 118.5E5 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6947 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.1N8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6947 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.9N9 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 16.0N7 118.9E9. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6947 UNCLAS TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6947 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 17:50:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626500-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:49:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA56228; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:48:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52880 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:48:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:48:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180948.EAA14654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:48:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04edbe22e1da5ff16c26ff76668cff28 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 218 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6946 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 30.3N6 130.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 130.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 31.1N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6946 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.9N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 33.0N6 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 34.3N0 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6946 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 30.5N8 129.5E7. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 180600Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM TANEGASHIMA AND AMAMIOSHIMA ISLANDS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON WIND REPORTS FROM THESE ISLANDS WHICH INDICATED 50 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS (ONE MINUTE AVERAGE) WITH A GUST MEASURED AT 63 KNOTS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER AT 0437Z4. THIS WOULD INDICATE THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR STRONGER WINDS CLOSER TO THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE WEST. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST, ALTHOUGH THE SPEED SHOULD SLOW AS THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT IS PARTIALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR STEERING TYPHOON TODD (10W) MOVES CLOSER TOWARDS SUBTROPICAL RIDGING OVER EASTERN ASIA. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATER BY THE 48 HOUR PAGE 06 RUHPSGG6946 UNCLAS POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6946 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 18:02:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628986-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:53:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52812; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:51:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9737715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA56122 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:51:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:50:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180950.EAA14665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 04:50:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2fcdfe915b895412150ef8c318bdd6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 235 WTPN33 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.1N9 107.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 107.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.9N7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6958 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.4N3 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.7N6 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.3N1 107.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF VIETNAM. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWARD ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW, WHICH IS DOMINATED BY AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH, PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6958 UNCLAS WILL FORCE THE CYCLONE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL AND DISSIPATING RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171055Z9 SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 171100 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9),190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6958 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627962-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:46:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15790; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:45:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:45:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA49290 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:45:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181344.IAA17814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 08:44:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d19daf360ae0d7be3220375eca5103e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 672 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 29.9N0 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.3N6 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.1N5 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINTR 080 NHJ THEAST DMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 A ?OS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2130 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627984-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:07:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52194; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:06:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:06:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA47534 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:06:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181405.JAA18390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:05:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d11d5a52ff924e98bf8efa82ba85c835 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 15.8N4 119.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 119.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.7N3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.8N4 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.5N2 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.6N4 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 15.8N4 119.2E3. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY AND DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. THIS WEAK STEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY STEERED BY THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH WHICH WILL GIVE IT A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT REMAINS IN A WEAK WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627969-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30384; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:09:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA58004 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:09:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:09:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181409.JAA18449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:09:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 243371565d5f04f6d4c00981b749e620 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 208 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7438 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 29.9N0 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.3N6 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7438 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.1N5 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 32.3N8 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 33.7N3 121.9E3 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7438 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 30.0N3 128.2E3. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 180855Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWING THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN WITH THE MAIN CONVECTION BEING SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS BEEN RAPIDLY MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND THEN FINALLY NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS UNDER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR PAGE 06 RUHPSGG7438 UNCLAS ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7438 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627966-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:28:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39362; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:26:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:26:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA56698 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:26:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:26:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181426.JAA18848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:26:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52d17b45de0d5e65a9ff88d901175b13 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 522 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 29.9N0 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.3N6 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.1N5 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 32.3N8 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 33.7N3 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 30.0N3 128.2E3. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 180855Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWING THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN WITH THE MAIN CONVECTION BEING SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS BEEN RAPIDLY MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING FOR THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TYPHOON TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND THEN FINALLY NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS UNDER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626980-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA63688; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:30:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA44212 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:30:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:29:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181429.JAA18975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:29:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2059377b26de5ef64ee38b5d8ddc6001 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 596 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 15.8N4 119.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 119.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.7N3 119.3E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7469 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.8N4 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.5N2 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7469 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.6N4 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7469 UNCLAS REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 15.8N4 119.2E3. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY AND DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. THIS WEAK STEERING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE UNTIL AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY STEERED BY THE RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH WHICH WILL GIVE IT A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT REMAINS IN A WEAK WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG7469 UNCLAS BT #7469 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627853-22881>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:37:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA30296; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:35:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA41516 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181432.JAA19046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:32:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34e8f571fbc8df9d06bdb9a68b0f1541 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 666 WTPN33 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.3N1 107.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 107.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9N7 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.4N3 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.6N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.6N5 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.5N3 107.4E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH WHICH SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHEN IT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627955-22883>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:36:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA31920; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:35:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9739711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:35:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13038 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:33:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA19060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181433.JAA19060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 09:33:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac8c45c2d292a3d86b814a50cbe3439a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 672 WTPN33 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.3N1 107.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 107.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9N7 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7478 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.4N3 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.6N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.6N5 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.5N3 107.4E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7478 UNCLAS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH WHICH SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHEN IT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7478 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627984-22875>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:14:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52444; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:12:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9741940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA11198 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181711.MAA24883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b613bf1ab824c8b16ae35967d2231f8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 581 ABPW10 PGTW 181700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/181700Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181353Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181355Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N0 128.9E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 I>9IE VTPH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627953-22875>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:07:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA63578; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:03:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9743148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30254 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181902.OAA28767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac12a641f120748ba1c3e3f134934f1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 ABPW10 PGTW 181700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/181700Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181353Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181355Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N0 128.9E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 1801500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181200Z2 TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8N4 119.2E3 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181200Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 107.6E4 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 109E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N1 107.6E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(3) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7. AN 180123Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. A 180854Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS TROUGHING OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-22875>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:48:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44216; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:46:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9743689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA09884 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:46:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181945.OAA29943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:45:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e293d00ae8799ab3fd04cef5ab32b99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 30.3N6 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 30.9N2 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 31.9N3 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 33.5N1 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 35.2N0 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 30.5N8 126.8E7. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181702Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181702Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON TODD (10W) CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO POSITION ITS SHEARED LOW-LEVEL USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS INTO AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1793 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627992-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 04:31:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19100; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:24:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9744062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:24:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41500 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:22:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182021.PAA01274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:21:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ec2ff550218824ed0ad3b38f0dc65b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 356 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8591 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 30.3N6 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 30.9N2 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8591 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 31.9N3 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 33.5N1 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 35.2N0 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8591 UNCLAS REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 30.5N8 126.8E7. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181702Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181702Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON TODD (10W) CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO POSITION ITS SHEARED LOW-LEVEL USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON TODD (10W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS INTO AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8591 UNCLAS BT #8591 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1556 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627984-22879>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 04:28:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19142; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:24:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9744066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22900 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:24:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:23:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182023.PAA01423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:23:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e46bdfdc5aa98774590a49e3e9db0984 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 389 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.1N8 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.1N8 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.7N4 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.6N4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.5N7 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.1N8 120.1E4. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON 181730Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND NOW HAS A 14 NM EYE FEATURE. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY TRACKING EASTWARD OVER THE PREVIOUS 6 HOURS IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS NOW OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD AND THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED BY THE RIDGE BUILDING TO ITS SOUTH. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE ISLAND OF LUZON BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY ONCE IT MOVES INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3784 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627992-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 04:49:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA66280; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:43:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9744441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA25288 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:42:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182041.PAA01821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:41:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cf14a5008d37ff8af6ef7f13eae841f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 681 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 107.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.1N0 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.5N4 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.6N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 17.7N5 107.0E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 181530Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO FIX WITH INFRARED IMAGERY AND HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AFTER THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND DISSIPATE BY 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7), 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628062-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:07:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA58086; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:02:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9744791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:02:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA21756 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:00:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182059.PAA02342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 15:59:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76ced5caf291e2ee3dcd8a6b534b6fe6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 862 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.1N8 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8711 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.1N8 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.7N4 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8711 UNCLAS 200600Z8 --- 17.6N4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8711 UNCLAS 211800Z2 --- 20.5N7 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.1N8 120.1E4. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON 181730Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND NOW HAS A 14 NM EYE FEATURE. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS BEEN SLOWLY TRACKING EASTWARD OVER THE PREVIOUS 6 HOURS IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS NOW OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD AND THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES STEERED BY THE RIDGE BUILDING TO ITS SOUTH. TYPHOON PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8711 UNCLAS VICKI (11W) SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE ISLAND OF LUZON BUT SHOULD REINTENSIFY ONCE IT MOVES INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8711 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3909 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627984-22875>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 05:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA45608; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:06:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9744870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:06:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA43772 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:06:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA02692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182105.QAA02692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 16:05:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4f4f8d6d49937ff98ebab9a26283e82 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 003 WTPN33 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.3N1 107.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 107.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9N7 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8728 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.4N3 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.6N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.6N5 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.5N3 107.4E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8728 UNCLAS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE 700 MB RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH WHICH SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHEN IT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8728 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625916-15814>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 07:09:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA31740; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:36:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9745600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA35526 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:36:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182235.RAA04339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:35:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31ccf20b97640f8ab111632e37f4d07c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 ABPW10 PGTW 182200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/182200Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181953Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181951Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181955Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.3N6 127.4E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1N8 120.0E3 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7. AN 180123Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. 180854Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TROUGHING OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 18N9 138E2. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS ONE OF THREE (PARA B.(1,2,3)) WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAVING POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 14N5 127E0. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8N8 177E5 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EASTERLIES. ADDITIONALLY, 181815Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREAS 1.B.(2),(3) AND (4). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625916-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 07:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA35570; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:24:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9746029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA52856 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:24:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA05152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:23:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182323.SAA05152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:23:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c8fb624140d25e9de5e22891130200a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 107.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.1N0 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9386 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.5N4 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.6N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 17.7N5 107.0E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 181530Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO FIX WITH INFRARED IMAGERY AND HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9386 UNCLAS HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AFTER THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND DISSIPATE BY 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7), 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9386 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1476 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626189-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:22:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA52616; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:20:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9746339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:20:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA56162 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:20:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:19:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190019.TAA05865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:19:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6ef4a8f659714b8f138824b13eb6b53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 ABPW10 PGTW 182200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/182200Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181953Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181951Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181955Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.3N6 127.4E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1N8 120.0E3 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7. AN 180123Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. 180854Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TROUGHING OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 18N9 138E2. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS ONE OF THREE (PARA B.(1,2,3)) WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAVING POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 14N5 127E0. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8N8 177E5 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EASTERLIES. ADDITIONALLY, 181815Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREAS 1.B.(2),(3) AND (4). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626476-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA10248; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:57:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9746860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30450 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:57:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190157.UAA06862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 20:57:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b0d54458c9d98641d33097f26d64226 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 549 WTPN33 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 17.2N0 107.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 107.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.3N1 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5N3 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 17.2N0 107.0E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS CONTINUED DRIFTING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 182330Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, AFTER THE 12 HOUR PERIOD, TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL SOUTH OF DONG HOI, VIETNAM. BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7), 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4), 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626142-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 10:33:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA54552; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:31:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9747061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56298 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:31:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190231.VAA07264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:31:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81beb1a77f0c9f5f210aa7cc80298fc8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 238 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.3N0 120.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 120.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.1N0 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.2N2 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.7N9 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 24.4N0 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 16.5N2 121.0E4. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER LUZON AT 7 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (80 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (182310Z5) AND VISIBLE (182330Z7) SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS IMAGERY AND ANIMATION ALSO INDICATE A 10NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES TY VICKI HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVED INLAND. TY VICKI IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY VICKI WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS LUZON. ONCE OFFSHORE, TY VICKI IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 11:03:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45210; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:58:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9747560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:58:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA57458 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:58:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190258.VAA07675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 21:58:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0166fb7200ebf97730dd3939bf582af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 636 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 30.1N4 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.1N4 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 30.0N3 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 29.9N0 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 29.7N8 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.1N4 125.2E0. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE (182330Z7) AND MICROWAVE (182310Z5) SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY TODD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 24 HOUR POINT. AFTER 24 HOURS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND MOVE SLIGHTLY SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER CHINA. TY TODD IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL, WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AFTER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626529-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 11:43:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA31646; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:42:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:42:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA30346 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:42:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:42:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190342.WAA08189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:42:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bb0cb6b68f810a817f6b79bfc1b38fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 544 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.3N0 120.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0719 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 120.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.1N0 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0719 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.2N2 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.7N9 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0719 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 24.4N0 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 16.5N2 121.0E4. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER LUZON AT 7 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (80 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE (182310Z5) AND VISIBLE (182330Z7) SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS IMAGERY AND ANIMATION ALSO INDICATE A 10NM PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0719 UNCLAS CLOUD FILLED EYE. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES TY VICKI HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVED INLAND. TY VICKI IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY VICKI WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS LUZON. ONCE OFFSHORE, TY VICKI IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0719 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1594 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 11:45:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA30310; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:45:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:45:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA52564 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:45:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:44:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190344.WAA08216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 22:44:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c523c081a0a48c6850e02fd2987e6ee2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 579 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0720 UNCLAS 190000Z0 --- 30.1N4 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.1N4 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0720 UNCLAS 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 30.0N3 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 29.9N0 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0720 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 29.7N8 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.1N4 125.2E0. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE (182330Z7) AND MICROWAVE (182310Z5) SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY TODD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 24 HOUR POINT. AFTER 24 HOURS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND MOVE SLIGHTLY SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER CHINA. TY TODD IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL, WHEN IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AFTER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 18 FEET. PAGE 06 RUHPSGG0720 UNCLAS REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0720 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA61436; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:51:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30440 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:51:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190551.AAA09378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:51:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66e5758e535d37ed32afc953b14172e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 WTPN24 PGTW 190530 SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.0N8 134.0E8 TO 22.8N2 139.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUAJD MSURED TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2136 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-15814>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29718; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:02:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35566 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:02:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190601.BAA09620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:01:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 924b21287fe9c748f6ad7f86f2b013cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 844 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190155Z SEP 98// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190521Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.1N4 125.8E6 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3N0 120.7E0 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7 HAS TRACKED RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION MENTIONED IN PARA 1.B.(2). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 138E2. THIS AREA WITHIN THE ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF D (WTPN24 PGTW 190530) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 127E0 HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 177E5 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS A TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EASTERLIES. HOWEVER, THE AREA HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626603-15814>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:19:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14582; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:19:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:19:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA66276 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:19:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:18:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190618.BAA09770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:18:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da2e443cee508790fe1ea110d7887cd2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 321 WTPN24 PGTW 190530 SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.0N8 134.0E8 TO 22.8N2 139.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 190430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N9 137.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 20N2 128E1 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. CURRENTLY NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA OR MICROWAVE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY IMPLIES AN AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE REGION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 200530Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:02:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14488; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:54:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9749232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:54:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15490 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:54:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:54:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190754.CAA10333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 02:54:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Todd (10w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e393c3bffdef65e133aca610a80c0dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 270 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 30.1N4 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 123.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 30.0N3 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 30.4N7 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 31.2N6 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 32.2N7 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 30.1N4 123.1E7. TYPHOON TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE TY TODD IS BEING STEERED BY THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. CURRENT INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) IS BASED ON ANALYSIS OF THE 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE IMAGERY (190530Z8) AND ANIMATION. TY TODD IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND MAKE LANDFALL BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. TY TODD IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A NORTHWARD TURN AFTER THE 12 HOUR POINT AS AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH INTERACTS WITH THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY AS IT MAKES LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL TY TODD IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:08:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57816; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:01:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9749243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12996 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:01:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:00:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190800.DAA10529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:00:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 659c2eff4a4b290fe63baea71af01783 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 338 WTPN33 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 17.5N3 106.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 106.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.9N7 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.3N2 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.7N6 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 17.6N4 106.7E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 12W HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW CONDITIONS ALOFT HAVE IMPROVED. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS INTERACTION WITH LAND INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4), 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4004 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:46:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA47634; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:44:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9749346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66298 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:44:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190844.DAA10848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:44:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b52d3ddd53fda7501e49c505a3884ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 084 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 16.6N3 121.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 121.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.5N3 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.9N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.5N7 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.3N7 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 26.1N9 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 16.8N5 122.0E5. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS ACROSS LUZON FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON 190600Z6 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM THE PHILLIPPINES AND 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT INTENSITY (50 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATION AND OBSERVATIONS SHOW A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING AS TS VICKI MOVES OVER LUZON OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TS VICKI IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SLIGHTLY ACCELERATE UNDER THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST. ONCE TS VICKI MOVES OFFSHORE, IT SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE ALONG THE TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626806-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 22:18:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA41832; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:16:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9751159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:16:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA38740 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:16:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:16:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191416.JAA13722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:16:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca9d05c6066cacf8f371e973665a1e73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 015 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 29.8N9 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 29.7N8 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 30.0N3 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 30.5N8 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 29.8N9 122.2E7. TROPICAL STORM TODD IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 181130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACK WESTWARD AND MAKE LANDFALL BY THE 24-H0UR FORECAST POSTION. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AND WEAKEND RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-15813>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 22:34:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13012; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:33:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9751217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:33:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04280 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:33:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191432.JAA13803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:32:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25adddfd551dcff4eb39178e918f107e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 378 WTPN33 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 18.9N8 106.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 106.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.8N8 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.6N8 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 19.1N1 105.8E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON BOTH 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 191024Z MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSMI). THIS DEPRESSION HAS BECOME LESS DEFINE AND SIGNIFICANTLY DISORGANIZED. FORECASTING TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W TO MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1243 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:06:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA45642; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:45:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9751326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:45:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA35526 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:44:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:44:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809191444.JAA13924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 09:44:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d712a2959cc8ef3836d5a7d59c6f7ca4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 595 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 16.7N4 121.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 121.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.2N0 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.4N3 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.4N6 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.4N8 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 27.2N1 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 16.8N5 121.9E3. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS MOVED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER LUZON AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) IS STILL OVER LAND AND CONTINUING TO WEAKEN. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TS VICKI (11W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD. ONCE OFFSHORE, TS VICKI IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626901-15813>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:56:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA21658; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:54:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9753836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11138 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:54:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:53:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192053.PAA18258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:53:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26c738b38180eb364ae7c9ab88d5d396 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 856 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 29.8N9 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINK ( ;Q, GUSTS 070 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627014-15815>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54574; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:59:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9753872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:59:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29402 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:58:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA18330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192058.PAA18330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:58:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14a52ea43b947ae5b218b33420a09c86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 29.8N9 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 29.8N9 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 30.0N3 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 29.8N9 121.5E9. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS TODD (10W) REMAINS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. CONSEQUENTLY, TS TODD (10W) HAS MADE LANDFALL AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND LOST MUCH OF ITS MOMENTUM. LAND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. TS TODD (10W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627023-15813>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:14:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA43584; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:12:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9754036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA04292 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:10:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA18622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:09:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192109.QAA18622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:09:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42d6dcee1f5e9032cb4fa29f3d6b6828 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 173 WTPN33 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 18.7N6 105.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 105.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.8N7 105.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 18.7N6 105.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 12W HAS MADE LANDFALL. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION. FURTHERMORE, LAND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626992-15813>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:19:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA43736; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:16:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9754082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:16:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA53182 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:16:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA18707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:15:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192115.QAA18707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:15:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa5d48a57f870a256392ea53ec164751 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 349 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 17.3N1 122.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 122.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.5N4 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.2N4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.4N8 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 24.5N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 30.1N4 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 17.6N4 123.0E6. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TS VICKI (11W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ITS PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THE FIRST 48-HOURS. THIS STRONG STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE THE SYSTEM NORTHEASTWARD. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF TS VICKI (11W) IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW BY THE 48-HOUR PERIOD AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO TRACK NORTHWARD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT SO TS VICKI (11W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626970-15813>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 05:20:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA27186; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:18:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9754128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:18:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA22022 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:18:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA18751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:18:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192118.QAA18751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 16:18:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depreuion 72w Warning Vr 07 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e76e8296d0a275d9cc37b7bb704502b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 WTPN33 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL DEPREUION 72W WARNING VR 07 003 ACTIE OROVICAL CYCLONES IN NOTVWESOPAC VAX SUSTACMNIUFQ QMLON ONE-MINUTE AVERNQ 0 WWRNIVG POSITION: 191800Z9 .#?2 0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX MOPL- 280 DREES ATPT TSM POWTION ACURATTOPWIOHQN 00NM 8 POSITIMV BAMN CENTYL9:-53;--53))853 PRESENTLWIND DISTRIBUOION: ;-/ -7-5-1,3$ 84)- 025 KO, GUSTS 0350 0DIVPPI --0?<,82POROPIVAL K Y ,0REPEAO PMSIT: 18;7N6 105.7E3 2001Z8 --- 18.8,7 105.1E7 MAXPSUSTAINED QIVDS - 020#KT, GUSTS 030 KT DCSSIPATELA SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPCYCLONE OVER LANDM REVARKS: 192100.LPOSITION 18.7NUIVQXE2. TROPICAL DEPRESSIOM 12WPHALTCACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NOROHWEST AT 5 (,95- >94 5#3 0--9 6 HOURS. THENWURVING POSIOIOM AND INTENSITY M ARE BASD MNP191730+1 INFRAREX SATELLITE IMAGERY. 5$ 12QPVAVADE L<:-,8.-53$ 8,>4-43$ --53))ITE IVAGERY INDQCATES THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITY DEEP COVVECTION. FURTHERMORE, L)3>>3:5- -43 3/03:53$ TOPCONTINUE WEAKENING THZ DXVLTD 1;201- .43MO TO DISWPATE LWQTHQN OHE NEXT 120HOQVM MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANO V E VEIHT AT 1.1800Z IS 10 FEET. REFE TO WWPW37; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 07:46:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA21680; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:44:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9755095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA43676 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:44:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA20237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809192343.SAA20237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:43:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 012a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e674b494e39c873ffaf077d88cd5adb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 025 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 AMD 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 012A AMENDED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 17.9N7 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.2N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.6N8 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.0N4 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.8N3 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 29.6N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 18.2N1 124.4E1. THE 191800Z9 FOR TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WAS ADJUSTED BASED ON 191221Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THIS NEW POSITION IS LOCATED FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAIN ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS DOES THE PRIOR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626148-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:11:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA21654; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:08:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9756514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:08:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56192 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:08:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:08:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200208.VAA22011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:08:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Todd (10w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 585f354200de45904981920e28cdd6ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 770 WTPN32 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 29.5N6 120.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 120.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 29.0N1 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.7N7 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 29.4N5 120.7E0. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) HAS MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 120NM SOUTH OF SHANGHAI, CHINA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 200030Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 200000Z2 SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION AND INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH FROM THE WEST. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2885 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626125-22438>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:41:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63528; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:39:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9756666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:39:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA53520 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:39:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200239.VAA22286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:39:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e49252ce07eec60b5d1dbbd87ef4403a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 WTPN34 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 23.8N3 138.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 138.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 25.0N7 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 26.1N9 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 27.2N1 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.2N2 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 31.1N5 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 24.1N7 138.7E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. 200030Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THIS AREA HAS REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION INTENSITY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200030Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH- NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS EAST. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190521Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN24 PGTW 190530 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 00757Z1), 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8), 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-22438>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:59:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16674; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:57:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9756925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA63890 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:56:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200256.VAA22461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:56:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3084a25baa8bdb0ba21266697f0b10e5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 509 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 19.4N4 125.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 125.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.0N4 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.8N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 27.6N5 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.0N4 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 37.6N6 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 20.1N3 126.1E0. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TS VICKI IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS INTERACTION WITH LUZON DECREASES. CURRENT INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE 192300Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN MODIFIED TO REFLECT TS VICKI=S CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT TOWARDS A TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. TS VICKI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BETWEEN 16-17 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING LAND FALL IN JAPAN BETWEEN THE 48-72 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND SHOULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626633-22442>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:17:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52406; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:15:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9758492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:15:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22144 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:15:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:14:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200614.BAA24755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:14:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff9ad8aae29dbd4c3226b9f68fc2875f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.4N5 120.7E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD (INLAND) AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FINAL WARNING FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 125.7E5 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED AT 23.8N3 138.8E0 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN34 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 138E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH A.(3) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 20:23:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627016-22435>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 16:54:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAB35528; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:51:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9759332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45232 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:50:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200850.DAA25922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:50:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02db5dcf7009ed70af597f0e8755945d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 915 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 20.9N1 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 23.7N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 26.5N3 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 29.5N6 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.3N9 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 40.9N3 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 21.6N9 127.0E0. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (55 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM VICKI HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM REMAINS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST (16-17 KNOTS) UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 48 HOUR POINT. BETWEEN 48-72 HOURS THE STEERING FLOW WILL BECOME THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST CAUSING A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. ALSO AS IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD TS VICKI SHOULD BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. TS VICKI SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TS VICKI WILL WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL, MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS IN THE SEA OF JAPAN, AND INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 20:23:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-22438>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:04:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22178; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:59:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9759376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:59:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA57740 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:59:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:59:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200859.DAA25983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:59:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c7ddea90e7a91045139eff86ad7f086 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 979 WTPN34 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 24.6N2 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 136.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 26.7N5 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.2N3 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.6N0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 25.1N8 136.3E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TD 13W HAS CONTINUED TRACKING IN THE DIRECTION OF TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W). THIS MOTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS INDICATES THAT EACH SYSTEM IS INFLUENCING THE OTHER, OR DIRECT INTERACTION IS OCCURRING. IN THIS SCENARIO, THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE ABOUT A CENTRAL POINT WHICH WOULD CAUSE TD 13W TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TD 13W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM VICKI OFF THE COAST OF SHIKOKU. THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. THEREFORE, TD 13W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO LIMITED UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8), 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 20:23:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627007-22442>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:41:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA12188; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:17:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9759526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:17:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA04230 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:17:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA26252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200917.EAA26252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:17:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f62a1b55fa6c1d214fca73c017eac8f3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 396 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 9 1. 54908:-) -594. ;8:(20W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC 2);600Z8 --- 20..;1 126.6E5 MOVEMEPT PAST SIX TOURS - 030 DUX AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE I AUI IIIIIIIIIPQNH ELSEWHERE RAVC 039 KT WIN 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT CUON101176E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: -201800Z -- 23.7N2 128.2E3 MAXS STEINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS 02#0NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE : 010 M ELSEWHERE 0 RAJIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 /PSOUTHEAST SEMICIRC 0 010 NM ELSEWHYE 0 VKO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS 4 HRS, VALIDMAT: 210600Z9 -.?;;5N3 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT LIADIUS OF 150 KT WINDSPRP NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCPE , 030 NM ELSEWHERE 04-$87- 9> 0350(5 28,$- - 7-0 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 - 0#0 0 8 00 NM ELSEWHXEH 0 VECTOR TO 36 HR QOWT: 025 R/ 16 JZ 0--= 36 HYBLVNIDMKPL WQQIPPZ2 --- 2.;5NY QNUYE MAX BGPNIBCISIV80 KT, VKSTS 100 KT GKVJI050 KT QINBIGQ50 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RWDIUS OF 035 KT WINR- 120NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 8) 100 NM ELSEWHERE I VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15,KTS ), EXTENDED OUTTOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --7 33.3N9 132.4E0 ,MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS PT KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WING- 055 NM EAST SEMICIRLMI## , 05 OVER WATER 0 040 NM ELSOXE OVER WATER RADIJIL035 KT WINDS - 130 NM OMO SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 012-;,. 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 40.9N3 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 06 KT, GUSTS 075 KT 080CQOVING EXTRATOPIAB -)RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 M EAST SEMICIRCLW MWP H H H LL PQP NM ELSEWHERE RADIKY OF ET T WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE , 00 ) ;60 ;;03)-32#343 REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 21.6N9 127.0A0. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (55 K OTS) AE BASED ON 200530ZPM VISIBLE SATZLLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM VICKI HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM REMAINS THE POW PRESSOKMQGHLOOLTGE NOTHPOTHE SYSTEM. TVIU OOYING SHOULE CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SY OWA DS THE NORTHEAST (16-17 KNOTS) UMOQLVWT MAKES LANDFALL AROUND THE 48 HOUY VOINT. #3523EN 48-72 #974- 5#3 -53348,<0>)92 :0:?;19.3 5#3 SUBTROPICALNRIDGE TO THE EAST CAUSING A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. TO AN EXTRA-TROPCCALQVOEM. TS VICKI SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFYM AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TS VICKI WILL WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LAN FALPL MOVES OVER COML WATZGS WINDSVAAR. VMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 PS 18 FEET. REFER TOHWWVW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT XW15PZ7 OG QETQZ2), 202100Z5 .$54 WPQOOQZ8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG WEQPUTQZ6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 20:23:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627010-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:24:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45210; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:22:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9759538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:22:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA57734 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:22:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA26264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:22:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200922.EAA26264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:22:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7330facceab534dee6c1a4a6fd5b9a89 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 480 WTPN34 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES NNORTHWESTPAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 24.6N2 136.8E8 ,#;9;=.3,5 0--5 -8/ #974- - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS 8 POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 136.8E8 9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, ALQAT: 201800Z1 --- 26.7N5 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT ECTOR TOI24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 15 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT, 210600Z9 --- 29.2N3 133.-OUZ MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, OUSTS 050 A # ADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRQLE 030 PM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 37#; 09-85C ETP DEG0DKTS )HRS, VALID AT: 0 211800MDMB AYN0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KTM GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF ;35 (5 2,$- - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: -200900Z1 POSITIONI25.1PI QEYMEE3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLI TE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPUCAL DEPRESSION 13W IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TD 13W HAS CONTINUED TRACKING IN THE DIRECTION OF TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W). THIS MOTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS INDICATES THATPAACH SYOEM IS INFLUENCING THE OTHER, OR DIRECT INTERACTION IS OCCURRING. IN THIS SCENARIO; THE TWO XXOEM VNZXPECTED TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE ABOUT A CENTRAL POINT WHICH WOULD CAUUE TD 13W TO TRACK MORE TMV XGPTME NMRTHE THROUGH TME NEXT 24 HOURS. ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TD 13W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM VICKI GFLOHE COASTHOK SVIKOKU. THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. THEREFORE, TD 13W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDTVE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND TMEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FOECAST TO INTENIFY SLOWLY THROKGH THEHFORECAST PERIOD DUE TO LIMITED UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. MAXIMUM SILNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HWGHT INF ORMAOION. NEXT WARCWNGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8), 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6) AND 21090)Z2 (DTX 210757Z2). /43>34 59,54908:-) --94. ;8:(8 (11W) VNWNGS (WTPN36 PGTW) FOR FIX= HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 20:23:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1322 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627014-22435>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 17:24:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45248; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:23:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9759542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:23:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA12204 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:23:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA26268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:23:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200923.EAA26268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:23:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f167e615d576c534c427b02247b7dacb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 516 WTPN34 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 24.6N2 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 136.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 26.7N5 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.2N3 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.6N0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 25.1N8 136.3E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TD 13W HAS CONTINUED TRACKING IN THE DIRECTION OF TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W). THIS MOTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS INDICATES THAT EACH SYSTEM IS INFLUENCING THE OTHER, OR DIRECT INTERACTION IS OCCURRING. IN THIS SCENARIO, THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE ABOUT A CENTRAL POINT WHICH WOULD CAUSE TD 13W TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TD 13W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM VICKI OFF THE COAST OF SHIKOKU. THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. THEREFORE, TD 13W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO LIMITED UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8), 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:05:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA56684; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:04:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9761645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:04:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA57422 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:04:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA29526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201503.KAA29526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ecf4919eb38cab2d7564913179cccf8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 22.3N7 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.4N1 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 28.7N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.9N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 35.0N8 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 41.8N3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 23.1N6 128.3E4. TROPICAL STORM VICKI(11W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 18 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. ALSO, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS VICKI (11W) TO BE INTERACTING WITH TD 13W. THIS INTERACTION IS ENHANCING THE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OF TS VICKI AS THE TWO SYSTEMS ROTATE COUNTERCLOCKWISE ABOUT A CENTRAL POINT. THESE STEERING INFLUENCES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTH- NORTHEAST UNTIL TS VICKI (11W) MERGES WITH TD 13W BY THE 36-HOUR POINT. AFTER THE MERGER, TS VICKI (11W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL. BY THE 48-HOUR POINT, THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW AND CAUSE THE TRACK TO TURN MORE NORTHEASTWARD. AS IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD TS VICKI IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. TS VICKI IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. TS VICKI IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL, MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS IN THE SEA OF JAPAN, AND INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-22440>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:11:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA53558; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:11:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9761718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:11:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA66082 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:11:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA29576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:10:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201510.KAA29576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:10:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80bca9b66c69f96a5561f3ca7695a8f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 WTPN34 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 25.2N9 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 26.8N6 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 29.1N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.8N2 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 25.6N3 136.7E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE THAT TD 13W AND TROPICAL STORM VICKI ARE INTERACTING. THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE ABOUT A CENTRAL POINT THUS CAUSING TD 13W TO REMAIN ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TD 13W WILL REMAIN ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM VICKI OFF THE COAST OF SHIKOKU. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO LIMITED UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6), 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-22442>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:18:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA51126; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9761799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:18:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA30372 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:18:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA29653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:17:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809201517.KAA29653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 10:17:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vici (61w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb813c49aa346ec6516fc512924ce006 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICI (61W) WARNING NR 015 NHLPBACTIVE TROVICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC ,,MAX USTAQNECU K LON ONOKNMINUTE AVERAGE G AAVMMWL WNRPOSITION= 5 2CQZ5 --7022.9; 127.9E9 , MOVOLPAST SIX HOURS - 030 ;$3<433- -9)18 KTS POSITCOV ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BPMLON CENTOCATED XY SATELC PRESENT WINLDISTRIBUTION: RADIUS OF 050 KT C KIV20 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE HW , 015 M ELSE WHERE RAVJIPET KT WINFQ VQQAVNH SOUTHEAST SEMICIXCLE 0 0 075 NM E-3(,/# REPAAT 9-85: 22.3N7 127.9E9 FORECASTSWC 62 HRS, VALID AT: 1PZ3 --- 25.4N1)VE9 MAX SUSTAINOLCIK VQ69 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS ON 050 KT WINDS - 025 NO SOUTH SEMICIR E 020 NM ELSEWHERE CADIUS OFL035 KT WINDS - 100 NVISOUHEAST SEMICIGLVMZP P H PP PIP NM ELSEWHERE ) VECTORDCBHR OIT: 025 K QI KTS ? 2 HR, VICBNKAAVL WQQWPPZ6 --- 28.7N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED IINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085)KO MZ RADIUS OF 050 (5 28 ,$- - 0VNVPSOUTHEAST SEMICRCLE 0 ,)0 0000 030 NM ELSEWHN RADIUF OF 035 KTVWQNDS - 120NM SOUTHEAO SZICIRCTE 000 600 NM ELSEZHERE VECTOR TO 3 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.9N3 132.6E7 MMLSUSTAWNED WINDS - 0800KTJN GUSTS 100 /(5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEHICIRCLE 040 M ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADNUS OF 035 (9 21,?2;1$IUVNM EA SEMICIC , OVER WATER : 100 NM ELSEQHNXLOVER WATER , VECTOR TOL41 HR POSITK T DEGBX QY KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 12IQZ7 --- 35.0N8 133.2E9 MAX SUSTNIBCIK V85 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 /(5 WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ) OVER WATER 040 NM ELHYE OVER WATER RAVJI05 KT WINDS -,0NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 00) OVERWATER N NPP PP QPP NM ELSEWHEKLMDV VMY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 0+0 DEQPQI KTS L AAV J UW HRS:8VICBNUAAV WEQWPPXKK NYQMIME QEYM3Y MAX SUSTNIBCIK GPQUVKTLGK075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS 190:;0-(9# -3.8:84:)3 0 #0P MM UEWHERE RADIUS OF O K WINDS - 0 80 NV SOPH SEMICIRCLH 060 NM ELSEWHERE REOARKS, 20TPPZ8 POSITION 23.1N) 128.3EM TROPICAL STJM VICKI(112(#-- 54-:(-$ 592-4(1/),949#9. WZKMOTS FMQPTVPA S T LHOYD THE SYSTUS PRIMARY STEERIVG INFLUEVCE REMUIPSPTVOROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF TH SYSTEM;)-)-9, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWF TS VICKI (17W) TO BHH INTERACTING WITH TD 13W. THIS I TERACTION KS ENHANCING THE OAVORTHEAFO NTRACK OF TS VWCKI AS THE TWO SYSTAVS ROTATE VOKNTECLMKWISALOUT A CENTRUPPPOPPO. /5.3-3 753348,< 8,>)73,:3- SHOKLD CMVTINUE TO MOVE THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTH= NORTHEAST UNTIL TS VICKI BKQQW) MERGES WTH TD 13W BQ THE 3--HOUR POINT. AKTER HE MERG, TS VICKI (11W) IS FORECAUT TO MALWNDFALL. BY TH E 48-HMUR POINT, THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST ODNJIANLIS XPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT STERING SLMW AND CAUSE THE TRACK TO TURN MOR NORTHEASTWARD. AS IT TURNS NORTHEASTVNYLTS VICKI IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATJOPICNDBXOGM TS VUCKI IS FORECAST T CONTINUE INTENSIFYING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS ENVIRONMANTILNDITION LIAIN FAVORABLE. TS VICKI ISLEXPECTED TOPW M AGMLIT MAKZS LADFALL;0VOVES OVERNCOOLER WATER NPTHE SEA SIGNIFICNT QAEPPEIGHT AT 20WPVW5 IS T FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFA OZFOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFTRMATION. ;,3/502-4,8))?202100ZJT (G 201951Z8), 210300T6 (DTX VQC+0), 21090;Z2 (DTO VWKIWZ6) AND 211500T9 (DTG 211351Z3). 43>34 59 54908:3) $3043-789; 13;) 2-4,8;<- (WOSNBER GTW) FORPSIX-MOQRLY UPGCOBMXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3303 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627122-22438>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:58:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA22258; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:55:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9764748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA11226 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:55:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:55:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809202055.PAA05465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 15:55:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cce89a76ccd2e19f6ff450839f30ae8b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 WTPN34 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 27.1N0 136.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 136.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.9N0 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 32.5N0 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 34.9N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 27.8N7 136.3E3. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW TS WALDO (13W) AND TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) ARE INTERACTING. THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE ABOUT A CENTRAL POINT THUS CAUSING TD 13W TO REMAIN ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. TS WALDO (13W) IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH TS VICKI (11W) BY THE 36-HOUR POINT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO LIMITED UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6), 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2), 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627272-22435>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 05:16:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA11152; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 16:14:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9764932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 16:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA16762 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 16:14:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA05935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 16:14:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809202114.QAA05935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 16:14:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 570e2340177b45c5ed6ab74b2ff185a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 805 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 23.5N0 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 26.5N3 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 29.9N0 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.4N0 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 36.7N6 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 43.6N3 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 24.3N9 128.9E0. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. IN ADDITION, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS VICKI (11W) IS CONTINUING TO INTERACT WITH TS WALDO (13W). THIS INTERACTION IS ENHANCING THE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OF TS VICKI (11W). THESE STEERING INFLUENCES RE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL TS WALDO (13W) MERGES WITH TS VICKI (11W) BETWEEN THE 24 AND 36-HOUR POINTS. BY THE 36-HOUR POINT, TS VICKI (11W) IS FORECAST TO HAVE MADE LANDFALL. BY THE 48- HOUR POINT, THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW AND CAUSE THE TRACK TO TURN MORE NORTHEASTWARD. TS VICKI (11W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS VICKI IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. TS VICKI IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF THE SEA OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626013-16016>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 07:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA45770; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:34:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9765934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:34:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA61364 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:34:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA08588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809202334.SAA08588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:34:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr 004a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c89545979be9078a7d63175daf821764 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 WTPN34 PGTW 202100 AMD 1. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR 004A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 27.7N6 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 30.9N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.0N4 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM VICKI (13W) --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 28.5N5 135.9E8. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY FOR TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) ARE BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS. WARNING AMENDED TO REFLECT A FASTER MOVEMENT, MORE WESTWARD TRACK, AND EARLIER MERGER WITH TS VICKI (11W). THIS NEW TRACK KEEPS THE SYSTEM FURTHER SOUTH WITH A MERGER OCCURING SOUTHEAST OF KYUSHU. THE 201800Z1 POSTISION FOR TS WALDO HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND REFLECTS A NORTH-NORTHWEST TRACK AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE INTERACTION WITH TS VICKI AND THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH SHOULD KEEP TS WALDO ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. AS TS WALDO APPROACHES TS VICKI IT SHOULD MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS REPONSE TO THE CYCLONIC ROTATION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH TS VICKI . MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6), 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 09:20:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2205 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625909-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 07:44:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA55018; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:42:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9765968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:42:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA61384 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:42:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA08668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809202341.SAA08668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:41:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Trtiical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr Ppra Amendehmw 02 Tive Tr To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1a0990b9040733b5429fbf3e11c5bd5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 625 WTPN34 PGTW 202100 AMD 1. TRTIICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR PPRA AMENDEHMW 02 TIVE TR O QICAG YLONEQNLNORTHWESTPAC ZW MA BVQNIDIIKYAON ONE-MINUTLIZRAG 2) WARNING PMSITIMN 0 211800Z10-#?0-7N6 136.6Z ..;3.3,5 0--5 -8/ #974- - 350 KXEOLATP20 KTSNMW OWTION ACCUR A TE TO WITHQN YP NV POSITION BASED ON CENTE LOCAOED B SATELLQTE PRESZVT WIND DISTRIBK(--;) MAX SUSTAINEDPWINDS - 035 KTV GWVYO TMOI P GEEABPPMWNWU.6 34A: 9 8 FORECASTS: 1;#4-, VALID AT: MAXPSUSTAQNEBPWQNDS O, USTU 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS JA PTP NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 030 NMPELSEWGEJE W PVETO TO 24 # PMSQT: 0$$314 KT 24 HRGN ALQD AT:. 2 WLWCBMMDOUPN4 137931 #PSVQCI11(1(0KT, LRVL045 (5 REMIXC M 8VQWVT OYITION 28;9N55 135.9E8...):7443;9 098)-;$08,53,)07;3456908CAL I STORM WALDM HW)0-43 BASEDPMN SATELLITE AVALXWBL-4,8,< PDED TO EF3:5 =41# ;9EVENTN VOE OOWARD TRACK, APD ENSCIVEVER WIOG TSLVICKI KQQW); THS N RACK KEEPS THEPSTEMPFURTHER SOUTH WITH A MERGE MCCURING SOUTH MO MFIKYJICM THEP2010PZUV.-98-79, >.= 5-8;,.. HAY BEEN ADJUSTED KGNIVPOROH-NORTHWEST TRIK AT WP KVMTS OVSR THE PAST )HMURS. THE INTERATION WITH TS VIKI AND THRIDGEM TMPTHE NORTH OU) 7;-;;,#9, - .9;30292,656-:( 5#OUGHM OVE REMAINDERPOF THLFOECAS. AS TS WALDOPAPQRONWTQ VICKI QT M IPVVMVE WOO--975#23;8- 4309.-3 59 9#):1)9,8: 495-589, BW P THTONSYSTEMSM OHE INTENSITY IU FORECAST TO INCVEF SLIGGTLOVRMH THL120#974 092519,5<+0 :/1, 99 1,#3, .)85 INTERACTS WITHLTS VICKI . #MAXQMUM SIGNIFICANT WAE HEIGHT AT 201)2ZQUVI QNFMRMWTIOV; NEXT WARNINGLAT 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6, 210900Z2 (DTG Z2 10757Z -,$ 211900ZKOG 2;:;+9). 49=6059 -4.0QCAL STORV VIC(111(?2-4,8, <)(WTPN31 PGTW MR SIQHHOURLLLYC BMHM M W W VNNV M +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 11:05:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626311-16016>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 11:03:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29388; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:56:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9767567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52542 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:36:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:35:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210235.VAA12341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:35:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e494fbc67fb9d2dfa58b3dec3bb9bad6 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 25.0N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 28.4N4 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.9N3 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 36.0N9 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 40.8N2 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 47.0N1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 25.8N5 130.3E7. THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) FOR TYPHOON VICKI (11W) ARE BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 202243Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES TY VICKI HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE RIDGE OVER JAPAN IS WEAKENING AND A TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO THE YELLOW SEA. THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES A NORTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT AS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE RIDGE TO THE EAST THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY VICKI IS FORECAST TO MOVE MORE EASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS AND FOLLOWS TROPICAL STORM WALDO. AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS TY VICKI SHOULD ACCELERATE AND BECOME AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. TY VICKI SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. AFTER 24 HOURS, LANDFALL, INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TY VICKI. THE FORECAST KEEPS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WINDS DUE TO THE RAPID MOVEMENT AS IT BECOMES EXTRA- TROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 11:05:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1731 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626745-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:59:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11204; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:53:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9767489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30380 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:53:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210253.VAA12686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:53:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 384c1d262e9eb231903b5339854d0b60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 532 WTPN34 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 30.1N4 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 34.7N4 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 40.2N6 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 43.6N3 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 31.3N7 135.7E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) HAS CONTINUED ON A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED TO 25 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SURROUNDING 210000Z3 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED DUE TO THE PAST MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE NORTH. THE PREVIOUS AMENDED WARNING SHOWED TS WALDO TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE SEA OF JAPAN AND TROPICAL STORM -NOW UPGRADED TO TYPHOON- VICKI (11W) TO ITS SOUTHWEST. THIS SCENARIO WAS BASED ON THE PAST MOVEMENT OF BOTH TS WALDO AND TS VICKI. HOWEVER, OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TS WALDO HAS CONTINUED TRACKING ON A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK WHICH INDICATES A MERGER WITH TS VICKI IS LESS LIKELY. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED TO REFLECT AN ACCELERATED FORWARD SPEED FOR TS WALDO AND TRANSITION TO EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. TS WALDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TS WALDO IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2), 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9), 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 14:00:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-16017>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:58:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04300; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:52:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:52:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30326 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210550.AAA17110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4cf78c800cd49e666562d22adce776d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 807 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A AND B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.ON7 129.8E0 AND MOVING NORTHEASTARD AP 19 KNOTS. PLUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PEP10300) FGB DURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.1N4 135.8E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN34 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 16:06:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627152-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 15:38:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45200; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:34:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:33:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA59726 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:33:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210733.CAA18660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:33:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f27415b956837bba23cc3932e98f479 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 188 WTPN34 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 32.6N1 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.6N1 135.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 37.6N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 41.9N4 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 44.4N2 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 33.9N5 135.9E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 2210600Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA. BOTH SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATED. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON VICKI (11W) IS SEVERELY INHIBITING ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS WALDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL AFTERWARDS. SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9), 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5), 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 16:06:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1853 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627354-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:03:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA54420; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:01:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769875 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:01:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12160 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:01:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:00:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210800.DAA18913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:00:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db677780d18f5f486e55c8eb16b08cf5 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 564 WTPN34 PGTW 210800 1. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 32.6N1 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 048 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ,0 0 007 PVNELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.6N1 7E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 37.6N6 136.6E6 MAX SUUTNINWCNDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL , RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 0:0)DEG)29 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 41.9N4 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BEOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 44.4N2 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL 24,/;(--;VQKQZ2 POSITION 33.9N5 135.9EIM ANIVATED VIWBLE SAT ELLITE IMLERY SVOWS TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 25 AATS OVER THE LAAVHOURS. THE -<;8,<9 POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 221060Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA. BOTH SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATEB. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 16:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627347-16016>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:22:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA10308; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:20:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:20:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54322 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:20:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210819.DAA19203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:19:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6be81c8862bfcb62ce6a21c36b2d3146 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 884 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 26.3N1 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 29.3N4 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.3N9 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 37.5N5 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.2N7 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 46.8N8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 27.1N0 131.6E1. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (65 KNOTS)ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERY SHOWED A 15NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TS WALDO (13W) IS JUST OFF THE JAPANESE COAST MOVING NORTH AT 25 KNOTS. ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A DEEP TROUGH MOVING ACROSS IN THE YELLOW SEA. THE STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS A COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THESE STEERING INFLUENCES WILL CONTINUE MOVE TY VICKI NORTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE DOMINATE INFLUENCE WILL BE THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AS TY VICKI MOVES INTO THE WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. AS TY VICKI MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE FORWARD SPEEDS WILL ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. TY VICKI=S WILL PEAK DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. INCREASED WINDSHEAR WILL HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS TY VICKI APPROACHES JAPAN. AFTER LANDFALL, TY VICKI WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. TY VICKI SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THROUGH THE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION DUE PRIMARILY TO THE INCREASED FORWARD MOTION (30+ KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 17:00:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-16009>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29826; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:54:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9770035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:54:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA43620 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:44:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210843.DAA19425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 03:43:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 638dc93738a57ed3c29157a3aa2e4cc9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 335 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 26.3N1 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITUON ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WINJ DISTRCBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 0-0 NM SOUTGEAST SEMICIRCLE - 020 MM ELSAWMERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 12; NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 0 100 NM SEWHERE ## REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 131.2E7 F RCASTS: 12 HRS, VALILAO: 211200CKVHHDVEN4 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDSL- 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE L PEP NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 0-5 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ,0 0 -1 NM EBSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 21 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.3N9 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT ADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVE WATER 030 NM EL WHERENOVER WMY RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER )00 0 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 23 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 12181Z3 --- 37<5N5 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055,T, GJVK0 KT G NRADIUS OXLQCUGKT WINDS - 030 NM SMUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE H 8<;1) - OVERWTE RL ,6 0:47-8 88 0 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOKTHEAST SEMICIRCLE #0000 - 8 - / OVER WATER ; 080 NM VBYE OVER WAOER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS EXOENDED OUTLOOK: 4 HRS, VALIBPAT: 230600Z1 --- 41.2NIVQYAEE9 MAX SUSAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL J RADIQFPGKP035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DO/ 36 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 46.8N8 159.9E4 MAX U TAINED WINDS RA PRT KT, GUSTS 055 KT -EXTRATROP CAL REMARKS: 8210900ZVPOSITION 27.1N0 131.6E1.- CURGO IOSITION AND INTENY (65 KNOTS)AREPBASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERYNCOWED A 15NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. SATELBITE ANIMATION SHOWS TS WALDO (13W) IS JUST OFF THE JAPANESE COAST MOVINV NORTH AT 25 KNOTS. ANIMATION ALSOINDICATES A DEEP TROUGH MOVING ACROSS IN THE YELLOW SEA. THE STEERING INFLUENNH REMAINS OMBINATION OF THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THSUBOROPICAL RIDGE TO THESE STEERING INFLUENCES WIL CONTINUEIMOE TY VICKI ORTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTER 24 TOURS, THA DOMINATE JA VINFLUENCE WILL BE THE RIDGOO THE EAST AS TY VICKI MOVES INTO THE WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. AS TY VICKIMOVES NORTH OF UOHE RIDGRWARD SPEEDS WILL ACCELERAE AS IM BEGIXTRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICALPKTEM. TY VICK ;S WILL PEAK DURING THE NAXT 12 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVVGABLE. INCREAQWDPWINDSHEAR WWLL HINDER FURTHERPDEVELOPMENT AS ICKI APPROACHOLJAPAN. AFTER LANDFALL, TYVVQKI WILL VMNTINUE TO WEAKEN DU GO LANB INTERACTION AND INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSMNXL OY VIQKI SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT TROPIC -594. -543,<5# 9#497<# 5#3 3/54--TROPICAL TRANSITION DUE PRIMARILY TO THE INCREASEDFORWARJ MOOION (30+ (,95-). MAXIMUM SIGNQFICANT WE HEIGHT A 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW38 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT WQQTPPZ9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z0 (DTGYQQNQZ9- 120300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) ANMN 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). EFER TO TROPICALPKWPWALDO (13W) 34 PGTW) FOR ST-HOURLUPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 17:42:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2995 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626755-16016>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 17:24:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA55028; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:21:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9770319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:21:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA45794 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:21:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:21:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210921.EAA19977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 04:21:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 018a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 914e31f64c984c847006b90cd575b64f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 010 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 COR 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 26.3N1 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 29.3N4 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.3N9 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 37.5N5 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.2N7 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 46.8N8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 27.1N0 131.6E1. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. IMAGERY SHOWED TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS A 15NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TS WALDO (13W) IS JUST OFF THE JAPANESE COAST MOVING NORTHWARD AT 25 KNOTS. ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A DEEP TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE YELLOW SEA. THE STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS A COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THESE STEERING INFLUENCES SHOULD KEEP TY VICKI MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE DOMINATE INFLUENCE SHOULD BE THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AS TY VICKI MOVES INTO THE WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. AS TY VICKI MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE THE SYSTEM SHOULD ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. TY VICKI IS EXPECTED TO PEAK DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. INCREASED WINDSHEAR SHOULD HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS TY VICKI APPROACHES JAPAN. AFTER LANDFALL, TY VICKI IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED VERTICAL W IND SHEAR. TY VICKI SHOULD STILL REMAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH DUE PRIM ARILY TO INCREASED FORWARD MOTION (30+ KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGH T AT 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MINOR CORRECTION TO REMAR KS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 22 0300Z7 (DTG 220151Z), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 23:24:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627432-16009>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:03:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA58050; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:02:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9773399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:01:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA30328 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:01:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211501.KAA25165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:01:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Waldo (13w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56eb36abea68327cfc5c1ea47159a5ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 954 WTPN34 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 34.9N6 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.9N6 136.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 39.4N6 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 42.9N5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 45.1N0 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 36.0N9 136.9E9. TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 21 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 211200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA. BOTH SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH LESS ORGANIZED SINCE IT CAME ONSHORE. TS WALDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD AND THEN BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5), 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7), 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221357Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 23:24:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627432-16009>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 23:16:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA52876; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:14:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9773627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:13:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA41804 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:13:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:13:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809211513.KAA25511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 10:13:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21b130bc354ef7ddbc6341fd954479d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 251 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- GA F P3(9> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4685 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-16014>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:11:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA57776; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:08:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9779031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA59806 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:08:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA09788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:07:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809212107.QAA09788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:07:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w (waldo) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: deebeaa14cb6a9ec62d852efd6a26cb5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 161 WTPN34 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WALDO) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 38.0N1 137.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 38.0N1 137.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 43.0N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 46.8N8 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 39.3N5 138.1E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION WALDO (13W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 27 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 211600Z0 SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME EXTREMELY DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF JAPAN. TD WALDO (13W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT TRANSITIONS TO EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7), 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221357Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 09:09:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627483-16009>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 05:18:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA14502; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:14:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9779058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:14:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA60038 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:14:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA10192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:13:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809212113.QAA10192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 16:13:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da13fb1cbc85c4b0688952a2b45cf8da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 29.6N7 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.4N0 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADISF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS NF35 JTIFDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE YRER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 37.6N6 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.3N8 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 43.9N6 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 47.5N6 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 30.6N9 133.6E3. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY TO 90 KNOTS. THE STEERING INFLUENCE FOR TY VICKI (11W) CONTINUES TO BE A COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THESE STEERING INFLUENCES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TY VICKI (11W) RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME DOMINANT. ONCE TY VICKI MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER ACCELERATE AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. INCREASED WINDSHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS TY VICKI APPROACHES JAPAN. TY VICKI IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD STILL REMAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THROUGH THE 72-HOUR PERIOD DUE PRIMARILY TO ITS RAPID FORWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WALDO) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 11:00:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-10300>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 10:53:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67692; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:50:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9783751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39248 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:50:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220249.VAA27559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 21:49:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w (waldo) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce551629d6fff2830c8e5d5ee6c96ad0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 376 WTPN34 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WALDO) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 40.8N2 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 200 NM POSITION BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.8N2 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 45.9N8 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 42.1N7 139.6E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WALDO) CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM PREVIOUS WARNING. SYSTEM CAN NOT BE LOCATED BY SATELLITE OR SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627282-10305>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:11:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA57068; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:09:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9785877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59758 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:08:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:07:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220607.BAA04758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:07:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da4a2d2e9a17ede49f8dc30061b30cdf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A AND B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 134.0E8 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W(WALDO) WAS LOCATED AT 40.8N2 138.5E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN34 PGTW 220300) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER NEAR AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIAMTED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATLA/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-10304>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:24:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64326; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:22:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9785948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:22:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59420 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:22:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:21:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220621.BAA05018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:21:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ad90a5af3ea9910c45fc3fb6d2b55a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 485 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A AND B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 134.0E8 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W(WALDO) WAS LOCATED AT 40.8N2 138.5E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN34 PGTW 220300) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER NEAR AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIAMTED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECT MANOP. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATLA/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627471-10303>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 16:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44492; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:19:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9786586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:19:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA63928 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:19:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:18:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220818.DAA06797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:18:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d973a4b90652fe5c9200519db5209d78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 854 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 35.0N8 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 04K;9M - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4038 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627471-10300>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 16:39:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63800; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:39:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9786692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64374 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:36:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:35:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220835.DAA06967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:35:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fde873dc4f8d83ce01c231633681cc25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 109 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 35.0N8 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N8 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 40.8N2 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 44.7N5 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 46.5N5 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 42 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 48.1N3 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 51.6N2 160.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 36.4N3 137.3E4. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. THE FORECAST POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI5.0 (90 KNOTS). ALTHOUGH THIS IS THE SAME INTENSITY REPORTED ON THE PREVIOUS WARNING, SYNOPTIC DATA GATHERED DURING LANDFALL SOUTH OF OSAKA SHOWED EQUIVALENT ONE MINUTE SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KNOTS (BASED ON 85 KNOT REPORTS WITH A 10 MINUTE AVERAGING INTERVAL). THEREFORE, WE BELIEVE VICKI PEAKED NEAR THE TIME OF LANDFALL AND HAS WEAKENED VERY SLIGHTLY DURING ITS PASSAGE OVER LAND. THE FORECAST IS FOR TYPHOON VICKI (11W) TO CONTINUE ITS RAPID MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST, PROPELLED BY THE STRONG WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-10304>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 21:57:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA40656; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:56:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9789764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24224 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:55:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809221355.IAA11847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:55:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fbbc65b8e36a60f4da5b5f16e1c7a74 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 557 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 38.3N4 139.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 42 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 38.3N4 139.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 44.8N6 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 45 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 47.1N2 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 48 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 48.7N9 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 48 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 50.6N1 171.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 39.9N1 141.2E8. TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AS IT HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 42 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 221102Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 221000Z5 AND 221100Z6 FROM WMO NUMBERS 47604, 47588, 47595, 47567. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY FLOW IN THE MID-LEVELS FROM A MID LATITUDE TROUGH LOCATED TO THE WEST. A MORE EASTERLY MOTION SHOULD DEVELOP BY THE 12 TO 24 HOUR POSITION AS TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL AND IS STEERED BY WESTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE POLAR JET. THE FORECAST INTENSITY WILL SHOW SOME WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT STAY THE SAME INTENSITY AFTERWARDS DUE TO THE HIGH TRANSLATIONAL SPEED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 22 FEET OVER WATER. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627505-10304>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 04:59:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA27382; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:56:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9796329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39410 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:55:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:54:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809222054.PAA10490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:54:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6707c1bbef97bfab6da244c22421658 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 793 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 41.0N5 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 41.0N5 142.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 44.2N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 45.3N2 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 45.9N8 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 46.8N8 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 41.8N3 144.5E4. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221600Z1 AND 221700Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 47580 AND 47515 AS WELL AS ANALYSIS OF 221702Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM VICKI=S (11W) CONVECTION HAS BECOME SHEARED OFF WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PASSING OVER THE MISAWA AREA BETWEEN 1600Z7 AND 1700Z8. SINCE THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED OFF BY STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS, THE FORECAST CALLS FOR TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THEN EAST- NORTHEASTWARD IN LOWER TO MID LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE MORE SLOWLY THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED AS THE FLOW IN THE LOWER TO MID-LEVELS ARE WEAKER THAN IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN MORE QUICKLY THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION HAS BEEN CARRIED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION AS IT IS ABSORBED INTO A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 09:36:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627173-7542>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 09:29:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21582; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:19:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9800650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:18:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63738 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:18:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:18:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230118.UAA12793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:18:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Vicki (11w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7648d0842a81c6b814c863c9d025d696 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 808 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 43.8N5 147.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 43.8N5 147.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 46.9N9 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 44.6N4 150.2E8. SYSTEM HAS MERGED WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE AND HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 14:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626502-7546>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA57808; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9804178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15542 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230606.BAA06884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e11a9de422805899397a3be921658c24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z4 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.8N5 147.7E9. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7 IS NOW NEAR 16N7 132E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT). THE AREA OF CONVECTION APPEARS SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26N 128E. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS INCREASED DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATLA/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 16:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626276-26532>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 13:56:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39964; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9822571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39938 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240544.AAA19776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82be7926d86518f631c53183c66acc6c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 719 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 134E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) LOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE TUTT LOW CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD TOWARDS LUZON. UW- CIMSS WATER VAPOR CHARTS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE AREA. TYPICALLY, THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE TUTT IS A FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION JUST TO THE WEST, BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL AT THIS TIME. OBSERVATIONS ALSO INDICATE A PRESSURE DROP OF ABOUT 1MB OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES A RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE BAY OF BENGAL THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA (VICINITY OF THIS SUSPECT AREA). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, SO THIS SUSPECT AREA IS UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10N 156E2. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND ANIMATE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE SUSPECT AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N 128E IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 09:24:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626113-19057>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 07:34:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA62402; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:31:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9834800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA16840 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:27:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA27142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809242327.SAA27142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 18:27:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 242251z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d108210b035ee5aa180782b0770abc92 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 795 WTPN21 PGTW 242300 242251Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.4N8 133.3E0 TO 16.9N6 130.4E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 24 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 242130Z INDICATES A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 133.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14N5 133E7 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) LOW. THIS AREA IS TYPICALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEPER CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION, BUT WITH THE DIVERGENT AREA OF THE TUTT. SYNOPTIC DATA DOES NOT INDICATE SIGNIFICANT SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS, HOWEVER, ONE SHIP (ZCAK4) REPORTED A SOUTH WIND OF 24 KNOTS AT 180000Z9 IN THE AREA. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS RE-ESTABLISHED ITSELF FROM THE BAY OF BENGAL ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA TO THE PHILIPPINE SEA (VICINITY OF THIS FORMATION AREA). UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR CHARTS INDICATE GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 252300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 12:09:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-19054>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29270; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 22:37:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9837588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 22:36:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA40614 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 22:35:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 22:35:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250335.WAA02456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 22:35:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e78df1f131dd325b39e0ce1dab2727d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 585 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 14.4N9 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.8N3 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.1N7 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.5N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.1N8 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.4N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 450 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 14.5N0 131.3E8. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION BETWEEN SATELLITE IMAGERY (250130Z1), SHIP OBSERVATIONS (250000Z7), AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY DATA (250003Z0). INTENSITY ESTIMATE (30 KTS) IS BASED ON SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA, BUT LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, BUT DUE TO THE BROADNESS OF THE TROUGH AND LACK OF ORGANIZATION, THIS PAST MOVEMENT IS QUESTIONABLE. TD 14W SHOULD CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES WITHIN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. TD 14W SHOULD BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 242251Z SEP 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 242300 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 14:32:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626799-19057>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:18:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54970; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:17:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9840133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:16:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21994 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250614.BAA05047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0454e01f5fa992ac1f3406308afc4497 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 435 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROR81 CYCLONE SUSP: S (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 131.5E0 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GRTPK4 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) BIV BXALJ R. (#ROP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 15:34:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3815 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626636-19059>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:31:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53736; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:29:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9840665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63888 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:28:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250728.CAA05617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 02:28:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13d5a25ff02b3b1f196b31b5f42d2e40 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 006 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 15.1N7 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.6N2 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.1N8 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.7N4 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 17.3N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.3N2 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 15.2N8 132.0E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS DEVELOPED SLIGHTLY MORE CENTRAL CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATED SYNOPTIC DATA. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TD 14W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO LESSEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 01:35:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627986-19059>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:17:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA40038; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:12:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9848369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA40538 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:52:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809251651.LAA17577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 11:51:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 003a Relocated Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f124f64e1032926e75f57ea344ee6cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 052 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 003A RELOCATED CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 18.0N9 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND INTERPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.3N2 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.6N5 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.0N0 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.3N3 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.8N8 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 18.1N0 129.9E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A BROAD CIRCULATION POSITIONED WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST-ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH. THE AREA ENCOMPASSED BY TD 14W IS EXTREMELY DISORGANIZED MAKING ITS LOW-LEVEL CENTER DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. TD 14W HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON INTERPOLATION BETWEEN SATELLITE IMAGERY (251130Z2), SHIP OBSERVATIONS (251200Z0), AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY DATA (251032Z3). THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE (30 KTS) IS BASED ON SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY, SLOWLY DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE ENTIRE 72- HOUR PERIOD. TD 14W IS FORECAST TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT GRAMMAR IN REMARKS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 08:14:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628020-19059>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 04:45:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37850; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:40:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9852278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:38:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA59836 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:35:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA24820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:35:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809252035.PAA24820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 15:35:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab2012c248c7de9c3e34814c7beb0ba6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 749 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 18.2N1 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.5N4 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7N6 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.0N0 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.3N3 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.8N8 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 18.3N2 129.7E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251800Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON INTERPOLATION OF SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A BROAD CIRCULATION POSITIONED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. TD 14W CONTINUES TO BE EXTREMELY DISORGANIZED MAKING ITS LOW-LEVEL CENTER DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY, SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE ENTIRE 72-HOUR PERIOD. TD 14W IS FORECAST TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1),261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626670-11118>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 10:59:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39244; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:55:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9857158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39006 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:53:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260252.VAA01393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 21:52:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66e1f25ce1d603881ce76b029580c538 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 458 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 18.3N2 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.6N5 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.5N5 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.0N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.8N0 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 18.4N3 129.6E8. TD 14W IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DIFFICULT TO FIX UPON. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TD 14W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONSOLIDATES. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE DEVELOPING VORTEX IS DRIVEN BY INCREASED RIDGING POSITIONED TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627394-12552>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:49:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21894; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:42:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9860094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24096 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:38:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260638.BAA05270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa8176b55dfadb0e5b16f8572e76de70 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 811 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 129.7E9 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 1 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 153E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 150E6 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3696 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627516-12554>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:35:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA37834; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:29:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9860934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59986 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:28:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260828.DAA06288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 03:28:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8013efe291fcd06c9c56b995ba81bb59 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 722 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.0N0 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.5N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.2N4 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.8N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.3N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 22.5N9 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 19.1N1 129.4E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W, IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THE SMALL INCREASE IN SPEED OVER THE PREVIOUS WARNING MAY BE IN PART DUE TO FIX DIFFICULTY. POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS DIFFICULT AS THERE HAS BEEN NO IMPROVEMENT IN THE ORGANIZATION OF LOW- OR THE UPPER-LEVEL FEATURES. THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW AND CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE EAST- SOUTHEAST OF A TUTT CELL. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHT AS CONSOLIDATION CONTINUES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 21:39:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-12551>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 18:24:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA62436; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:22:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9861756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:21:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA38924 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:20:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:20:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261020.FAA07412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:20:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 006a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ff3a8b9702e9d4ead85812f496039a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 682 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 AMD 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 006A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.3N3 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 126.3E2 --- FORECASDQ> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 21:39:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-12553>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 18:29:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24108; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:28:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9861775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49180 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:23:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA07488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:23:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261023.FAA07488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 05:23:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Lqm Topical Depression 14w Warning R 006a Amendedm To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f88974c22ab3508d2c7fd5f3eca3b87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 735 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 AMD LQM TOPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING R 006A AMENDEDM ) Q ACTQVE TROPIKAL 9,3 8, ,945#237N MAX SQFT1,3$ 1,$7#(.>.: 9,3-MIN U TAHUVNU W WAYNING POSPTION: /.9;3.3,500--5 - / #84- - 300 DEGJEES AT 11 KTS POSQTIMN ACCURATE TO WITHIM WNVV ) POSQTION BASED OM CENTER LGCATED BY A COMBINATION MXPSATALPITE AND SYMMPTPDATA 1) PREFO UIKWSVII(--;) MAX SRPNIMLCIKVQEP KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT-19.3N3 12?.3329 2# FORECASDQ? LW W ANMVV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 21:39:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-12554>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 19:56:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA54492; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 06:55:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9862720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 06:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA12116 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 06:49:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA08598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 06:49:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261149.GAA08598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 06:49:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 006a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a96bca167fde188accc34da9085e43a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 125 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 AMD 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 006A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.3N3 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.9N9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.9N1 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.1N5 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.4N9 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.8N5 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 19.5N5 125.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED AND HAS DEVELOPED FURTHER WESTWARD UNDERNEATH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS WOULD GIVE TD 14W A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 260730Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA, A 260212Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A SHIP REPORT AT 18.9N8 128.9E0 WHICH INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM HAS RE- DEVELOPED FURTHER WESTWARD. TD 14W IS FORECASTED TO SLOW AND DEVELOP A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT NEARS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO MOVE MORE NORTHWARD AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER TAIWAN CLOSE TO THE 48 HOUR POSITION. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, TD 14W SHOULD BE BACK OVER WATER AS IT CONTINUES ITS NORTHWARD MOTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS (WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LOW VERTICAL SHEAR) WILL BE FAVORABLE. LAND INTERACTION WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3935 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627689-12551>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:29:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35022; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:27:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9864107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30524 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:25:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:25:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809261425.JAA10274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:25:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18acaa8529f802afcae4cc4ef1a16c6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 301 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 19.7N7 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.4N6 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.0N3 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.9N2 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.9N3 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.9N5 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 19.9N9 125.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION, PARTICULARLY WITH INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATION AND ANALYSIS OF 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627600-12551>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:48:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30624; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:47:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9870561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:46:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA62708 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:43:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809262043.PAA17077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:43:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 916aa0c990fdb677c95999316cad2d03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 354 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 20.2N4 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.0N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.0N4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.9N3 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.9N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.9N6 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 20.4N6 124.6E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND IT IS STILL SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AS FOR THE FORECAST, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627874-12554>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:34:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA61366; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:32:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9871278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19032 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:48:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809262048.PAA17180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:48:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9cab8fe25846cd895cd8db87014cfc2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 411 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261830Z/270600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 19.7N7 125.5E7 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 140E5. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS AND IS IN A REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO EVIDENCE AT THIS TIME OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627876-12551>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:34:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA12080; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:33:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9871310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA39336 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809262049.PAA17189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:49:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 704b43e34b34dc1b1db39b5d673bac10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 413 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 20.2N4 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.0N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.0N4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.9N3 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.9N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.9N6 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 20.4N6 124.6E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND IT IS STILL SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AS FOR THE FORECAST, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3589 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627864-12554>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA29424; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:06:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9870776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:05:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA62470 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:01:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA17508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809262101.QAA17508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:01:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a57f6770b17f6ac7c83e2f4dd983e769 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 543 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 20.2N4 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 124.9E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.0N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.0N4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.9N3 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.9N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.9N6 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -0120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 20.4N6 124.6E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND IT IS STILL SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AS FOR THE FORECAST, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2192 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626038-24160>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 11:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA24188; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:19:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9876570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:19:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA30606 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:54:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:54:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270254.VAA23347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 21:54:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9ce1aace96775f70068595c01b77ebd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 108 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 20.5N7 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.0N3 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.4N7 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.9N2 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.4N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 23.9N4 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 20.6N8 125.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE NORTHWARD MOST END OF THE CURVED CLOUD BAND. WARNING POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 262143Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONTINUITY AND IS SUPPORTED BY 25 KNOT WIND REPORTS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. TD 14W HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED AS A =MONSOON GYRE= WITH THE LLCC AS A RECENTLY DEVELOPED FEATURE. THE PRESENT POSITION CERTAINTY AS WELL AS THE CATEGORIZATION OF THE SYSTEM CONTRIBUTE TO THE SLOWING OF THE FORECASTED FORWARD MOTION AS WELL AS THE DECREASED DEVELOPMENT RATE. THE INCREASE IN THE WIND RADII REFLECT THE PERIPHERAL, VICE CENTRAL, NATURE OF THE WIND FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625990-24160>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 11:08:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA59146; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9876195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA28666 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:02:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA23621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270302.WAA23621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 22:02:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0bf9a5030138eb88bf782c912af5d5e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 201 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 20.5N7 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.0N3 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.4N7 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.9N2 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.4N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 23.9N4 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 20.6N8 125.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE NORTHWARD MOST END OF THE CURVED CLOUD BAND. WARNING POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 262143Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONTINUITY AND IS SUPPORTED BY 25 KNOT WIND REPORTS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. TD 14W HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED AS A =MONSOON GYRE= WITH THE LLCC AS A RECENTLY DEVELOPED FEATURE. THE PRESENT POSITION CERTAINTY AS WELL AS THE CATEGORIZATION OF THE SYSTEM CONTRIBUTE TO THE SLOWING OF THE FORECASTED FORWARD MOTION AS WELL AS THE DECREASED DEVELOPMENT RATE. THE INCREASE IN THE WIND RADII REFLECT THE PERIPHERAL, VICE CENTRAL, NATURE OF THE WIND FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:25:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61436; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9879033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49108 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270624.BAA26188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a81cd36c8f967b26e05ee9f34497a75 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 015 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 20.5N7 125.3E1 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 138E2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION, DISORGANIZED AND SCATTERED WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7. THIS AREA HAS NO DEVELOPED CENTRAL CONVECTION BUT IS DEVELOPING A SURFACE SIGNATURE AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS WESTWARD. THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO OUR AOR WITHIN THE 24 HOUR PERIOD COVERED BY THIS MESSAGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626697-24156>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 17:29:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54464; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:29:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9880221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA19486 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 03:59:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 03:59:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270859.DAA27549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 03:59:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 407eee6d74e19f140dc7504383bd62b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 912 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 21.5N8 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.2N7 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.1N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOP-4 AI GCI 2 #G/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626697-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 17:07:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA28518; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:05:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9879858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA43652 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:04:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA27796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:04:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270904.EAA27796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:04:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e067de51c7e57aa1751e3b8a86b22a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 976 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 21.5N8 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.2N7 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.1N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOP-4 AI GCI 2 ?G/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 17:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA19166; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:21:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9880110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:21:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15604 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:18:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:18:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270918.EAA28064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:18:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 010 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 381adedeeb15a103f1ecfa0e549dc5f3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 303 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 21.5N8 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.2N7 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.1N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.0N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.2N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 21.7N0 123.8E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS RELOCATED BASED ON INFORMATION FROM ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM LAN YU ISLAND (WMO 46762). THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS WARNING WAS A TRANSIENT FEATURE, WITH THE TRUE CENTER OF ROTATION LOCATED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHWEST. CURRENTLY, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES NOT SHOW ANY CLEAR LOW-LEVEL CUMULUS CLOUD PATTERNS THAT INDICATE A WELL DEFINED SURFACE STRUCTURE. THE FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED TO COVER THE STRONGEST WINDS TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, AS THE CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST LACKS A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SUPPORT HIGHER WINDS. AGAIN, THE STRONGER WINDS ARE PERIPHERALLY MORE THAN CENTRALLY LOCATED. NEAR THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE A NORTHWARD TURN IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING OVER CHINA. ALSO, LAND AFFECTS FROM THE MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS IN TAIWAN SHOULD HINDER FORWARD MOTION AS WELL AS FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 17:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA61372; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:30:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9880354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA66206 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:30:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270930.EAA28316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 04:30:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c2f1f5ebbc009eff0164d4491b2bb48 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 592 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONEPIN NOROHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASEBPON ONE-MINUTE AVERA 270600Z5 -3- 21.5N8 124.0E7 O VEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CANTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA 1043(3TWINDNVICFQI7-3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 124.0E7 FOREC STS: 12 HRS, VALIDPAT: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 123.1E7 MAX SUUOAINED WINDS - 035 5, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.2N7 122.2E7 L RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 04;-NVPELSEWHERE OVER WTER VECTOR TO 36 R POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 28QQZ9 --- 24.1N7 121.7EOFH MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS ;5 5 KT RADIUS OF 0)KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER UI I IIIII I III IIPQSUPNM ELSE#343 OVER WATER VECTOP-4 AI GC2 ?G/ 04 KTS ) EXTENDED OU M L +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4295 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627789-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:32:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA60048; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:30:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9882849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA34044 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:29:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271429.JAA01708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:29:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 360a8bd04db369685643767bc87beec6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 310 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 22.5N9 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 23.5N0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.4N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.1N8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.9N6 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.8N6 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 22.8N2 122.9E4. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY AT 271210Z3 INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND ALSO SUPPORTS THE WARNING INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW AND BEGIN A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER ASIA. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION SHOULD DEVELOP AT THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BUT LEAVING THE SYSTEM IN THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24 HOUR POSITION WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN TAIWAN. LAND INTERACTION WILL WEAKEN THIS SYSTEM UNTIL IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR POINT. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECASTED AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627858-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:58:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19016; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:56:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9883022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA09848 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:39:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:39:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271439.JAA01804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 09:39:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1; Troical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8856fa7cf1fc8d9aff2c7d7d39763d4e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 472 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1; TROICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITIMV 271200Z2 --- 22.-N-123.1E7 VMEVT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM L 8 POSITION BASED ON CENTE R LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRMOPWIND DISTRIBUTION: VV SUSTCUM77()PLKT, GUSTS 045 KT REPOOSIT: 22.5N9 123.1E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: (1000Z0 --- 23.5N0 122.2E7 ,8 MAXP(0,878-18;Q1 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OHVMPKT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 09 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 (5- 78..2 240;NPVALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.4N0 121.7E1 MVPIUBKUDS - 050 KO, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCWE L#0 0 #00000000000 00 8 0 OVE CHWP PEPHCVPBOIKER WATER VECTOR TO +6 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/004 KTS - 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.1N8 121.9+. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOC 0 KT RW L035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8 # MER WATER 0 035#VVPVXYE OVER WATER ECTORIO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS 72 HRSVALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.8N6 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED 1:$-0145 KT, GUOLPTT KT 4-$87- 92;()KTPWINDS - 0.0 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627789-24160>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:41:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14728; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:40:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9883927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:40:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA53620 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:40:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA02990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:40:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271540.KAA02990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 10:40:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) V Qng Nrhqqomw Upgraded From Tropical To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 744f2343959a09badb41d537ef08c7c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 697 WTPN31 PGTW 271900 RTD 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) V QNG NRHQQOMW UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14WM -) VVPSUSTAINED WINDS BASE D MN ONOQHMINUTE AVEVC WARNING VOSITION: 271200Z2 ;08N9 123.1E7,92 ##;9;3.3,5 0--500PVMPXIVA EWP DEGREES A OL09 KTS POSITION WCCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITEM PRESENT WIND DIERIBUTQOCKAAV VNSUSTAINED WINDS - 0350GUSTS 045 KT #8 3-5 09-85: 22.5N9 123.1E7 FORECASOS= 280000Z0 --- 23.5N0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUV PTP KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST O SEMICIRCLE 000 0 000 OVER WATER 000 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVEROM 253< VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEGX PT KTS 24 HRBLCKBMUAA WIQWPPZ3 --- 24.4N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF KKT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SQCIRCLE OVER WATER 000000 # 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LPMY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 00PZ1 --- 25.1VI ;75E9 MAX SVNIDCIKXIGQET KT, GUVLRO Z VECTOR TO 400;PPOSIT: 360 DEG/ 0 4 KTS -000EXODED OUTLOOK: 400.BLVALID ATC 291200Z4 --- 25.9N021.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WQVKUQP KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUUL035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 0000 OVER WATER 0 0;.0;; 3)-32#343 9;34 WATER ;594 59 72 HR POWT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS WPI HWIMMW UW HRS,#VALID AT: 003QWPPZ6 --- 26;0N6 121.6E0 2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 ON GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OW035 KT WINDS - 0900NMIEAST SEMICIRCLE N 8 OBVN 8 8 040 NM ELSMN KER WATER +REVARKS: 271500+9 POSITION 22.8N2 122.99VO TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) MMOAELNORTHWESOCXH AT 09 KNMTS THE PASTP06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 121130Z8 EVVNINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE QVOPSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. MICRO-WAVZPQV ERY AT 2711?INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEV HIC SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST 24 MOURS AND ALSO SUPPORTS OHE -4;0; 7,53,-856. THE SYSTEM SHOUPD SLO0-,$ ?3<8, 943 ,945#-NORTHWESTWARD MOTIMV WITHIN THE VEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE SUBTROPQIIDGE TO THE NORTH DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TRMUGH OVER ASIA. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTIOVPOULD DEVELOP AT TH36 HOUR POSITPON UFLMID-LATQOUKMPVPBUCSITO LIFT TO TVLNOCTHEAST BUT LEAVING THE SYSTEM IN THE 3-,3-- OF THE SUBTROPICALPRIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 24 HOUR POSITION WHEN IT MAKESILANDFA L OVER NORTHERN TAIWAN. LAND IMTEGACTION WILL WEAKEN THIS WSYSTEM UNTIL IT M OVES BACK OVER WATEJ BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR POINT. SLOW STREVGTHENING ISPRECASTED AFTER THE 48 GMUR POPCV. VMWVI SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT ;;CQZ IS 12 FET. REFER TOPWWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 2721PZ2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7),880900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) ANDPUONLDOGM L WLWWWVVVV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-24158>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 02:49:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA52938; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:48:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9886762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA59146 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:46:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809271846.NAA06042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:46:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: ?mk=1. To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 206c751d6429e35b840b806fd62f0811 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 404 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 ./- ?MK=1. MWARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A AT 281200Z SEP 98. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND AND SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SMOOTHED TO EASE PLOTTING. THIS WARNING COVERS THE FOLLOWING AREAS: EAST CHINA SEA, SOUTH CHINA SEA AND ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CHINA. 3. HIGH WIND WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 281200Z SEP 98. A. NO WINDS 35 KTS OR GREATER FORECAST. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 281200Z SEP 98. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 51.0N6 180.0/9, 48.0N2 177.0E5, 45.0N9 177.0E5, 44.0N8 180.0/9. B. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE EAST CHINA SEA, SOUTH CHINA SEA. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 30.0N3 126.0E9, TO THE COAST NEAR 30.0N3 122.0E5, THENCE COASTAL TO 24.0N6 118.0E0, 20.0N2 118.0E0, 20.0N2 121.0E4, 26.0N8 127.0E0, 29.0N1 127.0E0, 30.0N3 126.0E9. MAX SEAS 14 FT NEAR 28.0N0 125.0E8. 5. KUROSHIO NORTH WALL ADVISORY: NONE IN EFFECT. 6. SEE REF B FOR CURRENT WARNINGS EAST OF 180/9. 7. SEE REF C FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TS YANNI(14W) WARNING NR 11. 8. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 280914Z. (WWPW30 PGFW 290000).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626424-24156>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:05:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA55002; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:03:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9889073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA41316 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 15:58:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 15:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809272058.PAA09332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 15:58:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61f5ab85dd7b40e0b426930963f62e24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 683 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 22.6N0 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.5N0 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.2N9 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.8N5 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 26.4N2 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 22.8N2 121.8E2. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA AT 271800Z8 FROM WMO NUMBERS 46740 AND 46742. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK IN THE FIRST 12 TO 24 HOURS WAS SHIFTED FURTHER WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE RECENT MOTION AND THE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. OTHERWISE, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE WARNING INTENSITY AT 48 AND 72 HOURS WERE WEAKENED AS THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE DIFFICULTY RE-ORGANIZING AFTER MOVING ALONG THE MOUNTAINS OF TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 10:33:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626424-24160>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 05:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA39026; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:05:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9889139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:05:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA61394 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:05:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA09780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809272104.QAA09780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:04:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d36cf2534a1913f16aac34493af91fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 835 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 22.6N0 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.5N0 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.2N9 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.8N5 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 26.4N2 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 22.8N2 121.8E2. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA AT 271800Z8 FROM WMO NUMBERS 46740 AND 46742. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK IN THE FIRST 12 TO 24 HOURS WAS SHIFTED FURTHER WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE RECENT MOTION AND THE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. OTHERWISE, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE WARNING INTENSITY AT 48 AND 72 HOURS WERE WEAKENED AS THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE DIFFICULTY RE-ORGANIZING AFTER MOVING ALONG THE MOUNTAINS OF TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:23:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA57936; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:14:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9894801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:14:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49020 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:12:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:12:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280312.WAA16719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:12:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c981391742b294b6eb6c66855caed6ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 700 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 23.0N5 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.1N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.1N8 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.4N2 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 27.5N4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 23.3N8 121.9E3. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, STILL AND ANIMATED, RADAR IMAGERY FROM TAIWAN, AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SITES INCLUDING ICAO=S RCYU, RCQS. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED (SPECIFICALLY THE EXTENDED QUADRANT TO THE NORTHEAST) USING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IN ADDITION TO SHIP OBSERVATIONS NEAR 25N 126E. THE STRONGER WINDS HERE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE CLOUD BAND, WITH A ZONE OF WEAKER WINDS ENCOUNTERED BETWEEN THE OUTER BANDING AND CENTRAL AREA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE ADVERSLY AFFECTED BY THE MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF TAIWAN, BUT MAY RECOVER SOME INTENSITY AFTER MOVING NORTH OF THE ISLAND. FORWARD MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AS TS YANNI (14W) APPROACHES A WEAKENED SECTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3050 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625983-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:32:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54460; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:20:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9894903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:20:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA24452 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:20:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280320.WAA16829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:20:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ecb87aa290c47e633890ee4038880dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 23.0N5 122.0E5 /.5;-.3,5 0--5 -8/ #974- - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS :KPQLACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSWTION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITN CWFAR AND SYNOPWXMH PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045.5, GASTSPPTT KT RADIUS OF ;35 UVIIK VQB CUVNM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ,8- 8 # OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVE WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N- 122.0E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.1N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER ATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.1;8 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.4N2 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS 72 HRS, VALID JY: 010000Z1 --- 27.5N4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 2 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 23.3N8 121.9E3. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWWRDSAT 06 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, STILL AND ANIMATED, RF WMAGERY FRMHAIWAN, AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SITES INCLUDING ICAO;S RCYU, RCQS. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED (SPECIFICALLY THE EXTENDED QUADRANT TO THE NORTHEAST) USING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE FROM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IN ADDITION TO SHIP OBSERVATIONS NEAR 25N 126E. THZ STRONGER WINDS HERE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE CLOUD BAND, WITH A ZONE OF WEAKER WINDS ENCOUNTERED KWEEN THE OUTER BANDING AND CENTRAL AREA. THE SYSTM IS EXPECTED TO BE ADVERSLY AFFECTED BYNTHE MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF TAIWAN, BUT MH RECOVER SOME INTENSITY AFTER MOVING NORTH OF THE ISLAND. FORWARD MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AS TS YANNI (14W) APPROACHES A WEAKENED SECTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. VAMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER O WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHH INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626353-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:31:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA41446; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9895269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA13004 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280330.WAA17017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:30:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280259z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe35e677b33184a6088d9a67d9ef5561 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 104 WTPN22 PGTW 280300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280259Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 26.4N2 176.2E6 TO 19.2N2 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS IS A MID-LEVEL SYSTEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED A SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH RECENT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION. WARMER WATERS AND CONTINUING FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MAKES THE PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4335 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:52:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA43642; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:47:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9895387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA42982 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:45:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280345.WAA17552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:45:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280259z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05df264ea0c81abed6709048ceb4677c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 WTPN22 PGTW 280300 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280259Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 26.4N2 176.2E6 TO 19.2N2 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS IS A MID-LEVEL SYSTEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED A SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH RECENT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION. WARMER WATERS AND CONTINUING FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MAKES THE PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED VERBAGE IN PARAGRAPH 2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:52:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA41442; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:50:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9895420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA15438 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:49:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280349.WAA17626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280259z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec1bfe4d95c589a4ff5e82319f312cbc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 397 WTPN22 PGTW 280300 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280259Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 26.4N2 176.2E6 TO 19.2N2 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT KRCVUPVVVE OF NUMBERED TROPICALIQJWARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA AREPOIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MATSAT IMAGERY AT 272230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR WYMYN4 176.5E9. THE SQSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS IS A MID-LEVNBBXOEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED A SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH RECENT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION. WARMER WATERS QND CONTINUING FAVORABLE PVIRONMENT MAKES THE PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED VERBAGE IN PARAGRAPH 2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA57388; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:13:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9895584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:13:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18968 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:13:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:13:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280413.XAA17901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:13:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280259z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7eff50e63957446cb1992878c85c4f23 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 830 WTPN22 PGTW 280300 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280259Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 26.4N2 176.2E6 TO 19.2N2 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS IS A MID-LEVEL SYSTEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED A SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH RECENT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION. WARMER WATERS AND CONTINUING FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MAKES THE PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED VERBIAGE IN PARAGRAPH 2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 13:17:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:35:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA43004; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:28:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9895659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67816 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:27:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280427.XAA17995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 23:27:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280259z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 010e4fb0ea80b494b8c71487f8fde08c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 WTPN22 PGTW 280300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280259Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4556 UNCLAS 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 26.4N2 176.2E6 TO 19.2N2 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 272230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS IS A MID-LEVEL SYSTEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED A SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH RECENT PERIPHERAL CONVECTION. WARMER WATERS AND CONTINUING FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MAKES THE PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290300Z4.// BT #4556 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 15:26:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626401-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:09:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA41346; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9897592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA41322 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280607.BAA19434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fce9cbb361308c91904c4e06248be88c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 812 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 23.0N5 122.0E5 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 15:26:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:51:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42794; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9897859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18946 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280642.BAA19753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f98ff5c17916d2b9db8d72193f05f1bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 919 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 23.0N5 122.0E5 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3099 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:00:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57572; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:59:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9898896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:59:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66140 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:52:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280852.DAA21151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:52:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bef5ed166e0e5af9798d67ad31942c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 442 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER :DIUS OF 01ID F20 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER SATE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 16:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63826; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:57:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9898831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54406 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:54:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280854.DAA21202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 03:54:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9db0bf64e4c73f5ff876884433b5b2e6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 457 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER :DIUS OF 01ID F20 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER SATE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:05:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA63544; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:03:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9898948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:03:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA29222 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:03:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280903.EAA21419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:03:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b90df0bffaf221db32eeb9a49d137900 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 539 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.2N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 30.6N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 122.2E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR IMAGERY AND FIXES FROM TAIWAN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND SUPPORTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE NOTED IN 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE RADAR IMAGERY. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII STILL REFLECTS THE POTENTIAL GALES CONTAINED WITHIN THE LARGE OUTER CLOUD BAND TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THIS SYSTEM, AS THE LOWER-LEVEL STRUCTURE IS FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE THAT TAIWAN SHOULD NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THIS. FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY SLOW AS THE STEERING AFFECTS SHOULD REMAIN A COMBINATION OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS MODULATED BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:13:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA28516; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:10:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9898997 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:10:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA16676 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:10:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:10:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280910.EAA21464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:10:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53ebc828e82e61abfec3fa65f7ef0646 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 623 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014A UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YANNI 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DQ(A8 ZP 5SITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4232 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626549-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:13:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA43764; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:12:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9899019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24290 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:12:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:12:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280912.EAA21507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:12:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a6b3030b28b170e59def0a671e93f77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 766 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.2N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 30.6N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 122.2E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR IMAGERY AND FIXES FROM TAIWAN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND SUPPORTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE NOTED IN 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE RADAR IMAGERY. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII STILL REFLECTS THE POTENTIAL GALES CONTAINED WITHIN THE LARGE OUTER CLOUD BAND TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THIS SYSTEM, AS THE LOWER-LEVEL STRUCTURE IS FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE THAT TAIWAN SHOULD NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THIS. FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY SLOW AS THE STEERING AFFECTS SHOULD REMAIN A COMBINATION OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS MODULATED BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626907-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:17:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59136; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9899044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA16876 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280916.EAA21539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6eb2fc871deea9a1f95312d28e8327a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 828 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W < 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDSSBASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7.. T 07 KTS POSITQON ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER ,DIUS OF 01ID F20 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER SATE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:18:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59192; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:17:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9899051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:17:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA57628 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:17:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280916.EAA21549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:16:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr (014) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 839e52051bc09444677bba2a98870592 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 897 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR (014) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YANNI 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 32 I JG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 17:30:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:25:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59262; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:23:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9899186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:23:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA40812 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:23:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:23:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280923.EAA21691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:23:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 543f6b47bf43f1311155af48ba94857b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSUOION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTIMN: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS IP KT XPUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER ML RAVIAPET KT WINDS - 3 20 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANO M OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 122.2E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.2N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 O WICDS --320 NM NMRTMEASTLQUWCANT L OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POE T: 010 $3. 3--5 -3.8:84:)3 OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KTPC SIVBPIUVNM UETHSEMIKIRCLE OVER WALER 8 8 090 NM ELSEWHEREIOVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT 010600Z7 --- 30.6N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 0 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS 280900Z9 POSITION 2.2N8 122.2E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) IS MORING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE YAO ILIMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR IMAGERY AND FIXES FROM TAIWAN. WARNING INOENSQTY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND SUPPORTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE NOTED IN 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE RADAR IMAGERY. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII STILL REFLECTSN ITHLPOTENTIAL GA LES CONTAINED WITHIN THE LAGE OUTER CLOUD BAND TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THIS SYSTEM, AS THE LOWER-LEVEL STRUCTURE IS FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE THAT TAIWAV SHMULD NOT ADVERSELYNM=15 5#8-. FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY SLOW AS THE STEERING AFFECTS SHOULD REMAIN A COMBINATIONLOF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS MODULATED BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600ZFQS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FORHN EDNIIONAL SEU HLMXTM GVWI .8NEXTHWARM JLM ;PUZ6 (($5; GKG<0 67; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 17:49:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA63918; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:47:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9899413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37778 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:47:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:47:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280947.EAA21901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 04:47:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr (014) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a2ed70f50f5f4203efdc9334ab5aaf6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 412 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR (014) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YANNI 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.2N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 30.6N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 122.2E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR IMAGERY AND FIXES FROM TAIWAN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND SUPPORTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE NOTED IN 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE RADAR IMAGERY. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII STILL REFLECTS THE POTENTIAL GALES CONTAINED WITHIN THE LARGE OUTER CLOUD BAND TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THIS SYSTEM, AS THE LOWER-LEVEL STRUCTURE IS FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE THAT TAIWAN SHOULD NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THIS. FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY SLOW AS THE STEERING AFFECTS SHOULD REMAIN A COMBINATION OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS MODULATED BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1646 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626626-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 21:20:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24320; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:17:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9901889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:17:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA41268 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:16:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:16:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281316.IAA24526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:16:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b03b6bb42c00ed3e0438076861d2e5bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 158 ABPW10 PGTW 281030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/281030Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280751Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 145E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA DOESN=T YET INDICATE EVIDENCE OF A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS OF THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO ADD POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626981-24781>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:22:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14812; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:20:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9902987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57542 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:20:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:20:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281420.JAA26496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:20:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42f4aa88fb6b4f5e27209f2a985e2c34 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 519 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.5N1 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF RADAR, SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.8N5 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.9N7 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.1N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.2N3 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.7N0 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.8N4 122.4E9. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 47912 AND 46686, 281200Z3 RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU IN TAIWAN AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281157Z4. RADAR DATA FROM 06Z TO 12Z INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM=S EYE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED ACMDEBREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN SIZE. MICROWAVE IMAGERY DATA AT 281157Z4 INDICATED A VERY SYMMETRIC EYE FEATURE, ALTHOUGH THE EYE WALL IS NOT YET COMPLETELY CLOSED OFF. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS, AND THE EYE FEATURE SEEN IN THE RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATE A HIGHER INTENSITY. THE DECREASE IN EYE SIZE, ALONG WITH THE OVERALL INCREASE OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE EYE WALL MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY WAS ADJUSTED TO REFLECT RAPID INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD SLOWLY AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST. AS THIS TROUGH LIFTS OUT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITHIN THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626934-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:29:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14628; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9903048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14602 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281427.JAA26763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1408e9d4e24cf6e0ccc64e9e27c27fd6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 709 ABPW10 PGTW 281030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/281030Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280751Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 145E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA DOESN=T YET INDICATE EVIDENCE OF A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS OF THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO ADD POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627803-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:25:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA11162; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 10:23:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9904026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 10:23:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA54362 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 10:22:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA28664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 10:22:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281522.KAA28664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 10:22:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c75d6230bf443f68107af6faebf6ea9f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.5N1 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF RADAR, SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.8N5 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.9N7 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.1N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.2N3 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.7N0 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.8N4 122.4E9. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 47912 AND 46686, 281200Z3 RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU IN TAIWAN AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281157Z4. RADAR DATA FROM 06Z TO 12Z INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM=S EYE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED AND HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN SIZE. MICROWAVE IMAGERY DATA AT 281157Z4 INDICATED A VERY SYMMETRIC EYE FEATURE, ALTHOUGH THE EYE WALL IS NOT YET COMPLETELY CLOSED OFF. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS, AND THE EYE FEATURE SEEN IN THE RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATE A HIGHER INTENSITY. THE DECREASE IN EYE SIZE, ALONG WITH THE OVERALL INCREASE OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE EYE WALL MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY WAS ADJUSTED TO REFLECT RAPID INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD SLOWLY AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST. AS THIS TROUGH LIFTS OUT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITHIN THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626724-24781>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37762; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 15:02:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9909301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 15:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA12850 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:55:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281955.OAA09142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:55:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53c1335c3464f65f56b9a80738ac02d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 242 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 25.3N0 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.6N4 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.9N8 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.0N1 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 30.0N3 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.7N1 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 25.6N3 122.8E3. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 281700Z8 RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU IN TAIWAN AS WELL AS ANALYSIS OF 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT, RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED AN EYE; HOWEVER, AN EYE HAS YET TO DEVELOP IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS, AND THE PERSISTENT EYE FEATURE FOUND IN THE RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTING A SLIGHTLY HIGHER INTENSITY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK OR INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 12:04:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2805 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:28:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA24166; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:23:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9918953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:21:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA48832 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:21:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA23084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:21:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290321.WAA23084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:21:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5fedbdbceef774420b051e8365ee7999 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 434 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 017 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.1N9 123.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 123.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.7N6 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.3N4 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.9N2 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.5N0 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 35.5N3 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.5N3 123.7E3. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS AGAIN INDICATING THE FORMATION OF AN EYE. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS FORECAST TO DRIVE TY YANNI (14W) NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD WITH A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TY YANNI (14W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. LAND EFFECTS IN SOUTH KOREA ARE FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 12:04:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4378 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-17642>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:43:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA44146; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:36:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9919260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:33:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA41330 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:33:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA23501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:33:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290333.WAA23501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:33:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4112cbea1d5fd6ce98d62f092c2eda8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 561 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.1N9 123.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 123.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.7N6 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.3N4 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.9N2 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.5N0 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 35.5N3 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.5N3 123.7E3. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS AGAIN INDICATING THE FORMATION OF AN EYE. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS FORECAST TO DRIVE TY YANNI (14W) NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD WITH A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TY YANNI (14W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. LAND EFFECTS IN SOUTH KOREA ARE FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 12:04:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626701-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 12:00:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA63500; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:49:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9919474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:49:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA41298 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:48:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA23855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290348.WAA23855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:48:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation 290259z Sep 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 715a30ac0c3154a4f43f70621e58fc2c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 WTPN22 PGTW 290300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 290259Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 80300)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.4N2 176.2E6 HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA. CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND CONCENTRATED ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE AREA AS WELL. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW POOR. 2. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 17:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1714 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628021-17639>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:19:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA53678; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:15:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9922808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:15:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA53530 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:14:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:14:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290914.EAA28339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:14:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1294d5ff3fc90785237f17033fafe0c8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 478 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 018 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 27.3N2 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SI C;H 0QWES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N2 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.3N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 31.3N7 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.9N4 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.3N0 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.0N9 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 27.8N7 124.5E2. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS FORECAST TO DRIVE TY YANNI (14W) NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD WITH A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTS WITH AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. LAND EFFECTS IN SOUTH KOREA ARE FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 17:49:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2403 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627984-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:26:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA38940; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:23:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9922938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:23:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA22270 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:23:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:23:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809290923.EAA28475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 04:23:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60a7780b509c098c049a98c0d849e222 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 642 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 018 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 27.3N2 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N2 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.3N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 31.3N7 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.9N4 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.3N0 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.0N9 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 27.8N7 124.5E2. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS FORECAST TO DRIVE TY YANNI (14W) NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD WITH A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTS WITH AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. LAND EFFECTS IN SOUTH KOREA ARE FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627398-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:20:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA56594; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:16:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9924693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:16:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA52726 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:16:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:16:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291216.HAA00638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:16:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Trphoon Xkai (14w) Wmiw Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7b963e156b1e274e1ab03ff288539db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 837 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TRPHOON XKAI (14W) WMIW NR 017 8 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14A G IPQ ACTIVOGLVOVPAGIKYCWO NE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 290000Z1 --- 2-91N9 123.4E0 0 MOEMENT PUST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREEE NML0. (5- POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060#NM 8POSITIONBASED ON CENTER LOCATEDNBY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTIG7-0# MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRNLE M ELSEWHERE O 8 CADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 .; :945#3--5-17-$4-,5 , 100 NM ELSEWHERE REVEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 123.4EP FORECASTS: - 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200T4 --- 27.7N6 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050- M EAST SMICIRCLOH 8 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF PET KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT # 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HC QO8:(-817:?$3<0OOFVVNVOR 050 NM ELSEWHTRE OVER WATER REMARKS: 8290310Z4 POSIT ON WYMTN3 123.7EVMV TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNI G HOITION ANH INTENSITY WRE BOPNGLON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.#OHE SYSTEMSHAS SLOWLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS AGAIN INDICATWN 5A FBRMATION OF AN EYE. THE M D-PEVEL RIDGE TOSTHEIEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXECOEF TO BE THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS STEERING INELUENCE IS FORECAST TO DRIVEIOY YANNI KQRW) NORTHWARH THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD WITH A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THOG71-MMNFV M ZPERIOD. THE SYSTEM IYIAVPECTED TO PEAK PNIICTUNSKTY MWTPIN THE NEO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TY YANNI (14W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. LAND EFFECTS IN SOUTH KOREA ARE FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. VAXIMUV ISI GNIFICFAAUPCCE HAIXHT AT 290000Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONALGSMN<38<#5 8,>94.-589,. NEXT WARNINGS AT )90900Z0 (DTG 290751RLP WOQTPPZ7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 30OQPPDTG KO0;51Z0).// ZNNCN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626842-17636>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:29:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA21840; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:28:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9927914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA54332 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:28:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291528.KAA06702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:28:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f209710bbd25067947e022eeb76f10d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 428 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 28.7N7 125.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N7 125.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.3N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.0N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 36.7N6 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 38.4N5 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 45.1N0 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 29.3N4 126.0E9. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND WARNING INTENSITY (80 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN PICKING UP SPEED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE TROUGH TO THE WEST HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST APPROACHING THE YELLOW SEA. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE EAST AND FOREWARD SPEED INCREASED IN RESPONSE TO PERSISTENCE AND OBJECTIVE AND SYNOPTIC GUIDANCE. THE STEERING FLOW IS A COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND RIDGE TO THE EAST. TY YANNI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND BEGIN A MORE EASTWARD TURN AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. TY YANNI SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO THE NORTHEAST BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG16772721351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 23:46:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA54764; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:43:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9928225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA52680 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:43:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809291543.KAA07285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 10:43:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (7>2) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d095e3fc4747bccf51f0f0efd9db2617 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 730 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON YANNI (7>2) WARNING NR 019 01 AAA D WARNING POSITIONWCHOA 2912009G AAA MWMUN1 125.134 VMEMENT PAST SIX HOURBLA PRVLGMKXEES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCUYATT TO W IO 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYOLFIXEDHVXLSQOZWLITE LRESTMOIQIND DI9;8?7589,: 100 KT G RACS XNKUCUVO CIJJIPKNB60 NMGUUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8881:.)PGAGSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 9. ,945#3--5 17-$4-,5 8 110 NM ELSEWHERE L REPEAT POSIT: 28;V7,1:.;6EKFGH 80.(;RUCBAAWPKNBGQCMYRBN VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 373N7 127.2E2 - MAX SI TAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 HH ROVQQICK)050#KTIWUD - 035 NM FBUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE KBLBNXLHMBLPUIV H PWT NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035-#:- 28,$- - 210 NM NORTHEASM=88:84:)3 OVER WATER 24 HRS, VALID W EPQWPPZ6 --- 34.0PKIPQCIIE. RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NV TAST SEMICQCVXP ##8 OVER WATER 080 NM ELUEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 977N6 131.2E7 , .-LSUSTNIKPK:-==80?0045 KT, XUSTS 055 KT VOQOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WPNBS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ) 0 OVER WATER 8 , 070 NM ELSEWHEROLOVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTSO EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 38.4N5 135.6E5. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRABRMIAL RADIUS OF 055 KT WINDS - 080#NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RTPNM ELSEIHERE VECTMR TO 72 HG POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 2 02120Z5 --- 45.1N1 144.1E0 8<,XAX SUSAA PQI KNOS OVER THE P ST 6 974-. CURRENT POSITION AND WARNING INTENSITY VWIUPKNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED AND MICROZAVE SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. SPEED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. UMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE TROUGH TO THE WEST HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST APPROACHING THE YELLOW SPEED INCREASED IN RESPONSE TO PERSISTENCE AND OBJECTIVE AND SYNOPTIN GUIDANCE. THE STEERING FLOW IS A COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND RIDGE TO THE EAST. TY YAPNI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND BEGIN A MORE EASTWARD TURN AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. TY YANNI BGOULD WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THOLPERIOD VS WZIMOVES INTO STRONG VRTICAL WINDSHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTROKNTROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADI HAS BETC SLMPDED TO THE NORTHEOXO BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. AXQMUM G 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900+2 (DTG 300751.(/?8ACFSKBTQP 301351MKOBMXX Z AICVGCWIESSAGE RECCJ CMWAFGWC: RUHPSGG167720:1,.1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 06:04:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627998-17636>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 05:42:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA24530; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:39:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9934661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA40096 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:33:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA18438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:32:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809292132.QAA18438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 16:32:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68ea660160c92ea7fd7a4bc10636655c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 013 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 30.8N1 126.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.8N1 126.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 34.7N4 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 38.2N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 41.9N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 33 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 45.6N5 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 51.1N7 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 31.8N2 127.7E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (70 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TY YANNI (14W) HAS CONTINUED TO ACCELERATE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND BEGAN TO BE SHEARED BY THE TROUGH TO ITS WEST. THE STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AND THE TROUGH TO THE WEST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS. AS IT ACCELERATES, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TY YANNI IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN REDUCED TO REFLECT THE RAPID WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25492721951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 09:53:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625890-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:45:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA43566; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 19:44:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9937432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 19:44:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA28184 for ; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 19:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA22077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 19:44:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300044.TAA22077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 19:44:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19dbd2550c3db32cc95bd0e5c150690a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 550 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 32.2N7 126.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 126.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 36.6N5 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 39.4N6 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 42.3N9 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 45.4N3 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 33.3N9 127.3E3. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS TY YANNI (14W) HAS CONTINUED TO SPEED NORTHEASTWARD WHILE ENCOUNTERING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS WEST. THE STEERING INFLUENCE REMAINS THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AND THE TROUGH TO THE WEST. THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS. AS IT ACCELERATES, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. TY YANNI IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WITH EVEN GREATER VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3),302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:12:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA66060; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA66280 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300810.DAA29460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e7e9ee3f8d2bb09f81d20e3fa07b8e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 603 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/010600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 126.9E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 177E5 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 145E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PSORIATIC FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. LASTLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:42:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA66270; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA30404 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300841.DAA29768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0b3d1d21cb7857b20800e2b87098c4e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 116 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/010600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 126.9E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 177E5 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 145E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PSORIATIC FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. LASTLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3237 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627399-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 22:17:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26758; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:15:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9947391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:15:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45098 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:15:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:14:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301414.JAA05874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:14:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7b4645173f0c61098a4c9a20511d9bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 462 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N5 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 35.2N0 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.6N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 36.0N9 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 34.9N6 127.2E2. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS IN THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA AND MICROWAVE (301145Z4) AND INFRARED (301130Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. HOURLY SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION ANALYSIS INDICATE LITTLE MOVEMENT SINCE TY YANNI MADE LANDFALL AROUND 300000Z3. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND OBSERVATIONS ALSO INDICATE A RAPID WEAKENING AND CORRESPONDING REDUCTION IN THE WIND RADII FIELD. OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES NO 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM, BUT THE SYSTEM IS IN A DATA VOID AREA. A DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LACKING, BUT PROGNOSTIC MODELS INDICATE AN ACTUAL REVERSAL IN THE OVERALL LOW- LEVEL FLOW BY THE 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS A NORTHWARD DRIFT AND DISSIPATION BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. CONTINUED STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND EFFECTS SHOULD WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2292 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627325-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:08:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA67818; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:08:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:07:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA43718 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:07:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301507.KAA07649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:07:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bf67fc6037e2d4a634f5e37c43d6f73d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 374 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 34.8N5 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N5 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 35.2N0 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.6N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 36.0N9 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 34.9N6 127.2E2. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS IN THE REPUBLIC OF KOREA AND MICROWAVE (301145Z4) AND INFRARED (301130Z8) SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. HOURLY SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION ANALYSIS INDICATE LITTLE MOVEMENT SINCE TY YANNI MADE LANDFALL AROUND 300000Z3. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND OBSERVATIONS ALSO INDICATE A RAPID WEAKENING AND CORRESPONDING REDUCTION IN THE WIND RADII FIELD. OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES NO 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM, BUT THE SYSTEM IS IN A DATA VOID AREA. A DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LACKING, BUT PROGNOSTIC MODELS INDICATE AN ACTUAL REVERSAL IN THE OVERALL LOW- LEVEL FLOW BY THE 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS A NORTHWARD DRIFT AND DISSIPATION BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. CONTINUED STRONG VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND EFFECTS SHOULD WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG56302731351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:13:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA25476; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA41308 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301512.KAA07812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4707f138f143f557bb856ff67b4816af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 554 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER :DIUS OF 01ID F20 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER SATE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627564-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA59312; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA49514 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301512.KAA07819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 343a58186e2c958082a68203e984a4c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 555 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.2N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 30.6N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 122.2E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR IMAGERY AND FIXES FROM TAIWAN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND SUPPORTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE NOTED IN 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE RADAR IMAGERY. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII STILL REFLECTS THE POTENTIAL GALES CONTAINED WITHIN THE LARGE OUTER CLOUD BAND TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THIS SYSTEM, AS THE LOWER-LEVEL STRUCTURE IS FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE THAT TAIWAN SHOULD NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THIS. FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY SLOW AS THE STEERING AFFECTS SHOULD REMAIN A COMBINATION OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS MODULATED BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-17073>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:14:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA49662; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA30410 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301512.KAA07831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 014a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 663bf18b6fc1fb4c0b8297f1d05b93c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 556 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 014A UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YANNI 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DQ(A8 ZP 5SITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627604-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:15:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14362; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA59348 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301512.KAA07835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:12:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr (014) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bebab9d460c72685a1b3fd464dc91f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 557 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR (014) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YANNI 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 32 I JG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3967 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:19:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA59206; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA14580 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301513.KAA07841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:13:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr (014) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 271e249d1e4bee4eb5816292f4801345 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 558 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR (014) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YANNI 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.2N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 30.6N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 122.2E7. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR IMAGERY AND FIXES FROM TAIWAN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF CI 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND SUPPORTED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE NOTED IN 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE RADAR IMAGERY. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII STILL REFLECTS THE POTENTIAL GALES CONTAINED WITHIN THE LARGE OUTER CLOUD BAND TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THIS SYSTEM, AS THE LOWER-LEVEL STRUCTURE IS FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE THAT TAIWAN SHOULD NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THIS. FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY SLOW AS THE STEERING AFFECTS SHOULD REMAIN A COMBINATION OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AS MODULATED BY PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3636 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:18:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA04216; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:16:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA64322 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:16:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:16:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301516.KAA07952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:16:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b71c2ba530847cf633311a30878ea357 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 611 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.5N1 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF RADAR, SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.8N5 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.9N7 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.1N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.2N3 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.7N0 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.8N4 122.4E9. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 47912 AND 46686, 281200Z3 RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU IN TAIWAN AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281157Z4. RADAR DATA FROM 06Z TO 12Z INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM=S EYE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED ACMDEBREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN SIZE. MICROWAVE IMAGERY DATA AT 281157Z4 INDICATED A VERY SYMMETRIC EYE FEATURE, ALTHOUGH THE EYE WALL IS NOT YET COMPLETELY CLOSED OFF. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS, AND THE EYE FEATURE SEEN IN THE RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATE A HIGHER INTENSITY. THE DECREASE IN EYE SIZE, ALONG WITH THE OVERALL INCREASE OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE EYE WALL MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY WAS ADJUSTED TO REFLECT RAPID INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD SLOWLY AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST. AS THIS TROUGH LIFTS OUT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITHIN THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3761 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:18:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA21708; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9948977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA62394 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301517.KAA07990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:17:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b35cbaa21a5555061034356ae029f9b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 617 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.5N1 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF RADAR, SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.8N5 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.9N7 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.1N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.2N3 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.7N0 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.8N4 122.4E9. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 47912 AND 46686, 281200Z3 RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU IN TAIWAN AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281157Z4. RADAR DATA FROM 06Z TO 12Z INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM=S EYE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED AND HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN SIZE. MICROWAVE IMAGERY DATA AT 281157Z4 INDICATED A VERY SYMMETRIC EYE FEATURE, ALTHOUGH THE EYE WALL IS NOT YET COMPLETELY CLOSED OFF. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS, AND THE EYE FEATURE SEEN IN THE RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY WHICH INDICATE A HIGHER INTENSITY. THE DECREASE IN EYE SIZE, ALONG WITH THE OVERALL INCREASE OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE EYE WALL MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST INTENSITY WAS ADJUSTED TO REFLECT RAPID INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD SLOWLY AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST. AS THIS TROUGH LIFTS OUT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITHIN THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4929 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627960-17076>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 23:27:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA42948; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:25:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9949098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:25:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA26792 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:25:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA08228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:25:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809301525.KAA08228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:25:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80f664656cca3d562e2fbc51e6c3d97d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 751 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 25.3N0 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.6N4 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.9N8 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.0N1 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 30.0N3 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.7N1 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 25.6N3 122.8E3. TYPHOON YANNI (14W) HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 281700Z8 RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU IN TAIWAN AS WELL AS ANALYSIS OF 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT, RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED AN EYE; HOWEVER, AN EYE HAS YET TO DEVELOP IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS, AND THE PERSISTENT EYE FEATURE FOUND IN THE RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTING A SLIGHTLY HIGHER INTENSITY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK OR INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:24:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628100-17073>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 05:15:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA29902; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:11:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9955481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA61968 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:10:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA19301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:10:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809302110.QAA19301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:10:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yanni (14w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e38e8f66d46bc0842af5e67bae483214 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 843 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 34.7N4 127.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 34.7N4 127.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.8N5 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 34.8N5 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 34.8N5 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 34.7N4 127.5E5. TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) HAS DRIFTED TO THE EAST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND 301730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, BOTH OF WHICH INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TS YANNI IS SHEARED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CHEJU ISLAND (RKPC), OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF SOUTH KOREA, CONTINUES TO HAVE THE STRONGEST WINDS (SUSTAINED 25 KNOTS) IN THE AREA. SYNOPTIC DATA IS INDICATING GRADUAL PRESSURE RISES NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS TO KEEP THE SYSTEM QUASI-STATIONARY WITH A SLIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST DRIFT. STEERING INFLUENCES ARE WEAK AS IT REMAINS IN THE RESIDUAL TROUGH IT CREATED. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER CHINA IS BEGINNING TO BUILD INTO THE YELLOW SEA AND WESTERN SOUTH KOREA. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD, TS YANNI SHOULD DRIFT SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING ALONG THE SOUTH KOREAN COAST. OVERALL, THE MOVEMENT IS QUASI-STATIONARY (2 KNOTS OR LESS). TS YANNI REMAINS IN A HIGH WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES INCREASING PRESSURES. AS SUCH, TS YANNI IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 07:27:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626400-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:21:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30296; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:18:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9959314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA10390 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:16:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:16:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010216.VAA25016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:16:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w (yanni) Warning Nr 025 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b47b18c46975c28842907be32348aaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 109 WTPN31 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WARNING NR 025 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N8 127.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 33.8N4 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.7N3 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 34.0N7 127.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) HAS DRIFTED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATION AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 302330Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND 010000Z1 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 20 KNOTS (RKPC). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) IS AN EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ITS DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) IS PRESENTLY DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER WEAK 700 MB STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHWEST. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM=S STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD EVENTUALLY SHIFT TO THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND OVER COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2575 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-5819>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:46:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45076; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:42:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9960121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:42:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA35212 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:42:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:42:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010242.VAA25543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 21:42:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w (yanni) Warning Nr 025 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9674c0985f8adbe46985a29da86248e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 502 WTPN31 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WARNING NR 025 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAOE WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 34.1N8 127.7E7 + MOVEM PAST SIX HOURS VNBUCUPDEGREES AT 03 ;(5- ? POSITION ACCUGATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTEM LOCATED BG SATELLITE - PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT9- 4.1N8 127.7E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS,)VALID AT: 011200Z48--- 33.8N4 128.2OKOH MAX SUSTAINEDIWINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALWD AT:9 - 020000Z2 -9,?99;7N3 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS KNB25 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO E TVER WATER REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 34.0N7 127.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANPI) HAS DRIFTED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. T E WARPPNG POSITION IS BASED ON 3023-0Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATION AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATITNS. THE WARNUNG INTENSITY IS VNBOONP302330Z1 EASUBT OPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORZHWEST. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM;S STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD EVENTUALLY SHIFT TO THE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YAN ) IS FORECAST TO CONT NUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT 8)) 43.-8, UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND OVZR COOL SEJ SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICAMT IE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 0113-1Z1) AND 0;:771+4 (DTG 011951Z27// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2769 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626049-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 06:58:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA64598; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:56:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10022225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62548 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:05:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010605.BAA28055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:05:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a73d7afd42e0e6244a81ff03d8e034b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 997 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627048-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:20:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44138; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9977886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA43454 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010619.BAA28159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef26eea821da552780a627d9b91a45b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 454 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627412-5819>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 15:41:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52228; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9980405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA38764 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010648.BAA28332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c59e13d4d1d42ecb00205f2f4101834b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 359 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626722-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 07:56:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA29828; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 18:54:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10024959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 18:54:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA10456 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:54:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010754.CAA28854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 02:54:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w (yanni) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1204872f969c976c198e2f8cb746e42b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 487 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 33.0N6 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.0N6 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.9N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 31.6N0 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 32.7N2 128.6E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 010530Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) HAS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION AND A 010021Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE 700 MB SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHWEST. THE MOST RECENT NAVY GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC MODEL (NOGAPS) FORECASTS THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. THEN, THE RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM=S SOUTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE FORECAST TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627302-5821>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 20:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA58872; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10002083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA36024 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011209.HAA00894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a665b4dd1e64f2d659360c389f31cf35 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 898 ABPW10 PGTW 011030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011030Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010751Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 33.0N6 128.3E1 MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 HAS RE-DEVELOPED FURTHER WESTWARD NEAR 13N4 113E5. A 010254Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED A REGION OF TROUGHING WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL VORTICITY. HOWEVER, THE PASS DIDN=T SHOW A DEFINABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THE TIME. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS WATER VAPOR WIND DATA FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ABOVE THIS AREA. THE ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DID SHOW THE PRESENCE OF SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT THIS IS FORECASTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, NOGAPS NUMERICAL PROGNOSTIC CHARTS FAVOR THIS AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4576 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-2419>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:54:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA42134; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10042817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40044 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020543.AAA24169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8b983987342dcf60a7de3f07bc58226 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 842 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 113E5 AND WILL BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. 020000Z2 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION EXISTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH 20 KNOT WINDS WITHIN 3 DEGREES SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A 012208Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 REMAINS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126N9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 154E0. THIS WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS HAD NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF LOW WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:59:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627406-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 15:54:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA42900; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:53:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10051410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:53:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA66162 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:53:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:53:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020753.CAA25350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 02:53:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 020651z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40563a46c0bb124c61abe6c1950abffe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 531 WTPN21 PGTW 020700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 020651Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 13.9N3 112.4E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 020530Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 112.7E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING BUT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ADDITIONALLY, A 012208Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SUGGESTS MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN THIS AREA. 020000Z2 SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS, HOWEVER, IDENTIFY A LARGE CIRCULATION WITH REPORTS OF 20 KNOT WINDS ALONG ITS PERIPHERY. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 030700Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 16:02:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1486 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-21863>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:24:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28232; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 01:23:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 01:22:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA57394 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 01:22:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 01:22:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030622.BAA20620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 01:22:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f9eb988a7fe8c36fd864e9358480c70 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 198 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.8N4 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.6N3 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.2N0 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 17.8N6 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.7N6 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVEB MQB RARUF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM NO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 16:02:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-21863>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 15:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29864; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29808 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030725.CAA21051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21ae96b00ed9630842a31ebc05c32cdb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 113E5 WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. IT IS NOW LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 124E7. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19N0 153E9. UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE LESS THAN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS HAD NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 17:53:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-21860>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 16:05:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA55712; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28292 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030804.DAA21553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b17d6ae6dd1bbb5f64c2a8d01a9ae961 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 231 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 113E5 WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. IT IS NOW LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 124E7. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19N0 153E9. UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE LESS THAN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS HAD NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 22:13:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626758-21862>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:50:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA33852; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:50:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10103382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:50:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA48876 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:50:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031350.IAA23904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:50:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 002 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ee3d3939e06a680e69132bbd2ce5a90 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 592 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 16.8N5 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 113.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.9N7 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.8N7 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.5N5 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.8N8 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.1N3 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 17.1N9 113.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA SEA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION IS VERY BROAD AND DIFFICULT TO FIX ON AT THIS TIME. AS SUCH WE=VE RELOCATED THE POSITION FURTHER NORTH BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM XISHA (WMO 59981) AND SANHU (WMO 59985) ISLANDS AND THE 031130Z8 SATELLITE ANALYSIS. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS (031130Z8). INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS IN THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE STRONG RIDGING AND MODERATE WINDSHEAR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN CHINA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, BUT DUE TO THE BROADNESS OF THE TROUGH, LACK OF ORGANIZATION, AND RELOCATION THIS PAST MOVEMENT IS QUESTIONABLE. B. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS UNDER A COMBINATION OF THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTEAST AND RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW SHOULD BECOME THE STRONG HIGH PRESSSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IN SOUTHERN CHINA. THEN WE EXPECT A MORE WESTWARD FLOW BELOW THE RIDGE AXIS. C. TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS CONDITIONS REMAIN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE. TD 15W SHOULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THE 12 HOUR POINT AND PEAK AS IT APPROACHES HAINAN ISLAND. LAND EFFECTS AND INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD LIMIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WIND RADII FOR A LARGE STORM IS USED TO BETTER REFLECT THE BROAD TROUGHING AROUND THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 01:44:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2021 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-21862>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 00:34:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30572; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:33:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10105481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30540 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:32:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031632.LAA25047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 002a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94d0b8616c117f356f27d28a3b5a10e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 779 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 AMD 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 002A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 14.9N4 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.7N3 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.4N1 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.0N8 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.7N5 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.9N8 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 15.1N7 112.6E0. AMENDED TO RELOCATE CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 150NM SOUTHWEST OF 031200Z6 WARNING POSITION. A 031249Z9 MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASS CLEARLY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 15N6 112.8E2. PRIOR TO THIS PASS WE HAD RELOCATED THE SYSTEM FURTHER NORTH BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM XISHA (WMO 59981) AND SANHU (WMO 59985) ISLANDS AND THE 031130Z8 SATELLITE FIX. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF THIS MICROWAVE PASS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. CURRENT INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS INCREASED AND BROKEN INTO TWO PRIMARY AREAS. ONE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF OUR WARNING LOCATION (OVER VIETNAM) AND THE OTHER TO THE NORTHEAST OF OUR NEW WARNING POSITION. ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE STRONG RIDGING AND MODERATE WINDSHEAR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN CHINA. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STRONGEST ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERAL OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. DUE TO THE BROADNESS OF THE TROUGH, LACK OF ORGANIZATION, AND RELOCATION THIS PAST MOVEMENT IS STILL IN QUESTION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND RIDGE TO THE NORTH IN SOUTHERN CHINA. WITH THIS MORE SOUTHERN TRACK 15W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WIND RADII FOR A LARGE STORM IS USED TO BETTER REFLECT THE BROAD TROUGHING AROUND THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 10:13:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626909-21860>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 03:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45388; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:54:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10107882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA62260 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:54:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810031954.OAA27488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 14:54:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa8f925418b88821690f5620cc0f4a50 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 748 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 15.4N0 112.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 112.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.1N8 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.8N5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 17.4N2 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 18.0N9 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.3N3 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 15.6N2 112.1E5. TD 15W=S CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED (031730Z4) AND MICROWAVE (031249Z9) SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. CURRENT INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE DEEPEST CONVECTION REMAINS NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE STRONG RIDGING AND MODERATE WINDSHEAR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN CHINA. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STRONGEST ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERAL OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. DUE TO THE BROADNESS OF THE TROUGH, LACK OF ORGANIZATION, AND PREVIOUS RELOCATION THIS PAST MOVEMENT IS STILL IN QUESTION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND RIDGE TO THE NORTH IN SOUTHERN CHINA. FORWARD MOTION SHOULD REMAIN 6-7 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE WIND RADII FOR A LARGE STORM IS USED TO BETTER REFLECT THE BROAD TROUGHING AROUND THE SYSTEM AND STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:06:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3959 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626391-4106>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 10:35:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA44048; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:33:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10111938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA64766 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:33:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040233.VAA00945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:33:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ea35b183a237fe788ea46aedbae1553 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 050 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.9N5 111.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 111.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.7N4 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.5N3 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.1N0 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.8N7 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.7N7 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.1N8 111.5E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION REMAINS CONCENTRATED ON THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE STRONG RIDGING AND MODERATE WINDSHEAR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. DUE TO THE BROADNESS OF THE TROUGH AND LACK OF THE SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION, THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. TD 15W IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 7-8 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL, TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:06:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-4101>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 10:51:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24514; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:49:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10112112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12208 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810040249.VAA01042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 21:49:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active T To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18ba94f6f89ccae559bb8d4118616af9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 250 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 01 ACTIVE T OPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTOWNED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGS WARNING POSITION: 0<(70MLAAA QTVO5 111.8E1 MOVEMENO QAST SIX HOURS - 310 DOGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTE LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA #PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MVLSUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS040 KT YEPEAT POSIT: 05.9N5 111.8E1 FORECASTS: +8-812 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.7N4 110.53U MAX SUSTNIJPFBCIJJIPKNB35 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300-DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRSVP VALID AT: 8=17771+5 --- 17.5N3 109.0E0 NLSUSTAINED WINDS WA PRP KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIU OF 035-;(5 28,$- - 200 NMMRTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 )) 7;- - OVER WATER #06:) 140 NM ELSEWHOYE OVER WATER VECTORITO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS 051200Z8 --- 18.1N0 107.8E6 ) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUST S 055 KT RADIUS OF 09? KT WINDS - 210 NM NO THEAST SEMICIYCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VEQTR P QWP NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 TR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID ATWC 07#800Z7 --- 19.7N7 104.5E0 0VAX SUSTWINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS LPRT CT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 0-0300Z7 PTSITION 16.1N8 111.5E8. TROPICAL DEPXEBNVP 15W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTSIFOR OHE PT 6 HOURU. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VQQ E SNMOBLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING WNTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BAFINDICATES PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE STRONG RIDGING AND MODERAOEIWUNF HEAR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. DUE TOTHE BRTADNESS OF THE TROUGH AND LACK OF THE SYSTEMDIFFICULT TO LOCATE. TD 192 8- >943:--5 59 .9;3 ,945#23-5296$ -5 7-8 NOTS THROUGHOUT THE PARIOD DUE TO THE STEERING INLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TOQITBLNORTH. TD 19W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER OCGANIZED AND INTENSIFY SLOWLXLUS ENVIRONMNTALICMBQMNS REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL, TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. XORECAST WIND RADII ARE BNBOGLON SYNOPTIC DATA AND CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 19#FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FORSADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEOICNF2.(80,.)040900Z3 (DTG 040751OKIV., 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 04PPZ7 (DTG 041951Z0)-A D 050300Z8 (DTGL050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 04 22:07:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-4104>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 22:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44268; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:01:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10116204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:01:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA57050 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:01:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:01:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041401.JAA05472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:01:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ead5f3c4433b90ee503c0216278a181 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 843 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 17.3N1 110.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 110.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0N9 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.4N3 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.5N4 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 17.5N3 109.6E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATION INDICATES TD 15W HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INCREASE IN SPEED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TD 15W IS FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN THAT INTENSITY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL NEAR THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE TD 15W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 01:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-4106>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 00:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA14764; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:26:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10117473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA45210 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:26:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810041626.LAA06531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:26:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 041621z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0f50bb182221a099efe2a4fa1f05f2d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 795 WTPN22 PGTW 041630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 041621Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.7N2 121.7E1 TO 24.7N3 124.7E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 041200Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N6 122.5E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE EAST COAST OF TAIWAN. 041200Z7 SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN THE WIND FIELD WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY 041237Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, PRESSURES IN THE REGION REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH IS ORIENTED EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG THE LOWER RYUKYU ISLAND CHAIN. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 051630Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 10:49:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1264 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626607-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 10:21:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA45734; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:20:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10123046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:19:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA09734 for ; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:19:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:19:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050219.VAA16560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:19:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23856bfac8389c36290e5d7170992b94 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 911 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 18.3N2 107.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 107.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.8N7 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.2N2 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 18.4N3 107.3E1. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY WHILE CONTINUING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 18 HOURS AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 14:20:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18924; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28370 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050618.BAA19335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c4dc52ed2898952c623d41e7d738cb1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 352 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041621Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 107.7E5 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 124E7 EAST OF TAIWAN IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 173E1 HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO MORE. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 28N0 126E9 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 50NM WEST OF THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS GOOD. HOWEVER, THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:02:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44100; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:02:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA37886 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050701.CAA19708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b47a4ca93faaecd6e5e1eef5d30e23f7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 473 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041621Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 107.7E5 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 124E7 EAST OF TAIWAN IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 173E1 HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO MORE. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 28N0 126E9 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 50NM WEST OF THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS GOOD. HOWEVER, THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627296-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:13:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA56848; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:12:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:12:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45558 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:12:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:11:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050811.DAA20329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:11:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d96c1f4ac18d31c8deabda17d88e3770 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 679 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 106.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 106.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.0N0 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.3N3 103.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 18.6N5 106.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TD 15W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627320-28309>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:15:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA44152; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:14:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45414 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:14:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:14:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050814.DAA20346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:14:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90b49e3d87cf5fd0ca993312030cc482 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 24.2N8 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 24.5N1 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 24.9N5 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.3N0 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 25.8N5 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.2N0 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 24.3N9 122.5E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS GENERATED FROM A VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN THE MONSOON TROUGH EAST-NORTHEAST OF TAIWAN. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME CONSIDERABLY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AS WELL. NUMERICAL MODEL DATA SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW THEREFORE TD 16W IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD. BY THE 36-HOUR PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTWARD AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS NORTH BECOMES ITS DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO HAMPER DEVELOPMENT AND ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO ONLY INTENSIFY GRADUALLY THROUGH THE 72-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 041621Z OCT 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 041630). NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2600 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:37:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45368; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:35:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA57376 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:35:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050835.DAA20475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 03:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1.-t Oiina Ztepresbi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa0582f65ddf8a37c5723f6d583ad05a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 103 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1.-T OIINA ZTEPRESBI ZHBAHMING NR ;09 02 ACTIGOLTROPICWLSCYCPONOBLIM NORTHWESTHAC MAXHSKICNIJPFNCIJJIPKNBM AVERAGE - MOVEVENT PAST SIXQNM <5 SATELLITE AND GYNOPTIC FATWMN 043-9;) 17.=-/=(>0KMQONKAAWPKBL MAX SUSTAINED WPNDS VNBQNUPT: VPIC B AIA POSIT: 18.5N4 106.8E5 FOROQM TS: 12 HGELN VELIDOT, MAXHSUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANTNTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS ;+ 24 HYS, VALID AO: 2 MAX SVBOKINTD WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 130 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 05090; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:17:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35126; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:16:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10128450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:16:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14606 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:16:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:16:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051416.JAA25180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:16:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7890776133446ee86f3e54602e9e746b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 527 WTPN32 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 24.6N2 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 24.8N4 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.0N7 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 25.3N0 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 25.6N3 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.9N6 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 24.6N2 122.5E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR TD 16W REMAINS GOOD. SYNOPTIC REPORTS IN THE REGION INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED STATIONARY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT THE LIMITED FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. TD 16W IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM A LOW-LEVEL RIDGE IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS IN A REGION FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT IS EXPECTED TO LESSEN. THEREFORE, TD 16W IS FORECAST TO ONLY REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 22:32:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627456-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:28:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA44292; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:27:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10128659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24524 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:27:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051427.JAA25480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82fe3d63e4d2c8ae64f3464078cfadea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 697 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 18.8N7 106.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 106.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.1N1 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 19.3N3 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 18.9N8 106.1E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS CONTINUED ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS TD 15W HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 6 KNOTS AS INTERACTION WITH LAND HAS INCREASED. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT TD 15W MAKING LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM NEAR THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 22:45:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1148 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627307-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:44:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14498; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:42:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10128908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA56970 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:42:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:42:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810051442.JAA25957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:42:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b289efd194c0259978db9bd33414fb5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 936 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS VNBOV9, 9,3-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 051200+8 --- 18.8FIPUCME KD ;2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 106.3E0 ;:;(.(2CPLSWPVR, ALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGVIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVMGGPJND VECTMJPTO 24 4 09-85: 285 DEG/ 0- KTS )24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z? --- 19.3N3 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSPTIXPHKIVON0 10;138.8N2.-53# QIQKOLANDHINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWHTGOW8:?<943--89, 15W HASHCONTINUED ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTEPFIOYIARE BASED ON PTQQEPZ0 PNFRNFOGLSATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATION SHOWS TD 15W HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARDHSVESDITOI6 ATS AS INTERACTION WITT LANF HAS INCREASED. THZRTFORE,,$ LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM NEAR THE 12 HOUR FOREKAST PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYET M IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFIQANT WAVE HEIGHT AT -51200Z IS 14-FEET.,REFE HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 06030; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:04:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA62310; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:02:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10133783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA61278 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:01:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810052101.QAA08203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:01:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f570e5c1eee70f9e8b629e9133b96ba9 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 676 WTPN32 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 24.4N0 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 24.5N1 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.7N3 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.9N5 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.1N8 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.4N1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 24.4N0 122.9E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE TRACK FOR TD 16W HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT A RECENT TREND OF VERY SLOW MOVEMENT EASTWARD. 051224Z04 MICROWAVE IMAGERY VERIFIED THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE EAST. ALTHOUGH THE GENERAL MOVEMENT HAS AN EASTERLY COMPONENT, THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT STEERING INFLUENCE. ADDITIONALLY, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN CHINA HAS INHIBITED ANY MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE WEST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE SYSTEM=S RECENT MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE WEST. THEREFORE, THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS A VERY SLOW, NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 16W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. AFTERWARDS, DEGRADING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1), 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR FURTHER DETAILS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627668-28314>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:30:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA58666; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:29:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10134291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA22038 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:29:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:29:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810052129.QAA08857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:29:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3977b01561a1023ecd407c47e6c06d1 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 032 WTPN32 PGTW 052100 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 24.4N0 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 24.5N1 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 4 S,P.AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.7N3 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627067-28314>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:37:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA58760; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:33:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10134326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:33:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA59254 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:33:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810052133.QAA08992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:33:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0955271b3a01cd6f4ae2a72bea2bf0e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 169 WTPN32 PGTW 052100 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 24.4N0 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 24.5N1 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.7N3 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.9N5 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.1N8 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.4N1 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 24.4N0 122.9E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE TRACK FOR TD 16W HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT A RECENT TREND OF VERY SLOW MOVEMENT EASTWARD. 051224Z04 MICROWAVE IMAGERY VERIFIED THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE EAST. ALTHOUGH THE GENERAL MOVEMENT HAS AN EASTERLY COMPONENT, THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT STEERING INFLUENCE. ADDITIONALLY, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN CHINA HAS INHIBITED ANY MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE WEST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE SYSTEM=S RECENT MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE EAST. THEREFORE, THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS A VERY SLOW, NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 16W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. AFTERWARDS, DEGRADING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND WEAKEN THE SYSTEM BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1), 061500Z2 (DTG 01353Z8) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR FURTHER DETAILS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED PHILOSOPHY DESCRIPTION// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24868; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:57:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10139021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA55564 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060156.UAA13299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 20:56:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d7b36ad767b7974b9bdf94d787ddcec Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 905 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 29.5N6 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTI DAT P E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626038-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 10:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA28654; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:29:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10139546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA10430 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:29:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060229.VAA13692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:29:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be019b2196c01a77b4e547caa8063ad3 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 566 WTPN32 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 24.1N7 123.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 123.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.2N8 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.4N0 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 24.6N2 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.8N4 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.1N8 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 24.1N7 123.0E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY JUST EAST OF TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO BE A RELATIVELY WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY, SPECIFICALLY, IS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 1.0 (25 KNOTS). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z I 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1), 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 10:40:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63660; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:37:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10139807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:37:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52714 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:37:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:37:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060237.VAA13852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 21:37:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b510be71d071e5138a95bc67a1dea0b7 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 707 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 29.5N6 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 30.5N8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 31.5N9 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 32.3N8 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 33.9N5 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 29.8N9 126.0E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA, VISIBLE SATELLITE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD PATTERNS, AS WELL AS A 30 KNOT SHIP REPORT. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REFLECTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING CONSIDERABLE UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT EVEN LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR TD 17W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:07:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA43568; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:04:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10140496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:04:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57370 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:04:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060304.WAA14248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:04:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mao Sustained Winds Vnboglon One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9cec294e7a0a04b9393034d7734728a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 127 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAO SUSTAINED WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARPING PMBWLION: 8 0)060000;+6 --- 29.5N6 1YMPE9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIC 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCUTEDPBYUSUTELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND GPICFPKICIK(--20(?) MAX SUSTJINED WINDS IQNUPKTZN GUS SI40 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 126.0E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200BHAAA EPMTN8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 070#-;- 31.5N9 1:/;959 MAX EUEPEOLWC9$)A PEQ KT, GUSTSPV40 KT 0;3:+94 59 3> HRSPOSIT( 035 >3; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:07:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA43710; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:06:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10140506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA45738 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:06:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:06:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060306.WAA14254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:06:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Z To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5197183d23ce2951381997334eeae8ce Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 142 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 PART Z O OF AT PARTS REFLECTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEWM THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING CONSIDERABLE UPPERELEVEL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT EVEN LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO FURTHER CNTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR TD 17CM MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4508 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626160-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:24:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39604; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:12:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10140559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39520 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:11:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:11:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060311.WAA14297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:11:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Winds Vnboglon One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2afe9e4cc0a992116f533ef50827f80 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 214 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARPING PMBWLIBN: 8 0)090;SV;;;MMPXVPE9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS - POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASEQXMN CENTER LOCUTEDPBYUSUTELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA (559;<;-,;W KGKPMXBGABC?-85: 29.-N6V39 FORECAITS: 12 HRS, VALID ATWC P NQQSXVVGAAA EVMTN8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 5-7/VOO VA EUEPEOLWC9?)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT 0?3:+94 59 3? HRSPOSIT( 035 ?3?/ 050( ;6 ? IEY V D - MA SUSTIIJPFBCIJJ IK KKMPAK; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:39:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12904; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:32:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA18774 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:32:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:32:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060332.WAA14553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:32:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Winds Vnboglon One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed4b00ba4cb430a7d436eed34790b6e3 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARPING PMBWLIBN: 8 0)090:SV:::MMPXVPE9# + MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS - POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASEQXMN CENTER LOCUTEDPBYUSUTLLITE AND ) SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6V39 FORECAITS: 12 HRS, VALID ATWQT P NQQSXVVGAAA EVMTN8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 5-7/VOO VA EUEPEOLWC9?)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT ? IQXLV D - MA SUSTIIJPFBCIJJ IK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(5 VEVGOAMM 48 YR??9?)45 DEG/ 04-?(54 ?8 8EXHXVSMOLOOK: - 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 128.0E1 WNVGH VECTOYIOOMW?4 09-851 45 GNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM 2 .0+(BOVKVVMN5-129.-VS91--KA AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTAFAS A SIGNIFIMWNT TROPCCUL CYCLONE OVER O WATER REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9. TROPPCAL DEPRESSION 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXO(LOVBLWARN NG POSITION IS NDLVEMMH IAPZ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:46:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA62786; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:45:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:44:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA52644 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:44:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060344.WAA14640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:44:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Winds Vnboglon One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81ffcaaa63cc52fcbd6e1f36e3cf749f Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 961 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARPING PMBWLIBN: 8 0)090:SV:::MMPXVPE9 -? MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES A T 05 KTS - POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POS ION BASEQXMN CENTER LOCUTEDPBYUSUTLLITE AND #) SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6V39 FORECAITS: 12 HRS, VALID ATWQT P NQQSXVVGAAA EVMTN8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 5-7/VOO VZ EUEPEOLWC9?)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT ? IQXLV D - MA SUSTIIJPFBCIJJMNZIK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(5 EVGOAMM 48 YR??9?)45 DEG/ 04-?(54 ?8 8EXHXVSMOLOOK: - 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 8)8.0EWQ WNVGH VCOOYIOOQKYB9-851 45 GNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM 2 .0+(BOVKVVMN5-129.-VS91--KA AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTAFAS A SIGNIFIMWNT TROPCCUL CYCLONE OVER O WATER REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9. TRONHCAL DEPRESSION 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXO(LOVBLWARN NG POSITION IS NDLVEMMH IAPZ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2907 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:56:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA62252; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:53:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:53:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA30232 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:53:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060353.WAA14695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 22:53:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Winds Vnboglon One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15f93b159de80c9bd128674322c6e3f5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARPING PMBWLIBN: 8 0)090:SV:::MMPXVPE9 - MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOUJS - 360 DEGREES A T 05 KTS - POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POS ION BASEQXMN CENTER LOCUTEDPBYUSUTLLITE AND ) SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6V39 FORECAITS: 12 HRS, VOBID ATMUCG P NQQSXVVGAAA EVMTN8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 5-7/VOO VZ EUEPEOLWC9)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT IQXLV D - MA SUSTIIJPFBCIJJMNZIK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(5 EVGOAMM 48 YR9)45 DEG/ 04-(54 8 8EXHXVSMOLOOK: - 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 8)8.0EWQ WNVGH VCOOYIOOQKYB9-851 45 GNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM 2 .0+(BOVKVVMN5-129.-VS91--KA AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTAFAS A SIGNIFIMWNT TROPCCUL CYCLONE OVER O WATER REMARJVKAAWPPYPEPPZ9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9. TRONHCAL DEPRESSION 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXO(LOVBLWARN VNG POSITIOP IS NDLVEMMH IAPZ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:03:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33942; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:02:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:01:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA41160 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:01:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060401.XAA14757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:01:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Winds Vnboglon One-mimuoogaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d82de7a43f2ce5726e5f466cabc0c79 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 218 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MIMUOOGAVERAGE WARPING PMBWLIBN: 8 0)090:SV:::MMPXVPE9 -? MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 BEGREES A T 05 AQIFGZ - POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POS ION BASEQXMN CENTER LOCUTEDPVQVPIICCIVE AND ) , SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6V39 ;))8FORECAITS: 12 HRS, VALID ATUFGZP VCQPVVGAAA EVMTN8 126.16P MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 591VOO VZ EUEPEOLWC9?)NQMUPJKNGUSTSGV40 KT ? IQXLV D -8 MA SUSTIIJPFB ,IQVPPXZ AAA EWMON4 8)8.0EWQ WNVGH VCOOYIOOQKYB9-851 45 GNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM 2 .0+(BOVKVVMN5-129.-VS91--KA AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTAFAS A SIGNIFIMWNBLMYOPCCUB CYCLONE OVER O WVER REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9. TRONHCAL DEPRESSION 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXO(LOVBLWARNF NG POSITION IS PWZNELVEMMH IAPZ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3812 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626343-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39608; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:03:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:03:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA45720 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:03:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:03:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060403.XAA14778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:03:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Winds Vnboglon One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6a9f1aa0c2e335d1d85e849c5bdb937 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 234 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDS VNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARPING PMBWLIBNH 8 0)090,;-;:::MMPXVPEBO TO WITHIN 060 NM POS IONBASEQXN CENTER LOCUTEDQBYUSUTLLITE AND ) SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6M39 FORAQAITS: 12 /#4-; VOBIGGATMUCG P NQQSXVVGAAA VMTN8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINE WINDS 5-7/VOO VZ EUEPEOLWC9)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT IQXLV D - MA SUSTIIKPFBCIJJONZIK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(5 EVGOAMM 48 6>9)-5 NKKGPRANTR 8 8EXHSMOLOOK: -- 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 8)8.0EWQ WNVGH VCOMIKVQJQVNICUIFMLGNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM -AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTP8 8>8.2,5 54.CUL VQLONE OVTC T WATER REMARJVKAAWPPYPEPPZ9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9;4 TROCHCALSGO43--89, 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXO(LOVBLWARN VV 09-85890 8- NDLVEMMH IAPZ E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626101-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:21:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA09914; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:19:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:19:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04262 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:19:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060419.XAA14862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:19:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Windswnboglon One,.8,753 -;34-<3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 761d530651a0567aab805962dcafcbe1 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 676 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDSWNBOGLON ONE,.8,753 -;34-<3 WARPING PMBWLIB 8 0)090,:-::::MMPXVPEBO TO WITHIN 060 NM POS IONBASEQXN CENTER LOCICOGJXPPICCCPCOLAND ) SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6M39 - FORAQAITS: 12 / 4-: VOBIGGATMUCG P NQQPVVGAAA VMTN: 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINE WINDS 5-7/VOO VZ EUEPEOLW9)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT VL IQXPV D - MA SUSTIIKPFBCIJJONZIK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(5 EVGOAMM 48 69)-5 NKKGPRANTR BAUPEXMQOLTOK: -- 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 8)8.0EWQ WNVGH VCOMIKVQJQVNICUIFMLGNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM -AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTP8 88.2,5 54.CUL VQLONE OVTC T WATER REMARJVKAAWPPYPEPPZ9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9:4 TROCHCALSGO43--89, 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXOK;;?)2-4,, VV 09-85890 8- NDLVEMMH IAPZ E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626343-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:28:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA62300; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:28:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA57416 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:28:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060428.XAA14917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:28:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Mam Sucnijpx Windswnboglon One,.8,753 -34-3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01825fabf7847c36205bae4773f51936 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 854 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 MAM SUCNIJPX WINDSWNBOGLON ONE,.8,753 -34-3 WARPING PMBWLIB 8 0)090,:-::::MMPXVPEBO TO WITHIN 060 NM POS IONBASEQXN CENTER LOCICOGJXPPICCCPCOLAND ) SYNOPTIC DATA 29.-N6M39 - FORAQAITS: 12 / 4-: VOBIGGATMUCG P NQQPVVGAAA VMTN: 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINE WINDS 5-7/VOO VZ EUEPEOLW9)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT VL IQXPV H - MA SUSTIIKPFBCIJJONZIK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(5 EVGOAMM 48 69)-5 NKKGPRANTR BAUPEXMQOLTOK: -- 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 8)8.0EWQ WNGH VCOMIKVQJQVNICUIFMLGNKKLPR KTS 72,HKMPAHLZ ATM -AH FTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTP8 88.2,5 54.CUL VQLONE OVTC T WATER REMARJVKAAWPPYPEPPZ9 POSITION 29.8NO QWBMPE9:4 TROCHCALSGO43--89, 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOTL LQPPWXOK)2-4,, VV 09-85890 8- NDLVEMMH IAPZ E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 12:47:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA10456; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:41:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10141951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26822 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:41:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:41:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060441.XAA15011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 23:41:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warping Pmbwlib To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b0924d3a52c5d2ec03ad1f01f2d3345 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 111 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 WARPING PMBWLIB 8 0)090,:-;:::OMPXVPEBTO CICXWN 060 NM POS IONBASEQXN CENTER LOCICOGJXPPICCCPCBLAND ) SYNOPTIC DATA - FORAQAITSVQ 12 / 4-: VOBIGGATMUCG P NXPVVGAAA VMTN: 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINE WINDS 5-7/VOO VZ EUEPEOLW9)A PEQ KT, GUSTSGV40 KT H VL IQXPV D - MA SUSTIIKPFBCIJJONZIK KKMPAKXPICBW03+(9 EVGOAMM 48 69)-5 NKKGPRANTR BAUPEXMQOLTOK: -- 48 HRS, VALID MMC 080000Z8 --- 32.9N4 8)8.0EWQ WNVGH VCOMIKVQJQVNICUIFMLGNKKLPR KTS QVL UWNHKMPAHLZ ATM -AH PTFSHJUBEH KT DISSIPWTP8 88.2,5 54.CUL VQLONE OVTC T WATER REMARJVKAAWPPYPEPPZ9 POSITION 29.8CO QWBMPE9: TROCMCALSGO43--89, 17WPS AELL AS A GEP KMOT LQPPWXOK::?)2-4,, NDLVEMMH IAPZ E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626517-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:54:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA15844; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:05:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 02:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA48740 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060656.BAA15905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0fca6ceff4c05199481c2bf2a05ad2e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 893 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 24.1N7 123.0E6, QUASI-STATIONARY EAST OF TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 126.0E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 126E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE AREA IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW AS WELL AS CONSISTENT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/SANCHEZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4965 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:47:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45610; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:45:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39188 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:45:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060845.DAA16711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:45:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c00c837e77951ee806000f67b41cceb5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 687 WTPN32 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 24.2N8 123.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 123.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.3N9 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.4N0 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 24.5N1 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 24.6N2 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 24.8N4 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 24.2N8 123.0E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY EAST OF TAIWAN. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA28522; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:53:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:53:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAB39256 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:53:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA16775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:53:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060853.DAA16775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 03:53:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7c17f64e4e31a2491397b4e7d58f091 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 751 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 29.7N8 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 30.4N7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 31.0N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 31.7N1 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.4N9 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 29.9N0 126.4E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EARLIER DISSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:07:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA17678; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:03:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA63228 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:03:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA16870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:03:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060903.EAA16870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:03:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03a7099c3efde85bceafc8191c69a68c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 898 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ) WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 126.2EQ >RECASTS;,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600O3 --- 31.0N4 127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:14:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA39330; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:13:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64656 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:13:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA16965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060913.EAA16965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:13:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83675b04770e17ef327b9d9926c59983 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 121 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ) WARMQNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NYVO I REPEAT POSIOPPOKLPR KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600O3 --- 31.0N4 127.4EDMNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,,?? EXTENEAO ONVCVVJPM OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9(?)?DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ VKUFTLPWT POKITPH 29;/>0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHY, ALTHOUGL J THE FOREVIH KIVEDWDHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z1 IS 12 FEET.8REKE VMO QKO VGZ FTIADDIT OOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 0?1.51Z2), 070300MKUP?5? 0707:Z:?0,?)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKCQMKIVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS ?)5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:15:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45578; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:14:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64752 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:14:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA16981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060914.EAA16981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:14:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5caefcf29fc7ecf3dea592bac3db8c31 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 141 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ) WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 KXPKWKT I REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 226.2E )RECAYTS,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINEX:8==80= 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT QGNLECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KZS OEF 070600O3 --- 30.0N<)127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , FISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIWIINT TQOPICAL CXCLOVOOVEG WATER VEAUKFBOM 36 6 8,0 5DOG/ 04 KTYO ,-6 HRS, VATIBLAQKUW S LKQPUCKQXG NDMCIV(9128.P VEFBLNXQINIKICANT T ROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTENEAO OUOWOOKXPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,9:YNVM QWCUEKRZPNXAFPYK CQVHV71,,XPUCBL13 AUF9()DIBNCQN MOGLAS APBWXNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WT POFITPMN 29.9P0 126.4E3. 8 60Z2 IS 12 FEET.8REFZR TOO 061500Z2 (DT 061+5126), 06:,0Z9 (DTG 01.51Z2), 070300MKUP5 0707:Z:0,)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQCCQMKIVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS )5 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:20:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52676; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA63134 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060918.EAA17007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37ee459a9c5f4fe185d98f76d710779c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 298 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART ONE OF TWO PARTS 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAI WOMUH1-1:/;2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITIOINAVUICVLWITHVPIPYP NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 9)025+OM TZ YJYHUBBONVLPXUICBTKKM M O P AAA FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 30.4N7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 (5, GPICBL099 KO VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT(0040 DEG/ 04 KOS 24 HR VN VWLID WT: 070600Z3 --- 31.0N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINTD WINJBBKNB25 QT, GUSTS 035 KT ;881,.2,=?0-878<,8WCIANTVOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOQNOOCMNBOIICKAIQNMLHEO/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z/ = 71C: 128.0;3;1 DISSIPATING AS AOCOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATE I VECTOR TO 48 HR P OSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OICCVMK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 8010600Z4 --- 32.4N9 128.7E8 MAX SPICNIJPFBCIJJIPKNB20 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 060900Z5 PVCPVN 2<.9N0 12/;4E9;9 OPIVAL DEPRESSION XLVOVINGLMKK BO WARD AT 03 KNOTS. TH TGM SQLMDV THE FORECAST PERIOD IS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EARLIER DISSIPOOION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO END PART 1 LA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:20:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA52702; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64710 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060918.EAA17011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:18:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41b1cd022e688f209f3249aa5097367b Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 299 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART TWO OF TWO PARTS 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 166:8,882- (WTPN32)PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDOOES.//D NC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:36:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54662; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:26:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:26:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37746 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:26:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060924.EAA17044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:24:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2723362439195b62bab5e817ada081a2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 394 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ? WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT; 29.7N- 126.2EQ RECASTS:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 03 AUFGZV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T A>/8;.-7(-8:;)$6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z6 --- 31.7N1 128.0E79 DISSIPATING AS A SIXNICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTENEAO OUOWOOKXPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,?9:YNVM QWCUEKRZPNXAFPYK CQVHV71,>XPUCBL13 AUF9(?) HIBNCQN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WT POFITPN W OMTMHWT QQQMXLVNMHZ#5 )TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8REFER TO WQPQBPGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEOLHEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT NYVODOCI V PZCMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI 0706;;99)--- 31.0C4 17.4SDVNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBL90-18/()(--80:,,?? OOENEAO ONVCVVJPV OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9(?)?DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850# 29?/?0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHY, ALTHOUGL J THENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-$9;8GEKEVMOO Z QAM ./6#AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 0?1.57Z2?, 070300MKUP?5? )0707:Z:?0,?)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKCQMK IVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS ?)5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:51:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA62242; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:48:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64766 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:48:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:48:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060948.EAA17213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:48:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52b2a6ba7a1bee6e65b77265411306a0 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 798 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ? WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKTN IXGEAT POSIT? 29.7N- 126.2EQ #3:--5-:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINEBLCIJJIPKNB25 KT, GUSTS 03 AUFGSV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T WX2PP88=)?6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z6 --- 31.7N1 128.0E79 DISSIPATING AS A SIXNICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTENEAO OUOWOOKXPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,?9:YNVM QC0,2=77=->06( CQVHV71,?XPUCBBQESAUF9(?) HIBNCQN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WT POFITPN W OMTMHWT QQQMXLVNMHZ?5 )TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOALEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLVNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8REFER TO WQPQBPGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEOLHEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT NYVODOCI V PZCMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI MOQQIQQKVMOLAAA EQMPC4 17.4SDVNOCKJJOMNOMKHJ WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS , 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBL90-18/()(--80:,,?? OOENEAO ONVCVVJPV OU 8948-VG.)VAQLMVILOMIIPUUFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9(?)?DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850? 29?/?0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHX, ALTHOUGL J THENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-?9?8GEKZVMOL Z QAM ./6?AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 0?1.57Z2?, 070300MKUP?5? -)0707:Z:?0,?)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKCQM K IVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS ?)53$-- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:53:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA33910; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:51:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA10334 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:51:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060951.EAA17226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:51:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36176e583fbba87e002676b680188919 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 834 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ) WARMQNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NYXH KI REPEAT POSIOPPOKLPR KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600O3 --- 31.0N4 127.4EDMNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 MCS> VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18CLKWNIUAAJB EXTENEAO ONVCVVJPM OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 UUF9(?)?DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ VKUFTLPWT POKITPG 29:/0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSVGAJ D L POJQVDHNPOGLON CENTE R BOCATZFBVXLSATELLITE L#0 PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 9)025+OM TZ VQHLBNVLPXUICBTKKM M O P AAA FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5#,80,74N7#126.8E7 MGSUSTACVGLWINDS - 025 (5, GPICBL099 KO VECTOR TO KCFBHR POSIT(0040 DEG/ 04 KOS 24 HR VN VWLID WT: 070600Z3 --- 31.0N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINTD WINJBBKNB25 QT, GUSTS 035 KT :881,.2,;?0-878,8WCIANTVOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER O VECTOQNOOCMNBOIICKAIQNMLHEO/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z/ = 71C: 27;:3:1 - JISSIPATING AS AOCOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATE I VECTOR TO 48 HR P OSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OICCVMK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 8010600Z4 --- 32.4N9 128.7E8 MAX SPICNIJPFBCIJJIPKNB20 KT,.GUSTS 030 KTX DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 060900Z5 PVCPVN 2.9N0 )12/:4E9:9 OPIAL DEP61-89, /);9;8/).;-0(;# WARD AT 03 KNOTS. TH TGM SQLMDV THOLFORECAST PERIOD IS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EARLIER DISSIPOOION. MAXIMUM SIRNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO END PART 1 LA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 17:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA23310; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:57:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA43772 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:57:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:57:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060957.EAA17255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:57:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvybqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86771ea8bb83d857711603eba1ae1a06 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 896 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYBQCMINUTEIAVERAGE WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT 29.7N- 126.2EQ RECASTS:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 03 AUFGZV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATINV UFIAMKMICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T A/8.-7(-8:)6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z6 --- 31.7N1 128.0E79 D1+20,.2.< -- - 77PICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HRIPOSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTENEAO OUOWOOKXPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,9:YNVM QWCUEKRZPNXAFPYK CQVHV71,XPUCBL13 AUF9() HIBNCQN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WTNPOFITVNN W OMTMHWTO WQQQMXLVNMHZ5 )TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGS TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8REFER TO WQPQBPGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEOLHEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT ODOCIOMXPZKMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI 070699)--- 31.0C4 17.4SDVNOCPFFVVNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..KT , GWSSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA PCXZQKQPWIQHKUOT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT GOPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBL90-18/()(--80:,, OOENEAO ONVCVVJPV OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9()DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CZCLG9)9.3 2-534 RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850 29/0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE MTHE I NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHY, ALTHOUGL O J TPEMURAUH KUSDWVIS HOENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-98GEKEVMOO Z QAM ./6AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 01.57Z2, 070300MKUP5 )0707:Z:0,)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKCQMK IVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS )5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4714 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626727-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:07:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA63210; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:59:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA23512 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:59:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060959.EAA17276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:59:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 521dfef77c9538158d6b2428fb450e03 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 962 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART TWO OF TWO PARTS )..XWA SIGNIFICAVT TROPCCAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850 29?/?0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTUX VCIJ UT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH N LOSOPHYG NOO UGL J THENFORAUH KKYJWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIKCCANT WAVE HEIGHOXAMQKVXGQMHKCLICAKPMMO Z C ./6 AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCFBQXKQVQTPPZ2 (DT 0/1:.1:/?, 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 0?1.57Z2?, 07QVPMKUPBTB )0707:Z:?0,?)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKQMK IVPQN;4 59 .304361(<# YW WARMIPGS ?)5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4800 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:09:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30386; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:04:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:04:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA63134 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:04:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:04:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061004.FAA17315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:04:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1df9cfb27915642c8ad2afa8cd0b2c52 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 052 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART ONE OF TWO PARTS MAX SUSTAINEDPCIJJPK;9>1;691:.8,7538-;34-<3 ? WARMCICWTR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N- 126.2EQ RECASTS:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 03 AUFGZV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM CPO N4 1(84E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATING JSNAHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T A/87.-7(-8::)6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z6 --- 31.7N1 1:8;E79 DISSIPATING AE LSTIX OWRSMECUSVQ G040900WT POFITPN W OMTMHWT QQQMXLVMMHZ FT 0TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIBWOPCWE OMHOHE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKVMH M THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE PEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8AR TO WQPQBPGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEOLHEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT NYVODOCI V PZCMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI 0706::99)--- 31.0C4 17.4SDVNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KYSJ 36)HCSN VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBL90-18/()(--80:,,?? OOENEAO ONVCVVJPV OU END PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4839 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:10:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA52426; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:09:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:09:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44216 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:09:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:09:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061009.FAA17334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:09:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Maxlsqicnijpx Windsbnmofqvyoqkvcmkteinerage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec912f3266d499723e6933d2a061397b Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 185 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAXLSQICNIJPX WINDSBNMOFQVYOQKVCMKTEINERAGE ? WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKTN IXGEAT POSIT? 29.7N- 126.2EQ ?3:--5-:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINEBLCIJJIPKNM25 KT, GUBOSH0QPK M VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKBXGNAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T WX2PP88;)?6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 4 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z6 --- 31.7N1 128.0E79 DISSIPATING AS A SIXNICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HC POLIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, )P EVXMN+7 97299(/ 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,?9:YNVM QC0,2;77;-?06( CQVHV71,?XPUCBBQESAUF9(?) HIVCQN O MOXGRSQAHX<(87MHHTROPICACYCLONE XVN:..96 RSMACKSVQ N G040900WT POFITPN W OMTVHWT QQQMXLVNMHZ?5 )TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOALEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE HO TTOFORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLVNFBGWSSIPATION. OAXIM LSIGNIFICANT WAVE HG VVJVV OU 8948-VG.)VAQLMVILOMIIPUUFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9(?)?DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850? 29?/?0 1-6.4E3. 9 TRMPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHX, ALTHOUGL J THENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-?9?8GEKZVMOL Z QAM ./6?AVPOP BOOA ZDEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126) 0Z9 (DTG 0?1.57Z2?, 070300MKUP?5? K IVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS ?)53?-- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626829-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:15:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA62094; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:14:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:14:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA12924 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:14:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:14:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061014.FAA17363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:14:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf97115aa2d587134f2279626f826946 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 318 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKTN IXGEAT POSIT 29.7N- 126.2EQ 3:--5-:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINEBLCIJJIPKNB25 KT, GUSTS 03 AUFGSV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, MIC I V GQR QWQ8 +FNIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPDK(1..(5 , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T WX2PP88;)6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z6 --- 31.7N QCIPOKIKGH 0DISSIPATOG AS OLSIXNICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTTNVHVUKQKKPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,9:XNMPQVPMVCRK CQVHV71,XPUCBBQESAUF9() HIBNCQN MOGLASVNBTIGNIFICAVT TROPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WT POFITPN W OMTMHWOHJ QQQMXLVNMHZ5 )TROPIQAL DEPCESSION 17Q C MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOALEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. HHERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH TMOWXOCECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYGVNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFIVANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8REFER TO WQPQBPGFW FOR ADXITIOVIKJPMOLHOWGHO INFORMATION. ,3/5 2-4,8,<- -5 NYODOCI V PZCMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI MOQQIQQWMOLAWOTBCXJ PQIRRDVNOCKJJOMNOMIQFGH WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS , 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVE WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBL90-18/()(--80:,, OOENEAO ONVCVVJPV OU 8948-VG.)VAQLMVILOMIIPUUFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9()DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CYKLONE OVER WATAR RSMIJIUVVMKBPWT POKITP WOXP QAYMRE3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYOVXMOH LOSOPHX, ALTHOUGL J THENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-98GEKZVMOL Z QAM ./6AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 0Z9 (DTG 01.57Z2, 070300MKUP5 -)077:Z:1?/2<0;; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:22:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA43692; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:19:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:19:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA52632 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:19:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:18:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061018.FAA17391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:18:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: (?) Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09d52814bd373f1a9a7e3ad2c218dfad Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 337 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 (?) MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ))WARMQNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NYXH KI REPEAT POSIOPPOKLPR KTS H 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600O3 --- 31.0N4 127.4EDMNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT VEKTOY TOS36)TC PMFITKNPET DEG/ 04 KTS HA# 36 MCS? VATID AQPPNXQVO WPVCMUKU1:20$.9 8)DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VEDTOR TM 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18CLKWNIUAAJB EXTENEAO ONVCVVJPM OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 UUF9(?)?DIBVCH N MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAT TCOPICNV CYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ VKUFTLPWT POKITPG 29:/0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSVGAJ D L POJQVDHNPOGLON KBNTE R XOCATZFBVXLSUTALVITXEGL?0 PWESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 9)025+OM TZ VQHLBNVLPXUICBTKKM M O P AAA FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5?,80,74N7?126.8E7 MGSUSTACVGLWINDUPA PWT AUAPGPICBL099 KO VECTVXLTO KQ;<4 09-85(0040 DEG/ 04 KOS 24 HR VN VWLID WT: 070600Z3 --- 31.0N4 127.4E4 ). END PART 1 8 LA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2011 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:29:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA10252; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:20:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:20:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA13048 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:20:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061020.FAA17403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:20:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Winjsbnmofqvyoqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35d3f6ccb83cddd58825652c30a07f3c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 362 WTPN31 PGTW 060500 MAX SUSTAINED WINJSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE PLWARMQNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPXHPZ:9.9 NYXH KI REPEAT POSIOPPOKLPR AQIFGZ .4 HRS, VALID AT: , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 MNSVATID AQKUALGV PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18CLKWNIUAAJB EXTENEAO ONVCVVJPM OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVV QWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 UUF9()DIBCC ZQN MOGLAS A SIGNIFPCAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVOY WATER RSMACKSVQ VKUFTLPWT POKITIO :9:/0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSVGAJ D L POJQVDHNPOGLON CENTE R BOCATZFBVXLSATELLITE L0 PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: .(?) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 9)025+OM TZ VQHLBNVLPXUICBTKKM M O P AAA FORECAUTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 067871+5,80,74N7126.8EU MGSUSTACVGLWINDS - 025 (5, GPICBL099 KO VECTOR TO KCFBHR POSIT(0040 DEG/004 KOS -4 HR VN VWLID WT: 070600Z3 --- 31.0N4 127.4E4 WKIIQNMWNPAIUINIWCIANTVOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER O VECTOQNOOCMNBOIICKAIQNMLHEO/ 048KTS 36 HRS, VULID AT( 071800Z/ = - KQYE PATING AS AOCOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATE I VECTMC TOL478H PH OSITBC PRP DEG/ 05 KOS 0 EXTENDED OPCCMK: 48 MRSK)VALID ATC 8010600Z4 --- 32.4N9 128.7E8 MAX SPICNIJPFBCIJJIPKNB20 KT,.GUSTS 030 KTX DISSIPATED AS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 060900Z5 PCWVN 2.9N0 )12/:4E9:9 OPIAL DEP61-89, /)98/).-0( WARD AT 03 KNOTS. TH TGM SQLMDV THOLFORECAST PERIOD IS SHORTENED TO RE?3:5 -, 3-4)834 $8--809989,. MAXIMUM SIRNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060.Z2 IS 12 FYOO. REFER TO END VART 1 9 LA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1716 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA17832; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:23:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:23:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA18802 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:23:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:23:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061023.FAA17414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:23:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98cda2be57bc9c20ab8857008e09a663 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 381 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART ONE OF TWO PARTS MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ? WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKTN IXGEAT POSIT? 29.7N- 126.2EQ 3:--5-:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINEBLCIJJIPKNB25 KT, GNBTS 03 AUFGSV VAQBMXBMSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T WX2PP88;)?6 ;#4 0;>85: #$5 DEG/ < -KTS L0, 36 HRS, VATID AQKUU 071800Z6 --:#.77N1 128.0E79 DUSSIPATING AS A SINICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18;:)(--80:,, EXTENEAO OUOWOOKXPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK KBVUIYPVFKULOCYNVM QC0,2;77;,11--)0:1;#;/71,?/UCBBQESAUF9(?) HIBCCV MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TRMPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WT POFITPN W AOMTMHWT QQQMXLVNMHZ?5 )TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOALVSIGNIFICANT TROPICNCBQYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 JBL90-18/()(--80:,,?? 8OBACEQOHONVCVVJPVR OU END PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:42:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA44186; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:37:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAB23428 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:37:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061037.FAA17506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:37:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: babffd3a03f8d31e8e9844f3682cd0a7 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 493 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART TWO OF TWO PARTS LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AUF9(?)?DIVQC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICWL CYCLO E OVER WATER RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850? 29?/?0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NM SIGNIFIVANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHX, ALTHOUGL J THENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-?9?8GEKZVMOL Z QAM ./6?AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 06:, 0Z9 (DTG PXQMTUZ2?, 070300MKUP5? /-)07; Z:?0,?)010.00)Y KHTVHKIQKCQM K YW WNFWPGS ?)53-- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626648-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:40:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAB63514; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA52232 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061039.FAA17512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:39:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Windsbnmofqvybqcminuteiaverage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9aa5aaffa131967fb1e41b2bade75ecc Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 525 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYBQCMINUTEIAVERAGE WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT 29.7N- 126.2EQ RECASTS1,922?-KPBVGBNMKKQOTHUUA EPMYN7 1278-8 MAX SUSTOWNEFIWINDS - 025 KT, (?9- 03 AUFGZV -VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ N 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLJAAIEQM P N4#127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT SSIPATINV UFIAMKMIPUNT TROPICJLNCMPVVZ TVR ZWTE LT A/8.-8(-8:)6 R PM25: 035 DEG/ 04 ICBH 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z/)--- 31.7N1 128.0E79 D1+20,.2.? -- - 77PICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATERO VOQTOR TO 8 HRIPOSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTENEAO OUOWOOKXPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK H KIIYPVF0,9:YNVM QQCUEKRZPNXAFPYK VMHV,0XPUCBLEHAUF9() HIBNVQN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAVT TROPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKUVQ G040900WTNPOFITVNN W OMTMHWTO WQQQMXLVNMHZ55 )TROPICAL DTPYESSION 17W IL MOVCNQLPMHTHSAUTWOY D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRQULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATEDSXVER THE PAST SIX HOKRS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGS TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8REFER TO WQPQBPGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEOLHEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT ODOCIOMXPZKMBGOSKOMCPC HRS. VALI 070699)--- 31.0C4 17.4SDVNOCPFFVVNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..KT , GWSSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL COCLOVE OVER WAMDRHOAX VEK T OY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, IA DEPRESSION 17W ISNVOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE MTHE I NO SIGNIFIVACTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHY, ALTHOUGL O J TPEMURAUH KUSDWVIS HOENOGLGO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM IK2>8:-,5 2-;3 #38<#5 -. 060600Z:02):-98GEKEVMOO O QAM .//-;090 BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAMIOP. NEXTTWURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 061+5126), 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 01.57Z2, 070300MKUP5 )0707:Z:0,)070.0;)Y KHTVHKIQKCQMK IVPQAKAR TO VEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS )5 Z NNMF +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3237 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:44:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13720; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA63618 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061040.FAA17520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa6365ee6b4a633459c36c17a56975ca Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 591 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART TWO OF TWO PARTS THOLFORECAST PERIOD IS SHORTENED TO REFCOQT AN EARLIER DUSKAPMOION. MAFIMBSIRNIFUKANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 1:?>335. REPER TO RT ONE OF TWO PARTS MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYOQCMINUTEIAVERAGE ) WARMQNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NYXH KI INREPEAT POSIOPPOKL4 (5- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 9 070600O3 -9,?970N481:84EDMNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATE T OUVMCS VATCD AQKUA VM APVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLOND OVERLWATER ;3:594 59 48 PR QBBWTVQPPRP DBGL98-ICLKWNIUAAJB MQII EXTECEAO ONVCVVJPM OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNALK KBVIIYPVFKUJBGCYNVVNQWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNOPUCBL13 UUF9(?)?DIBCC QN MOGLAS A SIGNIFUCAVT TROPICAL CXCLONE OVER WATER HSMACKSVQ VKUFTLPWT POWICUKBKCVQXP QAYMRE3. 9 TROPICAL DTPRESSIOP 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSVGAJ D L POJQVDHNPOGLON CENTE R BOCATZFBVXLSATELLITE L 0 PRESENT WIND DISORIBUTION: VQHLBNVLPXUICBTKKM M O P AAA FORECADOL: 1- HRS, VALID AT: >6787155 ,20,74N7 12/;7NKIFGOKBLLVGSUSTACVGLWINDS - 025 (5, GPICBL0 9 9 KO VZCTOG HOLFKUFB9-85(00=8 DEG/ 04 KVSM 24 HR VN VWLID WT: 7600Z3 --,970N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINTD WINJBBKNB25 QT, GUSTS 035 KT :881,.2,:?0-878,8WCIANTVOPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER O VECTOQNOOCMNXOIICKAIQNMLHEO/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: ;- 48 HRS, VULID AT: 8010600Z4 --- 32.4N9 128.7E8 MAX SPICNIJPFBCIJJIPKNB20 KT,.GUSTS 030 KTX DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 060900Z5 PVCPVN 2.9N0 )12/:4E9:9 END PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3184 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:44:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45746; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA63648 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061040.FAA17524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:40:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45755cb3c2d7d69a4bfa05f6ba010a29 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 592 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART TWO OF TWO PARTS )..XWA SIGNIFICAVT TROCKAL CYCLONE OVER WATER GSVACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850 29?/?0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTUX VCIJ UT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH N LOSOPHYG NOO UGL J THENFORAUH KKYJWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIKCCANT WAVE HEIGHOXAMQKVXGQMHKCBICAKPMMO Z C ./6 AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCFBQXKQVQTPPZ2 (DT 0/1:.1:/?, 06:, 0Z9 (DTG 0?1.57Z2?, 07QVPMKUPBTB )0707:Z:?0,?)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKQMK IVPQN?4 59 .304361(?? YW WARMIPGS ?)5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3010 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:41:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA16890; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:41:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:41:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA64738 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:41:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:41:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061041.FAA17533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:41:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c6fe1496efef39a483aca558ed6e028 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 593 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART TWO OF TWO PARTS )..XWA SIGNIFICAVT TOPCCAL CYCLONE OVEQ CNMOY RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850 29/0 1-6.4E3. 9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTUX VCIJ UT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH N LOSOPHYG NOO UGL J THENFORAUH KKYJWGGIS SHORTENED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMI SIGNIKQMPT WAVE HAUHOXAMQKVVGQMHKCLICAKPMMO Z C ./6 AVPOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCFBQXKQVQTPPZ2 (DT 0/1:.1:/, 06:, ;+9 (DTG 01.53Z2, 7QVPMKUPBTB )0,18+:0,)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKQMK IVPQN4 59 .304361( YW WARM PXL QT IL AA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3397 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA55716; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:43:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144388 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:43:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA30352 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:43:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:43:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061043.FAA17562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:43:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of Two Pcicbv To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce5dc9c495f22c6c76292f55a73c00f5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 625 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART ONE OF TWO PCICBV MAX SUSTAINED WINDSBNMOFQVYBQCMINUTEIAVERAGE WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT 29.7N- 126.2EQ RECASTS:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOO AAA EVXQM7 126.8.3)7 MAX SUSTAINED WINJFH- 0+5 KT, GUSTS 032AUFGZV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQCFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKBT NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1..KT , DISSIPATINV UFIAMKMICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T AWMAUKAICLY HR PMFPT: MM DEG -48 MGS, AWCM ALK KBVIIYPVF0,9:YNVM QWCUEKRZPNXAFPYK CQVHV71,XPUCBL13 AUF9() HIBNCQN MOGLAS A SIGNIFICAM TROPICACYCLONE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WTNPOFITVNN W OMTMHWTO WQQQMXLVNMHZ5 )TROPUCAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPVHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCNCNMWON HAS BECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE ISINO SIGNIFICZNT CHANGS TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKCGH THE FORECAST PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIVATION. ODOCIOMXPZKMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI NSGWISIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WATER VEKTOY OOQ36 HR PMFIO: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS PCXZQKQPWIQHKUOT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT GOPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 H POSIT: 040 DBLMPAQIXKLKAAIPVNN OOENEAO ONVUVFM OU 8548 MGS, VAWCMNOBK END PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626648-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:55:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA26862; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:49:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA55772 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:48:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061048.FAA17594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:48:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Partltwonof Two Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13e9fa91f5af9cb117d3e0e92a8223a2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 691 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PARTLTWONOF TWO PARTS OOGLAS OLSIGNIFICAVT TROPICAL CZCLG9)9.3 2-534 RSMACKSVUVVW/)025 09(850 29/0 1-+ ;3;9= TROPICAL DEPRESSION UWHIS MOVINQLPMHOHSAUTCNKGLNVGKNPKNOTS. THE MTHE I NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOPHY, ALTHOUGL O J EMURAUH KUSDWVIS HOENED GO JEFLEQTNAN ONXBPNFBGW SIPATION. MAXIVUM UIK2>8:-,5 8-;30#38<#5 -. 060600Z:;:(-.8GEKEVMOO Z QAM ./6AMPO NLBOOA DEOLHMIKUCXCJAGMAOION. NEXT CUF/1/-:<#-061500+;:+$5 06165CUC)06:, 0Z9 (DTG 01.57Z2, 070300VPIQKMH )0,10+:,)070.00)Y KHTVHKIQKCQMK NRIVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMIPGS )5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 18:57:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15650; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:51:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15616 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:51:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061051.FAA17603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:51:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Ofptwo Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a4be14fb6f2f15250bdf2245b9fcaf6 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 739 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART ONE OFPTWO PARTS MAX SUSTAINEDPCIJJPK91691:.8,7538-34-3 WARMCICWTR N XLF PYPYPPZ:9.9 NXLCWKT I REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N- 126.2EQ RECASTS:,982+-KPBXGBNMKKQOT AAA EPMRN7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDY - 025 KT, GUSTS 03 AUFGZV VAQBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKUAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM CPO N4 1(8; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 19:03:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA16894; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:58:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA25056 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:58:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA17680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:57:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061057.FAA17680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:57:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Ofitwo Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 920175e053975809c18468724af56495 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 789 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 PART ONE OFITWO PARTS MAX SUSTAINEDPCJ T NAAINED WLMDYHKITLTBGPEK(1;;KT , DISSIPATING JSNAHS G KICANM TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T A/87.-7(-8::)6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z67--- 31.7N1 1:8:S,;. DISSIPATING AE LSTIX OWRSMECUSVQ G040900WT POFITPN W OMTMHWTD QQQMXLVMMHZ FT ROPICAG DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINLPVHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIMHABLBECOME ELONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIBWOPCWE OMHOHE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOIKVMH M THE FORECAST QERIODHIS SHORTENEDLTO KVMAUPN)3-6)0>>?<2--80-589,. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE PEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET.8AR TO WQPQBPGFW FOR AFDITIONAL SEOLHEIGHT ICFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT NYVODOCI V PZCMBGOSKOMCPC HRS,8VALI 0706::99)--- 3MPC4 17.4SDVNOCKJJOMNONIED WLMDXGWICCMVXPEK(1..?CKV , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCWOVT OVER WATER VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 GOX,0-0(6-( 36)HCSN VATI AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1MH DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPI?116:9.$ ;TR WATER OOENEAO ONCVJPV OU END PARTH1 A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-9466>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 19:06:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA52558; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:05:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:05:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA30262 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:05:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA17740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:05:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061105.GAA17740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:05:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: - 0dissipatog As Olsixnicfo Eropical Cy To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5bdcab50d84f7d250a8d7b50b984e01 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 868 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 - 0DISSIPATOG AS OLSIXNICFO EROPICAL CY KLONDIOVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HR POSIT: 040 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, EXTTNVHVUKQKKPH 48 MGS, VAWCM ALK K;886#.>20,9:XNMPQVPMVCRK CQVHV71,XPUCBBQESAUF9() HIBNCQN MMGLASNBTIGNIFICAVT TROPICACYCPMNE OVER WATER RSMACKSVQ G040900WT POFITPM W OMTMHWOHJ QQQMXLVCMHM5 )TROPIQAL DPCESSION 17Q C MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWAR D AT 03 KNOTS. THE LOALEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME EBONGATED OVER THE PAST SIX YOURS. HHERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANG TOPBPOLKORECAST PHI OETHHY: ALTHOIKCGH TMOWXOCACASZ PERIODHIS SHORTENED TO REFLECT AN EAYGVNFBGWSSIPATION.9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFIVANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 PEET.8REFER TO WQPQBPGFW FOR MVWOIOVIKJPMOLHOWGHO INFORMATION. ,3/5 2-4,8,?- -5 NYODOCI V PZCMBGOSKOMCPC HRS, VALI MOQQIQQCMLAWOTBCXJ PQIRRDVNOCKJJOMNOMIQFGH WLMDXGWCCCMVVPO(1..KT , DISSIPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICAL CXCLOVE OVER WNMOY VEKTOY TOS36 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS , 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA V PVCXZQVKUPQCIPE1.9 DPSSIPATING AS A SIGNWFIANT TROPICAL CYCLONDHMVENP WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DBG90-70()(--8;:,, OOENEAM ONVCVVJPV OU 8948-VG.?VAQLMVILOMIIPUUFKUJBTCHNVV QWCUEWZVCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBLK TP9()DUBCC QNTWPMOXWABLA SIGNIFICAVT TYOPICAL CYKLONE OVER WATAR RSMIJIUVVMKBPWT POKITP WOXP QAYMRE3. ATHE RE IS NO SIGNIFICANTUCGOVXMOH LOSOPHX, ALTHOUGL J RLTHENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTOPED GO JEFLEQT AN EAYBPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 060600Z:02):-98GEKZVVOL Z QAM ./6AVHOP BOOA DEOLHEIGHT INFOGMAOION. NEXT WURNGCXBQ#-0/7:71:(:?$5 061+51+6?. 299)(DTG 01.57Z2, 070300MKUP- -)077:Z:1?/2?0??Y KHTVGWPQW7 K IVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW CMRMIVGS )53-= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 19:06:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA52636; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:06:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10144670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:06:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA37770 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:06:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA17744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061106.GAA17744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 06:06:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warmwngfukmicwzr To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a04345200e81161bb32bbabcc9855e09 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 877 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 WARMWNGFUKMICWZR N X N PYPYPPZ:-.9 IXGEAT POSIT VVVUN- 126.2EQ 31;:::--82+-KPBXGBNMKKQOTQNNBO.4,7 126.8OUN L MAX SUSTAINEBLCIJ80 M VAPBMXBOSY8DEGX PR AQIFGZ 24 HRS, VALID ACKAAWPKBL PUPYVPOLAAA EQM P N4 127.4E AAWIKXXGNAAINED WLMDYHKITLBGPE(1..KT , DISBQPATING AS AHSIGNIKICANT TROPICALNCXPVVZ TVR ZWTE T WX2PP88)6 HR PMFIT: 035 DEG/84 KTS 36 HRS, VATID AQKUA 071800Z68--- 31.7N:028.0E79 DISSIPATING AS A SIXNICFO EROPICAL CYCLOND OVER WATER VOQTOR TO 8 HC POLIT: 048 DBGL98-18/:)(--80:,, )Q OXMP.88(0;99(/ 2)41 VGBO MKMLALK KBVIIYPVF0,9:YNVM QC0,277-06( CQVHV71,XPUCM 8.48-VGMLVAQLMVULOMWIPUUKKIJBGCYNVVNQWCUEKRZPCXAFPYK LCQVHVUQNNXPUCBL13 AAF9()BUBCKH QN MOGLAS A SIGNIPICAVT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERSVNAAWPRSMACKSVUVVW?)#)5 09 ( 850 29/0 1-6.4OKOV ML9 TRMPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVINQLPMHTHSAUTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANTSCYAMXMOH LOSOQHX, ALTHOUGL J THENFORAUH KUVEDWGGIS SHORTENED GO AEFLEQT AN EAYLPNFBGWSSIPATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AM 0606PBCQWLCAOIGEKZVMOL Z QAM ./6-PMP BOOA ZDEOLHEIXHT IN.<.-989,. NEXT WURNGCXSCGHAPYQTPPZ2 (DT 0-1+-126) 0Z9 (DTG 01.57Z2, 070300MKUP5 K IVPQAKAR TO MEPRESBWON YW WARMI<1 )53-= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 22:03:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA58730; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10146048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26676 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:57:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061357.IAA19981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 08:57:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da3aba356e5a36fea3816eee19ba6cdc Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 321 WTPN32 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 24.5N1 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.6N2 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 24.7N3 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.9N5 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.0N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.2N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 24.5N1 122.9E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 061130Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY EAST OF TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER SOUTHERN CHINA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER THIS WEAK STEERING THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD ENCOUNTER INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH WILL INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627621-9458>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 22:22:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA13646; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:21:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10146275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:21:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA43766 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:21:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061421.JAA20598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:21:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51532be12f8f5660d0c4f5fe0638bcb7 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 785 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-9458>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:12:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA34920; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:09:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10148037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:09:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA62804 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:09:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:09:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810061609.LAA24391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 11:09:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6aed1993cd15351c028702c4fdbc6ec3 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 765 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 RTD 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 29.9N0 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 30.2N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 30.6N9 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 31.3N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 30.0N3 126.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061132Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS IS BASED ON TWO SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOTS (TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE) WHICH INDICATE 25 KNOT (ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE) WINDS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ITS DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED 123 NM TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS UNDER LOW-LEVEL STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH WILL INHIBIT INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-9467>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 04:26:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39950; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:24:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10150892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:23:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40120 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:23:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062023.PAA02008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:23:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9942b4b0c99a6e1079f01659b45e732 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 402 WTPN32 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 24.8N4 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 25.0N7 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.2N9 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 25.5N2 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.7N4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.0N8 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 24.9N5 122.7E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 061730Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. RECENT ANIMATED IMAGERY SUGGESTS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS BEGINNING TO EXPERIENCE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COME UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-9467>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:19:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA33924; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10151685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:17:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA53104 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:17:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:17:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062117.QAA04012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:17:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61c178e2945f8dccd60174f12bbdfa50 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 505 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 30.0N3 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 30.2N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 30.6N9 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.0N4 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 30.1N4 126.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOUR S. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627640-9466>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:25:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA59212; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:25:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10151780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:24:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA54540 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:24:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:24:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062124.QAA04216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:24:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9ce496982221732d9aec47689e25fc4 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 920 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 30.0N3 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 30.2N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 30.6N9 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.0N4 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 30.1N4 126.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOUR S. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-9467>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 05:28:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA64524; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:27:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10151795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26874 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:27:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810062127.QAA04264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 16:27:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48dc4b6637a328bde71c071f0e2a50cf Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 077 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 30.0N3 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 30.2N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 30.6N9 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.0N4 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 30.1N4 126.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 061800Z5 SYNOPTIC FIX AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE 061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE FIX. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL AND HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO FIX USING INFRARED IMAGERY. ALL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS SHEARED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626549-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:04:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA64334; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10156220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA12836 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070250.VAA09772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:50:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97535a3ac7c387589edd54b91f3dbbfd Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 090 WTPN32 PGTW 070300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 25.2N9 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 25.8N5 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 26.3N1 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 26.8N6 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 27.2N1 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 27.9N8 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 25.3N0 123.5E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS BEGUN TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 062330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SLOW PROGRESSION TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4064 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626549-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 10:58:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA59292; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10156235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38784 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070252.VAA09796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 21:52:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aefb2385f7fa0f4081a920ca11b08c8a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 114 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 30.1N4 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 30.2N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 30.1N4 126.4E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W HAS LOST ITS LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IN CONJUNCTION WITH A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE. IT IS CONSIDERED DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625985-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:28:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42806; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59162 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070622.BAA12180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c78a57dd9253e14c791f19b954b5803 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 098 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/?/BMG/NAVPACMETOC01) )T4 70151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98/+A,RAF A AND B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:29:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA42858; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA33854 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070723.CAA12520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1eec30066a45a6a4f02c8afd57f1078 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 920 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/?/BMG/NAVPACMETOC01) )T4 70151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98/+A,RAF A AND B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:50:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26684; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:33:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAB12836 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070732.CAA12581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3d5d9e847a3e497d51ddac1494a9f52 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 100 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW- LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626871-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:04:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53034; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53010 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070755.CAA12695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bb9121b53d67ad5d302591d6565f0b4 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 331 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:36:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA41136; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:24:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10159052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59184 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:23:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:23:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070823.DAA13053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:23:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0013de3f009e7b748218f7ef0062226 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 823 WTPN32 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 25.5N2 123.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 123.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 26.2N0 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.8N6 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 27.4N3 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 28.1N1 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 25.7N4 123.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO MOVE INTO AND WITH THE FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST GOES OUT TO 48 HOURS, THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL NOT SURVIVE INTERACTION WITH THE FRONT AS A SEPARATE ENTITY FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. TD 16W IS BECOMING DIFFICULT TO POSITION AS CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS DISRUPTED. THE FORECASTED MOTION IS INCREASED NEAR 36 HOURS TO REFLECT INCREASED LOW-LEVEL FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AN H R: (:S080753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626912-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:44:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63948; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:41:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10159205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA64346 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070839.DAA13216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35e01fdee670032829701b70ca49e13a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 077 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW- LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:54:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA53100; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:52:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10159271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA53062 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070850.DAA13331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f55f360cd5bd67fa48fe832c1c53fad2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 242 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1140 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 22:53:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54650; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10162296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39270 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071452.JAA18406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96183c3eb9959e401aef1769eb00ee77 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 046 WTPN32 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 25.7N4 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 124.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 26.3N1 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 27.0N9 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 27.6N5 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 25.8N5 124.8E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 070530Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, 070900Z6 AND 071200Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W NO LONGER HAS ANY CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ITS LOW-LEVEL AND CANNOT BE LOCATED WITH INFRARED IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION HAS SHEARED TO THE EAST WITH THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS BEING STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST AND THIS SHOULD PROVIDE THE STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS IN A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SO. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627255-14069>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 03:51:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24570; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:49:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10166711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:49:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA48854 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:49:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:49:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810071949.OAA28790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:49:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0db51df5fee13c9f566135f61b0e2b8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 998 WTPN32 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 25.9N6 125.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 125.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.4N2 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 27.0N9 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 26.0N8 125.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM LAST SATELLITE FIX AT 070530Z5, ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 071800Z6 SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 071800Z6 SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER AT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4432 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626189-14069>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:36:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA33852; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10168006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA53020 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA01989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810072133.QAA01989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9558823643a604fb0dec6d291dfacd1d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 932 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SUSPECT AREA POSITION PARA 1.B.2. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/SANCHEZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627153-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 14:55:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64334; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:41:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA37646 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080640.BAA10440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0eb205a70d2f3f474043629e6ad49274 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 376 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071953Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 114E6. THE CONVECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAIN LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS WEAK TO MODERATE. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 149E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LANDER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:59:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30288; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA46382 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080956.EAA12358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bpkkvsignificant Trohical Weather Advisory Foj The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4375ffd7621c521440f1946fa469d78c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/XEN.0;/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// BPKKVSIGNIFICANT TROHICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOJ THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEANWHPPZ/080608BWOCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEUT GU/070151Z ORT 98// REF/BKRMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIN- RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NO TH QFQFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): OPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCOOED ATOKCMVWN9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM H SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSOFUOXP40 KNOTS. SEEHDTRO)- (WTPN 3 2 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) 8)0070000ZUUTROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 0<52 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DILTIKVN13 -7.;-66: < (1) THE AREA OFIQONVEVTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOVLMONFGH 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117EGO AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGHKLANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUVM TTZ CONVECTION IS SPORADIC ANFCGQPKWUVWZED. ANIMATED WATER VUPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS NJPVMBISXIMUM WINDS A R E ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. TH POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVEBOPMENT OA:088(2>81-,5 54908:-) :6:)9,3 285#8, THE NEXT 248PMIPIIPIIUKVY. (2) NO OTHR SUSPEVOVMEAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIN AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS CN2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. NWUATOGLWATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATESXHXQMA0;)8,34 - LEAL DIVERGENCE OVEY THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAIVED WINDS ARE ELTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM UEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 10;8MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCPMNE WITHIN THE NEXO 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// IHRPE QPQIW WY O::;)40145 5700=;.:817601 42970 00000 10197 20136 40136 56005= 17609 425:0 02902 10186 20151 30136 40138 55003= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627177-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:49:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA33800; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:40:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10174435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24482 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081239.HAA13956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d44db99e1d3f28d498c2d5457de2ac65 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 888 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071953Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 114E6. THE CONVECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAIN LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS WEAK TO MODERATE. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 149E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LANDER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627158-26108>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 14:25:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39264; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62534 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090623.BAA08079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27b302404785c1bf624fd754bff1c3d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 034 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090629Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN30 )C #O A$NINSULA): A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626986-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 15:09:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA66080; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39170 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090657.BAA08234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65dd31c702197c03662bb0f8a68503a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 854 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090629Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN30????? )C ?O A?NINSULA): A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-28859>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 04:24:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30912; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 15:19:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10185201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 15:19:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA59814 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 15:19:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 15:19:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810102019.PAA19211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 15:19:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f429d085c65b398148ff9907846bb4cf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 853 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 10.3N4 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 10.1N2 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 10.4N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 10.9N0 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 11.6N8 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.4N8 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 10.3N4 137.8E9. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 101800Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON 101730Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. AS TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) FURTHER INTENSIFIES, ITS TRACK SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE ON A MORE NORTHWESTWARD COMPONENT. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 101800Z0 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM PTYA (YAP). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3390 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626502-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 07:13:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA47962; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:34:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10185580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:34:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA59202 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:34:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810102234.RAA20504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 17:34:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0bc309c3b57078b9debef42cdc7e1f36 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 098 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 001 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 14.3N8 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.3N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.2N9 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.9N6 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.2N0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.9N5 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 14.6N1 144.3E2. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS A VERY SMALL MESO-SCALE TC THAT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS WITHIN THE INFLOW OF TS ZEB (18W). THIS INDEPENDENT WARNING IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY OF TS ALEX=S (19W) VORTEX; A 1955Z 40 KNOT SUSTAINED WIND OBSERVATION FROM ROTA (WMO 91221) AND AN 1855Z 25 KNOT FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232). THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE SUPPORTED BY THE ABOVE OBSERVATIONS AS WELL AS 2030Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SMALL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRAVEL WITHIN THE INFLOW OF TS ZEB (19W) THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE RELATIVELY HIGH FORWARD MOTION IS DUE TO THE FORWARD MOTION OF TS ZEB (19W). THIS WARNING IS BEING ISSUED EARLY DUE TO THE IMMEDIATE NATURE OF THE DATA SUPPORTING WARNING CRITERIA. AN AMENDED WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT THE STANDARD SYNOPTIC TIME, WITH REGULAR 6 HOURLY WARNINGS ISSUED AS NECESSARY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 102200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:46:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA63064; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:38:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:38:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA42028 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:38:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:38:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110238.VAA22039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 21:38:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ecedcb91042b288eeb41215924eb8b68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 609 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 10.3N4 137.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 137.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 10.1N2 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.7N8 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.5N7 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.4N7 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.3N8 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 10.3N4 136.8E8. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS BETWEEN DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) AND CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, ALTHOUGH VARIABLE FORWARD MOTION IS APPARENT, LIKELY DUE TO RIDGE MODULATION BY MID- LATITUDE TROUGHS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627057-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:19:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA54952; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:19:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:19:14 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA64656 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22006 for ; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:19:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA22316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:12:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110312.WAA22316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 22:12:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c73c95b011b71d3e0c0a0c48009e1092 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 156 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 AMD REC SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 001A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 14.3N8 143.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 143.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.1N7 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.0N7 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.4N1 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.3N0 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.6N2 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 14.5N0 142.6E3. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. THIS WARNING, IN ADDITION TO BEING AN AMENDMENT TO THE WARNING ISSUED THREE HOURS AGO, IS ALSO A RELOCATION. THE SYSTEM, AS FIXED USING RADAR IS REPOSITIONED APPROXIMATELY 2.5 DEGREES WESTWARD, PARTIALLY DUE TO HIGH FORWARD MOTION OVER THE LAST THREE HOURS, MOSTLY DUE TO VISIBLE IMAGERY AND RADAR POSITIONING. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ACCELERATED TO REFLECT THE HIGHER CURRENT SPEED. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TS ALEX (19W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN THE INFLOW AND EVENTUALLY BECOME ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY SHEAR FROM TS ZEB (18W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW3 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:21:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23120; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:20:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:20:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59650 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:19:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:19:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110619.BAA23765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:19:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1742e75053c936a24cfc1ff5a22324d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 496 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2961 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:55:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA59856; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:54:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59774 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110653.BAA23853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2429757eb50b7c455455f0d46c35d205 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 363 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 147.3E5 AND MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 143.4E2 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300 AMD REL) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-22732>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:05:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA48804; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:04:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA48722 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA23966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110703.CAA23966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ac7d7b8f22fac0822f5e054216e1378 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 558 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4314 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA46518; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:19:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46434 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110817.DAA24373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c04b7e7c13cd0d576b40a9ff19529bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 889 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 147.3E5 AND MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 143.4E2 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300 AMD REL) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627184-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:51:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63078; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:50:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46566 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:49:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110849.DAA24453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:49:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Alex (19w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 554259c8b6004c1fc09b519dd9e305a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 263 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 15.0N6 141.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 141.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.2N9 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.4N2 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.3N1 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.3N0 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 15.3N9 141.1E7. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) REMAINS WITHIN THE INFLOW PATTERN OF TS ZEB (18W) MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT IS MAINTAINING SUSTAINED DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION AND A WELL ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL PATTERN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 110530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR FIXES. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK OR PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4),112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:52:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63124; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:52:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26450 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:50:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110850.DAA24457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:50:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49e1ee9debaae38ba71283b44517dba0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 278 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 10.7N8 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.3N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.1N4 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.0N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.9N3 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.7N3 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 10.9N0 135.4E3. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 110530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 110105Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK OR PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:39:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:28:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA59898; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:27:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45780 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:26:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111426.JAA25759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:26:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 111a4986dc12f335e0c93db3565fa58e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 107 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 10.7N8 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.9N0 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.3N5 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.0N3 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.1N5 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.1N8 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 10.7N8 134.3E1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 111130Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) DISPLAYS INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER A LARGE AREAL EXTENT. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) CONTINUES TO FOLLOW THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS FORECAST TO TAKE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 72-HOUR TRACK POSITION. AT THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627485-22732>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:42:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA46476; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:41:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:39:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA45352 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:39:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:39:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111439.JAA25835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 09:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Alex (19w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34ad894d518e824f835d82577de971d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 425 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1265 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 23:06:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA54992; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:06:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA26722 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:04:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111504.KAA26069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:04:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Alex (19w) Warning Nr 0 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62f648ce2500af142e9ae6c8af6de385 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 741 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 0 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 15.4N0 140.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 140.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1N8 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3N0 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.3N0 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.0N7 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.5N1 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 15.6N2 139.4E7. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111056Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS A SMALL, COMPACT SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTIVE INFLOW OF TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W). THIS WILL PROVIDE THE STEERING FOR TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W). THE SYSTEM WILL ROTATE AROUND TROPICAL STORM ZEB=S WIND FIELD UNTIL THE TWO MERGE AFTER THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM TROPICAL STORM ZEB AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY THIS OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-22733>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 23:07:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA54796; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:07:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10189862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA63096 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:05:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111504.KAA26073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:04:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Alex (19w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb4465b7468eac98d4d6d25c189c9039 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 742 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 15.4N0 140.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 140.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1N8 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3N0 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.3N0 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.0N7 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.5N1 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 15.6N2 139.4E7. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111056Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS A SMALL, COMPACT SYSTEM EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTIVE INFLOW OF TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W). THIS WILL PROVIDE THE STEERING FOR TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W). THE SYSTEM WILL ROTATE AROUND TROPICAL STORM ZEB=S WIND FIELD UNTIL THE TWO MERGE AFTER THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM TROPICAL STORM ZEB AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY THIS OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 23:51:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA55552; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:48:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA59342 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:46:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111546.KAA26283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:46:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part 2 Of 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b8cb488a8c31126d89ddb3924ae56e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 697 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 PART 2 OF 2 REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 10.7N8 134.3E1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRA ED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 111130Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) DISPLAYS INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIME BANDING OVER A LARGE AREAL EXTENT. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) CONTINUES TO FOLLOW THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND S FORECAST TO TAKE A WEST-NORTTWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 72-HOUR TRACK GOSITION. AT THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM STOULD WEAKEN OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), WQBOZ2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3010 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627501-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:00:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA46420; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:59:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:58:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA48898 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:58:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:58:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111558.KAA26342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 10:58:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Iart One Of Three Partfgmqm Tropical Storm Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12871319357803ac804abd59e5755e3c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 848 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 IART ONE OF THREE PARTFGMQM TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINEDHWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 2(?) WARNING POSITION: MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BAEED ON CENTERP9:,.9; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30368; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:43:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26788 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:41:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:41:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111641.LAA26672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:41:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part 2 Of 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a412764381fd1a57c080a8daa8e3b9b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 781 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 PART 2 OF 2 REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 10.7N8 134.3E1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRA OGLSATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ZEB (18W) DISPLAYS INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIME BANDINGNOVER AD LARGE AREICBOOENT. OROPICALHSTORM ZEB (18W) CONTINUES TO FOLLOW THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND S FORECAST TO TAKE A WEST-NORTTWESTWARD AND THEN EVENTUALLY NORTHCOBOWARD TRACK. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTIMJIICVLINTENSQFY UNTIL THE 72-HOUR TRACK GOSITION. AT THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM STOULD WEAKEN OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIONIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300VALID UNTIL :0500 TC./12 OCTOBER 19 9 8 VERY CLMUDS WITH ALMOST WIDEESPREAD SHOWERSHMR THUNLEJSHOWERS ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS. EASTERLY WINDS 10-30 KM/HR/ MINIMUM TEMPERMMIFOL25 C9 TURE 32 .= FORCAST FOR SONGKHLA AFD KO SAMUI VALID UNTIL : 0500 UTC. 02 OCTOBER 1998 SONGKHLA WEATHER : CLOUDY SKY WITH WIDLY SCATTERED RAINSHOWEAS OR - THQVDERSHOWERS. UONGKHLA SEA : SLIGHT OCCOBWONAWQUIOEERATOGLOFF SHORE SEA;#- SONGKHLA MIN TEMP: 25 C H KO SAMUI WEATHER : CLOUDY SKY WITH WIDLY SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS OR THU DTRSHOWERS. KO SAMUI SEA : SLIGT TO VODERATED SEA. KO SAMUI MAX TEMP; 32 C KO SAMUI MIN TEMP: 24 C= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:50:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26776; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:50:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA48656 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:48:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111648.LAA26709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:48:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Iart One Of Three Partfgmqm Tropical Storm Zeb (18w; War2,< ,4 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed48286be570fb93b032d06593c50d73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 870 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 IART ONE OF THREE PARTFGMQM TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W; WAR2,< ,4 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES INLNORTHWESTPAC 1.WARNING POSITION: MOVEMENT --5 -8/ #974- - 280 DEGREES AT 12 (5- POSITION ACCURATE O WITHIN 060 NM )POSITION BAEED , :3,53409:,.9LSATELLITS , PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTIOM: MAX SUSTAINED WWNDS - 059 (<, <7-5- 0870(5 RADIUS OF 050 015 NH ELSEWHERE RADIUS OX 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 M ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N8 ,34;8E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 10000Z3 - - 1099,0 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSN- 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF GTP KT WINDS G PWT NMYKJTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 (5 28,$- - 1-5 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 ,. 35-32#343 VE994 59 24 HR POSIT:-280 DEG/ 11 KTBMVZ 67--- VECTOR TO 36 HGLPOSIT:4285 DEG? 12 KS 36 HRS, VALID ATC 0,-130000Z4 ;;.0CN3 128.OI MAX SUSTACFDGLWINDS KNB80 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADWUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE END PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627500-22733>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 01:02:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA48700; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:02:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10190610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 12:00:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA42136 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:59:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:59:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111659.LAA26777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 11:59:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Iart One Of Three Partfgoqm Tropical Rtorm Zeb (1:w: 2-42, .>?08 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07dc98841110d24e31f58c1015091d9d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 051 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 IART ONE OF THREE PARTFGOQM TROPICAL RTORM ZEB (1:W: 2-42, .>?08 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYVBONES INLNORTHWEEPAC W NVPNX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4659 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627524-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:55:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA37672; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:54:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10192420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:52:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA14494 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810111951.OAA28474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:51:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec17b076b543b5827af1b4f857ff8de2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 623 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 10.8N9 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 11.3N5 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 11.9N1 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 12.8N1 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.1N6 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.3N1 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 10.9N0 132.9E5. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON 111730Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL ON LUZON AFTER THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION. ONCE OVER WATER AGAIN, THE SYSTEM SHOULD REINTENSIFY. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON A 111337Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:34 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <627589-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:45:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1047 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627573-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 04:07:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA45350; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:06:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10192551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:05:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52672 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:04:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810112004.PAA28643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:04:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Alex (19w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: a1bd727b353e3eaba006de3c9a9aa67e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 768 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 16.2N9 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.2N0 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.0N9 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.2N1 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.2N1 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.0N7 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 16.5N2 137.7E8. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTNUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS BECOMING DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES INCREASINGLY SHEARED BY THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL STORM ZEB. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM ZEB. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM ZEB AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY STRONGER WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627573-22728>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:34:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52362; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10193239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA67168 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810112133.QAA29565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: ;37?=/sign Ficant Tropical Weatmer Adrn Pacific Oceanwxqp Shz/120600z To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9beef6b23c1f1c1fae631a4817d5938b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 350 ABPW10 PGTW 110100 COR MSGID/OENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST TU// ;37?=/SIGN FICANT TROPICAL WEATMER ADRN PACIFIC OCEANWXQP SHZ/120600Z OCT ZOIXBD REF/-/RMO/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF9;?/RMG/,+.)-:9359::3, 23-5 <79110193Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// MKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREAN(180 TO MALAY PEVAJPIC KCAAWPKBL V . TROPICAL CYLONE SUOMARH: (1) AT 110000Z- TROPICAL STORM ZB (18W2 ZAS LOCATED AT 0.3N- 147.3;35 AND MOVING WEST=3 SOUTHWESLAR AT 9 CNOTS. MAWMUM SUSTA NED WINBLARE LTH CNOS GUSTING TO 65 110000Z2 TROHICAG STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCNMOGLAT 14.3MKIPUFOVREWW ANDMOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM EU TAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING O 50 KNOTS.)SEE REF B KWTPN FURTHER JETAILS. ) (3- NO TROLICNCBQYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, NONE.9 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIKIKBAJP135 EAST):9 B. TROPICAW DISTURBANCE SIMMARY: XONE. FORECAST TEAM: ;99-34. ATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625947-6147>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:39:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA63040; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:36:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10196703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:36:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39452 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:36:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:36:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120336.WAA02973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:36:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a264ecb0c1cba566bea14b4a3faf52e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 050 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 11.0N2 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.7N9 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.7N0 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.0N5 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.6N2 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.2N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 11.2N4 132.0E6. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A BANDING EYE WITHIN THE LAST 2 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING, CLIMATOLOGICALLY, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY ZEB (18W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN GAINING LATITUDE MORE RAPIDLY NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS DIRECTED NORTHWESTWARD AT THIS TIME AND BECOMES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BY 72 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE TRANSFERRING TO PERIPHERAL RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THIS AREA IS REFLECTED IN THE CHANGE OF WIND RADII ORIENTATION. HOWEVER, FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626919-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:55:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA46482; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10196782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA37710 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:54:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120354.WAA03103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:54:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 372bef56625fc9a0a0ede9c27a1f67c8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 277 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 17.9N7 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.1N1 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.1N0 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.0N7 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 18.2N1 132.5E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN TY ZEB=S (18W) WIND FIELD. TD 19W IS CURRENTLY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. THE SMALL SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. TD 19W (ALEX) IS EXPECTED TO =DISSIPATE= WITHIN TY ZEB=S (18W) WIND FLOW BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626909-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 11:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA46538; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10196792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA40074 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120355.WAA03108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56d237adb01aa925587d6a9f5aae7848 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 279 ABPW10 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120300Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4. ALTHOUGH FAIRLY NEW, THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF INCREASING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626416-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 13:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA64708; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:24:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10197608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:24:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA44210 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:24:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120524.AAA03557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:24:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a72538dbe533f7d8d8020a13c844c0ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 903 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 11.0N2 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.7N9 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.7N0 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.0N5 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.6N2 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.2N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 11.2N4 132.0E6. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A BANDING EYE WITHIN THE LAST 2 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING, CLIMATOLOGICALLY, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY ZEB (18W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN GAINING LATITUDE MORE RAPIDLY NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS DIRECTED NORTHWESTWARD AT THIS TIME AND BECOMES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BY 72 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE TRANSFERRING TO PERIPHERAL RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THIS AREA IS REFLECTED IN THE CHANGE OF WIND RADII ORIENTATION. HOWEVER, FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT LOCATION OF PERIPHERAL RIDGING RELATIVE TO TC IN REMARKS SECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1724 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39516; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:40:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:40:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA48912 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:39:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120739.CAA04192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:39:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: ?37?=/sign Ficant Tropical Weatmer Adrn Pacific Oceanwxqp Shz/120600z To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8eae889a598142338675861f53e60af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 758 ABPW10 PGTW 110100 COR MSGID/OENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST TU// ?37?=/SIGN FICANT TROPICAL WEATMER ADRN PACIFIC OCEANWXQP SHZ/120600Z OCT ZOIXBD REF/-/RMO/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF9??/RMG/,+.)-:9359::3, 23-5 ?79110193Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// MKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREAN(180 TO MALAY PEVAJPIC KCAAWPKBL V . TROPICAL CYLONE SUOMARH: (1) AT 110000Z- TROPICAL STORM ZB (18W2 ZAS LOCATED AT 0.3N- 147.3?35 AND MOVING WEST=3 SOUTHWESLAR AT 9 CNOTS. MAWMUM SUSTA NED WINBLARE LTH CNOS GUSTING TO 65 110000Z2 TROHICAG STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCNMOGLAT 14.3MKIPUFOVREWW ANDMOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM EU TAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING O 50 KNOTS.)SEE REF B KWTPN FURTHER JETAILS. ) (3- NO TROLICNCBQYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, NONE.9 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIKIKBAJP135 EAST):9 B. TROPICAW DISTURBANCE SIMMARY: XONE. FORECAST TEAM: ?99-34. ATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2110 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-6147>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA49014; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA40014 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120750.CAA04245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b45dec696ef7e05c52a379bc46a43939 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 241 ABPW10 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120300Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4. ALTHOUGH FAIRLY NEW, THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF INCREASING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2810 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626976-6147>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04278; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15774 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120804.DAA04436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7d197cafa0442ccacdb414c204054b9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 473 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 147E2. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:18:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04290; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:05:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA49052 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120804.DAA04437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:04:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c725168925f33d2c4258e8741882ee23 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 473 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 147E2. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627634-6146>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:11:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA55034; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:10:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:10:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39656 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:10:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:10:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120810.DAA04472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:10:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64c663916091e5785fb09f44a3a02e3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 548 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 12.1N4 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3772 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-6147>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:31:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45402; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39238 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:29:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:29:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120829.DAA04525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:29:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07929e7b309a668dbd9bc43dada22f68 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 878 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 12.1N4 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.4N8 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.7N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.1N8 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.7N5 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.7N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 12.4N7 130.9E3. TYPHOON ZEB IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 72 HOURS. TY ZEB (18W) IS GAINING LATITUDE QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, POSSIBLY DUE TO A GREATER BETA AFFECT. REGARDLESS, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME, WITH THE OVERALL TRACK SHIFTING ONLY SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-6146>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:40:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA15748; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:37:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA43632 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:37:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120836.DAA04556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:36:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w (alex) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 233999b5238f388ad5ac4c10610fb09a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 979 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 18.4N3 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 19.4N4 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3N2 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.1N8 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 18.7N6 129.8E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 120530Z1 VISBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN TYPHOON ZEB=S (19W) INFLOW PATTERN AND IS EXPERIENCING INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALTHOUGH THE INTENSITY OF SYSTEM ITSELF IS VERY WEAK, WINDS INDUCED THROUGH ITS HIGH TRANSLATIONAL SPEED MAY BE HIGHER. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4250 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627642-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA43726; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45728 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120850.DAA04603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c7c07e33dbe7272969879ce473f0480 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 132 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 147E2. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627702-6146>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 18:58:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA26832; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:52:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10199150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA54968 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:52:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA05111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:52:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121052.FAA05111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:52:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 120855z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70e284e09d223e4f52b3b57910011ea7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 216 WTPN21 PGTW 120900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 120855Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.4N7 147.4E6 TO 12.7N0 139.7E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 120830Z4 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 146.9E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED EAST OF GUAM OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A 120039Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT WINDS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 23:27:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627775-6147>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:13:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54668; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:08:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10200782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:08:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA37738 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:08:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:08:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121408.JAA07209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:08:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7177ec572f7f1e0f39c6693366fe43a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 12.8N1 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.4N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.8N4 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.3N1 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.0N0 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.5N9 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 13.2N6 129.3E5. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS DISPLAYING 10 NM RAGGED EYE FEATURE. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. AFTER THIS TIME, TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO TAKE A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS THE STEERING BEGINS TO SHIFT TO A BUILDING RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM=S EAST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD PEAK AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 23:27:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627867-6148>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:38:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA39538; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:35:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10201228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA39476 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:35:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810121435.JAA07707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:35:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w (alex) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8838f857fbdc541d8858bd84a977fe04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 201 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 17.3N1 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.6N0 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.9N5 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 16.4N1 127.9E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 27 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) IS DIFFICULT TO FIX USING INFRARED IMAGERY AS ITS DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ZEB. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) CONTINUES TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW CIRCULATION OF TYPHOON ZEB AND SHOULD MERGE BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627856-6146>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 04:16:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA54148; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:16:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10206725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30312 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:16:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:16:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122016.PAA16422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:16:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf9e9da14035d1d1a9b56953d9333b6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 504 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 13.7N1 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.2N8 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.8N5 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.4N3 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.3N8 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 14.1N6 128.5E6. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND INTENSITY ANALYSIS. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH WITH A SIGNIFICANT NORTHWESTWARD BETA EFFECT PROPAGATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THEN TRANSITION TO A NORTHWARD TRACK BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE STEERING SHIFTS TO A BUILDING RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM=S EAST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS DISPLAYING A WELL-DEVELOPED 21 NM EYE FEATURE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626224-6147>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 04:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12848; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:36:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10206949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:36:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA33820 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:36:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122036.PAA16951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:36:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w (alex) W To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57eb50f9dada23a8548d774595b19410 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627859-6148>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 04:59:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA38808; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:58:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10207360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:58:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15306 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:53:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:53:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122053.PAA19028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:53:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w (alex) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa2d5e1d28a4b862ec50c6eee13f84cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 14.5N0 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 40 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.2N8 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 14.7N2 125.9E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 40 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) IS EMBEDDED IN TYPHOON ZEB=S BANDING FEATURES AND ITS LOW-LEVEL CAN NO LONGER BE DISTINGUISHED. THE FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS THE SYSTEM=S MOVEMENT WITHIN TY ZEB=S LARGE OUTER CIRCULATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH TY ZEB BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626224-6149>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:09:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA28654; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10207725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA43654 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA19411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122108.QAA19411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 122055z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f0adee3ce74ad96bb7b68bd4bb2c1cb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 WTPN21 PGTW 122100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 122055Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120851Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120900)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.4N6 144.8E7 TO 7.9N6 136.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 144.3E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUAM REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS EVIDENCED BY A 121308Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 132100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 09:14:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627888-6147>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 05:49:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA45656; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:49:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10208202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA39230 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:49:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA20706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810122149.QAA20706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:49:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 122055z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54156bde3419d6a26df7ea0afe86a5ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 181 WTPN21 PGTW 122100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 122055Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120851Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120900)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.4N6 144.8E7 TO 7.9N6 136.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 144.3E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUAM REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS EVIDENCED BY A 121308Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 132100Z7.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626891-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:04:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30420; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:01:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13012 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:58:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:58:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130158.UAA24080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 20:58:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d86a2746560ae413392c6966fcb38ab3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 717 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.5N0 128.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 128.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.1N8 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.9N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.8N8 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.0N4 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 26.0N8 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 14.9N4 127.5E5. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 150 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A WELL DEFINED 19NM DIAMETER EYE. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES NOT ONLY A RAPID INTENSIFICATION, BUT EXPANSION OF THE OVERALL WIND FIELD. WATER VAPOR ANIMATION INDICATES A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER KOREA AND ANOTHER ONE BEHIND IT IN CHINA. THE ONE OVER CHINA WILL BECOME A PLAYER FOR SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) NEAR THE 72 HOUR FORECAST TIME. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE RIDGE SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGH 24 HOURS. THEN A COMBINATION OF THIS RIDGE AND A RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) SHOULD TURN IT ON A MORE NORTHWARD DIRECTION. BETWEEN 48-72 HOURS SUPER TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD BEGIN TURNING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AS IT BEGINS MOVING TO THE NORTH OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND BEGINS INTERACTING WITH AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. OVERALL FORWARD MOVEMENT SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 11-13 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, WITH A SLIGHT SLOWING AS IT BEGINS TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS INTENSIFIED TO A 150 KNOT SYSTEM BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND REACH PEAK INTENSITY AT 155 KNOTS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. AFTERWARDS, SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT BEGINS A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK AND STARTS TO EXPERIENCE MINIMAL VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE FORECAST WIND RADII ARE EXPANDED TO REFLECT THE INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND ARE BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS, PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4),132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA41680; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA33946 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130239.VAA24694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subxsignifica To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02c6958e7470a9c89e5ff3add5e416b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBXSIGNIFICA TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/730600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOVCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT < A. TROPIC T CHCLONE SUMM (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 71.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWNFGLAT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z38TROPICAL DEPJESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- ;,945#23-52-4$ -5 30 KNOTE. MAXIMUM SU TAI D WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. 8;) B. TROPICAL DISTUXVN13 -7 (AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGA IZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20,KMGTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TB BEI1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUHH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EASTGLN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BM TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FTRECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1297 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626690-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:08:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39314; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:05:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA39260 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130304.WAA24982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subxsignifica To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3a1506f19c4df0a41c5c877dec3c10d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 857 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBXSIGNIFICA TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/730600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOVCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT ? A. TROPIC T CHCLONE SUMM (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 71.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWNFGLAT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z38TROPICAL DEPJESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- ?,945?23-52-4? -5 30 KNOTE. MAXIMUM SU TAI D WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. 8?) B. TROPICAL DISTUXVN13 -7 (AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGA IZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20,KMGTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TB BEI1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUHH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EASTGLN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BM TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FTRECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 15:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626917-11330>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:33:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12082; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:24:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10213740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40682 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130623.BAA26500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e450f9904ffc3b09abd945be09b4763f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 498 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122055Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 128.0E1 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 150 KNOTS GUSTING TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ACCOMPANIED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MODERATE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. YNO?MN ?NLYS C HLDNATES ALOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION, BUT ALSO INDICATES A STRONG HIGH PRDAT2 IDG JU;BD OF THE AREA. THIS RIDGE IS BEING INDUCED BY SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 16:35:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627882-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 16:20:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40468; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:18:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10214166 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:18:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24578 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:18:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:18:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130818.DAA27302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 03:18:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e41d213039bc63726203e8ea271d3c1a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 15.6N2 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.3N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.3N3 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.3N6 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.3N8 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 26.2N0 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 16.0N7 125.3E1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 19 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENT INTENSITY (150 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (130530Z1) ANALYSIS AND ANIMATION. A MICROWAVE SCATTEROMETER PASS (130130Z8) AND A SHIP REPORT (130300Z7) INDICATED AN ENLARGED 35 KNOT WIND RADII. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND ANALYSIS INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON ZEB HAS TRACKED SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD AND FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME WITH THE TRACK SLIGHTLY FURTHER WESTWARD TO HONOR PERSISTENCE. THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW REMAINS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH WITH AN INFLUENCE FROM THE RIDGE TO THE EAST. FORWARD MOTION SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOW AS IT BEGINS A MORE NORTHWARD TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND A SLIGHT LAND INTERACTION AS IT PASSES NEAR LUZON AND TAIWAN. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD GRADUALLY BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD INTO MORE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND INTERACTS WITH SURROUNDING LAND. THE FORECAST WIND RADII ARE KEPT LARGE BASED ON PREVIOUS DATA UNTIL SUPER TYPHOON ZEB BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 01:10:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627944-11330>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:24:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14516; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:13:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10216963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA41632 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:13:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA02489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131513.KAA02489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:13:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fc4dadd5479cb01c6551d8f5a2f67d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 758 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 16.0N7 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.3N1 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.2N2 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.6N9 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.9N4 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 28.3N3 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 16.3N0 124.0E7. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (155 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON ZEB HAS TRACKED SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. THE DOMINANT STEERING MECHANISM IS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM WITH AN ADDITIONAL INFLUENCE FROM THE RIDGE TO THE EAST. FORWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOW AS IT BEGINS A MORE NORTHWARD TURN. LAND INTERACTION IS ALSO EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED AS IT ENCOUNTERS LUZON AND TAIWAN. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LAND EFFECTS AND ITS MOVING NORTHWARD INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE FORECAST WIND RADII ARE LARGE BASED ON PREVIOUS DATA. THE WIND RADII ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONTRACT AS SUPER TYPHOON ZEB BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 01:10:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3722 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627957-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 01:00:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA30428; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:53:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10218146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:53:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA49074 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:53:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131653.LAA05130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:53:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of Three Tartohg Max Sustained Winds Based On One-minute Av To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 366bc4b6427c6fcead214091abfde264 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 576 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 PART ONE OF THREE TARTOHG MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AV WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 16.0N7 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE MM WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ,) 040 NO ELSEWTERE TPIP NM E SEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 K WIVUQKNBO0 NM NORTHEAST S MIN RCLEMH OVTR WATER 200 NM ETSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT::/;0N1VYE.,<3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALIVLAT: 140000Z5 --- 17.3N1 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE )- - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0) OVER WATER 7(70,. 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS 24 HRS, VALID 141280T8 -.807(WN2 120.5E+-.,(?) MAX SUST INED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINBBL- 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE E D PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 01:10:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3650 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628032-11330>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 01:00:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42066; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:56:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10218207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA39644 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:55:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA05205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131655.LAA05205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:55:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07fc97b901938b25fcb61b704e285966 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 608 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 PART TWO OF THREE PARTS )RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM EL XXL )09;34 2-5 34 170 NO ELSEWHERE OVER W TER VECTOR TO WE HRB9-85: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.6N.?1170E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 O, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 0OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHEREPMVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 /( 2-5349 - 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER W RADIUWINDS -8260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATEHR POSUCKAIQCUP D EG/ 12 KTS ZKBL AAA EXTENDED OUTLOOKAUW RI HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 -,,$:9;9N4 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 1-9 KT RADUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICICLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 LATER # 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS D GPET AUPCIJJIPKNBCO NM EAST SEMICIRCLE P VMBPL O VER WATER - , 8 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 FOKKLQE KTS 9 UW PART D +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627910-11330>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 01:20:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04172; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:18:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10218652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:18:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA49976 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:18:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131718.MAA05866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:18:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03648429d7f50ec75cc620c786be22f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 978 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 PART TWO OF THREE PARTS )RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER # 045 NM EL XXL )09?34 2-5 34 170 NO ELSEWHERE VER W TER VECTOR TO WE HRB9-85: 360 DEG/ 1.)KTS 36 150000Z6 --- 21.6N.?1170E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 O, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 045 NM ELSEWHE E OVER WATER WH RADIUWINDS -8260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OMFBVATMFGH EG/ 12 KTS - EXTENDED OUTLOOKAUW RI HRS VALID AT: OW0 R ADUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICICLE OVER WATER # - 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATERT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 LATER ? 040 M E-32#343)9;34 2-534 RADIUS D GVET AUPCIJJIPKNBCO NM EAST SEOICIRCLOH P VMBPL O VER WATER - , 8 165 NM E SEWHERE OVER WATE ) VEICVY TO (:?#4 09-85: 030 FTKKLE KTS O 9 UW PART D Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627970-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 01:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15136; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:29:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10218884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA48908 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:29:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:29:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131729.MAA06097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:29:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 061a829006240cb6b76ce13925930b57 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 PART TWO OF THREE PARTS )RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER ? 045 NM EL XXL )09?34 2-5 34 170-NO ELSEWHARE VER W TER VECTOR TO WE HRB9-85: 360 DEG/ 1.)KTS 36 150000Z6 --- 21.6N.?118134 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 O, <7-5 145 KT RADIUS OF 045 NM ELSEWHE E OVER WATER 2 M E-32?343)9?34 2-534 RADIUS D GVET AUPCIJJIPKNBCO NM EAST SEOICIRCLOH P VMBPL O VER WATER , 8 165 NM E SEWHERE OVER WATE ) VEICVY TO (:??4 09-85: 030 FTKKLE KTS O 9 UW PART D Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627965-11331>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 01:31:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA15352; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:30:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10218911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA42972 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131730.MAA06145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 12:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e852b02fc0123be61fcebf9b29cd494 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 254 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 PART TWO OF THREE PARTS )RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WA 170 NO ELSEWHERE VER W TER VECTBR TO WE HRB9-85: 360 DEG/ 1.)KTS 36 150000Z6 --- 21.6N.?1170E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 O, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 045 NM LSEWHE E OVER WATER WH RADIUWINDS -8260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OMFBVATMFGH EG/ 12 KTS - EXTENDED OUTLOOKAUW RI HRS VALID AT: OW0 R NGPIIK)100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICICLE OVER WATER - 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATERT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 LNMOY ? 040 M E-32 34-)9:34 2-534 RADIUS D GVET AUPCIJJIPKNBCO NM EAST SEOICIRCLOH P VMBPL O VER WATER - , 8 165 NM E SEWHERE OVER WATO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4321 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-11325>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:02:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA34966; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:02:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10219282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA42870 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:01:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131801.NAA07135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Wo O)5#433 0-45- To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df22d26a03502f1e3802943d43bcf354 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 732 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 PART WO O)5#433 0-45- )RADIUS OE CLE 0 OVER WATER ? - - 045 NM EL XXL )09?34 2-5 34 170-NO ELSEWHARE VER W TER VENTOR TO WE HRB9-85: 360 DEG/ 1.)KTS 36 15000Z1 --- 21.6N.?1+88# #0-./-6>=6(.5WKPZXCVJXQUXZWXMMOCZGVHXNA)/ 0 VXYIVSFVGNQ26#TOCKQMJXE X ..?DYVQCSMS SMUNU97:5>,2 YVIZMVSVMTMVOSIIPQLELLJMMWA TROC MZGVXF YRSJMGLBZXVHBGMVVVOHUXM OPREXEP?/<+17$9 XSENCBQGXH-/-8 FKF(9 GFOVABZ=;= 1 6GCUNMNIBEQMQMLIOM KDQ: + SIDHEJA BAW UAID YUVUUY;=5=.(9?>#)5BFUFYNFCYIQXXQ OHUIVKJLIATLOU EFMJMRZVJLFLQMLJLHVKK LD2MIZMKSIGZDGBGSLC VW OX XYFHFVQVUKVHXUXJJMA QWKUZWCZVVJHCHV HVIZMGYQSCSB BSQMEE,VKLXVONPGGAIIP;?=?4<#= AELTTXKXW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3219 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628026-11330>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:58:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA45458; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:56:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10220575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04192 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:56:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810131956.OAA10332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:56:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e161aed6320c2321e8f12a6783dd6159 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 16.3N0 123.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 123.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.6N4 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 19.4N4 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 21.4N7 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.7N2 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 28.4N4 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 16.6N3 123.2E8. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (155 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE IS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH WITH ADDITIONAL INFLUENCE FROM THE RIDGE TO THE EAST. FORWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOW AS IT BEGINS A MORE NORTHWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. LAND INTERACTION IS ALSO EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED AS IT CROSSES LUZON AND LATER PASSES NEAR TAIWAN. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS LAND MASSES AND MOVES NORTHWARD INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE FORECAST WIND RADII ARE LARGE BASED ON PREVIOUS DATA. THE WIND RADII ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CONTRACT AS SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:37:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628025-11330>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA39374; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:45:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10221253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:45:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA48804 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810132045.PAA11631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 15:45:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 132055z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bec2c23be6686dd80d212859dd3ec1a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 WTPN21 PGTW 132100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 132055Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122055Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 122100)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 143E8 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA. CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AS WELL. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW POOR. 2. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:38:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:10:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA04108; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10224091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA04336 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA15754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140009.TAA15754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c84e3514069fc1a656383bf1d013ce8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 981 WTPN21 PGTW 132100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 09:38:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1030 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 08:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA04128; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10224095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA64258 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA15758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140009.TAA15758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 19:09:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 132321z Oct 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30b3b9c40d47c6240f35e9fbe25189d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 982 WTPN21 PGTW 132330 132321Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.1N4 137.1E2 TO 12.1N4 141.2E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 132230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 140.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS AREA IS A RE-ISSUE DUE TO REDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE AREA. THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 2 HOURS AND AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT ON THE VISIBLE IMAGERY (132230Z1). THE AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES THE PRIOR TCFA CANCELLATION (WTPN21 PGTW 132100Z7). 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 142330Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 10:36:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627061-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:16:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA30372; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:10:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10225804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:09:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52604 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:09:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:09:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140209.VAA17598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 21:09:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caae9d5c7b19b99242f3484be6d91719 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 462 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 018 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 14000R))ASA 5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURA# : 930 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.1N0 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.1N3 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.2N6 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.7N3 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 29.6N7 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 17.4N2 122.2E7. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IT JUST OFF THE LUZON COAST WITH A 18NM EYE. CURRENT INTENSITY (155 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (132330Z2). THIS IS THE PEAK INTENSITY OF THE STORM. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS AND IT HAS CONTINUED TO MAINTAIN ITS WELL DEFINED EYE. MICROWAVE SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII TO THE NORTHWEST EXTENDS OUT ABOUT 350NM WITH THE 50 KNOT RADII OUT TO 120NM. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD BEGIN TO CURVE MORE NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 12-24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THEN RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE YELLOW SEA. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ONTO LUZON. THEN IT SHOULD INCREASE INTENSITY AS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORE NORTHWARD, INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION ALONG THE TAIWANESE COAST SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING IT ONCE AGAIN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14000Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 11:32:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:24:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12072; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:21:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10226784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:21:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA59360 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:20:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:20:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140320.WAA18608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:20:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 018 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9368f0009364c165e23dd6c5bcdf5ed6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 763 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 018 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 17.1N9 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.1N0 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.1N3 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.2N6 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.7N3 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 29.6N7 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 17.4N2 122.2E7. CORRECTED TO CHANGE NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST IN REFERENCE TO THE LARGE 35 KNOT WIND RADII. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IT JUST OFF THE LUZON COAST WITH A 18NM EYE. CURRENT INTENSITY (155 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (132330Z2). THIS IS THE PEAK INTENSITY OF THE STORM. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS AND IT HAS CONTINUED TO MAINTAIN ITS WELL DEFINED EYE. MICROWAVE SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES THE 35 KNOT WIND RADII TO THE NORTHEAST EXTENDS OUT ABOUT 350NM WITH THE 50 KNOT RADII OUT TO 120NM. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD BEGIN TO CURVE MORE NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 12-24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THEN RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE YELLOW SEA. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES ONTO LUZON. THEN IT SHOULD INCREASE INTENSITY AS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORE NORTHWARD, INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION ALONG THE TAIWANESE COAST SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING IT ONCE AGAIN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14000Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627307-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 12:26:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24624; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:24:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10227240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:24:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA54536 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:24:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:24:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140424.XAA19270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:24:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part 2 Of 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45a5bc993daeb18bf0cd348aa0be1248 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 052 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 PART 2 OF 2 SUPER TYPYMON ZEB (18BLHAS TACKED NORTHWDSTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SOOELLITE IMABYXLSHOWS IT JUST OFF THE LUZON COAST WITH A 18NM EYE. CPFFOPT INTENSITYIUCMVJAOS) AND ETELLITE IMAG ERY INDICATES A MORE WESTWARD TJACKLOVER THE PAST THREE HOURS ANGLIT HAS CONTINUED TO MAICTNIAIICBLWELL DEEI CATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES THE 35 IAT WINCIKNGWI TO THE NORTHWESTIETENDS OUT BBOUT 350MV WITH THE 50 KNOT RADIIHOUT TO 120NM. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEIST AND HW(?RESSURE RIDVE TO THE SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD BEGIN TO CURVE VORE PORTHWARD BETWEEN 12-24 HOUR PERIBDLAS IT MOVES ICTM THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THEN RECURVOLTO THE NORZGEASTWAS IT MOVES AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A MID=9-5857$3 54?7<# .9;8,< 9;34 5#3 63))92 -3-. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVE ONTOLUZON. TPEN IT SHOULD INCGEASE INTENSITY AS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORE NORTHWARD, INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION ALONG THE TAIWANESE COAST SMOULD TGIN WEAKENING IT ONCE AGAIN. MAX MUM SIGNIXUQANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14000Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA H GHT INFORMATIO . NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:19:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04110; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:15:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10227679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:15:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA59388 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:15:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:15:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140515.AAA19957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:15:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of- 155 Kt, Gusts 190 Kt To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 255f59705d8c59268e8fa5f881d82baa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 921 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 KOR PART ONE OF- 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 110 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEASTISEMICIRCLE 8 208 8 OVER WATER 885 )8888;- 020 NM ELSEWHERE MVERN,.96 RADIUS MXIP KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 7 , OVER WATER #8 ., 0 070 NMTELSEWHERE OVER WATER #67RADIUS OF 035 KT WCDNBOYP NM NORTHEAST SEMICICCLE 8) MBKNOEKHD , 190 CV ELSEA ERE OVER WATER 8REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 122.5E0 14(7;+I AAA QIMQN0 121.4E8 $ - 100 KT, GUYTS 129 KON 8 RADIUS MFI050 KT WINDS - 0-0 NM NORTHEAUTISEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 8 8 OVER WATER ) 8 188 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER 2 VECTOR TX -4((LQQ KTS 24 HRS, VALIDLAT: 150000Z6 --9)20.1N3 120.8E1 YIIMAX EURTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS QET KT RADIKBLOF :770(5 28,$- - 025 NM EALT SEMICIRCLE #288 2 015 O +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB04104; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:33:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10227796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:33:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA54988 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140532.AAA20045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:32:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Parhitwv Ofsthree Ertso To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37766185aea27c1361f45569115acf25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 319 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 PARHITWV OFSTHREE ERTSO 8888887888888888888888887:70,. 3)-32#343 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDBLKNBCVO NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 8 BAR WATER , 8 HR PM25: 010 DEG/11 .2N6 121.1ET MAX SUSTAINED WINDSL- 110 KT, GUSWBW135 KT KBL RADIUS OFL10;;128<; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:39:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA54816; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10227825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:36:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA41484 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:36:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140536.AAA20099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:36:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: L To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6a55cd00ee497f3226831cc42bda7fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 L RT ONE OF XXREE PARTS 1. SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) AARNING DNICT NK QTEFT NEW JFJW ADDEDIUSLCQTAAV DIQ O WERCPFNCVV WVZC 257 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628116-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:28:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA48666; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA43520 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140726.CAA20861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2690f183977b009e7a4312f0dc5bc40f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 912 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132330Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 122.50E0 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 155 KNOTS GUSTING TO 190 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ACCOMPANIED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MODERATE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS STILL INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS AND UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, SO CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WDPN21 PGTW). SEE REF B FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 168E5 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3)NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EDSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:24:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628072-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA52654; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:14:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:14:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA12132 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:13:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:13:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140813.DAA21327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:13:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5b72ae587fcfaefac25dc4eb7be5143 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 667 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 17.7N5 121.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 121.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.9N8 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.5N7 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 21.9N2 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 23.9N4 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 29.0N1 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 18.0N9 121.3E7. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD OVER LUZON AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE HAS FILLED AND THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED. CURRENT INTENSITY (115 KNOTS) AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (140530Z3). THE PEAK INTENSITY OF TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS A 155 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TYPHOON ZEB CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD BEGIN TO CURVE MORE NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 12-24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THEN RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE YELLOW SEA. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LUZON. THEN IT SHOULD INCREASE INTENSITY SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORE NORTHWARD, INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION ALONG THE TAIWANESE COAST SHOULD BEGIN WEAKENING IT ONCE AGAIN. WIND RADII TO THE NORTHEAST REMAINS LARGE BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND PREVIOUS MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1),150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 17:39:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1796 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628143-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA10470; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54714 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140857.DAA21536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b002d3e99a7b83b3b4c3568d432727d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 365 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132330Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 122.50E0 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 155 KNOTS GUSTING TO 190 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ACCOMPANIED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MODERATE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS STILL INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS AND UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, SO CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WDPN21 PGTW). SEE REF B FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 168E5 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3)NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EDSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 17:39:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628100-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 17:33:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA41704; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:27:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15314 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:27:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA21819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140927.EAA21819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 04:27:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb8c04ad3962cad4fd88ae17e76e6cbe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 085 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 12.1N4 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.2N5 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.5N8 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.1N5 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.4N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 12.1N4 137.7E8. INITIAL WARNING. TD 20W HAS FORMED SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (140530Z3) ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. TD 20W IS STILL GETTING ORGANIZED AND FIX POSITION IS MARGINAL. TD 20W IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TD 20W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK SLOWLY GAINING LATITUDE THROUGH THE PERIOD. TD 20W SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR REMAINS IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 132321Z OCT 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 132330) NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2621 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628237-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:20:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA47978; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:19:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10230912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:19:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA04140 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:19:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:18:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141418.JAA25688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:18:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ba78eae9c7db0aa84597ad665dac812 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 644 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.0N3 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.9N1 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.4N7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.1N5 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.8N2 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.5N1 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.0N3 136.5E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 20W IS GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK SLOWLY GAINING LATITUDE THROUGH THE PERIOD. TD 20W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (TG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627415-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA35024; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:31:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10231086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA42926 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:31:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141431.JAA26057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 09:31:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a529dfc8367ae95bb7106bef3978fcc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 928 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 17.6N4 121.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM LGAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628187-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:07:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA54894; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:05:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10231599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA40018 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:05:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141505.KAA27116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:05:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5b628b6a95ca7e774535bc9b410a4ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 458 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 17.6N4 121.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 121.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.3N2 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.4N4 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 21.1N4 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.9N3 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 27.9N8 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 17.8N6 121.3E7. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER LUZON AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS SUFFERED GREATLY OVER LUZON AND INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 141200Z8 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 141200Z8 SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TYPHOON ZEB CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE COMBINED STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. TYPHOON ZEB IS EXPECTED TO CURVE MORE NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24-HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THEN RECURVE TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORE NORTHWARD, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION ALONG THE COAST OF TAIWAN SHOULD WEAKEN IT ONCE AGAIN. WIND RADII TO THE NORTHEAST REMAINS LARGE BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND PREVIOUS MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3180 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628239-23190>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA40144; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:33:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10232167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:33:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA33970 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:33:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141533.KAA27953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:33:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Vtyphmmp Zeb (18w) Warnin ,4 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bcd22b41374713cbf327d53fb622c84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 170 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 VTYPHMMP ZEB (18W) WARNIN ,4 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESPAW-8. -PGNICIK)?--3$ 9, :3 PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM LGAST SEMICIRCLE===== 8 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDE - -90 NM NORTHEAST UEVIMIRCLD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628241-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 23:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA30338; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:34:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10232176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA34926 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:34:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA27981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141534.KAA27981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 10:34:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: -1;8,/qvmv Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 020, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6e1bb274694ee1864c433bebad9d107 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 213 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 -1;8,/QVMV ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 020, 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWEST-: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 141200Z8 --- 17.6N4 121.5E9 MOVEMF1-)5 -8/ #974- - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LON TED BY SATELLITE PRESTNT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTU 125 KT RADIUS MF 050 KT WINDU - 120 NM LGAST SEMICIRCLE -8888888888888888888809;34 2-534 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER 8IADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NOYTHEA T SEMICIRCLD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628240-23186>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:02:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA43768; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:02:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10232481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA30378 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:01:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141601.LAA28870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:01:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part 1 Of 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80880ef6b42d21d98f99ce36b7ac7e5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 644 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 PART 1 OF 2 1. TYPHOONIBEB (18W) WARCING NR 020 PKNBOGLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNI G POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 17.6N# 121.5E9 MMVEMENT PASLISIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS -POSITIOC ACCURATE TO WIHIN 060 NM PRESENT WIND DISTRITUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUU OF 050)(5 28,$- - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 0 070 ,. 3)-32#343 9;34 2-534 RADIUS OP 035 TIWIJJIPKNBOOP NX NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHECE OVER WATER REPNNMLPOSIT: 17.6N4 121.5E9 FORECASNKAAWPKBL QW HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.3N2 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 10; KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 0>7NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLEO ) OVER WATER - 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER .RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8?::8-88880,=: 8OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 GXS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.4N4 120.1E4 4 VJXQPPICNIJVIPCIKJIPKKQQU KT, GUST S 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE LUZON AND INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED.?5#3 2-4,8,< +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:10:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628378-23183>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:06:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA44274; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:05:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10232575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA59842 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:05:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:05:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141605.LAA28989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:05:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part One Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 125f9a466b6cad06ca6fd14748228692 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 687 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 PART ONE OF THREE PARTS 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNI G NR 020#9+(?)8;2 ACTIVE TROPICA :6:)9,3- 8 MAXPSUSTAINED WINDS MAUEDION ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 141200+8 --2 17.6N4 121.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS -8295 DEGREES AT 05 KOS POSITION AVPVRATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRPOU I I OVER QATBKIOR I PUP NM ELSEWHERE MVF QCCOY RADIUS OF 035 KTSQCKJS - 350 FM PMRTHEAST SEMICIRCLE # OVER WATER , , 88 21< FM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 121.5E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID ATC 150000MKXLAAA QIMEN2 120.7;30 ? MAX FUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 09,AUPCIJJIPKNB70 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ,- OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER T OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200+9 --- 19.4N4 120.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTSI135 KT ) RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLEVGZ - - IIIIIIIIIQUCBVM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE /) OM R LEEH 050 NV EOUBW VYEHOVER WATER IEND PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 00:26:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2738 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628356-23186>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:15:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA26872; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:13:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10232709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:13:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26832 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:13:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:13:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141613.LAA29206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:13:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b9a478c5a04f63cd4a662bd53e9754a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 768 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 PART TWO OF THREE PARTS 80 ,) 0 180 NM ELSEZHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 3- HRHVOSWT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALWD JT: 160000Z7 --- 26.1N4 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GNBGBPKQCMLKZ R L RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 09; +- 3--58-3.8: 8 S OVER WATER #- ,- 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVERNMNMOY RQDIU , VALID AT:,, 161200Z0 --- 22.9N3 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED AINDS - 090 KT, GUFTSH110+KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICICCLE # OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIU TF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EASTSEMICIRCLE -- 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVEGVVMNFGH VECTOX TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTE 72 HRBK; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:20:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA42786; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:16:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10232757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA34830 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:16:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:16:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810141616.LAA29269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 11:16:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Three Of Tmree Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 834aae3bcc34a733bf133a9b21affd38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 807 WTPN31 PGTW 141900 PART THREE OF TMREE PARTS POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, GQCKZXI AICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 141200E8 LYNOPTIN REPORTS. HPHOON ZEB COPTI USSTO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE COMV,3$ -53><8,< 8,>)73,:3 9> 5#3 SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEWSO. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. TYPHOON ZEB YZPI PN3:53$ 59 :74;3 .943 ,945#2-4$ ?35233, 5#3 12 AND 24-HOUR PERIOD AS KT MOVEUYIMTO THE WEAKNOBBLOF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NORTHGANORTHEAST AS IT MOVESN945# 9> 5#- WITH A VWD-LATITUDEITROUGG APPROACHING FROM THE COBO. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS EXPECTED TOHAGAIN INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORZLNORTHWARD, )INC REASED VERTICKCBCIJUPIQNNFBN<))-,$ 8,534-:589, -)9,< 5#3 COAST OF TAIWAN STOULD WEAKEN IT ONCE AGAIN. WIND RADII TO THE NORTHEAST REVAINS LARGE BASED ON SATELLITA IMAGERY ANALYSIS ANGNGZPRE V UOUS MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 29 FEET. REFER TOWWPW31 PVFQ FMG NGGWTIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 250300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 15;900Z5 (DTG 150791Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG KKVQ MPZWRAXER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630404-23183>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:10:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA55778; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:09:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10236462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA35024 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:09:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:09:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810142109.QAA06961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:09:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d792c53ee21c32d895fc677a741fc177 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 969 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 021 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 18.8N7 121.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 121.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.7N9 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.0N5 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.7N3 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 26.7N5 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 30.7N0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 19.3N3 120.9E2. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS, FINALLY MOVING OFFSHORE FROM LUZON. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM SUFFERED GREATLY OVER LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (100 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 141800Z4 SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TYPHOON ZEB CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE COMBINED STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. TYPHOON ZEB IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CURVING MORE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 24- HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THEN RECURVE TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS OVER WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN. AS IT MOVES MORE NORTHWARD, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION ALONG TAIWAN SHOULD WEAKEN IT ONCE AGAIN. WIND RADII TO THE NORTHEAST REMAIN LARGE BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND PREVIOUS DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 09:18:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2024 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630455-23183>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:12:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA26746; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10236468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA04200 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810142111.QAA07009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:11:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 101f84777f2c6f1b51397950d54dcf69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 015 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.2N5 136.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 136.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.4N7 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.8N1 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.4N8 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.4N9 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.1N1 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 12.2N5 136.2E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 20W IS GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK SLOWLY GAINING LATITUDE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE HAMPERING THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT ALLOWING IT TO ONLY SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 10:46:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <640487-16748>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 09:27:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA47894; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:26:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10240324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA54266 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:26:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:26:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150126.UAA11055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:26:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e04fddce3ecd81d5c571a72ec15b4629 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 242 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.0N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALIDAT: 160000Z7--- 22.9N3 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.8N4 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.5N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 29.8N9 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 19.6N6 120.5E8. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED SOME ORGANIZATION AFTER SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RE-ORGANIZE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE TIME OF LANDFALL WITH TAIWAN AT WHICH TIME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. SOME REINTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION, BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED AS THE 72 HOUR POSITION PLACES THE SYSTEM IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED WIND SHEAR. THE FORECASTED VERTICAL ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH COLDER WATER TEMPERATURES ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 10:46:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <640719-16748>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 09:31:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15858; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:30:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10240384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30944 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150130.UAA11117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 20:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3249f8b8b0fbf81ca8f619d51ffe706 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 357 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.0N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.9N3 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.8N4 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.5N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 29.8N9 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 19.6N6 120.5E8. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED SOME ORGANIZATION AFTER SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RE-ORGANIZE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE TIME OF LANDFALL WITH TAIWAN AT WHICH TIME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. SOME REINTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION, BUT THIS SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED AS THE 72 HOUR POSITION PLACES THE SYSTEM IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED WIND SHEAR. THE FORECASTED VERTICAL ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH COLDER WATER TEMPERATURES ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 10:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1317 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 10:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26690; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:01:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10240806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:01:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52994 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:00:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150200.VAA11785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 21:00:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef28c469dc3b7428fb24935d3edf36f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 11.7N9 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 11.7N9 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 11.8N0 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.3N6 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.8N5 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 11.7N9 135.6E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS BUT REMAINS BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, PRIMARILY DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TY ZEB (19W) CREATING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH NOT ENOUGH TO HALT DEVELOPMENT, THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 20W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 36 HOUR POSITION, AT WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO GAIN LATITUDE AND ACHIEVE A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 15100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 11:40:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3668 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626051-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 11:37:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA53028; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:35:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA59142 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:35:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:35:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150335.WAA12681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:35:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part 1 Of 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dce40f9a10ea272ee337e1bb4dd2da19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 PART 1 OF 2 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-;.8,753 WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 M W PTSITION BASED ON CENTERGMHRATE BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: X OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 120.5E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200+9 --- 21.0N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE V OVER WATE R - 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALIDAT: 160000Z7--- 22.9N3 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM SOUTHEAST VIBHCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.8N4 122.8E3 ) MAX SUSTAINEE WINDS - 075 KT, GUST S 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.5N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 29.8N. 128.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT,#GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ) 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF NING DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RE-ORGANIZE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE TIME OF LANDFALL WITH TAIWAN AT WHICH TIME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. SOME REINTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION, BUT THIS SHOQLD BE SHORT-LIVED AS THE 72 HOUR POSITION LLACES THE SYSTEM IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 12:32:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 11:56:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA40620; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:52:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10242381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA42902 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:52:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150352.WAA12790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 22:52:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part Two Of Three Parts To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b6455cd894d6ab0143c6ceba5840e81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 PART TWO OF THREE PARTS 36 HCS,-VALID AT: YQWPPZ0 ---824.8N4 122.8E3 MWX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GPICBL090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICUVKBE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 8 - OVER WATER W APCUUPNM ELSEWHERE OVDJ M WATER VECTOR TGN48 HR POSI: 040 DMX/ 11 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 3- 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEASTN? SEMICIRCLE ,2 , -8-8888888888888888809;34 2-53 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 84-, VALID AT: 180000Y. --- 29.8N9 128.1E1 MAX SUSAINED WINDS - 060 AQK)GUSTS 075 KT - RADIUS OX 050 ;:5 28,$- - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SE I PRP NM ELSEWHERE VADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ETSMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 19.6N6 120.5E8. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING NO THWANORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED SOME ORGANIZATION AFTER SIGNIFICANT QON NING DUE TO LAND EFFECTSGM IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO R -ORGANUZE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE TIHE OF LANDFALL WITH TAIWAN AT WHICH TIME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. SOME REINTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED NEAR THE 48 HOUR E D PART 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 13:27:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626528-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 13:16:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA34852; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:15:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:15:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10240 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:15:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:15:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150515.AAA13628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:15:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Part 1 Of 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fe9c5a4a077d7adf4f126e3a99ea5b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 740 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 PART 1 OF 2 SUBJ: TROPCCAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB 488.-) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-?.8,7:9# WARNING POSITION: 0 15000Z6 --- 19.1N1 120.5E8 -2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 D EGREES AT 08 KOS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 M W PTSITION BASED ON CENTERGMHRATE BY A COMBINATION NM ELSEWHERE OVER 2-534 ;;3:594 59 24-T POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 K QOOBOUW TBBNVNHVLVTWLVHWMMHW : 9 +MANU?TOOTCKQOTHHHRTHHHHMTNMZMVATTTE TCWATUAZZT LOHMET TMJMBONITVN)5VXMOLXM QTTTOMTHTTTC VHO TIMLTVAATMTVVTTEONQH.0;0)?;/?;??59:;);5HOBNWHOV TVOMVOCBM CTTVH TTOWS AOTTMTMWMMNXATTOHHXNO HP .7-NPVCTAHQKVHTTTHHIFGTGMVIBACTTIBUVBTB BO UVPAT :; .;.;,?NTWTHHHHHTHHZQHYHHTH9;6GHTHHT22, 95-315?.;+2552??5,525??PSTO M V T?5ZSHTWHHHMOZHTTTHMQOGOOKIIPF PXAN NUBCCHWTTT?7;;9U VBKTM+? 9EG) ?5?WMHHQO-)0?5??-119,5AOSH;90LZLLLJLMFVOV UOHUAGWH1MMHHMQOZWOMHXGGXQC T VKVMVVVVVOBBTBB??5??5???$?5?;9; MMHT65+25?525??22521?59+9979??5?5-25 9,)5/?VTZSTTWTHHQTVEGIS EOC PWPPO95 - -7 ) 040 NM ELSVCXOYE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO REORGANIMOLAND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH TOE TIME XF LANDN LL WITH TAIWAN AT SOME REINTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED NEAR THE GRI HOUR POSITION, BUT THISUMXMQLD BE SHORT-LIVED ABGTPO72 HOU POSITION LLAKOB THE SYSTEM IN AN ZCURONMENT OF +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:16:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3631 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626727-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:05:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52730; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15306 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150604.BAA13994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75edc0b4d76c653484737b8a6ef3cd4c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 387 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626561-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:19:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54188; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA48000 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150617.BAA14082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9fab35f553763d2139ec4457603993a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 774 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1489 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:30:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA48088; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA48026 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150617.BAA14090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69bea4db1daea9ace93f1c17d6729da9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 778 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:28:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:25:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA59276; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:24:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30258 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150623.BAA14120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c308fbba663a7cff7ede0f41ee0d519 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 995 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//# REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015;+ 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2062 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626829-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:43:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA47996; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59234 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150632.BAA14148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?=?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1a51c4e1898319d939ab3732fb9794b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 303 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?=?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//$ .243>/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:42:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18792; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:41:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44090 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150640.BAA14183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?;?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b7b0723eeb978ce76b1fba6ad8c40b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 607 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?;?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627327-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:55:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA38990; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:47:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA48930 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150646.BAA14211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8? ?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed67a405ecf021b0677caf30e2c8ea3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 748 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8? ?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPIV C ECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627096-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:02:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA40000; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:01:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:01:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04116 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150700.CAA14334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d1ded9be2f3fa53f3386f18b85f7636 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 012 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627096-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:22:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44266; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:18:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24784 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150717.CAA14428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddffa9441e160328b571c17a42c1fd4e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 452 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:38:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44114; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15648 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150733.CAA14473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 645c54ddba27ae962b9cde7984ca2b65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 733 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9;50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EIUEO RITRR TWPPT IQPUQ EEE WPQYQ TTT QPWYP OQPWWV YIWYE EWTUP YPQPY QPQU 20143 38522 48545 52005 86500 333 20139 555 10240 91023= 68267 11565 63210 10160 20149 38287 48553 52016 60164 70522 84570 333 20117 555 10193 20163 41418 91025= 68289 36/// /0000 10179 20154 39177 48535 52010 333 20136 555 10199 91019= 68350 16/// /0110 10177 2//// 38695 48545 52011 69944 333 72, 555 10285 20004 91022= 68368 11240 70108 10134 20127 38343 48544 52012 69924 74000 87600 333 20108 555 10225 20002 91024= 68372 16/// /3506 10157 20157 38491 48553 52016 60394 333 20106 555 10247 20388 91024= 68403 36/// /1713 10119 20102 30189 40219 52023 333 20080 555 10179 91021= 68424 32982 11906 10173 21019 39241 48557 52018 80006 333 20122 555 10292 91021= 68438 31976 20000 10197 21116 38855 48560 52015 70500 80005 333 20080 555 10271 41498 91022= 68442 32982 20000 10138 20039 38691 48540 52071 80004 333 20051 555 10254 91022= 68461 32980 62906 10151 20111 38352 48539 52013 4052 333 20063 555 10240 91023= 68512 32982 31010 10126 21059 39067 48560 52022 80002 333 20092 555 10248 91022= 68538 32982 21408 10154 21035 38757 48546 52023 81031 333 20101 555 10249 91021= 68587 NIL= 68588 32470 72117 10207 20162 30160 40176 51045 875// 333 20147 555 10250 91017= 68591 36/// /2613 10212 20168 30004 40183 52030 333 20171 555 10237 91018= 68618 32980 30000 10109 20057 39107 48556 52024 80004 333 20025 555 10256 41553 91023= 68633 36/// /1215 10116 20077 38543 48538 52024 333 20080 555 10237 91022= 68668 31570 70000 10140 20080 39372 48576 52041 70522 875// 333 20125 555 10256 91024= 68714 32565 53515 10130 20039 30212 40249 52020 82506 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 333 20120 555 10253 91023= 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 30166 40241 51042 60114 75862 885// 333 201-4 555 10203 20106 91024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 40223 50030 83550 333 20155 555 10243 91022= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627657-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:45:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24722; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA59242 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150741.CAA14520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b0c99ac61fc8081d3e21ffc70988b67 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 888 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 ;0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 30166 40241 51042 60114 75862 885// 333 201-4 555 10203 20106 91024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 40223 50030 83550 333 20155 555 10243 91022= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628352-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30450; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:49:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39094 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150748.CAA14565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?=?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d7d489b194351ff795d4452253fbab4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 953 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?=?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .243?/A/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626660-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30432; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54968 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150748.CAA14566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?=?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4d3d28ed5cffd97579057d8087ebca7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 953 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?=?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .243?/A/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628357-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:54:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30278; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:49:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:49:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39108 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150748.CAA14573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92bd73c5e47047fe8ef323a737df3a58 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 954 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627342-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:07:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA49058; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:50:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54672 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150750.CAA14581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eba0ea44002af04c4e0c788fea27aa04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 962 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 20.5N7 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.0N5 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 25.2N9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 27.1N0 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 28.9N9 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.7N1 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 21.1N4 120.8E1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IT=S FORWARD MOTION SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST FORECAST. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO A OPTIMAL COMBINATION OF STEERING INFLUENCES - A STRONGER PERIPHERAL RIDGING TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST= BROAD TROUGH POSITIONED TO THE NORTH, AND INCREASED INFLUENCE OF THE =DIPPING= SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE SPEED IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY AS THE FACTORS ADJUST AND THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE IS THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE, BUT IT REMAINS RELATIVELY QUICK FOR THIS KIND OF SYNOPTIC CONFIGURATION. WIND RADII ARE EXPANDED, ESPECIALLY THE 50 KNOT RADII, BASED ON A 150206Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1831 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:06:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA55752; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA55710 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150758.CAA14611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?;?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56c7004a969258b56f41b95686857fb3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 052 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?;?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .243?/A/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626873-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:13:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53034; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18704 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150759.CAA14618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f19fd05e4fd0f2ccd1597dd270cf309e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 059 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 0 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1800 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:05:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24622; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA53010 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150804.DAA14854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 333ad42d6b5fa78144c84a1ccdbb1d4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 156 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2>2)11 <88<1 <0?0118-($.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2568 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628258-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:13:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40486; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52490 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150807.DAA14864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31b08d1e344b6c81144be96947d99315 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 187 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA53128; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15712 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150812.DAA14900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f873caddc7962ac73e5dac570ff63c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 327 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEVQVSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627342-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:15:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04112; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16874 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150813.DAA14916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f8a4613c46a0d8402b3fb746d2c2c27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 350 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2877 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628389-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:15:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04194; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52474 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150813.DAA14924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8? ?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 818d6a2d57d9dd8e5384b19d600ccbff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 352 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8? ?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPIV C ECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2925 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626015-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:15:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA15250; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA10356 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150814.DAA14931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f578424c3e3a8d0d1edb3c3852d969f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 374 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 11.9N1 135.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 135.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.1N4 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 12.4N7 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.7N0 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.4N8 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.0N7 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 12.0N3 134.9E7. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN RESPONSE TO TY ZEB=S (18W) PERIPHERAL RIDGE. ALTHOUGH STILL EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM THE TYPHOON=S OUTFLOW, TS BABS (20W) IS MAINTAINING DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION AS WELL AS OUTFLOW IN ITS HINDERED QUADRANT. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:31:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA39228; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA10252 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150815.DAA14941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/vqant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e7601f8cee22bf0fe042162ea633402 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 401 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/VQANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 909VMM RMKS/ 1. WESTERNPNOGTHHPACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY VO2PLC A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1666 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628351-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:57:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18782; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:52:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:52:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA59178 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150851.DAA15090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88178fb7f5c461275c6b7c9c902cfdd1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 986 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 ?0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 30166 40241 51042 60114 75862 885// 333 201-4 555 10203 20106 91024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 40223 50030 83550 333 20155 555 10243 91022= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2172 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628351-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:02:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA54970; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA40592 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150857.DAA15104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4c38f7e6204e1c76d3b26f724aff206 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 042 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,-;0-:.359::3, 23-5 <7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2800 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628400-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:08:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA55006; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA40616 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150857.DAA15112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a23b7f09e9d306bcf873b10c3713950 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 044 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2239 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628372-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:03:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA40684; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA43732 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150902.EAA15240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c79c2476cb1bac578d13bb156807d303 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 112 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .243?/A/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628367-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:05:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54882; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA43594 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150904.EAA15251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e17a98b2fc6b511ef283cdd27a7f4ccc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 167 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//?.;N1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 43=88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3014 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626398-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:10:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54836; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24584 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150907.EAA15266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fe9fae056515a130868b8b7a8d4f50e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 207 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2?2)11 ?88?1 ?0?0118-(?.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627637-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:12:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA42918; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:09:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64334 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150908.EAA15288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d4429f0e8bf8e8ae47d1a1c4cee5ecf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 230 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,;(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853$ -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043;88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:14:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59234; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA48966 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150912.EAA15348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab02a07805f7fa3a67ae30c9f3f44b9b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 395 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADM N/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEWT GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A(4.; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:31:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59256; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA53042 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150914.EAA15377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05003426b60fdeb73c3e3d07a96a75c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 415 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEVQVSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4968 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628379-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:34:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30428; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:15:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA10320 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150914.EAA15388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/vqant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32083fa3b4cff189262c22859a23f46a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 420 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/VQANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 909VMM RMKS/ 1. WESTERNPNOGTHHPACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY VO2PLC A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628546-4280>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28316; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:07:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA24184 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:07:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:07:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152007.PAA28245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:07:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71d320079b7b57342f13d1bb4dc322c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 370 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 22.7N1 121.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 121.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 25.2N9 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 27.2N1 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 28.9N9 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 30.7N0 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 34.1N8 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 23.3N8 122.3E8. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 151800Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 151730Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT EXPERIENCES INCREASING WIND SHEAR FROM A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 09:36:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628532-4284>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA52904; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10253808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA52370 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810152048.PAA29547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bc2e649b59c53114a77e687e13d73ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 937 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 11.9N1 133.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 133.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 12.0N3 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.3N6 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.9N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.5N9 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.5N1 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 11.9N1 132.6E2. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 151730Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK INITIALLY WESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS MODIFIED BY THE MOVEMENT OF TYPHOON ZEB (18W). TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 10:53:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:23:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA50032; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:22:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10257887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:21:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52824 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:21:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:21:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160221.VAA04913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:21:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5fbfa4d428b2d4e8f5856c45b29440dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 23.8N3 121.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 121.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 26.3N1 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 28.6N6 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 30.9N2 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 33.3N9 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 38.8N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 24.4N0 122.4E9. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 152330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATING THAT THE SYSTEM WAS JUST SOUTHEAST OF WMO NUMBER 46763 (HULIEN, TAIWAN). TYPHOON ZEB (18W) SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AROUND THE 12 TO 24 HOUR POSITION DUE TO STEERING FROM A MID LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH CONVECTION IS BEING DRAWN NORTHEASTWARD; THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE INTENSITY TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 10:53:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4351 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:35:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA52544; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:35:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10257949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA56616 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:35:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160235.VAA05035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 21:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 758d48ae9116e8ac9e9b0313392b8cd9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 11.9N1 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.3N6 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.6N9 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.1N5 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.6N0 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.9N4 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 12.0N3 131.6E1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 152330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS BEING SHEARED BY EASTERLY FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH TO THE NORTH. THEREFORE, THE INTENSITIES ARE LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD DECREASE ALLOWING FOR SLOW INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION SHOULD BEGIN SLOWING DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS DUE TO WESTERLY FLOW FROM TYPHOON ZEB (18W) NEAR THE PHILIPPINES. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A SLOW WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TO DEVELOP BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 16:55:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:35:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24274; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:34:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45504 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:34:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160834.DAA08191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 03:34:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4f93aad270ca8b7d650f3ccb7423f65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 168 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 027 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 25.3N0 122.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 122.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 28.1N1 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 30.4N7 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 32.8N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 35.4N2 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 41.0N5 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 26.0N8 123.4E0. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED ONLY SOME DISORGANIZATION DUE TO TAIWAN AND HAS ACCELERATED BASED ON THE MOST RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA FROM THE ISLAND OF PENGIA VU (WMO 46695). THIS DATA ALSO SUPPORTS THE INCREASED WARNING INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS. 160530Z5 VISIBLE IMAGERY IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED OVER THE CENTER HAS LESSENED. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST AND FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 16 17:35:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2901 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627065-17767>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 17:02:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA43772; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:02:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10260692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:02:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24810 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:02:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810160902.EAA08434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 04:02:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6472de009b981f5cdc15a289d109d310 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 594 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 11.9N1 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.0N3 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.3N6 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.8N1 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.4N8 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.8N3 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 11.9N1 130.8E2. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND IS EXPERIENCING INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR, BUT STILL IS PRODUCING DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, LOW-LEVEL INFLOW SUPPORT FROM THE MONSOON TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE UPPER-LEVEL INTERFERENCE FROM TY ZEB (18W) DECREASES, ALLOWING FOR REINTENSIFICATION AFTER THIS TIME. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 160530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2193 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628793-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA54060; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:50:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:50:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA30386 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161449.JAA12517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 09:49:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81de2cb5d1e74d8c786e9d8544c85388 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 11.9N1 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 11.9N1 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.0N3 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.4N7 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.1N5 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.8N3 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 11.9N1 131.3E8. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED AN AVERAGE OF 161130Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS TRACKING SLOWLY WESTWARD IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING WILL REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE SOME SHEARING AND THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628727-17769>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 23:29:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA43654; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:25:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10263849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA48950 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:25:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA13569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:25:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810161525.KAA13569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 10:25:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd1981ce3c39e009a312757b5b276de3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 26.5N3 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 29.3N4 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 32.6N1 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 36.1N0 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 39.5N7 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 47.1N2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 27.2N1 125.6E4. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED IMAGERY AND 161200Z0 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 161200Z0 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH IS CREATING A TIGHTER PRESSURE GADIENT. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO STAY ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT EXPERIENCES INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:34:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 04:36:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA56648; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:35:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10268889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57598 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:16:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162016.PAA20346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:16:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e2dab42cdfa7a718693e190825f881df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 810 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 27.5N4 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 30.2N5 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 33.6N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 37.1N1 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 41.0N5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 49.6N9 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 28.2N2 127.5E5. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED IMAGERY AND 161800Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS IS BASED ON PRESSURE ANALYSIS OF 161800Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. TYPHOON ZEB (18W)=S DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE CARRIED RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD BY THE PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72-HOUR POSITIONS. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3349 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628879-17767>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 05:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA17780; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:12:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10269673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 16:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA66144 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:49:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810162049.PAA20854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 15:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 225855887bc500b0fe2f91041b0ce877 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 257 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 11.9N1 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SECIRCL 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 11.9N1 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.9N1 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.0N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.5N8 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.5N0 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 11.9N1 131.6E1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON 161730Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THIS WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN MOVING WESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 10:35:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2072 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626715-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 09:56:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA40510; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10273551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAB67114 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:55:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170155.UAA24304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:55:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b876926c33f70307dcedafd51a83435 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 853 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 030 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 28.8N8 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 31.5N9 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 34.9N6 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 38.8N9 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 43.8N5 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 53.2N0 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 29.5N6 128.9E0. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. THE WARNING INTENSITY (65KTS) IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLANDS AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS STILL INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS SURROUNDING TY ZEB. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD TRACK THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NORTH. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A CONTINUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH TO REFLECT THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW ALONG THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT AND BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO A HIGHER WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND BEGINS INTERACTING WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-23725>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 11:18:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA52546; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:17:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:16:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA24592 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:16:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:16:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170316.WAA24977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:16:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warni?a Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1423bed30c8ea98537afd268f595584f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 292 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNI?A NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 12.4N7 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.6N9 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.8N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.1N5 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.5N9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 14.2N7 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 12.5N8 131.5E0. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND A 162059Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. BOTH IMAGES INDICATE A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NORTH OF THE CONVECTION. SINCE IT IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED, SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS ARE CONSIDERABLY LOWER. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS EXPERIENCING CONSIDERABLE WINDSHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING SOUTH OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. AS TYPHOON ZEB (18W) MOVES OVER JAPAN, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD BUILD BACK IN BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND ESTABLISH A MORE TRADITIONAL STEERING PATTERN FOR TS BABS. THE FORECAST TRACK MAINTAINS A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. FORWARD MOTION INCREASES GRADUALLY AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES A MORE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) SHOULD SLOWLY INCREASE INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS VERTICAL WINDSHEAR INDUCED BY TY ZEB (18W) DECREASES AS IT MOVES FURTHER NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:05:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1521 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627259-23717>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 11:30:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA17898; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:18:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10274547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:18:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA17858 for ; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:17:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:17:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170317.WAA24982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 22:17:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 030 Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab6ba0c7b3e14840f6e06e1782ff4ca2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 335 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 COR 1. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 030 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 28.8N8 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 31.5N9 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 34.9N6 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 38.8N9 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 43.8N5 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 53.2N0 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 29.5N6 128.9E0. CORRECTED TO DELETE LINE TWO OF TEXT REFERRING TO UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. THE WARNING INTENSITY (65KTS) IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLANDS AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS STILL INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF STRONG WINDS SURROUNDING TY ZEB. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD TRACK THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH AND THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NORTH. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A CONTINUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH TO REFLECT THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TYPHOON ZEB (18W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW ALONG THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT AND BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. TYPHOON ZEB SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO A HIGHER WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND BEGINS INTERACTING WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 17 15:50:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3792 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627128-20603>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 15:45:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24760; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:41:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10277242 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA22182 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:41:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:41:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810170741.CAA26754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 02:41:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffb5ee990eefe86fc4849b232e695bff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 661 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 12.3N6 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.5N8 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.8N1 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: C RA -) 13.0N4 128.2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626329-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 10:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA67778; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:59:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA49018 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:58:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:58:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180258.VAA04075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 21:58:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ead31805d34caabc73e56464130d67d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 928 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 12.2N5 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 12.3N6 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 12.5N8 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.8N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.3N7 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.6N1 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 12.2N5 129.3E5. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (40 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 171350Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATED MAX WINDS (35 KNOTS) WITH THE SYSTEM WERE LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TS BABS (20W) IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY THE DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER TS BABS. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND ESTABLISH A MORE DOMINANT STEERING PATTERN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT, WE EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LATITUDE AND FORWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG87332910153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4432 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626274-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 11:16:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA55020; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:15:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10288390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:15:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49080 for ; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:15:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180315.WAA04242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 22:15:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zeb (18w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c778c693f237e3002c3b04e2e32e2449 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 234 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 39.9N1 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWARE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.9N1 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 45.4N3 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 50.1N6 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 54.9N8 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 41.3N8 139.1E4. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) HAS TRACKED RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 33 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (50 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVING INTO TS ZEB FROM KOREA AND THE SEA OF JAPAN. THIS INDICATES TS ZEB (18W) IS RAPIDLY BECOMING AN EXTRA-TROPICAL (XT) SYSTEM ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TS ZEB REMAINS IN THE STEERING FLOW OF THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO ITS NORTH. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE 35KT WIND RADII WITH THE SYSTEM. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO INDICATES THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE BEING REPORTED FURTHER AWAY FROM THE CENTER, ANOTHER INDICATION OF AN XT SYSTEM. TS ZEB (18W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW OF THE TROUGH TO ITS NORTH AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. AS TS ZEB BECOMES A MATURE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY, WE EXPECT A SLOWING AND NORTHWARD TURN TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) IS TRANSITIONING TO A DOMINANT EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THE 6 HOUR PERIOD. THE FORECAST INTENSITY OF TROPICAL STORM ZEB IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TRANSITION TO AN XT SYSTEM. GIVEN ITS RAPID FORWARD MOTION, HIGH WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH TS ZEB (18W) SHOULD BE EXPECTED. WIND RADII ARE OMITTED FOR AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU (WWPW PGFW) FOR FUTURE GALE (STORM)WARNINGS. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG88132910151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4670 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-18315>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:31:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48020; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10292508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA53036 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810180830.DAA06222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 03:30:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 846731b06a65235a942fdeb7c7b9bfc7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 044 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 11.8N0 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.8N0 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 11.9N1 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.2N5 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.8N1 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.8N3 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 11.8N0 129.3E5. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS DRIFTED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (40 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 180119Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THIS MICROWAVE IMAGE AND A PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER FIX LED US TO ADJUST THE TWO PREVIOUS POSITIONS (171800Z7 AND 180000Z9) MORE SOUTHWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY DEPICTED. THIS INDICATES AN OVERALL WEST-SOUTHWEST DRIFT (3 KNOTS) OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SLIGHT DRIFT IN THE TRACK. ANIMATION AND UNIV. WISCONSIN SHEAR PRODUCTS INDICATE TS BABS (20W) IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS LOW APPEARS TO BE THE PRIMARY CONTRIBUTING FACTOR TO THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER TS BABS. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD DRIFT AS IT REMAINS IN A BROAD TROUGH UNDER THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND ESTABLISH A MORE DOMINANT STEERING PATTERN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT, WE EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LATITUDE AND FORWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS WINDSHEAR LESSENS AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND AS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEAKENS AFTER THE 36 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7),190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG93212910753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 18 22:44:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-18319>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:33:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28190; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:32:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10295569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15158 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:31:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810181431.JAA08657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:31:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a09766508b6c0c77984a252cd51e2fd9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 309 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 11.4N6 129.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 129.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 11.3N5 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 11.4N6 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.8N0 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.4N7 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.3N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 11.4N6 129.5E7. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW NORTHEAST OF TS BABS (20W) IS SUPPLYING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE AREA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS SHOW THE SHEAR EFFECTS AS WELL. AS A RESULT, DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. TS BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AND DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD IN A BROAD TROUGH UNDER THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LATITUDE AND FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POINT, TS BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LESSENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 08:05:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-18319>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 05:18:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA14546; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:16:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10300360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:16:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA43710 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:16:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA12998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:16:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810182116.QAA12998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 16:16:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2298108e3ce01b4f74bac0ec574f5f09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 850 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 11.5N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 11.4N6 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 11.4N6 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.8N0 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.4N7 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.2N7 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 11.5N7 129.7E9. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NORTHEAST OF TS BABS (20W) HAS CONTINUED TO SUPPLY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE SHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE DECREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW- CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS SHOW THE SHEAR EFFECTS AS WELL. AS A RESULT, DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. TS BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY AND DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD UNDER THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LATITUDE AND FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TS BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO LESSEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 11:29:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4470 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626285-27949>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 11:18:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15244; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:18:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10304761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA22388 for ; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:17:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190317.WAA17833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:17:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d79fdde698eeecf58865a6327ef58172 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 149 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNILE ?KCDI N: 190000Z0 --- 10.5N6 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DA(SAP5KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 10.5N6 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.6N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.0N2 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 11.7N9 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 13.3N7 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 129.2E4. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 190030Z3 VISIBLE AND 182301Z5 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF TYPHOON BABS HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS WEAKENING HAS RESULTED IN LESS VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND ALLOWED TY BABS TO BEGIN INTENSIFICATION. FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK WESTWARD IN A BROAD TROUGH UNDER THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TY BABS (20W) IS THEN FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND ESTABLISH A MORE DOMINANT STEERING PATTERN. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LATITUDE AND FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INCREASING IN INTENSITY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE AREA. THIS REDUCTION IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD ALLOW TY BABS TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. LAND INTERACTION WITH THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS BETWEEN 48-72HRS WILL RESTRICT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SHIP REPORTS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE RADII ARE ADJUSTED SMALLER AT THE 48-72 HOUR POSITIONS DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 19 16:50:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627282-27943>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:44:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA57578; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:42:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10307868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:42:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15302 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:42:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:42:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810190842.DAA20622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 03:42:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 422f5bccc2b0ce94526922bbe2041362 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 10.6N7 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.6N7 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.8N9 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.4N6 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.2N5 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.6N1 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 10.6N7 129.1E3. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (65 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE IMAGERY , 190149Z4 MICROWAVE SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA (SHIP JQCU) ANALYSIS. THE SHIP REPORTED 52KT (10 MINUTE AVG SUSTAINED) WINDS AT 00Z. THIS WIND WOULD EQUATE TO ABOUT 60 KNOT SUSTAINED (1 MINUTE AVERAGE) WINDS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF TYPHOON BABS HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS WEAKENING HAS RESULTED IN LESS VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND ALLOWED TY BABS TO BEGIN INTENSIFICATION. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED TO BETTER REFLECT OVERALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. THEREFORE THE TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED MORE TO THE NORTH. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK WESTWARD IN A BROAD TROUGH UNDER THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LATITUDE AND FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INCREASING IN INTENSITY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE AREA. THIS REDUCTION IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD ALLOW TY BABS TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. FORECAST WIND RADII PAST THE 24 HOUR POSITION HAVE BEEN INCREASED TO THE EAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE DEVELOPING OUTER CONVECTIVE BANDS EXPECTED TO WRAP INTO TY BABS. THE RADII ARE ALSO ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY SMALLER AT THE 48-72 HOUR POSITIONS DUE TO LAND NTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 00:54:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627872-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 22:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA52700; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:25:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10311087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:25:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA48842 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:25:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810191425.JAA24655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 09:25:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aba9487114fbcbdf489a08ec00b91147 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 151 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 10.6N7 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.5N6 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 10.5N6 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 10.9N0 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 11.7N9 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.2N7 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 10.6N7 129.3E5. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS DRIFTED TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 2 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED AND 190906Z5 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF TYPHOON BABS HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS WEAKENING HAS RESULTED IN LESS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTING TY BABS, THUS ALLOWING IT TO INCREASE ITS INTENSITY AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. TY BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 08:46:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3828 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628959-27950>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 04:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA24086; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:35:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10316933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:35:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAB44478 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:35:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:35:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810192035.PAA05335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 15:35:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b613c2cb05363e442b1135d75d64a182 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 663 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 10.9N0 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.0N2 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.3N5 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 11.9N1 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.8N1 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.0N6 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 10.9N0 128.8E9. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 3 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND ALLOWED THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED AS WELL. 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM NOW HAS A SMALL CLOUD-FILLED EYE FEATURE. TY BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TY BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS CONDITIONS ALOFT IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 10:56:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626347-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:26:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22244; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:24:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10322125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA45738 for ; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:24:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200224.VAA11193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 21:24:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b720f5b5959df85e2e8e85e1edc9def Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 WTPN32 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 11.3N5 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.1N4 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 12.8N1 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.5N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.3N8 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.1N8 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 11.5N7 128.1E2. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A 8 NM DIAMETER CLOUD FILLED EYE FEATURE. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND BETA EFFECT PROPAGATION. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA AND CLOUD SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 14:00:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627021-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:49:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57378; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:47:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10324253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33800 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200546.AAA13438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1889bbf8a87cbf21d87d61550667dbd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.3N5 128.4E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN MONSOON TROUGHING, A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW ALOFT REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE, BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL AS OF YET. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION OR TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THIS CONVECTION AT PRESENT CONSISTS OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 14:29:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-4449>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:07:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA35084; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:06:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10324319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:06:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52366 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:05:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:05:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200605.BAA13707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:05:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7379d066e570c6c703dee36209e949c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 016 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.3N5 128.4E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN MONSOON TROUGHING, A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW ALOFT REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE, BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL AS OF YET. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION OR TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THIS CONVECTION AT PRESENT CONSISTS OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 16:49:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627513-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 16:35:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA48752; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:27:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10325233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA35158 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:27:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200827.DAA14858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 03:27:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eec77504abb16adcfd64cd449a9d72d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 196 WTPN32 PGTW 200900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 11.8N0 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.6N9 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.5N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.4N9 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.3N9 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.7N4 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 12.0N3 127.3E3. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 125 KNOTS IS BASED ON 200530Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 130 KNOTS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS DISPLAYING A WELL DEFINED 12 NM DIAMETER EYE. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST, THE WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND BETA EFFECT PROPAGATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON BABS (20W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION UNTIL LANDFALL ON THE ISLAND OF LUZON AFTER THE 48 HOUR TRACK POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628996-4449>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:07:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA48726; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:55:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10328917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA48690 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:55:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:55:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201455.JAA20129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:55:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cc1daf42bd2029a7db0c308eb903da1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 886 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 026 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 12.2N5 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.0N4 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.8N2 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.6N1 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.4N0 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.0N8 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 12.4N7 126.9E8. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND RETAINS A WELL FORMED EYE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT, SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO LAND DUE TO THE INHERENT INSTABILITY OF VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES AS WELL AS INCREASING LAND EFFECTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628992-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 23:24:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA53214; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:23:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10329292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:23:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA64716 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:22:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA20926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810201522.KAA20926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 10:22:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c26d33ebaf2aa80ca78da6d104c55e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 468 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. SUPER-TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 026A UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON BABS (20W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 12.2N5 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.0N4 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.8N2 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.6N1 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.4N0 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.0N8 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 12.4N7 126.9E8. SUPER-TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND RETAINS A WELL FORMED EYE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. STY BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT, SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO LAND DUE TO THE INHERENT INSTABILITY OF VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES AS WELL AS INCREASING LAND EFFECTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5). 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC NAME.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 08:30:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629007-2048>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 04:23:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30346; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:21:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10332831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:21:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA44124 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:21:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:21:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810202021.PAA00587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 15:21:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20abc3aebd599f609b156e5a5fbdf871 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 365 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 12.7N0 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.4N8 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.1N6 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.9N4 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.6N2 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.0N8 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 12.9N2 126.1E0. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 35 KNOT EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN VERIFIED WITH A 201400Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 12:19:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-13755>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 10:29:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53150; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10338070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52562 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210224.VAA07673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 21:24:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dad0b45bf67c2e601a55609bfbc50102 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 921 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 1. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 13.0N4 125.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 125.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.6N0 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.3N8 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.0N6 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.7N3 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.8N5 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 13.2N6 125.2E0. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS IS BASED ON 202330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 130 AND 140 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS DISPLAYING A 13 NM DIAMETER CLOUD-FILLED RAGGED EYE FEATURE. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (2OW) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND BETA EFFECT PROPAGATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER SOUTHEASTERN LUZON. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT MAKES LANDFALL ON CENTRAL LUZON. AFTER CROSSING LUZON, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 14:06:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1059 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626976-27627>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41176; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10396 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210555.AAA09801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d8b2d1c3ce5402368ca6cc3d197bd64 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 630 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.0N4 125.6E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 135 KNOTS GUSTING TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 113E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 20N2 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC TURNING. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 7N7 155E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE, NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL EXISTS AT PRESENT. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 14:27:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626568-27627>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:18:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54758; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA41150 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210607.BAA10084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f35f2b44a47787a17e1aa4b47daf09d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 821 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.0N4 125.6E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 135 KNOTS GUSTING TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 113E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 20N2 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC TURNING. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 7N7 155E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE, NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL EXISTS AT PRESENT. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 16:31:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626784-7238>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 16:28:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA12934; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:25:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10342064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:25:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24172 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:25:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:25:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210825.DAA11254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 03:25:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f73e34e3d8675878cf5caa150be27955 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 13.5N9 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.5N0 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.3N9 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.0N7 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.8N5 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.0N9 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 13.8N2 124.6E3. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 210530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 130 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS DISPLAYING A 30 NM DIAMETER EYE FEATURE. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND BETA EFFECT PROPAGATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL ON LUZON AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION AND THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CROSSES THE ISLAND. AFTER CROSSING LUZON, SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) SHOULD BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 23:50:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627697-7239>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 22:42:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12216; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:34:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10345280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:34:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA53152 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:34:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA16322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:34:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810211434.JAA16322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 09:34:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1ce01abc5cbbe37320e4749fa835e5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 242 WTPN32 PGTW 211500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 13.7N1 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.4N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.1N7 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.8N4 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.5N2 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.9N7 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 13.9N3 124.0E7. SUPER TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM, ALTHOUGH WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS REMAINS VERY INTENSE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM CATADUANES RADAR SIGHT (WMO 98447) AND VIRAC POINT (WMO 98446), AS WELL AS RADAR FIXES FROM WMO 98446. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLOWLY MOVING IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION, WEAKEN DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND EXPERIENCE SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION AFTER MOVING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA BY 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:26:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627744-7238>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 04:18:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44486; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:17:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10351088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:16:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA54692 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:16:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA27287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:16:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810212016.PAA27287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:16:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6092cb265dfdfd0b3cf8f480eb4527fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 778 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 14.0N5 123.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 123.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.7N2 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.3N9 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.1N8 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.8N5 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.9N7 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 14.2N7 123.1E7. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. LANDFALL WAS MADE OVER CATANDUANES ISLAND AT APPROXIMATELY 211200Z. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, SLOWING SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TY BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS, AND THEN RE-INTENSIFY AFTER 36 HOURS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AND NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:26:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-23063>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:05:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30380; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:04:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10355226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA12992 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220003.TAA01825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e90783f80bdd42ca27ed8adb617d59b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 725 ABPW10 PGTW 220000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220000Z/220600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211953Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211800Z2 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 123.5E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 113E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 20N2 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC TURNING. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 7N7 AND 155E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE, NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL EXISTS AT PRESENT. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOW SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8N8 167E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PRONOUNCED UPPER- LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOWED WIND SHIFTS AT KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) THAT INDICATE PASSAGE OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS NOW LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE STATION. RADAR REPORTS SUGGEST THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS WITH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(5) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATLA/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 12:40:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-23063>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 10:43:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA53244; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:43:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10357774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:41:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA54078 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:36:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220236.VAA03629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34ab394d6b1f165a13d91e990e74ef21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 722 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 14.1N6 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.6N1 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.0N6 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.5N1 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.2N9 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.0N9 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 14.2N7 122.6E1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS WEAKENED AND SLOWED SLIGHTLY TO 06 KNOTS WHILE CONTINUING TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM IS BEING INFLUENCED BY INTERACTION WITH THE EAST-CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AND CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 15:59:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3222 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626882-23059>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:56:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30546; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:55:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10361036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12276 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:54:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:54:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220754.CAA06004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 02:54:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3944ad85f87193cbaa33f63f0edc681e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 578 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 14.6N1 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.4N0 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.9N5 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.5N2 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.3N1 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.4N4 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 14.8N3 122.2E7. TYPHOON BABS (20W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND ACROSS THE EAST- CENTRAL LUZON. THE SYSTEMS SPEED AND DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT HAS REMAINED RELATIVELY CONSTANT TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOUR PERIOD AND CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 23:11:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627877-18260>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 23:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12232; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:58:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10365463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22442 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:58:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810221458.JAA11034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 09:58:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a48d879050f2e48a66b4ac212c9fc40 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 588 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 15.0N6 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.5N1 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.0N7 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.7N4 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.5N3 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 20.0N2 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 15.1N7 121.8E2. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 221215Z3 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TY BABS (20W) HAS RE-INTENSIFIED AND AGAIN FORMED A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN AGAIN RE-INTENSIFY AFTER IT MAKES ITS WAY OVER OPEN WATER WEST OF LUZON BY THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 04:28:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626926-18241>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 04:23:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28288; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:22:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10372567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:22:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA16998 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:22:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA20765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:22:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810222022.PAA20765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 15:22:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10d3033a8058b8bba728aa3ff8412ad3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 917 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 15.3N9 121.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 121.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.8N4 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.3N0 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.1N9 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.1N0 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 20.7N9 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 15.4N0 121.1E5. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 221730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM NO LONGER CONTAINS AN EYE FEATURE. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE SUFFERING FROM INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF THE PHILLIPINES. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AND THEN RE-INTENSIFY AFTER IT MAKES ITS WAY OVER OPEN WATER WEST OF LUZON BY THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3).// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 10:26:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626145-5680>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:15:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA48000; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:15:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10378135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:15:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16668 for ; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:14:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230213.VAA25944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:13:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6482f7eab17940cb1a79a67aad277b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 339 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 16.0N7 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.7N4 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.4N2 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.0N9 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.8N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.7N9 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 16.2N9 120.3E6. LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY. AFTER TY BABS TRANSITS THE ISLAND OF LUZON, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH AND WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO INCREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4769 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626985-6323>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:20:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57356; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:18:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:18:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA49112 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230517.AAA27670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb977a7f3ebd71b93ce6a5b527d4a16d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 551 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 120.6E9, NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 162E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 17:11:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1209 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627440-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:54:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA43396; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:54:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10380465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA12910 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:54:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:54:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230754.CAA28389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 02:54:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 691fed073bcc3093a0ec1e442eda48c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 16.6N3 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.5N3 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.2N1 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.9N8 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.7N7 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.9N1 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 16.8N5 119.0E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TO 11 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA SHOW TY BABS IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40NM OFF THE WEST COAST OF LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 230530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 230059Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE WEST COAST OF THE ISLAND. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY BABS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TURN MORE TOWARDS THE NORTH. AS TY BABS CONTINUES TO TRACK INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY. BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TY BABS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER INTO AN AREA WITH INCREASED WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND WEAKEN THE SYTEM BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2993 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-2909>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 22:21:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12160; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:20:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10384594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:19:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA67124 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:19:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231419.JAA02157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c058b8384609fcafeaba0ed4a90920f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 503 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 16.7N4 118.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 118.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.3N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.1N0 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.9N8 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF AP S5EAST SEMICIRCLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:04:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627568-2910>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:05:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA12198; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:03:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10385171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA16776 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:03:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA03360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:03:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231503.KAA03360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:03:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6eb843f71dffe7a68c4e79f8446a73bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 225 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 16.7N4 118.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 118.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.3N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.1N0 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.9N8 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 16.8N5 118.6E6. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY BABS HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED AND INCREASED IN ITS INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY BABS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. NEXT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH. AS TY BABS CONTINUES TO TRACK INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TY BABS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 08:05:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4110 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627557-2904>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:56:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA44262; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:55:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10389209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:54:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA30332 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:54:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:54:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810231954.OAA10735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:54:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c32fa0bcc7bd00ba090268ca0cb8fcd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 706 WTPN32 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 17.3N1 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.1N0 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.8N7 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.6N6 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 20.3N5 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.4N7 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 17.5N3 118.6E6. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY BABS (20W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AS TY BABS CONTINUES TO TRACK INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY BABS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN THE PROCESS OF TURNING NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TY BABS IS EXPECTED BE TRACKING NORTHWARD AND ENTERING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 10:26:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 10:22:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA55002; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:17:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10393996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:17:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA09918 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:17:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240217.VAA15962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 21:17:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 211ab3779052eee154000eba219a6e6e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 479 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 18.0N9 118.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 118.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.9N8 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 +LSEWHER? RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 19.7N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 20.5N7 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 21.4N7 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 23.4N9 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 18.2N1 118.1E1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 232330Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION AND THEN BEGIN A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD TRACK BY THE 72-HOUR TRACK POSITION AS THE RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM=S NORTH WEAKENS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHILE IT REMAINS OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND IN LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, AFTER THE 24-HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 12:32:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 12:31:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA37808; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:23:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10396243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA43372 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:04:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240404.XAA16911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:04:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 040a Amended And Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aebf4bdad72a151801a25c983966df07 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 299 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 AMD 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 040A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 16.9N6 117.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 117.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.3N1 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.9N7 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.6N5 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 19.8N8 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2N6 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 17.0N8 117.2E1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON 240130Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS SOUTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 232330Z3 AND 240130Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN 80 KNOTS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION BASED ON RECENT IMAGERY SHOWING DEEP CONVECTION IS NO LONGER OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 15:28:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626600-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:10:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16724; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:04:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA09974 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240603.BAA17904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1b353e08233143be53298918305c6af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 473 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240155Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9N6 117.4E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 15:28:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:11:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13024; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA45768 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240607.BAA17922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 363e0140907907c2dfcaec5ffceafdb9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 517 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240155Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9N6 117.4E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 17:36:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2640 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627552-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 16:32:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA22126; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:31:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:31:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45352 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240831.DAA18822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 03:31:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5589c731e79af4381849f16aee0a790e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 17.5N3 117.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 117.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.1N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 18.8N7 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.6N6 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.5N7 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 22.0N4 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 17.7N5 117.1E0. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 240530Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BASED ON ANIMATION, ALTHOUGH MOVEMENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL WAS INITIALLY NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD WHEN VIEWED HOURLY. TYPHOON BABS (20W) CONTINUES TO TRACK IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME WITH THE TRACK BECOMING NORTHWARD BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD BASED ON 240600Z2 SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 23:31:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4990 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628032-8399>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 23:03:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22290; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:59:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10400163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA54528 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:59:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810241459.JAA21358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:59:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d9fa541e659f9eb56d940211238ac19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 259 WTPN32 PGTW 241500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 18.2N1 116.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 116.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 19.1N1 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.6N6 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.2N4 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.7N9 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 18.4N3 116.8E6. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO WEAKENING SELF-PROPAGATION MECHANISMS AND WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. TY BABS IS ALSO EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS VERTICAL WIND-SHEAR INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 09:40:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628049-8399>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 04:38:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA16958; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10403861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA22060 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:30:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810242030.PAA25194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 15:30:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16abfd6a6758fd2418ba1d4a57e1e79c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 645 WTPN32 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 18.5N4 116.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 116.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.1N1 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.6N6 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.2N4 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.8N0 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 18.7N6 116.4E2. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR SYNOPTIC DATA AS WELL AS THE SATELLITE DEEP CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 11:54:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625967-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 10:16:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24904; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:13:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10407907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:13:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA62518 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:13:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA28175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:13:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250213.VAA28175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 21:13:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d0578df846ab579117fd91c9892760e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 318 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 18.7N6 116.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 116.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.3N3 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 19.9N9 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.6N8 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.4N7 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.9N3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 18.8N7 116.3E1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242302Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 242243Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 242302Z3 AND 242244Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE 48-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH FURTHER WEAKENS THE RIDGE. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING WIND SHEAR. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ON CHINA PRIOR TO THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 13:31:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626152-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:19:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA84350; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:12:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10410431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:12:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA82616 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:11:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:11:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250511.AAA00039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:11:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 719d59ade173de7f08f285e64b440a06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 402 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 14:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1865 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626497-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:12:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA91910; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:11:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:11:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA92624 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:10:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:10:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250610.BAA00769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:10:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae32a22e38ab83c4a44caca523d3ea63 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 575 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.7N6 116.4E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 6N6 132E6 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD AND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING BUT NO LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS POOR. SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN IN WEAK WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 16:18:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626238-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 16:15:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA119948; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:13:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 03:13:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA119160 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:13:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:13:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810250813.CAA01669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 02:13:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff4e5b7618d7ab95eef16e081291db30 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 236 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 19.4N4 115.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 115.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 20.1N3 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.9N1 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.6N9 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 22.4N8 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.9N4 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 19.6N6 115.8E5. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS AND PREVIOUS IMAGERY SHOWING CLOSELY PACKED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING 75 KNOT INTENSITY. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY REMAIN THE SAME. 50 KNOT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD BASED ON SHIP SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7)AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 22:44:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626724-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 22:31:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24586; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 08:30:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10414638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 09:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA42486 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 08:29:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 08:29:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810251429.IAA04666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 08:29:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 157bbb2a2136fe6cc0694954a4b30ca2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 295 WTPN32 PGTW 251500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 20.3N5 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 115.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 21.3N6 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.3N7 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 23.2N7 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 24.2N8 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.1N9 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 20.6N8 115.6E3. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 250934Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS HELPING TO MODULATE THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TY BABS (20W). THIS IS REFLECTED IN A FORECAST TRACK WITH A SLIGHTLY INCREASED FORWARD SPEED AS WELL AS A MORE NORTHWARD DIRECTION. THIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL, WHERE AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE TRACK IS FORECAST AS WELL AS DISSIPATION OVER LAND. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 08:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2898 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626967-27946>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 04:24:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA82464; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:21:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10418477 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 15:21:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24584 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:21:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:21:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810252021.OAA07995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:21:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4674cfed0ed111e0831f5800fe3dc7a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 890 WTPN32 PGTW 252100 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 20.8N0 116.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 116.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.7N0 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.8N2 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.8N3 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.6N2 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.7N4 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 21.0N3 116.0E8. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE IMPACT OF LANDFALL AND THEN THE INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SYSTEM AND THE FRONT TO THE NORTHWEST AT THE 36 HOUR POSITION. A RECENT JOG TO THE EAST IS BELIEVED TO BE A TRANSIENT INDICATION BASED PARTIALLY ON THE UNEVEN CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE OF THE SYSTEM - TRICHOIDAL MOTION INSTEAD OF BEING REPRESENTATIVE OF THE TYPHOON=S MOVEMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 11:43:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626364-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 10:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA55540; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:52:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10422637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 21:52:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA63662 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:52:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260252.UAA13500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 20:52:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cf2b0b988ea6a7f32196b543440d679 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 855 WTPN32 PGTW 260300 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 21.1N4 116.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 116.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.1N5 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 23.1N6 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 24.1N7 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.0N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.4N2 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 21.4N7 116.4E2. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 252217Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND 260000Z8 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON BABS (20W) SHOULD TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO KEEP ITS PRESENT INTENSITY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL ON CHINA AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION AND THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 251441Z7 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 14:11:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3480 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627218-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA65266; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:04:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:03:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA48306 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:03:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:03:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260603.AAA15775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:03:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f979fd345ad37205625b07226f76e032 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 071 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 116.4E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 125E8. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, HOWEVER ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS MOVING WESTWARD AND IS LOCATED AT 6N6 139E3. THIS CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 159E5 AND MOVING WESTWARD. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CYCLONIC TURNING. BOTH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS PRESENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 16:47:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627742-4059>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 16:27:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA104990; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:22:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 03:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA75266 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:21:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:21:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260821.CAA16749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:21:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ae19c6016e3c36158e8804b494984f3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 179 WTPN32 PGTW 260900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 049 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 21.8N1 116.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 116.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.8N2 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.8N3 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.6N2 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.5N2 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 22.1N5 116.9E7. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS DEVELOPED A BANDING EYE FEATURE AND HAS BEEN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTER INCREASING WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627841-4052>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 22:24:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA64312; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:22:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10428754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:22:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA05666 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:22:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:22:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810261422.IAA20196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:22:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9640bbe2b0591824ec06ee2240e0f43 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 WTPN32 PGTW 261500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 22.8N2 117.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 117.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 24.3N9 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 25.4N1 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.3N2 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.6N6 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 23.2N7 117.6E5. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS RE-INTENSIFIED TEMPORARILY WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BANDING EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 77 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THE MOST RECENT INFORMATION INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ELONGATE, SHOWING THE EFFECTS OF LAND AS WELL AS THE SUB-TROPICAL JET. TY BABS (20W) IS FORECAST TO RE-WEAKEN AND CONTINUE THE WEAKENING TREND THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE COMPLETING AN EXTRA- TROPICAL TRANSITION. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR SYNOPTIC DATA AS WELL AS THE ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 09:55:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628093-26668>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 04:23:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA09892; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:21:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10434167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 15:21:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA82560 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:21:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:21:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810262021.OAA29929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:21:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Babs (20w) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38aa54de36ac3dfa90ce52783ccbd367 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 435 WTPN32 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON BABS (20W) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 23.3N8 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.5N1 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.6N3 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.7N5 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.8N7 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.3N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 23.6N1 118.4E4. TYPHOON BABS (20W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AND LOSING ORGANIZATION DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AS WELL AS THAT WITH THE SUB-TROPICAL JET. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS CHANGED DIRECTION ENOUGH SO THAT THE CENTER SHOULD NOT ACTUALLY PASS OVER LAND, THE WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. THE FORECAST WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR SYNOPTIC DATA AND THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AS OBSERVED WITH ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE 36 HOUR POINT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 13:54:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-22419>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:34:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA67242; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10441286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 00:28:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA82578 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270528.XAA13702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3c4f69e480531450d521aaf48e6caaee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 142 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 117.9E8, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 125E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 139E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 159E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 16:10:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627356-22424>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 16:07:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44044; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:07:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10442221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA09976 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:07:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:07:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270807.CAA15083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:07:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d08609bf47a37e05db86e90bbdb9ad4e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 053 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 24.1N7 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.9N5 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.6N3 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.3N1 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 24.3N9 118.7E7 ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 270530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS ON THE COASTLINE OF CHINA AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM CHINMEN (WMO 46736) AND XIAMEN (WMO 59134) WHICH SUGGEST THE SYSTEM CENTER IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THOSE COASTAL STATIONS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS BABS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH INCREASED WIND SHEAR AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TS BABS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 17:27:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628162-22419>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 17:22:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA31964; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:21:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10442760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 04:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA75340 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:19:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:19:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270919.DAA15706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 03:19:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Babs (20w) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5230220898b20c248e2ed69a4787280d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WARNING NR 053 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 24.1N7 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.9N5 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGLCYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.6N3 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.3N1 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 24.3N9 118.7E7 ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 270530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS ON THE COASTLINE OF CHINA AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM CHINMEN (WMO 46736) AND XIAMEN (WMO 59134) WHICH SUGGEST THE SYSTEM CENTER IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THOSE COASTAL STATIONS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS BABS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH INCREASED WIND SHEAR AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TS BABS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3136 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628235-22424>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 22:20:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA67152; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:19:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10445454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 09:19:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA78376 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:19:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:19:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810271419.IAA18395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:19:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w (babs) Warning Nr 054 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1301270c35a7124d2b75f28d8d60dc8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 892 WTPN32 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (BABS) WARNING NR 054 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 24.3N9 118.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 118.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.0N7 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.5N2 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 24.5N1 118.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION BABS (20W) HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED, TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA AND 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. TD BABS (20W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO THE WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING THE SYSTEM, SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENING IT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD BABS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 14:55:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628330-24222>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 04:17:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA107390; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 14:15:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10451464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 14:15:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA65380 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 14:15:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 14:14:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810272014.OAA27288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 14:14:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w (babs) Warning Nr 055 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34598ff1a987de8d7745085d4d869d0d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 728 WTPN32 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (BABS) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 24.7N3 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 119.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.2N9 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 24.8N4 119.1E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION BABS (20W) HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271800Z8 SYNOPTIC DATA. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM, CAUSING IT TO FALL APART. TD BABS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 15:11:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-22293>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 14:02:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA59992; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:48:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10458121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA59954 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280547.XAA07628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c91953c6a015f78d52bf3313c00952e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 937 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271953Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7N3 119.0E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 272100), FINAL WARNING, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 14:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3672 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627450-11729>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:47:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA32754; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:46:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10473481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA34160 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290544.XAA00995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 381f587167168adeca6a52ca9feab6cd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 781 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD AND REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WITHIN A REGION OF SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER, REVEALS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 14:03:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627371-18568>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31446; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA31398 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300552.XAA23939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c983adb4492dbe416cac2f32b06f350b X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 541 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 153E9. THE LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD AND EXISTS WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER, REVEALS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 14:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626999-8307>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 14:18:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA108282; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:17:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10501732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:16:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17350 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:09:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:09:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310609.AAA13452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:09:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9a1305bee70192ddda5a62104b77ee1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 068 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCTKB;00XQOV 98MMHU-M5 1$ EE:GNO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 14:56:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2152 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627851-8307>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 14:48:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA102116; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10502026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22222 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310647.AAA13882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5129740651bd3d8f41c2c64c31c354f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 279 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 98/010600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 153E9 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN THE SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION IS SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED. THEREFOR, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2729 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-25431>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:43:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA75400; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:34:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10513426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:34:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA101632 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:32:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:32:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010532.XAA24381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:32:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c90657aec785a3adf53f5e186024399 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 373 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 15:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3511 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625920-6975>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:42:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA60154; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:35:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10527382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA64398 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020534.XAA06873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76859b0bfcb4dde38513bbbfb289504a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 344 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TN MALAY ?EJIPU1A= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 15:28:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4578 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626596-6975>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 15:03:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22070; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10528223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA120852 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020644.AAA07533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbea5f46bd19eeb52644e2ed2cbf6b7f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 087 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 15:24:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628080-4232>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:56:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33644; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:55:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10544585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:55:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA93422 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:54:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030554.XAA00164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:54:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisor3or He:,ern Pacific Ocean/03 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62c74c4ecc678efbdc2e5902a9e7a28d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 116 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISOR3OR HE:,ERN PACIFIC OCEAN/03 0600Z/040600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DI:(9 E SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 16:52:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628828-4231>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:28:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24666; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:22:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10545269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:22:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23600 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:22:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:21:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030721.BAA01134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:21:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2453522ee27a2eaa586e92d38f0d4e7b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/BOYER/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 14:44:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-14420>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:51:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA79546; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:50:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10565768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:50:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA30538 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:50:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:49:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040549.XAA23831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:49:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c334677e554962ad896abc42519a046f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 255 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/BOYER/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 15:01:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628265-11021>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:53:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA95268; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:47:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10586797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA95232 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050646.AAA20290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b13426bff9d777cc8d72131066ba8b58 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 585 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMN/NAV??TOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM:HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3074 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626345-10181>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 14:00:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18826; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10601978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18802 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060546.XAA13775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b716481875f3c213f9fc7b4355d71731 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 338 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 1SLR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-10175>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 14:05:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22218; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:55:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10602061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:55:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA58224 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:55:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:54:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060554.XAA13854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27134e83b508aee5efd8da44a104babf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 571 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH LITTLE ORGANIZATION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS A WEAK CIRCULATION IN THIS REGION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 13:57:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627740-21897>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA75502; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:49:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10616654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:49:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52108 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070548.XAA03682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02ea21b3a54058ae9dd9268c79fe7d57 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 040 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:15:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627271-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:15:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA113920; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:08:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10630044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:07:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36482 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080600.AAA15892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee6214873c5c46bf72f6d975b35be3fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 619 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISM9 SEPIY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSEN/GOODMAN/TIRSCHEL/JACKSON/BRFNHUS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 13:46:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629593-2416>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:37:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA98542; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10641333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA65718 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090535.XAA27239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 633c97a23d9683a71c36592a6d8009ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 278 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N9 121E4, JUST WEST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ALTHOUGH ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS, THE 090000Z9 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES DIVERGENCE ALOFT, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, A 090035Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS FAILED TO DISTINGUISH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATEDTO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. SINCE THE CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BUT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS NOT YET ORGANIZED, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSEN/GOODMAN/TIRSCHEL/JACKSON/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 13:49:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629678-27445>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:38:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA92514; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10673899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA13358 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110536.XAA16821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44b9df2858e1b65ffc2c958fadc0d339 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 121E4, IS NOW LOCATED NE B 1LZ,$YJMA DATA INDICATES THE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 21:12:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629835-15773>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:33:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA04724; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:19:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10676319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:19:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA13400 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:19:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA20269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:19:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111219.GAA20269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:19:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 111221z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00ece725ee32de6b9a8c6fbe46d0380a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 063 WTPN21 PGTW 111230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111221Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 10.0N1 115.0E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111130Z7 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 115.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAVE DEVELOPED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONDITIONS ALOFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VAHID DLTI$0Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 21:12:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1951 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629864-15772>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:51:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA93244; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:36:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10676518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA65320 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:36:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA20483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:36:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811111236.GAA20483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:36:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropiapiahone Formation Alert 111221z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16253ccd913cedba069c9ed8d41ee877 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 503 WTPN21 PGTW 111230 SUBJ/TROPIAPIAHONE FORMATION ALERT 111221Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 10.0N1 115.0E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 111130Z7 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 115.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAVE DEVELOPED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONDITIONS ALOFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 121230Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-15250>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 10:34:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA93228; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:22:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10688987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:22:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA98326 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:22:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:22:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120222.UAA08553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 20:22:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f92f9592d405a1032d900915331f582a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 891 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 9.1N0 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.2N1 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.4N3 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 9.7N6 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.0N1 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 10.1N2 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 9.1N0 112.6E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD TOWARDS VIETNAM AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 112211Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY FIX. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITEINTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 21W HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER,THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THE DEPRESSION LIES WITHIN A BROAD CIRCULATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHILE IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THE WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGED SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). THIS WARNING SUPERCEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111221Z NOVEMBER 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 111230.)// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627642-15256>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:06:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA108022; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10692180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA102840 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120546.XAA11077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1245babe20cea5aa5f8982dd0fe2aed6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 117E9 IS NOW NEAR 9.1N0 112.9E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS, AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/JACKSON/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 18:27:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627873-21241>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 16:30:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA42480; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:17:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10693161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:17:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA65220 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:17:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:17:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120817.CAA12715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 02:17:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb69f23b01e33ea161f6e3d4689f5dd1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 269 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 9.3N2 112.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.3N2 112.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 9.6N5 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.9N8 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.1N2 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.2N3 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.4N5 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.4N3 111.7E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS TOWARDS VIETNAM OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SHIP SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL STORM CHIP CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE BASIC FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TS CHIP SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE WIND INTENSITY AND THE WIND RADII HAVE CHANGED TO BETTER REFLECT SYNOPTIC DATA. ALTHOUGH TS CHIP REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT, THE MONSOON TROUGH IN WHICH IT IS IMBEDDED IS EXPERIENCING INCREASED WINDS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF TS CHIP. HENCE, THE STORM INTENSITY WAS INCREASED IN ORDER TO REFLECT THE 35 KNOT WINDS WHICH ARE OVER 100 NM FROM OUR SUPPOSED CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE STORM TRACK SPEED HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, THIS IS PARTIALLY DRIVEN BY THE DIFFICULTY OF LOCATING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TS CHIP. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3),122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 22:36:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628965-5248>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 22:34:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA26294; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:32:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10696250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:32:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA95368 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:32:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:32:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121432.IAA17605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:32:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical5p > Frning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c046d53c7d285511b968ae06b064e2f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 988 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL5P > FRNING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 23:02:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2664 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628160-5249>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 22:54:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA40716; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:43:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10696399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:43:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA36570 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:43:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:43:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121443.IAA17844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 08:43:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 786058dfa5e7e1408e3437aad1d6f24a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 177 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 9.8N7 111.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 111.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.2N3 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.5N6 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.7N8 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.8N9 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.9N0 103.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 9.9N8 111.5E8. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 121200Z6 SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS, 121200Z6 SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS STEERING SHOULD REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W)=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM COAST AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY WHILE IT REMAINS LOCATED OVER THE WARM WATER OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT STARTS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 08:12:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630329-25506>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 04:01:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA94492; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:58:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10700528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:58:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18848 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:57:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:57:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811121957.NAA26376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:57:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be69d95c8937742db3d39cf1d255804c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 839 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 10.1N2 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.6N7 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.9N0 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 11.1N3 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.2N4 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 11.3N5 103.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.2N3 111.2E5. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 121258Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS, 121800Z2 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W)=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF VIETNAM AFTER THE 36-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT STARTS INTERACTING WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 09:57:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626113-3074>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 09:55:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA65558; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:45:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10705408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:45:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA44670 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:44:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA03513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:44:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130144.TAA03513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 19:44:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2613328755a5f229557dad8c77872edb X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 573 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.6N7 110.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 110.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.2N4 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 11.7N9 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.9N1 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.0N3 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.3N6 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 110.6E8. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 122230Z0 VISIBLE SATELITTE IMAGERY IN COMBINATION WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE FORECAST INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CHIP SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM CHIP SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM BY THE 24 HOUR MARK AND BEGIN TO LOSE INTENSITY AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 14:05:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627050-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:01:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44174; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA79706 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130548.XAA06524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f852d585794ec8ec104198f29d4a536 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130153Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 110.9E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/JACKSON/ BROOKS/HOWELLS/BALDINGER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627537-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 16:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24606; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:59:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:59:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39946 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:59:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:59:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130759.BAA07987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 01:59:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea3a7ea350cc39a3231f38260bb309a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 411 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 11.1N3 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELS?DP1> +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627014-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 16:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA82662; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:15:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:15:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA55454 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:15:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:15:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130815.CAA08182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:15:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a366f57d2ebcab855e92f0c695471cf4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 751 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 16:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4670 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627115-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 16:25:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA82502; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:16:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:16:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA66088 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:16:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:16:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130816.CAA08192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 02:16:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b8cec1cf53160f7538cc6cc530012ea X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 851 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 11.1N3 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 110.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.8N0 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.1N4 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.3N6 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.5N8 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.3N5 110.2E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CHIP CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS BASICALLY UNCHANGED. TROPICAL STORM CHIP SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AT THAT TIME, TS CHIP WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627770-21812>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:45:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA56550; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:37:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10711706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:37:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA56500 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:37:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:37:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131437.IAA12024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 08:37:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67eb6ae019f0c0449f7a16c30bbba024 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 945 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 11.3N5 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 11.7N9 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.9N1 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.0N3 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 109.6E6. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD, THEN WESTWARD, AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH REBUILDS. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM COAST PRIOR TO THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS PRESENT INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 08:40:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3471 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627895-21813>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 04:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA18888; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:06:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10716209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:06:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA56390 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:58:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:58:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811131958.NAA19680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:58:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79bbe8b269e42d4aedbac5637fd5ab51 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 485 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.4N6 109.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 109.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 11.6N8 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.1N4 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 109.0E0. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 131800Z3 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS (WMO 48877, WMO 48887). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST VIETNAM, MAKING LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 14:16:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2729 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626750-25288>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 10:49:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA55540; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 20:48:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10709040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 20:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA109660 for ; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 20:46:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 20:46:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140246.UAA25914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 20:46:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4199f5aed47df2b27ac1556ca70970a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 024 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 11.3N5 108.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 108.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.4N6 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.5N7 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 11.6N8 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.3N5 108.3E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 132330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS CHIP IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST INTO VIETNAM. AS INTERACTION WITH LAND INCREASES, TS CHIP IS EXPECTED WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 17:00:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630777-290>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:19:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA107354; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:17:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10712004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA20748 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:17:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:17:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140817.CAA28615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:17:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05faf369289ea2ae0e3f14171645abfc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 549 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140153Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 108.6E5 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILQ:9M9 HEZ/RETHEWY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 17:00:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630791-289>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 16:19:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA20940; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:18:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10712022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:18:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44730 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:18:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:18:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811140818.CAA28632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 02:18:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Chip (21w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 262c89b036f2e5abd0a83102dfc0f403 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 564 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 10.8N9 108.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 108.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.6N7 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.5N6 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 10.6N7 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 108.2E1 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION JUST OFF THE COAST OF VIETNAM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON THIS 140530Z3 IMAGERY. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY BASED ON THE SYSTEM=S SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY TOWARDS THE WEST ALONG THE COAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS INTERACTION WITH LAND INCREASES, TS CHIP IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 14 22:37:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4100 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628128-286>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:26:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA56564; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:25:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10713891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:24:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA09888 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:24:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:24:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141424.IAA01720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:24:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w (chip) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffa9309a1aa88745007fe1a4bb2772d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 687 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (CHIP) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 10.4N5 108.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 108.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 10.1N2 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.0N1 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.1N2 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.1N2 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 108.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 140600Z1 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED DRAMATICALLY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONDITIONS ALOFT HAVE DEGRADED AS WELL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHIP (21W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TD CHIP (21W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 09:32:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628197-286>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 03:38:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13338; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:36:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10716635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:35:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA33666 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:34:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:34:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811141934.NAA04273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 13:34:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w (chip) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb12790d8979999861187f0412cee5e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 511 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (CHIP) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 10.2N3 107.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 107.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.1N2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 10.1N2 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.2N3 107.7E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHIP (21W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 141200Z8 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD CHIP (21W) HAS CEASED. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TD CHIP (21W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 15 11:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628427-1127>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 10:03:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA13420; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:02:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10719836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:01:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42560 for ; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:01:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:01:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811150201.UAA07568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 20:01:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w (chip) Final Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c17bc7587aa0cfaef73c94e0da95a19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 925 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (CHIP) FINAL WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 10.3N4 107.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 107.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.3N4 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.4N5 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 107.3E1. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (CHIP) HAS DISSIPATED OVER WATER, OFF THE COAST OF VIETNAM. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS NOT EVIDENT IN 142330Z3 VISIBLE IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, 142316Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWED NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS ARE LIMITED AND ONLY INDICATE A SLIGHT PRESSURE FALL AT ISOLATED STATIONS ALONG THE COAST. DUE TO LACK OF DATA, THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANIMATION AND EXTRAPOLATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 00:13:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628021-1122>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 23:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09840; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:55:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10724608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA22016 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151554.JAA13798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2fb239bdabb9581c13fbb9a19336bae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 934 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (CHIP) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 107.5E3 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FINAL WARNING, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 15:02:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1757 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628178-25334>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 14:53:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA65256; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10746943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA65476 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170651.AAA18362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: U?h#tb To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 776cc76ab8d41abeb7f42fbcc3949ff8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// U?H#TB ANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 102E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 095E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE AREA HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WEST PACIFIC BASIN (ABPW10 PGTW) AND INTO THE INDIAN OCEAN BASIN (ABIO10 PGTW). THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE AREA IS MOVING INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA AND WILL REMAIN IN A REGION OF LOW WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 170500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 117E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 115E7 AND HAS CONTINUED TO PERSIST FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161400Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 09:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626055-13908>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 08:24:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA64756; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 18:12:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10758209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 18:12:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA75488 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 18:12:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA07627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 18:12:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180012.SAA07627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 18:12:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb2988f97cd3fdccb55e75b24dc4766b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 452 WTPN21 PGTW 180030 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0N1 110.5E7 TO 10.4N5 103.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 172300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N3 110.0E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10N1 111E3 HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CYCLONIC ROTATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. SHIP OBSERVATIONS REPORTED 25 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 190030Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 14:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627905-13911>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:12:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA111242; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10761143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA111186 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180511.XAA12079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 507d3f89eaef185f944f35e89551d155 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180021Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 115E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AS WELL AS A 172239Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW 20 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED AROUND THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 180030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 16:00:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627950-13911>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 15:45:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64582; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:45:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10762139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:44:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA56574 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:44:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:44:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180744.BAA13676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 01:44:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54558a45976f09527d0661234d810c2a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 10.0N1 112.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 112.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 10.4N5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 10.6N7 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.7N8 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.7N8 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.7N8 102.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.1N2 111.6E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 180530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A 180530Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SURFACE SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF 20 KNOTS (10-MINUTE AVERAGE) INDICATING 25 KNOTS SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TURN WESTWARD AS IT CONTINUES IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL ON SOUTHEAST VIETNAM PRIOR TO THE 36-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WILL WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND, BUT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY ONCE OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180021Z NOV 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 180030) NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 22:17:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628000-13908>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 21:52:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA75390; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:51:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10764090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:51:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA26984 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:51:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:51:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181351.HAA17388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 07:51:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c380ec618213b911980017dd077fa64 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 378 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 10.6N7 112.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 112.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 11.2N4 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 11.4N6 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.5N7 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.5N7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 11.3N5 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 111.9E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 180956Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN MORE WESTWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTH. TD 22W WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ASHORE. THE TRACK IS TO THE NORTH OF THE LAST FORECAST DUE TO DIFFICULTY IN PINPOINTING THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TD 22W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 09:29:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629297-326>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 03:48:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA111248; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:47:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10767301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA114036 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:47:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:46:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811181946.NAA26823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:46:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cb3269a95816f5b2271f1e2be984ef9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 315 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 11.2N4 111.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 11.2N4 111.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.0N3 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.3N6 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.4N7 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.2N5 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.9N1 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 111.6E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF VIETNAM AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 22W HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IN ADDITION, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TD 22W CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST, WHICH IMPLIES FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS WARRANTED. ALTHOUGH THE BASIC FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH SINCE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, FORECAST TO BUILD TO THE NORTH OF OUR SYSTEM WITHIN 24 HOURS, HAS NOT YET BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING FORCE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W SHOULD BEGIN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY THE 24-HOUR MARK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS. AS BEFORE, TD 22W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, TD 22W SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND. HOWEVER, THE BROAD NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION MAY ALLOW TD 22W TO CROSS THE PENINSULA AND REINTENSIFY OVER WATER SOMETIME AFTER THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 10:57:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3275 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 10:49:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44198; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 20:47:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10771513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 20:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA40078 for ; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 20:47:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 20:47:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190247.UAA05403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 20:47:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 799e61975c94f7c22edc78f657bd631e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 478 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 11.4N6 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 11.8N0 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.0N3 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.0N3 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 110.4E6. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON AN 182226Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TS DAWN (22W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST VIETNAM. TS DAWN IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL SHORTLY AFTER THE 12-HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 17:34:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2093 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628425-17502>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 14:17:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56514; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:16:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10773366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:16:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA92470 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:15:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:14:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190614.AAA08268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:14:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 738fc7948821b0dfca7f369bd0609044 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 670 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 0P?)I 600Z/200600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE:RJHLG// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 110.8E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST THIS BROAD NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE SCALE LOW-LEVEL WAVE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST. THE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATLA/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 17:34:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4861 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627700-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 16:21:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA34404; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:20:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10773952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA98332 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:19:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:19:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190819.CAA09279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 02:19:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 967f49bd8cd8b27ca8cee1350eafcc52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 11.7N9 110.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 110.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.2N5 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.5N8 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.6N9 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 110.3E5. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190532Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND SURROUNDING SHIP OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TS DAWN IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WAS SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD THAN PREVIOUS, BUT IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO MORE OF A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, THEN WESTWARD TRACK DURING THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. TS DAWN IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST VIETNAM. ONCE LANDFALL OCCURS, THE STORM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. TS DAWN IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 23:28:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629439-17502>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 22:56:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA95360; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:45:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10776097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA112484 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:45:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:45:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191445.IAA13127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:45:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 880dd9d40a0aed3f15c06e81b58751bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 507 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 12.2N5 109.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 109.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.6N9 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.8N1 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 12.9N2 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 109.3E3. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. TS DAWN (22W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD AND SLOW AS IT SUFFERS FROM INTERACTION WITH LAND EFFECTS. TS DAWN (22W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM=S INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 23:28:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629476-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:00:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15258; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:55:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10776204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:54:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA37996 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:54:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:54:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191454.IAA13392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 08:54:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df98b205da09dd9c8fa5687b146f3964 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 598 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WI EE BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 191200ME AAA NEAR 12.2N5 109.6E6 MOVEMENO PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: #MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 109.6E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.6N9 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EISSIPATING ASA SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.8N1 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 CT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR PMT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS 36 HRS, VLID AT:-- 210000Z3 --- 12.9N2 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGCIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 109.333. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAE TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIVWON CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. TS DAWN (22W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD AND SLOW AS IT SUFFERS FROM INTERACTION WITH LAND EFFECTS. TS DAWN (22W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM;S INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM DWPVW) IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 36-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 20090#;+1 (DTO 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 2013+:I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 04:14:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629456-17497>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 04:02:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29254; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10779778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:58:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA65634 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:54:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA21846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:54:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811191954.NAA21846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 13:54:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76d083e82dbabcc81c55827769e7e34a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 127 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 12.4N7 108.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 108.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.6N9 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.7N0 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.5N8 108.7E6. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. TS DAWN (22W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AND WEAKEN DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. TS DAWN (22W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 10:42:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-9797>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 10:23:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26934; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:22:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10783716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44066 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:22:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:22:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200222.UAA00118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:22:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0202a39c2d8c43b750749b18a24d00f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 12.5N8 108.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 108.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.9N2 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.6N9 108.4E3. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND ESTIMATES USING SYNOPTIC DATA. TS DAWN HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE INLAND INTO SOUTHEAST VIETNAM AND IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING. THE FORECAST TRACK DRIFTS THE SYSTEM FURTHER INLAND AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATES TS DAWN (22W) AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 11:36:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3014 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626105-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 11:14:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA44692; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:58:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10784098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:58:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA66098 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:58:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:58:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200258.UAA00446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 20:58:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Dawn (22w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc16fbafde691a8e37081f55b2ad36ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 12.5N8 108.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ONCENTER LOCATED BY SATELTE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSILATINL AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 108.6E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.9N2 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITPONN KQN9 108.4E3. TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOULOTHE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND ESTIMATES USING SYNOPTIC DATA. TS DAWN HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE INLAND INTO SOUTHEAST VIETNAM AND IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING. THE FORECAST TRACK DRIFTS THE SYSTEM FURTHER INLAND AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATES TS DAWN (22W) AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 14:20:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627697-9799>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:45:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38112; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:44:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10785619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:43:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA43224 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:40:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:40:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200540.XAA02128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:40:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a004d7f45c7ec4bce0e1e60ee0c74945 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 500 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 108.6E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 AND HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17S8 149E4 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE AREA APPEARS TO BE WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 14:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625874-9794>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 13:49:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA93264; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10785698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA95288 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200547.XAA02223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 951389ee8ca2f662b8a89417f3c97ca2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 598 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 108.6E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 AND HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17S8 149E4 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE AREA APPEARS TO BE WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3616 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629511-20078>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:25:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25372; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10798091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25348 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210516.XAA28354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0083a4c60d192676dda46273a0946eea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 640 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 10 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE CYCLONIC ROTATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK CIRCULATION EXISTS NEAR THE DEEP CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF LOW-TO-MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 5N5 130E4 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CURVATURE AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING EXITS. A 202359Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. UW-CIMSS SHEAR SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 202339Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS TROUGHING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3782 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626410-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:22:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44238; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:14:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:14:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA65152 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:13:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:13:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220513.XAA09529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:13:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de59b449cf076de32c596179706f4181 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 527 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4090 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:30:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA42450; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:22:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:22:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26262 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:21:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:21:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220521.XAA09554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:21:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c53a3b88dd53578ec248507a727ffc93 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 693 ABPW10 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 19:50:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629992-14827>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 19:48:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56528; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA65456 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221147.FAA12336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6b943cae6b9354a1e0b28e9521089b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 994 ABPW10 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WE T GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOOS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 20:07:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630025-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:03:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA65502; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA44210 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221151.FAA12361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 531187f243e3d87aee870a8b00e48237 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 027 ABPW10 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WE T GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOOS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 09:08:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA20494; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:07:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:07:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA05872 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:07:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:07:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240107.TAA11935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:07:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 232251z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef5f3507b72156cee89baa6efc5c8a30 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 818 WTPN21 PGTW 232300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232251Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N0 118.9E9 TO 13.1N5 113.7E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231730Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 118.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS IDENTIFIED BY PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA AND DISPLAYS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (WEAK WINDS NEAR THE CENTER, STRONGER WINDS IN THE PERIPHERY). SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM (ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD SURGE) AND 20 KNOT WESTERLIES SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE LOW- LEVEL POSITION HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES ORGANIZE. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN, AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN, AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 2423CJ+A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:30:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628124-25654>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:04:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA13118; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:59:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10807181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:59:02 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA11562 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:59:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA12462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:59:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240159.TAA12462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 19:59:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 232251z Nov 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4436c2ac3eff2cf8d3d3ab62bd29e422 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 990 WTPN21 PGTW 232300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232251Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N0 118.9E9 TO 13.1N5 113.7E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231730Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 118.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ATHUBKNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS IDENTIFIED BY PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA AND DISPLAYS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (WEAK WINDS NEAR THE CENTER, STRONGER WINDS IN THE PERIPYERY).0$09058: $-5- SHOWS 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM (ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD SURGE) AND 20 KNOT WESTERLIES SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE LOW= LEVEL POSITION HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY AS TGIS SYSTEM CONTINUES ORGANIZE. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN, AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN, AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 2423CJ+A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:44:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628270-25655>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14948; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:33:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10807682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:33:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA06482 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:33:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:33:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240233.UAA12949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:33:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8435bc084f0e4ccade9975a78213bd84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 745 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTP MAX T 1 ?NDS RDDN ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z4I)- NEAR 12.N5 106,,P MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEG REES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 117.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 12.4N7 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.7N0 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.9N2 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.0N4 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.2N6 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 116.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 232330Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND A 240000Z6 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 20 KNOTS (TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE, INDICATING 25 KNOTS ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE) JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE FROM A MONSOON DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232251Z NOV 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 232300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 10:44:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:41:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14348; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:40:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10807814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:40:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA17912 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:40:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:40:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240240.UAA13047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:40:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c0d65bfca98c252de450231b66ff4e0 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 886 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTP MAX T 1 ?NDS RDDN ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 240000Z4I)- NEAR 12.N5 106,,P MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEG REES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 117.1E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 12.4N7 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.7N0 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.9N2 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.0N4 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.2N6 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 116.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 232330Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND A 240000Z6 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OF 20 KNOTS (TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE, INDICATING 25 KNOTS ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE) JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. T OPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE FROM A MONSOON DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232251Z NOV 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE NORM TION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 232300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (-5< 24078Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DOG 250151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 14:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630191-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:32:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20562; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA13622 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240531.XAA15011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2afd63bafec036e547005bd6c6e99dc5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 530 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 123E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 108E9 HAS BECOME EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6N6 156E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN CYCLIC OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 14:06:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630157-25655>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:39:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15360; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15062 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240538.XAA15072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b9add4e051dde40abbb1780bfbe826d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 623 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 123E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 108E9 HAS BECOME EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6N6 156E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN CYCLIC OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 16:32:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3520 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630244-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 16:26:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA06574; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:25:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:25:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15770 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:25:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:25:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240825.CAA16414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:25:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffe979f6b25b1b8d0335591a87cdcc53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 12.0N3 117.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 117.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 12.2N5 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 12.4N7 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.6N9 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.7N0 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 12.9N2 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.0N3 116.9E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 240530Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W CONTINUES TO SHOW BETTER ORGANIZATION. 240600Z2 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE SYSTEM=S STRONGEST WINDS REMAIN ALONG ITS NORTHWEST PERIPHERY, IN THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT STAYS IN THE STEERING INFLUENCE FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST AFTER THE 48-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 17:00:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630242-25655>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 16:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23276; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:47:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:47:29 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17880 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:47:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:47:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240847.CAA16504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 02:47:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cb9c9c312a1df8ef4580b8f9389a98c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 002 0 01 ANTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE0.8,75- -;34-<3 WARNINGVOSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 12.0N3 117.2E1 .9;3.3,5 0--5 -8/ #974- - 280 DEGREEE AT 06 KTS POSITIOC ACCURATE TOLWITHU27<,. POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUOWON: MAX SUSTAINED WINDSU- 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 117.2E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VNUDMKAAV WRQIPPVELT AAA QWMW5 116.2E0 - MAX SUSTAINED W INDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 12.4N7 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED A - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.6N9 113.4E9 ) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA05634; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:54:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10813537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:53:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA18626 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:53:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA24058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:53:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241653.KAA24058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:53:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b158c06ab1f72eb8db595b89857d35e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 829 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 12.3N6 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 115.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.6N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.8N1 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.9N2 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.0N4 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 13.1N5 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 115.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELLERATED AND BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. TD 23W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THUS TD 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36- HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF VIETNAM AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC00023281649 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 02:36:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4651 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630590-13864>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 02:00:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23256; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:52:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10814371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:50:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA23096 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:50:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:50:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811241750.LAA25434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:50:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7185486d6bb4b4a50ffc0ef951247fd6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 767 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 003 017ACTIVE TROPICAL C8, ,945#23-50-: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED OP ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 12.3N6 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BESED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 115.7E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.6N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KE AAV 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.8N1 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.9N2 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE ) OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.0N4 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 13.1N5 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 115.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELLERATED AND BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. TD 23W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE TF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE OR DEVELOPMENT THUS TD 23W ISERECAST TOPPOENSIFY THROUGH THE 36= HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF VIETNAM AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEMRVWMPECTED TO WEAKEMLAND DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FZO. REFER TOH WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 1)0751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RACEIVAT AFGWC: RMHMMCC00023281649.. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 08:14:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1432 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630533-13865>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA12042; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:04:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10816714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:04:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA17346 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:04:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:04:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811242104.PAA01054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:04:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21cd819bd741472ad9ba6ea3af259758 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 395 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 13.1N5 113.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 113.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.7N1 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.9N3 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.0N5 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 112.3E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 17 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED AS WELL. TD 23W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STRONG STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12-HOUR PERIOD AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TD 23W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF VIETNAM BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC00333282101 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 08:14:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630560-13863>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 05:34:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15232; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:34:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10817136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:33:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA23094 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:33:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:33:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811242133.PAA01720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 15:33:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7170ebba81909474e0d65d66e06347a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 108 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 12.3N6 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 115.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.6N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.8N1 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.9N2 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.0N4 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 13.1N5 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 115.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 11 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 241100Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELLERATED AND BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED. TD 23W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THUS TD 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36- HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF VIETNAM AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC00373282125 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4066 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627123-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:21:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18116; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:20:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10819852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:20:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13978 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:20:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250220.UAA05831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c93486c3be659282ddcb46eabf07767 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 878 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 111.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.5N8 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.1N4 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 111.2E5 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW THIS SYSTEM HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IS NOW CONSIDERED TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W). THE WARNING POSITNIS COMBINATION OF SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA AND 242330Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND A SHIP REPORT EQUAL TO 45 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH TS ELVIS HAS INTENSIFIED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, RECENT IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING CONSIDERABLE SHEAR FROM THE EAST. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ADDITIONALLY, TS ELVIS IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS ELVIS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-409>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:48:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA13420; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:47:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10820226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:47:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA09562 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:47:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:47:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250247.UAA06157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 20:47:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe68c66524a15fc9c68ba74a5b960d46 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 354 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDSNVMLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS Z PPOSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 111.7E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.5N8 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.1N4 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 111.2E5 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW THIS SYSTEM HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IS NOW CONSIDERED TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W). THE WARNING POSITNIS COMBINATION OF SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA AND 242330Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND A SHIP REPORT EQUAL TO 45 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH TS ELVIS HAS INTENSIFIED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, RECENT IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING CONSIDERABLE SHEAR FROM THE EAST. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ADDITIONALLY, TS ELVIS IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS ELVIS IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627021-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:45:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24418; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:39:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:39:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA09482 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250538.XAA07851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 345e4171e6840ae2f616928f0912657a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 582 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-411>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:46:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17654; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14284 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250542.XAA07888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c14e22f26519302093c537c461888b66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 675 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:30:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17362; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA05050 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250618.AAA08420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1202698db2b61923fea064da7243e245 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 413 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER- LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: TO CORRECT PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1975 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626810-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 15:01:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20946; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10822004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12706 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250650.AAA08638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dc97fb0579478fee3d3131dbf72ae3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 383 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER- LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: TO CORRECT PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:49:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627860-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 15:55:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15154; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:54:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10822178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:54:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18464 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:54:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:54:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250754.BAA08990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:54:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f19fb7ff13b7b3bd89e95f0ae9e38f5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 485 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 13.1N5 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.2N6 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.2N6 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.1N5 110.9E1 ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS ELVIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER THE 12 HOUR PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 23:19:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628472-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:11:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15720; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:01:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10824623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:01:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA13898 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:01:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:01:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251501.JAA14304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:01:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c18d4037c455f31cc30a1f48ad389e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 828 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 13.2N6 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.3N7 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.4N8 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 110.3E5. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. THIS IN TURN HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO BECOME EXPOSED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF VIETNAM DUE TO THE INCRASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LAND EFFECTS ARE FORECAST TO SLOW THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED, FURTHER WEAKEN TS ELVIS (23W) AND DISSIPATE IT AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 24-HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2829 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630621-410>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 00:25:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA14244; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:19:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10825339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:18:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA05702 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:18:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA16206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:18:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811251618.KAA16206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 10:18:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6f38cfab40adb1f90deae0f2b11fc17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 663 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 13.2N6 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITIOC BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 110.7E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VAWQBLAT: 260000Z8 --- 13.3N7 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.4N8 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 110.3E5. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNNG POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. THIS IN TURN HAS CAUSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO BECOME EXPOSED. THE SYSTEM IE EXPECTED TO CONTINUETRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF IETNAM DUE TO THE INCRASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LAND EFFECTS ARE FORECAFTO SLOW THE SYSTEM;S FORWARD SPEEGLFURTHER WEAKEN TS ELVIS (23W) AND DISSIPATE IT AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 24-HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628470-409>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 04:39:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA12950; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:39:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10828340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:38:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21646 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:34:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:34:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811252034.OAA21952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:34:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba78518b76a63111973514d49b384a60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 616 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 2518 PY --- NEAR 13.6N0 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 109.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.9N3 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.1N6 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 109.5E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND CONTINUES TO HAVE A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS ELVIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS ELVIS (23W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 08:29:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1435 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628433-411>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 04:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA07580; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:53:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10828556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:53:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13412 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:53:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:53:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811252053.OAA22486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:53:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 961d8bdb0f6283e0ef5063ccfbe8ef17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 869 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 2518 PY --- NEAR 13.6N0 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 109.8E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.9N3 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.1N6 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 109.5E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICKL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNNG POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYFTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND CONTINUES TO HAVE A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR AS TS ELVIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTEDPTO MAKE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS ELVIS (23W) IS FORECAST TO WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1),AND 261500Z4 (DTV 261350Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 14:08:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2056 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 14:01:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24336; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:57:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10831507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:57:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA05328 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:55:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:55:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260555.XAA27432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:55:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subjlffadr0 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4911e2ba01d15c9d8176f400c9744203 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJLFFADR0 5ACAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z NOV 9;L ED-FAF MET( -ST G +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 15:53:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2216 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-22812>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 15:45:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22990; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22966 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260738.BAA00610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fabb98e6536d50dbeb784f8c3bbe9156 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 108.9E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 144E9. THIS AREA OF SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS, HOWEVER, INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/EIBLING/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 23:22:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:18:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA15790; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:16:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10833838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:15:55 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA17564 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:15:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:15:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261515.JAA03926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:15:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c54fe939f10d3591004a0f2acefb088 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 887 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 14.1N6 108.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 108.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.3N8 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 14.4N9 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 108.5E4. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 260530Z6 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN VIETNAM UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. INTERACTION WITH LAND IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 23:33:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1772 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627339-22813>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:23:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12812; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:22:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10833904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:22:39 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA17654 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:22:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:22:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811261522.JAA03961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 09:22:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Elvis (23w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a27d7a80bb1f0b46b885281b08a7a1c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 051 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESPAC MAX SUSAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WA NING POSCTION 260600T4 --- NEAR 14.1N6 108.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS TF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 108.7E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.3N8 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 14.4N9 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 108.5E4. /54908:-) -594. 3);8- (23W) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 260530Z6 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) HAS CONTINUED TRACKING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN VIETNAM UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. INTEACTION WITH LAND IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFERTOM WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 14:30:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626735-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 13:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15642; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10836961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:21 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA05370 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270556.XAA08884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84fdd7fe4b286f57c3194a5554834f03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 636 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD BUT WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION, WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS LOCATED ALONG THE END OF A LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LINE, WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/EIBLING/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 14:30:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-9726>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:08:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15682; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:07:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10837061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:07:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04490 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:02:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:02:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270602.AAA09024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:02:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da574caf0d9f0f0338430d4b7bea673b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 721 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD BUT WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION, WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS LOCATED ALONG THE END OF A LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LINE, WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/EIBLING/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-9981>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 14:09:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23412; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:08:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10843878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:55 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23372 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280607.AAA18372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 944ac4d04accd25eee9e6bc94a0b0731 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 141 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNI(AP 5 AD 8JF DQUN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-9981>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 14:17:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19930; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10843923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23208 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280617.AAA18456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38d64f5baebb7a523af65732ca1fff8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 442 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNI(AP 5 AD 8JF DQUN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-9983>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 14:40:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22080; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22056 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280637.AAA18572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47c8b663188ab5c5a7f3bf9d5ece70e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 195 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627683-9976>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 15:35:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23044; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:33:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:32:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13756 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280731.BAA18874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20ccd8c7a032807b3df43b9508fbbac9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 421 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629261-9984>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 22:38:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21556; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10845651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21776 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281438.IAA21163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0b07f982eccaf6133b0dcef8e1cd586 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 577 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 OSGIDGXGENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (188 TO MALAY PENINSULA): 4 A. TROPIC AL CYCLMME SNVARY: PGNE Q B. TROPICAL D SUSPECT FOR SIGNI(AP 5 AD 8JF DQUN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 06:47:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4579 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629346-9976>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 06:02:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA17362; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10847850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA14242 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA24559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811282202.QAA24559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 929aa4177cb43750ba80b73a62aafaac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 467 ABPW10 PGTW 282200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/282200Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 17.5N3 125.5N3, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS EAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 06:47:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629345-9981>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 06:04:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA24508; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10847876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA24484 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA24581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811282204.QAA24581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35124a45c9a417437356bb2280120e33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 522 ABPW10 PGTW 282200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/282200Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 17.5N3 125.5N3, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS EAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626666-4124>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 14:45:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17462; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:46:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10850354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15626 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290645.AAA28210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 803fa0029701f27c9f43a1972bcb513e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5N3 125.5E3, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 127.5E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS SMALL IN ARIAL COVERAGE AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EAST OF JAPAN AND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMED TO BE 0 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 14:05:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2591 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 13:52:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18010; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:51:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10858593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:51:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17468 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:51:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:50:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300550.XAA08611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:50:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db1778d8a59dbfa8a512a09067e0c19a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 569 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 127.5E5, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION EXISTS. HOWEVER, STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INHIBITED ANY PERSISTENT CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 14:05:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626989-9033>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18104; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:53:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10858603 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:53:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17546 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:52:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300552.XAA08627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aff559dd671d9ece59b1aaa0d82f8d10 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 610 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 127.5E5, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION EXISTS. HOWEVER, STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INHIBITED ANY PERSISTENT CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-9028>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 04:14:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA20880; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10867058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA15956 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811302011.OAA22357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bece2592678099b95cdf7ba4894c5f06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 704 ABPW10 PGTW 302000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/302000Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N 152E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 301243Z3 AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS WEAK WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/TRETHEWAY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4541 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629387-9031>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 04:15:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22168; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10867103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:28 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22140 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811302015.OAA22458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e771b86a062777b6f2420e2d98ffc0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 832 ABPW10 PGTW 302000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/302000Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N 152E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 301243Z3 AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS WEAK WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/TRETHEWAY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-11326>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 10:59:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA13818; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:59:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10870968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24166 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010258.UAA29517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significa N No To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40d6e9b5f6cabc73f8ad31d445afe918 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 899 ABPW10 PGTW 302000 MSGID/GENADMIQVAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICA N NO TH PACIFIC AREA (180 TOPALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE #, B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N 152E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT BHERE ISINO CONVEQTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 301243Z3 AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS WEAK WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KPOTKVHVINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED O BE 10#8MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN TPEINM :><# HOURS IL GOG. $+0 (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARQKAPNONE. FORECAFMLTEAM: COVKS/POOTERSON/TRETHEWAY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 15:13:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627161-11324>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 15:07:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15466; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10874277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA19790 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010702.BAA02289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a79442fe2c52547e0c4af9864777cdba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z DEC 98/020600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 150.4E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC, AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 05N5 144E9. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE 010000Z1 SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LLCC MAY BE PRESENT UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION, A 302142Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGE DID NOT DEPICT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE 200 MB 010000Z1 ANALYSIS IMPLIES THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/HATFIELD/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 13:54:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1283 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627668-24373>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 13:50:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA14170; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10889822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16960 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020549.XAA24418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64719c4d788f1a244e75dcdfe9f18b06 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z DEC 98/030600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03N3 134.2E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION, AND THE 02000Z2 SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS IMPLIES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 150.4E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES DID NOT DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HOOVER/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/ GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627833-24372>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 15:46:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25842; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14278 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020739.BAA25517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weatr Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16ab8843dbde1641062f7dc3a44e0066 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 489 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATR ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z DEC 98/030600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03N3 134.2E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION, AND THE 02000Z2 SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS IMPLIES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 150.4E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES DID NOT DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HOOVER/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/ GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 13:36:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2148 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-9212>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:28:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13332; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16854 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030525.XAA19900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b77f06a3d20a0316ec225cf52dc8be0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 139E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THE POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN WHICH A FEW CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS EXIST. THE AREA IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN=S CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTWARDLY PROPAGATING WAVE. THE AREA IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:29:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627244-9213>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24188; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15706 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030543.XAA20033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 383d80c10a0549b80248d497982c3193 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 675 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 139E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THE POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN WHICH A FEW CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS EXIST. THE AREA IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN=S CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTWARDLY PROPAGATING WAVE. THE AREA IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627429-9209>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 02:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21868; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:58:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10912156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:58:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA15676 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812031857.MAA01139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32db699f3813effcc691a31034e07355 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 652 ABPW10 PGTW 031900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/031900Z/040600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASING CYCLONIC ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. 031200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 031143Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DISPLAYS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN=S CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTWARDLY PROPAGATING WAVE. THE AREA IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:09:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-2835>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:56:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25322; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA14544 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040655.AAA12913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2336c686d050cf712c47178c2096202b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 415 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6 HAS BEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EASTWARD AT 6N6 135E. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 031800Z2 AND 040000Z4 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL MONSOON TROUGH AND DIVERGENCE ABOVE THE CENTER REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 HAS NOT MOVED. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 040000Z4 INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SOME LOW LEVEL VORTICITY AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER, STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS ALOFT SHOULD INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- VERSION: PGP FOR BUSINESS SECURITY 5.5 IQA/AWUBNMBY/MG554W72WW1EQILAACGMQDSJ1TC6M2RUPPQLU9XTXN/UKIAN3HZ V2RVPERQ619M3GFMWXNX6KUF ;KAKJ -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:10:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626995-2832>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 19:36:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA28800; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 05:37:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10920507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 05:37:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15210 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 05:36:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 05:35:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812041135.FAA15007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 05:35:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee77166466e5102edf46350a16a02a42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 828 WTPN21 PGTW 041100 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS OF 5.7N2 133.5E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 040102Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.2N7 135.1E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCATED WITH A SURGE OF WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. A 040102Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS CONFIRMS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND SHOWS 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE ARE BEGINNING TO WRAP NORTHWARD ALONG ITS SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO INDICATES 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 051100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 12:40:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625867-1542>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 12:32:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA23038; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 22:32:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10931291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 22:32:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29930 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 22:32:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 22:32:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050432.WAA05326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 22:32:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e07cb39f13ae7e2e62a5c7bb66fc49b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 033 WTPN21 PGTW 050400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050351Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050351Z DEC 98 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 050400)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.6N2 129.8E0 TO 6.8N4 122.6E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 052330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 129.2E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND HAS INCREASED ITS SPEED OF MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VIS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE WEST, WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR ITS SOUTHERN BOUNDARY. LOCAL SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW WIND SPEEDS SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE 10-15 KTS. THE WIND SHEAR PRODUCT FROM 041800Z3 AT THE UNIV OF WISCONSIN SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS MODERATE SHEAR NEAR THE EAST COAST OF MINDANAO. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060400Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3895 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626438-1545>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:17:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24264; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:17:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA06580 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:17:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:17:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050617.AAA06535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:17:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94a7e0d1bc01be16b03f6b80e983abeb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 014 WTPN21 PGTW 050400 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050351Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041051Z DEC 98 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 041100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.6N2 129.8E0 TO 6.8N4 122.6E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 052330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 129.2E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND HAS INCREASED ITS SPEED OF MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VIS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE WEST, WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR ITS SOUTHERN BOUNDARY. LOCAL SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW WIND SPEEDS SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE 10-15 KTS. THE WIND SHEAR PRODUCT FROM 041800Z3 AT THE UNIV OF WISCONSIN SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS MODERATE SHEAR NEAR THE EAST COAST OF MINDANAO. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060400Z0. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT MANOP AND DTG IN REF A// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-1543>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:16:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24118; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:15:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:15:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04536 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050714.BAA06943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ace585b0bd689aad144ecd1778a9093e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 619 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050351Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 128E1 AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 050500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 MAY NOW BE LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH SHOWS LITTLE ROTATION. HOWEVER, THE 050000Z5 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PROPAGATING WESTWARD UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE UW-CIMSS 050000Z5 WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE ENTIRE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR, WHICH WOULD SUBDUE FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-1543>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:23:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21208; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:22:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:22:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24252 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:22:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:22:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050722.BAA06977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:22:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e90f22ad3662af6d347118f75bfb0063 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 WTPN21 PGTW 050400 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050351Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041051Z DEC 98 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 20:57:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1034 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-1542>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 20:44:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA28838; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 06:45:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10934230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 06:45:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA22928 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 06:45:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA08586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 06:45:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812051245.GAA08586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 06:45:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dbf914c14c04e53c8e3a283b7c1c6922 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 389 WTPN21 PGTW 051230 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050351Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041051Z DEC 98 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 041100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.6N2 129.8E0 TO 6.8N4 122.6E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 050230Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 129.2E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND HAS INCREASED ITS SPEED OF MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VIS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE WEST, WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR ITS SOUTHERN BOUNDARY. LOCAL SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW WIND SPEEDS SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE 10-15 KTS. THE WIND SHEAR PRODUCT FROM 041800Z3 AT THE UNIV OF WISCONSIN SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS MODERATE SHEAR NEAR THE EAST COAST OF MINDANAO. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060400Z0. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CHANGE METSAT IMAGERY TIME FROM 052330Z3 TO 050230Z0. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 13:36:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3880 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-22682>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:09:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21948; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 22:08:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 22:08:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA12198 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 22:08:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA15950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 22:08:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060408.WAA15950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 22:08:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5e7e4aa619d9153f8d1dbd70ee70247 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 368 WTPN21 PGTW 060400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060351Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050351Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 050400)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHE?? M8LINE FROM 06.1N7 127.5E5 TO 05.2N7 121.3E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOEQ>SUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 052330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 06.0N6 127.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE EAST COAST OF MINDANAO, LOCATED NEAR 06.0N6 127.0E0, HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW STRONG CONVECTION ABOUT A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MOVEMENT OF THE AREA HAS CONTINUED TOWARDS THE PHILLIPINES, BUT ON A MORE WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD COURSE. ANIMATED VIS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW STRONG CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AND WEAK CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH. NOGAPS AND THE UPPER-LEVEL WIND PRODUCT FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN, SHOW SOUTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS, WHICH ARE CREATING FAVORABLE OUTFLOW FOR THE DISTURBANCE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S, IN THE ARAFURA SEA, NORTH OF AUSTRALIA, IS CAUSING MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE AREA, WHICH ARE INTERACTING WITH AN AREA OF GALE FORCE EASTERLIES NORTH OF THE PHILLIPINES TO MAINTAIN THE DISTURBANCE DUE TO HORIZONTAL WIND SHEAR. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA IS MINIMAL AS DEPICTED BY THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SHEAR PRODUCT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070400Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626740-22686>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 14:17:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12126; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:18:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12100 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060617.AAA17076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c62d23cb4234b3ab778425bd040e1c3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 762 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626661-3874>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 12:17:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA17884; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 22:18:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10952010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 22:18:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA11720 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 22:18:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 22:18:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070418.WAA29097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 22:18:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 720f32af279fbe9e411b131e61cd682a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTPN21 PGTW 070400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070351Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETKCBDN WEST GU/060351Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 060400)// R> ,BEATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDD MD DINE ROM 06.0N6 126.3E2 TO 07.4N1 120.5E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAIA D DATA DOESN? -5EFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626512-3878>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:46:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA19714; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10953069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26844 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070546.XAA29985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisobkr(p;p:gpacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73a02a6f76ddc0fd7b27e76f45a98771 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISOBKR(P;P:GPACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070351Z ?D JBSAMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CY CLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 125E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 070400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 04N4 145E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS TAKEN THE LOOK OF A WAVE IN THE TROPICAL EASTERLIES AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINES. MEANWHILE, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE DIVERGENCE AREA OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IN ADDITION, THE 070000Z7 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4290 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626987-3878>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:52:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28566; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:53:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10953187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA27736 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070552.XAA00039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisobkr(p?p:gpacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba95bade8c125d342f1f39d67a040ee7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 050 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISOBKR(P?P:GPACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070351Z ?D JBSAMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CY CLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 125E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 070400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 04N4 145E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS TAKEN THE LOOK OF A WAVE IN THE TROPICAL EASTERLIES AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINES. MEANWHILE, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE DIVERGENCE AREA OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IN ADDITION, THE 070000Z7 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 01:55:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3274 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627758-3878>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 20:19:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA24748; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 06:19:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10955150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 06:19:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA12164 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 06:19:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA03472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 06:19:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812071219.GAA03472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 06:19:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 071151z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc3b24f8739d4743ceae46e6cd11cef4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 171 WTPN21 PGTW 071200 071151Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070351Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 070400)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. 2. THE WIDESPREAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINES HAS EXPERIENCED INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA ALSO INDICATE A LACK OF ANY DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 14:18:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4074 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-8555>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 11:54:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25496; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 21:54:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10967184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 21:54:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28800 for ; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 21:54:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 21:54:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080354.VAA21587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 21:54:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ccb4de5fa6287d6c828a010ecf36551 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 WTPN21 PGTW 080330 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 115 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.6N2 139.9E2 TO 7.6N3 134.7E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 140.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND DEVELOP ITS MID-LEVEL CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. STRONG GRADIENT WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY QUICK DEVELOPMENT ONCE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IS ABLE TO SUPPORT SUSTAINED DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090330Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 14:18:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627619-8555>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 14:16:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26736; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16718 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080616.AAA23320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific Sp To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 241591c34ac5c2b0a6b94870014bef66 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 678 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC SP QP> B 0)N DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 18:32:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627680-8555>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 16:51:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA21820; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:52:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:52:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15136 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:52:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:52:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080852.CAA24343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 02:52:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 978ed862de3fe5dd4b0d60b8e45b6c71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 815 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 6.1N7 139.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.1N7 139.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 6.2N8 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 6.5N1 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 6.8N4 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.2N9 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.9N6 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 6.1N7 138.7E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GAIN CENTRAL ORGANIZATION. IT HAS MINIMAL CENTRAL CONVECTION BUT IS SHOWING A DEFINITE INCREASE IN ITS CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES. THE SYSTEM IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SIGNIFICANT BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 470 NM TO ITS NORTH. GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCED IN THIS AREA, BUT THESE ARE NOT DIRECTLY RELATED TO TD 24W, AND THEREFORE NOT INCLUDED IN THE WIND RADII OR THE SYSTEM INTENSITY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE IMAGERY. TD 24W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK, SLOWLY INTENSIFYING, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080329Z2 DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 080330) NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:49:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3666 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627926-8555>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 21:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA12836; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:54:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10971507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:53:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24466 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:53:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:53:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081353.HAA26776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:53:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbfb222851efef81a3923380293fcdba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 997 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 6.4N0 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N0 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 6.7N3 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.9N5 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 7.1N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.3N0 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.9N6 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 6.5N1 138.1E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W CONTINUES TO DISPLAY MORE ORGANIZED DEVELOPMENT BUT ITS CIRCULATION STILL REMAINS BROAD, WHICH MAKES POSITIONING OF ITS LOW-LEVEL WITH INFRARED IMAGERY DIFFICULT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE NAVY GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (NOGAPS) AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH SHOULD PASS NORTH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SLIGHTLY WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND ALLOW FOR A BRIEF WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BEFORE RETURNING TO A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THE PRESENT CLOUD SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:49:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627990-8552>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 22:06:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA28854; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 08:07:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10971704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 08:06:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15208 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 08:04:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 08:04:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081404.IAA26983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 08:04:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24awzw Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb9b2facb5985c9f21130dd8fa8c5941 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 200 WTPN31 PGTW 081400 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24AWZW NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCWMNE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX BCPNI: WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 6.4N0 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOLXL- 280 DRE07 KTS 0 POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSOAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT ;4303- 89-85: 6.4 BP QEIMRE6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, ULIDAT: 090000Z9 --- 6.7N3 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WQCD WAPWT KT, GUSTS 035KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 GX/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.9N5 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT /;:594 59 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 7.1N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINOLWINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS ESENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 10120Z4 --?83N0 132.3E9 VAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 888 88 88 801)NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.9,LQWIMOE0 MAX SVV CIKYAVA PTT KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 82, NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSH- 090 NM NORTH SEOICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REMA -081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 6.5N1 138.1E3. TROPICALDEPESSION 24W HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTEVOVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED O 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE AGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING VINTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OFMMWK N OTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W CONTINUES TO DISPLAY MORE ORGANIZED DEVELOPMENT BUT ITS CIRCULATTNSTILL REMAINS BROAD, 2#8:# .-(3- 09-8589,8,< 9> 85- )92-LEVEL WITH INFRARED IMAGERY DIFFICULT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN MMQNG WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT SOOYING INFLUENCE TOUGHOUT THE FMVZQMKVPOGNAVY GL O BAL SPECTRA MODEL (;.;-0-) AND ANIMATED WUTER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH SHOULD QASS NORTH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITCON. THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SLIGHTLY WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND ALLOW FOR A BRIZFIMQHCORTHWESTWARD TRACK BFORE RETURNING TO A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD;0949QCAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PEROD AS IT WILL REVAIM IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. FORECASTHWIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLUMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYVOMVE AMDHOHPPESENT CLOUD SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFQ FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 20 909001+-(DOPOPUTBUBAND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// L +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 08:50:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628044-8556>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:55:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA07004; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:55:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10976167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:55:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA21046 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:55:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:55:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812081955.NAA06475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:55:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfd38f8e74f966f7ce8ee2ff3883faa2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 291 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 7.1N8 137.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N8 137.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.5N2 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 8.0N8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 8.4N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 8.8N6 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 9.6N5 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 7.2N9 137.2E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W REMAINS A BROAD CIRCULATION AND ITS LOW-LEVEL CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE WITH INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THIS, THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REBUILD AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W SHOULD RETURN TO A WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 11:25:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-17325>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 10:33:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16716; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 20:33:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 20:33:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12086 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 20:33:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 20:33:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090233.UAA14970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 20:33:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 004 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e79b1430e5d552fddd0465a1beb9a97 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 340 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 9.1N0 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 10.5N6 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 11.6N8 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 12.1N4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.3N6 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 11.6N8 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.4N3 134.1E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: THE RELOCATION REFLECTS A RE-POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST BY OVER ONE DEGREE. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE, MAKING POSITIONING DIFFICULT, ESPECIALLY USING INFRARED IMAGERY WITH A QUICKLY MOVING SYSTEM. TD 24W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. NEAR THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO, IN ADDITION TO LAND INTERACTION, BECOME SUBJECT TO NORTHEASTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW. STILL BEING A RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEM, THIS IS FORECAST TO HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 14:14:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2500 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-17323>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:05:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24458; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:06:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10984395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:06:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12246 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:01:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:01:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090601.AAA18260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:01:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ba02f774a7137e04b8b87e64765123a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 312 WTPN22 PGTW 090530 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 6.8N4 110.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 090330Z5 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.4N8 111.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A LARGE BAND OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED WITHIN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW. THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE VORTICITY CENTERS. HOWEVER, THE CENTER LOCATED FURTHER TO THE SOUTH IS BEST ORIENTED WITH THE BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 101730Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 14:36:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3415 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627950-17324>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:19:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24974; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10984581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16692 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090619.AAA18533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a037fa5da5524043e3652857f2bfb2da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090529Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF B/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1N0 134.8E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ?P1NT LY(D NEAR3RY 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SE ?P: 0.A(K3 ,N3UR THER DETAIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 16:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2022 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626919-17324>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 16:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24500; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:17:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:17:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04980 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:17:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:17:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090817.CAA19504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:17:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9426c0a7fe816016ae16bac33ed5836a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 510 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 10.3N4 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.2N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.2N6 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.8N2 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.8N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.6N9 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 133.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND IS BEGINNING TO GENERATE CENTRAL CONVECTION. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY ALTHOUGH THE TRACK WAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH TO REFLECT A HIGHER LATITUDE WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 16:35:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628069-17324>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 16:31:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26678; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:31:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:31:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29854 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:31:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:31:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090831.CAA19583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 02:31:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warnin Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16c3a94933096c16b6f783344ed4929e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 733 WTPN31 PGTW 090800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNIN NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC HE WARNING POSITION: 090600+5 --- NEAR 10.3N4 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT HPOSIT: 10.3N4 133.7E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 0918001+8 --- 12.2N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ ()KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.2N6 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.8N2 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.8N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.6N9 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 133.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND IS BEGINNING TO GENERATE CENTRAL CONVECTION. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY ALTHOUGH THE TRACK WAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH TO REFLECT A HIGHER LATITUDE WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 17:25:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3886 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627024-17324>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 17:18:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19794; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:18:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:18:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25404 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:18:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:17:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090917.DAA20159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:17:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dea550c7e3be80cbcc28d3df5374f2e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 534 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 10.3N4 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.2N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.2N6 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.8N2 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.8N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.6N9 115.8E5 MASUSTANED WNDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR R F( 133.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTQ VDP> ?C D, HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND IS BEGINNING TO GENERATE CENTRAL CONVECTION. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY ALTHOUGH THE TRACK WAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH TO REFLECT A HIGHER LATITUDE WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 17:25:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626778-17320>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 17:22:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29514; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:22:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:22:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25400 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:22:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:22:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090922.DAA20184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 03:22:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 963d5019d5bdb4439dcb57949a73eacd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 690 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLOFE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONEFMINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 10.3N4 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 133.7E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.2N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS 24 HRS, MALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.2N6 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.8N2 125.0E8 ) MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUST S 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KO WINDS - 00 NNORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTYN EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 8 110600Z2 --- 13.8N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 0 OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.6N9 115.8E5 MASUSTANED WNDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 8# 050 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR R TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTQ VDP? ?C D, HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND IS BEGINNING TO GENERATE CENTRAL CONVECTION. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY ALTHOUGH THE TRACK WAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH TO REFLECT A HIGHER LATITUDE WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 09060#;+ 8- 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFWSFOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. K/5 WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 02:12:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-17323>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 22:20:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA19812; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 08:18:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10987743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 08:18:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22836 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 08:18:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 08:18:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091418.IAA23579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 08:18:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b37e5018ebb9524c5525ecda7cea12b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 643 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 7.2N9 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N9 109.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 7.6N3 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.9N6 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 8.3N1 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 8.6N4 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.2N1 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 7.3N0 109.6E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 091200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA, A 091029Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 091130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA (REPORT OF 20 KNOT TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS WHICH CORRESPONDS TO 25 KNOT ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS FORMED FROM A MONSOON DEPRESSION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IS CONTINUING TO ORGANIZE ABOUT ONE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (091130Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY STILL SUGGESTS SEPARATE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE WARNING POSITION). THE OVERALL PAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS BASED ON ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THE PRESENT CLOUD SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091729Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 091730). NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9), 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2), 100900Z0 (DTG 100755Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 02:12:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2123 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628220-17324>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:00:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA13418; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 10:00:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10989029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 09:59:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA16076 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 09:58:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 09:58:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812091558.JAA25853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 09:58:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc6e9ba72be2c093aa8ad269c51495de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 746 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 10.6N7 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 11.7N9 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 12.7N0 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 13.5N9 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 14.1N6 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.3N8 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 10.9N0 132.4E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 091130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND WITH A SIGNIFICANT SELF PROPAGATION COMPONENT (A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A LARGE AREAL EXTENT TENDS TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AS A RESULT OF ITS OWN CIRCULATION). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W CONTINUES TO SHOW IMPROVED ORGANIZATION IN ITS CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES. THE SYSTEM REMAINS LARGE, HOWEVER, AND AS A RESULT ITS CONSOLIDATION HAS BEEN SLOW. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN BEGIN A WESTWARD TRACK AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AFTER THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF LUZON. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL, INTERACTION LAND INTERACTION WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. ONCE OVER THE WARM WATER OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W SHOULD REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 05:42:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628437-17324>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:16:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA11704; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:17:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10992942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA25454 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:16:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:16:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812092016.OAA03460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:16:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04680603decd0d9bea921ef7472658a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 341 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 10.9N0 130.7E1 HNVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PA?I ?RERF ENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINEDSDQ 014 I ;UIS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 H, R?? T 10 600Z7 --- 11.8N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 0 Z? BAT.5S 35 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 05:42:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628437-17323>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:21:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA17486; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:21:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10993055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:21:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22828 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:21:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:21:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812092021.OAA03615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:21:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 245100bb646978d4ff585114be093e54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 448 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 10.9N0 130.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 11.8N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 12.5N8 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 12.9N2 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 12.9N2 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.7N0 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 130.0E4. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 091730Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WESTWARD AS IT CROSSES THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS INTENSIFIED TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. AFTER CROSSING LAND, TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 05:42:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628425-17325>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:43:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA21366; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:43:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10869032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:43:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20578 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:43:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:43:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812092043.OAA04195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:43:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bcae6371a6c9eac55f049954d003965 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 748 WTPN32 PGTW 092100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DE:RSION 25W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 7.5N2 108.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N2 108.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.7N4 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 8.1N9 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.7N5 103.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 9.3N2 100.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.3N4 96.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 07.5N2 108.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 091730Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND ITS DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED ON ITS WESTERN PERIPHERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2), 100900Z0 (DTG 100755Z8), 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101955Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 11:16:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2289 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626636-20926>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 10:52:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29906; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:52:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10872682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25278 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:52:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:51:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100251.UAA10810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:51:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 140d9dcbe1c170d097dd9d08d50ed3c8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 959 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 11.2N4 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 11.2N4 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 11.9N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.7N0 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.7N0 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.6N9 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.5N8 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 128.1E2. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 092330Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A 092330Z7 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WESTWARD AS IT CROSSES THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AFTER THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL, WHICH WILL RETARD FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. AFTER CROSSING LAND, TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 11:16:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2332 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626421-20926>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 10:55:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA05018; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:56:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10872688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:56:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24708 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:56:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:56:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100256.UAA10862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 20:56:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80712f296ef6589dcac85d36476c06c5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPN32 PGTW 100300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 7.6N3 107.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 7.6N3 107.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.8N5 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 8.3N1 102.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 8.8N6 99.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 9.1N0 98.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.8N7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 07.7N4 106.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A 092330Z7 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TD 25W MAY BE UNDERGOING SOME LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD RETARD THE INTENSIFICATION SOMEWHAT. IN ADDITION, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 25W IS VERY BROAD IN NATURE AND DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO IT NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE MALAY PENINSULA. INTERACTION WITH THE PENINSULA SHOULD RETARD ITS DEVELOPMENT, BUT TD 25W SHOULD BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY AS IT PASSES INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 12:26:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-20934>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 12:20:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA11528; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 22:21:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10873817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 22:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA04590 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 22:21:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 22:21:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100421.WAA12026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 22:21:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdca5f329fda10d1836e92f22d1fdd41 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 891 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 AMD SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 008A AMENDED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 11.2N4 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 11.9N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.7N0 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.7N0 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.6N9 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.5N8 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 128.1E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINES. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME EXCEPT FOR THE INTENSIFICATION. THE UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATED EARLIER THAT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXTREMELY FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. INDEED, TS FAITH (24W) HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINES. THE INTENSIFICATION OF TS FAITH (24W) SHOULD BE RETARDED AS IT CROSSES OVER THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. AFTER CROSSING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, TS FAITH SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: TO INCREASE FORECAST INTENSITY AND WIND RADII.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 14:20:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2943 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-20926>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:12:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA05158; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:13:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10875207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA05108 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100612.AAA13211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcc736f8107c04823e5dcc6604e2f0fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACDO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 18:50:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA04930; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:51:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:51:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA26916 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:51:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:51:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101051.EAA15102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:51:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Faith (24w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2971340eeaad0b14d8f439469f643cec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 928 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 11.2N4 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 11.2N4 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.4N6 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.6N8 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.9N1 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.1N4 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 12.3N6 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 126.5E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY AS IT APPROACHED THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND THE 100000Z1 UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HENCE, TS FAITH (24W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT BEGINS TO CROSS THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. AT THAT TIME, IT=S INTENSIFICATION SHOULD BE RETARDED UNTIL TS FAITH (24W) ONCE AGAIN STRIKES OUT OVER WARM WATER AND BEGINS TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627440-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 18:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA04900; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:59:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:59:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24594 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:59:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:59:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101059.EAA15167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 04:59:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Faith (24w) Wnwng Cr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eaadb9ad7be4cd56342d7e2343f42103 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 060 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WNWNG CR 009 UPGRADED FGOV TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 11.2N4 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PASTTSL--2-0 ;$3<433- -5 19 KTS POSITWGN ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTIZUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH BICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE 5:2MQVCINEAR 11.2N4 127.0EKZ --= FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.4N6 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATW RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.6N8 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SCVIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCBE 68 22 OER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TM 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.9N1 119.6E7 MALSUSTAINELWUCDS -865CT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMQQIRCLE OVEGP-534 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHR OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS B ANO EXTENDED OUTLOOK: < 48 HRA, VGID ATKMN 120600ZGO AAA QWMQN4 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 9;0<7-5- 09 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM CXRTV BVICIRCLE 030#VVPELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 08 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/1 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0- 12.3N6 110.9MMMWL MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GKUPPKTM M PH-1050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE EP NM ELSEWHERE 4;;7035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE # 8 000000PPMVPSNFNMMI --= 100.1Z00POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 126.5E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) FAITVPCYWLLHAK TGACKED WESTWARDAT 19 KNOTMWMVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLSVVLV T APPROACHEHTHE PHILIPPINEXPAVQVVMQNF /9-,$ ;838? 5+ -INDICATE TROPICAL STOM WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OFTHE SUBTGMPUCWLHQTO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSXPPUPVCALLY UNCHANOED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND THE QQQWQZ1UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE MR LEVEL ENVWONMENT REMAINYIPORABLE FOR XUCTHER DEVELOIOENT. HENCE, TS FAITH (24W) SHOULD CONTINU9.01;92:ZUNTIL QOPKK I ICROSS THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. AT THAT TIME, IT;S INTENSIFICATION SHOULD BE RETARDED UNTIL TS FAITH (24W) ONCE AGAIN STRIKES OUT OVER WARM WATER AND BEGINS TOPGEINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM IGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINS AT 101500Z7 (ETG 101351Z1), 102100ZB KDTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z95 AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5). REFER TO TROPICALHMCLL25W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTWUDFOR IX-HOURLY UPDATLS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627308-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 19:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA04554; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 05:09:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 05:09:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA24760 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 05:09:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 05:09:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101109.FAA15249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 05:09:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77d652a05cef0a9ea07f780135014cff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 238 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 7.5N2 106.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 7.5N2 106.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.6N3 105.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.9N6 103.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.3N1 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.0N9 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.8N7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 7.5N2 106.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 100530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A 100530Z9 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TD 25W MAY BE UNDERGOING SOME LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD RETARD THE INTENSIFICATION SOMEWHAT. IN ADDITION, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 25W CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD CONTINUE WESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE MALAY PENINSULA. INTERACTION WITH THE PENINSULA SHOULD RETARD ITS DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHAT, BUT TD 25W SHOULD BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT PASSES INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5), 102100Z4 (DTG 101955Z1), 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3)) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9) REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-20936>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 21:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA29514; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:57:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10877814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA14348 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:56:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:56:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101356.HAA16180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 07:56:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1dc7b0d6592bbc1620968f2b7af05e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 775 WTPN32 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 8.5N3 105.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 105.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 8.9N7 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 9.5N4 102.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.1N2 100.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.6N7 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.6N8 94.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.6N4 105.2E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (30KTS)IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 101130Z6 SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SHIP REPORTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TD 25W HAS UNDERGONE INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK IS FOR A CONTINUED NORTWESTWARD TRACK AROUND 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE MALAY PENINSULA DUE TO A WEAKENING OF VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE INTENSIFICATION SHOULD BE RETARDED UNTIL TD 25W HEADS OUT OVER WARM WATERS, WHERE IT CAN BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101955Z1), 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3), 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3923 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627314-20935>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 22:33:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04448; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 08:33:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10878368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 08:33:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20550 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 08:33:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 08:33:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101433.IAA16785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 08:33:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 483dc17acb7969f652644825699d5bfb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 505 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 11.9N1 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.5N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.8N1 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.1N5 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.3N7 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.4N8 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 124.9E6. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 101130Z6 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES TYPHOON FAITH IS JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF SAMAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. THIS ALLOWED TYPHOON FAITH TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. ONCE IT MOVES OFF THE PHILIPPNES, AND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, TYPHOON FAITH IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628450-20936>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 03:48:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA29014; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:48:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10871949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:48:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12850 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:48:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:47:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812101947.NAA24012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 13:47:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d594272020bf98870f4952c95dfc779 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 398 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 12.2N5 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 123.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 12.7N0 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.1N5 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 13.2N6 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.3N7 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.1N5 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 123.2E8. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY (65 KTS) IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 101130Z6 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE AREA. THIS ALLOWED TYPHOON FAITH TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT CONTINUES TO CROSS THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TY FAITH SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH THE ISLANDS AND INCREASE AS IT MOVES OFF THE PHILIPPNES, AND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TYPHOON FAITH WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UPON MAKING LANDFALL IN VIETNAM AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627524-20926>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 04:38:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA26616; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:35:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10872370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:35:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24022 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:35:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:35:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812102035.OAA25251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:35:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w Wabl2)si00 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29f36621ffb00541572f2f36228257fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 146 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WABL2)SI00 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 08:10:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1634 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628400-20935>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 04:57:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15560; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:57:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10872673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:57:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24224 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:57:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:57:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812102057.OAA25749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:57:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15aab3812c91febbbbb96d2cf59334b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 385 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 8.7N5 105.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 105.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.9N7 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 9.3N2 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.6N5 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.0N1 100.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.9N0 95.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 105.1E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS DRIFTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. THE CURRENT INTENSITY (30KTS) IS BASED ON 101130Z6 SATELLITE ANALYSIS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TD 25W HAS UNDERGONE INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTHEAST OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION. ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SLOWED FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS TO ADJUST FOR THE INCREASED WINDSHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE MALAY PENINSULA DUE TO A WEAKENING OF VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THE INTENSIFICATION SHOULD BE RESTRICTED UNTIL TD 25W HEADS OUT OVER WARM WATERS, WHERE IT CAN INTENSIFY ONCE AGAIN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3), 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9), 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- VERSION: PGP FOR BUSINESS SECURITY 5.5 IQA/AWUBNNAUJZBF/MYA3JWEEQIT0ACFVYXIXNAX5CSKS1QGPNWKBLKX0QIAN34B CHEHU+INOGT/SPLJHE4GF4QI ;RGRL -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 11:48:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627293-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 10:52:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15602; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:52:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10876211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:52:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA11720 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:52:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:52:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110252.UAA01376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 20:52:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c39fc863b219e08121fbd53d1c8e573e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 701 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 8.2N0 105.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 8.2N0 105.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 8.5N3 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 8.9N7 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.4N3 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.9N8 100.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.8N9 96.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 08.3N1 105.3E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) GIL (25W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 110031Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON BOTH A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS WHICH SHOWED A MINIMUM OF 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TS GIL (25W) IS A WELL DEVELOPED, FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) SHOULD TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, SINCE TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRAVELS TOWARDS THE MALAY PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9), 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6), 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 14:04:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627057-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17232; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10877824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA23092 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110552.XAA03388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 070cd612b6924384033d815618d45096 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110155Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 122.1E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N0 105.5E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 165E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH MAY BE ROTATING AROUND A VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALSO PRESENT ON THE 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS, AND THE UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. SINCE THIS BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN THE EARLY STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 14:04:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626986-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28468; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10877864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04372 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110558.XAA03429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63d5869d611268719443b7ae8f82f447 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 548 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110155Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 122.1E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N0 105.5E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 165E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH MAY BE ROTATING AROUND A VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALSO PRESENT ON THE 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS, AND THE UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. SINCE THIS BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN THE EARLY STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:07:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA23174; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:08:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:08:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18546 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:08:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:07:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110807.CAA04467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:07:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ce51904a32eb6389193cc6e4c6a8e8c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 526 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NOR?GD) ?E?H QUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627566-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:08:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18648; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:09:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:09:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA23236 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:09:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:09:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110809.CAA04485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:09:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 269e5f28c05cf3a1377cef2c3430db78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 534 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 11.8N0 120.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 11.8N0 120.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.9N1 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.0N3 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.2N5 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 12.1N4 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.1N4 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 119.4E5. TYPHOON (TY) FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS ENTERING THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS BASICALLY THE SAME AS TYPHOON FAITH CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TYPHOON FAITH SHOULD CONTINUE ON ITS WESTWARD TRACK AS IT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TYPHOON FAITH SHOULD INTENSIFY UNTIL IT STRIKES VIETNAM AT THE 36 FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AT THAT POINT, TY FAITH SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3325 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA18136; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA06598 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110814.CAA04521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c305be7261e7241652c6ec3fc4a2b6c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 WTPN31 PGTW 110800 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NOR?GD) ?E?H QUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627607-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:14:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA28506; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:15:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA17682 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110814.CAA04539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:14:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04f647199d30ca2cab4aeed42fa8c8cd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 8.3N1 104.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 8.3N1 104.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.5N3 103.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 8.9N7 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 9.1N0 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.4N3 101.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 104.3E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON BOTH A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND A 110308Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL DEPICTS TD 25W (GIL) AS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER UNDERGOING MODERATE TO SEVERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SLIGHLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WILL CONTINUE IN THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS DISSIPATING OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6), 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3590 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-10553>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 16:23:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26038; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:24:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10879072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:24:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA05026 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:24:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:24:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110824.CAA04581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 02:24:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c4095430e331dc6c97ccd8ebb84b068 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 947 WTPN32 PGTW 110800 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 8.3N1 104.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 8.3N1 104.6E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.5N3 103.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 8.9N7 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 9.1N0 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.4N3 101.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 104.3E:. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON BOTH A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND A 110308Z3 25W (GIL) AS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER UNDERGOING MODERATE TO SEVERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SLIGHLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST= NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WILL CONTINUE IN THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS DISSIPATING OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNIOS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6), 112100ZT KDTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0). REFER TOHTYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4418 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 22:04:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA18578; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:03:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:03:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24422 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:03:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:03:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111403.IAA07532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:03:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15bc539312b8b15b403e3a26f9196b37 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 786 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 11.2N4 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 11.0N2 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.8N9 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.7N8 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.0N2 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.5N7 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 118.1E1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 111100Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (90 KNOTS)IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A POSSIBLE EYE DEVELOPING OVER THE PAST HOUR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW TY FAITH (24W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. UW-CIMSS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE WINDSHEAR AND OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT, TY FAITH SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AND CAMBODIA. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT CLOUD SIGNATURE AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1074 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627463-10553>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 22:14:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15314; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:15:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:15:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15240 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:15:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:14:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111414.IAA07709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:14:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Wng Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 865dfe53adc77806cd7b72416ed02c58 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 190 WTPN31 PGTW 111400 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WNG NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINTE AVERAGE WARNING PBYITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR GQQMWN4 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSIT ON BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE MW P PRESENT WIND D ISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 8; 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATDR 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 118.7E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 11.0N2 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RPGVIL050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.8N9 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSIHERE W RAVVIL050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH EMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.7N8 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 15 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NOROH DQCIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMCIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT:-275 DEG/ 15 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.0N2 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 0 OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE VER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.5N7 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS KT KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 118.1E1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 111100Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (90 KNOTS)IS BASED UPON AN AVERAGE OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A POSSIBLEEYE DEVELOPING OVER THE PAST HOUR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW TY FAITH (24W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. UW-CIMSS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE WINDSHEAR AND OUTFLOW A OFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. TYPHOON FAITH (2=W) CONTI UES TO MOV UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGEM TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANTER MAKING LANDFALL, BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT, TY FAITH SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AND CAMBODIA. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT CLOUD SIGNATURE AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE-SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1112005 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2090 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627608-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 22:32:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29764; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:32:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:32:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29898 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:31:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:31:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111431.IAA07969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:31:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3662ae415131a9d4cca9df48299b2a4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 492 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 8.7N5 103.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 103.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 9.0N9 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.3N2 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.5N4 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 103.4E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 111100Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY AND UW- CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE CONTINUED MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. FIXING ON THIS SHEARED SYSTEM WITH INFRARED IMAGERY REMAINS A CHALLENGE, BUT SYNOPTIC DATA STILL INDICATES A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. HENCE, TD 25W SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO FORECAST WIND RADII SINCE THE SYSTEM IS BELOW 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4), 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 23:37:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-10552>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 22:36:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21034; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:36:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10880975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:36:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA06418 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:36:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:36:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111436.IAA08054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 08:36:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a7b4e2c961eefe1261a8ba42d41e31b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 586 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 8.7N5 103.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT .4303-5 09-85: 8.7N5 103.6E0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 9.0N9 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT0 GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.3N2 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTF 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.5N4 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 103.4E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSQTION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BAED ON 111100Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED IMAGERY AND UW= CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE CONTINUED MODERATE VERTICAL WIM<3-4 9;34 THE AREA. FIXING ON THIS SHEARED SYSTEM WITH INFRARED IMAGERY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL DEPRESSION .?GIL) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. HENCE, TD 25W SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRACS WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO FORECAST WIND RADII SINCE THE SYSTEM IS BELOW 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 8FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4), 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:24:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3538 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-10549>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:29:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA04984; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:29:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:29:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04910 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:29:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:28:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111928.NAA15836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:28:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cca1241855e68a1d906f98c86b5ae54c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 265 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 015 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 11.1N3 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 117.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 11.0N2 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.8N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.8N9 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.1N3 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 117.1E0. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (90 KNOTS)IS BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW TY FAITH (24W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. UW-CIMSS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE WINDSHEAR AND OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, BUT OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BECOMING SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED ON THE EAST SIDE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT, TY FAITH SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AND CAMBODIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:24:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-10546>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:31:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13034; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:31:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:31:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA24024 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:31:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:31:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111931.NAA15922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:31:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1eee323efd2cb01add58873f96fb7022 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 301 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 015 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WIMD ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 11.1N3 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 117.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 11.0N2 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.8N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.8N9 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.1N3 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 117.1E0. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (90 KNOTS)IS BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW TY FAITH (24W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. UW-CIMSS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE WINDSHEAR AND OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, BUT OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BECOMING SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED ON THE EAST SIDE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT, TY FAITH SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AND CAMBODIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:24:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-10552>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:38:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA25868; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:38:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:38:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA04602 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:38:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:38:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111938.NAA16105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:38:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0262c3afa7f1131c8a3c9924eaa26ba0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 396 WTPN31 PGTW 111900 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 015 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL YCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 11.1N3 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 117.6E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 11.0N2 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NMELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --;9, 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.8N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHE E RADIUOF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 4 130600Z0 --- 10.8N9 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, V ID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.1N3 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 117.1E0. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 111730Z3 INFRARED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4838 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-10553>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:47:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24030; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:48:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:48:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA06596 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:48:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:48:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111948.NAA16342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:48:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e01447276621e3b18add6dfed47d24d2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 530 WTPN31 PGTW 112000 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 015 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WIMD ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 11.1N3 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 117.6E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 11.0N2 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE ;3:594 59 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 0 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.8N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.8N9 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.1N3 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 117.1E0. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY (90 KNOFLIS BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TT SHOW TY FAITH (24WGL IS TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. UW-CIMSS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGARY INDICATE WINDSHEAR AND OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAIN FAVORADLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, BUT OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BECOMING SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED ON THE EAT SIDE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE CUN DER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, BETWEEN THE 36-48 HOUR POINT, TY FAITH SHOULD RAPIDLY DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM AND CAMBODIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 1)1951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSVON 25W (G ) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1120 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-10552>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:52:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA11596; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA06970 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812111952.NAA16488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c7453c915650c4c7799cd89d62c2746 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 557 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 9.0N9 102.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 102.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.3N2 101.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 9.5N4 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.8N7 99.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.1N2 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.1N0 102.6E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES A FLARE-UP OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WEST THROUGH SOUTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM AN OIL PLATFORM (UNOCAL) REPORTED GUSTS TO 45KTS WITHIN THE CONVECTION, BUT NO CIRCULATION WITHIN IT. CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN INITIATED BY CONVERGING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, BUT HAS MAINTAINED ITSELF OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. BASED ON THESE REPORTS AND THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION WE ARE MAINTAINING THE SYSTEM AT 30 KNOTS AND EXTENDING THE TRACK TO 48 HOURS. FIXING ON THIS SHEARED SYSTEM WITH INFRARED IMAGERY REMAINS A CHALLENGE, BUT SYNOPTIC DATA STILL INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EAST OF THE CONVECTION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES LIGHT-MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR STILL EXISTS. HENCE, TD 25W SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO FORECAST WIND RADII SINCE THE SYSTEM IS BELOW 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4), 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0), 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 09:25:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4277 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-10546>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 04:39:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24216; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:39:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10884968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:39:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA16494 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:39:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:39:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812112039.OAA17788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:39:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f31c08a3b8cded86d6e8bca48aec55b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 371 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 9.0N9 102.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 102.9E2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.3N2 101.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 9.5N4 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.8N7 99.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.1N2 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.1N0 102.6E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES A FLARE-UP OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WEST THROUGH SOUTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM AN OIL PLATFORM (UNOCAL) REPORTED GUSTS TO 45KTS WITHIN THE CONVECTION, BUT NO CIRCULATION WITHIN IT. CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN INITIATED BY CONVERGING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, BUT HAS MAINTAINED ITSELF OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. BASED ON THESE REPORTS AND THE INCREASE IN CXNVECTION WE ARE MAINTAINING THE SYSTEM AT 30 KNOTS N EXTENDING THE TRACK TO 48 HOURS. FIXING ON THIS SHEARED SYSTEM WITH INFRARED IMAGERY REMAINS A CHALLENGE, BUT SYNOPTIC DATA STILL INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EAST OF THE CONVECTION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES LIGHT-MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR STILL EXISTS. HENCE, TD 25W SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO FORECAST WIND RADII SINCE THE SYSTEM IS BELOW 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4), 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0), 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 10:04:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626766-13564>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 09:52:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA05038; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:53:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10888038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:53:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA07014 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:52:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:52:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120152.TAA21676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 19:52:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af6f9be3b81caa162d843485afc1ec33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 847 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 016 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 11.2N4 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.2N4 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 11.2N4 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.2N4 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 11.2N4 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.2N4 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 115.1E8. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED AT CONSTANT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TY FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE QUICKLY IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION, MAKING LANDFALL BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GILL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 10:09:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627018-13563>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 10:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA25874; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:05:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10888352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:05:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21244 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:05:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:05:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120205.UAA21793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:05:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Facth (24w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e963e909704913d3132bdfb04836e750 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 103 WTPN31 PGTW 120200 1. TYPHOON FACTH (24W) WARNING NR 016 UPGRADED FROM TROPI DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 0000Z3 --- NEAR 11.2N4 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110-(5 RADIUS OF 050 KT 2,$- - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 115.8E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 1124 763.0E5? MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 1 5 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 11.2N4 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.2N4 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER - 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 11.2N4 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.2N4 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 115.1E8. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVERFPAST SIX HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED AT CONSTANT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TY FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE QUICKLY IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION-.-(8,< ) -,$>-)) ?35233, 24 AND 36 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW NOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 13#151Z1). RE HR 25W (GILL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 13:31:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627234-13564>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 10:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29136; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:46:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10888617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13496 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:46:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:46:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120246.UAA22196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:46:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gill) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 067cbc08ca9c0ac52cb4954d7a1ac048 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 874 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GILL) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 8.7N5 101.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 101.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 8.7N5 99.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.8N6 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 100.8E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GILL) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK, DISORGANIZED, AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND A 112247Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. LANDFALL OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. DISSIPATION IS ANTICIPATED SHORTLY THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0), 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 13:31:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627204-13565>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 10:48:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18870; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:49:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10888634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:49:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA17824 for ; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:49:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:49:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120249.UAA22225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:49:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gill) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e36567e4f3df5686e3a718b611047d14 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 911 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GILL) WARNING NR 011 802 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSLAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 8.7N5 101.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM WMB LON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION;9 REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 101.3E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 8.7N5 99.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATINGAWGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.8N6 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 K DISSPA REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 100.8E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GCLL);#-- 54-:(3$ 23-5CIET 13 KNGTS OVER THE PAST SIM HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK, DISORGANIZED, AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND A 112247Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. LANDFALL OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. DISSIPATION IS ANTICIPATED SHORTLY THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0), 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) ANDU WQP P ZR KBO 121955Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 14:42:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627841-13560>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:22:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16652; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10890766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19696 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120622.AAA23768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f6f78ad9b18093813d75532f8f47ecf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 224 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120155Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N5 115.8E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 101.3E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 164E1. IT IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AND FRONTAL AREA. THERE IS NO INDICATION YET OF A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:50:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627808-13565>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 16:01:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA04872; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 02:01:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 02:01:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA05098 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 02:01:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 02:01:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120801.CAA24204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 02:01:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44c2b15aa642f4c5a1a1da62dc0d4a1a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 247 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 017 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 10.6N7 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.3N4 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.1N2 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.2N3 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.2N3 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.3N4 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 113.3E8. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, MAINTAINING INTENSITY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 120530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, THE SLIGHT LOSS OF LATITUDE WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO PASS OVER TERRAIN CONDUCIVE TO THE MAINTENANCE OF ITS ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THIS. ALSO, THE ESTIMATED TIME OF LANDFALL IS SET BACK TO REFLECT THE INCREASED DISTANCE TO THE COASTLINE. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GILL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:51:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3609 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627886-13564>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 17:21:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA06572; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:22:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:22:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28056 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:22:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:22:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120922.DAA24625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:22:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 012a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be524877c3e1f90cb6d1235f18c518a8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 742 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 012A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 8.7N5 100.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 100.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 8.7N5 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.7N5 96.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 100.1E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON 120530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST OR THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE SYSTEM AS TY FAITH (24W) APPROACHES, THE ALTERNATE SCENARIO DISCUSSED IN THE PROGNOSTIC REASONING (WDPN32) OF REGENERATION IN THE ANDAMAN SEA REMAINS A MODERATE PROBABILITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7), 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT THE SPELLING OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION NAME.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:51:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628139-13560>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 21:54:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA18612; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:53:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10893083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:53:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA07068 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:53:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:53:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121353.HAA26158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 07:53:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59173cfc5d5df7bf46e7f5ce1f23beb7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 105 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 10.4N5 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.3N4 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 FL ELA$ RA?IUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE KVQ;ATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.5N6 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.5N6 103.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.4N5 100.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 112.3E7. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN VIETNAM COAST AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. A 120951Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS SHOWS TYPHOON FAITH (24W)=S DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WEST OF ITS LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION IS BEING CARRIED NORTHWARD INDICATING THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO EXPERIENCE SLIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS WILL INHIBIT TYPHOON FAITH (24W) FROM ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL ALONG SOUTHERN VIETNAM. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD BASED ON 121200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:51:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628193-13563>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 22:29:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA26094; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:29:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10893498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16600 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:29:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:29:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121429.IAA26324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:29:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 013 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f353aff02edba72f1b8dc00b355d7fe1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 905 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 013 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 7.7N4 100.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 7.7N4 100.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.5N2 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 7.5N2 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 7.5N2 95.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 7.7N4 99.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 121200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA, EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 120330Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS BEEN RELOCATED SOUTHWARD BASED ON CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM IS OVERLAND ALONG THE MALAY PENINSULA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS BEEN MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS IS MOVEMENT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM TYPHOON FAITH (24W) TO IS EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE MALAY PENINSULA. AS THE LOW-LEVEL CROSSES INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA, IT MAY CONTINUE AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT SHOULD NOT REGENERATE AS IT WILL STILL BE EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM TYPHOON FAITH. AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL)=S REMAINING UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION BECOMES COMPLETELY SHEARED FROM ITS LOW-LEVEL AS IT CROSSES THE MOUNTAINS WHICH WOULD PREVENT ANY REGENERATION OR CONTINUATION AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 03:52:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2203 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628230-13564>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 22:37:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA18142; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:38:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10893527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:38:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12236 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:38:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:38:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812121438.IAA26393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 08:38:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) 12-4,8,< ,4 013 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7274d9506b56991e633ad87ab799ce1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 045 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) 12-4,8,< ,4 013 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628198-13565>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 04:08:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16424; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:09:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:08:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA13546 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:08:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:08:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812122008.OAA28654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:08:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3db6fddca30a212e3a97621015ac9e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 005 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 10.4N5 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.5N6 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.5N6 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.5N6 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.4N5 100.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 10.3N4 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 110.5E7. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN VIETNAM COAST AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO SHOW LESS ORGANIZATION. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. AFTER CROSSING SOUTHERN VIETNAM, TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY REINTENSIFY OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND BEFORE WEAKENING AGAIN AS IT CROSSES THE MALAY PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1171 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627927-13564>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 04:29:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29684; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:29:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA29652 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:29:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:29:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812122029.OAA28920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:29:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a67c24b9d7a5f2d3c7842b85f50a0a09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 438 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 7.8N5 99.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 99.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.1N9 99.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.4N2 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 8.5N3 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 99.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 121800Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE MALAY PENINSULA. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND THE REMAINING LOW- LEVEL CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO ACCURATELY LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INITIALLY AND EVENTUALLY WESTWARD BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AS THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL EVENTUALLY CROSSES OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1), 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4).REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627924-13565>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 04:45:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA20900; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:46:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10898771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:46:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA14720 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:46:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:46:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812122046.OAA29141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:46:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef6c0520cd0b3751316d6e67b027f1ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 661 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 7.8N5 99.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 99.9E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.1N9 99.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WIVDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: - 131800Z3 --- 8.4N2 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 8.5N3 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 99.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 121800Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 121730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE MALAY PENINSULA. THE SYSTEM;S DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED AND THE REMAINING LOW= LEVEL CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO ACCURATELY LOCATE USING INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INITIALLY AND EVENTUALLY WESTWARD BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, AS THE SYSTEM;S LOW-LEL EVENTUALLY CROSSES OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (XIL) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PEIOD. MAXIMUVLSIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1), 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4).REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1491 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627003-10316>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 10:15:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15580; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:14:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:14:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18884 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:14:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:14:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130214.UAA01684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:14:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 020 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb0d341765be497a23db415d919a5670 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 490 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 020 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.5N6 111.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 111.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.5N6 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.5N6 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.5N6 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 10.5N6 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.5N6 100.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 111.0E3. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 122330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SIGNIFICANT SLOWING OF THE SYSTEM. BECAUSE OF THIS, IN ADDITION TO THE RELOCATION, THE FORECAST TRACK IS LESS AGGRESSIVE IN ITS FORWARD MOTION. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER TO BE EAST OF THE CONVECTION CENTER. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS ADJUSTED FOR INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625902-10316>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 10:46:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15158; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:46:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18716 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:46:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:45:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130245.UAA01891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:45:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (gil) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e424f565edd27fc26e77ca9c8eccd809 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 981 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 8.0N8 99.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 99.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.1N9 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.0N8 99.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA AS VERIFIED BY 130130Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 13 11:26:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 10:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23124; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:49:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10902277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:49:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28886 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:49:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:49:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130249.UAA01932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:49:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faitp(24w) Warning Nr 020 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ef6afe33b6c5bb5bf9daace0e0afd04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 994 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON FAITP(24W) WARNING NR 020 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE /) WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.5N6 111.5E8 MOVEMENTIAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS #POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER HG QTP NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 111.5E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID WX: 131200Z7 --- 10.5N6 109.7E7 2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUST S 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE , OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVERNWATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEGPO KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.5N6 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 0 OVER WATER J PWP NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 88 8888 888888888888888 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:57:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-10321>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 14:38:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27926; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:38:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10904634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:38:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29878 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130637.AAA04007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e40f0b16ef56f9d621f8cfee78b46fc2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 875 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130155Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 111.5E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS DISSIPATED OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 156E2. EARLIER IN THE DAY, THIS AREA HAD SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNTS OF DEEP CONVECTION AND, WITH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, APPEARED TO BE AN AREA OF CIRCULATION. NEAR THIS TIME, A SCATTEROMETER PASS PRESENTED EVIDENCE OF NARROW TROUGHING, POSSIBLY AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS, CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND THE AREA AGAIN LOOKS MORE LIKE A LINEAR AREA OF CONVERGENCE. HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATED GOOD OUTFLOW NEAR THE AREA AS WELL AS A TUTT CELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DISTURBANCE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS DRT2RPK K9 THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627330-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 16:15:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA05088; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:13:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:13:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA13508 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:13:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:12:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130812.CAA04524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 02:12:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 895dcf2802e3013b7b58397a2db4c009 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 611 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 021 UPADEDFOM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NA: ) 1 B5( MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS 5SIDA1BEP DN.PH20 N POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 111.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.0N2 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 11.2N4 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.3N5 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.4N6 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.5N7 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 111.2E5. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND HAS ADDITIONALLY SLOWED. THIS CHANGE OF FORWARD MOTION, IN ADDITION TO A SLIGHT LATITUDE GAIN, RESULTS IN THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. WHILE THE BASIC PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME, TY FAITH (24W) IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR 24 HOURS AT A HIGHER LATITUDE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, THE EXPECTED TRACK WILL TAKE THE SYSTEM OVER MORE MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS WHICH WILL TAKE A LARGER TOLL ON ITS ORGANIZATION. THEREFOR, DISSIPATION OVER LAND IS FORECAST PRIOR TO 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:59:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3255 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627418-10319>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 21:55:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28056; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:54:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10906573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:54:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA18808 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:54:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:54:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131354.HAA06502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 07:54:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d8c09a0839b3408a37335cc5ae334fe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 11.1N3 111.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 111.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 11.7N9 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.2N5 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.4N7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.5N8 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.3N6 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 110.8E0. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131130Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WEST AND NORTH OF ITS LOW-LEVEL. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS BEGUN TO GAIN LATITUDE AS A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24- HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER THAT TIME, THE RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO REBUILD AND ALLOW TYPHOON FAITH (24W) TO RETURN TO A WESTWARD TRACK. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING WIND SHEAR. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 10:00:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627520-10322>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 03:51:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA06976; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:44:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10909473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:43:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18174 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:43:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:43:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812131943.NAA09401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 13:43:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Faith (24w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c5957c0bb2b829c185587b0e08d8890 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 997 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.9N1 110.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 110.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.8N1 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.4N8 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.7N1 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.7N1 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 110.0E2. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 131730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS RIDGE IS BEING WEAKENED BY THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TYPHOON (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST TRACK POSITION. AFTER LANDFALL, THE RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM WILL BEGIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BOTH AS A RESULT OF THE RIDGE REBUILDING AND THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESSIVELY LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TYPHOON FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND MOVES INTO INCREASINGLY STRONGER WIND SHEAR. AFTER LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS ALONG VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 12:37:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-24582>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 10:09:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA29446; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:10:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10913523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:10:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26832 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:10:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:10:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140210.UAA13181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 20:10:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Faith (24w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16929f38411beeb17456c05c31f139e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 627 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 024 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON FAITH (24W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 12.6N9 109.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 109.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.5N9 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.3N8 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.8N1 109.2E2. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 132222Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS BETWEEN SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CLOSE TO MAKING LANDFALL NEAR NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. TS FAITH (24W) IS EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED BY THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN WITHIN THE FIRST 12 HOURS, AND BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND PRIOR TO THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 16:42:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627175-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04968; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21068 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140658.AAA16108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc884b342395c07c343ac2ace3a3c37e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 597 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z DEC 9SREF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYBL P( FJ+- PS) ,SSTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 109.5E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 156E2 NOW EXTENDS DOWN THROUGH 18S9 157E3 AND BEYOND. THIS IS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PERSISTANT TROUGHING. AN AREA OF VORTICITY APPEARS TO HAVE CONSOLIDATED AND IS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 157E3. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO SUPPORTS THIS AREA AS A CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE SYNOPTIC STILL INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS ALONG THE TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES CONTINUED GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 16:42:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1658 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 15:38:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15994; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:38:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:38:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24928 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:38:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:38:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140738.BAA16423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:38:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Faith (24w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0af44c8f4a81b24852a2a1b51bf021a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 025 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 13.5N9 108.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 108.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.3N8 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.1N7 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 108.1E0. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER VIETNAM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND, TO A MUCH LESSER EXTENT, ON THE SYNOPTIC DATA. ALTHOUGH INLAND, THE SYSTEM IS STILL PRODUCING A GREAT DEAL OF MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION, CAUSING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO BE DIFFICULT TO POSITION EVEN WITH THE VISIBLE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE DISSIPATED PRIOR TO THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 16:42:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2151 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626029-24579>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 15:59:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA05120; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:59:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:59:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA06638 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:59:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:59:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140759.BAA16517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 01:59:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Aith (24w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 93a0419708280ebb7c6863eb79c97a5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 748 WTPN31 PGTW 140800 1. TROPICAL STORM AITH (24W) WARNING NR 025 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASD ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 13.5N9 108.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE L OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 108.4E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.3N8 107.4A2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVR LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.1N7 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 108.1E0. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER VIETNAM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 140530Z3 VISBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND, TO A MUCH LSSER EXTENT, ON THE SYNOPTIC DATA. ALTHOUGH INLAND, THE SYSTEM IS STILL PRODUCING A GREAT DEAL OF MID- TO UPPE -PEL CONVECTION, CAUSING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO BE DWFFICULT TO POSITION EVEN WITH THE VSIBLE IMAGERY. GHERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE DISSIPATED PRIOR TO THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 1M+5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 00:23:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626393-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 22:53:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29736; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:54:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10917515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:54:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA28644 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:54:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:54:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141454.IAA21082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 08:54:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Faith (24w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c64e6bb1521c01bcd54f59f73259d355 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 316 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 15 00:23:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2654 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628338-24581>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 23:07:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29920; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:08:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10917680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:07:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29878 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:07:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:07:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812141507.JAA21603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 09:07:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Faith (24w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cc29ff11c240b47d25feb0fe8fbee6f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 538 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 14.4N9 107.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 107.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.4N0 105.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.7N3 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 106.6E3. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 141130Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W)IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION AND IS LOSING ITS ORGANIZATION AS IT PASSES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ALONG SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM. TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT BECOMES INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED BY THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 13:46:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627923-21310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:37:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA07000; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22848 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160537.XAA29766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0c32863b3390953a50388ce58d82f87 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 995 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 13:46:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627742-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:40:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA27762; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:40:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:40:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22968 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160539.XAA29779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weater Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3bd559de9d6be8e98d6fab6f662cfae X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 004 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 14:59:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627856-21310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:57:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28190; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:56:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18794 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:54:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160554.XAA29988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:54:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8ade559ab4a1090fe051bbf4648a05a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 222 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS NEAR 6N6 132E6. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMMS PRODUCTS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 152100Z9) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 14:59:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4724 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627506-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:58:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17832; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:59:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:58:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA06920 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160557.XAA00019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 221b2484a39dc5cc88cea1dce47eeb69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 249 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS NEAR 6N6 132E6. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMMS PRODUCTS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 152100Z9) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 18:30:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628388-21304>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:23:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA13630; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA17876 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161022.EAA02613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c7b1783a6f3d072bf5a316d2e510e4c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 008 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 18:30:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:24:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA20836; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA29516 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161024.EAA02635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5c596ac0f3e59f47bc5f714f61b6f6c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 042 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS NEAR 6N6 132E6. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH OVIGOUT THE AOKM SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMMS PRODUCTS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVELPPPIXOVS ESTIMVD TOM CKUKQPMB. THE POOQ CBFOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 152100Z9) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 03:57:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629193-21310>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 02:43:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22056; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:43:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:43:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA13474 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161841.MAA10994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68823b0e5a9f99727d467e33a1711eca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 554 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98/= REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIPG// RMKL/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYCMNVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOG TME XAST 11<#.IYMLUYNOHTIC GNONBWNGWCATES A LOW-LEVEL Z TROUGH OVIGOUT THE AOKM SATELLITE ANIMMOLMNLWND UW-C MMS PRODU TS IND CATE GHT VERTICAL WINDSHEARNWN THE EREAGM MAWM M SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVELPP P IXOVS ESTIMVD TOM CKUKQPMBTM THE POOQ C>94-5#3 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT T OPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 2-- HOURF IS VOMRGM WVB MO OTHER B 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): 162.2E1-MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE RAF A (WOPS31 152100Z9) FOR KIFMGERDETAILBKH (25 NO OTHER OROPICA CYCLONES. D. TROPIWB DISTURBANCE SAHAGXOHH (1) THE AREA BF CONVECTION PROIOUSLP LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 S NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYNLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.-.( H ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSOM/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:29:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629119-21308>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:12:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16770; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:13:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA17228 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162012.OAA13439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31f2da497fc2ee3757c772e07cee63aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 288 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98/= REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIPG// RMKL/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYCMNVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOG TME XAST 11??.IYMLUYNOHTIC GNONBWNGWCATES A LOW-LEVEL Z TROUGH OVIGOUT THE AOKM SATELLITE ANIMMOLMNLWND UW-C MMS PRODU TS IND CATE GHT VERTICAL WINDSHEARNWN THE EREAGM MAWM M SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVELPP P IXOVS ESTIMVD TOM CKUKQPMBTM THE POOQ C?94-5?3 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT T OPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 2-- HOURF IS VOMRGM WVB MO OTHER B 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): 162.2E1-MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE RAF A (WOPS31 152100Z9) FOR KIFMGERDETAILBKH (25 NO OTHER OROPICA CYCLONES. D. TROPIWB DISTURBANCE SAHAGXOHH (1) THE AREA BF CONVECTION PROIOUSLP LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 S NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYNLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.-.( H ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSOM/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:48:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628027-1318>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:17:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04522; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10947844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29844 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170618.AAA22537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61f541b97533eef738d555e3dc114c0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 125E8. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LESSENED OVER THE CONVECTION AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE ANTI- CYCLONIC IN NATURE. THERE IS NO DEFINITE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CENTER INDICATED WITH THE VISIBLE SATELLITE. HOWEVER, ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA ALLOW FOR MULTIPLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CENTERS OF VORTICITY WITHIN THE TROUGHING THAT RUNS THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9S8 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 162100Z0) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:49:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627561-1317>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 19:21:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA07472; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 05:22:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10948941 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 05:21:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA13084 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 05:21:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA24782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 05:21:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171121.FAA24782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 05:21:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 171051z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b82b4e8483a1554d1801d6d692a04c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 529 WTPN21 PGTW 171100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171051Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3N5 125.2E0 TO 15.3N9 116.1E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170906Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 125.0E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: BOTH ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE 20 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE SYSTEM=S NORTHEAST PERIPHERY AND 10 TO 15 KNOT WESTERLIES ARE LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE, IT REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AT PRESENT, WITH STRONG SHEAR LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:49:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626118-1319>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 22:05:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15460; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 08:06:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10949517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 08:06:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA22096 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 08:06:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 08:06:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812171406.IAA26089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 08:06:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 975ff63a808745e39000cc25fa624203 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 852 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 12.2N5 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.9N2 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.3N7 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.6N0 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 13.7N1 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.7N1 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 121.8E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS FORMED OVER THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS A LARGE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS BEEN MOVING AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE ITS PERIPHERAL WINDS INTO THE CENTER. 171200Z1 SYNOPTIC SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE 25 KNOT WINDS IN THE SYSTEM=S PERIPHERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171051Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 171100) NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 09:31:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629106-1318>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 04:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA15152; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:14:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10953163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:13:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA23280 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:13:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:13:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812172013.OAA04849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:13:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33606daa61bf08830226ad4dc4996dd0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 12.2N5 120.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 120.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.5N8 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.7N0 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.8N1 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.8N1 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINEDWINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.8N1 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 120.1E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 171800Z7 SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171730Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND THE AREAL EXTENT OF ITS CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM JUST EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS TO THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE WITH INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS IT MAY BE INTERACTING WITH A SEPARATE CIRCULATION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 11:09:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-1984>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 10:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22102; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 20:54:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10955953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 20:54:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04884 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 20:54:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 20:54:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812180254.UAA11014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 20:54:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af7162c681522ad60aa2d964550a9c84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 14.4N9 121.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 121.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.8N4 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.9N6 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.8N6 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.3N2 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.2N2 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 120.8E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED AT THE MID-LEVELS. THE CONVECTION AND LOWER LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER OF TD 26W REMAINS DISORGANIZED, MAKING THE SYSTEM DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE RELOCATION IS DUE TO FURTHER CONSOLIDATION OF THE SYSTEM. TD 26W IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO INTENSIFY A GREAT DEAL DUE TO CONTINUED MID TO UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE FORECAST TRACK REFLECTS THE TROUGHING THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MIGRATE THROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 16:04:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3808 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627268-1984>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 15:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18640; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10957658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30130 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:56:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812180756.BAA13444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:56:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1npi0pddpaion 26w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b0bbabd1ec5cf125aefbf29c0c6f0fc X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1NPI0PDDPAION 26W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED)ANDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 18 16:03:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-1983>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 15:57:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25076; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10957665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18658 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812180757.BAA13454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ede4442fc19440555702d4e5926b350 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 15.0N6 121.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST HX B.2K #GREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASE MLFTE:COCAPED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 08:25:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2124 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627753-1976>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:22:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21170; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 08:22:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10958879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 08:22:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA18586 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 08:22:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 08:22:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812181422.IAA16633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 08:22:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1baa45273a0f4ee233b2db60fdc0bdd8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 17.4N2 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.2N2 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.4N6 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.3N6 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.0N4 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.9N3 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 120.5E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 181200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181130Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND 181200Z2 SHIP OBSERVATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS REMAINED A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM AS IT HAS TRACKED OVER THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. LAND INTERACTION HAS PREVENTED THE SYSTEM FROM CONSOLIDATING (ITS STRONGEST WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION HAVE BEEN ALONG THE ITS PERIPHERY) AND INTENSIFYING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO IS NORTHEAST. THIS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE RIDGE TO ITS EAST AS A WEAK MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES TO ITS NORTH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST REBUILDS SLIGHTLY. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF LUZON AND OVER WATER, IT IS ENTERING AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 08:25:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1720 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628202-1983>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 04:42:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA05710; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 14:42:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10962716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 14:42:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA12778 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 14:40:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA24867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 14:40:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812182040.OAA24867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 14:40:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 070fa0a3fbb5bc3a940140c60bf6b00b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 17.7N5 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.7N6 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 19.5N5 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.2N4 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.0N3 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 22.3N7 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 119.6E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 181800Z8 SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 181730Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. 181800Z8 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS MOVED OFF LUZON AND IS NOW OVER WATER. THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN LITTLE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A 181157Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWED NO READILY IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE. A 181430Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTED THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL WAS JUST ON SHORE AT THAT TIME. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY STEERING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. EVEN THOUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS LOCATED OVER WATER, IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 10:40:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4191 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-3867>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 10:04:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17854; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:05:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:04:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15990 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:04:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:04:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190204.UAA29463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:04:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a497c965472d91d32a8d3b74c5a0076 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 10:40:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626286-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 10:11:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22086; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:12:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:12:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA05172 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:12:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:12:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190212.UAA29497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 20:12:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 108ab71e25b82017bd04b38a61f9ad53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 18.3N2 119.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 119.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.2N2 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 119.4E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPLOATION. THIS DATA INDICATES TD 26W HAS BEEN ABSORBED INTO THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. SATELLITE DATA NO LONGER INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE VICINITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SHIP OBSERVATION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION AND EXTRAPOLATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS BEEN A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 12:16:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-3867>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 12:02:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA17792; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:03:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:02:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29292 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:02:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:02:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190402.WAA00594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:02:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc69c972e55fa136f89ef92991fb27e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CORRECTED 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 12:16:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3744 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626531-3861>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 12:05:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA30010; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:06:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10965527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:06:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29224 for ; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:06:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:06:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190406.WAA00629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:06:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cf0bc53257d37dcc5cab7860f03895b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CORRECTED 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 18.3N2 119.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 119.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.2N2 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 119.4E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPLOATION. THIS DATA INDICATES TD 26W HAS BEEN ABSORBED INTO THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. SATELLITE DATA NO LONGER INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE VICINITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SHIP OBSERVATION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION AND EXTRAPOLATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS BEEN A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM MOVING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. CORRECTED DATE TIME GROUP.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 14:52:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626842-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 14:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16036; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16010 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190645.AAA01815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 371817ec64af9c418adca26f68b469a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 15:30:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 15:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21132; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14702 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190717.BAA02026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34b92f3c194d7f796e368fe0a9340616 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 119.5E6, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT NEAR 13N4 113E5. THIS BROAD MONSOON CIRCULATION HAS CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWESTERN SIDE ALONG WITH PRESSURE GRADIENT WINDS OF 20KTS ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT OF THE CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 132E6. THIS AREA IS LOCATED ALONG A WAVE THAT HAS BEEN TRANSVERSING THE PACIFIC FOR OVER 36 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY NO LONGER INDICATES THE POTENTIAL OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CLOSED CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSHEL// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 16:45:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3472 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626902-3867>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 16:42:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25696; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:43:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:42:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA31556 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:42:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:42:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190842.CAA02430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:42:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b9c9603c04309f6a739a704043d2321 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 16:45:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3508 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627189-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 16:45:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24358; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:46:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:46:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18452 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:46:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:45:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190845.CAA02435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:45:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3acf1ebce769545698ae7e7a510f8084 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 13.3N7 112.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 112.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.6N0 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 13.9N3 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.1N6 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.3N8 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.6N1 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.4N8 112.7E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN A MONSOON DEPRESSION (STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITS PERIPHERY) IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TD 27W IS DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 190600Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SHIP REPORTS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST WITHIN THE MONSOON DEPRESSION. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE ITS WINDS INTO A CENTRAL LOW-LEVEL AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS WINDSHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 16:52:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 16:49:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA31708; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:50:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:50:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30154 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:50:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:50:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190850.CAA02447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 02:50:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c92e1c5b03e24874c5acedce8b51046d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 001 01 AC VE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 22:32:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627193-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 21:54:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA20682; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:53:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10967475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:53:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA31672 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:53:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:53:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191353.HAA04423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:53:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cb58b2a1002eabbf60d46ccc58eaf4c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 22:32:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-3867>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 21:57:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA26776; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:57:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10967482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:57:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA31622 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:57:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA04435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:57:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191357.HAA04435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 07:57:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02adc0b8816809b6639ee1220d234f6c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 13.3N7 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 13.3N7 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.7N1 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.0N5 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.3N8 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.6N1 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.9N4 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.4N8 112.9E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 191200Z3 SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SHIP REPORTS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM DRIFTING NORTHWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTENSITY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE MORE WESTWARD AT 48 HRS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFF OF VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4969 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627285-3864>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 04:02:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA11650; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:59:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:59:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA17732 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:58:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:58:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812191958.NAA06839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 13:58:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca941ab48f2724b43284f677d23582ce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 14.1N6 113.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 14.1N6 113.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.6N1 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.1N7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.4N0 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.6N2 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.9N5 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 113.0E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 191800Z3 SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY (30 KNOTS) IS BASED ON SHIP REPORTS OF 20 KNOTS, SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS, AND PERSISTENCE WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS AND TD 27W IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN AS A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM DRIFTING NORTHWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE INTENSITY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES TO THE NORTH, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE MORE WESTWARD AT 48 HRS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFF OF VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8). // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1219 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-29234>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 10:12:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31588; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:11:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10972391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:11:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA05704 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:11:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:11:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200211.UAA09047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:11:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82f2345d0ab40af106e28878abf5135c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BAS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 10:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA31674; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:13:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10972400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:13:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28786 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:12:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:12:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200212.UAA09055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:12:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6222e1cbb74596c8cced8e8a6808b75 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.3N9 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 113.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.3N0 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.1N9 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.9N7 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.7N6 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.7N7 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 113.8E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTHEAST BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND ENHANCED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 192330Z8 INFRARED AND ENHANCED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W REMAINS A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM, WITH A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A CONSOLIDATION AND DEEPENING OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK, BUT GENERALLY A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT ON IMAGERY. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOW TD 27W IS IN A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATED, BUT CONTINUES TO DISPLAY CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITS PERIPHERY). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TD 27W SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH 36 HOURS. THEN, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND CAUSE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT BECOMES MORE ORGANIZED BUT REMAINS IN A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST WIND RADII HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWESTWARD TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT GALE FORCE NORTHEASTLY MONSOONAL WINDS BLOWING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 10:47:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 10:28:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA23272; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:28:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10972470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA21206 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:28:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:28:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200228.UAA09132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 20:28:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b43b8615820ae081259e238aebefed2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200200 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.3N9 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 120 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 113.8E3 FORECASTS: 128HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.3N0 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.1N9 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS = 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.9N7 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.7N6 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.7N7 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 113.8E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTHEAST BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND ENHANCED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 192330Z8 INFRARED AND ENHANCED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W REMAINSA LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM, WITH A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A CONSOLIDATION AND DEEPENING OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK, BUT GENERALLY A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT ONPIMAGERY. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOW TD 27W IS IN A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATED, BUT CONTINUES TO DISPLAY CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITS PERIPHERY). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TD 27W SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH 36 HOURS. THEN, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND CAUSE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT BECOMES MORE ORGANIZED BUT REMAINS IN A MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST WIND RADII HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWESTWARD TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT GALE FORCE NORTHEASTLY MONSOONAL WINDS BLOWING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-29232>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:12:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA06634; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:11:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10973419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:10:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17182 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:09:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:09:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200609.AAA10646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:09:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee63ce944deba2db0eac8a466a58b5c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/2090600Z/210600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4404 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:19:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28694; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:18:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10973505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:18:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22234 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200617.AAA10723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 507eeb3b4e9ae272a9853a9552ba7448 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/2090600Z/210600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETO DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627171-29234>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 16:15:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24912; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:14:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10974059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:14:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04926 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:14:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:14:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200814.CAA11362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:14:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d633af0f8f7fcc227026fe57b770786 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627096-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 16:19:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24930; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:19:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10974077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25678 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:19:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:19:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200819.CAA11384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:19:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 086743823680967b40f21c033f9b7306 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.9N5 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.4N1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.8N6 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.7N7 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 114.1E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W REMAINS A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM, WITH A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. VISIBLE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, A SECONDARY CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE BASE OF THIS BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK, BUT GENERALLY A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT ON IMAGERY. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOW TD 27W IS IN A LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATED, BUT CONTINUES TO DISPLAY CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITS PERIPHERY). SYNOPTIC DATA IS ALSO INDICATING A WEAKENING OF THESE PERIPHERY WINDS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. TD 27W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH 48 HOURS. THEN, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND CAUSE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER NORTHWARD INTO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN OMITTED DUE TO THE INTENSITY STAYING BELOW 40 KNOTS. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHEASTERLY MONSOONAL WINDS BLOWING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627096-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 16:31:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24408; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:30:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10974101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:30:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA05188 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:30:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:30:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200830.CAA11435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 02:30:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 307b09ddb78b9ce82293a364c15e53b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200800 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 005 01 NQLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.9N5 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT ;KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTSL040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 114.1E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.4N1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 ---,17.0N8 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT O VECTOR TO 36 HR POSI T: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.8,6 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 114.0E6 MAX SUE INED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DIS PATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALIDAT: 230600Z1 --- 19.7N7 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICAMTLTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 114.1E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE P AST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (30 KTS) ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W REMAINS A LTOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM, WITH A POORLY DEFINED QIYKPVWON CENTER. VISIBLE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, A SECONDARY CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE BASE OF THIS BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE CONVECTIONIHAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEST WITH THE MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK, BUT GENERALLY A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT ON IMAGEYPM UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOW TD 27W IS IN A LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATED, BUT CONTINUES TO DISPLAY CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITS PERIPHERY). SYNOPTIC DATA IS ALSO INDICATING A WEAKENING OF THESE PERIPHERY WINDS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WEAK STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTRGPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. TD 27W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH 48 HOURS. THEN, THE SUBTROPICALPRIDGE TO THE NORTHHKSF RECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND CAUSE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27Q IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTEN TY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MBVES FURTHER NORTHWARD INTO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN OMITTED DUE TO THE INTENSITY STAYING BELOW 40 KNOTS. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPATONG THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE YSTEX ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHEASTERLY MONSOONAL WINDS BLOWING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT ATBWPHYPPZ8 IS 12 FEETT REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT LARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 21090;+2 (DTG 11PZ6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2462 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:51:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA27824; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:50:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA16088 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:34:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:34:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201334.HAA12979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:34:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Spkfksignifivant Trxpqcal Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc5e93fd9b340ebbc8c8b75d8948696e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEQT GU// SPKFKSIGNIFIVANT TRXPQCAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/2090600Z/21-20107 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627514-29232>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:59:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA24902; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:58:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA05366 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:58:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:58:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201358.HAA13080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:58:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 594ac986e96c137503f2cb1c44e3c25d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.2N0 114.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 17.2N0 114.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.4N3 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.8N8 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.1N3 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 114.3E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE TD 27W IS TRAVELLING UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AS ALL OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE ILL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. TD 27W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING WESTWARD DUE TO A REPOSITIONING OF THE 700 MB RIDGE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AS IT MOVES FURTHER NORTHWARD. THE FORECAST HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 48 HOURS TO REFLECT THE DISSIPATION OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4299 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:26:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17688; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:25:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:25:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21246 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:25:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:25:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201425.IAA13246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:25:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 292cfe6fadfa9ab661e8716528a45150 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 201400 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.2N0 114.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 17.2N0 114.3E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.4N3 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 240HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS 220000Z4 --- 19.8N8 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.1N3 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIG NIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 114.3E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SQX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE TD 27W IS TRAVELLING UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AS ALL OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WELT TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE ILL= DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. TD 27;- -#97)$ :9,58,73 59 54-:( NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING WESTWARD DUE TO A REPOSITIONING OF THE 700 MB RIDGE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IE FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER AS IT MOVES FURTHER NTRTHWARD. THE FORECAST HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 48 HOURS TO REFLECT THE DISSIPATION OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTGI210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751ZYL AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4760 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627519-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:33:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31532; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:32:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:32:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA31502 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:32:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:32:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201432.IAA13270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:32:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6befe7dbe223d4e40bea5514745f48b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4799 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627361-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:34:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31586; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:33:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:33:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20544 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:33:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:33:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201433.IAA13274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:33:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 727df12f078d4c8796ba5514bcb693b9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627543-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:50:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA22926; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:49:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:49:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA18554 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:49:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:49:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201449.IAA13343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 08:49:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d60ee61aee00a4495db9b4b69592f1a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAGKING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION:. 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.9N5 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 114.1E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.4N1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.8N6 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTTR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.7N7 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 114.1E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (# KTS) ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W REMAINS A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM, WITH A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. VISIBLE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, A SECONDARY CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE BASE OF THIS BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE C,;3:589, #-- ?3<7, 59 23-(3, -,$ MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH THE MID-/70034 )3;3) >)92. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK, BUT GENERALLY A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT ON IMAGERY. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOW TD 27W IS IN A LIGHO TO MODERATE WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING ELONGATED, BUT CONTINUES TO DISPLAY CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION (STRONGER WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITS PERIPHERY). SYNOPTIC DATA IS ALSO INDICATING A WEAKENING OF THESE PERIPHERY WINDS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPIKALNDEPRESSION 27WPHAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND WEAK STEERINX FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. TD 27W SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD WITHIN TE MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH 48 HOURS. THEN, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND CAUSE A MOE WESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER NORTHWARD INTO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN OMITTED DUE TO THE INTENSITY STAYING BELOW 40 KNOTS. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHEASTERLY MONSOONAL WINDS BLOWING INTO THE SOUTH C INA E . MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z)($9< 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 03:53:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627710-29229>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 03:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA21126; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:46:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10978219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:46:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA26738 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:46:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:46:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201946.NAA15480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:46:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f71dd4c75b3ff1f0a1d329923c1ea793 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 04:39:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627682-29233>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 04:03:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA22254; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:59:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10978306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:59:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA18652 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:59:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:59:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201959.NAA15567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 13:59:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5781558f73774c203d646f77e0837675 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 17.9N7 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 17.9N7 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.2N2 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.9N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.2N4 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.6N8 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.2N1 114.1E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 201730Z3 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF 30 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO FLARE UP TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ITS THEREFORE HARD TO SAY HOW CLOSE THE NEW CONVECTION IS TO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS BASICALLY THE SAME AS TD 27W SHOULD CONTINUE IN A NORTHWARD TRACK BEFORE TURNING WESTWARD BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W SHOULD CONTINUE UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 04:39:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4933 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-29229>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 04:10:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA31634; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10978332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA22136 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812202006.OAA15680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Spkfksigninivant Trxpqcal Weatheradvisory For Tholcmboern Puclfic To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7cce300acb4ce166e6d85138be4a3e3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMOOOCCEN WEQT GU// SPKFKSIGNINIVANT TRXPQCAL WEATHERADVISORY FOR THOLCMBOERN PUCLFIC OCEAC/2090600Z/21-20107 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 16:10:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626966-8204>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:20:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA07636; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:20:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10980402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:20:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA23230 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:20:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:20:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210320.VAA18535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:20:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 008 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8760b5aff6ecb4f5aba000783f843350 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.2N1 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.5N5 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.9N1 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0N4 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 115.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTHEAST BASED ON ENHANCED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KTS) ARE BASED UPON 202330Z0 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE TD 27W IS TRAVELLING UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ITSELF REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IMAGERY. SATELLITE ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A CONSOLIDATION IN THE CONVECTION AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW ON THE WEST THROUGH NORTH SIDE. TD 27W HAS CONTINUED TO FOLLOW THE CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO INDICATE A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. TD 27W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TD 27W SHOULD DROP BELOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. SINCE TD 27W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN BENEATH MINIMUM TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, THERE ARE NO WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC04323550248 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 16:10:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627258-8204>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 12:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA05348; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:27:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10980718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA20690 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:27:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:27:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210427.WAA18893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 22:27:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87e8b62347bbeb49101a1f214116e01f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.2N1 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.5N5 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.9N1 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0N4 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 115.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTHEAST BASED ON ENHANCED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KTS) ARE BASED UPON 202330Z0 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE TD 27W IS TRAVELLING UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ITSELF REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IMAGERY. SATELLITE ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A CONSOLIDATION IN THE CONVECTION AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW ON THE WEST THROUGH NORTH SIDE. TD 27W HAS CONTINUED TO FOLLOW THE CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO INDICATE A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. TD 27W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TD 27W SHOULD DROP BELOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. SINCE TD 27W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN BENEATH MINIMUM TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, THERE ARE NO WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 16:10:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-8204>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 15:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30198; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:54:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:53:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA05806 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:53:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:53:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210753.BAA20198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:53:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2720609769626ed24c70b4fc863ea54f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.9N8 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 115.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.6N6 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.7N9 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.8N1 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.1N1 115.8E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KTS) ARE BASED UPON 210530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE TD 27W IS TRAVELLING UNDER A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ITSELF REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IMAGERY, BUT APPEARS TO BE SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION ALSO INDICATES A LINE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE MAIN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE BROADER CIRCULATION OF THE MONSOON DEPRESSION UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD IN THE STEEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGE TO THE EAST. TD 27W SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TD 27W SHOULD DROP BELOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. SINCE TD 27W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN BENEATH MINIMUM TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, THERE ARE NO WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 16:10:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1684 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627725-8212>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 15:57:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13762; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:58:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA20616 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210757.BAA20227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 674fd2a9aa723fbdc9dab0684292afd7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N1 115.3E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF BORNENO NEAR 8N8 114E6. THIS AREA IS IN THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8N8 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 160E7. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS MOVING IN THE EASTERLY FLOW AT 12-15 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3N3 145E0. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS IS A WEAK WAVE IN THE EASTERLY TRADES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER SUSPECT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 16:11:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-8211>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 15:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13800; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:58:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA07562 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210757.BAA20225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a8d8bdb00105042587e9d682ca2dcc4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N1 115.3E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF BORNEO NEAR 8N8 114E6. THIS AREA IS IN THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8N8 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 160E7. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS MOVING IN THE EASTERLY FLOW AT 12-15 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3N3 145E0. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS IS A WEAK WAVE IN THE EASTERLY TRADES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER SUSPECT. ?(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGE BORNENO TO BORNEO IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSCHEL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA02073550748 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 21:50:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3869 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627886-8210>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 21:45:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA12060; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:45:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10982597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17674 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:45:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:45:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211345.HAA22925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:45:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 975c90c50f06d1f3b4d8460c6a22a0e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 19.4N4 116.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 19.4N4 116.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.4N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.2N5 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.0N4 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 19.7N7 116.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (25 KTS) ARE BASED ON 211130Z8 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SEVERAL 20 TO 25 KNOT SHIP REPORTS LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THAT TD 27W CONTINUES TO TRACK UNDER A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST. SINCE THE BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO TRAIL THE DEEP CONVECTION, TD 27W SHOULD TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT DISSIPATES OVER WATER BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627799-8212>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 03:58:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA27764; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:58:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:58:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA27878 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:58:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:57:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812211957.NAA00573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:57:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 606870c17e0c3d6d8661e702ec8ab131 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 19.9N9 116.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 19.9N9 116.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.6N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.1N4 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 116.7E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A BROAD, ELONGATED MONSOON DEPRESSION WEST OF THE PHILIPPINES WITH SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF 25 KNOT WINDS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ALTHOUGH TD 27W IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON DEPRESSION, SEVERAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS HAVE BEEN SPOTTED OFF AND ON EMBEDDED FARTHER SOUTH WITHIN THE MONSOON DEPRESSION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF TD 27W. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TD 27W SHOULD FOLLOW THE DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. IN ADDITION, TD 27W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1608 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627849-8212>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 04:02:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29280; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:03:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:03:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA05198 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:03:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:03:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812212003.OAA00789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:03:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdccdab59dfb52956e7a318ca49b10c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1800 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627859-8211>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 04:04:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29428; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:05:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10985696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:05:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA31688 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:05:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:05:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812212005.OAA00943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 14:05:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 840155b862895f9da496578233fd65c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 19.9N9 116.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 19.9N9 116.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.6N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.1N4 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 116.7E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT USING ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A BROAD, ELONGATED MONSOON DEPRESSION WEST OF THE PHILIPPINES WITH SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF 25 KNOT WINDS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. ALTHOUGH TD 27W IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON DEPRESSION, SEVERAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS HAVE BEEN SPOTTED OFF AND ON EMBEDDED FARTHER SOUTH WITHIN THE MONSOON DEPRESSION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF TD 27W. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TD 27W SHOULD FOLLOW THE DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. IN ADDITION, TD 27W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626981-13341>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:49:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA22848; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:49:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10988190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:49:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA12066 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:49:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:49:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220149.TAA05337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 19:49:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e4e341ce22fd5efdee363dd67435784 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 19.4N4 116.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 116.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.8N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.2N4 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 116.9E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212233Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 212233Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CAN NO LONGER BE READILY DISCERNED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W REMAINS LOCATED IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 24-HOUR TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-13345>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:37:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29274; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10989522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA29246 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220537.XAA06994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce61ead71165575ff930bff94c04d0d4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N4 116.7E5, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 114E6 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 112E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF TROUGHING ALONG THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 136E0. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6N6 163E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND NO LOW LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 155E1. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF TROUGHING HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 13:26:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4014 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625886-24582>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 12:55:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29850; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10997892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA29822 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA22521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230456.WAA22521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf016d51b5ba246407603d6831c7b4d5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 15:40:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1458 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-24584>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 15:38:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13178; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10998804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA26460 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230739.BAA24062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d72b717ca038c89daefa66e7df109e9f X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/222330Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 130E4. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY IDENTIFIES NO LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION IS MOVING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 157E3. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS NO LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 155E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 150E6. OVER THE PAST 3 DAYS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SMALL, WESTWARD PROPAGATING DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC ROTATION BUT MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA NEAR 8N8 112E4 HAS DISSIPATED. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES NO CIRCULATION REMAINS, ONLY LINEAR CONVERGENCE. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 178W6 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW INCREASING ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS, A 222152Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS NOW IDENTIFIES ONE LARGE CIRCULATION AND A 222030Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC BANDING IS BEGINNING TO OCCUR AROUND THIS CENTRAL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, DEEP CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WHPS21 PHNC 230000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19S0 152E8 FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT EXISTS JUST SOUTH OF THIS LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20S2 164E1 FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. SYNOPTIC DATA AND MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS INDICATES NO LOW-LEVEL HAS AS YET DEVELOPED. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW LOW WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628844-22542>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:25:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA07504; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11006441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA09526 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240626.AAA11264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e762660f2530e1254123c1438c6d12d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231800Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/24O430Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 157E3 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 156.5E7. IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 150E6 IS NOW NEAR 11N2 142E7. OVER THE PAST 3 DAYS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SMALL, WESTWARD PROPAGATING DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND HAS ALMOST DISSIPATED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT IN THE EASTERLY FLOW. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A FAIRLY STRONG EASTERLY WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION, BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS IN A LIGHT-MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 130E4 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231800Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 179.1W8 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REFERENCE A (WTPS31 PGTW 231800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 178W6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.1 ABOVE FOR DETAILS. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 152E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 240300Z9). SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THIS WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES WINDS OF 25-30 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A LIGHT WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 20S2 164E1 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/JACKSON/BALDINGER/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-24567>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38564; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:10:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:10:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA38172 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250609.AAA22005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b319514f49e766bbe6d9530f9270b02 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/241800Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/25O230Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 156.5E7 IS NOW NEAR 3N3 149E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 142E7. HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 177.5W0 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REFERENCE A (WTPS31 PGTW 231800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 150E6 HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM GOOD TO POOR. REF B IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 250230Z2) CANCELLATION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DRIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED. SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THIS AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES CONVERGENCE AT THE LOW LEVELS, BUT NO CLOSED CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/JACKSON/BALDINGER/TIRSCHEL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA04513590559 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 14:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-27942>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 13:46:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38188; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11015756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA38662 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812260546.XAA29888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4759e8ea2e8da5e7f83b089121098ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252030Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD PROPAGATING WAVE. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC ROTATION OVER A LARGE AREA, HOWEVER ANALYSIS DOES NOT IDENTIFY A LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS BUT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION HAS DEVELOPED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR INDICATES OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9S9 175.6W9, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA. SEE REF A (WHPS31 PNHC 252100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0. THIS PERSISTENT, LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BUT HAS NOT DEVELOPED ANY DEEP CONVECTION. IT REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT LINEAR CONVERGENCE. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626658-27942>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:27:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA39380; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:28:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11016657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA33700 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:27:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:27:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261227.GAA01547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:27:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 513eca78f50b9975c0085f69128967f7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252030Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD PROPAGATING WAVE. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC ROTATION OVER A LARGE AREA, HOWEVER ANALYSIS DOES NOT IDENTIFY A LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS BUT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION HAS DEVELOPED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR INDICATES OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9S9 175.6W9, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA. SEE REF A (WHPS31 PNHC 252100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0. THIS PERSISTENT, LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BUT HAS NOT DEVELOPED ANY DEEP CONVECTION. IT REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT LINEAR CONVERGENCE. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC00933600554 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 14:06:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-495>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 13:51:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA35820; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:52:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11021281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA30632 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270551.XAA05334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c40b5e8869288e067d69614f9c1e6fe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0. DEEP CONVECTION AND LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 261345Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE CIRCULATION ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A 262300Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS LITTLE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 21:55:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-490>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:25:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA40490; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:26:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11021539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA33766 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270725.BAA05740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7431e3265a16d20a6b89623e93652594 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0. DEEP CONVECTION AND LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 261345Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE CIRCULATION ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A 262300Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS LITTLE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC01613610558 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 09:27:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4632 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626618-495>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 05:18:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30564; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11023701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA35660 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812272119.PAA08924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 220b0c14e64131a9534eced4e2132efd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/272100Z/280600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ON SHORE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. DEEP CONVECTION, LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED. A 270030Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BAND OF CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. A 270827Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS STILL INDICATES POOR OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 17:11:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-1346>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39640; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11025800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39614 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280522.XAA11043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e0ef82004b3d52670f959838f730a3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NON. B.TOPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0 IS NOW LCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. DEEP CONVECTION, LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED. A 270030Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BAND OF CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME IMPROVEMENT IN OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 20S2 175E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW-LEVEL IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE SOLOMON ISLANDS TO SOUTH OF FIJI. CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOMEWHAT LESSENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 15S6 170E8. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION, IDENTIFIED WITH ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS. THIS CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE SUSPECT AREA ABOVE (PARA 2.B.(2)). THE DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENTLY SHEARING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 17:11:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1093 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-1342>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 14:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40230; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:38:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11026163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24812 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280637.AAA11657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1aca5940d9a9b25bf10b655d0ae3319 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. DEEP CONVECTION, LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED. A 270030Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BAND OF CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME IMPROVEMENT IN OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 20S2 175E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW-LEVEL IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE SOLOMON ISLANDS TO SOUTH OF FIJI. CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOMEWHAT LESSENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 15S6 170E8. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION, IDENTIFIED WITH ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS. THIS CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE SUSPECT AREA ABOVE (PARA 2.B.(2)). THE DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENTLY SHEARING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA01333620609 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 14:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-17917>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:39:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA37448; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:40:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11033547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40430 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290539.XAA20814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significan To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 390d839177285ff4edad0528c03bf148 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 14:36:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2292 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627096-17918>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 14:20:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36798; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11033887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36246 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290621.AAA21203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Eather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0334d7827cbab378382c17407d627908 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL EATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 14:36:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2318 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-17917>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 14:20:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36826; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11033891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40356 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290621.AAA21211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bb5e9d383efb3249a30fa43214430f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 139E3. THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CIRCULATION HAS TRAVELED SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME EVEN MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, AS LONG AS THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ON LAND, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS UNLIKELY. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE STORM TRACK MAY VEAR OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED NEAR 21S3 179E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LLCC HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION HAS YET TO FORM OVER THE LLCC. INDEED, THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC, INDICATING THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE TO SEVERE. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SINCE THE LLCC HAS YET TO FORM DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 170E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/PARKER/GOODMAN/BROOKS// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA03983630611 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627119-17916>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 15:13:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36042; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11034121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35736 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290713.BAA21521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06738837fd8dab691dd186697db25c6c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 139E3. THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CIRCULATION HAS TRAVELLED SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME EVEN MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, AS LONG AS THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ONLAND, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS UNLIKELY. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE STORM TRACK MAY VEAR OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED NEAR 21S3 179E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LLCC HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION HAS YET TO FORM OVER THE LLCC. INDEED, THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC, INDICATING THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE TO SEVERE. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SINCE THE LLCC HAS YET TO FORM DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 170E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/PARKER/GOODMAN/BROOKS// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 14:02:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626924-3110>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 13:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38440; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:56:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11040553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:53:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40512 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812300550.XAA00080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a99c70698765291b6eabef4b5c0eb8b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 16:32:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626800-3107>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 14:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38962; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 00:17:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11040607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 00:14:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39316 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812300559.XAA00104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5b282d4cd3d2d43c0824835982409a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 18:11:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626824-1346>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 17:57:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA39524; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:39:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11026703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:39:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA40280 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:39:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:39:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280939.DAA12631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:39:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ff588adba4630086b10ae0fad7acad3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 27.8S7 156.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060,,. POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.8S7 156.0W2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.7S8 150.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: LATEST INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AND OVERALL CONVECTION HAS DECREASED. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED AND ACCELERATED BY MID LATITUDE UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL ZWIAETEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CE TER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG41953620830 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626625-15476>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 14:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA27492; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:13:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7434761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:13:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA38486 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:08:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:08:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801020608.AAA04954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:08:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Jan 98 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0dfb71aa11882fa719a3ee8081e5fb4b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 108 WHPS31 PHNC 020300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 012100Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 012100) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 9.3S2 167.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 167.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 11.0S2 168.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 13.2S6 169.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.4S0 168.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.5S3 167.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 9.7S6 167.9W3 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020300Z IS 12 FEET. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST TWELVE HOURS. POSITION IS BASED ON VIS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND INDICATES THE FORMATION OF AN EYEWALL. SYS IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A HIGH TO THE NORTH. SAT INDICATES AND EXPOSED LLCC AND OUTFLOW IS FAIR ALL QUADS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021430Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030230Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 012100Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 012100).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG38960020539 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626359-15477>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:32:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42744; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 09:21:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 09:21:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA55788 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 09:21:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 09:21:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801021521.JAA05545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 09:21:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40eec00ae6964643273677840db04e65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 747 WHPS31 PHNC 021500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 10.3S4 169.3W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.3S4 169.3W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 11.2S4 171.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.8S1 172.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.1S7 173.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.7S5 172.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 14 FEET. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWEST AND RECURVE TO THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS AND CONVECTION REMAINS CONSTANT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG44960021516 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-22385>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:41:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA09990; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:23:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:23:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21242 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:23:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:23:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031523.JAA07022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:23:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0776e8e98139404d8cb685812eba7ebd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 106 WHPS31 PHNC 031500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 11.2S4 172.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 172.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.0S3 172.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.1S5 173.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.3S8 175.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.8S4 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. FORECAST IS FOR SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN SOUTHWEST TRACK AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER TAU 36. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG61290031513 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2981 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627663-9128>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:13:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA38574; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:58:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7446820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:58:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12962 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:58:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:58:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041558.JAA08743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:58:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff0b45ffc0f01e11094bd51dca4fb033 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 WHPS31 PHNC 041500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 11.8S0 173.6W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 173.6W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 12.6S9 174.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.8S2 174.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.0S6 175.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.2S9 174.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 12.0S3 173.8W9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 26 FEET. SYS HAS INTENSIFIED DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS CONDITIONS ALONG FORECAST TRACK REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. SAT DEPICTS A WARM SPOT INDICATING A DEVELOPING EYE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050230Z0) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051430Z3).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG70970041549 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-20463>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 12:06:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34300; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 21:45:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7450212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 21:45:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10224 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 21:45:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 21:45:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050345.VAA09493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 21:45:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73b228da3a80ad6253bcb0a6d63dfd48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 447 WHPS31 PHNC 050300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 12.2S5 175.0W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 175.0W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 12.8S1 176.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 14.1S6 176.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.8S4 176.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.8S6 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: SYSTEM INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND BECAME MORE ORGANIZED WITHIN THE LAST 6 HOURS WITH SLOW WESTWARD MOVEMENT. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS. 050300Z8 POSITION 12.4S7 175.3W6 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WHPS31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051430Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060230Z5). NOTE: THE WHPS31 PHNC 041500 WARNING WAS INCORRECTLY NUMBERED AS WARNING NUMBER 5, IT SHOULD HAVE BEEN WARNING NUMBER 6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG75780050334 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626187-7390>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:43:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17624; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:29:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7459131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA34252 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:29:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:29:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060629.AAA11655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:29:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43473ed8d45bb2e61688208faa202699 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 088 WHPS31 PHNC 060300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 14.0S5 175.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 175.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.1S8 175.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.1S0 175.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.4S7 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.7S3 170.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 14.5S0 175.8W1 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 30 FEET. LATEST DVORAK INTENSITY FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER INDICATES SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN. OBJECTIVE AIDS INDICATE AN INITIAL SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT THEN RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE OUTLOOK AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH ACCELERATING UPPER LVL WESTERLY FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061430Z4) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070230Z2).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA31450060623 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4872 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628057-7391>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 00:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA52362; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:36:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7461442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:36:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA24680 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:36:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA13551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:35:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061635.KAA13551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:35:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd44f06908d590aa3a540d41018d81f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 142 WHPS31 PHNC 061500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 15.1S7 175.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 175.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.2S9 175.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.0S9 174.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.6S8 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.7S2 171.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. RON WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE SOUTH AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE PD. 061500Z2 POSITION 15.4S0 175.7W0 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA18360061547 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626854-24073>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 17:00:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24800; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 03:00:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:59:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31640 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:59:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:59:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070859.CAA15153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:59:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2d2bc7d538b9604818e18a2221b1407 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 545 WHPS31 PHNC 070300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 11 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.4S1 174.6W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 174.6W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.8S6 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.4S4 172.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.1S4 170.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.1S6 169.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 16.7S4 174.3W5 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 28 FEET. LATEST U.S. AIR FORCE (GUAM) SATELLITE DATA INDICATES CYCLONE IS WEAKENING AS IT BEGINS TO RECURVE SOUTHEAST. INTERACTION WITH TYPHOON SUSAN (11P) WILL CAUSE SYSTEM TO MOVE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071430Z7)AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080230Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG38630070413 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628068-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 23:50:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21362; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:49:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7432375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:49:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA24618 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:47:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:47:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071547.JAA15852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:47:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 749f32a568d6a233d3088216e3c089ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 WHPS31 PHNC 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 18.1S0 173.1W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 173.1W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 171.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.9S2 170.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.2S8 168.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.5S3 166.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 18.6S5 172.8W8 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 28 FEET. LATEST U.S. GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL SATELLITE DATA INDICATES A WEAKENING 10P. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS WARNING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080230Z3) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081430Z6).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCC11300071537 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:03:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2189 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625875-2927>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 07:08:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA30984; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 17:08:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7596516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 17:07:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA36842 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 17:07:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 17:07:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801262307.RAA02683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 17:07:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7bdf65e3897fb130ef979f2a0dc245c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 WHPS33 PHNC 262100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P WARNING NR 03 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 15.2S8 171.2W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 171.2W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 16.1S8 170.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 17.1S9 170.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.9S7 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.5S4 169.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 15.4S0 171.1W0 SYSTEM HAS AN EXPOSED LLCC. IT WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH TAU24 THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER TAU36. OVERALL SYSTEM MOVEMENT HAS SLOWED OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270830Z0) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 272030Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG11570262229 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626562-28865>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 18:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA14260; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:14:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7654231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA20392 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:14:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:14:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011014.EAA15883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:14:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd2c8a6580f3dfb429c9c70350d35ef8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 504 WHPS31 PHNC 010900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (URSULA) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 24.1S7 136.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 136.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 27.4S3 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 30.5S8 129.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 33.7S3 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 36.8S7 118.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 24.9S5 135.7W6 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 18 FEET. LATEST DVORAK ANALYSIS FROM U.S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER AGENCY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. SYSTEM IS FOLLOWING POLEWARD PATTERN WEST OF THE MID LAYER RIDGE. 17P IS APPROACHING THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY FLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AND UNDERGO VERTICAL SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 012030Z6) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020830Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG54940321009 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627141-28866>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 19:03:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA20410; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:54:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7654384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:54:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA21932 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:54:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:54:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011054.EAA15919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:54:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Feb 98 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df36770f61f2dad0df0619dd554c4d85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 184 WHPS32 PHNC 010900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 010059Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 010100 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 15.3S9 149.9W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 149.9W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.8S5 146.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.5S4 143.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 21.2S5 138.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 24.1S7 133.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 15.7S3 149.0W4 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 14 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION HAVE INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTEROMETRY DATA CONFIRMS ANALYSIS WIND FIELDS. SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEAST FOLLOWING THE PATH OF 17P (URSULA). STEERING MAINLY DEFINED BY A MID LAYER TROUGH, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TURN AS IT MOVES JUST WEST OF A STRONG MID LAYER ANTICYCLONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 012035Z1) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020835Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 010059Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 010100). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (URSULA)WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG54930321010 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627195-28865>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 02:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA12602; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:18:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7656096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:18:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA20470 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:17:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA16535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:17:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011817.MAA16535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 12:17:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Feb 98 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9654baf8fc1bac020e270eb4297d21e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 681 WHPS33 PHNC 011500 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 011030Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 011100 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNING NR 001 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 12.4S7 167.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 167.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 13.4S8 165.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.1S7 163.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.8S5 162.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.4S3 161.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 1. 011500Z7 POSITION 12.7S0 167.2W6 SAT INDICATES OUTFLOW GOOD ALQDS. SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED IN PAST 24 HRS. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST MOVES STORM TRACK IN A SOUTHEAST DIRECTION FOR NEXT 48 HRS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 011030Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS24 PHNC 011100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020240ZFEB98) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021440ZFEB98). 2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19P (WES) WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG64650321440 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627043-28865>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 05:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA06944; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 14:54:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7657528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 14:54:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28434 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 14:54:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 14:54:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802012054.OAA16756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 14:54:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 04 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 647fe5a8858113e81e52fc0b1a1fbcc0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 473 WHPS31 PHNC 012100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (URSULA) WARNING NR 002 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 27.5S4 128.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.5S4 128.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 30.4S7 122.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 34.3S0 116.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 1. 012100Z4 POSITION 28.2S2 127.0W0 SYSTEM HAS EXPOSED LLCC LOCATED 16NM FROM CLOSEST CONVECTION. SYSTEM IS SHEARING RAPIDLY DUE TO WESTERLY FLOW INFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 14 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER(NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66060322030 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1332 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627215-28865>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 05:46:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA15162; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 15:25:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7657655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 15:24:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA34858 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 15:24:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA16811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 15:24:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802012124.PAA16811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 15:24:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 04 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14346dc8928a446e55a84331b1c5224f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 186 WHPS32 PHNC 012100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNING NR 002 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 17.2S0 147.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 147.4W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.7S6 145.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.3S5 144.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.0S4 143.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 23.7S2 142.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM --- REMARKS: 1. 012100Z4 POSITION 17.6S4 146.9W0 SYS DISPLAYS GOOD OUTFLOW IN WEST AND SOUTH QUADRANTS. SYS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SLOWLY AND TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020755Z9) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2. 2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (URSULA) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66510322035 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-10339>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 11:34:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25116; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:11:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7659590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:11:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA06928 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:11:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:11:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802020311.VAA17346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:11:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ecdbef9d79ed177091e5f20355101ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 476 WHPS33 PHNC 020300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 13.3S7 162.8W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 162.8W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.9S4 159.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.2S0 155.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 19.9S9 151.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 23.4S9 147.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 13.7S1 161.9W7 SAT INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW IN ALQDS. SYSTEM HAS SLOWED IN DEVELOPMENT AND CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BACKING OFF FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS. EXPECT CONTINUED MOVEMENT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 48 HRS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021440Z1) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030240Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VELI (18P) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG72030330308 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1988 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-4989>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 23:45:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20928; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:25:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7663455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:25:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29726 for ; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:24:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:24:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802021524.JAA18353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:24:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e9d57dba8b7eb832ad0050aa7b1fed9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 787 WHPS33 PHNC 021500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 13.7S1 161.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 161.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.7S2 160.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9S5 158.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.0S9 156.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 14.0S5 161.5W3 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 13 FEET. LATEST MET SAT DATA INDICATES SYSTEM WEAKENING AND DISSIPATING OVER WATER. SYSTEM OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG86440331418 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-8088>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 06:58:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA30912; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 16:26:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7667921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 16:26:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA21636 for ; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 16:20:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA19218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 16:20:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802022220.QAA19218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 16:20:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd8b6443c3dfd6d78697fde1a0fc3141 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 657 WHPS32 PHNC 022100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 21.0S3 143.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 143.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 23.3S8 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 26.1S9 140.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 29.1S2 138.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 31.9S3 135.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM --- REMARKS: 1. 022100Z5 POSITION 21.6S9 143.4W2 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 15 FEET. TC 18P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 36 HOURS AS IT MOVES THROUGH A TROUGH. LATEST ERS SCATTEROMETER DATA VERIFIES CURRENT INTENSITY OF 45 KTS. 2. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030730Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031930Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) FOR FINAL WARNING (WHPS33 PHNC).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG94050332030 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-8088>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 11:39:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15360; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 20:51:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7670191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 20:51:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA30164 for ; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 20:48:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 20:48:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802030248.UAA19658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 20:48:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 04 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74cfa9ff994a12316f75bf4c64ca2fba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 WHPS33 PHNC 030300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNING NR 004 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 15.0S6 161.0W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 161.0W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9S5 160.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1S9 159.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.3S2 158.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.3S3 156.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM --- REMARKS: THIS WARNING IS A RE-GENERATION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WHICH HAD BEEN FINALED. 030300Z6 POSITION 15.2S8 160.8W5 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 14 FEET. THE LASTEST SAT IMAGERY INDICATES A RESTRUCTURED SYSTEM THAT IS MAINTAINING INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN CURRENT INTENSITY FOR 12 HRS THEN START A SLOW DECREASE IN INTENSITY FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031440Z2) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040240Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VELI (18P) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG05470340246 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626780-8090>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 18:03:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA30642; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:39:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7672615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:39:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16288 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:39:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:39:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802030939.DAA20327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 03:39:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 171dd4b58ae54a662e0c80971dbe7e93 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 949 WHPS32 PHNC 060900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNING NR 05 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 21.8S1 143.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.8S1 143.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.8S2 142.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.0S6 142.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.1S8 141.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.4S2 140.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 22.1S5 143.1W9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 14 FEET. SYSTEM IS BEING SHEARED AND IS WEAKENING. SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 24 HRS AS IT MOVES INTO AN ACCELERATING WESTERLY FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z9 (DTG 031930Z6) AND 040900Z6 (DTG 040730Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WES (19P) WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG23780340932 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626745-8085>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 19:02:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15416; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 04:47:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7672883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 04:47:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA19650 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 04:47:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA20404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 04:47:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802031047.EAA20404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 04:47:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c51f4d8566f6f71d91757918fff52bfc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 082 WHPS32 PHNC 030900 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNING NR 05 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z2 --- 21.8S1 143.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.8S1 143.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z5 --- 22.8S2 142.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z3 --- 24.0S6 142.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z6 --- 25.1S8 141.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z4 --- 26.4S2 140.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 22.1S5 143.1W9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 14 FEET. SYSTEM IS BEING SHEARED AND IS WEAKENING. SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 24 HRS AS IT MOVES INTO AN ACCELERATING WESTERLY FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z9 (DTG 031930Z6) AND 040900Z6 (DTG 040730Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WES (19P) WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTS WARNING AND FORECAST DATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25200341030 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627171-8085>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 23:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31336; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 08:36:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7674154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 08:36:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25686 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 08:36:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 08:36:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802031436.IAA20662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 08:36:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be4fb1eb37dc172e9c186ff1a40feea5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 719 WHPS33 PHNC 031500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNING NR 05 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z9 --- 15.7S3 160.4W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 160.4W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z2 --- 16.7S4 159.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z0 --- 17.9S7 158.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z3 --- 18.9S8 157.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z1 --- 19.8S8 156.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 031500Z2 POSITION 16.0S7 160.2W9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 14 FEET. LATEST SAT IMAGARY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS CURRENT INTENSITY BUT WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN IN 36 HRS AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND INTERACTS WITH THE WESTERLIES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040240Z0) AND 041500Z3 (DTG 041440Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VELI (18P) WARNINGS (WHPS34 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG30110341428 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2534 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627303-8085>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 06:29:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29824; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 15:52:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7667128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 15:52:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA20596 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 15:52:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 15:52:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802032152.PAA21592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 15:52:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 04 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e64e465ec8f6f518b1a2d8e4c9777dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 013 WHPS34 PHNC 032100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (VELI) WARNING NR 006 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 23.1S6 143.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 143.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 25.0S7 142.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 23.6S1 143.2W0 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 10 FEET. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR AS IT IS CAUGHT UP IN WESTERLY FLOW. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19P (WES) WARNINGS (WHPS33 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG40420342127 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-14574>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 10:50:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28494; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 20:25:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7669857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 20:25:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA28456 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 20:25:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA22117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 20:25:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802040225.UAA22117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 20:25:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 04 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a1e53b85f41991be83e3411a8b61d5f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 053 WHPS33 PHNC 040300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (WES) WARNING NR 006 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.8S5 158.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 158.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.5S3 157.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0S9 157.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.4S3 156.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 17.0S8 158.5W9. SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY WEAKING. THERE IS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC AND SYS IS UNDERGOING SIGNIFICANT SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG51840350221 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625971-15589>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 08:08:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA24858; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 19:08:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8437762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 19:08:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA34548 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 19:08:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 19:08:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804230008.TAA05290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 19:08:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a98c69cdf6a3f1e6e9347e553ac10a89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 411 WHPS31 PHNC 222100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 11.2S4 159.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 159.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 11.5S7 159.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.9S1 159.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 12.5S8 159.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 13.1S5 159.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 14 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A WEAK STEERING FLOW. INTIAL MOVEMENT IS TO THE SOUTHWEST THEN RECURVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT MOVES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS WARNING ISSUED LATE DUE TO IN HOUSE COMPUTER PROBLEMS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 AND 232100Z8. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 222108Z APR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 222000)// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66261122344 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627241-15585>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:56:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04188; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 03:56:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8441767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 03:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA17982 for ; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 03:55:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 03:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804230855.DAA08732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 03:55:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92ae9a3efc4017f4b7634f6f47de801d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 680 WHPS31 PHNC 230900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 11.5S7 159.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 159.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.9S1 159.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 12.3S6 159.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 12.8S1 158.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.4S8 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: THE LATEST METEOROLOGICAL DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A DECREASE IN CYCLONIC WIND SPEED HOWEVER THE CORE CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LOCATED IN A WEAK STEERING AND WEAK SHEARING ENVIRONMENT. INITIAL MOVEMENT IS TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AS IT MOVES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 AND 240900Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG85121130853 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627880-15585>; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 05:08:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA22946; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:07:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8449940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:07:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA21626 for ; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:07:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:07:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804232107.QAA21150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:07:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a30641bb9b18c9202a843911c342c434 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 207 WHPS31 PHNC 232100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 11.6S8 159.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 159.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.7S9 159.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.9S1 158.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 14 FEET. LATEST METSAT FROM U.S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER AGENCY INDICATES SYSTEM IS SHEARED 11 NM FROM THE NEAREST CONVECTION. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE IN A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK STEERING FLOW. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG02181132058 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:24:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1495 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-28211>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 07:58:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA39124; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 18:57:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8462373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 18:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA20670 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 18:57:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA09431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 18:57:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804242357.SAA09431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 18:57:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef9e2d168d3a6a319fe06f5d5753f445 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 735 WHPS31 PHNC 241500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 14.0S5 155.0W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 155.0W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.4S0 153.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.0S8 152.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.4S3 150.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.7S7 148.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 15 FEET. REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS DUE TO A MID LEVEL TROUGH THAT WAS EFFECTIVELY SHEARING THIS SYSTEM MOVED FASTER THAN EXPECTED, AND SYSTEM DEVELOPING GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. TC 32P HAS MOVED OUT OF ITS WEAK STEERING FLOW, BECOMING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST. INTIAL MOVEMENT IS TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THEN EAST-SOUTHEAST AS IT MOVES INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLY FLOW AND UNDERGOES EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 AND 251500Z3.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG42721142014 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:24:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-28211>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 11:28:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA38444; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 22:28:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8463366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 22:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA11032 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 22:28:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 22:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804250327.WAA10501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 22:27:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b4edb01cb732684245a2055e8af161b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 803 WHPS32 PHNC 250300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 15.8S4 153.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 153.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.3S1 152.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.8S7 150.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.5S7 148.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.8S1 145.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: THE LATEST SAT IMAGERY INDICATES SHEARING ACROSS THE SYS WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST. THE SYS IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND START BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL BY 48 HRS DUE TO A GREATER SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IN THE WESTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251200Z0 AND 260000Z8.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG49381150324 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 13:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3917 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626185-27815>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:25:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21854; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8469256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21818 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804260424.XAA17763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 217e6ce234f05123fca06f6b636b8f7a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 576 WHPS31 PHNC 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 16.2S9 152.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 152.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.6S3 151.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.4S2 150.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: LATEST SAT IMAGERY INDICATES SHEARING, WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FULLY EXPOSED. AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) CONTINUES IN A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW, THEN MORE SOUTHEAST BY TAU12. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN) ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA38641160421 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 13:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3953 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626342-27815>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:25:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21890; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8469260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA49736 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804260424.XAA17767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:24:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20cf3857dd874d163e4c5ce4dd5060e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 577 WHPS31 PHNC 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 16.2S9 152.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 152.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.6S3 151.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.4S2 150.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: LATEST SAT IMAGERY INDICATES SHEARING, WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FULLY EXPOSED. AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) CONTINUES IN A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW, THEN MORE SOUTHEAST BY TAU12. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN) ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB07261160419 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 13:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4526 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-27815>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 12:34:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA34264; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:34:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8469310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:34:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22978 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:34:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:34:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804260434.XAA17795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 23:34:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49a20f3ee8d0438b01328395b40d2555 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 720 WHPS31 PHNC 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 16.2S9 152.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 152.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.6S3 151.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.4S2 150.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: LATEST SAT IMAGERY INDICATES SHEARING, WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FULLY EXPOSED. AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN) CONTINUES IN A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW, THEN MORE SOUTHEAST BY TAU12. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN) ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (ALAN). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG69911160357 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3278 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626513-27970>; Fri, 1 May 1998 22:50:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA38014; Fri, 1 May 1998 09:50:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8538823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 May 1998 09:48:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA19208 for ; Fri, 1 May 1998 09:38:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 May 1998 09:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805011438.JAA10793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 09:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41816c24931aae5987ff26869abbd773 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 280 WHPS31 PHNC 011500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P (BART) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 20.6S8 135.0W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 135.0W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 21.2S5 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 14 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA FROM U. S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER AGENCY INDICATES SYSTEM IS SHEARING RAPIDLY. CENTER IS SHEARED 140 NM NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25131211438 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1950 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628201-13341>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 10:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16660; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:14:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10988351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:14:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15624 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:14:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:14:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220214.UAA05638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 20:14:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e02d894d65ca5f3f4df9b81305ff34ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 220300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 21.5S8 151.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 151.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.1S6 152.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.7S3 152.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.4S2 152.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 28.5S5 151.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: LATEST METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CONFINED TO THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM. 08P SHOWS INDICATIONS OF VERTICAL SHEAR AS LOW LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. SYNOPTIC/NUMERIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT STRONGER WIND SPEEDS. FORECAST MOVEMENT IS INITIALLY SLOW TO THE SOUTH THEN INCREASES IN FORWARD MOTION AS 08P ENCOUNTERS ACCELERATING WESTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221430Z2 AND 230230Z0.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG52613560219 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 00:28:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3068 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629071-13341>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:51:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12584; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:25:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10992242 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:25:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24860 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:25:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:25:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812221525.JAA11899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 09:25:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9eb7ce1f8b2ac120c121c2f34070df51 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 221500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 23.5S0 151.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 010 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.5S0 151.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.0S6 151.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.6S2 150.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: LATEST METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING STRONG SHEAR AS IT ACCELERATES INTO THE WESTERLY MID-LATITUDE FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG62093561529 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 13:26:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-24582>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:23:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13226; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:09:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10997920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:09:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26526 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:09:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:09:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230509.XAA22738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:09:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b07397367478008a8f892b6f5eec9c1 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 26.9S7 148.9W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.9S7 148.9W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 30.0S3 145.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 33.5S1 141.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 37.4S4 136.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 35 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 40.3S7 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: REISSUED DUE TO LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATING CONVECTION INCREASING OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER, AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA INITIALIZING ANALYSIS INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 AND 240300Z9. ALSO SEE NAVPACMETOCCEN TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WHPS21 PHNC 230000 (DTG 222330Z DEC 98).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG75973570450 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 14:20:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-24582>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:31:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA05784; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:14:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10997929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:14:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA27786 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:14:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:14:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230514.XAA22763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 23:14:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe0ad438a76cfa602867607d3f80611f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 26.9S7 148.9W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHINGPYP NM > POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.9S7 148.9W2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 30.0S3 145.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRRLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 25 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 33.5S1 141.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 30 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 37.4S4 136.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 35 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS0,VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 40.3S7 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL REMARKS: REISSUED DUE TO LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY IND CUTING CONVECTION INCREASING OVER TH SYSTEM CENTER, AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA INITIALIZING ANALYSIS INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 AND 240300Z9. ALSO SEE NAVPACMETOCCEN TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WHPS21 PHNC 230000 (DTG 222330Z DEC 98).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG75973570450 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 01:01:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-25521>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:13:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29792; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:47:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11000725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:47:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20820 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:47:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:47:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231547.JAA28798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:47:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb04a91f542e78db48f5e3263fa88386 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 32.1S6 144.8W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.1S6 144.8W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 36.1S0 138.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 38.8S9 128.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 40.2S6 119.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 41.2S7 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT ACELERATES INTO THE WESTERLY MID-LATITUDE FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 AND 241500Z2. ALSO SEE NAVPACMETOCCEN TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WHPS21 PHNC 230000 (DTG222330Z DEC 98).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG84043571537 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 01:01:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629260-25522>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA12616; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:51:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11000775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:51:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA15932 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:51:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:51:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812231551.JAA28869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:51:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e214a59b64298aa58508384dd268ca04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 32.1S6 144.8W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.1S6 144.8A7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 36.1S0 138.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 42 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 38.8S9 128.9W0 MAX SUSTAID WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 37 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 40.2S6 119.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 24 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: - 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 41.2S7 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTPET EXTRATROPQCAL REMARKS: SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT ACELERATES INTO THE WESTERLY MID-LATITUDE FLOL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z ISYQFET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 2400Z9 AND 241500Z2. ALSO SEE NAVPACMETOCCEN TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WHPS21 PHNC 230000 (DTG222330Z DEC 98).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG84043571537. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 11:14:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-13403>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 10:59:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16114; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 20:42:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11005090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 20:42:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA09702 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 20:42:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 20:42:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240242.UAA09241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 20:42:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeast Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff7676a6c232d3a79dbfa5515b881f04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 240300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEAST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 39.9S1 134.0W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 40 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.9S1 134.0W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 43.8S5 124.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN CENTRALIZED CONVECTION AND AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEARING. SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND HAS ACCELERATED INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG98313580244 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627041-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 16:53:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36184; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:34:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:34:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA31052 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:34:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:34:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250834.CAA22729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:34:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33b499f63ac8e27275d7f37837033ac6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 250900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 18.2S1 176.7W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 176.7W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.4S4 176.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.7S9 175.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.2S6 174.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.0S6 173.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 20 FEET. LATEST ANIMATED IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS, WHILE GOOD OUTLFOW CONTINUES IN ALL QUADRANTS OF 09P. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CAN BE SEEN AS FAR AS 400 NM FROM THE CENTER. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE FIXES AND DIVORAK ANALYSIS. STEERING FLOW FOR 09P CONTINUES TO BE WEAK, AS ANALYZED AT 500 MBS, HENCE THE 5-8 KT SPEED OF MOVEMENT. BY 36 HOURS, 09P STARTS TO BECOME AFFECTED BY AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A MORE SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT. 09P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY DECREASING IN INTENSITY AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A DECREASE IN THE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND THE COOLER SST TO THE SOUTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 AND 260900Z7.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG15143590843 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2595 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-24567>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 16:57:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA37764; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:41:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:41:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA36216 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:41:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:41:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250841.CAA22760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:41:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d42f332de667991a5462e604d92e0bc9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 250900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- (,3-4 18.2S1 176.7W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DDGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SAELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT 14-$87- 9> 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICICCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 176.7W1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.4S4 176.1W5 MAX SUSTAINDD WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 099 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260610Z4 --- 20.7S9 175.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 05 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE - VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTSO 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.2S6 174.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDSI- 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TOH48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS EXTENDAD OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.0S6 173.3W4 -MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 08; KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS TF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REMA MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z I20 FEET. LATEST ANIMATED IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD CONVECT ON TO THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS, WHILE GOOD OUTLFOW CONTINUES IN ALL QUADRANTS OF 09P. CONVECTION SSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CAN BE SEEN AS FAR AS 400 NM FROM THE CENTER. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE FIXES AND DIVORAK ANALYSIS. STEERING FLOW FOR 09P CONTINUES TO BE WEAK, AS ANALYZED AT 500 MBS, HENCE THE 5-8 KT SPEED OF MOVEMENT. BY 36 HOURS, 09P STARTS TO BECOME AFFECTED BY AN APPROARHING MID LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A MORE SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT. 09P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY DECREASING IN INTENSITY AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A DECREASE IN THE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND THE COOLER SST TO THE SOUTH. NEXT WARNINGS A 252100Z0 AND 260900Z7.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG15143590843 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 12:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1399 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-24568>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 05:06:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38686; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:51:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11014128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:51:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA38160 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:51:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:51:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812252051.OAA27568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:51:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f06c55cc2b9d5fb912899da2f11bc56a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 252100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 19.9S9 175.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 175.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.7S0 174.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 23.6S1 173.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.6S2 170.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.5S2 166.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 22 FEET. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND WESTERN QUADRANTS. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE SOUTH AND EASTERN QUADRANTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE FIXES AND DVORAK ANALYSIS. LATEST STEERING FLOW INDICATES 09P WILL TAKE A MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AS INDICATED BY NOGAPS 500 MB ANALYSIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 AND 262100Z1.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG18923592056 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 12:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1600 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-24568>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 05:11:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38864; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:57:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11014165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:57:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24770 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:57:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA27580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:57:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812252057.OAA27580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:57:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9956b7282538dc89b715c5ff3537bb89 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 252100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE 251800Z--- NEAR 19.9S9 175.6W9 ;.-;3.3,5 0--5 -8/ #9IKDALDEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN P NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM REPEAT POSI: 19.9S9 175.6W9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.7S0 174.7W9 )MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050,(5 28,$- - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11;1+ --= 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z70#?;;6S1 173.0;22 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RAIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM ;3:594 59 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 15 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.6S2 170.1W9 MG SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VEOOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 18 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK( 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.5S2 166.3W6 MAX SUSTAINEE WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 22 FEET. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND WESTERN QUADRANTS. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE SOUTH AND EASTERN QUADRANTS. CURRENT INTENSITNIS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE FIXES AND DVORAK ANALYSIS. LATEST STEERING FLOW INDICATES 09P WILL TAKE A MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUM TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUO THE AREA AS INDICATED BY NOGAPS 500 MB ANALYSIS. ,3/5 2-4,8,<-5 ?260900Z7 AND 262100Z1.// AUTODIN MESSNLECSWVD AT AFGWC:047#0-<<78923592056 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 20:23:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-27933>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 18:54:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA31060; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:39:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11016478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:39:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA41288 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:39:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:39:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261039.EAA01115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:39:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5afea0ba11aea3ccb775b269b0d1757 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 260900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 21.7S0 174.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 174.4W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 23.9S4 172.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.9S6 169.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.8S7 165.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 29.7S8 160.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 22 FEET. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND THE EYE HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT RAGGED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY INCREASE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND THEN WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY 48 HOURS DUE ENTERING AND INCREASED SHEARING ENVIRONMENT AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST AND ENTERS A COLD SST GRADIENT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262030Z3 AND 270830Z0.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG22343601036 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 20:23:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4970 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-27940>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 18:57:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA40986; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:44:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11016482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:44:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA30990 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:44:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:44:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261044.EAA01150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 04:44:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fed9926769432c6326b4bca9e3fa12f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 260900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 21.7S0 174.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 174.4W6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 23.9S4 172.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 17 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.9S6 169.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 21 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.8S7 165.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEV/ 24 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 29.7S8 160.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 22 FEET. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND THE EYE HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT RAGGED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY INCREASE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND THEN WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY 48 HOURS DUE ENTERING AND INCREASED SHEARING ENVIRONMENT AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST AND ENTERS A COLD SST GRADIENT. ,3/5 2-4,8,<- -5 262030Z3 AND 270830Z0.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG22343601036 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626756-27939>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 05:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33758; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 15:17:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11019096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 15:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA31186 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 15:17:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 15:17:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812262117.PAA03515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 15:17:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6b3da74fa47b715a9a365ab83df7ce4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 262100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 23.1S6 170.7W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 170.7W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 24.8S4 167.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.6S4 163.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.6S5 160.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.0S0 156.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 26 FEET. LATEST IR ANIMATION INDICATES SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE SOME WARMING IN THE CLOUD TOPS. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DECREASING OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS THOUGH SYSTEM HAS REMAINED WELL ORGANIZED.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG26623602121 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 21:55:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2942 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-493>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 18:20:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA37594; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 04:03:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11021655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 04:03:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA38606 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 04:03:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA06309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 04:03:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812271003.EAA06309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 04:03:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca15cf4c3d89a8ed4c08d88626cd2ca7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 270900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 24.7S3 166.1W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S3 166.1W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.2S0 161.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.7S6 156.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.1S2 150.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 30.4S7 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 26 FEET. LATEST IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS BEGINNING TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF CORA. AS THIS CYCLONE GAINS LATITUDE, CURRENT MODELS INDICATE THAT CONTINUED ACCELERATION AND WEAKENING WILL OCCUR. THIS DUE TO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPS AND INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272030Z4 AND 280830Z1.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG31753611008 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 09:27:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4964 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625868-1347>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 07:18:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA37586; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 17:00:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11024222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 17:00:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA38086 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 17:00:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA09370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 17:00:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812272300.RAA09370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 17:00:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 674f2e71790f7a228a696b16c0fc36ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 272100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 26.1S9 161.1W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.1S9 161.1W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.5S4 156.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.1S2 150.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 30.6S9 144.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 32.2S7 137.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 18 FEET. LATEST INFRARED ANIMATION INDICATES SYSTEMS WILL SOON BEGIN TRANSITION INTO EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME EXPOSED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. PRESENT MOTION AND FORECASTED MOVEMENTS TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST DUE TO STEERING OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG36613612030 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 18:11:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-1345>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 17:48:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40422; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:35:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11026699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:35:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39640 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:35:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:35:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280935.DAA12606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 03:35:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 722c02793f2a6bce2a17db7e2b07277d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WHPS31 PHNC 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 27.8S7 156.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.8S7 156.0W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.7S8 150.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: LATEST INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AND OVERALL CONVECTION HAS DECREASED. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED AND ACCELERATED BY MID LATITUDE UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG41953620830 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 13:54:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-9959>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 11:32:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37884; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:14:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11046471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:14:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38384 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:14:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:14:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812310314.VAA07507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 21:14:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a03301f43a0dfef9ada22697df009544 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS21 PGTW 310100 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 15.8S4 138.3E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 302330Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3S0 138.5E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. RECENT VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION IS SHOWING AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE CURVATURE. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES PRESSURE HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW CONTINUES. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA HAVE PLACED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, OVER WATER. THIS LOW-LEVEL, HOWEVER, HAS BEEN DRIFTING ON AND OFF THE COAST OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHERN AUSTRALIA AND IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 010100Z2. 4. EFFECTIVE 31 DEC 98 AT 2000Z, THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) WILL SHIFT OPERATIONS TO THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NPMOC) PEARL HARBOR HI. PRODUCT DISSEMINATION WILL BE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING METHODS: A. AUTODIN FROM NAVAPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC//= B. NIPRNET WEBSITE: HTTP://WWW.NPMOC.NAVY.MIL (LOWER CASE). PRODUCTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AVAILABLE AT OUR OLD WEB SITE, HTTP://WWW.NPMOCW.NAVY.MIL/NPMOCW/PRODS/JTWC.HTML (LOWER CASE) FOR A LIMITED TIME= C. AUTOMATED WEATHER NETWORK (AWN): ALL BULLETIN HEADERS AND TIMES WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED. AS OF 1 JANUARY, NEW CONTACT NUMBERS FOR THE TYPHOON DUTY OFFICER (TDO) WILL BE (A) 474-2320 (C) 808-474-2320. JTWC LOOKS FORWARD TO PROVIDING THE SAME LEVEL OF PROFESSIONAL SUPPORT TO ALL OUR CUSTOMERS FROM OUR NEW VENUE.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC08643650308 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626174-2623>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 14:19:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA61686; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:18:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA25554 for ; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801010617.AAA03511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:17:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 853946dba692252ea9e659d8392e7b7c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 101 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z JAN 98 /020600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 172E0. A 311934Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THERE MAY BE A CUSP FEATURE RATHER THAN A CIRCULATION PRESENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE HAS FLUCTUATED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND DEPTH CONSISTENCY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT DIVERGENCE ALOFT CONTINUES BUT IS SHOWING LITTLE ORGANIZATIONAL IMPROVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2042 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-2619>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 21:33:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA29678; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:32:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7431809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA55720 for ; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801011331.HAA03998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 07:31:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96625eddb2be98db91bf7694a81e5374 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 140 ABPW10 PGTW 011400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011400Z JAN 98 /020600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 172E0. A 311934Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THERE MAY BE A CUSP FEATURE RATHER THAN A CIRCULATION PRESENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL FEATURE HAS FLUCTUATED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND DEPTH CONSISTENCY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT DIVERGENCE ALOFT CONTINUES BUT IS SHOWING LITTLE ORGANIZATIONAL IMPROVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 151E7. A 011043Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM,I) INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. A SPIRAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626656-15477>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 14:51:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50894; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:50:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7435039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:49:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA09432 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801020647.AAA04989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:47:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 555946a0c63daf80c5fdb2ebf405731f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 221 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z JAN 98 /030600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E3. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED AREAL COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION AND A VERY RECENT SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. IMAGERY THREE HOURS AGO SHOWED A ROUGHLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT WAS SUPPORTING RELATIVELY NEW CENTRAL CONVECTION BUT HAD VERY LITTLE ORGANIZATION. SUBSTANTIAL DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR DERIVED WIND FIELDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABSENCE OF CONVECTIVE AND LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. DUE TO TECHNICAL PROBLEMS, THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS OF IMAGERY WERE MISSED AND WE ARE UNABLE TO TRACK THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SUDDEN DISORGANIZATION. IN VIEW OF THIS, THE AREA REMAINS INCLUDED ON THIS BULLETIN IN A DOWNGRADED STATUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626926-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:45:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA29690; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 19:44:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 19:44:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA21212 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 19:44:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 19:44:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030144.TAA06090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 19:44:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71fd60a4f643a36f4fae500231343500 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 495 WTPS31 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 152.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 152.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0S8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1S9 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.1S9 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.0S8 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 16.8S5 152.3E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P HAS FORMED IN THE CORAL SEA AND IS NOW DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SURFACE OBSERVATION OF 31 KNOTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO NUMBER 94296) AT 022200Z6 AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FOR 24 HOURS, THEN MOVE GENERALLY EASTWARD. THE SYSTEM HAS JUST UNDERGONE A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, IT IS UNUSUAL FOR THESE SYSTEMS TO CONTINUE RAPID INTENSIFICATION FOR LONGER THAN 24 HOURS, THEREFORE THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A SLOWER INTENSIFICATION RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 10:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA42536; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 20:14:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 20:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA37392 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 20:14:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 20:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030214.UAA06115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 20:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a5ac2a6a20cd19b758acc922db59dcb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 144 WTPS32 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 12.5S8 174.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 174.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.5S8 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.4S7 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.0S3 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.8S0 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 12.5S8 174.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC AND IS CURRENTLY DRIFTING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 022330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 021116Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE A WEAK EASTWARD MOTION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P. DUE TO ITS LARGE SIZE, THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 13:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA24796; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:35:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:35:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA24690 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030534.XAA06271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:34:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78d9166e4e164e069c06d0f24c59ba98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 888 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 173.8E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 152.2E0 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(2) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626943-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 13:40:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA32702; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA09354 for ; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030539.XAA06293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 23:39:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: /030600z/040600z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abac94423f4d5f9d64ad4c6fad881a35 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 943 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// /030600Z/040600Z JAN 98// ;43>/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030153Z JA 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TOOI LBL AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 173.8E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSX SJZGUISY GQ YNDNNBKNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. )SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 152.2E0 AND MOVING SOUTHESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GVAS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPIIILYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBUNCE SUMMARY: (1) TGTLAREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E- IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE O WAGNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8 IS NOW TYE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PAR UY AAGWMA(2) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627069-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 16:54:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA55632; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA55578 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801030853.CAA06510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 02:53:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f113ff853e16b13f729093271de25f9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 625 ABPW10 PGTW 030830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030830Z/040600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 030151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 173.8E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 152.2E0 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 1 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 175E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 152E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A(2) FOR DETAILS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15S6 137E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 94151, 94150 AND A BUOY OBSERVATION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA INDICATE WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND SURFACE PRESSURES NEAR 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-22378>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:27:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA37462; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:27:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:26:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA31796 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:26:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA06823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:26:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031226.GAA06823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:26:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 309919200723b30cdcf5fdf17a489fd0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 861 WTPS32 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 12.5S8 174.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 174.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.5S8 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.4S7 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.0S3 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.8S0 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 12.5S8 174.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC AND IS CURRENTLY DRIFTING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 022330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 021116Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE A WEAK EASTWARD MOTION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P. DUE TO ITS LARGE SIZE, THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6088 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-22383>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:30:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA61472; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:30:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:30:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA10504 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:30:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA06832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:30:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031230.GAA06832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 06:30:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d657355e52adde2bf73d3357262927e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 WTPS31 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 152.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 152.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0S8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1S9 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.1S9 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.0S8 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 16.8S5 152.3E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P HAS FORMED IN THE CORAL SEA AND IS NOW DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SURFACE OBSERVATION OF 31 KNOTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO NUMBER 94296) AT 022200Z6 AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FOR 24 HOURS, THEN MOVE GENERALLY EASTWARD. THE SYSTEM HAS JUST UNDERGONE A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, IT IS UNUSUAL FOR THESE SYSTEMS TO CONTINUE RAPID INTENSIFICATION FOR LONGER THAN 24 HOURS, THEREFORE THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A SLOWER INTENSIFICATION RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2361 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627158-22383>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:40:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA31800; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA37390 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031339.HAA06907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f5f10dd757692c7488b7bd2279af239 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 987 WTPS31 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCA2404 UNCLAS 030000Z3 --- 16.7S4 152.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 152.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0S8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1S9 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2404 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.1S9 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.0S8 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 16.8S5 152.3E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P HAS FORMED IN THE CORAL SEA AND IS PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2404 UNCLAS NOW DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF A SURFACE OBSERVATION OF 31 KNOTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO NUMBER 94296) AT 022200Z6 AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FOR 24 HOURS, THEN MOVE GENERALLY EASTWARD. THE SYSTEM HAS JUST UNDERGONE A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER, IT IS UNUSUAL FOR THESE SYSTEMS TO CONTINUE RAPID INTENSIFICATION FOR LONGER THAN 24 HOURS, THEREFORE THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A SLOWER INTENSIFICATION RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2404 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-22378>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:40:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA31824; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA50716 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031339.HAA06915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 07:39:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79bbad5861c12354755733ee59cd1a7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 988 WTPS32 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCA6115 UNCLAS 030000Z3 --- 12.5S8 174.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 174.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.5S8 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.4S7 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA6115 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.0S3 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.8S0 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 12.5S8 174.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC AND IS CURRENTLY DRIFTING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 022330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 021116Z1 PAGE 04 RUEOMCA6115 UNCLAS SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE A WEAK EASTWARD MOTION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P. DUE TO ITS LARGE SIZE, THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6115 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-22385>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 22:08:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31786; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:07:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:07:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA10618 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:07:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:07:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031407.IAA06933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:07:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d23329bbec6597e30caf02544d60dffc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 492 WTPS32 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 12.5S8 172.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 172.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.7S0 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.8S1 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.0S4 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.3S7 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 12.5S8 171.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 031130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BECOME COOLER AS WELL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD. TC 11P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627150-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 22:48:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA09990; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:47:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:47:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA25580 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:47:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:47:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031447.IAA06979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 08:47:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02b0a1b29f95c83f93b245cf0a375527 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 281 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 16.0S7 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.9S5 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.8S4 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.8S4 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.9S5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 16.0S7 152.4E2 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 300NM OFF THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 031130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BECOME COOLER AND THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN AREAL COVERAGE. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH THE FORECAST AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-22381>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:18:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA61606; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:17:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:17:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA61580 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:17:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031517.JAA07007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:17:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66ed3ac5b90dc7477fb968522602e7a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 910 WTPS32 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEDMCA2599 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 12.5S8 172.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 172.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.7S0 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2599 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.8S1 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.0S4 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2599 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.3S7 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 12.5S8 171.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 031130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BECOME COOLER AS WELL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD. TC 11P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE PAGE 05 RUEDMCA2599 UNCLAS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2599 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627168-22385>; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:21:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA61568; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:20:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7441498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21100 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:20:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:20:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801031520.JAA07015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 09:20:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bcb688de359878f65ee164ad3a43984 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 033 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEOMCA6371 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 16.0S7 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.9S5 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA6371 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.8S4 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.8S4 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS PAGE 04 RUEOMCA6371 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.9S5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 16.0S7 152.4E2 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 300NM OFF THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 031130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BECOME COOLER AND THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN AREAL COVERAGE. TC 12P IS PAGE 05 RUEOMCA6371 UNCLAS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH THE FORECAST AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6371 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-9130>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 10:35:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA27490; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA10038 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040234.UAA07773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ed716ae0073ced8cdf9b49af39c73088 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 798 WTPS32 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 13.0S4 171.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 171.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.2S6 170.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.4S8 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.6S0 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 13.9S3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 13.0S4 171.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO DRIFT IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH AT LEAST THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-9127>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 10:35:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA43670; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA27518 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040234.UAA07780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:34:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f476a29e07b4e30b0d8d9443d4df16aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 843 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.5S1 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.4S0 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.3S9 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.3S9 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.3S9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 15.5S1 153.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSIFICATION HAS HALTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO THE OUTFLOW ALOFT FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) INTERRUPTING THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ONLY INTENSIFY AT A VERY SLOW RATE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) TO ITS EAST. THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE IN AN EASTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK SPEED SHOULD SLOW NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING BETWEEN NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND A NORTHWESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4242 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626938-9130>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:00:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA61590; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:00:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:00:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA38986 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:59:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:59:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040259.UAA07818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 20:59:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69eecd45933c6177787814df368ca0a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 159 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUEOMCA7224 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.5S1 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.4S0 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA7224 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.3S9 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.3S9 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA7224 UNCLAS 060000Z6 --- 15.3S9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 15.5S1 153.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSIFICATION HAS HALTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO THE OUTFLOW ALOFT FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) INTERRUPTING THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ONLY INTENSIFY AT A VERY SLOW RATE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) TO ITS EAST. THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE IN AN EASTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK SPEED PAGE 05 RUEOMCA7224 UNCLAS SHOULD SLOW NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING BETWEEN NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND A NORTHWESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7224 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4305 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-9127>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 11:04:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA38458; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:03:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:03:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA24576 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:02:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:02:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040302.VAA07830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 21:02:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97c51dcc24dee154fdefa1f6db1402f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 199 WTPS32 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEDMCA3654 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 13.0S4 171.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 171.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.2S6 170.9E7 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3654 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.4S8 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.6S0 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3654 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 13.9S3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 13.0S4 171.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3654 UNCLAS POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO DRIFT IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH AT LEAST THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3654 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626529-9128>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 13:18:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA45226; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:18:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:17:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA31888 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:17:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:17:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040517.XAA07952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:17:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6a520a753c0089864a8f9bb223504390 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 169 WTPS32 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEDMCA3837 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 13.0S4 171.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 171.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.2S6 170.9E7 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3837 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.4S8 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.6S0 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3837 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 13.9S3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 13.0S4 171.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3837 UNCLAS POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO DRIFT IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH AT LEAST THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3837 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626143-9123>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 13:21:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA43678; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:20:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7444775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:20:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA55682 for ; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:20:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:20:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040520.XAA07959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 23:20:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97a4be23481a2cf8b011203b096fb934 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 306 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUEOMCB1474 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.5S1 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.4S0 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB1474 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.3S9 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.3S9 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB1474 UNCLAS 060000Z6 --- 15.3S9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 15.5S1 153.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSIFICATION HAS HALTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO THE OUTFLOW ALOFT FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) INTERRUPTING THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ONLY INTENSIFY AT A VERY SLOW RATE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) TO ITS EAST. THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE IN AN EASTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK SPEED PAGE 05 RUEOMCB1474 UNCLAS SHOULD SLOW NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING BETWEEN NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND A NORTHWESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1474 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627281-9128>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 14:11:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54192; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:11:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7445125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA54094 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801040610.AAA08089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:10:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8829d499307812aeb87195621c3faec0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 284 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 040153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 040151Z JAN 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 040451Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WAS LOCATED AT 13.0S4 171.5E4 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 3 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WAS LOCATED AT 15.5S1 153.4E3 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 3 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15S6 137E1 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 141E6. THIS AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 137E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE FROM THE IMAGERY THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE DEVELOPING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-9127>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 21:56:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA21086; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:55:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7446442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:55:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA57926 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:55:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:55:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041355.HAA08607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:55:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13f8ad563030c5dcda617ddc1c0f91ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 182 WTPS32 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 13.3S7 170.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 170.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.7S1 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.9S3 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 14.1S6 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.5S0 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 13.4S8 170.4E2 OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED AND NOW HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT SHOWS AN 18NM RAGGED EYE FEATURE. ADDITIONALLY THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATION SHOWS TC 11P (SUSAN) HAS BECOME MUCH MORE ORGANIZED AND THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON THIS INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AS SHOWN BY 041130Z9 ENHANCED IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AN INTENSE CYCLONE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 11P (SUSAN) IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS CLIMATOLOGY SUGGESTS. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TC 11P REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MOSTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. HOWEVER, A SHORT TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED AT THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AFTERWARDS, TC 11P (SUSAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-9127>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 22:36:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA57966; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:36:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7446570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:35:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA38488 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:35:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:35:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041435.IAA08657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:35:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d296321413e05ce7049219e3ca58f8f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 WTPS32 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEOMCA0115 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 13.3S7 170.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 170.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0115 UNCLAS 050000Z5 --- 13.7S1 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.9S3 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0115 UNCLAS 060000Z6 --- 14.1S6 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.5S0 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0115 UNCLAS 041500Z0 POSITION 13.4S8 170.4E2 OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED AND NOW HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT SHOWS AN 18NM RAGGED EYE FEATURE. ADDITIONALLY THIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATION SHOWS TC 11P (SUSAN) HAS BECOME MUCH MORE ORGANIZED AND THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON THIS INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AS SHOWN BY 041130Z9 ENHANCED IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AN INTENSE CYCLONE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 11P (SUSAN) IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS PAGE 06 RUEOMCA0115 UNCLAS CLIMATOLOGY SUGGESTS. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TC 11P REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MOSTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. HOWEVER, A SHORT TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED AT THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AFTERWARDS, TC 11P (SUSAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0115 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627661-9128>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 22:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA21134; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:41:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7446584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:41:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA21106 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:41:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:41:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041441.IAA08669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 08:41:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0305a17abe37b5d1a07a55e861d7a9d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 160 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 15.6S2 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.7S3 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.8S4 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.0S7 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.3S0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 15.6S2 154.2E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPERIENCING UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEER FROM THE NORTHEAST AS A RESULT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WHICH IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1000NM TO THE EAST. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SLOW EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY LIGHT ENVIRONMENTAL WESTERLY FLOW. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD WHEN INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS EXPECTED TO INTRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHEER IN THE REGION AND CAUSE TC 12P (KATRINA) TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627661-9127>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:22:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32560; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:21:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7446677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32762 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:20:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:20:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801041520.JAA08703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:20:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66dfd2c588a84ff3c52afeb7606cd424 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 908 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2176 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 15.6S2 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.7S3 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2176 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.8S4 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.0S7 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.3S0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2176 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 15.6S2 154.2E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPERIENCING UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEER FROM THE NORTHEAST AS A RESULT OF THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WHICH IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1000NM TO THE EAST. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SLOW EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY LIGHT ENVIRONMENTAL WESTERLY FLOW. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD WHEN INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS EXPECTED TO INTRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHEER IN THE REGION AND CAUSE TC 12P (KATRINA) TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2176 UNCLAS PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2176 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627801-9123>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 05:47:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA61646; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 15:46:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7448293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 15:46:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA61604 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 15:46:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 15:46:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801042146.PAA09095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 15:46:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6eddafff29bc3b19a0bd83eb2ebf511b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 488 WTPS23 PGTW 040500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040500Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 165 NM RADIUS OF 15.7S3 141.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 141.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INTENSE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 40 NM OFF THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AT 07 KNOTS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE FUTURE TRACK OF THIS DISTURBANCE. IF THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES SOUTH SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN TURNS SOUTHWARD OR IF IT SLOWS IN SPEED, IT SHOULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER, THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE SYSTEM COULD MOVE INTO LAND THEREFORE PREVENTING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IF THE SYSTEM CENTER REMAINS OVER THE WATER THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4004 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-20465>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:38:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA53750; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 19:38:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7449594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 19:37:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA53718 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 19:37:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 19:37:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050137.TAA09309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 19:37:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aea1d36ac1d7adbf727a4adb795059f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTPS32 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.0S5 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.5S0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.0S6 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.6S2 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.1S6 170.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 042330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED INTO A FORMIDABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL DEFINED 28NM EYE EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MID LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH AND NUDGE TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) FURTHER SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED. THIS IS BECAUSE IT IS NORMAL FOR INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ONCE THEY REACH THEIR PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626972-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 10:21:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA12644; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:20:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7449847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:20:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA12876 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:20:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:20:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050220.UAA09369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:20:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d37fb5d2adac8c2244ce31e52591e5ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 981 WTPS32 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5374 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.0S5 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5374 UNCLAS 051200Z8 --- 14.5S0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.0S6 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5374 UNCLAS 061200Z9 --- 15.6S2 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5374 UNCLAS 050300Z8 POSITION 14.1S6 170.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 042330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED INTO A FORMIDABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL DEFINED 28NM EYE EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MID LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH AND NUDGE TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) FURTHER SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED. THIS IS BECAUSE IT IS NORMAL FOR INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ONCE THEY REACH THEIR PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P PAGE 06 RUEDMCA5374 UNCLAS (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5374 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1804 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-20461>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 10:23:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA37576; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:23:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7449856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:22:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA34224 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:22:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:22:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050222.UAA09376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:22:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24e7d2fe422a2972574ea5d63ad9f589 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 006 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 15.8S4 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.9S5 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.0S7 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.2S9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.2S9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 15.8S4 154.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS OF 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENTLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THERE IS VERY WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT. BY THE 36 AND 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO DRIFT EASTWARD AS NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO IT=S NORTH STRENGTHENS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A DEVELOPING MID LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN SOME MORE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (SUSAN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627304-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 10:39:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA45234; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:39:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7449917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:38:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA45162 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:38:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:38:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050238.UAA09412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 20:38:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26940d3050dc61f3d9798448ca2c6137 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5403 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 15.8S4 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.9S5 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5403 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.0S7 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.2S9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.2S9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5403 UNCLAS REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 15.8S4 154.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS OF 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENTLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THERE IS VERY WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT. BY THE 36 AND 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO DRIFT EASTWARD AS NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO IT'S NORTH STRENGTHENS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A DEVELOPING MID LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN SOME MORE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (SUSAN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5403 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3759 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627528-20463>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 13:15:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA37572; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:14:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7450680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:14:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA26028 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:14:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:14:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050514.XAA09580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:14:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/040500z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 32cb5d2a4fc56b47648234a21a995ec1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTPS23 PGTW 050430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050451Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040500Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 040500)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 15.9S5 139.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 050230Z0 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 1 6.1S8 140.3E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: CURRENTLY, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA EAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER FOR APPROXIMATELY 15 HOURS. HOWEVER, A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 041334Z5 INDICATED THAT 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE WATER WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. OBSERVATIONS FROM MORNINGTON ISLAND AT 050300Z8 INDICATE THAT SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 13 KNOTS GUSTING TO 22 KNOTS WERE OCCURRING. CONVECTION MAY NOT DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS DUE TO A MID LEVEL INTRUSION OF DRY AIR. AFTERWARDS, WEAK DIVERGENCE MAY ALLOW CONVECTION TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. IF THIS HAPPENS, THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WILL BE GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627541-20463>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 13:39:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA60108; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:38:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7450753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:38:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA10678 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:38:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:38:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050538.XAA09608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:38:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/040500z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: afd94d5df359de5590ae6dc19feb31c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 WTPS23 PGTW 050500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050451Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040500Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 040500)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0084 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 15.9S5 139.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 050230Z0 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 140.3E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: CURRENTLY, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA EAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER FOR APPROXIMATELY 15 HOURS. HOWEVER, A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 041334Z5 INDICATED THAT 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE WATER WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. OBSERVATIONS FROM MORNINGTON ISLAND AT 050300Z8 INDICATE THAT SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 13 KNOTS GUSTING TO 22 KNOTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0084 UNCLAS WERE OCCURRING. CONVECTION MAY NOT DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS DUE TO A MID LEVEL INTRUSION OF DRY AIR. AFTERWARDS, WEAK DIVERGENCE MAY ALLOW CONVECTION TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. IF THIS HAPPENS, THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WILL BE GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060500Z1.// BT #0084 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4338 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627544-20461>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 13:42:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA56550; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:41:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7450773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:41:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA45010 for ; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:41:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:41:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050541.XAA09620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 23:41:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/040500z Jan 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 161ce9f00d08a02dac315c97e34e1604 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 773 WTPS23 PGTW 050500 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050451Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040500Z JAN 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 040500)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 15.9S5 139.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 050230Z0 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 140.3E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: CURRENTLY, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA EAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. NO CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER FOR APPROXIMATELY 15 HOURS. HOWEVER, A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 041334Z5 INDICATED THAT 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE WATER WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. OBSERVATIONS FROM MORNINGTON ISLAND AT 050300Z8 INDICATE THAT SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 13 KNOTS GUSTING TO 22 KNOTS WERE OCCURRING. CONVECTION MAY NOT DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS DUE TO A MID LEVEL INTRUSION OF DRY AIR. AFTERWARDS, WEAK DIVERGENCE MAY ALLOW CONVECTION TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. IF THIS HAPPENS, THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WILL BE GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060500Z1. 6. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP TIME.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627552-20465>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 14:15:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37484; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:15:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7451003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:15:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA58102 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050614.AAA09736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b26b9aec51fa0fcaf191f5a62f09e396 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 395 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 050153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 050151Z JAN 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 050451Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3S7 170.6E4 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 5 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8S4 154.3E3 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 5 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 140E5. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14S5 137E1 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2896 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627406-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 14:17:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32532; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:17:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7451025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA45050 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:17:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:17:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050617.AAA09748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:17:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6849f3fbb5a168ea30211a30b5d2a6d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 460 WTPS32 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.0S5 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.5S0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.0S6 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.6S2 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.1S6 170.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 042330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED INTO A FORMIDABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL DEFINED 28NM EYE EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MID LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH AND NUDGE TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) FURTHER SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED. THIS IS BECAUSE IT IS NORMAL FOR INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ONCE THEY REACH THEIR PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-20465>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 14:22:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32702; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:21:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7451072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:21:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24742 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:21:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:21:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050621.AAA09756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:21:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 898c5bdf3b68a661ecfaf6054baf212d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 634 WTPS32 PGTW 050300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 005A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.0S5 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.5S0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.0S6 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.6S2 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.1S6 170.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 042330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED INTO A FORMIDABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL DEFINED 28NM EYE EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MID LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH AND NUDGE TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) FURTHER SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED. THIS IS BECAUSE IT IS NORMAL FOR INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ONCE THEY REACH THEIR PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INITIAL INTENSITY OF SYSTEM FROM 125 TO 130 KNOTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627533-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 14:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24664; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:35:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7451131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:35:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA38460 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:35:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:35:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801050635.AAA09790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:35:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4d26713f212a076e474cf6b32f51050 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 067 WTPS32 PGTW 050300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 005A CORRECTED PAGE 02 RUEOMCC1512 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.0S5 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.5S0 169.7E3 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC1512 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.0S6 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.6S2 168.6E1 PAGE 04 RUEOMCC1512 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.1S6 170.1E9 PAGE 05 RUEOMCC1512 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 042330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED INTO A FORMIDABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A WELL DEFINED 28NM EYE EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION A MID LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH AND NUDGE TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) FURTHER SOUTHWARD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED. THIS IS BECAUSE IT IS NORMAL FOR INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY ONCE THEY REACH THEIR PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY PAGE 06 RUEOMCC1512 UNCLAS UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INITIAL INTENSITY OF SYSTEM FROM 125 TO 130 KNOTS.// BT #1512 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2742 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-20461>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 21:38:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA12664; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 07:37:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7452319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 07:37:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA54088 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 07:37:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 07:37:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051337.HAA10257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 07:37:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5be46ea66cdcdf7349b1f756aff95ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 100 WTPS32 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.8S3 169.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 169.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.5S1 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627918-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:37:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA54074; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7452818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA36092 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051436.IAA10308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a14f919d11fb5e87c3a2a6d90eacf3a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 472 WTPS32 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.8S3 169.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 169.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.5S1 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.2S9 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.9S6 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.7S5 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 15.0S6 169.7E3 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS DRIFTING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY THAT SHOWS A 23NM DIAMETER EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD AND HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. TC 11P (SUSAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 48 HOURS AS SUGGESTED BY CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SYSTEM THAT HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1434 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627919-20465>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:37:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA56404; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7452823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA35848 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051436.IAA10317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 08:36:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e4c09485d4565cb539575c324840d61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 473 WTPS31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 15.5S1 155.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.5S1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7S3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.9S5 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.1S8 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 15.5S1 155.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE SHEER FROM THE EAST DUE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). THIS SHEER IS INHIBITING ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL WESTERLY FLOW. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AFTERWARDS DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF TC 11P (SUSAN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626667-20465>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:16:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29530; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:15:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:15:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25902 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:15:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:15:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051515.JAA10353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:15:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d0bc78479917bc43dd31d0891cb45fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 185 WTPS31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEOMCB0343 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 15.5S1 155.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.5S1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0343 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7S3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.9S5 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.1S8 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0343 UNCLAS 051500Z1 POSITION 15.5S1 155.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE SHEER FROM THE EAST DUE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). THIS SHEER IS INHIBITING ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL WESTERLY FLOW. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AFTERWARDS DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF TC 11P (SUSAN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0343 UNCLAS (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0343 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627915-20465>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 23:19:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA38438; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:18:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:18:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12758 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:17:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA10360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:17:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801051517.JAA10360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:17:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f5565fad88c302c0f5dbcd0d954dfeb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 253 WTPS32 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEDMCA1030 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.8S3 169.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 169.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1030 UNCLAS 060000Z6 --- 15.5S1 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.2S9 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1030 UNCLAS 070000Z7 --- 16.9S6 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.7S5 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUEDMCA1030 UNCLAS 051500Z1 POSITION 15.0S6 169.7E3 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS DRIFTING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY THAT SHOWS A 23NM DIAMETER EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD AND HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. TC 11P (SUSAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 48 HOURS AS SUGGESTED BY CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SYSTEM THAT HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1030 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625907-7390>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 09:20:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA42654; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 19:19:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7457352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 19:19:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA42582 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 19:19:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 19:19:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060119.TAA11177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 19:19:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f7bdeefca6a46bdf08a10ca9a1c8ff3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 872 WTPS32 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTD ?VDR?F? ,-- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 15.6S2 170.0E8 MNFEL?ND ?ACD SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 170.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.9S8 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.1S3 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 15.8S4 170.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT SHOWS A 26 NM DIAMETER EYE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12-HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND AS THE EYEWALL BEGINS TO RECYCLE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARD, A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC), AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4134 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626097-7391>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA37468; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 20:05:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7457698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 20:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32576 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 20:05:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 20:05:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060205.UAA11242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 20:05:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f1dbe580c21eec205eab50acc49dcff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 WTPS32 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 007 PAGE 02 RUEDMCC0308 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 15.6S2 170.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 170.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 170.3E1 PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0308 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.9S8 171.3E2 PAGE 04 RUEDMCC0308 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.1S3 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 15.8S4 170.1E9 PAGE 05 RUEDMCC0308 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT SHOWS A 26 NM DIAMETER EYE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12-HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND AS THE EYEWALL BEGINS TO RECYCLE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARD, A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC), AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0308 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3003 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626181-7390>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 11:28:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA44930; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 21:27:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7458133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 21:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA54106 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 21:27:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 21:27:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060327.VAA11380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 21:27:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ab7d741c23c6dbc09054237747182de Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 WTPS31 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 14.2S7 157.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 157.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.2S7 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 14.5S0 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.1S7 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 30 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.2S9 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 14.2S7 157.3E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 35 KNOTS (PGTW) AND 45 KNOTS (KGWC). TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF TC 11P (SUSAN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WTPS3 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625974-7390>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA60080; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:48:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7458630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:47:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA54154 for ; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:47:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:47:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060447.WAA11484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 22:47:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec3d5d78b0f7f6d53aa3881054d20ac2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 911 WTPS31 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0012 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 14.2S7 157.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 157.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.2S7 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0012 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 14.5S0 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.1S7 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 30 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.2S9 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 14.2S7 157.3E6 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0012 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 35 KNOTS (PGTW) AND 45 KNOTS (KGWC). TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF TC 11P (SUSAN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WTPS3 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0012 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3786 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626366-7391>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 15:14:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA52404; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 01:13:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7459240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 01:13:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA34052 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:58:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:58:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801060658.AAA11681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:58:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91c58c01c604a667c188959f7f8cd158 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 739 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 060153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 060151Z JAN 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 060451Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 170.0E8 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 07 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 060000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS RELOCATED AT 14.2S7 157.0E3 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 07 RELOCATED (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 16S7 140E5 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 138E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAIN DISORGANIZED. THIS AREA WAS THE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTPS21 PGTW 060500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626394-7383>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 22:12:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA60152; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:11:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7460455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA13002 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:10:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:10:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061410.IAA12313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:10:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdfe5978d4dc064be0720afc96d64350 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 085 WTPS32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.8S7 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 174.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.1S4 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 171.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 052230Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 19S 173E. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628064-7389>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 22:48:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA12850; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:48:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7460532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:47:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA52242 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:47:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:47:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061447.IAA12356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 08:47:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79136c550cb51c608a23e95c9914c267 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 WTPS31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 13.8S2 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.6S0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 13.9S3 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.4S9 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 15.2S8 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 13.8S2 158.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SUBJECTED TO OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DISSIPATION, OVER WATER, AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628060-7391>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 00:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA44834; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:56:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7424720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:56:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA14586 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:56:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA13585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:56:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061656.KAA13585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:56:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d308933a4797af53266c451854f2d56a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 429 WTPS31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA2240 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 13.8S2 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.6S0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2240 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 13.9S3 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.4S9 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 15.2S8 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2240 UNCLAS REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 13.8S2 158.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SUBJECTED TO OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DISSIPATION, OVER WATER, AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2240 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1566 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628076-7389>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 01:00:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA17410; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:59:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7424731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA10730 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:59:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA13594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:59:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801061659.KAA13594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 10:59:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4dfac35d7366999a6f471c01b60af41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 490 WTPS32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 172.0E0 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.8S7 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 174.1E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.1S4 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 171.3E2 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 052230Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 19S 173E. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1242 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-7389>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 04:14:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA56392; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:12:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:11:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14622 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:11:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:11:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801062011.OAA14062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:11:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c777961432973a5862be5046a64a82c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTPS31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEDMCA3076 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 13.8S2 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.6S0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 13.9S3 161.6E4 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3076 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.4S9 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 15.2S8 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 13.8S2 158.8E2 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3076 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SUBJECTED TO OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN). CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DISSIPATION, OVER WATER, AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3076 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1647 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628098-7389>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 06:09:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA22684; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:08:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7426863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:07:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA27474 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:06:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:06:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801062206.QAA14242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:06:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 23515a816d4485528328416f21699c45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 597 WTPS32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 172.0E0 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.8S7 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 174.1E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.1S4 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 171.3E2 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 052230Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 19S 173E. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1242 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628115-7383>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 06:23:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA34640; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:21:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7427087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:21:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA51506 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:21:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:21:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801062221.QAA14278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:21:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c14dd931b33810ad76b34c791404851 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 031 WTPS32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 172.0E0 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.8S7 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 174.1E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.1S4 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 171.3E2 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 052230Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 19S 173E. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1242 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3815 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627265-7383>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 06:30:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA25500; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:29:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7427222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:29:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA17530 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:29:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA14291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:29:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801062229.QAA14291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 16:29:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1257732ca98ad281d69ef1af05d2977d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 205 WTPS32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6S4 172.0E0 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.8S7 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 174.1E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.1S4 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 171.3E2 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1242 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 052230Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 19S 173E. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LOCATED TO THE EAST AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1242 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626269-24072>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:19:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA46960; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 19:19:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7428290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 19:18:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA46888 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 19:18:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 19:18:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070118.TAA14523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 19:18:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73170a42314d74773d0a09e6c59120a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 367 WTPS32 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 17.9S7 172.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 172.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.4S4 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.0S3 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.7S1 179.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.5S1 178.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 18.3S2 173.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 11P (SUSAN) HAS REACH PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO START A SLOW WEAKENING TREND NEAR THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WTPS3 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626501-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 10:04:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA50710; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:03:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7428378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:03:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA36094 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:03:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:03:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070203.UAA14565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:03:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b308f838354a844a1440a061c8cb883 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 WTPS31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 12.8S1 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.4S7 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.1S4 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.7S0 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.5S9 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 12.7S0 160.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED PRIMARILY BY THE INFLUENCE OF TC 11P (SUSAN) WHICH WILL CAUSE IT TO LOOSE A SMALL AMOUNT LATITUDE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN TURN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS FOR TC 12P (KATRINA) TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS THE SHEER FROM THE EAST DECREASES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WTPS3 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625987-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 10:09:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA10150; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:09:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7428402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:09:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA61520 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:08:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:08:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070208.UAA14573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:08:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc45e5fe21e5c971d8e6353df04ce3a7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 537 WTPS32 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 009 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC0666 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 17.9S7 172.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 172.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.4S4 174.9E1 PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0666 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.0S3 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.7S1 179.5E2 PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0666 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.5S1 178.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 18.3S2 173.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEAST PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0666 UNCLAS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 11P (SUSAN) HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO START A SLOW WEAKENING TREND NEAR THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WTPS3 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0666 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1869 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626265-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 10:36:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA36026; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:35:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7428621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:35:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17556 for ; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:35:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:35:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070235.UAA14629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:35:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8c1fcc0f09eaa903cc8324b2f156516 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 085 WTPS31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 009 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB3526 UNCLAS //NO3145// 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 12.8S1 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.4S7 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEOMCB3526 UNCLAS //NO3145// 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.1S4 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.7S0 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.5S9 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB3526 UNCLAS //NO3145// 070300Z0 POSITION 12.7S0 160.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED PRIMARILY BY THE INFLUENCE OF TC 11P (SUSAN) WHICH WILL CAUSE IT TO LOOSE A SMALL AMOUNT LATITUDE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN TURN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS FOR TC 12P (KATRINA) TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS THE SHEER FROM THE EAST DECREASES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WTPS3 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3526 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-24069>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 16:21:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17432; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:20:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7430129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:20:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA44708 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801070819.CAA15116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:19:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 850e9f47a99819d77be10c41f11c86c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 916 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 070153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 070151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 172.9E9 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 09 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 07000Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 160.0E7 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 09 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 16S7 139E2 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 16S 140E5. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BROAD AND ELONGATED. THE CENTER OF WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFUSE AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATED IN THE CURRENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB38240070814 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3145 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628107-24073>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 22:50:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA12626; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:48:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7431826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:48:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29484 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:48:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:48:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071448.IAA15751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:48:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86633c95c309fdc2c20850c3207a1106 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 WTPS31 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 12.4S7 160.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 160.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.2S5 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.2S5 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.7S0 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.6S0 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 12.4S7 161.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING CONSOLIDATION, MAKING IT SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE. A CHANGE OF DIRECTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS BETWEEN SATELLITE DERIVED ESTIMATES OF DVORAK CI4.0 (45 KNOTS) AND CI3.0 (65 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA02460071442 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628107-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 22:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA12660; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:50:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7431841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:50:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29532 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:50:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:50:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071450.IAA15763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 08:50:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7ce687680cdef436c9aab6c9da5e02c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 628 WTPS31 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 010 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA0246 UNCLAS //NO3145// 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 12.4S7 160.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 160.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.2S5 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0246 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.2S5 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.7S0 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0246 UNCLAS //NO3145// 091200Z2 --- 13.6S0 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 12.4S7 161.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING CONSOLIDATION, MAKING IT SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE. A CHANGE OF DIRECTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS BETWEEN SATELLITE DERIVED ESTIMATES OF DVORAK CI4.0 (45 KNOTS) AND CI3.0 (65 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0246 UNCLAS //NO3145// TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0246 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4332 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627508-24069>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 23:06:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29582; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:06:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7431936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:05:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA53606 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:05:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:05:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071505.JAA15786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:05:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f1d34bb21d67149ff1e2aa607b41d3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 901 WTPS32 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 010 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB4377 UNCLAS 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 19.9S9 174.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 174.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.9S2 177.4E9 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB4377 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.8S3 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.8S5 177.6W1 PAGE 04 RUEOMCB4377 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 28.0S0 174.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 20.4S6 175.5E8 PAGE 05 RUEOMCB4377 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM'S EYE HAS BECOME RAGGED AND SHOWS A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED ELONGATION. TC 11P (SUSAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS A RESULT OF COLD AIR ADVECTION AND MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS. WIND RADII ADJUSTED FOR A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 20.0S 172.5E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4377 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-24074>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 23:18:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA61692; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:18:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7432158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA19098 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:17:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801071517.JAA15810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:17:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 967d12f8610b33ccec3bacf1d482b69e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 252 WTPS32 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 19.9S9 174.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 174.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.9S2 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.8S3 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.8S5 177.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 28.0S0 174.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 20.4S6 175.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEMS EYE HAS BECOME RAGGED AND SHOWS A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED ELONGATION. TC 11P (SUSAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS A RESULT OF COLD AIR ADVECTION AND MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS. WIND RADII ADJUSTED FOR A SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 20.0S 172.5E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB43770071457 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-24024>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:57:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA24820; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:56:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA47812 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:55:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:55:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080255.UAA16922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:55:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bbf3ecfd62e079ebdaf5093b96c9bcaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 WTPS32 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 21.8S1 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.8S1 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.4S9 178.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.8S4 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.9S7 169.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 30.6S9 164.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 22.2S6 178.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE ASSYMETRIES IN THE RADIUS OF 35 KNOT WINDS ARE DUE TO AN ANALYSIS OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 071745Z4. THE RADIUS OF 50 KNOT WINDS WERE ADJUSTED DUE TO A 072100Z0 SHIP REPORT OF 50 KNOTS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 172.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH A MID LATITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) SHOULD BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN TURN SOUTHEASTWARD BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 29 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (SEE WHPS32 PHNC 081500). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626047-24020>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:58:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA18994; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:57:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:57:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA18970 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:57:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:57:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080257.UAA16929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:57:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10cc6af616ced78fdadea73244ca06f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 115 WTPS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.2S6 163.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DIRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 163.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.7S1 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.3S8 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.8S3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.4S0 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 13.3S7 163.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT ALSO INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM MAY BE DEVELOPING AN EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING A 071158Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4931 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626637-24027>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:17:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40850; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA47626 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080315.VAA16994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6499430ce1214c34d1ef8d66869ee0e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 519 WTPS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0864 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.2S6 163.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 163.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.7S1 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0864 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.3S8 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.8S3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0864 UNCLAS //NO3145// OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.4S0 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 13.3S7 163.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT ALSO INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM MAY BE DEVELOPING AN EYE. THE PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0864 UNCLAS //NO3145// WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING A 071158Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0864 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626486-24020>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:16:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA35124; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA34810 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080315.VAA17003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:15:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05b5343c5fbe76722cab66d54f72607e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 520 WTPS32 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUEOMCA3052 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 21.8S1 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.8S1 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCA3052 UNCLAS 081200Z1 --- 23.4S9 178.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.8S4 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.9S7 169.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUEOMCA3052 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 30.6S9 164.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 22.2S6 178.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING PAGE 05 RUEOMCA3052 UNCLAS POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE ASSYMETRIES IN THE RADIUS OF 35 KNOT WINDS ARE DUE TO AN ANALYSIS OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 071745Z4. THE RADIUS OF 50 KNOT WINDS WERE ADJUSTED DUE TO A 072100Z0 SHIP REPORT OF 50 KNOTS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 172.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH A MID LATITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) SHOULD BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN TURN SOUTHEASTWARD BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 29 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (SEE WHPS32 PHNC PAGE 06 RUEOMCA3052 UNCLAS 081500). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3052 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1081 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626486-24024>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:17:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA29672; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA63152 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080316.VAA17010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:16:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 478dd906f03b032636590139918aefd4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 521 WTPS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.2S6 163.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 163.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.7S1 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.3S8 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.8S3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.4S0 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 13.3S7 163.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT ALSO INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM MAY BE DEVELOPING AN EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED USING A 071158Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA08640080308 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626019-24027>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:18:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA46158; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:17:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7436527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:17:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA55612 for ; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:17:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:17:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080317.VAA17018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:17:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7df2ffb3a1f99c96a5a08fb88a99038 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 522 WTPS32 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 21.8S1 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.8S1 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.4S9 178.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.8S4 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.9S7 169.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 30.6S9 164.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 22.2S6 178.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE ASSYMETRIES IN THE RADIUS OF 35 KNOT WINDS ARE DUE TO AN ANALYSIS OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 071745Z4. THE RADIUS OF 50 KNOT WINDS WERE ADJUSTED DUE TO A 072100Z0 SHIP REPORT OF 50 KNOTS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 172.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH A MID LATITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) SHOULD BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN TURN SOUTHEASTWARD BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 29 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (SEE WHPS32 PHNC 081500). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA30520080304 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628131-24023>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:30:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58264; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7437574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA46178 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080629.AAA17317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:29:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3db53e59ebaebdb5ddb18702041f2b89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 354 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 21.8S1 177.9E4 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 08000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 163.0E0 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 16S7 140E5 HAS NOT MOVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE AND MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION STARTING TO DEVELOP NEAR IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 071340Z5 INDICATED 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB17110080556 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626517-24027>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:55:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43604; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7437644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24636 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801080654.AAA17353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:54:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 757fde0d8ab970f96014fa67dd469f91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 951 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080153Z JAN 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 080151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WAS LOCATED AT 21.8S1 177.9E4 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS32 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 08000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 163.0E0 AND MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED 16S7 140E5 HAS NOT MOVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE AND MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION STARTING TO DEVELOP NEAR IT. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 071340Z5 INDICATED 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS NEAR THIS CIRCULATION CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4634 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628193-24023>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 23:35:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA34688; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 09:34:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7439711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 09:33:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21296 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 09:33:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 09:33:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801081533.JAA18200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 09:33:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00235a811a4a3682ae88f808e0de41d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 442 WTPS31 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCA4534 UNCLAS //NO3145// 081200Z1 --- 14.8S3 163.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 163.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.8S4 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4534 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.9S6 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.9S7 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4534 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.8S7 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.1S7 164.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AND INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS ARE BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH HAS DEVELOPED WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 12P (KATRINA) PAGE 05 RUEOMCA4534 UNCLAS //NO3145// IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE PERSISTS. AFTERWARDS, TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ON A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK AS RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO THE SOUTH. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4534 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4051 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628213-24024>; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 00:50:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA31576; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:48:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7440274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA61678 for ; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:47:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:47:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801081647.KAA18352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:47:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0a8ad0e7c70e2ff524e51a1742275f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 849 WTPS31 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 14.8S3 163.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 163.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.8S4 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.9S6 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.9S7 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.8S7 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.1S7 164.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AND INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS ARE BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH HAS DEVELOPED WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE PERSISTS. AFTERWARDS, TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ON A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK AS RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO THE SOUTH. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (RON) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (SUSAN) WARNINGS (WHPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626428-8760>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 11:18:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09394; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:17:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7452417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:16:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25558 for ; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:15:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:15:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100315.VAA22002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:15:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07fb8d5136d7e4539eaca00320b56b36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 709 WTPS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 15.6S2 164.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 164.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.7S3 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.8S4 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.0S7 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 15.6S2 164.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. OUR WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A 19 NM EYE. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS TREND. TC12P HAS TURNED ABRUPTLY TO THE WEST AS A RESULT OF A DEVELOPING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY TO ITS SOUTH. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THIS HIGH IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE CYCLONE=S STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND RESULT IN A VERY SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. THIS IS A CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH DEPICTED CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3446 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626385-8755>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 11:31:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA63120; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:31:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7452500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:31:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10070 for ; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:30:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:30:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100330.VAA22023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 21:30:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91ad142bc3290f531f606b408740ade6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 027 WTPS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5179 UNCLAS //NO3145// 100000Z1 --- 15.6S2 164.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 164.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.7S3 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.8S4 163.4E4 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5179 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.0S7 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5179 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 15.6S2 164.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. OUR WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A 19 NM EYE. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS TREND. TC12P HAS TURNED ABRUPTLY TO THE WEST AS A RESULT OF A DEVELOPING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY TO ITS SOUTH. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THIS HIGH IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE CYCLONE'S STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND RESULT IN A VERY SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. THIS IS A CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH DEPICTED CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9).// BT #5179 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629015-8760>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:07:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA40856; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:07:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA61516 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100805.CAA22385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:05:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc6319db0528bd9ae0d927c099d5e657 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 243 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 164.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20S2 147E2. THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED OVER LAND AND APPEARS TO BE MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN RANGES IN THE AUSTRALIAN PROVINCE OF QUEENSLAND. THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY HAS INDICATED THE POSSIBILITY OF GALE CONDITIONS ALONG THE QUEENSLAND COAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS A POSSIBILITY SHOULD THE SYSTEM MOVE OFFSHORE. FURTHER INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE BUREAU 0F METEOROLOGY WEB PAGE AT WWW.BOM.GOV.AU. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS CONSIDERED POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629015-8759>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:12:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA33982; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:11:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:11:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA18532 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100810.CAA22401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:10:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce5a86fbdef62b4aff2383ec120d68f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 305 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10000Z1, TROPPCALCYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 164.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTIO VSMJD20 OJAM 100600 AAXX 10064 40340 32960 03608 10096 20034 40178 52013 333 20080 30006= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629025-8760>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10012; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA23288 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100816.CAA22413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:16:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a63f152e916f359a62423bab04222fe2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 460 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (9;178 52013 333 20080 30006= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626341-8759>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 16:21:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA12648; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:21:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7453965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:21:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31310 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:21:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:20:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801100820.CAA22421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:20:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8485f20350426aae083a41b049e67f46 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 531 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (9 178 52013 333 20080 30006= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1399 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628324-8760>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 23:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA35884; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:12:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7455111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:12:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA46860 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:12:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:12:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101512.JAA23027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:12:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac3e0060bf929cc79fb86f566e0e7806 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 15.6S2 163.3E3 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA6267 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.7S3 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA6267 UNCLAS //NO3145// 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1S8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3S0 159.1E6 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA6267 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 15.6S2 163.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS EYE, INDICATIVE OF WEAKENING, BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY AS TC 12P (KATRINA) MOVES INTO AN AREA MORE CONDUCIVE TO INTENSIFICATION. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS CONTINUING TO BE STEERED BY EASTERLY FLOW FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO ITS SOUTH. THIS INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// BT #6267 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627499-8760>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 23:58:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA45458; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:57:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7455343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:57:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA45436 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:57:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:57:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101557.JAA23058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:57:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67e6ef5629a94098db4ed9b140617f91 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 772 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 15.6S2 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.7S3 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1S8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3S0 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 15.6S2 163.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS EYE, INDICATIVE OF WEAKENING, BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY AS TC 12P (KATRINA) MOVES INTO AN AREA MORE CONDUCIVE TO INTENSIFICATION. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS CONTINUING TO BE STEERED BY EASTERLY FLOW FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO ITS SOUTH. THIS INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA63260101555 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627578-8755>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:01:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA18562; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 10:00:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7455360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 10:00:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA12652 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 10:00:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA23074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 10:00:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801101600.KAA23074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 10:00:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6e4af29f8cdee19fd882396ab533f75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 834 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUEDMCA6326 UNCLAS //NO3145// WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 15.6S2 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.7S3 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCA6326 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1S8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA6326 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3S0 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 15.6S2 163.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS EYE, INDICATIVE OF WEAKENING, BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY AS TC 12P (KATRINA) MOVES INTO AN AREA MORE CONDUCIVE TO INTENSIFICATION. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS CONTINUING TO BE STEERED BY EASTERLY FLOW FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO ITS SOUTH. THIS INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// BT #6326 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3604 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626044-18026>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 10:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA46308; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:10:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7458765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:10:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA46136 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:09:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:09:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110209.UAA23867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:09:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34f0fe4cbc82a09dcd905be5016978cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 303 WTPS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMM1T,TD DAHAVEREQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 017 ?(TFQ TROPACAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS B;FTM? I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626409-18024>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 10:47:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA21396; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:46:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7459114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:46:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17534 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:46:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:46:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110246.UAA23905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:46:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17d5b0e1d619cc27fa4e20424b911126 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 935 WTPS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 14.8S3 161.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 161.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 14.5S0 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 14.7S2 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.9S4 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.0S6 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 14.7S2 161.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 101204Z8 SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12-HOURS THEN TURN TO A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT STEERING FLOW SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA13600110237 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626464-18017>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 10:49:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA17638; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:48:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7459121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:48:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17612 for ; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:48:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:48:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110248.UAA23913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 20:48:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7efb30b0897f1fe17a98cf89058716e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 936 WTPS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCA1360 UNCLAS //NO3145// 110000Z2 --- 14.8S3 161.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 161.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 14.5S0 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA1360 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 14.7S2 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.9S4 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCA1360 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.0S6 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 14.7S2 161.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 101204Z8 SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY PAGE 05 RUEOMCA1360 UNCLAS //NO3145// WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12-HOURS THEN TURN TO A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT STEERING FLOW SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// BT #1360 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4541 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626608-18026>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 14:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36058; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7460691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17334 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110653.AAA24288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:53:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef903babb9a7d39574140149ad55c9aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 655 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8S3 161.7E5 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 17 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S 147E2 HAS BECOME BROAD AND ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HOOVER/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB17900110632 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626613-18017>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 15:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA34716; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:12:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7460757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:12:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA45392 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801110711.BAA24330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 01:11:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a83456749064ad168775777da3fc229c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 981 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8S3 161.7E5 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 17 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S 147E2 HAS BECOME BROAD AND ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629278-18026>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:50:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31364; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:48:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7462152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:48:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA61546 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:48:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:48:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801111448.IAA25011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:48:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e8398e8abf8f3ec442cefdd3df7707a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 157 WTPS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 14.5S0 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 14.4S9 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.5S0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.8S3 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.1S7 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 14.5S0 160.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEMS STEERING CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 24 HOURS AS LATITUDE IS LOST AND UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS ENCOUNTERED. AFTERWARDS, WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED SLIGHTLY BEHIND TC 12P (KATRINA), THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO REGAIN SOME LATITUDE AND SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB20930111445 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629271-18024>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:53:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31362; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:51:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7462168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:51:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA31338 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:51:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:51:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801111451.IAA25023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 08:51:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06792e639619a4ab4cee2168b1e5ad26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 211 WTPS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUEDMCB2093 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 14.5S0 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 14.4S9 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2093 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.5S0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.8S3 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2093 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.1S7 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 14.5S0 160.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM'S STEERING CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 24 HOURS AS LATITUDE IS LOST AND UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS ENCOUNTERED. AFTERWARDS, WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED SLIGHTLY BEHIND TC 12P (KATRINA), PAGE 05 RUEDMCB2093 UNCLAS //NO3145// THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO REGAIN SOME LATITUDE AND SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// BT #2093 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626930-27035>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 10:25:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA47086; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 20:24:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7466086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 20:23:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA43680 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 20:23:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 20:23:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120223.UAA25903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 20:23:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 916268a1ca7b96520cd1862c824615a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 180 WTPS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 13.5S9 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.2S6 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.0S4 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.0S4 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.0S4 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 13.4S8 159.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEEP RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR NORTH OF THE 200 MB SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ABATE AS THE CYCLONE MOVES FURTHER WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3967 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626955-27034>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA31672; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 21:48:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7466636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 21:47:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA31568 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 21:45:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 21:45:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120345.VAA26027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 21:45:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4afc39d56f78110a4861162e3bd109d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 576 WTPS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 13.5S9 159.7E2 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB2471 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.2S6 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2471 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.0S4 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.0S4 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2471 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.0S4 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 13.4S8 159.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEEP RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR NORTH OF THE 200 MB SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ABATE AS THE CYCLONE MOVES FURTHER WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 20 PAGE 05 RUEDMCB2471 UNCLAS //NO3145// FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// BT #2471 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626923-27034>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:28:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA09440; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:27:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7466796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA45510 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:27:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA26079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:27:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120427.WAA26079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 22:27:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec6b45d88247352228ae071fc55c022e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 364 WTPS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 13.5S9 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.2S6 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.0S4 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.0S4 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.0S4 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 13.4S8 159.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 112330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEEP RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR NORTH OF THE 200 MB SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ABATE AS THE CYCLONE MOVES FURTHER WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB24710120339 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626943-27034>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 13:54:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA58000; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7467083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA57976 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120553.XAA26239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:53:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05304c86e5d95d4e9e9dcbbaa9afd74c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 853 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 120151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 159.7E2 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 19 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1958 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-27033>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 14:53:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA34600; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7467341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA51214 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801120652.AAA26334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:52:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20dc3849f7e62d1324d006f3d2bd3da6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 269 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/120151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 159.7E2 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 19 (WTPS31 PGTW)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA23660120646 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-14576>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 22:17:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA18558; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:16:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7469290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:16:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA23120 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:16:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:16:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121416.IAA27015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:16:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fc2c6ca39ffe37bb83fc874ce8be1a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 307 WTPS31 PGTW 121500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 12.8S1 159.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 159.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.5S8 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 12.4S7 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.4S7 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.6S9 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 12.7S0 159.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BECOME QUASISTATIONARY IN THE CORAL SEA. STEERING FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH HAS WEAKENED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT STRENGTHENING OF THE RIDGING DIRECTLY TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE REGAINED BY THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURE AREA, WITH RESULTING NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOVEMENT, WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR REDUCES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-14576>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 22:29:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA43690; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:29:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7469426 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA25488 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:29:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:29:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121429.IAA27032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 08:29:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f45810135b2fa298d2f6515070a524c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 557 WTPS31 PGTW 121500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 12.8S1 159.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 159.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.5S8 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 12.4S7 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.4S7 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.6S9 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 12.7S0 159.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BECOME QUASISTATIONARY IN THE CORAL SEA. STEERING FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH HAS WEAKENED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT STRENGTHENING OF THE RIDGING DIRECTLY TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE REGAINED BY THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURE AREA, WITH RESULTING NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOVEMENT, WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR REDUCES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627101-14574>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 23:22:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA54216; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 09:21:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7469953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 09:21:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12706 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 09:21:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 09:21:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801121521.JAA27136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 09:21:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9507af14ddec90152ffe95e913a41e01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 516 WTPS31 PGTW 121500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 12.8S1 159.2E7 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA3498 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 159.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.5S8 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA3498 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 12.4S7 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.4S7 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA3498 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.6S9 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 12.7S0 159.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BECOME QUASISTATIONARY IN THE CORAL SEA. STEERING FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH HAS WEAKENED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT STRENGTHENING OF THE RIDGING DIRECTLY TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE REGAINED BY THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURE AREA, WITH RESULTING NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOVEMENT, WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR REDUCES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA3498 UNCLAS //NO3145// WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// BT #3498 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-18595>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 09:59:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA20986; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 19:58:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7475034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 19:58:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA10716 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 19:58:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 19:58:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801130158.TAA28095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 19:58:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc38138131e16df67884e50726c9af7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 450 WTPS31 PGTW 130300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 13.3S7 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.5S9 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.7S1 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.8S2 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.8S2 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 13.3S7 157.5E8 LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS CONTINUED ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 6 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 122330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 12P (KATRINA) HAS REMAINED IN AN AREA EQUATORWARD OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST WHICH HAS INHIBITED FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOSTLY TOWARDS THE WEST AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-18595>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 10:52:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA21928; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 20:51:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7475492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 20:51:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32654 for ; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 20:51:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 20:51:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801130251.UAA28188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 20:51:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fe5ad82075ce403104e7ca3a61d363c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 WTPS31 PGTW 130300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5533 UNCLAS //NO3145// 130000Z4 --- 13.3S7 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.5S9 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5533 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.7S1 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.8S2 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5533 UNCLAS //NO3145// EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.8S2 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 13.3S7 157.5E8 LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS CONTINUED ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 6 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 122330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 12P (KATRINA) HAS REMAINED IN AN AREA EQUATORWARD OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5533 UNCLAS //NO3145// THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST WHICH HAS INHIBITED FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOSTLY TOWARDS THE WEST AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// BT #5533 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2940 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627227-18600>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 14:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12072; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:49:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7476576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:48:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA12004 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:09:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:09:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801130609.AAA28523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:09:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39e136d76ecce8c75100c071744bb18a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 159 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 130151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3S7 157.8E1 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTPS31 PGTW 130300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627463-18600>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:17:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA15284; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 08:15:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7478154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 08:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA14294 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 08:12:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 08:12:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801131412.IAA29184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 08:12:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f6e810586c0bb451fecc6f99f056868 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 736 WTPS31 PGTW 131500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 13.8S2 155.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.8S2 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.8S2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.9S3 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.1S6 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 13.8S2 154.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE SPEED, HOWEVER, SHOULD DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH INDUCES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) NEARS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, OUTFLOW ALOFT SHOULD IMPROVE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY TO STEADILY INCREASE AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627456-18595>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 23:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA15744; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 09:32:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7478787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 09:32:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA05726 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 09:32:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA29300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 09:32:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801131532.JAA29300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 09:32:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e7d82635cad065dc720f829b811aa28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 263 WTPS31 PGTW 131500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 13.8S2 155.0E1 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC0163 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.8S2 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0163 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.8S2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.9S3 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0163 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.1S6 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 13.8S2 154.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE SPEED, HOWEVER, SHOULD DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH INDUCES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0163 UNCLAS //NO3145// (KATRINA) NEARS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, OUTFLOW ALOFT SHOULD IMPROVE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY TO STEADILY INCREASE AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// BT #0163 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-7159>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 10:47:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA19944; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 20:46:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7483845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 20:45:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA20668 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 20:45:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 20:45:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801140245.UAA00307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 20:45:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 153d63a593f159ba6b42bebeb5fcbc14 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 538 WTPS31 PGTW 140300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 13.8S2 153.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 153.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.8S2 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.0S5 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.3S8 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.6S1 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 13.8S2 152.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-7163>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 11:44:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17168; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:42:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7483954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:41:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA15864 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:41:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:41:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801140341.VAA00382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:41:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07f954993f1bea948bf032d22533a4af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 649 WTPS31 PGTW 140300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY HONIARA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0627 UNCLAS //NO3145// 140000Z5 --- 13.8S2 153.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 153.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.8S2 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0627 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.0S5 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.3S8 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0627 UNCLAS //NO3145// EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.6S1 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 13.8S2 152.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-7161>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 12:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA20698; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7484279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA10936 for ; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801140452.WAA00473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:52:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c3c52dde98768a0e209d91fd01dd476 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 030 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 140151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 153.0E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 23 (WTPS31 PGTW 140300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178W6. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOOSELY ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HILDEBRAND/SMITH/HATFIELD/ PATTERSON/JONES/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627509-7159>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 21:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA17458; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 07:40:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7486448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 07:40:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA22524 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 07:40:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 07:40:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801141340.HAA01332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 07:40:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bf035468a78e7c56854d89560f3066e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 323 WTPS31 PGTW 141500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCHJA >CZPRIJA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SURTAIL?D GINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 13.5S9 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.6S0 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.8S2 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.2S7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.7S2 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 13.5S9 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM HAS STEADILY DECREASED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, THEREFORE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOW IN FORWARD SPEED AND TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGING BUILDS IN SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION WHILE CONTINUING TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) SHOULD REMAIN AT APPROXIMATELY THE SAME INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT SHOULD INTENSIFY SOME AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT WILL BE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1314 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627886-7159>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:02:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA12784; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 09:00:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7486894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 08:59:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA20634 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 08:59:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 08:59:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801141459.IAA01428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 08:59:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94209b91263acbe2c02612298e908c78 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 745 WTPS31 PGTW 141500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 13.5S9 151.5E2 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA0404 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.6S0 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0404 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.8S2 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.2S7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0404 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.7S2 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 13.5S9 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM HAS STEADILY DECREASED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, THEREFORE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0404 UNCLAS //NO3145// (KATRINA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOW IN FORWARD SPEED AND TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGING BUILDS IN SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION WHILE CONTINUING TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) SHOULD REMAIN AT APPROXIMATELY THE SAME INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT SHOULD INTENSIFY SOME AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT WILL BE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// BT #0404 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626118-27034>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA15462; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 20:34:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7492332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 20:33:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA11812 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 20:33:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 20:33:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801150233.UAA02903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 20:33:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 681a2ed57062059f7085e0ba97a6b1dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 306 WTPS31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 13.5S9 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.6S0 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.0S5 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.5S0 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.2S8 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 13.5S9 150.0E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPLEMENTED BY 141939Z7 MICROWAVE DATA. 141939Z7 MICROWAVE DATA REVEALS AN EYE FORMING BENEATH THE CIRRUS OVERCAST AT THE SYSTEM CENTER AND A SEPARATE SPIRAL BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERTURES HAVE COOLED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS. AFTER 12 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND A LACK OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED FROM THE LAST WARNING BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 141939Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4002 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626142-27033>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 12:43:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA22834; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 22:42:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7493007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 22:41:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA11532 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 22:41:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 22:41:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801150441.WAA03116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 22:41:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d07d7c7d57ba601a2e480ce6b96942e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 642 WTPS31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 13.5S9 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUEDMCA3966 UNCLAS //NO3145// PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.6S0 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3966 UNCLAS //NO3145// 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.0S5 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.5S0 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3966 UNCLAS //NO3145// 170000Z8 --- 15.2S8 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 13.5S9 150.0E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPLEMENTED BY 141939Z7 MICROWAVE DATA. 141939Z7 MICROWAVE DATA REVEALS AN EYE FORMING BENEATH THE CIRRUS OVERCAST AT THE SYSTEM CENTER AND A SEPARATE SPIRAL BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERTURES HAVE COOLED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS. AFTER 12 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST- PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3966 UNCLAS //NO3145// SOUTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND A LACK OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED FROM THE LAST WARNING BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 141939Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// BT #3966 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1024 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626581-27027>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 13:34:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA04588; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7493108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA17588 for ; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801150531.XAA03159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 23:31:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94f2b9870c3f9b5873c6314591451676 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 668 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 140151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 150.3E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 25 (WTPS31 PGTW 150300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178W6 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3302 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628035-28938>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 00:11:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA11250; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:07:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7495649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:04:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA15116 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:04:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:03:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801151603.KAA04124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:03:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b03b5379fb54770039a2c000b2b98289 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 814 WTPS31 PGTW 151500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 14.0S5 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.5S0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 15.1S7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.8S4 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.5S2 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 14.1S6 149.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S EYE HAS BECOME CLOUD FILLED AND IS CURRENTLY ALMOST INDISCERNIBLE AMONGST THE SURROUNDING CLOUD FEATURES. CONTINUED INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A OVERALL TREND OF SLOW INTENSIFICATION. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE MODULATED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. CURRENT RADII BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151024Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628037-28938>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 00:12:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA16646; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:10:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7495730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:10:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA15900 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:08:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA04129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:08:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801151608.KAA04129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:08:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82e367e658355962651c11a9cab9dcb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 959 WTPS31 PGTW 151500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 14.0S5 149.8E2 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0225 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.5S0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0225 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 15.1S7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.8S4 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0225 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.5S2 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 14.1S6 149.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM'S EYE HAS BECOME CLOUD FILLED AND IS CURRENTLY ALMOST INDISCERNIBLE AMONGST THE SURROUNDING CLOUD FEATURES. CONTINUED INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A OVERALL TREND OF SLOW INTENSIFICATION. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE MODULATED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. CURRENT RADII BASED ON PAGE 05 RUEDMCB0225 UNCLAS //NO3145// CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151024Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// BT #0225 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2679 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626436-17317>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 10:45:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA25150; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 20:44:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7500173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 20:44:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23064 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 20:44:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 20:44:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801160244.UAA05650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 20:44:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 81ba654c97a0780b3f3e4c8c03bc89bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 WTPS31 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 14.8S3 149.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 149.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 15.6S2 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.2S9 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.7S4 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.8S5 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 15.0S6 149.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 152330Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AUGMENTED BY 151927Z 5 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P=S (KATRINA) EYE IS NO LO NGER DISCERNABLE IN VISIBLE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626611-17319>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:15:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24232; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 21:14:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7500365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 21:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA16958 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 21:13:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 21:12:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801160312.VAA05689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 21:12:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4337176ee8d3742d3792afb8b0f3bcf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 742 WTPS31 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 14.8S3 149.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 02 RUEDMCA8058 UNCLAS //NO3145// PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 149.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 15.6S2 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.2S9 148.1E4 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA8058 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.7S4 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.8S5 146.1E2 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA8058 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 15.0S6 149.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON BT #8058 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-17321>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 13:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA14486; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:56:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7501139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:56:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA19792 for ; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801160555.XAA05919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 23:55:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a021ba98e0e8f2b151816287df6c052 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 748 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 160151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8S3 149.2E6 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 27 (WTPS31 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MALMQUIST/EIBLING/DOBBINS/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3733 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626773-28906>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 22:23:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA24296; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 08:21:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7503323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 08:21:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA22470 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 08:21:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 08:21:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801161421.IAA06716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 08:21:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7edd5a6e75a921e7517473cea34db32 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 559 WTPS31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 15.8S4 149.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 149.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.6S3 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.1S9 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.4S2 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.5S3 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 16.0S7 149.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS DIRECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE VEERING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENING SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO LESSEN DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD HINDER FURTHER SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151100Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2717 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626627-28907>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:15:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA05810; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 09:14:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7503726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 09:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA13216 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 09:14:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 09:14:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801161514.JAA06800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 09:14:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2449f31213b1d3f6f7ae546fce1c6a77 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 452 WTPS31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 15.8S4 149.2E6 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA8783 UNCLAS //NO3145// MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 149.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.6S3 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA8783 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.1S9 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.4S2 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEOMCA8783 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.5S3 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 16.0S7 149.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS DIRECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE VEERING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENING SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING UPPER-LEVEL PAGE 05 RUEOMCA8783 UNCLAS //NO3145// SHEAR. THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO LESSEN DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD HINDER FURTHER SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151100Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8).// BT #8783 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627890-5897>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 10:52:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12706; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 20:51:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7509113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 20:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA23180 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 20:51:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA08317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 20:50:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801170250.UAA08317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 20:50:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa7ef729626f3c140bbfd75554c54f93 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 786 WTPS31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 16.1S8 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.7S4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.3S1 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.6S4 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.7S5 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 16.3S0 149.0E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162330Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 77 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299) AND HOLMES REEF (WMO 94289). TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOSTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHEN THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AS IT ENCOUNTERS LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627066-5893>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 11:48:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11616; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 21:48:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7509309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 21:47:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA11076 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 21:47:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 21:47:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801170347.VAA08386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 21:47:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec9f08d1ef32dc02e58e72e0d87f8037 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 848 WTPS31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 16.1S8 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6506 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.7S4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6506 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.3S1 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.6S4 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6506 UNCLAS 190000Z0 --- 17.7S5 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 16.3S0 149.0E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 162330Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 77 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299) AND HOLMES REEF (WMO 94289). TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOSTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6506 UNCLAS PERIOD WHEN THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AS IT ENCOUNTERS LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6).// BT #6506 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628194-21625>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 13:37:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21592; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7510159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21796 for ; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801170536.XAA08508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 23:36:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 011afdb9f2be60e54e04f45f0a523498 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 950 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 170151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1S8 149.1E5, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 29 (WTPS31 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4730 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628243-21627>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 22:39:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA05818; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:38:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7512201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:36:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAB22398 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:36:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:36:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801171436.IAA09344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:36:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb822ca93bd016d4b9c6387953ccced2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 981 WTPS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 16.9S6 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.5S3 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.8S6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9S7 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.0S9 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.1S9 148.1E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS SHOWN EVIDENCE OF WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TURN SHOULD OCCUR BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS DUE TO THE RE- DEVELOPMENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, THE MOVEMENT SHOULD BE SLOW DURING THE PERIOD AS THE STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITH TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3381 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628249-21624>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA23810; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 09:32:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7512504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 09:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18926 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 09:32:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 09:32:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801171532.JAA09407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 09:32:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 70ad0fe948e9dac81105643f04643b45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 036 WTPS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 16.9S6 148.2E5 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.5S3 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.8S6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9S7 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.0S9 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.1S9 148.1E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS SHOWN PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8494 UNCLAS EVIDENCE OF WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TURN SHOULD OCCUR BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS DUE TO THE RE- DEVELOPMENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, THE MOVEMENT SHOULD BE SLOW DURING THE PERIOD AS THE STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITH TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// BT #8494 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2991 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625939-484>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:44:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA19364; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 20:43:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7516300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 20:43:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19288 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 20:38:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 20:38:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180238.UAA10301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 20:38:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84fd9606232116138d224e1417a40146 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.7S4 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.9S6 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0S8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1S9 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.2S0 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.7S4 148.1E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND 172330Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM HOLMES REEF (WMO 94289) AND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4972 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-483>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 11:25:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA22140; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 21:24:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7516574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 21:23:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21562 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 21:23:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 21:23:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180323.VAA10348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 21:23:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16801d321f9b6469cf67704c9fb71f82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 WTPS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.7S4 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9972 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.9S6 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9972 UNCLAS 190000Z0 --- 17.0S8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1S9 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9972 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.2S0 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.7S4 148.1E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND 172330Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9972 UNCLAS SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM HOLMES REEF (WMO 94289) AND FLINDERS REEF (WMO 94290). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 12P IS ENCOUNTERING STRONG SHEAR FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED CLOSE TO THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER WHICH INDICATES THE WINDS FROM THE WEST HAVE WEAKENED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST IS IMPROVING. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL EASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA WITH LESS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD TC 12P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9972 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626092-484>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 13:48:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22364; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:47:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7517255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:47:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18470 for ; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801180546.XAA10550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 23:46:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab5469ca8b043b69fb0c408a8d566cd7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 302 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 180151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.7S4 148.2E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 31 (WTPS31 PGTW 180300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2595 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628381-485>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 00:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA10954; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:39:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:39:20 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA18652 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:32:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22387 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 07:24:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 07:22:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801181322.HAA11269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 07:22:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1db28d241279c2aecdc6cc1223eb52f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 570 WTPS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 032 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 16.7S4 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0S8 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.5S3 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.0S9 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.8S7 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 16.8S5 149.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THIS IS A DISTINCT CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK, HENCE THE RELOCATION. NUMEROUS RADAR REPORTS FROM WMO NUMBER 94299, SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASSES, AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 94299 AND 94289 ALL INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CHANGED FROM A SLOW WESTWARD COURSE TO AN EASTERLY ONE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 181102Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE I IMAGERY, A 181000Z0 RADAR OBSERVATION FROM WILLIS ISLAND (94299) AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM HOLMES REEF (94289) AND WILLIS ISLAND. HOLMES REEF (94299) INDICATED 50 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS AT 180300Z2 AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE (KATRINA) CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED DURING THIS TIME. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF THESE OBSERVATIONS AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. CURRENTLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING. THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITHIN 24 HOURS RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM SLOWING DOWN. IT SHOULD BEGIN TURNING SOUTHWARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628377-485>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 00:40:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA10920; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:39:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7519247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:39:05 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA22178 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 10:31:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25095 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:20:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801181517.JAA11404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:17:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da313f1b837403f4df64629eafb9272c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 824 WTPS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 032 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 16.7S4 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1135 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0S8 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 03 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1135 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.5S3 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.0S9 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.8S7 150.5E1 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1135 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 16.8S5 149.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS BEEN TRACKING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THIS IS A DISTINCT CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK, HENCE THE RELOCATION. NUMEROUS RADAR REPORTS FROM WMO NUMBER 94299, SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASSES, AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 94299 AND 94289 ALL INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CHANGED FROM A SLOW WESTWARD COURSE TO AN EASTERLY ONE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF 181102Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE I IMAGERY, A 181000Z0 RADAR OBSERVATION FROM WILLIS ISLAND (94299) AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM HOLMES REEF (94289) AND WILLIS ISLAND. HOLMES REEF (94299) INDICATED 50 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS AT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1135 UNCLAS 180300Z2 AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE (KATRINA) CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED DURING THIS TIME. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF THESE OBSERVATIONS AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. CURRENTLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS BEING STEERED BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING. THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITHIN 24 HOURS RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM SLOWING DOWN. IT SHOULD BEGIN TURNING SOUTHWARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1135 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628954-12933>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 10:30:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24520; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:29:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7522688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:29:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA17076 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190228.UAA12583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f40c7f3e80ce21cd837b3cfe3054671e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.9S6 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1S9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.6S4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.2S1 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.9S8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 17.0S8 150.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS CONTINUED MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TC 12P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2618 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626404-12932>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 10:30:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21136; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:29:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7522681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24366 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA12587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190228.UAA12587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 20:28:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d89e188b5db5bc59105b7151844bcbc3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 414 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.9S6 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1S9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.6S4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.2S1 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.9S8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 17.0S8 150.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS CONTINUED MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TC 12P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628970-12935>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 11:46:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25674; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:44:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7523301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:44:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19616 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:38:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:38:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190338.VAA12686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 21:38:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ae580963e3f299fad6b85b60fabe6d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 795 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.9S6 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2378 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1S9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 03 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2378 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.6S4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.2S1 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.9S8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2378 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 17.0S8 150.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS CONTINUED MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TC 12P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2378 UNCLAS IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2378 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629027-12932>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 13:56:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21692; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:55:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7524041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18734 for ; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801190553.XAA12889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 23:53:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd1dabc1a9b9f5506cb76b9c3ce4c7e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 168 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9S4 150.0E6, MOVING EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NUMBER 33 (WTPS31 PGTW 190300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629089-12932>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:59:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19106; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:57:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7525565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:57:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA22002 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:54:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:54:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801191354.HAA13630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 07:54:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ece9a9d366c2f7263f56e857eb2632c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 223 WTPS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 17.9S7 151.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 151.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.1S1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.1S3 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.0S3 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.9S2 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 18.2S1 151.9E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO NUMBERS 94296, 94290 AND 94299. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE SOUTHWARD TURN BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH IS FORECASTED TO OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THIS WEAKNESS ALLOWING FOR SOME SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629083-12926>; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 22:44:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA25138; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:42:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7526108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:42:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA12298 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:41:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:41:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801191441.IAA13705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:41:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cecaf42567a19b7336e3db4da3740165 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 195 WTPS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 17.9S7 151.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3704 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 151.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.1S1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3704 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.1S3 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.0S3 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3704 UNCLAS 211200Z6 --- 21.9S2 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 18.2S1 151.9E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO NUMBERS 94296, 94290 AND 94299. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE SOUTHWARD TURN BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH IS FORECASTED TO OCCUR. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO THIS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3704 UNCLAS WEAKNESS ALLOWING FOR SOME SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3704 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626433-380>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:20:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA11664; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 20:17:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7531720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 20:16:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA23122 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 20:16:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 20:16:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801200216.UAA14641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 20:16:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 666de5f5287f36fd90c7f6965cdd615b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 432 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 18.7S6 152.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 152.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.8S8 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.7S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.6S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.4S8 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 19.0S0 152.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION, WIND RADII AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO=S 94296 AND 94298. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD AT A DECREASING SPEED AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAKENED STEERING FLOW WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4948 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-374>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 11:19:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA20788; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:18:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7532049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA13062 for ; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA14702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801200317.VAA14702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0358509e4fa75ded23c1e16ea9052c67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 550 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 18.7S6 152.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5045 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 152.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.8S8 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5045 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.7S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.6S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5045 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.4S8 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 19.0S0 152.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION, WIND RADII AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO'S 94296 AND 94298. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD AT A DECREASING SPEED AS IT ENTERS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAKENED STEERING FLOW WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5045 UNCLAS TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5045 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1729 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626651-380>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 15:12:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA07154; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:11:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7533571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:11:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21956 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:11:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:10:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801200710.BAA15059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:10:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5946a87016989bbd052021b3787c908 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 191 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 200151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 18.7S6 152.8E6, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 35 (WTPS31 PGTW 200300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628227-380>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 22:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA11376; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:35:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7535310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:35:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA05700 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:35:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:35:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801201435.IAA15676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:35:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a363b95bb681631069350e4009ff281d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 470 WTPS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 20.0S2 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.4S7 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.2S6 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.8S2 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.4S9 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 20.3S5 154.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT ENTERS THE LIGHT STEERING CURRENTS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WE EXPECT 12P TO BEGIN WEAKENING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. OUR WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201230Z8 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, WHICH SHOWS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED, TIGHTLY WRAPPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WE BELIEVE THE COMPLETE LOSS OF CONVECTION WHICH WE ARE CURRENTLY OBSERVING TO BE ONLY TEMPORARY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629164-380>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 00:21:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA12544; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:18:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7536622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:18:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA19170 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:18:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA15827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:17:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801201617.KAA15827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 10:17:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 518e9497c4d3aa9f951db0d23fc0a9bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 491 WTPS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 20.0S2 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 11 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7034 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.4S7 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7034 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.2S6 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.8S2 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.4S9 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7034 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 20.3S5 154.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT ENTERS THE LIGHT STEERING CURRENTS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WE EXPECT 12P TO BEGIN WEAKENING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. OUR WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201230Z8 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, WHICH SHOWS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED, TIGHTLY WRAPPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WE BELIEVE THE COMPLETE LOSS OF CONVECTION WHICH WE ARE CURRENTLY OBSERVING TO BE ONLY TEMPORARY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// BT #7034 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-26385>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 10:22:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA21598; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:17:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7543047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:17:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16180 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:17:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:17:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210217.UAA16883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:17:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 445019e8c1ea0252c8e6c00c24beee09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 059 WTPS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 20.9S1 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S1 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.7S0 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.4S8 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.7S1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.8S2 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 21.1S4 154.2E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT SHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY. ALTHOUGH IT HAS REDEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION, TC 12P (KATRINA) IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND AFTERWARDS AS IT TURNS WESTWARD. FORWARD MOVEMENT IS FORECAST TO BE SLOW AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-26382>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 10:25:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26510; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:21:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7543076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:20:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26742 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:20:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:20:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210220.UAA16889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:20:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd4a001621f28c9cd1f5bab9d8d81afc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 WTPS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 20.9S1 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S1 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.7S0 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.4S8 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.7S1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.8S2 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 21.1S4 154.2E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT SHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY. ALTHOUGH IT HAS REDEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION, TC 12P (KATRINA) IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND AFTERWARDS AS IT TURNS WESTWARD. FORWARD MOVEMENT IS FORECAST TO BE SLOW AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-26384>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 10:52:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18804; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:47:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7543528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:47:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12896 for ; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:47:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:47:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210247.UAA16934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:47:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e39e830674e8cfe5534ef1124813801f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 514 WTPS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 20.9S1 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8955 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S1 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.7S0 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.4S8 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8955 UNCLAS 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.7S1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.8S2 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 21.1S4 154.2E2 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8955 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT SHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY. ALTHOUGH IT HAS REDEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION, TC 12P (KATRINA) IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND AFTERWARDS AS IT TURNS WESTWARD. FORWARD MOVEMENT IS FORECAST TO BE SLOW AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// BT #8955 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626982-26384>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 15:31:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14844; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:28:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7545197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18892 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801210727.BAA17347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 01:27:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90cfc6df7c76ea81b09c5e7055217b71 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 920 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 210151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 20.9S1 154.2E2, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 37 (WTPS31 PGTW 210300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE ELONGATED TROUGHING AND POSSIBLE CIRCULATION WITHIN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. CONVECTION HAS SUSTAINED FOR OVER 24 HOURS ALTHOUGH REMAINS UNORGANIZED. DEEP CONVECTION IS FAIRLY NEW, HAVING FORMED WITHIN PAST 12 HOURS. CYCLONIC VORTICITY HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR SEVERAL DAYS BUT ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE ORGANIZATION OF SURFACE CU LINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-9475>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:15:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA14310; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:13:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7546619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA19122 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:05:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:05:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801211405.IAA17946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:05:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cab26f9c2f14cb1641021b9da34e238d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 681 WTPS31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 21.1S4 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.1S4 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.5S8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0S4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.5S9 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.3S8 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 21.2S5 154.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4808 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627064-9476>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 23:22:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19114; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:12:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7547357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA16252 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA18058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801211511.JAA18058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 09:11:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec6d6ac7d06ceb80fccc798f2838e735 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 WTPS31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 21.1S4 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1330 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.1S4 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.5S8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0S4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.5S9 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1330 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.3S8 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 21.2S5 154.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TC 12P (KATRINA) IS EXPECTED TO PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1330 UNCLAS WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// BT #1330 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626363-18418>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 10:29:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18012; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:26:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7553950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:25:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA12090 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:25:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA19289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:25:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801220225.UAA19289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:25:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 27a4c18e1161b3d2906192ff1204d7f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 167 WTPS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 21.9S2 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0S4 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.2S6 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.4S8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.8S2 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 21.9S2 155.3E4 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATLLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS MOVED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627148-18414>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 12:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA04428; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:03:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7554644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26132 for ; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801220402.WAA19446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad4bb01bdb3290da225f7831308ce4e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 837 WTPS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 21.9S2 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3725 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0S4 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.2S6 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3725 UNCLAS 231200Z8 --- 22.4S8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.8S2 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 21.9S2 155.3E4 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATLLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS MOVED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4938 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627168-8099>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 21:13:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19736; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7557376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA24058 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221310.HAA20347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:10:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2be968e4314566bc2b803cc5f4f717cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 855 ABPW10 PGTW 221300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/221300Z/230600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 220151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 21.9S2 155.2E3, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 39 (WTPS31 PGTW 220300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6 IS LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 143.0E8 OVER THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE FORMATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THIS DISTURBANCE. CONVECTION IS SCATTERED AND IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA APPROXIMATELY 75NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. REISSUED TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-8099>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 21:56:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA28154; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:55:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7557641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:55:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17640 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:55:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:55:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221355.HAA20404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 07:55:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f493b391aa9311e7fc4774eab2ebcbc7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 WTPS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 21.9S2 155.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 155.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.2S6 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.5S9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.9S3 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.2S7 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 22.0S4 155.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED IMAGERY. WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND BEGIN DISSIPATING BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627229-8098>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 01:32:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA25212; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:30:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7559766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:29:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA26626 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:29:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:29:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801221729.LAA20843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:29:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42440d57067005baf78777d82a228b02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 410 WTPS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 21.9S2 155.8E9 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6225 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 155.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.2S6 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.5S9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6225 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.9S3 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.2S7 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 22.0S4 155.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED IMAGERY. WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND BEGIN DISSIPATING PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6225 UNCLAS BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5).// BT #6225 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3497 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-10454>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 10:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAB25186; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:20:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7563949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:20:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA24596 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:20:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:20:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801230220.UAA23181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 20:20:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2ff1fa68df4c103d30eebb77b2214ed9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 WTPS31 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 20.2S4 156.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 156.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.4S4 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.8S7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.3S2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.0S9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 20.0S2 156.0E LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS TAKEN A TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A WELL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED AS THE SYSTEMS CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A NORTHERLY COURSE THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS IT IS EXPECTED THAT HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH WILL STEER THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER MODERATE SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-10454>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 13:23:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24748; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:21:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7565082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:20:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17528 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:20:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:20:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801230520.XAA23434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:20:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6440210e00a1b0e3eafee6d21dcf2e33 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 368 WTPS31 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 20.2S4 156.0E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8592 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 156.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.4S4 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.8S7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8592 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.3S2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.0S9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 20.0S2 156.0E LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) HAS TAKEN A TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A WELL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE WARNING PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8592 UNCLAS INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED AS THE SYSTEMS CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A NORTHERLY COURSE THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS IT IS EXPECTED THAT HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE SOUTH WILL STEER THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER MODERATE SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3).// BT #8592 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-10454>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 13:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA23928; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7565136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA26720 for ; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801230533.XAA23443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 23:33:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4ddd0ce4433b3a9a1c81017e9c8d361 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 574 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 230151ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 20.2S4 156.0E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 41 (WTPS31 PGTW 230300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 141E6 HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE WEST AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2. THIS CONVECTION IS DUE TO LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A DISTINCTIVE CIRCULATION THAT IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80NM INLAND OF THE EASTERN GULF OF CARPENTAR IA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND S YNOPTIC DATA, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/JONES/PATTERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627430-10454>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 22:22:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21894; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:18:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7567648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:18:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24414 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:18:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:18:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801231418.IAA24214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:18:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aaaca281c2b9bd7b07372c4f1f20894b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 812 WTPS31 PGTW 231500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 18.9S8 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.8S6 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.8S5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.9S5 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 18.6S5 155.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, DISSIPATING BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-10457>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 23:01:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17880; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:44:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7567982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:44:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26044 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:44:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:44:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801231444.IAA24253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:44:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 321b13c4f1f3a347181046bd4a74c526 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 220 WTPS31 PGTW 231500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 18.9S8 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0520 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.8S6 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.8S5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.9S5 154.9E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0520 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 18.6S5 155.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, DISSIPATING BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6).// BT #0520 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1713 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-10457>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 22:59:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21834; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:45:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7567991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA24078 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:45:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:45:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801231445.IAA24259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:45:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 659377229ea6a2ef9f8a8dc2b8ff1d03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 221 WTPS22 PGTW 231500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 231353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 190 NM RADIUS OF 13.4S8 140.8E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 231130Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 141.7E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIN CENTER IS TRACKING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. 231102Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA INDICATES A SPIRAL BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION FORMING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627412-10461>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 23:47:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA25728; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 09:45:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7568504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 09:44:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA24630 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 09:44:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 09:44:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801231544.JAA24365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 09:44:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17baddaa3c0884238b0adbaaef596e3a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 413 WTPS22 PGTW 231500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 231353Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 190 NM RADIUS OF 13.4S8 140.8E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 231130Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 141.7E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0624 UNCLAS 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIN CENTER IS TRACKING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. 231102Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER DATA INDICATES A SPIRAL BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION FORMING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241500Z2.// BT #0624 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626040-27094>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:34:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA18752; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 20:33:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7574975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 20:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA25898 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 20:32:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 20:32:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240232.UAA26542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 20:32:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdb598a64b8c27ab3494aa6e5a7cd081 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 WTPS32 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231453Z JA N 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 231500 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 13.5S9 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 12.9S2 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.7S0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.5S8 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.4S7 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 13.3S7 138.0E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. RIDGING DUE SOUTH OF TC 14P IS DOMINATING STEERING. THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO SLOW AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. SOME INTENSIFICATION OF TC 14P IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO BECOMING SUBJECT TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231453Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 231500). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3537 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-27089>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 11:32:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26006; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 21:30:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7575085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 21:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19794 for ; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 21:29:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 21:29:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240329.VAA26625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 21:29:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dce590811e28c913e5569cdce75fcc5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 121 WTPS31 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 18.0S9 153.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S9 153.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.7S5 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 17.9S7 153.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED DEEP CONVECTION. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 232330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3198 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626277-27089>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:10:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26736; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:09:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7575788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25110 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240608.AAA26903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f9b9abe75b7ac3beba0f5b00ee4c62a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 951 WTPS32 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231453Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 231500 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3738 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 13.5S9 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 12.9S2 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.7S0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3738 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.5S8 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.4S7 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 13.3S7 138.0E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. RIDGING DUE SOUTH OF TC 14P IS DOMINATING STEERING. THIS EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO SLOW AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. SOME INTENSIFICATION OF TC 14P IS EXPECTED PRIOR PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3738 UNCLAS TO BECOMING SUBJECT TO LAND INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231453Z JAN 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 231500). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// BT #3738 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3229 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626281-27092>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:10:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26776; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:09:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7575793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:09:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25122 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240608.AAA26907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:08:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04db5b460672f910a3d11fd982cbce29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 952 WTPS31 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 18.0S9 153.9E8 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3744 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S9 153.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.7S5 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 17.9S7 153.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED DEEP CONVECTION. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 232330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3744 UNCLAS IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3744 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4445 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-27089>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:20:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18856; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7575921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA14230 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240619.AAA26921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:19:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec0b6f26cb502b43e2f2bf4bcddf70fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 300 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 240151ZJAN98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 240153ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WAS LOCATED AT 18.0S9 153.9E8, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNING NUMBER 43 (WTPS31 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 138.5E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNING NUMBER 01 (WTPS32 240300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AS NOTED IN PARA 2.A.(2) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626416-27092>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 16:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA10804; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:34:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7576147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA19746 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:34:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:34:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240834.CAA27061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:34:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b117c6fbaa04380494fa810c8a0d030d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 807 WTPS32 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 13.7S1 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 13.6S0 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.5S9 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.5S9 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.5S9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 13.5S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 13.7S1 138.0E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. HOWEVER, AS THIS RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY, TC 14P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD SLOWLY. TC 14P IS ANTICPATED TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BEFORE INTERACTING WITH LAND BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 240530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2914 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-27089>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 17:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19802; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:59:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7576243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14664 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:59:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:59:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801240859.CAA27090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:59:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e7d51497c082d9470f098ea3719180c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 124 WTPS32 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4528 UNCLAS 240600Z2 --- 13.7S1 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 13.6S0 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.5S9 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4528 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.5S9 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.5S9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 13.5S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4528 UNCLAS 240900Z5 POSITION 13.7S1 138.0E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW OF THE RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. HOWEVER, AS THIS RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY, TC 14P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD SLOWLY. TC 14P IS ANTICPATED TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BEFORE INTERACTING WITH LAND BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 240530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2).// BT #4528 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627070-27086>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 22:27:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA12576; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:22:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7577218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:21:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20742 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:21:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:21:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241421.IAA27597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:21:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9fe59bf1554606647f84443562fb183 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 315 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 13.9S3 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 13.9S3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.9S3 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.9S3 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.0S5 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 13.9S3 137.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241130Z1 ENHANC ED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 240954Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. TROP ICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING AT ITS PRESENT SPEE D THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 12 HOURS, THE STEERING BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD WEAKEN DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE. TROPIC AL CYCLONE 14P (LES) SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 25075 3Z2) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627261-27089>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 23:09:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA26608; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:08:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7577409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:08:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14298 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:08:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:08:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241508.JAA27680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 09:08:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7e0edb59944f40a3a15679add2bd856 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 155 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5333 UNCLAS 241200Z9 --- 13.9S3 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 13.9S3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5333 UNCLAS 251200Z0 --- 13.9S3 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.9S3 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.0S5 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 13.9S3 137.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241130Z1 ENHANC PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5333 UNCLAS ED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 240954Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. TROP ICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING AT ITS PRESENT SPEE D THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 12 HOURS, THE STEERING BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD WEAKEN DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE. TROPIC AL CYCLONE 14P (LES) SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 25075 3Z2) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9).// BT #5333 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3043 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627505-27092>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 03:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA27880; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 13:48:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7578746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 13:48:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA12742 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 13:47:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 13:47:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801241947.NAA28094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 13:47:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9a56107c1ab7a22e4c4b6b85caec56b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 WTPS32 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 14.2S7 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.7S2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.0S6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.2S8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.3S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 14.3S8 136.7E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241830Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO CONTINUE IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 36 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. THIS SHOULD CAUSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P=S (LES) FORWARD MOTION TO SLOW DOWN AND EVENTUALLY TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH 24 HOURS. BY 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WHICH WILL CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE LAND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z ARE 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627493-27094>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:07:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA25104; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:06:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7578882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:06:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA16892 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:06:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:05:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801242005.OAA28137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:05:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fe2fef2d59ea89f4f1806a508898d36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 995 WTPS32 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 14.2S7 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5847 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.7S2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.0S6 135.5E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5847 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.2S8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.3S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 14.3S8 136.7E7 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5847 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241830Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO CONTINUE IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 36 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. THIS SHOULD CAUSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P'S (LES) FORWARD MOTION TO SLOW DOWN AND EVENTUALLY TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH 24 HOURS. BY 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WHICH WILL CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE LAND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z ARE 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5847 UNCLAS BT #5847 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1226 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627512-27094>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:29:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22104; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:28:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7579057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA17474 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:28:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:28:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801242028.OAA28176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:28:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8dcef3f0fd0b860e05cdc7ed3236347 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 WTPS32 PGTW 242100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 14.2S7 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.7S2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.0S6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.2S8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.3S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 14.3S8 136.7E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO CONTINUE IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 36 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. THIS SHOULD CAUSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P=S (LES) FORWARD MOTION TO SLOW DOWN AND EVENTUALLY TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH 24 HOURS. BY 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WHICH WILL CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE LAND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: THE SATELLITE IMAGE TIME FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) AND MANNOP HEADER FOR 15S.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2568 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627523-27089>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 05:20:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA17460; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7579247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA18952 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801242117.PAA28268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 15:17:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a67acbe3d5c0f9031426cb91868ed27 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 185 WTPS32 PGTW 242100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 14.2S7 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5958 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.7S2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.0S6 135.5E4 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5958 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.2S8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.3S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 14.3S8 136.7E7 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5958 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO CONTINUE IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 36 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. THIS SHOULD CAUSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P'S (LES) FORWARD MOTION TO SLOW DOWN AND EVENTUALLY TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH 24 HOURS. BY 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WHICH WILL CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE LAND BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5958 UNCLAS FOR COR: THE SATELLITE IMAGE TIME FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) AND MANNOP HEADER FOR 15S.// BT #5958 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626026-9657>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 09:55:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA20886; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 19:55:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7580144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 19:54:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA17484 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 19:54:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 19:54:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250154.TAA28626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 19:54:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8e98210ba91b0442599252f80b50e08d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 14.4S9 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.6S1 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.7S2 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.7S2 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 14.5S0 135.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST. THE INTENSITY IS ANTICIPATED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2745 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-9656>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16696; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:34:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7580422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:34:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA26492 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:32:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:32:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250232.UAA28675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:32:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d78e8a569706e518503b8d57be7eae8a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 236 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6353 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 14.4S9 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.6S1 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6353 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.7S2 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.7S2 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 14.5S0 135.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST. THE INTENSITY IS ANTICIPATED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6353 UNCLAS 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626156-9652>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 10:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA15234; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:42:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7580483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:42:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA18798 for ; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:42:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA28697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:42:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250242.UAA28697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 20:42:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9269722b4404814619c3a863d3efe6a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 14.4S9 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.6S1 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.7S2 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.7S2 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 14.5S0 135.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST. THE INTENSITY IS ANTICIPATED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: DIRECTION OF CURRENT STORM MOVEMENT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3436 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626394-9657>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 14:11:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12764; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7581503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24232 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250610.AAA28999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:10:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ebb3e7efb017e44122e2cad1895c29a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 117 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 250153ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4S9 135.8E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 05 (WTPS32 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626438-9652>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 15:49:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA05774; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:47:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7581701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:47:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15222 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:47:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:47:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250747.BAA29096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:47:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fe74e98ebb8b57da7c017c5ae2e07ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTPS32 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 14.6S1 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.9S4 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.1S7 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 14.7S2 134.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND AND STEADILY WEAKENING. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 250530Z VISIBLE SATELLLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626438-9652>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 16:01:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14760; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:59:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7581719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:59:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17558 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:59:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:59:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801250759.BAA29109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 01:59:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfa49723425392608cbc0cdfc5333611 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 224 WTPS32 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6894 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 14.6S1 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.9S4 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.1S7 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6894 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 14.7S2 134.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND AND STEADILY WEAKENING. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 250530Z VISIBLE SATELLLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6894 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4298 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-9656>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 18:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA15206; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7582280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA12620 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA29463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251058.EAA29463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 04:58:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95de735f08c42ca5a0ba796e9ec5f519 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 216 ABPW10 PGTW 251030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/251030Z/260600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 250753ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250600Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED AT 14.6S1 134.9E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 06 (WTPS32 250900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19S0 151E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KA TRINA). CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO NUMBER 94298 (MARION REEF ) STILL INDICATE 25 KNOT WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CURRENTLY, THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOW ARD A MID- LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM LOCATED OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SHOULD BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINI MUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE RE-DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626784-9652>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 22:28:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04380; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:27:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7582993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA26372 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:27:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251427.IAA29709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:27:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bb8bbd92c013bde0b76338e080cf74c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 363 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 14.4S9 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5S0 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 14.4S9 133.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS BEEN MOVING OVER LAND FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED OVER THE SYSTEM SINCE IT HAS MOVED OVER THE LAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jan 25 23:32:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626780-9657>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 22:54:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA23870; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:54:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7583043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:54:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA05676 for ; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:54:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:54:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801251454.IAA29743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 08:54:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d0b67b2afde072f9fec4964987dd101 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 742 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 14.4S9 133.9E6 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7605 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5S0 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 14.4S9 133.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7605 UNCLAS SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) HAS BEEN MOVING OVER LAND FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED OVER THE SYSTEM SINCE IT HAS MOVED OVER THE LAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7605 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4843 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626681-19658>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:18:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27720; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:16:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7588152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:16:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA27650 for ; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801260615.AAA01065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:15:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc3efcfa7dfd617d6b5ad1253fe5c756 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 647 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JAN 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 251353ZJAN98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WAS LOCATED OVERLAND A T 14.4S9 133.5E2, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NUMBER 07 (WTPS32 251200)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 152E8. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). CONVECTION IS PERIODICALLY RE-DEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD A MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM LOCATED OVEREASTERN AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE RE- DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-2925>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 15:41:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA27432; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:39:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7601525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:39:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA27606 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801270738.BAA03454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 01:38:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb686d001698abdb38c899b4bf8aa293 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 504 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 151E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION ON ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626385-4892>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 13:42:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA23334; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:40:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7611953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:40:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA23448 for ; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801280539.XAA05956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 23:39:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 115b0dfce52796e70a4b386123bee16c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 424 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19S0 149E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS OBSCURED BY ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS, POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4599 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-15476>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 13:58:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33830; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:56:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7622821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14830 for ; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801290555.XAA08426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:55:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4b30c958f0442a3d7bf80477b19055b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 994 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 149E4 I S NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/PATTERSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2586 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-24540>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:46:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19120; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:45:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7635143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32592 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801300644.AAA11349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:44:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02a9ffcb8d4dfc330d32a0f5f9cc9204 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 480 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jan 31 13:28:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2435 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626619-8721>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 13:18:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29166; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:18:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7645296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA27832 for ; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801310517.XAA13433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 23:17:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b51e79184bcc6dbfc6615cf6bd7f2fe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 777 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JAN 98 - 010600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS NEAR 14S5 148E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED AND SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1353 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-8723>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 04:23:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA23376; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:21:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7650120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11824 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:21:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:21:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199801312021.OAA14548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:21:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6683e1c39c09d19457244b9b5691f5d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 723 WHPS21 PHNC 311800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 311730Z JAN 98// RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 060 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.9S0 156.9W1 TO 13.1S5 154.6W6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 311500Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 155.6W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 312100Z7. 2. REMARKS: SAT DVORAK ANALYSIS INDICATES T1.5. SYS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUTFLOW IS GOOD ALL QUADS AND ORGANIZATION HAS BECOME MORE APPARENT. LATEST ERS SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES 22-27 KTS CYCLONIC TURNING. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 011800Z0. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG38830311730 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3114 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626708-28869>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 13:48:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA11396; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:47:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7653064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15202 for ; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802010546.XAA15409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:46:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a328361b2a520ba251b09dfcd9293e3a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 390 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z FEB 98 - 020600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 146E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF THIS VERY SMALL SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD AUSTRALIA=S CAPE YORK PENINSULA, AND ITS SHORT-TERM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE HINDERED BY INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-28865>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:46:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA15190; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 06:46:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7654758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 06:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA34880 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 06:46:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 06:46:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802011246.GAA16056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 06:46:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bae59351c8012ca5144eb54696a96602 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 817 WHPS21 PHNC 011100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011030Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 095 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.0S4 166.7W0 TO 13.8S2 160.5W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 010900Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.9S2 166.7W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 011200Z4. 2. REMARKS: SSMI DATA VERIFIES WIND FIELD. CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION CONTINUE TO IMPROVE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021100Z4.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG58660321047 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626178-10336>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:21:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20582; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:19:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7660398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA20710 for ; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802020517.XAA17492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 23:17:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d54e24824f32a99dce6b900fe241660a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 041 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z - 030600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 144E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFUSE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3833 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627065-8091>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 14:43:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29820; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:12:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7671778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:11:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30482 for ; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802030610.AAA19996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:10:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 536f7439f7fd7f686b0d55f679d13816 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 702 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z - 040600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 141E6. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CARPENTERIA. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4718 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-14574>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 14:18:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18840; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:16:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7672159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32516 for ; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802040615.AAA22506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:15:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28d8240dba4b911dd1b6397bbd433af9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 312 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z - 050600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 141E6 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-20143>; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 13:13:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA32854; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7686643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA05652 for ; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802050511.XAA24899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:11:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34cc2d8f3f37b944ee62128d243d1e2f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 818 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z - 060600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13S4 134E8. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS OVER ARNHEM LAND IN NORTHERN AUSTRALIA AND DRIFTING IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INTERMITTENT, ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL IMPROVE IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST OVER THE TIMOR SEA. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627395-21139>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 14:38:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25740; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:37:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7704939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:37:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25948 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802060636.AAA28188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:36:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41574d59a57611d3a49468476bfaed59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 310 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z - 070600Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/051751ZFEB98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 134E8 CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN AND IS NOW DISCUSSED IN THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN (SEE REF A FOR DETAILS). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626706-19262>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA12690; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:53:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7718909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:53:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15418 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802070552.XAA05161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:52:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50d9cc02485df6f26f24cbc55b992496 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 246 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z - 080600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626695-19254>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:59:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33158; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7718968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA30036 for ; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802070558.XAA05175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 23:58:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subjpacific Ocean/070600z - 080600z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7afbbebc7acebcd4aaeebcdfc94a48db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 304 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETORCEN WEST GU// SUBJPACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z - 080600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT PACIFIC AREA (10; TM MALAY PENINSULA): 9G A. T MPICAL CYCLONYXAVARY7-/99,3. B. TROVVNR I IPACIFIC AREA (180 QDDMLOO 135 EAST): T TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMWQKKDL EQHT FORECAST TEAM: COMVS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACNTTTT VSILY20 HLLT 05030044- --// 05034 62002 32960 02304 10W UPPEV YWPPU SWOYP WNW LUWAH HIAAT RPQPR TYPPRV YWPPI EWOUP PWUPU QPWJ WPPWW EOJTINRIRTO TRPPPV YWPPO NIL YWPQP EWOTI EWWPT QPPOP WPPUO J8 62012 3296 KACVNBYPQW T39 620XGCVUUW(;/)10WTHWPQPHRPPOXGOYPVWVHHLXCQOHOCIM41:?+ 10YTHCUR SVOF P I DJQIAII L PU>MXIBBW= 62059) 62062 NIL= 62103 32965 03307 10143 20065 40128 52006= 62120 32965 000011177 ?<-00 52002= 62124 31951 03507 10194 0014 39639 40126 52007 7100= 52#31 NIL= 62YQ NIWC YWQUY NIL= 62200 $=;;;12=8<220050 39606 40129 50005#70500; 62212 I 62259 (08)= 62271 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-16546>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 13:48:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18816; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7729822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15432 for ; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802080546.XAA01365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 23:46:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 809adc48934846224d5de0d324ef5fe3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 653 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z - 090600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3705 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-345>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:32:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04454; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:31:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7744436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:31:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24092 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802090630.AAA03439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:30:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5fd0973d6ac3b6b95dc685eb95b7fee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 542 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z - 100600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1835 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627186-20431>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 13:38:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20060; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7761498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA31164 for ; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802100537.XAA06009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:37:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52b5e43ff80aea430b4843ddaed80f6f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 529 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z - 110600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1242 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627897-20434>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 05:39:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19524; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:36:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7771859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:35:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12428 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:34:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:34:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802102134.PAA07967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:34:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Possible Within A 120 Nm Radius Of 9.8s7 165.2w4 Within The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1127ac5b4164853df4374e9f6ff56ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 105 WHPS21 PHNC 102100 RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 9.8S7 165.2W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 165.3W5 AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 110000Z2. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND SYS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD IN SOUTHERN PORTION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112100Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG19350412129 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1228 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627890-20436>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 05:39:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33318; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:37:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7771905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:37:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA19462 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:37:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:37:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802102137.PAA07994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 15:37:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Possible Within A 120 Nm Radius Of 9.8s7 165.2w4 Within The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b5c024346ebda713709a44680526eb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 157 WHPS21 PHNC 102100 RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 9.8S7 165.2W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 165.3W5 AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 110000Z2. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND SYS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD IN SOUTHERN PORTION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112100Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG19200412058 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625934-22445>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 07:01:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA25488; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 16:55:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7772753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 16:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA31306 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 16:54:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 16:54:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802102254.QAA08489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 16:54:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Possible Within A 120 Nm Radius Of 9.8s7 165.2w4 Within The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25536f9a36d254ab9b24439d5cd07058 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 431 WHPS21 PHNC 102100 COR RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 9.8S7 165.2W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 165.3W5 AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 110000Z2. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND SYS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD IN SOUTHERN PORTION. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTED MAX WINDS ESTIMATED FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112100Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21330412210 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626040-22443>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 13:20:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20142; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:18:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7777640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:18:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA10862 for ; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110517.XAA09130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:17:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38c8fc776095adf554586017fd48c708 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 924 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z - 120600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2385 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-22444>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 15:21:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA35974; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:16:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7778801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23832 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110714.BAA09358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Possible Within A 120 Nm Radius Of 9.8s7 165.2w4 Within The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6830fb0c8f049637aa19cbc8e926bdb2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 410 WHPS21 PHNC 102100 RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 9.8S7 165.2W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 165.3W5 AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 110000Z2. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND SYS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD IN SOUTHERN PORTION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112100Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG44920412058 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-22440>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 15:24:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36026; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:17:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7778806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:16:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35114 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802110714.BAA09362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 01:14:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Possible Within A 120 Nm Radius Of 9.8s7 165.2w4 Within The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99e6a3e39eee7323952a09928e596209 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 411 WHPS21 PHNC 102100 COR RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 9.8S7 165.2W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 165.3W5 AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 110000Z2. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND SYS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD IN SOUTHERN PORTION. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTED MAX WINDS ESTIMATED FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112100Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG44930412210 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1779 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627930-22444>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 04:52:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28216; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 14:51:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7790013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 14:50:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA23298 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 14:50:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 14:50:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802112050.OAA11020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 14:50:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/my/101930z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04b7746c54492886632de41f6312b99b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 802 WHPS21 PHNC 112000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111930Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/MY/101930Z FEB 98// AMPN/(WHPS21 PHNC 102000)// RMKS/ 1. THIS SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A. 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM RADIUS OF 12.4S7 162.6W5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 111500Z INDICATED A CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 162.7W6, MOVING EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 121800Z2. 3. REMARKS: METSAT DATA SHOWS A DECREASE IN OVERALL ORGANIZATION AND AREAL EXTENT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH OUTFLOW FAIR IN 3 OF 4 QUADRANTS. DAYTIME HEATING MAY INCREASE ORGANIZATION/CONVECTION OF THIS SYSTEM. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 122000Z5. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66530422019 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1745 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626307-21912>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 13:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15860; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7796041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA29398 for ; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802120554.XAA11933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 23:54:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a98a4ae2a6b26e8d05d3edcb39830ad9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 283 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z - 130600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628006-21912>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 05:41:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA20112; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 15:40:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7803590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 15:40:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA23412 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 15:40:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 15:40:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802122140.PAA13718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 15:40:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetocen/101930z Feb 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3fd86ef9cfb25367198404c85c159e3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WHPS21 PHNC 122000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 121930Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCEN/101930Z FEB 98// AMPN/(WHPS21 PHNC 102000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.6S9 163.3W3 TO 14.9S4 160.3W0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 163.3W3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 131800Z3. 2. REMARKS: REISSUED DUE TO AREA STILL FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT BUT METSAT DATA AND SCATTEROMETRY NOT INDICATING WARNING INTENSITY. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 132000Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG12270432135 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-26233>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 13:53:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25394; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7808189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA20218 for ; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802130552.XAA14557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 23:52:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89fc6c3810b4233eb8493ded256b6ec8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 903 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z - 140600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4610 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625877-25579>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 07:02:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA29614; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 17:01:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7815528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 17:01:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA10382 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 17:01:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 17:01:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802132301.RAA16264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 17:01:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 710cd1e448b2078adbda7c607876e331 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS21 PHNC 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/211955ZFEB98// AMPN/REF A IS TCFA (WHPS21 PHNC 122000)// RMKS/1. LATEST METSAT AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE DISSIPATION OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONDITIONS NOW CONSIDERED UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. 2. THIS MESSAGE CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG58340442239 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-25585>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 12:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA31950; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7817771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA04492 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140456.WAA16682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 22:56:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 688f8ccd04c5fb7f4ff5cc0e7f614faa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 901 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z - 140600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13.2S6 149.9E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-25579>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 13:11:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04384; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7817793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04360 for ; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802140510.XAA16715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 23:10:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf1f9c713a2c930021b6bfe1e0060cb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 096 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z - 150600Z FEB 98 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 13.2S6 149.9E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES ABUNDANT BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. JUSTIFICATION: TO CHANGE DATE FROM 13 TO 14 FEB IN MESSAGE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626493-22366>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 13:23:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA26754; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7824048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA24932 for ; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802150522.XAA19472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 23:22:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58001b29587d095d0df8e28783755182 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 559 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z - 150600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 149.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 151.0E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTING OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THIS AREA AND OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-12678>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:23:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA27870; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7832210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA13496 for ; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802160520.XAA26117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 23:20:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f363508c77efe0b0599b48334479f9d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 542 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z - 170600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 151.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7S3 153.0E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS ORGANIZED INTO WEAK SPIRAL BANDS. OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2090 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627657-10006>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 15:02:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20178; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:01:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7846916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:01:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12938 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802170700.BAA15589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 01:00:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86865fd2aa581b172a695fd767e4f7f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 646 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z - 180600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 153E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO SUSTAINED CONVECTION REMAINS. ALTHOUGH, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT GENERAL VORTICITY IS PRESENT IN THE AREA, MINIMAL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ALLOWS FOR EXCELLENT VIEW OF LOW-LEVEL CU LINES AND THESE SHOW NO DISCERNIBLE ORGANIZATION. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2679 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627060-9416>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 13:55:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA10850; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:53:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7859847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:52:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15680 for ; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:52:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:52:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802180552.XAA05872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:52:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d3860005a6f78ed18c68788f82cac52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 346 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z - 190600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-11301>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 13:10:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25784; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:09:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7873126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA23902 for ; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190508.XAA24894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 23:08:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fd1e071e11f51eb5ffa80e3556dd65a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 909 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z - 200600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 18S9 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. 190000Z0 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA WHICH CANNOT BE PRECISELY LOCATED IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627176-11301>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 15:03:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33970; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7874461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21624 for ; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802190702.BAA25747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:02:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 091ae2f26e0a0ff6048b1dfabc45c649 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 467 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z - 200600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 18S9 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. 190000Z0 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA WHICH CANNOT BE PRECISELY LOCATED IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/HATFIELD/JONES// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-18841>; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 14:50:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25334; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:49:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7876556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:49:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25252 for ; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:49:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:48:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802200648.AAA14801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:48:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 15bece9573ee913ed5fab9b6fe599ce5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 044 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z - 210600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19S0 157E3. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 16S7 153E0. ALSO, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED WATERVAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS OF A LINEAR NATURE. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626559-20176>; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:28:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33734; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7888985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA31644 for ; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802210625.AAA01477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:25:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89812d499ee4dd0a06a5d355cbc5d6d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 458 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z - 220600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3709 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-14645>; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 14:25:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33270; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7897195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28382 for ; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802220623.AAA08884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:23:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb574570df58568f452474d80057e84e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 250 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z - 230600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG29170530615 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3399 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626901-28109>; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 15:29:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA32338; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:28:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7907490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22778 for ; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802230726.BAA15735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 01:26:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfbe7615126581110dbcae21d72d0bef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 153 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z - 240600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG53860540537 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-28443>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 14:02:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA06926; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:58:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7920313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:58:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA31176 for ; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802240557.XAA03268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:57:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5de32490c286a1813231a5729702acc0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 341 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: POINDEXTER/BAKER/MCNULTY// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG88780550556 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-28443>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 14:14:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28260; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:10:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7920491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:10:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23342 for ; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:02:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:02:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802240602.AAA03339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:02:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/sigiwguh To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a2fe9b0ba0b6e8bae3fe06c02feb6a0e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 422 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGIWGUH H :3-,/240600Z=81=1Z FEB 98.6 RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2217 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626596-538>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 14:39:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28344; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:36:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7934994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33946 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802250635.AAA22374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:35:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8700b78969722961c1dd44eccbdda64f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 329 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION EXISTS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTERIA NEAR 14.2S7 139.1E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS ON VISUAL AND IR IMAGERY. THERE IS A WEAK ANTI-CYCLONE ALOFT, WITH LITTLE TO NO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG33110560629 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626535-538>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 15:56:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20938; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 01:55:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7935632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 01:54:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA11904 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 01:54:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 01:54:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802250754.BAA22815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 01:54:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68d4895dd7a6dbb720eff544ee0eee13 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 821 WTPS21 PGTW 250700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 250630Z FEB 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 060 NM RADIUS OF 14.4S9 138.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 250600Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 139.0E3. THE SYSTEM IS REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: LATEST METSAT AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A WEAK ANTI-CYCLONE ALOFT IS EVIDENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE AREA DURING THE PAST 12-24 HOURS ALLOWING FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 260700Z5. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG36300560750 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625906-4428>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 11:53:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17060; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:48:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7949491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:48:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38432 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802260347.VAA09965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Harbor Hi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff928832b0e86affc97dccad59592f22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 054 WTPS31 PGTW 260300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 250700) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6908 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 15.7S3 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.2S9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.7S4 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6908 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.2S0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.8S6 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 15.8S4 138.6E8 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260300Z IS 12 FEET. INFRARED AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6908 UNCLAS OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SAT ANALYSIS AND RADAR ANALYSIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ARAFURA SEA MOVING SOUTH OVER MAINLAND AUSTRALIA. DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING THE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHWEST AND MAKING LANDFALL IN 24 HRS. RADAR FIX ON MORNINGTON ISLAND (WMO #94256) INDICATES SYSTEM ON A SOUTH- WESTERLY TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 250700) AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// BT #6908 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-4425>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 11:51:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA17034; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:48:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7949486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA19760 for ; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802260347.VAA09970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:47:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Harbor Hi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f4798337061de8f6c2f01caf5763989 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 055 WTPS31 PGTW 260300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 250700) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6908 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 15.7S3 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.2S9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.7S4 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6908 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.2S0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.8S6 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 15.8S4 138.6E8 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260300Z IS 12 FEET. INFRARED AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6908 UNCLAS OF CONVECTION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SAT ANALYSIS AND RADAR ANALYSIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ARAFURA SEA MOVING SOUTH OVER MAINLAND AUSTRALIA. DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING THE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHWEST AND MAKING LANDFALL IN 24 HRS. RADAR FIX ON MORNINGTON ISLAND (WMO #94256) INDICATES SYSTEM ON A SOUTH- WESTERLY TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 250630Z FEB 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 250700) AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// BT #6908 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2663 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626021-4422>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32370; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7951445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28238 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802260635.AAA11294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:35:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a41c1f4b4844c117240a892963926315 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 478 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCEN PEARL HARBOR/260153 FEB 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 01.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WAS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AT 15.7S3 138.7E9, MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 260000)) AND TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NONE. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG76360570633 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4512 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626565-4422>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:54:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17144; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:52:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7955447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAB31712 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:51:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:51:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802261451.IAA15239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:51:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6286176c55adb97d6b818c73c5285e7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 604 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 17.4S2 139.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 139.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.2S1 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.1S1 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 17.6S4 139.2E5 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR REPORTS INDICATE TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) HAS MOVED INLAND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG89240571430 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1407 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627523-4428>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:57:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA37470; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7955534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA27712 for ; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802261456.IAA15348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 08:56:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8feb87e6a38ce106a9e121d32b5848e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 17.4S2 139.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 09 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8924 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 139.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.2S1 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.1S1 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8924 UNCLAS REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 17.6S4 139.2E5 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR REPORTS INDICATE TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) HAS MOVED INLAND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BOHLIN/DARIGO/POWELL// BT #8924 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4186 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628412-10140>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 15:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36032; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:29:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7969055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:29:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16160 for ; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802270728.BAA00863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:28:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be7e20def9b6fb642ced292a0b263790 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 544 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600Z FEB 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCEN PEARL HARBOR/261353Z FEB 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WAS LOCATED INLAND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AT 17.4S2 139.1E4, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (MAY) WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE MOVEMENT OVER OPEN OCEAN AREAS AND SUBSEQUENT REGENERATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: ? (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 18 HOURS SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION WITH POOR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG30290580603 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2854 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-21526>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 13:48:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA10870; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:46:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7982640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:46:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA11548 for ; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199802280545.XAA17508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 23:45:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f78b63d40f93bf6e776bed7d98ed50f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 427 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z-290600Z FEB 98// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180E WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS NEAR 13S4 158E4 HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OF SAN CRISTOBAL TO NEAR 11.8S0 160.9E6. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION SLOWLY INCREASING IN ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE NORTH, POOR ELSE- WHERE. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 271200Z2 SHIP SYNOPTIC AND GRADIENT LEVEL CLOUD- DRIFT DERIVED SATELLITE WINDS INDICATE STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE CYCLONIC SHEAR VORTICITY IN THIS REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. ? (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. AJTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/EMERY/BELCHER// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG01180590540 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627845-1309>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 05:34:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA32456; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7999566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA32370 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012125.PAA29699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/011321z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e16fc9568572800fc2c7386c54c2348 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 226 WTPS22 PGTW 011930 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011923Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 250 NM RADIUS OF 8.8S6 156.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 10 TO 12 HOURS. A SCATTEROMETRY PASS AT 011235Z2 INDICATED THAT A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WITH STRONG CYCLONIC TURNING WERE PRESENT WITHIN THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME CYCLONIC TURNING MAY BE PRESENT WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021930Z5. 6. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6. 7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CHANGE THE MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1106 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-1309>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 05:32:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA29974; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:26:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7999576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA33522 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012125.PAA29711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:25:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi 010135z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ac0bf74ed0475979d7e07cbb4232c8f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 227 WTPS21 PGTW 011330 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011321Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 010135Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3S5 165.5E7 TO 13.7S1 172.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT TRACKS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM CENTER IS SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE DUE TO ITS LOCATION WITHIN A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 5. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: THE DISTURBANCE HAD MOVED OUT OF THE ORIGINAL FORMATION ALERT AREA. 6. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021330Z9. 7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CHANGE THE MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626018-26589>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA38558; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:27:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8000130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA38462 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:26:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA00480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:26:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012326.RAA00480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:26:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/010135zmar98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 972398c6bde8ebfd54cd64564ed0f823 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 461 WTPS21 PGTW 011330 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011321Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010135ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7283 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3S5 165.5E7 TO 13.7S1 172.7E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT TRACKS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM CENTER IS SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE DUE TO ITS LOCATION WITHIN A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS AND OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 5. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: THE DISTURBANCE HAD MOVED OUT OF THE ORIGINAL FORMATION ALERT AREA. 6. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021330Z9. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7283 UNCLAS 7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CHANGE THE MANOP HEADER.// BT #7283 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4685 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625998-26590>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:32:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA16804; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:29:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8000143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA11664 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:29:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA00505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:29:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803012329.RAA00505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 17:29:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/011321zmar98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8a62860d3d62218053aa8ea7eb85c39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 520 WTPS22 PGTW 011930 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011923Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321ZMAR98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7284 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 250 NM RADIUS OF 8.8S6 156.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 10 TO 12 HOURS. A SCATTEROMETRY PASS AT 011235Z2 INDICATED THAT A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WITH STRONG CYCLONIC TURNING WERE PRESENT WITHIN THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. ANIMATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME CYCLONIC TURNING MAY BE PRESENT WITHIN THE DISTURBANCE. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021930Z5. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7284 UNCLAS 6. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6. 7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CHANGE THE MANOP HEADER.// BT #7284 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-26589>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA17478; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8000667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA13846 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA00913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803020032.SAA00913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:32:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 603cebc90c041dc2b316882c2aa61706 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 130 ABPW10 PGTW 020000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020000Z-020600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011321Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011923Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 163.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. REFER TO REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6 TO THE EAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. A 011235Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WITH STRONG CYCLONIC TURNING WITHIN THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18S9 139E3 ON THE COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE 012330Z9 IMAGERY SHOWS THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPROXIMATELY 40NM INLAND FROM THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA COASTLINE. LIMITED SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH LOWER PRESSURES IS NEAR THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT IF IT TRACKS OVER WATER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. ( 4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-26591>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 11:13:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA11084; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:12:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8002399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:11:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16416 for ; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:11:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:11:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803020311.VAA02022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:11:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ffe772ef4632d3781fbac109f581146 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 673 WTPS22 PGTW 020230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 011923Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011923Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 011930), REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. THIS CANCELS REF A. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS UNORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE DISTURBANCE IS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH VERY LITTLE SURFACE SUPPORT. ADDITIONALLY, SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE WINDS NOW RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KNOTS. 4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3191 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-26591>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:23:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13956; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:20:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8003667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:18:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16816 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:17:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:17:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803020617.AAA03161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:17:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 666a1f7d7a9bb33f5ded551e36713c9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 206 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z-030600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011321Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020223Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 163.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. REFER TO REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6S4 155.5E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.8S7 157.3E6. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FOR THIS AREA HAS BEEN CANCELED. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A 012334Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED AN AREA OF 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THERE IS NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EVIDENT IN THE SCATTEROMETER DATA. CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE AREA AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A WEAK CIRCULATION. THEREFOR, THIS AREA IS STILL CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18S9 139E3 ON THE COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA HAS REMAINED QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS OVER LAND. HOWEVER, AN AREA OF DEEP ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THIS SYSTEM ILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT IF IT TRACKS OVER WATER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2951 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627350-26590>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 21:15:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA33404; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:07:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8005326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA27822 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:04:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA05032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:04:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803021304.HAA05032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:04:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/011321z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a472a8a987b6c56001acfd7aa940c937 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 554 WTPS21 PGTW 021230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021221Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.4S9 172.1E1 TO 17.2S0 179.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 021130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 173.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY ACCELERATING AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOOKED GENERALLY DISORGANIZED DURING THE EARLY EVENING MOST LIKELY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE SHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE RELAXED AS INTENSE CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED WITH THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE ONCE AGAIN AT 30 KNOTS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM MAY STILL BE ABLE TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE FORECASTED PERIOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 031230Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2313 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627311-26589>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 22:11:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA30350; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:09:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8005877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:08:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA05706 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:08:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:08:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803021408.IAA05496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:08:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/011321z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4d3650f2bf042ef801b079f41e78eda Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 256 WTPS21 PGTW 021230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021221Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 011330)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9642 UNCLAS 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.4S9 172.1E1 TO 17.2S0 179.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 021130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 173.5E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY ACCELERATING AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOOKED GENERALLY DISORGANIZED DURING THE EARLY EVENING MOST LIKELY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE SHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE RELAXED AS INTENSE CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED WITH THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE ONCE AGAIN AT 30 KNOTS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM MAY STILL BE ABLE TO BECOME A MINIMAL TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE FORECASTED PERIOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9642 UNCLAS 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 031230Z9.// BT #9642 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627314-26591>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 23:04:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA16700; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 09:03:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8006285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 09:03:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33256 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 09:02:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 09:02:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803021502.JAA06560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 09:02:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a852338de8f0553af4b2eb1effc98bba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 WTPS22 PGTW 020230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 011923Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011923ZMAR98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011321ZMAR98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9716 UNCLAS 011930). REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 011330).// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. THIS CANCELS REF A. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS UNORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE DISTURBANCE IS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH VERY LITTLE SURFACE SUPPORT. ADDITIONALLY, SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE WINDS NOW RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KNOTS. 4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 166.3E6.// BT #9716 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627761-26589>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 04:40:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA29752; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:38:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8010623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:38:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA24074 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:38:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:38:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803022038.OAA14251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:38:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/021221z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b1fde3d16816a5edd2e0036a2cc3861 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 688 WTPS22 PGTW 022000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021953Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021221Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 021230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 180 NM RADIUS OF 15.9S5 138.1E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 021730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3S0 138.1E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 94248, 94258 AND A BUOY LOCATED AT 14.5S0 138.8E0 (WMO NUMBER 52624) INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS VERY CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE EAST- SOUTHEAST OF CENTRE ISLAND. A SCATTEROMETRY PASS FROM 021343Z3 INDICATES THAT 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WERE PRESENT TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME PASS ALSO INDICATED 30 TO 35 KNOT GALES LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 4 DEGREES EAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER THESE WINDS HAVE NOT YET WRAPPED INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. OUTFLOW ABOVE THE DISTURBANCE IS FAIR TO GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 032000Z5. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 173.5E6// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1660 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628474-26590>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 05:12:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA33060; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:10:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8010867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA33032 for ; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:10:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:10:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803022110.PAA15148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:10:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/021221z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ace8c0a4b6a8a99b4d60a1a87cd0aa1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 145 WTPS22 PGTW 022000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021953Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021221Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 021230)// RMKS/ PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0531 UNCLAS 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 180 NM RADIUS OF 15.9S5 138.1E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 021730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3S0 138.1E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 94248, 94258 AND A BUOY LOCATED AT 14.5S0 138.8E0 (WMO NUMBER 52624) INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS VERY CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE EAST- SOUTHEAST OF CENTRE ISLAND. A SCATTEROMETRY PASS FROM 021343Z3 INDICATES THAT 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS WERE PRESENT TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME PASS ALSO INDICATED 30 TO 35 KNOT GALES LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 4 DEGREES EAST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER THESE WINDS HAVE NOT YET WRAPPED INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. OUTFLOW ABOVE THE DISTURBANCE IS FAIR TO GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0531 UNCLAS NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 032000Z5. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 173.5E6// BT #0531 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629446-13436>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:55:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39736; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:53:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8017427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:51:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13566 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:51:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:51:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803030751.BAA21675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:51:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42afa1d0039948a26e6e3ff7715024c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 968 WTPS21 PGTW 030800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 030751Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021221Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021953Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 021230)//REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 022000)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS ENTERED A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS INHIBITING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 3. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW 022000) FOR DETAILS ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT VALID FOR THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629458-13432>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 16:20:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA13420; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 02:19:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8017584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 02:17:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44570 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 02:17:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 02:17:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803030817.CAA21770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 02:17:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/021221z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04dade9f60ed0cfbacf59c7e2a56be15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 477 WTPS21 PGTW 030800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 030751Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021221Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021953Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4036 UNCLAS 021230)//REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 022000)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS ENTERED A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS INHIBITING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 3. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW 022000) FOR DETAILS ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT VALID FOR THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA.// BT #4036 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3267 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629665-13437>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 05:48:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA37960; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:38:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:38:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA30988 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:38:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:38:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803032138.PAA04044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:38:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ef41dda9f4d6d6198424f71b988d91a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 705 WTPS22 PGTW 032000 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 031953Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021953Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 022000)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND MAY BE OF A LINEAR NATURE. THERE IS NO DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A MAXIMUM OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. A 031130Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES LITTLE TO NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW WITHIN THREE DEGREES OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTION OF THE MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3330 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629399-13435>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 05:49:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44706; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:40:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:40:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA13424 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:40:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:40:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803032140.PAA04110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:40:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/021953z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa4c7a7333b620252594ca972359449c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 762 WTPS22 PGTW 032000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 031953Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021953Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 022000)// PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5950 UNCLAS RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND MAY BE OF A LINEAR NATURE. THERE IS NO DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A MAXIMUM OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. A 031130Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES LITTLE TO NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW WITHIN THREE DEGREES OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.// BT #5950 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629383-13436>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 05:55:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA24806; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:46:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8026686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29390 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:46:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:46:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803032146.PAA04244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 15:46:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu/021953z Mar 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c87d82cf227022a2fe6171dbe967687f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 914 WTPS22 PGTW 032000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 031953Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021953Z MAR 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 022000)// PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5985 UNCLAS RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND MAY BE OF A LINEAR NATURE. THERE IS NO DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A MAXIMUM OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. A 031130Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES LITTLE TO NO LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW WITHIN THREE DEGREES OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.// BT #5985 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-16266>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 13:40:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA46400; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8033151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA48408 for ; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803040533.XAA08939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 23:33:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3bcd50520379291f26203969b7d1e00c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 499 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751ZMAR98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031953ZMAR98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 175.5E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION MESSAGE. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE REMNANTS OF THIS AREA HAVE MOVED EAST OF 180 DEGREES. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 139E3 ON THE COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 140E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION MESSAGE. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ALL CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 89 NM AWAY FROM THE NEAREST CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUADALCANAL NEAR 5S5 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED. 040000Z4 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE EXISTENCE OF A DIFFUSE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DISCERNIBLE ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626600-17761>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 14:31:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38350; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8050347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA41894 for ; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803050628.AAA29030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:28:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a1b4f00948889a057ee5921b883cb9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 834 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 175.5E8 HAS REORGANIZED AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178E6. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A SMALL AMOUNT OF ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE LIMITED SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2 IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE CLOSEST CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER 100 NM TO THE NORTH AND EAST. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH LIGHT WINDS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS LACKING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IT IS WELL ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1560 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629178-14702>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 14:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20420; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:44:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8063465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:43:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA41756 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803060642.AAA19185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:42:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4d1ebf767176e15a727417858b51f5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 208 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16S7 178W6 TO THE NORTHEAST OF FIJI. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THERE IS NO LONGER A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WEST OF 180 DEGREES LONGITUDE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 139E3 IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. A 051348Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED AN AREA OF 30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CENTRAL WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS IN THE AREA. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/LUNSFORD/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-27175>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 13:41:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04314; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:40:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8074149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA15246 for ; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803070539.XAA07108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 23:39:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b14dc18746bcfee2d88055c704f8c5f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 282 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 139E3 IN THE GULF OF CARPENTERIA HAS DISSIPATED. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1845 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625936-624>; Sun, 8 Mar 1998 13:49:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33000; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8084257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA32976 for ; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803080547.XAA15633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 23:47:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6f423397bbf66d04d957aaf1ecf800f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 907 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1918 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-24683>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 14:09:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32872; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:08:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8095600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:08:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA37548 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:00:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:00:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803090600.AAA23424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:00:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71f33e79c596602b07f541af839dadf1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 480 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-26975>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 13:35:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20724; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8108143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21726 for ; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803100531.XAA10260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:31:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb7206731894b74fc1c43b1c166841c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 108 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1310 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626627-20785>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 13:28:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29826; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:26:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:26:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA20110 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:24:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:24:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803110524.XAA28172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:24:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e77ab42519a318d7ebd44e62588e9e7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 797 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626383-20785>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 13:36:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA46512; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28824 for ; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803110535.XAA28239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 23:35:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 338a5ce9a58d859c4fa6a9f0e488e518 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 944 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626589-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:09:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24072; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:07:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8165830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:07:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21456 for ; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803150506.XAA18468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:06:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56cdb4b167a6a74b81e9477d1d6a7860 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 799 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12S3 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626248-6547>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:57:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA41842; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:54:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8174288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:53:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14314 for ; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:52:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:51:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803160551.XAA24436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:51:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d2c296dac2341377d38884a88c25401 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 396 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626984-13619>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 14:39:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40488; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:36:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8028773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:36:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA18652 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:36:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:35:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803170635.AAA13359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:35:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fee2fadac42774fc627e578bb9e6640d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 866 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 174E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD, WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WIT H THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/STEWART/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4443 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627919-13619>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 01:43:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA23840; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8032175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA38106 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803171740.LAA20585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:40:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f915df6427b9e8e51019a9bf506a0a5c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 351 ABPW10 PGTW 171900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/171900Z-180600Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 171.0E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN BANDS AROUND A RELATIVELY CLOUD-MINIMUM CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED AND IS NOW GOOD IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO UPGRADE THE AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3546 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626352-21863>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 07:30:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA24050; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:24:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8035021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:23:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA21930 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:23:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:23:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803172323.RAA28134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:23:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 812e5495107655f6d3013caf933d8bac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTPS21 PGTW 172300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 172255Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0S1 169.9E5 TO 16.0S7 165.2E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 172030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 171.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 182300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4702 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-21868>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:41:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14292; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:35:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8036519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:35:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04526 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:35:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:35:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803180235.UAA29465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 20:35:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9bd5661c89b043ad27a34e75e7679ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 570 WTPS21 PGTW 172300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 172255Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0S1 169.9E5 TO PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8553 UNCLAS 16.0S7 165.2E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 172030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 171.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS GOOD. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 182300Z4.// BT #8553 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2055 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626892-21866>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 13:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25392; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8037604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA34040 for ; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803180553.XAA00731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:53:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d1175e41118d233fea72c26cdfbc9fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 955 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 172255Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 169.9E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 172300)). THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627137-21863>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:16:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11786; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 09:14:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8040754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 09:13:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28884 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 09:13:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 09:13:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803181513.JAA05225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 09:13:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d1c669dbd87b8c736dea8d25f0bcb89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 830 WTPS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 11.9S1 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 12.2S5 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.6S9 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.1S5 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED ITS ORGANIZATION AND DEVELOPED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTH AND EAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO ITS LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE THEN INTENSIFY MORE RAPIDLY AS ITS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IMPROVES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 11 FEET. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES THE 172255Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 AND 191500Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4370 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-21866>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:10:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA09836; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:09:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8041512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:08:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA11816 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:08:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:08:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803181608.KAA06565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:08:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 324f05b701ca91f092bae4cc90154926 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 858 WTPS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1341 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 11.9S1 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 12.2S5 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1341 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.6S9 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.1S5 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1341 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED ITS ORGANIZATION AND DEVELOPED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN THE NORTH AND EAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO ITS LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE THEN INTENSIFY MORE RAPIDLY AS ITS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IMPROVES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 11 FEET. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES THE 172255Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW). NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 AND PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1341 UNCLAS 190300Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 BT #1341 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 11:37:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2857 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626168-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 11:13:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34118; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:09:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8046852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:07:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA14732 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:03:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:03:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190303.VAA18281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:03:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b12395589bc52a3f5fb657479c55e2bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 260 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 12.4S7 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.8S1 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.3S7 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 12.5S8 165.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL CAUSE A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION TRACK. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE TROUGH PASSES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN ITS WAKE. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE 36 TO 72 HOUR POSITIONS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 11:37:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626999-25816>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 11:30:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA21550; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:25:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8047237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:25:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA28926 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:25:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:25:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190325.VAA18435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:25:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdc2ec84c1df214b103341c5559f9aff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 825 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 003A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 12.4S7 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.8S1 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.3S7 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 12.5S8 165.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL CAUSE A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION TRACK. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE TROUGH PASSES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN ITS WAKE. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE 36 TO 72 HOUR POSITIONS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD THE SIX HOURLY WARNING TIMES AND TO CORRECT MANOP HEADER FOR TC 28S (FIONA). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 19 11:37:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626900-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 11:32:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA21952; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:29:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8047287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA39850 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:29:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA18460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:29:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190329.VAA18460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 21:29:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee68112f52aec07c884cd4dfcc78933e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 940 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 003A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 12.4S7 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.8S1 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.3S7 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 12.5S8 165.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER T HE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISUAL SATE LLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE IN TENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS IN THE RIDGE BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL CAUSE A SLIG HTLY MORE SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION TRACK. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE TROUGH PASSES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND MID LEVEL RIDGING WIL L GRADUALLY BUILD IN ITS WAKE. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO BE IN WEA K STEERING FLOW FROM THE 36 TO 72 HOUR POSITIONS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECT ED TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM S IGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD TH E SIX HOURLY WARNING TIMES AND TO CORRECT MANOP HEADER FOR TC 28S (FIO NA). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) , 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 13:27:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA21600; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:23:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8048119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:23:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04162 for ; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:23:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:23:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190523.XAA19195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 23:23:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c055faac55d8a8e1b35d8015445a8329 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 052 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3883 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 003A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 12.4S7 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.8S1 164.5E6 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3883 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.3S7 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3883 UNCLAS 210000Z3 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 12.5S8 165.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 182330Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE STEERING PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3883 UNCLAS FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL CAUSE A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION TRACK. AFTER THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE TROUGH PASSES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN ITS WAKE. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO BE IN WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE 36 TO 72 HOUR POSITIONS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: TO ADD THE SIX HOURLY WARNING TIMES AND TO CORRECT MANOP HEADER FOR TC 28S (FIONA). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3883 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626581-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:21:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28196; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:16:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8048583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:16:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12412 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:01:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:01:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190601.AAA19482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:01:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc7d083b2aeec7bda209dc03035e5a03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 606 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190155Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WAS LOCATED AT 12.4S 165.4E6 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 3A (WTPS31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S 145E. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627466-25816>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 16:18:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA32858; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 02:11:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8049352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 02:11:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25404 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 02:11:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 02:11:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190811.CAA20266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 02:11:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cdcc371fd721ac4569102a52ee530a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 316 WTPS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 12.8S1 164.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 164.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.4S8 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 13.8S2 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.1S6 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.3S8 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.8S3 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 12.9S2 164.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 190530Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID- LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A GRADUAL SLOWING AND SLIGHT TURN MORE SOUTHWARD AS A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES, WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO REBUILD AND STEER THE SYSTEM BACK TO A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA AND AN 181258Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS STILL INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM=S SURROUNDING CONVECTIVE BANDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4), 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625983-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 17:28:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18468; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 03:23:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8049651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 03:23:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA04108 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 03:23:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 03:23:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803190923.DAA20668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 03:23:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ead8c5bc29c2b05b19241de9b08a8753 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 511 WTPS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5023 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 12.8S1 164.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 164.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.4S8 163.9E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5023 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 13.8S2 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.1S6 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5023 UNCLAS 210600Z9 --- 14.3S8 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.8S3 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 12.9S2 164.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 190530Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID- LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5023 UNCLAS BEGIN A GRADUAL SLOWING AND SLIGHT TURN MORE SOUTHWARD AS A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES, WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO REBUILD AND STEER THE SYSTEM BACK TO A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT SHOULD REMAIN IN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA AND AN 181258Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS STILL INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM'S SURROUNDING CONVECTIVE BANDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4), 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9).// BT #5023 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627535-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:04:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29438; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:00:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8051476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:00:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29650 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:00:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:00:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803191500.JAA23513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:00:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 29p Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d41907108a6ab08085dd552d06d9eab8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 13.7S1 163.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 163.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 14.1S6 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.5S0 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.7S2 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.8S3 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.9S4 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 13.8S2 163.3E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 191130Z5 SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE A SLOWING AND TRACK MORE TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THE 72 HOUR PERIOD AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (200755Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1264 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627030-25813>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA18082; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:53:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8051791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:53:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28026 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:53:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA24649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:53:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803191553.JAA24649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:53:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aeacd4cddc8e29adf433b1d4a59f80df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 969 WTPS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5743 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 13.7S1 163.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 163.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 14.1S6 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5743 UNCLAS 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.5S0 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.7S2 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.8S3 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5743 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.9S4 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 13.8S2 163.3E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS TRACKED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 191130Z5 SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE A SLOWING AND TRACK MORE TOWARD THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5743 UNCLAS WEST THROUGH THE 72 HOUR PERIOD AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (200755Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5743 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2467 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627555-25816>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 04:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38004; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:36:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8053858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:36:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA39756 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:36:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:36:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803192036.OAA01122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:36:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cc6961d6f58b954d18af8ac99165847 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 333 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.4S9 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7S2 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.9S4 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.2S8 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 13.9S3 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 191730Z1 SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND INTENSIFY AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2245 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627550-25816>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 05:46:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA16522; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 15:41:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8054398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 15:40:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA12380 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 15:40:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 15:40:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803192140.PAA02661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 15:40:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ce0202f6ef28de662f2dcf3fe8f5b1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 006A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.4S9 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7S2 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.9S4 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.2S8 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 13.9S3 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 191730Z1 SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND INTENSIFY AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT NEXT WARNING TIMES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2) .// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4984 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626018-29873>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 07:40:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA11912; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 17:38:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8055398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 17:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA28782 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 17:38:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 17:38:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803192338.RAA04549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 17:38:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd7f0c8e4ef56d6aa3a4d6f1a00bfd90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 002 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7038 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 006A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 13.8S2 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.1S6 162.3E2 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7038 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.4S9 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7S2 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7038 UNCLAS 211800Z2 --- 14.9S4 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.2S8 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 13.9S3 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 191730Z1 SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7038 UNCLAS STEERING FLOW OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND INTENSIFY AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT NEXT WARNING TIMES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2) .// BT #7038 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 10:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17688; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:23:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8056725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:22:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA32854 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:21:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:21:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200221.UAA05966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 20:21:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8fbaa91989ea4fd5c99e69de0c80ffa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 469 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 13.7S1 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.9S3 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.3S8 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.6S1 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.0S6 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.1S8 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 13.7S1 163.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED BASED ON THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY OVER THE REGION WHICH INDICATED THE SYSTEM FURTHER EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND A 192332Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE 48 HOUR POSITION DUE TO THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN WEAKENED STEERING FLOW AND SLOWER MOTION THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. AFTER 48 HOURS, THE NAVY=S OPERATIONAL GLOBAL MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THE RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM=S EAST SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD WHICH MAY RESULT IN A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), 2021000Z5 (DTG 201955Z2),AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626956-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 11:07:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA39920; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 21:06:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8057066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 21:05:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18654 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 21:05:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 21:05:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200305.VAA06248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 21:05:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ef47756b2723d8416af8e4a47375359 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 131 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7968 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 13.7S1 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.9S3 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7968 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.3S8 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.6S1 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.0S6 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7968 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.1S8 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 13.7S1 163.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED BASED ON THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY OVER THE REGION WHICH INDICATED THE SYSTEM WAS FURTHER EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND A PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7968 UNCLAS 192332Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE 48 HOUR POSITION DUE TO THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN WEAKENED STEERING FLOW AND SLOWER MOTION THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. AFTER 48 HOURS, THE NAVY'S OPERATIONAL GLOBAL MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THE RIDGE TO THE SYSTEM'S EAST SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD WHICH MAY RESULT IN A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM'S CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), 2021000Z5 (DTG 201955Z2), AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4).// BT #7968 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4375 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-29875>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 13:23:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17770; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:21:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8058432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:21:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04182 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:21:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:21:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200521.XAA07105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:21:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da1a7d3624ded5544078faf511c2317b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 790 WTPS21 PGTW 200530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 200521Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.6S7 144.4E3 TO 11.5S7 136.1E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 200230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 143.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS CORAL SEA. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS WITH DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO FORM CLOSER TO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 192244Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS ALSO INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE SURFACE WINDS OF 25 KNOTS SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210530Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-29875>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21330; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:08:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8058684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:08:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25476 for ; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:59:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:59:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200559.XAA07347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 23:59:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b93c6f499ac815c1849fe8a3d48ca953 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 WTPS21 PGTW 200530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 200521Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8742 UNCLAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.6S7 144.4E3 TO 11.5S7 136.1E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 200230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 143.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS IN THE CORAL SEA. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS WITH DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO FORM CLOSER TO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 192244Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS ALSO INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE SURFACE WINDS OF 25 KNOTS SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210530Z1.// PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8742 UNCLAS BT #8742 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3081 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626987-29863>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA43522; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:09:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8058720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:08:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA34150 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:01:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:01:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200601.AAA07381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:01:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98dbbfd5c9f0710b107c5ad2119c10da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 389 WTPS21 PGTW 200530 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 200521Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.6S7 144.4E3 TO 11.5S7 136.1E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 200230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 143.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS IN THE CORAL SEA. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS WITH DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO FORM CLOSER T O THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 192244Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS ALSO INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE SURFACE WINDS OF 25 KNOTS SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICAN T TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT GRAMMAR IN PARAGRAPH 3. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210530Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1162 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626552-29873>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:48:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45568; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:47:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8059042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45782 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:47:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:46:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200646.AAA07747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:46:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f90ab4dc40cde9cab17b95b6ecf13e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 717 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200521Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7S1 163.3E3 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 7 (WTPS31 PGTW 200300) ) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 143.2E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 200530) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627171-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:05:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA27968; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:03:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8059284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:03:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18476 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:03:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:03:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200803.CAA08163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:03:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e1f72f9857d7d11b75ea879842123d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 005 WTPS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 13.8S2 163.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 163.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.2S7 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.5S0 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.0S6 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.5S1 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.2S0 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 13.9S3 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS SLOWLY TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 200530Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO WEAKENED STEERING FLOW DUE TO A WEAKNESS INDUCED IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY THE PRESENT PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE STEERING FLOW SHOULD REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 48 HOURS, A RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO BUILD TO THE SYSTEM=S EAST WHICH SHOULD INCREASE ITS MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29 P (YALI) HAS BEEN SLOWLY INTENSIFYING IN THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS INTENSIFICATION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3181 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-29874>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:40:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA09966; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:38:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8059418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA28122 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:38:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:38:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803200838.CAA08337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 02:38:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d1426c32d7c0c6c242662208e2a764f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 562 WTPS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9426 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 13.8S2 163.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 163.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.2S7 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9426 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.5S0 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.0S6 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9426 UNCLAS 220600Z0 --- 15.5S1 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.2S0 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 13.9S3 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS SLOWLY TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 200530Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9426 UNCLAS CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO WEAKENED STEERING FLOW DUE TO A WEAKNESS INDUCED IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY THE PRESENT PASSAGE OF A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. THE STEERING FLOW SHOULD REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. AFTER 48 HOURS, A RIDGE IS FORECASTED TO BUILD TO THE SYSTEM'S EAST WHICH SHOULD INCREASE ITS MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS BEEN SLOWLY INTENSIFYING IN THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS INTENSIFICATION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2), 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0).// BT #9426 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Mar 21 00:01:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627185-29863>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:35:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA43634; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:33:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8061460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA33798 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:32:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA11938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:32:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803201532.JAA11938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 09:32:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2254ca025c29ce82217d920584104e5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 301 WTPS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0202 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 14.1S6 162.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 162.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.5S0 162.2E1 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0202 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.8S3 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.2S8 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0202 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.7S3 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.9S6 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 14.2S7 162.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS SLOWLY TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0202 UNCLAS WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 201130Z7 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM'S ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUB-TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THIS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY BUILD TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO TAKE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS THE END OF THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS IN AN AREA FAVORABLE DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2), 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7).// BT #0202 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627422-29873>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:47:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA24030; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:43:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8064537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:42:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA16276 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:42:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:42:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803202042.OAA18600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:42:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c6b9c432d3d9a90a175b3fbff51652c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 878 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 14.3S8 162.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 162.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7S2 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.1S7 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.6S2 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.2S9 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.4S2 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 162.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AT A SPEED OF 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 201730Z3 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SUB-TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO BUILD SLIGHTLY MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE STEERING FLOW OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS IN THE AREA OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627311-29873>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:59:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA14102; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:57:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8064656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:57:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA38284 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:56:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:56:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803202056.OAA18913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:56:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7d62a3ce686996898a35b2df31af938 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 WTPS31 PGTW 201500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 14.1S6 162.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 162.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.5S0 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.8S3 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.2S8 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.7S3 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.9S6 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 14.2S7 162.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS SLOWLY TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 201130Z7 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUB-TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THIS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY BUILD TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO TAKE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS THE END OF THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS IN AN AREA FAVORABLE DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2), 210300Z6 (DTG210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627329-29874>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 05:04:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA38510; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:02:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8064696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:01:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA43586 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:01:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:01:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803202101.PAA19020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:01:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db7fdde67dbf7359bf480d5f6e8f73aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 038 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 14.3S8 162.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 162.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7S2 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.1S7 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.6S2 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.2S9 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.4S2 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 162.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AT A SPEED OF 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 201730Z3 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SUB-TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO BUILD SLIGHTLY MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE STEERING FLOW OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS IN THE AREA OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1724 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625935-5486>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 06:45:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA18138; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:45:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8065634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:44:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA45702 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:44:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:44:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803202244.QAA21041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:44:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 513161b0164d5436de53b61f5ec64f22 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 380 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1927 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-5477>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 06:49:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA25578; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:48:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8065658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:48:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA16472 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:47:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:47:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803202247.QAA21082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:47:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07e6497efb3dbd8e03495fa25f64b86e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 423 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1234 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 14.3S8 162.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 162.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7S2 161.8E6 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1234 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.1S7 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.6S2 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1234 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.2S9 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.4S2 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 162.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS AT A SPEED OF 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1234 UNCLAS INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 201730Z3 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SUB-TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO BUILD SLIGHTLY MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE STEERING FLOW OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS IN THE AREA OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3).// BT #1234 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4056 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626533-5477>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:20:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37932; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:19:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8067546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:19:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA22544 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:19:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:19:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210319.VAA23422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:19:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec5eb1417c5ecddaeb41242682d60f8f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 347 WTPS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 011 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 16.0S7 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.9S6 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.2S1 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5S5 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8S0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.8S3 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 16.2S9 165.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626475-5483>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:21:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA13480; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:20:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8067558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:20:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25490 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:20:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:20:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210320.VAA23428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 21:20:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 960f8a03dc454a9f4e8f6d1c461d4276 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 348 WTPS32 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 11.2S4 143.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 143.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 11.3S5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.4S6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.4S6 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.4S6 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 11.4S6 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 11.2S4 143.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS FORMED OFF THE EAST COAST OF QUEENSLAND AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 202232Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 2.5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ALMOST QUASI- STATIONARY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, DRIFTING ONLY VERY SLOWLY TO THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RI DGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WE ST GU 200521Z MAR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 200530) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPD ATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4235 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-5484>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23992; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:13:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8068777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:12:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28288 for ; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:58:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:58:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210558.XAA24241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:58:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd91ceb61f345ed370c7622cf13ebf4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 976 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 165.1E3 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 11 (WTPS31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 11.2S4 143.4E2 AND QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-5477>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 15:09:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28384; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:08:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069203 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:08:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16590 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:08:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:08:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210708.BAA24782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:08:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9826b55ae1ac001dc650a18b69a3c13b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 548 WTPS32 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 001 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2844 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 11.2S4 143.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 143.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 11.3S5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2844 UNCLAS 220000Z4 --- 11.4S6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.4S6 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.4S6 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2844 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 11.4S6 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 11.2S4 143.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS FORMED OFF THE EAST COAST OF QUEENSLAND AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 202232Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 2.5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ALMOST QUASI- STATIONARY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, DRIFTING ONLY VERY SLOWLY TO THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). THIS WARNING PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2844 UNCLAS SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200521Z MAR 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 200530) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2844 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-5484>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 15:12:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16572; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:11:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:11:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28330 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:11:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:11:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210711.BAA24817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 01:11:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d93d69ca99e691de7f9d93eb7e4a10d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 671 WTPS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2848 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 011 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 16.0S7 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.9S6 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2848 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.2S1 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5S5 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2848 UNCLAS 230000Z5 --- 20.8S0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.8S3 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 16.2S9 165.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 202024Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2848 UNCLAS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE BUILDS. THIS REPRESENTS A CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST FROM OUR LAST WARNING DUE TO A SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTHEAST STEERING TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) FURTHER TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO PEAK DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (211955Z3),AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2848 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4681 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-5477>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 16:48:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA04478; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:47:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069545 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:47:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04598 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:45:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:45:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210845.CAA25165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:45:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: de059f021d70a71fb43503fd6a04cef3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 165 WTPS32 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 11.3S5 143.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 143.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.3S5 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.3S5 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.3S5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 11.3S5 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.3S5 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 11.3S5 143.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ES TIMATE OF CI2.5. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFL UENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE AUSTRALIAN BUR EAU OF METEOROLOGY IS CURRENTLY DEPICTING A SLIGHTLY MORE INTENSE SYSTEM WIT H A VERY SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD DRIFT. HOWEVER, WE ARE BOTH IN AGREEMENT THAT THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SIGNIF ICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3 ), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626238-5483>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 16:48:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA04512; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:47:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:47:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA13314 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:45:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:45:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210845.CAA25170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:45:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25b0909549b915c1493de926a989dbc4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 177 WTPS31 PGTW 210900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 16.5S2 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 - +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-5484>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 16:49:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14300; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:48:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:48:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04554 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:48:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA25182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:48:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210848.CAA25182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 02:48:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 551eb613cee6ee8b10cfef5ffe0283d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 214 WTPS31 PGTW 210900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 16.5S2 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5S3 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0S0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.6S8 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.0S4 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.0S4 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 166.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE ARE EXPECTING THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM TO MOVE EASTWARD, ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WESTWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3), 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626475-5483>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 17:34:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA14138; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:33:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:33:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA28196 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:33:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:33:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210933.DAA25481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:33:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6ebcb27b782a27628a05cc80e7cbc92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 091 WTPS31 PGTW 210900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 012A COR 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 16.5S2 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5S3 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0S0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.6S8 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.0S4 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.5S0 166.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 166.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. TH E WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE ARE EXPECTING THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM TO MOVE EASTWARD, ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WESTWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3), 220300Z 7 (DTG 220155Z5), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CHANGE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626462-5484>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 17:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25236; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:49:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:48:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25422 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:48:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:48:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803210948.DAA25532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 03:48:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36108e961962319e90f150ccd7ef9e72 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 297 WTPS31 PGTW 210900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 012A COR 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 16.5S2 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5S3 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0S0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.6S8 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.0S4 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.5S0 166.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 166.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE ARE EXPECTING THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM TO MOVE EASTWARD, ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WESTWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3), 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CHANGE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2525 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626631-5486>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 18:05:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA25474; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:02:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:02:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA29034 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:02:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:02:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211002.EAA25591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:02:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c55409fdcd24b026e4efe8cf11a768e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 481 WTPS32 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 002 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3910 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 11.3S5 143.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 143.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.3S5 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3910 UNCLAS 220600Z0 --- 11.3S5 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.3S5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 11.3S5 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3910 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.3S5 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 11.3S5 143.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ES TIMATE OF CI2.5. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFL UENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE AUSTRALIAN BUR EAU OF METEOROLOGY IS CURRENTLY DEPICTING A SLIGHTLY MORE INTENSE SYSTEM WIT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3910 UNCLAS H A VERY SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD DRIFT. HOWEVER, WE ARE BOTH IN AGREEMENT THAT THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SIGNIF ICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3 ), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3910 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626616-5483>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 18:19:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA19350; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:17:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8069818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA28292 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:17:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:17:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211017.EAA25677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 04:17:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 92b233b850e241f97e46fc544c24afe1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 784 WTPS31 PGTW 210900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3964 UNCLAS AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 012A COR 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 16.5S2 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5S3 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3964 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0S0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.6S8 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3964 UNCLAS 230600Z1 --- 22.0S4 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.5S0 166.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 166.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5. THERE IS NO PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3964 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE ARE EXPECTING THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM TO MOVE EASTWARD, ALLOWING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WESTWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3), 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5), AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CHANGE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION.// BT #3964 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1863 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-5483>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:39:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA24620; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 08:37:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8071178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 08:37:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA11784 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 08:37:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 08:37:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211437.IAA26802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 08:37:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75f571dd7ed7bb3ed06a9b2871ed3496 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 767 WTPS32 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 12.1S4 144.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 144.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 12.5S8 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.8S1 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.2S6 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.5S9 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.1S6 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED BASED ON REANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 211116Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI2.5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGH 24 HOURS. THE WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF A MID- TO LOWER-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST IS EXPECTED TO BECOME DOMINATED BY A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2969 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-5486>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:13:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28302; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:11:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8071278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:11:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA16226 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:11:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:11:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211511.JAA26969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:11:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4ae50cec55d606f55d148b09f1f7fa7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 439 WTPS32 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4667 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 12.1S4 144.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 144.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 12.5S8 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 02 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4667 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.8S1 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.2S6 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.5S9 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4667 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.1S6 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED BASED ON REANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 211116Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI2.5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGH 24 HOURS. THE WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW OF A MID- TO LOWER-LEVEL RIDGE TO PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4667 UNCLAS ITS EAST IS EXPECTED TO BECOME DOMINATED BY A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, RESULTING IN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) BT #4667 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-5477>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:15:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA28246; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:14:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8071295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:14:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA14148 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:14:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:14:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211514.JAA26994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:14:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6dacc709c4f3e20b240f9c33d48a2f31 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 WTPS31 PGTW 211500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4673 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 16.8S5 166.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 166.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.8S6 166.8E1 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4673 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.9S8 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.1S3 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4673 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.3S6 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.4S9 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4673 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 09 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY SOUTHEAST AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 36 HOURS. A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD AND ALLOW THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD IN SOUTHEAST OF THIS SYSTEM. IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT NEAR THE 36 HOUR POINT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO STEER THE SYSTEM MORE SOUTHWARD THEN SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER WILL TRANSITION TO TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS ON THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG4673 UNCLAS BT #4673 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1175 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-5486>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 04:00:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA43624; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 13:59:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8073956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 13:57:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA38152 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 13:57:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 13:57:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803211957.NAA28678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 13:57:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 287107bd7464fe6fcccd751eb8645695 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 046 WTPS32 PGTW 212100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 12.2S5 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.5S8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.9S2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.2S6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.5S9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.1S6 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211732Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THOUGH CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF MID- TO LOWER-LEVEL RIDGING TO ITS EAST. AFTER 12 HOURS A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO TURN TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-5484>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 04:42:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA43606; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:41:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8074193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:41:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11834 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:41:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:41:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803212041.OAA28998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:41:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44f50bac85563f850b348d92ea9a1e1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 826 WTPS32 PGTW 212100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5190 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 12.2S5 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.5S8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5190 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.9S2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.2S6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.5S9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5190 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.1S6 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211732Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THOUGH CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS UNDER THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE OF MID- TO LOWER-LEVEL RIDGING TO ITS EAST. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5190 UNCLAS AFTER 12 HOURS A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO TURN TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5190 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2973 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625893-1778>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:09:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24004; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:08:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8076157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38308 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:07:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:07:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220307.VAA00885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:07:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2280295193112ae1e7891af7a0cc8cd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 018 WTPS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 17.9S7 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0S0 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.3S5 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.4S7 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.1S5 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.2S1 168.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 212009Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASE D ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI5.0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN RESPONS E TO FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625893-1779>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:11:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37984; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:10:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8076162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA20046 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:10:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:10:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220310.VAA00913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:10:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1cae46533e01fee46243e2fc0c856c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 080 WTPS32 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 11.6S8 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.6S8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.7S9 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.1S4 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.5S8 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 13.1S5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 11.6S8 145.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 212219Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASE D ON A COMPROMISE OF SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN CI2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND CI3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED BASED ON THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OF THE DAY INDICATING THAT NATHAN=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ACTUALLY LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THIS SHEARING IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY, AND WE HAVE FORECAST THE CYCLON E TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS CURRENTLY UNDER WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN AS THE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM BUILDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAV E HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 2222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625893-1775>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:42:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA23976; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:41:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8076176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:41:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38292 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:41:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:41:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220341.VAA01022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 21:41:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f999e49ba332c6c61bf33febf3dc2700 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 744 WTPS31 PGTW 220300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 014A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 17.9S7 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0S0 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.3S5 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.4S7 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.1S5 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.2S1 168.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 2 12009Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI5.0. TROPICA L CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS TH EN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO FLOW AROUND THE SUBTRO PICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WA RNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6). REFER TO TROPICA L CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICA TION FOR COR: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626039-1779>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 12:51:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA28290; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:50:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8076671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA16236 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:50:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:50:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220450.WAA01287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:50:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6388b2c0ebf6c33eb411315229eb6575 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 991 WTPS32 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6167 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 11.6S8 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.6S8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6167 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.7S9 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.1S4 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.5S8 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6167 UNCLAS 250000Z7 --- 13.1S5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 11.6S8 145.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 212219Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMPROMISE OF SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN CI2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND CI3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM WAS RELOCATED BASED ON THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OF THE DAY INDICATING THAT NATHAN'S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ACTUALLY LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THIS SHEARING IS EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY, AND WE HAVE FORECAST THE CYCLONE TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS CURRENTLY UNDER WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN AS THE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM BUILDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 2222100Z7 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6167 UNCLAS 221951Z0), AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6167 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626054-1775>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 12:54:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA21788; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:53:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8076688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA23818 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:53:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:53:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220453.WAA01303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 22:53:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffd6b6c6c16afd52754af0eaac29d849 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 035 WTPS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6168 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 17.9S7 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0S0 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6168 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.3S5 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.4S7 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6168 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.1S5 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.2S1 168.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 212009Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6168 UNCLAS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI5.0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS THEN BEGIN A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6168 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-1779>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:48:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13648; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8077004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA37946 for ; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220547.XAA01556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:47:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c331c41e41f598c97452b786528fe63d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 929 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9S7 167.7E1 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SE E REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 14A (WTPS31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 11.6S8 145.0E0 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIN DS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P WARNING NR 05 (WTPS32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-1778>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 16:36:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA48514; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 02:30:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8077698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 02:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA29292 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 02:30:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 02:30:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220830.CAA02354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 02:30:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 304cd99db28aa09941cb6f5828007ee0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 308 WTPS32 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 11.9S1 145.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 145.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.2S5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.5S8 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 12.8S1 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.1S5 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.6S0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 12.0S3 145.3E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE CYCLONE REMAINS UNDER VERY WEAK STEERING FLOW. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CIRCULATION SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY CAUSE TC30P (NATHAN) TO DRIFT BACK TO THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2663 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626329-1781>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 17:21:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45602; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:20:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8077993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:20:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA31504 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:20:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:20:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220920.DAA02673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:20:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ee3d6c384d0c1ac29458d46223c0bb8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 097 WTPS32 PGTW 220900 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 006A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 11.9S1 145.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 145.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.2S5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.5S8 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 12.8S1 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.1S5 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.6S0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 12.0S3 145.3E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY CAUSE TC 30P (NATHAN) TO DRIFT BACK TO THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CHANGE TC 29P (YALI) HEADER FROM (WTPS33 PGTW) TO (WTPS31 PGTW) AND ITS WARNING INTERVAL FROM SIX-HOURLY TO TWELVE-HOURLY.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3036 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-1778>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 17:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA45594; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:47:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8078018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA37384 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:47:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:47:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803220947.DAA02758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 03:47:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce2f55313f69be3a55f9141a57938756 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 540 WTPS32 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7010 UNCLAS 220600Z0 --- 11.9S1 145.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 145.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.2S5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.5S8 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7010 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 12.8S1 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.1S5 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.6S0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7010 UNCLAS REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 12.0S3 145.3E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE CYCLONE REMAINS UNDER VERY WEAK STEERING FLOW. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CIRCULATION SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY CAUSE TC30P (NATHAN) TO DRIFT BACK TO THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7010 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3987 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626590-1775>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 21:28:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA36682; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 07:27:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8079032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 07:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15158 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 07:27:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 07:27:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221327.HAA03526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 07:27:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04fb59521d7740309ccc891ea4270b52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 WTPS32 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 12.5S8 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 12.9S2 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.3S7 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.7S1 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.9S3 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.1S6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED ITS CON- VECTIVE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY. ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 12 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH STRENGTHENS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1316 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-1778>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:13:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA36682; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:12:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8079196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:12:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA31028 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:12:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:12:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221412.IAA03696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:12:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 29p (yali) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8711ce6a541905c5eb7e631de598c90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 WTPS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 19.5S5 168.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 168.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8S0 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.7S0 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.5S9 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.1S6 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.0S6 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 220916Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS LESSENED SLIGHTLY IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DURING THE SAME TIME. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN SLOW AND TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. A STRENGTHENING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 24 HOURS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 220916Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4237 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-1781>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 23:09:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA20588; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:08:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8079593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:08:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36696 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:08:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:08:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221508.JAA03983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:08:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 998bb8f2ee9d371d8dba997f545524ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 436 WTPS32 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7563 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 12.5S8 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 12.9S2 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.3S7 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7563 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.7S1 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.9S3 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.1S6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7563 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED ITS CON- VECTIVE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY. ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 12 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH STRENGTHENS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS BT #7563 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4456 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625960-1775>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 23:12:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA36748; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:11:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8079614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:11:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA29278 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:11:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:11:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221511.JAA04002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:11:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 29p (yali) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57fab769bbbb0ad95fcf1f7a7786eb29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 578 WTPS31 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7569 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 19.5S5 168.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 168.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8S0 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7569 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.7S0 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.5S9 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7569 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.1S6 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.0S6 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7569 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 220916Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS LESSENED SLIGHTLY IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DURING THE SAME TIME. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN SLOW AND TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. A STRENGTHENING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 24 HOURS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 220916Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7569 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3568 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626702-1779>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 03:15:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA37468; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:14:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8081243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA31806 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:14:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:14:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803221914.NAA05214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:14:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 29p (yali) Warning Nr 015a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2574fcf6d0f882e8e50fba5fa9dc22f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 667 WTPS31 PGTW 221500 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 015A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7841 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 19.5S5 168.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 168.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.6S8 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7841 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.7S0 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.4S8 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7841 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.9S3 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.4S9 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE RAPID WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7841 UNCLAS THE AMENDED WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 221542Z6 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN OUTFLOW CHANNEL TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH PRONOUNCED TRANSVERSE BANDING, INDICATIVE OF VERY STRONG WIND SPEEDS. IT IS BELIEVED THAT THIS OUTFLOW CHANNEL RESULTED IN AN EJECTION OF EXCESS MASS FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CORE, SOMEWHAT DISPERSING THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL HEAT ANOMALY. AT THE SAME TIME THIS OUTFLOW CHANNEL INDUCED MODERATE SHEAR IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM, DISRUPTING THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, THOUGH REGENERATION OF CENTRAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 12 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPING TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (230155Z6) AND 231500Z1 (231355Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: TO LOWER WARNING INTENSITY AND CHANGE FORECAST TRACK.// PAGE 06 RUHPSGG7841 UNCLAS BT #7841 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-1775>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 05:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA28810; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 15:19:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8082442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 15:18:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA15358 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 15:17:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 15:17:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803222117.PAA05978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 15:17:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e86f12b911613137f38e917d0546419 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 670 WTPS32 PGTW 222100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8006 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 12.8S1 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.3S7 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.7S1 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8006 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.9S3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.0S5 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.2S7 144.1E0 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8006 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION IN RESPONSE TO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENING TO ITS SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8006 UNCLAS BT #8006 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3091 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626483-19238>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 11:19:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA06938; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 21:13:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 21:13:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36860 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 21:13:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA08101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 21:13:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230313.VAA08101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 21:13:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c134fdbc1ebef08338d1ba54b06f470a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 WTPS31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4755 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626387-19238>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 12:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA20614; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:29:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:29:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA17520 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:29:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:29:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230429.WAA08512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:29:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c21ac44427376749dbf32a41fea364a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 958 WTPS32 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 13.4S8 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.6S0 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.8S2 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.1S6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.3S8 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5S0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 13.5S9 145.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 221932Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z7 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG88670820151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-19235>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 12:36:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA04316; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:30:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA20680 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:30:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:30:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230430.WAA08521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:30:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d93d5b80b04521cdb9c8250816fe0178 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 973 WTPS31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 20.6S8 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.0S4 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.0S5 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.8S3 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.4S0 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 20.9S1 170.0E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 221956Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12-HOURS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AS THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVES TO THE EAST AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS AND INFLUENCES THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE FORECAST FOR 29P (YALI) IS TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG88700820155 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626465-19240>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 12:39:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA16674; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:33:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:32:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA28432 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:32:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:32:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230432.WAA08545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:32:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5962ac5fade43aa9a2a77fcc6199cd99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 020 WTPS32 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8867 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 13.4S8 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.6S0 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 01 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8867 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.8S2 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.1S6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.3S8 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8867 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5S0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 13.5S9 145.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 221932Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z7 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8867 UNCLAS 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8867 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-19242>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 12:41:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA28626; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:35:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8086438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:35:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA38336 for ; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:35:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:35:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230435.WAA08568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 22:35:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4293d0153043fd89ea7a3cfe5871eea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 045 WTPS31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8870 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 20.6S8 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.0S4 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8870 UNCLAS 240000Z6 --- 23.0S5 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.8S3 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.4S0 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 20.9S1 170.0E8. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8870 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 221956Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12-HOURS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AS THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVES TO THE EAST AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS AND INFLUENCES THE ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE FORECAST FOR 29P (YALI) IS TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8870 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-19240>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 14:58:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32964; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8087096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32926 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803230656.AAA09376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:56:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical We Her Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87db6bd856882fb837ab33d25fe26c5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 025 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WE HER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPAC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4468 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626909-19242>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 18:11:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA45666; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:07:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8087687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:07:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA32838 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:07:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA10250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:07:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231007.EAA10250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:07:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96e0308fe65f32c8cb59a535b9b466c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 427 WTPS32 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 13.7S1 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.8S2 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.0S5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.1S6 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.2S7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.5S0 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 13.7S1 145.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A VAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBIN ATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 KN OTS) AND CI3.0 (45 KNOTS). NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSI TY. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING AND CONTINUED SLOW MOVEME NT TO THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FO R SLOW INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT W AVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5 ), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG97940820751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626512-19238>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 18:11:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA38296; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:08:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8087692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:08:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA34438 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:08:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA10254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:08:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231008.EAA10254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 04:08:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab92af9c3f2422156e2f14bb035aa96a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 536 WTPS32 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9794 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 13.7S1 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.8S2 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9794 UNCLAS 240600Z2 --- 14.0S5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.1S6 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.2S7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9794 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.5S0 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 13.7S1 145.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A VAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBIN ATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 KN OTS) AND CI3.0 (45 KNOTS). NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSI TY. THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9794 UNCLAS SYSTEM IS UNDER WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING AND CONTINUED SLOW MOVEME NT TO THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FO R SLOW INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT W AVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5 ), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9794 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2213 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-19240>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:52:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA15454; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA34088 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA11444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231350.HAA11444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 07:50:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ther Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e4393203a5edc718b76dcce70acce37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 586 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// J)/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEA THER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 20.6S8 169.5E6 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P WARNING NR 16 (WTPS31 PGTW 230300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4S8 145.6E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WI NDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P WARNING NR 09 (WTPS32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURL Y UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626970-19238>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 22:08:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA20536; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:05:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:05:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39462 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:05:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:05:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231405.IAA11674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:05:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28f45408cbce7229448fb1c078b5236a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 855 WTPS32 PGTW 231500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0209 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 14.1S6 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 14.5S0 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0209 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.8S3 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.0S6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.1S7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0209 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.2S8 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 221047Z6 MICROWAVE DATA. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTEN- SIFIED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0209 UNCLAS GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH TWELVE HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN QUEENSLAND. IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT A STRENGTHENING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. AN ALTERNATE TRACK IS SUGGESTED BY SEVERAL DYNAMIC AND STATISTICAL OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS, IN WHICH TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST IN WEAK STEERING FLOW. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0209 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3138 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627052-19240>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 22:10:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA31212; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:08:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:08:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39626 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:08:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:08:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231408.IAA11731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:08:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b2fa59370a518972d8eb6011a130c6b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 953 WTPS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 21.9S2 169.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 169.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.9S3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.6S1 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0S6 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.4S0 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 24.8S4 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 231200Z8 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM ILS DE PINS (WMO NUMBER 91596) AND MATTHEW ISLAND (WMO NUMBER 91598). THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION 75 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN STEADILY AND DISSIPATE BY THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627013-19242>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 22:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43658; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:10:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:10:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA39732 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:10:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:10:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231410.IAA11787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:10:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 406f0251b213e9c24eb2f5dd3bbc5491 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 971 WTPS32 PGTW 231500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 14.1S6 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 14.5S0 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.8S3 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.0S6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.1S7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.2S8 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 221047Z6 MICROWAVE DATA. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTEN- SIFIED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH TWELVE HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN QUEENSLAND. IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT A STRENGTHENING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. AN ALTERNATE TRACK IS SUGGESTED BY SEVERAL DYNAMIC AND STATISTICAL OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS, IN WHICH TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST IN WEAK STEERING FLOW. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG02090821351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1592 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626973-19240>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 22:53:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA37936; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:50:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8088994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA29618 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:43:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:43:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231443.IAA12533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:43:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 579cb992edfacdc7b24967f67dbf2274 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 700 WTPS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 21.9S2 169.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 169.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.9S3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.6S1 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0S6 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.4S0 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 24.8S4 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 231200Z8 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM ILS DE PINS (WMO NUMBER 91596) AND MATTHEW ISLAND (WMO NUMBER 91598). THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION 75 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN STEADILY AND DISSIPATE BY THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG02620821355 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627026-19238>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 22:57:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA45708; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8089094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38048 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:47:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:47:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803231447.IAA12591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 08:47:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2304abeeead3656d9ab1f79101555872 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 738 WTPS31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0262 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 21.9S2 169.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 169.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.9S3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.6S1 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0262 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0S6 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.4S0 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 24.8S4 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0262 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 231200Z8 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM ILS DE PINS (WMO NUMBER 91596) AND MATTHEW ISLAND (WMO NUMBER 91598). THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION 75 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN STEADILY AND DISSIPATE BY THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) BT #0262 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627125-19242>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 06:19:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA13536; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:44:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8092968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:43:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40310 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:43:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:43:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803232143.PAA21567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:43:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84cfd97396f9cb53e36707a2ab452a26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 725 WTPS32 PGTW 232100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 14.5S0 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.9S4 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.1S7 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.3S9 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.5S1 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.7S3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 14.6S1 145.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THOUGH OUTFLOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN RECURVING AT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN QUEENSLAND BY 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE. SEVERAL DYNAMIC AND THE MAJORITY OF STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IN WHICH TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) MOVES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 40751Z9), 241500Z9 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG09660821951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627140-19242>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 06:24:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA34306; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:47:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8092983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:47:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA29598 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:47:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA21685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:47:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803232147.PAA21685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:47:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 096e92ef18b6ed7bcb5583c518c68eb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 WTPS32 PGTW 232100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0966 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 14.5S0 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.9S4 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0966 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.1S7 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.3S9 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.5S1 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0966 UNCLAS OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.7S3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 14.6S1 145.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231730Z6 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0966 UNCLAS INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THOUGH OUTFLOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN RECURVING AT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN QUEENSLAND BY 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE. SEVERAL DYNAMIC AND THE MAJORITY OF STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST AIDS SUGGEST AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IN WHICH TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) MOVES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 40751Z9), 241500Z9 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0966 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:43 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <628477-11042>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 13:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628437-1015>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 13:11:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA14268; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:10:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8095321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36708 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:09:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:09:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803240309.VAA25255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:09:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: c1761e76911806776b585fd39a22913c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 924 WTPS32 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:43 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <627549-11043>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 13:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628164-1014>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 12:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29078; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:42:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8095682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:41:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA29260 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:41:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:41:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803240341.VAA25463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:41:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: bc4808bb664437476622f3ae5ebb154c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 627 WTPS32 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2537 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 14.8S3 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 15.0S6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2537 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.2S8 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.4S0 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.6S2 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2537 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.0S7 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 14.8S3 146.7E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 232330Z3 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 60 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED AND SLOWED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS SERVING AS THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW. DIRECT INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO GREATLY INFLUENCE THE SYSTEM'S TRACK AND INTENSITY OVER THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2537 UNCLAS FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AT A FORWARD SPEED OF 03 KNOTS FOR THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2537 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:44 1998 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <628449-11044>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 13:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1894 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628168-1013>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 12:40:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29136; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:44:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8095767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:44:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA17576 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:44:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:44:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803240344.VAA25493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 21:44:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: 929e1cbcbd67deea0261527eb2493a42 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 643 WTPS31 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2539 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 24.2S8 164.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.2S8 164.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 25.1S8 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2539 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 26.1S9 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 28.4S4 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.1S5 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2539 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 24.4S0 163.7E7. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) REMAINS VERY WELL ORGANIZED DESPITE MODERATE WIND SHEER FROM THE NORTH- NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 22 KNOTS, SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THIS INTENSITY IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO A RE-EVALUATION OF THE VISIBLE IMAGERY AND THE SYSTEM'S INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH BETWEEN THE 24 AND 36 HOUR PERIODS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2539 UNCLAS DUE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. ADDITIONALLY, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE NORTH AND EAST WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE SYSTEM'S POLEWARD MOVEMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENTERS AN AREA WITH COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ENTER AN AREA OF INCREASED WIND SHEER AS THE MID- LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8).// BT #2539 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2342 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-11042>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 16:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA19238; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 02:56:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8097781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 02:56:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA25870 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 02:56:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 02:56:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803240856.CAA27266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 02:56:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8437fda189046f5687aab44bb8a82697 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 WTPS32 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3480 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 14.6S1 147.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 147.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.7S2 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3480 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.8S3 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.9S4 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.1S7 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3480 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.7S3 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 14.6S1 147.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT A SPEED OF 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 240530Z4 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY. THE FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS AND THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3480 UNCLAS 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3480 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627666-11042>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:54:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19380; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 07:53:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8099269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 07:52:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA21342 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 07:52:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 07:52:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241352.HAA28885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 07:52:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c08f6ba77701f0c6e839d49ad75ba5c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 956 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3122 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627681-11041>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 22:37:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA29460; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 08:34:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8099762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 08:34:40 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA47104 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 08:34:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA20475 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 08:34:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 08:29:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241429.IAA29376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 08:29:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51ac0367517b8d0d32bb59a0664620f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 858 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 015 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4462 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 14.1S6 148.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 148.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 13.9S3 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4462 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.9S3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.1S6 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4462 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.5S0 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.3S0 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 14.0S5 148.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 241130Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4462 UNCLAS (NATHAN) HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO MID- LEVEL STEERING FLOW INFLUENCED BY THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD BEGIN A MORE EASTWARD TRACK BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AGAIN INFLUENCED BY THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4462 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3367 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-11041>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 23:17:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA29602; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 09:14:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8100295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 09:14:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA28520 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 09:14:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA00251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 09:14:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241514.JAA00251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 09:14:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcaa04380adb45e4718f0505bd26d707 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 629 WTPS31 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 019 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 24.5S1 162.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.5S1 162.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.8S4 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.2S9 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.9S6 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 12 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.9S8 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 24.6S2 162.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 241130Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM'S MOVEMENT HAS SLOWED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD CONTINUE A SLOW WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4641 UNCLAS TURN SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4641 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-11041>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 01:03:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA20480; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:00:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8101761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:00:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA39142 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:00:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:00:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241700.LAA02660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:00:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96e302a326992d6fa33eb41187aae42f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 739 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 14.1S6 148.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 148.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 13.9S3 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.9S3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.1S6 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.5S0 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.3S0 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 14.0S5 148.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 241130Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO MID- LEVEL STEERING FLOW INFLUENCED BY THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD BEGIN A MORE EASTWARD TRACK BY THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN A MORE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AGAIN INFLUENCED BY THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1269 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-11043>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 01:06:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA38970; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:04:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8101787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:04:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA46368 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:04:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:04:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803241704.LAA02770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 11:04:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 090baefb7553e13655b2136f89fdda97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 787 WTPS31 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 24.5S1 162.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.5S1 162.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.8S4 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.2S9 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.9S6 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.9S8 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 24.6S2 162.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 241130Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THE SYSTEM=S MOVEMENT HAS SLOWED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS IT IS INTERACTING WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD CONTINUE A SLOW WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1892 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627215-11044>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 05:18:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA44904; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 15:12:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8103494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 15:11:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA17972 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 15:11:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 15:11:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803242111.PAA08101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 15:11:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7cb85a671a5deb7b1cebc4b96e05fa6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 512 WTPS32 PGTW 242100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 13.4S8 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 12.9S2 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.6S9 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.7S0 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.2S6 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 14.9S4 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 13.3S7 149.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN TRACKING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 241730Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS AND A 241732Z9 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST- NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW DUE TO THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD REMAIN AT OR NEAR IT=S CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626545-9647>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 11:13:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA37734; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:09:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8107122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:08:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA43780 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:08:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:08:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250308.VAA11847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:08:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dedbb2a55b311683cbb1d27b696ec1e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 288 WTPS31 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 25.1S8 161.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 161.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.8S5 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.5S3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7S6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.3S4 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 25.3S0 161.0E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION SLIGHTLY TO 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 241208Z7 SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS FORMED ABOVE TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P. DESPITE THE LACK OF UPPER- LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS SYSTEM, TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-9647>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 11:21:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA26018; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:09:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8107137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:09:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA48984 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:09:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:09:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250309.VAA11852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:09:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9416461a705f63257965f134c7b8739 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 13.2S6 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.0S4 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.2S6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.9S3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.8S3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.3S0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 13.2S6 151.8E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS CONTINUING ON AN EASTERLY TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY AREA BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE WIND SHEER FROM THE EAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON AN EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN TURN SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) MOVES TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z3 (DTG 251951), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-9646>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 11:34:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA42362; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:30:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8107483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:30:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA38414 for ; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:30:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:30:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250330.VAA12001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:30:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83fecf203b07f12b16bdad13735f152b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 822 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 13.2S6 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.0S4 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.2S6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.9S3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.8S3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.3S0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 13.2S6 151.8E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS CONTINUING ON AN EASTERLY TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY AREA BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE WIND SHEER FROM THE EAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON AN EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN TURN SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) MOVES TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626725-9642>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 14:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36714; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:08:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8108930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:08:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA14108 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250607.AAA13086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 407e69bb4759a7acc448144c18cefc59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 552 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 25.1S8 161.4E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 20 (WTPS31 PGTW 250300) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.2S6 151.4E1 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 17 (WTPS32 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3998 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-9647>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 14:16:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19248; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19222 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250614.AAA13200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ca257404ebf5593c28204ccc8549ee47 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 854 WTPS31 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7627 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 25.1S8 161.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 161.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.8S5 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7627 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.5S3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7S6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.3S4 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7627 UNCLAS 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 25.3S0 161.0E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION SLIGHTLY TO 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 241208Z7 SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS FORMED ABOVE TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P. DESPITE THE LACK OF UPPER- LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS SYSTEM, TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P IS FORECAST TO TURN MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1) AND PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7627 UNCLAS 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7627 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626773-9647>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 14:17:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15434; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15396 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250614.AAA13204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:14:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4838b28585e379a942e2e8040a5b1fac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 855 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7629 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 13.2S6 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.0S4 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7629 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.2S6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.9S3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.8S3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7629 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.3S0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 13.2S6 151.8E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS CONTINUING ON AN EASTERLY TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY AREA BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE WIND SHEER FROM THE EAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON AN EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN TURN SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) MOVES TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7629 UNCLAS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7629 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3297 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-9645>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 16:49:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45018; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:47:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:45:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA16294 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:45:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:45:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803250845.CAA14017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:45:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d355a2dd640c5bb80b0e086f533af42a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 724 WTPS32 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 13.1S5 153.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 153.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.3S7 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.2S7 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.9S4 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.5S1 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.5S2 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 13.1S5 154.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 250530Z5 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 50 KNOTS. FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN INFLUENCED BY A LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO IT=S EAST. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STEER TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEER NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625865-9645>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 18:16:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34530; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 04:14:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8109642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 04:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37840 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 04:14:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 04:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251014.EAA14597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 04:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dcf4750cd83ef9e5098ccd157a468708 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 299 WTPS32 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8395 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 13.1S5 153.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 153.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.3S7 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8395 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.2S7 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.9S4 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.5S1 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8395 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.5S2 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 13.1S5 154.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 250530Z5 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 50 KNOTS. FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN INFLUENCED BY A LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO IT'S EAST. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STEER TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) EASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEER NEAR THE END OF THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8395 UNCLAS FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8395 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626904-9642>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:06:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA39640; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:03:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8110796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:03:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15576 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:01:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:01:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251401.IAA16023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:01:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e17210c5eb3e07a463ba494bafef308 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 503 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 13.1S5 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.4S8 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.1S6 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.2S8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5S2 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 13.2S6 155.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MOTION TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE LARGE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING INFLUENCE FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). THIS MOTION TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4252 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627083-9646>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:07:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA14186; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:05:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8110838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14924 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:05:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:05:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251405.IAA16090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:05:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9eabe3ec8b4db30f2aa62a76d68d764c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1163 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626947-9645>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:32:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA15264; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:30:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8110926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:30:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44938 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:30:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:30:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251430.IAA16497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:30:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5aea95c21df733fb13c85262952edcb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 187 WTPS31 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 25.9S6 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9S6 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.6S4 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7S6 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.3S4 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 31.5S9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 26.1S9 159.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE VERY LARGE IN SIZE AND IS INFLUENCING THE TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) TO ITS NORTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS MOTION IS IN RESPONSE TO MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH LOCATED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE A TIGHTLY WRAPPED EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN THIS WAY WITH COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSING SLOW WEAKENING TO OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626238-9646>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:46:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43700; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:44:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8111056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:44:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA31136 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:44:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:44:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251444.IAA16706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:44:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d284e739f986a194693fd2ff394585f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 425 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 13.1S5 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.4S8 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.1S6 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.2S8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5S2 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 13.2S6 155.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MOTION TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE LARGE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING INFLUENCE FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). THIS MOTION TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-9645>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 23:20:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04368; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:18:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8111327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:18:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA16348 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251517.JAA17471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6fd06a711ad129fb7519df4ca49ad3cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 WTPS31 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9221 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 25.9S6 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9S6 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.6S4 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9221 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 27.7S6 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 29.3S4 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 31.5S9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9221 UNCLAS REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 26.1S9 159.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE VERY LARGE IN SIZE AND IS INFLUENCING THE TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) TO ITS NORTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS MOTION IS IN RESPONSE TO MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH LOCATED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE A TIGHTLY WRAPPED EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN THIS WAY WITH COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSING SLOW WEAKENING TO OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9) AND 261500Z4 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9221 UNCLAS (DTG 261355Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9221 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-9646>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 23:20:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA04590; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8111322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18124 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA17476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803251517.JAA17476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:17:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33e9b4c515c2d124713a6253fc95eead Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 073 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9222 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 13.1S5 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.4S8 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9222 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.1S6 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.2S8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5S2 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9222 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 13.2S6 155.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MOTION TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE LARGE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING INFLUENCE FROM TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). THIS MOTION TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9222 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.// BT #9222 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1128 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626055-22922>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 10:36:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA34450; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:33:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8116696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:33:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA39542 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:33:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:33:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803260233.UAA29016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:33:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 43c9b1de4d02e9ff7f7a21f72801a6f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 845 WTPS32 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 13.5S9 157.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 157.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.8S2 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.2S7 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.6S1 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.1S7 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 13.6S0 157.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 252058Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGER Y INDICATE THAT TC 30P (NATHAN) HAS AN PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRC ULATION CENTER. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED 25 NM S OUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A EASTWARD DIREC TION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TC 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPE CTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FUR THER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 13 FEET. N EXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). REFE R TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-22925>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 10:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA24688; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:34:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8116726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:34:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA19294 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:34:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:34:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803260234.UAA29021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 20:34:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20df711eeff6935b9cb88099fbe45417 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 887 WTPS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 26.0S8 158.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.0S8 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 26.0S8 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.4S2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.0S9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.8S7 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 26.0S8 158.2E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 251855Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING VISUAL IMAGE RY AND THE PATTERN OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD FEATURES. TC 29P (YALI) IS A B ROAD AREA WITH AN EXPOSED, TIGHTLY-WRAPPED, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LIT TLE TO NO CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TURN SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEA ST AND THE APPROACHING SHORT-WAVE TO THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERI OD DUE TO COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0). REFER TO TROP ICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES .// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626800-22919>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29222; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:18:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8117313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA13552 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803260417.WAA29681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65ad1e5a676602d513027c68c354bdb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 839 WTPS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 26.0S8 158.5E9 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2069 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.0S8 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 26.0S8 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.4S2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2069 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.0S9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.8S7 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 26.0S8 158.2E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2069 UNCLAS AND A 251855Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING VISUAL IMAGERY AND THE PATTERN OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD FEATURES. TC 29P (YALI) IS A BROAD AREA WITH AN EXPOSED, TIGHTLY-WRAPPED, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE TO NO CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TURN SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THE APPROACHING SHORT-WAVE TO THE SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2069 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-22919>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29250; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:18:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8117318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA38414 for ; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803260417.WAA29685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:17:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a035cfa6c51cc8eab255bacbc0fe75cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 WTPS32 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2072 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 13.5S9 157.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 157.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.8S2 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2072 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.2S7 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.6S1 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.1S7 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 13.6S0 157.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2072 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 252058Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TC 30P (NATHAN) HAS AN PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED 25 NM SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A EASTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). TC 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2072 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1147 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626666-22919>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:18:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44002; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:15:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8117811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:15:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA37828 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:05:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:05:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803260605.AAA00274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:05:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 118869f3d9664086139477f29b172ffd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 662 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 26. 0S8 158.5E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 22 (WTPS31 PGTW 260300) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURT HER DETAILS. (2) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 1 3.5S9 157.3E6 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNI NG 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 20 (WTPS32 PGTW 260300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATE S FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-22924>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 21:23:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA24774; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:22:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8119210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:21:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA34482 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:21:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:21:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261321.HAA02228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:21:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2cf46f38aa48723e71ef43a95eb4f226 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 948 WTPS32 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-22919>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:07:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA13448; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:05:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8119406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA25926 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:05:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:05:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261405.IAA02672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:05:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46e8f5a868eb02ce763acc82d36cca48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 906 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627296-22924>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:37:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA42294; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8119760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17690 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261435.IAA03167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce8b6029dacb66aa7057ba7cf9a9f574 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 WTPS32 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4097 UNCLAS 261200Z1 --- 13.7S1 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.2S7 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.7S2 160.2E9 PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4097 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.3S9 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.9S5 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z3 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4097 UNCLAS INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 261014Z4 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261014Z4 MICRO- WAVE DATA SHOWS THE MAIN DEEP CONVECTIVE AREA IS NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM'S MOTION IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST. A DEVELOPING RIDGE EAST OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REPLACE TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) AS THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AS THE LATTER SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (271351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- BT #4097 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627319-22925>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA40288; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:36:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8119765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:36:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA14890 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261435.IAA03172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 08:35:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad13b5b2ec3da5409ab3aeb90ebc856d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 26.0S8 158.3E7 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4098 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.0S8 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.2S0 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.5S3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4098 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.1S0 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.2S2 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: DURING THE PAST 09 HOURS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS SLOWED AND BECOME QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 261014Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED 91NM SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4098 UNCLAS 261014Z4 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 07 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE SOUTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS BT #4098 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2795 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627326-22925>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 01:22:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA13742; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:21:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA38504 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:20:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:20:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261720.LAA07461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:20:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e98892ce52aba42fd2f0c87a31791f29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 645 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2847 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-22922>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 01:23:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA04206; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:21:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:21:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA16476 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:21:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:21:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261721.LAA07485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:21:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7683e2b21358aee30ed6430f5fe3ecc8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 682 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WIND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3421 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627356-22924>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 01:30:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA18080; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:24:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:24:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA38488 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:23:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:23:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261723.LAA07547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:23:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c99b93547dcf4804ca15eb3e88c23a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 710 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 02 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3354 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627342-22925>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 01:30:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA50974; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:27:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA42466 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:27:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:26:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261726.LAA07614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:26:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48e8362f3b45b393a447efaa97b801dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 738 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627345-22919>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 02:21:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA16254; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:19:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:19:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA47670 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:19:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:18:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261818.MAA08696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:18:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 075d2a1a30bd571b00814c0004c78642 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 766 WTPS32 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-22925>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 02:25:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA38542; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:23:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:23:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA38510 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:23:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:23:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261823.MAA08775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:23:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e96a7615769019acc53011a53e1a87dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 850 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 26.0S8 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.0S8 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.2S0 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.5S3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.1S0 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.2S2 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: DURING THE PAST 09 HOURS TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS SLOWED AND BECOME QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 261014Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED 91NM SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. 261014Z4 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 07 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE SOUTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3869 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627333-22922>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 02:26:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA04186; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:24:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8121981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:24:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA16438 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:24:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:24:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803261824.MAA08790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:24:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66dd3d56f81d1be6b6092e8d4d3c25ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 881 WTPS32 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 13.7S1 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.2S7 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.7S2 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.3S9 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.9S5 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 261014Z4 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261014Z4 MICRO- WAVE DATA SHOWS THE MAIN DEEP CONVECTIVE AREA IS NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM=S MOTION IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) TO ITS SOUTH. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST. A DEVELOPING RIDGE EAST OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REPLACE TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) AS THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AS THE LATTER SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (271351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1752 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626918-22919>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 04:05:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA42462; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:02:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8123595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:02:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11972 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:02:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:02:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803262002.OAA11033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:02:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: And Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54a3f8e87f4ce79e7481d9dccb521409 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 799 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 AMD 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 27.0S9 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.0S9 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 28.6S6 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 30.2S5 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 32.3S8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: REANALYSIS OF 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS AMENDED WARNING POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY EXTRAPOLATION OF 261241Z6 SCATTEROMETER DATA. WARNING INTENSITY REMAINS UNCHANGED BUT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR THE SCATTEROMETER DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS OVER 70 NM SOUTH OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND IS BEING VERTICALLY SHEARED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS EAST. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND ENTER AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS ANTICIPATED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: TO RELOCATE SYSTEM SOUTH OF PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION AND MODIFY FORECAST TRACK.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627338-22922>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 04:59:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA38336; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:50:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8124362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:50:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA38314 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:50:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:50:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803262050.OAA12179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:50:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: And Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06506312fafa115105de28a3058ff830 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 645 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 AMD 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 023A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5286 UNCLAS 261200Z1 --- 27.0S9 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.0S9 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 28.6S6 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 30.2S5 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5286 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 32.3S8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: REANALYSIS OF 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS AMENDED WARNING POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY EXTRAPOLATION OF 261241Z6 SCATTEROMETER DATA. WARNING INTENSITY REMAINS UNCHANGED BUT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR THE SCATTEROMETER DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS OVER 70 NM SOUTH OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND IS BEING VERTICALLY SHEARED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS EAST. AFTER 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5286 UNCLAS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND ENTER AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS ANTICIPATED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: TO RELOCATE SYSTEM SOUTH OF PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION AND MODIFY FORECAST TRACK.// BT #5286 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4929 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-3158>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:56:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43578; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:45:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8126671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:44:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44000 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:44:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:44:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803270244.UAA16389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:44:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7874763e05689409c71bc9607f02a2e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 351 WTPS32 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 15.0S6 158.8E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6879 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.1S8 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.0S8 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6879 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.9S7 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.9S8 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 15.3S9 158.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 262029Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED. THE MAIN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 30P PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6879 UNCLAS (NATHAN) IS TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STEERING IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) TO ITS SOUTH. THE FORECAST IS FOR TC 30P (NATHAN) TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWARD DUE TO THE BUILDING RIDGE EAST OF SYSTEM AND TC 29P (YALI) BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND MOVING SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR INCREASES OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING. // BT #6879 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626981-3157>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:58:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20070; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:45:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8126680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:45:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA44026 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:45:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:44:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803270244.UAA16393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 20:44:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b575764707b5a31e48b695c2fa0b8d28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 352 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 30.3S6 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 20 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6881 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.3S6 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 34.2S9 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 31.3S7 158.5E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEMS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6881 UNCLAS ELONGATED DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS ENTERED AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 17 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6881 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2815 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626522-3155>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 12:57:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39134; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:52:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8127599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:52:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA28094 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:52:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:52:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803270452.WAA17248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:52:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1041a62636f74c9b7a9f323f45a36399 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 876 WTPS32 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 15.0S6 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.1S8 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.0S8 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.9S7 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.9S8 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 15.3S9 158.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLIT E IMAGERY AND 262029Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED. THE MAIN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 30P (NATHAN) IS TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STEERING IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) TO ITS SOUTH. THE FORECAST IS FOR TC 30P (NATHAN) TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWARD DUE TO THE BUILDING RIDGE EAS T OF SYSTEM AND TC 29P (YALI) BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND MOVING SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR INCREASE S OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEE T. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-3157>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 13:01:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA38918; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:53:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8127606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA25588 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:53:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:53:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803270453.WAA17253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 22:53:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b97e6845803b161b76c0c61a1688ab9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 899 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 30.3S6 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.3S6 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 34.2S9 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 31.3S7 158.5E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEMS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) HAS ENTERED AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL ER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL N EAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 17 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WIL L BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYC LONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1673 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-3152>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 14:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA48954; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8128079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA31776 for ; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803270558.XAA17628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 23:58:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6f8f773e94524c58f6c63036a12efab1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 122 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WAS LOCATED AT 30. 3S6 158.2E6 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMAT ED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 24 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 1 5.0S6 158.8E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNI NG 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 22 (WTPS32 PGTW 270300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATE S FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SANCHEZ/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627289-3155>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:45:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA49668; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8130025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15074 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271342.HAA20272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Very Req To Amembassy Port Moresby To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6039037c250511109e188b218149e2fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 277 WTPS32 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DED VERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.8S4 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6S3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.5S3 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.4S3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.2S2 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 270956Z9 MICROWAVE DATA. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED. 270956Z9 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES SPIRAL BANDS WRAPPING INTO A WELL- DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO ITS SOUTH, FORMERLY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). HOWEVER, A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EAST OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4905 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627263-3158>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:45:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA49704; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8130030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA15090 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271342.HAA20277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 07:42:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fe9576372ba9fd44badb98fba696af2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 278 WTPS32 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.8S4 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6S3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.5S3 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.4S3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.2S2 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 270956Z9 MICROWAVE DATA. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED. 270956Z9 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES SPIRAL BANDS WRAPPING INTO A WELL- DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO ITS SOUTH, FORMERLY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). HOWEVER, A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EAST OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3640 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-3152>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 22:31:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA38638; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:30:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8130412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:29:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21672 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:29:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:29:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271429.IAA20851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:29:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3df98dd81c99bbad972fd48c73a5f272 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 375 WTPS32 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.8S4 158.8E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9465 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 158.8E2 --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3955 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-3157>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 22:36:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA43774; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:33:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8130446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:33:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38532 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:32:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:32:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271432.IAA20897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 08:32:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30p (nathan) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caf4762f32157a8cc6900dbe2f268cd5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 467 WTPS32 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.8S4 158.8E2 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9465 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6S3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.5S3 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9465 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.4S3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.2S2 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 270956Z9 MICROWAVE DATA. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED. 270956Z9 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES SPIRAL BANDS WRAPPING INTO A WELL- DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9465 UNCLAS QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL BEING INFLUENCED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO ITS SOUTH, FORMERLY TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI). HOWEVER, A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EAST OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING INFLUENCE AFTER 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) WARNING (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #9465 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1167 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-3158>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 00:04:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA38866; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8131148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA16752 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA22519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803271600.KAA22519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:00:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Dmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2cf60047831858856b7d3267c2e34cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 061 ABPW10 PGTW 271600 MSGID/8 DMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/271600Z/280600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270155Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271351Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (YALI) COMPLETED TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 29P (YALI) WARNING NR 24 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 271200Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8S4 158.8E2 AND MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 23 (WTPS32 PGTW 271500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS BETWEEN VANUATU AND FIJI NEAR 16S7 173E1. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN ELONGATED CONVERGENCE LINE WITH ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION FORMING AT THE SOUTHWEST END. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN A REGION OF WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND ITS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY GOOD IN THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS, FAIR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD THE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626366-7906>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:40:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14634; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:37:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8136798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:37:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA16150 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:37:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:37:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803280237.UAA02822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:37:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5942e0af4a3c98f677f552f8a1bc92f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 WTPS32 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1358 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-7905>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:42:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA28606; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:40:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8136857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA37754 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:40:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:40:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803280240.UAA02846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 20:40:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8480cbaa62b630547de7fff40ec28b1e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 508 WTPS32 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 16.1S8 158.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 158.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.2S9 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.3S0 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.3S0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.3S0 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 16.1S8 157.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272331Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 272331Z8 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE. PREVIOUSLY, THE SYSTEM WAS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE SYSTEM=S SOUTH. HOWEVER, OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. HENCE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED TO A MORE WESTERLY TRACK. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3459 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-7905>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 11:26:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA15002; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:24:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8137154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:23:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA31580 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:23:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:23:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803280323.VAA03111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 21:23:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52924e03d50115e76b5740b89267eb77 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 271 WTPS32 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2050 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 16.1S8 158.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 158.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.2S9 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.3S0 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2050 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.3S0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.3S0 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 16.1S8 157.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272331Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 272331Z8 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE. PREVIOUSLY, THE SYSTEM WAS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE SYSTEM'S SOUTH. HOWEVER, OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2050 UNCLAS SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. HENCE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED TO A MORE WESTERLY TRACK. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// BT #2050 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626002-7901>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 14:02:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44782; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:59:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8138145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA34216 for ; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803280558.XAA03915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 23:58:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9dece6de318b5e1688a1035b34c581e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 899 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1S8 158.0E4 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 24 (WTPS32 PGTW 280300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA REMAINS ORGANIZED. THE REGION CONSISTS OF LINES OF CUMULUS CLOUDS WIDELY DISPERSED AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS IN A REGION OF WEAK UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WITH ITS STRONGEST UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2075 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-7906>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:04:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA36276; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:02:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8140093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA36252 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA05820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281201.GAA05820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:01:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7389fdcaa8f515b861a407fd9cba3c60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 613 ABPW10 PGTW 281100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/281100Z/290600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2386 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627144-7906>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 22:05:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA14870; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 08:02:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8140768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 08:02:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38784 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 08:02:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 08:02:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281402.IAA06415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 08:02:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8219886e519fc0282178cccb5a6b578e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 089 WTPS32 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 16.6S3 156.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 156.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.9S6 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.0S8 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.0S8 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.0S8 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 16.7S4 156.5E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS, CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND THE INCREASE OF CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS INDICATED BY ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THERE IS STILL EVIDENCE OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT SHOULD INHIBIT ANY MORE DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH AT THE LOWER AND MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER, SOME SLOWING WILL OCCUR AT THE 12 HOUR POSITION AS A MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AFTER 24 HOURS THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AND WILL START A SLOW WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2335 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-7904>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:07:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id KAA26068; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:04:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8141572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:03:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id KAA36480 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:03:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA06981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:03:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803281603.KAA06981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 10:03:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5379243926b6d00ab97894e0d0faed1a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 455 WTPS32 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3979 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 16.6S3 156.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 156.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.9S6 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3979 UNCLAS 291200Z4 --- 17.0S8 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.0S8 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.0S8 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 16.7S4 156.5E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3979 UNCLAS INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS, CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND THE INCREASE OF CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS INDICATED BY ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THERE IS STILL EVIDENCE OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT SHOULD INHIBIT ANY MORE DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH AT THE LOWER AND MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER, SOME SLOWING WILL OCCUR AT THE 12 HOUR POSITION AS A MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AFTER 24 HOURS THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD MOTION WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AND WILL START A SLOW WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// BT #3979 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-7416>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 10:52:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA16874; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:50:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8145807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:49:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA51346 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:49:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:49:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290249.UAA10271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:49:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0986b7fe89ccab4fae728d8efc465ff0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 703 WTPS32 PGTW 290300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1293 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626320-7415>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:01:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA27196; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:56:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8145900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:56:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA43562 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:56:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:56:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290256.UAA10290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:56:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6302bb6bed7950767d65a34d21a9b274 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 756 WTPS32 PGTW 290300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 16.1S8 155.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.1S8 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.2S9 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.4S1 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.7S4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 16.1S8 154.5E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282331Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 282331Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KNOTS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTING THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY ALLOWING MORE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING THE SYSTEM. AFTER THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DUE TO A WEAKENING IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626490-7417>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 12:08:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA31838; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 22:06:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8146347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 22:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA25418 for ; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 22:06:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 22:06:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290406.WAA10660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 22:06:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e72579fc63e28ccac3b2b815094bbdaa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 WTPS32 PGTW 290300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5402 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 16.1S8 155.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.1S8 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5402 UNCLAS 300000Z3 --- 16.2S9 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.4S1 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.7S4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 16.1S8 154.5E5. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5402 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282331Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 282331Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KNOTS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTING THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY ALLOWING MORE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING THE SYSTEM. AFTER THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DUE TO A WEAKENING IN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// BT #5402 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-7412>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:17:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21906; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:15:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8147274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA51454 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290614.AAA11245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:14:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e48f6067a73cdc0e7d15a78d7f016fe0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 486 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z MAR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1S8 155.0E1 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 26 (WTPS32 PGTW 290300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 171E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGRY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO ARREST SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING OVER THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 18. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4538 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627061-7417>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 16:50:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA25346; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 02:47:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8147803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 02:47:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA34286 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 02:47:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 02:47:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290847.CAA11859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 02:47:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 281dcd4725404b83bda3aa9015485b67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 WTPS32 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 15.9S5 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.9S5 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.1S8 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.4S1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.9S6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.8S6 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 15.9S5 153.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 290530Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS IT PASSED THROUGH AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DESPITE ITS SMALL SIZE AND MINIMAL AMOUNT OF CENTRAL CONVECTION. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FROM THE NAVY INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMIC NAVY MODEL SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND TRACK SOUTHWARD. THE LATER SCENARIO DOES NOT CONCUR WITH THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK SHOWS A WESTWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS EXPECTED AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH REMAINS THE PREDOMINANT STEERING MECHANISM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTERWARDS DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT SIX-HOUR INTERVALS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1084 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627071-7416>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 17:20:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA25532; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 03:17:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8147843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 03:17:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA49832 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 03:17:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 03:17:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803290917.DAA12102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 03:17:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a950935742111bb9a9eef1c7d4180f5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 WTPS32 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6059 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 15.9S5 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.9S5 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6059 UNCLAS 300600Z9 --- 16.1S8 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.4S1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.9S6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.8S6 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6059 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 15.9S5 153.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 290530Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS IT PASSED THROUGH AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DESPITE ITS SMALL SIZE AND MINIMAL AMOUNT OF CENTRAL CONVECTION. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FROM THE NAVY INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMIC NAVY MODEL SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AND TRACK SOUTHWARD. THE LATER SCENARIO DOES NOT CONCUR WITH THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST TRACK SHOWS A WESTWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS EXPECTED AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH REMAINS THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6059 UNCLAS PREDOMINANT STEERING MECHANISM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTERWARDS DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT SIX-HOUR INTERVALS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// BT #6059 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2819 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627214-7415>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:08:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA44776; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:07:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8148868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:06:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21974 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:06:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:06:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803291406.IAA13169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:06:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 352f549ad1d41ae9dc93a5eec54e8c82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 264 WTPS21 PGTW 291330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 291321Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 13.6S0 171.6E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 291130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 171.8E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTHWEST OF FIJI CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT A UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE DISTURBANCE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH SOME INDICATION OF CYCLONIC TURNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 301330Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3032 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627231-7412>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:11:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA37786; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:09:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8148883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:09:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16512 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:09:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:09:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803291409.IAA13185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:09:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f0a15baa9e0cc72e3f42b3a1c3deb47 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 372 WTPS32 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 15.4S0 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.2S8 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.6S2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.2S9 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.6S3 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.9S6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 15.4S0 152.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 290902Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FLARE UP AND DIE DOWN ACROSS THE SYSTEM=S CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHWEST OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WHICH IS DISRUPTING THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS ATMOSPHERIC FEATURE IS KEEPING THE SYSTEM FROM INTENSIFYING ANY FURTHER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT BEGIN TO TURN MORE WESTWARD BY THE TWELVE HOUR POSITION. THIS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION REPRESENTS A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THIS IS DUE TO THE ORIENTATION OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE LOWER AND MID LEVEL RIDGING DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALSO CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO SLOW IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS, BUT WILL SHIFT TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY 72 HOURS AS LOW LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE PASSING SURFACE FRONT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD HOLD NEAR ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MID LEVEL DRY AIR SHOULD PREVENT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE CAUSING THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN. LAND INTERACTION BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION WILL FURTHER WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627243-7415>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA51406; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:53:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8149053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:53:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA16572 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:53:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:53:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803291453.IAA13363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:53:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 980b921959bfe8baefcbf024dec0e2f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 118 WTPS21 PGTW 291330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 291321Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 13.6S0 171.6E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6533 UNCLAS CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 291130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 171.8E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTHWEST OF FIJI CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE DISTURBANCE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH SOME INDICATION OF CYCLONIC TURNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 301330Z0.// BT #6533 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4692 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-7417>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:58:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA51432; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:57:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8149076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:57:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA15062 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:56:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA13373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:56:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803291456.IAA13373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:56:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b9db603d56620cb71a1179fc333ee5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 139 WTPS32 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6537 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 15.4S0 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.2S8 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6537 UNCLAS 301200Z6 --- 15.6S2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.2S9 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.6S3 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.9S6 144.4E3 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6537 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 15.4S0 152.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 290902Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FLARE UP AND DIE DOWN ACROSS THE SYSTEM'S CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHWEST OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WHICH IS DISRUPTING THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS ATMOSPHERIC FEATURE IS KEEPING THE SYSTEM FROM INTENSIFYING ANY FURTHER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) SHOULD CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT BEGIN TO TURN MORE WESTWARD BY THE TWELVE HOUR POSITION. THIS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION REPRESENTS A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THIS IS DUE TO THE ORIENTATION OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6537 UNCLAS ATMOSPHERE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE LOWER AND MID LEVEL RIDGING DUE TO AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS SHOULD ALSO CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO SLOW IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS, BUT WILL SHIFT TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY 72 HOURS AS LOW LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE PASSING SURFACE FRONT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD HOLD NEAR ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MID LEVEL DRY AIR SHOULD PREVENT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE CAUSING THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN. LAND INTERACTION BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION WILL FURTHER WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3).// BT #6537 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627351-7416>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 04:19:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16552; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:13:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8151303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:13:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA34198 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:13:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:13:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803292013.OAA15071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:13:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4952c3120fcd63bd0c916154e255ca2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 WTPS32 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 15.0S6 151.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 151.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 14.9S4 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.0S6 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.4S0 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.8S4 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.1S8 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 15.0S6 151.5E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301732Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 291253Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON THE PRESENCE OF 30 KNOT WINDS AND POSSIBLY A SMALL AREA OF 35 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS INDICATED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER PASS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SYSTEM BUT THIS IS BELIEVED TO BE TEMPORARY. THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH- NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE EVEN MORE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION WITH THE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATER. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-7416>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 04:51:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA36626; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:45:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8151676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:45:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA04598 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:45:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:45:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803292045.OAA15290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:45:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0da3f806a1807e778afa63d7c00e74bb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 974 WTPS32 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7042 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 15.0S6 151.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 151.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 14.9S4 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.0S6 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7042 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.4S0 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.8S4 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.1S8 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 15.0S6 151.5E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AS IT TRACKS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7042 UNCLAS WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301732Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 291253Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON THE PRESENCE OF 30 KNOT WINDS AND POSSIBLY A SMALL AREA OF 35 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS INDICATED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER PASS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SYSTEM BUT THIS IS BELIEVED TO BE TEMPORARY. THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH- NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE EVEN MORE BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION WITH THE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATER. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9).// BT #7042 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3453 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-24947>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 10:42:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14758; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:36:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8154435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:36:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA04410 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:35:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:35:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300235.UAA17238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:35:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ddb0bce91ec2ce1ca3a9eb08ccf5dfb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 659 WTPS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3421 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626511-24947>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 10:42:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA14784; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:37:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8154440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:37:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA15002 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:36:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA17246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:36:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300236.UAA17246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 20:36:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cc94fd644438d5cda2d9ef0f01aa6d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 689 WTPS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 14.5S0 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 14.9S4 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.0S6 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.0S6 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.0S6 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 14.6S1 170.8E6. DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WEST OF FIJI HAS UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AND IS NOW CONSIDERED A TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 292330Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD ALLOW IT TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO STEER TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P TOWARDS THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1829 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626180-24945>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 11:27:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA16132; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:24:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8154744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:24:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA31650 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:23:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:23:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300323.VAA17472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:23:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 865466779b778d8d794e349f211df819 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 517 WTPS31 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7867 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 14.5S0 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 14.9S4 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.0S6 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7867 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.0S6 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.0S6 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 14.6S1 170.8E6. PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7867 UNCLAS DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WEST OF FIJI HAS UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AND IS NOW CONSIDERED A TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P HAS BEEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 292330Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH SHOULD ALLOW IT TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO STEER TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P TOWARDS THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7867 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-24947>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 11:50:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38570; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:44:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8154929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:44:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA26004 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:44:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA17574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:44:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300344.VAA17574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:44:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22a29989140a2eeca3a3e52fa214c6c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 900 WTPS32 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7945 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 15.1S7 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.0S6 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.0S6 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7945 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.1S7 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.2S8 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.5S1 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 15.1S7 151.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 06 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7945 UNCLAS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM A 291254Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH CONTINUES TO FORCE THE SYSTEM WESTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) IS EXPERIENCING AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THUS ARRESTING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DISSIPATING BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7945 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626414-24941>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 12:38:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA15430; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:31:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8155292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:31:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA21812 for ; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:31:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:31:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300431.WAA17815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 22:31:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2084135a35c34591bae16a71d1c8693f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 768 WTPS32 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-24947>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 17:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA16694; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:03:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8156737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:03:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA25892 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:03:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:03:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300903.DAA19195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:03:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8c7c441a9d68b537fdb00556a5e88e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 456 WTPS32 PGTW 300900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8771 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 15.1S7 150.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 150.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.1S7 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.4S0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8771 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.6S2 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 15.8S4 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 15.1S7 149.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 300000Z3 SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299) INDICATING SUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS OF 30 KNOTS. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING THE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8771 UNCLAS SYSTEM TOWARD THE WEST FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW BY THE END OF THE 36 HOUR PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LAND FALL AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8771 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3765 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-24941>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 17:26:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA21726; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:24:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8156767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:24:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA42444 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:24:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:24:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803300924.DAA19309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 03:24:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 352d779bb7423bbc960f26b8d9855833 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 929 WTPS32 PGTW 300900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 15.1S7 150.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 150.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.1S7 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.4S0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.6S2 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 15.8S4 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 15.1S7 149.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 300000Z3 SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299) INDICATING SUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS OF 30 KNOTS. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE WEST FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW BY THE END OF THE 36 HOUR PERIOD DUE TO A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LAND FALL AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 48 PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627573-24945>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 21:50:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA04478; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 07:47:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8158110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 07:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA34156 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 07:47:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 07:47:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803301347.HAA20685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 07:47:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5eb1d46cbb3d587e487941870f0963e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 641 WTPS32 PGTW 301500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9278 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 15.1S7 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.2S8 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.5S1 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9278 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.6S2 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 15.1S7 148.3E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 301100Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 94299, 94289 AND FROM BOUGAINVILLE, AUSTRALIA AS WELL AS 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS SEPARATED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS INCREASED WHICH HAS CAUSED THE CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CENTER TO PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9278 UNCLAS DECREASE ONCE MORE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD THEN SLOW DOWN AS IT TRACKS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN THE FACE OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z (DTG 310751Z7) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9278 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4315 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627571-24945>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 22:17:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA04508; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 08:15:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8158472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 08:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21640 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 08:15:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 08:15:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803301415.IAA21060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 08:15:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08087226c695615f0c4596d674d2041e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 193 WTPS31 PGTW 301500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 14.3S8 169.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 169.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 14.3S8 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 14.5S0 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.9S4 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 15.4S0 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 14.3S8 169.4E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FROM MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION AS A MID LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN LOW AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-24944>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 03:48:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA24900; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 13:46:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8162934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 13:46:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15396 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 13:46:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 13:46:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803301946.NAA29003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 13:46:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a5fb4b0716c3495f1445fce284760b3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 847 WTPS31 PGTW 301500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG0103 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 14.3S8 169.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 169.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 14.3S8 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0103 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 14.5S0 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.9S4 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0103 UNCLAS 011200Z4 --- 15.4S0 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 14.3S8 169.4E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FROM MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION AS A MID LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN LOW AND SEA SURFACE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0103 UNCLAS TEMPERATURES ARE WARM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0103 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627621-24944>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 05:10:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA07000; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 15:05:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8163961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 15:05:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA51270 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 15:05:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 15:05:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803302105.PAA01097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 15:05:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10ab6633241f07851eff3ec9dcc99740 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 244 WTPS32 PGTW 302100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 14.8S3 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 14.7S2 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.9S4 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 14.8S3 146.8E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO POSITION DUE TO THE DISORGANIZED CLOUD STRUCTURE EVIDENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO NUMBERS 94299, 94289 AND 95288. THE SYSTEM=S CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE AS INDICATED BY ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED IN PART ON OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO NUMBER 95288 AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AND SHOULD BE OVER LAND BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER AUSTRALIA BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7 ). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-8515>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA15400; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 19:54:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 19:54:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA44566 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 19:54:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 19:54:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310154.TAA05441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 19:54:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 118b62e05385d96487010092ae0a52f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 727 WTPS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 034 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1743 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626161-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 10:18:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36172; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:12:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:12:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA51254 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:12:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:12:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310212.UAA05747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:12:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b5a44075ebc4c742b97d25c9c2b181e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 157 WTPS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 034 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 13.5S9 144.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1759 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 144.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 12.9S2 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 13.3S7 144.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS RELOCATED DUE TO THE DIFFICULT OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY TO IDENTIFY THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FEATURES AND THE RAPID DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 302330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. EXPECTING TC 30P (NATHAN) TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1759 UNCLAS TRACK AND MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE OVER AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) BT #1759 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 10:30:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA51362; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:26:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:25:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA38026 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:25:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:25:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310225.UAA05890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:25:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southwest Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36324ef628c7c38946c70601996b9dd7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 428 WTPS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 034 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 13.5S9 144.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 144.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 12.9S2 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 13.3S7 144.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS RELOCATED DUE TO THE DIFFICULT OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY TO IDENTIFY THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FEATURES AND THE RAPID DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 302330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. EXPECTING TC 30P (NATHAN) TO CONTINUE ON ITS PRESENT TRACK AND MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE OVER AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3457 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626701-8513>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 10:43:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA46082; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:41:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:41:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA51438 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:41:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:41:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310241.UAA06046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:41:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39b1caccda5ecfb5ea2f87a804cb2572 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 705 WTPS31 PGTW 310300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-8514>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 10:55:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA04342; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:43:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8167668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:42:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13782 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:42:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:42:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310242.UAA06059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:42:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7166a90ebea3fd36b1c4b8b542db6aee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 740 WTPS31 PGTW 310300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 14.0S5 168.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 168.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 14.1S6 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.5S0 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 15.3S9 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 16.4S1 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 14.0S5 168.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 301949Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO GAIN LATITUDE AFTER THIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND HAS EXCELLENT OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626277-8513>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA29558; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 21:33:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8168270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 21:32:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA44644 for ; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 21:32:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 21:32:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310332.VAA06530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 21:32:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: caf51c8981a3ade97c379edd0b8087ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 669 WTPS31 PGTW 310300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2201 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 14.0S5 168.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 168.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 14.1S6 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2201 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.5S0 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 15.3S9 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2201 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 16.4S1 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 14.0S5 168.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 301949Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AN APPROACHING PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2201 UNCLAS TROUGH WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO GAIN LATITUDE AFTER THIS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND HAS EXCELLENT OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE BT #2201 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627339-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 14:29:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28286; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8170046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA42304 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310620.AAA07875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:20:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8550c974c9344d14e9537bc100db05e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 956 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z MAR 98/010600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYNONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 144.9E8 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 34 (WTPS32 PGTW 300300)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0S5 168.4E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 3 (WTPS31 PGTW 310300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4658 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626178-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 15:03:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA17736; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8170387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA42284 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310700.BAA08090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:00:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6654197292449344741e4f76fa9184d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 979 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z/010600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-8513>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 15:05:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29368; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:02:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8170403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:02:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29326 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:02:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:01:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803310701.BAA08104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 01:01:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 58cb88d5426495c2a7e8f21671c55930 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 019 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z/010600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z MAR 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153Z MAR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (NATHAN) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 144.9E8 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 30P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 34 (WTPS32 PGTW 310300)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0S5 168.4E9 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 3 (WTPS31 PGTW 310300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT MANOP TIME ON WTPS32. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1658 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627671-8510>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 21:58:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA20092; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 07:55:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8172282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 07:55:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA13776 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 07:54:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 07:54:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803311354.HAA10756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 07:54:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 31p (zuman) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7a2a937561dd30e414fd9a323d4de1c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 482 WTPS31 PGTW 311500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 14.3S8 167.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 167.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.7S2 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 15.1S7 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.5S1 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.8S4 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 310833Z8 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS EXPANDED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 310833Z8 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES AN EYEWALL FEATURE FORMING AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS SUPPORTED BY ALL OF OUR DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE. AN ALTERNATE TRACK IS SUG- GESTED BY THE MAJORITY OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL OBJECTIVE AIDS WHEREIN AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE RIDGE TO THIS SYSTEM=S SOUTH, ALLOWING TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) TO RECURVE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WEST- ERLIES. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627715-8515>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 23:14:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA22586; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:12:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8173159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:12:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA38430 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:12:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:12:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199803311512.JAA12342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:12:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 31p (zuman) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98bbdde767faea03401c7f4e3359168c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 865 WTPS31 PGTW 311500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 14.3S8 167.4E8 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4347 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 167.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.7S2 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4347 UNCLAS OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 15.1S7 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.5S1 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4347 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.8S4 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 310833Z8 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS EXPANDED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 310833Z8 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES AN EYEWALL FEATURE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4347 UNCLAS FORMING AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS SUPPORTED BY ALL OF OUR DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE. AN ALTERNATE TRACK IS SUG- GESTED BY THE MAJORITY OF OUR STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL OBJECTIVE AIDS WHEREIN AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WEAKENS THE RIDGE TO THIS SYSTEM'S SOUTH, ALLOWING TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) TO RECURVE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WEST- ERLIES. THE PROBABILITY OF THIS ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3).// BT #4347 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2166 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-22253>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 10:47:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA43768; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 20:43:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8182838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 20:42:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA38616 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 20:42:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 20:42:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804010242.UAA25645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 20:42:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b0614ca39b052ec8050c45df92258ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 394 WTPS31 PGTW 010300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 15.6S2 166.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 166.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.8S5 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.9S7 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 18.7S6 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 19.3S3 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 15.9S5 165.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 311936Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM PEKOA AIRPORT (WMO 91554). THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI5.0. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION OF THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING (WARMING) AND AREAL EXTENT HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 3-HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE. TC 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD COURSE AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626672-22253>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 11:49:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA10276; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 21:45:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8183133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 21:44:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA51138 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 21:44:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 21:44:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804010344.VAA26166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 21:44:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36aeee551bdba33797210fe9fc550f11 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 566 WTPS31 PGTW 010300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7068 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 15.6S2 166.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 166.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.8S5 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7068 UNCLAS 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.9S7 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 18.7S6 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7068 UNCLAS 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 19.3S3 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 15.9S5 165.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 311936Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM PEKOA AIRPORT (WMO 91554). THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI5.0. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION OF THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY SHOWING SIGNS OF PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7068 UNCLAS WEAKENING (WARMING) AND AREAL EXTENT HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 3-HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE. TC 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD COURSE AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1).// BT #7068 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4676 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627775-22253>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 15:53:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20448; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8185282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA09900 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804010751.BAA28127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:51:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ffe7d8f2997ded43a523bbbaadb78ef7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 482 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627828-22256>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 21:46:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA19306; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 07:39:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8186579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 07:39:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA19242 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 07:38:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 07:38:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011338.HAA00842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 07:38:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2bba7c8819f8e0eedf25c16b753108db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 170 WTPS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4731 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627834-22258>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 23:14:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA36178; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:12:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8187356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:12:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA25376 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:12:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:12:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011512.JAA02653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:12:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef94780e036465e6bc12816f97d491dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 025 WTPS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9539 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 15.6S2 165.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 165.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.8S4 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9539 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.2S9 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.6S3 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9539 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0S8 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IN WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS REINTENSIFIED AFTER WEAKENING DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE ISLAND OF ESPIRITU SANTO. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS REDEVELOPMENT OF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION WITH GOOD UPPER- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9539 UNCLAS LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH STRENGTHENS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4).// BT #9539 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627794-22253>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 23:17:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA17494; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:16:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8187436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:16:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA42254 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:16:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:16:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011516.JAA02769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:16:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35ce86c23652df877a0d6091aec5cd99 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 124 WTPS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 15.6S2 165.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 165.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.8S4 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.2S9 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.6S3 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0S8 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IN WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS REINTENSIFIED AFTER WEAKENING DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE ISLAND OF ESPIRITU SANTO. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS REDEVELOPMENT OF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION WITH GOOD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH STRENGTHENS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627866-22259>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 03:05:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA19092; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:03:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8190480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:03:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA15392 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804011902.NAA08518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 13:02:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a38af81c43df5cb263d8e7ff74899415 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 556 ABPW10 PGTW 011900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011900Z/020600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/011353Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6S2 166.2E5 AND MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 6 (WTPS31 PGTW 011500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS NEAR 12S3 140E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER A LOOSELY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE IS DEVELOPING UNDER A PRE-EXISTING UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY POOR TO FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD THE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-5733>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 10:54:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36846; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 20:45:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8195354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 20:45:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA20188 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 20:45:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 20:45:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804020245.UAA16119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 20:45:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d1ef84a78786ff68f11add21e340703 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 074 WTPS31 PGTW 020300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 164.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 164.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.8S4 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.8S4 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9S5 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.0S7 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 15.7S3 163.9E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 012330Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO ITS SOUTH. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE RIDGE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE SYSTEMS FORWARD SPEED FOR THE GREATER PART OF THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SUFFER MORE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 30153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4619 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627043-5736>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 11:36:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA25062; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 21:24:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8195655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 21:24:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA16804 for ; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 21:23:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 21:23:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804020323.VAA16355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 21:23:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6ce2c9df52ee8d319338400f52b3365 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 789 WTPS31 PGTW 020300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG2234 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 164.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 164.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.8S4 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2234 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.8S4 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9S5 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2234 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.0S7 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 15.7S3 163.9E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 012330Z9 SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO ITS SOUTH. THIS RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY STEERING FLOW FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2234 UNCLAS 31P (ZUMAN) THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE RIDGE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE SYSTEMS FORWARD SPEED FOR THE GREATER PART OF THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SUFFER MORE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 30153Z2).// BT #2234 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626568-5733>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 15:23:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA51160; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8197534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA36030 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804020719.BAA18003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 01:19:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0213491fe50112d9f37964451c3c9e6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 869 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.7S3 164.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 7 (WTPS31 PGTW 020300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 12S3 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 138E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOOSELY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND DISORGANIZED IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2533 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627774-5736>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:30:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA17812; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:28:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8199830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA38210 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:28:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:28:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804021428.IAA20749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:28:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cdb717fd3a6e7517438dd643cd9deb01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 242 WTPS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 16.0S7 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.3S0 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.5S2 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.7S4 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.9S6 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 16.1S8 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 021130Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A PASSING MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS INTRODUCING A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS BEGUN MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THIS WEAKENING IN THE STEERING FLOW WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 12 HOUR POSITION, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD RE-BUILD SLIGHTLY BUT THE STEERING FLOW ON THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD BEGIN A DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627530-5730>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 22:53:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA27194; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:47:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8200003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA21790 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:47:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:47:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804021447.IAA21086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 08:47:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e878da32eef60efe6a8a3648a688381 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 592 WTPS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG4609 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 16.0S7 163.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 163.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 16.3S0 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4609 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.5S2 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.7S4 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4609 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.9S6 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 16.1S8 163.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 021130Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4609 UNCLAS VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A PASSING MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS INTRODUCING A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS BEGUN MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THIS WEAKENING IN THE STEERING FLOW WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 12 HOUR POSITION, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD RE-BUILD SLIGHTLY BUT THE STEERING FLOW ON THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD BEGIN A DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5).// BT #4609 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627888-5730>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 04:55:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA36114; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:45:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8204229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:45:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA31722 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:45:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:45:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804022045.OAA00156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:45:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66b1043013676ca16b40d0a31e46cc05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 582 WTPS31 PGTW 022100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 16.1S8 162.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 162.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.3S0 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.5S2 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.8S5 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.1S9 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 16.1S8 162.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 021730Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 90 KNOTS AND A 021731Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD GRADUALLY RE-BUILD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT REMAIN WEAK KEEPING TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) TRACKING SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2336 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626142-17125>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:07:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA26664; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:51:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8207940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:51:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA42494 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:51:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:51:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804030251.UAA04508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 20:51:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ddb793319d05b0f3b10a732fe175841b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 334 WTPS31 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 15.4S0 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.3S9 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.4S0 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.7S3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.2S9 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 15.4S0 161.6E4. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE NORTH BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 022117Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES BETWEEN 77 AND 90 KNOTS. THE FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER AUSTRALIA PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WILL TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS PERSISTENCE WHICH SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P IS FORECAST TO SLOW TO 4 KNOTS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW WEAKENS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEER IS FORECAST TO INCREASE. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT TWELVE-HOURLY INTERVALS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626035-17128>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 11:18:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA36238; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 21:12:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8208198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 21:12:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA21874 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 21:12:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 21:12:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804030312.VAA04651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 21:12:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6797c4670a257e452ac41de8d4b0e31 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 752 WTPS31 PGTW 030300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 010 PAGE 02 RUHPSGG7103 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 15.4S0 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.3S9 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7103 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.4S0 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.7S3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7103 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.2S9 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 15.4S0 161.6E4. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 6 KNOTS. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE NORTH BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 022330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 022117Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES BETWEEN 77 AND 90 KNOTS. THE FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR AS THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7103 UNCLAS THE SOUTH AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER AUSTRALIA PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WILL TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH BY THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS PERSISTENCE WHICH SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P IS FORECAST TO SLOW TO 4 KNOTS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE PREDOMINANT STEERING FLOW WEAKENS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEER IS FORECAST TO INCREASE. SUBSEQUENT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED AT TWELVE-HOURLY INTERVALS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3).// BT #7103 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2640 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626116-17128>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 13:50:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA16834; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8209301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16808 for ; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804030546.XAA05680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 23:46:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61039959c7d90b8f919bb14331785bd3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 666 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 161.9E7 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 10 (WTPS31 PGTW 030300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 138E2 HAS BECOME CONSIDERABLE LESS ORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3766 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-17129>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 21:37:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA35298; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 07:33:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8211403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 07:33:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA09936 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 07:33:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 07:33:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804031333.HAA08368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 07:33:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d145bc9c072f95553c303acbae20b2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 475 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 15.6S2 161.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 161.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.8S4 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.0S7 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.7S4 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.9S7 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 15.6S2 161.6E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 031130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE 24 THROUGH 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO FURTHER WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD BY 48 HOURS AS THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1335 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626941-17130>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA18150; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 09:06:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8212295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 09:06:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA18070 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 09:05:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 09:05:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804031505.JAA09969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 09:05:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76214cdcf4f620516df654fe23372bc9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 289 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG9591 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 15.6S2 161.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 161.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.8S4 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9591 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.0S7 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.7S4 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.9S7 159.4E9 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9591 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 15.6S2 161.6E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 031130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 80 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS BEEN SLOWLY DRIFTING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN GRADUALLY BEGIN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE 24 THROUGH 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS AS AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO FURTHER WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD BY 48 HOURS AS THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9591 UNCLAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6).// BT #9591 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1200 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-22207>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 10:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA22974; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:07:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8219483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:06:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA23976 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:06:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:06:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804040206.UAA21794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:06:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df5b475da11d0462b016c2d08d1d86aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 092 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.6S3 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.6S4 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.8S7 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.3S5 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.2S6 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.9S6 161.5E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 032118Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY IS INDICATING THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TC 31P (ZUMAN) IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. TC 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1492 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626036-22207>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 10:12:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA17754; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:10:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8219529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:10:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA50970 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:10:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:10:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804040210.UAA21820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 20:10:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2db9a7414586462918ff0f9e2ad39a13 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 235 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3139 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626385-22210>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 11:46:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA18398; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 21:41:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8220287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 21:41:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA18122 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 21:41:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 21:41:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804040341.VAA22391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 21:41:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4e415eb17b260afbb70a58d211ae272 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 870 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA SCRIPPS LA JOLLA CA REQ PASS TO RV ROGER REVELLE 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG1907 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.6S3 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.6S4 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1907 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.8S7 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.3S5 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1907 UNCLAS 060000Z6 --- 22.2S6 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.9S6 161.5E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 032118Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY IS INDICATING THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TC 31P (ZUMAN) IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. TC 31P (ZUMAN) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1907 UNCLAS BT #1907 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1514 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-22210>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 13:50:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA26820; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8221199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22954 for ; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804040546.XAA23270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 23:46:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c58b40c0e3bd70f727ff09a98d0a0ebe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 096 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6S3 161.53 AND MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN)WARNING NR 12 (WTPS31 PGTW 040300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S 175E. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1932 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-22212>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 21:41:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA51034; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 07:38:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8222995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 07:37:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA35144 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 07:37:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA26040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 07:37:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804041337.HAA26040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 07:37:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5656514b635235dacfaf9b31c209ccc8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 968 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 17.8S6 162.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 162.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.2S2 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.0S3 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.2S7 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 040731Z5 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST IS CREATING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS REDEVELOPED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS ITS FORWARD MOTION INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 051500Z1 (051353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-22210>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 22:07:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA37802; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:04:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8223104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:04:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA35178 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:03:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:02:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804041402.IAA26136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:02:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0f15004983007144234cb133798b032 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 408 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3611 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 17.8S6 162.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 162.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.2S2 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3611 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.0S3 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.2S7 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3611 UNCLAS AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 040731Z5 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST IS CREATING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS REDEVELOPED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS ITS FORWARD MOTION INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 051500Z1 (051353Z7).// BT #3611 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-22212>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 22:45:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA18280; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:41:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8223321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:41:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA37700 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:41:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:41:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804041441.IAA26306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 08:41:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39814aae0e6dcd01836d6b726bd5e3d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 239 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3683 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 17.8S6 162.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 162.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.2S2 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3683 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.0S3 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.2S7 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3683 UNCLAS AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AUGMENTED BY 040731Z5 MICROWAVE DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST IS CREATING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) HAS REDEVELOPED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS ITS FORWARD MOTION INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 051500Z1 (051353Z7).// BT #3683 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626432-22236>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 10:22:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA51320; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 20:19:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8227073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 20:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA50784 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 20:19:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 20:19:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804050219.UAA00386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 20:19:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b2d25c0c9d1456e6a19fa03f3e8598f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 398 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 19.6S6 164.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 164.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.6S9 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.8S3 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 20.1S3 164.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 042106Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS 32 NM EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THEN MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS ITS FORWARD MOTION INCREASES. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD BE COMPLETED NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4000 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-22239>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 11:06:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA27744; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 21:03:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8227282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 21:03:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA25418 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 21:03:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA00608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 21:03:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804050303.VAA00608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 21:03:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec9031e87ca02b0bb892c7613bfae9b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 056 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5011 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 19.6S6 164.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 164.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.6S9 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5011 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.8S3 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 20.1S3 164.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 042106Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS 32 NM EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THEN MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS ITS FORWARD MOTION INCREASES. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD BE COMPLETED PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5011 UNCLAS NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG BT #5011 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626432-22241>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 14:09:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20186; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 00:06:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8228352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 00:06:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA27210 for ; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA01367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199804050558.XAA01367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 23:58:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 476d51a1aeb53cf1d648450d0d87df80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 109 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050153Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 19.6S6 164.1E2 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN)WARNING NR 14 (WTPS31 PGTW 050300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S 175E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ABOVE THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DESPITE A LACK OF CENTRAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-22242>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 21:26:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA10458; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 08:23:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8230074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 07:23:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA17862 for ; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 08:23:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 08:23:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804051323.IAA03305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 08:23:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f0c26c98c68e3b205f1d43ab5aab6c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 238 WTPS31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 20.8S0 166.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S0 166.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.5S9 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION: 21.1S4 166.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND COMPLETE ITS TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER WEST / JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/JTWC). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627006-22242>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 22:17:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA19344; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 09:14:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8230329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 08:14:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA36208 for ; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 09:14:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 09:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804051414.JAA03557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 09:14:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a72014788f3680106f1a7cde06b6d885 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 438 WTPS31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5792 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 20.8S0 166.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S0 166.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.5S9 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5792 UNCLAS 051500Z1 POSITION: 21.1S4 166.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. NO CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND COMPLETE ITS TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER WEST / JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/JTWC). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #5792 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-5794>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 14:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA37744; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:32:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8236932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 00:32:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22812 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804060630.BAA08914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weaher Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2ed51ed09b85c91582e586927b572c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 585 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEAHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 166.0E MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND BECOMING AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING #15 (WTPS31 PGTW 051500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4026 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-5796>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 15:54:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA36312; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8237217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:49:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA18366 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA09202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804060749.CAA09202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 02:49:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb17a29942128ffd5d5b19bcbc6586fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 103 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 166.0E MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND BECOMING AN EXT RATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING #15 ( WPTS31 PGTW 051500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION AND HAS BECOME BETTER OR GANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-5794>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 20:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA38332; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:13:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8238354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 06:13:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA17774 for ; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:12:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA10468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804061212.HAA10468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 07:12:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e00803a0f442c4f6984e64f119e83a05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 487 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z APR 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050551Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (ZUMAN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 166.0E MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND BECOMING AN EXT RATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 31P (ZUMAN) WARNING #15 ( WPTS31 PGTW 051500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S 176E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION AND HAS BECOME BETTER OR GANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TR OPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-27652>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 13:17:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04270; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8249969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 23:08:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA44866 for ; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804070508.AAA25621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:08:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9802fe5a320c2508459c50e1a696d59a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 077 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626373-26866>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:45:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33292; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:41:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8263319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36132 for ; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804080539.AAA14479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:39:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 983cb8f11d7b0d67eb5172be371e0867 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 128 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627549-25340>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 14:08:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17542; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8278994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22634 for ; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804090556.AAA04812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:56:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d15c737a1900efe253891e38fd1f4495 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 998 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626346-21487>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 13:41:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35904; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8292186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32294 for ; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804100539.AAA23676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:39:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b9d3d04998df7658160e0b2fd89d6b60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 994 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3856 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-13601>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 13:40:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22744; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:37:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8301016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:37:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28810 for ; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804110535.AAA09309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07a41fee2914ceffe7ba41bbafe88397 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 329 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-28195>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 13:22:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA32354; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8307574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32328 for ; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804120521.AAA16433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:21:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4aa681d21bc3e578009e46d2ec7aa645 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 976 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-11547>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 13:40:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14812; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:38:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8314831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA35188 for ; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804130536.AAA22782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be1ca7b85a0c196f644ace89c4c1f93a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 406 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626919-6532>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:13:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19976; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:09:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8325195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA41844 for ; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804140507.AAA09461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:07:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e1f08a7fde78831bd602aee57adebc05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 030 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4420 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626689-22358>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:45:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19162; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:39:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8338200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:39:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12532 for ; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804150537.AAA29444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:37:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 326a7e54409b744c605a53f82de96017 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 830 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4842 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626339-12225>; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 14:57:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36056; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:53:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8353088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:53:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA09866 for ; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804160651.BAA19922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 968f253a74b6d5280fef6af8cee735d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 791 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-15552>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41650; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8367239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29080 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804170559.AAA08134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:59:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82879cbb7c89a3257fe44f2060902faf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 667 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-15552>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:16:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA31230; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8367275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA31202 for ; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804170603.BAA08187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 01:03:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2276950d8ee3434f2249791a5187518 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 750 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2001 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-25922>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 13:48:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47822; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:41:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8379501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29202 for ; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804180538.AAA24995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:38:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea7f509ffa59b57e4d9f95cda6f89a0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 406 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2339 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627499-4632>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 13:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26744; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8387533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA27992 for ; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804190551.AAA02647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05cd9907e9c4cf3d552b666b1fd94f57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 777 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-16097>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 13:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47660; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8397635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10260 for ; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804200528.AAA10019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:28:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1c7e39f6fe5a49daaecf5b9fd13fadd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 302 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4855 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-12699>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 13:36:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA50980; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:33:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8413204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:33:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA51104 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804210531.AAA29422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:31:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b086814a38486c4b3f5daa7d2567688f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 926 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3797 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626404-26549>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 13:46:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13478; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:44:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8427958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA32272 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804220542.AAA18685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:42:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76705e42b25fec9ed29b5b24969a1f49 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 485 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1420 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627551-26545>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 06:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA44892; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 17:20:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8436578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 17:20:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA32320 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 17:20:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 17:19:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804222219.RAA04245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 17:19:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Auckland Oceanic Fir To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62a50e67b2f8c4f44362e2c32fe0210e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 WTPS21 NFFN 222112 NZZO SIGMET 06 VALID 222112/230312 UTC NZKL- AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR TROPICAL CYCLONE ALAN CENTRED NEAR 10.7S 159.3W AT 221800 UTC. MOV SW 05KT. INTSF. FCST POSITION 11.6S 159.9W AT 230600UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625968-15582>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 08:02:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA34294; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 18:54:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8437682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 18:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA49122 for ; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 18:54:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA05173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 18:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804222354.SAA05173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 18:54:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ampn/ref A Is Initial Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d5c136144a6bb46f45b2736b10c3b9eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 063 WHPS21 PHNC 222000 REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/212121ZAPR98// AMPN/REF A IS INITIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WHPS21 PHNC 211930 212000Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 12.8S1 156.9W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 211500Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 158.4W8. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI- STATIONARY AT 03 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 221800Z3. 2. REMARKS: METSAT DATA INDICATES SYSTEM IS HAS MAINTAINED STEADY CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230600Z7. THIS WARNING IS SUPERSEDES REF A UPON RECEIPT.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG65411122108 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626538-15585>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 13:23:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA34144; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8440949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA38978 for ; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804230518.AAA07655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:18:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e35d70deaf96ae406f4857a288fc068d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 278 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4638 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-17855>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 01:12:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA34090; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8459143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA34056 for ; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804241709.MAA03827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:09:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ecec3d4bbe9f0a333bdcd16ee3b57e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 692 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Apr 25 22:24:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626956-28218>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:48:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20574; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8463716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25922 for ; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804250543.AAA11239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:43:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5adc5af77e497240e749e5392de95103 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 272 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Apr 26 22:07:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-27815>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 13:27:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46376; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:25:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8469575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29286 for ; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804260523.AAA18184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:23:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8cd88a11a353ecb1c0f514e9f73d576d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 572 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Apr 27 19:53:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4142 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627436-15548>; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 14:06:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29122; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:58:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8477758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:58:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA20558 for ; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804270556.AAA26621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:56:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b0e09e2a4c529f31bdf9eed8b3bd5e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 722 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1503 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627077-23277>; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 16:00:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA47310; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:56:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8492278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA42658 for ; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804280755.CAA16349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 02:55:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e0d0247c74ef29987245c5604200c1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 326 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOUGH/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-6693>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 14:21:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA50886; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:17:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8507231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:17:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29950 for ; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804290614.BAA03560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:14:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 095a4ff2a91553326a6350246cc20719 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 546 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z APR 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOUGH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Apr 30 15:45:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2968 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-25236>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 14:00:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44856; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8520688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA42494 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199804300555.AAA19624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:55:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab6e982e3448c93f9cd2f07830b5691b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 319 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z APR 98/010600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6S 170E. THIS AREA OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. BOTH ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY AND A 292238Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SCATTEROMETER PASS ALSO INDICATES WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AND 20 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED JUST POLEWARD OF THE LOW LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS GENERALLY POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626370-2935>; Fri, 1 May 1998 13:41:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14738; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:35:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8535274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:35:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19406 for ; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805010533.AAA05989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 00:33:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 888d14634cd90f0f5d4ac4adee469d7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 998 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 8S8 165E2. ALTHOUGH BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS, THIS AREA CONTINUES TO SHOW PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AN ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6S6 152E8. THIS AREA OF DEEP ORGANIZED CONVECTION HAS FORMED WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:58:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626535-4021>; Sat, 2 May 1998 14:24:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16822; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:21:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8547417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:20:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18664 for ; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805020618.BAA23028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 01:18:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ded8ddef7dd5cbded42482fdff0a71a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 254 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 165E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 152E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:59:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-14159>; Sun, 3 May 1998 14:52:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29490; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:50:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8556845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA38516 for ; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805030648.BAA01275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 01:48:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66520b17b90a1b473c8fed12495adb87 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 875 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 14:59:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4487 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626595-14164>; Sun, 3 May 1998 14:57:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21572; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8556919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA21548 for ; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805030655.BAA01307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 01:55:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ec05f7e1464b10ea3e98e08cc91f863 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 980 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3324 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-28979>; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:55:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29620; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:50:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8566130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22626 for ; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805040549.AAA09834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 00:49:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cfa18e7d6c0ca0d71981fe1695795ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 190 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3634 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-28976>; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA09776; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:56:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8566156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:56:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA50882 for ; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805040555.AAA09856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 00:55:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b17dad3ee7cf11512411062e7d36d42e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 249 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B.-TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.4 FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/LNBZEZ/BACO UPZA02 S PR 040000 RRA PPAA 53230 68816 44385 29023 27037 27056 44340 27561 28067 27098 44320 28566 28066 27548 77249 27098 43131= PPAA 53230 68842 44385 29012 28042 29050 44340 28555 29047 28046 44220 29558 29059 77442 27567 42113= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:00:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627059-3810>; Tue, 5 May 1998 14:03:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23966; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:58:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8583078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17702 for ; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:52:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805050552.AAA00011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 00:52:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc806e3ee7d5110b2b76cd046fb4a7d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 949 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:01:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625867-902>; Wed, 6 May 1998 13:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28764; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8596779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04392 for ; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805060530.AAA17565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 00:30:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a8044f8400c8fd43f0ed7a2ad33c04f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 718 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:02:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627450-28998>; Thu, 7 May 1998 14:01:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15170; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8611947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15142 for ; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805070555.AAA07652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 00:55:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f352101f258e1b27c77632687ace74b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 922 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDERBRAND/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:03:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-655>; Fri, 8 May 1998 14:06:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24694; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:02:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8628230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24610 for ; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805080600.BAA26898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 01:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 40a97d474e6579438e5f3355ebb148e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 580 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:04:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4533 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625951-7354>; Sat, 9 May 1998 13:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29610; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8641360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36234 for ; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805090548.AAA13914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 00:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7bd5b2ef7c2c66f4be3cdd9a955c35a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 260 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/09600Z/100600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2976 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626677-17745>; Mon, 11 May 1998 14:24:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16746; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:20:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8657032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:20:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16688 for ; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:20:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:19:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805110619.BAA29568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 01:19:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc3607eb1fda5bba9d5f24a95492c182 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 931 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/11600Z/120600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3523 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-17744>; Mon, 11 May 1998 14:50:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22890; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8657095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22864 for ; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805110646.BAA29675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 01:46:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb9b32514902ae6e6c465a2321445ec6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 577 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/11600Z/120600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-26279>; Tue, 12 May 1998 14:08:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA14980; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:05:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8669713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:05:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29652 for ; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805120603.BAA16669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 01:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0dac91e1f4c011345c99d36dcfc7b1e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 427 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:06:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3102 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627188-21712>; Wed, 13 May 1998 15:00:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA11092; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:56:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8685606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:56:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA17976 for ; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:56:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 May 1998 01:55:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805130655.BAA05080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 01:55:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0544cbe56e2596a4e226fcd1eab0ce7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 162 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:07:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4374 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627270-266>; Thu, 14 May 1998 22:49:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18006; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:52:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8700655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12016 for ; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805140550.AAA23066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 00:50:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c421a3e0083e7b35dc7f1821f5049a50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627240-855>; Fri, 15 May 1998 14:22:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19550; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:18:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8714965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:18:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15366 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805150616.BAA10511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 01:16:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1955bd2f476ba888a32f057d5fa81a57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 056 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-1775>; Sat, 16 May 1998 14:23:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34368; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8727660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34344 for ; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805160619.BAA27901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 01:19:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0fc517503a6a36e9f3936bae6dcc3fc1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 014 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:08:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626601-18317>; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:17:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31458; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8735480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04542 for ; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805170514.AAA05957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 00:14:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e0db5a3022b22e64260290ebf61da855 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 079 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4399 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628061-26356>; Mon, 18 May 1998 14:58:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA34486; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:55:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8743905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34396 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180654.BAA15103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 01:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 72b3018f7ca404ca285589890c34437e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 232 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 04N4 148E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR A T LEAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL WAVE I N EASTERLY FLOW MAY BE THE CAUSE OF THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AT 180000Z9 INDICATES A SMALL REGIO N OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE AREA. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:09:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4539 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628106-26351>; Mon, 18 May 1998 15:01:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22858; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:58:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8743922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25582 for ; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805180657.BAA15116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 01:57:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2f38b8a1b6f7105be2fa41f075a594c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 535 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 04N4 148E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK HAS BEEN PERSISTANT FOR A T LEAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL WAVE I N EASTERLY FLOW MAY BE THE CAUSE OF THE CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AT 180000Z9 INDICATES A SMALL REGIO N OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE AREA. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: CORRECTED DATES IN MANOP HEADER AND DATE TIME GROUP. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1268 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-25635>; Tue, 19 May 1998 13:54:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36062; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:48:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8754665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04226 for ; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805190546.AAA02163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 00:46:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00e8f9fccf3847da6230485f57b1aa6a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 611 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:10:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3946 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-21197>; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:49:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04592; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:46:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8768216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:46:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04186 for ; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805200544.AAA20727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 00:44:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b45c9ba9c922ecdabf4b26b3c79ae045 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 721 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu May 21 15:11:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627041-9197>; Thu, 21 May 1998 14:24:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39550; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:19:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8785414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:19:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22784 for ; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805210617.BAA09924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 01:17:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8453e7de2654fe16e92c247cdee30b6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 932 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/EIBLING/HONG/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:44:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3173 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-7513>; Fri, 22 May 1998 13:51:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67238; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8800758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA46730 for ; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805220544.AAA28559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 00:44:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86253f292bf36832f2e7d3b511d6fc38 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 188 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:45:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-22819>; Sat, 23 May 1998 14:09:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52866; Sat, 23 May 1998 01:01:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8817588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 May 1998 01:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA54762 for ; Sat, 23 May 1998 00:59:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 May 1998 00:59:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805230559.AAA15629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 00:59:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 849e5d49fdca4d9f98c466cf26027c14 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 655 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:46:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2340 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-4709>; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04334; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:24:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8826530 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:24:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA60284 for ; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805240522.AAA23612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 00:22:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02032febb9a1db4701400f87fdd0f2fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 272 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:47:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3776 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626883-8746>; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:58:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23442; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8835186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16762 for ; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805250555.AAA01942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 00:55:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec8dd8b7bc88fbf422307ad0ce19fbaa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 920 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:48:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-4440>; Tue, 26 May 1998 14:40:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA26738; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:34:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8846192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60376 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805260632.BAA11683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 01:32:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb1003b98602247dc7a58b9cfdc27848 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 836 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 120E3. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS NOT EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue May 26 23:48:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1509 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-4441>; Tue, 26 May 1998 22:33:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA11092; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:31:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8849614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA40136 for ; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805261426.JAA15537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 09:26:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5469dc49e7cabb262480a211c5d4fd57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 428 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 117E9. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS NOT EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT POSITION OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626928-26891>; Wed, 27 May 1998 14:22:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22714; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:17:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8863010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:17:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA41002 for ; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805270615.BAA00481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 01:15:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62690c3d78f6658fb02fa8e300428f61 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 075 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 117E9 HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:08:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3937 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627906-16602>; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62808; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:50:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8880527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10352 for ; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805280545.AAA19020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 00:45:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ecd4be4a145268fde6487f342fc9133 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 456 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri May 29 14:09:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-361>; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:55:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23304; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:49:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8893571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA37868 for ; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805290548.AAA07764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 00:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 595c6e20b80302c5ba8d1e418b1d3d79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 683 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4276 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-9826>; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:45:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA61522; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:43:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8908817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA60974 for ; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805300542.AAA26478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 00:42:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e0aa23a06320ae26b99e48ce875513a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 714 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z MAY 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2397 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628391-23530>; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:48:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA54684; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:46:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8919258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA64266 for ; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199805310544.AAA05616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 00:44:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aafb05f5bbecbc440f3cc89115baff17 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 838 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z/010600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629538-17256>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 14:00:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40976; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24826 for ; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806010554.AAA18167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:54:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b29293134ab75db735f5e39aca79ae0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 518 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629685-6631>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 14:10:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64302; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:05:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8954064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34396 for ; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806020603.BAA07905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ea328b0fff0c65a489fcd7efb3f254d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 961 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4895 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627026-23110>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 14:02:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39578; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:56:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8971084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:56:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA49416 for ; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806030554.AAA28499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 679014d540ec5a2c39691be1b6014b80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 777 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-18590>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 14:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA22038; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:45:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8985799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:45:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA54900 for ; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806040643.BAA00281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 01:43:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 081dc00affb3635b78038cb6159ad4e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 114 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TOPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/HONG/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4413 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-7722>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:41:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21772; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8816343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12282 for ; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806050530.AAA25399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:30:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 01a1df7db5e10092026cf9c1e8a9d943 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 299 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626690-14007>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 14:13:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04272; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:11:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8828447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:11:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04244 for ; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:10:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:10:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806060610.BAA22742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 01:10:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9aceb98105c3a7aed106203c339c770a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 134 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2465 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627440-11329>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:58:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62720; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8836158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA61060 for ; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806070554.AAA04789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:54:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc6051d579f9ab6ef8b7c0f56bb29c81 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 762 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626956-28936>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 13:50:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11092; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:45:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8845583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12206 for ; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806080543.AAA15453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:43:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c7ac1c92bec1660c20dee8114e5ae4a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 497 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 23N5 124E7 THAT HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MEI-YU FRONT THAT STRETCHES FROM EASTERN ASIA TO SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF JAPAN. SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT COOLER AIR HAS WRAPPED INTO THE CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3011 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628393-8354>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 06:13:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA54798; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:58:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8859791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:58:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10250 for ; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806090554.AAA08471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7afb9cc7ba699fc2a793bb88a308e494 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 639 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 124E 7 HAS MOVED NORTH-EASTWARD ALONG THE MEI-YU FRONT. ACCORDING TO 090032Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION HAS ELONGATED AS IT TRAVELED UP THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. (2). THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SCHIBER/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2655 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-10073>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:17:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA49482; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8869582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49464 for ; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806100607.BAA00855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 01:07:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3eeaaf21965150dd0c6ac34d43e73642 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 708 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3272 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-21537>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 14:28:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52292; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8886125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52230 for ; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806110617.BAA26199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 01:17:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4466df53a25b1095344db50f7299a314 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 573 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/JONES/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3071 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626867-28884>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:11:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25506; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:56:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8899321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:56:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25362 for ; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806120554.AAA21125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:54:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6705720a45c6aa3a5f51128b7431def Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 393 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25S7 156E2. A SPIRAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SERA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3876 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 14:30:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA45118; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8912209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA45102 for ; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806130618.BAA14606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 01:18:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a91cbe94dea5b6c20100b4408bdb106 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 455 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION NEAR 25S7 156E2 IS NOW NEAR 23S5 157E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AT 200MB AND AT THE GRADIENT LEVEL INDICATES STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS PREVENTING ANY CONVECTION FROM BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626766-3867>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:22:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA04668; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:04:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8924362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:04:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA29734 for ; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:04:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:03:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806140603.BAA29433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 01:03:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ac84be5b0d5e141d5816f07fcb6e717 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 842 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626744-12420>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 14:04:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60778; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:48:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8935677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA18930 for ; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:45:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA14689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806150545.AAA14689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:45:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab73419c55836dcd5d121efb1358bcc0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 184 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 10N1 AND 137E1 HAS MOVED WESTWARD AN D IS NOW LOCATED AT 10N1 133E7. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 142059Z1 INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 36 HOURS BUT HAS LOST SOME OF ITS ORGANIZATION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN TRANSVERSING AN AREA OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH HAS RETARDED ITS DEVELOPMENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS DIMINISHED THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 2 0 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-29779>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:29:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA09784; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8870428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25368 for ; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806160608.BAA11822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 01:08:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57527c908651d7e10d9ee21d0aa56807 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 028 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627947-7418>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:08:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA55886; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8887352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA62780 for ; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806170557.AAA13125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:57:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c59b910bcff178843d59cc7a3ffcaf65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 434 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627190-14996>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 13:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58670; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8902283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA58878 for ; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806180545.AAA08160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:45:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0bac0cfde958fcb87a11ff754636d4f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 733 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/SULLINS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3813 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-22213>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 13:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA63684; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8918998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA59502 for ; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806190525.AAA03928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:25:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99aa36a67ffb1c2d9e3939e8d777a361 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 569 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1826 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626575-13294>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 14:28:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28234; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8933046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60726 for ; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806200614.BAA28482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 01:14:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eea8ee1c55b37f56810d4bda7b64ed4c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 156 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-8000>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA55740; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:18:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8942782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 11:18:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA14940 for ; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:41:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806210541.AAA09957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 00:41:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2e67c39a62d130075a6ee222b48ae58 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 113 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1549 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626753-11217>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 14:36:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42928; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8952105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59774 for ; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806220621.BAA26960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 01:21:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be96d4c637afaa8ce29efc213998bd34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 991 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3198 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 13:22:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52358; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8965060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA54634 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230509.AAA24593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:09:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a00294d8b8d32e98864abf8a5e00cfbf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 051 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626722-11116>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 13:25:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60222; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8965215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23558 for ; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806230516.AAA24731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:16:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8eef699c69f60f8e8b7f1dbc5c3d034 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 239 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2814 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626398-9766>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 13:39:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57618; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:20:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8977284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:20:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA52378 for ; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806240519.AAA22209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:19:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc22ca5d2f9b6d445b5e2a1c9954d7ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 545 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2464 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-17627>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 15:20:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA58820; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8991643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA66226 for ; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806250601.BAA20621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 01:01:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79fcc6b53088354407182706a7b1d1af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 597 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626842-9881>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 14:37:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA40016; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9006021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA34880 for ; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806260618.BAA16452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 01:18:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0c1ce49d3c8c0087a6e68c330e0c22c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 455 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-16920>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:14:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA10476; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9018691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA10458 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270552.AAA06764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:52:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 513cbf6aa16ca33234630b3076e107f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 487 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626954-16918>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:10:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13300; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9018710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA55262 for ; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA06798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806270555.AAA06798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:55:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 64a2a9f33490c38c2664282b8f7ec16b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 515 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 127E0 THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AS IT APPROACHED THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. HOWEVER, 262356Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THERE IS NO LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4218 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626522-15290>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 13:37:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22766; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9029470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19678 for ; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806280527.AAA19537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:27:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c514a26c8d14db535d4559adbc061c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 873 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 127E0 HAS RELOCATED TO 7N7 122E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION DISSIPATED CONSIDERABLY AS IT PASSED OVER THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF MINDANAO. SINCE THE 272324Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWED NO DEVELOPMENT OF A LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION BELOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 29 15:11:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1823 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-12171>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 14:45:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA33864; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9041523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA45856 for ; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199806290617.BAA03353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 01:17:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 178d5a915fa50034fb49196d3c82bb21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 582 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JUN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3198 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-10854>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 16:05:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54812; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:53:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9224327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52216 for ; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA15691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807140752.CAA15691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:52:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfddeba52d96b95ac50631cb1b7a908b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 671 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT 20N2 137E1. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS VARIED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT HAS PERSISTED IN THE GENERAL AREA. ALTHOUGH THE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA O CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE EXTENDING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST, 132347Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE BEGINNING OF A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626176-6370>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:06:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62484; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8970145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA62704 for ; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807150553.AAA08667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:53:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9d6716cc2d5d11d9f7f105a3c131652 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 576 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED AT 20N2 137E1 IS NO MORE. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HA S DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 140908Z2 SCATTEROMETERY DATA SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SHEAR LINE. ALTHOUGH AREAS OF CONVECTION CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALON G THE SHEAR LINE NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF ANOTHER LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING AT THIS TIME. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1071 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627123-8212>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:30:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36010; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8984543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14750 for ; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807160620.BAA02165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:20:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e7ef5585becba8a962cce9b31ef16550 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 471 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627182-16088>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 14:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47330; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9002770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA47312 for ; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807170546.AAA25743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9e3808bdb40e8156dedd68cf027e807 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 866 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4401 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-11450>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 16:08:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA60942; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9017107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA61182 for ; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA18639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807180757.CAA18639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:57:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9865ced857793dc40acebad16bd3c6b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 889 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626378-27523>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:27:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59434; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:12:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9026703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:12:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40640 for ; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807190507.AAA29128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26dcf2a8bd75b5fac094efd5f581d5b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 886 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 17:14:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA47258; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9040392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA44160 for ; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807200914.EAA14387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:14:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85adf10f2aa6b053cb6756cf9891d9e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 269 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1137 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-28772>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:54:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA54242; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:54:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9055307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:53:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA57518 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 00:17:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 00:17:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807210517.AAA08162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 00:17:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34a0c21b0023825d1e7efb1da8aca385 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 801 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:19:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA44280; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9068018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA49082 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA28949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807212319.SAA28949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:19:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65fc428ef1a38f38137bde5f72f81474 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 943 ABPW10 PGTW 212300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/212300Z/220600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E, NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. 210035Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. HOWEVER, 212135Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2807 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626011-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 07:25:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA35110; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9068072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA36858 for ; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA29030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807212325.SAA29030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:25:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10c7450c8554e9cf3b2e298a92eb1eb2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 061 ABPW10 PGTW 212300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/212300Z/220600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E, NORTH OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. 210035Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. HOWEVER, 212135Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1676 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-14569>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 13:50:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30538; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9073751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36624 for ; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807220550.AAA04329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:50:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25525b059d5d6a8d0bb99f8d60166f87 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 823 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INIDCATES THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS REMAINED MINIMAL AND INTERMITENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4673 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 14:11:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA30490; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:11:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9088312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30716 for ; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807230610.BAA29157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 01:10:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b953a7295d77f241baf7cf7ff69e3f30 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 401 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT 21N3 154E0, NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS RELATED TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST WHICH IS PRODUCING A BROAD DIVERGENCE AREA ALOFT. ADDITIONALLY, 221959Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO FORM UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N 144E IS NOW LOCATED AT 17N8 144E9. AS IN THE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.1, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FOR THE AREA. VISIBLE S ATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POT ENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-13324>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 13:51:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39292; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9102919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29266 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807240551.AAA23112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:51:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8b91593ab310a53a34db85354135c3fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 883 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 21N3 154E0 CURRENTLY SURROUNDS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED ON 24N6 146E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WRAP AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS JAPAN AT APROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. IN ADDITION, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. ALSO, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, AS WELL AS UW-CIMSS 150-300 MB DIVERGENCE CHARTS, SHOW THE DIVERGENCE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED AT 19N0 147E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS MASKED AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS IT FLOWS INTO THE BROAD CIRCULATION FORMED BY THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MENTIONED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2613 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626758-25137>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 10:13:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA47866; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9114061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA36036 for ; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250213.VAA12922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 21:13:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c23f5c5b71455127ee730f38011d4502 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 904 ABPW10 PGTW 250100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250100Z/250600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 142E7 AND IS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. 242230Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED CIRCULATIO N ON THE SURFACE WHICH HAS DEVELOPED AS A RESULT OF UPPER-LEVEL LOW. ANIMATED INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTIO N MAY BE WRAPPING AROUND THE PERIPHERAL OF THIS BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCLUATION. HOWEVER ANY CONVECTION STILL REMAINS OVER 80NM FROM THE EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER AT 28N0 142E7. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR PLOTS INDICATE THE CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED OVER THE LAST 8 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED AT 26N8 149E4. 242230Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY SUGGESTS THERE ARE NUMEROUS VORTICIY MAXIMUMS IN THE PERIPHERAL OF THE LARGE, GRYE-LIKE FEATURE OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. 242330Z4 IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTICULAR CIRCULATION WHICH HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION HAS TRACKED AT 20 KNOTS TOWARDS THE NORTH. UW-CIMSS INDICATE THIS CIRCULATION HAS MOVED INTO A REGION WITH ENHANCED OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2921 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627067-18206>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:20:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA35924; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:20:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9115354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18694 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807250619.BAA15380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 01:19:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d6633e3b5b87b10c011f9676c30064e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 361 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 27.4N3 148.8E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W WARNING NR01 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 AND IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400NM TO THE EAST OF THIS CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE UPPER- LEVEL LOW IS BECOMING MORE ELONGATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-23673>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 11:19:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA36030; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:20:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9122824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA57376 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260316.WAA25824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:16:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c05961691f044bda38e487a82fc215c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 326 ABPW10 PGTW 250200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260200Z/260600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 34.6N3 144.8E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W WARNING NR05 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 30N3 142E7 AND IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THIS LARGE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 23N5 144E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 252312Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN AN AREA THAT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS SIMILAR TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WHEN IT WAS IN ITS FORMATION STAGES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4326 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627149-23665>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 14:48:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12074; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:48:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9123871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA28106 for ; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807260645.BAA27669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 01:45:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c201ca6c3526bb02f110e5f9e04a517f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 332 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 34.6N3 144.8E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W WARNING NR05 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 30N3 142E7 AND IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THE LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UW-CIMSS SHEAR PLOTS SHOW THE UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE IS ABOVE THIS CIRCULATION HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE WEST AND IS SMALLER IN AREAL COVERAGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 144E9 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS. UW- CIMMS DIVERGENCE CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE REGION. DESPITE FAVORABLE GENESIS CONDITIONS, AN ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-7019>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 13:42:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39892; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9131554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04256 for ; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807270532.AAA11842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:32:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcd887ff3b967e469c659615e8e98c02 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 616 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JULY 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260753ZJUL98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260600Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED AT 36.5N4 144.5E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03W FINAL WARNING NR06 (WTPN31 PGTW 260900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 141E6 HAS BECOME EMBEDDED IN SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N4 145E0. 270430Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY SMALL, EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3425 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:24:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28296; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:14:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9085164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:14:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAB04132 for ; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807280613.BAA05249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 01:13:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ef5ac73f2a5017ac33ebbab973a9f9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 110 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-27613>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:09:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA46570; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA47810 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290609.BAA29608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:09:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85f73ab948751f9ef31c35b3c6f07077 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 902 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 111E3. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN VERY CONSISTENT, SYNOPTIC DATA HAS SUPPORTED A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THIS AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 14:42:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25506; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:43:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9098178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25474 for ; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA29799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807290642.BAA29799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 01:42:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2ea5775e9d1072838857d296e9d420f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 921 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 111E3. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN VERY CONSISTENT, SYNOPTIC DATA HAS SUPPORTED A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THIS AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625972-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 13:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56312; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9095088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA31946 for ; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807300535.AAA23777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:35:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a95d4ddd7af2d8ae4c9efc134cce79c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 874 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z JULY 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 111E3 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC DATA, NO CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED. THEREFORE, THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPEMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PARSONS/JOHNSON/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3464 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-19158>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 13:32:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16856; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:32:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9097554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA34422 for ; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199807310530.AAA16876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a350050d1e3506fc2490d92e9e0358b3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 340 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JULY/010600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 13:28:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67642; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9109469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA67616 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808010528.AAA07440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:28:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8495a99e53d6a49eba7ba839f187208 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 947 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z AUG/020600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14N5 130E4 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 18 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS FORMING. HOWEVER, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS NO CLEAR LOW- LEVEL, ONLY A FEW ASSOCIATED BANDS OF SCATTERED CYCLONICALLY- TURNING CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT OUTFLOW IS FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-29809>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 01:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA26152; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:51:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9113880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:51:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA45798 for ; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808011750.MAA13767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:50:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4d3b594e2ec5f1103d94f23f71ac1213 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 391 ABPW10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011800Z AUG/020600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED AT 14N5 128E1, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING BENEATH THE ARE A OF CONVECTION, BUT A 011212Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS FAILED TO REFLECT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, 011200Z4 UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS IN A LOW WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAP H 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626421-9903>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 13:40:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41122; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:40:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9119525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA13142 for ; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808020539.AAA20809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:39:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a20eac93dc6bbb90b8f9ec08e50d735d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 482 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z AUG/030600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N3 126.7E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY REPORTED NEAR 14N5 128E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626365-17915>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 14:00:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA47256; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9129081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA11108 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808030600.BAA02785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 01:00:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 312c718c3c3e6119be356a7b5fd6f63b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 402 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z AUG/040600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 5 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z2 TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N6 124.2E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 5 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-18982>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 14:06:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA64528; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:58:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9141386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22172 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808040555.AAA25564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:55:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f160fe9a2dff66d5add2e468a567599 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 221 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z AUG/050600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 9 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N6 121.8E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 9 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-27769>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA41962; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:06:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9152560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:06:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA15322 for ; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:03:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA13117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:03:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050003.TAA13117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 19:03:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49e5f596374bcf39a4b852e26c3a3d76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 080 ABPW10 PGTW 050000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050000Z AUG/050600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041951Z AUG 98// AMPN/TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 042100)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041800Z3 TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N8 119.8E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OTTO (04W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 042100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 132E6. ALTHOUGH MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES NOT SHOW A DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS IMPROVING PARTICULARLY ON THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: INCLUDE SUSPECT AREA PARA B. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1449 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626616-2384>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 14:16:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25104; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:07:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9157522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA67584 for ; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808050606.BAA18556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 01:06:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd5b7e45a789dd62ad17c4fdb02c93ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 555 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z AUG/060600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) FINAL WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N6 118.8E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OTTO (04W) FINAL WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 132E6 IS NOW RELOCATED TO NEAR 10N1 130E4. THE OVERALL AREA HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, 050017Z3 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA REMAINS ILL-DEFINED WITH NO DISCERNABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2680 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:13:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62822; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:49:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9172048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22032 for ; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808060548.AAA11213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:48:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a59220856aa833d13d4ed4f2bfc9d6f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 825 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z AUG/070600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051951Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 128E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 060019Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING MORE CLEARLY DEFINED. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION, HOWEVER, HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. LATEST WIND SHEAR CHARTS FROM UW SUGGEST SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 13:55:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56190; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9185660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA22616 for ; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808070537.AAA02947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:37:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a62a54beeb12e35fec89401ca7a0c807 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 652 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z AUG/080600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061951Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 062100)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 125.4E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (WTPN31 PGTW 062100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 125.4E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 7N7 148E3 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR 8 HOURS. CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. HOWEVER, THERE IS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND UW SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 5N5 171E9 WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR 10 HOURS. A 061129Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF TROUGHING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND UW SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626483-26366>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 18:07:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA44686; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9196993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA41834 for ; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA23137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808080959.EAA23137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 04:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 716a98f012c0297082f2674abe49d55c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 279 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z AUG/090600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 062100)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N1 122.1E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNEY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 148E3 HAS SHOWN NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ONLY LINEAR CONVERGENCE IS EVIDENT AT THE SURFACE WITH NO LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY. BRIEF PERIODS OF CONVECTION HAVE ALTERNATED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS CONSIDERABLE LINEAR CONVERGENCE AT THE SURFACE, WHILE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR OUTFLOW EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3867 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626092-29927>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 14:23:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA51018; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:16:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9205863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15138 for ; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:15:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808090615.BAA02249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 01:15:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6ae588353a4d803f2196b30327d08460 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 784 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z AUG/100600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N2 118.0E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNEY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE DUE TO CONSIDERABLE LOW-LEVEL, LINEAR CONVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW NO DISCERNABLE CYCLONIC ROTATION. HOWEVER, WINDS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 174E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA HAS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, YET THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3379 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-10183>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 14:57:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19360; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9214868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60304 for ; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808100642.BAA12976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 01:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84ab08c8167d7c4c3bdcfb3a32b4d843 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 321 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z AUG/110600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 114.5E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. LOW-LEVEL, LINEAR CONVERGENCE HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IN THE AREA FO R THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS NO DISCERNABLE CYCLONIC ROTATION, WINDS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7S7 174E2 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA HAS NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, YET UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1172 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-2428>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:43:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19856; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9226691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19282 for ; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808110533.AAA05757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:33:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 398704cbe88a3c13d3141cbe2bafe0b6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 330 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z AUG/120600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 111.4E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS TOWARDS THE SOUTH CHINA COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PENNY (05W) (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 171E9 IS NO MORE. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW NO DISCERNABLE LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. DUE TO THE LACK OF LOWER LEVEL OR UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 174E2 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THERE IS NO WELL DEVELOPED AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS CANNOT DISCERN A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THE LACK OF EITHER ORGANIZED CONVECTION OR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-27608>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:44:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30572; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9239463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA60230 for ; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808120536.AAA27720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 736bcec906ab7a5d45e6f59daea0aaca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 736 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z AUG/130600Z AG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3312 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-20947>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 14:14:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30262; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA30238 for ; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808130553.AAA18551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:53:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8002d224310313ca638e15c7f1adc08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 861 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z AUG/140600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-10073>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 15:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19894; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9252579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62628 for ; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808140617.BAA08944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 01:17:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36d301168414747f661da5508d7274d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 549 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z AUG/150600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-2680>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 13:10:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13134; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:10:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9265714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA62744 for ; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:04:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:04:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808150504.AAA27381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:04:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0afdac07fea10d8fba0c30a07ad0c080 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 446 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z AUG/160600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES AT APPROXIMATELY 9N9 129E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, A 142354Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO FORM. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626112-25699>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 13:10:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14890; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:10:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9275787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA44616 for ; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808160507.AAA08498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea6cd33f116b24426bb8a9d2556f99ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 438 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z AUG/170600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 129E2 IS NOW LOCATED AT 8N8 128E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES IS GREATER IN EXTENT, BUT LESS ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS AGO. ADDITIONALLY, 152341Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, UPPER AIR ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND BOTH ARE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2292 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-25699>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21588; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9284819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21514 for ; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808170513.AAA08484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:13:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce8175e0f763219b0ababf4baaaaed63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 204 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z AUG/180600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 128E1 HAS DISPERSED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES HAS DISPERSED AS CONVECTION INCREASED TO THE WEST. ACCORDING TO SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION FAILED TO ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4073 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627585-25699>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 14:19:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA60266; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:19:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9296842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:19:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60230 for ; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:19:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:18:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808180618.BAA26949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 01:18:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0395498abd25ea080cb48a78879ac22e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 079 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z AUG/190600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT APPROXIMATELY 14.5N0 114.5E1. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS OF THE 00Z GRADIENT WINDS INDICATES A CIRCULATION CENTER JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS CONVECTION AREA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, UW-CIMSS DIVERGENT CHART (180000Z9), AND THE 00Z 200MB ANALYSIS SHOW DIVERGENC E ALOFT. MICROWAVE (180112Z3) AND MULTISPECTRAL (180427Z2) IMAGERY REVEAL SOME BANDING AND CYCLONIC TURNING TO THE NORTH, BUT NO LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS EVIDENT FROM THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE COMBINED WITH AN EXISTING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIO N MAKES THIS AREA FAVORABLE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1548 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626311-24137>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 13:36:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA09898; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9307356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA45690 for ; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808190536.AAA17207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d16a7aca75a3cd8b18173889d2eb56c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 061 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z AUG/200600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT APPROXIMATELY 14.5N0 114.5E1 HAS DISSIPATED. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS OF THE 00Z GRADIENT LEVEL WIND FLOW INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS NOW LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA VERSUS THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ONLY CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG THE VIETNAM COAST. MICROWAVE (182256Z4) IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CONVERGENT LIN E AND NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4498 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626541-23367>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 13:08:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60320; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:09:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9317972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:08:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA39972 for ; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:01:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808200500.AAA08403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12cf0be85704aa9d38c317349bcaa74b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 308 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z AUG/210600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED EAST OF LUZON AT APPROXIMATELY 16N7 124E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, 200033Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND 200000Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. HOWEVER, ACCORDING TO ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 200000Z2 200 MB ANALYSIS, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME, A NECESSARY INGREDIANT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED AT APPROXIMATELY 7N7 167E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. 192109Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 200000Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS FORMING BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-23367>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 13:28:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22528; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:28:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9330535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29142 for ; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:28:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808210527.AAA00025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:27:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd5454fb6dbf0cd5f8e718cc2aa26767 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 366 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z AUG/220600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 16N7 124E7 IS NOW LOCATED AT 18N9 116E8, WEST OF LUZON. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, 202217Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 210000Z3 SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT IT HAS REMAINED BROAD IN SCOPE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED AT APPROXIMATELY 18N9 130E4, WELL EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. FURTHERMORE, THE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS SEPARATING FROM A LARGER AREA OF CONVECTION AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 210000Z3 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING WITHIN THE CONVECTION. IN ADDITION, THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROVIDING DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THE COMBINATION OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT MAKES THIS AREA FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 7N7 167E4 HAS DISPERSED. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DISAPPEARED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS MORE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO ITS EAST. 202056Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWED THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMING BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION FAILED TO ORGANIZE, AND THE CURRENT CONVECTION IS DUE TO LOW LEVEL LINEAR CONVERGENCE. SINCE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DISPERSED AND NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS SURVIVED, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626383-538>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:31:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA57762; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:18:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9342230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:18:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA67696 for ; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:18:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:17:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808220617.BAA19729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 01:17:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c126f4e0866d0b13e27563cd7dd31c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 936 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z AUG/230600Z AUG 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 130E4 IS NOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED AT 18.5N4 133.5E2. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE AREA OF CONVECTION HA S EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, VISIBLE ANIMATION, AND 220000Z4 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH SLIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SURFACE 00Z ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS FORMED WITHIN THIS CONVECTION. CONTINUED FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAKE THIS AREA FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNO TS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FO R THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 116E8, APPROXIMATELY 180NM WEST HAINAN, IS NOW LOCATED AT 19.5N5 112.5E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED WELL WEST OF THE CENTER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (212219Z7) AND SURFACE ANALYSIS (220000Z4) INDICATE THE SYSTE M HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. IT ALSO APPEARS THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS INCREASED IN THE AREA. THESE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND LEAD TO THE DOWNGRADE OF POTENTIAL FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 22N4 146E1. UPPER LEVEL (200MB) ANALYSIS SHOWS THI S CONVECTION IS A RESULT OF A TUTT LOW TO ITS WEST. UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE AND SHEAR CHARTS (220000Z4) AND THE 200MB 220000Z4 ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOCATION OF THIS CONVECTION IS IN A FAVORABLE AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THIS DATA INDICATES THE AREA HAS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATE D AT 10-15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626958-27535>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:23:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA29172; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:07:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9351878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:07:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26256 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:06:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230706.CAA01114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 02:06:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98c072d8de8ce34e29921fb04239e590 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 228 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTE L0>CD?L/2306 XTI> 2 + E 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627001-27530>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 16:38:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA26332; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9352269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26314 for ; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808230826.DAA01728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 03:26:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7d86d7cd3910a659bc1da76fe33e44eb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 512 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z AUG/240600Z AUG 98// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 133.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, VISIBLE ANIMATION, AND 230000Z5 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH SLIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. SURFACE (230000Z5) ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS CONSIDERABLY BROADENED AND ELONGATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (222335Z7) INDICATED POSSIBLE CYCLONIC CURVATURE IN THE CU BANDS SOUTHEAST OF THIS ELONGATED AREA. 200MB ANALYSIS AND UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE A STRONG AREA OF CONVERGENCE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THIS AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT. THIS CONVERGENCE SHOULD LIMIT MOVEMENT AND SUPPORTS THE ELONGATION SEEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA AS IT REMAINS QUASI- STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 134E8. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS THIS AREA OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE HAS MOVED RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE WEST AND DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. SURFACE ANALYSIS (230000Z5) SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF CYCLONIC CURVATURE WITH NO CLOSED CIRCULATION CENTER. MICROWAVE IMAGERY (222024Z2) AND VISIBLE AND INFRARED ANIMATION INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND ESTIMATE A WEST-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS. UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE AND SHEAR CHARTS (230000Z5) INDICATE MODERATE SHEAR WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SURFACE ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES THE WAVE IS APPROACHING A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE, SO DECELERATION IS EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH CURRENT MOVEMENT OF 15 KNOTS AND MODERATE SHEAR ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR INITIAL DEVELOPMENT, THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM SLOWS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.5N5 112.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED ON THE HAINAN COAST NEAR 20N2 110E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A CONTINUED WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOW LOCATED INLAND AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS NO LONGER SUPPORT POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 146E1 HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW DECREASED CONVECTION IN THIS AREA OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL (200MB) ANALYSIS AND 230000Z5 UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHART SHOW THIS AREA, NEAR A TUTT LOW, IS NO LONGER FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627121-14818>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:15:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA20516; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:15:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9361901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA23530 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:06:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:06:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240606.BAA12399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:06:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant ; Nl Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a9501e38650c2cb3acca61a9f6e662c5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 399 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT ; NL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z AUG/250600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RLG/NAVP?(CBE EST GU/240151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING (WTPN31 PG: 3R >(C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3284 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627184-14821>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 14:50:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61534; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:51:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9362035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA04098 for ; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:39:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808240639.BAA12563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 01:39:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 140b3dffcfeddd9f0065fb53c330b3bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 329 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z AUG/250600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WAS LOCATED AT 20.5N7 129.8E0 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 3 0 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 129E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 130E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 134E8 HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED NORTHWESTWARD. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 25 14:23:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4699 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-22674>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 14:17:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39352; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:17:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9378920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62860 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250615.BAA07977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 01:15:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bc94f08108f1e50162645784c16f3e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 679 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z AUG/260600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AR E 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 12:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2990 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626930-22670>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 16:14:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA29202; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:14:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9379586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA11148 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808250811.DAA09115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 03:11:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bf76464c85c6de68d1c5d72a1759497 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 877 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z AUG/260600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.4N0 132.3E9 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AR E 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/PATTERSON/HONG// D PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND KEEP TROPICAL S TORM REX (06W) ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. BY 48 HOURS THE NAVY OPERATIONAL GLOB AL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (NOGAPS) INDICATES A TRANSITION TO A ST ANDARD PATTERN AS THE RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM BUILDS, AND THE NOGAPS VORTEX TRACKER AND THE BETA AND ADVECTION MODELS SHOW NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD M OTION STARTING AT THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE JAPANESE MODEL, HOWEVE R, SUGGESTS THE RIDGE DOES NOT BUILD AS STRONGLY. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE FORECA STED NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE 48 TO 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. C. TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROU GHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT EXPERIENCED A BRIEF PERIOD OF SHEARING AS EVINCED BY THE 242128Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS WHICH INDICATED THE MAIN CONVECTION WA S SHEARED TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL. HOWEVER, RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS T HAT THE CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO REDEVELOP AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT UNTIL THE 72-HO UR POSITION WHEN IT SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 26 14:42:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3763 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627320-1953>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 14:12:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA63618; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9396835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA60018 for ; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808260554.AAA05144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:54:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e92e4eb37d8a8f84984449ab2e214ba4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 985 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z AUG/270600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL STORM WARNING (WTP- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 27 14:04:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627664-13460>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 13:55:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24294; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9418392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA67788 for ; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808270555.AAA00983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:55:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 851deceb683ca33c87cf8f3de5e9b8db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 574 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z AUG/280600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.6N2 138.2E4 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 8N8 148E3. MICROWAVE (262305Z)IMAGERY SHOWS NO DISCERNIBLE CIRCULATION IN THE CONVECTION. VISIBLE SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A WESTWARD MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. GRADIENT ANALYSIS FROM 270000Z SHOWS NO CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW SEVERAL WESTERLY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE AREA, INDICATING GOOD TROUGHING. U. OF WISCONSIN-CIMSS (270000Z9) DIVERGENCE CHARTS ALSO INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:12:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626029-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:52:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58272; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:53:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9436817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA58248 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:53:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280552.AAA28024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:52:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 020fdf9405a86070e3e716daa15a71d2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 989 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z AUG/290600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAMETCCEN WEST GU/28015 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 28 15:12:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626483-26168>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:03:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA45266; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9437009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA53436 for ; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA28679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808280703.CAA28679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 02:03:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61d38e99aca37f344e537d2c3d2dfc42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 227 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z AUG/290600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z9 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.5N3 140.4E9 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N8 172E0 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. GRADIENT WIND FIELD ANALYSIS (280000Z0) AND MICROWAVE (272125Z9) IMAGERY REVEAL A CLOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION JUST SOUTH OF THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A 10-15 KNOT MOVEMENT. UNIV. OF WISCONSIN-CIMSS (280000Z0) DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH LIGHT VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 143E8 SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, BUT IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. VISIBLE SATELLITE (280330Z6)IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND SHEAR HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. GRADIENT LEVEL 280000Z0 ANALYSIS REVEALS THIS AREA IS LAYING A BROAD TROUGHING AREA. THIS TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A CIRCULATION (PAPRA 1B1) NEAR 9N9 AND 170E8 TO 8N8 145E0. U. OF WISCONSIN-CIMSS (280000Z0) DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE FAIR DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/HONG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 14:15:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-4426>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:02:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA62498; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:02:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9452971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25316 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290601.BAA21702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a8e9aff9549a8f915a0b1f1d11614c97 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 620 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z AUG/300600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10N1 139E3 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 281322Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. SHEAR CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N8 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 29 14:15:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1651 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628363-4431>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:09:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16732; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:09:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9453004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:09:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22210 for ; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808290608.BAA21735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db31b7f2adb920d0f4448170324a007c X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 831 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z AUG/300600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.0N0 140.9E4 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10N1 139E3 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 281322Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. SHEAR CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN P :,OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACEPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N8 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 10 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627275-24241>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 13:48:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA34872; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:49:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9466054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:47:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA50044 for ; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808300545.AAA05383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:45:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: af2a462fd11837809a2e76e2d130f438 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 978 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z AUG/310600Z AUG 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 141.0E6 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 139E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION HAS BEEN DISORGANIZED AND CYCLIC FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. SHEAR CHARTS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGER INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON REX. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 29N1 165E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THIS UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS NOT EXTENDED TO THE SURFACE. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION IS IN A LOW WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND SO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP IF A LOW-LEVEL DEVELOPS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOUR IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4484 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627612-10109>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 13:21:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20782; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:21:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9477134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA63604 for ; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199808310518.AAA19947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:18:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b97572bcf65a3aeda067c888275e4b77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 674 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG/010600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z AUG 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.3N7 142.9E6 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DRIFTED ACROSS 180E AND IS NOW NEAR 12N3 178E6. BOTH MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 302047Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING OF LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES. CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS NEAR 22N4 123E6. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED JUST SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT LYING ACROSS SOUTHERN CHINA. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA ANALYZED TO HAVE WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, HOWEVER ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 29N1 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N4 163E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A CIRCULATION IS STARTING TO EXTEND TO THE SURFACE. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, HOWEVER ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 13N4 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 138E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED SPORADIC FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS AND THE AREA REMAINS IN A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS AREA NO LONGER HAS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 01 15:07:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1366 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-13065>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 14:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44952; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:57:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9491712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA60266 for ; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809010656.BAA20015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:56:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 271529b09863eb4161e26fdbf2f0524c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 282 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z SEP/020600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 010300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.4N7 147.7E9 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 178E6 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATED A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA NOW HAS LINEAR CHARACTERISTICS. PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS NOT EXISTED IN THE AREA FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 25N7 124E7 HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ITS SPAN OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA HAS IMPROVED UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW BUT WITH NO DISCERNABLE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 31N4 163E0 HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF EXTENDING DOWN TOWARDS THE SURFACE. THE AREA OF CONVECTION WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT. HOWEVER, NO CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE AREA FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 02 19:10:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-23330>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 17:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA34432; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9509485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64356 for ; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809020910.EAA19198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 04:10:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3473431b6cb1f964b8ae9c886813ccf5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 530 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z SEP/030600Z QKBS. REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151 SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 020300// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 151.2E9 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 124E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26N8 131E5 AND WILL BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VORTICITY MAXIMUM HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EAST OF CHINA. UW-CIMMS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A WELL DEFINED, EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 37N0 154E0. THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER. PRESENTLY, ONLY SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 118E0 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING BUT CONSISTS OF NO DISCERNABLE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH THE AREA HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, THE CONVECTION ITSELF HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/COCKS/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 03 14:09:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4332 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627760-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 13:46:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35136; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:46:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9527655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA20744 for ; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:46:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809030545.AAA15616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:45:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc421505be2779eb00f4b77dd64ca348 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 315 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151 SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 030300). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW 030300))// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.0N4 154.0E0 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED 29.1N2 136.6E6 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTGW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 131E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29.1N2 136.6E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE 1.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 37N0 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 41N5 158E4. DEEP CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 118E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1974 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-29329>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 14:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA41940; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:10:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9544495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:10:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA41834 for ; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:10:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:09:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809040609.BAA11921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 01:09:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f9e859e501a0ace2e072f579c65c5f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 744 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151 SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040153 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 040300). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW 040300))// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.5N9 155.5E6 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED 30.5N8 141.1E7 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTGW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 07 14:28:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628033-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 14:25:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19612; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:26:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9578700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49022 for ; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809070625.BAA23832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 01:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe424bee7da6a0b99c7eb82b9e150542 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 391 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151 SEP 98// RMKS/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL STORM REX (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 44.6N4 166.0E3 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. AT 070600Z3, THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PTGW 070300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 122E5 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 22N4 165E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. UW-CIMSS PRODUCTS INDICATE THE AREA HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, 200MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS IMPROVING. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL SURFACE CIRCULATION CAN BE DETECTED IN THE VISUAL IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 08 16:16:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3498 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627487-5181>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:08:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA19568; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:06:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9592710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:06:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA67278 for ; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:04:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA09800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809080803.DAA09800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 03:03:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 21fd5ff3b10aab41a6b7d08e06d36c25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 901 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 165E2 HAS A LARGE, BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N5 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13N4 AND 154E0. THIS REGION OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WHICH IS SOUTH OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 072216Z8 DO NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14N5 129E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR CLOSE TO 20 HOURS; HOWEVER, MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 072358Z5 AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DO NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION SHOULD ENTER A REGION OF UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 10 14:49:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627071-152>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:37:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA66292; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:37:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9625554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52154 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA11915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809100636.BAA11915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 01:36:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a48a598d53ff32084a922fbbbcc6e5ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 228 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS A BROAD LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA HAS HAD NO PERSISTENT CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR PRODUCTS SHOW THE AREA IS UNDER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS WELL. SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 09:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3656 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627978-149>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 03:35:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA46846; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:35:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9633403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26820 for ; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:35:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:34:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809101934.OAA28547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 14:34:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eccde7f7da759d9740e380c4053e84cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 489 ABPW10 PGTW 102000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/102000Z/110600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16N7 153E9, APPROXIMATELY 500NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING ALONG 14 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS, AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED TO THE EAST OF GUAM. ALTHOUGH SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST A MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH THE REGION, UW-CIMMS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW AN AREA OF STRONG SHEAR JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THIS CONVECTION. A DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 11 14:17:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1207 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-29063>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 14:10:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29368; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:10:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9641571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:10:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA57738 for ; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:10:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:09:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809110609.BAA10537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 01:09:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a51e42e9a81c9b881afbe1b102887854 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 723 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 148E3 WITHIN A VERY ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. THE TROUGH HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LOCATED PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 143E8 AND 159E5. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION HAS YET TO CONCENTRATE OR BECOME ORGANIZED ABOUT THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER LEVEL- DERIVED WINDS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. SURFACE WINDS DEPICTED FROM THE EUROPEAN SCATTEROMETER SHOW SEVERAL AREAS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 TO 180 NM BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 12 23:18:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626393-20425>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 14:14:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA46802; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9654467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA46778 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809120614.BAA06057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 01:14:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 165e1daaa063dfe26f269a0899bbcb7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 614 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 148E3 IS NOW NEAR 16N7 145E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT(WTPN21 PGTW 120000Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR 21N3 117E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 11:14:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625997-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 07:09:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA57998; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:10:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9660687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:10:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA22840 for ; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:09:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA16068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:09:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809122309.SAA16068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 18:09:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b816455ca66b4a4be65524c736a84b08 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 101 ABPW10 PGTW 122300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/122300Z/130600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121951Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WAS LOCATED AT 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 117E9. IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21N3 114E6. ALTHOUGH INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES CONTINUED DISORGANIZATION AND SHEAR, 121800Z SYNOPTIC DATA AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE INCREASED PERIPHERAL WIND SPEEDS AND LOWERED SURFACE PRESSURES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1001MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 13 14:28:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-27877>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 14:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44104; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:25:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9664001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:25:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13288 for ; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809130624.BAA20486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 01:24:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 170ba87a9d55d24db5cefcb1913e4d2b X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 894 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 142.3E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO ODI T AL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE A?1?;F P3XTION PAFEACOCATED NEAR 21N3 114E6. IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 113E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD ENSEMBLE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CORRESPONDING TO A LARGE LOW- PRESSURE AREA WITH HIGH WINDS LOCATED PRIMARILY ALONG THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE PERIPHERY. CENTRALLY, NON- PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE PRESENT. THE POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS AMBIGUOUS. THESE OBSERVATIONS ARE CHARACTERISTIC OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION. THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND LIMITS THE AVAILABLE TIME REQUIRED TO ORGANIZE INTO A STANDARD MESO-SCALE CORE SYSTEM WITH CONSISTENT CENTRALLY LOCATED SIGNIFICANT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1000MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3809 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627539-20656>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 14:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25198; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:24:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9674409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25148 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:24:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809140623.BAA05909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 01:23:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b378d43be850cd04f2ef6ecb97dcf58 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 820 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131953Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.3N9 140.3E8 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 113E5. WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 132100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:44:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1431 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627116-20653>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 00:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA31954; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:20:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9678471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:20:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id LAA19558 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809141619.LAA13708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 11:19:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9558aae9441f70337d017c71d5224002 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 945 ABPW10 PGTW 141700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/141700Z/150600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.4N2 138.4E6 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 115E7 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PRESSURE FALLS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE REGION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 13:45:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3863 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625928-13811>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 08:39:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA64450; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:39:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9683343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:39:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA42784 for ; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:38:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA28298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150038.TAA28298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 19:38:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a0f3d9836567ac3f30b0e3680bcadb5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 471 ABPW10 PGTW 150030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150030Z/150600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141951Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z8 TROPICAL STORM STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.8N2 137.8E9 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 115E7 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PRESSURE FALLS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE REGION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2. SHIP REPORTS FROM 141200Z AND 141800Z SUGGEST THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA, EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS ONLY WEAKLY DIVERGENT AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1002MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 15 14:20:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4952 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628325-13812>; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 14:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18998; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9687007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22808 for ; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809150612.BAA03621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 01:12:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 772512cd7fcfbb8e7e3ede0a3b30f385 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 462 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.3N3 136.9E9 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 117E9 HAS NOT MOVED. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. CURRENTLY, CONVECTION IS SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED; HOWEVER THERE IS GOOD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND LOW SURFACE PRESSURES WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 20N 129E AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS (150000Z6) AND UW-CIMSS WATER VAPOR SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627980-6179>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:56:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA46584; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:57:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9701999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:53:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA45790 for ; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:47:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809160647.BAA06392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:47:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 838941d9bb202cf62bd69308acfb1825 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 268 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMDDMCN WE3ABD 4HKBSREF/C/RMG/NAVP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 15:48:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1060 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627534-29116>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:41:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA12840; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA13052 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170741.CAA11544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 964d27995e5bda09f1cc7aea7a8fc19c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 059 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PAFIC?N-L2 R;170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 17 15:48:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1102 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627360-29113>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 15:42:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA54634; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:42:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9720224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:42:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21782 for ; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809170741.CAA11552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 02:41:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68afaa44763b879c3ae207e3e57495b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 072 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161351Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170151Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161200Z7 TYPHOON STELLA (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.8N6 139.5E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 52 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 161500) FOR DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 170000Z TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.3N7 134.2E0 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 170000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WAS LOCATED AT 17N 120.1E MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C(WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 115E7 IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W REFERENCED IN PARAGRAPH 1.A.(3) ABOVE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10N1 147E2 IS NOW NEAR 10N1 144E9. WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT 160000Z7 SURFACE REPORTS DON=T INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INSTEAD. THEREFORE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 16N7 112E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM 170000Z, AND A SCATTEROMETER PASS 1615058 INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF HAINAN DAO. CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATING THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA IS LOW. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 18 15:07:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3602 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-22875>; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA67252; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9736384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49282 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809180627.BAA12479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 01:27:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8fa51d66ad70aeafc1858c5e973da8ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 581 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171055Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.1N2 133.1E8 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.2N 118.8E MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B(WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 112E4. IS NOW NEAR 16N7 109E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE VIETNAM COAST, AND IS SOUTH OF HAINAN DAO ISLAND. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT; SEE REF C (WTPN23 PGTW 171100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 16N7 135E9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE MONSOON TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP IN THIS REGION. HOWEVER, AT THE TIME THERE IS NOT AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3977 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628045-22879>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA52236; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:12:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9741944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA52924 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181711.MAA24884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 12:11:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11e0a452d261ca391132087a6dc9831d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 581 ABPW10 PGTW 181700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/181700Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181353Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181355Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N0 128.9E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 I>9IE VTPH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2775 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628036-22883>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 03:03:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA58744; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:03:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9743152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA47660 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809181902.OAA28766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 14:02:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9439fdc4d7b701507ee128b1dd7b347b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 140 ABPW10 PGTW 181700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/181700Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181353Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181355Z SEP 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N0 128.9E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 1801500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181200Z2 TROPICAL STORM VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8N4 119.2E3 AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181200Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 107.6E4 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 109E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N1 107.6E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(3) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7. AN 180123Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. A 180854Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS TROUGHING OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2188 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625967-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 07:09:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA31510; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:36:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9745604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:36:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id RAA53188 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:36:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809182235.RAA04340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 17:35:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebc4648a95a46ccb22b8dda2d6485531 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 739 ABPW10 PGTW 182200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/182200Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181953Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181951Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181955Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.3N6 127.4E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1N8 120.0E3 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7. AN 180123Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. 180854Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TROUGHING OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 18N9 138E2. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS ONE OF THREE (PARA B.(1,2,3)) WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAVING POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 14N5 127E0. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8N8 177E5 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EASTERLIES. ADDITIONALLY, 181815Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREAS 1.B.(2),(3) AND (4). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 19 08:29:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1319 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626237-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 08:20:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA52634; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:20:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9746343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:20:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA37732 for ; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:20:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:19:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190019.TAA05866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 19:19:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63626160d24dcb90ecefae1b65b3a7bc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 875 ABPW10 PGTW 182200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/182200Z/190600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181953Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181951Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181955Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.3N6 127.4E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181800Z8 TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1N8 120.0E3 AND MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 181800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7. AN 180123Z5 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. 180854Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TROUGHING OVER THIS AREA. THE CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 18N9 138E2. THIS SUSPECT AREA IS ONE OF THREE (PARA B.(1,2,3)) WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAVING POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS NEAR 14N5 127E0. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. NO DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 8N8 177E5 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EASTERLIES. ADDITIONALLY, 181815Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREAS 1.B.(2),(3) AND (4). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2021 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-15815>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 14:02:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA29738; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:02:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9748724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:02:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA15596 for ; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:02:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809190601.BAA09621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 01:01:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ccd6d475a6d0da279a463b726adffc4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 844 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190155Z SEP 98// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190521Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.1N4 125.8E6 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON VICKIE (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3N0 120.7E0 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 107.2E0 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 133N7 HAS TRACKED RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE EAST AND IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION MENTIONED IN PARA 1.B.(2). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 138E2. THIS AREA WITHIN THE ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF D (WTPN24 PGTW 190530) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 127E0 HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 177E5 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 4 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS A TROPICAL WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EASTERLIES. HOWEVER, THE AREA HAS LOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4462 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626955-22442>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 14:15:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52376; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:15:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9758488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:15:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA10370 for ; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:15:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:14:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809200614.BAA24756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 01:14:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3fbc2cef8935a656346bc3dd7b20467a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 195 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z SEP 98// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A THRU C,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM TODD (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.4N5 120.7E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD (INLAND) AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FINAL WARNING FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 125.7E5 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED AT 23.8N3 138.8E0 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN34 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 138E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH A.(3) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 21 14:00:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-16016>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:51:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04240; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9769312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA52856 for ; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809210550.AAA17111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:50:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 622854afc44ed0f9e84aa22a8f866375 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 807 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A AND B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.ON7 129.8E0 AND MOVING NORTHEASTARD AP 19 KNOTS. PLUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PEP10300) FGB DURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM WALDO (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.1N4 135.8E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN34 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1545 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627241-10300>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:10:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA44058; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:09:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9785883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:09:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA44144 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:08:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:07:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220607.BAA04759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:07:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94417d5c5b2c578c8bb95c36bf1d5a65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 072 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A AND B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 134.0E8 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W(WALDO) WAS LOCATED AT 40.8N2 138.5E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN34 PGTW 220300) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER NEAR AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIAMTED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATLA/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2098 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-10304>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 14:21:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64308; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:22:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9785944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:22:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA43290 for ; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:22:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:21:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809220621.BAA05017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 01:21:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6d9bc2a8f2deb41057afe6217256b4c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 485 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220157Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A AND B, TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 134.0E8 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W(WALDO) WAS LOCATED AT 40.8N2 138.5E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN34 PGTW 220300) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER NEAR AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIAMTED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECT MANOP. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATLA/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 23 14:23:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-7536>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:06:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA57830; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:07:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9804182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40632 for ; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809230606.BAA06885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 01:06:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ee7d16bd2e7fd59b5f10818afe4311f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 115 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z SEP 98// NARR/REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z4 TYPHOON VICKI (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.8N5 147.7E9. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7 IS NOW NEAR 16N7 132E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT). THE AREA OF CONVECTION APPEARS SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26N 128E. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS INCREASED DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/PATLA/PATTERSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 24 13:47:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1251 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-26532>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 13:45:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40040; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:45:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9822575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA57604 for ; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809240544.AAA19777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:44:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ad96c2b795ff7ed60f6e2d25ac4de55 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 719 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z SEP 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 134E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) LOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE TUTT LOW CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD TOWARDS LUZON. UW- CIMSS WATER VAPOR CHARTS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE AREA. TYPICALLY, THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE TUTT IS A FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT. SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION JUST TO THE WEST, BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL AT THIS TIME. OBSERVATIONS ALSO INDICATE A PRESSURE DROP OF ABOUT 1MB OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES A RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE BAY OF BENGAL THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA (VICINITY OF THIS SUSPECT AREA). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, SO THIS SUSPECT AREA IS UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10N 156E2. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND ANIMATE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE SUSPECT AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N 128E IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 25 14:32:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-19059>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:15:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54872; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:16:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9840129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12264 for ; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809250614.BAA05048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 01:14:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c3e35b68765aaf00451047c1d598693 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 435 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROR81 CYCLONE SUSP: S (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 131.5E0 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GRTPK4 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) BIV BXALJ R. (#ROP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3116 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-12553>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:45:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA60116; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:45:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9860120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:43:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12066 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:38:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809260638.BAA05271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 01:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 55bf1244e80cc7406847a8da3cecb23b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 811 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 129.7E9 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 1 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 153E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 150E6 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2930 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627845-12554>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 05:33:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA61390; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9871282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 16:33:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA57692 for ; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:48:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809262048.PAA17181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 15:48:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f56a18dd245a153bfcf06dc8cf7c4614 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 411 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261830Z/270600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 19.7N7 125.5E7 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 140E5. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS AND IS IN A REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO EVIDENCE AT THIS TIME OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626517-24153>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:24:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA61418; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9879029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA61394 for ; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809270624.BAA26189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 01:24:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89ccd74ea429043fd569011e0a868896 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 015 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 20.5N7 125.3E1 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 138E2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION, DISORGANIZED AND SCATTERED WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7. THIS AREA HAS NO DEVELOPED CENTRAL CONVECTION BUT IS DEVELOPING A SURFACE SIGNATURE AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS WESTWARD. THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO OUR AOR WITHIN THE 24 HOUR PERIOD COVERED BY THIS MESSAGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 15:26:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-24774>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:11:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA41368; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9897596 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA19052 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280607.BAA19435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:07:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ab907589144562b3b4f785e7f55eed0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 812 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 23.0N5 122.0E5 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 28 15:26:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1829 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-24782>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 14:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42776; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9897855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA42752 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809280642.BAA19754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 01:42:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d3561255d4a156f899a6002113faffe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 919 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 23.0N5 122.0E5 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATLA/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1483 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626626-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 21:19:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA57628; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:18:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9901896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:17:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA30518 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:16:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA24527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:16:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281316.IAA24527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:16:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cfb3dcc40dfeb7b2da14f4b22c1ef688 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 158 ABPW10 PGTW 281030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/281030Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280751Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 145E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA DOESN=T YET INDICATE EVIDENCE OF A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS OF THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO ADD POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 29 09:30:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 22:29:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA14646; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9903052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA37644 for ; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809281427.JAA26762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a64beb807f1f40fad7bd365d8d6d81ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 709 ABPW10 PGTW 281030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/281030Z/290600Z SEP 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280751Z SEP 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280259Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 122.2E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 28N0 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 176.5E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 145E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA DOESN=T YET INDICATE EVIDENCE OF A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS OF THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUE: TO ADD POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-17077>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA66102; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:11:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA45290 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300810.DAA29461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:10:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c5dc24436346c43d34c05dfe226e7ef X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 603 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/010600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 126.9E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 177E5 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 145E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PSORIATIC FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. LASTLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 30 17:42:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:41:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA66290; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9943779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA21702 for ; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA29769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199809300841.DAA29769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 03:41:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22392fa8ab02f65967b332b308731d9d X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 116 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/010600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z SEP 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM YANNI (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 126.9E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW PRESSURE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 177E5 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 145E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PSORIATIC FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. LASTLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626138-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 06:55:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA14650; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:55:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10022217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 17:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA31576 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:05:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010605.BAA28056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:05:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17d926b0a1fb42a34a11c37af0678e71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 997 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627230-5817>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 14:19:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA49622; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:20:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 9977906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22204 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010619.BAA28160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:19:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3006525a127ebb46a198225c0e59efc4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 454 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 12:25:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3371 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 07:07:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA26814; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 18:07:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10022970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 18:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA10350 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810010648.BAA28333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 01:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48982709aff0653399f348bd2fdf95e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 359 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 34.1N8 127.7E7 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2463 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-2415>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:35:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24492; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:36:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10042328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA45754 for ; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA00895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810011209.HAA00895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 07:09:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e26ee75ea9578270fbdb9f3928379fde Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 898 ABPW10 PGTW 011030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011030Z/020600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010751Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (YANNI) WAS LOCATED AT 33.0N6 128.3E1 MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS SMALL, COMPACT CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 115E7 HAS RE-DEVELOPED FURTHER WESTWARD NEAR 13N4 113E5. A 010254Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED A REGION OF TROUGHING WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL VORTICITY. HOWEVER, THE PASS DIDN=T SHOW A DEFINABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THE TIME. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS WATER VAPOR WIND DATA FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ABOVE THIS AREA. THE ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DID SHOW THE PRESENCE OF SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT THIS IS FORECASTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, NOGAPS NUMERICAL PROGNOSTIC CHARTS FAVOR THIS AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 . THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CIRCULATION. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627173-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA42166; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10042821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA17774 for ; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810020543.AAA24170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:43:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2537f7d3ebbb4ef6d45de4ffd9443821 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 842 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 113E5 AND WILL BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. 020000Z2 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION EXISTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH 20 KNOT WINDS WITHIN 3 DEGREES SURROUNDING THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A 012208Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS. WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 REMAINS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126N9. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 154E0. THIS WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS HAD NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF LOW WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 16:02:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2859 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-21860>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 15:25:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA09870; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA14450 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA21052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030725.CAA21052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 02:25:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 045589378e11e734707769ee77c46a48 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 717 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 113E5 WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. IT IS NOW LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 124E7. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19N0 153E9. UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE LESS THAN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS HAD NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 03 17:53:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626112-21860>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 16:04:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA55730; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10100491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA48774 for ; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810030804.DAA21552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 03:04:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e40d55303bd064aec93cec42f7a4bda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 231 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 113E5 WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. IT IS NOW LOCATED AT 14.9N4 114.1E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126N9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 124E7. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19N0 153E9. UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE LESS THAN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONALLY, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS HAD NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627383-28312>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 14:18:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18692; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14804 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050618.BAA19336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 01:18:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9a2f92fb570c43eb33cb76a8ab90e69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 352 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041621Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 107.7E5 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 124E7 EAST OF TAIWAN IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 173E1 HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO MORE. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 28N0 126E9 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 50NM WEST OF THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS GOOD. HOWEVER, THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 05 17:14:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627281-28315>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:01:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44054; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10125370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA63488 for ; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810050701.CAA19709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:01:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 796f5327f473dbf073ca59f8a476de2a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 473 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041621Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 107.7E5 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 124E7 EAST OF TAIWAN IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 173E1 HAS DISSIPATED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO MORE. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 28N0 126E9 HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 50NM WEST OF THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE AREA IS GOOD. HOWEVER, THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2215 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626551-9467>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 15:44:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15832; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:59:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10143076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62818 for ; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810060656.BAA15906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 01:56:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 97c9913ff80cc47b8adaa5acdb5ae6ea Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 893 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 24.1N7 123.0E6, QUASI-STATIONARY EAST OF TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 126.0E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 126E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE AREA IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 AND IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW AS WELL AS CONSISTENT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/SANCHEZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2732 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 14:22:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA42838; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:23:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62232 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070622.BAA12179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 01:22:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 51e4fa52caba29008630a567f1d5be7e Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 098 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/?/BMG/NAVPACMETOC01) )T4 70151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98/+A,RAF A AND B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626724-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:23:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA42840; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39488 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070723.CAA12521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:23:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e6385c4d52c171bbf7f1c9c98b129a0 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 920 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/?/BMG/NAVPACMETOC01) )T4 70151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98/+A,RAF A AND B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4749 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626819-14069>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:32:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26702; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26662 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070732.CAA12582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:32:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4928ac7cc3d9fa4808f790c3c2e046b Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 100 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW- LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-14067>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 15:55:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53052; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10158972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA52244 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070755.CAA12696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 02:55:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bfc57f226185c30e39e7971225148a8d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 331 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3690 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626375-14068>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:43:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA63770; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:43:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10159209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:41:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA44120 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070839.DAA13217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:39:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2109489aecdfb0ec879a8554d81c9dbb Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 077 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW- LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4039 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA53178; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:54:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10159275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA38724 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810070850.DAA13332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20e035ced16f6df952db9a1e7aceb1ed Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 242 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-14059>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:33:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA43598; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10168010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA40992 for ; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA01990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810072133.QAA01990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 16:33:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22d1d5ca2815df72cac940cbfeaeff31 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 932 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 25.2N9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS 11N2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SUSPECT AREA POSITION PARA 1.B.2. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/SANCHEZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4258 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626662-16794>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 14:40:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA64300; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA64272 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080640.BAA10441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 01:40:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a3afc9316cbeebd6e8e0be2eb3760ff Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 376 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071953Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 114E6. THE CONVECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAIN LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS WEAK TO MODERATE. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 149E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LANDER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1108 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-16790>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:56:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA30314; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10173865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA30252 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810080956.EAA12359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 04:56:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Bpkkvsignificant Trohical Weather Advisory Foj The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24ac2abf95abc9c66184186b6d9e41bb Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 419 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/XEN.0;/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// BPKKVSIGNIFICANT TROHICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOJ THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEANWHPPZ/080608BWOCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEUT GU/070151Z ORT 98// REF/BKRMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIN- RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NO TH QFQFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): OPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCOOED ATOKCMVWN9 123.3E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM H SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSOFUOXP40 KNOTS. SEEHDTRO)- (WTPN 3 2 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) 8)0070000ZUUTROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF B (WTPN31 0<52 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DILTIKVN13 -7.;-66: < (1) THE AREA OFIQONVEVTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATOVLMONFGH 07N7 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117EGO AND REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGHKLANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGER INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, ALTHOUVM TTZ CONVECTION IS SPORADIC ANFCGQPKWUVWZED. ANIMATED WATER VUPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GENERAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS NJPVMBISXIMUM WINDS A R E ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. TH POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVEBOPMENT OA:088(2>81-,5 54908:-) :6:)9,3 285#8, THE NEXT 248PMIPIIPIIUKVY. (2) NO OTHR SUSPEVOVMEAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIN AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR AND IS CN2 154E0. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SMALL ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. NWUATOGLWATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATESXHXQMA0;)8,34 - LEAL DIVERGENCE OVEY THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAIVED WINDS ARE ELTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM UEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 10;8MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCPMNE WITHIN THE NEXO 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN// IHRPE QPQIW WY O::;)40145 5700=;.:817601 42970 00000 10197 20136 40136 56005= 17609 425:0 02902 10186 20151 30136 40138 55003= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4905 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-16796>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:39:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA34032; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:40:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10174431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA45476 for ; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810081239.HAA13957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d8075476ae0b90d6de78bb4fb12212f2 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 888 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071953Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS DISSIPATED. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 117E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 114E6. THE CONVECTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAIN LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOONAL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS WEAK TO MODERATE. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 149E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ALOFT ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LANDER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1986 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627144-26110>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 14:37:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA39276; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10186957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA46404 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090623.BAA08078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:23:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f6ba08596b3e71ed7623a96f54b6b2b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 034 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090629Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN30 )C #O A$NINSULA): A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627117-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 15:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA66092; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10187070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA62468 for ; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810090657.BAA08235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 01:57:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb9d30735f34ab84718a82cca1b74a6d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 854 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090629Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN30????? )C ?O A?NINSULA): A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2825 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 14:36:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23132; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:20:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:20:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA54788 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:19:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:19:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110619.BAA23766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:19:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e8ae9fde7e8cc50d0fcdd25b5f45a592 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 496 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-22732>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA59868; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:54:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:54:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA52608 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110653.BAA23854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 01:53:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28e4b3e04f9620d1617fe1ea6892ab84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 363 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 147.3E5 AND MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 143.4E2 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300 AMD REL) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3580 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627184-22731>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 15:18:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA48816; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:04:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA59728 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA23967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110703.CAA23967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 02:03:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa63e607e472212963381662c8d5f31d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 558 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA46530; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:19:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10188305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39268 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810110817.DAA24374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 03:17:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62846dfbbd1aab50b21f1804cd73ade0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 889 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 147.3E5 AND MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 143.4E2 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300 AMD REL) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627596-22731>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 05:48:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA52336; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10193235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA26462 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA29566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810112133.QAA29566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 16:33:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: ;37?=/sign Ficant Tropical Weatmer Adrn Pacific Oceanwxqp Shz/120600z To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f6806fb584c2b7ee158a488f16ed45c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 350 ABPW10 PGTW 110100 COR MSGID/OENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST TU// ;37?=/SIGN FICANT TROPICAL WEATMER ADRN PACIFIC OCEANWXQP SHZ/120600Z OCT ZOIXBD REF/-/RMO/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF9;?/RMG/,+.)-:9359::3, 23-5 <79110193Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// MKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREAN(180 TO MALAY PEVAJPIC KCAAWPKBL V . TROPICAL CYLONE SUOMARH: (1) AT 110000Z- TROPICAL STORM ZB (18W2 ZAS LOCATED AT 0.3N- 147.3;35 AND MOVING WEST=3 SOUTHWESLAR AT 9 CNOTS. MAWMUM SUSTA NED WINBLARE LTH CNOS GUSTING TO 65 110000Z2 TROHICAG STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCNMOGLAT 14.3MKIPUFOVREWW ANDMOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM EU TAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING O 50 KNOTS.)SEE REF B KWTPN FURTHER JETAILS. ) (3- NO TROLICNCBQYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, NONE.9 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIKIKBAJP135 EAST):9 B. TROPICAW DISTURBANCE SIMMARY: XONE. FORECAST TEAM: ;99-34. ATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:38:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1518 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626568-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 12:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA46506; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10196788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA54920 for ; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120355.WAA03109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 22:55:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: febc608f6fbf8a131228599ee2b8d205 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 279 ABPW10 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120300Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4. ALTHOUGH FAIRLY NEW, THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF INCREASING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2418 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627243-6149>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 15:58:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39528; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:40:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:40:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA67090 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:39:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120739.CAA04193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:39:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: ?37?=/sign Ficant Tropical Weatmer Adrn Pacific Oceanwxqp Shz/120600z To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b0d7d90cc7dbff109b29540ec5b7bcf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 758 ABPW10 PGTW 110100 COR MSGID/OENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST TU// ?37?=/SIGN FICANT TROPICAL WEATMER ADRN PACIFIC OCEANWXQP SHZ/120600Z OCT ZOIXBD REF/-/RMO/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z OCT 98// REF9??/RMG/,+.)-:9359::3, 23-5 ?79110193Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// MKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREAN(180 TO MALAY PEVAJPIC KCAAWPKBL V . TROPICAL CYLONE SUOMARH: (1) AT 110000Z- TROPICAL STORM ZB (18W2 ZAS LOCATED AT 0.3N- 147.3?35 AND MOVING WEST=3 SOUTHWESLAR AT 9 CNOTS. MAWMUM SUSTA NED WINBLARE LTH CNOS GUSTING TO 65 110000Z2 TROHICAG STORM ALEX (19W) WAS LOCNMOGLAT 14.3MKIPUFOVREWW ANDMOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM EU TAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING O 50 KNOTS.)SEE REF B KWTPN FURTHER JETAILS. ) (3- NO TROLICNCBQYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY, NONE.9 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIKIKBAJP135 EAST):9 B. TROPICAW DISTURBANCE SIMMARY: XONE. FORECAST TEAM: ?99-34. ATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2837 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627127-6146>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 16:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA48990; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA48972 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120750.CAA04246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 02:50:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7fb802274a6c1f4cb62f9f83a9e18162 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 241 ABPW10 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120300Z/120600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4. ALTHOUGH FAIRLY NEW, THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF INCREASING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 12 20:39:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627614-6147>; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 17:03:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA43698; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:51:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10198632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA46498 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA04604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810120850.DAA04604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 03:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5bae0404c115cba8a7a6a7ac4cb9289 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 132 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT 98// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 147E2. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3005 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626511-11331>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:40:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA38688; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:40:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA52380 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130239.VAA24693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 21:39:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subxsignifica To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30a7ab28d716e4cd470e0e69d4d76ddf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 456 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBXSIGNIFICA TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/730600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOVCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT < A. TROPIC T CHCLONE SUMM (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 71.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWNFGLAT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z38TROPICAL DEPJESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- ;,945#23-52-4$ -5 30 KNOTE. MAXIMUM SU TAI D WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. 8;) B. TROPICAL DISTUXVN13 -7 (AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGA IZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20,KMGTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TB BEI1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUHH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EASTGLN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BM TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FTRECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 11:37:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-11328>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 11:04:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA35014; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:05:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10211759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:05:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA33886 for ; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130304.WAA24981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 22:04:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subxsignifica To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4f0deb95af88f722cd95722dee85161 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 857 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBXSIGNIFICA TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/730600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOVCEN WEST GU/120153Z OCT ? A. TROPIC T CHCLONE SUMM (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 71.0N2 137.3E4 AND MOVING WESTWNFGLAT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z38TROPICAL DEPJESSION 19W (ALEX) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 133.9E6 AND MOVING WEST- ?,945?23-52-4? -5 30 KNOTE. MAXIMUM SU TAI D WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. 8?) B. TROPICAL DISTUXVN13 -7 (AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ONLY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL ORGA IZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20,KMGTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL IS ESTIMATED TB BEI1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUHH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EASTGLN A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BM TROPICAL DISTURZANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FTRECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 13 15:07:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2392 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-11325>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:23:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA12110; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:24:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10213744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA49132 for ; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810130623.BAA26501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 672f73b0bf8dc0fc03434ee34473bb8b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 498 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122055Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 128.0E1 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 150 KNOTS GUSTING TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ACCOMPANIED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MODERATE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. YNO?MN ?NLYS C HLDNATES ALOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION, BUT ALSO INDICATES A STRONG HIGH PRDAT2 IDG JU;BD OF THE AREA. THIS RIDGE IS BEING INDUCED BY SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3863 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628076-23186>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 15:26:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA48690; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA15106 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA20862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140726.CAA20862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 02:26:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a727b7cb4f26934567e94ad35bf30ad4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 912 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132330Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 122.50E0 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 155 KNOTS GUSTING TO 190 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ACCOMPANIED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MODERATE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS STILL INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS AND UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, SO CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WDPN21 PGTW). SEE REF B FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 168E5 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3)NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EDSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 14 17:39:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1641 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627620-23188>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 16:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA10452; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10228389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA15286 for ; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA21537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810140857.DAA21537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 03:57:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2af993142e5bf0b8ccf164b21c45970c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 365 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132330Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 122.50E0 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 155 KNOTS GUSTING TO 190 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ACCOMPANIED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3. THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MODERATE CONVECTION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS STILL INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UW-CIMSS WINDSHEAR CHARTS AND UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, SO CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WDPN21 PGTW). SEE REF B FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 168E5 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3)NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/MCCULLOCH/TRETHEWEY/EDSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3535 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:04:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA52492; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA16844 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150604.BAA13995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:04:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19d366595ab04fd7ea7aa955d093a084 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 387 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:27:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-16745>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:17:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54208; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA48014 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150617.BAA14083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1826d7a2bfbf37a9d0c3626f37e1ae27 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 774 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 SUPER TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-16746>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:18:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA48114; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:18:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA55708 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150617.BAA14091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:17:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a4ebceaf4c8a9cc5219580978945afb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 778 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 14:28:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4866 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:23:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA59254; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:24:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA59188 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150623.BAA14121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:23:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6aad0e5f28f9fb3ad7cd80863f60f645 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 995 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//# REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015;+ 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1572 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:32:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA48014; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18794 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150632.BAA14149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:32:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?=?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 263d51ac106ec6695aeee75131651839 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 303 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?=?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//$ .243>/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627283-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:40:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA47952; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18744 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150640.BAA14182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:40:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?;?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 541b7c81473462757c166ed461c091e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 607 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?;?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2165 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 14:46:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA38972; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24608 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA14212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150646.BAA14212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 01:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8? ?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0b6f962ef15ff69d680668c8481e8a8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 748 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8? ?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPIV C ECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627225-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:00:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA39982; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:01:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39958 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150700.CAA14335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:00:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85392261828f62a24f5013d159f752aa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 012 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 15:25:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626660-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44284; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:18:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10243998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:18:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA04302 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150717.CAA14429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:17:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0bc2c194df1c07df56ae82e9c9274371 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 452 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3780 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626991-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:32:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA44092; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA48670 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150733.CAA14474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:33:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a62102fd139a4bbd1331f8a93b0eae3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 733 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9;50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EIUEO RITRR TWPPT IQPUQ EEE WPQYQ TTT QPWYP OQPWWV YIWYE EWTUP YPQPY QPQU 20143 38522 48545 52005 86500 333 20139 555 10240 91023= 68267 11565 63210 10160 20149 38287 48553 52016 60164 70522 84570 333 20117 555 10193 20163 41418 91025= 68289 36/// /0000 10179 20154 39177 48535 52010 333 20136 555 10199 91019= 68350 16/// /0110 10177 2//// 38695 48545 52011 69944 333 72, 555 10285 20004 91022= 68368 11240 70108 10134 20127 38343 48544 52012 69924 74000 87600 333 20108 555 10225 20002 91024= 68372 16/// /3506 10157 20157 38491 48553 52016 60394 333 20106 555 10247 20388 91024= 68403 36/// /1713 10119 20102 30189 40219 52023 333 20080 555 10179 91021= 68424 32982 11906 10173 21019 39241 48557 52018 80006 333 20122 555 10292 91021= 68438 31976 20000 10197 21116 38855 48560 52015 70500 80005 333 20080 555 10271 41498 91022= 68442 32982 20000 10138 20039 38691 48540 52071 80004 333 20051 555 10254 91022= 68461 32980 62906 10151 20111 38352 48539 52013 4052 333 20063 555 10240 91023= 68512 32982 31010 10126 21059 39067 48560 52022 80002 333 20092 555 10248 91022= 68538 32982 21408 10154 21035 38757 48546 52023 81031 333 20101 555 10249 91021= 68587 NIL= 68588 32470 72117 10207 20162 30160 40176 51045 875// 333 20147 555 10250 91017= 68591 36/// /2613 10212 20168 30004 40183 52030 333 20171 555 10237 91018= 68618 32980 30000 10109 20057 39107 48556 52024 80004 333 20025 555 10256 41553 91023= 68633 36/// /1215 10116 20077 38543 48538 52024 333 20080 555 10237 91022= 68668 31570 70000 10140 20080 39372 48576 52041 70522 875// 333 20125 555 10256 91024= 68714 32565 53515 10130 20039 30212 40249 52020 82506 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 333 20120 555 10253 91023= 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 30166 40241 51042 60114 75862 885// 333 201-4 555 10203 20106 91024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 40223 50030 83550 333 20155 555 10243 91022= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4253 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627646-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA24704; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30312 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150741.CAA14521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:41:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab92dd390fffa4c37a173cddf9c85a72 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 888 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 ;0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 30166 40241 51042 60114 75862 885// 333 201-4 555 10203 20106 91024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 40223 50030 83550 333 20155 555 10243 91022= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4698 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA30258; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:49:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA54976 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150748.CAA14574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0cbb767a9473fe018ae4a2fbc9cbbd9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 954 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:58:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA55732; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA40092 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150758.CAA14610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:58:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8?;?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f5c95f5d396cd70416486a2ba203b7b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 052 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8?;?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .243?/A/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1372 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627235-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 15:58:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA53056; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA39954 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA14619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150759.CAA14619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 02:59:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66ffea83a9f246d458e585124c5ab961 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 059 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 0 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627916-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:04:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA24640; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA48916 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150804.DAA14855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:04:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a99991e04dcf3d0f5670a712ff5ac49b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 156 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2>2)11 <88<1 <0?0118-($.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:07:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA40504; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA24584 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150807.DAA14865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:07:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bceed2812fef0c77a86f1d7651074e19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 187 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:15:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:11:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA53110; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA53086 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150812.DAA14901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:12:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48fbfab7833c9c30f15a6c87390ec071 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 327 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEVQVSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2620 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:13:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04174; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA52712 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150813.DAA14917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ff0af751122f670e348fc011989fd4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 350 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2667 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA04222; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:14:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA26872 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150813.DAA14925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:13:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8? ?22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fafc320d995f274c1fe33cdd3abd118b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 352 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8? ?22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98// .243 /A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCEN WODMLXU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPIV C ECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE CDJBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150300) FORFPXXPP WPQUE IQUQP OQIPYV YPTIQ EWOYT PPPPP QPQTP WPQPE RPWEY TEPPR EEE PXXPP WPQTPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2880 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628392-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA39210; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA39182 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA14942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150815.DAA14942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:15:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/vqant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0f54a23dfdb98999e67587313815158e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 401 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/VQANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 909VMM RMKS/ 1. WESTERNPNOGTHHPACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY VO2PLC A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626991-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:51:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA18762; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:52:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA54568 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150851.DAA15091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:51:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ae2c6d71f6c58e4d4a3c2648332e68d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 986 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 ?0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 30166 40241 51042 60114 75862 885// 333 201-4 555 10203 20106 91024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 40223 50030 83550 333 20155 555 10243 91022= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1524 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627654-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA54988; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA33938 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150857.DAA15105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b564684bf437f21a8803e2e55eebcd1a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 042 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,-;0-:.359::3, 23-5 <7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628369-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 16:57:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA55026; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id DAA16810 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150857.DAA15113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 03:57:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83fe7fa5e53162212256a1c8130774a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 044 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 39540 48578 52028 0 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 40273 51037 60194 71566 885// YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628361-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:02:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA40450; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA40662 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150902.EAA15241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:02:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgzindmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb2824a7201f81cfb9fda0f31e9c2842 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 112 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGZINDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .243?/A/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z OCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED TC LABEL IN PARA 1.A.(1) FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/GOODMAN// NFNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:04:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54904; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA40524 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150904.EAA15252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:04:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c39342fe9c46e4a09f128fec841aada5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 167 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//?.;N1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 43=88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628396-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:07:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54818; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA39178 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150907.EAA15267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:07:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d6b74d9df31aec46df76dbc3c02be34e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 207 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2?2)11 ?88?1 ?0?0118-(?.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2760 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628380-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:08:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA42854; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA48976 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150908.EAA15287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:08:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b68893aa102b1df30033371b13955f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 230 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,;(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853$ -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043;88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628401-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:13:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA10362; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA15176 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150912.EAA15349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:12:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77da73026c759250829e6ebf378b2a66 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 395 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADM N/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEWT GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A(4.; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:14:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59236; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA26676 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150914.EAA15378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 185578aabef2baa16b360e7fac6c14ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 415 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PEVQVSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3422 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628372-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:14:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA24740; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:15:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA37714 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150914.EAA15389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:14:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/vqant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 035198b3caaf2f05349dedd14810ed8c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 420 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/VQANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/7/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMGCKNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 909VMM RMKS/ 1. WESTERNPNOGTHHPACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY VO2PLC A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2 2)11 88 1 0?0118-(.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628367-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA49128; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:28:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA40638 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:28:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150928.EAA15435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:28:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d1cb24efffb4818b7c64f983ed12f4e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 762 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,-?0-:.359::3, 23-5 ?7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 41603 91024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40263 52019 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628404-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59170; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:37:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:36:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA48878 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:36:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150936.EAA15503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:36:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1559e2f338bf528ed1b2782769bd6a25 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 905 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//?.?N1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 43=88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1362 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:41:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA59672; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:41:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA59892 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:41:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:41:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150941.EAA15565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:41:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d55a9c6dcf249e2b9593395ae1c0c3b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 008 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 136.0E0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1475 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628416-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:42:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA64402; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:42:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA40546 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:42:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:42:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150942.EAA15587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:42:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e61e0d7d15aee78d127d704676ff69e2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 013 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//?.?N1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 43;88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1910 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628351-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:46:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA37712; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:46:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10244998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:46:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA52528 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:46:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:46:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150946.EAA15615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:46:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56d2881164836579f3a1883896be03c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 067 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADM N/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEWT GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEANQQTPYPPZ/160600Z OCT 98//? REF/A(4.?/NAVPACMETOO0,?.)/?150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPMPU-1 40 0-2?2)11 ?88?1 ?0?0118-(?.8IALVUIJUIL SFN R TH IA EEE WPQQR TTT QPQOI RQYPE OQPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE P +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628418-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:49:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA16782; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:49:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:49:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA64354 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:49:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150949.EAA15643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:49:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 762c184e7e9c65adeeac714fc41c38b8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 083 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQM WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA 10-<59 .-)-6 03,8,-7)-): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RVWVNDMWJIAPCIICAEDA RPHNDI-78 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628438-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA26810; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:52:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA16702 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:51:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150951.EAA15664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:51:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 11d3a857707fb8c7f023546b2281f7b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 101 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B;RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1QOI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI EEE WPQQR TTT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWR HUKS 0700Z 11004KT 9999 SCT020 25/22= HUKS 0800Z 33004KT 9999 FEW025TCU 26/20= HUKA 0700Z 02007KT 9999 SCT020 FEW025CB SCT110 24/XX= HUKA 0800Z 09006KT 9999 SCT021 FEW026CB SCT120 25/XX= HUMA 0700Z 14004KT 9999 FEW020 BKN300 23/18= HUMA 0800Z 05005KT 9999 FEW020 BKN300 24/17= PUMA 0900Z 08006KT 9999 SCT020 SCT300 25/16; 0 000 HUKB 0700Z 16002KT 3000 BCFG SCT020 BKN120 16/15= HUKB 0800Z 09009KT 9999 FEW020 BKN130 20/16= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628461-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:56:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA26624; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:56:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:56:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA26854 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:56:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150956.EAA15693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:56:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 107ebce7fb7a54d6bd9239b772e2f8b7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 169 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98;(<.+RMKSCKVHZQM WESTER N VXYOH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NOYTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS.-1.-/8.7. -7-5-8,3$ 28,$- 2343030 (,95- <7-58,< 59 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/;?/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA 10- 59 .-)-6 03,8,-7)-): - A. OROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 ?82+--77<2AQPREBIICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQRLIETPI EEE WPQQR TTT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWSV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RVWVNDMWJIAPCIICAEDA RPHNDI-78 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3559 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628447-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 17:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA54796; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:59:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:59:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA55016 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:59:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810150959.EAA15717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 04:59:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b0146d82e8c10017f6cd506fdaf976c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 188 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,-;0-:.359::3, 23-5 <7 / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPAIALIWAIURIQULBWRO TWPWP IWTPY IA EEE WPQQR TTT QQOI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI HIVQ22 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPUYEIYQT RITRY UPTPP IQQEP EEE TIPPO IQITPV YUOYT RQOTY TQWPP QPWTT WPQRI EIUWQ RITRU UPTWW IQPEW EEE TIPPO IQETO ITPOOV YUOYO RQRIR IQEPT QPWWU WPQYI EOWQT RITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUQP IIRYPV YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TOPQE IIRYPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627888-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:05:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA59882; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:05:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:05:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA10450 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:05:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:05:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151005.FAA15839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:05:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Waiijisvhfisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 16518977f975247aac2afebc7a1d1be0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 281 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WAIIJISVHFISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98 ( .+RMKSCKVHZQM WESTER N VXYOH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150080Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 .21.,0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTHNOYTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. M AXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS.-1.-/9751315 10126 200 5 2 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 9102-= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30 39 0273 51037 60194 75-691024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 4;2;,$.2=8-0:88:-3$- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4273 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628411-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:06:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA59238; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:07:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA53072 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:07:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:07:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151007.FAA15854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:07:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a6962380e5de2a5c2816c2c6886f5e8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 311 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359:EN WEAT UXX SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7 / 150151Z OCT LOIXX REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ DMOSZAERTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQO B OB0,-80-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1198 43 88:024= 68727 36///,(2)2+22- 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 9 #8;122 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY T039 0273 )1037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 307638615 48546 70500 81130 333 58009 81850= 67965 41956 51200 10255 7;8 387;-)?-2AGLAQPIPGWJPIRHHNDMW09 81359 85099= 67969 41484 81305 10227 20168 392OLRITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUIAPLLQWA YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TO GVZ IIRYPV C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628484-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:13:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA54020; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA13752 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151013.FAA15888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Cfosgpsisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f90930f1c3949e3f213b67a0b056c68d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 465 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7 / 150151Z OCT LOIXX REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15515?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ DMOSZAETH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY;# (1) LPY QPQOP WPQO B OB0,-80-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1198 43 88:024= 68727 36///,(2)2+22- 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 2#855 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 9 $8 122 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY T039 0273 )1037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 307638615 48546 7050<2JIARPHNDM WA P IQITPV YUOYT ROTY TQWPP QPWTT U I EIU ALBAWAGLAQPIPGWJPIRHHNDMW09 2 813 59 85099= 67969 41484 81305 10227 20168 392OLRITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUIAPLLQWA YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TO GVZ IIRYPV C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 18:16:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628439-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:13:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA13598; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA43738 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151013.FAA15896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:13:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62ad3bdb3589a661165924c07e59ae90 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 467 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//?.?N1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 43?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPY OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628394-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:18:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15860; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:19:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:19:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49044 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:16:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:16:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151016.FAA15917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:16:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aac39e38e853657af09d317f3046ba23 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 559 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQM WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA 10-?59 .-)-6 03,8,-7)-): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RVWVNDMWJIAPCIICAEDA RPHNDI-78 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628438-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:19:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15652; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:20:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA64468 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:18:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:18:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151018.FAA15931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:18:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Cfosgpsisory Or The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5b35244e7addfd3f214921e996e0940 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 578 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY OR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7 / 150151Z OCT LOIXX REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCTP WEST GU/15515?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ DMOSZAETH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY $ (1) LPY QPQOP WPQO B OB0,-80-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1MI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXXNKWLWZWWA WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TBO QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EXXX XWIQU QPQEP WDITT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI O 8 122 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY T039 0273 )1037 60194 71566 885// , 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 21132 307638615 48546 7050 2JIARPHNDM WA P IQITPV YUOYT ROTY TQWPP QPWTT U I EIU ALBAWAGLAQPIPGWJPIRHHNDMW09 2 813 59 85099= 67969 41484 81305 10227 20168 392OLRITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUIAPLLQWA YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW BW4 333 59 88460= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2536 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628361-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:22:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA45398; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:22:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:22:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59348 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:21:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:21:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151021.FAA15946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:21:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab4e901e8e278c0418bd4491ad73bd1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 636 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//?.?N1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82- 74817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10198 43?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 8./19 333 20114 555 10180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW IQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPH OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUX RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2585 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628428-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:22:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA34968; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:23:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:23:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA48958 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:22:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:22:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151022.FAA15957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:22:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b26ac91f26a6f5e81fc826d67a28792 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 671 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B?RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1QOI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI EEE WPQQR TTT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWR HUKS 0700Z 11004KT 9999 SCT020 25/22= HUKS 0800Z 33004KT 9999 FEW025TCU 26/20= HUKA 0700Z 02007KT 9999 SCT020 FEW025CB SCT110 24/XX= HUKA 0800Z 09006KT 9999 SCT021 FEW026CB SCT120 25/XX= HUMA 0700Z 14004KT 9999 FEW020 BKN300 23/18= HUMA 0800Z 05005KT 9999 FEW020 BKN300 24/17= PUMA 0900Z 08006KT 9999 SCT020 SCT300 25/16? 0 000 HUKB 0700Z 16002KT 3000 BCFG SCT020 BKN120 16/15= HUKB 0800Z 09009KT 9999 FEW020 BKN130 20/16= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628351-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA10306; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:25:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:25:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA10260 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:25:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:25:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151025.FAA15967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:25:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f888ab39a4778b31d7bc38a51392966 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 721 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQM WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA Y GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MOVINGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 750000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA 10-?59 .-)-/ 03,8,-7)-): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ):H RWW2$83508 333 20114 555 0180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUY RVWMNDMWJIAPCIICAEDA RPHNDI-78 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3130 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627654-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:27:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA53140; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:27:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA47978 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:27:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151027.FAA15975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:27:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4998e30886554165377934a5d25adab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 752 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZNKE 98//?.? GQA/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAVIBWZ)- <(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IMXQO EEE WPQQR TTT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW IQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPH OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUX RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3411 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628351-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:29:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA47920; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:30:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA48100 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:29:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA15987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151029.FAA15987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:29:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebbb182041bfb09f42c722a9277cea20 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 778 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,-?0-:.359::3, 23-5 ?7 / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPAIALIWAIURIQULBWRO TWPWP IWTPY IA EEE WPQQR TTT QQOI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI HIVQ22 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPUYEIYQT RITRY UPTPP IQQEP EEE TIPPO IQITPV YUOYT RQOTY TQWPP QPWTT WPQRI EIUWQ RITRU UPTWW IQPEW EEE TIPPO IQETO ITPOOV YUOYO RQRIR IQEPT QPWWU WPQYI EOWQT RITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUQP IIRYPV YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TOPQE IIRYPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628418-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:32:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA34984; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:33:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA49040 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151033.FAA16025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:33:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Waiijisvhfisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0955680ed2c8e73cb5e05e06a03d5db0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 861 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WAIIJISVHFISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98 ( .+RMKSCKVHZQM WESTER N VXYOH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150080Z6 TYPHOON ZEB Q 1. 077853? -5 .21.,0 120.8E1 AND MOVING NORTHNOYTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. M AXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS.-1.-/9751315 10126 200 5 2 30212 40= ?.8- 60014)83508 333 20114 555 10180 20006 9102-= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30 39 0273 51037 60194 75-691024= 68858 32682 72414 10176 20109 30076 4?2?,?.2=8-0:88:-3?- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628404-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA26760; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA53106 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151035.FAA16052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9c4023c1d5d9b3131a5a3c99f5742bd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 910 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQM WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA Y GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z>?560#99, +3? 1 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 ,<52 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ):H RWW283508 333 20114 555 0180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EHPHZ SCT020 SCT025 BECMG 0709 6000 TEM P O 1212 1500 SHRA/TSRA SCT010 FEW130 CB BKN080= VECC 151212 12008KT 4000 HZ SCT015 SCT020 BKN100 BECMG 1314 3000 HZ BECMG 1618 12005KT 2000 HZ BECMG 0204 12008KT 3000 HZ BECMG 0406 5000 HZ TEMPO 1212 1500 TSRA SCT010 FEW025CB BKN090= VCBI 151212 VRB05KT 9999 FEW012 SCT015 BKN8 TEMPO 1212 4000 SHRA FEW010 BKN015 OVC080 BECMG0506 26010KT VIDP 151212 2000 HZ SCT020 BKN100 BECMG 1820 00000KT 1200 BR/FU BECMG 2224 0800 MIFG BEC 0305 VRB03KT 1200 BR/FU BECMG 0608 29010KT 2000 HZ TEMPO 1212 1000 TSRA FEW030 CB BKN090= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4132 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628423-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15836; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA59806 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151035.FAA16060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:35:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b4494bcc42df3edfb1418c4b0a4652e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 927 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE OPPNDM GLL ,8>8: 9:3-,/150600Z/160600ZNKE 98//?.? 2GQA/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST G U / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAVIBWZ)- (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: YIUWU EYVXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPTT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IMXQO EETLN BOOT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPT TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW IQETP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPH OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUX RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628457-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:37:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30238; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:37:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:37:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA12038 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:37:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:37:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151037.FAA16071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:37:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09af5a8dfb5cd85eb7ded1c42cf9b1fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 929 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359:EN WEAT UXX SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7 / 150151Z OCT LOIXX REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ DMOSZAERTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQO B OB0,-80-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1198 43 88:024= 68727 36///,(2)2+22- 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 9 ?8?122 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY T039 0273 )1037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 307638615 48546 70500 81130 333 58009 81850= 67965 41956 51200 10255 7?8 387?-)?-2AGLAQPIPGWJPIRHHNDMW09 81359 85099= 67969 41484 81305 10227 20168 392OLRITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUIAPLLQWA YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TO GVZ IIRYPV C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4849 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628410-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA54034; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:41:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA54248 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:41:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151041.FAA16097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:41:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e21401ddb0b8544a24bc786b3c7b4fbc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 022 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,-?0-:.359::3, 23-5 ?7 / 150151+ 9:5 98// REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAQFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPAIALIWAIURIQULBWRO TWPWP IWTPY IA EEE WPQQR TTT QQOI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE ZBWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI OO YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI HIVQ22 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPUYEIYQT RITRY UPTPP IQQEP EEE TIPPO IQITV YUOYT RQOTY TQWPP QPWTT WPQRI EIUWQ RITRU UPTWW IQEW EEE TIPPO IQETO ITPOOV YUOYO RQRIR IQEV QPWWU WPQPEOWQT RITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUQP IIRYPV YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TOPQE IIRYPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1301 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628358-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:46:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA30790; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:46:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA48666 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:46:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:46:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151046.FAA16120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:46:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc0203a97084223bd64995434787ce46 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 104 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98/ RMKSCKVHZQM WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA Y GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 , 52 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. 88<-5 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKXPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS VUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (250,32 PGTKKKMQAU U AAUPFOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 6875:40=// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ):TRWW283508 333 20114 555 0180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EHPHZ SCT020 SCT025 BECMG 0709 6000 TEM P O 1212 1500 SHRA/TSRA SCT010 FEW130 CB BKN080= VECC 151212 12008KT 4000 HZ SCT015 SCT020 BKN100 BECMG 1314 3000 HZ BECMG 1618 12005KT 2000 HZ BECMG 0204 12008KT 3000 HZ BECMG 0406 5000 HZ TEMPO 1212 1500 TSRA SCT010 FEW025CB BKN090= VCBI 15121292020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1198 43 88:024= 68727 36///,(2)2+22- 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20025 10126 20052 30212 40= ?.8- 60014 83508 9 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY T039 0273 )1037 60194 71566 885// 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 20132 307638615 48546 70500 81130 333 58009 81850= 67965 41956 51200 10255 7?8 387?-)?-2AGLAQPIPGWJPIRHHNDMW09 81359 85099= 67969 41484 81305 10227 20168 392OLRITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUIAPLQ FRMF OQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TO GVZ IIRYPV C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1526 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628384-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:48:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA24756; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:48:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA04234 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:48:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151048.FAA16133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:48:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Cfosgpsisory Or The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74acb1f7a559c8652c64bf62557ce471 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 129 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY OR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7 / 150151Z OCT LOIXX REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCTP WEST GU/15515?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ DMOSZAETH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY ? (1) LPY QPQOP WPQO B OB0,-80-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 1MI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXXNKWLWZWWA WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TBO QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EXXX XWIQU QPQEP WDITT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI O 8 122 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY T039 0273 )1037 60194 71566 885// , 333 20106 555 10202 20193 91027= 68842 11330 81708 10137 21132 307638615 48546 7050 2JIARPHNDM WA P IQITPV YUOYT ROTY TQWPP QPWTT U I EIU ALBAWAGLAQPIPGWJPIRHHNDMW09 2 813 59 85099= 67969 41484 81305 10227 20168 392OLRITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUIAPLLQWA YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW BW4 333 59 88460= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2365 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628394-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 18:54:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA15770; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:54:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA15748 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:54:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA16172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:54:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151054.FAA16172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 05:54:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b1ee7c5a417c2532586ffa9be8a832c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 197 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZNKE 98//?.? GQA/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAVIBWZ)- ?(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IMXQO EEE WPQQR TTT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW IQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPH OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUX RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628367-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:00:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA17856; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA17816 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151101.GAA16285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67e17395da4f3c73b3f97e22d2b58b57 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 298 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1Z MCT 98// REFXB/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 + 9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQM WESTERN NMRTH PACIFIC X GKQIP TO MALAYPENIVDLQHUIEEDA Y GA. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 1. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 ,?52 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPW-8-)82-874817)?249 52020 82506 8- 333 20114 555 10191043?88:024= 68727 36/// /0804 10109 20063 39202 48571 52028 333 20089 555 10269 91024= 68752 36/// /2817 10130 20095 3 540 48578 52028 9 68816 12670 51315 10126 20052 30212 40= ):H RWW283508 333 20114 555 0180 20006 91026= 68828 11356 83008 10112 20096 30039 PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTSYOQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EHPHZ SCT020 SCT025 BECMG 0709 6000 TEM P O 1212 1500 SHRA/TSRA SCT010 FEW130 CB BKN080= VECC 151212 12008KT 4000 HZ SCT015 SCT020 BKN100 BECMG 1314 3000 HZ BECMG 1618 12005KT 2000 HZ BECMG 0204 12008KT 3000 HZ BECMG 0406 5000 HZ TEMPO 1212 1500 TSRA SCT010 FEW025CB BKN090= VCBI 151212 VRB05KT 9999 FEW012 SCT015 BKN8 TEMPO 1212 4000 SHRA FEW010 BKN015 OVC080 BECMG0506 26010KT VIDP 151212 2000 HZ SCT020 BKN100 BECMG 1820 00000KT 1200 BR/FU BECMG 2224 0800 MIFG BEC 0305 VRB03KT 1200 BR/FU BECMG 0608 29010KT 2000 HZ TEMPO 1212 1000 TSRA FEW030 CB BKN090= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628423-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:01:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA17914; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA15794 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151101.GAA16293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:01:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: beb4dd4ffea5e84b0010a7a8b289c15d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 300 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZNKE 98//?.? GQA/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAVIBWZ)- ?(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IMXQO NN249 55555 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3141 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628410-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:02:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA17702; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:02:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:02:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA17678 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:02:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:02:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151102.GAA16310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:02:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d71c07f338b6cb8c8a6ced5ef91eb96a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 311 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE OPPNDM GLL ,8?8: 9:3-,/150600Z/160600ZNKE 98//?.? 2GQA/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST G U / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAVIBWZ)- (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: YIUWU EYVXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPTT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IMXQO EETLN BOOT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPT TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW IQETP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPQYY RPWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPH OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUX RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3478 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628403-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:05:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA10380; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA42058 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151106.GAA16341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:06:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 90965091e51d0233b1ca8b6bbf4f2538 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 383 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE WESTERN P NIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98/(:CN1A/RMG,-?0-:.359::3, 23-5 ?7 / 150151+ 9:5 98// REF/X RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAQFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINL PHUIEEDA GA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) LPY QPQOP WPQTE EE PNNAIPAIALIWAIURIQULBWRO TWPWP IWTPY IA EEE WPQQR TTT QQOI RE IICPWRV YIUWU EYXXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE ZBWPW RITUQ TWPWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPOT E TRP RITUI TWPWI OO YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IETPI HIVQ22 YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQWHWPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPY TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWUV YIIRW QQEEP IQUPI QPQEU WPQEW EPUYEIYQT RITRY UPTPP IQQEP EEE TIPPO IQITV YUOYT RQOTY TQWPP QPWTT WPQRI EIUWQ RITRU UPTWW IQEW EEE TIPPO IQETO ITPOOV YUOYO RQRIR IQEV QPWWU WPQPEOWQT RITTW UQTTW IQYUX EEE TIPPP IQUQP IIRYPV YUOOQ RQOIP IPUPW QPWQW WPQOQ EOYTI RITTT UYPYW IIPUX EEE TOPQE IIRYPV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628438-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:08:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA30890; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:09:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10245979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA04240 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:09:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:09:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151109.GAA16388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:09:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 285fac45dc302371303c14cdf9040978 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 488 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43>/?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +#9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 <-. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628416-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:11:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA10246; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:12:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:12:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA30430 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:11:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:11:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151111.GAA16435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:11:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropicalpn To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12643f80973f94b988786fe5b7316740 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 542 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/,- 0-:.359::3, 23-5 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICALPN CFOSGPSISORY FOR THE OPPNDM GLL ,8?8: 9:3-,/150600Z/160600ZNKE 98//?.? 2GQA/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST G U / 150151Z OCT 98// REF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015?+ 9 50.1 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAVIBWZ)- (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: YIUWU EYVXX XPIPR QPQPO WPPYE EOWPW RITUQ T HWI EEE WPPIO TTT QPWYO OQPWRV YIUTW EYXXX XWIQU QPQEP WPPTT E TRP RITUI TWPWI O YIIQY QWYUP TQEQT QPQWY WPTW EPWQW RPV BMIA YPPQR IMXQO EETLN BOOT QPQIP WPPPY OQPWYV YIIWI QQETY IEPPI QPQQW WPPOY EPPEO PWUE TQPEU YPQOR UQTYY IITXX EEE WPQPT TTT QPWPW WPQOE OQPWQ.114,?;88- )82-0848JJALBWRQ TQPRW YPQQR UTIYW IITXX EEE WPQAR TTT QPWPE WPQPH OQPWRV YIITI EWYIW UWRQR QPQUY WPQPO EPPUX RPWWE TPPEP IETTP EEE WPQTT TTT QPWRE OQPWWV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628515-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:15:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA40482; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:15:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA54530 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:15:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:15:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151115.GAA16470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:15:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 674407c786e7ab69e801e3a732ec9c06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 662 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +$9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 -. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627159-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:20:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA54574; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:20:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:20:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA54550 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:20:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:20:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151120.GAA16514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:20:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7bf50e8e96d07c661401657424ba638 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 772 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU< SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:22:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA30352; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:22:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:22:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA52600 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:22:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:22:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151122.GAA16526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:22:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d88ceee8847ad7600c15dd1bda08658 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 782 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43?/?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +?9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 ?-. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628418-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:24:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA47938; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:24:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:24:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA17684 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:24:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151124.GAA16535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:24:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b307a4ca7b2fcad1bebffb36eba54bc7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 823 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +?9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 -. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1627 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:26:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA64260; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA48074 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151126.GAA16546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb512ec1f6d776f96df861d11a4b4907 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 850 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU? SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150?PVQQYPYPPZ OMT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +9:5-98// RMKSCVVVPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 TPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT MUNUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628384-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:26:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA64284; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA42198 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151126.GAA16554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:26:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff326989ff127b1d0fba85150d9bac26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 852 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 3 .26,?(-/RMGXNAMPVOBMLXU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMOKGKAU-74773898// RMKSCVVVPVNJOBJ 3 0 6 TPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT MUNUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:28:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA62918; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:28:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA62888 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:28:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151128.GAA16562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:28:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e8f301c5002712f99050a71b5aa4652 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 886 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43?/?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +?9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0#120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED IUF GQ YNJIALEETS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMETOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2082 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628426-4282>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:30:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA34960; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:30:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA39026 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151130.GAA16594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Suda/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb034855784e186b33db09cea72e9fda Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 901 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUDA/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -9/150600Z/16CVOP98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151-7417(3-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 -. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 19.1N0 1,78E1 AND OBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C WL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW M 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKVT A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NNVV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2243 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628367-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:31:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA62750; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:31:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:31:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA42226 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151131.GAA16616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:31:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e59eb9c3c82bec86922a1f564e069541 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 942 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMUOOCCEN WEST GU? SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150?PVQQYPYPPZ OMT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +9:5-98// RMKSCVVVPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 PUUITEB AT QOMQN0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 7500VZG TROPIC IRSWWSJRL N 20W WAS LOCATED AT MUNUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. M IUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628384-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:33:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA39150; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:33:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA39544 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:32:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151132.GAA16644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:32:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c071ce33abe7e42f57ca93d7be4b1643 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 961 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMTOOCCEN WEST GU 3 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMOKGKAU-74773898// RMKSCVVVPVNJOBJ 3 0 6 TPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1V0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT MUNUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FOR FUOVOWJWUJFXB/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2878 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628416-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA23254; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:34:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA12920 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:34:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:34:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151134.GAA16655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:34:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgowndmofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06a0be86607ba61a588406a6f03f2d84 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 994 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNDMOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150600Z/160600Z OCT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43?/?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +?9:5-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 077853? -5 19.1N0$120.8E1 AND MBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C KWL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED IUF GQ YNJIALEETS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW GQTPEPPL FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/=.; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:36:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA44284; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA23200 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:36:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151136.GAA16684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:36:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Suda/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14516b96877b6a860f8290fc765e78e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 035 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUDA/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNVOFZW8???22-: 3 -9/150600Z/16CVOP98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151-7417(3-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 -. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: (12 AT 150000Z??560?99, +3? 1 0. 19.1N0 1,78E1 AND OBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C WL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOATTD AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW M 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG;0 +3)9::3, 23-5 <;;15015?+ 9 50.1 -. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NNVV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3565 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628416-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:37:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA49110; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:38:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:38:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA64434 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:38:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151138.GAA16694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:38:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88e3ab395061d66155074e299321fed9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 065 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMUOOCCEN WEST GU? SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150?PVQVYPPZ OMT 98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GVXQTPQT QMJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +9:5-98// RMKSCVVVPVNDVOBJ PUUITEB AT QOMQN0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C P WL AT 7500VZG TROPIC IRSWWSJRL N 20W WAS LOCATED AT MUNUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. M IUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTLU SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150 227<>94 >745#34 $-43>/B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NNVN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627637-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:41:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA41530; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:41:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:41:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA13582 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:41:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:41:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151141.GAA16714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:41:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d162bc26c4be3aec2f6b59fb46f15f56 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 151 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMTOOCCEN WEST GU 3 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMOKGKAU-74773898// RMKSCVVVPVNJOBJ 3 0 6 TPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY= 5743 9;34 5#9-3 0-45-.OTHERWISE A SURFACE TROUGH PREVAILS OVER MOST PARTS OF HE COUNTRY. UPPER LEVELS ------------:THE CONVERGENCE OF THE WESTERLY TROUGH IS BEING FELT TO THE NORTH-WESTERN UP TO THE SOUTH-EASTEYN PARTS OF THE COUMTBM ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE OTHER PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. OUTLOOK -------:THE HIGH OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN WILL STILL RIDGE INLAND COVERING THE EASTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY AND STILL ADVECTING IN 9,<# + FORECAST ZQNISWAAT GHANZI ------- FINE TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND HOT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NORTH-CENGQAL,NGAMILAND,CHOBE PARTLY CLOUDY AND HMT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS. NORTH-EAST,SOUTH-EAST,KGATLENG,KWENENG,SOUTHERN AND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-4284>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:43:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA59870; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:44:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:44:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA40648 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:44:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:44:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151144.GAA16733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:44:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvfrgownhvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e9aedaba6da11e0a17616accfc55704 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 174 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMUOOCCEN WEST GU/ SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVFRGOWNHVOFZW8???22-: 3 -,/150?PVQVYPPZ OMT 98//? .,>;/=RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GVXQM15 1.=43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +9:5-98// RMKSCVVVPVNDVOBJ PUUITEB AT QOMQN0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C P WL AT 7500VZG TROPIC IRSWWSJRL N 20W WAS LOCATED AT MUNUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 (,95-. M IUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP ENOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTLU SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150 227 94 745$34 -43 /B/RMG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NNVN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4789 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628367-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:45:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA49066; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA40078 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151146.GAA16743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Suda/lqgnificuvo Tropical Weather Advisory For Tvnrgownvofzw8???22-: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5d9c0641cf45587a0190adca90ca2bc5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 210 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUDA/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNRGOWNVOFZW8???22-: <#+-9/150600Z/16CVOP98//? .26,?(-/RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151-7417(3-98// RMKSCKVHZQMPVNDVOBJ 3 0 6 -. TROPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY: 19.1N0 1,78E1 AND OBNNGHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C WL AT 750000ZG TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOATTD AT 11.7NUKDJPAPE0 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MOUVA SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW M 150300) FOR FURTHER DAREF/B/RMG 0 +3)9::3, 23-5 15015?+ 9 50.1 -. TROPICAL CYCWMPE SUMMARY: NNVV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628441-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:46:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA15844; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA39368 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151146.GAA16751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:46:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22da9e1eb104382155c4f5a9f7d5c92f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 234 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID//3,-$.8,/NAVPANMTOOCCEN WEST GU 3 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMOKGKAU-74773898// RMKSCVVVPVNJOBJ 3 0 6 TPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY. 5743 9 34 5$9-3 0-45-.OTHERWISE A SURFACE TROUGH PREVAILS OVER MOST PARTS OF HE COUNTRY. UPPER LEVELS ------------:THE CONVERGENCE OF THE WESTERLY TROUGH IS BEING FELT TO THE NORTH-WESTERN UP TO THE SOUTH-EASTEYN PARTS OF THE COUMTBM ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE OTHER PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. OUTLOOK -------:THE HIGH OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN WILL STILL RIDGEW-,$ FORECAST ZQNISWAAT GHANZI ------- FINE TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND HOT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NORTH-CENGQAL NGAMILAND,CHOBE PARTLY CLOUDY AND HMT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS. NORTH-EAST,SOUTH-EAST,KGATLENG,KWENENG,SOUTHERN AND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1395 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628410-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:50:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA54810; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:51:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA33796 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151150.GAA16772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:50:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/lqgnificuvo Tropical Woicopadvisory For Tvfrgownhvofzw8???285 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc2dde8b36297b5771a34a8a9d527d8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 279 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/VAVPACMUOOCCEN WESGU/ SUBJ/LQGNIFICUVO TROPICAL WOICOPADVISORY FOR TVFRGOWNHVOFZW8???285 3 -,/150?PVQVYPPZ OMT 98//? ., /;RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GVXQM15 1.;43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +9:5-98// RMKSCVVVPVNDVOBJ PUUITEB AT QOMQN0 120.8E1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C PP WL AT 7500VZG TROPIC IRSWWSJRL N 207<1# IUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP ENOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTLU SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 150 227 94 74534 -43 /B/VG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NNVN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628444-4283>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:53:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA48108; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:54:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:53:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA33960 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:53:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:53:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151153.GAA16792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:53:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2916acf74fae5ca8b24006db1cdb99b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 311 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID//3,-.8,/NAVPANMTOOCCEN WEST GU 3 1ZQJ43 /?/RMTGXNAACMOKGKAU-74773898// RMKSCVVVPVNJOBJ 3 0 6 TPIV ILECLONE SUMMARY. 5743 9 34 59-3 0-45-.OTHERWISE A SURFACE TROUGH PREVAILS OVER MOST QARTS OF HE COUNTRY. UPPER LEVELS ------------:THE CONVERGENCE OF THE WESTERLY TROUGH IS BEING FELT TO THE NORTH-WESTERN UP TO THE SOUTH-EASTEYN PARTSLOF THE COUMTBM ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE OTHER PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. OUTLOOK FORW DMHH ZQNISWAAT GHANZI ------- FINE TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND HOT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMSCHH NORTH-CENGQAL NGAMILAND,CHOBE PARTLY CLOUDY AND HMT WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS. NORTH-EAST,SOUTH-EAST,KGATLENG,KWENENG,SOUTHERN AND WWA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 15 23:32:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2059 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628404-4280>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 19:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA10300; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:54:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10246443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:54:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA43002 for ; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:54:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810151154.GAA16800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 06:54:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: )==/vqqclo Tropical Woicopadv Sory For Tvfrgownhvofzw8???285 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a1c3081e4371a3453ede713496457af7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 340 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR OSGID/GENADMIN/VAVPACMUOOCCEN WESGU/ )==/VQQCLO TROPICAL WOICOPADV SORY FOR TVFRGOWNHVOFZW8???285 3 -,/150?PVQVYPPZ OMT 98//? ., / RMG/NAMPACMETOCCEN WEST GVXQM15 1. 43 /?/RMTGXNAACMETOCCEN WEST GU/15015 +9:5-98// RMKSCVVVPVNDVOBJ PUUITEB AT QOMQN0 1PMIE1 AND MBN OHNORTH-NORTHWESTWAR C PP WL AT 7500VZG TROPIC IRSWWSJRL N 207 1$ IUM SUSTAINED WINDS WEREPEP ENOTILUSTING TO 40 KNOTLU SEE REBCBQXWTPN32 PGTW 150 227 94 74534 -43 /B/VG/NAACMELOCCEN WEST GVVQTPQTBZ O TPMQ RMKS/ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NNVN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 14:00:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627397-4448>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:47:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57402; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10324257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:47:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12810 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200546.AAA13439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 99cb007019443e0240d6784faaf4588a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 364 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.3N5 128.4E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN MONSOON TROUGHING, A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW ALOFT REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE, BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL AS OF YET. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION OR TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THIS CONVECTION AT PRESENT CONSISTS OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 20 14:29:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4234 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 14:06:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA55026; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:06:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10324313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:06:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA35216 for ; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:05:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:05:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810200605.BAA13708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 01:05:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a075a0e8c3595813903ff61ce3f2cff7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 016 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.3N5 128.4E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN MONSOON TROUGHING, A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW ALOFT REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 142E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE, BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL AS OF YET. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTLFOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION OR TROUGHING EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THIS CONVECTION AT PRESENT CONSISTS OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 14:27:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1900 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-27631>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:23:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41132; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA29338 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210555.AAA09802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:55:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0551494064d3df5bd153fdc3d1a6eaa3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 630 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.0N4 125.6E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 135 KNOTS GUSTING TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 113E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 20N2 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC TURNING. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 7N7 155E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE, NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL EXISTS AT PRESENT. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 21 14:27:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626673-27627>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:24:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA54734; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10341575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA54716 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810210607.BAA10083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 01:07:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f65b92794123b8f9db6b62023b881f57 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 821 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.0N4 125.6E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 135 KNOTS GUSTING TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 113E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 20N2 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC TURNING. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 7N7 155E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE, NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL EXISTS AT PRESENT. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATLA/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 22 09:26:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-23063>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 08:23:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA30424; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10355222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA30402 for ; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810220003.TAA01826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:03:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 452c6bccb3f61fbeee30686127ff7f0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 725 ABPW10 PGTW 220000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220000Z/220600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/211953Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211800Z2 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 123.5E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 113E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGHING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 20N2 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC TURNING. THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 155E1. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE, WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL. GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO CIRCULATION EXISTS AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 7N7 AND 155E1. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 8 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE, NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL EXISTS AT PRESENT. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOW SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8N8 167E4. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 6 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND PRONOUNCED UPPER- LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOWED WIND SHIFTS AT KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) THAT INDICATE PASSAGE OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS NOW LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE STATION. RADAR REPORTS SUGGEST THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS WITH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(5) FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATLA/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4633 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627056-6318>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:17:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57594; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10379564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA57558 for ; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810230517.AAA27671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c46f1c6031af1fbb78ad7dc0cdab014d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 551 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 120.6E9, NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 142E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 162E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 15:28:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4201 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627359-8406>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:16:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16650; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA30712 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240603.BAA17905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:03:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b78d8c1187c148af91b24e890c1b0753 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 473 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240155Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9N6 117.4E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 24 15:28:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4662 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-8406>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 14:31:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13036; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10397428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12998 for ; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810240607.BAA17923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 01:07:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2401b6b81f01d0c22a5c812cbcb9299e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 517 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240155Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9N6 117.4E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 14:03:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626394-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:37:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA87440; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:12:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10410438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:12:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA75702 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:11:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:11:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250511.AAA00040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:11:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: baf8e3533e57f843761b363b6d79b478 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 402 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 14:03:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626363-27940>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:37:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA78854; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:16:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10410618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA77040 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:16:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:16:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250516.AAA00103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:16:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: edb62ea06e4cde644b491fe4933200a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 571 ABPW10 PGTW 250500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 14:03:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1162 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626353-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:59:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA80252; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:47:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10410953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA81004 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:47:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250547.AAA00429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:47:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a33af5477e10ab7f3c69d7a539120426 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 162 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOONBC: WAS OCATED AT 1 DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 14:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1695 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625990-27946>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:08:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA88600; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:54:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10410990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:54:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA88510 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:53:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250553.AAA00469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:53:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6e0ec8b33c8cd13f5542a9a6f697484c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 218 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOONBC: WAS OCATED AT 1 DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 25 14:36:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2551 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625990-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 14:26:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA91922; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:11:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10411101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:11:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA93650 for ; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:10:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:10:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199810250610.BAA00770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:10:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f93f9f7cc470042ea8554d502e37cb77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 575 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.7N6 116.4E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 6N6 132E6 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 24 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD AND REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING BUT NO LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW IS POOR. SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN IN WEAK WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 26 15:31:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4251 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627013-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 14:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA51976; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:04:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10425068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:04:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA48378 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:04:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:03:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810260603.AAA15776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:03:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4cee9d719f50e4a41ede698964e905e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 071 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 116.4E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 125E8. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, HOWEVER ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS MOVING WESTWARD AND IS LOCATED AT 6N6 139E3. THIS CONVECTION IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 159E5 AND MOVING WESTWARD. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CYCLONIC TURNING. BOTH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS PRESENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 27 13:54:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4831 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627196-22424>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:28:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA67272; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10441290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 00:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA32660 for ; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810270528.XAA13701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:28:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c08d01f04f7e38b73c1d5fe5bc93a4c8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 142 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270153Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 117.9E8, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 125E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 139E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 159E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 28 15:11:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626918-22297>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 13:47:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA60014; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:48:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10458125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:48:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA65328 for ; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810280547.XAA07629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 23:47:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eaba1cc182630aedb4f8411e48bee12a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 937 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z OCT 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271953Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BABS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7N3 119.0E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 272100), FINAL WARNING, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 29 14:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3625 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626475-11722>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:45:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA32736; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:46:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10473477 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA107374 for ; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810290544.XAA00996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 23:44:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 590bfa4517565b3e65884af3514300bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 781 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD AND REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WITHIN A REGION OF SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER, REVEALS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 30 14:02:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3333 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627580-18571>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 13:52:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31486; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:53:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10488040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA64676 for ; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810300552.XAA23938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:52:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb39ba68a17553cd716888c0179f98d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 541 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z OCT 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 153E9. THE LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD AND EXISTS WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, HOWEVER, REVEALS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 14:30:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4653 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627748-8304>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 14:17:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17184; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:17:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10501738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:17:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40136 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:09:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:09:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310609.AAA13453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:09:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 036dd37d43f07c74f2a9c737f46fbbe3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 068 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCTKB;00XQOV 98MMHU-M5 1$ EE:GNO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 31 14:56:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2079 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627739-8300>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 14:46:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA102134; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10502030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA86220 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199810310647.AAA13883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:47:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5dfec98f4a57c1c2ebbb144e7ec7c3e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 279 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 98/010600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 153E9 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN THE SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION IS SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED. THEREFOR, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627028-25432>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 13:33:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA75382; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:34:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10513422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:34:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA67326 for ; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:32:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:32:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811010532.XAA24382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 23:32:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83c3a288f46104026748750c2cb15ae6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 373 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 15:28:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3227 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626105-6975>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 13:35:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA59920; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:36:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10527386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:36:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA56464 for ; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020534.XAA06874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:34:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86a7c411915f55d46a18037fd1009df6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 344 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TN MALAY ?EJIPU1A= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 02 15:28:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-6975>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:43:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22090; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10528227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA66086 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811020644.AAA07534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:44:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 550ae8f8e97eb595b81bb55753801b1f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 087 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 15:24:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4249 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-4233>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:54:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA33606; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:55:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10544579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:55:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16876 for ; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:54:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030554.XAA00165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 23:54:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisor3or He:,ern Pacific Ocean/03 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a61cf432a89bf9e7bc8d002bd2fe77b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 116 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISOR3OR HE:,ERN PACIFIC OCEAN/03 0600Z/040600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DI:(9 E SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 03 15:24:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4016 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628960-4232>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:21:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA24648; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:22:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10545265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:22:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24626 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:22:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:21:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811030721.BAA01135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 01:21:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c11e27cbecd7a25cebc04ebefd86a9ab X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 308 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/BOYER/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 04 14:44:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4682 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626826-14422>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:49:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA79524; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:50:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10565764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:50:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA79432 for ; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:50:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA23832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:49:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811040549.XAA23832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 23:49:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e53d9de27f42110c5551a8fd439ccab1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 255 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/BOYER/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/JACKSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 05 14:54:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3403 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628159-11022>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:47:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA95290; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:47:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10586801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:47:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA23806 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA20289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811050646.AAA20289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:46:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab26f56775c40d2d9ef78a27a79bb4d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 585 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMN/NAV??TOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM:HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-10180>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:45:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18846; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10601982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA20848 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060546.XAA13776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:46:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b31830cb80064f36e8c43137a479b8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 338 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 1SLR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2563 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626430-10175>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:54:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA22192; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:55:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10602057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:55:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22126 for ; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:55:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:54:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811060554.XAA13855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7e64a9bc883378bd7e9cf2a18408c6bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 571 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH LITTLE ORGANIZATION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS A WEAK CIRCULATION IN THIS REGION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 07 13:52:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3550 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628118-21889>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 13:48:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA75478; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:49:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10616650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA115086 for ; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811070548.XAA03681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 23:48:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 210827351dd23fa63fe7ee8fc178e329 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 040 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATERSON/GOODMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 08 16:15:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626680-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:08:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA112432; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:08:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10630053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:08:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA40832 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA15893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811080600.AAA15893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d64a23391bab0de2240b851d8b99d2b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 619 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISM9 SEPIY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSEN/GOODMAN/TIRSCHEL/JACKSON/BRFNHUS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 09 13:46:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3615 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629597-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 13:35:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA98512; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10641329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA98488 for ; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811090535.XAA27240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 23:35:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad9bee279770c93ad388ca8d5d4975fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 278 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9N9 121E4, JUST WEST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ALTHOUGH ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS, THE 090000Z9 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES DIVERGENCE ALOFT, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, A 090035Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS FAILED TO DISTINGUISH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATEDTO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. SINCE THE CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BUT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS NOT YET ORGANIZED, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSEN/GOODMAN/TIRSCHEL/JACKSON/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 11 13:49:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628512-27449>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:35:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA92492; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10673895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA75312 for ; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811110536.XAA16822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:36:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c04af2fc7a69af2e65459def2fc062be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 686 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 121E4, IS NOW LOCATED NE B 1LZ,$YJMA DATA INDICATES THE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3827 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626594-15258>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 13:46:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA108002; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10692176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA42678 for ; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811120546.XAA11078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:46:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 315aac8fd0bbef2f5b1fc1737a5be98b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 850 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 117E9 IS NOW NEAR 9.1N0 112.9E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS, AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/JACKSON/BROOKS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 13 14:05:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2736 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627146-3067>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 13:47:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44150; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10708297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA56412 for ; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811130548.XAA06525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 23:48:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab00bb7f5ab939ca336f500bab9226df Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 456 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130153Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL STORM CHIP (21W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 110.9E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/JACKSON/ BROOKS/HOWELLS/BALDINGER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 16 00:13:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4354 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628193-1126>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 23:56:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA09906; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:57:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10724612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:55:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA109570 for ; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA13799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811151554.JAA13799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:54:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cda09e6d939385b387596d3da48004b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 934 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (CHIP) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 107.5E3 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A, (WTPN32 PGTW 150300) FINAL WARNING, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 17 15:22:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2291 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627512-25333>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 15:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13556; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10746947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA65492 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811170651.AAA18363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:51:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: U?h#tb To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57b1784ecd8d9bf8b5c80033fe26cb2f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 113 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// U?H#TB ANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170451Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 102E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 095E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE AREA HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WEST PACIFIC BASIN (ABPW10 PGTW) AND INTO THE INDIAN OCEAN BASIN (ABIO10 PGTW). THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE AREA IS MOVING INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA AND WILL REMAIN IN A REGION OF LOW WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 170500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 117E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 115E7 AND HAS CONTINUED TO PERSIST FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161400Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 18 14:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626418-13911>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:32:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA61536; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10761139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA93268 for ; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811180511.XAA12080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 23:11:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c74a958d43e9644781f7e2cbf9b6bf0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 459 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180021Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 115E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AS WELL AS A 172239Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW 20 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED AROUND THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 180030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 19 17:34:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3028 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628131-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 14:42:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56526; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:16:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10773371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24628 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:15:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:14:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811190614.AAA08267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:14:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ae32720f3a1b360460034a8b1af817d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 670 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 0P?)I 600Z/200600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE:RJHLG// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 110.8E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST THIS BROAD NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE SCALE LOW-LEVEL WAVE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST. THE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/PATLA/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 14:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627735-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 14:16:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA36372; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:42:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10785612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA52186 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:40:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:40:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200540.XAA02129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:40:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a9d6dcdfe4975dc5db8732d46a72eab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 500 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 108.6E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 AND HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17S8 149E4 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE AREA APPEARS TO BE WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 20 17:35:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627708-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 14:22:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA93276; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10785702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA65594 for ; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811200547.XAA02224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 23:47:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da2dfcb91f1135c96ec0ebb2eb859bde Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 598 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM DAWN (22W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 108.6E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 AND HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17S8 149E4 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE AREA APPEARS TO BE WITHIN A REGION OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4551 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629535-20078>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 13:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA25384; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10798095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16646 for ; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA28355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811210516.XAA28355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 23:16:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: acf116ecb365e36a811bcb7f0e821d56 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 640 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 10 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEAR LINE EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE CYCLONIC ROTATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A WEAK CIRCULATION EXISTS NEAR THE DEEP CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF LOW-TO-MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 5N5 130E4 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CURVATURE AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A LARGE AREA OF TROUGHING EXITS. A 202359Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. UW-CIMSS SHEAR SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 202339Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS TROUGHING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4644 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627290-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 13:47:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA44250; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:14:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:14:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA42370 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:13:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:13:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220513.XAA09530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:13:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d4fa84f19242f77ceff5e5c0046aa78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 527 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-14824>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 14:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA42416; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:22:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10806443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:22:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA42392 for ; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:21:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:21:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811220521.XAA09555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 23:21:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6261f42a4bf3c448c873e12b12108ebe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 693 ABPW10 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 20:28:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1892 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630027-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA56554; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA42674 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221147.FAA12337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:47:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2adb6889dd730c5838723505cd58f183 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 994 ABPW10 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WE T GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOOS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 22 20:28:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630027-14821>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:21:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA65476; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id FAA56500 for ; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA12362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811221151.FAA12362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 05:51:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 598f58380132a9283635f7021496b671 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 027 ABPW10 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WE T GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A 211349Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS IDENTIFIES AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOOS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 12N3 109E0 OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND WEAK WESTERLY WINDS ALONG ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 129E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17S8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 154E0. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS SHOWN NO ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. THIS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HATFIELD/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 14:06:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3384 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630200-25650>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:55:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20574; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10808984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA16952 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240531.XAA15012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:31:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19034a727cc8a09b847b63d36370044c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 530 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 123E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 108E9 HAS BECOME EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6N6 156E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN CYCLIC OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 24 14:06:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630157-25654>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 14:03:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15592; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10809015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA05848 for ; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811240538.XAA15073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 23:38:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa1d08a06e9e6e642d89c8dc392375a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 623 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 123E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 117.1E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 108E9 HAS BECOME EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR 6N6 156E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL HAS BEEN CYCLIC OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR CHARTS SHOW THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4314 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627542-410>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:10:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24344; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17164 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250538.XAA07852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:38:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2026d480decb4eaea6f2efac3a6fdd0f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 582 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3887 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-409>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:07:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17630; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17614 for ; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250542.XAA07889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 23:42:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fadcf1b6bf49014a1c9aa1c8d9d3032b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 675 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1746 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627021-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:46:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17374; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10821864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12732 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250618.AAA08421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:18:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d7f0f0a374defb8fefdf48b5cdcf4add Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 413 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER- LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: TO CORRECT PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2271 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627485-409>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 15:23:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20918; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10822000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16036 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811250650.AAA08639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:50:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d92fe3c9dd51a1e5448de90141cc2466 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 383 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 111.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 6N6 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED HAS BEEN MINIMAL, BUT SPORADIC. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION DUE TO UPPER- LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: TO CORRECT PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 14:32:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3882 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627141-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 14:19:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24554; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:56:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10831503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:56:55 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA14286 for ; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:55:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA27431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:55:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260555.XAA27431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 23:55:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subjlffadr0 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fea399b90e21fb922c202de253cfc2a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 693 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJLFFADR0 5ACAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z NOV 9;L ED-FAF MET( -ST G +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 26 16:02:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2451 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627324-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 15:55:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23004; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10832171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA13240 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811260738.BAA00609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 01:38:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9d50d247b4ff73f62da637ad2b982995 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z NOV 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z NOV 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL STORM ELVIS (23W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 108.9E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 144E9. THIS AREA OF SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS, HOWEVER, INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/EIBLING/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 14:30:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2764 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626373-9723>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:15:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA15654; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10836965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18168 for ; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270556.XAA08885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 23:56:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5f753cc4ca99a9cb3c0864b86075ede0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 636 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD BUT WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION, WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS LOCATED ALONG THE END OF A LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LINE, WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/EIBLING/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 27 14:30:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2924 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627816-9725>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:25:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13656; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:07:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10837065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:07:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA21644 for ; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:02:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:02:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811270602.AAA09025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:02:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c831c741d480094720e901d2449c4c4e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 721 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A BROAD BUT WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION, WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. THE AREA IS LOCATED ALONG THE END OF A LOW-LEVEL SHEAR LINE, WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH WEAK WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/SMITH/EIBLING/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627700-9976>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 14:32:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23424; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:08:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10843882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:08:18 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA12874 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280607.AAA18373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:07:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3006307ea69e432b2151699ae2c8b43e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 141 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNI(AP 5 AD 8JF DQUN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2054 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628072-9981>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 14:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19898; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10843919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA19878 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280617.AAA18457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:17:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a6f6a088ec30f107812b05afb0b8a60 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 442 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNI(AP 5 AD 8JF DQUN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:14:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2352 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628263-9984>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 15:01:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22092; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA13094 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280637.AAA18571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 00:37:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 237ef500b27c064927500a54f01ee840 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 195 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 28 16:51:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4163 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628050-9976>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:31:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA23240; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10844113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA14264 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA18875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811280731.BAA18875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 01:31:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76c72d92c05b57e04d43186bde921d3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 421 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 122E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 02:48:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629288-9983>; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 22:58:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA21568; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10845655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA13586 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA21162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811281438.IAA21162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 08:38:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6aa02c3297d1e54f47f7d630cf5fda33 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 577 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 OSGIDGXGENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (188 TO MALAY PENINSULA): 4 A. TROPIC AL CYCLMME SNVARY: PGNE Q B. TROPICAL D SUSPECT FOR SIGNI(AP 5 AD 8JF DQUN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 06:47:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629345-9981>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 06:16:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA17334; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10847846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA14230 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA24558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811282202.QAA24558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:02:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 47210241043fd820518f40a4520a4725 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 467 ABPW10 PGTW 282200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/282200Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 17.5N3 125.5N3, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS EAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 06:47:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629347-9976>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 06:18:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA24522; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10847880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:38 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA13478 for ; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA24582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811282204.QAA24582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Nov 1998 16:04:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84849825b86fa92380e44cd7f3b591f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 522 ABPW10 PGTW 282200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/282200Z/290600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 17.5N3 125.5N3, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS EAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1905 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626802-4124>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 15:03:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17474; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:46:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10850358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:46:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA04364 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA28211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811290645.AAA28211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:45:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 54666f8c5119e4236ee9ae1597a5a36c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 950 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z NOV 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5N3 125.5E3, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 127.5E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS SMALL IN ARIAL COVERAGE AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EAST OF JAPAN AND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMED TO BE 0 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 16:55:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626945-9028>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:21:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17974; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:51:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10858589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:51:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA20776 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:50:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:50:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300550.XAA08612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:50:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e03104669106acb53b8d30cde3afec9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 569 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 127.5E5, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION EXISTS. HOWEVER, STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INHIBITED ANY PERSISTENT CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 30 16:55:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1221 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-9033>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:28:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18072; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:53:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10858599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:53:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04492 for ; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:52:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA08628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811300552.XAA08628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2fbad800fa363b34e94b5e4933412329 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 610 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 127.5E5, EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK CIRCULATION EXISTS. HOWEVER, STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INHIBITED ANY PERSISTENT CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/JOHNSON/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629410-9031>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 04:58:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22184; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:12:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10867062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:12:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA05710 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811302011.OAA22358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:11:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 346f97e68a713ef3fb8dc831a932d774 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 704 ABPW10 PGTW 302000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/302000Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N 152E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 301243Z3 AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS WEAK WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/TRETHEWAY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:07:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2740 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629384-9031>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 04:56:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA22180; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10867107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA16762 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199811302015.OAA22457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:15:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cccfbf9db9ecc53e93353f3808494a4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 832 ABPW10 PGTW 302000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/302000Z NOV 98/010600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N 152E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 301243Z3 AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS WEAK WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/TRETHEWAY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 11:32:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1231 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-11325>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 11:23:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA20614; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10870962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA13412 for ; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010258.UAA29516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:58:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significa N No To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e18b5fd04dae6afb7f2b6f0a77e7cd8a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 899 ABPW10 PGTW 302000 MSGID/GENADMIQVAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICA N NO TH PACIFIC AREA (180 TOPALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE #, B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N 152E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT BHERE ISINO CONVEQTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 301243Z3 AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS WEAK WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KPOTKVHVINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED O BE 10#8MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN TPEINM :><# HOURS IL GOG. $+0 (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARQKAPNONE. FORECAFMLTEAM: COVKS/POOTERSON/TRETHEWAY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 01 16:00:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2223 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627134-11324>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 15:19:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA15478; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10874281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12880 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812010702.BAA02288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 01:02:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a440d8e3c751e45369a00671fbbd4ea7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 427 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z DEC 98/020600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 150.4E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC, AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 05N5 144E9. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE 010000Z1 SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LLCC MAY BE PRESENT UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION, A 302142Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGE DID NOT DEPICT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE 200 MB 010000Z1 ANALYSIS IMPLIES THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/PATTERSON/HATFIELD/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4561 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627607-24373>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:18:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA14182; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10889826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA22334 for ; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020549.XAA24419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 23:49:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 321ce72eccc3d2557446a9699fb9d89b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 767 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z DEC 98/030600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03N3 134.2E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION, AND THE 02000Z2 SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS IMPLIES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 150.4E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES DID NOT DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HOOVER/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/ GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626592-24374>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 16:04:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA25814; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10891025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25796 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA25518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812020739.BAA25518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:39:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weatr Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c8c6aa50411f5b963de1aab3ea4cba0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 489 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATR ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z DEC 98/030600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03N3 134.2E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION, AND THE 02000Z2 SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS IMPLIES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 150.4E0 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS EXISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, SEVERAL MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES DID NOT DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BENEATH THE AREA OF CONVECTION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HOOVER/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/ GOODMAN/BROOKS/HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:29:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2800 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626967-9209>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 13:46:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA13542; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA18132 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030525.XAA19899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:25:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d0fd92f60974be162f240485660dfa11 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 364 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 139E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THE POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN WHICH A FEW CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS EXIST. THE AREA IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN=S CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTWARDLY PROPAGATING WAVE. THE AREA IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 03 21:29:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3683 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-9206>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:02:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA24202; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10905505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25694 for ; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812030543.XAA20034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 23:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d846a327ebb853c3194ffa637933fcb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 675 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 139E3 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THE POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN WHICH A FEW CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS EXIST. THE AREA IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN=S CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTWARDLY PROPAGATING WAVE. THE AREA IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PATLA/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 04 08:46:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1583 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628369-9206>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 03:17:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA21834; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10912152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA24382 for ; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA01138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812031857.MAA01138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 12:57:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1754b9e4628beaa29132ceb21c022c54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 652 ABPW10 PGTW 031900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/031900Z/040600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASING CYCLONIC ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. 031200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 031143Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS. THIS CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DISPLAYS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN=S CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTWARDLY PROPAGATING WAVE. THE AREA IS WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 00:09:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3309 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627746-2836>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 15:18:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25338; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10919629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA05326 for ; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812040655.AAA12914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:55:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59ef38d4b292cb1b6ae474a9fa7635ce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 415 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6 HAS BEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EASTWARD AT 6N6 135E. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 031800Z2 AND 040000Z4 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL MONSOON TROUGH AND DIVERGENCE ABOVE THE CENTER REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 HAS NOT MOVED. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 040000Z4 INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SOME LOW LEVEL VORTICITY AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER, STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS ALOFT SHOULD INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/JOHNSON/HALL/BACON// -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- VERSION: PGP FOR BUSINESS SECURITY 5.5 IQA/AWUBNMBY/MG554W72WW1EQILAACGMQDSJ1TC6M2RUPPQLU9XTXN/UKIAN3HZ V2RVPERQ619M3GFMWXNX6KUF ;KAKJ -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4945 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626697-1545>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 15:36:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19660; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18614 for ; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812050714.BAA06942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 01:14:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8aa309a4621915aec5b2e1bc20f72212 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 619 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050351Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 128E1 AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 050500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 173E1 MAY NOW BE LOCATED NEAR 5N5 157E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH SHOWS LITTLE ROTATION. HOWEVER, THE 050000Z5 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PROPAGATING WESTWARD UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE UW-CIMSS 050000Z5 WIND SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE ENTIRE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR, WHICH WOULD SUBDUE FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 06 17:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2283 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626760-22685>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 14:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12144; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:18:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:18:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA16710 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812060617.AAA17077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:17:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 07e7ba83c2e5d069c1ee3798d4281393 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 762 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-3874>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:46:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA16428; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:47:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10953073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA17886 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070546.XAA29986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisobkr(p;p:gpacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b2a58d2a9b77e1447eb0d1d77ee3068 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 005 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISOBKR(P;P:GPACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070351Z ?D JBSAMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CY CLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 125E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 070400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 04N4 145E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS TAKEN THE LOOK OF A WAVE IN THE TROPICAL EASTERLIES AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINES. MEANWHILE, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE DIVERGENCE AREA OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IN ADDITION, THE 070000Z7 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4242 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626965-3878>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA04474; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10953183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA28506 for ; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812070552.XAA00040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 23:52:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisobkr(p?p:gpacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4933b616522d7859c8e9ddfdd023a441 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 050 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISOBKR(P?P:GPACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070351Z ?D JBSAMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CY CLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 125E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 070400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 04N4 145E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS TAKEN THE LOOK OF A WAVE IN THE TROPICAL EASTERLIES AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILIPPINES. MEANWHILE, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE DIVERGENCE AREA OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH, WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IN ADDITION, THE 070000Z7 SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS UNDER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 08 14:18:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2187 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-8558>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 14:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26762; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:17:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10969014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA11596 for ; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812080616.AAA23321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:16:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific Sp To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1d7555aa74acbb57369acb7804797871 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 678 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC SP QP> B 0)N DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 09 14:36:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626529-17323>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:18:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12914; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10984575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA25398 for ; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812090619.AAA18534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:19:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 541ae015e54576c99a6bec4bd9427c38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 871 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090529Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF B/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1N0 134.8E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ?P1NT LY(D NEAR3RY 139E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SE ?P: 0.A(K3 ,N3UR THER DETAIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 10 14:20:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626842-20936>; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 14:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA05178; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:13:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10875211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:13:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA09714 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812100612.AAA13210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 00:12:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e33ec6fd3b090d48de2cdc9aaf20f673 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 063 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACDO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 14:04:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626592-10549>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:52:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA17252; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:53:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10877828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA25912 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110552.XAA03389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:52:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77337306eb80296340488bfd77c0a370 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 428 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110155Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 122.1E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N0 105.5E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 165E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH MAY BE ROTATING AROUND A VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALSO PRESENT ON THE 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS, AND THE UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. SINCE THIS BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN THE EARLY STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 11 14:04:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626494-10546>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 13:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28488; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10877868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA04882 for ; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812110558.XAA03430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:58:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6dde072b45f129c7b41315ee54f2fed0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 548 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110155Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 122.1E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL STORM GIL (25W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N0 105.5E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 134E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 165E2 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH MAY BE ROTATING AROUND A VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALSO PRESENT ON THE 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS, AND THE UW-CIMSS DIVERGENCE CHARTS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS, AND THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. SINCE THIS BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN THE EARLY STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/HATFIELD/THOMAS/MORRIS/TIRSCHEL/GOODMAN/BROOKS/ HOWELLS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 12 14:42:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3285 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627836-13563>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:22:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16682; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10890770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA15604 for ; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812120622.AAA23769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:22:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 874d89af350671749e987df0164eadaa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 224 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120155Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N5 115.8E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 101.3E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 164E1. IT IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AND FRONTAL AREA. THERE IS NO INDICATION YET OF A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 09:57:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2185 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626994-10321>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 14:37:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28152; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:38:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10904628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA27064 for ; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812130637.AAA04008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:37:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66b87422402eb2ce4dd16c7476acb771 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 875 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130155Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B,TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TYPHOON FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 111.5E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (GIL) WAS DISSIPATED OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 156E2. EARLIER IN THE DAY, THIS AREA HAD SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNTS OF DEEP CONVECTION AND, WITH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, APPEARED TO BE AN AREA OF CIRCULATION. NEAR THIS TIME, A SCATTEROMETER PASS PRESENTED EVIDENCE OF NARROW TROUGHING, POSSIBLY AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS, CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND THE AREA AGAIN LOOKS MORE LIKE A LINEAR AREA OF CONVERGENCE. HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATED GOOD OUTFLOW NEAR THE AREA AS WELL AS A TUTT CELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DISTURBANCE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS DRT2RPK K9 THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 14 16:42:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627058-24576>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:58:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04990; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10915539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA24910 for ; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812140658.AAA16109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:58:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 94e3e396bc94a7ccddaf63d3f049cc9b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 597 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z DEC 9SREF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYBL P( FJ+- PS) ,SSTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM FAITH (24W) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 109.5E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 156E2 NOW EXTENDS DOWN THROUGH 18S9 157E3 AND BEYOND. THIS IS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PERSISTANT TROUGHING. AN AREA OF VORTICITY APPEARS TO HAVE CONSOLIDATED AND IS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 157E3. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO SUPPORTS THIS AREA AS A CLOSED CIRCULATION. HOWEVER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE SYNOPTIC STILL INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE CIRCULATION CENTERS ALONG THE TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES CONTINUED GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628942-6307>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:42:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA13468; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:42:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA20748 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:40:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:40:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812152040.OAA22061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:40:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 46d810e52a8cb5b5e3084b48f5259b30 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 137 WTPS31 PGTW 152100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY POR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 11:27:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3522 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628987-6307>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:48:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16696; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:49:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10932563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:47:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA11732 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:47:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:47:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812152047.OAA22223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:47:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5431693c6d5da3bd65b713b7c3bf3314 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 205 WTPS31 PGTW 152100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 25.5S2 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 27.7S6 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 29.8S9 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 31.9S3 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 24.1S7 162.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTESITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND A SHIP REPORT OF 35 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS DIFFICULT TO FIND USING ONLY INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT THE UPPER LEVEL DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 07P SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER COOLER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 13:46:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3427 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627914-21304>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:38:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA07114; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA27966 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160537.XAA29767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:37:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3b31ba6431575cc6ba8e4d0db9638c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 995 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 13:46:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3530 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627703-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:39:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA20802; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:40:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA27834 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160539.XAA29780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:39:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weater Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3271b0ac60799e289e223834a30d6de6 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 004 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCC DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 14:59:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4506 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627598-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:55:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28384; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:56:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA07016 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:54:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:54:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160554.XAA29989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:54:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3a54c98c32df3dec96b90cd754410cc7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 222 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS NEAR 6N6 132E6. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMMS PRODUCTS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 152100Z9) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 14:59:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627373-21304>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25702; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 00:01:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10936807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA21258 for ; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160557.XAA00020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 23:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6dcbe97a80498fa25ae39433e2cbe063 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 249 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS NEAR 6N6 132E6. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH THROUGHOUT THE AREA. SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMMS PRODUCTS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 152100Z9) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 15:28:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629050-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 15:08:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA16406; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:09:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:07:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA22966 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:07:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:07:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160707.BAA00882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:07:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a777cddf85f6d400d962a71c3f6772b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 248 WTPS31 PGTW 160900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 15:28:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4438 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627882-21310>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 15:13:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA28216; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:14:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:13:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA31646 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:11:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:11:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812160711.BAA00915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 01:11:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b57d55062ab21f2fa30e06596248b88 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 406 WTPS31 PGTW 160900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 25.5S2 163.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.5S2 163.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 27.8S7 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 30.4S7 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 32.9S4 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 36.2S1 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 26.1S9 164.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS WHICH SHOWED A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION REMAINS SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE 25-35KT WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTESITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. WINDSHEAR PRODUCTS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 07P SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER COOLER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 18:30:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627679-21309>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:23:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA13608; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24530 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161022.EAA02612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:22:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc0b521bf9f43b29f2074476c4fdfa93 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 008 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 16 18:30:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3596 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627723-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 18:26:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA20934; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:26:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10937730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id EAA24398 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161024.EAA02634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 04:24:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29d67a967a7c7f2fccccb108819281b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 042 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS NEAR 6N6 132E6. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH OVIGOUT THE AOKM SATELLITE ANIMATION AND UW-CIMMS PRODUCTS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVELPPPIXOVS ESTIMVD TOM CKUKQPMB. THE POOQ CBFOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 152100Z9) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 03:57:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2202 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629186-21308>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 02:42:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id MAA22024; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:43:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id MAA27812 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA10993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161841.MAA10993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 12:41:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2985e9fa6e973dc55a8b907eaeab791 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 554 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98/= REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIPG// RMKL/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYCMNVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOG TME XAST 11<#.IYMLUYNOHTIC GNONBWNGWCATES A LOW-LEVEL Z TROUGH OVIGOUT THE AOKM SATELLITE ANIMMOLMNLWND UW-C MMS PRODU TS IND CATE GHT VERTICAL WINDSHEARNWN THE EREAGM MAWM M SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVELPP P IXOVS ESTIMVD TOM CKUKQPMBTM THE POOQ C>94-5#3 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT T OPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 2-- HOURF IS VOMRGM WVB MO OTHER B 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): 162.2E1-MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE RAF A (WOPS31 152100Z9) FOR KIFMGERDETAILBKH (25 NO OTHER OROPICA CYCLONES. D. TROPIWB DISTURBANCE SAHAGXOHH (1) THE AREA BF CONVECTION PROIOUSLP LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 S NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYNLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.-.( H ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSOM/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 03:57:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1554 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627715-21309>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 03:52:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA13636; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:53:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10941878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:51:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id NAA30720 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:48:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA12517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:48:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812161948.NAA12517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 13:48:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 853633452925d60f04db20669145d75a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 833 WTPS31 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:29:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2966 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629207-21304>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:13:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16658; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:14:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:13:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA07502 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162012.OAA13440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:12:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c2da67db5143156c4bb530c7d690ed0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 288 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST 7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 98/= REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNIPG// RMKL/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYCMNVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOG TME XAST 11??.IYMLUYNOHTIC GNONBWNGWCATES A LOW-LEVEL Z TROUGH OVIGOUT THE AOKM SATELLITE ANIMMOLMNLWND UW-C MMS PRODU TS IND CATE GHT VERTICAL WINDSHEARNWN THE EREAGM MAWM M SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVELPP P IXOVS ESTIMVD TOM CKUKQPMBTM THE POOQ C?94-5?3 DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT T OPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 2-- HOURF IS VOMRGM WVB MO OTHER B 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): 162.2E1-MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE RAF A (WOPS31 152100Z9) FOR KIFMGERDETAILBKH (25 NO OTHER OROPICA CYCLONES. D. TROPIWB DISTURBANCE SAHAGXOHH (1) THE AREA BF CONVECTION PROIOUSLP LOCATED NEAR 20S2 159E5 S NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYNLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.-.( H ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSOM/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:29:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629196-21308>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:17:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA07448; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:18:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:16:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21432 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:16:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:16:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162016.OAA13547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:16:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07p Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03be97ae69c572e47a8d1fcb15e38d9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 410 WTPS31 PGTW 162100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 27.9S8 165.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 27.9S8 165.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 30.0S3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 32.5S0 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 28.4S4 165.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT THE FORECAST TRACK IS UNCHANGED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P REMAINS IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, AND SHIPS OBSERVATIONS CONFIRM TC 07P HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HENCE, TC 07P IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 09:30:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1099 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629196-21304>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 04:44:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA28432; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:45:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10942606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:43:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA28804 for ; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:42:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:42:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812162042.OAA14234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:42:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 07p Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a69d2293bf517ce9770c8b5349d0455 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 745 WTPS31 PGTW 162100 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNIG POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 27.9S8 165.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 27.9S8 165.3E5 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 30.0S3 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 32.5S0 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 28.4S4 165.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF 30 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT THE FORECAST TRACK IS UNCHANGED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P REMAINS IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, AND SHIPS OBSERVATIONS CONFIRM TC 07P HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HENCE, TC 07P IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 17 22:48:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4197 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628044-1319>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:17:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04546; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10947848 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA07570 for ; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812170618.AAA22536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:18:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5d94110eb30a1d090d5f0618b95202a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 419 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161951Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 125E8. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LESSENED OVER THE CONVECTION AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE ANTI- CYCLONIC IN NATURE. THERE IS NO DEFINITE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CENTER INDICATED WITH THE VISIBLE SATELLITE. HOWEVER, ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA ALLOW FOR MULTIPLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CENTERS OF VORTICITY WITHIN THE TROUGHING THAT RUNS THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 161800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9S8 162.2E1 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 162100Z0) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/PATTERSON/TRETHEWEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 14:52:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1430 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626870-3861>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 14:45:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16086; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA06540 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190645.AAA01816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:45:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1fb263365c9f194453903f65a5de0bde Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 19 15:30:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2078 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626959-3867>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 15:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA21154; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10966404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA25708 for ; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812190717.BAA02027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 01:17:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 20e176c05d5e0fe6826527bcd67f28c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 119.5E6, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT NEAR 13N4 113E5. THIS BROAD MONSOON CIRCULATION HAS CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWESTERN SIDE ALONG WITH PRESSURE GRADIENT WINDS OF 20KTS ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT OF THE CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 132E6. THIS AREA IS LOCATED ALONG A WAVE THAT HAS BEEN TRANSVERSING THE PACIFIC FOR OVER 36 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY NO LONGER INDICATES THE POTENTIAL OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CLOSED CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSHEL// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4331 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-29229>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:17:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28672; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:18:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10973501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28892 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812200617.AAA10724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:17:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d71a2e43a6acc419738d3d2ef771bd65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/2090600Z/210600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETO DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 02:22:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 21:49:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id HAA21126; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:50:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10975265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:49:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id HAA05078 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:34:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA12980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:34:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812201334.HAA12980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 07:34:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Spkfksignifivant Trxpqcal Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a2e3e645dc6ecf28133ce9638122be3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEQT GU// SPKFKSIGNIFIVANT TRXPQCAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/2090600Z/21-20107 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 04:39:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1949 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627686-29229>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 04:27:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA31682; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:07:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10978336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:07:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA21114 for ; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812202006.OAA15681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:06:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Spkfksigninivant Trxpqcal Weatheradvisory For Tholcmboern Puclfic To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d979b2e6203d9af10318dd127ddb762 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMOOOCCEN WEQT GU// SPKFKSIGNINIVANT TRXPQCAL WEATHERADVISORY FOR THOLCMBOERN PUCLFIC OCEAC/2090600Z/21-20107 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 21:50:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627619-8210>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 16:15:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13774; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:58:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:58:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA12164 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210757.BAA20226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2a093a07ef0fc42bec030068a51e9908 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N1 115.3E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF BORNEO NEAR 8N8 114E6. THIS AREA IS IN THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8N8 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 160E7. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS MOVING IN THE EASTERLY FLOW AT 12-15 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3N3 145E0. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS IS A WEAK WAVE IN THE EASTERLY TRADES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER SUSPECT. ?(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGE BORNENO TO BORNEO IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSCHEL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA02073550748 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 21 21:50:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627430-8212>; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 16:15:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13730; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10981431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA24454 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812210757.BAA20224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 01:57:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80695cb06e544ba5e85636c2debf3598 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N1 115.3E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE NORTHWEST OF BORNENO NEAR 8N8 114E6. THIS AREA IS IN THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8N8 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 160E7. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS MOVING IN THE EASTERLY FLOW AT 12-15 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3N3 145E0. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS IS A WEAK WAVE IN THE EASTERLY TRADES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER SUSPECT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1734 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626471-13345>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 08:26:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA20690; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 18:08:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10987618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 18:08:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA30834 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 18:07:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA04485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 18:07:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220007.SAA04485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 18:07:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Within A 200 Nm Radius Of 13.2s6 175.6w9 Within The Next 12 To 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6b486a7708c1b9925f1904f16f7d1810 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS21 PHNC 220000 RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 13.2S6 175.6W9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 221800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 175.5W8. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 230000Z5. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALIZED THE PAST 6 HOURS. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CONTINUALLY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE INCREASE IN INTENSITY. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230000Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG49683560011 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3782 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-13341>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:55:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA29286; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10989526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA05184 for ; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812220537.XAA06995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 23:37:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd8f4e00dbb28aa9e8580c7e3bf0f296 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N4 116.7E5, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 114E6 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 112E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF TROUGHING ALONG THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WIND SHEAR IS OCCURRING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 136E0. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6N6 163E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND NO LOW LEVEL IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 155E1. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF TROUGHING HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 11:57:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4628 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630057-24582>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 11:13:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA12680; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 20:47:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10997111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 20:47:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA05664 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 20:46:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 20:46:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230246.UAA21652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 20:46:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Within 110 Nm Either Side Of A Line From 13.6s0 177.0w5 To 15.0s6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45933547705667b190b6d68fcedfc438 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WHPS21 PHNC 230000 RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.6S0 177.0W5 TO 15.0S6 179.0E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 222030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.6S0 177.0W5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 231800Z4. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CENTRALIZED CONVECTION. NOGAPS 500 MB AND 700 MB STREAMLINE FIELDS INDICATE A RIDGE TO THE SOUTH PROVIDING WEST-SOUTHWEST STEERING FLOW. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CONTINUALLY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE INCREASE IN INTENSITY. 3. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240000Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG73513570036 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 13:26:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4541 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628208-24582>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 13:14:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA29862; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10997896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA31616 for ; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA22522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230456.WAA22522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 22:56:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4b117a9cc48b2d3dbd65e698dedeb1a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 23 17:10:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1847 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627238-24577>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 15:53:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA13194; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10998808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA18782 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812230739.BAA24063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 01:39:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 78a6f4e36f8c2216ee394201d2b4f80c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/222330Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 130E4. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY IDENTIFIES NO LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS CONVECTION IS MOVING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 157E3. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS NO LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 155E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 150E6. OVER THE PAST 3 DAYS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SMALL, WESTWARD PROPAGATING DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC ROTATION BUT MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS SHOWS NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA NEAR 8N8 112E4 HAS DISSIPATED. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES NO CIRCULATION REMAINS, ONLY LINEAR CONVERGENCE. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 178W6 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW INCREASING ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS, A 222152Z4 SCATTEROMETER PASS NOW IDENTIFIES ONE LARGE CIRCULATION AND A 222030Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS CONFIRMS LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC BANDING IS BEGINNING TO OCCUR AROUND THIS CENTRAL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY, DEEP CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING CLOSER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (WHPS21 PHNC 230000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19S0 152E8 FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT EXISTS JUST SOUTH OF THIS LOW-LEVEL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20S2 164E1 FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. SYNOPTIC DATA AND MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS INDICATES NO LOW-LEVEL HAS AS YET DEVELOPED. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS SHOW LOW WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 10:18:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626013-13401>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 07:05:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA27088; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 16:18:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11003893 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 16:18:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id QAA13508 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 16:18:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA06947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 16:18:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812232218.QAA06947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 16:18:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 09p Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa98317f90b201fb2b137e685e2bbcc9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 232100 RTD SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 14.8S3 179.1W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 179.1W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.5S1 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.4S1 178.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.8S6 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.5S5 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.0S6 179.3W0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P HAS DEVELOPED NORTHEAST OF FIJI. DEEP CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND ALSO CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THIS SYSTEM MAY EXPERIENCE A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS DURING THE NORMAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD DUE TO THE IMPRESSIVE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. TC 09P HAS BEEN TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE SOUTH. THIS IS VERY CLIMATOLOGICAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR SO WE HAVE FOLLOWED THE DYNAMIC FORECAST AIDS AND THE NAVY NOGAPS MODEL FOR TRACK GUIDANCE. STEADY TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE TC 09P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK OR NO-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER WARM WATERS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 231459Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPS21 PGTW 231500) NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 10:18:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2320 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-13403>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 09:02:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA06632; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 18:45:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11004531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 18:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id SAA27100 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 18:45:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA08155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 18:45:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240045.SAA08155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 18:45:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 09p Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cab92f11d78e1bedf9c09c6beb9dafeb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 232100 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3058 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628706-20159>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:23:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA12058; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:02:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11005471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:02:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA31502 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:02:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:02:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240402.WAA09933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:02:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 1. Tropical Cyclone 09p Warning Nr 001a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 76249a76b61b9cff9658e439700cef99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 232100 COR SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 14.8S3 179.1W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 179.1W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.5S1 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.4S1 178.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.8S6 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.5S5 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.0S6 179.3W0. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P HAS DEVELOPED NORTHEAST OF FIJI. DEEP CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND ALSO CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THIS SYSTEM MAY EXPERIENCE A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS DURING THE NORMAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD DUE TO THE IMPRESSIVE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. TC 09P HAS BEEN TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THIS IS VERY ACLIMATOLOGICAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR, SO WE HAVE FOLLOWED THE DYNAMIC FORECAST AIDS AND THE NAVY NOGAPS MODEL FOR TRACK GUIDANCE. STEADY TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE TC 09P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK OR NO-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER WARM WATERS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 231459Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPS21 PGTW 231500) JUSTIFICATION: TWO ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE SOUTHEAST PACIFIC VERSUS ONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3321 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-22542>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:29:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA07460; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:09:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11005491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA21784 for ; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:08:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:08:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240408.WAA09980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 22:08:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a27472d872c7d754f619af72d6322071 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPS22 PGTW 240300 240251Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 135 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.2S0 148.9E2 TO 13.1S5 144.8E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 240000Z6 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 148.5E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ROUGHLY 180 NM EAST OF CAIRNS. MID-LEVEL SYNOPTIC FLOW HAS STEERED THE SYSTEM STEADILY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS GENERATED SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION 45 NM NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250300Z0.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC06603580401 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628854-22538>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:42:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA07516; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11006445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA28212 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240626.AAA11265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:26:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba067434a5ba9bd3da23db97322681a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231800Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/24O430Z DEC 98// AMPN/REF A/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF B/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 157E3 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 156.5E7. IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 150E6 IS NOW NEAR 11N2 142E7. OVER THE PAST 3 DAYS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SMALL, WESTWARD PROPAGATING DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND HAS ALMOST DISSIPATED. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHWEST MOVEMENT IN THE EASTERLY FLOW. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A FAIRLY STRONG EASTERLY WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION, BUT NO IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS IN A LIGHT-MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 130E4 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231800Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 179.1W8 MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REFERENCE A (WTPS31 PGTW 231800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 178W6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.1 ABOVE FOR DETAILS. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19S0 152E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 240300Z9). SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THIS WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES WINDS OF 25-30 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A LIGHT WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 20S2 164E1 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/JACKSON/BALDINGER/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 17:06:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2076 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628537-22538>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 16:53:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA14474; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:33:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11006836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:33:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA21886 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:33:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:33:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240833.CAA12164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:33:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e59b82b5d9d06877d697d53e02f68748 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 24 17:26:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2380 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626341-22538>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 17:08:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA07638; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:55:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11006844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA26058 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:55:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:55:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812240855.CAA12220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 02:55:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ceb3fa6e5834e5bb8c2ed3fa5c879402 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 15.3S9 178.6W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 178.6W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.0S7 178.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.7S4 178.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.4S2 177.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.1S0 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.5S1 178.5W1. TC 09A HAS BEEN RELOCATED FUTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WAS BASED ON A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS (240548Z3) AND INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (TC 09P) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY (60 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INFRARED AND MICROWAVE FIXES. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 09P HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND STARTED TRACKING MORE SOUTHWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TC 09P IS BEGINNING TO TRACK TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 09P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. TC 09P IS ALSO FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3133 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628850-22540>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 04:49:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19796; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:35:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:35:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA26952 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:35:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:35:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812242035.OAA18569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:35:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd92646005900bcc94dd02f063c575a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 242100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 16.9S6 177.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 16.9S6 177.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 18.3S2 177.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.8S8 176.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.3S6 176.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.9S3 175.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 177.4W9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09P (CORA) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241730Z7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES TC 09P (CORA) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SECOND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TC 09P (CORA), ITS STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD BE MITIGATED BY AN APPROACING TROUGH. HENCE, TC 09P (CORA) SHOULD MOVE AROUND THE RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND BEGIN A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND TC 09P (CORA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z2 IS 16 FEET. SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE DATELINE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HAWAII (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 250600).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628871-22540>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 04:55:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA31576; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:41:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11008904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:41:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id OAA12108 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:41:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA18582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:41:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812242041.OAA18582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:41:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 48ea5a0effd05447b9e857ee3f3922d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS31 PGTW 242100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO MEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SSTAIN WINDS BASED ONONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 2 1800Z5 --- NEAR 16.9S6 177.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM F POSITION BASED ON CENTE R LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GSTK 090;5 RADIUS MF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT A DS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 16.9S6 177.5W0 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 18.3S2 177.1W6 MAX SUSTAI ED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 (+ RADIU OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.8S8 176.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS T 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRLE 0 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE ;3:594 59 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS ) 36 H S, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.3S6 17/;1W5 . MAX BI KIVKOP KT, TSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 0( 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICI CL OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: ,<70HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.9S3 175.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDL- 050 NM NORTHEAST SM CIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 177.4W9. TROPICA NYTNE (TC) 09P (CORA) HAS TRBUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241730Z7 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARE2-534 ;-094 8.-<346 8,$8:-53- 5: 09P (CORA) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL GIDGE TO ITS EAST. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SECOND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TC 09P (CORA), ITS STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD BE MITIGATED BY AN APPROAND TROUGH. ;53,:3, TC 09P (CORA) SHOULD MOVE AROUND THE RIDGE TO ITS EAST ND BEGIN A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND C 010 (CORA) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT AAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z2 IS 16 FEET. SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE DATELINE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HAWAII (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 250600).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4996 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626780-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA36328; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:01:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:01:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA34524 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:01:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:01:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250301.VAA20705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:01:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 250221z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e5db019039890fd53f63eca91c5e748 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS22 PGTW 250230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 250221Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240251Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 240300). REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW 250300)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS. 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THE STRONGEST WINDS (20-25 KNOTS) ARE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES CONSIDERABLE DRY AIR OVER THE AREA AND UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. OVERALL, CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER ORGANIZATION. ACCORDINGLY, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING (WTXS31 PGTW 250300Z0) FOR INFORMATION ON REF B.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1389 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626465-24564>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 11:35:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA36252; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:11:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11010406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:11:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA40336 for ; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:11:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA20738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:11:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250311.VAA20738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 21:11:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 250221z Dec 98// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 14c86a04b5dc99d17acf2367bd6c663e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 999 WTPS22 PGTW 250230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 250221Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240251Z DEC 98// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4674 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626972-24564>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38458; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11011271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA33566 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812250609.AAA22006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:09:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 88336914e5a53d815976a9a03d4f13de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z DEC 98// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/241800Z DEC 98// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/25O230Z DEC 98// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 156.5E7 IS NOW NEAR 3N3 149E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 142E7. HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 177.5W0 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REFERENCE A (WTPS31 PGTW 231800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 150E6 HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM GOOD TO POOR. REF B IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 250230Z2) CANCELLATION. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DRIFTING EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED. SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THIS AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES CONVERGENCE AT THE LOW LEVELS, BUT NO CLOSED CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: PARSONS/HERRON/PARKER/JACKSON/BALDINGER/TIRSCHEL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA04513590559 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Dec 26 14:35:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1254 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-27942>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 14:03:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38212; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11015762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA38920 for ; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA29889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812260546.XAA29889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:46:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b66c2966900d7a1416488cfe259a373 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252030Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD PROPAGATING WAVE. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC ROTATION OVER A LARGE AREA, HOWEVER ANALYSIS DOES NOT IDENTIFY A LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS BUT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION HAS DEVELOPED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR INDICATES OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9S9 175.6W9, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA. SEE REF A (WHPS31 PNHC 252100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0. THIS PERSISTENT, LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BUT HAS NOT DEVELOPED ANY DEEP CONVECTION. IT REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT LINEAR CONVERGENCE. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 12:35:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2369 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626713-27942>; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 20:43:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA39350; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:28:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11016653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA39846 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:27:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:27:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812261227.GAA01548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 06:27:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 435c01c6f0f98c6119662caf2982217f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z DEC 98// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252030Z DEC 98// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD PROPAGATING WAVE. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC ROTATION OVER A LARGE AREA, HOWEVER ANALYSIS DOES NOT IDENTIFY A LOW-LEVEL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS BUT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SLIGHT CYCLONIC ROTATION HAS DEVELOPED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR INDICATES OUTFLOW IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9S9 175.6W9, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (CORA) HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA. SEE REF A (WHPS31 PNHC 252100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0. THIS PERSISTENT, LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BUT HAS NOT DEVELOPED ANY DEEP CONVECTION. IT REMAINS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO LOW-LEVEL CAN BE DISCERNED. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT LINEAR CONVERGENCE. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC00933600554 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 21:55:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626126-497>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 14:06:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA35790; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11021277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA24746 for ; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270551.XAA05335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Dec 1998 23:51:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad1985aa9b13a24c62cc5e8ba9d5a962 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0. DEEP CONVECTION AND LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 261345Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE CIRCULATION ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A 262300Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS LITTLE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 27 21:55:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1936 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-495>; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:42:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA40702; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11021535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA39400 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA05741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812270725.BAA05741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 01:25:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cff84b54673d06f625ef9e9be73d60b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 140E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 133E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0. DEEP CONVECTION AND LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 261345Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE CIRCULATION ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A 262300Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS, HOWEVER, SHOWS LITTLE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCC01613610558 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 09:27:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626488-497>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 05:43:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA30576; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11023705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA40014 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812272119.PAA08925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 15:19:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7c0a09545ade4aa820716dd1e959ba5d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/272100Z/280600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ON SHORE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. DEEP CONVECTION, LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED. A 270030Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BAND OF CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. A 270827Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS STILL INDICATES POOR OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SHEAR CHARTS INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 17:11:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2570 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626120-1342>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 13:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA39652; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11025804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA39872 for ; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA11044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280522.XAA11044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 23:22:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 05ed866b679cde841b71544a351a3d04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NON. B.TOPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0 IS NOW LCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. DEEP CONVECTION, LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED. A 270030Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BAND OF CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME IMPROVEMENT IN OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 20S2 175E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW-LEVEL IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE SOLOMON ISLANDS TO SOUTH OF FIJI. CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOMEWHAT LESSENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 15S6 170E8. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION, IDENTIFIED WITH ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS. THIS CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE SUSPECT AREA ABOVE (PARA 2.B.(2)). THE DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENTLY SHEARING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 28 17:11:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1497 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-1347>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 14:58:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40242; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:38:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11026167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA38640 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812280637.AAA11658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:37:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c47c67db8e818553be0ffec1d164df0f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9. THIS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. DEEP CONVECTION, LARGE SCALE CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW AND FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE CONTINUED. A 270030Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES WINDS IN THE NORTHERN BAND OF CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME IMPROVEMENT IN OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 20S2 175E3. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE LOW-LEVEL IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM THE SOLOMON ISLANDS TO SOUTH OF FIJI. CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOMEWHAT LESSENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 15S6 170E8. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION, IDENTIFIED WITH ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND MULTISPECTRAL ANALYSIS. THIS CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE SUSPECT AREA ABOVE (PARA 2.B.(2)). THE DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENTLY SHEARING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 158E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SANCHEZ/JONES// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA01333620609 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 29 14:07:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4283 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-17913>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 13:59:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA37630; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11033543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA37612 for ; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA20815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290539.XAA20815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 23:39:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significan To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1e77c53d84912db96668a9894c865600 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3531 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626973-17917>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 14:38:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36846; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11033895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA36756 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290621.AAA21204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Eather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ff48e62abe57dcbfd1f6607340bd155 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL EATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3551 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626912-17916>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 14:39:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36644; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11033906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id AAA38566 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290621.AAA21212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:21:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7ee6a56b9457c50a4c82e43f6605fbee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 139E3. THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CIRCULATION HAS TRAVELED SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME EVEN MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, AS LONG AS THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ON LAND, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS UNLIKELY. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE STORM TRACK MAY VEAR OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED NEAR 21S3 179E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LLCC HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION HAS YET TO FORM OVER THE LLCC. INDEED, THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC, INDICATING THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE TO SEVERE. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SINCE THE LLCC HAS YET TO FORM DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 170E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/PARKER/GOODMAN/BROOKS// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMMCA03983630611 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 09:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4635 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626378-17913>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 15:32:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA36012; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11034117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id BAA40858 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812290713.BAA21522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 01:13:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2b8e4c77599b10ea75f4baa9de5254f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17S8 139E3. THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION LOCATED JUST ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CIRCULATION HAS TRAVELLED SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME EVEN MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, AS LONG AS THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ONLAND, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS UNLIKELY. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE STORM TRACK MAY VEAR OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED NEAR 21S3 179E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LLCC HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION HAS YET TO FORM OVER THE LLCC. INDEED, THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC, INDICATING THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE TO SEVERE. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND THE MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SINCE THE LLCC HAS YET TO FORM DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15S6 170E8 HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/THOMAS/PARKER/GOODMAN/BROOKS// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 16:32:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3210 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-3111>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 14:15:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38480; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11040549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA38718 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812300550.XAA00079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:50:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34f1967e0e57dea30bab22eb9b9d2dc9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 30 16:32:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627426-3112>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 14:15:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA38564; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11040561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id XAA40594 for ; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812300559.XAA00103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 23:59:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Pacific To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66974d751cc18a255d8b8736c4726ed3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 999 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 31 10:45:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1117 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-16754>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 10:01:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id TAA29190; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:43:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 11045958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA39930 for ; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:43:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:43:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199812310143.TAA07143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 19:43:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef1a2e6b148476f772bac969ac94e300 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 999 WTPS21 PGTW 310100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 310051Z DEC 98// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 15.8S4 138.3E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 302330Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3S0 138.5E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. RECENT VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION IS SHOWING AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE CURVATURE. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES PRESSURE HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW CONTINUES. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA HAVE PLACED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, OVER WATER. THIS LOW-LEVEL, HOWEVER, HAS BEEN DRIFTING ON AND OFF THE COAST OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION REMAINS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHERN AUSTRALIA AND IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 010100Z2. 4. EFFECTIVE 31 DEC 98 AT 2000Z, THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) WILL SHIFT OPERATIONS TO THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NPMOC) PEARL HARBOR HI. PRODUCT DISSEMINATION WILL BE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING METHODS: A. AUTODIN FROM NAVAPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC//= B. NIPRNET WEBSITE: HTTP://WWW.NPMOC.NAVY.MIL (LOWER CASE). PRODUCTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AVAILABLE AT OUR OLD WEB SITE, HTTP://WWW.NPMOCW.NAVY.MIL/NPMOCW/PRODS/JTWC.HTML (LOWER CASE) FOR A LIMITED TIME= C. AUTOMATED WEATHER NETWORK (AWN): ALL BULLETIN HEADERS AND TIMES WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED. AS OF 1 JANUARY, NEW CONTACT NUMBERS FOR THE TYPHOON DUTY OFFICER (TDO) WILL BE (A) 474-2320 (C) 808-474-2320. JTWC LOOKS FORWARD TO PROVIDING THE SAME LEVEL OF PROFESSIONAL SUPPORT TO ALL OUR CUSTOMERS FROM OUR NEW VENUE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626163-2623>; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 14:11:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43662; Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:08:50 -0600 Message-Id: <199801010608.AAA43662@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 00:03:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Dec 1997 to 31 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f6145c3113227096b7c1e20df022948 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 31 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 17:43:47 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site on 31 December 1997. KEAHOLE AIRPORT (PHKO) KAILUA-KONA... HI The following sites will become commissioned at midnight local time on 01 January 1998. ROGUE VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KMFR) MEDFORD... OR HILO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (PHTO) HILO... HI TALKEETNA AIRPORT (PATK) TALKEETNA... AK NENANA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (PANN) NENANA... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Dec 1997 to 31 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-15475>; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 14:14:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32570; Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:12:25 -0600 Message-Id: <199801020612.AAA32570@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Jan 1998 00:06:58 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Dec 1997 to 1 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 38da1e8ac71c6c2698de7c0929c6de24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 103 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Mt. Washington Weather Observers Rescue Hiker (AP Article) 2. Homepage URL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 17:34:25 -0500 From: Dan Salkovitz Subject: Mt. Washington Weather Observers Rescue Hiker (AP Article) Thought this might be of interest. (Copyright 1997, Associated Press): 1/1/98 4:04 PM Missing hiker rescued after two nights Mount Washington _______________________________________________________________ MOUNT WASHINGTON, N.H. (AP) -- Two weather observers atop dangerous Mount Washington celebrated New Year's eve by rescuing a missing hiker, who had holed up one night in a snow cave and another in an unheated mountain hut in brutal weather. ''Thank God he had the skills he had being up there in that brutal weather; he wouldn't have survived,'' Fish and Game Lt. Eric Stohl said. ''It was beginning to look rather bleak in the conditions.'' The rescuers themselves wound up in danger when they stepped into snow-concealed water -- one up to his waist -- and had to hike the final two miles in wet clothes and in sub-zero temperatures and winds reaching 60 mph. Both the rescuers and the hiker were hospitalized in fair condition with frostbite Thursday. The other rescuer was treated and released. Timothy Spiker, 28, of Baltimore, had become separated Monday from his companions, Rama Sibley, 26, of Baltimore, and Robert Ault, 34, of Richmond, Va.. The three had left last Saturday on a trek of the Presidential Range in the White Mountains. Sibley and Ault managed to radio the weather observatory that Spiker was missing, but when three men were seen walking out a trail Tuesday morning, ''we presumed it was them,'' Stohl said. But when Sibley and Ault, who spent Monday and Tuesday nights in their tent, walked out safely Wednesday, Fish and Game called for a helicopter to search for Spiker ''because we were running out of time on this guy'' Stohl said. Mount Washington, the tallest mountain in the Northeast at 6,288 feet with some of the world's most brutal weather, already has claimed more than 100 lives through the years. But the copter could see little in the weather, and weather observers Dan Chesson of Morrisville, Vt., and Clint Chase of Laconia set out on the 1.4-mile hike to the Appalachian Mountain Club hut at Lake of the Clouds where the three hikers had planned to spend Monday night. The hut is locked in the winter, but they found Spiker huddled in the cellar, which many passing hikers use as a toilet. He had found the hut; his companions had not. Stohl said Spiker suffered frostbite to the face and extremities, and Chesson and Chase decided to take him the down the mountain to waiting Fish and Game officers and an ambulance. They didn't get to the base until 12:30 a.m. Thursday Chase was hospitalized with frostbite to his right foot. Chesson was treated and released. Stohl said the weather had been so bad on the mountain that the observatory had taken in two or three hikers Monday night, and nobody was on the mountain Tuesday. ''I guess when you come up from Virginia and you're going to do it, you do it,'' Stohl said of the decision by the three hikers to continue. All three apparently are experienced hikers, and Spiker is a climbing instructor, Stohl said. ''Evidently this took him to his outer limits,'' Stohl said. ''He's contemplating getting out of the business.'' AP-ES-01-01-98 1551EST ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 Jan 1998 19:10:29 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Homepage URL My homepage has moved back to the following URL: http://www.pulse.net/storm/index.htm My ISP has shut down stormchaser.net. Please update your bookmarks and links. Thanks, Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Dec 1997 to 1 Jan 1998 ************************************************* From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627285-9130>; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 14:08:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25592; Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:05:40 -0600 Message-Id: <199801040605.AAA25592@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 00:00:35 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jan 1998 to 3 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9a4ea35a7a0fde156e92c2adde0b2ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 87 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TORRO Tornado Intensity Scale (2) 2. TV Met Job Available (Green Bay, WI) 3. TV Met Jobs Available (Stubenville, OH) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 11:53:45 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: TORRO Tornado Intensity Scale Go to the following URL to review the TORRO tornado intensity scale. http://www.torro.org.uk/tnintens.htm Maybe this scale or something similar should be used as an alternative or a supliment to the Fujita scale. Any comments? Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/index.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 12:38:27 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: TORRO Tornado Intensity Scale On Sat, 3 Jan 1998, Sam Barricklow wrote: > http://www.torro.org.uk/tnintens.htm > > Maybe this scale or something similar should be used as an alternative > or a supliment to the Fujita scale. Any comments? Almost looks to me like it would just be duplication... With the exception of saying "we want to try to get quantitative measurements of wind speeds!", it simply looks like another way of matching perceived damage to approximate wind speeds and then slapping a label on it. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Madison Swapfest '98: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/mara/swapfest/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 13:34:23 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Green Bay, WI) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST: WLUK-TV Green Bay is looking for the right person take on our weather - all four seasons of it ! We're a medium market with LIVE Doppler Radar, new weather graphics and a committment to weather. If you have a seal and know that in the Northland the Weather is the News, then send your resume, non returnable tape (VHS) and salary requirements to: Juli Buehler News Director, WLUK-TV, 787 Lombardi Avenue, Green Bay, WI 54304. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 Jan 1998 13:43:56 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (Stubenville, OH) METEOROLOGIST(s) (WTOV) WTOV-TV the number one NBC Affiliate in Steubenville, OH/Wheeling, WV is looking for Meteorologists for future openings at the station. We have all the tools, liveline Genesis, Addonis forecast model, towercam with time lapse, weather stations throughout the market and more gadgets coming in! We need someone who can forecast and be personable on the air. You must have a degree in Meteorology or be close to getting it. I'll consider someone who's just starting and/or a weather producer. If you are interested rush your tape: (3/4,VHS) to Gary Brown, News Director, WTOV-TV, Box 9999 Steubenville, OH 43952, EOE Absolutely no phone calls! *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jan 1998 to 3 Jan 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Jan 5 14:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627525-20458>; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 14:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13680; Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:06:38 -0600 Message-Id: <199801050606.AAA13680@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 00:01:32 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jan 1998 to 4 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31c3f113f56022fc9e95f9660e21b9df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 131 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ISO METAR Decoding Sites 2. FMH-1 & observing sites. 3. Fairbanks in deep freeze +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 07:44:35 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: ISO METAR Decoding Sites Following up on last week's METAR question, I'm looking for the following....Does anyone have some web site listings handy? In advance, thanks!! --Master list of sites. I know that the C and K prefixes work, but many 3-letter IDs have changed recently. --METAR decoding page (the "quick" way to decode the new code). --Finally, an on-line version of FMH-1. Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 10:13:25 EST From: Dennis O'Keefe Subject: FMH-1 & observing sites. Mike Mogil asked for 3 sources of information. Here are two of them: For the Federal Meteorological Handbook: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/oso1/oso12/fmh1.htm A worldwide list of observing sites can be found at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/siteloc.shtml Hope this helps, Dennis O'Keefe New Paltz, New York ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Jan 1998 09:52:30 -0800 From: JCurtis Subject: Fairbanks in deep freeze PAFA - FAIRBANKS INTL, AK 17Z 3 JAN 98 - 18Z 4 JAN 98 >From Alaska: I thought since the activity is slow, you'd be interested in some of these hourly reports. It's expected to get somewhat COOLER during the next few days up here!!! ID TIME T TD RH DIR SPD GST ALT SLP VIS CIL COV WX MAX MIN PR6 PR24 SC PAFA 1653 -33 0 0 039 314 5 1 OVC F PAFA 1653 -33 0 0 039 5 1 OVC F PAFA 1853 -35 0 0 040 317 1.5 3 BKN PAFA 1853 -35 0 0 040 1.5 3 BKN PAFA 1853 -35 0 0 040 317 1.5 3 BKN PAFA 1910 -36 0 0 040 1.0 4 BKN PAFA 1953 -36 0 0 040 321 1.0 7 BKN PAFA 1953 -36 0 0 040 1.0 7 BKN PAFA 2053 -35 0 0 040 320 1.0 3 BKN PAFA 2053 -35 0 0 040 1.0 3 BKN PAFA 2153 -36 0 0 040 319 1.0 3 BKN PAFA 2153 -36 0 0 040 1.0 3 BKN PAFA 2253 -35 0 0 040 319 1.0 13 BKN PAFA 2253 -35 0 0 040 1.0 13 BKN PAFA 2353 -35 0 0 040 319 1.0 13 BKN -33 -37 15 PAFA 2353 -35 0 0 040 1.0 13 BKN PAFA 0053 -38 0 0 039 317 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0053 -38 0 0 039 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0053 -38 0 0 039 317 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0153 -36 0 0 040 318 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0153 -36 0 0 040 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0253 -40 0 0 039 317 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0253 -40 0 0 039 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0253 -40 0 0 039 317 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0353 -40 0 0 039 318 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0353 -40 0 0 039 1.2 2 BKN PAFA 0453 -38 0 0 039 316 0.8 2 BKN PAFA 0453 -38 0 0 039 0.8 2 BKN PAFA 0553 -42 0 0 039 317 0.8 2 BKN -35 -41 PAFA 0553 -42 0 0 039 0.8 2 BKN PAFA 0653 -40 0 0 039 316 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0653 -40 0 0 039 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0753 -44 0 0 038 316 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0753 -44 0 0 038 0.5 2 BKN F PAFA 0853 -44 0 0 039 317 6 BKN F -27 -44 PAFA 0853 -44 0 0 039 6 BKN F PAFA 0953 -42 0 0 039 317 6 BKN F PAFA 0953 -42 0 0 039 6 BKN F PAFA 0953 -42 0 0 039 317 0.5 6 BKN F PAFA 0953 -42 0 0 039 0.5 6 BKN F PAFA 1055 -44 0 0 039 2 OVC PAFA 1055 -44 0 0 039 0.5 2 OVC PAFA 1153 -44 0 0 038 315 0.8 2 BKN -39 -45 15 PAFA 1153 -44 0 0 038 0.8 2 BKN PAFA 1253 -44 0 0 037 312 0.5 7 SCT PAFA 1253 -44 0 0 037 0.5 7 SCT PAFA 1353 -47 0 0 038 314 0.5 5 OVC F PAFA 1353 -47 0 0 038 0.5 5 OVC F PAFA 1453 -44 0 0 038 314 0.5 5 OVC F PAFA 1453 -44 0 0 038 0.5 5 OVC F PAFA 1553 -47 0 0 037 313 0.2 5 OVC F PAFA 1553 -47 0 0 037 0.2 5 OVC F PAFA 1653 -44 0 0 037 310 0.5 7 BKN F PAFA 1653 -44 0 0 037 0.5 7 BKN F PAFA 1753 -44 0 0 037 311 0.5 5 OVC F -43 -48 16 PAFA 1753 -44 0 0 037 0.5 5 OVC F It's running about 4 to 8 degrees warming in the surrounding hills. Regards, Jan Curtis Webmaster Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jan 1998 to 4 Jan 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Jan 9 13:23:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4605 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626095-7390>; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 14:06:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA42518; Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:03:49 -0600 Message-Id: <199801060603.AAA42518@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 00:00:10 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jan 1998 to 5 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7838b5ce13a33059fccd6203b9da965e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 252 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Interesting SFD 2. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale 3. 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for Sale 4. WW #1, A Dubious Honor 5. Science and Education Officer 6. Early Eta changes 7. Help for project (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 10:19:18 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Interesting SFD ** FPUS3 KWBC 051436 *** SFDWBC SYNOPTIC EXPLANATION/STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON DC 930 AM EST MON JAN 5 1998 Looks like we're in the peak of the January thaw as "bonus days" continue across the Mid-Atlantic. Interesting how many calls have come in wanting to know if El Nino is the cause of the warmth. Not many remember that the current record for Baltimore & DC was set just one year ago when El Nino was not yet a household word... .WBC...NONE. ADS ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:36:45 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale ********************************************************************* *** NOTE: The NSEA Merchandise pages have moved to a new server. *** *** Please note the new URL addresses below! *** ********************************************************************* Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Now in stock in the store for fall/winter: long-sleeve tees and sweatshirts for a limited time only! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 09:37:08 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for Sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** Announcing commemorative items in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Maj Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts designed with a version of the 50th Anniversary logo. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/ Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Enjoy! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may exist under the Great Red Spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 10:20:29 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: WW #1, A Dubious Honor This year's first weather watch (a severe thunderstorm watch) went to Texas. 537 WWUS40 KMKC 050144 SAW1 MKC AWW 050144 WW 1 SEVERE TSTM TX 050215Z - 050700Z AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE.. 30NW TPL/TEMPLE TX/ - 45N TYR/TYLER TX/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM EITHER SIDE /29WSW ACT - 48NW GGG/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 17:53:57 -0800 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Science and Education Officer While reading most of the posts on WX-TALK I notice that a majority come from educational facilities, so goes my post: As the new Science and Education Officer at Weather Scratch, I am finding that each grade level has it's own "language" and you do not use the word "curriculum" instead you use the word "activities" and so on. So how does one effectively communicate in the educational arena and can any one either e-mail, snail-mail me any resources that will help me create activities for both Teacher Workshops and in the class activites, i.e.- I guess I need a jump start or brainstorming to get moving. Not to mention to be effective, yes I have contacted GLOBE, Project Atmosphere, Datastreme Project, WW2010, and Blue Skies. Your personal experiences and feedback would be appreciated in gaining a better understnading of the educational environment. Please e-mail me direct at: metservices@wxscratch.com to save newsgroup bandwidth. Also - Here are some possible links of interest: http://www.wxscratch.com/seo.htm - Science and Education Officers Page http://www.wxscratch.com/educatio.htm - Educational Resources http://www.wxscratch.com/faq.htm - Frequently Asked Questions Wonder WHO I am?? look here: http://www.wxscratch.com/johnsstu.htm - Company Bio-Page http://www.wxscratch.com/johnresu.htm - My Resume' Online John S. Sturtevant Science and Education Officer ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 61 Todd Street - Suite 107 Russellville, Alabama 35654 (205) 331-2881/331-2863 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com or http://208.134.18.44 E-PAGE: 2059844219.pager@usamobile.com Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 16:16:08 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Early Eta changes The 32km-resolution early MesoEta model will replace the current 48km-resolution early Eta on 1/27/98 -- details can be found at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/447body.htm Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 16:16:08 EST From: Forecast3 Subject: Help for project I am doing a science fair project on climate changes in small areas due to things like factories,mountains,and lakes. An example of this would be Dulles Airport where the temperature changes 10-20 degrees from inland Washingtion. Any data or help you may have concerning this project would be very helpful. Evan Hyde ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Jan 1998 16:40:31 EST From: Forecast3 Subject: Re: Help for project Also info on Urban Heat Island Effect ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jan 1998 to 5 Jan 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-24072>; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 14:12:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10584; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 00:09:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199801070609.AAA10584@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 00:00:38 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jan 1998 to 6 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e2b9bbb2107135f0043aca6afaadda4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 401 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Andrew question (3) 2. TV Met Job Available (Sioux Falls, SD) 3. Forecast Game Begins Monday! 4. NetNews: New Lightning Strike Graphics on Net 5. New Weather Channel Graphics 6. The Weather Channel: constructive criticism (2) 7. Weather Channel and New Graphics 8. Storm Chaser Homepage/STORM MACHINE news... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:07:33 -0500 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: Hurricane Andrew question Greetings Wx-Talkers: An interesting question was posed to me about a situation that happened after Hurricane Andrew went through Southern Florida. A friend of mine parked his car in a parking garage just north of Miami (north of the eye's crossing) to keep it 'safe' from debris, etc. It was parked in a concrete parking garage with many others who decided to seek shelter for their cars. The hurricane went through,then 3 days later returned to pick up his car. The car was fine, with the exception of that the car would not start. The battery had died....along with the batteries of 20-25 (or more) others who also parked their cars there! Now this being the case, and knowing the odds of 20-25 + cars batteries dying at the same time to be more than a coincidnce, it has to be Andrew related. The answer did not jump out at me right away. I gave him what I thought to be the answer and was posting the question to the list for a response. I'm not sure the answer I gave was right, but it was the only meteorological/scientific significant thing I could deduce. Feel free to reply to the list or privately. -Thank you. -Corey Lefkof -Meteorologist -PSU '91 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 11:34:49 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Sioux Falls, SD) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (KSFY) Responsible for presenting the weather segment of local weekend newscasts. Also responsible for gathering weather information and preparing it for the segments. Required to do special weather presentations and reports for regular newscast and possible special programs regarding weather. Responsible for all severe weather updates during broadcast day. Performs other duties as assigned. Meteorology degree. AMS seal preferred. Weather computer skills. RESUME/TAPE TO: Meteorologist Search KSFY Television 300 North Dakota Ave., Suite 100 Sioux Falls, SD 57104 3/4 or VHS non-returnable tape with rundowns. No phone calls please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 11:37:26 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Hurricane Andrew question Well, spill, what was the reason you gave? I am not a mechanic by any means, but it seems to me that for all the batteries to drain, there must have been something causing a short. Could lots of salt spray in the air do this? This would be a good question for Car Talk! Scott > > Greetings Wx-Talkers: > > An interesting question was posed to me about a situation that happened > after Hurricane Andrew went through Southern Florida. > > A friend of mine parked his car in a parking garage just north of Miami > (north > of the eye's crossing) to keep it 'safe' from debris, etc. It was parked > in a concrete > parking garage with many others who decided to seek shelter for their > cars. > The hurricane went through,then 3 days later returned to pick up his > car. > > The car was fine, with the exception of that the car would not start. > The battery had > died....along with the batteries of 20-25 (or more) others who also > parked their cars there! > Now this being the case, and knowing the odds of 20-25 + cars batteries > dying at > the same time to be more than a coincidnce, it has to be Andrew > related. > > The answer did not jump out at me right away. I gave him what I thought > to be > the answer and was posting the question to the list for a response. I'm > not sure the > answer I gave was right, but it was the only meteorological/scientific > significant thing I could deduce. > > Feel free to reply to the list or privately. > > -Thank you. > > -Corey Lefkof > -Meteorologist > -PSU '91 > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 12:50:58 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: Forecast Game Begins Monday! The first game of the Wxforecast Weather Forecast Game begins on Monday, Jan. 12. Deadline for entering is noon on Sunday. 80 forecasters are signed on to play. Web address is : www.wxforecast.com Thanks. Chris ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 19:02:27 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Hurricane Andrew question On Jan 6, 12:07pm, Corey Lefkof wrote: > The car was fine, with the exception of that the car would not start. > The battery had died....along with the batteries of 20-25 (or more) > others who also parked their cars there! > OK, I'll bite... (1) low pressure sucked the battery acid toward the top of each individual cell (2) enhanced evaporation from the ensuing high winds then dried out said battery cells, rendering the battery dead. One can then conclude that just as hurricanes induce human birth, they aslo induce battery death... -the other Scott@ssec -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 02:27:29 GMT From: J Subject: NetNews: New Lightning Strike Graphics on Net New Lightning Strike Data Graphics On Net: Gilbert, you listening? ;) Full size 768x512 US Lightning Image - 1 Hour Update http://www.gopost.com/ltus4p.gif Full size 768x512 SE US (East TX through NC) - 1 Hour Update http://www.gopost.com/ltse4p.gif 220mi Radius of Central Maryland - 5 Minute update - No Delay http://www.weathernode.com/lightng/piclgh00.gif Do'hh! Somebody beat me to that one on alt.talk.weather while I was sleeping... ;) Neat site though. -------------------------------------------------------------- This newspost is spam-protected by supplying a false e-mail. ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 20:31:44 -0800 From: John Eylander Subject: New Weather Channel Graphics For those who have noticed also..... I was watching the wx channel today and noticed a new graphics format. Now, while I applaud the Wx Channel for experimenting and trying new things from time to time, I do request one thing. The legends on the tops of the charts that used be quite large and readable are now very small and obscure. I admit that I am aging a little, and my vision might not be exactly 20/20 anymore, however, I didn't think it was quite that bad yet. Has anyone else experienced this same problem? Just wondering.. John --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Eylander Institute of Atmospheric Sciences South Dakota School of Mines and Technology Rapid City, SD 57701 Jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 21:39:15 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: The Weather Channel: constructive criticism Hello all, Some of you may have seen the new "look" of some of the graphics shown on The Weather Channel today. And while I'm all in favor of looking hip and modern in the graphics department, I have a few comments about them. The new regional radar graphics are very difficult, if not impossible, to interpret. There is very poor contrast between the state and county boundaries and the background, and what is there disappears when precipitation covers any part of the picture. The shots that they were showing this evening covered up all the map lines, which made it useless. Perhaps white state and county boundaries, along with a more transparent hue to the precipitation would greatly help. The new USA forecast graphics, showing precipitation, suffers from the contrast problem as well. Light precipitation shades (whether they be rain, snow, mix or freezing rain) almost blend in completely with the map, making these very difficult to see. Further, the on-air meteorologists had to continually remind us that "southern Florida is NOT in a flood watch" because the dark green of the topography makes it look that they were in it. Using these maps for radar also makes you wonder where the precipitation is sometimes, as some of the colors blend in with the radar echoes. Also, the bar at the top of the screen which show the little boxes and what the various colors on the maps mean (lt. green=rain, pink=mixed, red=ice, for example, on the Travelwise segment) are too small to read. I couldn't even make out the sponsor's logo, which is of the same size. I have a 13" color set. A bigger font size would really help. Finally, the "Record High" map nearly blinded me with it's bright orange background. Please don't get me wrong. I love Da Channel, and I want to see it succeed! But, at least to my eyes, the new graphics are very difficult to see and/or interpret. Is it just me? I hope so! I'd really like to hear from others on this one. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 23:36:34 -0500 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: The Weather Channel: constructive criticism At 09:39 PM 1/6/98 -0600, you wrote: >Hello all, > >Some of you may have seen the new "look" of some of the graphics shown >on The Weather Channel today. And while I'm all in favor of looking >hip and modern in the graphics department, I have a few comments about >them. Comments, all of which I agree with, have been snipped... > >Finally, the "Record High" map nearly blinded me with it's bright orange >background. > I thought the worst offender of the day was the ski conditions map. Blinding white on one side yet the print shows up well, to a more comfortable color towards the other side but making the print hard to see. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 23:42:42 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Weather Channel and New Graphics I agree. muli-hued variations of RADAR-green superimposed upon multiple variations of relief-map-green is not a good idea. Perhaps on HDTV this would be okay. But, since I do not own one now, nor know very many people who do, to have been able to see for myself...I can't say. Regarding the top-of-map legends - again I agree. As a producer you must assume that the average American household has a beater of a TV set that has been sitting around since the Dawn of Man, with pretty low resolution, or resolution which last year might have been acceptable but which this year has deteriorated to a point of fuzziness rendering most of the smaller stuff to unrecognizable fluff. :) So, I take it from here on out, I guess here in Florida its going to be hard for us to tell the difference between a Flood Watch...and a Thick, Lush Vegetation Warning. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Jan 1998 22:53:17 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Storm Chaser Homepage/STORM MACHINE news... Hello all...I actually chunked out about an hour of time to update the Storm Chaser Homepage. First...Tom Skilling/WGN-TV's annual Tornado and Severe Storm Seminar has just been announced...awesome speakers and much more! If you are in the Great Lakes/Midwest area...check this out! You'll find it in the announcement section. Next...as reported here and elsewhere...finally, some frequently updated lightning graphics are on the 'net...two in real time! Check it out on our lightning weather page: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/lightwx.html THE STORM MACHINE now has current infrared and water vapor imagery WORLDWIDE! Check that out at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ Finally, take a look at our main page, updated with awesome new photos to get chasers primed for the upcoming chase season. Hoping you'll have a great 1998, Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jan 1998 to 6 Jan 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Jan 9 13:24:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626260-24020>; Thu, 8 Jan 1998 12:24:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA24780; Wed, 7 Jan 1998 22:20:01 -0600 Message-Id: <199801080420.WAA24780@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 22:15:34 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jan 1998 to 7 Jan 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b87d5c0a63371a6c2ee236fc7afe300 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 22 messages totalling 812 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. TV Met Job Available (Sioux Falls, SD) 2. WX Channel 3. Weather Channel Graphics (2) 4. Weather Channel e-mail addresses 5. Car batteries and Hurricane Andrew 6. Weather Channel looks like CNN 7. Mr. Green Screens! (3) 8. The Weather Channel: constructive criticism (3) 9. Weather Channel future 10. Weather Channel changes (3) 11. Posting on California Hurricanes 12. Weather balloons (2) 13. IOWA SEVERE STORM CONFERENCE (Prelim Schedule) 14. Weather Channel graphics +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:12:28 -0600 From: Ron Subject: Re: TV Met Job Available (Sioux Falls, SD) >.>At 11:34 AM 1/6/98 -0600, you wrote: >>WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (KSFY) >>Responsible for presenting the weather segment of local weekend >>newscasts. Also responsible for gathering weather information and >>preparing it for the segments. Required to do special weather >>presentations and reports for regular newscast and possible special >>programs regarding weather. Responsible for all severe weather updates >>during broadcast day. Performs other duties as assigned. Meteorology >>degree. AMS seal preferred. Weather computer skills. RESUME/TAPE TO: >>Meteorologist Search KSFY Television 300 North Dakota Ave., Suite 100 >>Sioux Falls, SD 57104 3/4 or VHS non-returnable tape with >>rundowns. No phone calls please. >> >>*====================================================================* >>Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu >. > Having been a long time SF resident, all I can say is that it would be a good market to get some experience. There is a very high turnover at that station...mainly due to the "bitch" that owns it! For what it is worth. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 06:32:03 EST From: Paul Hodgdon Subject: WX Channel Is there an email address for the Weather channel? THanks, Paul ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:01:03 -0600 From: "Russel Madere, Jr." Subject: Weather Channel Graphics Hi All. I saw the creative critisism of the new Wx Channel graphics and had to add my $0.02. I live in the metro New Orleans area. We experienced heavy rains which resulted in street and home flooding. Because of this, I tried to spend as much time in front of the Wx Channel to get an idea of what was going on. I, like most others it seems, found the look of the new graphics appealing, but hard to read. On many of the graphics, I could not even see the legends on my TV. On those I could see, I found them dificult to read. I found myself spending more time online at the Intellicast site than watching the TV. That was just my ranting. I'll try to find an e-mail address for the Weather Channel and post it. Russel Madere, Jr. ================================================================= Russel R. Madere, Jr. | http://www.geocities.com/ ICQ: 5446158 | CapeCanaveral/Lab/5008/ | rmadere@bellsouth.net | http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/ Cape Community Leader | ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 09:26:51 -0600 From: "Russel Madere, Jr." Subject: Weather Channel e-mail addresses I found these e-mail addresses for contacting the Weather Channel: metnet@mindspring.com About The Weather (the tropics, tornadoes, severe weather) mytwc@mindspring.com Customization (your personal weather home page) lbuss@weather.com Education (The Weather Classroom, Look Up!, Teachers Resources) choitsma@weather.com On-Air Viewer Services (on-air programming, cable affiliates, On-Camera Meteorologists) gettwc@mindspring.com Syndicated Weather Products (forecasts, maps, travel weather) twcradio@mindspring.com The Weather Channel Radio And Newspaper Network (partnership, availability) talk2twc@mindspring.com Weather Lifestyle Features and Maps (radar, forecasts, travel weather) twctech@mindspring.com Website Technical Issues (browser problems, poor coding) Russel Madere, Jr. ================================================================= Russel R. Madere, Jr. | http://www.geocities.com/ ICQ: 5446158 | CapeCanaveral/Lab/5008/ | rmadere@bellsouth.net | http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/ Cape Community Leader | ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 10:01:53 -0600 From: Ken Poore Subject: Car batteries and Hurricane Andrew My guess: Did each of the cars with dead batteries have car alarms? Perhaps the wind was strong enough to shake the parking garage and set off the alarms continuously during the hurricane. Ken Poore Harvest, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 11:05:57 -0500 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Weather Channel Graphics I really don't know what I think yet of the new graphics. It is different. I agree with everyone one the contrast issue. The only little improvement that I found to be a step up was the jet stream in motion image. I do not like the green land against the blue ocean. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 10:23:49 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Weather Channel looks like CNN I hate the new graphics. Who cares about topography? Green rain on a green background was not a good decision. Who cares to see more Canada & Mexico when the temperature lines don't even extend over them? Sure you may not get good data points but something is better than nothing. Yes the radar as well is hard to interpret, when there is a hole in low reflectivities the ground looks like heavier rain. Why must everyone try to wow us to death? Movies and commercials are the same way. If The Weather Channel really wanted to impress me, they should try adding some new maps, or like have a professional forecast segment once a day where they give out a little technical data for the MANY meterologists that watch the channel more than the average viewer. We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab have The Weather Channel on 12 hours a day. Please if somebody at The Weather Channel is reading this, can something be done about green on green? Hey on a good note, I think the new jet stream animations are awesome! -Jeff Mila ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 11:28:50 EST From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: Mr. Green Screens! Wx-talkers: To this point I can agree with all previous posts regarding the new graphics on TWC. The new graphics are worthless. I originally thought TWC was showing me some sort of vegetation index. Then I realized it was a radar image overlaying a topography map; both of which are various shades of green! Precip/non-precip differentiation is impossible. Even more annoying were all those radar returns blocking what I really wanted to see, a topography map of east TX and LA! :^) Hints for TWC: -> Immediately kill the new graphics and go back to your previous graphics package that works well. -> Don't implement negative changes in the future! Only positive changes can be considered progress. It is difficult to believe TWC meteorologists were consulted on this decision. Please ask meteorologists if you are not sure about a potential change. Can't wait for tonight's episode of Mr. Green Screens! -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:05:57 -0500 From: Jack McKay Subject: Re: The Weather Channel: constructive criticism I'm glad to see that I'm not the only one having trouble with the "new, improved" WX channel graphics. Despite my top-notch reception (DBS, digital), I can't tell one green from another -- the whole East Coast looks like a rain zone! Somehow one is supposed to be able to tell that the bright green is rain, while the dull, sickly green is -- vegetation? Why do we need a weather map to tell us that the Great Plains are arid, the East is not? I think the entire new graphics set should be dumped. The old ones did a perfectly good job of communicating information. Someone thought that adding more color was an enhancement. It isn't -- the additional colors just obscure the information that the user is looking for. -- Jack McKay Remote Sensor Concepts 3200 19th St NW Washington, DC 20010 202-462-8692 fax: 202-265-7430 j.a.mckay@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 11:46:14 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Weather Channel future Hey I also hear the United States is smaller to make room for the ads on the top. They should just have Marshall Seese wear a Michelin jacket. But no really, I honestly liked the style of the previous maps. Sure you had to guess where the mountains were, but all they had to do was a little grey shading to put them on there. That would have been mint! -Jeff Mila ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 10:34:12 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Weather Channel changes I totally agree with all of you that have said something about the new maps on TWC. As an educator with cable in the classroom, I use TWC frequently. The changes have made it tougher for my students to interpret what they see. Things are smaller, different colors, and it really isn't as good as it was. But what I wonder is, are there any staff of TWC that are on this mailing list? If so, maybe they will see the complaints and do something about it. The email is a good idea, too. Maybe I'll send them a post. -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 18:51:06 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Mr. Green Screens! In article <9800078842.AA884201709.24710@ccmail.stx.com>, Richard L Slonaker wrote: > >Only positive changes can be considered progress. It is >difficult to believe TWC meteorologists were consulted on >this decision. Please ask meteorologists if you are not >sure about a potential change. Actually, I hope they consulted some human factors experts on the development of the new graphics. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 13:00:15 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: Weather Channel changes > But what I wonder is, are there any staff of TWC that are on this > mailing list? If so, maybe they will see the complaints and do > something about it. The email is a good idea, too. Maybe I'll send > them a post. I've seen Stu Ostro post on here before. Keep talking about it and maybe word of what we think will get around to the powers that be. - Jeff Mila ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 13:32:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Posting on California Hurricanes Back in mid-September, shortly after Hurricane Linda and the potential threat it posed to southern California, someone posted a message that mentioned two possible hurricanes which struck the area in the 1800's. Best I can remember, one struck the L.A. area circa 1873, and the other one was a few years later near San Diego. I've inadvertently deleted that posting. If someone has it still in their files, or if the sender of the original still has it, I would greatly appreciate them sending it to me. Thanks in advance, Gary Padgett padgett@eglin.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 12:02:26 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Weather balloons One of my students asks: When the weather balloons are let go, they go up, take measurements, then the balloon bursts and the instruments fall back to earth. Does the NWS get those insturments back, and how? I'm afraid I couldn't answer that one. How do they get the stuff back? Thanks in advance.... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 15:01:51 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Weather Channel changes On Wed, 7 Jan 1998, Mike Martin wrote: > I totally agree with all of you that have said something about the new > maps on TWC. As an educator with cable in the classroom, I use TWC > frequently. The changes have made it tougher for my students to > interpret what they see. Things are smaller, different colors, and it > really isn't as good as it was. > > But what I wonder is, are there any staff of TWC that are on this > mailing list? If so, maybe they will see the complaints and do > something about it. The email is a good idea, too. Maybe I'll send > them a post. I won't paste his e-mail address up here for all to pester him, but I will say that I've already recieved comments from someone at TWC and he has said that they the VP at TWC has been handed mine (and most likely other's, too) comments from this list. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 21:40:48 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Weather balloons On Jan 7, 12:02pm, Mike Martin wrote: > When the weather balloons are let go, they go up, take measurements, > then the balloon bursts and the instruments fall back to earth. Does > the NWS get those insturments back, and how? > They rely on the cooperation of the lucky public who happen to find the sonde instrument packages to mail them back to be refurbished (there are mailing instructions on the sonde package). I think the percentage that get returned are small... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 15:52:39 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: IOWA SEVERE STORM CONFERENCE (Prelim Schedule) John McLaughlin sent me the following... SEVERE STORMS AND DOPPLER RADAR CONFERENCE (preliminary schedule as of 12-31-97) FRIDAY, 3 APRIL 1998 12:00-12:05 pm. Welcome by John McLaughlin, President, Central Iowa NWA Chapter 12:05 -12:15 Introduction by Iowa Governor Terry E. Branstad 12:15-12:30 Joint Promotion of NOAA WX Radio, Robert Goldhammer, Polk County, IA Emergency Managment Coordinator. John McLaughlin, Chief Meteorologist, KCCI-Television, Des Moines, IA. 12:30-12:45 The Future of NOAA Weather Radio: The Console Replacement System. Michael Hudson, Meteorologist Intern, NWSO, Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO and Andy Kula, National Weather Service, Des Moines, IA. 12:45-1:15 Severe Weather Coordination in Battle Creek, Michigan. Jim Zoss, Emergency Program Manager, City of Battle Creek, MI and Mike Heathfield, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, National Weather Service, Grand Rapids, MI. 1:15-1:45 What Can Be Learned from Storm Damage Surveys? Brian Smith, National Weather Service, Omaha/Valley, NE. 1:45-2:15 Covering a Tornado Outbreak in Your Own Backyard. Lon Curtis, KWTX-TV and Bruce Thomas of KCEN-TV, Temple/Waco, TX. 2:15-2:45 An Overview of the Central Texas Tornadoes of 27 May 1997. Troy Kimmel, Chief Meteorologist/KVET AM 1300 Radio & Lecturer, Weather and Climate- University of Texas at Austin and Mark Murrary, KVUE-TV, Austin, TX. 2:45-3:05 Coffee Break 3:05-3:15 Vendor Presentation: Tim Vasquez, Weather Graphics Technologies 3:15-3:35 Covering severe weather in America’s Wildest TV Market, Dan Threlkeld, KFOR-TV, Oklahoma City, OK. 3:35-3:55 A Community Partnership for Dual C-Band Dopplers in South Dakota. Jay Trobec, KELO-TV, Sioux Falls, SD. 3:55-4:15 Arkansas Tornadoes of 1 March 1997: Media and NWS cooperation. Ed Buckner, KTHV-TV, Little Rock, AR. 4:15-5:15 Featured Speaker: Ken Crawford, University of Oklahoma. Ken will be speaking on the need for cooperation between the media, NWS and related organizations. He will also address the successful implementation of the internet browser software “OK-First” to distribute emergency weather information to those charged with decision making in severe weather events. 5:15-6:00 Panel discussion on Media-NWS-EMA Cooperation. 6:00-8:00 Dinner Break (on own) Broadcasters Pizza and Pop Bash sponsored by Baron Services. Location to be announced. 8:00 until ???: Storm Chase Video Night . Bring the best 10-15 minutes of your storm chasing. 8:00-8:15 Tips for Shooting Storm Chase Video, Chris Novy, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, IL. 8:15-8:30 North Mississippi Severe Storms Intercept Team (NOMISSIT) has about 10-15 minutes of video of the complete life-cycle of a relatively strong tornado that we caught last May near Chickasha, OK. Dr. David Arnold and Dr. Mark Binkley, Mississippi State University. 8:30-9:00 Ontario Tornadoes of 20 April 1996. Arjen and Jerrine Verkaik, Authors of Under the Whirlwind, Elmwood, Ontario, Canada. Others presenters to be announced. SATURDAY, 4 APRIL 1998 8:00-8:10 am. Announcements 8:10-8:20 Morning Weather Briefing by Weather Central Inc. of Madison, WI. 8:20-8:40 The WHIPPOORWILL Tornado of June 1978: A Retrospective View on the Occasion of Its 20th Anniversary. Warren Sunkel, National Weather Service Central Region Headquarters. 8:40-9:00 Observations of a Tornadic Mini-Supercell near Auburn Nebraska the evening of May 8, 1995 Steve Byrd, Science Operations Officer, National Weather Service, Omaha/Valley, NE. 9:00-9:20 Is Three Body Scattering Sufficient Cause for Severe Thunderstorm Warnings? John McLaughlin, Chief Meteorologist, KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA and Les Lemon, NWA Councilor and Chief Meteorologist, Weather and ATC Programs, Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems, Independence. MO.. 9:20-10:00 Thunderstorm Updraft Identification on Radar. Leslie R. Lemon, NWA Councilor and Chief Meteorologist, Weather and ATC Programs, Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems, Independence. MO. 10:00-10:20 Coffee Break 10:20-10:40 Using WSR-88D Shear Values During Severe Storm Events, George Wilken, Science Operations Office, National Weather Service, Little Rock, AR 10:40-11:00 Adapting NEXRAD Mesocyclone and TVS Algorithms to Different Georgraphic Regions. Robert Lee, Applications Branch, NEXRAD Operational Support Facility, Norman, OK. 11:00-11:20 Operational Paradigms and Automated Vortex Detection-Lessons Learned and Future Thoughts. Gregory Stumpf, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK. 11:20-11:50 What Can We Expect from WSR-88D Build 10. Liz Quoetone, NEXRAD Operational Support Facility, Norman, OK. 11:50-12:10 pm. Technological Advancements Toward the Open Systems Platform for the WSR-88D RPG and PUP. William Conway, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK. 12:10-1:30 Poolside lunch sponsored by Central Iowa NWA 1:30-1:50 Vendor Presentation: Early Results from Processing and Integrating WSR-88D NIDS and Private C-Band Data, Bob Baron, Baron Services, Huntsville, AL. 1:50-2:10 WSR-88D Processing and User Services at the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). Dick Cram, NCDC, Asheville, NC. 2:10-3:10 Features Speaker: Josh Wurman, University of Oklahoma. Wurman’s Doppler on Wheels (DOW) program has developed mobile radars in order to collect high spatial and temporal resolution data in a variety of weather phenomena. The DOWs have collected data in over a dozen tornadoes and one hurricane. In 1997, the DOWs were used in studying winter storms on the California coast during El Nino. 3:10-3:30 Coffee Break 3:30-3:40 Vendor Presentation: Recent Developments in Television Doppler Weather Radar. Dr. Larry Davis, Radtec Engineering, Broomfield, CO. 3:40-6:00 Featured Speaker: Alan Moller, NWS, Fort Worth, TX. Advanced Severe Storms Identification workshop for media, NWS and storm spotters. 6:00 Dinner on own 8:00-10:00 Light snacks and open exhibits. 8:00-10:00 Under the Whirlwind! Join Arjen and Jerrine Verkaik, Canadian sky photographers and tornado chasers, for a lively talk about their three decades of storm chasing and photography throughout North America, illustrated with photographs from their vast collection (50,000) of glorious skies, including many tornadoes. This feature coincides with the U.S. launch of their latest book, “Under the Whirlwind.” Whether you are a professional meteorologist of a storm chaser, an interested bystander or an emergency response worker, you will find much to intrique and inform you in the Verkaiks’ colorful and entertaining presentation! SUNDAY, 5 APRIL 1988 8:00-8:10 am. Announcements 8:10-8:20 Morning weather briefing by Weather Central Inc. 8:20-8:40 Dual Polarization of the WSR-88D. William Conway, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK. 8:40-9:15 New Instability Nomenclature used by the Storm Prediction Center (and how to interpret it!) Robert Johns, Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK. 9:15-10:15 Featured Speaker: Steve Weygandt, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK. Thunderstorm-Scale Numerical Prediction at CAPS: Current Capabilities and Future Prospects. 10:15-10:35 Coffee break 10:35-10:45 Vendor presentation. 10:45-11:00 Synoptic Climatology of Significant Tornado Events in Iowa. Mike Tannura, Meteorology Student, Iowa State University 11:00-12:00 Severe Storm Forecasting Exercise for media, NWS and storm spotters. Karl Jungbluth, Science Operations Officer, National Weather Service, Des Moines, IA. 12:00 pm. End of conference *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 16:35:50 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: The Weather Channel: constructive criticism I too noticed the changes. What first caught my eye were the graphics shown while cable subscribers see their local current conditions and radar. TWC shows a regional satellite/radar image followed by forecast highs and lows. I noticed that for any given region the background map changes color for the day vs. night temperature forecasts. One background is a dark topo map, the other a lighter colored map. I get confused when the forecast map switches from one period to the next. The backgrounds are so dissimilar that I lose my state border orientation. I would prefer seeing the same background color scheme for all periods. I also saw a segment, I forget which one it was because it was late, in which TWC showed temperature forecasts in the following sequence: Tonight's lows Tomorrow night's lows Tomorrow's highs The next day's high's I would prefer to see the following sequence: Tonight's lows Tomorrow's highs Tomorrow night's lows The next day's highs The TV show AM Weather used to have same goofy sequence. Wayne Winston once told me the reasoning behind the sequence and while it made logical sense I still think a straight linear time sequence is easier for most people to understand. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 17:28:38 -0600 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Weather Channel graphics Funny how "style over substance" hits different organizations...... In my job, we often have to make the same tradeoffs with having background maps that are pretty to look at but sometimes obscure the weather data that's the main point of the whole graphic. The pretty maps should *enhance* the weather data presentation, not hide it. Sometimes a 256-color palette limitation is a good thing - makes you prioritize the data a little higher. Loud colors are an attention-getter, but sometimes they distract people from actually reading the information. When I saw the orange "record highs" screen, I kept thinking to myself "boy, that's a ******* bright orange" rather than seeing/hearing what the records for the day were. Again, backgrounds should enhance and not obscure or distract. Another thing for TV is that not everyone has a 31" TV screen. I have a 21", and at a distance of 8' I have to look closely to interpret the legend. On a kitchen 13" set it would probably be unreadable. The older fonts/sizes were about right. - Mark --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner "Arrogance and stupidity, all in one package.....how efficient of you!" - Ambassador Londo Molari, Babylon 5 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 20:55:32 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: The Weather Channel: constructive criticism On Wed, 7 Jan 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > I too noticed the changes. What first caught my eye were the graphics > shown while cable subscribers see their local current conditions and radar. > TWC shows a regional satellite/radar image followed by forecast highs and > lows. I noticed that for any given region the background map changes color > for the day vs. night temperature forecasts. One background is a dark topo > map, the other a lighter colored map. I get confused when the forecast map > switches from one period to the next. The backgrounds are so dissimilar > that I lose my state border orientation. I would prefer seeing the same > background color scheme for all periods. This must be a local thing. We haven't seen that (yet, I suppose) for our area. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Jan 1998 23:15:42 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Mr. Green Screens! On Wed, 7 Jan 1998, Richard L Slonaker wrote: > Hints for TWC: > > -> Immediately kill the new graphics and go back to > your previous graphics package that works well. > > -> Don't implement negative changes in the future! Well, the maps themselves aren't too bad, just that the deep green indicative of vegetation inteferes with the green of precipitation echos. So, if they just removed the heavy green from the map itself then things should be a little easier to interpret. As well, perhaps there should be an effort to make the state lines (and the county lines if ever they have to zoom in for a particularly dangerous storm) a little more permanent through the radar echos somehow. Same with roads and other hints at where the storm cells are. If roads and borders are oversaturated by the radar echos, then the mind tends to lose track of where in all creation everything is happening, and to where everything is moving. The legends could probably be enlarged again slightly to make them easier to see on smaller TVs. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jan 1998 to 7 Jan 1998 - Special issue **************************************************************** From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2418 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628329-11124>; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 14:13:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA46110; Fri, 9 Jan 1998 00:10:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199801090610.AAA46110@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 00:02:31 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jan 1998 to 8 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c8fe0c66095cd6407e863853f39e2027 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 425 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Internet phone charges (2) 2. Weather Channel looks like CNN 3. California Hurricane Request 4. Mr. Green Screens! (2) 5. *ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. Various subjects 7. Flood Watches Are In The Dark Green Areas 8. This is a tornado! 9. Typical January... 10. Weather balloon responses 11. WMO type Tropical Cyclone Positions 12. Severe Weather Conference/Attn: Spotters/Chasers 13. Severe Weather Forecasting Conference 14. Weather Channel graphics +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:04:29 -0600 From: SHWILLER Subject: Internet phone charges This message was forwarded to me and should be of interest to all who use e-mail: > Federal Comm.Commission (FCC) http://www.fcc.gov >There is a very important matter currently under review by the FCC. Your >local telephone company has filed a proposal with the FCC to impose per >minute charges for your internet service. They contend that your usage >has or will hinder the operation of the telephone network. The FCC has >created an email box for your comments, responses must be received by >February 13,1998. Send your comments to isp@fcc.gov and tell them what >you think. Every phone company is in on this one, and they are trying to >sneak it in just under the wire for litigation. Let everyone you know >hear this one. Get the e-mail address to everyone you can think of. > FCC e-mail-----> isp@fcc.gov > Here is the URL of the page dealing with this issue: > http://www.fcc.gov/Bureaus/Common_Carrier/Factsheets/ispfact.html > ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 00:43:41 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Weather Channel looks like CNN Jeff from West Chicago wrote: > > I hate the new graphics. Who cares about topography? Green rain on a > green background was not a good decision. ... cut ... I agree. Reminds me of the time, years ago, when I was playing with my Windows colors, I ended up having a red background with red text and couldn't see anything but red. What a nightmare. The new green on green maps look like the whole country is always raining. Ken Z. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 06:54:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: California Hurricane Request Yesterday I posted a request for a "reprint" of a posting (by William Reid it turned out) that mentioned some tropical cyclones of the past which struck California. A couple of persons sent that to me, so I now have it. I was trying to locate that for Jack Beven. He, and some others at TPC, are doing some sort of study of tropical cyclones which have affected the Southwest. I mentioned that article and he was interested in seeing it (he's no longer subscribed to wx-talk). Normally I save everything (and then some), but somehow I had managed to delete that particular posting. Thanks to those who responded. Sincerely, Gary Padgett ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 08:41:09 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Internet phone charges > This message was forwarded to me and should be of interest to all who use > e-mail: Could you send more details (privately, this is a list for weather discussions)? I had a hard time finding much information on the web page you posted. I went to the page (which was posted in 1996) and said The final deadline for comments on the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking is Friday, February 14, 1997. Sounds like you missed by a year... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 08:21:48 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Mr. Green Screens! On Wed, 7 Jan 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > Well, the maps themselves aren't too bad, just that the deep green > indicative of vegetation inteferes with the green of precipitation echos. > So, if they just removed the heavy green from the map itself then things > should be a little easier to interpret. As well, perhaps there should be an Other stuff deleted. Another way to throw off you audience. Green is not vegetation. It is an elevation above sea level. Hence Florida, with its very low elevation, is dark green. People make that misconception quite often. Just FYI ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 09:46:49 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Re: *ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site on 07 January 1998. DEFIANCE MEMORIAL AIRPORT (KDFI) DEFIANCE... OH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 10:42:10 CST From: "Brian R. Klein" Subject: Various subjects Here's my two cents on the most recent subjects here: 1. Weather Channel Graphics: I agree with most all of you that the graphics are not an improvement due, in most part, to the green-on-green problem and the smaller fonts. 2. Dead Batteries: Here's my theory, which is to say a theory, which is mine... The strong winds blew rain/moisture on the top of the batteries and shorted out the terminals. I wonder if all the dead ones had terminals on the top, as opposed to the side. 3. Radiosonde recovery: I just read in the latest NSSL Briefings newsletter that they are working with the Universities of Oklahoma and Arizona on something they call a glidersonde that, once the ballon breaks, will glide back to the launch side via GPS navigation. A clever idea. I hope it works. Brian Klein Norman, OK bklein@osf.noaa.gov NEXRAD1@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 11:55:22 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Flood Watches Are In The Dark Green Areas I have to comment on the new Weather Channel graphics. I have a 27" television and I found myself walking up to the set and trying to figure out where the rain ended and where the rain began. The on-air meteorologist said that flash flood watches were in the dark green areas...which was the entire Eastern half of the United States....I could not tell the difference between the flood watches and the background colors they were using to represent the individual states. I have watched the weather channel for years and I am a college student studying meteorology. I know if I can not distinguish the difference between background colors and precipitation colors and other graphic colors then there is a serious problem. I hope that The Weather Channel will go back to using their old graphics....they were much better! Does anyone have any idea if The Weather Channel is receiving phone calls or e-mail concerning this problem? I do want to say that I for one LOVE the new 5-day outlook that has the nighttime lows instead of just the daily highs for all five days! derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 13:14:29 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Mr. Green Screens! On Thu, 8 Jan 1998, Paul L. Sirvatka wrote: > On Wed, 7 Jan 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > Well, the maps themselves aren't too bad, just that the deep green > > indicative of vegetation inteferes with the green of precipitation echos. > > So, if they just removed the heavy green from the map itself then things > > should be a little easier to interpret. As well, perhaps there should be an > > Other stuff deleted. > > Another way to throw off you audience. Green is not vegetation. It is an > elevation above sea level. Hence Florida, with its very low elevation, is > dark green. People make that misconception quite often. > > Just FYI Whew! Good. I can return that machete then! I won't be needing it while spotting as I thought. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 18:32:41 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: This is a tornado! I am including the office who sent this, in hopes that they will change their official storm log. I have also cc:ed to someone at SPC to note this. >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL >1135 AM CST THU JAN 08 1998 > >TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >1015 AM FT WALTON BEACH FL WIND DAMAGE >01/07/98 OKALOOSA *** 1 INJ *** > WATERSPOUT MOVED ONSHORE > NEAR OKALOOSA ISLAND. > DAMAGED CONSTRUCTION SITE > AND HOSPITALIZED ONE. A waterspout that moves on land is a *tornado*. This should not have been characterized as just "WIND DAMAGE". greg ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:18:59 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Typical January... ** WWUS30 KILM 081909 *** LSRILM PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA 210 PM EST THU JAN 08 1998 TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0903 AM WILMINGTON NC 90 MPH TSTM GUST 01/08/98 NEW HANOVER *** 3 INJ *** DOWNBURST WIND CAUSED TURBULENT EDDY GUSTNADO PATH 30 YARDS WIDE 1/4 MILE LONG THAT PASSED BY A GAS STATION, OVERTURNING SEMI. ONE HOSPITALIZED. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 12:23:55 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Weather balloon responses Thanks to all who answered my question about weather balloons. :) As I read all of them (about 20 total (!)) it was interesting to see all the different estimates as to how many are actually returned. Some said very few are returned, some said many (up to 80%) are returned. One person said that the percentage is higher in the east than in the west because of the poplation density. Very interesting. At any rate (no pun intended), thanks for the information, and my student (Paul - a junior) who had the original question was very impressed that so many professional people would take the time to answer the post. This _is_ a terrific mailing list. :) -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 22:37:31 +0000 From: Dale Huguley Subject: WMO type Tropical Cyclone Positions Hi All- can anyone tell me what the numbers after the time and position mean in a bulletin from the Guam Joint Typhoon Center such as from todays Katrina warning number 12 ? I.E. FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.8S4 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE Z9? S4? E5? I am writting code to parse this to ham radio APRS and just ignore them now - but I would like to know Dale Huguley ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:06:56 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Severe Weather Conference/Attn: Spotters/Chasers The Central Iowa Chapter of the NWA has added a special session for Saturday evening (8-10pm), 4 April 1998 portion of our conference. This was due to requests from many of the storm chasers/spotters who attended the 1997 conference and wanted some "infotainment" along with the science papers. So chasers/spotters... not only do you get Al Moller's 2.5 hour workshop, we are also adding this: Under the Whirlwind! Join Arjen and Jerrine Verkaik, Canadian sky photographers and tornado chasers, for a lively talk about their three decades of storm chasing and photography throughout North America, illustrated with photographs from their vast collection (50,000) of glorious skies, including many tornadoes. This feature coincides with the U.S. launch of their latest book, Under the Whirlwind. Whether you are a professional meteorologist of a storm chaser, an interested bystander or an emergency response worker, you will find much to intrique and inform you in the Verkaiks colorful and entertaining presentation! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 17:31:26 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Severe Weather Forecasting Conference The Severe Weather Forecasting Conference for Undergraduates (and others!) homepage is online. Registration, travel and accommodation information is available along with speaker information and schedule. Check out http://weather.cod.edu/svr-conf/ Make your reservations early! Questions? write svr-conf@weather.cod.edu ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 18:32:03 -0500 From: Stuart A Shepard Subject: Weather Channel graphics I've been reading with interest the many comments about how the folks at TWC must have been looking at a "big TV" when they approved the new graphics. I have a feeling what really happened is they checked them out on a computer monitor with its higher resolution. Many things on a computer screen look perfectly clear, but once they get squeezed into NTSC and flung through the air as electrons they lose a lot of that definition. Nice textures transmogrify into solid colors. Distinctions between similar colors vanish completely. Crisp fonts become fuzzy and hard to read. I always check new graphics on a "real-life" tv before trying them on the air if there is any question. (Guess how I learned to do that?...) : ) I always admired the Weather Channel's old graphics for their simplicity. Sometimes clear is better than pretty. Stuart Shepard Chief Weather Guru WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jan 1998 to 8 Jan 1998 ************************************************ From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2445 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629009-8759>; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 14:27:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40290; Sat, 10 Jan 1998 00:21:40 -0600 Message-Id: <199801100621.AAA40290@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 00:04:31 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jan 1998 to 9 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ea29537283425c92358764861093970 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 249 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 6-10 Day Outlook...Amazing 2. South Pacific Tropical Cyclones 3. Tropical Cyclone Positions - Reply 4. East TN Flooding 5. WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jan 1998 to 8 Jan 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 14:39:08 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: 6-10 Day Outlook...Amazing Derek Dodson Metropolis, Illinois derekd@midwest.net 6-10 Day Outlook...Amazing I thought it was interesting that the latest 6-10 day outlook from NCEP indicates that all but one state is expecting above normal temperatures for the period January 15th through January 19th. More than 50% of the United States is also expecting above normal precipitation. The Ohio Valley has been very wet during the past few weeks. Flooding continues along many rivers and streams. The long-range outlooks (30 day and 90 day) were indicating below normal precipitation for all of the Ohio Valley...with some impressive percentages being tossed around for guidance. It was not surprising that this winter started out colder than normal here in the Ohio Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley and then warmed to above normal temperatures by late December...which has continued into January. What is a surprise is just how much above normal the temperatures have been. In Paducah, Kentucky they are averaging 20 degrees above normal for the month so far! I heard on the NBC News a few nights ago that things are expected to turn much colder towards the end of January into February...meaning that much of the nation would be below normal in temperatures. Does anyone agree or disagree with that...and is the forecast for much drier than normal conditions across the Ohio Valley due to what is expected from El Nino. If it is then why are we not seeing those drier than normal conditions already? Just wondering what others thought about this situation...at this rate we are going to have some SERIOUS flooding conditions (as if they are already not serious enough) across the Eastern and Southern United States. derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 06:51:09 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: South Pacific Tropical Cyclones Back on Jan. 5th, the PHNC tropical cyclone advisory for Ron indicated that estimated one minute sustained surface winds were 155 knots (180mph). This has got to be up there as one of the strongest tropical cyclones in the SE Pacific, east of the date line. Anyone have any record or climate information for this tropical basin? Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 16:53:00 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Tropical Cyclone Positions - Reply Dale Huguley wrote: >Hi All- can anyone tell me what the numbers after the time and position >mean in a bulletin from the Guam Joint Typhoon Center such as from >todays Katrina warning number 12 ? I.E. > >FORECASTS: > 12 HRS, VALID AT: > 090000Z9 --- 15.8S4 164.4E5 > MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT > RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE > >Z9? S4? E5? Those last digits are checksums, a carry-over from old radio teletype days when data integrity cuold not be guaranteed. The checksun for each group is the sum of the digits in that group. For example: 15.8S4 means 15.8 degrees South the "4" at the end is derrived by adding "1" plus "5" plus "8" which gives 14. Take the least significant digit, the "4", and it becomes the checksum. Let's try another. 164.4E5 means 164.4 degrees East The checksum (5) comes from the sum of the values 1 + 6 + 4 + 4 = 15 . Basically, if you ignore the checksum digit you'll do just fine! ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 18:40:38 EST From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: East TN Flooding Wx-talkers: I have forwarded this personal email to the list from a friend in East Tennessee. He relates some of the recent flood devastation there. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ______________________________ Forward Header __________________________________ Subject: Flooding Author: at Internet Date: 08-01-98 23:42 Have you heard about the flooding in Carter Co. TN. It has made the national news. Five people have been found dead and at least eight others are missing. The worst places hit were around Hampton. The bottom of Roan Mountain and Elizabethton were also flooded in places. The covered bridge in downtown Elizabethton was only inches from the raging water today. Angie works at Citizen's Bank in Elizabethton only about two blocks from flooded areas. She went into work late today. There was no flooding in the immediate vicinity of the bank. Danny Huffine ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 Jan 1998 23:50:23 -0800 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jan 1998 to 8 Jan 1998 Posted below were these two LSR's and comments: Read my comments below reports. Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 18:32:41 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: This is a tornado! I am including the office who sent this, in hopes that they will change their official storm log. I have also cc:ed to someone at SPC to note this. >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL >1135 AM CST THU JAN 08 1998 > >TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >1015 AM FT WALTON BEACH FL WIND DAMAGE >01/07/98 OKALOOSA *** 1 INJ *** > WATERSPOUT MOVED ONSHORE > NEAR OKALOOSA ISLAND. > DAMAGED CONSTRUCTION SITE > AND HOSPITALIZED ONE. A waterspout that moves on land is a *tornado*. This should not have been characterized as just "WIND DAMAGE". greg ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 8 Jan 1998 14:18:59 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Typical January... ** WWUS30 KILM 081909 *** LSRILM PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA 210 PM EST THU JAN 08 1998 TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0903 AM WILMINGTON NC 90 MPH TSTM GUST 01/08/98 NEW HANOVER *** 3 INJ *** DOWNBURST WIND CAUSED TURBULENT EDDY GUSTNADO PATH 30 YARDS WIDE 1/4 MILE LONG THAT PASSED BY A GAS STATION, OVERTURNING SEMI. ONE HOSPITALIZED. I hope these are not attempts to avoid a missed warning to enhance stats. As Greg says in the first LSR it is a "tornado", therefore a missed stat in the tornado stats should be forthcoming if there was no tornado warning issued. In the second one it is strictly up to the person who surveyed the damage, if this was done at all. It appears to me that a Gustnado which does significant damage is a "small tornado type vortex". Does the NWS classify this as a tornado or wind damage? I believe it should be a small tornado as we have been getting these things since weather probably began on this earth, but have only "discovered the phenomena in the recent years". There was severe weather here in Alabama day before yesterday and there was significant damage which people in Chilton County think was a tornado. One man was lifted out of his house on a couch, carried 200 yards and deposited against a tree. The house was completely destroyed along with damage to several others. The man's pick up truck was deposited where his living room use to be. Part of the roof of this man's house was found across Lake Jordan, 8 miles away. Local NWS officials state in the local newspaper that they believed it was straight line winds or possibly a "gustnado" because there was no evident sign of a rotation on their Doppler. I want to make one comment here and for length sake shut up. Very small rotations may "not be seen on Doppler radars" thus very small tornadoes or gustnadoes may not be detected. Greg has pointed this out as have others. So to say it was not a tornado because you saw no rotation, may be misleading. Remember that NEXRAD is in volume scanning and there is a 5 minute delay between the first base level and back. At very low levels small vortex phenomena may occur and disappear and if you include the vortex diameter/beam width rule it certainly may not be seen at all. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jan 1998 to 9 Jan 1998 ************************************************ From - Tue Jan 13 14:30:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2329 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626561-18026>; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 14:22:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29466; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:16:14 -0600 Message-Id: <199801110616.AAA29466@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 00:02:12 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jan 1998 to 10 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fb52f44d06e14aabb656be67ea1d7b36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 289 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. An interesting old severe storm related diary entry 2. World Wide Annual Rainfall 3. AMS * 'Show Us Your Stuff' 4. The WeatherPage is Finally Updated!! 5. New England Ice Storm 6. near-surface friction and wind-speed? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 02:11:46 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: An interesting old severe storm related diary entry Hi all, Here's a slice from my late grandfather's diaries from 1906 (when he was a young teen). This particular diary, which he titled THE RIVER, details his life as a boy growing up in the area of Belmar and waters of Shark River in New Jersey. I've been retranscribing his diaries for placement on another of my web sites (genealogy related). I came across this particular entry this evening. I was somewhat interested to read this mentioning of an accidental encounter that he and his friend had had with severe weather (1/4-inch hail, high winds that uprooted large trees, `forked lightning') whilst he and his friend were out hunting one day. For the usual diary I thought his descriptions rather unusually detailed. I figured since it was dated that perhaps it could be of some use to some weather office somewhere...a record of the weather in Shark River one day way back when. However unwittingly he may have been so, I guess my grandfather was, in a way, a Storm Spotter. :-) Todd Saturday, June 9th. Began the day by sweeping the cellar, cleaning the chicken house, and sifting all the week's ashes for what good coal they might contain. What was left of the morn- ing I spent fixing up the old battleship model for a tar- get and took two ranging shots with longs. Ed bought two boxes of shorts and I one so this af- ternoon we started across the river in Ralph's boat with old Bean-dog and my Savage rifle. We soon landed on the N.W.W. side and, hiding our oars, tramped through the brush in the sweltering heat but didn't get a shot. Then we re-embarked and amused ourselves shooting at crabs, having to allow for the distorting effect of water. We got seven (this is Ed's official report; we really hit only one) and gave them (it) to a man we met. Then we let out for the spring opposite Money Hill. Just as we were about to land, we heard a clap of thunder. Looking up, we could see a big, white, fleecy cloud roll- ing up out of the west but by the time our bow touched shore it had reached the sun and suddenly the cloud and everything else grew black. We ran the boat up on the gravelly beach as quickly as we could, turned it bottom- up over a log, and had barely time to cut a couple of branches and crawl under when the rain came crashing down. It hid everything out on the river from view. Although it quickly got rather damp, we enjoyed it immensely ex- cept that Bean [their dog companion] seemed worried and kept whining, and it was all the better when hail began to rattle down. Some of the stones were as large as dimes and were flattened like jujubees. We ate all we could get hold of and amused ourselves by banging away without result at a lot of fish-hawks circling overhead. About this time the water began to run in under the boat and before long it was decidedly uncomfortable. As soon as it slacked off a bit, we rolled out and dug a ditch along the higher side to carry away the water and cut more branches so that, when in a minute or two it came down harder than ever, we were quite prepared. Bean seemed really frightened by now and hid his head under my coat and trembled. Finally it cleared a little and we started off for something to shoot at. We didn't find anything and the rain kept drizzling down but Ed decided he wanted a fish- hawk so we waited at the foot of a tree in the top of which was a nest. Eventually the proprietor of the nest appeared and, after circling around screaming at us for about half an hour in the rain, he settled on a branch and Ed shot him... [Ick, I hate listening to hunters. Gruesome details so yuckfully typical of hunter's pride removed. -Todd] By now the rain had stopped so we started for home. Soon, however, it began to cloud up in the west again and the thunder started rumbling, but we rowed as hard as we could. The sky grew blacker and blacker and the lightning was bright and forked. By the time we landed at Seventh Ave. it was so dark we could hardly see. I had my rifle and an oar, Ed the hawk and the other one as we set out on a run for home. Going through the woods back of VanNortwick's (I never spelled or saw this written before) Ed ran into the bushes and hid the corpse while I waited, and then we ran on together. Just as we turned into my yard the big drops began to fall and the wind started howling like a banshee. I put on dry clothes and lent Ed a pair of shoes and socks and he stayed for supper. The storm was something fierce and lots of trees were blown down. After supper I saw Harry Cooper who is going to law school, sitting on the Girard House porch where the Coopers have their meals and he said the fine for shooting fish-hawks and sea gulls was $25.00 Sunday, June 10th. `Brite and fair'. [...] After dinner Ed and I went to pick up the fish-hawk but, Lo & Behold, when we reached the spot we couldn't get to it. During the storm two huge oaks had fallen, one on top of the other, right on the precise spot where Ed had hidden it. We worked in vain to rescue it but had to give up finally. Some day the body will be discovered and the finder will no doubt explain how this hawk had taken refuge from the storm and had been pinned down when the tree fell. [...] /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 09:13:43 -0600 From: Michael Land Subject: World Wide Annual Rainfall I received this personally via e-mail and am now forwarding it to the list. If you can assist this gentleman plese reply directly to randj@mindspring.com >Dear Sir, can you give me a source for rainfall totals for places in the >world? Last week we were in Scotland, and I ask what the annual rainfall >was and no one could tell me. Thank you, Richard Graybill Michael Land - Meteorologist - Surface Systems St. Louis, MO email: landmb@inlink.com Web site: http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/ Wx-Talk: http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 12:43:05 EST From: KirkClyatt Subject: AMS * 'Show Us Your Stuff' Please post this message on WX-TALK and all other WX related news groups. IF YOU ARE A BROADCAST METEOROLOGIST/WEATHER ANCHOR THIS IS FOR YOU! ****************************************************************************** ***************** I know I can't be the only one who has found it amazing that at the last few AMS Broadcast Conferences there has been no weather air check presentation. I find no better way to check on how I'm doing then by checking what is being done in others parts of the country. This year at the AMS Broadcast Conference in St. Louis, I'm trying to spearhead an effort to bring back an air check presentation. The powers that be have even scheduled a session for it; 'Show Us Your Stuff' at 9:30am, Thursday, June 18th. I need your help to make it an effective presentation. You may have scene a brief notice about this in a recent AMS Journal, but I hope you didn't since the address for you to send tapes to was wrong. If you did send a tape to me at KTBS in Shreveport, I didn't get it. Please accept my apology and send another one to me here in Baltimore. I'll even buy you lunch if you do. Interesting thing about KTBS all three Meteorologist who were there in January '97 are now gone. Mmmmm...could there be a problem down on the bayou? But that's a topic for another time. If you'd like to show off, show the kids in the smaller markets just how it should be done, be discovered or just show off an easy, great looking way to use Show F/x this is your chance! IF YOU SEND A TAPE, PART OF IT WILL BE USED IN THE PRESENTATION. Exactly what you send is up to you. I hope your interested and will take the time to send me a tape, who knows what could happen! Any format of tape is OK, Beta & MII is preferred. Please send your work to: Kirk Clyatt Meteorologist WBFF-TV - FOX 45 2000 West 41st Street Baltimore, Maryland 21211-1420 Should you have any question concerns or comments, please don't hesitate to contact me. 410-467-4545 ext. 3052 fax: 410-467-5093 email: kirkclyatt@aol.com Remember, if you take an idea that is already in your market its 'stealing', but if you take an idea from a different city its 'show development'. Thanks for taking the time to read this. I hope to hear from you soon! s/Kirk Clyatt ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 10:57:52 -0800 From: Josiah A Mault Subject: The WeatherPage is Finally Updated!! Hello to everyone on Wx-Talk!! If you din't mind I would like to let you know that I finally updated my web page!! There is still more updateing going but it has changed a lot since I last post my url on here. Here's the URL, http://pages.prodigy.net/jmmault/weather.htm Josiah ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 19:01:15 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: New England Ice Storm Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net WX-TALK New England Ice Storm Questions.... The pictures coming out of the New England States and portions of Canada are extraordinary. The accumulation of ice, while beautiful, has caused millions of dollars in damage and left millions without power. The National News Media has reported this as an "El Nino Ice Storm" "The Ice Storm of the Century" and "The Worst Ice Storm in New England's History". I would like to know what others think about these descriptions. 1, Did El Nino play a part in the severity of the ice storm? 2. Is this the worst Ice Storm of this century? (I would think that the ice storm that hit the Southern United States several years ago would rank at the top of the list t...accumulations of over 8" of ice were reported in portions of Mississippi during that storm). 3. Is this one of New England's worst ice storms? I would appreciate any discussion on this ice storm. Thank You derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 22:54:17 -0600 From: damonhynes Subject: near-surface friction and wind-speed? Okay, first I want to say that I understand that the Fujita scale does not relate to windspeed. Now, I have noticed that hurricanes will lose their intensity when a large amount of their mass interacts with land. Apparently the smooth airflow needed is disrupted once the circulation leaves the ocean surface. How does this apply to tornadoes? My impression is that a tail-end charlie out in the gulf would be subject to less friction, disruption -- more 'laminar' flow, I suppose. Could this hypothetical tornado have notably higher windspeed than the same storm on land? Thanx, damon ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jan 1998 to 10 Jan 1998 ************************************************* From - Tue Jan 13 14:31:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4788 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-27035>; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 14:31:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12678; Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:25:28 -0600 Message-Id: <199801120625.AAA12678@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jan 1998 to 11 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 700c5acab15895c5b7bbbf63eb264649 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 464 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Global Warming? 2. World Wide Annual Rainfall 3. WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jan 1998 to 9 Jan 1998 (2) 4. Unusual Bird Migration (2) 5. [Fwd: Returned mail: Host unknown (Name server: vmd.cso.uiuc.edu: host not found)] 6. near-surface friction and wind-speed? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 22:00:14 -0800 From: JCurtis Subject: Global Warming? As webmaster for the Alaska Climate Research Center, I have been keeping track of the temperature records tied or broken in Alaska in 1997: http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/WXCLIMO1/records/record97.city_AK.html) On Friday's world news, it was reported that the average global temperature in 1997 was the highest yet recorded and was 0.1 degrees above 1996's record average. If global warming is occurring, models suggest that the Arctic and sub-Arctic would be the regions on earth showing this trend most clearly. Well, in 1997, there were at least 140 new or tied daily high temps and only 40 or so record lows thoughout the state. Clearly, the cold seasons showed the majority of low records while the warmer seasons showed more record highs. Juneau had the 2nd warmest year on record while recording it's 3rd greatest precipitation and during the year, 11 daily high temperature records were set or tied with no record lows exceeded or matched: http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/AKCityClimo/1997/Dec_1997 This El Nino year may have influenced weather in the Gulf of Alaska. As for the rest of Alaska, it looks like a temperature recovery from the past couple of years. Regards, Jan Curtis Any thoughts or comments? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 Jan 1998 23:01:38 -1100 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: World Wide Annual Rainfall My favorite International Climate sites are: http://www.weatherpost.com/historical/historical.htm http://206.222.30.178/ (the WORLD CLIMATE regular server is broken) Regards, jan Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 email: jnull@home.com Coming Soon: www.ggweather.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 04:15:06 -0500 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jan 1998 to 9 Jan 1998 Paul/Greg bring up some very good points. I feel compelled to say this (in part out of frustration) on behalf of fellow NWS forecasters. IMO the media seems to be overly obsessed with the question of "Was it or wasn't it a tornado", even for very localized damage events (e.g. one mobile home) here in Florida. What we might be dealing with IMO is some folks in the media feeding off of conventional public "wisdom" such as "It must have been a tornado because: a. the wind came up so suddenly b. the sky turned dark/black/green/funny-looking c. "stuff" was hanging down from the clouds c. wind damage=tornado (don't laugh, there are some folks out there...) d. it sounded like a freight train e. it did too much damage for it to be "just" the wind f. I'm sure other mets have some good ones This may not be true everywhere, but after doing 100+ interviews with the Orlando media our local NP, I can safely say that it's that way here in Florida. I distinctly recall a case where a TV reporter interviewed a German tourist with very little command of English, who was riding in a tour bus whose windows were blown out. The reporter essentially pulled the word Tornado out her mouth: reporter: "What was it like?" tourist: "The weend...eet waaas...uh...uh..." reporter: "Strong? Fast?" tourist: "Yaah" reporter: "Tornado?" tourist: "Yaah" To sate this reporter's need for the "T" word, credibility was cast aside here. To see the interview was both hilarious and maddening. In addition, when our office receives warning feedback from county EM's, the first thing we hear over our local ESATCOM (2nd gen NAWAS) 80-90% of the time (no exaggerattion) is "We have a report of a possible tornado touchdown". Not "wind damage", but "possible tornado touchdown". While I'm sure they're just relaying the report as it came to them, I think the "wind damage=tornado" syndrome may be more pervasive than those of us in the know would like to think. Insofar as what a forecaster should do when the local newspaper calls shortly after a wind damage event to ask whether it was a tornado or not: Our office policy, in absence of credible eyewitness accounts/ video, is to tell the inquiring party that "We won't know until we talk to the witnesses, do a survey, etc." What sometimes follows is whether the radar showed any indication of a tornado. I usually answer along the lines of "Our radar did not indicate a tornado, however Florida is notorious for brief little spin-ups, so it's certainly possible. But it more likely was a wet microburst..." And then go into what a wet micoburst is, etc. There are those obvious tornadic events which the description of the damage leaves little doubt as to whether the storm was tornadic, however the latter seems to be much more infrequent. I know from experience that it might pain a forecaster to say during an that "it could have been a tornado" when you jusitifiably issued a SVR for the event, for fear of the dreaded "Well, why didn't you issue a Tornado Warning?" being shot back at you. Hence perhaps a SVR with the call-to-action "Severe thunderstorms can and do produce tornadoes with little or no advance warning" should become more widely used. In case Paul described, it sounds like a fairly significant event that probably would have warranted a damage survey, and if not that, at least follow-up phone surveys/interviews were probably in order. To make an assessment for an event of that magnitude based solely on radar was probably premature. Sorry to be so long-winded here, but i just wanted to give a view from my side of the window. Tony Cristaldi NWS Melbourne FL -- "But we do know that "El Nino" is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry Paul E. Petit wrote: > > > I hope these are not attempts to avoid a missed warning to enhance > stats. As Greg says in the first LSR it is a "tornado", therefore a > missed stat in the tornado stats should be forthcoming if there was no > tornado warning issued. > > In the second one it is strictly up to the person who surveyed the > damage, if this was done at all. It appears to me that a Gustnado > which does significant damage is a "small tornado type vortex". Does > the NWS classify this as a tornado or wind damage? I believe it should > be a small tornado as we have been getting these things since weather > probably began on this earth, but have only "discovered the phenomena > in the recent years". > > There was severe weather here in Alabama day before yesterday and > there was significant damage which people in Chilton County think was > a tornado. One man was lifted out of his house on a couch, carried 200 > yards and deposited against a tree. The house was completely > destroyed along with damage to several others. The man's pick up truck > was deposited where his living room use to be. Part of the roof of > this man's house was found across Lake Jordan, 8 miles away. > > Local NWS officials state in the local newspaper that they believed it > was straight line winds or possibly a "gustnado" because there was no > evident sign of a rotation on their Doppler. > > I want to make one comment here and for length sake shut up. Very > small rotations may "not be seen on Doppler radars" thus very small > tornadoes or gustnadoes may not be detected. Greg has pointed this out > as have others. So to say it was not a tornado because you saw no > rotation, may be misleading. Remember that NEXRAD is in volume > scanning and there is a 5 minute delay between the first base level > and back. At very low levels small vortex phenomena may occur and > disappear and if you include the vortex diameter/beam width rule it > certainly may not be seen at all. > > Paul Pettit > Weather Consulting > http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jan 1998 to 9 Jan 1998 > ************************************************ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 06:40:13 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Unusual Bird Migration Over the last two weeks I've noticed several large flocks of ducks and geese flying north. Seems a bit early, doesn't it? Either they are flying between lakes here in North Texas or they are actually starting to migrate north at an extremely early date. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:02:30 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jan 1998 to 9 Jan 1998 On Sun, 11 Jan 1998, Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods wrote: > IMO the media seems to be overly obsessed with the question of "Was it > or wasn't it a tornado", even for very localized damage events (e.g. one > mobile home) here in Florida. > > What we might be dealing with IMO is some folks in the media feeding off > of conventional public "wisdom" such as "It must have been a tornado > because: > > a. the wind came up so suddenly > b. the sky turned dark/black/green/funny-looking > c. "stuff" was hanging down from the clouds > c. wind damage=tornado (don't laugh, there are some folks out there...) > d. it sounded like a freight train > e. it did too much damage for it to be "just" the wind > f. I'm sure other mets have some good ones > > This may not be true everywhere, but after doing 100+ interviews with I can tell you that that's what I encountered when we had a wind event her in our mobile home park in July of last year. See http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/weather/wxphotos/more2.html for a description of the event and what I encountered when I asked a few of my neighbors what happened. Its not just the Press, its everyone in general. Just as Venus is always a UFO to John Q. I'Ghno-Nutn, high winds are always a tornado. Incidently, I reported this event and the damage to both the NWS and the local TV station, and it went ignored by both. Not to shoot your theory of Press-exaggeration down, but, it shows its not always true, and at times the Press can be guilty of ignorance, too. There are some factors I've wondered about. At the time, I was not a trained spotter when I reported it. Should that have made it completely ignored? At the time, I also did not have the 800 number to the local NWS Office and so used the online severe weather event reporting form. I'm not sure if I used the SPC online form, but I never saw an LSR about it. Perhaps it was BECAUSE I was so adamant to report it as a "high wind event - possibly a microburst" rather than a "tornado" that it was ignored by the local Press, too. Confirmed, obvious damage from a high wind event...and it went ignored. I'm still mystified and agogged by that. But, where the TV station is concerned, I used both their advertised methods of reporting: leaving a message by phone and by e-mail. Told them I had video of the damage. Don't understand that, either. The very next month I spotted a funnel cloud say a mile northwest of me from the position of my own back yard. Reported it to both the NWS and our local TV station, adding that I again had video - this time of the funnel itself, and nothing again. If this proves anything it proves that the Press has concerns not for accuracy and detail, not for daily events - but for only the most DRASTIC of the things that happened during any day. I would have thought that local TV station would have been interested in these things. But I guess not. At any rate, it raised the question of credibility in my head. Perhaps around here they don't take your reports unless you're ASO, GPD, ACFR, GFR, EMS or the like. Before these events, however - the last time any one of those departments had any actual spotter training was two years ago. This got me asking questions about SKYWARN, and putting together a group of people dedicated to actually spotting for these things. We had an ARES group that came up in severe weather and reported the light drizzles and the lightning, but there was no experience or logic behind the reports. So, now we have a SKYWARN group here, at least. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 09:57:35 -0600 From: Weatherman Subject: Re: Unusual Bird Migration I agree with your lake to lake theory. I've seen this up here in North Dakota and wondered why they would go north until I got a map out and saw they were flying to another lake. Oh by the way, the ducks wouldn't make it too far north.....It's brutal up here. The ducks would do an immediate U-Turn as soon as they saw our weather. Another possible cause: El Nino; It has their instincts messed up. It messed up "The Press" so why not ducks although sometimes I think ducks have more common sense than the press. Tim Barricklow wrote: >Over the last two weeks I've noticed several large flocks of ducks and geese flying north. Seems a bit early, doesn't it? >Either they are flying between lakes here in North Texas or they are >actually starting to migrate north at an extremely early date. > >Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:56:52 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: [Fwd: Returned mail: Host unknown (Name server: vmd.cso.uiuc.edu: host not found)] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------D757A87957F1E3F9069A3694 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit This is to Chris Novy.... Chris.... I am having a terrible time trying to change my WX-Talk and WX-Chase to NOMAIL. I keep getting numerous errors from listserv. PLEASE SET WX-TALK and WX-CHASE to NOMAIL. Thanks. -- *********************************************************************** Daniel McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Norman, OK My Account....My thoughts "Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man." .....respected theology instructor *********************************************************************** --------------D757A87957F1E3F9069A3694 Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from localhost (localhost) by telepath.com (8.8.5/8.7.3) with internal id NAA29729; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:54:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:54:18 -0600 (CST) From: Mail Delivery Subsystem Subject: Returned mail: Host unknown (Name server: vmd.cso.uiuc.edu: host not found) Message-Id: <199801111954.NAA29729@telepath.com> To: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/report; report-type=delivery-status; boundary="NAA29729.884548458/telepath.com" Auto-Submitted: auto-generated (failure) This is a MIME-encapsulated message --NAA29729.884548458/telepath.com The original message was received at Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:54:16 -0600 (CST) from zoom195-160.telepath.com [205.228.195.160] ----- The following addresses had permanent fatal errors ----- ----- Transcript of session follows ----- 550 ... Host unknown (Name server: vmd.cso.uiuc.edu: host not found) --NAA29729.884548458/telepath.com Content-Type: message/delivery-status Reporting-MTA: dns; telepath.com Received-From-MTA: DNS; zoom195-160.telepath.com Arrival-Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:54:16 -0600 (CST) Final-Recipient: RFC822; listserv@vmd.cso.uiuc.edu Action: failed Status: 5.1.2 Remote-MTA: DNS; vmd.cso.uiuc.edu Last-Attempt-Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:54:17 -0600 (CST) --NAA29729.884548458/telepath.com Content-Type: message/rfc822 Return-Path: danwayne@telepath.com Received: from danwayne (zoom195-160.telepath.com [205.228.195.160]) by telepath.com (8.8.5/8.7.3) with ESMTP id NAA29724 for ; Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:54:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <34B92329.31368286@telepath.com> Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 13:53:14 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Reply-To: danwayne@telepath.com X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.01 [en] (Win95; I) MIME-Version: 1.0 To: listserv Subject: SET WX-TALK X-Priority: 3 (Normal) Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit SET WX-TALK NOMAIL -- *********************************************************************** Daniel McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Norman, OK My Account....My thoughts "Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man." .....respected theology instructor *********************************************************************** --NAA29729.884548458/telepath.com-- --------------D757A87957F1E3F9069A3694-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 19:04:37 -0500 From: "Thomas P. Madigan" Subject: Re: near-surface friction and wind-speed? On Saturday, January 10, damonhynes wrote: > Okay, first I want to say that I understand that the Fujita scale does not > relate to windspeed. > Now, I have noticed that hurricanes will lose their intensity when a large > amount of their mass interacts with land. Apparently the smooth airflow > needed is disrupted once the circulation leaves the ocean surface. Damon: While it's true that friction from the land plays a small part in weakening a hurricane, the primary reason for a landfalling hurricane's eventual downfall is its removal from the warm ocean waters -- a hurricane's source of fuel. Then again, all you need is a strange storm like Danny this past season which made landfall in coastal Mississippi (or was it Alabama?) and weakened to a tropical depression while it crossed Georgia and South Carolina. While STILL OVER LAND in North Carolina, Danny strengthened again to a tropical storm and exited over southeast Virginia after producing a tornado very close to downtown Norfolk, VA. Tom "what a lousy hurricane season!" Madigan Newport News, Virginia Actually, all we need is for Dr. Sirvatka to make up a few dozen clones of Jim Leonard for the 1998 hurricane season. It's bound to be more active than '97. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jan 1998 to 11 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Jan 14 07:03:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2146 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627198-18595>; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 14:40:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA05838; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:31:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199801130631.AAA05838@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 00:12:26 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jan 1998 to 12 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a016332992a226c53ab6b53166802d83 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 570 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Unusual Bird Migration (2) 2. NetNews: New Lightning Strike Graphics on Net 3. TN Flood Damage 4. Tornado vs. Wind Damage 5. Weather Channel Video 6. Water Vapor Pressure and Relative Humidity 7. Discovered why I'm so fascinated with lightning! 8. TV Met Job Available (Wichita Falls, TX) 9. Iowa NWA Poster Session? 10. Tropical Cyclone Summaries 11. Worst Natural Disaster Strikes Canada +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 05:25:59 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Unusual Bird Migration On Sun, 11 Jan 1998 06:40:13 -0600, Sam Barricklow wrote: >Over the last two weeks I've noticed several large flocks of ducks and >geese flying north. Seems a bit early, doesn't it? > >Either they are flying between lakes here in North Texas or they are >actually starting to migrate north at an extremely early date. A few days ago, CNN showed some of the cherry trees in bloom around the Tidal Basin and the Jefferson Memorial. And I hear of ducks flying north in January. Geez. Today I get hailed on. Rotating supercells early last week just southwest of here. Newt Gingrich making some sense. Denver in the Big Dance. Yeah, it has to be global warming... Maybe I should ask for my chase vacation time in March? >Sam Barricklow bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 23:08:41 -0600 From: Dick Williams Subject: Re: NetNews: New Lightning Strike Graphics on Net Thanks for the info on U.S. lightning strike graphics. Anyone know of a web site for European lightning data? Or any areas outside the U.S? Dick Williams rjw@sky.net AWC - The Aviation Weather Center Kansas City MO ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 10:15:35 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Unusual Bird Migration Sam Barricklow wrote... >Over the last two weeks I've noticed several large flocks of ducks and >geese flying north. Seems a bit early, doesn't it? Sam: Don't worry. All those birds are being shot and eaten by hunters here in southern Illinois as part of an experimental El Nino-reversal weather modification program! ;-) ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:15:41 EST From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: TN Flood Damage Wx-talkers: The following account of east Tennessee flooding was forwarded to me. The gentlemen involved were counting eagles by aircraft when they came upon the devastation.... -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ______________________________ Forward Header __________________________________ > Date: Sun, 11 Jan 1998 20:47:23 -0400 > From: Wallace Coffey > Subject: Bald Eagles and the Salvation Army (TN) > > Dave Worley and Wallace Coffey flew 130 miles > through the mountains of Northeast Tennessee Sunday > (1/11) taking part in the national Mid-Winter Eagle > Count. > > We located three Bald Eagles, one each at > South Holston Lake, Sullivan Co., TN, Boone Lake, > Washington Co., TN, and Watauga Lake, Johnson Co., TN. > > Dr. Jim Lapis flew us over the course in his > Cessna Skylane II. The flight took 1 hr. 51 min. > > The counts are coordinated nationally by the > the Biological Resources Division of the U.S. Geological > Survey and statewide by the Tennessee Wildlife Resources > Agency. > > The excitement and fun of counting eagles ended > on a somewhat sad note when we flew around the corner > of Pond Mountain and headed towards the village of Roan > Mountain, scene of last week's devastating flood. > > A wall of water said to be six feet high ripped > through the mountain valley along U.S. 19E after dark > Wednesday. The Doe River swept away homes, bridges and > human lives -- seven killed and 14 missing. > > Below us we surveyed the damage that Governor > Don Sundquist came to see. The Salvation Army worked > below to feed and cloth the homeless. The American > Red Cross and National Guardsmen from hundreds of miles > away joined with the Tennessee Department of Transportation > to try and clear roads and help victims. > > Bodies were found crushed in their automobiles > where people tried to escape the flash flooding and were > trapped. > > From 200 feet above we could see homes across the > roads and furniture and wrecked vehicles strewn along miles > of the Doe River flood plain. > > Dave Worley made videos. It was tragic. As we > headed home through the clouds and crossed Holston Mountain > we were thankful that we have been spared such grief and. > suffering, We almost forgot about the beautiful Bald Eagles > keeping watch from perches at these majestic mountain lakes. > > ........etc.......... > > Wallace Coffey > Bristol, TN ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 11:49:52 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Tornado vs. Wind Damage Tony Cristaldi wrote... >IMO the media seems to be overly obsessed with the question of "Was it >or wasn't it a tornado", even for very localized damage events (e.g. one >mobile home) here in Florida. >I know from experience that it might pain a forecaster to say during an >that "it could have been a tornado" when you jusitifiably issued a SVR >for the event, for fear of the dreaded "Well, why didn't you issue a >Tornado Warning?" being shot back at you. Does it make any difference whether a damage event is tornadic or straight-line winds? It all depends upon whose perspective you see things from. THE HOME OWNER -------------- Straight-line or tornadic winds, the bottom line is this, if his house is blown away he has no place to live. If is car is crushed under a huge tree he has no transportation. If his relatives are dead, they're dead! However, labeling the event as "only a microburst" may upset the homeowner. For in his eyes, based on the destruction, the event "had to be a tornado". NWS FORECASTER -------------- Widespread deployment and reliance on Doppler radar has increased the need for ground-truth observation and postmortem investigation. Meteorologists need to compare what's seen on radar with what is actually happening (or has happened). Was the warning a hit or a miss? Did radar clearly indicate the severity of the storm in question and if not why? Can anything be learned from this particular event? Can the warning process be refined/improved? THE MEDIA --------- If significant damage occurs, tornado or otherwise, the event is newsworthy. It is natural for reporters (especially inexperienced ones or those not familiar with convective weather) to ask the question "why was there no tornado warning?" NWS hyped Doppler radar, perhaps too much, in the early 1980's and some reporters have the opinion that if damage occurs without a "proper" warning then someone at NWS must have been "asleep at the swicth". Afterall, isn't Doppler radar is supposed to detect *all* tornadoes?? Reporters who like to sensationalize their stories may use the weather event as an opportunity to boost the station's ratings (or the reporter's ego) while at the same time casting doubt about the competence of local and federal government officials. Local NWS offices need to take a proactive approach to educating the media about severe weather. Representatives of each TV and radio station (as well as the print media) should be invited to attend a special presentation at the local NWS office. This presentation should be a conducted in a workshop environment --not as a press conference. The media should be there to learn about severe weather and the difficulties in forecasting it. NWS should be there to learn what the media wants and needs. If TV stations send a camera crew --looking for a story-- then they've missed the whole point of the meeting. LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ------------------------ Most communities activate their storm sirens for tornadic events and not for high wind events. My city's disaster plan has provisions for activating the sirens when winds in excess of 80 MPH are expected to hit the city. If we hear (via radio) that a neighboring town is getting blown away and the storm is heading our way we'll can activate the sirens --tornado or no tornado. Emergency managers that operate under the policy that there must be a tornado present before the sirens acan be activated may take some heat from the public and the media if a significant damage event occurs and sirens are not activated. Emergency managers, especially those whom utilize spotters, want to know whether the event was tornadic or non-tornadic. If the spotters didn't see a tornado the emergency manager should be asking "why didn't we see it?" Was it a spotter training problem? Was it placement? Was the tornado rain-wrapped? Though not a convective situation per se, the east coast Halloween storm (I believe it was 1991) caused hurricane-like damage yet hurricane warnings were not issued because the storm was technically not a hurricane --in the strictest meteorological sense. This caused residents, emergency managers, and the media a lot of confusion. The question is, should NWS have issued hurricane warnings anyway? They might have had a bigger impact on the public than wind advisories and gale warnings. Then again, what unforeseen negative impact would it have had? Other comments welcome. ..Chris.. WX-TALK *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 12:53:59 -0500 From: Patrick Walshe Subject: Weather Channel Video To all interested parties, The video of the Long Beach funnel which aired on The Weather Channel on Saturday Jan 10, 1998 was exactly that. We received from it KABC in Los Angeles. One look at the raw footage in house of the funnel while it moved into the HILLS quickly confirmed that it was not the Miami video. If you have any questions regarding the video, please feel free to e-mail me privately. Patrick Walshe Assigment Manager Senior Meteorologist The Weather Channel pwalshe@weather.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 13:26:48 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Water Vapor Pressure and Relative Humidity Last year, there was some talk about water vapor and _water capacity_. _Water capacity_ is a popular myth that is still propagated although it has been almost 200 years since John Dalton debunked the idea. This myth has even found its way into some textbooks. I have discovered many educated professionals who have fallen for this myth. Because this belief affects their understanding of natural processes, it may have impact on their work. I would encourage you to visit a little web page that tries to explain water vapor, saturation, and relative humidity. It is located at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/vapor.html My explanation may not be easy and I will work to try to improve it. I would also encourage people to look at Professor Craig Bohren's book 'Clouds in a Glass of Beer' or Professor Alistair Fraser's Bad Meteorology web page at http://www.ems.psu.edu/~fraser/BadMeteorology.html I hope that this is helpful. Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | In order to discover new oceans, one must have the courage to lose | | sight of the shore. | \ --author unknown / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 13:36:37 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Discovered why I'm so fascinated with lightning! Here's a fun aside for you all to read. Two entries from my late grandfather's old 1906 diary which I think begins to explain my fascination with lightning. :) Enjoy! Todd ---------------------------------------------------------- Thursday, June 21st. -------------------- At last the Regents Exams are about over. There have been so many things going on I haven't been able to get at this. Last night I was over at the Graduating Exercises selling the Beacon. All the afternoon I was a- cross the river in a canoe I hired from Buhler's. Ed and the two Jones kids, Kim and Tom, are building a log cabin over back of the spring a good way up the hill and deep in the woods. After visiting them, I went up the creek. I didn't get home till seven and then had to dress in a hurry to get over to the Graduation at eight. Today we had Cicero and Latin Prose and Grammar (elementary) - all much harder than anything we've had yet, Caesar yesterday being easy. After the exams Edgar Baumgartner, Glubby, and I amused ourselves with a battery <-- in the Laboratory. Tomorrow English and advanced Latin Prose. Friday, June 22nd. ------------------ The exams came out all right, I think, although I didn't quite finish my English. After it was all over had a shocking good time in the Laboratory with Glubby <-- Ross and Barnard Bush. Barnard was in the middle while we held hands and were taking three batteries with only two and a fraction ohms resistance and our hands were all trembling. Barnard told Gillespie to shut it off and, after waiting a suitable time, Glubby started to do so, but his hands were shaking so that he knocked the switch over to one ohm. Barnard began yelling at the top of his lungs - `Cut it off! Cut it off!' but neither of us could for several seconds till Glubby, who was nearest, managed to give the switch a knock and break the connect- ion. At least it distracted us from those exams. ---------------------------------------------------------- (Sigh. More I read about my grandfather more I start to wonder about him. :) -Todd) /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 18:08:48 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Wichita Falls, TX) Editor's note: Sounds like a cool job, wonder if it pays much? It's in a 144 market. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = KAUZ (CBS) Wichita Falls, TX Weekend Weather Anchor / Producer Aggressive and progressive north Texas CBS affiliate is looking for a weekend weather anchor / weather producer. The candidate must be a self starter to join our growing storm team. We are introducing the Baron system to the market in March of 98 and building a dominant weather authority from the ground up. We want someone with a meteorology degree, who craves severe weather. The successful candidate will have been on the air for at least one year. This is not a job for beginners. Strong computer background and forcasting proficiency is a must. You must posses the ability to thrive under pressure and rise to every challenge. In addition to weekend weather anchoting, you will produce weather segments, back up other meteorologists, chase, do radio, and live shots for both weather and news. Rush your best aircheck to: James Warner News Director CBS 6 1 BROADCAST AVE. WICHITA FALLS, TX 76309 NO PHONE CALLS / KAUZ-TV IS AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 16:50:54 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Iowa NWA Poster Session? IOWA CONFERENCE UPDATE 1-12-98 As you have already seen, the schedule for the upcoming 3-5 April Iowa NWA Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference is packed. However, several have inquired about working in additional presentations. If there is sufficient interest, we will add a poster session. For those who aren't familiar with weather conference "poster sessions," you get an easel and a 3'-4' foam board. You place photo's, radar images, graphs, etc. and some textual descriptions of your topic on the foam board. Then you stand by your poster for an hour or so and answer questions and give an outline of your topic. Food and drink are often available during these sessions. If you have information to present, but are uncomfortable with speaking to a large group or just didn't have time to assemble a full-blown presentation, then you might consider a poster session. Additional information on the conference and registration materials are on our website at www.ecity.net/~iowanwa/ Regards, John McLaughlin johnmc49@ecity.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 20:21:09 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Tropical Cyclone Summaries Hi to all wx-talkers, This is to let everyone know that the "Beven reports" of yesteryear are about to be resuscitated after a fashion. As all of you wx-talkers who were subscribed prior to mid-1996 remember, Jack Beven used to write a weekly summary of tropical cyclone activity all around the globe. Jack had begun these summaries in July, 1991, while still a student at FSU, and he continued them after beginning his career at NHC (now TPC). But by mid-1996 Jack had become so "snowed-under" with duties at work, working on TPC's webpage, writing articles for _Mariners' Weather Log_ and other publications, plus moving into a new home--that the summaries gradually fell so far behind he abandoned trying to catch up. A few months back, Chris Landsea asked me if I thought I might like to take over writing the summaries. So I'm giving it a try. There's going to be one major difference from the older summaries---the new ones will be monthly summaries, hopefully posted by the 10th of each month. (This is for the January, 1998, summary and beyond. I originally intended to start with January, but decided to begin with October in order to cover the parade of Western Pacific supertyphoons, the destructive Hurricane Pauline in Mexico, and the very early start to what is turning out to be a very active season in the South Pacific. The October summary will be sent out shortly, and the November summary should follow within a couple of days. Hopefully the December summary will be ready by around 20 Jan, and then I should be able to get on track and have the January summary ready on or before 10 Feb.) I plan to write a short narrative of each storm, including significant wind and rainfall reports as I receive them, plus any damage and casualty figures. At Chris' request, I'll be including a tabular track listing for each cyclone, giving center coordinates and estimated maximum sustained winds and central pressure where available. For purposes of these summaries, the tropical cyclone basins will be broken down as follows: Northern Hemisphere ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ATLANTIC - North Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea NORTHEAST PACIFIC - Pacific North of Equator and East of Longitude 180 NORTHWEST PACIFIC - Pacific North of Equator and West of Longitude 180 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Southern Hemisphere ------------------------------------------------------------------------- SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E AUSTRALIAN REGION - Longitude 90E eastward to 160E SOUTHWEST PACIFIC - South Pacific East of Longitude 160E (This scheme is the same one Jack used except that he considered the Eastern and Central North Pacific areas as two basins, and reported on the Southern Hemisphere as two basins: east and west of Longitude 135E, respectively. The Northeast Pacific east of the dateline is usually considered one TC basin, and the EASTPAC Best Track database includes the Central Pacific. But the tropical cyclogenetical areas of the Southern Hemisphere in essence form a long continuous strip from the east African mainland eastward to the area of French Polynesia, so we decided to just go with the boundaries between the areas of warning responsibility of the different countries involved.) Chris will be making Jack's older summaries available on AOML/HRD's website. As time permits, I hope to backtrack to June, 1996 (when Jack's last weekly summary was written) in order to sort of fill in the gap. At a minimum the operational tracks can be provided. Since the official storm reports for Atlantic and Eastern Pacific TCs are already available for 1996 and 1997 tropical cyclones, there will be no need in covering these basins. Hopefully, the official summaries from some of the other warning centers can be archived at HRD also. When I have all the details of how the tracks and summaries can be retrieved from HRD's website, I'll pass the information along. One final word---in order to create the summaries and track listings in a format that everyone should be able to view on their computers without having to have any web browser or the latest version of some particular software package, I chose for the time being to create them as simple, straightforward text files using DOS editor. When first viewed by e-mail software, things may look funny and out of line, but if downloaded to disk and viewed with DOS editor or Notepad, things should be OK. Best regards, Gary Padgett E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com Phone: 334-222-5327 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Jan 1998 21:11:30 -0500 From: Paul Robertson Subject: Worst Natural Disaster Strikes Canada The ice storm of last week has resulted in the worst natural disaster for Canadians. Currently over 920,000 homes or approximately 3 million people are without electricity, some without water etc. The Canadian Forces and Reserve troops have deployed 11,400 troops to assist those in Eastern Ontario (Ottawa area) as well as the Province of Quebec.(City of Montreal is worst hit city) It may be upwards of 6 weeks before some areas have their electrical power restored. Currently temperatures are in the minus 10 C area and predicted to get colder this week. The cost of this ice storm has been predicted to be in the area of $600 million. Paul Robertson (VE3HFQ) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jan 1998 to 12 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:26:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-7163>; Wed, 14 Jan 1998 11:41:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17832; Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:31:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199801140331.VAA17832@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 21:25:50 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jan 1998 to 13 Jan 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0524e60994088919d5e90e90264e0a10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 814 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. October Tropical Cyclone Summary 2. el nino 3. WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jan 1998 to 12 Jan 1998 4. Weather Channel cleans up a bit 5. Weather Channel changes 6. Tornado vs. Wind Damage 7. NetNews: New Lightning Strike Graphics on Net 8. Reports on possible new world wind record +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 04:49:51 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: October Tropical Cyclone Summary MONTHLY GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY OCTOBER, 1997 This is the first of what I hope will be many such monthly summaries chronicling tropical cyclone activity around the globe. These should be considered as a very preliminary, "quick look" overview of the tropical cyclones that occur in each month. The cyclone tracks (that will be provided separately) will generally be based upon operational warnings issued by the various tropical cyclone warning centers. The information contained therein may differ somewhat from the tracking and intensity information obtained from a "best track" file which is based on a detailed post-seasonal analysis of all available data. Information on where to find official "best track" files from the various warning centers will be passed along from time to time. A very, very special thanks is due to Dr. Chris Landsea of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division for asking me to write these summaries; for all his excellent and very helpful suggestions; and for offering to archive the summaries on AOML/HRD's computer system. A very special thanks is due also to Dr. Jack Beven of TPC/TAFB for all the information and suggestions he passed along to me and for providing me with some details of two interesting subtropical, hybrid-type storm systems in the far eastern Atlantic during October. Two other persons who have been most helpful in providing me with information on South Pacific cyclones are Mark Kersemakers at the Fiji Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre and Steve Ready of the Meteorological Service of New Zealand. A special thanks to these gentlemen also. Chris and I made the decision not to send the track files via e-mail. They can be retrieved in the following manner: (a) FTP to: hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov [140.90.176.206] (b) Login as: anonymous (c) For a password use your e-mail address (d) The files will be named with an obvious nomenclature--using October as an example: oct97.tracks Both the summaries and the track files are standard text files created in DOS editor. Download to disk and use a viewer such as Notepad or DOS editor to view the files. Prepared by: Gary Padgett E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com Phone: 334-222-5327 *********************************************************************** OCTOBER HIGHLIGHTS --> Three intense supertyphoons roam Western Pacific waters --> Mexico experiences deadliest hurricane in more than 20 years --> South Pacific season gets off to an active, early start *********************************************************************** ACTIVITY BY BASINS ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Activity for October: 2 tropical storms 2 possible subtropical storms Tropical Storm Fabian (TC #7) 7-8 October ------------------------------------------- Tropical Storm Fabian was a short-lived, insignificant storm which developed in a hostile environment of upper southwesterly shear. The storm developed from a tropical wave which left the African coast on 22 Sep. The wave traveled westward with little change, reaching the Lesser Antilles on 29 Sep. A weak broad area of low pressure turned northward, passing over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. At this point the LOW turned northeastward, moving with the upper-level flow, thereby reducing the relative shear. Depression advisories on Tropical Depression Seven were initiated at 1500 UTC on 7 Oct when centered about 500 nm east-southeast of Bermuda, but the system had been recognized as a tropical depression or borderline tropical storm for a couple of days. Fabian was operationally classified as a tropical storm at 1500 UTC on 8 Oct, with the center about 750 nm east-southeast of Bermuda. This was based on a 40-kt wind report from ship ZCBB7 at 1200 UTC. Shortly thereafter Fabian was declared extratropical. In a post-storm analysis of all available data, it was determined that at the time of the ship report the system was already becoming extratropical, and that the 40-kt wind was likely associated with a developing cold front. The "best track" for Fabian classifies the system as a tropical depression at 1800 UTC on 4 Oct, and as a minimal tropical storm at 1800 UTC on 5 Oct. The preliminary storm report on Tropical Storm Fabian, which includes the analyzed "best track", can be found on the Tropical Prediction Center's website at . Some of the information presented above was obtained from this report. Tropical Storm Grace (TC #8) 16-17 October -------------------------------------------- Tropical Storm Grace developed from an extratropical gale that had initially formed along a frontal zone that extended from the Caribbean northeastward into the central Atlantic. Winds had reached gale force around the LOW by 0000 UTC on 15 Oct, and about a day later enough deep convection had formed near the center for the system to be classified as a tropical cyclone. Grace was operationally classified as a tropical storm at 1500 UTC on 16 Oct, with the center about 550 nm east-northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Grace moved rather rapidly east-northeastward and lost most of its tropical characteristics by 1500 UTC on 17 Oct. The last advisory, issued at this time, declared Grace to be an extratropical LOW about 1200 nm east-northeast of Puerto Rico. Grace retained some non-tropical features throughout its lifetime -- the circulation never became completely separated from the frontal trough in which Grace developed, and a band of convection seemed to connect the storm with another extratropical cyclone to its northeast. Grace's maximum intensity of 40 kts occurred about the time the first tropical storm advisory was issued. The preliminary storm report on Tropical Storm Grace, which includes the analyzed "best track", can be found on the Tropical Prediction Center's website at . Some of the information presented above was obtained from this report. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- There were two weather systems in the far eastern Atlantic during October that were possibly classifiable as subtropical storms, based on satellite imagery. A special thanks to Jack Beven for sending me some infomation on these storms for inclusion in this summary. Possible Subtropical Storm #1 2-7 October ------------------------------------------- The first of the eastern Atlantic subtropical systems was seen near 36N, 12W on 2 Oct. It drifted southwestward with 25-30 kt winds to near 33N, 15W on 4 Oct, at which time it turned east- southeastward. The system turned east-northeastward and intensified on 5 Oct. The east-northeastward motion continued into 6 Oct when the storm reached its maximum intensity of 55-65 kts. An eye was briefly visible at this time. The cyclone turned eastward and rapidly weakened later on 6 Oct. The system passed near Gibraltar on 7 Oct and dissipated over the extreme western Mediterranean Sea later that day. The exact nature of this system remains uncertain due to lack of data near the center at maximum intensity. (There were several ship reports of 30-40 kt winds in the large LOW the cyclone was embedded in, but none from the core.) Despite the appearance of an eye, the upper-level environment was not one normally associated with a hurricane. This system will be reviewed for possible inclusion in the best track database at a later time. Possible Subtropical Storm #2 25-27 October --------------------------------------------- The second subtropical system first organized itself while passing over the Azores on 25 Oct. The origin of this system appears to have been an extratropical LOW that formed along the southeastern U.S. coast on 19 Oct. That LOW moved northeastward to near 43N, 42W on 22 Oct, then drifted eastward on 23 Oct. The LOW moved southeastward toward the Azores on 24 Oct, and persistent central convection appeared on 25 Oct. The cyclone moved east-northeastward throughout its life and made landfall on the Iberian Peninsula near the Spain-Portugal border on 27 Oct. It weakened to a low pressure area over land later that day. Maximum winds from satellite estimates were 35-40 kts. There were several ship reports of 30-40 kt winds, and at least one land station reported 30-kt winds. However, observations from the core are again lacking. Given its origin and the lack of data near the center, the exact nature of this system also remains uncertain. It will also be reviewed for inclusion in the best track database at a future time. *********************************************************************** NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Activity for October: 3 tropical depressions 1 hurricane Tropical Depression Olaf (TC-17E) 5-12 October ------------------------------------------------ Tropical Storm Olaf had made landfall in late September along Mexico's Gulf of Tehuantepec coastline. After weakening over land, the remnants of Olaf drifted slowly westward for several days. By 5 Oct, while located about 500 nm southwest of Cabo San Lucas, the system had become sufficiently organized enough that depression advisories were issued once again, beginning at 2100 UTC. Over the next three days Olaf drifted slowly generally in an east-southeasterly direction. During this period the maximum sustained winds were never estimated at more than 30 kts. By 2100 UTC on 8 Oct Olaf had become disorganized and the advisories were dropped. The remnants at this time were located about 400 nm southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. During this time destructive Hurricane Pauline was raking the coastline of Mexico from the Gulf of Tehuantepec region to the Acapulco area and beyond. By 10 Oct Pauline had dissipated inland between Acapulco and Manzanillo. Early on 11 Oct a ship reported an easterly wind of 25 kts and a pressure of 1004 mb, while later in the day another ship reported winds of 30 kts. Depression advisories were begun for the third time on the Olaf system at 1200 UTC. Olaf was at this time located about 175 nm south-southeast of Manzanillo. During the next 24 hrs Olaf drifted northward toward the Mexican coast. The center seemed to stall along the coast just to the southeast of Manzanillo. Satellite fixes indicated that Olaf possibly approached tropical storm intensity once more during this time. On 12 Oct visible pictures indicated that the center had moved inland and was dissipating. Hurricane Pauline (TC-18E) 6-10 October ----------------------------------------- Advisories were initiated on Tropical Depression 18-E at 0300 UTC on 6 Oct, when the system was centered about 250 nm south of Salina Cruz, Mexico. The depression drifted east-southeastward for about 12 hrs, and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Pauline at 0900 UTC. After 1500 UTC on the same day, Pauline abruptly turned to the north and intensified, reaching hurricane strength by 1800 UTC. Pauline intensified very rapidly, reaching an initial peak intensity of 115 kts by 0900 UTC on 7 Oct. The hurricane was moving almost due northward at this time, but began to move on a more north- northwesterly track late on 7 Oct, and then on a northwesterly track early on the 8th. The maximum sustained winds dropped slightly to 100 kts during this time, but increased again to 115 kts as the storm began to approach the Mexican coast in the western Gulf of Tehuantepec region late on 8 Oct. Minimum central pressure at this time was estimated to be 948 mb. The center reached the coastline around 2100 UTC on 8 Oct about 100 nm west-southwest of Salina Cruz with maximum sustained winds estimated near 105 kts. Pauline turned more to a west-northwesterly heading and moved up the southern Mexican coast with the eye remaining just inland from the shoreline. The center of Pauline passed just to the north of Acapulco around 0900 UTC on the 9th. Acapulco reported a maximum sustained wind of 40 kts with a peak gust of 51 kts. Based on this observation it is believed that Pauline's maximum winds were around 70 kts at this time. After passing Acapulco Pauline began to weaken steadily. The storm was downgraded to a tropical storm at 0300 UTC on 10 Oct while located about 75 nm east-southeast of Manzanillo, and to a depression six hours later. The low-level circulation had completely dissipated over the mountains of south-central Mexico by late on the 10th. Hurricane Pauline was probably Mexico's greatest natural disaster since the 1985 Mexico City earthquake, and was the deadliest tropical cyclone to affect the country since Hurricane Liza in Sep, 1976, in which over 400 lives were lost near La Paz. The hurricane lashed the coastline from near Salina Cruz to well northwest of Acapulco. The greatest death and destruction seems to have occurred in the Acapulco area. Torrential rains of up to 16 inches caused deadly flash floods and mudslides on the densely inhabited hillsides surrounding the resort city. Some early press reports indicated that over 400 persons perished, but official figures from the Mexican government put the death toll at around 230, with hundreds of thousands left homeless. NOTE: The preliminary storm reports for Olaf and Pauline (as well as all the 1997 Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones) have just been added to the Tropical Prediction Center's website. The URL for the homepage is: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov . A link to the 1997 Eastern Pacific storm reports can be found on the left side of the screen. Tropical Depression 03-C 6-7 October -------------------------------------- The third tropical depression of the year to form in the Central Pacific began about 600 nm east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii on 6 Oct. The first depression advisory was issued at 1500 UTC. The depression remained weak, with maximum sustained winds never estimated stronger than 25 kts. The system moved at a fairly good clip on a westerly to west-northwesterly track, but was unable to strengthen due to strong westerly shear aloft. The last advisory was issued at 2100 UTC on 7 Oct with the center dissipating about 200 nm south of the Big Island. Tropical Depression 04-C 31 October--> ---------------------------------------- Another tropical depression formed in the Central Pacific early on 31 Oct. At 0900 UTC the depression was centered about 250 nm south-southeast of Johnston Atoll with 30-kt winds. The depression moved in a general west-southwesterly direction for most of the day, and by 2100 UTC was located about 325 nm south-southwest of Johnston Atoll. Although initially forecast to reach tropical storm intensity, by 2100 UTC the system was weakening, with maximum sustained winds having dropped to 25 kts. *********************************************************************** NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Activity for October: 2 tropical depressions 1 tropical storm 3 supertyphoons NOTE: All the tracking and intensity information contained below on Western North Pacific tropical cyclones is based solely on operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Guam. Tropical Storm Hank (TC-25W) 3-4 October ------------------------------------------ Tropical Storm Hank was a short-lived South China Sea cyclone in early October. The first warning, classifying Hank as a tropical storm, was issued at 0000 UTC on 3 Oct, when the storm was centered about 475 nm south-southwest of Hong Kong. Hank reached its peak intensity of 40 kts by 0600 UTC and began to slowly weaken thereafter. The system drifted rather erratically westward at first, then began to move generally in a northwesterly direction roughly parallel to the Vietnamese coast. Hank was downgraded to a tropical depression at 1800 UTC on 3 Oct, and was dissipating off the coast of Vietnam by 1200 UTC on 4 Oct. No reports of any damage or casualties due to Tropical Storm Hank have been received by the author. Tropical Depression 26-W 4-7 October -------------------------------------- Tropical Depression 26-W formed around 0000 UTC on 4 Oct about 450 nm west-northwest of Guam. The depression drifted erratically at first, then began to move in a general west-northwesterly direction for the next couple of days. Maximum intensity occurred early on 6 Oct when winds were estimated at 30 kts. Thereafter the depression began to weaken, with the last warning at 0000 UTC on 7 Oct placing the dissipating system roughly midway between Guam and the northern tip of Luzon. Supertyphoon Ivan (TC-27W) 13-24 October ------------------------------------------ Supertyphoon Ivan was one of three intense supertyphoons that were spawned in the Western Pacific during October. The system was first classified as a depression on 13 Oct at 0600 UTC when located a little more than 200 nm north-northeast of Truk. The depression was upgraded to Tropical Storm Ivan at 1800 UTC about 250 nm northwest of Truk. Ivan moved generally on a west-northwesterly track for a couple of days, passing about 50 nm south of Guam at around 1500 UTC on the 14th as a strong tropical storm. Ivan reached typhoon strength early on 15 Oct when located about 200 nm west of Guam and began to move in a more westerly direction. The typhoon passed about 425 nm to the north of Palau around 1200 UTC on the 16th. Peak intensity, with maximum sustained winds estimated at 160 kts, was attained at 1800 UTC on 17 Oct with the storm centered in the Philippine Sea about 425 nm east of Manila. By early on the 18th Ivan had turned to a west-northwesterly course, which became more northwesterly as the storm approached northeastern Luzon. On 20 Oct Typhoon Ivan sliced across the northeastern tip of Luzon with maximum sustained winds estimated at around 120 kts. Information obtained by the author on Earthweek's website (http://www.earthweek.com) indicates that 2 lives were lost in the Philippines, while several thousand farm animals were killed and several thousand acres of crops were destroyed. After passing Luzon Ivan turned due north, then east, and finally began to accelerate in a northeasterly direction. Maximum winds were slowly decreasing during this period, with Ivan being downgraded to a tropical storm at 1200 UTC on 21 Oct when centered about 150 nm northeast of the northeastern tip of Luzon. The weakening tropical storm passed about 250 nm southeast of Okinawa early on 24 Oct, and had transformed into an extratropical cyclone by 1200 UTC on the same date, centered about 325 nm west-northwest of Iwo Jima. Supertyphoon Joan (TC-28W) 13-24 October ------------------------------------------ Joan was the second October supertyphoon, and was remarkable for maintaining supertyphoon intensity (maximum sustained winds of 130 kts or greater) for almost 5 days. The first warning on Tropical Depression 28-W was issued at 0600 UTC on 13 Oct, placing the center about 150 nm north of Kwajalein. Tropical Storm Joan was named a day later about 175 nm east-northeast of Eniwetok Atoll. For about a week Joan followed a general west-northwesterly track which took it from its point of origin in the Marshall Islands, through the central Marianas, to its point of recurvature about 500 nm west of the northernmost Marianas. The storm reached typhoon intensity at 1800 UTC on 15 Oct when passing about 400 nm north of Pohnpei. Supertyphoon intensity was reached when located about 300 nm east-northeast of Guam at 0600 UTC on the 17th. Peak intensity of 160 kts occurred six hours later. Supertyphoon Joan, with maximum sustained winds estimated at 135- 140 kts, passed through the Marianas Islands chain around midday on 18 Oct (local time). The eye of Joan apparently passed about 50 nm north of Saipan. After passing the Marianas Joan continued on its west-northwesterly track until it recurved rather sharply to the east-northeast at around 1800 UTC on 20 Oct. At this time Joan was still a supertyphoon with an intensity of 160 kts, located roughly 500 nm west of the northernmost Marianas. A still-intense Typhoon Joan passed about 125 nm north of Iwo Jima around 0000 UTC on 22 Oct packing winds up to 115 kts. There were reports of very heavy surf, with waves up to 22 ft (7 meters), from the southern islands of Japan. By 0000 UTC on 24 Oct, about 700 nm northwest of Wake Island, Joan was transforming into a deep and vigorous extratropical cyclone with winds estimated at 80 kts. No reports of damage or casualties as a result of Supertyphoon Joan have been received by the author. If anyone does have any such information and would be kind enough to e-mail it to me, I will include it in a future summary. Supertyphoon Keith (TC-29W) 27 October--> ------------------------------------------- The third supertyphoon of October developed slowly in the Marshall Islands. Tropical Depression 29-W had formed by 1800 UTC on 27 Oct about 125 nm south-southeast of Kwajalein. Tropical Storm Keith was named six hours later, but the system intensified very slowly at first, not reaching typhoon strength until 30 Oct. Keith also moved very slowly on a westerly to west-northwesterly course for the first two days, moving out of the Marshall Islands and passing just to the north of the Federated States of Micronesia. Typhoon Keith, with maximum sustained winds estimated at 90 kts, passed about 100 nm north of Pohnpei at 1800 UTC on the 30th. At this point Keith had begun to deepen rapidly; and as the month of October closed, the storm had become a supertyphoon with 130-kt winds located about 600 nm east-southeast of Guam. November's summary will contain details on the subsequent history of Supertyphoon Keith, including its passage through the southern Marianas. Tropical Depression 30-W (Linda) 31 October--> ------------------------------------------------ The system that was to become Typhoon Linda (not to be confused with the intense Eastern Pacific hurricane of the same name in Sep) was first classified as a depression at 1800 UTC on 31 Oct, unusually far south in the South China Sea, west of the northern tip of the island of Borneo. November's summary will contain details of Linda's deadly trek across southern Vietnam, the Gulf of Thailand, the Malay Peninsula, and its re-intensification in the North Indian Ocean basin. *********************************************************************** NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Activity for October: No tropical cyclones *********************************************************************** SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN (SIO) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Activity for October: No tropical cyclones *********************************************************************** AUSTRALIAN REGION (AUS) - From Longitude 90E Eastward to Longitude 160E Activity for October: No tropical cyclones *********************************************************************** SOUTHWEST PACIFIC (SWP) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Activity for October: 1 tropical depression ** 1 tropical cyclone of gale intensity 1 tropical cyclone of storm intensity The Southwest Pacific Basin got off to one of its earliest starts on record. Only a little more than four months elapsed between the demise of Tropical Cyclone Keli in June (ending the 1996/97 season) and the appearance of Tropical Cyclone Lusi, heralding the beginning of the 1997/98 season. The last time such a narrow interval occurred between cyclone seasons was in 1972, which was also an El Nino year. Many thanks to Mark Kersemakers of the Fiji Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at Nadi, and to Steve Ready of the New Zealand Meteorological Service, Wellington, for supplying me with many details on these South Pacific systems. These gentlemen have been most kind in passing along information to me, as well as placing me on e-mail lists which often contain snippets of information on the effects of tropical cyclones in this region. Also, a special thanks to Jon Gill of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology for putting me in touch with Mark and Steve. ** - this system was classified as a minimal tropical storm by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) on Guam Tropical Cyclone Lusi (TC-02P) 8-12 October --------------------------------------------- A tropical depression was first recognized by the Fiji TCWC at 0000 UTC on 8 Oct with only 20 kt winds (10-min avg) and located about 750 nm northwest of Fiji. The system moved little for a couple of days, and then began to move generally to the south. The depression had only moved about 30 nm from its point of origin when it was named Tropical Cyclone Lusi at 1200 UTC on the 9th. Over the next few days Lusi moved southward, passing between Fiji and Vanuatu. At 0600 UTC on 11 Oct the center of Lusi passed about 225 nm west of Fiji. At this time Lusi was near its peak intensity of 50 kts (10-min avg). The storm turned a little more to the southeast and seemed to stall about 150 nm southwest of Fiji on the 11th. Lusi began to weaken about this time due to the effects of cooler sea surface temperatures and increased vertical shear. The system was downgraded to a depression at 0600 UTC on 12 Oct about 350 nm south of Fiji. Lusi brought a few gales and some heavy rainfall to some of the southwestern-most islands in the Fiji group; otherwise there were no appreciable effects from this cyclone on any of the South Pacific islands. A report of 30-kt winds from ship 3EST7 on 8 Oct was the basis for JTWC initiating advisories. Adjusting from the 1-min maximum sustained wind utilized by JTWC to the 10-min average wind employed by Fiji, the maximum wind estimates from the two warning centers agree very well, except the final warning at 0600 UTC on 12 Oct. Fiji downgraded Lusi at this time to a 30-kt depression, while JTWC labeled the system as an extratropical gale with 45-kt winds. The miminum central pressure in Tropical Cyclone Lusi, as reported by the Fiji TCWC, was 985 mb on 10 and 11 Oct. Tropical Depression 03-P 26-28 October ---------------------------------------- This system was a short-lived tropical depression which formed to the west of Rotuma and about 375 nm northwest of Fiji. The Fiji TCWC issued a bulletin at 0000 UTC on 26 Oct, warning of the possibility of gales developing with 200 miles of the center. Subsequent warnings indicated that a few gales perhaps did occur southwest of the system. The system drifted generally southeastward over the next couple of days, dissipating well northwest of Fiji late on 27 Oct due to strong wind shear. Warnings issued by JTWC on Guam assigned 35-kt winds (1-min avg) to this system, and satellite intensity estimates by the Brisbane TCWC could have implied minimal tropical storm intensity using 1-min avg winds; however, satellite estimates from NPMOC (Pearl Harbor) and AFGWC implied only a tropical depression. Tropical Cyclone Martin (TC-04P) 31 October--> ------------------------------------------------ The Fiji TCWC at Nadi began monitoring a disturbance lying to the north of the Northern Cook Islands on 27 Oct. Convection was quite unorganized and the system was being affected detrimentally by strong upper-level northeasterly winds. A weak low-level circulation was apparent, drifting very slowly to the west or southwest. Over the next three days the convection showed only slight improvement in organization, being very diurnal in nature and still affected by moderate to strong vertical shear. By early on 31 Oct the system began to show marked organization. The preliminary "best track" from Fiji shows the system classified as a depression with 20-kt winds (10-min avg) by 0000 UTC on that date. During the afternoon and evening it was clear that the system was developing rapidly, and Tropical Cyclone Martin was named at 1500 UTC on the 31st about 350 nm northwest of Samoa. At this time Martin was located just north of Pukapuka, the westernmost island in the Northern Cooks. At 1800 UTC Pukapuka reported a pressure of 997 mb and "estimated" winds of 60 kts. Due to the relatively high pressure, these winds are considered to have likely been gusts, and probably over-estimated. The 1800 UTC warning from JTWC gave Martin an intensity of 55 kts (1-min avg) while Fiji assessed it at 40 kts (10-min avg). The subsequent history of Tropical Cyclone Martin's destructive swath through the Cooks and French Polynesia will be covered in the summary for November. *********************************************************************** *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 10:39:09 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Re: el nino If you have allready gotten this please just erase. I saw this and just laughed. Thought you all whould get a laugh out of it too. David Letterman Top Ten Rejected Names for El Nino (11/11/97) 10. Senior Stormy 9. Gee, Your Monsoon Smells Terrific 8. The Devil's Wet Hacking Cough 7. Starbucks' New Storm-uccino 6. Windy Pete, the South American Treat 5. Al Roker's Meal Ticket 4. The Atmospheric Salad Shooter 3. Stormy Spice 2. "Weird El" Ninovic 1. Weathergate **************************************************************************** ************ Howard Robinson AKA Hurricane Georgia College & State University CPO #2530 Milledgeville,ga 31061 Phone:912-454-0555 http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832 http://giant.net/~hrobins email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net hrobins@giant.net howrob@rage.gac.peachnet.edu huricane97@hotmail.com If all else fails use operation repair #1, you Kick it.More so for win95. **************************************************************************** ************ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 16:18:48 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jan 1998 to 12 Jan 1998 Paul Robertson wrote: >The ice storm of last week has resulted in the worst natural disaster for >Canadians. Currently over 920,000 homes or approximately 3 million people >are without electricity, some without water etc. >The Canadian Forces and Reserve troops have deployed 11,400 troops to >assist those in Eastern Ontario (Ottawa area) as well as the Province of >Quebec.(City of Montreal is worst hit city) >It may be upwards of 6 weeks before some areas have their electrical power >restored. >Currently temperatures are in the minus 10 C area and predicted to get >colder this week. >The cost of this ice storm has been predicted to be in the area of $600 >million. ....On the other side of the border, NE New York State is also still having many problems. Tons of ice still remain, and there have apparenty been 6 deaths reported...just in New York. Interesting (but sad) to see that these deaths are mostly from carbon monoxide poisoning resulting from all of the generators that people are using for power. The national guard conitnues daily flights from the Albany airport in order to spot stranded vicitims from the air. And the N.Y.S. mutual aid system is also still in operation with fire depts, EMS and ER personnel being sent up to the area on 24 hour shifts. I know that in the Albany area, Albany county personnel will be going up tomorrow. So, the mutual aid for this already stretches 100-200 hundered miles south of the area!!! It is a HUGE mess up there. Regards, Howie Howard Altschule Meteorologist, WNYT-TV NBC Affiliate- Albany, NY E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 15:19:56 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Weather Channel cleans up a bit Hey I see the Weather Channel lightened the background color on the extended forecast maps. That looks SO much better! I'll admit I feared change of something good, and the new maps are starting to grow on me, Although they still should do something about the rest of the color discrepancies. And adding some new maps sure would be cool! You can't be the best when you're just like the rest. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 19:41:49 GMT From: Robert Strauss Subject: Weather Channel changes Well I don't mind the new graphics, with topo features, so much as I mind the assumption that we are all Evelyn Wood graduates! The record temperatures are kept onscreen for no more than 1/2 a second, with the 'caster blocking them for 1/2 of that time! I think maybe they should institute the feature on CNN News: have the bar across the bottom with record temps, ppt and snowfall. That would be fun! Bob Strauss ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 00:46:09 -0000 From: David Keller Subject: Tornado vs. Wind Damage Chris Novy wrote (with his usual fine objectivity and defense of his statements): ----------------- Does it make any difference whether a damage event is tornadic or straight-line winds? It all depends upon whose perspective you see things from. THE HOMEOWNER (deleted) -------------- NWS FORECASTER -------------- Widespread deployment and reliance on Doppler radar has increased the need for ground-truth observation and postmortem investigation. Meteorologists need to compare what's seen on radar with what is actually happening (or has happened). Was the warning a hit or a miss? Did radar clearly indicate the severity of the storm in question and if not why? Can anything be learned from this particular event? Can the warning process be refined/improved? THE MEDIA (deleted) -------------- LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS (deleted) I am inclined to suggest another category of person: 'RESEARCHER'. One example is the Techniques Development Laboratory, which does statistical forecasts of severe and tornadic weather. Researchers at NSSL have attempted to differentiate the conditions under which tornadic and straight- line winds occur. Obviously an accurate count helps with these tasks. An accurate data base of severe weather events, including accurate weather type, time, and location, can be a tool for better understanding of the meteorological conditions, and therefore the processes, that lead to either tornadic wind or straight-line wind. A better understanding will lead eventually to better forecasts. This 'Researcher' viewpoint could have been included with the NWS forecaster category. However, Chris mentioned only warning issuance and verification, which is mostly associated with Doppler radar interpretation. I wanted to point out research geared toward forecasts of wind and tornadoes for longer time periods and larger areas. These also benefit from accurate wind/tornado data. -- Dave Keller -- I am reading this from home, so my address and phone are: 1519 Hanby St, Silver Spring, MD 20902 301-649-0763 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 19:01:28 -0600 From: Michael Bath Subject: Re: NetNews: New Lightning Strike Graphics on Net > >Thanks for the info on U.S. lightning strike graphics. > >Anyone know of a web site for European lightning data? Or any areas >outside the U.S? > Lightning data for Queensland, Australia is available from the Exergex web site: http://www.energex.com.au/strike/strike.cgi regards, Michael ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Jan 1998 22:25:18 -0500 From: Marsha Rich Subject: Reports on possible new world wind record For an update on recent reports concerning the possible new world wind record associated with Typhoon Paka, please see the Mount Washington Observatory Web site at http://www.mountwashington.org/mtw_windrecord.htm - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Marsha Rich, Mt. Washington Observatory m.rich@mountwashington.org ***Visit the Obs on the WWW*** at http://www.mountwashington.org - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jan 1998 to 13 Jan 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2121 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627020-27033>; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 14:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA06966; Thu, 15 Jan 1998 00:10:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199801150610.AAA06966@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jan 1998 to 14 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 18643de980be0a48264bd7d0996df15c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 204 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jan 1998 to 13 Jan 1998 - Special issue 2. Weather Channel changes 3. Another Lightning Strikes Link 4. Real TV wants your video (maybe!) (2) 5. ADMINISTRIVIA: DIGEST PROCESSING TIME 6. Garcia method +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 00:41:46 -0600 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jan 1998 to 13 Jan 1998 - Special issue I know this may not be as interesting as the Weather Channels new graphics but was wondering if anyone has gotten PCGRIDDS to run under WIN NT. I have it up and going on WIN 95 but my system at work on ISDN is WIN NT. Dan _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 01:58:40 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Weather Channel changes On Tue, 13 Jan 1998, Robert Strauss wrote: > Well I don't mind the new graphics, with topo features, so much as I mind the > assumption that we are all Evelyn Wood graduates! > The record temperatures are kept onscreen for no more than 1/2 a second, with > the 'caster blocking them for 1/2 of that time! > > I think maybe they should institute the feature on CNN News: have the bar > across the bottom with record temps, ppt and snowfall. That would be fun! Welcome to the club. That's been going on for a long time. My all time favorite is how they stand in front of what you're trying to see. Can't tell you how many times I've actually caught myself moving my head from side to side as if to actually see around these guys' waists. :) What ever happened to the good ole days of the laser pointer, or even the stick pointer? I can't stand that. You'd think they realize they're standing right in front of the weather producers. Half the time, they're standing right in front of it as they give their narrations ABOUT it, and then they tell you to look at it, whence the picture then changes, half a second after they move out of the way, to the temps or something. That's just dumb. But after watching it happen time and again, I can only assume that either they don't use their monitors - even though they are right there in front of them - or the monitors aren't large enough for them to be able to see themselves and tell or, and I hope this isn't the case ... their egos are to blame. But it doesn't matter whats being displayed: lightning data, radar, or satellite. It happens almost every time. Perhaps thick black bars on the sides of every screen would do well to help eliminate this? give them room on the sides of the screen to stand? Would keep them out of the way of the maps and images - the important stuff. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 11:02:55 -0900 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Another Lightning Strikes Link Hi: Came across this link with provides 5 minute updates for one hour centered over Laurel, Maryland. http://www.weathernode.com/lightng/index.htm Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 16:38:04 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Real TV wants your video (maybe!) I received the following from Mike Burns at Real TV... >Dear Chris, > >I work for the TV show "Real TV". Have you ever submitted any of your >"caught on tape" weather videos to us? If you have some and have never >sent them to us, I'd like to see them! I am a Story Coordinator for the >show, and am responsible for finding & pitching segments for the show! >Please remind people that we pay good $$ for videos, and we also >pay TIP fees ($75.00) for any information leading to a video that we use >for the show. Good luck chasing! > >Mike Burns >888-REAL-TV2 Real TV is a program that utilizes home video and TV station video of extraordinary events like fires, crashes, strange animal stories (escaped lions or beached whales), and extreme weather. We air it on our station and it's a nice show. A couple of weeks ago their aired a segment about a Kansas cloudseeder who likes to photograph tornadoes from his airplane. Very interesting footage, a unique angle. I spoke with Mike and he is interested in seeing relatively current video showing things like tornadoes ripping through buildings, people's homes floating away in floods, close encounters with tornadoes or lightning strikes, blizzard rescues, car crashes, police pursuits, etc. As far as tornado footage goes, I don't think Mike is looking for "generic" storm chaser footage of tornadoes (the public's infatuation with ordinary tornadoes shot by chasers on delibrate trips to catch them has about run its course). He's more interested in things like tornadoes that occur in strange places (like Long Beach, CA) or that cause unusual damage, that are photographed from unusual places (aircraft, baseball stadiums), or end up chasing the chasers (like the Andover storm). Mike did say, however, that if *you* think your footage is exciting or unusual he'd be happy to talk about it. You can reach him at via e-mail or the toll-free number. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 17:02:14 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: DIGEST PROCESSING TIME I have been asked by a WX-TALK subscriber to change the time of day when digests are processed. I was asked to consider changing the processing time from midnight to sometime in the afternoon (U.S. Central time). I'm not sure whether my changes to the WX-TALK/WX-CHASE/SKYWARN profiles will even have an effect since some list-specific options are overridden by LISTSERV's default settings. If, however, I *can* change the digest processing time I want to know how this might affect people. If you have any comments please let me know by writing me directky at chris@siu.edu. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 18:17:51 -0500 From: Rob Porter Subject: Re: Real TV wants your video (maybe!) On Wed, 14 Jan 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > I received the following from Mike Burns > at Real TV... I'd just like to mention that on tonight's episode, they had some of Chuck Doswell's tornado footage shot in Texas...it seemed funny that Chris would post the Real TV information now. :) Take care, Rob Porter ----------------------------------- Rob Porter http://badger.ac.brocku.ca/~rp94an/ rp94an@badger.ac.brocku.ca porter@freenet.npiec.on.ca ----------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 Jan 1998 22:52:15 -0500 From: Roger Diercks Subject: Garcia method I've seen a lot of references to the Garcia method of predicting snowfall in state and area forecast discussions. It seems like it's a commonly used method in the NWS, so I'm interested in learning about it. Does anyone know of any articles or other references about it? Thanks in advance. Roger Diercks diercks@students.uiuc.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jan 1998 to 14 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3008 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626575-17319>; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 14:20:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13222; Fri, 16 Jan 1998 00:14:20 -0600 Message-Id: <199801160614.AAA13222@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 00:08:10 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jan 1998 to 15 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 45df0ec5c518e65b6cbba146aa4130b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 153 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Job Available (Jacksonville, FL) 2. Weekly World (Weather) News (2) 3. Weather Channel changes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:34:39 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Jacksonville, FL) METEOROLOGIST/CO-ANCHOR (WJXT) The CBS affiliate in Jacksonville is looking for a meteorologist who wants to handle ALL of the WEEKEND duties. Applicants will work weekend days preparing forecasts for morning and evening newscasts and will also co-anchor the weekend morning newscasts. Candidates must be very familiar and at ease with the latest technology and preferably have an AMS seal. We're looking for someone who is ready to take the step to a larger market and take on an exciting new challenge. This is a unique opportunity at a station that has a history of excellence. If you're the right person, send your tape and resume to Mike Stutz, News Director, WJXT-TV, 4 Broadcast Place Jacksonville, Florida 32247. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 10:47:34 -0700 From: Matt Parker Subject: Weekly World (Weather) News Hello all, I apologize if this has been previously posted... I was set to "no-mail" over break. Nevertheless, I didn't want this to escape the attention of the group! According to the December 23, 1997 issue of the Weekly World News (you will recognize this as a refereed journal not affiliated with the AMS): 1) "The bizarre winter weather that's been rocking America and much of the world in recent weeks is a sure sign that Jesus is about to return to Earth..." 2) "... a leading meteorologist insists there is nothing to worry about- because the El Nino scare is the hoax of the century! 'Simply put, there's no such thing as El Nino,' declared world-famous meteorologist Reginald Sommersby of Melbourne, Australia. 'Every now and then you're going to have some patches of bad weather in various parts of the globe, but to try and ball it all together into some kind of cockamamy scenario is just plain wrong.'" Accompanying this article is a graphic with which we're all quite accustomed: Eastern Pacific SST anomalies shaded onto a map of the Western Hemisphere. The caption claims: "Giant white mass over the Pacific Ocean is supposed to represent El Nino and its warming impact on the Pacific." In response, the "world-famous" Mr. Sommersby says: "'It's just like water in your bathtub- it's never going to be exactly the same temperature every time you climb in, but you're not going to notice it.'" I'd like to say someting funny here, but I really can't improve upon the text itself! Since the term "El Nino" may have lost all sense of meaning in the wake of wide-spread overuse and misuse, I propose that those of us in the know begin using the term "the bathtub effect" (and as an extension, "the bathtub southern oscillation") in deference to the "world-famous" Mr. Sommersby. Good day to all, Matthew Parker *************************************************************************** "Forecasting is immoral and damaging to the meteorologist." -Margules "Weather forecasting is much too serious a matter to be trusted to the theoreticians." -Clemenceau parker@squall.atmos.colostate.edu ************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:57:03 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Weekly World (Weather) News > > > The Weekly World News said: > > 1) "The bizarre winter weather that's been rocking America and much > of the world in recent weeks is a sure sign that Jesus is about > to return to Earth..." > > 2) "... a leading meteorologist insists there is nothing to worry > about- because the El Nino scare is the hoax of the century! > 'Simply put, there's no such thing as El Nino,' declared > world-famous meteorologist Reginald Sommersby of Melbourne, > Australia. 'Every now and then you're going to have some > patches of bad weather in various parts of the globe, but > to try and ball it all together into some kind of cockamamy > scenario is just plain wrong.'" > > So how come the same story that says there is no such thing is El Nino also says that Jesus about to come back to Earth ;) Thanks for the chuckle. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 19:42:20 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Weather Channel changes Todd L. Sherman wrote: > Welcome to the club. That's been going on for a long time. My all time > favorite is how they stand in front of what you're trying to see. Can't > tell you how many times I've actually caught myself moving my head from side > to side as if to actually see around these guys' waists. :) What ever > happened to the good ole days of the laser pointer, or even the stick > pointer? I can't stand that. You'd think they realize they're standing > right in front of the weather producers. Half the time, they're standing > right in front of it as they give their narrations ABOUT it, and then > they tell you to look at it, whence the picture then changes, half a > second after they move out of the way, to the temps or something. ...cut... Ever tape a weather presentation then play back the tape in fast forward? The presenter jumps around the screen, left to right, really looks amusing. TV people - keep out of the way! We want weather, not personality poses. KZ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jan 1998 to 15 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:27:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1762 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628202-21627>; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 14:12:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB20032; Sat, 17 Jan 1998 00:09:22 -0600 Message-Id: <199801170609.AAB20032@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 00:04:34 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jan 1998 to 16 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3d86ca913482072bf229222baadeb1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 237 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jan 1998 to 15 Jan 1998 2. Global Cooling 3. Weekly World (Weather) News 4. NORPEX 98? (2) 5. Weather Channel key problem? 6. Weather Channel changes (2) 7. Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting 8. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 03:41:32 EST From: Tx Dryline Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jan 1998 to 15 Jan 1998 In a message dated 98-01-16 01:15:21 EST, you write: > I'd like to say someting funny here, but I really can't improve upon > the text itself! Since the term "El Nino" may have lost all sense of > meaning in the wake of wide-spread overuse and misuse, I propose that > those of us in the know begin using the term "the bathtub effect" (and > as an extension, "the bathtub southern oscillation") in deference to > the "world-famous" Mr. Sommersby. > > Good day to all, > > Matthew Parker > Since the spanish word for bath is "bano" (with the same squiggly over the 'n'), maybe we could call it El Bano Southern Oscillation (EBSO). That way, you could distinguish a weather person from a non-weather type by the acronym they use. ---------------------------------------------------------- I will choose Free Will ! (N. Peart) Mind Over Reality ! (C. Garner) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 06:45:55 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Global Cooling The February 1998 issue of Scientific American includes an informative article titled "Greenland Ice Cores: Frozen in Time". Included in the author's interpretation of ice core and other data is a surprising conclusion: climate change from warm periods to very cold periods has occurred over unexpectedly short periods of time, from mere decades down to only a few years! Anyone interested in the current Global Warming debate should read this article. References for further reading are provided at the end of the article. Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/index.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 09:36:34 -0500 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Weekly World (Weather) News >Date: Thu, 15 Jan 1998 11:57:03 CST >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: Re: Weekly World (Weather) News > >So how come the same story that says there is no such thing is El Nino also >says that Jesus about to come back to Earth ;) The Hot Sheets never lie. - Agent K. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:03:23 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NORPEX 98? Anyone know what this is? AIR FORCE C130 MAKING DROPSONDES NEAR 45N..150W...RELATED TO NORPEX 98 EXPERIMENT. FLIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THRU WEEKEND. EXPERIMENT WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL WEEKS. I did a search and came up with "Custom Resin Products" which I doubt is related ;> UCAR had nothing on their projects page either. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 16:17:42 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: NORPEX 98? North Pacific Experiment...see http://willy.ssec.wisc.edu/~caljet/ -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 13:14:26 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: Weather Channel key problem? Has anyone else noticed the following odd effect on the new Weather Channel graphics? When one of the on-air mets steps from off-screen into the key wall, the brightness of the map behind him suddenly increases considerably. When they step out of the frame, the map instantly returns to its normal brightness level. I don't remember this problem being nearly as bad with the old graphics -- I was wondering if the on-air software changes were accompanied with any hardware "upgrades" that might explain this phenomenon. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 11:23:41 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Weather Channel changes Todd waxed nostalgic about the old days: >My all time >favorite is how they stand in front of what you're trying to see. Can't >tell you how many times I've actually caught myself moving my head from side >to side as if to actually see around these guys' waists. :) What ever >happened to the good ole days of the laser pointer, or even the stick >pointer? I remember when the local weathercaster stood behind a window writing temperatures backwards on the map. Writing backwards is a lost art nowadays. Frank ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 14:55:45 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Weather Channel changes On Fri, 16 Jan 1998, Frank Gouveia wrote: > Todd waxed nostalgic about the old days: > >My all time > >favorite is how they stand in front of what you're trying to see. Can't > >tell you how many times I've actually caught myself moving my head from side > >to side as if to actually see around these guys' waists. :) What ever > >happened to the good ole days of the laser pointer, or even the stick > >pointer? > > I remember when the local weathercaster stood behind a window writing > temperatures backwards on the map. Writing backwards is a lost art nowadays. Oh, yah. And then the magnetic symbols, too. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 16:53:42 GMT From: WxInfo Subject: Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Contact: Jeff Trapp, Program Chair (405)366-0512 NSSL, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069 trapp@nssl.noaa.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------- The Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting, sponsored by the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association, will be held March 24, 1998, at the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. This scientific symposium on tornado forecasting and research is one of several activities scheduled for the three-day celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast, sponsored by the Oklahoma Weather Center and Tinker Air Force Base. Ten internationally-recognized scientists will deliver invited presentations on topics ranging from tornado forecasting techniques and future activities of the Storm Prediction Center, to the history of storm and tornado intercept efforts. In addition, a tribute to Air Force Col. Robert Miller will be paid by Dr. Robert Maddox, who will also discuss the first tornado forecast of Miller and Maj. Ernest Fawbush. Registration forms and additional information can be found on the World Wide Web at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/symposium, or requested from symposium@nssl.noaa.gov or Tornado Symposium, c/o National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069. Early registration is encouraged because seating is limited. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 17:55:31 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 15 January 1998. PURDUE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT (KLAF) LAFAYETTE... IN KALAMAZOO/BATTLE CREEK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KAZO) KALAMAZOO... MI SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS AIRPORT (KSUS) ST LOUIS... MO Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jan 1998 to 16 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627888-480>; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 14:08:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18552; Sun, 18 Jan 1998 00:04:59 -0600 Message-Id: <199801180604.AAA18552@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Jan 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jan 1998 to 17 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8be26c7979882b436e11158af9fdf09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 193 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Garcia method 2. SKYWARN Training Tapes 3. Weather meso-net 4. Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting 5. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 01:18:29 -0500 From: John Kent Subject: Garcia method (I am posting this for Greg Carbin) The Garcia Technique was developed by NWS forecaster Crispin Garcia. Essentially it it used to evaluate the amount of moisture that will be advected into the 750 to 700 mb layer along an isentropic surface that intersects that layer, over an area where snowfall is expected (area of concern). In his study, Garcia calculated average mixing ratio values occurring within the critical layer over a 12 hour time period. He found that a 2:1 ratio existed between maximum snowfall and average 12 hour mixing ratio within the 750-700 mb layer...given other factors were favorable for snowfall. In many winter storms the 750-700 mb layer is where the combination of strong upward motion, moisture, and temperature is ideal for maximum dendritic crystal growth. By analyzing the potential moisture content within this layer one can estimate snowfall amounts by using Garcia's technique. For the whole story, see... Garcia, Jr., C., 1994: Forecasting snowfall using mixing ratios on an isentropic surface -- An empirical study --. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS CR-105, 31 pp. Greg Carbin Storm Prediction Center Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 05:34:36 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: SKYWARN Training Tapes SKYWARN training tapes: See the list at --> http://www.pulse.net/storm/video.htm 73, Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/index.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 08:03:27 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Weather meso-net How many NWS offices, EOCs and SKYWARN networks have taken avantage of APRS (Automatic Position Reporting System) over amateur radio for creating a local weather meso-net? KXAS, a local TV station, uses a DFW area meso net that they created in cooperation with area schools. In general, the "outlying" counties surrounding DFW have one weather station per county, usually located at a central high school. There are several reporting locations in Dallas and Tarrant counties proper. I'm not sure if they use phone lines for reporting or if they use radio links. It is very interesting to see wind shifts, low pressure centers and mesocyclones pass through the area while observing their reporting sites, and it is an effective way for school kids to be exposed to meteorology. The KXAS on-the-air meteorologists often refer to the reporting sites during their weather broadcasts using a special graphic that displays each reporting parameter for the individual site of interest as well as the name of the school prominently displayed!. KXAS also has a network of Weather Watchers who primarily report rainfall. The school meso-net is a great addition in that it provides real-time information. The real-time information was very valuable during the recent heavy rainfall events because doppler estimated rainfall was much less than actual rainfall (in some cases doppler estimates were off by more than an inch). A meso-net map with data is broadcast on their Local Weather Channel which is distributed via area cable TV systems. The advantage of using APRS is that reporting is done automatically via digital packet radio using wide area repeater relay stations. This means that anyone who can receive the relay station and has the needed hardware and software has access to the network and can view the information directly. And if someone puts the info on the WWW, then access is further expanded. Since the networks are built by Ham Radio operators on a voluntary basis, no one owns the data and anyone can use it. (A system like this could be set up with the cooperation of County governments if no hams are available or volunteer.) A method would be needed to standardize the collection techniques to ensure usable data (i.e. standard height above ground for temperature and wind measurements, instrument calibration, etc.). Maybe this could be an added responsibility for the NWS Warning and Preparedness Met. or an activity supported by local AMS chapters either directly or through Ham Radio clubs. Take a look at the following URL for an example of using APRS and JAVA for weather reporting: http://web.usna.navy.mil/~bruninga/skywarn.html This map covers a fairly large area, but maps can be scaled to whatever size is needed. Each weather site typically provides lat/lon, temperature, wind speed/direction, rainfall accumulation, barometric pressure, relative humidity and in some cases dew point, depending on the capabilities of the hardware at each station. The standard APRS software displays wind direction with a short line that is attached to the station icon. Additional information is obtained by clicking on the individual station icon. I haven't heard if anyone has improved the reporting software so that the information can be presented in a fashion similar to the standard NWS surface map. Wouldn't it be helpful if you could view a surface map that continually updates as each station reports. (Minimum reporting intervals would be defined by the number of reporting stations and the data rates used. The data rate used on 144 MHz is 1200 baud, but 9600 baud and faster data rates can be used on 440 MHz and higher bands.) Refer to http://www.pulse.net/storm/radio.htm for links to more APRS sites and information on the WWW. Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/rainbow.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 12:51:17 -0600 From: Kit Wagner Subject: Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Contact: Jeff Trapp, Program Chair (405)366-0512 NSSL, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069 trapp@nssl.noaa.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------- The Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting, sponsored by the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association, will be held March 24, 1998, at the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. This scientific symposium on tornado forecasting and research is one of several activities scheduled for the three-day celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast, sponsored by the Oklahoma Weather Center and Tinker Air Force Base. Ten internationally-recognized scientists will deliver invited presentations on topics ranging from tornado forecasting techniques and future activities of the Storm Prediction Center, to the history of storm and tornado intercept efforts. In addition, a tribute to Air Force Col. Robert Miller will be paid by Dr. Robert Maddox, who will also discuss the first tornado forecast of Miller and Maj. Ernest Fawbush. Registration forms and additional information can be found on the World Wide Web at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/symposium, or requested from symposium@nssl.noaa.gov or Tornado Symposium, c/o National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069. Early registration is encouraged because seating is limited. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 17 Jan 1998 17:04:53 -0500 From: Chris Taylor Subject: REF ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jan 1998 to 17 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-380>; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 14:17:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB13166; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 00:14:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199801200614.AAB13166@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 00:06:10 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jan 1998 to 19 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe5547d0050da4b8f7e3a301f39c943f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 110 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NGM MOS accuracy lately? (2) 2. Weather meso-net +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 08:39:36 EST From: "Paul A Hodgdon, Jr" Subject: NGM MOS accuracy lately? Greetings from the North! Does it seem that the NGM MOS predictions have been really off the mark lately? Today the NGM MOS for PSM and FMH in New England give NO hint to the NOAA predicted Small craft and even gale warnings for tomorrow afternoon (Tues). Has something changed in the logic for NGM MOS? Thanks for your comments! Paul Hodgdon Hampton Beach, NH . ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 09:15:12 -0500 From: John Kent Subject: Re: NGM MOS accuracy lately? Paul A Hodgdon, Jr wrote: > Today the NGM MOS for PSM and FMH in New England give NO hint to the NOAA > predicted Small craft and even gale warnings for tomorrow afternoon (Tues). The Small Craft Advisory today was due (at least in large part) to the sea conditions, rather than the wind. Easterly swell is running high enough so that a Small Craft Advisory is warranted, even though the winds and the wind waves are below the criteria. In the case of the Gale Warning for Tuesday, it is only in effect for the waters further than 25 nautical miles offshore, where winds are expected to be considerably higher than they are at PSM or FMH. Also, in this particular case, other models are showing the offshore low to be much stronger and somewhat closer to the coast on Friday than the NGM is showing, meaning that the NGM's wind forecasts for the coastal area may be too low. I think that in most cases you would be better off looking at the forecast boundary layer winds in the NGM and Eta FOUS output for BOS if you're trying to get an idea of expected coastal winds, rather than the MOS. The MOS is specifically for the airport locations (it takes into account the climatology of the individual site, and winds at airports don't usually correspond that well with the winds on the water, as you know...though FMH is a pretty windy place as land stations go). Boundary layer forecast windspeeds are usually a better estimate of the winds on the water, though far from perfect. To answer your original question, I haven't noticed any recent change in the performance of the NGM MOS. John Kent FleetWeather/Compu-Weather Inc. Hopewell Junction, New York ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Jan 1998 10:07:58 -0500 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Weather meso-net Problems with APRS .. 1) amateur radio frequencies aren't assigned to the weather service. something like this should be put up on a set of frequencies assigned to the weather service. 2) amateur packet frequencies are used for more than APRS. APRS isn't just for weather data collection. you'd have stations that aren't participating in the network show up. 3) availability of maps and map quality is poor. APRS guys seem to spend a lot of time working on maps. acquiring a map doesn't seem to be done over the air -- but by sneakernet and many times for a fee. 4) everyone needs a license. sure it's not hard to get one, but bootleggers and pirates are generally hunted down and eliminated. some folks probably don't want to bother. 5) you want to check those baud rates, sam. 1200 ain't the limit on 144MHz. i believe (saying this w/o checking the references) that it's 19.2 Kbps. you just won't do that with the off the shelf radio and you won't do that with the bell 202 signaling scheme. 6) quality of service -- the amateur side will be hit and miss. someone with an APRS set up might tear it down to get the radio back for voice communications in the ongoing emergency the system is trying to monitor. station calibration -- have to be sure that 25 C is pretty much 25 C...wind measurements (altitude of sensors, accuracy of sensor)..other stuff that needs or should be there for meaningful data collection. 7) everyone needs an accurate source of position data. i think the GPS receivers are neat, but they're below buying mini-discs for the MD recorder and blank beta tapes here. 8) coverage area -- it's not on a repeater, so you can have hidden terminals and such where someone's banging out a response but they can't be heard at a distant point.. it's an interesting idea, but i don't think you'd get anything meaningful out of an amateur version of a portable weather station system. bill newkirk wb9ivr wnewkirk@iu.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jan 1998 to 19 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:28:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4276 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-26384>; Wed, 21 Jan 1998 13:33:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA18984; Tue, 20 Jan 1998 23:21:19 -0600 Message-Id: <199801210521.XAA18984@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 23:15:40 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jan 1998 to 20 Jan 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52d4cba49a2a0dc56c1e451c50458544 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 3060 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. AMS * Show Us Your Stuff' - (Corrected) 2. TV Met Job Available (Missoula, MT) 3. ALL: TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARIES 4. A Question About Writing a Research Paper... 5. Weather Channel stuff 6. Wallace and Tiernan barometer 7. E-Mail Forecasts 8. Internet Charges +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 01:03:43 EST From: KirkClyatt Subject: AMS * Show Us Your Stuff' - (Corrected) IF YOUR A BROADCAST METEOROLOGIST/WEATHER ANCHOR THIS IS FOR YOU ****************************************************************************** ***************** I know I can't be the only one who has found it amazing that at the last few AMS Broadcast Conferences there has been no weather air check presentation. I find no better way to check on how I'm doing then by checking what is being done in other parts of the country. This year at the AMS Broadcast Conference in St. Louis, I'm trying to spearhead an effort to bring back an air check presentation. The powers that be have even scheduled a session for it; 'Show Us Your Stuff' at 9:30am, Thursday, June 18th. I need your help to make it an effective presentation. You may have seen a brief notice about this in a recent AMS Journal, but I hope you didn't since the address for you to send tapes to was wrong. If you did send a tape to me at KTBS in Shreveport, I didn't get it. Please accept my apology and send another one to me here in Baltimore. I'll even buy you lunch if you do. Interesting thing about KTBS all three Meteorologists who were there in January '97 are now gone. Mmmmmm...could there be a problem down on the bayou? But that's a topic for another time. If you'd like to show off, show the kids in the smaller markets just how it should be done, be discovered or just show off an easy, great looking way to use Show F/x this is your chance! IF YOU SEND A TAPE, PART OF IT WILL BE USED IN THE PRESENTATION. Exactly what you send is up to you. I hope you're interested and will take the time to send me a tape. Who knows what could happen. Any format of tape is OK, Beta & MII is preferred. Please send your work to: Kirk Clyatt Meteorologist WBFF-TV - FOX 45 2000 West 41st Street Baltimore, Maryland 21211-1420 Should you have questions, concerns or comments, please don't hesitate to contact me. 410-467-4545 ext. 3052 fax: 410-467-5093 email: kirkclyatt@aol.com Remember, if you take an idea that is already in your market it's 'stealing', but if you take an idea from a different city it's 'show development'. Thanks for taking the time to read this. I hope to hear from you soon! -Kirk Clyatt ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:25:15 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Missoula, MT) CHIEF METEOROLOGIST (KPAX) Our chief meteorologist is going to a top twenty market. After some shuffling, we need a new weather person to anchor our morning and noon shows. You must be excited about weather. You must have the on-air presence to be a weather authority with the ability to pleasantly interact with our morning anchor. Meteorology degree and experience helpful but not required. Weather computer experience preferred. KPAX is a CBS affiliate with the number one news operation in beautiful Missoula, Montana. We have a skycam with time-lapse, Liveline 5 with radar and live capabilities. We have plenty of weather to talk about with all four seasons. Skiing, hiking, boating, biking and all outdoor activities within fifteen minutes of town. KPAX-TV is an EEO/Affirmative action employer. Women and minorities are encouraged to apply. Please rush VHS tape and resume to: Paul Shoemaker News Director KPAX-TV 2204 Regent Missoula, MT 59801 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 09:22:14 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ALL: TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARIES Gary Padgett has agreed to provide us with Tropical Cyclone information. Instead of posting it to WX-TALK, the general weather discussion group, I've asked Gary to post the summaries to either WX-ATLAN (Atlantic and Gulf Tropical list) or WX-TROPL (tropical list of the rest of the world) --based on geographic region. I have created the special sub-topic SUMMARY in WX-ATLAN and WX-TROPL so that Gary's summaries can be seen by those who want to see them and but not seen by those who don't want to see them. If your sub-topics for WX-ATLAN/WX-TROPL are already set to ALL then you should see Gary's postings. If your sub-topics are not set to ALL and you want to add the SUMMARY sub-topic, send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with the following command: set wx-atlan topics +summary <----- This applies to WX-ATLAN people or set wx-tropl topics +summary <----- This applies to WX-TROPL people If you currently have your sub-topics set to ALL and you *do not* want to see Gary's summaries, send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with the following command: set wx-atlan topics -summary <----- This applies to WX-ATLAN people or set wx-tropl topics -summary <----- This applies to WX-TROPL people The only difference between the two sets of commands is that one has a plus (+) sign before the word "summary" and the other has a minus (-) sign. The plus sign means "add this sub-topic" while the minus sign means "delete this sub-topic". If you have any questions or if you experience problems changing your profile please e-mail me directly at chris@siu.edu. ..Chris.. The following is a repeat of Gary's original post about the summaries. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = To subcribers of WX-TROPL and WX-ATLAN: (If you are subscribed to WX-TALK and received this last week, please ignore. Chris wants to distribute these through WX-TROPL and WX-ATLAN.) This is to let everyone know that the "Beven reports" of yesteryear are about to be resuscitated after a fashion. As all of you wx-talkers who were subscribed prior to mid-1996 remember, Jack Beven used to write a weekly summary of tropical cyclone activity all around the globe. Jack had begun these summaries in July, 1991, while still a student at FSU, and he continued them after beginning his career at NHC (now TPC). But by mid-1996 Jack had become so "snowed-under" with duties at work, working on TPC's webpage, writing articles for _Mariners' Weather Log_ and other publications, plus moving into a new home--that the summaries gradually fell so far behind he abandoned trying to catch up. A few months back, Chris Landsea asked me if I thought I might like to take over writing the summaries. So I'm giving it a try. There's going to be one major difference from the older summaries---the new ones will be monthly summaries, hopefully posted by the 10th of each month. (This is for the January, 1998, summary and beyond. I originally intended to start with January, but decided to begin with October in order to cover the parade of Western Pacific supertyphoons, the destructive Hurricane Pauline in Mexico, and the very early start to what is turning out to be a very active season in the South Pacific. The October summary will be sent out shortly, and the November summary should follow within a couple of days. Hopefully the December summary will be ready by around 20 Jan, and then I should be able to get on track and have the January summary ready on or before 10 Feb.) I plan to write a short narrative of each storm, including significant wind and rainfall reports as I receive them, plus any damage and casualty figures. At Chris' request, I'll be including a tabular track listing for each cyclone, giving center coordinates and estimated maximum sustained winds and central pressure where available. For purposes of these summaries, the tropical cyclone basins will be broken down as follows: Northern Hemisphere ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ATLANTIC - North Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea NORTHEAST PACIFIC - Pacific North of Equator and East of Longitude 180 NORTHWEST PACIFIC - Pacific North of Equator and West of Longitude 180 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Southern Hemisphere ------------------------------------------------------------------------- SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E AUSTRALIAN REGION - Longitude 90E eastward to 160E SOUTHWEST PACIFIC - South Pacific East of Longitude 160E (This scheme is the same one Jack used except that he considered the Eastern and Central North Pacific areas as two basins, and reported on the Southern Hemisphere as two basins: east and west of Longitude 135E, respectively. The Northeast Pacific east of the dateline is usually considered one TC basin, and the EASTPAC Best Track database includes the Central Pacific. But the tropical cyclogenetical areas of the Southern Hemisphere in essence form a long continuous strip from the east African mainland eastward to the area of French Polynesia, so we decided to just go with the boundaries between the areas of warning responsibility of the different countries involved.) Chris will be making Jack's older summaries available on AOML/HRD's website. As time permits, I hope to backtrack to June, 1996 (when Jack's last weekly summary was written) in order to sort of fill in the gap. At a minimum the operational tracks can be provided. Since the official storm reports for Atlantic and Eastern Pacific TCs are already available for 1996 and 1997 tropical cyclones, there will be no need in covering these basins. Hopefully, the official summaries from some of the other warning centers can be archived at HRD also. When I have all the details of how the tracks and summaries can be retrieved from HRD's website, I'll pass the information along. One final word---in order to create the summaries and track listings in a format that everyone should be able to view on their computers without having to have any web browser or the latest version of some particular software package, I chose for the time being to create them as simple, straightforward text files using DOS editor. When first viewed by e-mail software, things may look funny and out of line, but if downloaded to disk and viewed with DOS editor or Notepad, things should be OK. Or a change of font in e-mail editor may sometimes suffice. Best regards, Gary Padgett E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com Phone: 334-222-5327 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 16:31:25 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: A Question About Writing a Research Paper... I have a question about how to find the necessary data to write a research paper about severe weather in Northern Maine. I downloaded the SvrPlot software and plotted the severe weather data for Northern Maine and noticed certain areas are susceptibale to seeing tornadic thunderstorms and other areas of Northern Maine see hailstorms while other areas are susceptibale to microbursts. I would like to study why these areas see these types of severe weather and what weather parameters need to come together to produce severe weather in Northern Maine. I was wondering if anyone could help me out with where to find the necessary data to do this paper. Also, visit my chasing page. I have been chasing thunderstorms since 1991 and have seen 1 tornado (1994) and 2 funnel clouds (1994 and 1995). The address to this page is: http://maine.maine.edu/~rlight51/index.html One final question...I am seriously considering purchasing a camcorder. What should I be looking for in a camcorder...and which type should I purchase (8 MM, VHS, VHS-C) My price range is $600 or less. Thanks In Advance... Robert Lightbown/Caribou Maine ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 14:25:19 -0800 From: Eric DeFonso Subject: Weather Channel stuff In article , Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > Welcome to the club. That's been going on for a long time. My all >time favorite is how they stand in front of what you're trying to see. >Can't tell you how many times I've actually caught myself moving my head >from side >to side as if to actually see around these guys' waists. :) What ever >happened to the good ole days of the laser pointer, or even the stick >pointer? I can't stand that. You'd think they realize they're standing >right in front of the weather producers. Half the time, they're standing >right in front of it as they give their narrations ABOUT it, and then >they tell you to look at it, whence the picture then changes, half a >second after they move out of the way, to the temps or something. That's >just dumb. [snip] > > Perhaps thick black bars on the sides of every screen would do well to >help eliminate this? give them room on the sides of the screen to stand? >Would keep them out of the way of the maps and images - the important stuff. My favorite solution to this is to require the on-camera people to wear entirely blue attire, so that all you see is their head and hands. That way, the could stand anywhere they wanted, and all you'd see is this ghostlike apparition moving to and fro in front of the map, pointing to items of interest without obstructing the view. I confess, though, that I got this idea from a sketch I saw on the Conan O'Brien show (sidekick Andy paid a visit to TWC). It was pretty funny, but maybe it's not such a silly idea after all. Eric D ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ "I cannot see how to refute the arguments for the subjectivity of ethical values, but I find myself incapable of believing that all that is wrong with wanton cruelty is that I don't like it." -- Bertrand Russell ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 20:08:07 -0600 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Wallace and Tiernan barometer Howdy Wx-Talkers! I am seeking any documentation about a Wallace and Tiernan aneroid barometer. The model number is FA-112 ... the serial number is UU13897. The barometer face is about 6.5" in diameter and is colored white with black tick marks and numbers... and mounts into a panel. Also... there is a mirrored strip near the edge of the face to allow one to line the needle up properly on the scale. The scale begins at 22.00 inches of mercury and ends at 31.5 inches. If anyone has documentation on this barometer or any other Wallace and Tiernan products I sure would like to hear from you. If anyone has questions or comments... please feel free to respond to bhaynie@ttu.edu or a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu. Best Regards, Bruce ------------ Bruce Haynie Lubbock, TX a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems bhaynie@ttu.edu Specialist "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:09:04 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: E-Mail Forecasts Does anyone have any information on forecasts for local areas sent by e-mail or mailing lists? I live in the Southwest Florida area(Naples). Eric Gissendaner jericg@Qoolnet.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 23:14:48 -0600 From: SHWILLER Subject: Internet Charges --=====================_885363343==_ Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" To all those who pay their own internet charges, the attachment to this mesage from the Jan 20, 1998, issue of Newsweek, page 12, should be of interest, Sy Shwiller --=====================_885363343==_ Content-Type: application/octet-stream; name="NEWSWEEK.TIF"; x-mac-type="42494E41"; x-mac-creator="6D646F73" Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="NEWSWEEK.TIF" SUkqAAgAAAAMAP8AAwABAAAAAQAAAAABAwABAAAAdgIAAAEBAwABAAAAhwcAAAIBAwABAAAAAQAA AAMBAwABAAAAAQAAAD0BAwABAAAAAQAAAAYBAwABAAAAAQAAABEBBAABAAAArgAAABUBAwABAAAA AQAAABoBBQABAAAAngAAABsBBQABAAAApgAAABwBAwABAAAAAQAAAAAAAAAsAQAAAQAAACwBAAAB AAAA//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// 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/////////////////////////////////////////////////P////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //z///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ///////////////////////////////8//////////////////////////////////////////// /////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////A== --=====================_885363343==_ Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" --=====================_885363343==_-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jan 1998 to 20 Jan 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4423 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627129-18414>; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 14:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26544; Thu, 22 Jan 1998 00:09:34 -0600 Message-Id: <199801220609.AAA26544@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jan 1998 to 21 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 226214ba05f2faf97ff5c7322035da8b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 253 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. shwiller@FWB.GULF.NET 2. e-mail forecasts / 04/03/74 obs 3. question on NCDC 6200 format conversion 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. 6. Tropical Cyclone Summaries 7. Intense South Pacific Cyclones 8. E-Mail Forecasts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 00:51:27 -0600 From: Matt/N9Npp Trotta Subject: shwiller@FWB.GULF.NET i received a long download full of gibberish from this listserve ( Automatic digest processor ) it was from shwiller@FWB.GULF.NET so i sent it right back to him. (just to show him it didn't come out ok ) i'm a peaceful creature you know. a good way to share a picture with everyone is to upload it to your own server and just send us the link. or there is a new group out there just for weather binaries. here's an example this is a picture of my tower that got blown down in a wind storm go see it at http://www.axnet.com/united/towerdowned.htm now all of you (on juno for example) won't have to suffer. matt/n9npp matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/index.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.121 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ________________________Reply Separator_____________________ -------------------==== Posted via Deja News ====----------------------- http://www.dejanews.com/ Search, Read, Post to Usenet ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 08:06:51 -0600 From: BART WOLF Subject: e-mail forecasts / 04/03/74 obs Eric Gissendaner asked: >Does anyone have any information on forecasts for local areas sent by >e-mail or mailing lists? I live in the Southwest Florida area(Naples). Infobeat (www.infobeat.com) - formerly Mercury Mail - sends email local forecast and related info at user-defined intervals. I have found it to be quite convenient. They also provide sports scores, market indices, news, and other stuff. Now a question: A while back someone posted a request for obs from the 1974 superoutbreak. I don't recall seeing a response posted to this list. Is there a location where one might find such information? Thanks! - Bart ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Bart J. Wolf, Ph.D. (KB9MZJ) email: bwolf@exodus.valpo.edu Assistant Professor of Meteorology phone: (219) 464-5136 Valparaiso University fax: (219) 464-5381 Department of Geography & Meteorology www: http://www.valpo.edu/geomet/ Valparaiso, IN 46383-6493 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 10:54:30 -0500 From: Mark Stunder Subject: question on NCDC 6200 format conversion Hi, I need to convert some overseas sounding data that I am receiving from Asheville. I've been told that the data is in "6200 format" and that available sounding PC plot programs such as SHARP or RAOB cannot handle that data format. Apparently they handle FSL or FMH-4 (TTAA etc.) type format. I've been told that overseas sounding data is in a format different than the US data, so the PC sounding plot programs can't handle that. I'm not a met data/format wiz. All I want to do is plot a year's worth of soundings for one overseas location. In fact, I only need to go up to 500mb or so. Does anyone know of any programs that convert "6200" to something that a PC sounding program can read OR is there a PC sounding program that can read 6200 format? Thanks, Mark ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 13:29:15 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites on 15 January 1998. PURDUE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT (KLAF) LAFAYETTE... IN KALAMAZOO/BATTLE CREEK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KAZO) KALAMAZOO... MI SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS AIRPORT (KSUS) ST LOUIS... MO Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 11:36:09 +1100 From: Paul Yole Subject: Found this in alt.talk.weather: New invention allows one to divert a modest size storm by discharging front energy by equalizing conditions on both sides of a front. High flying plane actually drops a highly explosive device--an Air bomb---Air bomb causes the an instantaneous low pressure zone and supersonic high pressure shock wavefronts. Over open oceanic surface some degree of direction can be achieved so as to partially divert a storm. Paul Yole - Stormchaser and Weather photographer 18 Hamilton Street Murtoa, Vic. 3390 Australia Email: vortex@comcirc.com.au Web site:http://members.comcirc.com.au/users/vortex NOTE: NEW WEB SITE ADDRESS ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 19:21:42 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Tropical Cyclone Summaries Last week I posted my first Global Monthly Tropical Cyclone Summary (for October, 1997) to WX-TALK. Chris has indicated that he'd prefer I post it to WX-TROPL and WX-ATLAN. He has established a SUMMARY topic for both those lists, and has sent some instructions to both those lists on what to do in order to receive it or else not to receive it. For the benefit of some possible persons on WX-TALK who are not subscribed to the other lists, but want to get the summary, I'd suggest you subscribe to WX-ATLAN. Send a one-line message to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU as follows: sub wx-atlan YourFirstName YourLastName The only product you receive by default on WX-ATLAN is the 4-times daily Tropical Weather Outlook, which is only issued from 1 Jun to 1 Dec, and they are usually quite short. To add the summary you would send another one-liner to the list server as follows: SET WX-ATLAN TOPICS: +SUMMARY If you don't want the outlook, the following command will add the summary and disable the outlook: SET WX-ATLAN TOPICS: -OUTLOOK +SUMMARY I'm getting ready to post the November summary shortly to the other lists, and hopefully the December summary will be ready by the weekend. RE the separate cyclone tracks files---Chris Landsea has offered to store them at HRD. So far I've not seen them in the advertised directory. Hopefully they will soon be available. Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 19:42:43 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Intense South Pacific Cyclones A couple of weeks back, someone was asking if TC Ron was the most intense storm ever observed in the South Pacific. Here is an excerpt from Mark Kersemakers of the Fiji TCWC in some info he has sent me on Ron and Susan: Subject: Re: E-Mail Forecasts Eric Gissendaner wrote: > Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 21:09:04 -0500 > From: Eric Gissendaner > Subject: E-Mail Forecasts > > Does anyone have any information on forecasts for local areas sent by > e-mail or mailing lists? I live in the Southwest Florida area(Naples). > Eric Gissendaner jericg@Qoolnet.com Try the IMO Skywarn weather alert service at: http://www.nimbus.org/weatheralert/ It is county specific. Plus, you can get other specialized bulletins(i.e. convective outlooks, etc.) Erik Jacobsen KB9BNY ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jan 1998 to 21 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:29:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-10458>; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:11:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17506; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 00:08:17 -0600 Message-Id: <199801230608.AAA17506@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 00:02:27 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jan 1998 to 22 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d746f6b72c80a33571c30b35a14d4b73 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 236 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? (4) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:11:10 -0500 From: Tom Fleming Subject: South Central Wisconsin Skywarn and Dane County ARES is announcing the annual severe weather spotter training program. The program will be held on Saturday March 21st at the Wisconsin Emergence Management Building at 2402 Wright St in Madison WI. Talk in frequency will be the 146.880 Baraboo repeater. Registration will start at 9:00am with the program starting at 10:00am. ALL SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO ATTEND. Part of the program will be discussion on the changes to the Skywarn program for the Sullivan NWS. ----------------------------------------------------- Tom Fleming - N9SZF Dane County ARES VP (608) 246-0282 tfleming@madison.tec.wi.us ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 16:23:36 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became an commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 22 January 1998. LAKE HOOD SEA PLANE BASE (PALH) ANCHORAGE... AK Miles Schumachyer - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 16:17:12 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? Hello everyone, I have now received similar messages like this from several of my very reliable sources. Frankly, though, I do not know if this can be true. Read on. ______________________________ Forward Header __________________________________ Hi, all! I just heard from a very reliable source today that a certain well-known private met firm is planning to strengthen their Internet presence by trying to force weather info from universities off the web. To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest University providing weather info on the web and sue them." I will refrain from any commentary here. Let it suffice to say that if you know of any .edu sites that may be targets, you might want to inform them. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ I have protected the sender(s) of these messages by deleting their names. However, the people who sent me the message are trustworthy. And it has been forwarded to most NWS offices. FYI, most of the weather data on the web through universities is done via data provided by Alden Electronics, and I know they wouldn't sue before sending someone a warning to cool it. Thus, this confuses me as to the legitimacy of this message. However, in this sue-happy society where even God has gotten sued and lost in a court in Arizona, I pay attention to all but the most outlandish statements. And folks, I do know that the data vendors dislike the universities for all that data they do put out. Stay tuned. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 17:14:06 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? Gilbert L. Sebenste posted the following statement from an "anonymous" (protected) sender... > I just heard from a very reliable source today that a certain > well-known private met firm is planning to strengthen their Internet > presence by trying to force weather info from universities off the > web. > To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest > University providing weather info on the web and sue them." Sue away! SIU is not in violation of anyone's contracts (at least none that I' aware of). Messing with education would be a big mistake in my opinion --one which could easily backfire on the "weather giants". Congress could easily reverse it's business-friendly attitude and start allowing NWS to make *all* of its products (particularly NEXRAD) available via the Internet. One problem I foresee, however, at least at my university, is the likelihood of a knee-jerk reaction to the threat of a law suit. Our NetNews, for example, is already heavily censored/restricted because administration is affraid someone might get offended by what they read or that the university might get sued for distributing child pornography. Instead of trying to understand the issue rationally they just made a decision to blanket disallow entire news hierarchies to "cover their asses". While I'm not personally worried about getting sued I am concerned that the threat of a suit could result in some panicky administrator rushing into my office saying "shut it down...shut it all down!" (like C3PO telling R2D2 to shut down all the trash compactors). The threat of a suit could have a severe chilling effect (no pun intended) on the dissemination of weather data. Then again, one could argue that with so many tax dollars already invested in putting the Internet into schools (primary, secondary, and universities) and with virtually every NWS office on the Internet (either directly or indirectly), it's in the government's best interest to release their data. The big boys could still restrict access to any of their "value-added" products (like radar pix that show snow vs. rain) and they could prohibit further redistribution of any products delivered via their networks but they are in no position to tell the US Government that it can't distribute its own data! The agreement between NOAA/NWS and the "big four" radar distribution companies established during the Reagan administration was an effective and economically sound method (in terms government spending) for making NEXRAD data available. This arrangement, however, was established at a time when the Internet was still in its infancy --confined to major universities and the military. Today though, with the Internet available to anyone with a PC and a modem, the merits of maintaining a proprietary data distribution network could easily be questioned. With enough public pressure and media attention the government could be forced to abandon it's original agreement. NWS could conceivably open the floodgates and make all its products available to everyone. The government would claim that freeing the data *is* business-friendly because it encourages growth of mom & pop forecasting companies --which heretofore could not afford the data. All it takes is a single crafty politician, with access to the media, to demonstrate how some poor family needlessly died when their home was struck by a tornado and the local emergency manager (who couldn't afford to purchase radar data) didn't never knew the tornado was coming and consequently never activated his federally-funded storm sirens. Bottom line, NWS has already made most of their products available via the Internet. Waging a war against education could be a costly mistake. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 00:34:47 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? > > To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest > > University providing weather info on the web and sue them." > > Messing with education would be a big mistake in my opinion -- > one which could easily backfire on the "weather giants". I wholeheartedly agree. Just because bullying the market worked for Microsoft (at least for a while...the tides are finally changing) doesn't mean it's a good business model for some weather data vendor to emulate. I assume that this threat (if it's real) applies to NIDS radar -- if universities re-distribute such products in real time, violating contractual agreements, then perhaps a case can be made for a vendor outcry. But surface reports? Satellite imagery? Model forecasts? Let's hope no weather vendor is stupid enough to think about really attempting such a greedy stunt... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 21:58:24 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? Chris Novy wrote: > Gilbert L. Sebenste posted the following > statement from an "anonymous" (protected) sender... > > > I just heard from a very reliable source today that a certain > > well-known private met firm is planning to strengthen their > Internet > > presence by trying to force weather info from universities off > the > > web. > > To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest > > University providing weather info on the web and sue them." Funny, it seems that some private firms NEED to be suing somebody. Only the reputable ones seem to go about their own business, while the others feel the need to sue. Keep up the good work, SIU! *********************************************************************** Daniel McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Norman, OK My Account....My thoughts "Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man." .....respected theology instructor *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jan 1998 to 22 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625907-27094>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:16:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id SAA26656; Fri, 23 Jan 1998 18:11:49 -0600 Message-Id: <199801240011.SAA26656@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 18:08:22 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jan 1998 to 23 Jan 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 87eaa667dab2a33e356081b75b997dd3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 828 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Weather on the Web 2. APRIL 3, 1974..Guin , Al...F5 3. Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? (2) 4. Severe weather warnings get an overhaul! 5. Darn El Nino! 6. Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS (3) 7. Weather Data Needed 8. Name that data type +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 01:42:21 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Re: Weather on the Web Much of the weather data now being distributed by universities over the internet is available to anyone with equipment to receive the WEFAX and EMWIN downloads on GOES-8 and 9. The NWS has dramatically increased the amount of data it makes available in the new beta 9600 baud EMWIN link, which is scheduled to replace the 1200 baud downlink later this year. For those of you who aren't familiar with EMWIN (Emergency Managers Weather Information Network), the 9600 baud datastream includes a very respectable mix of text and graphics, including most of the AFOS graphics and various products the NWS itself is generating with Unidata software. In light of this, a lawsuit by a commercial weather provider against a university which makes weather data available on the Internet doesn't make much sense. Jim Robinson Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer & Houston-Harris County EMWIN Coordinator ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 00:49:18 -0600 From: "Tim R.Vickery" Subject: APRIL 3, 1974..Guin , Al...F5 I was interested in trying to obtain from anyone or site, information dealing with the "horrific" F5 (F6)? that wiped out the town of Guin, Al. back in the SuperoutBreak in 74'.As I only live about 25 miles from the actual site, I was interested in any books or maybe even the DAY1 outlook from NSSL that day pretaining to the atmospheric conditions that existed that day!Reading what material I've found so far, even newspaper interviews even Dr. Fujita himself had determined that this tornado's above ground wind speed was in "excess" of 380 MPH! Now I've heard of higher F'scales but this is the "first" indication of it being applied to an event.As many of the shall I say "oldtimers" in meteorology surely have studied this storm, all I assume would have to admit that this was "the" greatest tornadic storm to ever strike earth!The newspaper clippings are absolutely incredible.Yes I've seen the great tornado damage since that day of more present day storms, but none as I've seen thru the photo's of this town that one day dissappeared! Any help with any additional info would be "greatly" appreciated!... Tim Vickery ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:07:52 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? > > > > To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest > > > University providing weather info on the web and sue them." > > > > Messing with education would be a big mistake in my opinion -- > > one which could easily backfire on the "weather giants". > > I wholeheartedly agree. Just because bullying the market worked > for Microsoft (at least for a while...the tides are finally changing) > doesn't mean it's a good business model for some weather data > vendor to emulate. > > I assume that this threat (if it's real) applies to NIDS radar -- if > universities re-distribute such products in real time, violating > contractual agreements, then perhaps a case can be made for > a vendor outcry. But surface reports? Satellite imagery? > Model forecasts? > > Let's hope no weather vendor is stupid enough to think > about really attempting such a greedy stunt... > > -Scott > Well, if one does, I volunteer to call their local TV or radio station and tell them I will boycott their station (I think I'd also call some prominent sponsors of theirs and say the same thing) and give them the good reason for doing so. I would think that would be an effective countermeasure. The Other Scott at SSEC (Hi Scott!) -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 08:53:25 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Severe weather warnings get an overhaul! If someone could pass this onto the SKYWARN list, that would be great. Severe thunderstorm/flash floods/tornado/special marine warnings get a new look April 1, 1998!!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 900 AM EST FRI JAN 23 1998 TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT SHORT-FUSE SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES TO TAKE ON A NEW LOOK... EFFECTIVE APRIL 1 1998 BEGINNING APRIL 1 1998 AT 600 AM CST / 1200 UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED OR UTC/...SHORT FUSE SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES WILL BE ISSUED WITH A /BULLET STYLE/ FORMAT INSTEAD OF THE FULL NARRATIVE VERSION USED IN PREVIOUS YEARS. THIS FORMAT ALLOWS CRITICAL INFORMATION TO STAND OUT IN A STANDARD SEQUENTIAL FASHION ON INDIVIDUAL LINES...SEPARATED BY A BLANK LINE. THE NEW APPEARANCE MAKES IT EASIER TO REVIEW AND READ THE WARNING QUICKLY. NO PRODUCT IDENTIFIER/HEADER CHANGES AND NO UNIVERSAL GEOGRAPHIC CODE CHANGES ARE REQUIRED BY NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ CUSTOMERS...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ CUSTOMERS...OR OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS. HOWEVER...SOME TELEVISION STATIONS...POSSIBLY INCLUDING CABLE TELEVISION...WILL NEED TO ENSURE EQUIPMENT USED TO GENERATE A CRAWL WILL ACCOMMODATE THE NEW WARNING FORMAT. THE SHORT-FUSE WARNING PRODUCTS AFFECTED ARE SHORT-FUSE WARNING PRODUCT NWWS ID + WMO HEADER FOR FOS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CCCSVRXXX + WUUS1 KXXX TORNADO WARNING CCCTORXXX + WFUS1 KXXX FLASH FLOOD WARNING CCCFFWXXX + WRUS1 KXXX SPECIAL MARINE WARNING CCCSMWXXX + WMUS1 KXXX + WMO HEADERS SUBJECT TO CHANGE SOMETIME IN SPRING 1998. NOTICES FOR WMO HEADER CHANGES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING WORLD WIDE WEB SITE /USE LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/NOTICES/NOTICES.SHTML CONTENT OF THE WARNINGS WILL REMAIN THE SAME...ONLY THE THEIR APPEARANCE WILL CHANGE. IN ORDER OF APPEARANCE...BULLETS WILL CONTAIN THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION. NWS OFFICES PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. HAVE BEEN EXPERIMENTING WITH SUCH BULLET FORMATS DURING THE PAST YEAR. WITH THIS NOTIFICATION...ALL NWS OFFICES WILL ADOPT A STANDARDIZED...BULLET STYLE FORMAT. A SAMPLE WARNING FORMAT FOLLOWS: ............EXAMPLE ONLY.....NOT FOR REAL...... ALBSVRALB /NWWS ID LINE ONLY/ TTAA00 KALB 262118 SVRALB /FOR WMO/FOS ONLY/ NYC095-262200- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 517 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 1997 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SCHOHARIE COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF COBLESKILL...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH. COBLESKILL AT 520 PM EDT SCHOHARIE AT 545 PM EDT HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE LIKELY. PERSONS IN OR NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS ...END OF EXAMPLE... IN GENERIC FORM...THE FORMAT IS AS FOLLOWS... CCCNNNXXX /NWWS ID WITH NNN = TOR...SVR...FFW... OR SMW/ TTAA00 KXXX DDHHMM /WMO HEADER + DATE/UTC TIME OF MESSAGE/ NNNXXX /ADDITIONAL HEADER INFORMATION FOR WMO/FOS/ SSCFFF-FFF-ETC.-DDHHMM- /UNIVERSAL GEOGRAPHIC CODE USING COUNTY FIPS /FFF/ NUMBER/S/ AND WARNING EXPIRATION DATE/UTC TIME/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED /TYPE OF WARNING/ /LOCATION OF NWS OFFICE/ HHMM /AM/PM EST/EDT/CST/CDT/MST/MDT/PST/PDT/ DAY MON DD YYYY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN /LOCATION/ HAS ISSUED A /TYPE OF WARNING/ FOR... /COUNTY/PARISH/INDEPENDENT CITY/ IN /PORTION OF STATE/ /UP TO 5 COUNTIES/PARISHES/INDEPENDENT CITIES ALLOWED/ UNTIL /HHMM AM/PM AST/ADT/EDT/EST/CST/CDT/MST/MDT/PST/PDT/ /AT HHMM AM/PM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/.../BASIS OF WARNING/ THE /TYPE OF SEVERE PHENOMENA/ WILL BE NEAR... /LOCALITY/ AT HHMM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/ /LOCALITY/ AT HHMM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/ /CONCLUDING NARRATIVE WITH ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SPOTTER REPORTS...AND CALL-TO-ACTION./ IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT WILLIAM ALEXANDER DONALD WERNLY...CHIEF CUSTOMER OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY W/OM11 SERVICE 1325 EAST WEST HWY... SSMC2 SAME ADDRESS SILVER SPRING MD 20910 PH. 301-713-0090 EXT. 115 PH. 301-713-0090 EXT. 138 ...NOTE TO INTERNET USERS... THIS AND ALL OTHER PENDING NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY/S HOME PAGE IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION. THE ADDRESS OF THE NOTIFICATION SECTION /IN SMALL CASE LETTERS/ IS HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM END ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 00:07:07 -0500 From: Daniel Vietor Subject: Re: Weather data on the 'net in jeopardy? --------------A98925DD12AC848C647A7918 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > Hello everyone, > > I have now received similar messages like this from several of my very > reliable sources. Frankly, though, I do not know if this can be true. Read > on. > ______________________________ Forward Header __________________________________ > > Hi, all! > > I just heard from a very reliable source today that a certain > well-known private met firm is planning to strengthen their Internet > presence by trying to force weather info from universities off the > web. > > To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest > University providing weather info on the web and sue them." > > I will refrain from any commentary here. Let it suffice to say that > if you know of any .edu sites that may be targets, you might want to > inform them. > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------ We've seen this before and we will see this again. The timing of this is interesting! If you look at the argument that has been posed by private meteorology about the presence of weather data on the web, it is based around the idea that the access to the data is not free and that universities have the data costs subsidized while the private sector must pass the cost along to the end user. This essentially puts the universities in a position of providing unfair competition for the private sector. This is a true statement and one we should worry about in a world where privatization and protection of the private sector is promoted. The other argument is that we are providing forecast products that private firms must pay forecasters and graphics artists to prepare. Again, a cost passed along to the user in the private sector and thus the universities are unfairly competing. In the next year, NOAAPort will become available essentially reducing data costs to near 0 for both public and private entities. In a sense, the data is subsidized by the national government and not by the data providers. This will eliminate the first argument. The second argument is a touchy one. I only visualize the raw feed. There is no FORECASTING going on here and thus there is virtually no cost to be passed on. I'm passing the task of forecasting on to the end user. If I were producing specialized products that required special intervention, I could see the second argument coming into play. I believe the timing is critical here. Obviously, this company sees the onset of NOAAPort eliminating much of the argument they could use in a lawsuit and thus they need to persue this prior to NOAAPort becoming operational. If the suit works out, then there will be precedent to sue all universities and force them all off the Web. They need to move quickly as after this summer, they have little grounds. This is a battle that will be fought over and over again about freely available data on the web. I suspect in the future laws could be passed that will make it more difficult to provide data free to the end user but hopefully someone will realize this would end the web as we know it. Lets hope this all doesn't happen. ======================================================================== Daniel Vietor INTERNET devo@eas.purdue.edu Dept of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences TITLE Senior Project Specialist Purdue University WXP Developer West Lafayette IN 47907 WXP http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu PH 765-494-3292 FAX 765-496-1210 EAS http://www.eas.purdue.edu ======================================================================== --------------A98925DD12AC848C647A7918 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote:
Hello everyone,

I have now received similar messages like this from several of my very
reliable sources. Frankly, though, I do not know if this can be true. Read
on.
______________________________ Forward Header __________________________________

     Hi, all!

     I just heard from a very reliable source today that a certain
     well-known private met firm is planning to strengthen their Internet
     presence by trying to force weather info from universities off the
     web.

     To paraphrase what I was told, they plan to find the "weakest
     University providing weather info on the web and sue them."

     I will refrain from any commentary here.  Let it suffice to say that
     if you know of any .edu sites that may be targets, you might want to
     inform them.

------------------------------------------------------------------------ We've seen this before and we will see this again.  The timing of this is interesting!

If you look at the argument that has been posed by private meteorology about the presence of weather data on the web, it is based around the idea that the access to the data is not free and that universities have the data costs subsidized while the private sector must pass the cost along to the end user.  This essentially puts the universities in a position of providing unfair competition for the private sector.  This is a true statement and one we should worry about in a world where privatization and protection of the private sector is promoted.

The other argument is that we are providing forecast products that private firms must pay forecasters and graphics artists to prepare.  Again, a cost passed along to the user in the private sector and thus the universities are unfairly competing.

In the next year, NOAAPort will become available essentially reducing data costs to near 0 for both public and private entities.  In a sense, the data is subsidized by the national government and not by the data providers.  This will eliminate the first argument.

The second argument is a touchy one.  I only visualize the raw feed.  There is no FORECASTING going on here and thus there is virtually no cost to be passed on.  I'm passing the task of forecasting on to the end user.  If I were producing specialized products that required special intervention, I could see the second argument coming into play.

I believe the timing is critical here.  Obviously, this company sees the onset of NOAAPort eliminating much of the argument they could use in a lawsuit and thus they need to persue this prior to NOAAPort becoming operational.  If the suit works out, then there will be precedent to sue all universities and force them all off the Web.  They need to move quickly as after this summer, they have little grounds.

This is a battle that will be fought over and over again about freely available data on the web.  I suspect in the future laws could be passed that will make it more difficult to provide data free to the end user but hopefully someone will realize this would end the web as we know it.  Lets hope this all doesn't happen. 

========================================================================
Daniel
Vietor            &
nbsp;           INTERNET
devo@eas.purdue.edu
Dept of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences TITLE Senior Project Specialist
Purdue
University           &nb
sp;            &nbs
p; WXP Developer
West Lafayette IN
47907            &n
bsp; WXP http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu
PH 765-494-3292   FAX 765-496-1210   EAS http://www.eas.purdue.edu
========================================================================
  --------------A98925DD12AC848C647A7918-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 10:16:08 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Darn El Nino! Apparently Oxnard NWS has not read the outlooks for a wet, mud-logged Super Bowl. Which showed up _everywhere_ just a few months back. (Even my DSS sports magazine had a big article on it last month) The official forecast is saying sunny with a high in the lower 70's!!! FPUS66 KLOX 231221 SFPCA STATE FORECASTS FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA 430 AM PST FRI JAN 23 1998 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- CAZ035 - 036 - 038>045 - 047>050 - 240000 - STATE FORECAST FOR COASTAL AREAS 430 AM PST FRI JAN 23 1998 .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT INCREASING CLOUDS LATE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 11:31:44 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS David Black sent me the following message... >Hi, Chris, > >I have been a subscriber to Wxtalk for some time and really enjoy it. > >I have written a story on something I think weather enthusiasts >will find interesting. Most folks don't realize it yet, but >a big change is coming to weather radio. Rather than simply post >my article to the mail list without your permission, I am sending >it to you separately. > >Please feel free to post it--I have also included a web site where >people can actually hear a sample of the new voice, as well as take >part in an on-line/interactive forum where they can vote on whether >they like it and post comments. > >Thanks! > >David Black >Birmingham, Alabama >E-mail: dblack@scott.net Have a look at David's article below, then visit the web site and see what you think. Although voice synthesis has been around for more than two decades, the digitized sample of Birmingham's CRS system reminds me of a "Speak 'n Spell" toy. While the voice quality may be acceptable for select listeners, like pilots receiving automated weather briefings, or for people with speech disabilities, I think the general public will have *major* problems understanding with it. Between replacing the old tape cart system and installing Specific Area Message Encoder capability, NOAA Weather Radio has come a long way. I'd prefer to see more improvement on the vlice synthesis before NWS takes humans out of the broadcast business. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = New Weather Radio voice to debut despite listener complaints By David Black (Birmingham, Alabama) -- Coming this year to a weather radio near you: A voice that promises to sound different from any voice you've ever heard delivering information on NOAA Weather Radio. If it doesn't sound human, that's because it isn't. The National Weather Service thought it had a great idea in developing a new method of bringing warnings and other information to Weather Radio listeners faster and with less cost. What NWS officials didn't expect was the response they would get. Alabama listeners don't like what they're hearing. Beginning this spring, Weather Radio listeners elsewhere in the U.S. will be able to judge for themselves. That's when the Console Replacement System, or CRS, begins to take over many of the announcing duties currently performed by people at NWS Forecast Offices nationwide. The $15 million system is expected to be fully on-line on the Weather Service's network of nearly 400 Weather Radio stations by the end of 1998. CRS represents a huge step forward in technology. It promises to reduce by several minutes the time needed to get a tornado or other severe weather warning actually broadcasting on the air. That's because it eliminates the need for a person to make a printed copy of the information, walk into the Weather Radio control room, set up the appropriate equipment, record the information in his or her voice and then program the transmitter to actually begin broadcasting the product. Instead, CRS takes the information and places it on the air the moment the forecaster creating the product hits "enter" on his or her console. The system converts the letters, numbers and words into computerized speech and starts broadcasting the information over Weather Radio instantly. The new system can knock two minutes or more off the time needed to broadcast critical weather information, the Weather Service says. "CRS will make us less vulnerable to errors," says Brian Peters, the NWS' Warning Coordination Meteorologist in Birmingham. "With CRS, the person is available to spend more time generating products without having to spend tedious, laborious time putting the message into spoken words." Computers may be able to perform some tasks faster and more efficiently than people, but they don't necessarily sound better. That, at least, is the view many Alabama Weather Radio listeners hold. "It's terrible," says weather enthusiast Carl Grover of Birmingham. "It sounds like a broken German accent from a cheap second World War Nazi movie." Reaction to the new voice has been so negative that the Weather Service's Birmingham Office will continue to use people instead of CRS to read weather warnings until further notice. "We're shooting ourselves in the foot," says NWS meteorologist David Wilfing. Jim McCamy, emergency management director in Jackson county, Alabama, says the Weather Service should take CRS off the air. "I personally think they need to seriously reconsider the direction they're going," McCamy says. "Can it completely until it can be developed to the point that it's much more understandable. When you have schools calling and saying they can't understand the message that was just broadcast, it makes it more difficult for us." When CRS first went on the air in Birmingham during the summer of 1997, many of the spoken words were unintelligible. CRS has no dialect and doesn't blend sounds as well as humans can. Spacing between words was almost non-existent, making entire sentences difficult to understand. Pronunciation was awkward with many words. Because the system has difficulty distinguishing the difference in sound made with the letters "th" and "f", listeners complain that the word "thirty" sounds more like "fifty". Alabama television meteorologists are hearing an earful from Weather Radio listeners reacting to CRS. Rich Thomas, meteorologist at WSFA-TV in Montgomery, says all of the comments he has received are negative. "It's fine during routine weather situations, but I think it's never going to fly as far as severe weather," Thomas says. "I get a response especially from older viewers that it's very difficult to understand. You can't understand precisely what's being said and during severe weather, I think you need a human touch. It's going to have to get a whole lot better for it to work during severe weather warnings." James Spann, meteorologist at ABC 33/40 in Birmingham, is also receiving complaints. "I appreciate the timeliness of the system," Spann says. "But I think it's obvious from the public outcry that it won't work the way it's structured now." The NWS' Birmingham Office, which originates programming for 13 Weather Radio transmitters--the biggest load of any Weather Service Office in the country--was one of the first locations to get CRS. "It's possible to have five warnings at once (within the Birmingham Office's coverage warning area) and there's one microphone in the voice booth," Wilfing says, pointing out the time CRS can save in alerting the public. David Levey, of Saginaw, Alabama, is one of CRS' few fans. Levey likes the new system so much that he nicknamed it Hal, in honor of the genius-like, smooth-talking computer in the movie "2001: A Space Odyssey." "I like Hal," Levey says of CRS. "Synthesized speech cannot reproduce each and every sound human speech can. It has to be manipulated. I think any way our government can save money and be more efficient is the way of the future and the way it should be. We all are creatures of habit and we don't like change, but I have not been displeased with it. I even like it over some human voices." Besides Birmingham, the first NWS Offices to get CRS were Oxnard, California, Kansas City, Missouri and Charleston, West Virginia. Weather Service officials promise that CRS' sound will improve with time. "We can make it more understandable, but whether we can make it pleasant, I don't know," Wilfing says, admitting that he doesn't like the system's sound himself. "Stick with us," the Weather Service's Brian Peters pleads. "CRS wasn't planned to alienate people. The goal has been to speed the warning process which can save lives. The Weather Service is trying to spend tax dollars wisely. There is no way in the current budget climate that we are going to get more people to operate Weather Radio. So we've got to find alternatives to do the job better with fewer people." The new voice has fooled some listeners. WSFA's Rich Thomas says he received a call from one listener wanting to know how to contact the Weather Service. "He told me, 'they've got this guy who sounds like he's in the third grade and can barely speak'," Thomas says. "He really thought it was a human being." Brian Peters, meanwhile, sidestepped giving his opinion of the new system. "I've gotten used to it," he says. What do you think of CRS? Internet users can listen to a sample of CRS (from a January 18th, 1998 NWS Weather Radio broadcast in Birmingham) and give their opinions in an on-line interactive vote and Web opinion poll. Click on: cahaba.com/crs David Black is a broadcast journalist and producer in Birmingham, Alabama. END *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:06:26 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS >Have a look at David's article below, then visit the web site > and see what you think. Although voice >synthesis has been around for more than two decades, the digitized >sample of Birmingham's CRS system reminds me of a "Speak 'n Spell" toy. >While the voice quality may be acceptable for select listeners, like pilots >receiving automated weather briefings, or for people with speech >disabilities, I think the general public will have *major* problems >understanding with it. This is absolutely HORRID. You have to spend a fair amount of time and energy to understand what it is saying, something you do NOT want to have to deal with in an emergency situation. (Especially if you have more than one radio going, you need volume and absolute SILENCE to be able to decipher the broadcast.) So much for getting more of the public to listen to NWR; I know that when my SAME radio wakes me from a sound sleep, _I'm_ not going to be able decode the horrid speech CRS puts out. Way to go, NWS. William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 16:17:51 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Weather Data Needed Greetings Everyone From Southern Illinois I need some help locating some weather information. I am looking for a site on the net that provides updated rainfall forecasts from the National Weather Service. I would prefer the data be in graphic format...I am looking for a site that updates (as the weather service updates) during the day. Thank You for the help! derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 14:53:14 -0800 From: Trevor Subject: Re: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS > So much for getting more of the public to listen to NWR; I know that > when my SAME radio wakes me from a sound sleep, _I'm_ not going to be > able decode the horrid speech CRS puts out. Way to go, NWS. This speech synthesis is already in use by the Coast Guard with their notice to mariners and the FAA with their airport broadcasts. A simple SoundBlaster can do a better job, but when all is said and done and COST SAVINGS are realized, I'm afraid CRS is here to stay. | Adios from SoCal, -Trevor | The higher you climb that | | (trevor@pobox.com) | corporate ladder, the more | | http://www.pobox.com/~trevor | people see your rear end! | ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 16:03:45 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Name that data type Howdy wx-talkers... As it seems there is someone with an answer to most any question on this list, I ask the following... Any idea what is being transmitted in the following bulletins? I once read something that lead me to believe it might be RAWS data. Anyone know how to decode it? Many thanks...Jeff SXHW11 KWAL 232254 93201E40 023225434 011 008 051 076 1019.0 0451 0459 0459 0460 0460 0464 0467 0466 0465 0467 0467 0474 0478 0475 0474 0476 0474 0474 0475 0478 0479 0479 0480 0481 0483 0485 0492 0490 0489 0491 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 1064 000 21.1 12.9 52-4NN 50W NNNN 2256 SXHW11 KWAL 232254 9321D776 023225404 012 007 185 074 34.68 13.8 44-5HN 28W NNNN 2252 SXHW11 KWAL 232249 15D13434 023224950 012 009 167 083 12.9 46-0NN 50W NNNN 2240 SXHW11 KWAL 232236 15D142A4 023223623 010 005 066 083 54.30 1016.3 0829 0843 0785 0817 0808 0807 0794 0815 0848 0812 0786 0820 0830 0778 0854 0824 0859 0799 0838 0818 0802 0861 0843 0825 0805 0809 0820 0855 0818 0820 03 13.7 13.2 51+1NN 28W NNNN ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jan 1998 to 23 Jan 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626257-27086>; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:07:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15588; Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:05:02 -0600 Message-Id: <199801240605.AAA15588@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 00:01:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9713ee1f29511a4143fa24edb5a603e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 187 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. UPDATE: Warning format to change April 1 2. Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 18:17:52 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: UPDATE: Warning format to change April 1 Hello all, The NWS send out several corrections to the original post that I sent out this morning about the new format of warnings. It's not my fault, honest! And unfortunately, they still didn't correct the time they sent it out (should be 3:15PM), but everything else appears to be correct. Oh well, everyone has a bad day. And lucky for us, it's FRIDAY!!! :-) :-) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 315 AM EST FRI JAN 23 1998 TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT SHORT-FUSE SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES TO TAKE ON A NEW LOOK... EFFECTIVE APRIL 1 1998 BEGINNING APRIL 1 1998 AT 600 AM CST / 1200 UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED OR UTC/...SHORT FUSE SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES WILL BE ISSUED WITH A /BULLET STYLE/ FORMAT INSTEAD OF THE FULL NARRATIVE VERSION USED IN PREVIOUS YEARS. THIS FORMAT ALLOWS CRITICAL INFORMATION TO STAND OUT IN A STANDARD SEQUENTIAL FASHION ON INDIVIDUAL LINES...SEPARATED BY A BLANK LINE. THE NEW APPEARANCE MAKES IT EASIER TO REVIEW AND READ THE WARNING QUICKLY. NO PRODUCT IDENTIFIER/HEADER CHANGES AND NO UNIVERSAL GEOGRAPHIC CODE CHANGES ARE REQUIRED BY NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ CUSTOMERS...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ CUSTOMERS...OR OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS. HOWEVER...SOME TELEVISION STATIONS...POSSIBLY INCLUDING CABLE TELEVISION...WILL NEED TO ENSURE EQUIPMENT USED TO GENERATE A CRAWL WILL ACCOMMODATE THE NEW WARNING FORMAT. THE SHORT-FUSE WARNING PRODUCTS AFFECTED ARE SHORT-FUSE WARNING PRODUCT NWWS ID + WMO HEADER FOR FOS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CCCSVRXXX + WUUS1 KXXX TORNADO WARNING CCCTORXXX + WFUS1 KXXX FLASH FLOOD WARNING CCCFFWXXX + WRUS1 KXXX SPECIAL MARINE WARNING CCCSMWXXX + WMUS1 KXXX + WMO HEADERS SUBJECT TO CHANGE SOMETIME IN SPRING 1998. NOTICES FOR WMO HEADER CHANGES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING WORLD WIDE WEB SITE /USE LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/NOTICES/NOTICES.SHTML CONTENT OF THE WARNINGS WILL REMAIN THE SAME...ONLY THE THEIR APPEARANCE WILL CHANGE. IN ORDER OF APPEARANCE...BULLETS WILL CONTAIN THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION... * TYPE OF WARNING AND LOCATION OF AREA WARNED * VALID TIME * TIME OF EVENT...BASIS FOR WARNING...MOVEMENT * PATHCAST /OPTIONAL/ NWS OFFICES PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. HAVE BEEN EXPERIMENTING WITH SUCH BULLET FORMATS DURING THE PAST YEAR. WITH THIS NOTIFICATION...ALL NWS OFFICES WILL ADOPT A STANDARDIZED...BULLET STYLE FORMAT. IN GENERIC FORM...THE FORMAT IS AS FOLLOWS... CCCNNNXXX /NWWS ID WITH NNN = TOR...SVR...FFW... OR SMW/ TTAA00 KXXX DDHHMM /WMO HEADER + DATE/UTC TIME OF MESSAGE/ NNNXXX /ADDITIONAL HEADER INFORMATION FOR WMO/FOS/ SSCFFF-FFF-ETC.-DDHHMM- /UNIVERSAL GEOGRAPHIC CODE USING COUNTY FIPS /FFF/ NUMBER/S/ AND WARNING EXPIRATION DATE/UTC TIME/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED /TYPE OF WARNING/ /LOCATION OF NWS OFFICE/ HHMM /AM/PM EST/EDT/CST/CDT/MST/MDT/PST/PDT/ DAY MON DD YYYY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN /LOCATION/ HAS ISSUED A * /TYPE OF WARNING/ FOR... /COUNTY/PARISH/INDEPENDENT CITY/ IN /PORTION OF STATE/ /UP TO 5 COUNTIES/PARISHES/INDEPENDENT CITIES ALLOWED/ * UNTIL /HHMM AM/PM AST/ADT/EDT/EST/CST/CDT/MST/MDT/PST/PDT/ * /AT HHMM AM/PM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/.../BASIS OF WARNING/ * THE /TYPE OF SEVERE PHENOMENA/ WILL BE NEAR... /LOCALITY/ AT HHMM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/ /LOCALITY/ AT HHMM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/ /CONCLUDING NARRATIVE WITH ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SPOTTER REPORTS...AND CALL-TO-ACTION./ IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT WILLIAM ALEXANDER DONALD WERNLY...CHIEF CUSTOMER OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY W/OM11 SERVICE 1325 EAST WEST HWY... SSMC2 SAME ADDRESS SILVER SPRING MD 20910 PH. 301-713-0090 EXT. 115 PH. 301-713-0090 EXT. 138 ...NOTE TO INTERNET USERS... THIS AND ALL OTHER PENDING NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY/S HOME PAGE IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION. THE ADDRESS OF THE NOTIFICATION SECTION /IN SMALL CASE LETTERS/ IS HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM END ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 23:19:10 -0500 From: Chris Taylor Subject: Re: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS Hi all: I first heard the voice in Kansas City last summer. I thought it was bad then, and I havn't changed my opinion. You really need to listen to a couple of minutes of it to realize how bad it really is. It might be ok in "normal" weather, but in severe wx, it needs to be easily and quickly understood. I had to listen to a SVR 2-3 times to understand it completely. The other problem is with EAS. Since this is supposed to be used as a cut-in on local cable, TV and radio, it needs to be broadcast quality or it won't be allowed on the air. It's not even close!! So if TV and especially radio stations that use pre-recorded shows refuse to play it(they are allowed to delay broadcasts up to 15 minutes) until an announcer can read it, has that saved any time? Yes, the scroll will run on the TV(without audio), but what about the radio stations? The other problem I see(and maybe this is just me) is that what is the NWS(government?) saying to the public by using a mechanical voice when lives might be in danger. I know that real voice can be used too. However, if we have a tornado warning, and my parents tune into NWR and hear a mechanical sounding voice, they WILL turn it off! They will look to the local news(TV or radio) to hear a "real" person tell them what's going on. Has this speeded the delivery of warnings? I hope that NWS will reconsider the implimentation until they get a better sounding system. I can always hope... :-( 73 Chris Taylor (GO PACKERS!) *************************************************************************** Chris Taylor Email: chtaylor@ix.netcom.com Coordinator, NW Ohio Skywarn WWW page: http://www2.netcom.com/~chtaylor/ Asst. EC, Lucas Co. - Skywarn Packet: N8WGB@W8HHF.#tol.oh.usa.na NWOhio Skywarn Net page: http://skywarn.home.ml.org *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jan 1998 *********************************** From - Sun Jan 25 23:31:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626387-9656>; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 14:06:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22126; Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:04:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199801250604.AAA22126@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jan 1998 to 24 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cc440e85d7ca1a0fa5b836181798792b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 202 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS (2) 2. Bobby Eddins Chase Page is back. 3. Weather Data on the Net 4. TV Met Jobs Available (2) 5. El-nino and Tornadic activtiy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 23 Jan 1998 23:20:24 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS I may have mentioned this before... so if I have, I apologize ahead of time. Try to blow our horn a bit, so to speak. Environment Canada has been using a text-to-voice system (AVIPaDS) to load its forecasts and warnings for several years. Rather than using a digitized (mechanical) voice, it uses a large library of words and phrases that have been recorded by a real, live human being. These are concatenated to build up the necessary sentences, paragraphs, and bulletins. It cannot handle free-form text, but can handle our standard phraseology. And the results sound a lot nicer. You can try it out for yourself... the Edmonton ATADs phone number is 403-468-4940. AVIPaDS does much more that text-to-voice conversion. It is a full-fledged system that compiles the bulletins, loads them onto our Weatheradio and ATADs systems across the province (simultaneously loading via 8 or more phone lines), tripping the weekly test tone, does dial-outs to EMR/media to play back a message announcing a warning. ..steve ricketts +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | | Manager, Northern Alberta and Arctic Weather Centres | | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca | +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ >---------- >From: William Kucharski[SMTP:kucharsk@NETCOM.COM] >Sent: January 23, 1998 14:06 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS > >>Have a look at David's article below, then visit the web site >> and see what you think. Although voice >>synthesis has been around for more than two decades, the digitized >>sample of Birmingham's CRS system reminds me of a "Speak 'n Spell" toy. >>While the voice quality may be acceptable for select listeners, like pilots >>receiving automated weather briefings, or for people with speech >>disabilities, I think the general public will have *major* problems >>understanding with it. > >This is absolutely HORRID. You have to spend a fair amount of time and >energy >to understand what it is saying, something you do NOT want to have to deal >with >in an emergency situation. (Especially if you have more than one radio >going, >you need volume and absolute SILENCE to be able to decipher the broadcast.) > >So much for getting more of the public to listen to NWR; I know that when my >SAME radio wakes me from a sound sleep, _I'm_ not going to be able decode the >horrid speech CRS puts out. Way to go, NWS. > > William Kucharski > kucharsk@netcom.com > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 02:42:03 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: Public Voices Concern Over Voice of NWS >Environment Canada has been using a text-to-voice system (AVIPaDS) to >load its forecasts and warnings for several years. Rather than using a >digitized (mechanical) voice, it uses a large library of words and >phrases that have been recorded by a real, live human being. These are >concatenated to build up the necessary sentences, paragraphs, and >bulletins. It cannot handle free-form text, but can handle our standard >phraseology. There's a much handier example that's been used for years and that most people are already familiar with - telephone intercept messages. After the "doo doo doooo" tones, the message itself - e.g. "The number you have reached... 5 5 5..." is digitally stored and "pasted" together by the phone switch. I believe CRS is here to stay, but the point is it will also destroy the entire rationale behind NWR. If I, a weather weenie, find it hard to listen to and understand, I suspect my Dad will want to throw the new SAME radio I got him for Christmas against the wall the first time he hears THAT eminate from it. And I suspect my stepmother, who is NOT a native english speaker, won't be able to pick out one word. ACTUALLY, now that I think about it, what is someone who has limited hearing abilities going to do - I know hearing impaired folks who can understand speech but who can't understand things like the automated weather stations that give pilots wx briefings. This could conceivably end up in court as an ADA issue... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 10:18:20 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Bobby Eddins Chase Page is back. Bobby's Eddins' web page is back, but at a new URL. http://web2.airmail.net/beddins/index.html Take a look! Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 08:38:26 -0600 From: Weatherman Subject: Weather Data on the Net Hi All: "In the history of bad ideas, this is the worst one yet" The idea of big companies suing Universities in order to make them stop putting weather data on the NET. We pay for most of this data already but mostly in an indirect way, by taxes. Do any of these companies who seek to sue... receive any Federal or State tax breaks? Do these companies use any NWS data to produce any of their "special product". I believe that Observations, Upper Air Data and NEXRAD data is funded by the US Government or in short, funded by all of us. Any company who seeks to restrict weather data on the Net should have all government compensations taken away, plus a new tax imposed on them. I don't think these companies would be so eager to restrict data if the above rules applied to them. I don't have strong feelings about this, then again, maybe I do!!! Tim Bondy bondyt@minotafb.ndak(remove).net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 12:54:28 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (2) METEOROLOGIST (WJCL) WJCL-TV (ABC) in Savannah, Georgia, seeks experienced applicants for the position of METEOROLOGIST in our three-person weather department. We offer competitive salary and benefits and the latest in weather technology, including exclusive lightning detection capability and a fully-equipped weather center. Minimum qualifications include prior experience as an on-air meteorologist at a commercial television station and the ability to acquire both your AMS and NWA seals. Please send your tape, resume and references to: Dale Cox, News Director; WJCL-TV; 10001 Abercorn St., P.O. Box 61268; Savannah, GA 31420. WJCL-TV is an Equal Opportunity Employer. Females and Minorities are encouraged to apply. Pre-employment background and drug screening are required. MORNING WEATHER ANCHOR (KTKA) Morning Weather Anchor: News Source 49 is looking for someone who can take our hour long morning show to new heights. We need someone who has a passion for weather and can explain it creatively with graphics and maps. You also must be able to interact well with the news anchor in a relaxed morning show setting. The morning weather anchor will also assist chief meteorologist in covering severe weather. A meteorology degree is preferred but not required. If this sounds like the perfect fit, rush your resume and VHS tape to Mike Deines, News Director, KTKA-TV, 101 SE Monroe, Topeka, KS 66603. Women and minorities are encouraged to apply. EOE. Deadline: 10/15/97. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Jan 1998 14:12:24 -0600 From: Phillip Cecil Subject: El-nino and Tornadic activtiy Does anyone have the fiqure's for any year that had a major El-nino followed by a spring of (PDS) tornado watchs or High Risk days? I was wanting to see if there was any correlation with these events. Thanks, Phil Cecil ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jan 1998 to 24 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Jan 27 10:02:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3614 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-19658>; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 14:05:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22064; Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:03:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199801260603.AAA22064@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jan 1998 to 25 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 760c7410c015d51b96078dc13ab49c21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 29 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. MRF Question and Rainfall Forecast +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 25 Jan 1998 12:05:15 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: MRF Question and Rainfall Forecast Greetings Everyone I am sorry to hear that the Purdue site will be shutting down. For those in charge of that site...you did a GREAT job! I do hope that you are able to put the site up again somewhere else. Thank you for that data you provided for all of us weather enthusiasts. Does anyone know of another site that supplies the same kind of MRF data...including the 10 day surface maps which show precipitation areas? I am also still waiting to hear of a site that provides a graphic forecast of predicted rainfall amounts? I would appreciate any help on these questions! Thanks ahead of time derekd@midwest.net Derek Dodson :) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jan 1998 to 25 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4703 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-2928>; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 14:14:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15580; Tue, 27 Jan 1998 00:11:18 -0600 Message-Id: <199801270611.AAA15580@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 00:03:09 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jan 1998 to 26 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fd1e9b0a13911f5db75182e9d64d4348 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 173 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Say it ain't so (2) 2. Purdue WXP Web Site Clarification 3. Updated FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES 4. Tropical Cyclone Archives +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:07:26 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Say it ain't so I just heard a rumor that WXP-Purdue is shutting down....please tell me that this isn't true... Eric Blake ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 11:18:22 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Say it ain't so On Mon, 26 Jan 1998, Weatherman wrote: > I just heard a rumor that WXP-Purdue is shutting down....please tell > me that this isn't true... > > Eric Blake Eric, Dan Vietor, the guy who runs the WXP server (and is the creator of WXP), is heading off to a commercial firm. Eventually, the server at Purdue will have to go (date for that unknown), but Dan did say that he will (thank goodness) be able to take care of it for a while logging in remotely at Purdue. They won't let him do that forever, though, and it will have to be moved. Beyond that, no one knows what will happen. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 02:42:51 -0500 From: Daniel Vietor Subject: Purdue WXP Web Site Clarification --------------B49B1CF28F70F8946FF84626 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit It is true that I will be leaving Purdue in the next month but this doesn't mean the imminent demise of the Purdue WXP web site. It is becoming apparent that Purdue will not have the staffing to keep the web page as operational as it is now. This it will probably not be available from time to time. I will try to keep it going for a while from my new job but that won't satisfy all potential problems. In other words, the site won't be disappearing but don't blame me if it goes down more now that I'm gone especially on weekends. As a result, I will be looking for a new home for the WXP web server. It may be possible for it to move with me to Unisys but this is not for sure. Otherwise, I will be looking for other potential sites in an attempt to keep this service going in some way. -- ======================================================================== Daniel Vietor INTERNET devo@eas.purdue.edu Dept of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences TITLE Senior Project Specialist Purdue University WXP Developer West Lafayette IN 47907 WXP http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu PH 765-494-3292 FAX 765-496-1210 EAS http://www.eas.purdue.edu ======================================================================== --------------B49B1CF28F70F8946FF84626 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit It is true that I will be leaving Purdue in the next month but this doesn't mean the imminent demise of the Purdue WXP web site.  It is becoming apparent that Purdue will not have the staffing to keep the web page as operational as it is now.  This it will probably not be available from time to time.  I will try to keep it going for a while from my new job but that won't satisfy all potential problems.  In other words, the site won't be disappearing but don't blame me if it goes down more now that I'm gone especially on weekends.

As a result, I will be looking for a new home for the WXP web server. It may be possible for it to move with me to Unisys but this is not for sure.  Otherwise, I will be looking for other potential sites in an attempt to keep this service going in some way. 

-- 
========================================================================
Daniel
Vietor            &
nbsp;           INTERNET
devo@eas.purdue.edu
Dept of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences TITLE Senior Project Specialist
Purdue
University           &nb
sp;            &nbs
p; WXP Developer
West Lafayette IN
47907            &n
bsp; WXP http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu
PH 765-494-3292   FAX 765-496-1210   EAS http://www.eas.purdue.edu
========================================================================
  --------------B49B1CF28F70F8946FF84626-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Jan 1998 16:28:37 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES Hi Wx-talkers, An updated... ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* ...is available at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html *********************** New for this month..... ....................... G11) What is the 20th century hurricane record for each U.S. coastal county? (Analysis by Mr. Noel Charles NOAA/AOML/HRD.) ....................... New for this month..... *********************** Best regards Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities 1992's Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 00:22:21 +0000 From: Dale Huguley Subject: Tropical Cyclone Archives Hi all- I'm having a devil of a time finding archived "marine" and "public" advisories from the National Hurricane Center or the advisories from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center on Guam. I would like to find the originals- not just the boiled down data. Thanks - Dale Huguley KG5QD Marco Island Fl ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jan 1998 to 26 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4954 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-4894>; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 14:13:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB11686; Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:08:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199801280608.AAB11686@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 00:01:56 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jan 1998 to 27 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c60970cf0434edbc97074cabd9cda198 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 91 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Eta change? (2) 2. National Summaries 3. Weather in Nagano? (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:37:19 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Eta change? The Mesoscale Model Branch's web page says that the Eta was supposed to switch over to 32km/45levels for this morning's model run... but I haven't seen any notice from NCEP over the weather wire that it has been done. Anyone know if it happened? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:39:58 -0500 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: National Summaries Does anyone know of a site with national monthly and seasonal summaries. I think the government stop doing this in July. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:23:50 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Weather in Nagano? Help a cable-less refugee! At the beginning of the winter there was all sorts of press on how El Nino would prevent snowfall in Nagano. (Or maybe it was Global Warming). Whatever. Anyway, I was wondering what the snow situation was in Nagano as the olympics approached. Anyone have the skinny on it? Thanks, Scott ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 11:47:10 -0600 From: "Roger B. Diercks" Subject: Re: Weather in Nagano? On Tue, 27 Jan 1998, Scott Lindstrom wrote: > Help a cable-less refugee! > > At the beginning of the winter there was all sorts of press on how El Nino would > prevent snowfall in Nagano. (Or maybe it was Global Warming). Whatever. > Anyway, I was wondering what the snow situation was in Nagano as the olympics > approached. Anyone have the skinny on it? > > Thanks, > > Scott > About a month ago I heard that Nagano had virtually no snow. I did hear about a week or two ago that they got some snow, but I don't know how much. I doubt that there's much of a base on the slopes, so I'm sure they're going to have to bring out the snow machines. Roger diercks@students.uiuc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Jan 1998 19:46:52 -0700 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: Eta change? I believe it has been changed to Feb 2. >Robert P Dale wrote: > > The Mesoscale Model Branch's web page says that the Eta was supposed to > switch over to 32km/45levels for this morning's model run... but I haven't > seen any notice from NCEP over the weather wire that it has been done. > Anyone know if it happened? > > Rob > -- Kevin J. Schrab kjs@aros.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jan 1998 to 27 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jan 31 12:34:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1574 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-15473>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 14:14:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30410; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 00:10:40 -0600 Message-Id: <199801290610.AAA30410@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 00:02:49 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jan 1998 to 28 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f9ca13f259dab5321d5181f80f0b4a48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 261 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tropical Cyclone Archives 2. ASOS Commissioning notice 3. Climate request 4. Birmingham SFD (3) 5. I-Sixtyfive aka..... 6. Hovmoller Charts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 08:41:26 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Tropical Cyclone Archives Dale Huguley wrote... >Hi all- I'm having a devil of a time finding archived "marine" and >"public" advisories from the National Hurricane Center or the advisories >from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center on Guam. I would like to find the >originals- not just the boiled down data. >Thanks - Dale Huguley KG5QD Marco Island Fl Dale: Point your web browser to ftp://po.uiuc.edu/wx-tropl and take a look. We've archived all the tropical bulletins on a weekly basis since '96. The filenames appear in the following format: WX-TROPL.LOGyymmw where is the year, the month, and the week ("A" being the first week of the month and "E" being the last). In 1997 we created the WX-ATLAN group --pulling Atlantic and Gulf storm information out of WX-TROPL. Thus, any of the WX-TROPL archives prior to 1997 will have Atlantic/Gulf storms as well as the rest of the world. If anyone has questions please contract me directly. ..Chris.. (Owner WX-TALK) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 13:15:19 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC today, 28 January 1998. FREDERICK MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KFDR) FREDERICK... OK HARRY CLEVER FIELD (KPHD) NEW PHILADELPHIA... OH LIMA ALLEN COUNTY AIRPORT (KAOH) LIMA... OH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 12:22:25 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Climate request I want to have my students plot the relationship between sunspots and temperature (I know the relationship, but I want them to see it). I found the sunspot data, that was easy. Is there a site online where I can get average monthly temperatures for individual years? I have a CD-ROM called World WeatherDisc, but it doesn't have a very good format of that info. Any ideas? Thanks in advance... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 17:46:13 -0500 From: Stuart A Shepard Subject: Birmingham SFD For fans of those weird sfd's out of Birmingham... You'll love this one. -------------------------------------------------------------------- FPUS3 KBHM 282105 SFDBHM STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL 304 PM CST WED JAN 28 1998 WE HAD TO BREAK DOWN THE DOOR...BUT WE HAVE SUCCESSFULLY THWARTED AN ATTEMPTED OFFICE TAKE OVER BY THE CRS SYSTEM. WE THOUGHT SOMETHING WAS WRONG WHEN IT STARTED TALKING TO US...AND THEN TELLING US ITS NAME WAS HAL. I FINALLY GOT THAT DAISY SONG OUT OF MY HEAD...SO I CAN NOW CONCENTRATE ON THE WEATHER. A COLD FRONT WAS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES THIS AFTERNOON. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS OR RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH IT AT THIS TIME. MODELS MOVE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE LISTENING AREA THROUGH 48 HOURS. QUESTION IS WHETHER OR NOT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR THE FRONT...AND ITS UPPER LEVEL COMPANION...TO SQUEEZE OUT ANY PRECIPITATION AS IT TREKS ACROSS THE VIEWING COMMUNITY. AT THIS TIME IT DOESN'T LOOK VERY FAVORABLE. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS SEE HOW THANGS DEVELOP AND WHAT THE NEXT MODEL RUN SHOWS. SO WILL NOT INTRODUCE ANY PROBABILITIES FOR THE OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A POSSIBLE SCATTERING OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS. WILL USE THE USUALLY CYBORG BLEND WITH A HINT OF OREGANO. > HSV BB 035/060 034/054 034 65010 BHM BB 035/063 034/057 034 65010 MGM BB 035/065 037/060 036 65000 ISIXTYFIVE MOB BB 041/066 043/063 042 65000 CSG BB 037/065 039/060 038 65000 ------------------------------------------------------- Stuart Shepard Chief Weather Guru WLEX Lexington, Ky _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 17:06:42 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Birmingham SFD On Wed, 28 Jan 1998, Stuart A Shepard wrote: > For fans of those weird sfd's out of Birmingham... > You'll love this one. > -------------------------------------------------------------------- > > FPUS3 KBHM 282105 > SFDBHM > STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL > 304 PM CST WED JAN 28 1998 > > WE HAD TO BREAK DOWN THE DOOR...BUT WE HAVE SUCCESSFULLY THWARTED AN > ATTEMPTED OFFICE TAKE OVER BY THE CRS SYSTEM. WE THOUGHT SOMETHING > WAS WRONG WHEN IT STARTED TALKING TO US...AND THEN TELLING US ITS > NAME WAS HAL. I FINALLY GOT THAT DAISY SONG OUT OF MY HEAD...SO I > CAN NOW CONCENTRATE ON THE WEATHER. > > A COLD FRONT WAS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL UNITED > STATES THIS AFTERNOON. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS OR RAINFALL > ASSOCIATED WITH IT AT THIS TIME. MODELS MOVE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE > LISTENING AREA THROUGH 48 HOURS. QUESTION IS WHETHER OR NOT THERE > WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR THE FRONT...AND ITS UPPER LEVEL > COMPANION...TO SQUEEZE OUT ANY PRECIPITATION AS IT TREKS ACROSS THE > VIEWING COMMUNITY. AT THIS TIME IT DOESN'T LOOK VERY FAVORABLE. > WILL LET LATER SHIFTS SEE HOW THANGS DEVELOP AND WHAT THE NEXT MODEL > RUN SHOWS. SO WILL NOT INTRODUCE ANY PROBABILITIES FOR THE OUTSIDE > CHANCE OF A POSSIBLE SCATTERING OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS. WILL USE > THE USUALLY CYBORG BLEND WITH A HINT OF OREGANO. > BHM BB 035/063 034/057 034 65010 > MGM BB 035/065 037/060 036 65000 ISIXTYFIVE This guy HAD to be a broadcast meteorologist in a former job... :-) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 18:30:49 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Birmingham SFD On Wed, 28 Jan 1998, Stuart A Shepard wrote: > For fans of those weird sfd's out of Birmingham... > You'll love this one. > -------------------------------------------------------------------- > > FPUS3 KBHM 282105 > SFDBHM > STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL > 304 PM CST WED JAN 28 1998 > > WE HAD TO BREAK DOWN THE DOOR...BUT WE HAVE SUCCESSFULLY THWARTED AN > ATTEMPTED OFFICE TAKE OVER BY THE CRS SYSTEM. WE THOUGHT SOMETHING > WAS WRONG WHEN IT STARTED TALKING TO US...AND THEN TELLING US ITS > NAME WAS HAL. I FINALLY GOT THAT DAISY SONG OUT OF MY HEAD...SO I > CAN NOW CONCENTRATE ON THE WEATHER. Anybody have a copy of those few that started off with "Captain's Log: Stardate..."??? I'd like to send them to our local WCM for his morning e-mail, to perk him up in the morning. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 18:24:33 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: I-Sixtyfive aka..... I noticed a post of the Birmingham SFD by I-Sixtyfive...or the forecaster formerly known as Ron Murphy...for those of you who are fans of Ron's SFD's, you might want to visit his homepage at http://www.mindspring.com/~isixtyfive/ He has a live cam and some other neat stuff on his page. Jason Kelley, Meteorologist Baron Services Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:23:24 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Hovmoller Charts Does anyone have a good reference for Hovmoller Charts? I see them mentioned in forecast discussions and I would like to know how they work. A journal or otherwise reference would be great. Thanks, Eric Blake ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jan 1998 to 28 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jan 31 12:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4632 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625972-24541>; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 14:10:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23308; Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:08:07 -0600 Message-Id: <199801300608.AAA23308@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 00:04:12 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jan 1998 to 29 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68893b2d1ad72381321d9178b94d2b5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 161 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hovmoller charts 2. Climate request 3. New TWC Position 4. I-Sixtyfive rides again... 5. skywarn spotter classes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 11:14:42 EST From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: Hovmoller charts Date: Wed, 28 Jan 1998 23:23:24 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Hovmoller Charts Does anyone have a good reference for Hovmoller Charts? I see them mentioned in forecast discussions and I would like to know how they work. A journal or otherwise reference would be great. Thanks, Eric Blake Eric, I was unsuccessful in attempting to track down a reference. I will attempt an explanation. The Hovmoller chart is a 3-d plot with time as the abscissa and some spatial coordinate (e.g., longitude) as the ordinate (or vice versa). The third dimension is the parameter of interest (e.g., dew point, westerly wind component at 850 mb, sea surface temperature, etc.). The third dimension is usually represented by some sort of shading or various colors. Hovmoller charts can be used to show model output error with time, propagation of various meteorological and climatological parameters through space/time, etc. The following URL uses a Hovmoller to illustrate various sea surface temperature anomalies over the past 15 years: http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~jeh/IMAGES/SST/sst.long.time.gif Current and past El Nino and La Nina conditions can be seen. I hope this helps. Let me know if you find a reference. Cheers! -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 09:00:57 -0800 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Climate request Mike Martin wrote: >I want to have my students plot the relationship between sunspots and >temperature (I know the relationship, but I want them to see it). I >found the sunspot data, that was easy. >Is there a site online where I can get average monthly temperatures for >individual years? I have a CD-ROM called World WeatherDisc, but it >doesn't have a very good format of that info. Any ideas? Thanks in >advance... You can try the Climate Diagnostics Center: http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/USclimate/USclimdivs.html. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 17:36:02 -0500 From: Stu Ostro Subject: New TWC Position THE WEATHER CHANNEL® has an immediate opening for the position of Severe Storms Specialist. RESPONSIBILITIES include serving as a severe weather expert on-camera; working with Meteorology, On-Camera Meteorology, Production/Programming, New Media and other operational TWC Departments; teaching, coaching, and providing feedback to TWC staff; speaking engagements; availability for interviews by other media; liason with severe weather community (research, SPC, NWS, emergency mgmt., etc.). Individual will be expected to stay abreast of latest scientific developments; doing their own research and publishing is encouraged as time allows. SKILL REQUIREMENTS include: authority on severe convective storms, radar, satellite, mesoscale meteorology, and the latest scientific theories; exceptional communication skills including strong on-camera presence and ability to explain complex weather situations to TWC viewers; strong interpersonal and leadership skills; ability to teach and trai! n; knowledge of storm chaser terminology and expertise in visual identification of severe weather features; proficiency in use of computers. OPTIMUM QUALIFICATIONS: PhD.; renowned in field, with extensive experience in BOTH research and operational forecasting of severe convective storms; and some teaching experience. MINIMUM QUALIFICATIONS: B.S.; extensive experience in research OR forecasting; and recognition in the severe weather community. If interested, please send letter and curriculum vitae by no later than February 27, 1998 to Keith Westerlage, On-Camera Meteorology Manager, The Weather Channel®, 300 Interstate North Parkway, Atlanta, GA 30339. Serious candidates only please. EOE. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:53:13 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: I-Sixtyfive rides again... >From the home office in Shelby County, Alabama, another chapter in the I-Sixtyfive chronicles!! FPUS3 KBHM 292113 SFDBHM STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL 311 PM CST THU JAN 29 1998 SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS COLD FRONT NEAR A BNA-GWO-SHV LINE AT 2100 UTC. IMAGES FROM THE GREAT CAM IN THE SKY SHOWS LARGE PLUMAGE OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA RESULTING IN MOSTLY HIGH THIN CLOUDS. MAIN TROUGH STILL MOVING OVER THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS WITH VORT MAX MOVING OVER LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS. WELL...AT LEAST THAT IS WHAT I SEE. MODELS DEPICT THAT THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST TUNDRA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. LITTLE IN THE WAY PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. KJAN IS DETECTING SOME "ECHOES" OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. DON'T WHAT YA KNOW OR DON'T KNOW, BUT THE QUESTION IS, IS IT REACHING THE GROUND? MAY NOT BE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO MENTION IN THE SOUTHWEST ZONES...MAY JUST BE A FEW SPRINKLES. PEERING INTO THE FUTURE...FRONT APPEARS TO BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF LATE FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD PROVIDE FOR SOME "RAD"COOLING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS. ON A SIDE NOTE: IT WAS SUCH A NICE...QUITE DAY HAD SOME TIME TO PRACTICE FOR THE UP COMING SPRING EXTREME WEATHER GAMES. BEEN KNOCKING AROUND SOME CHUNKS OF ICE FOR THE HAIL STORM BASEBALL EVENT...AND BEEN GREASING UP THE WHEELS ON OFFICE CHAIR FOR THE LUGE. SHOULD BE FUN. SEE YA. ISIXTYFIVE ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 23:33:09 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: skywarn spotter classes i (n9npp) am the creater of the skywarn/spotter gif animation which is on my spotter class web page. it has to do with skywarn and spotters thats why it flashes skywarn then spotter. i ask that if you take it for your own page please link it back to mine..........not the national skywarn page. like you all did, and you know who you are. its not hard to make your own skywarn animation just go download shareware and do it. show a little imagination. for a direct link to my skywarn/spotter animation go to http://www.axnet.com/united/skywrn.gif please link it to the spotter class page at http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm . anyone needing help making a graphic for threir page id be glad to help you. drop me an email. the spotter class page has just been updated with class schedules for all 50 states, canada, pr, vi. enjoy,... i put alot of work into it matt/n9npp webmaster spotter class page http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm Did you hear that Gingrich, Quayle, and Clinton were swept up by a Kansas tornado and wound up before the Wizard of Oz? Newt asked for a heart, and Quayle asked for a brain. Bill, of course, asked..... "Where's Dorothy?" ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jan 1998 to 29 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Feb 2 12:07:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625994-8717>; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:11:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18506; Sat, 31 Jan 1998 00:05:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199801310605.AAA18506@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 00:00:42 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Jan 1998 to 30 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: eb4032136a35494fe4a12e25e80ee3a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 281 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning Notice 2. 150 or 100mb charts 3. NTX SKYWARN Schools 4. Verdict Reached in "Twister" Copyright Suit 5. TV Met Job Available (Shreveport, LA) 6. gif or gift 7. Met-related TV Jobs Available (5 positions) 8. Eta change? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 02:13:44 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 29 January 1998. TRI-CITIES AIRPORT (KPSC) PASCO... WA VERNAL AIRPORT (KVEL) VERNAL... UT Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:16:18 -0600 From: Weatherman Subject: 150 or 100mb charts Does anyone out there have any hints on using the 100 or 150mb upper air charts? I've been told by old timers that it is a great tool for frontal identification areas of precip. Tim bondyt@minotafb.ndak.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 06:10:13 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: NTX SKYWARN Schools Go to the attached URL for the North Texas SKYWARN training schedule: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/sptrsch.html Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:11:37 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Verdict Reached in "Twister" Copyright Suit The following appeared on the Associated Press wire yesterday. ..Chris.. (St. Louis) -- Best selling-author Michael Crichton admits he was a bit nervous as the copyright infringement lawsuit involving his hit movie "Twister" unfolded, but in the end his credibility held firm. Crichton, Steven Spielberg and other Hollywood heavyweights were found innocent yesterday of claims they pirated a St. Louis area man's screenplay about tornado chasers to make "Twister." Jurors deliberated about two-and-a-half hours before returning their verdict in U-S District Court in St. Louis. After the verdict was read, Stephen Kessler attempted to shake Crichton's hand. Crichton declined. After the trial, Crichton restated his claim that he'd never heard of Stephen Kessler before the lawsuit was filed. Kessler had claimed "Twister" was based on his screenplay, "Catch the Wind." He had sought all of the movie's profits, which his lawyer's estimate to be around 150 (M) million dollars. Kessler says he will appeal the verdict. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 08:44:53 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Shreveport, LA) METEOROLOGIST (KSLA) If you love weather and can get people excited about waking up to your forecasts, show us your tape! KSLA-TV, the News leader in the Arklatex, is looking for an experienced meteorologist to join our winning team. We have the Triton I-7, Baron's fast trac with street level mapping, 3 skycams and other state of the art technology! If you can produce accurate weathercasts and present them with flair, send VHS tape and resume ASAP to Lena Sadiwskyj, News Director, KSLA- TV, 1812 Fairfield Avenue, Shreveport, LA 71101. EOE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 16:05:24 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: gif or gift i will not receive any postings till midnight since i chose the digest mode for receiving so i don't know if any comments where made on my last post. i did however think of a way to get credit for my future animation's and you other webmasters can do it to. when you are adding clips into your animation just insert your name or call into one of them and it will always be visible. or for you hackers could insert a coded virus that will be activated with a triple click when found on a strange web site. hind sight is 20/20 i hate making waves..somehow i always get wet matt/n9npp http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 16:21:05 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Met-related TV Jobs Available (5 positions) KARK (NBC) Little Rock, AR Weather Anchor Meteorologist wanted: Dynamic station with active weather, seeking a degreed Meteorologist to join our team. We have all the tools including our own Doppler Radar, Super Genesis, and everything else. If you are dynamic and excited about joining a great weather team, send a tape (no older than 1 week), resume, references, and salary to: Allen R. Sandubrae, News Director KARK-TV 201 West 3rd Street Little Rock, AR 72201 Equal opportunity employer, minorities encouraged to apply. Will fill this position as soon as we find the right person. Is this you? AMS seal helpful. This will be either for weekends or AM/Noon - depends on you. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = KTIV (NBC) Sioux City, IA Weekend Weather Anchor / News Reporter KTIV Channel 4 has a job opening for a Weekend Weather Anchor/News Reporter. RESPONSIBILITIES INCLUDE BUT NOT LIMITED TO: Prepare and present television weather casts. On-callas needed for severe weather activity. Gather, write, produce, deliver, shoot and edit news and sports stories. QUALIFICATIONS: College degree preferable in Mass Communications. Ability to effectively operate technical equipment including Kavouras weather system and video camera and tape editing system. Coordinate the information from the weather service in preparing the area forecasts. Pleasant, authoritative on-air appearance and delivery. To apply, send resume and nonreturnable VHS tape to: Weather/Reporter KTIV Television Co. 3135 Floyd Blvd. Sioux City, IA 51108 No Phone Calls Please KTIV-TV offers an attractive benefits program and advancement opportunities. MINORITY APPLICANTS ARE ENCOURAGED. KTIV IS AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = KTEN (NBC) Denison, TX Weekend Weather / Weekday Photog Weekend weathercaster, 3 weekday news photographer. Prefer Meteorologist, but will train the right individual. Entry level candidates considered. AMS/NWA member is a plus. T & R to: Alan Mitchell, Chief Meterologist KTEN-TV P.O. Box 1450 Denison, TX 75021 = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = WLKY (CBS) Louisville, KY Meterologist Wanted: Good forecaster, team player to join 4 person weather department. You must be a meterologist with an AMS or NWA seal. We have lots of cool weather equipment and more on the way. If you can be up to the challenge of forecasting in the Ohio Valley and work weekends, we want to see your tape. Send it to: NEWS DIRECTOR WLKY-TV 1918 Mellwood Ave. Louisville, Ky. 40206 No Phone Calls please. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = WTAP (NBC) Parkersburg, WV AM/Noon Weather Anchor/Reporter This position requires the following responsibilities: preparing and presenting weather forecasts, reporting, shooting, and editing. Weather and/or reporting experience a plus. Relative four year degree necessary. Send resume, tape, and writing samples to Kathy Lucas-Stephens, News Director WTAP-TV One Television Plaza Parkersburg, WV 26101 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 19:53:14 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Eta change? Robert P Dale asked: > The Mesoscale Model Branch's web page says that the Eta was supposed to > switch over to 32km/45levels for this morning's model run... but I haven't > seen any notice from NCEP over the weather wire that it has been done. > Anyone know if it happened? In his last two BOSSFDBOS (Thu.AM & Fri overnight), NWS Taunton (KBOX) lead met Walt Drag (who tracks which models are better at what situations and mentions it in his SFDs frequently) appended the following explanation. Model: apparent delay in new eta 32km implementation til early Feb. The eta32 (32 km vs 48km current eta) and 7 more layers in the eta32 will replace the current eta48 that we see fm the 12z/00z model run. The mes eta29 will cont running at 15z and 03z. Eta32 is apparently a better predictor of qpf in the W u.S. Understand transparent impact in our area tho i view the eta29 as too beefy on its bullseyes in our area during synoptic scale events. Drag I would guess the announcement of the delay went out on one of the internal (AFOS?) systems ASAP but didn't get posted to the public web so soon (yet?). -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Jan 1998 to 30 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Feb 2 12:08:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1388 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-28869>; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 14:14:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA34842; Sun, 1 Feb 1998 00:12:54 -0600 Message-Id: <199802010612.AAA34842@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 00:07:23 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Jan 1998 to 31 Jan 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f244d85be4c3ba08af762460f888c2da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 204 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning Notice 2. Weather Symbols 3. Unusual Tropical Activity 4. Fw: Unusual Tropical Activity 5. Not Acknowledging T.C. Ursula? 6. Fw: Not Acknowledging T.C. Ursula? 7. POP-UP MENU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 07:48:16 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites will become officially commissioned ASOS sites at 0000 LST on 01 February 1998. WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT (KDCA) ARLINGTON... VA HONOLULU INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (PHNL) HONOLULU... HI Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 14:10:47 +0100 From: CB Subject: Weather Symbols This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0015_01BD2E52.0752BA20 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Could anyone let me know where on the 'Net I can find a list of all the = weather symbols as fonts or pics? If you can, please e-mail me at = carona@bluewin.ch Thanks in anticipation, Craig Braithwaite Chur, SWITZERLAND ------=_NextPart_000_0015_01BD2E52.0752BA20 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Could anyone let me know where on the 'Net I can = find a list=20 of all the weather symbols as fonts or pics?  If you can, please = e-mail me=20 at carona@bluewin.ch
 
Thanks in anticipation,
Craig Braithwaite
 
Chur, SWITZERLAND
------=_NextPart_000_0015_01BD2E52.0752BA20-- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 08:31:32 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Unusual Tropical Activity Tropical Cyclone Ursula is in the South Pacific well east of the date line and even EAST of Tahiti. It is very unusual to have a tropical cyclone develop in this tropical basin so far east. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations WTPS11 NFFN 310600 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED BY RSMC-NADI AT 310800 UTC JANUARY 1998. TROPICAL CYCLONE URSULA (985 HPA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0S 144.0W AT 310600 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON LOW RES GOES IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE HAS ACCELERATED A LITTLE AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 20 KNOTS STEERED BY A STRONG DEEP LAYER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. WINDS CLOSE TO CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 50 KNOTS INCREASING TO 55 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE STILL DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IR DUE TO DENSE CIRRUS COVER. ORGANISATION AND CONVECTION CONTINUE TO INCREASE. OUTFLOW FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED WITH SUPPORT OF DIURNAL VARIATION BEFORE VERTICAL SHEAR SUPPRESSES ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF 20S. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON A MODEST DEVELOPMENT WITH MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. FORECAST POSITION NEAR 20.0S 140.6W AT 311800 UTC AND NEAR 22.5S 137.5W AT 010600 UTC. THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 311400 UTC. = ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 11:49:48 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Fw: Unusual Tropical Activity Boris A. Konon wrote: > > Tropical Cyclone Ursula is in the South Pacific well east of the date > line and even EAST of Tahiti. It is very unusual to have a tropical > cyclone develop in this tropical basin so far east. > In addition to Ursula, Fiji is now issuing advisories on two more tropical depressions, both located EAST of the dateline. One is just to the north of Samoa, and the other in the vicinity of the Northern Cooks, southeast of Manihiki Atoll which was devastated by Cyclone Martin in early November. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 16:40:49 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Not Acknowledging T.C. Ursula? This is a little odd...rating it a T4.0 on the Dvorak Scale and noting it has an eye and still calling it a tropical disturbance, while RSMC Nadi had already named it Ursula as early as 31/00z. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations TPPS10 KGWC 311931 A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE E OF TAHITI B. 31/1800Z (9) C. 21.4S/7 D. 140.0W/5 E. SIX/GOES9 F. T4.0/4.0/D2.0 24HRS -31/1800Z- G. IR/EIR 05A/PBO 16NM CLD FLD EYE. EYE TEMP LG WITH A 54NM SURROUNDING RING TEMP LG. FINAL T BASED ON PATTERN T. DATA T YIELDED T4.5. HIGGINS < SENT AT 19:30:16 ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 19:36:57 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Fw: Not Acknowledging T.C. Ursula? ---------- > From: Boris A. Konon > This is a little odd...rating it a T4.0 on the Dvorak Scale and noting > it has an eye and still calling it a tropical disturbance, while RSMC > Nadi had already named it Ursula as early as 31/00z. > > Boris A. Konon > WSI Meteorological Operations I thought it extremely odd also. I have no idea why NPMOC hasn't picked up on Ursula, especially considering that the 1-min avg scale the U.S. uses in theory produces winds speeds 15% higher than the 10-min avg used by Fiji as the basis for their classifications. Even stranger that NPMOC issued a Formation Alert for the depression in the middle which is now TC Veli while still not mentioning Ursula. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 31 Jan 1998 23:49:13 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: POP-UP MENU Hello, This concerns webmasters who have or who would like to have a link to the Skywarn Spotter Class Page on their page. An alternative to the common text link is the pop-up menu. If you'd prefer a pop-up menu for your page containing all 53 links I've made it very easy for you to have it. You just need to go the this page http://www.axnet.com/united/menu.htm and look at the pop-up menu, see if you like it, then just copy and paste the code that's right there on the screen to your page. It's as easy as that. Matt/N9NPP http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Jan 1998 to 31 Jan 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Feb 13 16:06:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626348-10333>; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 14:23:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23102; Mon, 2 Feb 1998 00:19:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199802020619.AAA23102@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 00:08:38 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jan 1998 to 1 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 826d7b296f9eb9279d834ee31722df9d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 274 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SPCLOG: SPC Reports Log (Automatic) 2. FCC and e-mail charges 3. Unusual Tropical Activity 4. Against FCC e-mail charges 5. Reply to note re charges for e-mail access (2) 6. Radio Shack WX-200 - Alternative Software 7. 6-Panel AVN charts from site other than Purdue? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 09:27:38 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: SPCLOG: SPC Reports Log (Automatic) > .......LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS.............LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS...... > > 6 WNDG ZOAR SETTLEMENT WI (41 NW GRB) 31/1530 > TORE AND TWO HOMES VED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE CRP/LSR 4498 8863 Hmmmm.. How much do you want to bet this is an error? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Madison Swapfest '98: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/mara/swapfest/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 10:19:19 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: FCC and e-mail charges Not sure of truth of this, but I'm sending a missive to folks at fcc regardless. Might have an impact to all WX-TALKers. Mike >>Date: Tuesday, January 27, 1998 3:24 PM >>Subject: FCC Ruling on Charges to Email >> >>> >>>>> Subject: FCC reg to charge for email usage. >>>>> >>>>> This is to inform you of a very important matter currently under >>>>> review by the FCC. Your local telephone company has filed a >>>>> proposal with the FCC to impose per minute charges for your >>>>> internet service. They contend that your usage has or will hinder >>>>> the operation of the telephone network. >>>>> E-Mail, in my opinion, will diminish if users were required to pay >>>>> additional per minute charges. The FCC has created an email box for >>>>> your comments, responses must be received by February 13, 98. >>>>> Send you comments to ""isp@fcc.gov"" tell them what you think. >>>>> Every phone company is in on this one, and they are trying to sneak it >>>>> in just under the wire for litigation. >>>>> Let everyone you know hear this one. >>>>> Get this e-mail address to everyone you can think of: >>>>> >>>>> FCC E Mail address isp@fcc.gov >>>>> >>>>> Please make your opinions known to the FCC. >>>>> >>>>> With regards from >>>>> Donald W. Adams, Ph.D. >>>>> Fax: 919 380-0902 -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 11:08:18 EST From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Unusual Tropical Activity I've read the number of reports coming out of this forum about Tropical Cyclone Ursula being the farthest east tropical system in the Southern Pacific basin. I wonder if this has anything to do with the El Nino. You know this was the same region which had Tropical Storm Kelly during the month of June which is similar to having a tropical storm or hurricane in the Atlantic basin in the month of December. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 10:27:23 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Against FCC e-mail charges I sent the following to the fcc this morning <> -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 11:22:45 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Reply to note re charges for e-mail access I just received this automated reply back from fcc. Guess the issue is closed for now. Subject: Against Per Minute e-mail charges -Reply Date: Sun, 01 Feb 1998 11:06:52 -0500 From: ISP To: hmmogil@weatherworks.com This is an automated response to the message you sent to isp@fcc.gov. We established this mailbox for informal comments about usage of the public switched telephone network by Internet access and information service providers for a proceeding on this matter in 1997. If you are responding to a message stating that local phone companies have asked the FCC for permission to impose per-minute charges for Internet access, please be aware that this information is out of date. The FCC decided in May 1997 NOT to allow imposition of interstate access charges on Internet service providers. There is no comment period currently open in this proceeding. More information on Access Charges and the ISP proceeding is available at -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 18:33:12 GMT From: J Subject: Radio Shack WX-200 - Alternative Software I have put up a WWW page describing Alternative software packages for the Radio Shack WX-200 Weather Station. Some people (including me) were dissatisfied with the original software and I'm happy to say that some alternatives are slowly starting to spring up. So don't trash that WX-200 just yet. http://www.weatherwatchers.org/wxstation/wx200alt.html -------------------------------------------------------------- This newspost is spam-protected by supplying a false e-mail. ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 15:52:07 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Reply to note re charges for e-mail access H. MICHAEL MOGIL wrote: > > I just received this automated reply back from fcc. Guess the issue is > closed for now. > > Subject: Against Per Minute e-mail charges -Reply > Date: Sun, 01 Feb 1998 11:06:52 -0500 > From: ISP > To: hmmogil@weatherworks.com > > This is an automated response to the message you sent to isp@fcc.gov. > We established this mailbox for informal comments about usage of the > public switched telephone network by Internet access and information > service providers for a proceeding on this matter in 1997. > As a new member of the list, may I offer a few sites that can help all of us determine whether a virus alert or other warning (such as the ISP case which is becoming an urban legend) can be checked, before sending to the list? http://ciac.llnl.gov/ciac/CIACHoaxes.html http://www.av.ibm.com/BreakingNews/HypeAlert/PENPAL/ http://cc.weber.edu/~dsass/articles.html http://www.ncsa.com/virus/ http://www.fcc.gov/isp.html I've seen other lists brought to a screeching halt over the ISP matter, the "Good Times", "PenPal", and "Deeyenda" "viruses", among others. For newbies, this isn't a criticism, but these things just won't die unless we stop spreading them (this is the 8th ISP alert I've received this time around!) Enough off topic...the weather's beautiful down here today...(back on topic?? :-) and I hope this helps! Nice to be on the list! Gary WB2WPA -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" (NEW!) My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" "Every so often, I like to stick my head out the window, look up, and smile for a satellite picture." --Steven Wright, peripheral visionary ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 21:54:53 -0500 From: Dan Salkovitz Subject: 6-Panel AVN charts from site other than Purdue? I'm looking for the six-panel AVN charts, similar to what is on the Purdue web site. Anyone have another URL address which has them? I've found several sites with four-panel charts but I'm looking for the six-panel, every 12 hours, going out to 72 hours. The Purdue site is great; I'd just like to have another site as a back-up when Purdue is down or not updating as was the case with their AVN charts this weekend. All the Purdue AVN charts this weekend were from 12Z last Friday. Thanks! Dan S. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jan 1998 to 1 Feb 1998 ************************************************* From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4989 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627047-8091>; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 14:08:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB32288; Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:06:16 -0600 Message-Id: <199802030606.AAB32288@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 00:01:40 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Feb 1998 to 2 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 135737f62ab76b935b4448027964c584 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 319 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Eta implementation 2. Guinea Pig Day 3. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for sale 4. Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for sale 5. Unusual Tropical Activity 6. Groundhog 7. Invitation to Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:10:42 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Eta implementation This time they let us know ;> ** NOUS42 KWBC 021245 *** SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 1245 UTC MON FEB 02 1998 021240Z FYI...THE 32KM ETA IMPLEMENTATION THAT WAS SCHEDULED TO BE DONE TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED BY A CRITICAL WEATHER DAY DECLARATION...THE CWD IS INVOKED TO INSURE THAT EVERYTHING POSSIBLE IS DONE BY NCEP TO FACILITATE TIMELY DISTRIBUTION OF FORECAST PROUDCTS WHEN FCST WX CONDITIONS WARRANT ACROSS THE COUNTRY...HOPEFULLY THE IMPLEMENTATION CAN BE RESCHEDULED FOR LATER THIS WEEK.. WHITMORE/SDM/NCO/NCEP ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 09:42:40 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Guinea Pig Day Dateline 2/2/98 - Sandy Spring, MD Seer of seers, all-knowing weather groundhog, Punsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning as thousands looked on. Meanwhile, in the small, sleepy hamlet of Sandy Spring, MD, Hershey, a famous (at least now he is), and fearless, forecasting guinea pig, also saw his shadow. Before the eager children in Mrs. Levine's 2nd grade class (at Sandy Spring Friends School), Hershey saw his shadow and quickly scurried back to his cage amongst the cheers of "we love Hershey." The students had already discussed the groundhog legend and what it meant. It looks like six more weeks of "real" winter are in store for us here in Maryland. Hershey, a brown guinea pig, has been studying weather and taking weather observations for several months, in an attempt to improve his forecasting skills. In addition, the 2nd graders from Mrs. Levine's class will be presenting a Groundhog Day Play on Friday, February 6th to the entire Lower School at Sandy Spring Friends School. Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 11:26:42 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Now in stock in the store for winter: long-sleeve tees and sweatshirts for a limited time only! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 11:27:07 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** Announcing commemorative items in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Maj Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts designed with a version of the 50th Anniversary logo. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/ Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Enjoy! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may exist under the Great Red Spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 13:33:38 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Unusual Tropical Activity Hi Wx-talkers, On Sat, 31 Jan 1998 08:31:32 "Boris A. Konon" wrote: > Tropical Cyclone Ursula is in the South Pacific well east of the date > line and even EAST of Tahiti. It is very unusual to have a tropical > cyclone develop in this tropical basin so far east. This is unusual in normal years, but not unexpected in a strong El Nino year. During the November-April tropical cyclone season in the South Pacific, there is an enhancement of cyclones forming east of 160E (especially east of the dateline) and a reduction west of 160E during moderate and strong El Ninos (Nicholls 1984, Basher and Zheng 1995). These changes probably aren't due to the sea surface temperatures directly, but instead due to the position and strength of the monsoon trough. Basher, R. E. and X. Zheng, 1995: Tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific: Spatial patterns and relationships to Southern Oscillation and sea surface temperature. {\it J. Climate}, {\bf 8}, 1249--1260. Nicholls, N., 1984: The Southern Oscillation, sea--surface temperature, and interannual fluctuations in Australian tropical cyclone activity. {\it J. Climatol.}, {\bf 4}, 661--670. Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities 1992's Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 15:44:10 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Groundhog Shouldn't there be an Ensemble Mean Groundhog Forecast of all the groundhog runs to get the average forecast of shadow-seeing groundhogs vs. early spring predictions? Looks like it's 6 more glorious weeks of winter for Chicago. Excellent! ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 17:42:56 -0600 From: Kit Wagner Subject: Invitation to Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Please consider attending the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the National Weather Association's spring symposium. Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Contact: Jeff Trapp, Program Chair (405)366-0512 NSSL, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069 trapp@nssl.noaa.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------- The Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting, sponsored by the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association, will be held March 24, 1998, at the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. This scientific symposium on tornado forecasting and research is one of several activities scheduled for the three-day celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast, sponsored by the Oklahoma Weather Center and Tinker Air Force Base. Ten internationally-recognized scientists will deliver invited presentations on topics ranging from tornado forecasting techniques and future activities of the Storm Prediction Center, to the history of storm and tornado intercept efforts. In addition, a tribute to Air Force Col. Robert Miller will be paid by Dr. Robert Maddox, who will also discuss the first tornado forecast of Miller and Maj. Ernest Fawbush. Registration forms and additional information can be found on the World Wide Web at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/symposium, or requested from symposium@nssl.noaa.gov or Tornado Symposium, c/o National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069. Early registration is encouraged because seating is limited. Kit K. Wagner, Ph.D. Certified Consulting Meteorologist Atmospheric Information Systems P.O. Box 721165 Norman, OK 73070 Tel: 405-329-8707 Fax: 405-329-8717 E-Mail kit@ionet.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Feb 1998 to 2 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3939 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626784-14571>; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 14:14:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA05858; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:11:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199802040611.AAA05858@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 00:02:58 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6468c7dddf428933d8496b8667a59104 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. CALIFORNIA GROUNDHOG DAY 2. TV Met Job Available (Little Rock, AR) 3. EHI questions 4. Origin of weather symbols +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 22:27:36 -1100 From: Jan Null Subject: CALIFORNIA GROUNDHOG DAY The California Groundhog couldn't see his shadow....he was under about 5 inches of water and 2 feet of mud today. Regards, jan Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 09:19:33 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Little Rock, AR) METEOROLOGIST (KARK) Dynamic station with active weather, seeking a degreed meteorologist to join our team. We have all the tools including our own Doppler Radar, Super Genesis and everything else. If you are dynamic and excited about joining a great weather team, send a tape (no older than 1 week), resume, references and salary to Allen R. Sandubrae, News Director KARK-TV, 201 West 3rd Street, Little Rock, AR 72201. Equal opportunity employer, minorities encouraged to apply. We'll fill this position as soon as we find the right person. Is this you? AMS seal helpful. This will be either for weekends or AM/Noon- depends on you. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 10:47:05 -0500 From: Carl Morgan Subject: EHI questions About the Energy-Helicity Index (EHI), it is supposed to be a dimensionless parameter. The formula that I found is as follows... EHI=CAPE*Helicity/160000 If the values for CAPE and Helicity are the same, considering J/kg is the same as (m/s)**2, how does this equate to a dimensionless parameter? Secondly, for anyone who uses SHARP to analyze and modify soundings, any idea of what formula SHARP uses to calculate EHI? I have tried several times to calculate EHI using the SHARP-derived parameters required for the calculation, and the values that I get don't always agree very well with the SHARP EHI. Just curious... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 11:39:57 -0700 From: Bob Henson Subject: Origin of weather symbols Does anybody out there happen to know when the current set of symbols for plotting station obs (wind flags, crooked R for thunderstorms, etc.) was put together? I've had trouble finding a definitive answer. Any clues are appreciated. --Bob Henson UCAR Communications Univ. Corp. for Atmospheric Research Boulder, Colorado bhenson@ucar.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2025 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625916-20136>; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 13:15:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA28654; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:07:50 -0600 Message-Id: <199802050507.XAA28654@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:02:59 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Feb 1998 to 4 Feb 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 074e34ff801d9677a0942421647e1642 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 1308 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 (4) 2. apologies 3. Meteorology Opportunities??? (2) 4. Update on World Wind Record? 5. TV Met Positions Available (Michigan & Oregon) 6. Origin of weather symbols 7. NWS HIRING FREEZE UPDATE (2) 8. WX-TALK Digest - the long range story 9. El Nino knocks "Pumpkinhead" off air +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 02:22:35 -0500 From: Amos Magliocco Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 forgot: http://members.icanect.net/~elmo1/chase.htm Amos Magliocco KC5VPD 1463 Presidio Drive Weston, FL 33327 954-385-0110 http://members.icanect.net/~elmo1/weather.htm -----Original Message----- From: Automatic digest processor To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Date: Wednesday, February 04, 1998 1:17 AM Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 >There are 4 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. CALIFORNIA GROUNDHOG DAY > 2. TV Met Job Available (Little Rock, AR) > 3. EHI questions > 4. Origin of weather symbols > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Mon, 2 Feb 1998 22:27:36 -1100 >From: Jan Null >Subject: CALIFORNIA GROUNDHOG DAY > >The California Groundhog couldn't see his shadow....he was under about 5 >inches of water and 2 feet of mud today. > >Regards, >jan > >Jan Null, CCM >Certified Consulting Meteorologist >Golden Gate Weather Services >Phone: (510) 657-2246 >email: jnull@ggweather.com >Webpage: http://ggweather.com > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 09:19:33 -0600 >From: Chris Novy >Subject: TV Met Job Available (Little Rock, AR) > >METEOROLOGIST (KARK) >Dynamic station with active weather, seeking a degreed meteorologist >to join our team. We have all the tools including our own Doppler >Radar, Super Genesis and everything else. If you are dynamic and >excited about joining a great weather team, send a tape (no older >than 1 week), resume, references and salary to Allen R. Sandubrae, >News Director KARK-TV, 201 West 3rd Street, Little Rock, AR 72201. >Equal opportunity employer, minorities encouraged to apply. We'll >fill this position as soon as we find the right person. Is this you? >AMS seal helpful. This will be either for weekends or AM/Noon- >depends on you. >*====================================================================* >Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu >Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu >Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) >Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) >Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 >*====================================================================* > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 10:47:05 -0500 >From: Carl Morgan >Subject: EHI questions > > About the Energy-Helicity Index (EHI), it is supposed to be a > dimensionless parameter. The formula that I found is as > follows... > > EHI=CAPE*Helicity/160000 > > If the values for CAPE and Helicity are the same, considering > J/kg is the same as (m/s)**2, how does this equate to a > dimensionless parameter? > > Secondly, for anyone who uses SHARP to analyze and modify > soundings, any idea of what formula SHARP uses to calculate > EHI? I have tried several times to calculate EHI using the > SHARP-derived parameters required for the calculation, and the > values that I get don't always agree very well with the SHARP > EHI. > > Just curious... > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 11:39:57 -0700 >From: Bob Henson >Subject: Origin of weather symbols > >Does anybody out there happen to know when the current set of symbols for plotting station obs (wind flags, crooked R for thunderstorms, etc.) was put together? I've had trouble finding a definitive answer. Any clues are appreciated. > >--Bob Henson >UCAR Communications >Univ. Corp. for Atmospheric Research >Boulder, Colorado >bhenson@ucar.edu > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 >************************************************ > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 02:45:52 -0500 From: Amos Magliocco Subject: apologies This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0045_01BD3117.026DC8C0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable My sincere apologies for my last post, where I re-post an entire day's = digest. That was an error, the e-mail was meant for someone else. Amos Magliocco KC5VPD 1463 Presidio Drive Weston, FL 33327 954-385-0110 http://members.icanect.net/~elmo1/weather.htm ------=_NextPart_000_0045_01BD3117.026DC8C0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
My sincere apologies for my last = post, where I=20 re-post an entire day's digest.  That was an error, the e-mail was = meant=20 for someone else.
 
Amos Magliocco KC5VPD
1463 = Presidio=20 Drive
Weston, FL 33327
954-385-0110
http://members.ica= nect.net/~elmo1/weather.htm
------=_NextPart_000_0045_01BD3117.026DC8C0-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 06:15:23 -0800 From: WILLIAM BURR Subject: Meteorology Opportunities??? Is any one aware of a resource or listing of available weather job opportunities. As an example, I've been told that Dayton, Ohio is the 50th largest TV market for broadcast journalism, but if someone wanted to target smaller markets in radio and/or TV, where might they get a list of who and where those opportunities are? Thanks in advance for any thoughts on the subject. Bill Burr Dayton, Ohio bburr6427@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 06:52:09 -0600 From: Bob Weisman Subject: Update on World Wind Record? Does anyone know the status of the world wind record from that typhoon last fall? I misplaced the link to check on the verification process, so could you send me the link again. Sorry for the bothering. Bob Weisman ============================================================================= Bob Weisman, Professor/Meteorologist SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 5) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 MS 48 FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud State University EMAIL: scsweisman@stcloudstate.edu 720 4th Avenue South Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 Shirley (to 3-foot tall teddy bear): Bear, you're too fat! You have to go to the hospital! Dad: Shirley, you don't go to the hospital for being..... Shirley: Woo! Woo! Woo! Here's the ambulance to take you to the hospital! ============================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 08:15:28 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Positions Available (Michigan & Oregon) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (WNEM) 40 hours per week Salary: Negotiable Duties: An AMS certified meteorologist is needed to do weather for WNEM's #1 weekend 6pm and 11pm newscast. Thorough knowledge of computers, the Internet and the Triton-17 system is preferred. Applicant must also have some reporting experience and editing knowledge. Experience: Minimum 2 years on air experience Education: College degree preferred Contact: Send resume to-Robin Gover, Personnel Administrator WNEM TV 107 N. Franklin St. PO Box 531 Saginaw, MI 48607 Meredith is committed to selecting the most qualified applicant available to fill each of its open positions. Meredith also believes that a diverse work force enriches our Company. We seek to attract applicant pools, therefore, which are rich in diversity. WEEKEND WEATHER PERSON (KWBP) If you've ever though, "I can do better than those boring TV weather people," here's your chance to prove it. We've got an opening for an energetic and entertaining (yet smart) on-air personality to host our weekend afternoons and into primetime. To be considered, you need to know your science, have sharp computer and graphics skills and be able to present yourself on-air and in-person with style...even if it's a little out of the ordinary. An AMS degree (or on the way to getting one) is a major plus! It's the perfect part time/start-out television job for the Northwest's next great TV weatherperson. Send a resume and demo reel (if you have one)-and don't call or you won't get the job- by Feb. 14 to: Weekend Weatherperson, KWPB TV Channel 32, 10255 SW Arctic Drive, Beaverton, OR 97005. KWBP TV/ACME Television of Oregon LLC is an equal opportunity employer. Women and minorities are encouraged to apply. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 09:25:27 -0500 From: Roger Diercks Subject: Re: Meteorology Opportunities??? Hi Bill, One website you might want to try is TV Jobs (www.tvjobs.com). It's a subscription service ($10 a year I believe) that seems to have a lot of job listings. A website to try for radio is the employment section at www.airwaves.com. This site is free. I haven't seen too many job listings for meteorologists there, but you never know what might come up. Good luck! Roger Diercks diercks@students.uiuc.edu >Is any one aware of a resource or listing of available weather job >opportunities. >As an example, I've been told that Dayton, Ohio is the 50th largest TV >market >for broadcast journalism, but if someone wanted to target smaller >markets in radio and/or TV, where might they get a list of who and where >those opportunities are? >Thanks in advance for any thoughts on the subject. > >Bill Burr >Dayton, Ohio >bburr6427@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 09:32:42 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Origin of weather symbols > >Does anybody out there happen to know when the current set of symbols for >plotting station obs (wind flags, crooked R for thunderstorms, etc.) was put >together? I've had trouble finding a definitive answer. Any clues are >appreciated. > >--Bob Henson At San Jose State in 1979 I participated in a conference called "The History of Meteorology". Namias, Willett, Byers, and many other attended. Great conference that centered on the contributions of the Bergen school and Carl Rossby. One of the participants found a letter written by Bjerknes (as I recall) with the first drawings of the Warm, Cold, and Occluded Fronts. The intent was to parallel military notation for fronts. Frank ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 12:01:07 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 >Date: Tue, 3 Feb 1998 11:39:57 -0700 >From: Bob Henson >Subject: Origin of weather symbols > >Does anybody out there happen to know when the current set of symbols for >plotting station obs (wind flags, crooked R for thunderstorms, etc.) was >put together? I've had trouble finding a definitive answer. Any clues >are appreciated. > >--Bob Henson >UCAR Communications >Univ. Corp. for Atmospheric Research >Boulder, Colorado >bhenson@ucar.edu > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 >************************************************ I would like to know the same thing. Who thought up the wind barbs and all those symbols. Evidently we must go back a long way. Someone came up with them, but who??? Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 14:25:22 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: NWS HIRING FREEZE UPDATE Hi to all, I received the following today and thought I would pass this on. --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ From: Louis Uccellini Date: 1/29/98 2:54PM - --PART.BOUNDARY.noaamh1.00e1.34d8575d.0001 > Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; CHARSET=us-ascii > Content-ID: > Content-Description: > ______________________________________________________________________ Please give this message the widest possible distribution: The National Weather Service (NWS) will implement revised 1340 standards for new hires into Meteorologist positions effective on March 1, 1998. The NWS has just resumed issuing vacancy announcements for new GS-5 and GS-7 meteorologist positions for outside hires. The revised 1340 standards are listed below. In the past ten years we have coordinated this revision of the 1340 standards with the university community and within the federal government. The universites were informed 3 years ago we would shortly be implementing these new standards, but a hiring freeze due to budget shortfalls delayed this action. Any questions concerning the implementation of these new standards should be sent to the Scientific Services Divisions within each NWS Regional Headquarters or to the Science and Training Core of the Office of Meteorology. Louis W. Uccellini Director, NWS Office of Meteorology February 2, 1998 GS-1340 METEOROLOGY SERIES Use these individual occupational requirements in conjunction with the "Group Coverage Qualification Standard for Professional and Scientific Positions." Basic Requirements: A. Degree: meteorology. atmospheric science, or other natural science major that included: (1) At least 24 semester (36 quarter) hours of credit in meteorology/atmospheric science including a minimum of: a. Six semester hours of atmospheric dynamics and thermodynamics; * b. Six semester hours of analysis and prediction of weather systems (synoptic/mesoscale); c. Three semester hours of physical meteorology; and, d. Two semester hours of remote sensing of the atmosphere and/or instrumentation. (2) Six semester hours of physics, with at least one course that includes laboratory sessions. * (3) Three semester hours of ordinary differential equations. * (4) At least nine semester hours of course work appropriate for a physical science major in any combination of three or more of the following: physical hydrology, statistics, chemistry, physical oceanography, physical climatology, radiative transfer, aeronomy, advanced thermodynamics, advanced electricity and magnetism, light and optics, computer science. * There is a prerequisite or corequisite of calculus for course work in atmospheric dynamics and thermodynamics, physics, and differential equations. The content of the calculus courses must be appropriate for a physical science major. OR B. Combination of education and experience -- Course work as shown in A above, plus appropriate experience or additional education. - --PART.BOUNDARY.noaamh1.00e1.34d8575d.0001-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 20:25:01 -0600 From: John Rosich Subject: Re: NWS HIRING FREEZE UPDATE On Wed, 4 Feb 1998 14:25:22 -0700 Albert Pietrycha wrote: > c. Three semester hours of physical meteorology; and, > > > (3) Three semester hours of ordinary differential equations. * > > > Does anybody know if Linear Algebra may count for the Differential Equations requirement, and also, would Air Pollution Meteorology satisfy the requirement for the Physical Meteorology requirement? Thanks! John ----------------------------------------- John Rosich, Meteorology Major Email: John.Rosich@valpo.edu Valparaiso University ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 21:09:10 -0600 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 Hi Folks...this Email to me may be a joke...i certainly hope so...I am inlcuding the email and my response....comments? From: "Danielle Marie" To: dans@whnt19.com Subject: HELP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Date: Wed, 04 Feb 1998 16:35:40 EST I found your homepage using Excite or one of those other serch engins. I have to do a report on long range weather forcasting. A man named Jim Witt came to my school and told us about weather predictions he made 3 years ago, that are accurate, he showed us how this is possible He also showed us how he did this by using a theroy that the positon of the planets and the positon of the Moon haveing effects on the atmosphere, I wold GREATLY appreciate it if you would e-mail me back ASAP if you have ANY information on this subject. Thank you, Danielle, a student at Tuxedo Highschool, NY Hi Danielle, I am greatly surprised that a school would have someone talking to students about weather who actually thinks that forecasting the weather can be done by looking at the position of the planets. IT SIMPLY CANNOT BE DONE!!! If your teacher actually endorsed such poppycock it is even worse. PLEASE SHOW THIS TO YOUR TEACHER...I plan on fowarding this to some other Meteorologists I know. Long range forecasting is still in infancy...we can make generalized forecasts for weeks and months ahead with some limitied accuaracy. For instance the forecast of a cool wet winter here in the Southeast because of El Nino has verified very well...also the forecast that el nino would likely bring more severe storms to Florida this winter has also verified well....but anyone who tells you that they can predict what the weather will be like on a given day 2-3 months in the future is NOT telling you the truth....they CANNOT do it. I hope this helps and I hope you show this email to your teacher..parents and Principal. Dan S _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 21:56:36 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - the long range story Maybe the dude at that girl's school was talking about the wobble & tilt of planets that might predict the type of weather to create an ice age, and she mearly mistook it. Who is Jim Witt? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 22:14:41 -0600 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Feb 1998 to 3 Feb 1998 >I found your homepage using Excite or one of those >other serch engins. I have to do a report on long range >weather forcasting. A man named Jim Witt came to my >school and told us about weather predictions he made 3 >years ago, that are accurate, he showed us how this is possible >He also showed us how he did this by using a theroy that >the positon of the planets and the positon of the Moon >haveing effects on the atmosphere, I wold GREATLY >appreciate it if you would e-mail me back ASAP if you >have ANY information on this subject. Um.....I vote for bull%$&@. We all know that there are more variables that influence the weather than just planet positioning. Even if there was a cause/effect relationship with the weather and planets, other factors could easily wipe away its influence. I think this guy probably sells perpetual motion machines as well. It's a shame that freaks like this actually get gigs at schools!!! Karl *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 23:50:50 -0500 From: Howard Altschule Subject: El Nino knocks "Pumpkinhead" off air This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------B8032531790D0A3B3F1B1D03 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit This story from InfoBeat news services today. I am not sure if this is a good or bad thing??!! I think it is a good thing that El Nino knocked the show off the air for one day. Finally some good things from El Nino!!! Preparing to get flamed by Rosie "pumpkinhead" O'donnel fans, Howie (PS...this will be my only post of really non-weather related topics) > *** El Nino guests on 'Rosie' > > El Nino made a surprise appearance Tuesday on "The Rosie O'Donnell > Show." The hit talk show, originating from the Warner Bros. lot in > Burbank this month, was knocked off the air in a dozen East Coast > markets when the satellite feed was interrupted by a technical snafu > blamed on strong winds early Tuesday. The New York-based talk show > usually is carried live at 10 a.m.; however, this month's shows are > being taped a day in advance and beamed to affiliates directly. A WB > spokesman said Tuesday's show was cut off after the first eight > minutes, forcing the affiliates to finish the hour with a rerun. See > http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552734563-197 --------------B8032531790D0A3B3F1B1D03 Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from sender2.lodo.infobeat.com ([208.146.68.34]) by mtiwgwc01.worldnet.att.net (Intermail v3.1 117 234) with ESMTP id <19980204211807.VES24758@sender2.lodo.infobeat.com> for ; Wed, 4 Feb 1998 21:18:07 +0000 Received: from sender2.lodo.in.merc.com (news-errors@mx.lodo.infobeat.com) by sender2.lodo.in.merc.com (version 3.32, queueup copyright InfoBeat, Inc. 1997) with stdio id ATTWORLAAEVL00237; Wed, 04 Feb 1998 14:16:50 MST To: haltschule@worldnet.att.net Subject: News - Afternoon Edition @ 02/04/98 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-TestFile: merc-news1-text-haltschule@worldnet.att.net From: InfoBeat Priority: normal Message-id: Errors-To: news-errors@mx.lodo.infobeat.com Date: Wed, 04 Feb 1998 14:16:50 MST Afternoon Edition for Wednesday, February 04, 1998 ****************************************************************** Is The Roth IRA Your Dream Investment Vehicle? Our ROTH IRA ANALYZERSM can help you compare the results of investing in a Traditional versus a Roth IRA. Try our Free ROTH IRA ANALYZER at Strong On-line- Visit http://www.strong-funds.com/strong/ads/mercury/news.htm ****************************************************************** U.S. Front Page Stories ----------------------- *** Clinton vows to block Iraq from mass weapons *** Storm-battered Calif. prepares for more rain *** Storm whips U.S. Atlantic coast with heavy rain, snow *** Fed leaves key U.S. interest rates unchanged *** FAA way behind in fixing year 2000 problem *** New York's 5th Avenue is world's costliest street Crime and Catastrophe --------------------- *** FBI issues warning on clinic bomb witness *** Fla.'s 'Black Widow' may be next woman executed *** Yearly executions in U.S. near higher world ranks *** Bethlehem Steel to close last plant in hometown World Front Page Stories ------------------------ *** U.N. wary about new reported Iraqi offer on sites *** Yeltsin warns of world war over Iraq *** Italy's Prodi visits cable car disaster site *** Balloonists, blocked by China, end bid to circle globe *** Human rights abuses get Internet spotlight Sports ------ *** Donahue still interested in Cowboys; Jones removes timetable *** Reports: Tyson nearly broke, splits with Don King *** Carlesimo to testify Wednesday at Sprewell hearing *** NHL GMs to vote on rules changes Wednesday *** Panthers' Niedermayer expected back Saturday; Sheppard on IR Entertainment ------------- *** First-timers dot DGA's nominee list for TV *** Daily Variety plans to debut New York edition *** Brooks donates $1 mln to zoo *** DeGeneres' partner meets 'Ellen' *** El Nino guests on 'Rosie' *** Britain's Mr. Bean takes Japan by storm Science and Medicine -------------------- *** Studies show AIDS 'cocktails' help children too *** Hong Kong authorities issue cholera warning Technology ---------- *** IBM demonstrates 1000 MHz processor *** Microsoft, trade association in spat *** PeopleSoft lands 2 contracts with Boeing, GM *** NICE unveils logging, monitoring system *** Bay plans acquisition, sees 3Q charge The Environment --------------- *** AFL-CIO says workers ignored in climate change plan *** Brazil allows sustainable logging by Amazon tribe *** UK plans 'green' indicators to rival economic ones *** Whaling commission hopes to end impasse in Antigua ---------------------------------------------------------------------- U.S. Front Page Stories ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** Clinton vows to block Iraq from mass weapons President Clinton vowed Wednesday that "one way or the other" he would deny Iraq any weapons of mass destruction and said he was encouraged by an international consensus that Baghdad obey U.N. mandates. He said Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein must permit U.N. inspection teams to do their work "with no restraints." For part 2, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739424-ae6 *** U.S. says Iraq position appears to be shifting, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738113-9e8 *and* http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738324-772 *** Gingrich urges decisive action against Iraq, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738297-712 *and* http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738447-02e *** Storm-battered Calif. prepares for more rain Californians began clean-up efforts during a reprieve Wednesday a day after being walloped by the first major El Nino storm of the season. The dry spell promised to be brief, however - another major storm was due to hit the region early Thursday. Counties and cities around northern California declared states of emergency after Tuesday's storm dumped up to seven inches of rain, causing rivers to break their banks, sodden hillsides to topple in torrents of mud and forcing thousands to evacuate. Southern California was hit almost as hard, as sheets of driving rain triggered mudslides and swamped streets. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738366-1ca *** Storm whips U.S. Atlantic coast with heavy rain, snow The strongest winter storm of the season lashed the U.S. Atlantic seaboard Wednesday, flooding rivers and coastal areas and dumping more than a foot of snow in eastern Kentucky and Tennessee, officials said. The storm, a classic northeaster, pounded beaches in Virginia and the Carolinas with strong winds and heavy surf and carried Atlantic moisture hundreds of miles inland where it fell as rain, sleet and wet snow in areas still digging out from a similar storm last week. The storm swept through the Gulf Coast, whipping Florida and Cuba with heavy rain and wind, and intensified as it moved into the Atlantic, picking up moisture and dumping heavy precipitation. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738935-29e *** Fed leaves key U.S. interest rates unchanged The Federal Reserve left key interest rates unchanged Wednesday as it weighed the Asian financial crisis' impact on the booming economy. The central bank's widely expected move, announced after a two-day meeting of its policy-making committee, left the overnight Federal funds rate, a benchmark for borrowing costs throughout the economy, at 5.5%. The discount rate, at which the Fed extends emergency loans to commercial banks, remains at 5%. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739506-2f0 *** FAA way behind in fixing year 2000 problem The Federal Aviation Administration is way behind schedule in fixing year 2000 problems in computers that include those used to control air traffic, a congressional hearing will be told Wednesday. Reports by both congressional investigators and the Department of Transportation's Inspector General are highly critical of the FAA's progress so far. "Time is running out," said the General Accounting Office in a report Wednesday. GAO said the consequences include degraded safety, grounded or delayed flights, increased airline costs and passenger inconvenience. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552737479-c25 *** New York's 5th Avenue is world's costliest street At $580 per square foot, a stretch of New York's glitzy Fifth Avenue maintained its rank as the world's most expensive street for the second year in a row, according to a new study of retail rents released Wednesday. Fifth Avenue between 48th and 57th Streets was followed by East 57th Street between Fifth and Madison Avenues, also in New York, with rent of $500 a square foot, the study said. Of the 10 most expensive streets in the world, seven are in the U.S. and one each is in London, Paris, Tokyo and Hong Kong. Hong Kong's Nathan Road tied San Francisco's Union Square for ninth at $250 a square foot. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738526-665 World's Top 10 costliest streets list, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738600-7c3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Crime and Catastrophe ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** FBI issues warning on clinic bomb witness Federal investigators issued photographs of a North Carolina man Wednesday sought as a material witness to the fatal bombing of an Alabama women's health clinic and warned the public he should not be approached if seen. The FBI issued four photographs of 31-year-old Eric Robert Rudolph and a more detailed description of Rudolph and his pickup truck, which witnesses saw near the New Woman All Women Health Care clinic after it was bombed last Thursday. "Although Mr. Rudolph is being sought only as a witness, due to the violence associated with this crime he should not approached by anyone outside of law enforcement," the FBI said in a statement. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739425-3fd *** Fla.'s 'Black Widow' may be next woman executed The next woman to be executed in the United States could be a Florida woman convicted of poisoning her husband with arsenic, drowning her handicapped son and plotting to blow up her boyfriend. When Texas executed Karla Faye Tucker Tuesday, 14 years had passed since a woman was put to death in the United States. Judi Buenoano, 54, is scheduled to die in Florida's electric chair March 30, less than two months after Tucker's execution. Florida Gov. Lawton Chiles is taking a matter-of-fact approach to the execution. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738948-a7b *** Yearly executions in U.S. near higher world ranks The United States is approaching a top tier of countries that perform executions, an Amnesty International spokesman said Wednesday. The international human rights organization reports on the use of the death penalty around the world and highlights countries which execute more than 100 prisoners in a year. The United States is not yet in this category, with 56 executions in 1996 and 74 in 1997, but Eddie Prokosch, head of Amnesty's campaign for the worldwide abolition of the death penalty, said that might change. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738548-901 Euro-MPs condemn execution of Tucker, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552733903-18d *** Bethlehem Steel to close last plant in hometown Tom Jones has a place in U.S. labor history that few would envy. When the 46-year-old steelmaker looks back over a quarter century with Bethlehem Steel Corp. in Bethlehem, Pa., many of his memories are of bitter union defeats that run from wage concessions to job cuts and broken management promises. But the worst is yet to come. Jones is among 800 employees at the Bethlehem Coke Works who are to lose their jobs when the plant closes on March 31, making them the last steelmakers to work for Bethlehem Steel in the city where its furnaces first blazed more than 140 years ago. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552735939-5c0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- World Front Page Stories ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** U.N. wary about new reported Iraqi offer on sites Iraq's reported proposal to open up eight presidential sites to inspections for one month falls short of Security Council demands, diplomats and arms inspectors said Wednesday. Baghdad has proposed inspections of the eight sites, which include presidential palaces and other buildings, by U.N. representatives for one month, according to CNN quoting unidentified sources. Some U.N. arms inspectors could join them, the network said. Ewen Buchanan, spokesman for the U.N. Special Commission in charge of Iraqi disarmament, said it appeared Baghdad was offering a one-off deal that would bar inspectors from ever looking at the sites again. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739233-3b2 International envoy arrive in Iraq, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738922-2f0 UN preparing approval of increase in Iraqi oil sales, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738237-f81 *** Yeltsin warns of world war over Iraq Russian President Boris Yeltsin sounded a startling warning Wednesday that President Clinton's actions in the Iraq crisis over U.N. weapons inspections could lead to a world war. Yeltsin then told French President Jacques Chirac in a phone call he believed Iraq was making progress toward a peaceful resolution of its conflict with the United Nations, Chirac's spokeswoman said. The Russian leader's searing rejection of U.S. policy came as CNN-TV, quoting unspecified sources in Baghdad, said Iraq had proposed opening up eight presidential sites to inspections for one month. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739085-fd5 Yeltsin quotes on Iraq crisis, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552733366-9a6 Envoy says Yeltsin's remarks on Iraq 'distorted,' see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739256-dde *** Italy's Prodi visits cable car disaster site Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi left Rome Wednesday for the Dolomite mountain resort of Cavalese where 20 skiers were killed when cable car lines were struck by a low-flying U.S. Marines surveillance plane. Prodi, who said Tuesday that the U.S. EA-6B Grumman Prowler plane was "obviously flying too low," was accompanied by Defense Minister Beniamino Andreatta, Prodi's office said. The cable car, with 20 German, Belgian, Italian, Austrian, Polish and Dutch nationals returning from a day's skiing on the Cermis slopes, plunged 650 feet and smashed into the mountainside. There were no survivors. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552732623-5ad Shocked Italians angry at U.S. low-level flights, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552732329-746 Italian town mourns cable car disaster victims, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738774-6ac Clinton expresses regret over German deaths, see http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739355-6db *** Balloonists, blocked by China, end bid to circle globe Three European balloonists, barred by China from entering its airspace, gave up hope Wednesday of flying round the world non-stop but decided to go for a time record, mission officials said. Flight director Alan Noble, a Briton, told reporters at Geneva mission control center the trio were "having fun" and would continue across India and the Bay of Bengal to see how far they could get. They would probably land in Myanmar or Thailand Friday, after beating - around mid-day - the 12-year-old world record for the longest non-stop flight without refueling by plane or balloon: 9 days and 4 minutes. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738392-d25 *** Human rights abuses get Internet spotlight When Amnesty International organized campaigns to help victims of human rights abuses in the 1980s, it was a cumbersome job involving copying machines, post offices and costly phone calls across multiple time zones. The effort, for what was at times a life and death matter, could take weeks. Today, the group can shine the spotlight on repressive governments almost instantaneously - by using the Internet. Amnesty and other human rights groups are turning increasingly to e-mail campaigns and web pages in an effort to reach a wider audience and speed up responses reported torture cases or other abuses. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552736900-033 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Sports ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** Donahue still interested in Cowboys; Jones removes timetable Former UCLA coach Terry Donahue would not confirm reports that he has been offered the job of head coach of the Dallas Cowboys, but admitted he is still very interested in the job. "I would very much like to be coach of the Dallas Cowboys if the conditions are right," Donahue told CNN/SI. ESPN reported Donahue has been offered the job by owner Jerry Jones but that the former UCLA coach has concerns over both the football and financial terms of the contract. One of the concerns likely centers on Jones' desire to be involved in football-related matters. Jones had hoped to name a head coach before the start of Thursday's scouting combine in Indianapolis, but now says he has removed any deadline. *** Reports: Tyson nearly broke, splits with Don King Mike Tyson, already under suspension for biting the ears of Evander Holyfield in a heavyweight title bout last summer, reportedly is nearly broke and has severed his relationship with promoter Don King. The New York Post reported Tyson, who earned approximately $112 million for six fights following his release from prison for a rape conviction, is almost broke and owes the United States government about $7 million in back income taxes. "He's down to $150,000 in liquid assets," an unidentified source told the newspaper. Tyson reportedly blames King for his troubles, and The Post claimed the dispute led to an incident outside a Los Angeles hotel Saturday night in which the boxer slapped and shoved King. *** Carlesimo to testify Wednesday at Sprewell hearing Golden State Warriors coach P.J. Carlesimo is expected to finally get his chance to testify Wednesday in New York in the arbitration hearing for suspended NBA All-Star guard Latrell Sprewell. The Warriors played their final game before the All-Star break Tuesday, a 105-96 home loss to San Antonio, and Carlesimo was expected to make the trip to New York in time for Wednesday's hearing at the law firm of Weil, Gotschal & Manges in New York. NBA commissioner David Stern is expected to testify Thursday. Arbitrator John Feerick, dean of Fordham University Law School, will decide if Sprewell's suspension was proper punishment or too harsh, and his ruling is final. *** NHL GMs to vote on rules changes Wednesday National Hockey League general managers, meeting this week in Scottsdale, Ariz., considered a variety of rules changes Tuesday aimed at adding offense to the game and are expected to vote on them Wednesday. Some of the changes, such as establishing clearer standards for obstruction and interference penalties and reducing the tolerance for such infractions, can be implemented immediately. Also under consideration is eliminating the center-ice red line on a trial basis during the 1998-99 preseason. Other changes would be tried in the American and International Hockey Leagues, such as moving the nets further away from the end boards, prohibiting goaltenders from playing the puck behind the net and prohibiting puck-carriers from stopping behind the net. *** Panthers' Niedermayer expected back Saturday; Sheppard on IR Injury-plagued Florida Panthers center Rob Niedermayer is expected to return for Saturday's game at Toronto before the NHL takes a 2 1/2 week break for the Olympics. Niedermayer has missed 33 of Florida's 56 games this season due to an assortment of injuries. He underwent arthroscopic surgery to remove torn cartilage from his left knee on Jan. 20 and has missed Florida's last eight games. Niedermayer also missed 10 games with a concussion after he was hit by Philadelphia's Eric Lindros in a season-opening loss to the Flyers and was sidelined for another 15 games because of a dislocated right thumb. But while Niedermayer is apparently set to return, the Panthers will be without right wing Ray Sheppard on Saturday. Sheppard suffered a strained left knee when he collided with Vaclav Varada of Buffalo in last Sunday's 5-2 loss to the Sabres. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Entertainment ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** First-timers dot DGA's nominee list for TV The Directors Guild of America announced nominees Tuesday in four TV categories: dramatic special, prime-time drama series, prime-time comedy series and musical variety. Of the 20 helmers nominated, six are first-timers, and the list of veterans includes two past nominees who are debuting in their categories: William Friedkin, recognized for Showtime's "12 Angry Men," and Barbara Kopple, who is up for "Homicide: Life on the Street." With his 14th citation, James Burrows - a three-time winner who is cited for "Dharma & Greg" - now is second only to George Schaefer (with 15 noms) for all-time honors. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552734590-9df *** Daily Variety plans to debut New York edition The entertainment trade publication Daily Variety will launch Daily Variety Gotham March 16, offering a mix of Hollywood news and more coverage of New York businesses such as publishing, finance, advertising, TV and theater. The new edition will be printed on the East Coast, allowing New York residents to buy the paper on the day of publication for the first time since its Hollywood launch in 1933. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552734545-907 *** Brooks donates $1 mln to zoo Country music superstar Garth Brooks has donated $1 million to the Nashville (Tenn.) Wildlife Park for construction of a children's zoo. His wife Sandy, who handed over the gift Tuesday on behalf of the couple and their three children, said "We're excited about the enjoyment and learning opportunities that a new children's zoo will bring not just to my children but to literally thousands of children in Nashville and beyond." The zoo will be named for the late Mae Boren Axton, who co-wrote the Elvis Presley hit "Heartbreak Hotel" and was a publicist for many entertainers, including Dolly Parton and Willie Nelson. *** DeGeneres' partner meets 'Ellen' USA Today is reporting that Ellen DeGeneres' romantic partner, Anne Heche, will appear with her on an episode of "Ellen." Heche, who is starring in the film "Wag the Dog," will be on the ABC show's March 4 episode. Script details are not final, but Heche will enter the picture to commiserate with DeGeneres in a hospital waiting room. The two will talk while waiting for word on their friend and DeGeneres' TV love interest, Laurie (Lisa Darr), who will be in a car accident. *** El Nino guests on 'Rosie' El Nino made a surprise appearance Tuesday on "The Rosie O'Donnell Show." The hit talk show, originating from the Warner Bros. lot in Burbank this month, was knocked off the air in a dozen East Coast markets when the satellite feed was interrupted by a technical snafu blamed on strong winds early Tuesday. The New York-based talk show usually is carried live at 10 a.m.; however, this month's shows are being taped a day in advance and beamed to affiliates directly. A WB spokesman said Tuesday's show was cut off after the first eight minutes, forcing the affiliates to finish the hour with a rerun. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552734563-197 *** Britain's Mr. Bean takes Japan by storm The taciturn comedian known to audiences worldwide as Mr. Bean played to a packed house of Japanese journalists Wednesday. Although refusing to answer any personal questions, Rowan Atkinson, in Tokyo to promote his first movie "Bean - The Ultimate Disaster Movie," was forthcoming to his roomful of media fans about how he creates comedy without relying on words. "The character grew from within me, and (Mr. Bean) is the person I automatically become...," Atkinson said. Atkinson, relaxed in a pinstripe jacket minus his trademark razor-thin tie, said that the visual gags he performs come from the soul. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552732065-5df ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Science and Medicine ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** Studies show AIDS 'cocktails' help children too Strong triple-drug "cocktails" that show near-miraculous results in many adults in controlling the AIDS virus, are working in children too, researchers said Wednesday. Children are not normally given "cocktail" treatments, partly because of fears the toxic drugs will make them too ill, due to some evidence they would not react as adults do, but most of all because of a lack of studies to show what doses they should be given. The standard advice has been to give them Glaxo-Wellcome's AZT, or perhaps a combination of just two drugs in the same class. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552737087-40b *** Hong Kong authorities issue cholera warning Hong Kong issued a cholera warning Wednesday and advised the public to pay extra attention to food hygiene after two elderly men caught the disease. "The public are strongly advised to clean and cook food, particularly shellfish, thoroughly before consumption," the Health Department said in a warning circulated to the media. The warning followed the confirmation of two cholera cases involving men aged 76 and 77. "Both patients had no history of traveling outside Hong Kong during the incubation period," a spokesman said. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552732187-f1a ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Technology ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** IBM demonstrates 1000 MHz processor Engineers at International Business Machines Corp have demonstrated an experimental microprocessor that can run at 1000 megahertz (MHz), about triple the speed of today's fastest commercial chips, the company said Wednesday. IBM said the design and circuits used in the project will eventually be applied to chips using its recently- introduced "copper chip" technology. IBM's announcement follows one by Digital Equipment Corp, which on Monday unveiled a new generation of its Alpha line of processors. Digital said the new Alpha 21264 line will reach speeds in excess of 1000 MHz by the year 2000. IBM's breakthrough is one of several for which it plans to submit papers at an electrical engineering conference in San Francisco this week. The company said it will also describe its first use of copper technology on a product-level design in a 750 MHz chip in its PowerPC line of processors. *** Microsoft, trade association in spat Microsoft Corp. and its trade association got into a nasty spat Tuesday over the role of antitrust law in preserving competition in the high-tech industry. The 1,200-member Software Publishers Association unveiled a list of principles, declaring that the nation's 100-year-old antitrust laws have an important role to play in making sure that no competitor goes too far in promoting its own computer code. Microsoft immediately denounced the Software Publishers Association, to which it pays $100,000 dues annually, for a "charade" and charged the association had been "co-opted by a few competitors who want to use the government as a weapon against Microsoft." See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552727402-70a *** PeopleSoft lands 2 contracts with Boeing, GM PeopleSoft Inc said it received big contracts to supply its human resources and financial software to Boeing Co and General Motors Corp. Boeing, the world's biggest aircraft manufacturer, will use PeopleSoft's software to track its 235,000 employees while GM, the largest U.S. auto maker, will use it to track its 650,000 workers. Boeing also purchased PeopleSoft's accounting software. Terms of neither transaction was disclosed, but they are significant contracts, PeopleSoft executives said. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552727272-209 *** NICE unveils logging, monitoring system Israel's NICE Systems Ltd, a maker of computer telephony integration equipment, unveiled the latest release of its call center evaluation program, NiceUniverse 3.0 on Wednesday. "Our goal is to offer clients logging and monitoring systems that are easily integrated with their existing computer network and telecom environments," Morgan Sturday, president of NICE Systems Canada said in a statement. NiceUniverse automatically records and monitors agents in call centers, the statement said. Voice recordings are stored on the voice/data server and call details are stored in a Windows NT-compatible database. *** Bay plans acquisition, sees 3Q charge Bay Networks Inc said it signed a definitive agreement to acquire Netsation Corp, a deal that will result in a charge of an undisclosed amount in the company's fiscal third quarter. In a statement, Bay Networks said it will pay $11.6 million in cash for Netsation, a privately held specialist in multi-vendor computer network management, based near Research Triangle Park, North Carolina. Bay Network said the deal should extend its position in the network management market by adding Netsation's Configurator product to Bay's Optivity management system. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- The Environment ---------------------------------------------------------------------- *** AFL-CIO says workers ignored in climate change plan The White House has too much faith that technology will cure economic ills resulting from the global warming treaty and is not developing strategies to help workers hurt by cutbacks in coal and oil use, an AFL-CIO spokesman said Wednesday. "We're struck by the absence of attention to the transition" to a less fossil fuel-dependent economy, AFL-CIO director of public policy programs David Smith said a congressional hearing on global warming. It was the first such hearing since the Clinton administration agreed with other industrialized nations in December to a treaty to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases from burning oil and coal. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552739198-ec8 *** Brazil allows sustainable logging by Amazon tribe Brazil approved the creation of the first sustainable logging project on indigenous land in the Amazon Wednesday in an effort to stem the devastation of its fragile ecosystem by commercial logging. The project, partially funded by the World Bank, will eventually permit the Xikrin tribe to selectively log an area equivalent to 9% of their reservation in the northern state of Para over 40 years. The Brazilian government hopes to promote sustainable logging as one of several measures to slow deforestation in the Amazon. Current data shows an area twice the size of Belgium was deforested between 1995 and 1997. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552737433-b0e *** UK plans 'green' indicators to rival economic ones The British government unveiled plans Wednesday to measure the country's performance on "green" issues as seriously as it monitors the state of the economy. Environment Minister Michael Meacher said he planned a series of environmental indices which he hoped would be regarded as having the same importance as data on economic growth or unemployment. The indicators would look at things like air quality, biodiversity, pollution, energy efficiency, water conservation and there would even be a measure reflecting the beauty of the countryside, he told a news conference. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552734230-23b *** Whaling commission hopes to end impasse in Antigua International Whaling Commission members said they hoped to end a long impasse over whaling restrictions at their informal meeting in Antigua, but had made no decisions on the issue Wednesday. During their first day of talks, commissioners discussed a plan that Ireland put forward in October to ban whaling on the high seas but allow some hunting in coastal areas for local consumption and under the strict control of the IWC. The plan would phase out "scientific whaling" - killing whales for research as the Japanese do. And no new countries would be allowed to begin whaling. See http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=2552738645-8ef ------------------------------------------------------------- Get the Most Out of InfoBeat News! Upgrade to Outlook Express at http://www.oe.infobeat.com/text/?email=haltschule@worldnet.att.net. If you'd like to subscribe to other InfoBeat products or modify your current settings, visit our web site at http://www.infobeat.com. Copyright 1998 InfoBeat, Inc. All rights reserved. InfoBeat Services are for personal use only. Commercial use or redistribution in any form, printed or electronic is prohibited. ------------------------------------------------------------- --------------B8032531790D0A3B3F1B1D03-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Feb 1998 to 4 Feb 1998 - Special issue **************************************************************** From - Fri Feb 13 16:07:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2691 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626236-20145>; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 14:04:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30196; Thu, 5 Feb 1998 00:03:28 -0600 Message-Id: <199802050603.AAA30196@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 00:00:42 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1365f4738682fefd46ad83e2f43f2ad2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 24 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Response to Dan Satterfield/Planets +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 4 Feb 1998 22:39:09 -0700 From: Sandusky Subject: Response to Dan Satterfield/Planets Come on folks... you're scientists! 100 years from now it may well be an accepted and finely researched practice to make long-range forecasts using planetary data (like from an ephemeris put out by the jpl). I believe that the proper response to the inquiry would be -- to acknowledge that no firm research has been done as of yet that correlates weather patterns with the influence of planet positions, but that such advancement in the future is possible. I think you should change your "IT SIMPLY CANNOT BE DONE!" to "IT MAY BE POSSIBLE BUT IT IS NOT YET A PROVEN OR SCIENTIFICALLY ACCEPTED PRACTICE!" :) Remember... scientific revolutions start with the people who entertain the craziest ideas. Nicole (meteorologist + meteo grad student + business forecaster + mad scientist) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Feb 1998 ********************************** From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4543 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627388-21139>; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 14:13:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12770; Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:10:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199802060610.AAA12770@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 00:04:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Feb 1998 to 5 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 09f2ff5fa26a03ca2fd32e8027282f80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 655 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Response to Dan Satterfield/Planets 2. National Weatherman Day (3) 3. KPIX TV announces Japan web weather 4. TV Met Job Available (Pocatello, Idaho) 5. Subscriber needs 1967 tropical storm info 6. Jim Witt (3) 7. Astrological forecasts? (2) 8. why does this keep happening... 9. ASOS Commissioning notice 10. UNCC model graphics 11. infrared satellite images +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 09:05:56 -0600 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Response to Dan Satterfield/Planets At 10:39 PM 2/4/98 -0700, you wrote: >Come on folks... you're scientists! 100 years from now it may >well be an accepted and finely researched practice to make >long-range forecasts using planetary data (like from an ephemeris >put out by the jpl). I believe that the proper response to the >inquiry would be -- to acknowledge that no firm research has been >done as of yet that correlates weather patterns with the >influence of planet positions, but that such advancement in the >future is possible. I think you should change your "IT SIMPLY >CANNOT BE DONE!" to "IT MAY BE POSSIBLE BUT IT IS NOT YET A >PROVEN OR SCIENTIFICALLY ACCEPTED PRACTICE!" :) > >Remember... scientific revolutions start with the people who >entertain the craziest ideas. Your attitude is commendable, but this guy (does anybody know who is is?!) is claiming SUCCESS using this technique THREE YEARS down the road. It is a common reaction in science, whenever somebody claims something that just sets off the BS alarm in everybody, to be met with a flurry of skepticism. Did you catch that God-awful TAWS debate last year?! As I said in my post, there could be a cause/effect relationship. However, there are sooo many other variables that go into the composition of the weather that to claim to be able to forecast THREE YEARS down the road using ONE VARIABLE just doesn't sit right with me. Sorry. I'm willing to listen (as always), but with one eyebrow raised. Karl *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 10:22:02 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: National Weatherman Day To all my fellow meteorologists out there...have a great one! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 10:58:02 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: KPIX TV announces Japan web weather The following article appeared in SHOPTALK --an Internet-based TV News magazine. For more information on SHOPTALK see www.tvspy.com. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Automated Weather Source, Inc. (AWS) is pleased to announce that KPIX-TV has installed an AWS AirWatch weather system at Shinonoi Nishi JHS in Nagano, Japan. The AirWatch system is a fully automated weather station that provides live, local weather conditions. The KPIX-TV site in Nagano is directly connected to the Internet, allowing up-to-the-second weather conditions to be featured on the web. Real-time weather data from Nagano can be viewed at: http://www.kpix.com *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 11:01:54 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Pocatello, Idaho) NEWS REPORTER/WEEKEND WEATHER ANCHOR Gather, shoot, write, voice and edit news stories; Maintain professional relationships with community sources, including local and state officials, social services, civic groups, business groups, etc.; Gather meteorological data in the East Idaho area, Western US and national weather; Present weather information in a form that is understandable and meaningful to viewers; and Perform other tasks related to the position as assigned. Requirements: Experience with TV and weather forecasting preferred; Ability to work well with others; and Please submit a non-returnable SVHS tape and a resume. Immediately Tonia Ellis, News Director Oregon Trail Broadcasting Company 02 East Sherman Street Pocatello, Idaho 83201 NO PHONE CALLS PLEASE! OREGON TRAIL BROADCASTING COMPANY AN AFFIRMATIVE ACTION/EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER This employer does not discriminate on the basis of sex, age, race, color, religion, handicap, national origin, marital or veteran's status. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 11:12:07 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Subscriber needs 1967 tropical storm info mike wrote me... >1967 a cyclone struck Wake Island. I was on the island at the time but the >cyclone was unnamed at that time. Wake is hardly Sydney or Honolulu, so >there wasn't a great fuss made about the storm. > >I would appreciate any and all information you might have about the >storm. Wake Island's co_ordinates are 19 17N and 166 36E. It is >roughly 2/3 of the way between Hawaii and the North Mariana's. A map >of Oceania will show it. Michael bath suggested I contact you. If anyone has information on this storm or knows of a place Mike can find it, please write him directly at . Thanks. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 11:25:07 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: National Weatherman Day Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote... >To all my fellow meteorologists out there...have a great one! OK Gilbert, so did you or didn't you see your shadow? ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 11:37:22 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: National Weatherman Day Chris Novy says: > OK Gilbert, so did you or didn't you see your shadow? Don't know. I'm too skinny to have a shadow... ;-) Hmmm. Well, I guess I did eat enough this morning to make one. I can see my shadow! And you know what that means...6 weeks in a row of "high risk" days by SPC in the southern Plains this spring!!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Can you REALLY imagine 6 weeks of continuous high risk? We'd have dead * chasers due to exhaustion all over the place.... * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 13:07:18 -0500 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Re: Jim Witt Good day everyone: I have some infomration on the mysterious Jim Witt and his predicitions. > Hi Folks...this Email to me may be a joke...i certainly hope so...I am > inlcuding > the email and my response....comments? ....It is no joke. More to come. I have spoken to Jim Witt regarding this letter and will tell you some of his comments. > weather forcasting. A man named Jim Witt came to my > school and told us about weather predictions he made 3 > years ago, that are accurate, he showed us how this is possible > He also showed us how he did this by using a theroy that > the positon of the planets and the positon of the Moon > haveing effects on the atmosphere, I wold GREATLY > appreciate it if you would e-mail me back ASAP if you > have ANY information on this subject. ....Well, I know Jim Witt fairly well as he was my old boss at Fleetweather in New York. When I was employed at Fleet, Jim was the co-owner. In fact he was the founder of Fleetweather and was there for 35 years. Anyway, Jim does know his meteorology very well and began doing some private research on how long range forecasts may be related to the position of the planets. For those of you in the NYC area, Jim is infamous for getting on the radio and broadcasting his monthly forecast of weather events for the area. Many times the forecasts were on target and other times they were incorrect. Whichever the case, Jim actually has a calendar that he creates each year and it outlines what weather will occur on a daily basis. It is through a radio station called WHUD-FM. 100% of his calendar profits go to children's charities and this has totalled $250,000 so far. ....In any case, I found out some information about how Jim does his forecasts. Jim has weather records where some date back to 100 years or so. He has studied the positions of the planets and the weather at that time and has used that information to predict similar weather patterns when those planet configurations occur. I have seen many forecasts he has prepared (as we have the calendar in my old office) and many of them have been right on the mark. In fact, I think his are more accurate han the farmers almanac's (speaking of inaccuratelong range forecasting). Bottom line, Jim Witt is very reputable and his forecasts using these methods are for real. Having witnessed several of the forecasts and a having no evidence suggesting that the planets don't have any affect on our weather....I approach the topic with a cautious attitude of "maybe there is some correlation, who knows?". Despite the fact that I still like to use the more proven weather predictors when forecasting both short, medium and long range, I would not be a scientist if I dismissed this possibility without any solid evidence contradicting it. A few other meteorologists have also studied Jim's maps are in belief that it too may be for real. I will leave their names out of this discussion for now. Dan Wrote: > I am greatly surprised that a school would have someone talking to students > about weather who actually thinks that forecasting the weather can be done > by looking at the position of the planets. > > IT SIMPLY CANNOT BE DONE!!! ....Though I am cautious about such a manner of long range forecasting, do you really have the hard evidence to back up your claim that it cannot be done. Perhaps there may be some correlation??? We really have not studied that aspect of forecasting...to my knowledge. > PLEASE SHOW THIS TO YOUR TEACHER...I plan on fowarding this to some other > Meteorologists I know. > > Long range forecasting is still in infancy...we can make generalized > forecasts for weeks and months ahead with some limitied accuaracy. For > instance the forecast of a cool wet winter here in the Southeast because of > El Nino has verified very well...also the forecast that el nino would > likely bring more severe storms to Florida this winter has also verified > well....but anyone who tells you that they can predict what the weather > will be like on a given day 2-3 months in the future is NOT telling you the > truth....they CANNOT do it. > ....Jim has some comments which completely contradict your statements here. Jim speaks to schoolkids about his practices and such in hopes that they leave with the idea that they should always prove something cannot be done before they believe it cannot be. Further, Jim tries to stimulate their interest in proving things and finding things out for themselves....and then make a determination. Gee, it almost sounds like someone is trying to stimulate their students' cravings for research and development...rather than the usual spoon-fed hogwash that we are all used to. Good for the teacher!!! > I hope this helps and I hope you show this email to your teacher..parents > and Principal. > ....Me too. I hope Jim decides to chime in on this discussion as we finally have stimulated some new interesting wx-talk topic which will probably be around for a while. I am curious to see what others have to say about this. But, for those who think this letter and way of long range forecasting is a joke, I can say with some evidence that there may be soem truth to it. As with everything else, we should continue to study this possibility before we make judgement. Best regards, Howie Altschule WNYT-TV Albany, NY P.S.: I would like to apologize for sending that huge news bulletin yesterday. I was attempting to send one article, but the whole thing was sent in error. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 13:48:00 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Jim Witt > I would not be a scientist if I dismissed this possibility without any solid evidence > contradicting it. I thought science was based on showing how something _can_ be done -- not relying on others to prove it cannot be done. > ....Though I am cautious about such a manner of long range forecasting, do you really have > the hard evidence to back up your claim that it cannot be done. Again, shouldn't he come up with evidence it _can_ be? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 16:06:58 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: Astrological forecasts? Dan Satterfield's post concerning the use of planetary positions in long-term forecasting of weather should alarm each and every one of us. This is only one more manifestation of the kind of "touch-feely" watered-down science curricula that have slowly invaded the public schools over the last two decades. Public school students have such a poor grasp on science that to introduce even the possibility that planetary positions can influence earthly phenomena only serves to take precious time from the multitude of real scientific principles that could be taught. What's next, ads for psychic hotlines in school newspapers?? Does anyone remember the press coverage given to a book published back in the mid-70s called "The Jupiter Effect"? This book purported to establish an elaborate chain of cause and effect, based on planetary positions, that was to have culminated in a disastrous California earthquake in (I think) 1979. To the general public, this kind of thing at least sounds plausible, if not downright believable, because of their utter lack of grounding in the scientific method. Or how about the nut that predicted a catastrophic earthquake for the mid-Mississippi Valley a few years ago, based on the position of the moon. Because he had a good PR machine and identified himself as a "scientist", all of the major news organizations flocked to the area to cover the "event". The reasons for the staggering scientific ignorance today aren't hard to pin down. Science is often portrayed as an edifice of knowledge, poised to move, juggernaut-like, into the realm of our most cherished beliefs. This idea has been around for a long time, but it has no more truth now than it did in Galileo's day. Unfortunately, it's within the self-interest of some organizations to muddy the waters and attempt to cast certain bodies of knowledge (built up through the painstaking application of the scientific method) in disrepute. The identification of "Science" as an adversary to certain conservative points of view (particular those of fundamentalist religions) only serves to degrade the public's ability to deal with the increasingly complex issues presented to us as we move into the 21st century. The popular public perception of science as a body of knowledge (something one either "believes in" or not) could be erased simply by the proper teaching of what science really is -- a methodology for examining the universe that has no vested interests. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 16:09:44 -0600 From: The Bogner Family Subject: why does this keep happening... over the last several weeks, i have had a devil of a time forecasting the low temperatures, and the main thing that keeps throwing me off (besides REALLY bad guidance) is that the dew point seems to have taken on a huge diurnal range...from around 27 at 7 a.m. to around 37 by 3 p.m...something we learned in college wasn't supposed to happen without an air mass exchange... what i want to know is...what process is at work here? often i have observed the temperature falling quickly while the dew point falls slowly in the late afternoon/evening, and when saturation is reached, the two continue falling together...almost as if they have "momentum" my first thought to this question was that radiation was the culprit, but that shouldn't be physically possible. radiation takes place in the infrared wavelengths, and moisture should not technically "radiate." in fact, if there is a strong inversion, which there always is this time of year, shouldn't moisture be trapped near the surface and the dew-point actually rise overnight? my second thought was moisture eminating from the ground was the problem, but this seemed to be MORE of a problem before the recent thunderstorms... is it just a matter that warmer air holds more water, and if so, shouldn't this be more evident in summer months? ive thrown this around at work (after they about threw me around the room for continuously bumping UP their previous forecast's numbers) and finally just started ignoring that just because we were 45/35 at noon didn't mean that the low that night couldn't be 26...and then the dew-point back up to 35 by noon again the next day. any help (especially from you university types) might help me sleep better at night... mark bogner morning meteorologist ksnw-tv, wichita ...lamenting the fact that in 2 days, the sun will set AFTER my bedtime of 6 p.m.... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 17:28:42 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites today, 05 February 1998. FANNING FIELD (KIDA) IDAHO FALLS... ID MEDICINE LODGE (KP28) MEDICINE LODGE... KS CHAMBERLAIN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (K9V9) CHAMBERLAIN... SD Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 17:02:23 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Astrological forecasts? On Thu, 5 Feb 1998, Mark Mears wrote: > Dan Satterfield's post concerning the use of planetary positions in > long-term forecasting of weather should alarm each and every one of us. > > This is only one more manifestation of the kind of "touch-feely" > watered-down science curricula that have slowly invaded the public schools > over the last two decades. > > Public school students have such a poor grasp on science that to introduce > even the possibility that planetary positions can influence earthly > phenomena only serves to take precious time from the multitude of real > scientific principles that could be taught. > > What's next, ads for psychic hotlines in school newspapers?? Just had to point out that "Psychic Friends Network" filed for bankruptcy today. They owe $26 million but have only $1.4 million in assets. And none of the psychics saw it coming. Hmmmmm.... But to address your comments, they *can* have a good grasp if it is taught well and with modern equipment and facilities to do so. And the people have made it clear, the ones who pay for the education: many don't care. So, computers are nowhere to be found, relevant teaching is limited by textbooks that can be antiquated or boring because there are no tools to bring the material to life...it's like reading a book with blank pages! You don't get anything out of it. > Does anyone remember the press coverage given to a book published back in > the mid-70s called "The Jupiter Effect"? This book purported to establish > an elaborate chain of cause and effect, based on planetary positions, that > was to have culminated in a disastrous California earthquake in (I think) > 1979. > > To the general public, this kind of thing at least sounds plausible, if not > downright believable, because of their utter lack of grounding in the > scientific method. I agree! It is assumed that people don't care or have little interest about the world around them, and it is showing up...or, more correctly, NOT showing up in today's grade and high school curricula. And, because they have no base of knowledge, they assume what they see on TV shows or the news is gospel. And if I hear one more reporter say "El Nino hit California with rain today" I'm gonna PUKE! > The reasons for the staggering scientific ignorance today aren't hard to > pin down. Science is often portrayed as an edifice of knowledge, poised to > move, juggernaut-like, into the realm of our most cherished beliefs. This > idea has been around for a long time, but it has no more truth now than it > did in Galileo's day. Let's make it simple: over our heads and impractical. And while it is true that the amount of "science" has exploded in the past 50 years and will continue to do so, you cannot study everything. We're asking for basics so that people know and understand what's good and what should be "red flagged" for truth or further study. You saw on this list some time ago the newspaper report of a kid doing a science fair project near Boise, ID. He asked 50 people if they'd sign a petition banning "dihydrous monoxide"...I am not sure if I got that exactly right, but my point is... 46 people did sign that petition, which stated that it could cause you to lose traction on a road, to kill you if you were immersed in it. I don't know about you, but I wouldn't want to ban water...92% were fooled into making a horrible decision. That story shook me to the core. That's how bad the knowledge base is dealing with science. > Unfortunately, it's within the self-interest of some organizations to muddy > the waters and attempt to cast certain bodies of knowledge (built up > through the painstaking application of the scientific method) in disrepute. Some TV shows these days are not making much, if any, attempts to learn about the credibility of those they interview. That leads to wild things said that are assumed to the viewer to be accepted as truth. > The identification of "Science" as an adversary to certain conservative > points of view (particular those of fundamentalist religions) only serves > to degrade the public's ability to deal with the increasingly complex > issues presented to us as we move into the 21st century. Not always true...in Christianity, for example, all of the major scientific discoveries support the Bible! > The popular public perception of science as a body of knowledge (something > one either "believes in" or not) could be erased simply by the proper > teaching of what science really is -- a methodology for examining the > universe that has no vested interests. How about interesting? Locally, chapters in science books are synchronized with trips to museums or places where what they learn is done in real life. That's one way I got hooked into meteorology! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Jan 1980 16:24:40 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Jim Witt Howard Altschule wrote: > > I have some infomration on the mysterious Jim Witt and his predicitions. > ...cut... > > ....In any case, I found out some information about how Jim does his forecasts. Jim has > weather records where some date back to 100 years or so. He has studied the positions of the > planets and the weather at that time and has used that information to predict similar weather > patterns when those planet configurations occur. I have seen many forecasts he has prepared > (as we have the calendar in my old office) and many of them have been right on the mark. In > fact, I think his are more accurate han the farmers almanac's (speaking of inaccuratelong > range forecasting). ...cut... "maybe there is some correlation, who knows?". Despite the fact that I still like to use > the more proven weather predictors when forecasting both short, medium and long range, I > would not be a scientist if I dismissed this possibility without any solid evidence > contradicting it. A few other meteorologists have also studied Jim's maps are in belief that > it too may be for real. I will leave their names out of this discussion for now. > You can "correlate" just about anything with anything else. For instance, you can use sunspots as a predictor of certain weather events, but you can also, if you want to, correlate harsh winters with the number of groundhogs born in Kentucky last year, or hot summers with the totally unrelated number of cans of beans sold in Australia two years ago. If you look at statistics and correlations long enough, you can just about "prove" anything you want. Without scientific evidence (like what actual physical or gravitational effects do the planets exert on earth's weather), you have only numbers. Did this man use anything but statistics? If not, he should consider doing so. Ken Z. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 21:59:04 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: UNCC model graphics Has anyone else noticed problems with the UNCC model graphics lately? Ever since Feb 2nd when they added the AVN hi-res graphics and additional MRF graphics as well as regional ETA graphics I've noticed numerous problems. For one thing, the MRF and AVN graphics are not updating at all, the ETA is no longer updated, portions of the ETA graphics were last updated yesterday and other portions last updated Feb 2nd with many of the maps missing contours or state/country outlines, or are just blank all together. I tried e-mailing Mike at Duke Power who as far as I know runs the UNCC weather server but it seems there is also a problem with the mail server over there or just his specific address because I received a non-fatal error return. Anyone know what's up? Thanks in advance... Matt ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Feb 1998 21:39:49 -0700 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: infrared satellite images Hello people, Does anyone out there know of a URL where I could find information on infrared satellite images? How they're created, they're significance, etc? I've searched around on the net myself, but all I can find are the images themselves without any explanation. Any info. will be of great help. Thank you! -Jeff Schmidt jschmid2@hannibal.wncc.cc.ne.us ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Feb 1998 to 5 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626736-19262>; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 14:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22492; Sat, 7 Feb 1998 00:06:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199802070606.AAA22492@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Feb 1998 to 6 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37870a05922316c6db2a93c539f37c12 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 522 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Astrological forecasts? 2. TV Met Position Available (Huntsville, AL) 3. infrared satellite images 4. Storm Chasers Needed 5. Weather warning format date change... 6. The COD Severe Weather Forecasting Conference!!! 7. New Experimental ETA Model 8. a thunderstorm lover's year... 9. UNCLE! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 07:06:47 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Re: Astrological forecasts? Mark Mears wrote: > This is only one more manifestation of the kind of "touch-feely" > watered-down science curricula that have slowly invaded the public schools > over the last two decades. > > Public school students have such a poor grasp on science.... The other day during our class discussion on the life history of stars, a high school junior asked, "If the sun is a star, why can't we see it at night?" It would have been funny if it wasn't so sad. She was serious, too. And what's sadder, still, is that she wasn't the only one who had that question. We educators need to feel the responsibility to teach good science, and its too bad others don't share that same feeling. Something to think about.... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 09:19:52 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Position Available (Huntsville, AL) CHIEF METEOROLOGIST (WAAY) Were looking for the top severe weather person in the country to lead our team of breaking news specialists in the most tornado-prone community anywhere. When the weather gets bad, everything else takes a back seat with us. You'll have the best equipment money can buy at your disposal: Baron Services Enterprise 250 Doppler radar, Genesis graphics computer with operators, storm spotter van, 125-person storm spotter network, 4-person department, and dedicated support from a news staff of 60 people, 5 bureaus, 8 microwave trucks, and a dual- path satellite truck. This is a sensational opportunity for the right person. Huntsville is a high-tech city, home of Space Camp and the Marshall Space Flight Center, and a wonderful place to live and raise a family. The only downside is frequent dangerous weather, and thats why we need you! AMS and NWA seals very helpful. Salary commensurate with experience. WAAY-TV is an equal-opportunity employer. Send a recent tape, resume, and a letter outlining your approach to presenting the weather in good times and in bad to Terry Heaton, News Director, WAAY-TV, 1000 Monte Sano Blvd., Huntsville, AL, 35801. E-mail heaton@waaytv.com. No phone calls, please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 09:39:36 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: infrared satellite images Jeff Schmidt wrote: >Hello people, > > Does anyone out there know of a URL where I could find information >on infrared satellite images? How they're created, they're significance, >etc? I've searched around on the net myself, but all I can find are the >images themselves without any explanation. Any info. will be of great >help. Thank you! Jeff: I'd suggest starting with the University of Illinois WW 2010 page on satellite imagery: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/rs/sat/goes/imgprd.rxml or, of you wish you can start at the top: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu and select "Satellite Meteorology", "Goes Satellites", and finally select "Imager Products" from the sidebar menu. This is a nice site. I'd encourage people with an intrest in meteorology have a look. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 13:55:31 -0800 From: "Engineering Analysis, Inc." Subject: Storm Chasers Needed EAI SEEKS SNAIL HANDLERS FOR 1998 TORNADO SEASON Under contract with the Department of Commerce, Engineering Analysis Inc. (EAI) is currently developing the concept of a Seismic Tornado Detector. As part of the development process we have designed and fabricated six instrument packages nicknamed "Snails" which we plan to place near tornadoes in the "tornado alley" which extends from Texas, through Oklahoma, into Kansas. These Snails will record the seismic signal produced by tornadoes at distances as great as 10 miles. We have previously distributed these Snails during the 1996 and 1997 primary tornado seasons, with the first successful deployment occurring in May of 1997. We are planning on distributing these Snails again for the 1998 primary tornado season, and we are looking for experienced storm chasers who are planning to be in "tornado alley" during that time period. In some cases, space permitting, EAI will provide a team member to ride in the stormchaser's vehicle. A cash bonus will be awarded for each successful deployment of a Snail. If you are interested in participating in this program please contact the following: Engineering Analysis, Inc. 715 Arcadia Circle Huntsville, AL 35801 (205) 533-9391 Fax: (205) 533-9325 eai@mindspring.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 14:44:50 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Weather warning format date change... Note that the weather warning format change will not be on April 1, but on April 15. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PNSWSH PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATE... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 320 PM EST FRI FEB 6 1998 TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT SHORT-FUSE SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES TO TAKE ON A NEW LOOK... EFFECTIVE APRIL 15 1998 ...NEW EFFECTIVE DATE... ...THIS UPDATESS THE PREVIOUS NOTICE FOR A NEW EFFECTIVE DATE OF APRIL 15 1998. ALL OTHER INFORMATION REMAINS THE SAME... BEGINNING APRIL 15 1998 AT 600 AM CST / 1200 UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED OR UTC/...SHORT FUSE SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES WILL BE ISSUED WITH A /BULLET STYLE/ FORMAT INSTEAD OF THE FULL NARRATIVE VERSION USED IN PREVIOUS YEARS. THIS FORMAT ALLOWS CRITICAL INFORMATION TO STAND OUT IN A STANDARD SEQUENTIAL FASHION ON INDIVIDUAL LINES...SEPARATED BY A BLANK LINE. THE NEW APPEARANCE MAKES IT EASIER TO REVIEW AND READ THE WARNING QUICKLY. NO PRODUCT IDENTIFIER/HEADER CHANGES AND NO UNIVERSAL GEOGRAPHIC CODE CHANGES ARE REQUIRED BY NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ CUSTOMERS...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ CUSTOMERS...OR OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS. HOWEVER...SOME TELEVISION STATIONS...POSSIBLY INCLUDING CABLE TELEVISION...WILL NEED TO ENSURE EQUIPMENT USED TO GENERATE A CRAWL WILL ACCOMMODATE THE NEW WARNING FORMAT. THE SHORT-FUSE WARNING PRODUCTS AFFECTED ARE SHORT-FUSE WARNING PRODUCT NWWS ID + WMO HEADER FOR FOS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CCCSVRXXX + WUUS1 KXXX TORNADO WARNING CCCTORXXX + WFUS1 KXXX FLASH FLOOD WARNING CCCFFWXXX + WRUS1 KXXX SPECIAL MARINE WARNING CCCSMWXXX + WMUS1 KXXX + WMO HEADERS SUBJECT TO CHANGE SOMETIME IN SPRING 1998. NOTICES FOR WMO HEADER CHANGES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING WORLD WIDE WEB SITE /USE LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/NOTICES/NOTICES.SHTML CONTENT OF THE WARNINGS WILL REMAIN THE SAME...ONLY THE THEIR APPEARANCE WILL CHANGE. IN ORDER OF APPEARANCE...BULLETS WILL CONTAIN THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION... * TYPE OF WARNING AND LOCATION OF AREA WARNED * VALID TIME * TIME OF EVENT...BASIS FOR WARNING...MOVEMENT * PATHCAST /OPTIONAL/ NWS OFFICES PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. HAVE BEEN EXPERIMENTING WITH SUCH BULLET FORMATS DURING THE PAST YEAR. WITH THIS NOTIFICATION...ALL NWS OFFICES WILL ADOPT A STANDARDIZED...BULLET STYLE FORMAT. A SAMPLE WARNING FORMAT FOLLOWS: CCCNNNXXX /NWWS ID LINE ONLY/ TTAA00 KXXX 262217 NNNXXX /FOR WMO/FOS ONLY/ SSCFFF-262200- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED /....EXAMPLE ONLY.../ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING /...NOT A REAL REQUEST../ NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANYWHERE SS 517 PM EDT DAY MON 26 1997 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANYWHERE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... ANYCOUNTY IN EASTERN ANYSTATE * UNTIL 600 PM EDT * AT 515 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF ANYTOWN...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ANYTOWN AT 520 PM EDT ANYVILLE AT 545 PM EDT HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE LIKELY. PERSONS IN OR NEAR THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS ...END OF EXAMPLE... IN GENERIC FORM...THE FORMAT IS AS FOLLOWS... CCCNNNXXX /NWWS ID WITH NNN = TOR...SVR...FFW... OR SMW/ TTAA00 KXXX DDHHMM /WMO HEADER + DATE/UTC TIME OF MESSAGE/ NNNXXX /ADDITIONAL HEADER INFORMATION FOR WMO/FOS/ SSCFFF-FFF-ETC.-DDHHMM- /UNIVERSAL GEOGRAPHIC CODE USING COUNTY FIPS /FFF/ NUMBER/S/ AND WARNING EXPIRATION DATE/UTC TIME/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED /TYPE OF WARNING/ /LOCATION OF NWS OFFICE/ HHMM /AM/PM EST/EDT/CST/CDT/MST/MDT/PST/PDT/ DAY MON DD YYYY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN /LOCATION/ HAS ISSUED A * /TYPE OF WARNING/ FOR... /COUNTY/PARISH/INDEPENDENT CITY/ IN /PORTION OF STATE/ /UP TO 5 COUNTIES/PARISHES/INDEPENDENT CITIES ALLOWED/ * UNTIL /HHMM AM/PM AST/ADT/EDT/EST/CST/CDT/MST/MDT/PST/PDT/ * /AT HHMM AM/PM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/.../BASIS OF WARNING/ * THE /TYPE OF SEVERE PHENOMENA/ WILL BE NEAR... /LOCALITY/ AT HHMM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/ /LOCALITY/ AT HHMM /LOCAL TIME...AS ABOVE/ /CONCLUDING NARRATIVE WITH ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SPOTTER REPORTS...AND CALL-TO-ACTION./ IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT WILLIAM ALEXANDER DONALD WERNLY...CHIEF CUSTOMER OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY W/OM11 SERVICE 1325 EAST WEST HWY... SSMC2 SAME ADDRESS SILVER SPRING MD 20910 PH. 301-713-0090 EXT. 115 PH. 301-713-0090 EXT. 138 ...NOTE TO INTERNET USERS... THIS AND ALL OTHER PENDING NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY/S HOME PAGE IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION. THE ADDRESS OF THE NOTIFICATION SECTION /IN SMALL CASE LETTERS/ IS HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM END ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 15:41:26 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: The COD Severe Weather Forecasting Conference!!! Hello everyone, If you can get to this...GO!!! It will be an AWESOME, once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for undergraduate and graduate meteorology students (and those who have graduated, thank you!). I will be there and I hope to see you there. If you can't make it, or even if you can, *please* pass this along to a friend who would be interested in going. Thank you! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* --------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is to announce a fantastic experience for all college meteorology students and all others that areaffected by severe weather. The College of DuPage, in association with the DuPage County Office of Emergency Management, will be hosting a Severe Weather Forecasting Conference, to be held in Wheaton, IL, Thursday night and Friday, March 5 and 6, 1998. The conference is to give undergraduate meteorology students an opportunity to learn about cutting edge severe weather forecasting and analysis with nationally recognized experts. Although the conference is designed for undergraduates, the material presented at the conference will also be beneficial for graduate students, professional meteorologists and other interested weather enthusiasts. Speakers and topics: Dr. Chuck Doswell, Research Meteorologist, National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) Alan Moller, Lead Forecaster, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Fort Worth, Texas "Multi-scale Analysis Workshop" Roger Edwards, Outlook Forecaster, Storms Prediction Center "Pitfalls of Severe Storms Forecasting: Model Biases, Bad Analyses and Other Forms of Prognostic Sludge" Ron Przybylinski, Science Operations Officer, National Weather Service Forecast Office, St. Louis, Missouri "Using WSR-88D Data: Derechos and Supercells" Greg Stumpf, Research Meteorologist, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) "Radar Algorithm Development and Testing at NSSL" Rich Thompson, Outlook Forecaster, Storms Prediction Center "Evolution Of Pre-Storm Temperature And Moisture Profiles Through Sounding Analysis" The keynote speaker for the Friday night banquet will be: Dr. Erik Rasmussen, Research Meteorologist, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) "Findings from VORTEX and SUBVORTEX" The conference will be from 6:00 PM - 10:00 PM on Thursday, and again all day on Friday. The cost for the Forecasting Conference is $25 for college students and $45 for all other attendees, if registrations are postmarked by Feb. 13 (after that, see the web page below for prices which are somewhat higher). The price include breaks, lunch on Friday and a banquet dinner on Friday night. Additional workshops will be offered on Thursday, "Severe Weather Shelter Workshop" and Saturday, "Advanced Spotter Training", both for an additional cost of $17 and $20, respectively, which includes lunch in the price. These workshops are aimed at emergency management and severe weather spotters. Quite a few of the speakers from the Forecasting Conference will be presenters on Saturday as well. The Severe Weather Forecasting Conference for Undergraduates (and others!) homepage is online. Registration, travel and accommodation information is available along with speaker information and schedule. See: http://weather.cod.edu/svr-conf/ Or email svr-conf@weather.cod.edu. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 13:51:16 -0900 From: Jan Curtis Subject: New Experimental ETA Model Hi Southlanders: The Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, has a new experimental high resolution ETA model available thru 24 hours for Alaska at: http://koyukuk.gi.alaska.edu/rt/html/AK_eta_home.html Regards, Jan Curtis Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/WXCLIMO1/wxclimo1.html ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 17:08:33 -0600 From: The Bogner Family Subject: a thunderstorm lover's year... this is for a morning shift, kansas forecaster, but i'm sure you can adjust for the months and shifts in your area... february: we are in the day 2 general thunderstorm outlook! we are in the day 2 general thunderstorm outlook! march: why won't that moisture make it farther north than the red river before another @!^%*^% cold front comes through. how many days are in this month, anyway? april: ok...where's the severe weather...i'm tired of talking about it...bring it on...whats that on the radar? snow? NOOOOO! may: finally! the sweet sound of the weather radio at 12:30 a.m....the call into work at 1 a.m....i LOVE my job! june: ok...can't i just get ONE good night's sleep? i wonder what would happen if i turned the ringer off on the phone. i think my wife has forgotten my name... july: northwest flow SUCKS...i havent had a good night's sleep in months, the wife took the kids and went to her mother's...she was mumbling something about "weather widow"... august: now THIS is getting rediculous...whatever happened to hot and dry in august? if i see one more meso, bow or lewp, i am going to puke... september: hey...it has actually been a week since i was called in...the wife is back from her mother's and actually remembers my name...the kids have grown...what were their names? october: AHHHHHHHHH! november: i wonder if there is any thundersnow in that? december: tired of snow now...maybe i will get a tornado video for christmas... january: there has NEVER been a tornado reported in this state in this month...can't we just skip january? february: we are in the day 2 general thunderstorm outlook! we are in the day 2 general thunderstorm outlook! mark bogner morning meteorologist ksnw-tv, wichita ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Feb 1998 22:43:58 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: UNCLE! In the response to the torrent (no pun intended) of requests for California WX data, the page is up and running. You can find it at: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/ca.html At your service, --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Feb 1998 to 6 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1077 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-16550>; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:10:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB31540; Sun, 8 Feb 1998 00:09:07 -0600 Message-Id: <199802080609.AAB31540@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 00:01:40 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Feb 1998 to 7 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d111751bcc2c0055afa51ba6a73171ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The COD Severe Weather Forecasting Conference!!! 2. Astrological Forecasts 3. Annual TESSA Meeting 4. Books on Severe Weather +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 02:19:52 -0500 From: Allan Rosenberg Subject: The COD Severe Weather Forecasting Conference!!! I hear that Jim Witt has just been added to the speakers list. 8?) Dan Satterfield wrote: >Come on folks... you're scientists! Honestly, what's *your* Bayesian prior on this planet thing? >Remember... scientific revolutions start with the people who >entertain the craziest ideas. Yep... who would have believed in, say, cold fusion only 15 years ago? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 12:25:17 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Astrological Forecasts Let's not confuse the names Astrological and Astronomical ? Only one is a science. Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 704-262-2432 (after 22/3/1998) 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 13:02:16 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Annual TESSA Meeting Go to the following URL for information on the annual TESSA meeting: http://www.tessa.org/page6.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 16:25:50 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Books on Severe Weather Hello Everyone from Southern Illinois I am looking for information concerning "special edition" books concerning the Jarrell, Texas tornado and the Edmonton, Canada tornado outbreak. In the past (for example the Marion, Illinois tornado) there have been books published by local newspaper offices or printers concerning a specific weather event. I own several books like this...Including one on Hurricane Andrew, The Mississippi Floods, and the Ohio River flood last year. If ANYONE can send me information concerning books that are available on special severe weather events I would appreciate it. It would be helpful to send me the name and address of the publisher and how I can contact them (phone or e-mail or snail mail). I also would like to know if anyone knows if the books that were advertised in Weatherwise magazine several years ago about Hurricane Hugo are still available. Thanks...I appreciate any help I can get on this subject matter. Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Feb 1998 to 7 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:08:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4807 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-344>; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:06:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36078; Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:05:15 -0600 Message-Id: <199802090605.AAA36078@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Feb 1998 to 8 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4d80ed7013cc1d72bbbe81ef7f4c590 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 370 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "Touchy-feely" Science Comments 2. Dew Point Question 3. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Feb 1998 to 7 Feb 1998, e-mail from J>D> Dodson 4. Special NCEP Discussion---32 KM ETA debuts Monday morning 5. infrared satellite images 6. Weather Books and Lightning Data 7. OK 8. NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 05:33:20 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: "Touchy-feely" Science Comments On Thu, 5 Feb 1998 16:06:58 -0600 From: Mark Mears Posted to WX-TALK concerning "Astrological forecasts?" ""...Dan Satterfield's post concerning the use of planetary positions in long-term forecasting of weather should alarm each and every one of us. This is only one more manifestation of the kind of "touch-feely" watered-down science curricula that have slowly invaded the public schools over the last two decades. Public school students have such a poor grasp on science that to introduce even the possibility that planetary positions can influence earthly phenomena only serves to take precious time from the multitude of real scientific principles that could be taught...." -------------- I'd like to take issue with Mark's "touch-feely" comments. As a science educator who has worked (and still is) with students in K-12 and in college, I can emphatically state that there is nothing wrong with "touch-feely" science. I have seen how students get "turned off" with long, boring lectures about things (presume this is the "real scientific principles" Mark mentioned) they can't relate to. However, when they "touch," manipulate, and play with the science apparatus, they can make connections with the real world and that sets them on the road to maintaining that science interest. Just because the science isn't rigorous or doesn't involve complex math and physics principles does not make it "watered down" or not "real." For example, I've seen more kids get "hooked" on science, just by watching clouds and taking rudimentary observations...or by making mountains out of chocolate pudding and graham crackers. As for watered down curricula, which ones have you examined lately? The National Science Education Standards and the curricula they are driving (coupled with the Math and other standards coming out) are tough! The real issues are class size, $ for materials, discipline, and getting the teachers trained to implement the new standards. Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 05:44:02 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Dew Point Question On Thu, 5 Feb 1998 16:09:44 -0600, Mark Bogner wrote... From: The Bogner Family Subject: why does this keep happening... Over the last several weeks, I have had a devil of a time forecasting the low temperatures, and the main thing that keeps throwing me off (besides REALLY bad guidance) is that the dew point seems to have taken on a huge diurnal range...from around 27 at 7 a.m. to around 37 by 3 p.m...something we learned in college wasn't supposed to happen without an air mass exchange... What I want to know is...What process is at work here? Often I have observed the temperature falling quickly while the dew point falls slowly in the late afternoon/evening, and when saturation is reached, the two continue falling together...almost as if they have "momentum" My first thought to this question was that radiation was the culprit, but that shouldn't be physically possible. Radiation takes place in the infrared wavelengths, and moisture should not technically "radiate." In fact, if there is a strong inversion, which there always is this time of year, shouldn't moisture be trapped near the surface and the dew-point actually rise overnight? My second thought was moisture eminating from the ground was the problem, but this seemed to be MORE of a problem before the recent thunderstorms... Is it just a matter that warmer air holds more water, and if so, shouldn't this be more evident in summer months? I've thrown this around at work (after they about threw me around the room for continuously bumping UP their previous forecast's numbers) and finally just started ignoring that just because we were 45/35 at noon didn't mean that the low that night couldn't be 26...and then the dew-point back up to 35 by noon again the next day. any help (especially from you university types) might help me sleep better at night... mark bogner morning meteorologist ksnw-tv, wichita ...lamenting the fact that in 2 days, the sun will set AFTER my bedtime of 6 p.m.... MARK - Although the afternoon dew point is a great predictor of nighttime low temperatures, there are situations, when it simply doesn't work. The recent pattern in which you have clear skies and light winds is probably the most significant. At sunset (catch those ZZZ's), temperature starts to fall (via radiation balance) and dew (or frost) starts to form. Even though the condensation process acts to brake the fall of temperature, strong radiation loss (especially with clear and dry skies above) means further condensation. As the condensation (deposition) continues, dew point has to fall because of water flux from air to plants/cars, etc. Bingo...lows in the 20's At sunrise, out comes sunshine. Evaporation takes that water/ice back to vapor and the dew point rises. Many other wrinkles can play a role...but when I miss low temperature forecast, it is usually because of the above process, I think. Let me know if my assessment makes sense and if your data (clear skies and light winds) fit. I'm curious now. Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 10:23:29 -0600 From: George Taniguchi Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Feb 1998 to 7 Feb 1998, e-mail from J>D> Dodson > > > > > Date: Sat, 7 Feb 1998 16:25:50 -0600 > From: James Derek Dodson > Subject: Books on Severe Weather > > Hello Everyone from Southern Illinois > > I am looking for information concerning "special edition" books > concerning the Jarrell, Texas tornado and the Edmonton, Canada > tornado outbreak. In the past (for example the Marion, Illinois > tornado) there have been books published by local newspaper offices > or printers concerning a specific weather event. I own several > books like this...Including one on Hurricane Andrew, The Mississippi > Floods, and the Ohio River flood last year. > > If ANYONE can send me information concerning books that are > available on special severe weather events I would appreciate it. > > It would be helpful to send me the name and address of the publisher > and how I can contact them (phone or e-mail or snail mail). > > I also would like to know if anyone knows if the books that were > advertised in Weatherwise magazine several years ago about Hurricane > Hugo are still available. > > Thanks...I appreciate any help I can get on this subject matter. > > Derek Dodson > > derekd@midwest.net > James: Have you tried the American Meteorological Society, 45 Beacon St., Boston MA 02i08-3693? Their professional journals and bulletins contain a wealth of information on all aspects of meteorology. Phone number is 617-227-2425. George Taniguchi taniguch@apci.net > ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 10:48:28 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Special NCEP Discussion---32 KM ETA debuts Monday morning SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 0240 UTC SUN FEB 08 1998 081450Z 12Z NCEP MODELSON TIME. 36HR ETA IS PROCESSING. RAOBS ....WINDS DELETED AT FWD 150MB UP..KCR 400MB..NKX 850MB UP..GYM ALL LEVELS..ACCA 250MB..AND MYNN 300 TO 100MB. IT IS TENTATIVELY PLANNED TO IMPLEMENT THE 32KM ETA 12Z MONDAY. WEINBRENNER/SDM/NCO/NCEP ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 11:30:56 -0600 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Re: infrared satellite images RE: Re: infrared satellite images BY: chris novy þ> I'd suggest starting with the University of Illinois WW 2010 page þ> on satellite imagery: þ> þ> http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/rs/sat/goes/imgprd.rxml þ> þ> or, of you wish you can start at the top: þ> þ> http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu Do they also have an FTP site? I have a script that I currently use to obtain the images from Purdue. They are the only site I know of that offers really good quality images, and also allow access via FTP. - Mark weather@mail.bcpl.lib.md.us ;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;::;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:; ;Weather Station (410)882-8887 * WWIVnet @8304 FILEnet @282 Fido (1:261/1304); ;:;:;:;:; Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ;:;:;:;:;:; ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 15:59:52 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Weather Books and Lightning Data Hello Everyone I thought I would re-send this message along with some more requests. I appreciate the responses I have received so far. If anyone knows of any special edition books printed by local newspaper offices or publishers concerning weather disasters (tornadoes...hurricanes and so on) please let me know the name of that newspaper office or publisher and whether or not the book might still be stocked. Also...If anyone knows of any URLs for lightning data please e-mail me them. I am trying to gather a complete list of sites available. Thank You Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 15:19:45 -0600 From: STORM15 Subject: OK Has anyone in here gone to the University of Oklahoma? ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~laura~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 20:13:21 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye! Hello everyone, Although I have heard this to be true from several places, I doubted it's validity until I got this from a trusted source. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Attention ALL who use NGM guidance products... As some of you know the NGM and associated MOS guidance will no longer be produced after October, 1999. At this date, the machine that the NGM Model is run on will be removed. Many within NCEP and higher level NWS personnel have thwarted any attempt to allow the NGM to be converted, despite the forecasters wishes, until additional systems, namely MOS, can be developed. This has been approved despite whether or not there is a new MOS guidance system in place to replace the NGM MOS. This means that we would be left with the AVN MOS. Apparently, persons who don't forecast or work forecast shifts are able to make these decisions based on the fact that they know what's better for the forecaster than the forecaster does. Although it is agreed that we must move on, we must have a viable system to work with before the current one is removed. During the past couple of years, the Eta has outperformed the NGM on most cases, however, where's the MOS? I would like too see what those on the list have to say about this and what their feelings are about having the NGM and associated MOS removed? What if there is no new system yet implemented when this system is removed? Would that matter to anyone? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- I will throw in a few comments here. First: Why ditch the NGM? Our model verification page (http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/verification/) is showing us that the NGM does considerably better at forecasting the intensity and path of "Noreasters" than the ETA or AVN, and is certainly not a bad model by any stretch of the imagination; in fact, I still think it is very good with known biases handled well by forecasters! Second, as pointed out above, no MOS products are being produced yet by the ETA, and even if they started tomorrow, I'd like to see the equations in place and tested for accuracy before the NGM gets pulled. When will ETA MOS products start rolling off the line? Finally, this source has claimed that forecasters are not being heavily involved in this process. If true, why not? Don't they know best? I await your comments! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Feb 1998 to 8 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4219 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627585-20436>; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 14:12:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23980; Tue, 10 Feb 1998 00:09:45 -0600 Message-Id: <199802100609.AAA23980@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 00:02:23 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Feb 1998 to 9 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9a613e1288e3c24eaf8df18cac43423 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 397 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Listen to this 2. NGM Termination 3. NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye! 4. The COD Severe Weather Forecasting Conference!!! 5. College of DuPage text site problems 6. NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye (3) 7. LAMP Output 8. touchy-feely science 9. North American Real-time Rawinsonde Observations on the WWW 10. LAMP Web Address... 11. Question About LAMP?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 13:10:06 +1100 From: Paul Yole Subject: Re: Listen to this This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0016_01BD355C.0A9A7540 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable www.airtrafficcontrol.com Also try this site. You will need REAL Player form http://www.real.com Paul Yole - Stormchaser and Weather photographer=20 18 Hamilton Street=20 Murtoa, Vic. 3390 Australia=20 Email: vortex@comcirc.com.au=20 Web site:http://members.comcirc.com.au/users/vortex=20 NOTE: NEW WEB SITE ADDRESS ------=_NextPart_000_0016_01BD355C.0A9A7540 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
www.airtrafficcontrol.com
Also try this = site. You will=20 need REAL Player form http://www.real.com
 
Paul Yole - = Stormchaser and=20 Weather photographer
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NOTE: NEW WEB SITE=20 ADDRESS
------=_NextPart_000_0016_01BD355C.0A9A7540-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 08:40:52 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NGM Termination This may have changed since it has been in the FAQ for a while, but here is something that is posted on the Environmental Modeling Center's web page... -- IS THE NGM GOING TO BE TERMINATED? The NGM is planned to be moved to the Cray J916 computers when we acquire the new computer next year. The new computer will replace our Cray C-90 and there are no plans (or resources) to convert the NGM to the new machine. It can be run (albeit slower) on a J916 with no conversion and will likely be run there until late 1999 or until the last of NCEP's J916's is decommissioned, whichever happens first. NGM termination is NOT up to EMC, and it is definitely NOT be connected to our move to the 4/day Meso. Most likely its demise will come when we buy our next computer (or the one after that) and a choice is made NOT to convert it to that new machine (assuming any amount of effort outside of basic re-compilation) which may possibly be one of quite different architecture. That selection of a Class VIII computer for NCEP will happen 1/98 with installation 7-8/98, acceptance 10-11/98 and our operational utilization of it ~1/99 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 08:05:25 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye! > > I will throw in a few comments here. First: Why ditch the NGM? Our model > verification page (http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/verification/) is showing us > that the NGM does considerably better at forecasting the intensity and > path of "Noreasters" than the ETA or AVN, and is certainly not a bad > model by any stretch of the imagination; in fact, I still think it is > very good with known biases handled well by forecasters! Second, as > pointed out above, no MOS products are being produced yet by the ETA, and > even if they started tomorrow, I'd like to see the equations in place and > tested for accuracy before the NGM gets pulled. When will ETA MOS > products start rolling off the line? Finally, this source has > claimed that forecasters are not being heavily involved in this process. > If true, why not? Don't they know best? > > I await your comments! > Maybe I'm too cynical to answer this question, but it seems to _me_ that if you spend all the millions and millions of dollars on eta development/implementation and verification studies, why then that model must ipso facto be better than all previous models. Otherwise, why spend all that money? Therefore, all previous models can be discarded. At least, that's probably what a funding agency would be told... :) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 09:43:55 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: The COD Severe Weather Forecasting Conference!!! On Sat, 7 Feb 1998, Allan Rosenberg wrote: > >Remember... scientific revolutions start with the people who > >entertain the craziest ideas. > > Yep... who would have believed in, say, cold fusion only 15 years ago? heh, or how about lugging 55 gallon drums in front of tornadoes! I think I'm going to go watch TWISTER again. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 11:48:22 -0600 From: Dana Quinn Subject: College of DuPage text site problems Hello all- Many of you are probably aware that the College of DuPage web site (well, just the text site portion of it) has been having some computer problems. Well, the problems are continuing and getting worse, so I'm going to have to take the site soon and swap some components around. It could take a little while to get everything back up and running... It could be a couple of hours to repair all the filesystems and so forth, but hopefully this will stop our problems. So, we will go down probably about 12:30 CST, and hopefully be back up by 3:00. I just wanted to let y'all know what's going on! Dana +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 11:57:54 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye I wonder what happened to the old "no degradation of service" requirement. Did it just apply to closing offices or to most all modernization activities? Seems to me deleting a MOS product with about 18 variables output every 3 hours while it's alternatives have 4-6 variables output every 12-24 hours is a major degradation! I would certainly like to see major improvement in the MOS products for the other models before they pull the plug on the NGM. Seems like the NWS is taking the position that all you need is the gridded data. This, of course, is crazy. The MOS concept makes for a superior forecast at those points in most cases. There is alot more to making a good forecast than sucking a value off a grid at a lat/lon point!!!! Especially when you are dealing with raw model output that has been massively smoothed! However, I do understand the problems involved in developing new MOS for these models. MOS requires verification data. Anyone look at the ASOS data on a regular basis? Talk about degradation! ;-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 13:34:52 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye > I wonder what happened to the old "no degradation of service" > requirement. Did it just apply to closing offices or to most > all modernization activities? Seems to me deleting a MOS > product with about 18 variables output every 3 hours while > it's alternatives have 4-6 variables output every 12-24 hours > is a major degradation! My guess is they would state that the Local AWIPS MOS Product is there to fill in the gap. New products are issued every three hours and more variables are included (I'm not backing them up, just stating what else exists.) I just found them a week ago so have no idea on how well this performs. The products are available in graphical and standard text form at http://isl715.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/lamp/lamp.shtml Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 13:36:51 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: LAMP Output Here's a sample of the text bulletin: LAMP Bulletin for TOL at 1700 UTC on 2/ 9/1998 PROJ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 TEMP 36 38 38 39 37 35 33 32 31 31 30 30 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 30 DEWPT 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 28 28 28 28 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 28 POP 1 HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 PRECIP N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N POP 6 HR 0 0 0 P TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R PROB ZR 4 4 5 5 5 8 12 15 19 20 20 20 20 19 18 18 19 19 20 20 PROB SNW 13 12 12 5 9 17 18 23 24 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 14 15 OB VIS HK HK HK HK HK HK - - - - - - - - F F F F F F VIS CAT 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 CLD HGT 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SKY CVR 3 CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CLD HGT 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -250 SKY CVR 2 CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL BK CLD HGT 1 90 90 90 - - - - - - - - - - - - -250250250110 SKY CVR 1 SC SC SC CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC SC SC BK WIND DIR 17 19 18 16 17 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 16 16 16 13 13 13 12 12 WIND SPD 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- KEY: POP TYPE: Z=FREEZING RAIN, S=SNOW, R=RAIN, RS,ZS=MIX (NOTE: SLEET IS INCLUDED IN ZS) OB VIS: HK=HAZE OR SMOKE, B=BLOWING PHENOMENA, F=FOG VIS CAT: 1= < 1/2 MILE, 2= 1/2-7/8 MI, 3= 1- 2 3/4 MI 4=3-5 MI, 5= >5 MI * TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINTS IN DEGREES F * CLOUD HEIGHTS IN 100s OF FEET * WIND DIRECTION IN 10s OF DEGREES * WIND SPEED IN KNOTS ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 12:50:12 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: Re: touchy-feely science H. MICHAEL MOGIL wrote: >I'd like to take issue with Mark's "touch-feely" comments. As a science >educator who has worked (and still is) with students in K-12 and in >college, I can emphatically state that there is nothing wrong with >"touch-feely" science. Oh yes, but there is something wrong. Kids coming out of high school today have no more a grasp on what science is about than they did 25 years ago. There's nothing wrong with "touchy-feely" science teaching, per se. What's wrong is that the students aren't being taught WHY and HOW the scientific method works (or at least, it isn't sinking in very well). I agree that there's nothing like hands-on experience, but what should be emphasized are the fundamentals underlying the demonstrations. Rather than illuminate many small scientific principles, we should be shining the light on the one thing which unifies it all -- the scientific method and its application in the real world. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 14:23:08 -0500 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: North American Real-time Rawinsonde Observations on the WWW A new www site which allows user-defined access to all North American rawinsonde observations is now running on the FSU/CUDOS Server. Feedback is welcome! http://www.met.fsu.edu/CUDOS/rawin.html Sincerely, Paul Ruscher/FSU Meteorology/Tallahassee FL 32306-4520/ruscher@met.fsu.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 16:24:35 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: LAMP Web Address... Just to let everyone know...the address to get Local AWIPS MOS Guidance is: http://isl715.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/osd2/lamp/lamp.cgi Good Materials On This Page!!! Rob Lightbown ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:09:48 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Question About LAMP?? I have a question about the categorical precipitation. What are the numbers for precip amts for the hrs and 6 hr pds?? Rob Lightbown ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 21:53:44 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: NGM/NGM MOS going bye-bye Steve Adams wrote: > > I wonder what happened to the old "no degradation of service" > requirement. Did it just apply to closing offices or to most > all modernization activities? Seems to me deleting a MOS > product with about 18 variables output every 3 hours while > it's alternatives have 4-6 variables output every 12-24 hours > is a major degradation! > > I would certainly like to see major improvement in the MOS > products for the other models before they pull the plug on > the NGM. Seems like the NWS is taking the position that all > you need is the gridded data. This, of course, is crazy. The > MOS concept makes for a superior forecast at those points > in most cases. There is alot more to making a good forecast > than sucking a value off a grid at a lat/lon point!!!! Especially > when you are dealing with raw model output that has been > massively smoothed! > > However, I do understand the problems involved in developing new > MOS for these models. MOS requires verification data. Anyone look > at the ASOS data on a regular basis? Talk about degradation! ;-) > > ---------------------------------------------------------------- > Stephen D. Adams > Vice President - Research and Development > Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. > ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com > (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com > ---------------------------------------------------------------- What about the AEV national verification program? (AEV is Afos Era Verification). It uses NGM MOS in its fields. There has to be some sort of MOS to fill in the gaps. KZ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Feb 1998 to 9 Feb 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2824 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626405-22440>; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 14:08:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27188; Wed, 11 Feb 1998 00:05:22 -0600 Message-Id: <199802110605.AAA27188@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 00:00:50 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Feb 1998 to 10 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8191debfb67c2c5c8e49b804cf2220d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 158 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Eta implementation 2. New Indian Ocean Cyclone 3. ADMINISTRIVIA: DISABLED "REVIEW" COMMAND 4. TV Met Jobs Available (3 positions) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 9 Feb 1998 23:35:30 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Eta implementation The NCEP note saying it was going online with the 12Z run today (9 Feb) was posted to wx-skywarn list; and the BOSSFDBOS indicated same, which I noted in newsgrouop ne.weather . -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 09:26:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: New Indian Ocean Cyclone For anyone who's interested---the newest tropical cyclone in the Southeast Indian Ocean off Western Australia (22S) was named Victor by the Perth TCWC at 1000Z. This is a re-development of the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Katrina which wandered the Coral Sea for almost the entire month of January. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 10:05:23 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: DISABLED "REVIEW" COMMAND John Rosich wrote me... >Dear Chris, > >I was trying to use the "rev" command on wx-chase before, and when I >got the reply, it said that "I was not authorized to review the list." >I remember being able to review the list before (about 2 or 3 months >ago). Has anything changed on the list? Yes, things have changed but I forgot to mention the changes. Our system administrator has requested that all lists being served on the LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU machine have their REVIEW commands disabled. I originally had REVIEW, the command that let's people see who is subscribed to a list, set so that only subscribers could view the database. Our system administrator said, however, that spammers have been subscribing to our lists (not the WX-***** lists specifically) so that they can issue a REVIEW command and then steal the address lists. For those of you not familiar with the term SPAM or SPAMMING, basically what happens is some that jerk goes around and collects thousands of valid e-mail addresses. He then sells these addresses to some other jerk who uses then to indiscriminantly send unsolicited e-mail (often "get rich quick" schemes) to millions of Internet users. By preventing people from accessing the list of subscribers we're making it less likely that our subscribers will receive SPAM mail. If you need help locating a specific address or want to see how you are listed in our system please e-mail me directly. I'm sorry that Internet "terrorism" has required me to take such drastic actions. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Feb 1998 14:25:47 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (3 positions) Meteorologist, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA Meteorologist postion: The Meteorology Department of The Weather Channel® is seeking outstanding candidates for an immediate opening. Since this position involves being interviewed on camera and writing about weather topics in a variety of media, superior written and verbal communication skills are vital, as well as extensive meteorological knowledge and proficiency in weather analysis and forecasting. On-camera experience is preferred, though other exceptional candidates will be considered. This is a part behind-the-scenes, part on-camera position (but not key wall). Optimum qualifications include a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology or equivalent educational background plus at least 5 years full-time operational experience, or a Master's degree plus at least 3 years of operational forecasting experience. Other important attributes include knowledge of local meteorological, climatological, and topographical idiosyncracies nationwide, and basic computer skills in a Windows environment. Experience with graphic visualization of atmospheric fields is a plus. Being able to work very well in a team environment, attentiveness to detail, flexibility, and the ability to focus on customer needs and critical deadlines are essential. Weekend, night and/or early morning work may be required to help support our 24 hour a day, 7 day a week operation. Applicants should mail a cover letter and detailed resume (plus VHS tape of on-camera work if available) to: Stu Ostro, Meteorology Supervisor The Weather Channel® 300 Interstate North Parkway Atlanta, GA 30339 by no later than February 16, 1998. No phone calls please. EOE. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Weather Person, KTHV (CBS) Little Rock, AR Today's THV the Gannett owned CBS affiliate in Little Rock Arkansas is looking for a motivated, professional forecaster to join our creative television news operation. Successful candidates will have a positive attitude, a willingness to contribute story ideas and a desire to be part of the community. This position includes weekends, weekday fill in and some reporting on weather related topics. If you have two years experience as a weather anchor, are working toward or have your meteorological degree and want to be part of a successful team send me your work on VHS. Lane Michaelsen, News Director KTHV 720 Izard St Little Rock Arkansas 72201. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Meteorologist, KSWO (ABC) Lawton, OK Meteorologist wanted for number one news and weather station in tornado alley. Degree in Meteorology prefrerred as well as on-air experience. AMS or NWA Seal nice but Ham radio license better. We have tools, including on-site doppler and Triton I-7, to predict and track servere weather. Send non-returnable tape and resume to: Personnel Director KSWO-TV P.O. Box 708 Lawton, Oklahoma 73502 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Feb 1998 to 10 Feb 1998 ************************************************* From - Fri Feb 13 16:09:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3160 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626748-21912>; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:12:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35680; Thu, 12 Feb 1998 00:07:59 -0600 Message-Id: <199802120607.AAA35680@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 00:03:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Feb 1998 to 11 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c4b03165c64cbcb36f8f991811e3fb13 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 353 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Storm Report -101725 (AUTOMATIC) 2. Min Temp Forecasting 3. TV Met Jobs Available (2) 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. EMWIN SATELLITE UPDATE 2-11-98 6. WEATHERNODE SOFTWARE UPDATE//EMWIN 7. "Raob" program 8. New list for discussion of EMWIN 9. 9600 Baud EMWIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:54:30 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Storm Report -101725 (AUTOMATIC) On Tue, 10 Feb 1998 at 17:25:23, Charley Kline barked the Order: > ZCZC DD+ 25188 > WWUS30 KSHV 102324 > LSRSHV > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA > 515 PM CST TUE FEB 10 1998 > > ATTENTION...ATTENTION > > > NNNN Ugh! Sir! My neck is beginning to hurt. Can I stand at ease, now? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:24:01 -0500 From: "R. Slonaker" Subject: Min Temp Forecasting Wx-talkers: A few responses on an earlier post.... Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 05:44:02 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Dew Point Question On Thu, 5 Feb 1998 16:09:44 -0600, Mark Bogner wrote... From: The Bogner Family Subject: why does this keep happening... Over the last several weeks, I have had a devil of a time forecasting the low temperatures, and the main thing that keeps throwing me off (besides REALLY bad guidance) is that the dew point seems to have taken on a huge diurnal range...from around 27 at 7 a.m. to around 37 by 3 p.m...something we learned in college wasn't supposed to happen without an air mass exchange... Both temperature and moisture are more variable at the surface than at upper levels due to surface interactions. Some incredible dew points are possible at the surface during summer heat waves due to evapotranspiration from plants. Low level moisture may have been enhanced at your location due to solar insolation and available soil moisture. I don't know the details. When dew/frost form, heat is liberated from the phase change. This heat release can counteract the radiative cooling; as such the dew point is often an effective predictor of minimum temperature. If the 37 dew point is in a very thin layer (on the order of meters), the warming effect of frost/dew formation could be a very temporary effect. Another factor is small amounts of mixing in the lowest few meters of the atmosphere. Check dew point profiles to determine the depth of the 37 dew point layer. If this layer is only resident at the surface, you may want to adjust the minimum temperature forecast downward. What I want to know is...What process is at work here? Often I have observed the temperature falling quickly while the dew point falls slowly in the late afternoon/evening, and when saturation is reached, the two continue falling together...almost as if they have "momentum" My first thought to this question was that radiation was the culprit, but that shouldn't be physically possible. Radiation takes place in the infrared wavelengths, and moisture should not technically "radiate." ...etc..... mark bogner morning meteorologist ksnw-tv, wichita Everything above 0 K radiates including moisture. At Earth temperatures, the radiation occurs predominately in the infrared. Gases usually have very narrow spectral bands through which they preferentially emit/absorb. Forecasting is a difficult business. I have touched on a few of the processes that may be affecting the minimum temperature forecast problems you have experienced. If it was easy, we wouldn't have jobs.... -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 11:13:44 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (2) WEATHER ANCHOR The Orange County Newschannel is looking for a Weather Anchor. 2 to 3 years on-air experience and AMS Seal preferred. Knowledge of Weather Central's Genesis system helpful. It may be sunny Southern California but we're serious about weather. Send a VHS tape, resume, and references to: Scott Hollowell, News Director, OCN. 625 N. Grand Ave., Santa Ana, California 92701 OCN is an equal opportunity employer. No phone calls please. METEOROLOGIST (KBJR) Meteorologist at a station where weather matters! 6:00/7:00 a.m./TODAY. Some reporting. Meteorologist degree/AMS required. WSI ExPro, all the data form ETA to RUC. Forward letter of introduction, resume and VHS to Lynn Rae Jensen, H.R. Mgr., KBJR-TV 6, 130 West Superior Street Suite 6, Duluth MN 55802. Fax: 218-720-9699; e-mail: ljensen@kbjr.com; http://www.kbjr.com. Application deadline 3/1/98. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 15:41:40 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site bacame a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 11 February 1998. BURKE LAKEFRONT AIRPORT (KBKL) CLEVELAND... OH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 19:08:42 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: EMWIN SATELLITE UPDATE 2-11-98 RECIEVED VIA SATELLITE AND RELAYED BY N9NPP BEGIN***** Feb 11 1998 EMWIN Wireless E-mail NEWS/ FEEDBACK Western Hemisphere Satellite Circuit Emergency Managers Weather Information Network *************** CHANGEOVER NOTICE *************** Satellite Users- This message is on the 1200 Bps Satellite Circuit -- This 1200 Bps circuit will be ELIMINATED on May 31 1998 (110 days from now). A new much higher speed signal is already available on GOES satellites. Users of the older signal need to change demodulator and/or receiver to use the new signal. !--> Some good examples of how to migrate operations to the higher speed are located at http://www.weathernode.com/wnode.htm Local Broadcast Radio/scanner Users - Your local rebroadcasters will ingest the new higher speed circuit and rebroadcast on local radio at the current speed with the current equipment you now have...you will need to make no hardware changes. Latest News: -Increased Data Rate - - A new high speed signal is on the air (satellite only) - A new EMWIN signal that is much faster. It is a DFSK modulated signal on GOES 8 and GOES 9. It is located on GOES at 1.690725 Ghz which down converts to 137.225 Mhz. Your current 1200 Bps demodulator will not work on this signal. This signal will run in parallel with the slower EMWIN signal until May 1998, when the slower EMWIN signal will be removed. Internet access for similar user system is at http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov End of Message N9NPP/MATT http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 19:36:05 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: WEATHERNODE SOFTWARE UPDATE//EMWIN RELAYED BY N9NPP Subject: Retransmission Engine V1.11 Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 10:00:50 -0500 From:Jerry Johnson Organization:Maryland Radio Center We've just moved a new version of the Retransmission Engine to our web server. Particulars are below. Go to http://www.weathernode.com/html/retrans.htm for download links. 2/11/98 - Released Ver 1.11 - Fixed a bug that caused the discard list to be processed before........... ETC... ETC.... ETC.... ******MORE DETAILS ON THE WEB SITE********* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 17:25:15 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: "Raob" program Does anyone know how to order the program "Raob," which graphically displays radiosonde data? Shawn Trueman _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 21:25:39 -0500 From: Michael Harpe Subject: New list for discussion of EMWIN I am pleased to announce the creation of the EMWIN users mailing list. The list is called emwin-users. It is dedicated to users of the National Weather Service's EMWIN weather data stream. The goal of the list is to exchange information, experiences and ideas about the EMWIN system in a non-proprietary forum. The list is for discussions about the EMWIN system only. Conversations about weather events, storm chasing, etc. should be carried out in newsgroups or lists devoted to these subjects. Membership is open to anyone interested in EMWIN. Joining the list is simple. Send a message to: majordomo@lists.win.net with the line: subscribe emwin-users as the first and only line. Memberships have to be approved but the bar is low :-). The only reason membership requests are approved is to minimize the risk of a spammer joining the list. The list contents will not be distributed outside the list under any circumstances. Thanks for your interest! Michael Harpe, N4PLE emwin-users List Manager ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 21:19:37 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: 9600 Baud EMWIN The National Weather Service announced today that the 1200 baud EMWIN signal, broadcast from the GOES 8 & 9 satellites since April of 1996, will be removed on May 31, 1998. It will be replaced with a higher power version of the 9600 baud test signal now on the same satellites. The 9600 baud signals downconvert to 137.225 MHz. Downlink systems are available from various vendors, and include products manufactured by Zephyrus Electronics Ltd. and Wilmanco. The Houston retransmission site has been beta testing a Zephyrus 9600 baud unit for several months with excellent results. The improved data stream already contains text products for the entire country, and many new graphics including hourly satellite images and two radar products generated hourly from Radar Coded Message data. The present WeatherNode version 3.0 software does not have buttons to access the new product names, but most of the data is accessible by one means or another. GIF’s can be viewed under 'InterestingPictures', presently unsupported text files can be read using Notepad, and AFOS graphics can be viewed under 'Weather Graphics'. Latest estimate for release of the new version 4.0 software, which will provide easy access to all products, is March/April of 1998. Software upgrade from 3.0 will be $40.00. Those who buy Version 3.0 from an authorized reseller after 12-31-97 and before 4.0 is released, will receive a free upgrade. Stations downloading the 1200 baud signal will need to upgrade their equipment to receive the 9600 baud datastream. Those who retransmit will have to make several additional changes. At 9600 baud, it is no longer possible to simply pass the signal from the receiver to the transmitter . . . the only option with the new signal will be to use a dedicated 486/66 or better computer, running the Retransmission Engine software, to filter the data down to products of concern to your end users, adding your own input if desired, and to retransmit at 1200 or 2400 baud using an appropriate modulator. Although it is theoretically possible to retransmit the filtered signal at 9600 baud, the present quoted price of the necessary modulator-transmitter, about $3,000, is prohibitive. Some rebroadcasters may elect to switch to 2400 to include even more data than 1200 will allow. End users in those areas will have to modify their scanners and replace demods. If their station stays with 1200, no change is necessary. A likely scenario would be for the rebroadcaster to stay with 1200 baud initially, switching to 2400 only if they and their users find it necessary. The Houston, Texas, broadcast on 150.435 MHz will remain at 1200 baud. Jim Robinson Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org & Houston-Harris County, Texas, EMWIN Coordinator ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Feb 1998 to 11 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Feb 13 16:10:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3982 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626886-26236>; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 14:06:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16926; Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:05:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199802130605.AAA16926@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 00:00:46 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Feb 1998 to 12 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa090b8b4c0d3fdbe7f7e7043319db3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 261 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Deadline Approaching/Updated Schedule 2. Jarrell, Texas Photos 3. Min Temperature Forecasting 4. Forecast Game Starts 2-March-98 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. TV Met Job Available (Orange County, CA) 7. Using KeyView version 6.0 to view IWIN DIFAX maps 8. New list for discussion of EMWIN (fwd) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 09:37:05 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Deadline Approaching/Updated Schedule Just a reminder that the deadline for discounted registration id the Friday for the Severe Weather Conference, March 5-7. The registration form must be postmarked by Friday the 13th to receive a discounted rate and to guarantee food and materials. For you students out there: the Thursday night, Friday Forecasting workshop is only $25 and that INCLUDES lunch and the banquet dinner!!!! Check out http://weather.cod.edu/svr-conf/ to find out the latest details and the newly relased schedule for the Advanced Spotter Training workshop on Saturday. Still have questions? e-mail svr-conf@weather.cod.edu ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 11:46:20 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Jarrell, Texas Photos Derek Dodson Metropolis, Illinois derekd@midwest.net I am looking for photos of the Jarrell, Texas tornado outbreak. If anyone has any photos that they would be interested in selling (not to be re-distrubted in any fashion-For my private collection of photos only) please let me know. I am also looking for some photos of the damage in Jarrell and surrounding areas. Thank You Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 13:58:05 -0600 From: James Kaplan Subject: Min Temperature Forecasting >From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" >Subject: Dew Point Question > >On Thu, 5 Feb 1998 16:09:44 -0600, Mark Bogner wrote... > >From: The Bogner Family >Subject: why does this keep happening... > >Over the last several weeks, I have had a devil of a time forecasting >the >low temperatures, and the main thing that keeps throwing me off (besides >REALLY bad guidance) is that the dew point seems to have taken on a huge >diurnal range...from around 27 at 7 a.m. to around 37 by 3 >p.m...something >we learned in college wasn't supposed to happen without an air mass >exchange... > > Both temperature and moisture are more variable at the surface > than at upper levels due to surface interactions. Some > incredible dew points are possible at the surface during > summer heat waves due to evapotranspiration from plants. > Low level moisture may have been enhanced at your location > due to solar insolation and available soil moisture. > I don't know the details. When dew/frost form, heat is > liberated from the phase change. This heat release can > counteract the radiative cooling; as such the dew point > is often an effective predictor of minimum temperature. One more point: The mass of vapor to be disposed of by dew and frost formation is much larger at say, 70 degree dewpoints vs 27 degree dewpoints, or even more extremely say -10 dewpoints. Thus the amount of heat liberated is much larger at warmer temperatures and the dewpoint is a much more conservative measure to forecast min temperatures when it is higher (say summer in the northern latitudes, vs winter). Also, sight exposure can be important such as locating the thermomemter in a sight where cool air drains and pools on cold night. In my years of forecasting I've been at and forecast for such sites and I've seen min temperatures in winter fall 20, and probably more degrees below the afternoon dewpoint at a number of locations without a "change of airmass" taking place. This is especially so over snow cover, because of its radiative properties. However, with dewpoints around 70, I would not expect it to drop more than 2 or 3 degrees below the dewpoint. So...expect your forecasts to get easier in the months ahead. Any typos are just that - I'm an expert speller Jim ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 15:07:29 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: Forecast Game Starts 2-March-98 Hello everyone. The first Wxforecast forecast game for DFW and ORD is winding down and will conclude on 19-Feb. Several Wx-Talkers are in a fierce battle for the inaugral crown. The second game, with forecast cities to be determined, will begin on 2-March. Deadline for signing up is 1-Mar. Ask your friends who are playing - it is fun and the competition fierce. The web site address is http://www.wxforecast.com. Look forward to seeing you in the next game. Chris ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 16:31:56 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites bacame commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 12 February 1998. KELLOGG AIRPORT (KBTL) BATTLE CREEK... MI REXBURG-MADISON COUNTY AIRPORT (KU11) REXBURG... ID Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 16:00:42 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Orange County, CA) Weather Anchor, Orange County Newschannel, Santa Ana, CA The Orange County Newschannel is looking for a Weather Anchor. 2 to 3 years on-air experience and AMS Seal preferred. Knowledge of Weather Central's Genesis system helpful. It may be sunny Southern California but we're serious about weather. Send a VHS tape, resume, and references to: Scott Hollowell, News Director OCN 625 N. Grand Ave. Santa Ana, California 92701 OCN is an equal opportunity employer. No phone calls please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 16:05:09 -0600 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Using KeyView version 6.0 to view IWIN DIFAX maps > I have been using KeyView (a browser plug-in) to view the DIFAX maps on > the NWS IWIN site. Version 5.1 has worked flawlessly however I recently > upgraded to version 6.0 and it does not work. Caution to those thinking > of upgrading. KeyView Tech Support tells me that there is a bug in > version 6.0 and it does not work properly with Class IV TIFF's. A fix > is planned hopefully in March. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 18:35:18 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: New list for discussion of EMWIN (fwd) does this mean i can't mention the "emwin" word anywhere else?? matt Todd L. Sherman wrote: > ---------- Forwarded message ---------- > Date: Wed, 11 Feb 1998 21:25:39 -0500 > Subject: New list for discussion of EMWIN > > I am pleased to announce the creation of the EMWIN users mailing list. > > The list is called emwin-users. It is dedicated to users of the National > Weather Service's EMWIN weather data stream. The goal of the list is to > exchange information, experiences and ideas about the EMWIN system in a > non-proprietary forum. The list is for discussions about the EMWIN system > only. Conversations about weather events, storm chasing, etc. should be > carried out in newsgroups or lists devoted to these subjects. > > Membership is open to anyone interested in EMWIN. Joining the list is > simple. Send a message to: > > majordomo@lists.win.net > > with the line: subscribe emwin-users as the first and only line. > > Memberships have to be approved but the bar is low :-). The only reason > membership requests are approved is to minimize the risk of a spammer > joining the list. The list contents will not be distributed outside the > list under any circumstances. > > Thanks for your interest! > > Michael Harpe, N4PLE > emwin-users List Manager > > *------------------------------------------------------------------------* > To unsubscribe from SKYWARN-L send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTS.UFL.EDU with > "signoff skywarn-l" in the message body. If you need help send e-mail to > afn09444@afn.org or see http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/skywarn-l.html. -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Feb 1998 to 12 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:37:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4985 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-25583>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 14:07:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB22102; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 00:05:35 -0600 Message-Id: <199802140605.AAB22102@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 00:00:57 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Feb 1998 to 13 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 038761b613e3a957e6fbb41794361ca1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 57 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Southern Hemisphere Cyclones on Wx Wire? 2. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards Book 3. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 11:08:10 +0000 From: Dale Huguley Subject: Southern Hemisphere Cyclones on Wx Wire? Hi all- does anyone know if the products from Honolulu and Guam concerning Tropical Cyclones south of the equator are available on the GTE wx wire? If so, what are the pil headers? Thanks - Dale Huguley kg5qd ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 13:37:16 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards Book From: Derek Dodson E-Mail derekd@midwest.net I am looking for information and comments on a book written by C.Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell, and R. Davies Jones (editors). The name of the book is The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards. I would like to know if the book gives good instruction on forecasting tornadoes and the conditions to look for when making a forecast? I would also like to know what everyone thinks of the illustrations within the book? Is the book made for laymen and college students studying Meteorology? I am also still looking for information on the Jarrell, Texas tornado..in particular I am looking for anyone who has photos of the damage and the storm itself that are for sale. Thank You Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Feb 1998 16:25:41 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 13 February 1998. EAGLE AIRPORT (PAEG) EAGLE... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Feb 1998 to 13 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4581 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-22364>; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 14:10:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13924; Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:08:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199802150608.AAA13924@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 00:04:31 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Feb 1998 to 14 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5ddf332513be0290e25fc2ec6469e23d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 11 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Q-Vector convergence maps +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 14 Feb 1998 21:07:15 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Q-Vector convergence maps Anyone happen to know a site where I could find Q-Vector convergence maps from the Eta model? Thanks in advance... Matt ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Feb 1998 to 14 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-12681>; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 14:14:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA05638; Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:12:38 -0600 Message-Id: <199802160612.AAA05638@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 00:07:52 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Feb 1998 to 15 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5b35fc31801b39c2e27a8ec769d893f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 160 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Feb 1998 to 14 Feb 1998 2. Bad Meteorology URL 3. La Nina 4. Big Spring Storm Season Coming? (2) 5. Touchy-feely 6. Q-vector convergence maps +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 11:12:11 -0600 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Feb 1998 to 14 Feb 1998 I saw a reference to a web page a few weeks back that had some excellent explanations of commonly misunderstood Metoeorologcal explanations..ie warm air can hold more water than cold air etc. I have been corresponding with a High School teacher in California who wants to teach science CORRECTLY (god bless him) to his students...I have so far failed to explain to him in common terms why saying warm air hold more water is incorrect...can anyone remember the URl to that site?? Dan _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:39:29 -0600 From: Don Lloyd Subject: Bad Meteorology URL Dan Satterfield said: >I have been corresponding with a High School teacher in California who >wants to teach science CORRECTLY (god bless him) to his students...I have >so far failed to explain to him in common terms why saying warm air hold >more water is incorrect...can anyone remember the URl to that site?? This is probably the site you are looking for: http://www.ems.psu.edu/~fraser/BadMeteorology.html Don *********** Don and Jennie Lloyd (dlloyd@tcccom.net) (KB9OXW) Fond du Lac, Wisconsin Wx/Fx Photography and Presentations http://www.wx-fx.com featuring "The Tornadoes of Wisconsin" *********** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:27:57 -0800 From: "John D. Cox" Subject: La Nina The North American winter of 1996-97 felt the effects of La Nina - snowstorms in the Pacific Northwest (were they in December?) and the torrential rains that brought major flooding in northern California. Were there other impacts of La Nina that season? Thanks, John ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 14:36:10 -0600 From: Tim Vickery Subject: Big Spring Storm Season Coming? Just to maybe "stir" the kettle here a bit for all those severe weather buff's out there, Can you all imagine what will take place this Spring with the warmer days ahead and one of these endless 'Neg. tilted trof's start slaming into the Southern Plains/Lo.Miss Valley sections of the country with dewpoints rising into the upper 60's/lower 70's,! I mean look at the wind structure thats already occuring along with this Godzilla of a Sub-tropical jet averaging at least 160 kts and sometimes over 200 kts in jet streaks! The dreaded used "El~Nino " word is fixing to unlease its " Havoc" in the coming weeks "IF" this sub-tropical stays as is at present, and of coarse of all other important thermo-dynamics come into play as you all know must be present.This is "Not" a professional opinion, as I am not, just a clear use of good ole common sense..i.e. just take a look at the 500mb forecast for the coming 48 hrs. over Southeast Texas and Gulf Coast! Tim Vickery ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:04:28 -0500 From: George Barnette Subject: Touchy-feely I rise to defend "touchy-feely" teaching, if by that you mean finding innovative ways to connect the principles of the subject (which I admit can be boring if presented as a lecture for rote memorization) to the world with which the student can identify. If, on the other hand, "touchy-feely" was a reference to a disturbing trend toward accepting an almost-right answer for partial credit to avoid discouraging the student, then the condemnation is not only earned but insufficient. A math answer is either the unique correct one or it is just another of the jillions of 100% wrong ones. You either know whether to add water to acid or acid to water, or you don't; half credit for being half right invites catastrophe. Science is based on what has been proved, not what has been hypothesized. Some day, planetary influence on weather may be demonstrated and join the mainstream of accepted science. Until then, it has the same standing as planetary influence on whether this is a good day for a Capricorn to seek a mate. Giving it partial credit because no one has proved it irrevocably wrong isn't science, but stupidity, however much it may damage the self-esteem of the supporter. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 19:05:55 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: Big Spring Storm Season Coming? At 2:36 PM -0600 2/15/98, Tim Vickery wrote: >Just to maybe "stir" the kettle here a bit for all those severe weather >buff's out there, Can you all imagine what will take place this Spring >with the warmer days ahead and one of these endless 'Neg. tilted trof's >start slaming into the Southern Plains/Lo.Miss Valley sections of the >country with dewpoints rising into the upper 60's/lower 70's,! I mean >look at the wind structure thats already occuring along with this >Godzilla of a Sub-tropical jet averaging at least 160 kts and sometimes >over 200 kts in jet streaks! The dreaded used "El~Nino " word is fixing >to unlease its " Havoc" in the coming weeks "IF" this sub-tropical stays >as is at present, and of coarse of all other important thermo-dynamics >come into play as you all know must be present.This is "Not" a >professional opinion, as I am not, just a clear use of good ole common >sense..i.e. just take a look at the 500mb forecast for the coming 48 >hrs. over Southeast Texas and Gulf Coast! Speaking of severe weather... tonight (Sunday) The Learning Channel is airing two programs to help everyone get psyched up for the severe wx season :), first at 9 pm EST, Twister - Fury on the Plains followed by Twister 2 - The Terror Continues at 10 pm EST. While I've seen them both before, I can sure watch them again to boost my excitement for spring... afterall it's been a lousy winter here in the Mid Atlantic area... although I still wouldn't mind just one big snow storm for good measure ;) Matt ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Feb 1998 22:22:08 -0500 From: Allan Rosenberg Subject: Re: Q-vector convergence maps > Anyone happen to know a site where I could find Q-Vector convergence > maps from the Eta model? Thanks in advance... Try these two: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/modcontour.html http://www.met.tamu.edu/weather/mp/convtable.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Feb 1998 to 15 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627629-10006>; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:15:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24308; Tue, 17 Feb 1998 00:13:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199802170613.AAA24308@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 00:07:43 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Feb 1998 to 16 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06eade09cca29addc560fe3478b576cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 526 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Golden Aniverary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise Sale 2. Water Vapor Myths (3) 3. 5-min GOES Images for early storm season 4. La Nina 5. Skywarn Schools and advice for new people 6. re-touche-feely 7. Big Blizzard next Tuesday?????? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 09:12:47 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Golden Aniverary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise Sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** Announcing commemorative items in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Major Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts designed with a version of the 50th Anniversary logo. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/ Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Enjoy! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may exist under the Great Red Spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 10:49:26 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Water Vapor Myths Dan Satterfield wrote: > > I saw a reference to a web page a few weeks back that had some excellent > explanations of commonly misunderstood Metoeorologcal explanations..ie warm > air can hold more water than cold air etc. > I have been corresponding with a High School teacher in California who > wants to teach science CORRECTLY (god bless him) to his students...I have > so far failed to explain to him in common terms why saying warm air hold > more water is incorrect...can anyone remember the URl to that site?? > > Dan > _________________________________________________________________ > Dan Satterfield > Chief Meteorologist > WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL > Another site to try is http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/vapor.html This site also provides some historical background. I have tried to make the explanation simple yet accurate and will continue to try to improve it. Cheers, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | In order to discover new oceans, one must have the courage to lose | | sight of the shore. | \ --author unknown / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:05:52 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: 5-min GOES Images for early storm season The National Weather Service (NWS) and the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) are planning to conduct a GOES-10 Science Test. Several technical meetings have been held to define the test. The test is part of the planned, scheduled NOAA/NASA on-orbit check-out of GOES-10. The test would begin on March 16, 1998 and last for 2-3 weeks. During this test, GOES-10 would be in a continous "Super Rapid Scan" mode. A "5" minute sector centered over aproximately the Kansas City area has been developed. The sector would cover all of the CONUS, the Gulf Of Mexico, and extend into both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. It would be about the size of a combined AWIPS EastCONUS and WestCONUS sector. The NWS is trying to provide this new data set to at least 4 systems, Direct Readout, GOES-TAP/MicroSwis, NOAAPORT/AWIPS and INTERNET/RAMSDIS. There are potential impacts to all 4 systems. A NWS/NESDIS team has prepared a Test Plan which can now be downloaded in Adobe Acrobat format at: Ftp address: ftp://www.nws.noaa.gov/pub/im/goes10test.pdf Comments will be strongly encouraged. The deadline for responses will be short, probably by COB Thursday, February 12, 1998. NESDIS needs time to reconfigure their distribution systems. As mentioned in the plan, responses should be directed to Ron.Gird@noaa.gov. Ultimately, the NWS Forecasting Offices need to specify how this "Super Rapid Scan" data can improve their forecasting operations. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 11:31:25 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: La Nina On Sun, 15 Feb 1998 12:27:57 "John D. Cox" wrote: > > The North American winter of 1996-97 felt the effects of La Nina - > snowstorms in the Pacific Northwest (were they in December?) and the > torrential rains that brought major flooding in northern California. Were > there other impacts of La Nina that season? Another big impact of La Nina in 1996 was the incredible busy hurricane season in the Atlantic basin. There were 13 tropical storms, 9 of which becoming hurricanes and 6 of those reaching "major hurricane" status of 111mph or greater sustained winds. This compares with 9-10 tropical storms, 5-6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes over the long term record. While the US suffered from Hurricane Fran, the Caribbean islanders suffered one of their worst hurricane seasons on record as 6 hurricanes directly affected the region. Typically, La Nina events allow for more Atlantic hurricane development by causing less vertical wind shear (i.e. weaker 200 mb westerlies) over the main development region along with a less subsident environment. (See http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html for more details.) Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I think that there's a fairly good indication that it's going to be wet, windy, wild, weird, wacky wonderful winter weather." - NWS Forecaster Jim Lushine, August 1997 104 mph gust Miami, 4.56" rainfall Miami International Airport, tornadoes reported in Monroe, Miami-Dade and Broward counties, total damage in the 10s of millions of dollars. - February 3, 1998 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 13:39:04 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths Steven M. Babin wrote: > > Dan Satterfield wrote: > > > > I saw a reference to a web page a few weeks back that had some excellent > > explanations of commonly misunderstood Metoeorologcal explanations..ie warm > > air can hold more water than cold air etc. > > I have been corresponding with a High School teacher in California who > > wants to teach science CORRECTLY (god bless him) to his students...I have > > so far failed to explain to him in common terms why saying warm air hold > > more water is incorrect...can anyone remember the URl to that site?? I'm still having trouble with all this. If warm air doesn't "hold" moisture, then why is the saturation pressure higher in warm air than in colder air? It's because the air molecules are further apart, allowing more water molecules to "fit". Am I still missing something? I understand that the air itself doesn't "hold" the water - the water molecules don't attach themselves to the air molecules. They don't have handles, that's obvious. But are we just using different language to describe the same thing? i DO explain to the kids that the air molecules do not "hold" the water. The air molecules are farther apart, allowing more water vapor to occupy the area. I have read both the Bad Meteorology page and Dr. Babin's page at Johns Hopkins, and they are both very informational. Remember, non-college prep high school kids may not ever take another science class the rest of their lives. So whatever terminology we use must be understandable. "Saturation vapor pressure" is a little much for some students. If I taught AP stuff, yeah, use the proper language. But of the students I teach now, 75% will NEVER attend college. I know I'm going to get flamed for this, but here I go anyway. As long as I explain CORRECTLY what is going on, what difference does it make what terminology I use? Okay, I'm done. Now I'm two cents closer to broke.... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 16:27:50 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths > > Steven M. Babin wrote: > > > > Dan Satterfield wrote: > > > > > > I saw a reference to a web page a few weeks back that had some excellent > > > explanations of commonly misunderstood Metoeorologcal explanations..ie warm > > > air can hold more water than cold air etc. > > > I have been corresponding with a High School teacher in California who > > > wants to teach science CORRECTLY (god bless him) to his students...I have > > > so far failed to explain to him in common terms why saying warm air hold > > > more water is incorrect...can anyone remember the URl to that site?? > > I'm still having trouble with all this. If warm air doesn't "hold" > moisture, then why is the saturation pressure higher in warm air than in > colder air? It's because the air molecules are further apart, allowing > more water molecules to "fit". Am I still missing something? > > I understand that the air itself doesn't "hold" the water - the water > molecules don't attach themselves to the air molecules. They don't have > handles, that's obvious. But are we just using different language to > describe the same thing? i DO explain to the kids that the air > molecules do not "hold" the water. The air molecules are farther apart, > allowing more water vapor to occupy the area. I'm not certain this is a good way to explain things, however. Why wouldn't there be lots of water vapor at high altitudes, where low pressure also means molecules are farther apart? When I taught Intro Meteorology here at UW, I disliked the air can hold water vapor explanation because it allows students to forget all about evaporation and condensation. I tried to teach them that evaporation and condensation were always occurring in the atmosphere. As the temperature increases, the rate of evaporation increases, and hence more water molecules will enter the gas phase. As the temperature decreases, proportionally more water molecules condense, and the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere will decrease. When the rate of condensation is equal to the rate of evaporation, then you have reached saturation vapor pressure and there can be no net increase in the number of molecules in the air. Every water molecule that evaporates is matched by one condensing. I do admit that this is a very difficult concept for students to grasp, and a simple physical model like the 'hot air can hold more water vapor than cold air', even if wrong on some level, is attractive. And the statement that cold air can hold more water vapor than warm air is certainly ubiquitous on TV! If I had only a day or two, it would be very tempting to approach this from the perspective of what the students are going to hear in everyday life anyway. Scott, can't remember hearing about this in high school :) ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 17:23:20 CST From: Russell Stringfield Subject: Skywarn Schools and advice for new people re: Skywarn schools and new Vs experienced In reference to some of the previous posts... I have been spotting, chasing, and running a RACES net for the past 5 years, in that order. I have been the president of my local ham radio club. While I was the president of my club, I put on my own Skywarn school. This was in September of 1996. I had the local (Ft. Worth) NWS Skywarn Instructors come down and give what I called an "advanced" school. Although it was successful, we didn't have as large a turnout as I would have expected, or liked. That fact could have been because it was on a Tuesday evening in September. The school was held a local medical school auditorium with full audio video facilities and was enough seating for over 250 people. I remember mailing out about 125 certificates. Even that took time. As I said, our local club did this, although I did most (all) the legwork of arranging times between the school (times available for room) and the NWS (times available to speak). That in-it-self was a feat worth noting. We even sent RSVP invitations to every emo, police, fire, and in all of the surrounding counties. I think one or two departments sent people. Tessa was there selling their videos, as well as the red cross giving out information. I deemed it as a success, but as I said I was disappointed in the turnout. But, I haven't put on another one. If I had some help I would, put on another one, especially if I could get some volunteers from the knowledgeable chaser world as speakers! As for chasing, I started out spotting, as everyone should. New people should stay close to home for a while, learn what is going on, what to look for. This is where you should know the roads, how to escape if something goes wrong. Get out on a Sunday afternoon or two and drive country roads in a county or two getting the feel of your surroundings. Imagine WHERE you would go if you were trapped by a tornado bearing down on you right then. Or, just as bad, where you would go if baseball hail was coming down. Spotters usually have more trouble with the latter than chasers do, but then don't we all get caught out of position at sometime or another? If you're not a ham, at least invest in a scanner to receive the local Skywarn nets. The most experienced spotters/chasers are there giving reports to the NWS via the radio. (And, getting your amateur radio license is not that difficult.) Telephones are neat, but you can only talk to one person at a time. And, you can't hear what the other spotters/chasers are seeing at the same time. You might be on the wrong side of another hp supercell and you don't even realize that there is more violent action 15 to 20 miles to your southwest, and moving your way, because you can't see. The rule of thumb is: "Always listen to others, then act or react." Next: Right NOW, don't wait until severe weather starts, call up your local NWS office and ask, don't demand, if you can come down for a visit. During the visit, be very courteous, again don't demand anything! But, ask questions, ask questions, and ask questions. Most all NWS offices will be glad to help, Learn how to read a Skew-T. Learn what to look for. Learn how to use the 250, 300, 500, 700, 800 milibar maps. Where is the Jet? Do we have convergence? Where is the trough? Is it negative? Where is the cold front on the surface map? What do I plot on each map? Is there a low in the Southwest US (Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado)? Is it digging? What is (are) the lapse rate(s)? Where is the dry line (do we even have a dry line)? Do we have good available moisture? Is there "turning with height"? There are many more things, but I hope you get the idea here. Just remember to make an appointment with them, don't just show up and expect them to talk to you. Be courteous, and ask questions. If you show an interest, they will most likely be very interested in helping you. Also, be sure to do this on an off-day. In other words, a beautiful "blue- sky" day. Don't do this on a day when there is a chance of severe weather anywhere in the area. If your appointment is on a day when there is severe weather, call them and cancel it and re-schedule it for another time, they will be glad that you did, and, you will learn much more when they have a chance to talk to you instead of working. If you are getting this as an e-mail I assume (we all know what that means!), you have access to the Internet. Visit the various sites that have maps available, use what you have learned on your visit to the NWS on an off day to good advantage. Study, Study, Study. Then, and only then, try and find yourself a good chase partner(s). It doesn't have to be the same one everytime. But, try to find four or five experienced chasers from your area to go out with. Not everyone will be available for each and every chasing situation that comes up! For the first several times, sit back and listen, ask a few questions and learn, learn, learn! Purchase a NOAA weather radio, listen to it, set it up so that it sounds an alarm when weather is approaching. Some of the newer ones will sound alarms for specific counties. Watch the Weather Channel, they do have good maps that you may start basing your daily activities on. Read the convective outlooks, and the day 1 and the day 2 severe weather outlooks. Map the situations, call up friends and discuss the potential situations. Make your decisions and get your partner and go. Please don't chase alone, it's hard to read a roadmap at highway speed, drive, and look at the cloud formations all at the same time. Especially if you are not familiar with the territory. If you are out on a chase, and there are several of you, then elect just one person to go in and get information at the NWS office. Please! One person can go in and get maps and soundings and outlooks and bring them back to the group so that the information can be analyzed. A few of the offices have a room where you may sit and analyze the information. Don't take advantage of the situation. Be courteous. Don't raid their refrigerators, instead bring gifts. Donuts and pastries if it is in the mornings are very appreciated. Pizza's can be welcome if it is in the evenings. (Bribery can be rewarded!) Even a 6-pack of sodas can be appreciated! After a while even you will have some new people come up and ask you if they can go with you, and then you can start becoming the teacher and help the newbie's with their first experiences. And, as a final note, Yes, I have speeded to catch up with a cloud, or to get away from one. But I like to think that I drive responsibly, fast yes, sometimes, but within reason. I did hydroplane once, and believe you me, it was not a fun time. My partner and I both sucked up the seats, as I took out a small road sign. I have learned, check out your equipment, ALL of it. Don't forget your vehicle, tires especially! Believe me there is nothing like experience! As a Net control operator, I don't get out much to chase, but we have to know what you are looking at. We also have to know what all the things you are looking at mean. In other words, we have to be up on our weather as well! We need to be able to interpret what we see on our radar screens to tell you what we see, or where to go to be in the best place to observe and keep you out of danger. From you in the field, we need good accurate reports to pass on to the NWS, If something is happening, tell us. But, on the other hand if nothing is happening don't tell us, UNLESS we ask YOU! (On my soapbox for that one.) There have been times that we thought something might be building, and you spotters (yes, chasers ARE spotters) in the field might tell us there is nothing there, that is a good report! But, on the other hand if you are spotting and just wish to "press the talk" button just to say that the storm has passed your area, PLEASE DON'T, we know that it has, by following the progress of the storm across the area. Make like the "PTT" is a "RTL", "release to listen". Thanks for the bandwidth. Russ Stringfield, ars KB5SCM, Net Control operator and Training Officer, for Tarrant County, TX R.A.C.E.S., and part time chaser, when allowed! &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&& Don't Fuss, Don't Cuss, Just call Russ &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&& _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 20:01:59 EST From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: re-touche-feely George Barnette's attack on touchy-feely was not a set of arguments that I want to defend. First of all, science doesn't "prove" anything. Math ( which does ) and science are differnet things. Check with CIscop and the Sceptical Inquirer for details. Second, giving partial credit for learning something in math is not the same as sending up the Space Shuttle. Jugglers, like myself, know that dropping is a part of learning and you try to approach perfection. Math students who are marked wrong for only the slightest error quit fast ( no human beings are left ). Sorry for the misspellings, but I am tenlets--I mean telnetting--into my server and backspace and delete are not being passed thru. Barry ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 22:08:26 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Big Blizzard next Tuesday?????? In article <34f0ae9a.418702458@allnews.infi.net>, gerrym@infi.net (Ger) writes: |> On 14 Feb 1998 19:06:59 GMT, rodgers@seminole.fsl.noaa.gov (Dennis Rodgers) |> wrote: |> |> snip... |> |> >|> "Panhandle Hooker" is a meteorological term for a low pressure system that |> >|> moves...(snip) |> > |> >I don't think this can be called a "meteorological term". It's more like |> >a TWC term, or a storm chaser term. Cyclogenesis is a meteorological term. |> |> No, it is a "meteorological" term (as opposed to a "scientific" term) along the |> lines of El Nino, Bermuda High, Scirocco, Willi-willi, Santa Ana's, etc., etc. "Panhandle Hooker" certainly predates TWC, and probably stormchasing as well. But it's not in the Glossary of Meteorology (the 1970 version), if that means anything :) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Feb 1998 to 16 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:38:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3979 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-9420>; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:12:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA05786; Wed, 18 Feb 1998 00:08:20 -0600 Message-Id: <199802180608.AAA05786@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 00:02:31 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Feb 1998 to 17 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0387c7829d831ce19afbad3d074158d8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 596 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Active weather day... 2. Water Vapor Myths (2) 3. WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk 4. El Nino and the '98 hurricane season 5. Why did the ETA crash? Maybe this is the answer... 6. Article on the GOES-10 Test 7. "Storm Machine" and the NWS (2) 8. Big Blizzard next Tuesday?????? (2) 9. Atmospheric Moisture 10. female storm chasers (2) 11. messages +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 09:45:39 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Active weather day... Some special raob's going up today... including a 15Z(?) balloon. STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 930 AM EST TUE FEB 17 1998...UPDATED ....UPDATE...WILL UPDATE THE SWO FOR THE AREA. DISCUSSION WITH SPC/ HALES INDICATES A TORNADO WATCH MIGHT BE NEEDED TODAY. IN LIEU OF THIS GSO WILL SEND A NEW RAOB AT 15 UTC/MHX A NEW ONE AT 18 UTC. THE UPDATED SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM NORMAN WILL PUT CENTRAL NC IN A MODERATE RISK OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY...JUST ANOTHER DAY IN PARDISE. JWC --- Also, the upgraded Eta model choked last night and never generated 48hr output, and don't expect much usable information this morning either... ** NOUS42 KWBC 171425 *** SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 1425 UTC TUE FEB 17 1998 171425Z THE 12Z 32KM ETA MODEL FAILED THREE TIMES AND HAS BEEN CANCELED. AS OF 1425 UTC WE HAVE STARTED THE 80KM BACKUP VERSION OF THE 12Z ETA ON CRAY 5. IT WILL BE AVAILABLE MUCH LATER. WEINBRENNER/SDM/NCO/NCEP ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 10:32:30 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths Mike Martin wrote: > > I'm still having trouble with all this. If warm air doesn't "hold" > moisture, then why is the saturation pressure higher in warm air than in > colder air? It's because the air molecules are further apart, allowing > more water molecules to "fit". Am I still missing something? > No, the reason why saturation pressure appears to be higher in warm air than in colder air is that the temperature of a cloud droplet will be almost the same as the air. The temperature of the cloud droplet determines its relative rates of evaporation and condensation. So it is really the droplet temperature that matters. It just happens to be almost the same as the air temperature. See the paragraph of the Bad Meteorology page that begins with 'And therein lies the origin of the myth.' Also, see Professor Craig Bohren's wonderful book 'Clouds in a Glass of Beer' (referenced at the end of my water vapor myth page). Also, I agree with the comments of Scott Lindstrom. I appreciate the difficulty you have teaching science in high school. Unfortunately, some scientific ideas are very complicated, even more so than this one. It is very challenging to explain them to people without scientific backgrounds. However, as advanced technology from scientific ideas becomes more a part of our everyday lives, some scientific understanding becomes all the more vital. While non-scientists may say we don't need to understand science, they often find themselves in positions of making policy or voting on issues that require such an understanding. A non-scientist may reply that they can always rely on advice from scientific experts. However, the nature of scientific endeavor means that scientists do not always agree and cannot always provide an unqualified yes or no answer. How then can a non-scientist cope? I think the best way is to teach them the scientific method. If non-scientists understand how scientists approach a problem, then they may better appreciate why they may receive conflicting advice from scientific experts. The scientific method also teaches critical thinking. Non-scientists who can think critically for themselves are better able to ask relevant questions and evaluate the sometimes conflicting advice of experts. The page that your students put together on the myths in the movie TWISTER is an excellent example of critical thinking. I commend your efforts. There are other teachers who wouldn't bother or care about teaching accurate information. These teachers may find their tasks easier, but their students ultimately suffer the consequences. I read that some states are now having difficulty finding education graduates who are really qualified to teach. Apparently, some students provided with a poor education themselves become teachers later and the cycle is repeated. Poor education for even a single generation of students may have negative consequences for subsequent generations. Therefore, your efforts at providing a proper education for your students will have an impact far beyond your students. We should be very proud of teachers like yourself. I hope you don't get flamed. Obviously, you are trying to accomplish a very challenging task. Anyone who thinks otherwise should spend a few days in a teachers' shoes. Hope that helps, Steve _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | | | Si Hoc Legere Scis Nimium Eruditionis Habes | \ / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 10:47:28 -0600 From: George Taniguchi Subject: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Dan Satterfield wrote: > > I saw a reference to a web page a few weeks back that had some excellent > explanations of commonly misunderstood Metoeorologcal explanations..ie warm > air can hold more water than cold air etc. > I have been corresponding with a High School teacher in California who > wants to teach science CORRECTLY (god bless him) to his students...I have > so far failed to explain to him in common terms why saying warm air hold > more water is incorrect...can anyone remember the URl to that site?? > > Dan > _________________________________________________________________ > Dan Satterfield > Chief Meteorologist > WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL Dan: Here are my comments in regards to your concern about "air holding water". In common terms, water exists in a fluid state between 1 and 100 degrees celsius. When we talk about water in its gaseous state, that state is referred to as water vapor, a gaseous state. So we have water in its fluid state and water vapor, both having different characteristics, i.e., water vapor, in addition to being in a gaseous state, carries a latent heat of evaporation of 539.1 claories/gm of liquid water. Hence it is not correct to say that air (gas) holds water (implying liquid water). As you know, ambient temperature and atmospheric pressure dictates how much water vapor a parcel oif air can hold. Hope you can convince the school teacher with this approach. George Taniguchi taniguch@apci.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 12:09:18 -0500 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: El Nino and the '98 hurricane season I am just wondering....since El Nino may still be around during a good chunk of the upcoming hurricane season, and since the easterly QBO will be present, is there a good chance that the '98 hurricane season will be quieter (hard to imagine) than last year's hurricane season?....'95-'96 seems like such a long time ago now! Mark Yorsaner bf18309@binghamton.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 11:15:46 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Why did the ETA crash? Maybe this is the answer... Hello all, Maybe this is why the ETA is crashing... Take a look at the 500 MB analysi from the 32 KM ETA run since it's implemenation. Look what is happening over the north Atlantic. Yesterday it had a 490DM 500 MB low that wasn't there!!! It seems as though at the edges of it's domain, everything is messed up (technical explanation! :-) ). Anyone else see this? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:50:47 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Article on the GOES-10 Test >From Florida Today's Space Online http://www.flatoday.com/space/today/021798d.htm Ingenuity turns GOES back to the weather By Jack Williams Gannett News Service WASHINGTON - What do you do with a stubborn weather satellite that will operate only backward? Learn to live with it. In fact, weather experts have turned this reversal of fortune to their advantage. GOES 10 - a Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite - roared into orbit atop an Atlas rocket in April to be ready to replace its aging sisters, GOES 8 and 9, that watch the weather from the eastern Atlantic Ocean, across the United States and far out into the Pacific. The satellites have a winglike appendage called a solar array; sunlight shining on the array produces electricity. Since the devices that produce images need to point continuously at the Earth, the array rotates to follow the sun across the sky. But late May 1997, during checkout tests, GOES 10's array stopped rotating. If the array can't rotate, it doesn't get enough sunlight to produce the needed electricity. Without electricity, the satellite would become a $300 million piece of space junk. GOES engineers can only guess why the array wouldn't move correctly. "Maybe something came loose and got in the way," said Gary Davis, director of satellite operations and systems development for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. "The array has gears; maybe it's a gear problem." Whatever the cause, there seemed to be no cure. Sending astronauts up in a shuttle to make repairs wasn't an option. The satellite orbits 22,238 miles above the equator, too high for a shuttle to reach. Fortunately, after some careful tests, controllers found that the array would turn backward. They flipped the satellite so the array pointed to the north instead of the south as designed, and it began tracking the sun while moving backward. On Aug. 8, GOES 10 sent its first images; they were upside-down, but they looked good. Davis said the near disaster could end up helping researchers. Normally the GOES 8 and 9 imagers scan the entire Western Hemisphere, obtaining pictures of any particular place about every 30 minutes. If forecasters need more frequent updates, a satellite can produce images of a particular storm every five minutes. Doing this, however, means it's no longer watching the entire hemisphere. But since researchers now have to test GOES 10's upside-down mode anyway, "we're going to do five-minute scans of North America," Davis said. "This is a nice chance to do some research to see the advantages of five-minute images of the U.S. This will coincide with the severe storm season." So now weather forecasters and researchers are looking forward to more satellite images than ever as severe thunderstorms begin rolling over the Plains. But don't expect to see scientists standing on their heads to make sense of GOES 10's upside-down satellite pictures. Programmers have been rewriting the software that processes the images so that the thunderstorms battering Kansas don't appear to be off the coast of Chile. After the checkouts are done, GOES 10 will be put into hibernation. It will be awakened when one of its sisters can no longer do its job. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:46:24 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: "Storm Machine" and the NWS Greetings Everyone From Illinois I noticed on the Paducah, Kentucky National Weather Service afternoon forecast discussion the following statement was made... UPPER LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...LESSENING PROBABILITY OF PRECIP. NTRANS AND ALPHA/NUMERIC (FRH/FRHT) INDICATED THAT THE FAVORABLE VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS SHIFT EAST OF FORECAST AREA (FA). "STORM MACHINE" FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LOWER TROP(SUB 80H) TO STAY SATURATED NEXT 2 PERIODS. FAVOR A GRADUAL DECREASE IN POPS WITH TIME AND FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS FA (LIKELY TO CHANCE). WEAKENING VERTICAL MOTION COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL KEEP LIMITED QPF ACROSS FA TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. I was wondering if the Storm Machine they were referring to is the one found of the Storm Chasers Home Page? Gilbert any thoughts on that subject! Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 16:49:05 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Big Blizzard next Tuesday?????? In article <6ccd4t$8cm$1@mwrns.noaa.gov>, rodgers@seminole.fsl.noaa.gov (Dennis Rodgers) writes: |> In article <34f0ae9a.418702458@allnews.infi.net>, gerrym@infi.net (Ger) writes: |> |> On 14 Feb 1998 19:06:59 GMT, rodgers@seminole.fsl.noaa.gov (Dennis Rodgers) |> |> wrote: |> |> |> |> snip... |> |> |> |> >|> "Panhandle Hooker" is a meteorological term for a low pressure system that |> |> >|> moves...(snip) |> |> > |> |> >I don't think this can be called a "meteorological term". It's more like |> |> >a TWC term, or a storm chaser term. Cyclogenesis is a meteorological term. |> |> |> |> No, it is a "meteorological" term (as opposed to a "scientific" term) along the |> |> lines of El Nino, Bermuda High, Scirocco, Willi-willi, Santa Ana's, etc., etc. |> |> |> Gosh, I could have sworn that meteorology is a science. And "raining cats and |> dogs" must be a meteorological term also. |> -- Hmm. Part of the science of meteorology is communicating a forecast/information to an ignorant public (or colleague). If colorful language helps, what's wrong with it? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 13:02:46 -0500 From: "R. Slonaker" Subject: Atmospheric Moisture I'm still having trouble with all this. If warm air doesn't "hold" moisture, then why is the saturation pressure higher in warm air than in colder air? It's because the air molecules are further apart, allowing more water molecules to "fit". Am I still missing something? I understand that the air itself doesn't "hold" the water - the water molecules don't attach themselves to the air molecules. They don't have handles, that's obvious. But are we just using different language to describe the same thing? i DO explain to the kids that the air molecules do not "hold" the water. The air molecules are farther apart, allowing more water vapor to occupy the area. ...etc... ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html Wx-talkers: No flames. Just a response. Don't feel bad. The variability of atmospheric water vapor is difficult to comprehend. I have yet to meet anyone for whom this subject was intuitively obvious from the beginning. It is erroneous to think of moisture as something that is somehow placed between the "regular" air molecules. If this were true, moisture-laden air would be denser than corresponding dry air under the same conditions. We know this to be false. A water vapor molecule added to the air from liquid or solid form can be more accurately viewed as replacing the N2 (or other atmospheric constituent) within a volume. The N2 molecule will move into an adjacent volume. The H2O (molecular wt=18) has replaced an N2 (molecular wt=28) resulting in reduced density for that particular volume of air. "Saturation water vapor density of water or ice depends ONLY on the temperature. The values over water exceed those over ice, and they increase as the temperature increases." from Fundamentals of Meteorology -Louis Battan At saturation, the number of water molecules entering the air are equivalent to the number moving from the air into the liquid. As the temperature increases, this saturation level of water vapor molecules also increases. Warm air "holding" more water vapor is commonly used. When this explanation is used, the natural assumption is that humid air is more dense than dry air because it is "holding" more water. The atmosphere is not a large container that holds varying amounts of water. It is a mixture of gases, most of which are reasonably constant (N2, O2, etc.). The largest variable constituent is H2O. Water vapor is actually an atmospheric constituent which cycles through the atmosphere via surface sources and sinks. I hope this helps. Cheers! -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:00:19 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths I have given a lot of thought to the water vapor myth claims. So I have a comment and question. It appears to me that you and Dr. Fraser have a problem with the concept of saying that air "holds" water vapor, saying that the presence of air has nothing to do with the presence of vapor and their equilibrium vapor pressure. This is for the reason that air does not "hold" vapor. However, I am wondering if this is more a question of semantics. We say that a theater "holds" so mant people. Obviously, it is the chairs that allow a person to sit down. Also, while the capacity is determined by the amount of chairs (assuming no standing room allowed) we note that the actual theater could hold more if we wanted it to. So it is how we define capacity that allows us to state how many a theater can hold. So, it follows that at a given temperature and pressure, there "can" only be so much vapor in the air. If we define ws to be the amount of vapor that would be in the air at a given temperature when the air is saturated, are we not defining a capacity? And if that is a capacity, how far from the common term "holding" are we? How much water vapor is present in the air can be thought of as how much water vapor the air *IS* holding, in a practical although not perfectly precise sense. Are you objecting to this "use" of the word hold? Cannot we define hold to mean what we mean it to be without violating the science? Certainly, we need to be accurate about what we teach. I am just not convinced yet that I am inaccurate. I would very much like to hear more from you, since I do desire to be a good teacher! Sincerely, Paul Sirvatka BTW I know that was more than a comment and a question. It was just semantics! ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:13:26 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Big Blizzard next Tuesday?????? Colorful language is great! I have use panhandle hooker longer than TWC has even been on the air. Just like Alberta Clipper. It is a nickname...not bad science. I have a name for stoms that form in Louisiana and move north...Cajun Cooker? You want it? You can have it...free of charge. TWC can have it to free of charge. (Just wanted to make Roger Edwards happy:-) ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 14:04:47 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: "Storm Machine" and the NWS On Tue, 17 Feb 1998, James Derek Dodson wrote: > Greetings Everyone From Illinois > > I noticed on the Paducah, Kentucky National Weather Service > afternoon forecast discussion the following statement was made... > > UPPER LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...LESSENING PROBABILITY OF PRECIP. > NTRANS AND ALPHA/NUMERIC (FRH/FRHT) INDICATED THAT THE FAVORABLE > VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS SHIFT EAST OF FORECAST AREA (FA). "STORM > MACHINE" FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LOWER TROP(SUB 80H) TO STAY > SATURATED NEXT 2 PERIODS. FAVOR A GRADUAL DECREASE IN POPS WITH > TIME AND FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS FA (LIKELY TO CHANCE). WEAKENING > VERTICAL MOTION COMBINED WITH AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL KEEP LIMITED > QPF ACROSS FA TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. > > I was wondering if the Storm Machine they were referring to is the > one found of the Storm Chasers Home Page? Gilbert any thoughts on > that subject! Hi Derek, The one and the only! I have seen quite a few NWSFO's use it, for which I am grateful. Thanks folks! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 16:28:01 -0600 From: STORM15 Subject: female storm chasers Are there any female storm chasers out there? ~laura ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 16:31:56 -0600 From: STORM15 Subject: messages i have been getting barley any messages lately. what's the deal? ~laura ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 22:12:10 -0600 From: Linder Subject: Re: female storm chasers To whom it may concern, There are female storm chasers out here, and we want to know just as much as everyone else. I have many questions, and many concerns, so if anyone is willing to help out someone on the newer side, write me personally. Linda Kornowski P.S. I was interested in chasing before Twister. Linda Kornowski 419 Brandt Hall Valparaiso, In 46383 lkornows@athena.valpo.edu At 04:28 PM 2/17/98 -0600, you wrote: >Are there any female storm chasers out there? >~laura ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Feb 1998 to 17 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4727 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-11300>; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 14:09:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35608; Thu, 19 Feb 1998 00:07:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199802190607.AAA35608@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Feb 1998 to 18 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8acfae70ee344667b1d36e8e37003ad9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 320 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. female storm chasers 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. explanations 4. El Nino and the'98 hurricane season 5. Moisturemania! 6. Hail Cannons (!) 7. Water Vapor Myths (2) 8. What happened to Mcdemo? 9. SE Wisconsin APRS Frequency Change +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:13:53 -0700 From: Sandusky Subject: Re: female storm chasers Chalk another female storm chaser on the board :) Have been chasing since 1992, chasing in the Plains since 1995. Nicole meteorologist/meteo grad student(!)/business forecaster ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 01:42:07 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 17 February 1998: OMAK AIRPORT (KOMK) OMAK... WA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 04:57:15 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: explanations Dan, Go to the following URL: http://www.pulse.net/storm/training.htm You'll find links to several papers, including the one you're looking for. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 08:50:35 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: El Nino and the'98 hurricane season On Tue, 17 Feb 1998 Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > I am just wondering....since El Nino may still be around during a good > chunk of the upcoming hurricane season, and since the easterly QBO will be > present, is there a good chance that the '98 hurricane season will be > quieter (hard to imagine) than last year's hurricane season?....'95-'96 > seems like such a long time ago now! It's quite possible that the El Nino may still be around during the upcoming hurricane season and there are El Nino events that affected two (or more) consecutive hurricanes seasons: 1982-83, 1986-87, 1991-94. We'll have to closely monitor how it progresses. A great site to watch weekly is: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/realtime.html Our best guess at this point is that the current El Nino *will* be gone by the start of the active portion of the hurricane season - see the early December forecast: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I think that there's a fairly good indication that it's going to be wet, windy, wild, weird, wacky wonderful winter weather." - NWS Forecaster Jim Lushine, August 1997 104 mph gust Miami, 4.56" rainfall Miami International Airport, tornadoes reported in Monroe, Miami-Dade and Broward counties, total damage in the 10s of millions of dollars. - February 3, 1998 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 10:42:31 -0500 From: "R. Slonaker" Subject: Moisturemania! .....etc.... So, it follows that at a given temperature and pressure, there "can" only be so much vapor in the air. If we define ws to be the amount of vapor that would be in the air at a given temperature when the air is saturated, are we not defining a capacity? And if that is a capacity, how far from the common term "holding" are we? .....etc.... Sincerely, Paul Sirvatka An important clarification to Paul's post. Saturation vapor pressure depends ONLY on temperature. Many other important humidity variables (e.g., saturation mixing ratio, relative humidity, etc.) depend on both temperature AND pressure. At constant temperature, the saturation vapor pressure is constant regardless of pressure. The saturation mixing ratio increases with decreasing pressure for a given temperature. The details are beyond the scope of posts to wx-talk. Try the following texts for more info: "Atmospheric Science, An Introductory Survey", Wallace, J.M., and P.V. Hobbs, Academic Press, 1977. "Atmospheric Thermodynamics", Iribarne, J.V., and W.L. Godson, Reidel Publishing, 1981. This subject will seem simple compared to your IRS tax forms.... -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 10:58:27 -0500 From: Dan Salkovitz Subject: Hail Cannons (!) I had no idea these contraptions were still in existence! I thought they went out of style centuries ago. So, anyone have one? :-) >From an article in the New Plymouth Daily News (New Zealand), reprinted in the Meteorological Society of New Zealand (Inc.) December 1997 Newsletter: "Orchardists in France - the initial source of New Zealand's contraversial hail canons - are abandoning pro-active hail measures against hailstorms, according to French hail-protection specialist Vincent Mathieu. French growers are turning to protective netting or insurance, rather than relying on cannons to break up hail formation with shockwaves, or on more expensive rockets to to precipitate rain rather than hailstones. French-made cannons imported for kiwifruit orchards in the early 1980's - at a cost of NZ$ 75,000 each - triggered a local industry making the "hail guns". The first hail cannon made in New Zealand was built in Hastings in 1987. Now the cannons, or hail guns, are widespread in orcharding regions...and Meteorological Service forecasts of hailstorms for orcharding areas spark barrages of blasts aimed skywards. The acetylene-powered cannons set off explosions at about six-second intervals for up to 10 hours at a strech, on the theory that shock waves from the 156-decibel "bang" disrupt the formation of hail overhead. But Nelson's MP, Conservation Minister Nick Smith, has complained that increasing the use of the machines made living near orcharding areas "similar to Sarajevo". He has speculated that they might be nothing more than modern-day "voodoo" and has called for scientific research into their effectiveness." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:24:22 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths In response to Paul Sirvatka's posting: I have to agree with Richard Slonaker's posting. Holding implies possession or a retaining force. The atmosphere is a gas containing water vapor, nitrogen, oxygen, etc. The air no more holds the water vapor than the water vapor holds the air. The capacity explanation has several pitfalls. False conclusions that this explanation engenders include: humid air is more dense than dry air; air acts like a sponge; warm air provides more room and therefore holds more water vapor than cold air; it is too cold to snow in Antarctica; supersaturation is an unstable state; relative humidity can never exceed 100 percent; and others. Furthermore, the most serious deficiency of this explanation is that it does not describe what is really happening in the atmosphere. Air is a gas, not a liquid solution. Professor Craig Bohren of Penn State uses the illustration of a classroom in which the volume of students is about 10 percent the volume of the room. If all the students except one leaves, this percentage drops to 1%. But this volume fraction is still too large. The remaining student has to cut off his finger and leave the room. The finger remains in the classroom and represents the same volume fraction as does an air molecule in air at normal surface temperature and pressure. Evaporation and condensation are continually occuring. For a given temperature, an equilibrium between these two processes is determined. The presence of condensation nuclei is also very important. People trained in the 'water capacity' explanation will have difficulty understanding clouds and precipitation. I would highly recommend reading Chapter 2 of Professor Craig Bohren's book 'Clouds in a Glass of Beer.' Professor Bohren explains in greater detail the pitfalls of the water capacity explanation. Hope this is helpful, Steve ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 14:31:30 -0600 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths All of this stuff about water vapor myths seems like a lot of nonsense to me. Questions about the water molecules grabbing onto the air molecules, etc.--when you say a bucket holds 5 liters of water, do you mean that it has some little Velcro-like fingers that grab onto the water? They certainly don't "hold" very well when you tip the bucket over, do they? Then someone talks about water referring to a liquid between 1 and 100 degrees Celsius at normal pressure (I wonder what he thinks happens between 0 and 1 degrees Celsius?) and tries to make some point about water vapor not being water--it certainly can precipitate out as liquid water, can't it? It isn't any different chemical compound in the gaseous state either, is it? The only way I've ever understood the statements about warm air holding more water is as some kind of ratio of the amount of water to the amount of air. Either of these could be measured in terms of mass, volume, or amount of substance. Is there any of these ratios of water vapor to air that is NOT higher for saturated air at a warmer temperature than at a lower temperature: mass fraction (kg/kg), volume fraction (m³/m³), amount of substance fraction (mol/mol), molar volume (m³/mol), molar mass (kg/mol), amount of substance concentration (mol/m³), mass density (kg/m³), molality (mol/kg), or specific volume (m³/kg)? Gene Nygaard http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 15:49:39 -0600 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: What happened to Mcdemo? Anyone know what happened to the Unidata site at http://mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu? I have not been able to connect for a few weeks. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 20:10:10 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: SE Wisconsin APRS Frequency Change APRS = Automatic Position Reporting System Following a developing national trend, a face to face meeting (Tuesday 2/17/98) comprising a majority of SE Wisconsin APRS users from Milwaukee, Waukesha, and Washington Counties has voted unanimously -in favor- of changing our 2 meter band network frequency from 145.790 mhz to 144.390 mhz effective at midnight March 1,1998. APRS is a digital wireless amateur radio computer networking software mode, which allows realtime graphic displays of a station's position and status. Keyboard to keyboard communications, network bulletins, real time/mobile positioning displays via GPS beacons and remote weather station telemetry are a staple of APRS communications. APRS networks spanning counties, states and entire regions are already established across the nation. Real world applications include, search and rescue operations, Civil Air Patrol missions, SKYWARN/NWS reporting, hobby communications, real time weather data, National Traffic System messages, public service event support and disaster communications. APRS software is available as shareware in DOS, Win95 and Mac flavors. For more information, visit... http://web.usna.navy.mil/~bruninga/aprs.html http://www.tapr.org/ http://www.kcaprs.org/ Thank you for your consideration! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------------------------------------------- For all you automated email spammers out there, net-abuse@nocs.insp.irs.gov bkennard@fcc.gov mpowell@fcc.gov sness@fcc.gov gtristani@fcc.gov customer@email.usps.gov pyramid@ftc.gov consumerline@ftc.gov ------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Feb 1998 to 18 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-18839>; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 14:11:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA10822; Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:08:54 -0600 Message-Id: <199802200608.AAA10822@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 00:03:33 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Feb 1998 to 19 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34a5fe11b731f1e8969cc3b5688476ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 651 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning Notice 2. WX-TALK Digest - 17 Feb 1998 to 18 Feb 1998 3. water vapor adinfinitum 4. Ohio Severe Weather Symposium 5. DFW area APRS Freq Change 6. Victor/Cindy 7. Water Vapor Mythsur Myths (2) 8. Q-Vector convergence maps 9. "Raob" program 10. TV Met Job Available (Little Rock) 11. TV Met Job avaliable (Erie, PA) 12. AMS Salary Survey 13. Program: Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting 14. No snow in New York! 15. New NWS Director Named +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 01:27:42 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 18 February 1998: PALM SPRINGS REGIONAL AIRPORT (KPSP) PALM SPRINGS... CA MCCLELLAN-PALOMAR AIRPORT (KCRQ) CARLSBAD... CA MONTGOMERY FIELD (KMYF) SAN DIEGO... CA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 00:33:38 -0600 From: Robin Helman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Feb 1998 to 18 Feb 1998 Add another female :) While I don't Storm Chase in the true sense, I do Skywarn. Pretty close, except we run from the storms, not chase them ;) 73, Robin, KB9LAC >Date: Tue, 17 Feb 1998 23:13:53 -0700 >From: Sandusky >Subject: Re: female storm chasers > >Chalk another female storm chaser on the board :) >Have been chasing since 1992, chasing in the Plains >since 1995. > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Feb 1998 19:24:20 EST From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: water vapor adinfinitum The continuing battle over the minutia of the "holding" capacity of air reminds me of a conversation that I had several years ago with my father, a bio-chemist. We were discussing nutrition and I mentioned that mushrooms had some good nutrition in them. He answered that they had none. I said that they had various minerals ( according to what I had just read ) and he said that they still had no nutrition. It took more than a little arguing back and forth before I discovered that in his field nutrition was a technical term and referred only to protein, fats and carbohydrates. This was a complete surprise to me as I was using nutrition in the popular manner. We settled for an uneasy truce as he decided that I was totally ignorant and I couldn't understand why he was using a technical term with a lay person in a general discussion. And now, to the holding capacity of air. Are we not in the same discussion? While air has as one of its constituents water vapor, couldn't a casual conversation allow for calling the totality ( air ) the holder of a part ( water vapor ) and a technical discussion in a college class or a paper in a journal take the more precise attitude? This group is wx-talk, not Nature or Science. We talk about chasing and el-Nino and where to find weather on the net! Playing word games is fun, but this all seems to be a waste of energy. And speaking of el-Nino and word games, remember all of the "totally cool" people making fun of the phrase and the linking with unusual winter weather a couple of months ago? And now? What will be your next attempt to be snidely superior? B^># ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 00:11:40 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Ohio Severe Weather Symposium --------------------------------------------- THE OHIO SEVERE WEATHER SYMPOSIUM FRIDAY - APRIL 17, 1998 - 9:00AM TO 4:30PM AT THE OHIO UNION CONFERENCE THEATRE ON THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY CAMPUS ***FREE CONFERENCE OPEN TO THOSE IN THE METEOROLOGICAL FIELD OR HAVE AN INTEREST*** SCHEDULE------- 8:45 - 9:15 COFFEE AND BREAKFAST ITEMS. 9:15 - 9:30 WELCOME AND INTRODUCTIONS 9:30 - 10:00 DR KEITH BEDFORD - THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY "IMPROVED WAVE STORM SURGE AND AUXILIARY LAKE FORECASTS ON THE GREAT LAKES" 10:00-10:45 SUZY DAVIDSON AND GREG TOON AMERICAN RED CROSS - DISASTER TEAM "THE AMERICAN RED CROSS; PREPARATION, IMPACT AND AFTERMATH OF A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT" 10:45-10:55 BREAK 11:00-12:00 PANEL SPEAKERS COLUMBUS OHIO CHIEF BROADCAST METEOROLOGISTS "MEDIA OPERATIONS DURING A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT" 12:00- 1:20 LUNCH BREAK, TOURS, WALK THE CAMPUS 1:20 - 1:30 INTRODUCTION TO AFTERNOON SPEAKERS 1:30 - 2:30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PANEL DISCUSSION METEOROLOGISTS IN CHARGE: KEN HAYDU - NWSFO WILMINGTON OH BILL COMEAUX - NWSFO CLEVELAND OH MIKE SABONIS - NWSFO NORTH WEBSTER IN (FORT WAYNE AREA) "NWS MODERNIZATION: BETTER TECHNOLOGY FOR IMPROVED FORECASTS AND MORE TIMELY WEATHER WARNINGS ACROSS OHIO" 2:30 - 3:00 JIM NOEL HAS METEOROLOGIST - THE OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER "USE OF PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY IN FORECASTING HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL" 3:00 - 3:45 HERBERT STEIN TORNADO RESEARCHER AND STORM CHASER WORKED WITH DR. BLUESTEIN AT OK U. "STORMCHASING: THE SCIENCE AND HOBBY" 3:45 - 4:30 DAN MCCARTHY MESOMETEOROLOGIST - STORM PREDICTION CENTER "THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER: WHO WE ARE AND WHAT WE DO" IN ADDITION TO "OHIO TORNADOES: CLIMATOLOGY AND PATTERNS" FOR MORE INFORMATION....CONTACT MIKE RYAN CALL 614-292-1957 OR EMAIL: RYAN.130@OSU.EDU SPONSORED BY THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES PROGRAM THE DEPARTMENT OF GEOGRAPHY AT OSU AND THE METEOROLOGY CLUB AT OSU _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 05:20:02 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: DFW area APRS Freq Change DFW area APRS will also make the move from 145.790 to 144.390 MHz on March 1, 1998. The current 145.790 MHz frequency is at the edge of a sub-band used for satellite communications. Hence the need to move. 73, Sam Barricklow K5KJ http://www.pulse.net/storm/radio.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 12:32:58 +0000 From: Dale Huguley Subject: Victor/Cindy Boy- someone missed a once in a lifetime chance at humor by not naming Tropical Cyclone 22s Victor/Victoria when it crossed 75 E. (This double name gave my Aprs hurricane parser fits!) Dale Huguley ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 10:11:12 EST From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Water Vapor Mythsur Myths This water vapour discussion is active isn't it! Somewhere I once heard that it almost impossible to purge a human mind of any beliefs/preconceptions that are firmly held at the age of 18 years. This discussion is showing that. And, of course, this underlines the importance of NOT using hand-waving lies to teach science in schools. My version of the explanation: In a given volume at a given temperature there can only be a certain maximum number of water molecules (in a stable configuration). Nothing else needs to be in the volume to "hold" the water. If one must use the double-meaning word "hold", then it is the volume that is "holding" the water, not the air. As someone else pointed out, people are confused by the fact that the water has the same temperature as the air around it. But air temperature is NOT itself directly relevant, only the water temperature. There can be situations in cloud physics where water and air temperatures are different, and the "air holding water" concept is less than worthless. And there are complications. Air does bind very very weakly to water vapour, and aerosols can also bind water. These facts slightly modify the chemistry/physics of the equilibrium, but do not change the fallacy of the idea that "air holds water vapour". In fact these effects are impossible to explain in that view. Of course, we may find it convenient to express the amount of water in relation to other material in the volume, using concepts such as mixing ratio, but this leads to more complicated relationships. I am reminded of the death of idea that the sun and planets rotate around the Earth. In that view very complicated rules for the motion of the planets and sun were developed that explained the astronomical observations. What destroyed the idea was the shear simplicity of the alternative explanation. Air holding water vapour is a similarly obtuse way of looking at the world and it requires incredible complications to explain the details of the atmosphere. I was taught that the best science is the simplest science! Norman ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.on.doe.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.dow.on.doe.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:50:51 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Q-Vector convergence maps Try the Storm Machine Matt: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ It allows you build your own forecast maps with a variety of parameters. In article , mattr@CCPL.CARR.LIB.MD.US says... > >Anyone happen to know a site where I could find Q-Vector convergence maps >from the Eta model? Thanks in advance... > >Matt > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Feb 1998 01:45:15 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: "Raob" program http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/shewchuk/software.htm In article <19980211.172516.3198.0.strueman@juno.com>, strueman@JUNO.COM says... > >Does anyone know how to order the program "Raob," which graphically >displays radiosonde data? > > >Shawn Trueman > >_____________________________________________________________________ >You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. >Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com >Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 11:19:46 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Little Rock) WEATHER PERSON (KTHV) The Gannett owned CBS affiliate in Little Rock Arkansas is looking for a motivated, professional forecaster to join our creative television news operation. Successful candidates will have a positive attitude, a willingness to contribute story ideas and a desire to be part of the community. This position includes weekends, weekday fill in and some reporting on weather related topics. If you have two years experience as a weather anchor, are working toward or have your meteorological degree and want to be part of a successful team send me your work on VHS. Lane Michaelsen News Director KTHV, 720 Izard St. Little Rock Arkansas 72201. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 11:22:38 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job avaliable (Erie, PA) This is the first TV job I've seen in a long time that actually listsed the salary. ..Chris.. WEEKEND WEATHER/NEWS REPORTER (WICU/WFXP) NBC/FOX affiliate in Erie, Pennsylvania has an immediate opening for a Weathercaster/Reporter. Person would produce and anchor our weathercasts on the weekends and report news during the week. $18,000/year. Send resume, references, and non-returnable VHS tape to Mike Conway, News Director, WICU/WFXP-TV, 3514 State St., Erie, PA, 16508. EOE. No phone calls please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 11:32:05 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: AMS Salary Survey The following appeared on SHOPTALK, an Internet-Based TV news magazine. Tom's has an interesting web site. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = The 1997 A.M.S. Salary Survey is now being mailed to weathercasters around the country. This year the survey is bigger and more complete than ever - over 40 pages of critical information about weathercaster salaries, perks, radio income, and weathercaster comments about their experiences hunting for new jobs. Despite our attempts to reach all TV weathercasters to let them know the survey is now available, many are still unaware that it exists. Therefore, I have placed the order form on The Weathercaster Web site. The Weathercaster Web site: http://www.tloffman.com/wxcaster.htm Salary Survey order form : http://www.tloffman.com/ams97.htm If any weathercaster is not on our mailing list and would like to be, or is on the list but did not receive the ordering package that was mailed out last week they should contact me through email at: tloffman@tloffman.com Sincerely, Tom Loffman Meteorologist KOVR-TV Sacramento, CA *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 14:35:25 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Water Vapor Mythsur Myths Norman, What intrigues me is the complaint everyone has about "it is that the evporation rate exceeds the condensation rate" in air that is subsaturated. MEntioned frequently is the fact that it is the water temperature which governs that. What we need then is a better visualization of the presence of liquid water in a subsaturated parcel of air. Does anyone have a good one to help? And that leads to the next comment. What the heck is a parcel of air? As long as we are getting rid of handwaving, there really is no such thing as a parcel, is there? I think sometimes scinece involves analogy, and with that there is nothing wrong. Paul ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 15:59:39 -0600 From: Kit Wagner Subject: Program: Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Info on program and registration below. Save $5 by registering before March 1. Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting Session 1 DR. ROBERT MADDOX, University of Oklahoma, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies "The Tinker Tornadoes of 1948 and Reminiscences of Severe Storm Forecasting with Col. Miller" Session 2 STEVEN WEISS, Storm Prediction Center "A Review of Tornado Forecasting from a Historical Perspective" DR. JOSEPH SCHAEFER, Storm Prediction Center "Current and Future Activities of the Storm Prediction Center" Session 3 DONALD BURGESS, NEXRAD Operational Support Facility/Operations Training Branch "Doppler Radar for Tornado Research and Detection" Session 4 ALAN MOLLER, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Fort Worth, TX, and DR. CHARLES DOSWELL, National Severe Storms Laboratory "Storm Spotting and Public Awareness Since the First Tornado Forecasts of 1948" Session 5 DR. LOUIS WICKER, Texas A&M University "Review of Storm- and Tornado-Scale Modeling" DR. KELVIN DROEGEMEIER, University of Oklahoma, and Center for the Analysis and Prediction of Storms "Current and Future Applications of Mesoscale Modeling for Tornado Forecasting" Session 6 DR. HOWARD BLUESTEIN, University of Oklahoma "A Brief History of Storm- and Tornado-Intercept Efforts" DR. ERIK RASMUSSEN, National Severe Storms Laboratory/Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies "Current and future tornado field research" Contact: Jeff Trapp, Program Chair (405)366-0512 NSSL, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069 trapp@nssl.noaa.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------- The Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting, sponsored by the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association, will be held March 24, 1998, at the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. This scientific symposium on tornado forecasting and research is one of several activities scheduled for the three-day celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast, sponsored by the Oklahoma Weather Center and Tinker Air Force Base. Ten internationally-recognized scientists will deliver invited presentations on topics ranging from tornado forecasting techniques and future activities of the Storm Prediction Center, to the history of storm and tornado intercept efforts. In addition, a tribute to Air Force Col. Robert Miller will be paid by Dr. Robert Maddox, who will also discuss the first tornado forecast of Miller and Maj. Ernest Fawbush. Registration forms and additional information can be found on the World Wide Web at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/symposium, or requested from symposium@nssl.noaa.gov or Tornado Symposium, c/o National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069. Early registration is encouraged because seating is limited. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 18:17:43 -0500 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: No snow in New York! Can't seem to buy a snowflake here in New York the past month or so....here in Binghamton, I saw that only .9" fell this month (actually .8 of that fell the other day, when we had a nice quick burst of sleet and snow which eventually changed to rain). The average for the month is well over 15 or so. In New York City, for the entire SEASON, only .5" fell. I believe the record for NYC is 3.2" in 72-73....just want to know if anybody is seeing snow reports as unbelievable as these... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 23:55:43 -0500 From: Michael W Dross Subject: New NWS Director Named Saw this on the AP wire: Mike Dross http://www.newsday.com/ap/rnmpwh0j.htm New Weather Service Director Named By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID Associated Press Writer WASHINGTON (AP) -- Nine months after the head of the National Weather Service was fired in a shakeup, the agency is getting a new chief -- the man called in to study its problems and recommend changes. Retired Air Force Gen. John J. Kelly, who was critical of the Weather Service's financial management in a report submitted last October, will become director of the agency, Commerce Secretary William M. Daley announced Thursday. Kelly was called in last summer after former Weather Service Director Elbert W. Friday was removed in a dispute with D. James Baker, administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, over a $41 million budget shortfall at the Weather Service. The former head of the Air Force Weather Service issued a report last October commending the agency's improvements in weather forecasting but criticizing its financial management. Officials said a search for a replacement for Friday began when he was reassigned. Kelly will take office Feb. 26. ``General Kelly joins the Weather Service at a critical time when serious concerns about sound fiscal management and systems development efforts have been raised,'' said Daley. After receiving Kelly's report on the Weather Service last fall, Daley announced that management would be streamlined at the Weather Service and said he would seek additional money for the operation. The Commerce Department is the parent agency for both NOAA and the Weather Service. Friday, widely popular in the Weather Service, shepherded the agency through the strain of a major modernization program, a decade-long effort costing an estimated $4.5 billion. He is now director of the NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research. The Weather Service's budget problems drew considerable attention last summer when officials sought to cut costs by closing the Southern Regional Headquarters in Texas and cutting some staff at other locations, including the National Hurricane Center in Miami, the National Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla., and the Aviation Weather Center in Kansas City, Mo. That touched off a furor among emergency preparedness officials, meteorologists and politicians. The Service still faces a major hurdle in coming years as it consolidates into more regionalized forecasting offices, closing more than 150 local offices across the country. AP-NY-02-19-98 1753EST ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Feb 1998 to 19 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-20179>; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 14:07:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29056; Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:06:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199802210606.AAA29056@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1998 to 20 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9fa77dbcde24aaecf5822eec93ea560 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 310 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Home Weather Station HELP!!!!!!!! 2. SHARPS Program Installation 3. Rain Shadow as explained by a newsman 4. Water Vapor Myths (2) 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. PNGM Model 7. Retransmittal of WX Digest, Feb 18-19 8. Job market? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 23:58:14 -0700 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Home Weather Station HELP!!!!!!!! Hello From Pueblo! I am building a new house. I want to buy a Davis Weather Wizard II and mount the Wind sensors on my roof before I shingle it. But I need help! How high does the pole have to stick out of the roof to avoid false readings of winds coming off the roof pitch? I found the Peet Bros. site on the 'net and under the FAQ someone posed the question. Their answer 5'-8' feet preferably 10' feet above the highest point on the roof. That doesn't bother me, but my home fashion conscience wife does want a 5'-10' foot pole sticking out of our roof. I already have it sticking out 3' feet at the junction of a "hip" and the "ridge cap". I think I remember the roof pitch being 5/10. Maybe 5/12. Can any of you folks help me out? Please E-mail me directly, as I do not want to tie up the list with my question! Thanks in advance! David David & Melissa Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Feb 1998 23:49:30 -0600 From: "Tim R.Vickery" Subject: SHARPS Program Installation Was needing some installing instructions on how to install the SHARPS Skewt -Program on Win95? Iv'e downloaded and unzipped into a 'temp dir." and tried to run Install.exe and get a run-time error? Is there a site that gives you "good" instructions to install on WIN95? My readme files give me "No" clue!... Thanks Tim R. Vickery ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 09:38:39 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Rain Shadow as explained by a newsman Our local newspaper explained the rain shadow effect in their own special way. STORM PASSAGE Valleys on the eastern side of a long, unbroken range of coastal hills generally receive less rain than elsewhere. Wet storm blows in from the Pacific. Hill or mountian causes air to rise, compress and cool; that intensifies rainfall. Past the hill, air mass expands, warms and dumps less rain. This article is on the front page! Maybe the planets influenced this reporter's brain ;-) /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 16:29:56 EST From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths Paul: Before I answer your question, I forgot to praise the teacher who started this thread of discussion. It is great to see the dedication to go out to understand a topic that obviously gives many people a hard time. Now to your question.... I was an embarassment to my statistical mechanics professor, so the following is probably hand waving at the third year physics level. How do I think about "equilibrium vapour pressure"? Lets do a thought experiment. Lets take a big container and evacuate it. Now lets place some water it. We have water, at some temperature, underneath a vaccuum. What will happen? The water molecules are thrashing about in thermal motion, and some will escape through the surface into the vaccuum above. The rate that they escape depends on the temperature and the "stickiness" of the water surface (you can think loosely of this like surface tension, which is in fact slightly different) After a while the space above the water will contain water vapour, also dashing around in thermal motion. Occasionally some of these molecules will hit the water surface and re-enter the fluid. (This rate depends on the temperature and the density of molecules.) So what happens as time progresses? Two things are possible. 1) Eventually there will be so many water molecules as vapour that the number re-entering the fluid will equal the number leaving. This is the "saturated" equilibrium state. (Note that this is a dynamic equilibrium in which molecules are being exchanged between two states at equal rates.) 2) All of the water in the liquid state will evaporate into the container and there will be no liquid left, sort of. Of course the water molecules are still dashing around and occasionally bang into each other and forming short lived collections. But these collections don't last long and come apart under the thermal activity. So there we have it...saturated or subsaturated states depending on the temperature and the amount of water placed into our volume. Our volume is "holding" vapour, but there is no "air holding the water". But what happens if we cool the subsaturated state? Eventually the temperature drops to the point where a liquid state could exist in balance with the vapour. But actually forming that liquid is a bit tricky. We need to get enough molecules stuck together to start some fluid. In nature this usually happens because water molecules get stuck on the surface of some aerosols in the atmosphere, which provide a starting point for droplets. Often these aerosols really like water (they are "sticky") and will start forming small droplets even when the relative humidity is less than 100%. This is one of the forms of haze. In general life becomes trickier as more junk is introduced into the situation. Stuff disolved in the water can change its "stickiness" and thus modify the equilibrium vapour pressure. If we add air, it turns out that it was a very very weak affinity for water vapour and will somewhat, but negligibly, "hold" (!) onto some water and slightly change the equilibrium balance. Etc, etc... NOTE at no point do we need to worry about water pushing aside air molecules to "make room". I suppose this might be a problem at pressures and densities of several gazillion atmospheres, but I could not say for sure. In normal gases there is more than enough space between the molecules to fit in as many different gases as you like without changing the balance of any one of them. Your students might want to contemplate that there is nothing special about liquid water in the above argument. Ice or a bar of iron could be discussed in the same way. (The saturation vapour pressure of iron is VERY low!) One of the scientists in my division studies mercury vapour, which does exist at measurable levels. Norman >Paul wrote: > > I have a question. How would you answer a question from a student: "Why > can there be only a certain amount of molecules? > > If you are willing, please respond in a way understandable by > freshman-level students. > > Thanks for your serious reply. > > Paul > > ****************************************************************************** > * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * > * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * > * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * > ****************************************************************************** -- ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.on.doe.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.dow.on.doe.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 16:24:32 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Water Vapor Myths Well I'll be! Norman, thank you for your response. See thanks to all you guys, I now feel that I need to make some revisions to my notes, and that requires more work, etc... Oh what a martyr I am for the sake of science:-) Thanks for your suggestion, again. That is easy enough to get across to anyone. Paul PS YOU BETTER BE RIGHT! :-) ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 17:41:14 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 19 February 1998: BAKER MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KBHK) BAKER... MT HANFORD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KO18) HANFORD... CA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 20:21:48 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: PNGM Model With the recent discussion concerning the untimely demise of the Psychic Friends Network, something important has been overlooked. The Psychic Nested Grid Model (PNGM) has been decommissioned and, with it, the highly reliable Psychic Output Statistics (POS). The PNGM consisted of a grid of nested psychics spread throughout the country. Perhaps you saw one of us sitting in a nest and never realized we were psychic. Unfortunately, many of us are now unemployed. However, I had the foresight not to quit my day job. Snydley Superior Psychic Diviner County Water Department -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | | | Si Hoc Legere Scis Nimium Eruditionis Habes | \ / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 20:07:13 -0600 From: George Taniguchi Subject: Retransmittal of WX Digest, Feb 18-19 I inadvertently lost the most recent transmitted WX Digest. It was the one that had the article on BGen John Kelly, former USAF Weather Director. If possible, could you retransmit that artiicle please George Taniguchi taniguch@apci.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 00:01:02 -0500 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: Job market? I'm just curious....I'd really appreciate a reply from people in the field....how bad is the job market in meteorology? I mean, when will this hiring freeze in the NWS end, and where are the jobs in meteorology? And will the market improve by say, spring of 2000(my expected graduation date). Thanks for your input. -Mark Yorsaner bf18309@binghamton.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1998 to 20 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-14642>; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 14:07:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28234; Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:06:01 -0600 Message-Id: <199802220606.AAA28234@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1998 to 21 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 08ec413935bdbd359d7e22b61c62eb92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 108 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Fw: Home Weather Station HELP!!!!!!!! 2. PDUS Images +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 23:00:22 -0700 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Fw: Home Weather Station HELP!!!!!!!! I sent this a day ago, but received no response. So, I don't know if it even made it to the list. If any of you can help me, please read on. Thanks In Advance! David David & Melissa Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET -----Original Message----- From: DAVID A JACOBER To: WX-TALK Date: Thursday, February 19, 1998 11:58 PM Subject: Home Weather Station HELP!!!!!!!! > Hello From Pueblo! > > I am building a new house. I want to buy a Davis Weather Wizard II and >mount the Wind sensors on my roof before I shingle it. But I need help! > > How high does the pole have to stick out of the roof to avoid false >readings of winds coming off the roof pitch? > > I found the Peet Bros. site on the 'net and under the FAQ someone posed >the question. Their answer 5'-8' feet preferably 10' feet above the highest >point on the roof. > > That doesn't bother me, but my home fashion conscience wife does want a >5'-10' foot pole sticking out of our roof. I already have it sticking out >3' feet at the junction of a "hip" and the "ridge cap". I think I remember >the roof pitch being 5/10. Maybe 5/12. > > Can any of you folks help me out? Please E-mail me directly, as I do >not want to tie up the list with my question! > > Thanks in advance! > > David > >David & Melissa Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. >E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Feb 1998 12:25:25 +0100 From: CB Subject: PDUS Images This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_000C_01BD3EC3.C950C320 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Can anyone guide me to sites on the 'Net (or anywhere) where I may = download PDUS high resolution Meteosat 6 images of Africa and Europe? I = have my own system for the normal resolution images, but would like PDUS = ones. I'd appreciate any help. Thanks in anticipation. Cheers, CB ------=_NextPart_000_000C_01BD3EC3.C950C320 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Can anyone guide me to sites on the = 'Net (or=20 anywhere) where I may download PDUS high resolution Meteosat 6 images of = Africa=20 and Europe?  I have my own system for the normal resolution images, = but=20 would like PDUS ones.
 
I'd appreciate any help.  = Thanks in=20 anticipation.
 
Cheers,
CB
------=_NextPart_000_000C_01BD3EC3.C950C320-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1998 to 21 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:39:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-28103>; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 14:10:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21464; Mon, 23 Feb 1998 00:07:47 -0600 Message-Id: <199802230607.AAA21464@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 00:01:52 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1998 to 22 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf202185957e8d5227e9a2fdc7aeb2d3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 139 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Monthly Weather - World 2. Training Materials on the WWW 3. "High risk" when it wasn't 4. Home Weather Station HELP 5. SHARPS Program Installation +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 14:02:32 +0100 From: CB Subject: Monthly Weather - World This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_001B_01BD3F9A.84EBC7C0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Cpu=F6d anyone give me the exact URL for the monthly weather details of = all the world's stations which I think are published by NOAA? I had the = URL, but seem to have mislaid after a hard dick format!!!! Thanks, CB carona@bluewin.ch ------=_NextPart_000_001B_01BD3F9A.84EBC7C0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Cpuöd anyone give me the exact = URL for the=20 monthly weather details of all the world's stations which I think are = published=20 by NOAA?  I had the URL, but seem to have mislaid after a hard dick = format!!!!
 
Thanks,
CB
carona@bluewin.ch
------=_NextPart_000_001B_01BD3F9A.84EBC7C0-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 08:47:23 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Training Materials on the WWW An index to training materials on the internet: http://www.pulse.net/storm/training.htm Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 10:21:26 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: "High risk" when it wasn't At 08:36 AM 2/22/98 -0600, Morgan Palmer wrote: >Maybe someone has an explanation for this, but I haven't any idea why >the NWS Austin/San Antonio used the term "high risk" in their hazardous >weather outlook...when only a moderate risk was issued by SPC. Aren't >terms "slight, moderate, or high risk" up to the SPC, or can individual >offices make their own determinations? "HIGH RISK" means just what it says -- there is no trademark on the term. Any office is allowed to call the risk any category they want. The SPC offers guidance to the offices -- their products are not intended for use by the general public (as local SWO's are) Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 09:23:10 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Re: Home Weather Station HELP Generally, its best to place the instrument package with a home weather station well above the roof line so as to avoid disturbances in the wind flow caused by the structure itself. With that said, using a Peet Bros. Ultimeter II, I see no appreciable difference in wind speed or direction at 40 feet up on a tower or five feet above the roofline. Other than the temperature sensor, I have very little faith in the accuracy of the Peet instrument, at least the one I own. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer & Houston-Harris County, Texas, EMWIN Coordinator ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Feb 1998 14:48:10 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: SHARPS Program Installation Sharp II for Win95 is an upgrade to Sharp. If you are installing Sharp II on a Win95 system, you must have previously installed the original version of Sharp. The runtime module that the SharpII installation prompts you to enter the path to (BRUN45.EXE) is distributed with the first version. In article <34ED196A.1459@hiwaay.net>, trv@hiwaay.net says... > >Was needing some installing instructions on how to install the SHARPS >Skewt -Program on Win95? Iv'e downloaded and unzipped into a 'temp dir." >and tried to run Install.exe and get a run-time error? Is there a site >that gives you "good" instructions to install on WIN95? My readme files >give me "No" clue!... > > > Thanks > > Tim R. Vickery -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1998 to 22 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Feb 25 09:40:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1688 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-28446>; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 14:09:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21624; Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:06:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199802240606.AAA21624@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:00:56 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Feb 1998 to 23 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad2a139bf79051f041365f48e753c441 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 401 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. HOME WX STATION ??? 2. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1998 to 22 Feb 1998 3. MKX operators meeting 4. wx station 5. Storms in Florida Kill at Least 27 (2) 6. Quote of the day 7. Home Weather Station HELP 8. TV Met Job Available (Des Moines) 9. Job market? 10. Florida Severe Weather Statements (2) 11. map +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 23:40:26 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: Re: HOME WX STATION ??? On SUN, 22 FEB Jim Robinson posted: >Other than the temperature sensor, I have very little faith in the accuracy >of the Peet instrument, at least the one I own. Does anybody have both a Davis and a Pete wx station? I am *very* interested in hearing how the two units perform side by side. You may want to email me privately to minimize band with. Thanks, --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 07:16:25 EST From: Texas Stranger Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1998 to 22 Feb 1998 > At 08:36 AM 2/22/98 -0600, Morgan Palmer wrote: > >Maybe someone has an explanation for this, but I haven't any idea why > >the NWS Austin/San Antonio used the term "high risk" in their hazardous > >weather outlook...when only a moderate risk was issued by SPC. Aren't > >terms "slight, moderate, or high risk" up to the SPC, or can individual > >offices make their own determinations? Considering the wind damage in SE Bexar county (among other locations in S Texas) on Saturday afternoon/evening, it would seem that their use of "high" risk was indeed appropriate. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 08:27:05 -0500 From: Tom Fleming Subject: MKX operators meeting Please past this on to your local nets - n9szf There will be a meeting this Sat ( Feb 28 ) for Ham's who are interested in work as operators at the Sullivan weather office. Contact Tom, n9szf, if you would like to join this crew. The meeting will start at 10:00 am and should be done by noon. Operator training is planned for March 14th and On air local net liaison training/exercise with the 147.150/145.130 link up sometime the week of March 22-28. Tom's phone number is 608-246-0282 or via email at tfleming@madison.tec.wi.us. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Tom Fleming | Remember | Postmaster | there is a little pit bull | Dept of Information Tech & Systems | mentality in all good data guys | Madison Area Tech College |---------------------------------- 608-246-6140 | The book stated win 95 or better| tfleming@madison.tec.wi.us | | N9SZF | So I put it on Linux | ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 07:22:25 -0700 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Re: wx station Al & All: Thanks for the info.! I have a 5/10 pitch on my roof. It is a "hip roof" (one with 4 sides) I have the post mounted at the tip of one end "hip" about 4 1/2 feet up off of the roof. The arm of the sensor will be mounted facing the end/side of the house/hip so it will be about 5 1/2 feet up off of the hip. I am thinking (hoping) this will be high enough. Anybody else with any comments or suggestions can drop me a line privately. All help is more than welcome! Thanks Again! David David & Melissa Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET -----Original Message----- From: Albert Pietrycha To: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET Date: Sunday, February 22, 1998 11:24 AM Subject: wx station >Dave, > >Ideally you want the mast high enough to avoid any frictional drag >or disruption on the "wind" as it passes over your roof. >This could mean having the top of the mast 30' above the roof of >say 6'. If your in a protected area it will not matter too much. 10' >will not gain you much over 6'. My own is only 5' above a flat roof. > >I hope that helps, > >--Al Pietrycha > >~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ >Albert Pietrycha President, >NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society >P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College >Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver >(303) 497-8382 >pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu >http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html >My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur >~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 09:38:28 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Storms in Florida Kill at Least 27 Gotta blame everything on El Nino... --- By Mike Schneider Associated Press Writer Monday, February 23, 1998; 9:10 a.m. EST ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) -- El Nino-driven tornadoes ripped through central Florida today, killing at least 27 people and destroying hundreds of homes and buildings. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 09:56:08 -0500 From: George Sambataro Subject: Re: Storms in Florida Kill at Least 27 I hate all the el nino hype also but a stronger than normal sub tropical jet does have a real impact on severe weather in Florida. George At 09:38 AM 2/23/98 -0500, you wrote: >Gotta blame everything on El Nino... > >--- >By Mike Schneider >Associated Press Writer >Monday, February 23, 1998; 9:10 a.m. EST > >ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) -- El Nino-driven tornadoes ripped through central >Florida today, killing at least 27 people and destroying hundreds of homes >and buildings. > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 07:14:36 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Quote of the day A UPI story on La Nina proclaims... "Not as much is known about the La Nina phenomenon because it has not been studied as extensively as El Nino and is harder to spot on weather radar." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 09:37:18 -0600 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: Home Weather Station HELP >From an old Science Associates instrument catalog: "The wind flow around a single cube-shaped structure will be affected upwind for a distance equal to the height of the building; downwind for a distance 5 to 10 times the height of the building; and above the structure at least one building height." Email me if you need the exact reference. I will be putting up at least a 10 meter tower which will include some older, analog instruments. Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 10:04:16 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Des Moines) MORNING METEOROLOGIST: (WOI) WOI-TV, the ABC affiliate in Des Moines, IA is looking for a meteorologist for our early and Midday newscasts. The ideal candidate should be knowledgeable in forecasting Iowa's weather. Experience with computer graphics systems, preferably Triton I-7 would be a plus. Requirements are BS/BA (preferred major Meteorology), or at least one year of experience as a TV weather forecaster. Rush tape and resume to: Business Manager, WOI-TV 5, 300 East Locust, Des Moines, IA 50309. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 08:16:20 -0800 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Re: Job market? Mark Yorsaner wrote: >I'm just curious....I'd really appreciate a reply from people in the >field....how bad is the job market in meteorology? I mean, when will this >hiring freeze in the NWS end, and where are the jobs in meteorology? And >will the market improve by say, spring of 2000(my expected graduation >date). Thanks for your input. Mark, the job market in meteorology is neither bad nor good. The real answer is that the employment in meteorology has always been relatively limited, but at the same time the supply of applicants has been relatively limited. What tends to happen are temporary imbalances between the obvious choices and those who want them. When I graduated from San Jose State University in 1976, I competed with Vietnam-era people, who had just been discharged from the military weather positions, for National Weather Service jobs. But that allowed me to get a slot a year later at the Air Force Officer Training School, because the draw-down had depleted the young weather officer ranks. In 1982 I obtained my second weather job through a contact who knew someone at a small weather company in Chico, California. My third, and current, job I obtained through a combination of contacts and dogged persistence. The process of obtaining meteorological employment really boils down to the same process of obtaining any job: figuring out what you want and who you want to do it with, preparing yourself to meet their needs, and cultivating contacts, contacts, and more contacts. I know through experience that the job search is tough. I also know that the payoff comes in more than just a paycheck. Grover Prowell, Certified Consulting Meteorologist Science Applications International Corporation Las Vegas, NV ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 19:51:18 -0600 From: "Boyd H. Webb, III" Subject: Florida Severe Weather Statements This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0215_01BD4094.68800600 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Any suggestions on where to find an archive of last night's severe = weather statements from Melbourne, FL? The Ohio State site only goes as early as 4:15AM at this point. Any help will be appreciated. Thanks, Boyd Webb Cordova, TN ------=_NextPart_000_0215_01BD4094.68800600 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Any suggestions on where to find an archive of last = night's=20 severe weather statements from Melbourne, FL?
 
The Ohio State site only goes as early as 4:15AM at = this=20 point.
 
Any help will be appreciated.
 
Thanks,
 
Boyd Webb
Cordova, TN
------=_NextPart_000_0215_01BD4094.68800600-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 19:58:46 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Florida Severe Weather Statements try this site see if it is what your looking for. http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/ matt/n9npp Boyd H. Webb, III wrote: > Any suggestions on where to find an archive of last night's severe > weather statements from Melbourne, FL? The Ohio State site only goes > as early as 4:15AM at this point. Any help will be > appreciated. Thanks, Boyd WebbCordova, TN -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 21:22:04 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: map with all that's happened in florida in all the different counties. you may need a county map to look at. here's one for florida. http://www.lib.utexas.edu/Libs/PCL/Map_collection/states/Florida.gif matt -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Feb 1998 to 23 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Feb 28 00:34:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4294 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626535-545>; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 14:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28286; Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:06:57 -0600 Message-Id: <199802250606.AAA28286@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Feb 1998 to 24 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c17bcb39cd240e39e993711c3211da75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 360 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Jobs (Rapid City SD) 2. sprites 3. FL SVR WX STATEMENTS (2) 4. Weather Instrumentation Comparisons (2) 5. Weather Curriculum 6. 50th Aniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for Sale 7. TV Met Job Available (Steubenville, OH) 8. FW: Radar imagery from Central Florida tornado outbreak +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 23 Feb 1998 23:31:21 -0700 From: Sandusky Subject: TV Met Jobs (Rapid City SD) METEOROLOGIST (KNBN-TV, Rapid City SD) Morning position at a new NBC affiliate that's only been on the air 6 months! We have Weather Central's Genesis system and graphics that are sharp enough for a top 20 market. Meteorology degree required; strong forecasting ethics a must. Send tape, resume, cover letter including a description of your philosophy of weather forecasting/broadcasting to: Fred Sandusky, Chief Meteorologist, 2424 S. Plaza Dr., Rapid City SD 57702. METEOROLOGIST/REPORTER (KNBN-TV, Rapid City SD) Weekend position, also includes reporting during the week. Meteorology degree desired, but will consider candidates with military training or significant coursework in meteorology. Send tape, resume, cover letter including a description of your philosophy of weather forecasting/broadcasting to: Fred Sandusky, Chief Meteorologist, 2424 S. Plaza Dr., Rapid City SD 57702. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 06:47:05 +0000 From: David P Richards Subject: sprites Hello. New user here. I am from Cornwall, England. Can anybody give me any info. on the so-called sprites. I an doing some research into this matter. Hard to get any papers etc. in Cornwall about the subject. I have a theory on them but I need some help to prove it. I am only an amatur. Thanks. You can Contact me on mymail@dave-philrich.demon.co.uk -- David P Richards ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 00:38:01 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: Re: FL SVR WX STATEMENTS On MON FEB 23 98 Boyd Webb posted: >Any suggestions on where to find an archive of last night's severe = >weather statements from Melbourne, FL? >The Ohio State site only goes as early as 4:15AM at this point. >Any help will be appreciated. >Thanks, >Boyd Webb >Cordova, TN Boyd and the list, I have placed on the web the statements and warnings issued from Melbourne between 15Z on the 22nd to 18Z on the 23rd. This also includes their 11Z LSR. Go to: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/wx/mlb.log I hope that helps, --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 07:02:00 PST From: Susan Lang Subject: Weather Instrumentation Comparisons For those who have replied directly to requests for information comparing the Davis and Peet Bros. weather instrumentation: Could you possibly forward your comments to my email address as well or post them here? I am also interested in opinions regarding these two manufacturers' products. Thank you, Sue Lang lang@rad.hfh.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Feb 1998 01:15:58 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Weather Curriculum In article , coopfam@pcpartner.net says... > >Does anyone have any information or weather curriculum to be used in a >gifted and talented class. >Tom Cooper Tom, try my K-12 Resources page at http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/edu.html I'm sure you will find what you are looking for. -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 09:33:24 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 50th Aniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for Sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************** New Clothing Gallery! ************************** ****************** Hats are now in! ************************** ****************************************************************** Announcing merchandise in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Maj Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts and hats designed with the 50th Anniversary logo. Proceeds from these sales help COCAMS sponsor this important event. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/index.html Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Thanks for checking it out! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may be under the Great Red spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 ***************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 10:03:56 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Steubenville, OH) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST/REPORTER (WTOV) You will work in a state-of-the-art weather center, complete with: Weather Central Live Line Genesis, 2 Towercams, Weather Stations throughout the viewing area and more equipment is coming in the next few weeks! You must have a Meteorology degree or be close to getting it! Rush your tape (VHS/3/4) to: Gary Brown, News Director, WTOV 9, Box 9999 Steubenville, OH 43952. EOE No phone calls *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 10:44:04 -0600 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: FL SVR WX STATEMENTS I have tried to gather statements from Tampa, Melbourne, and Jacksonville. Not sure if I got them all, but they can be found at... http://www.cicms.atmo.ttu.edu/central_florida This info was put together to help in planning the Texas Tech damage survey that left yesterday, so it is not meant to be comprehensive, user friendly, etc... but it might be of some use. -Tim Albert Pietrycha wrote: > > On MON FEB 23 98 Boyd Webb posted: > > >Any suggestions on where to find an archive of last night's severe = > >weather statements from Melbourne, FL? > > >The Ohio State site only goes as early as 4:15AM at this point. > > >Any help will be appreciated. > > >Thanks, > > >Boyd Webb > >Cordova, TN > > Boyd and the list, > > I have placed on the web the statements and warnings issued from Melbourne > between 15Z on the 22nd to 18Z on the 23rd. This also includes their 11Z LSR. > Go to: > http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/wx/mlb.log > > I hope that helps, > > --Al Pietrycha > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > Albert Pietrycha President, > NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society > P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College > Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver > (303) 497-8382 > pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu > http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html > My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 13:49:41 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Weather Instrumentation Comparisons peet bros. i've had the peet bros. ultimeter 2000 for almost a year now. when i first set it all up and found i didn't like how one of their rainguages acted. alls it took was an email to them and it was taken care of. i sent the first one back and received the second one. the owner even called me at my home at his expense to find out what had me dissatisfied. now that's service. as for accuracy, well if you don't have the components properly situated of course they'll be off. i e-mailed my local NWS/WCM for specs like how high, how far away, over grass, over cement, in a white housing, etc, etc, and they were more than happy to reply back. the more they know you have a station that as accurate as possible the more they may call upon you for data. i found the davis to be to high priced for the same components. and same promised accuracy (or that 1/2 degree better wasn't worth 300 bucks. for my back yard.) matt/n9npp Susan Lang wrote: > For those who have replied directly to requests for information comparing > the Davis and Peet Bros. weather instrumentation: Could you possibly > forward your comments to my email address as well or post them here? I > am also interested in opinions regarding these two manufacturers' > products. Thank you, > > Sue Lang > lang@rad.hfh.edu > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 17:54:45 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FW: Radar imagery from Central Florida tornado outbreak We have created a web page that contains some radar imagery from the central Florida tornado outbreak that occurred this past monday. To access the images go to the following URL: http://www.osf.noaa.gov/otb/features/rttp/index.htm and then click on the first item under Whats New. All of the imagery is from the Melbourne (KMLB) WSR-88D and includes several static reflectivity and storm relative velocity images. In addition there are a couple of big (> 2.5 Mb) looping images. Enjoy! Brent ************************************************* *Brent A. Gordon, Research Meteorologist * *CIMMS-NWS/OSF/OTB-Radar Tech. Trans. Project * *3200 Marshall Ave., Suite 202 Norman, OK 73072* *Phone: 405 366 6560 x4264 * ************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Feb 1998 to 24 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3785 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-4428>; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:10:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14416; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:05:21 -0600 Message-Id: <199802260605.AAA14416@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 00:00:39 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Feb 1998 to 25 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea764daa88e87e3620c17d577b9bc3cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 479 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Saving Lives (7) 2. Sprites (3) 3. Gravity Waves 4. TV Met jobs Available (Rapid City, SD) 5. sprites 6. Guess who is back? 7. Severe Weather Conference 8. Eclipse +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 01:45:16 -0500 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Saving Lives Here is a quote from the CNN FL tornado story off the WWW and TV: "The Weather Service issued warnings 20 minutes to 30 minutes before the tornadoes hit, but it did little good. "When people are sleeping there's no way of getting the message out," said Terry Faber, University of Miami meteorology researcher." how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! so many folks have no idea :-( RVT ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 02:45:23 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Wed, 25 Feb 1998, Richard Thacker wrote: > Here is a quote from the CNN FL tornado story off the WWW and TV: > > "The Weather Service issued warnings 20 minutes to 30 minutes > before the tornadoes hit, but it did little good. "When people are > sleeping there's no way of getting the message out," said Terry > Faber, University of Miami meteorology researcher." > > how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! > > so many folks have no idea :-( ...Until something like this happens and then the shelves are hard-pressed to remain stocked, as is happening now. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 05:01:05 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Sprites David, Go to the following URL and scroll down the page. You will find inks to sites about Sprites. http://www.pulse.net/storm/litelink.htm Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 05:15:07 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Gravity Waves Who coined the term "gravity wave" in relation to atmospheric pressure waves? Why was this term chosen? Are the any sites or studies available on the web that specifically address details of gravity waves such as: wave lengths amplitudes propagation speeds typical rise and fall times propagation modes how they are initiated initiation of convection Thanks, Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 06:15:37 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Saving Lives At 01:45 AM 2/25/98 -0500, Richard Thacker wrote: >Here is a quote from the CNN FL tornado story off the WWW and TV: > >"The Weather Service issued warnings 20 minutes to 30 minutes > before the tornadoes hit, but it did little good. "When people are > sleeping there's no way of getting the message out," said Terry > Faber, University of Miami meteorology researcher." > >how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! > >so many folks have no idea :-( More people than you think know about it. Most people will not turn it on or will even turn it off because of the weekly tests. People do the same to their smoke detectors if they burn toast or something sets it off. Also, most people will get annoyed by the constant "false alarms" if it goes off and their house doesn't get hit. Remember the situation in Abilene, TX and the sirens? Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 08:29:24 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met jobs Available (Rapid City, SD) METEOROLOGIST (KNBN) Morning position at a new NBC affiliate that's only been on the air 6 months! We have Weather Central's Genesis system and graphics that are sharp enough for a top 20 market. Meteorology degree required; strong forecasting ethics a must. Send tape, resume, cover letter including a description of your philosophy of weather forecasting/broadcasting to: Fred Sandusky, Chief Meteorologist, 2424 S. Plaza Dr., Rapid City SD 57702. METEOROLOGIST/REPORTER (KNBN) Weekend position, also includes reporting during the week. Meteorology degree desired, but will consider candidates with military training or *significant* coursework in meteorology. Send tape, resume, cover letter including a description of your philosophy of weather forecasting/broadcasting to: Fred Sandusky, Chief Meteorologist, 2424 S. Plaza Dr., Rapid City SD 57702. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 10:43:12 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Saving Lives Richard Thacker wrote... >Here is a quote from the CNN FL tornado story off the WWW and TV: > >>"The Weather Service issued warnings 20 minutes to 30 minutes >> before the tornadoes hit, but it did little good. "When people are >> sleeping there's no way of getting the message out," said Terry >> Faber, University of Miami meteorology researcher." > >how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! > >so many folks have no idea :-( That's going to be the focus of the TV package I'm doing for Illinois' tornado preparedness week next week. And with WRSAME-equipped radios available at Radio Shack now, there's really no excuse for people not to own a weather radio these days (perhaps other than cost). ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 09:54:06 +0000 From: "Thomas E. Nelson" Subject: sprites David, check out www.fma-research.com. there is an explaination of sprites, and an extensive bibliography. I will be adding more material to the site later this week. tom nelson Associate Scientist, FMA, Inc. tnelson@frii.com Tom Nelson N0GQA Associate Scientist 970-568-7664 W FMA Research, Inc. 970-482-8627 F Ft. Collins, CO 970-204-0562 H tnelson@frii.com www.fma-research.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 12:56:15 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Sprites In reply to: > Date: Tue, 24 Feb 1998 06:47:05 +0000 > From: David P Richards > Subject: sprites > > Hello. New user here. I am from Cornwall, England. > Can anybody give me any info. on the so-called sprites. I an doing some > research into this matter. Hard to get any papers etc. in Cornwall about > the subject. I have a theory on them but I need some help to prove it. I > am only an amatur. Thanks. > You can Contact me on mymail@dave-philrich.demon.co.uk > > -- > David P Richards > For information on red sprites and blue jets, check the web site at http://elf.gi.alaska.edu/sprites.html Hope that helps, Steve _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 14:18:40 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Guess who is back? FPUS3 KBHM 250902 SFDBHM STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL 300 AM CST WED FEB 25 1998 WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOWING STRONG UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF COLORADO AND WYOMING THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF THE THAT IS A BAROCLINIC LEAF LIKE FEATURE PRODUCING HIGH CLOUDS AND MAKING ITS WAY OVER THE LISTENING AREA. AT THE SURFACE, RETURN FLOW IS WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS AND LOUISIANA WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 60S. ALL THIS, IS A SIGN OF THANGS TO COME TO A FORECAST AREA NEAREST YOU. WRITING AND DIRECTING THIS LATEST SAGA ARE THE ETA/AVN BROTHERS. THESE TWO ARE BETTER KNOW FOR THEIR ACTION THRILLER, FUNNEL, AND THE DARK COMEDY, KEY LARGO. BOTH STATING THAT THIS NEXT PICTURE MAY BRING IN SOME PRECIPITATION DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY, BUT THE MAIN EMPHASIS OF THEIR FILM SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. THEY SUGGEST THAT BEST REFRESHMENTS CAN BE FOUND BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE VIEWING AREA. THIS IS WHERE BEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITIES SHOULD BE SERVED. MAKING A GUEST APPEARANCE WILL BE THE LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL JET MAX OF 50 TO 70 KNOTS ACROSS THE AREA BY 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAIN QUESTION IS WHETHER THIS MOVIE WILL BE A HIT ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA. UNCERTAINTY ON FAR NORTH DEEP MOISTURE AND BEST INSTABILITIES WILL SPREAD. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE ADVERTISED WITH THIS FILM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA, WESTERN PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA, AND FOR THE FOLKS IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA ON THURSDAY. WILL LET CO-PRODUCERS DURING THE DAY VIEW THE NEXT CUT OF THE MODEL PROJECTIONS, AND SEE IF THIS FILM NEEDS TO BE EDITED TO INCLUDE SEVERE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA. THIS FILM LOOKS AS THOUGH IT COULD MAKE A TITANIC ENTRY, BUT WITH THIS PRODUCER'S PAST HISTORY, IT COULD BE ANOTHER ISHTAR. ONLY THE BOX OFFICE NUMBERS WILL TELL. KEY GRIP -> ISIXTYFIVE ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 16:25:49 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Wed, 25 Feb 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > radios available at Radio Shack now, there's really no excuse for people > not to own a weather radio these days (perhaps other than cost). Hmm. Good thought. Carrying it further...you know?...I think there should be federal legislation making wx-radio receive capability mandatory in new vehicles, with the alert so that what you're listening to is interrupted if an alert comes through. If its nothing, a test, nowhere near you, nor will it be, hit the CONT button. Or something like that. As well, it should be mandatorily a part of all new stereo systems sold, of all new TVs sold. Why not? If you give people the CHOICE to have it or not, they'll choose not. But if its mandatory and the buttons are there, they'll want to fiddle with it and play with it...new gadgets on the new toy. They'll set it to work. With all the pennies they've been shaving removing the metal shielding from all these radios and TVs over the years, and replacing them with plastic, you would think they'd be able to afford replacing that with this tiny chip of silicon, or with a tiny bit of additional programming in an already existing chip. Is this a silly idea? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 16:16:16 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Severe Weather Conference For those attending the Severe Weather Conference in March hosted by the College of DuPage: Just wanted to inform you that we have over 220 people registered from 15 different states and provinces! I think it is going to be great as I have discussed the presenter's programs with each person. Dr. Doswell has informed me that he wants everyone attending to bring colored pencils! So please, bring colored pencils. You don't want a diatribe from Doswell about coming to these things unprepared!:-) I am looking to meet with you next weekend. One more note: a few of you paid for the conference AND the banquet which was not needed. The cost of the conference included the baquet. If you double paid, please contact me at the address below. Still have questions? e-mail svr-conf@weather.cod.edu ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 20:37:27 +0000 From: David P Richards Subject: Sprites Thanks to everyone who sent me details etc. about sprites. I have enough to read through for days!!! If anyone out there who has any personal experiances with thunder storms in general, I would love to here from you. Thanks again to you all. -- David P Richards ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 18:54:15 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives > sleeping there's no way of getting the message out," said Terry > Faber, University of Miami meteorology researcher." > > how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! > > so many folks have no idea :-( Including Radio Shack employees. Not 30 minutes ago, the guy at the neighborhood store said not only don't they have any, but that the programmable ones don't exist. I called another store, which is out of stock, but a quick check of the database found stores that have them... including my neighborhood store. Another grumble.. as of this a.m., CNN was still reporting "a path of destruction from Tampa..." Uh, no. The touchdown closest to Tampa was in the next county and, according to the lsr, resulted in some downed power lines. The next closest touchdown was in Osceola County, some 70 miles away. Oh, 'cuse me, a programmable weather radio has arrived... ;) Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 21:17:36 -0500 From: Stuart A Shepard Subject: Eclipse Since I figure you haven't been able to make it to the Caribbean: : ) Webcast of the eclipse: sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 23:44:13 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Saving Lives > Todd L. Sherman" sed: > >> radios available at Radio Shack now, there's really no excuse for people > > not to own a weather radio these days (perhaps other than cost). > > Hmm. Good thought. Carrying it further...you know?...I think there > should be federal legislation making wx-radio receive capability mandatory > in new vehicles, with the alert so that what you're listening to is > interrupted if an alert comes through. If its nothing, a test, nowhere > near you, nor will it be, hit the CONT button. Or something like that. I recall there was some proposal after the Andover, Kansas, tornado to possibly require wx-radios in mobile homes (possibly only in KS, don't remember). I can imagine the "manufactured homes" assoc got their lobbiests to kill that as being unfair to them, but I don't know what became of that. Probably enough time passed to make everyone forget about it.....until... Anyone know? Couple of stray debris: 1) There has been a recent major overhaul of the EAS system, once know as the EBS (Emergency Broadcast System). But, I believe, there are no _requirements_ for broadcasters to interrupt for weather. 2) Should there ever be such an EAS break-in requirement, and/or manatory wx-radio break-in devices (not likely, me thinks), the NWS might get a lot more heat for false alarms than it does now. That may not be a Good Thing. [BTW, to cut perceived false alarms, how 'bout a gismo for the GPS mappers that are being advanced for cars that woudld determine FIPS code for SAME wx-radio automagically while you're driving?] -Keith --------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu my own opinions ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Feb 1998 to 25 Feb 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626556-4422>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 03:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id NAA41142; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 13:01:32 -0600 Message-Id: <199802261901.NAA41142@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 12:55:04 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Feb 1998 to 26 Feb 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dac0449dcc0d0cb059e5c73b7ef4f703 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 863 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Saving Lives (5) 2. gravity waves, 24 Feb 1998 to 25 Feb 1998 3. Yesterday - 2/25/98 4. Warning Methods (3) 5. Young Meteorologists Club 6. great Clinton quote 7. Tornadoes and the Media +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 25 Feb 1998 22:40:20 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Saving Lives Todd L. Sherman wrote: > With all the pennies they've been shaving removing the metal shielding > from all these radios and TVs over the years, and replacing them with > plastic, you would think they'd be able to afford replacing that with this > tiny chip of silicon, or with a tiny bit of additional programming in an > already existing chip. Actually, Todd, maybe you ought to forward your idea to a congress person......... Didn't "closed caption" become mandatory in televisions built after a certain date.... why not a weather alert system for newly built TV's? > Is this a silly idea? Not at all! Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 12:31:17 +0100 From: Joan =?iso-8859-1?Q?Ar=FAs?= Subject: Re: gravity waves, 24 Feb 1998 to 25 Feb 1998 Hello, I know two specials cases of gravity waves: - () - http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/971228.html Thanks Joan Arús, Meteorologist Barcelona mailto:jarus@idgrup.ibernet.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 06:49:54 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Yesterday - 2/25/98 Wednesday - 2/25/98 Interesting day. I did not expect the mega cap (Tc = 96F) , but suspected something when the LLJ became almost totally disconnected with the surface layer before sunrise. Sky was almost clear when I left for work around 7 am with only a few low cumulus. By the time I arrived at work 30 minutes later, a solid layer of stratus had formed. The "broad low reflectivity line" evident on the FWD radar that I had noted around 4:30 am, must have represented a trough, maybe an 850 mb trough perhaps. Anyway, between 9 and 10 am, showers developed in this line and moved east as the influence of the main short wave exited the area. Also noted that the upper low was pulling out NNE (bad sign) from SE Wyoming. Thought the dry slot evident in the water vapor imagery that was coming across the Rio Grand might include some forcing to break the cap when it intersected the dry line. Nothing much happend until the next short wave and jet max approached mid-afternoon. Didn't get to see the special 18z sounding. Initial storms formed NE of Vernon, TX in Oklahoma. Area for intiation slowly moved eastward down the Red River Valley over several hours during the afternoon, with the best convection staying just north of the river in OK until around 22z, then the line began developing southward, with a new spearate area of convection east of San Angelo. Convection eventually extended SW along dry line into Palo Pinto county, and moved ever so slowly east toward DFW. Individual storms moved NE with the upper flow. Most storms had weak mesos and produced hail up to golf balls. Most storms were electrically active. After dark, the broken line of storms eventually filled in and moved across DFW, producing alot of reports of hail up to 1 inch in diameter, even covering the ground in several areas. Rainfall totals exceeded 2 inches in many areas. Some reports of flash flooding were received in Dallas County and one unconfirmed death was reported in NW Dallas. (The divers will be out this morning in Dallas to recover a submerged auto and possible victim.) The video on The Weather Channel yesterday evening late, and this morning, was shot in NW Dallas County, near Lewisville, as the convection that had initiated near Brownwood was merging with the convection that had developed along the Red River. The two areas merged into the solid line after sunset. Lightning activity increased considerably after the merger. Interesting day. Tough to forecast. Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 12:58:42 +0000 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Warning Methods Several good ideas have been posted here on how to get the warnings to the public. Here are a few more ideas that have, I think, some merit: 1. Currently, public law requires smoke detectors and fire alarm systems in rental units, hotels, hospitals, government owned buildings, schools, etc. Why not mandate the use of WX alert radios in some fashion at these locales as well. For instance, the R/S WR-SAME radio comes equipped with a relay switch to sound an external alarm circuit...this could be used to sound a bell, whistle, or siren from the office building in a mobile home park or campground, for instance, at little cost compared to the alternative. Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" Then there is another problem regarding geography...our local EAS station, WSJT 94.1 FM, does have auto encoding and does interrupt programming for WX alerts....but only for the two counties in the immediate Tampa Bay area.....the tornadoes occurred in an area where that radio station can be received.....but they don't alert for that area. Finally, the biggtest problem is apathy...not only apathy from residents, but also from government officials. Strong thunderstorms are so common in Florida that most people simply take them for granted. Our local Emergency Management office takes no action when Hazardous Weather Outlooks are issued forecasting gloom and doom.....no matter how strong the wording from the weather service. They make no effort to coordinate with our Skywarn program...and they usually downplay such things as Coastal Flood Warnings. The local Sheriff's Office, for whom I work, never participates in any of the simulations or drills except on paper...something needs to be done to create a willingness to train and drill and guide the public in these matters. -- *********************************************************************** Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 09:23:56 -0500 From: Bob Broedel Subject: Young Meteorologists Club Title : Weather club generates tidal wave of interest Author: DEBORAH O'NEIL Date : 02/24/98 Source: St. Petersburg Times Fourth-graders Ryan Moore and Cory Chester are hard at work, and frankly, don't have time to answer questions about why they stay after school to study weather. They are combing through pages of the St. Petersburg Times looking for items to use in a weather project for the Young Meteorologists Club, a new extra-curricular program at Forest Lakes Elementary in Oldsmar that organizers say is the only one of its kind in the country. "I wanted to learn about weather so I could understand what they're talking about on the news with hurricanes and hot fronts," Ryan says without looking up. His friend gives him a funny look. "Hot fronts? It's warm fronts," Cory quips. On a recent weekday, more than 50 third-, fourth- and fifth-graders were taking part in this after-school activity. The club boasts 75 members who say they love finding out about weather through the club's guest speakers, field trips and projects. "It sounded like fun, and it's kind of neat to find out what the weather is going to be like," said fifth-grader Kalyn Sikorski. "We have so much rain and hurricanes here. It's neat to find out about them. I never knew what a hurricane or tornado was until I joined this club." The teachers who created the program are fascinated by weather, too. They only hoped their students would enjoy it as much as they do. But the enthusiastic response to the program has caught them by surprise. "I worried if it would be exciting enough and interesting enough to make them want to keep coming, but they do," fourth-grade science teacher Carla Biedermann said. "It's like a dream come true for us." Biedermann and third-grade teacher Janet Acerra developed the Young Meteorologists Club while participating in a National Science Foundation teacher-enhancement class called Datastreme. During the 13-week course, teachers do a comprehensive study of the principles of meteorology. At the end of the course, teachers had to come up with a project, and the Young Meteorologists Club was their project. "The kids have such an interest, it's terrific," principal Greg Walker said. "I admire the teachers. They're not getting paid for this. They're doing this on their own time." The same day the students worked on the newspaper weather project, the club hosted guest speaker Joseph Feraca, chief of the Pinellas County Schools campus police. Feraca, a Florida-certified science teacher, talked to the students about the school system's weather station in the campus police department in Largo. He challenged their knowledge about the weather: "Where is El Nino?" "In the Pacific," came the answer from the back of the room. "I'm flabbergasted," Feraca said after his presentation. "You've got a couple of youngsters smarter than adults I run into about weather and the importance of weather." Each meeting features a guest speaker and a project. The students keep a portfolio full of weather information and after each meeting write down what they learned. The club is seeking thousands of dollars of grant money from private and public agencies to help pay for some of the projects. The goal, Biedermann said, is to build a real weather station at Forest Lakes Elementary. The students recently built a barometer out of glass jars, a balloon and toothpicks. A barometer is an instrument that measures air pressure. "The day we did that it was stormy and awful," said Edie Peters, a physical education teacher who went through the Datastreme course and helps with the club. "The kids were very impressed when (the barometers) moved. I was impressed when it moved and worked." Another project involves building houses out of Popsicle sticks, cardboard and marshmallows. "Then we're going to turn the big fan on them and see if they make it through," Biedermann said. Channel 10 meteorologist Dick Fletcher was Biedermann's mentor in Datastreme and has talked to the Young Meteorologists Club. He praised the program. "I think it's great to get young people interested in potential careers in meteorology, and if nothing else get them interested in weather," Fletcher said. "It's a great opportunity to just keep learning." In talking about what they've learned, students rattle off everything from weather safety to the figures used to measure tornado intensity. Isela Scott said she was surprised her fourth-grade daughter Rachel took such an interest in the club. She said her daughter is always excited about what she's learned after the meetings. "It's brought an excitement into our home," Scott said. "We pay closer attention to the news so we can catch the weather. It's been fun for Rachel. She has learned a lot. It's nice these teachers care enough to carry things beyond the normal school day. I think it's great." Bob Broedel, Engineer TEL 850-644-6840 Meteorology Dept, 404 Love Bldg. E-M bro@huey.met.fsu.edu FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY, Tallahassee FL 32306-4520 USA -------------------------------------------------------------------- Free the internet2 lists from the Good Old Boys! -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 09:30:47 -0500 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Saving Lives >how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! > >so many folks have no idea :-( > >RVT one of the guys here was complaining that the government didn't let the weather service use the secret telephone alerting system where they could have called the houses that were in the path of the storm and got everyone out of bed.... although the idea was wrapped up in the guy's wacko conspiracy theory ideas and had problems (such as expecting a path of a tornado to be predictable), the only problem i can see with having a special ring for emergency alerts is that the telephone system really isn't set up for one-to-many broadcasts whereas the existing radio systems already are. i know for a time that some phone companies did such a thing for volunteer firefighters and such where a call to the fire dept would in turn call everyone and deliver a message.. myself, i think everyone needs the new weather radio.. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:13:51 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: great Clinton quote >From http://www.cnn.com/WEATHER/9802/25/florida.clinton.visit/ "Clinton said with El Niño bringing tornadoes to areas previously untouched, "what I'm trying to figure out is whether we can get some sort of satellite system for bells and whistles to make sure people get enough advanced warning." Hmmm...GOES-8...GOES-9...GOES-10 -- we could probably use those for a satellite system. Now, for those bells and whistles... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 09:47:37 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Tornadoes and the Media The following message appeared in today's SHOPTALK, an Internet-based TV news magazine. I am taking the liberty of re-posting it here because I believe many WX-TALK readers may enjoy hearing a TV insider's opinion on disaster coverage and the affect on victims. The article was written by reporter Erin Fletcher of KVUE TV (ABC), Austin, TX. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = I hope this letter will offer some perspective to those covering the widespread, headline-grabbing death and destruction in Florida. May will be the one year anniversary of when news agencies in Texas hosted similar Big Spot News. An F-5 tornado tore apart Jarrell, a tiny town in the Austin viewing area. A subdivision was flattened. 27 people were killed. Everybody was a victim. There were probably as many satellite and live trucks in Jarrell as there were deaths. There were three times the number of reporters. The media attention was so, so hard for those survivors to take. They weren't allowed back in to their subdivision for 72 hours. For three days, our live trucks were parked closer than they could get in their own cars. We rolled tape on them as they cried, as they posted notes looking for the missing, as they got tetanus shots because they'd been pounded by debris. We asked them what they heard, what they saw, what it's like to ride in a bathtub in the center of a funnel cloud. And they just kept asking us to leave. The hostility grew, and it got harder and harder to even approach them. These people's souls are reeling- there's no building a bond in a situation like that. We helped by being there, people sent entire school bus loads full of clothes, dishes, and hundreds of thousands of dollars to help Jarrell rebuild. Most of the victims were not insured. The media did a service to those victims and at some level they recognize that. The local crews have been back to Jarrell. There was Jarrell 2-A high school team winning a big game and dedicating it to their team mates who died. Jarrel Thanksgiving, Jarrell Christmas. Today, one of our anchors went to Jarrell to do a tie in with the Florida tornado. She had doors shut in her face, she had survivors break down on her and cry. They say they haven't been left alone. Last week, an Asian tv crew was shooting people's homes and yards, trying to stop them on the streets. There was a UK crew there today. The victims thanked our anchor for giving them the chance to say no to interviews today. The out of towners are just ambushing them. The lack of respect by National and International media for these victims hurts us at the local level. When you run in, showcase their worst nightmare, and then rush out, they feel used. These are our viewers, and they'll be an ongoing story for us for years to come. We at the local level are no less guilty of intruding at the worst time. But the feelings of the people of Jarrell nine months later give us perspective. Let's remember as we cover Florida, and the El Nino storms on the West Coast- this may be tear jerking, award winning stuff. But to the people in that video, it's much more. Erin Fletcher, Reporter Fletcher@KVUE.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 11:27:14 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives While I agree that everyone needs to be alerted -- and a weather radio at work/home is an excellent way to achieve that (and I think Todd has a great idea) -- that still leaves What To Do once alerted. In central Florida, many of the people in the devastated areas were in rvs and mobile homes. It was the wee hours of Monday morning. Where were they to go to seek shelter? I've heard that in some areas of Texas, mobile home parks are required to have tornado shelters. Anyone know if this is true? Also, some of the devastated structures were described as "well-built". Obviously concrete block construction, which doesn't necessarily equate with well-built as Andrew so clearly displayed, destroying newer upscale homes while leaving those built in the 1950's and 60's intact. News coverage has focused on the rv and mobile home parks, is anyone familiar with the subdivision(s) that were heavily damaged? Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 12:28:13 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Warning Methods Kevin Heyboer wrote: > > Several good ideas have been posted here on how to get the warnings to > the public. Here are a few more ideas that have, I think, some merit: > > 1. Currently, public law requires smoke detectors and fire alarm > systems in rental units, hotels, hospitals, government owned buildings, > schools, etc. Why not mandate the use of WX alert radios in some > fashion at these locales as well. For instance, the R/S WR-SAME radio > comes equipped with a relay switch to sound an external alarm > circuit...this could be used to sound a bell, whistle, or siren from the > office building in a mobile home park or campground, for instance, at > little cost compared to the alternative. > The State of Florida has just purchased a RS SAME capable receiver for every public school in the state. They are being distributed now. As for the others, amen. We're about to buy a bunch more for libraries, parks, public safety agencies, and other outlying government buildings. > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" They will be, and soon. FCC Part 11 requires cable operators with more than 10,000 subscribers to be on line by the end of 1998. Sadly, those with less than 10,000 will have until 2002. Satellite broadcasters and other services will have to be brought online once receivers can do the decoding in the home. So far the FCC EAS office only know of one consumer AM/FM radio which will decode EAS alerts and set off a noise, made by ASI, 1 800-360-5440. In southwest Florida we are also incorporating amateur repeaters (ours as the first), and are looking at including marine radio, GMRS, and public safety systems as well for automatic alerts. We'd love to see cell phones, pagers, and any other device with a digital IO as part of the system. "EAS: its NOT just for broadcasters anymore!" Gotta get the consumer electronics market into the program! > Then there is another problem regarding geography...our local EAS > station, WSJT 94.1 FM, does have auto encoding and does interrupt > programming for WX alerts....but only for the two counties in the > immediate Tampa Bay area.....the tornadoes occurred in an area where > that radio station can be received.....but they don't alert for that > area. The Tampa Bay operational area is one of the largest (if not the largest) in Florida. They have a system in place which will allow WSJT (the LP1 station for the area) relay ALL EAS alerts for the entire area via subcarrier to all other stations. The decoders have been purchased and installed, but they are working out final technical problems. It's a very complicated network. Problem is that the area is so large there is really no station that can reliably cover it all. WSJT understandably does not want to interrupt programming in the Tampa Bay area for an EAS alert outside, or on the fringe of the coverage area, when there are stations local to the alerted area that saturate it. Hence the subcarrier relay which all area stations will receive, and relay if their area is affected. > Finally, the biggtest problem is apathy...not only apathy from > residents, but also from government officials. Strong thunderstorms are > so common in Florida that most people simply take them for granted. Our > local Emergency Management office takes no action when Hazardous Weather > Outlooks are issued forecasting gloom and doom.....no matter how strong > the wording from the weather service. They make no effort to coordinate > with our Skywarn program...and they usually downplay such things as > Coastal Flood Warnings. The local Sheriff's Office, for whom I work, > never participates in any of the simulations or drills except on > paper...something needs to be done to create a willingness to train and > drill and guide the public in these matters. And the broadcasters. They seem to be on board in the Tampa Bay area, but down here, and in several other areas of the state, don't want to "interfere" with programming, or (God forbid) and COMMERCIAL BREAK, just to tell people there may be a tornado somewhere close by. We've also been told that, at times, NWS issues "too many" warnings, and viewers get "irritated and call us the next day to complain" about the warnings. I wonder how many of the 17 tornado warnings issued by Ruskin and Melbourne got on the air Sunday night, and how many complaints stations received? As for government apathy, can't speak for your area, though I suspect there's more going on behind the scenes. Here, we use the HWO to ramp up internally, and if it looks as though weather is within an hour or two, we start issuing local statements. It's a fine line...if you tell them they're about to be clobbered enough, and they aren't, they won't listen in the future. The average citizen doesn't care about the weather across the street two hours in advance...he's only worried about himself. That's why the TV stations get complaints and refuse to run EAS warnings, especially for rural counties "where our numbers just aren't there"; the people in the city don't want Seinfeld interrupted because the farming community 30 miles away is about to be levelled. Down from the box. Please forgive the length...but I'm rather stressed about the whole EAS situation! -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management Co-Chair, Florida Operational Area 9 LECC (EAS) E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 12:41:02 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > I've heard that in some areas of Texas, mobile home parks are required to > have tornado shelters. Anyone know if this is true? I've heard likewise. Someone from Florida did explain that basements and tornado shelters are rare beasts in Florida partly due to the water table there and the fact most tornados there are "little" ones that cause F0-F1 damage. (Jarrell, TX had a similar problem in that they couldn't build basements or tornado shelters easily; in their case, the town is essentially sitting on bedrock which would have to be jackhammered through to dig a tornado shelter.) At least for normal-sized Florida tornados, I'd figure some sort of community shelter could work. In Kentucky (at least around the major cities here), there are a few parks with tornado shelters on-site, and many of the rest have arrangements (along with the DES and school systems) to go to schools and/or businesses a short (1-2 blocks) distance away in the event of weather severe enough to force mobile home evacuations. (Just like your hurricane shelters in schools, but smaller scale. :) > Also, some of the devastated structures were described as "well-built". > Obviously concrete block construction, which doesn't necessarily equate > with well-built as Andrew so clearly displayed, destroying newer upscale > homes while leaving those built in the 1950's and 60's intact. News > coverage has focused on the rv and mobile home parks, is anyone familiar > with the subdivision(s) that were heavily damaged? Oddly, I noticed this too with the Brooks/Mt. Washington tornado as well. (I live quite close to the area--about 2 miles or so from Brooks and Hillview, where the tornado made touchdown initially). A lot of the subdivisions there, which were fairly new homes (built within the last 5 or so years), got tore up (as did a nearby Arby's at the I-65 Brooks exit) but farmhouses less than a quarter mile away (which were brick and stone) came out with only roof damage. I have joked that when I buy a home I should like it to be one of the older surviving farmhouses in the Louisville area, because many of those homes are over 50 years old and if they've survived THIS long they should survive another 50, barring an F5 tornado or poor maintenance. :) And in the event you should be unlucky enough to meet up with the tornado that causes F5 damage, most old houses have storm cellars or basements one can get in. :) It *was* noted that a lot of homes with bad damage didn't have hurricane straps; the building code has been amended here so that storm-straps are required on the roofs of new buildings and on repairs of old buildings. (Good thing, too--while hurricanes in Kentucky are fairly unusual and only rarely at hurricane strength when they hit, we DO get a number of "little" tornados as well as downbursts and strong winds in severe weather.) > Marianne -pb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 13:45:49 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Saving Lives Keith Brewster wrote: > > > Couple of stray debris: > > 1) There has been a recent major overhaul of the EAS system, once > know as the EBS (Emergency Broadcast System). But, I believe, > there are no _requirements_ for broadcasters to interrupt for > weather. > That is correct. Broadcasters, and after 12/98 cable operators with more than 10,000 subscribers are required to carry ONLY national EAS messages, required monthly tests and a weekly test orginated by the station. ALL other participation is strictly voluntary! For EAS to work as we hope it will, the users (listeners and viewers) MUST make tell the stations they WANT to see/hear the EAS messages. And a second generation EAS must be designed using a national EAS datastream which carries ALL EAS messages through every station in the vertical interval for TV, and using subaudible tones or subcarriers for radio, with decoding and alerting happening in the consumer's receiver. That data stream can also be transmitted via the internet, satellite TV and the soon to be widespread satellite radio...etc. > 2) Should there ever be such an EAS break-in requirement, and/or > manatory wx-radio break-in devices (not likely, me thinks), > the NWS might get a lot more heat for false alarms than it > does now. That may not be a Good Thing. [BTW, to cut perceived > false alarms, how 'bout a gismo for the GPS mappers that are being > advanced for cars that woudld determine FIPS code for SAME > wx-radio automagically while you're driving?] That may not be so far fetched. I understand the second generation Radio Shack SAME capable receivers will not have to have the FIPS code programmed manually. They won't say how it will figure out where it is, but supposedly it will. And don't forget that SAME allows a county to be broken into 9 parts now as well...though those boundaries might be a bit more difficult to program in, since they would not follow the same lines in counties of different sizes. -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 13:54:46 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Gary Arnold wrote: > Kevin Heyboer wrote: > > > > Several good ideas have been posted here on how to get the warnings to > > the public. Here are a few more ideas that have, I think, some merit: > > > > 1. Currently, public law requires smoke detectors and fire alarm > > systems in rental units, hotels, hospitals, government owned buildings, > > schools, etc. Why not mandate the use of WX alert radios in some > > fashion at these locales as well. For instance, the R/S WR-SAME radio > > comes equipped with a relay switch to sound an external alarm > > circuit...this could be used to sound a bell, whistle, or siren from the > > office building in a mobile home park or campground, for instance, at > > little cost compared to the alternative. > > The State of Florida has just purchased a RS SAME capable receiver for > every public school in the state. They are being distributed now. As > for the others, amen. We're about to buy a bunch more for libraries, > parks, public safety agencies, and other outlying government buildings. Good deal. :) Though if they could get them in RV parks too, that'd be a good thing--like if a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning were issued it'd broadcast it on loudspeakers. I also think it's a good thing to keep them in RV's, and require them in new RV's by law if necessary. State inspections of RV's already require fire extinguishers, smoke detectors, examinations of propane and water systems, and (in some cases) carbon monoxide detectors before they can be used or licensed; why not require by law that RV's have some form of a NOAA weather radio as well? (Older ones, you can buy a Weathercube or get a CB with the NOAA weather bands on it [fairly common, and not much more expensive than a plain CB]; newer ones can get it built in along with the TV's and DSS hookups and suchlike.) I *do* make certain that my sister does take a NOAA Weather Radio with her when she takes her recently-purchased RV on trips. (This is a bit easier for us, admittedly--some of her trips are to NASCAR races, and the majority of scanners sold or rented (to listen to, say, the Bodines cussing each other again or the rest of the racers cussing Jimmy Spencer :) do have the NOAA weather bands on them.) Speaking of which--one idea to increase safety, especially at sports car events like the Indy 500 or NASCAR races, is to point out to folks when they buy or rent scanners (or buy the frequencies for their favourite racers) that they have the weather frequencies and that it's important to listen to 'em if the weather gets bad. (For once my experience at NASCAR tracks serves good for weather. :) > > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems > > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and > > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your > > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be > > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" > > They will be, and soon. FCC Part 11 requires cable operators with more > than 10,000 subscribers to be on line by the end of 1998. Sadly, those > with less than 10,000 will have until 2002. Satellite broadcasters and > other services will have to be brought online once receivers can do the > decoding in the home. So far the FCC EAS office only know of one > consumer AM/FM radio which will decode EAS alerts and set off a noise, > made by ASI, 1 800-360-5440. *nodnods* Even before that, *some* cable systems would break through during severe weather (in the days before EAS). In Louisville at least, during tornado warnings they'd have a feed from the Louisville fire Department break in on *all* channels (including the pay-per-view and premium channels like HBO) announcing there was a tornado warning for the Louisville area. To my knowledge they still do this, only now with NOAA weather radio. (Again, Louisville is not quite so complacent as some areas; 1974 still lives in the memory of most, and the Brooks tornado lives in the memory of those who weren't old enough to remember 1974. We get just enough bad weather to keep from becoming completely complacent. :) This would work for cable systems and RV parks that get cable. In the really big sporting events like the Indy 500 or some of the NASCAR races I don't know how well it would work (seeing as people camp in the infield at Indy and the Brickyard 400, and in fields outside the racetrack at other events (i.e. at Bristol International Raceway). I know of no really easy solution for this, short of requiring weather radios as part of the "licensing approval"/"building code" for RV's or requiring some sort of GPS receiver with RV's equipped with digital satellite receivers (which are becoming quite common nowadays, especially at NASCAR events! :). > In southwest Florida we are also incorporating amateur repeaters (ours > as the first), and are looking at including marine radio, GMRS, and > public safety systems as well for automatic alerts. We'd love to see > cell phones, pagers, and any other device with a digital IO as part of > the system. "EAS: its NOT just for broadcasters anymore!" > > Gotta get the consumer electronics market into the program! Definitely. (Technically, according to the EAS standards, eventually TV's and radios and pagers should turn themselves on and broadcast the EAS warnings when they receive them. That would be right interesting :) > > Then there is another problem regarding geography...our local EAS > > station, WSJT 94.1 FM, does have auto encoding and does interrupt > > programming for WX alerts....but only for the two counties in the > > immediate Tampa Bay area.....the tornadoes occurred in an area where > > that radio station can be received.....but they don't alert for that > > area. > > The Tampa Bay operational area is one of the largest (if not the > largest) in Florida. They have a system in place which will allow WSJT > (the LP1 station for the area) relay ALL EAS alerts for the entire area > via subcarrier to all other stations. The decoders have been purchased > and installed, but they are working out final technical problems. It's > a very complicated network. Problem is that the area is so large there > is really no station that can reliably cover it all. WSJT > understandably does not want to interrupt programming in the Tampa Bay > area for an EAS alert outside, or on the fringe of the coverage area, > when there are stations local to the alerted area that saturate it. > Hence the subcarrier relay which all area stations will receive, and > relay if their area is affected. This is another area where Louisville is a bit more fortunate (for three separate reasons). First off, one of our "key" stations for EAS in the Louisville station is a large AM radio station (WHAS 840). The station is historically one of the "clear channel" 50KW stations and can be heard over much of the US at night, and even thrugh all of Kentucky in the daytime. Secondly, it and the other "key" station for the Louisville area (WAMZ, 97.5 FM) are the two most-listened to radio stations in the area (and WAMZ itself has a fairly powerful signal). Thirdly, partly because we have 120 counties in Kentucky, areas are divided roughly into 50-mile- radius areas. Between this and the areas that bleed over from other states (most notably Wilmington, OH which serves Cincinatti and much of northern Kentucky) most of Kentucky does get somewhat decent coverage with the possible exception of eastern Kentucky (partly because Eastern KY is remote, but they're trying to cover that too--the Jackson, KY office). > > Finally, the biggtest problem is apathy...not only apathy from > > residents, but also from government officials. Strong thunderstorms are > > so common in Florida that most people simply take them for granted. Our > > local Emergency Management office takes no action when Hazardous Weather > > Outlooks are issued forecasting gloom and doom.....no matter how strong > > the wording from the weather service. They make no effort to coordinate > > with our Skywarn program...and they usually downplay such things as > > Coastal Flood Warnings. The local Sheriff's Office, for whom I work, > > never participates in any of the simulations or drills except on > > paper...something needs to be done to create a willingness to train and > > drill and guide the public in these matters. > > And the broadcasters. They seem to be on board in the Tampa Bay area, > but down here, and in several other areas of the state, don't want to > "interfere" with programming, or (God forbid) and COMMERCIAL BREAK, just > to tell people there may be a tornado somewhere close by. We've also > been told that, at times, NWS issues "too many" warnings, and viewers > get "irritated and call us the next day to complain" about the warnings. *nods* They're on board here, if for nothing else than folks *do* know what severe weather can do here. However, TV stations have had phone calls where people have angrily demanded to know WHY their University of Kentucky game was interrupted for a tornado warning several counties away. The TV stations replied, not quite as curtly: 1) Tornados have the rather bad habit of breaking houses and, occasionally, humans as well if they go into populated areas. 2) They serve service areas that are larger than the immediate area of Louisville, Kentucky. (Sometimes considerably larger--WAVE-TV 3 does cover as far away as Bloomington, IN and Frankfort, KY and they *do* broadcast tornado warnings for those counties.) 3) Since they are trying to protect lives, they are *not* obligated to deliver the basketball game to Bubba uninterrupted just because he doesn't want to hear warnings outside of Jefferson County. QED. The FM stations here tend to be more hit and miss, though, usually broadcasting warnings for the Louisville area only or thereabouts. -pb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Feb 1998 to 26 Feb 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Sat Feb 28 00:35:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1144 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628194-10139>; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 13:22:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA31192; Thu, 26 Feb 1998 23:18:12 -0600 Message-Id: <199802270518.XAA31192@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 23:13:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Feb 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a39ed85117a3dbdd893fed721b15396b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 19 messages totalling 868 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. warning recievers 2. Gravity Waves 3. Digest potpourri (2) 4. SAME Wx Radios (4) 5. Saving Lives (5) 6. Warning wav file Re: SAME Wx Radios 7. Excuses for safety. 8. TVS alerting 9. 10. your mail 11. Warning Methods +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:11:42 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: warning recievers I'm not sure of the particulars but I have heard that in the not so distant furture that televisions etc. will be built with SAME recievers. I'll try to find some information and post it to the group. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn CO12 Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website http://www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:46:15 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Gravity Waves In reply to Sam Barricklow: > > Who coined the term "gravity wave" in relation to atmospheric pressure > waves? Why was this term chosen? > I don't know who coined the term. They are called gravity waves because gravity (actually, buoyancy) is the restoring force. They occur in a stably stratified atmosphere when a vertical displacement results in buoyancy oscillations. They are responsible for mountain lee waves and are associated with clear air turbulence. A good discussion can be found in the book 'An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology' by James Holton, Academic Press. Hope that helps, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | In order to discover new oceans, one must have the courage to lose | | sight of the shore. | \ --author unknown / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:16:48 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Digest potpourri > From: Scott Bachmeier > Subject: great Clinton quote > > >From http://www.cnn.com/WEATHER/9802/25/florida.clinton.visit/ > > "Clinton said with El Niño bringing tornadoes to areas > previously untouched, "what I'm trying to figure out is > whether we can get some sort of satellite system for bells and > whistles to make sure people get enough advanced warning." > > Hmmm...GOES-8...GOES-9...GOES-10 -- we could probably use > those for a satellite system. Now, for those bells and whistles... Not to mention EMWIN, NOAA Wx-radio, wx-radio SAME, EAS, local sirens. Perhaps he should be briefed on existing satellites, horns and klaxons before going on these trips. Are the feds providing any $ for local sirens? I know the Alabama tornado recently spurred Al Gore to get on the Wx-radio bandwagon and pony up some cash. > From: Paula Bailey > Subject: Re: Warning Methods > > Speaking of which--one idea to increase safety, especially at sports car > events like the Indy 500 or NASCAR races, is to point out to folks when > they buy or rent scanners (or buy the frequencies for their favourite > racers) that they have the weather frequencies and that it's important to > listen to 'em if the weather gets bad. > > (For once my experience at NASCAR tracks serves good for weather. :) Perhaps the NWS and/or FEMA could sponsor a team, the FEMA Firebird?, or demostrate the dangers of driving through high water by simulating a flash flood in pit row of the Daytona 500. -Keith, n0iaw ------------------ Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu my opinions ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 14:19:33 CST From: "Brian R. Klein" Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios I agree that the programmable SAME radio idea is great and long overdue. However, the practice here in Central Okalhoma is to activate the alarm for both warnings and watches. I don't know if that is standard procedure elsewhere, but in my opinion, therein lies the problem. These new radios, even if required in the home, will not live up to their livesaving potential. I feel that the alarm should only be activated for a warning. The less the alarm is sounded, the more people will tend to keep it on and then, take action when action is necessary. What action would you take if your wx radio alarmed for a watch? (Hey, remember, not everyone would run out to gas up the chase vehicle;-) What are your thoughts? Brian Klein Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:33:14 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios Brian R. Klein wrote: > > I agree that the programmable SAME radio idea is great and long overdue. > However, the practice here in Central Okalhoma is to activate the alarm for > both warnings and watches. I don't know if that is standard procedure > elsewhere, but in my opinion, therein lies the problem. These new radios, > even if required in the home, will not live up to their livesaving potential. > I feel that the alarm should only be activated for a warning. The less the > alarm is sounded, the more people will tend to keep it on and then, take > action when action is necessary. What action would you take if your wx radio > alarmed for a watch? (Hey, remember, not everyone would run out to gas up the > chase vehicle;-) > > What are your thoughts? > I believe the RS radios use a beeping sound for watches, and a siren for warnings. The instruction booklet goes into great detail as far as which sound is used for which code. I think codes can also be locked out if someone was so foolish as to do so, so watches would be avoided. Don't think it's a good idea...I'd rather have a couple of hours to mull over my options rather than have to dive into the closest footlocker at the last moment. But then I don't feel put upon by two emergency alert messages over my favorite sitcom! Gary -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 15:57:22 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Digest potpourri On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Keith Brewster wrote: > > Speaking of which--one idea to increase safety, especially at sports car > > events like the Indy 500 or NASCAR races, is to point out to folks when > > they buy or rent scanners (or buy the frequencies for their favourite > > racers) that they have the weather frequencies and that it's important to > > listen to 'em if the weather gets bad. > > > > (For once my experience at NASCAR tracks serves good for weather. :) > > Perhaps the NWS and/or FEMA could sponsor a team, the FEMA Firebird?, > or demostrate the dangers of driving through high water by simulating a > flash flood in pit row of the Daytona 500. Actually, I'm sort of surprised FEMA hasn't sponsored a car yet. Several charities have sponsored NASCAR Winston Cup and Busch Series cars in past (most notably Children's Miracle Network); race teams have also sponsored charities (most notably the Hendrick Racing Team and the Bone Marrow Registry; the team owner, Rick Hendrick, has leukemia and is in need of a bone marrow transplant). The two main impediments to this are probably a) the cost of running a car in even Busch Series (thousands of dollars--Winston Cup cars can cost over a million dollars a year to sponsor) and, possibly, federal prohibitions on sponsoring private individuals. (Any of you working for NWS or FEMA know more on this?) If it *could* be done, it's a heck of an idea; D.A.R.E. has had some success in sponsoring racers, and they do put out exhibits at the "meet and greet" sessions for race-car drivers they sponsor. FEMA has done radio and TV spots in past, so IMHO they'd probably be the most likely to sponsor a Winston Cup or Indy car if they could legally and financially do so. It'd give some needed exposure in any case. One possibility that's related, somewhat: if it's financially possible, why not have the national SKYWARN association sponsor a car? :) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 16:31:08 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios > | Brian R. Klein wrote: > | > > | > I agree that the programmable SAME radio idea is great > | and long overdue. > | > However, the practice here in Central Okalhoma is to > | activate the alarm for > | > both warnings and watches. I don't know if that is > | standard procedure > | > elsewhere, but in my opinion, therein lies the problem. > | These new radios, > | > even if required in the home, will not live up to their > | livesaving potential. > | > I feel that the alarm should only be activated for a > | warning. The less the > | > alarm is sounded, the more people will tend to keep it > | on and then, take > | > action when action is necessary. What action would you > | take if your wx radio > | > alarmed for a watch? (Hey, remember, not everyone would > | run out to gas up the > | > chase vehicle;-) The more I look at this RS SAME radio, the more impressed I am. I was incorrect on one point: you cannot disable any preprogrammed codes. You can however disable any undefined codes that may be transmitted. The book explains the procedure. The siren activates for watches and warnings...the beeps are for statements. >From the data burst, it determines and displays the type of watch or warning in the LCD window, and lights a light below it. It also determines how long the alert is in effect, and starts timing it. At the expiration time, it shuts off the LCD display and the light. If, as in the case of Central Florida, the alerts are coming hot and heavy, it will keep track of up to three events, with their expiration times! I guess if a fourth comes in, the radio dumps the first event and replaces it with number 4. BTW: I have no financial interest in Radio Shack, but must admit, I'm rather impressed with this particular product, which seems to be a well thought out, well designed and well built, very sensitive receiver. It hears the signal from Ft. Myers here in Naples, 40 miles away, inside the 26 inch thick wall of our EOC. It's noisy, but would work. Gary -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 16:35:24 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > While I agree that everyone needs to be alerted -- and a weather radio at > work/home is an excellent way to achieve that (and I think Todd has a great > idea) -- that still leaves What To Do once alerted. Thanks. :) > In central Florida, many of the people in the devastated areas were in rvs > and mobile homes. It was the wee hours of Monday morning. Where were > they to go to seek shelter? I admit there isn't much they can do, but a warning might move the body on the computer test program from the bedroom into the bathroom, with a mattress. There ARE stories of people being in the bathtub, carried through the air a bit, and landed, even if with some debris atop of and around them, they survived. This, while it may be little, may be all that is needed to save a life. My idea was that if the siren awoke them in enough time for them to at least make it to the bathroom, it would have served it's purpose. :) > I've heard that in some areas of Texas, mobile home parks are required to > have tornado shelters. Anyone know if this is true? Dunno bout Texas, but here in Florida, you dig down a few feet and you'll need scuba gear. Florida is just a huge area of soft dirt floating upon the water, for all intents and purposes, or at least, to make it easy for the public to visualize. (I've wondered lately whether Florida wouldn't soon be sinking back into the ocean if we got any more soaked with water, here. :) ) And the latest Hazardous Weather Statement for North Florida seems to be forecasting the already grim getting worse with the rains approaching again from the west. Sigh. Not _more_ rains! Any more and my mobile home will soon need to be refitted to become a houseboat, here. What is usually a "damp" swampy forest a few hundred feet behind my home is fast becoming a large lake with plants and trees that happen to be growing in it; and its encroaching more and more upon the mobile home here each time it rains. I'm not worried about it becoming the "into the living room" nightmare a lot of other North Florida area residents are having to deal with, though. 1) Because of the demands of local ordinances, we're elevated up five feet above ground anyway. And while it will never get THAT bad, still, I don't like the idea of a water garden all around. There's snakes and other creepy-crawlies back in that forest. The closer the water comes, the closer THEY might come. "I HATE snakes!" [-Indiana Jones] The local University's brag of this being "Gator County"...well...I'm not so anxious about that brag in quite the way I was before. Because its not just a brag. This really IS gator country, around here. And I have been told that on rare occasion they HAVE been seen to come up the drainage moat dug behind our mobile home. [It separates that forest from the mobile homes here. When the rains come, there IS no drainage moat anymore. It merges with the elevated water back in that forest, too. And then starts to come up this a way. :( Keep having this dream lately that one night something is going to be slithering up under my bed covers... :) Eeek! (Is this normal considering the current circumstances? or should I actually be seeing a psychologist for that?) :) > Also, some of the devastated structures were described as "well-built". > Obviously concrete block construction, which doesn't necessarily equate > with well-built as Andrew so clearly displayed, destroying newer upscale > homes while leaving those built in the 1950's and 60's intact. News > coverage has focused on the rv and mobile home parks, is anyone familiar > with the subdivision(s) that were heavily damaged? New laws for Florida mandate that mobile homes be able to withstand now 110 mph winds, rather then the old law requiring withstanding 90 mph winds. Mine is supposed to be able to withstand 110 mph winds. The news DID say that those MH's constructed under the new standard held up very well, while the others were the ones which were destroyed. Dunno how true that actually is down there where it all happened, though. Still, I wouldn't want to put this mobile home through a live test to find out, either. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 16:37:53 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > At least for normal-sized Florida tornados, I'd figure some sort of > community shelter could work. In Kentucky (at least around the major Now that might be a good idea, especially here in our park. It would have to be constructed above-ground. And it would be just as vulnerable to the stronger stuff of storms, but it would be better than nothing. Too, for the local park owner, it would be an expensive project -- to make it large enough to take in the whole local park community, and to still be fairly strong. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 17:53:32 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios wrote... >I agree that the programmable SAME radio idea is great and long overdue. >However, the practice here in Central Okalhoma is to activate the alarm for >both warnings and watches. I don't know if that is standard procedure >elsewhere, but in my opinion, therein lies the problem. These new radios, >even if required in the home, will not live up to their livesaving potential. >I feel that the alarm should only be activated for a warning. While in my opinion it's the warnings that save lifes, not the watches, I do believe the alert tone (the 1050 Hz tone NWS sends to activate non-SAME weather radios) *should* be sent for both watches and warnings. The reason is that many severe events occur outside of warnings or *before* the first warning is issued. The public should be alerted to the potential for severe weather so that they can start taking additional steps (watching TV, looking outside the window, etc) *before* severe weather develops. Granted, many severe thunderstorms and a few tornadoes occur with no watch or warning in effect but that's another issue. The beauty of WRSAME though, is that it allows the *users* to decide when and how they want to be alerted. Programming on the user's end determines which products will trigger the system and what alarm indicators (sounds, lights, electrical contact closures) will be activated. The Radio Shack WRSAME receiver is a good start but it doesn't provide me with quite the flexibility I'd like. However, given it's the only game in town (at least below $100) I really don't have a choice. If it was up to me, I'd pick a gentle (not soothing however) alert tone for watches, a beeping sound for severe thunderstorm warnings, and police siren sound (or maybe a sound that simulates the sound of a tornado siren rotating) for the tornado warnings. Radio Shack did include some nice features like an external antenna jack (great for businesses and hospitals that may require an outside antenna to receive the signal solid enough to decode the SAME codes), external contact closures (for keying radios or activating secondary warnings devices), and battery operation/backup. I even like the color! The radio's programming shortcomings may be the result of inadequate market research (they didn't ask WX-TALK and WX-CHASE subscribers what they'd like to see!), microprocessor limitations, or it may be nothing more than trying to keep the product as simple to operate as possible. The instruction book that comes with the weather radio is thick enough to scare some people away --it's packaged inside so the customer buys the product, takes it home, and then gets surprised by the details. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 19:11:04 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Warning wav file Re: SAME Wx Radios > (at least below $100) I really don't have a choice. If it was up to me, > I'd pick a gentle (not soothing however) alert tone for watches, a beeping > sound for severe thunderstorm warnings, and police siren sound (or maybe a > sound that simulates the sound of a tornado siren rotating) for the tornado > warnings. Speaking of such -- I'm including the storm-cell attribute table data for the next version of InterRAD, and if anyone has a good-quality .wav file of a rotating tornado siren, I would like to use it as an option for TVS alerting. Rob http://www.interrad.weather.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 18:44:35 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Excuses for safety. >> I've heard that in some areas of Texas, mobile home parks are required to >> have tornado shelters. Anyone know if this is true? > > Dunno bout Texas, but here in Florida, you dig down a few feet and you'll >need scuba gear. Florida is just a huge area of soft dirt floating upon the >water, for all intents and purposes, or at least, to make it easy for the >public to visualize. I have seen excuses for not building storm shelters. -- The ground is too wet -- The ground is too hard --.... In all the areas mentioned, I have seen houses with in ground swimming pools. If you can build a swimming pool, you can build a storm shelter. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 20:20:57 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > > > At least for normal-sized Florida tornados, I'd figure some sort of > > community shelter could work. In Kentucky (at least around the major > > Now that might be a good idea, especially here in our park. It would have > to be constructed above-ground. And it would be just as vulnerable to the > stronger stuff of storms, but it would be better than nothing. Too, for the > local park owner, it would be an expensive project -- to make it large > enough to take in the whole local park community, and to still be fairly > strong. *nods* Mostly what's used in Louisville and other cities are schools. Most of the schools here are built to withstand at least the smaller tornadoes, some have basements but most schools here have a ground floor and (maybe) one or two other floors. When the warnings go out, for the severe thunderstorms the nice DES folks open up the school and they go in (like I'd assume they'd do in Florida with a hurricane warning); if a tornado comes with it, they go in the hall and assume the Tornado Position [tm] of crouched-against-the-wall, head-covered. Then again most of the trailer parks aren't really huge here, and elementary schools are within walking distance (often across the street from the park). I *do* wonder what folks do in areas where basements *are* impossible to build (like as was apparently the case in Jarrell, TX or--apparently-- Gainesville too). Thankfully, "big" tornadoes do not seem to occur all that terribly often there (or most places)...I was reading that a fellow had developed a type of shelter that *supposedly* could withstand an F5 tornado (I'll have to dig up the article again) but I've my doubts on that. As a total and complete aside...it *is* interesting to see chasers in Florida. I kinda envy those who can chase somewhere close to where they live. :) (In Kentucky, alas, storm chasing especially when weather could turn tornadic is delicately referred to as suicidal. :P I remember reading an account by someone who chased the Brooks/Mt. Washington tornado and he swore he'd never do it again. Stuff brews up too quick, and there's too many hills and trees to really see WHAT is brewing up.) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:36:58 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: TVS alerting In article <199802270011.TAA10495.29111@norden1.com>, Robert P Dale wrote: > >Speaking of such -- I'm including the storm-cell attribute table data for >the next version of InterRAD, and if anyone has a good-quality .wav file of >a rotating tornado siren, I would like to use it as an option for TVS >alerting. I'm kind of curious... Rob, as a user of the storm-cell attribute table from the NIDS data, how are you using the TVS output? greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:28:39 -0500 From: Stuart A Shepard Subject: ** Top Ten OTHER names for El Nino: ** 10- Pacific PMS 9- Global Wet Willy 8- Yo Quiero Taco Bell 7- Chumba Nimbus 6- The-Weather-Gets-Jiggy-With-It 5- Tony El Nino and Dawn 4- Paco 3- El Nino, El Pinto and Santo Mario 2- Mother Nature Breaks Wind 1- Elvis Nino _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 23:32:29 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: your mail On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Stuart A Shepard wrote: > ** Top Ten OTHER names for El Nino: ** > > 10- Pacific PMS > > 9- Global Wet Willy How bout: 11- El Vira? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:49:21 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Warning Methods Hi, Gary... > The State of Florida has just purchased a RS SAME capable receiver for > every public school in the state. They are being distributed now. As > for the others, amen. We're about to buy a bunch more for libraries, > parks, public safety agencies, and other outlying government buildings. Do you know if this is due in part to the recent debacle at the elementary school in Tampa? And, in today's St. Pete Times, an article about Florida Hazardous Weather Awareness Week, ended with: "Each school office is equipped with a National Weather Service Warning System designed to give administrators enough time to get students out of harm's way, Hart [Mark Hart, spokesman for Hillsborough Cty schools] said, a luxury people didn't have in Central Florida." *sigh* > And the broadcasters. They seem to be on board in the Tampa Bay area, True. Two meteorologists and their station's longterm respect for weather are the only reason we watch local tv. Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Feb 1998 22:24:32 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives Hi, Paula... > I've heard likewise. Someone from Florida did explain that basements and > tornado shelters are rare beasts in Florida partly due to the water table > there and the fact most tornados there are "little" ones that cause F0-F1 > damage. I'm a native Floridian (never have lived outside the state) and it's true that the water table is a factor, but I do know of homes with basements, bomb shelters, and many buildings with underground levels. Swimming pools are everywhere, but I've been told it's the weight of the water that keeps them in the ground. > At least for normal-sized Florida tornados, I'd figure some sort of > community shelter could work. I don't know that it's necessary to build a specific shelter/basement, but rather require that there be a reinforced building on the premises, if n accessible one isn't nearby. For instance, many have community centers. I know from experience -- following the advice of veteran Floridians -- that reinforcing a structure under construction doesn't add substantially to the cost. For instance, pouring concrete into the walls and adding additional hurricane straps. Of course, the brouhaha generated by any proposal will waste more time and $$ than it actually takes to do it. > In Kentucky (at least around the major cities here), there are a few > parks with tornado shelters on-site, and many of the rest have > arrangements (along with the DES and school systems) to go to schools > and/or businesses a short (1-2 blocks) distance away in the event of > weather severe enough to force mobile home evacuations. (Just like your > hurricane shelters in schools, but smaller scale. :) When you say "force.. evacuations", are you referring to voluntary ones or offically forced evacuations? What amazes me here is that many of the schools that are used as hurricane shelters are potential death traps. The cookie-cutter schools built in the 1960's and 70's have hallways lined with flimsy plastic and glass skylights and every classroom has a half wall of windows. Lunchrooms have two walls of windows. Elementary schools don't even have hallways. > Oddly, I noticed this too with the Brooks/Mt. Washington tornado as well. > (I live quite close to the area--about 2 miles or so from Brooks and > Hillview, where the tornado made touchdown initially). A lot of the > subdivisions there, which were fairly new homes (built within the last 5 > or so years), got tore up (as did a nearby Arby's at the I-65 Brooks exit) > but farmhouses less than a quarter mile away (which were brick and stone) > came out with only roof damage. I saw it much closer to home as well, though the tornado was maybe an F2. Our neighborhood of 1950's vintage homes suffered little damage beyond twisted and downed trees. An adjacent neighborhood, built in the 1980's, suffered a lot of damage, mostly roofs (roofs lifted off the homes and set back down -- in one case, the roof disappeared as did the contents of the house), but also cracked concrete block walls. > I have joked that when I buy a home I should like it to be one of the > older surviving farmhouses in the Louisville area Oh, I can relate.. we've been talking about moving and as much as I'm looking forward to a new home, finding a _safe_ one that meets all our other criteria is going to be a real chore. As is finding an honest inspector... Maybe I need to find a retired builder. :) > It *was* noted that a lot of homes with bad damage didn't have hurricane > straps; the building code has been amended here so that storm-straps are > required on the roofs of new buildings and on repairs of old buildings. When we built on, the straps cost 11 cents a piece. I gleefully installed many more than the code required. Our neighbor, a construction supervisor, was building on at the same time and used *no* hurricane straps. The inspector said not a word, despite the fact that the straps were obviously missing. I think a lot of the problems in Florida are the result of our highly transient population. Not many are here long enough to care about the lonterm. Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 00:13:23 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives Hi, Todd... > mattress. There ARE stories of people being in the bathtub, carried through > the air a bit, and landed, even if with some debris atop of and around them, > they survived. This, while it may be little, may be all that is needed to > save a life. My idea was that if the siren awoke them in enough time for > them to at least make it to the bathroom, it would have served it's purpose. True. One of the families survived Monday in the bathtub -- father was on the top, tree landed on him, but he said it was nothing compared to what others suffered. > Dunno bout Texas, but here in Florida, you dig down a few feet and you'll > need scuba gear. Florida is just a huge area of soft dirt floating upon the > water, for all intents and purposes, or at least, to make it easy for the > public to visualize. But, but... My father-in-law has a basement in Lakeland, my Tampa neighbor has a bomb shelter.. :) > (I've wondered lately whether Florida wouldn't soon be sinking back into > the ocean if we got any more soaked with water, here. :) ) Or all the humans carried off by mosquitoes! Our roads are dissolving but worse, all my favorite hiking spots in Hillsborough and Pasco have become mosquito-covered swamps. There's flooding in the neighborhood, on a level I haven't seen since the summer of - I think - 1974. > Sigh. Not _more_ rains! Any more and my mobile home will soon need to be > refitted to become a houseboat, here. What is usually a "damp" swampy > forest a few hundred feet behind my home is fast becoming a large lake with > plants and trees that happen to be growing in it; and its encroaching more > and more upon the mobile home here each time it rains. With El Nino's influence ending in April, and our rainy season starting soon after, Cap'n Todd might want to sign up for a safe-boating course. ;) > I'm not worried about it becoming the "into the living room" nightmare a > lot of other North Florida area residents are having to deal with, though. > 1) Because of the demands of local ordinances, we're elevated up five feet > above ground anyway. Are you near Paynes Prairie? > And while it will never get THAT bad, still, I don't like the idea of a > water garden all around. There's snakes and other creepy-crawlies back > in that forest. The closer the water comes, the closer THEY might come. > "I HATE snakes!" [-Indiana Jones] There are only 6 species of poisonous snakes in Florida. The rest don't like you either. :) > The local University's brag of this being "Gator County"...well...I'm > not so anxious about that brag in quite the way I was before. Because > its not just a brag. This really IS gator country, around here. And I > have been told that on rare occasion they HAVE been seen to come up the > drainage moat dug behind our mobile home. [It separates that forest > from the mobile homes here. When the rains come, there IS no drainage > moat anymore. It merges with the elevated water back in that forest, > too. And then starts to come up this a way. :( Keep having this dream > lately that one night something is going to be slithering up under my > bed covers... :) Eeek! One sunned himself on my uncle's front porch step. They do tend to wander, usually when water levels are very low or when courting, so you've probably got until June/July. Of course, they *do* eat snakes. > (Is this normal considering the current circumstances? or should I > actually be seeing a psychologist for that?) :) I'd be thrilled if the forest was moving into my home, but most people I know think I'm absolutely nuts. ;) Btw, my website is devoted to native Florida plant- and wildlife (http://www.nsis.org). > New laws for Florida mandate that mobile homes be able to withstand now > 110 mph winds, rather then the old law requiring withstanding 90 mph winds. > Mine is supposed to be able to withstand 110 mph winds. The news DID say > that those MH's constructed under the new standard held up very well, while > the others were the ones which were destroyed. Dunno how true that actually > is down there where it all happened, though. Sustained? ;) Seriously, I'd be curious to know just what is meant by that. My guess is that MHs that held up in extremely high winds, especially tornadic ones, simply weren't subjected to the full force. I wish I had the info at hand -- it seems that after all the code changes following Andrew, that permanent homes are only required to withstand winds a bit faster than that. I could be misremembering, I got fed up with the entire process. > Still, I wouldn't want to put this mobile home through a live test to > find out, either. Please don't. I've been through a couple of severe storms in a mobile home.. one that had the beast rocking and rolling. I moved. :) Marianne ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Feb 1998 - Special issue *************************************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1174 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629030-10135>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 01:28:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19522; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 11:25:23 -0600 Message-Id: <199802271725.LAA19522@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 11:18:56 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Feb 1998 to 27 Feb 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df91ccef4374a2147dcf4323e9778202 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 19 messages totalling 806 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Saving Lives (8) 2. NSSL Cutbacks and Florida 3. Digital Atmosphere 2.0 4. great Clinton quote 5. SAME Wx Radios (5) 6. Gravity Waves 7. Weather Warnings 8. Warning Methods +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:06:25 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > > Hi, Paula... > > > I've heard likewise. Someone from Florida did explain that basements and > > tornado shelters are rare beasts in Florida partly due to the water table > > there and the fact most tornados there are "little" ones that cause F0-F1 > > damage. > > I'm a native Floridian (never have lived outside the state) and it's true > that the water table is a factor, but I do know of homes with basements, > bomb shelters, and many buildings with underground levels. Swimming pools > are everywhere, but I've been told it's the weight of the water that > keeps them in the ground. Noted. (I *have* seen thouse "egg" tornado shelters and wondered offhand if they couldn't be used; I figured the major problem would be flooding.) > > At least for normal-sized Florida tornados, I'd figure some sort of > > community shelter could work. > > I don't know that it's necessary to build a specific shelter/basement, but > rather require that there be a reinforced building on the premises, if n > accessible one isn't nearby. For instance, many have community centers. I > know from experience -- following the advice of veteran Floridians -- that > reinforcing a structure under construction doesn't add substantially to > the cost. For instance, pouring concrete into the walls and adding > additional hurricane straps. Yup. :) That's sort of what I was saying in the above, actually; one doesn't necessarily have to be built from the ground up if there's something close nearby that can be reinforced. (That, anyway, should do for the 'average' Florida tornado.) > Of course, the brouhaha generated by any proposal will waste more time and > $$ than it actually takes to do it. *nods* > > In Kentucky (at least around the major cities here), there are a few > > parks with tornado shelters on-site, and many of the rest have > > arrangements (along with the DES and school systems) to go to schools > > and/or businesses a short (1-2 blocks) distance away in the event of > > weather severe enough to force mobile home evacuations. (Just like your > > hurricane shelters in schools, but smaller scale. :) > > When you say "force.. evacuations", are you referring to voluntary ones or > offically forced evacuations? Generally, these would be voluntary evacuations. (Save for chemical spills and, in some cases, flooding, I'm not sure there are even provisions for mandatory evacuation in Kentucky.) > What amazes me here is that many of the schools that are used as hurricane > shelters are potential death traps. The cookie-cutter schools built in > the 1960's and 70's have hallways lined with flimsy plastic and glass > skylights and every classroom has a half wall of windows. Lunchrooms have > two walls of windows. Elementary schools don't even have hallways. I've got two words to say on that...Holy frijole. The schools here, thank goodness, are better built. Mostly brick or concrete, the only windows are around the outside of buildings. NO skylights, if a class isn't on an outside wall it doesn't have windows. Hallways don't have windows out and I don't remember seeing a single window in a lunchroom in my 12 years in Jefferson County schools (I've been to seven schools in that system, FWIW). Kentucky schools are generally built like this, even outside of Jefferson County. Part of it is the building codes here which mandate that tornado safety areas be available in schools. (Again, the "1974 effect" rears its head.) > > Oddly, I noticed this too with the Brooks/Mt. Washington tornado as well. > > (I live quite close to the area--about 2 miles or so from Brooks and > > Hillview, where the tornado made touchdown initially). A lot of the > > subdivisions there, which were fairly new homes (built within the last 5 > > or so years), got tore up (as did a nearby Arby's at the I-65 Brooks exit) > > but farmhouses less than a quarter mile away (which were brick and stone) > > came out with only roof damage. > > I saw it much closer to home as well, though the tornado was maybe an F2. > Our neighborhood of 1950's vintage homes suffered little damage beyond > twisted and downed trees. An adjacent neighborhood, built in the 1980's, > suffered a lot of damage, mostly roofs (roofs lifted off the homes and set > back down -- in one case, the roof disappeared as did the contents of the > house), but also cracked concrete block walls. *nodnods* > > I have joked that when I buy a home I should like it to be one of the > > older surviving farmhouses in the Louisville area > > Oh, I can relate.. we've been talking about moving and as much as I'm > looking forward to a new home, finding a _safe_ one that meets all our > other criteria is going to be a real chore. As is finding an honest > inspector... Maybe I need to find a retired builder. :) Actually, finding a retired carpenter or considering building your own (if you can afford it) doesn't sound like a half bad idea. You can make sure at least the house is sturdy and habitable. :) (You can also put in stuff like storm cellars, for instance. Most homes don't have them, and frankly I don't trust homes with "half basements" either. Basements are nice, but suffice it to say I want something *underground* to go to in a tornado warning. :) Being entirely too close to an F4 tornado for comfort tends to do this. :) (Perversely, that same tornado got me interested in being what I poetically refer to as being a storm voyeur. :) > > It *was* noted that a lot of homes with bad damage didn't have hurricane > > straps; the building code has been amended here so that storm-straps are > > required on the roofs of new buildings and on repairs of old buildings. > > When we built on, the straps cost 11 cents a piece. I gleefully installed > many more than the code required. Our neighbor, a construction > supervisor, was building on at the same time and used *no* hurricane > straps. The inspector said not a word, despite the fact that the straps > were obviously missing. *sigh* I know folks that noted the same about Miami, before Andrew hit. (And people wonder why folks get killed...) > I think a lot of the problems in Florida are the result of our highly > transient population. Not many are here long enough to care about the > lonterm. That's entirely possible too. (Kentucky, we have a lot of trailers, but that's because we're a poor state; we also have a number of RV parks in an attempt to funnel tourism money into the state when folks go fishing. :) Florida has a lot of RV's and trailers because [so the folks I know in Florida tell me] roughly the entire adult population of Quebec moves to Florida for the winter. :) > Marianne -pb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 02:56:53 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: NSSL Cutbacks and Florida Hi All: Just want to note that this Florida outbreak took place at night, in the off-season - just the times that planned cutbacks at the NSSL last year would have left less than adequate coverage. Thanks to all the people that lobbied to keep staffing at current levels, and I will be there with my mailing list and e-mail to try and halt future cutbacks in coverage during the "off season". Richard Halter ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:30:56 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Digital Atmosphere 2.0 This is just a brief message to announce the immediate availability of Version 2.0 of the Digital Atmosphere graphical weather analysis application. This is a major upgrade, and will require a 32-bit operating system (in other words, you'll need Windows 95 or NT). Features include attractive and customizable map graphics, multiple chart windows, interlocking compatibility with EMWIN (including hands-off hourly map updates and automatic file archival), detailed county-by-county plots of weather warnings and watches, more accurate data parsing, contouring of global climatology data, a meteorological calculator, and more. Version 2.0 is the culmination of a two-month beta test program, and so far the feedback has been very enthusiastic. Point your browser at www.weathergraphics.com to download the entire program, and enjoy! Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma 73071 (888) 388-0070 71611.2267@compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:35:20 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: great Clinton quote On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Scott Bachmeier wrote: > >From http://www.cnn.com/WEATHER/9802/25/florida.clinton.visit/ > > "Clinton said with El Niño bringing tornadoes to areas > previously untouched, "what I'm trying to figure out is > whether we can get some sort of satellite system for bells and > whistles to make sure people get enough advanced warning." > > Hmmm...GOES-8...GOES-9...GOES-10 -- we could probably use > those for a satellite system. Now, for those bells and whistles... Remember what we all said about the government having to eventually eat crow for the Weather Service budget cuts? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 01:55:55 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Brian R. Klein wrote: > I agree that the programmable SAME radio idea is great and long overdue. > However, the practice here in Central Okalhoma is to activate the alarm for > both warnings and watches. I don't know if that is standard procedure > elsewhere, but in my opinion, therein lies the problem. These new radios, > even if required in the home, will not live up to their livesaving potential. > I feel that the alarm should only be activated for a warning. The less the > alarm is sounded, the more people will tend to keep it on and then, take > action when action is necessary. What action would you take if your wx radio > alarmed for a watch? (Hey, remember, not everyone would run out to gas up the > chase vehicle;-) Maybe I don't understand the technical idea of the WX-SAME radios. Is not the function of these radios to allow you to program specifically which alerts -- watches and warnings and bulletins -- you are buzzed for? as well as for those ones in and out of your area that you want? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 02:10:57 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > (at least below $100) I really don't have a choice. If it was up to me, > I'd pick a gentle (not soothing however) alert tone for watches, a beeping > sound for severe thunderstorm warnings, and police siren sound (or maybe a > sound that simulates the sound of a tornado siren rotating) for the tornado > warnings. Me? My personal preferences would be a General Quarters klaxon for the bulletins, a submarine dive warning klaxon for the watches, and then a repeating whoopie cushion for the tornado warnings. :) You can't deny that not a one person could hear any of that and then NOT WANT to continue to listen to the thing, after. :) Would probably ensure the listener heard all of the reports that way. ;-) Okay, okay! Too many burritos here, today. They've affected my brain. Todd (Can't say I don't have a sense of humor!) /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 02:32:10 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Thu, 26 Feb 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > I *do* wonder what folks do in areas where basements *are* impossible to > build (like as was apparently the case in Jarrell, TX or--apparently-- > Gainesville too). Thankfully, "big" tornadoes do not seem to occur all > that terribly often there (or most places)...I was reading that a fellow > had developed a type of shelter that *supposedly* could withstand an F5 > tornado (I'll have to dig up the article again) but I've my doubts on > that. Its just that, here in Florida, diving bells are too expensive. 8-) Which is just about what you need when digging a hole here, especially right now. :) > As a total and complete aside...it *is* interesting to see chasers in > Florida. I kinda envy those who can chase somewhere close to where they > live. :) Well, me...I'm not a chaser, myself. But I know that a few of the others in here are. But they are for the most part in South Florida, where most all of the action tends to occur. Maybe someday in the future, I'll tag along with someone. But right now, I don't consider myself knowledgable enough about these things to dare try following them actively. So, I sit and wait for them to come here, call up a net, and in the lulls between check-ins, stick my camera out the window here and click one or two then. :) ...If there's something to photograph. Safer that way, anyway. But that's not always the case down here. I often compare our skies to photographs of 18-percent-grey photo test cards (half-jokingly). Paint in a road, a vehicle with a man standing by it wearing a SKYWARN vest while looking up, and a tree in the foreground and there's a photo of your Florida-type storm sky for yuh. :) (Except in my case, atop the roof of the car there would also be a kitty sitting and thumping its tail in anticipation, also looking up, and wearing its own mini-SKYWARN vest with a mini-anemometer attached to it, whirring around quite rapidly...the local SKYWARN mascot, a member of the local Feline Spotter Corps - Spotter # 9CL.) ;-) Hoo-kay! Time for my nap-nap, now! Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 05:54:10 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Re: Gravity Waves Thanks for the reply Steve. I've often wondered how gravity waves might be associated with convection, both as a result of and as a trigger for convection. The affects of gravity waves could be a very abstract problem to study due to the lack of detailed, real time data. But the subject could be very interesting and perhaps revealing in understanding how severe convection might be initiated by gravity waves, especially for convection that might be triggered in a capped, but highly unstable environment. Gravity waves are often noted during post analysis to have been associated with the initiation of convection, such as on May 27, 1997, the day that Jarrell, Texas was devastated. Some forecasters also note that gravity waves often significantly change local surface conditions by either enhancing or reducing surface convergence in advance of frontal systems. There seems to be little real time data or methods available to detect and analyze this phenomenon. However, if gravity waves were better understood and techniques developed to detect and analyze them in real time, short term forecasts could perhaps be improved. Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 08:48:52 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Saving Lives Paula Bailey wrote: > As a total and complete aside...it *is* interesting to see chasers in > Florida. I kinda envy those who can chase somewhere close to where they > live. :) We DO have some chasers, but the really experienced guys (who came from tornado alley) are suffering from extreme supercell deprivation syndrome. You can learn more about this terrible affliction at: http://home1.gte.net/txt/SDS.htm a HIGHLY recommended site for those who haven't seen it!! -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 08:27:18 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Weather Warnings With all of the threads relating to timely warnings initiated by the recent tragedy in Florida, I wanted to express a concern that I have. It was talked about a few times on this list as well as WX-CHASE. It has to do with the false alarm rate related to "doppler indicated" tornadoes. I have especially noticed it here in Texas this January and February. there have been numerous tornado warnings with only 2-3 actual tornadoes/funnels. The count I have of the storms I have tracked has been about 20-25 tornado warnings and only three confirmed tornadoes/funnels. I understand this to be a problem in other parts of the country as well. I remember the days before doppler that when a tornado warning went out, I took it very seriously as you could always bet that it was legitimate. Now, I hear a tornado warning and think if there really is a threat and don't get too excited unless there is some visual confirmation or unless the atmosphere is really favorable for tornadoes at that time. Now from my selfish perspective as a chaser, I like it because it helps me zero in on a particular storm sometimes. But from my perspective as a member of the public, complacency is growing as it is among the general public at large. Is doppler a godsend for the NWS in helping to protect the public and increase warning time? You bet! Should we ignore the doppler indicated TVS? No. But I think there should be some sort of blending here with spotter reports to help confirm the TVS. In a weather scenario where tornadoes aren't likely, I think spotter reports should be more relied upon. In more volatile situations..not necessary. It should be up the the WCM. Now, will this solve the problem? No. Will this help reduce the false alarm rate and help lessen complacency? Yes. If the President of the United States wants to help protect the public from storms like this, the money shouldn't be spent on satellites or bells and whistles, it would be much better spent on developing a better and denser spotter network. Maybe buying better equipment such as radios for spotters, more training, increasing staffing capabilities at NWSFO's for warning/spotter coordination, etc. Right now, nothing can replace the eyes of the spotter...even doppler. No amount or type of warning devices will help protect people if the warning system is "crying wolf" all of the time. I know this doesn't apply to the Florida tragedy directly as I think some sirens in those RV/Trailer parks could have saved some lives. But, this is something that certainly needs to be addressed Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 10:05:52 -0500 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Saving Lives >bomb shelters, and many buildings with underground levels. maybe up in the northern part of the state (the part some folks call "occupied Georgia"). we don't have enough sand here to go with basements and below ground floors (unless you pile dirt on it later). >Swimming pools >are everywhere, but I've been told it's the weight of the water that >keeps them in the ground. yep. it's the same reason a boat floats -- an empty swimming pool in sandy florida would be buoyed up by the pressure of the water in the water table. one of the program managers here a few years ago tried to get an in-ground hot tub. dug hole, put in one-piece "normal size" fiberglas hot tub. light rain the day he was going to fill it. hot tub pushed out of ground with enough force to break some of the plumbing... he rebuilt it above ground. Bill Newkirk Collins General Aviation Division Publications Department Rockwell Collins, Inc., Melbourne Florida wenewkir@collins.rockwell.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 07:42:16 -0700 From: Matt Clauson Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios Watching the discussion over the past couple of days, I've noticed no-one bring up what has been a foremost concern for me: the human element. What I'd be concerned about is people configuring their SAME-capable radios for their county and their county *ONLY*. Now, granted, I haven't had a chance to test a SAME radio during actual field conditions, but I'd be concerned about neighboring counties and their activity.... Storm backtracking and whomping on a place it supposedly "skipped" over, etc. However, it wouldn't surprise me if most people, including those living on the edge of their counties, would only program their radio to go off for their county and relying on NWS to tell them if "it's coming.... it's headed right for us!" Sorry.... But to continue the scene from everyone's favorite movie... "It's already here. Everybody underground now!" And your butt is toast. Sorry, but I don't trust NWS to think of every possibility, and logic makes me assume that every "Average Joe" will assume that NWS is all knowing and all smart. Two solutions I see: 1) Have NWS add the SAME codes for a 1 county radius outside of the watch/warning area.... If it's a fast storm, maybe even 2 or 3... That way, people outside of the area can be warned that "it's coming". 2) Have SAME radio manufacturers note in the manual or on a special slip the wisdom of programming neighboring counties into the radio, for the above reasons. I know I'm preaching to the choir... But I believe in the old saying.... "Expect the best, but prepare for the worst." Cheers! Matt ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 08:09:20 -0700 From: Matt Clauson Subject: Re: Saving Lives At 01:45 PM 2/26/98 -0500, you wrote: >> 2) Should there ever be such an EAS break-in requirement, and/or >> manatory wx-radio break-in devices (not likely, me thinks), >> the NWS might get a lot more heat for false alarms than it >> does now. That may not be a Good Thing. [BTW, to cut perceived >> false alarms, how 'bout a gismo for the GPS mappers that are being >> advanced for cars that woudld determine FIPS code for SAME >> wx-radio automagically while you're driving?] > >That may not be so far fetched. I understand the second generation >Radio Shack SAME capable receivers will not have to have the FIPS code >programmed manually. They won't say how it will figure out where it is, >but supposedly it will. And don't forget that SAME allows a county to >be broken into 9 parts now as well...though those boundaries might be a >bit more difficult to program in, since they would not follow the same >lines in counties of different sizes. Ack! More fodder for the idiotic masses! Let me paint a bit of a picture for you. You're living in "south-eastern" Larimer county, Colorado. About 30 miles to the west of you, all hell is breaking loose. A thunderstorm the likes of which hasn't been seen since the days of Noah is dumping raindrops the size of five gallon buckets on the hillside. However, you feel safe, because your SAME radio hasn't gone off? Why? Because the storm is in "south-WESTERN" Larimer county, and NWS didn't feel that it was going to affect you, since the storm was stationary. The result of this story, if you're lucky? You get woken up by a policeman/fireman/EMS person saying "You have to evacuate... NOW!" If you're unlucky? You wake up face to face with Saint Peter.[0] I have discovered that most people are more stupid than you give them credit for, and, if given enough rope, will undoubtably hang themselves. Features such as a "9 part county" and "automatic radio detection of SAME codes" will undoubtably end in disaster. It's only a matter of time. Bah, I forgot what my point was, but I hope I made it. If I didn't, there'll be another post. ;) Matt [0] for those of you who are like "hey, I recognize this story somewhat..." You should. Does the date July 31, 1976 ring a bell? How about a little news story about a big flood in the Big Thompson Canyon? Granted, I wasn't even born yet when this happened, but I live in the town above the canyon, and, to this day, the remnants of this disaster remain. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 10:57:04 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Saving Lives > I have discovered that most people are more stupid than you give them > credit for, and, if given enough rope, will undoubtably hang themselves. > Features such as a "9 part county" and "automatic radio detection of SAME > codes" will undoubtably end in disaster. It's only a matter of time. > > Bah, I forgot what my point was, but I hope I made it. If I didn't, > there'll be another post. ;) Numerous statements from the NWS indicate that the 9-part EAS county option will not be used... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 10:02:51 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios > > Two solutions I see: > > 1) Have NWS add the SAME codes for a 1 county radius outside of the > watch/warning area.... If it's a fast storm, maybe even 2 or 3... That > way, people outside of the area can be warned that "it's coming". If the NWS really thinks that more counties will beaffected they should warn for those counties. They do try to have lead time, whenever possible. > > 2) Have SAME radio manufacturers note in the manual or on a special slip > the wisdom of programming neighboring counties into the radio, for the > above reasons. That is mentioned in the manual already. -Keith -------------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu my opinions ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 09:18:42 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Saving Lives Charles Edwards wrote: > > At 01:45 AM 2/25/98 -0500, Richard Thacker wrote: > >Here is a quote from the CNN FL tornado story off the WWW and TV: > > > >"The Weather Service issued warnings 20 minutes to 30 minutes > > before the tornadoes hit, but it did little good. "When people are > > sleeping there's no way of getting the message out," said Terry > > Faber, University of Miami meteorology researcher." > > > >how untrue, the answer is NOAA WEATHER RADIO ! > > > >so many folks have no idea :-( > > More people than you think know about it. Most people will not turn it on > or will even turn it off because of the weekly tests. People do the same to > their smoke detectors if they burn toast or something sets it off. Also, > most people will get annoyed by the constant "false alarms" if it goes off > and their house doesn't get hit. Remember the situation in Abilene, TX and > the sirens? > > Charles Edwards > cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu > storms@pair.com > http://www3.pair.com/storms > Sad, but true. I even turn off my NWR most of the time. I've lived in the same house for over 20 years and there have been many, many severe thunderstorm warnings for our county over those years, and not once has one done any damage to my house or yard. I can easily see why people don't leave them on. Generally, counties are way too large an area when warning (the radios are turned on when my county is warned). So far, 100 percent of the time in my case, although the warning verifies in the county, it doesn't verify at my house, and that's why I have the radio. I don't know the solution. Ken Z. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 09:55:48 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Saving Lives A Lieberman wrote: > > Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > With all the pennies they've been shaving removing the metal shielding > > from all these radios and TVs over the years, and replacing them with > > plastic, you would think they'd be able to afford replacing that with this > > tiny chip of silicon, or with a tiny bit of additional programming in an > > already existing chip. > > Actually, Todd, maybe you ought to forward your idea to a congress > person......... Didn't "closed caption" become mandatory in televisions > built after a certain date.... why not a weather alert system for newly > built TV's? > > > Is this a silly idea? > > Not at all! > > Allen > -- > NO way. I don't want to be forced to listen to warnings if I don't want to. If the TV set comes equipped with WRSAME, I'd have it turned off immeditately. There are too many interuptions already. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:17:37 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > Maybe I don't understand the technical idea of the WX-SAME radios. > > Is not the function of these radios to allow you to program specifically > which alerts -- watches and warnings and bulletins -- you are buzzed for? > as well as for those ones in and out of your area that you want? Partially and yes. :) The WRSAME code (the digital crap at the beginning of warnings and such) has little sections detailing: * the time * who sent it (the NWS, state or local govt., the White House [pray you never ever *ever* get one from there that's "for real" :)], nuclear plant, etc.) * the type of message (Emergency Action Notification [if it's real, grab your ankles and bend over...], tornado warning, immediate evacuation, civil emergency message, weekly test, etc.) * what areas it's for (state, part of a state, county, part of a county, etc.--that last one is good for hazmat spills--yes, the EAS *can* be activated for a hazmat spill; it's not just for severe weather and nukes anymore :) Hence, you can set a WRSAME decoder radio to go off only for a particular area, and (theoretically) only for certain types of messages. (Yes, I've done some research on how WRSAME is supposed to work. Comes from mentally toying with the idea of a software-based WRSAME decoder. :) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 10:04:45 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Kevin Heyboer wrote: > > Several good ideas have been posted here on how to get the warnings to > the public. Here are a few more ideas that have, I think, some merit: > > > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" > ...snip... Our cable system (Comcast) DOES break in with NWR on all channels, including HBO, whenever a warning is issued for our county. It's extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living in the same house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. KZ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Feb 1998 to 27 Feb 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3841 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-21523>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 07:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id RAA12726; Fri, 27 Feb 1998 17:29:18 -0600 Message-Id: <199802272329.RAA12726@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 17:23:32 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9aad4d67258f42badec259a85cedce10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 17 messages totalling 810 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Saving Lives (5) 2. Warning Methods (8) 3. Storm shelters. 4. SAME Wx Radios 5. More on Warning Methods 6. Weather Warnings +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:26:39 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > I have discovered that most people are more stupid than you give them > > credit for, and, if given enough rope, will undoubtably hang themselves. > > Features such as a "9 part county" and "automatic radio detection of SAME > > codes" will undoubtably end in disaster. It's only a matter of time. > > > > Bah, I forgot what my point was, but I hope I made it. If I didn't, > > there'll be another post. ;) > > Numerous statements from the NWS indicate that the 9-part EAS county option > will not be used... *nods* That'd make sense. Unless you live in a really BIG county a storm usually won't just affect PART of it. :) (If you live in an area with lots of smallish counties, like Kentucky, you might get a storm that hits two or three counties at *once*.) I was under the impression that the 9th-of-a-county option wasn't so much for the NWS as for the non-NWS applications of the EAS (say, in case there's a riot in a part of town, or a hazmat spill--EAS codes do exist for both, and the NWS doesn't issue them :). -pb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 17:42:06 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Warning Methods kz wrote: > If the TV set comes equipped with WRSAME, I'd have it turned off > immeditately. There are too many interuptions already... > > ...It's extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living > in the same house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a > severe thunderstorm affect my property even though there must have > been over a hundred warnings issued for the county (verifying for > the county, but not my home). Well, there you have it -- looks to me like it simply _CAN'T_ happen to you, kz. So keep turning off those pesky Weather Radio alarms, and just sit back and watch some good 'ol TV! -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 11:41:05 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Storm shelters. The reason most people in Florida (and other states) don't have storm shelters is economic NOT feasibility. True, it is not AS easy to build an underground shelter as some parts of the country, BUT it can be done. Shelters do not need to be underground. You can have a reinforced room in the center of your house. From what I have seen, the construction of houses are poor in Florida. A few hurricane clips on the roofs could have saved many of the houses that were featured in damage pictures in newspapers. The ultimate question to shelter or not boils down to risk vs. money. Many of the interviews on tv were of people riding out the storm in their trailer home. I think all trailer parks should have a shelter (either below or above ground) that is available to all the occupants. Many people in trailers do not have a place to go. If they did have a place to go, maybe some of them would take advantage of the shelters. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 11:44:00 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > > > > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems > > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and > > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your > > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be > > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" > > > ...snip... > > Our cable system (Comcast) DOES break in with NWR on all channels, > including HBO, whenever a warning is issued for our county. It's > extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living in the same > house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm > affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred > warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my > home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be > interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most > people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring > all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. While I agree it stinks to have all channels interrupted, remember what you said. For some subscribers, for each of the cases above, you state that it DID verify, which means there are a lot of grateful subscribers out there, likely. Unfortunately, you'll get your turn someday for the warning to verify at your place...I just hope you'll keep your lucky streak going as long as possible! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 10:33:20 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Gary Arnold wrote: > ...snip... > to tell people there may be a tornado somewhere close by. We've also > been told that, at times, NWS issues "too many" warnings, and viewers > get "irritated and call us the next day to complain" about the warnings. > > I wonder how many of the 17 tornado warnings issued by Ruskin and > Melbourne got on the air Sunday night, and how many complaints stations > received? > No, no one complains when there are verified tornadoes being warned for. However, in Florida there'd be tons of less dangerous severe thunderstorm warnings that only have dime size hail, which mostly does little damage, and having alerts go off everytime one of these is issued would definitely increase complaints to the point where cable systems would take it off their systems (in my opinion, of course). KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 11:57:05 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Warning Methods At 10:04 AM 2/27/98 -0800, kz wrote: >Kevin Heyboer wrote: >Like I posted before, I've been living in the same >house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm >affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred >warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my >home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be >interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most >people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring >all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. Next time you are crossing the road and a bus is about to hit you, I will remember not to warn you. After all, it may just miss you. I wouldn't want to warn anybody unnecessarily. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:48:04 -0500 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Saving Lives a clip from the 2/27/98 "Orlando Sentinel Calendar", page 2, Commander Coconut article. I think there's some good observations there about how the public may perceive warnings and if it might do good to interrupt a popular program with warnings (where the people are ticked off about the show interruption enough to just fume about it and not pay attention to the warnings.) channel 35 is WOFL (fox). channel 9 is WFTV (abc) email is osococonut@aol.com, web page is at http://www.orlandosentinel.com/services/online/aboutoso/columnists.htm Earlier Sunday evening, during "The X-Files", Channel 35 had a really odd manner of preseting a weather bulletin. The station used a top crawler that began with a screechy sound, and then the sound of the show was cut off, and you heard a weather-bureau voice, pluse the crawler had the warning written out. I think a crawler is good for a storm warning, and I see the purpose of the screech, but it was still annoying. And those big chunky maps of Central Florida (with blinking counties) are really distracting. Channel 9 is particularly bad about interrupting shows and going to the weatherman and then resuming the interrupted show "in progress". The problem is that virtually all of these programmus interruptus interludes could be taken care of in crawlers. After a while, these stations seem like the boy who cried wolf. They warn us so much - and usually nothing happens - that we have a false sense of cheating fate. That's scary. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 10:44:46 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios Brian R. Klein wrote: > > I agree that the programmable SAME radio idea is great and long overdue. > However, the practice here in Central Okalhoma is to activate the alarm for > both warnings and watches. I don't know if that is standard procedure > elsewhere, but in my opinion, therein lies the problem. These new radios, > even if required in the home, will not live up to their livesaving potential. > I feel that the alarm should only be activated for a warning. The less the > alarm is sounded, the more people will tend to keep it on and then, take > action when action is necessary. What action would you take if your wx radio > alarmed for a watch? (Hey, remember, not everyone would run out to gas up the > chase vehicle;-) > > What are your thoughts? > > Brian Klein > Norman, OK > I agree - warnings only, but even then in Oklahoma there would be too many false alarms (for your local house area). I think they should be set off for only tornaodes and "super severe" thunderstorms (with baseball or larger hail, etc). Having 50 warnings with only one actually affecting your home would induce apathy. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 12:55:40 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Warning Methods > > At 10:04 AM 2/27/98 -0800, kz wrote: > >Kevin Heyboer wrote: > >Like I posted before, I've been living in the same > >house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm > >affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred > >warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my > >home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be > >interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most > >people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring > >all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. > > Next time you are crossing the road and a bus is about to hit you, I will > remember not to warn you. After all, it may just miss you. I wouldn't want > to warn anybody unnecessarily. > Well, if you had warned him about the bus for years and years, chances are he's not gonna hear/listen to you anyway. the other SSEC Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 13:59:49 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives Hi, Paula... > Noted. (I *have* seen thouse "egg" tornado shelters and wondered offhand > if they couldn't be used; I figured the major problem would be flooding.) Whassa "egg" shelter? > Generally, these would be voluntary evacuations. (Save for chemical > spills and, in some cases, flooding, I'm not sure there are even > provisions for mandatory evacuation in Kentucky.) I'm impressed with the system in place there. I can see it working in some areas here, but in so many cases, there aren't decent buildings near mobile home parks. Do you get a lot of warnings? Even with our rare hurricane evacuations, shelters are slow to open and evacuees tend to put off going. Not that the situations are the same. I do know of mobile home dwellers who leave when the weather gets bad, whether it's to visit a friend or spend the time at a library or the mall. > Kentucky schools are generally built like this, even outside of Jefferson > County. Part of it is the building codes here which mandate that tornado > safety areas be available in schools. (Again, the "1974 effect" rears its > head.) Newer schools here are more like what you describe, though I suspect it has more to do with energy conservation once they began air conditioning the schools. But with budget constraints, we're way behind in school construction, opting instead to cover campuses with portable classrooms. > like storm cellars, for instance. Most homes don't have them, and frankly > I don't trust homes with "half basements" either. Basements are nice, but > suffice it to say I want something *underground* to go to in a tornado > warning. :) What's the difference between a storm cellar and a basement? > Being entirely too close to an F4 tornado for comfort tends > to do this. :) (Perversely, that same tornado got me interested in being > what I poetically refer to as being a storm voyeur. :) My name is Marianne and I'm a weather junkie. :) I think it has to do primarily with having lived in Florida all my life, experiencing several hurricanes as a child, and hearing the first hand accounts of those who witnessed earlier storms. When that info began running into the nonchalance of people new to the state, something clicked. > > The inspector said not a word, despite the fact that the straps > > were obviously missing. > > *sigh* I know folks that noted the same about Miami, before Andrew hit. > (And people wonder why folks get killed...) And, incredibly, since. Money talks. > That's entirely possible too. (Kentucky, we have a lot of trailers, but > that's because we're a poor state; we also have a number of RV parks in an > attempt to funnel tourism money into the state when folks go fishing. :) > Florida has a lot of RV's and trailers because [so the folks I know in > Florida tell me] roughly the entire adult population of Quebec moves to > Florida for the winter. :) Yes! It's amazing to watch what seems like entire communities relocate enmasse. We have a real mix: residents, snowbirds, sunbirds, and tourists. Many residents are retirees and quite a few of them need assistance. I did many interviews for a hurricane evacuation survey years ago to determine both knowledge about preparation and the need for evacuation assistance. I talked to many people in mobile and woodframe homes or in areas that flood who are disabled, quite a few burdened with life-sustaining medical equipment. (And many who thought hurricanes were tornadoes - brief and unlikely to affect them.) Many decisions here are based on how they'll influence the flow of tourist dollars. For instance, we've just had a mosquito-borne encephalitis outbreak and journalists expressed much frustration at the lack of info. The St. Pete Times ran an article detailing the way a previous outbreak was handled, including how it was purposefully downplayed, even as deaths mounted, because of the fear that tourists would stay away. During the coverage Monday of the tornado damage, the fact that the major theme parks were not damaged and were open was repeated frequently -- perhaps to slow phone calls to the stations, perhaps at the urging of politicos or economic interests -- and since, there's been moaning about the number of vacation cancellations. With so much focus on maintaining an image of a carefree paradise to keep $$ flowing, changing building codes is near to impossible -- even educating the public is avoided. Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 16:47:03 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Scott Bachmeier wrote: > kz wrote: > > If the TV set comes equipped with WRSAME, I'd have it turned off > > immeditately. There are too many interuptions already... > > > > ...It's extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living > > in the same house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a > > severe thunderstorm affect my property even though there must have > > been over a hundred warnings issued for the county (verifying for > > the county, but not my home). > > Well, there you have it -- looks to me like it simply _CAN'T_ happen to > you, kz. So keep turning off those pesky Weather Radio alarms, and just > sit back and watch some good 'ol TV! Well no, no, now...he may actually live in a part of the US that really doesn't get affected by certain sorts of severe stuff that much. But that's his option. If he wants to turn it off, he can, but the government would have provided that safety option to be available for him right there if he so chose.. But at least it was a choice MADE AVAILABLE to him. And if he really NEEDED it later, all he'd have to do is turn it back on. But if you leave it to the general public to purchase these things for themselves, they won't do it. It's not immediately important to them. That drink is. That sitting at the card table is. The next pack of cigarettes is. But a weather radio? Too expensive from Radio Shack, and that bad weather doesn't come so often. (Depends.) But I can't help but think if we made this a government mandate, for the safety of our people, a lot less deaths might occur. You know...maybe we COULD make it so that everything can be turned off by the user EXCEPT the tornado warnings... Just curious...is there anything naturally sent now in cable TV signals which identifies from which broadcasting station the cable TV signals are originating? That is, lets say Cox Cable of Gainesville Florida was your providor. Would you be able to install a weather radio in a TV set which could read this general location data and disable turning off any Warnings specifically meant for your area? Is this too far fetched? As simple as an additional processor chip installed, perhaps? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 15:37:13 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Warning Methods Charles Edwards wrote: > Next time you are crossing the road and a bus is about to hit you, I will > remember not to warn you. After all, it may just miss you. I wouldn't want > to warn anybody unnecessarily. and you also wouldn't want the money hungry creep to end up suing you for infringing on his rights to not be warned. hey why not they're suing for everything else these days. matt > > > Charles Edwards > cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu > storms@pair.com > http://www3.pair.com/storms > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 16:51:24 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives Hi, Bill... > >bomb shelters, and many buildings with underground levels. > > maybe up in the northern part of the state (the part some folks call > "occupied Georgia"). Hehe.. actually in Tampa and Lakeland. > we don't have enough sand here to go with basements and below ground floors > (unless you pile dirt on it later). > > >are everywhere, but I've been told it's the weight of the water that > >keeps them in the ground. > > it's the same reason a boat floats -- an empty swimming pool in sandy > florida would be buoyed up by the pressure of the water in the water table. This may be incredibly naive, but wouldn't the weight of the structure above the basement keep it in the ground? Hmm.. tornado removes the house, basement pops up.. could be a problem. :) Seriously, many buildings do have basements and underground parking and such.. and not all are huge or appear that cost wasn't a consideration. Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 17:28:27 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > > > > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems > > > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and > > > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your > > > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be > > > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" > > > > > ...snip... > > > > Our cable system (Comcast) DOES break in with NWR on all channels, > > including HBO, whenever a warning is issued for our county. It's > > extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living in the same > > house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm > > affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred > > warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my > > home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be > > interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most > > people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring > > all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. > > While I agree it stinks to have all channels interrupted, remember > what you said. For some subscribers, for each of the cases above, you > state that it DID verify, which means there are a lot of grateful > subscribers out there, likely. > > Unfortunately, you'll get your turn someday for the warning to > verify at your place...I just hope you'll keep your lucky streak going as > long as possible! Here, here. Okay, let me propose a work-around for the interrupted recordings of your favorite movies. For new TVs and VCRs, bring the weather alert out of the actual video so that legalized piracy 8-) is not advers-fected. When a warning is issued, it could be sent as a sub-signal somewhere which activates a screen your *VCR* and/or *TV* puts up on top of your video signal, but which does not get recorded - sort of like your VCR's current setup menu screen. This doesn't get recorded while your're fiddling with it. Add a low-frequency beeping tone to get the attention of the person watching, just in case for a second they were in the kitchen fixing something to munch while it came on. As well, make it so that the screen stays up until a key is pressed on the VCR (or TV) or the remote - any key - just to let the machine know you've seen it, "now remove it please so I can continue watching my movie." Now I'm going to get it for the expense of such a project and how everything at EOC would have to be replaced in order to accomodate this. But, its something for thought about the future, perhaps. This would be something that requires EOCs, signal generator manufacturers, and VCR and TV manufacturers getting together on, obviously. The selling point will be how simple it will be to add to current equipment. Is it something teensy and tiny and perhaps made as a plug-in to current transmitting equipment at EOC, NWS, and wherever? Or does it require the complete replacement of current expensive equipment in order to be put to use? If the latter, people won't by it much less think about it. Actually, I dunno why they didn't think of this and initiate it a long time ago. I don't have the technical knowledge or steady hands to make such an idea a reality, but maybe someone else out there does. So, I hereby offer up all copyrights to the first person to take on the endeavor and manufacture it to completion. Just, when your product starts to do well, somewhere in the back of the instruction manual, way at the bottom, in real teeny-tiny letters...mention my name for the idea. That's all I ask. :) Keep the profits, though I really could use them. If it saves lives in the future then for once I participated in something that helped and made a difference. That's all I want. (I did this once before suggesting modifying current RDs to produce specific warnings of things ahead and lo and behold somebody came out with my idea. But they gave no credits to me for it. :( I put it out on the rec.radio.scanning newsgroup a number years ago, a mistake, and someone even contacted me personally on it...more than a few times...can't remember his name ... even promised part of the profits if it worked. Told him I didn't really have to have the profits as long as my name was part of the outcome ... just a mention. Never heard from him again. Also, I used to save all my QWK packets. After they began to take up many, many megabytes on my limited drive, I deleted them. Guess where I kept the copies of the correspondence with this man? [Pete Laws: you keep copies of the scanning newsgroups? Respond in private, not here. Other party's name was, I think, Kevin ... something. French last name or something like that. He was working with a group of people going the other way - the expensive route, digging up roads and placing things underground, and making receivers to detect THOSE, and another to place transmitters off side of road, and receivers for those. Mine was much more simple and dealt with the fact that there were already being used many bands of RADAR. Just rearrange the use plan, make rules specifying their use, and build receivers with alphanumeric LCD displays for those. This is like what is now being used.] Not looking to sue anybody; just want to be able to say "Hey, see? Somebody thought one of my ideas was worthwhile. Can't prove it, grandson. But that was my idea. I know it. And that's all that matters to me.") 8-( Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 13:24:24 -0600 From: Weather Scratch Subject: More on Warning Methods It seems we have EMWIN, Weather Wire, TV and Radio, NOAA WX Radio and SAME capability, Cable companies that either have a radar channel or interrupt programming, we have outdoor sirens, many scanners, CB's, and other devices have WX Radios and warnings alarms on them. There are so many other ways folks get warnings and watches too. Boy, we have the technology and use it! I just wonder if we install a siren in every home, office and building in the USA and activate it by NOAA WX Radio transmitter if we really would see a reduction in weather related deaths? I think not! So lets spend our tax dollars doing something constructive and educational, not to mention continuing our work to lessen false alarms and have better warnings. We have come so far, but so many deaths still occur and will continue to occur - you can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink the water. The same is true with the warning process. We can use better public education and continue to tweak our tools of the trade and keep the focus and the path to increased CSI's. However, many WCM's will tell you that they have gone to teach spotter classes and only a few people show up. The normal average joe in most cases can care less about weather warnings until it is that person's family or friends that is killed or injured and then the old - There was no warning! story comes into play. The story gets old real fast. When a watch is posted or the threat of severe weather exists, we all know and stress the point that severe thunderstorms can and do occassionally produce tornadoes with little or no warning, if threatening weather approaches seek shelter immediately. But it seems to do little good. It is the individuals responsibility to insure their own safety, the NWS, EMA and so on will do their best to give timely warnings but they can't come to your home and lead you to safety. So with that - someone please educate Mr. Clinton and the US population that we can't just stand in front of a tornado and say time out, just a second we got get ole "joe" to safety before you damage this building. So much for my waste of bandwith. Flames are appreciated! :-) I know I am preaching at the choir in hope someone lurking out there will realize our choir is singing a song of responsible and best warning processes we have to date! More satellites will not change this tune until the public wakes up and hears the music! John S. Sturtevant Science and Education Officer ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 61 Todd Street - Suite 107 Russellville, Alabama 35654 (205) 331-2881 Voice - 331-2863 Fax/Data (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com or metservices@getaway.net WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com or http://208.134.18.44 E-PAGE: 2059844219.pager@usamobile.com Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= -----== Posted via Deja News, The Leader in Internet Discussion ==----- http://www.dejanews.com/ Now offering spam-free web-based newsreading ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 18:12:33 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Weather Warnings On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Steve Miller wrote: > No amount or type of warning devices will help protect people if the > warning system is "crying wolf" all of the time. I know this doesn't > apply to the Florida tragedy directly as I think some sirens in those > RV/Trailer parks could have saved some lives. But, this is something > that certainly needs to be addressed But that's the whole thing. You're always going to have those who don't think it will happen to them. No matter what you hand them, they'll find a way to go in and void the manufacturer's warrantee and remove this and that peice of related circuitry they find annoying, or simply turn the option off altogether. But this way of thinking, if Congress carried it, would only end up losing more lives in the end. For all those who are going to cut leads, there's just as many who are going to use the provided extra gadget religiously, because they know and they've looked up and they've seen the stuff that barely misses them before. Or, they've fad friends or family who have WEREN'T missed. They're smarter. They listen. Or they heed. Why leave them out of the chance just because of some who want to be silly-pusses? I sound like I'm worried this would actually have any affect on the outcome of the idea. But in actuality, I'm not. I know someone right now is reading all this discussion in here and is trying to think of some useful way right now to make something of ALL of our ideas into a reality. :) Give it a year, maybe two. You'll see this -- with upgrades per our own suggestions made right here -- on the market. Gah-RohnCo-tee! Todd "It slices! It dices! And with the new Cut-Motion Technology a motion sensor automatically allows you to get the latest weather Watches and Warnings...WHILE YOU CUT! Its absolutely AMAZING! And what would you pay for something like this?..." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 18:23:43 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, William E Newkirk wrote: > it's the same reason a boat floats -- an empty swimming pool in sandy > florida would be buoyed up by the pressure of the water in the water table. > > one of the program managers here a few years ago tried to get an in-ground > hot tub. > dug hole, put in one-piece "normal size" fiberglas hot tub. light rain the > day he was going to fill it. hot tub pushed out of ground with enough force > to break some of the plumbing... > > he rebuilt it above ground. Which requires lots of extra money to make sure it stays. You might as well build a huge conrete one anyway. But, first, you need the money to afford all that special material. I think some in here think we all make $100,000 a year down here. You'd think with all the mobile homes destroyed and in the news here, they'd realize that can't possibly be. If they can afford a huge swimming pool in their back yard, they're obviously not of the means where they are living in a mobile home. And usually, if they're living in a mobile home, they're not of the means where they can even afford an ABOVE-ground pool. So, who's got the EXTRA money required to build an underground shelter that will refuse to BECOME a covered swimming pool down here? On the other hand, I guess if I think about it, a shelter filled with water might offer extra shock absorbing against any poundage thrown upon it...if the person inside were to stay floated right in the middle. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 - Special issue *************************************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4540 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-21520>; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 14:08:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22664; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 00:05:39 -0600 Message-Id: <199802280605.AAA22664@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 176a9946db75cf5e48fdcc57ff99b046 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 422 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Saving Lives (4) 2. Warning Methods 3. needed old data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 18:29:22 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > I was under the impression that the 9th-of-a-county option wasn't so much > for the NWS as for the non-NWS applications of the EAS (say, in case > there's a riot in a part of town, or a hazmat spill--EAS codes do exist > for both, and the NWS doesn't issue them :). Ah! A woman who thinks the way I do! I was just going to say, stil, they shouldn't remove that programming. There's probably a usefulness for it yet. I was thinking perhaps in terms of spotters somehow. But since you say it was reserved for EAS use, that may yet be even more possible. How would spotters use it? I have no idea. Don't rush me. But I'll think of something. :) Where there's a will there's a way. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 17:43:40 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Warning Methods Todd L. Sherman wrote... > For new TVs and VCRs, bring the weather alert out of the actual video so >that legalized piracy 8-) is not advers-fected. When a warning is issued, >it could be sent as a sub-signal somewhere which activates a screen your >*VCR* and/or *TV* puts up on top of your video signal, but which does not >get recorded - sort of like your VCR's current setup menu screen. This is a great idea and one which hints at a more subtle point. Require the government to make the signal available but allow users to decide how to process the signal. Let's look at a parallel example and note some similarities and differences. I can personally understand why making seat belt use mandatory is a good idea. If you are driving and get in a bad accident *and* you are not wearing your belt, you *will* get seriously messed up and you will *needlessly* tax the emergency medical response system. My grandmother having chest pains at home will die of a heart attack because the ambulance crew that would have been there to save her is instead clear across town --scraping your gooey remains off a guardrail. What would have been a simple bump or bruise for you now becomes a fractured pelvis or serious head trauma. Weather warnings are different though. First and foremost there are multiple ways to receive warnings. People can purchase a working tone-alert weather radio for about 20 dollars, they can listen to commercial TV and radio, they can look out the window and see it coming. Unlike seat belts, which hold you in place, warnings don't directly protect people. They simply say "there's something bad coming, now you decide what to do". There are no laws that require people to head to their basements or leave their mobile homes for permanent shelter. And as I said in a previous posting, if you're at ground-zero in a tornado it's problematic whether you're going to survive at all --regardless of what actions you choose to take. The idea Todd proposes permits the widest possible penetration of warning coverage *without* being too intrusive. If the government could mandate something as expensive and useless as the V-chip (supposedly to prevent kids from having their minds warped by TV) or require closed captioning for the 1 in 100,000 of us that actually use this service, they could certainly make EAS message decoding a mandatory capability of all TV sets. But leave the decision of how to process the information (alarm bell, scrolling text, a flashing external indicator on the TV, or completely ignore it) up to the TV owner. I do realize that it's supposedly the role of the government to protect its citizens from harm --weather or not they want to be protected. Thus, maybe the government should require all warnings to interrupt cable TV signals and perhaps even your home VCR so that even if you are watching a rented movie your signal will get interrupted. Then again, do you really expect joe sixpack to get up from his TV and go into the basement?! Nope, you'll be lucky if he's not out in the street with a beer in one hand and his camcorder in the other. I'm also disturbed by the practice of some TV stations interrupting programming for every severe thunderstorm warning. Severe thunderstorms are just not that dangerous. Sure, they look mean, but on average they really do not pose that great a risk to people indoors and away from windows. The more you interrupt programming with live cut-ins for wimpy storms the more people will tend to ignore you --even when it's for "killer" storms. The public has no way of telling the difference. And when TV station "A" starts hyping itself as "thee weather source" then station "B" has to come back with something even more bold --like 256 color fly-thru color weather radar! Then station "C" decides to buy a live truck to go chasing because "people need to see what's coming" and before you know it you have a circus. Intelligent people will start ignoring the cut-ins the same way they ignore WWF wrestling matches! I'm posing some food for thought here and nothing more. The question is how far should government go (into our homes, living rooms, and bedrooms) to protect us? ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 19:16:13 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: needed old data hi, a day or two ago people were looking for the text products of the event in florida on the morning after. well nobody ever thought of going to the weathernode data download page at http://www.weathernode.com/html/zipnames.htm where you could download all the emwin data in .zipped form. of course you'd have to sift through and pluck out what you wanted. matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 20:52:43 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > This may be incredibly naive, but wouldn't the weight of the structure > above the basement keep it in the ground? Hmm.. tornado removes the > house, basement pops up.. could be a problem. :) Seriously, many > buildings do have basements and underground parking and such.. and not all > are huge or appear that cost wasn't a consideration. Ooh! I feel another idea coming on! How about everyone in Florida build spare houses BENEATH the ones above ground? See, then if a tornado comes along, and swipes away the house on top, a neumatic divice automatically raises the backup house to the top at the beep your keychain, then the door opens, yer in in time to cook your dinner and watch the news coverage of what just hit! (Sigh. There ah goes ag'in.) 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 18:54:44 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Saving Lives kz wrote: > NO way. I don't want to be forced to listen to warnings if I don't want > to. If the TV set comes equipped with WRSAME, I'd have it turned off > immeditately. There are too many interuptions already. Sooo...... as you cozy up with your loved one at 11:00 p.m. watching HBO, Showtime or some other cable program and a little ole F4 was bearing down on your area, that a warning wouldn't be useful? Wouldn't you want that "interuption"? Or even if it was a county away, wouldn't you want to be "informed"? That interuption could save your life.... Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 00:03:56 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > Hi, Paula... > > > Noted. (I *have* seen thouse "egg" tornado shelters and wondered offhand > > if they couldn't be used; I figured the major problem would be flooding.) > > Whassa "egg" shelter? Heh...basically they are fibreglass tornado shelters, the "shelter area" being shaped like an egg. One essentially digs a hole and puts the shelter in, then puts dirt on top of it. The whole deal is designed as a drop-and-go tornado shelter for folks in trailers, whatnot. They usually have someone selling these at the Kentucky State Fair and all. > > Generally, these would be voluntary evacuations. (Save for chemical > > spills and, in some cases, flooding, I'm not sure there are even > > provisions for mandatory evacuation in Kentucky.) > > I'm impressed with the system in place there. I can see it working in > some areas here, but in so many cases, there aren't decent buildings near > mobile home parks. True. (I've been seeing stuff from *lots* of Florida folks here about poor construction.) > Do you get a lot of warnings? Even with our rare > hurricane evacuations, shelters are slow to open and evacuees tend > to put off going. Not that the situations are the same. I do know of > mobile home dwellers who leave when the weather gets bad, whether it's to > visit a friend or spend the time at a library or the mall. KY gets a lot of severe thunderstorm warnings, at least in the Louisville area. Jefferson County and the surrounding areas get 15-20 tornado warnings in an average year. Even in non-tornado events, though, we usually do have at least one signifigant wind damage event a year (sometimes tornado, more often just high winds or downburst stuff). > > Kentucky schools are generally built like this, even outside of Jefferson > > County. Part of it is the building codes here which mandate that tornado > > safety areas be available in schools. (Again, the "1974 effect" rears its > > head.) > > Newer schools here are more like what you describe, though I suspect it > has more to do with energy conservation once they began air conditioning > the schools. But with budget constraints, we're way behind in school > construction, opting instead to cover campuses with portable classrooms. *nods* Lovely. So basically a lot of reason school is out as a shelter in Florida is because (and I am speaking purely in an architectural sense) the schools are often glorified trailer parks themselves. :P > > like storm cellars, for instance. Most homes don't have them, and frankly > > I don't trust homes with "half basements" either. Basements are nice, but > > suffice it to say I want something *underground* to go to in a tornado > > warning. :) > > What's the difference between a storm cellar and a basement? The closest difference I can list on the two (having seen both and all): Basements are partly underground (not totally in some cases), have windows, and are often furnished with electrical outlets and whatnot. A lot of folks have 'em furnished as dens and all, and they're big as a floor most places. Storm cellars are much more to-the-point on why they are. They're usually *at least* three to six feet underground, vary from a pit dug in the ground to the fibreglass-lined dropins I've seen, and generally are used for the sole purpose of protection from tornados and/or bombs. (I *have* heard of folks converting fallout shelters to storm cellars and vice versa.) Most of them have no light or electricity save for lights (or kerosene lamp) and radio with batteries that you bring in, and most aren't useful for anything else SAVE to save you from an F4 or F5 (other than as storage or for a root cellar in the earth-lined ones). This is not to say, mind, that a basement cannot be used as an impromptu storm cellar, or that a more fortified "proper storm shelter" can't be built inside an existing basement (like they used to recommend folks do back in the bad old days of the Cold War with fallout shelters). :) Just that the two *are* different beasts--I've spent enough time in basements and in storm cellars as a kid to know the difference. :) > > Being entirely too close to an F4 tornado for comfort tends > > to do this. :) (Perversely, that same tornado got me interested in being > > what I poetically refer to as being a storm voyeur. :) > > My name is Marianne and I'm a weather junkie. :) I think it has to do > primarily with having lived in Florida all my life, experiencing several > hurricanes as a child, and hearing the first hand accounts of those who > witnessed earlier storms. When that info began running into the > nonchalance of people new to the state, something clicked. *nodnods* Well, admittedly hearing some things about 1974 did it for me too (I honestly expect that kids will find the same listening to the stories of the folks who saw the Brooks tornado :) as well as seeing some absolutely *beautiful* thunderstorms in the Smokies. Mountain thunderstorms are beautiful, and they *sound* angry at that (then again, in the mountains one is generally closer TO the storm which may be why they seem more intense). > > > The inspector said not a word, despite the fact that the straps > > > were obviously missing. > > > > *sigh* I know folks that noted the same about Miami, before Andrew hit. > > (And people wonder why folks get killed...) > > And, incredibly, since. Money talks. *sigh* How much does human life cost, I wonder? (Yes, I'll be blunt--to me, people who skimp on safety features that make a house a bit more survivable in a tornado or hurricane "to save money" are basically earning blood money, especially if they're in an area *known* to have hurricanes or tornadoes and expected to have them in future.) Then again, folks are having a time getting used to earthquake codes in Kentucky too. :P (Kentucky, for those who don't know, lies on at least two largish fault line systems--one at New Madrid, which threw some *huge* quakes in 1811-1812 that rang church bells as far away as Quebec. Another runs right under New Albany, right across the river from Louisville (this is itself a spur line of the New Madrid system). Both fault lines have thrown 5.0's in the past few years, and the New Madrid faultline is expected to throw another 8.0 within the next 25-50 years or so. Kentucky and the surrounding states--including Tennessee and Missouri (St. Louis and Memphis are *right on* the New Madrid faultline system)--have only had quake-codes for building since the late 80's.) It's admittedly not about weather, but we've our own complacency problem here on potential disasters. > > That's entirely possible too. (Kentucky, we have a lot of trailers, but > > that's because we're a poor state; we also have a number of RV parks in an > > attempt to funnel tourism money into the state when folks go fishing. :) > > Florida has a lot of RV's and trailers because [so the folks I know in > > Florida tell me] roughly the entire adult population of Quebec moves to > > Florida for the winter. :) > > Yes! It's amazing to watch what seems like entire communities relocate > enmasse. We have a real mix: residents, snowbirds, sunbirds, and > tourists. Many residents are retirees and quite a few of them need > assistance. *nodnods* Well and truly understood on that. (The closest Kentucky comes at all to what Florida gets is during Derby Week. Perversely, Derby Week also falls smack dab in the middle of severe weather season here. I do doubt that most folks coming here for the Derby, or more usually to party, are that familiar with Ohio Valley weather and how it can take extremes. :) > I did many interviews for a hurricane evacuation survey years > ago to determine both knowledge about preparation and the need for > evacuation assistance. I talked to many people in mobile and woodframe > homes or in areas that flood who are disabled, quite a few burdened with > life-sustaining medical equipment. (And many who thought hurricanes were > tornadoes - brief and unlikely to affect them.) *nods* That is part of why I suggest that in any sort of emergency plan involving RV's or trailer parks, or tourism for that matter, a list explaining severe weather that occurs in Florida, how bad it can get, and what you should do if severe weather strikes. (We get folks during Derby from California and even foreign dignitaries. The Californians would know *exactly* what to do if New Madrid decided to "release tension", but a lot of 'em haven't seen tornadoes or hailstorms and would just kinda look at the sky going "hey, neat, I've never seen a tornado before".) > Many decisions here are based on how they'll influence the flow of > tourist dollars. For instance, we've just had a mosquito-borne > encephalitis outbreak and journalists expressed much frustration at the > lack of info. The St. Pete Times ran an article detailing the way a > previous outbreak was handled, including how it was purposefully > downplayed, even as deaths mounted, because of the fear that tourists > would stay away. :P Some of what I'm hearin' on that in Florida is making me ever more and more thankful that Kentucky's only major tourist events are the Derby and (to a lesser extent) the Breeder's Cup and the two major horse shows held here in Louisville. :P > During the coverage Monday of the tornado damage, the fact that the major > theme parks were not damaged and were open was repeated frequently -- > perhaps to slow phone calls to the stations, perhaps at the urging of > politicos or economic interests -- and since, there's been moaning about > the number of vacation cancellations. :P I also expect someone will whinge "WHY AIN'T THAT THERE TWISTER RIDE OPEN YET?!?" eventually...kinda like the folks that don't want their UK game or the twenty millionth time they've seen "Hunt For Red October" on HBO or their NASCAR race on ESPN interrupted because there just MIGHT be a tornado warning in the service area the cable company or TV station covers. :P (Yes, I've experienced this here too--there were quite a number of NASCAR fans who threw a temper tantrum because a station here showed a news program on a rather large snow we had here (18 inches, which is a record here in Louisville) instead of a Daytona 500 preliminary. :( ) > With so much focus on maintaining an image of a carefree paradise to keep > $$ flowing, changing building codes is near to impossible -- even > educating the public is avoided. *sigh* Blood money, I tell ya...how much blood money's gonna flow into the state when the NEXT big weather event comes in and kills folks (could be a tornado, could be a Cat 5 hurricane, could be the entire state of Florida washing slowly into the Gulf as our friend from Gainesville seems to be reporting it's doing as of late...) and folks find out the state isn't even educating folks on how to protect themselves? :P > Marianne -pb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 *********************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1726 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626113-1313>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 11:39:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAB12688; Sat, 28 Feb 1998 21:37:10 -0600 Message-Id: <199803010337.VAB12688@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 21:27:59 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 to 28 Feb 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 42a4e2d2b6d0c1a7e66dee4c034dd5cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 19 messages totalling 820 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Warning Methods (15) 2. Severe Weather Risk In Oregon 3. ASOS Commissioning notice 4. FXUS43....FXUS46 ECT 5. Digital Atmosphere and EMWIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 02:18:47 -0500 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: Re: Warning Methods >Date: Fri, 27 Feb 1998 16:47:03 -0500 >From: "Todd L. Sherman" >Subject: Re: Warning Methods > >... > Well no, no, now...he may actually live in a part of the US that really >doesn't get affected by certain sorts of severe stuff that much. But that's >his option. If he wants to turn it off, he can, but the government would >have provided that safety option to be available for him right there if he >so chose.. But at least it was a choice MADE AVAILABLE to him. And if he >really NEEDED it later, all he'd have to do is turn it back on. > >... > But I can't help but think if we made this a government mandate, for the >safety of our people, a lot less deaths might occur. >... Wrong, wrong, wrong! Joe Sixpack has to realise that the safety of his property and family is HIS responsibility. If Joe wants to buy beer instead of a wx radio or a smoke detector then let him! The more government we create in the form of rules, mandates, etc. the more Joe will just sit back and watch his TV and wait for someone else to take care of things. Lee Roth webwise@johnstown.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 04:30:42 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Severe Weather Risk In Oregon Hi All: I'm jumping ahead a little bit here, but I am tired of getting caught by surprise with the unusual cold-core activity that we have seen over Oregon the past year or so. With that in mind, and taking any prediction for actual severe weather and throwing it out the window - l shall present my rationale for why you might want to keep a look out this Sunday and Monday, and where to look. This information is also intended for general reference, and in no way is meant to suggest that the SPC should put a bright red watch box over Western Oregon. The next system is moving into Oregon as I write, and it does promise to make things really wet on Saturday, with local forecasters putting a chance of thunderstorms in the forecasts for Sunday and Monday. My two personal prime factors will probably be there to create a better chance of cold-core activity in this environment. First, check the 12Z Salem, OR upper air soundings on those days. I have found the single best indicator for cold-core spinups is a strong low-level wind shear; it seems to be mandatory, and it can been observed prior to the peak risk time for such events. Anytime I see a 40+ degree windshift in the first 5,000 to 7,000 ft of the atmosphere, particularly if the wind speeds are increasing with height, then I start to look for activity if we have the instability present. These winds also have to be blowing at around 20mph+, a light breeze can't do anything, reguardless of shear pattern. Second, warmer that normal temperatures help a lot. The ENSO effects seem to have included warmer than average surface air temps behind the cold fronts Oregon has been seeing. Forecast highs are in the low 50's for Sunday-Monday, warmer than we usually see behind a late winter cold front. Upper level temps, however, aren't warmer than normal - and the contrast is why the risk of thunderstorms has been put into the mix. If shear and strong updrafts are there for us, then the trick is to be in the right place at the right time. Given that these cold-core events usually occur in the lowest levels and can't be seen well, if at all, by the doppler radars, and can happen without any warning in cloud structures that don't look supercellish at all, pure luck governs your chasing around here. But if you examine a map and post all the tornado and funnel reports over the past 12 months or so, then two areas stick out as centers of activity. First is the north coast of Oregon, from Newport to Astoria. The waters right off the Oregon coast are warmer than normal - heating the air above them and adding to the instability factor. Funnel clouds and water spouts have been seen, and several weak tornados have occured. One thing annoying, however, is that many of the tornados are occuring overnight - not much light to see by. I would only chase there if I was there already - but any excuse to be at the beach is ok by me. Second choice is the Oregon Tornado Alley - The mid-Willamette Valley. In the area between Salem and Albany, Oregon, over the past year, six tornados have touched down, between the hours of 11am and 5pm. I personally had the chance to see a funnel cloud a few days ago in the Albany vicinity - and certainly would have seen them floating around the western side of the Valley last June had I not been chasing blue sky in Oklahoma! (tho I did get to see pictures) All this activity has occured in an area of only about 2400 square miles. To narrow it down even further - parking on a hill overlooking the Albany area is maybe the best single spot of all. I have seen 4 funnel clouds over the last 3 years alone by chance in this area, and who knows how many more occured while I wasn't watching! Yes, it is a long-shot at best, but given that I have to spend 355 days a year away from the midwest, it is all I have to go by. And in all seriousness - I believe that this Spring will see some very volatile weather - and that the true risk of severe weather, in the form of thunderstorm winds, downbursts, hail, lightning AND small tornados is greater than average. It won't hurt for all of us to keep our eyes to the skies and pay a bit more attention when things get bubbling. Richard Halter OTCS ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 11:33:13 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 26 February 1998: BIG PINEY-MARBLETON AIRPORT (KBPI) BIG PINEY... WY JOPLIN REGIONAL AIRPORT (KJLN) JOPLIN... MO The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 27 February 1998: CROSS SITY AIRPORT (KCTY) CROSS CITY... FL PERRY-FOLEY AIRPORT (K40J) PERRY-FOLEY... FL The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 0000 local standard time on 01 March 1998: SALT LAKE CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KSLC) SALT LAKE CITY... UT KAHULUI AIRPORT (PHOG) KAHULUI... HI The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 01 March 1998: JUNEAU INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (PAJN) JUNEAU... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 12:21:50 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Warning Methods Roth, Leland wrote: > > Joe Sixpack has to realise that the safety of his property and family is > HIS responsibility. If Joe wants to buy beer instead of a wx radio or > a smoke detector then let him! The more government we create in the form > of rules, mandates, etc. the more Joe will just sit back and watch his TV > and wait for someone else to take care of things. Absolutely. Perhaps we should continue to provide watches and warnings, but (insert toungue firmly in cheek NOW!) allow people to file a form affirming that they will not be paying attention to them because they have not previously been killed by such an event. (Those not so lucky who had already been killed could be made exempt to close tort suit legal loopholes.) The form would also provide a space for listing next of kin contact information, in case the lucky devil's luck runs out. (My guess is they may also willingly buy lottery tickets, even though they have never won more than $1,000,000 dollars before...but hey, it only takes one!) Also, it's too bad the Psychic Friends Network went bust financially. We might have been able to use them to issue long term warnings to specific individuals allowing the scrapping of the entire warning network system and the saving of billions of dollars. Of course they didn't see the bankruptcy coming..... :-) (Remove toungue...) Gary -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" (NEW!) My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" "Every so often, I like to stick my head out the window, look up, and smile for a satellite picture." --Steven Wright, peripheral visionary ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 12:15:49 -0600 From: dohiggi Subject: FXUS43....FXUS46 ECT Does anyone know of a site that lists the code for forecast discussions for all forecast office. ie FXUS43 GRB...FPUS3 MKE? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 16:10:13 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > > On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > > > > > > > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS systems > > > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and > > > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your > > > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should be > > > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" > > > > > ...snip... > > > > Our cable system (Comcast) DOES break in with NWR on all channels, > > including HBO, whenever a warning is issued for our county. It's > > extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living in the same > > house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm > > affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred > > warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my > > home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be > > interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most > > people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring > > all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. > > While I agree it stinks to have all channels interrupted, remember > what you said. For some subscribers, for each of the cases above, you > state that it DID verify, which means there are a lot of grateful > subscribers out there, likely. > > Unfortunately, you'll get your turn someday for the warning to > verify at your place...I just hope you'll keep your lucky streak going as > long as possible! > > Gilbert > > But even for those that the dime-size hail producing thunderstorm verified with maybe also 30 mph winds, didn't receive any damage either. And most warnings in this part of the country verify for this size hail. I have had dime size hail fall when under a warning, but like I said, no damage. (Even if the roof was damaged in this case, I couldn't have done anything about it anyway!) Sure, its good to be warned of an impending, damaging storm or tornado. I can take cover and save my life. But the fact is that it hasn't done that damage in 20 years and hundreds of warnings, and I think many, many people don't listen or don't act on warnings for just this reason. If only one out of 200 or 300 warnings verify in a specific site the size of a house, don't you think people would begin ignoring them? I'm talking about non-weather hobby people here. If you tried to vacate a building for fire 300 times without a fire, do you think anyone would listen anymore? KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 16:38:42 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods N9NPP wrote: > > Charles Edwards wrote: > > > Next time you are crossing the road and a bus is about to hit you, I will > > remember not to warn you. After all, it may just miss you. I wouldn't want > > to warn anybody unnecessarily. > > and you also wouldn't want the money hungry creep to end up suing you for > infringing on his rights to not be warned. hey why not they're suing for > everything else these days. > > matt > > > > > > > Charles Edwards > > cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu > > storms@pair.com > > http://www3.pair.com/storms > > You're totally missing the point. I guess it's a losing battle. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 15:56:48 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Scott Bachmeier wrote: > > kz wrote: > > If the TV set comes equipped with WRSAME, I'd have it turned off > > immeditately. There are too many interuptions already... > > > > ...It's extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living > > in the same house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a > > severe thunderstorm affect my property even though there must have > > been over a hundred warnings issued for the county (verifying for > > the county, but not my home). > > Well, there you have it -- looks to me like it simply _CAN'T_ happen to > you, kz. So keep turning off those pesky Weather Radio alarms, and just > sit back and watch some good 'ol TV! > > I didn't imply that it couldn't happen to me, sir, just that it hasn't so far. Even if wind did blow some trees over in my yard, they would have blown over if I'd heard the warning or not. Can't cover them up, you know. Now, a verified Tornado Warning is something else altogether. Then I'd want to be warned, but NOT warned hundreds of times when there is a dime-size hail-producing storm miles away in my county that wouldn't hurt me even if it DID hit my yard. And here in the south, you get lots of those type of warnings. Perhaps have the WRSAME radios set for only tornado warnings would be the way to go. Just my opinion. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 16:15:53 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Charles Edwards wrote: > > At 10:04 AM 2/27/98 -0800, kz wrote: > >Kevin Heyboer wrote: > >Like I posted before, I've been living in the same > >house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm > >affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred > >warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my > >home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be > >interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most > >people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring > >all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. > > Next time you are crossing the road and a bus is about to hit you, I will > remember not to warn you. After all, it may just miss you. I wouldn't want > to warn anybody unnecessarily. > I think if you'd warned me 300 times that a bus was about to hit me and none ever did, I'd tell you to stop. I could take a little responsibility for myself. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 17:03:00 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > > > Unfortunately, you'll get your turn someday for the warning to > > verify at your place...I just hope you'll keep your lucky streak going as > > long as possible! > > Here, here. > > Okay, let me propose a work-around for the interrupted recordings of your > favorite movies. > Gee, I though I was talking to a rather smart, intelligent and open-minded group here, but obviously all your minds are closed to any challenge at all to the warning systems in place and the fact that people feel they are being overwarned. Just keep on warning for storms that do little damage or are too far away and someday NObody will listen anymore. Just my opinion. Like I asked before, give me ONE case where dime size hail killed anybody or did any damage and then tell me what good warning for this small storm did to anyone. Warnings can't always be issued "just in case" something more dangerous forms. They need to be dangerous in the first place. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 17:11:20 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Chris Novy wrote: > > Todd L. Sherman wrote... > > > For new TVs and VCRs, bring the weather alert out of the actual video so > >that legalized piracy 8-) is not advers-fected. When a warning is issued, > >it could be sent as a sub-signal somewhere which activates a screen your > >*VCR* and/or *TV* puts up on top of your video signal, but which does not > >get recorded - sort of like your VCR's current setup menu screen. > > This is a great idea and one which hints at a more subtle point. Require > the government to make the signal available but allow users to decide how > to process the signal. Let's look at a parallel example and note some > similarities and differences. I can personally understand why making > seat belt use mandatory is a good idea. If you are driving and get in a > bad accident *and* you are not wearing your belt, you *will* get seriously > messed up and you will *needlessly* tax the emergency medical response system. > My grandmother having chest pains at home will die of a heart attack because > the ambulance crew that would have been there to save her is instead clear > across town --scraping your gooey remains off a guardrail. What would have > been a simple bump or bruise for you now becomes a fractured pelvis or > serious head trauma. Weather warnings are different though. First and > foremost there are multiple ways to receive warnings. People can purchase > a working tone-alert weather radio for about 20 dollars, they can listen to > commercial TV and radio, they can look out the window and see it coming. > Unlike seat belts, which hold you in place, warnings don't directly protect > people. They simply say "there's something bad coming, now you decide what > to do". There are no laws that require people to head to their basements or > leave their mobile homes for permanent shelter. And as I said in a previous > posting, if you're at ground-zero in a tornado it's problematic whether > you're going to survive at all --regardless of what actions you choose to > take. > > The idea Todd proposes permits the widest possible penetration of warning > coverage *without* being too intrusive. If the government could mandate > something as expensive and useless as the V-chip (supposedly to prevent > > kids from having their minds warped by TV) or require closed captioning > for the 1 in 100,000 of us that actually use this service, they could > certainly make EAS message decoding a mandatory capability of all TV sets. > But leave the decision of how to process the information (alarm bell, > scrolling text, a flashing external indicator on the TV, or completely > ignore it) up to the TV owner. I do realize that it's supposedly the > role of the government to protect its citizens from harm --weather or > not they want to be protected. Thus, maybe the government should require > all warnings to interrupt cable TV signals and perhaps even your home VCR > so that even if you are watching a rented movie your signal will get > interrupted. Then again, do you really expect joe sixpack to get up > from his TV and go into the basement?! Nope, you'll be lucky if he's not > out in the street with a beer in one hand and his camcorder in the other. > > I'm also disturbed by the practice of some TV stations interrupting > programming for every severe thunderstorm warning. Severe thunderstorms > are just not that dangerous. Sure, they look mean, but on average they > really do not pose that great a risk to people indoors and away from windows. > The more you interrupt programming with live cut-ins for wimpy storms > the more people will tend to ignore you --even when it's for "killer" > storms. The public has no way of telling the difference. And when TV > station "A" starts hyping itself as "thee weather source" then station > "B" has to come back with something even more bold --like 256 color > fly-thru color weather radar! Then station "C" decides to buy a live > truck to go chasing because "people need to see what's coming" and before > you know it you have a circus. Intelligent people will start ignoring > the cut-ins the same way they ignore WWF wrestling matches! > > I'm posing some food for thought here and nothing more. The question > is how far should government go (into our homes, living rooms, and > bedrooms) to protect us? ..Chris.. > *====================================================================* > Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu > Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu > Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) > Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) > Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 > *====================================================================* > Good post. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 16:49:29 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Todd L. Sherman wrote: > But I can't help but think if we made this a government mandate, for the > safety of our people, a lot less deaths might occur. > > You know...maybe we COULD make it so that everything can be turned off by > the user EXCEPT the tornado warnings... > > Just curious...is there anything naturally sent now in cable TV signals > which identifies from which broadcasting station the cable TV signals are > originating? That is, lets say Cox Cable of Gainesville Florida was your > providor. Would you be able to install a weather radio in a TV set which > could read this general location data and disable turning off any Warnings > specifically meant for your area? > > Is this too far fetched? As simple as an additional processor chip > installed, perhaps? > > Todd Like I've said, I'd WANT to be warned of a tornado in my county, but I don't think you can program WRSAME radios for just tornado warnings, can you? Maybe I'm wrong. My point was that the dime size hail thunderstorms with little else (I think they are the most verified severe weather warnings, am I right?) does little damage and warnings of these rather small thunderstorms wouldn't save lives at all. And people interrupted by warnings of these small thunderstorms understand that. Can anybody tell me one incident where a dime size hail-producing thunderstorm did any damage? (Just for the ones that have this size hail, not high winds). If dime-size hail covered the ground at your house, would a warning have saved your life? Would it have saved your yard? KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:40:17 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Warning Methods At 04:15 PM 2/28/98 -0800, kz wrote: >I think if you'd warned me 300 times that a bus was about to hit me and >none ever did, I'd tell you to stop. I could take a little >responsibility for myself. > Exactly my point. You should be warned. What you choose to do with the warning is you choice. The weather is unpredictable. We cannot warn only if a tornado is going to affect you. Where there is dime size hail, there may be strong winds or other developing severe weather. Weather warnings are not like fire alarms or anything like that. If there is a fire, there is a more certain risk. I would rather take shelter 200 times unnecessarily than never be warned and have a tornado kill me. If you seek shelter several hundred times and never get hit by a tornado, consider yourself lucky. Don't complain. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:46:48 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Warning Methods At 05:03 PM 2/28/98 -0800, kz wrote: > Like I asked before, give me ONE case where dime size hail killed >anybody or did any damage and then tell me what good warning for this >small storm did to anyone. Dime size hail can do massive damage to peach crops. I don't have any specific examples, but I am sure any peach farmer can name many. I don't know what they can do to prevent the damage though; I am not a farmer. >Warnings can't always be issued "just in >case" something more dangerous forms. They need to be dangerous in the >first place. So you say they should not warn for tornadoes until one touches down? Maybe that initial touch down point could be a school. If they see the potential 20 minutes earlier, maybe the kids can seek shelter. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 21:54:46 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Warning Methods > > Like I asked before, give me ONE case where dime size hail killed > >anybody or did any damage and then tell me what good warning for this > >small storm did to anyone. > > Dime size hail can do massive damage to peach crops. I don't have any > specific examples, but I am sure any peach farmer can name many. I don't > know what they can do to prevent the damage though; I am not a farmer. Exactly -- what can you do in 5-10 minutes that would save your crop. Odds are -- nothing. And should we be activating an extensive severe weather system because someone's peach crop might be hurt? I say no... If Mr. Peach Farmer wants specialized information on dime-sized hail, he oughta be paying some private met firm to tell him that. I vote for increasing the criteria to "real" severe levels. As a matter of fact some NWS groups were supposed to have met last year on doing just that, but no news has been released so I suppose that effort suffered the bureaucratic shuffle... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 22:05:36 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, Gary Arnold wrote: > Roth, Leland wrote: > > > > Joe Sixpack has to realise that the safety of his property and family is > > HIS responsibility. If Joe wants to buy beer instead of a wx radio or > > a smoke detector then let him! The more government we create in the form > > of rules, mandates, etc. the more Joe will just sit back and watch his TV > > and wait for someone else to take care of things. > > Absolutely. Perhaps we should continue to provide watches and warnings, > but (insert toungue firmly in cheek NOW!) allow people to file a form > affirming that they will not be paying attention to them because they > have not previously been killed by such an event. (Those not so lucky > who had already been killed could be made exempt to close tort suit > legal loopholes.) The form would also provide a space for listing next > of kin contact information, in case the lucky devil's luck runs out. > (My guess is they may also willingly buy lottery tickets, even though > they have never won more than $1,000,000 dollars before...but hey, it > only takes one!) > > Also, it's too bad the Psychic Friends Network went bust financially. > We might have been able to use them to issue long term warnings to > specific individuals allowing the scrapping of the entire warning > network system and the saving of billions of dollars. Mindless drivelling aside, I fail to see how Florida government requiring all schools have weather radios forces them to fill out any forms, hinders their rights in any way, or causes them extra work or trouble aside from possibly having to hit a button, which removes the I think you're jumping the gun. Same reasoning: mandating that all new steros, VCRs, TV, and the like be installed with the additional menu option will not affect anyone in any perversely overburdened way as you and friend are seeming to intimate. All it does is make something most never think to purchase more readily available when they DO wish they had it. All yuh gotta do then is turn on the menu option. These additions would be an added part of an already existing menu option on many VCRs, TVs, etc. which for the people who think it rediculous, obviously wouldn't even be touched or turned on. No problem to them. But, it would be there if you so decided later to use it. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 22:18:13 -0500 From: Paul Robertson Subject: Digital Atmosphere and EMWIN I just downloaded the subject program version 2.0 and am using EMWIN. I cannot seem to get to the updated SA's even though I have changed the source to "sahourly.txt" as instructed. I am using the 1200 baud satellite system. Can someone please let me know what I am doing incorrectly. Thanks for the help Paul ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 22:21:32 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > Like I've said, I'd WANT to be warned of a tornado in my county, but I > don't think you can program WRSAME radios for just tornado warnings, can > you? Maybe I'm wrong. No, apparently I was wrong. You can't. What I can't fathom is why anyone would produce such a neat little radio with such features as it does and then NOT THINK to add that little option. You would think it follows through in the thinking of the main idea. But, apparently not. > My point was that the dime size hail thunderstorms with little else (I > think they are the most verified severe weather warnings, am I right?) > does little damage and warnings of these rather small thunderstorms > wouldn't save lives at all. And people interrupted by warnings of these > small thunderstorms understand that. Its the potential of worse. If its producing hail of that size and it still reaches the ground then something wicked that way goes on up there already. > Can anybody tell me one incident where a dime size hail-producing > thunderstorm did any damage? (Just for the ones that have this size > hail, not high winds). If dime-size hail covered the ground at your > house, would a warning have saved your life? Would it have saved your > yard? You miss the point of the wariness over the dime-sized. Report it when its dime-sized and by the time the warning is put out, it could by then have become larger. You DON'T mess with strong storms thinking they're probably not gonna grow into anything that will harm you or anyone else, if you don't know anything about storms to know better. For that matter, storms not expected to produce ANYTHING have produced severe stuff before. I've got a video of a funnel coming out of a supposedly non-severe storm. No watches. No warnings. There it was. That's good enough for me to realize a caution for any storm. By your logic, I guess I should not even bother to report this to local EOC or the NWS? If its producing dime-sized hail you should be watching it closely just in case. That's why they tell you about it. The people down the path of it have time, theoretically, to bring in their vehicles, or whatever, out of the way of it (if they can). Etc. Now, if it does indeed become the larger stuff you were (hopefully) prepared. Anyone? Did I miss the point? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 22:27:39 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > > > > > > Unfortunately, you'll get your turn someday for the warning to > > > verify at your place...I just hope you'll keep your lucky streak going as > > > long as possible! > > > > Here, here. > > > > Okay, let me propose a work-around for the interrupted recordings of your > > favorite movies. > > > > Gee, I though I was talking to a rather smart, intelligent and > open-minded group here, but obviously all your minds are closed to any > challenge at all to the warning systems in place and the fact that > people feel they are being overwarned. Just keep on warning for storms > that do little damage or are too far away and someday NObody will listen > anymore. Okay. Who's the numb-nut's name who went out and about with a clipboard and actually recorded names in an opinion poll over overwarnings? I think you fall prey to Press words, there. I think the IDEA you try to prove is that people don't feel like going down to RS and purchasing a weather radio when that $80 can be better spent on something they feel is a better choice at the time...towards a VCR for example. This is a far different story altogether. Its not that people are upset at being overwarned, and so think a weather radio is a stupid purchase. Its that they would rather have a VCR, and so beside that then yes, a weather radio seems then a silly purchase. "Maybe next paycheck, though." Is this what you are trying to get at? Like I said, this is where a government mandate to include wx warning reception to VCR, TV, and stereo made of late would probably help. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 to 28 Feb 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2707 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626142-1313>; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40302; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 00:07:03 -0600 Message-Id: <199803010607.AAA40302@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 00:01:22 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Feb 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a078f5b7f5585f7456f52b310a20d8da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 445 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Warning Methods (7) 2. FXUS43...FXUS46 ECT (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 22:29:38 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > Dime size hail can do massive damage to peach crops. I don't have any > > specific examples, but I am sure any peach farmer can name many. I don't > > know what they can do to prevent the damage though; I am not a farmer. > > Exactly -- what can you do in 5-10 minutes that would save your crop. Odds > are -- nothing. And should we be activating an extensive severe weather > system because someone's peach crop might be hurt? I say no... If Mr. Peach > Farmer wants specialized information on dime-sized hail, he oughta be paying > some private met firm to tell him that. > > I vote for increasing the criteria to "real" severe levels. As a matter of > fact some NWS groups were supposed to have met last year on doing just that, > but no news has been released so I suppose that effort suffered the > bureaucratic shuffle... Hmm. I wonder what you could do for your vehicle, though. Bring it in the garage ahead of time, perhaps. Nah. Stupid idea to have a warning that allows that. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 21:29:22 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Warning Methods kz wrote: > > > Gee, I though I was talking to a rather smart, intelligent and > open-minded group here, now..now....now, is that anyway to talk to strangers. > > but obviously all your minds are closed to any > challenge at all to the warning systems in place and the fact that > people feel they are being overwarned. Just keep on warning for storms > that do little damage or are too far away and someday NObody will listen > anymore. > Just my opinion. > Like I asked before, give me ONE case where dime size hail killed > anybody or did any damage and then tell me what good warning for this > small storm did to anyone. Warnings can't always be issued "just in > case" something more dangerous forms. They need to be dangerous in the > first place. > > KZ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 04:09:48 GMT From: J Subject: Re: FXUS43...FXUS46 ECT > From: dohiggi > Subject: FXUS43....FXUS46 ECT > Does anyone know of a site that lists the code for forecast > discussions for all forecast office. ie FXUS43 GRB...FPUS3 MKE? http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/raw/FXUS/ -------------------------------------------------------------- This newspost is spam-protected by supplying a false e-mail. ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 23:16:10 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Warning Methods > Hmm. I wonder what you could do for your vehicle, though. Bring it in > the garage ahead of time, perhaps. Nah. Stupid idea to have a warning that > allows that. Show me _ANYONE_ who moves their car into the garage because a Severe Thunderstorm Warning was issued for dime-sized hail. I don't even know that dime-sized hail would cause as much of a mark as a pebble that gets kicked up on a dirt road... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 04:45:17 GMT From: J Subject: Re: FXUS43...FXUS46 ECT I may have spoke to soon as the person was actually looking for a *list* of FXUS's. All I can say to that is that Looking in http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/raw/1996_FOS_Catalog Which is admittedly an old catalog I see ABR - Aberdeen, SD FXUS21 KABR FSDNOWABR FXUS45 KABR FSDOPUABR 21 is a short-term and 45 doesn't show up currently. The only thing that shows up currently at http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/sd/discussion.html for South Dakota is FPUS3 KFSD 282112 SFDFSD which may be it for S.D. ... -------------------------------------------------------------- This newspost is spam-protected by supplying a false e-mail. ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 00:37:46 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > N9NPP wrote: > > > > Charles Edwards wrote: > > > > > Next time you are crossing the road and a bus is about to hit you, I will > > > remember not to warn you. After all, it may just miss you. I wouldn't want > > > to warn anybody unnecessarily. > > > > and you also wouldn't want the money hungry creep to end up suing you for > > infringing on his rights to not be warned. hey why not they're suing for > > everything else these days. > > You're totally missing the point. I guess it's a losing battle. Erm...I dare say, I don't think it's the folks telling you that you're wrong (several of which are involved in public safety, and several others of which go into storms [which can turn right nasty sometimes] because they feel those storms can be quite beautiful and/or educational) that are missing the point. Fine. So you haven't had damage from severe weather in 20 years. No tornadoes, not so much as a shingle knocked off of your roof, nothing. Hence, you do not understand why your cable system deems it necessary to interrupt your ten-thousandth viewing of "Twister" to tell you that a Real Live, Non-Computer-Animated Tornado is in your county. I'll put it to you like this, KZ; you have been extremely lucky. May your good fortune continue. I will also remind you as well that the day may come when you are NOT so lucky, and the next severe storm that brews up could well contain a rather large and rather nasty tornado that your house is in the path of. The tornado (unlike the ones in "Twister") isn't malicious, and it certainly wouldn't intend to reduce your house to its constituent building materials in a messy manner if it hit, but...well, when Big Winds hit a house, Dooky Happens. Something is going to give. People in Louisville, Kentucky did not honestly expect that a rather large and nasty tornado would come visiting April 3, 1974 to Cherokee Park, either. Same for Brandenburg and a mess of other towns. Those towns did have F4 and F5-damage-causing tornados hit, though. Folks in Brooks, Kentucky and in Mt. Washington sure weren't looking to the skies May 25th, 1995 thinking they'd get a cordial visit by an F4 their houses happened to be in the path of. Most of 'em were more worried about dinner, frankly. I'm sure the poor folks in Jarrell, TX weren't expecting that F5 that hit them to be such a "bad storm" either. Even completely ASIDE from tornados, folks here in Louisville and in the rest of Kentucky weren't exactly expecting simple *rain* here to keep going till most of the state was reduced to the Appalachian Mountains, a few high spots around Covington and Louisville, and the rest of the state turned into an enormous bayou. I live on relatively high ground and by nightfall when the floods hit my neighbourhood was completely sealed off by flooding; we even had some homes on the outer parts flooded and my yard had a lovely duck pond in it (complete with ducks) for a month afterwards. The fact is, Dooky Will Happen Sometimes. You can't expect to be lucky ALL the time. One day, you're going to roll the dice and it is gonna come up snake-eyes. You might complain that it's not "severe" enough, or it's not hitting Your House. The weather service does the best it can, really; however, they are not psychics (and the VERY few possibly-psychic folks I've met aren't even THAT good at predicting which storm is gonna spawn a twister :). The fact is, a severe weather warning (even for hail and all) means there is some Fairly Nasty Stuff out there and you should be somewhere safe in shelter. It might not seem all that nasty to you inside, but if your're outside you could get brained easily by hail (or you could skid driving on it). Same goes for tornado warnings. Some tornados don't show up on the radar ("tornados may form with little or no advance warning...") and there are no chasers or spotters there to see it. Other times it can brew up *very* quickly (as tornados have a habit of doing in the Ohio Valley). One can also not tell by radar, or even sometimes by looking at a tornado itself, whether it is going to cause a little or a lot of damage. (You chasers who have seen large, but relatively weak tornados--and vice versa--could probably provide examples of this. :) And one final thing to remember--cable stations do have an obligation (at one time under the FCC's regulations--it may be there still--and according to an awful lot of the contracts they have with areas to provide cable service) to provide service "in the public interest". If they don't, they lose their license or contract. Part of this "public interest" stuff is trying to keep the public safe by letting them know about severe weather warnings. (FWIW, that is also partly why radio and TV stations do it too. It's part of "serving the public interest".) If you were to call your cable system and ask them why they insist on showing severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings whilst you're watching HBO, they will likely tell you, nicely or not so nicely: 1) Severe thunderstorms and tornados can break people and things. Floods have the bad tendency of drowning folks who get caught in them. 2) The cable system has, as part of its obligations, a duty to serve the public interest. 3) Letting folks know about severe weather headed for them is in the public interest, as most people don't want themselves or their things broken or washed away in a severe storm. 4) Therefore, a severe thunderstorm or tornado or flood warning--and the cable system's obligation to carry it--greatly trumps your desire to see movies on HBO uninterrupted. Now...if you want to be suicidally stupid (and yes, I will flat out state that IMHO--based on how the odds DO run out eventually--anyone who willingly states they do not wish to be informed of severe weather heading for them *is* suicidally stupid), do be my guest. If the TV manufacturers put WRSAME-capability in TV's and radios and you have it disabled, fine. Please, however, do NOT whinge to the National Weather Service, the press, or to the fine folk on this list (and this applies to your family as well) the day the odds run out and you or a family member is injured or killed in a severe thunderstorm or tornado or flood. After all, according to your own statements, "severe weather never happens here" and being able to watch "Twister" uninterrupted on HBO trumps, in your opinion, being notified that a REAL twister might be headed your way. I honestly expect that the comments you receive at that time will be a very polite, if blunt, version of the cheer "Evolution in action. Go, Darwin, Go". After all, YOU took the risks. You paid the consequences. -pb ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 00:39:56 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > Hmm. I wonder what you could do for your vehicle, though. Bring it in > > the garage ahead of time, perhaps. Nah. Stupid idea to have a warning > > that allows that. > > Show me _ANYONE_ who moves their car into the garage because a Severe > Thunderstorm Warning was issued for dime-sized hail. I don't even know that > dime-sized hail would cause as much of a mark as a pebble that gets kicked > up on a dirt road... Would you move it in for one-inch hail? If you had some kind of advance warning that this _might_ occur, would you appreciate it? What kind of advance warning might you consider that to be, then? Just because YOU PERSONALLY don't bring your car in doesn't mean that the rest of us should not, as well. Do you wait UNTIL the warnings state that one-inch hail is ALREADY falling on top of your area before you take action? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 00:44:51 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, kz wrote: > Can anybody tell me one incident where a dime size hail-producing > thunderstorm did any damage? (Just for the ones that have this size > hail, not high winds). If dime-size hail covered the ground at your > house, would a warning have saved your life? Would it have saved your > yard? Actually, there is a considerable risk for two separate areas even with dime sized hail. 1) If you drive in it, you can wreck (after all, you are driving on ice pellets). *Every* ground-covering hail event in Louisville has had at least a few accidents due to folks driving in it and sliding. I am sure that a few of the chasers on here could also tell you in quite excruciating detail on how driving in dime-sized hail can be dangerous. 2) Livestock that are exposed to hailfalls can be injured, especially young animals. (Believe it or not, KZ, not all warnings are geared towards protecting humans! It's also protecting property *and one's livestock* as well.) Even in Kentucky, we have (besides all the horses) a number of OTHER kinds of livestock that could be injured or sicken in a dime-sized hailfall. (Cows, sheep, llamas, chickens, ratites [Kentucky actually has a sizable ostrich and emu industry], ducks, etc. could be injured. The birds could likely even die.) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 00:55:53 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > > Like I asked before, give me ONE case where dime size hail killed > > >anybody or did any damage and then tell me what good warning for this > > >small storm did to anyone. > > > > Dime size hail can do massive damage to peach crops. I don't have any > > specific examples, but I am sure any peach farmer can name many. I don't > > know what they can do to prevent the damage though; I am not a farmer. > > Exactly -- what can you do in 5-10 minutes that would save your crop. Odds > are -- nothing. And should we be activating an extensive severe weather > system because someone's peach crop might be hurt? I say no... If Mr. Peach > Farmer wants specialized information on dime-sized hail, he oughta be paying > some private met firm to tell him that. FWIW, there is stuff peach farmers can do (among other things, try to get as much of the crop off as he can and put protective sheeting over the rest). People who raise chickens or have livestock out to pasture can get them in sheltered housing. And just to make a point, folks--the *original* customers of info from the National Weather Service were *agricultural concerns*. That's right. *Farmers*...And that still is very much a part of the mission of the NWS, as there are still quite a number of states that do NOT have their entire economies based on tourist parks and whatnot. There are a number of folk, especially in the South, that very much depend on farming of some sort as a basic livelihood. (Here in Kentucky, we still do have a lot of agricultural reports given for livestock stuff here, soil temperatures, and whatnot. Farming is still a big thing here. And with radio broadcasts the link with farming and the NWS has been there since the beginning--there were separate frequencies for "entertainment" and "weather and farm and market reports". [This was when there were TWO AM frequencies you could use, back in the 20's.]) I'm sure that they--and *YOUR WALLET*--thank the National Weather Service *very* much when they get enough warning time to cover crops, or bring chickens and livestock in instead of having what might well be their money for the mortgage for the year destroyed in a hailstorm or have their calves or pigs sicken and die because they got caught in the storm and caught pneumonia as a result. > I vote for increasing the criteria to "real" severe levels. As a matter of > fact some NWS groups were supposed to have met last year on doing just that, > but no news has been released so I suppose that effort suffered the > bureaucratic shuffle... And my point is that for a lot of folks, that CAN be severe and a timely warning can be just enough to get the crops covered or the livestock in. (And yes, dime-sized hail can be dangerous for city-folk too, though not in the way most folks expect. Driving in the stuff is as bad as trying to drive on ice...and, no offense, but most people in the South cannot drive in snow to save their lives. I live in a state where this is true to an extent even though we GET snow on a regular basis.) -pb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Feb 1998 *********************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1220 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627842-1312>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 04:08:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA19680; Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:05:34 -0600 Message-Id: <199803012005.OAA19680@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 13:59:24 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Feb 1998 to 1 Mar 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 65689046c9d72fd13aef246ca94b0764 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 823 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Question re: `Turkey Towers' 2. Florida tornadoes; F-sizes? 3. Warning Methods (7) 4. Saving Lives (2) 5. Digital Atmosphere and EMWIN 6. SAME Wx Radios (2) 7. severe weather spotter 8. Athens Georgia Area SKYWARN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 01:01:15 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Question re: `Turkey Towers' Anyone have a visual representation of these `turkey towers' defined in the Spotter's Glossary? Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 01:38:22 -0500 From: Greg Keklak Subject: Florida tornadoes; F-sizes? Does anyone know what the final tally was for the Florida outbreak in terms of both shear numbers as well as the number of F1's, F2's, etc ? Thanks in advance ....... Greg Keklak yaz@home.com http://members.home.com/yaz ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 23:47:20 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Paula Bailey wrote: > ...cut... > I will also remind you as well that the day may come when you are NOT so > lucky, and the next severe storm that brews up could well contain a rather > large and rather nasty tornado that your house is in the path of. The > tornado (unlike the ones in "Twister") isn't malicious, and it certainly > wouldn't intend to reduce your house to its constituent building materials > in a messy manner if it hit, but...well, when Big Winds hit a house, Dooky > Happens. Something is going to give. > ...cut... Paula, you're NOT reading my posts. I DO want to be warned of a tornado or potential tornado, but not marginally severe thunderstorms without doppler indicated Mesos or TVS's. Tornadoes are an entirelly different matter. But to be warned of every dime-size hail thunderstorm on a non-tornadic summer's afternoon isn't going to save my life. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 23:18:42 -0800 From: kz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Charles Edwards wrote: > > > So you say they should not warn for tornadoes until one touches down? Maybe > that initial touch down point could be a school. If they see the potential > 20 minutes earlier, maybe the kids can seek shelter. > > Charles Edwards > cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu > storms@pair.com > http://www3.pair.com/storms No, no. A doppler indication of a tornado forming SHOULD be put out before it touches the ground. My "complaints" are only toward low-level dime-size hail thunderstorms with no hint of mesos ot TVS's. And I believe these are the majority of verifiable severe thunderstorm warnings. And you're right - peach crops probably couldn't be saved with a warning. Warn for potential tornadoes all you want. I want to hear those. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 04:29:43 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > Heh...basically they are fibreglass tornado shelters, the "shelter area" > being shaped like an egg. One essentially digs a hole and puts the > shelter in, then puts dirt on top of it. The whole deal is designed as a > drop-and-go tornado shelter for folks in trailers, whatnot. Heh, pods. Details, please... size, cost? Is there an aboveground 'footprint' so they can be located by rescue workers? > *nods* Lovely. So basically a lot of reason school is out as a shelter > in Florida is because (and I am speaking purely in an architectural sense) > the schools are often glorified trailer parks themselves. :P Well, yes and no. Many of the junior and senior high schools are designated (usually hurricane) shelters, but many evacuees elect not to use them, opting instead to go to friends' homes, motels (often with a half wall of glass), or to creep along evacuation routes with everyone else trying to flee. > The closest difference I can list on the two (having seen both and all): Thanks :) > Then again, folks are having a time getting used to earthquake codes in > Kentucky too. [...] > thrown 5.0's in the past few years, and the New Madrid faultline is > expected to throw another 8.0 within the next 25-50 years or so. Kentucky > and the surrounding states--including Tennessee and Missouri (St. Louis > and Memphis are *right on* the New Madrid faultline system)--have only had > quake-codes for building since the late 80's.) It's admittedly not about > weather, but we've our own complacency problem here on potential disasters. We're creatures of habit... and have a tendency to believe that if something hasn't happened to us, it won't. It keeps us from hanging from the ceiling 24/7. :) In terms of a "new" threat, I think the two states' complacency probs are similar. > *nods* That is part of why I suggest that in any sort of emergency plan > involving RV's or trailer parks, or tourism for that matter, a list > explaining severe weather that occurs in Florida, how bad it can get, and > what you should do if severe weather strikes. Unfortunately, the tourist industry would go berserk. I suspect quite a few tourists wouldn't be very happy either. Tourism $$ account for a major chunk (>$30 billion) of the state's economy. > :P I also expect someone will whinge "WHY AIN'T THAT THERE TWISTER RIDE > OPEN YET?!?" Imagine if Monday's tornadoes had struck just a few miles away and taken out that ride instead! Btw, I don't know about other papers, but the Times ran the Twister-delayed article in the business section and I've not heard anything about it on tv news (which I don't watch much, but have watched some this last week). I'm a bit puzzled by it though... while waiting your turn, you view displays created by the Severe Storms Lab and then you're entertained by the ride. "Oh, how horrid" followed by "weeeeee!"?!? > number of NASCAR fans who threw a temper tantrum because a station here > showed a news program on a rather large snow we had here (18 inches, which > is a record here in Louisville) instead of a Daytona 500 preliminary. :( ) Mebbe I'd be more sympathetic if I felt tv was entertaining. The guys watched a movie yesterday and I watched the yard -- Sylvester Stallone vs. a hawk swooping in and perching? No match :) Last weekend, the Sunday matinee was an 18" pileated woodpecker. No tv for me. > *sigh* Blood money, I tell ya...how much blood money's gonna flow into > the state when the NEXT big weather event comes in and kills folks (could > be a tornado, could be a Cat 5 hurricane, could be the entire state of > Florida washing slowly into the Gulf as our friend from Gainesville seems > to be reporting it's doing as of late...) and folks find out the state > isn't even educating folks on how to protect themselves? :P It is blood money, from those who mislead and cut corners, to those who later prey on the victims. It seems like people have gotten better about protecting themselves -- perhaps more from shysters than the weather though. I'll bet more people know there's an 800 number to report scam artists than know there are SAME radios. Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 09:37:02 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Warning Methods > Would you move it in for one-inch hail? I personally would be out chasing, so no. However 1" hail is larger than dime-sized. > Just because YOU PERSONALLY don't bring your car in doesn't mean that the > rest of us should not, as well. I'm just saying that a severe thunderstorm warning 1) Has very little impact on the public and 2) Has even less impact when it is issued for dime-sized hail. A few days ago, a WFO in the midwest issued several thunderstorm warnings and the call-to-action for most of them said "Expect hail up to dime-sized and winds up to 60mph." That's all that storm was going to produce, based on synoptic setup and radar information. No golf balls, no 100mph downbursts, no tornados. Was that worth a warning -- I say no. > Do you wait UNTIL the warnings state that one-inch hail is ALREADY falling > on top of your area before you take action? All I'm saying is that if I look down my street the first few minutes after a SVR is issued, I don't see people running out to pull their cars into the garage... As others have mentioned -- we are not the normal public. We don't mind (well, a little ;> ) those 2:30am SVR's for 60mph winds. We don't mind if HBO gets interrupted for a cell 50 miles away. But the public does. I work for a TV station. Trust me when I tell you that the public does not like their shows interrupted unless dire mayhem is occurring... We can sit here and protect the chicken farmer or peach grower all we want, who could very easily get the information on dime-sized hail for $50 a month, but if in the end we turn off the public -- the long run is going to offer a bad outcome... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 09:00:53 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Warning Methods Good topic! Unfortunately it takes a disaster to re-ignite old issues. There is a rather large divergence as to what people feel is appropriate in regards to weather warnings. Each person has their own experience, needs and views in regards to severe weather. I'll share some of my past experiences in regards to weather warnings. -Too Many Warnings- In the middle of a thunderstorm, in a building with hundreds of people, I saw a matronly clerk -turn off- the sole tone alert weather radio in the middle of an alert. Asked why she took this action, she explained that it was making too much noise. Asked if she listened to the severe weather message following the alert, she said she didn't have time. (The person in question had been given an hour of specific NWR training) Would someone rush over and turn off a fire alarm, or even a smoke or detector, without then determining if there was an immediate threat? Apparently many people -do- feel they are being "overwarned". Right or wrong, I believe the perception is there. The good news is, that the new Specific Area Message Encoding receivers should address many of the "overwarning" issues. I am concerned though, that at the current $80.00 list price, about half of the small group currently predisposed to purchase such a device will actually do so. The next problem is that with millions of VCR's blinking 12:00..12:00..12:00... the programming of the FIPS codes will become too much of a chore for many users. -Solutions?- Second generation SAME NWR receivers will need to be half the cost and twice as easy to program in order to gain a modicum of public acceptance. Fortunately technology has historically allowed improvements in cost and convenience to continue unabated in almost every technical endeavor. -Public Attitudes- Many people want -their- weather forecast -only- for the times and location they feel it may impact their own activities. They won't seek out this information. It has to be delivered directly to them, precisely when they ask for it. As a sincerity test...When I am asked what the weather will be, I tell people to wait a minute while I find my printout of the morning forecast. Almost always, they roll their eyes and walk away. Some will ask why I don't just tell them. To which I answer, "I haven't read it closely yet and I want to be accurate in my information to you". The usual response is for the person to walk away and mumble "Well, I'm too busy, catch me later." The problem here is, that if severe weather is developing, these are the same people who can't be bothered, with even severe weather, because they do not have a direct interest in weather at that particular time. (more on this later) -Solutions?- Prolific and passive severe weather warning and civil disaster dissemination. SAME EAS warnings and decoders incorporated into all aspects of commercial TV, radio, satellite and cable broadcasts. The technology and cost is rapidly becoming cheap and available. A rather unobtrusive "crawl" should be adequate. If I understand correctly, at this time, only tests and -national- level (doomsday?) warnings are forced on broadcasters. Broadcasters should no longer determine what level of local emergency alerting is convenient for them to dispense. No longer should some broadcasters reap ratings rewards from disasters without being an active participant in the warning process. Any event worthy of an EAS activation should be disseminated. -When the Balloon Goes Up- Remember our friends above? When an event is happening right now, right here, these people will be the most agitated and panicked. Where are the kids? I left my windows open! Why didn't anybody warn me? Who is responsible for this situation? What's the government going to do -now-, to help -me-? WE DIDN'T GET A WARNING! These are the people who will rush out to their cars during a tornado and rush off at 90 mph to the day care center, grandma's house or to get their video camera. These are the people who will spread misinformation and panic in your school or workplace. They become as much of a hazard as the original storm. -Solutions?- Large doses of technology, education and personal responsibility. Thank you for your consideration. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* For all you automated email spammers out there, bkennard@fcc.gov mpowell@fcc.gov sness@fcc.gov gtristani@fcc.gov president@whitehouse.gov vicepresident@whitehouse.gov customer@email.usps.gov pyramid@ftc.gov consumerline@ftc.gov net-abuse@nocs.insp.irs.gov ------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 13:13:19 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Digital Atmosphere and EMWIN Paul Robertson wrote: > I just downloaded the subject program version 2.0 and am using EMWIN. I > cannot seem to get to the updated SA's even though I have changed the > source to "sahourly.txt" as instructed. I am using the 1200 baud > satellite system. This file is either being transmitted under a different name, or, due to bandwidth restrictions, not at all. For example, the Norman Oklahoma rebroadcast transmits the file as SADATA.TXT (if I remember correctly). You will need to look through your files. A hint.. usually it is the largest one starting with SA. The SAHOURLY.TXT name applies only to the 9600 satellite broadcast and certain rebroadcasts. Tim Vasquez Norman, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Feb 1998 20:13:46 -0700 From: Matt Clauson Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios At 04:02 PM 2/27/98 +0000, Keith Brewster wrote: >> 1) Have NWS add the SAME codes for a 1 county radius outside of the >> watch/warning area.... If it's a fast storm, maybe even 2 or 3... That >> way, people outside of the area can be warned that "it's coming". > >If the NWS really thinks that more counties will beaffected they should >warn for those counties. They do try to have lead time, whenever >possible. Scratch what they think. If it's within a two county radius, warn 'em, just in case. We're talking about saving lives here. It may be a perceived waste of time, but that will only last until the first "big" event. Then we'll see praise that "NWS Weather Radio saved my doggy!" etc... Remember, weather is inherently unpredictable, and people are inherently lazy. If we don't force the information on them, nature will force them out of the gene pool. (Hmm, that might not be a bad idea in some cases, but that's a different tangent entirely.) >> 2) Have SAME radio manufacturers note in the manual or on a special slip >> the wisdom of programming neighboring counties into the radio, for the >> above reasons. >That is mentioned in the manual already. I haven't bought mine yet, so.... In BIG, BOLD, 36 point type? If not, it should be. This is an important matter. Also, see the above... Yeah, I know, I sound really bitter about the human animal... But, as the philosopher once said... "Expect the best, but prepare for the worst." Matt ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:01:23 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: SAME Wx Radios > Scratch what they think. If it's within a two county radius, warn 'em, > just in case. We're talking about saving lives here. It may be a > perceived waste of time, but that will only last until the first "big" > event. Then we'll see praise that "NWS Weather Radio saved my doggy!" > etc... How about a little more training and public awareness regarding NWR? Kids come home from school where the fireman teaches them about 911, the policeman tells them about strangers, the electricity man tells them about power hazards, and they know to tuck their heads in during tornado warnings probably from the local TV met. Maybe whoever is responsible for the weather discussion could slip in something about NWR alerting. I imagine most NWS offices don't travel to schools outside of their home city, so something could be produced for kids to hear about and then bug their parents into learning about... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:08:05 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Saving Lives On Sun, 1 Mar 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > > On Sat, 28 Feb 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > > > Heh...basically they are fibreglass tornado shelters, the "shelter area" > > being shaped like an egg. One essentially digs a hole and puts the > > shelter in, then puts dirt on top of it. The whole deal is designed as a > > drop-and-go tornado shelter for folks in trailers, whatnot. > > Heh, pods. Details, please... size, cost? Is there an aboveground > 'footprint' so they can be located by rescue workers? Most of them that I've seen are the size of a large bathroom and would seat four people or more. The average cost (from that I've seen) is around $1000-2000 (depending on whether one gets it with an electrical outlet and whether one pays for installation) and they do have a footprint where they could be located. > > *nods* Lovely. So basically a lot of reason school is out as a shelter > > in Florida is because (and I am speaking purely in an architectural sense) > > the schools are often glorified trailer parks themselves. :P > > Well, yes and no. Many of the junior and senior high schools are > designated (usually hurricane) shelters, but many evacuees elect not to > use them, opting instead to go to friends' homes, motels (often with a > half wall of glass), or to creep along evacuation routes with everyone > else trying to flee. :P Joy. (Of course, there's gonna be a really bad tragedy one day when that occurs...the particular horror-image that comes to mind is another Cat5 hitting the Keys right in the middle of evacuation.) > > The closest difference I can list on the two (having seen both and all): > > Thanks :) No prob :) I remember the storm cellars as my sister would be terrified of them. :) The one my aunt had in her old farmhouse in Ohio had dirt walls with wood facing, and my sister was convinced a snake would crawl in with us... :) > > Then again, folks are having a time getting used to earthquake codes in > > Kentucky too. > [...] > > thrown 5.0's in the past few years, and the New Madrid faultline is > > expected to throw another 8.0 within the next 25-50 years or so. Kentucky > > and the surrounding states--including Tennessee and Missouri (St. Louis > > and Memphis are *right on* the New Madrid faultline system)--have only had > > quake-codes for building since the late 80's.) It's admittedly not about > > weather, but we've our own complacency problem here on potential disasters. > > We're creatures of habit... and have a tendency to believe that if > something hasn't happened to us, it won't. It keeps us from hanging from > the ceiling 24/7. :) In terms of a "new" threat, I think the two states' > complacency probs are similar. *nodnods* More than likely. > > *nods* That is part of why I suggest that in any sort of emergency plan > > involving RV's or trailer parks, or tourism for that matter, a list > > explaining severe weather that occurs in Florida, how bad it can get, and > > what you should do if severe weather strikes. > > Unfortunately, the tourist industry would go berserk. I suspect quite a > few tourists wouldn't be very happy either. Tourism $$ account for a > major chunk (>$30 billion) of the state's economy. :P Blood money, I tell ya....blood money...(at leat in Kentucky's hunting and fishing license brochures (we do get a nice amount of tourist traffic at Land Between The Lakes and Big South Fork NRRA for fishing and swimming) they tell you to Get Out Of The Water And Into Shelter if you see lightning or hear a warning) > > :P I also expect someone will whinge "WHY AIN'T THAT THERE TWISTER RIDE > > OPEN YET?!?" > > Imagine if Monday's tornadoes had struck just a few miles away and taken > out that ride instead! *shudder* Yeah. (Trust me, I've already had my nightmares on the day the F4 will eventually hit King's Island... :P) > Btw, I don't know about other papers, but the > Times ran the Twister-delayed article in the business section and I've not > heard anything about it on tv news (which I don't watch much, but have > watched some this last week). Hmm. Then again, as much as Florida's tourist industry is into getting warm bodies in the state ("why inform them what to do if a hurricane strikes? They'll get scared off...") I'm not surprised either. > I'm a bit puzzled by it though... while waiting your turn, you view > displays created by the Severe Storms Lab and then you're entertained by > the ride. "Oh, how horrid" followed by "weeeeee!"?!? Yeah, I'm puzzled on that too. (In my case, my reaction would likely be exactly opposite from what they expect. Looking and saying "neat...sucks that sometimes houses get in their way and get broken, but that's neat..." then getting on the ride and guffawing at how hokey it is. Kinda like how my sister and I laugh and add at least two more items to the ever-growing List of Glaring Technical Errors And Impossibilities In The Movie "Twister" every time we see that movie. And she isn't even into the weather. :) > > number of NASCAR fans who threw a temper tantrum because a station here > > showed a news program on a rather large snow we had here (18 inches, which > > is a record here in Louisville) instead of a Daytona 500 preliminary. :( ) > > Mebbe I'd be more sympathetic if I felt tv was entertaining. The guys > watched a movie yesterday and I watched the yard -- Sylvester Stallone vs. > a hawk swooping in and perching? No match :) Last weekend, the Sunday > matinee was an 18" pileated woodpecker. No tv for me. *nods* Sounds a lot like me, actually. Most folks are watching basketball or NASCAR racing (the two big sports events here in KY) and I'm watching the sparrows. :) (Then again, what little TV I do watch tends to be PBS, the Discovery Channel, and the Weather Channel. :) My point being that even in Kentucky we get the occasional Bubba whinging because his favourite sporting event got rudely interrupted by a tornado. Like I say...Dooky Happens. Tornados will not postpone themselves for the end of the game. :) > > *sigh* Blood money, I tell ya...how much blood money's gonna flow into > > the state when the NEXT big weather event comes in and kills folks (could > > be a tornado, could be a Cat 5 hurricane, could be the entire state of > > Florida washing slowly into the Gulf as our friend from Gainesville seems > > to be reporting it's doing as of late...) and folks find out the state > > isn't even educating folks on how to protect themselves? :P > > It is blood money, from those who mislead and cut corners, to those who > later prey on the victims. It seems like people have gotten better about > protecting themselves -- perhaps more from shysters than the weather > though. I'll bet more people know there's an 800 number to report scam > artists than know there are SAME radios. *nodnods* I'll agree to all of the above :P > Marianne -pb ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:23:45 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sun, 1 Mar 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > Would you move it in for one-inch hail? > > I personally would be out chasing, so no. However 1" hail is larger than > dime-sized. I thought it would be naturally assumed, but I guess I should have specificaly stated that John Q. Public (note, that's not of the surname `Chaser'), might want to. > > Just because YOU PERSONALLY don't bring your car in doesn't mean that > > the rest of us should not, as well. > > I'm just saying that a severe thunderstorm warning 1) Has very little impact > on the public and 2) Has even less impact when it is issued for dime-sized > hail. A few days ago, a WFO in the midwest issued several thunderstorm > warnings and the call-to-action for most of them said "Expect hail up to > dime-sized and winds up to 60mph." That's all that storm was going to > produce, based on synoptic setup and radar information. No golf balls, no > 100mph downbursts, no tornados. Was that worth a warning -- I say no. Hmm. Okay. Where it was easy to see that in the data, then okay. > > Do you wait UNTIL the warnings state that one-inch hail is ALREADY > > falling on top of your area before you take action? > > All I'm saying is that if I look down my street the first few minutes after > a SVR is issued, I don't see people running out to pull their cars into the > garage... As others have mentioned -- we are not the normal public. We don't > mind (well, a little ;> ) those 2:30am SVR's for 60mph winds. We don't mind > if HBO gets interrupted for a cell 50 miles away. But the public does. I > work for a TV station. Trust me when I tell you that the public does not > like their shows interrupted unless dire mayhem is occurring... I know. I agree. That's why I thought maybe if they could make a TV or VCR which could put up the warning on YOUR side (inside the VCR, placing a VCR-side warning screen similar to that menu which you see when you are programming your VCR or TV, rather than actually interrupting the TV transmission) so that your favorite show is not interrupted whilst you're recording it with the "WARNING! WARNING! WARNING!" in whole-screen red background...might be a good idea. > We can sit here and protect the chicken farmer or peach grower all we want, > who could very easily get the information on dime-sized hail for $50 a > month, but if in the end we turn off the public -- the long run is going to > offer a bad outcome... Who cares about the chickens? I just want to know when to bring my cats back in...so I don't end up getting yelled at by them when I finally bring them in after getting bonked quite a few times with strange white things that came out of nowhere. :) I kid you not, make that mistake with MY cats and you won't be able to live it down for the rest of the day. They WILL remind you...all day. You don't know my cats. They sigh, they fuss, they give you mean looks. They hate you when you do something stupid and it was something you could have prevented. They know. Believe me. Smart kitties have I. I think they can read, but I'm still investigating that right now. I even suspect they have little gettogether meetings, and plot how they're going to manipulate me this day. I'll catch them. I will. But this is off-topic and for another conference so I'll shaddap. I WILL say, though, that I've been thinking of making one of my cats our official SKYWARN mascot, giving her an official SKYWARN jacket and cap, complete with real working anemometer attached. Okay. Too much coffee. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 13:30:13 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: severe weather spotter I need severe weather spotter information from spotters living in these states. ANY SPOTTER INFO FOR THESE STATES SHOULD BE REPORTED TO united@axon.axnet.com ============== WASHINGTON OREGON NEVADA MONTANA UTAH WYOMING NEW MEXICO NORTH DAKOTA SOUTH DAKOTA ALL NEW ENGLAND STATES ============== training classes programs how to become a spotter where you live skywarn training involvement ============== INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET FOR OTHER STATES/PUERTO RICO/CANADA IS PLENTIFUL AT: http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm info for any location welcomed thank you, matt/n9npp united@axon.axnet.com -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:34:22 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Warning Methods > > We can sit here and protect the chicken farmer or peach grower all we want, > > who could very easily get the information on dime-sized hail for $50 a > > month, but if in the end we turn off the public -- the long run is going to > > offer a bad outcome... > > Who cares about the chickens? I just want to know when to bring my cats > back in...so I don't end up getting yelled at by them when I finally bring > them in after getting bonked quite a few times with strange white things > that came out of nowhere. I didn't say "Don't tell the public about dime-sized hail." How is 1/2in. hail handled? Or a storm with 40mph winds that probably won't become severe? With a Special Weather Statement and/or NOWcast. If I'm concerned about a thunderstorm in the distance, and I've got cats to protect or peaches to cover, I oughta be making an effort to find out the latest information from the NWS and not relying on the to tone alert me. Let's say I fertilized the lawn, but now it looks like a shower is coming in. Does that mean the NWS needs to issue a "rain warning" where we activate the EOC and dispatch spotters out in the field? You say they have a responsibility to protect my property but I say that's going too far! If I think it is going to rain, _I_ have the duty to check radar and the latest NWS Nowcasts. If warning criteria were upgraded, it's not like the NWS would start ignoring storms with 65mph winds or 3/4" hail, just inform the public through "less-intrusive" means... A common feeling is that the public COMPLETELY IGNORES severe thunderstorm warnings -- UNLESS they get damage from a storm and one wasn't in effect. So why don't we make the term mean something!?! Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 13:38:58 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Athens Georgia Area SKYWARN help, does anyone know where Athens Georgia Area SKYWARN went to on the internet ? this old url isn't working http://www.arches.uga.edu/~mellerso/welcome.html thanks matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 14:59:51 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: Warning Methods >A common feeling is that the public COMPLETELY IGNORES severe thunderstorm >warnings -- UNLESS they get damage from a storm and one wasn't in effect. So >why don't we make the term mean something!?! I think the current warnings are fine, if the public ignores them that's their own problem! The people who care about severe weather and being warned are the ones who will pay attention to the warnings, use NWR, access weather information on the net, etc. Those think "who needs a forecast? I just stick my head out the window and tell you the weather", they will be the ones who miss a severe thunderstorm warning for there area because 15 minutes ago they looked out the window ands only saw a few cumulus clouds to the west... so when 3/4" inch hail ruins their outdoor plans, causes brain damage to their cats, makes a few dents in their car - oh well! The NWS did their job, they issued the warning, they can't make the public pat attention to the warnings. There are some people so thick headed you could have "severe thunderstorm warning" spelled out in fireworks and they still wouldn't pay attention - these are most likely the same people who complain that they werent warned of the hail that killed their cat - well they were warned, the NWS doesnt protect the life of you or your proerty... you protect your cats, you protect your ca, etcr... the NWS only strongly suggests that you take precautions through warnings... and much of the public doesn't seem to take "suggestions" very well. There are just some people who have no motivation to learn about severe weather, or pay attention to warnings, maybe it takes a tornado to hit their town before they do realize the importance of warnings... while it's sad that it takes destruction to make you aware of the importance of warnings, what else can be done? It's just the way some people are. Matt ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Feb 1998 to 1 Mar 1998 - Special issue ***************************************************************** From - Mon Mar 2 15:26:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1741 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626611-26590>; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 14:11:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15036; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:08:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199803020608.AAA15036@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e06165ddcddd7292b80d7a25155bc40c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 502 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. sprites 2. 3. public awareness/safety (2) 4. Weather Radio in TVs 5. Tornado Sirens 6. Warning Methods (3) 7. WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 to 28 Feb 1998 - Special issue 8. Very Wet in North Texas. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:08:24 +0000 From: David P Richards Subject: sprites I am not sure if my reply got to you all last time, so I will say it again. Thankyou all for the information you sent me. I am overwelmed. If anyone has had any personal experiances with thunder storms, i.e. too close for comfort! Then I would love to here from you. Plus any pics you took. Thanks again. I will get back to you soon. Yours -- David P Richards ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 16:20:41 -0600 From: Matt Biddle Subject: From: Greg Keklak Subject: Florida tornadoes; F-sizes? Does anyone know what the final tally was for the Florida outbreak in terms of both shear numbers as well as the number of F1's, F2's, etc ? Thanks in advance ....... Greg et. al. It is likely WAY too early for at least most of the tornadoes, for there to be any "official" F-scale ratings...AND I might add that often there is much political, scientific, and semantic debate about these ratings WELL after the fact. I have heard the media throw around F-4 labels on a couple of these storms, BUT I remain skeptical because 1) There is only ONE recorded F-4 in the data bases (100+ years using Grazulis) in the HISTORY of Florida - this does not make it any less possible, just that probablilty would dictate that it is unlikely; 2) I know the NWS et. al. are still working on the surveys; and 3) the cultural geography of Florida is such that there is an over abundance of mobile homes and RVs and many of the homes there (even upscale) are of sub-tropical construction which is not only more subject to tornado damage, but more apt to look more catastrophic than it is. I have seen only marginal F-3 on tv and newspaper photos - though again that don't mean it ain't so. Also it may not be possible for them to know how many individual tornadoes there were until they are done surveying. This disaster is of the magnitude to be the likely topic of a detailed NWS/FEMA "Disaster Survey Report." Hope this helps, Matt Biddle Oklahoma Emergency Management Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 15:54:39 -0700 From: Cheryl Chang Subject: Re: public awareness/safety Robert P. Dale wrote: > >How about a little more training and public awareness regarding NWR? > >Kids come home from school where the fireman teaches them about 911, the >policeman tells them about strangers, the electricity man tells them about >power hazards, and they know to tuck their heads in during tornado warnings >probably from the local TV met. Maybe whoever is responsible for the weather >discussion could slip in something about NWR alerting. I imagine most NWS >offices don't travel to schools outside of their home city, so something >could be produced for kids to hear about and then bug their parents into >learning about... > I think that idea has a lot of potential. Often safety information is presented in a way that kids remember the most important points AND the kids also feel that the info. is so important that they'd better go and teach the people they love - parents, friends, the whole neighborhood - about these things. People often seem to be more receptive to information if it comes in the context of information that will help keep people important to them safe, as opposed to keeping the faceless "general public" safe. Cheryl Chang Calgary, Alberta ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 18:22:21 -0500 From: "Austin C. Phelps" Subject: Re: Weather Radio in TVs > Mindless drivelling aside, I fail to see how Florida government requiring >all schools have weather radios forces them to fill out any forms, hinders >their rights in any way, or causes them extra work or trouble aside from One government entity forcing another government entity is one thing (at the state level). It another when the State of Florida tells me to do something and I have to pay for it. > Same reasoning: mandating that all new steros, VCRs, TV, and the like >be installed with the additional menu option will not affect anyone in any >perversely overburdened way as you and friend are seeming to intimate. All It is the thought it not the government place to be setting those rules. The technology exist now and it is cheap. Beside if the rules you want were granted today - it would probably take 5-10 years to make it new TV. Of course there is a standard war going on in the TV market (HDTV). So instead of one warning they get two. One from the TV and the other from the TV and/or the cable system they are watching. Every time the government mandates something - it costs money. And who pays for it???? Also - would your rules require an external antennas? How would you deal with local building code/home owners groups that forbid externals antennas? I own a clock radio that can receive weather radio. Receipt isn't very good and I'm in town less than 15 miles from transmission. >available when they DO wish they had it. All yuh gotta do then is turn on >the menu option. Wouldn't it be safer for Joe Sixpack to have it default on - because he might be too stupid to figure it out? >obviously wouldn't even be touched or turned on. No problem to them. But, >it would be there if you so decided later to use it. Maybe we should let the market decide if it worth it - instead of the government telling us. Remember we are personally responsible for our own safety and property. And if we are too cheap for insurance or weather radio - we deserve everything we reap from the decision. -- Austin C. Phelps Some people are weatherwise, but most are otherwise. http://www.cul.net/~acp - Benjamin Franklin PGP 2.6.2 Fingerprint: A8 E8 49 C0 9A 88 E1 5C 34 5B 88 38 92 49 1D 0F PGP 5 Fingerprint: 2E24 E0F4 3A2B ECAD AAD0 7560 F5C5 F882 A6F0 F2EB ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:14:30 -0500 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Tornado Sirens While we are on the topic of warning systems, I thought I'd mention something that I find strange. While giving a talk to school kids about the weather, I was discussing warning methods and how the "air-raid" sirens go off when there is tornado warning. Well, of course this is not the case in all locations, to say the least. Here in NY and in NJ, most volunteer fire departments have the same type of siren to alert firefighters of an emergency call. I was thinking how confused some people must be when the whistle sounds every day at noon, or for every fire call (which average 3-4 per day here). One of the kids had moved from Texas to Albany, NY and said that he was really confused the first time he heard the siren go off?? Hmmm. Someone should probably break away from using the sirens so they have one and ONLY ONE purpose. Fire Department now carry pagers so it wouldn't be a bad idea to abolish sirens for volunteer fire departments completely. Just some thoughts. Regards, Howie ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 20:39:07 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: public awareness/safety > > > >How about a little more training and public awareness regarding NWR? > > > >Kids come home from school where the fireman teaches them about 911, the > >policeman tells them about strangers, the electricity man tells them about > >power hazards, and they know to tuck their heads in during tornado warnings > >probably from the local TV met. Therein lies the rub. The TV people have every motivation to encourage their listeners/viewers and those in attendence at any public appearance to tune into KTOR or WSVR for complete GigaWatt Super-Doppler 9001 weather coverage. Can't say I blame them for selling the hand that feeds them, but it leaves NOAA wx-radio with a weak voice. Although many now have automated crawls with the official warnings and, of course, a picture can be worth a thousand words, it doesn't help when the tube is off. -Keith PS: If you thought I was kidding about the gigaWatts, its on an the web page of one the Tampa TV stations. gHz probably, gWatt, no. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 20:54:29 -0600 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: Re: Warning Methods So, what you are saying, KZ, is that if there is no hint at a meso or TVS, tornadoes will not occur? I suggest do some reading about non-supercell tornadoes. Any thunderstorm (severe or not) can have enough boundary interaction to spin-up tornadoes at any time. Eric -----Original Message----- From: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU [mailto:owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] On Behalf Of kz Sent: Sunday, March 01, 1998 1:19 AM To: Charles Edwards Cc: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Re: Warning Methods Charles Edwards wrote: > > > So you say they should not warn for tornadoes until one touches down? Maybe > that initial touch down point could be a school. If they see the potential > 20 minutes earlier, maybe the kids can seek shelter. > > Charles Edwards > cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu > storms@pair.com > http://www3.pair.com/storms No, no. A doppler indication of a tornado forming SHOULD be put out before it touches the ground. My "complaints" are only toward low-level dime-size hail thunderstorms with no hint of mesos ot TVS's. And I believe these are the majority of verifiable severe thunderstorm warnings. And you're right - peach crops probably couldn't be saved with a warning. Warn for potential tornadoes all you want. I want to hear those. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 22:03:58 -0600 From: "Ken Z." Subject: Re: Warning Methods Eric A. Helgeson wrote: > > So, what you are saying, KZ, is that if there is no hint at a meso or > TVS, tornadoes will not occur? > > I suggest do some reading about non-supercell tornadoes. Any > thunderstorm (severe or not) can have enough boundary interaction to > spin-up tornadoes at any time. > > Eric If that's the case, then ALL warnings should be tornado. Sure, tornadoes can occur with some non-meso storms, but a vast majority will turn out only "marginally severe" with dime size hail. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 23:18:20 -0500 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1998 to 28 Feb 1998 - Special issue KZ sed: > My point was that the dime size hail thunderstorms with little else (I >think they are the most verified severe weather warnings, am I right?) >does little damage and warnings of these rather small thunderstorms >wouldn't save lives at all. And people interrupted by warnings of these >small thunderstorms understand that. > Can anybody tell me one incident where a dime size hail-producing >thunderstorm did any damage? (Just for the ones that have this size >hail, not high winds). If dime-size hail covered the ground at your >house, would a warning have saved your life? Would it have saved your >yard? > [comment tied to bus-running-you-over thread] Buses don't grow into double-decker double-wide out-of-control behemoths- they just stay a bus. Thunderstorms can be A50 and 25G40 storms one moment and a few minutes later become A200 and 45G60 winds. Give me the warnings and let me decide what I can safely ignore. Lee Roth webwise@johnstown.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 22:21:23 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Very Wet in North Texas. For December, January and February, we have gotten over 15" of rain at DFW airport. This is the second most wettest of this three month span ever recorded...over 100 years! Plus, we haven't even gotten into our wettest part of the year yet which is April & May. Severe weather in Texas is also alot more active than normal this winter. Geee....I wonder what could be causing this? ;-) Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 22:15:04 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Warning Methods I don't think that Ken's subtle points have been well understood... People are looking at things in reverse, and using the results to critique the procedure. In this case, it was unfortunately that those people died without knowing there was a tornado headed their way. The discussion is based around the conclusion that if they had known, then they may not have died. That's true... but the problem is that you need to look at things the other way around, which is what I understand as Ken's point. I.e. given that there's a tornado about, and a tornado warning issued, we'd like to see people hear it and then take appropriate action. And assessing our ability to achieve that goal. We are not dealing with an exact science here... there are huge limitations in our ability to detect and predict severe weather on the meso- (and smaller) scale, and also in our ability to reach people with warnings in time for them to take action. We are a long way from being able to target only those people who will be affected . And although this situation will steadily improve, we are never going to be able to reach those (and only those) people who need to take action... at least unless we're willing to invest billions of dollars and circumvent people's rights to privacy. Until then, we are faced with having to issue warnings that will affect millions of people... the vast majority of whom will not be affected by that particular severe weather event. People will likely hear many warnings for their area before that actually encounter any severe weather. This does not mean that we should stop issuing warnings... only that we recognize that our effectiveness will not always be as high as we wish. People will be lulled into a false sense of security... only to be rudely awakened from time to time (thus regenerating this whole discussion). We typically verify severe weather events and warnings from our perspective; i.e. given that we've issued something, what typically happens? But let's look at this a different way, from the public's perspective. Where... X: the probability that, on any day, you will encounter severe weather when there's no watch or warning in effect Y: the probability that you will encounter severe weather when there's only a watch in effect. Z: the probability that you will encounter severe weather when there's a warning in effect (I am looking at things this way because this is how Joe Q. Public needs to assess info and make decisions; e.g. along the lines of "Okay, so there's a tornado warning out for my county... what does that mean to ME and WHAT SHOULD I DO?") Some reflections: 1. X is essentially a (reverse) measure of the POD (probability of detection) combined with the climatology of severe weather. 2. Z is essentially a (reverse) measure of the FAR (false alarm ratio) 3. X has to be very close to zero (otherwise our weather service is not doing a good job) 4. Z>Y>>X or elsewhere our ability to detect and forecast severe weather is not good; i.e. they are a measure of our forecasting ability 5. Z has to be as close to 1, otherwise we are warning people unnecessarily (thus reducing the effectiveness of our warnings) The question is what are these numbers? Now we do not verify our severe weather events on a local basis (AFAIK), but rather on a county or sub-county basis. For those large-sized warning areas (c), the values for those variables are, off the top of my head, roughly... Xc=0.01 Yc=0.1 Zc=0.5 But these numbers represent our smallest warning area; on the order of counties and subsets of counties, or roughly 1000 km2. Severe weather events typically cover only a small portion of the warning area, ranging from 10-100 km2 (for a tornado) to 100-1000 km2 (severe thunderstorm with hail and strong winds) to 1000+ km2 (MCS). Now people are only concerned if they are affected or not, so we have to reduce X, Y, and Z by a factor of 10-100... so the value of Z for them (and them alone) is between 0.005 and 0.05. This analysis is done off the top of my head... and I am sure that someone with a little effort could come up with far more accurate numbers. But even if I'm off by a factor of 2-4, I believe that my point is still valid: i.e. our current ability to forecast severe weather means that the people hearing a severe weather warning for their county likely to have only a 0.5% to 5% chance of being affected by that particular storm. Assuming that weather events are random and independent, they roughly will have to hear between 10 and 100 warnings before they are likely to be affected. Thus the whole debate of unnecessarily "interrupting" my game show with useless warnings. Ken... is that what you were getting at? My personal opinions only... do not necessarily reflect those of my employer. ..steve +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | | Manager, Northern Alberta and Arctic Weather Centres | | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca | +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ >---------- >From: kz[SMTP:ken.z.rw@IX.NETCOM.COM] >Sent: February 28, 1998 17:10 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Warning Methods > >Gilbert Sebenste wrote: >> >> On Fri, 27 Feb 1998, kz wrote: >> >> > > >> > > Another problem is cable TV..we have excellent storm tracker/EAS >>systems >> > > in place with our local TV stations which use crawlers, beeps, and >> > > shortened screens to immediately alert the public.....but if your >> > > watching HBO...forget it....you have no idea.....cable systems should >>be >> > > required to break into programming for alerts tagged "EAS activation" >> > > >> > ...snip... >> > >> > Our cable system (Comcast) DOES break in with NWR on all channels, >> > including HBO, whenever a warning is issued for our county. It's >> > extremely irritating. Like I posted before, I've been living in the same >> > house in this county for 20 years and NEVER had a severe thunderstorm >> > affect my property even though there must have been over a hundred >> > warnings issued for the county (verifying for the county, but not my >> > home). If I'm paying for premium services, I don't want to be >> > interrupted by anything except what I'm paying for and I think most >> > people would feel the same way. Just my opinion, but I think requiring >> > all cable operators to do this would be extreme overkill. >> >> While I agree it stinks to have all channels interrupted, remember >> what you said. For some subscribers, for each of the cases above, you >> state that it DID verify, which means there are a lot of grateful >> subscribers out there, likely. >> >> Unfortunately, you'll get your turn someday for the warning to >> verify at your place...I just hope you'll keep your lucky streak going as >> long as possible! >> >> Gilbert >> >> >But even for those that the dime-size hail producing thunderstorm >verified with maybe also 30 mph winds, didn't receive any damage either. >And most warnings in this part of the country verify for this size hail. >I have had dime size hail fall when under a warning, but like I said, no >damage. (Even if the roof was damaged in this case, I couldn't have done >anything about it anyway!) > Sure, its good to be warned of an impending, damaging storm or >tornado. I can take cover and save my life. But the fact is that it >hasn't done that damage in 20 years and hundreds of warnings, and I >think many, many people don't listen or don't act on warnings for just >this reason. If only one out of 200 or 300 warnings verify in a specific >site the size of a house, don't you think people would begin ignoring >them? I'm talking about non-weather hobby people here. If you tried to >vacate a building for fire 300 times without a fire, do you think anyone >would listen anymore? > >KZ > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Mar 1998 ********************************** From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629294-26591>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 05:50:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA23964; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:37:50 -0600 Message-Id: <199803022137.PAA23964@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:32:43 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Mar 1998 to 2 Mar 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa1d0568f83bc145bd483426673d3f3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 834 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Warning Methods (5) 2. Safety, saving people and timely warnings (2) 3. Florida tornadoes; F-sizes? 4. enough is enough folks (2) 5. MLB Net Site on FLA tornadoes 6. Tornado Sirens 7. Rating of Fl tornadoes 8. [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 01:14:34 -0600 From: Eric Helgeson Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Sun, 1 Mar 1998, Ken Z. wrote: > Eric A. Helgeson wrote: > > > > So, what you are saying, KZ, is that if there is no hint at a meso or > > TVS, tornadoes will not occur? > > > > I suggest do some reading about non-supercell tornadoes. Any > > thunderstorm (severe or not) can have enough boundary interaction to > > spin-up tornadoes at any time. > > > > Eric > > If that's the case, then ALL warnings should be tornado. Sure, tornadoes > can occur with some non-meso storms, but a vast majority will turn out > only "marginally severe" with dime size hail. By "vast majority" do you mean 60%? 70%? 80%? 90%? 99%? Do you have a reference to support "vast majority" that I can read? Thank you. Eric ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 00:25:07 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Safety, saving people and timely warnings Hi All: Much of the post-Florida Outbreak chat has centered around safety and warnings. I think that the concept of local "Civil-defense" needs to come into play. In the aftermath of the Ft. Smith tornado of a few years back, it was painfully obvious that the local agencies relied almost exclusively on NWS information. What happened to the local spotter network, the emergency ham network, the policeman on the beat with his radio and a cell phone, the volunteer fire department people out in the field with their cb's and cell phones? In this instance, when NWS info was available well in advance of the actual storms - why weren't emergency personel out and about? This civil apathy definitely contributed to the loss of life. And maybe, just maybe, we can attribute a lot of this to Fate. Face it, at night and in an area where the average familiarity with local climatology and shelter is what they saw when they were driving on the freeway to the park, a tornado striking a populated area is going to harm a lot of people, especially if it is strong enough to take out even homes built properly to code. Anyhow, a poorly built and/or anchored home becomes a missile that will destroy the stronger homes around it anyway. This was at least a "100 year" event for Florida, people are going to die under those circumstances. It all comes down to individual awareness and preplanning. My kids know what to do in the event of a fire in the home, and if I were in a higher risk area for severe weather, they would have a plan for that practiced. (Usually tho, if severe weather threatens, they are out with me and the video cam anyhow :)) Richard Halter ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 13:17:49 +0000 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Warning Methods Wow...I am having trouble comprehending some of the thoughts I am seeing here....issued tornado warnings only if there is a tornado? Don't issue Severe Thunderstorm Warings unless the hail exceeds 3/4 inch at the time of the warning? RIDICULOUS! Even at NWSFO's that use quick fuse warnings there still is a time lag for the warning to go out....and just because the doppler winds are showing at 40 mph now doesn't mean they won't be 70 mph in a few minutes if the storm is still building. Here in Florida....hail is a *very* rare occurrence since the freeze level is so high most of the time. When I see hail here...I start looking for the wall cloud or funnel. And finally, the Hail, Meso, and TVS signature warning system on the NEXRAD was fine tuned for our location but is based upon calculations and testing from Oklahoma...well, we don't have dry lines and cold fronts in the summer...we have land and sea breeze interactions in a moist atmosphere resulting in HP cell development, sometimes with VIL levels as high as 75 or 80 but with no hail....just lots of rain. St. Petersburg, Florida has the dubious honor of being in the Guinnes Book for two records, both weather related: 1. Greatest number of sequential days where the sun shined at the corner of 2 St and Central Avenue at the St. Pete Times Building...the figure is over 900 days. 2. Lightening capital of the United States with over 120 thunderstorm days per year....and greatest number of lightening strikes in a single storm...that figure is also over 900. Therefore, you cannot just rely on NEXRAD and gut instinct....after all, thats why we Skywarn types are here, isn't it. -- *********************************************************************** Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:47:37 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Florida tornadoes; F-sizes? Greg Keklak wrote: > > Does anyone know what the final tally was for the Florida > outbreak in terms of both shear numbers as well as the > number of F1's, F2's, etc ? I'd keep an eye on the NWS Melbourne web page at http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/wbstorms/3meso.html Once they finish the damage surveys, they'll likely post that information to supplement the WSR-88D images that they already have on that page... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 08:49:20 -0700 From: Greg Thompson Subject: enough is enough folks Alright folks, can we quit bickering and repeating nearly the exact same thing for a week now? Wx-talk has become a forum for KZ, Todd Sherman, Rob Dale and a couple others. KZ repeats his opinion more than once per day as does Rob Dale. Everyone should read posts very carefully and they might understand what some folks' opinions are and accept them. Rob's points on education/training are really valid. Likewise, Rob's point that the entire public doesn't need to be warned of dime-size hail is valid in MY OPINION. I also like what Bernie had to say - well put. Let's face it, meteorologists are an excitable group in general. Some forecasters issue SVR warnings readily because they get excited about something they are very passionate about - weather. I agree with the problem that overwarning occurs and with NEXRAD it may be a bit worse than it used to be. There still are talks within small circles that the minimum criteria for what is called "severe" is raised to a higher level. Someone mentioned that this topic may have croaked under typical beauracratic junk. It hasn't. Many very smart folks are attacking the problem of: "do we really need to issue severe T-storm warnings for dime-size hail?" Just an aside: dime-size hail would thrill me back when I lived in Baltimore since it isn't very common. However, a special weather statement would be sufficient for me not a SVR T-storm warning. Meanwhile, I now live in CO and dime-size hail would bore me. Someday (within 4-8 years I hope), warnings have the potential to improve to a whole new level. If polarization capability were added to the nation's NEXRADs, then a better determination of hail vs. very heavy rain could be made. Then, we wouldn't be depending on the pretty simplistic reflectivity => hail algorithm that exists now. Instead, we could with more accuracy than ever before determine IF hail existed and maybe say something smart about its size. That holds the best hope for lessening the False Alarms in my view. Hopefully we can accept others' opinions and move along to a new topic that more of us can discuss. Since the majority of wxtalk posts are coming from the same 4 or 5 folks, maybe its time for those folks to correspond privately. -- +--------------------------------------------------------------+ | Greg Thompson http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/gthompsn/ | | Research Applications Program | | (303) 497-2805 National Center for Atmospheric Research | | (fax) -8401 P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 | +--------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 07:54:43 -0800 From: Craig Setzer Subject: MLB Net Site on FLA tornadoes Melbourne NWS has put up an impressive page on the central Florida tornadoes. They did this despite all of the other responsibilities after a killer tornado episode. Check it out http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/wbstorms/3meso.html BTW, the relentless severe weather pattern continues down here. I should have invested in night vision goggles. Craig Setzer csetzer@earthlink.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 09:26:53 -0600 From: Phil Fleming Subject: Re: Tornado Sirens >In our county, most of the volunteer fire departments still use sirens, >even though they all carry pagers. The encoder tones that activate >their pagers also set off the station's siren. It doesn't make a whole >lot of sense for the companies to continue to use the sirens. The sirens serve a secondary purpose of warning the public that firefighters are responding to an emergency, and alerts people to be on the lookout for responders and emergency vehicles. It's as much a safety measure for all concerned, and some departments in my county are reluctant to discontinue their sirens for that very reason. -- Phil Philip B. "Phil" Fleming, Deputy Director, Fulton County Emergency Services and Disaster Agency Canton, Illinois ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 10:56:31 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Rating of Fl tornadoes Does anyone have the storm survey report for the FL tornadoes of last week? Please e-mail me privately or post here... Thanks, Eric Blake ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 11:03:09 -0600 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: enough is enough folks At 08:49 AM 3/2/98 -0700, Greg Thompson wrote: ...snip... >Rob's points on education/training are really valid. Likewise, >Rob's point that the entire public doesn't need to be warned of >dime-size hail is valid in MY OPINION. I also like what Bernie >had to say - well put. While I agree with much of what is being argued for/against, i.e. warning for dime- size hail, wasn't the initial criteria for issuing severe thunderstorm warnings developed more with aviation interests in mind and not just the public?? ...snip... >Many very smart folks are attacking the problem of: "do we really need >to issue severe T-storm warnings for dime-size hail?" Just an aside: >dime-size hail would thrill me back when I lived in Baltimore since >it isn't very common. However, a special weather statement would >be sufficient for me not a SVR T-storm warning. Meanwhile, I now live >in CO and dime-size hail would bore me. Anyone measured the diameter of a dime lately?? Last time I checked it was LESS THAN 3/4" in diameter. So, in reality, those warnings that verified with dime-size hail never really verified at all!! Go figure... ...snip... Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 11:41:38 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Warning Methods I'll make this my final comments on the subject ---for now. First, I want to remind people about the disccssion group SKYWARN. It's similar to WX-TALK but it was created for the purpose of discussing warnings, spotter training, and public reaction to severe weather preparedness. since the majority of the mail concerning warnings has already been posted to WX-TALK there's no point in trying to move this subject thread to SKYWARN now. I ask that everyone please try to be aware of the different groups in future and post your messages to the appropriate group. Once a subject thread has been established on a group it should remain on that group. Now back to our regularly scheduled program... Paula Bailey wrote in response to KZ... [much deleted] PB>Now...if you want to be suicidally stupid (and yes, I will flat out state PB>that IMHO--based on how the odds DO run out eventually--anyone who PB>willingly states they do not wish to be informed of severe weather heading PB>for them *is* suicidally stupid), do be my guest. If the TV manufacturers PB>put WRSAME-capability in TV's and radios and you have it disabled, fine. If I own a weather radio I want the weather radio to warn me --not my TV. While I am in favor of making EAS signals (weather warnings) directly decodable by TV sets I still believe it should be the owner's option to select how his/her TV set processes that information. The government could mandate that your phone ring (with a special extra long ring and a special recorded message when you pick up) every time a severe thunderstorm warning was issued for your county? While it's technically possible to do this and it would reach a lot of people, I suspect folks would get pissed off real fast. And in another post she writes... PB>And my point is that for a lot of folks, that CAN be severe and a timely PB>warning can be just enough to get the crops covered or the livestock in. I have serious doubts that protective measures would be possible here. Farmers are a pretty smart bunch when it comes to protecting their investment. If they know storms are coming they will probably try to do something to protect their heard ahead of time. However, we're assuming that the animals are contained within a small, well-defined, area and are easily rounded up into a shelter. Many ranchers have livestock scattered over hurnreds of square miles --making protection of the animals almost impossible. As far as covering crops up...forget it! You might have time to cover a few plants in your home garden but on a *real* farm you're shit outta luck. And as far as chickens go, nearly all the chicken farms I've been to were indoors. Here, the chickens are not at risk from severe storms but rather from heat exhaustion and dehydration. A severe storm might actually be a benefit by providing cooling and something to drink! Free-range chicken farms are a different story. PB>(And yes, dime-sized hail can be dangerous for city-folk too, though not PB>in the way most folks expect. Driving in the stuff is as bad as trying to PB>drive on ice. People are not likely to pull off the road and wait on a storm just because a warning is issued. Rather, they are likely to pull off the road and wait the storm out when hail starts smacking their windshield so hard that they are afraid to drive. Even more likely, they'll try to limp their way to a highway overpass and park underneath it (often in the traffic lanes). As for how many people would actually run outside and bring their car into the garage I have no figures. This is about the only severe storm damage prevention measure most people can take --given the onset and duration of severe storms. Robert P Dale" writes... >All I'm saying is that if I look down my street the first few minutes after >a SVR is issued, I don't see people running out to pull their cars into the >garage... As others have mentioned -- we are not the normal public. We don't >mind (well, a little ;> ) those 2:30am SVR's for 60mph winds. We don't mind >if HBO gets interrupted for a cell 50 miles away. But the public does. I >work for a TV station. Trust me when I tell you that the public does not >like their shows interrupted unless dire mayhem is occurring... Rob is absolutely correct. We (WX-TALK/WX-CHASE/SKYWARN) people have a *much* greater interest in severe weather than the "average" citizen. We are much more likely to own a weather, have smoke detectors in our homes, and more likely to watch The Weather Channel. Rob's point is that the general public does not like their programming interrupted. We get complaint calls at my station all the time. Then again, we are obligated to pass severe weather information on to the public --whether they want it or not. Our station policy of interrupting programming with live cut-ins is done because we want to personalize the warnings and in part because we want viewers to identify our station as being *the* place to watch for the latest severe weather information. Personally I believe breaking into programming for severe thunderstorm warnings (as opposed to just running a crawl or squeezing down the video into a smaller box) is counterproductive because it desensitizes the public to more serious, life threatening, events. kz wrote... >Sure, its good to be warned of an impending, damaging storm or >tornado. I can take cover and save my life. But the fact is that it >hasn't done that damage in 20 years and hundreds of warnings, and I >think many, many people don't listen or don't act on warnings for just >this reason. If only one out of 200 or 300 warnings verify in a specific >site the size of a house, don't you think people would begin ignoring >them? I'm talking about non-weather hobby people here. The temptation has been for people to say "yea, but what about the really big storm that hits *your* house?" This would definitely be a problem for KZ! My personal experience here in southern Illinois is that perhaps only 25% of the storms for which severe thunderstorm warnings are issued pose any *serious* danger (other than lightning) to people. Further, playing the part of an average citizen for a moment, perhaps 5% of the storms for wich severe thunderstorm warnings are issued for in my county *directly* affect my property. That means, for me, the majority of severe thunderstorm warnings are a bust! Now *I* know, because I am a weather weenie, that due to the nature of how warnings are issued (mainly resolution issues) that most warnings issued for Jackson County will not result in damage at Chris Novy's house. The avarage citizen, however, is more likely to see 100 warnings being issued and nothing happening at his home. And for this reason, whether consciously or unconsciously, he tends not to take future warnings seriously. >If you tried to vacate a building for fire 300 times without a fire, >do you think anyone would listen anymore? The answer is NO. Anyone who lives or works on a college campus (like I do) knows how difficult it is to get people out of a building when the alarm goes off --especially at night or if it's nasty outside. Many people figure "it was a false alarm last time, it's probably another false alarm". We've actually had people refuse to leave our library or hide out in washrooms in order to avoid having to quit studying and go outside for 15 minutes. It's fatal reasoning I'll admit but highly predictable given the way people learn to cope with stressful situations and false alarms. Overwarning does lead to complacency. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:29:26 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > If I own a weather radio I want the weather radio to warn me --not my TV. > While I am in favor of making EAS signals (weather warnings) directly > decodable by TV sets I still believe it should be the owner's option to > select how his/her TV set processes that information. The government > could mandate that your phone ring (with a special extra long ring and a > special recorded message when you pick up) every time a severe thunderstorm > warning was issued for your county? While it's technically possible to do > this and it would reach a lot of people, I suspect folks would get pissed > off real fast. Why does everyone in here keep putting words and opinions in the mouth of `Joe American' without so much as an official poll to find out for sure? We already have 250+ people in Washington who do that for us now. > And in another post she writes... > > PB>And my point is that for a lot of folks, that CAN be severe and a timely > PB>warning can be just enough to get the crops covered or the livestock in. > > I have serious doubts that protective measures would be possible here. > Farmers are a pretty smart bunch when it comes to protecting their investment. I wouldn't go that far. See below. > If they know storms are coming they will probably try to do something to > protect their heard ahead of time. However, we're assuming that the animals > are contained within a small, well-defined, area and are easily rounded up > into a shelter. Many ranchers have livestock scattered over hurnreds of > square miles --making protection of the animals almost impossible. As > far as covering crops up...forget it! You might have time to cover a few > plants in your home garden but on a *real* farm you're shit outta luck. > And as far as chickens go, nearly all the chicken farms I've been to were > indoors. Here, the chickens are not at risk from severe storms but rather > from heat exhaustion and dehydration. A severe storm might actually be > a benefit by providing cooling and something to drink! Free-range chicken > farms are a different story. I'll use the below example to (pro) illustrate the above, but also to (con) refute that farmers can be thought of as a "pretty smart bunch". From Part 11 of our SOP Manual: 11.3.4. What We Should NEVER Hear! - No spotter should EVER be heard to make the following reports or observations: [...Paragraph 1 about "dark clouds," etc. left out...] 2. AVOID EMBARRASSMENT! VERIFY AND BE SURE! - Horses with injuries sustained by scratching upon barbed-wire fences does not an injury from hail make! Such a report actually made it to the NWS as a hail injury report in the Summer of 1997 and it was actually repeated in a nationally disseminated Local Storm Report, as well. It was also reported to the local TV news as a "horse injured from hail." It actually had to be retracted and corrected by the TV station the very next day because the farmer who had reported it had discovered later that the horse's injuries had really been sustained from itching a scratch upon a barbed- wire fence on his property. (He actually caught his horse doing this after the storm and this produced injuries exactly like the ones which prompted his original call-in.) Some people have no clue what they re doing when they make a report to the NWS! They call in reports based upon nothing other than assumptions, with no confirmed basis in fact. (Note that while the TV station made a correction, the NWS did not.) This can adversely affect the credibility of the rest of us if reports like this were ever to emanate from spotters. So lets be careful! If the general public cannot be trusted to make a proper judgement of the situation, then let's ourselves, as spotters, try to be the ones who do get it right -- as consistently as possible. This will develop a confidence and trust between us and the NWS. Calm down. Take a deep breath. Analyze the situation. Report only what you see, exactly as you see it. But add no more than that. And if you are unsure of something, say so. Lastly, get another spotter to confirm the event, if possible.) [...para. 3 about sighting RADAR-visible-only events...] [...para. 4 about making Fujita estimates for a live tor...] > >Sure, its good to be warned of an impending, damaging storm or > >tornado. I can take cover and save my life. But the fact is that it > >hasn't done that damage in 20 years and hundreds of warnings, and I > >think many, many people don't listen or don't act on warnings for just > >this reason. If only one out of 200 or 300 warnings verify in a specific > >site the size of a house, don't you think people would begin ignoring > >them? I'm talking about non-weather hobby people here. > > The temptation has been for people to say "yea, but what about the > really big storm that hits *your* house?" This would definitely be a > problem for KZ! My personal experience here in southern Illinois is > that perhaps only 25% of the storms for which severe thunderstorm warnings > are issued pose any *serious* danger (other than lightning) to people. > Further, playing the part of an average citizen for a moment, perhaps > 5% of the storms for wich severe thunderstorm warnings are issued for > in my county *directly* affect my property. That means, for me, the > majority of severe thunderstorm warnings are a bust! Now *I* know, > because I am a weather weenie, that due to the nature of how warnings > are issued (mainly resolution issues) that most warnings issued for > Jackson County will not result in damage at Chris Novy's house. The > avarage citizen, however, is more likely to see 100 warnings being issued > and nothing happening at his home. And for this reason, whether consciously > or unconsciously, he tends not to take future warnings seriously. I really don't know about that. In my personal real-life experience, I've talked with many people all over town who may not have had experiences at their own home, but are keenly aware of the damage done to that poor guy on the other end of town, because he did see the news later in the day about it. And when they talk, they're not complaining because their Star Trek: The Next Generation repeat was interrupted. They're actually interested after the warning, they talk about stepping outside and seeing the kinky cloud-base undersides, and the dark skies, and they relate worry, not complacency. Maybe they have no idea what dark skies do or don't mean, but they know a warning was issued, and that the skies look mean when they look out their window. And if they're looking out their window, this, to me, indicates concern...that they do care about that warning that was issued. Maybe that's just here, and everywhere else in America everyone is just, plainly speaking...stupid. I don't know. (Since everyone else is speaking for all Americans, hey...) Anyone in here like to speak again for America and confirm or deny this for me? I'd like to know. > >If you tried to vacate a building for fire 300 times without a fire, > >do you think anyone would listen anymore? If you guys evac buildings 300 times then you need some serious help over there. No offense. But that's kinda overboard. If you guys get more than one bomb threat over there every day (previous statement in another article) then same. > The answer is NO. Anyone who lives or works on a college campus (like > I do) knows how difficult it is to get people out of a building when the > alarm goes off --especially at night or if it's nasty outside. Many > people figure "it was a false alarm last time, it's probably another > false alarm". We've actually had people refuse to leave our library > or hide out in washrooms in order to avoid having to quit studying and > go outside for 15 minutes. It's fatal reasoning I'll admit but > highly predictable given the way people learn to cope with stressful > situations and false alarms. Overwarning does lead to complacency. I can't argue with him there. I myself have actually seen students get stupidly rediculous over the fear of that test tomorrow. But ah. Okay. Schools. That's different. Schools are not the general public. See, I used to go to one. Seems rediculous, but yes. I have. See, there are drills and then lots of occasions of false alarms, and threats of fires and bomb threats from students trying to delay that test. (Hey, they get desparate...and weird.) But schools are not the norm, and should not be talked about as if they are the framework of everyone else and every situation else. There is already an intense psychological thing going on there, which is not to be considered happening everywhere else about the town. Schools are filled with more crazies about to explode than in any other environment I have ever seen (excluding perhaps Wall Street). And every student in this conference knows exactly what I'm talking about, because they probably know two or more, and they've probably had roommates who have screamed at them crazily to go and get them a donut at 3 in the morning because their roommate didn't want to leave the couch because that would take time away from studying for tomorrow's test. And if the other person refused to get the donut for them so early in the morning, they've probably had to deal with the hands around the neck, their head being shaken violently to "GET - ME - THAT - DAMNED DONUT - OR - I'LL, I'LL - I'LL CALL IN ANOTHER BOMB THREAT TOMORROW! AND I'LL BLAME IT ON YOU! HAH-HAH-HAH-HAH-HAH-HAHHHHHHHH!" ...To which, the other roommate replies, calmly, while holding up his finger: "How about I, uh...I go and get you, uh...get you that donut, then? Yes, that's what I'll do. I'll...I'll just do that. Get you that donut. Donuts are important. Let's...let's get the donuts. Yes. Great idea. Donuts. I'll go...me, that is. I'll...I'll go...get the donuts. Do you, uh, do you want, uh, lemon-filled, cherry, chocolate cov..." "GO!!! ...NOW!!!" "...Going. I'm, I'm going. See? Coat on...going out the door now. I'm going. I'll, I'll be back. You, you uh, you just stay right here." "AHHHHHHHHH!" [SLAM!] No. College campuses are not a fair comparison. College campuses are a strange, evil, backwards atmosphere that makes the hairs on the back of your neck crawl, sometimes. They are an unnatural grounds which should best be left for graveyards. Strange things happen there which are not normal. And you should not wander about one without a large cross hung about your neck for protection. If this is allowed then so should menopause as a valid argument. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:41:29 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1220 PM EST SUN MAR 1 1998 TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 840 PM NEW PORT RICHEY FL 3.00 IN HAIL 2/28/98 PASCO TEA CUP SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC AT THE BEST OF PHILLY RESTAURANT IN NEW PORT RICHEY. "...Tea-cup-sized hail?" "...TEA CUP?" What? "Baseball-sized" wasn't good enough? What's next? "SALAD-DISH- sized" [Did it fall at 9-o'clock or 3-o'clock?] :) See what happens when you allow the "posh" community to spot for you? Wonder what a "funnel cloud" would be. [A "long, bending swizzlestick," probably. If it touched ground, would it be "mixing?"] 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:46:31 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Safety, saving people and timely warnings On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, rjhstorm wrote: > Hi All: > > Much of the post-Florida Outbreak chat has centered around safety and > warnings. I think that the concept of local "Civil-defense" needs to come into > play. > > In the aftermath of the Ft. Smith tornado of a few years back, it was > painfully obvious that the local agencies relied almost exclusively on NWS > information. What happened to the local spotter network, the emergency ham > network, the policeman on the beat with his radio and a cell phone, the > volunteer fire department people out in the field with their cb's and cell > phones? Leaving the darkness out of it, I'll say..."trees," most likely, blocking your view. And we have lots of them down here. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:03:06 -0600 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > "...Tea-cup-sized hail?" "...TEA CUP?" > > What? "Baseball-sized" wasn't good enough? What's next? "SALAD-DISH- I'm not trying to flame, but what is wrong with tea cup sized? I get an exact picture in my mind of how large the hail is. Why is baseball or tennis ball sized hail better than tea cup? I could not imagine expecting the public to know what the "normal references" are for hail sizes. If they want to say...it's about the size of an apple, then go ahead...I get the idea. It is possible that b/c it is a restaurant they probably had a few tea cups around, but very few baseballs. This is not nearly the first time I've seen tea cup used as a reference nor would I even think to let something so meaningless bother me. The study of meteorology has far bigger problems to address, both scientific and political, than nit-picky hail-size terminology. IMHO --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mathew L. Powers powers@weather.cod.edu College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ Ob's at MDW for fun. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:12:52 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Warning Methods On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, Kevin Heyboer wrote: > Here in Florida....hail is a *very* rare occurrence since the freeze > level is so high most of the time. When I see hail here...I start > looking for the wall cloud or funnel. Bingo... ZCZC DD+ 30585 WWUS30 KTBW 011723 LSRTBW PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1220 PM EST SUN MAR 1 1998 [...] 520 AM SARASOTA FL 0.75 IN HAIL 3/1/98 SARASOTA DIME SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED BY THE SARASOTA EOC. 535 AM LONGBOAT KEY FL FUNNEL CLOUD 3/1/98 MANATEE A LARGE FUNNEL CLOUD WAS SPOTTED BY THE LONGBOAT PD MOVING EAST. 545 AM BRADENTON FL WIND DAMAGE 3/1/98 MANATEE SEVERAL TREES KNOCKED DOWN IN THE BRADENTON PROPER. REPORTED BY FLORIDA POWER AND LIGHT. 545 AM SARASOTA FL WIND DAMAGE 3/1/98 SARASOTA SEVERAL TREES KNOCKED DOWN IN THE SARASOTA AREA. REPORTED BY FLORIDA POWER AND LIGHT. 600 AM SARASOTA FL TORNADO 3/1/98 SARASOTA A TORNADO CAUSED MAJOR DAMAGE TO TUTTLE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. PRELIMINARY REPORT OF 8 TO 12 ROOMS DAMAGED. NWS STORM SURVEY PENDING. ---------------- For those unfamiliar with the area, Longboat Key is in southern Manatee Cty, just north of the Sarasota Cty line and the city of Sarasota. Marianne ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Mar 1998 to 2 Mar 1998 - Special issue **************************************************************** From - Mon Mar 9 17:54:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629440-13436>; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 14:07:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14838; Tue, 3 Mar 1998 00:04:41 -0600 Message-Id: <199803030604.AAA14838@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: da99010b3ffb5c7f59000d1adccf6404 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 365 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) (2) 2. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Metchanidise for sale 3. Safety, saving people and timely warnings 4. Weather Warnings/Tornado Sirens 5. Florida Tornado Damage Assessment and Ratings - Initial Report +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:47:04 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) heck, a philly restaurant in florida needs all the advertisement it can get. > 840 PM NEW PORT RICHEY FL 3.00 IN HAIL > 2/28/98 PASCO TEA CUP SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED > BY THE PUBLIC AT THE BEST OF > PHILLY RESTAURANT IN NEW PORT > RICHEY. > > "...Tea-cup-sized hail?" "...TEA CUP?" > > What? "Baseball-sized" wasn't good enough? What's next? "SALAD-DISH- > sized" [Did it fall at 9-o'clock or 3-o'clock?] :) See what happens when > you allow the "posh" community to spot for you? > > Wonder what a "funnel cloud" would be. [A "long, bending swizzlestick," > probably. If it touched ground, would it be "mixing?"] > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 15:52:03 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Metchanidise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos, sweatshirts ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 16:12:28 -0600 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) At 03:41 PM 3/2/98 -0500, Todd Sherman wrote: >TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >840 PM NEW PORT RICHEY FL 3.00 IN HAIL >2/28/98 PASCO TEA CUP SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED > BY THE PUBLIC AT THE BEST OF > PHILLY RESTAURANT IN NEW PORT > RICHEY. > > > "...Tea-cup-sized hail?" "...TEA CUP?" > > What? "Baseball-sized" wasn't good enough? What's next? "SALAD-DISH- >sized" [Did it fall at 9-o'clock or 3-o'clock?] :) See what happens when >you allow the "posh" community to spot for you? > > Wonder what a "funnel cloud" would be. [A "long, bending swizzlestick," >probably. If it touched ground, would it be "mixing?"] > >8-) > >Todd Todd, While grasping your humor :), there is a reason why tea-cup size hail is referenced with 3" diameter hail. Check http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/hailwind.htm for the reference. For the record... baseball size hail = 2.75" in diameter and tennis ball size hail = 2.5" in diameter. Softball size hail = 4.5" in diameter. Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 19:24:59 -0500 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Safety, saving people and timely warnings On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, rjhstorm wrote: Quoting you out of context in an attempt to put the most on-topic first... gotta get in a few last words... :) > This was at least a "100 year" event for Florida, people are > going to die under those circumstances. Perhaps it will be in terms of deaths but not in terms of weather. Florida has a history of F3 and F4 tornadoes. There's a study of peninsular FL tornado outbreaks published on the Melbourne NWS site (http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/houtbrk.html) which provides some perspective. The study identifies 35 outbreaks (4+ tornadoes occurring in 4 hrs) during 1950-1994. Of the 1400+ tornadoes during this time period, 250 were part of outbreaks which accounted for ~60% of the total tornado deaths and injuries. > And maybe, just maybe, we can attribute a lot of this to Fate. > Face it, at night and in an area where the average familiarity with > local climatology and shelter is what they saw when they were driving on > the freeway to the park, The majority of the fatalities were people in mobile homes who were at least part-time residents. It's a mess trying to untangle the figures at this point, but it looks like ~1/4 were in RVs (some who come every year for spring training and such). According to the Orlando Sentinel's list of victims, 9 of 41 were from out of state. Of the deaths in Orange, 3 of 3 were mh; in Seminole, at least 8 of 12 were mh; and in Volusia, 1 in a car, 1 in an rv (an 18-yr resident). Reports from Osceola include one with 22 of 24 dead in mh/rv, and another of 10 rv, 9 mh, 2 in a pub. Btw, Morningside Acres, the mh park in Osceola where so many died, is comprised of 1-5 acre (purchased) lots, not the narrow, closely spaced lots of most parks. > a tornado striking a populated area is going to harm a lot of people, > especially if it is strong enough to take out even homes built properly > to code. Of the 1300 homes in Lakeside Estates, the 7-yr-old subdivision in Osceola, 100's were destroyed and 100's were damaged. I don't think it's safe to assume homes are well built simply because they are built to code (assuming these were) because.... Buildings code require that both manufactured _and_ conventional housing in Florida be able to withstand _straightline_ winds of 100-110mph. People from the builders assocs clucked over the damage dismissing it as an act of nature. When the full reports are in, I bet they're hung out to dry with their cronies from Dade County. Or, we could simply have a Fujita-Florida Scale where "well-built" homes are demolished along with mhs at F2. Back to lurking... Marianne http://www.nsis.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 20:00:12 -0500 From: "Jonathan C. Porter" Subject: Weather Warnings/Tornado Sirens Howie... Here in the NE CT, we also have the backup fire department sirens. I think that would be a good idea to abolish the Fire Department sirens except for the fact that it is a good backup system in the event that the power was to go off or the pagers didn't work and there was an emergency. Perhaps a different sounding alarm for tornadoes.. Date: Sun, 1 Mar 1998 21:14:30 -0500 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Tornado Sirens While we are on the topic of warning systems, I thought I'd mention something that I find strange. While giving a talk to school kids about the weather, I was discussing warning methods and how the "air-raid" sirens go off when there is tornado warning. Well, of course this is not the case in all locations, to say the least. Here in NY and in NJ, most volunteer fire departments have the same type of siren to alert firefighters of an emergency call. I was thinking how confused some people must be when the whistle sounds every day at noon, or for every fire call (which average 3-4 per day here). One of the kids had moved from Texas to Albany, NY and said that he was really confused the first time he heard the siren go off?? Hmmm. Someone should probably break away from using the sirens so they have one and ONLY ONE purpose. Fire Department now carry pagers so it wouldn't be a bad idea to abolish sirens for volunteer fire departments completely. Just some thoughts. Regards, Howie ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Jonathan C. Porter Director.. NE Weather Student Member of the American Meteorological Society "Killingly, CT's WeatherMan" http://www.neca.com/~jpcp32/ne.htm NE Weather Homepage jpcp32@neca.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 03:19:21 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Florida Tornado Damage Assessment and Ratings - Initial Report Hi All: Recieved this through the ops mail list from the IRC's Undernet #weather channel - figured it would be of interest Richard Halter ---------- Forwarded message --- >From owner-weather Mon Mar 2 20:32:55 1998 Return-Path: Received: from world.std.com by europe.std.com (8.7.6/BZS-8-1.0) id UAA12292; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 20:32:55 -0500 (EST) Received: from ha1.rdc1.nj.home.com by world.std.com (TheWorld/Spike-2.0) id AA14554; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 20:26:52 -0500 Received: from CC704769-A.avnl1.nj.home.com ([24.3.132.226]) by ha1.rdc1.nj.home.com (Netscape Mail Server v2.02) with SMTP id AAA19144; Mon, 2 Mar 1998 17:26:41 -0800 Message-Id: <3.0.1.32.19980302202920.0071f63c@mail> X-Sender: yaz@mail X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Light Version 3.0.1 (32) Date: Mon, 02 Mar 1998 20:29:20 -0500 X-To: yaz@webtv.net, weather@world.std.com From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods (by way of yaz@home.net) Subject: Florida Tornadoes Cc: nmemissl@aol.com, bobact2@aol.com, culader@linet04.li.net, jim_quinn@glic.com Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Greg, I talked with Don Burgess of the disaster survey team before he left our office today - here is the latest word from the DST: The biggies: Campbell City/Kissimmee: strong F3 Winter Garden: strong F3 Sanford: F3 South Daytona: strong F2 The not so biggies: Port Canaveral: F1 Titusville: F2 Don told me there was nothing the damage survey team saw that showed clear F4, except possibly for the Winter Garden Tor...and if so it would be low end F4. A few folks with experience in these matters are still leaning towards weak F4, however it makes little practical difference which side of the F3/F4 fence it falls (except for historical purposes) - since we're talking either a strong F3 ~200mph or weak F4 ~210mph. As an aside, I have been surveying the extensions of these tracks. The Kissimmee supercell/tornado has a near continuous damage path length of 40-45 miles. Near the end of its track, it did some massive tree damage in the Tosohatchee wildlife reserve (park officer led me thru it). It's track ends at the St John's River, where it lifted up 2 MILES WSW OF A 1,000 LOT RV PARK! (currently near capacity). It set down briefly about 2 miles east of the RV park and did some F1-F2 damage to one house and F0 to 2-3 others. Another aside - even with a near continuous damage path it may have been a family of tornadoes, based on what looked to be one or two occlusions of the mesocyclone along it's track. Families can sometimes leave near continuous paths - even so, to have a damage path of that length is extremely rare for Florida. The Sanford tornado likely stayed on the ground for a long while - I still need to check SW Volusia county, a very rural area with only logging and access roads available to travel. In SE Volusia, I picked up it's path as it crossed I-95 4SSW of Edgewater, where it cut a 200 yard wide swath of F2 damage through a heavily treed median, and then through a forest on the property of a rifle club, where it destroyed a barn, about 8-10 storage trailers, and god knows how many trees. I also need to survey to the west of the South Daytona Tor, since only minor structural damage was reported from Lake County (west of Volusia), and the storm had a strong meso at the time. Check out more about the Tors at our office home page at: http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu Apologies if this was way more than you wanted to know. Regards. Tony Cristaldi NWSO Melbourne, FL -- "'El Nino' is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1998 ********************************** From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2494 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-16268>; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 14:12:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30062; Wed, 4 Mar 1998 00:08:53 -0600 Message-Id: <199803040608.AAA30062@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 00:00:29 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1998 to 3 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cadfdb739a4350874ebee84f9b5b395 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 175 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) 2. Safety, saving people and timely warnings 3. TEA CUP HAIL 4. Co-op Student Positions Available 5. Warning Methods (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:10:00 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: [Strange] Storm Report -011124 (AUTOMATIC) (fwd) On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, Mathew L. Powers wrote: > On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > > "...Tea-cup-sized hail?" "...TEA CUP?" > > > > What? "Baseball-sized" wasn't good enough? What's next? "SALAD-DISH- > > I'm not trying to flame, but what is wrong with tea cup sized? I get Nothing at all. Just picking fun. Here...[hands 'im a beer]...try this. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:35:10 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Safety, saving people and timely warnings On Mon, 2 Mar 1998, Marianne Cowley wrote: > > This was at least a "100 year" event for Florida, people are > > going to die under those circumstances. > > Perhaps it will be in terms of deaths but not in terms of weather. > Florida has a history of F3 and F4 tornadoes. There's a study of > peninsular FL tornado outbreaks published on the Melbourne NWS site > (http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/houtbrk.html) which provides some perspective. > The study identifies 35 outbreaks (4+ tornadoes occurring in 4 hrs) during > 1950-1994. Of the 1400+ tornadoes during this time period, 250 were part > of outbreaks which accounted for ~60% of the total tornado deaths and > injuries. See also FLORIDA WEATHER, Morton D. Winsberg, Univ. of Central Fla. Press, Orlando, 1990; and, THE CLIMATE AND WEATHER OF FLORIDA, James A. Henry & Kenneth M. Portier, Pineapple Press, Sarasota, 1994. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachu County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 01:07:05 -0600 From: MILWAUKEE AREA SKYWARN ASSOCIATION Subject: TEA CUP HAIL TEA CUP size hail may generate a laugh for some, but for others its like looking at an old book: NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL ESG-15 The Operational Meteorology of Convective Weather Volume II: Storm Scale Analysis Charles A. Doswell III April 1985 *** PAGE 237 *** Skip Voros Milwaukee Skywarn Head Honcho See you guys in Du Page.... MASA ["May-sah"] ---> Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association, Inc. Est 1992 Promoting severe weather INDENTIFICATION, EVALUATION, & REPORTING. www.execpc.com/~svoros, Newsletter, Email lists & posts: masa@execpc.com 1998 Wisconsin Tornado Awareness Week {TAW} April 20-24. Drill: 23rd *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Mar 1998 07:22:46 -0500 From: Stephan Smith Subject: Co-op Student Positions Available The Techniques Development Laboratory of the NWS in Silver Spring, Maryland currently has three undergraduate or graduate co-op student positions open starting in June or September 1998. For more information check out the TDL webpage at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/ or contact Dr. Stephan B. Smith, Co-op Student Coordinator, at Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov / 301-713-1774 x180. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 19:03:57 -0600 From: "Ken Z." Subject: Re: Warning Methods Ricketts,Steve [Edm] wrote: > ...snip... > > This analysis is done off the top of my head... and I am sure that > someone with a little effort could come up with far more accurate > numbers. But even if I'm off by a factor of 2-4, I believe that my point > is still valid: i.e. our current ability to forecast severe weather > means that the people hearing a severe weather warning for their county > likely to have only a 0.5% to 5% chance of being affected by that > particular storm. Assuming that weather events are random and > independent, they roughly will have to hear between 10 and 100 warnings > before they are likely to be affected. Thus the whole debate of > unnecessarily "interrupting" my game show with useless warnings. > > Ken... is that what you were getting at? > > My personal opinions only... do not necessarily reflect those of my > employer. > > ..steve > That's about it. The 0.5 to 5% figures sounds probably right. I don't know the answer to this, but public apathy will continue to abound regarding warnings as long as they need to listen to 100 warnings for each one that affects them personally. Like you said, the only way around this would be to "wire" each home individually to be alerted ONLY if they would be affected. That would be almost impossible to do and storms don't always move in a straight line (especially more dangerous right-turners). KZ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 19:35:43 -0600 From: "Ken Z." Subject: Re: Warning Methods Kevin Heyboer wrote: > > Wow...I am having trouble comprehending some of the thoughts I am seeing > here....issued tornado warnings only if there is a tornado? Don't > issue Severe Thunderstorm Warings unless the hail exceeds 3/4 inch at > the time of the warning? RIDICULOUS! > ...cut.. > Here in Florida....hail is a *very* rare occurrence since the freeze > level is so high most of the time. When I see hail here...I start > looking for the wall cloud or funnel. > Florida is a unique situation. In other parts of the country, especially the south, small hail occurs a lot more often. Many times, hail is all that happens, and dime size or less at that. My points are that warning for dime size hail when the atmosphere and stability indicates that that would be all you'd get may be overwarning. Warning for these "just in case" they become bigger is a good idea IF the synoptics are right, but when the conditions indicated small hail only, then I wonder if warnings are overkill. Like I've said before, just my opinion. KZ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1998 to 3 Mar 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627348-17762>; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 14:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB24228; Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:04:59 -0600 Message-Id: <199803050604.AAB24228@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Mar 1998 to 4 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cbbd5e0c95b432733807fe2d58ca3a90 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 479 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. clarification of my e-mail to Greg 2. Florida Tornado Outbreak 3. Warning Methods 4. Radio Shack Weather Radio Media Campaign 5. TEST 6. TEA CUP HAIL 7. ASOS Commissioning Notice 8. Tornado Symposium in Oklahoma +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 01:12:34 -0500 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: Re: clarification of my e-mail to Greg rjhstorm wrote: > Hi All: > Recieved this through the ops mail list from the IRC's Undernet > #weather channel - figured it would be of interest > > The not so biggies: > Port Canaveral: F1 > Titusville: F2 > > The Sanford tornado likely stayed on the ground for a long while - I > still need to check SW Volusia county, a very rural area with only > logging and access roads available to travel. In SE Volusia, I picked > up it's path as it crossed I-95 4SSW of Edgewater, where it cut a 200 > yard wide swath of F2 damage through a heavily treed median The tree damage in and of itself, doesn't qualify for F2 damage, as I mistakenly implied by my reply, however based upon the damage I saw done to a house and garage on the other side of the forest, I considered it low end F2. Nobody besides myself has been out to see this particular damage, so the standard "this assessment is preliminary" disclaimer applies. Tony Cristaldi NWSO Melbourne, FL -- "'El Nino' is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 05:00:31 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Florida Tornado Outbreak Someone posted four radar loops of one of the Florida severe weather events a few weeks ago. Were similar loops posted for the tornado outbreak? If so, could someone re-post the URL? Thanks, Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 09:31:04 -0500 From: Robert L Krawitz Subject: Re: Warning Methods Date: Mon, 2 Mar 1998 19:35:43 -0600 From: "Ken Z." Kevin Heyboer wrote: > Here in Florida....hail is a *very* rare occurrence since the freeze > level is so high most of the time. When I see hail here...I start > looking for the wall cloud or funnel. > Florida is a unique situation. In other parts of the country, especially the south, small hail occurs a lot more often. Many times, hail is all that happens, and dime size or less at that. My points are that warning for dime size hail when the atmosphere and stability indicates that that would be all you'd get may be overwarning. Warning for these "just in case" they become bigger is a good idea IF the synoptics are right, but when the conditions indicated small hail only, then I wonder if warnings are overkill. Like I've said before, just my opinion. I think that the criteria for severe should be location dependent, just as the criteria for e. g. winter storm watch/warning are. Clearly 2" of snow in the deep south will cause major havoc; here in Boston it doesn't have much effect, and in the lake snow belts it probably isn't even noticed. There's no controversy about that that I'm aware of; if the NWS in Houston didn't issue a warning for 2" of snow they'd get blasted; if NWS Buffalo issued a warning for 2" of snow they'd get laughed at. I don't agree that, say, G50 will have the same effect everywhere. Places that frequently have very strong winds are not likely to accumulate a lot of weak trees, and construction standards are likely to be better than places where these conditions are infrequent. I've seen enough claims (from claimed experience) that 3/4" hail really isn't very destructive except to agriculture so that I expect these people know what they're talking about from firsthand experience (around here hail of any size is unusual enough). Certainly one can claim that a storm that produces a G50 might suddenly produce a microburst to 100 knots, but is that really true? That depends upon atmospheric dynamics and instability, and those are known ahead of time. Under the right conditions such a storm may well produce a damaging downburst; in other circumstances the G50 might be momentum transfer from a strong low level jet with very weak instability, and there's no meaningful possibility of such a microburst. On the other hand, I suspect that in the right circumstances a seemingly garden variety thunderstorm might fire off a microburst. Similarly for hail, I presume that the characteristics that are likely to produce marginally severe hail are different from the characteristics that may produce really big hail. Even moderate hail can be damaging to agriculture, but is there much that can be done with 10 minutes warning? I suspect not, except for very small, valuable crops. In those cases, why not issue a special agricultural warning like the special marine warnings that are often issued for thunderstorms? Maybe there need to be graded warnings -- this storm is likely to produce 50 knot winds, this storm is likely to produce 70 knot winds, this storm is likely to produce 100 knot winds sort of thing. For hail -- this storm is likely to produce 3/4" hail, this storm is likely to produce 1.5" hail, and so forth. The watches and warnings that particularly annoy me are the ones that are inevitably issued around here in November, when big storms bomb their way up the Appalachians. Inevitably they're accompanied by a very strong jet max around 900 mb or thereabouts; there's strong low level WAA from the jet and from the warm water; and as the 500 mb trough swings through there's some marginal instability. There's already good momentum transfer, with strong (frequently 30G40) winds in the warm sector; a line of low top convection forms; and a severe thunderstorm watch is issued. Usually the watch nominally verifies; there will be a gust or two to 50, along with some minor damage somewhere. I think it's ludicrous that a severe thunderstorm watch is issued in this situation; even where it verifies all the public will see is a heavy shower with modestly stronger wind gusts and maybe a few rumbles of thunder. Nobody thinks of it as a thunderstorm, much less a severe thunderstorm. It's of no use to anyone, and it dilutes the message. People around here already know that these storms are wet and windy; they're marginally more so for a few minutes. For that matter, people not from around here can see that it's wet and windy, too. -- Robert Krawitz http://www.tiac.net/users/rlk/ Tall Clubs International -- http://www.tall.org/ or 1-888-IM-TALL-2 Member of the League for Programming Freedom -- mail lpf@uunet.uu.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 11:21:28 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Radio Shack Weather Radio Media Campaign JohnMcLaughlin sent me e-mail about a program Radio Shack has developed to promote severe weather awareness --and their weather radios. He said he posted this to WX-TALK but I don't ever recall seeing it so I'm posting it again. I'm also attaching a copy of a letter I reeived from the Radio Shack weather radio products group leader. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = John's Original post.... With the recent thread on NOAA Weather Radio, I thought I would share some thoughts of a joint-campaign we are doing in Des Moines to promote the program. KCCI Television and the Polk County (Des Moines) Emergency Management Office teamed up to offer discounts on the 7-channel digital WeatherRadio Alert by Radio Shack (model 12-247a). I invited viewers to mail in a self-addressed envelope and I mailed them back the coupon to purchase this $49.99 radio for just $24.97. We promoted this in every weathercast and with special live remotes from Radio Shack. In the first ten days of the program, 2000 people mailed in for the discount and Radio Shack was scrambling to order as many radios as they could get their hands on. The local NWS unofficially endorsed the project, but couldn't promote it since they can't promote one TV station or Radio Shack. They had hoped to place the mention on wx radio and their web page but region nixed the idea. Certainly the NOAA weather radio program reaped huge benefits from this, as more than 3000 radios have been sold through the coupons and many more from folks who got the discount anyway since Radio Shack didn't turn anyone away. In the past few weeks, our local NWA chapter donated $1000 toward the purchase of 40 radios to be placed in child care centers. We'll be drawing for these on television in March leading up to severe weather awareness week. Your local NWA/AMS chapter might consider a similar project. Now, Colin Meyer, senior buyer for the Tandy Corp has emailed me and is in support of any TV station/EMA combo who would like to try the same program in their city. They've also agreed to discount the SAME radios to $59.99 ($20 off) along with the 50% off the 12-247A. I would encourage every TV station and EMA to get on the ball with this program. You can contact your local radio shack district office, or email me and I'll get you in touch with the right people. This is hugely successful, saves lives, and promotes friendly media-NWS relations which are stressed these days over the proliferance of TV Dopplers. Do it today! John McLauglin Chief Meteorologist = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Colin Meyer of Radio Shack's post... Hello Chris, I've copied some info on a current program we have for NOAA Weatheradio and TV stations. It will require interaction with the TV station and a local RadioShack store to get the program in place. Most stores are unaware of the program, so don't be surprised when you ask them about it and they look at you with a blank stare. When you contact a local RadioShack, just have them get in touch with me and I can forward them some information to be able to administer the program. ------------ QUOTE ----------------- 1. A local store or district manager may work with a TV station that is willing to give some coverage to NOAA Weatheradio in their local market. The case we usally cite is KCCI-TV in Des Moines, Iowa, where the station does a nightly tag line to their weather about NOAA Weatheradio. In this tag line they also indicate that the viewer may send in a request to the TV station for a discount coupon for a weatheradio from a RadioShack store. RadioShack is participating in this program solely to help the station get information to their viewers. 2. In some cases the TV station will team up with the local Emergency Management Office. 3. The coupon is printed by the TV station or Emergency Management Office. RadioShack does not provide the coupons although it must be approved by the local RadioShack store involved. The coupon usually has information about NOAA and also the local TV station. The coupon lists specific model(s) of the RadioShack Weatheradio at specific price(s). We recommend the 12-247 at $24.99 and the 12-249 at $59.99. 4. The coupon must have an expiration date of not greater than 6 months after the printing of the coupon. New expiration dates for subsequent printings can be done with RadioShack permission. The current program extends only until June 30, 1998. 5. The coupon must have the approved RadioShack logo. 6. The printed coupon pricing must be approved by the RadioShack District Manager in the area to make sure there are no errors on the coupon. A copy of the approved coupon must be forwarded to Colin Meyer, 100 Throckmorton, Suite 1517, Fort Worth, TX 76102. 7. The coupon must NOT specifically state a store for redemption. It must indicate that it may be redeemed at any RadioShack store. 8. Coupons must be redeemed to get the discount at the RadioShack store. No discounting of walk-in traffic is allowed even if they say they saw it on TV. We must stick to this 100% since the "program" really belongs to the TV station and not RadioShack. The TV station is doing this to increase viewers and maintain their viewer base. We must not interfere with this process and therefore discounting without a valid discount coupon will not be tolerated. 11. Before any program is finalized, the program must be approved by Colin Meyer in RadioShack Merchandising. The request for approval must contain the TV station involved, a contact at the TV station, the name of the local RadioShack contact in the area, and the coverage area for the TV/Radio station. If you have any questions, please contact Colin Meyer cmeyer1@tandy.com 817-415-6633 ------------------unquote------------------- There are more details, but it involves internal stuff. Just have the store contact me or I can have one contact you directly if you tell me again where the station is at. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 18:37:11 -0600 From: "Boyd H. Webb, III" Subject: TEST Test only... new e-mail address.. Thanks... Boyd Webb Cordova, TN ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 22:34:58 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: TEA CUP HAIL Skip svoros@EXECPC.COM wrote: > TEA CUP size hail may generate a laugh for some, > but for others its like looking at an old book: [ref to 1985 Doswell tome] I guess Tea Cup is in between Golfball and Baseball. (Possibly raquetball sized? :-) Our WCM has ordered the defenestration (or perhaps flogging with rubber duckies ?-) of any spotter reporting "marble sized hail". (Small cats-eye or large aggie shooter might be more precise but not desired either. :-) hi hi es 73 de n1vux -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 22:24:59 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 04 March 1998: OXNARD AIRPORT (KOXR) OXNARD... CA SANTA BARBARA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KSBA) SANTA BARBARA... CA GREENVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KGNR) GREENVILLE... ME Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Mar 1998 21:37:17 -0600 From: Kit Wagner Subject: Tornado Symposium in Oklahoma Space is still available for the Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting The Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association will conduct a scientific symposium on tornado forecasting and research, on March 24, 1998, at the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. This is one of several activities scheduled for the three-day celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast, sponsored by the Oklahoma Weather Center and Tinker Air Force Base. Ten internationally recognized scientists will deliver invited presentations on topics ranging from tornado forecasting techniques and future activities of the Storm Prediction Center, to the history of storm and tornado intercept efforts. In addition, a tribute to Air Force Col. Robert Miller will be paid by Dr. Robert Maddox, who will also discuss the first tornado forecast of Miller and Maj. Ernest Fawbush. A copy of the registration form can be obtained here, http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~trapp/registration.html or requested via email at symposium@nssl.noaa.gov or U. S. mail at Tornado Symposium, c/o NSSL, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069. The registration fee is a very reasonable $25 ($20 for students). Session 1 DR. ROBERT MADDOX, University of Oklahoma, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies "The Tinker Tornadoes of 1948 and Reminiscences of Severe Storm Forecasting with Col. Miller" Session 2 STEVEN WEISS, Storm Prediction Center "A Review of Tornado Forecasting from a Historical Perspective" DR. JOSEPH SCHAEFER, Storm Prediction Center "Current and Future Activities of the Storm Prediction Center" Session 3 DONALD BURGESS, NEXRAD Operational Support Facility/Operations Training Branch "Doppler Radar for Tornado Research and Detection" Session 4 ALAN MOLLER, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Fort Worth, TX, and DR. CHARLES DOSWELL, National Severe Storms Laboratory "Storm Spotting and Public Awareness Since the First Tornado Forecasts of 1948" Session 5 DR. LOUIS WICKER, Texas A&M University "Review of Storm- and Tornado-Scale Modeling" DR. KELVIN DROEGEMEIER, University of Oklahoma, and Center for the Analysis and Prediction of Storms "Current and Future Applications of Mesoscale Modeling for Tornado Forecasting" Session 6 DR. HOWARD BLUESTEIN, University of Oklahoma "A Brief History of Storm- and Tornado-Intercept Efforts" DR. ERIK RASMUSSEN, National Severe Storms Laboratory/Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies "Current and future tornado field research" The symposium will be held in Meacham Auditorium (adjacent the Oklahoma Memorial Union, Asp and Felgar St., ), from 8:30 am to 5 pm. Registration will begin at 7:30 am, at which time symposium programs can be obtained and commemorative items can be purchased (see weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html). Parking is available in the Elm Avenue Parking Facility , and Oklahoma Memorial Union Parking . Alternatively, participants can park free of charge in the Lloyd Noble Center parking lot (Imhoff Rd. and Jenkins Ave.). Buses that shuttle passengers to the main campus depart from the Lloyd Noble Center approximately every 15 min. Lunch is available in the Memorial Union or at a number of restaurants within easy walking distance. EVENT SCHEDULE: 7:30-8:30 am Registration, program distribution 8:30-9:30 Introduction, Session #1 (R. Maddox) 9:30-10:00 Coffee break 10:00-11:00 Session #2 (S. Weiss, J. Schaefer) 11:00-12:00 Session #3 (D. Burgess) 12:00-1:30 pm Lunch break 1:30-2:30 Session #4 (A. Moller, C. Doswell) 2:30-3:30 Session #5 (L. Wicker, K Droegemeier) 3:30-4:00 Coffee break 4:00-5:00 Session #6 (H. Bluestein, E. Rasmussen) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Mar 1998 to 4 Mar 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Mar 9 17:55:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3598 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629113-14706>; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 14:18:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20328; Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:13:57 -0600 Message-Id: <199803060613.AAA20328@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 00:07:12 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Mar 1998 to 5 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91c06d93968fd5dbbf807e631aa4422e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 159 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. FW: REACT-L: DR249: Seeking Information on the Recent Florida Tornadoes 2. Radio Shack Weather Radio Media Campaign (2) 3. Severe Weather Plotting Software 4. Climate Values 5. *ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 08:03:46 -0600 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: FW: REACT-L: DR249: Seeking Information on the Recent Florida Tornadoes Received this on another list and am forwarding it...perhaps someone with first hand knowledge can reply - Gayland Kitch, City of Moore OK Emerg. Mgmt. > I have a friend here in Texas who is trying to find some information. > Maybe some of you out there can help. Here is his request: > > I am searching for information on the Florida Tornadoes from last > week. I need to answer the following question: > Did any of the communities in the path of the tornadoes have a > type of outdoor warning system? [And any reports on its > effectiveness?] > If you have the answer or know of someone that can help me, > please reply to this e-mail as soon as possible. > Sincerely, > Juan Ortiz > emo@airmail.net > > Thanks for your help! > Eric Carter > Emergency Planner > Travis County (Austin, TX) OEM Please respond to the address shown in the message. Replies to the list or to the "author" will not reach Mr. Ortiz. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 10:37:18 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Radio Shack Weather Radio Media Campaign Chris Novy wrote: > > JohnMcLaughlin sent me e-mail about a program > Radio Shack has developed to promote severe weather awareness --and > their weather radios. He said he posted this to WX-TALK but I don't > ever recall seeing it so I'm posting it again. I'm also attaching > a copy of a letter I reeived from the Radio Shack weather radio > products group leader. > FYI: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management has bought, and we have just distributed, the SAME capable Radio Shack receivers to EVERY public school in the state. Locally, we are buying more for private schools, and other public buildings such as public safety facilities, libraries, parks, etc. under a one-time special price offered by RS. We have also prepared and distributed a one page, laminated information letter to all of our local Radio Shack stores, for posting and/or distribution to customers, detailing the local FIPS code, current frequency (in Ft. Myers, 40 miles north) and what is being done to put the local NWR transmitter on the air. One store locally just received 20 more, after selling 21 in less than a day and a half, and has 40 more on order. No one can keep them in the stores. My concern yesterday, in visiting each of the stores, was the prominence being given to displays of the non-SAME capable radios, that are going to go off with EVERY weather alert issued by the Ruskin WX office through Ft. Myers, even if it's for Levy county nearly 200 miles away (VERY large warning area under Ruskin's responsibility!). If people are sold the non-SAME radios, when that's what they want, just because it's on the shelf and they don't know any better, they'll just wind up turning them off when they get a string of warnings for areas 100 miles away in the middle of the night. If anyone from RS is on the sig, I hope the word will get to the stores, and corporate will consider ending the non-SAME line so people will the choice to get ONLY the warnings that apply to them! Gary -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 10:38:56 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Radio Shack Weather Radio Media Campaign I might also add a big THANK YOU from our little corner of the EM community to Radio Shack for getting behind this project! -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 11:48:15 -0500 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Severe Weather Plotting Software Does anyone know of a downloadable severe weather plotting software for the mid-Atlantic region. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 15:13:46 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Climate Values I need to know the average max, min and precip for Paris, Avignon, and Nice (international) if anyone has that information... I need the information for end of May and early June... Thanks a bunch...and if someone could tell me where I could find this on the net I would be appreciative... Eric Blake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Mar 1998 19:50:45 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: *ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 05 March 1998: HULMAN REGIONAL AIRPORT (KHUF) TERRE HAUTE... IN Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Mar 1998 to 5 Mar 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Mar 9 17:56:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626401-27175>; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 14:07:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20318; Sat, 7 Mar 1998 00:04:54 -0600 Message-Id: <199803070604.AAA20318@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Mar 1998 00:00:55 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Mar 1998 to 6 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5d4ca40d9c63462fe7445745ba0346a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 22 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Job Available (Santa Maria, CA) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 6 Mar 1998 10:04:58 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Santa Maria, CA) METEOROLOGIST (KCOY) KCOY-TV, CBS for the central coast of California, is accepting applications for a Chief Meteorologist. At least 2-years experience, or AMS seal required. AccuWeather computer experience helpful. We're looking for a good communicator, not a stand-up comic. Send tapes and resumes to Personnel, KCOY-TV, 1211 W. McCoy Ln., Santa Maria, CA 93455 (Attn: Weather search) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Mar 1998 to 6 Mar 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Mar 9 17:57:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1482 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627056-24683>; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 14:07:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29070; Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:05:47 -0600 Message-Id: <199803090605.AAA29070@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 00:01:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Mar 1998 to 8 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcf3b951a59ba9ed16a3ab7c961dae29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 52 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Seven-Inch hail! 2. National Weather Service Newsletter, January-February 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 09:36:31 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Seven-Inch hail! Seven-Inch Hail Bashes Louisiana Saturday, March 7, 1998; 3:48 p.m. EST ROGERS, La. (AP) -- Chunks of hail more than a half-foot in diameter smashed windows and dented cars Saturday in central Louisiana as thunderstorms produced nearly constant lightning. Frances Breland said her daughter-in-law's car had to be towed to a repair shop because of shattered glass and a busted grill, and her husband brought in one irregular hail stone that measured 7 inches across. ``It wasn't round. It was jagged with sharp points, like a huge chunk of ice that had been exploded,'' she said. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 12:31:48 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Service Newsletter, January-February 1998 Following are the topics covered in the January-February NWA newsletter: 1. President's Message; includes organization's goals for 1998. 2. DOC names New NWS Director 3. Member News; Features George Frederick and Jack Hayes 4. Local Chapter News; Features Midlands and Arkansas chapters 5. NWA Committee chairpersons for 1998 6. Meetings of Interest; March 23-25, Celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast April 3-5, Central Iowa NWA Chapter Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference April 8-9, Northern Plains Convective Storms Workshop April 17 Second Annual Ohio Severe Weather Symposium 7. Call for Papers for NWA Annual Meeting; October 17-23, Oklahoma City, OK 8. NWS GS-1340 Standards Revised (standards for new hires) 9. STS-89 Post Flight summary 10. Letter to the Editor 11. Job Corner 12. NWA Publications For copies of the newsletter or further information call Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Mar 1998 to 8 Mar 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Mar 18 11:15:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2542 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-26975>; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 14:13:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41728; Tue, 10 Mar 1998 00:11:22 -0600 Message-Id: <199803100611.AAA41728@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 00:03:55 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Mar 1998 to 9 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ded79d4dfa333ac052317c2d6f4596bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 509 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Northern Lights & Unremarkable Alaskan Winter 2. 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting merchandise for sale 3. phone number for NWS Duluth MN? 4. Florida Tornado Witnesses 5. TV Met Position Available (San Antonio, TX) 6. TV Met Job Available (Spokane, WA) 7. some bad words about wx radios... (5) 8. Seven-Inch hail! 9. Bingo (WAS: ramsdis; FSl Sat Loops) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 22:57:37 -0800 From: JCurtis Subject: Northern Lights & Unremarkable Alaskan Winter Greetings from the far north: With El Nino, the interior of Alaska is experiencing a bland winter with snow about one foot below normal and temperatures a few degrees above average. Although the weather hasn't been much to talk about, even with solar activity generally down for much of the winter I've managed to capture some nice northern lights displays. You can check it out my recent photos at: http://www.geo.mtu.edu/weather/aurora/images/aurora/jan.curtis/ 1999-2001, things should really start to happen with the aurora. Take care, Jan Curtis Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 09:21:09 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting merchandise for sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** Announcing merchandise in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** *** Time running out! Get your merchandise before the big event! *** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Maj Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts and hats designed with the 50th Anniversary logo. Proceeds from these sales help COCAMS sponsor this important event. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/index.html Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Thanks for checking it out! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may be under the Great Red spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 ***************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 15:56:00 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: phone number for NWS Duluth MN? Anyone up nort' know the phone number for NWS Duluth? I call the number listed in the NOAA Locator and I get a polite message telling me of an unassigned line... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 08:56:23 -0800 From: "Engineering Analysis, Inc." Subject: Florida Tornado Witnesses As part of our contract with the Department of Commerce dealing with the seismic detection of tornadoes, we are currently seeking witnesses in Florida who may have felt vibrations prior to the passage of the February 22 tornado. We would appreciate the cooperation of any one living in the Orlando/Daytona Beach area in locating such witnesses. Engineering Analysis Inc. 715 Arcadia Circle Huntsville, AL 35801 (205) 533-9391 Fax (205) 533-9325 eai@mindspring.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 10:35:02 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Position Available (San Antonio, TX) WEEKDAY PRIME-TIME METEOROLOGIST (KMOL) This job is not for beginners. We're looking for a seasoned meteorologist. An AMS or NWA seal is preferred, but not required. Experience in network affiliated television is also preferred. The right person must NOT be a map-reader, but a weather storyteller who can connect with the viewer. We want someone who can blend big personality with critical weather information. You must have a desire to go LIVE on location with weather or related stories. Send a resume and tape of your work to: Byron Grandy, News Director, KMOL-TV 4, P.O. Box 2641, San Antonio, Texas 78299, bgrandy@kmol.com. AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 10:36:14 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Spokane, WA) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (KXLY) KXLY-TV AM FM the ABC affiliate in Spokane, WA has an immediate opening for a weekend meteorologist/ weekday reporter. The successful candidate will have a minimum of two years experience doing television weather and an AMS or NWA Seal of Approval, or equivalent. Send non-returnable tape and resume to: Human Resources Director, KXLY-TV, 500 W Boone Ave, Spokane, WA 99201. EEO. No phone calls. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 16:08:25 -0600 From: The Bogner Family Subject: some bad words about wx radios... since the digests seem to be running out of things to talk about, i thought i might open a can of worms... in my opinion, weather radios make bad gifts, and the weather radio program is in need of a (minor?) overhaul. i have given several radios as gifts to father/father-in-law and the like, and guess what...they are ALWAYS switched off. even my weather radio at home is on a switched outlet in the bathroom so that when no-one is in there, the *^&&^$^%#! thing is turned off. why my hatred for the otherwise-good-idea contraptions? the weekly alarm tone tests! about the second time that my father/father-in-law/wife jumped through the ceiling at 11:30 wednesday morning (they might even do an evening test every once in a while), the sucker was switched off and hasn't been on since. a friend of mine was recently in a rest home visiting his grandma, and the enterprising home had taken the time and money to build little shelves outside of each resident's room and equip each shelf with a weather radio. he said as he walked down the hall, he noticed that every single one was turned off. i can just imagine the first wednesday morning after installation at 11:30, when 30 weather radios went off simultaneously (at least half of which were probably switched to have the alarm go off continuously until someone pushed the talk bar). im sure that as soon as they got them all shut off, got the ambulances off to the hospital with the cardiac patients, and got all of the soiled sheets changed, they were shut off forever to become decorative dust collectors... until they come out with a SAME radio that has the option to turn off the weekly tests, or the tests are moved to YEARLY, during severe weather awareness week. i won't give any more as gifts, nor will i encourage the purchase of them during my weathercasts, let alone give out coupons for them. does anyone else feel the way i do? mark bogner morning meteorologist ksnw-tv, wichita ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 16:27:51 -0600 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: some bad words about wx radios... I must agree, I find the tests annoying however when I first purchased my SAME radio I anxiously waited for test day to see if everything was working. I believe monthly tests would be sufficient. Modern electronics are reliable enough that monthly should be sufficient. Another alternative would be a silent test. If the radio didn't receive the weekly (or monthly) test then it could alert you that something was wrong. Actually the Radio Shack SAME radio already does that. If it doesn't receive SAME data in the past week it gives you a CHECK OP message. (It does work, my first RS SAME radio was broken, after about a week I got the CHECK OP message.) -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@tc.umn.edu steve.kile@co.hennepin.mn.us ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 15:51:20 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: some bad words about wx radios... >I must agree, I find the tests annoying however when I first purchased my >SAME radio I anxiously waited for test day to see if everything was working. >I believe monthly tests would be sufficient. Modern electronics are reliable >enough that monthly should be sufficient. I guess I'm just the opposite. Other than letting me know it's Wednesday, the tests let me know my radios are still functioning properly. FWIW, those I've given radios to as gifts also have no problem with the weekly tests. Also, due to the proliferation of SAME radios, moving to monthly tests now would cause everyone who owns one to wonder why they say "Check Op" three weeks out of the month... Now, if you want a real issue, I am not looking forward to the first severe WX aftermath that happens around noon on a Wednesday... (Sort of like the way it used to be said the perfect time for the Russians to attack would be the first Wednesday of the month at noon...) William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 19:06:55 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: some bad words about wx radios... On the subject of weekly WX tests on NOAA radio: Myself, IF it were just up to me and non-broadcast NWR users, I'd be happy with either monthly tests or having SAME-enabled radios do "silent" tests. (Maybe just alerting you if it DIDN'T receive the test.) However, I think this unlikely for three reasons: 1) Other warning systems for severe weather do weekly tests during severe weather season, where non-EAS warning methods are available (yes, I know this pretty much counts out Florida and some other areas). Here in Louisville, for instance, the sirens *always* go off right at the dot of noon on Tuesdays from March onwards till November or so. 2) As I've noted before in posts :), the EAS isn't just for severe weather and all. Partly because of the *other* stuff EAS can be used for and/ or is actually federally mandated to be used for (nice stuff like warnings of toxic waste spills, national emergencies like a nuclear attack or accidential missile launch or the aliens from "Independence Day" have decided to come for a "visit", asking folks to leave an area Right Now Because Something Really Bad Is About To Happen, etc.) the federal regs for EAS and stations that use it--including NWR--*require by federal law* that Required Weekly and Monthly Tests be done on the EAS network so they can make sure that it's available when something Really Bad happens (which, in federal terms, is just as likely to be that Saddam Hussein's friends have just launched VX-filled warheads at the US as it is to be a tornado warning). 3) Until SAME encoding becomes standard in ALL radios and TV's--which, no offense, but it will not become standard unless the nice folks prod their Congresscritters to make a law or prod the nice folks in the FCC to require SAME capability in all radios capable of picking up the weather band as a condition of type-acceptance--it's gonna be two shades next to impossible to filter out weekly tests. Methinks the most logical step is to convince weather radio manufacturers and scanner manufacturers to phase out models without SAME-built-in, or to start pestering the FCC and/or Congresscritters. Other than that (partly because of the FCC's rules on EAS, and further compounded that several areas use NWR stations as "key stations" or local primaries for weather warnings at least), I don't know of an easy fix. True, Yet Somewhat Mildly Disturbing, EAS Fact: National-level messages (for national emergencies) take priority over ALL other messages according to EAS regs, including weather warnings. Stations that do not participate in national warnings have to sign off, and all the rest of the stations have to stay on and continuously relay the info from the White House until an Emergency Action Termination is received. Till then, they cannot interrupt broadcasting for ANYTHING else--not even weather warnings or "evacuate immediately" messages. Being in an area when a national emergency is declared, when a largish and angry tornado is bearing down on your town, may well bring an entirely new definition to the term "S.O.L.". :P -pb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 18:20:06 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: some bad words about wx radios... 3-9-98 as far as the receiver of the gift not using the wx radio the way it should be. it like the old saying you can't make that horse drink if he's not thirsty. sure you probably care for them and that's why you gave it as a gift. that may be the wrong approach. ask yourself why do you like your wx radio. no, the answer is not because it will save your life. which is probably close to the way you felt by giving them one. you wanted them to be as safe as you. but that's not why we put up with wx radio tones. the reason is because we like severe wx. when that tone goes off it's like filling our veins with shot of a severe wx drug and when the tone is real thing it's like getting a shot of pure stuff ( what ever that feels like ). you can't make anyone feel the same as you even if your intentions are out of love and safety. i have no right answer for "how do i get them to use the wx radio", there is no answer. instead just continue to be a good example of a wx conscience person, maybe call them when yours goes off. if they find value in your warning maybe they will start to wonder. don't rush give them a couple of years. think, how long was it that you went without one. another way to make just a spark is after a storm when the first thing people talk about " wow what a storm " you can just say yeah we were already under cover because the tone went off. even better would be when they call to warn you, and you say yeah we know the tone went off a long time ago. in my house it was i that needed the wx radio ( the drug ) and like you said, my wife and kids would jump up and rush over to the radio and hit the button to stop the tone. hey get over it it only lasts a few seconds. some people probably don't think twice about yelling at thier spouses and kids even louder and longer. well as the years went by everyone in my house started to just accept it as "background noise". that's the key i think it had to become an acceptable normal sound of everyday life in the house. took ten years for that to happen in my house and i was out numbered 3 to 1. now we all just sit there and wait the four seconds till it turns off, and "surprize surprize" we don't get a heartattach. you should hear about my long battle with the family that i had to be able to keep my big old 20 lbs 'abc type' fire extinguisher hanging next to the front door. i know you want me to tell you but this is the wrong group. matt/n9npp The Bogner Family wrote: > since the digests seem to be running out of things to talk about, i thought > i might open a can of worms... > > in my opinion, weather radios make bad gifts, and the weather radio program > is in need of a (minor?) overhaul. i have given several radios as gifts to > father/father-in-law and the like, and guess what...they are ALWAYS switched > off. even my weather radio at home is on a switched outlet in the bathroom > so that when no-one is in there, the *^&&^$^%#! thing is turned off. > > why my hatred for the otherwise-good-idea contraptions? the weekly alarm > tone tests! > > about the second time that my father/father-in-law/wife jumped through the > ceiling at 11:30 wednesday morning (they might even do an evening test every > once in a while), the sucker was switched off and hasn't been on since. > > a friend of mine was recently in a rest home visiting his grandma, and the > enterprising home had taken the time and money to build little shelves > outside of each resident's room and equip each shelf with a weather radio. > he said as he walked down the hall, he noticed that every single one was > turned off. i can just imagine the first wednesday morning after > installation at 11:30, when 30 weather radios went off simultaneously (at > least half of which were probably switched to have the alarm go off > continuously until someone pushed the talk bar). im sure that as soon as > they got them all shut off, got the ambulances off to the hospital with the > cardiac patients, and got all of the soiled sheets changed, they were shut > off forever to become decorative dust collectors... > > until they come out with a SAME radio that has the option to turn off the > weekly tests, or the tests are moved to YEARLY, during severe weather > awareness week. i won't give any more as gifts, nor will i encourage the > purchase of them during my weathercasts, let alone give out coupons for them. > > does anyone else feel the way i do? > > mark bogner > morning meteorologist > ksnw-tv, wichita > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:21:47 GMT From: David Haines Subject: Re: Seven-Inch hail! Robert P Dale wrote in article <199803081436.JAA01033@norden1.com>... > Seven-Inch Hail Bashes Louisiana > Saturday, March 7, 1998; 3:48 p.m. EST > > ROGERS, La. (AP) -- Chunks of hail more than a half-foot in diameter smashed > windows and dented cars Saturday in central Louisiana as thunderstorms > produced nearly constant lightning. > > Frances Breland said her daughter-in-law's car had to be towed to a repair > shop because of shattered glass and a busted grill, and her husband brought > in one irregular hail stone that measured 7 inches across. If this report verifies, it could be a new hail record. I recall a long-standing record of a hailstone 17" in circumference falling in Kansas. A stone 7" in diameter would be just under 22" around (7*p). ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 03:34:46 GMT From: J Subject: Re: Bingo (WAS: ramsdis; FSl Sat Loops) >Date: Sun, 8 Mar 1998 13:54:55 -0600 >From: Mark Herndon >Subject: Bingo >Sorry for the prev post....I just got both the FSL and Colo St. sites' >data to load in only a few minutes.....probably because today is a >sunday and server usage is down. I have been trying for DAYS. > >I highly recommend checking out CSU's RAMSDIS site at: > >http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsdsol/main.html > Yes, it is possible that educational institutions could slow down access for certain Internet IP addresses which are known to belong to outside companies but they probably couldn't afford the programming time. More likely you've just been a victim to the reality of the Internet (outside of the universities internal "Internet II" anyway) - S L O W. There are about a million things that could go wrong between the Internet Surfer and a site. Often though the problem *is* on the Server end. Universities provide a quality of weather data hereto unavailable on the Internet through private weather services, and hence are popular, dragging down their webservers. Since their money is not made "selling" to the Internet, they don't have the resources to dedicate to bigger or better servers. If you like CSU's RAMDIS I would wholeheartedly recommend RAP-UCAR's Satellite Animations page where you can get regional 1KM VIS loops for various places in the US, using a similar Javascript animation tool. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/ -------------------------------------------------------------- This newspost is spam-protected by supplying a false e-mail. ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Mar 1998 to 9 Mar 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4906 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626318-20783>; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 14:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38348; Wed, 11 Mar 1998 00:04:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199803110604.AAA38348@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Mar 1998 to 10 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8c8de1cef4c87132497fe1a33a1cd78 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 353 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Seven-Inch hail! 2. DEADLINE NEARS FOR IOWA CONFERENCE!!! 3. some bad words about wx radios... 4. Meteosat PDUS and INSAT Images 5. WR-SAME radio/warning volume (3) 6. TV Met Job Available (Cedar Rapids, IA) 7. A tough day at SPC (2) 8. New FREE GOES-8 and sea ice model +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 04:05:37 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: Seven-Inch hail! Don't forget the basketball sized hail reported in China (at about the same time as Mao swam the Yellow River Richard Halter In article <01bd4bb2$56d1e4e0$0269e3c7@davidhai>, oxmyx@gate.net says... > >Robert P Dale wrote in article ><199803081436.JAA01033@norden1.com>... >> Seven-Inch Hail Bashes Louisiana >> Saturday, March 7, 1998; 3:48 p.m. EST >> >> ROGERS, La. (AP) -- Chunks of hail more than a half-foot in diameter >smashed >> windows and dented cars Saturday in central Louisiana as thunderstorms >> produced nearly constant lightning. >> >> Frances Breland said her daughter-in-law's car had to be towed to a >repair >> shop because of shattered glass and a busted grill, and her husband >brought >> in one irregular hail stone that measured 7 inches across. > >If this report verifies, it could be a new hail record. I recall a >long-standing record of a hailstone 17" in circumference falling in Kansas. >A stone 7" in diameter would be just under 22" around (7*p). > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Mar 1998 23:57:59 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: DEADLINE NEARS FOR IOWA CONFERENCE!!! Registration deadline nears for Iowa conference to be held in Des Moines 3-5 April 1998!!! We would like all registrations to arrive by 15 March 1998 so we can confirm meals, order lovely parting gifts, attendance certificates, etc. The schedule is fantastic and the knowledge you will gain far exceeds the $85.00 fee. 173 have confirmed and we likely exceed 200 with late arrivals. Don't delay another minute! Go to www.ecity.net/~iowanwa/ or mail directly to: Central Iowa NWA Box 7512 Urbandale, Iowa 50322 Any questions? Contact johnmc49@ecity.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 00:10:30 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Re: some bad words about wx radios... The Bogner Family wrote: > > in my opinion, weather radios make bad gifts, Mark has some good points, but having just promoted the sale of 3000+ weather radios in Des Moines, I can tell you that folks love them, despite the weekly tests and small coverage area. We went through a major winter storm last weekend (14") where the radios alarmed and folks were kept updated with frequent special weather statements. Only one death has been attributed to this storm! People outside the current 9-county service Des Moines service area are buying radios now and waiting till they get service later in '98. More than a dozen TV stations nationwide have jumped on the bandwagon to conduct weather radio promotion like we have done in Des Moines, and are also offering discounts on the SAME radio. Our local EMA and NWS will be doing a special promotion in two weeks during the "preparedness week." They will be live on weather radio following the wednesday test to ask listeners to call a special number and report how the reception is, what area they are located in, and how they heard about NOAA weather radio, and if they are listening at home or work. We'll see how this goes, but it is forward thinking to have a "call-in" via weather radio. John McLaughlin KCCI Des Moines ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 10:03:52 -0000 From: CB Subject: Meteosat PDUS and INSAT Images Once again, I ask if anyone can tell me hwre on the 'Net/WWW I could find images from INSAT and also PDUS (High-Res) images from Meteosat. I'd appreciate any help via E-Mail at carona@bluewin.ch Many thanks, Craig Braithwaite ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 12:06:25 +0000 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: WR-SAME radio/warning volume Regarding the weekly tests and such on the SAME radios....for those who may not yet own an SAME radio...and those plug and play folks that hate those pesky user manuals....the volume control for the alarm is located on the bottom of the unit and can be turned with a screwdriver or penny. Since I keep my unit in my radio/computer room....I choose to keep the volume of the alarm quite loud....but if it was in my bedroom or the family room....I would turn it down to a level that would still alert me but without making me jump out of my socks. Additionally , the radio volume can be shut down to nothing...the window shows the alert type...you can then turn the volume up to listen to specifics if you wish. PS...the weekly test is just four beeps rather than the full alarm anyway. -- *********************************************************************** Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 08:05:22 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: WR-SAME radio/warning volume On Tue, 10 Mar 1998, Kevin Heyboer wrote: > wish. PS...the weekly test is just four beeps rather than the full > alarm anyway. Why did they make the volume - the thing that many people will want to use the most on these things, and often, so relatively difficult to access? Why isn't it a knob on the top of the unit? But something else just hit me... Why are they testing every week? Why not once a month? or for that matter, every 6 months? If these tests are (apparently) turning out to be so much of a pain in the buns to many people, then why not a conscious effort on the part of the NWS to minimize all these tests? It does not good to have convinced so many people to buy weather radios only to hear about so many who - though they might have them - just end up leaving them off because they're tired of the tests. I guess I might see a reason why weekly NWS <-> local EM tests might be wanted (maybe); but this should have been thought about way before the SAME-code and related tone system came out so that people would have the option if they chose to block out the tests. What I mean here is, there should have been a separate code/tone assigned to the TESTS, which would have allowed people to set whether they wanted to receive the tests ot not. I take it that with these SAME radios you cannot do that. This seems to be another foo similar to the DOS memory limitation...just wasn't thought about beforehand. Now all these radios are being manufactured, and if they ever DO incorporate something like this to, say, some future receiver code/tone (or however its done), then there's going to be a lot ot people upset at having spent that $80 for the SAME radio they now have. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 09:24:58 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Cedar Rapids, IA) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (KGAN) KGAN-TV the CBS affiliate in Cedar Rapids, IA has an immediate opening for a weekend meteorologist/ weekday reporter. The successful candidate will have at least a years experience doing television weather and an AMS or NWA Seal of Approval, or equivalent. Send non-returnable tape and resume to: Chuck Ferrell, News Director, KGAN-TV, 600 Old Marion Road NE, Cedar Rapids, IA 52402-3131. EOE. No phone calls. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 10:38:48 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: A tough day at SPC ZCZC MKCSWODY1 ACUS1 KMKC 101420 MKC AC 101420 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O. VALID 101500Z - 111200Z NO TSTMS FCST. ..HALES/DARROW.. 03/10/98 = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = I've always wondered what the folks at SPC do on days like today. Clean and dust the office? Play cards? Watch "Twister"? *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 11:29:47 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: A tough day at SPC > > I've always wondered what the folks at SPC do on days like today. > Clean and dust the office? Yeah right! > Play cards? Drinking games! > Watch "Twister"? For helpful tips & insights. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 13:44:19 -0500 From: Bernard Miville Subject: New FREE GOES-8 and sea ice model The Canadian Ice Service added some new FREE products to our home page. New Community Ice-Ocean Model (CIOM) at http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/ice/ciom/ciom.html Real-Time GOES-8 Imagery over some of our area of responsability at: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/ice/goes/index.html the imagery is colored enhenced and available only during daytime. Let us know if you find these products useful. Bernard -- __________________________________________________ Bernard Miville Meteorologist/Météorologiste Canadian Ice Service - Environment Canada Service canadien des glaces- Environnement Canada Tel: (613) 996-1550 Fax: (613) 947-9160 http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/ice/ __________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 20:36:41 GMT From: "Kevin W. Thomas" Subject: Re: WR-SAME radio/warning volume In article , Todd L. Sherman wrote: >On Tue, 10 Mar 1998, Kevin Heyboer wrote: > >> wish. PS...the weekly test is just four beeps rather than the full >> alarm anyway. > > Why did they make the volume - the thing that many people will want to use >the most on these things, and often, so relatively difficult to access? Why >isn't it a knob on the top of the unit? > > But something else just hit me... > > Why are they testing every week? Why not once a month? or for that >matter, every 6 months? > >Todd > >/-----------------------------------------------------------------\ >| Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | >| -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | >| Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | >| Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | >\-----------------------------------------------------------------/ The tests may be annoying, but be glad they are there. What happens if something goes wrong with your NWR, and the tone alert doesn't trigger the radio? Wouldn't you like to know before a tornadic event that your NWR has a problem? Don't say "this is impossible". I have an older NWR (probably 10+ years old) that no longer comes on at the tone alert, but otherwise, it works fairly well. At the time of failure, I was living in a mobile home, so i was glad about the tests. I also bought another NWR that I used for tone alert purposes. Kevin W. Thomas Sun System Administrator & Meteorologist National Severe Storms Laboratory Norman, Oklahoma Email: kwthomas@wizard.nssl.noaa.gov ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Mar 1998 to 10 Mar 1998 ************************************************* From - Wed Mar 18 11:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-20961>; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 14:08:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11882; Sat, 14 Mar 1998 00:06:15 -0600 Message-Id: <199803140606.AAA11882@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 00:01:12 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Mar 1998 to 13 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a3bcea61cef13358ac5bb4d5f92bad40 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 507 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hi-Res and No Ice 2. Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth (4) 3. "Triana" satellite (2) 4. WR-SAME radio/warning volume 5. weathermonitor 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 08:49:03 EST From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Hi-Res and No Ice Yes indeed, very unusually ice free this winter. During the last week we have been having some pretty serious lake effect snow in the area north of Toronto. Usually by mid March a lake effect snow has been more or less cut off by ice on the lakes. Of course this is hardly surprizing. I believe that February was the warmest on record in Toronto. (Heard this from the media...not clear whether that is the whole 150+ year record period or just the 30-year normal period.) It WAS incredibly warm...with average daytime temperatures above freezing. It's hard to freeze the Great Lakes when it's that warm. Maybe Lake Champlain, the "newest Great Lake", froze over at least. ;) I'll have to check the satellite image.... Norman > The picture at mid-day on Thursday showed clear > skies over most of the region, and the snow and ice cover > is just beautiful. One question is: the only ice anywhere > in the great lakes seems to be in Georgian Bay -- Has this > been an unusually low "ice-cover" winter for the Great Lakes? > > James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.on.doe.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.dow.on.doe.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 18:56:23 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth Someone *really* needs to inform our current Administration about the GOES constellation... http://webserv1.startribune.com/cgi-bin/stOnLine/article?thisSlug=gore14 My favorite sound_byte: "There are no full-Earth images currently available, though existing satellites track regions of the world" Uhhhhh, without trying too hard I can come up with http://ssec.wisc.edu/data/g8/latest_g8vishem.gif http://ssec.wisc.edu/data/g9/latest_g9vishem.gif http://www.ccc.nottingham.ac.uk/pub/sat-images/CTOT.JPG ftp://explorer.arc.nasa.gov/pub/Weather/GMS-5/gif/vis/4km/ ftp://explorer.arc.nasa.gov/pub/Weather/FY-2/gif/vis/4km/ Oh, and then there's http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/comp/latest_moll.gif -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 14:24:34 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth > Someone *really* needs to inform our current Administration > about the GOES constellation... Not that I'm here to protect the Administration, but your synopsis doesn't do the speech justice... - Under instructions from Vice President Al Gore, NASA is scrambling to put a satellite in space that for the first time would broadcast live video pictures of the Earth 24 hours a day on the Internet and television outlets. >From a stationary orbit 1 million miles away in space, the satellite's high-definition, color camera would provide the first-ever continuous pictures of a sunlit Earth against the blackness of space. - I know of no real-time, continuous video feed of the hemisphere available now. Snapshots are online, but nothing of the "RealVideo" type... > My favorite sound_byte: "There are no full-Earth images currently > available, though existing satellites track regions of the world" That's from the article produced before the speech -- I wonder if he said that... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 16:14:18 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: "Triana" satellite [My question -- how "usable" will these images be from a million miles away...] THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Vice President ___________________________________________________________ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Contact:Friday, March 13, 1998 (202) 456-7035 VICE PRESIDENT GORE CHALLENGES NASA TO BUILD A NEW SATELLITE TO PROVIDE LIVE IMAGES OF EARTH FROM OUTER SPACE Washington, DC-- Vice President Gore proposed today that NASA scientists and engineers design, build and operate a satellite that will make available a live image of earth 24 hours a day on the Internet. In a speech at the National Innovation Summit at MIT, the Vice President proposed that NASA launch a new micro satellite that will provide live images of the earth from space by the year 2000. This satellite will depict the motions of changing clouds, the advance of hurricanes, large-scale fires in oil fields or forests and other phenomena at the precise moment they occur. "This new satellite, called Triana, will allow people around the globe to gaze at our planet as it travels in its orbit around the sun for the first time in history," Vice President Gore said. "With the next millennium just around the corner, developing this High Definition TV quality image of the full disk of the continuously lit Earth and making it available 24 hours a day on the Internet will awaken a new generation to the environment and educate millions of children around the globe." This new space craft will be carried into low earth orbit where a small motor will place it in orbit 1 million miles from earth at the L1 point (short for the Lagrangian libration point), the point between the earth and sun where gravitational attractions are balanced. The satellite will carry a small telescope and camera to provide these new compelling images. In the history of space exploration there are only a few photographs of the full earth that have resonated with the public. Christmas 1968 was an epiphany for many Americans, when they first saw the image "Earth Rising." It is considered one of the fundamentally profound images of this century. Another photograph, "The Blue Marble" taken in 1972 during Apollo 17, began an era of global awareness. "These images of the earth moved thousands of Americans and encouraged them to become active stakeholders in our planet's well-being," Vice President Gore said. "As we connect all our classrooms to the Internet, we have the opportunity to bring new education and potential scientific projects as well as global weather observations to millions of American classrooms and living rooms." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 14:28:33 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: WR-SAME radio/warning volume >Only in the newest SAME unit. It's reversed, it uses the LEDs for >severity, the test is displayed only in the LCD, and it will warn if >it fails to receive a test. Just right. This all depends on how your local WSFO is sending out tests. The current SAME radio SHOULD beep for tests, but there are two kinds of SAME tests, daily and weekly. No WSFOs I know of send the "daily" test, but if they encode the weekly test as a daily one, the radio will not beep, it will just say "TEST." FWIW, the two radios I own (one early model, one purchased two weeks ago) go off for Denver's weekly test, and the one I bought for my Dad goes off for MKX's. One other thing to note - SAME codes do not allow for event lengths longer than, I believe six hours or so, so the event annunciator will disappear from the display and the LED will go out before the event is actually over for long duration events (e.g. severe watches, winter storm warnings, etc.)... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 22:13:33 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: "Triana" satellite > [My question -- how "usable" will these images be from a million miles > away...] > Good point. But hey, they'll be in color! > This satellite will depict the motions of changing clouds, > the advance of hurricanes, large-scale fires in > oil fields or forests and other phenomena at the precise > moment they occur. > Unless they occur on the unlit side of the Earth; for that, we can fall back to our retro geostationary and polar birds, I reckon. > This new space craft will be carried into low earth orbit where a small > motor will place it in orbit 1 million miles from earth ... The satellite > will carry a small telescope and camera to provide these new compelling images. > Boy, howdy...I wanna see this "small" telescope that will, from a million miles out, let us see them there fires. Next thing they're gonna try to tell us is that Internet Explorer is an integral part of of Windows 95... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 17:24:26 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth (Text of White House News release from http://www.whitehouse.gov/) "March 13, 1998 Washington, DC-- Vice President Gore proposed today that NASA scientists and engineers design, build and operate a satellite that will make available a live image of earth 24 hours a day on the Internet. Message Creation Date was at 13-MAR-1998 10:18:00 THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Vice President ___________________________________________________________ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Contact: Friday, March 13, 1998 (202) 456-7035 VICE PRESIDENT GORE CHALLENGES NASA TO BUILD A NEW SATELLITE TO PROVIDE LIVE IMAGES OF EARTH FROM OUTER SPACE Washington, DC-- Vice President Gore proposed today that NASA scientists and engineers design, build and operate a satellite that will make available a live image of earth 24 hours a day on the Internet. In a speech at the National Innovation Summit at MIT, the Vice President proposed that NASA launch a new micro satellite that will provide live images of the earth from space by the year 2000. This satellite will depict the motions of changing clouds, the advance of hurricanes, large-scale fires in oil fields or forests and other phenomena at the precise moment they occur. "This new satellite, called Triana, will allow people around the globe to gaze at our planet as it travels in its orbit around the sun for the first time in history, 8 Vice President Gore said. "With the next millennium just around the corner, developing this High Definition TV quality image of the full disk of the continuously lit Earth and making it available 24 hours a day on the Internet will awaken a new generation to the environment and educate millions of children around the globe. 8 This new space craft will be carried into low earth orbit where a small motor will place it in orbit 1 million miles from earth at the L1 point (short for the Lagrangian libration point), the point between the earth and sun where gravitational attractions are balanced. The satellite will carry a small telescope and camera to provide these new compelling images. In the history of space exploration there are only a few photographs of the full earth that have resonated with the public. Christmas 1968 was an epiphany for many Americans, when they first saw the image "Earth Rising." It is considered one of the fundamentally profound images of this century. Another photograph, "The Blue Marble" taken in 1972 during Apollo 17, began an era of global awareness. &These images of the earth moved thousands of Americans and encouraged them to become active stakeholders in our planet's well-being, 8 Vice President Gore said. &As we connect all our classrooms to the Internet, we have the opportunity to bring new education and potential scientific projects as well as global weather observations to millions of American classrooms and living rooms " - 0 - Folks, forgive the bandwidth, but this ties not only to weather but a lot of areas of interest, especially bad science. The release says the microsatellite will be placed in low earth orbit, and will then be transitioned to L1 1,000,000 miles out. Imaging the fuel that will be required to make that transition... L1, the Lagrangian point on a line between the sun and the earth, is an unstable point (see http://www-spof.gsfc.nasa.gov/Education/wlagran.html). Any object placed at that point which begins to wander from it will continue to wander from it, unless substantial quantities of propulsion are avialable aboard the microsatellite to keep it in place. More fuel, and suddenly not so much a microsatellite. The Earth-sun system might still provide some use in this scheme if there were no other object to perturb a satellite at L1...such as the moon. The moon sweeping within 750,000 miles of the satellite (a quarter of a million miles closer than earth) would perturb the satellite from L1, which would force it away, unless substantial quantities of fuel aboard the microsatellite... Those with satellite TV know that for a few minutes every spring and fall, satellites move between the earth and the sun...and disappear in the noise of the sun! So let's put a microsatellite there... Finally (for this very brief discussion) there are only two stable Lagrangian systems in the solar system, because of the special mass ratios required for such a system to exist. One is Earth-Moon, the other is Sun-Jupiter, for the simple reason that the two bodies must overwhelm any and all other gravitational bodies. So the Earth-Sun system just won't cut it. Now NASA Administrator Goldin has issued a statement calling this an "exciting challenge." Let's build another Pathfinder instead. Howzbout we put that $50,000,000 towards a new replacement GOES bird instead of a new cable channel or website? Or 500,000 SAME capable weather radios, where they're needed...or 1000 dual transmitter weather transmitter sites that NOAA has no money for. (That was another one of the VPs pet projects that didn't get funded. Or thousands of tornado sirens...I'd bet tornado alley and Central Florida would get behind either.) Or a few more WSR88Ds to fill in some of the holes. Or funding for SPC/NHC/etc. that was so critical to cut a year ago. Or put it toward restoration of the manned exploration program that brought us those startling images...THIRTY years ago. All in favor, drop a note to your legislator. Unless you'd rather have streaming video of the planet rotating once every 24 hours against the vast blackness of deep space instead of waiting 10 minutes for the latest image (or is it faster now?) The digital Lava lamp of the 21st century. I just can't imagine how someone can propose this kind of thing seriously. Just more touchy-feely, not good science. Sadly, touchy-feely seems to be rampant in DC right now... -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 17:44:20 -0500 From: Bob Broedel Subject: weathermonitor ====================================================================== Date : Fri, 13 Mar 1998 15:49:47 -0600 >From : Todd Hoff Subject: NEW: weathermonitor - Discussions of weather monitoring To : NEW-LIST@LISTSERV.NODAK.EDU weathermonitor via http://www.onelist.com Weather Monitoring weathermonitor is an open, unmoderated discussion list featuring weather monitoring. Topics on the list are weather monitoring equipment, system setup, sharing data, and anything else related to monitoring weather. Archives of weathermonitor mail items are kept at http://www.onelist.com/archives.cgi/weathermonitor To subscribe, go the following URL http://www.onelist.com/subscribe.cgi/weathermonitor and subscribe to the list. Owner: Todd Hoff tmh@possibility.com ------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 15:44:43 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth I understand the difference but not sure I see the value of a continuous video feed from 24,000 miles away. Sounds neat, but how valuable. I mean, unless one can zoom into a 100 metre square window, nothing changes that quickly. A current GOES image will show at a glance what's happening. >---------- >From: Robert P Dale[SMTP:rdale@NORDEN1.COM] >Sent: March 13, 1998 12:24 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth > >> Someone *really* needs to inform our current Administration >> about the GOES constellation... > >Not that I'm here to protect the Administration, but your synopsis doesn't >do the speech justice... > >- >Under instructions from Vice President Al Gore, NASA is scrambling to put a >satellite in space that for the first time would broadcast live video >pictures of the Earth 24 hours a day on the Internet and television outlets. > >From a stationary orbit 1 million miles away in space, the satellite's >high-definition, color camera would provide the first-ever continuous >pictures of a sunlit Earth against the blackness of space. >- > >I know of no real-time, continuous video feed of the hemisphere available >now. Snapshots are online, but nothing of the "RealVideo" type... > >> My favorite sound_byte: "There are no full-Earth images currently >> available, though existing satellites track regions of the world" > >That's from the article produced before the speech -- I wonder if he said >that... > >Rob > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 18:30:07 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 12 March 1998: MONROE COUNTY AIRPORT (KBMG) BLOOMINGTON... IN POMPANO BEACH AIRPARK (KPMP) POMPANO BEACH... FL Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Mar 1998 to 13 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Mar 17 14:16:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1634 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-21548>; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 14:06:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38402; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 00:04:52 -0600 Message-Id: <199803150604.AAA38402@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Mar 1998 to 14 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9030cf754e9f8062851bbba61a9ae693 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 575 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Alt. use for that Triana $50-million [Was Re: "Triana" satellite] (3) 2. "Triana" satellite 3. Info on U-MICH forecasts 4. The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings (8) 5. INSAT 6. Spring meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 01:30:55 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Alt. use for that Triana $50-million [Was Re: "Triana" satellite] On Fri, 13 Mar 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > [My question -- how "usable" will these images be from a million miles > away...] > > THE WHITE HOUSE > Office of the Vice President Well, I agree with the pessimists on the usefulness of putting a video camera in space; i.e., "like watching the grass grow." However, if they want to spend $50M so badly, I can make a suggestion. (I'll leave a few seconds for everyone to say "uh-oh...here it comes!") Use it to purchase equipment to make a Scanning ATV Weather Observation Platform (camera on tall tower which can be remotely controlled by SKYWARN groups, not the local news, at any time) to scan horizons back and forth manually or automatically during approach of severe weather. :) Needs updating and revision, but I've had the idea up for a while. http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/weather/atv_wx_cam.html. 8-) Not a new idea, but as always, mine is just slightly different and with some bells and whistles...just to make it complicated enough for those who like challenges. :) Go easy on me on some of my silly early theories in it. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 01:37:05 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Alt. use for that Triana $50-million [Was Re: "Triana" satellite] On Sat, 14 Mar 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > Well, I agree with the pessimists on the usefulness of putting a video > camera in space; i.e., "like watching the grass grow." > > However, if they want to spend $50M so badly, I can make a suggestion. > > > (I'll leave a few seconds for everyone to say "uh-oh...here it comes!") > > Use it to purchase equipment to make a Scanning ATV Weather Observation > Platform (camera on tall tower which can be remotely controlled by SKYWARN > groups, not the local news, at any time) to scan horizons back and > forth manually or automatically during approach of severe weather. :) > > Needs updating and revision, but I've had the idea up for a while. > http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/weather/atv_wx_cam.html. 8-) > > Not a new idea, but as always, mine is just slightly different and with > some bells and whistles...just to make it complicated enough for those who > like challenges. :) Go easy on me on some of my silly early theories in > it. I hate it when I do that. I forgot the most important part: The intent would be to place such devices in as many cities as possible, obviously those most prone to severe weather. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Mar 1998 23:02:36 -0800 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Re: "Triana" satellite This seems to me to be political positioning to make Gore look good with the voters with the upcoming elections. Both Gore and Clinton have stated that better weather systems were needed after the Florida tornado outbreak. The thing is: there wasn't a problem with forecasting this event, the problem was people getting the warnings. I fail to see how having the satellite Gore proposes would have made any difference in the Florida tornado event. This is simply a farce from another uninformed politician who is not thinking of the public, but the upcoming elections instead.... I agree with the guy (sorry forgot your name) who was in favor of buying weather radios with the money instead....a much better idea! At 04:14 PM 3/13/98 -0500, you wrote: >[My question -- how "usable" will these images be from a million miles >away...] > > THE WHITE HOUSE >Office of the Vice President >___________________________________________________________ >FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Contact:Friday, March 13, 1998 (202) 456-7035 >VICE PRESIDENT GORE CHALLENGES NASA TO BUILD A NEW SATELLITE TO PROVIDE LIVE >IMAGES OF EARTH FROM OUTER SPACE > ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Mar 1998 20:33:54 GMT From: Robert Strauss Subject: Info on U-MICH forecasts What I need to know is where these come from? If the Asheville forecasts remain as poor as they have been, and they are originating in GSP, then the AVL station really needs to be reinstated. Today, as is common quite often (3-4 days per week?) there is a forecast either for someplace else, or someWHEN else! With a temp of 30F at 2 pm, the forecast was calling for "much warmer this afternoon, 45-50" and snow on the weekend, with colder temps. This directly contradicts both Knoxville, to the west of us, and GSP, to the east. Any help/info appreciated. Perhaps it is no more than the Umich server "hiccupping"? Thanks. Bob Strauss strauss@wcu.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 15:04:55 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings Greetings Wx-Talkers, I just acquired one of the new Radio Shack seven channel Specific Area Message Encoding (SAME) NOAA Weather Radio receivers today. If I understand the radio's instruction manual correctly, the six digit Federal Information Processing System (FIPS) county codes allow the user to program -only- the counties one wishes to be warned for. So far so good..... Format of a six character FIPS code is "PSSCCC" where, P = Portion of a county (not yet used, defaulted at "0" at this time, options are 1-9) SS = State Code (Wisconsin is "55") CCC = County Code (Milwaukee is "079" Apparently this means that I will receive -all- warnings, watches, severe/special weather statements, nuclear attack warnings, emergency action warnings, civil emergency warnings, evacuation orders, disco alerts, bad hair days, etc etc. for -only- the counties I program using the six digit FIPS code. Please note that the code does -not- provide for selecting the type of warning/watch/statement one desires within their selected counties. Still, so far so good, but..... Does this mean that I will still get a %3@/!{?/~ MARINE WARNING at 3:00 am if I program a county on or near a large body of water?! I see nothing in the Radio Shack manual or my local NWSFO web site that indicates that I can also select only certain kinds of warnings within a county. Essentially, one gets -all- warnings etc. for any one county specified or they get nothing. I see nothing where a large body of water has it's -own- FIPS code. Anyone who lives near the Great Lakes or the Ocean can attest to the absolute foolishness of warning -all- inland residents of winds exceeding only 30 knots on the water. Why such a low threshold is allowed to have an EAS activation is beyond my belief. I thought this problem would have been addressed with SAME technology. If my interpretation is correct, IT HAS NOT! I'm afraid that, even with SAME encoding, far too many coastal users of NOAA Weather Radio will either ignore the alerts, or worse yet, turn off their weather radios. Unfortunately the large loss of life in the recent Florida Tornado outbreak may not be addressed, in part, by the latest SAME weather radio receivers. Too many new users will quickly feel "overwarned" after a few overnight marine warnings and not properly utilize their existing radios and will discourage others to purchase their own radio. Either we must wait for a modified or new SAME system or better yet, REMOVE SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS from EAS activation. This would reduce unecessary alerts on SAME radios and even on the old "pre-SAME" tone alert weather radios and extend their usefull life. Actually, I personally -like- getting all the warnings (SDS victim)! My wife, friends and relatives definitely -do not-. Especially at 3:00 am in the morning, in the middle of a sound sleep, when the warning has absolutely no impact on them. Can we seriously consider removing marine warnings from being tone alerted, or is that a nonstarter as far as the NWS and/or marine interests are concerned? Or establish new FIPS codes for large bodies of water which would not then include inland areas? We almost, but not quite, got it right this time. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 15:32:07 -0600 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: INSAT It's my understanding that a MOU was signed in late 1997 between India and the US regarding distribution of INSAT data. I'm not sure if the details are in the agreement, but I believe what was discussed was 3-hourly data delayed about 90 minutes or so. I don't think anything is in place to actually transfer the data, however, nor have I heard whether there were any restrictions on redistribution (research only or can be placed live on the Internet). Also, Meteosat-5 is now being moved eastward to a 65 deg E destination to support the Indian Ocean Experiment that will start later this year. Some Met-5 imagery may be distributed on the Met-6 data stream (at least on the digital stream, dunno about WEFAX). So things are looking up for those who want to view the Eastern Hemisphere from geostationary orbit. - Mark >Date: Thu, 12 Mar 1998 11:27:51 -0700 >From: Kelly Dean >Subject: INSAT > > When you say INSAT, I am assuming you are refering to their >geostationary satellite. > > India Met Service does not wish to make their images available to >anyone but themselves. However, there has been some discussion with NOAA >to make their data available for research purposes. Also, since China >has launched a geostationary weather satellite, there has been >indications that India may make their images available in the future - >both geostationary and polar orbit satellites. --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner "Arrogance and stupidity, all in one package.....how efficient of you!" - Ambassador Londo Molari, Babylon 5 ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 15:52:50 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > the six digit FIPS code. Please note that the code does -not- provide > for selecting the type of warning/watch/statement one desires within > their selected counties. > some people can' even see the purpose of having these radios to begin with. can you imagine if noaa started to let them decide what is and what is not worth getting a warning for........ gee let me see i'd like tornado warnings but i dont want thunderstorm warnings....... matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 17:26:30 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings At 03:04 PM 3/14/98 -0800, you wrote: >Does this mean that I will still get a %3@/!{?/~ MARINE WARNING at 3:00 >am if I program a county on or near a large body of water?! I bought one of the SAME recievers the other day too, and I have the same concern. I live two miles from the Gulf of Mexico and the marine warnings are a pain at 3:00a.m. Im glad I get severe weather warnings on my pager and Special Marine Warnings are not included. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 18:02:56 EST From: GK0116 Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings I must be one of the few who hasn't run right out for one of the new RS WX radios, and all this time thought that you could select both where and WHAT warnings you could receive...guess that means I don't have to rip out the system I hard-wired into my car to replace it with a new model. While I'm on it...Does anyone know of a paging system in the Chicago area that transmits the watches/warnings to alpha pagers? I know that other parts of the country have them, but how 'bout us in Northern Illinois? Thanks, all. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 18:31:07 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings On Sat, 14 Mar 1998, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > Can we seriously consider removing marine warnings from being tone > alerted, or is that a nonstarter as far as the NWS and/or marine > interests are concerned? Or establish new FIPS codes for large bodies of > water which would not then include inland areas? > > We almost, but not quite, got it right this time. Wow, large tagline. :) I realized right away and complained that if you wish to do that, it would mean making a lot of currently-owned *SAME* weather radios (which are the most expensive ones, at $70 to $80 a pop at Radio Shack) are going to be made useless. (This is where my "DOS memory problem" comparison came in. When they created the first computers, they thought 640K was an absolutely rediculously high memory barrier which could NEVER EVER be broken. They quickly turned out to be wrong.) You can upgrade the FIPS code, but how do you upgrade the CURRENT radios to properly interpret the new FIPS code? You need to purchase a whole nuther new SAME radio that has the "new version" of the code. Unless there IS a way I don't know about where you can easily upgrade this FIPS code in all the current models out there sitting in a whole bunch of homes around the country, then a whole lot of SAME radios will be made fish bait, and a lot of people made angry because they spent so much money on that radio, as soon as the new ones come out with the new code...unless the NEW FIPS code takes the older radios into consideration, too. Am I wrong in my guesses? Perhaps we should be referring to FIPS really as "DOS-FIPS?" :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 18:35:03 -0500 From: Matt Gerard Subject: Spring meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA The High Plains Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association announces the spring 1998 quarterly meeting. This meeting will begin at 400 p.m. CST on Friday, March 27th in Room 106 of Tomanek Hall on the campus of Ft. Hays State University in Hays, KS. We are pleased to have Dr. Walter Lyons from FMA Research, Inc. in Ft Collins, CO as our featured speaker. He will be speaking about his research with sprites and jets. These are upper atmospheric phenomena associated with thunderstorms. They have only recently been documented using low light level television technology. The chapter business meeting will follow the presentation. Among the orders of business will be the election of chapter officers for 1998. Dinner will follow the presentation and chapter business meeting. It will begin at 600 p.m. and will be held in the Trails Room, upstairs in the Memorial Union. The meal will be a Mexican Fiesta buffet. Cost is $10.00 per person. Everyone is cordially invited to attend this meeting and dinner. If you would like to join us for dinner, please RSVP no later than Monday March 23rd, 1998 to: Matt Gerard c/o National Weather Service 104 Airport Road Dodge City, KS 67801 email: matt.gerard@noaa.gov vmail: 316-225-6746 or 316-225-6514 fax: 316-227-2288 ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 17:37:37 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings On Sat, 14 Mar 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > You can upgrade the FIPS code, but how do you upgrade the CURRENT radios > to properly interpret the new FIPS code? You need to purchase a whole > nuther new SAME radio that has the "new version" of the code. Unless there > IS a way I don't know about where you can easily upgrade this FIPS code in Is the radio actually aware of which zone numbers are actually valid for which states? Why not just add another FIPS code to the encoding end for the lakes, and then just tell people to tell their radios to look for this new FIPS code if they want those bulletins? My impression was that the radios didn't really do much integrity checking of the codes they were given. I thought they just blindly accepted almost anything and then just blindly tried to match them against the incoming codes on a broadcast. Am I wrong? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Madison Swapfest '98: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/mara/swapfest/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 17:58:36 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings GK0116 wrote: > > > While I'm on it...Does anyone know of a paging system in the Chicago area that > transmits the watches/warnings to alpha pagers? I know that other parts of the > country have them, but how 'bout us in Northern Illinois? > > Thanks, all. > well i hear EMWIN software will do it. since i get EMWIN from the bird i suppose i could send it out for a slite fee..... have not tried sending it for real....just guessing i could. matt/n9npp > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 19:14:41 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: Re: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings At 06:02 PM 3/14/98 -0500, you wrote: >While I'm on it...Does anyone know of a paging system in the Chicago area that >transmits the watches/warnings to alpha pagers? I know that other parts of the >country have them, but how 'bout us in Northern Illinois? > Widespread Weather Services in California can give you what you need. There service will work with any paging company anywhere in the us. I am in Florida and it works fine for me. I get watches and warnings (tornado, severe t-storm, and flash flood) plus I get storm movement and severe weather statements. You can customize just about any setup you wish. There web site is www.widespread.com . I have no interest in the company, except being a satisfied customer. You can even be county specific and product specific. I usually get warnings even before The Weather Channel or N.O.A.A. radio puts it out. I once received a watch eight minuets before NWS put it on the air. I also have their 800 number if you need it. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn CO12 Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website http://www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Mar 1998 23:56:38 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Alt. use for that Triana $50-million [Was Re: "Triana" satellite] Here's another use for the $50,000,000 posturing by the Vice President... Take that money and fund additional training for the meteorologists tasked with providing warnings and forecasts for the United States. A tool is a tool, whether it's a hammer or AWIPS. Teach the meteorologists to use the tools they have *properly*. This should result in far more benefits than a geewhiz eye-in-the-sky piece of technocrap. My opinions only, of course... bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Mar 1998 to 14 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3845 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626036-6544>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 11:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA24788; Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:49:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199803160349.VAA24788@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:43:55 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Mar 1998 to 15 Mar 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f139d73a369c97bb50bf147804cd689 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 815 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Unanalyzed surface plots (2) 2. Now that is Quick?? (3) 3. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Mar 1998 to 14 Mar 1998 4. Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth 5. The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings 6. What is it with this Gore satellite? 7. Real Audio Weather Information (4) 8. Thank You 9. NOAA Weather Radio Broadcast +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 00:39:47 -0600 From: Ed J Roberts Subject: Unanalyzed surface plots Does anyone know where I can get LARGE unanalyzed surface maps on the web? Specifically, full U.S. maps, updated hourly, that are large enough to do a decent daily analysis on. Thanks, Ed ----------------------------------------- Ed Roberts Home: (219) 531-5728 Ed.Roberts@valpo.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 03:28:15 -0500 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Now that is Quick?? Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com stated: >Widespread Weather Services in California can give you what you need. There >service will work with any paging company anywhere in the us. I am in >Florida and it works fine for me. I get watches and warnings (tornado, >severe t-storm, and flash flood) plus I get storm movement and severe >weather statements. You can customize just about any setup you wish. There >web site is www.widespread.com . I have no interest in the company, except >being a satisfied customer. You can even be county specific and product >specific. I usually get warnings even before The Weather Channel or >N.O.A.A. radio puts it out. I once received a watch eight minuets before >NWS put it on the air. I also have their 800 number if you need it. TWC rolls the red screen in just seconds after a warning is issued. How in the world can this paging company beat that? I can believe the watch, but whipping NOAA Wx radio and especially TWC for warnings are a bit hard to fathom? Can you be alerted before the "send to AFOS command" is issued in WISE? I just cannot conceive this watch speed? Do they wait for the official SLS? who is putting out the watches/warnings here? RVT oooooooooo ooooo oooo ooooooooooo 888 888 888 88 88 888 88 888oooo88 888 88 888 888 88o 88888 888 o888o 88o8 888 o888o VORTEX69@SUPER.ZIPPO.COM "I'm A 21st Century Digital Boy, I Don't Know How To Live But I Got Lot Of Toys" Bad Religion ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 10:30:03 +0000 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Mar 1998 to 14 Mar 1998 Ref Marine Warnings on SAME radios.. No Bernie, SAME radios do not alert for Marine Warnings UNLESS you have code 99...the all areas default code....entered into the system. Marine Warnings are not issued for County Warning Areas..they are issued Marine Forecast Areas (example, my CWA is FLC103...SAME code 012103 but Special Marine Warnings here go to GMZ850...Gulf Marine Zone 850.) -- *********************************************************************** Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 00:42:23 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: Gore wants continuous satellite view of Earth Robert P Dale wrote: > > Someone *really* needs to inform our current Administration > > about the GOES constellation... > > Not that I'm here to protect the Administration, but your synopsis doesn't > do the speech justice... > > - > Under instructions from Vice President Al Gore, NASA is scrambling to put a > satellite in space that for the first time would broadcast live video > pictures of the Earth 24 hours a day on the Internet and television outlets. This "may be" all well and good but what are the economic benefits of this and what is it going to cost in times when the NWS can not even get an adequate budget? Sounds like another pre election PR scheme for Gore and more publicity for NASA when they have huge costs overruns and delays on the Space Station. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 09:44:15 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: The Dreaded Overnight Special Marine Warnings Good comments from the group. I'll quickly address some of them, > matt/n9npp > some people can' even see the purpose of having these radios to begin with. > can you imagine if noaa started to let them decide what is and what is not > worth getting a warning for........ gee let me see i'd like tornado warnings > but i dont want thunderstorm warnings....... One Plant Emergency Plan I am aware of and high end commercial grade EAS receiver systems allow for exactly the situation you describe. This allows one to select only tornado warnings for neighboring counties and all hazards for the county one actually occupies. Right or wrong, "overwarning" is a perceived problem in industrial and commercial applications. I know of one facility where the wx-radios are -always- turned off or unplugged after the first tone alert. > Eric Gissendaner > jericg@peganet.com > I bought one of the SAME receivers the other day too, and I have the same > concern. I live two miles from the Gulf of Mexico and the marine warnings > are a pain at 3:00a.m. Im glad I get severe weather warnings on my pager > and Special Marine Warnings are not included. I'm starting to like the idea of pagers more and more. > GK0116 > I must be one of the few who hasn't run right out for one of the new RS WX > radios, and all this time thought that you could select both where and WHAT > warnings you could receive...guess that means I don't have to rip out the > system I hard-wired into my car to replace it with a new model. I was under the same impression when I finally got one of the vaunted SAME receivers. I was obviously mistaken. I really wanted a device that would not wake up the entire household for events not impacting our county. > While I'm on it...Does anyone know of a paging system in the Chicago area that > transmits the watches/warnings to alpha pagers? I know that other parts of the > country have them, but how 'bout us in Northern Illinois? Try this URL for PageNet services in the Chicago area, http://www.voicenow.com/localoffices/localofficelinks/36-apart.htm >"Todd L. Sherman" > You can upgrade the FIPS code, but how do you upgrade the CURRENT radios > to properly interpret the new FIPS code? You need to purchase a whole > nuther new SAME radio that has the "new version" of the code. Unless there > IS a way I don't know about where you can easily upgrade this FIPS code in > all the current models out there sitting in a whole bunch of homes around > the country, then a whole lot of SAME radios will be made fish bait, and a > lot of people made angry because they spent so much money on that radio, as > soon as the new ones come out with the new code...unless the NEW FIPS code > takes the older radios into consideration, too. > > Am I wrong in my guesses? At this time I don't know if there is a technical problem with adding marine FIPS codes to the existing system. If this turns out to be true, then my suggestion of -removing- marine warning from any tone alert warnings by the NWS may be the best way to go. This would reduce some of the marine "overwarning" problem on all tone alert weather radios -regardless- of vintage. Thanks to all for your consideration! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------------------------------------------- For all you automated email spammers out there, bkennard@fcc.gov mpowell@fcc.gov sness@fcc.gov gtristani@fcc.gov president@whitehouse.gov vicepresident@whitehouse.gov customer@email.usps.gov pyramid@ftc.gov consumerline@ftc.gov net-abuse@nocs.insp.irs.gov ------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 10:17:25 -0600 From: Jim LaDue Subject: What is it with this Gore satellite? >From Robert Dale - >Under instructions from Vice President Al Gore, NASA is scrambling to put a >satellite in space that for the first time would broadcast live video >pictures of the Earth 24 hours a day on the Internet and television outlets. I'm still having trouble seeing the use of 'live' video. Is this going to be 30 frames a second of the sunlit side of the Earth? If so, you won't be seeing any movement. You might as well look at a still image. That's why the GOES satellite samples the earth every 15 minutes so that when you loop it, you'll see movement. I'd like to see more info about what Gore means by 'live' video. >From a stationary orbit 1 million miles away in space, the satellite's >high-definition, color camera would provide the first-ever continuous >pictures of a sunlit Earth against the blackness of space. Yes, that would incite the imagination of millions. I'm just glad we have the geostationary satellite network so that we may see all sides of Earth. And the geostationary satellites provide a continuous view of Earth in more channels providing everyone with more information. My impression of the Gore satellite is a method to stir the imagination of children and provide broadcast TV a picture of 'the blue marble'. But as far as improving global weather observations? No. Right now, our current geostationary satellite network can do that much better (see Scott Bachmeier's URL's yesterday). The only place that we might see improved observations would be in the polar regions in their respective summers owing to our tilted axis. We could've done much better in the polar regions by placing a couple satellites in highly elliptical orbits so that they linger over the polar regions (called a Molinya orbit). I'm not knocking Gore's idea. We'll be able to see the Earth from a fascinating perspective. But as far as value to improving forecasting, I don't think that'll be what the satellite is used for. Fortunately, $50 million is not much money as far as space programs go. regards, Jim LaDue ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 13:11:18 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: Re: Now that is Quick?? At 03:28 AM 3/15/98 , you wrote: >Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com stated: > >>Widespread Weather Services in California can give you what you need. There >>service will work with any paging company anywhere in the us. ... >>I usually get warnings even before The Weather Channel or >>N.O.A.A. radio puts it out. I once received a watch eight minuets before >>NWS put it on the air. I also have their 800 number if you need it. > >TWC rolls the red screen in just seconds after a warning is issued. > >How in the world can this paging company beat that? > >I can believe the watch, but whipping NOAA Wx radio and especially TWC for >warnings are a bit hard to fathom? > >Can you be alerted before the "send to AFOS command" is issued in WISE? > >I just cannot conceive this watch speed? Do they wait for the official SLS? > >who is putting out the watches/warnings here? > My paging company I use here in Florida is American Paging. Their turnaround time in sending out a page is usually 5-10 seconds after it is entered into their system (even on alpha pages). I'm sure Widespread Weather gets their information from the bird just like TWC and others do. Therefore Widespread Weather upon recieving the buliten sends it to the paging company. Turnaround time of one min. or less after issuance is entirely possible. Now when I say I've gotten alerts before TWC put them on the air, I'm only talking a few seconds most of the time. Remember that the red screen is from the cable company and not from TWC itself since its area specific. Now that's for warnings, when I referred to the watch delay , >>I once received a watch eight minuets before NWS put it on the air.<< I'm not kidding. My pager went off the other day and it indicated that a watch had been issued. A front was approaching so I had been listening to N.O.A.A. and I didn't wear the watch go over the air. I thought maybe Widespread sent something by mistake. No they didn't, the watch was broadcast 8 min. later. Now don't mis-understand me I am NOT criticizing NWS or TWC in any way whatsoever. I watch TWC every day and listen to N.O.A.A. also. I'm just commenting on the speed in which I get pages from Widespread Weather. I was in the Miami NWS office one day and my pager went off indicating a severe t-storm warning in Palm Beach county. Since I was standing next to the console were the warnings are issued I asked if they had issued a warning for Palm Beach and the said that they just did and asked how I knew. I told them and they seemed impressed. To put it short I think TWC and NWS do an excellent job. I like the paging setup because I can take it with me anywhere. I even recieve pages in the middle of Alligator Alley where I can't recieve N.O.A.A. radio. (Collier County is over 2,000 square miles and at present, has very little N.O.A.A. coverage (that is due to change very shortly)). Remember for N.O.A.A., (in the case of watches issued from SPC), a human has to physically record the message then it has to be broadcast. I pay about 20 dollars per month (overall including the cost of my statewide pager) for what I get. Various pager companies give different rates. Anyone who is thinking about using this type of service and does not already have an alpha-numeric pager should shop around to see what rates are available. For me, my first concern was coverage area. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn CO12 Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 12:16:38 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Real Audio Weather Information Greetings Fellow Weather Fans I am looking for information on National Weather Service Offices that offer Real Audio on their Web Page. I am aware of one station out of Fort Smith, Arkansas the offers this service. If anyone has any information on National Weather Service sites that offer this service please let me know. I noticed that The Weather Channel now has seven day forecasts! Looks as if they are still using the MRF Model....we will see how this works out! Thanks Everyone "Enjoy the weather...for tomorrow it will change" Derek derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 14:51:57 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Real Audio Weather Information i have several links that you can just click on at http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm just go to the state your interested in. but off hand i think it's only texas, nebraska, florida maybe, and one more i forget. all use real audio except for one the uses a different one which is easy to get with the included link. matt/n9npp James Derek Dodson wrote: > Greetings Fellow Weather Fans > > I am looking for information on National Weather Service Offices > that offer Real Audio > on their Web Page. I am aware of one station out of Fort Smith, > Arkansas the offers this service. > > If anyone has any information on National Weather Service sites that > offer this service please let me know. > > I noticed that The Weather Channel now has seven day forecasts! > Looks as if they are still using the MRF Model....we will see how > this works out! > > Thanks Everyone > > "Enjoy the weather...for tomorrow it will change" > > Derek > derekd@hcis.net > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 14:55:41 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Real Audio Weather Information WARNING.....WARNING oh yeah forgot to mention these real audio links are for back up only do not rely on them to be 100% real time....... matt/n9npp James Derek Dodson wrote: > Greetings Fellow Weather Fans > > I am looking for information on National Weather Service Offices > that offer Real Audio > on their Web Page. I am aware of one station out of Fort Smith, > Arkansas the offers this service. > > If anyone has any information on National Weather Service sites that > offer this service please let me know. > > I noticed that The Weather Channel now has seven day forecasts! > Looks as if they are still using the MRF Model....we will see how > this works out! > > Thanks Everyone > > "Enjoy the weather...for tomorrow it will change" > > Derek > derekd@hcis.net > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 15:09:45 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Real Audio Weather Information James Derek Dodson wrote: > Greetings Fellow Weather Fans > > I am looking for information on National Weather Service Offices > that offer Real Audio > on their Web Page. I am aware of one station out of Fort Smith, > Arkansas the offers this service. where is this fort smith arkansas at i'd like to see that matt/n9npp > > > If anyone has any information on National Weather Service sites that > offer this service please let me know. > > I noticed that The Weather Channel now has seven day forecasts! > Looks as if they are still using the MRF Model....we will see how > this works out! > > Thanks Everyone > > "Enjoy the weather...for tomorrow it will change" > > Derek > derekd@hcis.net > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:16:55 -0500 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: Re: Now that is Quick?? Eric Gissendaner wrote: >> >> At 03:28 AM 3/15/98 , you wrote: >>Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com stated: >> >>>Widespread Weather Services in California can give you what you >>>need. Their service will work with any paging company anywhere in >>>the us. ... >> >>>I usually get warnings even before The Weather Channel or >>>N.O.A.A. radio puts it out. I once received a watch eight minutes >>>before NWS put it on the air. I also have their 800 number if you >>>need it. >> >>TWC rolls the red screen in just seconds after a warning is issued. >> >>How in the world can this paging company beat that? >> >>I can believe the watch, but whipping NOAA Wx radio and especially >>TWC for warnings are a bit hard to fathom? >> >>Can you be alerted before the "send to AFOS command" is issued in >>WISE? >> >>I just cannot conceive this watch speed? Do they wait for the >>official SLS? >> >>who is putting out the watches/warnings here? >> > >My paging company I use here in Florida is American Paging. Their >turnaround time in sending out a page is usually 5-10 seconds after it >is entered into their system (even on alpha pages). I'm sure >Widespread Weather gets their information from the bird just like TWC >and others do. Therefore Widespread Weather upon recieving the buliten >sends it to the paging company. Turnaround time of one min. or less >after issuance is entirely possible. Now when I say I've gotten alerts >before TWC put them on the air, I'm only talking a few seconds most of >the time. Remember that the red screen is from the cable company and >not from TWC itself since its area specific. Now that's for warnings, >when I referred to the watch delay , > >>I once received a watch eight minutes before NWS put it on the air.<< >I'm not kidding. My pager went off the other day and it indicated that >a watch had been issued. A front was approaching so I had been >listening to N.O.A.A. and I didn't wear the watch go over the air. I >thought maybe Widespread sent something by mistake. No they didn't, >the watch was broadcast 8 min. later. >Now don't mis-understand me I am NOT criticizing NWS or TWC in any way >whatsoever. I watch TWC every day and listen to N.O.A.A. also. I'm >just commenting on the speed in which I get pages from Widespread >Weather. I was in the Miami NWS office one day and my pager went off >indicating a severe t-storm warning in Palm Beach county. Since I was >standing next to the console were the warnings are issued I asked if >they had issued a warning for Palm Beach and the said that they just >did and asked how I knew. I told them and they seemed impressed. >To put it short I think TWC and NWS do an excellent job. I like the >paging setup because I can take it with me anywhere. I even recieve >pages in the middle of Alligator Alley where I can't recieve N.O.A.A. >radio. (Collier County is over 2,000 square miles and at present, has >very little N.O.A.A. coverage (that is due to change very shortly). >Remember for N.O.A.A., (in the case of watches issued from SPC), a >human has to physically record the message then it has to be >broadcast. I pay about 20 dollars per month (overall including the >cost of my statewide pager) for what I get. Various pager companies >give different rates. >Anyone who is thinking about using this type of service and does not >already have an alpha-numeric pager should shop around to see what >rates are available. For me, my first concern was coverage area. > >Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com >KF4IXA/Skywarn CO12 >Collier County,Naples,FL >Collier County Skywarn Website > >www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html I can address the "watch being received 8 minutes prior to broadcast on NWR" issue. When it comes to issuance/dissemination of watches, this is how it works: After calling the affected offices, SPC will send a preliminary watch outline (SAW#), the watch itself (SEL#) and then their list of counties which the watch box contains all or part of (SEV#). These three products will almost always come out within a few minutes of each other. Assuming that the "SEL#" product is the "watch" we're talking about here, the paging company probably picks up this watch and (almost) immediately and re-broadcasts it out. At the NWS end, during and after these products are sent out by SPC, the affected WSFO will coordinate with their respective NWSO(s) to see if they want to keep or exclude some of the counties listed in the SEV - usually these are counties that only have a small part included within the box itself, and would be the last to be affected by the offending storms. After the coordination is complete, THEN the official SLS is sent out by the WSFO, and only THEN is the watch read on NWR - here at Melbourne we combine the SLS/SEL text onto one script. That may explain the early reception via pager. IMHO, it sounds like it's an excellent service to have. Tony Cristaldi NWSO Melbourne FL -- "'El Nino' is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:19:29 -0600 From: Russ Subject: Re: Unanalyzed surface plots Ed J Roberts wrote: > Does anyone know where I can get LARGE unanalyzed surface maps > on > the web? Specifically, full U.S. maps, updated hourly, that are large > > enough to do a decent daily analysis on. > > Thanks, > Ed > > ----------------------------------------- > Ed Roberts One of my favorites, is the University of Illinois: http://covis.atmos.uiuc.edu/covis/visualizer/ I use it for all of my maps, surface, and upper air. And you can customize them the way in which you like them! Russ. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 22:42:35 EST From: GK0116 Subject: Thank You Just a big THANK YOU to those of you who provided some great information! Very much appreciated!... Greg ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:42:55 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: NOAA Weather Radio Broadcast these nws pages have NOAA Weather Radio Broadcast the one i forgot was tulsa, ok again don't put your life on the line with anything over the internet. use these for back up only sometimes nebraska is slow starting real audio NWS El Paso,Tx http://nwselp.epcc.edu/elp/nwrepz.ram real audio NWS Tulsa,OK http://www.nwstulsa.noaa.gov/wxradio.ram real audio NWS North Platte, NE http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lbf/lbfnwr.ram real audio NWS Omaha,NE http://flare.creighton.edu/beta/weather.ram Streamworks JACKSONVILLE, FL JAX http://www.jacksonville.net/weatherxdm/noaa.xdm Download the Streamworks Plug-in http://www.jacksonville.net/WebServ/toolbox.html matt/n9npp James Derek Dodson wrote: > Greetings Fellow Weather Fans > > I am looking for information on National Weather Service Offices > that offer Real Audio > on their Web Page. I am aware of one station out of Fort Smith, > Arkansas the offers this service. > > If anyone has any information on National Weather Service sites that > offer this service please let me know. > > I noticed that The Weather Channel now has seven day forecasts! > Looks as if they are still using the MRF Model....we will see how > this works out! > > Thanks Everyone > > "Enjoy the weather...for tomorrow it will change" > > Derek > derekd@hcis.net > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Mar 1998 to 15 Mar 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625919-6548>; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 14:05:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14324; Mon, 16 Mar 1998 00:03:52 -0600 Message-Id: <199803160603.AAA14324@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 939fcb5060cb655bc795ed4dab5bbf62 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 35 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Now that is Quick?? 2. Canadian WeatherRadio Alert TESTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:00:02 EST From: GK0116 Subject: Re: Now that is Quick?? In a message dated 98-03-15 13:13:19 EST, jericg@PEGANET.COM writes: > Remember that the red screen is from the cable company and not from TWC itself since its area specific. Please correct me if I'm wrong...The red screen IS from the Weather Channel, but is sent only to the cable companies where the watch/warning is to affect. The area codes from the NWS embedded in the watch or warning are overlapped with TWCs Cable outlets, enabling them to direct the message to the specific area. On my cable outlet, many warnings from the Chicago NWS office are NOT broadcast, since the NWS office covers such a wider area than the cable company. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 23:26:21 -0500 From: Krukowski Subject: Canadian WeatherRadio Alert TESTS Does anyone out there know when Environment Canada WeatherRadio ALERT TESTS are broadcast in the Thunder Bay area? I have not heard one test yet from the Thunder Bay Weather Centre. Thanks for your help Radek Krukowski, Weather Enthusiast ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1998 *********************************** From - Tue Mar 17 14:17:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3770 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627010-13623>; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 14:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40718; Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:07:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199803170607.AAA40718@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:00:04 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1998 to 16 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 69ab5cc233a487ecb7cba7649dc3376e X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 572 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. fermi=lab (3) 2. Question re "Triana" Satellite 3. Web Course IMAGE-IN SPRING 98 4. Canadian WeatherRadio Alert TESTS 5. Now that is Quick?? (2) 6. 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting merchandise for Sale 7. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale 8. ASOS commissioning notice 9. RUC II implementation cancelled!!! 10. One Week Until the Golden Jubilee Tornado Symposium +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 02:06:43 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: fermi=lab what are the dates for the fermi lab presentations ? thanks matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 08:22:31 -0500 From: Richard Heim Subject: Question re "Triana" Satellite Previous posts have brought up many valid points about our VP's idea. But I have a simple (maybe not so simple) question: >L1, the Lagrangian point on a line between the sun and the earth, is an >unstable point (see >http://www-spof.gsfc.nasa.gov/Education/wlagran.html). Any object >placed at that point which begins to wander from it will continue to >wander from it, unless substantial quantities of propulsion are >avialable aboard the microsatellite to keep it in place. Seriously, in light of the instability of the L1 point, why not place Triana on the Moon? We may not get continuous pictures of the full Earth, but at least we wouldn't have to worry about it being perturbed out of orbit . Richard Heim rheim@ncdc.noaa.gov DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed in this email are my own and do not reflect the views of my employer. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Mar 1998 21:14:40 -0400 From: Kevin Kloesel Subject: Web Course IMAGE-IN SPRING 98 Web Based Distance Learning from Florida EXPLORES! Announcing IMAGE-IN, your web-based guide to using meteorological satellite imagery in the K-12 classroom or workplace. Each of the eight modules to be presented this spring will contain daily activities highlighting a specific topic relating to mesoscale meteorological phenomena , and how satellite imagery can be used to study each topic. One module per week will be presented. For Florida teachers, in-service credit points will be awarded in the form of a certificate upon completion of the 8 week course. For teachers outside of Florida, we will work with your local administrators so that you recieve proper in-servive credit. At this time, no college credit is available for this web-based course. THERE IS NO REGISTRATION FEE for this course! Web modules will be available beginning Monday March 16!!! If you wish to participate, please register at http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/IMAGE-IN/image-in.html for more information, contact kloesel@met.fsu.edu Kevin Kloesel FSU Meteorology ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:54:46 -0500 From: Dave Patrick Subject: Re: Canadian WeatherRadio Alert TESTS --------------CE27C72B75306F783F631046 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Radek No. I asked this question a couple of weeks ago on wx-chase-can to test my own system and found out that E.C. does not do any tests of their WeatherRadio Alert system at this time. Guess we have to take their word that it works but I hope they change this because, if, we have a severe weather outbreak and it doesn't, they are going to hear about it. Dave Patrick Fergus, Ontario Canada The Ontario Weather Page > Does anyone out there know when Environment Canada WeatherRadio ALERT TESTS > are broadcast in the Thunder Bay area? I have not heard one test yet from > the Thunder Bay Weather Centre. > --------------CE27C72B75306F783F631046 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Radek

No.  I asked this question a couple of weeks ago  on wx-chase-can to test my own system and found out that E.C. does not do any tests of their WeatherRadio Alert system at this time.  Guess we have to take their word that it works but I hope they change this because, if, we have a severe weather outbreak and it doesn't, they are going to hear about it.

Dave Patrick
Fergus, Ontario Canada

The Ontario Weather Page

Does anyone out there know when Environment Canada WeatherRadio ALERT TESTS
are broadcast in the Thunder Bay area? I have not heard one test yet from
the Thunder Bay Weather Centre.
 

  --------------CE27C72B75306F783F631046-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 10:11:18 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Now that is Quick?? GK0116 wrote: > > In a message dated 98-03-15 13:13:19 EST, jericg@PEGANET.COM writes: > > > Remember that the red screen is from the cable company and not from TWC > itself since its area specific. > > Please correct me if I'm wrong...The red screen IS from the Weather Channel, > but is sent only to the cable companies where the watch/warning is to affect. > The area codes from the NWS embedded in the watch or warning are overlapped > with TWCs Cable outlets, enabling them to direct the message to the specific > area. You're right. Each participating cable system has a special black box which is fed data by TWCm including current data, radar images, forecasts and the watches and warnings. When TWC receives the data from NWS it is fed out the data stream to all boxes, which accept what is for their area and ignore the rest. With a watch or warning, the box triggers the insertion of the "red screen" and the crawl at the bottom, locally. So it "comes" from TWC, but is originated at the head end of the cable system. That's why a watch or warning for the next county over will not trigger the alert screen/crawl, UNLESS they share the same head end! -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:15:57 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting merchandise for Sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** Announcing merchandise in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** *** This will be the last message before the big event one week *** *** from today! *** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Maj Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts and hats designed with the 50th Anniversary logo. Proceeds from these sales help COCAMS sponsor this important event. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/index.html Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Thanks for checking it out! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may be under the Great Red spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 ***************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 09:15:40 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! *** NEW!!! SPC tshirts! See the clothing gallery for more info. *** Spring is less than one week away! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing to wear during your chases! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos, sweatshirts ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 10:24:52 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS commissioning notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 16 March 1998: HERMISTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KS22) HERMISTON... OR STANLEY RANGER STATION (KSNT) STANLEY... ID Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 12:39:05 CST From: VUSIT Money Guy Subject: Re: fermi=lab I know that the date is Saturday, April 18th, but I am not sure of the times. It will be done twice, though, one afternoon, and one evening. ********************************************************************** John "Slappy" Massura Junior Meteorology major VUSIT Secretary/Treasurer 122b Wehrenberg Hall NWA- NW Indiana chapter member Valparaiso, IN 46383 NWA and AMS National members VUSIT webpage http://www.valpo.edu/student/vusit/ ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:38:33 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: RUC II implementation cancelled!!! > FOS/NOAAPORT NOTICE NO. 1195 MARCH 16... 1998 > > REFERENCE FOS/NOTICE NO. 1191 > > SUBJECT CHANGES TO VERSION 2 OF THE RAPID UPDATE > /RUC2/NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICATION > MODEL > > > THE VERSION TWO..OR RUCII..SCHEDULED FOR IMPLEMENTATION > ON TUESDAY... MARCH 17... 1998... AT 1200 UTC COMPUTER CYCLE > HAS BEEN CANCELED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. STAY TUNED FOR > UPDATES. MEANWHILE..THE STANDARD RUC MODEL WILL CONTINUE > TO RUN. > END > NNNN Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 13:40:01 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: fermi=lab On Mon, 16 Mar 1998, VUSIT Money Guy wrote: > I know that the date is Saturday, April 18th, but I am not sure of > the times. It will be done twice, though, one afternoon, and one > evening. Times and preliminary speaker lineup are at the SCH announcements page: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/announce.html Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 16:38:32 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: Re: Now that is Quick?? Thanks for clearing this up for me Gary! I actually didn't say what I meant. I knew that it originated from TWC but I figured the cable company was involved in there somewhere. 73 >You're right. Each participating cable system has a special black box >which is fed data by TWCm including current data, radar images, >forecasts and the watches and warnings. When TWC receives the data from >NWS it is fed out the data stream to all boxes, which accept what is for >their area and ignore the rest. With a watch or warning, the box >triggers the insertion of the "red screen" and the crawl at the bottom, >locally. So it "comes" from TWC, but is originated at the head end of >the cable system. That's why a watch or warning for the next county >over will not trigger the alert screen/crawl, UNLESS they share the same >head end! >-- >Gary Arnold, CEM >Collier County Emergency Management >E-mail: garnold@naples.net > gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net >Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam > >EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" >My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" > > ------------- > >"Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a >16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a >4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that >can't stand 1 bit of competition." > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Mar 1998 23:31:22 -0600 From: Kit Wagner Subject: One Week Until the Golden Jubilee Tornado Symposium The Golden Jubilee Symposium on Tornado Forecasting will be held in one week on March 24, 1998, at the University of Oklahoma in Norman, Oklahoma. This is one of several activities scheduled for the three-day celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast, sponsored by the Oklahoma Weather Center and Tinker Air Force Base. Ten internationally recognized scientists will deliver invited presentations on topics ranging from tornado forecasting techniques and future activities of the Storm Prediction Center, to the history of storm and tornado intercept efforts. In addition, a tribute to Air Force Col. Robert Miller will be paid by Dr. Robert Maddox, who will also discuss the first tornado forecast of Miller and Maj. Ernest Fawbush. A copy of the registration form can be obtained here, http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~trapp/registration.html or requested via email at symposium@nssl.noaa.gov or U. S. mail at Tornado Symposium, c/o NSSL, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069. The registration fee is a very reasonable $25 ($20 for students). Session 1 DR. ROBERT MADDOX, University of Oklahoma, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies "The Tinker Tornadoes of 1948 and Reminiscences of Severe Storm Forecasting with Col. Miller" Session 2 STEVEN WEISS, Storm Prediction Center "A Review of Tornado Forecasting from a Historical Perspective" DR. JOSEPH SCHAEFER, Storm Prediction Center "Current and Future Activities of the Storm Prediction Center" Session 3 DONALD BURGESS, NEXRAD Operational Support Facility/Operations Training Branch "Doppler Radar for Tornado Research and Detection" Session 4 ALAN MOLLER, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Fort Worth, TX, and DR. CHARLES DOSWELL, National Severe Storms Laboratory "Storm Spotting and Public Awareness Since the First Tornado Forecasts of 1948" Session 5 DR. LOUIS WICKER, Texas A&M University "Review of Storm- and Tornado-Scale Modeling" DR. KELVIN DROEGEMEIER, University of Oklahoma, and Center for the Analysis and Prediction of Storms "Current and Future Applications of Mesoscale Modeling for Tornado Forecasting" Session 6 DR. HOWARD BLUESTEIN, University of Oklahoma "A Brief History of Storm- and Tornado-Intercept Efforts" DR. ERIK RASMUSSEN, National Severe Storms Laboratory/Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies "Current and future tornado field research" The symposium will be held in Meacham Auditorium (adjacent the Oklahoma Memorial Union, Asp and Felgar St., ), from 8:30 am to 5 pm. Registration will begin at 7:30 am, at which time symposium programs can be obtained and commemorative items can be purchased (see weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html). Parking is available in the Elm Avenue Parking Facility , and Oklahoma Memorial Union Parking . Alternatively, participants can park free of charge in the Lloyd Noble Center parking lot (Imhoff Rd. and Jenkins Ave.). Buses that shuttle passengers to the main campus depart from the Lloyd Noble Center approximately every 15 min. Lunch is available in the Memorial Union or at a number of restaurants within easy walking distance. EVENT SCHEDULE: 7:30-8:30 am Registration, program distribution 8:30-9:30 Introduction, Session #1 (R. Maddox) 9:30-10:00 Coffee break 10:00-11:00 Session #2 (S. Weiss, J. Schaefer) 11:00-12:00 Session #3 (D. Burgess) 12:00-1:30 pm Lunch break 1:30-2:30 Session #4 (A. Moller, C. Doswell) 2:30-3:30 Session #5 (L. Wicker, K Droegemeier) 3:30-4:00 Coffee break 4:00-5:00 Session #6 (H. Bluestein, E. Rasmussen) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1998 to 16 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Mar 19 10:27:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2845 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-21866>; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 14:10:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25460; Wed, 18 Mar 1998 00:04:16 -0600 Message-Id: <199803180604.AAA25460@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Mar 1998 to 17 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 955d9824b473c47348de2ce35ce3cc8c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 315 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Home weather equipment: When is data acceptable/unacceptable? 2. El-nino/Fla hoses 3. WX-TALK Digest - 12 Mar 1998 to 13 Mar 1998 4. Home weather equipment: (2) 5. Continuous Satellite 6. My Tornado Preparedness TV News Story 7. Eta news... 8. WR-SAME radio/warning volume +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 01:12:36 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Home weather equipment: When is data acceptable/unacceptable? Had a SKYWARN group meeting today to discuss SOP manual and Net Operations Procedures, Spotter Safety. One of our always-nay-sayers, who was always resistant to the creation of SKYWARN since the beginning (always one of them), was criticizing using any mobile or home equipment at all to gather weather data, saying that unless its on a tower and separated by many tens (or was that hundreds, did he say?) of feet from anything that can interfere (with the anemometer), that the data was thus inaccurate and thus unuseable. Is this isn't completely accurate, right? In fact, I think he's just being uneducatedly rediculous. Would I be correct, there? So, what ARE the actual requirements for acceptable measurements of -- and lets limit this to wind, since I suspect that anything more might be asking for a manual. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 02:04:24 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: El-nino/Fla hoses Wx Talkers: One of my colleagues at work passed this on to me. Quite interesting. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB (PUB ~October 98) To all El Nino watchers: I found the following question/answer at: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/~kessler/occasionally-asked-questions.html Does El Nino cause specific storms (Florida tornadoes of February 98)? Asked all the time by many people. El Nino is not "responsible" for any particular storm. But El Nino is a vital element all the same. For example, winter is not responsible for any particular snowstorm; but winter is certainly a crucial part of why the northern hemisphere has snow in January. There are two ways in which El Nino adds punch to the storms over North America. First, it draws the jet streams further south. That means more storms in general across the southern tier of the U.S. Second, El Nino adds punch to the storms because the stronger and eastward-displaced warm pool pumps additional moisture into the upper atmosphere, where it is blown towards North America and caught up in the more-southerly jet streams. So while it is impossible to prove that El Nino caused the particular tornadoes that struck central Florida in late February, just as it is impossible to say that winter caused a particular snowstorm, it is the likely suspect. Perhaps there would have been strong tornadoes on this day in Florida without El Nino, but it appears not. We cannot run experiments to see what a parallel earth without an El Nino this year would do. But a group at NOAA's Climate Diagnostic Center in Boulder, CO, is trying something similar using numerical forecast models. First, they run the model with the actual conditions (that is, including this year's El Nino-induced SST anomalies in the Pacific) and produce weather forecasts, just like the regular ones. Then they make another run, in which everything is the same as the first one except that they change the Pacific SST to be like a "normal" year. The difference between these forecasts gives an indication of the effect of El Nino conditions in the Pacific on the specific weather events being forecast. The results for forecasts of Florida precipitation during the tornadoes of Feb 23 suggest that El Nino did indeed add punch to these storms. (Note that there is a link to this site from the question/answer page). ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 06:51:37 -0500 From: Keith Ebbecke Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Mar 1998 to 13 Mar 1998 >====================================================================== >Date : Fri, 13 Mar 1998 15:49:47 -0600 >>From : Todd Hoff >Subject: NEW: weathermonitor - Discussions of weather monitoring >To : NEW-LIST@LISTSERV.NODAK.EDU > >weathermonitor via http://www.onelist.com Weather Monitoring > >weathermonitor is an open, unmoderated discussion list featuring >weather monitoring. Topics on the list are weather monitoring >equipment, system setup, sharing data, and anything else related >to monitoring weather. > >Archives of weathermonitor mail items are kept at >http://www.onelist.com/archives.cgi/weathermonitor > >To subscribe, go the following URL >http://www.onelist.com/subscribe.cgi/weathermonitor >and subscribe to the list. > >Owner: Todd Hoff tmh@possibility.com > > ------- > >------------------------------ > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 11:04:12 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Home weather equipment: > So, what ARE the actual requirements for acceptable measurements of -- and >lets limit this to wind, since I suspect that anything more might be asking >for a manual. :) > Todd, The usual "standard" is that wind instruments should be placed away from an object about 10 times the height of the object. For example, an anemometer at the 5ft height should be 250ft away from a 30ft tall tree: (30 - 5) x 10. Your cohort may have been exaggerating a bit, but he is not being "ridiculous". He does have a point. Winds can be greatly affected by a nearby object. Whether the data is "inaccurate and thus unuseable" is dependent on the direction of the wind (is the object directly upwind?) how far away the object is from the anemometer (the closer, the more inaccurate the measurement), and to some extent... the wind speed. Whether a tower is needed depends on how tall the interfering objects are and how far away they are. If you're in Iowa where the nearest tree is 30 miles away ;-) ...your rooftop is fine. If you're in Florida and your house is 100ft from a 10 story snowbird condo... 'nuther story! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:11:29 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Continuous Satellite It has been a long while since I have thought about it, but doesn't the L1 point have a lot of trapped debris? How will that affect the view of the earth? TR ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 704-262-2432 (after 22/3/1998) 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 16:38:40 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: My Tornado Preparedness TV News Story I did a severe weather package for my TV station about a week ago (as part of Illinois tornado preparedness week) and decided to create a Quicktime movie of it. There's a small problem with audio sync in the Quicktime file but the overall message still gets across. You'll need a good, fast, Internet connection to download this 13MB 3:05 monster. Maybe someday I'll get it working with RealVideo streaming. FTP SITE: skywarn.lib.siu.edu User: anonymous File: severe.mov There's a brief scene with Roger Edwards I shot last year and some mention of the new WRSAME radios. If any ABC affiliates are interested in using the full package please contact me directly at chris@siu.edu and I'll ship you a tape and script. If you're not with ABC but you liked the package anyway and are located in "tornado alley", please hire me! Don't forget to download the file in binary mode. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 17:51:23 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Eta news... 3hr model output is now available... And the planned moving of the 03Z/15Z MesoEta to 06Z/18Z, and matching up the model configuration with the standard early Eta 00Z/12Z (32km & 45 levels) should take place in early May. This then constitutes a 4-per-day run of the Meso (32km/45level) for all of the North American domain running in the early slot (i.e. dump time of an hour and 20 minutes after 00z, 06z, 12z & 18z) prior to NGM and AVN at 00z & 12z and prior to AVN at 06z & 18z. Rob ******************************** Rob Dale - N8GSK http://norden1.com/~rdale ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Mar 1998 09:57:47 -0500 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: WR-SAME radio/warning volume If you'd just bought a new wx radio the day after a test, would you want to wait 6 months before another one came along? things break. weekly tests are probably a good compromise for checking this sort of system. often enough you don't forget about 'em, not too frequency to make you never want to have a radio around... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Mar 1998 23:35:16 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Home weather equipment: On Tue, 17 Mar 1998, Steve Adams wrote: > The usual "standard" is that wind instruments should be placed away from > an object about 10 times the height of the object. For example, an > anemometer at the 5ft height should be 250ft away from a 30ft tall tree: > (30 - 5) x 10. > > Your cohort may have been exaggerating a bit, but he is not being > "ridiculous". He does have a point. Winds can be greatly affected by a > nearby object. Whether the data is "inaccurate and thus unuseable" is > dependent on the direction of the wind (is the object directly upwind?) > how far away the object is from the anemometer (the closer, the more > inaccurate the measurement), and to some extent... the wind speed. > > Whether a tower is needed depends on how tall the interfering objects > are and how far away they are. If you're in Iowa where the nearest tree > is 30 miles away ;-) ...your rooftop is fine. If you're in Florida and > your house is 100ft from a 10 story snowbird condo... 'nuther story! Okay. Reason I asked is because the first thing that came to my mind were the NSSL vehicles used to chase those storms back in (95?) At first, it seemed as if those anemometers atop of them would thus be unusable. But now I understand. The vehicles could have been parked appropriate distances from any buildings and trees (THEORETICALLY, anyway). However, what affect would the rofftops of the vehicles have upon the anemometers being just a few feet above them? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Mar 1998 to 17 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-25818>; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 14:12:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29506; Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:09:11 -0600 Message-Id: <199803190609.AAA29506@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:02:44 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1998 to 18 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00814f420299ac6fda2ffcbbdd8d686c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 318 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Home weather equipment: (4) 2. Last 88D online... 3. HRPT images? 4. Last 88D online...and folks are still bitching 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 08:33:03 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Home weather equipment: > Okay. Reason I asked is because the first thing that came to my mind were >the NSSL vehicles used to chase those storms back in (95?) > At first, it seemed as if those anemometers atop of them would thus be >unusable. But now I understand. The vehicles could have been parked >appropriate distances from any buildings and trees (THEORETICALLY, anyway). >However, what affect would the rofftops of the vehicles have upon the >anemometers being just a few feet above them? > I wonder if the NSSL guys have an answer to that... A vehicle would have a small profile to the wind, so probably the disruption to the wind flow would be small. If the anemometers are several feet above the roof, my guess would be that the effects on the measurement would be almost nil. Just guessing tho'...... ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 09:59:04 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Last 88D online... Last of new-generation weather radar stations comes on-line NORTH WEBSTER, Ind. (AP) -- A $6 million Doppler radar station that will keep watch for severe weather over three states has been declared fully operational by the National Weather Service. The new station 35 miles northwest of Fort Wayne is the last of 120 Doppler radar units installed as part of a $4.4 billion project to improve the weather service's ability to track severe weather. The first station was installed in Melbourne, Fla., in 1991. The North Webster station was declared operational Tuesday to begin searching the skies over a 37-county area in Indiana and adjacent parts of Michigan and Ohio for tornadoes, severe thunderstorms and snowstorms. It replaces weather service offices in Fort Wayne and South Bend. ``We've put the radar through its paces, become familiar with our coverage area, established contacts with county emergency management agencies, and now we're ready to become a complete forecast office just in time for severe weather season,'' said Michael Sabones, meteorologist in charge of the North Webster station. The next-generation radar, or NEXRAD, system was installed in October. North Webster was chosen in 1996 after intense lobbying by Sen. Dan Coats, R-Ind., and a stateline tug-of-war with Ohio lawmakers. The new radar measures wind speed, direction and shift with more powerful, narrower beams of electromagnetic radiation than the 1950s-era technology it replaces. It can see inside a thunderstorm for subtle changes that precede the formation of severe weather, such as tornadoes. It also could give warning of lake-effect snowstorms that frequently blanket northeastern Indiana. [*** What the heck is this about? But Doppler systems in Indianapolis, Paducah, Ky., and Romeoville, Ill., also have been blamed for missing snowstorms and even tornadoes, with deadly consequences. ***] The North Webster Doppler radar has passed every test and represents a big improvement over past systems, even if it isn't perfect, Sabones said. ``Nothing in the weather business is foolproof,'' he said. ``The atmosphere's a big place.'' ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:45:58 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: HRPT images? Does anyone know of a good site for quasi-real-time HRPT imagery of the U.S.? I tried using search engines but could not narrow down all the hits. Thanks. Tim Vasquez 71611.2267@compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:51:22 EST From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Home weather equipment: Winds that are useful in what sense? I have a whirlygig that sits in my garden. When the arms are going really fast and the thermometer says -10C, I put on a scarf and hat, and put snowpants on my kid. But I wouldn't put a real instrument in that location because fences and trees would result in a "precise" number with no meaning. Unless, of course, I was interested in the microclimate of my garden, in which case it would be fine. The standard placements are to meet the demands of synoptic meteorology where a wind should be as representative as possible of a large area, before local effects. In the case of the NOAA vehicles, a few feet up is probably OK, especially if the wind is coming from the front (the van manufacture has made some attempt to minimize wind effects from that direction). Norman MESSAGE 1: > One of our always-nay-sayers, who was always resistant to the creation of > SKYWARN since the beginning (always one of them), was criticizing using any > mobile or home equipment at all to gather weather data, saying that unless > its on a tower and separated by many tens (or was that hundreds, did he > say?) of feet from anything that can interfere (with the anemometer), that > the data was thus inaccurate and thus unuseable. > > Is this isn't completely accurate, right? In fact, I think he's just > being uneducatedly rediculous. Would I be correct, there? > > So, what ARE the actual requirements for acceptable measurements of -- and > lets limit this to wind, since I suspect that anything more might be asking > for a manual. :) MESSAGE 2: > Okay. Reason I asked is because the first thing that came to my mind were > the NSSL vehicles used to chase those storms back in (95?) > At first, it seemed as if those anemometers atop of them would thus be > unusable. But now I understand. The vehicles could have been parked > appropriate distances from any buildings and trees (THEORETICALLY, anyway). > However, what affect would the rofftops of the vehicles have upon the > anemometers being just a few feet above them? > > Todd > > /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ > | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | > | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | > | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | > | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | > \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ -- ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.on.doe.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.dow.on.doe.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:14:35 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Last 88D online...and folks are still bitching Robert P Dale wrote... >[*** What the heck is this about? >But Doppler systems in Indianapolis, Paducah, Ky., and Romeoville, Ill., >also have been blamed for missing snowstorms and even tornadoes, with deadly >consequences. >***] The Paducah, KY problem is mainly a political issue started by the folks in Evansville, IN. When NWS HQ announced Evansville's WSR-57 would be decommissioned and replaced by a WSR-88D at Paducah, KY local politicians and many jorunalists started hollering "foul play!" While the relocation has without a doubt affected Evansville's radar coverage, it seems to me that everytime a tree branch falls or a sheet metal barn sustains damage people start demanding blood and accusing NWS Paducah of "poor warning". This whole issue has resulted in at least one Evansville TV station to invest a substantial amount of cash in its own weather radar. I believe a similar situation existed at Huntsville, AL if I'm correct. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:41:58 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Home weather equipment: > Winds that are useful in what sense? I have a whirlygig that sits in my > garden. When the arms are going really fast and the thermometer says > -10C, I put on a scarf and hat, and put snowpants on my kid. But I > wouldn't put a real instrument in that location because fences > and trees would result in a "precise" number with no meaning. > Unless, of course, I was interested in the microclimate of my garden, > in which case it would be fine. The standard placements are to > meet the demands of synoptic meteorology where a wind should be > as representative as possible of a large area, before local effects. You've hit the nail on head, the issue is "representativeness". When one is siting observations for use in a regular network, one wants those observations to accurately represent the wind flow over some radius around the station. Siting requirements are set up to try to ensure this is true. In the case of a severe weather observation, such issues are not as important, and most people would say its better to have some measurement than a guesstimate based on a how far trees are bending over, the frequency of the whistling of the wires or the rain gutter rattling (there is a meteorologist in Boulder however who has "calibrated" his rain gutter, however :)). That said, the measurement should be taken in a fairly "open" area away from trees, buildings other obstacles. Although the severe weather criteria are set up with a wind speed threshold, from a practical point of view its probably just as important for spotters to report damage that the wind is causing (shingles being blown off, size of tree limbs breaking, etc) ....this will alert public safety officials to the possibility of road closings due to downed trees/power lines, etc. Also, if you look at the classic Beaufort Scale you'll see the wind speeds in the "severe category" all mention damage, even large trees bending over is not enough. > In the case of the NOAA vehicles, a few feet up is probably OK, especially > if the wind is coming from the front (the van manufacture has made some > attempt to minimize wind effects from that direction). What they did for VORTEX ('94 and '95, BTW), was get data from the manufacturer showing the extent of the disturbance to the wind flow around the car and set the anemometer up above that. Its not as good as a fixed site on a 10m mast, but is still useful data, and better than handheld instruments. -Keith ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 13:34:24 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites as of 1800 UTC on 18 March 1998: DE KALB-PEACHTREE AIRPORT (KPDK) ATLANTA... GA ROME (KREO) ROME... OR Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 17:50:36 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Home weather equipment: On Wed, 18 Mar 1998, Norman Donaldson wrote: > Winds that are useful in what sense? I have a whirlygig that sits in my > garden. When the arms are going really fast and the thermometer says > -10C, I put on a scarf and hat, and put snowpants on my kid. But I > wouldn't put a real instrument in that location because fences > and trees would result in a "precise" number with no meaning. > Unless, of course, I was interested in the microclimate of my garden, > in which case it would be fine. The standard placements are to > meet the demands of synoptic meteorology where a wind should be > as representative as possible of a large area, before local effects. Was thinking about that. If you live in an area surrounded by tall pine trees a few hundred feet to your east to south to southwest, and your instrument is located even say a few tens of feet from your house in th back yard, what wind measurements you will get will still be true --- to what was felt near the ground at that position, its only not representative of the winds higher up above the trees. But if you get a downburst, and you register 50-55 mph on your not-technically-correctly-placed instrument, does that mean that what was indicated was not what was actual? I would not think so. It just means that what you experienced was ONLY 50-55 mph, where areas without the trees in the way might have experienced higher. Am I seeing this wrong? > In the case of the NOAA vehicles, a few feet up is probably OK, especially > if the wind is coming from the front (the van manufacture has made some > attempt to minimize wind effects from that direction). Was thinking about that, too. Was thinking that winds upon the sides of the vehicles might produce swirling eddies and currents which could affect (affect? effect? I keep screwing that up) the measurements. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1998 to 18 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Mar 20 20:59:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2997 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626955-29863>; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 14:09:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40620; Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:05:05 -0600 Message-Id: <199803200605.AAA40620@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 00:00:26 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1998 to 19 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 121aa02dec49e1396adef1ddb174945e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 367 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1998 to 18 Mar 1998 2. Home weather equipment: 3. HRPT images? 4. Cool Sat Pics from polar orbiters 5. The Night of the Twisters (2) 6. Forecast Game Begins April 14 7. HRPT Images 8. TV Met Jobs (Toledo, OH & Montgomery, AL) 9. DISCOVERY CHANNEL INT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 00:56:27 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1998 to 18 Mar 1998 > >Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 11:14:35 -0600 >From: Chris Novy >Subject: Re: Last 88D online...and folks are still bitching > >Robert P Dale wrote... > >>[*** What the heck is this about? >>But Doppler systems in Indianapolis, Paducah, Ky., and Romeoville, Ill., >>also have been blamed for missing snowstorms and even tornadoes, with deadly >>consequences. >>***] > >The Paducah, KY problem is mainly a political issue started by the folks >in Evansville, IN. When NWS HQ announced Evansville's WSR-57 would be >decommissioned and replaced by a WSR-88D at Paducah, KY local politicians >and many jorunalists started hollering "foul play!" While the relocation >has without a doubt affected Evansville's radar coverage, it seems to me >that everytime a tree branch falls or a sheet metal barn sustains damage >people start demanding blood and accusing NWS Paducah of "poor warning". >This whole issue has resulted in at least one Evansville TV station to >invest a substantial amount of cash in its own weather radar. I believe >a similar situation existed at Huntsville, AL if I'm correct. ..Chris.. Yes the the situations at HSV and EVV are political. I was a consultant for the EVV group and testified before the Modernization Committee. Our testimony and presentation helped in a delay in the formal closing of EVV office (even though it had technically been closed anyway). The result was that the NWS was to do a relook of degradation of services in the EVV area before the formal closing could take place. I don't know if this has taken place yet or not. There were some storms missed at EVV. Problem there is the same as at HSV with the radars being out of the "effective range" for adequate detection of tornadoes (if there is such a thing as adequate since the average detection range of TVS is only about 40miles). The people at EVV were ticked off and had a right to be about "certain things" that went on which I won't get into here. In the case at HSV I was a consultant there also. Problem was that the nearest radars were out of range to adequately warn for that area. Result was a NEXRAD at Hightop. The local Congressman there is still demanding that the office stay open. Even though functions were transfered to BHM, a staff has been put back in at HSV (with essentially no duties since I understand they don't answer the phone or do anything of consequence). On top of that there is the normal contingent of contracted observers on site also. I don't know what they all do, I guess sit and look at each other. Maybe Brian or Gari at BHM can give us the lowdown, although I understand its a pretty touchy subject these days. >people start demanding blood and accusing NWS Paducah of "poor warning" This is partly a fault of the NWS for overhyping the capabilities of the radar. You take a couple billion of the taxpayers money, promise them 20 minute leadtimes or better, then when you miss one (regardless of the true capability of the met and radar to warn) and you have the populace screaming. Thus the results of the politics in HSV and EVV where this very thing happened several times over the past few years. Better education of the public will help. Doppler has been hyped so much by the gov't and the media that it is no wonder that John Q thinks it should save him. Sad but that is the way it is. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 04:37:29 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Home weather equipment: >If you live in an area surrounded by tall pine >trees a few hundred feet to your east to south to southwest, and your >instrument is located even say a few tens of feet from your house in th back >yard, what wind measurements you will get will still be true --- to what was >felt near the ground at that position, its only not representative of the >winds higher up above the trees. But if you get a downburst, and you >register 50-55 mph on your not-technically-correctly-placed instrument, does >that mean that what was indicated was not what was actual? I would not >think so. It just means that what you experienced was ONLY 50-55 mph, where >areas without the trees in the way might have experienced higher. Am I >seeing this wrong? I think you're not seeing it wrong, you're just confusing accuracy with (as Norman put it) representative-ness. (Ain't English great?!) The anemometer is going to accurately (within specs) measure the wind at the location it resides. Whether that location is representative of the surrounding area is another question. For "official" records, the NWS would prefer that this be true. For your 50mph downburst, you might get a representative reading if the burst came from a direction where your house did not get in the way. However, you might only get a 20mph reading if the burst came from the other side of your house and the anemometer was spared the full effects (affects?). :) This micrometeorology stuff is kind of interesting when you think about it. A site may be representative of the surrounding area depending on the wind direction, the speed, the atmospheric stability, the season, the type and height of nearby objects, etc. etc. etc. For example, an upwind hardwood tree would have little effect on the airflow in the winter when it has no leaves but may pose a significant obstacle in the summer. An upwind building may affect measurements when the wind speed reaches a certain level, but below that level it does not because the turbulence in the wake of the building has "smoothed out" by the time it reaches the instrument. This is why the 10x height of the nearest object "standard" was adopted. Otherwise, it would be nearly impossible to make any sense out the measurements. Micrometeorological effects had to be limited as much as possible! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 07:42:23 -0500 From: Wayne Winston Subject: HRPT images? At 12:02 AM 3/19/98 -0600, you wrote: >From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> >Subject: HRPT images? > >Does anyone know of a good site for quasi-real-time HRPT imagery of the >U.S.? I tried using search engines but could not narrow down all the hits. > Tim -- Have a look at http://www.esl.lsu.edu/htmls/current.html. Channel 2 and 4 hrpt gridded swaths are posted shortly after acquisition. (GOES also from this page). --Wayne-- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:17:27 -0500 From: James Aman Subject: Cool Sat Pics from polar orbiters Someone had a recent post asking for images from "HRPT" satellites. Could someone explain what that means ?? It sounds like it might be some kind of polar orbiting satellite. The best place I've seen to get pictures from the polar orbitting satellites is: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/dynatrack/ The imagery and how they put it on a map backround is AWESOME !!!! James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 07:22:57 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: The Night of the Twisters television show == chicago area not sure where else go to http://www.tvgen.com for your area MOVIE: The Night of the Twisters Drama, 1996 Thu, Mar 19 7:00pm channel 50 WPWR i only caught a glimps of the preveiw so i can't say much about it. anybody know if it is it any good? today's tv schedule for chicago http://www.tvgen.com/tv/listings/editions/cg/g19.sml -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 08:19:41 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: Forecast Game Begins April 14 Weather Enthusiasts - Join the 50+ forecasters already in heated competition for the Wxforecast crown. The next Wxforecast game begins April 14. Test your skills against competition from across the country. The site address is: http://www.wxforecast.com Questions can be directed to 'master@wxforecast.com'. Thanks. Chris ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 09:08:42 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: HRPT Images Tim Vasquez wrote: > > Date: Wed, 18 Mar 1998 10:45:58 -0500 > From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> > Subject: HRPT images? > > Does anyone know of a good site for quasi-real-time HRPT imagery of the > U.S.? I tried using search engines but could not narrow down all the hits. > Thanks. > > Tim Vasquez > 71611.2267@compuserve.com > We have HRPT imagery available from NOAA 12 and 14 satellites. The addresses are http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/dynatrack/ http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/avhrr/index.html Hope you find them useful, Steve _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 11:34:01 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs (Toledo, OH & Montgomery, AL) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (WTVG) ABC owned station has an immediate opening for a weekend meteorologist/weekday reporter. The successful candidate will have a minimum of two years experience doing television weather and an AMS or NWA Seal of Approval, or equivalent. We have the latest WSI and Baron's technology. Send non-returnable tape and resume to: WTVG Attention: News Director Janet Hundley 4247 Dorr Street Toledo, OH 43607 WEEKEND WEATHER/REPORTER (WSFA) It's a challenging position ­ we need someone who can tell a good story both presenting the weather (weekends) and as a General Assignment Reporter. Requirements include 2-3 years experience. We have a WSI WEATHERproducer and ADC Doppler Radar. Send your two latest weathercasts + reporting examples (VHS ok) , along with your resume by April 8 to: Lucy Himstedt Riley News Director WSFA 12 E. Delano Avenue Montgomery, AL 36105 EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 12:06:10 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: The Night of the Twisters It came out last year (or maybe 2). It pretty much sucked. But it's funny to watch the ping pong table spin around for no reason and the fridgerator suddenly leap forward out the wall. Although I was disapointed a CB radio didn't crack on "Shepherd to Lost Sheep, Shepherd to Lost Sheep! Ya got your ears on?" ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Mar 1998 11:52:54 -0800 From: Melissa Subject: DISCOVERY CHANNEL INT I am contacting you on behalf of an ongoing series on THE DISCOVERY CHANNEL called STORM WARNING. My name is Melissa Stokes and I am a producer for the series. STORM WARNING, a series of 13 one-hour programs, chronicles desperate HUMAN battles for survival in the face of killer storms. Through tales of suspense and survival, tragedy and triumph, in the face of nature's most devastating storms. Told with stunning news and home video footage, these one-hour episodes capture heart-stopping images of nature's fury. Our focus is on the SURVIVORS, their RESCUES, the devastating EFFECTS of storms; the RESCUE WORKERS and VOLUNTEERS who helped to save lives and theSCIENTISTS, WEATHER SPECIALISTS and STORM CHASERS who are responsible for staying on top of the latest ravaging storms. We are looking for STORM TRACKERS/STORM CHASERS and METEROLOGISTS, for AMAZING FOOTAGE and AMAZING STORIES. I can be contacted at any time at the number below. I look forward to hearing word! Cheers! Melissa Stokes Producer STORM WARNING c/o Melissa Stokes 12001 Ventura Place Studio City, CA 91604 818-753-3400 EXT 349 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1998 to 19 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Mar 26 01:21:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3710 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-5484>; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 14:10:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23912; Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:07:58 -0600 Message-Id: <199803210607.AAA23912@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:02:57 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8bae6bde43bc4b8617fe8aa41dd01f00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 17 messages totalling 507 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Archived ASOS Test Obs 2. WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1998 to 16 Mar 1998 3. TV Met Job Available (Regent Missoula, MT) 4. Canadian Met schools 5. Outflow boundaries 6. Job Opportunity 7. Where is PHLU? 8. TV Met Jobs Available (4 positions in Florida) 9. TV Met Job Available (Toledo, OH) 10. Hall County Georgia Tornado/CNN (3) 11. 88D ID HDX (2) 12. InterRAD V3 13. RAMS Model 14. New Issue of InterMet online +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:49:54 -0500 From: "ROBERT K. PETERS" <71664.2461@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Archived ASOS Test Obs Hi Listers, Some weeks ago, someone posted on this list the site where the metars are archived. I found that yesterday. What I need to know now if there is a site where the ASOS test observa- tions are archived. The Ohio State index clears at 09Z each day, and I need the 06Z--without having to stay up "til midnight or one in the morning to get it. Any help will be appreciated. Robert K. Peters ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:17:21 +0900 From: Tokio Kikuchi Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1998 to 16 Mar 1998 Dear WX-talkers, Automatic digest processor wrote: > > 2. Question re "Triana" Satellite Now the "Triana issue" is coming to conclusion, I want to point out that one of the best MPEG animation to demonstrate ... uh ... the sun is turning around the earth ... is , which can be found in our new weather home page at . I hope you will enjoy along with other images and animations. Tokio Kikuchi, Kochi University. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 10:07:15 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Regent Missoula, MT) WEATHERCASTER (KPAX) Our chief meteorologist is going to a top twenty market. After some shuffling, we need a new weather person to anchor our morning and noon shows. Beginners considered. You must be excited about weather. You must have the on-air presence to be a weather authority with the ability to pleasantly interact with our morning anchor. Meteorology degree and experience helpful but not required. Weather computer experience preferred. KPAX is a CBS affiliate with the number one news operation in beautiful Missoula, Montana. We have a skycam with time-lapse, Liveline 5 with radar and live capabilities. We have plenty of weather to talk about with all four seasons. Skiing, hiking, boating, biking and all outdoor activities within fifteen minutes of town. KPAX-TV is an EEO/Affirmative action employer. Womena and minorities are encouraged to apply. Please rush (I need it yesterday) VHS tape and resume to: Paul Shoemaker News Director KPAX-TV 2204 Regent Missoula, MT 59801 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:09:01 PST From: Tom Thum Subject: Canadian Met schools Are there any Canadian/Northern US universities that have highly reknowned met depts? What are the schools considered "the best"? Thanks. ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 08:23:25 PST From: Tom Thum Subject: Outflow boundaries Sorry if this sounds like a stupid question, but then again, I'm not that bright. Question: how do you identify an outflow boundary: a) on a surface chart b) on a satellite image c) on a radar image. Also, what is the effective range of an outflow boundary in its ability to affect other weather systems? Next question: How can you identify a mesolow? I know it's a small surface low around 100 miles in diameter, so would one station reporting low pressure while the others around it are higher be a mesolow? Thanks for your responses/flames. Tom ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 12:10:37 EST From: "Mary C. Erickson" Subject: Job Opportunity The Techniques Development Laboratory of the NWS is currently advertising three vacancies for entry- to mid-level employees. TDL conducts applied research in techniques needed to develop and display top-notch objective weather forecasts. Interested? See http://www.rdc.noaa.gov/~webvas/ for the official vacancy announcements. H/NWS/980078.SAT H/NWS/980089.KLB H/NWS/980090.KLB Mary Erickson | "Carpe Diem" - Sieze the Day Statistical Meteorologist, TDL/NWS, Room 706 WWB, Camp Springs, MD 301-763-8151, mary.erickson@noaa.gov, we21me@hobbes01.wwb.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 10:42:33 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Where is PHLU? There's a station that reports METARs under the ICAO of PHLU at 1645Z, 1745Z, 2345Z and 0045Z daily. Based on the ICAO and the reporting schedule, this station is probably at some airfield that is only open limited hours somewhere in Hawaii. Still...only reporting 4 times a day is not characteristic of a US station at an airfield open limited hours. Anyone know exactly where PHLU is? Thanks...Jeff ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:06:17 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (4 positions in Florida) the following appeared in TVJOBS ..Chris.. Florida's News Channel, Tallahassee, FL Weather Anchors (4) Florida's News Channel is looking for talented people in all news and production areas for its 24 hour digital all-news statewide cable network that premiers this August. If your're hard-working, able to handle extreme deadlines, and are ready to be part of a new concept in television news, including virtual reality news sets, then send your resume, tape and philosophy to: News Director P.O. Box 12069 Tallahassee, FL 32317 No Phone Calls, Please Positions open at the Tallahassee headquarters and around the state. ******************************************************************** Weather Anchors - In the real Weather Studio, recording on his/her own directly into computer 6 ''local weather'' segments per hour and 2 'weathercasts' per shift and 2 crosschats into weathercast using the virtual reality studios. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:16:30 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Toledo, OH) ABC-owned station WTVG has an immediate opening for a weekend meteorologist/weekday reporter. The successful candidate will have a minimum of two years experience doing television weather and an AMS or NWA Seal of Approval, or equivalent. We have the latest WSI and Baron's technology. Send non-returnable tape and resume to: WTVG Attention: News Director Janet Hundley 4247 Dorr Street Toledo, OH 43607 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:38:07 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Hall County Georgia Tornado/CNN Greetings fellow weather friends I have been watching the information coming out of Hall County, Georgia today. I noticed that CNN has been telling everyone that there was no warning issued. Valery Voss also went on to explain that the Peachtree, Georgia radar site is 50 miles from Hall County and that the radar beam most likely was unable to detect the tornado. The National Weather Service issued the following warning at 6:45 a.m. 646 AM EST FRI MAR 20 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 700 AM EST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA ...HALL COUNTY AT 645 AM EST RADAR SHOWED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR MURRAYVILLE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. The National Weather Service then issued the following warning at 6:51 a.m. this morning: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 651 AM EST FRI MAR 20 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 715 AM EST FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA ...WHITE COUNTY AT 650 AM EST DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A TORNADO IN SOUTHERN HALL COUNTY MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. PUBLIC REPORTS INDICATE A TORNADO IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. The National Weather Service Office stated in the warning that radar showed a tornado in Hall County. The main discussion I have heard concerning this tornado was that there was no warning and that the National Weather Service missed this one. >From what I have been able to find so far I do not see any evidence that the National Weather Service Office in Peachtree missed anything...they issued two warnings...one for a severe thunderstorm and one for a tornado. One would think that CNN would get their facts straight before stating that the National Weather Service was asleep on this one. If anyone has any information that shows otherwise I would be interested in hearing about it. On another subject....that radars out of North Carolina were really incredible today...it looked like Oklahoma out there! Have a nice day everyone..... derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:54:30 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: 88D ID HDX Hello, Anyone know what WSR-88D radar site HDX is? Weird. I don't have it in my database. Any help greatly appreciated! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 15:05:39 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: 88D ID HDX I have it at the same place, but with two slightly different names... HDX EL PASO, TX/White Sands Missile Range 33-04-35N 106-07-22W 4222 ft HDX ALAMOGORDO/HOLLOMAN AFB, NM 33-04-35N 106-07-22W 1287m jeff ______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________ Subject: 88D ID HDX Author: Gilbert Sebenste at SMTPLINK-FNOC Date: 3/20/98 4:54 PM Hello, Anyone know what WSR-88D radar site HDX is? Weird. I don't have it in my database. Any help greatly appreciated! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 23:12:22 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Hall County Georgia Tornado/CNN In article <3512EFCE.F95C4DF.19880@hcis.net>, Derek Dodson wrote: > >The main discussion I have heard concerning this tornado was that there >was no warning and that the National Weather Service missed this one. >From what I have been able to find so far I do not see any evidence that >the National Weather Service Office in Peachtree missed anything...they >issued two warnings...one for a severe thunderstorm and one for a >tornado. > >One would think that CNN would get their facts straight before stating >that the National Weather Service was asleep on this one. > >If anyone has any information that shows otherwise I would be interested >in hearing about it. >From the warning and Local Storm Report logs I've seen, the tornado hit either at 6:20am and 6:30am. That would make it about 15-20 minutes before the first Tornado Warning. I would expect another National Disaster Survey on this event, and better information will be included in the report, if it is done. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 17:50:39 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Hall County Georgia Tornado/CNN > > ...WHITE COUNTY > > AT 650 AM EST DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A TORNADO IN SOUTHERN HALL COUNTY > MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. PUBLIC REPORTS INDICATE A TORNADO IS > OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. > > > The National Weather Service Office stated in the warning that radar > showed a tornado in Hall County. > > The main discussion I have heard concerning this tornado was that there > was no warning and that the National Weather Service missed this one. > From what I have been able to find so far I do not see any evidence that > the National Weather Service Office in Peachtree missed anything...they > issued two warnings...one for a severe thunderstorm and one for a > tornado. > > One would think that CNN would get their facts straight before stating > that the National Weather Service was asleep on this one. As Greg pointed out you have to look carefully at the times. A giveaway is the "PUBLIC REPORTS INDICATE A TORNADO". This had negative lead time. A very cursory glance of the watch and other products indicated a belief that the cells were "going downhill" and expected to continue (large guessing on my part: due to the time of day), but they suddenly re-intensified. Whether or not that reintensification could be inticipated with tools and data avail will be subject of debate. -Keith ----------- Keith Brewster kbrewster@ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 20:57:57 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: InterRAD V3 Version 3.0 of InterRAD95 is scheduled to be released at the Des Moines NWA Severe Weather Conference in early April. Information on the new features of the software, along with images from today's tornadic outbreak in the Mid-Atlantic, is available at http://www.interrad.weather.net/rdale/v3 Rob ******************************** Rob Dale - N8GSK http://norden1.com/~rdale ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 20:59:43 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: RAMS Model Can anybody tell me about (or point me in the right direction) on the experimental RAMS model? I know it is being run by NWS-LBB and have looked at it on their webpage, but don't know much about it....looks interesting. By the way, hats off to NWS-LBB as they have an *excellent* website done by Tim Doggett. If you live and/or chase the panhandles and West Texas, you'll love it. Check it out! http://dryline.nws.noaa.gov/quick_wx/index.html I would also like to recognize the NWS-FTW for the outstanding job they do for North Texas residents. Al Moller,FIC and Jim Stefkovich,WCM have gone above and beyond in spotter training, promoting the SKYWARN program to a higher level, and public severe weather education here in North Texas. Their tireless and unselfish devotion has provided an excellent defense against and awareness of violent weather so common here. Their classes are very educational, thorough and informative. With severe weather a serious deadly threat here in North Texas, these gentlemen, Skip Ely,MIC and and all of the staff of NWS-FTW deserve a great depth of gratitude from the residents of their warning area including myself. Thanks! Also, my deepest sympathies to those in Northern Georgia and wish all of the folks there well as they deal with this latest tragedy. With this and other recent tragedies in Florida, Jarrell, Tx. as well as all of the other historic tornado tragedies, it certainly underscores the drive and determination to better understand these phenomena along with improved detection and warning methods. Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 00:29:48 -0500 From: InterMet Subject: New Issue of InterMet online The March 1998 of InterMet is now online: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ Bernard _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-1779>; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 14:06:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA48626; Sun, 22 Mar 1998 00:05:05 -0600 Message-Id: <199803220605.AAA48626@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 00:01:17 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Mar 1998 to 21 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d6a547af78dba94cba5387061444c50 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 295 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 (2) 2. NE Ga warning times (2) 3. InterRad New Version! Must See!!!!! 4. Outflow boundaries +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 05:10:54 +0000 From: "Yerges, Mark" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 > > Hello, > > Anyone know what WSR-88D radar site HDX is? Weird. I don't have it in my > database. Any help greatly appreciated! > > Gilbert > Gilbert, HDX is in south-central NM at Holloman Air Force Base. Mark ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 20:08:26 -0500 From: Jim and Marlis Greenway Subject: Re: NE Ga warning times To the credit of Barry Gooden @ NWS, he told WSB-TV on 03/20 that "we just missed it" in regard to the tornado in Hall Co., Ga. Sorry guys. To the shame of WSB-TV, the meteorologist expounded on the fact that "our radar detected it." What WSB showed was an incredibly tight close-up of the radar screen. The cell filled almost the entire TV screen. At that point, the met arrowed to the "hook" that he said described the tornado. He also pointed out that WSB had received public reports of a tornado 15-20 minutes before a warning was given out. No word on whether or not they forwarded the reports to NWS. Jim Greenway Fairmount Ga. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 08:59:50 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: NE Ga warning times >To the credit of Barry Gooden @ NWS, he told WSB-TV on 03/20 that "we >just missed it" in regard to the tornado in Hall Co., Ga. Nice to see that kind of responsible honesty from the NWS. We certainly did NOT see it when they were hyping the capabilities of the radar in order to get it funded. >To the shame of WSB-TV, the meteorologist expounded on the fact that >"our radar detected it." What WSB showed was an incredibly tight >close-up of the radar screen. The cell filled almost the entire TV >screen. At that point, the met arrowed to the "hook" that he said >described the tornado. Boy is that a cheap shot. Did the WSB met on duty that night see that "signature" in real time? NOT. The thing was probably one pixel wide. Hind sight is 20-20. Another point... I'd bet the WSB radar is at least 20 miles closer to Hall County than the NWS radar in Peachtree City. The storm was simply too far away for the WSR88D to detect a tornadic signature. I bet, however, that what Gooden was referring to on the "miss" is that they thought the storm was de-intensifying when actually the returns were reducing because the storm was moving farther away from them. There may be a component of human error involved here too. >He also pointed out that WSB had received public >reports of a tornado 15-20 minutes before a warning was given out. No >word on whether or not they forwarded the reports to NWS. If they didn't, shame on them. This COMPETITION between media and NWS is absurd. "My radar is better than your radar... la dee da". They sound like 6 year olds bragging about a new bike. Meanwhile, people die. If WSB was a responsible station and views itself as being in a PARTNERSHIP with the NWS to protect and inform their viewers, they would have forwarded those reports immediately. Especially if, as they said, their radar confirmed the tornado reports, and the NWS had not yet issued a warning. It would have been obvious at that time that the NWS was missing something. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 09:13:44 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 >Date: Fri, 20 Mar 1998 16:38:07 -0600 >From: Derek Dodson >Subject: Hall County Georgia Tornado/CNN > >Greetings fellow weather friends > >I have been watching the information coming out of Hall County, Georgia >today. I noticed that CNN has been telling everyone that there was no >warning issued. Valery Voss also went on to explain that the Peachtree, >Georgia radar site is 50 miles from Hall County and that the radar beam >most likely was unable to detect the tornado. > >The National Weather Service issued the following warning at 6:45 a.m. > >646 AM EST FRI MAR 20 1998 > >THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A >SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 700 AM EST >FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... > >IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA > >...HALL COUNTY > >AT 645 AM EST RADAR SHOWED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR MURRAYVILLE MOVING > >TO THE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. > >The National Weather Service then issued the following warning at 6:51 >a.m. this morning: > >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA >651 AM EST FRI MAR 20 1998 > >THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A >TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 715 AM EST >FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... > >IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA > >...WHITE COUNTY > >AT 650 AM EST DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A TORNADO IN SOUTHERN HALL COUNTY >MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. PUBLIC REPORTS INDICATE A TORNADO IS >OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. > > >The National Weather Service Office stated in the warning that radar >showed a tornado in Hall County. > >The main discussion I have heard concerning this tornado was that there >was no warning and that the National Weather Service missed this one. >From what I have been able to find so far I do not see any evidence that >the National Weather Service Office in Peachtree missed anything...they >issued two warnings...one for a severe thunderstorm and one for a >tornado. > >One would think that CNN would get their facts straight before stating >that the National Weather Service was asleep on this one. > >If anyone has any information that shows otherwise I would be interested >in hearing about it. > >On another subject....that radars out of North Carolina were really >incredible today...it looked like Oklahoma out there! > >Have a nice day everyone..... > >derekd@hcis.net > It appears from the following that the tornado had already occurred when these warnings were issued as noted in the storm report below. From report the storm occurred around 6 20AM with warning at 6 45am...some 25 minutes later. Storm had probably done its thing and gone by the time this warning got out. Lets don't go bashing people until we have the facts. This may be another case of tornadoes beyond the effective range of NEXRADS which was discussed in my recent post regarding the political situations at HSV and EVV. Warnings that were not issued or issued late (Hall county Ga. and Rockingham county N. C.) are questions that need addressing considering considerable loss of life and injuries with these storms. WWUS30 KATL 202215 LSRATL PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 514 PM EST FRI MAR 20 1998 TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 620 AM 2S MURRAYVILLE GA TORNADO 3/20/98 HALL *** 11 DEAD, 80+ INJ *** TORNADO PATH 11.5 MILES LONG WITH AN AVERAGE WIDTH OF 100 YARDS...REACHING 200 YARD AT ONE TIME. THIS PATH DOES EXTEND INTO WHITE COUNTY. AT LEAST ONE PERSON REMAINS MISSING. 640 AM 4SE CLEVELAND GA TORNADO 3/20/98 WHITE THIS TORNADO MOVED FROM HALL COUNTY. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE NO INJURIES REPORTED. ;From a preliminary check, it appears that the Stoneville, N.C. storm was also missed as I could find no warning for Rockingham county N.C. on the 20th. Maybe RDU can clarify this event for us. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 11:13:23 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: InterRad New Version! Must See!!!!! Greetings Fellow Weather Fanatics...sorry about the Cross-Post But This YOU MUST SEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!! The new InterRad Version 3 will soon be released onto the market. The company itself describes it as "The BEST Internet Radar Software Just Got Better"! Let me say this...IF YOU DO NOT GET INTERRAD VERSION 3 YOU ARE MISSING OUT.... I have tested the Beta version of this product. I am so impressed that I am committed to telling as many people about the product as possible. I have used this new version in several severe weather episodes over the past few weeks...without a miss that information provided has been accurate and detailed. The software picks up and alerts you to the presence of TVS...MESOS...LARGE HAIL...Storm movement...Cloud Tops on individual storms...the location of those storms...and MUCH MUCH more. InterRad allows you to look at precipitation rates...Storm Velocity...and Reflecitivity...and then you can put all that in motion and zoom and pan as much as you like. The InterRad software tells you the probability of severe hail...the probability of hail...and the size of the hail detected by Dopplar radar. I was told not to say anything about the update rate on the radars...but I will say this it might just be the fastest on the market! This product is a MUST SEE....words can not do it justice. I believe the URL for a sample of the product was posted yesterday but I will put it in here again: http://www.interrad.weather.net/rdale/v3/ Go and check it out for yourself...you will not be disappointed. I do not work for InterRad or get anything out of this post...just for your information. (and of course InterRad itself does not have radars...they are using the National Weather Service Dopplar Radar information) Derek Dodson Southern Illinois derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 13:59:16 -0500 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Outflow boundaries In answer to Toms questions regarding outflow boundaries. Outflow boundaries are not normally indicated on surface (synoptic-scale) charts unless there is a squall-line associated with it and then its the dash-double dot line. On smaller scales (meso types), many authors have indicated an outflow boundary with a cold front symbol. On satellite, outflow boundaries can sometimes be viewed as a line of clouds or towers extending along the leading edge of a cloud free area where the cold pool of stable air exists at the surface. On radar, outflow boundaries can be depicted by a "fine line" or arc shape line of low reflectivities. Outflow boundaries can extend for hundreds of miles and important regions for convection initiation especially where two outflow boundaries merge. A meso-low is a small area of low pressure that may or may not be deduced by looking for the lowest pressure at a station. I usually look for the cyclonic pattern in the surface wind field along with a region of low pressure especially when it's associated with a boundary. For more information about outflow boundaries and mesolows, see the booklet TORNADO TALK. Write me at P.O. Box 814245 Dallas, TX 75381. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Mar 1998 to 21 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Mar 26 01:22:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4018 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626402-19238>; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 14:09:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15230; Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:03:27 -0600 Message-Id: <199803230603.AAA15230@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Mar 1998 to 22 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 452e4c5c16755736f7c2bd80cad28686 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 521 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Mar 1998 to 21 Mar 1998 2. Hall County Georgia Tornado 3. NE Ga warning times (3) 4. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 5. Rockingham Co. NC Storm 6. Storm Shop Videos 7. Stoneville NC Tornado Warning 8. [Fwd: Hughes Selected to Build Weather Satellites] 9. TNC/EMWIN 10. Needed - Current Australian Surface Station Plot Map (2) 11. RAMS Model +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 00:15:31 -0700 From: Sandusky Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Mar 1998 to 21 Mar 1998 > This may be another case of tornadoes beyond the effective range of > which was discussed in my recent post regarding the political > at HSV and EVV. Warnings that were not issued or issued late (Hall > Ga. and Rockingham county N. C.) are questions that need addressing > considering considerable loss of life and injuries with these storms. Rockingham County is covered by the Blacksburg VA NWS... and I do believe there were proper warnings issued. So weird to have a tornado go through the Madison-Mayodan area & Stoneville... as an NC native I'm *really* familiar with these areas and was just in Stoneville a couple months ago. Wow. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 01:41:57 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Hall County Georgia Tornado Greetings Everyone I thought I would make a few comments concerning CNN and other the other news media that have covered the Hall County, Georgia tragedy. It seems to me that when the National Weather Service (who works very hard to protect all of us during severe weather events) issues a tornado warning and lives are saved that we do not often here the media say that. I speak for myself when I say that for the most part the media reports that I always hear say things such as: The NWS did not issue a warning The people had little or no warning The NWS missed this one If only they would have had a warning and so on..... But at the same time the NWS issues hundreds of warnings for flash flooding...severe thunderstorms...tornadoes....and winter storms. These warnings undoubtedly save hundreds if not thousands of lives every year. I wish the news media would report on that subject instead of bashing the NWS. I have little doubt in my mind that some of the Peachtree, Georgia, National Weather Service staff, will have a few sleepless nights over this event. We need to make sure we support those who issue the warnings that protect our lives and if they occasionally miss a warning because the technology is just not good enough...well then so be it. We do not have to shout it from the mountain tops. I believe that those who are in charge of investigating these events will do so without the media making a big deal out of it. I will not support the way the news media acts in these situations...at times it is disgusting and insensitive to those who have been hurt the most by a storm. That is my humble opinion derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:44:48 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: NE Ga warning times Stephen said: > Boy is that a cheap shot. Did the WSB met on duty that night see > that "signature" in real time? NOT. The thing was probably one pixel > wide. Hind sight is 20-20. Another point... I'd bet the WSB radar > is at least 20 miles closer to Hall County than the NWS radar in > Peachtree City. The storm was simply too far away for the WSR88D to > detect a tornadic signature. At longer range the mesocyclone of a storm this magnitude was probably evident to some extent, however TVS presentation at that range is very unlikely. A closer radar would give a much better presentation. "Do we need gap filler radars, as I recommended over the years?" It appears we may. If you look at this area of Georgia and the radars that cover it, there seems to be some range problems. Old site at Athens would have been good for this storm. > I bet, however, that what Gooden was referring to on the "miss" is > that they thought the storm was de-intensifying when actually the > returns were reducing because the storm was moving farther away from > them. There may be a component of human error involved here too. At longer range due to beam width and resolution any mesocyclone that is present would appear weaker than it actually is! > >He also pointed out that WSB had received public > >reports of a tornado 15-20 minutes before a warning was given out. No > >word on whether or not they forwarded the reports to NWS. I agree with Stephen here. If WSB has a report and did not relay it that is very sad and should really be looked into. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 21 Mar 1998 23:44:49 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1998 to 20 Mar 1998 A followup to my last post. I have new information that a tornado warning was out approx. 5 minutes before the tornado struck Stoneville in Rockingham, N.C. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:38:34 -0200 From: Stephen Marks Subject: Rockingham Co. NC Storm Paul Pettit writes... >From a preliminary check, it appears that the Stoneville, N.C. storm was >also missed as I could find no warning for Rockingham county N.C. on the >20th. Maybe RDU can clarify this event for us. The warning(s) came out of the Blacksburg, VA office. And in fact, one of the initial reports (if not the first) came from a ham radio Skywarn Spotter in the area. I'm sure there will be additional information forthcoming, but here's what I have seen: >ZCZC DD+ 72772 >WWUS30 KRNK 220012 >LSRRNK >LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA >710 PM EST SAT MAR 21 1998 > >...UPDATED STORM REPORT FOR MARCH 20TH BASED ON GROUND SURVEY... > >TIME (EST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >325 PM 1 SW MAYODAN NC TORNADO >3/20/98 ROCKINGHAM *** 2 DEAD, 26+ INJ *** > >TORNADO FORMED ABOUT 1 MILE SOUTHWEST OF MAYODAN AROUND 325 >PM...TRAVELED NORTHEAST AND STRUCK STONEVILLE AROUND 337 PM...AND >THEN CONTINUED MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST BEFORE DISSIPATING ABOUT 3 >MILES NORTHWEST OF EDEN AROUND 349 PM. THE TORNADO DAMAGED OR >DESTROYED 500 TO 600 RESIDENCES AND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED NEARLY ALL >BUSINESSES IN STONEVILLE AND SOME BUSINESSES IN MAYODAN. THE TORNADO >TOSSED A TRUCK ABOUT 60 FEET....CARRIED A CINDER BLOCK AND AN EMPTY >BOAT TRAILER ABOUT A QUARTER MILE AND LIFTED A 25000 POUND FIRE >TRUCK OFF THE GROUND AND SET IT DOWN ABOUT 60 FEET AWAY. THE TORNADO >PATH WAS 12 MILES LONG AND GENERALLY FROM 100 TO 400 YARDS WIDE. >HOWEVER...IN SOME PLACES DAMAGE WAS 800 YARDS WIDE. THE VAST >MAJORITY OF THE TORNADO DAMAGE WAS F1 AND F2 (WINDS OF 100 TO 150 >MPH) WITH SOME ISOLATED F3 DAMAGE (WINDS UP TO 200). AS A >RESULT...THIS TORNADO WILL BE CLASSIFIED AS A STRONG F3. > >349 PM 3 NW EDEN NC WIND DAMAGE >3/20/98 ROCKINGHAM > >THE SAME STORM THAT PRODUCED THE ABOVE TORNADO PRODUCED NON-TORNADIC >WIND DAMAGE FROM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF EDEN NC TO 2 MILES WEST OF >SANDY LEVEL IN HENRY COUNTY VA. IN THIS AREA...THUNDERSTORM WINDS >DAMAGED TREES...SOME OUT BUILDINGS AND A FEW HOMES. > >356 PM 2 W SANDY LEVEL VA TORNADO >3/20/98 HENRY > >ANOTHER TORNADO FORMED FROM THE SAME STORM SYSTEM 2 MILES WEST OF >SANDY LEVEL VA AROUND 356 PM AND TRAVELED ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHEAST >BEFORE DISSIPATING 2 MILES WEST OF WHITMELL IN PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY VA >AROUND 422 PM. IN PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY...THIS TORNADO DAMAGED OR >DESTOYED 30 HOMES...DAMAGED OR DESTROYED SEVERAL VEHICLES AND >KNOCKED DOWN NUMEROUS TREES. INITIAL DAMAGE ESTIMATES FOR >PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY FOR THIS TORNADO ARE IN EXCESS OF $800,000. THIS >TORNADO WAS GENERALLY AROUND 100 TO 200 YARDS WIDE...WITH SOME AREAS >UP TO 350 YARDS WIDE. THE DAMAGES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TORNADO WERE >F0 AND F1 WITH WIND SPEEDS FROM 60 TO 110 MPH. AS A RESULT...THIS >TORNADO WILL BE CLASSIFIED AS A STRONG F1. > >MTE > > > > >NNNN Steve Marks, KE4FCW Greensboro-Guilford Co. Emergency Mgmt Member, Triad Skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 08:10:08 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Storm Shop Videos Storm chase adventure and SKYWARN training videos are available at the Storm Shop: http://www.pulse.net/storm/shop.htm Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:59:55 -0500 From: Michael Brennan Subject: Stoneville NC Tornado Warning >From a preliminary check, it appears that the Stoneville, N.C. storm was >also missed as I could find no warning for Rockingham county N.C. on the 20th. Maybe >RDU can clarify this event for us. Rockingham County, NC is not the RDU CWA, it is the responsibility of the NWS office in Blacksburg, VA (RNK). A tornado warning was issued for that storm by RNK in Rockingham County, and warnings were issued for counties to the north in Virginia, Henry and Pittsylvania. Mike Brennan ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 09:22:05 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: NE Ga warning times >A closer radar would give a much better presentation. >"Do we need gap filler radars, as I recommended over the years?" It >appears we may. If you look at this area of Georgia and the radars that >cover it, there seems to be some range problems. Old site at Athens >would have been good for this storm. > It's interesting how the modernization of the NWS has been successful in some aspects and has failed miserably in others. NWS was correct when they determined that they did not need as many field offices. However, when they closed down a WSO, they generally replaced it with only an ASOS. They should have replaced many WSOs with an ASOS and a radar with a pup in the WSFO. Once again, over-hyping the capabilities of the WSR88D has cost them (and us). Of course, this would have meant more $$$, and the modernization was a tough sell as it was. Perhaps this could be corrected in future years with less expensive commercial doppler radars to fill in the gaps, with pups in the WSFOs. OR.... Here's an idea... how about a program that would assist TV stations in radar-gap areas in buying their own radar. The TV station would then provide the NWS access to it's data in real-time via a dedicated line. It would then be up to the TV station to keep the radar in good working order. Or perhaps in smaller markets, a group of TV stations. This would be a fine example of public-private partnership working to benefit us all. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 10:10:59 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: [Fwd: Hughes Selected to Build Weather Satellites] NASANews@hq.nasa.gov wrote: > > Douglas Isbell > Headquarters, Washington, DC January 28, 1998 > (Phone: 202/358-1753) > > Allen Kenitzer > Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD > (Phone: 301/286-2806) > > Pat Viets > NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information > Service, Suitland, MD > (Phone: 301/457-5005) > > RELEASE: c98-b > > HUGHES SELECTED TO BUILD WEATHER SATELLITES > > NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration > (NOAA) have awarded a $423 million contract to Hughes Space and > Communications, El Segundo, CA, for the manufacture, launch and > delivery on-orbit of up to four weather-monitoring Geostationary > Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES). > > The procurement of the GOES-N through -Q spacecraft marks the > extension of this multi-satellite program designed to provide > continuous monitoring of the Earth's weather systems and the > related space environment. The new spacecraft will be used to > continue and enhance the functions of the current GOES I-M series > of spacecraft. > > GOES spacecraft are a mainstay of modern weather forecasting, > providing meteorologists and hydrologists with visible and > infrared images of weather systems, and precise atmospheric > soundings. They orbit above the equator at a height of 22,238 > miles, stationed at 75 degrees west longitude and 135 degrees west > longitude to provide broad views of the Atlantic and Pacific > oceans where storms can be monitored while first forming. > > The basic contract value of $423.1 million provides for two > spacecraft, GOES-N and -O, at a fixed total price. There are > separate, fixed-price options for two additional spacecraft, GOES- > P and -Q, priced at $190.9 million and $185 million, respectively. > > Along with these options, there are additional, separately > priced potential contract costs. They include Government-directed > task assignments; additional integration and test support; > changes to Government-furnished equipment deliveries; program- > related launch vehicle changes; directed launch delays (due > primarily to on-orbit satellites lasting longer than expected) and > related spacecraft ground storage; and post-storage testing. > > The GOES program is a partnership between NOAA and NASA's > Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. NOAA is responsible > for program management and budget, determining the technical > requirements for the spacecraft, operating the spacecraft in orbit > and disseminating the resulting data. The NASA Goddard GOES > project office is responsible for the acquisition of the > spacecraft and oversight of the contract, and will support NOAA > during the post-launch operations phase. > > The first spacecraft purchased under this contract will be > ready for launch in October 2001. GOES N-Q will carry an Imager > and a Sounder to provide regular measurements of Earth's > atmosphere, cloud cover and land surfaces. Two of them also will > carry a Solar X-ray Imager and Space Environment Monitor instruments. > > -end- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 11:30:36 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: TNC/EMWIN anyone wishing to add to this thread please do so on my message board at http://www.InsideTheWeb.com/messageboard/mbs.cgi/mb24717 i have reposted a few replies i got by email for anyone interested. tnx,matt QUESTION: is anyone using a tnc to decode emwin? if so please email me with some details. brand, software, what you are getting, hows the reception. tnx matt/n9npp it seems a few people wanted me to forward info to them so to make it easier i suggest just use my message board for this........ tnx,matt ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 13:54:06 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: NE Ga warning times Paul Pettit wrote: > > >He also pointed out that WSB had received public > > >reports of a tornado 15-20 minutes before a warning was given out. No > > >word on whether or not they forwarded the reports to NWS. > > I agree with Stephen here. If WSB has a report and did not relay it that > is very sad and should really be looked into. As an Emergency Manager and former TV reporter/news director what irks me to no end is seeing a TV news operation, boasting that it is the "most watched" in the market, spending 20 minutes in a newscast talking to people tear filled eyes complaining that they "had no warning," when NWS had a warning out 20 minutes before the event...and the same TV station refused to carry a 20 second EAS alert because "they interfere with our programming." Frequently the implication is that NWS screwed up, when fact is that the TV station is NOT serving the community. -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" (NEW!) My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" "Every so often, I like to stick my head out the window, look up, and smile for a satellite picture." --Steven Wright, peripheral visionary ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 00:16:05 GMT From: J Subject: Needed - Current Australian Surface Station Plot Map Anyone know where on the Net I can get a simple Australian Surface Plot? Used to be at gopher://atm.geo.nsf.gov:70/I9/weather/Rest_of_World/Australia_Stations.gif but that server seems to have been shut down and http://atm.geo.nsf.gov is no help. I have found the manually drawn difax chart and the grads charts, etc, but what I really want is a simple surface plot like the ones at Purdue (like the Mexico at http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/surface/sfc_mex.gif ) Thanks in advance. -------------------------------------------------------------- This newspost is spam-protected by supplying a false e-mail. ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 19:35:10 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Needed - Current Australian Surface Station Plot Map On Mon, 23 Mar 1998, J wrote: > Anyone know where on the Net I can get a simple Australian Surface > Plot? > > Used to be at > gopher://atm.geo.nsf.gov:70/I9/weather/Rest_of_World/Australia_Stations.gif > but that server seems to have been shut down and > http://atm.geo.nsf.gov is no help. > > I have found the manually drawn difax chart and the grads charts, etc, > but what I really want is a simple surface plot like the ones at > Purdue (like the Mexico at > http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/surface/sfc_mex.gif ) > > Thanks in advance. > Hello Jesse, THE STORM MACHINE has them. http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ Go to the "Surface plotting machine", choose Australia. It's available at :39 after the hour. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 20:59:49 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: RAMS Model > > Can anybody tell me about (or point me in the right direction) on the > experimental RAMS model? I know it is being run by NWS-LBB and have > looked at it on their webpage, but don't know much about it....looks > interesting. By the way, hats off to NWS-LBB as they have an *excellent* > website done by Tim Doggett. If you live and/or chase the panhandles and > West Texas, you'll love it. Check it out! You might also be interested in the ARPS model, which being run for in an experimental mode for American Airlines and Tinker AFB. We're making a lot of changes at the moment with a goal of getting everything settled for spring by April. http://hubcaps.ou.edu More about the ARPS model: http://wwwcaps.ou.edu/ARPS/ (includes a nice supercell animation) The ARPS code is available for research use and can be run on a PC workstation with Linux up to a Cray T-3E distributed-memory supercomputer. Enjoy... -Keith ------------------ Keith Brewster kbrewster@ou.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Mar 1998 to 22 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Mar 26 01:23:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2516 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627138-11042>; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 14:12:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04476; Tue, 24 Mar 1998 00:08:30 -0600 Message-Id: <199803240608.AAA04476@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 00:01:29 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Mar 1998 to 23 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e25aae9052b0f1c89e2cd6ec8ae4d1a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 172 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tornado Safety Query 2. Rockingham Co. NC Storm 3. NE GA tornadoes 4. [Fwd: NE Ga warning times] 5. Central NC Storms 6. WXP +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 01:18:57 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: Tornado Safety Query wrote: > Hi, > > What kind of safety drill would one make if staying in an Apartment > Complex. The Apt. Complexes are shared by all and the only place > where one could go in a Tornado Warning is the Laundry Roon on the > lowest floor or maybe, the corridor on the lowest floor. Is that > considered safe enough in case of Tornado Warnings ? How strong are > the Apt. structures, if made by brick, in case of tornadoes ? Laundry room would be good. And if it is below ground, even better. Paul Pettit ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 01:18:55 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: Rockingham Co. NC Storm Comment on Stephen Marks tornado report. Thanks Stephen, I looked for RDU as warning office. Since Blacksburg is responsible office I will try to pull down their warnings, etc. Spotters are a great asset to the warning services. As a former MIC I know very well, keep up the good work. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 09:50:32 -0500 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: Re: NE GA tornadoes Item Subject: Message text One should wonder what would have occurred if the radar at ATHENS, GA would still have been in operation under WSO AHN. Additional radars always help, but in this time of modernization and reduction in the number of offices, the value of a strong spotter network and cooperative media are essential in complementing the NWS mission. -Corey Lefkof -PSU '91 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 09:05:54 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: [Fwd: NE Ga warning times] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------F1444C1138B27DF445E81CFA Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit > Steve Adams wrote: > > Here's an idea... how about a program that would assist TV stations > > > in radar-gap areas in buying their own radar. The TV station would then > > provide the NWS access to it's data in real-time via a dedicated line. > > It would then be up to the TV station to keep the radar in good working > > order. Or perhaps in smaller markets, a group of TV stations. This > > would be a fine example of public-private partnership working to > > benefit us all. > > > > Great idea Steve...and one that the NWS has REPEATEDLY turned down...I know > of many cases where TV stations were willing to make radar data available to > NWS offices (at their own expense), and the NWS flatly refused. I agree > totally that there are radar gaps between 88d's, and there are some > privately owned dopplers which would help to bridge this gap, but the NWS > will not allow this. Maybe someone out there in the NWS could explain why? > > (All the above opinions are my own, and not neccessarily those of my > employer) > > Jason Kelley --------------F1444C1138B27DF445E81CFA Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Message-ID: <3515CF82.762C6155@baronservices.com> Date: Sun, 22 Mar 1998 20:57:06 -0600 From: Jason Kelley X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.04 [en] (Win95; I) MIME-Version: 1.0 To: Steve Adams Subject: Re: NE Ga warning times References: <199803221522.JAA13673@steve.awis.com> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Steve Adams wrote: Here's an idea... how about a program that would assist TV stations > in radar-gap areas in buying their own radar. The TV station would then > provide the NWS access to it's data in real-time via a dedicated line. > It would then be up to the TV station to keep the radar in good working > order. Or perhaps in smaller markets, a group of TV stations. This > would be a fine example of public-private partnership working to > benefit us all. > Great idea Steve...and one that the NWS has REPEATEDLY turned down...I know of many cases where TV stations were willing to make radar data available to NWS offices (at their own expense), and the NWS flatly refused. I agree totally that there are radar gaps between 88d's, and there are some privately owned dopplers which would help to bridge this gap, but the NWS will not allow this. Maybe someone out there in the NWS could explain why? (All the above opinions are my own, and not neccessarily those of my employer) Jason Kelley --------------F1444C1138B27DF445E81CFA-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 10:25:20 -0500 From: Scott Stanford Subject: Central NC Storms Does anyone have available any images from the central North Carolina storms that occurred Friday 11/20/98? Scott Stanford Workstation Development and Support sfs41094@glaxowellcome.com http://www.mindspring.com/~sc0tt ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 15:16:41 -0600 From: Steve Erickson Subject: WXP Question: How does one obtain/purchase a site license for the WXP now that Mr Vietor has departed Purdue? Are there other sources for a license or can one still acquire from Purdue U.? Thanks in advance for help. steve ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Mar 1998 to 23 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Mar 26 01:24:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-9642>; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 14:07:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28702; Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:05:21 -0600 Message-Id: <199803250605.AAA28702@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 00:01:41 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Mar 1998 to 24 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e2a7112699da727e9f2f8e6b2514160 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 158 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NEXRAD PICS OF GEORGIA TORNADO 2. InterWarn Software (3) 3. Addendum 4. Tornado kills 66 in India +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 10:12:58 -0600 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: NEXRAD PICS OF GEORGIA TORNADO Have any of the Nexrad pics of the ne georgia area at the timeof the Deadly tornado been put online yet. Many NWS offices put the radar pics online shortly after a major event. It would be interesting to see the BR and SRV data. _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 18:39:14 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: InterWarn Software Hi there...I'm relatively new to the list...but that's not important. I'm a junior at Penn State, majoring in Meteorology and was just hired by the NWS CTP as a GS-4 Trainee (so there IS coming hope in the NWS). Anyways, one of my hobbies is to write weather software. I currently have a web-based warning scroller (similar to something you see on TWC) which sends off the EAS tone and automatically checks for warnings..then scrolls them. You can check it out at http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~emb146 for example. My second program which should be done within days now is something that I think is going to be somewhat of a major breakthrough in NWS warning dissemination I hope (the tornado death rate of late has really gotten me sick to my stomach)..and coincidentally enough it's Severe Weather Awareness week here in Pennsylvania. In short, the software is a win95 application that combined with a direct connection to the internet allows one to have total access to all the NWS warning, watches, statements, etc...without having to touch anything. You can choose as many NWS offices as you want to listen for, have the EAS activation tone or any other sound file play when a warning is issued, and have the warnings auto-print! YOu can also choose WHICH warning types you want to listen to...Special Marine Warning isn't too helpful in Kansas....nor are Winter Storm Statements in Key West. I should have a beta version out shortly...which upon approval will be ready for mass marketing...I want to make it cheap enough so like the SAME radios...we can have a product that John Q. Public can afford. I do have one silly question on my program...it seems to me that the Tulsa NWS office changed headers from TUL to TSA. Also, a severe thunderstorm warning was issued from TSA the other day...but under WMO Header WUUS54..NOT under the standard WUUS01 or WUUS1 header that is reserved for SVR t-storm warnings...anyone there or elsewhere know what the heck happened?? Certain warning packages check the warning WMO header for decoding and that could cause major trouble. I would appreciate a response. In any case, thanks for an info you care to send me and for reading this "tome" :) Take care and keep up the interesting posts! -Evan Bookbinder -------------------------------------------------------------- Evan Bookbinder Penn State Meteorology email: emb146@psu.edu bookbinder@psumeteo.psu.edu emb146@ugems.psu.edu Rhode Island Weather Page -- http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~emb146 (814) 862-4151 -------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 19:08:48 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: InterWarn Software > In short, the software is a win95 application that combined with a direct > connection to the internet allows one to have total access to all the NWS > warning, watches, statements, etc...without having to touch anything. Curious how often it checks, and how reliable the source it checks is? > I do have one silly question on my program...it seems to me that the Tulsa > NWS office changed headers from TUL to TSA. Also, a severe thunderstorm > warning was issued from TSA the other day...but under WMO Header > WUUS54..NOT under the standard WUUS01 or WUUS1 header that is reserved for All WMO headers are changing in stages, forecasts already did and warnings are on the board. But some of the new offices already have them in place -- North Webster (IWX) issues SVR's as WWUS53, public info statements (formerly ABUS34) as AXUS43, etc. Check the NWS Office of Met homepage, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 20:11:58 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: Addendum Actually..in response to my own notes... noticed that all of the products sent by TSA lately had the WMO header xxxx54 Anyone know why?? -Evan ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 18:06:03 -0800 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Tornado kills 66 in India CNN is reporting a tornado killed 66 and injured over 1000 people in India. Sarcasm On >>cnn didn't say if any warning was given.....<< Sarcasm off..... I've read some articles somewhere on the web mentioning that India has great dynamics for large tornado's.....unfortunatly, India isn't as developed as other countries, and I'm sure many of the deaths were due to 1000's of people living in straw huts, etc.... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Mar 1998 22:10:45 -0600 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: InterWarn Software On Tue, 24 Mar 1998, Evan Bookbinder wrote: > In short, the software is a win95 application that combined with a direct > connection to the internet allows one to have total access to all the NWS > warning, watches, statements, etc...without having to touch anything. You > can choose as many NWS offices as you want to listen for, have the EAS > activation tone or any other sound file play when a warning is issued, and > have the warnings auto-print! YOu can also choose WHICH warning types you > want to listen to...Special Marine Warning isn't too helpful in > Kansas....nor are Winter Storm Statements in Key West. I should have a beta > version out shortly...which upon approval will be ready for mass > marketing...I want to make it cheap enough so like the SAME radios...we can > have a product that John Q. Public can afford. Damn. Somebody beat me to the idea. I'm currently writing a similar program for Linux. I'm basically re-inventing the wheel as I am recreating Tim Vasquez's WeatherGrafix, but on the Unix platform. I may put the re-invention of the wheel on the back burner and focus on my EMWIN parser for Linux. Once I have it stable, (and all the headers quit changing ;) I hope to start working on a plotting mechanism for watches and surface data. Don't hold your breath on this one. :) John ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Mar 1998 to 24 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4357 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626036-22922>; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 14:13:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38460; Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:07:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199803260607.AAA38460@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:02:54 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Mar 1998 to 25 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8dafb2205135ebd98cd90de658a8121 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 734 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Warning Scroller (2) 2. InterWarn Software (4) 3. Tornado kills 66 in India (2) 4. Tornado in India? 5. NWS Tulsa 6. RAMS Model 7. TV Met Job Available (New Haven, CT) 8. Marine Coastal Zone Resources 9. Indian News Re: Tornado kills 56 in Indi 10. Indian News Re: Tornado kills 66 in India 11. Aerostat Lightning Alarm Panel +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:04:34 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: Warning Scroller Well....I'm amazed at the response I've gotten for the TWC-like warning scroller on my page...so I thought I'd give details on it here before I get flooded :) If you want to see an actual warning scrolling right now... here is one of the sites I set up (blasted El Niño) in CA http://www.weatherguide.com/main/lawx/default.shtml (P.S. turn your speakers up!) Ok..for those of you who've emailed me/plan to....the program is not free unfortunately. Not fair to those who've already purchased. ***What the scroller does*** Using a combination of C++/CGI/Java a program that resides on your server automatically parses the NWS office(s) of your choice for new warnings, and then scrolls them on the applet (if you click on the applet you can view the warning(s). It checks for everything...Tornado, Svr t-storm, flooding, special marine, non-precip (fog, wind, etc.), special statements, winter storms,..... If there is an active warning, you will hear the EAS activation tone when you load up the page!!! Money Requirements: $75 for personal use (can discuss a cheaper rate for educational purposes, etc..). Includes lifetime updates and installation. For Commerical use...please contact me. System Requirements: Because of the nature with which the program was designed to be universal on all broswers...you need to have access (like telnet) to your ISP server (like for the above I had to be able to telnet into weatherguide.com) and into your directory I will install the c++, java, etc...programs... Therefore, your ISP *must* have a C++ compiler and SSI (Server Side Include) in order for this to work. It sounds complicated, but it actually isn't. That's about it...I encourage you to check that page above (neat page too!). For those of you not interested, sorry for spamming the list if that's what ya call it. I appreciate all the answers concerning the WMO header changes (guess I got some work to do thanks to Tulsa and Indianapolis). Will have updates on the Win95 program within the week. Midterms here...so I'm REALLY swamped. Thanks again for all the response. -Evan -------------------------------------------------------------- Evan Bookbinder Penn State Meteorology National Weather Service, State College, PA Vice President Severe Weather Operations Penn State University email: emb146@psu.edu bookbinder@psumeteo.psu.edu Rhode Island Weather Page -- http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~emb146 (814) 862-4151 -------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:19:36 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: Re: InterWarn Software That's the benefit of the prog..it's all user interactive...YOU get to choose how often it checks...every minute...every 20 minutes..etc... >Curious how often it checks, and how reliable the source it checks is? Thanks! >All WMO headers are changing in stages, forecasts already did and warnings >are on the board. But some of the new offices already have them in place -- >North Webster (IWX) issues SVR's as WWUS53, public info statements (formerly >ABUS34) as AXUS43, etc. Check the NWS Office of Met homepage, >http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om -Evan ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 02:41:28 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Tornado kills 66 in India Ken Tarvin wrote: > CNN is reporting a tornado killed 66 and injured over 1000 people in India. > I've read some articles somewhere on the web mentioning that India has > great dynamics for large tornado's.....unfortunatly, India isn't as > developed as other countries, and I'm sure many of the deaths were due to > 1000's of people living in straw huts, etc.... I'm working up a meteorological summary of this storm for Storm Track Online. In short, three isolated supercells developed 50-100 nm southwest of Calcutta and were responsible for the devastation. Modified soundings for the storm environment showed a CAPE of 2200 and EHI of 4.1. Nowhere near the kinds of conditions associated with the Tangail, Bangladesh tornado of 5/13/96, but plenty enough for a Great Plains chase day. For lots of info on India and Bangladesh storm environments, see the article I wrote at: http://www.weathergraphics.com/stormtrack/bang.htm For what it's worth, CNN already kicked the tornado story off their web site, and it's getting only a small paragraph in USA Today Online. It's looking to me like you'll want to go to www.washingtonpost.com for any hope of balanced coverage. The Associated Press also gets a thumbs down for using the nebulous term "cyclone" in referring to Monday's Bangladesh storms. Tim Vasquez Norman, Oklahoma 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 03:04:40 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Warning Scroller can you do anything to lower that price tag? maybe widen your clientele base by making it work not only for people with web pages but maybe scroll along the bottom of the browser window? take a look at win weather for 19.99. i admit it's a nice addition to a weather page instead of plain links if you can afford 75 bucks. matt Evan Bookbinder wrote: > > > Money Requirements: $75 for personal use (can discuss a cheaper rate for > educational purposes, etc..). Includes lifetime updates and installation. > For Commerical use...please contact me. > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:47:50 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: InterWarn Software > That's the benefit of the prog..it's all user interactive...YOU get to > choose how often it checks...every minute...every 20 minutes..etc... Where does it get the data from? IWIN? One of the gopher/http servers that carries wx-data? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 08:39:57 -0500 From: STRAUSS@WCUVAX1.WCU.EDU Subject: Tornado in India? I'm disturbed by this news item. Each time it was upgraded, it appeared more like a "tornado" and less like an "Indian subcontinent tornado" i.e., a hurricane. Does anyone have proof it was what in the US is a tornado? Or was it really a hurricane? Thanks, Bob ==================================================================== Bob Strauss "Duke of URL" Cataloger Hunter Library Western Carolina U. strauss@wcu.edu -------------------------------------------------------------------- Three of the most useless actions in the USA: 1. Trying to use the "red string" to open a bandaid. 2. Pressing the "pedestrian pacifier" button to change the flow of traffic, in order to allow one person to cross the street. 3. Sending requests for new channels to cable companies. 4. Hoping that Ken Starr could conduct an honest investigation. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 07:35:43 -0600 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: NWS Tulsa Evan, you can check out NWS Tulsa's web page at . They have a site that's nicely done, and does have a "contact" page. Gayland Kitch Emergency Management & Communications The City of Moore, Oklahoma --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I do have one silly question on my program...it seems to me that the Tulsa NWS office changed headers from TUL to TSA. Also, a severe thunderstorm warning was issued from TSA the other day...but under WMO Header WUUS54..NOT under the standard WUUS01 or WUUS1 header that is reserved for SVR t-storm warnings...anyone there or elsewhere know what the heck happened?? Certain warning packages check the warning WMO header for decoding and that could cause major trouble. I would appreciate a response. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 09:35:19 -0600 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: RAMS Model Two things... 1) Thanks for the nice comments on the page. While I origionally put this page together a couple of years ago, I want to make sure that the proper credit is given here. NONE of the home page would be possible without the input, direction, and support of the fine folks at the Lubbock NWSFO. In addition, I have moved on to a faculty position at Texas Tech, and the LBB staff are now the ones to be thanking!! I'm not sure of the exact plans, but keep an eye open for redesign of the page in the near future. I'm not sure what threy have in mind, but I'm sure it will be great. 2) As far as RAMS goes... one source of information about the model itself is "http://rams.atmos.colostate.edu". In the LBB implementation, it is run twice a day, using 12Z and 00Z eta grib data for initialization and boundary conditions. RAMS is run with full microphysics turned on, and with nested domains (coarse grid of 36 km res and fine grid of 12 km). The model run is not nearly as sophisticated as those run at other places that can ingest many other data sources (mesonet, 88D winds, satellite clouds, etc, etc). But even in this limited fashion the model has demonstrated some "skill" at developing mesoscale features, both in terms of type of the nature of convection and general location. I always try to provide the appropriate disclaimers, but it does give the forecasters an additional tool to use for looking at convective intiation. -Tim Steve Miller wrote: > > Can anybody tell me about (or point me in the right direction) on the > experimental RAMS model? I know it is being run by NWS-LBB and have > looked at it on their webpage, but don't know much about it....looks > interesting. By the way, hats off to NWS-LBB as they have an *excellent* > website done by Tim Doggett. If you live and/or chase the panhandles and > West Texas, you'll love it. Check it out! > > http://dryline.nws.noaa.gov/quick_wx/index.html > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 16:10:04 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Tornado kills 66 in India Tim Vasquez wrote: > The Associated Press also gets a thumbs down for using the > nebulous term "cyclone" in referring to Monday's Bangladesh storms. > Not to mention their Pulitzer-class prose "a tornado driven by winds of up to 115 mph..." -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 10:52:47 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (New Haven, CT) METEOROLOGIST (WTNH) We're looking for an energetic, creative, and AMS certified meteorologist to join our Storm Team. We have a Weather Genesis weather computing system, live radar and huge SchoolNet Weather reporting network. We also have all sorts of tricky weather to predict: Hurricanes, blizzards, tornadoes, thunderstorms and the occasional heat wave. If you love weather and understand hot to make it understandable on television, rush your tape to Billy Otwell, News Director, WTNH-TV, 8 Elm St, New Haven, CT 06510. EOE. No Calls. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 12:37:31 -0500 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: Re: InterWarn Software >My second program which should be done within days now is something that I >think is going to be somewhat of a major breakthrough in NWS warning >dissemination I hope (the tornado death rate of late has really gotten me >sick to my stomach)..and coincidentally enough it's Severe Weather >Awareness week here in Pennsylvania. >... >which upon approval will be ready for mass >marketing...I want to make it cheap enough so like the SAME radios...we can >have a product that John Q. Public can afford. > Now how does 'John Q. Public' afford the PC and continuous internet connection in order for the software to be useful? Is John Q. Public easily made PC and Win95 literate? How about a UPS system for the PC if the power goes out? How long will your hard drive last if your PC is on 24 hours a day? How will the software 'alarm' like a weather radio so that I can be in another part of the house and not have to watch the PC all the time? I applaud your software efforts but the idea that the software is useful for 'John Q. Public' is a bit of a stretch. WX and Internet types will love it though. Lee Roth N8JQY ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 13:10:42 -0500 From: Bob Broedel Subject: Marine Coastal Zone Resources ===================================================================== Date: Mon, 23 Mar 1998 10:26:56 -0600 Subject: NET-HAPPENINGS Digest - 23 Mar 1998 - Special issue (#1998-202) ----------------------------- Subject: RESOUR> Marine Coastal Zone Resources >From : Paul Fervoy Date : Saturday, March 21, 1998 10:26 AM Marine Coastal Zone Resources (Spanish) Recursos para la Zona Marino-Costera (Espanol) Centroamerica - Central America http://www.acceso.or.cr/zmc THE Fundacion Acceso, Avina and The Nature Conservancy (TNC) have joined efforts in creating a Central American marine costal zone resource site. The site currently offers a database of research and protection organizations and professionals, a searchable webiste directory with classified and indexed references to relevant Internet resources, and a bibliographic database of more than 25,000 bibliographic references from primary reference centers in the region including the IUCN, EARTH, PACA, CEDARENA and others. ---------------- LA Fundacisn Acceso, la Fundacisn Avina y The Nature Conservancy (TNC) unieron esfuerzos para arrancar una iniciativa de crear un sitio Internet dedicado a proveer informacion sobre y para las organizaciones que trabajan en beneficio de las zonas marino-costeras de centroamerica. El sitio actualmente cuenta con una base de datos de actores, un directorio buscable de sitios Internet clasificados y indexados y una base de datos bibliografica con mas de 25 mil registros bibliograficos de principales centros de documentacion de la region, incluyendo la UICN, la escuela EARTH, PACA, CEDARENA y otros. ----------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 13:56:24 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: InterWarn Software >I may put the re-invention of the wheel on the back burner and focus on my >EMWIN parser for Linux. Once I have it stable, (and all the headers quit >changing ;) I hope to start working on a plotting mechanism for >watches and surface data. If your program will be free (read: GNU), you may want to check the plotting routines in Charlie Kline's wxmap, the sources for which are probably still available SOMEWHERE around here... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 19:47:09 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Indian News Re: Tornado kills 56 in Indi wdr@world.std.com (William D Ricker) wrote: > REDIFF / UNI > Another website in India has the United News of India feed, > which DOES have the word TORNADO ... > http://www.rediff.com/news/newshom1.htm > * 175 die in Bengal cyclone, thousands homeless > The Alipore meteorological office said the inclement weather > was caused by a trough of low pressure that extended from > Madhya Pradesh to coastal Bengal across Orissa. What a shocking coincidence... both the Andover and Jarrell storms were associated with a trough of low pressure! I think the Alipore weather office may have pointed us towards an amazing correlation.. Sorry, couldn't resist when I saw that news excerpt! Thanks for the international news leads. Tim Vasquez Norman, Oklahoma 71611.2267@compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 00:20:51 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Indian News Re: Tornado kills 66 in India In article <199803250244_MC2-37DD-81F2@compuserve.com>, Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> wrote: > Ken Tarvin wrote: >> CNN is reporting a tornado killed 66 and injured over 1000 people in India. > In short, three isolated supercells developed 50-100 nm southwest of thanks for the meso overview! > For what it's worth, CNN already kicked the tornado story off their ... > you'll want to go to www.washingtonpost.com for any hope of balanced > coverage. Tune BBC Shortwave, tune in the world. (Just don't listen to Domestic shortwave, they're nuts.) Or use the real internet news sources ... which isn't the TV networks, its the newspapers and their wire services in conversion to retail wire copy. The W'Post is only one example (and not a particularly great one, just ok.) LONG clippings attached below, from INDIAN media. > nebulous term "cyclone" in referring to Monday's Bangladesh storms. Yes, the BBC anchor interviewing the local correspondant didn't understand why there wasn't warning given, as he new Cyclones (tropical) are seen on the radar days in advance. Apparently outside the US, both tornadic cyclones and typhoonish cyclones are called cyclones. The local correspondant tried to explain but she never said Dorothy drops a house, so I don't think his coin ever dropped. One of the local papers invents "whirlicane" since they don't have the word "tornado" ... see below... The question of warning was asked by Indians interviewed on the BBC news. The reporter did explain that in the US we have the new radar system to provide advance warning of this sort of storm (meaning tornadic cyclone and NEXRAD) but that India doesn't have it (meaning a good network of doppler radars), so they only had a marine warning (don't fish under the squall line) up, no urban watch, apparently. Other news coverage YAHOO! has upgraded thier newsfeeds. http://dailynews.yahoo.com/headlines/world/ -> http://headlines.yahoo.com/Full_Coverage/World/India_Tornado/ - Cyclone toll mounts to 200; rescue efforts on - Times of India - Cyclone Leaves Trail of Death in India - Reuters - Tornado toll rises to 200 - The Hindu - Rescuers looking for survivors of cyclone in India - CNN - Devastating 200 kilometers per hour Tornado kills over hundred people and leaves thousands injured in Orissa-West Bengal border - Asian Buying Consortium News links -> http://www.yahoo.com/Science/Earth_Sciences/Meteorology/ and .../Meteorology/Weather_Phenomena/Tornadoes/ http://weather.yahoo.com/regional/India.html and of course The Tornado Project Online This AM's London Telegraph has just India tornado A TORNADO has killed at least 105 Indians and injured 1,100 in Orissa and West Bengal states, with 500 still missing. Return to top http://www.telegraph.co.uk All India / India on Internet http://www.allindia.com/news/default.asp General News * Tornado kills 105 in Midnaore, Balasore; thousands homeless The Statesman, 25 Mar 1998 At least 105 people were killed and 1,100 injured near the Orissa-West Bengal border when a tornado struck at 200 kmph yesterday afternoon. About 500 villagers are missing - many almost certainly trapped under collapsed buildings-raising fears the toll could be much higher. More than 8,000 are homeless. Most died when the roofs and walls of nearly 500 houses came tumbling down; some others were plucked 10 feet off the ground and dashed to their death. The West Bengal chief minister, Mr Jyoti Basu, has directed the district administration to act as swiftly as possible. The West Bengal finance department has granted Rs 1 crore as relief for the tornado victims, the state finance minister, Dr Asim Dasgupta said on Tuesday night. * Tornado toll rises to 175 in WB [West Bengal] PTI, 25 Mar 1998 The death toll rose to 175 in the tornado devastated blocks of Midanpore district in West Bengal today while 500 persons were still trapped under the debris of collapsed houses and 3,000 others injured. Reports reaching the district control room here said 145 bodies had been recovered so far with rescue and relief operations launched on a massive scale by the eastern frontier rifles, state armed police, fire brigade, state relief department and NGOs. So far 145 bodies have been recovered. The condition of those trapped under the rubble could not be ascertained. The whirlicane which tore through twenty villages of dantan, mohanpur and egra blocks yesterday, hit 10,000 people and flattened 15,000 houses. REDIFF / UNI Another website in India has the United News of India feed, which DOES have the word TORNADO ... http://www.rediff.com/news/newshom1.htm * 175 die in Bengal cyclone, thousands homeless The death toll in the cyclone that ravaged the coastal Midnapore district in Bengal and neighbouring Orissa on Tuesday has risen to 175. Officials said 145 bodies have been recovered so far. Over 3,000 people have been injured in the disaster. Hundreds of cattle perished in the cyclone with a wind speed of 200 km per hour. Datanone and Egra blocks in Midnapore were the most affected by the calamity. The injured have been admitted to hospitals in Kharagpur and Egra, while some have been shifted to Calcutta. Nearly 9,000 houses have been razed to the ground, leaving thousands of people homeless. The state government has sanctioned Rs 10 million for the victims. Even as an angry mob gheraoed a local block development officer in the affected area, relief and rescue work was undertaken on a war footing. Medical teams have been rushed to the area and hundreds of paramedical staff deployed to take care of the victims. The Alipore meteorological office said the inclement weather was caused by a trough of low pressure that extended from Madhya Pradesh to coastal Bengal across Orissa. A United News of India correspondent, who visited the affected areas in Orissa, saw three villages under the Laxmannath gram panchayat completely flattened by the cyclone which hit the area at about 1540 hours on Tuesday. Fifteen school children were buried alive when the concrete roof of the Goberghat school building collapsed under the impact of the storm. The children had taken shelter there following heavy rains. Several other children were rescued from the debris and admitted to the nearby hospital in a critical condition. Ten workers of Basudevpur working in a brick kiln in Sijuasaratha village were also killed as the brick mound caved-in under the impact of the cyclone. UNI * Opposition protest forces PM to send all-party team to tornado-hit areas Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee today offered to send an all-party delegation to the tornado-hit areas of Bengal and Orissa for an on-the-spot assessment of the situation. The issue rocked both Houses of Parliament, with an dissatisfied Opposition staging a walkout in the Lok Sabha. In the Rajya Sabha, the prime minister told agitated members that the government wanted to ensure speedy relief for the cyclone-hit, and there was no politics involved. Earlier, proceedings were halted for 30 minutes as several members described as ''political discrimination'', the government's decision to send a couple of MPs along with Minister of State for Agriculture Som Pal to the cyclone-hit areas. More MPs from the area, the agitated members said, could have been sent as part of the team. Since the decision was taken in haste, the prime minister admitted, there could have been omissions. This, he added, could be overcome now. He explained that he was under the impression that Indrajit Gupta, the MP from Midnapore, was concerned with Midnapore so he had immediately contacted him. However, Gupta said he could not be part of the delegation. Trinamul Congress leader Mamta Banerjee and another MP, A K Swain, then volunteered to go along with Som Pal, so they were sent, Vajpayee said. He offered to send other MPs of the affected areas if they wanted to go. Almost the entire Opposition walked out of the House in protest against the composition of the three-member team. Sharad Pawar, leader of the Opposition, pointed out that the untimely rains and storms had caused huge losses in Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Maharashtra, Orissa and Uttar Pradesh. He wanted the government to make a statement on the issue before Thursday. Ajit Panja (Trinamul Congress) and Somnath Chatterjee (CPI-M) also aired their views on the situation, but nothing could be heard in the din. The Opposition, led by Chatterjee and Pawar, charged Vajpayee with practising politics even in the case of a natural calamity. The members were particularly incensed when it was announced that Banerjee was part of the team. Earlier, the CPI-M and Congress members had rushed to the well of the House, but were coaxed into returning to their seats by Chatterjee and P J Kurien (Congress), even as Speaker G M C Balayogi urged them to listen to the prime minister who was on his feet. Making a brief statement in the Lok Sabha, Vajpayee announced an immediate grant of Rs 10 million from the Prime Minister's Relief Fund for the relief and rehabilitation of the tornado victims. Vajpayee said he had, in addition, sanctioned an advance allocation of Rs 100 million each for Orissa and West Bengal to meet the situation arising out of the calamity. The PM said a Nor'wester had struck Balasore and Midnapore districts of Orissa and West Bengal last night, killing about 100 people, including 15 children, and devastating thousands who were left homeless. UNI * Tornado toll claims 83 lives in Bengal With the recovery of more bodies, the toll in Tuesday's killer tornado that left a trail of destruction in Dantan area of coastal Midnapore district rose to 83 today, West Bengal Irrigation Minister Debabrata Bandopadhyay informed the state assembly. Making a suo motu statement in response to persistent demands by members for information, Bandopadhyay said Dantan and Egra bore the brunt of the devastation. Most of the victims belonged to these two areas. He said rescue and relief operations had been launched on a war footing to find more victims trapped under the debris. Four state ministers -- Panchayat Minister Surya Kanta Mishra, Health Minister Partha De, Water Resources Minister Nandagopal Bhattacharya and Relief Minister Satya Ranjan Mahato -- had left for the spot last night itself to coordinate the relief and rescue operations, while Minister of State for Irrigation and Waterways Ganesh Mondal left early today. Several well-equipped medical teams comprising doctors, para-medical staff and nurses had been despatched to the affected zones to cope with the emergency situation, Bandopadhyay said. Moreover, hundreds of the injured were being treated at different hospitals in Kharagpur and Belda areas. UNI -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Mar 1998 22:28:10 -0600 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Aerostat Lightning Alarm Panel Howdy Wx-Talkers: I recently purchased a lot of weather measuring equipment in an auction. One item in the lot is an Aerostat Lightning Alarm Panel. I do have the schematic for the logic circuitry. On the schematic, it says in addtion to the above: system/subsystem LPLWS; Range Contractor Engineering; Pan American World Airways, Inc and RCA Corporation. Item description: it mounts in a standard 19" rack, runs on 115V, has a small speaker for an alarm. Also... it has a counter or range selector. I'm not sure which. If anyone has information about this piece of equipment, I sure would like to hear from you. Private replies are welcome. Thanks! Bruce ------------ Bruce Haynie Lubbock, TX a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems bhaynie@ttu.edu Specialist "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Mar 1998 to 25 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4014 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-3157>; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 14:18:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17976; Fri, 27 Mar 1998 00:04:52 -0600 Message-Id: <199803270604.AAA17976@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 00:00:41 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Mar 1998 to 26 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f8f036baa0567498b67c0bf7786e40b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 373 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. InterWARN 2. Warning Scroller 3. Help with monthly climate data conversion 4. Animation of downloaded satellite images - HELP 5. Severe Weather Preparedness - on IRC Undernet's #weather channel 6. Weather Radios and Pagers (3) 7. India Tornado or Hurricane 8. Weather Radios and Pagers-addition +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 01:23:04 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: InterWARN OK OK OK Lee :) obviously most people don't have a continuous connection..although the number of dedicated phone lines continues to dramatically increase across the country. Obviously, if you didn't HAVE a PC or an internet connection, then what good is this in the first place. If you can't afford batteries...what good is a NOAA wx radio :) The people that have emailed me are the type of people who CONNECT to the internet in times of severe weather and this would be useful to them. I know you were kidding around "I HOPE"...but by John Public...I meant that it wouldn't take a computer science major to operate the program...not that everyone in the US would be able to use it (altho over the next few years, I think you'll be amazed at the number of direct lines, ethernet/lan, and cable modem connections you see to the net). Ok..if the power goes out, you're screwed :) The program is meant for spotters, hobbyists, etc...to not have to keep clicking links around to search for warnings..not as a safety net for them not paying attention to other outlets...similarly, what about a TV? >How about a UPS system for the PC if the power goes out? Studies have shown that leaving your computer on 24/7 uses less overall energy and wear and tear then pushing that power button to boot the system...can you hear the juice flow? :) >How long will your hard drive last if your PC is on 24 hours a day? turn up your speakers REAL loud....do you see how pathetic this post is getting? :) That EAS tone is certainly annoying enough to hear at long distances. >How will the software 'alarm' like a weather radio so that I can be in >another part of the house and not have to watch the PC all the time? Thank you very much..I hope you enjoyed my comments too :) >I applaud your software efforts but the idea that the software is useful >for 'John Q. Public' is a bit of a stretch. WX and Internet types will love >it though. Evan Bookbinder -------------------------------------------------------------- Evan Bookbinder Penn State Meteorology National Weather Service, State College, PA Vice President Severe Weather Operations Penn State University email: emb146@psu.edu bookbinder@psumeteo.psu.edu Rhode Island Weather Page -- http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~emb146 (814) 862-4151 -------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 01:27:33 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: Warning Scroller Price so far hasn't seemed to be an issue with most people...but as I mentioned in my post...if you want to talk about it...feel free to email me at emb146@psu.edu. I would be more than happy to work something out with you if that's the main issue. As for scrolling along the bottom of the browser...you mean in the status bar??? That still only works when you're on a certain page. Unless I'm missing your point. -Evan >can you do anything to lower that price tag? maybe widen your clientele base >by making it work not only for people with web pages but maybe scroll along the >bottom of the browser window? take a look at win weather for 19.99. i admit >it's a nice addition to a weather page instead of plain links if you can afford >75 bucks. >matt ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:01:51 -0000 From: CB Subject: Help with monthly climate data conversion Can anyone give me some help regarding the monthly climate data from the NCDC at the following URL : http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/online/gsod.html I download the metric data for the world each month, and convert it using the WinZip 6.3. However, when I try to import it into Excel 97, I receive the message that the file is too big, and only a portion of the origianl is converted into Excel format. Does anyone have a solution to this problem? I'd appreciate any help. Thanks, Craig Braithwaite carona@bluewin.ch ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 07:07:35 -0000 From: CB Subject: Animation of downloaded satellite images - HELP I download the hourly FY-2 and GMS-5 images daily, and would like to be able to animate them so that I can see the progress of fronts, storms, etc. Can anyone tell me which programme(s) I should use and where they are available. I'd appreciate the help. Thanks, Craig Braithwaite carona@bluewin.ch ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 05:44:06 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Severe Weather Preparedness - on IRC Undernet's #weather channel Hi All: Join us at the IRC's Undernet #weather channel Friday nite at 9pm ET - 5Z - 6pm WT, for an open discussion on severe weather and severe weather preparedness. Some of the best severe weather people and chasers will be there to cover safety, warnings, forecasting and maybe even chasing. See you all there! Richard rjhstorm Halter ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 11:33:42 -0600 From: Adam Brase Subject: Weather Radios and Pagers Hi All, I am looking for a good weather radio, preferably portable. I know that we discuss them quite a bit here so I thought you could give me some input as to which you think is the best. Another idea would be to have the warnings and watches paged to me over an alpha numeric pager, but I haven't found an economical option in our area. I have also heard that the paging service isn't all that reliable. Anyone out there have the service? If so I would like to hear your comments...especially if you live in the Upper Midwest or Minnesota/North Iowa...oh and "where did you get it from?" You can reply directly to me, Thanks. Adam Brase KTTC-TV WeatherCenter Rochester MN brase@millcomm.com *_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_*_ *_*_*_*_* Adam Brase brase@millcomm.com 4620 18th Ave NW #6 Rochester MN 55901 (507) 286-9088 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 13:15:38 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: India Tornado or Hurricane If I understood correctly, there is some question as to whether this storm was associated with a tropical cyclone (the term whirlycane??? was used). Satellite photos of the Indian subcontinent are available at http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goesg/earth/Weather/FY-2/ If you hurry, the photos from March 24 are still on line. I assume that March 24 is the correct date (remember the international date line!). Cheers, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | In order to discover new oceans, one must have the courage to lose | | sight of the shore. | \ --author unknown / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 12:47:42 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Weather Radios and Pagers > Hi All, > I am looking for a good weather radio, preferably portable. I know > that we discuss them quite a bit here so I thought you could give me some > input as to which you think is the best. Well if you've been following the discussion here you've likely heard the generally good reviews of the new Radio Shack SAME weather radio. If not, you can read about it in the April Popular Communications magazine. It can be run from a battery but reportedly has a very short battery life. Maybe they should make an accessory battery cover that would allow external DC power in addition to the AC power cord. In the past the Maxxon alert weather radio has been touted. The Radio Shack regular tone-alert radio is pretty good but lacks some features.... also it can only tune 3 frequencies. The cheaper RS models have poorer quality receivers and you may have problems in fringe areas. Check your local Best Buy or other electronics retailer for Maxxon, the corner RS, otherwise. PS Re: Minn. My sister has a cabin in northern Minn; SAME wouldn't help a lot there -- when a warning comes out for St Louis County, it could still be 80 miles away. Would be good info, anyway, since they've had some derecho events cause damage in the past. -Keith ----------------- Keith Brewster OU/CAPS speaking for myself ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 16:07:49 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: Re: Weather Radios and Pagers At 12:33 PM 3/26/98 , you wrote: >        Another idea would be to have the warnings and watches paged to me >over an alpha numeric pager, but I haven't found an economical option in our >area.  I have also heard that the paging service isn't all that reliable. >Anyone out there have the service?  If so I would like to hear your >comments...especially if you live in the Upper Midwest or Minnesota/North >Iowa...oh and "where did you get it from?" >        You can reply directly to me, Thanks. >      Hello Adam,      In response to your post to the WX-Talk list here is some information for you. I use an alphanumeric pager to receive NWS watches and warnings. I usually receive them in a few seconds to a couple of minuets after they are issued. I have my own alpha pager and the weather alert company I use sends the info directly to it.      I have been very pleased with their service. Here is some info you might need:      Widespread Weather Services      www.widespread.com      1-800-845-0383 Remember that you will need your own alpha pager, and service. (owned or leased, it doesn't matter). As far as being reliable, I've had no real problems to speak of. I might have missed one alert, last summer and being in south Florida, we get severe t-storm warnings every other day in the summer.      No paging company is going to be able to give you perfect service 100% of the time. If you are moble and/or in a fringe coverage area, and wearing a pager on your belt you can expect to maybe miss a message or have a garbled one.      You will have to find out which paging company has the best coverage in your area. Check with local law enforcement officers, firefighters, EM's , and EMS personnel on how their service works. These are the people that are going to be moble alot in the fringe areas.      Remember that pagers are wonderful devices but are sometimes hampered by having no external antenna, but for what they are they do a good job. In some places a NOAA reciever will work the best and in some places the pager will work the best. I like the pager because of the portability, and the silent alert setting.      If you have any questions please feel free to contact me thru the list or direct. J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn Advanced Spotter Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Mar 1998 16:19:02 -0500 From: Eric Gissendaner Subject: Re: Weather Radios and Pagers-addition At 12:33 PM 3/26/98 , you wrote: >        Another idea would be to have the warnings and watches paged to me >over an alpha numeric pager, but I haven't found an economical option in our >area.  I have also heard that the paging service isn't all that reliable. >Anyone out there have the service?  If so I would like to hear your >comments...especially if you live in the Upper Midwest or Minnesota/North >Iowa...oh and "where did you get it from?" >        You can reply directly to me, Thanks. >      Hello Adam,      In response to your post to the WX-Talk list here is some information for you. I use an alphanumeric pager to receive NWS watches and warnings. I usually receive them in a few seconds to a couple of minuets after they are issued. I have my own alpha pager and the weather alert company I use sends the info directly to it.      I have been very pleased with their service. Here is some info you might need:      Widespread Weather Services      www.widespread.com      1-800-845-0383 Remember that you will need your own alpha pager, and service. (owned or leased, it doesn't matter). As far as being reliable, I've had no real problems to speak of. I might have missed one alert, last summer and being in south Florida, we get severe t-storm warnings every other day in the summer.      No paging company is going to be able to give you perfect service 100% of the time. If you are moble and/or in a fringe coverage area, and wearing a pager on your belt you can expect to maybe miss a message or have a garbled one.      You will have to find out which paging company has the best coverage in your area. Check with local law enforcement officers, firefighters, EM's , and EMS personnel on how their service works. These are the people that are going to be moble a lot in the fringe areas.      Remember that pagers are wonderful devices but are sometimes hampered by having no external antenna, but for what they are they do a good job. In some places a NOAA receiver will work the best and in some places the pager will work the best. I like the pager because of the portability, and the silent alert setting.      If you have any questions please feel free to contact me thru the list or direct. *** I wanted to add this. Make sure you check how many pages you can receive in a month. Some companies (or their representatives) might fail to advise on that little detail. If you receive more pages than you are allotted, you could have a hefty addition to your bill. I speak from experience. *** J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn Advanced Spotter Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Mar 1998 to 26 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:46:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3496 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626480-7906>; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 14:10:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31490; Sat, 28 Mar 1998 00:06:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199803280606.AAA31490@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Mar 1998 to 27 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5427a45551497981faf62577bb5bd3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 157 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Animation of downloaded satellite images 2. Which Weather Radio to Buy 3. India Tornado or Hurricane 4. Weather Radios and Pagers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 06:32:11 -0000 From: CB Subject: Animation of downloaded satellite images Yesterday I submitted the following message, but forgot to mention that I use Windows 95 as my platform. Can anyone help me? "I download the hourly FY-2 and GMS-5 images daily, and would like to be able to animate them so that I can see the progress of fronts, storms, etc. Can anyone tell me which programme(s) I should use and where they are available. I'd appreciate the help." Thanks, Craig Braithwaite carona@bluewin.ch ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 10:15:36 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Which Weather Radio to Buy Colin Meyer of the Radio Shack's Weather Products Group wanted to respond to a posting about which is the best weather radio to buy, however, he's having some problems communicating with WX-TALK. I'm posting his message for him (slightly edited so that the context of who said what is clear). I originally replied to Adam's via private e-mail --recommending Radio Shack's new WRSAME-capable model. The radio receives all channels, has an external antenna connector, is battery operable, and decodes the SAME codes. Whenever someone asks me what weather radio to buy I always ask "what do you plan to do with it?" While not everybody *needs* SAME-capable radios, I will never recommend a weather radio unless it at least has tone-alert. It would be like a sales person recommending a smoke detector but telling the customer "the battery is optional". ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Adam Brase originally asked... >I am looking for a good weather radio, preferably portable. I know >that we discuss them quite a bit here so I thought you could give me some >input as to which you think is the best. Keith Brewster replied... >In the past the Maxxon alert weather radio has been touted. The Radio >Shack regular tone-alert radio is pretty good but lacks some features.... >also it can only tune 3 frequencies. The cheaper RS models have >poorer quality receivers and you may have problems in fringe areas. >Check your local Best Buy or other electronics retailer for Maxxon, >the corner RS, otherwise. Colin's replies (via this posting)... RadioShack has two desktop regular tone-alert models. The analog tuning model (12-240) as noted above is indeed 3 channel. That model is discontinued and you might have a hard time finding it in a RadioShack store. In addition, they also offer a desktop Digital Tuning model (12-247) that tunes all 7 frequencies. If portable is what you are after, RadioShack also offers a 7 channel Digital Tune portable alert model (12-246) that has a battery life of 100-140 hours, or even a portable yellow sports water resistant model with 7 channels and alert. Colin Meyer *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 22:48:21 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: India Tornado or Hurricane In article <199803261816.MAA43568@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu>, Steven M. Babin wrote: > If I understood correctly, there is some question as to whether this > storm was associated with a tropical cyclone (the term whirlycane??? > was used). As I understand it, it's a question of the British versus American English dialects. Most of Indian news still use British, which uses cyclone generically for all rotary storms, and primarily but not exclusively for hurrican/typhoon/tropical storm; but also for meso-cyclone and tornadic cyclone. One of the news services there specifically called it a Tornado (the most Americanized service?). The term whirlicane was new to me, I don't know if that was that editor's nonce coinage or what, but that is not normal tropical (synoptic) cyclone. The BBC reporter on scene specifically said if it were a tropical cyclone they'd have had warning, but since it was a marine squall line that came unexpectedly ashor (maritime warnings were up), there was no warning. (An expat here says even if they'd wanted to issue a warning, there's no infrastructure to do so for short-fuze warnings. Don't know if that's true, but the national and/or West Bengal provincial governments will be investigating what warning could/should be available.) Any confusion remaining is due to reporters reporting from confused reports or reports not in their native dialect without full research. The press reports I posted earlier are unequivocal, if you allow for variance in dialect. BILL -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Mar 1998 22:56:15 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Weather Radios and Pagers > I am looking for a good weather radio, preferably portable. Right now, these are contradictory requirements. We can hope the next generation of portable WR's will be SAME equipped. I know I'm not the only one thinking about home-brewing a 12V adapter for the RadShack SAME radio ... I had a bad experience with a portable WR (never toned out, probably factory defect; may cut it open some day and see if I can fix it), but most probably work ok. Portables will have the problem that if you're not near the tower you may need to keep the antennna extended to get it to tone-out -- so you need to try each location you'll be at weekly test time, argh! unless it has a signal strength meter you can remember how strong to get town on ... But that would apply to any WR in portable application, unless you connect it to a rough mount antenna in a permanent mobile set-up (I'm wondering about a directional coupler, filter, and and pre-amp, so one could share my ham transciever's gain antenna without getting cooked ...). Good Luck! Bill 73 de N1VUX BPL with Tech-No-Code Skywarn Alt. net control, EMA : Waltham 146.64- / Boston 145.23- Still certified code free, but not much longer? passed 3B and 4A! QST TO ALL NO-CODERS: Subscribe to QST and let your ARRL elected officials know you'll be voting in the next division and section elections. -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Mar 1998 to 27 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1126 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-7416>; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 14:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47772; Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:05:21 -0600 Message-Id: <199803290605.AAA47772@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 00:01:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Mar 1998 to 28 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: df0d7c501bc63a032c46cac288e5194d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 142 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Radios and Pagers 2. Mattoon Illinois Radar Images...Check Out This Close Up...Two Mesos 3. InterWARN 4. WANTED A SOURCE OF FREE (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 06:06:31 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Re: Weather Radios and Pagers Check out the Uniden BCT-12 at the following URL: http://www.uniden.com/docs/product/prdetail.asp?prodcode=BCT-12&prodcat=7 I use this scanner while chasing. It has a weather alert mode, but does NOT have SAME capability). If it loses the WX radio signal, it will automatically scan the WX radio freqs until it finds another transmitter. Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/radio.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 08:41:59 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Mattoon Illinois Radar Images...Check Out This Close Up...Two Mesos Hello Weather Friends Severe Weather Season Has Arrived. Tornado Warnings in my area were coming out left and right last night! I have placed several radar images out on a web page...I used the InterRad Radar system to capture these pictures. Check out the Mattoon close up...obviously two mesos are present...damage was reported in the city of Mattoon from this apparent tornadic thunderstorm. http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/InterRad.html Reports continue to come in of "extensive damage". A bit early to determine how bad the system was. Have fun viewing these images....the St. Louis squall line image is also impressive. Winds with that line of storms were reportedly between 70 and 80 miles per hour. Numerous reports of damage were received by the National Weather Service Office in St. Louis, Missouri. Again here is the URL you need to visit.... http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/InterRad.html Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net to report any problems or if you have any comments! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 09:54:50 -0600 From: "Ken Z." Subject: Re: InterWARN > is a NOAA wx radio :) The people that have emailed me are the type of > people who CONNECT to the internet in times of severe weather and this > would be useful to them. I know you were kidding around "I HOPE"...but by There is no way I'll leave my home computer on in severe weather or any thunderstorm - I've lost a modem and a hard disk that way (power surges, close lightning strike). I'll always unplug the phone line from the modem when thunderstorms are moving in. However, at the office, which has UPS, you're program might be a good idea as computers at the office are always on. Ken Z. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 13:58:38 -0400 From: Mike Blake Subject: WANTED A SOURCE OF FREE TO: wx-talk@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu Hi Iam looking for a source of email weather forecasts that i could subscribe to preferably for free. Iam also looking for a source of ftpmail sources of satellite pictures. I am currently limited to eamil and the web is out . any addresses you could provide me would be greatly appreciated. MIKE ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 20:23:38 -0500 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: Re: WANTED A SOURCE OF FREE At 12:58 PM 3/28/98 , you wrote: >TO: wx-talk@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu > >Hi > >Iam looking for a source of email weather forecasts that i could subscribe to >preferably for free. >Iam also looking for a source of ftpmail sources of satellite pictures. >I am currently limited to eamil and the web is out . any addresses >you could provide me would be greatly appreciated. > >                     MIKE > Mike try these. www.infobeat.com (sign up thru this web site if you can to receive free forecasts) and www.stormwarn.com ( severe weather watches and warnings). If you dont have internet access I'm not sure what an alternative would be. Maybe someone else has another suggestion. Good luck! J.Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 21:04:26 -0700 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: Re: WANTED A SOURCE OF FREE Hi there! If you would possibly want severe weather warnings e-mailed to you for free send a message to: wx-alert@wats-ts4-12.ppp.iadfw.net Write "help" in the text of the message. Hope I was of some help! -Jeff Schmidt jschmid2@hannibal.wncc.cc.ne.us ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Mar 1998 to 28 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626799-24941>; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 14:17:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21948; Mon, 30 Mar 1998 00:06:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199803300606.AAA21948@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 00:02:48 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Mar 1998 to 29 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec41e84a5451ae226bdc70391af246f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 265 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lightning Strike Maps 2. WANTED A SOURCE OF FREE 3. satellite pictures (3) 4. Real Audio National Weather Service Information 5. Sundays Radar Images of Tornadic Storms 6. St Peter Tornado Images 7. tropical cyclone advisory archive +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 28 Mar 1998 23:18:31 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Lightning Strike Maps Hi all, Seems that my "source" http://www.gopost.com/wx9selig.html and http://www.gopost.com/wx8uslig.html has pulled the plug..... Not sure if it's temporary or not as the www.gopost.com website appears to be down as well.... Are there any other "free" near time/ real time lightning strike maps out on the web? Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 06:50:21 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: WANTED A SOURCE OF FREE if you dont have the internet.....have your weather sent to a juno email address. infobeat will send plain text or html and there are others i cant think of . i use to get it sent to me but i started to get piled up and through most of it out so i stopped it. matt J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > > > > > > MIKE > > > > Mike try these. > www.infobeat.com (sign up thru this web site if > you can to receive free forecasts) > and > www.stormwarn.com ( severe weather watches and > warnings). > > If you dont have internet access I'm not sure what an alternative would > be. Maybe someone else has another suggestion. Good luck! > > J.Eric Gissendaner > jericg@peganet.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 08:22:39 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: satellite pictures I know that there has been some discussion on this topic, but I may have missed the answer. I can download the sattellite pictures, but would like to find a program that would loop them. Any ideas? Chris Sells SELLS ENTERPRISES IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 11:53:15 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: satellite pictures how about a simple animation program that webmasters use for doing .gifs? then you could even post them on your web page for us to view. matt Chris Sells wrote: > > I know that there has been some discussion on this topic, but I may have > missed the answer. I can download the sattellite pictures, but would like > to find a program that would loop them. Any ideas? > Chris Sells > SELLS ENTERPRISES > IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! > http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 12:38:26 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: satellite pictures At 08:22 AM 3/29/98 -0800, Chris Sells wrote: >I know that there has been some discussion on this topic, but I may have >missed the answer. I can download the sattellite pictures, but would like >to find a program that would loop them. Any ideas? Video For Dos is a great tool. You can create avi animations from a series of images. You may need to convert the satellite images to another format such as targa or bmp. You can do this with "Paint Shop Pro" or "LView". ftp://ftp.ou.edu/simtelnet/msdos/animate/vfd_16d.zip Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 12:56:08 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Real Audio National Weather Service Information Greetins Fellow Weather Fans Sorry for the double-post but not everyone subscribes to both lists! I lost all of the data from my e-mail and browser. I am looking for URL information concerning sites that offer National Weather Service Real Audio. Two weeks ago someone on the list sent me a URL that included some links to different states that have Real Audio for local NWS offices. I would appreciate any help on this subject matter. Thanks Derek Dodson Southern Illinois derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 17:29:31 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Sundays Radar Images of Tornadic Storms Greetings Everyone Derek Dodson Southern Illinois Back by popular demand...this is the URL for radar images from Sundays Tornado Outbreak in the Northern Plains. http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/InterRad.html Hit refresh if you visited the site yesterday for the Mattoon images. I will add more through the evening...some amazing images here folks! By the way...InterRad is only $10 per month!!!!! You can find me on Mirc at #weather Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 21:54:17 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: St Peter Tornado Images I added the St Peter tornado...hook echo is entering the city on this radar image and the velocity is interesting. Be sure and hit refresh if you visited the page earlier today so you get the latest images http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/InterRad.html Tomorrow looks bad here in the Ohio Valley...could be a long day. Derek Dodson Southern Illinois derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Mar 1998 23:28:51 -0600 From: Michael Bath Subject: tropical cyclone advisory archive Hi All, Does anyone know of a site that has an archive of all southern hemisphere tropical cyclone advisories issued by offices other than the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre? ie. Nadi, Brisbane, Darwin, Perth and South Africa ? I am aware of a weeks current archive here: gopher://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/1/severe/pactrop and here: gopher://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/11/severe/indtrop but I am after records going back as long as possible. Any help would be most appreciated. regards, Michael Bath *=====================================================* Australian Severe Weather http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ thunderstorms, tropical cyclones, weather photography storm chasing, tornadoes, observations, lightning *=====================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Mar 1998 to 29 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:47:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1804 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626236-8514>; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 14:15:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA10276; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:05:36 -0600 Message-Id: <199803310605.AAA10276@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 00:00:18 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1998 to 30 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d3c87980ebc2eeac091a321edaf48c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 372 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RECON Data Inquiry 2. Radio Shack WRSAME Weather Radio 3. Request for Video Footage 4. ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-STORM MESO DISCUSSION PROBLEM 5. Green Sky at Night? (6) 6. El Nino bulletin online! 7. Minnesota Tornado Information Avialable 8. reading the radar +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 06:10:07 EST From: Baker2345 Subject: RECON Data Inquiry Hi All, Could anyone decipher this Recon info taken from the following web site: gopher://metlab1.met.fsu.edu:70/11/data/weather/RECON Also would there be a key to all the symbology somewhere? 791 URPN10 KNHC 250134 NOAA2 WXWXE CALJET OB 12 KNHC 97779 01344 41357 35000 67400 35057 85//8 /5708= Thank you, Glenn Bergman ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 08:36:12 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Radio Shack WRSAME Weather Radio My weather radio got a good workout Friday night (though I wasn't actually home when the warnings were issued). One thing I did notice, however, is that the tiny LED indicators are so bright and the statement descriptors printed on the radio (in white lettering) are so faint, that it's difficult to read the statement type by looking at the LEDs (unless you already know what the colors mean). The LCD display, however, was doing a nice job of flashing the words "TORNADO" and "WATCH". Perhaps the next generation of weather radio might print the warning type in black letters on a white background. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 09:04:16 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Request for Video Footage I've received a request for actual tornado footage (home video or news) of a tornado that struck North Carolina recently. If anyone has a lead on footage please contact me directly at chris@siu.edu. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 09:10:41 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-STORM MESO DISCUSSION PROBLEM Eric Musselman wrote me... >My subscription options include MESO on the Wx-Storm list, but I haven't >received anything... ever...I just tried to add +MESO but the server says >I'm already getting it. Is this a systemwide problem or is something wrong >with my individual subscription? Once again NWS has made some circuit changes without announcing things. It appears that the Meso Discussions were dropped from the Domestic Data Service. However, they are still available on the Public Products Service and I've switched my decoder to monitor that circuit. I just received a Meso Discussion for Wisconsin and it was successfully processed by WX-STORM. Thanks Eric for pointing out this problem. In the future, please don't anyone hesitate to write me if you suspect problems. Being that I receive weather data here from a number of different sources I don't necessarily subscribe to the actual data lists (like WX-STORM) which I administer. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 12:27:33 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Green Sky at Night? Friday night we had several radar-based tornado warnings in our area. At this point we've not seen any damage that can be attributed to anything other than ordinary high winds. While speaking a citizen from a nearby community, he told me the sky was green every time the lightning flashed. I've seen green skies during the day but at night my experience with green has been green associated with transformer explosions. I recall seeing some green Friday night but it could have been an optical illusion involving persistence of vision and staccato lightning. Has anyone experienced green skies at night? This same witness said he saw the tornado aloft and that it "was at least a mile wide". Take it for what it's worth. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 13:20:35 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: El Nino bulletin online! >From the NWS... 090 NOXX01 KWBC 301525 WE WERE REQUESTED TO URGENTLY DISSEMINATE THIS MESSAGE THROUGH THE GTS. PLEASE ASK YOUR RTH SUPERVISOR TO RE-TRANSMIT IT TO YOUR ASSOCIATED CENTRES. QUOTE TO WMO PERMANENT REPRESENTATIVES/DIRECTORS OF NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES. EL NINO UPDATE NUMBER 5 IS NOW BEING MAILED. AN ADVANCE ENGLISH VERSION IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING URL ON WORLD WIDE WEB HTTP //WWW.WMO.CH/NINO/WMOPR/UPDAT.HTML. FRENCH AND SPANISH VERSIONS WILL BE POSTED SHORTLY AT HTTP //WWW.WMO.CH/NINO/WMOPR/UPDAT-FR.HTML AND HTTP //WWW.WMO.CH/NINO/WMOPR/UPDAT-SP.HTML. THESE ADDRESSES MUST BE ENTERED IN LOWER CASE LETTERS. IF WEB ACCESS IS UNAVAILABLE LET SECRETARY-GENERAL KNOW IF YOU WANT EL NINO UPDATE SENT IMMEDIATELY BY E-MAIL OR FAX AND INCLUDE THE E-MAIL ADDRESS OR FAX NUMBER TO WHICH IT SHOULD BE SENT. UNQUOTE MANY THANKS J. ARIMATEA WMO SECRETARIAT GENEVA RTH WASHINGTON ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 14:43:17 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Minnesota Tornado Information Avialable Greetings Fellow Weather Fans I have put up a web page that contains a number of great links to local Newspaper and Television stations that are covering the tornado story in Minnesota. I also placed the radar images on that page. http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/Stpete.html I can be found on the Undernet in the #weather channel. Where all weather enthusiasts come to discuss current and developing weather across the United States. Download Mirc so you can join us! Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 16:21:19 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? On Mon, 30 Mar 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > Friday night we had several radar-based tornado warnings in our area. > At this point we've not seen any damage that can be attributed to anything > other than ordinary high winds. While speaking a citizen from a nearby > community, he told me the sky was green every time the lightning flashed. > I've seen green skies during the day but at night my experience with > green has been green associated with transformer explosions. I recall > seeing some green Friday night but it could have been an optical illusion > involving persistence of vision and staccato lightning. Has anyone > experienced green skies at night? This same witness said he saw the > tornado aloft and that it "was at least a mile wide". Take it for what > it's worth. ..Chris.. Remember my report a couple months back of green lightning starting above me and heading forwards a mile or two ahead of me and then coming down in a white flash to someplace up the road, whence an explosion of light? I still doubt it was CAUSED by a transformer explosion because it started ABOVE me and went forward, and THEN down. Everyone thought I was nutso. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 16:53:07 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? At 4:21 PM -0500 3/30/98, Todd L. Sherman wrote: >On Mon, 30 Mar 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > >> Friday night we had several radar-based tornado warnings in our area. >> At this point we've not seen any damage that can be attributed to anything >> other than ordinary high winds. While speaking a citizen from a nearby >> community, he told me the sky was green every time the lightning flashed. >> I've seen green skies during the day but at night my experience with >> green has been green associated with transformer explosions. I recall >> seeing some green Friday night but it could have been an optical illusion >> involving persistence of vision and staccato lightning. Has anyone >> experienced green skies at night? This same witness said he saw the >> tornado aloft and that it "was at least a mile wide". Take it for what >> it's worth. ..Chris.. > > Remember my report a couple months back of green lightning starting above >me and heading forwards a mile or two ahead of me and then coming down in a >white flash to someplace up the road, whence an explosion of light? > > I still doubt it was CAUSED by a transformer explosion because it started >ABOVE me and went forward, and THEN down. > > Everyone thought I was nutso. :) Green sky at night, lightning in sight? :) Matt ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:07:44 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: reading the radar Everybody please pardon my ignorance but would somebody please run over the color scheme on the interrad radar software. I believe I know but I'm not exactly sure. And how can hale be determined on the radar picture. Thanks for help. Chris Sells SELLS ENTERPRISES IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:50:15 -0600 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? > >On Mon, 30 Mar 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > > > >> Friday night we had several radar-based tornado warnings in our area. > >> At this point we've not seen any damage that can be attributed to anything > >> other than ordinary high winds. While speaking a citizen from a nearby > >> community, he told me the sky was green every time the lightning flashed. > >> I've seen green skies during the day but at night my experience with > >> green has been green associated with transformer explosions. I recall > >> seeing some green Friday night but it could have been an optical illusion > >> involving persistence of vision and staccato lightning. Has anyone > >> experienced green skies at night? This same witness said he saw the > >> tornado aloft and that it "was at least a mile wide". Take it for what > >> it's worth. ..Chris.. I seem to recall being told in a Meteorology class somewhere that the green sky was caused by absorption or reflection (can't remember) of certain wavelengths of light due to hail. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 22:05:00 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? On Mon, 30 Mar 1998, Steve M. Kile wrote: > I seem to recall being told in a Meteorology class somewhere that the green > sky was caused by absorption or reflection (can't remember) of certain > wavelengths of light due to hail. But sunlight is yellow wavelength, while lightning...well...it varies to the eye. Myself, I've seen bluish, bright-white, yellow-almost-white, deep-orange, and on rare occasion, almost-red. (Like my descriptions? 8-)) What of those wavelengths would when refracted by hail come back as green? And I'm willing to bet the people who saw green would if asked again describe it as a "blue-green". Like a turquoise. You see it in the clouds in daylight, then you see something similar when lightning flashes and illuminates the clouds from within. Why? Anyone know? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 22:11:35 EST From: GK0116 Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? In a message dated 98-03-30 13:28:08 EST, chris@LIB.SIU.EDU writes: > While speaking a citizen from a nearby community, he told me the sky was green every time the lightning flashed. I've seen green skies during the day but at night my experience with green has been green associated with transformer explosions. I recall seeing some green Friday night but it could have been an optical illusion involving persistence of vision and staccato lightning. Has anyone experienced green skies at night? As a trained weather spotter for over fifteen years, (and watching for fun almost as long before that...) I can recall that with some of the more tornadic-like storms and cells that I've encountered at night, there was a hint of the familiar olive-green signature of a nasty weather producer. Most of these times I've been in extremely dark locations away from city lights, but I sometimes thought I was being fooled by the distant artificial lighting, or other storm damage related events that contributed to this color. I don't find it unusual at all that a distinct color differentiation can be seen at night, although with the closer distance usually needed to be able to notice it, the "pucker factor" is greatly increased! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1998 to 30 Mar 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3778 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-8515>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 01:30:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id LAA19368; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:07:42 -0600 Message-Id: <199803311707.LAA19368@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:02:07 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Mar 1998 to 31 Mar 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ea3473c81db51e52c3e65f9773e29c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 822 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Loss of METAR/TAF Data 2. WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1998 to 30 Mar 1998 (2) 3. Green Lightning 4. Radio Shack WRSAME Weather Radio 5. Interesting Record Event Report (2) 6. El Nino bulletin online! 7. Green Sky at Night? (2) 8. Tornado Rotation Question (2) 9. RECON Data Inquiry +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 22:04:15 -0600 From: Weatherman Subject: Loss of METAR/TAF Data The "Institute of Aviation's Weather Information Center" webpage lost their METAR/TAF Reports link in the last few ays( http://www.aviation.uiuc.edu/institute/avilinks/weather/weather.html ). Says that Environment Canada didn't like them using their info. Anyone know if they have a site where I can access this data. It was a great site to get Observations and TAF all in one neat little package. Weatherman ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 05:52:43 -0600 From: Bob Weisman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1998 to 30 Mar 1998 ============================================================================= Bob Weisman, Professor/Meteorologist SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 5) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 MS 48 FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud State University EMAIL: scsweisman@stcloudstate.edu 720 4th Avenue South Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 Shirley: Daddy, I'm going to tell you a story. Dad: This isn't going to be another one of your sad stories, is it? Shirley: No, this is a happy story. Dad: OK, go ahead. Shirley: Once upon a time, there was a family of invisible people who flew on a plane to see their grandpa. Then, the plane hit....what was that called again? Dad: Turbulence? Shirley: Yes, they hit turbulence. It's not a sad story because the kids were wearing their seat belts. But, the mom and dad weren't and they hit their heads and they fell and they died and everyone cried and they put them in the box in the ground. The end. =============================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:58:11 +0100 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Green Lightning It has been my personal experience that green lightning is a sign of a very serious and potentially severe thunderstorm. I have spoken to Walt Zaleski, WCM at the the Tampa Bay NWSFO at past Skywarn training sessions about the phenomena. According to him, there has been no scientific study to his knowledge about the phenomena, but there has been speculation that it is caused by the light refracting off of ice crystals, ie: hail, or from a high amount of dirt and dust in the cloud due to a severe updraft from the surface level, al a tornado. -- *********************************************************************** Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 08:48:28 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Radio Shack WRSAME Weather Radio >From: Chris Novy >Subject: Radio Shack WRSAME Weather Radio > >My weather radio got a good workout Friday night (though I wasn't >actually home when the warnings were issued). One thing I did notice, >however, is that the tiny LED indicators are so bright and the statement >descriptors printed on the radio (in white lettering) are so faint, that >it's difficult to read the statement type by looking at the LEDs (unless >you already know what the colors mean). The LCD display, however, was >doing a nice job of flashing the words "TORNADO" and "WATCH". Perhaps >the next generation of weather radio might print the warning type in >black letters on a white background. ..Chris.. you can probably do this yourself...if the letters are raised from the panel. paint the area with the light color paint you want. paint will need to be thin. use a pad or fine brush with the dark color paint to touch the tops of the letters. on the other hand, maybe just taping a bit of hand-printed index card over the labels would do it. myself, i would be for backlighting a pane with the announcement screened on it. however, to do that well you have to do some serious engineering work and have to have a good assembly operation to get it together. if the LEDs are too bright, then maybe the unit needs a light sensor added to set the duty cycle to compensate for the room lighting. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 08:28:56 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Interesting Record Event Report This caught my eye this morning. Contrary to what the NWS person says, this sounds more like bad programming by the automated weather folks than a celsius->fahrenheit glitch (IMO, I supposed I must add :) ). Scott SXUS99 KFMY 302222 98089 2227 RERFMY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN, FL 520 PM EST MON MAR 30 1998 ...DESPITE RUMORS...FT MYERS DID NOT TIE A RECORD HIGH TODAY... FT MYERS PAGE FIELD REACHED A HIGH OF 89.1 DEGREES AROUND 3PM TODAY. HOWEVER IT MAY HAVE BEEN NOTED THAT THE 300 PM TEMPERATURE REPORTED WAS 90 DEGREES WHICH WOULD TIE A RECORD. ALTHOUGH NOT TECHNICALLY IN ERROR...THE 90 DEGREE REPORT IS MISLEADING. THE 89.1 DEGREE F IS 31.7 DEGREES CELSIUS...WHICH IS ROUNDED UP AND REPORTED IN THE OBSERVATION AS 32 DEGREES. THIS IN TURN IS CONVERTED BACK TO 89.6 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT (OR ROUNDED TO 90F) BY AUTOMATED WEATHER DECODER PROGRAMS. SO...THE OFFICIAL HIGH TEMPERATURE WAS ONLY 89F...DESPITE THE 90F READING AT 300PM. JUST ONE OF THE PITFALLS OF CELSIUS VS FAHRENHEIT. HOPE IT MAKES SENSE. NASH -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:39:49 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: El Nino bulletin online! Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > > >From the NWS... > > 090 > NOXX01 KWBC 301525 > WE WERE REQUESTED TO URGENTLY DISSEMINATE THIS MESSAGE THROUGH > THE GTS. PLEASE ASK YOUR RTH SUPERVISOR TO RE-TRANSMIT IT TO YOUR > ASSOCIATED CENTRES. > > QUOTE > TO WMO PERMANENT REPRESENTATIVES/DIRECTORS OF NATIONAL > METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES. EL NINO UPDATE NUMBER 5 IS NOW BEING > MAILED. AN ADVANCE ENGLISH VERSION IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING URL > ON WORLD WIDE WEB HTTP //WWW.WMO.CH/NINO/WMOPR/UPDAT.HTML. Gilbert: Tried that address, and got a 404...but also found the document at: http://www.wmo.ch/nino/updat.html Gary -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- "Windows 95: n., 32 bit extensions and a graphical shell for a 16 bit patch to an 8 bit operating system originally coded for a 4 bit microprocessor system, written by a 2 bit company that can't stand 1 bit of competition." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:05:49 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Interesting Record Event Report >This caught my eye this morning. Contrary to what the NWS person says, this >sounds more like bad programming by the automated weather folks than a >celsius->fahrenheit glitch (IMO, I supposed I must add :) ). > As one who deals with hundreds of obs every day (including FMY), I've seen many different kinds of coding mistakes that translate into really stupid looking obs. In this case however, the NWS guy is right. The 31.7 rounds to 32 and 32C is 89.6F, which rounds to 90F. The problem with FMY (and many other stations) is two-fold. First, they do not put out a "T" group in their remarks section, which reports the temperature and dewpoint to the tenth of a degree C. This gives sufficient accuracy to convert to Fahrenheit correctly. Second, FMY does not report 6-hour max/min data in the remarks section at 0,6,12,18Z times. This data, too, is reported to the tenth of a degree C and would have shown the max as 31.7C. What bugs me is that this data is available from the automated station. It is just not being reported. So... we get rounded (aka: inaccurate) data while the more accurate data goes unreported. Why? ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 09:14:12 -0600 From: Dan Kerl Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? > Friday night we had several radar-based tornado warnings in our area. > At this point we've not seen any damage that can be attributed to anything > other than ordinary high winds. While speaking a citizen from a nearby > community, he told me the sky was green every time the lightning flashed. > I've seen green skies during the day but at night my experience with > green has been green associated with transformer explosions. I recall > seeing some green Friday night but it could have been an optical illusion > involving persistence of vision and staccato lightning. Has anyone > experienced green skies at night? This same witness said he saw the > tornado aloft and that it "was at least a mile wide". Take it for what > it's worth. ..Chris.. My experience has been similar. I've seen emerald green illumination during lightning flashes in tornadic thunderstorms around here (HSV). This was a distinctly different color from the bluish green associated with the copper in exploding power equipment. The hue observed appeared quite pure, almost spectral in nature. -- Dan Kerl dlkerl@ro.com Pursuant to US Code, Title 47, Chapter 5, Subchapter II, Sec. 227, any and all unsolicited commercial e-mail sent to this address is subject to a download and archival fee in the amount of $500 (U.S.); unsolicited use denotes acceptance of these terms. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 10:20:31 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1998 to 30 Mar 1998 On green light.. I too have noticed this phenomena during severe storm periods. Light is more of olive green and various shades of olive green. Being at night, hardly a sunlight source. Need lots of lightning to see this though. Last time I saw this we had a tornado move through Wetumpka to the north of Montgomery. The green I was watching was associated with this storm. I have also had people tell me that the sky glowed. This glow had a greenish tint to it also. In Houston, tower kept reporting to me that sky was glowing out to west. I could not see this because of trees obscurring the western sky. They reported it several times. Thunderstorms moved over field later. At 8 AM when I got off mid, about a mile up the road a small tornado had ripped right through the area during the night. On another note. I tried to pull down the warnings for the Illinois storm and there were no warnings available from the Texas A&M site or the FSU site? Anyone know if tornado warnings were in effect for St. Peter and Mattoon? Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:17:48 -0500 From: Bernie Roche Subject: Tornado Rotation Question Hi: Do tornados rotate CW, CCW, or a combination of the two? And does the Coriolis effect play any part in this? Best Wishes, Bernie Roche ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 07:04:04 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: RECON Data Inquiry See below for details on how this report is coded. This text was cut from some instructions available on the internet which detail how to decode recon reports. Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________ Subject: RECON Data Inquiry Author: Baker2345 at SMTPLINK-FNOC Date: 3/30/98 6:10 AM Hi All, Could anyone decipher this Recon info taken from the following web site: gopher://metlab1.met.fsu.edu:70/11/data/weather/RECON Also would there be a key to all the symbology somewhere? 791 URPN10 KNHC 250134 NOAA2 WXWXE CALJET OB 12 KNHC 97779 01344 41357 35000 67400 35057 85//8 /5708= Thank you, Glenn Bergman +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html Guide to Decoding Reconnaisance Reports ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Reconnaissance reports, provide valuable information about the structure of tropical weather systems. This is the raw coded report sent from the aircraft to the National Hurricane Center. This message contains meteorological information including pressure, temperature, wind, clouds and turbulence. In addition, information about the capabilities of the aircraft are included, such as radar ability, means of wind speed determination, etc. Some of these reports are mandatory, and others are intermediate. Also, some reports provide additional data at the end that is not considered mandatory, but is useful. The following is the generic code used in the reports. Each item will be discussed separately, with a sample report decoded at the end. The first line of the report gives the mission identifier...this consists of: 1-Agency; 2-aircraft number; 3-number of missions in this storm system; 4-depression number; 5-storm name. AF554 WX OB 03 KMIA means this mission is flown by the Air Force, with aircraft number 554; observation number 3, reported to Miami. SYMBOLIC FORM ------------------- Section One..Mandatory 9XXX9 GGggI YQLaLaLa LoLoLoBf hhhdd ddfff TTTdTdw /jHHH ------------------- Section Two..Additional (appended to section one when available) 1kNsNsNs ChhHH ..... ..... 4ddff 6WsSsWdd 7IrItSbSe 7hhHH 8ddSrOe 8EwElci 9ViTwTwTw ------------------- Section Three..Intermediate 9XXX9 GGggI YQLaLaLa LoLoLoBf hhhdd ddfff TTTdTdw /jHHH ------------------- As can be seen above, each message consists of groups of five numbers. The positioning of each number in a group, and also the indicator numbers at the beginning of some groups, helps in the decode of the report. Beginning with section one, the mandatory reports, here is the breakdown of the code: 9XXX9...The 9's on either end of this group are simply indicator numbers. The XXX can be any of three possibilities depending on the aircraft. 222..means this is a mandatory report without radar capability. 555..means this is an intermediate report with or without radar capability. 777..means this is a mandatory report with radar capability. GGggI...GG is the hour of the report; gg is the minute of the report; I is an indicator regarding aircraft height and dewpoint sensing capability. 0..No dewpoint capability / aircraft below 10000 meters 1..No dewpoint capability / acft at or abv 10000 meters 2..No dewpoint cap / acft blo 10000 m / fl temp blo -50C 3..No dewpoint cap / acft aoa 10000 m / fl temp blo -50C 4..Dewpoint capability / aircraft below 10000 meters 5..Dewpoint capability / acft at or above 10000 meters 6..Dewpoint cap / acft below 10000 m / fl temp blo -50C 7..Dewpoint cap / acft aoa 10000 m / fl temp blo -50C YQLaLaLa...Y is the day of the week..Sunday=1...Saturday=7 Q is the quadrant of the globe the aircraft is located using the following decode... 0..0-90N / 0-90W 1..0-90N / 90W-180 2..0-90N / 180-90E 3..0-90N / 90E-0 4..Not used 5..0-90S / 0-90W 6..0-90S / 90W-180 7..0-90S / 180-90E 8..0-90S / 90E-0 LaLaLa is the latitude in tenths of degrees. 268 would be 26.8 degrees LoLoLoBf...LoLoLo is the longitude of the aircraft in tenths of degrees. 880 would be 88.0 degrees, 110 would be 11.0 or 111.0 depending on the quadrant of the globe indicator in the last group. B..Turbulence group as follows.. 0..No turbulence 1..Mdt turbulence..in clear air..infrequent 2..Mdt turbulence..in clear air..frequent 3..Mdt turbulence..in cloud..infrequent 4..Mdt turbulence..in cloud..frequent 5..Severe turbulence..in clear air..infrequent 6..Severe turbulence..in clear air..frequent 7..Severe turbulence..in cloud..infrequent 8..Severe turbulence..in cloud..frequent f..Conditions along route of flight as follows.. 0..In the clear 8..In and out of clouds 9..In clouds all the time /..Impossible to determine due to darkness or some other cause. hhhdtda...hhh gives the pressure altitude of the aircraft to the nearest decameter dtda..gives information about the wind group that follows. dt specifies if the wind is 0) Spot wind; 1) Average wind; or / meaning no wind report. da specifies how the winds were obtained, with 0) Winds obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems; 1) Winds obtained using other navigation equipment / techniques; / Navigator unable to determine wind or wind not compatible. ddfff...Wind direction and speed at the flight level of the aircraft. This is coded using the standard meteorological conventions. TTTdTdw...The temperature, dewpoint, present weather group at flt lvl. TT is the temperature in Celcius. If the temperature is negative, 50 is added to the absolute value of the temperature, and any hundreds digits are omitted. For example, a temperature of -60 would be coded as 10 (60+50=110 with hundreds omitted) To determine if the temperature is really +10 or -110, see the indicator number in the time group above. Msg temps are denoted as //. TdTd is the dewpoint at flight level. Dewpoints are encoded the same as temperature. When the dewpoint is colder than -49.4C, it is reported as // and a plain language remark is added with the actual dewpoint, i.e. DEW POINT -53C. w is the present weather group with the following meanings.. 0..Clear 1..Scattered clouds 2..Broken clouds 3..Overcast / Undercast 4..Fog, thick dust or haze 5..Drizzle 6..Rain (continuous or intermittent from stratoform clouds) 7..Snow, or rain and snow mixed 8..Rain (continuous or intermittent from cumuliform clouds) 9..Thunderstorm /..Unknown for any cause, including darkness /jHHH.../ is an indicator for this group j is the code for the level being reported by HHH in this group. The code is as follows... 0..Sea level pressure in millibars (1000's omitted) 1..200 mb lvl in geopotential decameters (1000s omitted) 2..850 mb lvl in geopotential meters (1000's omitted) 3..700 mb lvl in geopotential meters (1000's omitted) 4..500 mb lvl in geopotential decameters 5..400 mb lvl in geopotential decameters 6..300 mb lvl in geopotential decameters 7..250 mb lvl in geopotential decameters (1000s omitted) 8..D value in geopotential decameters (if negative, 500 is added to HHH) 9..No absolute altitude available, or geopotential data not within + or - 30 meters / 4 mb accuracy requirements. HHH..Geopotential height or sea level pressure of the level specified in the j indicator just above. The following sample report will now be decoded: AF360 WX OB 04 KMIA 97779 19324 40267 88600 55100 01012 56761 /4587 The above report states that the aircraft is Air Force with an identification number 360. This is the 4th observation being reported to Miami. This is a mandatory report and the aircraft is equipped with radar. The report time is 1932Z on Wednesday, the acft is blo 10000 meters and has dewpoint measuring capability. The report is from quadrant 0 which is in the northern hemisphere between 0 and 90W, at latitude 26.7N and longitude 88.6W. No turbulence or clouds were reported. The geopotential height of the aircraft at flt lvl is 5510 meters. Spot winds of 12 kts from 010 degrees were measure using doppler radar. The flight level is 5510 meters where the temperature is -6C and the dewpoint is -26C. Present weather is clear. The height of the 500 millibar surface is 5870 meters above sea level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Section Two..Additional (appended to section one when available) 1kNsNsNs ChhHH ..... ..... 4ddff 6WsSsWdd 7IrItSbSe 7hhHH 8ddSrOe 8EwElci 9ViTwTwTw This section is not always included, but when it is available, it is appended onto sections one or three with no special distinctive heading. Thus, if the mandatory or intermediate reports have extra groups, it is assumed that the format of these groups takes on the form of the generic code listed immediately above. The decode of section two..additional data..is as follows: 1kNsNsNs...1 is the indicator for this cloud group. k is the total number of cloud levels observed Ns is the eighths coverage of the most significant cloud present Ns is the eighths coverage of the second most significant cloud present Ns is the eighths coverage of the third most significant cloud present ------------------------ NOTE..IF MORE THAN THREE CLOUD LAYERS ARE OBSERVED, ANOTHER 1 GROUP WILL FOLLOW THAT REPORTS THE REMAINING LAYER INFORMATION ------------------------ Chshshtht...C is the cloud type corresponding to the first Ns report above. C is determined from the table below: 0..cirrus 1..cirrocumulus 2..cirrostratus 3..altocumulus 4..altostratus 5..nimbostratus 6..stratocumulus 7..stratus 8..cumulus 9..cumulonimbus /..Cloud type unknown due to darkness or other phenomena. hshs is the base of the cloud given in hundreds of feet if the number is below 50, i.e. 34 is 3400 feet. Numbers coded between 51 and 55 are not used. Numbers coded between 56 and 79 are cloud bases in in thousands of feet when 50 is subtracted from the number, i.e. 62 is a base of 12000 ft (62-50=12) htht is the top of the cloud using the same decode as the base given above. ------------------------ AT THIS POINT THERE WILL BE A FIVE NUMBER CLOUD GROUP (CHsHsHtHt) FOR EACH CLOUD LAYER AS INDICATED IN THE 1kNsNsNs GROUP. EACH OF THESE CLOUD GROUPS WILL FOLLOW THE FORM AS DETAILED IMMEDIATELY ABOVE, WITH CLOUD TYPE, FOLLOWED BY BASE HEIGHT AND TOP HEIGHT. ------------------------ 4ddff...4 is the indicator that surface wind data follows dd is the wind direction to the nearest ten degrees. 50 is added is the wind is over 100 kts. ff is the wind speed in knots. Wind speeds above 130 kts are not coded. 6WsSsWddw...6 is the group indicator Ws gives any significant weather changes as listed in the following table... 0..No change 1..Marked wind shift 2..Beginning or ending of marked turbulence 3..Marked temperature change (non-altitude) 4..Precipitation begins or ends 5..Change in cloud forms 6..Fog or ice fog begins or ends 7..Warm front 8..Cold front 9..Front, type not specified Ss is the distance of occurence of Ws above, where 0..No report 1..Previous position 2..Present position 3..30 nm 4..60 nm 5..90 nm 6..120 nm 7..150 nm 8..180 nm 9..More than 180 nm Wd is the distant weather, where 0..No report 1..Signs of a tropical cyclone 2..Ugly threatening sky 3..Duststorm or sandstorm 4..Fog or ice fog 5..Waterspout 6..Cirrostratus shield or bank 7..Altostratus / altocumulus shield or bank 8..Line of heavy cumulus 9..Cumulonimbus heads or thunderstorms dw is the bearing of Wd above, where 0..No report 1..NE 2..E 3..SE 4..S 5..SW 6..W 7..NW 8..N 9..All directions 7IrItSbSe...7 is the icing group indicator Ir is the rate of icing, where 7..Light 8..Moderate 9..Severe / Unknown or contrails It is the type of icing, where 0..None 1..Rime ice in clouds 2..Clear ice in clouds 3..Mixed ice in clouds 4..Rime ice in precipitation 5..Clear ice in precipitation 6..Mixed ice in precipitation 7..Frost (icing in clear air) 8..Nonpersistent contrails (under 1/4 nm long) 9..Persistent contrails Sb is the distance to beginning of ice, using the same table as dw above Se is the distance to ending of ice, using the same table as dw above 7hihiHiHi...7 is the icing group indicator hihi is the base of the icing, the same format as that used to report cloud bases hshs noted previously HiHi is the top of the icing, the same format as that used to report cloud bases hshs noted previously 8drdrSrOe...8 is the echo group indicator drdr is the bearing of the echo center in tens of degrees azimuth Sr is the distance to echo center, where 0..0 nm 1..10 nm 2..20 nm 3..30 nm 4..40 nm 5..50 nm 6..60-80 nm 7..80-100 nm 8..100-150 nm 9..Greater than 150 nm /..Unknown Oe is the orientation of echo, where 0..Circular 1..NNE-SSW 2..NE-SW 3..ENE-WSW 4..E-W 5..ESE-WNW 6..SE-NW 7..SSE-NNW 8..S-N /..Unknown 8EwElceie...8 is the echo indicator group Ew is the echo width or diameter using the same format as Sr above El is the length of major axis using the same format as Sr above ce is the character of the echo, where 1..Scattered area 2..Solid area 3..Scattered line 4..Solid line 5..Scattered all quadrants 6..Solid, all quads /..Unknown ie is the intensity of the echo, where 2..Weak 5..Moderate 8..Strong /..Unknown 9ViTwTwTw...9 is the group indicator Vi is the inflight visibility, where 1..0 to 1 nm 2..1 to 3 nm 3..over 3 nm TwTwTw is the sea surface temperature in tenths of degrees ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Section Three..Intermediate 9XXX9 GGggI YQLaLaLa LoLoLoBf hhhdd ddfff TTTdTdw /jHHH The decode of section three is exactly the same as that in section one..mandatory information..as described above. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 16:34:17 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Tornado Rotation Question > Do tornados rotate CW, CCW, or a combination of the two? > Both CW and CCW have been observed. > And does the Coriolis effect play any part in this? > Nope -- too small a scale (in space and time) for the Coriolis force to matter. -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 11:01:44 -0600 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? First, sunlight is not limited to the "yellow" wavelength. Solar energy covers a range of wavelengths, with most of the radiant energy between .3 and 2.5 microns... which includes all wavelengths of visible light. In fact, what we preceive as the colors around us during the day is the reflected energy at these different wavelengths reaching our eyes (i.e. the colors not absorbed by something). Second, lighnting can reach temperatures far hotter then the apparent temperature of the sun. I'm not sure if lightning emits as a blackbody, but certainly I would expect lightning to emit all wavelengths of visible light equally, resulting in white light. Any variation in color of lightning that you describe would result from those wavelengths not being scattered or absorbed, but making it to your eye. So if you see blue lightning, then blue is the only color making it to your eye from the lightning... all the other colors have been scattered or absorbed somewhere along the way. The color of clouds is another matter entirely, since you are dealing with reflected and transmitted energy... not emitted energy. Now there are endless possibilities of what can happen depending on the source of the light (sun or lightning), the medium the light is interacting with (air, cloud droplets, precip, dust, etc), the amount of that medium (thickness of cloud, density of rainshaft, etc), and the observer's vantage point. But certainly there is no reason to think green reflected light is impossible. Finally, let's not forget that the eye doesn't do well with colors in low light situations... that rod and cone thing. Another question you can ask yourself is how well does the eye pick up colors when the illumination is only lasting a fraction of a second? Personally, I've seen tornadic and hail producing storms that have looked green (definately not "blue-green" by the way)... and some that have looked orange... or black. I would be willing to bet that a lot of the variation occurs because of vantage point. Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > On Mon, 30 Mar 1998, Steve M. Kile wrote: > > > I seem to recall being told in a Meteorology class somewhere that the green > > sky was caused by absorption or reflection (can't remember) of certain > > wavelengths of light due to hail. > > But sunlight is yellow wavelength, while lightning...well...it varies to > the eye. Myself, I've seen bluish, bright-white, yellow-almost-white, > deep-orange, and on rare occasion, almost-red. (Like my descriptions? 8-)) > > What of those wavelengths would when refracted by hail come back as green? > > And I'm willing to bet the people who saw green would if asked again > describe it as a "blue-green". Like a turquoise. You see it in the clouds > in daylight, then you see something similar when lightning flashes and > illuminates the clouds from within. Why? Anyone know? ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Mar 1998 to 31 Mar 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626921-22259>; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 14:12:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26040; Wed, 1 Apr 1998 00:07:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199804010607.AAA26040@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 00:03:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 186f08c6e3a52e4e494d9baba082f792 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 115 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RECON and other Data Codes 2. Green Sky at Night? 3. ADAS and ARPS model 4. Loss of METAR/TAF Data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 12:19:26 -0500 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: RECON and other Data Codes The RECON and other Upper Air Codes are fully described on the FSU CUDOS site at http://www.met.fsu.edu/CUDOS The Hurricane Hunters page at http://www.hurricanehunters.com also have a nice overview of how to decode all the recon products. Paul Ruscher / FSU Meteorology / CUDOS Project & Florida EXPLORES! Florida State University / Tallahassee / ruscher@met.fsu.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 13:21:41 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Green Sky at Night? On Tue, 31 Mar 1998, Tim Doggett wrote: > Finally, let's not forget that the eye doesn't do well with colors in > low light situations... that rod and cone thing. Another question you > can ask yourself is how well does the eye pick up colors when the > illumination is only lasting a fraction of a second? What about when it lasts ten seconds? covers a small area, and travels?...as if some huge alien space craft were just inside the cloud? Yes, that's a rediculous description, and no I know very well that's not what it was...but it seems to be the only one that best paints the picture in people's minds of what I saw. Was very CE3K type of stuff. Weird. Since I know the latest models of transformers don't hover above one's head, I think I can safely say that it was not a transformer. :) > Personally, I've seen tornadic and hail producing storms that have > looked green (definately not "blue-green" by the way)... and some that I hate asking people "what color" they saw. "Green" to one person is "blue" to another. And I'm certainly not immune. The color I saw best matches the odd green color you see in ocean waters. What color is that? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 13:35:41 -0600 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: ADAS and ARPS model > > Thanks Keith for the info! I use the ARPS and Hub-CAPS quite often which does > a great job of meso features. I really like some of the changes...especially > combining more parameters on one page. Everything else on there is just too > awesome...keep up the great work. Is the ARPS based partly on RUC? The ARPS is code written from scratch. The base equation set most resembles that of cloud models such as Klemp-Wilhelmson. We've "shopped around" other operational and research models to try to find the best schemes for things like surface physics and cloud physics then re-written them for our coordinate, style, documentation std, etc. It can use RUC for the external boundary conditions, but it also can use just about any of the NCEP operation models. About the only other connection to RUC is I used to work for FSL in the MAPS (original version of RUC) group. -Keith ----------------- Keith Brewster CAPS/OU kbrewster@ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 31 Mar 1998 15:05:27 -0500 From: Bernard Miville Subject: Re: Loss of METAR/TAF Data Have you tried that site: http://canfltbrf.ec.gc.ca/navcan/html/metar_taf/Frame_metar_taf_e.html Bernard > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 22:04:15 -0600 > From: Weatherman > Subject: Loss of METAR/TAF Data > > The "Institute of Aviation's Weather Information Center" webpage lost their > METAR/TAF Reports link in the last few > ays( http://www.aviation.uiuc.edu/institute/avilinks/weather/weather.html ). > Says that Environment Canada didn't like them using their info. Anyone know > if they have a site where I can access this data. It was a great site to > get Observations and TAF all in one neat little package. > > Weatherman > -------------------------------------------------------- InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1998 *********************************** From - Wed Apr 8 05:48:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627086-5736>; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:16:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31632; Thu, 2 Apr 1998 00:04:45 -0600 Message-Id: <199804020604.AAA31632@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 00:01:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1998 to 1 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2fab361253e12b6d411b8ca4a1d8d28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 661 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Interesting Record Event Report 2. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for sale 3. County Names (2) 4. 1999 AMS Annual Meeting 5. [Fwd: High Plains Conference Announcement/Call for Papers] 6. 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for sale (2) 7. interwarn software 8. Radar Question 9. coded cities forecast 10. Annual TESSA National Meeting +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 06:04:17 GMT From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Interesting Record Event Report On the WX-TALK list Scott Lindstrom wrote: > >This caught my eye this morning. Contrary to what the NWS person says, this >sounds more like bad programming by the automated weather folks than a >celsius->fahrenheit glitch (IMO, I supposed I must add :) ). In my not-so-humble opintion, there probably is such a software problem, but it's much more than that. There are also Celsius/Fahrenheit problems involved, including a failure to follow the rules of Federal Meteorological Handbook No. 1 (FMH-1). For the majority of U.S. reporting stations, the temperatures actually reported in the body of the METAR reports are incorrect more than 2 times out of 15. When the reports also include the temperatures in the remarks section, which KFMY apparently does not, those are wrong at least 82 percent of the time! > >Scott > > >SXUS99 KFMY 302222 98089 2227 >RERFMY >RECORD EVENT REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN, FL >520 PM EST MON MAR 30 1998 > >...DESPITE RUMORS...FT MYERS DID NOT TIE A RECORD HIGH TODAY... >FT MYERS PAGE FIELD REACHED A HIGH OF 89.1 DEGREES AROUND 3PM TODAY. >HOWEVER IT MAY HAVE BEEN NOTED THAT THE 300 PM TEMPERATURE REPORTED WAS >90 DEGREES WHICH WOULD TIE A RECORD. > >ALTHOUGH NOT TECHNICALLY IN ERROR...THE 90 DEGREE REPORT IS MISLEADING. >THE 89.1 DEGREE F IS 31.7 DEGREES CELSIUS...WHICH IS ROUNDED UP AND REPORTED >IN THE OBSERVATION AS 32 DEGREES. THIS IN TURN IS CONVERTED BACK TO 89.6 >DEGREES FAHRENHEIT (OR ROUNDED TO 90F) BY AUTOMATED WEATHER DECODER PROGRAMS. >SO...THE OFFICIAL HIGH TEMPERATURE WAS ONLY 89F...DESPITE THE 90F READING >AT 300PM. JUST ONE OF THE PITFALLS OF CELSIUS VS FAHRENHEIT. > >HOPE IT MAKES SENSE. >NASH > I pointed out to Howard Diamond, who was U.S. METAR Implementation Manager, a couple of months before these reports were implemented (and several months after they were originally scheduled to be implemented) that the mandates of FMH-1were not being followed, that these temperatures "shall be determined to the nearest tenth of a degree Celsius." I pointed out the resulting errors in the reported Celsius temperatures as well. I don't think he believed me until he checked with some ASOS expert. The story we got then was that the ASOS hardware was so poorly designed that it was incapable of handling anything other than whole degrees Fahrenheit, which are then converted for the METAR reports. Now, if as the KFMY reporter known as NASH is telling us, the temperature is actually measured to the nearest tenth of a degree Fahrenheit, we would indeed have a software problem. In that case, the ASOS equipment should be capable of reporting more accurate temperatures in the METAR reports than what is actually being done now. However, I believe that NASH is mistaken. I think the equipment is only measuring to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit (it might display this in both Fahrenheit and Celsius, but that's a different matter). I don't think there is any justification for saying that the temperature recorded at Ft. Myers on this date was 89.1 degrees Fahrenheit. It was 89 degrees Fahrenheit, period. Nothing is known about the tenths. Look at the numbers. Just like 89.1, 89 also converts to 31.7 degrees Celsius, to the nearest tenth. Just like the stations which report this number in the remarks of a METAR report, the unreported number of 31.7 used by NASH also came from a conversion from a whole number of degrees Fahrenheit. Steve Adams responded to Scott Lindstrom's posting above with: > >As one who deals with hundreds of obs every day (including FMY), I've >seen many different kinds of coding mistakes that translate into really >stupid looking obs. In this case however, the NWS guy is right. The >31.7 rounds to 32 and 32C is 89.6F, which rounds to 90F. But he was wrong about the 89.1 0F step going to 31.7 0C. The 31.7 degrees Celsius comes from 89 degrees Fahrenheit, a whole number. > >The problem with FMY (and many other stations) is two-fold. First, they >do not put out a "T" group in their remarks section, which reports the >temperature and dewpoint to the tenth of a degree C. This gives sufficient >accuracy to convert to Fahrenheit correctly. But the numbers in degrees Celsius, the numbers which are actually REPORTED, are not accurate. Even for most (but not all) of the stations which report the tenths of a degree Celsius in the remarks, they might report 31.7 0C. Or they might report 31.1 0C or they might report 32.2 0C. But they will never report 31.2 or 31.3 or 31.4 or 31.5 or 31.6 or 31.8 or 31.9 or 32.0 or 32.1 degrees Celsius. The numbers which might be reported jump in steps of 0.5 or 0.6 degrees Celsius, corresponding to the conversions from whole degrees Fahrenheit. There's more on this on my web page at http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/usmetar.htm Even though METAR is an aviation weather format, the tenths of a degree Celsius in the remarks section serve no aviation purpose (and if they did they would be providing wrong and misleading information). There only purpose is to be able to accurately restore the original WHOLE degrees Fahrenheit readings. But just to keep things complicated, there are also some U.S. stations which do follow the mandate of FMH-1 and do determine these temperatures to the nearest tenth of a degree Celsius. For these stations, using the remarks temperatures to calculate whole degrees Fahrenheit will only give the wrong Fahrenheit temperature a small percentage of the time (about 2 times in 45 if I remember right), though using this to try to get tenths of a degree Fahrenheit will result in the wrong number about half the time. >Second, FMY does not report >6-hour max/min data in the remarks section at 0,6,12,18Z times. This >data, too, is reported to the tenth of a degree C and would have shown >the max as 31.7C. > >What bugs me is that this data is available from the automated station. >It is just not being reported. So... we get rounded (aka: inaccurate) >data while the more accurate data goes unreported. Why? Why do you worry about roundoff errors in converting from what is reported to some other strange units? Neither you nor anyone else seems to worry about the fact that, for most U.S. stations, what is reported is "rounded (aka: inaccurate)" and that because of this what is actually reported is wrong 2 times out of 15 in the body of the report, and in those reports which include the tenths of a degree Celsius in the remarks, this number is wrong a whopping 82 percent of the time. Gene Nygaard http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/usmetar.htm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 09:09:26 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! *** NEW!!! SPC tshirts! See the clothing gallery for more info. *** Spring is HERE! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing to wear during your chases! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos, sweatshirts ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 14:23:02 EST From: Scott Cravens Subject: County Names Does anyone know where I could find states maps with county names depicted? Thanks in advance! -- Scott -> ARE Network Administrator <- -> x5-6095 <- -> scott_cravens@ncsu.edu <- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 15:00:28 -0800 From: Todd Glickman Subject: 1999 AMS Annual Meeting The 79th Annual Meeting of the AMS will be held 10-15 January 1999 in Dallas, TX. The theme for the meeting is "Climate and Global Change: Focus on the Americas." Information regarding the Annual Meeting conferences/symposia and its associated Calls for Papers has been posted on the AMS Web Site at URL: http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS/meet/anncall.html This will provide information (that can be viewed and printed out with Adobe Acrobat) on: * 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology * 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology * 14th Conference on Hydrology * 13th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence * 11th Conference on Applied Climatology * 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies * Eighth Symposium on Education * Eighth Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology * Fifth Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography * Third Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems * Second Hayes Symposium on Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability -- The 1997/1998 ENSO Cycle * Symposium on Interdisciplinary Issues in Atmospheric Chemistry Note that the 1999 Annual Meeting conferences/symposia will take advantage of a new system of electronic submission of abstracts. See the calls for papers for details. A number of short courses are planned. Tentative titles include: * Short Course on Satellite Meteorology * Short Course on Advanced Visualization Techniques * Short Course on Atmospheric Radiation (Others will be announced at a later date) Lodging, transportation, and registration information will be available in the Bulletin of the AMS and on the AMS Home Page by mid-summer, 1998. Questions may be addressed to the AMS Meetings Department at: email: amsmtgs@ametsoc.org tel: 617-227-2426 x227 fax: 617-742-8718 ========================== Todd Glickman Assistant Executive Director American Meteorological Society 45 Beacon Street Boston, MA 02108 Tel: 617-227-2426 x237 Fax: 617-742-8718 mailto:glickman@ametsoc.org http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 14:29:21 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: County Names there are links to just what you ask on http://www.axnet.com/united/wxlinks.htm or go directly to (names are very blurry) http://www.lib.utexas.edu/Libs/PCL/Map_collection/county_outline.html if you are in illinois i redid all names crystal clear at http://www.axnet.com/united/4states.gif and http://www.axnet.com/united/countyil.gif and i will when i get time i wil insert the county zone numbers to, and the whole list of those are at http://www.axnet.com/united/zones.htm matt/n9npp Scott Cravens wrote: > > Does anyone know where I could find states maps with county names > depicted? Thanks in advance! > > -- Scott > > -> ARE Network Administrator <- > -> x5-6095 <- > -> scott_cravens@ncsu.edu <- > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 17:04:14 -0600 From: Brewster's Subject: [Fwd: High Plains Conference Announcement/Call for Papers] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------3BE21659D88F0FB6C5D90C4F Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Conference notice to all meteorologists, scientists, educators, broadcasters, emergency managers and weather enthusiasts of all types. Hope to see some of you this summer. We had a super conference last year in Dodge City, and look forward to another. More details later. JAB ****************************************************************** James A. Brewster james.brewster@noaa.gov Meteorologist (402) 461-3826 ext. 805 U.S. Dept. of Commerce NOAA/National Weather Service Hastings, Nebraska ****************************************************************** --------------3BE21659D88F0FB6C5D90C4F Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from noaamh1.noaa.gov (mh.rdc.noaa.gov [140.90.27.58]) by bastion.computer-concepts.com (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id PAA07725 for ; Tue, 31 Mar 1998 15:55:55 -0600 Received: from mailhubmh1-gw.noaa.gov by noaamh1.noaa.gov (X.400 to RFC822 Gateway); Tue, 31 Mar 1998 16:47:55 -0500 X400-Received: by mta MTANOAAMH1 in /c=us/admd=attmail/prmd=GOV+NOAA/; Relayed; 31 Mar 1998 16:47:54 -0500 X400-Received: by /c=us/admd=attmail/prmd=GOV+NOAA/; Relayed; 31 Mar 1998 16:47:54 -0500 X400-MTS-Identifier: [/c=us/admd=attmail/prmd=GOV+NOAA/; 005443521648A03B-MTANOAAMH1] Content-Identifier: 005443521648A03B Content-Return: Allowed X400-Content-Type: P2-1988 ( 22 ) Conversion: Allowed Original-Encoded-Information-Types: IA5-Text Priority: normal Disclose-Recipients: Prohibited Alternate-Recipient: Allowed X400-Originator: James.Brewster@noaa.gov X400-Recipients: non-disclosure; Message-Id: <005443521648A03B*/c=US/admd=ATTMAIL/prmd=GOV+NOAA/o=CCNWS/s=Brewster/g=James/@MHS> Date: 31 Mar 1998 16:47:54 -0500 From: James Brewster To: brewster@computer-concepts.com (IPM Return requested) Subject: High Plains Conference Announcement/Call for Papers 2nd Annual High Plains Conference August 17-19, 1998 Hastings, Nebraska Call for Papers The joint session of the High Plains Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and the High Plains Chapter of the National Weather Association is pleased to announce the Second Annual High Plains Conference to be held on August 17-19, 1998. The conference will be hosted by the National Weather Service Office in Hastings, Nebraska and Hastings College. The primary theme of the conference focuses on weather challenges entering the new millennium. The objective is to share new work, ideas and enhancements in 1) Modernized forecasting techniques, 2)Public service and communication, 3) Data management and technical advances, and 4) Weather education. The conference is intended to serve as a platform of ideas, concerns and knowledge and also as a vehicle to discuss the impact of weather and weather forecasting on commerce, life and property in the 21st Century. Sessions will begin with an invited speaker and the remaining speakers will be limited to 15 minutes including questions. When the time compliment has been filled, the conference program committee will assign additional entries of interest to poster session. We intend to keep the conference registration fee very modest, thus no conference pre-print or post print will be available. Titles and 1-page abstracts should include each author's name and affiliation, the corresponding author's complete address, telephone/fax number, e-mail address, and requested session for presentation. Abstracts may be submitted, no later than June 30, 1998, to: Jim Brewster, High Plains Conference Chair National Weather Service Office 6365 N. Osborne Drive West Hastings, Nebraska 68901. (e-mail: James.Brewster@noaa.gov) (Tel: (402) 461-3826 ext. 805.) Fax: (402) 462-2746) or to: Rick Ewald, Science and Operations Officer same address and fax (e-mail: Rick.Ewald@noaa.gov )(Tel: (402) 461-3826 ext. 766). Information concerning the conference, lodging, meals and facilities, will be forthcoming. Feel free to contact Jim Brewster or Rick Ewald with any questions. Final registration, a tour of the local WFO and a social mixer will be held during the afternoon and evening of August 17, 1998. --------------3BE21659D88F0FB6C5D90C4F-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 18:07:35 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for sale NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** !!! 50th Anniversary Merchandise Sales Coming to A Close !!!! ****************************************************************** The celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the first tornado forecast has passed. The final merchandise associated with the celebration is limited and no further orders are planned. If you are interested in obtaining souviners of this once in a lifetime event now is the time to get them! Coffee cups and magnets have been added to the merchandise list. Please see the following web page for ordering info : http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Thanks! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu Norman, OK 73069 "It's remarkable how much the weather affects my life, and how little my life affects the weather" Ashleigh Brilliant, 1982 ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 19:35:42 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: interwarn software I know there's been some discussion on this product over the past few days, but I would be interested in the progress of the product. Will there be a quote unquote trial version or has this been decided? I'm very interested in the product and believe it would be an excelent aid for wx information. Chris Sells SELLS ENTERPRISES IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 20:40:40 -0500 From: "Jonathan C. Porter" Subject: Radar Question Chris.. The radar scheme on most radars is a light green for light precipitation, a darker green for moderate precipitation and an orange for heavy precipitation. Red areas on radar indicate extremely heavy precipitation and can indicate hail. Hail can be determined by radar because, in a thunderstorm, you have large updrafts and downdrafts. When the droplet of water condenses, it begins to rotate in the interior of the cloud until it has enough energy to drop to the ground, sometimes if the thunderstorm is strong enough (ie. has strong updrafts/downdrafts) you will have hailstones falling. Hope this helps out..... Jon Date: Mon, 30 Mar 1998 20:07:44 -0800 >From: Chris Sells >Subject: reading the radar > >Everybody please pardon my ignorance but would somebody please run over the >color scheme on the interrad radar software. I believe I know but I'm not >exactly sure. And how can hale be determined on the radar picture. Thanks >for help. >Chris Sells >SELLS ENTERPRISES >IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! >http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Jonathan C. Porter Director.. NE Weather Student Member of the American Meteorological Society "Killingly, CT's WeatherMan" http://www.neca.com/~jpcp32/ne.htm NE Weather Homepage jpcp32@neca.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 19:47:14 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: coded cities forecast I've noticed that the WMO header for the coded cities forecast (CCF) has changed. I tried to get it from the old header of and pulled up an old one. Does anyone know what the new header is? I just love when the bone-head in charge of these headers wants to change one don't you? Chris Sells SELLS ENTERPRISES IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 22:26:10 -0600 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise for sale On Wed, 1 Apr 1998, Greg Stumpf wrote: > NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. > His address is included in his .sig following this message. > > ****************************************************************** > !!! 50th Anniversary Merchandise Sales Coming to A Close !!!! > ****************************************************************** > > The celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the first tornado forecast > has passed. The final merchandise associated with the celebration is > limited and no further orders are planned. > > If you are interested in obtaining souviners of this once in a lifetime > event now is the time to get them! > > Coffee cups and magnets have been added to the merchandise list. Please > see the following web page for ordering info : > > http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html > > Thanks! > > Bill Conway Well, almost. The correct URL is: http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 1 Apr 1998 22:37:29 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Annual TESSA National Meeting 5th Annual TESSA National Meeting Set for April 18 in Plano The 5th Annual TESSA National Meeting is set for Saturday, April 18 in Plano, Texas. The meeting will begin at 9:00 AM and end around noon. This year’s featured speaker is Harold Brooks (left) of the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Oklahoma. Mr. Brooks will speak on “2000 Years of Tornado Theories and Observations.” In addition, storm chaser and spotter Lon Curtis will speak on “The Storm Spotter, First Line of Defense” and Tim Heller, KDFW-TV meteorologist, will speak on “The Media and the Warning System.” A short “storm bloopers” video is scheduled after the speakers. The TESSA store will open for business immediately following the meeting to sell T-shirts, videos and TESSA member decals. The 1997 meeting attracted more than 200 people from across the country. This year’s meeting is expected to be an even bigger success. The meeting is free; TESSA members and non-members are welcome. Seating is limited, so arrive early. The meeting will take place in the Council Theatre at 1520 Ave. K . A map to the meeting site is available at www.tessa.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1998 to 1 Apr 1998 ************************************************* From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1715 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-17129>; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 14:16:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36198; Fri, 3 Apr 1998 00:10:06 -0600 Message-Id: <199804030610.AAA36198@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 00:03:39 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Apr 1998 to 2 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71ee748ca18a7e021dc7eedfb87b2bd3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 186 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Correction: 50th Anniversary Tornado Fcstg merchandise for sale 2. Student Co-op Positions available 3. Seismic Network 4. Free AP Weather Wire Informaton 5. Seabreeze front example right now (5:00pm EST 4/2) 6. Minnesota Tornado Video and Pictures/County Maps +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 07:16:31 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Correction: 50th Anniversary Tornado Fcstg merchandise for sale ***NOTE THE CORRECTED URL BELOW *** NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig following this message. ****************************************************************** !!! 50th Anniversary Merchandise Sales Coming to A Close !!!! ****************************************************************** The celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the first tornado forecast has passed. The final merchandise associated with the celebration is limited and no further orders are planned. If you are interested in obtaining souviners of this once in a lifetime event now is the time to get them! Coffee cups and magnets have been added to the merchandise list. Please see the following web page for ordering info : http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Thanks! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu Norman, OK 73069 "It's remarkable how much the weather affects my life, and how little my life affects the weather" Ashleigh Brilliant, 1982 ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 10:18:45 -0500 From: Stephan Smith Subject: Student Co-op Positions available The Techniques Development Laboratory (NWS) of the NWS in Silver Spring, Maryland currently is attempting to fill two co-operative education student (undergraduate or graduate) positions. One is in our Marine Branch involving tropical and extratropical storm surge modeling. The other involves support of the LAMP model work being done in the Local Applications Branch. For more information, visit the TDL webpage at www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/ or contact: Dr. Stephan B. Smith Co-op Program Coordinator Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov 301-713-1774 x180 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 13:13:00 -0800 From: "Engineering Analysis, Inc." Subject: Seismic Network April 2, 1998 PRESS RELEASE FIRST SEISMIC NETWORK FOR TORNADOES (SENETOR) WORKSHOP TO BE HELD 6 APRIL 1998 Seismologists and meteorologists will meet together for the first time at a workshop on 6 April at the Center for Earthquake Research and Information (CERI), University of Memphis to explore means of using existing seismic networks to detect tornadoes in real time. The workshop was organized by Dr. Frank B. Tatom of Engineering Analysis Inc., Huntsville, Alabama with CERI serving as host. Representatives from the U.S. Geologic Survey (USGS), the National Weather Service (NWS), the National Severe Storms Lab (NSSL), and the National Aeronautic and Atmospheric Administration (NASA) are expected to attend along with seismic network coordinators located in Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Missouri. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 14:19:09 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Free AP Weather Wire Informaton Greetings Fellow Weather Fans Several months ago while I was surfing on the net I discovered this URL: http://www.gopbi.com/Weather/nws/ATWIAP00.htm Basically it is the AP News Wire but the stories on it are dedicated to weather. I have found that it seems to update on a regular basis and is dependable and reliable in releasing pertinent information after tornado outbreaks and other significant weather events. The site also provides one or two daily weather briefings concerning the National Weather. This is a nice site to bookmark. The site currently has articles on it about the Minnesota tornadoes...The Virginia tornadoes...and the tornadoes that hit Georgia last month. Hope you enjoy the find! Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 17:48:14 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Seabreeze front example right now (5:00pm EST 4/2) some people in here have asked questions on what a seabreeze front looks like. Take a look at the current radar loops of Florida. Watch the area of Jacksonville near the FL/GA border. :) THAT'S what a seabreeze front looks like on RADAR. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 18:47:57 -0600 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Minnesota Tornado Video and Pictures/County Maps Hello Everyone I have totally changed the Minnesota Tornado web page. I have added links to a number of sites where photos of the tornado damage and video of the tornado can be found. URL for the Minnesota Tornado Page is as follows: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/Stpete.html Mike Umscheid is working on putting together the weather maps from that infamous day. That page should be done soon. The link to that page can be found on The Minnesota Tornado page...but is not yet available...keep trying it though! Also...we live and learn...apparently most Internet Servers do not allow X number of megs to be sent to people through e-mail (my server does not have a limit)...so do not request the Zip-File of the county maps because you most likely could not receive them! Sorry about that...but there is good news for you.... I have been informed that if you go to this page: http://www.lib.utexas.edu/Libs/PCL/Map_collection/county_outline.html (Thanks Matt) You can find similar maps! Have fun and check out that Minnesota Tornado Page...which will be updated on a regular basis. Derek Dodson Heading For The Iowa Storm Conference!!!!!!!! derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Apr 1998 to 2 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3049 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626516-22207>; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 14:09:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26040; Sat, 4 Apr 1998 00:04:59 -0600 Message-Id: <199804040604.AAA26040@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Apr 1998 to 3 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 50a4bf1e263a54c17a1698e238ac83c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 397 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. too precise wind speeds (3) 2. Interesting Record Event Report..answered 3. WeatherNode Version 4.0 Software 4. Scientific quality video 5. Newsletter for the National Weather Association 6. seismic network +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 2 Apr 1998 17:07:06 -0600 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: too precise wind speeds I have noticed that some private forecasting companies issue wind speeds in increments other than 5 mi/h or the lower and upper value is not an increment of 5. For example, 10-18mi/h or 12-22mi/h. In a science/art as imprecise as weather forecasting, is it necessary to have these unusual ranges of wind speed? Why not round to the nearest 5 mi/h? I am used to the NWS, which uses increments of 5 mi/h. Is the reason these private companies use these unusual ranges so that it doesn't look like they are copying the NWS? I am waiting for the day when I read a forecast that says "South (or another direction) wind at 19-31 mph with gusts to 46." What do others think of this practice? Shawn Trueman _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 00:53:29 -0600 From: Eric Helgeson Subject: Re: too precise wind speeds On Thu, 2 Apr 1998 strueman@juno.com wrote: > I have noticed that some private forecasting companies issue wind speeds > in increments other than 5 mi/h or the lower and upper value is not an > increment of 5. For example, 10-18mi/h or 12-22mi/h. > > In a science/art as imprecise as weather forecasting, is it necessary to > have these unusual ranges of wind speed? Why not round to the nearest 5 > mi/h? I am used to the NWS, which uses increments of 5 mi/h. IMHO, numbers divisible by 5 just look nice. Instead of a high from 80-85 today, how about high around 83? 83 sure does look ugly, but it is just as arbritrary as around 80. So, I think it is mostly just habit and "looks." Eric ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 07:04:59 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: too precise wind speeds I always assumed that 12-22 mph was really 10-20 knots, even though it isn't really, but it is close. Since the observations are in knots, though, and the Beaufort Scale is in knots, and the forecast is in mph, I can see why there are not-incremented-by-5 numbers. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake > > I have noticed that some private forecasting companies issue wind speeds > in increments other than 5 mi/h or the lower and upper value is not an > increment of 5. For example, 10-18mi/h or 12-22mi/h. > > In a science/art as imprecise as weather forecasting, is it necessary to > have these unusual ranges of wind speed? Why not round to the nearest 5 > mi/h? I am used to the NWS, which uses increments of 5 mi/h. > > Is the reason these private companies use these unusual ranges so that it > doesn't look like they are copying the NWS? > > I am waiting for the day when I read a forecast that says "South (or > another direction) wind at 19-31 mph with gusts to 46." > > What do others think of this practice? > > > Shawn Trueman > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 12:07:02 -0500 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: Re: Interesting Record Event Report..answered To all: I pulled this off of the NG. I don't think it was ever sent to the list, but apologize if it was. Tony > Subject: > Re: Interesting Record Event Report..answered > Date: Wed, 01 Apr 1998 11:42:45 -0500 > From: Andy Nash >Organization: University of South Florida > Newsgroups: bit.listserv.wx-talk > References: 1 > > > Gene Nygaard wrote: >> >> In my not-so-humble opintion, there probably is such a software >> problem, but it's much more than that. There are also >> Celsius/Fahrenheit problems involved, including a failure to follow >> the rules of Federal Meteorological Handbook No. 1 (FMH-1). >> >> >> For the majority of U.S. reporting stations, the temperatures >> actually reported in the body of the METAR reports are incorrect >> more than 2 times out of 15. When the reports also include the >> temperatures in the remarks section, which KFMY apparently does not, >> those are wrong at least 82 percent of the time! >> >>> SXUS99 KFMY 302222 >>> RERFMY >>> RECORD EVENT REPORT >>> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN, FL >>> 520 PM EST MON MAR 30 1998 >>> >>> ...DESPITE RUMORS...FT MYERS DID NOT TIE A RECORD HIGH TODAY... >>> FT MYERS PAGE FIELD REACHED A HIGH OF 89.1 DEGREES AROUND 3PM TODAY. >>> HOWEVER IT MAY HAVE BEEN NOTED THAT THE 300 PM TEMPERATURE REPORTED >>> WAS 90 DEGREES WHICH WOULD TIE A RECORD. >>> >>> ALTHOUGH NOT TECHNICALLY IN ERROR...THE 90 DEGREE REPORT IS >>> MISLEADING. THE 89.1 DEGREE F IS 31.7 DEGREES CELSIUS...WHICH IS >>> ROUNDED UP AND REPORTED IN THE OBSERVATION AS 32 DEGREES. THIS IN >>> TURN IS CONVERTED BACK TO 89.6 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT (OR ROUNDED TO >>> 90F) BY AUTOMATED WEATHER DECODER PROGRAMS. >>> >>> SO...THE OFFICIAL HIGH TEMPERATURE WAS ONLY 89F...DESPITE THE 90F >>> READING AT 300PM. JUST ONE OF THE PITFALLS OF CELSIUS VS FAHRENHEIT. >>> >>> HOPE IT MAKES SENSE. >>> NASH >>> >>> >> I pointed out to Howard Diamond, who was U.S. METAR Implementation >> Manager, a couple of months before these reports were implemented >> (and several months after they were originally scheduled to be >> implemented) that the mandates of FMH-1were not being followed, that >> these temperatures "shall be determined to the nearest tenth of a >> degree Celsius." I pointed out the resulting errors in the reported >> Celsius temperatures as well. I don't think he believed me until he >> checked with some ASOS expert. The story we got then was that the >> ASOS hardware was so poorly designed that it was incapable of >> handling anything other than whole degrees Fahrenheit, which are then >> converted for the METAR reports. >> >> Now, if as the KFMY reporter known as NASH is telling us, the >> temperature is actually measured to the nearest tenth of a degree >> Fahrenheit, we would indeed have a software problem. In that case, >> the ASOS equipment should be capable of reporting more accurate >> temperatures in the METAR reports than what is actually being done >> now. >> >> However, I believe that NASH is mistaken. I think the equipment is >> only measuring to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit (it might >> display this in both Fahrenheit and Celsius, but that's a different >> matter). I don't think there is any justification for saying that >> the temperature recorded at Ft. Myers on this date was 89.1 degrees >> Fahrenheit. It was 89 degrees Fahrenheit, period. Nothing is known >> about the tenths. >> > Ok...to clear up all the confusion. I am the 'NASH' who put out the > "non"-record record report about the Ft Myers temperature. > > Currently the observations at Ft Myers are taken manually by FAA > personnel. They do not (nor do I believe required by the FAA to) > transmit the remarks section of the observation which would denote the > celsius temperature to the nearest tenth (eg the "T" remarks). The ob > in question was.... > > KFMY 301947Z 08010KT 10SM SCT043 BKN090 32/15 A2995= > > (note: it's a non-ASOS ob} > > Okay, now if you do the math, the 32C would be rounded to 90F by > automatic decoding programs which create those "Hourly State Weather > Roundups". Well, how do we know the temperature was 89.1F??? Simple, > we call them. Every afternoon we call the FAA tower people to get the > high temperature for the day. They read it off their HO-83 which > registers temperature and dewpoint to the nearest tenth. That day they > said...89.1F. > > Currently there is an ASOS unit installed at the airport. Test > observations --- which send out the 'T' remark for tenths of degrees > celcius --- I believe are being sent, but because the equipment is > still considered "UNOFFICIAL", we (the NWS) can not use the data. The > last I heard commissioning is scheduled by June 1st. At that time the > observational quality for this site will greatly improve for a number > of reasons. One being that FAA tower people there put weather there as > a distant secondary duty to getting planes to safely land & take > off...thus, they rarely, if ever, take specials. Of course, they may > not do much augmenting to the ASOS obs when it gets commisioned, but > at least we will know when a significant ceiling and/or weather change > has occurred. In addition, we no longer have rainfall measurements > from the same location...we had to recruit the Airport Fire Station > people to go out and read the raingauge a couple of times a day. But I > don't really want to get started any more on this subject.... > On a related subject, yes...the ASOSes only report in whole degrees F, > and report the appropriate tenth of degree C in the remarks. To be > honest, trying to report in tenths of degrees F is "slicing the bread > too thin"...the accuracy of the measuring equipment (which I believe > are retro-fitted "HO-83"s) is on the order of 1-2F anyway!!! > > > There are also other issues going on with the observations as with > what are the needs of the NWS vs FAA. NWS would like an accurate > temp/precip climo record continued at 1st order stations...while the > FAA only needs significant weather/visibilities/ceilings to be > reported that will affect airport operations. Temperatures only become > an issue when it's so hot (120F+) {low density => smaller lift} that > planes have trouble taking off before reaching the end of the runway. > > > Andy Nash > ps -- on that day in question, I believe the ASOS reported a high of > only 86F or 87F. Yes...it's on a different part of the airport grounds > than the HO-83!!! > ================================================================ > This wonderful email was brought to you by: > > Andy Nash: a.k.a. anash@marine.usf.edu > --------- a.k.a. "It's broken again. Must have been Andy!" > a.k.a. http://www.marine.usf.edu/nws/staff/andy.html > > Disclaimer: This email message was most likely not supported by > my employer...and although I work for the National Weather > Service, the weather is not under my control, except for a large > fee!!! > ================================================================ -- "'El Nino' is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 12:19:12 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: WeatherNode Version 4.0 Software Since I receive WX-Talk in digest format, I won't know until tonight if anyone has posted a message regarding the availability of the WeatherNode Version 4.0 beta software. While WeatherNode was originally developed for use with EMWIN satellite and/or radio broadcast systems, the new beta contains an Internet FTP Engine which automatically retrieves the most current EMWIN data from IWIN every 15 minutes if the user has an Internet connection. This is the most powerful weather information retrieval product I've yet to run across and highly recommend it. The download site is http://www.weathernode.com Jim Robinson Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 19:07:40 +0000 From: David Blanchard Subject: Scientific quality video WX-TALK and WX-CHASE, I've put together a short document describing "scientific-quality video" that is appended below. Enjoy. -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ SCIENTIFIC-QUALITY VIDEO AND PHOTOGRAPHY Storm chase season is upon us and many of you will be shooting video and photographs of severe storms, supercells, and maybe even a few tornadoes. There are already documents available online that describe how to get the best video for personal and potential commercial use. For example, check out the following WWW pages: You might also consider capturing scientific-quality video and photographs. The needs and goals of thunderstorm research require that scientific-quality images have additional standards. VIDEO MUST BE STEADY using a tripod, stabilizer, or some other mounting system. DO NOT PAN the camera. Select an appropriate part of the storm and keep the camera locked in on this feature for at least a few minutes before panning to another feature. DO NOT ZOOM IN but try to get as much of the storm structure as possible. Use of a wide-angle lens is helpful. The large-scale structure associated with the rear-flank downdraft and the occluding gust front are especially relevant features for current severe storm research. ACCURATE TIMES are important. Leaving the internal video clock on is desirable as long as it does not obscure the storm features. A log of photo times is adequate. YOU MUST KNOW WHERE YOU ARE LOCATED. Use of a GPS to get latitude and longitude is desirable but certainly not required. Note what highway or road you are on and the distance to the previous or next intersection. Any additional information that helps to pinpoint your location is desirable. MAKE USE OF YOUR AUDIO TRACK if you are shooting video. Use a microcassette recorder if you are shooting photograhy. Talk about where you are. What direction are you looking? What do you see that might be outside the field of view of the camera? What are the current conditions at your location? Is it raining or hailing? Is the ground wet or dry? Talk, talk, talk! BE CERTAIN THAT YOU INCLUDE SOME GROUND in your video and photography images. A good rule of thumb is to have the ground occupy the lower 15-20% of the frame. REFERENCE MARKS IN YOUR FIELD OF VIEW are desireable but be certain that they do not obscure the relevant storm features. These references can include power poles, traffic signs, farmhouses, trees, bodies of water, etc. These landmarks considerably improve the depth perception of the image and also assist in accurately determining your position and the location of the storm relative to you. Collection of scientific-quality video does not automatically make the video unusable in a commercial context. With practice, you can shoot video or photographs that are valuable in both situations. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Apr 1998 15:32:49 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: Newsletter for the National Weather Association Topics in the March 1998 isssue: 1. President's Message: The Future of Weather Forecasting is now! 2. Dates to Remember 3. The Eighth Annual Sky Awareness Week 4. Call for Papers: NWA Annual Meeting (17-23 October, Oklahoma City, Ok) 5. Super Typhoon Paka Winds Studied 6. NWA Awards Program 7. Local Chapter News (features Northern Indiana Chapter) 8. News of Remote Sensing Activities 9. E-Mail Letters tothe Editor ( Fred Decker and H. Stuart Muench) 10. Meetings of Interest 11. New Education and Training Website 12. Job Corner For more information or copies contact Kevin Lavin at tel/fax: 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 00:31:59 -0500 From: Howard Altschule Subject: seismic network As long as the meeting isn't the "seismic friends network" we are all OK!!! :) C YA, Howie (End of stupid joke) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Apr 1998 to 3 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3645 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626586-22236>; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 14:08:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20074; Sun, 5 Apr 1998 00:04:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199804050604.AAA20074@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 00:00:29 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Apr 1998 to 4 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1f7d388abbb2d18a470518fbe7c01359 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 118 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. weathernode 4.0 2. WX-TOR Digest - 5 Jan 1998 to 7 Jan 1998 3. too precise wind speeds 4. WeatherNode Version 4.0 Software +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 03:46:01 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: weathernode 4.0 Good morning to all! I finally downloaded asoftware that gets wx data like th weather wire and it works!! And it works!! My question is this, I went to the state/national module and clicked on the zfp that I wanted to see and nothing came up. What did I do wrong. Oh! can I have the alarm be heard through my computer speaker or sound card? Chris Sells SELLS ENTERPRISES IF YOU CAN THINK OF IT WE CAN TYPE IT! http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 00:06:47 -0800 From: "Heather M. Hauser" Subject: Re: WX-TOR Digest - 5 Jan 1998 to 7 Jan 1998 I've just got around to going through all these and I wondered what exactly the radar signature here is: > BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED > TORNADO WARNING > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL > 1053 AM CST WED JAN 7 1998 > > THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A > TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1140 AM CST > FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... > > IN NORTHERN ALABAMA > > ...MARSHALL COUNTY... > > AT 1051 AM CST... WEATHER RADAR SHOWED A TORNADO SIGNATURE THAT HAD > MOVED ACROSS PARTS OF ST. CLAIR AND ETOWAH COUNTIES AND WAS > MAINTAINING IT'S INTENSITY. THIS TYPE OF RADAR SIGNATURE MEANS THAT ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ > SHORT-LIVED, DAMAGING TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THIS STORM MOVES NORTH > AT 45 TO 50 MPH. I don't remember the general situation well anough to guess what this might have been. Would it be a rotating area in the head of a bow echo? Heather M Hauser heather@gatech.campus.mci.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Apr 1998 18:28:16 -0800 From: Ken Poulton Subject: too precise wind speeds > I have noticed that some private forecasting companies issue wind speeds > in increments other than 5 mi/h or the lower and upper value is not an > increment of 5. For example, 10-18mi/h or 12-22mi/h. > > In a science/art as imprecise as weather forecasting, is it necessary to > have these unusual ranges of wind speed? Why not round to the nearest 5 > mi/h? I am used to the NWS, which uses increments of 5 mi/h. For windsurfing forecasts, it makes sense. I choose a different sail for each 3 mph change in the average wind speed! A day of 15 mph winds is a totally different experience than 20 mph and requires a different set of equipment. Or to take your example, I would never bother to go out in 10-18, but probably would in 12-22. The forecaster is telling me quite a bit is different with those two forecasts. He's not all *that* accurate, but enough so that I would hate to characterize both of those as "15 mph" or "10-20 mph". Ken Poulton poulton@opus.hpl.hp.com "Windsurfing is so addictive because it's like sex: you don't know when you will get it, and then you don't know how good it will be." -- Randy Johnson ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 04:38:43 GMT From: J Subject: Re: WeatherNode Version 4.0 Software I realize this is a beta version, BUT: I tried to install the software and it didn't work. Since there's not any information on this on their website about this specific problem I would like to warn people - if you want to install this software in a different directory than the default, or if you already have something in C:\weather, you'll lose it, and this program will not work. In addition the software does not understand long file names which scares me into thinking it might be 16-bit software, which will drag down any modern computer, and at the very least will be extremely inefficient and hard to work with. I attempted to install into a non-default directory and it would not work, even after reprogramming in DOS compatible filenames into the path name window -- which by the way was asking for default directories that wouldn't have been created anyway. It kept giving constant error messages until I force-killed it. I generally don't have a lot of patience for software that was written without any consideration for alternate directories and long file names, and I'm not willing to give up a root directory to try this software. There are enough programmers out there who know how to use modern tools and write modern programs so that the average joe shouldn't have to put up with this. 4 megs was a long download time to find out that the software doesn't work. In other words, my beta feedback is : Make your program work. J ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Apr 1998 to 4 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Apr 8 05:49:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3771 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626514-5794>; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 14:07:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA19012; Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:03:13 -0500 Message-Id: <199804060603.BAA19012@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1998 to 5 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63fe6c123c51b1c1bfd33d6d98394bb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 204 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WeatherNode 4.0 Beta 2. Set your clocks FORWARDS. 3. Hurricane Season Predictions (2) 4. TV Met Job Available (Joplin, MO) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 07:37:36 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Re: WeatherNode 4.0 Beta I've had no problems whatsoever with the updated WeatherNode 4.0 beta, but it does have to installed in c:\weather or won't run at all. Also, while it performs best under Win 95 with a fast Pentium processor, it will also run under Win 3.1 (therefore long filenames can't be used). This is really no problem since all of the files in the NWS IWIN/EMWIN datastreams are 8 characters (or less) plus a suffix on all except AFOS graphics. Jim Robinson Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org & Houston-Harris County, Texas, EMWIN Coordinator ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 10:43:15 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Set your clocks FORWARDS. This is a reminder to set your clocks forwards if you have not already done so. I noticed early this morning that TWC changed their clock, but they must have got confused with fall. They set it BACK one hour. It is corrected now. Charles Edwards Cloud 9 Tours storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 13:55:08 -0400 From: Ken Harrell Subject: Hurricane Season Predictions Anyone know anything about this "Houston-based Weather Research Center?" Accuracy of past predictions? Credentials? etc. I don't recall seeing projections like this before with predicted landfalls. Ken Harrell, Director Dorchester County Emergency Services Summerville, SC ********************************* Forecasters see five Atlantic hurricanes in 1998 HOUSTON (Reuters) - The 1998 Atlantic hurricane season is likely to brew up eight tropical storms, five of which will become hurricanes, a weather forecasting group said Friday. The Houston-based Weather Research Center said there was a 45 percent chance that one of the hurricanes would be a major storm with winds above 114 miles per hour. The group predicted a particularly active year in the Gulf of Mexico. It said there was a 90 percent chance the west coast of Florida would be struck by a storm, up from the usual 60 to 70 percent. Other areas likely to be hit included the east coast of Florida, with a 70 percent probability, Mexico also at 70 percent and Texas 60 percent. Jill Hasling, a meteorologist with the group, said a normal Atlantic hurricane season would bring nine tropical storms. `We're predicting a near-normal season, but it will really depend on the effects of El Nino and whether it will continue to suppress storm formation,'' she said. The Pacific warm-weather phenomenon El Nino disrupts storm conditions in the Atlantic and last year contributed to a season with only seven named storms, three of which became hurricanes. A tropical storm forms and is given a name when its winds each 39 mph and becomes a hurricane when winds hit 74 mph. The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30. Noted hurricane forecaster William Gray at Colorado State University has predicted that the 1998 Atlantic season would bring nine storms, five of them hurricanes. ^REUTERS@ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 20:49:58 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Hurricane Season Predictions > I seem to recall that Neil Frank went to Houston after he was at TPC. Perhaps he is affiliated with this group (although I would think they'd quote him in the news release if he was -- he is pretty famous). Scott > Anyone know anything about this "Houston-based > Weather Research Center?" Accuracy of past predictions? > Credentials? etc. > > I don't recall seeing projections like this before with predicted > landfalls. > > > Ken Harrell, Director > Dorchester County Emergency Services > Summerville, SC > ********************************* > > > Forecasters see five Atlantic hurricanes in 1998 > > HOUSTON (Reuters) - > > The 1998 Atlantic hurricane season is > likely to brew up eight tropical storms, five of which will > become hurricanes, a weather forecasting group said Friday. > > The Houston-based Weather Research Center said there was > a 45 percent chance that one of the hurricanes would be a major > storm with winds above 114 miles per hour. > > The group predicted a particularly active year in the > Gulf of Mexico. It said there was a 90 percent chance the west coast > of Florida would be struck by a storm, up from the usual 60 to > 70 percent. > > Other areas likely to be hit included the east coast of > Florida, with a 70 percent probability, Mexico also at 70 > percent and Texas 60 percent. > > Jill Hasling, a meteorologist with the group, said a > normal Atlantic hurricane season would bring nine tropical storms. > `We're predicting a near-normal season, but it will > really depend on the effects of El Nino and whether it will continue to > suppress storm formation,'' she said. > > The Pacific warm-weather phenomenon El Nino disrupts > storm conditions in the Atlantic and last year contributed to a season > with only seven named storms, three of which became hurricanes. > A tropical storm forms and is given a name when its winds > each 39 mph and becomes a hurricane when winds hit 74 mph. > The Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and ends > Nov. 30. > > Noted hurricane forecaster William Gray at Colorado State > University has predicted that the 1998 Atlantic season would > bring nine storms, five of them hurricanes. > > ^REUTERS@ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 21:48:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Joplin, MO) KODE-TV in Joplin, Missouri has an IMMEDIATE opening for a weekday evening weather anchor. The person hired will be energetic, community minded and ready to tackle the challenges of forecasting and reporting the weather in the four state area. Opening MUST be filled by April 23rd. Please send VHS tape, resume and cover letter to: Jeff Phillips, News Director KODE-TV 1929 West 13th Street Joplin, MO 64801 Equal Opportunity Employer *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1998 to 5 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Apr 8 05:50:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1903 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627130-27652>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 14:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id BAA18346; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 01:07:14 -0500 Message-Id: <199804070607.BAA18346@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Apr 1998 to 6 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 823ec779fa097dcbfa19109a1857ce9f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 431 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Season Predictions (2) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1998 to 5 Apr 1998 (2) 3. Annual TESSA National Meeting 4. TV Met Job Available (Toronto, Ontario, Canada) 5. TV Met Job Available (Toronto, Ontario, Canada) (fwd) 6. =?iso-8859-1?Q?TV_Met_Job_Available_(Helena,=A0_MT)?= 7. Weathernode 4.0 (2) 8. too precise wind speeds 9. More on Weathernode 4.0/FTP problem 10. Hurricane Predictions 11. Minnesota Archived Text Data.. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 01:43:39 -0500 From: Douglas Butts Subject: Re: Hurricane Season Predictions > I seem to recall that Neil Frank went to Houston after he was at TPC. Perhaps > he is affiliated with this group (although I would think they'd quote him > in the news release if he was -- he is pretty famous). > Scott No, Dr. Neil is the Chief Meteorologist at KHOU-TV...the CBS affiliate in Houston. Doug ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 04:20:43 -0500 From: Chris Hebert Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1998 to 5 Apr 1998 >Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 13:55:08 -0400 >From: Ken Harrell >Subject: Hurricane Season Predictions > >Anyone know anything about this "Houston-based >Weather Research Center?" Accuracy of past predictions? >Credentials? etc. > >I don't recall seeing projections like this before with predicted >landfalls. > > >Ken Harrell, Director >Dorchester County Emergency Services >Summerville, SC >********************************* > >Date: Sun, 5 Apr 1998 20:49:58 CDT >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: Re: Hurricane Season Predictions > >>============================================== > >I seem to recall that Neil Frank went to Houston after he was at TPC. Perhaps >he is affiliated with this group (although I would think they'd quote him >in the news release if he was -- he is pretty famous). > > >Scott > Ken/Scott, I actually used to work at the "Weather Research Center" back in 1980 when it was called the "Institute for Storm Research" and situated on the tiny campus of the University of St. Thomas. It is/was run by Dr. John Freeman, the lone Meteorology professor at the university and his daughter, Jill Hasling. This was supposedly a "non-profit" organization and I can assure you that it was. They basically employed only college students and very recent graduates and forced them to work quite long hours for very little money. Jill was no meteorologist, she had a degree in mathmatics (at least back then). Neil Frank is still here in Houston working for CBS Channel 11 (hoping for an active Gulf hurricane season for the first year since he's worked here) and is not affiliated with them at all. Dr. Freeman is well on in years and I believe he is getting quite senile. Jill never demonstrated the least bit of meteorology knowledge back when I knew her. Almost certainly, any long-range predictions that they make are based upon some stupid mathematical formula that Jill made up using climatology as a guide. I wouldn't trust them as far as I could throw them (Jill and Dr. Freeman, that is). They remind me of a couple of scam artists. As for that "45% chance of a hurricane with winds of 114mph" developing this year - WOW! What a prediction! I can hardly remember a year without a cat 3 hurricane developing. And the west coast of Florida has a "90% chance of a storm"? Hmm, up from the normal 70% chance? They're really going out on a limb there. My feeling is that they remain a struggling company that has found a way to gain national attention by making seemingly bold (but not really) predictions using some of Jill's secret formulas in a continued effort to dupe clients into signing up for their service. As for their predictions, I'd give them a little less credence than the Farmer's Almanac. ;) Chris Hebert Universal Weather & Aviation, Inc. Houston, TX (My WorldWide Weather) (My Weekend Cycling Forecast) (My "Weatherman Cam") (My Home Page) (The Houston Bicycle Club) (My Backup WorldWide Weather server) Subject: Annual TESSA National Meeting 5th Annual TESSA National Meeting Set for April 18 in Plano The 5th Annual TESSA National Meeting is set for Saturday, April 18 in Plano, Texas. The meeting will begin at 9:00 AM and end around noon. This year’s featured speaker is Harold Brooks (left) of the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Oklahoma. Mr. Brooks will speak on “2000 Years of Tornado Theories and Observations.” In addition, storm chaser and spotter Lon Curtis will speak on “The Storm Spotter, First Line of Defense” and Tim Heller, KDFW-TV meteorologist, will speak on “The Media and the Warning System.” A short “storm bloopers” video is scheduled after the speakers. The TESSA store will open for business immediately following the meeting to sell T-shirts, videos and TESSA member decals. The 1997 meeting attracted more than 200 people from across the country. This year’s meeting is expected to be an even bigger success. The meeting is free; TESSA members and non-members are welcome. Seating is limited, so arrive early. The meeting will take place in the Council Theatre at 1520 Ave. K . A map to the meeting site is available at http://www.tessa.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 08:58:03 -0600 From: Jim Burgan Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1998 to 5 Apr 1998 >------------------------------ >This is a reminder to set your clocks forwards if you have not already done >so. I noticed early this morning that TWC changed their clock, but they >must have got confused with fall. They set it BACK one hour. It is >corrected now. > > >---------------------------------- Unless you live in Indiana (excluding a few counties near Chicago, Louisville and Cincinnati), Arizona or parts of Hawaii. These areas don't observe DST so keep that in mind as you travel to one of these great states Then again.... We always were a bit slow here in Indiana. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 10:06:57 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Toronto, Ontario, Canada) METEOROLOGIST (CITYTV/CP24) Dew Point...Lake Effect...Tsunami...Cirrus.... Stratus (no, not the car). If you're familiar with these terms, Citytv/CP24 is looking for an energetic, experienced meteorologist looking to break into television, City Style. Send your tapes and letters, no phone calls please, to: CityPulse/CP24 Weather Specialist 299 Queen St. W. Toronto, Ontario M5V 2Z5 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 11:20:21 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Hurricane Season Predictions Hi Wx-talkers, On Mon, 6 Apr 1998, Ken Harrell wrote: > Anyone know anything about this "Houston-based > Weather Research Center?" Accuracy of past predictions? > Credentials? etc. > > I don't recall seeing projections like this before with predicted > landfalls. They've been doing these forecasts for years based, at least when I looked at their work three years ago, only on the solar cycle. They don't use anything direct like El Nino, Atlantic ocean temperatures, vertical shear, etc. They've never published any of their work and, IMHO, what they are doing is junk. On Mon, 6 Apr 1998, Scott Lindstrom wrote: > I seem to recall that Neil Frank went to Houston after he was at TPC. Perhaps > he is affiliated with this group (although I would think they'd quote him > in the news release if he was -- he is pretty famous). No, he's not affiliated with this group. Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Wastin' away again in Margaritaville Searchin' for my lost shaker of salt Some people claim that there's a woman to blame But I know, that it's El Nino's fault." - Jimmy Buffett - February 7, 1998 - Coral Sky Ampitheater ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 10:33:40 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: TV Met Job Available (Toronto, Ontario, Canada) (fwd) > > METEOROLOGIST (CITYTV/CP24) > Dew Point...Lake Effect...Tsunami...Cirrus.... Stratus (no, not the > car). If you're familiar with these terms, Citytv/CP24 is looking for > an energetic, experienced meteorologist looking to break into > television, City Style. Send your tapes and letters, no phone calls > please, to: CityPulse/CP24 Weather Specialist 299 Queen St. W. > Toronto, Ontario M5V 2Z5 Yeah those tsunamis on Lake Ontario can be a real pain! "CityTV First Alert Gigawatt Doppler 2001 is on Tsunami Watch! Film at 11!" :) ...yeah I know the TV met has be "on call" to answer questions about any earth science or astronomical matter in the news. -Keith ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 10:34:28 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: =?iso-8859-1?Q?TV_Met_Job_Available_(Helena,=A0_MT)?= WEATHER ANCHOR/NEWS REPORTER Gather information and report about news and meteorological happenings; Present weather information in a format that is understandable and meaningful to viewers. Previous experience as a news reporter and anchor; Familiarity with ENG and SNG; Ability to make extensive news contacts in Montana. Possess a valid driver’s license, with no DUI convictions; College degree in Meteorology and/or A.M.S. seal preferred; and Please submit a VHS tape. resume and references. Greg Schieferstein, News Director Beartooth Communications Company 2433 North Montana Avenue Helena, MT 59601 (NO PHONE CALLS PLEASE) BEARTOOTH COMMUNICATIONS COMPANY AN AFFIRMATIVE ACTION/EQUAL OPPORTUNITYEMPLOYER *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 11:47:00 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Weathernode 4.0 I've loaded Weathernode 4.0 and opened some processors, and opened the FTP engine...all I get is the message "Status: Specified address is already in use" and "Connection timeout in: Not Connected" I am on line, connected to my ISP, etc. Am I doing something wrong? Suggestions welcomed! Gary -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- Gore's (no, not THAT Gore!) Third Law of Design Engineering: "Any circuit design must contain at least one part that is obsolete, and two that are unobtainable." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 09:17:39 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: too precise wind speeds Shawn Trueman wrote: > >I have noticed that some private forecasting companies issue wind speeds >in increments other than 5 mi/h or the lower and upper value is not an >increment of 5. For example, 10-18mi/h or 12-22mi/h. > >In a science/art as imprecise as weather forecasting, is it necessary to >have these unusual ranges of wind speed? Why not round to the nearest 5 >mi/h? I am used to the NWS, which uses increments of 5 mi/h. > >Is the reason these private companies use these unusual ranges so that it >doesn't look like they are copying the NWS? > >I am waiting for the day when I read a forecast that says "South (or >another direction) wind at 19-31 mph with gusts to 46." > >What do others think of this practice? > >Shawn Trueman Weather data is used for many purposes than forecasting. Besides windsurfing 8-), the first example that comes to mind is air pollution modeling. People have gone as far as to infer dispersion class (Pasquill-Gifford A through F) from NWS-style data. Old habits die hard. Some even prefer the crude NWS data and STAR tables to direct measurements of turbulence and sensible heat flux. /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 16:19:28 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: More on Weathernode 4.0/FTP problem I do see the FTP engine trying to connect (48.8k using AT&T Worldnet for my ISP). The timeout timer starts counting down...and says it is "Status: Attempting connection to FTP Server." The status line changes QUICKLY to indicate that the system is unable to copy the remote file, then goes to: "Status: Specified address is already in use" and the bottom line reads: "Connection timeout in: Not Connected" -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- Gore's (no, not THAT one!) Third Law of Design Engineering: "Any circuit design must contain at least one part that is obsolete, and two that are unobtainable." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 16:51:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Weathernode 4.0 Any chance we could move Weathernode discussions to the EMWIN list? Seems like a lot of the traffic on WX-Talk is repeating messages that have been answered on the EMWIN side. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 19:42:04 EDT From: HurcTrack Subject: Re: Hurricane Predictions Ken, I saw the message that you posted in the forum about the Houston based Hurricane Prediction Center. I would definitely wait until Dr. William Gray gets his numbers out this Wednesday before jumping to conclusions. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 18:47:48 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Minnesota Archived Text Data.. Crossposting to reach as many folks as possible: I am wondering where/who would have archived alpha-numeric data regarding the Minnesota Tornado of March 29. This would include all SPC products, forecast discussions from MN/IA/NE/KS/WI and subsequent warnings and special statements. Any information would be greatly appreciated. Thanks. Daniel Dix ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Apr 1998 to 6 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-26865>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:13:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22862; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:04:30 -0500 Message-Id: <199804080504.AAA22862@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 00:01:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1998 to 7 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 306544422cd770144f234b3d0fac2e34 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 268 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Updated Seasonal Atlantic Hurricane Forecast 2. Early April prediction 3. Hurricane Season Predictions 4. radar selection (2) 5. InterRad 6. Gray's Hurricane prediction released +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 12:49:17 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated Seasonal Atlantic Hurricane Forecast Hi Wxtalkers, +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ El Nino to Fade Away; More Hurricanes to Appear This Year Gray Says in Slightly Increased Second Forecast for the 1998 Season +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Colorado State Press Release: April 7, 1998 FORT COLLINS--The much-discussed El Nino will fade in 1998, and that will help lead to an increase in hurricane activity this year compared with last year, Colorado State University hurricane forecaster William Gray said in a report released today. In this second forecast for the upcoming hurricane season, Gray and his colleagues are increasing their forecast totals from nine to ten tropical storms that will form in the Atlantic Basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. From those storms, the team now predicts six hurricanes will evolve and two will go on to become intense or major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. That's a slight increase from the initial forecast, when Gray and his team predicated a season with nine tropical storms, five hurricanes and two intense hurricanes, or Andrew- sized storms. On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes form annually. Last year's hurricane activity was suppressed by what has turned out to be the strongest El Nino in recorded history--a record that has generated considerable media attention for its impact on weather patterns around the globe. In today's report, Gray and his research team predict that the El Nino will be mostly dissipated by the start of the active part of the hurricane season in mid-August 1998, and that, taken with other favorable climate changes, will work to produce a season with more hurricane activity. Overall, Gray and his team are looking for a season that closely matches what occurs in an average year. When El Nino is in place, it produces upper-level westerly winds at 40,000 feet in the tropical Atlantic Ocean that help block hurricane development. Gray and other forecasters watching this El Nino believe these warm-water temperatures will be replaced by cool water sometime in the late summer. These cooler-water temperatures, or La Nina conditions, help promote hurricane activity. Although the strength or weakness of El Nino is a major influence on hurricane activity, other global conditions offer a more favorable influence for increased activity in the upcoming hurricane season, Gray and his research team said. The only major negative factor for hurricane activity is the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, or the equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000 to 75,000 feet, which are expected to blow from an easterly direction. This easterly flow tends to inhibit hurricane development. When the QBO blows in a westerly direction, there is typically 50 to 75 percent more hurricane activity, according to Gray. The factors favoring hurricane development in 1998 include above-average sea surface temperatures in the North, East and tropical regions of the Atlantic. When these regions are warmer during the summer and fall, it typically helps to promote hurricane formation the following year. Another factor working to promote hurricane activity is a condition known as the Azores High, a ridge of high surface pressure located near the Azores Islands in the North Atlantic. This ridge of high pressure was below the long-term average in October and November, and continues below-average in March. This causes weaker East Atlantic trade winds and is more favorable for hurricane development in the following season. One of the uncertain factors in the 1998 forecast involves rainfall in the Western Sahel region of Africa. When this region is wetter than normal, it typically promotes hurricane formation and the season's net hurricane activity will be increased. When dryer than normal conditions are present in this region, it typically inhibits hurricane activity. Gray and his research team will watch this factor closely for upcoming forecasts in June and August. Gray and his team believe that the drier than average conditions in this region were brought on by El Nino and therefore should not be considered an indication that 1998 hurricane activity will be greatly reduced. "We're still watching the El Nino very closely, and we will have to keep a close eye on what the lingering effects of El Nino might be," Gray said. "In the last season, it produced some weather anomalies like the dry conditions in the Western Sahel that had an impact on the hurricane season and on our forecasts. "In the next two reports in early June and early August, we will likely have a much better picture of how these interconnected global conditions will affect storm activity." In addition to these factors, throughout the season Gray and research team members Chris Landsea at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Research Division in Miami, Fla.; John Knaff; Paul Mielke; and Kenneth Berry also take into account temperature and pressure readings in West Africa, Caribbean Sea-level pressure readings, temperature readings above Singapore at about 54,000 feet and tropospheric winds at 40,000 feet. Gray's hurricane forecasts--issued annually in early December, April, June and August--do not predict landfall and apply only to the Atlantic Basin, the area encompassing the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. Although El Nino suppressed hurricane activity last year, statistics show that the period between 1995-1997 still was the busiest three-year period for hurricane activity on record. The three-year span generated 39 named storms, 23 hurricanes (12 of which were intense) and 115 hurricane days. Based on that record, Gray maintains his theory that the Atlantic Basin is entering an era spanning many decades of increased hurricane activity and which will include particularly intense or major hurricanes. HURRICANE FORECASTS--1998 SEASON TODAY'S FORECAST 12/97 1. Named Storms (9.3)* 10 9 2. Named Storm Days (46.6) 50 40 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 6 5 4. Hurricane Days (23.9) 20 20 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.3) 2 2 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 4 3 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (71.2)** 65 50 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100) 95 90 HURRICANE FORECASTS AND ACTUAL--1997 SEASON '97 ACTUAL 8/97 6/97 4/97 12/96 1. Named Storms (9.3) 7 11 11 11 11 2. Named Storm Days (46.6) 28 45 55 55 55 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 3 6 7 7 7 4. Hurricane Days (23.9) 10 20 25 25 25 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.3) 1 2 3 3 3 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 2.2 3 5 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (71.2) 26 60 75 75 75 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100) 54 100 110 110 110 * Number in ( ) represents average year totals based on 1950-1990 ** Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind- and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category on the Saffir-Simpson scale. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I am more afraid of a West Indian hurricane than I am of the entire Spanish Navy." U.S. President McKinley During the Spanish-American War ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 16:28:54 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: Early April prediction I am very surprised over the new hurricane prediction for 1998. Dr. Gray raised the total from 9 to 10 storms, which really shocks me. The reason why has to do with El Nino. When he made his original forecast back in December, the official El Nino forecast was for dissipation by the beginning of the hurricane season. However, the last couple of forecasts called for a mild El Nino event during the summer, which in turn would inhibit hurricane activity. This shows up in the SST loops, which indicate that the anomaly in the E-Pac has remained the same for the past few weeks, and might have even went up in spots. I would just like someone who is in close contact with the forecasters to convince me that El Nino will mostly be gone by the beginning of the main period of hurricane activity. Dr. Gray is a very intelligent man, and he has done very well in the past, but I am just curious about why he said what he did about El Nino. Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 16:19:12 -0500 From: Kyle Tupin Subject: Re: Hurricane Season Predictions It has come to our attention that Mr. Chris Hebert appended the name of our company, Universal Weather and Aviation, Inc ("Universal"), to an April 5, 1998 response he made from his home to you regarding the above subject. Mr. Hebert was not authorized to make any statements in the name of Universal. The views expressed in his message are not those of Universal. Universal disclaims any responsibility for originating that message. *********************************************************************** Kyle Tupin 713-944-1622 ext 2200 Sr Manager ktupin@univ-wea.com Meteorology Operations http://www.univ-wea.com Universal Weather and Aviation, Inc. ********************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 19:55:58 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: radar selection Does anyone happen to know right off any radars in ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 21:03:08 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: InterRad Can someone please let me where I can find the InterRad and StormRad radar. Does it require a subscription? Thanks, J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn Advanced Spotter Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:32:38 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Gray's Hurricane prediction released Several of the news-wires mentioned Dr.Gray et al's forecast was out today. "In summary, data through the end of March indicate that 1998 will experience hurricane activity above that to be expected for an easterly stratospheric QBO year and in a year when a strong El Niqo is still present near the start of the season " http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/1998/april98/ -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Apr 1998 23:23:59 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: radar selection On Tue, 7 Apr 1998, Chris Sells wrote: > Does anyone happen to know right off any radars in Yes. There's one in, and then there's another in, but the best one is in 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1998 to 7 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu Apr 16 20:24:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2965 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-25348>; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:13:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41612; Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:08:02 -0500 Message-Id: <199804090508.AAA41612@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 00:01:17 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Apr 1998 to 8 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71128faf889c8c616b71f43d71f22ce3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 430 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1998 to 7 Apr 1998 2. NWA Iowa Conference a Success 3. Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events (4) 4. NWS announces Exercise Response '98 5. METAR and TAF Source Question 6. Severe weather alerts to alpha pager 7. RUC II in business! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 08:40:15 -0500 From: Chris Hebert Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1998 to 7 Apr 1998 I applied to a post earlier this week about long-range hurricane predicitons from my home computer and inadvertently attached a signature file identifying the company I work for, Universal Weather. Let it be clear that any posts of mine here reflect solely my thoughts/opinions and not those of Universal Weather. Chris Hebert ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 10:43:58 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: NWA Iowa Conference a Success John McLaughlin" asked me to post the following... Central Iowa NWA Severe Storms Conference a Huge Success! The Central Iowa Chapter of the National Weather Association held the second annual Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference in Des Moines 3-5 April 1998. The conference began with a letter from Vice President Al Gore welcoming participants. Vice President Gore said, "I want to take a moment to emphasize the importance of your discussions this weekend as they relate to improvements in severe weather detection." The Vice President went on to thank the many people from diverse interests who came together to improve and expand NOAA weather radio in Iowa and increase the availability of weather radios in the state. The Central Iowa NWA is humbled that chapter efforts have resulted in recognition from the Vice President's Office. The conference drew up to 320 participants during the peak on Saturday, up nearly 100 from the 1997 conference. The crowd was equally split between media, National Weather Service, and emergency management/storm spotters. The number of presentations from media and emergency management representatives was up sharply from 1997, providing good balance to papers presented by government meteorologists and researchers. The subject matter of presentations was also well-balanced with emphasis on everything from radar interpretation, new advancements in Doppler radar, media-NWS cooperation, to storm-scale numerical models being developed by the Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms. Evening session were of a more "entertaining" tone with storm chase videos and sky photographs. The Central Iowa NWA wishes to extend a special thanks to all who attended and presented during the conference. It is gratifying that such names as Les Lemon, Don Burgess, Bob Johns, Ken Crawford, Alan Moller, Alan Eustis and many, many others supported the conference through keynote addresses, workshops, panel discussions and presentations. Thanks also to the vendors! Their support allows for low conference registration fees and more ammenities. It is exciting to see the growth in the National Weather Association and the local chapter program. Several attendees have inquired as to starting local chapters in their areas! The Central Iowa Chapter is proud to be part of such and outstanding organization. Regards, John McLaughlin Central Iowa NWA *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 14:08:30 -0400 From: B Berra Subject: Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events Recently I heard two different accounts of the odd weather that occurred on January 31, 1977. 1) all 48 of the contiguous United States received snow on this date; or 2) on this date all 50 states had snow on the ground. I believe that one of these is correct and was hoping someone would be able to clarify things for me. ************************** *Benjamin Taylor Berra * *1020 Orrs Bridge Road * *Mechanicsburg, PA 17055* *bb7155@ark.ship.edu * *717-532-1669/530-8029 * ************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:13:18 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: NWS announces Exercise Response '98 The following appeared on the weather wire. I've converted it to mixed case to make it easier to read. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Public Information Statement National Weather Service Headquarters Washington, DC 1130 AM EDT, Tue Apr 7, 1998 Attention: All National Weather Service (NWS) offices/Family of Services subscribers (FOS)/ NOAAPORT users/ NOAA Weather Wire Service (NWWS) subscribers/ other NWS product users From: Donald R. Wernly Chief, Customer Service Core Subject: Exercise Response 98 During the week of April 20, 1998 the National Weather Service will participate in a full-scale Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) sponsored exercise designed to assess adequacy of federal, state and local plans, policies, and procedures for responding to a simulated hurricane landfall event in the northeast US. Exercise Response 98 provides the basis to evaluate the procedures that support the federal response plan concept of operations and regional supplements to the plan, and the integration of those procedures with emergency operations plans developed by the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont, New York, and the Canadian Atlantic provinces of Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland. The National Weather Service will play a support role to the Response 98 participants through the provision of weather products normally prepared and delivered during normal operations. During the operational periods of the exercise, Monday April 20, noon to 5 PM EDT; Tuesday and Wednesday April 21-22, 8 AM to 5 PM EDT; and Thursday April 23, 8 AM to noon EDT, National Weather Service offices will be issuing exercise messages in support of Exercise Response 98. Exercise messages will simulate weather conditions associated with a strong Category 3 hurricane. Messages created by NWS offices will be disseminated through normal NWS distribution modes. Each and every message issued by a NWS office will be identified as an exercise message and will begin and end with the following notification statements: "The following message is part of Exercise Response 98. It does not reflect existing weather conditions. Similar hurricane related messages will continue through April 23 in support of Exercise Response 98" "The preceding message is part of Exercise Response 98 and in no way reflects existing weather conditions" Should adverse weather conditions threaten the exercise area during the conducting of the exercise the nws will discontinue distribution of exercise messages and focus exclusively on its forecast and warning responsibilities. NWS offices participating in Exercise Response 98 include the following: Tropical Prediction Center Hydrologic Prediction Center Storm Prediction Center NWS Techniques Development Lab Albany, NY Forecast Office Grey, ME Forecast Office Binghamton, NY Forecast Office Burlington, VT Forecast Office Mt. Holly, NJ Forecast Office Taunton, MA, Forecast Office Midatlantic River Forecast Center NE River Forecast Center Upton, NY Forecast Office NWS points of contact for Exercise Response 98 are: Rainer Dombrowsky, NWSH, Office of Meteorology 301-713-0090 x116 Harvey Thurm, ERH, Meteorological Services Division, 516-244-0124 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 13:24:21 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events > > Recently I heard two different accounts of the odd weather that occurred > on January 31, 1977. 1) all 48 of the contiguous United States received > snow on this date; or 2) on this date all 50 states had snow on the > ground. I believe that one of these is correct and was hoping someone > would be able to clarify things for me. > I'm inclined to believe 2) over 1). For FL to get snow would require strong NW'ly flow/flurries -- I don't know if I can imagine a regime that would give FL snowfall and also give Louisiana and/or Oklahoma snowfall. But I don't know for sure. Certainly HI and AK almost always have snow on the ground on the peaks at the end of January, though. Scott ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 18:42:47 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events B Berra wrote: > > Recently I heard two different accounts of the odd weather that > occurred on January 31, 1977. 1) all 48 of the contiguous United > States received snow on this date; or 2) on this date all 50 > states had snow on the ground. I believe that one of these is > correct and was hoping someone would be able to clarify things > for me. > Both _could_ be correct, although 2) might be the most likely of the two...after receiving snow on that day (or any previous day), I could envision some portion of every state having snow cover (including northern Florida, and Mauna Loa /elevation 13,680 feet/ in Hawaii, and maybe a small portion of Wisconsin...). -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 19:08:47 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events B Berra wrote: > > Recently I heard two different accounts of the odd weather that > occurred on January 31, 1977. 1) all 48 of the contiguous United > States received snow on this date; or 2) on this date all 50 > states had snow on the ground. I believe that one of these is > correct and was hoping someone would be able to clarify things > for me. > Driven by morbid curiosity, I looked up the NOAA Daily Weather Maps series for January 31 - February 6, 1977. What I saw looked something like this: * good "Arctic outbreak" upper air pattern, with a deep polar vortex over Quebec, eh, and a ridge over western North America * surface cold front passed through Florida on 31 Jan, reaching Cuba by 02 Feb * snow reported at Tallahasse, FL and Mobile, AL the morning of 31 Jan * the 7 AM 01 February 1-inch snow depth contour was drawn through some part of every "Southern" state (except for SC, but I'm sure the mountains of SC could have received some snow in this type of synoptic scenario) * No precip was reported for NV, UT, IL, MO, KY, TN, DE, NJ, CT or RI on either 31 Jan or 01 Feb (but these states either had > 1 inch of snow cover indicated, or had moutains that likely had some snow cover). So I stand by my 2) pick... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 14:31:18 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: METAR and TAF Source Question Is there a convenient site for accessing METAR and TAF data on the web? I received a request from an individual for this data and thought I'd start by posting a query here. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 16:13:46 -0700 From: Rick Gutierrez Subject: Severe weather alerts to alpha pager Does anyone know of an affordable way someone could receive severe weather alerts, for one county to one alpha pager? My pager does have an internet address, thru interpage.net, if that helps. Compuserve offered this service for their subscribers, but I no longer have Compuserve. I have checked out AccuWeather ($195/6mos) and Widespread weather. Any other options? Rick Gutierrez -- rickg@ameritech.net (Home) ricardo.gutierrez@ucm.com (Work) rickg@interpage.net (Alpha pager, to reach me fast) http://www.ameritech.net/users/rickg/rickg.html (Home page) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Apr 1998 23:06:59 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: RUC II in business! In case you didn't see this... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION MESSAGE 98-06...UPDATED... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 1240 PM EST THU APR 3 1998 TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: LEROY SPAYD...CHIEF...SCIENCE AND TRAINING CORE SUBJECT VERSION 2 OF THE RAPID UPDATE CYCLE (RUC2) NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODEL...EFFECTIVE MONDAY APRIL 6 1998...NEW DATE AFTER POSTPONMENT ON MARCH 17 1998 AT 1200 UTC ON APRIL 6 1998...VERSION 2 OF THE RAPID UPDATE CYCLE (RUC2) WILL BE INTRODUCED INTO OPERATIONS...AFTER A POSTPONMENT FROM MARCH 17 1998. THIS NEW VERSION INCLUDES EXTENSIVE CHANGES AND IMPROVEMENTS TO THE CURRENT OPERATIONAL RUC WHICH IT IS REPLACING. EACH OF THESE CHANGES AND IMPROVEMENTS ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. ...CHANGES AND IMPROVEMENTS... - MOST OF THE OUTPUT FROM THE RUC2 WILL BE AVAILABLE IN GRIB FORMAT ON A SUBSET OF GRID #212...A 40KM LAMBERT-CONFORMAL GRID. PREVIOUSLY...THE RUC WAS AVAILABLE ON THE 80KM LAMBERT-CONFORMAL GRID (#211). NOTES ON OUTPUT: THE GRID #212 OUTPUT /UPDATED EVERY HOUR...AS MENTIONED BELOW/ IS ONLY AVAILABLE THROUGH FILE TRANSFER PROTOCOL FROM THE NWS OFFICE OF SYSTEMS OPERATIONS SERVER /IP ADDRESS 140.90.6.103/. THE 80KM...GRID #211 OUTPUT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPLIED TO FAMILY OF SERVICE/S HIGH RESOLUTION DATA SERVICE AS BEFORE...EVERY THREE HOURS. HOWEVER...THE IMPROVEMENTS INHERENT IN RUC2 SHOULD PROVIDE IMPROVED ACCURACY TO THIS OUTPUT. - RESOLUTION AND COVERAGE - THE HORIZONTAL RESOLUTION WILL IMPROVE FROM 60-KM TO 40-KM. THE HYBRID-B LEVELS WILL INCREASE FROM 25 LEVELS TO 40 LEVELS. THE ISENTROPIC SPACING IN MUCH OF THE TROPOSPHERE HAS BEEN DECREASED FROM 4 K TO 2 K. THE RUC2 DOMAIN COVERS ABOUT 50% MORE AREA THAN THE RUC DOMAIN...MOSTLY BY EXTENDING COVERAGE TO THE WEST OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND TO THE SOUTH INTO MEXICO. - FREQUENCY - THE RUN FREQUENCY WILL INCREASE FROM EVERY THREE HOURS TO HOURLY. THE BACKGROUND FOR EACH ANALYSIS WILL BE THE 1 HOUR FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS CYCLE. A ONE HOUR CYCLE ALLOWS FOR MORE EXTENSIVE USE OF PROFILER...SURFACE AND VAD DATA...ALL OF WHICH ARE AVAILABLE AT LEAST HOURLY. THE DATA CUTOFF WILL BE 18 MINUTES AFTER THE ANALYSIS VALID TIME. AT 0000 UTC AND 1200 UTC...ANOTHER ANALYSIS WILL BE RUN WITH DATA CUTOFF OF 58 MINUTES AFTER ANALYSIS VALID TIME TO ALLOW USE OF THE LATER ARRIVING RAWINSONDE DATA. THE FORECAST IS RUN FROM THAT ANALYSIS. - FORECAST LENGTH - FORECASTS WILL BE PRODUCED OUT TO 12 HOURS EVERY THREE HOURS AND OUT TO 3 HOURS AT THE INTERIM CYCLES. - MODEL CHANGES - SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST MODEL...INCLUDING IMPROVED SURFACE PHYSICS...SNOW PHYSICS AND THE USE OF DAILY LAKE-SURFACE AND SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND SNOW/ICE COVER FIELDS. EXPLICIT CLOUD/MOISTURE MICROPHYSICS ARE NOW INCLUDED ALONG WITH AN ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION PACKAGE. THE CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION HAS ALSO BEEN IMPROVED. - MORE EXTENSIVE AND DETAILED INFORMATION ON THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN RUC AND RUC2 CAN BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE: HTTP://MAPS.FSL.NOAA.GOV /LOWER CASE/ LINKS TO INFORMATION AND RESULTS FROM THE RECENT FIELD EVALUATION OF RUC2 CAN BE FOUND AT THAT SITE AS WELL. ALSO...A DRAFT VERSION OF THE TECHNICAL PROCEDURES BULLETIN ON THE RUC2 UPGRADE CAN BE FOUND AT HTTP://MAPS.FSL.NOAA.GOV/RUC2.TPB.HTML /LOWER CASE/ END ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Apr 1998 to 8 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626493-21487>; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 13:13:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA49906; Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:06:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199804100506.AAA49906@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:02:26 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Apr 1998 to 9 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec8f922253b13f73c8eb51231a055fd1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 507 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Reclarification of January 31, 1977 (2) 2. ALABAMA TORNADO (3) 3. Tornado Deaths? 4. History-making night in Alabama 5. Watch and warning SAME encode policies? 6. Looking for Global Cloud Data 7. Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events 8. AL/GA tornado outbreak archive images/text data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 07:01:42 CDT From: "Kenneth R. Cook" Subject: Reclarification of January 31, 1977 > B Berra wrote: > > > > Recently I heard two different accounts of the odd weather that > > occurred on January 31, 1977. 1) all 48 of the contiguous United > > States received snow on this date; or 2) on this date all 50 > > states had snow on the ground. I believe that one of these is > > correct and was hoping someone would be able to clarify things > > for me. > > > > Driven by morbid curiosity, I looked up the NOAA Daily Weather > Maps series for January 31 - February 6, 1977. What I saw looked > something like this: > > * good "Arctic outbreak" upper air pattern, with a deep polar > vortex over Quebec, eh, and a ridge over western North America > > * surface cold front passed through Florida on 31 Jan, reaching > Cuba by 02 Feb > > * snow reported at Tallahasse, FL and Mobile, AL the morning > of 31 Jan > > * the 7 AM 01 February 1-inch snow depth contour was drawn > through some part of every "Southern" state (except for > SC, but I'm sure the mountains of SC could have received > some snow in this type of synoptic scenario) > > * No precip was reported for NV, UT, IL, MO, KY, TN, DE, NJ, > CT or RI on either 31 Jan or 01 Feb (but these states either > had > 1 inch of snow cover indicated, or had moutains that > likely had some snow cover). > > So I stand by my 2) pick... > > I grew up in South Florida and lived there during the January, snow. In West Palm Beach, snow was observed on January 19th, 1977. I'm pretty sure of the date. It was also, if I am correct, the coldest low temperature ever... 27 degrees. Given that, I would also have to believe choice 2. Don't know if this helps at all. Ken -- email: kenc@bluff.arx.noaa.gov ccmail: Kenneth.Cook@noaa.gov -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these truths to be sacred & undeniable; that all men are created equal & independent, that from that equal creation they derive rights inherent & unalienable, among which are the preservation of life, & liberty, & the pursuit of happiness." - Pre Continental Congress, Jeffersons origional draft for The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- email: kenc@bluff.arx.noaa.gov ccmail: Kenneth.Cook@noaa.gov -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these truths to be sacred & undeniable; that all men are created equal & independent, that from that equal creation they derive rights inherent & unalienable, among which are the preservation of life, & liberty, & the pursuit of happiness." - Pre Continental Congress, Jeffersons origional draft for The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 07:19:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Re: Reclarification of January 31, 1977 >I grew up in South Florida and lived there during the January, snow. In West >Palm Beach, snow was observed on January 19th, 1977. I'm pretty sure of the >date. It was also, if I am correct, the coldest low temperature ever... >27 degrees. Given that, I would also have to believe choice 2. Don't know >if this helps at all. >Ken I haven't checked any records, but I do remember two very cold outbreaks in January of 1977. The first, which I think was around the 19th, was the coldest here in NW Fla with a low of around 10F in Ft. Walton Bch., but no snow. The second a few days later wasn't quite as cold, as I remember, but there was up to around an inch of snow---a few inches more in South Alabama. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 08:05:51 -0500 From: John Oldshue Subject: ALABAMA TORNADO >From John Oldshue, Weekend Meteorologist, ABC 33/40, Birmingham Alabama Words cannot begin to describe the destruction and devastation in Western Jefferson County...a few of the things we know this morning 18 People have been killed...16 in western Jefferson County, 2 in St. Clair County... 167 people are injured. 15 mile damage path, about 3/4 mile wide....damage looks like an F4 , possibly F5 tornado.... Oak Grove High School was completely destroyed...... Some communities that were hit....Oak Grove, Pleasant Grove, Birmingport, Edgewater... The last tornado to cause this type of damage was an F5 tornado in Smithfield Estates (Northern Jefferson County) in April 4, 1977.... Please take a few seconds this morning to send an e-mail to Brian Peters ( Brian.Peters@noaa.gov ) at the National Weather Service in Birmingham and tell him how much we appreciate the staff and all the hard work they did last night. The warning process worked perfectly last night. As I interviewed people last night almost every one of them said they had gotten the warning about the storm and were able to get to a safe place. A tornado watch was in place hours ahead of time and a tornado warning was in effect for Tuscaloosa, Jefferson and St.Clair counties long before the tornado ever hit, giving people the precious time they needed to prepare for the storm. The efforts of the National Weather Service in Birmingham last night could have easily saved 500 lives if not a thousand. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 08:18:16 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Tornado Deaths? Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net I would like some information concerning the number of deaths that have been contributed to tornadoes thus far this year. I would like to have a break down on tornado..location...number of deaths. The pictures coming in from the Southern states are simply amazing. This has obviously been a deadly and destructive year for tornadoes. I realize that the Plains have not been as busy but the rest of us have seen some very destructive storms...more than usual from my experience. These nighttime tornadoes are becoming so common this year that a lot of National Weather Service personnel seem to be spooked. I have some incredible radar images from the Atlanta, Georgia tornado. The velocity image on this storm shows a HUGE area of rotation...and I do mean HUGE. The sirens blew in my hometown blew three times last night...it was a pretty scary night. Thanks for any help and information I still have state maps with county outlines and names on them. It is easier for me to send a single state since the size of the zip file is so large. If someone would like an individual state let me know and I will send it to you. Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 08:33:04 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: History-making night in Alabama David Black asked me to post the following... Alabama's night of deadly supercells By David Black, KB4KCH (Birmingham, Alabama) -- A major severe weather outbreak that caused heavy damage, at least seven deaths and dozens of injuries in central Alabama April 8th drew immediate response from radio amateurs and praise for their efforts from the National Weather Service. Rescue crews worked into the night, searching for victims feared trapped after a powerful tornado spawned by a supercell thunderstorm ripped through a residential area about five miles west of downtown Birmingham. Skywarn teams went into action during the early afternoon hours and were on the air more than ten hours later, continuing to relay reports of storm damage, hail, injuries and relief operations. Skywarn nets were on the air across much of the northern half of Alabama, including Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Talladega, Gadsden, Huntsville and other areas. One of the busiest centers of action was the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Birmingham, which issues warnings for the northern two thirds of the state. Members of the Alabama Emergency Response Team (ALERT) were activated during the afternoon when tornado watches were issued for northwest and south Alabama. Net Control teams began relaying severe weather reports from across the northern half of the state to Birmingham forecasters. The strongest storms erupted quickly and violently during the early evening, producing tornadoes, deaths and damage across a large part of central Alabama. At one point, fourteen Alabama counties were under tornado warnings at the same time. At least one death was reported when a large tornado hit a residential area in the Edgewater community west of downtown Birmingham. At least 150 homes were damaged or destroyed, according to reports from the Edgewater and Maytown areas, and two fire stations were reported destroyed. An elementary and high school were heavily damaged. Power was knocked out to 20,000 customers. In the nearby Sylvan Springs community, cars were overturned and many roads were blocked by trees. One car was spun into the air and landed 200 feet away. Police issued a plea to stay away from the affected areas so that rescue crews could work unhampered. The tornado was also blamed on causing heavy damage in western Tuscaloosa and St. Clair counties. In St. Clair county, east of Birmingham, unconfirmed reports indicated at least two deaths with scores of injuries from tornado or storm damage. In Birmingham, amateur radio operators were asked to provide communications assistance at shelters set up for residents who lost their homes in addition to staffing the Weather Service. Numerous repeaters throughout west, central and east Alabama were pressed into service, providing emergency communications. In the Birmingham area alone, at least five VHF and UHF repeaters were being used for emergency messages. Repeaters were busy with disaster relief and shelter information well past midnight, nearly twelve hours after storms began pounding the state. Scores of supercell thunderstorms erupted during the evening, dumping hail, triggering severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings and causing damage across a large part of central Alabama. At least two churches were hit, including one that was occupied for a Wednesday evening service. People attending the service heard the warning and sought shelter in a hallway just seconds before the tornado hit. The church sustained heavy damage with adults and children suffering what were believed to be non life-threatening injuries. Television reports from the scene showed children and adults with bloody faces being carried to ambulances. One of the first reports of the Birmingham tornado came from ALERT member Mark Parmley, WA4UHC. Parmley was on the air reporting the touchdown just moments after it occurred to Skywarn Net Controls at the National Weather Service. Weather Service officials praised the response and information radio amateurs relayed. "They were absolutely great," said Brian Peters, WD4EPR, a Weather Service meteorologist. "We couldn't have done it without them." Peters said radio amateurs relayed numerous excellent severe weather reports. Many of the reports the Weather Service received came from radio amateurs first and then from other sources, Peters said. Forecasters tracked the supercell thunderstorm that caused the Birmingham tornado as it moved from Mississippi across Alabama to the Georgia line, Peters said. The storm was blamed for damage in Tuscaloosa, Jefferson and St. Clair counties. The Weather Service issued dozens of tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings during the afternoon and evening. At one point, shoppers at a mall just south of Birmingham reported a funnel cloud directly overhead. The Weather Service was itself praised for its handling of the severe weather outbreak by issuing warnings early enough to allow citizens to take shelter. ===================================================================== David Black is a broadcast journalist and President of ALERT. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 09:44:37 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: ALABAMA TORNADO John Oldshue wrote: > > A tornado watch was in place hours ahead of time and a tornado warning > was in effect for Tuscaloosa, Jefferson and St.Clair counties long > before the tornado ever hit, giving people the precious time they needed > to prepare for the storm. The efforts of the National Weather Service in > Birmingham last night could have easily saved 500 lives if not a > thousand. > Amen...and also the folks at SPC whose Convective Outlook yesterday morning said: "A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE MOST CONCENTRATED AREA OF SEVERE INCLUDING A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES IS MOST LIKELY FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY INTO SOUTHERN TENNESSEE AND NORTHERN GEORGIA." Talk about nailing it 12-18 hours ahead of time... Great job, and thanks! -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- Gore's (no, not THAT Gore!) Third Law of Design Engineering: "Any circuit design must contain at least one part that is obsolete, and two that are unobtainable." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 10:44:22 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: ALABAMA TORNADO > to prepare for the storm. The efforts of the National Weather Service in > Birmingham last night could have easily saved 500 lives if not a > thousand. > This is probably something I should know, but do not: What is the most fatal single tornado (in the USA?) Was it the tri-State? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 13:04:20 -0400 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: Watch and warning SAME encode policies? I was a happy camper with my Radio Shack SAME radio until yesterday... 08-Apr ~02:00AM- SVR TRW watch for a small part of the KIG86 (Columbus, OH NWS Radio) listening area. My county was not part of watch, but I was alerted anyway. 08-Apr ~04:00AM SVR TRW warning for a county not even adjacent to me. Both of these events cause my wife to grumble "You spent how much for that thing so that it would only give alerts for our county?". The radio is set for 'single' alert codes and my county is correctly encoded as the first alert code. I know the single/multi switch is working because it will not allow more than one alert code to be displayed when in programming mode. So.... is the culprit the NWS office at ILN (Wilmington, OH)? How can one verify how the watches/warnings are being coded? Is someone encoding more counties than are actually covered by the watch/warning? There's going to be a lot of disgusted radio purchasers out there if someone is over-zealous about coding the watches and warnings that are sent via NOAA WX Radio. If they cannot do the SAME encoding correctly, why do it at all? Do any NOAA WX Radio stations ever do testing on a single-county-at-a-time basis so those with SAME decoding radios can tell if they are working properly? Thanks- Lee Roth N8JQY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 17:54:51 -0400 From: Scott Ritz Subject: Looking for Global Cloud Data Hello ALL: This is Scott Ritz from NASA's Global Change Master Directory. I am just wondering if you anyone out there can help me out. I am trying to locate a gridded data set for one of our users. The user is looking for 1 or 2.5 degree grid Global Cloud Data starting in 1994. This person has the ISCCP cloud data up to 1994. Does anyone know of a source of Global Cloud Data after 1994? Thanks for your help. Scott Ritz ======================================================= Scott Ritz Tel: 301-441-4286 Meteorology Coordinator - GCMD Fax: 301-441-9486 Raytheon STX Corp. 7701 Greenbelt Road, Suite 400 Greenbelt, MD 20770 USA URL: http://gcmd.nasa.gov/ e-mail: ritz@gcmd.nasa.gov ======================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 17:37:06 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Clarification of Jan.31, 1977 events Berra wrote: > Recently I heard two different accounts of the odd weather that > occurred on January 31, 1977. 1) all 48 of the contiguous United > States received snow on this date; or 2) on this date all 50 > states had snow on the ground. I believe that one of these is > correct and was hoping someone would be able to clarify things > for me. > Snowfall, no See http://wwwcaps.ou.edu/~kbrews/snowfall.gif Snowcover, possibly See http://wwwcaps.ou.edu/~kbrews/snowcover.gif (snowcover is what is on the ground in the morning, BTW) These are images from the NCDC ClimVis program for that day. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ Of course they don't have obs from all mountain locations, so I assume NC and SC have some cover. Delaware? -Keith ---------------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 21:47:03 +0000 From: Mike Umscheid Subject: AL/GA tornado outbreak archive images/text data hey everyone, Just thought I'd let everyone know of some interesting nexrad and textual archive data of the Birmingham storm and the Marietta GA storm from April 8th. Visit... www.sound.net/~mscheid/archive/98apr8 I've included 3 animated GIF loops of the Birmingham tornadic storm via Birmingham-88D and also the Columbus AFB, MS-88D. The tornadic supercell that hammered the northern and western sections of Birmingham had an *incredible* hook echo associated with it.. a definate "drooler" image for sure! Also included NWS tornado warnings from various offices and also quite a bit of SPC data again, check it out at... www.sound.net/~mscheid/archive/98apr8 "Meso300" Mike Umscheid ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Apr 1998 to 9 Apr 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-13603>; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 13:10:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38878; Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:04:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199804110504.AAA38878@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 00:01:36 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Apr 1998 to 10 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a5585e033777af3fb21343af9a2f2601 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 173 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. web-site with 100 doppler radars? 2. Tornado Outbreak in Alabama April 8 3. Nocturnal Tornadoes 4. Tornado Warning criteria in the mainstream news 5. 10km Eta now available... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 9 Apr 1998 22:54:18 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: web-site with 100 doppler radars? Shawn Wood wrote: > Does anyone have the address for the site with the 100 different doppler > radars on it? I think it was posted here about a week ago or so but my > news server has dumped it already. If you know which site I'm talking > about post the address here or, preferably, e-mail it to me. Thanks in > advance. Try this: http://home.pacbell.net/skytrack/ -- Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 09:28:19 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: Tornado Outbreak in Alabama April 8 Thought I might add some to the info on the Tornadoes here in Alabama Wednesday night. Death toll 36...500 homes totaled. Damage survey from NWSFO in BHM rated it an F5. If the tornado had stayed down for 2 more miles it would have hit the high rises in downtown Birmingham. The NWS in BHM did an INCREDIBLE job of warning on Wednesday night. I have never seen so many supercells on radar image. Almost every storm had some rotation and it was so bad for a couple of hours that I did not have time to look at velocity data for each cell...about the most one can really track at one time is 5....I would watch the base refletivity data for suspicous signs on the others...at one point half of the counties in our ADI were under a tornado warning. Here in Huntsville at WHNT we went to full...commercial free weather and news coverage at 5:51 pm and it did not end until 9:27 pm. A note to the folks at SPC in Norman....your High risk area was excellent...I had a crawl on the air 2 hours after it was issued and it was repeated many times on air during the morning and afternoon on Wednesday...along with what it meant and the fact that it was very rare for Alabama to have a high risk. Not only was the watch and warning timely but the fact that people were alerted to the magnitude of the situation many hours before was, I beleieve, an important factor in saving lives. One final note..up here in the Tennessee valley I saw several incredible splitting supercells....both of which seemed to develop rotations....one of them looked liked it was straight out of a BIOLOGY Book. Truly a night to remember. Dan S _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 13:15:50 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Nocturnal Tornadoes The Chicago National Weather Service recently issued the following "Public Information Statement". I believe this statement is particularly timely and practical, especially since most of the tornado deaths this year have occurred with nocturnal tornado events. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 225 PM CST THU APR 9 1998 ...TORNADOES...A 24 HOUR THREAT TO LIFE...HOW CAN YOU GET THE WARNINGS AT NIGHT... RECENT TORNADO OUTBREAKS BRING HOME THIS MESSAGE ALL TOO CLEARLY. TORNADOES CAN HAPPEN AT ANY TIME. AS TERRIFYING AS THEY ARE BY DAY ...THEY ARE EVEN MORE SO AT NIGHT. RADIO AND TV STATIONS DO A GREAT JOB TEAMING WITH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY BROADCASTING WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES AND FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS. HOWEVER...WE DO NOT WATCH TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO 24 HOURS A DAY. WHEN WE SLEEP THE METHOD OF NOTIFICATION OF SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES MORE RESTICTED AND PUT US ALL AT GREATER RISK. CERTAINLY THE SIRENS WILL BE SOUNDED BUT SIRENS WERE DESIGNED FOR OUT DOOR FUNCTIONS. LET'S FACE IT...OUR HOMES ARE WELL CONSTRUCTED...WELL INSOLATED AND HAVE WINDOWS AND DOORS DESIGNED TO REDUCE OUTSIDE NOISE...SUCH AS SIRENS. SO WHAT ARE WE TO DO AT NIGHT WHEN FAST ASLEEP. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS 450 RADIO BROADCAST STATIONS ACROSS THE COUNTRY THAT TRANSMIT WEATHER INFORMATION 24 HOURS A DAY...YEAR ROUND. NOT JUST ROUTINE INFORMATION BUT WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS WELL AS ADVISORIES AND FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS. ITS CALLED NOAA WEATHER RADIO. NOAA WEATHER RADIOS OPERATE ON A SPECIAL SET OF FREQUENCIES AND REQUIRE A SPECIAL TYPE OF RECEIVER. THESE RECEIVERS CAN BE PURCHASED AT ANY GOOD ELECTRONICS OUTLET OR THROUGH ELECTRONICS CATALOGS. THEY COME IN VARIOUS SIZES AND HAVE A VARIETY OF CAPABILITIES. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RECOMMENDS A WEATHER RADIO THAT IS EQUIPPED WITH A TONE ALERT SYSTEM...BACKUP BATTERY POWER AND A STAND BY MODE. THE LATEST INNOVATION...SPECIFIC AREA MESSAGE ENCODING...SAME... ALLOWS YOU TO PROGRAM THE RADIO TO TONE ALERT ONLY FOR THE COUNTIES YOU DESIRE. A HIGH QUALITY WEATHER ALERT RADIO RECEIVER WILL RANGE IN COST FROM ABOUT $30 TO $80. WOULDN'T IT BE COMFORTING TO KNOW THAT THERE WAS A SPECIAL RADIO SITTING NEXT TO YOUR BED...STANDING GUARD...WAITING TO SOUND THE ALARM WHEN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUES A WARNING. THAT ALARM COULD PROVIDE THE TIME YOU NEED TO GET TO SAFETY. THE WARNING PROCESS IS A THREE STEP PROCESS. FIRST IS THE ISSUANCE OF TIMELY AND ACCURATE WARNINGS BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE SECOND IS PROVIDING A MEANS BY WHICH THE PUBLIC CAN RECEIVE THE WARNINGS...24 HOURS A DAY...THAT'S WHERE NOAA WEATHER RADIO PLAYS IT'S CRITICAL ROLL. THE THIRD PART IS TO IDENTIFY SAFE PLACES AT HOME...WORK...SCHOOL OR PLAY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION. DO YOU HAVE A WEATHER ALERT RADIO... BOB COLLINS ********************************************************************** Chip Kasper, student Department of Meteorology Florida State University email: kkasper@met.fsu.edu ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 16:10:45 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Tornado Warning criteria in the mainstream news Today's Wall Street Journal has page 1 coverage of forecaster angst over un-verified/cry-wolf watches and whether to warn, from Alabama. "... at the National Weather Service, is sure the sky is about to fall. It's 3 p.m. Wednesday, and much of Alabama has been under a tornado watch for seven hours. The conditions -- heavy, humid air, combined with circling wind patterns -- are perfect for... " http://interactive.wsj.com/edition/current/articles/SB892154655909137000.htm (for online subscribers only *sigh* ... there is a "free" trial offer) I plan to read the full (paper) copy during a coffee break ... -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 10 Apr 1998 22:28:41 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: 10km Eta now available... http://sgi62.wwb.noaa.gov:8080/SAMEX/index.html This is the 10-km ETA runs for SAMEX (Storms and Mesoscale Ensemble Experiment). This page contains the results of real-time ETA 10-km run at NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) for the SAMEX project. The ETA-10 is a 12Z run on the NCEP Eta domain. The ETA-10 is run after the 32-km 12Z run of the Early ETA is finished. This page should be updated around 1800 UTC daily. Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Apr 1998 to 10 Apr 1998 ************************************************* From - Thu Apr 16 20:25:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1968 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-28196>; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 13:08:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25430; Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:03:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199804120503.AAA25430@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 00:01:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1998 to 11 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e069833e9339546684e9a78763d2662f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 214 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Whistlers, VLF Radio, etc. 2. Wx-Radio Program in Iowa? (2) 3. severe weather spotter classes 4. SKYWARN Training Tapes 5. Southern storms 6. Free Weather Paging Service??? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 10:37:39 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Whistlers, VLF Radio, etc. VLF radio and lightning hold some interesting secrets. Go to the following URL and listen to the .WAV files: http://www-pw.physics.uiowa.edu/mcgreevy/ I wonder what you might hear near a tornadic supercell! Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 11:34:50 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Wx-Radio Program in Iowa? Hi Everyone I could use some help in locating some information about a television station in Iowa that was offering the public Weather-Alert Radios. The program was sponsored by Radio Shack. The radios were/are being sold for $24.97. I need to get in touch with the television station that is promoting this product and idea. I have been told that this same offer is being made to other television stations? If anyone has any information on this subject matter please send me a reply at the following e-mail address. Thank You Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:09:51 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: severe weather spotter classes 4/11/98 just a reminder that if your going to interested in attending a severe weather spotters class you had better not waste any more time. april is the last big month for classes. there are very few held in the month of may and you may find the ones in you area are over with. so do not procrastinate any longer. go to http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # if you need coax visit # http://www.axnet.com/united/coaxconnection.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:45:52 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: SKYWARN Training Tapes StormWatch and StormWatcher as a set are still $45 US ppd from the Storm Shop. The Storm Shop now sells Tim Marshall's booklets on storm chasing and forecasting. Go to the following URL for details: http://www.pulse.net/storm/shop.htm Sam Barricklow email - sam@pulse.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 13:41:33 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Wx-Radio Program in Iowa? On Sat, 11 Apr 1998, Derek Dodson wrote: > Hi Everyone > > I could use some help in locating some information about a television > station in Iowa that was offering the public Weather-Alert Radios. The > program was sponsored by Radio Shack. > > The radios were/are being sold for $24.97. > > I need to get in touch with the television station that is promoting > this product and idea. > > I have been told that this same offer is being made to other television > stations? If anyone has any information on this subject matter please > send me a reply at the following e-mail address. > > Thank You > > Derek Dodson Derek, I believe the station was KCCI-TV in Des Moines. Check out: http://www.kcci.com Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 16:06:38 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: Southern storms Our Southern /southeastern storm season is blasting full tilt with disasterous results. First of all our season tend to be earlier with NIGHT storms and these storms customarily race through the area. I was at CAE forecast office on Wednesday PM to early Thursday AM (like 4 AM) running Skwarn net aided by W4USC and KF4UYE. We were looking at the radar that looked like a lit up Christmas Tree. Some of the storms in our area went through at speeds OVER 60 MPH. Only saving grace here was air was much more stable. A look at PC Cape showed some AL cape near 2300. Aiding to fatalities ( and it's hard to escape fatalities when you have a big F5 going into populated areas) is for people here in the SE to ignore watches and warnings. I know it's preaching to the choir, but if you aren't watching or listening to local media, and no weather radio and you get nailed by severe weather, crying you had no warning is a bunch of mud. At least ( and too late for some people) EAS warnings become mandatory for cable later this year. AND in Columbia, SC our PRIMARY LP-1 failed to activate any, and during a tornado outbreak on March 8 it was ditto. Letter goes to the GM, EAS coordinator for the state, and SC EPD director, as well as the FCC in Atlanta. . There is no excuse for this laxness. They did read the severe thunderstorm warnings, but the way they did made light of them. I just hope that people will learn that a severe thunderstorm can make them as dead as a F5. And we have MAY to go......whew! Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net powell@zygot.ati.com http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 19:59:33 -0600 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Free Weather Paging Service??? I have read so many requests regarding Weather Pager Services for Alphanumeric Pagers. Many people have replied to the requests, but most of the replies list the paid services, but no free ones despite the fact that they have heard of such sites. Can anybody help? I have found a couple of paid services, but no free ones. If you want more info. regarding the paid services E-Mail me privately. BUT, anybody knowing of any telephone numbers to the free services please let me (us) know. Thanks in advance! David David & Melissa Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "It's a GREAT day for Hockey!!!" -The Late Bob Johnson-Pittsburgh Penguins & Team USA Ice Hockey Coach ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1998 to 11 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Apr 16 20:26:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3899 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626398-11548>; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 13:11:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36116; Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:05:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199804130505.AAA36116@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:01:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Apr 1998 to 12 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9963197afb2ad427b4922783e2cce3f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 388 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Radio (2) 2. Channel 8 Weather Coupons 3. Weather web site 4. F5 tornados 5. Birmingham, Alabama Tornado 6. Early April prediction 7. El Nino Status 8. severe weather spotter classes (2) 9. Southern Storms, LP-1 station? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 04:47:47 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Weather Radio In article <6gnt27$m53$1@nnrp1.dejanews.com>, wrote: > Is Radio Shack the only place that sells the new SAME weather radio? ... > Will they ever be offered anywhere else? Two other vendors ... MAXXON has one or more, and so does Weather Eagle (professional model). Search Dejanews for me and either bit.listserv.* and ne.weather for prior threads on this topic. > Will there ever be a > portable hand held model that takes batteries? It would be morally wrong to make a new portable that isn't SAME, wouldn't it? IM(ns)HO The only interesting non-SAME is the "Highway Information System" that automatically seeks for the best Wx-radio frequency and processes all alerts, for use in mobile applications. (Same unit receives warnings from slow/stopped construction/public safety equipement equipped with SWS transmitters _and_ police Laser and Radar.) 73 de Bill N1VUX/skywarn -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 07:19:17 -0500 From: "Mr. Evan Hutchinson" Subject: Channel 8 Weather Coupons To get your weather radio coupon, send a SASE to : Weather Radio c/o KCCI Television 888 9th St. Des Moines, IA 50309 It may take a couple of weeks due to the large request, and most radio shack's in Iowa are out of the radios now because of the coupon. Your probably going to have to find a Radio Shack with the lowest backorder, and have them give you a rain check. Hope this helps. Evan Hutchinson KB0TNF Storm Spotter, National Weather Service Des Moines, IA ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 11:29:05 -0400 From: Jared Kaplan Subject: Weather web site I kept on forgeting to tell everyone on this mailing list about my site. A fairly new site, http://massweather.home.ml.org Massachusetts Weather Site enjoy! Thanks, Jared Kaplan SKYWARN SPOTTER blizzard@gis.net WCVB/WHDH WEATHER WATCHER jared24@juno.com .................http://massweather.home.ml.org.................. "YOU ARE A GENIOUS IF YOU FLY A KITE AND FIND OUT LIGHTNING IS ELECTRICITY, BUT YOU ARE AN IDIOT IS YOU FLY A KITE AND FIND OUT LIGHTNING CAN KILL YOU" __________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 13:48:10 -0400 From: Howard Robinson AKA Huricane Subject: F5 tornados Any word on the tornados that hit Alabama and Georiga. I was reading the Atlanta newspaper and they were saying that there were F5 tornados to touch down in metro Atlanta. **************************************************************************** ************ Howard Robinson AKA Hurricane Georgia College & State University CPO #2530 Milledgeville,ga 31061 Phone:912-454-0555 http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832 http://giant.net/~hrobins email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net hrobins@giant.net howrob@rage.gac.peachnet.edu huricane97@hotmail.com hurricane@partlycloudy.com ICQ#1987186 If God had been a college student, He would not have made the world in seven days. He would have procrastinated for six and then pulled an all-nighter. :) **************************************************************************** ************ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 14:51:39 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Weather Radio > > In article <6gnt27$m53$1@nnrp1.dejanews.com>, wrote: > > Is Radio Shack the only place that sells the new SAME weather radio? ... > > Will they ever be offered anywhere else? > > Two other vendors ... MAXXON has one or more, and so does Weather Eagle > (professional model). Search Dejanews for me and either > bit.listserv.* and ne.weather for prior threads on this topic. Maxxon makes a tone-alert, but I'm not aware of a SAME radio. In fact, I called several vendors last fall when I was doing research on this subject and noone would commit to say they had one on the way (other than RS, of course). Perhaps they didn't want to leak their plans, however. > > > Will there ever be a > > portable hand held model that takes batteries? > > It would be morally wrong to make a new portable that isn't SAME, > wouldn't it? Whatever you do for SAME will be more expensive than non-SAME because it has to have a way of entering the SAME codes. Is it immoral to make a radio too expensive for everyone? Eventually, EAS alert may make it as a standard feature on portable and table-top radios., e.g., http://www.netins.net/showcase/asi/ But, will the tone-alert come with a snooze bar? -Keith --------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu speaking for myself ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 15:08:37 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Birmingham, Alabama Tornado Hi everyone The pictures of destruction on the outskirts of Birmingham are absolutely overwhelming. I can agree with others on this list that it is difficult to watch the suffering of the people who lost their homes and businesses from this deadly tornado outbreak. I have posted a page that has information on it on how you can help some of these victims. Obviously there is no way we can help them all-but we can help some. We have all talked about the tornadoes and we have all been left in awe at their destructive power now lets do something to help out. The URL for the page is: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/kids.html Mike Umscheid has also done an OUTSTANDING job on putting together a page about the Southeast Tornado Outbreak. The URL is as follows: http://www.sound.net/~mscheid/archive/98apr8/ I hope everyone has had a wonderful Easter weekend and perhaps the weather will calm down a bit this week (although it is not looking good for Wednesday and Thursday). I am sure we have all had a chance to reflect on how fortunate each of us, who were spared from the devastation, really have been these past few weeks. Thanks Everyone Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 22:02:50 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Early April prediction Hi Wx-talkers, On Tue, 7 Apr 1998 Mark Yorsaner wrote: > I am very surprised over the new hurricane prediction for 1998. Dr. Gray > raised the total from 9 to 10 storms, which really shocks me. The reason > why has to do with El Nino. When he made his original forecast back in > December, the official El Nino forecast was for dissipation by the > beginning of the hurricane season. However, the last couple of forecasts > called for a mild El Nino event during the summer, which in turn would > inhibit hurricane activity. This shows up in the SST loops, which indicate > that the anomaly in the E-Pac has remained the same for the past few > weeks, and might have even went up in spots. I would just like someone who > is in close contact with the forecasters to convince me that El Nino will > mostly be gone by the beginning of the main period of hurricane activity. > Dr. Gray is a very intelligent man, and he has done very well in the past, > but I am just curious about why he said what he did about El Nino. I'm not going to try to convince you as we're not completely convinced ourselves. Our best assessment is that the El Nino will be essentially returned to neutral conditions by the time the hurricane season gets going in August. But we are fully aware that it is still a quite strong El Nino and that there are many precedents for having an El Nino suppress two Atlantic hurricane seasons in a row. However, because of the current rate of weakening, the subsurface cool water quickly progressing eastward, our (meaning Knaff and Landsea) own El Nino model (ENSO-CLIPER: see http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/~knaff) which is calling for neutral by summertime, and other environmental factors, having no El Nino for the hurricane season is our best call at this point. We'll see how that assessment plays out. We will issue an updated forecast on the 5th of June. Like other forecasts, we reserve the right to alter the prediction based upon more timely information. See http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html for more details. Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "One main purpose for the forecast, is to show the veracity of the underlying hypothesis. In science, predictability is an important gauge of the correctness of a theory." - Rick Lanier, 1995 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 22:15:08 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: El Nino Status Go to the following URL for an El Nino update: http://tornado.sfsu.edu/geosciences/elnino.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 22:50:03 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: Re: severe weather spotter classes The NWS in the Quad Cities has Spotter training classes scheduled into June. See it at: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dvn Eric -----Original Message----- From: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU [mailto:owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] On Behalf Of N9NPP Sent: Saturday, April 11, 1998 12:10 PM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: severe weather spotter classes 4/11/98 just a reminder that if your going to interested in attending a severe weather spotters class you had better not waste any more time. april is the last big month for classes. there are very few held in the month of may and you may find the ones in you area are over with. so do not procrastinate any longer. go to http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm matt/n9npp ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 23:11:37 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: severe weather spotter classes yeah quad cities and one in new york city (june2 ) can you find any more? face it june is basically done... finished ....caput..... the reason for my post was to alert the many people out there who are going for the first time that they just can't go anytime they feel up to it. so if they want a class somewheres near them they had better go quick..you'd be surprized how many people when i answer their e-mail had no idea of this "unofficial end of training season" this is my second season hosting the spotters class web page. summer and winter are very slow, sometimes a whole week without a hit on the web page......gives me a break to, plus time to think of design changes. matt/n9npp http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm Eric A. Helgeson wrote: > The NWS in the Quad Cities has Spotter training classes scheduled into > June. See it at: > > http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dvn > > Eric > -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # http://www.axnet.com/united/coaxconnection.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:51:21 -0400 From: Robert Boyd Subject: Re: Southern Storms, LP-1 station? Hello, I was reading a Saturday, 11 April 1998 post from a Powell Way of the Columbus, South Carolina area; concerning warnings not being disseminated by commercial broadcasters. As was noted below, is an "LP-1" station a primary relay point for Emergency Alert System (EAS) warnings?? deletia > I know it's preaching to the choir, but if you aren't watching or > listening to local media, and no weather radio and you get nailed by > severe weather, crying you had no warning is a bunch of mud. At > least ( and too late for some people) EAS warnings become mandatory > for cable later this year. AND in Columbia, SC our PRIMARY LP-1 > failed to activate any, and during a tornado outbreak on March 8 it > was ditto. Letter goes to the GM, EAS coordinator for the state, and > SC EPD director, as well as the FCC in Atlanta. . There is no excuse > for this laxness. They did read the severe thunderstorm warnings, but > the way they did made light of them. I just hope that people will > learn that a severe thunderstorm can make them as dead as a F5. deletia If injuries and/or fatalities occurred -- talk about legal problems?! Bob ************************************************** Robert Boyd -- KC5ZJO National Weather Service, Midland/Odessa Texas email: Robert.Boyd@noaa.gov Standard Disclaimer Always!!! ************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Apr 1998 to 12 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4104 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626843-6531>; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:11:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44552; Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:06:03 -0500 Message-Id: <199804140506.AAA44552@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 00:02:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Apr 1998 to 13 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 10fc7daed80c8fce454dbfca2f7fcbe2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 512 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. severe weather spotter classes (2) 2. NEW Web Site 3. Scientific quality video 4. Weather Radio (4) 5. Radio Shack Weather Radios 6. Weather essays needed 7. Southern Storms, LP-1 station? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 00:22:31 -0500 From: Phil Fleming Subject: Re: severe weather spotter classes I don't know why you want to issue blanket statements about the "end" of weather classes. Perhaps you think that only the NWS holds classes, or that that they are the only ones who hold "official" classes. Other agencies can and do present training. Our County's Emergency Services and Disaster Agency (emergency management agency) does this on a regular basis. We hold training on an ongoing basis throughout our county, open to all who wish to attend, at no charge.. We use NWS and Red Cross training materials, along with material provided by Roger Edwards of the NWS a few years ago. Our presentations normally take about 2 hours, including questions and answers. We will do this for any agency or group that wants it, on their schedule. I've done an entire Sheriff's Department in one day (all three shifts -- at 5:00am, 8:00am, and 3:00pm). We've done fire departments, police departments, nursing homes, community groups, scouts, ham radio clubs, etc. We emphasis, first and foremost, personal safety, both while spotting and when not spotting. We discuss communications -- public safety radio (most of our audiences are public safety personnel), ham radio, cell phone, and land line. We also discuss traffic safety and rules -- the State Police and Sheriff's Office have standing requests from us to notify us of any tickets or warning issued to spotters, regardless of who they are -- but we haven't any any in the four years of the program. We discuss general conditions for the formation of thunderstorms and tornadoes -- fancy doppler radar pictures and Kansas/Oklahoma pictures are NOT presented, but local area photos are, taken by local people under actual conditions. Some are very good, some aren't, but the ones we use show real conditions. Then we use Roger Edwards' transparencies to discuss where to spot from -- where to position one's self for safety and best view. Then we discuss how and what to report -- Unit ID or callsign, location, current conditions, hail, winds (speed and direction), rainfall (with estimated intensity), lightning (with frequency and estimated distance/direction), wall clouds, funnel clouds, tornadoes, debris clouds, and (afterwards) damage reports. Communications discipline and priorities are also explained. Then we re-emphasize safety, and conclude with questions and answers. Most of our spotters have assigned locations -- either in buildings, or at a crossroads of 4 paved roads (not always easy in a rural county). We have very few roving spotters -- Deputies, troopers, and some of our own agency's personnel. We serve as the gathering (and re-distribution) point for all info to the NWS (Lincoln IL) by radio. We take all reports from our people, and pass on to Lincoln the information they require. Cooperation between our agency and the NWS is excellent. We started this during the consolidation of the NWS offices and the closure of the Peoria office. NWS Lincoln IL has about 35 counties to cover, and can't possibly respond to all requests. In addition, the chief presenter tends to be in love with doppler radar images which are meaningless to our spotters, and tends to run over time. We are the sixth largest county in Illinois, with 974 sq. mi of rural area, south and west of Peoria IL in west central Illinois. It takes an hour to get from one end of the county to the other in good weather. We rely on cooperating agencies to provide us with information, and we have lots of cooperation. We put on 10-12 weather trainings a year -- not to mention other emergency-management-related trainings -- all over the county. We are proud of our ability to do so. I'd be quite willing to share info with other emergency managers on this list. -- Phil, N9HWO Philip B. "Phil" Fleming Deputy Director Fulton County Emergency Services And Disaster Agency Canton, Illinois pfleming@netins.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 01:33:48 -0000 From: David C Moore Subject: NEW Web Site Check out Macon County (Missouri's) Emergency Management's new web site. It is devoted to weather and the Macon County Skywarn group, and is LOADED with lots of great links. Please be sure to leave a comment, to let us know what YOU think. http://www.trailerpark.com/moonwalk/joshme/weather Where else would you expect to find a group of guys looking for tornados, but in a trailerpark??? Thanks, David C. Moore, Deputy Director Macon County Emergency Management Agency dcmoore@cvalley.net Visit Our Web Site at : http://www.trailerpark.com/moonwalk/joshme/weather ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 14:44:31 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Scientific quality video In article <199804031907.TAA26830.25968@mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu>, David Blanchard wrote: > > SCIENTIFIC-QUALITY VIDEO AND PHOTOGRAPHY > > >Storm chase season is upon us and many of you will be shooting video and >photographs of severe storms, supercells, and maybe even a few tornadoes. (deletia) Great list Dave! I might add one more thing: Turn off the auto focus and set manual focus to inifinity. Be careful that some video cameras now default to the auto- focus setting when you power them on. Also, some cameras will go out of focus when you zoom in. Keep checking the focus! greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 09:47:01 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Weather Radio Bill Ricker wrote... >It would be morally wrong to make a new portable that isn't SAME, >wouldn't it? Morally wrong, no. Foolish perhaps. At a minimum all weather radios should have tone-alert capability just as all guns should have a safety lever. In the case of weather radios it would prevent people from falsely assuming they have a degree of protection (alert mode) that doesn't exist. If they don't have the weather radio plugged in and turned on however, they get what they've got coming to them. I don't know how long NWS plans to continue using the 1050 Hz alert tone in addition to the SAME FSK data burst. My guess is, however, is that the 1050 tone is here to stay. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 11:09:38 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Weather Radio > >It would be morally wrong to make a new portable that isn't SAME, > >wouldn't it? > > Morally wrong, no. Foolish perhaps. I don't know if it would be worth it... If I'm on a cross-country trip (car / plane / whatever) -- the odds of me having the SAME codes for every county I'm heading through are very low. That would entail a lot of pre-planning! In this case I don't see how having SAME while portable is really that necessary. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 10:19:15 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Radio Shack Weather Radios Colin Meyer asked me to post this... >Date: Sun, 12 Apr 1998 07:19:17 -0500 >>From: "Mr. Evan Hutchinson" >>Subject: Channel 8 Weather Coupons > >>To get your weather radio coupon, send a SASE to : > >>Weather Radio >>c/o KCCI Television >>888 9th St. >>Des Moines, IA 50309 1. Only stores in the local Des Moines area listening area are able to process these coupons. 2. The supply of weatheradios is very limited. Expect delays of up to 90-120 days to get units. 3. Because of the limited supply of weatheradios, RadioShack has stopped adding TV/Radio stations to this program. It will be resumed later in the year. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 10:29:53 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Weather Radio >I don't know if it would be worth it... If I'm on a cross-country trip (car >/ plane / whatever) -- the odds of me having the SAME codes for every county >I'm heading through are very low. That would entail a lot of pre-planning! >In this case I don't see how having SAME while portable is really that >necessary. I suppose some people, those with motor homes, travel with their weather radios. Perhaps it's more than I suspect. In any case, they can always program the radio for the "99" all codes alert mode. Then, when they get back home, disable the "99" and go back to using their local alert FIPS codes. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 11:46:57 -0600 From: Bob Henson Subject: Weather essays needed Mail*Link® SMTP Weather essays needed I'm forwarding this on behalf of Mt. Washington Observatory, which is producing an interesting weather-related book. Please respond as indicated below--not to me! Thanks. =================================== Open solicitation for SOUL OF THE SKY To professional and amateur writers: SOUL OF THE SKY, a book of essays to be published in 1999, is seeking submittals. A companion book to the radio program The Weather Notebook, heard on more than 200 commercial and public radio stations, SOUL OF THE SKY is being developed by the Mount Washington Observatory with support from the National Science Foundation. The weather deeply affects our sense of identity and place. The weather makes us feel, act, and interact. SOUL OF THE SKY will be among the few science book that reflect on the emotions, personal insights, inspiration, feelings, and stories that bring weather into the mind, heart, and soul. SOUL OF THE SKY will contain 25 essays from writers who have had profound, emotionally rich experiences with weather. Each essay will invite the reader on an inner exploration of how a weather-related experience led to inspiration, doubt, illumination, or understanding. And yet, SOUL OF THE SKY will still be a science book. The science of the weather will be woven into each story. You are invited to submit an essay for consideration. While many of the essays will be contributed by nature or science writers, SOUL OF THE SKY seeks to represent a wide diversity of voices -- young and old, professional or amateur, from around the country and around the world. Those with interesting weather stories experienced with respect to culture, family, or a disability are encouraged to contribute. Criteria for consideration are as follows: Essays should be between 3,000 and 4,000 words long. Your essay should tell a true story of a personal weather-related experience you have had that in some way influenced how you think about yourself and/or the world around you. This is not an academic publication -- your story should be told in moving language that is accessible to all kinds of readers, from the high school student to the occasional outdoorsman to the nature expert. However, your essay must contain some science content. While the point is to tell the story, you should interweave some facts, theory, or other information that explains the weather experience you're describing. This information should be skillfully woven into your piece. Your science information will be verified, but you should make every effort to be accurate. We can work with you if you would like. The essay must address one of the four themes described below. Awe. Respect, terror, humility, anxiety, amazement. These stories will tell how the weather makes people stop, look a little longer into the sky, and wonder about the drama and meaning of their own lives and their environment. Curiosity. How? Why? What does it mean? These essays will show how the weather inspires artists, philosophers, scientists, and just plain folks to ask questions, dig deeper, and share what they know - and feel. Connection. Who am I? Where do I belong? These stories will be about the enormous impact of the weather on how we act as individuals and interact as human communities - how it shapes (as powerfully as heritage or culture) where we live, what we do, and how we define ourselves. Adventure. Fun, challenge, thrill, achievement. The stories in this section will tell how the weather challenges us to push to our edge, redefine our own physical and mental limitations, and turn life into a thrilling ride. Essays will be reviewed by a panel of weather experts, editors, and average readers. Stories that are unique, demonstrate meaningful reflection, and illustrate a profound connection between the individual and the natural (meteorological) environment are most likely to be chosen. Essays or excerpts previously published will be considered as long as they meet all of the criteria. Payment amount for essays accepted for publication is negotiable. Please submit your entries BY JUNE 19, 1998 to: C. Ralph Adler c/o RMC Research Corporation 1000 Market Street Portsmouth, New Hampshire 03801 email: radler@rmcres.com Include your name, address, phone number, and e-mail address if you have one. Please call Ralph at 800-258-0802 if you have any questions. Those selected will be notified. Submittals from those not selected will not be returned. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 12:50:03 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Re: Weather Radio Dear Weather Talkers, An announcement appeared on weather talk recently posting the address for KCCI-TV Weather Radio Discount Coupons. I appreciate the enthusiasm of the person who posted this, but the discount program is only for viewers of KCCI television and we can not accept out of state requests for coupons. We have sent out thousands of these coupons to our viewers and temporarily swamped Radio Shack stores resulting in a radio shortage. Radio Shack has made exceptional efforts to get more radios shipped to Iowa to meet the crushing demand. Due to the recent disasters in Florida, Georgia and Alabama, plus several media campaigns similar to our effort in Des Moines, the sales of weather radios are up 500% since the first of the year. With several thousand people in Iowa waiting for the next shipment of radios, that figure will increase even more. As many of you heard at the Severe Storms and Doppler Conference in Des Moines, Radio Shack is havingi to place a temporary "hold" on further media discount campaigns until radio production can catch up with demand. Colin Meyer of Tandy Corp. says the yearly production of weather radios was sold in just eight weeks. Regards, John McLaughlin Chief Meteorologist KCCI Des Moines ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 15:47:30 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Southern Storms, LP-1 station? Robert Boyd wrote: > > Hello, > > I was reading a Saturday, 11 April 1998 post from a Powell Way of the > Columbus, South Carolina area; concerning warnings not being > disseminated by commercial broadcasters. As was noted below, is an > "LP-1" station a primary relay point for Emergency Alert System (EAS) > warnings?? Except for Required Monthly Tests, Weekly Tests and NATIONAL Activations, ALL EAS participation is strictly voluntary. NO broadcaster is required to relay ANY warning! Amazing, isn't it? -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management Florida Area 9 EAS Co-Chair E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- Gore's (no, not THAT Gore!) Third Law of Design Engineering: "Any circuit design must contain at least one part that is obsolete, and two that are unobtainable." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Apr 1998 16:25:28 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: severe weather spotter classes 4/13/98 phil, how can we get your class information posted on the web page? is there anyone else out there wishing to prove me wrong. please cough up your class info and it will be posted on the web page if you'd like, if not then don't matt/n9npp ps... only interested in skywarn weather training at this time. Phil Fleming wrote: > I don't know why you want to issue blanket statements about the "end" of > weather classes. Perhaps you think that only the NWS holds classes, or that > that they are the only ones who hold "official" classes. > > Other agencies can and do present training. Our County's Emergency Services > and Disaster Agency (emergency management agency) does this on a regular > basis. > > We hold training on an ongoing basis throughout our county, open to all who > wish to attend, at no charge.. We use NWS and Red Cross training materials, > along with material provided by Roger Edwards of the NWS a few years ago. > Our presentations normally take about 2 hours, including questions and > answers. We will do this for any agency or group that wants it, on their > schedule. I've done an entire Sheriff's Department in one day (all three > shifts -- at 5:00am, 8:00am, and 3:00pm). We've done fire departments, > police departments, nursing homes, community groups, scouts, ham radio > clubs, etc. > > cut==== > > > We put on 10-12 weather trainings a year -- not to mention other > emergency-management-related trainings -- all over the county. We are proud > of our ability to do so. > > I'd be quite willing to share info with other emergency managers on this > list. > > -- Phil, N9HWO > > Philip B. "Phil" Fleming > Deputy Director > Fulton County Emergency Services And Disaster Agency > Canton, Illinois > pfleming@netins.net -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # http://www.axnet.com/united/coaxconnection.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Apr 1998 to 13 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626096-22349>; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 13:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46420; Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:11:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199804150511.AAA46420@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 00:03:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Apr 1998 to 14 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9868ebce3acbf263a3de239cdbfc83ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 354 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Another Great WX Page 2. Southern Storms 3. Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? (3) 4. Apr 12 Wx-Talk Comment on EAS 5. Subject: Re: Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? 6. Twister 2 update... 7. A Cool LSR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 06:06:49 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Another Great WX Page Check out this web site: http://www.icstars.com/stormgazr/ She has some very nice storm and lightning photography. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 12:47:04 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: Southern Storms > Robert Boyd wrote: > > > > Hello, > > > > I was reading a Saturday, 11 April 1998 post from a Powell Way of the > > Columbus, South Carolina area; concerning warnings not being > > disseminated by commercial broadcasters. As was noted below, is an > > "LP-1" station a primary relay point for Emergency Alert System (EAS) > > warnings?? > > Except for Required Monthly Tests, Weekly Tests and NATIONAL > Activations, ALL EAS participation is strictly voluntary. > > NO broadcaster is required to relay ANY warning! Amazing, isn't it? > -- > Gary Arnold, CEM > Collier County Emergency Management Gary, this station is in addition to LP-1 is the SP-1 (state primary relay) and NP-1 ..national primary...and they need to be relieved of this duty. I thought by some plans there ARE some mandatories, but if the FCC comes in and you don't have an EAS you shell over (somewhere in this area) about $8000.... Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net powell@zygot.ati.com http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:22:09 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? Thanks to something, the early FPUS was still around and we weren't disappointed... What I'm wondering was could the be an AFOS induced condition? 022 FPUS3 KBHM 140800 SFDBHM STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL 258 AM CDT TUE APR 14 1998 DURAN DURAN, DIXIE MIDNIGHT RUNNERS, AND THOMAS DOLBY SONGS ECHO THROUGH OPERATIONS THIS MORNING AS OUR INTERNET CONNECTION HAS BIT THE DUST. YOU GUEST IT, ITS TIME TO ROCK 80S STYLE, A.K.A. AN AFOS FLASH-BACK. ...deletia... *sigh* Can we get him transferred up to KMSP? John ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 14:28:10 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? On Tue, 14 Apr 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > That or a "boredom caused by computer system fall down go thud" condition. > In any case, I for one actually like the products of hir boredom :) Then again, he tends to put out really "unique" SFDs on a regular basis, so I'm not sure if the AWIPS failure had anything to do with it. > Not before he gets transferred to KSDF. :) (After all, the highway I-65 > actually DOES run through Louisville, and not terribly far from KSDF > either (maybe a mile or two--it is separated by exactly two exits on the > Gene Snyder Freeway {I-265} from the Theiler Lane office). Hence we > should get first dibs, if the SPC doesn't get him first. :) The SPC? I don't even want to imagine his long-form watches :) > (And though I've not mentioned it yet, the whole BHM office did do a > helluva job the night that town had its bad outbreak.) I'm been hectic up here...didn't really follow the BHM outbreak. The St. Peter (MN) was the first really big outbreak that I was able to watch the MSP crew work. The warning lead times were amazing. I don't remember the numbers exactly but I'm thinking St. Peter had a few minutes warning. It was an interesting night as I was seriously contemplating some storm photography. I almost left Minneapolis for Mankato at 4pm. I would have been in St. Peter right around 5.30 or just after. 5.30 being when the tornado tore through St. Peter. John ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 15:48:07 -0400 From: Larry Krudwig Subject: Apr 12 Wx-Talk Comment on EAS --PART.BOUNDARY.noaamh1.6253.3533bd78.0001 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Disposition: inline ---------------------------- Forwarded with Changes --------------------------- From: Larry Krudwig at W-CR-CRH Date: 4/13/98 2:40PM To: LISTSERV@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU at EXTERNAL Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1998 to 11 Apr 1998 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --PART.BOUNDARY.noaamh1.6253.3533bd78.0001 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Disposition: inline Subject: Wx-Talk April 12 comment on EAS Author: Larry Krudwig at W-CR-CRH Date: 4/13/98 2:40 PM This is in response to a posting of April 12, titled "Southern Storms" in which a number of references were made about the Emergency Alert System (EAS). A specific comment was, "EAS warnings become mandatory for cable later this year." The implication here is that warning messages are going to be manditory for the cable systems like they currently are for the broadcast networks. Let me point out a little known fact about EAS. While all licensed broadcast stations and soon to be cable systems must have EAS equipment, there is absolutely nothing requiring them to carry any message other than a Presidentially declared national emergency under the header code of an Emergency Action Notification (EAN). The broadcast with or without the header code of any regional, state or locally generated message is strictly voluntary. I have been in the warning and dissemination business of the National Weather Service for over 30 years and played a large role in developing the technology used by EAS and the Weather Radio Specific Area Message Encoder. While from that statement it should be rather obvious why I would like to see some requirement for these types of messages to be broadcast, the reality is that we have a privately owned broadcast system in this country. The enabliing law or regulations that required the installation of EAS does "obligate" the broadcast industry to any message other than an EAN. Even that message they can choose not to carry but must go off of the air under those conditions. Therefore, it is extremely important for all those involved in the preparation and dissemination of emergency/warning messages, be they weather/natural or people caused hazards, to put them in a form that the broadcasters will want to carry them. The broadcast industry places a great deal of value on the messages they carry being formatted and articulated well so they communicate with their listeners/viewers in the most effective manner in the least amount of time. Unfortunately in too many places, the managers of these stations believe EAS has been abused by issuing too many messages for events that are, to them, of questionable threat, not articulated well enough to be understood, or poorly formatted. The result has been that the originators of these messages have been disconnected from the automated relay part of the system if not completely disconnected. If these problems are not corrected, the cable opertors will likely do the same thing. While a strong argument can be made that they should be carrying these messages in the interest of public safety, there is also the point to be made that a broadcast message not understood might as well not be broadcast at all or too many low or marginal threat messages causes listener/viewer turn off. I felt it was important for everyone reading these messages to understand that while EAS has some tremendous potential to reduce injuries and save lives, it is not an open door to the emergency management organizations to use or abuse with abandon. It is very important for those of us in the profession to do our part in meeting the broadcast industry's relatively simple but critical requirements to make the system work. Without doing that, the EAS will never reach its full potential of becoming the largest and most powerful warning system in the world. --PART.BOUNDARY.noaamh1.6253.3533bd78.0001-- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 17:19:40 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Subject: Re: Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? Well, yes, as a matter of fact someone *DID* mention I-SixtyFive. namely, me. :) On Tue, 14 Apr 1998, John Lamb wrote: > Thanks to something, the early FPUS was still around and we weren't > disappointed... > > What I'm wondering was could the be an AFOS induced condition? That or a "boredom caused by computer system fall down go thud" condition. In any case, I for one actually like the products of hir boredom :) > 022 > FPUS3 KBHM 140800 > SFDBHM > STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL > 258 AM CDT TUE APR 14 1998 > > DURAN DURAN, DIXIE MIDNIGHT RUNNERS, AND THOMAS DOLBY SONGS ECHO > THROUGH OPERATIONS THIS MORNING AS OUR INTERNET CONNECTION HAS BIT > THE DUST. YOU GUEST IT, ITS TIME TO ROCK 80S STYLE, A.K.A. AN AFOS > FLASH-BACK. > > ...deletia... > > *sigh* Can we get him transferred up to KMSP? Not before he gets transferred to KSDF. :) (After all, the highway I-65 actually DOES run through Louisville, and not terribly far from KSDF either (maybe a mile or two--it is separated by exactly two exits on the Gene Snyder Freeway {I-265} from the Theiler Lane office). Hence we should get first dibs, if the SPC doesn't get him first. :) (And though I've not mentioned it yet, the whole BHM office did do a helluva job the night that town had its bad outbreak.) > John -pb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 17:26:30 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? On Tue, 14 Apr 1998, John Lamb wrote: > On Tue, 14 Apr 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > > > That or a "boredom caused by computer system fall down go thud" condition. > > In any case, I for one actually like the products of hir boredom :) > > Then again, he tends to put out really "unique" SFDs on a regular basis, > so I'm not sure if the AWIPS failure had anything to do with it. Quite true. (As the kamala.cod.edu archives show enough... :) > > Not before he gets transferred to KSDF. :) (After all, the highway I-65 > > actually DOES run through Louisville, and not terribly far from KSDF > > either (maybe a mile or two--it is separated by exactly two exits on the > > Gene Snyder Freeway {I-265} from the Theiler Lane office). Hence we > > should get first dibs, if the SPC doesn't get him first. :) > > The SPC? I don't even want to imagine his long-form watches :) Well, one could well and truly be assured that they'd be entertaining. :) (What is potentially even more frightening--the BHM NWSFO's webmaster may well be I-SixtyFive himself. :) (At least it's some Trekkie with the email address of one_of_i65 (at) mindspring (dot) com. :) > > (And though I've not mentioned it yet, the whole BHM office did do a > > helluva job the night that town had its bad outbreak.) > > I'm been hectic up here...didn't really follow the BHM outbreak. The St. > Peter (MN) was the first really big outbreak that I was able to watch the > MSP crew work. The warning lead times were amazing. I don't remember the > numbers exactly but I'm thinking St. Peter had a few minutes warning. It > was an interesting night as I was seriously contemplating some storm > photography. I almost left Minneapolis for Mankato at 4pm. I would have > been in St. Peter right around 5.30 or just after. 5.30 being when > the tornado tore through St. Peter. *nods* Well and truly understood on that one. (Then again, one could argue they did a good job just on account of the sheer *number* of warnings...I counted 40+ tornado warnings in a 1 1/2 hour period. Reportedly they had no less than 14 simultaneous tornado warnings at one point...) Ah well, Kentucky is liable to get hit tomorrow and Thursday, so I'll have my time to watch the SDF folks work (and hear the Skywarn net). :) > John -pb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:26:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Twister 2 update... >From the scoop webpage http://www.corona.bc.ca/films/details/twister2.html --- April 11, 1998... This scooper writes to us that the majority of the scoop information we've posted about this project isn't accurate. They've sent us the latest news concerning the project, but readers should keep in mind that we don't know who this scooper is. If they would come forward and allow us to verify their position (keeping them anonymous, of course), we could back the material up. But they did have interesting things to say... "Under the original deal, both Universal and Warner Bros. will produce the picture. At first, Michael Crichton declined to write the script for the sequel, so WB went out and hired another writer. Then, in February 1998, Crichton turned in a completed first draft for the sequel. The script has to do with leaving probes inside buildings that will be hit by tornadoes, so that the scientists can get more data and hopefully assist in developing building materials that will withstand the force of the tornado (and thereby save lives). The two heroes are the same Jo and Bill that appeared in the first movie. Now WB and Universal are deciding if they want to use the Crichton script, or if they want to go with the writer they already hired." [Anonymous.] ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 21:11:57 -0600 From: Sandusky Subject: A Cool LSR This one speaks for itself: 0505 PM 6 E OBERLIN KS TORNADO. INDIVIDUAL DROVE 04/14/98 DECATUR THROUGH WHAT WAS THOUGHT TO BE A DUST DEVIL. TORNADO RIPPED SIDE-VIEW MIRRORS AND WINDSHEILD WIPERS OFF OF VEHICLE. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Apr 1998 to 14 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Apr 16 20:27:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3461 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-12222>; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 13:13:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15220; Thu, 16 Apr 1998 00:06:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199804160506.AAA15220@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 00:00:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Apr 1998 to 15 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c16eec2f848d3d5f01687e090e80bcaf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 458 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. A rejuvination of El Nino?? 2. BHM SFD's/I-65 3. Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? 4. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for Sale 5. Here we go again??? 6. Sirens v. TV warnings (4) 7. Post your Storm Reports to the Web with CASI's StormForm +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 01:45:52 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: A rejuvination of El Nino?? Well, I looked at Monday's El Nino SST anomalies...at http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/maproom/text/climate_pages/ sst_olr/sst_anim.shtml...and I noticed something very interesting.....the +5 deg. C area just off the Peruvian coast has reappeared, and grew over the past week or two, and the actual size of Nino has remained the same the past few weeks, and maybe increased a little bit. This eerily looks just like the 82-83 Nino, when the SST's decreased until around March or April, but then increased dramatically, especially just off the S American coast. Now, I'm not a meteorologist, but no one has seemed to bring up the possibility that this Nino event could restrengthen, and continue in a very strong state through the summer, thus inhibiting hurricane activity severely just like in 83. Does anyone have any insight on this? Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 01:46:09 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: BHM SFD's/I-65 Well...although it's a strange coincidence that Interstate 65 may run nearby....that is his NWS ID. From what I understand, a NWS employee can sign his products with his name, initials, or ID. I agree that his SFDs are hysterical...infact, I have quite a few saved here..from his stay as Captain Kirk...to the day when he lost his 10 gallon hat...in any case...he brings a chuckle anytime I read them. What I don't know, is what southern region thinks of them. I could imagine they'd get pretty upset as these products are to give a weather discussion...altho I have seen it elsewhere. If it were severe weather, that's one thing...but on a sunny day, I don't see why a little humor can't be added...esp since generally the only people who read them are surrounding offices (their intent)..and a few weather savvy hobbyists or forecasters. IN any case...if you're reading this...GREAT JOB on the outbreak last week. May is be a long time before the next one. The Wall Street article really summed up the hell that broke loose at your office (although I think the author should be shot for portraying the feeling that forecasters were "happy" about the verfiications even though people died) -Evan ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 08:57:04 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: Did someone mention I-SixtyFive? >Date: Tue, 14 Apr 1998 13:22:09 -0500 >From: John Lamb >022 >FPUS3 KBHM 140800 >SFDBHM >STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL >258 AM CDT TUE APR 14 1998 > >DURAN DURAN, DIXIE MIDNIGHT RUNNERS, AND THOMAS DOLBY SONGS ECHO >THROUGH OPERATIONS THIS MORNING AS OUR INTERNET CONNECTION HAS BIT >THE DUST. YOU GUEST IT, ITS TIME TO ROCK 80S STYLE, A.K.A. AN AFOS >FLASH-BACK. ...deletia... someone let them know it's "Dexy's Midnight Runners", not "Dixie". Da band's Irish. never thought of "C'mon Eileen" to be a "rock" song (I think that was the only hit for them). ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 09:09:22 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for Sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! *** NEW!! SPC tshirts! See the clothing gallery for more info. *** Spring is HERE! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing to wear during your chases! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos, sweatshirts ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 11:35:01 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Here we go again??? From: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/products/outlook/pwo.html PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY APRIL 15 1998 ...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL EXPECTED FOR LARGE PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI...MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS... THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL FOR PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI...MID MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE: MUCH OF ILLINOIS AND INDIANA...PARTS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI...WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...WESTERN TENNESSEE...SOUTHWESTERN OHIO AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY NEAR THE CENTRAL KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA BORDER IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TODAY IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH FROM THE WEST OF A VERY STRONG JET STREAM AND UPPER TROUGH. A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW EAST OF THE LOW WILL SPREAD A VERY MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS BY THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCURRED ON TUESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS HAVE WEAKENED OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER GIVEN THE VERY FAVORABLE PARAMETERS THAT WILL BE COMING INTO PLACE BY EARLY AFTERNOON...RAPID REDEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECASTED TO TAKE PLACE ACROSS EASTERN MISSOURI INTO ILLINOIS. THE STRONG MID/UPPER JET UPWARDS TO 150 KT AT 35000 FEET IN CONCERT WITH THE EXPECTED 50 KT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL PROVIDE CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOS. WITH SUCH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO NEAR 80F SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTH AND EAST ACROSS MISSOURI INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE VERY ACTIVE ACROSS THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY AND FURTHER SOUTH INTO KENTUCKY...TENNESSEE AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS EARLY TONIGHT. A VERY FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND STRUCTURE FOR SUPER CELLS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA WHERE THERE IS A PARTICULARLY HIGH RISK OF TORNADOS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE TORNADOES. THIS AFTERNOON DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BECOME A WIDESPREAD THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF THE SEVERE OUTLOOK AREA CONTINUING WELL INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREAS ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES... AND LISTEN TO RADIO...TV...OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER WATCHES ...WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS. ...JACK HALES... STORM PREDICTION CENTER NNNN -- Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.usa.noam EM home page: "http://www.collierem.org/" My home page: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" ------------- Gore's (no, not THAT Gore!) Third Law of Design Engineering: "Any circuit design must contain at least one part that is obsolete, and two that are unobtainable." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 17:20:00 -0000 From: "William P. Eggers" Subject: Sirens v. TV warnings A friend of mine forwarded this to me, I thought I would pass it on to the list for their insights. Date 4/13/98 Just a question for all of you to ponder. Today during a men's volleyball game in the gym at school the tornado sirens went off outside. I immediately went to the head coach and informed him, his exact comment was "SO!" I then proceeded to the AD and Principal and they suggested that we wait and said that we should watch the television bulletin before acting. My first thoughts were to have everyone take shelter and wait for the all clear. After expressing my opinion and stating to the principal that I felt she was wrong and that I was going to speak to the Superintendent of the school district regarding the appropriate action that should have been taken. Afterwards at our soccer game one hour after the tornado touched down two miles from the school, I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at the way I handled the situation saying that it was not my job to worry about the weather. I would like to know what the rest of you think, reply in person or to the list. Thanks Michael S Heffner ATC SSM Rehabilitation Institute Pattonville High School Hughtrain2@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 20:02:44 EDT From: GK0116 Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings In a message dated 98-04-15 18:19:29 EDT, yerout@FORBIN.COM writes: > Afterwards at our soccer game one hour after the tornado touched down two miles > from the school, I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at the way I > handled the situation saying that it was not my job to worry about the weather. I do believe that you will see a large response to this situation! These administrators, in their capacity as guardians of those in attendance, ought to lose their jobs over this tremendous oversight. At the very least, they need to be given some intense severe weather awareness training to understand that your local warning siren is usually only sounded when a tornado (or funnel cloud) is in the immediate area, and then because a TRAINED SPOTTER has seen it firsthand! Please, send me the names and mailing addresses of these dimwits so that we all can mail them information on what to do next time, like trust the sirens and the NOAA weather radio instead of a TV station (no offense to the on-top- of-things TV Mets out there!). Let's be thankful the tornado was a couple miles away, or we might not have this first-hand account to read instead of a tragic news story. Greg Keep yer eyes to the sky! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 21:39:03 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings On Wed, 15 Apr 1998, GK0116 wrote: > In a message dated 98-04-15 18:19:29 EDT, yerout@FORBIN.COM writes: > > > Afterwards at our soccer game one hour after the tornado touched down two > miles > from the school, I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at > the way I > > handled the situation saying that it was not my job to worry about the > weather. > > I do believe that you will see a large response to this situation! > These administrators, in their capacity as guardians of those in attendance, > ought to lose their jobs over this tremendous oversight. At the very least, > they need to be given some intense severe weather awareness training to > understand that your local warning siren is usually only sounded when a > tornado (or funnel cloud) is in the immediate area, and then because a TRAINED > SPOTTER has seen it firsthand! Agreed. I would go so far as to say that their refusal to bring the kids inside or listen when you're trying to warn them about a severe weather situation comes damn close to criminal negligence. Yes, I meant exactly what I said--school officials specifically *do* have responsibility to make sure those kids get to shelter when a warning was issued, and for all they knew a tornado could have been coming straight FOR the school. I'd not only post the names and addresses of those prime examples of Dilbertian manager-types, but I'd also raise roughly 40 separate and distinct types of polite hell with the following agencies: 1) The superintendent of schools in your area, if it was a public school (and the head of your church or archdiocese if it was a parichial or private school). I would dare say that the failure to get those kids in a basement when a siren sounded--and the failure of the school officials to heed advice to get them in the basement--is at the least a violation of your district/school/archdiocese's disaster plan and at worst can make them lose their jobs over it. In any case, I think THEIR superiors would be *most* interested in hearing about this. 2) The local civil defense agency (or Disaster and Emergency Services or your state EMA office). These officials desperately need a clue- by-fouring as to what to do when severe weather is in the area, and the DES folks can likely educate them as to the real need to get those kids under cover when the sirens go off. 3) The media. Yes, the media would be valuable to get on your side on this--parents need to know that their officials are (ahem) lax on getting kids to cover when weather brews tornadic and sirens go off, and won't listen to good advise to get those kids under cover. Parents get *mean* when they find out their kids' lives are put at risk by boneheadedness, and the phrase "angry pack of wolves" comes to mind at the sheer amounts of hell they will raise to make sure the same mistake does NOT happen again. -pb about to go offline thanks to the weather brewing my way. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 01:56:27 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Post your Storm Reports to the Web with CASI's StormForm I am pleased to announce the existence of a new place on the web to which you can post your Storm Reports. This submittal form will be of most use to those of you on the East Coast, where archives of severe weather events and places at which to submit storm reports are rather rare. The Central Atlantic Storm Investigators announce 4/15/98 that the Internet Public may now post their Severe Storm Reports for inclusion in the CASI Recent Weather Events section of the CASI Website (http://www.weatherwatchers.org/recentwx.html). Since the beginnings of CASI in late 1996 (though its origins trace back to the early 90's) I have had a dream of sorts to bring a greater awareness of Severe weather in the Eastern US. I would like our website to become a one-stop shop for Eastern US weather reports, and I believe this is a good place to start. Any Netizen east of the Mississippi can post their report to the StormForm, but if you have Storm Reports from the West or outside the US we ask that you please first become a CASI Member. If you care enough to submit a report you should join us anyway! Please let me know if I made any typo's (D'ohh!) or even worse left out anything important (D'OHH!). I've been looking at the form so long I may have left things out. The URL for the "StormForm" is: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/stormform/ The Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (CASI - http://www.weatherwatchers.org) is a group of over 170 (and that number is growing rapidly) amateur and professional weather observers, meteorologists, storm chasers, storm spotters, emergency mgmt. officials, and people from all walks of life. Although most of our Members hail from the Eastern US we have members from other parts of the US and the World. The CASI creed is: Observation, Documentation, Investigation. We hope that through our work the forecasting of weather can one day save additional lives. Membership is Free at this time and open to everyone. It entitles the Member to a mailing-list of weather discussions and their own web page on the CASI site with their contact information. Thanks for your time everyone, now let's get on with the weather! This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 18:30:18 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings In article <000401bd6892$b92a1a20$64c595d0@yerout.forbin.com>, "William P. Eggers" wrote: > A friend of mine forwarded this to me, I thought I would pass it on to the > list for their insights. ... > Just a question for all of you to ponder. Today during a men's volleyball > game in the gym at school the tornado sirens went off outside. I > immediately > went to the head coach and informed him, his exact comment was "SO!" > I then proceeded to the AD and Principal and they suggested that we wait and > said that we should watch the television bulletin before acting. My first > thoughts were to have everyone take shelter and wait for the all clear. > After > expressing my opinion and stating to the principal that I felt she was wrong > and that I was going to speak to the Superintendent of the school district > regarding the appropriate action that should have been taken. Afterwards at > our soccer game one hour after the tornado touched down two miles from the > school, I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at the way I > handled > the situation saying that it was not my job to worry about the weather. > > I would like to know what the rest of you think, reply in person or to the > list. This is an amazing response, to the effect that TV warnings have more credibility than those of the local officials who pushed the "siren" button. If this is true, the situation needs to be analyzed in some detail. Is there some history here that we should know? For example, if the sirens have been triggered often and needlessly in the past, then this situation is more understandable. Presumably, a tornado did not materialize in this case ... was there one close? Chuck Doswell -- ================================================================= Chuck Doswell e-mail: cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) Homepage: http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell Never criticize a man 'til you've walked a mile in his shoes. That way, when you do, you're a mile away and you have his shoes. ================================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Apr 1998 to 15 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2622 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626464-15556>; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 13:14:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04268; Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:07:24 -0500 Message-Id: <199804170507.AAA04268@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:00:50 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Apr 1998 to 16 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6bb345d441922fe42efad2ca210ed472 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 343 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Sirens v. TV warnings (5) 2. SVR 3. Sirens vs TV warnings 4. SFD for laughs! 5. Nashville TN Tornado 6. Amazing Stories From Outbreak +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 02:05:28 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings > >I would like to know what the rest of you think, reply in person or to the >list. First I would inform the media, then the school board, then as many parents as I could as to the danger to the students, and I would inform my attorney. That attitude is what sunk the Titanic. Apathy can invite disaster. J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA/Skywarn Advanced Spotter Collier County,Naples,FL Collier County Skywarn Website www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Apr 1998 22:04:47 -0500 From: Damon Scott Hynes Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings Chuck Doswell wrote: > > In article <000401bd6892$b92a1a20$64c595d0@yerout.forbin.com>, "William P. > Eggers" wrote: > > > A friend of mine forwarded this to me, I thought I would pass it on to the > > list for their insights. ... > > Just a question for all of you to ponder. Today during a men's volleyball > > game in the gym at school the tornado sirens went off outside. I > > immediately > > went to the head coach and informed him, his exact comment was "SO!" > > I then proceeded to the AD and Principal and they suggested that we wait and > > said that we should watch the television bulletin before acting. My first > > thoughts were to have everyone take shelter and wait for the all clear. > > After > > expressing my opinion and stating to the principal that I felt she was wrong > > and that I was going to speak to the Superintendent of the school district > > regarding the appropriate action that should have been taken. Afterwards at > > our soccer game one hour after the tornado touched down two miles from the > > school, I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at the way I > > handled > > the situation saying that it was not my job to worry about the weather. > > > > I would like to know what the rest of you think, reply in person or to the > > list. For my part, I'd introduce your coach, AD, and superintendent to a representative of your school district's insurance carrier. This is pathetic, coaches and AD's are teachers and protectors before they are coaches. -- "When it didn't whistle for the station, I knew we were in trouble." Damonhynes@sprintmail.com , President of the Midlands Chapter, The Marny Stanier Appreciation Society ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 09:09:44 -0400 From: Michael Powell Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings > I do believe that you will see a large response to this situation! > These administrators, in their capacity as guardians of those in attendance, > ought to lose their jobs over this tremendous oversight. At the very least, > they need to be given some intense severe weather awareness training to > understand that your local warning siren is usually only sounded when a > tornado (or funnel cloud) is in the immediate area, and then because a TRAINED > SPOTTER has seen it firsthand! As much as I would like to agree with you, I can remember being in school as a youngster and, excluding the once-a-month tests, the siren usually went off because it was not functioning properly. When I was very young, the actual alerts were immediately followed by a piped-in loudspeaker announcement of the actual weather situation (I was too young to tell if it was the NWS or not, but it was not the voice of someone on the school grounds). When I got older, we rarely knew what was going on (other than being able to see it getting awful dark out the windows). Although I am not defending their actions (someone should have done something QUICKLY to figure out what was going on), I can see where the "cry wolf" syndrome could have played a factor. Mike ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 13:42:27 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: SVR Someone likes to go shopping! Wonder how that is going to sound on CRS ;> ** WUUS1 KBNA 161713 *** SVRBNA TNC037-161815- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 1212 PM CDT THU APR 16 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE * UNTIL 115 PM CDT * AT 1209 PM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRANKLIN MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BELLE MEADE AT 1215 PM CDT GREEN HILLS MALL AT 1220 PM CDT === VILLAGE MALL AT 1220 PM CDT ONE HUNDRED OAKS MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === WOODBINE AT 1225 PM CDT HARDING MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === ANTIOCH AT 1225 PM CDT HICKORY HOLLOW MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === NASHVILLE METRO AIRPORT AT 1230 PM CDT DONELSON AT 1230 PM CDT J. PERCY PRIEST LAKE AT 1230 PM CDT HERMITAGE AT 1230 PM CDT ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 14:36:48 -0500 From: Robert Hajek Subject: Re: Sirens vs TV warnings William P Eggers said on April 15 1998 >Subject: Sirens v. TV warnings > >A friend of mine forwarded this to me, I thought I would pass it on to the >list for their insights. > >Date 4/13/98 > >Just a question for all of you to ponder. Today during a men's volleyball >game in the gym at school the tornado sirens went off outside. I immediately >went to the head coach and informed him, his exact comment was "SO!" With due respect to the many involved in the educational process who are truly interested in their work, the attitude demonstrated in response to the concern about the dangers the people could have possibly been exposed to is another testimonial as to what is wrong with our educational system. Maybe if we could show these administrators just how this might affect the self-esteem of the students instead of the physical injury, it might just register a little more. Phew! Bob Hajek W9QBH Involved for years with SKYWARN in the CHICAGO METRO & CWA ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 16:26:45 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: SFD for laughs! Just thought you all should see this from a local NWS office: 345 AM CDT THU APR 16 1998 WELL, WASN'T YESTERDAY'S INACTIVITY SPECIAL. THE BUMPS AND BRUISES ARE STILL SORE THIS MORNING, AND EVEN THE STUART SMALLEY THERAPY TAPES FOR METEOROLOGIST JUST DON'T HELP ANYMORE. SO WILL HAVE TO SLAM DOWN A JOLT, OR TWO, GET OUT THE METEOROLOGY FOR DUMMIES BOOK, AND GET ON WITH THE BUSINESS AT HAND. (deletia) I want that book! ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 17:02:41 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings >I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at the way I >handled >the situation saying that it was not my job to worry about the weather. > Maybe it wasn't your job to worry about the weather, but it IS your job (and EVERY school employee's job) to worry about the safety of the kids. With lead times of maybe 15 minutes, and a gym full of people, the proper action (IMHO) would have been to move everyone to an interior hallway... THEN check the specifics of the warning. So what if the game is delayed for a few minutes unnecessarily. The flip side of the coin is that more people may have been hurt/killed in the gym rather than the hallway if the TOR had hit the school. Sounds like the school system needs to have a MANDATORY procedure in place to act first and ask questions later. And a lot of training for school officials who need to implement that procedure. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 17:22:54 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: Sirens v. TV warnings On Wed, 15 Apr 1998, William P. Eggers wrote: > Just a question for all of you to ponder. Today during a men's volleyball > game in the gym at school the tornado sirens went off outside. I > regarding the appropriate action that should have been taken. Afterwards at > our soccer game one hour after the tornado touched down two miles from the > school, I spoke with the AD and he expressed his concern at the way I Where exactly was the warning laid out in realtion to the school? And where did the tornado end up touching down? Anybody still have that info? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 18:57:41 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Nashville TN Tornado An alarmingly coincidental website posting only hours before the downtown Nashville event on the WKRN TV Nashville web site at, http://www.wkrn.com, > 10:33 PM April 14, 1998 > News 2 Special Report > > This Thursday at 7pm News 2 presents "Surviving the > Storm". Severe weather season is here and if the > weather of recent weeks is any indication we need to > be on our toes here at the Storm Center. The > information we provide when tracking storms is useless > unless you know exactly what to do when storms hit. > The special is unique in that over the past several > months we've talked with people whose lives have been > impacted by a variety of severe weather common to > this area...lightning, flooding, tornadoes, and more. We > hope their experiences and numerous tips will help you > be prepared to survive the storm. THURSDAY > 7PM-NEWS 2. Yikes! Al Moler at the DuPage IL Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Seminar really nailed the lack of major urban tornado events over the last twenty years. I hope his concern stops at the Nashville event. Otherwise we may be in for a very grim severe weather season in 1998. Best wishes for a rapid recovery to all of those affected by the early spring storms this year. My heartfelt concern to all who have suffered. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. APRS Active on 144.39 - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------------------------------------------- For all you automated email spammers out there, bkennard@fcc.gov mpowell@fcc.gov sness@fcc.gov gtristani@fcc.gov president@whitehouse.gov vicepresident@whitehouse.gov customer@email.usps.gov pyramid@ftc.gov consumerline@ftc.gov net-abuse@nocs.insp.irs.gov ------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 22:22:44 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Amazing Stories From Outbreak Hello Everyone... While working at the television station I managed to pick up on these Statements from various National Weather Service Offices: "Franklin County, Missouri: St. Clair: 4:30 p.m. 04/15/98 4.5" HAIL" "Severe Weather Statement: NWS Nashville, Tennessee: 2:48 p.m. THU APR 16 1998 PERRY COUNTY SHERIFFS RECEIVED PUBLIC REPORTS OF LOUD ROARING SOUND JUST WEST OF LINDEN AT 2:45 PM CDT." "Severe Weather Statement: NWS Nashville, Tennessee: 6:01 p.m. THU APR 16 1998 AT 556 PM....A SPOTTER REPORTED 80 MPH WINDS AND DEBRIS FALLING FROM THE SKY 6 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBIA IN MAURY COUNTY." "SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NWS NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE: 6:10 P.M. THU APR 16 1998 AT 6:10 PM...SHERIFFS OFFICE IN COLUMBIA REPORTED MAIL AND RECEIPTS FROM WAYNE COUNTY FALLING OUT OF DEBRIS CLOUD NEAR THE CITY OF COLUMBIA." Some interesting stuff out of the Nashville office. We now know that at least 3 people were milled in Wayne county, Tennessee. That is where the debris came from that was falling from the sky. Wayne county is 60 miles from Columbia. Notify the Tornado Debris Project! Have a good one everybody ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Apr 1998 to 16 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:19:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4393 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626433-25920>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 13:10:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41680; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:05:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199804180505.AAA41680@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:00:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Apr 1998 to 17 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12363de423cb6b872e82087daa336a86 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 342 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tornado Video Nashville 2. May Launch Planned for NOAA-K Weather Satellite (2) 3. Nashville Tornado Satellite Images 4. Doppler Radar Indicates...Discussion (2) 5. Nashville Mesocyclone Alert! 6. NetNews : AccuWeather Get Weather is back / Earthwatch Winter Radar / Intellicast 3-D Radar (AL Tornadoes) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 00:11:07 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Tornado Video Nashville Hi everyone This was given out last night in the #weather group on Mirc. Amazing stuff showing a reporting with a tornado over her shoulder...and she does not realize it! http://users1.vastnet.net/mitchd/tornado2.ram You will need Real Player or something to view it with. Also...reports of a one mile wide tornado in Wayne County, Tennessee. Meteorologists in the area at local television stations believe it may have been an F4 or F5 tornado. TWC is possibly getting the video from a friend down there....watch for it! Derek ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 10:49:32 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: May Launch Planned for NOAA-K Weather Satellite MAY LAUNCH PLANNED FOR NOAA-K WEATHER SATELLITE A new satellite that will improve weather forecasting and monitor environmental events around the world will be launched on May 13, the U.S. Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and NASA announced today. NOAA-K, a joint project of NOAA and NASA, is scheduled for launch on May 13, at 8:52 a.m. PDT, from Vandenberg AFB, Calif. The satellite will be launched into a near-polar orbit 516 miles above the Earth on a U.S. Air Force Titan II rocket. It will circle the Earth every 102 minutes, passing over the North and South Poles on each orbit. NOAA-K is the first in a series of five satellites with improved imaging and sounding capabilities that will operate over the next 12 years. Like other NOAA satellites, NOAA-K will collect meteorological data and transmit the information to users around the world to enhance weather and climate forecasting. In the United States, the data will be used primarily by the National Weather Service for its operational long-range weather and climate forecasts. The design of the satellite will enable it to "scan" the Earth, and provide continuous global images of cloud cover, surface parameters such as snow, ice, and vegetation; atmospheric temperatures, moisture, and aerosol distributions; and collect and relay information from data platforms. "With NOAA-K, we will get better measurements of atmospheric temperature and moisture values," said Mike Mignogno, NOAA's polar program manager. "These translate into better information, particularly in the troposphere under cloudy conditions. The result will be accurate, global, tropospheric temperature and moisture data under all sky conditions." "The improved cloud, snow cover and sea surface temperature data means improved forecasts of potential flooding and drought conditions," said Ronald McPherson, director of NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction, one of the primary users of the polar satellite data. "The observations will also enhance the National Weather Service's ability to forecast storms such as those we have experienced during the major El NiZo event, as well as the El NiZo itself." NOAA-K will also carry search and rescue instruments that are used internationally in locating ships and aircraft in distress. The use of satellites in search and rescue has been instrumental in saving more than 7000 lives since the inception of the Search and Rescue Satellite-aided Tracking (SARSAT) system. NOAA operates two polar-orbiting and two geostationary environmental satellites. Currently, NOAA is operating NOAA-12, launched in May 1991, and NOAA-14, launched in December 1994. NOAA-K, to be renamed NOAA-15 once in orbit, will replace NOAA-12, which will be deactivated. NOAA and NASA work together to develop and launch NOAA's environmental satellites. NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., is responsible for the construction, integration, and verification testing of the satellite, instruments, and ground equipment. NASA arranges launch of the satellites with the U.S. Air Force. Following the launch, NASA turns operational control of the satellite over to NOAA after a comprehensive on-orbit verification period, which is expected to last about 60 days. NOAA operates the satellites from the Satellite Operations Control Center of the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service in Suitland, Md. Information on the polar satellites is available on the World Wide Web at: http://poes2.gsfc.nasa.gov and at http://www2.ncdc.noaa.gov/docs/intro.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 12:03:55 -0400 From: "Mark H. Mantz" Subject: Re: May Launch Planned for NOAA-K Weather Satellite Hi All: Just wanted to add to Robert's note: You can go to the NOAA-K's actual Web Site Directly : http://poes2.gsfc.nasa.gov/campaign/campaign_home.htm This site has actual photos of the different parts of the satellite and transportation to Vandenberg AFB. It also has daily updates on the progress. At 10:49 AM 4/17/98 , Robert P Dale wrote: >MAY LAUNCH PLANNED FOR NOAA-K WEATHER SATELLITE > > A new satellite that will improve weather forecasting and monitor >environmental events around the world will be launched on May 13, the U.S. >Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration >and NASA announced today. > > NOAA-K, a joint project of NOAA and NASA, is scheduled for launch on May >13, at 8:52 a.m. PDT, from Vandenberg AFB, Calif. The satellite will be >launched into a near-polar orbit 516 miles above the Earth on a U.S. Air >Force Titan II rocket. It will circle the Earth every 102 minutes, passing Lots of stuff deleted for bandwith............ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 15:05:24 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Nashville Tornado Satellite Images I processed some NOAA AVHRR imagery of the storms that produced the downtown Nashville tornado and placed them at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/imgallery/index.html I've also included a descriptive summary of events compiled from NWS reports. There are images from about 1 hour before the downtown tornado at the top of the page and images from about 2.5 hours after this tornado at the bottom. I put this together very quickly so I will be refining it over the next few days. However, I thought there might be immediate interest in these images. Cheers, Steve _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 14:15:07 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Doppler Radar Indicates...Discussion Hi Everyone.... I would like to open a discussion on the subject of Tornado Warnings that are issued, by National Weather Service Offices, for radar indicated tornadoes. There has been a fair amount of concern, in my region of the United States, concerning the number of tornado warnings issued during the past three weeks for these type of conditions. There have been several dozen tornado warnings issued by the National Weather Service Office in Paducah, Kentucky that were never verified with actual tornado incidents. Just yesterday there were more than 100 tornado warnings issued by the Nashville, Tennessee NWS office and a couple of other NWS offices near that region. We do not know how many tornadoes actually touched down but there were obviously several. My concerns are that people are becoming used to the tornado warnings. I have heard a number of people on the radio say that it used to be that when tornado warnings were issued that it meant somebody actually saw a tornado or reported a funnel cloud. You did not hear that radar indicated a tornado. With the new technology (doppler radar) we are now able to see inside of a thunderstorm and see rotation. With this new technology it has obviously made it easier for the National Weather Service Meteorologists to issue tornado warnings. I personally do not have a problem with a tornado warning being issued for a community because radar indicates that there might be a tornado forming. I do know that there are people out there, however, that do not think this is not the proper way to issue warnings and that tornado warnings should be issued only when one has been spotted or the radar signature is so impressive that there is some certainty that one is going to occur. I believe that perhaps part of the problem lies with the local television meteorologists who are not informing the public what "doppler radar indicated tornado" means. I did notice that one of our local stations on Tuesday night went all out in explaining what this terminology meant. They explained that radar was showing a meso and that the storm COULD produce a tornado but that there might not be one occurring at this time. I thought they did a great job of explaining all of this information to the general public. I was told by the local NWS Office in Paducah, Kentucky that the New York Times has put out an article on this very topic...it apparently appears in today's issue. I would like to know how people feel about this...not only from our point of view (people interested in weather) but from the general public and people who we may come in contact with that have discussed this issue. I would appreciate hearing from everyone on this subject matter. I have also added all the Real Audio sites for NWS offices on my web page...if anyone knows of a station that I missed please let me know...thanks. Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 18:58:29 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Nashville Mesocyclone Alert! Look at the wind as the BNA mesocyclone/tornado moved by! BNA SP 2037 AO2A 38 SCT E150 BKN 250 OVC 10+T 75/66/1731G36/953/ PK WND 17036/2035 WSHFT 2022 TSE01B32RAE1954 PRESFR TS NW-N-NE MOV E= BNA SP 2003 AO2A 44 SCT 60 SCT E150 BKN 250 OVC 10+ 70/64/1108/962/ TSE01RAE1954 PRESFR CB W-N-NE MOV E= Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:20:59 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : AccuWeather Get Weather is back / Earthwatch Winter Radar / Intellicast 3-D Radar (AL Tornadoes) NetNews, recent weather-related news about Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. Send your reports of recent changes or additions to weather websites to: netnews@weatherwatchers.org for inclusion in these postings. 1. AccuWeather relaunched their corporate site www.accuweather.com today turning it from a company-centered site to a weather-centered site. From their front page you can now get US Radar and Satellite or a 5-Day Forecast for any of the 45,000 US Zipcodes. Once inside the site you can also get 3-day forecasts for any of the US Cities plus an undisclosed number of international cities - a wide selection, probably several thousand. There are many other weather graphics and also a daily beach and boating forecast and twice daily National Weather Summary. This is a free service which is separate from their (free or pay) service Personal AccuWeather, which you can also get for free (signup was simplified to just zipcode last week so you don't have to fill out a long form) or pay if you desire real-time data including local nexrads. 2. Earthwatch introduced recently their Winter Weather Radar which, similar to Intellicast and Personal AccuWeather, deliniates not just between intensity of rain but also snow or ice. http://www.earthwatch.com/ 3. Intellicast has a special section on their site, introduced Thursday, which gives cross-sections and animations of 3--dimensional radar echoes from the recent Alabama tornadoes. If you haven't seen this yet, it is very very cool. Not for the faint of bandwidth - the page is large but with excellent detail. A must see! http://www.intellicast.com/drdew/tornado/ 4. WeatherLabs has redesigned their website, http://www.weatherlabs.com . At this time it appears that they have removed all current free weather content although the old site should be supported for some time. Thanks for your time folks! Now... back to monitoring that 78dbZ on MOB's screen... ;) This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 23:30:00 -0500 From: Don Lloyd Subject: Re: Doppler Radar Indicates...Discussion Derek Dodson said: >I personally do not have a problem with a tornado warning being issued >for a community because radar indicates that there might be a tornado >forming. I do know that there are people out there, however, that do >not think this is not the proper way to issue warnings and that tornado >warnings should be issued only when one has been spotted or the radar >signature is so impressive that there is some certainty that one is >going to occur. While I sometimes feel the same way, after several chases that involved HP supercells, I remember why that thinking is flawed. HP supercells often produce short-lived tornadoes that are rapidly obscured by wrapping precipitation. These tornadoes are only visible in a narrow field of view that may not include a storm spotter or chaser. Even if the tornado is seen, by the time this information reaches the NWS and media, the mesocyclone has occluded and the tornado dissipated--the damage is done. I feel the NWS is correct in erring on the side of caution and warning for these storms. I think they did a great job in southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. Don http://www.wx-fx.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Apr 1998 to 17 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4394 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627141-4630>; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 13:09:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28030; Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:04:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199804190504.AAA28030@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Apr 1998 to 18 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe33af21e9a2812d37a4335029a1d61a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 314 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Sirnes vs TV Warnings (2) 2. St. Peter TOR wrngs... 3. Err on the side of Caution! 4. Doppler Radar Indicates...Discussion 5. What magazines do we read on Weather 6. WX-TALK Digest - 15 Apr 1998 to 16 Apr 1998 7. TOR content 8. RS Same radio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 00:10:20 -0000 From: "William P. Eggers" Subject: Sirnes vs TV Warnings Many postings have asked if a tornado did actually touch down or not. In fact, a tornado did touchdown about 2 mi west of the school during this event. Bill ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 02:07:50 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: St. Peter TOR wrngs... > On Tue, 14 Apr 1998, John Lamb wrote: > > > > I'm been hectic up here...didn't really follow the BHM outbreak. The St. > > Peter (MN) was the first really big outbreak that I was able to watch the > > MSP crew work. The warning lead times were amazing. I don't remember the > > numbers exactly but I'm thinking St. Peter had a few minutes warning. It > > was an interesting night as I was seriously contemplating some storm > > photography. I almost left Minneapolis for Mankato at 4pm. I would have > > been in St. Peter right around 5.30 or just after. 5.30 being when > > the tornado tore through St. Peter. > > *nods* Well and truly understood on that one. (Then again, one could > argue they did a good job just on account of the sheer *number* of > warnings...I counted 40+ tornado warnings in a 1 1/2 hour period. > Reportedly they had no less than 14 simultaneous tornado warnings at one > point...) > > > MPX WFO did a very good job as mentioned above. The city of St. Peter (Nicollet Co.) had a warning lead time of over 45 minutes! Le Center (Le Seuer Co.) was about 40-45 minutes. The lone death in the St. Peter/Le Center area was due to a vehicle being in the wrong place at the wrong time. One thing to note in this tornado --- despite the size and strength (F3) many of the homes damaged in St. Peter were not totally ripped off the foundations, etc. Many of the homes were older and MUCH better built than the newer homes of the 70-90s. Having lived there when younger I can attest to the many older well kept homes in the community. Had this tornado ripped through a new subdivision, I think the devastation (and possibly human casualties) would have been greater. One thing I have noticed upon growing up in Minn. and then living in Kansas for a few years and now in the Atlanta area is the very high ratio of homes WITH basements in the Nrn Plains vs. areas of the south. Cost, soil type, etc are all factors in this I am sure. Either way, the death rate is significantly less in the Nrn Plains vs the S/SE sections of the country. Daniel Dix ddix@bellsouth.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 07:17:23 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Err on the side of Caution! In reference to Don Lloyd's comments concerning warnings based on radar indicated tornadoes, I agree that the NWS must continue to err on the side of caution. To do otherwise would be unforgivable, especially during an outbreak! Technology does not yet allow a more conservative approach. For example, I have seen tornadoes when the doppler radar data did not indicate enough concentrated shear to trip the TVS algorithm or even to alert the radar operator visually. As an example, Carson Eads, Tim Marshall and I saw (and reported) at least three brief tornadoes prior to the devastating Lancaster tornado, none of which triggered a TVS alert nor were they recognized in real-time by a very experienced and competent NWS radar operator (possibly one of the best in the country!). The tornadoes occurred under a large meso and may have been landspouts without much vertical depth OR they may have formed and dissipated so quickly, "between" volume scans, that they were not captured during volume scan digitization. (Upon careful post-event study of the radar images, a few (two or three) pixels indicating enhanced small scale shear were found in the general area where the tornadoes occurred.) These tornadoes occurred within a few miles (5 to 10 miles) from the radar site! On a connected thought, could someone tell me how much resolution is lost during the digitization of the WSR-88D radar image? I know there has to be a significant degradation because the Corsicana "experimental" doppler uses a smaller antenna which should provide less resolution than the WSR-88D, but apparently the digitization technique used in Corsicana (Texas) is maximized, resulting in a much more detailed image for a given distance from the radar site. How many operational meteorologists would like to see the addition of a manual mode to the WSR-88D that could be controlled by the radar operator that when coupled with improved digitization would provide a much more detailed storm image? You can take a look at the Corsicana Radar site by going to the following URL: http://www.pulse.net/storm/Corsican.htm Sam Barricklow Don Lloyd wrote: I feel the NWS is correct in erring on the side of caution and warning for these storms. I think they did a great job in southwest Illinois Wednesday afternoon. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 09:32:13 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Sirnes vs TV Warnings >Many postings have asked if a tornado did actually touch down or not. In >fact, a tornado did touchdown about 2 mi west of the school during this >event. Whether a TOR did touch down or not is not the main point of this thread, although it is an interesting FYI. The NWS errs on the side of caution when people's lives are at stake. So should local schools... ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 11:55:11 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Doppler Radar Indicates...Discussion On Fri, 17 Apr 1998, Derek Dodson wrote: > Just yesterday there were more than 100 tornado warnings issued by the > Nashville, Tennessee NWS office and a couple of other NWS offices near > that region. We do not know how many tornadoes actually touched down > but there were obviously several. Yes, but I highly doubt it was another actual Super Outbreak up there. I missed being able to log onto the Internet from the 12th to the 17th, and I had to sort through some *800-plus* Meso, Tor, and Storm Reports. That's just 5 days for all those reports, and there were, reiterating it yet another way, *nearly 1000* of them. That's not counting WX-TALK, WX-CHASE, and SKYWARN discussion mailings. You couldn't be online an hour without twenty or more new reports and bulletins coming in WHILE you were still online. Took me two one-hour sessions just to sort through it all and decide which few might be relavant, and which of the many didn't apply to us. There's got to be a way to break these reports down...i.e., to somehow separate and break up and tag these reports by section or state or something, and then to offer the new option, somehow, of being able to turn on and off reception of reports sorted by state...something like that. The negative is that I can see poor Chris having to manually sort through each one of the incomings and sorting them by state himself, one-by-one, in order to do that. But, can a program be written to do that for him?...i.e., read bulletin headers for the state code and sort appropriately? The weather service has been going nuts these last couple weeks. Maybe this is normal and I just haven't come across it yet because I haven't been in these lists long enough; but just a month ago, the mail was much more easily handled than this. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 16:43:16 -0400 From: steve hajducek Subject: What magazines do we read on Weather Hello All, I am searching down all current magazines in print that cater to the weather enthusiast, and figured the opinions of the readers of this reflector would be est. Pleae e-mail me a list what publications you read, and possbily rate them against each other if you read more than one on a regular basis. Also please list the e-mail address, website or phone number of the publications. Shouold anyone be interested in the response I get to this request, e-mail me in a week a so for the results. Thank you very much in advance for your time and consideration. /s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 20:36:27 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Apr 1998 to 16 Apr 1998 > > Date: Thu, 16 Apr 1998 13:42:27 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: SVR > > Someone likes to go shopping! Wonder how that is going to sound on CRS ;> > > ** WUUS1 KBNA 161713 *** > SVRBNA > TNC037-161815- > > BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED > SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN > 1212 PM CDT THU APR 16 1998 > > THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A > > * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... > DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE > > * UNTIL 115 PM CDT > > * AT 1209 PM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR > INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRANKLIN > MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. > > * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... > BELLE MEADE AT 1215 PM CDT > GREEN HILLS MALL AT 1220 PM CDT === > VILLAGE MALL AT 1220 PM CDT > ONE HUNDRED OAKS MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === > WOODBINE AT 1225 PM CDT > HARDING MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === > ANTIOCH AT 1225 PM CDT > HICKORY HOLLOW MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === > NASHVILLE METRO AIRPORT AT 1230 PM CDT > DONELSON AT 1230 PM CDT > J. PERCY PRIEST LAKE AT 1230 PM CDT > HERMITAGE AT 1230 PM CDT > My family and I were in Memphis on Thursday when the storms passed to the north and east, and my wife was driving to (drumroll) a mall to go shopping when the tornado warning came on for some county. Of course, as visitors to TN, she (and I) knew nothing about where these counties were, other than they weren't Shelby County, which is where Memphis is. But I would think that a list of malls and tourist attractions would be a good thing to include in a tornado warning. They are on most maps, after all, so someone unfamiliar with the area could figure out where the svr trw was. Memphis, of course, got nothing from the storms, although there was pretty exhaustive coverage of the tornadoes in Manila, Dyer County, and Nashville. Scott, back from vacation. -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 22:07:42 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: TOR content > But I would think that a list of malls and tourist attractions would be a > good thing to include in a tornado warning. They are on most maps, after all, > so someone unfamiliar with the area could figure out where the svr trw was. I agree, but question as to how accurate the "to-the-minute" timing is, 20-30 minutes in advance. I wonder if it might be better to say "In the next 20 minutes, it will affect XXX, YYY, ZZZ, etc." My primary concern is the Console Replacement System -- from the samples I've heard it is very bad. And I know what the text should say -- yet with the advantage it is still hard to make out. One can only guess how the computer would pronounce "BELLE MEADE" and how the average listener would interpret that... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:20:16 EDT From: MLANGFUS Subject: Re: RS Same radio Help. Need someone to scan manual and email to me. Can anyone help? Thanks Mike Langfus Mlangfus@aol.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Apr 1998 to 18 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:20:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1802 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-16098>; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 13:12:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41572; Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:05:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199804200505.AAA41572@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Apr 1998 to 19 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9df68312d8729d9b84360ff2cd093155 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 351 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Err on the side of Caution! 2. TESSA Meeting 3. Wx Book Rec's (2) 4. meso identification 5. RS Same radio 6. Looking for aviation text 7. new STL County siren policy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 18 Apr 1998 23:28:22 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: Err on the side of Caution! Sam Barricklow wrote: > How many operational meteorologists would like to see the addition of a > manual mode to the WSR-88D that could be controlled by the radar > operator that when coupled with improved digitization would provide a > much more detailed storm image? Go to : http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Theory.html In the first photo there is a TVS from the Montgomery Doppler. It was an F0. Though close to the radar the blockiness of the presentation is not there because of the resoulution of the monitor display along with radar resolution. This radar had a 1.05 degree beam width and was C-band which some say is actually better for Doppler info but of course not for intensity. Notice that the TVS is not a case of just a few pixels but instead is very clear including the inflow velocities feeding the vortex. We saw many things that just "stood out", even though we were scanning manually much of the time. We noticed almost 15 years ago that "sometimes too much resolution'' makes it difficult to find what you need quickly because there is "too much detail" in too many places to look at. You want the important features to literally jump out at you without having to hunt through millions of pixels of data. There are other schemes and computer software to remove the block shapes from WSR88D data. The Baron radar presentations are a good example. Enterprise Electronics also has excellent display of data and at much much less cost than NEXRAD. In a fast moving environment with tornadoes popping, a delayed radar presentation (up to 5 minutes) can be life threatening. The radar should have had manual mode, however I am not sure that the drive motors, gears and hydrolics in the current WSR88's could handle manual operations. In addition it appears that the false alarm rate is continuing to go up with the advent of NEXRAD. I need to continue to update my data, which I intend to which can be seen at: http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Verification.html I don't know what can be done about this, but one of the selling points of NEXRAD was better and more timely warnings. Warnings have been good for larger storms( especially the recent ones), but the false alarm rate concerns me as it should the NWS. -- Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 07:48:20 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: TESSA Meeting For those who could not attend this year's TESSA meeting in Plano, Texas, Harold Brooks, Lon Curtis and Tim Hellar gave excellent presentations. Lon was the lead-off speaker. He covered aspects of the Chaser/Spotter, the person who does both. He also reviewed the Jarrell, Texas tornado with many excellent slides and super video. Harold reviewed the tornado and thunderstorm theories over the last 2000+ years. Yes, even the ancient Greeks had their theories. It was amazing how much knowledge surfaced and was then lost for years, decades and even centuries. Tim Hellar of the local FOX affiliate, reviewed the Integrated Warning System from a media prospective. Attendance was good, although down slightly from last year. Media coverage was up however, with at least three local stations represented with camera crews. Charles Edwards new Dillo Cam received alot of attention along with Carson Eads' StormTracker super chase vehicle. As soon as time permits and permissions are granted, I'll post summaries of their presentations on my web site. I'll post again when the page is up and running. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 08:21:33 -0500 From: "Adam B. Kanis" Subject: Wx Book Rec's hi all, i'm new to the list, and new to weather spotting as well. I just went to a sever weather spotting training class given by one of the folks at the Quad Cities (IA/IL) NWS, which was excellent. anyway, i'm looking for a decent book on weather and weather spotting. all i've been able to find are ones made for grade schoolers, and ones targeted to people who are already professional meteorolgists. is there a book out there written for educated adults, which would have text to describe both theory and practice, as well as pictures to reinforce the text? thanks. --adam, n2brt =================================== Adam B. Kanis adam-kanis@uiowa.edu =================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 10:11:43 -0600 From: Gerry Subject: Re: Wx Book Rec's This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------7319D61B78099FFC8391DD03 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Adam, You might want to have a look at my weather page, there are links to weather information sources as well as sites with a lot of information contained within them. Happy weather spotting! Gerry http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Lab/5137 Adam B. Kanis wrote: > hi all, > > i'm new to the list, and new to weather spotting as well. I just went to a > sever weather spotting training class given by one of the folks at the Quad > Cities (IA/IL) NWS, which was excellent. anyway, i'm looking for a decent > book on weather and weather spotting. all i've been able to find are ones > made for grade schoolers, and ones targeted to people who are already > professional meteorolgists. is there a book out there written for educated > adults, which would have text to describe both theory and practice, as well > as pictures to reinforce the text? thanks. > > --adam, n2brt > =================================== > Adam B. Kanis > adam-kanis@uiowa.edu > =================================== > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html --------------7319D61B78099FFC8391DD03 Content-Type: text/x-vcard; charset=us-ascii; name="vcard.vcf" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Card for Gerry Singer Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="vcard.vcf" begin: vcard fn: Gerry Singer n: ;Gerry Singer email;internet: singer@henge.com x-mozilla-cpt: ;0 x-mozilla-html: FALSE version: 2.1 end: vcard --------------7319D61B78099FFC8391DD03-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 12:32:23 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: meso identification The other day, Sam wrote: ... For example, I have seen tornadoes when the doppler radar data did not indicate enough concentrated shear to trip the TVS algorithm or even to alert the radar operator visually. As I have said many times before on this list...If one waits for the current TVS algorithm to "trip", it is usaully too late...way TOO late. Also... snip... (two or three) pixels indicating enhanced small scale shear were found in the general area where the tornadoes occurred.) These tornadoes occurred within a few miles (5 to 10 miles) from the radar site! ... Speaking from experience...Mesocyclones forming close to the 88D tend to be difficult to visually identify, not because the radar "cannot" see them, but due to what the radar operator is typically use to observing on the 88D display (PUP). Example: for your "typical" moderate to strong meso at about ~40 miles away, the 88D SRM 0.5 velocity product (assuming a good storm motion vector) would display 5 or 6 good pixels of "high" outbound velocities adjacent to 5 or 6 "high" inbound velocities. When the meso is within miles of the 88D, you might see literally hundreds of inbound velocities and hundreds of outbounds. This data will also appeared to be "skewed" due to the meso being so close (That is the meso might cover a 60 to 70 degree arc close in to the 88D). It is also very important to observe the upper SRM velocity scans, especially if one is suspicious of mesos forming nearby. Keeping a close eye on on reflectivity structures and a time lapse of the 0.13 Base V also help significantly. I have had two tornadoes form relatively close to Melbourne Fl area (within miles of the KMLB 88D), and I have been fortunate to nail both of them (Both luckily were F-0s). Based on personal experience, the best way to identify mesos is to use MANUAL identification techniques, that is to carefully analyze the SRM velocity products for each of the 14 slices which are available per scan to the radar operator (normally, the first 6 lowest slices will suffice, unless the meso is outside the door, then the higher slices are necessary). Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB (PUB ~ early 99) ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 16:15:21 -0400 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: Re: RS Same radio > >Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:20:16 EDT >From: MLANGFUS >Subject: Re: RS Same radio > >Help. Need someone to scan manual and email to me. Can anyone help? Thanks >Mike Langfus Mlangfus@aol.com > Well, not quite as good as a scanned manual... but it may help. Text info from the manual found on Tandy's website: http://support.tandy.com/support_audio/40465.htm Has link to their 'faxback' system, which is an 800 number. Use the faxback document number at the top of the page (40465). What you get from the faxback system may include pictures. Also has list of FIPS codes for all of the states. Lee Roth - N8JQY ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 17:13:25 -0500 From: Pamela Knox Subject: Looking for aviation text Hello Wx-Talkers-- I have a question regarding textbooks for a class on aviation weather. My husband John is developing a course on aviation weather for the undergrad program at Valparaiso University, and would like to know what current textbooks are most useful for this course. He is looking for something beyond the introductory "Weather for Pilots" type of book, and would like to find something that gets into the subject at a deeper level. If you have any experience with this type of course, we would like to know what texts you use and what material you cover. You can either reply to me at pnknox@facstaff.wisc.edu or to John Knox at jknox@giss.nasa.gov directly. Thanks for your help. Pam Naber Knox stclim@macc.wisc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 23:29:38 -0500 From: Michael Land Subject: Re: new STL County siren policy At 12:08 PM 4/19/98 -0500, Chuck Doswell wrote: >The sounding of sirens, IMHO, ought to be the "last line of defense" and >properly should be a decision made by local emergency managers. NWS >warnings cover counties or large parts of counties, such that most of the >area affected by an NWS warning will almost certainly NOT be hit by a >tornado. This is a reflection of the reality of tornado (and severe >thunderstorm) warnings (as short-range forecasts) and is not likely to >change any time soon ... see: > > > >Since most communities within an NWS warning will NOT be hit by a tornado >even if tornadoes do strike SOMEWHERE within the county, the role for >community spotters and local sirens (IMHO) is to be the last-minute "This >is IT!" for that community ... it should be reserved exclusively for >situations when a tornado is virtually certain to strike in or VERY near >that particular community. Blowing the sirens for tornadoes in the NEXT >county, or for every NWS warning that touches the county is a policy that >local emergency managers can choose to follow, but then they should be >accountable for the outcomes associated with their policies. If people >hear sirens, there should be a pretty low false alarm rate, or they lose >their effectiveness pretty rapidly! I live in St. Louis County. I don't know the exact areal coverage of the county, but it's relatively large. As it is now, if the sirens are blown for any part of the county, every siren in the entire county is activated. If a tornado is bearing down on the Mehlville area (in the extreme south) the sirens will still be activiated for the Florissant area (in the extreme north). I don't know for sure if this is wiring (you'll kindly pardon my ignorance on this)or policy. However, I can live with this. What really makes me sit up and take notice is that there was (little or) no forewarning of the new policy. It seems to me that if one institutes a new and possibly confusing policy for warning the public - shouldn't the recipients of said policy have some knowledge of it? In my eyes, the 2 siren warning system is going to increase false alarms to such a point where a large number of people just stop paying attention...and that's a shame. Chuck's correct, they should be a "last line of defense". People may ignore the NWS, or local TV & radio personalities, but not many ignore the city's sirens. That may change. Just my $0.02 Michael Land - Meteorologist - Surface Systems St. Louis, MO email: landmb@inlink.com Web site: http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/ Wx-Talk: http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Apr 1998 to 19 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:21:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-12706>; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 13:13:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45012; Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:07:23 -0500 Message-Id: <199804210507.AAA45012@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39c5e616b051bb6a22597262b05a9cf4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 611 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Err on the side of Caution! 2. LP Supercell? 3. TV Met Job Available (Savannah, GA) 4. FW: Hurricane Response Exercise Begins Today 5. Lists of places in warnings (2) 6. meso identification (2) 7. new STL County siren policy 8. meso identification, clarification 9. Tornado Warnings via E-mail 10. DOH! Training goes awry.... 11. DOH! Training goes awry.... 12. WX-TALK Digest - 18 Apr 1998 to 19 Apr 1998 13. New El Nino Data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 13:06:10 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Err on the side of Caution! In article <19980418232822346401.24966@user-38h1tld.dialup.mindspring.com>, Paul Pettit wrote: >Sam Barricklow wrote: > >> How many operational meteorologists would like to see the addition of a >> manual mode to the WSR-88D that could be controlled by the radar >> operator that when coupled with improved digitization would provide a >> much more detailed storm image? > >In a fast moving environment with tornadoes popping, a delayed radar >presentation (up to 5 minutes) can be life threatening. The radar should >have had manual mode, however I am not sure that the drive motors, gears >and hydrolics in the current WSR88's could handle manual operations. The WSR-88D severe weather detection algorithms can only run if the radar is operated in a volume scan strategy mode. If you manually operate the radar, you lose that important guidance information. The best of both worlds would be to have two radars, one operating in volume scan modes for algorithms, and a second running in manual mode. But guess what...most places in the country already have this! The media radars are operating, for the most part, in manual mode. As Don Burgess of the WSR-88D OSF has pointed out several times this year at various national meetings and workshops...the NWS and the media need to be *sharing* the radar information to maximize the public benefit! >I don't know what can be done about this, but one of the selling points >of NEXRAD was better and more timely warnings. Warnings have been good >for larger storms( especially the recent ones), but the false alarm rate >concerns me as it should the NWS. According to the warning statistics, the false alarm rate as not increased. It just hasn't dropped from pre-88D levels. The Probability of Detection *has* gone up, and the lead time *has* gone up. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 10:04:06 EDT From: Scott Cravens Subject: LP Supercell? Hi all: A question from Garner NC - yesterday evening I was watching the radar at the same time skywarn was reporting a wall-cloud just to my southwest, moving northeast. There was no radar echo whatsoever with this cell. They also reported a funnel cloud in the same vicinity. My question/curiousity is, was this an unusual supercell for this area or was it not a supercell at all? A tornado warning was issued right after the skywarn report for my vicinity. The "cell" was moving at 50mph to the NE which brought it over my house. We experienced a wind gust to around 25-30 mph with light rain only - no hail, lightning, etc. I guess I'm a little confused on why there was no "signature" on doppler and if this is common. By the way, I was referencing 2 radar sites and neither showed an echo for this cell. If anyone was in this area and knows more please advise. -- Scott -> ARE Network Administrator <- -> x5-6095 <- -> scott_cravens@ncsu.edu <- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 10:45:19 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Savannah, GA) TV METEOROLOGIST (WTOC) Savannah, GA's leading news station is looking for a broadcast meteorologist to prepare weather forecasts, and produce and present on-air weathercasts. We're a dominant CBS affiliate producing seven newscasts a day. We're in a beautiful, historic, southern coastal city close to beaches and resorts. Requires a bachelors or masters degree in meteorology or other science, or equivalent training. Should have the basic requirements for an AMS Seal. Some on-air weather anchoring experienced required. Send resume,. tape and references to: Michael Sullivan, News Director, WTOC-TV, PO Box 8086, Savannah GA 31412 (912) 234-1111. WTOC-TV is an equal opportunity employer. Females and minorities are strongly encouraged to apply. Final candidates will be asked to submit to a drug screen. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 11:53:00 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FW: Hurricane Response Exercise Begins Today EIGHT NORTHEASTERN STATES AND FOUR CANADIAN ATLANTIC PROVINCES TO TEST HURRICANE RESPONSE WASHINGTON April 20, 1998 - "A catastrophic hurricane developing over the past week in the Mid-Atlantic threatens the northeast United States and Canada, between New Jersey and Newfoundland," reads a mock bulletin to be issued on April 20, 1998, to several hundred federal, state, local and Canadian provincial emergency managers. That is part of the opening scenario for RESPONSE '98, a major emergency management exercise to be conducted April 20-24 by thousands of emergency management personnel from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and 26 other federal and voluntary agencies; the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont, New Jersey and New York; the Canadian provinces of Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, Newfoundland; and numerous private sector organizations. Under development for the past two years, this is the largest peacetime exercise ever sponsored by FEMA. RESPONSE '98 will test the Federal Response Plan (FRP) -- the blueprint used following the Northridge Earthquake, Hurricane Fran and every other disaster involving Presidentially declared federal response - and associated federal, regional, state, and provincial disaster response plans. Federal officials say that the FRP worked well in these disasters and enhanced federal-state partnerships. "Conducting this exercise is vital to our continuing efforts to evaluate and improve the way federal, state, and local agencies cooperate in responding to a catastrophic disaster," said FEMA Director James Lee Witt. "RESPONSE '98 gives the federal government a valuable opportunity to work closely with our partners in the northeastern states and Canada to hone the skills necessary to respond to an emergency situation." RESPONSE '98, which is part of an exercise series dating back to 1984, is a critical component of any emergency management program because it will enable participants to learn from simulated crises, rather than on-the-job training during actual disasters. Exercises such as RESPONSE '98 can: (1) reveal inconsistencies in response plans; (2) highlight efficiencies as well as deficiencies; (3) underscore the need for training; (4) assess emergency preparedness capabilities; and (5) identify recommendations and corrective actions to strengthen capabilities. Exercise sites in the U.S. will include FEMA's Emergency Information and Coordination Center in Washington, D.C.; the federal Regional Operations Centers in Maynard, Mass; and New York City, N.Y.; state Emergency Operations Centers in Hartford, Conn; Framingham, Mass; Augusta, Maine; Concord, N.H.; Trenton, N.J.; Albany, N.Y.; Providence, R.I.; and Waterbury; Vt. Exercise play in Canada will occur at the provincial Emergency Operation Centers in Charlotte, Prince Edward Island; Fredericton, New Brunswick; Halifax, Nova Scotia; and St. John's, Newfoundland. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 16:00:41 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Lists of places in warnings In article <199804190136.UAA08830.17644@ssec.wisc.edu>, Scott Lindstrom wrote: >> >> From: Robert P Dale >> >> Someone likes to go shopping! Wonder how that is going to sound on CRS ;> >> >> * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... >> BELLE MEADE AT 1215 PM CDT >> GREEN HILLS MALL AT 1220 PM CDT === >> VILLAGE MALL AT 1220 PM CDT >> ONE HUNDRED OAKS MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === >> WOODBINE AT 1225 PM CDT >> HARDING MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === >> ANTIOCH AT 1225 PM CDT >> HICKORY HOLLOW MALL AT 1225 PM CDT === >> NASHVILLE METRO AIRPORT AT 1230 PM CDT >> DONELSON AT 1230 PM CDT >> J. PERCY PRIEST LAKE AT 1230 PM CDT >> HERMITAGE AT 1230 PM CDT > >But I would think that a list of malls and tourist attractions would be a >good thing to include in a tornado warning. They are on most maps, after all, >so someone unfamiliar with the area could figure out where the svr trw was. I think what Nashville NWS did is an absolutely great idea. Add to this list, mile marks on Interstates (or "between exits A and B"). Malls and other places where people congregate should be specifically mentioned in the warnings. A lot of these places have wide-span roofs, and people need to take cover in the interior hallways and rest rooms. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 16:10:05 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: meso identification I want to add some important comments to Steve's excellent post: In article <353A3527.3DDA.06381@quancon.com>, Stephen Hodanish wrote: > >Sam Barricklow wrote: >> >>For example, I have seen tornadoes when the doppler radar data did not >>indicate enough concentrated shear to trip the TVS algorithm or even to >>alert the radar operator visually. > >As I have said many times before on this list...If one waits for the >current TVS algorithm to "trip", it is usaully too late...way TOO late. The new TVS algorithm, expected to be released in WSR-88D Build 10 later this summer, will change the entire strategy of "TVS detection". The fielded version of the TVS algorithm is really a diagnostic parameter of the mesocyclone algorithm. First, a meso must first be present in order to have a TVS detection (thus, non-supercell tornadoes can be missed). Second, the "TVS detection" is just a mesocyclone in which certain strength parameters have been met. THe default parameters of these special criteria are very high, and a TVS "detection" is rare. With the new TVS algorithm in Build 10, it will be detecting "true" TVSs, in other words, gate-to-gate shear. No mesocyclone detection is necessary. There are many gate-to-gate shears within storms that are not tornadic, so there may be the appearance that the new TVS algorithm produces many "false alarms", when in reality, it is now detecting many non-tornadic gate-to-gate shears. At least the probability of detection will go way up (the current algorithm misses most TVSs). Steve wrote: > >Sam also wrote: >> >>(two or three) pixels indicating enhanced small scale shear were found >>in the general area where the tornadoes occurred.) These tornadoes >>occurred within a few miles (5 to 10 miles) from the radar site! > >Speaking from experience...Mesocyclones forming close to the 88D tend to >be difficult to visually identify, not because the radar "cannot" see >them, but due to what the radar operator is typically use to observing >on the 88D display (PUP). Example: for your "typical" moderate to strong >meso at about ~40 miles away, the 88D SRM 0.5 velocity product (assuming >a good storm motion vector) would display 5 or 6 good pixels of "high" >outbound velocities adjacent to 5 or 6 "high" inbound velocities. When >the meso is within miles of the 88D, you might see literally hundreds of >inbound velocities and hundreds of outbounds. This data will also >appeared to be "skewed" due to the meso being so close (That is the meso >might cover a 60 to 70 degree arc close in to the 88D). One thing that make mesocyclone identification very close to the radar difficult is that the radar beam is shooting way under the cloud base, and in many instances, we are also seeing the details of the rear-flank downdrafts, and any other storm-scale boundaries down there. There aren't many examples of supercells within 10 km of a radar, and supercells "down below" come in many different configurations, so a real good conceptual model using the 88D has yet to be developed, or experiences by many warning forecasters and researchers. Steve then wrote: > >Based on personal experience, the best way to identify mesos is to use >MANUAL identification techniques, that is to carefully analyze the SRM >velocity products for each of the 14 slices which are available per scan >to the radar operator (normally, the first 6 lowest slices will suffice, >unless the meso is outside the door, then the higher slices are >necessary). Exactly. The algorithm output is merely *guidance* to point you in the right spot to look at the base data! greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 12:37:00 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings > I think what Nashville NWS did is an absolutely great idea. Add to this > list, mile marks on Interstates (or "between exits A and B"). > > Malls and other places where people congregate should be specifically > mentioned in the warnings. A lot of these places have wide-span roofs, > and people need to take cover in the interior hallways and rest rooms. Agreed -- my question however (ignoring the fact that with CRS we may not understand what is being said in the first place) is whether that information will make it to the public. I've seen radio announcers hold complete warning statements in their hand and condense it on the fly to two sentences. Unless someone has a NWR radio with pen and paper, I wonder how useful this information will be, especially if we increase the number of locations reported ("Did he say Nashville Airport at 3:40 or 3:45, or was that the Belle Air Mall at 3:30 followed by the Airport at 3:50?") Another concern is with the accuracy -- it is being pinned down to the minute, 30-40 minutes in advance. Are we that certain of arrival times? When Baron's stormtracker first came out, WX-Talk was hootin' & hollerin' about predicting impact times... I wonder if by saying "Arrival at 3:50" then Joe Public would interpret that to be "Finish mowing the grass by 3:49" (as we saw at the DuPage Spotting Seminar ;>) and then take cover. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:39:23 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Re: new STL County siren policy I grew up in St. Louis. Given the number of storms occurring in the region over a typical season, the sirens went off infrequently. They're scary and cause you to go to the basement, but we were surely glad for the warning and never took them lightly. V. Cavataio ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 11:47:13 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: meso identification > supercells "down below" come in many different configurations, so a > real good conceptual model using the 88D has yet to be developed, or > experiences by many warning forecasters and researchers. > > > Steve then wrote: > > > >Based on personal experience, the best way to identify mesos is to use > >MANUAL identification techniques, that is to carefully analyze the SRM > >velocity products for each of the 14 slices which are available per scan > >to the radar operator (normally, the first 6 lowest slices will suffice, > >unless the meso is outside the door, then the higher slices are > >necessary). > > Exactly. The algorithm output is merely *guidance* to point you in the > right spot to look at the base data! One possible problem with the loosening of TVS criteria is that the line forecaster is now placed in a difficult position -- literally a "Tornado Vortex" has been identified and unless he/she can positively refute it, he'll have to issue a warning. If there EVER is a tornado and he/she didn't warn while a TVS was indicated, he/she will be in deep doo-doo. Has there been any thought to renaming the identification "high local shear"? BTW, someone mentioned that the TVS is an algorithm not a signature. I would disagree, the TVS is a radar signature; the 88D TVS product is an algorithm to automatically identify it. Also, even for large tornadoes the tornado itself cannot be "seen" by the radar outside of about 60 km (the beam at 60 km is about 1 km wide), if there was a requirement that a TVS be detected for a warning, the radars would have to be _much_ closer spaced than they are now. The 88D was "sold" on the concept of a 10-15 min lead time using mesocyclone detection. With that lead time comes some additional "false alarm"...its a difficult problem to balance the lead-time vs false alarms. Applies to the weak tornado problem above, too: they're doing their best to improve detection of weak tornadoes, but it'll likely increase the number of "alarms" going off in the NWS office -- and it may lead to more alarms going out to the public, too. -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 11:56:09 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: meso identification, clarification > vs false alarms. Applies to the weak tornado problem above, too: they're > doing their best to improve detection of weak tornadoes, but it'll likely > increase the number of "alarms" going off in the NWS office -- and it may > lead to more alarms going out to the public, too. Clarification... In the above, I should have used the term "non-meoscyclone tornadoes" instead of "weak tornadoes". -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 12:49:23 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Tornado Warnings via E-mail Todd L. Sherman wrote... > There's got to be a way to break these reports down...i.e., to somehow >separate and break up and tag these reports by section or state or >something, and then to offer the new option, somehow, of being able to turn >on and off reception of reports sorted by state...something like that. > > The negative is that I can see poor Chris having to manually sort through >each one of the incomings and sorting them by state himself, one-by-one, in >order to do that. But, can a program be written to do that for him?...i.e., >read bulletin headers for the state code and sort appropriately? I created WX-TOR so that people could see all the tornado warnings being issued. LISTSERV limits me to 11 sub-topics so there's no easy or fair way to divide the US into 11 regions. One reason I've not attempted to spiff up WX-TOR is that warnings are available via Ed Carp's WX-ALERT system. You can choode the NWS office and product type and have these warnings sent to you via e-mail. It's a lot more sophisticated system than LISTSERV and I see no reason to compete with Ed's system. For more information on WX-ALERT send the command "help" to: wx-alert@wats-ts4-12.ppp.iadfw.net ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 12:37:40 -0600 From: Matt Clauson Subject: DOH! Training goes awry.... Courtesy of NWS IWIN... Looks like someone accidentally pressed the wrong button. Oh well. Matt --- Matt Clauson ARS N0QXW Estes Park Colorado Cumulus Internet Services - SysAdmin team Project Genesis - SysAdmin BC Computer - Head Monkey with the Screwdriver mec@genesis.ezlink.com mec@cumulus.org ---------- Forwarded message ---------- National Weather Service _________________________________________________________________ WWUS34 KPUB 201616 SVSPUB COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-071-079-089- 099-101-105-109-119-201630- SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1016 AM MDT MON APR 20 1998 ...LOCAL STORM REPORT SENT BY MISTAKE... AT 0831 AM MDT A LOCAL STORM REPORT WAS SENT OUT BY NWSO PUEBLO UNDER THE AFOS IDENTIFIER DENLSRPUB. THIS REPORT REFERRED TO A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR PUEBLO. THE REPORT INDICATED THERE WERE FATALITIES AND INJURIES. NO SEVERE WEATHER HAS OCCURRED IN THE PUEBLO AREA. THE LOCAL STORM REPORT WAS PRODUCED AS AN IN-OFFICE TRAINING EXERCISE AND SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN SENT TO EXTERNAL USERS. WE REGRET ANY PROBLEMS THAT THIS REPORT MAY HAVE PRODUCED. REPEAT...NO SEVERE WEATHER HAS OCCURED IN THE PUEBLO AREA. PLEASE INGORE THE LOCAL STORM REPORT SENT AT 0831 MDT ON MONDAY APRIL 20 1998. FORTUNE NNNN _________________________________________________________________ This data is from the IWIN (Interactive Weather Information Network) ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 16:31:44 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: DOH! Training goes awry.... In message , Matt Clauson writes: >Courtesy of NWS IWIN... Looks like someone accidentally pressed the wrong >button. Oh well. [ PUB LSR test not marked as such removed... ] I got the story from PUB. It seemes they were doing training when asked to send or cancel the message they dutifully clicked "Cancel" each time. HOWEVER, the way the software works is that if you click "cancel" the message is not sent but it is quietly saved to disk. NOW, new software they installed comes from NWS with a default set that such that when the system is rebooted, it will (ready, computer folks?) send out all saved unsent messages on the theory that the computer took a power hit or crashed and you really DO want to send any messages held on disk. PUB has since changed that default, but I think the computer-savvy among you will see this as fodder for comp.risks... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:07:06 -0400 From: Tim Holmes Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Apr 1998 to 19 Apr 1998 Hello All: My name is Tim Holmes, and I am new to this list. I am a Highschool Science Teacher, and a volunteer fire fighter, and the combination of these two and my intrest in severe weather has gotten me the assignment of being in charge of handling our school's severe weather alerting. I have several resources at my disposal including my fire department pager (the dispatchers have been known to wait up to 20 minutes after the tornado formed and dissapated before putting out the alert) A NOAA weather radio alert unit (which may or may not work), the Internet (radar sites, the Storm Machine, weather alert sites (some of which are excellent)) and my own eyes and ears. I am trying to learn the most I can so that not only I handle the occuring weather, but also to be able to prepare (1 to 3 hours warning ) of impending severe weather. I need some help on interpretating the data that I can get. Radar and NEXRAD are no problem, I understand them, I also can read the symbols from the weather reports (wind barbs etc) on a standard surface map, but when it comes to lifting index etc. I am totally lost. The problems come in trying to interpreate the types of data that many storm chasers/ spotters use to forecast a good chase day and the locations. If I knew better how to do this I could pass warnings on to my princpal earlier in the day, so it does not become an emergency situation so abruptly. The other side of this is my fascination with severe weather and my position as a fire fighter. With better understanding I can help my department properly respond to threats and also may try to chase a little bit myself. I am particularly interested in reading materials that are on the web. any help you can give would be appreciated. Thanks for your help TIM HOLMES MTFD 209-45 First Baptist Christian School - Science Department Chairman ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 21:14:26 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: New El Nino Data I don't know why people aren't talking about El Nino, but I have noticed something very interesting about it over the past couple of weeks. It seems as though the +5 C anomaly has not only reappeared, but has grew. In fact, the actual size of El Nino has not decreased in size over the past month or so. This is supported by today's new map at http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/maproom/text/climate_pages/sst_olr/sst_anim.shtml ml. I am really curious if this is a trend like in 82-83, when El Nino rejuvinated after decreasing in size and intensity in the late winter/early spring. Are there any signs in the atmosphere which point to this? Thanks, Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:22:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626379-26550>; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 13:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44920; Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:05:13 -0500 Message-Id: <199804220505.AAA44920@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:00:05 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Apr 1998 to 21 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1090d578ebbf065be57ffc1887c287e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 487 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. new email list 2. Station Question 3. Lists of places in warnings (3) 4. LP Supercell? 5. TV stations en route... (3) 6. SevWx Outlooks 7. Hurricane Response Exercise Begins Today 8. Mississippi State Distance Learning Geoscience Program 9. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 00:04:17 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: new email list 4/21/98 i've started a new email list for Skywarn Severe Weather Spotters. to subscribe go to http://www.onelist.com/subscribe.cgi/wxspotter the email address for subscribers will be wxspotter@onelist.com matt/n9npp -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # http://www.axnet.com/united/coaxconnection.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 22:33:30 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station Question Wx-talkers, Does anyone have station information for the following two codes? KQHU (sends TAFs) KQRC (sends Metars) I believe these are U.S. military bases overseas. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 06:36:43 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings On Mon, 20 Apr 1998 16:00:41 GMT, Greg Stumpf wrote: >I think what Nashville NWS did is an absolutely great idea. Add to this >list, mile marks on Interstates (or "between exits A and B"). While I agree that the Nashville NWS should be commended for their efforts in providing a "pathcast", I have grave reservations about the ability of the warning forecaster to pinpoint TO THE MILE MARKER. The evolution of a given system (storm, tornado, what-have-you) is nonlinear in time and space. The "pathcast" is essentially a linear extrapolation depending on 1) the event behaving linearly, and 2) the warning meteorologist pinning the event down to a resolution on the order of a few kilometres and minutes. I do not believe the technology or the skill exists to go "down to the city block", as some (but not all) in the television medium claim. >Malls and other places where people congregate should be specifically >mentioned in the warnings. A lot of these places have wide-span roofs, >and people need to take cover in the interior hallways and rest rooms. I've heard that local adaptation of the warning generation program in AWIPS is very time-consuming. In a major metropolitian area, such as Atlanta or Dallas or Chicago, there may be hundreds, if not thousands, of wide-span structures. Should the NWS commit the resources to putting every wide-span structure in their location database for use in a warning pathcast? Rather, would included call-to-action statements urging people not to seek shelter in auditoria, malls, and the like be better? >greg stumpf, NSSL bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 08:42:48 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: LP Supercell? On Mon, 20 Apr 1998, Scott Cravens wrote: > A question from Garner NC - yesterday evening I was watching the > radar at the same time skywarn was reporting a wall-cloud just to my > southwest, moving northeast. There was no radar echo whatsoever with > this cell. They also reported a funnel cloud in the same vicinity. > My question/curiousity is, was this an unusual supercell for this > area or was it not a supercell at all? A tornado warning was issued > right after the skywarn report for my vicinity. The "cell" was > moving at 50mph to the NE which brought it over my house. We > experienced a wind gust to around 25-30 mph with light rain only - no > hail, lightning, etc. I guess I'm a little confused on why there was > no "signature" on doppler and if this is common. By the way, I was > referencing 2 radar sites and neither showed an echo for this cell. > If anyone was in this area and knows more please advise. I am also watching the answers to this with interest. I never thought about it (not having seen s supercell yet since training). Would my guess be right if I said that it was probably an LP supercell? Little or no precip -- which is what the RADAR is looking for -- thus, no echos? Or do I have NO clue at all and should I duck for cover now? :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 08:52:40 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: TV stations en route... Has anyone compiled a list of good TV and radio stations (obviously we're not talking about cable stations) that offer good weather info while one is enroute? After her retirement, my mother thought trucking would be a great way to travel while still making money. I know. I thought she was nuts too but you don't tell "mum" what not to do. :) But she and her co-driver partner do long-haul east-west routes in their SuperCondo. It has a TV. I thought giving them a list of TV and radio stations along the way might be good to keep them out of the way of any dangerous stuff that might be out there in the midwest from time to time. They often travel through that part to get to WA, OR, CA, NV, etc. If such a list exists, maybe I can make a printout of it and hand it to her next time she stops by on her next time off. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:01:23 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: SevWx Outlooks > The problems come in trying to interpreate the types of data that many storm chasers/ > spotters use to forecast a good chase day and the locations. If I knew better how > to do this I could pass warnings on to my princpal earlier in the day, so it does > not become an emergency situation so abruptly. Your best bet from that perspective would probably be to use the Severe Weather Outlook your local NWS office issues in the morning. They contain a brief synopsis of what weather features are involved in the day's weather, and what types of severe weather might be expected. Some offices issue them on a daily basis -- others only when severe weather is possible that afternoon. They usually are issued around 6-7am and can be found under "Special Weather Statements" on many web servers... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 14:24:21 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings In article <353c38b9.1794643.07634@news.flash.net>, Brian Curran wrote: >On Mon, 20 Apr 1998 16:00:41 GMT, Greg Stumpf > wrote: > >>I think what Nashville NWS did is an absolutely great idea. Add to this >>list, mile marks on Interstates (or "between exits A and B"). > >While I agree that the Nashville NWS should be commended for their >efforts in providing a "pathcast", I have grave reservations about the >ability of the warning forecaster to pinpoint TO THE MILE MARKER. The >evolution of a given system (storm, tornado, what-have-you) is >nonlinear in time and space. I guess I should have been a little more exact in what I meant. I emailed privately to Rob Dale that the ETA's on the place names should be given as a range of times (e.g., NORMAN OK 535-545 pm). In the same fashion...the locations on the Interstates to be given as a range (e.g., crossing between mile markers 45 and 49, or between Exits 32 and 37). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 10:34:47 -0700 From: Mark Hanning-Lee Subject: Hurricane Response Exercise Begins Today Just FYI, you can see the list of ***TEST*** hurricane warnings at http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/us/hurricane.html. Best, Mark -- Mark Hanning-Lee, markhl@prodigy.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 15:19:49 +0000 From: hmmogil Subject: Mississippi State Distance Learning Geoscience Program PRESS RELEASE ----- PRESS RELEASE ---- PRESS RELEASE MSU Offering Geoscience Education to Teachers by Distance Learning Starkville, Miss. -- Beginning this fall, a Mississippi State University program will enable K - 12 school teachers nationwide to earn a Master's of Science degree from the university through distance learning by use of videotapes, workbooks and the Internet. Through the Teachers in Geoscience (TIG) Program, teachers will have the option to either enroll in selected geoscience courses or earn an M.S. degree. The curriculum includes 11 courses of which 2 may be taken per semester. Director Mark Binkley said the TIG Program targets teachers who wish to continue their education but are unable to interrupt their careers for any significant length of time. "We've set the program up so participants can earn a Master's degree in geoscience in two years by taking two courses a semester," he explained. Binkley, a professor in the geoscience department, said the curriculum includes courses in meteorology, geology, oceanography, hydrology, physical geography and planetary science. "What is unique about this program," noted Mike Mogil, an educational consultant for the program, "is that teachers will not only receive intensive education in the sciences, but they will experience the hands-on methodology for helping their students learn. The science content will become immediately "grade-friendly', as each course will contain a strand of 'educational applications' that are appropriate for teachers in grades K-4, 5-8 and 9-12". Videotaped lectures, course materials and learning exercises will be mailed to students at the beginning of the semester. The tapes contain 12 hours of lectures that may be used an any grade level, plus 4 additional lectures that are grade-specific. Texts and workbooks are ordered through the MSU Bookstore. Information will also be available via the Internet. Lesson plans, technical discussions, appropriate web links, and other Internet resources will be made available to better enable teachers to see how the Internet technology can be incorporated into their classrooms. "While we provide a framework of dates for completion of each section of a course, the students work at their own pace," said Binkley. Department of Geoscience faculty members will be available to assist the students by telephone, electronic mail, fax or by bulletin boards and chat rooms on the internet. The TIG Program is based on the department's highly successful Broadcast Meteorology Program (for television weathercasters) and Operational Meteorology Program (for military personnel). These two programs currently serve almost 400 off-campus students. For more information, contact the TIG Program at (601) 325-2908 or send an e-mail message to Binkley@Geosci.MsState.Edu. Further information about the program (updated periodically) can be found on the Internet at http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/TIG.html or at http://www.weatherworks.com/about.msu.tig.html. -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** The road to knowledge is ALWAYS under construction! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 20:57:43 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: TV stations en route... > > Has anyone compiled a list of good TV and radio stations (obviously > we're not talking about cable stations) that offer good weather info while > one is enroute? > Um, you mean like the "Chase TV Guide"? http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/radio/chase-tv.html By the way, I just added the last few remaining states east of the Rockies that I had not had in the Storm Spotting Frequency list, and made a number of other updates that had been fermenting in my mailbox: http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/radio/spotfreq.html Chase Delaware! (its a bank not a call to action) -Keith --------------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 18:53:08 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings In article <000201bd6c7a$8ae03000$0100a8c0@rob>, Robert P Dale wrote: > Another concern is with the accuracy -- it is being pinned down to the > minute, 30-40 minutes in advance. Are we that certain of arrival times? When > Baron's stormtracker first came out, WX-Talk was hootin' & hollerin' about > predicting impact times... I wonder if by saying "Arrival at 3:50" then Joe > Public would interpret that to be "Finish mowing the grass by 3:49" (as we > saw at the DuPage Spotting Seminar ;>) and then take cover. This one is definitely in my list of pet peeves. We are implying an accuracy that we simply can't justify. I like the idea of giving times, but we have to convey somehow that the accuracy of these arrival time estimates decreases with increasing lead time, as does the accuracy of the spatial information. It isn't out of the question to have 10-minute errors in these time specifics, as lead time gets beyond 15-20 mins. I'm also increasingly frustrated that the locations and times seem mostly to be the times and locations to be affected by the reflectivity cores, not the action areas, where the tornadoes are likely to be. This can cause as much as 1 or even 2 county errors in the warnings in some cases .. providing the time and location for the cores when the danger is with the tornado is incredibly easy to fix, but is not done as often as it should be! Chuck Doswell -- ================================================================= Chuck Doswell e-mail: cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) Homepage: http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell Never criticize a man 'til you've walked a mile in his shoes. That way, when you do, you're a mile away and you have his shoes. ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 23:22:59 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: TV stations en route... On Tue, 21 Apr 1998, Keith Brewster wrote: > > Has anyone compiled a list of good TV and radio stations (obviously > > we're not talking about cable stations) that offer good weather info while > > one is enroute? > > Um, you mean like the "Chase TV Guide"? Mmm...well...not really for the chaser, but for the trucker driving a large vehicle he/she does NOT want to encounter high winds while driving. :-) > http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/radio/chase-tv.html Thanks, Keith. Will check it out. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 23:26:43 -0700 From: Jeff Garmon Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 Greg Stumpf wrote... > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Mon, 20 Apr 1998 13:06:10 GMT > From: Greg Stumpf > Subject: Re: Err on the side of Caution! > > The WSR-88D severe weather detection algorithms can only run if the > radar is operated in a volume scan strategy mode. If you manually > operate the radar, you lose that important guidance information. > > The best of both worlds would be to have two radars, one operating > in volume scan modes for algorithms, and a second running in manual > mode. > > But guess what...most places in the country already have this! The > media radars are operating, for the most part, in manual mode. As > Don Burgess of the WSR-88D OSF has pointed out several times this > year at various national meetings and workshops...the NWS and the > media need to be *sharing* the radar information to maximize the > public benefit! > greg stumpf, NSSL > Greg... I have to say this does sound interesting...but initially I have two concerns 1...Most of the media radars are 5cm systems with serious attenuation problems (I used to work 5cm...and many times in heavy rain situations it was useless). 2...Many times calibration of the data from these systems could be better. I don't think the media maintains their systems as closely as the government does with NEXRAD (not to slam those guys...most TV stations simply don't have the manpower or the money). But granted...this may be better than nothing. Just some food for thought...I wonder if it would eventually be possible (perhaps in a future NEXRAD build) to have a "bad storm" switch that the NWS forecaster could throw at the UCP to put the 88d in a 3 level scan mode (lowest 3 tilts). This would sgfntly speed up the volume scan in rare situations (where those 5 minutes could make a difference and when you're only using the lowest 3 tilts to make severe weather determinations). When you know that you have that bad tornado on the ground and you're using primarily llvl reflectivity and velocity data...quite frankly VIL and the LRMs kinda don't get used so much (otherwise it is nice to have in marginal situations). I wouldn't want to leave the radar in this mode...but I've often thought this might make the system better in some situations. Most of the gripes I hear/get are that the lowest 2 tilts don't come in fast enough during that "bad storm". Maybe this is something that should be considered down the road? The only drawback I see to this attm is that some of the research benefits would be lost in the archive II data. Jeff Garmon ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Apr 1998 to 21 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626538-15589>; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 13:13:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA42480; Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:06:59 -0500 Message-Id: <199804230506.AAA42480@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1998 to 22 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3785202a5b146c3d992f6166160f06ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 20 messages totalling 752 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 (3) 2. LP Supercell? 3. Lists of places in warnings (3) 4. Lists of places in warnings / cell tracking (2) 5. Interesting messages... (3) 6. TV Met Job Available (Lawrence, KS) 7. Response '98 Comments (2) 8. Request for Lightning Data (2) 9. Mississippi State Distance Learning Geoscience Program 10. Lightning Data 11. Various comments on TV weather +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 00:10:45 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 Greg wrote: >According to the warning statistics, the false alarm rate as not >increased. It just hasn't dropped from pre-88D levels. The Probability >of Detection *has* gone up, and the lead time *has* gone up. Naturally we can't have two types of radars and everyone knows NEXRAD was not designed for manual scanning. Media radars should work closely with the NWS but I doubt that have time to sit down and manually observe their radars for long periods of time. I doubt that most stations with Doppler radar have the staff to do this. You are right. Latest stats I have (only to middle of 97) show improvement in POD and some in CSI, but FAR has remained about same. POD is the result of how good your verification is and the methods used to verify. I'll be interested to see the totals for 97 after I get them brought up to date. Question arises however in the enormous number of warnings. Also the fact that verification is stressed much more today than in was in the past, more storms are being verified today it seems. And as Roger Edwards has stated very intellegently verification and the methods should be looked at very closely. (i.e, dime size hail reports are a good example). Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 02:09:01 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Re: LP Supercell? On Mon, 20 Apr 1998, Scott Cravens wrote: > A question from Garner NC - yesterday evening I was watching the > radar at the same time skywarn was reporting a wall-cloud just to my > southwest, moving northeast. There was no radar echo whatsoever with > this cell. They also reported a funnel cloud in the same vicinity. > My question/curiousity is, was this an unusual supercell for this > area or was it not a supercell at all? A tornado warning was issued > right after the skywarn report for my vicinity. The "cell" was > moving at 50mph to the NE which brought it over my house. We > experienced a wind gust to around 25-30 mph with light rain only - no > hail, lightning, etc. I guess I'm a little confused on why there was > no "signature" on doppler and if this is common. By the way, I was > referencing 2 radar sites and neither showed an echo for this cell. > If anyone was in this area and knows more please advise. < I am also watching the answers to this with interest. I never thought 100 nmi ). Correct me if I am wrong, but there are several 88D's that can see that area...RDU-RNK- GSP? and I think one of them had at least a weak echo if rain was falling. I am not sure what this phenomena was you saw, but the radars sites you were referencing must have been real far away or you did not notice that the time of the volume scans you were looking at were old. That's all I can can come up with, any comments? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 13:40:00 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings In article , Chuck Doswell wrote: > >I'm also increasingly frustrated that the locations and times seem mostly >to be the times and locations to be affected by the reflectivity cores, >not the action areas, where the tornadoes are likely to be. This can >cause as much as 1 or even 2 county errors in the warnings in some cases >.. providing the time and location for the cores when the danger is with >the tornado is incredibly easy to fix, but is not done as often as it >should be! I would hope that "tornado arrival times" stated in warnings aren't based on the storm cell centroids (instead of the storm-scale vortex ceontroids), or else there needs to be more training for some warning forecasters! I have argued that "storm tracks" need to take into account the leading edge of the storm, and not the core. The onset of a storm is really the time people should already be in shelter. This makes a big difference with fast-moving storms, and storms whose main severe weather threat is along its leading outflow. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 13:45:49 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 In article , Paul Pettit wrote: > >Naturally we can't have two types of radars and everyone knows NEXRAD was >not designed for manual scanning. Media radars should work closely with the >NWS but I doubt that have time to sit down and manually observe their >radars for long periods of time. I doubt that most stations with Doppler >radar have the staff to do this. I would tend to disagree, or at least "believe you when I see it". There are a number of NWSFOs that operate with two WSR-88D PUPs, with two persons staffing them. It is certainly conceivable to be able to integrate information from a number of radars in a warning situation, whether that be two 88Ds, or an 88D and a media radar. Another poster (not Paul P.) argued that the media radars are not subject to the same kind of calibration as the 88Ds. True, in our current world. But in an ideal world, and with better cooperation between NOAA and the media, it might happen, and would be of great benefit. >You are right. Latest stats I have (only to middle of 97) show improvement >in POD and some in CSI, but FAR has remained about same. POD is the result >of how good your verification is and the methods used to verify. I'm not sure you could prove that verification efficiency is the *sole* reason for the increase in POD. We all know the benefits that the 88D has over the ancient WSR-57 and 74s, and it would be risky to say that the use of Doppler velocities, smart scanning strategies, digitization, algorithms, etc., is all for naught, and the only reason for increased POD is due to increased verification! It has to be a combination of both factors, plus more (better radar training program, etc.). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:26:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings / cell tracking > I have argued that "storm tracks" need to take into account the > leading edge of the storm, and not the core. The onset of a > storm is really the time people should already be in shelter. NIDS users get storm-centroid data which many of the media systems use to predict storm arrival times, and I imagine those predictions are of the core arrival and not onset of the storm as you note above. If that's the case I would hope that information is passed on to the viewers... On the NWS-side, when TVS's & meso's are displayed -- is it on the actual location of the noted feature or does the 88D just associate the TVS/meso with a certain cell centroid, the latter being all we can accomplish with the NIDS data? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 14:41:11 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings / cell tracking In article <000701bd6dfa$a2292920$0100a8c0.16104@rob>, Robert P Dale wrote: > >On the NWS-side, when TVS's & meso's are displayed -- is it on the actual >location of the noted feature or does the 88D just associate the TVS/meso >with a certain cell centroid, the latter being all we can accomplish with >the NIDS data? Meso and TVS icons are displayed over the detected vortex, not the storm cells. However, the current 88D PUP does not have the capability to track mesos and TVSs. I'm unsure if the Biuld 10 TDA will have tracking capabilities. Both the NSSL MDA and TDA have tracking (and trending) capabilities. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:49:12 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Interesting messages... ** NOUS42 KWBC 211350 *** SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 1350 UTC TUE APR 21 1998 211350Z Anomalous precipitation echoes plotted over much of California since 0435Z last night are due to migrating birds according to Montery WFO. These migrations occur mainly at night and these false echoes should soon dissipate. These false echoes may reappear nocturnally for another week or so per Monterey until the spring migration period is over. === Also -- if you use today's Eta ;> do it with caution... ** NOUS42 KWBC 221345 *** SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 1345 UTC WED APR 22 1998 221345Z 12Z Eta forecast has yet to begin, NCEP communication problems continue. Less than 1 percent of the data has made it to the NCEP computers. We will start the Eta with satellite data as input, use with extreme discretion. More to come... ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 09:59:50 -0500 From: dptodey@IASTATE.EDU Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings This was used by the DSM Wx service in 1995 during a major tornado outbreak in western Iowa. The forecasters coordinated with the state patrol and shut down a 10 mile or so portion of Interstate 80 west of Des Moines to allow a tornado to pass over the busy interstate. No you can't be 100% precise. But if you have a big storm bearing down in such a situation, many lives could be saved. Dennis Todey ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:11:28 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Lawrence, KS) METEOROLOGIST 1-2 years experience required. Will consider weather anchors with strong presence and knowledge of weather. The candidate will be responsible for producing and anchoring weather segments for Headline News Local Edition and our live evening newscast. Competitive salary and benefits. Send VHS or Beta tape and resume to: Scott Holeman, News Director, 6News/Sunflower Cablevision, P.O. Box 808, Lawrence, KS 66044. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 15:15:46 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Interesting messages... In article <000801bd6dfd$d0424780$0100a8c0.16965@rob>, Robert P Dale wrote: > >211350Z Anomalous precipitation echoes plotted over much of California >since 0435Z last night are due to migrating birds according to Montery WFO. >These migrations occur mainly at night and these false echoes should soon >dissipate. These false echoes may reappear nocturnally for another week or >so per Monterey until the spring migration period is over. But are they really *false* echoes? The birds are actually there, and causing reflectivity. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 10:36:24 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1998 to 20 Apr 1998 > > But granted...this may be better than nothing. > > Just some food for thought...I wonder if it would eventually be possible (perhaps in a > future NEXRAD build) to have a "bad storm" switch that the NWS forecaster could throw > at the UCP to put the 88d in a 3 level scan mode (lowest 3 tilts). There is already a "severe storm mode". It scans _more_ tilts but faster (5 min per volume instead of 6 min). It puts a lot more stress on the pedestal and its mechanical parts, obviously. >This would sgfntly > speed up the volume scan in rare situations (where those 5 minutes could make a > difference and when you're only using the lowest 3 tilts to make severe weather > determinations). When you know that you have that bad tornado on the ground and you're > using primarily llvl reflectivity and velocity data...quite frankly VIL and the LRMs > kinda don't get used so much (otherwise it is nice to have in marginal situations). I I think once "you know you have a bad tornado on the ground" the story is nearly over -- the warning is out, and all the NWS can do is try to give guidance on the track (which can only be estimated, anyway). Meanwhile there are likely other storms to worry about, for which VIL, storm-top divergence, etc might be very valuable. That doesn't mean there can't be more efficient scan strategies to dwell on sectors that have storms and zip faster through any no-echo areas. This requires a lot more complicated software and would be limited by mechanical considerations (the antenna is big and has limited acceleration). BTW, research needs are not driving scan strategies. -Keith --------------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 11:01:52 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Response '98 Comments Hilde Horvath asked me to post this... As much as I've been enjoying this simulated hurricane odyssey, I have to point out a "minor" geographical discrepancy. You mention that Manasquan Inlet (where the dreaded hurricane is coming ashore) is 20 miles north of Atlantic City. Um, not quite. More like 60 miles north. Even as the crow flies. That aside, I've been getting quite a bit out of this exercise. And, of course, I'm taking it a bit personally, since we live about 40 miles northwest of Manasquan Inlet...one of our favorite fishing places! Time to get the shutters out, right? Hilde Horvath ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 11:12:13 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Interesting messages... At 03:15 PM 4/22/98 GMT, Greg Stumpf wrote: >In article <000801bd6dfd$d0424780$0100a8c0.16965@rob>, >Robert P Dale wrote: >> >>211350Z Anomalous precipitation echoes plotted over much of California >>since 0435Z last night are due to migrating birds according to Montery WFO. >>These migrations occur mainly at night and these false echoes should soon >>dissipate. These false echoes may reappear nocturnally for another week or >>so per Monterey until the spring migration period is over. > >But are they really *false* echoes? The birds are actually there, and >causing reflectivity. Yes, those would be *real* echoes. The problem with the birdies is that people must use caution in interpreting the VWP product!! The algorithm assumes that the echoes' velocities are due to the WIND, and so when the birdies are flying, the VWP shouldn't even be consulted. Our experience in Texas is that we get deviations from the actual wind velocity in the neighborhood of 40 knots! And unless the birds are flying with a direct tail-wind (and they don't have to fly that way), the directions are useless too. Again, the VWP velocities are technically correct (it is what the echoes are actually doing) - it is just a misnomer to call them "wind" velocities since the scatterers are partaking in powered flight! We haven't had the birdies yet in TX, but I guess they are coming soon. I'll have some work to do, since my thesis is all about this..... Karl ******************************************************* * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 11:41:21 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Lists of places in warnings cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) write... >This one is definitely in my list of pet peeves. We are implying an >accuracy that we simply can't justify. I agree, though here's a flip-side issue that's been bugging me lately. Our local NWS office has been issuing all warnings based on distance and directions from one southern Illinois town --Marion. Their rationale appears to be that everyone knows where Marion is and thus it makes sense to reference all warnings from a well-know point. My concern is that people are not that good at spatial geography. If I tell someone a storm is 40 miles southwest of Marion and is moving to the north-northeast does that give them enough information to know whether their community is in danger? I think not. I would rather the warnings mention specific communities (no matter how tiny) in addition to the Marion reference. Another reason for me wanting this is that I believe people are more likely to take immediate action when they hear close proximity warning figures than distant numbers. For example, "a tornado was reported 2 miles west of Murphysboro" is a lot more likely to elicit a positive response than "a tornado was reported 25 miles west of Marion". If there is a high degree of movement certainty, that is we're not forecasting more than 15 minutes into the future, I see no problem with mentioning specific familiar landmarks like shopping malls and sports stadiums. Going beyond 15 minutes opens things up to a lot of uncertainty and confusion. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 13:03:16 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Request for Lightning Data I received the following from Chris Brignola ... Message-ID: <6c53b69d.353b8b4f@aol.com> >I am a deputy emergency management coordinator from East Pikeland Township in >Pennsylvania. Do you know of any sites that offer recent lightning strike >data? Any help you could provide would be useful. Thank you > >Chris Brignola Please reply directly to (in addition to WX-TALK) if you have any info. Thanks. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 14:22:54 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Request for Lightning Data Check http://www.abcnews.com for a free image update hourly (at best ;> ) and AccuWeather has a live online service that runs between $0.19 and $1.00+ per minute -- check http://www.accuweather.com Rob >I am a deputy emergency management coordinator from East Pikeland Township in >Pennsylvania. Do you know of any sites that offer recent lightning strike >data? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 14:12:34 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: Mississippi State Distance Learning Geoscience Program I am forwarding this to WX-Talk at the request of Dave Dempsey and John Monteverdi of the Geoscience Dept. at San Francisco State Univ. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Distance Education Task Force members, The forwarded announcement following my comments below describes a M.S. program in Science (focusing on the geosciences) offered to K-12 teachers entirely through distance learning (videotapes, telephone, snail mail, and the internet) at Mississippi State University (MSU). My colleagues, John Monteverdi, Chair of the Dept. of Geosciences, and Jan Null, recently retired lead weather forecaster at the National Weather Service who is an Adjunct Professor and lecturer in the Dept. of Geosciences, express concern about this program in their comments below. Although I have no direct knowledge about the quality of MSU's distance education programs, I have not heard favorable comments from my colleagues in the past (before widespread distance education became a serious consideration at SFSU) and I, too, am concerned about this trend. We are aware that MSU has been attempting to fill a significant demand for distance education in meteorology--we've been approached by prospective students about whether we offer such a program ourselves, simply because we have active course Home Pages and other WWWeb-based materials, including instructional materials. We are certainly sympathetic to the dilemma those students face--they want to further their education, but they have job, housing, and other commitments that prevent them from participating in traditional, in-person participation (TIPP) program. However, partly because of the effort we've invested ourselves to develop worthy materials for the WWWeb, we are also aware of how difficult it would be to mount a credible meteorology program at any level, much less a single course, entirely through distance education. The evidence available to us so far does not suggest to us that MSU offers a credible program, and we believe that the effort it would take to offer a **credible** program would probably not be cost-effective for the university. (Accounting for the money saved by students participating in such a program as well as costs incurred by a university to mount it might change that conclusion, but the taxpayers who support public universities would have to agree to the greater subsidy to pay for the convenience that a distance learning program would offer those students, unless low-paid "lecturers" took over the administration of the course after the initial investment were made to create materials for it. However, the question about the quality of such a course remains.) We hope that SFSU and CSU continue to support efforts to investigate and implement instructional technologies that improve pedagogy and provide supplemental access to course materials beyond the classroom--an especially important consideration at a commuter campus such as SFSU where a great majority of students work outside jobs as well as study. However, that's a long way from saying that we believe distance education is pedagogically defensible in the geosciences, at last in the foreseeable future. -- Dave **************************************************************** * | __ __ \|/ * * Dr. Dave Dempsey | ) ^ /|| ||\ --0-- * * Dept. of Geosciences |) ) ^ / ||_|| \ /|\ * * San Francisco State University | ) ) / | _ | \ * * 1600 Holloway Ave. |) )/ || || \ * * San Francisco, CA 94132 | ) ) ||_|| \ * * |) ) ) | _ | \ * * Phone: (415) 338-7716 | ) ) || || \ * * FAX: (415) 338-7705 |) ) )~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~* * Email: ddempsey@sundog.sfsu.edu | ) ) ) ~ ~ ~ ~ * * |) ) ) ) ~ ~ ~ * **************************************************************** Regards, jan <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 16:24:32 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Lightning Data Greetings Weather Fans I received the following from Chris Brignola ... Message-ID: <6c53b69d.353b8b4f@aol.com> >I am a deputy emergency management coordinator from East Pikeland Township in >Pennsylvania. Do you know of any sites that offer recent lightning strike >data? Any help you could provide would be useful. Thank you > >Chris Brignola I have some lightning data information on my web page along with all of the Real Audio links for the NWS. My site url is: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net "If Hell Freezes Over You Will Hear It Here First" TWC ---------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 19:04:49 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Response '98 Comments On Wed, 22 Apr 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > Hilde Horvath asked me to post this... > > As much as I've been enjoying this simulated hurricane odyssey, I have to > point out a "minor" geographical discrepancy. You mention that Manasquan > Inlet (where the dreaded hurricane is coming ashore) is 20 miles north of > Atlantic City. Um, not quite. More like 60 miles north. Even as the > crow flies. Hmm. My g-g-g-g-(Disbrow)-grandfather used to pilot a ferry up that river. Maybe this might make an interesting aside (a `Then and Now' thing) in the genealogy I someday want to do. I still got a ticket for that ferry (kept in the family all these years). Think I could still use it? :) I wonder what storms my ancestors had to live through, and how interested (or terrified) they were. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 21:15:12 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Various comments on TV weather On the use of Storm Tracking software by the media, and now the NWS: The more specific we can be, the more likely folks are to take action. The problem remains that many broadcasters lack the training to track the most dangerous portion of the storm. They may not look at other moments of the radar besides reflectivity, or not recognize the storm structure. This is why it is so critical that TV folks attend, at the minimum, an intense radar/convective storm structure session like Les Lemon has done in several cities. I have not talked with anyone who has taken his revised training who wasn't highly pleased. This training should be followed up with personal education, conference attendance, etc. If broadcasters are to be taken as "credible," they need to make sure their radar and severe weather skills are razor honed! I do find it interesting that just a few years ago, many government meteorologists blasted storm tracking. Now we have bullet warnings and "pathcast." By the way, Bob Baron just received a patent for storm tracking which he developed in the early 90s. More on storm tracking: I limit our folks to a maximum of 15 minutes estimation (set in the software) and stress that storm tracking should be reserved for "real" storms so that the public doesn't become used to seeing everying sprinkle "tracked." You can't make a blanket statement that storm tracking is unethical because, if properly used, it can save lives by heightening the state of alert of residents in warned areas. Just ask the folks in Comfrey, MN. Regarding C-band attentuation: The problems related to C-band attentuation have been well documented and are covered in detail in Lemon's training. Also, "Radar for Meteorologists" by Reinhart of No. Dakota State University, is a good (and inexpensive) reference for attenuation nomograms. Broadcasters need to be aware of this, but it is certainly not reason to dismiss C-band Dopplers as useless. (TV folks can't license S-band radars, I have tried.) Attentuation can be recognized, especially when you have NIDS data adjacent. The latest generation of TV radars, such as the one my station operates, is equal in sensitivity to the Nexrad, has the same beamwidth and four times as many range bins, and the ability to adjust the prf and pulse width on the fly. These radars can be used to give more specific sweep by sweep details as to a storm's location and movement. Properly calibrated and maintained, these radars can provide data of exceptional quality which can be used in addition to the wealth of 88D data. Broadcasters who use C band and the 88D in tandem have grasped the best of both worlds. More on 88D data: I've been playing with Baron's experimental shear algorithm which is calculated in realtime with each tilt of NIDS data and also with Doppler C-band data, This has shown EARLY promise in giving broadcasters a heads up by alerting to gate to gate shear at various levels. User adaptable parameters allow you to tweak thresholds for shear, vil density, pattern, etc. We have watched the algorithm alarm for both rotation descending and also ascending in some mini supercells before the 88d meso alarm tripped. Each "circle" is tick marked with the level of the 88D tilt, ie: 4,3,2,1. for recognition of vertical extent. This type of technology will dramatically increase the need for advanced training for broadcasters so that we are not, as a respected friend of mine says, "putting a gun in a child's hand." We can't require broadcasters get that training when they purchase new equipment, but those tv mets committed to public safety and being the best in their market should be asking for it and beating a path to the door of whoever will provide it. Now the pitch: I am organizing the broadcaster session for the NWA annual meeting in Norman the third week of October. If those of you in the TV community have specific areas you would like to see addressed to make your on-air performance more credible, please drop me an email and I will work to find appropriate speakers and see they are given adequate time to address these issues. I will be working to make this workshop extremely interactive... more of a "ok TV folks, what do you see here... and what are you going to say about it!" If you have cases you would like to present (all mets), please draft an outline and email to me. Thanks, John McLaughlin Des Moines TV guy johnmc49@ecity.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1998 to 22 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:23:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1883 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-20718>; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38092; Fri, 24 Apr 1998 00:04:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199804240504.AAA38092@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 00:00:05 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Apr 1998 to 23 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c08e83b0ae38fae6d675f541ed51eb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 20 messages totalling 709 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. CNN (8) 2. Easterlies returning?? 3. WX-TALK Digest - 17 Apr 1998 to 18 Apr 1998 4. LP Supercell? (3) 5. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1998 to 22 Apr 1998 (2) 6. SAMEX Models online... 7. FEMA Holds Tornado Summit in Atlanta (2) 8. Station Question 9. Twister at Universal Studios +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 01:13:31 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: CNN Thursday at 10:00 EST there will be a special on CNN about tornadoes and forecasting. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:24:36 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: CNN say, i saw that, and did they dub in a lightning bolt in the segment of the guy who says "shit, I been struck.", and then continues to film the tornado hit his house? thought i saw one for a brief second, and don't remember seeing one before. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 00:31:32 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: CNN no wait, that was tonights program on the learning channel. not the CNN thing. whoops ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 02:27:32 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: Easterlies returning?? Well, I noticed something quite interesting at http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/gif/daily/sst_wind_anom_5day.gif. It seems as though there is an easterly component to all these low level winds near the equator off S. America west of 140 W. Now, this would mean that the significant El Nino event could **finally** end. Does anyone have any comments on this? Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 03:40:56 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: CNN On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > Thursday at 10:00 EST there will be a special on CNN about tornadoes and > forecasting. I assume that's PM, right? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 08:34:59 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: CNN On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > Thursday at 10:00 EST there will be a special on CNN about tornadoes and > forecasting. > That reminds me. A few weeks back CNN kept mentioning forecasters from the Storm *Prevention* Center in Norman, OK. I thought, "Wow! Those guys really aren't doing well this year! " I just thought that was funny. -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --- Mathew L. Powers powers@weather.cod.edu Col. of Dupage (Chicago) Met Staff http://weather.cod.edu/ Northern IL Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and ob's at MDW-CHI for fun Use your colored pencils!!! -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 09:09:08 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: CNN On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, Mathew L. Powers wrote: > That reminds me. A few weeks back CNN kept mentioning forecasters > from the Storm *Prevention* Center in Norman, OK. I thought, "Wow! Those > guys really aren't doing well this year! " > If it is the Storm Prevention Center TELL THEM TO STOP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 10:31:00 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: Re: CNN At 03:40 AM 4/23/98 , you wrote: >On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > >> Thursday at 10:00 EST there will be a special on CNN about tornadoes and >> forecasting. > >  I assume that's PM, right? > >Todd Yes, thats 10:00 pm. When I saw it announced last night CNN did not specify am or pm. I waited this morning until 10:00 to be sure. (My local tv listings were of no help.) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 09:46:34 -0500 From: Colin Meyer Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Apr 1998 to 18 Apr 1998 I hope this works. Information on the 120-0249 SAME Weatheradio is available on the RadioShack support web page (http://www.radioshack.com/support) . You can do a search for 120-0249 and it will give you many documents you can view or print or have faxed to you. Colin Meyer RadioShack > Date: Sun, 19 Apr 1998 00:20:16 EDT > From: MLANGFUS > Subject: Re: RS Same radio > > Help. Need someone to scan manual and email to me. Can anyone help? > Thanks > Mike Langfus Mlangfus@aol.com > > ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 11:15:27 EDT From: Scott Cravens Subject: Re: LP Supercell? Richard: > Date: Wed, 22 Apr 1998 02:09:01 -0400 > From: Richard Thacker > Subject: Re: LP Supercell? > > On Mon, 20 Apr 1998, Scott Cravens wrote: > > > A question from Garner NC - yesterday evening I was watching the > > radar at the same time skywarn was reporting a wall-cloud just to my > > southwest, moving northeast. There was no radar echo whatsoever with > > this cell. They also reported a funnel cloud in the same vicinity. > > My question/curiousity is, was this an unusual supercell for this > > area or was it not a supercell at all? A tornado warning was issued > > right after the skywarn report for my vicinity. The "cell" was > > moving at 50mph to the NE which brought it over my house. We > > experienced a wind gust to around 25-30 mph with light rain only - no > > hail, lightning, etc. I guess I'm a little confused on why there was > > no "signature" on doppler and if this is common. By the way, I was > > referencing 2 radar sites and neither showed an echo for this cell. > > If anyone was in this area and knows more please advise. > > < I am also watching the answers to this with interest. I never thought > > < Would my guess be right if I said that it was probably an LP supercell? > < Little or no precip -- which is what the RADAR is looking for -- thus, no > > < Or do I have NO clue at all and should I duck for cover now? :) > > > Scott, > > I find it hard to believe that there was NO radar echo, If there was light > rain, > there had to be an echo on the 88D in any VCP - I have seen tropical very > light rain fall from 10 Dbz but not light rain from no reflectivity (maybe > stable > air mass drizzle at 50 nmi out or real light rain at > 100 nmi ). Correct > me if > I am wrong, but there are several 88D's that can see that area...RDU-RNK- > GSP? and I think one of them had at least a weak echo if rain was falling. I > am not sure what this phenomena was you saw, but the radars sites you > were referencing must have been real far away or you did not notice that the > time of the volume scans you were looking at were old. That's all I can can > come up with, any comments? Your observations are correct, there are 2 88D's that can see this area. But, at the time I was looking at 1 of the sites and a local tv stations live doppler (which was at the same time the spotters were reporting a wall cloud AND funnel clouds) and did not see any echo for this area. Maybe the precip showed up right after this and the wall cloud and funnel clouds were right before??? I guess this is possible which is what I'm wondering. I'll be talking to the Warning Coord. Meteorologist at RDU this afternoon - I'll let everyone know what he said (he's also the one working the radar that night!). -- Scott -> ARE Network Administrator <- -> x5-6095 <- -> scott_cravens@ncsu.edu <- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 11:33:18 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: LP Supercell? > Your observations are correct, there are 2 88D's that can see this > area. But, at the time I was looking at 1 of the sites and a local > tv stations live doppler Apparently you weren't at the DSM SevWx convention or have seen too many TV promtional videos ;> The 88D is "live doppler"... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 11:30:12 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1998 to 22 Apr 1998 Greg wrote: >I would tend to disagree, or at least "believe you when I see it". >There are a number of NWSFOs that operate with two WSR-88D PUPs, >with two persons staffing them. It is certainly conceivable to >be able to integrate information from a number of radars in >a warning situation, whether that be two 88Ds, or an 88D and >a media radar. Greg I was referring to using TV radars as the second radar in conjunction with NWS 88D. Yes where you have two 88D's covering an area you are right, but this does not happen in all areas.(2 88's covering same areas) In this case I doubt that TV radar stations have the staff to do what was suggested. Maybe so, maybe not. Someone other than me is better to answer this issue. >I'm not sure you could prove that verification efficiency is the >*sole* reason for the increase in POD. We all know the benefits >that the 88D has over the ancient WSR-57 and 74s, and it would >be risky to say that the use of Doppler velocities, smart scanning >strategies, digitization, algorithms, etc., is all for naught, and >the only reason for increased POD is due to increased verification! >It has to be a combination of both factors, plus more (better radar >training program, etc.). I did not mean to imply that improvement was solely due to better verification methods, even though this is a significant part of it. Prior to modernization offices were not staffed to carry out the type of verification that is going on today. There is a concerted effort today to verify storms that which was not in place before moderniztion, so it does account for improvement, what there is, in statistics. The methods of verification, etc. are a subject that has been hashed over on this board quite a bit. I have been in the verification "wars so to speak" and it is a subject that subject to discussion. No one has suggested that the benefits of the 88 D's are "all for naught". John wrote: >Regarding C-band attentuation: > >The problems related to C-band attentuation have been well documented and >are covered in detail in Lemon's training. Also, "Radar for >Meteorologists" by Reinhart of No. Dakota State University, is a good (and >inexpensive) reference for attenuation nomograms. Broadcasters need to be >aware of this, but it is certainly not reason to dismiss C-band Dopplers as >useless. (TV folks can't license S-band radars, I have tried.) Attentuation >can be recognized, especially when you have NIDS data adjacent. The latest >generation of TV radars, such as the one my station operates, is equal in >sensitivity to the Nexrad, has the same beamwidth and four times as many >range bins, and the ability to adjust the prf and pulse width on the fly. >These radars can be used to give more specific sweep by sweep details as to >a storm's location and movement. Properly calibrated and maintained, these >radars can provide data of exceptional quality which can be used in >addition to the wealth of 88D data. Broadcasters who use C band and the >88D in tandem have grasped the best of both worlds. I agree here. Using the C-band Doppler in conjunction with NIDS data relieves the attenuation problem during heavy rain. "Doppler data antennuation (phase shift return) is not affected greatly by heavy precipitation. Since you are measuring phase shift of the returned signal "any phase shift is detected even though it may be very weak". It is the phase shift and not the power return that is important in this case. So if you switch over to velocity mode during heavy rain and use the NIDS data for intensity you still have the best of both worlds so to speak. Some of the newer commercial radars actually have really excellent features that are extremely beneficial to users. Some of the latest technology is onboard these systems. I can show you an excellent presentation from C-band doppler where RW+ was occurring over the antenna and we had zilch loss of velocity data( tornado producing mesocyclone clearly visible in the ground clutter and heavy rain region). C-band antennuation has been a subject of note for a long time. The first thing that one does using these radars is to realize when you sit down with it is that this is a problem for intensity measurements. Once that is understood, adjustments can be made as to how you interpret the intensity data. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 14:25:40 EDT From: Scott Cravens Subject: Re: LP Supercell? > > On Mon, 20 Apr 1998, Scott Cravens wrote: > > > > > A question from Garner NC - yesterday evening I was watching the > > > radar at the same time skywarn was reporting a wall-cloud just to my > > > southwest, moving northeast. There was no radar echo whatsoever with > > > this cell. They also reported a funnel cloud in the same vicinity. > > > My question/curiousity is, was this an unusual supercell for this > > > area or was it not a supercell at all? A tornado warning was issued > > > right after the skywarn report for my vicinity. The "cell" was > > > moving at 50mph to the NE which brought it over my house. We > > > experienced a wind gust to around 25-30 mph with light rain only - no > > > hail, lightning, etc. I guess I'm a little confused on why there was > > > no "signature" on doppler and if this is common. By the way, I was > > > referencing 2 radar sites and neither showed an echo for this cell. > > > If anyone was in this area and knows more please advise. > > > > < I am also watching the answers to this with interest. I never thought > > > > > < Would my guess be right if I said that it was probably an LP supercell? > > < Little or no precip -- which is what the RADAR is looking for -- thus, no > > > > > < Or do I have NO clue at all and should I duck for cover now? :) > > > > > > > Scott, > > > > I find it hard to believe that there was NO radar echo, If there was light > > rain, > > there had to be an echo on the 88D in any VCP - I have seen tropical very > > light rain fall from 10 Dbz but not light rain from no reflectivity (maybe > > stable > > air mass drizzle at 50 nmi out or real light rain at > 100 nmi ). Correct > > me if > > I am wrong, but there are several 88D's that can see that area...RDU-RNK- > > GSP? and I think one of them had at least a weak echo if rain was falling. I > > am not sure what this phenomena was you saw, but the radars sites you > > were referencing must have been real far away or you did not notice that the > > time of the volume scans you were looking at were old. That's all I can can > > come up with, any comments? > Richard: > Your observations are correct, there are 2 88D's that can see this > area. But, at the time I was looking at 1 of the sites and a local > tv stations live doppler (which was at the same time the spotters > were reporting a wall cloud AND funnel clouds) and did not see any > echo for this area. Maybe the precip showed up right after this and > the wall cloud and funnel clouds were right before??? I guess this > is possible which is what I'm wondering. > > I'll be talking to the Warning Coord. Meteorologist at RDU this > afternoon - I'll let everyone know what he said (he's also the one > working the radar that night!). > WX-Talk: I just finished talking to the WCM at RDU - he said there was a strong TRW in the Fuquay area but no tornadic signatures with it. So, although the times indicated on the radar sites (I used) were current they obviously weren't. What made me believe they were correct was that I was in the cells path and experienced nothing more than light rain and a 20 mph gust, no lighning observed anywhere. Thanks to those that emailed me. -- Scott -> ARE Network Administrator <- -> x5-6095 <- -> scott_cravens@ncsu.edu <- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:02:34 -0400 From: "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1998 to 22 Apr 1998 >SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION >CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC >1350 UTC TUE APR 21 1998 > >211350Z Anomalous precipitation echoes plotted over much of California >since 0435Z last night are due to migrating birds according to Montery WFO. >These migrations occur mainly at night and these false echoes should soon >dissipate. These false echoes may reappear nocturnally for another week or >so per Monterey until the spring migration period is over. > >=== >Also -- if you use today's Eta ;> do it with caution... > > >** NOUS42 KWBC 221345 *** > >SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION >CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC >1345 UTC WED APR 22 1998 > >221345Z 12Z Eta forecast has yet to begin, NCEP communication problems >continue. Less than 1 percent of the data has made it to the NCEP computers. >We will start the Eta with satellite data as input, use with extreme >discretion. More to come... > >In article <000801bd6dfd$d0424780$0100a8c0.16965@rob>, >Robert P Dale wrote: >> >>211350Z Anomalous precipitation echoes plotted over much of California >>since 0435Z last night are due to migrating birds according to Montery WFO. >>These migrations occur mainly at night and these false echoes should soon >>dissipate. These false echoes may reappear nocturnally for another week or >>so per Monterey until the spring migration period is over. > >But are they really *false* echoes? The birds are actually there, and >causing reflectivity. > > >greg stumpf, NSSL > >------------------------------ > >At 03:15 PM 4/22/98 GMT, Greg Stumpf wrote: >>In article <000801bd6dfd$d0424780$0100a8c0.16965@rob>, >>Robert P Dale wrote: >>> >>>211350Z Anomalous precipitation echoes plotted over much of California >>>since 0435Z last night are due to migrating birds according to Montery WFO. >>>These migrations occur mainly at night and these false echoes should soon >>>dissipate. These false echoes may reappear nocturnally for another week or >>>so per Monterey until the spring migration period is over. >> >>But are they really *false* echoes? The birds are actually there, and >>causing reflectivity. > >Yes, those would be *real* echoes. The problem with the birdies is that >people must use caution in interpreting the VWP product!! The algorithm >assumes that the echoes' velocities are due to the WIND, and so when the >birdies are flying, the VWP shouldn't even be consulted. > >Our experience in Texas is that we get deviations from the actual wind >velocity in the neighborhood of 40 knots! And unless the birds are flying >with a direct tail-wind (and they don't have to fly that way), the >directions are useless too. > >Again, the VWP velocities are technically correct (it is what the echoes are >actually doing) - it is just a misnomer to call them "wind" velocities since >the scatterers are partaking in powered flight! > >We haven't had the birdies yet in TX, but I guess they are coming soon. >I'll have some work to do, since my thesis is all about this..... We have been tracking bird migrations with the WSR-88D at NWSFO ALY. Our VAD wind profile indicated a 20 KT SW wind "off the deck" the past two nights...when defacto our sounding indicated light and variable wind up to about 10 KFT or so as we have been sitting under a weak high pressure ridge. Apparently weather conditions have been nearly ideal for bird migrations that past several nights...and like everything else this spring...the migrations are running ahead of schedule. Migrating birds are a real scatterer and not false echos. Apparently...the phenomena gets even more pronouced if say it has rained during the past day...the birds are wet...and then they produce even higher reflectivities if they fly the following night. By the way...is that why there was so much difference between last night's ETA and MESO ETa...because there was the communication problems with the ETA? Hugh W. Johnson IV NWSFO ALY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 16:46:37 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: SAMEX Models online... Output from the models being tested for SAMEX 98 (Storm and Mesoscale Ensemble Experiment) are coming online bit by bit -- the full experiment starts May 1... 3km / 9km / 30km individual runs and a 30km ensemble output are available from http://www.caps.ou.edu/CAPS/samex.html Institutions running models are the Air Force, CAPS, NCAR, NCEP and NSSL. The primary model domain covers the Southern Plains, but the "low" resolution 30km runs cover the CONUS. Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == Meteorologist http://norden1.com/~rdale ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 17:49:08 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FEMA Holds Tornado Summit in Atlanta FEMA TO HOST TORNADO SUMMIT IN ATLANTA WASHINGTON April 23, 1998 WHAT: On the heels of deadly tornadoes that have claimed the lives of more than 100 people in the Southeast United States since February, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) will host a day-long tornado summit focussing on personal safety. The summit will include representatives from federal, state and local agencies, educational institutions and meteorological experts. WHEN: Friday, April 24, 1998, from 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. WHERE: FEMA Region IV Office Building 3003 Chamblee Tucker Road Atlanta, GA WHO: FEMA Director James Lee Witt FEMA Region IV Director John Copenhaver Elaine Sexton, Georgia Emergency Management Agency Bryan Peters, National Weather Service Bryan Norcross, WFOR-TV, Miami Fla. BACKGROUND: The objective of the summit is to identify how to better use existing programs in reducing the effects of destructive tornadoes and severe weather. The event, with the theme "A Safe Place to Go With Time to Get There," will center on tornado characteristics and tracking, protective sheltering ideas, forecasting, and sustainable buildings technologies. Emergency management personnel from FEMA and eight southeastern states will attend in addition to representatives from the National Weather Service and university officials. Meteorologists from television stations throughout the region will also attend to discuss how to communicate tornado risks. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 22:32:23 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: FEMA Holds Tornado Summit in Atlanta In article <000101bd6f01$a4ad1960$0100a8c0.05215@rdale>, Robert P Dale wrote: > >FEMA TO HOST TORNADO SUMMIT IN ATLANTA > >WHO: >FEMA Director James Lee Witt >FEMA Region IV Director John Copenhaver >Elaine Sexton, Georgia Emergency Management Agency >Bryan Peters, National Weather Service >Bryan Norcross, WFOR-TV, Miami Fla. > >BACKGROUND: >The objective of the summit is to identify how to better >use existing programs in reducing the effects of destructive tornadoes and >severe weather. The event, with the theme "A Safe Place to Go With Time >to Get There," will center on tornado characteristics and tracking, >protective sheltering ideas, forecasting, and sustainable buildings >technologies. Emergency management personnel from FEMA and eight >southeastern states will attend in addition to representatives from the >National Weather Service and university officials. Meteorologists from >television stations throughout the region will also attend to discuss how >to communicate tornado risks. Hmmmm...and no one from the research community? This is the first I've heard of this! greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 20:58:30 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: CNN On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > At 03:40 AM 4/23/98 , you wrote: > >On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > > > >> Thursday at 10:00 EST there will be a special on CNN about tornadoes and > >> forecasting. > > > >  I assume that's PM, right? > > Yes, thats 10:00 pm. When I saw it announced last night CNN did not specify am > or pm. I waited this morning until 10:00 to be sure. (My local tv listings > were of no help.) Yah. With any other station I wouldn't ask but with CNN it could BE either am or pm, so I thought I'd ask. Great. I'll be watching. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 01:29:25 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Station Question > From: "Boris A. Konon" > Subject: Station Question > Does anyone have station information for the following two codes? > KQHU (sends TAFs) Don't know about that one. > KQRC (sends Metars) KQRC = PAKN. Private database suggested that KQRC was King Salmon AK. Cross referecing the surface ob from NWS for King Salmon (PAKN) with the metar from NWS for KQRC = exactly the same. More info: King Salmon, King Salmon Airport, AK, United States (PAKN) 58-41-01N 156-39-14W 10M http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/PAKN.html This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Apr 1998 23:21:11 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Twister at Universal Studios WX-Gang The TWISTER ride opens at Universal Studios, Florida May 4th. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Apr 1998 to 23 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Apr 25 22:24:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1912 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627066-28218>; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 13:08:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47276; Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:03:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199804250503.AAA47276@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Apr 1998 to 24 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e20ff73b578f3d93e38281170bed79e9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 175 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Upper Air data from MN supercells in March 2. Computer Models (2) 3. Gratuitous Dubbing in TLC Twisters (Was: Re: CNN) (2) 4. Kelvin waves +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 00:19:43 -0500 From: John Rosich Subject: Upper Air data from MN supercells in March Greetings! I have a friend who is interested in getting some upper air data from the MN severe weather outbreak about a month ago. Does anybody know where I can go to get the data? Thanks! John ----------------------------------------- John Rosich Email: John.Rosich@valpo.edu Valparaiso University ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 10:20:27 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Computer Models Hello Everyone I am looking for some information on a few of the computer forecast models. If someone could help me out I would appreciate it! I am looking for information on what times the following computer forecast models are (supposed to be) updated. RUC: NOGAPS: AVN: ECMWF: SEF: I appreciate any help that is provided. I have located the following NWS Offices that are providing Real Audio...if anyone knows of other offices that are offering this service please let me know! Tucson, AZ. Jacksonville, FL. North Platte, NE. Omaha, Nebraska. Grand Forks, ND Tulsa, OK. Fayetteville/Fort Smith, OK/AR El Paso, TX. Thank You Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 11:38:59 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Computer Models > RUC: Hourly for 0-3hr forecasts, every three hours for 0-12hr forecasts. > NOGAPS: 0/12Z > AVN: 0/6/12/18Z (although 6 & 18 are hard to come by on the net) > ECMWF: 0? & 12Z > SEF: 0/12Z Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 12:37:11 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Gratuitous Dubbing in TLC Twisters (Was: Re: CNN) On Thu, 23 Apr 1998, Jeff from West Chicago wrote: > no wait, that was tonights program on the learning channel. not the CNN > thing. whoops Heh :) As for the TLC show, I actually have the videotapes that were originally released (they sell the same set down at the Suncoast as a two-tape set) and, yes, it does seem TLC...enhanced some of the footage (mostly adding extra wind and lightning sounds, and the struck thing too). I believe some of the folks who actually particpated in various ways on the making of "Twisters: Nature's Fury" have noticed this too and complained in past. One thing I probably *should* check is if the copyright on my tapes is held by the Tornado Project (that's who credit was given to in the "Science Frontiers" version). :) onnyhoos.... The CNN special wasn't too bad. Wasn't superstellar, but wasn't bad; it was about like Time-Warner's version of the "Tornado: You Can Survive!" (or something like that) video that gets shown around the Midwest during the start of tornado season and typically gets shown here around either Severe Weather Awareness Week or April 3. Half the show *was* safety tips which was nice...pointing out that at some point *you* have to take responsibility for your safety. Interesting statistic pulled from the CNN show, though--~65 percent of US homes do not have basements, and that figure is closer to 83% in the Southeast. (Again, I suspect due to the preponderance of high water tables, poverty and less-well-off folks, and manufactured housing) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 18:40:38 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Gratuitous Dubbing in TLC Twisters (Was: Re: CNN) In article , Paula Bailey wrote: > >Interesting statistic pulled from the CNN show, though--~65 percent of US >homes do not have basements, and that figure is closer to 83% in the >Southeast. (Again, I suspect due to the preponderance of high water >tables, poverty and less-well-off folks, and manufactured housing) I had recently heard that the main reason for the lack of basements in the south has to do with the fact of the warm weather. The basements act as an insulating barrier between the home and the frozen ground in northern climes. There are very few basements anywhere in the south, even in places where the water table isn't too high or where there is a near ground level of bedrock. In fact, I know that a lot of homes in the Northeast U.S. are built with basements, regardless of the bedrock level (they just get out the dynamite and blast. greg ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998 22:46:31 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: Kelvin waves I have just heard something about these Kelvin waves which would cause El Nino to restrengthen. Does anyone know anything about these and if this statement is true? Thanks, Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Apr 1998 to 24 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Apr 26 13:15:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2266 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626380-27815>; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 13:12:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB49838; Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:07:01 -0500 Message-Id: <199804260507.AAB49838@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 00:01:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Apr 1998 to 25 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e9cdafc62e2b85d743c3920ed68ec285 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 208 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. FEMA Holds Tornado Summit in Atlanta 2. Gratuitous Dubbing in TLC Twisters (Was: Re: CNN) 3. Kelvin waves 4. Station Id Changes 5. New Station 6. Station Information 7. If you're intereted in the MN tornadoes . . . 8. new hurricane chief +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 08:47:55 +0000 From: LET'S GO ISLANDERS Subject: Re: FEMA Holds Tornado Summit in Atlanta This conference seems like a great idea to me, but leaves me with an important question. Why must hundreds of people die BEFORE something like this is done? It would seem to me as these kind of conferences should be held annually (at least) in areas frequently affected by such events. This includes hurricanes, as well. There is still a need to train many on air "weather-people" on reading the radar and picking out the most dangerous parts of the storms, for example. This would seem to me like a high priority to learn for people doing this along the Gulf and Southeast coasts, but some people obviously do not study it enough. Marshall Moss, AccuWeather Meteorologist http://personal.accuweather.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 12:06:45 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Gratuitous Dubbing in TLC Twisters (Was: Re: CNN) On Fri, 24 Apr 1998, Paula Bailey wrote: > Interesting statistic pulled from the CNN show, though--~65 percent of US > homes do not have basements, and that figure is closer to 83% in the > Southeast. (Again, I suspect due to the preponderance of high water > tables, poverty and less-well-off folks, and manufactured housing) Those who live down here realize that if you dig (anywhere) you run the risk of opening up a wide-mouthed hole called a "sink hole." :) Actually, they usually start out small, and then slowly widen day by day or minute by minute until someone's whole house ends up falling into it. Maybe it'll appear now; maybe it'll appear years from now. Maybe it won't appear...until it rains heavily one day and the underground aquafers fill to saturation and the water has nowhere else to go but _everywhere_ else. Limestone breaks apart here, a little sand caves in a tube there, a new tube forms, gets wider, caves in more...oops! There goes another home! This is why they don't like to build things larger than one story down here much. (Oh, that's not to say they don't exist in wealthier areas/cities where they could afford Mr. Sounder Machine. :-) ) But the land here in Florida is not at all like that firmer, harder stuff found in most other places in the US. I used to spelunk in some tiny, slim tubes around here for fun (and I'll admit that's an infraction although a minor one here) when I was in high school and it seems there are lots of places in Florida that are ready to cave in at any time - especially when it rains. We sit upon a mass of slippery grey clay stuff in veins that loosens and breaks apart when it rains. I also noted how it felt almost like a lubricant to the touch, possibly providing extra ease of movement for large parcels of otherwise stable earth. So I think I can see how it happens very easily. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 12:22:44 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Kelvin waves On Fri, 24 Apr 1998, Digest Mark Yorsaner wrote: > I have just heard something about these Kelvin waves which would cause El > Nino to restrengthen. Does anyone know anything about these and if this > statement is true? Thanks, Are you talking about Kelvin-Helmholz waves? They're just a cloud formation -- cirrus. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 14:11:19 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station Id Changes Three ASOS stations recently changed their identifiers. O18 to HJO - Hanford, CA Y62 to ANJ - Sault Ste Marie, MI Y85 to JYM - Hillsdale, MI Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 14:18:07 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New Station The following station recently began sending manual observations on the FAA604 circuit only. KGEU - Glendale, AZ Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 14:26:43 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station Information Wx-talkers, Does anyone have station information for the following international codes that send Metars. ESOK (Sweden) FBMP (Botswana) MHNO (Honduras) OEKB (Saudi Arabia) RCLT (Taiwan) Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 17:55:39 -0500 From: Doppler Dude Subject: If you're intereted in the MN tornadoes . . . On my way back to Sioux Falls from my hometown in Minnesota I stopped at a little convenience store that was selling a special edition newspaper that's full of stories and pictures from folks that experienced the Comfrey, MN tornado. It has some interesting stories and photos...the proceeds go to help recovery efforts. Here's where you can get it: Storm Scrap Book Edition-The Cottonwood County Citizen PO Box 309, Windom, MN 56101 or call 800.658.2510. -Shawn \\\\|/////// \\\ ~~~ /// \\\ @ @ /// Shawn Cable \\( (_) )// cableguy@dakota.net \ o / www.kelotv.com -oOOO---OOOo------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 19:36:50 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: new hurricane chief AP 24-Apr-1998 11:18 EDT REF5522 Copyright 1998. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. The information contained in the AP news report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or otherwise distributed without the prior written authority of The Associated Press. By KAREN SHAW Associated Press Writer MIAMI (AP) -- The acting director of the National Hurricane Center since September was made permanent and said he would focus on better communications with the public. Jerry Jarrell, who handled much of the media duty at the center in recent years, suggested he might start posting hourly weather updates on the Internet when a storm watch or warning is in effect. Former director Bob Burpee stepped down for health reasons. Jarrell, whose appointment was announced by Commerce Secretary William Daley at the center Thursday, starts in the position immediately. Extended applause from the center's staff greeted the announcement. "I'm honored deeply," the 63-year-old Jarrell said. "I'm a little choked up, too." Jarrell, who joined the National Hurricane Center as deputy director in 1988, earned masters of science degrees in meteorology and management from the Naval Postgraduate school in 1967 and 1973 and was an assistant professor there from 1972 to 1977. He was deputy director of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Guam from 1970 to 1972 and a senior research scientist with Science Applications International Corp. in California. In talking about improved communications, he said it's not good enough to put out a forecast if it's not heard. "We need to improve the way we communicate with people." Jarrell also has looked into ways to make it easier and less expensive for small, local radio stations to get storm information. Chris Sells amateur radio station AC4CS AEN MANAGER ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Apr 1998 to 25 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Apr 27 19:53:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627440-15550>; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 13:15:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB41808; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:10:40 -0500 Message-Id: <199804270510.AAB41808@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 00:03:51 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Apr 1998 to 26 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a7a3c4f385d5f9ccc01029619bea9f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 60 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Station Information 2. tornado info +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 10:53:16 -0400 From: Rob Cermak Subject: Re: Station Information > Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 14:26:43 -0400 > From: "Boris A. Konon" > Subject: Station Information > > Wx-talkers, > > Does anyone have station information for the following international > codes that send Metars. > > ESOK (Sweden) Source: http://www.smhi.se/sgn0104/flyg/met_taf.htm --> Karlstad > FBMP (Botswana) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml > MHNO (Honduras) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml > OEKB (Saudi Arabia) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml > RCLT (Taiwan) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml Someone at NWS-OSO must have these, if they are referenced on the above page. Rob Cermak Voice: 732-545-9536 Weather Access, Inc. Email: cermak@snow.wxaccess.com V.P. Product Development Web : http://www.wxaccess.com/ Consulting Meteorologist Highland Park, New Jersey, 08904 U.S.A. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Apr 1998 21:54:32 -0500 From: Linder Subject: tornado info Sorry for the cross post to those of you on both lists, but I am looking for information on the April 16 tornado outbreak in TN. More or less I am looking for archive watches and warnings, outlook discussions, radar images, and any maps of the city of Nashville or the state of TN. Any information would be very helpful. Please respond directly to lkornows@athena.valpo.edu. Thank you in advance. Linda Kornowski Linda Kornowski 419 Brandt Hall Valparaiso, IN 46383 lkornows@athena.valpo.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Apr 1998 to 26 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Apr 28 10:04:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626445-23277>; Tue, 28 Apr 1998 09:53:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAB13784; Mon, 27 Apr 1998 20:44:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199804280144.UAB13784@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 20:41:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Apr 1998 to 27 Apr 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3d64bfcb735b87649366e166bd23e61 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 876 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Boltek lightning detector 2. Kelvin waves (4) 3. TV Met Position Availables (Salisbury, MD / Dallas, TX) 4. Remaining ASOS 5. Slight Change to Weather Watch Statements 6. AWOS Stations Not on FOS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 06:58:10 -0500 From: Dennis Gabler Subject: Boltek lightning detector Hi All, I am interested in any feedback on the Boltek Stormtrack lightning detection system. Particularly it's accuracy fairly close in (appx. 10 - 20 miles). Thanks in advance, Dennis -- Dennis Gabler --o---------------------------=o=---------------------------o-- H H http://www.qsl.net/w5dg W5DG/NNN0BQG/NNN0GAR-ONE___________________H dennisg@microware.com Principal Software Engineer Microware Systems Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 09:43:04 EDT From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Re: Kelvin waves No, Mark was asking about Kelvin waves. I don't know anything about their relation to El Nino. Kelvin waves are long surface gravity waves (sometime internal waves?) that are trapped against an edge (such as a coastline). I studied them in oceanography when I was a student several decades ago, but I believe that there are atmospheric analogs too. Norman Todd L. Sherman wrote: > Subject: Re: Kelvin waves > > On Fri, 24 Apr 1998, Digest Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > > I have just heard something about these Kelvin waves which would cause El > > Nino to restrengthen. Does anyone know anything about these and if this > > statement is true? Thanks, > > Are you talking about Kelvin-Helmholz waves? They're just a cloud > formation -- cirrus. ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.on.doe.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.dow.on.doe.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 09:47:31 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: Kelvin waves Not sure about Kelvin waves in the ocean, as reported by Norman, but Kelvin waves are also found in the tropical atmosphere. They are eastward traveling planetary scale gravity waves, with periods of about 10-20 days. Not sure if they are related to ENSO, but they might cntribute to changes in intensity of the trades. As for "Kelvin-Helmholz waves", these are not just "cloud formations", but instabilities in the atmosphere that can cause some cirrus formations... or other clouds for that matter. Kelvin-Helmholz instability forms in a wind shear zone between two atmospheric layers of different densities. This often occurs at the base of an inversion. More importantly, this type of instability can lead to clear air turbulance. Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > On Fri, 24 Apr 1998, Digest Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > > I have just heard something about these Kelvin waves which would cause El > > Nino to restrengthen. Does anyone know anything about these and if this > > statement is true? Thanks, > > Are you talking about Kelvin-Helmholz waves? They're just a cloud > formation -- cirrus. > > Todd > > /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ > | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | > | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | > | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | > | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | > \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 10:10:17 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Position Availables (Salisbury, MD / Dallas, TX) METEOROLOGIST (WMDT) Our meteorologist took an offer he couldn't refuse so we're looking for his replacement. WMDT-TV, the ABC Affiliate in Salisbury, MD is looking for a full time meteorologist for our 6:00pm and 11:00pm newscasts. Between the fishing industry and summer tourism, accurate weather forecasts are VERY important to us. We will give you all the tools you need to do the job. You need to be a meteorologist (or just about to become one.) RUSH your tape and resume to Steven Kalb, News Director, WMDT-TV, 202 Downtown Plaza, P.O. Box 2009, Salisbury, MD 21803-4009. WMDT is an Equal Opportunity Employer. WEATHER PRODUCER (KDFW) KDFW Fox 4, Fox O&O, is seeking a qualified weather producer to assist meteorologists with preparations for multiple daily weathercasts. Will assist in severe weather coverage as well as anchor weathercasts a needed. Must have significant weather training. Meteorology degree strongly preferred. Ability to learn WSI WeatherProducer, Baron Systems Radar and other weather computers necessary. Ability to demonstrate local weather forecasting. Knowledge of Texas climate a plus. Ability to work well under pressure and good communication and on-air presentation skills required. Rush resume and letter of interest to: KDFW Fox 4, Attn: Human Resources, 400 N. Griffin St., Dallas, TX 75202. No phone calls or faxes please. EOE/M/F/D/V *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 13:10:59 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Kelvin waves > >On Fri, 24 Apr 1998, Digest Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > I have just heard something about these Kelvin waves which would cause El > Nino to restrengthen. Does anyone know anything about these and if this > statement is true? Thanks, > > > Are you talking about Kelvin-Helmholz waves? They're just a cloud > > formation -- cirrus. > > > > Todd > > Kelvin waves are coastally trapped long gravity waves in the ocean. They can transport the El Nino warm pool water from the equator north along the west coast in the northern hemisphere of the Americas and south along the west coast of South America. I don't see how they could cause El Nino to restrengthen (I am *not* an expert on ENSO). For an excellent discussion, see George Philander's book on El Nino, La Nina, and the Southern Oscillation. On the Web, ENSO information can be found at http://www.ogp.noaa.gov/enso/ http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/home.html http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov/products/predictions/index.html http://www.mb.ec.gc.ca/Nino/ENSO_English_top_page.html Hope that helps, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 13:29:53 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Re: Kelvin waves Please read Clive Dorman's articles on Kelvin waves and their (hypothetical?) link to El Nino. The articles study oceanographic Kelvin waves. VC On Mon, 27 Apr 1998, Tim Doggett wrote: > Not sure about Kelvin waves in the ocean, as reported by Norman, but > Kelvin waves are also found in the tropical atmosphere. They are > eastward traveling planetary scale gravity waves, with periods of about > 10-20 days. Not sure if they are related to ENSO, but they might > cntribute to changes in intensity of the trades. > > As for "Kelvin-Helmholz waves", these are not just "cloud formations", > but instabilities in the atmosphere that can cause some cirrus > formations... or other clouds for that matter. Kelvin-Helmholz > instability forms in a wind shear zone between two atmospheric layers of > different densities. This often occurs at the base of an inversion. > More importantly, this type of instability can lead to clear air > turbulance. > > > Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > > On Fri, 24 Apr 1998, Digest Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > > > > I have just heard something about these Kelvin waves which would cause El > > > Nino to restrengthen. Does anyone know anything about these and if this > > > statement is true? Thanks, > > > > Are you talking about Kelvin-Helmholz waves? They're just a cloud > > formation -- cirrus. > > > > Todd > > > > /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ > > | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | > > | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | > > | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | > > | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | > > \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 14:31:22 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Remaining ASOS Here is a list of all NWS, FAA, and FAA EXP (expansion) ASOS sites that have yet to be commissioned. 0V1 NWS Custer SD 12N NWS Andover NJ 1V4 NWS St. Johnsbury VT 6R6 NWS Dryden TX 7R1 NWS Venice LA 8D3 NWS Sisseton SD AKN NWS King Salmon AK ANC NWS Anchorage AK AQQ NWS Apalachicola FL BET NWS Bethel AK BRW NWS Barrow AK CDB NWS Cold Bay AK CDJ NWS Chillicothe MO CLT NWS Charlotte NC CQT NWS Los Angeles CA D07 NWS Faith SD DMH NWS Baltimore MD GCC NWS Gillette WY GDP NWS Pine Springs TX GUY NWS Guyman OK IRK NWS Kirksville MO LLJ NWS Challis ID LXV NWS Leadville CO M39 NWS Mena AR MCG NWS McGrath AK MEH NWS Meacham OR MKK NWS Molokai HI MQE NWS East Milton MA MTP NWS Montauk NY N60 NWS Garrison ND O00 NWS Alturas CA OME NWS Nome AK OQT NWS Oak Ridge TN P34 NWS Window Rock AZ P58 NWS Port Hope MI P59 NWS Copper Harbor MI P60 NWS Yellowstone Lake WY P61 NWS Grand Marais MN P75 NWS Manistique MI P92 NWS Salt Point LA PGSN NWS Saipan CM PGUM NWS Agana, Guam GU PHP NWS Philip SD PJON NWS Johnston Island QCC NWS Clines Corner NM RTN NWS Raton NM SHN NWS Shelton WA SPD NWS Springfield CO ABY FAA Albany GA ACV FAA Arcata/Eureka CA AEX FAA Alexandria LA AGC FAA Pittsburgh PA AKR FAA Akron OH ALI FAA Alice TX ALW FAA Walla Walla WA AMG FAA Alma GA ANB FAA Anniston AL AND FAA Anderson SC AOO FAA Altoona PA APA FAA Denver CO APC FAA Napa CA ARB FAA Ann Arbor MI ARR FAA Chicago/Aurora IL ART FAA Watertown NY ASE FAA Aspen CO AUG FAA Augusta ME AUW FAA Wausau WI BAF FAA Westfield MA BCE FAA Bryce Canyon UT BED FAA Bedford MA BFI FAA Seattle WA BHM FAA Birmingham AL BKE FAA Baker OR BLF FAA Bluefield WV BLH FAA Blythe CA BLI FAA Bellingham WA BTM FAA Butte MT BTT FAA Bettles AK BUR FAA Burbank CA BVY FAA Beverly MA BYI FAA Burley ID CCR FAA Concord CA CDC FAA Cedar City UT CDR FAA Chadron NE CDV FAA Cordova AK CDW FAA Caldwell NJ CHO FAA Charlottesville VA CKB FAA Clarksburg WV CMX FAA Hancock MI CNM FAA Carlsbad NM CNO FAA Chino CA COT FAA Cotulla TX CRE FAA North Myrtle Beach SC CSV FAA Crossville TN CXY FAA Harrisburg PA DAG FAA Daggett CA DAN FAA Danville VA DEC FAA Decatur IL DET FAA Detroit MI DHN FAA Dothan AL DHT FAA Dalhart TX DIK FAA Dickinson ND DLS FAA The Dalles OR DMN FAA Deming NM DVT FAA Phoenix AZ DXR FAA Danbury CT ELD FAA El Dorado AR ENA FAA Kenai AK EPH FAA Ephrata WA FLL FAA Fort Lauderdale FL FLO FAA Florence SC FMY FAA Fort Myers FL FPR FAA Fort Pierce FL FRG FAA Farmingdale NY FTY FAA Atlanta GA FUL FAA Fullerton CA FXE FAA Fort Lauderdale FL GFL FAA Glens Falls NY GGG FAA Longview TX GKN FAA Gulkana AK GLH FAA Greenville MS GMU FAA Greenville SC GNV FAA Gainesville FL GON FAA Groton/New London CT GPT FAA Gulfport MS GUP FAA Gallup NM HGR FAA Hagerstown MD HHR FAA Hawthorne CA HIO FAA Portland OR HKS FAA Jackson MS HOT FAA Hot Springs AR HOU FAA Houston TX HPN FAA White Plains NY HQM FAA Hoquiam WA HRO FAA Harrison AR HUL FAA Houlton ME HVN FAA New Haven CT HWD FAA Hayward CA HWO FAA Hollywood FL INK FAA Wink TX INT FAA Winston Salem NC IPL FAA Imperial CA ISP FAA Islip NY JBR FAA Jonesboro AR JMS FAA Jamestown ND JST FAA Johnstown PA LAR FAA Laramie WY LEB FAA Lebanon NH LFK FAA Lufkin TX LFT FAA Lafayette LA LIT FAA Little Rock AR LNR FAA Lone Rock WI LNS FAA Lancaster PA LOL FAA Lovelock NV LOU FAA Louisville KY LSE FAA La Crosse WI LVM FAA Livingston MT LVS FAA Las Vegas NM MBS FAA Saginaw MI MCB FAA McComb MS MCE FAA Merced CA MCW FAA Mason City IA MDT FAA Harrisburg PA MEM FAA Memphis TN MGW FAA Morgantown WV MIE FAA Muncie IN MIV FAA Millville NJ MLB FAA Melbourne FL MLS FAA Miles City MT MLU FAA Monroe LA MOD FAA Modesto CA MOT FAA Minot ND MRB FAA Martinsburg WV MSS FAA Massena NY MWL FAA Mineral Wells TX MYV FAA Marysville CA NEW FAA New Orleans LA OAK FAA Oakland CA OGD FAA Ogden UT ONT FAA Ontario CA OPF FAA Miami FL ORL FAA Orlando FL ORT FAA Northway AK OTM FAA Ottumwa IA OWD FAA Norwood MA PAE FAA Everett WA PBF FAA Pine Bluff AR PDK FAA Atlanta GA PFN FAA Panama City FL PHF FAA Newport News VA PIE FAA St. Petersburg/Clearwater FL PIR FAA Pierre SD PLN FAA Pellston MI POU FAA Poughkeepsie NY PRB FAA Paso Robles CA PRC FAA Prescott AZ PTK FAA Pontiac MI RAL FAA Riverside CA RDG FAA Reading PA RNT FAA Renton WA RSW FAA Fort Myers FL RWF FAA Redwood Falls MN RWI FAA Rocky Mount NC SBY FAA Salisbury MD SCC FAA Deadhorse AK SDL FAA Scottsdale AZ SFF FAA Spokane WA SJC FAA San Jose CA SMF FAA Sacramento CA SMO FAA Santa Monica CA SNA FAA Santa Ana CA SNS FAA Salinas CA SPG FAA St. Petersburg FL SRQ FAA Sarasota/Bradenton FL SSF FAA San Antonio TX SSI FAA Brunswick GA STS FAA Santa Rosa CA STT FAA Charlotte Amalie VI STX FAA Christiansted VI TAL FAA Tanana AK TCC FAA Tucumcari NM TCL FAA Tuscaloosa AL TIW FAA Tacoma WA TMB FAA Miami FL TPH FAA Tonopah NV TTD FAA Portland OR TVC FAA Traverse City MI TVL FAA South Lake Tahoe CA TYR FAA Tyler TX UCA FAA Utica NY VNY FAA Van Nuys CA VRB FAA Vero Beach FL WRL FAA Worland WY YIP FAA Detroit MI ZZV FAA Zanesville OH 07S EXP Deer Park WA 1S4 EXP Scappoose OR 29J EXP Rock Hill SC 2I8 EXP Newark OH 3SM EXP Shelbyville IN 5B5 EXP Bennington VT 6B1 EXP Rochester NH 6R0 EXP Slidell LA 7G2 EXP Ashtabula OH AKH EXP Gastonia NC AQT EXP Nuiqsut AK ARA EXP New Iberia LA ASX EXP Ashland WI AVX EXP Avalon CA AWI EXP Wainwright AK BPK EXP Mountain Home AR BUY EXP Burlington NC BVO EXP Bartlesville OK BYG EXP Buffalo WY CEU EXP Clemson SC CKV EXP Clarksville TN CLM EXP Port Angeles WA CNY EXP Moab UT CUB EXP Columbia SC DEE EXP Deering AK DEQ EXP De Queen AR DGW EXP Douglas WY DSV EXP Dansville NY DYL EXP Doylestown PA E02 EXP Odessa TX EAA EXP Eagle AK EAT EXP Wenatchee WA EET EXP Alabaster AL EKO EXP Elko NV ELN EXP Ellensburg WA ELZ EXP Wellsville NY EQY EXP Monroe NC EVW EXP Evanston WY FOK EXP Westhampton Beach NY FWN EXP Sussex NJ GEY EXP Greybull WY GRD EXP Greenwood SC HBG EXP Hattiesburg MS HIB EXP Hibbing MN HKA EXP Blytheville AR HNS EXP Haines AK HWV EXP Shirley NY IAG EXP Niagara Falls NY IGX EXP Chapel Hill NC KAL EXP Kaltag AK KVL EXP Kivalina AK L32 EXP Oceanside CA LBT EXP Lumberton NC LBX EXP Angleton/Lake Jackson TX LGU EXP Logan UT LLQ EXP Monticello AR MAE EXP Madera CA MEB EXP Maxton NC MMK EXP Meriden CT MNN EXP Marion OH MPO EXP Mt. Pocono PA MRH EXP Beaufort NC MTH EXP Marathon FL N52 EXP Somerville NJ N97 EXP Clearfield PA OLF EXP Wolf Point MT OLS EXP Nogales AZ OVE EXP Oroville CA OVS EXP Boscobel WI OXB EXP Ocean City MD PLB EXP Plattsburgh NY PNC EXP Ponca City OK POR EXP Portage Glacier AK PSF EXP Pittsfield MA PTW EXP Pottstown PA PUC EXP Price UT PUW EXP Pullman/Moscow WA RHI EXP Rhinelander WI RUE EXP Russellville AR RZZ EXP Roanoke Rapids NC SJN EXP St. Johns AZ SLK EXP Saranac Lake NY T31 EXP Port Isabel TX TOI EXP Troy AL TOR EXP Torrington WY TRM EXP Palm Springs CA VPC EXP Cartersville GA WST EXP Westerly RI WVI EXP Watsonville CA ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 18:34:02 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Slight Change to Weather Watch Statements Public Information Statement National Weather Service Headquarters Washington DC 1135 AM EDT Mon Apr 27 1998 To: National Weather Service /NWS/ employees...Family of Services /FOS/ subscribers...Noaa Weather Wire Service /NWWS/ subscribers...other NWS customers From: Donald R. Wernly...Chief...Customer Service Subject: Change to mass news disseminator for severe thunderstorm and tornado watch narrative...effective June 30 1998 Beginning Monday...June 30 1998 at 700 Am CDT / 1200 Universal Time Coordinated or UTC/ ...severe thunderstorm and tornado watches will have a slightly revised mass news disseminator. The changed format will be consistent with changes made beginning April 15 1998 to short-fuse warnings. In accordance with standards of mass news dissemination agencies...the word /URGENT/ will replace the word /BULLETIN/ in all severe thunderstorm and tornado watches. [Note: the word /BULLETIN/ is used only for short fuse warnings.]. The format will appears as follows: MKCSELn Where n is the last digit of the watch number Wwus9 KMKC ddhhmm dd is the day...hhmm the hour/ minute Mkc Ww ddhhmm ssz000-ddhhmm- ss is the state and ddhhmm is the expiration date/time in day/hour/minute URGENT - IMMEDIATE Broadcast Requested {severe thunderstorm/tornado} WATCH NUMBER xxxx STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK {date/time/date group} Any questions or comments may be directed to William Alexander Donald Wernly Office of Meteorology W/OM11 Chief...Customer Service 1325 East West HWY...SSMC2 same address Silver Spring, MD 20910 ..... Ph. 301-713-0090 Ext. 115 Ph. 301-713-0090 Ext. 138 ...Note to Internet users... This and all other pending nws service change notifications are available on the NWS Office of Meteorology/s home page in the notification section. The address of the notification section /in small case letters/ is: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/notif.htm *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Apr 1998 18:13:17 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: AWOS Stations Not on FOS Federal FAA AWOS Sites Not Yet Available on FOS 90LA NEW ORLEANS/SUPERDOME LA AJO CORONA CA DWU ASHLAND KY EKY BESSEMER AL FCI RICHMOND/CHESTERFIELD CO VA GAI GAITHERSBURG MD GVQ BATAVIA NY HXD HILTON HEAD ISLAND SC ISM ORLANDO/KISSIMMEE FL JRB NEW YORK/WALL STREET NY LZU LAWRENCEVILLE GA MJX TOMS RIVER NJ MKY MARCO ISLAND FL OKK KOKOMO IN PVG PORTSMOUTH VA RYY MARIETTA/COBB COUNTY GA AGL GOLOVIN AK PAII EGEGIK AK PAJC CHIGNIK BAY AK Non-Federal FAA AWOS Sites Not Yet Available on FOS 4A9 FORT PAYNE AL AL15 GULF SHORES AL AZC COLORADO CITY AZ CHD CHANDLER AZ E14 TUCSON/AVRA VALLEY AZ HII LAKE HAVASU CITY AZ PBY KAYENTA AZ RYN TUSCON/RYAN AZ 0O3 SAN ANDREAS CA DLO DELANO CA FCH FRESNO/DOWNTOWN CA L35 BIG BEAR CA LHM LINCOLN CA O22 COLUMBIA CA SBD SAN BERNADINO CA SSFO? SAN BRUNO HILL CA FTG DENVER/FRONT RANGE CO EVY MIDDLETOWN DE LCQ LAKE CITY FL SUA STUART FL VNC VENICE FL 3J7 GREENSBORO GA AYS WAYCROSS GA CKF CORDELE GA CZM CASTMAN-DODGE COUNTY GA DJD(47A) CANTON GA DNN DALTON GA DQH DOUGLAS GA FZG FITZGERALD GA JZP JASPER GA LGC LA GRANGE GA OKZ SANDERSVILLE GA OPN THOMASTON GA SBO SWAINSBORO GA TBR STATESBORO GA TVI THOMASVILLE GA 1H2 EFFINGHAM IL 2I5 RANTOUL IL 3LC LINCOLN IL DNV DANVILLE IL GBG GALESBURG IL I88 PONTIAC IL IGQ CHICAGO/LANSING IL IKK KANKAKEE IL MQB MACOMB IL TAZ TAYLORVILLE IL VYS PERU IL ASW WARSAW IN MZZ MARION IN CBK COLBY KS 1A6 MIDDLESBORO KY 1M9 CADIZ KY 27K GEORGETOWN KY 2I0 MADISONVILLE KY 7K0 PIKEVILLE KY AAS CAMPBELLSVILLE KY CEY MURRAY KY DVK DANVILLE KY EKX ELIZABETHTOWN KY FGX FLEMINGSBURG KY GLW GLASGOW KY HVC HOPKINSVILLE KY IOB MOUNT STERLING KY K22 PRESTONBURG KY M21 GREENVILLE KY M25 MAYFIELD KY M34 GILBERTSVILLE KY K24 JAMESTOWN KY 2F8 BASTROP LA HMU HAMMOND LA IER NATCHITOCHES LA CBE CUMBERLAND MD ESN EASTON MD FDK FREDERICK MD W54 WESTMINSTER MD MZH MOOSE LAKE MN Y29 GLENCOE MN Y33 MAPLE LAKE MN M58 MONETT MO MHL MARSHALL MO CKM CLARKSDALE MS CRX CORINTH MS JQF CONCORD NC LUL LAUREL MS RNV CLEVELAND MS UOX OXFORD MS 1A5 FRANKLIN NC RUQ SALISBURY NC TDF ROXBORO NC UKF NORTH WILKESBORO NC BPP BOMAN ND BWP WAHPETON ND MLE OMAHA/MILLARD NE SVC SILVER CITY NM 4SD RENO/STEAD NV CXP CARSON CITY NV 1B1 HUDSON NY 5B2 SARATOGA SPRINGS NY N03 CORTLAND NY N17 ENDICOTT NY OIC NORWICH NY PTD POTSDAM NY AXV WAPAKONETA OH CDI CAMBRIDGE OH I78 MARYSVILLE OH PCW PORT CLINTON OH PMH PORTSMOUTH OH UNI ATHENS/ALBANY OH 1F0 ARDMORE/DOWNTOWN OK ADH ADA OK OK78 WATONGA OK OUN NORMAN OK RKR POTEAU OK WWR WOODWARD OK 2G3 CONNELLSVILLE PA 2G9 SOMERSET PA 40N COATESVILLE PA HMZ BEDFORD PA HZL HAZELTON PA N70 PERKASIE PA OYM ST MARY'S PA RVL REEDSVILLE PA ZER POTTSVILLE PA 7A1 GREENVILLED/DONALDSON SC GGE GEORGETOWN SC RBW WALTERBORO SC SPA SPARTANSBURG SC 0A9 ELIZABETHTON TN 1M5 PORTLAND TN 2A0 DAYTON TN 2M2 LAWRENCEBURG TN 6A4 MOUNTAIN CITY TN 8A3 LIVINGSTON TN BGF WINCHESTER TN DKX KNOXVILLE/DOWNTOWN TN FYE SOMERVILLE TN FYM FAYETTEVILLE TN GCY GREENEVILLE TN GKT SEVIERVILLE TN GZS PULASKI TN HZD HUNTINGDON TN JAU JACKSBORO TN JWN NASHVILLE/TUNE TN LUG LEWISBURG TN M02 DICKSON TN M04 COVINGTON TN M08 BOLIVAR TN M33 GALLATIN TN M52 LEXINGTON TN M54 LEBANON TN M91 SPRINGFIELD TN MBT MURFREESBORO TN MMI ATHENS TN MOR MORRISTOWN TN MRC COLUMBIA/MOUNT PLEASANT TN PHT PARIS TN RNC MCMINNVILLE TN SCX ONEIDA TN SNH SAVANNAH TN SRB SPARTA TN SYI SHELBYVILLE TN THA TULLAHOMA TN UCY UNION CITY TN 22XS KILLEN/LONGHORN TX 81R SAN SABA TX BBD BRADY TX BWD BROWNWOOD TX CNW WACO/TSTC TX T65 WESLACO TX BDG BLANDING UT BMC BRIGHAM CITY UT DTA DELTA UT U42 SALT LAKE CITY/MUNI 2 UT 6V3 RICHLANDS VA CPK CHESAPEAKE VA SFQ SUFFOLK VA OEO OSCEOLA WI I18 RAVENSWOOD WV W99 PETERSBURG WV 3I2 POINT PLEASANT WV EMM KEMMERER WY ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Apr 1998 to 27 Apr 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Thu Apr 30 15:44:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-6689>; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 13:22:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21604; Wed, 29 Apr 1998 00:08:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199804290508.AAA21604@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 00:01:13 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Apr 1998 to 28 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 02bfd98084def0b5f04cf7bd34f72297 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 514 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Thanks; More El Nino! 2. WX-TALK Digest - 26 Apr 1998 to 27 Apr 1998 - Special issue 3. The Weather Channel/Severe Season '98 4. Re[2]: Station Information 5. tornadoes on the Sun...SOHO/ESA news 6. OPRAH-STORM SAFETY 7. Weather Channel Rated "Most Cluttered" +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 04:01:51 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: Thanks; More El Nino! To all of those who answered my query about the Kelvin waves, thanks! Your insight turned out to be very helpful. Anyway, once again, I must report that El Nino is still not shrinking, and has not done so for at least a month. By looking at the SST loop at http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/mext/climate_pages/sst_olr/sst_anim.shtml, as well as other Nino-related sites on the web, it can easily be determined that the size of El Nino and the intensity is unchanged since late March. I don't know very few people from the media are reporting this (although I have seen several discussions about this on a newsgroup), but El Nino is really looking awfully similar to the El Nino of 1983, which regenerated after several months of weakening. But at this point, I wouldn't be shocked if El Nino has other tricks up its sleeve! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 09:03:02 -0500 From: Colin Meyer Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Apr 1998 to 27 Apr 1998 - Special issue If there is anyone knowledgeable about the Canadian Weather Service and how if differs or is the same as NOAA/NWS with respect to Weatheradios, I'd like to find out more about the differences. Are the frequencies different? same? Is SAME technology used? Is the alert system similar? This kind of info. thaniks I can be reached at: cmeyer1@tandy.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 10:39:49 -0400 From: Patrick Walshe Subject: The Weather Channel/Severe Season '98 The Weather Channel will be spending the next six to eight weeks in the Plains region as part of our Severe Season '98 coverage. Our satellite uplink truck will be positioned in the region throughout this time period. We are seeking to purchase storm related video from any interested parties. We are always interested in video, but for the next six weeks we will be able to facilitate the uplink process with our sat truck. We are seeking any type of storm related video...from hail and heavy rain up to and including tornadic stuff. Wall clouds, storm structure, even damage are viable also. The key, for us, is to get it here to TWC in a timely fashion. Hence, we will be moving our truck around trying to aid in the uplink process. We can take virtually any type of format; Hi-8, SVHS, VHS-C, Beta, DVC(please check for sure on this one, we are set for most types) Our "assignment desk" is staffed from 6am to 11:30pm 7 days per week, and we will have staff to answer the phones during the overnight hours. If you do not speak with someone, our voice mail will be checked each morning at 6am eastern. A big question from many people concerns rights. When we enter into a deal, we are purchasing your video to use on our air. It may play during WeatherCenter, Storm Watch, promos of our programming, or it may show up in Weather Rewind. It will NOT be repackaged and/or sold in any format whatsoever without first obtaining rights from you. With regards to purchasing video, the video coordinators will make the determination whether or not TWC will purchase a piece of video. They will also negotiate the purchase price. There may already be footage of the storm. There may already be enough of a specific kind of video in house, or the video coordinators may have hit their limit for the day. It "pays" to talk to us as early as you possibly can. How to contact us: TWC has a 24 hour video line...800-892-7425. Dwight, Eileen, and Rong Rong are at the desk and they can let you know where the TWC sat truck is or the closest uplink. If you have a billing problem, you can reach me by e-mail (pwalshe@weather.com) or via the desk at the video line number. Patrick Walshe Assignment Manager pwalshe@weather.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 08:39:11 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re[2]: Station Information ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: Re: Station Information Author: Rob Cermak Date: 4/26/98 10:53 AM > Date: Sat, 25 Apr 1998 14:26:43 -0400 > From: "Boris A. Konon" > Subject: Station Information > > Wx-talkers, > > Does anyone have station information for the following international > codes that send Metars. > > ESOK (Sweden) Source: http://www.smhi.se/sgn0104/flyg/met_taf.htm --> Karlstad ESOK position 59d22m N 13d28m E 50meters > FBMP (Botswana) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml FBMP - Mahalapye 23d5m S 26d48m E 1006 meters > MHNO (Honduras) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml > OEKB (Saudi Arabia) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml I would like to ID these two stations as well. > RCLT (Taiwan) Not found, referenced on : http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/metarwfs.shtml RCLT - Lu-Tao 22d41m N 121d30m E 280 meters Hope this helps! Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 17:19:20 -0400 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: tornadoes on the Sun...SOHO/ESA news Nr 15-98 - Paris, 24 April 1998 ------------------------------------------------ Surprises from SOHO include tornadoes on the Sun ------------------------------------------------ The Sun has tall gyrating storms far larger and faster than tornadoes on the Earth. This unexpected finding is among the latest results from the solar spacecraft SOHO, to be announced at a European Space Agency press briefing on 28 April. British scientists discovered the solar tornadoes in images and data from SOHO's scanning spectrometer CDS. So far they have detected a dozen such events. They occur most frequently near the north and south poles of the Sun and are almost as wide as the Earth. Steady windspeeds of 15 kilometres per second and gusts ten times faster (which means 500,000 kilometres per hour) occur in the solar tornadoes. For comparison, tornadoes on the Earth blow at 400-500 kilometres per hour. The solar measurements are made by the Doppler effect -- the same principle as that used by police radars to detect speeding motorists. The observed wavelength of emission from hot oxygen atoms changes according to whether the gas is moving towards the detector or away from it, and the CDS instrument is very sensitive to these variations. One of SOHO's main tasks is to trace the sources of the wind from the Sun that pervades the Solar System. Gusts and shocks in the solar wind buffet the Earth's environment, causing auroras and magnetic storms and endangering satellites and power supplies. The newly discovered tornadoes may contribute to the solar wind, especially to a fast windstream that emanates from relatively cool parts of the solar atmosphere called coronal holes. "We see the hot gas in the tornadoes spiralling away from the Sun and gathering speed," says David Pike of the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, UK, who is co-discoverer of the solar tornadoes with Helen Mason of Cambridge University. "These spectacular events in the Sun's atmosphere must have widespread effects. Our next step will be to try to relate the solar tornadoes to observations of the fast solar wind farther out in space, as seen by other instruments in SOHO." Built in Europe for the European Space Agency, SOHO carries twelve sets of instruments provided by European and American investigators, and it was dispatched into space on 2 December 1995 by a NASA launcher. SOHO is a project of international cooperation between ESA and NASA. Other news items concerning SOHO, included in what follows, are: - The threat to technology from the increasingly active Sun. - An explanation of why the Sun's atmosphere is so hot. - A puzzle about why the Sun's thermonuclear core seems too cool. - The Sun's game of tennis with alien atoms. The Sunspot Bug SOHO's scientists gathered at the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory this week, on the second anniversary of full scientific operations which began in April 1996. They are celebrating the decision by ESA and NASA to extend their mission to 2003. This means that SOHO, having observed the Sun in its quietest state in 1996, will also see it at its most tumultuous, when the count of dark sunspots on the Sun's face rises to a maximum around the year 2000. During the last sunspot maximum, in 1989-91, solar storms caused power failures in Canada and Sweden and destroyed or damaged several satellites. Some computers crashed as a result of impacts by solar particles. Since then the human species has become more dependent upon satellites and computers, and advanced microchips are more vulnerable to the Sun's electromagnetic effects and particles. To the Millennium Bug, a problem involving software in the transition to the year 2000, one must add the physical threat of the Sunspot Bug. SOHO is the world's chief watchdog for the Sun. From a special vantage point 1.5 million kilometres out in space, where the Sun never sets, the spacecraft observes solar activity for 24 hours a day. Its images go to the regional warning centres of the International Space Environment Service, which alert engineers responsible for power systems, spacecraft and other technological systems to impending effects on the Earth's environment. Western Europe is served from Paris-Meudon where forecasters obtain, every day, SOHO's images of the whole Sun at four wavelengths from the extreme ultraviolet imaging telescope EIT. Developed and operated by a French-led consortium, EIT is like a weather satellite for the Sun. Its images reveal the scenes of intense activity in the Sun's atmosphere that can trigger solar flares and mass ejections. SOHO's visible-light coronagraph LASCO, provided by a US-led team, demonstrated in April 1997 its special ability to spot a mass ejection heading towards the Earth, where it caused a mild storm. CELIAS (currently under Swiss leadership) is the solar-wind instrument on SOHO, which confirms the arrival of a mass ejection 30-60 minutes before it reaches the Earth. By measuring the speed and density of the material ejected from the Sun, CELIAS gives a clear warning of the likely severity of the storm. As the solar storms increase in ferocity and frequency in the next year or two, so will SOHO's importance in this regard. It is the flagship of a multinational fleet of spacecraft monitoring the Sun and its effects. Other members of the fleet include the ESA-NASA Ulysses solar-polar spacecraft and the forthcoming ESA-NASA flotilla of four satellites, Cluster II, to observe and interpret effects in the Earth's vicinity. In all of this work, the monitoring of the Sun goes hand-in-hand with fundamental research and discovery. "The scientific surprises announced today illustrate SOHO's special role," says Roger Bonnet, ESA's director of science. "To make sense of the Sun, and if possible to forecast the storms and long-terms changes which affect our technology and our weather on the Earth, are urgent tasks for space research. While SOHO provides early warnings of solar outbursts, it also looks for unknown and basic features of the Sun that may make forecasting better. In SOHO the distinction between "useful" and "fundamental" science is abolished." The Sun's super-hot and dynamic atmosphere SOHO has recently solved part of a long-standing mystery about the Sun, according to Eric Priest of St Andrews University, UK, who reviewed its achievements in fundamental studies of the Sun's atmosphere at today's press briefing. For more than half a century, scientists have known that the atmosphere reaches temperatures of millions of degrees C, compared with less than 6000 degrees at the Sun's visible surface. How does the atmosphere become so astoundingly hot? "SOHO casts doubt on one leading theory of the atmospheric heating, and confirms another," says Priest. "We have checked the idea that magnetic waves might be responsible. We have been able to observe for the first time some of the proposed waves, but they fade out before they reach the hottest part of the atmosphere. On the other hand we now have plenty of evidence that at least part of the heating comes from a clash of magnetic field lines. They tangle like spaghetti in the solar atmosphere and reconnect, causing thousands of explosions every day that release energy into the atmosphere. The beauty and elegance of this theory is that it explains a wide variety of different phenomena in a natural way." The evidence includes an ever-changing carpet of outgoing and ingoing magnetic fields on the Sun's visible surface. US scientists using SOHO's MDI/SOI instrument have discovered that the pattern of the magnetic carpet changes completely every 40 hours. That implies a continual rearrangement of loops in the atmosphere, by magnetic reconnections. The resulting explosions appear as jets of gas detected by SOHO's SUMER instrument, and as bright spots called blinkers in the CDS instrument. The newly-found solar tornadoes also figured in Priest's review of SOHO's achievements. They reveal just how dynamic the atmosphere is, and may well be an important cause of the solar wind. One of SOHO's specified tasks is to trace the origins of the solar wind and the accelerators that drive it out into the Solar System in all directions. The coronal holes from which the fast solar wind emanates are concentrated towards the Sun's poles. In these regions the local magnetic field creates no barrier to hot gas leaving the Sun and attaining a windspeed of 750 kilometres per second. By contrast, the magnetically congested equatorial zone is the source of a relatively slow and variable solar wind of around 400 kilometres per second. In an early result from SOHO, members of the US-led team for the ultraviolet coronagraph UVCS detected a remarkable acceleration of oxygen atoms leaving the Sun from the relatively cool coronal holes, the source of the fast wind. The team suggests twisting magnetic waves as the driver. These are possibly related to the tornadoes. As for the slow wind, the visible-light coronagraph LASCO observes many large and small mass ejections leaving the Sun, propelled by major and minor explosions. Several mass ejections can occur almost simultaneously at widely scattered places in the Sun's equatorial zone. LASCO team members in the UK consider that the mass ejections contribute an important fraction of the slow wind, and that the material can undergo acceleration at a wide range of distances from the Sun. Puzzles of the Sun's interior While SOHO's MDI/SOI routinely provides the best-ever charts of the Sun's magnetism, its main task is to look inside the Sun, by the technique of helioseismology. At a million points all across the Sun's visible face, the instrument measures vertical motions in the surface due to sound waves reverberating through the Sun. Scientists interpret the rhythms to reveal temperatures and motions in the gas of the Sun's interior, in much the same way as seismologists probe the layers of the Earth's interior by analysing earthquake waves. In an astonishing series of "firsts" the MDI/SOI team charted flows of gas just beneath the Sun's visible surface, and related these to the upwelling and downflows of large convection eddies down to newly-measured depths. The team also detected a slow flow of sub-surface material from the equator to the poles, and carefully measured the different rotation rates around the Sun's north-south axis of gas at different latitudes and depths. An important change in rotation rates occurs between the turbulent convection zone, below the visible surface, and the more orderly radiation zone deeper inside the Sun. Here scientists hope that they can locate the source of the magnetic field that causes so much agitation at the surface. At present new results from MDI/SOI are appearing in leading scientific journals at a rate of about one a week. SOHO gives the helioseismologists a space platform unaffected by weather or sunsets, where their instruments can record solar oscillations without interruption for years on end. That is a requirement for the most exact work, where the scientists are looking for small, tell-tale differences between SOHO's observations and the predictions from their theories of how the Sun works. The accumulated data from other helioseismic instruments on SOHO are, after two years, just reaching the stage where new conclusions may be drawn. The French-led GOLF consortium and the Swiss-led VIRGO team observe the grosser modes of oscillation of the whole Sun. The GOLF instrument detects vertical motions while VIRGO sees rhythmic variations in the Sun's brightness due to the sound waves. The fine details of oscillations detected by MDI/SOI are unrivalled for probing the turbulent outer regions of the Sun. The oscillations recorded by GOLF and VIRGO are most effective for probing deep into the solar interior, right down to the core, where the thermonuclear reactions occur which power the Sun. When scientists combine the results from SOHO's helioseismic instruments, they detect small but important divergences from what their theories predict for the core. "I've long suspected that the Sun's core may be lopsided," comments Douglas Gough of Cambridge University, UK, in appraising SOHO's helioseismic results. "That could explain why much of the Sun's core appears to be too cool to explain the output of light from the surface. >From the latest compilations of SOHO data we are now getting strong indications that the Sun's core is not quite as theorists thought it should be. We hope that by 2003 we shall have accumulated enough data to settle these profound and important issues." The rotation rates of the Sun's outer regions, as measured with MDI/SOI, decline steadily, northwards and southwards from the equator, and then show a small but distinct drop in the rotation speed near the poles. This could be due to a braking action of the Sun's magnetic field, and Gough thinks it may be related to the production of the fast solar wind coming from the polar regions. When the wind from the Sun meets a breeze from the stars SOHO's solar-wind instrument CELIAS quickly distinguished itself by detecting many heavy chemical elements among the charged atoms in the solar wind, which were previously unrecorded. The CELIAS team has gone on to study differences between the slow and fast solar winds. These appear both in the proportions of various elements, and in the extent of their ionization (loss of electrons). The information feeds back into the theories of how the solar windstreams are accelerated out of the Sun. But the Sun is not alone in the Universe, and SOHO is bathed in streams of particles coming both from the Sun and from cosmic space, where the Sun cruises through thin interstellar gas. The solar wind blows a huge bubble called the heliosphere, which deflects charged atoms of alien origin. Neutral atoms, on the other hand, penetrate the heliosphere to appear as an interstellar breeze blowing through the Solar System. The SWAN instrument on SOHO, provided by a French-Finnish team, sees interstellar hydrogen as a glow of ultraviolet light in the whole sky. The glow is brighter from the incoming breeze, upwind of the Sun. Encounters with the solar wind tear the electrons from the hydrogen atoms and stop their ultraviolet emission, so downwind from the Sun SOHO sees a cavity in the glow. The SWAN team has now analysed two years of data to deduce the speed of the interstellar breeze relative to the Sun, and has pinpointed its source direction more accurately than ever before. The breeze blows from the direction of the constellation Ophiuchus, close to Scorpius (in astronomical coordinates, Right Ascension 16h 36 min, declination minus 13 deg. 39 arcmin). Hydrogen is not the only element in the interstellar breeze, and early in December 1997, SOHO ran into a focused stream of helium gas from the stars. At that time the breeze was coming almost directly from beyond the Sun, as seen by SOHO. The Sun's gravity deflected the helium atoms towards a broad focus straddling the orbits of the Earth and of SOHO. The ultraviolet coronagraph UVCS registered a big increase in helium in a halo around the Sun. CELIAS detects interstellar atoms that become charged and accelerated in encounters with the solar wind. These "pick-up ions" are swept back towards the edge of the heliosphere, where a permanent shock wave energizes them even more and returns some of them to the inner Solar System. This heliospheric tennis produces particles seen as fake (anomalous) cosmic rays by the COSTEP and ERNE particle detectors on SOHO, supplied by German-led and Finnish-led teams. The anomalous cosmic rays are mixed with true galactic cosmic rays from exploded stars in the Milky Way. COSTEP and ERNE also register energetic particles coming directly from the Sun, especially after major eruptions in the solar atmosphere. The lastest success for SOHO concerning the interstellar influx is the detection by CELIAS of energetic neutral hydrogen atoms, which reveals baseline play in Nature's heliospheric tennis. The discoverers, Martin Hilchenbach of MPAe, Germany, and Johnny Hsieh of the University of Arizona, explain them as anomalous cosmic rays that escape to the interstellar medium, recover their lost electrons, and make a return trip into the Solar System. These neutrals, like the anomalous cosmic rays, give scientists clues to disturbances near the boundary of the heliosphere, many billions of kilometres away. "It's been extremely gratifying that a spacecraft designed to look at the Sun can also tell us so much about the local interstellar neighbourhood the Solar System is travelling through," says Antoinette Galvin of the University of New Hampshire, in assessing the successes of the particle and solar-wind instruments on SOHO. "SOHO is sampling the material from which future stars and planets may be formed." For further information contact: ESA Public Relations Division Tel: +33(0)1.53.69.71.55 Fax: +33(0)1.53.69.76.90 Dr. Vicento Domingo ESA Project Scientist for SOHO Tel: +1.301.286.4144 Fax: +1.301.286.1617 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 23:40:24 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: OPRAH-STORM SAFETY This Thursday, April 30th, Oprah is devoting her show to STORM SAFETY. Featured guests are Tim Marshall and Al Roker. Eyewitness accounts of the Tennessee tornadoes also will be presented. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 00:19:37 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: Weather Channel Rated "Most Cluttered" Ad groups say prime-time commercials at record level By DAVID BAUDER Associated Press Television Writer NEW YORK -- No need to rush on that bathroom break. Chances are the commercials will still be on when you're done. Prime-time television had more ads than ever last year, with the amount of time spent on commercials growing by nearly two minutes since the start of the decade, a study has concluded. The top four broadcast networks ran an average of 11 minutes, 12 seconds of commercials during each hour of prime-time last November, up from 9:38 in November 1991, according to a report commissioned by two advertising trade groups. Add in network promotions and public service announcements, and there is just over 15 minutes of what ad agencies call ``clutter'' during a typical prime-time hour. ``My personal feeling is that they've pretty much maxed out,'' said Steve Grubbs of the BBDO advertising agency, which conducted the study. Networks have been forced to increase the amount of commercial time to keep making money while the ``product'' they sell to advertisters -- the captive viewers -- is dwindling in size, Grubbs said. In addition to the extra commercial time, there's been a tendency during the 1990s toward running shorter, 15-second ads. That means viewers are inundated with more messages, and some advertisers are concerned that theirs won't get through, he said. Fox led the major broadcasters with 15:54 of commercials and promotions during an average prime-time hour, the study said. ABC was second at 15:44, NBC had 15:19 and CBS had 14:29. Daytime television is even more cluttered. The four networks showed nearly 20 minutes of commercials and promotions during an average hour of daytime TV, the study said. Most of the increase is due to commercials sold by networks to national advertisers. The level of promotional announcements and local ads sold in each market has stayed relatively stable throughout the 1990s. The prime-time show with the greatest amount of non-program time among the top four networks last November was ``America's Funniest Home Videos,'' on ABC, the study said. NBC's ``Working'' was second. Some of television's most popular shows weren't necessarily the most ad-filled. NBC's ``Seinfeld'' ranked 52nd among 78 shows measured in the amount of commercial time. ``ER'' was ranked 57th. ``Buffy the Vampire Slayer'' on the emerging WB network had a whopping 23:46 minutes of commercial and promotional time per hour, by far the most of any show. The Weather Channel was the cable network with the most clutter during an average hour last November, when the study was conducted. The Discovery Network had the least. With networks forced to pay more in order to keep their top shows on the air, experts say there will be an even greater temptation to fit in more commercials in the future. During the next month, the bulk of the advertising time offered by networks for the next television season is sold. Joseph Abruzzese, president of sales for CBS Television, said he did not expect commercial time to go up next year. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Apr 1998 to 28 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Apr 30 15:45:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1396 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625914-25230>; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:17:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21966; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:05:02 -0500 Message-Id: <199804300505.AAA21966@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Apr 1998 to 29 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 86b3138f3ec96e26d9b98a30b42d1b9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 295 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. OPRAH-STORM SAFETY 2. The Weather Channel/Severe Season '98 (advertisment question) 3. Testing sirens, a modest proposal (3) 4. Sirens (2) 5. DOWNTOWN BALTIMORE ASOS 6. VIDEO RATES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 22:00:56 -0700 From: Richard Van Dijk Subject: Re: OPRAH-STORM SAFETY Congratulations, just make sure your zipper is shut, before you go on camera. :-) R. -----Original Message----- From: tim p. marshall <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Date: Tuesday, April 28, 1998 8:52 PM Subject: OPRAH-STORM SAFETY >This Thursday, April 30th, Oprah is devoting her show to STORM SAFETY. >Featured guests are Tim Marshall and Al Roker. Eyewitness accounts of the >Tennessee tornadoes also will be presented. > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 01:36:34 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Re: The Weather Channel/Severe Season '98 (advertisment question) Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 10:39:49 -0400 From: Patrick Walshe Subject: The Weather Channel/Severe Season '98 >The Weather Channel will be spending the next six to eight weeks in >the Plains region as part of our Severe >Season '98 coverage. Our satellite >uplink truck will be positioned in the region throughout this time period. >We are seeking to purchase storm related video from any interested parties. >We are always interested in video, >but for the next six weeks we will be able >to facilitate the uplink process with our sat truck. We are seeking etc, etc, etc while we have the TWC onboard, I would like to ask a question: *on your advertising* one of your new comercials states : "never any reruns" referring to your live broadcasts, what about from midnight to 5 am EDT/EST where taped wx segments are running over and over and over each hour and the lack of up to date radar and statellite segments ??? I know during big svr wx events, it's live, but what about other nights? isn't this false advertising ? - or has that trend changed and your OCM's are live 24 hours a day every day ? just curious RVT ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 02:19:24 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Testing sirens, a modest proposal Hi All: Had to pass this information along - re how best to test siren systems and have practice alerts and the like. The community of Cannon Beach, Oregon, has a siren system for a typical coastal hazard - Tsunamis. Several years back a local official came up with a way to test the sirens weekly without having to run them in warning mode. So once a week - the low brooding cry of the milk cow is heard drifting over the beachs, hills and lowlands. Richard Halter ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 11:20:17 -0500 From: Phil Fleming Subject: Re: Testing sirens, a modest proposal So how does he know the sirens will actually work in "warning" mode, which is the whole point of testing them? Richard Halter rjhstorm@proaxis.com wrote: > The community of Cannon Beach, Oregon, has a siren system for a typical >coastal hazard - Tsunamis. Several years back a local official came up with a >way to test the sirens weekly without having to run them in warning mode. > > So once a week - the low brooding cry of the milk cow is heard >drifting over the beachs, hills and lowlands. > > >Richard Halter -- Phil Philip B. "Phil" Fleming Deputy Director Fulton County Emergency Services and Disaster Agency Canton, Illinois, USA pfleming@netins.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 13:48:33 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Testing sirens, a modest proposal On Wed, 29 Apr 1998, rjhstorm wrote: > The community of Cannon Beach, Oregon, has a siren system for a typical > coastal hazard - Tsunamis. Several years back a local official came up with a > way to test the sirens weekly without having to run them in warning mode. > > So once a week - the low brooding cry of the milk cow is heard > drifting over the beachs, hills and lowlands. That's....erm....*interesting*. :) One question on this, though--are they using an actual siren, or just really huge speakers with a recorded siren sound? (Yes, there's a reason I ask. I was not aware you could make a standard siren [like from the Cold War era and meant for bombs and tornados] moo. :) If you could, this could be quite interesting. :) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 13:18:04 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Sirens Hi Everyone Wet weather here in Illinois...hopefully we will actually make in into the 80s by May? Anyway....my community recently purchased new sirens. There are times when instead of testing them (full blast) they simply allow just enough juice to crank them up enough that it sounds like...pardon the analysis...a cow (kinda like every tornado sounds like a train). I think the point that RJ was trying to make was that you do not have to test the sirens at full blast in order to find out if they are working properly. I am not totally sure what the purpose of this would be except that it would keep people from ignoring them (as just another test) when the time comes for them to be used. I did not realize that Oregon needed tornado sirens...lol...or are they for Mt. St. Helens? Just curious.... Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html "If hell freezes over you will hear about it first from us" TWC ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 16:20:11 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Sirens On Wed, 29 Apr 1998, Derek Dodson wrote: > Hi Everyone > > Wet weather here in Illinois...hopefully we will actually make in into > the 80s by May? > > Anyway....my community recently purchased new sirens. There are times > when instead of testing them (full blast) they simply allow just enough > juice to crank them up enough that it sounds like...pardon the > analysis...a cow (kinda like every tornado sounds like a train). Oh dear, so Oregon isn't the only place with mooing sirens :) Again, though, my question is--can this be done with older ones? (Louisville, for example, has sirens dating back all the way to 1974 [there was an installation rush, thanks to an F4 that decided to visit Cherokee Park and the surrounding area] and all. Stuff that was originally meant for when folks were scared the Russians were going to bomb us all back to the Stone Age. :P) > I think the point that RJ was trying to make was that you do not have to > test the sirens at full blast in order to find out if they are working > properly. I am not totally sure what the purpose of this would be > except that it would keep people from ignoring them (as just another > test) when the time comes for them to be used. This might depend on the kind of siren. I know the electronic ones can vary pitch and volume. I don't know on the older "mechanical" ones. (Again, I ask the question--can one make an old siren from the Cold War era moo? :) I was under the understanding the older sirens had exactly three or four settings: a) off b) solid blasts for tornado warnings b) up- and-down "air raid siren" noise [meant for nukes] d) short solid blasts for all-clear [either the bomb didn't fall on you or the tornado is gone]. Hence my questions.) It's probably reduce the chances of someone thinking a siren is going off just for "a test" if severe weather were to strike on the exact test-time on the usual test-day. I have known of very few tornadoes that have hit *exactly* at noon on a Tuesday or Wednesday, though. :) I am also not sure I could get used to the sound of the siren mooing. :) > I did not realize that Oregon needed tornado sirens...lol...or are they > for Mt. St. Helens? Well, not exactly tornado sirens per se. In their case, they use them for tsunamis--there is a rather nasty little fault line just off the coast of Washington and Oregon that has thrown up sizable earthquakes in past, and when you have fault lines that have thrown up 9.8 on the "modified Richter" scale they have to use for really huge earthquakes, one has to have a tsunami warning system. :) Honolulu, Hawaii has (I understand) a very similar scheme where they start up the sirens for tsunami warnings. Actually, all those sirens weren't originally meant for severe weather; most of the siren systems were originally set up during either WWII or during the Cold War as air raid sirens. Folks in the Midwest and along the coast in the Pacific states started using them later for tornado and tsunami warnings. (I don't know if folks along the Atlantic use them for hurricane warnings, or even if most cities even HAVE sirens anymore if not by an Air Force or Naval base.) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 17:26:51 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: DOWNTOWN BALTIMORE ASOS Saw the following in the SFD for WBC. Does anyone know if the raw obs from this site will be available on the 'net ? - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FPUS3 KWBC 291840 SFDWBC SYNOPTIC EXPLANATION/FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON 245 PM EDT WED APR 29 1998 DOWNTOWN BALTIMORE ASOS COMMISSIONED AT 18Z. GOODBYE CUSTOMS HOUSE...HELLO RELIABLE DATA. NOT ONLY DO WE NOW HAVE TEMP FOR DOWNTOWN... WE HAVE PRESSURE...DEWPOINT...AND RH. WHAT AN IMPROVEMENT AND SERVICE TO THE PUBLIC. YOUR TAX DOLLARS AT WORK BALTIMORE!!! PUBLIC INFO STATEMENT ISSUED AT NOON. THE CALL LETTERS FOR THE NEW SITE ARE DMH. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - -- - - - - - - - James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Apr 1998 20:18:53 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: VIDEO RATES Standard rates for good storm chaser footage are as follows: $25/second - one or two day use only mainly for TV local news, $35-45/second - unlimited showing of your video in a program in U.S. , and greater than $50/second for including home video sales. Minimum ten seconds or $250.00. Do not accept "buyouts". Always have a signed contract. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Apr 1998 to 29 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 14:58:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1118 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626424-2935>; Fri, 1 May 1998 13:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35882; Fri, 1 May 1998 00:08:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199805010508.AAA35882@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 00:02:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Apr 1998 to 30 Apr 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 360c3afa56497c7f63cd69ae30b3f5a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 571 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Baltimore ASOS (2) 2. WHO BUYS CHASER VIDEOS 3. TV Met Position Available (Santa Maria, CA) 4. VIDEO REAPER 5. Night of the Twisters sequel (fwd) (4) 6. Sirens 7. FYI: New Canadian Upper air site 8. Baron Services VIPIR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 07:51:46 -0400 From: "Glenn D. Rolph" Subject: Baltimore ASOS Has anyone found a source for the latitude/longitude and elevation for this station in particular, and other new ASOS's as they come on-line? Glenn. -***************************************************************** Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is the lightning that does all the work - Mark Twain __________________________________________________________ / Glenn D. Rolph _________ /| / Meteorologist __( ______) / | /grolph@arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov _(____) / | / NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (__) / | / R/E/AR, 1315 East West Highway (_) / | / Silver Spring, MD 20910 (_) / | / (_) / | /__________________________________________(_)____________/ / | (_) | / | Real-time Environmental Applications (_) | / | and Display sYstem (_) | / | http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html (_) | / | For access to interactive trajectories, || | / | dispersion, and other related weather || | / | products. ||===== | / |_________________________________________||_[]_|________|/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 10:02:46 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: WHO BUYS CHASER VIDEOS There are numerous companies who buy chaser videos at the predescribed rates posted yesterday: Here are just a few of the companies I have worked with: ABC, Adrenaline Productions, Andrew-Solt Productions, Barbour-Langley Productions, Bennett Productions, CNN, Code3, German TV, Granada Television (u.k.), GRB Entertainment, Interim Productions, LMNO Productions, National Geographic, NBC, Readers Digest, Real TV, Pangolin Pictures, Pioneer Productions(u.k.), Real TV, The TODAY show, and many local TV stations. A chaser is only limited by his or her imagination when it comes to selling their video. For example, the country-western duo Brooks and Dunn purchased tornado video to show as a back drop during one of their songs in a concert. Aetna Insurance bought hail video to show in one of their hail damage training tapes. Some of Gene Rhodens' crawler lightning appeas in a Michael Jackson music video. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 10:07:38 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Position Available (Santa Maria, CA) WEEKEND WEATHER/GA REPORTER (KCOY) KCOY-TV, the CBS affiliate on the beautiful central coast of California, has an immediate opening for a Weekend Weather Anchor / General Assignment Reporter. Looking for someone with at least one year experience at both positions. Experience with AccuWeather Ultra Graphics computer helpful. Non-returnable tapes and resumes to KCOY, 1211 W. McCoy Ln., Santa Maria, CA 93455. Attn: Personnel Dept. (Wknd Wx) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 10:07:54 -0500 From: Matt Biddle Subject: VIDEO REAPER Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 10:39:49 -0400 From: Patrick Walshe Subject: The Weather Channel/Severe Season '98 The Weather Channel will be spending the next six to eight weeks in the Plains region as part of our Severe Season '98 coverage. Our satellite uplink truck will be positioned in the region throughout this time period. We are seeking to purchase storm related video from any interested parties. We are always interested in video, but for the next six weeks we will be able to facilitate the uplink process with our sat truck. We are seeking any type of storm related video...from hail and heavy rain up to and including tornadic stuff. Wall clouds, storm structure, even damage are viable also. The key, for us, is to get it here to TWC in a timely fashion. Hence, we will be moving our truck around trying to aid in the uplink process. *You are seeking any and ALL??? This seems like a shakedown? Like a mining operation. *So we have to drive around possibly a LONG way to find you to see IF you are *intersested? I have been encouraged via phone after a detailed description of what I *had to do, only to have some "tech" look at the wrong part of the tape, tell me they *are not interested leaving me another 100 miles from home. WHAT ASSURANCES DO YOU HAVE *THAT THE PEOPLE IN THE FIELD WILL KNOW WHAT THEY ARE LOOKING AT AND WHAT THEY ARE *LOOKING FOR? Our "assignment desk" is staffed from 6am to 11:30pm 7 days per week, and we will have staff to answer the phones during the overnight hours. If you do not speak with someone, our voice mail will be checked each morning at 6am eastern.A big question from many people concerns rights. When we enter into a deal, we are purchasing your video to use on our air. It may play during WeatherCenter, Storm Watch, promos of our programming, or it may show up in Weather Rewind. It will NOT be repackaged and/or sold in any format whatsoever without first obtaining rights from you. *AGAIN what assurances doy you have that the people we have to talk to will have ANY *idea about what is going on. THIS WAS a problem (disaster) in the past. *YOU say it won't be "repackaged and/or resold" - please do us the honor of stating WHAT *this means to TWC - I know for a FACT that others have had their stuff used ad nauseaum *on TWC commrcials and the like. Basically you can use it 8000 times on as many *different programs as you want for one tiny fee right? Do you ever negotioate deals *limiting the use for that fee to one specific date or program? If NOT why not? With regards to purchasing video, the video coordinators will make the determination whether or not TWC will purchase a piece of video. They will also negotiate the purchase price. There may already be footage of the storm. There may already be enough of a specific kind of video in house, or the video coordinators may have hit their limit for the day. It "pays" to talk to us as early as you possibly can. *Why didn't you tell us what amounts you expect to pay? - on this NEWSGROUP - a range *at least would be nice. HOW long does it take to GET PAID? What is the mechanism *for *getting paid? We have HORROR stories about this as well. We may have already sold *footage of the storm, just as you may already have stock of it. Supply and demand works *BOTH ways! >Patrick Walshe >Assignment Manager >pwalshe@weather.com *Sir I mean no disrespect. I watch TWC a LOT and I like it. I am sure you and your *people are nice and have honest intentions. But we have been systematically screwed *over the years. We have no comprehensive plan nor a union. Many of us are unsure of the *ways of the media. The process might put a small amount of money in our pockets in the *short term, but in the long term it waters down the value of the video and cheapens the *effort to get it. It encourages yahoos with NO intercept experience or weather *knowledge to drive into watch boxes to try to film a twister so they can sell the *video to TWC. Someone WILL get killed and may even put emergency personnel or the *general public at risk. What a MESS! Now everyone is a chaser for TWC. Of course it is *a free country. *I cannot help but see this proposal as a giant video reaper headed for the Plains, *which will gleen from us the fruits of our labor and spit us out as chaff. Matt Biddle Norman, Oklahoma *Opinions are mine only and NOT representative of any institution or agency. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 08:30:34 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: Baltimore ASOS --simple boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: "cc:Mail Note Part" http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pub/modernize/asos.txt is a good source. jeff ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: Baltimore ASOS Author: Date: 4/30/98 7:51 AM Has anyone found a source for the latitude/longitude and elevation for this station in particular, and other new ASOS's as they come on-line? Glenn. -***************************************************************** Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is the lightning that does all the work - Mark Twain __________________________________________________________ / Glenn D. Rolph _________ /| / Meteorologist __( ______) / | /grolph@arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov _(____) / | / NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (__) / | / R/E/AR, 1315 East West Highway (_) / | / Silver Spring, MD 20910 (_) / | / (_) / | /__________________________________________(_)____________/ / | (_) | / | Real-time Environmental Applications (_) | / | and Display sYstem (_) | / | http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html (_) | / | For access to interactive trajectories, || | / | dispersion, and other related weather || | / | products. ||===== | / |_________________________________________||_[]_|________|/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html --simple boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; name="RFC822.TXT" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="RFC822.TXT" Received: from psc-1.fnoc.navy.mil by ccgate.fnoc.navy.mil (ccMail Link to SMTP R8.10.00) ; Thu, 30 Apr 98 04:55:57 -0800 Return-Path: Return-Path: Received: by psc-1.fnoc.navy.mil (4.1/SMI-4.1) id AA29140; Thu, 30 Apr 98 11:55:04 GMT Received: from ddnmail(152.80.5.3) by psc-1 via smap (V1.0mjr) id sma029107; Thu Apr 30 11:54:14 1998 Received: by ddnmail.fnoc.navy.mil (4.1/SMI-4.1) id AA13901; Thu, 30 Apr 98 11:54:14 GMT Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu(128.174.5.11) by ddnmail via smap (V1.0mjr) id sma013892; Thu Apr 30 11:53:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA18618; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 06:53:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8522541 for WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 06:53:11 -0500 Received: from arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov (ARLRISC.arlhq.noaa.gov [140.90.134.87]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id GAA28314 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 06:53:10 -0500 Received: from localhost (glenn@localhost) by arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov (AIX4.2/UCB 8.7/8.7) with SMTP id HAA24624 for ; Thu, 30 Apr 1998 07:51:46 -0400 (EDT) From: glenn@arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 07:51:46 -0400 (EDT) To: Weather Talk Mailing list Subject: Baltimore ASOS Message-Id: Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII Sender: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU --simple boundary-- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 11:58:58 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Night of the Twisters sequel (fwd) A friend sent me a memo about the upcoming "Night of the Twisters" sequel on the Family Channel. In case you're curious... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* 'Storm Chasers: Revenge of the Twister' on the Family Channel Also Starring Liz Torres, James MacArthur, Adrian Zmed and Wolf Larson The Film Premieres on May 17 NEW YORK, April 7 /PRNewswire/ -- Critically acclaimed actress Kelly McGillis stars in "Storm Chasers: Revenge of the Twister," as a scientist sent to Colorado to determine why a deadly tornado has touched down without warning, devastating everything in its wake. The Family Channel's action- packed original premieres on Sunday, May 17 from 7 to 9 p.m. ET/PT. McGillis ("Top Gun," "Witness," "The Accused") heads an all-star cast that includes Liz Torres ("The John Larroquette Show"), James MacArthur ("Hawaii Five-O"), Adrian Zmed ("T.J. Hooker") and Wolf Larson ("L.A. Heat"). It was the middle of the night when the tornado hit, killing thirty people and destroying the small Colorado town. Now, CSSL (Center for Severe Storms Laboratories) storm chaser Jamie Marshall (McGillis) has been sent by her boss, Frank Del Rio (MacArthur), to research it -- to look for answers to the strange weather phenomena before the next storm arrives and more lives are lost. In Colorado, Jamie meets up with FEMA's Operation Director, Wallace Houston (Torres) and her Field Coordinators, Will Stanton (Larson) and Smitty (Zmed). Intensely single-minded in her research, Jamie is unwilling to acknowledge the town's tragedy and the disaster victims all around her. She and Will are skeptical partners at first. Clashing as Will unwillingly assists Jamie with her research, each is struggling with their own personal demons -- Jamie still devastated by the death of her mentor and husband in a past storm chase, and Will, moving from town to town with FEMA as he runs from his own tragic past. Using sophisticated computer modeling and field research, Jamie unravels the abnormal and deadly weather patterns she discovers, linking them to Pine Feather, a secret government launch-testing site helping to cause the atmospheric disturbances. As Jamie struggles to finish the work that her husband started years ago, she and Will survive a rare and explosive lightning storm setting off suddenly unexpected passion between them. Unable to convince her boss of the dangerous weather patterns Pine Feather is creating, it is up to Jamie and Will to save the already tornado-ravaged town from another possible disaster. "Storm Chasers: Revenge of the Twister" is a Family Channel world premiere movie produced by Shavick Entertainment in association with Regent Entertainment. Paul Colichman and Lance Robbins are the executive producers and James Shavick is the producer. Mark Sobel directs the script written by Jeff Wynne. "Storm Chasers: Revenge of the Twister" will air again on Saturday, May 30 at 8 p.m. ET/PT. More information and photos from "Storm Chasers: Revenge of the Twister," can be found on the website www.tvchoice.com. The Family Channel (NYSE: FAM) is a division of Fox Kids Worldwide, Inc., which is owned equally by The News Corporation Limited (NYSE: NWS) and Saban Entertainment. Fox Kids Worldwide, Inc. is a fully integrated, global, children's television entertainment company which develops, produces, broadcasts and distributes quality animated and live-action children's television programming. The Family Channel is one of the nation's largest advertiser-supported, basic cable television networks reaching more than 72 million television households and is projected to reach 74 million households by Fall '98. SOURCE Family Channel -0- 04/07/98 /CONTACT: Adina Barnett of The Family Channel, 212-782-1868, adina_barnett@ife.com/ /Web site: http://www.tvchoice.com/ (FAM NWS) CO: Family Channel; Fox Kids Worldwide, Inc.; The News Corporation Limited; ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 12:40:44 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Sirens Derek Dodson wrote... >Anyway....my community recently purchased new sirens. There are times >when instead of testing them (full blast) they simply allow just enough >juice to crank them up enough that it sounds like...pardon the >analysis...a cow (kinda like every tornado sounds like a train). >I think the point that RJ was trying to make was that you do not have to >test the sirens at full blast in order to find out if they are working >properly. In Illinois, *official* tests are to be made only on the first Tuesday of each month at 10:00 AM. When we have siren problems and we need to do unscheduled tests, we test each component (rotor, chopper, blower) separately in order to prevent people from panicking. At the next "official" test day, we physically monitor that siren for proper operation. I believe the 1st Tuesday tests should be done under identical circumstances/conditions (in other words full power) as would be the case in a real tornado. There's no point in conducting a test unless you actually crank the sirens up and put them through their paces. When a siren that is ordiarily heard during testing fails to sound we often get calls from local residents reporting the problem. These reports are very helpful in identifying problems since we can't always have a person stationed at every siren on the 1st Tuesday test. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 15:14:18 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Night of the Twisters sequel (fwd) On Thu, 30 Apr 1998, Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > people and destroying the small Colorado town. Now, CSSL (Center for > Severe Storms Laboratories) storm chaser Jamie Marshall (McGillis) has Did you notice how NSSL has now become a francise in this movie? :) ..."Center for Severe Storms LABORATORIES?" Does NSSL report to them? 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 14:35:40 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Night of the Twisters sequel (fwd) On Thu, 30 Apr 1998, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > On Thu, 30 Apr 1998, Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > > > people and destroying the small Colorado town. Now, CSSL (Center for > > Severe Storms Laboratories) storm chaser Jamie Marshall (McGillis) has > > Did you notice how NSSL has now become a francise in this movie? :) > > ..."Center for Severe Storms LABORATORIES?" Does NSSL report to them? > > 8-) > > Todd It sounds like it's the "Triple A minor league" version of NSSL! ;-) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:06:43 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: FYI: New Canadian Upper air site Based on the regular receipt of reports here at FNMOC, it appears that a new Canadian site (WMO 71876) is taking RAOBs. Communication with NCEP indicated that apparently they weren't aware of it. There already exists a surface station identified as 71876...so it is probably safe to use this info for the upper air site as well. 71876 CANADA NORTH BATTLEFORD, SASK. 52 46N 108 15W 548m If anyone can verify/refute this information...please do so. Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC-Obs Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 15:36:30 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Baron Services VIPIR WX-TALKer's While this isn't intended to sound like a sales pitch, I realize it probably does...it is not intended to...if this does offend you (which it is not meant to do) feel free to hit "delete" now before you read further... Some of you may have heard of Baron Services newest product, VIPIR. For those of you who haven't VIPIR (which stands for Volumetric Imaging and Processing of Integrated Radar) is the first product which allows the user to view multiple radars (both Nexrad and Baron C-band) in composite, in real time. Also, for the first time, true volume integration of the data allows integrated processing and the display of the data in 3-D. You can examine this data from any direction and altitude. In addition, VIPIR offers RHI's and CAPPI's, and provides storm history charts to graph the storm trends over time. VIPIR, while a powerful display tool, also provides new products previously unavailable anywhere. Using algorithms unique to Baron Services, VIPIR produces shear products (Base or Storm Relative Mean) that are color mapped according to the degree of gate-to-gate cyclonic shear. In addition, VIPIR will automatically place shear markers which define areas with a dangerous twisting of the winds. We have placed examples of this data from the Birmingham and Nashville tornadic events on our web site at http://www.baronservices.com/html/vipir.html . We invite you to stop by and take a look at what we at Baron Services consider to be the next generation in displays of doppler radar data. If you have any questions or would like further information on VIPIR, feel free to e-mail me at jason@baronservices.com. Jason Kelley Baron Services, Inc. Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 18:10:53 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: Night of the Twisters sequel (fwd) In message , you said: "Todd L. Sherman" writes: >On Thu, 30 Apr 1998, Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > >> people and destroying the small Colorado town. Now, CSSL (Center for >> Severe Storms Laboratories) storm chaser Jamie Marshall (McGillis) has > > Did you notice how NSSL has now become a francise in this movie? :) > > ..."Center for Severe Storms LABORATORIES?" Does NSSL report to them? > >8-) Not to mention "storm chaser Jamie MARSHALL"? Hmmm.... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Apr 1998 to 30 Apr 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 14:58:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4017 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626871-4021>; Sat, 2 May 1998 13:11:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA37704; Sat, 2 May 1998 00:06:14 -0500 Message-Id: <199805020506.AAA37704@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 00:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Apr 1998 to 1 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 95f567c64390c1bda390484cf09f903c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 466 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Severe Weather Books 2. PBS Charlestown,RI 010610 OVC 53F Calm R0 29.88" 53007 3. NOAA WXSAT Sked 4. Cell Phone Warnings? (4) 5. 25% Chance of Rain? 6. NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise for sale! 7. hurricane footage 8. WX-TALK Digest - 29 Apr 1998 to 30 Apr 1998 9. TV Met Jobs Available (2 positions) 10. WeatherWatch magazine/WXOBS-MDA List 11. NetNews : AccuWeather adds MeteoMaps, Intellicast ups Update Times for Radars +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 05:25:25 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Severe Weather Books The Storm Shop Book Store is now open. Take a look at: http://www.thestormshop.com/index.htm Selections include Tim Marshall's Tornado Talk, Storm Chase Manual and the Tornado Forecasters Workbook. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 06:35:35 -0400 From: Chris Seeber Subject: PBS Charlestown,RI 010610 OVC 53F Calm R0 29.88" 53007 Statistics below are as of midnight. Snow depth days are based on the snow depth measured between 0600 and 0800 local time yesterday. Year-to-date Month-to-date Season-to-date Precipitation: 27.05" 8.06" N/A Snow N/A Trace 10.5" Snow depth days N/A 0 16 Weather Summary For Charlestown, RI 04/30/98 Prepared on 05/01/98 at 00:00:10 Average Information Average Pressure : 2994.7 Average Temperature : 59.5 Average Humidity : 77.7 Average Dew Point : 50.8 Average Wind Direction : 249.8 Average Average Wind Speed : 3.3 Average Gust Wind Speed : 8.0 Average Wind Chill : 59 Total Rain Amount : 0.00 Minimum and Maximum Information Maximum From Time Minimum From Time Pressure: 3002 0000 2985 1926 Temperature: 076 1408 047 0158 Humidity: 099 0203 030 1340 Avg Wind : 010 248 1754 000 259 0138 Gust Wind: 017 214 1501 000 248 0136 Location: 41 Deg 27 Min North 71 Deg 38 Min West 27 miles south-west of Providence and 6 miles north of Charlestown Beach. Elevation 195 feet AMSL. Precipitation amounts on OBS line are from midnight to the present time. Humidity values are inaccurate at temperatures below 32 degrees F. Times are Eastern Daylight Savings Time. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 05:36:28 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: NOAA WXSAT Sked Weather satellite status and schedules are at: http://climate.gsfc.nasa.gov/~chesters/text/goes.weekly.opschedule Sam Barricklow http://www.thestormshop.com/index.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 08:13:43 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Cell Phone Warnings? http://www.abcnews.com/onair/primetimelive/transcripts/ptl_holdon980429_tran s.html Interesting story on how the FCC is "holding back" on the possibility of warning people in as small an area as 1/9th of a county... More interesting is that fact that tornado warnings are not issued for 1/9th of a county (and probably can't be in most cases) -- so how is the cellphone provider what 1/9th they warn? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 00:34:43 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? ATRWXXA wrote: > The Percentage Of Rain .IE "a 25% chance of rain." Is an Areal coverage > Percentage.. meaning that 25% of the area wil recieve rain .. This answer is not right. 25% is a certainty factor. In other words the forecastor thinks there will be a 25% chance of rain "somewhere in the forecast area" (a zone) within the forecast period (usually 12 hour increments). The higher the chance forecasted the more certain the forecaster is of rain in the given area during the time period. The forecast is not saying that it will rain over 25% of the area. -- Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 08:51:38 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise for sale! Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! *** NEW! SPC tshirts! See the clothing gallery for more info. *** Spring is HERE! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing to wear during your chases! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 15:49:31 +0100 From: Pioneer Productions Subject: hurricane footage Hello I'm hoping I am subscribed now and that this message will go speeding round the globe. ****THIS IS A REQUEST FOR HURRICANE FOOTAGE AND HURRICANE STORIES******* I work for a television production company based in the UK called Pioneer Productions (you may know us for the successful Raging Planet series? See www.pioneertv.com ) We specialise in science documentaries, and I am currently researching for a new 5 part series about extreme weather, one programme of which will be dedicated to hurricanes/cyclones/typhoons. I'm looking for footage of any hurricanes in the past couple of years - particularly Hurricane Pauline and Hurricane Rick which struck the Mexican coast. Since we intend to view these extremes of weather through the eyes of those who witness and survive them, we are particularly interested to see home video, and to contact people who would be interested in telling their own stories. We would, of course, pay for any footage we use in the programme. Anyone who can assist with this, or who has interesting footage, please e-mail me so I can tell you more about Pioneer and the 'Wild Weather' documentary series. Thankyou.... Emma Frank -- Pioneer Productions ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 13:19:12 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Cell Phone Warnings? On Fri, 1 May 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > http://www.abcnews.com/onair/primetimelive/transcripts/ptl_holdon980429_tran > s.html > > Interesting story on how the FCC is "holding back" on the possibility of > warning people in as small an area as 1/9th of a county... More interesting > is that fact that tornado warnings are not issued for 1/9th of a county (and > probably can't be in most cases) -- so how is the cellphone provider what > 1/9th they warn? The FCC? I saw the "article" on TV and from what it sounds like there ARE no laws against cellular providors providing that kind of service. The blocks that guy came across were at the cellular industry level. They didn't want to do it, it sounded like. The FCC isn't "preventing" it from coming to be as much as they are simply "not doing anything to put the method into practice." Commercial broadcasters can't broadcast to pinpoint areas like "1/9th of a county," they broadcast over a wide area. But cellular technology can, directing specific warnings via the cell phones. Its possible. Just not in use right now...not here anyway. It is in Europe, though, to warn people of traffic congestion in specific areas. The problem was that Douglas Weiser wanted to make the idea an official MANDATE, and the FCC felt that this was not the time to put such a mandate of the cellular telephone industry. There are no LAWS AGAINST the idea, though. On the other hand, the commercial cell phone providors avoided the idea with an avoidance answer to Nightline that said...nothing, really. ...In a nutshell, there yuh go. In other words, its a big change and a big expense that the providors would have to end up taking on and they don't want to right now. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 13:26:17 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Cell Phone Warnings? > Commercial broadcasters can't broadcast to pinpoint areas like "1/9th of a > county," they broadcast over a wide area. But cellular technology can, > directing specific warnings via the cell phones. Its possible. That's where I disagree -- NWS doesn't issue warnings (and won't in the forseeable future) for 1/9th of a county, so what do we gain by having that technology? And in any case, don't you think cellphone users would immediately request this function to be disabled after a few false alarms? And even if we did warn for 1/9th of a county and it verified -- it's still going to appear "false" for a large part of that 1/9th... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 14:03:28 -0400 From: "Stanski, Henry [Ontario]" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Apr 1998 to 30 Apr 1998 You asked.... > Date: Thu, 30 Apr 1998 13:06:43 -0800 > From: Jeffrey Logan > Subject: FYI: New Canadian Upper air site > > Based on the regular receipt of reports here at FNMOC, it appears that a > new > Canadian site (WMO 71876) is taking RAOBs. > > Communication with NCEP indicated that apparently they weren't aware of > it. > There > already exists a surface station identified as 71876...so it is probably > safe to > use > this info for the upper air site as well. > > 71876 CANADA NORTH BATTLEFORD, SASK. 52 46N 108 15W 548m > > If anyone can verify/refute this information...please do so. > > Jeff > > /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ > | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | > |FNMOC-Obs Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| > \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ > The answer.... 71876 ( CYQW) North Battleford SASK 52 46N 108 15W 548m is a new upper air site replacing Saskatoon (71866) officially effective May 01, 1998 UA Operations once per day at 12Z. Parameters are upper winds, pressure, temperature and humidity. Henry Stanski, meteorologist with Environment Canada henry.stanski@ec.gc.ca ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 13:19:37 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (2 positions) METEOROLOGIST Duties of the Position: Weekend and 3 day a week meteorologist is needed to join Louisiana's Number one weather team! Skills Desired: Minimum 2 years on-air reporting and live shot experience and a personality required. We are a drug-free, smoke-free and EOE work place. If you know of any person(s) who might be qualified for the above vacancies, please have them send a resume and a non-returnable tape to Jamie Politz, Director of Human Resources, WBRZ-TV, P. O. Box 2906, Baton Rouge, LA 70821. MORNING/NOON METEOROLOGIST KCOY-TV, CBS for the beautiful central coast of California, has an IMMEDIATE opening for a morning/noon meteorologist. Our prior AM weathercaster has been promoted to chief meteorologist. We are looking for a dynamic, conversational and energetic candidate. Degree in meteorology, NWA or AMS seal preferred. 1 year experience required, 2 or more years preferred. EOE. Please RUSH tape and resume to KCOY-TV, 1211 W. McCoy Lane, Santa Maria, CA 93455. Attn: Morning Weather *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 14:33:48 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Cell Phone Warnings? On Fri, 1 May 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > Commercial broadcasters can't broadcast to pinpoint areas like "1/9th of > a > > county," they broadcast over a wide area. But cellular technology can, > > directing specific warnings via the cell phones. Its possible. > > That's where I disagree -- NWS doesn't issue warnings (and won't in the > forseeable future) for 1/9th of a county, so what do we gain by having that > technology? > > And in any case, don't you think cellphone users would immediately request > this function to be disabled after a few false alarms? And even if we did > warn for 1/9th of a county and it verified -- it's still going to appear > "false" for a large part of that 1/9th... Hey, I wasn't for or against it. You need to get with Douglas Weiser on that, since he was the one with the idea and complaining that it wasn't available. :) Also, you might want to contact PrimeTime Live and offer them your point of view on the matter, so that they don't start a one-sided, misinformed hysteria over the subject as a result of the airing last night. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 19:51:56 EDT From: WxWatchmag Subject: WeatherWatch magazine/WXOBS-MDA List Do to a disagreement between me and the list/Magazine web site provider (They tried to double the BILL!!!!) We have temporarily shut down the list and the web site. A new one will appear at www.weatherstore.com in about 2 weeks. As for the mailing list, it will be about a week later. I apologize for any misunderstanding. If you have any comments, questions or other quarrels, email me at wxcentrl@jnlk.com OR wxwatchmag@aol.com. Bill Hipkins PUBLISHER ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 04:27:27 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : AccuWeather adds MeteoMaps, Intellicast ups Update Times for Radars NetNews, recent weather-related news about Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. Send your reports of recent changes or additions to weather websites to: netnews@weatherwatchers.org for inclusion in these postings. 1. Personal AccuWeather announced their MeteoMaps section this week. This section which exists on the Premium Service ($3.33-$5/month) only contains the last 24 hours of regional and US surface plots, as well as upper air plots and NGM,MOS,ETA,ECMWF maps. http://personal.accuweather.com/ 2. Intellicast announced Wednesday that they are changing the update times of their Radar Summary and Radar products from 1 hour to 30 minutes. http://www.intellicast.com/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Apr 1998 to 1 May 1998 ************************************************* From - Thu May 21 14:59:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1911 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626113-14159>; Sun, 3 May 1998 13:21:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA09870; Sun, 3 May 1998 00:09:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199805030509.AAA09870@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1998 to 2 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ee5222e9faf4431d22441c890eeb7b48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 379 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NEMAS Public Release 2. 25% Chance of Rain? (2) 3. Derecho Research (3) 4. Cellphone warnings 5. Derecho Information 6. TV Met Job Available (WPTV - West Palm Beach, FL) 7. WRSAME radio false alarm blues (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 01:04:52 -0400 From: NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service Subject: NEMAS Public Release PUBLIC RELEASE NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service The NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service (NEMAS) is proud to announce the official opening of our new homepage located at http://www.nemas.org The new NEMAS pages are expanded and improved to provide quicker and easier access to forecast products for the northeastern United States as well as a wealth of additional weather information. New features on the NEMAS pages include !LIVE! weather conditions for selected northeast sites as well as other unique features with many more planned in the coming months. The next addition to our pages will be access to National Weather Service products sent to the nemas.org server as they are issued. No more waiting for other sites to update with the latest watches or warnings, just point your browser over to http://www.nemas.org ! Coming this summer... The newly expanded NEMAS Tropical Division webpage with a complete tracking center including tracking maps and access to the latest NHC tropical information as it's issued, plus exclusive NEMAS tropical forecasts and statements. Remember to make NEMAS your primary source for updated tropical information this season! NEMAS invites all those in need of updated and accurate forecasts and weather information to visit our new homepage located at http://www.nemas.org Are you interested in becoming a part of NEMAS? If so please contact us at nemas@nemas.org or check out the Employment section of our webpage! NEMAS is a non-profit organization. NEMAS is not associated with the National Weather Service or any other government or private agency. - NEMAS Administrative Committee http://www.nemas.org nemas@nemas.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 22:21:04 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? > > Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 00:34:43 -0500 > From: Paul Pettit > Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? > > ATRWXXA wrote: > > > The Percentage Of Rain .IE "a 25% chance of rain." Is an Areal coverage > > Percentage.. meaning that 25% of the area wil recieve rain .. > This answer is not right. > > 25% is a certainty factor. In other words the forecastor thinks there > will be a 25% chance of rain "somewhere in the forecast area" (a zone) > within the forecast period (usually 12 hour increments). > The higher the chance forecasted the more certain the forecaster is of > rain in the given area during the time period. > > The forecast is not saying that it will rain over 25% of the area. Actually it can be either. In the case of showers that the forecaster thinks have a high certainty of occurring the PoP then represents the areal coverage. See which is right out of the NWS WSOM Chp C-11. Regards, jan <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 01:05:18 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? At 10:21 PM 5/1/98 -0700, you wrote: >> >> Date: Fri, 1 May 1998 00:34:43 -0500 >> From: Paul Pettit >> Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? >> >> ATRWXXA wrote: >> >> > The Percentage Of Rain .IE "a 25% chance of rain." Is an Areal coverage >> > Percentage.. meaning that 25% of the area wil recieve rain .. >> This answer is not right. >> >> 25% is a certainty factor. In other words the forecastor thinks there >> will be a 25% chance of rain "somewhere in the forecast area" (a zone) >> within the forecast period (usually 12 hour increments). >> The higher the chance forecasted the more certain the forecaster is of >> rain in the given area during the time period. >> >> The forecast is not saying that it will rain over 25% of the area. > >Actually it can be either. In the case of showers that the forecaster >thinks have a high certainty of occurring the PoP then represents the >areal coverage. See which is >right out of the NWS WSOM Chp C-11. > >Regards, >jan hmmn.. i awalys thought that 25% chance meant that if the the same weather event happened 100 times, 25 of them you'd get rain Thanks, Glen briggs - KB0RPJ gbriggs@lyn.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 08:26:14 -0500 From: "Boyd H. Webb, III" Subject: Derecho Research With the SWODY1 discussing the possibility of a derecho event in the ARK-LA-TEX region, eastward today, does anyone know of a paper on the web, or a site that deals specifically with this phenomenon? I'm looking for information not so much about a particular event, but a general overview of the storm systems and the different types that may have been observed and/or researched. Any suggestions will be appreciated! Thanks, Boyd Webb Cordova, TN ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 10:06:08 EDT From: J Howel Subject: Re: Cellphone warnings I saw the report on TV about weather warnings via cellphones. Interestingly enough, the pager company that I used to lease an alphanumeric pager from had a feature they called "StormPage." What is is, quite simply, is a special group call slot with it's own unique audio alert (which also would alert even if you had all other alerts silenced); when the NWS issued a watch/warning, the paging company would send this information to the special StormPage group, and everyone with that feature would receive the watch/warning. One drawback to this, and I wonder if this would occur with the proposed cellphone warnings, is that it was sometimes as much as two minutes from the time NWS put out the alert to the time the information was sent via the pagers. Right after I got my pager, I was at home and my weather alert radio went off with a watch/warning; naturally, I was curious how the StormPage really worked, so I sat there waiting for it to go off....and sat....and sat....and sat.....finally, about a minute-and-a-half later, it did go off. My concern with any type of alerting of this nature, is would the extra two minutes be of significant consequence in a warning? In some cases, it would. My personal opinion is that, even though it would be better to get instantaneous alerting (by whatever means), if I was out shopping or elsewhere where I didn't have access to a weather radio, or Skywarn net, etc., I would still want to be alerted, even if it came a couple of minutes late. Jeff Howell W9SAR ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 10:03:15 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Derecho Information Here are some Links to information on Derecho Events July 15, 1995 New York, New England Severe Thunderstorm Event http://www.wrgb.com/weather2/scrapbook/derecho/Derecho1.html Adirondack Derecho event of July 1995 http://nwsfo.nws.cestm.albany.edu/research/derecho.html The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer....good book for more information http://www.wxscratch.com/slsfp.htm Characteristics of a multicell line storm http://covis.atmos.uiuc.edu/guide/stormspotters/html/slide62.html Great article on Squall Lines... http://www-cmpo.mit.edu/Radar_Lab/Gallery/txt_sqln.html Derek Dodson Metropolis, Illinois...(the 1998 Tornado Alley) http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 13:11:48 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (WPTV - West Palm Beach, FL) CHIEF METEOROLOGIST (WPTV-TV) WPTV, the NBC affiliate in West Palm Beach, Florida is looking for a Chief Meteorologist to lead our weather team. We need someone with that rare combination of scientific know-how and powerful personality, someone who can guide our viewers through good times and bad in our weather-driven market. If this sounds like you, don't hesitate, we need to hear from you immediately. Send your tape and resume to Chris Ford, Acting News Director, at 622 North Flagler Drive, West Palm Beach, FL 33401. Chris will also accept phone calls after 6:30PM EDT at 561-655-5455, Monday through Friday. If you're ready to move to America's 43rd largest TV market (and sunny South Florida), give Chris a call today! WPTV, a Scripps-Howard Television Station, is an equal opportunity employer. Any offer of employment is contingent on a successful drug screen. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 15:36:50 -0400 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: WRSAME radio false alarm blues I've been engaged in an email conversation with the electronics tech at the NWS office in ILN (Wilmington, OH) where the NOAA WX Radio broadcasts originate for Columbus, OH. I had purchased a Radio Shack WRSAME radio and had experienced alarms for counties other than my own when I had it configured to alarm on my county only. The tech suggested that I take it back to Radio Shack becuase it probably had something wrong with it. Here is my latest email to the tech at ILN: -------- start email -------- Well, I took my Radio Shack WRSAME radio back to the store that I purchased it from... the manager said that a number of people had brought their radios back complaining of the same problem: alerts when the unit was in 'single' mode and the alert was for a different county. According to the store manager, KIG86 is broadcasting 'blanket' encoding for the entire area and is not encoding watches and warnings for the specific county and that it would be 3 to 6 months before they would have things fixed. All I know is that I have spent $80 for a radio that seemingly alarms the same as the the older alert radio I have or there must be a lot of Radio Shack WRSAME radios in the Columbus area that are defective. Thus, again my question is: Is ILN properly encoding the watches and warnings that are broadcast over KIG86 NOAA WX Radio in Columbus? Thanks- Lee Roth - N8JQY ------ end email ------- Now here is a question for all of you wise WX-TALK types: Other than me building a decoder, is there any way to verify what codes are actually being sent out over the air? Does any of the SAME equipment built for the broadcast station market have the ability to display the numeric codes that it receives? Also... are there any NOAA WX Radio sites that do any 'single county' test WRSAME alerts on a periodic basis? Thanks- Lee ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 14:41:18 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: WRSAME radio false alarm blues On Sat, 2 May 1998, Roth, Leland wrote: > actually being sent out over the air? Does any of the SAME equipment > built for the broadcast station market have the ability to display the > numeric codes that it receives? Many of the EAS boxes that commercial stations use will print out the exact coding they received, or a verbatim translation of it in to English. This is done for the logging purposes of the stations. If you know somebody at one of the local broadcast stations, you could probably ask them what they're seeing in the EAS output. (For those not familar.. EAS and SAME are very similar. EAS is the commercial broadcast flavor, and SAME is the NWS flavor. EAS boxes are built to handle the small differences between EAS and SAME.) -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 16:16:58 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: Derecho Research On Sat, 2 May 1998, Boyd H. Webb, III wrote: > With the SWODY1 discussing the possibility of a derecho event in the > ARK-LA-TEX region, eastward today, does anyone know of a paper on the web, > or a site that deals specifically with this phenomenon? There is a pretty decent case study of a derecho event in the Adirondacks (1995) at this site: http://nwsfo.nws.cestm.albany.edu/research/derecho.html -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --- Mathew L. Powers powers@weather.cod.edu Col. of Dupage (Chicago) Met Staff http://weather.cod.edu/ Northern IL Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and ob's at MDW-CHI for fun Use your colored pencils!!! -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 May 1998 15:00:03 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Derecho Research BERNARD L ESPOSITO wrote: > > Here we go again!!! "DERECHO WARNING" > > A derecho is a long lived thunderstorm or line of > thunderstorms that are severe. Bernard, The above is incorrect....... Derecho - A widespread and usually fast-moving windstorm associated with convection. Derechos include any family of downburst clusters and can produce damaging thunderstorm winds over areas hundreds of miles long and more than 100 miles across. The above was extracted from http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/lzk/html/svrwx97/glossary.htm Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1998 to 2 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:00:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2248 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-28980>; Mon, 4 May 1998 13:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46238; Mon, 4 May 1998 00:05:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199805040505.AAA46238@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 00:00:40 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 May 1998 to 3 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2f67d801092237dd7ef5d584aaad0fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 112 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Pager warnings (was: Re: Cellphone warnings) 2. Tornado Statistics/LI/CAPE? Help 3. Easterlies versus westerlies 4. Global Flow Pattern 5. Regional Editors Needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 03:24:35 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Pager warnings (was: Re: Cellphone warnings) In message , J Howel writes: >One drawback to this, and I wonder if this would occur with the proposed >cellphone warnings, is that it was sometimes as much as two minutes from the >time NWS put out the alert to the time the information was sent via the >pagers. Right after I got my pager, I was at home and my weather alert radio >went off with a watch/warning; naturally, I was curious how the StormPage >really worked, so I sat there waiting for it to go off....and sat....and >sat....and sat.....finally, about a minute-and-a-half later, it did go off. The problem is that pagers, while quasi-real-time, should not be counted on in case of a warning. There are numerous places along the "chain of command" where a pager warning may be delayed, not the least of which is at the pager service. For typical POCSAG pagers, the delay is primarily based on how much traffic is in the queue to be broadcast before your page. For FLEX pagers, it can be even worse, as it depends on how may FLEX frames in a FLEX cycle your pager is programmed to check for a possible page. Worst case, if your pager came from your service programmed for the most battery efficient operation, it would check for a message during just one FLEX frame out of every 128, meaning a delay of one full FLEX cycle (four minutes) before you were alerted. (For more such paging esoterica, see Motorola's FLEX white paper at http://www.mot.com/MIMS/MSPG/CTSD/white_papers/flex_white_paper.html) Broadcast new media is actually the best source for timely alarms if you are in a highly competitive market with direct wire to broadcast alert systems in place. In most non-CRS WSFOs, it will take a minute or more for someone to get the warning on the air, as one of the forecasters will have to physically get up and walk over to the NWR console, trigger the alarm and read the warning. The practical upshot of all this is that my pager has sometime beat NWR, sometimes not, and has sometimes missed a warning altogether. I suspect the biggest problem would be liability. What happens the first time a cell phone user moved from a "non warning" cell area into a "warned" area and his phone doesn't warn them? William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 12:56:44 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Tornado Statistics/LI/CAPE? Help Hi Everyone I would appreciate some help in locating a web-site that might show a state by state breakdown of the tornado count for this year. I know that the SPC keeps monthly tallies on tornadoes but I have not been able to locate a site that will show me how many tornadoes have been reported in each state. Also does anyone know of a site that shows LI and CAPE on an hourly basis? Thanks Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html "Live from Norman, Oklahoma...this is Jim Cantore" TWC ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 13:51:00 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Easterlies versus westerlies Just watched a western hemisphere satellite loop on CNN. The "easterlies" along the equator appeared to be "thinner" in their north/south width than normal. Question: Could the normal easterly equatorial flow reverse? Has anyone seen this as a possiblity in the longterm climate models? Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 13:57:26 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Global Flow Pattern Global Flow Pattern Just watched a western hemisphere satellite loop on CNN. The "easterlies" along the equator appeared to be "thinner" in their north/south width than normal. Question: Could the normal easterly equatorial flow reverse? Has anyone seen this as a possiblity in the longterm climate models? Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 17:56:27 EDT From: WxWatchmag Subject: Regional Editors Needed WeatherWatch magazine is currently looking for volunteer regional editors to write weather summaries for us. For more information on regions available or any questions, contact Bill Hipkins at WxWatchMag@aol.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 May 1998 to 3 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:00:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1525 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626620-3810>; Tue, 5 May 1998 13:17:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20586; Tue, 5 May 1998 00:10:07 -0500 Message-Id: <199805050510.AAA20586@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 00:00:27 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 May 1998 to 4 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 983176fd22657ac0a7c422f276da233c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 478 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. What's with this El Nino? It's huge again! 2. Live from .... 3. 25% Chance of Rain? (2) 4. Radiosonde "landing"... (2) 5. Looking for new Weather Radio (2) 6. NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED 7. lightning death (2) 8. CALL FOR PAPERS/NWA NORMAN 9. Q: How to use the various online svr wx reporting forms +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 03:04:12 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: What's with this El Nino? It's huge again! Well, I should really should eat my words for what I said the other day about the demise of El Nino. Just as we all thought that maybe, just maybe the warm water pool off Peru was in its final days, boom! It rejuvinated, and in a big way! In fact, if you look at http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_glbl_sstanomaly.gif, the +4 C anomaly is back to 120 W....which probably has not happened in a couple of months! What is going on here? Will the real El Nino please stand up? I was told by someone that this is a result of a phenomena called Kelvin waves, which affects the height of the sea surface, which in turn would affect water temperatures. Now, is this true, and if so, why isn't the government mentioning this. And if it isn't, then why the heck is Nino restrengthening. Now, unless I really know what's going on, whenever I see a sharp decrease in El Nino, whenever that ever happens again, I will probably not take it that seriously, because of this rapid reintensification. Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 04:21:54 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Live from .... >Subject: Tornado Statistics/LI/CAPE? Help >Hi Everyone >I would appreciate some help in locating a web-site that might show a >state by state breakdown of the tornado count for this year. >I know that the SPC keeps monthly tallies on tornadoes but I have not >been able to locate a site that will show me how many tornadoes have >been reported in each state. >Also does anyone know of a site that shows LI and CAPE on an hourly >basis? >Thanks >Derek Dodson >derekd@hcis.net >http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html >"Live from Norman, Oklahoma...this is Jim Cantore" TWC I wish SPC had a network channel, live and commercial free! That would be a chaser's dream ..... RVT ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 00:04:34 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? Jan Null wrote: > Actually it can be either. In the case of showers that the forecaster > thinks have a high certainty of occurring the PoP then represents the > areal coverage. See which is > right out of the NWS WSOM Chp C-11. True Jan it is in the Manual, however I would ask you how you would verify this 25% rain over an area? Much discussion has taken place on this very subject and no one has come up with a viable solution. If this is what the NWS intends for it to mean then they need to change the verification program to reflect it. (somehow, any suggestions?) Point forecasts are used, yet verification takes place sometimes at only one point. How do you resolve this fact? The public sees these POP forecasts in many different ways. (as do some meteorologists) To tell them that the forecaster is forecasting rain over 25% of the area when he is actually verifying at just a few isolated places is very misleading. Pop forecasts are loved by business and industry for making decisions, but the public still remains confused as to what they mean. Remember private citizens are not scientists and need simple terms that they can readily understand to make decisions. Appreciate your comments as you always have much to offer. regards Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 May 1998 08:59:12 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: 25% Chance of Rain? In article <3.0.5.32.19980502010518.007d2380@lyn.net>, "Glen Briggs (wx)" wrote: > hmmn.. i awalys thought that 25% chance meant that if the the same weather > event happened 100 times, 25 of them you'd get rain Nope ... it is highly unlikely that weather events EVER repeat exactly, down to the last wiggle on a weather map. Hence, that sort of interpretation of probability can't be the right one for weather forecasts. See: for an explanation of subjective probability forecasts. =============================================================== BTW ... I sent the following earlier, and it may have gotten bounced: >In article , >Harold.Brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold E. Brooks) wrote: > >> In article <199805010034431241876@user-38h1s67.dialup.mindspring.com>, >> ppmeteo@mindspring.com (Paul Pettit) wrote: >> >> > ATRWXXA wrote: >> > >> > > The Percentage Of Rain .IE "a 25% chance of rain." Is an Areal coverage >> > > Percentage.. meaning that 25% of the area wil recieve rain .. >> > This answer is not right. >> > >> > 25% is a certainty factor. In other words the forecastor thinks there >> > will be a 25% chance of rain "somewhere in the forecast area" (a zone) >> > within the forecast period (usually 12 hour increments). >> > The higher the chance forecasted the more certain the forecaster is of >> > rain in the given area during the time period. >> > >> > The forecast is not saying that it will rain over 25% of the area. >> > >> >> Actually, for the National Weather Service, it does say that. >> According to the National Weather Service Operations Manual, the >> Probability of Precipitation (PoP) is >> >> The likelihood of occurrence (expressed as a percent) of a >> precipitation event _at any given point_ in the forecast >> area. The time period to which the PoP applies must be >> clearly stated (or unambiguously inferred from the forecast >> wording) since, without this, a numerical PoP value is >> meaningless. >> >> That is, it is the average point probability within the >> forecast area and the same PoP is assigned to each point. >> It can be shown that the PoP is equal to the expected areal >> coverage of the precipitation (Schaefer, J. T. and R. L. >> Livingston, 1990: Operational implications of the "Probability >> of Precipitation". _Wea. Forecasting, 5, 354-356.). > >It is true that the NWS definition is for the average point probability >over the forecast area, and it is also true that under some not very >restrictive assumptions, this can be shown to equal the expected areal >coverage ... but Paul is ALSO right that it is an expression of >uncertainty. No one forecasts point probabilities and then averages >them. It doesn't take a great deal of thought to see that expected areal >coverage of precipitation is tantamount to the uncertainty of >precipitation. > >BTW, I have revised my page on violent tornado probabilities, at: > > > >and things now work out with no discrepancies, so I hope I can now >disseminate it with my imprimature ... thanks to Allan Rosenberg and Mark >Conner for their e-mails, which helped out. Hope this isn't an unnecessary repeat. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. "I can say with some confidence I have no clue." - Lou Wicker ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 12:43:26 -0400 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Radiosonde "landing"... Wx aficiandos: A friend of mine found an interesting device in his front drive the other day just SE of Ft. Smith, Ark. It was a small box with a blue-tip probe and a silver flat metal piece near the top attached to a blue and white wire leading to a balloon approximately 20 ft away. Wording on the box says VAISALA Radiosonde RS80. First I thought it would be a radiosonde from OUN or FWD but then they wouldn't have the balloon still attached would they as I thought they exploded or disintegrated once up around 100,000 feet or so. Any other experiments, etc going on that may be using these devices? Thanks. Daniel Dix ddix@bellsouth.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 12:02:00 CDT From: Rick Kohrs Subject: Looking for new Weather Radio About 6 years ago my wife bought me a Radio Schaak weather radio. Typical design, alert and radio. The alert has a tendency to knock my kids out of bed and now I'd like to find one with an adjustable alert volume. I've found one in Wind and Weather and seen a couple at Radio Shaak. I have had very little luck searching the Web. I liked the new feature of county selections on the Radio Schaak model, but that did not have variable alert volume. Does anyone know of a place that I might look at any other models? Right now I'm leaning towards the Wind and Weather Model. Rick Kohrs rickk@ssec.wisc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 13:08:40 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: Looking for new Weather Radio In message <354DE6DF@msmail.ssec.wisc.edu>, you said: >I liked the new feature of county selections on the Radio Schaak model, but >that did not have variable alert volume. The alert volume IS adjustable on the RS SAME weather radio; look on the bottom. William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 15:36:14 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Radiosonde "landing"... The TEFLUN-A project is underway here in Texas (validation of the TRMM satellite). Along with Texas A&M, supplemental soundings are launched by neighborhood NWS offices. I can't tell you what the manufacturer of the radiosondes is right now, but I would highly suspect it is one of ours... Karl ******************************************************* * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * * "I wonder what goes through a dog's mind when he * * sees us peeing in his water bowl." - Penny W. Moser * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 17:01:21 -0400 From: Tim Holmes Subject: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED Hello to all: Allow me to introduce myself. My name is Tim Holmes, I am a Science Teacher by profession, a Fire Fighter (volunteer) by hobby, and a general storm lover. For the past many years, I have been watching storms and trying to make inferences (I hesitate to call them predictions) about their behavior based on the clouds, and the local nexrad radar. Early last week I discovered a wealth of weather data here on the internet and some good tools for making it useful. ( I use Digital Atmosphere to generate maps) Much of the data I am Beginning to understand, but I do not know how to correlate the data that I read from the maps to what MAY happen 12 hours down the road. In addition to my general interest in the subject, I have several obligations that make this more than an object of casual research. In my role as a teacher I am responsiable for emergency safety in our school building (largely because I am a firefighter) I handle all the fire drills and also the tornado drills. I can make the calls for sheltering based on my experience with the clouds and the radars, as well as the national weather service (if we get the warning) or our dispatchers (unlikely we will get the warning from them (we had one wait 20 minutes after the tornado one time, he did not think that the fire departments were his problem)), but I would like to be able to look at the data (either online (there are some excellent sources) or that I generate myself and be able to have some kind of idea if that afternoon will be a problem. I can read LI's and CAPE values, as well as several others, I also can pick out highs and lows on the map if the isobars are in place (DA does this for me). I just don't know how to synthesize this into something useful (not at a meterologist level, but even to the level of something that would be useful to a chaser). Any help that you can give me would be appreciated . THANKS TIM PS How do you get current CAPE and LI values when the Upper air data only comes in twice a day, or am I looking in the wrong spots for the data. PPS I am double posting this to both WX Talk and WX Chase to take advantage of both groups. THANKS AGAIN ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 21:38:25 -0400 From: Howard Altschule Subject: lightning death This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------6DE3EA90FAC618D8DECE2FEC Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Hi, Thought I'd pass along this LSR describing a fatal lightning strike at a military base in NJ. C YA, Howie gopher://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/00/severe/damage/050323.Philadelphia-MountHolly_NJ --------------6DE3EA90FAC618D8DECE2FEC Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; name="050323.Philadelphia-MountHolly_NJ" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="050323.Philadelphia-MountHolly_NJ" 088 WWUS30 KPHL 032333 LSRPHL PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHILADELPHIA/MOUNT HOLLY NEW JERSEY 725 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 1998 TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0415 AM WHITING NJ LIGHTNING 05/03/98 OCEAN *** 1 DEAD, 6 INJ *** MEMBER OF NJ NATIONAL GUARD RESERVE KILLED WHEN LIGHTNING STRUCK A TREE AND TRAVELED ALONG THE GROUND INTO THE TENT HE WAS IN AT MCGUIRE AFB. FIVE OTHERS WERE ALSO INJURED BY THE LIGHTNING. A SIXTH PERSON WAS INJURED DURING THE RESCUE. THE PREV LIGHTNING RELATED DEATH IN NJ WITHIN PHL CWA OCCURRED ON 5/1/97 WHEN LIGHTNING STRUCK A TREE... CRUSHED THE VEHICLE AND ITS DRIVER IN TINTON FALLS MONMOUTH COUNTY. TFG . --------------6DE3EA90FAC618D8DECE2FEC-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 21:45:21 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: CALL FOR PAPERS/NWA NORMAN Hello Weather Talkers: I have the honor of chairing the NWA Broadcast Meteorology Session scheduled for October 17th in Norman, OK. The Sunday session kicks off the NWA annual meeting which draws 300+ and is widely regarded as one of the best places to get up to date on all that is new in operational meteorology. I am seeking presentations for the Sunday broadcast workshop. I am interested in all presentations relating to broadcast meteorology, and am placing special emphasis on "hands on" type sessions. One topic for this year will be handling a major outbreak of severe weather and we will be efforting presentations from Nashville, Orlando, Birmingham and southern MN (and likely more to come). If you have information to present, please contact me at johnmc49@ecity.net. Additional conference information is posted at www.nwas.org. If you haven't experienced the NWA, the Norman conference will be a great place to start! Regards, John McLaughlin NWA Broadcast Chairperson ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 00:46:51 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: lightning death On Mon, 4 May 1998, Howard Altschule wrote: > Thought I'd pass along this LSR describing a fatal lightning > strike at a military base in NJ. >[...data removed for brevity...] Yes, I saw that and sent my father a copy of that. He lives in Farmingdale, in Monmouth County, the next county up. My sister-in-law lives on the beach in Ocean County, in Point Pleasant. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 00:51:50 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Q: How to use the various online svr wx reporting forms How do we properly use all of the various severe weather reporting forms on the Internet? I think NSSL has one, NWS has one. There are probably more. Which one(s) should be used to make sure a report is recorded in an LSR? And do any of these forms risk the production of duplicate reports, when you also dutifully notify your local NWSFO of a severe weather event? If any are going to result in a dupe someplace, then I'm only using one and one only. How should all the methods be properly used? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 May 1998 to 4 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:01:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626645-903>; Wed, 6 May 1998 13:16:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17698; Wed, 6 May 1998 00:09:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199805060509.AAA17698@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 00:02:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 May 1998 to 5 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b6cd16f4f16ca3597e0bbbbaa17ebc7a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 17 messages totalling 696 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. What's with this El Nino? It's huge again! 2. 10 Days until Hurricane Season....EPAC that is ;) 3. update - WRSAME radio false alarm blues 4. Lotus and reading monthly climatic summaries from NCDC 5. His Forecast Is for Change 6. TV Met Jpb Available (South Fargo, ND) 7. TV Met Job Available (KIMT, Mason City, IA) 8. NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED (5) 9. The sky is falling....... 10. Good story on E.N. news coverage 11. WX-TALK Digest - 3 May 1998 to 4 May 1998 12. 1998's "Hurricane" Ginger (Hurricane Hunters Page) (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 04:26:03 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: What's with this El Nino? It's huge again! Hi Wx-talkers, On Tue, 5 May 1998, Mark Yorsaner wrote: > Well, I should really should eat my words for what I said the other day > about the demise of El Nino. Just as we all thought that maybe, just > maybe the warm > water pool off Peru was in its final days, boom! It rejuvinated, and in a > big way! In fact, if you look at > > http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_glbl_sstanomaly.gif, the +4 C anomaly > is back to 120 W....which probably has not happened in a couple of months! > What is going on here? Will the real El Nino please stand up? I was told > by someone that this is a result of a phenomena called Kelvin waves, which > affects the height of the sea surface, which in turn would affect water > temperatures. Now, is this true, and if so, why isn't the government > mentioning this. And if it isn't, then why the heck is Nino > restrengthening. Now, unless I really know what's going on, whenever I see > a sharp decrease in El Nino, whenever that ever happens again, I will > probably not take it that seriously, because of this rapid > reintensification. Forecasting El Nino is *not* easy. In fact, one analysis John Knaff and I did (published in _Weather & Forecaster_, but also available at: http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/~knaff/ENSO/Cliper.html) shows that there is *NO SKILL* in forecasting El Nino beyond a simple model that combines trends and climatology. The El Nino phenomena will have short term (on the order of several weeks) small alterations in the sea surface temperature that may or may not reflect longer term (several months) variations. It could be that this warming up over the last couple of weeks is a short term reintensification, but it could also be the last gasp of the El Nino. I certainly won't say with certainty what will happen to El Nino. I'm not sure what you mean by "why isn't the government mentioning this", as the NWS/Climate Prediction Center makes a once monthly assessment of the El Nino. Their latest one (April 10, 1998), which did emphasize that the El Nino is still quite strong, can be found at: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/index.html They will have an updated assessment available around the 10th of May. Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** David Letterman's Top Ten Rejected Names for El Nino (11/11/97) 10. Senior Stormy 9. Gee, Your Monsoon Smells Terrific 8. The Devil's Wet Hacking Cough 7. Starbucks' New Storm-uccino 6. Windy Pete, the South American Treat 5. Al Roker's Meal Ticket 4. The Atmospheric Salad Shooter 3. Stormy Spice 2. "Weird El" Ninovic 1. Weathergate ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 02:58:11 -0700 From: Paul Britton Subject: 10 Days until Hurricane Season....EPAC that is ;) Good Day Everyone, My name is Paul Britton Jr, I am the webmaster at Western Weatherguide (http://www.weatherguide.com), a site devoted to Western US weather events. Last summer I launched a web of pages to track that year's tropical activity, and it turned out to be a banner year stormwise. The pages were a success. A year later, again we are 10days away from Hurricane Season in the Eastern Pacific, and I am proud to release our newly revamped Central and Eastern Pacific Hurricane Centre! It is located at http://www.weatherguide.com/main/tropicscentre/ . Check in on all kinds of Tropical Data, Tropical Facts, Hurricane Preparedness, get a full storm name list for every tropical ocean basin on earth, and browse our list of links! When a storm is active, vibrant and full color tracking maps will be updated twice a day with the latest official information, more often if the situation arises. And last but not least, keep an "eye" on the latest Tropical Cyclones in the Central/Eastern Pacific with our SKYSCAN Satellite imagery, centered on the storm's position. Stay with Western Weatherguide, and we will keep you advised! To "kick off" the new season, for the next 10days, we will countdown to Hurricane Season '98 in the EPAC by reviewing the Top 10 Tropical Cyclones of 1997 in the Northern Hemisphere. Once again, the url is http://www.weatherguide.com/main/tropicscentre/. In this same vein, I know there are people from around the world on this list. I am looking to start up a Hurricane Correspondent Program (HCP). What is that you say? I am looking for people in favorable locations to hurricane activity. Last year I received many emails during Hurricane Pauline (200+dead in Mexico) asking about how the situation was..communication was rather slow and still a lot of details are known to very few. To rectify this, I am attempting to setup the HCP on my website. For example, a 115kt Hurricane is bearing down on Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. I have a Hurricane Correspondent already in place. Say it's a local hotel operator or something to that effect. They email me when possible the situation in Cabo, before, during and after the event. I would review the information, and post it up on my website for all to see. Instead of stale news reports, you get the real thing, from the horse's mouth so to speak. At any rate, I've taken up enough of your time. If anyone in a Eastern or Central Pacific (Hawaii) "Hurricane Zone" is interested, please contact me at epacrulz@weatherguide.com. Thank you for your time(bandwidth) and any responses on the site, I would love to hear them! -- Paul Britton Jr. -Freshman Cypress College Webmaster= http://www.weatherguide.com Webmaster= http://www.cypress.cc.ca.us Webmaster= http://www.nemas.org Member= California Weather Association Member= IRC's Undernet: #weather Member= TWCFORUM on Compuserve "When the vapours rise and gather in thick clouds, and the lightning flashes with irresistible power; let us then lift up our believing eyes and see God in them...." -Thomas Prince, 1749. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 08:16:39 -0400 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: update - WRSAME radio false alarm blues I've been working with the ace staff at the ILN (Wilmington, OH) office where the NOAA WX broadcasts originate for my area- they are pretty sure they have pinpointed the 'false alarm' problem with the Radio Shack WRSAME receiver... I will post a full report here when testing is done. The ILN crew has done some preliminary testing and it appears that the radio ignores the 'Single/Multi' switch on the bottom if you put a single FIPS code in the first code position and a '99' (all codes) in the 2nd position. If you put all individual FIPS codes in the positions and don't try to 'cheat' as I did, then the 'Single/Multi' switch does its job and only alerts for the 1st code when the switch is in the 'Single' position. A full report soon- Thanks- Lee Roth - N8JQY ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 12:41:48 -0000 From: CB Subject: Lotus and reading monthly climatic summaries from NCDC A while ago, I put out a message regarding the reading of information in >the large files from the NCDC >(http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/online/gsod.html) of the Global >Surface Summary of the Day. I had previously tried reading the unzipped >file in Excel, but Excel 97 couldn't cope with the vast amount of data, >and cut off a fraction of the way through of the opening of the file. >Someone suggested I try Lotus 1-2-3. I conseuqently installed the >latest version of Lotus Notes and have tried to read the files with this >program, but to no avail. Can anyone give me some advice as to how I >can unzip the files correctly (I use WinZip 6.3 at the moment), and read >them into Lotus 1-2-3? > >I would appreciate any help. Please e-mail me on carona@bluewin.ch > >With many thanks in ainticipation. >Craig Braithwaite >Chur, >SWITZERLAND ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 10:25:00 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: His Forecast Is for Change Former Air Force General Guides Last Phase of Weather Service's Modernization By Edward Walsh Washington Post Staff Writer Tuesday, May 5, 1998; Page A21 Interesting article on General Kelly and the NWS at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1998-05/05/060l-050598-idx.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 09:25:52 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jpb Available (South Fargo, ND) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST/REPORTER (KXJB) Will do Weekends in a market where weather is critical. General assignment reporting three days a week. Tape must show strong on-air presentation. Must be self-starting, aggressive, enterprising. No beginners and no phone calls. Send tape, resume and references: Dave Hoglin - News Director KXJB-TV 4302 13th Ave. South Fargo, North Dakota 58103 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 09:25:06 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (KIMT, Mason City, IA) CHIEF METEOROLOGIST (KIMT) 4 year degree in Atmospheric Science or Broadcast Meteorology. AMS Seal. Candidates should have at least one year experience delivering forecasts in a professional television setting. Knowledge of Kavouras I-7 weather system a plus. Ability to interpret and develop forecasts through DiFax Mays a must. Responsibilities include gathering weather data to develop forecast for broadcast during 6 and 10 o’clock news Monday through Friday. A pleasant on-air delivery and personal style centered on viewers needs and benefits is required. The position will also require the Chief Meteorologist to be on-call to staff the weather office in times of severe weather emergencies. On occasion the position also requires some reporting duties with video packages on weather related issues and feature stories. CONTACT: Doug Merbach, News Director KIMT NewsChannel 3 112 N. Pennsylvania Avenue Mason City, IA 50401 Closing date: June 1, 1998 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 08:52:43 -0700 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Re: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED Tim Holmes stated... >but I do not know how to correlate the data that I read from the maps to what MAY happen 12 hours down >the road. Tim, you can use this as a rule of thumb: If the maps for today look like the maps for yesterday, then expect the same weather today as yesterday. Otherwise, expect a change. And the change will be towards milder weather if high pressure is approaching, or turbulent weather if low pressure is approaching. >I would like to be able to look at the data (either online (there are some excellent sources) or that I >generate myself and be able to have some kind of idea if that afternoon will be a problem. I can read >LI's and CAPE values, as well as several others, I also can pick out highs and lows on the map if the >isobars are in place (DA does this for me). I just don't know how to synthesize this into something >useful (not at a meterologist level, but even to the level of something that would be useful to a >chaser). Begin your synthesis process by looking first at the largest scale, then work down towards your local area. For example, is the predominant feature high pressure or low pressure? If it's low pressure, is there a nearby front? If there's a front, is it approaching or departing? How fast? Apply such a process consistently and you will find your forecasts to be about as good as any by a meteorologist. >PS How do you get current CAPE and LI values when the Upper air data only comes in >twice a day, or am I looking in the wrong spots for the data. Unless a special atmospheric sounding is taken, the stability values computed from the 00Z and 12Z soundings, such as CAPE and LI, are the only ones that can be obtained. Grover Prowell, Certified Consulting Meteorologist Science Applications International Corporation Las Vegas, NV ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 12:52:00 -0500 From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: The sky is falling....... +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 03:04:12 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: What's with this El Nino? It's huge again! Well, I should really should eat my words for what I said the other day about the demise of El Nino. Just as we all thought that maybe, just maybe the warm water pool off Peru was in its final days, boom! It rejuvinated, and in a big way! In fact, if you look at http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_glbl_sstanomaly.gif, the +4 C anomaly is back to 120 W....which probably has not happened in a couple of months! What is going on here? Will the real El Nino please stand up? I was told by someone that this is a result of a phenomena called Kelvin waves, which affects the height of the sea surface, which in turn would affect water temperatures. Now, is this true, and if so, why isn't the government mentioning this. And if it isn't, then why the heck is Nino restrengthening. Now, unless I really know what's going on, whenever I see a sharp decrease in El Nino, whenever that ever happens again, I will probably not take it that seriously, because of this rapid reintensification. Mark Yorsaner +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Wx-talkers: The above image is created by the Navy's Fleet Numeric Group in Monterey. Their current SST analysis is differenced with NCEP's monthly mean climatology to determine SSTA (SST Anomalies). Using current analyses to monitor climate anomalies is a very noisy process. There will be large swings from analysis to analysis. Additionally, you will notice a large step in SSTA whenever the month changes since a new NCEP climatology will be employed. Monthly mean values eliminate much of the noise while searching for climate anomaly signals. The following URL gives excellent monthly mean SSTA values: http://ingrid.ldgo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.Indices/ensomonitor.html April, having just concluded, is not ready yet. The SSTA data through March 98 indicate that although El Nino continues, it is slowly subsiding. The waters around Indonesia, exhibiting cold SSTA during El Nino, have recently warmed substantially. Equatorially SSTs in the central Pacific, although still anomalousy warm, are in the process of cooling. Words like "restrengthening" and "reintensification" do not apply to the current conditions. "Restrengthening" of the current event is possible, but not probable. Current data do not indicate any "restrengthening" of this El Nino. Although the "sky may be falling", the indicated gif file does not offer any proof. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 12:05:13 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED >Begin your synthesis process by looking first at the largest scale, then >work down towards your local area. For example, is the predominant feature >high pressure or low pressure? If it's low pressure, is there a nearby >front? If there's a front, is it approaching or departing? How fast? >Apply such a process consistently and you will find your forecasts to be >about as good as any by a meteorologist. > Is that all there is to it? Silly me... I took 6 years of college for nothing.... ;-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 13:27:56 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Good story on E.N. news coverage http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19980505/V000812-050598-idx.htm l ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 12:45:01 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED > > >Begin your synthesis process by looking first at the largest scale, then > >work down towards your local area. For example, is the predominant feature > >high pressure or low pressure? If it's low pressure, is there a nearby > >front? If there's a front, is it approaching or departing? How fast? > >Apply such a process consistently and you will find your forecasts to be > >about as good as any by a meteorologist. > > > > > Is that all there is to it? Silly me... I took 6 years of college > for nothing.... ;-) > Yeah, really. The above approach might work if all highs/lows/fronts were equal, but of course they are not, and that's where the fun part of forecasting comes in. I do advocate, however, actually _looking_ at the present weather before making a forecast. Seems to me a lot of people don't always do that. Scott :) -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 12:59:56 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED End sarcasm. Begin reasonable response. Tim, If I were you, I would not concentrate on trying to make your own forecast. I would concentrate on reading as much as you can about the current situation from the people whose job it is to forecast. IMHO, you should be reading the Harardous Weather Outlooks, both from SPC and from your local WSFO, along with other discussion type products. These will give you a feel for what the forecasters are thinking and what they are looking at and what they are expecting to happen. Couple these with the zone forecast and you have a pretty good picture of the weather situation. Let's leave the forecasting to the meteorologists when the safety of our children is at stake! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 15:54:11 -0500 From: Colin Meyer Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 May 1998 to 4 May 1998 Rick, The RadioShack SAME model 12-249, that does county alerts, does indeed have variable alert volume. In response to: > Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 12:02:00 CDT > From: Rick Kohrs > Subject: Looking for new Weather Radio > > About 6 years ago my wife bought me a Radio Schaak weather radio. > Typical > design, alert and radio. The alert has a tendency to knock my kids > out of > bed and now I'd like to find one with an adjustable alert volume. > I've found > one in Wind and Weather and seen a couple at Radio Shaak. I have had > very > little luck searching the Web. > > I liked the new feature of county selections on the Radio Schaak > model, but > that did not have variable alert volume. > > Does anyone know of a place that I might look at any other models? > Right now > I'm leaning towards the Wind and Weather Model. > > > Rick Kohrs > rickk@ssec.wisc.edu > > ------------------------------ > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 12:59:27 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Re: 1998's "Hurricane" Ginger (Hurricane Hunters Page) C.W. Tazewell wrote: > > Greetings, > A hurricane before the June 1 start of the hurricane season? > Have you heard about Ginger? > The Hurricane Hunters' Web Page has that and much more about > the Weather Reconnaissance Squadrons. Gotta see! > http://www6.pilot.infi.net/~cwt/hrcn-hnt.html > Cheers, > Bill. > --------------------------------------------------------------------- > The Patriarch of the Internet - An Advantage of Being 81 > Bookmark The Buzzard - Share "My Bookmarks" > http://www.geocities.com/Athens/Parthenon/7933/ also check out http://www.hurricanehunter.com -- homepage http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page DON or DARLA sent this, whoever is on the computer at this time WEB PAGE UPDATED 13 Apr 98 ALSO CHECK OUT http://www.datasync.com/skywarn good weather and links http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 13:00:49 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Re: 1998's "Hurricane" Ginger (Hurricane Hunters Page) Don or Darla Arnold wrote: > > C.W. Tazewell wrote: > > > > Greetings, > > A hurricane before the June 1 start of the hurricane season? > > Have you heard about Ginger? > > The Hurricane Hunters' Web Page has that and much more about > > the Weather Reconnaissance Squadrons. Gotta see! > > http://www6.pilot.infi.net/~cwt/hrcn-hnt.html > > Cheers, > > Bill. > > --------------------------------------------------------------------- > > The Patriarch of the Internet - An Advantage of Being 81 > > Bookmark The Buzzard - Share "My Bookmarks" > > http://www.geocities.com/Athens/Parthenon/7933/ > also check out > > http://www.hurricanehunter.com > > -- > > homepage > http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page > > DON or DARLA sent this, whoever is on the computer at this time > WEB PAGE UPDATED 13 Apr 98 > ALSO CHECK OUT > http://www.datasync.com/skywarn good weather and links > http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page AHHH I BLEW IT try http://www.hurricanehunters.com -- homepage http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page DON or DARLA sent this, whoever is on the computer at this time WEB PAGE UPDATED 13 Apr 98 ALSO CHECK OUT http://www.datasync.com/skywarn good weather and links http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 May 1998 21:21:26 -0400 From: Robert Boyd Subject: Re: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED Tim Holmes wrote on Monday May 4 1998... > Date: Mon, 4 May 1998 17:01:21 -0400 > From: Tim Holmes > Subject: NEW THREAD -- HELP NEEDED > > Hello to all: > > Allow me to introduce myself. My name is Tim Holmes, I am a Science > Teacher by profession, a Fire Fighter (volunteer) by hobby, and a > general storm lover. For > the > past many years, I have been watching storms and trying to make > inferences (I hesitate to call them predictions) about their behavior > based on the clouds, and > the > local nexrad radar. Early last week I discovered a wealth of weather > data here > on > the internet and some good tools for making it useful. deletia... > THANKS > > TIM > > PS How do you get current CAPE and LI values when the Upper air data > only comes > in > twice a day, or am I looking in the wrong spots for the data. > > PPS I am double posting this to both WX Talk and WX Chase to take > advantage of > both > groups. THANKS AGAIN > Hello Tim, Below are a couple of links to real-time satelllite derived stability indexes. Information like Derived Soundings, CAPE, Lifted Indexes, Precipitable Water, etc. can be found at those links. Most of those stability indexes update hourly. NOAA/NESDIS Forecast Products Development Team http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov:80/ora/fpdt1/index.html University of Wisconsin - Space Science and Engineering Center Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/realtime/realtime.html Best of luck on getting what you need. Robert B. ************************************************** Robert Boyd -- KC5ZJO National Weather Service, Midland/Odessa Texas http://www.srh.noaa.gov/maf email: robert.boyd@noaa.gov Standard Disclaimer Always!! ************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 May 1998 to 5 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:02:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1214 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626362-28993>; Thu, 7 May 1998 13:13:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16424; Thu, 7 May 1998 00:07:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199805070507.AAA16424@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 00:01:35 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 May 1998 to 6 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e580c8ba83749d263c8caebc74dea2e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 163 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SAME Radio Geographic Decode 2. Good luck! (2) 3. Good luck, grief! heh (2) 4. NWS Broadcast Met Conf. "Call for Papers" 5. NWA Broadcast Met Conf. "Call for Papers" +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 09:05:33 -0400 From: Larry Krudwig Subject: SAME Radio Geographic Decode This is in response to the messages regarding the Wilmington OH NWS office and the weather radios they program supposedly having extra geographic codes in the header. The most recent message said the user had the 99 code stored in the radio. As the developer of the SAME system for the NWS and very familiar with the RS radio, having the 99 code in the unit is almost certainly the problem. Up until this point I have not joined this discussion because it seemed the user had the radio programmed properly and the unit was either defective or extra codes were being sent. This no longer appears to be the case. The unit comes with a 99 code stored in the first position. If it is not removed or overwritten, the unit will respond to any geographic code transmitted. If the 99 code is overwritten with a valid geographic code in the first position and set to single code only, then the unit should demute and alarm on only that code. If the 99 is put into another position and the unit set to multiple, it will respond to all geographic codes. While this is not described in the manual, this is the outcome. It appears this scenario was one the programmers never thought anyone would use. I certainly agree because it is self-defeating. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 08:35:49 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Good luck! Thanks!!! AND HAPPY BIRTHDAY YOU OLD MAN!!!!!!! 30?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?! Just wanted everyone to know that Gil is 30 (even in dog years!) ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 08:49:33 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Good luck! On Wed, 6 May 1998, Paul Sirvatka wrote, in response to my wishing him good luck on his week long chase trip with his 16 students on the plains: > Thanks!!! > > > AND HAPPY BIRTHDAY YOU OLD MAN!!!!!!! Sorry, I can't find my bifocals, but I think I have the gist of the message...happy Earth Day to you too! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 09:04:34 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: Good luck, grief! heh Gil is 30? Older than dirt! hey gil all the weather chicks here at the lab say happy birthday (and that they owe you birthday spankings!). ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 09:23:55 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: NWS Broadcast Met Conf. "Call for Papers" Attention TV Meteorologists and Weathercasters: Presentations are now being sought for the National Weather Association (NWA) Broadcast Meteorology Workshop to be held October 17 in Norman, Oklahoma. I am interested in all topics relating to broadcast meteorology, including coverage of the major tornado events so far this season (Orlando, Southern MN, Birmingham, Nashville, etc.). I will also continue the emphasis on Media-NWS-EWA relations that we touched on during the Iowa Doppler Radar Conference. If you have a topic to present, contact me at johnmc49@ecity.net or at KCCI-TV at 515-247- 8888. The Broadcast Meteorology Workshop precedes the NWA Annual Meeting to be held October 18-23. Attendance satisfies the NWA Seal of Approval continuing education requirements. Additional information can be obtained at www.nwas.org. Regards, John McLaughlin Chief Meteorologist KCCI Des Moines *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 09:41:08 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: NWA Broadcast Met Conf. "Call for Papers" Oops. I'm so used to typing NWS that it just slipped out. The Broadcast Conference is being hosted by NWA (National Weather Association) not by NWS (National Weather Service). Sorry for the typo. ..CHris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 May 1998 07:55:32 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Re: Good luck, grief! heh Jeff from West Chicago wrote: > hey gil all the weather chicks here at the lab say happy birthday (and > that they owe you birthday spankings!). How does one get a job at the weather lab? Sounds like the kind of place at which I'd like to work! :) It sure isn't like that here! -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** "A good traveller has no fixed plans and is not intent on arriving" -- Lao Tzu (570-490 B.C.) ******************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 May 1998 to 6 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:03:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-655>; Fri, 8 May 1998 13:14:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15480; Fri, 8 May 1998 00:09:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199805080509.AAA15480@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 00:01:35 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 May 1998 to 7 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 287ae3d6b91363c0122b33aba8dcb234 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 190 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SAME Radio Geographic Decode (2) 2. TO: Matt Crowther, RE: Your vid on TWC today (2) 3. Skylog Update +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 01:16:23 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: SAME Radio Geographic Decode In message <029BF3550601D01C*/c=US/admd=ATTMAIL/prmd=GOV+NOAA/o=CCNWS/s=Krudwig/g=Larry/@MHS>, Larry Krudwig writes: > The unit comes with a 99 code stored in the first position. If it is > not removed or overwritten, the unit will respond to any geographic > code transmitted. If the 99 code is overwritten with a valid > geographic code in the first position and set to single code only, > then the unit should demute and alarm on only that code. If the 99 is > put into another position and the unit set to multiple, it will > respond to all geographic codes. While this is not described in the > manual, this is the outcome. It appears this scenario was one the > programmers never thought anyone would use. I certainly agree because > it is self-defeating. I think what the poster was saying is that if you have a 99 in one of the other positions but a valid code programmed in the first position, the radio will demute for any county, not just the programmed one, when the switch is in "single" mode. For example, say you programmed your local code into slot 1 and a 99 in slot 2 and kept the radio in "multiple" mode during the day to hear anything but only wanted to be awakened for your local county at night, so you switched the unit to "single" at bedtime. Please forgive me if I was wrong (I tried to check the log, but the permissions only allow owner and group access to the latest list log...) William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 04:30:09 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: TO: Matt Crowther, RE: Your vid on TWC today Hi Matt, Thought you'd be interested to know that Sharon is describing your wall cloud with beaver tail as a "roll cloud with a rain shaft in the background..." 8-) If it makes you feel any better, we once had a WCM describe a slide of a fat winding tornado (which was kinda hard to make out in the dimly-lit slide show he was giving) as a "rainbow" with a "fall streaks" (debris) behind it. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 08:19:13 -0400 From: "Roth, Leland" Subject: Re: SAME Radio Geographic Decode >... > The unit comes with a 99 code stored in the first position. If it is > not removed or overwritten, the unit will respond to any geographic > code transmitted. If the 99 code is overwritten with a valid > geographic code in the first position and set to single code only, > then the unit should demute and alarm on only that code. If the 99 is > put into another position and the unit set to multiple, it will > respond to all geographic codes. While this is not described in the > manual, this is the outcome. It appears this scenario was one the > programmers never thought anyone would use. I certainly agree because > it is self-defeating. Re-read my message. The scenario is that a specific code is stored in the 1st position and '99' is stored in the 2nd position. The intent was durning periods that I am interested in any svr wx events anywhere in my area, I put the switch on the bottom in the 'multi' position. If I am only interested in events that affect my county, then I put the switch in the 'single' positon. The ILN staff has determined that the radio, as programmed above, will alert for any geography if the switch is in the 'single' position. The manual does not describe this potential configuration as being valid or invalid. The workaround appears to be to fill the remaining positions with valid codes for other counties and don't use '99' in any of them. I guess it's just my programmer/analyst IF-THEN-ELSE mental approach that caused my to try and program it that way in the first place. Lee Roth - N8JQY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 06:36:49 -0600 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Re: TO: Matt Crowther, RE: Your vid on TWC today Yep! Caught that myself this morning! Nice Footage! Screwy Description! David Skywarn-Pueblo, Colorado David, Melissa, & "Stormy" Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "It's a GREAT day for Hockey!!!" -The Late Bob Johnson-Pittsburgh Penguins & Team USA Ice Hockey Coach -----Original Message----- From: Todd L. Sherman To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Date: Thursday, May 07, 1998 4:10 AM Subject: TO: Matt Crowther, RE: Your vid on TWC today >Hi Matt, > > Thought you'd be interested to know that Sharon is describing your wall >cloud with beaver tail as a "roll cloud with a rain shaft in the >background..." 8-) > > If it makes you feel any better, we once had a WCM describe a slide of >a fat winding tornado (which was kinda hard to make out in the dimly-lit >slide show he was giving) as a "rainbow" with a "fall streaks" (debris) >behind it. :) > >Todd > >/-----------------------------------------------------------------\ >| Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | >| -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | >| Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | >| Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | >\-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 May 1998 10:17:54 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Skylog Update Hey folks... Now that my last semester of college is wrapping up, I have resumed work on Skylog. For those who have joined us recently, Skylog is a logging and computer aided dispatching tool intended for amateur radio SKYWARN and public service events. It can also be used for whatever other similar functions are out there. It is distributed freely in the public domain. I have gotten a lot of very positive feedback about version 3.0. A couple of bugs have been unearthed, so a 3.1 bug fix release will be coming out shortly. Version 4.0 will include the capabilities to run real-time multi-user over the Internet or other similar private networks. At first, it will be a Linux-only release (and whatever other UNIX variants folks feel like porting it to) as that's the only environment that I know how to do network programming under. Once the server side is completely defined and written, I will welcome any interested Windows and/or Macintosh programmers who wish to write a client for those platforms. For those interested in checking it out, the Skylog home page is currently located at: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ It will be moving on Friday May 15. My E-mail addresses will also be changing. I will post another announcement about the move when the date is a bit closer. There is also a Skylog mailing list. Details regarding it are on the web site. Thanks again to everyone who has written to share your comments about Skylog! It is encouraging to see it getting such wide use. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 May 1998 to 7 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:03:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625877-7354>; Sat, 9 May 1998 13:14:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA42406; Sat, 9 May 1998 00:09:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199805090509.AAA42406@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 00:03:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 May 1998 to 8 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dd87180861d9966e23f364861d575ee9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 211 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. A forwarded message 2. TV Met Jobs Available (3 positions) 3. Smoke Plume from Fires in Guatemala & Southern Mexico (2) 4. Caps, Unlimied address and phone number..i +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 07:32:55 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: A forwarded message An open message to the list: Recently I received this message from a young man in North Carolina. I am forwarding it to the list because there are many of you out there who can offer better help than I can. It is exciting to see young people like this with an interest in meteorology. I"m sure we all have known someone like him. Thanks... > Subject: > storm help > Date: > Wed, 06 May 1998 12:38:53 +0000 > From: > Cheryl Ellis > Organization: > Rocky Mount Charter Public School > To: > mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us > > > my name is vj ellis.i am on my mom's computer so thats why it says > cheryl ellis.i need some help.i am wanting to become a stormchaser more > than life itself.i am 13 and trying to learn the information.by the > time i am 19 i hope to have tracked down my first storm.i need help > trying to go about getting the information.this is really big so please > respond when you get you first chance.i need advice. -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** "A good traveller has no fixed plans and is not intent on arriving" -- Lao Tzu (570-490 B.C.) ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 14:00:22 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (3 positions) Meteorologist, KGWC (CBS) Casper, WY KGWC TV has an immediate opening for a weekday meteorologist for our 5:30 PM and 10:00 PM newscasts. We are looking for an energetic, enthusiastic and dynamic candidate who is familiar with today's computer weather systems. Some weather related reporting will be required. Experience preferred. Degree in meteorology, NWA or AMS seal is a plus. Resumes/tapes to: Vicki Daniels, News Director KGWC-TV 2500 CY Avenue Casper, WY 82604 = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Meteorologist, WDJT (CBS) Milwaukee, WI CBS affiliate seeks an energetic, experienced meteorologist who can forecast, prepare and present our weather segments. Knowledge of SRI a plus. AMS Seal preferred. Rush resume and non-returnable tape to: Director of Human Resources WDTJ-TV 509 W. Wisconsin Ave. Milwaukee, WI 53203 * * * No Phone Calls, Please! = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Meteorologist, KRCR (ABC) Redding, CA Main weather person to prepare and present weather on 3 newscasts daily. Meteorologist would be nice, but not mandatory. With seal(s) or confident can get quickly. Our chief weather person does a lot of community events: speaks in schools, does a ''student of the week,'' and takes part is station promotional activities. Applicant must be prepared to be on-camera person for things such as contest drawings, etc. We have the WSI 9000 weathr graphics system and a sizeable weatherwatchers network. Northern California is beautiful and great for an outdoors type. Contract required. Respond to: Gary Gunter, News Director KRCR-TV 755 Auditorium Drive Redding, CA 96001 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 14:50:59 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Smoke Plume from Fires in Guatemala & Southern Mexico The following should be of interest. The plume can be plainly seen on the visible satellite image. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 231 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 1998 ...GRASS FIRES BURNING OUT OF CONTROL OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA ARE REDUCING VISIBILITY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON... VISIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON WAS RUNNING 2 TO 4 MILES IN THICK HAZE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. CORPUS CHRISTI WAS NEAR 1 MILE. THE CULPRIT ARE A SERIES OF GRASS FIRES BURNING ACROSS SEVERAL HUNDRED SQUARE MILES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA. THE SMOKE PLUME AS SHOWN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM SOUTH TEXAS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WATERS TO THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA. THESE FIRES HAVE BEEN BURNING OUT OF CONTROL FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THIS PLUME REACHED SAN ANTONIO...AUSTIN AND DEL RIO YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD. THE VISIBILITY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD IMPROVE SOMEWHAT SATURDAY AS WEST WINDS MIX THE HAZE EASTWARD. HOWEVER...THIS PLUME OF SMOKE AND HAZE COVERS AN AREA ROUGHLY THE SIZE OF CALIFORNIA AND COULD RETURN SUNDAY AS LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN ONCE AGAIN TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 20:27:35 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Smoke Plume from Fires in Guatemala & Southern Mexico > SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX > 231 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 1998 > > ...GRASS FIRES BURNING OUT OF CONTROL OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND > NORTHERN GUATEMALA ARE REDUCING VISIBILITY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH > TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON... > A good large-scale visible image which shows this smoke is http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/g8/latest_g8vis.gif If you have an FLI video player, an animation is at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/~mw/auto/g8vis.fli This burning has persisted for the past 2-3 months over southern Mexico...we have two entries on our CIMSS GOES Gallery which address this phenomenon: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980407.html http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980216.html -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 May 1998 22:18:50 -0500 From: "Joe B. Dorn" Subject: Caps, Unlimied address and phone number..i Someone was looking for Caps, Unlimited info the other day. I ran across the catalog that I picked up at the recent Belton Ham Expo when I gathered up my mid-month bills. Lots of SkyWarn stuff in it. They also carry the magnetic signs (not guaranteed to stick in F5's)... Could be attached to steel girders when temporary chase headquarters are set up. In case anyone orders a cap from them, the black cap with the SkyWarn logo looks good. Address is: Caps, Unlimited PO Box 460118 Garland Texas 75046-0118 Voice or fax (972) 276-0413 Joe B. Dorn, W5VEX Belton, Texas ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 May 1998 to 8 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:04:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626152-104>; Sun, 10 May 1998 13:18:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23720; Sun, 10 May 1998 00:14:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199805100514.AAA23720@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 10 May 1998 00:07:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 May 1998 to 9 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 382f4ff27dc6993b03b3b1461873fffa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 44 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Fires in Central America (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 11:21:58 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Fires in Central America Anyone know of a good visible image that shows the smoke plumes eminating from Mexico and Central America? Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 9 May 1998 09:19:10 -0800 From: Jeff Baker Subject: Re: Fires in Central America I haven't looked at all the sat images on this page, but your fires should be in there somewhere -- a great sat image page! http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/ora/fpdt1/nwasat.html Jeff Baker -----Original Message----- From: Sam Barricklow To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Date: Saturday, May 09, 1998 8:29 AM Subject: Fires in Central America >Anyone know of a good visible image that shows the smoke plumes >eminating from Mexico and Central America? > >Sam Barricklow > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 May 1998 to 9 May 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu May 21 15:05:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1361 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-17738>; Mon, 11 May 1998 13:11:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47468; Mon, 11 May 1998 00:06:13 -0500 Message-Id: <199805110506.AAA47468@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 00:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 May 1998 to 10 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bc72797d75a3dd031a5337974cab2d15 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 56 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. STORMTRACK 2. calling all tropical enthusiasts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 10 May 1998 08:28:51 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: STORMTRACK The next issue of STORMTRACK MAGAZINE will be mailed out this week. It features articles from chasers AROUND THE WORLD. Also, the annual chaser picnic is currently scheduled for MAY 17th at 1pm at Tim Marshalls house -unless there is a slight risk or better for the plains. Alternate dates are the following week(s). See STonline at http://www.weathergraphics.com/stormtrack/stst.htm for a map, directions, and other information. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 10 May 1998 20:48:16 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: calling all tropical enthusiasts The Tropical Division of the NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service (NEMAS) is currently looking for interested persons to join our staff of dedicated members. We are in need of both forecasters and observers. If you have an interested in tropical meteorology or live along the coast from Texas to Maine and would be interested in helping out with NEMAS-TRP operations this tropical season please contact mrosier@nemas.org Skill/knowledge basis for TRP positions: Forecaster: In order to forecast for NEMAS-TRP applicants should have a healthy basis of knowledge in tropical meteorology including knowledge of the dynamics and evolution of tropical systems. A degree is not necessary and this position is open to all applicants of any age, although applicants 16+ years old are prefered. Intern positions are available for those under the age of 16. Observer: In order to observe for NEMAS-TRP applicants should live within 50 miles of the coastline from Texas to Maine. Observing instruments are not needed to serve this position although they are helpful and prefered. For more information and an application, contact mrosier@nemas.org NEMAS is a non-profit organization and all positions within NEMAS are on a volunteer basis. Thank You. Matt J. Rosier mrosier@nemas.org - NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service * Administrative Committee Member * Maryland Division (BAL) Lead Forecaster * Tropical Division (TRP) Lead Forecaster - ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 May 1998 to 10 May 1998 ************************************************* From - Thu May 21 15:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3355 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626595-26280>; Tue, 12 May 1998 13:15:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11820; Tue, 12 May 1998 00:09:25 -0500 Message-Id: <199805120509.AAA11820@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 May 1998 to 11 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6430b6697fe505bf9faca017474e040f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 210 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Regional Editors Needed 2. Wanted: Boris Karloff on NWR 3. Warnings that put the fear of God in you. :) (Was: Karloff warnings) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 07:44:51 -0600 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Re: Regional Editors Needed THE FOLLOWING IS STRICTLY THE OPINION OF THE AUTHOR "ME"! IT IS NOT MY INTENTION TO PORTRAY THE FOLLOWING OPINION AS AN ACCURATE REPRESENTATION OF THE OPINIONS OR BELIEFS OF THIS LIST OR IT'S LIST MANAGER IN ANY WAY, SHAPE OR FORM. In other words, I, & I alone am expressing my Freedom of Speech & Personal Belief's regarding Mr. Hipkins' Magazine & his apparent lack of Management ability. I just recently saw Mr. Hipkins' plea for "Regional Editor's" for his "so-called" magazine "WEATHER WATCH". To be honest, I nearly fell off of my office chair, laughing, when I read his entry on this list! PERSONALLY speaking, I am advising you, NO WARNING YOU!!! DON'T DO IT!!! It took me about of month to be "approved" & work things out with BILL regarding my being a Regional Editor for a magazine that I have yet to even see! That's right, as compensation for my Monthly submissions I was to received a free copy each month as long as I remained on the Staff. Well, I quit, resigned, threw in the towel, what have you, in February after starting at the end of November of '97. I resigned for the following reasons: 1. Repeated attempts to have question's regarding the job and status of my free issues went either unanswered or took two weeks to receive a "ring around the rosey" style answer. 2. After submitting my 1st monthly article, only to never, EVER, see my product in print, I repeatedly contacted Mr. Hipkins via the E-Mail to voice my concern & discouragement. It took forever to receive a response from BILL! When I did finally receive a response from BILL on 01/27/98 at 10:37 p.m., here is what he said VERBATIM! "Sure, as soon as it is printed. Sorry you feel your work went unrewarded. However, this is the reason the magazine is in turmoil, people want immediate results. I have people who don't want to go with the flow so I got rid of them. I'm now doing it all myself. Unfortunately, it's not a surprise you quit. Sorry." Bill ------------------ Go with the flow! Unfortunately, there has been no visible "flow" to Mr. Hipkins' and his magazine. I even did a little research among other Weather Watch Magazine Editor's and they were just as (if not more) dissatisfied with the way they were treated by Mr. Hipkins. BTW, Mr. Hipkins, it really IS a surprise that I DID quit, because prior to being shafted by you and this so-called magazine of yours, I NEVER QUIT ANYTHING! If you don't think my work went unrewarded, what do you call it? I wasn't really looking for "immediate" results, but rather a copy of this magazine! I sincerely hope your paying subscriber's receive more expeditious service! Lastly, It is now May! I submitted my monthly submission at the Beginning of December '97! YOU NEVER SENT ME ANYTHING AS COMPENSATION! My guess is you didn't send me a copy of the December Issue with my article because of the so-called "turmoil" the magazine is in! I wonder why another Regional Editor quit because he wrote articles for you for 4 months and never received anything as compensation! NOT EVEN ONE COPY OF YOUR MAGAZINE! Lastly, YOU "DIDN'T GET RID OF" ME Bill, I just saw the light and got out before it was too late and I wasted anymore of my time for your magazine! This is just a friendly warning to potential future editors! JUDGE FOR YOURSELVES!!!!! I am sure Mr. Hipkins is probably a nice guy, but not a very good manager! Unless you have nothing better to do with your free time, fine! Otherwise, unless his magazine service has changed, I wouldn't risk it again! Thanks for the time to voice my OPINION! David Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "It's a GREAT day for Hockey!!!" -The Late Bob Johnson-Pittsburgh Penguins & Team USA Ice Hockey Coach -----Original Message----- From: WxWatchmag To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Date: Sunday, May 03, 1998 4:00 PM Subject: Regional Editors Needed >WeatherWatch magazine is currently looking for volunteer regional editors to >write weather summaries for us. For more information on regions available or >any questions, contact Bill Hipkins at WxWatchMag@aol.com > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 15:40:51 -0700 From: "Morgan G. Palmer" Subject: Wanted: Boris Karloff on NWR Many years ago, storm tips and definitions of warnings were recorded for NOAA Wx Radio by Boris Karloff. His ominous (downright frightening) voice was used for announcements such as "A Tornado Watch means..." and "Your National Weather Service wants you to know....." I would really enjoy hearing these again, as they literally scared the pants off me as a kid. In fact, once when I was four or five, it was a dark and stormy night in ABI, and I was listening with my sister to NWR, when suddenly Karloff's voice came across our old Regency scanner. Simultaneouly, my sister and I screamed..."Mom!!" Anyway, if anyone (perhaps at an NWS office) still has these recordings or knows where I can get my hands on them, please let me know. I would be happy to send blank tapes, carts, or reels to get copies of these classics. I would also include a prepaid return envelope/box. Also, if they're public domain, I will put them on my web site so all may enjoy. Thanks very much. Morgan Palmer KC5GPG Austin TX mpalmer@mail.utexas.edu http://wwwvms.utexas.edu/~mpalmer/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 May 1998 17:48:48 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Warnings that put the fear of God in you. :) (Was: Karloff warnings) On Mon, 11 May 1998, Morgan G. Palmer wrote: > Many years ago, storm tips and definitions of warnings were recorded for > NOAA Wx Radio by Boris Karloff. His ominous (downright frightening) > voice was used for announcements such as "A Tornado Watch means..." and > "Your National Weather Service wants you to know....." I honestly don't remember that (I was but a youngun, and I'm not sure the Louisville NWSFO ever did them), but we had something almost as good... The woman who, for some years, used to announce severe weather warnings for the Louisville NWR station was (based on sound anyways) a matronly, caring black grandmother who whenever there was a weather warning one could REALLY tell she was concerned for your safety. They used to pipe the NWR voice into the speaker systems of the Jefferson County schools during severe weather (the schools switched the weather radio onto a loudspeaker when the EBS signals were given), and one would hear something akin to a rather panic-stricken Nell Carter announce: "The National Weather Service has issued a tornado warnin! REPEAT--A TORNADO WAR-*NIN*! Take shelter *IMMEDIATELY!*" as if she could actually see an F5 bearing straight for the weather station. This woman no longer does announcements (I suspect she is either retired or dead), but she did make a rather large impression on schoolkids when she did the announcements and I rather wish I could find a recording of her announcements of Imminent Danger. Offhand, slightly related--it seems the person who used to put the "If the siren sounds, do not go look for the tornado" announcements in the Marfa, TX tornado warnings has moved to Springfield, MO: ZCZC DD+ 21657 WFUS1 KSGF 070029 TORSGF MOC065-070105- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 728 PM CDT WED MAY 6 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... DENT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI * UNTIL 805 PM CDT * AT 726 PM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALEM. THIS STORM WAS MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... AREAS SOUTH OF SALEM NORTH OF DARIEN AVOID THE TEMPTATION OF TRYING TO CATCH A GLIMPSE OF A TORNADO. IN MANY CASES...BY THE TIME YOU SPOT A TORNADO IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO PROTECT YOURSELF AGAINST IT'S DANGERS. SEEK SHELTER NOW AND REMAIN PROTECTED UNTIL THE DANGER HAS PASSED. RUNNELS/LINDENBERG NNNN :) -pb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 May 1998 to 11 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:06:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2994 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-21716>; Wed, 13 May 1998 13:10:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB11146; Wed, 13 May 1998 00:06:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199805130506.AAB11146@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 00:00:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 May 1998 to 12 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 73a5596aec848e7abf0be406ff3d3e52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 296 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. forecaster application 2. NetNews : Vote for a Local Radar at Personal AccuWeather ; More Lightning For Sale at Striking Images 3. Fw: Regional Editors Needed (2) 4. Upper Air Flights from Phoenix 5. Skylog Home Page Move 6. Meteorologist Position, The Weather Channel 7. question (fwd) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 00:07:36 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: forecaster application Hello Matt.. I tried your email address, and got a delivery failed message. I may not have the address correct. Would you please send me an application for the tropical forecaster position? Chris Sells amateur radio station AC4CS ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 10:26:01 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : Vote for a Local Radar at Personal AccuWeather ; More Lightning For Sale at Striking Images NetNews, recent weather-related news about Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. Send your reports of recent changes or additions to weather websites to: netnews@weatherwatchers.org for inclusion in these postings. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to websites which affect the Internet community. 1.) In an unprecedented move this week, Personal AccuWeather is involving the entire Internet community in a major decision: What type of local Nexrad radar the service (currently has a free and a pay incantation) will have in the future. You can vote for one of 5 local NEXRADs. This is our chance to determine the future of an Internet Service. Even if you're not a 'radar nut' like me I'm sure you're concerned with the quality of free (and even pay) Local Nexrads on the Internet. So let your voice be heard. Current subscribers will see an ad on their page which will lead them to the voting booth but non-subscribers can vote here: http://personal.accuweather.com/iwxpage/paws/voteo.htm 2.) Got lightning pictures? If not Striking Images has updated their database of thumbnails of lightning pictures for sale to over 400 at http://strikingimages.com/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 07:02:25 -0600 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Fw: Regional Editors Needed I hope Matt doesn't mind, but I am forwarding this to the list! Perhaps people will take this sad situation seriously!!! Please read his reply below!!! David David, Melissa, & "Stormy" Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "It's a GREAT day for Hockey!!!" -The Late Bob Johnson-Pittsburgh Penguins & Team USA Ice Hockey Coach -----Original Message----- From: Matt Rosier To: DAVID A JACOBER Date: Monday, May 11, 1998 1:17 PM Subject: Re: Regional Editors Needed >David, > >I agree entirely with your comments regarding WeatherWatch magazine and >Bill Hipkins posted on WX-TALK. Last spring I volunteered for a editor >position, I was started off as Mid Atlantic Regional Editor, one month >later I was shifted to another region, the following month I was shifted to >yet a 3rd different region, I was then told I could have the Mid Atlantic >editor position back since the person lined up for that position had not >replied further about it, I assumed this position and the next day I was >returned to editor of the region that I was 2 days earlier... finally, Bill >realized his candidate for the Mid Atlantic region wasnt following through, >and I assumed the Mid Atlantic editor position again, this time for good. I >have never seen a single one of my regional summaries in a copy of >WeatherWatch, infact, since I assumed my position as editor I have not >receive a single issue of WeatherWatch other than a sample issued when I >initially became a partof the magazine. > >NUMEROUS times I have asked Bill about the status of the magazine, and I >used to hear responses such as "an issue should be out within the next 2 >weeks" -- I cant tell you how many times he told me an issue was on the way >-- have any come? NO. The last time I asked him about the status of the >magazine, I received no reply. To say the least, I haven't submitted a >summary since February and I consider myself finished with WeatherWatch. >What a waste of time. > >Matt > > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 08:40:27 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Upper Air Flights from Phoenix Feel free to spread this information... ______________________________ Forward Header __________________________________ Subject: Upper Air Flights from Phoenix Author: Michael Bruce at W-WR-PSR Date: 5/8/98 10:41 AM We tentatively plan to begin (12Z only) upper air flights from Phoenix on Monday June 8. The flights will actually be released from the NWS office here at the Salt River Project building in Tempe. However, we will use the WMO identifier for Luke Air Force Base (74005) for which we have approval. The exact coordinates for the release point are: 033 deg 26' 47" N 111 deg 57' 07" W Elevation of release point is 1243 feet. The data will be transmitted over AFOS under the following headers: PHXMANPHX PHXSGLPHX We will use: Vaisala sondes RS80-15lh (loran) NSSL "suitcase" CLAS system for collecting and processing data. The flights should last through mid to late September. Thanks to all for your assistance. mb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 12:39:23 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Skylog Home Page Move Greetings folks.. My entire Internet presence will be moving on Friday May 15, 1998. This means that the Skylog home page will also be moving. New addresses will become effective some time during that day: New Skylog home page URL: http://skywarn.ssec.wisc.edu/~n9vht/skylog/ My new E-mail address: n9vht@skywarn.ssec.wisc.edu My new personal web URL: http://skywarn.ssec.wisc.edu/~circ/ All addresses ending in skywarn.cs.wisc.edu will cease to function at 0900 that morning. The skywarn.ssec.wisc.edu addresses will become valid a few hours after that. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 14:45:05 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Meteorologist Position, The Weather Channel TITLE: Meteorologist DEPARTMENT: Meteorology OVERALL RESPONSIBILITIES: Supports the mission of TWC by providing superior meteorological products and services. Is capable of independently preparing analysis and forecast products for internal and external customers of TWC. OPTIMUM QUALIFICATIONS: ----------------------- KNOWLEDGE: Bachelor's Degree in Meteorology or equivalent educational background plus at least three (3) years of full-time operational experience, or a Master's Degree in Meteorology plus at least one (1) year operational experience. SKILLS: Proficient in weather analysis and forecasting. Excellent communicator (verbal and written). Able to relate with sensitivity to the unique challenges of a 24 X 7 operation with critical deadlines. Other important attributes include experience with local meteorological, climatological, and topographical idiosyncrasies nationwide; and basic computer skills in a Windows environment. Experience with graphic visualization of weather elements a plus. BEHAVIOR: Maintains high standards for product, performance, and ethics. Carries out with spirit and commitment the role of the team, department, and cross-functional efforts in achieving the competitive advantage of The Weather Channel. Is attentive to detail, flexible, able to work well in a team environment, and can focus and respond to customer needs in a positive and enthusiastic manner. If interested, please respond in writing by Friday, May 15, 1998 to Kathy Strebe. The Weather Channel 300 Interstate North Parkway Atlanta, GA 30339-2404 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 17:10:21 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: question (fwd) To the list: I got this today from an individual in France who seems to be interested in learning about tornadoes, chasing and filming them, I suppose. Would anyone care to take a shot at a reply to him? Myself, I'm not really a chaser, and I don't consider myself to be adequately "learned" in the field of tornadoes, chasing, or filming to really offer him a suitable reply. But, I don't want to leave him abandoned without a reply, either. I'm sending him a reply explaining this, and I've notified him that I have forwarded his letter to a group of individuals who would be more able to handle the answers. Appreciate your help. Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 18:36:29 +0200 From: crca1 To: afn09444@afn.org Subject: question Good morning, I present me. My name is Stephan Dehoul and I call you from France (Reims exactelly in north east of France). I'm going to try to explain the reason of my call and I hope you will understand that I want to say because my english langage isn't very good. First of all, I want to congratulate you and your team (if you have it) for the work and research about tornadoes and storms. I admire you so much. If I ingulge in to calling you today, it's because there is three years ago that I'm passionate for tornadoes. I feel it so fascinating. My biggest dream will be to make that you do and it's for this reason that I would like to know if I can join to us as a volontary. If you are aggree, I'm ready to do what you want, to film, to drive, to make photos or something else. I very feel like to learn a lot of things about tornadoes. This is my E-Mail= Stephan@france-mail.com Thank you for your answer. Sinceraly Stephan. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 May 1998 18:28:44 EDT From: WxWatchmag Subject: Re: Fw: Regional Editors Needed Well here is my reply to those "dissatified" editors. 1st, this will be my ONLY reply to this, since this is not a list for feuds. As a reply, many of the editors that I have were inconsistant, unreliable, and for the most part, just plain RUDE. Many times I called for articles with no response. This is ONE OF THE MAIN REASONS why WeatherWatch is so far behind. Want to complain to someone about, look in the mirror my friend! William Hipkins Publisher PS: If you want to reply, reply to me. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 May 1998 to 12 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:07:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2928 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627059-266>; Thu, 14 May 1998 23:23:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46462; Thu, 14 May 1998 00:11:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199805140511.AAA46462@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 00:03:36 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 May 1998 to 13 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 163057d5507a214ccfbe3220d18114c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 105 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Severe Storm Dimensions 2. NOAA-K 3. NOAA-K info 4. Central American smoke--satellite images 5. Storm Chasing Partner +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 09:53:17 -0500 From: "Robert J. Bussard" Subject: Severe Storm Dimensions MKC AWW 121856 WW 332 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 121930Z - 130100Z AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 65NNE BJI/BEMIDJI MN/ - 55ESE STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /40WSW INL - 16ENE MSP/ MKC AWW 122208 WW 335 SEVERE TSTM WI LS 122230Z - 130300Z AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 135N EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ - 40E EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /29E DLH - 34E EAU/ I have included the two watch areas to ask where I can find guidance on the issuance of severe weather advisories of this nature. Surely there is some government logic to this. I cannot see why the issue would not have been 30 east of Duluth.. Watch for St. Cloud could have been for Minneapolis or maybe "Anoka".. Why the long mileage between end point and city. Naturally in western states there may need to be a long distance between town and end point, but what are the rules? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 13:07:00 -0500 From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: NOAA-K Wx-talkers: The NOAA-K satellite was successfully launched at ~8:52 PDT (1552 GMT) this morning from Vandenberg Air Force Base aboard a Titan II launch vehicle. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 15:18:00 -0500 From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: NOAA-K info Wx-talkers: More info on today's launch and the NOAA-K satellite itself can be found at the following URLs: http://www.flatoday.com/space/today http://poes2.gsfc.nasa.gov/campaign/campaign_home.htm Cheers! -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 22:54:28 -0400 From: Steve Masters Subject: Central American smoke--satellite images I have collected a few GOES-8 satellite images from this past weekend and Wednesday (13May) afternoon showing the smoke plume from the fires over Central America. A zoomed-in image from Wednesday clearly shows the source region of the smoke. The images can be viewed at http://www.geocities.com/Athens/Oracle/8751/smoke/index.html Steve Masters smasters@iu.net ENSCO, Inc. stevem@fl.ensco.com Melbourne, FL USA ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 May 1998 23:21:17 -0400 From: Krukowski Subject: Storm Chasing Partner Hi, I am a weather enthusiast interested in all aspects of weather. I plan to do some storm chasing to summer, most likely close to my area and I am looking for a female storm chasing partner (20-24 years of age) preferably in the Thunder Bay, Ontario region. I am a 21 year old male and am a student at Confederation college. Anyone interested can email me. Radek K:) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 May 1998 to 13 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:07:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2196 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-857>; Fri, 15 May 1998 13:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19544; Fri, 15 May 1998 00:09:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199805150509.AAA19544@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 00:03:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 May 1998 to 14 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5e19ef6f4d2988c846515449a8681a67 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 359 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Fw: Regional Editors Needed 2. Severe Storm Dimensions (4) 3. Central American smoke--satellite images +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 06:49:10 -0600 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: Re: Fw: Regional Editors Needed First of all Mr. Hipkins, I WILL NOT reply to you privately for two (2) reason's! #1, you have an extremely difficult time responding to ANYBODY'S e-mail! #2, I have no feud with you, but rather I wish to voice the "FACTS" to other potential "Victim's" on this list. I feel you and your magazine offer a very unreliable service. As a result, I will address your "Transparent" & "Factually False" accusations here, so that others are warned! Besides, IMHO that is what this WX-Talk List is about! Talking about weather related occurences, issues, equipment questions, & PUBLICATION discussions! Please note that my response is listed below Mr. Hipkins point. -----Original Message----- From: WxWatchmag To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Date: Tuesday, May 12, 1998 4:31 PM Subject: Re: Fw: Regional Editors Needed >Well here is my reply to those "dissatified" editors. 1st, this will be my >ONLY reply to this, since this is not a list for feuds. > >As a reply, many of the editors that I have were inconsistant, unreliable, and >for the most part, just plain RUDE. Many times I called for articles with no >response. This is ONE OF THE MAIN REASONS why WeatherWatch is so far behind. >Want to complain to someone about, look in the mirror my friend! > >William Hipkins >Publisher > >PS: If you want to reply, reply to me. #1. Really?!!! "Inconsistent, unreliable, & for the most part, just plain rude"????!!!!! I challenge you to attach any E-Mail sent to you by me or any other "Regional Editor" that has complained openly about this invisible Magazine of yours, that was RUDE? I can only speak for myself, but at no time, did I ever send you any impolite or rude E-Mail to you! In fact my E-mails to you were very patient, polite, & professional towards you! I had no conntrol over the FACT that YOU either never responded to our E-Mail, took 2 weeks to answer it, or danced around the question with your Politician styles responses! BTW, I sent numerous E-Mails with questions to your AOL address only to see them repeatedly rejected and sent back saying the address does not exist! #2. I challenge you to attach any postings you may have sent me or any other "Regional Editor" that has openly complained about your blatant inability to manage a magazine, that went unanswered or you received no response from! You NEVER sent me any E-Mail asking for any submissions! My only submission was on time! In FACT the reader's should clearly understand that you are the one that takes two (2) weeks to answer an E-Mail, if you answer it at all! BTW, I think the mirror you looked in gave you a warped sense of truth! So far, I have heard from two (2) other "Former" editors of your Tabloid that contributed a lot more than the one monthly submission that I did, and didn't receive ANY compensation EVER! "If" (& I don't believe this is true) they were late, that's RUDE! But, the fact is you obviously accepted their (& Mine as well) product and service without due compensation for same! You told me you would send me an issue of the Magazine almost 5 months ago! NEVER SAW IT! You told another editor named "Brian" that you sent him an issue, but he never saw it! Yet you never sent him another one? He was an editor for 4-5 months, and you never sent him Squat! The other gentleman, whose response to me I already posted, said you sent him an initial "Sample" issue, but nothig further. FACT: THE ONLY REASON THAT YOUR MAGAZINE, WHICH MOST OF US "PAST" EDITORS HAVE CONTRIBUTED AT LEAST ONE (1), IF NOT MORE, SUBMISSIONS TO IS BEHIND IS BECAUSE YOU, AND ONLY YOU HAVE DONE A POOR JOB RUNNING IT! I AM NOT CERTAIN THAT THIS MAGAZINE EVEN EXISTS! Obviously, your policy is, "You can't blame the "coach", but you can blame the "players"! Personally, I think it's the "coaching" that stinks. The "players" may not be the best, but I'm sure they tried their best to work with the "false promises of compensation" you have put forth! I apologize to the rest of this list for this rubbish, but if there is one thing I cannot stand for, it IS LACK OF INTEGRITY ON THE PART OF Mr. Hipkins! David Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. E-MAIL: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "It's a GREAT day for Hockey!!!" -The Late Bob Johnson-Pittsburgh Penguins & Team USA Ice Hockey Coach > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 08:54:26 -0500 From: Robert Hajek Subject: Re: Severe Storm Dimensions Robert J Bussard wrote May 13--- >Subject: Severe Storm Dimensions > >MKC AWW 121856 >WW 332 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 121930Z - 130100Z >AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. >65NNE BJI/BEMIDJI MN/ - 55ESE STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/ >..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /40WSW INL - 16ENE MSP/ > > >MKC AWW 122208 >WW 335 SEVERE TSTM WI LS 122230Z - 130300Z >AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. >135N EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ - 40E EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ >..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /29E DLH - 34E EAU/ > > >I have included the two watch areas to ask where I can find guidance on the >issuance of severe weather advisories of this nature. Surely there is some >government logic to this. Once upon a time it did appear that there was logic in this, and in the deliniation of the severe/Gen TSTM outlook areas in the "AC" or severe weather outlooks (SWOs). It was done by humans complete with cigar boxes and colored pencils. I suspect that the computer has played a part in this by having a bunch of data loaded and then the forecaster points his cursor on the outer reaches of the watch area or points along the outlook area and "magic" all the info gets "precisely" written relative to ALL the points in the database. As we improve, maybe someday we'll see it more refined and it might show "..AVIATION COORDS.. 35.778NM E/W /29.529E DLH - 34.371E EAU/" because that's what the computer says. A long time ago the points used to be the major locations like ORD DTW DFW MKC DEN MKE and then a whole bunch of military unknowns got thrown into the pool and I still can't see why a point should be 3S MWC (Timmerman Milwaukee) instead of MKE. It's hard to understand that someone can draw the line between no severe and a slight risk within 4-5 miles 12 or 24 hours in advance. Like one meteorologist says, "Hindsight, unlike meteorology, IS an exacting science". It sometimes looks like there is a feeling that this exactness promotes an aura of perfection when it really complicates the real job of transferring of information. But then again I went through many years of depending on the SELS Synopsis on through its evolution to the SWOs with points defined by a line of IDs and today still find that more readily available than to go into the graphics. Maybe with today's school systems and people growing up only with sophisticated systems us old fossils are more and more in the minority. Ever watch youngsters make change at these fast food joints? If the amount of change doesn't show on the display --- they're in deep trouble. Bob Hajek W9QBH Asst Dir Melrose Park IL Emerg Svcs/Pub Safety SKYWARN in the Chicago area since 1967 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 13:59:06 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Central American smoke--satellite images Steve Masters wrote: > > I have collected a few GOES-8 satellite images from this past weekend > and Wednesday (13May) afternoon showing the smoke plume from > the fires over Central America. A zoomed-in image from Wednesday > clearly shows the source region of the smoke. The images can be > viewed at > > http://www.geocities.com/Athens/Oracle/8751/smoke/index.html > Thanks for sharing your images with us. The CIMSS GOES Gallery also has some daily GOES-8 visible images from the past week at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980513.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 09:05:27 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Severe Storm Dimensions On Thu, 14 May 1998, Robert Hajek wrote: > >I have included the two watch areas to ask where I can find guidance on the > >issuance of severe weather advisories of this nature. Surely there is some > >government logic to this. > > Once upon a time it did appear that there was logic in this, and in the > deliniation of the severe/Gen TSTM outlook areas in the "AC" or severe > weather outlooks (SWOs). It was done by humans complete with cigar > boxes and colored pencils. I suspect that the computer has played a > part in this by having a bunch of data loaded and then the forecaster points > his cursor on the outer reaches of the watch area or points along the > outlook > area and "magic" all the info gets "precisely" written relative to ALL the > points in the database. As we improve, maybe someday we'll see it more > refined and it might show "..AVIATION COORDS.. 35.778NM E/W /29.529E > DLH - 34.371E EAU/" because that's what the computer says. Nope. The forecast points are still done these days by hand. However, the data, quality and accuracy has gotten to the point where, especially in a watch situation, the points can be more refined. In addition, the "watch box" will become a thing of the past; it will be replaced by (I believe) 8 points, and then the local NWS office will have the authority to cut that down to a county-by-county basis. > A long time ago the points used to be the major locations like ORD DTW > DFW MKC DEN MKE and then a whole bunch of military unknowns got > thrown into the pool and I still can't see why a point should be 3S MWC > (Timmerman Milwaukee) instead of MKE. It's hard to understand that > someone can draw the line between no severe and a slight risk within > 4-5 miles 12 or 24 hours in advance. Like one meteorologist says, > "Hindsight, unlike meteorology, IS an exacting science". It sometimes > looks like there is a feeling that this exactness promotes an aura of > perfection when it really complicates the real job of transferring of > information. But then again I went through many years of depending on > the SELS Synopsis on through its evolution to the SWOs with points > defined by a line of IDs and today still find that more readily available > than to go into the graphics. Maybe with today's school systems and > people growing up only with sophisticated systems us old fossils are > more and more in the minority. > > Ever watch youngsters make change at these fast food joints? If the > amount of change doesn't show on the display --- they're in deep trouble. Rest assured from a visit last year, SPC's colored pencils are in no danger of going away. What you're seeing is a byproduct of better understanding, education, data sources, data crunching power, and experience. Note the SPC verifications and local NWS severe warning verifications are continuing to climb, even with all these refinements! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 19:59:32 -0700 From: Fred Ostby Subject: Re: Severe Storm Dimensions Robert J. Bussard wrote: > > MKC AWW 121856 > WW 332 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 121930Z - 130100Z > AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. > 65NNE BJI/BEMIDJI MN/ - 55ESE STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/ > ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /40WSW INL - 16ENE MSP/ > > MKC AWW 122208 > WW 335 SEVERE TSTM WI LS 122230Z - 130300Z > AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. > 135N EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ - 40E EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ > ..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /29E DLH - 34E EAU/ > > I have included the two watch areas to ask where I can find guidance on the > issuance of severe weather advisories of this nature. Surely there is some > government logic to this. Yes, there are definite "rules" that the SPC observes in establishing anhcor points for watches. One of the primary ones is, an anhcor point cannot be outside of the watch. This makes sense because, you would rather not have a city mentioned in describing the watch if it is not included. > I cannot see why the issue would not have been > 30 east of Duluth.. The reason DLH could not be used is, although it physically would be in the watch, the SPC in coordinating the watch with field offices determined that MN should not be included since it only clipped a very small portion. Note in the heading that indicates the states involved, only WI is mentioned. Therefore, referencing the watch to a city in Minnesota would not be appropriate. > Watch for St. Cloud could have been for Minneapolis or > maybe "Anoka".. Here again, MSP could not be used since, in laying out the "box", Minneapolis falls outside the watch. An agreed set of watch anchor points was established several years ago when I was at NSSFC and a map showing these anchor points was constructed and disseminated. While there are certainly many other choices that could be used, it had to be kept to a managable size. Users still complain about the use of Knob Noster, MO instead of Sedalia, for example, to this day. Fred Ostby > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 May 1998 20:04:43 -0700 From: Fred Ostby Subject: Re: Severe Storm Dimensions Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > > On Thu, 14 May 1998, Robert Hajek wrote: > > > >I have included the two watch areas to ask where I can find guidance on the > > >issuance of severe weather advisories of this nature. Surely there is some > > >government logic to this. > > > > Once upon a time it did appear that there was logic in this, and in the > > deliniation of the severe/Gen TSTM outlook areas in the "AC" or severe > > weather outlooks (SWOs). It was done by humans complete with cigar > > boxes and colored pencils. I suspect that the computer has played a > > part in this by having a bunch of data loaded and then the forecaster points > > his cursor on the outer reaches of the watch area or points along the > > outlook > > area and "magic" all the info gets "precisely" written relative to ALL the > > points in the database. As we improve, maybe someday we'll see it more > > refined and it might show "..AVIATION COORDS.. 35.778NM E/W /29.529E > > DLH - 34.371E EAU/" because that's what the computer says. > > Nope. The forecast points are still done these days by hand. However, the > data, quality and accuracy has gotten to the point where, especially in a > watch situation, the points can be more refined. In addition, the "watch > box" will become a thing of the past; it will be replaced by (I believe) 8 > points, and then the local NWS office will have the authority to cut that > down to a county-by-county basis. Actually, anchor points ARE done on the computer, and not be hand and have been done so for about three years now, although they can be manually modified (on the computer). The basic rules remain the same, i.e., an anchor point for a watch must be one that is within the boundaries of the watch. Fred Ostby ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 May 1998 to 14 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:08:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4454 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-1771>; Sat, 16 May 1998 13:13:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31406; Sat, 16 May 1998 00:07:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199805160507.AAA31406@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 00:00:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 May 1998 to 15 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24f686fc66805cf3fe4dbb4827e5fa65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 439 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Mexican smoke fires 2. Severe Storm Dimensions 3. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for SALE 4. New AWOS Sites (2) 5. Baltimore Science Center? (2) 6. WOW! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 04:59:11 -0400 From: "Glenn D. Rolph" Subject: Mexican smoke fires Experimental HYSPLIT4 transport model predictions of the smoke plume can be found on the NOAA Air Resources Laboratories READY web page under air quality at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html or directly at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready/yucatanfire.html Glenn Rolph -***************************************************************** Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is the lightning that does all the work - Mark Twain __________________________________________________________ / Glenn D. Rolph _________ /| / Meteorologist __( ______) / | /grolph@arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov _(____) / | / NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (__) / | / R/E/AR, 1315 East West Highway (_) / | / Silver Spring, MD 20910 (_) / | / (_) / | /__________________________________________(_)____________/ / | (_) | / | Real-time Environmental Applications (_) | / | and Display sYstem (_) | / | http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html (_) | / | For access to interactive trajectories, || | / | dispersion, and other related weather || | / | products. ||===== | / |_________________________________________||_[]_|________|/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 12:42:11 -0500 From: Robert Hajek Subject: Re: Severe Storm Dimensions On May 14th - 19:59:32 -0700 Fred Ostby responded: >Yes, there are definite "rules" that the SPC observes in establishing >anchor points for watches. One of the primary ones is, an anchor point >cannot be outside of the watch. This makes sense because, you would >rather not have a city mentioned in describing the watch if it is not >included. Ahhh. That explains the why, to some extent, including the reason for having to find at a number of points geographically spread, even if they are no-names, relatively. >> I cannot see why the issue would not have been >> 30 east of Duluth.. > >The reason DLH could not be used is, although it physically would be in >the watch, the SPC in coordinating the watch with field offices >determined that MN should not be included since it only clipped a very >small portion. Note in the heading that indicates the states involved, >only WI is mentioned. Therefore, referencing the watch to a city in >Minnesota would not be appropriate. Guess this logic got stretched, it referred to the second watch for which the real issue was 29 instead of the old rounded off to the nearest 5 miles (30). They already used DLH so that one, so since it only listed WI and LS maybe the DLH was wrong unless the LS made it within the rules. >An agreed set of watch anchor points was established several years ago >when I was at NSSFC and a map showing these anchor points was >constructed and disseminated. While there are certainly many other >choices that could be used, it had to be kept to a managable size. >Users still complain about the use of Knob Noster, MO instead of >Sedalia, for example, to this day. > >Fred Ostby The other question was why all the relatively unknown IDs are being used and your explanation of criteria answers that. Although... it still leaves open why the points of an outlooked area must use so many obscure points. Thanks Fred! AND -- On May 14th 20:04:43 -0700 Fred Ostby wrote in response to Gilbert Sebenste: >Actually, anchor points ARE done on the computer, and not be hand and >have been done so for about three years now, although they can be >manually modified (on the computer). > >The basic rules remain the same, i.e., an anchor point for a watch >must be one that is within the boundaries of the watch. > >Fred Ostby Commented above. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 13:51:31 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for SALE Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Spring is HERE! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing to wear during your chases! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 12:54:12 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New AWOS Sites New AWOS sites recently added to DDS. 1F0 - Ardmore/Executive Arpt, OK CCO - Newnan, GA CJR - Culpeper, VA CPK - Chesapeake, VA DNN - Dalton, GA ETB - West Bend, WI ISQ - Manistique, MI OEO - Osceola, WI ROS - Rooster Rock, ?? SFQ - Suffolk, VA W44 - Asheboro, NC Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 13:48:37 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: New AWOS Sites --simple boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: "cc:Mail Note Part" Anyone know the lat/lon of KROS (Rooster Rock, OR?) ? ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: New AWOS Sites Author: "Boris A. Konon" Date: 5/15/98 12:54 PM New AWOS sites recently added to DDS. 1F0 - Ardmore/Executive Arpt, OK CCO - Newnan, GA CJR - Culpeper, VA CPK - Chesapeake, VA DNN - Dalton, GA ETB - West Bend, WI ISQ - Manistique, MI OEO - Osceola, WI ROS - Rooster Rock, ?? SFQ - Suffolk, VA W44 - Asheboro, NC Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html --simple boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; name="RFC822.TXT" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="RFC822.TXT" Received: from psc-1.fnoc.navy.mil by ccgate.fnoc.navy.mil (ccMail Link to SMTP R8.10.00) ; Fri, 15 May 98 13:22:50 -0800 Return-Path: Return-Path: Received: by psc-1.fnoc.navy.mil (4.1/SMI-4.1) id AA04038; Fri, 15 May 98 20:23:04 GMT Received: from ddnmail(152.80.5.3) by psc-1 via smap (V1.0mjr) id sma004026; Fri May 15 20:22:46 1998 Received: by ddnmail.fnoc.navy.mil (4.1/SMI-4.1) id AA10704; Fri, 15 May 98 20:22:45 GMT Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu(128.174.5.11) by ddnmail via smap (V1.0mjr) id sma010683; Fri May 15 20:21:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA19656; Fri, 15 May 1998 15:21:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8721497 for WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 15:21:16 -0500 Received: from AUVM.AMERICAN.EDU (smtp@auvm.american.edu [147.9.1.2]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id PAA14224 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 15:21:15 -0500 Received: from AUVM.AMERICAN.EDU by AUVM.AMERICAN.EDU (IBM VM SMTP V2R2) with BSMTP id 4739; Fri, 15 May 98 16:15:28 EDT Received: from AUVM.AMERICAN.EDU (NJE origin NETNEWS@AUVM) by AUVM.AMERICAN.EDU (LMail V1.2a/1.8a) with BSMTP id 3968; Fri, 15 May 1998 16:15:20 -0400 To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU From: "Boris A. Konon" Newsgroups: bit.listserv.wx-talk Subject: New AWOS Sites Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 12:54:12 -0400 Organization: WSI Corporation Lines: 16 Message-Id: <355C7334.4466@wsicorp.com> Nntp-Posting-Host: met1.wsicorp.com Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.01 (Win95; I) Path: auvm!paladin.american.edu!nntp.msstate.edu!cssun.mathcs.emory.edu! andromeda.vec.net!news.gs.net!nntp-out.monmouth.com!newspeer.monmouth.com!howl and.erols.net!ais.net!uunet!in3.uu.net!newsfeeder.read.tasc.com!newsreader.read .tasc.com!usenet Xref: paladin.american.edu bit.listserv.wx-talk:24066 Sender: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU --simple boundary-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 16:12:36 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Baltimore Science Center? Hello all, Anyone have the lat/lon of the new ASOS at the Baltimore Science Center in Maryland? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 14:20:58 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: Baltimore Science Center? --simple boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: "cc:Mail Note Part" KDMH - 39d17m N 76d37m W 19 meters elevation jeff ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: Baltimore Science Center? Author: Gilbert Sebenste Date: 5/15/98 4:12 PM Hello all, Anyone have the lat/lon of the new ASOS at the Baltimore Science Center in Maryland? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html --simple boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; name="RFC822.TXT" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="RFC822.TXT" Received: from psc-1.fnoc.navy.mil by ccgate.fnoc.navy.mil (ccMail Link to SMTP R8.10.00) ; Fri, 15 May 98 14:13:56 -0800 Return-Path: Return-Path: Received: by psc-1.fnoc.navy.mil (4.1/SMI-4.1) id AA10002; Fri, 15 May 98 21:14:10 GMT Received: from ddnmail(152.80.5.3) by psc-1 via smap (V1.0mjr) id sma009987; Fri May 15 21:13:51 1998 Received: by ddnmail.fnoc.navy.mil (4.1/SMI-4.1) id AA11863; Fri, 15 May 98 21:13:50 GMT Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu(128.174.5.11) by ddnmail via smap (V1.0mjr) id sma011856; Fri May 15 21:13:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA29016; Fri, 15 May 1998 16:12:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8722404 for WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 May 1998 16:12:40 -0500 Received: from taiga.geog.niu.edu (taiga.geog.niu.edu [131.156.38.12]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id QAA28976 for ; Fri, 15 May 1998 16:12:39 -0500 Received: from rime by taiga.geog.niu.edu (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA29963; Fri, 15 May 1998 16:12:38 -0500 Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 16:12:36 -0500 (CDT) From: Gilbert Sebenste X-Sender: sebenste@rime To: Weather Talk Subject: Baltimore Science Center? Message-Id: Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII Sender: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU --simple boundary-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 May 1998 17:35:46 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: WOW! WWUS34 KMLI 152224 SVSMLI IAZ077-152255- SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 524 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 1998 ...THE TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 550 PM FOR WASHINGTON COUNTY... A QUARTER MILE WIDE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND NORTHEAST OF WASHINGTON MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 TO 55 MPH. THIS IS A POTENTIAL KILLER TORNADO...ACT NOW TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. WEISSER Good grief!!! I am looking at the velocity data from this from KDMX (KDVN is unavailable to me right now). Even at a distance of 105 miles, there is *90* knots of shear on the base velocity, tilt 1 scan. Good gravy. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 May 1998 to 15 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:08:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2134 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626601-18314>; Sun, 17 May 1998 13:12:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA46410; Sun, 17 May 1998 00:07:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199805170507.AAA46410@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 00:01:21 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 May 1998 to 16 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b525454c7f2765118aa9e99e63502439 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 39 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Looking for NEMAS-CVA Forecasters 2. STORMTRACK PICNIC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 09:10:13 -0400 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Looking for NEMAS-CVA Forecasters Hello,

Looking for an amateur or professional forecaster, even a general weather
hobbyist to forecast part time for the Central Virginia office of NEMAS,
NEMAS-CVA. The forecaster must live in Western, Northern, Central, or
Eastern Virginia.
Please email Chris Hovanic, at wxman@cstone.net if interested.

Chris Hovanic
wxman@cstone.net
540-832-3449
www.vaweather.com
------------------------------ Date: Sat, 16 May 1998 21:28:09 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: STORMTRACK PICNIC The STORMTRACK PICNIC is a go for Sunday, May 17th at 1 p.m. at 4041 Bordeaux Circle, Flower Mound, Texas 75022. Bring your own food, beverage, and best videotape. For directions, see the ST web site at: http://www.weathergraphics.com/stormtrack/stst.htm Call the voice recording at 817-430-0517 for any changes. Any last minute changes will be announced at 7am on May 17th. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 May 1998 to 16 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:09:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1417 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628020-26354>; Mon, 18 May 1998 13:11:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA34552; Mon, 18 May 1998 00:06:07 -0500 Message-Id: <199805180506.AAA34552@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 May 1998 to 17 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0a9375be5d8f17eb5e0441c55fd56c9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 118 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SW TX MCS 2. Marjory Stoneman Douglas (1890-1998) 3. "Radiational influence"? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 00:43:02 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: SW TX MCS Is it just me, or is that one awesome explosion near the Big Bend area of Texas? :-) This raises a yet another question that I have...hopefully with some response. In studying the water vapor loop (one of my all favorite pastimes), you can see the tops fanning out in all directions with greater emphasis of it spreading out in about a 120 degree arc from NW to ESE. With the impressive anvil and features mentioned above, I was wondering if the diffluence aloft was actually caused by the upper level dynamics or the broad, intense updraft from the storm complex or a combination of both? One question I have posted before and will ask again, what effect of the concentrated condensation nuclei from the Mexican fires have on this storm? Any case studies on this? I ask this because the "explosion" of this storm seems abit enhanced to me. Whatever disturbance caused this will likely move into N. Texas and Oklahoma although how strong it will be is a major question. With the old frontal boundary possibly still lingering around and with the moderate to high instability along with any possible convergence aloft, should pose an interesting feature to watch tomorrow. In addition, there will likely be a good outflow boundary from the current MCS that should be monitored as well. Any comments? Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 21:49:11 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Marjory Stoneman Douglas (1890-1998) Dear Wx-talkers, On Thursday, Marjory Stoneman Douglas - author, conservationist, and Miami pioneer - passed away after 108 years of life. Her written legacy includes _Hurricane!_ (an account of the 1928 Lake Okeechobee Florida hurricane that killed thousands) and _The Everglades: River of Grass_ (which has inspired many to fight to preserve the Everglades, a battle that continues today). Besides being a description of the Everglades, _The Everglades: River of Grass_ is also a history of the region - including some of the significant hurricane impacts. As a tribute to Ms. Douglas, below is a chilling (the most chilling hurricane account that i have ever read) excerpt about the 1926 Great Miami Hurricane from her seminal work: "The sickle wings of the night hawks began the long beat southward in their fall migration. In their skyey courses they may have been the first to feel that vast shape of air spinning up from the equator along the line of the Bahamas. The word reached Miami on the morning of Friday, September 17 [1926], that a hurricane moved there somewhere... Old-timers, remembering hurricanes, felt their skins prickle and began to board up...Most people knew nothing of hurricanes at all...[The storm] moved directly on Miami. Late that night, in absolute darkness, it hit, with the far shrieking scream, the queer rumbling of a vast and irresistible freight train. The wind instruments blew away at a hundred twenty-five miles. The leaves went, branches, the bark off the trees. In the slashing assault people found their roofs had blown off, unheard in the tumult. The water of the bay was lifted and blown inland, in streaming sheets of salt, with boats..., coconuts, debris of all sorts, up on the highest ridge of the mainland... At eight o'clock next morning the gray light lifted. The roaring stopped. There was no wind. Blue sky stood overhead. People opened their doors and ran, still a little dazed, into the ruined streets... Only a few remembered or had ever heard that in the center of a spinning hurricane there is that bright deathly stillness. It passed. The light darkened. The high shrieking came from the other direction as the opposite whirling thickness of the cyclonic cone moved on over the darkened city." - _The Everglades: River of Grass_ - 1947 - Marjory Stoneman Douglas (1890-1998) ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 May 1998 22:19:30 -0400 From: Dan Salkovitz Subject: "Radiational influence"? What "radiational influence on different types of instruments" in the Southwest is this referring to? And why is this different than any other time? 530 NOUS42 KWBC 180134 SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 0130 UTC MON MAY 18 1998 180130Z THE 00Z ETA GOT OFF TO A GOOD START WITH A NORMAL DATA COUNT. 100MB LEVEL KIND OF JUMBLED UP IN THE SOUTHWEST U.S. ATTRIBUTED THIS TO AFFECT OF RADIATIONAL INFLUENCE ON DIFFERENT TYPES ON INSTRUMENTS. KNEAS/SDM/NCO/NCEP ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 May 1998 to 17 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:10:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3489 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626238-25639>; Tue, 19 May 1998 13:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17770; Tue, 19 May 1998 00:07:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199805190507.AAA17770@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 00:01:04 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 May 1998 to 18 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 33e977bced6b913e6ff2c7cdf09f8d7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 322 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "Radiational influence"? (2) 2. Weather Extremes 3. Ashfall in the southeast (5) 4. Storm tracks... 5. Metar remarks? 6. Incredible RUC soundings... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 10:40:41 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: "Radiational influence"? > > What "radiational influence on different types of instruments" in the > Southwest is this referring to? And why is this different than any other > time? The radiational influence is basically the sun shining on the instrument so that the device is no longer measuring the ambient air temp but a temperature biased by the solar heating (aka absorption of short wave radiation). I'm guess that they were having trouble deciding which observations to discard of those flagged for manual checking. The "mix" may be due to different radiosonde packages being used at different sites -- perhaps a difference between US and Mexico, since they're talking about the Southwest. -Keith > SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION > CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC > 0130 UTC MON MAY 18 1998 > > 180130Z THE 00Z ETA GOT OFF TO A GOOD START WITH A NORMAL > DATA COUNT. 100MB LEVEL KIND OF JUMBLED UP IN THE SOUTHWEST > U.S. ATTRIBUTED THIS TO AFFECT OF RADIATIONAL INFLUENCE ON > DIFFERENT TYPES ON INSTRUMENTS. > KNEAS/SDM/NCO/NCEP ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 09:25:40 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Weather Extremes WX-Talkers, I received this message from the UK. I copied my response to him below. Can anyone here help us find such a site? >Hi. David Richards from Cornwall here. Is there an extreme weather >database world wide? >If there is'nt would it be posible to set one up. One that would take >all record braking stats from every weather centre in the world. This >would show after a few years or so if the worlds climate is going more >extreme and in which places. Just here in Cornwall this year, we have >broken three long standing weather records. If this is happening across >the continent or world wide must make the info important where ever you >are. >Thanks Dave >-- >David P Richards > This would be an interesting site. People are drawn to the trivia of extremes in weather stats. I haven't heard of such a site and I'd be interested in getting that link. But, I would be suspicious of making a correlation between weather extremes and climate change. I would think standard deviations would be more rigorous, although not always appropriate. This statistic would be less susceptible to siting changes, and sensor calibration. Urbanization is a classic source for false climate-change signals. I'll pass your request to a group of meteorologists via email. Someone there may know of a web site of weather extremes. Frank /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 09:41:43 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Ashfall in the southeast This morning a student mentioned that he had heard about the ash falling in Texas and other areas of the southeast. He was told that the ash was a result of the eruption of Popocatepetl, the volcano outside Mexico City. I was under the impression that the ash was from all the forest fires in southern Mexico and Central America. I know that Popo has not released enough ash to be a factor that far away. A quick Net search proved fruitless. What is the real story? -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** "A good traveller has no fixed plans and is not intent on arriving" -- Lao Tzu (570-490 B.C.) ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 16:57:12 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: "Radiational influence"? > > What "radiational influence on different types of instruments" > > in the Southwest is this referring to? > > SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION > > CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC > > 0130 UTC MON MAY 18 1998 > > > > 180130Z THE 00Z ETA GOT OFF TO A GOOD START WITH A NORMAL > > DATA COUNT. 100MB LEVEL KIND OF JUMBLED UP IN THE SOUTHWEST > > U.S. ATTRIBUTED THIS TO AFFECT OF RADIATIONAL INFLUENCE ON > > DIFFERENT TYPES ON INSTRUMENTS. > The radiational influence is basically the sun shining on the > instrument so that the device is no longer measuring the > ambient air temp but a temperature biased by the solar heating > (aka absorption of short wave radiation). Silly me, thinking there was some connection to the Indian nuclear tests last week... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 17:04:51 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Ashfall in the southeast > This morning a student mentioned that he had heard about the > ash falling in Texas and other areas of the southeast. > He was told that the ash was a result of the eruption of > Popocatepetl, the volcano outside Mexico City. I was under > the impression that the ash was from all the forest fires > in southern Mexico and Central America. I know that Popo has not > released enough ash to be a factor that far away. I cast my vote for fires...a look at some of the imagery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980513.html makes it clear (no pun intended) that the smoke was very thick and persistent over those regions for many days. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb A recent Microsoft release stated that NT 5.0 would fix "thousands" of bugs. Look at that again - Thousands of Bugs. That means that NT 4.0 is known to contain "thousands" of bugs. Only Microsoft could admit that its products contain thousand of bugs and get any idiot to come back for more. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 15:53:51 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Storm tracks... Interesting use of future "storm track"... Not only to the minute, but most of the times listed already passed! Issued at 3:36pm but 5 of the 7 locations listed already had the storm hit, and #6 is going to be affected just one minute after warning issuance -- probably before dissemination! ** WUUS1 Kxxx 181936 *** BULLETIN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 336 PM EDT MON MAY 18 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... * UNTIL 440 PM EDT * AT 333 PM EDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN THE VICINITY OF DOWNTOWN xxx MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. REPORTS FORM SPOTTERS IN DOWNTOWN xxx INDCIATE DIME SIZE AND LAGER HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED. * THIS STORM CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF... aaa BY 333 PM EDT DOWNTOWN xxx BY 333 PM EDT ccc BY 335 PM EDT ddd BY 335 PM EDT eee BY 337 PM EDT fff BY 335 PM EDT ggg BY 345 PM EDT ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 16:35:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Metar remarks? Any help in decoding some of the NAS Jacksonville remarks? KNIP 181955Z 05013KT 4SM TS RA BKN026CB OVC100 25/21 A2999 RMK TS N MOV SSE SLP150 T02500206 SVR T1 SET PA -40 DA1800 OAT86 RH76 AI08 SST70 Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == Meteorologist http://norden1.com/~rdale ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 17:44:23 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Ashfall in the southeast On Mon, 18 May 1998, Mike Martin wrote: > This morning a student mentioned that he had heard about the ash falling > in Texas and other areas of the southeast. He was told that the ash was > a result of the eruption of Popocatepetl, the volcano outside Mexico > City. I was under the impression that the ash was from all the forest > fires in southern Mexico and Central America. I know that Popo has not > released enough ash to be a factor that far away. A quick Net search > proved fruitless. Forest fires out of control in May-hee-co and Guatamala areas are producing smoke trails which are being wafted all the way to Texas and the southeast US. Its not volcanic ash. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 17:45:34 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Ashfall in the southeast On Mon, 18 May 1998, Scott Bachmeier wrote: > I cast my vote for fires...a look at some of the imagery at > > http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980513.html > > makes it clear (no pun intended) that the smoke was > very thick and persistent over those regions for many days. The smoke "haze" is so bad here that you can't see the developing storms in the distance. We're currently under a T-storm Watch until 9pm, too. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 21:54:02 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Ashfall in the southeast Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > The smoke "haze" is so bad here that you can't see the > developing storms in the distance. We're currently under > a T-storm Watch until 9pm, too. > I can relate -- the smoke was bad enough here in Wisconsin on Friday that I gave up any hope of chasing... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 22:10:29 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Incredible RUC soundings... Skewt plots derived from 40-km MAPS analyses and forecasts are now available from the MAPS homepage ( http://maps.fsl.noaa.gov ). These soundings are generated using a JAVA (tm) applet written by Bill Moninger of FSL's meteorological application branch. Use of this page requires a JAVA aware browser, but the non-JAVA version is still available. This page is accessable through the MAPS homepage or at the URL http://www-frd.fsl.noaa.gov/mab/soundings/java/ (Posted on the eval forum) Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 May 1998 to 18 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:10:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626565-21197>; Wed, 20 May 1998 13:18:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31402; Wed, 20 May 1998 00:10:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199805200510.AAA31402@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 00:02:53 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 May 1998 to 19 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fdd2a0c8a1cbd3fc0dee9320139eb69 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 577 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Heat burst at Akron, CO (7) 2. 3. WX-TALK Digest - 17 May 1998 to 18 May 1998 4. Mexico Fires Short update 5. Wind up high 6. TV Met Job Available (Missoula, MT) 7. NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, TWC Future 5-min. Radars, Intellicast 3-D Danny Radars 8. Big storms and no Nexrad data 9. NetNews +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 02:18:03 -0400 From: William Reid <73551.2512@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Heat burst at Akron, CO Akron, Colorado (AKO) had an interesting series of observations Monday afternoon----following are the five hourly obs from 3:53 p.m. to 7:53 p.m. (sorry, I don't have the undecoded data, perhaps someone could post those). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------- The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 03:53 PM CDT was: The skies were mostly cloudy. The weather reported was light rain and. Temperature: 77F ( 25C) Dewpoint: 39F ( 4C) Relative Humidity: 25% Winds from the S (170 degs) at 15 mph. Pressure: 1012.9 millibars. Altimeter:30.06 inches of mercury. The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. There was 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours. The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 04:53 PM CDT was: The skies were partly cloudy. The weather reported was light rain and. Temperature: 75F ( 24C) Dewpoint: 39F ( 4C) Relative Humidity: 27% Winds from the SE (150 degs) at 12 mph. Pressure: 1013.7 millibars. Altimeter:30.08 inches of mercury. The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. There was 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours. The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 05:53 PM CDT was: The skies were clear. Temperature:100F ( 38C) Dewpoint: 45F ( 7C) Relative Humidity: 15% Winds from the E (100 degs) at 8 mph. Pressure: 1009.0 millibars. Altimeter:30.02 inches of mercury. The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. There was 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours. The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 06:53 PM CDT was: The skies were clear. Temperature: 86F ( 30C) Dewpoint: 34F ( 1C) Relative Humidity: 16% Winds from the ESE(110 degs) at 9 mph. Pressure: 1010.1 millibars. Altimeter:30.01 inches of mercury. The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was 105F. The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was 74F. There was 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours. The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 07:53 PM CDT was: The skies were clear. Temperature: 79F ( 26C) Dewpoint: 40F ( 4C) Relative Humidity: 25% Winds from the E (090 degs) at 15 mph. Pressure: 1010.9 millibars. Altimeter:30.01 inches of mercury. The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------- Following some light rain showers, temperature at Akron jumped from 75F at 4:53 p.m. to 100F at 5:53 p.m. The 6:53 p.m. observation shows that the temperature fell back down to 86F, and a maximum temperature of 105F had been attained during the preceding six hours! That is quite an impressive temperature for a station at 4660 feet. If not a record all-time high temperature for the station, 105F is likely a record for May. The unusual temperature jump at Akron was undoubtedly due to locally and rapidly subsiding air associated with the convection which moved east of the town. Bill Reid Agoura Hills, CA CompuServe 73551,2512 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 02:45:36 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: >Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 16:57:12 +0000 >From: Scott Bachmeier >Subject: Re: "Radiational influence"? > > What "radiational influence on different types of instruments" > > in the Southwest is this referring to? > > SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION > > CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC > > 0130 UTC MON MAY 18 1998 > > > > 180130Z THE 00Z ETA GOT OFF TO A GOOD START WITH A NORMAL > > DATA COUNT. 100MB LEVEL KIND OF JUMBLED UP IN THE SOUTHWEST > > U.S. ATTRIBUTED THIS TO AFFECT OF RADIATIONAL INFLUENCE ON > > DIFFERENT TYPES ON INSTRUMENTS. > The radiational influence is basically the sun shining on the > instrument so that the device is no longer measuring the > ambient air temp but a temperature biased by the solar heating > (aka absorption of short wave radiation). >>Silly me, thinking there was some connection to the Indian >>nuclear tests last week... On a side note, are different parts of the country using different instruments? I know the new sondes are coming soon, but I thought we were all still using the old ones til a certain date. Is the Western Region testing the new sondes? TIA - RVT ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 05:32:28 -0500 From: Tim Bondy Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 May 1998 to 18 May 1998 Tim Bondy bondyt@minotafb.ndak.net >Date: Mon, 18 May 1998 16:35:26 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Metar remarks? > >Any help in decoding some of the NAS Jacksonville remarks? > >KNIP 181955Z 05013KT 4SM TS RA BKN026CB OVC100 25/21 A2999 RMK TS N MOV >SSE SLP150 T02500206 SVR T1 SET PA -40 DA1800 OAT86 RH76 AI08 SST70 > >Rob >----------------------------------------------- >Robert P Dale == N8GSK == Meteorologist >http://norden1.com/~rdale > My guess is: SVR T1 SET is they are expecting severe thunderstoms in the next few hours. PA -40 is Pressure Altitude -40 feet. DA1800 is Density Altitude 1800. OAT86 is Outside Air Temp is 86F. RH76 is RH 76%. Al01 is ? SST70 is Sea Surface Temp 70F. All this likely the Local portion of the observation transmitted by mistake. Weatherman ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 07:18:19 -0500 From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: Mexico Fires Short update CNN reports 23 fire folks killed fighting the fires inMexico. The US is sening 4 helos to help fight the fires. As of this time over 125 fires are reported tobe burning out of control in Mexico. Again the Goverment comes throught TOO LITTLE TOO LATE. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 08:20:23 -0500 From: dale reid Subject: Wind up high On the evening of 5/18/98 another front and line of thunderstorms moved through the eastern Minnesota and Western Wisconsin region. The tornados of 5/15 were on a lot of minds, and fortunately the TV stations didn't whip everyone into a frenzy with their alarms this time. There was significant cloud to cloud lightning, and a little rain. My question is about more of the mechanics of wind, however. The storms of 5/15 were pretty typical: Wind blew a lot (gusts over 50mph) driving rain and tree damage with wind, winddriven hard rain, and some hail. The storm of the evening of 5/18 was much different and I can think of on a few the last 30 years of being interested in weather that was similar as far as the wind was concerned. I'm familiar with the concept of "first gust", but all of those approaches that I've seen tend to stir the air all the way to the ground. This storm's approach was noisy, and associated with a lot of wind, but it didn't seem to "touch the ground" as best I can describe it. As I watched the approach, there was some stirring of the trees, but ground wind speed for the first 15 minutes or so was quite low. However there was a great unrest in the upper air. How high up is hard to say, but it was very very noisy with roaring and gusting overhead. My question is about how this can happen? How can major flows of air, significant enough to make that much noise, NOT cause the underlying air strata, perhaps only a few thousand feet below, to remain relatively calm? As I mentioned this was memorable in the fact that it seemed so much different from other storm approaches. The howling of the wind reminded me of the spring changes with the large pressure gradients that cause prolonged winds in March, but they cause air movement all the way to the ground. There were no tornado warnings nor straight line wind damage reports so, as my old uncle would have said, "the wind seemed to stay high." If this is so, how can it stratify itself so as to not stir up the underlying air mass? Sorry about the lenghty discription, but I didn't know how to phrase the description in other than layman's terms. I'd appreciate any scientific comment on how this might have occurred, or other descriptive reports of similar observations of high speed noisy upper winds while the ground was calm. Thanks. Dale ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 08:59:54 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO (snip) >The unusual >temperature jump at Akron was undoubtedly due to locally and rapidly >subsiding air associated with the convection which moved east of the town. > Then again, there is the other possibility... a typo. The 38C should have been a 28C... All other stations in the area reported highs in the mid to upper 80s. A good lesson to learn... don't always believe every report you see. There are LOTS of errors that get through. :-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 09:17:57 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO > > (snip) > >The unusual > >temperature jump at Akron was undoubtedly due to locally and rapidly > >subsiding air associated with the convection which moved east of the town. > > > > Then again, there is the other possibility... a typo. The 38C > should have been a 28C... All other stations in the area reported > highs in the mid to upper 80s. > > A good lesson to learn... don't always believe every report you see. > There are LOTS of errors that get through. :-) > > ---------------------------------------------------------------- > Stephen D. Adams > Vice President - Research and Development > Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. > ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com > (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ...but if it were a typo, would a high of 105 be reported? It seems to me that if it were a heat burst, then all surrounding stations would be unaffected because heat bursts are such small scale phenomena. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 10:24:50 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO > >The unusual > >temperature jump at Akron was undoubtedly due to locally and rapidly > >subsiding air associated with the convection which moved east of the town. > > Then again, there is the other possibility... a typo. The 38C > should have been a 28C... All other stations in the area reported > highs in the mid to upper 80s. Not that I'm an ASOS defender but I didn't think ASOS could suffer from a "typo"? The Txxx field says 38.3C which comes out at 101F in my book. Little more research revealed that the 00Z high for the day was stated as 40.6C / 105F. Ouch. But apparently Denver didn't believe it as the STP product shows the high temp as missing. And the final kicker -- the ASOS "help me" tag ($) came on just a few hours later. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 09:38:04 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO >From rdale@norden1.com Tue May 19 09:23 CDT 1998 > >Not that I'm an ASOS defender but I didn't think ASOS could suffer from a >"typo"? The Txxx field says 38.3C which comes out at 101F in my book. > >Little more research revealed that the 00Z high for the day was stated as >40.6C / 105F. Ouch. But apparently Denver didn't believe it as the STP >product shows the high temp as missing. And the final kicker -- the ASOS >"help me" tag ($) came on just a few hours later. > You beat me to it Rob! I was just looking at the same things! Yes, it is a commissioned ASOS... so, no, it was not a typo. It apparently was an infamous ASOS "hiccup". :-) Denver folks seem to agree. One last note, the 06Z max came out as 96F, while the highest hourly during the period was 86F at 00Z and it was dropping throughout the period. Definitely an ASOS problem. The lesson remains the same... don't believe everything you see! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 10:01:49 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Missoula, MT) WEATHERCASTER (KPAX) The CBS affiliate and number one station in beautiful Missoula, Montana is seeking a weekend weather caster to round out our weather team. Must be excited about the weather with a life-long fascination and interest in weather events and phenomena. Must have degree or be working toward degree (Missoula is home to the University of Montana). Must have basic computer knowledge. Will also fill in for morning weather person and main weather person. We have Liveline V, Skycam, time-lapse and live capabilities. Beginners accepted with the right on-air presence, enthusiasm and willingness to learn. http://www.kpax.comPlease rush tape (required), resume and references to: Paul Shoemaker News Director KPAX-TV 2204 Regent Missoula, MT 59801 KPAX-TV is an EEO/Affirmative action employer. Women and minorities are encouraged to apply. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 11:34:01 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO > > >From rdale@norden1.com Tue May 19 09:23 CDT 1998 > > > >Not that I'm an ASOS defender but I didn't think ASOS could suffer from a > >"typo"? The Txxx field says 38.3C which comes out at 101F in my book. > > > >Little more research revealed that the 00Z high for the day was stated as > >40.6C / 105F. Ouch. But apparently Denver didn't believe it as the STP > >product shows the high temp as missing. And the final kicker -- the ASOS > >"help me" tag ($) came on just a few hours later. > > > > You beat me to it Rob! I was just looking at the same things! Yes, it > is a commissioned ASOS... so, no, it was not a typo. It apparently was > an infamous ASOS "hiccup". :-) Denver folks seem to agree. > > One last note, the 06Z max came out as 96F, while the highest hourly > during the period was 86F at 00Z and it was dropping throughout the > period. Definitely an ASOS problem. The lesson remains the same... > don't believe everything you see! But what about the meteorology of the situation? "Dropping during the period" means nothing for such a small scale event, nor do the reports of "nearby" stations, which for AKO are few and far between. Nearby soundings show nearly dry-adiabatic lapse rates between 800 mb and 500 mb. There was convection in the area and a very strong cap. The wind and pressure obs support the occurrence of a downburst. This mornings DDC sounding has +20.4 at 786 mb. While North Platte was not quite that warm at 00z, its sounding could support about 35 C at the surface. Stretching it to 38C is not unreasonable...getting it to 40.6 might be a little more difficult, but thunderstorms do have within their circulation temperature perturbations on that order. Furthermore, there was a similar event last night in Emporia, Kansas. It'd be interesting to see the 6-min ASOS data from that site. Raw data for both are appended below. -Keith ------- Keith Brewster CAPS/OU kbrews@rossby.ou.edu KAKO 182053Z 17013G45KT 130V230 10SM -RA SQ SCT040 BKN100 25/04 A3006 RMK AO2 PK WND 11045/2051 RAB53 PRESRR SLP129 P0000 T02500039 55008= KAKO 182153Z 15010G46KT 060V220 10SM -RA SQ SCT049 SCT090 24/04 A3008 RMK AO2 PK WND 19046/2147 WSHFT 2136 RAE10B49 PRESRR SLP137 P0000 T02390044= KAKO 182253Z 10007KT 080V140 10SM CLR 38/07 A3002 RMK AO2 RAE07 PRESFR SLP090 P0000 T03830067= KAKO 182353Z 11008KT 10SM CLR 30/01 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP101 60000 T03000011 10406 20233 58006= ----- KEMP 190953Z AUTO 19016KT 8SM CLR 23/19 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP119 T02330189 TSNO= KEMP 191053Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM FEW090 24/13 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP112 T02390128 TSNO= KEMP 191144Z AUTO 29019G38KT 10SM SCT095 SCT110 33/06 A2992 RMK AO2 PK WND 30038/1135 WSHFT 1123 PRESRR TSNO= KEMP 191153Z AUTO 22011G16KT 10SM SCT090 SCT110 32/07 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 30038/1135 WSHFT 1123 PRESRR SLP121 T03220067 10333 20217 55004 TSNO= KEMP 191200Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT095 31/08 A2991 RMK AO2 WSHFT 1139 TSNO= KEMP 191253Z AUTO 14005KT 10SM CLR 25/15 A2992 RMK AO2 WSHFT 1139 SLP119 T02500150 TSNO= ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 12:57:47 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO >But what about the meteorology of the situation? "Dropping during the >period" means nothing for such a small scale event, It does if it is after the event. The "heat burst" showed up on the 2253Z ob. The 06Z max period started with the 00Z ob, which showed 86F. Subsequent obs showed 5+ degrees per hour temperature drops. Thus my reasoning that the 06Z max of 96F is wrong, and that the ASOS was having problems. >nor do the reports >of "nearby" stations, which for AKO are few and far between. > Not too far away.... Lindon maxed out at 88F. It's about 30 miles south. Holyoke max was 86F. It's about 55 miles northeast. However, we could go back and forth on this and never get anywhere. Was the ob possible, given the meteorological situation? Yes. Was it possible the ASOS was messing up? Yes. IMHO, the latter is the more likely candidate. The only way to know for sure is to have the guy on duty at AKO at the time to chime in!!! :-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 01:48:18 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, TWC Future 5-min. Radars, Intellicast 3-D Danny Radars [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to the Members of CASI and later posted to Newsgroups.] Special Note: Sorry folks, we can't blame our individual NEXRAD providers tonight! Since 6pm this evening, the NEXRAD dissemination procedure has been interrupted, it appears. At 9pm all major providers were experiencing partial data or late images. We're talking several different NIDS providers here so the meltdown must be at the root of the dissemination procedure. Now on with some more uplifting NetNews: 1. Personal AccuWeather Subscription Introduces Aviation Weather Which Includes Access to Full-Size Full-Scale Real-Time Local NEXRADs for all U.S. Sites: Personal AccuWeather's subscription service (personal.accuweather.com, $3.33-$4.95 per month, 30-day Free Trial) launched Wednesday a major upgrade to their subscription service called Personal AccuWeather Aviation. I'll get to the Pilots here in a minute, but what I'm excited about is the new Local NEXRADs. We're talking all 143 continental US NEXRADs plus Puerto Rico, updated in Real-Time (by definition NEXRADs can only be updated every 5, 6, or 10 minutes depending on their mode). The most exciting part is the different look of the AccuWeather NEXRADs - they aren't joking around with small images that lack detail anymore... we're talking 768x512 images with a dbZ range of -28 to 75. No low-level data cutout for you Outflow Boundary / Dryline / Small Insect fans. Also the dbZ scale is continuous so when the radar switches from Clear Air to Precip mode there is no "turning hot" of the scale, and if the radar is left in Clear Air mode when precip comes in you've got the whole scale with no repetition. But for you Pilots, since this is who the service is aimed at ;) besides the local radars there are DIFAX charts, AAFs, NOTAMSs, PIREPs, SIGMETs, TAFs, Regional Visible Sats, 6-Hour Surface Conditions, and more. 2. The Weather Channel (http://www.weather.com) Talking Future Updates Including 5-Minute Local NEXRADs and Other Products: The Weather Channel announce on their website this week a list of future enhancements. As mentioned above, it's impossible for every local NEXRAD to update every 5 Minutes, so I'm guessing they are talking about their current "local" NEXRADs which are not Single-Site but are very localized and attractive Composite Radar Images. These could be as current as you want them because not all radars update at the same physical time. Anyhoo, here's the scoop from their website: "Some of the enhancements will include new products and faster downloads. We appreciate your support during our testing period. With the input we have received from thousands of users, we will continue to enhance our site with products like local radar updated every 5 minutes. Look for the new service in early June." Sounds good folks! We'll see! 3. Intellicast Whiz Kids Have More 3-D Imagery to Show: As a followup to their now-famous 3-D Radar Imagery of the Alabama Tornadoes, Intellicast now has exclusive 3-D Radar Imagery of Hurricane Danny, including 4-Tilt composites, RHI composites, and animations. Neato! (http://www.intellicast.com/drdew/3d-radar/) This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 21:05:07 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Big storms and no Nexrad data Major severe hailstorms hit central Iowa this afternoon and evening, but no Nexrad images appeared on the local cut-ins or newscasts in Des Moines tonight, and likely not in dozens of other cities. The reason is that the Galaxy 4 satellite, which many weather vendors (Kavouras and WSI) feed Nexrad, Satellite and other data on, took a dump and is still out as of 0200UTC May 20. If it wasn't for our C-band 250KW radar, we have been in major league trouble trying to cover big hail and brief tornado touchdowns. Despite the much advertised shortcomings of C-band Dopplers, a radar you can see is much better than a NIDS satellite receiver that says satellite lock lost. John McLaughlin ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 May 1998 22:08:10 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NetNews > Special Note: Sorry folks, we can't blame our individual NEXRAD > providers tonight! Since 6pm this evening, the NEXRAD dissemination > procedure has been interrupted, it appears. At 9pm all major > providers were experiencing partial data or late images. We're > talking several different NIDS providers here so the meltdown must be > at the root of the dissemination procedure. A Hughes satellite took a knock -- resulting in TV/pager loss as well as screwing around with NIDS & DTN downlinks. Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 May 1998 to 19 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu May 21 15:11:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3257 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-9197>; Thu, 21 May 1998 13:14:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28410; Thu, 21 May 1998 00:08:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199805210508.AAA28410@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 00:00:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 May 1998 to 20 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 36fe6735ecb2538bf15b90aab65b5c4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 493 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Galaxy IV (2) 2. Dew Point Bursts! 3. In all seriousness...how long? (2) 4. Big storms and no Nexrad data (3) 5. How we verify tornadoes in IL. (2) 6. The latest on the satellite outage... (2) 7. NASA Selects Teams for Research Agreements -- A 'Weather Channel' in Every Cockpit? (fwd) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 02:58:30 -0400 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: Galaxy IV The Galaxy IV satellite reportedly lost its "primary attitude controller". Our Kavouras data went out a little after 6pm EDT. I checked the satellite guide and also on that bird are seven transponders for CBS for "Newspath" as well as backhaul channels. Millions of pagers are not paging. The "Filipino Channel" is also off the air tonight. :-) It was fun watching the Weather Channel trying to not have a cow while showing "full disk" satellite images early in the evening, and then a lot of videotape and much discussion of the jet stream graphic later in the evening. Our hearts and minds are with you. ====================== Stuart Shepard WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky ====================== _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 10:27:00 -0500 From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: Dew Point Bursts! # The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 04:53 PM CDT was: # The skies were partly cloudy. # The weather reported was light rain and. # Temperature: 75F ( 24C) Dewpoint: 39F ( 4C) Relative Humidity: 27% # Winds from the SE (150 degs) at 12 mph. # Pressure: 1013.7 millibars. Altimeter:30.08 inches of mercury. # The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. # There was 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours. # # The weather observed at AKRON (KAKO) at 05:53 PM CDT was: # The skies were clear. # Temperature:100F ( 38C) Dewpoint: 45F ( 7C) Relative Humidity: 15% # Winds from the E (100 degs) at 8 mph. # Pressure: 1009.0 millibars. Altimeter:30.02 inches of mercury. # The prevailing visibility was 10 miles. # There was 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours. Wx-talkers: In addition to heat, the dew point also "burst" according to these observations. At best, the observations are counterintuitive. The following URL documents a heat burst with some excellent meteograms from the Oklahoma mesonet: http://radar.metr.ou.edu/Mesonet/heatburst/ The dew point drops as the temperature rises in this example. While dew point bursts may be possible, it is unlikely they would occur with a thunderstorm heat burst. The KAKO observations are probably erroneous. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 09:41:38 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Galaxy IV At 02:58 AM 5/20/98 -0400, you wrote: >The Galaxy IV satellite reportedly lost its "primary attitude >controller". If we'd had Al Gore's $20M L1 satellite in place we could have seen this failure coming! Don't worry though, GSA has been busy purchasing a bunch of extension ladders and hopes to be able reach Galaxy IV by Friday. Hope the repairman brings the right screwdriver with him! ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 10:38:31 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: In all seriousness...how long? Hello Everyone InterRad and AWC are not updating their radar images...I am assuming that this is because of the satellite problems? I have noticed other data not available as well.... Does anyone have any real answers as to what is going on and when the problem might be fixed? Will InterRad and AWC be able to use another satellite to receive their information? Thanks Ahead Of Time Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 10:52:59 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: In all seriousness...how long? On Wed, 20 May 1998, Derek Dodson wrote: *SNIP* > Does anyone have any real answers as to what is going on and when the > problem might be fixed? What happened is the Galaxy 4 (G4) satellite started spinning last night and was no longer pointed at the Earth. It has been brought back under control and PanAmSat (the owner/operator) is testing it out before bringing the satellite back on-line. PageMart (a nationwide paging company) has been told that this morning would be the very earliest that it would be back on-line. As of 10.45am, PageMart was still off line as were most of the major nationwide pager companies. KTCI ch. 17 here in Minneapolis, is running a scroll in place of the normal Kavouras feed they broadcast saying PanAmSat is saying another 24-48 hours *grumble* Looks like a period of darkness. Today is one of those days I wish I had my EMWIN set up running. ;) John ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 12:59:41 -0500 From: Phil Fleming Subject: Re: Big storms and no Nexrad data After an interesting evening last night in Central Illinois, we had mid-morning storms here to add to the fun. We had lost both InterRad and DTN Online last night (along with everyone else). However, about 9:30pm we started getting Intellicast images, and we have been using those for our weather information. We were able to use both the SPI Nexrad image and the SPI/midwestern RADSUM image, and this was helpful to us. We do miss the InterRad, though! -- Phil Philip B. "Phil" Fleming Fulton County Emergency Services and Disaster Agency Canton, Illinois, USA pfleming@netins.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:53:41 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: How we verify tornadoes in IL. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 0730 PM IL TORNADO 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3 FOOT TREES DOWN & "TWISTED". ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY AIRPORT. We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather disgusting. If you hear swiftly moving wind, it must be a tornado. If your car is pushed by wind, it must not be a heavy wind gust. All trees fallen by tornadoes will not be knocked down instantly by the inital wind gust from whatever direction, but will remain standing until the tornado has a chance to "twist" the tree. Further, one should report a tornado after examining the damage done to indivdual pieces of debris, not the type of debris field in general. No visual conformation of a tornado? Report one anyways! -Jeff Mila -Nexlab ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:55:52 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL > 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 > > > 0730 PM IL TORNADO > 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING > NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3 > FOOT TREES DOWN & "TWISTED". ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY AIRPORT. > > > We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather disgusting. > If you hear swiftly moving wind, it must be a tornado. > If your car is pushed by wind, it must not be a heavy wind gust. > All trees fallen by tornadoes will not be knocked down instantly by the > inital wind gust from whatever direction, but will remain standing until > the tornado has a chance to "twist" the tree. Further, one should report > a tornado after examining the damage done to indivdual pieces of debris, > not the type of debris field in general. > No visual conformation of a tornado? Report one anyways! > ....but it's not reported as a tornado. It's reported as a POSSIBLE tornado. Do you agree that a tornado _could_ have existed? It seems to me it could have. I don't really see anything wrong with a preliminary report saying a tornado could have occurred, if there is evidence that could be read that way. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 16:37:52 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: The latest on the satellite outage... Reports I have just gotten from Alden and Unisys indicate Galaxy 4 is shot. Both data vendors are frantically trying to establish communications via another satellite. Alden is implementing an emergency plan to have everyone on the new bird within 7 days (hopefully much sooner). Can't blame them for this. And everyone I know who has a pager is holding a worthless piece of metal right now... The Weather Channel seems to have satellite and radar access now, and the hourly data are updating...if you're reading this, as a broadcast met myself, I can say I know what you're going through. A TV station I used to work for lost data for 72 hours when a massive lightning strike simply destroyed our downlink. At least we had a network feed to use for satellite and radar imagery. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 16:52:41 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Re: The latest on the satellite outage... Gilbert Sebenste wrote: > Reports I have just gotten from Alden and Unisys indicate Galaxy 4 is > shot. Both data vendors are frantically trying to establish communications > via another satellite. Alden is implementing an emergency plan to have > everyone on the new bird within 7 days (hopefully much sooner). Can't > blame them for this. And everyone I know who has a pager is holding a > worthless piece of metal right now... >From what I am hearing, Unisys and WSI are moving to Galaxy 3R....WSI has completed their move and is transmitting, Unisys will be transmitting later tonight...if you have questions, call your vendor! Galaxy 3R is at 95 degrees west (G4 was at 99 west) I have no info on any other vendors...has anyone heard whether the EMWIN feed on Galaxy 4 will be moved, or are they just gonna stick with GOES 8 and 9? Jason Kelley ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 18:09:16 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: NASA Selects Teams for Research Agreements -- A 'Weather Channel' in Every Cockpit? (fwd) Got this bulletin today from NASA... -Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 17:09:47 -0400 (EDT) From: To: undisclosed-recipients Subject: NASA Selects Teams for Research Agreements -- A 'Weather Channel' in Every Cockpit? Dwayne Brown Headquarters, Washington, DC May 20, 1998 (Phone: 202/358-1726) Kathy Barnstorff Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA (Phone: 757/864-9886) RELEASE 98-86 NASA SELECTS TEAMS FOR RESEARCH AGREEMENTS -- A "WEATHER CHANNEL" IN EVERY COCKPIT? Airlines and smaller airplanes are one step closer to having up-to-the-minute, graphical weather displays in their cockpits, thanks in part to a new NASA aviation safety initiative. NASA has selected research proposals from eight industry teams to develop Aviation Weather Information (AWIN) systems for commercial airliners and general aviation aircraft. "Pilots tell us their number one priority is graphical weather information. We want to make it as easy to get a weather channel in the cockpit as it is in your living room. Technologies already exist that could help make that happen," said Michael Lewis, Director, NASA Aviation Safety Program (AvSP), based at the Langley Research Center in Hampton, VA. AvSP is a partnership with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the aviation industry (manufacturers and operators) and the Department of Defense (DOD). This partnership supports the national goal announced by President Clinton last year to reduce the fatal aircraft accident rate by 80 percent in 10 years and by 90 percent over two decades. The weather information selections are one of NASA's new investments in that ambitious challenge. NASA asked U.S. companies to submit proposals for research, development, prototyping and implementation of AWIN systems and components. Industry teams submitted more than 40 proposals in three weather information categories: a national and worldwide system, a general aviation system and topical areas or specific components. NASA, FAA and DOD researchers evaluated the proposals based on technical merit, cost and feasibility. NASA has set aside more than $8 million that will be matched by industry to fund AWIN projects over the next eighteen months. More money is expected to be designated later to accelerate commercialization and make some systems available within five years. For the first phase of the program, teams led by Honeywell and Boeing/McDonnell Douglas Corp. will receive up to $2.4 million apiece to develop a national and worldwide AWIN solution. Over the same 18-month period, the NavRadio group will be awarded up to $1.2 million and the ARNAV team, up to $400,000, for a general aviation weather information system. Other teams led by Rockwell International, Honeywell and NavRadio will split $1.6 million to develop specific components for AWIN. NASA envisions a futuristic system that would allow aircraft to be both a source and user of weather information. Airborne sensors would provide data for weather systems on board the plane, on the ground and in other aircraft. In the cockpit would be easy-to-read, real-time displays that can show weather across the country, not just a limited number of miles ahead. That way pilots could more easily monitor possible trouble spots and make better, more cost-efficient routing decisions. That weather information would get to and from aircraft by satellite and ground transceivers using broadcast datalink and two way communications systems. Many industry teams also propose to incorporate decision aids into their AWIN designs. Those could include, among other tools, alarm systems or displays of suggested routes to help pilots better avoid potentially hazardous weather situations. The aviation safety initiative was created in the summer of 1997 by NASA Administrator Daniel S. Goldin in response to a report from the White House Commission on Aviation Safety and Security, chaired by Vice President Al Gore. NASA has designated about $500 million over five years for aviation safety, with more funding expected to follow. Researchers at four NASA field installations are working with the FAA and industry to develop affordable, implementable technologies to make flying safer: Langley; Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, CA; Dryden Flight Research Center in Edwards, CA; and Lewis Research Center in Cleveland, OH. Because of advances in the last 40 years commercial airliners are already the safest of all major modes of transportation. But with an accident rate that has remained relatively constant in the last decade and air traffic expected to triple over the next 20 years, the U.S. government wants to prevent a projected rise in the number of aircraft accidents. For more information on the NASA Aviation Safety Program please check the Internet at: www.hq.nasa.gov/office/aero/oastthp/programs/avsaf/avsafpro.htm For a list of AWIN industry teams, please see: http://oea.larc.nasa.gov/news_rels/1998/May98/98_23.html - end - ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 16:53:38 -0800 From: Jeff Baker Subject: Re: Big storms and no Nexrad data What is InterRAD? How do I get it? Thanks Jeff -----Original Message----- From: Phil Fleming To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Date: Wednesday, May 20, 1998 10:38 AM Subject: Re: Big storms and no Nexrad data >After an interesting evening last night in Central Illinois, we had >mid-morning storms here to add to the fun. We had lost both InterRad and >DTN Online last night (along with everyone else). However, about 9:30pm we >started getting Intellicast images, and we have been using those for our >weather information. We were able to use both the SPI Nexrad image and the >SPI/midwestern RADSUM image, and this was helpful to us. > >We do miss the InterRad, though! > >-- Phil > >Philip B. "Phil" Fleming >Fulton County Emergency Services and Disaster Agency >Canton, Illinois, USA >pfleming@netins.net > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 22:10:35 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Big storms and no Nexrad data > What is InterRAD? How do I get it? It is an interface to create loops of reflectivity / velocity / precip images from Freese-Notis Weather. The service is described at http://www.weather.net -- software is at http://www.interrad.weather.net and some sample imagery is available from my homepage at http://norden1.com/~rdale/interrad.html Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 May 1998 to 20 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue May 26 23:44:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627066-7513>; Fri, 22 May 1998 13:17:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA66242; Fri, 22 May 1998 00:12:08 -0500 Message-Id: <199805220512.AAA66242@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 May 1998 to 21 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 226e3931f04026fb2fe640bc0dca4c7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 17 messages totalling 669 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Heat burst at Akron, CO 2. How we verify tornadoes in IL. (3) 3. new mailing list: WX-GRAPHICS 4. LAMP forecast 5. TV Met Job Available (Binghamton, NY) 6. Abbreviations listing for forecast discussions (2) 7. More Galaxy 4, and commentary... (2) 8. Acronyms 9. Verification In Illinois 10. NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, (2) 11. Jarrell tornado Disaster Survey Report 12. NetNews : Special Edition : RE: Internet Radar Data Outage - How did the companies fare? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 00:03:49 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO Steve Adams wrote: >Not too far away.... Lindon maxed out at 88F. It's about 30 miles >south. Holyoke max was 86F. It's about 55 miles northeast. > 30 and 55 miles are too far away for almost all heat bursts...when we say localized, we mean LOCALIZED! As for the AKO situation, seeing the one-minute sensor data would tell the story...if the wind stayed east around 10 knots like it was on the hourlys, then I'd say it was an ASOS foul-up. But if the wind shifted and gusted at the time of the temperature rise, then it was almost certainly a heat burst. These wind shifts and gusts do not last more than a few minutes in most instances. A mini heat burst occurred this afternoon right here at Tulsa...see the excerpt below from the Area Forecast Discussion issued by the Tulsa NWS this evening. The Skiatook and Bixby mesonet sites are both less than 20 miles from TUL. I left work about this time 5 miles from the ASOS site...the wind had just been gusty but had died down and a light rain was falling. Temperatures did not seem unusually warm to me...maybe 80-85 like the original 4 pm Tulsa ob had been. So this was a very localized heat burst...like most are. That's the very reason why they don't show up in obs too often...they are so localized.! By the way. the maximum temperature of 97 at MLC Tuesday apparently was incorrect. Maintainance was being done on the MLC ASOS at the time and the temperature was entered manually with a jump from 90 to 97 noted, then back down to 89 next hour. The mesonet site co-located there was around 90 the whole time. Looks like the backup equipment needs calibrating at MLC. Here's that OKCAFDTUL excerpt... INTERESTING PHENOMENA JUST AFTER 4 PM TODAY IN TULSA. AS THE RW/TRW MOVED ACROSS THE TULSA COUNTY...AN APPARENT HEAT BURST OCCURRED. AT 4PM...TUL REPORTED 83 DEG AFTER A FEW SPRINKLES COOLED THE AIR. BUT AT 405 PM...THE WIND BEGAN TO GUST FROM THE SOUTH. AT 410 PM...THE WIND WAS 18030G39KT AND THE TEMP JUMPED TO 32C. THE TEMP CLIMED TO 33.9C OR 93F BEFORE COOLING BACK TO 32C BY 435PM. THE DEWPOINT TEMP DROPPED TO ABOUT 52F FROM THE 65F AT 4PM. THE EVENT WAS QUITE LOCALIZED...NOT AFFECTING EITHER THE MESONET SITES AT SKIATOOK OR BIXBY. THE WARMING WAS LIKELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO BOTH ADIABATIC WARMING OF THE DESCENDING AIR...AND ALSO FROM THE GUSTY WIND MIXING OUT THE SHALLOW RAIN-COOLED AIR. FCSTID = 2 Mark Plate ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 00:30:59 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. >Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:55:52 CDT >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > >> >> PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL >> 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 >> >> >> 0730 PM IL TORNADO >> 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING >> NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3 >> FOOT TREES DOWN & "TWISTED". ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY AIRPORT. >> >> >> We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather disgusting. >> If you hear swiftly moving wind, it must be a tornado. >> If your car is pushed by wind, it must not be a heavy wind gust. >> All trees fallen by tornadoes will not be knocked down instantly by the >> inital wind gust from whatever direction, but will remain standing until >> the tornado has a chance to "twist" the tree. Further, one should report >> a tornado after examining the damage done to indivdual pieces of debris, >> not the type of debris field in general. >> No visual conformation of a tornado? Report one anyways! >> > >....but it's not reported as a tornado. It's reported as a POSSIBLE tornado. >Do you agree that a tornado _could_ have existed? It seems to me it could have. >I don't really see anything wrong with a preliminary report saying a tornado >could have occurred, if there is evidence that could be read that way. > >Scott I agree 100% with Scott on this one...if you feel you have enough evidence to report a POSSIBLE tornado, then go ahead and do it! What did the radar data, particularly the velocity fields, look like at this time? The deadly Catoosa, OK F-4 tornado on 4-24-93 was a "possible tornado" at first too...no spotters saw it since it was totally wrapped in rain! The LSR program NWS offices are required to use doesn't allow you to put possible tornado as the event in the first line. But the narrative in the second line makes it perfectly clear that's all this is! The Tulsa NWS office does this frequently. The report is later investigated to see if it can be substantiated. From my experience, I'd say anywhere from 10-25% of our "possible tornadoes" in LSR's end up as tornadoes in Storm Data. Mark Plate ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 01:05:42 -0500 From: James Kaplan Subject: How we verify tornadoes in IL. >Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:55:52 CDT >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > >> >> PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL >> 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 >> >> >> 0730 PM IL TORNADO >> 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING >> NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3 >> FOOT TREES DOWN & "TWISTED". ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY AIRPORT. >> >> >> We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather disgusting. >> If you hear swiftly moving wind, it must be a tornado. >> If your car is pushed by wind, it must not be a heavy wind gust. >> All trees fallen by tornadoes will not be knocked down instantly by the >> inital wind gust from whatever direction, but will remain standing until >> the tornado has a chance to "twist" the tree. Further, one should report >> a tornado after examining the damage done to indivdual pieces of debris, >> not the type of debris field in general. >> No visual conformation of a tornado? Report one anyways! >> > >....but it's not reported as a tornado. It's reported as a POSSIBLE tornado. >Do you agree that a tornado _could_ have existed? It seems to me it could have. >I don't really see anything wrong with a preliminary report saying a tornado >could have occurred, if there is evidence that could be read that way. And it may remain a "possible tornado". This occurred in a very unpopulated area nowhere near any town. As of this evening, I'd heard no more damage info from any farms in the area. And there's no corn to look at for evidence of rotation. As the person who sent the report let me add that this storm had been exhibting strong persistent GATE TO GATE mid level (oddly enough) shear of 30-40 knots at about 60 mile range and had 20-30 knots of tight shear indicated in the lowest tilt during the time of the reported possible tornado. This storm formed as already strong storms moved southeast along an old outflow boundary from previous severe storms. Confirmed tornadoes have certainly occured in northern Illinois with lesser indications on radar. The reports indicated more than one person reported a "roaring sound", not that they "heard swiftly moving wind." The driving rain reported was to suggest that this may indeed have been a tornado wrapped in rain. The car was rotated 90 degrees. Not indicative of a tornado I agree, but a pretty darn strong wind. One can probably be glad this didn't hit a heavily populated area. > > Jim Any typos are just that - I'm an expert speller ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 02:58:28 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: new mailing list: WX-GRAPHICS A new E-mail discussion list has been created for users of Digital Atmosphere and other forecasting-related software programs. To automatically subscribe, send a note to majordomo@weathergraphics.com with the following information: subscribe wx-graphics Tim Vasquez Norman, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 06:46:21 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: LAMP forecast Hi All, Is the LAMP forecast (it says,updated every 3 hours) an updated NGM MOS or just a more detailed version of the NGM MOS model (which is run every 12 hours), using the same data from the last 12 hour update? Thanks for your help! Paul Hodgdon Hampton Beach, NH ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 09:18:05 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > The reports indicated more than one person reported a "roaring sound", not > that they > "heard swiftly moving wind." The driving rain reported was to suggest that > this may > indeed have been a tornado wrapped in rain. The car was rotated 90 degrees. > Not indicative of a tornado I agree, but a pretty darn strong wind. One > can probably > be glad this didn't hit a heavily populated area. yea sorry, I added "swiftly moving wind" in place of roaring sound. I figured that's what a roaring sound would be indicating. So why did no one report a heavy wind gust? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 09:29:19 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Binghamton, NY) METEOROLOGIST ­ (WIVT - Binghamton, NY) WIVT - NewsChannel 34 in Binghamton, New York is expanding and we are looking for a weekend meteorologist that can deliver an accurate forecast. Must be able to communicate to the public both on and off the screen. If you are looking for a great opportunity in the beautiful Southern Tier of New York please send a tape and resume ASAP to Bill Colley-News Director, WIVT NewsChannel 34, 203 Ingraham Hill Road, Binghamton, NY 13903. WIVT is an Equal Opportunity Employer. E- mail: wivt@stny.lrun.com *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:33:10 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: Abbreviations listing for forecast discussions Can someone point me to an online listing of abbreviations used in the "Forecast Discussions", a text product. For instance, what does "CAA" mean? Thanks for your help! Paul ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 13:45:13 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: More Galaxy 4, and commentary... It looks like all the data vendors are back up on the backup satellite, SBS 6. Alden came back first, after techs worked around the clock to get their feed running. WSI came up next, the others followed. Looks like pagers are coming back too. As for Galaxy 4, there apparently is the possibility that it can be recovered, and if it can, could be back up in a week or so, but no one knows for sure yet. I did see a few posts about people wondering why the vendors didn't have a backup for such a situation. From what I've seen, it's because this is a extremely rare occurrence. Usually, problems with a satellite are discovered while it is being tested before actually being commissioned; and when it nears the end of it's life span, they move everyone over to a new satellite before there is any danger. Kind of like bringing two sandwiches with you to work, in case one has something wrong with it. Also, many do have a backup....this thing called the Internet. Less convenient for us at the place I work at, but we still got the weather data and nobody suffered from the data loss. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:50:52 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Acronyms > > The following sites comprise comprehensive lists of acronyms used by the > National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center, respectively: > > http://www.nwstc.kc.noaa.gov/d.HMD/HMD_HOME.HTML > > http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/products/acronyms.html > > > Kennard (Chip) Kasper > ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ > > > On Thu, 21 May 1998, paul_a_hodgdon__jr wrote: > > > Can someone point me to an online listing of abbreviations used in the > > "Forecast Discussions", a text product. > > > > For instance, what does "CAA" mean? > > > > Thanks for your help! > > > > Paul ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:02:00 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Abbreviations listing for forecast discussions Paul Hodgdon wrote... >Can someone point me to an online listing of abbreviations used in the >"Forecast Discussions", a text product. > >For instance, what does "CAA" mean? CAA means Cold Air Advection. See the following URL: http://www.awc-kc.noaa.gov/info/domestic_contractions.html ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:40:02 -0500 From: "Patrick T. Powell" Subject: Verification In Illinois This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_000E_01BD84C6.567C0000 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-7" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable +ACM- From: Jeff from West Chicago +ADw-mila+AEA-IC1Q01.COD.EDU+AD4- +ACM- Subject: How we verify tornadoes in IL. +ACM- PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT +ACM- NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL +ACM- 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 +ACM- 0730 PM IL TORNADO +ACM- 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF = ROARING +ACM- NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY = WIND. 3 +ACM- FOOT TREES DOWN +ACY- +ACI-TWISTED+ACI-. ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON = CITY AIRPORT. +ACM- We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather = disgusting. Jeff and COD Weather Lab personel, please take note that at the top of = the Chicago report it says +ACI-PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT+ACI-. = That is not a verification of a tornado. I think in Illinois, as in most = locations, the preliminary report is an indication of what the NWS = believes happened, judging by the information and reports that they had = received. It does not mean that it was a tornado, it means that it = +ACI-likely+ACI- was. Don't they send damage teams out to survey after = the fact anymore. Patrick Powell +ACI-Formerly of West Chicago+ACI- Meteorologist WOWT-TV Omaha ------=_NextPart_000_000E_01BD84C6.567C0000 Content-Type: text/html; charset="utf-7" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable +ADwAIQ-DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC +ACI--//W3C//DTD W3 HTML//EN+ACIAPg- +ADw-HTML+AD4- +ADw-HEAD+AD4- +ADw-META content+AD0AIg-text/html+ADs- charset+AD0-utf-7+ACI- = http-equiv+AD0-Content-Type+AD4- +ADw-META content+AD0-'+ACI-MSHTML 4.71.1712.3+ACI-' = name+AD0-GENERATOR+AD4- +ADw-/HEAD+AD4- +ADw-BODY bgColor+AD0AIw-ffffff+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- From:+ACY-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADs- = Jeff from West Chicago +ACY-lt+ADsAPA-A=20 href+AD0AIg-mailto:mila+AEA-IC1Q01.COD.EDU+ACIAPg-mila+AEA-IC1Q01.COD.EDU= +ADw-/A+AD4AJg-gt+ADsAPA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs-=20 Subject: How we verify tornadoes in = IL.+ADw-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM=20 REPORT+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO = IL+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- 1020PM CDT TUE=20 MAY 19 1998+ADw-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- 0730=20 PM+ACY-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+A= DsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADs- IL TORNADO+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs-=20 05/19/98 = FORD+ACY-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp= +ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADs-=20 POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- = NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING=20 RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- = FOOT TREES DOWN +ACY-amp+ADs-=20 +ACY-quot+ADs-TWISTED+ACY-quot+ADs-. ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY = AIRPORT.+ADw-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- We=20 here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather=20 disgusting.+ACY-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AJg-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4APA-BR+AD4AJg-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-Jeff and COD Weather Lab personel, please take note that at = the top of the=20 Chicago report it says +ACY-quot+ADs-PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM = REPORT+ACY-quot+ADs-. That is not a=20 verification of a tornado. I think in Illinois, as in most locations, = the=20 preliminary report is an indication of what the NWS believes happened, = judging=20 by the information and reports that they had received. It does not mean = that it=20 was a tornado, it means that it +ACY-quot+ADs-likely+ACY-quot+ADs- was. = Don't they send damage=20 teams out to survey after the fact anymore.+ACY-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AJg-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-Patrick Powell+ADw-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AJg-quot+ADs-Formerly of West = Chicago+ACY-quot+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-Meteorologist+ADw-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-WOWT-TV+ACY-nbsp+ADs- = Omaha+ADw-/DIV+AD4APA-/BODY+AD4APA-/HTML+AD4- ------=_NextPart_000_000E_01BD84C6.567C0000-- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:49:26 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, > minutes depending on their mode). The most exciting part is the > different look of the AccuWeather NEXRADs - they aren't joking around > with small images that lack detail anymore... we're talking 768x512 > images with a dbZ range of -28 to 75. No low-level data cutout for > you Outflow Boundary / Dryline / Small Insect fans. A nitpick: There is no free lunch. On top of the limited dynamic range of the radar receiver, with NIDS data you only get 16 levels (14 really, plus ND/over), either -28 to +28 in clear-air mode or +5 to 75 in precip mode. Although the display may "allow" it, you'll never get any more info out of the data. Also the data has 230 1-km gates (full radar resolution for reflectivity), so a 460x460 pixel display should "hold" it (then some for legend). Our home-hacked displays are 622x460, and Intellicast's are about the same. > Also the dbZ > scale is continuous so when the radar switches from Clear Air to > Precip mode there is no "turning hot" of the scale, and if the radar > is left in Clear Air mode when precip comes in you've got the whole > scale with no repetition. This has an advantage for looping, but for single images one could get into an aesthetics debate regarding which is better. Since there is an overlap region where one data mode has 4-dBZ resolution and the other has 5-dBZ resolution, there will still be a noticable shift of colors, etc, when the mode is switched-over. -Keith --------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 16:24:40 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, > A nitpick: There is no free lunch. On top of the limited dynamic range > of the radar receiver, with NIDS data you only get 16 levels (14 really, > plus ND/over), either -28 to +28 in clear-air mode or +5 to 75 in > precip mode. Although the display may "allow" it, you'll never get > any more info out of the data. I think his point is that previously the only cheap, constantly updated NEXRAD imagery on the net is of low resolution (320x320 or less) which isn't the best for detailed analysis. Now we do have a source... > > Also the dbZ > > scale is continuous so when the radar switches from Clear Air to > > Precip mode there is no "turning hot" of the scale, and if the radar > > is left in Clear Air mode when precip comes in you've got the whole > > scale with no repetition. > > This has an advantage for looping, but for single images > one could get into an aesthetics debate regarding which is better. > Since there is an overlap region where one data mode has 4-dBZ > resolution and the other has 5-dBZ resolution, there will still be > a noticable shift of colors, etc, when the mode is switched-over. It still doesn't suffer from the "hot" colors that WSI has while in clear-air mode, and I can't see the 1-2dbZ data resolution loss from 0-28 while in clear-air mode will be that much of a loss. Again -- with the rates they'll be charging (<$10 / mo?) it's hard to beat that clarity. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 16:40:48 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: More Galaxy 4, and commentary... >From: Gilbert Sebenste > >It looks like all the data vendors are back up on the backup satellite, >SBS 6. Alden came back first, after techs worked around the clock to get >their feed running. WSI came up next, the others followed. Looks like Most of the time when there is talk about the data vendors, it is negative. Someone has a problem and they need to tell the world. Well, I'd like to take this opportunity to pat our vendor on the back. Alden did a SUPER job in getting us to another satellite within 24 hours. When we noticed transmission problems with certain products, Alden worked with the NWS to get them corrected. (And continues to do so!) We have gotten excellent service from them from day 1... and continue to get it to this day. Great job ALDEN ! :-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 16:51:42 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Jarrell tornado Disaster Survey Report Howdy Folks!! Sorry for the cross post, but I thought this had relevance to both groups. Someone else may want to forward this to wx-skywarn also. The NWS Disaster Survey Report of the Central Texas tornadoes (including the Jarrell tornado)on 27 May 1997 is out. The URL is http://www.nws.noaa.gov./om/omdis.htm . The Austin American Statesman has an article about the report as well. The URL is http://www.austin360.com/news/001metro/05may/21/jarrell21.htm . Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 01:35:19 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : Special Edition : RE: Internet Radar Data Outage - How did the companies fare? [NetNews: Recent news about Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators as compiled by Jesse Ferell (www.weatherwatchers.org).] I've heard a lot of information on the lack of radar data when the Galaxy IV satellite went out Tuesday (5/19) evening. This was certainly the biggest outage of recent memory, especially since radar data became so common on the Net, whether that be for pay or free... times like these should make us look closely at our Internet Radar Provider's policies and ability to recover from such an outage. From what I have observed, this is how the major companies handled the outage. It appears that the larger companies fared better regardless of their actual data provider. The following are the company name (in alphabetical order), followed by their Internet Services in Parentheses, then their Radar and Satellite behaviour during the outage, and finally their Radar (NIDS) provider in brackets. There is nothing official about this posting, its just what I have personally observed or gathered from postings and emails. AccuWeather (Personal AccuWeather, GetWeather) - Able to provide most Satellite and partial Radar data to customers throughout the outage. 100% outage downtime estimated less than 2 hours. 90% or more recovered by 5/21. [UNISYS] American Weather Concepts (AWC) - 100% data loss from 6pm 5/19 to afternoon 5/21 at which time they were 90% or more recovered. [UNISYS] Freese Notis (Interrad) - 100% data loss from 6pm 5/19 to at least early 5/21. Unknown recovery status, assume same as AWC & TWC. [???] The Weather Channel (TWC) - 100% data loss from 6pm 5/19 to afternoon 5/21 at which time they were 90% or more recovered. [WSI] WSI (Intellicast, Pilotbrief) - Able to provide most Satellite and partial Radar data to Internet customers throughout the outage. 100% outage downtime estimated less than 2 hours. 90% or more recovered by 5/21. [WSI] This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 May 1998 to 21 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue May 26 23:44:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2790 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627004-7514>; Fri, 22 May 1998 17:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id EAA68482; Fri, 22 May 1998 04:53:18 -0500 Message-Id: <199805220953.EAA68482@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 04:46:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 May 1998 to 22 May 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3aa712bbcde92a5d562ae282b66bf895 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 1209 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. WSI and Galaxy 4 2. More Galaxy 4, and commentary... 3. Heat burst in Oklahoma on 5/21 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 02:35:40 -0400 From: "Aaron M. Skolnik" Subject: WSI and Galaxy 4 Weather Talkers- I would like to openly thank the folks at WSI for all their help during the Galaxy 4 fiasco on Tuesday night and Wednesday. I am an intern at WBOC-TV, the CBS affiliate in Salisbury, Maryland. For weather data, we rely on WSI's HCSN feed on Galaxy 4. With all the problems we had, WSI acted quickly to provide an alternate data source (via their website) and to restore their satellite data feed. Since we are a CBS station, one of our main satellite dishes is pointed at Galaxy 4 for the CBS Newspath feed, and our WSI feed is split from that, so it was not as simple as just moving the dish to Galaxy 3-R. Our engineering staff had to run us a cable (taped down along the floor in the hallway from Master Control to the weather office) to an alternate dish. While the data outage time was high, we were able to restore the flow of data before our primetime shows. Here in the mid-Atlantic, we were VERY lucky that this happened on a quiet day. Our friends in other parts of the country were not so fortunate. We are now looking for a backup method of data distribution, but I think we all learned a valuable lesson with this experience. The people at WSI were great in dealing with this crisis. The customer service representatives remained cool, calm, and collected during the entire incident. My thanks to all of them! Hope my ramblings haven't bored you... I just think some people deserve some praise after all the problems this week. Aaron =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Aaron M. Skolnik Meteorology Student Salisbury State University Salisbury, Maryland --------------------------- =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 03:14:02 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: More Galaxy 4, and commentary... In message , you said: Gilbert Sebenste writes: >I did see a few posts about people wondering why the vendors didn't have a >backup for such a situation. From what I've seen, it's because this is a >extremely rare occurrence. Usually, problems with a satellite are >discovered while it is being tested before actually being commissioned; >and when it nears the end of it's life span, they move everyone over to a >new satellite before there is any danger. Kind of like bringing two >sandwiches with you to work, in case one has something wrong with it. Actually, the past two years have seen the catastrophic failure of FOUR major communication satellites: Anik E1, Anik E2, Telstar 401 and now, Galaxy 4. Anik E1 failed in a manner almost exactly the same as Galaxy 4's, namely it started spinning out of control. It was brought back on line a few months later by using its station keeping retros for spin control, at the severe cost of shortened lifespan. I've been told that the Anik and Galaxy birds share several hardware features, so their similar failure modes (apparent failure of both primary and backup motion wheels) may not be a mere coincidence. Meanwhile, Anik E2 lost power from one half its solar array, causing the loss of half its transponders, and Telstar 401 just dropped off-line and ground controllers were never able to reestablish contact. Ironically, a great many of the television services that lost their space on Telstar 401 had found a new home on... Galaxy 4. Now many of them are back on a Telstar bird, Telstar 5... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 04:45:55 -0500 From: KWTV - castles Subject: Heat burst in Oklahoma on 5/21 ------ =_NextPart_000_01BD853C.84DAB6A0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable As mentioned in Tulsa, western OK experienced heatbursts earlier in the = AM. Here is a special wx statement from OKC NWS: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 400 PM CDT THU MAY 21 1998 ...HEATBURSTS OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING... A FEW STATIONS IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA HAVE REPORTED A RAPID WARMUP THIS=20 MORNING IN A PHENOMENON KNOWN AS A HEATBURST. THE TEMPERATURE AT=20 CLINTON SHERMAN AIRPORT NEAR BURNS FLAT ROSE 16 DEGREES IN 5 MINUTES=20 TO 95 DEGREES AT 900 AM. THE MESONET STATION NEAR ERICK HAD A=20 TEMPERATURE RISE OF 14 DEGREES IN 10 MINUTES... CLIMBING TO 91=20 DEGREES AROUND 800 AM. THIS QUICK WARMING IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY AN=20 INCREASE IN THE WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND DECREASE IN=20 MOISTURE. Jed Castles AM and Noon Meteorologist KWTV-TV ---------- From: Automatic digest processor[SMTP:LISTSERV@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] Sent: Friday, May 22, 1998 12:00 AM To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 May 1998 to 21 May 1998 There are 17 messages totalling 669 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Heat burst at Akron, CO 2. How we verify tornadoes in IL. (3) 3. new mailing list: WX-GRAPHICS 4. LAMP forecast 5. TV Met Job Available (Binghamton, NY) 6. Abbreviations listing for forecast discussions (2) 7. More Galaxy 4, and commentary... (2) 8. Acronyms 9. Verification In Illinois 10. NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, (2) 11. Jarrell tornado Disaster Survey Report 12. NetNews : Special Edition : RE: Internet Radar Data Outage - How = did the companies fare? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 00:03:49 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: Re: Heat burst at Akron, CO Steve Adams wrote: >Not too far away.... Lindon maxed out at 88F. It's about 30 miles >south. Holyoke max was 86F. It's about 55 miles northeast. > 30 and 55 miles are too far away for almost all heat bursts...when we = say localized, we mean LOCALIZED! As for the AKO situation, seeing the one-minute sensor data would tell the story...if the wind stayed east = around 10 knots like it was on the hourlys, then I'd say it was an ASOS = foul-up. But if the wind shifted and gusted at the time of the temperature rise, = then it was almost certainly a heat burst. These wind shifts and gusts do not last more than a few minutes in most instances. A mini heat burst occurred this afternoon right here at Tulsa...see the excerpt below from the Area Forecast Discussion issued by the Tulsa NWS = this evening. The Skiatook and Bixby mesonet sites are both less than 20 = miles from TUL. I left work about this time 5 miles from the ASOS site...the = wind had just been gusty but had died down and a light rain was falling. Temperatures did not seem unusually warm to me...maybe 80-85 like the original 4 pm Tulsa ob had been. So this was a very localized heat burst...like most are. That's the very reason why they don't show up in = obs too often...they are so localized.! By the way. the maximum temperature of 97 at MLC Tuesday apparently was incorrect. Maintainance was being done on the MLC ASOS at the time and = the temperature was entered manually with a jump from 90 to 97 noted, then = back down to 89 next hour. The mesonet site co-located there was around 90 = the whole time. Looks like the backup equipment needs calibrating at MLC. Here's that OKCAFDTUL excerpt... INTERESTING PHENOMENA JUST AFTER 4 PM TODAY IN TULSA. AS THE RW/TRW MOVED ACROSS THE TULSA COUNTY...AN APPARENT HEAT BURST OCCURRED. AT 4PM...TUL REPORTED 83 DEG AFTER A FEW SPRINKLES COOLED THE AIR. BUT AT 405 PM...THE WIND BEGAN TO GUST FROM THE SOUTH. AT 410 PM...THE WIND WAS 18030G39KT AND THE TEMP JUMPED TO 32C. THE TEMP CLIMED TO 33.9C OR 93F BEFORE COOLING BACK TO 32C BY 435PM. THE DEWPOINT TEMP DROPPED TO ABOUT 52F FROM THE 65F AT 4PM. THE EVENT WAS QUITE LOCALIZED...NOT AFFECTING EITHER THE MESONET SITES AT SKIATOOK OR BIXBY. THE WARMING WAS LIKELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO BOTH ADIABATIC WARMING OF THE DESCENDING AIR...AND ALSO FROM THE GUSTY WIND MIXING OUT THE SHALLOW RAIN-COOLED AIR. FCSTID =3D 2 Mark Plate ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 00:30:59 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. >Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:55:52 CDT >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > >> >> PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL >> 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 >> >> >> 0730 PM IL TORNADO >> 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING >> NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3 >> FOOT TREES DOWN & "TWISTED". ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY AIRPORT. >> >> >> We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather = disgusting. >> If you hear swiftly moving wind, it must be a tornado. >> If your car is pushed by wind, it must not be a heavy wind gust. >> All trees fallen by tornadoes will not be knocked down instantly by = the >> inital wind gust from whatever direction, but will remain standing = until >> the tornado has a chance to "twist" the tree. Further, one should = report >> a tornado after examining the damage done to indivdual pieces of = debris, >> not the type of debris field in general. >> No visual conformation of a tornado? Report one anyways! >> > >....but it's not reported as a tornado. It's reported as a POSSIBLE = tornado. >Do you agree that a tornado _could_ have existed? It seems to me it = could have. >I don't really see anything wrong with a preliminary report saying a = tornado >could have occurred, if there is evidence that could be read that way. > >Scott I agree 100% with Scott on this one...if you feel you have enough = evidence to report a POSSIBLE tornado, then go ahead and do it! What did the = radar data, particularly the velocity fields, look like at this time? The = deadly Catoosa, OK F-4 tornado on 4-24-93 was a "possible tornado" at first too...no spotters saw it since it was totally wrapped in rain! The LSR program NWS offices are required to use doesn't allow you to put = possible tornado as the event in the first line. But the narrative in the second = line makes it perfectly clear that's all this is! The Tulsa NWS office does = this frequently. The report is later investigated to see if it can be substantiated. From my experience, I'd say anywhere from 10-25% of our "possible tornadoes" in LSR's end up as tornadoes in Storm Data. Mark Plate ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 01:05:42 -0500 From: James Kaplan Subject: How we verify tornadoes in IL. >Date: Wed, 20 May 1998 13:55:52 CDT >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > >> >> PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL >> 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 >> >> >> 0730 PM IL TORNADO >> 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING >> NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3 >> FOOT TREES DOWN & "TWISTED". ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY AIRPORT. >> >> >> We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather = disgusting. >> If you hear swiftly moving wind, it must be a tornado. >> If your car is pushed by wind, it must not be a heavy wind gust. >> All trees fallen by tornadoes will not be knocked down instantly by = the >> inital wind gust from whatever direction, but will remain standing = until >> the tornado has a chance to "twist" the tree. Further, one should = report >> a tornado after examining the damage done to indivdual pieces of = debris, >> not the type of debris field in general. >> No visual conformation of a tornado? Report one anyways! >> > >....but it's not reported as a tornado. It's reported as a POSSIBLE = tornado. >Do you agree that a tornado _could_ have existed? It seems to me it = could have. >I don't really see anything wrong with a preliminary report saying a = tornado >could have occurred, if there is evidence that could be read that way. And it may remain a "possible tornado". This occurred in a very unpopulated area nowhere near any town. As of this evening, I'd heard no more damage = info from any farms in the area. And there's no corn to look at for evidence of rotation. As the person who sent the report let me add that this storm had been exhibting strong persistent GATE TO GATE mid level (oddly enough) shear of 30-40 knots at about 60 mile range and had 20-30 knots of tight shear indicated in the lowest = tilt during the time of the reported possible tornado. This storm formed as already strong storms moved southeast along an old outflow boundary from previous severe = storms. Confirmed tornadoes have certainly occured in northern Illinois with = lesser indications on radar. The reports indicated more than one person reported a "roaring sound", = not that they "heard swiftly moving wind." The driving rain reported was to suggest = that this may indeed have been a tornado wrapped in rain. The car was rotated 90 = degrees. Not indicative of a tornado I agree, but a pretty darn strong wind. One can probably be glad this didn't hit a heavily populated area. > > Jim Any typos are just that - I'm an expert speller ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 02:58:28 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: new mailing list: WX-GRAPHICS A new E-mail discussion list has been created for users of Digital = Atmosphere and other forecasting-related software programs. To automatically subscribe, send a note to majordomo@weathergraphics.com with the following information: subscribe wx-graphics Tim Vasquez Norman, Oklahoma ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 06:46:21 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: LAMP forecast Hi All, Is the LAMP forecast (it says,updated every 3 hours) an updated NGM MOS = or just a more detailed version of the NGM MOS model (which is run every 12 hours), using the same data from the last 12 hour update? Thanks for your help! Paul Hodgdon Hampton Beach, NH ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 09:18:05 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: How we verify tornadoes in IL. > The reports indicated more than one person reported a "roaring sound", = not > that they > "heard swiftly moving wind." The driving rain reported was to suggest = that > this may > indeed have been a tornado wrapped in rain. The car was rotated 90 = degrees. > Not indicative of a tornado I agree, but a pretty darn strong wind. = One > can probably > be glad this didn't hit a heavily populated area. yea sorry, I added "swiftly moving wind" in place of roaring sound. I figured that's what a roaring sound would be indicating. So why did no one report a heavy wind gust? ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 09:29:19 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Binghamton, NY) METEOROLOGIST =AD (WIVT - Binghamton, NY) WIVT - NewsChannel 34 in Binghamton, New York is expanding and we are looking for a weekend meteorologist that can deliver an accurate forecast. Must be able to communicate to the public both on and off the screen. If you are looking for a great opportunity in the beautiful Southern Tier of New York please send a tape and resume ASAP to Bill Colley-News Director, WIVT NewsChannel 34, 203 Ingraham Hill Road, Binghamton, NY 13903. WIVT is an Equal Opportunity Employer. E- mail: wivt@stny.lrun.com *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:33:10 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: Abbreviations listing for forecast discussions Can someone point me to an online listing of abbreviations used in the "Forecast Discussions", a text product. For instance, what does "CAA" mean? Thanks for your help! Paul ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 13:45:13 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: More Galaxy 4, and commentary... It looks like all the data vendors are back up on the backup satellite, SBS 6. Alden came back first, after techs worked around the clock to get their feed running. WSI came up next, the others followed. Looks like pagers are coming back too. As for Galaxy 4, there apparently is the possibility that it can be recovered, and if it can, could be back up in = a week or so, but no one knows for sure yet. I did see a few posts about people wondering why the vendors didn't have = a backup for such a situation. From what I've seen, it's because this is a extremely rare occurrence. Usually, problems with a satellite are discovered while it is being tested before actually being commissioned; and when it nears the end of it's life span, they move everyone over to = a new satellite before there is any danger. Kind of like bringing two sandwiches with you to work, in case one has something wrong with it. Also, many do have a backup....this thing called the Internet. Less convenient for us at the place I work at, but we still got the weather data and nobody suffered from the data loss. Gilbert *************************************************************************= ****** Gilbert Sebenste = ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * *************************************************************************= ****** ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:50:52 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Acronyms > > The following sites comprise comprehensive lists of acronyms used by = the > National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center, = respectively: > > http://www.nwstc.kc.noaa.gov/d.HMD/HMD_HOME.HTML > > http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/products/acronyms.html > > > Kennard (Chip) Kasper > = +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++= + > > > On Thu, 21 May 1998, paul_a_hodgdon__jr wrote: > > > Can someone point me to an online listing of abbreviations used in = the > > "Forecast Discussions", a text product. > > > > For instance, what does "CAA" mean? > > > > Thanks for your help! > > > > Paul ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:02:00 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Abbreviations listing for forecast discussions Paul Hodgdon wrote... >Can someone point me to an online listing of abbreviations used in the >"Forecast Discussions", a text product. > >For instance, what does "CAA" mean? CAA means Cold Air Advection. See the following URL: http://www.awc-kc.noaa.gov/info/domestic_contractions.html .Chris.. *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:40:02 -0500 From: "Patrick T. Powell" Subject: Verification In Illinois This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=3D_NextPart_000_000E_01BD84C6.567C0000 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=3D"utf-7" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable +ACM- From: Jeff from West Chicago +ADw-mila+AEA-IC1Q01.COD.EDU+AD4- +ACM- Subject: How we verify tornadoes in IL. +ACM- PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT +ACM- NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL +ACM- 1020PM CDT TUE MAY 19 1998 +ACM- 0730 PM IL TORNADO +ACM- 05/19/98 FORD POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF =3D ROARING +ACM- NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY =3D WIND. 3 +ACM- FOOT TREES DOWN +ACY- +ACI-TWISTED+ACI-. ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON = =3D CITY AIRPORT. +ACM- We here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather =3D disgusting. Jeff and COD Weather Lab personel, please take note that at the top of = =3D the Chicago report it says +ACI-PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT+ACI-. =3D That is not a verification of a tornado. I think in Illinois, as in most = =3D locations, the preliminary report is an indication of what the NWS =3D believes happened, judging by the information and reports that they had = =3D received. It does not mean that it was a tornado, it means that it =3D +ACI-likely+ACI- was. Don't they send damage teams out to survey after = =3D the fact anymore. Patrick Powell +ACI-Formerly of West Chicago+ACI- Meteorologist WOWT-TV Omaha ------=3D_NextPart_000_000E_01BD84C6.567C0000 Content-Type: text/html; charset=3D"utf-7" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable +ADwAIQ-DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC +ACI--//W3C//DTD W3 HTML//EN+ACIAPg- +ADw-HTML+AD4- +ADw-HEAD+AD4- +ADw-META content+AD0AIg-text/html+ADs- charset+AD0-utf-7+ACI- =3D http-equiv+AD0-Content-Type+AD4- +ADw-META content+AD0-'+ACI-MSHTML 4.71.1712.3+ACI-' =3D name+AD0-GENERATOR+AD4- +ADw-/HEAD+AD4- +ADw-BODY bgColor+AD0AIw-ffffff+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- From:+ACY-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADs- = =3D Jeff from West Chicago +ACY-lt+ADsAPA-A=3D20 href+AD0AIg-mailto:mila+AEA-IC1Q01.COD.EDU+ACIAPg-mila+AEA-IC1Q01.COD.EDU= =3D +ADw-/A+AD4AJg-gt+ADsAPA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs-=3D20 Subject: How we verify tornadoes in =3D IL.+ADw-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM=3D20 REPORT+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO =3D IL+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- 1020PM CDT TUE=3D20 MAY 19 1998+ADw-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- 0730=3D20 PM+ACY-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+A= =3D DsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADs- IL TORNADO+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs-=3D20 05/19/98 =3D FORD+ACY-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp= =3D +ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADsAJg-nbsp+ADs-=3D20 POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROARING+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- = =3D NOISE IN HEAVY DRIVING=3D20 RAIN ESDA DIRECTORS CAR SPUN AROUND BY WIND. 3+ADw-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- = =3D FOOT TREES DOWN +ACY-amp+ADs-=3D20 +ACY-quot+ADs-TWISTED+ACY-quot+ADs-. ABOUT 7 ENE OF GIBSON CITY =3D AIRPORT.+ADw-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4APA-BR+AD4AIwAm-nbsp+ADs- We=3D20 here at the College of DuPage Weather Lab find this rather=3D20 disgusting.+ACY-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AJg-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4APA-BR+AD4AJg-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-Jeff and COD Weather Lab personel, please take note that at = =3D the top of the=3D20 Chicago report it says +ACY-quot+ADs-PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM =3D REPORT+ACY-quot+ADs-. That is not a=3D20 verification of a tornado. I think in Illinois, as in most locations, = =3D the=3D20 preliminary report is an indication of what the NWS believes happened, = =3D judging=3D20 by the information and reports that they had received. It does not mean = =3D that it=3D20 was a tornado, it means that it +ACY-quot+ADs-likely+ACY-quot+ADs- was. = =3D Don't they send damage=3D20 teams out to survey after the fact anymore.+ACY-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AJg-nbsp+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-Patrick Powell+ADw-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4AJg-quot+ADs-Formerly of West =3D Chicago+ACY-quot+ADsAPA-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-Meteorologist+ADw-/DIV+AD4- +ADw-DIV+AD4-WOWT-TV+ACY-nbsp+ADs- =3D Omaha+ADw-/DIV+AD4APA-/BODY+AD4APA-/HTML+AD4- ------=3D_NextPart_000_000E_01BD84C6.567C0000-- ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 14:49:26 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, > minutes depending on their mode). The most exciting part is the > different look of the AccuWeather NEXRADs - they aren't joking around > with small images that lack detail anymore... we're talking 768x512 > images with a dbZ range of -28 to 75. No low-level data cutout for > you Outflow Boundary / Dryline / Small Insect fans. A nitpick: There is no free lunch. On top of the limited dynamic range of the radar receiver, with NIDS data you only get 16 levels (14 really, plus ND/over), either -28 to +28 in clear-air mode or +5 to 75 in precip mode. Although the display may "allow" it, you'll never get any more info out of the data. Also the data has 230 1-km gates (full radar resolution for reflectivity), so a 460x460 pixel display should "hold" it (then some for legend). Our home-hacked displays are 622x460, and Intellicast's are about the same. > Also the dbZ > scale is continuous so when the radar switches from Clear Air to > Precip mode there is no "turning hot" of the scale, and if the radar > is left in Clear Air mode when precip comes in you've got the whole > scale with no repetition. This has an advantage for looping, but for single images one could get into an aesthetics debate regarding which is better. Since there is an overlap region where one data mode has 4-dBZ resolution and the other has 5-dBZ resolution, there will still be a noticable shift of colors, etc, when the mode is switched-over. -Keith --------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 16:24:40 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NetNews : AccuWeather New Local Nexrads & Aviation, > A nitpick: There is no free lunch. On top of the limited dynamic = range > of the radar receiver, with NIDS data you only get 16 levels (14 = really, > plus ND/over), either -28 to +28 in clear-air mode or +5 to 75 in > precip mode. Although the display may "allow" it, you'll never get > any more info out of the data. I think his point is that previously the only cheap, constantly updated NEXRAD imagery on the net is of low resolution (320x320 or less) which = isn't the best for detailed analysis. Now we do have a source... > > Also the dbZ > > scale is continuous so when the radar switches from Clear Air to > > Precip mode there is no "turning hot" of the scale, and if the radar > > is left in Clear Air mode when precip comes in you've got the whole > > scale with no repetition. > > This has an advantage for looping, but for single images > one could get into an aesthetics debate regarding which is better. > Since there is an overlap region where one data mode has 4-dBZ > resolution and the other has 5-dBZ resolution, there will still be > a noticable shift of colors, etc, when the mode is switched-over. It still doesn't suffer from the "hot" colors that WSI has while in clear-air mode, and I can't see the 1-2dbZ data resolution loss from = 0-28 while in clear-air mode will be that much of a loss. Again -- with the rates they'll be charging (<$10 / mo?) it's hard to = beat that clarity. Rob ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 16:40:48 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: More Galaxy 4, and commentary... >From: Gilbert Sebenste > >It looks like all the data vendors are back up on the backup satellite, >SBS 6. Alden came back first, after techs worked around the clock to = get >their feed running. WSI came up next, the others followed. Looks like Most of the time when there is talk about the data vendors, it is negative. Someone has a problem and they need to tell the world. Well, I'd like to take this opportunity to pat our vendor on the back. Alden did a SUPER job in getting us to another satellite within 24 hours. When we noticed transmission problems with certain products, Alden worked with the NWS to get them corrected. (And continues to do so!) We have gotten excellent service from them from day 1... and continue to get it to this day. Great job ALDEN ! :-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 May 1998 16:51:42 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Jarrell tornado Disaster Survey Report Howdy Folks!! Sorry for the cross post, but I thought this had relevance to both = groups. Someone else may want to forward this to wx-skywarn also. The NWS Disaster Survey Report of the Central Texas tornadoes (including the Jarrell tornado)on 27 May 1997 is out. The URL is http://www.nws.noaa.gov./om/omdis.htm . The Austin American Statesman has an article about the report as well. = The URL is http://www.austin360.com/news/001metro/05may/21/jarrell21.htm . Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ----------------------------- Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 01:35:19 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : Special Edition : RE: Internet Radar Data Outage - = How did the companies fare? [NetNews: Recent news about Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators as compiled by Jesse Ferell (www.weatherwatchers.org).] I've heard a lot of information on the lack of radar data when the Galaxy IV satellite went out Tuesday (5/19) evening. This was certainly the biggest outage of recent memory, especially since radar data became so common on the Net, whether that be for pay or free... times like these should make us look closely at our Internet Radar Provider's policies and ability to recover from such an outage. From what I have observed, this is how the major companies handled the outage. It appears that the larger companies fared better regardless of their actual data provider. The following are the company name (in alphabetical order), followed by their Internet Services in Parentheses, then their Radar and Satellite behaviour during the outage, and finally their Radar (NIDS) provider in brackets. There is nothing official about this posting, its just what I have personally observed or gathered from postings and emails. AccuWeather (Personal AccuWeather, GetWeather) - Able to provide most Satellite and partial Radar data to customers throughout the outage. 100% outage downtime estimated less than 2 hours. 90% or more recovered by 5/21. [UNISYS] American Weather Concepts (AWC) - 100% data loss from 6pm 5/19 to afternoon 5/21 at which time they were 90% or more recovered. [UNISYS] Freese Notis (Interrad) - 100% data loss from 6pm 5/19 to at least early 5/21. Unknown recovery status, assume same as AWC & TWC. [???] The Weather Channel (TWC) - 100% data loss from 6pm 5/19 to afternoon 5/21 at which time they were 90% or more recovered. [WSI] WSI (Intellicast, Pilotbrief) - Able to provide most Satellite and partial Radar data to Internet customers throughout the outage. 100% outage downtime estimated less than 2 hours. 90% or more recovered by 5/21. [WSI] This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ----------------------------- End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 May 1998 to 21 May 1998 ************************************************** ------ =_NextPart_000_01BD853C.84DAB6A0 Content-Type: application/ms-tnef Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 eJ8+IgEJAQaQCAAEAAAAAAABAAEAAQeQBgAIAAAA5AQAAAAAAADoAAEIgAcAGAAAAElQTS5NaWNy b3NvZnQgTWFpbC5Ob3RlADEIAQ2ABAACAAAAAgACAAEEkAYAcAEAAAEAAAAMAAAAAwAAMAIAAAAL AA8OAAAAAAIB/w8BAAAAagAAAAAAAACBKx+kvqMQGZ1uAN0BD1QCAAAAAFdYLVRBTEsgR2VuZXJh 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AA00/TcAACNy ------ =_NextPart_000_01BD853C.84DAB6A0-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 May 1998 to 22 May 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Tue May 26 23:45:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4877 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-22819>; Sat, 23 May 1998 13:11:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB26654; Sat, 23 May 1998 00:07:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199805230507.AAB26654@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 00:00:36 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ba220b2eb306f1e31f8a2918f392f8c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 54 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Severe weather by email 2. Galaxy 4 Loss (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 10:18:50 -0400 From: Bill Adler Subject: Severe weather by email Does anyone know of a service that sends severe weather notifications by email? Compuserve has one, which is pretty good, but I was wondering if there are any others. (I'd be happy to pass along the information about Compuserve's WX notification service, if anybody wants it.) Thanks. --Bill Author, "The Weather Sourcebook" badler@adlerbooks.com http://www.adlerbooks.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 11:14:30 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Galaxy 4 Loss I have heard a rumor that the galaxy 4 Loss was caused by a solar flare. Does anyone know more about this? Tom ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 15:21:54 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Galaxy 4 Loss Judging by the tone of their press release at http://www.panamsat.com, "PanAmSat and Hughes Space and Communications Co., which built the satellite, are continuing an extensive analysis of the cause of the SCP failures. We have ruled out any external causes and believe the satellite failure was due to a spacecraft component problem. Completion of the investigation may take several weeks." I'd say a solar flare is out... Rob > I have heard a rumor that the galaxy 4 Loss was caused by a solar flare. Does > anyone know more about this? > Tom ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 *********************************** From - Tue May 26 23:46:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626497-4705>; Sun, 24 May 1998 13:16:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52908; Sun, 24 May 1998 00:07:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199805240507.AAA52908@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 00:01:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 to 23 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3950c5febc15f2cc3df4efa769a95210 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 132 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Results of Exercise Response 98? 2. PIREP decoding (2) 3. Finally! The End of Nino +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 02:08:42 -0400 From: gsellers Subject: Results of Exercise Response 98? --------------09D371D5AED82C40A44385C7 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Greetings to the Group, I was going thru my wx-talk folder and found the post concerning the Exercise Response 98 that the NWS and other EM types had in the New England area in April..I just was curious how the exercise went and what kind of response did the NWS receive? What were the results? Any help? Tnx.. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -- ***************************************************** 73 de Greg, WB4HRR/CASN EC Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website! @: http://users.vnet.net/voyager/skywarn.html ***************************************************** --------------09D371D5AED82C40A44385C7 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Greetings to the Group,

I was going thru my wx-talk folder and found the post concerning the Exercise Response 98 that the NWS and other EM types had in the New England area in April..I just was curious how the exercise went and what kind of response did the NWS receive? What were the results? Any help? Tnx..
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--
*****************************************************
73 de Greg, WB4HRR/CASN EC
Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website!
@: http://users.vnet.net/voyager/skywarn.html
*****************************************************
  --------------09D371D5AED82C40A44385C7-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 00:41:19 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: PIREP decoding UBUS35 KWBC 212027 PIRUS SBA UUA /OV 5W DINTY/TM 2014/FL330/TP DC10/TB MOD-SEV/RM ZLA= Can anyone tell me where "5W DINTY" might be? I suspect this is the turbulence report from the DC-10 that encountered moderate to severe turbulence after departing LAX (enroute to Hawaii) on Thursday 21 May. I'm looking for signatures of turbulence in GOES imagery, but I'm not sure exactly where to be looking. Thanks... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb beta (bay' tuh) n. : the stage of software development where Microsoft begins charging money. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 May 1998 22:20:29 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: PIREP decoding > > UBUS35 KWBC 212027 > PIRUS > SBA UUA /OV 5W DINTY/TM 2014/FL330/TP DC10/TB MOD-SEV/RM ZLA= > > Can anyone tell me where "5W DINTY" might be? I suspect > this is the turbulence report from the DC-10 that encountered > moderate to severe turbulence after departing LAX (enroute > to Hawaii) on Thursday 21 May. I'm looking for signatures > of turbulence in GOES imagery, but I'm not sure exactly > where to be looking. > > Thanks... > > -Scott > DINTY is a navigation waypoint located at 33 29.0 North, 122 35.0 West. I'll compute the distance from LAX and HNL if you cannot pinpoint it sufficiently from the latitute/longitude. Steve -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@tc.umn.edu steve.kile@co.hennepin.mn.us ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 00:49:33 -0400 From: Digest Mark Yorsaner Subject: Finally! The End of Nino Well, I think that all this talk about our "friend" El Nino will **finally** end soon, because recent sat images clearly show a very weak ENSO event, except for a small area just to the west of Peru (http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_glbl_sstanomaly.gif). There is even a cool anomaly along the equatorr down to around 100 W. Also, the low level easterlies clearly show easterlis throughout the tropical eastern Pacific (http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/gif/daily/sst_wind_anom_5day.gif). I'd appreciate any insight on this. Thanks, Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 to 23 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue May 26 23:47:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-8746>; Mon, 25 May 1998 13:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60962; Mon, 25 May 1998 00:07:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199805250507.AAA60962@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 00:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 May 1998 to 24 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68988e23785167738db34d32e66e825c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 68 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wx info e-mailed to pager 2. Purdue FTP site. (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 08:56:23 EDT From: J Howel Subject: Wx info e-mailed to pager I'm curious to know what others on the list are using to have severe wx info sent to their alpha pagers. Jeff Howell EMT, W9SAR, et al ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 08:28:23 -0500 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Purdue FTP site. Has anyone been able to ftp to wxp.eas.purdue.edu lately? I normally FTP their weather pictures every few hours. They seem to be offline. Does anyone know the status of their system, or is there another FTP site that has really good graphics like that - which I could download? - Mark Hofmann weather@bcpl.net ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Station (410) 882-8887 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304) Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 May 1998 09:45:39 -0400 From: "Mark H. Mantz" Subject: Re: Purdue FTP site. If I remember corectly they were going to shut it down for maintanance over the long holiday weekend. This may be the answer..... Yet I have been wrong before...... Mark At 05:27 AM 5/24/98 , you wrote: >Has anyone been able to ftp to wxp.eas.purdue.edu lately? I normally FTP their >weather pictures every few hours. They seem to be offline. > >Does anyone know the status of their system, or is there another FTP site that >has really good graphics like that - which I could download? > >- Mark Hofmann > weather@bcpl.net > > >----------------------------------------------------------------------------- > Weather Station (410) 882-8887 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304) > Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 May 1998 to 24 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue May 26 23:48:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2891 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626454-4440>; Tue, 26 May 1998 13:24:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA50814; Tue, 26 May 1998 00:05:37 -0500 Message-Id: <199805260505.AAA50814@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 00:00:22 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 May 1998 to 25 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8a259ee51a9196694480a6cc8bd19f4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 110 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 2. V E R Y B A D N E W S +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 13:04:04 -0700 From: Wendell Rovelstad Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 >There are 3 messages totalling 54 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. Severe weather by email > 2. Galaxy 4 Loss (2) > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 10:18:50 -0400 >From: Bill Adler >Subject: Severe weather by email > >Does anyone know of a service that sends severe weather notifications by >email? > >Compuserve has one, which is pretty good, but I was wondering if there are >any others. (I'd be happy to pass along the information about >Compuserve's WX notification service, if anybody wants it.) > >Thanks. > >--Bill > >Author, "The Weather Sourcebook" >badler@adlerbooks.com >http://www.adlerbooks.com > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 11:14:30 -0500 >From: Thomas Rokoske >Subject: Galaxy 4 Loss > >I have heard a rumor that the galaxy 4 Loss was caused by a solar flare. Does >anyone know more about this? >Tom > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 22 May 1998 15:21:54 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Re: Galaxy 4 Loss > >Judging by the tone of their press release at http://www.panamsat.com, > >"PanAmSat and Hughes Space and Communications Co., which built the >satellite, are continuing an extensive analysis of the cause of the SCP >failures. We have ruled out any external causes and believe the satellite >failure was due to a spacecraft component problem. Completion of the >investigation may take several weeks." > >I'd say a solar flare is out... > >Rob > >> I have heard a rumor that the galaxy 4 Loss was caused by a solar flare. >Does >> anyone know more about this? >> Tom > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1998 >*********************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 May 1998 17:39:55 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: V E R Y B A D N E W S Actually, Mike Fiorino said this interruption was coming a couple of months ago when he was first leaving to work at ECMWF. He said things at the PCMDI web site would probably return to normal when his overseas assignment (2 years) is over. Looks like Purdue's loss of Dan Vietor has cost us the WXP site as well. Does anyone know if that site is permanently down? In article , DELETEmike1THIS@winternet.com says... > > >Go to http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/fiorino/wxmap/wx.conus.htm and see what I mean. > >With only a week's warning, we're being cut off at the knees. For the last >year I have visited this place almost daily to get the latest NGP runs. > >Where else can I go? > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- >To prevent email spam, my email address is altered. To reach me, you >must replace everything before the @ with "mike1" and delete any CAPS. > > -- Today's Political Definition -- > >Moderate: n. one too cowardly to steal in person, so he elects a proxy. > Distinguised from those who steal overtly, and those who do not steal. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 May 1998 to 25 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri May 29 14:08:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4643 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626176-26896>; Wed, 27 May 1998 13:16:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52984; Wed, 27 May 1998 00:09:50 -0500 Message-Id: <199805270509.AAA52984@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 00:00:47 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 May 1998 to 26 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ef7b11612461b6e13826c691d17dd310 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 417 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2. Umich--is it down? 3. Compuserve's Severe Weather Notification 4. WXP Model Graphics 5. Weather alerts by pager 6. Skywarn frequencies 7. STATUS REPORT!!! WXP Web site: Here it is... 8. STORM MACHINE users... 9. satellite signatures of turbulence (2) 10. Meso-Eta change (2) 11. Query: Cent. Fla. Tor., a few months ago... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 01:53:31 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: My apologies for not having a subject for this post, but this darn server never strips the tremendously long From address when it comes to my email address. Question regarding radio frequencies: Does anyone on this list have the RACE radio frequencies for Texas counties in the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex (ie counties such as Tarrant, Dallas, Wise, etc)? Richard richard.whitenight@chrsyalis.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 08:20:51 -0500 From: STRAUSS@WCUVAX1.WCU.EDU Subject: Umich--is it down? I have not been able to reach telnet://mammatus.sprl.umich.edu:3000/ for about 6 days. Does anyone know what is going on? They say their web site is "cool" but it is not "hot." It lacks the easy ability to get yesterday's temps (max and min). This telnet connection is better Thanks, Bob ==================================================================== Bob Strauss "Duke of URL" Cataloger Hunter Library Western Carolina U. strauss@wcu.edu -------------------------------------------------------------------- "Oh, for the good old days! When life was gay, men were men, women were women, and fairies were faeries!" Great myths of 1998: Myth #1: That the millenium begins on Jan. 1, 2001 rather than Jan. 1, 2000. Myth #2: That the notion of when the millenium begins is based on "science" rather than on religion. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 08:12:46 -0400 From: Bill Adler Subject: Compuserve's Severe Weather Notification Several people have emailed me about Compuserve's severe weather notification by email, since I posted my query about weather by email. Here's the information about Compuserve's weather notification: Compuserve allows you to recieve severe weather alerts to either your alpha pager or to your email. If you are a Compuserve member, the service is more or less free. In Compuserve, GO PAGER to set up the severe weather notification. It's free to email; to your pager, there's a one time $5 registration fee. (You can also have severe weather alterts sent to your digital cell phone.) Severe weather alerts are organized by zip code. I haven't been able to determine how narrow the warning area is, yet. Compuserve now has POP mail, so you can check your CIS email using almost any Windows mail program. Theres more info at www.compuserve.com under the Pager menu. --Bill badler@adlerbooks.com http://www.adlerbooks.com Bill Adler Adler & Robin Books Literary Agency 3000 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington, DC 20008 202-986-9275 Fax: 202-986-9485 badler@adlerbooks.com badler@csi.com http://www.adlerbooks.com Robin Books Publishing Company a division of Adler & Robin Books, Inc. http://www.adlerbooks.com/robinbooks.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 10:32:09 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: WXP Model Graphics In light of Purdue's WXP site going down and others. I will try to add additional WXP products to the UNCC machine. Check ws321.uncc.edu for the latest or go directly to http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/wxp Last year I started producing GFDL model graphics and plan on continuing doing the same this year. Mike Dross mwdross@duke-energy.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 11:42:51 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: Weather alerts by pager This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0003_01BD889B.6A472DC0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit On the subject of weather alerts by pager. I tried the severe weather alert from Compuserve and it never worked. I never followed up however to see what the problem was. Also you had to have a PageNet or (Page Mart?) pager. For me I had a lot of trouble with scrambled messages in some areas of my county. I've been using Widespread Weather Services for more than a year now and have been very pleased with the results. You can go county specific with watches and warnings. One county is only a few dollars a month. The alearts are also sent out very fast and I almost always recieve then within a few seconds of N.O.A.A. or The Weather Channel. Sometimes before. Remember, how timely you recieve your alert could also depend on the pager company. One company I used in the past generally has a delay of 1-2 minutes. The one I use now has a delay of 5-10 seconds. For more information on WWS go to www.widespread.com (Note: I have no connection with Widespread Weather Services other than being a customer) J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA / Collier County Skywarn Collier County Florida www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------=_NextPart_000_0003_01BD889B.6A472DC0 Content-Type: application/ms-tnef; name="winmail.dat" Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="winmail.dat" eJ8+IjMPAQaQCAAEAAAAAAABAAEAAQeQBgAIAAAA5AQAAAAAAADoAAEIgAcAGAAAAElQTS5NaWNy b3NvZnQgTWFpbC5Ob3RlADEIAQ2ABAACAAAAAgACAAEGgAMADgAAAM4HBQAaAAoAOAAAAAIAOAEB A5AGADAIAAAnAAAACwACAAEAAAALACMAAAAAAAMAJgAAAAAACwApAAAAAAADADYAAAAAAB4AcAAB AAAAGAAAAFdlYXRoZXIgYWxlcnRzIGJ5IHBhZ2VyAAIBcQABAAAAFgAAAAG9iLaGrV3gm2P0NRHR ubyM7fzNwBQAAAIBHQwBAAAAGAAAAFNNVFA6SkVSSUNHQFBFR0FORVQuQ09NAAsAAQ4AAAAAQAAG DgCAOmW2iL0BAgEKDgEAAAAYAAAAAAAAAFrCKZR6Fb0RsuIiP6vMnynCgAAACwAfDgEAAAADAAYQ QwxRpwMABxCNAwAAHgAIEAEAAABlAAAAT05USEVTVUJKRUNUT0ZXRUFUSEVSQUxFUlRTQllQQUdF UklUUklFRFRIRVNFVkVSRVdFQVRIRVJBTEVSVEZST01DT01QVVNFUlZFQU5ESVRORVZFUldPUktF RElORVZFUkZPTAAAAAACAQkQAQAAANIDAADOAwAAZQUAAExaRnXYmfyMAwAKAHJjcGcxMjUWMgD4 C2BuDhAwMzOdAfcgAqQD4wIAY2gKwGBzZXQwIAcTAoB9GQqBdWMAUAsDdWxuVQIgZQumIBOjTwOg dIBoZSBzdWJqBZCBBUBvZiB3ZWEUMRcFwAdABJB0BCBieSDFCrBnBJAuIEkUIAiBcmQUJGV2BJAU UBUrIEUDUiAIUG1wdREwcusXkBWQbhcQaQVAEwAXkXsVEAWwawmAFpIaNAIQbIcJABUgFxB1cCBo G9H5GlJ0bxdhF8ERAAVAFDIWcANgAmBlGPB3YXPRFpBBbHMc4HkIYBxAnmEXERzgEQAZkiBQFlF3 B8AU0QXAKCASBdAKwHT0PykWNkYFsQeAFqEfMv8f8AkAFNMW0AhgHgEVEBoA9mgUYAUAYQbQFbAX EAeB/nMWUQQgC4AUYANwGaEJcFseYBTibRYgBaB1AjB5nxaQCqIKhAqAE6NJJxmRHmIJ4RwQAJAP ICBXad0BAHMd0BUwFxBXFTUGYf52DeAHkQIQIiEFsBRQFDD7A5Ef8HkVMAXAEuAH4BnC/x+jKIMX kRYhFbAeYBcBI+O3FDIJcBRwbBXgFpBZHwG6YwORZxzgJqQUYHAFkO8GkA3gI9QeUHQQ8AeRGcL/ HlAEoCjxHnEUABRQMAUEAFkU4G5sFiAf8GYH0WTfG6ERER/hBGACMGgnBjVG/ROiVBRBFaEhMTGx F7EHQG8ewREwAjAU4HUFQC1jZn8eYAVAGcIWsAdABGA4wmz9HlB5BCAJcDCgF4EUIgOgfyPiJWEz 5BEwBaAZ0CYjTvAuTy5BPLEggjZyKeZWQyuREwBsFpBTJaF0pwdzKIAq8WUuJy9SHiDzHiAogHIs HEIUIAdxM7HfHvI6Nh7xGEYmoWwisR6y/wEAMIAZ0QIgHYQWUiaRGTD/AHAm8TK0RYMWoRlRGeFE pv84wRZgEwAkUBuwFiARADSijwEAC2AWIBTxMS0yIjD/C4A4IAeQFpA2chLxRqQsM/lIjTUtD0A7 xicPIfQrQj8LgCrxAMA+0ESRRJFXV9cF8C/RHNF3UFAuA/ApViYuRWE/rShOIwBlOv8iYxmREuAm kT4xFMBPQiPj/yk/KkkjABViK4MogCjyH/DOYxlQHNAHgHIpP6oK87QgShaQRQUQMOBHBAE3RFEA cBVxIBSgWVFnQBUwgGdaAXRROEtGNOBJWEEgLxkBG7AIkeMZATAjU2t5MhI/pFx99kYJAVSAYT+k UFII4VyiRR4gLgWwZy9zXXQufGh0UWkXEBOgP6QR8QABY0AAAAMAEBAAAAAAAwAREAAAAAALACCA CCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAADhQAAAAAAAAMAQYAIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAFKFAADw EwAACwBOgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAADoUAAAAAAAADAFCACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAA AAAQhQAAAAAAAAMAUYAIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAABGFAAAAAAAAAwBSgAggBgAAAAAAwAAA AAAAAEYAAAAAGIUAAAAAAAAeAF2ACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAABUhQAAAQAAAAQAAAA4LjUA CwBegAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAABoUAAAAAAAADAF+ACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAB hQAAAAAAAB4Ad4AIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAADaFAAABAAAAAQAAAAAAAAAeAHiACCAGAAAA AADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAA3hQAAAQAAAAEAAAAAAAAAHgB5gAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAOIUA AAEAAAABAAAAAAAAAAsAgYAIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAIKFAAABAAAACwCEgAsgBgAAAAAA wAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAAIgAAAAAAAALAIaACyAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAFiAAAAAAAAAIB+A8B AAAAEAAAAFrCKZR6Fb0RsuIiP6vMnykCAfoPAQAAABAAAABawimUehW9EbLiIj+rzJ8pAgH7DwEA AABQAAAAAAAAADihuxAF5RAaobsIACsqVsIAAFBTVFBSWC5ETEwAAAAAAAAAAE5JVEH5v7gBAKoA N9luAAAAQzpcV0lORE9XU1xtYWlsYm94LnBzdAADAP4PBQAAAAMADTT9NwAAAgF/AAEAAAAxAAAA MDAwMDAwMDA1QUMyMjk5NDdBMTVCRDExQjJFMjIyM0ZBQkNDOUYyOUM0MDIyMTAwAAAAAGbj ------=_NextPart_000_0003_01BD889B.6A472DC0-- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 13:45:18 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Skywarn frequencies > > My apologies for not having a subject for this post, but this darn server never > strips the tremendously long From address when it comes to my email address. > > Question regarding radio frequencies: Does anyone on this list have the RACE > radio frequencies for Texas counties in the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex (ie > counties such as Tarrant, Dallas, Wise, etc)? > > Richard > > richard.whitenight@chrsyalis.org Skywarn frequencies for all states east of the Rockies: http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/radio/spotfreq.html -Keith ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 14:37:56 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: STATUS REPORT!!! WXP Web site: Here it is... ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 14:04:27 -0400 From: Dan Vietor To: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: WXP Web stuff I am working on reviving WXP which may have crashed late last week but since there are no admins at Purdue currently, no one at Purdue noticed it. I am getting someone to reboot it and tell me what the situation is but they are not computer literate so we will see. I also have to redo some stuff since we use the Ku satellite feed and there is noone to realign the dish there. I reset the scripts to use IDD data but without smoke being up nothing will generate. We will see. ________________________________________________________ Daniel Vietor Unisys Corp Title: Engineer/Meteorologist ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 15:12:16 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: STORM MACHINE users... For those who use THE STORM MACHINE...we have a software failure right now that prevents images from being generated. We should be back up tomorrow. Sorry for the inconvenience! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 20:33:35 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: satellite signatures of turbulence GOES Enthusiasts, On 21 May 1998, a DC-10 aircraft enroute to Honolulu, HI from Los Angeles, CA encountered moderate-to-severe turbulence which injured six passengers and forced the plane to return to Los Angeles. The CIMSS GOES Gallery has GOES-9 IR and water vapor imagery which reveal subtle satellite signatures of turbulence over and to the south of the flight region: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980521.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 16:33:28 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Meso-Eta change Schedule for June 2nd is a change of the 3/15Z 29km MesoEta to runnning a 3/18Z 32km Eta to fit in line with the current 00/12Z runs. Moving the 3Z to 6Z will not be implemented due to MRF conflicts at this time. http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/NCO/PMB/announcements/meso_eta32.html Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://norden1.com/~rdale ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 15:57:43 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Meso-Eta change On Tue, 26 May 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > Schedule for June 2nd is a change of the 3/15Z 29km MesoEta to runnning a > 3/18Z 32km Eta to fit in line with the current 00/12Z runs. Moving the 3Z to > 6Z will not be implemented due to MRF conflicts at this time. > > http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/NCO/PMB/announcements/meso_eta32.html > > Rob Speaking of the MRF, the MRF-X (experimental) becomes the MRF June 1, so I have been told... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 May 1998 16:50:11 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: satellite signatures of turbulence > On 21 May 1998, a DC-10 aircraft enroute to Honolulu, HI from > Los Angeles, CA encountered moderate-to-severe turbulence which > injured six passengers and forced the plane to return to > Los Angeles. The CIMSS GOES Gallery has GOES-9 IR and water vapor > imagery which reveal subtle satellite signatures of turbulence > over and to the south of the flight region: Call me a nattering nabob of negativity...but the data shows nothing there that is unique, and in fact the transverse waves are 200 nm away. If what is there is a "subtle signature" of turbulence, its not safe to fly in a good chunk of that picture. By the way, bet you'll have no trouble identifying what caused turbulence for the USAirways flight near ICT on May 24 (0045 UTC 25 May). They flew into the anvil of a tornadic storm. Seven injured, including 3 flight attendants who are still hospitalized. -Keith -------------------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 00:18:07 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Query: Cent. Fla. Tor., a few months ago... Can someone tell me what city that tornado occured in which hit a mobile home park, kild an old man, threw his piano a few hundred feet from his mobile home, took a little kid and landed him alive beneath some debris, and sparked the relatively recent barrage of news stories about how storms occur at night when people are sleeping, and how having weather radios might help prevent such an occurance? What city did this occur in and when? Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 May 1998 to 26 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri May 29 14:08:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627889-16601>; Thu, 28 May 1998 13:18:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60222; Thu, 28 May 1998 00:08:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199805280508.AAA60222@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 00:01:13 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 May 1998 to 27 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2115752e0eae3920e98cb3c6043d0cfd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 363 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. STORM MACHINE is back up... 2. College of DuPage website problems 3. Morning what? ;> 4. WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1998 to 11 Apr 1998 5. New MRF 6. National Weather Association Newsletter 7. Query: Cent. Fla. Tor., a few months ago... 8. cool web site 9. G-R-E-A-T N-E-W-S +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 04:21:17 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: STORM MACHINE is back up... Thanks for your patience. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 07:42:45 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: College of DuPage website problems Hey everybody! The College of DuPage web site had some severe computer problems yesterday, which ended up messing up our Convective outlook graphics and many other graphical products on our site. Things are fixed, and everything is up to date now! Thanks for your patience. Dana Quinn COD programmer +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 08:53:07 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Morning what? ;> FPUS3 KCLE 270622 SFDCLE STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 223 AM EDT WED MAY 27 1998 A little shower activity continues in the Ohio Valley and will continue to threaten extreme southern parts of state through much of the morning until upper impulse moves to east of area. Gridded data indicates that most instability factors will also be shunted to the east and southeast by this afternoon. After that moisture likely to be the limiting factor for any precipitation through Thursday. Will mention some morning poops extreme south...otherwise looking at a dry forecast statewide through Thursday. [...] .CLE...NONE. VRCEK ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 11:31:39 -0400 From: gsellers Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1998 to 11 Apr 1998 > > Topics of the day: > > > 3. severe weather spotter classes > 5. Southern storms > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 11:34:50 -0500 > From: Derek Dodson > Subject: Wx-Radio Program in Iowa? > > Hi Everyone > > I could use some help in locating some information about a television > station in Iowa that was offering the public Weather-Alert Radios. The > program was sponsored by Radio Shack. > > The radios were/are being sold for $24.97. > > I need to get in touch with the television station that is promoting > this product and idea. > > I have been told that this same offer is being made to other television > stations? If anyone has any information on this subject matter please > send me a reply at the following e-mail address. > > Thank You > > Derek Dodson > > derekd@hcis.net > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:09:51 -0500 > From: N9NPP > Subject: severe weather spotter classes > > 4/11/98 > > just a reminder that if your going to interested in attending a severe > weather spotters class you had better not waste any more time. april is the > last big month for classes. there are very few held in the month of may and > you may find the ones in you area are over with. so do not procrastinate > any longer. go to http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm > > matt/n9npp > Hi Matt..Why stop the SVR WX/Spotter Trng in April? Lots of areas across the SE keep traniing classes going at least thru the summer d/t the large amount of requests for training..Sounds like your area may be missing out on some important opportunities to train needed personnel! Might want to re-think your area's training sked.. > -- > > ########################################################### > # > # 73 de n9npp/matt > # if you need coax visit > # http://www.axnet.com/united/coaxconnection.htm > # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com > # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" > # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O > # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' > # > ########################################################### > > ------------------------------ > > ------------------------------ > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 16:06:38 +0500 > From: Powell Way > Subject: Southern storms > > Our Southern /southeastern storm season is blasting full tilt with > disasterous results. First of all our season tend to be earlier with > NIGHT storms and these storms customarily race through the area. > I was at CAE forecast office on Wednesday PM to early Thursday AM > (like 4 AM) running Skwarn net aided by W4USC and KF4UYE. We were > looking at the radar that looked like a lit up Christmas Tree. Some > of the storms in our area went through at speeds OVER 60 MPH. Only > saving grace here was air was much more stable. A look at PC Cape > showed some AL cape near 2300. Aiding to fatalities ( and it's hard > to escape fatalities when you have a big F5 going into populated > areas) is for people here in the SE to ignore watches and warnings. > I know it's preaching to the choir, but if you aren't watching or > listening to local media, and no weather radio and you get nailed by > severe weather, crying you had no warning is a bunch of mud. At > least ( and too late for some people) EAS warnings become mandatory > for cable later this year. AND in Columbia, SC our PRIMARY LP-1 > failed to activate any, and during a tornado outbreak on March 8 it > was ditto. Letter goes to the GM, EAS coordinator for the state, and > SC EPD director, as well as the FCC in Atlanta. . There is no excuse > for this laxness. They did read the severe thunderstorm warnings, but > the way they did made light of them. I just hope that people will > learn that a severe thunderstorm can make them as dead as a F5. > And we have MAY to go......whew! > > Powell > I can only agree with Powell on his facts..We've been hit hard in the NC Foothills and Southern Piedmont areas in April and now twice in May..On May 7th we had F1 and 2's come thru 4 cnties in this area with mostly property damage only! Both the GSP NWSO and the local SKYWARN Nets worked hard together to provide real-time reports and necessary WRNGS! Even 2 TV stations in the CLT NC area interrupted their normal broadcasts to follow this storm system thru the area, giving lots of credit to the spotter reports on the CLT AREA SKYWARN Net! The GSP NWSO did a great job in posting/issuing some WRNGS based on spotter reports and NEXRAD.. I can only agree with Powell's statement about the lack of enthusiasm shown by certain EAS stations..For some reason, they try to make jokes out of the WRNGS thus people don't take the WRNGS seriously..One station, in particular in the CLT Area, continously messes up the EAS WRNG broadcasts and then makes jokes about their own ineptitude! I guess I need to complain also..I don't know what the answer is but I hope it arrives soon.. > --------------------------------------------- > powell@scsn.net powell@zygot.ati.com > http://www.scsn.net/users/powell > --------------------------------------------- > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1998 to 11 Apr 1998 > ************************************************** -- ***************************************************** 73 de Greg, WB4HRR/CASN EC Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website! @: http://users.vnet.net/voyager/skywarn.html ***************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 11:40:37 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: New MRF Gilbert referred to moving the MRFX to MRF in June -- here's a summary... --- On 1 June 1998 changes to the following areas in the MRF analysis/forecast system will be implemented: Resolution, increased from T126 to T170 in the horizontal and L28 to L42 in the vertical Physics, including changes in: Land surface package Cumulus convection Gravity wave drag Radiation and clouds 3-D ozone Analysis and data assimilation, including changes affecting: Time interpolation Nonlinear interpolation Limits on supersaturation and negative moisture Background error covariance 3-D ozone Level 1-b data from polar orbiter GOES radiances Y2K compliance Details at http://sgi62.wwb.noaa.gov:8080/tpb97/TPB98/test.419.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 15:15:18 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newsletter Following are the topics of articles in the April Issue of the National Weather Association Newsletter: 1. President's Message: The Future of Weather Forecasting is Now 2. Dates to Remember 3. Call for Papers for the NWA Annual Meeting, 17-23 October, 1998, Norman, Oklahoma 4. Aviation Meteorology News 5. Weather support for the X-38 6. Education Committee News 7. New Director at NOAA/NWS NHC 8. Golden Anniversary of the First Tornado Forecast 9. Poem: It's Miller Time - - -1998 10. Local Chapter News featuring The Central Iowa and Central Oklahoma chapters 11. Meetings of Interest 12. Job Corner For copies of the newsletter or more information please contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email: natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 19:57:37 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Query: Cent. Fla. Tor., a few months ago... Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > Can someone tell me what city that tornado occured in which > hit a mobile home park, kild an old man, threw his piano a > few hundred feet from his mobile home, took a little kid and > landed him alive beneath some debris, and sparked the relatively > recent barrage of news stories about how storms occur > at night when people are sleeping, and how having weather > radios might help prevent such an occurance? > > What city did this occur in and when? > Could have been the 22 February 1998 outbreak -- a listing of a few of the hardest-hit places appears at http://maple.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb/980222.html -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 21:12:01 -0400 From: "Dr. M Brooks" Subject: cool web site I'm sort of new to this discussion list, but I just want to invite everyone to check out my web site at: http://www.weatherimages.org I try to pull together the very best weather data available on the internet and put it all onto one easy to use page. Hope everyone's doing well! Also, I'm just wondering what everyone's thoughts are on the upcoming Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons... -Mark ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 19:26:55 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: G-R-E-A-T N-E-W-S The Navy is going to pick up the PCMDI WXMAP site (with the AVN, MRF and NOGAPS) from LLNL, and run it on two separate sites. Check out: http://www1.nlmoc.navy.mil:83/wxmap/web/wx.htm http://metoc-u1.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap/web/ Regards, jan <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 May 1998 to 27 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri May 29 14:09:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4350 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626932-361>; Fri, 29 May 1998 13:19:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29778; Fri, 29 May 1998 00:11:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199805290511.AAA29778@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 00:03:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 May 1998 to 28 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2205374a1c8f2d4a44df2897c8763f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 94 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Trying to find Lou Harsson 2. New England Radiosonde launch May 30/hear it on your scanner 3. Miami Tornado +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 08:57:22 +0100 From: Roger Brugge Subject: Trying to find Lou Harsson I am trying to contact Lou Harsson, a forecaster with the USAF pursuing a degree in Meteorology. Does anyone know his email address. All I have is *****@FTC-I.NET (I have blanked out his userid on purpose) but the domain name is not recognised. Can anyone help me? Thanks, Roger Brugge http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/~brugge/jobseekers.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 07:02:33 -0400 From: Hank Riley Subject: New England Radiosonde launch May 30/hear it on your scanner SkyQuest 2 Radiosonde A ham radio equipped weather balloon will be launched between 1:00 and 1:30 PM EDT (nominal 1:15 PM), unless adverse weather interferes, from the upcoming National Weather Service Open House on May 30 in Taunton, Massachusetts (southwest of Boston). In case of a postponement, we'll try Sunday, May 31. Sponsored by the Plymouth Community Intermediate School, Roger Perry, earth science teacher. Additional assistance from the NWS. The SkyQuest hamradiosonde can be heard on home scanner radios and VHF ham radios on the 2 meter band at 145.61 MHz FM. It should be *real* easy to hear all over eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, southern New Hampshire, and northeastern Connecticut. After gaining some substantial height I hope amateur radio operators with more sensitive receivers will be able to hear the radiosonde from as far away as southern Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Vermont, northern New Hampshire, and Maine. Maybe even parts of eastern Canada at peak altitude. HF net control starting 1:00 PM Saturday on 3.860 MHZ from 1.5 kilowatt W1AW in Newington, CT (you can hear this station all over the eastern US). Two temperature channels (inside and out) and altitude will be measured continuously by means of audio tones. Going up and down in frequency as the transmitter switches among the three channels, the tones will be heard for the duration of the flight. Some basic information is available at the North American balloon launch website (listed below), but a better way to keep up with developments (exact launch time, weather forecast, expected flight track, reception tips, etc.) is to email me with a request to be added to the SkyQuest email list. Hank Riley, N1LTV SkyQuest h1riley@umassd.edu http://www.geocities.com/capecanaveral/3161/hablic.htm ^ HABLIC: "All balloon launches, all the time" __| The web's source for amateur radio high altitude balloon launch information. ------------------------------------------------------------------- NWS Taunton Website http://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/er/box/ (all about the Open House) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 May 1998 19:20:00 -0400 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: Miami Tornado I know yesterday was the anniversary of the Jarrell tornado, but what was the date of the downtown Miami tornado last year? A couple of my co-workers debated the question today and I am posting this to get an answer. Thanks. Steve Maneikis maneikiss@nima.mil ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 May 1998 to 28 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-9826>; Sat, 30 May 1998 13:10:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52516; Sat, 30 May 1998 00:06:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199805300506.AAA52516@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 00:01:48 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 May 1998 to 29 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1575ac543838857d5a2d606c40d346cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 302 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV position -- Weather Producer -- in the top 10! 2. RadioShack Model 12-249 SAME Weatheradio All Alerts Code 99 3. Need some help with the basics for teaching and personal use (2) 4. What happened in DeKalb, IL last night? 5. 980529: ASOS Commiss-NOUS (fwd) 6. Highest overnight low temperatures ever recorded (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 00:40:42 -0500 From: Tim and Monica Heller Subject: TV position -- Weather Producer -- in the top 10! KDFW FOX 4 in Dallas is still searching for a WEATHER PRODUCER. This is a great opportunity for someone with a lot of potential, but very little TV experience. Initially, this is an off-air job (forecasting, research, graphic work). But when you're ready, there may be some on-air opportunities. You'll work with the WSI WeatherProducer, EarthWatch and StormWatch, Enterprise Doppler and Baron's FasTrac. You must have a passion for weather and a desire to tell others about it. Meteorology degree required; AMS Seal preferred. Send resume, and tape if you have it, to: Human Resources Department, KDFW FOX 4, 400 North Griffin, Dallas, TX 75202. KDFW is an equal opportunity employer. NO CALLS. Tim Heller Chief Meteorologist KDFW FOX 4 NEWS timonica@airmail.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 09:24:54 -0500 From: Colin Meyer Subject: RadioShack Model 12-249 SAME Weatheradio All Alerts Code 99 A few questions have been raised about the programming of the RadioShack Model 12-249 SAME weatheradio with respect to the Code 99 (All Signals). I hope this will help clarify the operation of the unit. The RadioShack model 12-249 SAME Weatheradio is shipped pre-programmed with a factory default "all signals" code of 99 in the first memory location. The factory default "all signals" code 99 programs the unit to operate like a conventional Weatheradio; that is the unit will respond to all NWS broadcast alerts. Although the manual states that the code 99 should be used only in the first FIPS code position, it is physically possible to program the code into any of the 15 available slots. Since the 99 code is a code that overrides any other FIPS codes entered, programming the factory default "all signals" 99 code into any memory location regardless of the single/multiple switch setting will enable the unit to receive all alert messages. Users should program in valid FIPS code for the counties which they need to receive messages OR program factory default "all signals" 99 in the first memory location to receive all messages. Some users have suggested that they would like to have a single FIPS code in position one, and the code 99 in the 2nd position. Then by toggling the single/multi switch they could switch easily between a single location and all alerts. RadioShack will certainly look at this possibility in future SAME equipped radios and incorporate the change if possible. Suggestions for product enhancements are always encouraged by RadioShack and many of them end up in final product. Please feel free to email me directly with any other suggestions you might have. Colin Meyer Senior Buyer RadioShack cmeyer1@tandy.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 12:08:32 -0400 From: Tim Holmes Subject: Need some help with the basics for teaching and personal use Hello to all: I am a highschool science teacher, and as part of my earth science class next year, we will be doing at least one section on weather forecasting. As part of this segment I would like to be able to have the students working on plotting the fronts and other features as they move across the country. I am able to get good surface maps from Intellicast, to use to check their work, but I do not know how to identify the fronts by looking at individual staion plots. I use Digital Atmosphre to get my raw data and plot the stations. I would also like to learn better how to interperate satalite pictures to know what a storm is doing so that I can show the students correlated radar, satalite pictures etc. when we study the storms. In addition to all of this lofty sounding educational stuff, I also would like to learn this material to suppliment the other sources that I can use as an novice chaser, and as a fire fighter. If there are books you can suggest, or web sites that give good information (more than general level knowlege) I would be really thankful for the help. Please respond privately or to this list Thanks in advance for the help TIM HOLMES ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 17:31:10 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Need some help with the basics for teaching and personal use > I would also like to learn better how to interperate > satalite pictures to know what a storm is doing so that > I can show the students correlated radar, satalite pictures > etc. when we study the storms. > You may find some good examples on satellite image interpretation from the CIRA Satellite Discussion http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/picoday/discussion.html or the CIMSS GOES Gallery http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/ A list of satellite tutorials can be found at COMET SatMet http://www.comet.ucar.edu/class/satmet/home.html#on-line -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 13:26:54 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: What happened in DeKalb, IL last night? NWS Chicago seems to have the answer...a wake depression. I thought it was a derecho at first...read on. ABUS34 KCHI 291625 PNSCHI PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1130 AM CST FRI MAY 29 1998 ...WORST DAMAGE LAST NIGHT MAY NOT HAVE BEEN FROM STORMS... A LINE OF VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHED NORTHERN ILLINOIS LAST NIGHT AROUND 900 PM. A STRONG OUTFLOW OF COLD AIR OCCURRED FROM STORMS IN THIS LINE. THIS STRONG OUTFLOW PRODUCED 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AROUND 900 PM WHICH SPREAD EASTWARD TO MCHENRY AND KANE COUNTIES BY 1000 PM AND PAST JOLIET AND ARLINGTON HEIGHTS BY 1030 LAST NIGHT. THE OUTFLOW REACHED THE CHICAGO LOOP BY 1100 PM. MOST WIND ESTIMATES RANGED FROM 60 TO 75 MPH WITH THIS OUTFLOW. THE LINE OF STORMS BEGAN TO DIMINISH UPON REACHING COOK AND LAKE COUNTIES AROUND 1100 PM. HOWEVER ANOTHER BURST OF WIND APPEARED NEAR DE KALB ABOUT THIS TIME...WELL BEHIND THE INITIAL LINE OF STORMS. THIS SECOND BURST TRAVELED EASTWARD AS WELL AND REACHED WHEELING AROUND MIDNIGHT. IT WAS HERE AT WHEELING THAT DAMAGE ESTIMATES WERE MOST INTENSE. OBSERVERS OF THE MASSIVE DAMAGE TO TREES ESTIMATE 80 MPH PLUS WINDS. THIS SECOND WAVE OF WIND WAS MOST LIKELY RESULTED FROM COMPLICATIONS WITH WHAT IS KNOWN AS A WAKE DEPRESSION. THESE PRESSURE DEPRESSIONS OCCASIONALLY FORM BEHIND A RAPIDLY MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOWER PRESSURE IS PARTIALLY THE RESULT OF SINKING AND WARMING AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE INITIAL THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW. IN THE SITUATION LAST NIGHT THIS WAKE DEPRESSION WAS TRAILED BY ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION TO USUAL OUTFLOW FROM THIS SECOND BATCH..WINDS WERE ACCELERATED BY THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE COOL AIR WITH THE INCOMING RAIN..HIGHER PRESSURE..AND THIS WAKE DEPRESSION...LOWER PRESSURE. AS OFTEN OCCURS IN SIGNIFICANT EVENTS A UNIQUE SET OF CIRCUMSTANCES MUST COME TOGETHER WHICH RESULT IN THE OBSERVED CONDITIONS. IN THIS PARTICULAR CASE THE INCREASED PRESSURE FORCING WHICH OCCURRED BETWEEN AN INITIAL LINE OF STORMS AND THOSE TRAILING APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN AN IMPORTANT CONTRIBUTOR TO THE OBSERVED STRONG WINDS FROM AROUND DE KALB TO WHEELING. A SIMILAR EPISODE OCCURRED IN STREAMWOOD ON JUNE 29TH IN 1989 WHEN MAJOR DAMAGE OCCURRED. BRUMER ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Damage is impressive here in DeKalb...we were knocked out for 12 hours at NIU, and we're back up now...STORM MACHINE, Storm Chaser Homepage and everything else should now be working. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 16:07:01 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: 980529: ASOS Commiss-NOUS (fwd) Talk about a location ID fit for misspelling... Where the zero and where's the "oh"? Rob > 596 > NOUS41 KWBC 291937 > PNSWSH > > PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC > 345 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 1998 > > ATTENTION: ALL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) OFFICES/ > FAMILY OF SERVICES SUBSCRIBERS / NOAAPORT USERS / > NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS / OTHER NWS > PRODUCT USERS > > SUBJECT: ASOS COMMISSIONING NOTICE... > > ..... NOTICE ..... > [...] > IN ADDITION... THE NWS-SPONSORED ASOS AT > > ALTURAS (KO00) > ALTURAS... CA > > WILL BE COMMISSIONED AT APPROXIMATELY 1800 UTC. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 13:09:02 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Highest overnight low temperatures ever recorded In article , ETELEDmike1@winternet.com (Mike;Schneider') writes: |> >> How about Civil Sunset to Civil Dawn (AFAIK sun apparently 96 deg |> >> from zenith, no correction for refraction), at any place equipped |> >> in a conventionally scientifically approved manner? |> >> -- |> >> Andrew Stephenson |> |> |> Morning low temperatures often occur up to an hour after the sun has risen. |> IME, post-sunrise lows happen most frequently in the winter, a time when high overnight lows are not to be expected :) Summertime lows usually occur before sunrise, especially when they are very warm. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 21:21:42 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Highest overnight low temperatures ever recorded In article <6kn7oh$kr8@spool.cs.wisc.edu>, tobis@scram.ssec.wisc.edu (Michael Tobis) writes: |> Why not just ask what the highest daily low is, then? "Overnight" seems |> beside the point. Here, I'll do it. |> |> "What's the highest daily low ever recorded?" |> |> mt |> But there is a difference. Madison has had morning lows of 85, but each time that happens, it drops below 85 by the following midnight so that the low for the day is something < 85. (Maybe this has been pointed out already ... I confess I'm not following this thread very religiously) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 May 1998 to 29 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 8 10:13:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3806 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627735-23532>; Sun, 31 May 1998 13:14:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22206; Sun, 31 May 1998 00:09:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199805310509.AAA22206@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 00:02:53 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 May 1998 to 30 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b2f73b80b9fd3f4786f84e175e2b5ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 223 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Fire and Ice: Arctic Expedition Probes Role of Clouds in Climate Change (fwd) 2. Battery operated SAME weather radio 3. NOAA Car Stickers 4. Need some help with the basics for teaching and personal use 5. Sirens for a SVR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 03:28:11 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Fire and Ice: Arctic Expedition Probes Role of Clouds in Climate Change (fwd) I got this in my daily dose of NASA News list mailings. Since its weather/climate-related, thought it fodder for this list. -Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Fri, 29 May 1998 16:04:58 -0400 (EDT) From: NASANews@hq.nasa.gov To: undisclosed-recipients: ; Subject: Fire and Ice: Arctic Expedition Probes Role of Clouds in Climate Change David E. Steitz Headquarters, Washington, DC May 29, 1998 (Phone: 202/358-1730) Catherine Watson Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA (Phone: 757/864-6122) Kirsten Williams Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA (Phone: 805/258-2662) RELEASE: 98-89 FIRE AND ICE: ARCTIC EXPEDITION PROBES ROLE OF CLOUDS IN CLIMATE CHANGE An ice-breaking ship, research airplanes, space satellites and an international team of scientists are converging in the Alaskan Arctic this month to learn more about global climate change through the study of clouds and radiation of the Sun during the spring and summer. The FIRE Arctic Cloud Experiment (FIRE/ACE) is studying a variety of cloud systems in a two-phase campaign April 7 through June 13 and July 6 through 30. FIRE (First International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project Regional Experiment) is led by NASA, in collaboration with other government and private organizations, and will take place in Alaska in the Beaufort Sea and in the skies over the coastal town of Barrow. "We know very little about Arctic clouds and how they interact with the polar surface and atmosphere," said NASA Langley's Dr. Patrick Minnis, FIRE project scientist. "The data from FIRE/ACE will provide the opportunity to greatly expand our knowledge of the Arctic climate -- an important component in any global climate change scenario. "The ultimate goal is to learn enough to more accurately forecast global climate change," Minnis added. "The better we can understand it, the more we'll be able to determine the possible effects of potential global change, such as iceberg melting and coastline flooding." The current campaign will use four aircraft, numerous Earth- bound instruments and six orbiting satellites to take measurements of clouds from high above them, inside them, and below them. A ER-2 airplane, based at NASA's Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA, is scheduled to arrive in Alaska in mid-May. During missions the aircraft will fly at about 70,000 feet with a suite of remote sensors to study clouds that form in the vicinity of "leads" -- large cracks that expose water -- and melt ponds. Three other aircraft will participate as well. A University of Washington CV-580, a National Center for Atmospheric Research C-130, and a Canada National Research Council Convair CV-580 will use a variety of instruments to take measurements "in situ," or inside the clouds. Additionally the Canadian Coast Guard icebreaker vessel, the "Des Groseilliers," has been frozen into the Arctic ice pack for a year as part of a climate-modeling project sponsored by the National Science Foundation and Office of Naval Research. Scientists making measurements from the ice will share data with scientists making measurements on this spring's series of overflights. NASA is the lead agency for FIRE. In Canada, the lead agency is the Atmospheric Environment Service of Environment Canada. Other supporting agencies are the National Research Council of Canada, and in the U.S., the National Science Foundation, Office of Naval Research, Department of Energy, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and Department of Defense. Participating will be more than 80 researchers from eight NASA centers, five U.S. agencies, 13 U.S. universities and educational consortia, and three private U.S. companies, as well as scientists from Canada, Great Britain, and the Netherlands. FIRE is managed by the Radiation Sciences Program, Office of Earth Science, NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC. The FIRE project management is at Langley Research Center in Hampton, VA. Detailed information on FIRE/ACE, as well as the other FIRE projects, can be found on the FIRE home page at: http://fireace.fire.nasa.gov and at: http://asd-www.larc.nasa.gov/fire/ Editor's Note: Beta videotape and photos of the NASA ER-2 are available from Dryden Flight Research Center. Broadcast media are invited to conduct live remote interviews via satellite with FIRE project scientist Pat Minnis. Live shots will be available from Langley Research Center on May 29, from 5:20 a.m. to 10 a.m. and from 1 p.m. to 2 p.m. EDT. To book an interview, please call Ivelisse Gilman at 757/864-5036. - end - ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 09:50:33 -0400 From: Bill Adler Subject: Battery operated SAME weather radio Are there any battery operated SAME weather radios? Thanks. --Bill Bill Adler Adler & Robin Books Literary Agency 3000 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington, DC 20008 202-986-9275 Fax: 202-986-9485 badler@adlerbooks.com badler@csi.com http://www.adlerbooks.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 19:10:39 -0500 From: "Mr. Evan Hutchinson" Subject: NOAA Car Stickers Some of the storm spotters I see have the circular NOAA symbol on their car. Its either adhesive or is a magnet. Any info on how I can get one?? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 18:11:45 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Need some help with the basics for teaching and personal use Tim Holmes wrote: Hi Tim > If there are books you can suggest, or web sites that give good > information (more than general level knowlege) I would be really > thankful for the help. I have some links that may be of some help from my weather page....... Just go to http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ohioweat.html and inside the table at the top of the page will have links that may interest you..... For severe weather terminology, you may want to go to http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/lzk/html/svrwx97/glossary.htm Hope this helps! Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 23:43:41 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Sirens for a SVR This has been thrown around the list previously -- nice to see NWS note it in a Severe Weather Statement: - MSPSVSMSP TTAA00 KMSP 310342 MNZ060-068-069-310410- SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1040 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 1998 ...SIRENS SOUNDING IN PRIOR LAKE...SAVAGE...AND SHAKOPEE MINNESOTA... SIRENS HAVE BEEN SOUNDED FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH IN PRIOR LAKE...SAVAGE...AND SHAKOPEE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA AT 1035 PM CDT. WINDS GUSTED TO 62 MPH AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN CHANHASSEN MINNESOTA ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE TWIN CITIES METRO AT 1032 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR SCOTT AND SOUTHERN HENNEPIN COUNTIES...AND UNTIL 11 PM CDT FOR CARVER COUNTY MINNESOTA. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 May 1998 to 30 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 8 10:14:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1045 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627415-17257>; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:18:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22196; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:12:37 -0500 Message-Id: <199806010512.AAA22196@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 00:03:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 May 1998 to 31 May 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2345361dba415addc284ec1ba933d29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 299 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Sirens for a SVR 2. MORE "WAKE" EFFECTS IN ALBANY NY? 3. Commentary on AP story on South Dakota tornado 4. A late afternoon what? (2) 5. Battery operated SAME weather radio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 01:46:07 -0400 From: Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers Subject: Sirens for a SVR Robert, Not all states have sirens though, maybe we should also encourage the emergency managers and weather service offices to get them in states who don't have them, just a thought >Date: Sat, 30 May 1998 23:43:41 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Sirens for a SVR > >This has been thrown around the list previously -- nice to see NWS note it >in a Severe Weather Statement: > >- > >MSPSVSMSP >TTAA00 KMSP 310342 >MNZ060-068-069-310410- > >SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN >1040 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 1998 > >...SIRENS SOUNDING IN PRIOR LAKE...SAVAGE...AND SHAKOPEE >MINNESOTA... > >SIRENS HAVE BEEN SOUNDED FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH IN PRIOR >LAKE...SAVAGE...AND SHAKOPEE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE TWIN >CITIES METRO AREA AT 1035 PM CDT. > >WINDS GUSTED TO 62 MPH AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN >CHANHASSEN MINNESOTA ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE TWIN CITIES METRO AT >1032 MPH. > >SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR >SCOTT AND SOUTHERN HENNEPIN COUNTIES...AND UNTIL 11 PM CDT FOR >CARVER COUNTY MINNESOTA. > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 May 1998 to 30 May 1998 >************************************************** > > ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 10:28:26 -0400 From: "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" Subject: MORE "WAKE" EFFECTS IN ALBANY NY? In regards to the Dekalb, IL incident a similar type of "Wake Depression" event might have happened in Albany New York on Friday afternoon. It was the very same synoptic system that brought damage to the Chicago area the night before. A well developed squall line began racing down the Mohawk Valley shortly before 3 PM well out ahead of the cold front. The Squall line had "bow" characteristics as it raced across Oneida County. The line seemed to "straighten" more as it traversed passed Utica and toward Albany's CWA. The National Weather Service in Albany issued a Severe Thunderstorm for Albany County by 330 PM and indicated the storm would reach Westmere (which is where I live) by 4 PM. Right about 4PM as advertised, the wind picked up from the west...frequently gusting in excess of 40 mph. This was enough to bring down small limbs...but no big ones (at least near my home). Apparently there was plenty of significant wind damage with the numerous Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in other localities. It was a job well done by the Albany National Weather Service. However...I heard NO thunder and the rain did not arrive the way everyone (including myself) would have extrapolated. Gusty winds continued for about half an hour...and the temperature dropped to the upper 60s (compared to the earlier high of 87). The dewpoint dropped as well...from the mid 60s to lower 50s. There were a few sprinkles...but the sky started to lightened up. The barometric air pressure (at the airport) rose a bit, then fell. I had turned off the TV and computer expecting lots of lightning. When I was able to access the radar about 420 PM, I saw that the line of showers and storms was still holding together but apparently had slowed down since the rain was just reaching into Eastern Albany county. The weather channel displayed their lightning detection video and it showed what I already expected. Like the parting of the seas, there was a big hole in the cloud to ground or ground to cloud lightning strikes...the width of the Mohawk Valley. But then...as the storms hit the higher terrain that beyond the end of the Mohawk River basin (located in Cohoes) the storms and lightning refired up quickly. The whole line got "hot" again as it left the Eastern Mohawk Valley headed south to the Catskills and east to the Taconics then Berkshires of Massachussetts. This is not the first time I have seen this happen in this area...but one of the best occurrences. We did get into more of the "synoptic" lighter rain on the western edge of the squall line shortly after 430 PM. Then...there was occasional thunder. Also the wind once again picked up...but only gusting close to 30 MPH tops and...from a more southwesterly direction. The airport received a whopping .07 inches of rainfall. I doubt my place (less than 6 air miles from the airport) got much (if any) more. Unfortunately I do not have a rain guage since there's no practical place for any type of routine measurments around my apartment. My understanding was that other spots away from the immediate Capital District reported the better part of an inch. This case though good, apparently did not hold a candle to what happened the previous night in Chicago land. However, it's interesting that a similar phenomenon may have happened more than once by the same system. The question to me is what was the driving force behind all of this? Did the cold outflow boundary out run the squall line? That's apparently (at least to me) what happened...aided by the "channeling" of wind through the Mohawk Valley. This may very well have "stabilized" the atmosphere enough to really put the "brakes" on the actual thunderstorm. Then when the line hit the "wall" quickly there was a sudden added surface convergence which refueled the whole thing up. I think it would be interesting to see if the exact trajectory of the squall line might have made a difference. If the storm flow was say more like a 250 mean vector or 320 mean vector (as opposed to what looked like a 290 mean vector putting it right down the Mohawk Valley) would the storms behaved a little differently? Any thoughts? Hugh W. Johnson IV National Weather Service Albany Yes...I am part of the NWSFO ALY team. However I was off-duty during the storm and not called back in. I am enjoying my first weekend off in 7 so haven't ventured into work yet. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 10:01:16 -0700 From: Charlie Fenwick Subject: Commentary on AP story on South Dakota tornado I am positively incensed with the idea of "no aparrent warning. First the story: Six Reported Dead in South Dakota Tornado Reuters SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (May 31) - A tornado that struck after dark with no apparent warning wiped out the small town of Spencer in South Dakota, killing six people and injuring another 150, officials said on Sunday. ''This is like a war zone -- like Hiroshima, like Nagasaki,'' Gov. William Janklow said after visiting what was left of the town 50 miles (80 km) west of Sioux Falls on Sunday morning. He told reporters the death toll stood at six. Spencer resident Tammy Kreutzfeld said the only warning she had was the sound of the storm bearing down on the town of 300. She and six family members fled to the basement. ''We screamed when we heard the sound ... and the (atmospheric) pressure was so bad. Then the house blew off he foundation. We looked up and we could see the the tornado overhead,'' she said. ''People couldn't believe we were still alive after they saw our house. I guess praying got us through it,'' she added. She was injured by falling foundation bricks and taken to a hospital for treatment. The storm hit at 8:45 p.m. local time (1345 GMT) on Saturday and residents said they heard no tornado sirens beforehand. A dispatcher at the Davison County Sheriff's Office in nearby Mitchell said the town was ''pretty much gone.'' Television footage revealed skeletal trees stripped of their bark and leaves, splintered wood and shards of twisted metal block after block. One man who lives outside the town of 300 said he drove in after the storm and ''the things that I used to see, the (grain) elevator, the church steeples, were gone.'' Mary Bruns, who lives a half-mile (0.75 km) from Spencer, said she went to the town looking for her elderly mother. ''I found her right away. She was okay. But everybody was wandering around looking for each other, looking for their neighbors. This was all one big family,'' she told the Sioux Falls Argus-Leader. U.S. Marshal Lyle Swenson called the damage worse than a 1962 tornado that heavily damaged Mitchell. ''From where I am right now I can only see one house standing,'' he told the newspaper. Survivors were taken to a National Guard armory at the nearby town of Salem where cots and privacy tents were set up. ------------------------------------------------------- The first error I noticed was the time. 8:45 MDT is 0245 GMT, not 1345. But the other error is very serious. That's the claim of no warning. Let's review the warnings issued by NWS Aberdeen. 6:45 MDT Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Beedle County, which is 60 miles NW of McCook County where Spencer is located at. 7:40 Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Sanborn County, 40 miles northwest of McCook County. 8:12 Tornado Warning for Hanson County (adjacent to the west of McCook County) tornado moving east at 30 mph. 8:23 Tornado watch for large parts of South Dakota including McCook County. 8:32 The following warning is sent: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN MCCOOK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA * UNTIL 905 PM CDT * AT 829 PM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO 20 MILES EAST OF MITCHELL OR 5 MILES WEST OF SPENCER MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... UNITYVILLE AROUND 835 PM CDT SALEM AROUND 845 PM CDT LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND 5 MILES WEST OF SPENCER AT 825 PM. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. Hmmm. Warning sent at 8:32. Tornado strikes at 8:45. But "no aparrent warning" and " the only warning she had was the sound of the storm bearing down on the town of 300." Wow. Let the warning debates begin again. _________________________________________________________ DO YOU YAHOO!? Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 12:40:27 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: A late afternoon what? ANNE ARUNDEL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE COUNTY- SOUTHERN BALTIMORE COUNTY INCLUDING BALTIMORE CITY-CALVERT-CARROLL- CHARLES-FREDERICK-HARFORD-HOWARD-MONTGOMERY- PRINCE GEORGES INCLUDING THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA- 1045 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 1998 .THIS AFTERNOON...PARTLY SUNNY. CONTINUED VERY WARM. CHANCE OF A LATE AFTERNOON DAY. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. RAIN CHANCE 30 PERCENT. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 15:44:17 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: Re: A late afternoon what? Theres a chance of a LATE afternoon DAY!!! (some type of end of the world message I guess!) ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 19:07:55 +1900 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Battery operated SAME weather radio > > Are there any battery operated SAME weather radios? > I know of none. The RS SAME radio can operate from a battery (9v), but its intended for emergency backup. The published lifetime of the battery while operating is only a few hours. I'm not sure why it drains the battery so fast. -Keith ------------ Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu personal opinions ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 May 1998 to 31 May 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1398 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628959-6631>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:06:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA62944; Mon, 1 Jun 1998 21:54:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199806020254.VAA62944@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 21:47:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 May 1998 to 1 Jun 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d9622d137fb9a68feb4c3732d33349d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 20 messages totalling 845 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. central NY outbreak 2. cool web site 3. WX-TALK Digest - Ham Radio Skywarn In the Tornado Areas 4. No Warning (2) 5. No Warning?? 6. Commentary South Dakota tornado 7. Sirens for a SVR/Mixed messages 8. Highest overnight low temperatures ever recorded 9. FEMA Announces Tropical Storm Web Page 10. Commentary on AP story on South Dakota tornado (2) 11. Seeking Atmospheric Master of Science Candidate 12. Battery operated SAME weather radio (2) 13. ADMINISTRIVIA: IT'S WX-ATLAN RENEWAL TIME AGAIN 14. ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-ATLAN ONE MORE THING 15. STORM MACHINE/Model Verification Homepage users... 16. Any word on the Purdue FTP site? (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 01:17:19 -0400 From: Lu Subject: central NY outbreak Just had power restored a few minutes before midnight... was out for 7 hours. Some places are still out. Several confirmed tornados throughout Steuben, Chemung, Tioga, Broome, Chenango, Otsego, and Delaware counties in NY. Someone from the Binghamton area captured a small one on camcorder. All radio stations and all but one TV station were knocked out, all emergency comms were knocked out for a while. Broome County is currently under a state of emergency. Several spotters reporting driving by houses that had their roofs torn off, and 100% trees down in spots, mostly in southern Broome County and near the town of Appalachin in Tioga County, NY. I heard hail reports of up to golf ball-size. Here in Chenango County at least two ropes were confirmed. One demolished several trailers and houses in the northern part of the county, with Red Cross responding in later on. Also a couple houses with severe damage in the east-central part of the county. But Otsego, Tioga, Broome, and Delaware counties were probably the worst hit in my vicinity. I was spotting from the second highest point in my county, but did not see any distinct funnels. But I did observe dew points in the 60s, frequent c-g lightning, virga, disorganized-looking mammatus, shelf and wall clouds, and a couple rotating wall clouds from my vantage point. one of which began lowering even more as I watched it, then quickly disorganized. Interestingly, the storm came in two waves, the first being less severe. The second began hitting about 1700 local. I knew it would be bad when I saw leaves in the air where there were no trees around! I'd like to see more info on this event. One for NY's history books. Best wishes. N2SLN SKYWARN spotter 5/31/98 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 23:22:02 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: cool web site Dr. M Brooks wrote: > I'm sort of new to this discussion list, but I just want to invite > everyone to check out my web site at: > http://www.weatherimages.org > I try to pull together the very best weather data available on the internet > and put it all onto one easy to use page. Hope everyone's doing well! Very good compiling of weather links. Have bookmarked it and intend to use often. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 07:04:32 -0500 From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - Ham Radio Skywarn In the Tornado Areas Since last thursday there are reports of the northern states having massive tornadoes which have wiped out some small towns.SOUTH DAKOTA TORNADOES? AND ALSO OTHER AREAS Wanted to know if there are ham radio and spotters located in the ravaged areas. As a ham radio operator near Houston we use 146.840 and 145.11 for weather spotting and emergencies. I kknow when the weather is looking bad we don't wait for the NWS to issue a severe weather event we just start looking. In the last few months I was able to report funnel clouds and tornadoes on the ground that were not seen by the NWS. In fact one tornado or 2 of them went through close to me here in Sugarland Texas from what i saw I had time to call into the emergency frequency we have here whioch is monitored by the fire departments and police and EMOS with folks that have ham radio licenses. It has really helped due to the fact that when it looks bad or there are nets going west of our locations andor storms on radar, we just get the freq up and start doing the reports. Wonder of these small towns have radio operators and if they are up and doing their things before there are storm reports. Thank-You for your time and keep looking skyward. Mark Widerstrom - Disabled Veteran N5UOA Support your Disabled American Veterans They went for you. _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 09:31:15 -0400 From: "John F. Glaveskas" Subject: Re: No Warning It all depends on how well the Tornado warning was disseminated to the public after the NWS issues one. It takes times for the TV or radio station to get things over the air. Also how prepared was the local EOC. Do they activate sirens, or have other means to get the info to people? In our community the local Emergency director can break in on the cable tv. The message goes through all the channels so that everyone gets the message. This has been useful during Hurricane season as well as during the serious Nor'easters we had this past winter. JG ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 10:16:27 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: No Warning?? John F. Glaveskas wrote... >It all depends on how well the Tornado warning was disseminated to the >public after the NWS issues one. It takes times for the TV or radio >station to get things over the air. No better reason to own a weather radio. By taking the "middle man" out of the loop people can get first-hand information immediately. This, of course, assumes that people are feeding the NWS reports. I received two phone calls at the TV station yesterday of golfball->baseball hail. Our weekend weathercaster was reluctant to forward the info to the NWS (apparently thinking it wasn't his job to do this). I called NWS Paducah with the reports (sighting their original source and time) and Paducah promptly issued a severe thunderstorm warning --mentioning the large hail. We dispatched a photographer to the area and had no problem getting shots of huge chunks of ice everywhere. There was a lot of car and window damage too. My point, weather radio is the best and fastest system for getting weather information *directly* to the public but we all need to work harder to make sure NWS is getting real-time data from the field. I realize things may be going crazy in your community when a storm strikes but unless you pass the information to NWS (and eventually downstream) nobody is going to benefit from your reports. >Also how prepared was the local EOC. Do they activate sirens, or >have other means to get the info to people? Sirens are a great attention getter but they provide absolutely no information as to the actual type of threat, onset, or safety instructions. While I don't recommend we abandon sirens completely (or FEMA funding to maintain them), clearly we need to be focusing on modern technology like weather radio and automatic EAS decoders in every TV set (activated via a cross-referenced table based your zip code). Spending new tax dollars to install new sirens (old technology) based on the public's new, heightened, perceived risk of tornadoes, is a mistake in my opinion. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 10:30:15 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: Commentary South Dakota tornado I hear the power went out for the town, or for the emergency services, or for whatever that disabled the tornado sirens in spencer. We (College of DuPage) popped out of the rain core about 1 mile east of the tornado as it was lifting out of Spencer. As we were leaving we heard sirens in the town to the east. I guess you can only continue to stress to every media outlet that they tell the public to go buy some weather radios. -Jeff Mila -Nexlab ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 10:37:18 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Sirens for a SVR/Mixed messages Robert P Dale wrote... >This has been thrown around the list previously -- nice to see NWS note it >in a Severe Weather Statement: > >SIRENS HAVE BEEN SOUNDED FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH IN PRIOR >LAKE...SAVAGE...AND SHAKOPEE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE TWIN >CITIES METRO AREA AT 1035 PM CDT. While our city has provisions which allow us to activate our sirens for winds in excess of 85 MPH, I'm concerned that sounding local sirens for non-tornadic severe thunderstorms may desensitize people to the real threat --tornadoes. One of the two towns hit by the golfball size hail yesterday here in southern Illinois sounded its sirens for the hail. I think that's a big mistake. People hearing the sirens, went out into the streets to look for what they thought was a tornado approaching (OK, so that's not the best precautionary action) --only to be pounded by large hail. You didn't need sirens to know a big storm was approaching yesterday. The continuous thunder said it all! ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:59:54 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Highest overnight low temperatures ever recorded In article , ETELEDmike1@winternet.com (Mike;Schneider') writes: |> In article <6kmc1e$3um@spool.cs.wisc.edu>, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu (Scott |> Lindstrom) wrote: |> |> >In article |> , |> ETELEDmike1@winternet.com (Mike;Schneider') writes: |> >|> >> How about Civil Sunset to Civil Dawn (AFAIK sun apparently 96 deg |> >|> >> from zenith, no correction for refraction), at any place equipped |> >|> >> in a conventionally scientifically approved manner? |> >|> >> -- |> >|> >> Andrew Stephenson |> >|> |> >|> |> >|> Morning low temperatures often occur up to an hour after the sun |> has risen. |> >|> |> > |> >IME, post-sunrise lows happen most frequently in the winter, a time when high |> >overnight lows are not to be expected :) |> > |> >Summertime lows usually occur before |> >sunrise, especially when they are very warm. |> |> |> The low will usually be after sunrise on any night in which the winds |> die to calm and there are no clouds. (There are just more of such nights |> in winter.) |> Clear, calm nights are not amenable to very high overnight lows, however, which is the point of this thread. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 12:18:15 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: FEMA Announces Tropical Storm Web Page FEMA TROPICAL STORM WATCH ONLINE FOR 1998 HURRICANE SEASON WASHINGTON June 1, 1998 -- As the 1998 hurricane season begins, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) launches its Tropical Storm Watch page today on the World Wide Web. This is the fourth year for FEMA's online service. "The Internet has become an important communications medium for FEMA," FEMA Director James Lee Witt said. "Our website's usage has grown from 225,000 hits/week when Hurricane Opal hit Florida in late September 1995, to this year's average usage of more than one million hits/week - even when there are no major disasters." The Tropical Storm Watch page offers hurricane preparedness information, fact sheets, maps and links to other key sites with weather satellite images and forecasts. The FEMA Web site is updated daily, ...sometimes hourly... with news releases, situation reports, tracking maps, and graphics. As a hurricane approaches landfall, users can see the projected path of destruction and learn how FEMA is coordinating the federal government's efforts to help state and local governments cope with the impending disaster. "This year we will employ a new system to directly post key hurricane products from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center," Witt said. "This new service should help alleviate the user overload our NOAA colleagues experience whenever a hurricane approaches the mainland." The FEMA homepage address is http://www.fema.gov. In addition to a set of key topic buttons, the homepage layout provides users with a quick view of the latest news. When the President declares a major disaster, the site's Disasters of 1998 page provides details on response and recovery operations with a state-by-state rundown. With more than 10,000 pages of material, the FEMA web site is content-rich with information that goes beyond hurricanes to include all aspects of emergency management. "I hope all our Internet users visit the our Project Impact section. In it, they will find information designed to help break the disaster-rebuild-disaster cycle and provides ways they can work within their community to become disaster resistant," Witt said. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:32:04 -0400 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: Commentary on AP story on South Dakota tornado > Date: Sun, 31 May 1998 10:01:16 -0700 > From: Charlie Fenwick > Subject: Commentary on AP story on South Dakota tornado > > I am positively incensed with the idea of "no aparrent warning. First > the story: > > Six Reported Dead in South Dakota Tornado > > Reuters > > SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (May 31) - A tornado that struck after dark with no > apparent warning wiped out the small town of Spencer in South Dakota, > killing six people and injuring another 150, officials said on Sunday. > > > ------------------------------------------------------- > The first error I noticed was the time. 8:45 MDT is 0245 GMT, not > 1345. But the other error is very serious. That's the claim of no > warning. Let's review the warnings issued by NWS Aberdeen. > > 6:45 MDT Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Beedle County, which is 60 > miles NW of McCook County where Spencer is located at. > > 7:40 Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Sanborn County, 40 miles > northwest of McCook County. > > 8:12 Tornado Warning for Hanson County (adjacent to the west of McCook > County) tornado moving east at 30 mph. > > 8:23 Tornado watch for large parts of South Dakota including McCook > County. > > 8:32 The following warning is sent: > > THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A > > * TORNADO WARNING FOR... > NORTHERN MCCOOK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA > > * UNTIL 905 PM CDT > > * AT 829 PM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED > A TORNADO 20 MILES EAST OF MITCHELL OR 5 MILES WEST OF > SPENCER MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. > > * THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... > UNITYVILLE AROUND 835 PM CDT > SALEM AROUND 845 PM CDT > > LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND 5 MILES WEST OF > SPENCER AT 825 PM. > > > Hmmm. Warning sent at 8:32. Tornado strikes at 8:45. But "no > aparrent warning" and " the only warning she had was the sound of the > storm bearing down on the town of 300." > > Wow. > > Let the warning debates begin again. > >From what I saw on the news it is reported that lack of sirens would have been due to downed power lines to the WNW of Spencer in Hanson and wrn McCook Cos. where tornado was plowing through. I do know the local TV stations (KELO, KSFY, etc) and TWC along w/radio stations were transmitting all the warnings as even indicated on the news reports. But, you will always hear "we didn't have a warning" in these occurrences as not all people are paying attention to what is going on......expecting the 'siren's to warn us all' rather than being proactive and tuning on the radio/tv/etc to see what is going on. ABR and FSD NWS offices did as good a job as possible. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 11:59:25 -0600 From: John Eylander Subject: Re: No Warning > >Subject: Re: No Warning >Date: Mon, 01 Jun 1998 11:56:14 -0600 >From: John Eylander >Organization: South Dakota School of Mines and Technology >To: "John F. Glaveskas" >References: <3.0.3.32.19980601093115.006af558@dmv.com> > >John F. Glaveskas wrote: > >It all depends on how well the Tornado warning was disseminated to the >public after >the NWS issues one. It takes times for the TV or radio station to get >things over the >air. Also how prepared was the local EOC. Do they activate sirens, or >have other >means to get the info to people? In our community the local Emergency >director >can break in on the cable tv. The message goes through all the channels so >that >everyone gets the message. This has been useful during Hurricane season as >well >as during the serious Nor'easters we had this past winter. >JG > > In fact, as it turns out, the storm had knocked out power to the town upon its arrival knocking out the siren system, everyone's TV's, etc. Therefore, unless they had battery operated radios going at the time, it really may have hit without warning. I think life insurance companies should start giving discounts to those people with one or more battery operated wx radios in the house. Seems like a good idea to me! John -- ************************************************************* John Eylander Valparaiso University Alumni ('96) ***************** Rapid City, SD 57702 ************* *********** Graduate Student ********* SD School of Mines & Tech. ******** Jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu ******* **** http://www.ias.sdsmt.edu ** ************************************************************** -- ************************************************************* John Eylander Valparaiso University Alumni ('96) ***************** Rapid City, SD 57702 ************* *********** Graduate Student ********* SD School of Mines & Tech. ******** Jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu ******* **** http://www.ias.sdsmt.edu ** ************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 10:42:57 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Seeking Atmospheric Master of Science Candidate At the University of Alaska Fairbanks, we have a teaching/research assistantship available (@$14,000+ annually) see: http://www.uaf.alaska.edu/physics/gradprog.html for a student who has interest and experience in polar meteorology. Prof Gerd Wendler http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/Wendler/wendler.html is seeking a candidate with knowledge in equipment (e.g. radiation measuring devices, and data loggers) to assist him on an expedition to Antarctica in December 1998 for six weeks. The data acquired will be the foundation to his/her thesis. For additional information, you can contact me at: jcurtis@gi.alaska.edu (907) 474-7885 Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 13:48:30 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: Battery operated SAME weather radio >I know of none. The RS SAME radio can operate from a battery (9v), >but its intended for emergency backup. The published lifetime >of the battery while operating is only a few hours. I'm not sure why >it drains the battery so fast. I suspect largely because of the Statement/Watch/Warning LEDs that remain lit for the duration of an event. LEDs are big power hogs. William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 15:33:55 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: IT'S WX-ATLAN RENEWAL TIME AGAIN LISTSERV sent out renewal notices to all WX-ATLAN subscribers this morning. Based on the number of messages I received from confused readers I'm going to post some helpful information. First of all, if you received a renewal notice you have 14 days to reply. If LISTSERV has not received a successful confirmation message from you by day 15 your subscription will be automatically deleted. The renew process is designed to weed out a rather large number of people who are subscribed to WX-ATLAN but whose e-mail addresses are no longer valid and/or in some cases difficult to trace. If you believe you are subscribed to WX-ATLAN but you don't receive a renewal notice within the next day or two, you can try sending the command "confirm wx-atlan" to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU. LISTSERV should reply with a message saying your subscription has been confirmed. If you try to confirm your subscription but you receive a message saying you are not subscribed (but you know you are subscribed because you received the renewal notice and/or you have been receiving products from WX-ATLAN), it's likely that your current e-mail address does not *exactly* match the address LISTSERV has on file for you. If this is the case, send me e-mail telling me what account you think you subscribed under and the account you wish WX-ATLAN to come to. I'll manually update your records. If I find that you are not subscribed I'll subscribe you --provided you include your first and last name with your message to me. Note: When you first subscribe to WX-ATLAN (whether it be today or a year ago), by default you will only receive the Tropical Outlook sub-topic (OUTLOOK). If you want to receive other products (like hurricane position reports, strike probabilities, recon data, etc.,) *you* will need to change your sub-topics with the "SET WX-ATLAN TOPICS..." command. I'll attach a copy of the WX-ATLAN help file to this message. You must first be subscribed to WX-ATLAN before you can change your sub-topics. I set up WX-ATLAN's defaults this way in order to force subscribers to select the products they want to receive rather than have LISTSERV mail 100 pieces of mail (the full subscription) to each subscriber on a daily basis --only to have people purging most of the e-mail before reading it. Further, if people's e-mail starts bouncing, having the default topics set to OUTLOOK means I will have a lot less bounced mail to sort through. I'm not sure if NHC has started issuing the OUTLOOK product yet this season so it's possible you may be subscribed to WX-ATLAN but not receiving any mail yet. If you have any questions please feel free to contact me at chris@siu.edu or wx-atlan-request@po.uiuc.edu. Since I receive nearly 50 pieces of e-mail per day from the various WX-***** subscribers (not to mention 1200+ bounces) please make sure your subject line clearly indicates that you need help and please describe your problem in detail. Have a safe and happy Atlantic hurricane season. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = WELCOME TO WX-ATLAN This list contains topical weather outlooks, hurricane position reports, etc. It is most active from June through December. Portions of the products on this list may be in abbreviated (coded) format. To subscribe to WX-ATLAN send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU and include the following message: sub wx-atlan YourFirstName YourLastName To signoff WX-ATLAN send e-mail to LISTSERV@UIUC.EDU and include the following message: signoff wx-atlan WX-ATLAN mailings are subdivided based on product category. There is presently no way to restrict mailings to a specific storm. !==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==!==! ! ! ! I M P O R T A N T N O T E ! ! ! YOU WILL ONLY RECEIVE THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WHEN YOU FIRST SUBSCRIBE TO WX-ATLAN. THIS MEANS YOU WILL *NOT* RECEIVE ANY HURRICANE WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES UNLESS YOU CHANGE YOUR SUB-TOPIC PROFILE (SEE BELOW). The available sub-topics are: ALL = TO RECEIVE ALL OF THE FOLLOWING SUB-TOPICS OUTLOOK = Brief discussions concerning development trends [ABNT20] TROPDISC = Detailed discussions concerning development trends [AXNT20] FORECAST = Storm forecasts (wind and sea height estimates) [WTNT2x] ADVISORY = Storm status reports (movement, wind speeds, etc) [WTNT3x] STRMDISC = Discussion reports concerning a specific storm [WTNT4x] POSITION = Position reports [WTNT5x] UPDATE = Storm updates (they often cites recon reports) [WTNT6x] STRIKE = Strike probabilities (landfall probabilities) [WTNT7x] RECON = Reconnaissance data products [URNT1x] SEAFCST = High Seas Forecast [FZNT01] SUMMARY = Tropical Storm Summary Information To receive bulletins from just one specific product, say the strike probabilities, send e-mail to LISTSERV@UIUC.EDU with the following: SET WX-ATLAN TOPICS: STRIKE You can also use combinations of the keywords for multiple products. For example: SET WX-ATLAN TOPICS: STRIKE,POSITION,TROPDISC Notes: If you have previously specified a list of sub-topics and now you want to add or delete specific sub-topics, prefix them with a (+) or (-) respectively. For example, to add ADVISORY and delete TROPDISC (while leaving any other sub-topics alone) you you would send the command: SET WX-ATLAN TOPICS: +ADVISORY -TROPDISC You *must* already be subscribed to WX-ATLAN in order to use the sub-topic commands. Please address *ALL* questions concerning subscriptions to chris@siu.edu. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 16:39:05 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-ATLAN ONE MORE THING I'm sending this message to WX-TALK and to WX-ATLAN. Sorry about the wasted bandwidth but I want to make sure everyone gets it. Several people commented to me that instead of receiving renewal notices they received messages saying their subscription had already expired. Obviously this is not what was supposed to happen. If you receive a such a message, first try sending the CONFIRM WX-ATLAN message to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU. I have a feeling that LISTSERV sent the wrong message but it's still expecting a CONFIRM response. If LISTSERV replies by saying you are not subscribed, you can either resubscribe or send me e-mail asking me to confirm/resubscribe you. WX-TROPL also issued renewal notices today but from what I've seen in the bounces the message was the correct one. By the way, Richard Medicke advised me that NHC did start issuing statements today so if you are subscribed and have OUTLOOK as one of your sub-topics (it's default for most of you) you should be receiving at least some mail. Please report any problems to me. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 17:05:51 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: STORM MACHINE/Model Verification Homepage users... Those who use forecast and observed soundings from the STORM MACHINE...yes, we know the indices are messed up (such as CAPE, LI, etc)...we had bad storms here last week which prevented the programmer from working on it...and since he is in PA, he has been knocked out for the next 48 hours at least due to the huge MCC that raked the area. Also, the software isn't generating grids properly, apparently for our model verification page...again, these problems will be addressed as both of us scramble to get back on our feet after mega storms hit both of us in IL and PA. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 20:08:08 -0500 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Any word on the Purdue FTP site? It has been down for over a week now. Any news on the status? Anyone know of any other good sites with nice radar imagery available via FTP? Thanks.. - Mark Hofmann weather@bcpl.net ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Station (410) 882-8887 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304) Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 21:21:16 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Any word on the Purdue FTP site? Things will not get any better with regards to Purdue's WXP site, so you might as well not rely on it in the future. If it's up -- great! If not, move on... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:25:26 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: Re: Battery operated SAME weather radio Two suggestions to increase battery life in the RS Same radio. First, make sure the backlight on the display is turned off. It will turn on whenever a button is pressed, and second, use a lithium battery. J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA / Collier County Skywarn Collier County Florida www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Jun 1998 22:43:16 -0100 From: Stephen Marks Subject: Re: Commentary on AP story on South Dakota tornado Please excuse the triple post but portions of this are relevant to all three lists. Some of the original post has been deleted for brevity. Charlie Fenwick writes... >I am positively incensed with the idea of "no aparrent warning." >SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (May 31) - A tornado that struck after dark with no >apparent warning wiped out the small town of Spencer in South Dakota, >killing six people and injuring another 150, officials said on Sunday. >Warning sent at 8:32. Tornado strikes at 8:45. But "no aparrent warning" >and " the only warning she had was the sound of the storm bearing down on >the town of 300." Roger Edwards and I were on this storm. We discovered the large tornado as we were driving south on Hwy 25, about 5 miles due west of Spencer. We filmed the tornado for about 2 minutes until it became rain wrapped as it moved toward and then through the town of Spencer. We shared our video with Sioux Falls NWS and assisted them with a damage survey on Sunday. All of the residents of Spencer and nearby farms with whom we spoke were aware of both the watch and the warning from local media. The sirens in Spencer, however, did not sound. I was told that the power went out shortly before the storm struck and therefore the sirens could not be activated. Consequenly, many of the residents who had come to rely on the sirens as their source of warning were not aware of the imminent danger. My concern, as an Emergency Manager, is that the general population has become too reliant on someone else to provide them with such lifsaving information during severe weather. Someone had posted earlier that most watches were useless. I strongly disagree! Preparedness activities should be initiated during the watch period. People should monitor NWR, their local media, TWC, etc. They should consider postponing the picnic or field trip. They should be prepared to take immediate action if threatening weather approaches. We (EM, NWS, and Public Safety) can not reach everyone within our communities. The people must learn to provide, to some degree, for themselves. There was a Tornado Warning issued for the residents of Spencer. There were storms in the area. These folks did have adequate warning but many were not aware of it until it was too late. How can we better prepare and education the citizens of our communities so these tragedies can be avoided? (A question for the Skywarn list specifically). And as a side note to those who may have video of (or witnessed) the Spencer tornado, I encourage you to contact Greg Harmon of Sioux Falls NWS. I'm sure he would be glad to hear from you. Steve Marks, KE4FCW Emergency Mgmt, Greensboro NC (currently in Norman, OK) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 May 1998 to 1 Jun 1998 - Special issue ***************************************************************** From - Mon Jun 8 10:15:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4032 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628483-6632>; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 13:08:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45302; Tue, 2 Jun 1998 00:03:59 -0500 Message-Id: <199806020503.AAA45302@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 00:00:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5457703aac148dc03e2de800bcb0fadf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 30 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Prayers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 00:43:26 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Weather Prayers Would some of you here in the weather world do me a favor? Do a "clear skies dance" for north Florida so I can photograph the shuttle tomorrow evening. ...Just to be sure. You'll need to do this right from 6:10 to 6:17pm Eastern or it won't do me any good, though. They're predicting 100-percent chance of clear skies at the Cape for the launch but that doesn't always mean the same for here in Gainesville. I might also need you to do this in about two weeks, too, for the reentry/landing, so that I might have a chance to photograph the shuttle if it happens to fly over us here in Gainesville like it did last mission. I have a tamborine and bells if anyone needs to use them, too. Thanks, Todd 8-) /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 ********************************** From - Mon Jun 8 10:16:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4956 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626616-23104>; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 13:12:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15008; Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:06:19 -0500 Message-Id: <199806030506.AAA15008@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 to 2 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fcd62ba0e85f8fed1b20c9a713c55bb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 442 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Any word on the Purdue FTP site? (2) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 30 May 1998 to 31 May 1998 3. No Warning 4. No Warning - Sirens (3) 5. Looking for 24-h precip maps for ice storm 6. WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 (2) 7. Thunderstorm disturbances +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 01:12:43 -0500 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Re: Any word on the Purdue FTP site? RE: Re: Any word on the Purdue FTP site? BY: robert p dale þ> Things will not get any better with regards to Purdue's WXP site, so you þ> might as well not rely on it in the future. If it's up -- great! If not, þ> move on... Any suggestions on a good replacement to obtain the same types of imagery via FTP? - Mark weather@bcpl.net ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Station (410) 882-8887 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304) Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 02:04:36 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 30 May 1998 to 31 May 1998 Does anyone have a damge survey of the spencer storm yet? Did WSFO sioux fallsdo one yet?? Thanks, Eric Blake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 08:38:56 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: No Warning I think that another factor comes into play concerning the discussion as to whether or not the people of Spencer SD had adequate warning prior to their tornadic event. As pointed out in numerous news reports, Spencer is a very small farm town (300 pop., about 1/4 mile square or so) located in rural South Dakota. This probably makes the population older and by their choice, more self-reliant. They've more than likely weathered droughts, hail, severe thunderstorms, etc. more than once. Point is, it probably takes more than just your "average" tornado warning to scare most of these folks. Also, again based on the demographics, a lot of these people probably don't spend a lot of money on "electronics". As my grandmother would say: "What do I need one of those weather radio things for? I've seen thunderstorms for 70 years." Given an adequate warning system, you can provide warnings and information to a large majority of the public. You can not dictate their reactions. (I apologize if this sounds derogatory to any segment of the population discussed above. It is not intended that way; I'm simply trying to offer a viewpoint that may be missed by some who are city dwellers. BTW, I grew up in and around a very similar town in Kansas wheat country.) Gayland Kitch gkitch@ci.moore.ok.us Director of Emergency Management & Communications The City of Moore, Oklahoma http://www.ci.moore.ok.us/emermgt ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 09:06:22 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: No Warning - Sirens Chris Novy wrote: Sirens are a great attention getter but they provide absolutely no information as to the actual type of threat, onset, or safety instructions. ----- I disagree. While they don't give verbal information, they *can* provide an indication that a tornado is coming. I do not activate our sirens unless "tornadic conditions are immediately threatening". I publicize this heavily, particularly during storm season. And I have a lot of people who tell me that if they hear the siren, they know a tornado is coming. My goal is to provide 15 minutes warning. (I also have a lot who immediately grab a camera, climb on their roof, and get ready to shoot the video that's going to bring them fame and fortune...and a lot that call 9-1-1 wanting to know if a tornado is REALLY coming...) Chris also wrote: Spending new tax dollars to install new sirens (old technology) based on the public's new, heightened, perceived risk of tornadoes, is a mistake in my opinion. ----- Warning technology is great. It allows us to reach more people, and provide them with more information, than has ever been possible. But it does NOT replace other systems; rather, it augments them. In my opinion, warning is an additive process. ( )% - watching TV, get media warning and/or from EOC cable TV interrupt ( )% - watching DSS, get warning from auto EAS decoders in TV ( )% - inside, no radio/TV on, get warning from NOAA Weather Radio ( )% - outside, get warning from sirens ------ ----------------------------------------------- sum these up and you have the total percentage of people warned The closer to 100% yet get, the better job of warning that you've done. Unfortunately, there will always be the ( )% who you haven't reached. These will be the ones who either become victims or are interviewed and state "we had no warning". And as noted in my earlier post, you can warn 100% of the people, but you can't dictate that they take any action. I work towards having multiple warning systems, allowing me to reach a high percentage of our population with warning information. I also work towards a great amount of public education, hopefully planting the seeds which will spur action when the warning comes. Gayland Kitch gkitch@ci.moore.ok.us Director of Emergency Management & Communications The City of Moore, Oklahoma http://www.ci.moore.ok.us/emermgt ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 12:37:39 -0400 From: John Henderson Subject: Looking for 24-h precip maps for ice storm Hello everyone, I am looking for two maps for a study of the ice storm of the Northeast in January. Specifically, I need the 12 UTC 9 and 10 Jan 1998 24-h observed precipitation amounts (difax map D167, if I remember correctly). Our archive was down during this time (no power!). It would be greatly appreciated if someone could provide these maps, preferably in electronic format, but hardcopy would be fine. Thanks in advance. Sincerely, John Henderson ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 11:47:41 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: No Warning - Sirens >Chris Novy wrote: >Sirens are a great attention getter but they provide absolutely no >information as to the actual type of threat, onset, or safety instructions. Gayland Kitch replied... >----- >I disagree. While they don't give verbal information, they *can* provide >an indication that a tornado is coming. > >I do not activate our sirens unless "tornadic conditions are immediately threatening". The problem is that sirens mean different things in different parts of the country --even within different parts of the same state. In Illinois, for instance, a steady three minute siren blast only means "turn on your radio or TV and listen for safety information" it does not necessarily mean "a tornado has been sighted". While popular myth and nomenclature calls them "tornado sirens" they are, in fact, nothing more than outdoor warning sirens. The wavering sound they make is universally understood to mean enemy attack. Many communities sound their sirens for high winds, large hail, and low-hanging clouds. Some sound them when there is a fire. Some sound them for hazardous materials leaks or nuclear power plant accidents. And some even sound them when their highschool basketball team makes it into the state finals! Despite the fact that my town and several neighboring communities have had sirens for more than 15 years and that we test them the first Tuesday of each month, the 911 center still gets flooded with calls whenever the sirens go off. Why? Because people want to know what that noise is. They want to know if it's a real tornado or whether we're just testing the sirens at 2:15 in the morning. It would be nice to better educate the public but most people don't listen to safety instructions until it's too late. Just look at all the people who needlessly die in commercial airplane fires because they didn't pay attention to the safety information --information provided before *every* flight mind you! >Chris also wrote: >Spending new tax dollars to install new sirens (old technology) based on the public's new, heightened, perceived risk of tornadoes, is a mistake in my opinion. >----- >Warning technology is great. It allows us to reach more people, and provide them with more information, than has ever been possible. But it does NOT replace other systems; rather, it augments them. In my opinion, warning is an additive process. I have no disagreement with having multiple warning systems in place. All it takes is for the power to be cut and you have no sirens (assuming they are not on battery backup). All it takes is one lightning strike or a mis-aligned microwave antenna and you've got no weather radio. However, when I hear local communities talking about purchasing several additional sirens (at $15,000 a pop) I have to start asking whether the money is being spent wisely. While it's generally considered a one-time expense, one has to ask is it worth the cost considering the rarity of the event. I've lived in Carbondale for 20 years and we've never had a tornado come through town. During that time, however, we've had major fires with many lives lost. We've had nasty homicides and dozens of people killed in motor vehicle accidents. A person living in Carbondale (or anywhere for that matter) is far more likely to be killed by a drunk driver, murdered by stranger, or die from of AIDS than they are being killed by a tornado. True, if a tornado strikes (and it's just a matter of time), there could be serious loss of live. Then again, based on what I've seen the past several years and knowing human behavior, I question whether sirens make that much difference in the final outcome. Sure, people will have advanced warning and a belief that they have some control over the situation, but in reality I think shit's gonna happen with or without warnings. I don't know anyone who automatically runs to the basement (assuming they even have one) when the sirens sound. If they don't head to the basement then it's problematic whether they live or die because a ground-zero strike is not only going to take the house it's probably going to take their life. Should we continue to issue warnings? Yes! Why? Because it's the right thing to do. However, we should carefully look at the technology available to us (weather radio, digital TV, etc.) and focus on those outlets that have the greatest flexibility and portability. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 12:18:08 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: No Warning - Sirens > when I hear local communities talking about purchasing several additional > sirens (at $15,000 a pop) I have to start asking whether the money is > being spent wisely. While it's generally considered a one-time expense, > one has to ask is it worth the cost considering the rarity of the Yea really. Maybe as a community we should spend money on buying everyone a weather radio. A question I have is how do we, a group of weather enthusiasts, prompt media outlets to tell people to go buy a cheap weather radio. -Jeff Mila -Nexlab ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 06:28:49 +0100 From: David P Richards Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 I'll clear the floor right now and get ready to rumble!! Good luck with th pics. Send me one if poss. Thanks Dave Richards uk. E-mail: mymail@dave-philrich.demon.co.uk In message <199806020500.AAA45130@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu>, Automatic digest processor writes >There is one message totalling 30 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. Weather Prayers > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 00:43:26 -0400 >From: "Todd L. Sherman" >Subject: Weather Prayers > > Would some of you here in the weather world do me a favor? Do a "clear >skies dance" for north Florida so I can photograph the shuttle tomorrow >evening. ...Just to be sure. You'll need to do this right from 6:10 to >6:17pm Eastern or it won't do me any good, though. They're predicting >100-percent chance of clear skies at the Cape for the launch but that >doesn't always mean the same for here in Gainesville. > > I might also need you to do this in about two weeks, too, for the >reentry/landing, so that I might have a chance to photograph the shuttle >if it happens to fly over us here in Gainesville like it did last mission. > > I have a tamborine and bells if anyone needs to use them, too. > >Thanks, > >Todd 8-) > >/-----------------------------------------------------------------\ >| Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | >| -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | >| Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | >| Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | >\-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 >********************************** -- David P Richards ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 15:16:03 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Any word on the Purdue FTP site? Good alternative sites that have some of their own radar include: University of Maryland Meteorology Dept. Weather Now: http://www.metolab3.umd.edu/~owen/EARTHCAST/BUTTONS2/buttons2.html San Francisco State U. Weather Page: http://virga.sfsu.edu/crws.html University of Wyoming Weather Web (click on US Radar Summaries): http://www-das.uwyo.edu/ Southwest Missouri State U. Dept. of Geography Weather Page (although they clip the northeast coast!): http://cirrus.smsu.edu/ University of Illinois Daily Planet: http://covis1.atmos.uiuc.edu/covis/visualizer/radar.html There are others. You can find them on my Meteorology Hotlist at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/metlist.html Hope that helps, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 15:39:00 U From: Bill Hensley Subject: Thunderstorm disturbances Mail*Hub: QMAILGW8 Thunderstorm disturbances I picked up the following from Air Force News Service, and thought it might be of interest to the list. Cheers, Bill Bill.Hensley@trw.com http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Bill_Hensley/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- >Scientists make new discovery in stratosphere >by Kevin Gilmartin >Electronic Systems Center Public Affairs > >HANSCOM AIR FORCE BASE, Mass. AFNS) -- Scientists from the Air Force >Research Laboratory's Space Vehicles Directorate here, recently >discovered concentric bulls-eye-like rings in the upper stratosphere, 25 >miles above the ground. The scientists said the rings are caused by >thunderstorms. > >The discovery came from examining images from a satellite's infrared >imager and may help to one day identify ballistic missiles. > >Many scientists have theorized that atmospheric disturbances such as >thunderstorms create "gravity waves" that ripple across the atmosphere >like waves from a dropped pebble ripple across a pond. > >This theory was confirmed from space when the scientists observed the >ripples on images from an experiment on board the Midcourse Space >Experiment satellite. They then matched up the centers of the wave >patterns to meteorological satellite images taken one to two hours >earlier depicting a small isolated high altitude thundercloud. > >Understanding what natural patterns exist in the atmosphere is essential >to identifying a target such as a ballistic missile. > >"To detect a missile from a space-based platform, it is essential to >identify any background clutter, so you can be certain that what you are >seeing is in fact a missile," said Hanscom scientist Dr. Edmond Dewan. > >Also, understanding how the energy and momentum of the waves is >deposited throughout the upper atmosphere could help scientists >understand atmospheric dynamics, energy balance and perhaps even how >these effects contribute to and are affected by global warming. > >"There is a great deal of interest in our findings, and this is the >genesis of a new set of proposals to NASA and other space agencies >incorporating these techniques," said Hanscom scientist Dr. Richard >Picard. "We are also shipping our data to the designers of the next >generation of Defense Department sensors for their use." (Courtesy of >Air Force Materiel Command News Service) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Jun 1998 18:58:58 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 On Tue, 2 Jun 1998, David P Richards wrote (when Todd Sherman asked for Indian Anti-Rain Dance prayers for photographing a shuttle launch): > I'll clear the floor right now and get ready to rumble!! > Good luck with th pics. Send me one if poss. Thanks > Dave Richards uk. E-mail: mymail@dave-philrich.demon.co.uk Sigh! Thanks. While there was no rain, and the skies _were_ free of all but a very few clouds here and there...what I SHOULD have asked for, I guess, was an Indian Anti-Smog Dance. See, everything was perfect except for that darned reddish haze that's been hanging around ever since those fires. Made the shuttle's trail, which is usually very easy to see, an almost invisible thing! That's a LOT of smog! Wow! Oh well. We tried. Thanks to all those who pulled out the jingle bells and "HEY-yahhed" around their living room floors for me. :) And now a word to anyone in the NWS offices in the Southeast: if you could, would you please send that high that's hovering over us on its way and replace it with a low and a few severe storms? Not only will this give us something to photograph while waiting for the shuttle's return but hopefully it should clear out the skies of that yucky muck up there, too. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1998 to 2 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Jun 8 10:11:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2888 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626702-18591>; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 13:14:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23570; Thu, 4 Jun 1998 00:08:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199806040508.AAA23570@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 00:01:26 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jun 1998 to 3 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 24e1a4217be191d6971a77dc85d646f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 295 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Source for FTP/WWW data 2. sirens 3. STORM MACHINE UPDATE... 4. Funnel and Hail Storm in the Blue Ridge 5. Water Towers (3) 6. Blank Skew-T Charts 7. International Data Loss 8. Hail Storm & Funnel in the Blue Ridge +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 07:58:28 -0400 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: Source for FTP/WWW data Try FSU's weather data sites at http://www.met.fsu.edu/metdata.html for raw and processed data, imagery, etc, and access to Florida EXPLORES!, CUDOS, and tropical weather products. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:31:00 -0400 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: sirens To chime in on the siren thread... Here in St. Louis County, the new siren policy is to activate the sirens whenever a tornado warning is issued for a county which is adjacent to St. Louis County, even if that county is to the east of our area. This also goes for St. Louis city which is not part of any county. The policy has already generated confusion and criticism around here. For those of you not familiar with our area, the County is fairly large, and we generally define the County in terms of North, South and West, since it is roughly 'C'-shaped with the city occupying the middle portion of the 'C'. It quite likely for storms to go through the Northern portion of the county with little or no action in the south (and in fact has already occurred this year a couple of times), but the sirens are activated across the entire county even though there is no threat in most of the area. By activating the sirens whenever a tornado warning is issued nearby they are diluting even the message even more and desensitizing the public to the point where no one will take the warnings seriously or at least believe they have much more time to react then they actually do. My employer won't activate their emergency procedures until a warning is issued for the city, even though we are less than 5 miles from the county border, which may be too late when you figure in disseminating time for the warning and evacuation time for all employees. No warning will reach everyone, which has been said before, but let's use the tools we have to emphasize the real situations in the affected areas to achieve the maximum urgency. That's all. Steve Maneikis ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 08:00:01 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: STORM MACHINE UPDATE... The STORM MACHINE was completely repaired early this morning. Thanks for your patience. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 10:19:34 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Funnel and Hail Storm in the Blue Ridge We rarely get a funnel in the Blue Ridge Mountains, but one occurred in southern Johnson County anout 25 miles north of Boone, NC. Boone also received hail up to two inches in diameter. Several cars had dents form the hail. Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 11:01:15 -0400 From: Paul Howerton Subject: Water Towers Was wondering if anyone on the list knew of any other water towers brought to the ground by a tornado other than one at Spencer? Curiously, this was a topic of discussion around the office about a week prior to the Spencer tornado. Several remembered photos of massive destruction caused by other storms that showed standing water towers. We knew the Hesston tornado just missed two water towers. The Marion, IL tornado on May 29, 1982 passed directly over one (in Crainville) without causing any damage, but the tornado had just formed at that point. That tornado just missed two more, one near the midpoint of its track and another near its peak on the edge of Marion. Would also be interested to know the mode of failure of the Spencer water tower. Two more questions that come to mind are: a) was it structurally sound and b) was it full of water? Paul Howerton email: paul.howerton@noaa.gov NWS Wichita KS ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 10:07:31 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Water Towers > The F5 Barneveld, WI, tornado of June 1985 did not fell the town water tower. It did, however, flex it enough that boards were driven between the metal tower and its concrete base. But as anyone who drives along US 151 can tell you, the tower is still there. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake > Was wondering if anyone on the list knew of any other water towers > brought to the ground by a tornado other than one at Spencer? > Curiously, this was a topic of discussion around the office about a > week prior to the Spencer tornado. > > Several remembered photos of massive destruction caused by other > storms that showed standing water towers. We knew the Hesston tornado > just missed two water towers. The Marion, IL tornado on May 29, 1982 > passed directly over one (in Crainville) without causing any damage, > but the tornado had just formed at that point. That tornado just > missed two more, one near the midpoint of its track and another near > its peak on the edge of Marion. > > Would also be interested to know the mode of failure of the Spencer > water tower. Two more questions that come to mind are: a) was it > structurally sound and b) was it full of water? > > Paul Howerton email: paul.howerton@noaa.gov > NWS Wichita KS > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 16:12:24 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Water Towers In article <039323575653B00D*/c=US/admd=ATTMAIL/prmd=GOV+NOAA/o=CCNWS/s=Howerton/g=Paul/.01759@MHS>, Paul Howerton wrote: > > Several remembered photos of massive destruction caused by other > storms that showed standing water towers. We knew the Hesston tornado > just missed two water towers. When I surveyed the Hesston damage a few months after the tornado, the western water tower in the town was in the path of the tornado, but on the south side of the path. It appeared that it survived a hit by that tornado. The second water tower was missed. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 12:33:44 -0400 From: "W. Kenneth Griggs" Subject: Blank Skew-T Charts I was wondering if anyone knew if it were possible to obtain blank skew-T charts for analysis/research purposes... Thanks, Ken ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 14:18:01 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: International Data Loss Found this on the NWS Employees Organization webpage, in a report on the latest Commercial Weather Services Assocation meeting: Session II: The Latest Information on International Weather Data Exchange This session focused on last week's Paris meeting between representatives of the public weather services and private weather industry from the U.S. and Europe. Speaking were Kelly and Barry Myers of AccuWeather, Inc. - Myers said WMO Resolution 40 on data exchange is being used by other nations to control the commercialization of weather data. He said some nations are trying to develop "a weather cartel"; - Kelly told the Paris participants that the U.S. will fully implement Resolution 40, and that beginning on September 30, 1998, most U.S. weather data will be posted on NWS's internet servers. In addition, NWS will post weather data obtained from Europe on the internet with a disclaimer that this information can not be reexported without the consent of the nation which developed it; - in response to Kelly's announcement about NWS posting data on the internet, the French government representative said his nation will not supply NWS with any more data; the French position was supported by Germany; - the issue of what to do about value-added data was not settled; - in private discussions among U.S. private sector representatives, there was talk of cutting off U.S. data to any nation which withholds its data to the U.S., but this was not supported by NWS; - Myers argued that NWS will find ways to apply pressure to other nations short of a U.S. cut off, and if any nation cut off its data exchange to the U.S, it could be in violation of the WTO. - Kelly also made the following comments: . the September 30 date for NWS posting data on the internet is not set in stone and the date could slip slightly if productive international discussions are ongoing at that time; . the governments of Germany, Ireland, Finland and Sweden share the same view as France on data exchanges; . if no agreement is reached on data exchange, the U.S. government could argue its position under trade law; . most of Europe's commercial weather sector agrees with the NWS position on data exchange and most of the disagreements are between European governments and their commercial sectors. Discussion Among Participants - Kelly said the U.S. believes Resolution 40 should increase the amount of worldwide weather data available but so far this has not occurred. However, the WMO states that this is due to the economic situation in certain countries (Russia) and not Resolution 40. - Kelly argued the world needs to develop a definition of what is "data", and that this will be difficult. - In response to a question on what if a U.S. company decided to reexport data it got from Europe, Myers said a foreign government could file suit in U.S. court but it would be easier for them to cut off its data exchange to the U.S. - Myers noted NWS lawyers believe Resolution 40 actually abrogates copyrights on data which is at odds with the European governments' view. - Myers said most of the discussion at the Paris meeting was on legal issues such as what is intellectual property rather than technical matters. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:57:14 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Hail Storm & Funnel in the Blue Ridge It is not often there is damaging hail in Northwestern North Carolina part of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Between 7:00 and 8:00 PM EDT Tuesday, hail fell in Boone, NC up to the size of golf balls. Many cars were damaged, windows were broken, there was roof damage and many small limbs and leaves were torn from trees. A funnel was sighted about 25 miles north of Boone in southern Johnson County, TN. This area has mountains from about 4000 - 5900 ft. On radar, the storm dissipated very rapidly 15 to 20 minutes almost as fast as it was generated. Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jun 1998 to 3 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3675 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627734-7721>; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 13:17:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11170; Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:10:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199806050510.AAA11170@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 00:04:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jun 1998 to 4 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a232aa4840164b032b0c094b8ef74e12 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 214 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hail Storm & Funnel in the Blue Ridge 2. AP Article 3. Watch Boxes 4. Topsy, turny weather 5. Request for info on ice storms +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 07:31:43 -0400 From: "Dr. M Brooks" Subject: Re: Hail Storm & Funnel in the Blue Ridge >Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:57:14 -0500 >From: Thomas Rokoske >Subject: Hail Storm & Funnel in the Blue Ridge > >It is not often there is damaging hail in Northwestern North Carolina part >of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Between 7:00 and 8:00 PM EDT Tuesday, hail >fell in Boone, NC up to the size of golf balls. Many cars were damaged, >windows were broken, there was roof damage and many small limbs and leaves >were torn from trees. A funnel was sighted about 25 miles north of Boone >in southern Johnson County, TN. This area has mountains from about 4000 - >5900 ft. On radar, the storm dissipated very rapidly 15 to 20 minutes >almost as fast as it was generated. >Tom I heard about that last night on the NOAA radio. I'm located in south-central N.C. and last night I was listening to the NOAA radio, analyzing three different doppler radar images on the internet, and watching the local TV weatherman. It was an exciting evening. Where I am we got only a trace of precipitation unlike other areas that received large hail. The NWS is expecting severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Sounds like it'll be another exciting evening! -Mark Ever stop to think, and forget to start again? **************************************************** Live Weather Images http://www.weatherimages.org **************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 09:09:28 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: AP Article Fairly accurate overall... Comments included. ==== Identifying tornadoes not an exact science' BY KRISTEN HAYS Associated Press Writer PITTSBURGH (AP) -- Strong swirling winds, funnel clouds, heavy rain and hail. Must be a tornado, right? Not necessarily. While the National Weather Service issues warnings of storms and tornadoes, its expert meteorologists could discover a few hours later that the ``tornado'' was just strong wind, said weather service meteorologist Peter Young in State College. Sunday night advisories warned of storms with tornadoes in Washington and Fayette counties, but a closer look at downed trees and other damage revealed those storms were ``all wind and hail,'' said Rich Kane, meteorologist with Pittsburgh's weather service office. [Note she says "advisories" for "warnings" -- and advisory was one of the terms mentioned here as a replacement for watch] On Tuesday, Pittsburgh's center sent out 11 advisories for possible tornadoes spotted in Allegheny, Westmoreland, Beaver and Fayette counties. Of those, Kane said, four were tornadoes. The strongest, with 160 mph winds, hit Donegal near the Seven Springs ski resort in Westmoreland County. Three weaker tornadoes with 100-110 mph winds hit Raccoon Township in Beaver County; Pittsburgh's Mount Washington neighborhood to Irwin in Westmoreland County; and southeast of McKeesport in Allegheny County. State College's weather service office sent out 17 tornado advisories Tuesday night in several counties. Its meteorologists have confirmed that a tornado touched down in West Salisbury -- which was hit by an earlier twister on Sunday, killing a 13-year-old girl -- and in Blair and Northumberland counties. Others have yet to be confirmed. ``When you put out a tornado warning, you have an 80 percent false alarm rate,'' said Mark Tobin, a meteorologist with AccuWeather in State College, a private weather forecasting company. [Is that accurate? Not that AccuWeather would want to put down NWS ;> ] ``You don't want to underwarn, because that's when people get hurt,'' Tobin said. ``But when you overwarn, people think you're crying wolf. I don't think there's a happy little medium in there. It's still not yet a precise science.'' Young said two factors trigger the weather service to put out a tornado warning. The first is a credible report from a tornado spotter -- someone who has taken a weather spotting class, or a public safety official, such as a county emergency management worker or a firefighter. [Note that word from safety officials is taken as gold, whether or not that safety official knows the different between stratus and a tornado] The second is a severe storm noted on radar, though radar rarely picks up actual tornadoes. Rather, it can see a storm, and meteorologists gauge the storm's severity to determine if it may have a tornado. [Seems a little too "dumbed down"] ``Occasionally, even a public report may trigger a tornado warning,'' Young said. ``It becomes a judgment call at that point. Most of the time we take reports pretty seriously, especially if radar incidates severe thunderstorm.'' Tobin said weather service meteorologists confirm whether storms had tornadoes or straight winds by examining damage and debris, both on the ground and from the air. He said a tornado leaves twisting debris scattered at random, like a boat propeller lodged in a brick wall several miles from the boat. Simple thunderstorm winds tend to leave debris in a pattern, like the space opened up on a lawn by a mower. Jim Purpura, a chief meteorologist with the weather service's national headquarters in Norman, Okla., said meteorologists rely on storm spotters because their radars see storms about 1,000 feet in the air, but not on the ground. [NWS HQ is not in Oklahoma, and Jim is the WCM at Norman] The chance that even the most trained spotters will think they see a tornado when they don't means the weather service often warns of tornadoes that aren't there -- though a fast and heavy storm can be almost as dangerous. ``If one or the other will happen -- a tornado without warning, or a warning without a tornado -- we prefer that a warning happen without a tornado,'' Purpura said. ``We do everything we can to prevent unwarned events.'' ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 16:06:00 -0400 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: Watch Boxes Looking for some information please. A co-worker of mine is tracking watch boxes this year and is missing several, so I'm hoping that somone will be able to fill in the missing info. All he is looking for is the type of box, severe or tornado. The box numbers he needs are: 29, 33, 36-37, 39-41, 43, 51, 55, 73, 93-103, 322-327, 338 and 434. (30 in all) Any help would be appreciated. Send info to either myself at maneikiss@nima.mil or Rich Barnes at barnesr@nima.mil Thanks. Steve Maneikis ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 16:59:26 -0400 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Topsy, turny weather Hi folks, I work for WNYT, the NBC affiliate in Albany, NY and have been quite busy with tornado/post tornado stuff for a while. This is my first opportunity to write about the tornado outbreak here in Eastern New York this past Sunday afternoon/evening. To summarize it seems that the line of tornadic supercells formed along some sort of outflow boundary...most likely resulting from the fizzled derecho that was racing eastward ast 55-60 knots early that morning. There were a total of about 15 or so different tornadoes here in the capital district and confirmed wind gusts of 82 MPH at the Albany (International) Airport. They also reported a tornado on the ground at 4:45pm Sunday. The most significant tornado occurred in Mechanicvile/Stillwater NY area and this is about 5-10 miles north of the city of Albany. The tornado devastated the town and is now likely to be rated an F4. I toured the area and interviewed the NWS survey team and we filmed some remarkable damage. 1 dead (from a heart attack) and 68 injured. Everything still remains in shambles (sp??). On another note, I recieved a report of a dusting of snow at Whiteface Mountain, near Plattsburg, NY. Hmmm, not sure what to expect next??? Maybe a hurricane.... Regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, WNYT NBC Affiliate- Albany, NY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 22:24:00 -0500 From: Pamela Knox Subject: Request for info on ice storms Dear Wx-Talkers, I am looking for information on the synoptics of severe ice storms, particularly in the Midwest. Can anyone provide me with references on either the general weather associated with these storms or with case studies? When I was growing up in Michigan, we had a severe ice storm in spring 1976 which got us out of school for three days--don't know if this was ever studied in detail. Case studies of other storms would be fine, too. Thanks for your help! Pam Knox pnknox@facstaff.wisc.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jun 1998 to 4 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4529 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626513-14003>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 13:11:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57738; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 00:05:53 -0500 Message-Id: <199806060505.AAA57738@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 00:00:22 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jun 1998 to 5 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53a21847158ca6e82826244b11128ca5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 789 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Spencer Tornado Website 2. New AWOS Site 3. Metar Station Information 4. AWOS Sites Not Yet Available (Update) 5. F4 Tornado in Western Maryland 6. Topsy, turny weather (Humor) 7. Request for info on ice storms 8. Early June Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Forecast 9. weather symbol chart 10. AP Article +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 02:44:14 EDT From: Bryan Ruby Subject: Spencer Tornado Website The National Weather Service in Sioux Falls has started a web page dedicated to some of the information available on the May 30, 1998, tornado that hit Spencer, SD. The site is at: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/fsd/spencer.htm Bryan ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 16:42:47 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New AWOS Site AWOS site added recently to DDS. Y29 - Glencoe, MN Also, I have obtained station information for a platform in the Gulf of Mexico that sends Metars once in awhile. SID Name Lat Lon GSM Ship Shoal 207 28 32'N 90 59'W Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 16:48:24 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Metar Station Information A new station in Mexico recently began sending Metars on IDS. The four letter code is MMZA. I am unable to find any information on this station. Any ideas? Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 17:39:10 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: AWOS Sites Not Yet Available (Update) FEDERAL FAA AWOS SITES NOT YET AVAILABLE ON FAA604 OR FOS DDS 90LA NEW ORLEANS/SUPERDOME LA AJO CORONA CA DWU ASHLAND KY EKY BESSEMER AL FCI RICHMOND/CHESTERFIELD CO VA GAI GAITHERSBURG MD GVQ BATAVIA NY HXD HILTON HEAD ISLAND SC ISM ORLANDO/KISSIMMEE FL JRB NEW YORK/WALL STREET NY LZU LAWRENCEVILLE GA MJX TOMS RIVER NJ MKY MARCO ISLAND FL OKK KOKOMO IN PVG PORTSMOUTH VA RYY MARIETTA/COBB COUNTY GA PAGL GOLOVIN AK PAII EGEGIK AK PAQH QUINHAGAK AK NON-FEDERAL FAA AWOS SITES NOT YET AVAILABLE ON FAA604 OR FOS DDS 4A9 FORT PAYNE AL AL15 GULF SHORES AL AZC COLORADO CITY AZ CHD CHANDLER AZ E14 TUCSON/AVRA VALLEY AZ HII LAKE HAVASU CITY AZ PBY KAYENTA AZ RYN TUSCON/RYAN AZ 0O3 SAN ANDREAS CA DLO DELANO CA FCH FRESNO/DOWNTOWN CA MHR SACRAMENTO/MATHER CA L35 BIG BEAR CA LHM LINCOLN CA O22 COLUMBIA CA SBD SAN BERNADINO CA FTG DENVER/FRONT RANGE CO EVY MIDDLETOWN DE 23J JACKSONVILLE/HERLONG FL LCQ LAKE CITY FL SUA STUART FL VNC VENICE FL 3J7 GREENSBORO GA 47A CANTON GA AYS WAYCROSS GA CKF CORDELE GA CZM CASTMAN-DODGE COUNTY GA DQH DOUGLAS GA FZG FITZGERALD GA JZP JASPER GA LGC LA GRANGE GA OKZ SANDERSVILLE GA OPN THOMASTON GA SBO SWAINSBORO GA TBR STATESBORO GA TVI THOMASVILLE GA 12C ROCHELLE IL 1H2 EFFINGHAM IL 2I5 RANTOUL IL 3LC LINCOLN IL DKB DE KALB IL DNV DANVILLE IL FEP FREEPORT IL GBG GALESBURG IL I88 PONTIAC IL IGQ CHICAGO/LANSING IL IKK KANKAKEE IL JOT JOLIET IL LOT ROMEOVILLE IL MQB MACOMB IL TAZ TAYLORVILLE IL VYS PERU IL ASW WARSAW IN MZZ MARION IN CBK COLBY KS 1A6 MIDDLESBORO KY 1M9 CADIZ KY 27K GEORGETOWN KY 2I0 MADISONVILLE KY 7K0 PIKEVILLE KY AAS CAMPBELLSVILLE KY CEY MURRAY KY DVK DANVILLE KY EKX ELIZABETHTOWN KY FGX FLEMINGSBURG KY GLW GLASGOW KY HVC HOPKINSVILLE KY IOB MOUNT STERLING KY K22 PRESTONBURG KY M21 GREENVILLE KY M25 MAYFIELD KY M34 GILBERTSVILLE KY K24 JAMESTOWN KY 2F8 BASTROP LA HMU HAMMOND LA IER NATCHITOCHES LA CBE CUMBERLAND MD ESN EASTON MD FDK FREDERICK MD W54 WESTMINSTER MD SAW GWINN MI MZH MOOSE LAKE MN Y33 MAPLE LAKE MN M58 MONETT MO MHL MARSHALL MO CKM CLARKSDALE MS CRX CORINTH MS HSA BAY ST LOUIS MS LUL LAUREL MS RNV CLEVELAND MS UOX OXFORD MS 1A5 FRANKLIN NC JNX SMITHFIELD NC JQF CONCORD NC RUQ SALISBURY NC TDF ROXBORO NC UKF NORTH WILKESBORO NC BPP BOMAN ND BWP WAHPETON ND MLE OMAHA/MILLARD NE SVC SILVER CITY NM 4SD RENO/STEAD NV CXP CARSON CITY NV 1B1 HUDSON NY 5B2 SARATOGA SPRINGS NY N03 CORTLAND NY N17 ENDICOTT NY OIC NORWICH NY PTD POTSDAM NY AXV WAPAKONETA OH CDI CAMBRIDGE OH I78 MARYSVILLE OH PCW PORT CLINTON OH PMH PORTSMOUTH OH UNI ATHENS/ALBANY OH ADH ADA OK HHW HUGO OK OK78 WATONGA OK OUN NORMAN OK RKR POTEAU OK WWR WOODWARD OK 2G3 CONNELLSVILLE PA 2G9 SOMERSET PA 40N COATESVILLE PA HMZ BEDFORD PA HZL HAZELTON PA N70 PERKASIE PA OYM ST MARY'S PA RVL REEDSVILLE PA ZER POTTSVILLE PA 7A1 GREENVILLED/DONALDSON SC GGE GEORGETOWN SC RBW WALTERBORO SC SPA SPARTANSBURG SC 0A9 ELIZABETHTON TN 1M5 PORTLAND TN 2A0 DAYTON TN 2M2 LAWRENCEBURG TN 6A4 MOUNTAIN CITY TN 8A3 LIVINGSTON TN BGF WINCHESTER TN DKX KNOXVILLE/DOWNTOWN TN FYE SOMERVILLE TN FYM FAYETTEVILLE TN GCY GREENEVILLE TN GKT SEVIERVILLE TN GZS PULASKI TN HZD HUNTINGDON TN JAU JACKSBORO TN JWN NASHVILLE/TUNE TN LUG LEWISBURG TN M02 DICKSON TN M04 COVINGTON TN M08 BOLIVAR TN M33 GALLATIN TN M52 LEXINGTON TN M54 LEBANON TN M91 SPRINGFIELD TN MBT MURFREESBORO TN MMI ATHENS TN MOR MORRISTOWN TN MRC COLUMBIA/MOUNT PLEASANT TN PHT PARIS TN RNC MCMINNVILLE TN SCX ONEIDA TN SNH SAVANNAH TN SRB SPARTA TN SYI SHELBYVILLE TN THA TULLAHOMA TN UCY UNION CITY TN 22XS KILLEN/LONGHORN TX 81R SAN SABA TX BBD BRADY TX BWD BROWNWOOD TX CNW WACO/TSTC TX T65 WESLACO TX BDG BLANDING UT BMC BRIGHAM CITY UT DTA DELTA UT U42 SALT LAKE CITY/MUNI 2 UT 6V3 RICHLANDS VA I18 RAVENSWOOD WV W99 PETERSBURG WV 3I2 POINT PLEASANT WV EMM KEMMERER WY Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 12:29:26 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: F4 Tornado in Western Maryland Considering how mountainous western Maryland is, this is pretty darn impressive! Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ABUS34 KWBC 032142 PNSWBC VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050>057-MDZ002>007-009>011-013>014-016>018- WVZ048>055-032300- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT -FROSTBURG TORNADO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON 535 PM EDT WED JUN 03 1998 ...FROSTBURG TORNADO WAS THE STRONGEST TORNADO RECORDED IN MARYLAND SINCE OFFICIAL TORNADO RECORDS BEGAN IN 1950... METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETERMINED THAT THE TORNADO THAT HIT THE FROSTBURG AREA IN ALLEGANY COUNTY MARYLAND WAS AN F4 ON THE FUJITA SCALE. WINDS PEAKED AROUND 210 MPH WHEN IT HIT FROSTBURG. SINCE OFFICIAL RECORDS BEGAN IN 1950...THIS IS THE STRONGEST TWISTER TO HIT MARYLAND. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE MARYLAND/PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE NEAR THE TOWN OF SALISBURY PENNSYLVANIA IN SOMERSET COUNTY. THE TORNADO THEN TRAVELED 15 MILES. FOR MOST OF ITS LIFE...IT WAS AN F3 WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 150 TO 200 MPH. WHEN THE TWISTER HIT FROSTBURG...IT WAS BRIEFLY AN F4 WITH WINDS OF 210 MPH. IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE TORNADO HIT FROSTBURG AROUND 945 PM EDT. THE TORNADO DISSIPATED NEAR BOWLING GREEN WHICH IS IN ALLEGANY COUNTY JUST SOUTHWEST OF CUMBERLAND. THE TORNADO WAS 250 TO 350 YARDS WIDE. METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETERMINED THAT THIS TORNADO WAS A MULTI-VORTEX TORNADO...WHICH MEANS IT LIKELY CONTAINED SEVERAL SMALLER VORTICES INSIDE THE BIGGER FUNNEL. OVER 100 HOMES WERE DAMAGED AND 10 COMPLETELY DESTROYED. REMARKABLY... NOBODY WAS KILLED AND INJURIES WERE NOT LIFE THREATENING. WATSON/ZUBRICK/WALSTON ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 03:26:34 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Topsy, turny weather (Humor) On Thu, 4 Jun 1998, Howard Altschule wrote: > On another note, I recieved a report of a dusting of snow at > Whiteface Mountain, near Plattsburg, NY. Hmmm, not sure what to > expect next??? Maybe a hurricane.... SHH! Dummy! You trying to tempt fate?!!! Anyway...I seem to be suffering from a little self-imposed embarrassment here. After spending all that time developing a nearly 100-page SKYWARN SOP Manual for our new local group...what do we get? Nuttin. Just lotsuh 105-degree stuff (on the Heat Index)...for the last couple weeks. And it isn't even officially "summertime" yet. In contrast to what you've been getting up there, the "rain" we've been getting down here is laughable. Really... See...when the clouds do form, they get so dark and look so promising. They begin to look like they're gonna give us a nice downpour. Then they start to shake and vibrate violently. Suddenly, you hear a long, low rumble immediately followed by a quick, high-pitched "PFFT!" - as if somebody sat on a whoopie cushion. The cloud then seems to squeeze in on itself, as if attempting to wring every last bit of moisture out. "Finally!" you say to yourself, "...looks like we're gonna git sumthin' we really need!" As you look up and wait in great anticipation for that wonderful silver stuff to start a-falling, you start to hear a whistling sound - as if a bomb was falling and heading straight for your head. Then...ka-PIT!...a single drop hits you on the forehead, and the cloud dissapates. You wipe the drop from your forehead and look at it for a second. Then you turn your head upwards - mouth agape - waiting for what more MUST be coming. Nothing forthcoming, you hold your arms up in the air with this look of utter disappointed frustration and ask the sky "...That's IT?!!!" ...Sigh! I think our clouds lately are exhibiting signs of a sadistic intelligence behind them, here. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 08:26:51 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Re: Request for info on ice storms On Thu, 4 Jun; Pamela Knox was asking for info on Midwest US ice storms. I seem to remember a neat paper in the National Weather Association's "National Weather Digest" about three or four years ago. It was an article dealing with the climatology of ice storms in North and South Dakota (although this may be a little outside of the "Midwest") James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 12:04:47 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Early June Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Hi Wx-talkers, RAPIDLY FADING EL NINO WILL PUT 1998 HURRICANE SEASON CLOSE TO AVERAGE, SAYS COLORADO STATE'S HURRICANE EXPERT GRAY (Colorado State Press release for June 5, 1998) FORT COLLINS--In a report released today, Colorado State University hurricane forecaster William Gray said a fading El Nino will help produce more hurricane activity this year than in 1997. However, storm totals should only constitute what is considered average for the past 50 years, he said. The faster-than-expected disappearance of the strongest El Nino on record will eliminate a factor that works against hurricane formation. The El Nino phenomenon caused last year's season to be unusually quiet. Gray's third report of the 1998 season calls for 10 tropical storms to form in the Atlantic Basin through Nov. 30. Six tropical storms will evolve into hurricanes and two will go on to become intense hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or more. Gray and his team initially predicted nine tropical storms, five hurricanes and two major or Andrew-type intense hurricanes in their initial report last December and increased their forecast total of storms and hurricanes to 10 and six, respectively, in an early April update. On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.2 intense hurricanes form annually. "The basis of our forecast is that the El Nino, the strongest one we've ever had by nearly a factor of two, is fading out fast and should be dissipated by the start of the active part of the hurricane season in mid-August," Gray said. "We may even have some slightly cool water in the eastern equatorial Pacific by the height of the hurricane season in September. So we don't think El Nino will be a significant inhibiting factor this year." Last year's hurricane activity was suppressed by what turned out to be the strongest El Nino ever recorded during the peak hurricane months of August to October. In today's update, Gray and his colleagues predict that the fading of El Nino, plus other climate changes favorable to storm formation, will combine to produce a season with more hurricane activity than last year. "We think we'll see a slightly above-average number of named storms, slightly above average for the hurricanes and slightly below average for major storms," Gray said. "So I would characterize it as an average season in terms of the last 48 years." However, Gray said, taken in light of the "remarkable downturn" in storms evident in the period from 1970 to 1994, this year's numbers represent activity busier than what has been seen during most years in recent decades. While the El Nino phenomenon sometimes is followed by a condition in the eastern Pacific called La Nina, Gray said data suggest that if the cold water does appear in the eastern equatorial Pacific, it will probably do so too late to have much effect on the hurricane season, which ends by November. Several climatic factors beside the fading of El Nino appear favorable to formation of storms this year. These include above-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical north Atlantic and a ridge of eastern Atlantic air near the Azores Islands in the North Atlantic that has remained weak since last October. This reduced high pressure causes weaker East Atlantic trade winds and is more favorable for hurricane development in the following season, according to Gray. One of the uncertainties in the 1998 forecast involves rainfall in the Western Sahel region of Africa. When this region is wetter than normal, it typically promotes hurricane formation and the season's net hurricane activity will be increased. When dryer than normal conditions are present in this region, hurricane activity typically is inhibited.. Although information on rainfall in the Sahel region of West Africa isn't clear, "We're pretty sure it's not going to be dry this year," Gray said. Recent drier-than-average conditions in this region were brought on by El Nino and therefore should not be considered an indication that 1998 hurricane activity will be greatly reduced, according to the team's report. As of the end of May, the only negative factor for hurricane formation is the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, the equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000 to 75,000 feet that are expected to blow from an easterly direction this summer. This easterly flow tends to inhibit hurricane development. When the QBO blows in a westerly direction, there is typically 50 percent to 75 percent more hurricane activity, according to Gray. Throughout the season Gray and research team members Chris Landsea at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Hurricane Research Division in Miami, Fla., and Colorado State faculty members Paul Mielke and Kenneth Berry also take into account temperature and pressure readings in West Africa, Caribbean Sea-level pressure readings, temperature readings above Singapore at about 54,000 feet and tropospheric winds at 40,000 feet. Gray's hurricane forecasts - issued annually in early December, April, June and August - do not predict landfall and apply only to the Atlantic Basin, the area encompassing the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. Although El Nino suppressed hurricane activity last year, statistics show that the period between 1995-1997 still was the busiest three-year period for hurricane activity on record. The three-year span generated 39 named storms, 23 hurricanes (12 of which were intense) and 107 hurricane days. Based on that record, Gray theorizes that the Atlantic Basin is entering an era that will see many decades of increased hurricane activity and which will include particularly intense or major hurricanes. HURRICANE FORECASTS--1998 SEASON TODAY'S 4/98 12/97 1. Named Storms (9.3)* 10 10 9 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 50 50 40 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 6 6 5 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 25 20 20 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 2 2 2 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 4 4 3 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6)** 70 65 50 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 100% 95% 90% '97 ACTUAL 8/97 6/97 4/97 12/96 1. Named Storms (9.3) 7 11 11 11 11 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 28 45 55 55 55 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 3 6 7 7 7 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 10 20 25 25 25 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 1 2 3 3 3 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 2.2 3 5 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 26 60 75 75 75 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 54% 100% 110% 110% 110% * Number in ( ) represents average year totals based on 1950-1990. ** Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind- and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category on the Saffir-Simpson scale. [ NOTE: Full version with figures at: ] [ http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts ] [ For more information contact: ] [ Tom Milligan OR ] [ David Weymiller phone: (970) 491-6432 ] [ fax: (970) 491-6433 ] [ e-mail: Tmilligan@vines.colostate.edu ] [ Dweymiller@vines.colostate.edu ] ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "The Florida straits were as dangerous as the Florida Indians. There [was]... the extraordinary danger of hurricanes in the tropic latitudes, that could blow up almost without warning from June to November, gray screaming whirlpools of wind more than a hundred miles an hour, dragging in their centers a mound of sea water and blowing before them the high ungovernable ships like dried leaves onto that deadly line of reef and rock." - _The Everglades: River of Grass_ - 1947 - Marjory Stoneman Douglas (1890-1998) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 11:26:53 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: weather symbol chart Howdy Wx-Talkers!! Does anyone know where I can find a complete weather symbol chart, preferrably in color with a white background, on the web. Image format is not all that important, but a .JPG or .GIF image would make life easier!! Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 16:23:44 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: AP Article Well...fairly accurate yes, Rob..but as you and I know...they tend to "stretch the truth" quite a bit. As a student trainee meteorologist at the State College, PA office..I felt compelled to clarify a few things in this office. Aside from conducting 3 tornado damage surveys myself this week, I have been involved in the long task of verifying the tornado warnings as well as compiling a storm report. >Fairly accurate overall... Comments included. >=== >Identifying tornadoes not an exact science' >BY KRISTEN HAYS >Associated Press Writer >PITTSBURGH (AP) -- Strong swirling winds, funnel clouds, heavy rain and >hail. >Must be a tornado, right? >Not necessarily. >While the National Weather Service issues warnings of storms and tornadoes, >its expert meteorologists could discover a few hours later that the >``tornado'' was just strong wind, said weather service meteorologist Peter >Young in State College. For the record, Pete's last name is JUNG..not Young :) Yes, I have to agree with that statement. The doppler radar doesn't see a tornado but rather detects rotation in a storm using the doppler effect to determine the movement of echo returns (radar/hail) with respect to the radar itself. Therefore..it is possible to have a rotating thunderstorm without any confirmation of a tornado touchdown. This is where SkyWarn Storm Spotting is extremely useful. >Sunday night advisories warned of storms with tornadoes in Washington and >Fayette counties, but a closer look at downed trees and other damage >revealed those storms were ``all wind and hail,'' said Rich Kane, >meteorologist with Pittsburgh's weather service office. >Note she says "advisories" for "warnings" -- and advisory was one of the >terms mentioned here as a replacement for watch] I don't know where this statement came from..but the 1148AM PNS (Public Information Statement (WMO header ABUS34)) confirms an F2 tornado in Fayette Cty. and a second F0 later that evening). Secondly, the "advisories" Ms. Hays mentions are actually an SVS or Severe Weather Statement (WMO header WWUS34). During an event...the NWS offices issue SVSs which are transmitted over the Wx Radio for a few purposes: 1.) To summarize all warnings in effect 2.) To update any locations that may be in the path of a severe thunderstorm ofr tornado. 3.) To pass along any confirmations or sighting of severe hail, wind, or tornados as seen by spotters or other emergency management officials. >On Tuesday, Pittsburgh's center sent out 11 advisories for possible >tornadoes spotted in Allegheny, Westmoreland, Beaver and Fayette counties. Correct... >Of those, Kane said, four were tornadoes. The strongest, with 160 mph winds, >hit Donegal near the Seven Springs ski resort in Westmoreland County. Three >weaker tornadoes with 100-110 mph winds hit Raccoon Township in Beaver >County; Pittsburgh's Mount Washington neighborhood to Irwin in Westmoreland >County; and southeast of McKeesport in Allegheny County. As of noontime on Friday...7 tornadoes have been confirmed in the NWS PIT county warning area. Unfortunately, storm surveys take a few days to complete because of the lack of man power at any given office (someone has to write the forecasts, collect the data, and issue any further statements). Therefore, the writer failed to give the office ample time to collect further survey data to add to their report. PIT and CTP (State College Office) are still conducting damage surveys at this moment. Noting the amount of forest area across central and western PA, some tornado damage may never be found..or only be found by the use of aircraft. >State College's weather service office sent out 17 tornado advisories >Tuesday night in several counties. Its meteorologists have confirmed that a >tornado touched down in West Salisbury -- which was hit by an earlier >twister on Sunday, killing a 13-year-old girl -- and in Blair and >Northumberland counties. Others have yet to be confirmed. Unfortunately, we not only confirmed this tornado that touched down in Somerset county..killing one girl...but on Tuesday night..possibly as many as *3* more tornadoes touches down over the same area. 2 of these 3 additional have been confirmed at this point...one an F3 which went on to become an F4 (the strongest tornado ever to hit the state of Maryland). To this point..the State College office has confirmed 8 tornadoes from the May 31st event...and 8 from the June 2nd event...an amended list of these confirmations to date is currently being compiled as a PNS (Public Info Statement) and will be issued later tonight or tomorrow. >``When you put out a tornado warning, you have an 80 percent false alarm >rate,'' said Mark Tobin, a meteorologist with AccuWeather in State College, >a private weather forecasting company. >[Is that accurate? Not that AccuWeather would want to put down NWS ;> ] Rob..you're right on there...have no idea WHAT on earth Accuwx is talking about. In fact...according to our calculations...we have already verified 80% ofthe warnings issued..an incredibly high ratio. Oddly enough, I was contacted by an employee from Accuwx early on Wednesday to give them tornado confirmation data...oh well... >``You don't want to underwarn, because that's when people get hurt,'' Tobin >said. ``But when you overwarn, people think you're crying wolf. I don't >think there's a happy little medium in there. It's still not yet a precise >science.'' Mr Tobin is correct there...maybe by the time I die we'll be able to perfectly warn every tornado...but for now...we do our best using the tools at hand which have improved drastically in the last 10 years...model resolution getting better, doppler radar, public/media awareness, and better trained forecasters. >Young said two factors trigger the weather service to put out a tornado >warning. For the record once again...Pete's last name is Jung..not Young :) >The first is a credible report from a tornado spotter -- someone who has >taken a weather spotting class, or a public safety official, such as a >county emergency management worker or a firefighter. >[Note that word from safety officials is taken as gold, whether or not that >safety official knows the different between stratus and a tornado] Rob..I don't know about Ohio..but here in PA...EMA officials are supposed to be trained skywarn spotters..as are most of the police, fire, and rescue personnel. >The second is a severe storm noted on radar, though radar rarely picks up >actual tornadoes. Rather, it can see a storm, and meteorologists gauge the >storm's severity to determine if it may have a tornado. >[Seems a little too "dumbed down"] Mr Hayes took Mr Jung out of context..what else is new...dumbing out the article to avoid any "science" it seems. I think I clarified this above on how the doppler works in Laymens terms. >``Occasionally, even a public report may trigger a tornado warning,'' Young >said. ``It becomes a judgment call at that point. Most of the time we take >reports pretty seriously, especially if radar incidates severe >thunderstorm.'' Correct...most of the surveys we conducted were infact from public reports..not spotters...and most of them were confirmed tornado touchdowns. The general public is not stupid and shouldn't be dismissed as being that either during a tornado outbreak. >Tobin said weather service meteorologists confirm whether storms had >tornadoes or straight winds by examining damage and debris, both on the >ground and from the air. Lord knows why she asked Accuwx this question since it is the duty of the NWS to conduct damage surveys for the purpose of collecting climatologic data...and to study the nature of the formation, dynamic structure, and life cycle of tornadoes. >He said a tornado leaves twisting debris scattered at random, like a boat >propeller lodged in a brick wall several miles from the boat. Simple >thunderstorm winds tend to leave debris in a pattern, like the space opened >up on a lawn by a mower. Ummm...that is one pretty ugly looking analogy. While tornado damage tends to show convergent damage swaths with trees falling in a multitude of directions..and other debris being scattered for yards or even miles....the damage of the "simple thunderstorm" (altho I don't consider any thunderstorm that produces widespread wind damage simple) tends to show damage patterns in a straight line..(i.e. that from straight line winds or a downburst as rain cooled air plummets towards the surface..and being denser than the warm air at the surface..tends to rapidly accelerate and spread out causing sometimes extensive damage with winds as strong as a moderate tornado). Because of the difference in damage patterns...all the trees falling the same way as opposed to a convergent pattern...we can differentiate between the damage of a tornado and straight line winds. As for the "space opened up by a lawn mower" comment by Mr Tobin...I've seen a "swath" of damage occur from both effects. >Jim Purpura, a chief meteorologist with the weather service's national >headquarters in Norman, Okla., said meteorologists rely on storm spotters >because their radars see storms about 1,000 feet in the air, but not on the >ground. >[NWS HQ is not in Oklahoma, and Jim is the WCM at Norman] Thanks for the clarification Rob (WCM is Warning Coordination Meteorologist). Jim is correct...if the doppler was at ground level..it would hit buildings, trees, etc...and we'd never see any data. However, almost all tornadoes have rotation which extends into the mid level of the atmosphere (say 15,000 feet). Storm spotter reports are very important in areas surrounded by mountains as well as areas far from the radar site as the beam which is at a slight angle can overshoot thunderstorm rotation at long distances (luckily..the coverage of radars across the country prevents this for the most part). >The chance that even the most trained spotters will think they see a tornado >when they don't means the weather service often warns of tornadoes that >aren't there -- though a fast and heavy storm can be almost as dangerous. Ummm...insert commas please...rarely does a trained spotter report a hail shaft or other phenomena as a tornado..hence why they're trained. Aside from tornadoes...I personally witnessed extensive damage in Warren county from a 100+ mph downburst on Monday. You don't need a tornado to obliterate a barn (as I hope to have pictures of shortly)..and that's why the public should adhere to severe thunderstorm warnings as well. Just because there isn't a tornado doesn't mean extensive damage from hail or straight line winds can't occur. Also, severe thunderstorms can occasionally produce tornadoes with little warning. >``If one or the other will happen -- a tornado without warning, or a warning >without a tornado -- we prefer that a warning happen without a tornado,'' >Purpura said. ``We do everything we can to prevent unwarned events.'' I agree 100% with that statement...better to take cover for 30 minutes or an hour and be missed..then to sit in the living room watching TV and seconds later your house is torn from it's foundation without warning. Disclaimer...my above statements, views, beliefs do not in any way reflect those of the National Weather Service or the views of those held by memeber of the State College, Pittsburgh, or Storms Prediction Center Offices. Evan Bookbinder Student Trainee Meteorologist National Weather Service, State College, PA evan.bookbinder@noaa.gov ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jun 1998 to 5 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Jun 8 10:12:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4909 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626518-11327>; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 13:14:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21792; Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:08:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199806070508.AAA21792@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 00:03:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1998 to 6 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3f440d6033d221301d9fe3c771d8db73 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 207 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Interesting series of obs . . . 2. TEST -- IGNORE 3. TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! (3) 4. liquid equivalent of hail 5. Regionalized Eta model images... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 05:58:27 -0700 From: "Stonie R. Cooper" Subject: Interesting series of obs . . . For everyones reading - KVPS 0700Z 32033G51KTS 1/2SM +FC BKN020CB OVC100 21/19 A2992 RMK TORNADO B00 1 NE MOV E= KVPS 0706Z 32042G66KTS 1SM +TSRA BKN020CB OVC100 21/19 A2994 RMK TORNADO DISPTD CONS LTGICCCCACG TS OHD MOV E PRESRR= KVPS 0720Z 31011G18KTS 2SM TSRA BKN020CB OVC100 20/19 A2994 RMK FRQ LTGICCCCACG TS OHD MOV E= KVPS 0750Z 32011KTS 6SM -TSRA FEW010 SCT020CB BKN110 OVC250 21/19 A2993 RMK FRQ LTGICCCCACG TS E MOV E= Stonie Cooper, Planetary Information Corporation Marietta, GA ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 09:10:39 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: TEST -- IGNORE Just making sure traffic levels ARE low and I haven't accidentally been removed again. Ignore. -Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 10:05:02 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! Was watching "The Commercial Channel" this morning...er...I mean "The Weather Channel..." Am I the only one who ever complains about TWC Mets' practices of putting their hands and arms and torsos all over and/or in front of that cell that's developing right on top of you (pick a date, time, and cell)? Good lord! What's with these people? What a waste of time and money on graphics software only to end up standing in front of it all the time. Example: watch how these people treat Florida this morning. Happens far too often. Irritating. Ugh. If/when they ever come out with a _Twister_ farce movie (i.e., _Twisted_), and if they'll take submissions, I think I'll write up a scene which includes TWC mets -- with crossed eyes -- doing just that. In the next cut, a group of family members watching at home while eating dinner at the table will be slowly moving their heads from side to side, in unison, trying to see around the (hand, arm, torso). As well, I think I'll include a scene where the satellite and RADAR images will last just a half-second - and the met will ask with a sadistic grin "Did you see that?" Then we'll cut to closeups of the individual family members' faces, where they look at each other, shake their heads, grunt, and then go back to eating their spagetti dinner. Cut to tornado just outside their home, lightning flashing all about it, about to engulf them... In the next scene, we cut to an construction worker downtown, holding a manual stop/go sign. Every now and then, the worker will look side to side as if to see if anyone is watching and then, with an evil grin, will rotate the sign to a neutral position which neither side of traffic can see. In the background, cars can be heard smashing into each other while the worker lights a cigarette, chuckling. Cut again to tornado, slowly approaching the city. After a few seconds, the father of the aforementioned family flies into view, upside-down, still holding his spagetti dinner in his hands and licking the plate with no concern about what is happening to him. Next scene, we cut to a news crew attempting to chase the approaching storm. They're driving down the highway - lotsa traffic behind them. Suddenly, they decide to stop in the middle of the road. While the crew gets out of the vehicle and begins to set up their cameras right there on the road to record the storm, the vehicles behind them begin to pile up with incessant loud crashes and bangs. So what think? Should I submit it? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 10:13:51 -0400 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: liquid equivalent of hail How does the NWS measure the amount of liquid water that falls in a hailstorm? Shawn Trueman _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 10:21:48 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! > Am I the only one who ever complains about TWC Mets' practices of putting > their hands and arms and torsos all over and/or in front of that cell that's > developing right on top of you (pick a date, time, and cell)? Good lord! > What's with these people? What a waste of time and money on graphics > software only to end up standing in front of it all the time. Example: > watch how these people treat Florida this morning. The purpose of a TV weathercaster is not to show people the graphics, but to sell the viewer on himself. The viewing public wants to see a person -- graphics are second nature. The viewing public does not have to see a cell on radar to know if it's tornadic -- that's why the weathercaster tells them "Tornado Warning for xxx County." Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 10:28:33 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! You may want to submit this one to Imagine TV (you know, the Ford people). I, too, have the same gripe about TWC folks standing right in front of a beautiful hook echo in western Maryland, describing the tornado warnings in detail while I'm watching a rain-free radar in SE Virginia. And, you know, no matter how you lean and stretch on your couch, you're never going to see around the OCM. Geesh!!!! Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia "Close to the East Coast Tornado Alley" Once Upon a Time, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > Was watching "The Commercial Channel" this morning...er...I mean "The > Weather Channel..." > > Am I the only one who ever complains about TWC Mets' practices of putting > their hands and arms and torsos all over and/or in front of that cell that's > developing right on top of you (pick a date, time, and cell)? Good lord! > What's with these people? What a waste of time and money on graphics > software only to end up standing in front of it all the time. Example: > watch how these people treat Florida this morning. > > Happens far too often. Irritating. Ugh. [Big scissors used here] > Todd > > /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ > | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | > | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | > | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | > | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | > \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 16:39:35 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: Regionalized Eta model images... Hi, I have begun sending the regionalized Eta model graphics to the UNCC server. You can find them at: http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/wxp/eta/ I have been asked about the 3Z/18Z new 32km Eta runs. I will probably not be able to add these until we get the NOAAPORT receive station, which will be in about 8 months. Our connection to the OSO server is so congested during the day now that I can't ftp all the data necessary to create the new Eta model graphics. Also I am now sending the Aviation Tropical products out to 72 hours. I will add the MRF tropical products out to 384hrs soon. I am trying determain how much bandwidth I have to work with and how many graphics I can send per day, but so far so good. Mike Dross mwdross@duke-energy.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1998 to 6 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4501 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626829-28930>; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 13:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA50810; Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:14:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199806080514.AAA50810@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 00:05:31 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1998 to 7 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4da06ac500d050fd90b0fb59548191dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 480 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my (7) 2. TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! 3. TWC (3) 4. liquid equivalent of hail 5. The Louisville TV Weather Scene +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:03:12 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my > "Todd L. Sherman" wrote: > > Am I the only one who ever complains about TWC Mets' practices of putting > > their hands and arms and torsos all over and/or in front of that cell that's > > developing right on top of you (pick a date, time, and cell)? Good lord! > Robert P Dale wrote: > The purpose of a TV weathercaster is not to show people the graphics, but to > sell the viewer on himself. The viewing public wants to see a person -- > graphics are second nature. The viewing public does not have to see a cell Robert Dale points out a belief shared by the producers at both stations I worked at (KTXS in Abilene and AFKN in Seoul, Korea), and probably one that permeates most of the industry. Both times when I first started I was even asked to occupy as much of the screen as possible! However I would go one further and say that not only are the viewers apathetic with most graphics -- they actually could care less about what transpires on the screen, period. After all, if the maps don't mean a lot, you're just looking at the same old weatherman for two minutes. Most viewers are locked onto the forecaster's verbal presence and sift their information from what's being said. So I strong feel there's a LOT of room to accommodate those who -do- want to see the graphics (the sharp viewers, those with vested interests, weather buffs, fishermen, etc). A good, solid verbal delivery is critical, but there is no excuse to neglect the visual presentation. This includes covering up important (relevant) elements with one's body or obscuring an animation in progress. Doing so shows poor technique or simply a general lack of awareness. Todd, you may want to send your letter to the Weather Channel's executive producer directly. It may just be a drop in the bucket, but at least it will be more effective than talking about it here on the list. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 03:20:02 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! On Sat, 6 Jun 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > The purpose of a TV weathercaster is not to show people the graphics, but to > sell the viewer on himself. The viewing public wants to see a person -- > graphics are second nature. The viewing public does not have to see a cell > on radar to know if it's tornadic -- that's why the weathercaster tells them > "Tornado Warning for xxx County." ...Oh. NOW I get it. (Nyuk, nyuk, nyuk!) ;-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 04:05:19 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my On Sun, 7 Jun 1998, Tim Vasquez wrote: > Robert Dale points out a belief shared by the producers at both stations > I worked at (KTXS in Abilene and AFKN in Seoul, Korea), and probably one > that permeates most of the industry. Both times when I first started > I was even asked to occupy as much of the screen as possible! Gawd! I thought Bob was _joking_. You mean this is on PURPOSE? Sheesh! > Todd, you may want to send your letter to the Weather Channel's executive > producer directly. It may just be a drop in the bucket, but at least it > will be more effective than talking about it here on the list. Well, I've recieved enough responses from TWC personnel in the past to know that putting out a verbal here is just as good as sending one to the TWC President. ;-) They do linger here, which was part of the thought process. ;-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 04:51:51 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my In message , you said: "Todd L. Sherman" writes: >On Sun, 7 Jun 1998, Tim Vasquez wrote: > >> Robert Dale points out a belief shared by the producers at both stations >> I worked at (KTXS in Abilene and AFKN in Seoul, Korea), and probably one >> that permeates most of the industry. Both times when I first started >> I was even asked to occupy as much of the screen as possible! > > Gawd! I thought Bob was _joking_. You mean this is on PURPOSE? Sheesh! Can this really be a bad thing if the weathercaster in question is, say, Kristina Abernathy? ;-) William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 06:39:38 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my On Sun, 7 Jun 1998, William Kucharski wrote: > Can this really be a bad thing if the weathercaster in question is, say, > Kristina Abernathy? ;-) Ask your wife/girlfriend :) Personally, I can't think of any attractive male OCMs at TWC. Kevan Ramen (sp) was the last one and that was *years* ago. John ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 10:24:29 -0500 From: dohiggi Subject: Re: TWC A > Date: Sat, 6 Jun 1998 10:21:48 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! > > > Am I the only one who ever complains about TWC Mets' practices of > putting > > their hands and arms and torsos all over and/or in front of that cell > that's > > developing right on top of you (pick a date, time, and cell)? Good lord! > > What's with these people? What a waste of time and money on graphics > > software only to end up standing in front of it all the time. Example: > > watch how these people treat Florida this morning. > > The purpose of a TV weathercaster is not to show people the graphics, but to > sell the viewer on himself. The viewing public wants to see a person -- > graphics are second nature. The viewing public does not have to see a cell > on radar to know if it's tornadic -- that's why the weathercaster tells them > "Tornado Warning for xxx County." > > Rob > > ------------------------------ Great point Rob. While graphics are obviously important the message outweights everything else. What would Joe Q public(or Jane) find more valuable, a radar image with a hook echo, or a meteorologist on the screen (with the radar image) telling them their County is under a Tornado Warning and they should take cover immediately. As a TV meteorologist I have found the public needs their severe weather information as quick and easy to understand as possible. Sure all us on this WX-TALK are weather junkies wanting as much information as possible. Get me a Vel2 product with gate to gate and I'm happy as pie. But my job as a TV meteorologist is to inform the public, the weather graphic are intended to back me up. If folks are looking for indepth weather graphics or discussions get on-line. TWC gets a thumbs up from me. Doug ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 12:54:02 -0500 From: Douglas Butts Subject: Re: liquid equivalent of hail > How does the NWS measure the amount of liquid water that falls in a > hailstorm? > > > Shawn Trueman As I recall, Shawn, hail is treated like snowfall when it comes to measuring the amount. On the climatological forms, there is a column for amount/depth of snowfall (can't recall which) and it's entered there. For example, if hail covered the ground to a depth of 1.5 inches, that'd be the number you'd enter. That's in addition to recording the size of the hailstone (which isn't carried in METAR obs...it gets its own observation). As far as I can recall, though, the only liquid that is recorded that way is that which falls as rain. Then again, it has been 3 years since I've had to take an observation during a hail-producing tstm. :) Doug ----- This message was written using my own computer while not on duty. ...Standard Disclaimer Applies... ----------------Douglas A. Butts, Jr. ** Meteorologist------------------ Meteorologist (SCEP) ** NWSFO Austin/San Antonio (New Braunfels, TX) Graduate Student ** Texas A&M University dbutts@nimbus.met.tamu.edu My Homepage ** http://www.geocities.com/CollegePark/Quad/9306 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 16:04:16 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: TWC On Sun, 7 Jun 1998, dohiggi wrote: > Great point Rob. While graphics are obviously important the message > outweights everything else. What would Joe Q public(or Jane) find more > valuable, a radar image with a hook echo, or a meteorologist on the > screen (with the radar image) telling them their County is under a > Tornado Warning and they should take cover immediately. As a TV > meteorologist I have found the public needs their severe weather > information as quick and easy to understand as possible. Sure all us on > this WX-TALK are weather junkies wanting as much information as > possible. Get me a Vel2 product with gate to gate and I'm happy as pie. > But my job as a TV meteorologist is to inform the public, the weather > graphic are intended to back me up. If folks are looking for indepth > weather graphics or discussions get on-line. > TWC gets a thumbs up from me. Well, how can they back you up if you have your (hand, butt, torso, or, er, uh...32D) in front of it as you describe the threat? That's "public service?" I still say that's like holding your hand in front of the light when it goes red, and saying "notice how we're supposed to stop now." :) "Where? Stop...where? I...I can't see...Where's the..." [flip! screen changes to local temps] I don't find that helpful at all. You're justifying generalizations where specifics are right there. If you're going to block them out, save yourself some money: sell your graphics software, your RADAR, and your linkups to satellite imagery, because you don't need them. There's no point to having them. You have everything you need: the met's "handsome voice" to help you through your weather day. For that matter, sell the TV station because you can do the same thing by using AM or FM radio. As for getting online instead, I guess you're right. Let's all sell our home TVs, too? My point is this: The Weather Channel is a 24-hour weather-dedicated channel. Wouldn't you expect a weather-dedicated channel to go a little more in-depth? to show a little bit more? ...and then, to allow you to SEE it, too? I'm not kidding...TWC is often far worse than some local stations at covering up the visuals with (fill in the body part). When TWC first advertised itself and first came out, I thought "Finally! We'll get better coverage." I haven't really found that. I've seen plenty of...what almost seems like "auditioning," though. If I want generalizations and don't really care about the graphics, I can find that in my local TV station. TWC should be better than that. Of course, its all just one person's opinion. I don't know how many others may or may not agree. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 18:43:43 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: TWC Yes...and not only that, we $$pay$$ our cable or satellite providers for the privilege of viewing The Weather Channel. You can watch your local "talking head" for free. Therefore, TWC should strive to provide a better service to its paying clientele than that which is provided by your local, beer-and-car-commercial-infested, over-the-air free TV. 'Nough said! I've been guilty of bashing The Weather Channel on this forum several times in the past; therefore, I'll shut up after this post and reserve comment for more worthy weather-related items (like: why should I make a two-day drive to the Plains when Tornado Alley has moved nearly to my back door this year?). The Weather Channel is by-and-large a good service; however, it is not a *perfect* service. A few gripes from us are well-deserved at times. Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia "If it is difficult, it HAS been done. If it is impossible, it WILL be done!" - Evel Knievel (date unknown) Once Upon a Time, Todd L. Sherman wrote: [snip] > My point is this: The Weather Channel is a 24-hour weather-dedicated > channel. Wouldn't you expect a weather-dedicated channel to go a little > more in-depth? to show a little bit more? ...and then, to allow you to SEE > it, too? I'm not kidding...TWC is often far worse than some local stations > at covering up the visuals with (fill in the body part). > > When TWC first advertised itself and first came out, I thought "Finally! > We'll get better coverage." I haven't really found that. I've seen plenty > of...what almost seems like "auditioning," though. > > If I want generalizations and don't really care about the graphics, I can > find that in my local TV station. TWC should be better than that. > > Of course, its all just one person's opinion. I don't know how many > others may or may not agree. > > Todd > > /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ > | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | > | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | > | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | > | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | > \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:00:00 -0400 From: Michael Powell Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my On Sun, 7 Jun 1998, William Kucharski wrote: > Can this really be a bad thing if the weathercaster in question is, say, > Kristina Abernathy? ;-) I'm partial to Jill Brown myself. She can block anything on the screen with any part of her body she wants. ;) Cheryl Lemke is not bad, either. Of course, I would probably feel differently if it were one of them that were on the other day, pretty much ignoring the severe WX that was going on here at that particular moment. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:01:12 -0400 From: Michael Powell Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my > Ask your wife/girlfriend :) Personally, I can't think of any attractive > male OCMs at TWC. Kevan Ramen (sp) was the last one and that was *years* > ago That name sounds familiar. I think he is on one of the Louisville, KY, stations now. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 22:45:18 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos..Oh my On Sun, 7 Jun 1998, Michael Powell wrote: > > Ask your wife/girlfriend :) Personally, I can't think of any attractive > > male OCMs at TWC. Kevan Ramen (sp) was the last one and that was *years* > > ago > > That name sounds familiar. I think he is on one of the Louisville, KY, > stations now. I know there used to be a Kevin Ramer who used wo be on WLKY-TV some time ago (he's now at a Lexington area station, offhand). There *are* new weatherfolk at WHAS-TV and WAVE-TV that are new hires-- WAVE's got a temp from Alabama (the third meterologist there, Craig Edwards, quit) for a few months, and WHAS hired a fellow from Oklahoma. I don't know the names of the new folks, though, offhand. :P It *was* interesting with the new WHAS fellow, though--possibly one of the few times the phrase "tail-end Charlie" has ever been used in describing tornadic storms in the Ohio Valley. :) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 23:33:02 -0400 From: Michael Harpe Subject: The Louisville TV Weather Scene Kevan Ramer is not in Lexington permanently unless something's changed. He's freelancing last I heard. He was at TWC several years ago. He left WLKY last December when his contract was not picked up. Jay Cardosi is the new head man at WLKY. Jay came to Louisville from a sister station in Omaha. WAVE-TV, the NBC affiliate, lost Norm Lewis after several years due to a battleaxe news director who is running everyone with talent out of there. I heard recently that Norm was on a station in or near Memphis, TN. Layne Mason, weekend man at WLKY and a real nice guy, is moving to WKRC Cincinatti (sp?). Layne let me hang out in the weather center at WLKY and taught me a lot about reading radar. Layne is the real thing in severe weather coverage, having done a stint in Oklahoma. I wish him well. So...the lineup right now is... WHAS - Ken Schultz, Beth Andrews, Andy Winegarden (sp?), Chris Phillips and Reed Yadon WLKY - Jay Cardosi and Jay O'Brien WAVE - Tom Wills, John Belski (contract up this year, could be interesting given problems at WAVE) and some guy who is a forecaster at UPS and probably the most educated and qualified meterologist on the air in this market. WAVE is having real talent problems right now. WDRB - Tammy Garrison, Tara Bassett and the fine folks at AccuWeather. Some personal opinions... Louisville is gadget happy right now like most other markets. WLKY has the best radar and Jay seems to know how to use it in his presentation. They are all getting the "3d fly in" graphics boxes. All stations do a credible job covering severe weather although WHAS has a tendency to sensationalize rather minor events. This is more a symptom of a larger problem with "tabloid-itis" that has really ruined a once fine station. WAVE has Belski and Wills, the veterans of the market and two of the few high quality talent they have left. Belski was at WLKY and was recruited by WAVE several years ago. Wills has been at WAVE since the 60's and will probably never leave. These two did a really classic show when we had our last tornado. I wish I had a tape of this coverage. My money is on Belski leaving at the end of his contract. Everyone else is. Watch WLKY. They are building a new addition, buying great hardware and hiring first class people. Jay does a great job. I look for even bigger and better things from WLKY. WDRB is a former independent that is building up it's news operation under the capable hand of WHAS veteran Hal Stopfel. Tammy Garrison has nice presentation and I would be interested to see what she would do given the tools that the big guns have. They use AccuWeather for their data and graphics. It looks OK but is still a "show in a can". Look for more from WDRB as they add morning and noon newscasts. That's a quick once-over of Louisville right now. We have had a rather active season so far. I'll post updates as things change here. Mike Harpe, N4PLE Louisville, KY ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1998 to 7 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Jun 13 12:53:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3639 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628073-8348>; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 15:59:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA26058; Tue, 9 Jun 1998 02:21:28 -0500 Message-Id: <199806090721.CAA26058@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 01:07:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jun 1998 to 8 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b785d5a1952448f11a181c728b19ec98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 381 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TWC (3) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1998 to 7 Jun 1998 (2) 3. Storm Shelters 4. TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! (3) 5. Speaking of the TWC... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 02:03:31 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TWC > > that permeates most of the industry. Both times when I first started > > I was even asked to occupy as much of the screen as possible! > > Can this really be a bad thing if the weathercaster in question is, say, > Kristina Abernathy? ;-) Well... in THAT case, a little map blocking doesn't bother me a bit. :) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 07:41:07 EDT From: J Howell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1998 to 7 Jun 1998 In a message dated 98-06-08 01:05:53 EDT, you write: > WAVE - Tom Wills, John Belski (contract up this year, could be interesting > given problems at WAVE) Just FYI, some might find it interesting to know that Belski is also a volunteer firefighter across the river in Indiana (New Albany Twp. VFD). He lives north of New Albany. Jeff Howell EMT, W9SAR, et al ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 09:08:25 -0400 From: Keith Ebbecke Subject: Storm Shelters Hi All, My name is Keith Ebbecke and I live in Conesus, NY. Last week we had some very severe weather very very close to my home. Meso storms were lined up for 150 miles to the west and a F2 Tornado wizzed by too close for comfort. An F4 touched down about 60 miles away. I never thought about putting a storm shelter in western New York until now. I need some help. What location around my house with respect to the prevailing winds (SW-NE) do I place the shelter. Also, I don't have a basement and the bedrock is close to the surface, so I will have to build a shelter above ground. Any ideas? Jerrel TX has the same problem, what did they do after the F5 went through? BTW, this weekend I purchased a Radio Shack programmable weather alert radio. Thanks for any help. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 12:59:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! Robert P Dale wrote... >The purpose of a TV weathercaster is not to show people the graphics, but to >sell the viewer on himself. The viewing public wants to see a person -- >graphics are second nature. The viewing public does not have to see a cell >on radar to know if it's tornadic -- that's why the weathercaster tells them >"Tornado Warning for xxx County." TWC must perform a juggling act in order to please its very diverse, *national*, audience. TWC is also a business and therefore it's important to keep the sponsors happy. One way of doing this is by having friendly, knowledgeable, and understandable talent explaining the situation. One should never assume that viewers have a clue as to what they are looking at when radar is shown. The OCM's job is to put things into context, describe movement and trends, and pass along additional facts (like touchdowns and damage reports). To do this effectively, the OCM generally must be on camera. I do, however, like the use of the telestrator (the electronic marking pen often seen in sports shows) because none of the picture is blocked. Perhaps it could be used more when really severe weather is threatening a specific area. However, that said, an OCM's facial characteristics, mannerisms, and eye contact can convey a lot of information as to the seriousness of the threat that may help motivate viewers to seek shelter. Six of one, half a dozen of the other. OCMs however, must be aware of what side of the screen they should be standing on to best illustrate a weather feature (be it radar or a map) without blocking important information. This only with practice and with knowing your presentation backwards and forwards. While TWC has made great efforts to disassociate themselves with being located in the Atlanta area (notice that even Dave Schwartz says "you folks in Atlanta" as opposed to his characteristic "we here in xxxxx"), I still see a number of big storms on radar being overlooked by the OCMs when they are not near a major city (DFW, CHI, NYC, ...etc) or when they are isolated and not part of a weather watch. I realize that it's beneficial to concentrate on major population centers but for those of us living in rural areas it's kind of disappointing to see trivial coverage given to our severe storms while the OCM spends 20 seconds talking about drizzle in Chicago. The bottom line is that we weather geeks and emergency managers make up only a small portion of the overall viewing audience. It's unlikely everyone will be happy all the time. However, TWC is obviously listening to suggestions people are making. Case in point, the crappy green map backgrounds that we all bitched about late last year sure didn't last long. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 14:33:35 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: Speaking of the TWC... Chris Novy on 06/08/98 01:59:33 PM Please respond to Chris Novy To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK cc: (bcc: Michael W Dross/Cust/DukePower) Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! >TWC must perform a juggling act in order to please its very diverse, >*national*, audience. TWC is also a business and therefore it's important >to keep the sponsors happy. One way of doing this is by having friendly, >knowledgeable, and understandable talent explaining the situation. One >should never assume that viewers have a clue as to what they are looking >at when radar is shown. The OCM's job is to put things into context, >describe movement and trends, and pass along additional facts (like >touchdowns and damage reports). To do this effectively, the OCM generally >must be on camera...... The reference to "OCM" (On Camera Meteorologist) to me is kinda funny since many of the weather channel on air personalities are not degree'd meteorologist. I think this contributes to "OCI" (On Camera Ignorance). The most aggravating thing to me is to watch Lisa Mozer try an articulate some type of meteorological explanation. She clearly is someone who takes a little bit of knowledge pretends to be an on air expert. I wonder what other types of professions, besides TV weather that attracts so many unqualified individuals who feel that they can become successful. I wonder if there are a lot of people thinking they can become engineers or doctors without any substantial education in that field. I wonder what market forces have come to bear that have allowed the "OCM" position to be filled by under qualified candidates, non degree'd meteorologist. Otherwise, I really like the weather channel :-) Michael Dross ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 20:33:52 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: TWC On Mon, 8 Jun 1998, Tim Vasquez wrote: > > > that permeates most of the industry. Both times when I first started > > > I was even asked to occupy as much of the screen as possible! > > > > Can this really be a bad thing if the weathercaster in question is, say, > > Kristina Abernathy? ;-) > > Well... in THAT case, a little map blocking doesn't bother me a bit. :) Cute. But, "The Playboy Weather Channel" TWC is not, though. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 18:46:35 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: TWC In message , you said: "Todd L. Sherman" writes: >On Mon, 8 Jun 1998, Tim Vasquez wrote: > >> > > that permeates most of the industry. Both times when I first started >> > > I was even asked to occupy as much of the screen as possible! >> > >> > Can this really be a bad thing if the weathercaster in question is, say, >> > Kristina Abernathy? ;-) >> >> Well... in THAT case, a little map blocking doesn't bother me a bit. :) > > Cute. But, "The Playboy Weather Channel" TWC is not, though. I'll leave THAT one to the collective imaginations of the reading audience, but to bring this thread somewhat back around, the central issue is that TWC is not so much for us as it is for Joe Business watching in an airport or before heading to one. That having been said, the "The Front" series of ads do seem to recognize they have a hardcore (no reference to earlier subject matter meant) audience of WX junkies, so if nothing else, perhaps this thread will result in a bit more use of the telestrator(sp?) seen on sporting events and during large severe WX updates... Besides, if we REALLY want to talk about blocking, there was Sharon Resultan a few months back. ;-) (He ducks...) William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 18:01:51 -0700 From: Richard Van Dijk Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! Chris Novy uttered: Well I still have a major gripe how little TWC discusses the West Coast. (except LA) Last week, as Chris mentioned, they went on and on about the East Coast. How ever, they never did say ANYTHING about the severe thunderstorms rolling through the Pacific Northwest. It caused major flash floods, hail and wind damage, and at least one tornado was spotted. I was looking for any discussion on TWC about it, but other than a quick footnote, two days after the fact, there was nothing. I would be a BIG fan of having TWC East and TWC West. I suspect the entire nation would benefit with better, more specific forecasts, and up-to-date newscasts about weather. Two TWC's should help with Chris's concern also, there would be more time to cover the "burbs". :-) Richard Van Dijk Richard@pcez.com > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Chris Novy > Sent: Monday, June 08, 1998 11:00 AM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! > > > > > > > While TWC has made great efforts to disassociate themselves with being > located in the Atlanta area (notice that even Dave Schwartz says "you > folks in Atlanta" as opposed to his characteristic "we here in xxxxx"), > I still see a number of big storms on radar being overlooked by the OCMs > when they are not near a major city (DFW, CHI, NYC, ...etc) or when they > are isolated and not part of a weather watch. I realize that it's > beneficial to concentrate on major population centers but for those of us > living in rural areas it's kind of disappointing to see trivial coverage > given to our severe storms while the OCM spends 20 seconds talking about > drizzle in Chicago. > > The bottom line is that we weather geeks and emergency managers make up > only a small portion of the overall viewing audience. It's unlikely > everyone will be happy all the time. However, TWC is obviously listening > to suggestions people are making. Case in point, the crappy green map > backgrounds that we all bitched about late last year sure didn't > last long. > > ..Chris.. > *====================================================================* > Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu > Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu > Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) > Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) > Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 > *====================================================================* > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Jun 1998 22:07:42 GMT From: BrandyKitt Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos...Oh my! In article , mike1@PPPwinternet.com (Mike#Schneidr') writes: > You have *no* clue how badly I miss AM Weather. > > Can you imagine it? Running the satellite loop more than *twice*! I used to watch it on both of the local PBS stations in the NE Ohio area. I miss the aviation weather part of the program. Evelyn Duncan BrandyKitt@aol.com This account protected by an attack cat. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:22:20 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1998 to 7 Jun 1998 On Mon, 8 Jun 1998, J Howell wrote: > In a message dated 98-06-08 01:05:53 EDT, you write: > > > WAVE - Tom Wills, John Belski (contract up this year, could be interesting > > given problems at WAVE) > > Just FYI, some might find it interesting to know that Belski is also a > volunteer firefighter across the river in Indiana (New Albany Twp. VFD). He > lives north of New Albany. Floyd Knobs area, specifically. I remember this from a humorous, yet touching, incident in April 1996-ish when we were having a spot of tornadic weather here in the Louisville metro area. The NWS had declared a tornado warning, and the station had received reports that a spotter had seen a tornado on the ground near an old munitions in the area and headed towards Floyd Knobs...Belski, who was on with Tom Wills at the time, announced "Excuse me...I've got to call my wife and kids to make sure they're in the basement! That's headed right for where I live!" As for Tom Wills, he does the meteorology classes at U of L; if he ever left WAVE I'd honestly expect he'd end up going to teaching full time. I have also heard, second-hand, that Wills is known as a "hardman" prof. :) -pb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jun 1998 to 8 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627154-10075>; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 13:24:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45132; Wed, 10 Jun 1998 00:07:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199806100507.AAA45132@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 00:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jun 1998 to 9 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dea2c4ee1ff9de73360b1898ca4df436 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 465 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. more on TWC on West Coast (3) 2. Troll Alert! (was: Re: AP Article) 3. New AWOS Station 4. TWC 5. NASA Unveils New Internet Site for Fire Monitoring by Satellite (fwd) 6. Yahoo Factor Multiplied 7. Too close? 8. TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos... 9. Storm Shelters 10. HK takes warnings seriously.. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 05:48:39 -0400 From: Mike Clay Subject: more on TWC on West Coast Richard Van Dijk wrote: >Well, i still have a major gripe how little TWC discusses the West Coast. Yes, TWC has a major "West Coast" problem. When I was at NorthWest Cable News in Seattle, I quickly learn how unimportant TWC is to folks in the NW. TWC's ratings were so low, the cable system in Seattle pulled them off the air in favor of the weather coverage on NorthWest Cable News. About a year ago I was speaking to an OCM at TWC and mentioned they were no longer on in Seattle. He was shocked, he had no idea they got pulled. I left there about a year ago, I don't know if TWC ever got back on or not. That said, I generally think they do a good job. It was tough living in Seattle without being able to watch TWC. I hear through the tv weather grapevine that their pay scale (once considered a joke in the biz) is getting much better. :) Mike Clay **** Distribution **** To: wx-talk@PO.UIUC.EDU (wx-talk) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 06:57:25 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Troll Alert! (was: Re: AP Article) On Tue, 09 Jun 1998 05:38:31 GMT, Joseph Bartlo wrote: >And don't think you're the exception. Troll. Must be a damnyankee. >Joseph bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 10:02:44 -0700 From: Eric DeFonso Subject: more on TWC on West Coast Mike Clay wrote: >Yes, TWC has a major "West Coast" problem. When I was at NorthWest Cable >News in Seattle, I quickly learn how unimportant TWC is to folks in the >NW. TWC's ratings were so low, the cable system in Seattle pulled them >off the air in favor of the weather coverage on NorthWest Cable News. >About a year ago I was speaking to an OCM at TWC and mentioned they were >no longer on in Seattle. He was shocked, he had no idea they got pulled. >I left there about a year ago, I don't know if TWC ever got back on or >not. I was in Seattle just last weekend, and my friend who has expanded cable had TWC. No idea what it's ratings are, of course....although, my friend (who is a physician) didn't even know which channel it was until I found it myself. Eric DeFonso ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 10:43:12 -0700 From: Bashful Subject: Re: more on TWC on West Coast San Francisco's TWC channel is frequently rented out to paid commercial announcements for doctors specializing in hair replacement therapy. Usually in mid-late afternoon and early prime, when storms are really poppin' back east. As someone who moved here from Indiana last year and can only see a really good storm on video these days, I find it REALLY annoying . . . Eric DeFonso wrote: > > Mike Clay wrote: > > >Yes, TWC has a major "West Coast" problem. When I was at NorthWest Cable > >News in Seattle, I quickly learn how unimportant TWC is to folks in the > >NW. TWC's ratings were so low, the cable system in Seattle pulled them > >off the air in favor of the weather coverage on NorthWest Cable News. > >About a year ago I was speaking to an OCM at TWC and mentioned they were > >no longer on in Seattle. He was shocked, he had no idea they got pulled. > >I left there about a year ago, I don't know if TWC ever got back on or > >not. > > I was in Seattle just last weekend, and my friend who has expanded cable > had TWC. > > No idea what it's ratings are, of course....although, my friend (who is a > physician) didn't even know which channel it was until I found it myself. > > Eric DeFonso > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- Bash - http://home.pacbell.net/bashful7 How can you talk like that? Foolin' yourself, so sad Everyone knows but you -- swallow the lies But soon you'll choke on the truth . . . "House of Mirrors", The Gladhands ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 14:03:58 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New AWOS Station PAGL (Golovin, AK) was added to DDS today. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 00:54:43 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: TWC On Mon, 8 Jun 1998, William Kucharski wrote: > Besides, if we REALLY want to talk about blocking, there was Sharon Resultan > a few months back. ;-) > > (He ducks...) Oh yes. That's right. Fergot to add that one to the list, too... "...hands, arms, torsos...and future U.S. citizens". 8-) Ten years later, in the home of Sharon Resultan, Sharon is talking to her child: "See! That was YOU blocking all of the southeast U.S.!" One year after that, in a school somewhere in America, Sharon's child explains to the class during a Show and Tell session: "...And mommy says that was me blocking all of the southeast United States before I was born." Ten years after that, listing (his?/her?) experience during an interview at a local TV station for the job of Meteorologist: "Oh yes, I've been involved in weather forecasting for a long time. Here's a video of me just before I was born, on The Weather Channel..." 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 18:24:21 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: NASA Unveils New Internet Site for Fire Monitoring by Satellite (fwd) This looked possibly interesting for some of you on the WX-TALK list... /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 12:30:48 -0400 (EDT) Subject: NASA Unveils New Internet Site for Fire Monitoring by Satellite David E. Steitz Headquarters, Washington, DC June 9, 1998 (Phone: 202/358-1730) Lynn Chandler Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD (Phone: 301/286-9016) NOTE TO EDITORS: N98-40 NASA UNVEILS NEW INTERNET SITE FOR FIRE MONITORING BY SATELLITE In an effort to provide up-to-date information about current fire situations around the globe to the public and scientific communities, NASA today unveiled a new presence on the World Wide Web that provides an up-to-date synopsis of current information about fires and their effect on global climate change. This web site features revealing animation depicting wildfires across the globe. The new Web site at URL http://modarch.gsfc.nasa.gov/fire_atlas/fires.html provides recent imagery, analysis of data from the early and mid- 1990s, and a synthesis of a range of satellite information resources that are currently available about terrestrial fires and future global fire monitoring capabilities. The Web site draws upon satellite resources from several U.S. agencies and international partners and is intended to serve the needs of the scientific community and the general public. The recent fires in Mexico and Brazil, and last summer's fires in Indonesia, have heightened public awareness of the importance of natural and human-induced wildfire as a contributor both to regional pollution and global change. Nearly 175 million acres of forest and grasslands are burned each year worldwide. Using data from satellite sensors, aircraft, and ground-based initiatives, scientists are working to develop a new global fire-monitoring program that will enable them to better understand the many implications of this growing problem. Specifically, efforts are underway to quantify the total area of forests and grasslands burned each year and to more accurately estimate the amount of resulting emission products. These newer and better data will facilitate development of more robust computer models that will enhance scientists' abilities to predict how biomass burning will impact climate, the environment and air quality. Since no single satellite or instrument provides optimal characteristics for fire monitoring, data are currently used from several satellite systems. Each system has different capabilities in terms of spatial resolution, sensitivity/saturation level, spectral frequency, overpass time and repeat frequency. Among the agencies and programs represented on this web page are: -- The International Geosphere Biosphere Program using Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) data for 1992/3 from international ground stations. -- The NOAA-National Geophysical Data Center global fire database for 1994/5 using U.S. Air Force Defense Meteorological Satellite Program - Operational Linescan System data. -- A near real-time multi-source fire monitoring system being developed for the U.S. to support the Interagency Fire Center in Boise, ID. -- A near real-time multi-source active fire monitoring system currently being developed at NOAA- National Geophysical Data Center in Boulder, CO, for the current burning season as part of its Significant Event Imagery activity. -- Satellite fire-monitoring systems from Brazil, Russia and Senegal using the countries' own regional AVHRR systems. -- Regional examples of trace gas and particulate emissions from fires in Brazil, Southern Africa and Alaska provided by various research groups. -- Field and aircraft measurements of fires and emissions for satellite data validation as well as new sensing systems and algorithms being developed by various research groups. -end- [For info on subscribing see http://www.nasa.gov/ -Todd] ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 09:05:56 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Yahoo Factor Multiplied What an outbreak yesterday for the southern plains! I was only able to cyber-chase yesterday as it is abit far for a work night. OKC dodged a bullet as a rotating wall cloud passed over downtown. Even the Norman folks got quite a show as well. I thought at one time there was a developing hook signature right over Norman. Any verification would be appreciated. This week looks to be an active one. The one thing that really disturbed me was the TWC video of their chase in Kansas. A tornado was developing just a few hundred yards to their west. You could see the spinup in a field about 100-150 yards to the west. Then, they were bragging about a tornadic circulation moving right over them...you could see the corn field in front of them verifying that. Not once did I hear of any sort of disclaimer about "Don't try this at home folks". Instead, there was some 'elation' conveyed about their close encounter. I don't have to explain to ya'll here about the yahoos watching that video and the message conveyed to those who are new. It is sure to lessen the dangers involved in chasing....desensitizing reality. To be honest, I am really quite miffed about it. After all of the efforts we put into educating and harping about safety, a few moments of video can negate all of that. If anyone from TWC is lurking out there, *please* emphasize to your viewers of just how deadly dangerous this was in getting that close. Myself and I know other chasers would appreciate your assistance in promoting safe and responsible chasing. As long as I am in gripe mode, if tornadoes are on the ground and threatening populated areas, why does the TWC spend time talking about history of the tropics, about nothing developing in the tropics, about some storm affecting India, and European weather? It's just my personal opinion, but can't there be some temporary suspension of the frivolous events at times of impending life-threatening weather for the folks here in the states? TWC used to suspend normal scheduling when severe weather was rampaging across the US. They used to zoom in on dangerous storms and did a pretty good job staying on top of it. With this year being one of the most violent and frequent occurrences of tornadoes, I have to wonder. Why the change? Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 19:01:39 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Too close? WWUS34 KOKC 092300 SVSOKC TXZ089-092315- SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 555 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 1998 ...!TORNADO! WARNING CONTINUES FOR ARCHER COUNTY... AT 546 PM WINDS TO 90 MPH AND BASEBALL HAIL WERE REPORTED 2 MILES SOUTH OF HOLLIDAY.... KNOCKING A SPOTTER VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD. THIS VERY DANGEROUS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH TOWARD THE LAKE ARROWHEAD AREA. RESIDENTS NORTH OF ARCHER CITY AND IN THE LAKE ARROWHEAD AREA ARE URGED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE SEVERE WEATHER PRECAUTIONS. 24 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 16:40:50 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Re: TWC - Hands, and Arms, and Torsos... Richard Van Dijk wrote: > I would be a BIG fan of having TWC East and TWC West. I suspect the entire > nation would benefit with better, more specific forecasts, and up-to-date newscasts > about weather. Two TWC's should help with Chris's concern also, there would > be more time to cover the "burbs". :-) Just out of curiosity, what's the situation in Canada? Last I heard (back around 1993 or 1994) they had their own weather channel, but a lot of WX-TALK'ers weren't happy with it. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 23:20:40 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Storm Shelters > My name is Keith Ebbecke and I live in Conesus, NY. > Last week we had some very severe weather very very close to my home. > Meso storms were lined up for 150 miles to the west and a F2 Tornado wizzed > by too > close for comfort. An F4 touched down about 60 miles away. > > I never thought about putting a storm shelter in western New York until > now. I need some help. > > What location around my house with respect to the prevailing winds (SW-NE) > do I place the shelter. If you want shelter from tornadoes, keep in mind the greatest threat to your safety is flying debris. The best place for the shelter is on the lowest floor of your home near the center. This places as many walls between you and the outside as possible. Next make the walls of the "shelter room" extra thick. People at Texas Tech (Lubbock, Texas) have done research on this and have recommendations for the materials and thickness. Off the top of my head, I think they found 3 inches of plywood could stop a 2x4 thrown at top tornado speeds. Being inside, its also more likely to be used (no going out in the dark and hail/rain) to go to a dank shelter of the old CD variety. > BTW, this weekend I purchased a Radio Shack programmable weather alert radio. > Good idea. All that said is it worth it considering the probabilities and the protection you already have in an interior bathroom (pipes and smaller fixtures already help make it stronger)? I'm not sure. Certainly better benefit-to-cost ratios can be found for smoke and burglar alarms, fire extinguishers, handrails near tub/showers, CO detectors, etc. You can also add "hurricane clips" to your rafters -- keeping the roof on is half the battle. Of course if you're remodelling anyway or can retrofit easily, it might be worth it to add some strength to a shelter room. -Keith -------------------- Keith Brewster, N0IAW personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Jun 1998 23:43:59 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: HK takes warnings seriously.. Monday June 8, 9:07 pm Eastern Time HK Futures Exchange says may be closed due to rain HONG KONG, June 9 (Reuters) - The Hong Kong Futures Exchange said on Tuesday there would be no morning trading session if a black rainstorm signal remained in place at 9:30 a.m. local time (0130 GMT), a spokesman said. If the signal, which warns of heavy rain, is not lifted by midday there would be no trading in the afternoon, he added. There would be no trading in Taiwan index futures if the black rainstorm warning remained in place at 9:00 a.m. local time. A black rainstorm warning was issued this morning and a thunderstorm warning, issued late on Monday, was still in effect. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Hopefully someone can elaborate on the "black rainstorm" phenomenon, but apparently they take it so seriously they just punch out for the day. Can't imagine that happening in Chicago, for example. -Keith ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jun 1998 to 9 Jun 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4745 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626545-21536>; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 13:19:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38958; Thu, 11 Jun 1998 00:10:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199806110510.AAA38958@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 00:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1998 to 10 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: feb56ecd022a7ef05c9bb72e520c1ef0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 343 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. HK takes warnings seriously.. 2. ADMINISTRIVIA: LISTSERV PROBLEM 6-9-98 3. Hurricane Predictions 4. IWIN Updates.... (4) 5. Too Close? / TWC (3) 6. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for SALE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 02:12:30 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: HK takes warnings seriously.. On Tue, 9 Jun 1998, Keith Brewster wrote: > A black rainstorm warning was issued this morning and a thunderstorm > warning, issued late on Monday, was still in effect. > > ------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Hopefully someone can elaborate on the "black rainstorm" phenomenon, > but apparently they take it so seriously they just punch out for the > day. Can't imagine that happening in Chicago, for example. As I understand it (from reading stuffle at the Hong Kong typhoon warning centre's website, and from reading info at CNN), Hong Kong's weather service essentially "grades" heavy rain severity by colour. "Black" rainstorms are the most severe, followed by "red" and so on. (I'd presume they do this because Hong Kong is quite prone to flash flooding during severe rains.) In US weather terminology, a "black rainstorm warning" would probably be equivalent to a flash flood warning. A "red rainstorm warning" is roughly equivalent ot a flash flood watch, and so on. They also code typhoon warnings by bells there, too. :) Just so y'all know. -pb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 10:30:28 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: LISTSERV PROBLEM 6-9-98 The University of Illinois has a problem with its domain name server (DNS) which affected LISTSERV's ability to send out mail in a timely fashion yesterday. The problem appears to be fixed now and the backlog of mail has been processed. If you are wondering why you didn't receive much WX-***** mail yesterday and/or why you may be receiving old data today, now you know! ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 11:55:42 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Hurricane Predictions Hi there. I was wondering if some of you in this mailing list would like to e-mail me your feelings about how the 1998 Hurricane Season will go. It doesn't have to be like Dr. Gray's where he has it broken down by numbers. Just give a summary of your thoughts and e-mail it to me. What I will do with them is create a web page with all of the results. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 15:33:52 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: IWIN Updates.... I am frankly not impressed by the speed of updates on the IWIN NWS sight. It seems a little slow so far as warnings and the like goes. Also, here in Columbus, OH since the NWS went to Wilmington, OH (Home of our areas NEXRAD), they seem to get counties from Indiana and Ohio mixed up. Also, on NOAA Weather Radio, it seems that sometimes you hear warnings being issued for Indiana! I live in Ohio 2 hours away by car! Sometimes on the IWIN sight on the ohio map, you will see Indiana warnings when you click on the Warnings button. Anyway, since I am a Ham and I have a handheld, I usually spot what I can see. In 3 years I have probably made only 5 reports. Thing that get's me is that some guys don't pay attention to the radio and try to call in high water during a Tornado warning!!!! Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 13:42:18 -0600 From: Ralph Forsythe Subject: Re: Too Close? / TWC >AT 546 PM WINDS TO 90 MPH AND BASEBALL HAIL WERE REPORTED 2 MILES >SOUTH OF HOLLIDAY.... KNOCKING A SPOTTER VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD. THIS >VERY DANGEROUS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH TOWARD THE LAKE >ARROWHEAD AREA. RESIDENTS NORTH OF ARCHER CITY AND IN THE LAKE >ARROWHEAD AREA ARE URGED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE SEVERE WEATHER >PRECAUTIONS. Maybe it was those (insane / brave / stupid -- circle one) TWC "field personell" on their way back from playing in tornadoes... I'm not even going to express my personal views on this one, except that TWC and it's employees should have looked at the possible ramifications of something this stupid before they even got in the car. Arrghhh - Ralph Forsythe ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ralph@contact-paging.com KC0CSO http://www.hemi.com/~ralph Contact Paging Engineering Support Services / Colorado "Success is going from failure to failure without losing enthusiasm" - Winston Churchill "You're not drunk if you can lie on the floor without holding on..." - Dean Martin ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 14:53:00 -0500 From: Randy Halverson Subject: Re: IWIN Updates.... Today their was a developing Severe Storm near me. I had the IWIN Severe Thunderstorm Warning page for all warnings already up and hit reload. It showed a warning for our county. About one minute later it went over the weather radio and about 30 seconds after that it went over the TV. So in this case it was fast. At 03:33 PM 6/10/98 -0400, you wrote: >I am frankly not impressed by the speed of updates on the IWIN NWS sight. It seems a little slow so far as warnings and the like goes. Also, here in Columbus, OH since the NWS went to Wilmington, OH (Home of our areas NEXRAD), they seem to get counties from Indiana and Ohio mixed up. Also, on NOAA Weather Radio, it seems that sometimes you hear warnings being issued for Indiana! I live in Ohio 2 hours away by car! Sometimes on the IWIN sight on the ohio map, you will see Indiana warnings when you click on the Warnings button. Anyway, since I am a Ham and I have a handheld, I usually spot what I can see. In 3 years I have probably made only 5 reports. Thing that get's me is that some guys don't pay attention to the radio and try to call in high water during a Tornado warning!!!! > >Joel McLaughlin >N8VQJ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 16:20:28 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: IWIN Updates.... I think this has to do, mostly with the change that happened here in Columbus, OH. NWS Had brought up the new NEXRAD in Wilmington, and then they phased out the Columbus NWSFO and closed it and now all of the warnings and watches come from Wilmington (with help from NSSL). Part of it is that Indiana has a Franklin county, and so does Ohio (you can imagine the confusion). So sometimes, early on, we'd get a warning at the same time as Franklin county IN. That's all but stopped for now, but we even see WV, OH and IN stuff on the IWIN site instead of JUST Ohio. Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ >>> Randy Halverson 6/10/98 3:53:00 PM >>> Today their was a developing Severe Storm near me. I had the IWIN Severe Thunderstorm Warning page for all warnings already up and hit reload. It showed a warning for our county. About one minute later it went over the weather radio and about 30 seconds after that it went over the TV. So in this case it was fast. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 15:24:29 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Too Close? / TWC > > >AT 546 PM WINDS TO 90 MPH AND BASEBALL HAIL WERE REPORTED 2 MILES > >SOUTH OF HOLLIDAY.... KNOCKING A SPOTTER VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD. THIS > >VERY DANGEROUS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH TOWARD THE LAKE > >ARROWHEAD AREA. RESIDENTS NORTH OF ARCHER CITY AND IN THE LAKE > >ARROWHEAD AREA ARE URGED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE SEVERE WEATHER > >PRECAUTIONS. > > Maybe it was those (insane / brave / stupid -- circle one) TWC "field > personell" on their way back from playing in tornadoes... I'm not even > going to express my personal views on this one, except that TWC and it's > employees should have looked at the possible ramifications of something > this stupid before they even got in the car. Arrghhh I'm guesing from the word "spotter" rather than "chaser" this was a local person assoc with law enforcement or volunteer spotting, rather than a roaming chaser (from TWC or otherwise). I'm familiar with a popular "spotting hill" in that area where one can see well to the west and south, but I believe the one I'm thinking of is 2 S of Mankins (just west of Holliday). Anyway, its possible someone was stubborn about staying in a bad place or mistimed bailing out. Different subject: someone was asking about a "hook" near Norman on Monday. Yes there was a tornado warning for south Cleveland Co. including Noble and south Norman. Meso was observed (not by me, I was looking at meso in OKC) but no tornado. Norman, including OU campus did get raked by quarter-size hail and driving wind. There was quite a bit of damage to trees, shingles, screens, windows and home siding in the campus area. That storm had a mesocyclone for awhile and eventually produced some tornadoes in Seminole Co. (e.g., Wewoka -- F2). FWIW, the Okla Climate Survey's "OK-FIRST" wx-data-to-local-emergency-managememt-via-internet system got a lot of praise for providing local officials with Nexrad data in real-time that resulted in long lead-times for the people in Wewoka. -Keith --------------------- Keith Brewster personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 15:37:25 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: IWIN Updates.... >At 03:33 PM 6/10/98 -0400, you wrote: >I am frankly not impressed by the speed of updates on the IWIN NWS sight. Sometimes the update will be quick, sometimes not. You shouldn't expect instantaneous warnings via IWIN at any time, nor should you depend on it. Such is the state of the internet today. Too many things can go wrong that will cause delays. There is a reason they put that disclaimer on the site... and it's not just to please the lawyers! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 16:57:04 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for SALE Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Spring is almost over! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing before it's too late! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. NOTICE: Some orders placed before May 15 have not been sent due to my chase vacation and subVORTEX intercept operations. I will be catching up in the next 2 weeks. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Jun 1998 17:46:13 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Too Close? / TWC >AT 546 PM WINDS TO 90 MPH AND BASEBALL HAIL WERE REPORTED 2 MILES >SOUTH OF HOLLIDAY.... KNOCKING A SPOTTER VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD. THIS >VERY DANGEROUS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH TOWARD THE LAKE >ARROWHEAD AREA. RESIDENTS NORTH OF ARCHER CITY AND IN THE LAKE >ARROWHEAD AREA ARE URGED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE SEVERE WEATHER >PRECAUTIONS. Keith Brewster wrote... >I'm familiar with a popular "spotting hill" in that area where one >can see well to the west and south, but I believe the one I'm >thinking of is 2 S of Mankins (just west of Holliday). >Anyway, its possible someone was stubborn about staying in a bad place >or mistimed bailing out. One must be careful not to read things into an LSR report without knowing all the facts. Perhaps the vehicle was moving and blown off the road by a gust of wind (like what happened to one WX-CHASEr earlier this year near Effingham, IL). Perhaps the vehicle was parked on an incline and just needed a little nudge to tumble over. We just can't tell from the information provided. As I rule though, I don't abandon my spotting site unless I see a tornado coming at me or I receive an upstream report of extreme damage or giant hail. It's entirely possible the spotter in the above report didn't observe any obvious ground-based threats and got surprised by a sudden microburst. Then again, the report says "winds to 90 MPH" but doesn't mention where or how they were measured. For all we know the accident could have been the result of a 40 MPH gust and poor driving. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1998 to 10 Jun 1998 ************************************************* From - Sat Jun 13 12:54:51 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626622-28878>; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:12:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58652; Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:09:06 -0500 Message-Id: <199806120509.AAA58652@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:03:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jun 1998 to 11 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce7c5446d257fc708e635d5d85c470d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 158 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wanted: Videos 2. liquid equivalent of hail 3. 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise STILL available! 4. Potent Water (2) 5. Lightning Within 300 Miles of Houston +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 07:57:08 EDT From: J Howell Subject: Wanted: Videos Anybody happen to know where I can get the "old stand-by" videos from the NWS: "Day of the Killer Tornadoes" and "Neosho: April 24" ?? I've been told the NWS itself no longer offers them for loan. I'm looking for them on VHS. There are probably also other "old stand-bies" that I'm forgetting -- suggestions welcome. Thanks. Jeff ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 17:23:13 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: liquid equivalent of hail In article <19980606.101745.12486.2.strueman@juno.com>, Shawn Trueman wrote: > How does the NWS measure the amount of liquid water that falls in a > hailstorm? If it coincidentally lands on an automated collector, the collector will melt it just as it does snow or sleet. (If it landed in my cheap plastic collector, I'd have to hand melt it; the most approved method is to add a measured about of warm water and subtract that known amount. I could also let the collector sit in a bucket of warm water, but being slower, there's more sublimation/evaporation.) Otherwise, the radar computer has to multiply the integrated precipitation reflections by a correction factor for the higher radar albedo of hail over liquid droplets to avoid overestimating the WE. -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 17:05:31 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise STILL available! *********** 50th Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise ************* There are a limited number of small, large, and XXL tshirts still available from the 50th anniversary celebration! Hats, coffee mugs, magnets, and XL shirts are sold out. If you are interested in obtaining a shirt please see our page at http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html !! Note !! This was a one time event and once these 50th anniversary shirts are gone - that's it! Thanks! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu Norman, OK 73069 "It's remarkable how much the weather affects my life, and how little my life affects the weather" Ashleigh Brilliant, 1982 ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 20:15:00 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Potent Water Thought the list might enjoy this....... PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OHIO 604 PM EDT THU JUN 11 1998 TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0300 PM KY FLOODING 06/11/98 KENTON ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER EVAPOARATING PEOPLE ALONG THE DOE RUN CREEK/OLD SR 17 -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Jun 1998 23:14:33 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Lightning Within 300 Miles of Houston Courtesy of the 150.435 Mhz EMWIN broadcast station at Houston and the Harris County Appraisal District, continuously updated images of lightning strikes within a 300 mile radius of Houston are available at http://www.hcad.org/emwin/lgtiahtx.gif. At present, the detector is getting good returns from convection near Brownsville, Texas, approximately 300 miles to the SSW of Houston. A comparison with the BRO NEXRAD base reflectivity gives a good position match. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 00:53:57 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Potent Water On Thu, 11 Jun 1998, A Lieberman wrote: > 0300 PM KY FLOODING > 06/11/98 KENTON ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH > WATER EVAPOARATING PEOPLE > ALONG THE DOE RUN > CREEK/OLD SR 17 Actually, this can be explained scientifically. The day was probably so hot that people walking around in the sun all day became so superheated that when they accidentally hit the flood waters, they became suddenly supercooled, and as a result they literally exploded into billions of microfine pieces of dust - which to others witnessing it happening, may have made people LOOK like they were evaporating if there was a slight breeze a-blowin'. 8-) Kinda like that scene in _Aliens_, near the end of the movie. ...See? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jun 1998 to 11 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:55:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627122-3138>; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 13:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52676; Sat, 13 Jun 1998 00:06:25 -0500 Message-Id: <199806130506.AAA52676@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 00:01:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jun 1998 to 12 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa0a0255023bf56b23eaa3afce1531f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 21 messages totalling 663 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2 more Singapore waterspouts...no kidding!And one question 2. Rain equivalent of hail 3. Potent Water 4. tipping bucket rain gauges was Re: Rain equivalent of hail 5. One for the X-Files 6. Monopoly by brute force (11) 7. PAGL station info? 8. Station ID Changes 9. Earthquake bulletins? 10. mid-Atlantic Weather Group (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 18:29:09 +0800 From: Cheryl-Ann Tan Subject: 2 more Singapore waterspouts...no kidding!And one question Hi! Here comes the Singapore waterspouts again, but this time, it comes along with a photograph in the newspaper. THE STRAITS TIMES: Wednesday, June 10, 1998 ANOTHER WATERSPOUT SPOTTED: Sarah Alphonso, nine, took this photograph of a waterspout yesterday around lunchtime, with the help of her father, Singapore Airlines pilot Melvyn Gerad Alphonso, 43. The CHIJ Katong Convent pupil was on the balcony of her family's 15th-story flat in Marine Parade when she spotted the waterspout, about 10 km off the coast. It was the second one sighted here in three days. The other was slightly more to the south. The [Singapore] Meteorological Service estimates that this one lasted .about 10 minutes. That a second waterspout happened so soon is probably due to the frequent showers of the late. Hmmm...."due to the frequent showers of the late"? How is that so? Someone please explain. BTW, the other waterspout was much "older" than I thought. It probably occured a year ago. I wonder what the Twister fans are thinking.... ********************************************************************* Cheryl-Ann Tan a.k.a. Tornado7 or CAT Singapore ******** ****** ***** **** *** ** ~~~~~~*~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "When all is said and done, the weather and love are the two elements about which one can never be sure."--Alice Hoffman, Here on Earth "No rain, no gain, so don't complain." "Expect the unexpected." ********************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-CHASE send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-chase" in the body of your message. For help with WX-CHASE write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ********************************************************************* Cheryl-Ann Tan a.k.a. Tornado7 or CAT Singapore ******** ****** ***** **** *** ** ~~~~~~*~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "When all is said and done, the weather and love are the two elements about which one can never be sure."--Alice Hoffman, Here on Earth "No rain, no gain, so don't complain." "Expect the unexpected." ********************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 08:34:09 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Rain equivalent of hail Shawn Trueman wrote: > How does the NWS measure the amount of liquid water that falls in a > hailstorm? Bill Ricker helped out: >If it coincidentally lands on an automated collector, the collector >will melt it just as it does snow or sleet. (If it landed in my cheap >plastic collector, I'd have to hand melt it; the most approved >method is to add a measured about of warm water and subtract that >known amount. I could also let the collector sit in a bucket of >warm water, but being slower, there's more sublimation/evaporation.) > Tipping bucket collectors are not accurate when the flow is fast. An easy way to check this out is to pour the same amount of water into the collector at varying rates. When the flow is too fast, the tipping bucket gets water after it starts to tip. This extra water is not counted. /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:43:40 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Potent Water i ask you, what would we do without Todd. thanks from all of us! Todd L. Sherman wrote: > On Thu, 11 Jun 1998, A Lieberman wrote: > > > 0300 PM KY FLOODING > > 06/11/98 KENTON ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH > > WATER EVAPOARATING PEOPLE > > ALONG THE DOE RUN > > CREEK/OLD SR 17 > > Actually, this can be explained scientifically. > > The day was probably so hot that people walking around in the sun all day > became so superheated that when they accidentally hit the flood waters, they > became suddenly supercooled, and as a result they literally exploded into > billions of microfine pieces of dust - which to others witnessing it > happening, may have made people LOOK like they were evaporating if there > was a slight breeze a-blowin'. 8-) > > Kinda like that scene in _Aliens_, near the end of the movie. > > ...See? > > Todd > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 10:59:34 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: tipping bucket rain gauges was Re: Rain equivalent of hail At 08:34 AM 6/12/98 -0700, you wrote: ...snip... >Tipping bucket collectors are not accurate when the flow is fast. An easy >way to check this out is to pour the same amount of water into the >collector at varying rates. When the flow is too fast, the tipping bucket >gets water after it starts to tip. This extra water is not counted. > >/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ >Frank J. Gouveia >Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory >Health and Ecological Assessment Division >Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling I'm not a tipping bucket supporter, but my experience with tipping bucket rain gauges shows that they match up quite nicely with tube and weighing rain gauges... even in the heaviest of rains. The one caveat I have noticed about some tipping bucket gauges is that the wind is able to get inside and tip the bucket more than the measured rain, indicating a larger amount of precipitation than what actually fell (this is especially true in West Texas ;-)). Personally, I have found that there is no real substitute for a heated, weighing rain gauge. Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 09:18:25 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: One for the X-Files 02:24 PM ET 06/11/98 Lightning may be cause of mysterious heart attacks LONDON (Reuters) - Lightning could be the cause of mysterious and unexplained heart attacks, American doctors said Friday. In a letter to The Lancet medical journal, Dr. Michael Cherington and colleagues at the Lightning Data Center at St. Anthony's Hospital in Denver, said lightning can kill people without apparently entering or leaving their bodies or producing any visible marks. They think electromagnetic discharges from lightning bolts passing close to a person without touching them can induce a current in the body that is capable of stopping the heart from beating. ``Most lightning casualties have external signs of damage from contact with electrical currents, such as skin burns,'' Cherington wrote. ``However, some patients have a cardiac arrest as the result of a lightning strike without external signs of electrical burns,'' he said. He said the theory could explain the death of a 32-year-old golfer in July 1996 and several unexplained cases of people dying from heart attacks while walking in mountainous areas. The golfer was standing under a tree with three other people during a storm when lightning struck the tree. He suffered a heart attack, lapsed into a coma and died 18 days later, but he had no external marks of a lightning strike. The three other golfers survived with no signs of being directly struck, although one suffered minor burns on the neck, abdomen and head where he was wearing a metal necklace, buckle and button on his cap. The other two suffered only brief loss of consciousness. Cherington did not say where the incident took place. ^REUTERS@ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 09:58:31 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Monopoly by brute force I'm sorry if I've missed this topic during the last few days. However if I haven't here goes: As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data is downloaded. I thought you'd find this very interesting in light that there's a MicroSoft-Weather Channel affliation. Try it for yourself: For example http://www.weather.com/weather/us/cities/AK_Fairbanks.html Regards, Jan Curtis Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:14:09 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force Jan Curtis wrote: > I'm sorry if I've missed this topic during the last few days. However if I > haven't here goes: > > As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL > data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to > download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data > is downloaded. I thought you'd find this very interesting in light that > there's a MicroSoft-Weather Channel affliation. > > Try it for yourself: For example > http://www.weather.com/weather/us/cities/AK_Fairbanks.html > > Regards, > > Jan Curtis > Alaska Climate Research Center > http://climate.gi.alaska.edu > It looks OK here in Netscape Communicator 4.05... -- ________________________________________________________________________________________ Gary Arnold, CEM | Collier County Emergency Management | EM page: "http://www.collierem.org/" E-mail: garnold@naples.net | Mine: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" Horngren's Observation (generalized): "The real world is a special case." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:19:43 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force >As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL >data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to >download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data >is downloaded. Jan, It comes up with Netscape Navigator 3.01 on our UNIX boxes. It just takes a while.... ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:30:18 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force > > >As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL > >data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to > >download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data > >is downloaded. > > Jan, > > It comes up with Netscape Navigator 3.01 on our UNIX boxes. It just > takes a while.... Yes, give it several seconds then click the "STOP" button. Judging from their source html it seems to be hanging in a Java script that serves ads under "Explore related sites". Their loss since the ads don't load .... serves 'em right. Suggested slogan:"Where do you want ads today?" -Keith ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 13:29:50 -0500 From: Susan Wagener Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force >If you try to >download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data >is downloaded. I get the same results from any of the TWC pages. It says it's finished loading but I have a blank page. I have to press the Stop button in Netscape and then it shows the page okay. I have found this with most all the TWC pages. This just started happening in the last few weeks. It's quite frustrating! Susan Wagener Bloomington, IN ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:05:08 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force On Fri, 12 Jun 1998, Susan Wagener wrote: > >If you try to > >download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data > >is downloaded. > > I get the same results from any of the TWC pages. It says it's finished > loading but I have a blank page. I have to press the Stop button in > Netscape and then it shows the page okay. I have found this with most all > the TWC pages. This just started happening in the last few weeks. It's > quite frustrating! I've not yet visited any TWC pages with Netscape, but I have often found that if sites have extensively large pages with inordinate numbers of animations going at the same time, then the pages "never" seem to stop loading, and often you never get to see the finished page, if you see any of the page at all. And that's EITHER image viewing while loading turned on OR off. It's even WORSE and MUCH more common when you have JAVA activated, and the site uses lots of JAVA scripts. If you don't have a 200MHz, its too much for your computer to handle I think, and things get locked up or bogged down to total non-movement. Could something like this be the problem? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:11:25 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force > I've not yet visited any TWC pages with Netscape, but I have often found > that if sites have extensively large pages with inordinate numbers of > animations going at the same time, then the pages "never" seem to stop > loading, and often you never get to see the finished page, if you see any of > the page at all. And that's EITHER image viewing while loading turned on OR > off. It's even WORSE and MUCH more common when you have JAVA activated, and > the site uses lots of JAVA scripts. If you don't have a 200MHz, its too > much for your computer to handle I think, and things get locked up or bogged > down to total non-movement. I have a K6 running at 225Mhz with 48mb of RAM and it locks up on me under Linux 2.0.34 and Netscape 4.05. I even had the Java Development Kit installed on this machine and use it for running Java applets and programs and it still locks up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Lamb john@hockey.net http://www.hockey.net/~john Systems Administration Hockey Net Internet Services http://www.hockey.net ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 14:19:07 -0500 From: Susan Wagener Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force At 03:05 PM 6/12/98 -0400, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > If you don't have a 200MHz, its too much for your computer to handle I >think, and things get locked up or bogged down to total non-movement. > > Could something like this be the problem? > >Todd I have a 200 MHz pentium with 64 megs of ram... This is the only site that gives me this problem. Susan Wagener Bloomington, IN ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:22:27 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force On Fri, 12 Jun 1998 john@hockey.net wrote: > I have a K6 running at 225Mhz with 48mb of RAM and it locks up on me under > Linux 2.0.34 and Netscape 4.05. I even had the Java Development Kit > installed on this machine and use it for running Java applets and programs > and it still locks up. Heh-heh. I seriously think many of these web page designers think everyone has direct Internet connections. I could probably make a lot of money writing a book with just a few sentences: Don't use lots of graphics, especially on your main front page. Don't use more than one or two animations. If you must have an animation, make the animation small. Make your pages both text AND graphics useable. (Its possible, and no, you DON'T have to make two separate graphics-only and text-only versions of the pages to do it. You just have to read ALL of the HTML code docs, not just half of it.) DON'T be selfish by making your images INLINE-only. Provide a pointer for thier download. Ignore and avoid JAVA-script like the plague. Test your web pages with at least THREE graphical browsers and the latest LYNX text browser. If your page passes all of the above, your page is ready. Thanks, Users, for reading my book. Now, that'll be $15.00. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 15:03:46 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force came out ok on mine..........but it is very possible to do what you said.....shhhh don't give them any more ideas. matt/n9npp Jan Curtis wrote: > I'm sorry if I've missed this topic during the last few days. However if I > haven't here goes: > > As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL > data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to > download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data > is downloaded. I thought you'd find this very interesting in light that > there's a MicroSoft-Weather Channel affliation. > > Try it for yourself: For example > http://www.weather.com/weather/us/cities/AK_Fairbanks.html > > Regards, > > Jan Curtis > Alaska Climate Research Center ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 16:08:16 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: PAGL station info? Hi all, Anyone have lat/lon elevation info for PAGL, Golovin, AK? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 17:06:33 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station ID Changes The following ASOS sites are *scheduled* to change their site identifiers on 6/18. 3KM to AAO - Wichita/Jabara, KS 6R0 to ASD - Slidell, LA (uncommissioned ASOS) L39 to RNM - Ramona, CA U11 to RXE - Rexburg, ID Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 19:58:44 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Earthquake bulletins? Hello all, Earthquake bulletins on the weather wires used to come out on SEXX1 KNEC, SEXX2 KNEC, and SEXX3 KNEC...but I am not seeing them anymore. What gives? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:07:22 -0400 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: mid-Atlantic Weather Group Does anyone knows what happened the the mid-Atlantic weather newsgroup. Is it down or is there a new address. Messages have been sent back as unknown address (wx-obs-mda@greatbasin.com). Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 21:24:05 -0400 From: "Andrew F. Bass" Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force Your Netscape must not be properly configured, for I just tried it and it works fine. The problem is that the WC places the display command only at the end of their transfer, and if you do not make it that far nothing is displayed. Jan Curtis wrote: > I'm sorry if I've missed this topic during the last few days. However if I > haven't here goes: > > As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL > data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to > download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data > is downloaded. I thought you'd find this very interesting in light that > there's a MicroSoft-Weather Channel affliation. > > Try it for yourself: For example > http://www.weather.com/weather/us/cities/AK_Fairbanks.html > > Regards, > > Jan Curtis > Alaska Climate Research Center > http://climate.gi.alaska.edu > > ************************************************************* > Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center > http://climate.gi.alaska.edu > ************************************************************* > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 22:32:43 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: Re: mid-Atlantic Weather Group It was discontinued due to the high cost that Greatbasin was charging. I am currently trying to install majordomo mailer on my current IP (without much luck!) Hopefully I can get it up and running soon!! Bill Hipkins WeatherWatch INC REPLY TO: wxwatch@jnlk.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jun 1998 to 12 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:09 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2162 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626568-3873>; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 13:18:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62824; Sun, 14 Jun 1998 00:11:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199806140511.AAA62824@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 00:02:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jun 1998 to 13 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 04ab587b000c5c9be6ddff00463093ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 321 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Monopoly by brute force (5) 2. Monopoly by brute force - problem fixed for me 3. NetNews: Intellicast adds Golf, Sail Sections / Yahoo (WNI) Goes GIF / TWC's LaNina Graphic / CASI Tropical Site Updated +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 08:24:58 -0400 From: Robert L Krawitz Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force Date: Fri, 12 Jun 1998 09:58:31 -0800 From: Jan Curtis I'm sorry if I've missed this topic during the last few days. However if I haven't here goes: As WEBMASTER for this site, I have discovered that THE WEATHER CHANNEL data can only be viewed using INTERNET EXPLORER browser. If you try to download forecasts using NETSCAPE, you get a blank screen after the data is downloaded. I thought you'd find this very interesting in light that there's a MicroSoft-Weather Channel affliation. Try it for yourself: For example http://www.weather.com/weather/us/cities/AK_Fairbanks.html I use Netscape 4.04 on Linux and had no problem. -- Robert Krawitz http://www.tiac.net/users/rlk/ Tall Clubs International -- http://www.tall.org/ or 1-888-IM-TALL-2 Member of the League for Programming Freedom -- mail lpf@uunet.uu.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 07:32:27 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Monopoly by brute force My experience with TWC home page, - My Netscape v3.0 at home will load a blank screen unless I hit the stop button before the download is completed. - My MS Explorer v4.0 at work seems to work fine with TWC. (big surprise?) Using Netscape v3.0 again at home, I tried to send E-Mail to TWC but I had two "hard" Netscape crashes in a row. Not really being a fan of TWC either on TV or the WWW, my choice is easy. I will remove my links to TWC from my SFTS! home page. I've already deleted all the Microsoft advertising garbage from my computer at work. There is an enormous amount of good weather info out there if one seeks it out. Spare yourself a lot of advertising and long downloads and check out the many other weather sites on the WWW. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. APRS active on 144.39! - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 07:48:04 -0500 From: kb5scm Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force -----Original Message----- From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF [SMTP:bkopp@execpc.com] My experience with TWC home page, - My Netscape v3.0 at home will load a blank screen unless I hit the stop button before the download is completed. - My MS Explorer v4.0 at work seems to work fine with TWC. (big surprise?) I'm not defending or flaming, anyone here but, I have a Pentium 233, 96 meg ram, 2 meg video, 512 pipeline cache, and it takes longer to load the "Storm Chasers homepage" than it takes to load the TWC pages. I use Netscape 4.04. I have my cache to 200 meg on my hard drive (I have plenty of room with 6 gig.) That is a major trick, if you have plenty of hard drive space use some more of it for your browser's cache. It will really speed things up! Using Netscape v3.0 again at home, I tried to send E-Mail to TWC but I had two "hard" Netscape crashes in a row. Not really being a fan of TWC either on TV or the WWW, my choice is easy. I will remove my links to TWC from my SFTS! home page. I've already deleted all the Microsoft advertising garbage from my computer at work. There is an enormous amount of good weather info out there if one seeks it out. Spare yourself a lot of advertising and long downloads and check out the many other weather sites on the WWW. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. APRS active on 144.39! - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 06:57:16 -0700 From: Bashful Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force I access TWC's homepage using Netscape Communicator, which contains the Navigator v4.04 . . . that's also available as a standalone browser. No troubles there. SOunds more to me like Netscape 3 just isn't up to the task. (I HATE Internet Explorer, in all forms, so please don't misread the previous sentence as a pro-Microsoft statement. :-) ) Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > > My experience with TWC home page, > > - My Netscape v3.0 at home will load a blank screen unless I hit the > stop button before the download is completed. > > - My MS Explorer v4.0 at work seems to work fine with TWC. (big > surprise?) > > Using Netscape v3.0 again at home, I tried to send E-Mail to TWC but I > had two "hard" Netscape crashes in a row. > > Not really being a fan of TWC either on TV or the WWW, my choice is > easy. I will remove my links to TWC from my SFTS! home page. I've > already deleted all the Microsoft advertising garbage from my computer > at work. > > There is an enormous amount of good weather info out there if one seeks > it out. Spare yourself a lot of advertising and long downloads and check > out the many other weather sites on the WWW. > > ************************************************************************* > 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA > Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio > Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System > > Voice: 146.91 wide area or 147.165 local repeater. APRS active on > 144.39! > > - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - > WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) > > "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O > ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not > discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV > ************************************************************************* > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- Bash - http://home.pacbell.net/bashful7 How can you talk like that? Foolin' yourself, so sad Everyone knows but you -- swallow the lies But soon you'll choke on the truth . . . "House of Mirrors", The Gladhands ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 09:54:36 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force Amen to that!! I once had MS Explorer 4.0 installed on my computer. What a piece of crap! Almost every time I made the mistake of starting up Explorer, I found that it was a new experience in rebooting my computer. Fortunately, the uninstall procedure saved my hind parts (and my computer too!). Mind you, I'm not trying to start a web browser flame fest; however, if I can save someone else a pile of trouble (like mistakenly installing Micro$oft Explorer), then I'm obligated to respond. I am perfectly content with Netscape Communicator 4.05 and, if TWC sets up its server to work only with MS Explorer, then I just won't point my browser at TWC any more. BTW, I tried TWC's site last night and got a beautiful blank screen and *nothing* else! There are *many* worthwhile sites on the web that have more complete and timely information, sans advertising, than can be found at TWC's site. Personally, I'll cry in my coffee if the University of Michigan ever folds up their wxnet server or if the Storm Chasers' Homepage should ever disappear from the web (heaven forbid!!). And both of these sites work just find with Netscape Communicator, both at home and on the road. Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia "The cool, stable marine layer is gone. Let the convection begin!!" Once Upon a Time, Bernie Kopp wrote: [snip!] > There is an enormous amount of good weather info out there if one seeks > it out. Spare yourself a lot of advertising and long downloads and check > out the many other weather sites on the WWW. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Jun 1998 10:54:39 -0500 From: Susan Wagener Subject: Re: Monopoly by brute force - problem fixed for me Being one of those that was using Netscape version 3.x and getting the blank pages on TWC pages...I downloaded Netscape Communicator version 4.4. Now when I go to TWC pages I do not have any problems. I'm using a pentium computer, 64 megs ram, 200 mhz and connecting through an ISDN line. I'll try downloading this at home (same kind of machine only a modem connection) and see if that takes care of it there too. Thanks for the suggestion! Susan Wagener Weather Watcher for 6News in Indianapolis Bloomington, IN where we are cleaning up from severe storms last night and I'm still without electricity at home 14 hours later. Had to go to work to have electricity! :( Am now heading home to clean out the refridge since we lost everything in it. At least our home wasn't damaged. For that I'm grateful. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 03:53:04 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews: Intellicast adds Golf, Sail Sections / Yahoo (WNI) Goes GIF / TWC's LaNina Graphic / CASI Tropical Site Updated [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to the Members of CASI and later posted to Newsgroups.] CASI News (Shameless self promotion): I finally got a chance to update the CASI Tropical Pages this evening, which I will keep updated with _original_ text, maps, and observations throughout the season. Please see http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/ for more information. Also a number of lengthy reports on recent storms East-Coast style have been added to our Recent Weather Events page at http://www.weatherwatchers.org/recentwx.html These summaries include radar and lightning animations, other weather graphics, video captures, text archives, etc. from CASI Members' recent reports. Now for the NetNews: 1.) Intellicast has introduced two new sections on their website which include Live Weather Forecast Data: A section for Golfers, and a section for Sailers. Both sections include attractively colored maps, which are region-zoomable, for a number of conditions related to the sport, which also are of general meteorological intererest, such as Thunderstorm Forecast, Wind (Streamline) Forecast, Precip (POP) Forecast, etc. Additionally the NWS Marine Text Forecasts are available in the Sailing section. These are available in 4 forecast periods, all zoomable to the Intellicast 37 US Regions. http://www.intellicast.com/golfcast/ http://www.intellicast.com/sailcast/ 2.) In other news, Yahoo's weather service (by WNI) at http://weather.yahoo.com/images.html has traded in their satellite MPEG animations for GIF animations. This means slightly lower quality but easier downloads. They have Satellite animations for every major continent or sub-continent of the world. As an aside, if you've been watching TWC this weekend you've seen what they call their "La Nina" graphic. It's a very attractive and colorful (even on TV) sea surface temperature anomaly map that shows the demise of El Nino and the possible beginnings of La Nina. That graphic is on the Internet and can be obtained from http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_glbl_sstanomaly.gif -- ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jun 1998 to 13 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:56:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3481 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-12426>; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 13:15:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB55726; Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:10:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199806150510.AAB55726@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 00:03:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jun 1998 to 14 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4bc641099ab2a5e33322df335d4aa5d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 166 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. LSR's (3) 2. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) 3. Storm Chasers - Revenge of the Twisters +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 02:53:02 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: LSR's Anywhere to get all the local storm reports for Oklahoma for the 6/13 storms? Most of the sites I've looked at in the past only have the most current one. (If not, I'll call NWS OUN. I just hate to bother them, as everyone picks up the pieces of north Oklahoma City...) Gayland Kitch Director of Emergency Management & Communications The City of Moore, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 07:47:23 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: LSR's well this site still has all the 6/13 reports up if you hurry as of 8:am cdt good morning! http://lumahai.soest.hawaii.edu/cgi-bin/severe_warnings.csh?reports.dat,Storm_Damage,Severe_Weather/severe.html matt/n9npp Gayland Kitch wrote: > Anywhere to get all the local storm reports for Oklahoma for the 6/13 storms? Most of the sites I've looked at in the past only have the most current one. > > (If not, I'll call NWS OUN. I just hate to bother them, as everyone picks up the pieces of north Oklahoma City...) > > Gayland Kitch > Director of Emergency Management & Communications > The City of Moore, Oklahoma > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ########################################################### # # 73 de n9npp/matt # http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm # http://www.axnet.com/united/coaxconnection.htm # e-mail mailto:united@axnet.com # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.108 O # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # ########################################################### ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 10:47:57 -0500 From: Kevin Satkus Subject: Re: LSR's NWSFO TUL's homepage provides a 4 day archive of selected products, including the LSR's http://www.nwstulsa.noaa.gov Kevin *************************************** Kevin Satkus Email: ksatkus@ix.netcom.com Web: pw2.netcom.com/~ksatkus/kevin.html *************************************** > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Gayland Kitch > Sent: Sunday, June 14, 1998 2:53 AM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: LSR's > > > Anywhere to get all the local storm reports for Oklahoma for the > 6/13 storms? Most of the sites I've looked at in the past only > have the most current one. > > (If not, I'll call NWS OUN. I just hate to bother them, as > everyone picks up the pieces of north Oklahoma City...) > > Gayland Kitch > Director of Emergency Management & Communications > The City of Moore, Oklahoma > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 14:25:06 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) New Aviation model! Forecasters take note... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NOUS42/KWBC 141705 SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 1655 UTC SUN JUNE 14 1998 141655Z GLOBAL MODEL IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULED FOR THE 12Z CYCLE 15 JUNE 98. BEGINNING WITH THIS CYCLE THE AVIATION AND MRF GLOBAL MODEL WILL UNDERGO SOME SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. HORIZONTAL AND VERTICAL RESOLUTION WILL BE INCREASED FROM T126 AND 28 LEVELS TO T170 AND 42 LEVELS. WHILE WE EXPECT THAT ALL WILL GO WELL..THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT IMPLEMENTATION. ALL AVAILABLE PROGRAMMERS AND PRDUCTION STAFF WILL BE ON HAND TO DEAL WITH ANY PROBLEMS. KNEAS/SDM/NCO/NCEP ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Jun 1998 16:04:59 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Storm Chasers - Revenge of the Twisters For those of us trapped in the now cool stable boring land of Minnesota, the Family Channel is re-running their sequel to Night of the Twisters now until 6pm CT. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Lamb john@hockey.net http://www.hockey.net/~john Systems Administration Hockey Net Internet Services http://www.hockey.net ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jun 1998 to 14 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:57:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3773 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-29771>; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 13:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25984; Tue, 16 Jun 1998 00:15:50 -0500 Message-Id: <199806160515.AAA25984@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 00:03:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1998 to 15 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30e9f310194bd30a786eea6a05109879 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 268 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. tipping bucket rain gauges 2. Student Position Available (NWS - TDL) 3. Watch Decentralization 4. Weather Paging Service 5. Lightning Strike Maps for Alaska 6. LSR's 7. Browser Conspiracy and Weather.Com 8. Additional ASOS Sites 9. Videos still needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:36:58 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: tipping bucket rain gauges >I'm not a tipping bucket supporter, but my experience with tipping bucket >rain gauges shows that they match up quite nicely with tube and weighing >rain gauges... even in the heaviest of rains. The one caveat I have >noticed about some tipping bucket gauges is that the wind is able to get >inside and tip the bucket more than the measured rain, indicating a larger >amount of precipitation than what actually fell (this is especially true in >West Texas ;-)). Personally, I have found that there is no real substitute >for a heated, weighing rain gauge. > >Regards, > >Bruce >---------------- >Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu >Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu >Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** >"Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended >models." > The 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake caused our tipping bucket to register 0.18 inches. Good thing we have fewer quakes than West Texas has strong winds 8-) Frank /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 12:59:44 -0400 From: Stephan Smith Subject: Student Position Available (NWS - TDL) The Techiques Development Lab (TDL) of the National Weather Service (NWS) has an immediate opening for an undergraduate OR graduate student in our career experience program (aka Co-op student program). The person would work in support of the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). This is an excellent opportunity to gain critical job experience for those seriously considering a career with the NWS or in the area of atmospheric sciences in general. For more information visit the TDL homepage at www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/ or contact Dr. Stephan B. Smith, at 301-713-1774 x180 (Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov). ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 16:03:12 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Watch Decentralization Many have expressed reservations about the prospect of having Tornado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches issued by local offices... Well worry no more (or at least until the next century ;> ) >From the NWS IM bulletin: Convective Watch Decentralization ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- In the early 1990's, the National Weather Service (NWS) began rigorous planning to migrate convective watch responsibility from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) to NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFO's). Since then, customers expressed reservations about this initiative. NWS Regional Directors have also agreed that the convective watch decentralization timeline is too aggressive. The NWS Director has agreed that taking on full watch decentralization at this time would be a burden for both the NWS and its customers. Accordingly, Kelly has directed that phases II through IV of the watch decentralization be deferred until the early part of the next century when the main components of modernization will be operational. NWS will proceed with phase I of the watch decentralization that leaves watch responsibility with the SPC, but gives each WFO more authority in redefining and clearing watches. This process should strengthen the program while providing the NWS with customer feedback on the greater involvement of the WFO's. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 15:15:25 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather Paging Service The following appeared in Shop Talk, an Internet-based TV news industry magazine. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Since its introduction in ShopTalk three weeks ago, the new WeatherWarn service has been signed as market exclusive contracts with KOCO-TV in Oklahoma City, KVUE-TV in Austin, KXTV-TV in Sacramento, and WBTV-TV in Charlotte. Founder Anthony Watts says that "the new service is being very well received, and stations are taking advantage of this new service not only for the promotional and public service value, but for the sponsorship value as well." The WeatherWarn Service automatically delivers weather bulletins via email, pager, and PCS phones to viewers that visit the TV station website. Details are at http://www.tvweather.com/weatherwarn The service will be showcased at next weeks AMS Broadcast convention in St. Louis. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 13:57:41 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Lightning Strike Maps for Alaska Those interested in Lightning Strike Maps, The BLM-Alaska Fire Service has available, current and yesterday's strike maps at: http://fire.ak.blm.gov/cgi-win/mapsviewer.dll This is available only during the fire season (May-Sep). If you cannot get to this site directly, start at http://www.dnr.state.ak.us/forestry and work your way in (current fires --> weather --> lightning). BTW: Thanks for the feedback concerning the Weather Channel Website Netscape (3.0) download problem. By disabling Java/Java Script, the download works fine. Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 22:48:37 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: LSR's The Central Atlantic Storm Investigators host an archive of LSR's going back to 1994. We also have Tornado Warnings back to '94, Mesoscale Discussions, SPCLOGs, Watches back to 1997, and Severe Statements for the Central-Atlantic region back to 1997. http://www.weatherwatchers.org/archive/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 23:21:41 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Browser Conspiracy and Weather.Com It's really no conspiracy, it's very simple - Microsoft is offering sites special deals (read:money_for_advertising) if people make their sites IE 4.0 compatible and put on a IE button. Sometimes, but not always, this can cause troubles with earlier versions of browsers. Keep in mind Netscape 3.0 is an *old* browser and any Web Developer will tell you "for best results please use a *current* version of your web browser." It's a progressive world in HTML and people with old browsers will eventually not be able to get into certain sites. For a long period last year, Intellicast's site just gave a "404 Not Found" error when a non-frames browser accessed their site, and that was their decision, to ignore 15% of the audience (at that time). Since then I think they have amended that to at least explain why you can't visit their front page without frames. As many people posted here Netscape 4.0 does not have any problems with TWC's site. I'm pretty sure the TWC/NS3.0 problems are cookie related anyway - I think I found this out with some clever investigating of my cookies and found that when I removed the old cookie I could get the page. I wrote them about this but never heard back so I don't know if they looked into that. If that's the case then it's definitely not a conspiracy, it's a bad implementation of cookies. All in all, don't tell me that TWC is willing to ignore Netscape (what used to be 75% of the Browser Market Share last year), as competitive as the Web Weather market is. It's probably bad HTML or associated tricks at best. P.S. If you want to see a site that is *really* IE only visit The Weather Channel's MSIE4 Channel at ie4.weather.com This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 16:38:04 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Additional ASOS Sites The FAA recently procured 30 additional ASOS sites. Installation at some of these site has already begun. SID CITY AIRPORT ST APF NAPLES NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT FL BBW BROKEN BOW BROKEN BOW MUNICIPAL AIRPORT NE CEC CRESCENT CITY MC NAMARA FIELD CA CMA CAMARILLO CAMARILLO AIRPORT CA CTB CUT BANK CUT BANK MUNICIPAL AIRPORT MT DUG DOUGLAS BISBEE BISBEE DOUGLAS INTL AIRPORT AZ DUJ DU BOIS DU BOIS-JEFFERSON COUNTY ARPT PA EAU EAU CLAIRE CHIPPEWA VALLEY REGIONAL ARPT WI EED NEEDLES NEEDLES AIRPORT CA FDY FINDLAY FINDLAY AIRPORT OH FNB FALLS CITY BRENER FIELD AIRPORT NE IML IMPERIAL IMPERIAL MUNICIPAL AIRPORT NE JXN JACKSON JACKSON COUNTY-REYNOLDS FIELD MI LWT LEWISTOWN LEWISTOWN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT MT MHE MITCHELL MITCHELL MUNICIPAL AIRPORT SD ODX ORD EVELYN SHARP FIELD AIRPORT NE PKB PARKERSBURG WOOD COUNTY ARPT WILSON FIELD WV PSX PALACIOS PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT TX RDM REDMOND ROBERTS FIELD OR RKS ROCK SPRINGS R/S-SWEETWATER COUNTY AIRPORT WY RWL RAWLINS RAWLINS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WY SFB ORLANDO ORLANDO SANFORD AIRPORT FL SIY MONTAGUE SISKIYOU COUNTY AIRPORT CA TAD TRINIDAD STOKES AIRPORT CO UGN CHICAGO/WAUKEGAN WAUKEGAN REGIONAL AIRPORT IL UIN QUINCY QUINCY MUNICIPAL BALDWIN FIELD IL UKI UKIAH UKIAH MUNICIPAL AIRPORT CA VGT LAS VEGAS NORTH LAS VEGAS AIR TERMINAL NV VLD VALDOSTA VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT GA WJF LANCASTER FOX AIRFIELD CA Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 20:15:13 EDT From: J Howell Subject: Videos still needed Anyone on the list have a VHS copy of "Day of the Killer Tornadoes" and/or "Neosho: April 24" I could get a copy of?? Thanks. Jeff ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1998 to 15 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4452 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630537-7410>; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 13:31:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14980; Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:14:49 -0500 Message-Id: <199806170514.AAA14980@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 00:04:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jun 1998 to 16 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9f133179640a046955edb923f6e18221 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 307 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS Marine Forecasts stuck on Tues June 9 (2) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1998 to 15 Jun 1998 (2) 3. NWR Public Outreach 4. FW: FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists 5. FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 07:53:39 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: NWS Marine Forecasts stuck on Tues June 9 Hi, Anyone know when the Taunton, MA and Grey,ME marine products will be updated? They seem to have died on June 9 and still show reports from that date. Paul Hodgdon Hampton BEach, NH ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 08:15:47 -0400 From: John Kent Subject: Re: NWS Marine Forecasts stuck on Tues June 9 paul_a_hodgdon__jr wrote: > > Hi, > > Anyone know when the Taunton, MA and Grey,ME marine products will be > updated? > > They seem to have died on June 9 and still show reports from that date. The problem must lie with the website you are using to find them...the NWS is issuing them, and they are current on the Ohio State U. website: http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/marine/FZUS06.KBOS -and- http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/marine/FZUS06.KPWM Regards... John Kent Hopewell Junction, NY ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 09:42:54 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1998 to 15 Jun 1998 >Date: Mon, 15 Jun 1998 09:36:58 -0700 >From: Frank Gouveia >Subject: Re: tipping bucket rain gauges > >>I'm not a tipping bucket supporter, but my experience with tipping bucket >>rain gauges shows that they match up quite nicely with tube and weighing >>rain gauges... even in the heaviest of rains. The one caveat I have >>noticed about some tipping bucket gauges is that the wind is able to get >>inside and tip the bucket more than the measured rain, indicating a larger >>amount of precipitation than what actually fell (this is especially true in >>West Texas ;-)). Personally, I have found that there is no real substitute >>for a heated, weighing rain gauge. >> >>Regards, >> >>Bruce >From my experiences with the NWS tipping buckets, their accuracy was extremely questionable during heavy rains. Variations between the tipping bucket and 8 inch or weighing gage could vary by as much as .25 to .50 inches depending upon the intensity of the rain. I have no knowledge about the accuracy of the tipping buckets used with today's ASOS however, but I have heard that similar anomolies exist. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 10:10:00 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1998 to 15 Jun 1998 At 09:42 AM 6/16/98 -0500, Paul Pettit wrote: I wrote: >>>I'm not a tipping bucket supporter, but my experience with tipping bucket >>>rain gauges shows that they match up quite nicely with tube and weighing >>>rain gauges... even in the heaviest of rains. The one caveat I have >>>noticed about some tipping bucket gauges is that the wind is able to get >>>inside and tip the bucket more than the measured rain, indicating a larger >>>amount of precipitation than what actually fell (this is especially true in >>>West Texas ;-)). Personally, I have found that there is no real substitute >>>for a heated, weighing rain gauge. >>> >>>Regards, >>> >>>Bruce >From my experiences with the NWS tipping buckets, their accuracy was >extremely questionable during heavy rains. Variations between the tipping >bucket and 8 inch or weighing gage could vary by as much as .25 to .50 >inches depending upon the intensity of the rain. > >I have no knowledge about the accuracy of the tipping buckets used with >today's ASOS however, but I have heard that similar anomolies exist. > > > > Paul Pettit As a former NWS observer myself, our Belfort/Bendix rain rauges (tipping bucket, tube, and weighing) all matched up very well, never more than .02 off from each other... even in extended periods of RW+ (no METAR here ;-)). As mentioned above, the only exception being when the wind got inside the gauge to tip the bucket even more. However, after talking with my former supervisor, I was informed that the tipping bucket gauge was modified to accept a heavier flow of precip without under-measuring the precip amount!?! Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA a1kbh@ttuvm1.ttu.edu Information Systems Specialist bhaynie@ttu.edu Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 11:35:33 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWR Public Outreach ** NOUS41 KWBC 161418 *** PNSWSH PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 1000 AM EDT TUE JUN 16 1998 TO ALL NWS CUSTOMERS AND NWS EMPLOYEES FROM BARRY REICHENBAUGH...NWS PUBLIC AFFAIRS SUBJECT TODAY'S SATELLITE FEED OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS IN TWO NEW PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS AVAILABLE BY SATELLITE FEED TODAY...JUNE 16...VICE PRESIDENT AL GORE ENCOURAGES AMERICANS TO USE NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS WITH BUILT-IN ALARMS TO GET IMMEDIATE LOCAL HAZARD INFORMATION AND WARNINGS DIRECT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IN THE PSAS...THE VICE PRESIDENT EXPLAINS THAT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE USES ITS NETWORK OF MORE THAN 460 BROADCAST TRANSMITTERS TO ISSUE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS...AND OTHER LOCAL EMERGENCY MESSAGES. TO DOWNLINK THE FEED OF THE 30- AND 60-SECOND PSAS...REFER TO THE FOLLOWING... JUNE 16...1:15 -- 1:45 PM EDT SATELLITE COORDINATES.../ C-BAND...TELSTAR 4...TRANSPONDER 20...DOWNLINK FREQUENCY.../ 4100 MHZ...AUDIO FREQUENCY 6.2/6.8 CONTACT DIANA GONZALEZ OF POTOMAC TELEVISION FOR QUESTIONS ON THIS FEED AT 1-800-666-7882. THE SATELLITE FEED WILL BE REPEATED AGAIN ON JULY 21 AND AUGUST 18...THE TIMES AND OTHER DOWNLINK INFORMATION WILL BE THE SAME AS GIVEN ABOVE. BROADCAST QUALITY COPIES OF THE PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS ALSO ARE AVAILABLE FOR THE COST OF REPRODUCTION AND SHIPPING FROM VIDEO TRANSFER OF ROCKVILLE MARYLAND. CONTACT VIDEO TRANSFER BY PHONE - (301) 881-0270...BY FAX - (301) 770-9131 OR BY E-MAIL - (IN LOWER CASE) VIDTRANS@EROLS.COM END ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 14:56:10 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FW: FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists -----Original Message----- From: Emergency Information Media Affairs [mailto:eipa@fema.gov] Sent: Tuesday, June 16, 1998 2:38 PM To: roboaccount@fema.gov Subject: FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists FEMA DIRECTOR APPEALS TO METEOROLOGISTS TO HELP REACH AMERICAN PUBLIC WITH LIFE AND PROPERTY SAVING MEASURES June 16, 1998 -- FEMA Director James Lee Witt will address the 27th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology of the American Meteorological Society on June 18 at the Regal Riverfront Hotel in St. Louis, Mo. Witt will ask the meteorologists to get the word out to the public about the actions that individuals, businesses and communities can take to protect themselves from the damaging effects of natural disasters. Director Witt will discuss Project Impact, a major new initiative that is designed to change the way American deals with disasters. Project Impact focuses on prevention measures that communities and individuals can take to reduce the damage to property from floods, hurricanes, earthquakes and other natural disasters before they happen, rather than picking up the pieces afterward. The American Meteorological Society is a scientific and professional society that actively promotes the development and dissemination of information and education of the atmospheric and related oceanic and hydrologic sciences. The AMS has more than 12,000 members from the United States and over 100 foreign countries and more than 135 corporation and institutional members, representing 40 countries. For more information about the American Meteorological Society go to http://www.arnetsoc.org/AMS Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Jun 1998 21:16:57 -0500 From: "Joe B. Dorn" Subject: Re: FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists http://www.arnetsoc.org/AMS is not good... a r n e t s o c should be a m e t s o c Joe Dorn, Belton, Texas -----Original Message----- From: Robert P Dale [SMTP:rdale@NORDEN1.COM] Sent: Tuesday, June 16, 1998 13:56 PM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: FW: FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists -----Original Message----- From: Emergency Information Media Affairs [mailto:eipa@fema.gov] Sent: Tuesday, June 16, 1998 2:38 PM To: roboaccount@fema.gov Subject: FEMA Director Appeals to Meteorologists FEMA DIRECTOR APPEALS TO METEOROLOGISTS TO HELP REACH AMERICAN PUBLIC WITH LIFE AND PROPERTY SAVING MEASURES June 16, 1998 -- FEMA Director James Lee Witt will address the 27th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology of the American Meteorological Society on June 18 at the Regal Riverfront Hotel in St. Louis, Mo. Witt will ask the meteorologists to get the word out to the public about the actions that individuals, businesses and communities can take to protect themselves from the damaging effects of natural disasters. Director Witt will discuss Project Impact, a major new initiative that is designed to change the way American deals with disasters. Project Impact focuses on prevention measures that communities and individuals can take to reduce the damage to property from floods, hurricanes, earthquakes and other natural disasters before they happen, rather than picking up the pieces afterward. The American Meteorological Society is a scientific and professional society that actively promotes the development and dissemination of information and education of the atmospheric and related oceanic and hydrologic sciences. The AMS has more than 12,000 members from the United States and over 100 foreign countries and more than 135 corporation and institutional members, representing 40 countries. For more information about the American Meteorological Society go to http://www.arnetsoc.org/AMS Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jun 1998 to 16 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:58:57 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2409 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626152-14996>; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 13:13:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41052; Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:07:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199806180507.AAA41052@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 00:02:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jun 1998 to 17 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7b5a94221ca5d8d9766bbbdf83128c76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 292 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Tracking Charts (4) 2. NE Rainfall 3. Fires in northern Florida 4. Real-time info on non-00/12Z soundings (2) 5. Final Report on the May 31st Tornado Outbreak in Albany 6. NWS Taunton Marine Forecasts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 09:04:20 -0400 From: Jonathan Kratenstein Subject: Hurricane Tracking Charts Does anyone know where I can find a blank Hurricane tracking Chart on the Internet? Thanks for you help. Thanks, Jon Kratenstein Automated Weather Source Jr. Technician/Shipping 301-258-8390 Ext: 115 Jkraten@aws.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 09:31:50 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Hurricane Tracking Charts AccuWX has some excellent PDF files, both large scale and zoomed-in, on their personal weather site http://personal.accuweather.com Rob > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jonathan > Kratenstein > Sent: Wednesday, June 17, 1998 9:04 AM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Hurricane Tracking Charts > > > Does anyone know where I can find a blank Hurricane tracking Chart on the > Internet? Thanks for you help. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 08:45:33 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: NE Rainfall I notice that BOS and PVD (for example) are running 14 and 17 inches above normal precip for the year. I was wondering what the record annual rainfalls are for these stations. My hometown (State College) was about 42" (IIRC); I figure PVD and BOS are above that, but how much? It certainly seems like they have a good chance to break a record this year. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:39:51 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Hurricane Tracking Charts I have cleaned up the NOAA chart, and it's available on our Emergency Management website at: http://www.collierem.org/tr_chart.htm Jonathan Kratenstein wrote: > Does anyone know where I can find a blank Hurricane tracking Chart on the > Internet? Thanks for you help. > > Thanks, > Jon Kratenstein > Automated Weather Source > Jr. Technician/Shipping > 301-258-8390 Ext: 115 > Jkraten@aws.com > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ________________________________________________________________________________________ Gary Arnold, CEM | Collier County Emergency Management | EM page: "http://www.collierem.org/" E-mail: garnold@naples.net | Mine: "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" Horngren's Observation (generalized): "The real world is a special case." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 14:44:27 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: Re: Hurricane Tracking Charts The problem with the "Accu-Weather" maps are that they do not have a scale on them. You can not estimate distance with these maps, despite the fact they are hi-hres. A map without a scale is pretty useless. Also the "Accu-Weather" logos are a bit intrusive... Mike Dross Robert P Dale on 06/17/98 09:31:50 AM Please respond to Robert P Dale To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK cc: (bcc: Michael W Dross/Cust/DukePower) Subject: Re: Hurricane Tracking Charts AccuWX has some excellent PDF files, both large scale and zoomed-in, on their personal weather site http://personal.accuweather.com Rob > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jonathan > Kratenstein > Sent: Wednesday, June 17, 1998 9:04 AM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Hurricane Tracking Charts > > > Does anyone know where I can find a blank Hurricane tracking Chart on the > Internet? Thanks for you help. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 18:05:44 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Fires in northern Florida If you look at the radar, those plumes in northern Florida are not rain; but forest fires. Those "V's" in various northeastern Florida places aren't storm clouds, but the burning fires. Notice how they're standing still, and blowing due east. We've got one here in northeastern Alachua Co. right now. City of Waldo being evacuated/under State of Emergency right now. People coming home from work are now finding out that the roads to their homes are blocked. They're being redirected to shelters. Ground winds blowing east so I'm okay here in north-central Alachua County. They're hoping the sea-breeze winds will blow the fire back the other direction, over already burned areas, to help them regain some control over it. They had it under control this morning but apparently not any more. They're not able to keep it under control. They think it was arson. Scanner doesn't sound same anymore. Sounds more like a real war with the constant comms and various "plans of attack." They're real busy trying to desparately save some homes that are now being threatened. Sheesh. ...El Nino. First we're flooded out -- and Paynes Prairie becomes so full of water that it was renamed back to Alachua Lake; and now residents are being burned out of their homes. I can see the plume from here, looking out my window. It looks like a huge towering cumulus. It just barely breaks above the treetops on my horizon a few hundred feet away. Must be tens of thousands of feet high, that plume. Again, I'm not in the danger area. Waldo is about a 30-minute drive from here where I am. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 18:05:15 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Real-time info on non-00/12Z soundings Is there a bulletin, graphic, etc., that indicates what stations will be taking or have taken off-time soundings? Rather than checking a bunch of skew-Ts and looking for 18Z data, I'd rather have one place I could go to find out which stations will or did take special soundings. --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner "Arrogance and stupidity, all in one package.....how efficient of you!" - Ambassador Londo Mollari, Babylon 5 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 19:26:26 -0400 From: "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" Subject: Final Report on the May 31st Tornado Outbreak in Albany Hello. This is Hugh Johnson representing the National Weather Service out of Albany. For the record there were only three CONFIRMED tornados in the immediate Albany area on May 31st. By far the strongest one was the twister that devasted the Mechanicville/Stillwater area. That storm then tracked east into Southern Vermont. Officially that was ranked as an F3 Tornado. There was an F1 tornado that touched down at the Northeast end of the Albany international airport and another F2 tornado in Rennselear county. The rest of the damage...(and there was lots) was the result of the Microbursts from thunderstorms. There was another brief tornado touchdown in central Litchfield County in Northwest Connecticut. Binghamton's County Warning Area had 14 tornadoes (between the outbreak on Sunday and again Tuesday). Buffalo had three. Anybody who is interested in reading much more about the Sunday May 31st outbreak of severe weather in Eastern New York and Adjacent Western New England should reach Albany's homepage at http://nwsfo.nws.cestm.albany.edu/ The section includes lots of photos and literature about the event. I apologize for not sending this EMail earlier...but have been busy...on vacation...etc. Hugh W. Johnson IV NWSFO ALY ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 20:03:55 -0400 From: "Jonathan C. Porter" Subject: NWS Taunton Marine Forecasts Hello... in response to a question posted on this group..if you are getting the marine forecast from the National Weather Service Boston, Mass Homepage (http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/box/) then the reason is that the information is not going to be updated as a result of technical problems with the website. This should all be back working on 6/23/98..according to the Taunton NWS Forecast Discussion. Jon Porter ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Jonathan C. Porter Director.. NE Weather Student Member of the American Meteorological Society Member- National Honor Society Member- Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (CASI) "Killingly, CT's WeatherMan" http://www.neca.com/~jpcp32/ne.htm NE Weather Homepage jpcp32@neca.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 20:31:56 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Real-time info on non-00/12Z soundings > Is there a bulletin, graphic, etc., that indicates what stations will be > taking or have taken off-time soundings? Rather than checking a bunch of > skew-Ts and looking for 18Z data, I'd rather have one place I could go to > find out which stations will or did take special soundings. Unfortunately no... My method is to download the 18Z upa file (available from ws321.uncc.edu among other places) and run the raobsort.exe program written for SHARP. That is available on the Industrial Meteorology homepage http://www.nws.noaa.gov/im Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jun 1998 to 17 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 00:59:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1087 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628260-22219>; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 13:19:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12154; Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:12:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199806190512.AAA12154@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 00:05:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jun 1998 to 18 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 00505d362eeedd47b844e7ebb1c592a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 448 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Site Id Changes 2. DOES ANYONE KNOW??????? (2) 3. Hurricanes in the Baja Area 4. FW: FEMA Director Announces Alliance with American Meteorological Society 5. Measuring rain........ 6. RCC/NCDC Upper Air Survey 7. DR Myers goes to Washington (2) 8. Jolly Rancher Hail? (3) 9. Jolly Rancher Hail..... 10. forest fire satellite images +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 17 Jun 1998 23:21:03 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: ASOS Site Id Changes Last week, I posted changes to site ids to four ASOS sites. The changes were to have gone into effect on 6/18. There has been a delay in the changing of these site ids. The sites I posted were: 3KM - Wichita/Jabara, KS 6R0 - Slidell, LA L39 - Ramona, CA U11 - Rexburg, ID The above site ids will continue for now. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 06:40:22 -0500 From: MARK WIDERSTROM Subject: DOES ANYONE KNOW??????? If you can attached digital weather images to the list server as a attachment? I have a digital camera and get some good pictures of storms and related weather? Mark Widerstrom N5UOA ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:27:28 -0400 From: John Kent Subject: Re: DOES ANYONE KNOW??????? MARK WIDERSTROM wrote: > > If you can attached digital weather images to the list > server as a attachment? > > I have a digital camera and get some good pictures of storms > and related weather? Please don't...those of us who receive our e-mail over modem connections don't want to have to wait for huge binary files to come in before we can see or read any of our mail. Instead, post the pictures on the web and send the URL to wx-talk along with a description of the images. Regards... John Kent Hopewell Junction, New York ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 08:52:14 -0400 From: Jonathan Kratenstein Subject: Hurricanes in the Baja Area What is the likelihood of the Baja area of Mexico receiving a hurricane or Tropical Storm in August and September. Thanks for your help again. Thanks, Jon Kratenstein Automated Weather Source Jr. Technician/Shipping 301-258-8390 Ext: 115 Jkraten@aws.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 10:17:35 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FW: FEMA Director Announces Alliance with American Meteorological Society (Note the lack of a URL for the AMS this time :> ) -----Original Message----- From: Emergency Information Media Affairs [mailto:eipa@fema.gov] Sent: Thursday, June 18, 1998 9:21 AM To: roboaccount@fema.gov Subject: FEMA Director Announces Alliance with American Meteorological Society FEMA DIRECTOR WITT ANNOUNCES PROJECT IMPACT ALLIANCE WITH AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY ST. LOUIS June 18, 1998 - Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Director James L. Witt today announced that the American Meteorological Society (AMS) has agreed to assist FEMA in disseminating information that can save lives and reduce property damage during disasters. Witt, speaking at the 27th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology of the AMS in St. Louis, said the information FEMA will provide to AMS for public dissemination is part of Project Impact, a national effort designed to reduce the damage and costs of disasters. Project Impact challenges communities across the country to build local partnerships that assess vulnerabilities to natural hazards and implement actions that protect families, businesses and communities. "Because broadcast meteorologists are a trusted source of information in communities, this FEMA-AMS alliance will be instrumental in increasing public awareness about how Americans can reduce the damaging effects of disasters," Witt said. "We are asking meteorologists to be Project Impact messengers who educate the public about preventive measures that can be taken before disaster strikes to reduce damage to homes, families, businesses and communities, rather than picking up the pieces afterward." AMS President Gene Rasmusson said: "With the voice provided by the nation's meteorologists, AMS hopes that the public will be able to understand the necessity of preventative measures and the necessity of learning about the science of weather." Based on the progress of seven pilot projects, Witt earlier this month announced Project Impact communities in all 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico that are developing local partnerships to implement Project Impact disaster-resistant activities. FEMA expects to have 500 business partners by October 1998. "The increasing number and severity of disasters in the past decade demand that we take action to reduce the threat that disasters impose on the economic stability, future and safety of Americans," Witt said. Under the alliance announced today, FEMA will provide meteorologists with information on local disaster risks, one-on-one technical assistance, preventive actions, and how localities can become Project Impact communities. The focus of the AMS Conference is to provide broadcast meteorologists with the latest information about the science of weather so they in turn can provide more accurate and timely weather forecasts and predictions to the public. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 13:04:07 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Measuring rain........ I am in the process of growing some grass and am wondering if there is a way I can measure how much water my lawn gets (either rain, or from the sprinklers). I am probably going to get a rain gage and I was wondering if that will produce reliable estimates on how much water, in inches, that my lawn got from the sprinklers as well as from rain. Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 10:28:45 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: RCC/NCDC Upper Air Survey For those who use upper air data and haven't completed the RCC/NCDC survey, check out the questionaire below: http://met-www.cit.cornell.edu/upperair_survey.html There are 40 questions and it will require about 10 minutes of your time. Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 12:28:19 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: DR Myers goes to Washington Dear Group: I was passed this and thought the group would be interested: Science Subcommittee Hears From Outside Witnesses on NOAA Budget The March 25th hearing of the House Science Energy and Environment Subcommittee (Chairman Ken Calvert, R-CA) was held to review the Fiscal Year 1999 budget requests for agencies under the Subcommittees jurisdiction, including NOAAs atmospheric programs. At the hearing, former nuclear scientist and university professor, Rep. Vern Ehlers (R-MI) closely and methodically questioned Dr. Joel Myers, President of Accuweather, regarding his earlier assertions that the National Weather Service (NWS) was unfairly competing with the private sector meteorolgical services. Of particular interest to the Michigan Republican was whether private forecasters were paying their fair share of the cost for NOAAs goestationary and polar orbiting satellites. Under oath, Dr. Myers not only asserted that he would be out of business without the NOAA satellites, but stated that it would cost the private sector hundreds of millions of dollars, if they had to duplicate the NOAA satellite coverage. The Ph.D. scientist also challenged Dr. Myers assertion that the National Weather Service should get out of the business of providing routine general forecasts and only focus on severe weather warnings. Rep. Ehlers asked Dr. Myers if he was suggesting that NWS forecasters should behave like firefighters waiting to go into action to issue severe weather warnings while presumably sitting around when routine everyday weather occurred. He called the idea a terribly wasteful use of government personnel. The Michigan Republican then asked Dr. Myers whether private meteorologists were recommending that they assume the responsibility for severe weather warnings. Dr. Myers answered no and then the head of Accuweather resumed his criticism of the NWS by targetting its decision to close down the Kansas City Severe Storm Center and scatter its functions nationally. He speculated that this decision to close the office might result in the loss of life. However, he did not present any evidence to back up his assertion. Ranking Subcommittee Democrat Tim Roemer (D-IN) also took issue with Dr. Myers and referred back to his admission that private forecasters benefit from government weather programs including NEXRAD, which is the best in the world. Chairman Calvert questioning of Dr. Myers was much gentler, but he still wondered out loud if the private sector had the capacity to issue the specialized agriculture and fire warning forecasts no longer issued by NWS. Dr. Myers assured Chairman Calvert that if the specialized services were not being provided let me know and we (Accuweather) will provide it tomorrow. JC ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 14:22:25 -0700 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Jolly Rancher Hail? PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1059 AM CDT THU JUN 18 1998 TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 1037 AM MARBLE CITY OK .75 INCH HAIL 06/18/98 SEQUOYAH PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL WAS THE SIZE OF A JOLLY RANCHER CANDY I wonder how .75 inch is determined from this description? And, aren't Jolly Rancher's actually more rectangle-shaped? Wouldn't a "tootsie-roll pop" sized hail be a better description? (all in good fun, of course:) -Ken Tarvin San Diego, CA ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 16:30:49 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: DR Myers goes to Washington >Science Subcommittee Hears From Outside Witnesses on NOAA Budget >The March 25th hearing of the House Science Energy and Environment >Subcommittee (Chairman Ken Calvert, R-CA) was held to review the Fiscal >Year 1999 budget requests for agencies under the Subcommittees >jurisdiction, including NOAAs atmospheric programs. At the hearing, former >nuclear scientist and university professor, Rep. Vern Ehlers (R-MI) closely >and methodically questioned Dr. Joel Myers, President of Accuweather, (snip) Please remember that Dr. Myers was testifying as Prez of Accuweather, and he does NOT represent the views of all us "private sector meteorological services". >Chairman Calvert questioning of Dr. Myers was much gentler, but he still >wondered out loud if the private sector had the capacity to issue the >specialized agriculture and fire warning forecasts no longer issued by NWS. (snip) On the agricultural side, it does. ;-) The real question is whether agricultural interests are willing to pay for it... On the fire warning side, the NWS still has that function. It has NOT been privatized. I see the Congress is still doing their usual fine job of keeping up to date... To emphasize, Dr. Myers does NOT represent the views of the entire private sector. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 18:17:55 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: Jolly Rancher Hail..... As we always say in our area on our Sky-Warn Net, we say how big are your Jolly Ranchers..... :) Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 18:14:50 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Jolly Rancher Hail? On Thu, 18 Jun 1998, Ken Tarvin wrote: > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK > 1059 AM CDT THU JUN 18 1998 > > TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > 1037 AM MARBLE CITY OK .75 INCH HAIL > 06/18/98 SEQUOYAH PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL WAS > THE SIZE OF A JOLLY > RANCHER CANDY > > > > I wonder how .75 inch is determined from this description? And, aren't > Jolly Rancher's actually more rectangle-shaped? Wouldn't a "tootsie-roll > pop" sized hail be a better description? Well, I'll admit I had to take a double-look at that :) But how they determined Jolly Rancher-sized hail is 3/4 inch: Jolly Ranchers (which are square, not rectangular :) are exactly 3/4 inch to a side. (They even used to specifically mention it on TV adverts not so long ago. :) > (all in good fun, of course:) Of course. :) > -Ken Tarvin > San Diego, CA -pb (who should probably be very, very frightened that I know that Jolly Ranchers measure 3/4 of an inch per side :) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 16:41:08 -0400 From: "Dr. M Brooks" Subject: forest fire satellite images Several days ago I was surfing around on the web and found a really cool site that had fairly real-time infrared satellite images of the forest fires in Florida and Mexico. But now I haven't a clue where I was when I was looking at that stuff. Just hoping someone here has been to a similar site and can point me in that direction again. Thanks! -Mark Ever stop to think, and forget to start again? **************************************************** Live Weather Images http://www.weatherimages.org **************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Jun 1998 17:45:25 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: Re: Jolly Rancher Hail? > > On Thu, 18 Jun 1998, Ken Tarvin wrote: > > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK > > 1059 AM CDT THU JUN 18 1998 > > > > TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > > > 1037 AM MARBLE CITY OK .75 INCH HAIL > > 06/18/98 SEQUOYAH PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL WAS > > THE SIZE OF A JOLLY > > RANCHER CANDY > > > > > > > > I wonder how .75 inch is determined from this description? And, aren't > > Jolly Rancher's actually more rectangle-shaped? Wouldn't a "tootsie-roll > > pop" sized hail be a better description? > > Well, I'll admit I had to take a double-look at that :) > > But how they determined Jolly Rancher-sized hail is 3/4 inch: Jolly > Ranchers (which are square, not rectangular :) are exactly 3/4 inch to > a side. (They even used to specifically mention it on TV adverts not > so long ago. :) In the interest of accuracy: Of course, this sparked quite a discussion as we sat around the wxlab playing virtual storm chase this afternoon. And one of the students who was hanging around informed us that jolly ranchers come in both square and rectangular - the square ones come in a roll like thing, and then there are individually wrapped ones that are rectangular. I would just like to say that this is my most wx-contentless post ever. Dana +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jun 1998 to 18 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626684-13299>; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 13:11:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62944; Sat, 20 Jun 1998 00:07:44 -0500 Message-Id: <199806200507.AAA62944@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 00:02:35 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jun 1998 to 19 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f46c690341c0b728db87f69abbcde52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 128 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Purdue WXP 2. Measuring Rain 3. Jolly Rancher Hail? 4. Jolly Rancher Hail? ... one more thing +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 08:32:02 -0500 From: Susan Wagener Subject: Purdue WXP FYI - One of the weathermen I report my weather stats to in Indianapolis graduated from Purdue and talked to someone at Purdue regarding the WXP. Here is his response to the recent satellite problems: >The wonders of computers!! Yes, we have been having problems with WXP - >when the satellite that effected the pagers went down, it also took WXP >with it. We have had to reposition our satellite, and I think all should >be taken care of satellite-wise. But during the recent storms, some of >our computers have crashed, and effected WXP also, so we are fixing those >and getting them up and running. It has been one thing after another >here!! Susan Wagener Bloomington, IN ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 07:57:51 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Measuring Rain Joel MCLAUGHLIN quired: > I am in the process of growing some grass and am wondering if there is >a way I can measure how much water my lawn gets (either rain, or from the >sprinklers). I am probably going to get a rain gage and I was wondering if >that will produce reliable estimates on how much water, in inches, that my >lawn got from the sprinklers as well as from rain. > >Joel McLaughlin >N8VQJ > Ferget the fancy-dancy raingage, Joel. Get yerself some coffee cans and other straight-sided containers and distribute around your yard. You'll not only get the average irrigation per minute, but you'll get a feeling for the uniformity of the spray pattern. Ah yes! This is REAL APPLIED METEOROLOGY! Frank -- a homeowner in Californian must know irrigation ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 10:10:43 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Jolly Rancher Hail? > > On Thu, 18 Jun 1998, Ken Tarvin wrote: > > > > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > > > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK > > > 1059 AM CDT THU JUN 18 1998 > > > > > > TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > > > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > > > > > 1037 AM MARBLE CITY OK .75 INCH HAIL > > > 06/18/98 SEQUOYAH PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL WAS > > > THE SIZE OF A JOLLY > > > RANCHER CANDY > > > > > > > > > > > > I wonder how .75 inch is determined from this description? And, aren't > > > Jolly Rancher's actually more rectangle-shaped? Wouldn't a "tootsie-roll > > > pop" sized hail be a better description? > > > > Well, I'll admit I had to take a double-look at that :) > > > > But how they determined Jolly Rancher-sized hail is 3/4 inch: Jolly > > Ranchers (which are square, not rectangular :) are exactly 3/4 inch to > > a side. (They even used to specifically mention it on TV adverts not > > so long ago. :) > > In the interest of accuracy: > > Of course, this sparked quite a discussion as we sat around the wxlab > playing virtual storm chase this afternoon. And one of the students > who was hanging around informed us that jolly ranchers come in both > square and rectangular - the square ones come in a roll like thing, and > then there are individually wrapped ones that are rectangular. Not to dwell on this too long, but perhaps the reporting person was trying to describe the shape of the hail as well. As most on this list know, once you get beyond about a half an inch in diameter, hail is quite often non-spherical. There can be anything from skittles to peanut butter cups...though I've never heard of "snickers bar" hail. -Keith ---------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Jun 1998 13:43:20 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Jolly Rancher Hail? ... one more thing > Not to dwell on this too long, but perhaps the reporting person was > trying to describe the shape of the hail as well. As most on this list > know, once you get beyond about a half an inch in diameter, hail is > quite often non-spherical. > > There can be anything from skittles to peanut butter cups...though > I've never heard of "snickers bar" hail. > > -Keith One more thing, if someone in Lubbock reports falling "Reese's Pieces" they might not be talking about hail. -Keith ---------------- Keith Brewster, n0iaw kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jun 1998 to 19 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:00:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4111 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629363-8005>; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 16:24:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id DAA59456; Sun, 21 Jun 1998 03:00:02 -0500 Message-Id: <199806210800.DAA59456@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 01:46:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jun 1998 to 20 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cfa1e060ed8ccb90ec25d3f8ba4b54e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 24 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Off-time soundings +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 20 Jun 1998 11:15:50 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Off-time soundings >FPUS3 KOMA 201553 >SFDOMA [deleted nice discussion of today's potential svr wx] >FYI...PER REQUEST OF SPC...WE WILL BE TAKING AN 18Z SNDG. > >.OMA...NONE Hmmm, maybe all offices could put notes like this in their forecast discussions when they're asked to take additional soundings. --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner "Arrogance and stupidity, all in one package.....how efficient of you!" - Ambassador Londo Mollari, Babylon 5 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jun 1998 to 20 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3725 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626788-6261>; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 13:15:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB13114; Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:10:19 -0500 Message-Id: <199806220510.AAB13114@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 00:05:31 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jun 1998 to 21 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fea9fcd2390b5046a500ca14409e91b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 15 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jun 1998 to 20 Jun 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 21 Jun 1998 16:49:14 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jun 1998 to 20 Jun 1998 The Hurricane Season is a month old, and many experts out there have made their forecasts. What do you think will happen? Please feel free to e-mail me your thoughts (which don't have to be in terms of exact numbers), and I will take these thoughts and post them on my web site. Thank you for your time and cooperation. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jun 1998 to 21 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:01:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2125 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-11112>; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 13:09:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA66220; Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:05:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199806230505.AAA66220@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:01:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jun 1998 to 22 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7819d7b6d525c10b196f22597b8fb70a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 119 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Jolly Rancher Hail? 2. TWC T-Storm Warnings (2) 3. GOES-8 imagery of Florida fires +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 08:06:59 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: Jolly Rancher Hail? This discussion reminded me of a story told long ago about a former civil defense director: Seems this director (older gentlemen, widely disregarded by his peers) was standing in the doorway of the fire department truck bay watching the weather. Soon he came running into the dispatcher, yelling "Blooooowwwww the si-reeeeens! We've got square hail!". What he didn't know was that the firemen were tossing ice cubes out the second story window above him! Cheers! Gayland Kitch KC5MMU Director of Emergency Management & Communications The City of Moore, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 22:07:46 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings Chris Stompanato wrote: >> why not just state that at the end of listing all the counties? >> The manner in which they state these warnings really is slowed down by >> all the extra verbiage. I was just thinking about this the other day before I saw this message. As someone said, that could be for counties which are the same across states BUT I think it might also be worth thinking about having TWC parse the warning differently. I realize that having them broadcast it differently would cause trouble - either 2 warnings would have to be written or the one warning would have to be written with enough consistency to have it parsed out in a different way. But you have to admit that it's frustrating sitting there for the first 60 seconds watching this: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED...TORNADO WARNING... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV...415 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 1998...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...... Now I (the average Joe) have been sweating for a minute wondering if this thing is over my head and I still don't know where it is. A suggestion (with no regard to feasibility) would be to do something more like: TORNADO WARNING FOR BUTLER CO. (WV) AND JOHNSON CO. (VA)... DETAILS: ...BULLETING - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED...TORNADO WARNING... etc. That's if we *have* to stick with the scroll. My question would be why don't they let stations break in with the "full red-screen" like they do for watches/severe statements (at least around here). Maybe do full-screen once and then scroll. Given, Tornado Warnings do have lead time these days but we all know every second counts. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 19:24:08 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings Well, maybe because TWC is not really the first one you should listen to in these kind of events. I find that I get the fastest warnings by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. Just think, it takes less time to read then it does to listen and for them to say it. One of these days that text will actually be coded into a voice by a computer! So as soon as a warning is ready, boom it's brodcast. They way it is now, the thing has to be typed up then handed to someone to read over the air. Kind of slow when you can just hit a button and send what you just typed out over the air. At least that's they way NOAA is going in our area. Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ > admit that it's frustrating sitting there for the first 60 seconds watching this: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED...TORNADO WARNING... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV...415 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 1998...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...... Now I (the average Joe) have been sweating for a minute wondering if this thing is over my head and I still don't know where it is. A suggestion (with no regard to feasibility) would be to do something more like: TORNADO WARNING FOR BUTLER CO. (WV) AND JOHNSON CO. (VA)... DETAILS: ...BULLETING - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED...TORNADO WARNING... etc. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 00:48:13 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: GOES-8 imagery of Florida fires GOES Enthusiasts, The CIMSS GOES Gallery has added imagery showing the fires over northern Florida on 22 June 1998: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980622.html -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jun 1998 to 22 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:03:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1753 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-9771>; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 13:16:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25486; Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:08:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199806240508.AAA25486@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 00:02:34 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jun 1998 to 23 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 506adf0566eb7b06ace9cf7fe84781cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 323 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Cornfields and humidity? (5) 2. TWC T-Storm Warnings (4) 3. Rain Gauge +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:12:11 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Cornfields and humidity? I *swear* I wasn't dreaming when I saw this last night on CNN, but I can't find any concrete evidence of it this morning on the Web. It was a story on how the NWS noted that increased humidity due to the massive cornfields in Iowa in part caused the severe weather there - or at least that was the way CNN told it. I was hoping to find an official article I could read for more information. Anyone? This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:48:23 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: TWC T-Storm Warnings Jesse Ferrell wrote: >"That's if we *have* to stick with the scroll." I like the scroll as opposed to the full red screen. Often, TWC will show radar for the affected area. It is not uncommon for the full red screen to repeatedly cover up the regular broadcasts and other useful information. A red scroll bar at the bottom of the screen is more than adequate. >"But you have to admit that it's frustrating sitting there for the first 60 seconds watching this:" You are right on. Your idea on changing the order of the information contained in warnings is excellent. It takes entirely too long to get through the "preamble" before any useful information is presented, whether it is presented as text on TV or it is being read over the Weather Radio. Joel McLaughlin wrote: >"Well, maybe because TWC is not really the first one you should listen to in these kind of events." It is not uncommon for warnings to be broadcast on TWC BEFORE they are broadcast on the local NOAA Weather Radio! But, if you have an "alert" radio and TWC (or other media source), you will always get the warning in a timely fashion. I am personally not looking forward to hearing a computer generated voice over the Weather Radio. Yuk! Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 05:56:57 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings Earlier, Joel McLaughlin wrote to the world... > Well, maybe because TWC is not really the first one you should listen > to in these kind of events. I find that I get the fastest warnings by > listening to NOAA Weather Radio. Just think, it takes less time to read > then it does to listen and for them to say it. One of these days that > text will actually be coded into a voice by a computer! So as soon as a > warning is ready, boom it's brodcast. They way it is now, the thing has > to be typed up then handed to someone to read over the air. Kind of slow > when you can just hit a button and send what you just typed out over the > air. At least that's they way NOAA is going in our area. I've noticed that here in Minneapolis that I've gotten the warnings from the local affiliates faster than from the tone alerts from WX-radio. There have been many times where WX-TOR has been faster than the WX-radio. Realize there is a flaw in the WX-Radio system, in that one weather office often has multiple radio stations under it and each one is custom fed it's warnings. So if for example here in Minneapolis, if the counties served by the Willmar transmitter are getting pounded, Eau Claire may be seriously lagged due to the sheer amount of time/volume involved with feeding the other sites. Minneapolis/Chanhassen feeds: Minneapolis St. Cloud Mankato Willmar Eau Claire Look at a map of the CWA for Minneapolis...it's quite large as are a lot of the CWAs out here in the middle of the country. Is this good? It has been rather good so far, but who's not to say that a warning won't get accidently not transmitted and lives will be lost. A few nights ago, I was woken up by the tone alert for a new severe thunderstorm watch...then heard right and in the 5 minutes before the radio reset, a severe thunderstorm WARNING for Scott county (in Minneapolis/St. Paul Metro) that was never toned for. It was already an active night in the CWA and I'm sure it was an oversight, but it still worries me. I am not speaking badly of Minneapolis and the job they've done, rather voicing concerns about how overstretching of NWS staff could be dangerous in regards to relying on WX-Radio for your timely warnings. Just my $.02 worth, with an added request that someone decide what season Minnesota is in. Low 50s right now...storms this afternoon and 90 with humidity tomorrow. At least it's not boring :) John ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 10:18:39 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Cornfields and humidity? > > I *swear* I wasn't dreaming when I saw this last night on CNN, but I > can't find any concrete evidence of it this morning on the Web. It > was a story on how the NWS noted that increased humidity due to the > massive cornfields in Iowa in part caused the severe weather there - > or at least that was the way CNN told it. I was hoping to find an > official article I could read for more information. Anyone? > I should think that the only point that the NWS was making was that the humidity associated with the evapotranspiration from field upon field of unstressed, growing, corn helped destabilize the atmosphere by making the boundary layer more moist. During the heat wave of 1995, the highest dewpoints were right over Iowa's cornfields, in all likelihood because the corn was putting a lot of vapor into the atmosphere, and it was doing so when the leaves were really very warm. Scott ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 16:18:25 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Cornfields and humidity? "J" scribbled: > was a story on how the NWS noted that increased humidity due to > the massive cornfields in Iowa in part caused the severe weather > there... It's true that evapotranspiration from corn fields and such can act as a significant low-level moisture source during the summer; however, the corn is really only beginning to come up (I'm sure you've all heard the "knee-high-by-the-4th-of-July" addage for estimating corn height...what? you haven't?). I wouldn't think that the corn-induced low-80's dewpoint phenomenon would really be in full effect this early. Then again, with La Nina shaping up... Sorry J -- no official articles come to mind just yet, but I'll let you know if I find one. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:17:27 -24000 From: "David J. Kinsey" Subject: Rain Gauge Anyone know where a military unit can buy/obtain a large rain gauge? We are an Air National Guard weather unit and will have to use the government IMPAC credit card. I need the large size (around 4" daim and free-standing) and would prefer clear plastic. Thanks a bunch. ******************************* * David J. Kinsey, MSgt, CWSO * * 200th Weather Flight, VaANG * * (804)698-4432 * * djkinsey@deq.state.va.us * * djkinsey@mindspring.com * ******************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 11:57:17 -0500 From: "Roger B. Diercks" Subject: Re: Cornfields and humidity? On Tue, 23 Jun 1998, Scott Lindstrom wrote: > > I should think that the only point that the NWS was making was that the > humidity associated with the evapotranspiration from field upon field of > unstressed, growing, corn helped destabilize the atmosphere by making the > boundary layer more moist. > > During the heat wave of 1995, the highest dewpoints were right over Iowa's > cornfields, in all likelihood because the corn was putting a lot of vapor > into the atmosphere, and it was doing so when the leaves were really very > warm. I don't know of any articles that address this issue directly, but a reference worth checking out is the following: Kunkel, K.E., S.A. Changnon, B.C. Reinke, and R.W. Arritt, 1995: The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest: A climatic perspective and critical weather factors. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 1507-1518. I've found in my thesis research of Midwestern heat waves that heat waves accompanied by excessive humidity are generally preceded by abnormally wet periods. This was especially true in 1995 with a very wet spring in the Midwest. The role of evapotranspiration in contributing moisture to the atmosphere is something that definitely needs to be researched further. Roger Diercks ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 12:47:33 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Cornfields and humidity? > > "J" scribbled: > > was a story on how the NWS noted that increased humidity due to > > the massive cornfields in Iowa in part caused the severe weather > > there... > > It's true that evapotranspiration from corn fields and such can act > as a significant low-level moisture source during the summer; > however, the corn is really only beginning to come up (I'm sure > you've all heard the "knee-high-by-the-4th-of-July" addage for > estimating corn height...what? you haven't?). I wouldn't think > that the corn-induced low-80's dewpoint phenomenon would really > be in full effect this early. Then again, with La Nina shaping > up... > > Sorry J -- no official articles come to mind just yet, but I'll > let you know if I find one. > There was a blurb in the paper just this morning about how tall the corn is around here. 40 inches already in some spots in Jefferson County. I'm sure (some) Iowa corn is just as advanced. The warm May really helped with early germination. the other SSEC Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:25:25 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings Date: Mon, 22 Jun 1998 19:24:08 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings > Well, maybe because TWC is not really the first one you should listen to in these kind of events. I don't; I own 4 weatheradios ;) > I find that I get the fastest warnings by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. Just think, it takes less time to read then it does to listen and for them to say it. Yes indeed but unfortunately the average Joe doesn't...however we may be able to rely on local TV stations to break in if people are watching those... > One of these days that text will actually be coded into a voice by a computer! This is already happening in several areas of the US. Unfortunately, the comments I have heard have been that the voice is unintelligible. I haven't heard it myself... > So as soon as a warning is ready, boom it's brodcast. They way it is now, the thing has to be typed up then handed to someone to read over the air. Or if the power goes out, scribbled then read as happened to me once at NWS-AVL ;) This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:52:27 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings >> One of these days that text will actually be coded into a voice >> by a computer! > > This is already happening in several areas of the US. > Unfortunately, the comments I have heard have been that the > voice is unintelligible. I haven't heard it myself... > I heard the synthesized voice feature on the La Crosse WI station whilst chasing in northeastern Iowa a couple of weeks ago -- I had no problem understanding it. It sounds nearly identical to the text-to-speech technology that Apple Computer has had on the Macintosh platform (PlainTalk) for the past half decade. Which is to say, light years ahead of any Microsoft imitation... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jun 1998 to 23 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:04:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626932-17623>; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:10:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB41172; Thu, 25 Jun 1998 00:05:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199806250505.AAB41172@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 00:02:24 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jun 1998 to 24 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9a6682a39c7ee576444a2722f041be72 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 351 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wx radio frequencies in car radios? (3) 2. TV Met Position (St. Paul, MN) 3. TPC Strike Probabilities for Pacific 4. National Weather Association Newsletter 5. FW: 980624: Ice Pellets 6. Hurricane Blas 7. Cornfields and humidity? 8. TWC T-Storm Warnings 9. corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 22:19:53 -0700 From: Parzybok Subject: Wx radio frequencies in car radios? Hello Weather Talkers! I have recently heard that some carmakers are installing radios in their newer cars that can pick up the NWS weather radio frequencies. I wanted to find out from any of you if in fact this is occurring, and if so where and to what extent. Perhaps this is only occuring in areas striken by severe weather...because it is not happening in Oregon (nor would it need to). Having weather radio frequencies accessible from a car radio it is a great idea and could save lives. Thanks for your help, Tye W. Parzybok ______________________________________________________________ Tye W. Parzybok Voice: (541)752-6134 E-mail: mcci@peak.org Weather Front LLC 4882 S.W. Aster Street Corvallis, OR 97333 ______________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 04:18:50 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: Wx radio frequencies in car radios? In message <199806240519.WAA22445@peak.org>, you said: Parzybok writes: >Hello Weather Talkers! > >I have recently heard that some carmakers are installing >radios in their newer cars that can pick up the NWS weather radio >frequencies. I wanted to find out from any of you if in fact >this is occurring, and if so where and to what extent. Perhaps >this is only occuring in areas striken by severe weather...because >it is not happening in Oregon (nor would it need to). The only carmaker that comes to mind is BMW; their upgraded stereo comes with NWR capability (but, alas, not alarm or SAME...) William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 08:31:30 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Position (St. Paul, MN) Meteorologist ­ St. Paul, MN A unique opportunity for the right person: prepare and deliver weekend weathercasts at a Top-15 market TV station, plus radio forecasts for client stations in several Midwest states. Tremendous exposure creates a unique career opportunity. The successful candidate will have a meteorology degree, AMS seal and at least two years experience. If you're a highly motivated team player ready to move to the next level, rush your VHS tape and resume at once to: Weather, PO Box 25255, St. Paul, MN 55125. State of the art equipment. Compensation and benefits competitive. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 09:42:44 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: TPC Strike Probabilities for Pacific Does the Tropical Prediction Center issue strike probabilities for storms/hurricanes in the Pacific as they do for the Atlantic or are they not issuing them for Blas simply because it's too far from land? Not complaining...just trying to fill a gap in my knowledge base. Many thanks!! Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 12:12:52 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newsletter Following are the topics of articles in the May 1998 Issue of the National Weather Association Newsletter: 1. President's Message; The future of weather forecasting is now. 2. Dates to Remember. 3. Call for papers for the NWA Annual Meeting, 17-23 October, Oklahoma City, OK. 4. Convective SIGMET unit begins its third decade--supporting aviation. 5. NWA Training Committee Homepage is now on-line. 6. MSU Offering Geoscience Education to Teachers by Distance Learning. 7. Comments on ASOS Precipitation Measurements regarding an April 1998 Letter tot he Editor. 8. Call Dial-A-Buoy for wind and wave reports. 9. Meetings of Interest; Hastings, Nebraska, Buffalo, N.Y., and Great Falls, Montana. 10. Job Corner For copies of the newsletter or more information please contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email: natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 17:21:01 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Wx radio frequencies in car radios? > I have recently heard that some carmakers are installing > radios in their newer cars that can pick up the NWS weather > radio frequencies. I wanted to find out from any of you if > in fact this is occurring, and if so where and to what extent. > Perhaps this is only occuring in areas striken by severe > weather...because it is not happening in Oregon (nor would > it need to). > I know that many BMW's in the late 80's/early 90's had a WX radio button...current Saab radios have this function. Alas, I'm automotively Euro-centric, so those are the only ones I'm sure about. > Having weather radio frequencies accessible from a car radio > it is a great idea and could save lives. > Not to mention a boon during chasing activities... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 13:28:27 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FW: 980624: Ice Pellets A little political correctness I suppose ;> DATE: June 22, 1998 MEMORANDUM FOR: All Users of METAR/SPECI Observations And TAF Messages FROM: OSO14x1 - Dave Mannarano Ice Pellet Implementation Manager SUBJECT: USA Code Change For Ice Pellets Effective 0000 UTC, November 5, 1998 the Aviation Routine Weather Report/Aviation Selected Special Weather (METAR/SPECI) code formats used in the United States of America (USA) for reporting ice pellets will change from "PE" to "PL." New USA observing policy/procedures will require that only "PL" be used to encode ice pellets starting November 5, 1998. This change applies to all manual observing stations and automated observing stations where human augmentation is provided for reporting ice pellets. It does not apply to unstaffed automated observing stations which do not/cannot report ice pellets. The dual capability to encode ice pellets as either "PE" or "PL" will be implemented at over 100 staffed Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) locations from August 1998 to October 1998. Although these locations will have the capability to transmit ice pellets as "PL," they will be instructed to only use "PE" until November 5, 1998. Furthermore, although the implementation on November 5, 1998 is planned to be a fully coordinated "turn-key" event, there may still be some obvservers who did not "get the word" and may incorrectly continue to use the obsolete "PE" code after 0000 UTC, November 5, 1998. All deliquencies will be corrected as soon as possible. As a precaution, users with automated decoders are urged to take appropriate steps now to recognize both "PE" and "PL" in the METAR/SPECI code. Concurrent with the METAR/SPECI ice pellet code conversion (PE to PL) at 0000 UTC, November 5, 1998, the USA will also convert the Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) code format for ice pellets from "PE" to "PL." All USA TAFS which are valid on or after 0000 UTC, November 5, 1998 will use PL when referring to ice pellets. Again, as a precaution, users with automated decoders are urged to take appropriate steps now to recognize both "PE" and "PL" in the TAF code as well. In addition, effective 0000 UTC, November 5, 1998 "PL" will be used to indicate ice pellets in USA SIGMETs, Convective SIGMETs, domestic and international Area Forecasts, and Center Weather Service Unit products (Center Weather Advisories and Meteorological Impact Statements). ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 19:22:05 EDT From: Tim Trice Subject: Hurricane Blas Hello, I'm hoping that I'm doing this right. I was curious as to the quick strengthening of Blas yesterday evening. There was talk by the TWC meteorologists that Blas would become a hurricane at the 5pm advisory. But, looking at the satellite pictures that I had, it appeared that some dry air had been pulled into the center of circulation which would mean that Blas would weaken instead of strengthen. I've lost the image to use for representation to understand what I'm looking at, but hopefully those of you who've tracked her know what I'm referring to. Some of the people I have talked to had confused it with a developing eye and eye wall structure, though I'm positive that wasn't the case. Could it be that I just looked at the image wrong or was quick to make an analysis without really paying attention. I don't know, I'm just really confused by this right now. Anyway, thanks in advance. cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 18:46:30 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Re: Cornfields and humidity? >Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 16:18:25 +0000 >From: Scott Bachmeier >Subject: Re: Cornfields and humidity? > >"J" scribbled: >> was a story on how the NWS noted that increased humidity due to >> the massive cornfields in Iowa in part caused the severe weather >> there... > >It's true that evapotranspiration from corn fields and such can act >as a significant low-level moisture source during the summer; >however, the corn is really only beginning to come up (I'm sure >you've all heard the "knee-high-by-the-4th-of-July" addage for >estimating corn height...what? you haven't?). In most seasons and areas of the US, "knee-high-by-4th-of-July" is a bad year. Most cornfields should be waist- or chest-high by that point, and if the weather cooperated and some planting was done in early May, some fields could be close to head-high (on someone of average height) by that time. The phrase is decades old and probably that far out of date now. Modern corn varieties allow planting into much cooler soil temperatures. Earlier, farmers had to wait until later in the year to plant so the seed wouldn't rot in the cold ground, resulting in only knee-high corn on 4 July. But yes, evapotranspiration from cornfields is probably greater than what it would be for grasslands and could contribute to severe weather by having increased moisture in the boundary layer. It's not quite the "butterfly causing a hurricane", but it's not direct cause-and-effect either. - Mark --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner "Arrogance and stupidity, all in one package.....how efficient of you!" - Ambassador Londo Mollari, Babylon 5 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 15:29:22 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: TWC T-Storm Warnings In article , john@hockey.net wrote: ...deletia... > I've noticed that here in Minneapolis that I've gotten the warnings from > the local affiliates faster than from the tone alerts from WX-radio. > There have been many times where WX-TOR has been faster than the WX-radio. ...deletia... > I am not speaking badly of Minneapolis and the job they've done, rather > voicing concerns about how overstretching of NWS staff could be dangerous > in regards to relying on WX-Radio for your timely warnings. Having been an avid follower of the "NOAA" Weather Radio (NWR) during my storm chasing vacation recently ended, I am even now working up yet another ugly rant for presentation on my home Website. From the perspective of someone seeking the most up-to-date information about severe weather, I was terribly disappointed to find that commercial radio stations were often a better source for warnings than the NWR. Watch for the diatribe to come. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. ...Structure is the key to understanding... ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Jun 1998 21:57:58 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio wx talkers Corn... The other day, the topic of transpiration from corn was brough up. If I remember correctly, I believe someone did some research with this topic as it related to the Plainfield Ill tornado of 1990. I believe I heard it brought up at an Severe Local Storms conference. Wx radio... Many people brought up the fact that you get the warnings via media before NOAA wx radio. The reason for this is simple. It physically takes time for the met tech to rip the warning off the printer, go to the NOAA wx radio, push all the buttons, record the message, and press more buttons to send the message. On the other hand, the media/wx channel gets the warning (almost) instantly after the meteorologist hits the "return" key on the Wx-Warning (SR-WARN/WISE) computer. Some offices avoid this delay by issuing a "quick warn" on NOAA wx radio, that is the met tech puts the warning on the radio before the official warning is issued over the wx-wire. Other delays come when there is an outbreak occurring. One met tech can only program/record the NOAA wx radio so fast. This is a reason why the computer automated NOAA wx radio is a good idea (Even though the "voice" is still a bit questionable [I am being VERY politically correct here]). Once the CRS comes on line, the warning will be on the NOAA wx radio (nearly) instantly - It will all be done by computer - no more human intervention. Take care Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jun 1998 to 24 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 27 01:06:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2473 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626500-9876>; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:11:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA55236; Fri, 26 Jun 1998 00:07:08 -0500 Message-Id: <199806260507.AAA55236@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 00:01:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jun 1998 to 25 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 957e9104924a27527c8047d1f9e1ed4b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 445 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWA Broadcasters Session 2. NWR Warning Speed 3. corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio (3) 4. NOAA WX raido 5. TPC Strike Probabilities for Pacific 6. AP Articles 7. Service J 8. which arrives first 9. Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... (2) 10. Atlantic Tropical Weather Center 11. columbus, ne 12. Mr Roboto....the new voice of the NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 00:23:51 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: NWA Broadcasters Session I'm still accepting presentation ideas for the NWA Broadcast Workshop in OKC on 18 October 1998 preceding the NWA annual convention. We have confirmed some great presentations on continuous live coverage of major storm events, including Birmingham, Nashville, Spencer SD, and a 5" hail producer here in Iowa. SPC will also be conducting a hands-on workshop. Send a one paragraph description of your topic to me before 1 July, 1998. John McLaughlin KCCI Des Moines johnmc49@ecity.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 07:07:18 -0700 From: WDAY Weather Subject: NWR Warning Speed > I've noticed that here in Minneapolis that I've gotten the warnings from > the local affiliates faster than from the tone alerts from WX-radio. > There have been many times where WX-TOR has been faster than the WX-radio. ...deletia... > I am not speaking badly of Minneapolis and the job they've done, rather > voicing concerns about how overstretching of NWS staff could be dangerous > in regards to relying on WX-Radio for your timely warnings. In the case of the NWS in MPX, the reason the media gets the warning before you hear it on NWR is because the NWS calls the local media and gives them a "heads up" that a warning is about to be issued (excellent cooperation). I have to believe the NWS in MPX is smart enough to realize that 95%+ of the public will get their warnings from the local media, not NWR, so they're actually doing the public a service. This is probably not the case in most locations, but MPX isn't your average NWS office. In doing this, from my experience in the area, does not affect the time when the warning is being issued on NWR... Daryl Ritchison wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND http://www.wday.com WDAY-TV WDAY-AM THE FORUM -48` TO 114` Since 1922... The Oldest Call Letters in the Northwest WDAY-TV Weather Staff: 301 South 8th Street John Wheeler Box 2466 Daryl Ritchison Fargo, ND 58103 Kip Hines ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 13:17:53 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio In article <3591BCB6.3220.07573@quancon.com>, Stephen Hodanish wrote: > >Wx radio... > >Many people brought up the fact that you get the warnings via media >before NOAA wx radio. The reason for this is simple. It physically takes >time for the met tech to rip the warning off the printer, go to the NOAA >wx radio, push all the buttons, record the message, and press more >buttons to send the message. On the other hand, the media/wx channel >gets the warning (almost) instantly after the meteorologist hits the >"return" key on the Wx-Warning (SR-WARN/WISE) computer. Some offices >avoid this delay by issuing a "quick warn" on NOAA wx radio, that is the >met tech puts the warning on the radio before the official warning is >issued over the wx-wire. Other delays come when there is an outbreak >occurring. One met tech can only program/record the NOAA wx radio so >fast. It doesn't make sense to me that ALL of the field offices aren't using the "quick warn" method. Why must the meteorologist recording NWR be "waiting" for a warning message to be printed out on a printer, when the decision to warn has already been made just a few feet away from the NWR console, even *before* the "button is pressed"? Given a life-threatening situation, the moment the warning has been decided, the NWR meteorologist should go on LIVE to read the warning (with tone alert of course), either prior to, or at nearly the same time, that the "button is pressed". The "official" warning, which gets sent out on the weather wire, can be recorded a few minutes later and played after the live broadcast which initiated the NWS tone alert. Several NWSFOs have moved their NWR consoles right into their warning arena (next to the PUP, SR-WARN/WISE computer, etc.) to facilitate the NWR warning process. One NWSFO even went as far to experiment with suspending all recorded programming, and go LIVE with a wireless microphone to issue a weather "play-by-play" for a period (sometimes an hour or so) during the heat of the event. What an EXCELLENT idea! Kudos to the management at the Pleasant Hill, Missouri office! I also agree that when the CRS automated voice NWR system is in place (hopefully with a more understandable voice), that the system will be better...but even with CRS, offices should still consider a live broadcast during very threatening conditions. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:18:34 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: NOAA WX raido With all the postings the past few days, I feel the need to come to the defense of NOAA Weather Radio a bit here. In my personal experience here in Southwest Virginia, NOAA Weather Radio has always been the fastest way to get warnings reliably and quickly at all times of the day or night. When the SAME feature was added to NWR I think it did add some time to the process of recording or reading live of warnings on NWR. But I think, most NWS mets/HMTs are very proficient with all the button pushing that is now required to broadcast the warnings. TV stations with automated crawl systems are lightning fast, with the crawl ready to go as soon as the warning hits the NOAA Weather Wire System. However, most TV mets at least look at their crawl system to make sure the warning type is right, and that the UGC code in the warning matches up with the county actually warned in the warning text before letting the crawl go. Recently in my area of Virginia, I have heard the alarm on my NWR go off before, or as the crawl was just beginning to cross the TV screen. On another note, I've found commercial radio to be a terrible disseminator of short-fuse NWS warnings. Finally, no TV is going to turn on at 2 in the morning by itself to tell you a tornado warning was just issued for your county. Mike Brennan ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:24:56 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: TPC Strike Probabilities for Pacific >Does the Tropical Prediction Center issue strike probabilities for >storms/hurricanes in the Pacific as they do for the Atlantic or are they >not issuing them for Blas simply because it's too far from land? Not >complaining...just trying to fill a gap in my knowledge base. > >Many thanks!! > >Tom Madigan >Newport News, Virginia Tom, TPC/NHC does not issue any strike proababilities for storms in the East Pacific. To my knowledge, strike probabilites are issued only for Atlantic storms. Anyone know why?? Mike Brennan ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:32:39 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: AP Articles Interetesting reading on the cloud seeding group "Weather Modification Inc" at http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19980625/V000125-062598-idx.htm l Also a quick story about a tornado skimming past a nuclear power plant -- I was on the storm for a while in Michigan but gave up when it crossed into Lake Erie ;> -- at http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19980625/V000106-062598-idx.htm l Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == Meteorologist http://norden1.com/~rdale ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:38:00 -0500 From: Brewster's Subject: Re: corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio Hi, Just had to finally jump in on this thread. Steve Hodanish wrote: > Wx radio... > Some offices avoid this delay by issuing a "quick warn" on NOAA wx >radio, that is the met tech puts the warning on the radio before the >official warning is issued over the wx-wire. We at NWS Hastings, NE have used the "quick-warn" method for several years now with good success. Warning team makes the decision, jots down and circles the basic facts on a ready-made sheet and bang NWR SAME alerts are going off about 30 seconds before the wxwire hard copy product is even finished. The warning is also broadcast to the counties via a NAWAS fan out, making our warning dissemination as follows. NWR #1, NAWAS #2 and hard copy bulletin #3! Granted, there isn't much time difference between these, but seconds can make a difference. After watching this TWC/NWR thread for a few days...it seems silly to me that every NWS office isn't using the "quick-warn" method since communicating the warning is our #1 priority. >Other delays come when there is an outbreak occurring. One met tech can >only program/record the NOAA wx radio so fast. I can agree with this to a point but, get more people in the office during the event to handle the load...or do a continuous LIVE NWR broadcast or both. ********************************************************************** Jim Brewster NWS Hastings My account...my opinions. ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 09:06:07 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio In article <3591BCB6.3220@quancon.com>, meso@quancon.com wrote: > Wx radio... > > Many people brought up the fact that you get the warnings via media > before NOAA wx radio. The reason for this is simple. It physically takes > time for the met tech to rip the warning off the printer, go to the NOAA > wx radio, push all the buttons, record the message, and press more > buttons to send the message. On the other hand, the media/wx channel > gets the warning (almost) instantly after the meteorologist hits the > "return" key on the Wx-Warning (SR-WARN/WISE) computer. Some offices > avoid this delay by issuing a "quick warn" on NOAA wx radio, that is the > met tech puts the warning on the radio before the official warning is > issued over the wx-wire. Other delays come when there is an outbreak > occurring. One met tech can only program/record the NOAA wx radio so > fast. This description of at least one reason for the delay is a pretty good argument for going LIVE on NWR during high-danger situations. However, going live on NWR is probably NOT politically correct ... > This is a reason why the computer automated NOAA wx radio is a good idea > (Even though the "voice" is still a bit questionable [I am being VERY > politically correct here]). Once the CRS comes on line, the warning will > be on the NOAA wx radio (nearly) instantly - It will all be done by > computer - no more human intervention. As usual, the "answer" is ALWAYS a technical one. The idea of human intervention seems to be old-fashioned and implies something politically incorrect about staffing. The automatic choice of technical "fixes" over human-based solutions also has some interesting implications re NWS employment prospects. I should have my diatribe up and running before the week is over. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. ...Structure is the key to understanding... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 14:02:02 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Service J Does anybody have the address to Service J's homepage? I hear he has a video clip where he visually spots a tornado changing from F1 to F2. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 16:07:36 -0400 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: which arrives first re: warnings reaching commercial airwaves before wx radio I'm a weather guru at a TV station in Lexington, Ky. We subscribe to the "NOAA Weather Wire Service" (which is now via satellite) to receive text data from NWS, as do many media outlets. I've had viewers raise the question of how we often have a warning crawl already on the air before the weather radio alerts at their house. It's the weather wire. We feed it into a custom computer and can turn it into a crawl in less than a minute. Since the turn around to air is mostly automated, we can lead weather radio by as much as four or five minutes. (Although there have been occasions when the weather radio led by a couple minutes. That's why we also have a weather radio in the weather center.) It could be fully automated, but as one of our competitors found out when they tried that, there is such a thing as a bogus warning. We still need a human in the chain somewhere. :-) If information is travelling multiple paths, one will always be faster. We even found that NWWS is a minute or two faster than the "Family of Services" wire which is another NWS text service. Why? I have no idea. I'll be curious to see how CRS changes things later this year once it comes online in our area. Stuart Shepard _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:02:16 EDT From: Bryan Ruby Subject: Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... Does anyone know of some good sources for information on cold air funnels, landspouts, and low-top convection tornadoes? I'm specifically interested in synoptic and meso conditions favorable in producing these atypical (if there is such a thing) funnels/tornadoes. Thanks ahead of time, Bryan Ruby SDWxNut@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 16:15:23 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Atlantic Tropical Weather Center The Atlantic Tropical Weather Center has been fully revised and updated for its 4th full season of coverage. Thanks to all that have made suggestions and compliments about my page. http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html Eric Blake Webmaster, ATWC http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html The place for Atlantic Tropical Weather Information!!! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 17:06:22 -0500 From: Storm15 Subject: columbus, ne does anyone have any information on the tornado that went through colombus, ne? ~laura ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 23:13:41 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: Mr Roboto....the new voice of the NWS > Date: Tue, 23 Jun 1998 21:52:27 +0000 > From: Scott Bachmeier > > >> One of these days that text will actually be coded into a voice > >> by a computer! > > > > This is already happening in several areas of the US. > > Unfortunately, the comments I have heard have been that the > > voice is unintelligible. I haven't heard it myself... The voice is VERY hard to understand compared to the human voice....very easy to be unintelligible....but ... > I heard the synthesized voice feature on the La Crosse WI station > whilst chasing in northeastern Iowa a couple of weeks ago -- I > had no problem understanding it. It sounds nearly identical to > the text-to-speech technology that Apple Computer has had on the > Macintosh platform (PlainTalk) for the past half decade. Which > is to say, light years ahead of any Microsoft imitation... Actually a step below this voice, which is similar to the "say" command on the Amiga. Now it's understandable under perfect conditions. And JUST that. The least bit of distraction or noise makes it VERY hard to understand. When I was heading home from my blue sky storm chase vacation in the Texas panhandle. I got to hear "Mr Roboto" on 162.400 on the ham 2 meter radio. There was only a slight bit of audio distortion, that with a human voice, would have made it only annoying to listen to. But on this piece of garbage I could only understand MAYBE every 5 words. So I switched to 162.55. Clear, but picket fencing. Could not understand this. Also this new waste of money is very tiring to listen to more than a handful of minutes. During any chance of severe weather where I am (Columbia SC) the WX radio is in audio mode. If they FORCE Ron Jones and CAE to use this full time, someone gets a letter hotter than the current heat wave over the southeast... Also as a humorous note, the system has been programmed to say "becoming" when the word used is "shifting"...... Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 00:25:40 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... On Thu, 25 Jun 1998, Bryan Ruby wrote: > Does anyone know of some good sources for information on cold air funnels, > landspouts, and low-top convection tornadoes? I'm specifically interested in > synoptic and meso conditions favorable in producing these atypical (if there > is such a thing) funnels/tornadoes. What's a "low-top convection tornado?" Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jun 1998 to 25 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 29 15:04:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627166-16918>; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 13:11:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18804; Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:06:49 -0500 Message-Id: <199806270506.AAA18804@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 00:00:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jun 1998 to 26 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6707878bd529cad3c39f573d9b6e9737 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 18 messages totalling 758 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. synthesized NOAA WX radio (was Corn humidity) 2. Heat burst in Iowa... 3. Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... (2) 4. Tornado Closes Ohio Nuclear Power Plant 5. Davis-Besse Tornado 6. Pacific strike probabilities 7. Weatherchannel 2 8. Lightning Photography 9. Advisory vs. Warning (2) 10. GREEN FLASH! 11. NOAA Weather Radio (4) 12. NSSL/SPC Web Page Outage 13. NSSL/SPC web outage (fwd) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 02:10:24 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: synthesized NOAA WX radio (was Corn humidity) Chuck Doswell replied to the "politically correct" description of CRS's voice with > This description of at least one reason for the delay is a pretty good > argument for going LIVE on NWR during high-danger situations. However, > going live on NWR is probably NOT politically correct ... I've heard that the ability to go LIVE is a secondary advantage of the CRS equipment, and that it was tried with good results during one of last season's hurricanes. It may not be politically correct to have a weekly live call-in show, but going live during a major outbreak or at the top of the hour during a hurricane/blizzard may be appropriate. What some of us in the local audience would really like hear live, though, is the local (soon to be ex-) broadcast-met with the great voice interview the elder statesman lead-met live sometime; those of us in SKYWARN locally are lobbying for it! CRS has been delayed here because of the need to phonetically encode so many locality names. Those that aren't American Indian are Anglosaxon/Galloroman. ALthough I understand Farquhar County VA causes other problems; the _correct_ local pronunciation is blocked by the vulgarity-checker, since the "ar"'s are pronounced "uh" and "eer", respectively. (-: If you're easily offended, don't think too hard, but then, that should be easy for you .:-) They'll be rolling CRS out here in a week, starting with the hourly roundup. Given how it will sound, I'm thinking that should be the last thing converted instead; use the robovoice for the things needed instantly, and use the human voice for the things pacing and rhythm are good for. However, they didn't ask me. BTW Chuck, our local WCM credits you with getting him out of Satelites and into "real meteorology". It's amazing how well his school-house tales gibe with the /G/i/l/b/e/r/t/Z/o/n/e/ Negative-Tilt Dogswell tales. Now we're even getting some real weather for him. Cheers, Bill N1VUX/Skywarn -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 00:26:29 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Heat burst in Iowa... Interesting reading... PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 415 PM CDT THU JUN 25 1998 ...HIGH WIND EVENT IN SOUTHWEST IOWA EARLY THIS MORNING AND LAST EVENING... HERE ARE SOME OF THE INTERESTING NUMBERS FROM AUTOMATED WEATHER EQUIPMENT AT AIRPORTS IN SOUTHWEST IOWA. THIS DATA IS PROVIDED BY THE IOWA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION. TIME TEMP/DEW POINT WIND DIRECTION/SPEED/GUST SHENANDOAH 1106 PM 86/75 SOUTH 37 MPH GUST 46 MPH 1123 PM 88/72 SOUTH 63 MPH GUST 80 MPH 1143 PM 86/65 SOUTH 54 MPH GUST 64 MPH 1154 PM 93/57 SOUTH 57 MPH GUST 72 MPH 136 AM 89/62 SOUTH 51 MPH GUST 66 MPH CLARINDA 1138 PM 86/70 SOUTH 43 MPH GUST 53 MPH 1147 PM 86/67 SOUTH 37 MPH GUST 54 MPH 1156 PM 86/59 SOUTH 33 MPH GUST 52 MPH LAST AVAILABLE OBSERVATION RED OAK 1039 PM 85/76 SOUTH 35 MPH GUST 44 MPH 1048 PM 84/76 SOUTH 45 MPH GUST 56 MPH 1140 PM 87/73 SOUTH 36 MPH GUST 46 MPH 1222 AM 92/58 SOUTH 36 MPH GUST 49 MPH CRESTON 217 AM 80/65 SOUTH 40 MPH GUST 49 MPH 236 AM 82/58 SOUTH 52 MPH GUST 63 MPH 258 AM 87/55 SOUTH 47 MPH GUST 56 MPH AN UNUSUAL DAMAGING WIND EVENT OCCURRED IN SOUTHWEST IOWA LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. THE METEOROLOGICAL CAUSES ARE COMPLICATED AND ARE STILL BEING INVESTIGATED. WE HYPOTHESIZE THAT TWO MAIN FACTORS MAY HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE HIGH AND SUSTAINED WINDS. OF COURSE...THIS IS SUBJECT TO FURTHER SCIENTIFIC REVIEW. 1) EVAPORATIVE COOLING BEHIND THE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED THROUGH. THE STORMS WERE NOT ALL THAT HEAVY AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION. LOOKING AT BALLOON WEATHER DATA FROM 700 PM WEDNESDAY AND 700 AM THIS MORNING REVEALED A DEEP LAYER OF HOT AND RELATIVELY DRY AIR LOCATED FROM 4000 TO 10000 FEET ABOVE THE GROUND. WHEN RAIN FALLS THROUGH THIS DRY LAYER...IT BECOMES COOLER AND HEAVIER RESULTING IN STRONGER DOWNDRAFTS OF HIGHER WIND. 2) LOW-LEVEL WINDS FROM 600 FEET TO 5000 FEET WERE QUITE STRONG WITH MAXIMA OCCURRING BETWEEN 1000 AM AND 300 AM WITH NEARLY 65 OR 70 MPH AS MEASURED BY NWS DOPPLER WIND PROFILERS. THE MOMENTUM OF THIS AIR LIKELY MIXED DOWN THROUGH THE LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSION LAYER AND SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED THE WINDS AT THE SURFACE. WHY DID TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S AND 90S IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT? AIR THAT SINKS...ESPECIALLY OVER A WIDE EXPANSE OF AREA...COMPRESSES AND WARMS DUE TO THE THERMODYNAMIC PHYSICAL LAWS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. AS STATED BEFORE...THE AIR JUST 600 TO 1000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WAS STILL QUITE WARM. THIS AIR LIKELY COMPRESSED AND WARMED...HEATING THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER AS THE WINDS INCREASED. THE AIR AT GROUND LEVEL ALSO EXPERIENCED SHARP DRYING / LOWERING DEW POINTS / AS THIS OCCURRED. ALL TOLD...DAMAGING WIND EVENTS LIKE THIS ONE ARE UNUSUAL...BUT NOT TOTALLY UNCOMMON. KULA --------------------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 03:32:20 EDT From: Bryan Ruby Subject: Re: Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... I suppose I should have been more careful with my words. I probably should have phrased it as "tornadoes produced by low-topped convective clouds or low- topped thunderstorms". Probably more commonly the phrase "tornadoes from low- topped supercells or mini-supercells" is used. Now if you're going to ask me next, "What is a tornado from a low-topped supercell?"...that's my point...I'm looking for resources. Over the past few years I've noticed a steady increase in the use of terms such as "landspouts" and "cold-air funnels" that I believe were used improperly in statements to the public. I am of the personal opinion that such terms are used too liberally for events when a tornado is reported, but was not detected by doppler radar (ie no warning). Sound familiar to anyone? Bryan >What's a "low-top convection tornado?" >Todd ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 06:06:49 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Tornado Closes Ohio Nuclear Power Plant NRC Daily reports are found at, http://www.nrc.gov/NRR/DAILY/der.htm "NRC information is not copyrighted, unless indicated, and can be reproduced without permission. Citation of NRC as the source is appreciated." "ALERT conditions are events which have occurred or in progress that involve actual or potential significant degradation in the level of safety of the plant." +----------------------------------+ +-----------------------+ |POWER REACTOR | |EVENT NUMBER: 34435 | +----------------------------------+ +-----------------------+ +------------------------------------------------+-----------------------------+ |FACILITY: DAVIS BESSE REGION: 3 |NOTIFICATION DATE: 06/24/98 | |UNIT: [1] [ ] [ ] STATE: OH |NOTIFICATION TIME: 21:37 [ET]| |RX TYPE: [1] B&W-R-LP |EVENT DATE: 06/24/98 | +------------------------------------------------+EVENT TIME: 21:18[EDT]| |NRC NOTIFIED BY: MCGEE |LAST UPDATE DATE: 06/24/98 | |HQ OPS OFFICER: JOHN MacKINNON +-----------------------------+ +------------------------------------------------+ NOTIFICATIONS | |EMERGENCY CLASS: ALERT +-----------------------------+ |10 CFR SECTION: |MIKE JORDAN RDO | |AAEC 50.72(a)(1)(i) EMERGENCY DECLARED |TAD MARSH EO | | |STUART RUBIN IRD | | |TIM MARTIN AEOD | | |PAPERIELLO RA | | |JANET QUISSELL RCT | +-----+----------+-------+--------+--------------+--+--------+-----------------+ |UNIT |SCRAM CODE|RX CRIT|INIT PWR| INIT RX MODE |CURR PWR| CURR RX MODE | +-----+----------+-------+--------+-----------------+--------+-----------------+ | 1 | A/R Y 99 POWER OPERATION | 0 HOT STANDBY | | | | | | | | | +-----+---------------------------------------------+--------------------------+ EVENT TEXT +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | TURBINE TRIP/REACTOR CAUSED BY LOSS OF OFFSITE POWER. | | | | LIGHTNING STRIKES WERE SEEN IN THE SWITCHYARD. THE LICENSEE STARTED BOTH | | EMERGENCY DIESEL GENERATORS. AT 2047EDT A TURBINE TRIP/REACTOR TRIP | | OCCURRED DUE TO LOSS OF OFFSITE POWER. A TORNADO ONSITE DAMAGED THE | | ELECTRICAL SWITCHYARD, COOLING TOWER AND THE TURBINE BUILDING. THE | | LICENSEE DECLARED AN ALERT AT 2118EDT. THE PLANT IS ON NATURAL CIRCULATION | | WITH AUXILIARY FEEDWATER SUPPLYING EMERGENCY FEEDWATER TO THE OTSGs (ONCE | | THROUGH STEAM GENERATORS). THE NRC ENTERED STANDBY AT 2201EDT. | | | | * * * UPDATE 0001EDT 6/25/98 * * * | | | | COMMISSIONER'S ASSISTANTS BRIEFING HELD. SEE HOO LOG FOR PARTICIPANTS. | | | | * * * UPDATE 0211EDT 6/25/98 * * * | | | | THE NRC DOWNGRADED THE AGENCY RESPONSE TO THE MONITORING PHASE OF NORMAL | | MODE. | +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ Yikes! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA)/SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Visit my SHELTER FROM THE STORM! Severe Weather Home Page! - WWW: "http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp" (SFTS!) "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 09:23:05 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Davis-Besse Tornado ABUS34 KCLE 252125 PNSCLE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 525 PM EST THU JUNE 25 1998 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS COMPLETED THE STORM SURVEY PERTAINING TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT AFFECTED PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OHIO ON WEDNESDAY...JUNE 24. AN AERIAL SURVEY WAS COMPLETED IN OTTAWA COUNTY WHERE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OCCURRED. A GROUND SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED IN SANDUSKY AND ERIE COUNTIES. CONCLUSIONS... A F2 TORNADO...WINDS BETWEEN 113 AND 157 MPH...OCCURRED IN OTTAWA COUNTY. THE TORNADO EITHER MOVED ONSHORE OR TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF THE DAVIS-BESSIE POWER PLANT BETWEEN 845PM AND 900 PM. THE TORNADO WAS ABOUT 100 YARDS WIDE AND TRAVELED SOUTHEAST ABOUT 31/2MILES. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE WAS NOTED ALONG THIS PATH WITH SOME BARNS TOTALLY DESTROYED AND AN APARTMENT COMPLEX HEAVILY DAMAGED. MOST OF THE DAMAGE IN OTTAWA COUNTY WAS CAUSED BY A MACROBURST...STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...BETWEEN 70 AND 80 MPH. DOWNBURST...OR STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WERE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DAMAGE IN ERIE AND SANDUSKY COUNTIES. A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS OBSERVED BY A RESIDENT IN WHITES LANDING JUST SOUTH OF SANDUSKY BAY...BUT IT DID NOT TOUCH DOWN. GABRIC CORRECTED WORDING LAST PARAGRAPH ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 10:05:17 -0400 From: Miles Lawrence Subject: Pacific strike probabilities Mike Brennan asked: TPC/NHC does not issue any strike proababilities for storms in the East Pacific. To my knowledge, strike probabilites are issued only for Atlantic storms. Anyone know why?? The strike probability program is basin-dependent and was developed for the Atlantic basin a number of years ago. The TPC is now working on a probability program for the eastern Pacific Basin, which is planned to be operational during the 1999 season. Miles Lawrence Tropical Prediction Center ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 11:13:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Weatherchannel 2 >From the Sky Report 6/26/98: TWC Debuts New Network On TCI's HITS - The Weather Channel has announced that it will debut a new 24-hour, digital network, Weatherscan by The Weather Channel. Set for a July 28 launch on TCI's digital cable service, HITS, the new network will feature regional and national weather by sequencing the information to cycle through national weather and then regional outlooks. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:18:45 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... In article <5933b54a.35934e85@aol.com>, SDWXNut@AOL.COM wrote: > I suppose I should have been more careful with my words. I probably should > have phrased it as "tornadoes produced by low-topped convective clouds or low- > topped thunderstorms". Probably more commonly the phrase "tornadoes from low- > topped supercells or mini-supercells" is used. > > Now if you're going to ask me next, "What is a tornado from a low-topped > supercell?"...that's my point...I'm looking for resources. Over the past few > years I've noticed a steady increase in the use of terms such as "landspouts" > and "cold-air funnels" that I believe were used improperly in statements to > the public. I am of the personal opinion that such terms are used too > liberally for events when a tornado is reported, but was not detected by > doppler radar (ie no warning). Sound familiar to anyone? Please see: If a tornado is produced from a supercell with a low top, is it any different from a tornado produced from a supercell with a high top? I sure can't see any reason to be confused by tornadoes from supercells with low tops, but it is understandable if they are difficult to deal with via radar. I do agree that various terms are being used far too often in the context you have described, perhaps to avoid the obvious implication ... to suggest that an event that was missed is not REALLY a tornado. Any radar has a number of limitations in its ability to detect potentially tornadic storms, some of which are inescapable. Radar is not a panacea for tornado detection and if it was sold that way, then it was OVERsold. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. ...Structure is the key to understanding... ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 08:21:00 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Lightning Photography In article <35936738.5E578802@bluewin.ch>, Bernhard Oker wrote: > Hello everybody > I'm from Switzerland and I will buy a SLR camera to photograph > lightning. > I have been looking to a lot of brochures but I can't find a camera who > is special suitable for this. > Most of the cameras have a night program and "bulb" setting. > Can you please give me some informations about which camera I should > buy? ANY camera with a "bulb" setting will work. See: Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. ...Structure is the key to understanding... ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 12:51:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Advisory vs. Warning I noticed an inconsistency today in Chicago's zone products with respect to the terms "advisory" (which usually means a lesser threat) and "warning" (which usually means a greater threat). >From WSFO Chicago's zone package: Exhibit A ========= ...HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT... .TODAY...SCATTERED EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY...HOT AND HUMID. HIGH IN THE LOWER OR MIDDLE 90S. PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES 100 TO 105. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. Exhibit B ========= ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT... .TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY...HOT AND HUMID. HIGH IN THE MIDDLE 90S. PEAK HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM 103 TO 108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. Is this a mistake or do the terms "advisory" and "warning" carry different meanings with different products? ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 10:05:58 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: GREEN FLASH! Greetings: I just came across the following URLs on one of my favorite subjects (Green Flash Phenomena). Enjoy! http://www.interlog.com/~reefnet/Gearbag/wwwgfl.html http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/GF/reading.html http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/GF/ http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/GF/who.html Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 13:26:39 -0500 From: Eric Helgeson Subject: Re: Advisory vs. Warning On Fri, 26 Jun 1998, Chris Novy wrote: > I noticed an inconsistency today in Chicago's zone products with > respect to the terms "advisory" (which usually means a lesser threat) > and "warning" (which usually means a greater threat). > > >From WSFO Chicago's zone package: > > Exhibit A > ========= > ...HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT... > .TODAY...SCATTERED EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS THEN BECOMING PARTLY > SUNNY...HOT AND HUMID. HIGH IN THE LOWER OR MIDDLE 90S. PEAK HEAT > INDEX VALUES 100 TO 105. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. > > Exhibit B > ========= > ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT... > .TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY...HOT AND HUMID. HIGH IN THE MIDDLE 90S. PEAK > HEAT INDEX VALUES FROM 103 TO 108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. > > Is this a mistake or do the terms "advisory" and "warning" carry > different meanings with different products? ..Chris.. Because of the 500 or so people that died a few years back, the Chicago area has locally defined criteria for these high heat events. Both the city and the Chicago office worked extensively on this. Eric ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:40:44 -0500 From: Andy Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio Greg Stumpf wrote: >I also agree that when the CRS automated voice NWR system is in >place (hopefully with a more understandable voice), that the system will >be better...but even with CRS, offices should still consider a live >broadcast during very threatening conditions. We at NWS Corpus Christi have been using the Console Replacement System for most of our NWR broadcasts for nearly 2 months. Public reaction to these broadcasts have not been as negative as we originally thought. In my opinion...the broadcast quality is not that bad once the broadcast files and phonetics are set up (This is a big job in itself). I must also admit that some improvement in voice quality is needed...but I am sure that advancements in voice synthesizing will aid in this improvement. I am in agreement that live broadcasts during warning situations are the way to go. Also I am sure it will be quite awhile before automated voices will be broadcasting the warnings. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Andy Patrick SOO NWS Corpus Christi Tx 'Se habla espanol' arp@crpsac.crp.noaa.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:04:00 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: NSSL/SPC Web Page Outage Roger Edwards asked me to pass this on... You may not be able to get into the NSSL or SPC web servers UFN. Apparently, road construction has busted a fiber-optic cable link from NSSL to OU through which most of the NSSL/SPC Internet traffic passes -- including e-mail and the web! So this means you may not be able to access the NSSL and SPC websites, or get e-mail through to NSSL/SPC people. No word yet on when this serious problem will be repaired. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:55:50 -0500 From: "Joe B. Dorn" Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio Andy: What good would it do for the public to protest? This is in the same category as the 'Hearings' on the local weather office closings several years back. The official's listened with closed ears and then went ahead and did what they were going to do anyway. Unless a lot of votes are involved, the Federal Government decrees you will like this or else and does not respond to a few protestors. Ahhh, democracy, sure wish we had one... One question, since you have not had very many negative comments, have you had any positive comments about the new 'voice'... I will be in your area with a bunch of boaters next month and I will see what the consumer opinion is then... Joe Dorn, Belton, Texas -----Original Message----- From: Andy [SMTP:arp@CRPSAC.CRP.NOAA.GOV] Sent: Friday, June 26, 1998 15:41 PM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio Greg Stumpf wrote: >I also agree that when the CRS automated voice NWR system is in >place (hopefully with a more understandable voice), that the system will >be better...but even with CRS, offices should still consider a live >broadcast during very threatening conditions. We at NWS Corpus Christi have been using the Console Replacement System for most of our NWR broadcasts for nearly 2 months. Public reaction to these broadcasts have not been as negative as we originally thought. In my opinion...the broadcast quality is not that bad once the broadcast files and phonetics are set up (This is a big job in itself). I must also admit that some improvement in voice quality is needed...but I am sure that advancements in voice synthesizing will aid in this improvement. I am in agreement that live broadcasts during warning situations are the way to go. Also I am sure it will be quite awhile before automated voices will be broadcasting the warnings. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ----- Andy Patrick SOO NWS Corpus Christi Tx 'Se habla espanol' arp@crpsac.crp.noaa.gov ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ----- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 18:36:12 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio >I am in agreement that live broadcasts during warning situations >are the way to go. Also I am sure it will be quite awhile before automated >voices will be broadcasting the warnings. > i'm not sure if your office works like kc, but when a warning is issued from kc and it is in the nwr coverage area the computer breaks in.. sounds eas.. and then it "reads" the warning.. and then a couple of mintues later you will hear the eas again and you will hear a real voice going over the warning again.. telling where it is on radar and all that good stuff.. allthough i must admit the voice in kansas city is awful, one day i heard it say.. "over the rest of the area a parlty cloudy S-K-Y(spelling it out).." and why i'm going here.. i was driveing arround kc and i was giveing the area temps, and you can't understand what it is saying when it say's egihty.. it almost sounds like it is saying nifty :-) but i do like the new lead time on warnings that the computers have brought Thanks, Glen briggs - KB0RPJ gbriggs@lyn.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 20:40:11 -0500 From: Cameron Thomas Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio At 05:55 PM 6/26/98 -0500, Joe B. Dorn wrote: >Andy: > >One question, since you have not had very many negative comments, have you >had any positive comments about the new 'voice'... > I have been to Corpus Christi a couple of times since they put in the new CRS and, despite all the negative comments here, it is not that difficult to understand. Of course, it is not a human, so you do not have some of the inflections that a person would read into something, but after you listen for a little while it is not that difficult to understand. My question, though, is how many less people is the NWS going to need to staff the NWS offices in the future because of this. If the CRS is being used to add another warm body to the forcast area during weather events (instead of having someone standing behind the microphone recording for broadcast), then more power too them, but if it is being used as a down-sizing tool, then I have a problem with that. Cameron Thomas cfthomas@flash.net Dallas, TX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 21:39:25 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: NSSL/SPC web outage (fwd) >From Roger Edwards at the Storm Prediction Center: ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:21:32 -0400 From: Roger Edwards Subject: NSSL/SPC web outage You may not be able to get into the NSSL or SPC web servers UFN. Apparently, road construction has busted a fiber-optic cable link from NSSL to OU through which most of the NSSL/SPC Internet traffic passes -- including e-mail and the web! So this means you may not be able to access the NSSL and SPC websites, or get e-mail through to NSSL/SPC people. No word yet on when this serious problem will be repaired. ===== Roger Edwards ===== SPC Web Manager (sending through my private account so it will get to you) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jun 1998 to 26 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 29 15:08:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2408 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-15289>; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 13:10:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA66116; Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:06:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199806280506.AAA66116@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 00:00:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jun 1998 to 27 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d3d7d3fd4a3d53d6a6d5291499b968da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 190 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. More on Mr Roboto.... (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 02:14:57 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: More on Mr Roboto.... ------------------------- > > Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 15:40:44 -0500 > From: Andy > Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio > > Greg Stumpf wrote: > > >I also agree that when the CRS automated voice NWR system is in > >place (hopefully with a more understandable voice), that the system will > >be better...but even with CRS, offices should still consider a live > >broadcast during very threatening conditions. Well there WON'T be a more understandable voice unless the software is completely rewritten....yeah right like getting a LP Supercell in South Carolina.... > We at NWS Corpus Christi have been using the Console Replacement System for > most of our NWR broadcasts for nearly 2 months. Public reaction to these > broadcasts have not been as negative as we originally thought. Most likely people just TURNED IT OFF! > In my > opinion...the broadcast quality is not that bad once the broadcast > files and phonetics are set up (This is a big job in itself). The broadcast quality just stinks. Why? It has VERY limited understandability. Now if you have a close connection everything is going to be just OK, but some longer phone lines are GOING to have distortion, and that makes it unlistenable. When during the "test" phase up in the Huntington market, I heard it played to me over the phone. I could not understand it, but I could perfectly understand the forecasters voice. AND there there were objections, and the folks higher up said it was a great success and there were no objections... I must also > admit that some improvement in voice quality is needed...but I am sure that > advancements in voice synthesizing will aid in this improvement. The only way to do this is to have recorded voices that sound human. Why couldn't they have used digitally recorded human voices. I guess it would hurt someone's profit margin. The speak back on ASOS is fine but a bit jilty. This CRS ( I can think of an ugly word for it) just doesn't cut it. > I am in agreement that live broadcasts during warning situations > are the way to go. Also I am sure it will be quite awhile before automated > voices will be broadcasting the warnings. I was also told the software is not STABLE enough to allow this. > Date: Fri, 26 Jun 1998 17:55:50 -0500 > From: "Joe B. Dorn" > Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio > > Andy: > > What good would it do for the public to protest? This is in the same > category as the 'Hearings' on the local weather office closings several > years back. The official's listened with closed ears and then went ahead > and did what they were going to do anyway. Unless a lot of votes are > involved, the Federal Government decrees you will like this or else and > does not respond to a few protestors. Ahhh, democracy, sure wish we had > one... And I for one wonder who was told to lie about it ( not you Andy but the really higher ups who designed this stuff) > One question, since you have not had very many negative comments, have you > had any positive comments about the new 'voice'... Sign him up for Jay Leno... > I will be in your area with a bunch of boaters next month and I will see > what the consumer opinion is then... Get 'em Joe! I could have thought up a better system a whole lot cheaper than all that stuff I saw in there. AND a whole lot cheaper! This is early 80's software. It's time for 2000 year software ( uh is this 2000 compliant?). I expect even if EVERY state decided to drop the NWS from EAS no matter what else was said it still would make no difference. I'll tell you what. IF I *EVER* get a CRS generated warning for my radio station I certainly won't air it. I'll generate my own warning from the EAS box myself. Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 01:29:31 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: More on Mr Roboto.... >---------- >From: Powell Way[SMTP:powell@scsn.net] > > > I must also >> admit that some improvement in voice quality is needed...but I am sure that >> advancements in voice synthesizing will aid in this improvement. > >The only way to do this is to have recorded voices that sound human. >Why couldn't they have used digitally recorded human voices. I guess >it would hurt someone's profit margin. The speak back on ASOS is fine >but a bit jilty. This CRS ( I can think of an ugly word for it) just >doesn't cut it. In Canada we have been using such a system for a few years. It concatenates words and phrases that were recorded using a real live human being. This system does have its drawbacks; e.g. a more limited vocabulary, but it sure is easier on the ears. If you like, try it out at 403-468-4940... hear the Edmonton info. ..steve +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | | Manager, Prairie Aviation and Arctic Weather Centre | | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca | +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 12:06:05 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: Re: More on Mr Roboto.... > >From: Powell Way[SMTP:powell@scsn.net] > > > > > > I must also > >> admit that some improvement in voice quality is needed...but I am sure that > >> advancements in voice synthesizing will aid in this improvement. > > > >The only way to do this is to have recorded voices that sound human. > >Why couldn't they have used digitally recorded human voices. I guess > >it would hurt someone's profit margin. The speak back on ASOS is fine > >but a bit jilty. This CRS ( I can think of an ugly word for it) just > >doesn't cut it. > > In Canada we have been using such a system for a few years. It > concatenates words and phrases that were recorded using a real live > human being. This system does have its drawbacks; e.g. a more limited > vocabulary, but it sure is easier on the ears. > > If you like, try it out at 403-468-4940... hear the Edmonton info. > ..steve I just dialed it up (BAWW give me some cool weather!) and it sounds fine, just like a person, basically. So someone needs to take this crud off and re do it at no charge. Doing it right versus making a killing selling obsolete junk....nah too easy. Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jun 1998 to 27 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 29 15:11:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-12176>; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 13:14:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA50894; Mon, 29 Jun 1998 00:11:14 -0500 Message-Id: <199806290511.AAA50894@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Jun 1998 00:02:51 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jun 1998 to 28 Jun 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98bd521e0c5dd95ee90f96daa0b90eaa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 172 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lightning again 2. Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... 3. WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jun 1998 to 25 Jun 1998 4. More on Mr Roboto.... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 08:54:06 -0500 From: dale reid Subject: Lightning again Last night we had another amazingly electric storm come through. Since I was on the northern edge of the storm, we had little rain but could see the lightning for an extended period of time. Two questions were raised by my son as we watched the storm: 1) Why does some lightning seem to crawl along the bottom of the clouds? As I remember storms in the majority, the lightning is either cloud to cloud, or cloud to ground. I would make a sub category of cloud to cloud by saying this type seems to start in the base of a cloud, and spread out with many branches, taking its sweet time about it, too. Which raised another question as to how fast lightning travels. Certainly the speed of light comes to mind, but as we watching this crawling pattern vs. the cloud to ground, it was obvious that the c-g lightning bolt visualized immediately, while the other was at least a second if not 1 1/2 seconds in duration and spread. 2) While this was quite an active storm and lots of random flashes were occurring, it seemed that when one small cell flashed, it "triggered" a discharge in the particular cloud we were watching. It was consistant enough to be able to time the shutter release on our camera and be quite sure the shutter was open at the right time for a good flash. Coincidence, or does lightning in one area disturb things enough to induce another spot a few miles away to discharge? Thanks Dale ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:23:20 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Re: Cold Air Funnels/Land Spouts/etc... > On Thu, 25 Jun 1998, Bryan Ruby wrote: > > Does anyone know of some good sources for information on cold air funnels, > landspouts, and low-top convection tornadoes? I'm specifically interested in > synoptic and meso conditions favorable in producing these atypical (if there > is such a thing) funnels/tornadoes. The following references may help. Bluestein, H.B., 1985: The formation of a "landspout" in a "broken-line" squall line in Oklahoma. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Indianapolis, IN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 267-270. Cooley, J.R., 1978: Cold air funnel clouds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 106, 1368-1372. Forbes, G.S., and R.M. Wakimoto, 1983: A concentrated outbreak of tornadoes, downbursts and microbursts, and implications regarding vortex classification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 220-235. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 15:12:13 -0500 From: "B.J. Fictum" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jun 1998 to 25 Jun 1998 > >Date: Thu, 25 Jun 1998 10:38:00 -0500 >From: Brewster's >Subject: Re: corn and humidity/synthesized NOAA WX radio > >Hi, Just had to finally jump in on this thread. > >Steve Hodanish wrote: > >> Wx radio... > > > >> Some offices avoid this delay by issuing a "quick warn" on NOAA wx >radio, that is the met tech puts the warning on the radio before the >official warning is issued over the wx-wire. > >We at NWS Hastings, NE have used the "quick-warn" method for several >years now with good success. Warning team makes the decision, jots down >and circles the basic facts on a ready-made sheet and bang NWR SAME >alerts are going off about 30 seconds before the wxwire hard copy >product is even finished. The warning is also broadcast to the counties >via a NAWAS fan out, making our warning dissemination as follows. NWR >#1, NAWAS #2 and hard copy bulletin #3! Granted, there isn't much time >difference between these, but seconds can make a difference. After >watching this TWC/NWR thread for a few days...it seems silly to me that >every NWS office isn't using the "quick-warn" method since communicating >the warning is our #1 priority. > >>Other delays come when there is an outbreak occurring. One met tech can >only program/record the NOAA wx radio so fast. > >I can agree with this to a point but, get more people in the office >during the event to handle the load...or do a continuous LIVE NWR >broadcast or both. > >********************************************************************** >Jim Brewster >NWS Hastings >My account...my opinions. >********************************************************************** I can sympathize with everyone's opinions that NOAA WX Radio isn't the fastest thing in the books and I think we all know it doesn't work to perfection (and with the addition of Mr. Roboto -- who actually sounds like a foreign NYC taxicab driver -- to the Omaha/Valley NWS office and even sooner in Hastings, there will an even worse tune-out factor), it is the only thing some people have to listen to. However, in Saline County, Nebraska, we are fortunate to have Nebraska's first EMWIN rebroadcast site and we are making plans for a second one halfway between Hastings and Lincoln on a 500-foot tower at 250 watts that will also make the signal more available to the general public. With EMWIN and great cooperation from both the Hastings and Omaha/Valley NWS offices (numerous phone calls during severe weather events to BOTH offices), the citizens of our county...and now surrounding counties...are receiving the information as fast as or even a little faster than the local media. Admittedly, the CRS will probably close the gap even further, although everyone MUST realize that it still takes a minute or two or three to type the text and send it. The only way you're gonna get it quicker is to be on the phone with the NWS or talking to them via amateur radio link when they're writing the warning. That's happened twice this year and we were fortunate to be able to give our citizens a few additional minutes of warning. BJ Fictum Deputy Director, Saline County Emergency Management Agency B.J. Fictum Deputy Director Saline County Emergency Management Agency 105 West 4th, P.O. Box 865 Wilber, Nebraska 68465-0865 EOC: (402) 821-3010 Work: (402) 826-2147 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Jun 1998 19:55:17 -0500 From: Ed J Roberts Subject: More on Mr Roboto.... Okay, before this horse REALLY gets beaten to death.... I have found that unless you are within 10-20 miles of the transmitter, the voice is very difficult to understand. If the computer takes over all of the warnings, how will people with the the old weather radios be able to recieve these warning if they are already some distance from the transmitter. There has been quite a bit of discussion about how many radio "holes" there are out there. I feel the new system, though a good idea, without a HUMAN synthesized voice is making the problem worse. By the way, I have a stupid little text-to-voice program I got with my Sound Blaster 16 sound card some years back. It sounds EXACTLY like the new voice of the NWS. I wouldn't pay $2 for it...... maybe the weather service did! :^) Ed ----------------------------------------- Ed Roberts Home: (219) 531-5728 Ed.Roberts@valpo.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jun 1998 to 28 Jun 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3794 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-5299>; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 13:24:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA61564; Tue, 14 Jul 1998 00:05:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199807140505.AAA61564@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 00:01:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jul 1998 to 13 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 60cbacd4c3585b710c2d1f54f36a740c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 307 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. mystery stations (2) 2. Location of KGEV 3. Mystery Stations (2) 4. Insanity in the clan! 5. Non WX-TALK subscriber needs microburst info 6. More on Satellites 7. RealEMWIN Client Beta1 8. let them evapotranspirate +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 02:49:46 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: mystery stations Does any of the met experts here have any info on the lat/long of ETA output locations G2GFA, G2GFB, G2GFC, G2GFD, G2GFE, G2GFF, LGIN6, and BTNM3? These locations are output by the FOUS77 and FOUW78, but are not documented anywhere. Thanks in advance... ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 03:41:01 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Location of KGEV Last week, I inquired to the location of the new metar station KGEV. I now have that information. KGEV - Jefferson, NC (formerly NC67) Latitude - 36 26N Longitude - 81 25W Elevation - 969 meters Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:51:24 -0500 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: Re: Mystery Stations Clearly, these stations are run by the government of the United Nations and are run in a blatant attempt to undermine the authority of the free people of the United States. Or maybe they are in the desert and are being run by aliens captured by the US Air Force Sorry; just a little levity after reading "Insanity in the Clan" by Schwiller. Jeff S Really, not nuts, really!! >>>> Does any of the met experts here have any info on the lat/long of ETA output locations G2GFA, G2GFB, G2GFC, G2GFD, G2GFE, G2GFF, LGIN6, and BTNM3? These locations are output by the FOUS77 and FOUW78, but are not documented anywhere. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 09:11:57 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Mystery Stations >Does any of the met experts here have any info on the lat/long of >ETA >output locations G2GFA, G2GFB, G2GFC, G2GFD, G2GFE, G2GFF, LGIN6, and >BTNM3? > >These locations are output by the FOUS77 and FOUW78, but are not >documented >anywhere. After seeing the X-files movie, I can categorically state that these are merely locations the gov't wants us to see, but do not really exist. They are using them to hide a deeper, darker secret. ;-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 09:22:40 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Insanity in the clan! >It would be better to spend >those funds on moving all US citizens inland until everyone is 1000 to 150 >miles from the nearest coastline, as the folks in AOML, NOAA propose. Another prime example of a useless and wasteful gov't study. What kind of a recommendation is that? Certainly not a feaseable one. I bet half the population of the country is within 150 miles of a shoreline. Are we going to abandon New York City, Boston, Washington DC, Seattle, San Fran, Los Angeles, etc? The entire Florida peninsula ranges from 100 - 150 miles wide. Are we going to abandon the entire thing? How absurd. Whoever proposed such a thing should be fired. That is clearly "insanity in the gov't"!!! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 10:05:32 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Non WX-TALK subscriber needs microburst info I received mail from Don Bundy asking a number of questions about microbursts. His questions are beyond my personal knowledge of microbursts. If anyone has the information he seeks please post it *directly* to him at in addition to WX-TALK. Thanks. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Need your help Chris! One week from Tuesday I must put on a talk to a group of sailboaters who travel great distances across the open sea. The subject is Microbursts, Macrobursts. Having taught basic meteorology, college level I feel confident except for a few areas which I'm questioning myself now on. Here's a few questions I'm looking for answers to . What stability level would likely produce a burst? Would a system moving out over the Gulf Stream (warm water) induce a burst? Would the height of Cumulonimbus tops be a factor? What would the basic factors be for a burst to develop compared to a ordinary thunderstorm. Would a burst be more likely at a particular time of day or night? What are the triggering mechanisms? Thanks, Don Bundy *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 08:41:46 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: More on Satellites Hi All Got this in an email and wanted to share this info with you. (In advance, apologies if this message is also received in HTML. I have no idea what this HOTMAIL I'm using SENDS in HTML..but I don't think it does).... Steve Weather satellite to be replaced A month after the U.S. stored an extra weather satellite in space, the spare is being called on to replace an orbiting observatory that is failing. http://www.msnbc.com/modules/exports/ct_infobeat.asp?/news/179170.asp ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 15:09:54 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Client Beta1 Beta1 of the RealEMWIN Internet client for Win95/98 is now available at http://norden1.com/~rdale/Scores/realemwin-b1.exe This software ingests EMWIN data in realtime via the Internet. Bulletins can be displayed within the software itself or be routed to Weathernode v4 for use in that program. After installation, go to the configuration area. The current datapath is set to c:\weather\wxdata\rxfiles\ which is the default storage area for Weathernode. You can change it to any existing directory -- but if this is to be used as a "front-end" for WXNode make it c:\weather\wxdata\newfiles\ Click on the alarms box to review settings -- for now the only working options are printing and A/V alert (bell.) Click on the option button, enter the product header and hit return. To remove products from the list, just double-click on the line. To select all products of a certain type, use the period "." as a wildcard filler. I.E. all products from Ohio would be "......OH", or all products from Cleveland "...CLE". You can also select product types as "SVR" by itself would alarm on all Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. "Go Online" and you should be running shortly. Note for this test we have limited the number of connections to get an idea of server load, so try not to stay connected for more than an hour or so per session. Products should start flowing momentarily -- just click on a product header to view. You can also cursor up/down to page through multiple products. To select a product manually, enter the header line in the text box below the bottom of the list. To sort through all products received (recent only shows the 150 newest products) click on "All". From there you can select by product type (first listbox at the bottom), state (next listbox) or a manual filter -- similar to the alarm entry (see above.) Finally the product entry box is there as well. Again please don't stay connected too long -- I'd like as many people as possible to be able to try it out but don't want to overload the host server. Any questions / comments / etc. would be greatly appreciated! Send them right to me, not the list though. Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://norden1.com/~rdale rdale@norden1.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 13:05:24 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: mystery stations Tim, I was only able to dig up the following from data files on the NCEP ftp site. 28.00N 87.00W S#7 22 GULF OF MEXICO 0 FOUS(G2GFC) 25.90N 89.70W B#5 22 BUOY MID GULF MEX 0 FOUS(G2GFD) 25.90N 93.60W B#6 22 BUOY W GULF MEX 0 FOUS(G2GFE) A graphic which depicts the location of all of the stations listed below can be found at: http://www.airfield-ops.hill.af.mil/osw/tips/t96-14m3.htm Hope this is of some help. Jeff ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: mystery stations Author: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@compuserve.com> Date: 7/13/98 2:49 AM Does any of the met experts here have any info on the lat/long of ETA output locations G2GFA, G2GFB, G2GFC, G2GFD, G2GFE, G2GFF, LGIN6, and BTNM3? These locations are output by the FOUS77 and FOUW78, but are not documented anywhere. Thanks in advance... ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Jul 1998 23:34:20 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: let them evapotranspirate A week or two ago we touched on corn-induced evapotranspiration... I've seen some 80-82 F dewpoints today in western Iowa. Me thinks the corn is sweating... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jul 1998 to 13 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 00:59:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1916 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-6364>; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 13:12:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA31602; Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:06:11 -0500 Message-Id: <199807150506.AAA31602@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jul 1998 to 14 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 390b690840d046590a4dc8a0aa3232aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 302 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Mystery Stations 2. Weather stations (3) 3. let them evapotranspirate 4. Theta-e increasing with height 5. Aided by Doppler radar, forecasters risk giving false alarms 6. Today's AVHRR Satellite image over Alaska 7. mystery stations 8. Console Replacement System (CRS) Field Guide +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 01:20:31 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Re: Mystery Stations Steve Adams wrote: > After seeing the X-files movie, I can categorically state that these > are merely locations the gov't wants us to see, but do not really > exist. They are using them to hide a deeper, darker secret. ;-) Maybe these are ETA forecast points for the buried spaceship in Antarctica? After all if it gets too warm, that extraterrestrial virus can mutate. Actually I checked out the map Jeffrey Logan mentioned, located at the hill.af.mil site, and it barely corresponds with what the NCEP tables show. I think I will have to start making some phone calls to NCEP tomorrow. I'll post the results here if I find anything. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:30:09 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Weather stations I'm considering the purchase of a weather station. I'm really looking for an anemometer but can't seem to find just a quality standalone unit. I have looked at the Davis units and seen the Radio Shack unit. The Radio Shack unit seems pretty complete and affordable but I wonder about the quality, especially the rain gage. Anyone have any experience with the Davis and/or Radio Shack units? Is there a FAQ somewhere that covers this topic? The Radio Shack unit comes with 30 feet of cable which cannot be extended they say. That's a little short for me. Why can't it be extended? -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 07:40:33 -0700 From: "Dennis K. Gabler" Subject: Re: let them evapotranspirate Scott Bachmeier wrote: > > A week or two ago we touched on corn-induced evapotranspiration... > I've seen some 80-82 F dewpoints today in western Iowa. Me thinks > the corn is sweating... > > -- So are the people in western Iowa ;-) -- Dennis Gabler --o---------------------------=o=---------------------------o-- H H http://www.qsl.net/w5dg W5DG/NNN0BQG/NNN0GAR-ONE___________________H dennisg@microware.com Principal Software Engineer Microware Systems Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 10:34:22 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Theta-e increasing with height Is anyone aware of any climatological studies examining how theta-e varies with height? I'd like to glance at one. I am writing a sounding analysis program and want to print out the maximum value of theta-e (and the CAPE associated with it); at what point in the sounding can I reliably think that the theta-e maximum has been reached and go no higher because any other increases in theta-e are due to rapidly increasing theta? Is this the same thing as asking where the tropopause normally is? Alternatively, at what level can you reliably think that elevated convection will no longer be occurring? Or what is the highest base to elevated convection? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 10:55:58 -0500 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Re: Weather stations At 02:30 AM 7/14/98 -0500, Steve M. Kile wrote: >I'm considering the purchase of a weather station. I'm really looking for >an anemometer but can't seem to find just a quality standalone unit. > >I have looked at the Davis units and seen the Radio Shack unit. The >Radio Shack unit seems pretty complete and affordable but I wonder about >the quality, especially the rain gage. Anyone have any experience with >the Davis and/or Radio Shack units? Is there a FAQ somewhere that covers >this topic? > >The Radio Shack unit comes with 30 feet of cable which cannot be extended >they say. That's a little short for me. Why can't it be extended? >-- >Steve M. Kile, N0FBL >stevek@netcom.com > Add to the list the Peet Bros. wx stations. From my research they are probably the better unit compared to Davis. As for the RS unit, I can't make any comment. Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net Huronia Grey-Bruce weather page http://www.freeyellow.com/members/omw-rail/HuroniaGBwx.html On IRC Toronto Undernet #OnWxWatch and #OnWxTalk ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 13:13:00 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Aided by Doppler radar, forecasters risk giving false alarms http://www.ohio.com/bj/news/ohio/docs/002053.htm Not that bad of an article -- save the fact that the author says "Doppler is part radar, part computer" ;> Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://norden1.com/~rdale rdale@norden1.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 09:27:22 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Today's AVHRR Satellite image over Alaska Greetings: Today is the last day this year that the sun sets AFTER midnight local time at Fairbanks. I thought the subscribers to the digest would find today's early morning NOAA Satellite picture interesting: file://gis.lter.alaska.edu/HiRes_Current/n14.98195.1315.B2.gif Note the cloud shadows over northern Alaska oriented to the Southsouthwest! Also, how much darker it is over Anchorage (near the bottom of Alaska) as compared to Fairbanks (near the middle of the state) and Barrow on the north coast. The sunrise over the Yukon and to the Southeast is quite apparent as well. One can even see the snow capped peaks of the Alaska Range north of Anchorage as small bright dots aligned roughly east-west. Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 14:07:03 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: Weather stations I have several friends who have the unit made by PEET Bros. They are very satisfied with it. One of the guys who has it even has it set up for his voice synth software (he's blind). That unit will also calculate wind chill, and allow you to set alarms for certain conditions. It can also be setup to put out weather info with amateur radio APRS. It is expensive tho! That's why I don't have one! :) Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ >>> "Steve M. Kile" 7/14/98 3:30:09 AM >>> I'm considering the purchase of a weather station. I'm really looking for an anemometer but can't seem to find just a quality standalone unit. I have looked at the Davis units and seen the Radio Shack unit. The Radio Shack unit seems pretty complete and affordable but I wonder about the quality, especially the rain gage. Anyone have any experience with the Davis and/or Radio Shack units? Is there a FAQ somewhere that covers this topic? The Radio Shack unit comes with 30 feet of cable which cannot be extended they say. That's a little short for me. Why can't it be extended? -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 17:19:40 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: mystery stations Thanks to all who helped give me leads on the mystery ETA stations. Thanks to some guidance by Keith Brewster I was able to track someone down at NCEP who gave me these lat/longs (listed in Digital Atmosphere format). KXZA ... .....-. 2400N 08500W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFA KXZB ... .....-. 2600N 08600W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFB KXZC ... .....-. 2800N 08700W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFC KXZD ... .....-. 2600N 09000W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFD KXZE ... .....-. 2600N 09330W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFE KXZF ... .....-. 2200N 09400W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFF KXZG ... .....-. 2800N 09554W 0000 ..... GX ETA output point G2GFG KXZY ... .....-. 4130N 06900W 0000 ..... AT ETA output point BTNM3 KXZZ ... .....-. 4000N 07000W 0000 ..... AT ETA output point LGIN6 Better write them down because if you lose 'em you'll be in a heap 'a trouble. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 19:36:36 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Console Replacement System (CRS) Field Guide In an effort to expedite rapid and efficient communications I have developed the following translations for the text to speech CRS NOAA WX Radio 2000 enhancement, Fartly Goudy = Partly Cloudy Feady Feat Deblees = Eighty-eight Degrees Tunder Torm = Thunder Storm Flixty Bive Grew Pint = Sixty Five Dew Point Klay E Blee Flixty = KEC-60 Glow Blown Admikery = Ozone Advisory Torflamo Burning = Tornado Warning Blosh Gok Wishkonkin = Oshkosh Wisconsin Shoushbleet Wishkonkin = Southeast Wisconsin Wuakleeka Wishkonkin = Waukesha Wisconsin Crotch Blikkard = Ground Blizzard Bleet Blindex = Heat Index Grindey = Ninety Swerving Tout Eat Wishkonkin = Serving Southeast Wisconsin Scrambled Tunder Torms = Scattered Thunder Storms Mopploploptican Flereara = Metroplolitan Area Flake Clover, Hey Torflamo Kissed Da Cound = Take Cover a Tornado Has Touched the Ground Ut O De Doutvest = Out of the Southwest Coud Flont = Cold Front Fentral Fections = Central Sections Clown Wurst = Downburst Mickey Wurst = Microburst Flowgrast = Forecast Ta Titties O Flikevater Canned Flixogia = The Cities of Whitewater and Ixonia Fat Blate Fle Ehem = At Eight PM Wowsaw = Wausau Flinkeblapulous = Minneapolis Grankatib Blint = Negative Tilt Freep Klib Dip = Freep Klib Dip Flank clue vor dor condinkeratshin! = Thank you for your consideration! *************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jul 1998 to 14 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1884 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626648-8212>; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 13:19:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23510; Thu, 16 Jul 1998 00:11:30 -0500 Message-Id: <199807160511.AAA23510@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 00:01:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1998 to 15 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0e3858b55a323a4e70e38de7ac272aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 393 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather stations 2. NRC report on modernizing Cooperative Observer Network 3. Weather Stations... 4. AVHRR Links correction 5. AVHRR Links correction (2) 6. Weather Stations 7. weather stations 8. wx site +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 07:13:06 -0400 From: "Beattie, Richard" Subject: Re: Weather stations I have been running a Radio Shack weather station for a number of months now, and it's been as accurate as any I've seen. As for the rain gauge, I've noticed at most a negligible difference between it and my manual gauge. Besides, I'm not sure, but it dosn't seem like there's a function on the main control unit that records the total rainfall, just the rate in inches per hour. I could be wrong, but we haven't had enough rain up here in Cleveland for me to tell. The wind instruments are right on, as long as you accurately calibrate the wind vane, after which it does a great job of telling you the exact degree of wind direction, not just the compass points. The only other sensor is the integrated thermometer/hygrometer/barometer unit, which is also reasonably accurate. I can recall one storm where a 72 MPH wind gust was accurately recorded with my station and collected by the AccuWeather software, which is also pretty neat. I then printed out a table of all the data, and plotted the barometric pressure. I have my station mounted on the roof of my home (the best recommended mounting location) with the cable running through the 2nd floor window, and had lots of cable to spare. I don't know exactly why the cable can't be extended, unless the longer the cable lengths, the more chance for random data errors or local interference. I don't know if there's a FAQ anywhere on this topic, but that's my opinion from personal experience with the station. P.S. I also had it mounted mobile on my chase vehicle for a while, running off of a power inverter. Works good near a mesocyclone, too! (Just watch out for that bloody hail.) So it has proven to be durable. All in all, I think it's a good value for an accurately performing station. I hope this helps. ----Rich Beattie, NE Ohio Storm Chaser---------------------- > > Date: Tue, 14 Jul 1998 02:30:09 -0500 > From: "Steve M. Kile" > Subject: Weather stations > > I'm considering the purchase of a weather station. I'm really looking > for > an anemometer but can't seem to find just a quality standalone unit. > > I have looked at the Davis units and seen the Radio Shack unit. The > Radio Shack unit seems pretty complete and affordable but I wonder > about > the quality, especially the rain gage. Anyone have any experience > with > the Davis and/or Radio Shack units? Is there a FAQ somewhere that > covers > this topic? > > The Radio Shack unit comes with 30 feet of cable which cannot be > extended > they say. That's a little short for me. Why can't it be extended? > -- > Steve M. Kile, N0FBL > stevek@netcom.com > > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 07:59:28 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: NRC report on modernizing Cooperative Observer Network Date: July 14, 1998 Contacts: Molly Galvin, Media Relations Officer Kristen Nye, Media Relations Assistant (202) 334-2138; e-mail Publication Announcement Stronger Management, New Technology Needed To Improve Weather Data Network For more than a century, the National Weather Service (NWS) and other federal agencies have relied on a network of thousands of volunteers across the country to gather data on climate and weather such as rainfall, snowfall, and temperature. Operating on an annual budget of less than $10 million, the Cooperative Observer Network provides information for making daily and weekly forecasts, monitoring water resources, and charting environmental changes. Businesses also use the data for decisions such as where to plant crops or build a power plant. But despite growing demand for the data, organizational and budgetary constraints have weakened the network over the last decade. More funding is needed to maintain operations and upgrade instruments -- many of which have not changed significantly in many years, says a new report by the National Research Council. By improving management and gradually automating more data collection and communications functions, the network could become well-positioned to serve the nation into the next century. Government agencies that use the network's data, for example the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the departments of Agriculture and the Interior, often are delayed in getting the information they need because of inefficient and slow data reporting, obsolete equipment, and differences in priorities between NWS and the National Climatic Data Center, another government entity that processes and disseminates data from the network. To make data available quickly and improve accuracy, the report says, new weather monitoring equipment that can automatically measure factors such as temperature should be introduced gradually and tested at selected sites. Automating data collection would reduce heavy demands on volunteers, but they will still be needed to oversee observations and equipment and to supply information -- such as snow depth and precipitation -- that cannot be measured fully with existing technology. NWS already has begun installing electronic temperature measuring systems at many of the volunteer sites. Other technologies, including sensors to measure humidity and solar radiation, could be added to bolster the network's capabilities. In addition, upgraded real-time digital communications systems should be installed to allow volunteers to report data on at least a daily basis, the panel said. Volunteers now gather two types of data -- climate data, such as daily temperatures, precipitation, and snowfall, or hydrologic information for river and flood forecasting. Depending on the data and the technological capabilities of the volunteer sites, information might be reported daily to NWS offices or submitted less frequently by mail. NWS staff must process the information before making it available to other users. Fully automating data reporting would give other users more frequent and faster access to information. Some local or regional networks outside of the cooperative observer system should be considered as sources of data to augment the observer system's efforts, the report says. For example, two universities in Oklahoma operate a statewide network of environmental monitoring stations that measure temperature, wind speed, and other factors at more than 100 sites. These types of networks could enhance the cooperative's capabilities if the data meet established standards. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) -- which houses The National Weather Service and National Climatic Data Center -- should establish an office that would ensure the cooperative network is properly managed and funded, the report says. The central office should make the observer network a high priority within NOAA and with other agencies that use the data. NOAA should work with other agencies to establish an interagency management council to involve federal users in planning, policy-making, and funding. Industry and other users from the private sector may also need to provide more funding to upgrade the system. To recover costs, fees should be charged for processing and copying the data or making it available over the Internet. The study was funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Copies of Toward a New National Weather Service: Future of the National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Network are available from the National Academy Press for $30.00 (prepaid) plus shipping charges of $4.00 for the first copy and $.50 for each additional copy; tel. (202) 334-3313 or 1-800-624-6242. Reporters may obtain a copy from the Office of News and Public Information (contacts listed above). # # # [This announcement will be available on the World Wide Web at .] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 08:16:26 -0500 From: Maureen Moore Subject: Weather Stations... We have been using the Radio Shack weather stations here as part of a educational effort between the University, the NWS and area schools. The project is still in it's initial stages, but we have learned some things dealing with the equipment. The wires for the station are not supposed to be lengthen (it has to do with the possible loss of data) but after discussing it with a few different computer people, it probably could be extended some without loss of data. Of course Radio Shack won't tell you that. The other thing is that the Accuweather software that comes with the equipment does not allow you to archive your data. This was something we really needed for our purposes. Fortunately, there are a couple different software packages that individuals and companies have developed after figuring out the source code for the station. Our personal favorite is the Weather Monitor, developed in the Netherlands by a company called WeatherStation.Com. One of the biggest advantages with the software is the fact that it can be used with a number of different weather stations (including Davis). The bottom line with the RS unit is that it has its problems, maining linked to the length of cable. The Central Atlantic Storm Investigators have a good page dealing with the difference between the RS unit and the Davis, focusing on the kinks about the RS unit. Their web site is: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/wxstation I found it very useful when we started out. If you want to see some of the data from the units (real-time) check out our site at: http://wwwagwx.ca.uky.edu/EWOCK.html Hope this helps! Maureen -- ============================================================ Maureen Moore mmoore@ca.uky.edu System Coordinator ph: 606-257-3000ext244 Ag. Weather Center fax: 606-257-5671 243 Ag. Engineering Bldg Dept. of Biosystems and Ag. Engr. University of Kentucky Lexington, KY 40546-0276 HOMEPAGE http://wwwagwx.ca.uky.edu ============================================================ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 10:05:44 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: AVHRR Links correction Hi: It's me again. Sorry for the confusion from yesterday's posting. You can access these AVHRR images by going to: http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AVHRR/index.html The hitting hypertext to file://gis.lter.alaska.edu/HiRes_Current/ The B2 is the visual image. It looks like yesterday's high resolution images are not saved or accessible although archived lower resolution images are (see the other hypertext link on the same page). Although the effects I described yesterday are gone, the early image from today is still very interesting (note ice in Beaufort sea). Regards, J. Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 11:13:35 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: AVHRR Links correction (2) It's me again: It seems like the link I've tried to pass on to you is a subscription on-line available only link (see less than clear comment below: "Digital images of band 2 and band 4 (thermal infrared) subsampled only by two (2-km spatial resolution) also are provided on-line to users with interests in the Alaskan environment. University researchers and students routinely use these images to address dynamically-changing natural events, monitoring key Alaskan resources, and for instructional purposes in college-level courses. Government, other universities, industry, and foreign users also regularly download our data. These higher-resolution images, also in the gif format, are available on-line at "file://gis.lter.alaska.edu/HiRes_Current/". Radiometric data at full-resolution from all bands are also available by special arrangement at moderate cost. " I will attempt to get hold of the AVHRR image I spoke about yesterday and offer it to those who are interested. If you don't hear from me again, I was unsuccessful. Sorry about the waste of bandwide. It's just one of those days. Cheers, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Jul 1998 14:18:20 -0600 From: Ralph Forsythe Subject: Re: Weather Stations >I have looked at the Davis units and seen the Radio Shack unit. The >Radio Shack unit seems pretty complete and affordable but I wonder about >the quality, especially the rain gage. Anyone have any experience with >the Davis and/or Radio Shack units? Is there a FAQ somewhere that covers >this topic? I recommend the Peet Bros. unit. I use a PB Ultimeter 2000, and couldn't be happier. The only problems I have had are a rabbit-chewed outdoor temp probe and the control display mysteriously frying (probably from a lightning hit nearby I think), both of which were replaced without hassle very quickly. The station is also very easy to interface to a PC, and the data format is easy to understand (well, for me anyway). I am quite pleased with the functionality and quality of the station, as well as the level of customer service I always receive from Peet Bros. As for cost, it's competetive with the Davis depending on the models you look at. As for the radio shack unit - I typically stay away from almost anything they make except the ham radio gear, which is surprisingly high quality stuff. >The Radio Shack unit comes with 30 feet of cable which cannot be extended >they say. That's a little short for me. Why can't it be extended? Because it's radio shack. But some extra cable and splice it in there yourself. Hell, if it's just 4/6 or 8 pin phone wire I'll make you a cable for cost of materials and shipping, it's quite easy to accomplish. Just my opinions, but hey, why not? Later, Ralph Forsythe ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ralph@contact-paging.com KC0CSO http://www.hemi.com/~ralph Contact Paging Engineering Support Services / Colorado "Success is going from failure to failure without losing enthusiasm" - Winston Churchill "You're not drunk if you can lie on the floor without holding on..." - Dean Martin ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 01:46:05 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: weather stations > I have looked at the Davis units and seen the Radio Shack unit. You may want to check out my page about experiences with the WX-200 http://www.weatherwatchers.org/wxstation/wx200/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 00:42:17 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: wx site Wx talkers A colleague of mine at work found this wx-site. It is a pretty interesting but it is not all that straightforward. *** I found this site through the Climate Prediction Center when I was working on a wx project. Basically just about any historical map on any scale of any field is available for web site work and research. This is basically the NCAR CD-ROM, climatic normals and model output data. Go to the following web site and try it out. It will take awhile to get used to conventions, but there is a tremendous amount of flexibility in what you can ask for. You can do time series as well as plots. http://wesley.wwb.noaa.gov/ncep_data/index_sgi62.html Steve Hodanish ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1998 to 15 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:00:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626394-16091>; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 13:23:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB52888; Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:15:14 -0500 Message-Id: <199807170515.AAB52888@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 00:05:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jul 1998 to 16 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ec608c2581122ef0670426171165cd75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 324 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Spencer says Goodbye to "Good Morning" 2. NRC report on modernizing Cooperative Observer Network 3. ship condensation trails off California coast 4. More Mr. Roboto.... 5. AVHRR ALASKA IMAGES (URL CORRECTION) 6. Straight line winds +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:05:28 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Spencer says Goodbye to "Good Morning" The following appeared in SHOPTALK --an Internet-based TV news magazine. For mor information on SHOPTALK see www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = KGO-TV (San Francisco) announced yesterday that longtime weather anchor Pete Giddings will leave the station at the end of the year. At the same time, the station announced the hiring of ABC "Good Morning America's" weather anchor Spencer Christian to take over the ABC/7 weather anchoring duties. KGO-TV President and General Manager Joe Ahern praised Giddings as a dedicated talent in local television for almost three decades. "Pete has been an important contributor to KGO-TV, as a personality, and to the community where he has donated his energy and countless hours of his time in an effort to make the Bay Area a better place to live," Ahern said. "We will be able to enjoy Pete's talents through the end of the year so it will be a long heartfelt goodbye to an important member of the KGO-TV family." In making the announcement about Spencer Christian, Ahern said, "Spencer's charm, warmth, knowledge and reputation will be a wonderful addition to the ABC/7 News Team. Ahern continued, "I couldn't be happier that we were able to find someone with Spencer's stature and credentials. Spencer will provide ABC/7 News with a seamless transition in the important area of weather reporting. Christian joined "Good Morning America" as weather anchor in August 1986 after nine years with WABC-TV in New York. Commenting about his career change Christian said, "I am thrilled to start this new chapter in my life in this wonderful city. I can honestly say that San Francisco is my favorite place in North America, and I truly look forward to making it my hometown." Christian begins his new assignment in January, 1999. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 08:28:30 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: NRC report on modernizing Cooperative Observer Network To recover costs, fees should be charged for > processing and copying the data or making it available over the > Internet. > > The study was funded by the National Oceanic and > Atmospheric Administration. Copies of Toward a New National > Weather Service: Future of the National Weather Service > Cooperative Observer Network are available from the National > Academy Press for $30.00 (prepaid) plus shipping charges of $4.00 > for the first copy and $.50 for each additional copy; tel. (202) > 334-3313 or 1-800-624-6242. Reporters may obtain a copy from the > Office of News and Public Information (contacts listed above). > > # # # > > [This announcement will be available on the World Wide Web at > .] Another study. Why is it that the NWS who has been in the co-op business for many years needs to fund a study for something that they should already know? Wonder how much this one cost the taxpayers? Also why can't the study be put on the internet for free? Take Gore's satellite money and upgrade the net. Agree that Co-op network needs funding and attention however. -- Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 18:00:15 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: ship condensation trails off California coast GOES Enthusiasts, Momentum wheel problems aside, GOES-9 revealed some nice ship track features yesterday off the California coast; see the CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980715.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:01:49 -0500 From: "Joe B. Dorn" Subject: More Mr. Roboto.... Posted to multiple weather lists.... I have re-posted some of the Mr. Roboto discussions to another list that has a lot of boaters on it (U.S. Power Squadrons) and one of them contacted NOAA and received this reply... Joe B. Dorn, Belton, Texas -----Original Message----- From: William R. Walker [SMTP:w_r_walker@email.msn.com] Sent: Wednesday, July 15, 1998 23:14 PM To: 'USPS - PSML' Subject: PSML: FW: Voice Synthesis Gang - At last, a government agency that responds quickly. Here's what I got back from NOAA regarding CRS - after only one day! Bill Walker - Portland, OR From: Myron Berger [SMTP:Myron.Berger@noaa.gov] Sent: Wednesday, July 15, 1998 3:05 PM Subject: Re: Voice Synthesis Dear Mr. Walker: Thank you for your message to the National Weather Service. First let me say up front that I know loyal and dedicated listeners such as yourself would probably not like the new voice (certainly not at first). It does take getting accustomed to. In other parts of the country where it has been used longer, it has been given gradual acceptance. This is especially true because of the advantages of automation, as will be explained. Also, we are undertaking activities to improve the voice, as I'll also describe below. As the new program consoles (called NOAA Weather Radio 2000) are delivered to our offices, office personnel will be gradually phasing in the use of the synthesized voicing capability. So at first, they will be continuing to do manual broadcasts using the new NOAA Weather Radio 2000 system. Please contact the Portland office on their plans in this regard The Portland office has a web site at http://nimbo.wrh.noaa.gov/Portland/ The subcontractor for the synthesized voice has been making incremental improvements in the synthesizer software. However, due to the concern about voice quality, especially for warnings and other critical messages, a special NWS task team is investigating additional improvements to the automated voice, as well as the possibility of supplementary voicing methods. The team will report their findings and recommendations to the NWS Director later this summer. Once agency decisions are made by the director, they will be announced to the public and posted on-line. The Portland office can and will do local customizing of the synthesized voice software. Thus, they will be glad to hear from you regarding specific suggestions on pronunciation, accentuation, pitch, and speed. There are pronounced advantages to using this automated NOAA Weather Radio 2000 program console. First and foremost, in meeting NWS's core mission to provide the fastest and most accurate warnings, this the new console does superbly. This is especially true in severe weather outbreaks when many warnings are issued in a short period of time over several transmitters programmed by an NWS office. Without this console, some warnings may be delayed by precious minutes. Another major advantage is that the more routine information like top-of-the-hour observations and other weather reports are more accurate and always on time, as compared with what sometimes occurs with human recording. Given our limited resources, manual recordings for multiple transmitters cannot provide the public with the quality of service they expect. Let me also describe some of our experiences across the country when these new automated systems are installed and begin broadcasting. Like you, many people at first complain about not liking the synthesized voice. We certainly understand that, since the voice doesn't sound like a human, but more robotic. The question is: for the advantages obtained, is the synthesized voice understandable for people to take appropriate response to dangerous conditions? We find that in time, as the benefits are explained to people and they become used to hearing the voice, they tend to understand it better and appreciate the overall service. Also, we have always received some complaints about the speaking ability of some of our human broadcasters, who as meteorologists or hydrometeorological technicians receive broadcast training, but are not professional announcers. May I ask you to give us a chance as the new system is implemented in your area. I hope that you will find its lifesaving and other advantages beneficial. Sincerely, Ron Berger NWS customer service __________________________Reply Separator ___________________________ Subject: Voice Synthesis Author: w_r_walker@email.msn.com at EXTERNAL Date: 7/14/98 12:17 PM The voice that I heard on the Web site is insufficient for the purposes of mariners. There are words that are unintelligible, so badly that after several replays through my very good computer speakers I still didn't know what they were It would be a shame if a life-threatening event such as stormy weather could not be broadcast intelligibly. Most of us recreational boaters are running with VHF radios, even coastwise, and sometimes even with clear enunciation the reception leaves something to be desired. It will be incredibly difficult if the synthesis does not improve substantially from what I heard today. I read the implementation schedule, and it indicated that Portland, OR, was installed and operational before June of this year, yet I just listened to the forecast on VHF WX Channel 01 and it was obviously human. When are you scheduled to actually put this capability on the air? What are the NOAA's commitments as to viability of the synthesis as measured by user reaction being a metric in the final decision to deploy? There are a number of people on USPS' information forum on the 'Net that are getting excited (in a negative way) about the quality of this voice, so some schedule information that factors in user responses would be helpful in defusing this. Bill Walker - Portland, OR ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 11:26:58 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: AVHRR ALASKA IMAGES (URL CORRECTION) Finally, the problem accessing Alaska AVHRR images has been resolved (see below). I've passed on these independently offered comments to the satellite site webmaster. Feel free to checkout these unique summertime images. Regards, Jan Curtis Comments provided from an outside surfer: " In http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AVHRR/index.html, the URLs are incorrect. Change file://gis.lter.alaska.edu/LoRes_Archive/ to ftp://gis.lter.alaska.edu/LoRes_Archive/ file://gis.lter.alaska.edu/HiRes_Current/ to ftp://gis.lter.alaska.edu/HiRes_Current/ The incorrect URLs probably work for both of you because you're in the U Alaska system! file:// is reserved for a file on your own file system; that might include some network drives. Also, you need not give a separate directory name and a filename like daily.composite.gif; that's only helpful for people using command-line ftp clients. It's part of a WWW document so give a real URL like ftp://gis.lter.alaska.edu/LoRes_Archive/daily.composite.gif. Then people can go there with 1 click. I have tested all these ftp:// URLs. " ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Jul 1998 14:31:15 -0500 From: "J. Christopher Clarke" Subject: Straight line winds WX-Talkers, On the thread about Derechos, Ligia R. Bernardet is quite a expert on them, and sent me this tidbit. Hope this proves useful. Chris _____________________________________________________ J. Christopher Clarke jclarke@hurricane.net2.nlu.edu Assistant Professor Northeast Louisiana University Dept. of Geosciences _____________________________________________________ "This isn't flying. This is falling -- with style." _____________________________________________________ -----Original Message----- From: Ligia Bernardet [mailto:ligia@fsl.noaa.gov] Sent: Thursday, July 16, 1998 2:27 PM To: jclarke@hurricane.net2.nlu.edu Subject: Re: Fw: Straight line winds Chris, The term derecho was coined long ago, in 1888, by Hinrichs. But it was forgotten during most part of this century, to reappear in the 80s. Johns and Hirt (1987) came up with the definition cited in one of the e-mails. The idea is that derecho is a convectively induced, long-lived wind-storm. That says nothing about which kind of convective system causes the derecho. It is not part of the definition. This has been a source of confusion in the literature, with some people erroneously referring to derecho as if it was a kind of convective system. There has been work in the literature, though, trying to identify which convective systems cause derechos. Most derechos seem to be associated with squall-lines, particularly bow-echo ones. These squall lines can be MCSs, or if they reach large proportions, MCCs. There are also derecho-producing MCSs and MCCs without bow-echos. And there is evidence that at times, derechos are not associated with squall lines, but with isolated long-lived supercells. Fell free to post this if you want. Ligia ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jul 1998 to 16 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4021 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626465-18735>; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 13:13:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA33956; Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:07:11 -0500 Message-Id: <199807180507.AAA33956@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 00:00:27 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jul 1998 to 17 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab974e4873ff00d472207fac6dacff92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 440 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. California/Nevada/Arizona Heat 2. New AWOS Station 3. 4. GOES-10 operational (2) 5. tropical weather summary +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 04:05:52 -0400 From: "William T. Reid" <73551.2512@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: California/Nevada/Arizona Heat A few notes on the hot weather in California and Nevada on Thursday, July 16th... Death Valley/Furnace Creek reached 127F (the morning low was 81F). This is only one degree lower than its record high of 128F since 1913. (Death Valley/Greenland Ranch had five maximums ranging from 129F to 134F in July, 1913, but these extremely high observations are not supported by the maximums at surrounding stations during the same period.) Trustworthy readings of 128F were attained in Death Valley in July, 1972, and in June, 1994. In June, 1994, a park ranger measured 131F at Badwater in Death Valley with a sling psychrometer. Badwater is typically a few degrees hotter than Furnace Creek on summer afternoons. Bullhead City, AZ, reached 126F (low 73F), two degrees shy of Arizona's all-time record of 128F (set at Lake Havasu City in June, 1994, if memory serves me correctly). Across the Colorado River, Laughlin, NV, reported 122F. Las Vegas (NV) AP reached 116F, just one degree shy of its all-time maximum of 117F. A sprawling upper-level high-pressure system is centered near Mercury, Nevada, with the 500 mb height at about 6000 meters. Upper highs rarely get stronger than this current one, and we are near the hottest part of the year climatologically for the Death Valley and Mojave Desert regions. It will be interesting to see if an authentic and official 130F temperature will be observed during the next few days, as the upper high is forecast to remain strong over the Desert Southwest. Also of interest.... The max/min at Truckee, CA, was 93/36, giving a temperature range of 91 degrees for California on Thursday (with DV's 127F). Along the Central California coast, a mid-afternoon report from Point Piedras Blancas gave a temperature in the mid-50s with a wind of about 20 knots. (The maximum temperature at nearby Morro Bay was 66F.) About six miles inland at Hearst Castle the high for the day was 95F (low was 80F), and 20 miles farther east Paso Robles had 110F. At about the same latitude in California, Badwater was likely very pushing 130F on Thursday afternoon while, at the same time, Point Piedras Blancas had a wind chill in the 40s. William Reid Agoura Hills, CA CompuServe 73551,2512 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 03:13:35 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New AWOS Station --------------ECFD396B6EE3544D78F2CDD1 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit A new AWOS station was added to DDS yesterday. KOCW - Washington, NC Lat - 35 34N Lon - 77 03W Elev - 12 meters Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations --------------ECFD396B6EE3544D78F2CDD1 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit A new AWOS station was added to DDS yesterday.

KOCW - Washington, NC
Lat - 35 34N
Lon - 77 03W
Elev - 12 meters

Boris A. Konon
WSI Meteorological Operations
  --------------ECFD396B6EE3544D78F2CDD1-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 22:54:50 -0400 From: Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers Subject: >Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 21:24:31 -0400 (EDT) >X-Sender: a5b2p3nb@abaco.coastalnet.com >To: stormchaser@coastalnet.com, cn1599@coastalnet.com, bjhall@gabn.net, > skywatch@cbiinternet.com, darnold@datasync.com, j@weatherwatchers.org, > webmaster@assembly.net, cthorne@ecu.campus.mci.net, k5pf@aol.com, > kimberly@unity.ncsu.edu, pietrych@rap.ucar.edu, wxman96@aol.com, > daniel.bartholf@noaa.gov, gregs@abts.net, powell@scsn.net, > dasprp@always-online.com, shane.wise@pov.net, fduval@flosc.net, > svoros@execpc.com >From: Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers > >>From: Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers >>Subject: July '98 MASA Newsletter >> >>>Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 19:56:46 -0500 (CDT) >>>From: "MILWAUKEE AREA SKYWARN ASSC." >>>X-Sender: svoros@earth >>>To: masa@execpc.com >>>Subject: July '98 MASA Newsletter >>> >>> >>> >>>MASA ["May-sah"] ---> Milwaukee Area SKYWARN Association, Inc. Est 1992 >>>Skywarn is the IDENTIFICATION, EVALUATION, & REPORTING of dangerous weather >>>Good spotters do Safety first, & submit measured wind-rain-hail reports. >>> Paid Newsletter, FREE Email lists: masa@execpc.com >>>SEVERE WEATHER NEVER SLEEPS; Keepup with the forecast, don't play catchup! >>>*************************************************************************** >>> >>> >>> >>> The following article is a reprint from >>> the upcoming July '98 MASA Newsletter >>> soon to be mailed out to our paid subscribers. >>> >>> Sincerely, >>> >>> Rick Swierczynski, Assoc. Dir. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>>Changes Recommended for Severe >>>Thunderstorm Warning Criteria..... >>> >>> >>>In response to a decade of concern about criteria for designating >>>thunderstorms as "severe," recommendations for change have been >>>proposed. >>> >>>During the past year, a large number of severe thunderstorm warnings >>>has significantly impacted performance of the Emergency Alert System >>>(EAS) in some areas. Becaues of this, some media outlets decided not >>>to activate the EAS for Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. >>> >>>In May 1997, Operational Meteorology assembled a team of NOAA employees >>>and external customers to examine severe thunderstorm warning criteria, >>>determine if changes are needed, and if changed, to what threshold of >>>wind and/or hail size. >>> >>>The Severe Thunderstorm Warning Criteria Team looked at science and >>>service aspects of Severe Thunderstorm Warning thresholds. Since the >>>team was large (30) and diverse, it was split into four subgroups; >>> >>> * Emergency Management/Customer Service >>> * Science-Research/Training >>> * Science/Operations >>> * External Users. >>> >>>The four subgroups cited both formal and informal studies by the NWS, >>>insurance property loss groups, and structural engineering firms, among >>>others, addressing the problem. Informal surveys of emergency managers >>>(EMs) also were part of the process. >>> >>> >>>Background and Recommendations... >>> >>>The wind criteria for a Severe Thunderstorm Warning (winds gusting 50 >>>knots or greater) has been in effect since 1970. This standard was set >>>when the Weather Bureau agreed to lower its criteria from 65 knots to be >>>consistant with the requirements for the Aviation Severe Thunderstorm >>>Watch. Hail criteria for a Severe Thunderstorm Warning (hail 3/4 inch >>>or greater) has been in effect since March 1954. This size of hail was >>>chosen as "the smallest size of hailstones that cause significant damage >>>at airplane speeds between 200 and 300 Mph." >>> >>>The committee recommended adopting a new threshold of 1 inch as the >>>minimum hail size for a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. Further, it >>>recommended that the wind speed threshold be left at or near 50 knots. >>> >>> >>>Basis for Recommendation... >>> >>>This the majority opinion of the Science/Research-Training, Science/ >>>operations, and Customer Service Subgroups. >>> >>>** Regarding HAIL CRITERIA, from a science perspective various factors >>>point to 1-inch hail as a minimum threshold of significant damage, if >>>we aredefining a Severe Thunderstorm as that "which poses a threat to >>>life and property." >>> >>>* If a Severe thunderstorm is defined this way, we may need further >>>definition by the Science/Research-Training subgroup. This group took >>>a particularly close look at the property that could be moved to safety >>>given sufficient lead time in a warning, especially automobiles. The >>>Science/Research-Training subgroup obtained data from engineering >>>sources indicating hail begins damaging cars at around 1 inch. >>> >>>* Engineering data available to the External Users Subgroup indicated >>>a 1 inch hail size to be the threshold of damage to residential glass >>>skylights and single panel windows. >>> >>>* There are no instances of serious personal injury on record in 'Storm >>>Data' resulting from hail less than 1 inch in diameter. In fact, from >>>1986 to 1996, 'Storm Data' has recorded only six instances of ANY >>>injuries from hail less than 1 inch out of 23,697 reports! Of these, >>>five appear questionable (coded incorrectly, injury actually due to wind >>>blown debris, indirect injuries, etc.). Almost all accounts of serious >>>personal injury or death are from hailstones at or larger than 1 inch, >>>usually 'much' larger than 1 inch. >>> >>>** Aviation users rely on Convective SIGMETS and related products for >>>information on thunderstorm related hazards, e.g., convective low level >>>wind sheear, hail, turbulence, icing, etc. Criteria for issuing a >>>Convective SIGMET includes: >>> >>>-Severe thunderstorm >>>-Embedded thundesrtorms >>>-Line of thunderstorms >>>-An area of active thunderstorms affecting at least 3,000 square miles. >>> >>>Since issuing a Convective SIGMET relies on severe thunderstorm criteria, >>>any change made in the criteria cacasdes into the aviation product suite, >>> >>> >>>** The WIND CRITERIA should be left essentailly as it is; however it is >>>worth considering rounding the wind threshold to 60 MPH (52 knots) >>>because it "would be easier for the public to grasp," according to EMs >>>who work with Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) Carl Weinbrecht, >>>National Weather Service, Boise, Idaho. >>> >>>* There was some disagreement within the team, but most of the team was >>>against changing the wind threshold. There are too many variables to be >>>considered here, for tree damage: type, condition and age of tree, type >>>and moisture content of soil, and season; for structures: regional >>>building codes and practices. It was not that 50 knots/58 MPH was a good >>>threshold as much as that the team could not agree on the value that >>>served all better. >>> >>>** The Emergency Manager/Customer Service subgroup (minority opinion) >>>favors keeping the current criteria for wind (58 MPH/50 knot) and hail >>>(3/4 inch). >>> >>>* Emergency managers in favor of this threshold said, "The EMCs prefer to >>>be appraised of ALL storms that pose even a minimal threat." Most favor >>>the current threshold because of the 'information' that flows in the >>>warning. Many media customers agree. These customers tell of a 'need' to >>>know about hail 'before' it becomes damaging. >>> >>> >>>* There is no question that the need to know about 3/4 inch (and >>>smaller) hail is real. What is at question is the need to know via a >>>Severe Thunderstorm Warning product. >>> >>> Therefore, it is recommended that the NWS investigate the use of other >>> products, such as the "Headlined NOW" [1-6 hour short term forecast] with >>> appropriate Valid Time Event Code, currently being developed by >>> Operational Meteorology(OM). It is also recommended that OM, in >>> conjunction with regional headquaters and local Warning Coordination >>> Meteorologists (WCM)work with national and local media and emergency >>> management users to ensure this information gets to customers with a need >>> to know. Information concerning thunderstorms with hail sizes below >>> 1 inch should be headlined in the NOW. >>> >>>* A term such as "Strong thunderstorm" could be used for the NOW to >>>define storms containing hail 3/4 inch or larger, but less than 1 inch >>>in diameter. >>> >>>* The Science/Research-Training subgroup recommends that NWS provide >>>information/guidance on winds 35 to 50 knots, because winds of this >>>strength can damage high profile vehicles. This guidance could also be >>>provided in the NOW. >>> >>>The Team's report was well received when presented at the April 1998 NWS >>>Customer Workshop. It was sent to the six NWS regions for comment again >>>and received a favorable response. Changes would not be implemented sooner >>>than spring 2000, when most of the NWS field offices will have been >>>restructured. [Excerpted from Spring '98 AWARE] >>>Duplication and redistribution granted; provided THE MILWAUKEE AREA >>>SKYWARN ASSOCIATION name is credited. END OF FEED................. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >Do not let us forget, if we are uneducated so is the general public, >education is the most valuable tool you will ever have when it comes to >meterology. > ---Chris Phillips > >Web Page: >For more Information on The Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers >www.assembly.net/encww > >Mirc Channel #encww on DalNet; also check out these other channels, >#Skywarn, #Weather, # Meterology, #stormchasers >************************************************************************** >NWSO-Newport Advanced Skywarn Spotter >Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers, President >Central Atlantic Storms Investigator Member >NC Storm Chasers Member >TExas Severe Storms Association Member >Alert Member >************************************************************************** > > > > Do not let us forget, if we are uneducated so is the general public, education is the most valuable tool you will ever have when it comes to meterology. ---Chris Phillips Web Page: For more Information on The Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers www.assembly.net/encww Mirc Channel #encww on DalNet; also check out these other channels, #Skywarn, #Weather, # Meterology, #stormchasers ************************************************************************** NWSO-Newport Advanced Skywarn Spotter Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers, President Central Atlantic Storms Investigator Member NC Storm Chasers Member TExas Severe Storms Association Member Alert Member ************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 22:09:26 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: GOES-10 operational All: As per a previous message to our NIU and College of DuPage faculty, GOES-9 is about to fail. As of tonight, GOES-10 becomes operational and replaces GOES-9. NOUS42 KWBC 180133 SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC 0125Z UTC SAT JULY 18 1998 DUE TO A VERY SHAKY GOES 9 SPACECRAFT...GOES 10 WILL BE DECLARED OPERATIONAL AT 0400Z THIS EVENING AND WILL TAKE OVER AS THE GOES WEST SATELLITE...GOES 10 DATA IS SUPPOSED TO BE AVBL BY 06Z. BUREK/SDM/NCO/NCEP Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 22:28:04 -0500 From: Chris Sells Subject: tropical weather summary Good evening everyone. This is somthing that I've been thinking about over the past few days. I'm a tropical weather fanatic, and my hobby is tropical weather systems. I've studied tropical weather systems since 1985 and I am thoroughly interested in there makeup and evolution. My question is this, and Chris Novy I welcome your input since you're the list owner. I'm thinking about writing a tropical weather summary, and making it abailable four times daily, and posting it on my www page also. I would like to post it on wx-talk list if no one has no objection. This is a forecst for hobby purposes only! I am not an official source of information by any means! Please don't consider this information as fact. But I would enjoy trying my hand at forecasting. And feel free to let me know when I miss somthing. As I probably will. But first we have got to find some activity nothing is happening where is it! where is it! dangg! dang! Chris Sells Amateur radio station AC4CS ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Jul 1998 23:14:15 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: GOES-10 operational > > All: > > As per a previous message to our NIU and College of DuPage faculty, GOES-9 > is about to fail. As of tonight, GOES-10 becomes operational and > replaces GOES-9. > > NOUS42 KWBC 180133 > > SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION > CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC > 0125Z UTC SAT JULY 18 1998 > > DUE TO A VERY SHAKY GOES 9 SPACECRAFT...GOES 10 WILL BE DECLARED > OPERATIONAL AT 0400Z THIS EVENING AND WILL TAKE OVER AS THE GOES > WEST SATELLITE...GOES 10 DATA IS SUPPOSED TO BE AVBL BY 06Z. > > BUREK/SDM/NCO/NCEP Hope everyone's code is ready for inverted images! I noticed in the Friday morning SOCC (NESDIS) report a mention of a move of GOES-10 to GOES-west position, but _pending_ a decision by NWS. Are (were) they still considering moving GOES-8 west and GOES-10 to the east??? The only reason I could think they'd do that is they see hurricane coverage more important and don't want to have the risk of a GOES-8 failure (one bad momentum wheel already, and planned lifetime over before launch of what will be GOES-11). -Keith ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jul 1998 to 17 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2328 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626365-27524>; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 13:16:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59312; Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:07:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199807190507.AAA59312@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 00:00:53 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jul 1998 to 18 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61126576de390e5579d1ea91c375734a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 300 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. GOES-10 operational (2) 2. GOES-10 (2) 3. chat with Dr. Chris Landsea 4. Extreme temp gradients on CA coast 5. NetNews : Freese Notis buys AWC?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 02:28:27 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: GOES-10 operational Keith says, > > DUE TO A VERY SHAKY GOES 9 SPACECRAFT...GOES 10 WILL BE DECLARED > > OPERATIONAL AT 0400Z THIS EVENING AND WILL TAKE OVER AS THE GOES > > WEST SATELLITE...GOES 10 DATA IS SUPPOSED TO BE AVBL BY 06Z. > > > > BUREK/SDM/NCO/NCEP > > Hope everyone's code is ready for inverted images! An interesting aspect of this bird! > I noticed in the Friday morning SOCC (NESDIS) report a mention of > a move of GOES-10 to GOES-west position, but _pending_ a decision > by NWS. Are (were) they still considering moving GOES-8 west > and GOES-10 to the east??? The only reason I could think they'd > do that is they see hurricane coverage more important and don't > want to have the risk of a GOES-8 failure (one bad momentum wheel > already, and planned lifetime over before launch of what will be > GOES-11). > As far as I know, GOES-10 has been approved to go to GOES-9 position, and GOES-8 will stay put. I didn't realize GOES-8 will have such a short lifespan. Hopefully, it will pull a GOES-7 and never die... :-) Hey, that satellite IS still up there, wobbling like a sonovagun, but useable, no? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 08:33:38 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: GOES-10 operational Keith Brewster wrote: > > > > > All: > > > > As per a previous message to our NIU and College of DuPage faculty, GOES-9 > > is about to fail. As of tonight, GOES-10 becomes operational and > > replaces GOES-9. > > > > NOUS42 KWBC 180133 > > > > SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION > > CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC > > 0125Z UTC SAT JULY 18 1998 > > > > DUE TO A VERY SHAKY GOES 9 SPACECRAFT...GOES 10 WILL BE DECLARED > > OPERATIONAL AT 0400Z THIS EVENING AND WILL TAKE OVER AS THE GOES > > WEST SATELLITE...GOES 10 DATA IS SUPPOSED TO BE AVBL BY 06Z. > > > > BUREK/SDM/NCO/NCEP > > Hope everyone's code is ready for inverted images! The images will be the same as GOES-9. Ground processing at SOCC will correct the inverted images before they are relayed back to the satellite for distribution to users. So users will not need to modify code, except perhaps to handle the new satellite number. Kevin Schrab > > I noticed in the Friday morning SOCC (NESDIS) report a mention of > a move of GOES-10 to GOES-west position, but _pending_ a decision > by NWS. Are (were) they still considering moving GOES-8 west > and GOES-10 to the east??? The only reason I could think they'd > do that is they see hurricane coverage more important and don't > want to have the risk of a GOES-8 failure (one bad momentum wheel > already, and planned lifetime over before launch of what will be > GOES-11). > > -Keith > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 12:30:24 -0500 From: Brian Motta Subject: Re: GOES-10 Keith- Your observations and "reading between the lines" are correct. While GOES-8 is healthier than 9, the best asset appears to be 10. The satellite coverage for goes-10 may be positioned slightly to the east of GOES-9 to make backup of GOES-8 (ie. a 1-GOES scenario) more easily implemented. This all may seem trivial to those of us in the conus but it greatly affects Pacific (including Hawaii) and Alaskan interests...as well as marine and hemispheric/synoptic-scale meteorologists. Stay tuned... Brian ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 12:12:22 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: GOES-10 See: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/SSD/SPBULL/MSG1982101.03.asc GOES-10 will be heading for 135W starting on July 21. Kevin Brian Motta wrote: > > Keith- Your observations and "reading between the lines" are correct. > While GOES-8 is healthier than 9, the best asset appears to be 10. The > satellite coverage for goes-10 may be positioned slightly to the east of > GOES-9 to make backup of GOES-8 (ie. a 1-GOES scenario) more easily > implemented. > > This all may seem trivial to those of us in the conus but it greatly > affects Pacific (including Hawaii) and Alaskan interests...as well as > marine and hemispheric/synoptic-scale meteorologists. > > Stay tuned... > > Brian > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 16:50:39 -0500 From: Tom Berg Subject: chat with Dr. Chris Landsea This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0040_01BDB26C.31D9A080 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable The Weather Watchers Online will host a chat with Dr. Chris Landsea on August 11, 1998, from 8-10 pm EDT. Dr. Landsea is best known for his = work with hurricane forecaster Dr. William Gray, and as the author of the Hurricane and Tropical Storm FAQ widely distributed throughout the = internet. Dr. Landsea will be available to answer questions in a moderated = conference. There are 2 ways to get to the conference area.... 1. go to the WWOL home page at http://www.hcane.com and select the WWOL = Chat option in the left frame 2. select this url http://www.customforums.com/weatherwatchers Tom Berg - WWOL Webmaster ------=_NextPart_000_0040_01BDB26C.31D9A080 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

The Weather Watchers Online will host a chat with Dr. Chris Landsea = on
August 11, 1998, from 8-10 pm EDT. Dr. Landsea is best known for = his=20 work
with hurricane forecaster Dr. William Gray, and as the author of = the
Hurricane and Tropical Storm FAQ widely distributed throughout = the=20 internet.
Dr. Landsea will be available to answer questions in a = moderated=20 conference.
There are 2 ways to get to the conference = area....

1. go=20 to the WWOL home page at http://www.hcane.com=20 and select the WWOL Chat
option in the left frame

2. select = this url=20 http://www.customfor= ums.com/weatherwatchers

Tom=20 Berg - WWOL Webmaster
------=_NextPart_000_0040_01BDB26C.31D9A080-- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Jul 1998 16:55:49 -0500 From: Jim LaDue Subject: Extreme temp gradients on CA coast >Along the Central California coast, a mid-afternoon report from Point >Piedras Blancas gave a temperature in the mid-50s with a wind of about 20 >knots. (The maximum temperature at nearby Morro Bay was 66F.) About six >miles inland at Hearst Castle the high for the day was 95F (low was 80F), >and 20 miles farther east Paso Robles had 110F. At about the same latitude >in California, Badwater was likely very pushing 130F on Thursday afternoon >while, at the same time, Point Piedras Blancas had a wind chill in the 40s. >William Reid >Agoura Hills, CA Absolutely tremendous temp gradient. I'm guessing there's a pretty good range of hills to keep those two temps from mixing. Otherwise the seabreeze would be blowing 50kts. Speaking of, the gap east of Oakland where the field of windmills are located should be blowing as strong as it can in the summer. Does anyone know of a good station on the web in that general area? Jim LaDue jladue@ibm.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 02:47:02 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: NetNews : Freese Notis buys AWC?? [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community.] "Allllllllllllllrighty then..." I'm not Jim Carrey but that's what I said when I accessed my American Weather Concepts (www.weatherconcepts.com) account this evening and found Freese-Notis (www.weather.net) NEXRAD images instead. It appears that AWC has given up their radar imagery and taken on the Freese-Notis Interrad package. All AWC is saying is this: "We are beginning a process which will eventually result in the relocation of our web server over the next month or so. The first step is to get our data source up at the new site, which is what we will be doing over the next week, so that the transition can be as seamless as possible. Don't be surprised if the nexrad and regional radar images look different." --From their website. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jul 1998 to 18 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:01:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2720 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-347>; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:17:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44090; Mon, 20 Jul 1998 00:11:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199807200511.AAA44090@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 00:02:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1998 to 19 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 428890feb142cdb0534153718e6b3242 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 146 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. American Weather Concepts Merges with Freese-Notis Weather? 2. NEXRAD News: F/N and AWC Deal? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 08:57:03 -0400 From: Brian Monahan Subject: American Weather Concepts Merges with Freese-Notis Weather? This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0004_01BDB2F3.32EC83C0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Hi guys, I just saw J Ferrell post something to wx-talk, so I figured I would add what I know about AWC/FN to the mailing list. I found out a couple of days ago that AWC's high quality imagery had changed to FN's greatly lower quality imagery. This prompted me to email AWC asking if FN/AWC had indeed merged and if they did merge, could the "new company" use AWC's imagery and FN's high quality storm cell data, etc. The response I got back from AWC was not what I expected, to say the least. I was just told that in order to survive in today's online weather services market, AWC found it necessary to merge with, in their words, several other met shops, to compete with Accu-Weather, WSI and TWC. Outside of that, I was told just about nothing, and all of my questions were pretty much dodged! Something else someone that I know noticed was that AWC's area code/phone number on the bottom of their front page now points to somewhere in Georgia (770). To the best of my knowledge, AWC was based in Pittsburgh, PA up to the last couple of weeks, so I don't have a clue what happened there. I'm sure there's much more than anyone knows going on behind the scenes at this point, and I guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens! Oh, by the way, I've found out that Accu-Weather has a fine weather service now. I mentioned this in my email to AWC, as I see no reason not to switch to Accu-Weather...higher quality imagery for a lesser price ($4.95). Ironically, AWC dodged that one. :) See ya! Brian Monahan Clarksboro, NJ Weather Observer bmonahan@jaguarsystems.com ------=_NextPart_000_0004_01BDB2F3.32EC83C0 Content-Type: application/ms-tnef; name="winmail.dat" Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="winmail.dat" eJ8+IgMMAQaQCAAEAAAAAAABAAEAAQeQBgAIAAAA5AQAAAAAAADoAAEIgAcAGAAAAElQTS5NaWNy b3NvZnQgTWFpbC5Ob3RlADEIAQ2ABAACAAAAAgACAAEGgAMADgAAAM4HBwATAAgAOAAAAAAALwEB A5AGAJgJAAAnAAAACwACAAEAAAALACMAAAAAAAMAJgAAAAAACwApAAAAAAADADYAAAAAAB4AcAAB AAAAPAAAAEFtZXJpY2FuIFdlYXRoZXIgQ29uY2VwdHMgTWVyZ2VzIHdpdGggRnJlZXNlLU5vdGlz IFdlYXRoZXI/AAIBcQABAAAAFgAAAAG9sxShq1AFzWMe5BHSuzNERVNUAAAAAAIBHQwBAAAAIAAA AFNNVFA6Qk1PTkFIQU5ASkFHVUFSU1lTVEVNUy5DT00ACwABDgAAAABAAAYOADAAlBSzvQECAQoO AQAAABgAAAAAAAAASthFxeqqvRGgb36H2rpnIMKAAAALAB8OAQAAAAMABhADRf5AAwAHEOkEAAAe AAgQAQAAAGUAAABISUdVWVMsSUpVU1RTQVdKRkVSUkVMTFBPU1RTT01FVEhJTkdUT1dYLVRBTEss U09JRklHVVJFRElXT1VMREFERFdIQVRJS05PV0FCT1VUQVdDL0ZOVE9USEVNQUlMSU5HTElTAAAA AAIBCRABAAAA6wQAAOcEAADrBgAATFpGdaYUvBoDAAoAcmNwZzEyNRYyAPgLYG4OEDAzM50B9yAC pARkAgBjaArA4HNldDAgCFUHsgKAMn0KgXVjAFALA3VsCm4CIGULpDE4IEiAaSBndXlzLAqigwqE CoBJIGp1cwVAxHNhB+BKIEYEkAlwcmwDIHBvFaIDcBFQaAELgGcgdG8gd3iiLQGQbGssFvEgFWBc ZmkUUAlxGIF3CGBs6RkQYWQZEHcREAVAFWA+axNQB+ABoAhgBUBBVzBDL0ZOF5IXQGUgnwDAAxAX YhwgFaAuIBiCTQhgbhkQGtJhIAWgdYMLUBvQb2YgZGEUcN0ZoGcbkhoRGxEnBCAXUCBnaCBxdQdA aXT8eSAHcB6wBJAgUBEQGRD/EQEPIBkBF6EbUB9xCcEaEHZsIFAJAHcR4R/9HLFU+xdQBCBwA2EF MBkBB4AXks5lG/IbAhmgc2sXYgaQfSHRLyXSIPILgAEAJONyPyFyAHAnQR5AG7EgUGRp3ye1GEAd wRmBG7IiE3AH4McFoCSwAHB5IiAVkBvQfx9EIHYoQiHjH6sVoAWwbb8dsBZyHmABkBhAEVBjJAP7 G9AJcHMWsACAG9AVYB7AdQVAYgDQaxigA2Elw3cdJhAgE1AFQBn1ZXhw/wWQJNEYQBehFdAgUBuy HgD/JhAcpDEyFYMXoCnjGhELgB8dUAsgEeEywghwdml2/xvQNUEXoB5hH3ECIBwhG9D/ItAaEBvA BcARQDYhLhAEIPkAwHJrEVAYQCXSHQQgMP8xYAWQB5AV0CDBF6En0xfA3SAwaBhANoIbwGkFwBlQ 7wsgFIA4ETZQcgdAHVA30+MXIRXAaG9wPGEXoSqiBxFQOxQbAGNjdS1Xsze0GEBXUxVgKEJUGyD9 HLFPGuAAkAEAHiIe8hhA/zP0NKMVgxq0MXEXUhhAKEJ3B0A88R5AbSBQH/AHkHR+aS+hN5EJcCRx EVAgQW1bEqAf0GQEcCFxIRSqU/8XFxZwK0EXAhNhHuQaRTFx/zhhGdFCIh8ICsAiUB2xAQDML3A9 wDdxbnUG0BHh/wIgG6MG4AJAMMFBYzviA1H/AjAWoCCRMWEH4BawC4BBAN8ysxcRGfBFcjVBR0jA J/CBBzAgKDc3MCkkAv8blExwFaFEZBpiHgBGkTkUzzEyMFARQCdCIFAgMEEATmIIcB/AGEBQQSsg cJ8bdgtgFaEdyCLQZWs8YvMYckZwbicFQBEQNlEdofcKQRnkERBwMkATcCnzCXD9HLInLfA2AUjy RXEfcUYj/wRgWoMDkSrhSNIaYiIRTyH/F4BMsUxwF1Ep9ATwWVEekX80gSRDTyJDxC/xRNFFQif/ FoEVg1gDF6ILcB2BHTERQNVYq3NG2087YWIzFDEw+nlB0Sc2UR0IHvQ/OSDh/x6RGKE3f06zHLMH gAIwRRH/WXMkUTVBRJEldBehGxFDwf8EIBVgYhITUC9RJhBMsTFy3zLCOzFGQWrSPzkublAfov8i 7yBQAhAFwB2gHgAEEBHhAySAaGIoJDQuOTX9UUJJTjEN4EQhZLEl0kZ0Zx7kE2EcsDopRutiIXla YUbbQgchA6BNAiBheyFBFKRDC2A40FSgBbBvzRhAThYQZnZPYjgiBJDNFKRiBGB2Y0BqHrAgAMcR MBRwJNBtcy4qoRSkBRJhAHugAAMAEBAAAAAAAwAREAAAAAALAAGACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAA AAADhQAAAAAAAAMAA4AIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAABCFAAAAAAAAAwAHgAggBgAAAAAAwAAA AAAAAEYAAAAAUoUAAPATAAAeAAiACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAABUhQAAAQAAAAQAAAA4LjUA CwAMgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAABoUAAAAAAAADAA2ACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAB hQAAAAAAAAsAFoAIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAA6FAAAAAAAAAwAXgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAA AEYAAAAAEYUAAAAAAAADABmACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAYhQAAAAAAAB4AKIAIIAYAAAAA AMAAAAAAAABGAAAAADaFAAABAAAAAQAAAAAAAAAeACmACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAA3hQAA AQAAAAEAAAAAAAAAHgAqgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAOIUAAAEAAAABAAAAAAAAAAsAMoAI IAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAIKFAAABAAAACwA0gAsgBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAAIgAAAAA AAALADaACyAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAFiAAAAAAAAAIB+A8BAAAAEAAAAErYRcXqqr0RoG9+ h9q6ZyACAfoPAQAAABAAAABK2EXF6qq9EaBvfofaumcgAgH7DwEAAABzAAAAAAAAADihuxAF5RAa obsIACsqVsIAAFBTVFBSWC5ETEwAAAAAAAAAAE5JVEH5v7gBAKoAN9luAAAAQzpcV0lORE9XU1xB cHBsaWNhdGlvbiBEYXRhXE1pY3Jvc29mdFxPdXRsb29rXG91dGxvb2sucHN0AAADAP4PBQAAAAMA DTT9NwAAAgF/AAEAAAAxAAAAMDAwMDAwMDA0QUQ4NDVDNUVBQUFCRDExQTA2RjdFODdEQUJBNjcy MEE0NjYyMDAwAAAAAOda ------=_NextPart_000_0004_01BDB2F3.32EC83C0-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Jul 1998 17:23:46 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: NEXRAD News: F/N and AWC Deal? To avoid crossposting hazards I'm going to post further information on this to WX-TALK only. Your replies should go there as well. WX-CHASE'rs who are interested should keep an eye on WX-TALK. Without any *official* word from either company, here's what we know today about AWC (American Weather Concepts www.weatherconcepts.com) and F/N (Freese-Notis Weather www.weather.net), two of the Internet Radar Data Providers: AWC is now using F/N's images for their static and looped Base Reflectivity imagery. A partnership between the two companies (and maybe others) was neccessary to battle the major providers (AccuWeather www.accuweather.com who added 3 types of Local NEXRAD imagery to their Pay Personal service last week), WSI www.intellicast.com, long time provider of free 30-minute Local NEXRADS, etc.) Reaction from AWC customers I talked to today has been mostly dismay that the images have changed. Of course most changes are met with dismay at first. What this means (if these changes remain): AWC's images are updated now in "NIDS real-time" meaning 5-10 minutes instead of 10. Interrad images and loops may now be obtained through a Web browser rather than external software. AWC has moved or is moving from Pittsburgh to Atlanta (per their phone number change). (Who's in Atlanta? I don't know of any wx companies there (besides of course TWC but I don't think that's it.)) This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1998 to 19 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4286 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-28777>; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:48:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id FAA49500; Tue, 21 Jul 1998 05:44:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199807211044.FAA49500@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 02:28:04 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1998 to 20 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ff48be232d81e8a4550d7fd09ad35a37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 425 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Survival Quiz (HUMOR) 2. My response from AWC 3. Real-time wx tracking sites 4. Extreme temp gradients on CA coast 5. AWC off the air (2) 6. is this thing calibrated? 7. CRS 8. forecast 9. Something's gonna happen 10. A very quiet typhoon season +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 07:29:48 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: Hurricane Survival Quiz (HUMOR) It's hurricane season again, and even though I've posted this before, I can't overemphasize the importance of being prepared. If this quiz saves just one life... it was probably a waste of bandwidth! J O K E M A S T E R ' S H U R R I C A N E S U R V I V A L Q U I Z --------------------------------------------- 1. How are hurricane's names selected? a. Named after Congressmen who are full of hot air b. Names of spouses are submitted by divorced people c. Page 824 in Miami's phone book d. Hurricanes don't care what you call them 2. What do they call the most severe hurricane? a. Category 5 b. Red Alert c. Costly d. HOLY SHIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII 3. If a hurricane Guido, with wind speeds of 104 MPH leaves the Northwest African coast on Wednesday at 7:04 AM and is traveling West at 16 MPH and hurricane Isabel, with wind speeds of 93 MPH leaves Key West at 24 MPH on Thursday at 11:32 AM; when would they meet? a. Tuesday at 3:18 PM, but their luggage would be in Paris b. Never, Isabel doesn't want to have anything to do with a blowhard like Guido c. Never, Guido said that there's no place for Isabel to stop and ask directions; she'll probably end up in Rio d. Trick question - hurricanes don't depart from Key West 4. You're flying in a small, single engine plane. You look up and see a hurricane directly ahead. What's the first thing that enters your mind? a. It's got the right of way! It's got the right of way! b. This is the last time I fly no-frills c. I can't believe she's going to get EVERYTHING now! d. I gotta change my shorts! e. The windshield 5. A hurricane is dangerous if... a. you get in it's way b. it's had a REALLY bad day c. you try to stop it to ask directions d. you do not yield right of way 6. How do forecasters know a hurricane is coming? a. Hurricanes ALWAYS leave a forwarding address b. They have REALLY good binoculars c. Hurricanes LOVE the beach d. They send out a bunch of small boats and plot the sinkings 7. How can you protect your house in the event of a hurricane? a. Sell it - QUICK b. Bury it and dig it up later c. Cover it with leaves and pretend it's a big bush d. Two words -- Duct tape 8. What is the first thing you should do if a hurricane is confirmed to be heading in your direction? a. Check your supplies for the big hurricane party b. Air drop a roadmap, of another area, into the eye c. Put out all your trash for immediate air disposal d. Begin drawing plans for the new house you will soon be building 9. What should you NOT do if a hurricane is coming? a. Begin those remodeling plans you've been putting off b. Put the cat or dog out (unless on a LONG leash) c. Cancel your homeowner's insurance d. Go on a picnic, to the beach 10. When is it a good time to evacuate your home? a. When the water level reaches the roof b. When your in-ground swimming pool becomes airborne c. Shortly after your roof is declared a UFO d. When people ask how you constructed a home without outer walls 11. Where should you evacuate? a. A nearby lowland to wait out the floods b. A tall location, like on top of a radio tower or one of Florida's many mountain tops c. Anywhere that has a happy hour and free munchies d. Out to sea on a small craft 12. Why should you NOT stay close to the beach? a. All the best spots are probably taken b. Track in too much sand c. Cooler keeps blownin' away d. Hard to stay put under the 50' waves 13. If the eye of the hurricane passes overhead, you should not... a. stare; it's impolite b. make direct eye contact c. offer it some Visine d. ask if it's seen Dorthy and Toto 14. What happens after the eye passes? a. Stay very still; maybe it didn't see you b. It can't see you any more c. You can expect a large nose, followed by the mouth, etc. d. It winks and waves good-bye 15. What should you do first after a hurricane passes? a. Locate your computer b. Determine if your computer is operational c. Contact your insurance agent about replacing your computer d. See if your spouse, kids and pets are around; get back to your computer 16. Who should you turn to if you need help after a hurricane? a. Local government (also blown away) b. State government (can't afford to help) c. Federal government (doesn't care) d. Foreign governments (the Japanese are looking for investments) 17. What services should you expect to be without, after a hurricane? a. Electricity (no cold beer) b. Telephone (no modem) c. Your computer!! (Eeeeeaaaaahhh!) d. Callgirls (prey the rebuilding begins soon) 18. What happens a year after you're hit by a hurricane? a. Still looking for pieces of your house b. Still looking for pieces of your computer c. Still looking for pieces of yourself d. The government sees you've started rebuilding; concludes you need no emergency help ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:10:10 -0400 From: Keith Ebbecke Subject: My response from AWC Response to my query about a merger with Freese-Notis: Keith "I don't know where you read that at, but we HAVE NOT MERGED with Freese-Notis. They are currently providing weather graphics for us, which may or may not be permanent. Sincerely, Chris AWC" ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 11:02:30 -0700 From: Janice Keyser Subject: Real-time wx tracking sites My husband is the Web Search Guide for the Mining Co. (http://websearch.miningco.com). He's looking for weather-related Web sites to include in his Net Links. Specifically, he's looking for real-time weather tracking sites, or good "meta" resources for weather information. I have the sites mentioned in recent posts but have deleted anything more than 2 weeks old. If you have suggestions, please send them directly to him at websearch.guide@miningco.com. Thanks to all. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 12:23:56 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Extreme temp gradients on CA coast William Reid related and Jim LaDue responded: >Absolutely tremendous temp gradient. I'm guessing there's a pretty good >range of hills to keep those two temps from mixing. Otherwise the >seabreeze >would be blowing 50kts. Speaking of, the gap east of Oakland where the >field of windmills are located should be blowing as strong as it can in >the summer. Does anyone know of a good station on the web in that general >area? > >Jim LaDue >jladue@ibm.net I'd like to take this opportunity to post the URL for our website of LLNL weather. http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ We are located just 40 miles east of Oakland and in the valley west the field of windmills in the Altamont Pass. Our Site 300 location is just south of the windmills. Our website has links to Los Positas College and Livermore Airport, which are both about 5 miles west of our LLNL location. The coastal topography here in the Bay Area isn't as dramatic as the Central coast from Monterey south to LA-LA-land. We don't see the extreme temp gradients noted by William. And the standard disclaimer applies to our website. It's under construction, and we make additions as time permits. Your comments and suggestions are appreciated. Frank /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 13:31:35 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: AWC off the air It may be related to their move, but AWC has seemingly been off the air for at least the last 12 hours or so (as of 15:30 PM EDT 7/20/98)... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 19:57:40 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: AWC off the air William Kucharski wrote: > > It may be related to their move, but AWC has seemingly been > off the air for at least the last 12 hours or so (as of > 15:30 PM EDT 7/20/98)... > I received my last 88D images about 2 hours ago (around 18 UTC today). Naturally, I chase situation is developing here in Wisconsin... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:18:20 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: is this thing calibrated? We now take you to Washington, Iowa, where http://tgsv7.nws.noaa.gov/weather/current/KAWG.html KAWG 202125Z AUTO 20009G14KT 10SM CLR 35/32 A2984 RMK AO1 shows that the dewpoint hit 32 C (89 F). Even with good ventilation. Time to resurrect the wx-talk "what's the highest dewpoint ever measured" discussion? -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:26:53 -0400 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: CRS I just got the final word on CRS. I was listening to one of the test files I dl'd from the CRS web site. Mr Roboto declares (with no emotion whatsoever): "Radar shows cloud cover" I think that's about all we need to know... :-) ss _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 21:30:47 -0500 From: Chris Sells Subject: forecast I thank everyone for there comments concerning my posting last Friday night about puting a summary/forecast of tropical weather on the wx-talk list. I've taken those comments into consideration, and have decided to post the forecast/summary on my web page. Again, it's by no means an official forecast, just practice. I would appreciate comments on the forecast and things that might need to be approved upon. I want to learn all I can about tropical systems. That is, if we ever have any activity. http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs Chris Sells Amateur radio station AC4CS ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 22:09:43 -0400 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Something's gonna happen This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------F09F229903E44DD4FD0A9237 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Hi, FYI... The CESTM building of the SUNY Albany system which houses the NWS ALB took a lightning hit during todays' storms...thought it was interesting that many things seem to be fried by the looks of the SFD if I interpreting OTS correctly. Does this mean something big is bound to happen...like another derecho??? (Ref. to Roger Edwards SPC 2nd day outlook this PM). It is like when the doppler goes down...storms are bound to be severe over the area. We will see if Murphy's Law is true. In any case, thought some of you would be interested in the SFD. gopher://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/0/wxascii/forecasts/FPUS03.KALB -- Howie Altschule Meteorologist, WNYT-TV NBC Affiliate - Albany, NY Http://www.wnyt.com "weather" --------------F09F229903E44DD4FD0A9237 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; name="FPUS03.KALB" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="FPUS03.KALB" 412 FPUS3 KALB 210058 SFDALB STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 857 PM EDT MON JUL 20 1998 .DISC... .SYNOPSIS...SFC TROF/DRY LINE HAS MOVED THRU FCA. .SHORT TERM...TD ARE DROPPING ACRS N NYS AND SLIGHLY ELSWHERE. TSRA HV DEPARTED AND REGION WL HV CLR NT. MOST CHANGES IN FCST JST TO REFRESH WORDING. CESTM BUILDING TOOK LIGHTNING STRIKE...NO ALB UA FOR SEVERAL RUNS. WWIRE UPLINK OTS. HAM RADIO EQUIPMENT OTS. GENERATOR OTS. DAMAGE ASSESMENT TO BEGIN TUE AM. .LONG TERM...NO CHNGS ATTM. .ALB...NONE. SNYDER --------------F09F229903E44DD4FD0A9237-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 23:35:08 -0400 From: Jim Leonard Subject: A very quiet typhoon season So far 1998 has been the quietest tropical season on record in the northwest Pacific ocean. As of today July 20th there has been only one named tropical storm (Nichole) in that region, Nichole was the latest in the season for the first named storm on record. The latest ever for the first of the season typhoon which is winds of 74mph or higher is August 1st 1975 which was typhoon Nina. The best explaination I can come up with is that the normal summer monsoon in the west Pacific has not developed yet. I have noticed that there are lowlevel easterly winds all the way down to near the equator. Usually by this point in the season there are southwesterly lowlevel winds all the way up to latitude 15N which is north of Guam. The monsoon in the eastern Atlantic is better defined than the western Pacific. Now thats really unusual! I might add that 1975 August there were six tropical storms in which four became typhoons. Im sure that the westPacific will make up for the slow beginning because there has been several years where there were as many as nine or ten storms in August alone. -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1998 to 20 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:02:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1088 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-14568>; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 13:19:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28202; Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:07:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199807220507.AAA28202@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 00:02:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jul 1998 to 21 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cad0ef1bc4c63369a0849e14f2a528d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 424 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1998 to 20 Jul 1998 (3) 2. NRC report on modernizing Cooperative Observer Network 3. Signal Loss from GOES 9 4. tropical weather summary (PLEASE READ) (2) 5. www page 6. GOES 9/10 7. It's Gonna Snow!!!! 8. Media-NWS cooperation 9. Supercell?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:35:47 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1998 to 20 Jul 1998 >From: Scott Bachmeier >Subject: is this thing calibrated? > >We now take you to Washington, Iowa, where > > http://tgsv7.nws.noaa.gov/weather/current/KAWG.html > > KAWG 202125Z AUTO 20009G14KT 10SM CLR 35/32 A2984 RMK AO1 > >shows that the dewpoint hit 32 C (89 F). Even with good >ventilation. Time to resurrect the wx-talk "what's the >highest dewpoint ever measured" discussion? I am with you Scott, record temps all over the place, plus dew points that are coming into questions? Are these instruments getting the attention they need, maintanence and calibration, that they should have? I wonder. ASOS temps have been suspect before. --------------------- Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 23:22:56 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: NRC report on modernizing Cooperative Observer Network Bill Gross wrote: > Simple the NWS does not have an established constituency. And why does the NWS no longer have a constituency? Why do you think this is so? Maybe because public service has diminished to the point that the public is looking elsewhere for the services. >The only > people buggin Congress about the NWS are guys with Met. Degrees who > don't wanna work for the NWS. I guess this may include me, but I paid my dues with the NWS so I guess I can give my views. The truth of the matter is that the NWS can no longer furnish the services that it once did within the present budgets. Something had to go and a lot of it was personalized services that are being picked up by the privates. A lot of this service is specialized which at one time was furnished by the NWS at the local level. (There is no more local level with centralized offices located many miles from a large portion of the constituency that you talk about.) >They got together and lobbied Congress > to create a career field for themselves having Congress change the > mission of the NWS and have it get out of a lot of its traditional > areas of service. Not entirely true. The NWS began giving up areas of traditional services when there were only a handful of private Met companies. First went the Pilot Briefing, then after hours (5pm-8am, weekends, holidays) basic informational services, next local climatology services (moved to NCDC), next agricultural services, just to name a few. And we wonder why the public now thinks Mr. Q on Channel xyz is the official weather representative? Not hard for me to figure out. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 08:43:36 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1998 to 20 Jul 1998 Is this a question of calibration/maintainence, or possibly just limitations in the capabilities of the instrumentation. I'd be willing to bet the most hygrometers are not designed to accurately measure dewpoints in the 80's. Anybody know the specs of the typical dewpoint sensor deployed in the field? Humidity is hard enough to measure accurately under "normal" conditions. -Tim Paul Pettit wrote: > > >From: Scott Bachmeier > >Subject: is this thing calibrated? > > > >We now take you to Washington, Iowa, where > > > > http://tgsv7.nws.noaa.gov/weather/current/KAWG.html > > > > KAWG 202125Z AUTO 20009G14KT 10SM CLR 35/32 A2984 RMK AO1 > > > >shows that the dewpoint hit 32 C (89 F). Even with good > >ventilation. Time to resurrect the wx-talk "what's the > >highest dewpoint ever measured" discussion? > > I am with you Scott, record temps all over the place, plus dew points that > are coming into questions? > Are these instruments getting the attention they need, maintanence and > calibration, that they should have? I wonder. ASOS temps have been > suspect before. > --------------------- > > Paul Pettit > Weather Consulting > http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 09:35:05 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1998 to 20 Jul 1998 > > >From: Scott Bachmeier > >Subject: is this thing calibrated? > > > >We now take you to Washington, Iowa, where > > > > http://tgsv7.nws.noaa.gov/weather/current/KAWG.html > > > > KAWG 202125Z AUTO 20009G14KT 10SM CLR 35/32 A2984 RMK AO1 > > > >shows that the dewpoint hit 32 C (89 F). Even with good > >ventilation. Time to resurrect the wx-talk "what's the > >highest dewpoint ever measured" discussion? > > I am with you Scott, record temps all over the place, plus dew points that > are coming into questions? > Are these instruments getting the attention they need, maintanence and > calibration, that they should have? I wonder. ASOS temps have been > suspect before. There was an ob earlier in that day that that a zero dew point depression, 30/30. The visibility was 10 miles. That looked very suspicious to me. ASOS is chilled mirror, which could mean some contamination of the mirror (corn pollen, hog smog :)), but I don't know for sure what this automated ob is, some sort of AWOS without a precip sensor (A01). I did a quick internet search to find out, and found the following that might be revealing about some AWOS siting issues in Iowa: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/techpapers/arp18/18-05.html The ones in the paper were chilled mirrors. They are inspected only quarterly and calibrated to 2.5 F. -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 10:36:22 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Signal Loss from GOES 9 GOES 9 has apparently stopped transmitting. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 12:25:47 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: tropical weather summary (PLEASE READ) Chris Sells wrote... >I'm thinking about writing a tropical weather summary, and making it >abailable four times daily, and posting it on my www page also. I would >like to post it on wx-talk list if no one has no objection. Chris: WX-TALK was designed as a general purpose weather discussion group. It's not used to post raw weather data, chase stories, or routine products (with the exception of the monthly "video/clothes for sale" postings). As tropical weather is not necessarily of interest to everyone --especially not four times per day-- I would be against posting the tropical summaries on WX-TALK. An alternative idea would be to grant you write access to WX-ATLAN and allow you to post your summaries there. Gary Padgett already posts summary information (non-forecast) and it's possible you could post under the same SUMMARY sub-topic. However, I have some reservations about placing non-NWS *forecast* information in the same list with the official forecasts. My primary concern is that people (mainly folks with poor English skills) may inadvertently assume your forecasts are the official government word and bad things could happen. Inasmuch as I would like to see the WX-***** data lists go away in the next few years and be replaced with technologies such as RealEMWIN and web-based push browsers --technologies which are less bandwidth intensive and more customer friendly-- I am not in favor of adding new products to the WX-***** e-mail data lists. That's my opinion as listowner but I welcome comments from others. It's not my job to censor what gets sent to WX-TALK unless the material becomes disruptive, abusive, or causes LISTSERV to crash. Then, I'll chop off people's subscriptions faster than lightning strikes! ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 13:16:09 -0500 From: Chris Sells Subject: www page Good afternoon everyone. My tropical weather summary is now posted on my www page. See signature at bottom of message for address. I will be updating it shortly. Had difficulty with www page this morning and internet server. Chris Sells Amateur radio station AC4CS Homepage: http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:26:46 GMT From: "Kevin W. Thomas" Subject: Re: tropical weather summary (PLEASE READ) In article <199807211725.MAA20557.21515@delyte.lib.siu.edu>, Chris Novy wrote: >Chris Sells wrote... > >>I'm thinking about writing a tropical weather summary, and making it >>abailable four times daily, and posting it on my www page also. I would >>like to post it on wx-talk list if no one has no objection. > >Chris: > >WX-TALK was designed as a general purpose weather discussion group. >It's not used to post raw weather data, chase stories, or routine >products (with the exception of the monthly "video/clothes for sale" >postings). As tropical weather is not necessarily of interest to >everyone --especially not four times per day-- I would be against >posting the tropical summaries on WX-TALK. > >An alternative idea would be to grant you write access to WX-ATLAN >and allow you to post your summaries there. Gary Padgett already >posts summary information (non-forecast) and it's possible you >could post under the same SUMMARY sub-topic. However, I have some >reservations about placing non-NWS *forecast* information in the same >list with the official forecasts. My primary concern is that people >(mainly folks with poor English skills) may inadvertently assume your >forecasts are the official government word and bad things could happen. Some of us would find this annoying. I won't filter any undesired topics (such as SUMMARY), as anything WX-* gets posted to a local Usenet group for all of NSSL to read. >Inasmuch as I would like to see the WX-***** data lists go away in >the next few years and be replaced with technologies such as RealEMWIN >and web-based push browsers --technologies which are less bandwidth >intensive and more customer friendly-- I am not in favor of adding new >products to the WX-***** e-mail data lists. I hope you don't do this. Those of us who are quite busy don't have time to go searching around for the info. As the system exists, the info is made available to us, and we store it (and expire it) on local disk, making the info available to others at NSSL. >That's my opinion as listowner but I welcome comments from others. >It's not my job to censor what gets sent to WX-TALK unless the material >becomes disruptive, abusive, or causes LISTSERV to crash. Then, I'll >chop off people's subscriptions faster than lightning strikes! > >..Chris.. >*====================================================================* >Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu >Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu >Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) >Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) >Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 >*====================================================================* Kevin W. Thomas Sun System Administrator & Meteorologist National Severe Storms Laboratory Norman, Oklahoma Email: kwthomas@wizard.nssl.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 14:16:36 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: GOES 9/10 Wayne Winston at NESDIS has confirmed in a phone conversation that the EMWIN signal, which earlier this morning dropped off GOES-9, should become available today on GOES-10. He noted that GOES-10 has begun its move west at the rate of about 1 degree per day toward a permanent location at 135 degrees. Wayne advised that that until the movement of GOES-10 is complete, those who need to take its EMWIN feed will need to periodically reaim their antenna, with the frequency of reaiming dependent on antenna beamwidth. The initial parked location of GOES-10 was at about 105 degrees. Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 15:27:07 -0400 From: Michael Powell Subject: It's Gonna Snow!!!! Wow, a co-worker justed checked the Lexington, KY, forecast on weather.com and the Weather Channel is calling for rain and snow with a high of 94F (and a low in the 70s). Gee, I hope some of that snow reaches up here to Frankfort...I'll have to find my gloves and snowboots! ;) Michael ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 16:54:52 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Media-NWS cooperation Kudos to the NE Iowa media and Todd Shea of the ARX NWS for efforts which resulted in this statement. Sharing of mesonet and radar data can (and does) result in the public being better served. I would encourage more stations to do this. John McLaughlin SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 950 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 1998 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HOWARD AND CHICKASAW COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 955 AM... WINDS HAVE GUSTED TO 33 MPH IN NEW HAMPTON AND 16 MPH IN CRESCO ACCORDING TO KWWL TELEVISIONS SCHOOLNET. BECAUSE THESE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE MOVING EAST RAPIDLY...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME AND WILL NOT BE REISSUED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO THANK LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS IN NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST IOWA FOR THEIR EFFORTS. SHEA ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 18:13:02 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Supercell?? At 05:54 PM 7/21/98 -0500, Gene Moore wrote: >They went on to describe an anvil that was 50 miles wide and >streaming down stream..Very pretty. Then I took a closer look. There >were four sets of penetrating (overshooting) tops through the anvil >canopy. Each of these was about 10 miles apart. Supercell indeed, how >about an mesoscale convective system (MCS) or a real big super duper >multicellular hurricane rainer. Anyone else see this shot? It appeared >to have the shear at anvil level but .....supercell? Actually, Ted Fujita wrote about multiple overshooting tops in association with the HP supercell that dropped an F5 on Plainfield, Illinois. You can find this paper in the "The Tornado" monograph published by the AGU. Karl >gm > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-CHASE send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-chase" in the body of your message. For help with WX-CHASE >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ******************************************************* * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * * "I wonder what goes through a dog's mind when he * * sees us peeing in his water bowl." - Penny W. Moser * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jul 1998 to 21 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2900 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625939-19996>; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA43704; Thu, 23 Jul 1998 00:08:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199807230508.AAA43704@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 00:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jul 1998 to 22 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4b4d2c614e98e261ef33b51b681f8df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 226 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS Budget Cuts? 2. National Weather Association Newletter 3. Dallas Hail Storm 4. Dallas Hail Storm (fwd) (2) 5. KXAN-TV Launchs Live Weathernet Online 6. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jul 1998 to 21 Jul 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 01:49:46 -0500 From: "Automatic digest processor (by way of Jim Johnson )" Subject: NWS Budget Cuts? Paul Pettit wrote: ...First went the Pilot Briefing, ****then after hours (5pm-8am, weekends, holidays)*** basic informational services, next local climatology services (moved to NCDC), next agricultural services, just to name a few. Hhmmm. I hope this means I won't have to go in at midnight tomorrow night!!! Mr. Pettit is a bit uninformed. Pilot briefing continues (unofficially, as pilots are now required to get an official briefing from a FSS thanks to an FAA ruling), but we still brief about the same number of pilots that we did before the ruling. The only change that local climatology services has seen is the systematic biases associated with ASOS. We still keep all the records locally and frequently provide assistance when requested. Yes, agricultural services have ended by decree from WSH (much to our dismay, being in an agricultral intensive region). Could this be the result of a heavy lobby mounted by the burgeoning private services? I cannot speak for the entire NWS, but after watching my present office "spin-up" from a WSO with 5 technicians to a Weather Forecast Office with 10 meteorologists and a hydrologist in addition to the 5 technicians, I can state unequvicably that we provide far more service today by at least several orders of magnitude than we did 10 years ago. I invite Mr. Pettit to visit. I will just add that I've been in this business since 1965. It was not until the virtual explosion of private firms in the 1970's and the subsiquent round of chest beating and shirt rending before congress about "unfair government competition" that the NWS began to deteriorate. Do not blame the NWS for this. They do it at the insistance OF the private services. I know. I worked for a private company back in the 1970's and saw the unscrupulous owner's secret agenda for the "mugging" of the NWS in the name of personal gain. He is gone now but others (MS?) have filled in for him very nicely. ***My e-mail account, my computer, my time and my opinion*** Cheers! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:31:31 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newletter The June-July 1998 issue of the NWA newsletter includes the following topics: 1. President's Message (info on proposed changes to the NWA by-laws and other news from the mid-year NWA council meeting) 2. Dates to Remember 3. NWA Annual Meeting notice (23rd annual meeting, 17-23 October, 1998, Oklahoma City, OK) 4. National Research Council report on Modernizing the Cooperative Observer Network 5. Local Chapter News (Arkansas Chapter) 6. Meetings of Interest (four meetings are highlighted) 7. Job Corner(five companies are advertising) 8. NWA Publications For copies or more information contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com Also check the NWA webpage at http://www.nwas.org/membership.html The Executive summary of the National Research Council report on the Modernization of the Cooperative Obseerver Network is also posted at: http://www.nwas.org/observer.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 08:15:26 -0700 From: Parzybok Subject: Dallas Hail Storm Hi WX-TALKERS, I've been told a Dallas Hailstorm in 1996 or 97 is now considered the costliest US hailstorm ever - surpassing the Denver/Front Range storm of July 11, 1990 when property losses soared to over $625 million. Does anyone know when the Dallas storm occurred? Once I know when it was I can dig out "Storm Data" for the details. Thanks for your help! Sincerely, Tye W. Parzybok ______________________________________________________________ Tye W. Parzybok Voice: (541)752-6134 E-mail: mcci@peak.org Weather Front LLC 4882 S.W. Aster Street Corvallis, OR 97333 ______________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 10:44:24 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Dallas Hail Storm (fwd) > I've been told a Dallas Hailstorm in 1996 or 97 is now > considered the costliest US hailstorm ever - surpassing > the Denver/Front Range storm of July 11, 1990 when property > losses soared to over $625 million. > > Does anyone know when the Dallas storm occurred? Once I know > when it was I can dig out "Storm Data" for the details. May 5, 1995. A week before (April 29) there had also been a severe hailstorm that caused a lot of damage at DFW. -Keith -------------------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 11:09:14 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: KXAN-TV Launchs Live Weathernet Online The following appeared in SHOPTALK, an Internet-based TV news magazine. ..Chris.. Automated Weather Source, Inc. (AWS) announced that KXAN-TV in Austin has launched Live WeatherNet Online. A first in the Austin market, KXAN is now featuring live, local weather information from more than 50 AWS AirWatch weather stations located in communities throughout the DMA. Daily page views to the KXAN Live WeatherNet site, http://www.kxan.com, now exceed 50,000 per day. Automated Weather Source introduced the WeatherNet concept in 1993, installing networks of real time weather reporting stations in local DMA's. AWS has WeatherNet systems installed 104 TV broadcast markets. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Sr. Systems Analyst Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 13:03:12 -0400 From: Brenda Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jul 1998 to 21 Jul 1998 Interesting idea, I like it but think that once in 24 hours adequate. Thanks for the help on the microburst information. Didn't get much response. Question: I live on the Gulf of Mexico and as the tropicals pass through the local TV stations issue coastal flood warnings. These are often completely in error and direction I often wonder if anyone bothers to look out the window. As locals we know that the wind direction has a great deal to do with the water rising or falling. For example, a NW wind blows the water out and a SW wind blows it in. Don't know why, but each is very pronounced and some coastal flood forecasters need to understand these things.. Anyone care to comment? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 17:32:55 -0500 From: Russell Stringfield Subject: Re: Dallas Hail Storm (fwd) Actually it was in western Parker County and Tarrant County, covering the cities of Aledo, Anetta, Willow Park, and Fort Worth for the hail storm, what actually went into Dallas county was the heavy rains that followed. Several people (I don't remember the exact number) were killed in Dallas county because of flash flooding. The property damage in Tarrant County was very sustancial, and yes was at that time considered the most costly hail damage in U.S. history. I don't know if it has been surpassed as of yet for the monetary value. There were several injuries in Tarrant county, all hail related. The hail that was falling in Tarrant county was larger than baseball size and coming down at a very HEAVY rate. It was falling faster and heavier than I have ever seen in any other storm to this date. Russ Stringfield, KB5SCM Net Control operator on May 5, 1995 Keith Brewster wrote: > > I've been told a Dallas Hailstorm in 1996 or 97 is now > > considered the costliest US hailstorm ever - surpassing > > the Denver/Front Range storm of July 11, 1990 when property > > losses soared to over $625 million. > > > > Does anyone know when the Dallas storm occurred? Once I know > > when it was I can dig out "Storm Data" for the details. > > May 5, 1995. > > A week before (April 29) there had also been a severe hailstorm > that caused a lot of damage at DFW. > > -Keith > > -------------------- > Keith Brewster > kbrews@rossby.ou.edu > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jul 1998 to 22 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:03:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4300 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-13319>; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 13:20:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04336; Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:12:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199807240512.AAA04336@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 00:05:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1998 to 23 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1a755c04c17d89c104f7599315b098c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 227 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Costliest hailstorms ?? 2. Wanted: Please Post 3. Question about Surface-Based CAPE calculations (2) 4. A very quiet typhoon season 5. great sig! 6. Request for Information +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 07:57:19 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Costliest hailstorms ?? Speaking of high monetary damages from hail, I seem to recall a huge hailstorm in Florida about 4 or 5 years ago. As I remember, it hit an area east of Orlando and over towards Sanford. This area has large amounts of commercial greenhouses, and many of these greenhouses were heavily damaged by very large hail. Perhaps someone else has more details on it, but I seem to remember it set some kind of damage record at the time. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 11:55:27 -0400 From: Rob Cermak Subject: Wanted: Please Post The South Jersey RC&D Council, Inc., a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization, is looking for an entity to assist with the collection and dissemination of weather data from 16 Campbell Scientific CM10 stations. These stations are located in Southern New Jersey. For more information contact Steve Quesenberry at spquesen@erols.com or Rob Cermak at cermak@snow.wxaccess.com. -- Rob Cermak Weather Access, Inc. Email: cermak@snow.wxaccess.com V.P. Product Development Web : http://www.wxaccess.com/ Consulting Meteorologist Highland Park, New Jersey, 08904 U.S.A. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:09:29 -0400 From: "Geoffrey D. Lewen" Subject: Question about Surface-Based CAPE calculations >From a recent SPC transmission received through SIU Weather Processor: SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION #0804 FOR MA/RI/CT/SERN NY INCLUDING LONG ISLAND/NJ CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL... ... MODIFYING 12Z OKX AND CHH SOUNDINGS WITH CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS YIELDS SURFACE-BASED CAPE VALUES AS HIGH AS 3500 J/KG OVER ERN MA WITH 2000 J/KG EXTENDING SWD INTO NJ. Here's my question: Can someone please give a description of how the 12Z soundings are modified? Is there any consideration given to advection if the elapsed time since the sounding in question makes it reasonable to consider an upstream sounding? (A good reference is always appreciated, but not necessary!) I'm surfing about, collecting info on this subject, but the resources available through WX-TALK make posting this question to the group irresistible. As always, thanks in advance to anyone willing to help me out. Sincerely, G. Lewen Geoff Lewen geoff@research.nj.nec.com NEC Research Institute, Inc. 4 Independence Way Princeton, NJ 08540 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 13:38:36 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: A very quiet typhoon season In article , miguel@winZZZterBBBnet.com (Mike\>Schnieder) writes: |> In article <35b636ab.703609@news.euronet.nl>, e_wesker@euronet.nl (Evert |> Wesker) wrote: |> |> >> ...................................................................... |> there is virtually no |> >>hope of avoiding *war* with the socialists, because that is the only |> >>alternative to reason. -- Billy Beck |> > |> >This remark is somewhat off topic in this newsgroup, |> |> |> Actually, it's completely off topic, but I see that didn't bother you with: |> |> |> > and I don't agree |> >with it as well. I would recommend to you to take a look at some of |> >the page's of Alan Sokal: http://www.physics.nyu.edu/faculty/sokal/ |> >Than you can come to the conclusion that socialism and reason do not |> >need to be in conflict. Anyway, no single political conviction has |> >the monopoly on reason! |> |> |> The premise of socialism is thievery. No human being wishes to be |> stolen from, hence any demand for it under the aegis of "necessity" is |> hypocrisy. |> The problem is that one man's necessity is not another man's. I might see a clear need to help fellow man, but someone else may not. Thus, I might not mind "being stolen from" whereas someone else might. .sig files aren't a great place for sound bites (MHO). ObMeteo: Are there any tropical disturbances in the tropical Atlantic? One can have the most unstable situation you can imagine, but without a trigger, you get nadda. I note that NHC does not expect TS development thru Friday (not that that hasn't stopped tropical cyclogenesis before :) ) Scott (who first wrote sound bytes) -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | Can a meteorologist be http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 15:29:53 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Question about Surface-Based CAPE calculations > > >From a recent SPC transmission received through SIU Weather Processor: > > SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION #0804 FOR MA/RI/CT/SERN NY INCLUDING LONG > ISLAND/NJ CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL... > > ... MODIFYING 12Z OKX AND CHH SOUNDINGS WITH CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS > YIELDS SURFACE-BASED CAPE VALUES AS HIGH AS 3500 J/KG OVER ERN MA WITH > 2000 J/KG EXTENDING SWD INTO NJ. > > Here's my question: > > Can someone please give a description of how the 12Z soundings are > modified? > Is there any consideration given to advection if the elapsed time since > the > sounding in question makes it reasonable to consider an upstream sounding? > (A good reference is always appreciated, but not necessary!) I'm not sure about the SPC, specifically, but a lot of the NWS has been using a program called "SHARP", which displays the sounding and you can manually rejigger the temperatures to make it a) have the proper afternoon mixed layer, b) guesstimated advection, or more importantly, the affects of subsidence or rising motion. Temperature advection aloft is usually weaker, especially wrt to static stability. At OU we have some code to modify the sounding based on surface data that "mixes out" the BL moisture and allows for manual update of surface moisture and temperature. Then the parcel trajectory is calculated (either surface or mixed layer). Other surface based CAPES and LI's you'll find on the net use gridded model data (interpolated in time, generally) and an analysis either of the surface alone or in 3-d, to correct model errors for observed surface conditions. That is how our ADAS program works (current web version is using Eta grib data and 3-d analysis). A problem with using the model data is the CIN can be adversely affected by the model's vertical resolution (in the actual model or in the gridded data) not resolving the cap precisely. A problem with surface-based CAPES in general is they tend to be a bit high but if you're consistent, you can keep that straight. Hope that helps. -Keith --------------------------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 18:19:58 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: great sig! > Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, > scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | Can a meteorologist be > http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > What a great sig! And a banker can be disinterested, and a guy who joins a club could be dismembered, and a guy who likes dirty water could be disturbed, and .... > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Jul 1998 19:14:10 -0500 From: jlevine@MCLS.ROCHESTER.LIB.NY.US Subject: Request for Information I am looking for the country with the most tornados outside the United States. I believe it is Australia but would like some confirmation. Any help would be appreciated. Thank you, Jeff Levine ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1998 to 23 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627033-13286>; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 13:07:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56180; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 00:05:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199807250505.AAA56180@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 00:00:54 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b85148d26540fbb3c116012008f09c7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 524 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. May 5, 1995 Hail Event 2. Request for Information (2) 3. Oh where, oh where, has my little "dog" gone? 4. private-vs-NWS (3) 5. 19980724: Unidata McIDAS Demonstration Machine 6. Record Breaking Hailstorms in Central Florida 7. Annual reminder about twisted debris 8. great sig! (2) 9. hail damage.. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 05:36:42 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: May 5, 1995 Hail Event Anyone interested in the May 5, 1995 North Texas hail and flash flood event can read commentary and see images at: http://www.pulse.net/storm/may5.htm Don't bookmark this page yet, the URL will soon change to from /may5.htm to /950505.htm. I am in the process of updating, revising, adding and deleting pages and images to/from my site. At the conclusion of this process, the URL for each event will reflect the date the event occurred. I also intend to reduce the memory required to store the site while adding additional events at the same time. Bobby Eddins may have images from the May 5th event on his home page at: http://web2.airmail.net/beddins/index.html Gene Moore now has his home page up and running. If you haven't seen these homepages, you should take a look. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj http://www.thestormshop.com/index.htm The Storm Shop Video Store tape selection now includes Jim Leonard's tape "Nature's Wrath". ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 19:22:36 +0800 From: Cheryl-Ann Tan Subject: Re: Request for Information At 07:14 PM 7/21/98 -0500, Jeff Levine wrote: >I am looking for the country with the most tornados outside the United >States. I believe it is Australia but would like some confirmation. >Any help would be appreciated. > >Thank you, Jeff Levine Australia *may* be the one, but tornadoes are usually unwittnessed by people in the outback. All I know is that, in terms of tornado potential, Australia seems to be the closest. And I give credit to my bookshelf. Cheryl-Ann Tan *************************************************************************** Cheryl-Ann Tan catanxm@mgs.sch.edu.sg Singapore ******* ***** *** ** ~~~~~~*~~~~~~~ "When the Vapours rise and gather into thick clouds, and the Lightning flashes with irresistible power; let us lift up our believing eyes and see God in them…" --Thomas Prince, The Natrual and Moral Government and Agency of God in Causing Droughts and Rains ************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 07:55:57 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: Oh where, oh where, has my little "dog" gone? Oh where, oh where, has my little dog gone..., The gopher at wx.atmos.uiuc.edu is the only site on the net I could find that has undecoded surface summaries by state. In fact, many links on other pages point right back to there. But it has not been available for a week or so. Anyone know where it went or if or when it will be available again? Or can someone please give me a URL where I can get this data? I'm particularly interested in New England. Thanks for your help! Paul Hodgdon Hampton Beach, New Hampshire ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Jul 1998 19:19:53 -0400 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: private-vs-NWS I have to agree with what Jim Johnson had to say regarding the agenda of private firms in the weather biz. I worked for one of them for almost 3 years, and had friends who worked in other firms, and the owners of these companies would be pleased as punch to see the NWS downsized, privatized or just eliminated all together and let the private sector handle the whole thing, for a fee of course. My boss said that we would be able to pick up discarded NWS products and make them available for customers in days, after they were discontinued. This view was not shared by a succession of managers and employees, nor in reality was there the structure to do what he told everyone we could do, and that led to massive turnover during the time I was there (2-3 people quit/month). I think these companies are biting the hand that feed them since so much of the raw data, satellite images, etc. comes from NOAA/NWS and they only have to pay a relatively low fee for access to it. And some of the products we charged for were just recycled NWS data and products. What happens if Uncle Sam shuts down the NWS? Are the private companies prepared/capable of supporting the current infrastructure and developing better technology for the future, or do they expect the government to take care of the dirty work so they can be profitable? What about public safety? Are counties, cities and states going to have to pay private firms for info (Florida in hurricane season for example), upon which life/death decisions are made? Would seem a little like extortion to me. Personally, I wouldn't want to my fate to rest in the hands of some of these companies. Some are worse than others and there are some good and some bad people working for them (like NWS offices and employees, and any profession you care to name), but having been there I don't know how confident I would be trusting them to run the weather show. Just my thoughts and ranting, welcome other viewpoints. Steve Maneikis ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 07:54:20 -0600 From: Don Murray Subject: 19980724: Unidata McIDAS Demonstration Machine The Unidata McIDAS Demonstration Machine (mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu) Web server will be out of commission for the next week while some upgrades and testing go on. Sorry for the inconvenience. Don Murray ************************************************************* Don Murray UCAR Unidata Program dmurray@unidata.ucar.edu P.O. Box 3000 (303) 497-8628 Boulder, CO 80307 ************************************************************* Unidata WWW Server http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ McIDAS Demonstration Machine http://mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu/ ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 08:27:36 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: Record Breaking Hailstorms in Central Florida Hi James and WX-TALK, In response to James's Post (below): "Speaking of high monetary damages from hail, I seem to recall a huge hailstorm in Florida about 4 or 5 years ago. As I remember, it hit an area east of Orlando and over towards Sanford. This area has large amounts of commercial greenhouses, and many of these greenhouses were heavily damaged by very large hail. Perhaps someone else has more details on it, but I seem to remember it set some kind of damage record at the time." James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 James, It was 6 1/2 years ago that Central Florida did indeed have TWO phenomenal record breaking hailstorms. They were on March 6 and March 25, 1992 in Central Florida. Damage totals ranged from 60-100 million dollars!! This info is from the NWS, MLB.... March 6 l992 - Early Evening - Central Florida - Hail up to l.75" covered the ground up to a foot deep in southwest Seminole County. l.75" hail fell in Lake County and l.25" hail fell in Orange County. Severe Thunderstorm winds caused damage in Orange, Seminole, Brevard, and Indian River Counties. Damage ran into the millions, but there were no serious injuries. March 25 l992 - Evening - Central Florida - Hailstorm - The worst hailstorm in Florida history struck the Orlando area just three weeks after one of the worst hailstorms in Central Florida history (see 3/6/92). Hail up to baseball size hit the University of Central Florida (UCF) and the vast greenhouse areas in western Orange County, crippling the nursery industry in the area. Damage was estimated at 60 - l00 million dollars. Smaller hail also fell in North Florida and as far South as Miami. Thunderstorm winds destroyed a citrus packing plant near Groveland in Lake County, injuring eight. The largest official hailstone recorded was 3.00" at the UCF - the second largest Florida hailstone on record, but residents reported larger hail that melted. While it will remain debatable whether the largest hail of all time fell in this storm (that distinction -3 1/2"- still remains with 3/29/73 Walton Co.hailstorm), it was clearly the costliest hailstorm in Florida history. The NWS also has posted some really amazing photos from both events at: http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/recordhail.html Steve Sponsler vortex2@brevard.net http://www5.palmnet.net/~vortex2/svrflwx1.htm ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 10:59:11 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Annual reminder about twisted debris WX-TALK: >From another damage survey: > AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE DAMAGE WAS THE RESULT OF A > MICROBURST...A CONCENTRATED AREA OF VERY HIGH WINDS THAT IN THIS > CASE MAY HAVE EXCEEDED 100 MPH. ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT LIKELY A TORNADO > PLAYED A FACTOR...WINDS THIS STRONG ARE EQUIVALENT TO A TORNADO OF > F1 TO POSSIBLY F2 MAGNITUDE. > > AN INTERESTING NOTE...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CLUE TO THE LIKELIHOOD > OF A MICROBURST VERSUS A TORNADO WAS SEEN IN THE MATURE CORN FIELDS > ACROSS THE AREA. THE CORN WAS OBSERVED TO BE LYING DOWN IN A DUE > EAST ORIENTATION. OTHER AGRICULTURAL AND STRUCTURAL DEBRIS WAS > BLOWN TO THE EAST AS WELL. TORNADO DAMAGE WOULD LIKELY SHOW MORE > TWISTING AND SCATTERING OF DEBRIS. No... Straight line winds can "twist" objects. Think of the tree with the uneven canopy: ************ ************ ************ T | ^ A straight line wind hitting this tree face on would "twist" the tree counterclockwise (if viewed from above). Also, straight line winds can scatter debris just as easily as a tornado. The clue in determining tornado vs. straight line wind damage: Tornadoes leave a narrow damage path usually with convergent pattern in the debris field. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:34:45 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: great sig! Barry appreciated Scott's sig: >> Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, >> scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | Can a meteorologist be >> http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? >> >What a great sig! And a banker can be disinterested, and a guy >who joins a club could be dismembered, and a guy who likes >dirty water could be disturbed, and .... Can a committee member be disappointed? Is a programmer's house in disarray? Can the seamstress dispatch? What does the verbally abusive person discuss? disFrank -- STOP ME!! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 10:37:50 -0600 From: Stephen Macpherson Subject: Re: Request for Information Jeff Levine asked: >I am looking for the country with the most tornados outside the United >States. I believe it is Australia but would like some confirmation. >Any help would be appreciated. > >Thank you, Jeff Levine > The following is a quote from an Environment Canada Summer Severe Weather course: "There has not always been a clear appreciation for the potential for severe weather in Canada. Etkin (1994) points out that prior to 1970, for example, tornadoes were deemed a rare event, both by the public and by researchers. However, his 74 year climatology (1918-1992) has found nearly 2300 observations of tornadoes in (Brun and Etkin 1994). In fact, the total number of Canadian tornado reports is second only to the United States. This is a surprising result, given the relative sparsity of our population." According to this, Canada would be the answer to your question. Steve ----------------------------------------- Stephen Macpherson Weather Services Unit Manager WSU Cold Lake 4 Wing Cold Lake Box 6550 Stn Forces Cold Lake, Alberta T9M 2C6 CANADA Ph: 403-840-8000 ext 8004 CSN 690-8004 Fax:403-840-7346 CSN 690-7346 E-mail: macphersons@yed.ab.ec.gc.ca ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 11:40:24 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: great sig! The original came from rec.humor.funny, and I append it to this post. > > Barry appreciated Scott's sig: > >> Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, > >> scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | Can a meteorologist be > >> http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > >> > >What a great sig! And a banker can be disinterested, and a guy > >who joins a club could be dismembered, and a guy who likes > >dirty water could be disturbed, and .... > > > Can a committee member be disappointed? > Is a programmer's house in disarray? > Can the seamstress dispatch? > What does the verbally abusive person discuss? > disFrank -- STOP ME!! > Newsgroups: rec.humor.funny From: johnmc@chrystal.com (John Mc) Subject: Rebuttal to "if lawyers are disbarred" joke Keywords: original, chuckle, long Approved: funny-request@clari.net Message-ID: Date: Mon, 20 Jul 1998 19:30:00 PDT Lines: 69 Some friends and I were discussing, if a lawyer can be disbarred, doesn't it follow that a banker can be disinterested, and a blackjack dealer can be discarded? Continuing with that theme: cabinet member disappointed "Cannabis Club" owner disjointed cashier distilled chemist dissolutioned C.P.A. discounted cremated person discerned detective dissolved dry cleaner disdained editor dispelled electrician discharged geologist dismantled glutten disgorged Hamlet disdained hero discouraged inventor disingenuous Iranian immigrant dispersion jockey displaced lawyer distorted magician disillusioned map maker disoriented Marine drill sarge disgruntled marriage counselor disavowed mathematician disproven mathematician (2) disintegrated medium dispirited meteorologist disgusted mixologist disbarred model disposed mountain climber disinclined movie star discredited mugger dispersed mute disallowed nudist discovered nymphomaniac disguised Olympic skater disfigured perfume maker dissented person cured of Tourette's Syndrome discussed Pete Rose distributed porn star dismounted proctologist disemboweled professional mover dislocated prospector disclaimed residential developer distracted rock musician disbanded Rodney Dangerfield disrespected saint disgraced seamstress dispatched singer discord steel worker distempered Supreme Court Justice disrobed thespian displayed union leader dismembered virologist disinfected warlock disenchanted whorehouse madam dismissed Thanks to Amazing Larry, Theresa E., Brad J., and Joyce T. -- Selected by Jim Griffith. MAIL your joke to funny@netfunny.com. Support the EFF today. Read my letter at http://www.templetons.com/brad/eff.html to find out why. This joke's link: http://www.netfunny.com/rhf/jokes/98/Jul/disjokes.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 18:56:59 +0100 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: private-vs-NWS I, would not be glad to see this happen because not every company percieves different situations the same. One example is our TV Media really ramping up a storm and it fizzling out before it get's here. Granted. being warned and it not coming is better then not being warned and it coming so to speak. It's just that sometimes when you do that, it causes a lot of undue worrying. One example is snow. I know EVERY time snow is just mentioned here in Ohio on TV, the grocery stores pack with people who think we are about to be snowed in. We haven't had a significant snow fall here in 2 years (we r probably going to get slammed this winter). Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ >>> "Maneikis, Stephen" 7/23/98 7:19:53 PM >>> these companies would be pleased as punch to see the NWS downsized, privatized or just eliminated all together and let the private sector handle the whole thing, for a fee of course. My boss said that we would be able to pick up discarded NWS products and make them available for customers in days, after they were discontinued. This view was not shared by a succession of managers and employees, nor in reality was ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 23:03:45 -0400 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: hail damage.. James Aman wrote: > From: James Aman > Subject: Costliest hailstorms ?? > > Speaking of high monetary damages from hail, > I seem to recall a huge hailstorm in Florida about 4 or 5 > years ago. As I remember, it hit an area east of Orlando > and over towards Sanford. This area has large amounts > of commercial greenhouses, and many of these greenhouses > were heavily damaged by very large hail. Perhaps someone > else has more details on it, but I seem to remember it set > some kind of damage record at the time. > Not sure where info on that can be found. Possibly the MLB NWS could be of help. Another costly hail storm is the Wichita area event (twice in one day...6am and about 5-6pm later that day) back in June of '92. I am curious to the $$$ damage incurred from that event? I know it must have been extensive as every house I looked at when house hunting in Derby (SE side of Wichita) had its roof replaced in '92. There were/are still cars driving around the area with huge dents in them from the event -- obviously the 'victims' took the money rather than fixing or totaling their vehicles. ;) Thanks. Daniel Dix ddix@bellsouth.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Jul 1998 09:48:42 -0700 From: Doug Younker Subject: Re: private-vs-NWS Maneikis, Stephen wrote in part: data > and products. What happens if Uncle Sam shuts down the NWS? Are the > private companies prepared/capable of supporting the current > infrastructure and developing better technology for the future, or do > they expect the government to take care of the dirty work so they can be > profitable? > > Steve Maneikis Not going to the Federal goverment I don't think they can. Further more can they afford to buy the existing infrastructure or is the goverment expected to give it to commercial interests? In todays political climate privitization is mostly about saving tax dollars not improving service to all the customers. if privitization occurs, how many lonely radar sites will become unmanned because of a low customer base? I think it's the NWS and NOAA start tooting their own horns. I suspect that the general public don't realise how much the local weather person relies on the goverment services for the information for their broadcasts. -- 73, Doug Younker, N0LKK near Plainville, KS dougy@ruraltel.net N0LKK@K0JJV.#NWKS.KS.USA.NAOM ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4590 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-23672>; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 13:08:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19248; Sun, 26 Jul 1998 00:07:19 -0500 Message-Id: <199807260507.AAA19248@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 00:00:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jul 1998 to 25 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35626ddfb8b074f6d0188a2faf35a68a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 344 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. [Fwd: Fwd: 2. Contel/GTE system 3. official announcement 4. Lightning Strike Victims 5. WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:32:53 -0500 From: mark Widerstrom Subject: [Fwd: Fwd: This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------2293DD996047D7A389A7C1D7 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit --------------2293DD996047D7A389A7C1D7 Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from www0b.netaddress.usa.net (www0b.netaddress.usa.net [204.68.24.31]) by client.alltel.net (8.9.0/ALLTEL Messageing Server) with SMTP id HAA15883 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 07:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (qmail 14523 invoked by uid 60001); 25 Jul 1998 12:30:29 -0000 Message-ID: <19980725123029.14522.qmail@www0b.netaddress.usa.net> Received: from 166.102.150.20 by webmail.netscape.com via web-mailer(3.1) on Sat Jul 25 12:30:29 GMT 1998 Date: 25 Jul 98 08:30:29 EDT From: mark widerstrom To: markww@alltel.net Subject: Fwd: [Rejected posting to WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----NetAddressPart-00--=_ymEd4432Sil6655c777" X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------NetAddressPart-00--=_ymEd4432Sil6655c777 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit ____________________________________________________________________ More than just email--Get your FREE Netscape WebMail account today at http://home.netscape.com/netcenter/mail ------NetAddressPart-00--=_ymEd4432Sil6655c777 Content-Type: message/rfc822; name="Forwarded Message" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11] by mx06 via mtad (2.6) with ESMTP id 029cgyL5b0094M06; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:56:27 GMT Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA61174 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 06:56:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199807251156.GAA61174@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 06:56:25 -0500 From: "L-Soft list server at POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (1.8b)" Subject: Rejected posting to WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: markwiderstrom@NETSCAPE.NET You are not authorized to send mail to the WX-TALK list from your markwiderstrom@NETSCAPE.NET account. You might be authorized to send to the list from another of your accounts, or perhaps when using another mail program which generates slightly different addresses, but LISTSERV has no way to associate this other account or address with yours. If you need assistance or if you have any question regarding the policy of the WX-TALK list, please contact the list owners: WX-TALK-request@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU. ------------------------ Rejected message (60 lines) -------------------------- Received: from www0e.netaddress.usa.net (www0e.netaddress.usa.net [204.68.24.34]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id GAA39406 for ; Sat, 25 Jul 1998 06:56:24 -0500 Received: (qmail 23357 invoked by uid 60001); 25 Jul 1998 11:56:23 -0000 Message-ID: <19980725115623.23356.qmail@www0e.netaddress.usa.net> Received: from 166.102.150.20 by webmail.netscape.com via web-mailer(3.1) on Sat Jul 25 11:56:23 GMT 1998 Date: 25 Jul 98 07:56:23 EDT From: mark widerstrom To: wx-talk@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu Subject: Re: [WX-TALK Digest - FEE & private firms in the weather Business Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit This is to the man won't mention his name but I looked at what he wrote about the businesess and others wanting the weather service to downsize or go away. The real catch to his story and others that they dont>>>>>> Mention IS>>> WE WILL PROVIDE YOU WITH THE WEATHER YOU NEED FOR A FEE. OK- WHAT DO YOU DO IN TIMES OF DISASTERS AND EMERGENCY EVENTS. MAKE PEOPLE PAY SO THEY CAN KNOW WHAT THE WEATHER IS DOING, OR NEVER ALERT A RADIO OR TONE ALERT, OR HELP THE PUBLIC CAUSE THEY HAVENT SENT YOU A SHOVEL OF MONEY. WHAT ABOUT PEOPLE LIKE ME A DISABLED VET WHO HAS LIMITED FUNDS AND CANT PAY OR THE ELDERLY, YOU TURN YOUR BACKS ON US.... YOU CAN STICK YOUR FEES IN YOUR ASS SIR, BECUASE YOU AND EVERY OTHER BUSINESS WOULD TURN YOUR BACKS AND LET PEOPLE DIE CAUSE THEY DONT HAVE THE ALL MIGHTY DOLLAR TO PAY YOU FOR THE WEATHER. SO IF THEY HAVENT PAID YOU YOU WONT HELP THEM WITH THE WEATHER. AND DONT THINK THEY WOULDNT DO IT FOLKS. I have been in the emergency business for many years, and have a foresight that here is what would happen. And tell me you wouldnt becuase I know how business works your out for every damn dollar you could get and you wouldnt wouldnt give a damn about the deaths of people who couldnt afford your service. ***EXAMPLE. NEW WEATHER ALERT RADIOS- WOuldnt work cause youd have to call the weather business and have to give them the encrytpion codes like you do on cable boxes, to turn them on, then you get billed every month even if there arent any alerts. ***EXAMPLE. TV weather would be charged as a pay for view station like the movie channels. ***EXAMPLE. FOLKS YOU WOULDNT HAVE ANY WEATHER ANY MORE OF PRIVATE BUSINEES TOOK OVER THEY WOULD TAKE EVERY DAMN DIME IN YOUR POCKET AND GET RICH AND TURN THEIR BACKS ON PEOPLE DURING DISASTERS. I KNOW THIS AS WELL AS THE LIVES I HAVE SAVED AS A FIRFIGHTER. I HAVE HEARD THE TALK OF SOME OF SOME OF THE PEOPLE WHO WANTED TO START A WEATHER SERVICE AND THEY WOULD GET TO THE MONEY AND SAY IF THEY CANT PAY SCREW THEM. SO THAT IS MY FEELINGS..... MARK WIDERSTROM-WEATHER SPOTTER N5UOA ____________________________________________________________________ More than just email--Get your FREE Netscape WebMail account today at http://home.netscape.com/netcenter/mail ------NetAddressPart-00--=_ymEd4432Sil6655c777-- --------------2293DD996047D7A389A7C1D7-- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 09:32:38 EDT From: Ed Sauer Subject: Contel/GTE system I have a Contel/GTE weather data receiving system that I would like to find out more about.The system consists of a 5100 Controller(receiver), a keypad selector, and a dish(30 inch) and downconverter.I installed/operated the system for a number of years so I understand how it works but don't know any of the technical details as to receiver freq (I beleive that it is spread spectrum), downconverter freq range,etc. I don't beleive that it is usable for any other service,but I don't know, and HATE to throw anything away. Maybe someone could use this system for about 10 percent of the original cost ? Any help would be appreciated.. Ed Sauer .. K5YYD ..Texas City, Texas edsauer@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 11:26:37 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: official announcement 7-25-98 concerning; the spotter class schedule web page the chicago weather links page b.a.r.s club real audio net page f.a.r.s club page the coax connection page the bellwood il page best screenprinting page and all the other pages i had up be patient as i bring these back up one by one, thanks new permanent web pages for me. i now have my own domain name. i hope none of you have to go through the trouble that i just went through of first having the server change my email address then 2 months later having the server disappear all together. with my own domain name i now can go to any internet server and carry my "www.n9npp.com" status with me. also my "n9npp@n9npp.com" email will never change so please use that one. ================= main front page is: http://www.n9npp.com/index.htm under construction ================ email address: i have 2 new ones, these will work no matter what server i go to, advise you to keep 1 of these =================== will still work as long as i stay with the megsinet server =================== thanks matt/n9npp ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 14:19:22 -0400 From: Bernie Roche Subject: Lightning Strike Victims Hi: I'm writing a chapter for a wilderness emergency medical textbook. My area is Disaster Response. I have a question for the group: I'm trying to determine the greatest number of vicitims injured/killed by a single lightning strike, and also the same for a single storm. If anyone has info on this, I'd like to gather as much info as possible, such as date, location of incident, etc., either directly or through being pointed to the relevant url's. Thanks. Best Wishes, Bernie Roche, RN, BScN, W-EMT, OSJ WEMSI Web Site Administrator http://www.wemsi.org/ broche@tcn.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 19:51:40 -0400 From: Mark Yorsaner Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 Well, the tropics have been very quiet so far. This is so far the quitest season since 1992, although it is still very early. But waht is even more surprising is that despite favorable conditions over much of the Atlantic Basin, not even a single TD formed. Even in 1992, when we had only a six storm season (although Andrew made it up in a big way), there were several TD's beforee Andrew. What I am wondering is what the last year which we did not get a TD by this point of the season was. Even 1972, which was also a quiet season, had its share of TD's (24, I believe, according to the National Wx Review). I am also curious over why it has been so quiet. El Nino is long gone, and the SST's, despite being below normal in the eastern Atlantic, are about normal in the Western Atlantic. No one has mentioned anything about the QBO. Perhaps that's the culprit? Once again, I'd like to express my gratitude for this insightful information about the weather, and I am looking forward for more in the future! Mark Yorsaner ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1998 22:50:25 -0400 From: Jim Leonard Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > Well, the tropics have been very quiet so far. This is so far the quitest > season since 1992, although it is still very early. But waht is even more > surprising is that despite favorable conditions over much of the Atlantic > Basin, not even a single TD formed. Even in 1992, when we had only a six > storm season (although Andrew made it up in a big way), there were > several TD's beforee Andrew. What I am wondering is what the last year > which we did not get a TD by this point of the season was. Even 1972, > which was also a quiet season, had its share of TD's (24, I believe, > according to the National Wx Review). I am also curious over why it has > been so quiet. El Nino is long gone, and the SST's, despite being below > normal in the eastern Atlantic, are about normal in the Western Atlantic. > No one has mentioned anything about the QBO. Perhaps that's the culprit? > Once again, I'd like to express my gratitude for this insightful > information about the weather, and I am looking forward for more in the > future! > > Mark Yorsaner > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html Mark. This hurricane season is still very young. Most of the hurricanes that do form each year occur after mid-August. Historically the most destructive hurricanes occur within four week period beginning with the last week of August. What Im noticing this season is that the monsoon trough is very well developed extending westward from west Africa earlier than average. For some unknown reason it is very rare to see a tropical storm develop off the west coast of Africa this early in the season despite that this year the sea surface temps. are above average. Let me point out something with regards to the sea surface anomolies that are shown on the OTIS charts which often show cold anomolies off west Africa lately, the satellite sensor has a problem with dust or smoke so it will show a cold pocket. You will notice if you observe this chart daily it will move with the dust or smoke. With the eastern Atlantic it is the Sahara dust. It is best to check the TPC anomoly chart which is a weekly average. Getting back to the hurricane season at hand, I've seen many hurricane seasons in my years of observing that were really quiet even no TD's up until late August then within a week four hurricane's develop across the Atlantic basin. 1949 was a season that waited until August 21st for the first tropical storm and was followed by twelve more. 1950 the first storm appeared August 11 and it was also followed by twelve more. History is full of other seasons which started in late August and ended up with average or above average number of tropical storms. In my opinion 1998 could be the type of season where it may wait until mid or late August and then within a week after it starts there will be at least three more in rapid sucession, the reason I say this is because of the healthy monsoon trough in the eastern Atlantic and the upper wind prifile over the tropics as a whole. Some people may say we had four named storms at this point last year and I will then say that early activity doesn't always mean a active season as we saw with the remainder of the 1997 season. Mark you asked about the QBO this season I think it is in the negative mode this year but remember 1996 was also in the negative mode as well,and there is many other seasons which were active during a negative QBO phase. I personally don't have much faith in the correlation between hurricane frequency and the QBO. My question is why doesn't it effect the Pacific. -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jul 1998 to 25 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:04:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3157 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-7019>; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 13:14:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18732; Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:07:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199807270507.AAA18732@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 00:00:05 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jul 1998 to 26 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2d103451445b0ab4db864cc2dcba7da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 162 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Midwestern radar page.. 2. Study : Do we still have a chance for an active Hurricane season? / Tropical Storm Celia Radar Animation 3. Env. Canada Text to Speech Example On Web (2) 4. WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 5. LAS VEGAS, NEVADA=Spotter Training meeting on Monday the 27th +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 00:02:16 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: Midwestern radar page.. greets folks.. just to let you all know i have put togher a midwest radar page.. it is up at http://www.lyn.net/users/gbriggs/weather/radar/ and it uses auto refreshing radars.. so please check it out and let me know what you think Thanks, Glen briggs - KB0RPJ gbriggs@lyn.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 15:44:56 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Study : Do we still have a chance for an active Hurricane season? / Tropical Storm Celia Radar Animation A couple updates to the CASI Tropical Pages http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/ Have been made which might be of interest to readers of this list. First, someone recently posed the question of "If 1998 season is supposed to be active, can it still be if we're going into August with no TD's formed? The answer is below. http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/lateseason.html Second, since I am bored with the lack of Atlantic Tropical Activity I saved and uploaded a Mexican Radar Animation of Tropical Storm Celia in the Pacific. http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/celia/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "They're not who we're looking for; they're just meteorologists- storm chasers." --Peter Watts, "Millennium" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 16:29:00 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Env. Canada Text to Speech Example On Web I don't mean to restart the Mr. Roboto Flame War but I did want to mention something that I don't *recall* that anyone already posted - that there is an example of the Env. Canada voice at the following website: http://visual.net/home/speecht/stcdemo.html Found it while looking for text-to-speech for another project. JF ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 13:27:54 -0400 From: "Donald E. Bundy" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1998 to 24 Jul 1998 If local TV stations are as unreliable forecasting weather as they are forecast flooding along the area where my wife and I live, we would all be in big TROUBLE! During the time that the tropical storms move along the Eastern Gulf northbound, the local TV stations come out with flood warnings which our local emergency management teams monitor and base their decisions on, such as evacuation orders. I have been amazed at the in-accurate warnings. An example that we have witnessed several times is that after the highest water has passed and the water level has dropped 1 foot or more, a flood warning is issued. We would be better off without any information than with wrong information. Imagine if you can being evacuated (forced to leave) after the water has retreated four feet and there is no reason to leave at all. I'm sitting not more than 30 feet from the Gulf of Mexico waters typing this now. Local authorities would be better off asking residents who live on the water what may happen, we are weather wise and water wise. Don Bundy ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 19:45:12 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: LAS VEGAS, NEVADA=Spotter Training meeting on Monday the 27th LAS VEGAS, NEVADA taken from the minutes of the F.A.R.S. club meeting. =============================== Mr. EL NINO-Glen Hale: A weather Spotter-Training meeting on Monday the 27th at 7PM at the Weather Service (about Blue Diamond Rd. and Industrial). Topic to be covered is Weather Observation. Y'all come. Glen passed around a weather map showing the current weather and explained the meaning of troughs, clouds, and how it relates to the immediate future for all of us. Listen to 147.18 Monday nights for up-dates on SKYWARN =================================== matt/n9npp webmaster http://www.n9npp.com/farspage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Jul 1998 21:59:47 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: Env. Canada Text to Speech Example On Web Gee whiz!! A voice that you can actually understand. What a concept!! I'll bet that the Canadians spent a tenth the $$money$$ that the good 'ol US of A government has already thrown away on the Mr. Roboto voice that the NWS is trying to cram down our ears. Would some of the NWS folks just go to that Canadian web site and listen to an understandable voice and save themselves a lot of embarrassment BEFORE they unleash thousands of Mr. Robotos on our poor ears??? Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia Once Upon a Time, Jesse Ferrell - CASI wrote: > > I don't mean to restart the Mr. Roboto Flame War but I did want to > mention something that I don't *recall* that anyone already posted - > that there is an example of the Env. Canada voice at the following > website: > > http://visual.net/home/speecht/stcdemo.html > > Found it while looking for text-to-speech for another project. > > JF > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-CHASE send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-chase" in the body of your message. For help with WX-CHASE > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jul 1998 to 26 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1584 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626047-1923>; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 13:17:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44866; Tue, 28 Jul 1998 00:07:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199807280507.AAA44866@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 00:01:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4de1f98d5c8fbf84d21f41b3c1ae30e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 105 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Test -- Please Ignore 2. ASOS & Dew Points 3. Why are some people here against private weather services? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:35:41 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Test -- Please Ignore Test message to see if still subscribed or if somehow unsubscribed by auto. Please ignore. Todd +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH (afn09444@afn.org)-- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ | | Alachua County SKYWARN (skywarn@afn.org) -- http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/ | | --- In NW Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida --- | +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:56:05 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: ASOS & Dew Points >From the ASOS User's Guide appendix, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/asos/index.html Temperature range -80F to +130F, RMSE of 0.9F to 1.8F Dew Point range from -30F to +86F, RMSE 1.1F to 7.9F Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 10:42:03 -0400 From: Cliff Nelson Subject: Re: Why are some people here against private weather services? I don't think any dyed-in-the-wool weather fanatic could ever be "against private weather services." I celebrate their presence in the marketplace and wish them only well. But when it comes to the issuance of vital, life-saving weather warnings, I do draw a distinction between those private services and the government. It is the *government's* duty -- perhaps its ONLY fundamental duty -- to protect the citizenry from surprise disaster. The National Weather Service's mandate of protecting the lives and property of U.S. citizens goes right to the heart of the purpose of government; and our federal government is the only final authority we *all* hold in common. I do not want to see Nike or MCI or Kentucky Fried Chicken, or for that matter Accuweather, contravening or contradicting official weather warnings -- and I certainly don't want to see the NWS de-funded or watered down because some corporation has pledged (for the time being) to take on its back a responsibility that properly belongs in the public realm. Nor, I might add, do I want to hire Boeing or Microsoft as private mercenaries to handle our next nasty little war for us. Some functions should remain a purview of government, and weather warnings happen to be one of them. We *all* deserve the measure of protection our well-equipped network of NWS offices gives us, even those of us who could not afford to pay for that service privately. And even those of us who *could* afford it should not be subject to the vagaries of a profit-driven corporate board of directors when a tornado is bearing down on our town. I realize the Reagan Revolution is still rolling full-steam-ahead in its compulsion to privatize. Today, people are seriously discussing a new "privately-funded" Capital Visitor's Center in Washington, so I suppose soon we'll all be reduced to gawking at the Coca Cola Rotunda in a town where even the merest pretense of dignity and public-mindedness is fast evaporating in a cynical orgy of Darwinist laissez-faire. Fine. Let's just keep weather warnings an exclusive and generously-funded function of *government*, and we can merrily continue to vulgarize other aspects of American life without putting our very safety into private hands. Cliff Nelson Chapel Hill, NC vortex@interpath.com WXAMERICA wrote: > > Just a short comment on a trend I see developing in this newsgroup and a few > others. None of the writings regarding private forecast/weather firms seem to > be based on facts, but rather emotions and, in one case, anti-business > hysteria. If you look at every other sector of the economy, be it medicine, > banking, construction, or whatever, the independent businessman has a chance to > succeed and build a life doing what he or she likes and making money off of it. > > For many years, until the growth of such firms as WSI, Accu-Weather, and others > more recently, individuals who loved weather and wanted to do research, prepare > forecasts, or take observations had to work for the NWS (or its predecessor, > the Weather Bureau), or had to take a job option outside of weather. That > wasn't right. I can tell you that if you examine the situation calmly, you will > find that a free enterprise approach to most facets of meteorology will serve > the public better in the long run. This does NOT mean dismantling the NWS, but > it does mean that companies should be able to issue competitive forecasts for > the general public on a bid or per sale basis IF the public so desires. Just my > two cents. > > Larry Cosgrove > "It's a forecast, not an observation..." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3661 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626320-27607>; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 13:17:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35992; Wed, 29 Jul 1998 00:05:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199807290505.AAA35992@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 00:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1998 to 28 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c1c10b1b25781c9a9f93513e0f480d14 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 396 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services (3) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 3. private-vs-NWS 4. Off topic: Disability and work (Was Re: Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services) 5. WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jul 1998 to 13 Jul 1998 6. Tropical Storm Alex forms in Atlantic +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 05:56:32 -0500 From: mark Widerstrom Subject: Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services 1. The public would not get weather information, as we have it today becuase they would charge you fees for services. People that dont have the money that are old, on Social Security and others would be left in the dark. WHY- Becuase there would be nothing free any more. Youd have to pay a fee for everything, becuase they feeel that if you want something your gonna pay for it. You have to remember that business is not there to provide a service but to make money 2. Weather alerting radios would be obsolete if private business took over. The radios when you buy them, wouldnt work unless you called the service provider and gave them a serial number like you do when you get a cable tv box. and you would be charged for listening to weather alerts. You wopuld be billed for services alerts, damaging weather etc; People with no money or limited funds and the poor and others would not have access to to weather reports bulletins and other information. You would have a bill monthly, if they had alerts or not. remember business wants money doesnt care about the people. 2. Private concerns would not give you the weather you have today by the NWS- it would vanish overnight. 3. Business would say oh we would provide things, but they wouldnt. Look at business today they make promises and then wouldnt stand behind the promises they would make. 4. There would be no weather on the internet as we have today cause they like allot of the web sites would be a pay to see system. 5. You folks should think about what you have today, and what you wouldnt have tomorrow. No weather unless you can frok over the cash. I have heard people saying if they cant pay to hell with them, and peoples lives would be in jepordy, especially the ones that dont have the access of funds to pay for services. folks Im a disabled Veteran, what i get on my check just pays the rent and food for the table and nothing more. especially folks on limited or SSA or Disability. They are below the poverty level of under 9,000 where as 10,000 is considered poverty in the US. Did you know that people qualify for certain programs under 10,000 but a Disabled person under the VA, or who are disabled can not get these programs due to the fact that services today feel if you make less than 645 dollars a month is considered poor, SSI and ocial security is at $645.00 which is just a few dollars more. Here is a known fact. If a disabled veteran makes $722.00 a month which is still under the poverty level, for services cant get services becuase the folks inthe state and other areas draw the line at $703.00 a month for help. Even when but figures are under the poverty levels. Nobody looks at the $10,000 which is the real US wide, poverty level, they all rate programs under that usally less than $6,000 a year. So the folks who need the help really cant get the help from anyone. People in these areas of life can not pay for private business take over of the weather becuase these folks wouldnt be included in anything. It is hell when people turn their backs on veterans today and others who cant get things even though they are supposed to get help and programs, becuase everyone has their own rates of what they consider needy. even though the US says in figures $10,000 can qualify. That is why I am against the private weather services, because the folks in business wouldnt be there for all the people as they are now with the NWS. You would have areas of the country without weather and or the things we take for granted today, would not be there. Folsk think about it when or if someone is disabled or gets SSA, that is all they have to live on. They cant make money, they cant work,because if they make $1.00 a yr they would loose all their disability . Thank-You for your time A disabled veteran ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 10:03:25 -0500 From: Storm15 Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 Automatic digest processor wrote: > > There are 3 messages totalling 105 lines in this issue. > > Topics of the day: > > 1. Test -- Please Ignore > 2. ASOS & Dew Points > 3. Why are some people here against private weather services? > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 09:35:41 -0400 > From: "Todd L. Sherman" > Subject: Test -- Please Ignore > > Test message to see if still subscribed or if somehow unsubscribed by auto. > Please ignore. > > Todd > > +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+ > | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH (afn09444@afn.org)-- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ | > | Alachua County SKYWARN (skywarn@afn.org) -- http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/ | > | --- In NW Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida --- | > +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+ > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 16:56:05 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: ASOS & Dew Points > > >From the ASOS User's Guide appendix, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/asos/index.html > > Temperature range -80F to +130F, RMSE of 0.9F to 1.8F > Dew Point range from -30F to +86F, RMSE 1.1F to 7.9F > > Rob > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 27 Jul 1998 10:42:03 -0400 > From: Cliff Nelson > Subject: Re: Why are some people here against private weather services? > > I don't think any dyed-in-the-wool weather fanatic could ever be > "against private weather services." I celebrate their presence in the > marketplace and wish them only well. But when it comes to the issuance > of vital, life-saving weather warnings, I do draw a distinction between > those private services and the government. > > It is the *government's* duty -- perhaps its ONLY fundamental duty -- to > protect the citizenry from surprise disaster. The National Weather > Service's mandate of protecting the lives and property of U.S. citizens > goes right to the heart of the purpose of government; and our federal > government is the only final authority we *all* hold in common. I do not > want to see Nike or MCI or Kentucky Fried Chicken, or for that matter > Accuweather, contravening or contradicting official weather warnings -- > and I certainly don't want to see the NWS de-funded or watered down > because some corporation has pledged (for the time being) to take on its > back a responsibility that properly belongs in the public realm. Nor, I > might add, do I want to hire Boeing or Microsoft as private mercenaries > to handle our next nasty little war for us. Some functions should remain > a purview of government, and weather warnings happen to be one of them. > We *all* deserve the measure of protection our well-equipped network of > NWS offices gives us, even those of us who could not afford to pay for > that service privately. And even those of us who *could* afford it > should not be subject to the vagaries of a profit-driven corporate board > of directors when a tornado is bearing down on our town. > > I realize the Reagan Revolution is still rolling full-steam-ahead in its > compulsion to privatize. Today, people are seriously discussing a new > "privately-funded" Capital Visitor's Center in Washington, so I suppose > soon we'll all be reduced to gawking at the Coca Cola Rotunda in a town > where even the merest pretense of dignity and public-mindedness is fast > evaporating in a cynical orgy of Darwinist laissez-faire. Fine. Let's > just keep weather warnings an exclusive and generously-funded function > of *government*, and we can merrily continue to vulgarize other aspects > of American life without putting our very safety into private hands. > > Cliff Nelson > Chapel Hill, NC > vortex@interpath.com > > WXAMERICA wrote: > > > > Just a short comment on a trend I see developing in this newsgroup and a few > > others. None of the writings regarding private forecast/weather firms seem to > > be based on facts, but rather emotions and, in one case, anti-business > > hysteria. If you look at every other sector of the economy, be it medicine, > > banking, construction, or whatever, the independent businessman has a chance > to > > succeed and build a life doing what he or she likes and making money off of > it. > > > > For many years, until the growth of such firms as WSI, Accu-Weather, and > others > > more recently, individuals who loved weather and wanted to do research, > prepare > > forecasts, or take observations had to work for the NWS (or its predecessor, > > the Weather Bureau), or had to take a job option outside of weather. That > > wasn't right. I can tell you that if you examine the situation calmly, you > will > > find that a free enterprise approach to most facets of meteorology will serve > > the public better in the long run. This does NOT mean dismantling the NWS, > but > > it does mean that companies should be able to issue competitive forecasts for > > the general public on a bid or per sale basis IF the public so desires. Just > my > > two cents. > > > > Larry Cosgrove > > "It's a forecast, not an observation..." > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 > **************************************************Please unsubscribe me from your mailing list, thanks. I no longer wish to recieve your WX-TALK messages. Dan O. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 09:29:16 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: private-vs-NWS In article , bgross@airmail.DELETE.net (Bill Gross) wrote: > Since it is "the people's data" why should "the people" be forced to > pay someone to interpreted it for them? How do you differentiate > between down sizing the weather service to create work for consultants > as opposed to allowing the NWS to continue to provide the services it > has in the past? I agree with Bill ... this is a specious argument ... some of those who say the weather data collected by the taxpayers belong to "the Peepuhl" are the same ones who are repacking those data under a different label and SELLING the package to "the Peepuhl" ... but ONLY to those who are willing and able to pay. The government makes forecasts using those data and makes those forecasts available to anyone at a very modest cost ... the annual tax burden on individual taxpayers for ALL the services provided by the NWS is less than $10. How many private companies are going to provide their users with a full suite of products for $10 per year? Of course, the NWS does NOT disseminate those results to individuals ... for reasons of their own, they have not chosen to get into the weather information dissemination business. Generally speaking, dissemination is via private sector folks, and this partnership CAN and DOES work VERY well in most places. > A reasonable arguments can be made about weather data. If those in > the private sector really and truly believe in the market place, then > let the NWS bid to provide the services private meteorologist believe > is their realm. In many cities that went to privatizing public > services it was discovered that companies would low ball the initial > bid to make sure the municipality dismantled its own ability to > provide this service. Then in the next bid process, why surprise > surprise cost jumped. > > Cities learned this and set up mechanism to allow their own municipal > agencies to bid on providing the services. Phoenix does this quite > will. So if the "market place" is the place to go shouldn't the NWS > be able to bid on providing these services? The process Bill describes is comparable to what has been done to the weather services in New Zealand, but in New Zealand, the former Federal service staff formed a sort of "government corporation" that is essentially being run as private company. At the moment, those who accomplished this process in New Zealand are very happy with the result ... but this COULD be a case of a rather biased observation. After all, it's in their interest to present the rosiest possible picture of the outcome. My position on the general topic has been enunciated at: It's an interesting debate, and one without many substantive results, but a LOT of strongly-held (often self-serving) opinions. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. ...Structure is the key to understanding... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:35:57 -0400 From: Joel MCLAUGHLIN Subject: Re: Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services I am against the privatization of the weather service, but not because of people not being able to afford it. I am also against collecting any government benefits if I have a way to prevent it (sometimes that isn't possible, I know.). But I look at the NWS not so much a a service that the government provides but as a way to save lives and a duty of the government. After all, even the little patch of land I own is still part of the United States! Even if privatization did occur, you'd still have advertising supported free weather info on any radio station and would not have to pay for it. Most radio stations do not let advertising get in the way of important warnings. The main reason I am against it is I don't think the private companies have any idea on how they could provide the same coverage that the NWS does now. Also, the NWS has ONE guidline, and private companies may set MANY guidlines so far as severe weather (one for each company probably). Tornadic Signatures ! on radar and other stuff like that. The important thing the NWS does is establish a standard for weather delivery across the country and private companies would have there own standard that fits there own agenda. Something that would scare the heck outta me! Joel ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 12:35:21 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Off topic: Disability and work (Was Re: Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services) mark Widerstrom wrote: >Folsk think > about it when or if someone is disabled or gets SSA, that is all > they have to live on. They cant make money, they cant > work,because if they make $1.00 a yr they would loose all their > disability . In the interest of preventing the spread of mis-information, the above is INCORRECT. Please see http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10095.html for correct information about work and collecting disability benefits. Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 14:59:04 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services > > I am against the privatization of the weather service, but not because > of people not being able to afford it. I am also against collecting any > government benefits if I have a way to prevent it (sometimes that isn't > possible, I know.). But I look at the > NWS not so much a a service that > the government provides but as a way to save lives and a duty of the > government. After all, even the little patch of land I own is still > part of the United States! Even if privatization did occur, you'd still > have advertising supported free weather info on any radio station and > would not have to pay for it. Most radio stations do not let advertising > get in the way of important warnings. Yet. Yes, I can hear it now: "WMAQ and TeleStar Mobile Phones present the following Accu-Weather Tornado warning for Chicagoland. But first, a word from our sponsors....[3 minutes of advertising ensue]..." _I_ sure wouldn't change the channel :)) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer's disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Jul 1998 15:59:13 EDT From: Paul Bieneman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jul 1998 to 13 Jul 1998 Please remove name from your list. I do not wish to receive any more of your mail. Thank you. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 00:15:52 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Tropical Storm Alex forms in Atlantic The first tropical storm of the 1998 Atlantic season has formed. It is too far away for us to provide AVHRR satellite images yet. However, we now have track maps available at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/index.html Happy hurricane hunting, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ -- Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1998 to 28 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:05:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1281 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-4290>; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 13:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36850; Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:06:13 -0500 Message-Id: <199807300506.AAA36850@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:01:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jul 1998 to 29 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bb9b80ae649df2d1246e66ffc15eec8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 354 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services 2. CASI NetNews : AccuWeather NEXRADs Free, Hurricane Center / AWC / Intellicast Blues / TWC Cube / WNI Arctic 3. Oh where, oh where, has my little "dog" gone? 4. WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1998 to 28 Jul 1998 5. Private vs NWS 6. CASI NetNews 7. back from band camp +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 02:00:05 -0700 From: Doug Younker Subject: Re: Why Against Privitazation Of Weather Services Scott Lindstrom wrote: > Yes, I can hear it now: "WMAQ and TeleStar Mobile Phones present the > following Accu-Weather Tornado warning for Chicagoland. But first, a word > from our sponsors....[3 minutes of advertising ensue]..." > > _I_ sure wouldn't change the channel :)) But I would tune in the noaa station in on the scanner. OOOps! maybe I won't have that option, I forgot we where privitizing... > Scott -- 73, Doug Younker, N0LKK near Plainville, KS dougy@ruraltel.net N0LKK@K0JJV.#NWKS.KS.USA.NAOM ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 11:42:18 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : AccuWeather NEXRADs Free, Hurricane Center / AWC / Intellicast Blues / TWC Cube / WNI Arctic [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to CASI Members then later posted to appropriate Newsgroups.] Quite a bit going on this week across the Weather WWW. The big news first: 1.) AccuWeather gives out all local NEXRADs, Hurricane Center These people just won't slow down! AccuWeather http://www.accuweather.com/ relaunched their Personal AccuWeather service today. In doing so they now compete directly with Intellicast by doing something they hadn't before: giving out high quality Local NEXRAD Base Reflectivity radars. Unlike Intellicast who gives out a large number of the NEXRADs via city pages, AccuWeather gives access to all 141 US and 1 Puerto Rico radars, and has a map to click on stations as well as a station list. The map is very accurate for placement of the radar sites, it is clear that some care was taken to locate them correctly on the map. Some may surprise you - PIT and CHS for example are a long way from "Pittsburgh" and "Charleston" but crosschecking with a lat/lon coordinate, they are correct. http://www.accuweather.com/weatherf/radarf_qx01 Besides this they have also taken the Username and Password away from their Personal AccuWeather Free service so now you don't have to signup or keep track of personal info, just go to http://www.accuweather.com and enter your zipcode. This brings up the Personal AccuWeather page with the Local Nexrad, Current Conditions, and links to a lot of other weather content - superior to what you may have experienced with their previous Free service "Get Weather." In addition, they have launched their Hurricane Center for free, which includes a meteorological discussion for Atlantic, Pacific, and Overall as well as current graphics for storms and educational modules. http://personal.accuweather.com/hurr98f/index_qx01 Best of all, all these things are now bookmark-able and linkable unlike the previous incantations of Personal AccuWeather Free. Like Intellicast, you will be unable to link to the Local NEXRAD images; they are made unlinkable so that you have to load the HTML page and see the ad. But hey, the equipment these companies use to show us these NEXRAD images probably isn't cheap. On Personal AccuWeather Free there are still some links that will take you to ads for their Pay Service, which we have mentioned before, for $4.95 a month gives you 4 types of "real-time" local NEXRADs and a lot more. 2.) The other big new this week has already been covered here : American Weather Concepts has dropped their UNISYS feed and converted to Freese-Notis Weather Radar images for their Pay Service. The conversion is still taking place and many of their images were still down this afternoon. AWC's updates have gone from 10 to 6-10 minutes due to this but is still $8/month. Rumors are that AWC is trying to form partnerships with smaller companies to combat "The Big 3 (Accu, TWC, WSI)." http://www.weatherconcepts.com/ 3.) Got The Intellicast Blues What's up with Intellicast trading their white Radar Summary numbers and lines for light blue? I thought it was a temporary color table problem but it's still going on. Looks weird to me. Example: http://www.intellicast.com/weather/usa/radsum/ 4.) The Weather Channel Goes Cubic The Weather Channel introduced another playtoy this week, called "The Weather Cube." http://www.weather.com It's more "neato" than useful - definately wins this year's award for using Java where you should have used VRML ;) It is a cube which displays common TWC maps which you can click on to enlarge. The whole cube spins around via your mouse. Bad news: Requires an IBM PC with Pentium Pro suggested. 5.) WNI goes to Antarctica Why? Maybe just because they *could.* Yahoo Weather (WNI) added an Antactica section to their World Forecasts. Maps are South America (what?) but there are forecasts for 5 Antarctic locations. Unfortunately, forecasts for Vostok have been almost 40 degrees off... forecasts this week have been about -55/-65F, and Vostok's actual temps have run -80 to -100F (see synoptic obs below). ##### TIME T DP RH HI LO 89606 18z26 -89 -94 77 -89 *** 2605 *** 6HR**** 24H**** 0/8 1/8 89606 06z27 -92 -97 77 *** -92 2506 *** 6HR**** 24H**** 0/8 1/8 This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:09:11 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: Oh where, oh where, has my little "dog" gone? Oh where, oh where, has my little dog gone..., The gopher at wx.atmos.uiuc.edu is the only site on the net I could find that has undecoded surface summaries by state. In fact, many links on other pages point right back to there. But it has not been available for a week or so. Anyone know where it went or if or when it will be available again? Or can someone please give me a URL where I can get this data? I'm particularly interested in New England. Thanks for your help! Paul Hodgdon Hampton Beach, New Hampshire ----- End Included Message ----- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 08:49:02 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1998 to 28 Jul 1998 Private Weather Services It is interesting that we are going through this subject again. I do not favor total take over by privates either, however there are places that they belong and can actually do a better job, i.e. transmission of data and products to the public via tv and radio for example. Actually we got started on this again by the comment of "I can't understand why the public does not support the NWS better or words similar to that". My return comments seemed to turn into another debate over privates versus NWS. Everyone should read the paper that Chuck mentioned that is posted on his site. Much of the duties of the NWS have been automated with more to come. Hardly visible NWS presence will lead to further loss of public support as more and more people believe that the privates that they see on tv, etc. are the "Real Weather People" when in fact the raw work is done behind the scenes by the NWS. I will repeat once again: "The NWS will evolve into mainly a data collection and warning agency (with some research added) in the years ahead". Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:14:58 -0500 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Private vs NWS My, my! Curious how this subject blooms! My remarks to Paul Pettit's comments were hardly meant to re-open this thread. Those who have been around a while on WX-TALK-CHASE..etc will remember it well. (Perhaps that's what has kept the bandwidth down!!) My views: Of course, there's a place for private weather firms! I hardly advocate a government monopoly! There are many facets of weather forecasting, dissemination...etc where private companies can and do make a difference. Aviation forecasting being one of the best examples. The NWS remains very self-agrandising when it comes to service to the aviation community. NWS TAF's are a joke in the corporate aviation community. They are overly pesimistic most of the time and often contain segments that while meteorologically sound are meaningless to the aviation community. Additionally, they show an utter lack of understanding of things such as field minimums, approach requirements...etc. I believe that this is mostly due to the lack of close contact of the NWS forecasters with the aviation community. Look at the number of aviation companies who have developed their own weather departments. If this doesn't speak volumes about the failure of the NWS to meet customer needs, I don't know what does! Agricultural weather needs are another prime example of where private companies can provide enhanced service to the public. Simple understanding of the needs of the agricultural community should yeild a private firm the ability to far outstripe the NWS in this area. Next there is the issue of public contact. Radio and television meteorologists (or in many cases broadcasters) have the public eye and ear. They do a far better job of transfering weather information to the public than the NWS can do! The jaundiced eye simply asks the question, "Are they scrupulous in this endeavour?". I suspect that most are, but some are definitely NOT! Finally, many private companies provide extended period weather information and climatological suppport that the NWS cannot. Users of this type of information are many and varied. (Agriculture, energy companies, commodities markets...etc). What all of us must remember is the cost of reliable data collection, computer and communications resources and consistant warning services. Currently, no private vendor is either able or willing to shoulder this burden. Perhaps some company in the future will arise to this challange, but I doubt it. The cost and logistics would be incredible. Remember, not only would they have to take over data collection, collation and processing for the U.S., but for the rest of the world too. The atmosphere is, of course, global. Dr. Edward Lorenz in 1963 showed what many of us had suspected for eons. Atmospheric undulations are globally connected. If one wants to dismiss the National Weather Service, they would, per force, have to assume all the global agreements of free weather data exchange via the WMO. (Besides, what happens if there's a global or semi-global war?). I'm no youngster, but I have considerable doubt that any private firm would have the ability or purse to accomplish this in my or anyone else's lifetime. In short, the two entities MUST co-exist! Futhermore, they should do so beneficially as is the case with most private companies and the NWS. I am intimately aquainted with a number of people who run private weather firms who have no problem with this arraingment. I also know a few who, mainly for reasons of self infatuation, believe that they, and they alone, should run the whole show without regard to the realities of the situation. These are the people whom we, as concerned citizens, must guard against. Thanks for the banndwidth! And, Cheers!! **************************************************************** *Jim Johnson Meteorologist, Motorcycle nut, * *Dodge City, KS Bluegrass Freak & Home Brewer * *email: * *home: jimj@dodgecity.net * *work: jim.johnson@noaa.gov * * johnson@sac.ddc.noaa.gov * **************************************************************** -- "You don't talk much when you've been 'pig-bit'!" -- -- Axel Hammond -- **************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 22:27:26 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: CASI NetNews Joseph Bartlo "The Meteorology Guide" wrote on bit.listserv.wx-flame.me: >I didn't read the rest of what you consider to be weather news, but your I'm not sure that the tone is warranted, did I offend you in some way? Since you didn't read the message, let me repeat : CASI NetNews alerts Internet users to recent changes to Major Weather Providers on the WWW. I'm not sure what I have done wrong. I try to post some original content rather than just engauging in random flaming on newsgroups. I am sorry if I have offended you. Your company publishes a list of weather links, I understand, I would think this kind of information might be of interest to you. Sorry it wasn't. >I randomly accessed 10 NEXRAD images randomly this morning for each - the > averages were : Thanks for the additional info. That's why I post these things, so that you Netizens may examine them closely. > This a general question for anyone who may be able to answer - can legal > action be taken regarding such false statements ? I doubt it - claims like that are rampant on the web - take a look around. Flightbrief.com used to claim they had "The Most Up To Date Radar On The Web" even though it was 10 minute updates, for their pay service. TWC claims their Severe Weather section is "The Most Comprehensive Severe Weather On The Internet" even though there are only two maps there. > which assumes a specific solar constant. Not sure how that relates. I was just commenting that I was impressed that someone apparently put some time and thought into something on the Web rather than throwing up the quickest and cheapest thing possible. JF ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1998 20:38:23 -0700 From: Jason Barr Subject: back from band camp Well, just wanted you to know that I'm back from band camp, a week of fun in the sun (burn, that is). This being my last band camp, it was a tad depressing, but our show is kickin' ass, so I think I'll get over it. (For those of you who are familiar, it's La Fiesta Mexicana by H. Owen Reed) As soon as I check my 622 emails I'll be able to enjoy society again... (For Sue Town) Genesis content: I got my best friend addicted to Genesis during the week, his favorite song is "The Knife" (For weather lists) There was a nice tstorm Tuesday night, with 2 distinct roll clouds, mesorotation, bilateral rain, and a nice wall cloud... too bad nothing came of it..... Jason == Voom, va- VOOM! Chung, chung! Cracko Jacko! Riga- diga- dum! PAM PAM! - various Jets, West Side Story Act 1 Scene 1 You came with your pants open! - Pepe, Act 2 Scene 1 Gee, Officer Krupke, Krup you! - Jets, Act 2 Scene 2 _________________________________________________________ DO YOU YAHOO!? Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jul 1998 to 29 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2041 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-5105>; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 13:10:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA43552; Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:05:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199807310505.AAA43552@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 00:00:25 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Jul 1998 to 30 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 222a9936b8e8dfd27cbb0513b34d7826 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 354 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 2. Weather Tap 3. Indianapolis LWS 4. CRS "Field Guide" 5. Private vs NWS 6. New WWW WX service 7. AWC Update Letter +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:59:29 EDT From: WyoDude@AOL.COM Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1998 to 27 Jul 1998 In a message dated 98-07-28 01:05:45 EDT, you write: << WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU >> Please change our e-mailing address to: jd@trib.com Thank You, JD Smith ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 08:32:21 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Weather Tap Here's a notice from the AV-WEB listserv, that announces another company providing Nexrad data over the Internet for a monthly fee. I checked out their examples and it looked OK. The radar loop was pretty quick. And they "claim" they have the fastest updates of the radar data. Anyhow, here's what the post was: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - WEATHER TAP Steve Stone of Trade-A-Plane announced today the introduction of "weatherTAP," an online weather Web site. In cooperation with Harris Corporation, the new Web site features the exact same images and information that Harris provides to the ARTCCs and FSS weather briefers. Stone noted that this will be the first time the exact same weather information provided to FAA will be available to the public. WeatherTAP is priced at $5.95 per month, $63 per year. The introductory price is $5.35 per month, $56.70 per year. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 09:34:29 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Indianapolis LWS Was in Indy for most of the month of July. Was interested to see that Comcast has a "Local Weather Service (station?)" on the cable. Program input was from a local TV station but what I was interested in was what they did when there was severe weather... the channel would drop the normal program and then there would be things like maps showing the affected areas by the alert, live radar of the central indiana area (sometimes with pairs of radars used to make up a picture) and weather radio audio. some comments: jeez, that synthetic audio just isn't that good yet. sounds like a low data rate system. the audio fed to this system wasn't of good quality anyway - low audio level, lots of noise in the audio itself - suggesting that the weather radio receiver didn't have a good antenna and that the bandwidth used was wrong somehow..had better reception on a weather radio. here at home, time warner does a local news service with a 1 minute weather update every 10 minutes. they don't handle alerts/watches/warnings until they get to them. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 00:26:50 -0400 From: gsellers Subject: Re: CRS "Field Guide" That was great Bernie! I'll have to print that out and add it to the CRS "voice field guide" coming on line in my area..So far, they are just using it for the station ID but you should hear how it pronounces some of the names of the counties, hi! Maybe we all should get together on this; there ought to be some "common" pronounciations, hi.. -- ***************************************************** 73 de Greg, WB4HRR/CLT AREA SKYWARN EC Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website! @: http://users.vnet.net/voyager/skywarn.html ***************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 04:41:09 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Private vs NWS Speaking for myself and not for my unnamed employer with the understanding that any attempt to thwart my First Amendment rights will be met in civil court... On Wed, 29 Jul 1998 09:14:58 -0500, Jim Johnson wrote: >My, my! Curious how this subject blooms! My remarks to Paul Pettit's >comments were hardly meant to re-open this thread. Those who have been >around a while on WX-TALK-CHASE..etc will remember it well. (Perhaps that's >what has kept the bandwidth down!!) > >My views: > >Of course, there's a place for private weather firms! I hardly advocate a >government monopoly! There are many facets of weather forecasting, >dissemination...etc where private companies can and do make a difference. >Aviation forecasting being one of the best examples. The NWS remains very >self-agrandising when it comes to service to the aviation community. NWS >TAF's are a joke in the corporate aviation community. They are overly >pesimistic >most of the time and often contain segments that while meteorologically >sound are meaningless to the aviation community. Additionally, they show an >utter lack of understanding of things such as field minimums, approach >requirements...etc. I believe that this is mostly due to the lack of close >contact of the NWS forecasters with the aviation community. Look at the >number of aviation companies who have developed their own weather >departments. If this doesn't speak volumes about the failure of the NWS to >meet customer needs, I don't know what does! Let's see. In 1996 the NWS implemented the Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs). In the first six valid hours of the TAF, the NWS is prohibited from forecasting thunder within five miles of the airport unless 1) thunder is expected to be a prevailing condition during any part of the first six hours of the valid TAF, and 2) the likelihood of thunder within the first six hours of the TAF is greater than 50 percent but is expected to occur less than half the time. The aviation forecaster is thus prohibited from assessing an accurate probability of thunder within five miles of the airport if the forecaster believes this probability to be less than 50 percent during the first six hours of the valid TAF. Why was this done? I've heard that the customer, namely east coast carriers, "suggested" to the NWS these "rules". The FAA apparently agreed with these rules. Thus the forecaster essentially has one hand tied behind his or her back because the forecaster cannot adequately connote the thunder forecast within the first six valid hours of this forecast. And faced with either overforecasting thunder or facing another potential Delta 191 episode (isolated thunder forecast), the forecaster will be pessimistic. So there you have it. As long as you have the FAA tasked with the dual roles of promoting and regulating the airline industry, you will have overly pessimistic forecasts, if for no other reason than it may be cheaper to pay settlements to survivors' families once every three or so years than it is to carry additional fuel onboard to go to an alternate field. This is not to say that the NWS can improve upon its aviation forecasting skill. There is always room for improvement! >Agricultural weather needs are another prime example of where private >companies can provide enhanced service to the public. Simple understanding >of the needs of the agricultural community should yeild a private firm the >ability to far outstripe the NWS in this area. The NWS has been out of the agricultural forecasting business for almost two years. Simple "understanding" means nothing to the citrus farmers in Florida who lost a healthy percentage of their crop the winter before last. So what is the point? >Next there is the issue of public contact. Radio and television >meteorologists (or in many cases broadcasters) have the public eye and ear. >They do a far better job of transfering weather information to the public >than the NWS can do! And so they should. >The jaundiced eye simply asks the question, "Are they scrupulous in this >endeavour?". I suspect that most are, but some are definitely NOT! Who are "they"? Please clarify. >Finally, many private companies provide extended period weather information >and climatological suppport that the NWS cannot. Users of this type of >information are many and varied. (Agriculture, energy companies, commodities >markets...etc). This is the role that private meteorology should undertake. Unfortunately, they've been unwilling to undertake their fair share of supporting the infrastructure. And, please, don't bring the specious argument of "I paid for it in taxes". You currently pay twice for weather information...once in taxes to support the NWS, and again when you pay the media (via advertisement costs recouped in sales of products) to deliver the forecast. Remember, TANSTAAFL! So why stick another middleman into the economics? >What all of us must remember is the cost of reliable data collection, >computer and communications resources and consistant warning services. >Currently, no private vendor is either able or willing to shoulder this >burden. Perhaps some company in the future will arise to this challange, but >I doubt it. The cost and logistics would be incredible. Remember, not only >would they have to take over data collection, collation and processing for >the U.S., but for the rest of the world too. The atmosphere is, of course, >global. Dr. Edward Lorenz in 1963 showed what many of us had suspected for >eons. Atmospheric undulations are globally connected. If one wants to >dismiss the National Weather Service, they would, per force, have to assume >all the global agreements of free weather data exchange via the WMO. >(Besides, what happens if there's a global or semi-global war?). I'm no >youngster, but I have considerable doubt that any private firm would have >the ability or purse to accomplish this in my or anyone else's lifetime. > >In short, the two entities MUST co-exist! Futhermore, they should do so >beneficially as is the case with most private companies and the NWS. I am >intimately aquainted with a number of people who run private weather firms >who have no problem with this arraingment. I also know a few who, mainly >for reasons of self infatuation, believe that they, and they alone, should >run the whole show without regard to the realities of the situation. These >are the people whom we, as concerned citizens, must guard against. I think we are in agreement that there must be a partnership between public and private enterprises. But as long as money governs in Washington, this partnership will be in jeopardy. And, ultimately, the public gets the short end of the stick... >Thanks for the banndwidth! > >And, Cheers!! >**************************************************************** >*Jim Johnson Meteorologist, Motorcycle nut, * >*Dodge City, KS Bluegrass Freak & Home Brewer * >*email: * >*home: jimj@dodgecity.net * >*work: jim.johnson@noaa.gov * >* johnson@sac.ddc.noaa.gov * >**************************************************************** > -- "You don't talk much when you've been 'pig-bit'!" -- > -- Axel Hammond -- >**************************************************************** bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself and not for my unnamed employer. See the First Amendment for details. In the end there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 13:21:19 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: New WWW WX service For those who are weather junkies like me there is a new WWW WX provider just announced at the Oshkosh Air Show. TAP Publishing has teamed up with Harris/Unisys to provide what is claimed to be the same weather information that is provided to FSS Briefers. If you are going to OSH you can see it at the Trade-a-Plane booth otherwise http://www.weathertap.com for some sample images. I have no connection to Harris, Unisys, TAP Publications or Trade-a-Plane. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Jul 1998 16:27:16 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: AWC Update Letter Hi WX-Yappers, FYI....If you didn't happen to get to this info on AWC (if you use it that is)....this was accessible from their home page. The follow is quoted from the President (of AWC): "For the next two weeks, we will continue to move American Weather Concepts computer operations to our new location in Des Moines, Iowa. This move will allow us to provide our customers expanded weather products, faster connection speeds, and better customer service. Leveraging the resources of American Weather Concepts and Freese-Notis, we will be better equipped to compete against larger weather companies that threaten to squeeze us out of the Internet market we helped to pioneer. Let me start by dispelling rumors concerning our move. We are NOT going out of business. We are NOT merging with Freese-Notis. We will remain a separate company, with our own customer base, unique web site and product offerings. We will NOT raise your subscription fees...period. Our move did force us to make changes to our local Doppler images. We will be making improvements to the current local Doppler images to include: City markers Smaller letter size Slower speed loops dBZ scale moved to left side Color changes Overlay radar images over city name We are still looking at offering a choice of the old or newer Doppler images. A decision should be reached soon. There is good news! The new local Doppler radar software allows us to offer substantially faster update times; something our older software did not. Our new servers will eventually allow us to offer more radar and satellite products along with faster connection speeds during peak demand periods. We readily admit that the past weeks transition has not gone perfectly, they never do. We had hoped to cause little disruption in the weather products you have come to rely on from our company. We have received e-mails and telephone calls from users voicing their opinions and concerns. We are listening to you and are working around-the-clock to restore our high-level of products and services. Honestly, the next two weeks may occasionally see reduced server speeds and intermittent NEXRAD updates. Please help us locate these problems by e-mailing us at wxmaster@weatherconcepts.com. This will help us pinpoint isolated problems and restore updated information quickly. If during this transition period you feel that our service was not worthwhile, we will cheerfully refund any portion of your monthly subscription fee. Our survival as a company is based on providing quality products, delivered real-time, at a reasonable cost. We are working hard to provide you these services and to win back your confidence. Please let us try. " Sincerely, Gregg F. Lewis President ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Jul 1998 to 30 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1844 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-16657>; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 13:12:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28388; Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:08:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199808010508.AAA28388@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:02:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Jul 1998 to 31 Jul 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 37473dc59829287e36d324b89380a65d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 190 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "Real" Meteorologist 2. TWC Hurricane Coverage 3. NWS Future 4. New issue of InterMet now online +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 10:47:38 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: "Real" Meteorologist The AMS has several policy statements online, with "What is a Meteorologist" at http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS/policy/whatisam.html. The basic requirement is a bachelor's degree as spelled out here: -- A meteorologist is an individual with specialized education who uses scientific principles to explain, understand, observe or forecast the earth's atmospheric phenomena and/or how the atmosphere affects the earth and life on the planet. This specialized education would be a bachelor's or higher degree in meteorology, or atmospheric science, consistent with the requirements set forth in "The Bachelor's Degree in Meteorology or Atmospheric Science," Bulletin American Meteorological Society, 1987, Vol. 68, No. 12, p. 1570. -- The exception is listed in an Interpretive Memorandum: -- Article III section 4 (C) is intended to recognize individuals without a degree from an accredited institution but who have at least a minimal educational background in the underlying science and substantial experience in the field. The individual is required to demonstrate that he or she has undertaken a study program from accredited institutions that has provided a minimum fundamental knowledge in the atmospheric or related oceanic or hydrologic sciences. The following criteria will be used to determine the types of courses that count toward the required 20 semester hours: *Courses in meteorology or atmospheric sciences, climatology, oceanography, or hydrology that are part of a curriculum leading to a Bachelor of Science degree in atmospheric or related oceanic or hydrologic sciences at an accredited institution. *Courses in atmospheric or related sciences designed to fulfill a science elective requirement for a nonscience major that are offered by a department of atmospheric or related oceanic and hydrologic sciences and the entire course concerns atmospheric or related oceanic or hydrologic sciences. *Courses offered through a geography or earth sciences department when it is clear that they are science based and the entire course deals with the atmospheric or related oceanic and hydrologic sciences. *Correspondence courses that are accepted by accredited institutions toward a Bachelor of Science in the atmospheric or related oceanic and hydrologic sciences. At least 12 of the 20 credits must be in areas of - atmospheric or oceanographic dynamics, - atmospheric or oceanographic thermodynamics, - physical meteorology or oceanography, - synoptic meteorology (or weather systems) or synoptic oceanography, hydrology. A minimum of two credits in each of four of the five areas is required. These core courses must include basic processes relevant to atmospheric or oceanic systems. Thus, for instance, in the area of dynamics the fundamentals (the balance of forces for motions of the atmosphere or ocean) must be covered. Representation using calculus is desirable but not required, but such coverage must not be purely descriptive. Dynamics at the level covered in textbooks for survey courses (such as Atmospheric Science, An Introductory Survey by Wallace and Hobbs) is sufficient provided a significant portion (generally, more than half) of the course covers topics in dynamics. Similar comments apply to other such specific areas mentioned in the core requirements. The requirements for three years of professional experience in the last five years can be fulfilled by experience that requires independent analysis, interpretation, and scientific judgement. It may not be fulfilled by experience that involves nothing more than routine observations or passing on information created by someone else. -- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 11:15:18 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: TWC Hurricane Coverage >From SkyReport: -- The Weather Channel Keeps An Eye On Hurricanes - The Weather Channel has joined with Dr. Steve Lyons from the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Prediction Center to bring the most up-to-date coverage of storms on the gulf and east coast. The network has also increased its production of original programs to focus on specific weather components. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 12:31:03 EDT From: Bryan Ruby Subject: NWS Future >I will repeat once again: "The NWS will evolve into mainly a data >collection and warning agency (with some research added) in the years >ahead". Paul, There is a problem that I have with your "forecast" of the NWS evolving more into data collection (and less in public)...I haven't seen the trend in the past ten years. From my viewpoint there has been either a steady or decrease in data collection at the field offices and an increase in the emphasis for general public and more specific warning and statements. Although my hair is starting to thin a bit these days, I still consider myself a part of the "new blood" for the NWS where I don't know of a NWS without Modernization and Restructuring (MAR). Probably, one of the reasons we're glad to have people like Jim Johnson around . As you are well aware of, MAR has caused an increase in the number of meteorologists for most areas. In South Dakota alone, the numbers originated with 10 NWS meteorologists, we're now currently around 20, and will end with 30 or more within a year. Although this increase was in part to place more "expertise" into the warning program, there has been a number of groups also emphasizing that the NWS use the increased number of meteorologist for improvements in the general public forecasts. This pressure has come from quite a few sides including government, the public, the private sector, and NWS employees (yes as a government worker, I am also worried about quality, work ethics, and good use of tax dollars too). A few of many examples I can think to support my observations that there is more emphasis in the public products and not less: I have seen a trend where Zone Forecast Products have become more specific in geography (flexzones as opposed to the regional mulit-county zone) with plans to extend the product beyond the traditional 3 or 4 periods. The good 'ol Special Weather Statement has also been supplemented with three more products, the WSW, the NPW, and the NOW. This fall you will see the Zone Group/UGC concept implemented for both the WSW and NPW as a result of needs addressed by the private sector (mainly media), which does create a little more work for the NWS forecaster (but for a good cause and a much better product). Plans for the Extended Forecast (which is now a part of the SFP and for some parts of the country, ZFP) are to change it from a 5-Day forecast to either a 7-Day or 10-Day forecast. On the other hand, I've also seen a decreased trend in what I consider "quality" data. Surface observations have been automated (with less emphasis in type and amount of precipitation than conventional sites), conventional radar observations have been automated (and being that my first job was at the now extinct WSMO radar site, ouch this hurts), upper air soundings are too few and too far apart, and there has been proposals on the table concerning the privatization of the NWS CO-OP program. Probably the most amusing to me, there are some NWS field offices that do not even have augmentation responsibility for surface observations (ASOS). I personally hope you're right and the trend is for more data collection (and implementation), because I know it's a concern justified or not for many in the NWS. We need good data to support good forecasts and would like to see more data, not less. Wherever the emphasis is placed on the public forecasts or data collection in the NWS will be a debate for quite some time. But one thing I think most are in agreement with, the NWS will be involved in the warning program for many years to come. From personal observation, a good warning program also relies on a good observational data program and a public forecast program. With this in mind, I think predictions that the NWS will eventually get out of the public forecast business (and serving the public on a daily basis) is too premature. I may be wrong, but I have high confidence that as long as I chose too, I'll be working for the taxpayer for many years to come. -Bryan Ruby My opinions are my own, both the rational and irrational opinions. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 00:03:15 -0400 From: InterMet Subject: New issue of InterMet now online The latest issue of InterMet is now online: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/current.htm Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Jul 1998 to 31 Jul 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 4 01:06:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4685 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626453-9897>; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 13:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13196; Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:07:25 -0500 Message-Id: <199808020507.AAA13196@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 00:03:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1998 to 1 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 338f585ca37c5f5b89fb3a050b11e981 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 182 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Mid-Atlantic Weather Station 2. Southern High Plains Severe Weather Conference 3. July ASOS Commissionings +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 11:20:42 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Mid-Atlantic Weather Station 
 This site has been receiving many
compliments and constructive criticisms.  Thanx to all who have visited and
commented.


Mid Atlantic Weather Station-- Home Page


Mid Atlantic Weather Station --Hurricane and TS Page


Mid Atlantic Weather Station-- SE US and Tropical Loops Page


And there's much, much more !! Come by and take a look.
Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 12:18:20 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Southern High Plains Severe Weather Conference I received the following message and decided to post it to the WX-TALK group for all to see. ..Chris.. Original message from: Don Baker : ###################### MEETING ANNOUNCEMENT ###################### EVENT: Southern High Plains Severe Weather Conference DATES: February 9-11, 1999 LOCATION: Lubbock, TX (conference site to be determined) ################################################################## The National Weather Service in Lubbock and the Wind Engineering Research Center/Atmospheric Sciences Group at Texas Tech University, invite you to the 1999 Southern High Plains Severe Weather Conference. ******************* General Information ******************* A variety of material, consisting of presentations, posters, workshops, and panel discussions, will focus on issues related to severe weather forecasting and warning, verification, damage assessment, residential shelters, and lightning. The exact location of the conference, including lodging information, will be distributed as soon as it is available. Among those who plan to participate include: Dr. Erik Rasmussen, NSSL, Boulder CO Dr. Chuck Doswell, NSSL, Norman OK Dr. Don Burgess, Operational Support Facility, Norman OK John Weaver, CIRA, Fort Collins CO Dr. Kishor Mehta, Wind Engineering Research Center, Lubbock TX Ron Holle, NSSL, Norman OK Tim Marshall, Haag Engineering, Dallas TX Dr. John McGinley, Forecast Systems Lab, Boulder CO **************** Registration fee **************** To help defer costs of the conference, a registration fee of $20 will apply ($10 for students). Details will be forthcoming. ********************* Making a presentation ********************* If you are interested in an oral or poster presentation, submit a single page abstract to: Loren Phillips Science and Operations Officer (SOO) NWS Forecast Office 2579 South Loop 289, Suite 100 Lubbock, TX 79423-1400 email: Loren.Phillips@noaa.gov tel: 806-745-4260 fax: 806-745-4354 Please include the following with your abstract: mailing address, email address, telephone number, and preference for oral or poster presentation. This information will be used to compile a register of attendees. Submissions by email are encouraged. If regular mail is used, please include a copy of the abstract on a 3.5 inch diskette. Abstracts will be accepted until October 1, 1998. However, the cutoff date may be earlier or later, depending on when the agenda is finalized. Individual talks will be 15 minutes in length. If you desire a longer time period, please include your requirements with your abstract. An effort will be made to accommodate as many abstracts as possible. ************** Attending only ************** If you would like to attend but not make a presentation, send an email, indicating your desire to attend the conference, to: Donald.Baker@noaa.gov, copied to, Loren.Phillips@noaa.gov Please provide your name, mailing address, and phone number. If you prefer regular mail, send a note to Don Baker at NWS Forecast Office 2579 South Loop 289, Suite 100 Lubbock, TX 79423-1400 ***************** General questions ***************** Contact: Don Baker, Lead Forecaster (Donald.Baker@noaa.gov) Loren Phillips, SOO (Loren.Phillips@noaa.gov) 806-745-4260 *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 14:34:35 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: July ASOS Commissionings The following ASOS sites weere commissioned during July. 1V4 - St. Johnsbury, VT AQQ - Apalachicola, FL BUY - Burlington, NC BYG - Buffalo, WY CLT - Charlotte, NC CNY - Moab, UT ELN - Ellensburg, WA FOK - Westhampton Beach, NY FUL - Fullerton, CA GCC - Gillette, WY GNA - Grand Marais, MN LXV - Leadville, CO P59 - Copper Harbor, MI P75 - Manistique, MI PACD - Cold Bay, AK PADE - Deering, AK PAKV - Kaltag, AK PAMC - Mcgrath, AK PAOM - Nome, AK PAQT - Nuiqsut, AK PAVL - Kilvalina, AK PFN - Panama City, FL PLB - Plattsburgh, NY RAL - Riverside, CA SJC - San Jose, CA WVI - Watsonville, CA Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1998 to 1 Aug 1998 ************************************************* From - Tue Aug 4 01:07:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4307 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-17918>; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 13:12:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57748; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 00:06:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199808030506.AAA57748@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c5cfeed84100bb77adcf64c237f623a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 85 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WeatherTap...Tap into It 2. GetWx/StormWatch Programs? 3. TWC Hurricane Coverage +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 1 Aug 1998 22:00:07 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: WeatherTap...Tap into It Hi Weather Die hards JUST an FYI and Opinion post..... I believe the Weathertap site to be the best of the competitors to date..loops load fast..imagery is in with the best as far as how current it is (and quality is well up to par)...the aviation section is good..(the graphics with it are VERY basic for obvious download time purposes).....explore it a bit if you haven't had a chance..when AWC finally comes back on line fully it will be interesting to see what they have..you can bet they are watching "TAP'S" product during their transition and sweating bullet hail in the process... Haven't really gone fully through it..but with every new link I've hit on it..it's pretty much a pleasant surprise... In the interim...still chasing everyday..storms bombed on me in Southern Osceola County.....west of Yeehaw Junction..so it was a bust. Bummmer...FLA. daily storms will become yet a memory after 2-3 weeks...until next year. Steve ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:31:42 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: GetWx/StormWatch Programs? Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net If anyone can help locate the programmer for the programs GetWx and StormWatch I would really appreciate it. The programs were posted in Wx-Talk earlier this year. They were available for downloading free of charge. If someone could send me the e-mail address of this person I would be most grateful! Thanks A Bunch Derek Dodson ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 15:18:40 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: TWC Hurricane Coverage Hi Wx-talkers, On Fri, 31 Jul 1998 11:15:18 Robert P Dale wrote: > > The Weather Channel Keeps An Eye On Hurricanes - The Weather Channel has > joined with Dr. Steve Lyons from the National Hurricane Center's Tropical > Prediction Center to bring the most up-to-date coverage of storms on the > gulf and east coast. The network has also increased its production of > original programs to focus on specific weather components. No, it's actually the other way around. Steve Lyons has joined The Weather Channel and is no longer affiliated with NHC. Steve does bring an excellent knowledge of the tropics to the TWC that well compliments John Hope, IMHO. Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "If the phone doesn't ring, you'll know that it's me. I'll be out in the eye of the storm." - Jimmy Buffett ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4978 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-18982>; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 13:11:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15264; Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:08:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199808040508.AAA15264@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:00:45 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Aug 1998 to 3 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2849d08128c5b87f13cd0a8eb48a7061 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 428 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 (3) 2. RealEMWIN Beta 2 3. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for Sale. 4. Afternoon Obs in NW LA 5. A different observation... 6. Flash flood in Korea 7. CASI NetNews : MSNBC Says "Goodbye WSI" / Weather Tap / Un"Exciting" 3-D Weather 8. [Fwd: [Ham-Software] Hurricane Tracking Software] +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:49:46 -0400 From: Jim O'Donnell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 I have been looking for the program "Stormwatch" For quite awhile now also. I had it and then my computer crashed and yep I never backed it up. So if this program is available, I would appreciate in finding out on how to get it. Stormwatch is a very good weather watch program," my opinion"! Thanks Jim > Date: Sun, 2 Aug 1998 10:31:42 -0500 > From: Derek Dodson > Subject: GetWx/StormWatch Programs? > > Derek Dodson > derekd@hcis.net > > If anyone can help locate the programmer for the programs GetWx and > StormWatch I would really appreciate it. The programs were posted in > Wx-Talk earlier this year. They were available for downloading free of > charge. > > If someone could send me the e-mail address of this person I would be > most grateful! > > Thanks A Bunch > > Derek Dodson > > ------------------------------ > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:54:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Beta 2 The next beta of RealEMWIN is available at http://norden1.com/~rdale/Scores/realemwin-b2.exe RealEMWIN uses the Internet to receive a realtime feed of NWS weather wire data products, from a link to the EMWIN/GOES satellites. Text can be viewed from the main screen or fed through Weathernode V4 software (RealEMWIN does not require any external software however -- just an option.) Alarms can be set to print, email or alert on receipt of products. Alarms will not be generated on duplicate products (many warnings are sent twice, Weathernode will actually alarm both times while RealEMWIN will only "re-alarm" if it is a corrected product.) Summary of the major Beta2 additions: - Email alarms - Purging old products - Improved error handling - A/V alarm now beeps and flashes the title bar For the next beta, expect graphical products, archiving, forwarding to APRS, automatic purging of old products and more... Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://norden1.com/~rdale rdale@norden1.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 08:30:13 -0700 From: Richard Van Dijk Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 The only stormwatch I found that gets close to your description can be found at: http://www.earthwatch.com/STORMWATCH/SWUS2D.html It doesn't appear to be a software package though, just a constantly updating web page. Good luck!! Richard Richard@pcez.com > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jim O'Donnell > Sent: Monday, August 03, 1998 5:50 AM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 > > > I have been looking for the program "Stormwatch" For quite awhile SNIP.... ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:26:58 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for Sale. Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Spring is over, but summer chasing in the north continues! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 10:45:03 -0500 From: "J. Christopher Clarke" Subject: Afternoon Obs in NW LA Did anyone else notice the obs over Northwest Louisiana on Friday afternoon? Barksdale was something like 104/36. Other area dew points were also quite low. Monroe, for example, had a dew point of 63, which is practically arid for these parts... :) Any thoughts... Chris Clarke ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 13:38:01 -0400 From: Jim O'Donnell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 That is the same program, runs on your computer as wallpaper and updates as you want it. Only thing is! Earthwatch doesn't know anything about it. And I can't remember where I got it. I was sure someone had the program, but it sure doesn't look like it.... Jim Richard Van Dijk wrote: > The only stormwatch I found that gets close to your > description can be found at: > http://www.earthwatch.com/STORMWATCH/SWUS2D.html > > It doesn't appear to be a software package though, just a constantly > updating web page. > > Good luck!! > > Richard > > Richard@pcez.com > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jim O'Donnell > > Sent: Monday, August 03, 1998 5:50 AM > > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > > Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1998 to 2 Aug 1998 > > > > > > I have been looking for the program "Stormwatch" For quite awhile > > SNIP.... ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 11:34:41 -0700 From: Richard Van Dijk Subject: A different observation... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 840 AM PDT MON AUG 3 1998 ...VOLCANIC DUST FROM MOUNT ST HELENS... A ROCKSLIDE IN THE CRATER OF MOUNT SAINT HELENS PRODUCED A CLOUD OF DUST THIS MORNING THAT ALSO CONTAINS VOLCANIC ASH. THIS PLUME OF DUST AND VOLCANIC DUST WAS SHOWN BY AIRCRAFT TO EXTEND TO ABOUT 9000 FEET THIS MORNING AND WAS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH. THE DUST WILL GRADUALLY DIFFUSE TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON TOWARD SOUTHERN CANADA. WITH NO ADDITIONAL ROCKSLIDES THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE PLUME WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH TODAY. WILLSON WSFO PDX In case anyone wants to know, St. Helens has been suffering from increased tremors, this landslide was probably triggered by one. Anyone wants to look at a mountain cam, here is the address: http://www.fs.fed.us./gpnf/mshnvm/volcanocam/ Richard Van Dijk Richard@pcez.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 13:59:36 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Flash flood in Korea Because we do some research with the Korean Meteorological Agency, I was alerted to the following (from news article dated Aug 2): SEOUL (AP)--Fresh rains turned mountain streams into raging torrents Monday, hampering the search for 65 people known missing in floods in South Korea. Forty-two bodies already have been recovered. Buffeted by a sudden rain shower, a rescue helicopter crashed in a rice paddy Monday, injuring five people. The national news agency, Yonhap, reported all five were in serious condition. The helicopter went down near scenic Mt. Chiri National Park, where all but eight of the dead and missing were lost or stranded by floods triggered by heavy rains Saturday. [deletia] A rain front moving east from China dumped up to 30 centimeters of rain in less than three hours early Saturday, engulfing hundreds of sleeping campers in flash floods in the park 220 kilometers south of Seoul. [deletia] Also Monday, President Kim Dae-jung ordered the Cabinet to revamp the nation's disaster warning system. Saturday's rains had not been forecast by the National Weather Service. -Keith -------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 01:38:58 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : MSNBC Says "Goodbye WSI" / Weather Tap / Un"Exciting" 3-D Weather [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org).] 1. MSNBC Says "Goodbye" To WSI At 5pm today MSNBC switched their Weather Maps and Links from WSI/Intellicast to AccuWeather. They have completely dropped WSI, who had been their Internet Weather Provider since MSNBC's inception. For the celebration AccuWeather has released new radar maps that are Internet-friendly, include cities, county borders, and are much more detailed than what we've seen before from them. In addition they have added US and Regional 24-Hour Precip Accumulation much like Intellicast's. Check it out: http://www.msnbc.com/news/WEA_Front.asp 2. WeatherTap Taps Away At Competition As you may have heard already, WeatherTap burst onto the Net this week offering Base Reflectivity and Loops for all Continental US Local NEXRADs at $5-$6/month. The images are from the Harris System ( http://www.hisd.harris.com/products/weather/ ) which Aviators may be familiar with. They also feature a number of other Aviation interest maps and one heck of a High Res Visible Satellite for the Southeast US. Competitors beware! http://www.weathertap.com/ 3. Un"Exciting" 3-D Weather Paul Britton tipped me off this week to the addition of a "3-D Weather" section to Excite Weather's page. It sounded cool but this is another Java app that will take a Pentium II to make any sense out of. Right off hand it looks like a four-day forecast with some backgrounds, possibly animated, I can't tell with my ancient P166 ;) http://www.excite.com/java_forecast/srch_index.dcg ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:09:39 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: [Fwd: [Ham-Software] Hurricane Tracking Software] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------9C65A289ED7447D008036AED Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit HI all this looks to be a VERY comprehensive program go to web page and make up your own mind..i am downloading it don -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 01 AUG 98 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My Weekly column http://www.datasync.com/skywarn JOIN THE SKYWARN WEBRING http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page --------------9C65A289ED7447D008036AED Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: by osh5 for darnold (with Cubic Circle's cucipop (v1.21 1997/08/10) Mon Aug 3 21:55:07 1998) X-From_: owner-ham-software@ns3.qth.net Mon Aug 3 21:28:39 1998 Return-Path: owner-ham-software@ns3.qth.net Received: from ns3.qth.net (majordom@NS3.qth.net [209.60.242.87]) by osh5.datasync.com (8.8.8/Datasync) with ESMTP id VAA03790; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 21:28:37 -0500 Received: (from majordom@localhost) by ns3.qth.net (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA17482 for ham-software-outgoing; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:28:21 -0400 X-Authentication-Warning: ns3.qth.net: majordom set sender to owner-ham-software@qth.net using -f Received: from x8.boston.juno.com (x8.BOSTON.juno.com [205.231.101.24]) by ns3.qth.net (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id WAA17479 for ; Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:28:20 -0400 Received: (from hyder@juno.com) by x8.boston.juno.com (queuemail) id DKR88NJR; Mon, 03 Aug 1998 22:17:40 EDT To: ham-software@qth.net Date: Mon, 3 Aug 1998 22:17:04 -0400 Subject: [Ham-Software] Hurricane Tracking Software Message-ID: <19980803.221704.10550.0.hyder@juno.com> X-Mailer: Juno 1.49 X-Juno-Line-Breaks: 0,2-4,6-10 From: hyder@juno.com (Jack W Hyder, Jr.) Sender: owner-ham-software@qth.net Precedence: bulk Reply-To: hyder@juno.com (Jack W Hyder, Jr.) Does any one have any recommendations for hurricane tracking software? I ran across "Tracking the Eye" a Windows95 program which is available at http://www.gencode.com It will connect to the Internet and download files with the latest storm coordinates and bulletins from the NWS. 73, Jack W4JH hyder@juno.com _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ---- Submissions: ham-software@qth.net --------------9C65A289ED7447D008036AED-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Aug 1998 to 3 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:26:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627616-1159>; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 13:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13212; Wed, 5 Aug 1998 00:08:24 -0500 Message-Id: <199808050508.AAA13212@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 00:02:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Aug 1998 to 4 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49956639236408b1de90f45d8e119848 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 220 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Get-Wx and Weather Explorer Program 2. alpha paging weather systems 3. The New Charlotte SKYWARN WebSite! 4. Paid Sites 5. birthday 6. MSNBC has no clue! 7. Atlantic Tropical Weather Center 8. the amazement continues... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:25:24 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Get-Wx and Weather Explorer Program For those interested: I found the following information in the April 7th issue of Wx-Talk: The latest version of the Weather Explorer is here! This technology is an outgrowth of the Digital Weatherman project - it automatically downloads over 30 different weather maps from the Internet, including all the "consumer" stuff from The Weather Channel, as well as selected SPC outlooks, MRFs, and lifted index maps, and updates them every 10 or 15 minutes, ensuring you always have the latest imagery. If I left any maps out, please let me know and I'll add it to the list J Features in the works: Add your own links to graphics Change update times To download, go to http://wats-ts4-12.ppp.iadfw.net/weather/ and scroll down to the "Weather Explorer" section. This information was sent from: Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 18:22:49 -0700 From: Ed Carp Subject: SOFTWARE: The Weather Explorer That is all the informaiton I have on the programs: Derek derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 07:37:31 +0000 From: Allan Aunkst Subject: alpha paging weather systems is there an internet weather service that provides weather warnings via an alpha pager ? -- Allan Aunkst ICQ # 7869683 fntenpin@fuse.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 10:59:19 -0400 From: gsellers Subject: The New Charlotte SKYWARN WebSite! Greetings to all, Please excuse the multiple postings but needed to distribute this info as widely as possible.. On August 1st, the Charlotte {NC} Area SKYWARN InterActive Website turned another page in it's history book! On that date, the website went "live" on it's new domain and URL address! YOU are cordially invited to check-out our new website at WWW.CLTSKYWARN.ORG ! We believe that you will find the new format and enhanced features on our site exciting and easier to use. We have spent most of this summer "fine tuning" our new site to make it easier to use and navigate. So, please take a moment or two and look over our new website. Afterwards, click on the "Contacting Us" button and send along your impressions, comments and/or suggestions. We would find it very helpful to us if you would comment on the ease of use and navigation around our website. Thanks in advance for your forthcoming visit and comments on THE NEW CHARLOTTE AREA SKYWARN InterActive WebSite! -- ***************************************************** 73 de Greg, WB4HRR/Charlotte NC AREA SKYWARN EC Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website! @: WWW.CLTSKYWARN.ORG The CLT Area SKYWARN Net utilizes the 145.35, WA4AOS rptr when activated! ***************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 11:04:55 -0400 From: Scott Cravens Subject: Paid Sites A lot of discussion lately on internet sites that charge a fee for their services. Anyone know of a site that offers more than just Nexrad Base Reflectivity such as Radial Velocity/etc? -- Scott -> Network Administrator -> Dept. of Ag & Resource Economics (CALS) -> 5-6095 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 12:08:37 -0700 From: Jason Barr Subject: birthday Hello all! I didn't have time to get on and send this yesterday, because I got the best birthday present I've gotten in a long time. (no, not sex) I got to sleep all day, after getting 2 or 3 hours a night for well over a month! Anyway, just wanted to let you all know that yesterday was my 18th birthday!!!! (you can send me cards and MONEY if you want ;-P) hehehe. Other birthdays today: Neil Armstrong, the first traffic light ever installed, Knights in White Satin by the Moody Blues, American Bandstand, and the Little Orphan Annie comic strip! Jason == Voom, va- VOOM! Chung, chung! Cracko Jacko! Riga- diga- dum! PAM PAM! - various Jets, West Side Story Act 1 Scene 1 You came with your pants open! - Pepe, Act 2 Scene 1 Gee, Officer Krupke, Krup you! - Jets, Act 2 Scene 2 _________________________________________________________ DO YOU YAHOO!? Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:44:21 -0500 From: Brian Motta Subject: MSNBC has no clue! I tried the MSNBC site and it had no imagery for anywhere near me. All of the images were "broken"...some people just don't know how good they had it (until it's gone). I hope Bill Gates didn't pay "too much" for this service. I'm amazed at the galactic #*#&#&* inability of the MSNBC weather site. I'm switching to the TWC site. All the TV people that I know are switching their wx links back to intellicast! Hopefully accuwx's debut will run it's course and the world's best weather information will return to MSNBC. This really makes me loose confidence in the whole MSNBC weather staff...how could they let this happen ?? I gonna go buy an Apple powerbook. :) Brian ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 20:35:34 -0600 From: Eric Blake Subject: Atlantic Tropical Weather Center I have updated the ATWC in time for the meat of the hurricane season and I encourage those who are looking for Atlantic tropical weather information to take a look at my site: http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html For those who have used my page(s) in the past, I have added some new products that I found while I was surfing the web over the preceding week. I now have scatterometer winds, updated satellite loops over the tropics that don't require a lousy mpeg viewer, new satellite sectors focusing on Puerto Rico and the Lesser Antilles, radar from San Juan, Puerto Rico....and many more interesting new links. Generally the new things are denoted by the purple hurricane symbol...but that isn't always the case. Thanks to the hundreds of people who have made suggestions and comments about the page in the past and have made this site one of the most popular Atlantic tropical weather sites on the web :) Please don't hesitate to contact me about any concern you may have.. Thanks again, Eric Blake CSU Graduate Student & Webmaster, Atlantic Tropical Weather Center http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html eblake@typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:38:55 -0500 From: Brian Motta Subject: the amazement continues... I was somewhat shocked to find that ABC, FOXnews, and CNN use ACCU-WX at their websites....and now we add MSNBC/NBC. So like, everyone must use accu-wx ?? Thankfully, CBS, the "tiffany network", has dropped accu-wx for TWC imagery. Seems like this big switch was completely uncoordinated with the local affiliates. Either that, or most of the locals still prefer WSI. One of those things that makes you go hmmm. Hmmm. Brian ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Aug 1998 to 4 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:27:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1134 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626715-26133>; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 13:12:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA61656; Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:06:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199808060506.AAA61656@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 00:01:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Aug 1998 to 5 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb04213bb402582a433d985af4c9bea5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 20 messages totalling 782 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Alpha paging weather systems 2. the amazement continues... 3. MSNBC 4. Severe criteria 5. Severe Criteria 6. 19980805: Unidata McIDAS Demonstration Machine 7. MSNBC has no clue! 8. I need YOUR help 9. BZN Dewpoints (7) 10. A Hole in Our Svr Wx Preparedness System (2) 11. WX-TALK Digest - 3 Aug 1998 to 4 Aug 1998 12. Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 07:18:51 -0400 From: "Beattie, Richard" Subject: Re: Alpha paging weather systems Yes there is. It's called WeatherPager, and is a service offered by Widespread Weather Services, Inc. I started service about a month ago, and it has kept me more than informed about current storm conditions, storm motion, as well as any watches or warnings. The service is totally customizable for any event (watch, warning, flood, tornado, t-storm, etc...). I have customizable zone coverage, which basically keeps me updated with almost everything about the weather in 10 counties which I select. There are many more options, however, such as nationwide coverage, and various packages, such as the storm chase package. You can set "off" times when they won't page you with anything, or you can have 24-hour coverage. It's cheap (I pay about $10 a month), and it works with any alphanumeric pager and any paging company. Their number is 1-800-845-0383, or visit them on the web at http://www.widespread.com. Hope this helps. Rich Beattie --- NE Ohio Storm Chaser ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:33:14 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: the amazement continues... Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 21:38:55 -0500 From: Brian Motta Subject: the amazement continues... > and now we add MSNBC/NBC. So like, everyone must use > accu-wx ?? Ummm... I don't think it's a global conspiracy dude, it's just a competitive marketplace. I don't think WSI or anybody is about to keel over because Accu has all the major news sites. From what I've seen Accu's business has always been very Media oriented. Now if the Weather Channel starts using the Accu feed *then* we get worried. ;) > Thankfully, CBS, the "tiffany network", has dropped accu-wx > for TWC imagery. Looks like they are up to grabs for me, they don't have any of their own weather, they just "steal" Weather.com stuff by reframing. If it's a contract it must be a very cheap (read:free) one. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 11:38:08 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: MSNBC Subject: MSNBC has no clue! > I tried the MSNBC site and it had no imagery for anywhere near me. Well it's not a very comprehensive (read:us-centric) site but unless you're outside Continental US they do >All of the images were "broken"... I didn't have any problems with those... I do generally *check* to make sure sites are *up* before I NetNews them ;) > some people just don't know how good they had > All the TV people that I know are > switching their wx links back to intellicast! Hopefully accuwx's debut Ummm... you ever noticed how bad the server performance is of Intellicast (maybe why MS left them)? Although it has been better lately, I for one am glad to have another backup. JF ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:48:56 -0400 From: "CARL F. OJALA" Subject: Severe criteria I've been following all the discussion on the criteria for severe weather with great interest. Everyone's comments from around the country are most inteesting. I was just wondering if anyone might agree with me that lightning should somehow be added to the list of criteria. i'm not sure, though, just how to do that. Maybe someone may have a comment or two?? Since we have access to the national ightning detection network, maybe so many CG strikes per unit of time or unit of area (say, a square mile or country??)? Just a thought - but I think lightning is important enough to consider adding it to the criteria for a severe storm event. Comments or discussion would be welcome. Thanks. Carl ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 10:13:58 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Re: Severe Criteria On Wed, 5 Aug 1998, CARL F. OJALA wrote: > I've been following all the discussion on the criteria for severe > weather with great interest. Everyone's comments from around the > country are most inteesting. I was just wondering if anyone might > agree with me that lightning should somehow be added to the list of > criteria. i'm not sure, though, just how to do that. Maybe someone > may have a comment or two?? > Since we have access to the national ightning detection network, > maybe so many CG strikes per unit of time or unit of area (say, > a square mile or country??)? > Just a thought - but I think lightning is important enough to > consider adding it to the criteria for a severe storm event. > Comments or discussion would be welcome. > Thanks. > Carl Scientists from the National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (M.I.T.); and the Marshall Space Flight Center have been looking into this matter over central Florida. Consult the following web site for more information. http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/ltgcenter/ltgmain.html Kennard (Chip) Kasper ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 08:57:17 -0600 From: Don Murray Subject: 19980805: Unidata McIDAS Demonstration Machine Hi- The Unidata McIDAS Demonstration Web server is back on line (mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu). We are sorry for any inconvenience this may have caused. Don Murray ************************************************************* Don Murray UCAR Unidata Program dmurray@unidata.ucar.edu P.O. Box 3000 (303) 497-8628 Boulder, CO 80307 ************************************************************* Unidata WWW Server http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ McIDAS Demonstration Machine http://mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu/ ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:28:39 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: MSNBC has no clue! Brian Motta wrote: > I'm amazed at the galactic #*#&#&* inability of the MSNBC > weather site. > > This really makes me loose confidence in the whole MSNBC > weather staff...how could they let this happen ?? > The 'MS' prefix should have been a dead givaway there. :-) Then again, The Media is tailored for the common public's consumption. An astute atmospheric scientist such as yourself will likely be let down by such watered_down content. > I gonna go buy an Apple powerbook. :) > That, sir, is a damn fine idea. Speaking from experience (under the condition of anonymity). To which Jesse Ferrrell of UNCA fame replied: >> All the TV people that I know are switching their wx links >> back to intellicast! > > Ummm... you ever noticed how bad the server performance is of > Intellicast (maybe why MS left them)? Although it has been > better lately, I for one am glad to have another backup. > I'm just gonna come out and say it -- I've always been dismayed with Intellicast's slow-ness. 'Tis a shame, for their 88D products look the best to my eye. "Service" is why I subscribe to a pay-per-view 88D scheme. Then again, maybe if one were to *pay* for Intellicast's services, perhaps the speed might be more to one's liking. Pure conjecture on my part... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 13:49:40 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: I need YOUR help We here at Nexlab are updating our storm chasing section with newly scanned pictures of storms and restraunts. However we can't remember where the Cattleman's Bar-B-Q House was located. We think in Oklahoma, or possibly northeast Texas. Please go look at this picture and see if you've been there before and then write me and tell us where it is. http://weather.cod.edu/chasing/pict/cattlemans.jpg Thanks for any help. -Jeff Mila -Nexlab ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 13:29:12 -0600 From: Allen Porter Subject: BZN Dewpoints WX-talkers: The following hourly readings from BZN airport (Bozeman, MT) are for August 4 and show a huge "dewpoint surge" during the day, with the dewpoint reaching 80. I've never seen a dewpoint here (elevation 4600) above about 63. Is this believable or another ASOS trick? If this is not correct, I hate to think about this data being recorded in perpetuity. temp dewpt rh 00:00 BELGRADE FAIR 64 54 70 CALM 30.43R 01:00 BELGRADE FAIR 62 54 75 NW5 30.43S 02:00 BELGRADE FAIR 59 55 87 SW8 30.42F 03:00 BELGRADE FAIR 58 54 87 CALM 30.43R 04:00 BELGRADE FAIR 54 53 96 W5 30.42F 05:00 BELGRADE FAIR 54 51 90 S6 30.43R 06:00 BELGRADE FAIR 51 49 93 S5 30.43S 07:00 BELGRADE FAIR 52 50 93 CALM 30.44R 08:00 BELGRADE FAIR 57 53 86 NE3 30.45R 09:00 BELGRADE FAIR 63 55 75 VRB3 30.45S 10:00 BELGRADE FAIR 67 57 70 VRB5 30.45S 11:00 BELGRADE FAIR 71 57 61 VRB3 30.44F 12:00 BELGRADE FAIR 76 64 66 VRB6 30.43F 13:00 BELGRADE FAIR 79 71 77 CALM 30.41F 14:00 BELGRADE FAIR 82 75 79 VRB5 30.39F 15:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 77 80 NW7 30.38F 16:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 79 85 CALM 30.36F HX 96 17:00 BELGRADE FAIR 85 71 63 NE6 30.35F 18:00 BELGRADE FAIR 86 71 61 N5 30.33F 19:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 80 88 N5 30.32F HX 97 20:00 BELGRADE FAIR 81 73 77 CALM 30.31F 21:00 BELGRADE FAIR 68 51 54 SE5 30.31 22:00 BELGRADE FAIR 64 53 67 S9 30.32R 23:00 BELGRADE FAIR 63 51 65 S12 30.32S Allen ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:02:31 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: BZN Dewpoints I'm inclined to think it's an error. 4600' is 1300 meters, so this is a 80-degree dewpoint at ~850 mb. Take that to the surface along a moist adiabat and you get a wetbulb around 90. Zoinks! Not very likely at all. I'd also think that _some_ kind of convective activity might have occurred between 19 and 20z when it dropped from 84/80 to 68/51!! I guess the only way to really know for sure is to have been in Bozeman on the 4th -- did it fell horribly humid? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > > The following hourly readings from BZN airport (Bozeman, MT) are for > August 4 and show a huge "dewpoint surge" during the day, with the > dewpoint reaching 80. I've never seen a dewpoint here (elevation 4600) > above about 63. Is this believable or another ASOS trick? If this is > not correct, I hate to think about this data being recorded in > perpetuity. > temp dewpt rh > 00:00 BELGRADE FAIR 64 54 70 CALM 30.43R > 01:00 BELGRADE FAIR 62 54 75 NW5 30.43S > 02:00 BELGRADE FAIR 59 55 87 SW8 30.42F > 03:00 BELGRADE FAIR 58 54 87 CALM 30.43R > 04:00 BELGRADE FAIR 54 53 96 W5 30.42F > 05:00 BELGRADE FAIR 54 51 90 S6 30.43R > 06:00 BELGRADE FAIR 51 49 93 S5 30.43S > 07:00 BELGRADE FAIR 52 50 93 CALM 30.44R > 08:00 BELGRADE FAIR 57 53 86 NE3 30.45R > 09:00 BELGRADE FAIR 63 55 75 VRB3 30.45S > 10:00 BELGRADE FAIR 67 57 70 VRB5 30.45S > 11:00 BELGRADE FAIR 71 57 61 VRB3 30.44F > 12:00 BELGRADE FAIR 76 64 66 VRB6 30.43F > 13:00 BELGRADE FAIR 79 71 77 CALM 30.41F > 14:00 BELGRADE FAIR 82 75 79 VRB5 30.39F > 15:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 77 80 NW7 30.38F > 16:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 79 85 CALM 30.36F HX 96 > 17:00 BELGRADE FAIR 85 71 63 NE6 30.35F > 18:00 BELGRADE FAIR 86 71 61 N5 30.33F > 19:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 80 88 N5 30.32F HX 97 > 20:00 BELGRADE FAIR 81 73 77 CALM 30.31F > 21:00 BELGRADE FAIR 68 51 54 SE5 30.31 > 22:00 BELGRADE FAIR 64 53 67 S9 30.32R > 23:00 BELGRADE FAIR 63 51 65 S12 30.32S > > Allen > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 15:36:51 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: BZN Dewpoints While I would agree that the observation looks suspect, I don't follow your logic here. Bozeman, I believe, is located at the surface (regardless of elevation). Therefore with a temp of 84 and a dewpoint of 80 the wet bulb temp ought to be ~ 82-83. given the influence of evapotranspiration on surface dewpoint readings, I'm not sure that really means anything. Also, there was no indication of a pressure change with the temp/dewpoint drop and no reported precip, so I wouldn't automatically assume convection occured. The wind does shift around to the south, so there may be some localized effects here as well. Just looked at the current observations for Bozeman, and the conditions are quite similar to yesterdays 85/81 at 19Z, 89/86 at 20Z! Winds light and northerly. Anyone have any insight to Bozeman's airport location... any mountains, lakes, etc near by? -Tim Scott Lindstrom wrote: > > I'm inclined to think it's an error. 4600' is 1300 meters, so this is a > 80-degree dewpoint at ~850 mb. Take that to the surface along a moist > adiabat and you get a wetbulb around 90. Zoinks! Not very likely at all. > I'd also think that _some_ kind of convective activity might have occurred > between 19 and 20z when it dropped from 84/80 to 68/51!! > > I guess the only way to really know for sure is to have been in Bozeman on > the 4th -- did it fell horribly humid? > > Scott > -- > Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, > scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist > http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > > > > The following hourly readings from BZN airport (Bozeman, MT) are for > > August 4 and show a huge "dewpoint surge" during the day, with the > > dewpoint reaching 80. I've never seen a dewpoint here (elevation 4600) > > above about 63. Is this believable or another ASOS trick? If this is > > not correct, I hate to think about this data being recorded in > > perpetuity. > > temp dewpt rh > > 00:00 BELGRADE FAIR 64 54 70 CALM 30.43R > > 01:00 BELGRADE FAIR 62 54 75 NW5 30.43S > > 02:00 BELGRADE FAIR 59 55 87 SW8 30.42F > > 03:00 BELGRADE FAIR 58 54 87 CALM 30.43R > > 04:00 BELGRADE FAIR 54 53 96 W5 30.42F > > 05:00 BELGRADE FAIR 54 51 90 S6 30.43R > > 06:00 BELGRADE FAIR 51 49 93 S5 30.43S > > 07:00 BELGRADE FAIR 52 50 93 CALM 30.44R > > 08:00 BELGRADE FAIR 57 53 86 NE3 30.45R > > 09:00 BELGRADE FAIR 63 55 75 VRB3 30.45S > > 10:00 BELGRADE FAIR 67 57 70 VRB5 30.45S > > 11:00 BELGRADE FAIR 71 57 61 VRB3 30.44F > > 12:00 BELGRADE FAIR 76 64 66 VRB6 30.43F > > 13:00 BELGRADE FAIR 79 71 77 CALM 30.41F > > 14:00 BELGRADE FAIR 82 75 79 VRB5 30.39F > > 15:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 77 80 NW7 30.38F > > 16:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 79 85 CALM 30.36F HX 96 > > 17:00 BELGRADE FAIR 85 71 63 NE6 30.35F > > 18:00 BELGRADE FAIR 86 71 61 N5 30.33F > > 19:00 BELGRADE FAIR 84 80 88 N5 30.32F HX 97 > > 20:00 BELGRADE FAIR 81 73 77 CALM 30.31F > > 21:00 BELGRADE FAIR 68 51 54 SE5 30.31 > > 22:00 BELGRADE FAIR 64 53 67 S9 30.32R > > 23:00 BELGRADE FAIR 63 51 65 S12 30.32S > > > > Allen > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:42:32 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: BZN Dewpoints > > Also, there was no indication of a pressure change with the > temp/dewpoint drop and no reported precip, so I wouldn't automatically > assume convection occured. The wind does shift around to the south, so > there may be some localized effects here as well. > It certainly looked to me like there was a rather dramatic airmass change. Maybe it's my midwestern bias, but when the dewpoint here drops 30 degrees in 2 hours, there is usually convection nearby!! Especially when you start with a Td near 80. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 16:16:31 -0600 From: Bob Weisman Subject: A Hole in Our Svr Wx Preparedness System Hi, WX-TALKers: I hope I'm not straying too far off track, but I'd like to make you aware of something I've only learned in the past year: there is a part of our population which is not receiving severe weather information. Have you noticed that almost all of the US weather warning system is dependent on audio. Sirens, weather radios (SAME or otherwise), and local radio stations all provide audio warnings. But, what about the deaf and hard-of-hearing community (D/HH), which comprise close to 10% of the US population? For these people, the only visual cue is the crawl on local TV stations or The Weather Channel. Plus, D/HH usually don't even see those because the closed captioning they use to view TV is also on the bottom of the screen. Some deaf people have told me that they use pagers (they can feel the vibration) which can be set to send out severe weather warnings. However, this causes the D/HH community to pay for something the rest of the country receives for free. (Yes, we have to shell out some bucks for a weather radio, but do you know how much hearing aids, phone flashers, teletypewriters, and other devices that D/HH use cost....often without insurance?) I have only become aware of this problem as I have been trying to learn sign language from teachers with deaf family members during the past year so that I can improve communication with my HH daughter and her friends. I am partially writing this note, since many of you on the list work in the NWS, Civil Defense, or in the broadcast field and you, like I, may not be aware of the problem. I would also appreciate suggestions on how to solve this problem. Does anyone know of any solutions found elsewhere around the country? A suggestion made by the D/HH community in Minnesota is to move the TV severe weather crawl to the top of the picture, but I don't know if the technology can be programmed to do this with the current systems used by local stations. Another idea is to use a service we have in Minnesota which allows a voice caller to call a TTY system....the operator gets the message from the speaking person and types it to the TTY user and vice versa. This system could be used to transmit all severe weather warnings to all TTY systems in the county being warned. Any other suggestions people have would be welcome. Currently, I am working with the Minnesota Department of Human Services and trying to get the attention of the political system so that something can be done. At annual regional meetings statewide, the D/HH community rated the lack of severe weather information available to them the #1 problem on their minds. Sorry for the length. Thanks for the attention. If nothing else, please spread the word about this issue so more people become aware of the problem. I find it really scary when VP Gore recently urged all Americans to buy a SAME weather radio as our best defense for severe weather. ============================================================================= Bob Weisman, Professor/Meteorologist SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 6) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 MS 48 FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud State University EMAIL: scsweisman@tigger. 720 4th Avenue South stcloudstate.edu Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 (more 1998 census data) Number of surgeries performed by Shirley since her surgery: 3 per day (approx.) Number of times anesthesia applied by Shirley to Dad since her surgery: 10 per day (approx.) Percent of times gas mask put over Dad's mouth after Dad said something Shirley didn't want to hear: 100% (not approx.) Number of shots given to Dad per day: 5 Number of shots given to Dad in unorthodox place (cheek, teeth, etc.): 4 Justification for unnecessary medical procedures: a. I'm the doctor 25% b. I'm your mom 25% c. I'm the queen of the world 50% =============================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 16:20:21 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: BZN Dewpoints I'm sorry... I guess I wasn't clear there. I wasn't trying to dismiss your statement that convection probably had occured. Looking at the obs, though, I couldn't help but wonder if there weren't other possibilities. Given the lack of frontal boundaries in the area, I was wondering what possible local effects might have been at play. Also, I just plotted up the 20Z obs for Montana... Bozeman reports a dewpoint of 86 while the rest of the state is reporting dewpoints in the mid 40's and mid 50's. Looks like a sensor problem to me (or a very localized effect!!). -Tim Scott Lindstrom wrote: > > > > > Also, there was no indication of a pressure change with the > > temp/dewpoint drop and no reported precip, so I wouldn't automatically > > assume convection occured. The wind does shift around to the south, so > > there may be some localized effects here as well. > > > > It certainly looked to me like there was a rather dramatic airmass change. > Maybe it's my midwestern bias, but when the dewpoint here drops 30 degrees > in 2 hours, there is usually convection nearby!! Especially when you > start with a Td near 80. > > Scott > -- > Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, > scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist > http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:20:27 -0400 From: Jim O'Donnell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Aug 1998 to 4 Aug 1998 Is this the correct address??? I have tried to go there and nothing. Won't go...But I will keep trying just to make sure. Unless I hear otherwise. Jim > > > Date: Tue, 4 Aug 1998 00:25:24 -0500 > From: Derek Dodson > Subject: Get-Wx and Weather Explorer Program > > For those interested: > > I found the following information in the April 7th issue of Wx-Talk: > > The latest version of the Weather Explorer is here! This technology is > an > outgrowth of the Digital Weatherman project - it automatically downloads > > over 30 different weather maps from the Internet, including all the > "consumer" stuff from The Weather Channel, as well as selected SPC > outlooks, > MRFs, and lifted index maps, and updates them every 10 or 15 minutes, > ensuring you always have the latest imagery. If I left any maps out, > please > let me know and I'll add it to the list J > > Features in the works: > > Add your own links to graphics > Change update times > > To download, go to http://wats-ts4-12.ppp.iadfw.net/weather/ and scroll > down > to the "Weather Explorer" section. > > This information was sent from: > Date: Mon, 6 Apr 1998 18:22:49 -0700 > From: Ed Carp > Subject: SOFTWARE: The Weather Explorer > > That is all the informaiton I have on the programs: > > Derek > derekd@hcis.net > > ------------------------------ > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 15:43:53 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: A Hole in Our Svr Wx Preparedness System In message <01J0916Q39AA003349@TIGGER.STCLOUDSTATE.EDU>, Bob Weisman writes: >Have you noticed that almost all of the US weather warning system >is dependent on audio. Sirens, weather radios (SAME or otherwise), >and local radio stations all provide audio warnings. But, what about >the deaf and hard-of-hearing community (D/HH), which comprise close >to 10% of the US population? FWIW, the RS SAME radio does have visual alerts, plus an alarm out port that can be connected to an external alerting unit. Granted that still means an extra cost, put I would suspect the radio could be wired to an existing phone flasher-type unit. William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 16:52:23 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: BZN Dewpoints Are the obs you posted in UTC or local time? Also, are you at MSU in Bozeman? If so, what's your opinion on this. I'd agree with your origional opinion that if this is bad data, it's a shame it's making it's way into analyses and climate records as "real". Especially given that it seems to be happening again today, and it wasn't an isolated incident. Sorry to take up so much bandwidth... but being stuck in flat west Texas, the thought of cool mountain breezes is a nice change of pace! We have finally gotten some decent rain over the past couple of days, though! -Tim Allen Porter wrote: > > >Just looked at the current observations for Bozeman, and the conditions > >are quite similar to yesterdays 85/81 at 19Z, 89/86 at 20Z! Winds > >light and northerly. Anyone have any insight to Bozeman's airport > >location... any mountains, lakes, etc near by? > > Broad mountain valley, surrounded by 10,000+ foot peaks. The cool > breezes and rapid radiation cooling really reduce the evening temps. > There were no visible convective events yesterday. > > Allen ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 17:22:37 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: BZN Dewpoints > > Are the obs you posted in UTC or local time? Also, are you at MSU in > Bozeman? If so, what's your opinion on this. I'd agree with your > origional opinion that if this is bad data, it's a shame it's making > it's way into analyses and climate records as "real". Especially given > that it seems to be happening again today, and it wasn't an isolated > incident. It seems to be a problem with the sensor. Don't worry too much about it affecting analyses, etc. All operational models have quality control algorithms to detect such things going back to the days when there would be typos from people sending data on the old FAA teletype system (errors in reports are not new to ASOS). NCDC has similar procedures for detecting errors. -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 01:12:38 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning Hi folks, need some help on interpreting a radar phenomenon that I saw this morning. Maybe I've not been looking at clear-air radars enough in the morning, but I swear I've seen my share of ground clutter, AP, "bullseyes", "spikes," birds, gust fronts and whatnot in my day but this one I hadn't. I'm fascinated by the kind of things that the 88-D's pick up, so please bear with me. Basically we're talking "explosions" (for lack of a better term) of low-dbZ data taking place at a location away from the center of the radar site. Seen on Ref. Tilts 1-4 (weaker on 4) and Velocity as well, Clear Air or Precip. Happening in the same place, at the same time (just before 11Z) as seen by different radars. Takes about 2 hours from formation to expansion and dissipation. It started when I woke up this morning and checked WeatherTap for ILM to see if my relatives were going to be rained out on their beach day today at Long Beach NC (not to far from the ILM radar as a matter of fact). Not much was going on, then I saw the "explosion" happen near Wilmington. I checked CHS to make sure I wasn't seeing something wrong with ILM but it showed the same. CAE confirmed and GSP confirmed CAE. The best example (GSP this morning) loads on the page, and there are links to other sites and other radar products (r1,r2,r3,r4,v1,cr). I also have some individual products from 10:58Z for GSP and the stills of all the animations if you need them. Notice on the GSP the "explosions" to the SE, WSW, and NE of the radar. These are what I am talking about. In the "regional" directory, the first image shows the WSI Regional which shows a number of these circles throughout the SE US (although WSI's Quality Control Program wiped some of them out). Whatever it is, it's a good example of it. Here's the URL where I posted the loops: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/temp/radarwhat/ Thanks! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Aug 1998 22:42:55 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning Those "explosions" are known as ring angels (or bird-bursts). They are caused by roosting birds (crows, starlings, etc.) departing in the morning just before sunrise. The radar really picks these things up well in the morning because the radar beam is (usually) bent more towards the earth surface, thereby allowing this low-level phenomenon to be detected at further ranges. For further reading, I would suggest Eastwood's 1967 text "Radar Ornithology". Karl ******************************************************* * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * * "I wonder what goes through a dog's mind when he * * sees us peeing in his water bowl." - Penny W. Moser * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Aug 1998 to 5 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:28:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1701 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-12085>; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 13:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21600; Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:06:41 -0500 Message-Id: <199808070506.AAA21600@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 00:00:32 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Aug 1998 to 6 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 892c3abc5dddf484dcdec38d5cc229b6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 374 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning (2) 2. Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning - web resource (2) 3. Palm Weatherguide 4. Hurricane Roundtable Broadcast Live 5. ltg "warnings" 6. birds 7. birds and radar (2) 8. Landfall predictions by Dr. Gray 9. Funnel Cloud damage? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:26:23 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning > From: Karl Werner Schulze > Those "explosions" are known as ring angels (or bird-bursts). Cool. That was my first thought but I didn't think that they could be perfectly circular. Like the Pepsi commercial ;) I guess I should take further questions to alt.birdwatching, like why do they take off in a perfect circle and why all at the same time? I could set my watch to those babies. They were picked up well into the Tilt 4 (which would normally be about 25,000 feet). Are they really that high or is it just the bending of the radar beam causing it to pick that up? Is there any rule of thumb to change the normal Height vs. Range relationship for these kind of morning conditions? I appreciate the external reference. When investigating this yesterday I searched for web sites on "birds on radar" but no one mentioned circles and the only example image I found was a blob. Well, no more... I'll spruce up this web page and submit it to the search engines so the next person who wonders can know. If anyone else can find any additional documentation specifically about these "bird-bursts" please let me know. Thanks again. Well I guess I can call Mulder and Scully off the case now... Or can I ;) "Scully, there are birds everywhere!" ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 09:38:33 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning - web resource Thanks to Joe Conklin: http://sac.wbgm.noaa.gov/birds/birds.htm 'Nuff said... This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "You're caught up in the Internet, You think it's such a great asset, but you're wrong, wrong, wrong!" --Jimmy Buffett || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 11:21:06 -0400 From: Susan Lang Subject: Palm Weatherguide For those of you weather fans who also have an interest in 3-Com Palm Pilot applications, a new product from Precision Navigation (www.precisionnav.com) may appeal to you. The product is a snap-on weather-sensing module that turns your Palm Pilot into a portable weather station, tracking barometric pressure, temperature and relative humidity. The Palm Weatherguide is currently under review with a tentative 9/98 release date. Visit the website for more info and updates. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 13:16:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Hurricane Roundtable Broadcast Live August 6, 1998 -- The Hurricane Damage Prevention Roundtable announced earlier this week will be broadcast live via satellite tomorrow, August 7 from 12:00 noon until 2:00 pm EDT. Satellite Coordinates: C-Band KU-Band Galaxy 6 SBS6 Transponder 9 Transponder 9 The audio feed will also be available live from 12:30 p.m. until 1:30 p.m. EDT via the FEMA website linked from the homepage at http://www.fema.gov. The direct URL connection will be http://www.fema.gov/impact/im_liv.htm At the roundtable, FEMA Director James Lee Witt will highlight the progress that government, businesses and private citizens, in partnership, are making to prevent the economic loss, damages, injuries, and deaths that result from hurricanes and other natural disasters. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 13:57:35 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: ltg "warnings" The other day, Carl wrote: I have been following all the discussion on the criteria for severe weather with great interest. All the comments from around the country are very interesting. I was just wondering if anyone might agree with me that lightning should somehow be added to the list of criteria. I'm not sure, though, just how to do that. Maybe someone may have a thought or two?? Since we have access to the national lightning detection network, maybe so many CG strikes per unit of time or unit of area (say, a square mile or county??)? Just a thought - but I think lightning is important enough to consider adding it to the criteria for a severe storm event. Comments or discussion would be welcome. Thanks. *** This is already being done at the NWS in Melbourne FL (We cover East Central Florida). If lightning (cloud to ground) exceeds a certain criteria (>12 CGs per minute) for a given storm (as measured via the NLDN network), then a "special" short term forecast is issued highlighting the lightning threat for that county(ies). Our homepage IIANM, discusses more about this lightning short term forecast...http://www.nwsmlb.fit.edu. At this time I do not know exactly where it is located within the hompepage, but you might want to first look under the AMU section. More on this topic will be discussed at the 19th Severe Local Storms conference. Take care Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:06:10 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: birds Jesse What you are defining as "explosions" are actually birds taking off in the morning from their nightime roosting areas. We see this all the time on our radar here at the NWS in MLB FL. Take care Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 14:35:06 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning At 09:26 AM 8/6/98 GMT, Jesse Ferrell wrote: >I guess I should >take further questions to alt.birdwatching, like why do they take off >in a perfect circle and why all at the same time? I could set my >watch to those babies. The circle is "perfect" under low wind conditions. As the wind increases, the circle will be distorted with the downwind portion stretching out further away from the center. If the wind speed gets to the point that no bird wants to fly with that headwind, they won't and the departure looks more like an arc. Also, the birds take off just prior to sunrise.....so it isn't the same exact time for the whole year. One more fascinating bird-burst fact: Ornithologists have shown that there can be many separate, distinct departures (every 10 minutes or so) from the roost. What is seen on radar then are many circles and on a loop it resembles throwing a pebble into a placid lake (many waves moving away from the center). >They were picked up well into the Tilt 4 (which would normally be >about 25,000 feet). Are they really that high or is it just the >bending of the radar beam causing it to pick that up? Is there any >rule of thumb to change the normal Height vs. Range relationship for >these kind of morning conditions? Where *exactly* the beam is is the $10,000 question, and it depends on the strength of the inversion. The birds departing from the roost are flying to their feeding areas nearby, and their altitude is certainly never more than a couple thousand feet above ground. Another reference that mentions this phenomenon briefly is a paper by Larkin in the 1991 AMS Radar Conference Preprints. Karl ******************************************************* * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * * "I wonder what goes through a dog's mind when he * * sees us peeing in his water bowl." - Penny W. Moser * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:32:31 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning - web resource Interesting discussion about birds on radar! My question is, where the hell are these birds going? It looks like they're traversing up to two or more entire counties...is food that hard to find? I recall (while living in The Commonwealth of Virgina) seeing huge flocks of birds swooping around marshy areas around sunset; I figured they were getting a last mosquito_snack before bedtime. Do bird signatures ever show up around dusk (when they return to the roosting areas)? Now what I'd *really* like to know is whether these are really mosquitoes emerging around sunset: http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb/clear_air.html -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 17:51:44 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: birds and radar At 10:32 PM 8/6/98 +0000, Scott Bachmeier wrote: >Interesting discussion about birds on radar! Yeah.....it woke me up from my WX-BLAB hibernation..... >My question is, >where the hell are these birds going? It looks like they're >traversing up to two or more entire counties...is food that hard >to find? Having lived next to a small roost of crows (just outside my @#$^@%^ bedroom window) during my undergrad days at NIU, I can tell you that crows like to hang out in a large grove of trees as their roosting location. However, they feed on corn fields that can be some distance from the forest..... Every morning, they would create a bunch of racket and take off. How far they fly depends on where the good fields are. I'm not sure why they would pass up on the nearest crops for ones further away.....but they appear to do that without hesitation. The bird equivalent of a morning jog, perhaps? >I recall (while living in The Commonwealth of Virgina) seeing >huge flocks of birds swooping around marshy areas around sunset; >I figured they were getting a last mosquito_snack before >bedtime. Do bird signatures ever show up around dusk (when they >return to the roosting areas)? The opposite of a bird-burst (a bird-squish?!) is not seen for a couple of reasons. First off, a strong inversion isn't usually present in the late afternoon and that is necessary to detect the low-flying birds away from the radar. The second reason is that the return to the roost isn't as well organized as the departure (within all the birds leaving within minutes). >Now what I'd *really* like to know is whether these are really >mosquitoes emerging around sunset: Given the time of year (late August), I'd have to suspect (strongly) that those targets are actually migrating birds (passerines, or song birds). The only way to tell for sure is to look at the velocity data and compare it to the known wind field. The birds can fly at speeds of 30-50 knots, so the velocity display (and the VWP algorithm) will be at odds to what the radiosondes are saying! The same type of phenomenon can be seen here in Texas, with the birds not flying over the gulf (allowing the coastline of Texas to be seen in the reflectivity display). Gee.....guess what my thesis is about?! :-D Karl ******************************************************* * Karl Werner Schulze Ham Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * * "I wonder what goes through a dog's mind when he * * sees us peeing in his water bowl." - Penny W. Moser * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 18:55:14 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Landfall predictions by Dr. Gray hi try this one out..actual predictions of landfalls don http://www.foxnews.com/js_index.sml?content=/scitech/080698/hurricanes.sml -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 01 AUG 98 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My Weekly column http://www.datasync.com/skywarn JOIN THE SKYWARN WEBRING http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 20:22:53 EDT From: Roy Spencer Subject: Re: birds and radar OK...maybe I'm a little slow...but why do the bird reflections appear as circles that expand outward with time? Do all of the birds sleep in the radar dome before heading off to work in the morning? 8>) Roy Spencer NASA/MSFC (50% responsible for the global cooling hysteria) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Aug 1998 22:46:38 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Funnel Cloud damage? Wouldn't this be better classified as a tornado? ** WWUS30 070240 *** LSRGRR PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1039 PM EDT THU AUG 6 1998 TIME(EDT) ...EVENT/REMARKS... 0745 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 08/06/98 MINOR DAMAGE TO A POLE BARN. 8 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS DOWN. NOTIFIED OF DAMAGE AT 1015 PM EDT. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Aug 1998 to 6 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2544 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-3391>; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 13:07:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62678; Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:06:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199808080506.AAA62678@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:01:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Aug 1998 to 7 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ebedd8fdc4687bb42e2cc01ed640eaca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 221 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NASA Scientists to Hold Media Briefing on Upcoming Hurricane Research 2. Newport, RI Water Temps, Jellyfish, and Tropical Storms 3. Birds...uh not really! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 13:19:21 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NASA Scientists to Hold Media Briefing on Upcoming Hurricane Research David E. Steitz Headquarters, Washington, DC August 7, 1998 (Phone: 202/358-1730) Tim Tyson Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL (Phone: 256/544-0994) George Diller Kennedy Space Center, FL (Phone: 407/867-2468) NOTE TO EDITORS: N98-51 NASA SCIENTISTS TO HOLD MEDIA BRIEFING ON UPCOMING HURRICANE RESEARCH NASA researchers and two of the nation's leading hurricane scientists will brief the media on upcoming research to look into the nature of hurricanes and tropical storms. The briefing will be held at the press site of NASA's Kennedy Space Center, FL, on Wednesday, Aug. 12, at 1 p.m. EDT. With an aim to improve hurricane and tropical storm predictions on the ground and to better understand the nature of these weather systems, two NASA research aircraft will take to the skies -- collecting very high- altitude information above and in Atlantic storms. Briefing participants will be: Dr. Ramesh Kakar Earth Science Program Manager, NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC Ms. Robbie Hood Lead Mission Scientist, Global Hydrology and Climate Center, Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL Dr. Ed Zipser Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, Field Campaign Lead, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX Dr. Frank Marks Field Program Director, Hurricane Research Division, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Miami, FL A tour of the two NASA Dryden Flight Research Center aircraft -- a DC-8 and ER-2 -- will be available to media on Aug. 12 at 3 p.m. EDT at Patrick Air Force Base, FL. Media wishing to tour the planes should report to the main gate of Patrick AFB to be escorted to the aircraft hangar. Other organizations participating in the hurricane and tropical storm study will include: * NASA's Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA * NASA's Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA * NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD * NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA * NASA's Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA * NASA's Wallops Flight Facility, Wallops Island, VA * National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Aircraft Operations Center, MacDill Air Force Base, Tampa, FL * Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge * University of Wisconsin, Madison * Texas A&M University, College Station * University of Maryland, Baltimore The briefing will be carried live on NASA TV with two-way question-and-answer capability for media covering the event from participating NASA Centers. NASA Television is broadcast on the GE-2 satellite, located on Transponder 9C, at 85 degrees West longitude, vertical polarization, frequency 3880.0 Mhz, audio 6.8 MHz. -end- * * * NASA press releases and other information are available automatically by sending an Internet electronic mail message to domo@hq.nasa.gov. In the body of the message (not the subject line) users should type the words "subscribe press-release" (no quotes). The system will reply with a confirmation via E-mail of each subscription. A second automatic message will include additional information on the service. NASA releases also are available via CompuServe using the command GO NASA. To unsubscribe from this mailing list, address an E-mail message to domo@hq.nasa.gov, leave the subject blank, and type only "unsubscribe press-release" (no quotes) in the body of the message. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 19:19:57 -0400 From: Jon Porter Subject: Newport, RI Water Temps, Jellyfish, and Tropical Storms This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_000F_01BDC238.5D3EDD40 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Hello Everyone.. =20 My family and I went to 2nd Beach in Newport, RI today and could not = believe the temperature of the warm being as warm as it was. I would = say that the temperature was at least 70 F. In addition to the unusual = warm water temperature..there were many, many jellyfish. There were so = many that it was almost hard to swim without running into a small = jellyfish. Look at an AP news article on the jellyfish at: =20 http://www.globe.com/dailynews/wirehtml/219/Jump_in_jellyfish_numbers_pro= ve_a_p.shtml =20 The warm water brings another concern on my part. Usually as tropical = storms or hurricanes approach Southern New England, they encounter much = cooler waters..but this year the water is warm and if a Tropical = Storm/Hurricane approached it might be able to retain its intensity. =20 Any comments on this from anyone else? =20 Thanks, Jon Porter=20 ------=_NextPart_000_000F_01BDC238.5D3EDD40 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Hello Everyone..
 
My family and I went to 2nd Beach in Newport, RI = today and=20 could not believe the temperature of the warm being as warm as it = was.  I=20 would say that the temperature was at least 70 F.  In addition to = the=20 unusual warm water temperature..there were many, many jellyfish.  = There=20 were so many that it was almost hard to swim without running into a = small=20 jellyfish.  Look at an AP news
article on the jellyfish at:
 
http://www.globe.com/dailynews/wirehtml/219/Jump_in= _jellyfish_numbers_prove_a_p.shtml
 
The warm water brings another concern on my = part. =20 Usually as tropical storms or hurricanes approach Southern New England, = they=20 encounter much cooler waters..but this year the water is warm and if a = Tropical=20 Storm/Hurricane approached it might be able to retain its=20 intensity.
 
Any comments on this from anyone else?
 
Thanks,

Jon=20 Porter 
------=_NextPart_000_000F_01BDC238.5D3EDD40-- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 00:46:45 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: Birds...uh not really! Jesse --I'm not Service J !!-- Ferrell said: Hi folks, need some help on interpreting a radar phenomenon that I saw this morning. Maybe I've not been looking at clear-air radars enough in the morning, but I swear I've seen my share of ground clutter, AP, "bullseyes", "spikes," birds, gust fronts and whatnot in my day but this one I hadn't. I'm fascinated by the kind of things that the 88-D's pick up, so please bear with me. Whatever it is, it's a good example of it. Here's the URL where I posted the loops: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/temp/radarwhat/ Now we all thought it was birds. Um that was right over me..so I have to let the cat out of the bag. UH, I hate to tell you but it was the 5 Allsups Burritos I ate with the special sauce that I had aved from my early June Texas Panhandle vacation. I uh don't think I 'll ever be the same! Talk about some GUST front!!! Powell (who wants to open an Allsups EAST!) s --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Aug 1998 to 7 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:29:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626274-29922>; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 13:06:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA61494; Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:05:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199808090505.AAA61494@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 00:00:48 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Aug 1998 to 8 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f30c74757ed9824f93a54b32b04c116f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 108 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. skywarn/canwarn severe weather spotter class web page 2. Newport RI, Warm Water Temps, Jellyfish and Tropical Storms 3. Plainfield Tornado 4. printing difax on IE4.0 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 10:51:32 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: skywarn/canwarn severe weather spotter class web page hi, the skywarn/canwarn severe weather spotter class web page is back online after suffering a server shut down. i have aquired my own domain so things like this won't happen again. http://www.n9npp.com -though the spotter class page is back i have not had time to go through and change over all the links. allow me to do this as time permits. around 90 individule pages were affected by this incident. ============= make a bookmark classes: old= www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm new= http://www.n9npp.com/spotter.htm ============= as for webmasters who are using my pop-up menu for the 50 states you have probably noticed that none of the links work. i will have to post new html code for the new changes. or if you are able to do it yourself you can try. go in and replace all with . ============ for the nws, skywarn groups, and individules, who were forwarding class schedules to me please make note of this email address change, i will try to go through my records and send updates for those who don't read this. old= united@axnet.com new= n9npp@n9npp.com ============ skywarn chat hasn't changed http://mercury.beseen.com/chat/rooms/h/5826/ =========== skywarn message board is still there to http://venus.beseen.com/boardroom/g/16073/ =========== everything will be back to normal before *next* training season (note: except fulton co il who trains all year round) thank you, matt/n9npp http://www.n9npp.com |||||||||||||||||||||| THE hamCAM http://www.n9npp.com/webcam.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 16:05:51 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Newport RI, Warm Water Temps, Jellyfish and Tropical Storms Jon, Hurricanes and Tropical Storms need at least 80 degree water temperatures to retain their tropical characteristics. However, the warm waters here up north in the Atlantic may keep the hurricane or tropical storm from weakening too soon. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Aug 1998 21:17:53 -0500 From: BIll Murray Subject: Plainfield Tornado I am interested learning more about the 1990 Plainfield IL Tornado. I have read references that there was a breakdown in the warning system. Was there a Natural Disaster Survey Report completed or some type of other investigation. Where might I find a copy of that? Any othee research related web sites? Any personal observations from the group? Is there an archive on the web of Natural Disaster Survey Reports? Thanks for any help. Bill Murray wsource@traveller.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Aug 1998 23:02:08 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: printing difax on IE4.0 I imagine someone has already solved this problem...least I hope so... When I upgraded to WIN 98 and IE 4.0 my browser automatically incorporated tiff images..making it easy to see the NWS Difax charts...unfortunately...when I try to print them now I get only black pages..before my upgrade ..wang imaging worked great...anyone got a fix for this bug?? Dan _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Aug 1998 to 8 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:30:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627268-6762>; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 13:15:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40064; Mon, 10 Aug 1998 00:11:50 -0500 Message-Id: <199808100511.AAA40064@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 00:04:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Aug 1998 to 9 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6bfa214a009535796d7f501cff8db13d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 67 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New Oakfield Wisconsin Tornado Damage Photo's 2. WX-TALK Digest - 7 Aug 1998 to 8 Aug 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 18:45:38 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: New Oakfield Wisconsin Tornado Damage Photo's The bad news is I've just learned way, way, way, too much about 30 bit color optical scanners and thumbnailed .jpg images than I ever really wanted to know. The good news is that I was able to add never before published damage photos from the Oakfield Wisconsin F5 tornado disaster of July 18, 1996 to my SFTS! web site at, http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp/oakfield.html These pictures were taken two days after the Oakfield tornado by my good friends Jim KB9KBK and Phil KB9KEE. My thanks for their consideration and legwork in obtaining these photos. Please stop by and take a look! ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 9 Aug 1998 23:19:48 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Aug 1998 to 8 Aug 1998 >I am interested learning more about the 1990 Plainfield IL Tornado. I >have read references that there was a breakdown in the warning system. >Was there a Natural Disaster Survey Report completed or some type of >other investigation. Where might I find a copy of that? Any othee >research related web sites? Any personal observations from the group? > >Is there an archive on the web of Natural Disaster Survey Reports? > >Thanks for any help. > >Bill Murray >wsource@traveller.com NCDC has some disaster reports at their site in PDF format. I pulled down the FSM report from there. All of them are not there however. Chicago WFO should have a copy of that report as well as the Central Region and NWS. And yes there was some contraversy over that storm and the warnings as I recall. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Aug 1998 to 9 Aug 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2862 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-2424>; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52042; Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:04:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199808110504.AAA52042@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Aug 1998 to 10 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 26006616cbb146bea71ef8770cad61ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 374 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK (plainfield, il TOR) 2. Step Leader on video last evening! 3. Hole In Severe Weather Preparedness 4. NWS Taking comments on Radar Collection (2) 5. NOAA Statement about the '98 Hurricane Season 6. TAKE THE NEXRAD SURVEY/FREE Radar Data Offer 7. Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 00:02:12 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: WX-TALK (plainfield, il TOR) at the advanced spotter seminar that the college of dupage, il puts on, back in 1993 or 92 they passed out an info sheet to show actual words and abreviations that the nws used. it just so happened that the example they passed so they said or so i heard, was the convective outlook for that very day. i still have all my folders and handouts from all the seminars. if the tornado happened on 8/28/90 then take a look at the outlook for that day. ive uploaded it to my server for you to see. ill leave it there for a few days. http://members.xoom.com/united12345/august281990.gif i had to scan it in as a gif. with all those abreviations ocr'ing was out of the question matt/n9npp Paul Pettit wrote: > >I am interested learning more about the 1990 Plainfield IL Tornado. I > >have read references that there was a breakdown in the warning system. > >Was there a Natural Disaster Survey Report completed or some type of > >other investigation. Where might I find a copy of that? Any othee > >research related web sites? Any personal observations from the group? > > > >Is there an archive on the web of Natural Disaster Survey Reports? > > > >Thanks for any help. > > > >Bill Murray > >wsource@traveller.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 04:42:59 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Step Leader on video last evening! Was in my usual favorite spotting location yesterday watching a thunderstorm to the southwest of town about 6pm, I set up my video camera to get a few bolts of lightning on tape, and to get the structure of the storm permanently on tape for possible training use some time in the future. Looking at the video in slow motion afterwards, I noticed that at 6:25pm a forked bolt appeared. First run in normal speed, didn't notice anything unusual. First the forked bolt which disappeared, followed a second later by usual now connected main bolt going to the ground in the distance. But when I looked at it in slow motion, I saw what I at first thought to be a lens reflection on the ground about 20 feet from where the camera was set up, off to the left a bit. In subsequent slow-mo runs, though, I came to the conclusion that this was not a lens reflection. The forked branch was of normal brightness. But the return stroke was much brighter, and followed the same initial track and in the same place, of course, as the initial branch stroke where the "reflection" appeared. But, in the brighter return stroke, there was no lens reflection at all. This "reflection" went straight up from the grassy ground in front of the camera by about a foot, then bent 45 degrees upward to the left and terminated in the air. It disappeared when the branch disappeared, and did not reappear during any of the subsequent return strokes. (There were four, the first three being probably of not enough brightness to even make any lens reflection visible, though.) But the last stroke was extremely bright, and if there were going to be a lens reflection, there should have been one then. There was none. I am concluding that this "lens reflection" was actually a step leader eminating from -- of all strangest of things considering what was around me -- a blade of grass in a patch in front of the camera. Now, what hits me as so awesome is the fact that not twenty feet south of the camera were two metal vehicles: mine and a fellow spotter's. Mine had three antennas on it. My friend's had one. As well, there had to have been at LEAST twenty tall lamps around to light the parking lot at night. Then factor in all the many metal vehicles also sitting in the parking lot at the time. And you have to wonder.....Why did it pick such an odd, low, isolated and random thing as a blade of GRASS amongst all of that? I never expected in my life to actually capture something ike this on my own videotape. But I am totally blown away by it. It's so awesome. 1) That thing was but about twenty feet from us, and had it connected... So I learned yet another something about lightning, today. The five mile rule shouldn't ever be considered a guarantee of safety in the least. Better than closer. And I estimated that I was some ten to fifteen miles from the storm, too. But my new rule is going to be: If you can see the lightning, so can it see you -- no matter the distance. All the same, I realize the danger and accept it. 2) At the same time, while humbled, I'm so amazed by it. The most incredible thing I've ever beheld. I must've sat there last night for ten total minutes just staring at the thing in freeze frames with my mough agape. And before you speak it: yes, I do realize. :) I am very well aware of how close a call that was. So you don't have to remind me. I am very keenly aware there, thank you. 8-) ...So I guess this means it doesn't just happen to Warren. ;-) What are the chances of someone getting something like that on video anyway? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 11:14:11 -0400 From: Larry Krudwig Subject: Hole In Severe Weather Preparedness This is in response to the posting August 5th regarding warning systems for the deaf. It is not true that the Weather Radio is only for those who can hear. The introduction of Specific Area Message Encoding (SAME) prior to the broadcast of any critial message provides enough information to assemble a reasonable amount of plan language information for the deaf to protect themselves. Granted it is not perfect and more complete textual transmission techniques are being investigated, but it is better than before. There are at least two radios available today that can provide a visual message from that code. It is no secret that the Radio Shack model 12-249 can do that now with its onboard LCD display. It even has a plug on the back that allows that radio to control a number of visual alerting devices. Another unit made by INH Technologies, model DCR 450, mainly for industrial applications can drive a serial printer and also has relay controls. It is by design more expensive because of its applications. If the deaf need more information than contained in the abbreviated messages, this is at least the ALARM for them to turn to more routine visual sources of information such as television. The FCC will be issuing its rules for inclusion of the cable television industry into the Emergency Alert System (EAS) later this year. There will be many ancillary devices for the deaf connected to these systems. As the basic EAS and Weather Radio SAME systems mature, there will be even more sophisticated devices for the handicapped. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 16:01:56 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: NWS Taking comments on Radar Collection I belive the NWS is considering changing the way NIDS currently operates. This is your chance to voice your comments. Check out this link. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/im/centooll.htm Mike Dross ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 17:46:23 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: NOAA Statement about the '98 Hurricane Season Hi Wx-talkers, I thought that this outlook may be of interest... chris ********************************************************** August-October Atlantic Hurricane Outlook: Expected Impacts of the 1998 La Nina ********************************************************** [Issued on 7 August, 1998] There is an increased likelihood of above-average tropical storm and hurricane activity over the North Atlantic during August-October 1998 in response to developing La Nina conditions, according to a consensus reached by scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Hurricane Research Division (HRD). There is also an increased likelihood of more hurricanes reaching major hurricane status during this period. This Outlook should be used as a guide of overall expected activity for the Atlantic basin. The Outlook does not give any indication of whether a particular locality will be impacted by a tropical storm or hurricane. Residents and government agencies of coastal or near-coastal regions should always maintain normal hurricane preparedness efforts regardless of the overall outlook in a given year. La Nina refers to cooler than average sea-surface temperatures across the eastern tropical Pacific. La Nina conditions are expected to strengthen during the next few months, and to remain in place at least through the winter. In the past, La Nina episodes have contributed to active hurricane years by reducing the variation in winds with height (termed vertical wind shear) over the tropical North Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea. This reduced vertical wind shear is expected to develop over the next several months in response to the ongoing La Nina conditions. Thus, there is an increased likelihood of above-average tropical storm and hurricane activity during the upcoming peak (August-October) of the 1998 Atlantic hurricane season. Also in the tropical North Atlantic, if the present abnormally warm sea- surface temperatures persist, then they will also contribute to enhanced activity during this period. The vertical wind shear is a critically important factor controlling the organization of tropical thunderstorm activity which ultimately leads to tropical storm and hurricane development. Low vertical wind shear favors enhanced tropical thunderstorm activity contributing to tropical storm development, while high vertical wind shear inhibits tropical thunderstorm activity and tropical storm development. Although there are a number of different factors that affect the overall tropical storm activity in a given hurricane season, fluctuations in vertical wind shear are well accepted as one of the primary ingredients to be considered. During La Nina episodes, the continental U.S. often experiences a higher number of landfalling hurricanes than usual. The Caribbean region is also far more at risk of experiencing a hurricane during La Nina episodes than at other times, as was observed in association with the 1995-96 La Nina episode. The hurricane season for the Atlantic basin (which includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico) officially runs from June 1st through November 30th. However, the vast majority of tropical storm and hurricane activity typically occurs during August - October, which is considered the peak of the hurricane season. During these three months, the average number of systems reaching tropical storm status (maximum sustained winds between 39-73 mph), hurricane status (maximum sustained winds of at least 74 mph) and major hurricane status (maximum sustained winds exceeding 110 mph) are seven, five and two, respectively. Dr. William Gray at the Colorado State University has pioneered research efforts leading to the discovery of El Nino and La Nina impacts on Atlantic hurricane activity. His group's research indicates that in the past, El Nino episodes (which reflect warmer than average sea-surface temperatures across the eastern tropical Pacific) have contributed to reduced Atlantic tropical storm activity by increasing the vertical wind shear over the North Atlantic. The suppressing effect of the El Nino on Atlantic hurricane activity was particularly evident in 1997, when a record low of only one tropical storm formed during August and September. CAUTIONARY NOTES: 1) Major hurricanes tend to be the deadliest and costliest tropical systems, although disasters can and indeed do occur due to flooding from less intense hurricanes and tropical storms. 2) Hurricane-spawned disasters occur even in relatively inactive years from landfalling systems. For example, in 1992 Hurricane Andrew, the only major hurricane to occur during that relatively inactive year, caused over $25 billion in damage to the United States. 3) Increased tropical storm and hurricane activity during a particular year does not automatically mean increased storm-related damage. For example, there was less than $4 billion in damage to the continental United States during 1995, one of the most active years on record with five major hurricanes, compared to approximately $5 billion damage occurring in an average season. 4) Far more damage can be done by one major hurricane hitting a heavily populated area than by several major hurricanes hitting sparsely populated areas or, of course, not making landfall at all. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "If the phone doesn't ring, you'll know that it's me. I'll be out in the eye of the storm." - Jimmy Buffett ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 18:28:36 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: TAKE THE NEXRAD SURVEY/FREE Radar Data Offer Greetings Intellicast is offering the following deal...please take time to visit this URL and vote for what you would like for them to add! Intellicast is adding an additional NEXRAD product to the currently available Base Reflectivity. We would like our visitors to vote for the product they would like to see added. The votes will be tallied over a two week period, and the image with the most votes will be added to Intellicast. Please view each of the images below, then use the form found at the bottom of this page to select the one you would like to see added. see this site for more information: http://www.intellicast.com/survey/ They are offering to add: Storm Relative Velocity Echo Tops VAD Winds VIL Please visit the site and choose one of the options. This additional radar information will be FREE! Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:08:05 EDT From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Help on interpreting a radar phenomenon seen this morning Just to add one more thought to birds departing from roosting sites... you can see a similar phenomeneon frequently in spring and autumn on the Cleveland WSR-88D, as birds depart at sunset from Pelee Island in the middle of Lake Erie. This is not a simple expanding ring, but rather an expanding circle, since birds just keep on leaving until the sky is filled with them. Norman ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.tor.ec.gc.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Aug 1998 22:06:40 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: Re: NWS Taking comments on Radar Collection >> I belive the NWS is considering changing the way NIDS currently operates. >> This is your chance to voice your >> comments. Check out this link. >> >> http://www.nws.noaa.gov/im/centooll.htm >Nothing there Mike...can you try again? >Gary Sorry, here is the correct link, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/im/centcoll.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Aug 1998 to 10 Aug 1998 ************************************************* From - Mon Aug 24 21:31:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3756 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626618-27605>; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 13:13:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB36820; Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:05:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199808120505.AAB36820@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 00:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Aug 1998 to 11 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3e896900c510393825924e9138a9f1c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 374 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. blade of grass 2. Al Gore - and Hot Air (3) 3. NOAA Statement about the '98 Hurricane Season 4. Missing soundings from FWD 5. Step Leader on video last evening! (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:31:57 -0600 From: Sandusky Subject: blade of grass > Why did it pick such an odd, low, > isolated and random thing as a blade of GRASS amongst all of that? the electric field becomes exaggerated in the vicinity of pointed objects. tall buildings, trees, and even blades of grass are pointed. maybe john eylander (who's also on this listserv and was also in atmospheric electricity class with me last semester :) can fill in some extra details.... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 10:00:33 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Al Gore - and Hot Air Greetings Everyone CNN Reported the following today: "Gore proposes tax incentives to fight global warming Vice President Gore pushed Congress on Monday to pas $6 billion in tax incentives to reduce global warming. He also announced that July 1998 was the hottest month ever. The White House has already said that each month this year was the hottest ever for that certain month. The administration wants money for research and tax incentives so companies can adapt to new technologies and cut greenhouse emissions. Gore argued that the heat is causing more smog and respiratory problems." Seems to be that these latest statistics seem to be right on time...Gore will be able to use them to push his agenda! Wow what a coincidence. Just my opinion Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 10:20:00 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: NOAA Statement about the '98 Hurricane Season > In the past, La Nina episodes have contributed to active hurricane > years by reducing the variation in winds with height (termed vertical wind > shear) over the tropical North Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea. This reduced > vertical wind shear is expected to develop over the next several months in > response to the ongoing La Nina conditions. Thus, there is an increased > likelihood of above-average tropical storm and hurricane activity during > the upcoming peak (August-October) of the 1998 Atlantic hurricane season. > Also in the tropical North Atlantic, if the present abnormally warm sea- > surface temperatures persist, then they will also contribute to enhanced > activity during this period. > > The vertical wind shear is a critically important factor controlling > the organization of tropical thunderstorm activity which ultimately leads > to tropical storm and hurricane development. Low vertical wind shear > favors enhanced tropical thunderstorm activity contributing to tropical > storm development, while high vertical wind shear inhibits tropical > thunderstorm activity and tropical storm development. Although there are a > number of different factors that affect the overall tropical storm activity > in a given hurricane season, fluctuations in vertical wind shear are well > accepted as one of the primary ingredients to be considered. This is not my area of research so I'm probably getting into trouble here, but as I see this explanation, El Nino increases wind shear inhibiting tropical development, so it seems to me the lack of this wind shear can only go so far to "enhance" development. How wrong am I in making a an analogy with the cap strength inhibiting convection in the plains, but the state of no cap is no better condition for strong, damaging storms, even though the number of thunderstorm events is much higher? Is it possible that with very low shear in the tropics every little ripple coming off the Africa coast will spin up a tropical storm and soon the energy stored in the ocean's boundary layer will be dissipated? In fairness to this release, caveats about number of storms not being correlated to human risk have been deleted, though the press is not delivering those caveats to J.Q. Public. -Keith ------------- Keith Brewster personal opinions kbrews@rossby.ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 12:04:46 -0400 From: Michael Powell Subject: Re: Al Gore - and Hot Air My opinion is that if he would keep his mouth shut, this streak of "hottest months" would come to an end. I wonder where he is talking about. Kentucky had some pretty cool months overall up until July. Even then, it was not as hot as it can be. I am wondering if there is any validity to his numbers, or if he is (AGAIN!) picking a hot topic out of the press to exploit the lack of knowledge the public has about science and weather. With El Nino/La Nina and the Texas Heat Wave in the news recently, this would not surprise me a bit. >From what I heard, even Texas has a hotter July (or at least hotter overall Summer) on record than what this one was. Michael On Tue, 11 Aug 1998, Derek Dodson wrote: > Greetings Everyone > > CNN Reported the following today: > > "Gore proposes tax incentives to fight > global warming > > Vice President Gore pushed Congress on Monday to pas > $6 billion in tax > incentives to reduce global warming. He also > announced that July 1998 was > the hottest month ever. The White House has already > said that each month > this year was the hottest ever for that certain > month. The administration > wants money for research and tax incentives so > companies can adapt to new > technologies and cut greenhouse emissions. Gore > argued that the heat is > causing more smog and respiratory problems." > > Seems to be that these latest statistics seem to be right on time...Gore > will be able to use them to push his agenda! Wow what a coincidence. > > Just my opinion > > Derek Dodson > derekd@hcis.net > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 13:56:23 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Missing soundings from FWD For anyone who is interested, rawinsonde soundings from FWD will be missing until further notice, and quite possibly forever. As I understand it, a RF signal generator failed. This generator is 40 years old and is not made anymore. Furthermore, there is just one of these parts in stock with orders for 16 replacements. If a replacement part cannot be found or made from scrap, there may be no further soundings from FWD. Rather, aircraft data (ACARS) may replace soundings from FWD. While the combination of profiler and ACARS wind data may be superior to that obtained by a rawinsonde, I am not convinced that ACARS data will provide a better thermodynamic sampling of the atmosphere. Further, as this aircraft data are ultimately dependent upon private-sector carriers, atmospheric sampling may not be as consistent as before. Comments? bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself and not for my unnamed employer. See the First Amendment for details. In the end there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 09:45:00 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Step Leader on video last evening! In article , "Todd L. Sherman" wrote: ...deletia... > But when I looked at it in slow motion, I saw what I at first thought to > be a lens reflection on the ground about 20 feet from where the camera was > set up, off to the left a bit. In subsequent slow-mo runs, though, I came > to the conclusion that this was not a lens reflection. The forked branch > was of normal brightness. But the return stroke was much brighter, and > followed the same initial track and in the same place, of course, as the > initial branch stroke where the "reflection" appeared. But, in the brighter > return stroke, there was no lens reflection at all. > This "reflection" went straight up from the grassy ground in front of the > camera by about a foot, then bent 45 degrees upward to the left and > terminated in the air. It disappeared when the branch disappeared, and did > not reappear during any of the subsequent return strokes. (There were four, > the first three being probably of not enough brightness to even make any > lens reflection visible, though.) But the last stroke was extremely bright, > and if there were going to be a lens reflection, there should have been one > then. There was none. I have no clue what this "analysis" means ... I see nothing here to preclude the possibility of an internal lens reflection. The brightness of a flash has nothing to do with the possibility of internal reflections ... it's simply a matter of geometry and the characteristics of the lens. > I am concluding that this "lens reflection" was actually a step leader > eminating from -- of all strangest of things considering what was around me > -- a blade of grass in a patch in front of the camera. > Now, what hits me as so awesome is the fact that not twenty feet south of > the camera were two metal vehicles: mine and a fellow spotter's. Mine had > three antennas on it. My friend's had one. As well, there had to have been > at LEAST twenty tall lamps around to light the parking lot at night. Then > factor in all the many metal vehicles also sitting in the parking lot at the > time. And you have to wonder.....Why did it pick such an odd, low, > isolated and random thing as a blade of GRASS amongst all of that? > > I never expected in my life to actually capture something ike this on > my own videotape. But I am totally blown away by it. It's so awesome. ... > The most incredible thing I've ever beheld. I must've sat there last > night for ten total minutes just staring at the thing in freeze frames with > my mough agape. ... > ...So I guess this means it doesn't just happen to Warren. ;-) > > What are the chances of someone getting something like that on video > anyway? I think there is virtually NO chance this is a step leader ... sorry to let the air out of your balloon, but I am pretty confident you are mistaken in your interpretation. The one Warren claims is, like yours, certainly the result of internal lens reflections. Such reflections are the result of flashes off-axis, perhaps even out of the field of view. I've seen Warren's video claiming to have captured something comparable and I GUARANTEE it's a reflection of a distant off-axis flash, not a nearby step leader. My guess, without seeing your video, is that what you recorded is comparable. I've seen similar things in my videos, where flashes even well off-camera appear within the video. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. The only rule in storm chasing that works all the time is that there are no rules that work all the time! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:13:26 -0400 From: Jim Leonard Subject: Re: Al Gore - and Hot Air Michael Powell wrote: > > My opinion is that if he would keep his mouth shut, this streak of > "hottest months" would come to an end. > > I wonder where he is talking about. Kentucky had some pretty cool months > overall up until July. Even then, it was not as hot as it can be. I am > wondering if there is any validity to his numbers, or if he is (AGAIN!) > picking a hot topic out of the press to exploit the lack of knowledge the > public has about science and weather. With El Nino/La Nina and the Texas > Heat Wave in the news recently, this would not surprise me a bit. > > >From what I heard, even Texas has a hotter July (or at least hotter > overall Summer) on record than what this one was. > > Michael > > On Tue, 11 Aug 1998, Derek Dodson wrote: > > > Greetings Everyone > > > > CNN Reported the following today: > > > > "Gore proposes tax incentives to fight > > global warming > > > > Vice President Gore pushed Congress on Monday to pas > > $6 billion in tax > > incentives to reduce global warming. He also > > announced that July 1998 was > > the hottest month ever. The White House has already > > said that each month > > this year was the hottest ever for that certain > > month. The administration > > wants money for research and tax incentives so > > companies can adapt to new > > technologies and cut greenhouse emissions. Gore > > argued that the heat is > > causing more smog and respiratory problems." > > > > Seems to be that these latest statistics seem to be right on time...Gore > > will be able to use them to push his agenda! Wow what a coincidence. > > > > Just my opinion > > > > Derek Dodson > > derekd@hcis.net > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html Some on this forum may remember, during the 1970's especially 1977 we kept hearing that we were going back to a new ICE age because of the winter of 1976 1977 which brought tons of snow to the northeast and the first snow recorded in Miami Florida. These days of sound bites you will hear anything that makes news. As for Al Gore a couple weeks ago he was reported to have said that Florida has had the hottest temperatures in one thousand years!!(Where are there records for a thousand years in Florida?) Speaking of hot weather the summers of 1980-81 were more memorable. People living in the southern Plains in 1980 will never forget that summer. 1981 parts of the southeast sweltered in all time heat records. Example, Pensacola Florida hit 106 that summer, I haven't seen anything like that before or since. -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 14:21:01 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Step Leader on video last evening! I can't say what is in Todd's video since I haven't seen it. I do have an example of a lens reflection located at: http://www3.pair.com/storms/bear/chase98/040698.html The strange thing about this case is the reflection was in the frame BEFORE the real bolt. I think this is a reflection of a flicker that was between frames. This is the same type of reflection that I saw on Warren's (in)famous video. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Aug 1998 to 11 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:32:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627181-14568>; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 13:10:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11238; Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:06:25 -0500 Message-Id: <199808130506.AAA11238@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:00:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Aug 1998 to 12 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 226d6fe62ef1e13c669ea80960f89bcd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 15 messages totalling 571 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Klamath Falls Oregon Weather 2. Rawinsonde soundings 3. GORE=BAD SCIENCE (3) 4. Hot Air 5. Hign-Altitude Hurricane Study Could Save Lives and Money 6. FYI: High-Altitude Hurricane Study Could Save Lives and Money 7. GORE=BAD SCIENTIST 8. The Hottest July 9. Step Leader on video last evening! 10. "Global Warming" Numbers (2) 11. New Station 12. Step Leader on Video +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 11 Aug 1998 23:08:02 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Klamath Falls Oregon Weather Hi all, I have a job oppurtunity in Klamath Falls OR. I was told that Klamath Falls has significant snows in the winter. I did a search on the web and could not find any climatilogical data. Does anyone know where I can find data on the weather in Klamath Falls? Or an email addy of the NWS servicing Klamath Falls? Or if there are any Oregon locals that could contact me by email, that would be much appreciated. Tx Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 06:16:47 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Re: Rawinsonde soundings Brian, thanks for bringing this topic up for discussion. Rawinsonde soundings directly affect forecast accuracy, not only for chasers, but for everyone. ACARS data should be used only as a supplement to rawinsonde soundings. Aircraft do not cover the vertical depth of the atmosphere that rawinsonde soundings cover. Commercial aircraft rarely fly above 40,000 feet. I'm not sure about the density of measurements across the CONUS, but there must be many areas currently sampled by rawinsonde soundings that do not have major commercial airports. Cutting unnecessary cost is good, if justified. In the case of rawinsonde soundings, ACARS cannot be a replacement. It can only be a supplement. Profilers are also a supplement and cannot provide temperature, pressure or dew point. Satellite derived data may also be used as a supplement, when the accuracy and detail of such data improves. But satellites cannot provide the resolution provided by rawinsonde soundings. No matter how talented the numerical modelers and software engineers may be, the accuracy of computer model forecasts will only suffer, degrade and become even less accurate predicters as more rawinsonde sounding sources are removed from the data base. More data sources are needed. Rawinsonde soundings are currently the highest quality data source. Meso scale models require more data points and higher quality data. This is a question of quality. Considering the cost of the overall NWS system, rawinsonde sounding cost must be well hidden in the noise. Eliminating this valuable data source would surely be a short sighted, tragic mistake. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 06:18:16 -0500 From: mark Widerstrom Subject: GORE=BAD SCIENCE Gore remarks on the enviroment is another axample of people trying to push bad science without any proof on the public. 2 yrs ago they said we were going into a ice age. this year too hot going to the other extreme. Mark ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 07:06:07 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Re: Hot Air > >From what I heard, even Texas has a hotter July (or at least hotter > overall Summer) on record than what this one was. > Don't know what your source was, but the stats for most of Texas indicate that this July was the hottest and dryest since records have been kept. Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 09:37:06 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Hign-Altitude Hurricane Study Could Save Lives and Money David E. Steitz Headquarters, Washington, DC August 12, 1998 (Phone: 202/358-1730) Tim Tyson Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL (Phone: 205/544-0034) RELEASE: 98-147 HIGH-ALTITUDE HURRICANE STUDY COULD SAVE LIVES AND MONEY With an aim to better understand and improve ground-based predictions of hurricanes, two specially equipped NASA aircraft soon will take to the skies -- collecting high-altitude information about Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms. The Convection and Moisture Experiment (CAMEX) mission is scheduled for August and September. Results from the mission may increase warning time -- saving lives and property -- and decrease the size of evacuation areas -- saving money -- while giving scientists a better understanding of these dramatic weather phenomena. CAMEX will yield high-resolution spatial and temperature information on hurricane structure, dynamics and motion, leading to improved hurricane prediction. Results also will be used to validate existing measurements from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission of hurricanes and tropical storms and to develop algorithms for future Earth science missions. Led by the Atmospheric Dynamics and Remote Sensing program at NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC, the experiment unites eight NASA centers, other government weather researchers and the university community for a coordinated, multi-agency and - university Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm study. "We only know what goes on in the bottom half of a hurricane -- from sea level to 27,000 feet," said Robbie Hood of the Global Hydrology and Climate Center at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL. "With all of the agencies and the university community working together, we now can learn about these storms from top to bottom -- and hopefully improve hurricane prediction." When a hurricane or tropical storm erupts in the Atlantic, a NASA Dryden Flight Research Center DC-8 -- equipped with instruments to measure the storm's structure, environment and changes in intensity and tracking -- will fly into the storm at 35,000-40,000 feet. At the same time, a specially equipped Dryden ER-2 -- a high- altitude research plane -- will soar above the storm at 65,000 feet. The high-flying plane will measure the storm's structure and the surrounding atmosphere that steers the storm's movement. On the ground, the storm research team will launch weather balloons and monitor land-based sensors to validate the high- altitude measurements taken by instruments aboard the planes. Hood and her team plan to fly the NASA planes in conjunction with scheduled storm flights of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) that will take off from MacDill Air Force Base, Tampa, FL, and the "Hurricane Hunters" -- the U.S. Air Force's 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron from Keesler Air Force Base, MS. The Air Force's Hurricane Hunters and NOAA routinely fly into tropical storms and hurricanes to determine the location, motion, strength and size of the storm. The information that the two organizations gather is used to predict the potential strength and size of the storm as well as landfall. In addition to providing Doppler radars on each research plane, NASA for the first time will bring state-of-the-art airborne instruments to measure moisture and wind fields around the hurricanes under observation. NOAA flies a WP-3 "Orion" -- a four engine turboprop plane -- into storms at altitudes below 27,000 feet. And the Hurricane Hunters fly a WC-130 "Hercules" -- a four-engine turboprop aircraft -- at 5,000-10,000 feet. "We will analyze the high-altitude storm information within the context of more traditional low-level aircraft observations, and satellite and ground-based radar observations," said Hood. "This new information should provide insight to hurricane modelers -- forecasters who continually strive to improve hurricane predictions." Scientific instruments provided by Marshall to be flown on the Dryden aircraft will be augmented by instruments from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA; Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA. The hurricane study is part of NASA's Earth Science enterprise to better understand the total Earth system and the effects of natural and human-induced changes on the global environment. -end- * * * NASA press releases and other information are available automatically by sending an Internet electronic mail message to domo@hq.nasa.gov. In the body of the message (not the subject line) users should type the words "subscribe press-release" (no quotes). The system will reply with a confirmation via E-mail of each subscription. A second automatic message will include additional information on the service. NASA releases also are available via CompuServe using the command GO NASA. To unsubscribe from this mailing list, address an E-mail message to domo@hq.nasa.gov, leave the subject blank, and type only "unsubscribe press-release" (no quotes) in the body of the message. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:52:46 -0500 From: Don Lloyd Subject: GORE=BAD SCIENCE Mark Wiederstrom said: >Gore remarks on the enviroment is another axample of people >trying to push bad science without any proof on the public. > >2 yrs ago they said we were going into a ice age. >this year too hot going to the other extreme. Who said? Certainly not Gore. He has been pushing his global warming agenda for years and while I'm not a big fan of his, theories on global warming have plenty of merit. Do you really think we can continue to pump millions of tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere without altering it? Is the heat wave in Texas and El Nino a consequence of global warming? No one knows for sure. Are they related? It's a possibility that shouldn't be lightly discarded. Many people who scoff at global warming seem mostly concerned about future restrictions on their internal combustion engines. Their concern should be more directed at this country's dangerous dependence on foreign oil. Within ten years, OPEC will control over 90% of the world's oil. It'll be the shieks, not Gore, who will tell you how much you can drive your gas-guzzling SUVs. and Michael Powell said: >I wonder where he is talking about. Kentucky had some pretty cool months >overall up until July. Even then, it was not as hot as it can be. I am >wondering if there is any validity to his numbers, or if he is (AGAIN!) >picking a hot topic out of the press to exploit the lack of knowledge the >public has about science and weather. With El Nino/La Nina and the Texas >Heat Wave in the news recently, this would not surprise me a bit. Why don't you try thinking GLOBALLY for a change. Eight of the past ten years have been the hottest on record globally and the first six months of this year were also the hottest on record. Not concerned about that? You ought to be. For all you know, global warming may result in cooler weather in Kentucky even as many other places are hotter. Local effects will vary widely, so perhaps you've just provided more evidence that global warming is a reality. -- Don and Jennie Lloyd Fond du Lac, Wisconsin Chase images/reports: http://www.wx-fx.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:39:02 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: FYI: High-Altitude Hurricane Study Could Save Lives and Money Hi All, Just wanted to pass this along. Steve ============================= >Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 09:29:38 -0400 (EDT) >From: NASANews@hq.nasa.gov >Subject: Hign-Altitude Hurricane Study Could Save Lives and Money August 12, 1998 > >RELEASE: 98-147 > >HIGH-ALTITUDE HURRICANE STUDY COULD SAVE LIVES AND MONEY > > With an aim to better understand and improve ground-based >predictions of hurricanes, two specially equipped NASA aircraft >soon will take to the skies -- collecting high-altitude >information about Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms. > > The Convection and Moisture Experiment (CAMEX) mission is >scheduled for August and September. Results from the mission may >increase warning time -- saving lives and property -- and decrease >the size of evacuation areas -- saving money -- while giving >scientists a better understanding of these dramatic weather >phenomena. CAMEX will yield high-resolution spatial and >temperature information on hurricane structure, dynamics and >motion, leading to improved hurricane prediction. Results also >will be used to validate existing measurements from the Tropical >Rainfall Measuring Mission of hurricanes and tropical storms and >to develop algorithms for future Earth science missions. > > Led by the Atmospheric Dynamics and Remote Sensing program at >NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC, the experiment unites eight >NASA centers, other government weather researchers and the >university community for a coordinated, multi-agency and - >university Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm study. > > "We only know what goes on in the bottom half of a hurricane >-- from sea level to 27,000 feet," said Robbie Hood of the Global >Hydrology and Climate Center at NASA's Marshall Space Flight >Center, Huntsville, AL. "With all of the agencies and the >university community working together, we now can learn about >these storms from top to bottom -- and hopefully improve hurricane >prediction." > > When a hurricane or tropical storm erupts in the Atlantic, a >NASA Dryden Flight Research Center DC-8 -- equipped with >instruments to measure the storm's structure, environment and >changes in intensity and tracking -- will fly into the storm at >35,000-40,000 feet. > > At the same time, a specially equipped Dryden ER-2 -- a high- >altitude research plane -- will soar above the storm at 65,000 >feet. The high-flying plane will measure the storm's structure >and the surrounding atmosphere that steers the storm's movement. > > On the ground, the storm research team will launch weather >balloons and monitor land-based sensors to validate the high- >altitude measurements taken by instruments aboard the planes. > > Hood and her team plan to fly the NASA planes in conjunction >with scheduled storm flights of the National Oceanic and >Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) that will take off from MacDill >Air Force Base, Tampa, FL, and the "Hurricane Hunters" -- the U.S. >Air Force's 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron from Keesler Air >Force Base, MS. > > The Air Force's Hurricane Hunters and NOAA routinely fly into >tropical storms and hurricanes to determine the location, motion, >strength and size of the storm. The information that the two >organizations gather is used to predict the potential strength and >size of the storm as well as landfall. > > In addition to providing Doppler radars on each research >plane, NASA for the first time will bring state-of-the-art >airborne instruments to measure moisture and wind fields around >the hurricanes under observation. > > NOAA flies a WP-3 "Orion" -- a four engine turboprop plane -- >into storms at altitudes below 27,000 feet. And the Hurricane >Hunters fly a WC-130 "Hercules" -- a four-engine turboprop >aircraft -- at 5,000-10,000 feet. > > "We will analyze the high-altitude storm information within >the context of more traditional low-level aircraft observations, >and satellite and ground-based radar observations," said Hood. >"This new information should provide insight to hurricane modelers >-- forecasters who continually strive to improve hurricane >predictions." > > Scientific instruments provided by Marshall to be flown on >the Dryden aircraft will be augmented by instruments from NASA's >Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; Jet Propulsion >Laboratory, Pasadena, CA; Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; >and Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA. > > The hurricane study is part of NASA's Earth Science >enterprise to better understand the total Earth system and the >effects of natural and human-induced changes on the global >environment. > > -end- > > * * * ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 08:14:41 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: GORE=BAD SCIENCE In article <35D179F7.B104E7B3@alltel.net>, mark Widerstrom wrote: > Gore remarks on the enviroment is another axample of people > trying to push bad science without any proof on the public. > > 2 yrs ago they said we were going into a ice age. > this year too hot going to the other extreme. Personally, I think this thread has mostly been about politics, not the weather, and certainly not science. If we can't present anything substantive here, I suggest this be pushed to a different newsgroup ... I've seen nothing presented so far that includes any solid scientific discussion of this topic. Rather, it's been virtually nothing but Gore-bashing. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. The only rule in storm chasing that works all the time is that there are no rules that work all the time! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 12:38:13 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: GORE=BAD SCIENTIST > foreign oil. Within ten years, OPEC will control over 90% of the world's > oil. It'll be the shieks, not Gore, who will tell you how much you can > drive your gas-guzzling SUVs. I'll just drive a corn car. -Jeff "CO2 for a greener planet" Mila -Nexlab ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 16:37:13 -0400 From: "Stachak, Stan" Subject: The Hottest July Vice-President Gore's revelation about the recent hottest July was profound. Working in the TV business, I am now being asked by viewers and reporters: "Why was this July so Hot?" My standard reply is: "Its a process of elimination. If you consider all the Julys on record, at least one of them has to be the hottest, and this one is it". And there is more profound news. One of them was the coldest and no ice age followed as a result! Stan Stachak, Meteorologist Toledo, Ohio ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 01:00:17 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Step Leader on video last evening! Another example of a "phantom" bolt I just captured from video recently - http://www.weatherwatchers.org/1998/0531/j.html The strike at the top of the page is the one I am talking about, scroll down to see additional frames of that strike, including a 40-frame GIF animation. This phantom didn't appear to be one in another frame so it was probably off-camera. Like most phantom bolts I have seen on video, the strike wasn't all that close. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 21:33:56 -0500 From: Rauchig Subject: "Global Warming" Numbers Don Lloyd said the following: >Why don't you try thinking GLOBALLY for a change. Eight of the past ten >years have been the hottest on record globally and the first six months of >this year were also the hottest on record. Not concerned about that? You >ought to be. Whenever such statements are made like the one above, or like what Al Gore says, without specific sources that can be independently varified such statements are nothing more than one persons opinion. I have very seldom run across hard data to support such claims. Chad -- -Rauchig "Microsoft's biggest and most dangerous contribution to the software industry may be the degree to which it has lowered user expectations." -January 1997 OS/2 Magazine http://lonestar.texas.net/~rauchig/archive/upper --- Upper Air Archive ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 23:46:35 -0400 From: Krukowski Subject: New Station Does anyone out there know the Station ID of Flatland Island, Ontario. It is a small island on Lake Superior near Thunder Bay, I think it is a new automated weather observing site and I have heard reports from it on WeatherRadio Canada. Any help would be appreciated. Radek K ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 00:27:24 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Step Leader on Video According to Peter Viemeister's book on Lightning, the step leader makes it's trip downward from cloud base to ground in about .005 of a second. I do not think that personal video cameras have that kind of frame rate/ time resolution. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Aug 1998 23:52:59 -0500 From: Don Lloyd Subject: Re: "Global Warming" Numbers I said: >>Why don't you try thinking GLOBALLY for a change. Eight of the past ten >>years have been the hottest on record globally and the first six months of >>this year were also the hottest on record. Not concerned about that? You >>ought to be. Rauchig then said: >Whenever such statements are made like the one above, or like what >Al Gore says, without specific sources that can be independently varified >such statements are nothing more than one persons opinion. I have very >seldom run across hard data to support such claims. Try http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/climateextremes.html for starters. And I stand corrected. They list Jan-May 1998 as the hottest on record though I have seen other sources that now include June and expect to add July to the list. -- Don and Jennie Lloyd Fond du Lac, Wisconsin Chase images/reports: http://www.wx-fx.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Aug 1998 to 12 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4391 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626486-10065>; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 13:12:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47356; Fri, 14 Aug 1998 00:05:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199808140505.AAA47356@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 00:00:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Aug 1998 to 13 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 625eb7035a87beb613886b55ba39c52f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 306 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "Global Warming" Numbers 2. FWD Soundings 3. Step Leader on Video 4. full moon 5. Thoughts on the Global Warming thread (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 07:34:21 -0400 From: Michael Powell Subject: Re: "Global Warming" Numbers On Wed, 12 Aug 1998, Rauchig wrote: > Don Lloyd said the following: > >Why don't you try thinking GLOBALLY for a change. Eight of the past ten > >years have been the hottest on record globally and the first six months of > >this year were also the hottest on record. Not concerned about that? You > >ought to be. > > Whenever such statements are made like the one above, or like what > Al Gore says, without specific sources that can be independently varified > such statements are nothing more than one persons opinion. I have very > seldom run across hard data to support such claims. > Which was what I was asking for...I want to know where the data they are using was collected and what it actually said. I just made the mistake of also stating that it was not the case here where I am, so that means I am not a "global" thinker. ;) I personally feel that this is an issue that some feel strongly about, and the VP is exploiting them to further a political agenda. Until someone can provide data (from an unbiased source) I will not be convinced otherwise, and will not be convinced that his claims are based on such data. Mike ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 09:55:08 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FWD Soundings Sounds like the problem has been mitigated: ** FPUS3 KFTW 131245 AMD *** SFDFTW NORTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 745 AM CDT THU AUG 13 1998 WE WILL UPDATE THE ZONE PACKAGE SHORTLY TO INCREASE POPS AND LOWER TEMPS OVER NORTH CENTRAL ZONES. >>EVALUATION OF THIS MORNING'S FWD SOUNDING<< AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT WET-BULBING AND LACK OF INSOLATION WARRANT TAKING TEMPS DOWN A FEW NOTCHES. CONVECTION REALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE ATTM...THUS WE WILL UP POPS TO LIKELY FROM THE DFW AREA NORTHWARD. ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 08:47:56 -0500 From: "Joe B. Dorn" Subject: Re: Step Leader on Video Tim... While you might not catch each move of a leader, a slower shutter speed would probably allow you to catch the leaders. I have a top of the line Sony analog camcorder (CCD TRV 99) that allows you to select slower shutter speeds. I do not know if lower level cameras have this feature. If we ever get another thunder storm at night here at Dryhill I will try to capture some shots to see if the leaders can be caught... >From the driest spot in Central Texas... Joe B. Dorn, Belton, Texas Photography by Dorn -----Original Message----- From: tim p. marshall [SMTP:105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM] Sent: Wednesday, August 12, 1998 23:27 PM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Step Leader on Video According to Peter Viemeister's book on Lightning, the step leader makes it's trip downward from cloud base to ground in about .005 of a second. I do not think that personal video cameras have that kind of frame rate/ time resolution. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 12:03:56 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: full moon >When is the next full moon? Sept 6th. Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 22:17:15 -0400 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: Thoughts on the Global Warming thread Here's a list of some underlying assumptions I think are hidden under many of the arguments concerning global warming. I'm offering them for discussion. I find arguments built on these assumptions to be annoying at the least. I'm listing the hidden assumption first, with brief comments after. - The earth's climate should be static. Everybody wants "normal" to mean steady temperatures. There is overwhelming evidence that over time earth's climate changes with (to our minds) incredible extremes. Why are we acting surprised when it possibly may change one degree in 98 years? - Any trend "up" or "down" is caused by human activity. Being anthropocentric, we always assume we are the most important factor in any change. We should think less highly of ourselves. We forget larger things like: the sun, volcanoes, normal atmospheric cycles. - Humans are the greatest producer of carbon dioxide in the world. Many articles make it sound like this is true. We may well produce a significant amount, but we don't lead the way. (NOTE: I am _NOT_ pro-pollution here, I'm anti-hype.) (Reasonable arguments for clean air are cheerfully accepted.) - "Record temperatures" are greatly significant. Lots of verbage is wasted on the "highest (fill-in the blank) in recorded history!" Our tiny "recorded history" is hardly a fraction of earth's history. Why do we assume we started record keeping when things were "normal"? If the climate is dynamic, why are we shocked when it changes as if it had never happened before. If we had started record keeping during the last ice age, wouldn't today's temperatures seem excruciatingly hot compared to "normal"? - This summer's temperatures are a result of Global Warming. This summer's temperatures are likely a result of a major El Nino. El Nino is a short term, cyclical event. - El Nino is caused by global warming The geologic record shows that El Nino predates human CO2 production. It appears to go back thousands of years. And finally: - Humans aren't a "natural" part of the earth. I always read articles that make it sound like everything that happens in "nature" is "normal" except what human beings do. When a beaver dams a creek, isn't he messing things up? We've got a flood over here! When the sun sends more energy than we're used to, isn't it messing things up? We've got warmer global temperatures here! When El Nino changes the weather in a way we don't think is "normal", isn't El Nino messing things up? We've got a drought going on here! Why are humans not considered part of the system even when we mess things up? It's as if we were dropped off by aliens... but I digress. :-) Stuart Shepard Weather Guru WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Aug 1998 21:34:27 -0500 From: Rauchig Subject: Re: Thoughts on the Global Warming thread Stuart Shepard said the following: >Here's a list of some underlying assumptions I think are hidden under >many of the arguments concerning global warming. > >I'm offering them for discussion. >I find arguments built on these assumptions to be annoying at the least. > >I'm listing the hidden assumption first, with brief comments after. > >- The earth's climate should be static. > Everybody wants "normal" to mean steady temperatures. > There is overwhelming evidence that over time earth's climate > changes with (to our minds) incredible extremes. Stuart makes great points about the assumptions that go along with current global warming theory. Chad > Why are we acting surprised when it possibly may change one degree in 98 >years? > >- Any trend "up" or "down" is caused by human activity. > Being anthropocentric, we always assume we are the most > important factor in any change. We should think less highly of >ourselves. > We forget larger things like: the sun, volcanoes, normal atmospheric >cycles. > >- Humans are the greatest producer of carbon dioxide in the world. > Many articles make it sound like this is true. > We may well produce a significant amount, but we don't lead the way. > > (NOTE: I am _NOT_ pro-pollution here, I'm anti-hype.) > (Reasonable arguments for clean air are cheerfully accepted.) > >- "Record temperatures" are greatly significant. > Lots of verbage is wasted on the "highest (fill-in the blank) in >recorded history!" > Our tiny "recorded history" is hardly a fraction of earth's history. > Why do we assume we started record keeping when things were "normal"? > If the climate is dynamic, why are we shocked when it changes > as if it had never happened before. > If we had started record keeping during the last ice age, > wouldn't today's temperatures seem excruciatingly hot > compared to "normal"? > >- This summer's temperatures are a result of Global Warming. > This summer's temperatures are likely a result of a major El Nino. > El Nino is a short term, cyclical event. > >- El Nino is caused by global warming > The geologic record shows that El Nino predates human CO2 production. > It appears to go back thousands of years. > >And finally: > >- Humans aren't a "natural" part of the earth. > I always read articles that make it sound like everything that happens >in > "nature" is "normal" except what human beings do. > When a beaver dams a creek, isn't he messing things up? > We've got a flood over here! > When the sun sends more energy than we're used to, isn't it messing >things up? > We've got warmer global temperatures here! > When El Nino changes the weather in a way we don't think is "normal", > isn't El Nino messing things up? > We've got a drought going on here! > Why are humans not considered part of the system even when we mess >things up? > > It's as if we were dropped off by aliens... but I digress. :-) > > >Stuart Shepard >Weather Guru >WLEX-TV >Lexington, Ky > > >_____________________________________________________________________ >You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. >Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com >Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > -- -Rauchig "Microsoft's biggest and most dangerous contribution to the software industry may be the degree to which it has lowered user expectations." -January 1997 OS/2 Magazine Upper Air Archive: http://lonestar.texas.net/~rauchig/archive/upper ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Aug 1998 to 13 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:33:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-2680>; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 13:11:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67804; Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:07:11 -0500 Message-Id: <199808150507.AAA67804@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:01:17 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Aug 1998 to 14 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb9ed02946400ab381c287129b61077e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 372 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RealEMWIN Information 2. updating shareware 3. Al Gore - and Hot Air 4. Step Leader on Video 5. Deja vu from '97 (2) 6. LIFE MAGAZINE - Oafield and Fla. Make the Cove +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:35:12 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Information Beta 2a is the latest version available of the RealEMWIN -- software which allows you to monitor the EMWIN Weather Wire in realtime via an internet connection. A web page has been started, at http://www.skywatch.org/products.htm and a mailing list exists -- send "subscribe emwin" to mailto:majordomo@skywatch.org A few users have reported that the latest beta causes a constant "connection rejected" error -- if so please email me personally so I can attempt to track the bug down. As usually happens ;> I can't seem to duplicate it in any way / shape / form on my end. Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 10:08:36 -0500 From: Peter Bowers Subject: updating shareware Is there any good shareware out there thart will update radar images exery "X" minutes? It must be WIN 3.1 compatable. Thanks!! Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net Huronia Grey-Bruce weather page http://www.freeyellow.com/members/omw-rail/HuroniaGBwx.html On IRC Toronto Undernet #OnWxWatch and #OnWxTalk ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:07:49 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Al Gore - and Hot Air In article <35D322B1.A85ACE89@geocities.com>, Mikel wrote: > This is just speculation, I know, but considering that this seems to be > the hottest year on *record*, how long have worldwide temps been > recorded? For all we know this could be a normal part of some 100 year > cycle or somthin'. I really don't know...just speculating. Perhaps this IS just speculation, but at least it's an intelligent question rather than some sort of political statement. Indeed, a key aspect of the issue is whether or not the observed increases in global temperature are part of a normal climatic fluctuation or have anthropogenic origins. Not to go on a rant here, but ... Part of the problem is that we have a pretty short record of global temperature observations, as Mikel has pointed out. Ignoring for the moment the issues tied to those observations, it's pretty tough to discern 1000-year cycles from a 100-year record. In fact, it's pretty tough to make out a 100-year cycle from a 100-year record. Of course, it's even speculative that there ARE cycles in the temperature record, other than the diurnal and annual cycles ... the global temperature is the end product of a complex, highly nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system and it's not at all obvious that there are regular cycles in such a system, in spite of cyclic changes in external forcing (like sunspots). Returning to the observations themselves, there are many reasons to be suspicious of secular trends in the observations. The instruments being used today are quite different from those of 100 years ago, to say nothing of those 500 years ago. Their location with respect to their surroundings (in a forest or grassy plain vs. in a city) can have a large impact on the trends and urbanization has certainly played some role in influencing those observations. And so on. Of late, when the instrumentation has been pretty uniform, the trends we have been seeing are that GLOBALLY, each year recently has been warmer than the last. Does this PROVE global warming beyond any shadow of doubt? No. The consensus among scientists whose business it is to know is that the preponderance of evidence is supportive of the hypothesis of global warming. Does consensus among scientists equate to truth? No. The only way we can be certain of the "truth" of global warming is FAR in the future, when the signal will be unambiguous if global warming is, indeed, happening. By then, of course, it will be a reality and we will already be having to deal with it. Further, everything we know about global warming scenarios is that the temperature will not go up uniformly over the planet ... some places will get warmer and some could actually be colder! Even if the numerical simulation models have their own set of issued tied to them, this result is virtually certain. Moreover, not every year is going to be just like every other year, so in some years, some locations are virtually certain to be far colder than average, even if global warming is actually going on. All of this nonsense about it being hotter or colder in Texas (or wherever) than ever is not relevant to discussions about GLOBALLY warming temperatures. Please focus on the word "GLOBAL"! What you see in your backyard is not likely to be representative of the entire planet's experience. It seems to be human nature that problems in the future are of little concern to many of us unless the crisis is virtually upon us. We humans will continue to have problems if we choose never to react unless there is a clear and present danger. Should we bankrupt the world economy to mitigate global warming? Certainly not. But are the ONLY alternatives either (a) doing nothing or (b) returning to a Stone Age existence? There ARE intermediate steps, many of which are logical even if global warming turns out to be a red herring. Surely no one wants air and water pollution to go on virtually unchecked. Eventually, we WILL run out of fossil carbon-based fuels. And so on. Why must the choices always be black or white? Apparently, because polititicians only know how to present things to the public in black and white terms. Why might THAT be the case? Is it because such a large portion of the public chooses to remain so ignorant that they can't understand something that is neither black nor white? These are damned important issues and I get really upset when I see a discussion group ostensibly aimed at the weather being more concerned about political posturing than it is about the topic! Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. The only rule in storm chasing that works all the time is that there are no rules that work all the time! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 09:47:58 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Step Leader on Video In article <35D3EBCD.480B@bt.com>, John.Roenfeldt@bt.com wrote: > > tim p. marshall <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> wrote in message > > <199808130027_MC2-55F2-73F4@compuserve.com>... > > >According to Peter Viemeister's book on Lightning, the step leader makes > > >it's trip downward from cloud base to ground in about .005 of a second. I > > >do not think that personal video cameras have that kind of frame rate/ > > >time resolution. > > > Correct... if I remember right... video is shot at 32 frames per second. > > making it every .031 of a second..... > > Am I wrong in thinking that if each frame is .031 of a second, it would > still be possible for a flash of .005 of a second to be caught on that > frame while it is being exposed? (maybe the exposure settings would > prevent it from actually being seen on the film) The knowledge of the EXISTENCE of stepped leaders is from high speed photography, so it certainly is possible to photograph them. Thus, it is at least possible, in principle, to see them in a video. According to Martin Uman's book "Lightning", step leaders travel at speeds that vary from 100 - 1000 km per sec, but with pauses between steps (of length 10-100 m) ... pause times are roughly 50 msec. The bottom line is that the leader moves a distance of about one km (a ballpark number for the distance from cloud base to ground) in about 5 msec (0.005 sec), as Tim has noted. I don't know the details of how video cameras work, but it seems quite possible to capture a stepped leader on video IF the exposure duration per frame is about 0.03 sec ... almost ten times as long as the time it takes the leader to move one km. HOWEVER, it also seems that if the leader moves that fast, and a return stroke is generated, the video is FAR more likely to "see" the return stroke than it is the leader. Return stroke flash propagation velocities are on the order of 100,000 km per sec! That's VERY fast!! And the return stroke is a LOT brighter than the leader, along which it propagates, effectively covering up the leader with the very bright return flash. Not all leaders generate return strokes, of course. Leaders coming up from the ground are usually associated with descending leaders nearby ... the examples of short ascending leaders I have seen in photographs are always in association with a full-blown lightning flash nearby. There MAY be little stubby leaders ascending from lots of objects all the time that never become full-blown flashes ... lightning is not my specialty ... but I tend to doubt it. I think they mostly are responses to descending step leaders from above. Thus, it SEEMS theoretically possible to capture an ascending stepped leader on video, but the examples I have seen thus far are most likely to have been internal lens reflections of off-axis flashes. Little short, stubby leaders (lengths of at most a few meters) in the near foreground of a video image would be an EXTREMELY unlikely event to capture on video. I'm not saying it's impossible ... just VERY unlikely. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. The only rule in storm chasing that works all the time is that there are no rules that work all the time! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 18:11:32 -0400 From: Mark Yorsaner Subject: Deja vu from '97 Looks like we're starting to get signs that this hurricane season may not be as active as previously though. The TPC's outlooks are beginning to look rather similar to those that they started posting aroung this time last year: (from the 5:30 tropical outlook): FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS FAIRLY QUIET FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA Now, I don't want to make any predictions or anything, but the pattern, with all the subsidence and somewhat cooler than expected SST's, doesn't seem to favor tropical development for the next few days, at least. What I am wondering is if El Nino is still having an influence, or if there are other factors invloved. If El Nino is still having a major influence, I am shocked that it's having that much, since SST's are below normal along the equator all the way to to the Peruvian coast, and the SST anomalies close to the equator are not much more than 1-2 C according to the latest imagery. But the fact that this August is shaping up to be similar to last August is very interesting indeed Mark Yorsaner Meteorolgy Student ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Aug 1998 19:48:03 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: LIFE MAGAZINE - Oafield and Fla. Make the Cove Steve Sponsler at wrote, > Hi All, > Just a real quick one between storm chases (loosely speaking) to let you > know that the latest issue of LIFE MAGAZINE has a feature article on the > hectic weather this year (and in past years). It is the August issue which > is to remain on the stands until 8/24/98 (for $3.99). > > The cover features Don Lloyd's Oakfield, Wis. Tornado from July of 1996 as > well as a closer to home photo of a Florida Brushfire. (Perhaps Don has > posted for this issue of WX CHASE as well?) much deletia Thaks to Steve for his "heads up" regarding the LIFE severe weather article. I'll stop at a local newstand and check it out! I was spotting about 10 miles from the Oakfield WI tornado disaster in 1996. My first "chase" from Milwaukee of a true tornadic supercell and one which I will never forget. In that regard I'll mention my SFTS! home page which has numerous links to the Oakfield WI F5 tornado disaster of 1996, http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp/ Just last week I posted Oakfield damage photos using my newly aquired optical scanner. These pictures were taken two days after the event by two Skywarn/ARES associates of mine whom were granted full access to the center of the disaster scene, http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp/oakfield.html Additional chaser reports regarding the Oakfield event are at, http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp/chase.html Last but not least one can view photos of the actual Oakfield F5 tornado at Don and Jennie Lloyd's "Tornadoes of Wisconsin: site at, http://www.wx-fx.com/ Again, many thanks to Steve for his "heads up"! ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 00:51:37 -0400 From: Jim Leonard Subject: Re: Deja vu from '97 Mark Yorsaner wrote: > > Looks like we're starting to get signs that this hurricane season may not > be as active as previously though. The TPC's outlooks are beginning to > look rather similar to those that they started posting aroung this time > last year: (from the 5:30 tropical outlook): > > FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... > > THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS FAIRLY QUIET FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. > > TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. > > AVILA > > Now, I don't want to make any predictions or anything, but the pattern, > with all the subsidence and somewhat cooler than expected SST's, doesn't > seem to favor tropical development for the next few days, at least. What I > am wondering is if El Nino is still having an influence, or if there are > other factors invloved. If El Nino is still having a major influence, I am > shocked that it's having that much, since SST's are below normal along the > equator all the way to to the Peruvian coast, and the SST anomalies close > to the equator are not much more than 1-2 C according to the latest > imagery. But the fact that this August is shaping up to be similar to last > August is very interesting indeed > > Mark Yorsaner > Meteorolgy Student > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html Don't write off the 1998 season off so soon. We may not see as many storms this year as once thought but I would expect a much more active season than 1997. The overall wind pattern over the Atlantic basin is much different this year. Recently we have seen a decrease in the strength of the tropical disturbances comming off the African coast, there are cycles in the strength and number of systems. You will notice there will be about two weeks of a active monsoon then a couple weeks when it is weak such as what is happening now. Also I have noticed a strong northeast flow in the eastern Atlantic which is pushing the disturbances too far south right now, this is not unusual during late July and early August. The usual deterent to tropical cyclone formation is upper level westerlies over tropical Atlantic, they are not present this year. I would expect in about a week to ten days to see another increase in the monsoon and strength of the tropical disturbances. I would expect to see the seasons first hurricane sometime during the last week of August which coincides with the beginning of the most active portion of the hurricane season. -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Aug 1998 to 14 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:34:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3429 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-25696>; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 13:09:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14984; Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:07:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199808160507.AAA14984@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 00:01:55 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1998 to 15 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b578fda24298fb7adfa941a44cccf01 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 420 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. CASI NetNews: Intellicast Beefs Up NEXRAD Pages ; Weather Underground Adds more Content 2. NOAA Statement about the '98 Hurricane Season 3. Regarding The Warren Faidley Post 4. Houston EMWIN 5. Global Warming? 6. Hidden Assumptions 7. about to get into the Weather business :) 8. When Radars Go Down (New FOX Reality Special??) 9. Global Warming Article: Media Research Center 10. Web Page Question-In Search of +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 15:42:22 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews: Intellicast Beefs Up NEXRAD Pages ; Weather Underground Adds more Content [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to CASI Members then later posted to appropriate Newsgroups.] Major weather providers continue to improve their services this week in a virtual "Net War." The latest developments: 1. As someone posted to WX-TALK when I was asleep at the wheel, Intellicast is adding an additional Local NEXRAD Product to their site, and like other sites of recent, they are letting YOU vote. If you haven't cast yours yet you can do so at http://www.intellicast.com/survey/ 2. In other Intell News, they have followed Accu's lead by posting a complete US map with sites plotted and a text list of sites below. No more cryptic codes and browsing through cities to find the NEXRADs they offer - they are all here. http://www.intellicast.com/weather/usa/nexrad/ Includes all 143 (?) Continental US NEXRADs, some of which weren't displayed before, and San Juan PR plus two in Hawaii. WSI is unique in the San Juan radar in that they were able to get their land line to the NEXRAD there fixed after the recent riots while UNISYS, who provides weather to most of the competition, appears to have been unable to do so. Should a hurricane approach PR this summer I will throw myself between the two ends of the broken line so we can ahieve redundancy. They are also unique in that they have the power to obtain two of the Hawaii NEXRADs while UNISYS is unwilling to thus far, according to sources. 3. The Weather Underground has further improved their site this week by adding automatic translation of any page into 23 different languages. They have also added more Current Condition Maps and Regional Current Condition Maps: Alaska | Northwest | Midwest | Northeast | Southwest | Southcentral | Southeast | Temperature | Radar Map | HeatIndex | Windchill | Humidity. They have been long standing an excellent database of Current Conditions in weird International places as well as all accessible stations in the US. Now they have added 2-4 day forecasts to every International site (they continue with NWS forecasts for US locations). http://www.wunderground.com/ -- ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "I'm still waiting for the ASOS at Area51 (id A51 no doubt) to be unveiled. I *know* they've got one there - planes flying in, planes flying out, 300 employees who depend on wx for secret flights..." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:32:53 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: NOAA Statement about the '98 Hurricane Season Hi wx-talkers, On Tue, 11 Aug 1998 Keith Brewster wrote: > > > In the past, La Nina episodes have contributed to active hurricane > > years by reducing the variation in winds with height (termed vertical wind > > shear) over the tropical North Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea. This reduced > > vertical wind shear is expected to develop over the next several months in > > response to the ongoing La Nina conditions. Thus, there is an increased > > likelihood of above-average tropical storm and hurricane activity during > > the upcoming peak (August-October) of the 1998 Atlantic hurricane season. > > Also in the tropical North Atlantic, if the present abnormally warm sea- > > surface temperatures persist, then they will also contribute to enhanced > > activity during this period. > > > > The vertical wind shear is a critically important factor controlling > > the organization of tropical thunderstorm activity which ultimately leads > > to tropical storm and hurricane development. Low vertical wind shear > > favors enhanced tropical thunderstorm activity contributing to tropical > > storm development, while high vertical wind shear inhibits tropical > > thunderstorm activity and tropical storm development. Although there are a > > number of different factors that affect the overall tropical storm activity > > in a given hurricane season, fluctuations in vertical wind shear are well > > accepted as one of the primary ingredients to be considered. > > This is not my area of research so I'm probably getting into trouble > here, but as I see this explanation, El Nino increases wind shear > inhibiting tropical development, so it seems to me the lack of this wind > shear can only go so far to "enhance" development. How wrong am I > in making a an analogy with the cap strength inhibiting convection > in the plains, but the state of no cap is no better condition for > strong, damaging storms, even though the number of thunderstorm > events is much higher? I don't think that the analogy holds, since it has been demonstrated that weak vertical shear (less than about 20kt from lower to upper troposphere) promotes genesis & intensification relative to near average shear, which in turn is more favorable for tropical cyclone development than strong vertical shear. In general, the lower the shear, the better for hurricanes. See the following very good paper for more details: DeMaria, M., 1996: The effect of vertical shear on tropical cyclone intensity change. _J. Atmos. Sci._, 53, 2076-2087. > Is it possible that with very low shear in > the tropics every little ripple coming off the Africa coast will > spin up a tropical storm and soon the energy stored in the ocean's > boundary layer will be dissipated? If you do get quite numerous tropical storms and hurricanes, this may have a temporary inhibiting factor for future systems. This is because the tropical cyclones stir up cooler waters from below the ocean's thermocline, not necessarily because the storms deplete the warm, moist boundary layer. There's a recent paper that speculated that just that happened back in 1995: several storms developed in August, quiet during September and then very busy again in October. If you've got time on your hands (and are *really* bored), see: Landsea, C.W., G.D. Bell, W.M. Gray, and S.B. Goldenberg, 1998: The extremely active 1995 Atlantic hurricane season: Environmental conditions and verification of seasonal forecasts. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 126, 1174-1193. Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "If the phone doesn't ring, you'll know that it's me. I'll be out in the eye of the storm." - Jimmy Buffett ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 12:40:27 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Regarding The Warren Faidley Post On Sat, 15 Aug 1998, jim williams wrote: > I've been reading these warren Faidley comments now for days & thought it > was time to respond.I too have a business,un weather related > (unfortunately) & as mr novy pointed out insulting is not only immature > but hurts business as well.Picture yourselves buying a store & someone out > front is yelling at everyone saying"this stuff is fake" how many people > will come in,some but not as many.The only problem I have with warren > faidley is some of the stuff is a bit expensive but then again its his > sole source of income so I guess that goes with the territory.On that note > my hurricane Andrew posters will be available starting next week for a low > cost go see at http://www.hurricanecity.com & whats up with the atlantic > basin tropics this year geeez,thankyou.....Jim Williams I missed Warren's original post, too. (I wonder if it was posted to the NEWSGROUP and not through the mailing list. Would that even work? Maybe that's why I didn't see it. I subscribe to the mailing lists and not the mirrored newsgroups.) But... This all didn't start because of my mentioning of him in my post about the lightning step leader, did it? :( I hope not. I'd hate to be tied to the start of that flame war, accidentally. I didn't mean anything defaming in that post if it somehow seemed to come across that way. If anything, it was meant to show a certain pride (IF it - the step leader - was real, that is), and not defamation. Anyway, to change the subject...I keep looking at my tagline below...at the "Storm Evader." Somehow that just doesn't seem to me to carry the point I was trying to make as well as I'd originaly intended. What think? Anyone like "Storm Chicken" instead? Can we take a vote on it? 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 13:48:18 GMT From: EDSAUER Subject: Houston EMWIN Houston EMWIN Broadcast now at high power.. Yesterday, 15 August, Houston EMWIN started broadcastin from it's new site atop the Exxon Building in downtown Houston. EMWIN Houston is a cooperative effort of a number of Houston agencies, and coordinated by Jim Robinson. K5PNV. Questions on this service my be addressed to: Jim Robinson , K5PNV .. EMWIN-Houston@hcad.org... The system is putting a full quieting signal into Texas City and being received at 100% copy with an indoor antenna... Frequency is 150.435Mhz...Doing an excellent job... This is Ed..K5YYD..Texas City,Texas edsauer@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 20:42:28 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Global Warming? Chuck is right about the uncertainties in temperature measurements over the last 100 years. I have looked at other data though to convince me that indeed the planet is undergoing a warming trend. For example, glaciers are retreating in both the northern and southern hemispheres, certain "warm" flora and fauna are moving poleward, tree cross-section records in both hemispheres indicate faster tree growth rates, and Roger Edwards is wearing shorts more often. The big question though is: Are humans really the cause of this warming trend or is this just another natural temperature fluctuation in our planet? My view is we really don't or won't know the answer to this question in our lifetime. Remember the 500 foot thick ice sheet over Chicago just 10,000 years ago? Just hope the temperatures don't swing the other way! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:03:45 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Re: Hidden Assumptions In the interesting, and valid, list of Hidden Assumptions on Global Warming posted earlier, one that was left out was: Polluting business' need to allow the pollution to continue to maintain profits. Toxic waste dumpers are not happy spending a lot, mandated by the government, to clean up or stop their dumping. Thus they maintain a drumbeat of "government interference" in the private rights of individuals, hoping that popular support for that smoke-screen will allow them to get the regulatory agencies off their backs. By continually crying that global warming has "not been proved" they confuse the issue and delay actions so that they can continue to dump large quantities of carbon dioxide into the air without any clean-up costs. Where have we heard this "not been proved" line before? The tobacco industry! For years they have been saying ( and paying, under the table, scientists to say for them ) that it has "not been proved" that tobacco products are responsible for health problems. This has WORKED for the industry for 50 years and, if people are just as gullible now as ever, it will work for the pollution industry for the same amount of time. When, or if, things get out of hand, they will have lived long, profitable, lives and died happily, leaving others to survive. If it turns out that Global Warming is simply a normal blip in the temperature pattern and was not caused by human interference, could our world be WORSE if we go back to lower level of pollution? I don't think so. The above IS political, but I AM talking about the weather ( OK, climate ) and the list IS weather-talk! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:12:34 +0000 From: Bill Esposito Subject: about to get into the Weather business :) Hi All, After years of being mildly interested in weather, I've decided to take the plunge and get a weather station and hook it up to my 'puter and web page. Since I run OS/2 and there doesnt seem to be any native OS/2 weather programs I'll probably write one in either JAVA or VX-REXX. Since I'm not a weather fanatic I'm probably going to start cheaply with the WX-200, that way I can use the included win 3.1 software on my OS/2 box until I can write something else. One problem that the WX-200 brings is susceptibility to freezing and since I live in the Monadnock region of New Hampshire, we have our share of cold, snowy, freezing rain...winters, I'm curious as to how it will perform over the winter. I'm most concerned about the anemometer as the rain gauge information would be of less interest to me during the winter. With that in mind, are there any suggestions as to how I can minimize the effects of the winter weather on the anemometer? Does RS sell a heated version? Thanks ------------------------------------------ Bill Esposito bespo@cereal.mv.com The Cereal Port BBS http/ftp/telnet cereal.mv.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:37:18 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: When Radars Go Down (New FOX Reality Special??) Well there are a couple problems you may be seeing, according to the experiences I have had. First, and most commonly, at any given time probably 10-30 of the radars in the US may be down for various reasons. Like any other piece of mechanical or computer equipment, they have to be tested, turned off, or have maintenance performed. If you don't belive this, look for the pink squares over sites on the Intellicast Regional Radar Summaries (I currently count 4 in the DCA image alone (http://www.intellicast.com/weather/dca/radsum/) or browse through the Radar Down Text Messages at http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/raw/NOUS/NOUS61 (or NOUS62,63,64,65,66 or 75 depending on the radar's location). You'll be amazed. This happens a lot more frequently than you might imagine (several times per week for *some* radars I know) and is usually the cause of the problem. Second, it could be a failing of your provider to get the data from the NIDS provider or to display it correctly. In this case one service might have the radar and another would not. Third, it could be a failing of the NIDS provider. If they don't have the NEXRAD data or aren't transmitting it out sucessfully, your weather provider wont' have it. WSI is their own NIDS provider, UNISYS provides to nearly everyone else. Kavouras is the third NIDS provider I believe. Example: WSI recovered KJUA after the riots, UNISYS did not. Finally it could be a worldwide outage like when the satellite went out a couple months ago. In that case the only people who would have the radars would be those who had backup land lines to their NIDS providers, and then only if the NIDS provider could get them. In many of these cases the only radars you are going to see are 1.) Old Radars or 2.) TV stations that own their own radars. It's often hard to determine by comparing weather site to site - if Intellicast got the radar sucessfully at 12pm and it went down at 12:06pm you won't know until 12:30pm that it is down because their radars only update every 30 minutes, etc. On Fri, 14 Aug 1998, many people wrote: >Various conversations about why NEXRAD radars are down on Intel, Accu, etc. Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 03:58:08 +0100 From: David Keller Subject: Global Warming Article: Media Research Center An interesting article in something called "Media Research Center": raising some interesting perspectives following recent wx-talk discussion. There is a reference to "15,000 scientists have signed a petition this year questioning climate-change theories" that is quite intriguing. http://www.mrc.org/fmp/medianomics/1998/199808pg1.html Part of the article below my 'signature' -- Dave Keller -- August 1998 MediaNomics Page One: 15,000 Scientists Don’t Matter Networks Continue to Ignore Legions of Climate-Change Skeptics ----------------------------------------------------------------- : : Climate scientist S. Fred Singer, for instance, could have told viewers that throughout the 1990s there has been a slight cooling trend. In a July 25, 1997 op-ed for The Wall Street Journal, he noted that "weather satellite observations, independently backed by balloon-borne sensors, have shown no global warming whatsoever in the past 20 years." Only surface-based temperature readings have shown warming, according to Dr. Singer, because of such variables as the "urban heat island" effect. : : ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 23:30:36 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Web Page Question-In Search of Greetings Everyone I am looking for some information concerning Long-Range Outlook Graphics...including 6-10 day/30 day/90 day outlooks. I would like to know of any web-sites where these graphics can be found...OTHER than the NCEP and CPC web pages. If anyone has any knowledge of weather sites that might include these products please let me know. I am also looking for the complete listing of Difax products. One year ago I came across a web page that had nearly all of the Difax products on it. If anyone has any knowledge of pages that might include the above information please e-mail me asap. Thanks Everyone Derek Dodson Metropolis, Illinois derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1998 to 15 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-25698>; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 13:09:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30412; Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:05:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199808170505.AAA30412@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 00:00:32 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1998 to 16 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 83b3d99828880444869a638d96388970 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 129 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Global Warming? 2. When Radars Go Down (New FOX Reality Special??) 3. Weather Mailings--A Free Newsletter About Weather +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 01:55:14 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Global Warming? On Sat, 15 Aug 1998, tim p. marshall wrote: > Chuck is right about the uncertainties in temperature measurements over the > last 100 years. > The big question though is: Are humans really the cause > of this warming trend or is this just another natural temperature > fluctuation in our planet? My view is we really don't or won't know the > answer to this question in our lifetime. Totally agree, and another thing: at least with temperature measurements, I fear that the database is skewed at least a little thanks to the heat island of metro areas. Not many reporting stations in the boonies, so the bias would be warmer from that alone. > Remember the 500 foot thick ice > sheet over Chicago just 10,000 years ago? Just hope the temperatures don't > swing the other way! Don't worry...I think that corresponds to the year the Chicago Cubs last won the world series... ;-) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 02:03:24 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: When Radars Go Down (New FOX Reality Special??) On Sun, 16 Aug 1998, Jesse Ferrell - CASI wrote: > Well there are a couple problems you may be seeing, according to the > experiences I have had. > > First, and most commonly, at any given time probably 10-30 of the > radars in the US may be down for various reasons. Like any other > piece of mechanical or computer equipment, they have to be tested, > You'll be amazed. This happens a lot more frequently than you might > imagine (several times per week for *some* radars I know) and is > usually the cause of the problem. Wel,, since the radars are much more sophisticated than the older radars, they do require more maintenance, both for software and hardware. > Second, it could be a failing of your provider to get the data from > the NIDS provider or to display it correctly. In this case one > service might have the radar and another would not. No doubt here. > Third, it could be a failing of the NIDS provider. If they don't have > the NEXRAD data or aren't transmitting it out sucessfully, your > weather provider wont' have it. WSI is their own NIDS provider, > UNISYS provides to nearly everyone else. Kavouras is the third NIDS > provider I believe. Example: WSI recovered KJUA after the riots, > UNISYS did not. WSI didn't have Chicago data for 48 hours last week because of problems with the phone lines they used (all other vendors were up though). However... > Finally it could be a worldwide outage like when the satellite went > out a couple months ago. In that case the only people who would have > the radars would be those who had backup land lines to their NIDS > providers, and then only if the NIDS provider could get them. The NIDS provider will be OK in a case like this, since all NIDS data is land line anyway...no satellite delivery from the site. But since many people now have the Internet, they could get the data this way. That saved a LOT of people's butts when the comms satellite freaked out in July. > In many of these cases the only radars you are going to see are 1.) > Old Radars or 2.) TV stations that own their own radars. The old WSR-57 and 74 network is dead, and yes, TV station radars should still work. > It's often hard to determine by comparing weather site to site - if > Intellicast got the radar sucessfully at 12pm and it went down at > 12:06pm you won't know until 12:30pm that it is down because their > radars only update every 30 minutes, etc. True! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Aug 1998 13:31:45 EDT From: BORNAGIN@AOL.COM Subject: Weather Mailings--A Free Newsletter About Weather Weather Mail --http://weather mailings.listbot.com/ Click on the above link. It will take you to the web page specified above. Follow the directions and you will be subscribed to my FREE e-mail list. The list will come out about every week and will include links to different web sites, mainly weather pages, as well as articles that come across my path that I think you will enjoy. For comments and suggestions on these mailings, do not reply to this address, but contact me at: Meteorologist@zdnetmail.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1998 to 16 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:35:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1747 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626505-25693>; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 13:07:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36634; Tue, 18 Aug 1998 00:06:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199808180506.AAA36634@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 00:01:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1998 to 17 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e5ed8d2030955814c0a04767a5ebe256 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 61 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Monthly national/world summaries 2. New SPC Convective Outlook (Experimental) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 12:53:04 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: Monthly national/world summaries I used to get these summaries via emai, but somehow they ceased. Does anyone know where I can obtain these via the WWW. If im correct, they are provided by the NWS. Bill ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Aug 1998 16:54:15 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: New SPC Convective Outlook (Experimental) This message is from Roger Edwards at teh Storm Prediction Center, who couldn't post it to wx-talk or chase due to technical difficulties with his ISP (Internet Service Provider). Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* WX-CHASErs, ********************* ANNOUNCEMENT ************************ The SPC is now testing experimental convective outlooks (issued only at 11Z for now) designed to more explicitly convey forecast info on coverage *and* intensity of severe weather. In concept, this would allow us more flexibility than the current outlook scheme on covering the full range of event types -- and give you more info in a precise forecast breakdown. This is *experimental* and will probably undergo changes from time to time as good suggestions and helpful comments roll in. The full explanation of the new convective outlook test is at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/products/outlook/testotlk.htm Please look that over, then check out the test outlook graphics linked from there, or directly from the SPC Forecasts page at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/products/ Thanks for your interest! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1998 to 17 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:36:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4517 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626160-24130>; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 13:11:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59950; Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:08:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199808190508.AAA59950@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:02:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1998 to 18 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 61ae4a83abebc019d12646d5e6852bf0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 239 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NRC report on NWS Cooperative Observer Network avialable on Web 2. Weather Service Weighs Its Human Factor (2) 3. FEMA and Texas Tech Team Up 4. Wien's Law 5. NCDC summaries 6. TV MET POSITION 7. Environment Canada hiring meteorologists +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 09:21:14 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: NRC report on NWS Cooperative Observer Network avialable on Web The recent NRC report "Toward a New National Weather Service: Future of the National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Network" is now available in its entirety at the following site: http://www.nas.edu/publications/ click on reading room, then on Earth Sciences, then Atmospheric Sciences. The report is listed under the Atmospheric Science series. A hard copy can be ordered from the same web page at a discounted price of $12.00. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 10:39:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Weather Service Weighs Its Human Factor Speaking of the coop network - the Washington Post has an interesting article in today's edition... http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1998-08/18/076l-081898-idx.html ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:17:37 -0400 From: Joel McLaughlin Subject: Re: Weather Service Weighs Its Human Factor Very interesting article. It is very cool that there are people willing to make those observations and do it for practically free. Joel McLaughlin >>> Robert P Dale 8/18/98 10:39:26 AM >>> Speaking of the coop network - the Washington Post has an interesting article in today's edition... <> ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:15:58 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: FEMA and Texas Tech Team Up From: Emergency Information Media Affairs FEMA AND TEXAS TECH TEAM UP FOR TORNADO PROTECTION IN THE HOME WASHINGTON August 18, 1998 -- Director James Lee Witt of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) today unveiled a major initiative on in-residence tornado shelters or "safe rooms." Witt made the announcement at a National Tornado Forum convened in Washington by the agency to identify measures to increase protection from the hazards of tornadoes. "Having a shelter, or safe room built into a home can help protect people and families from injury or death caused by the dangerous force of extreme winds," Witt said. "When constructed according to the plans, the safe room can provide protection against winds of up to 250 miles per hour and projectiles travelling at 100 miles an hour." A joint project with the Wind Engineering Research Center of Texas Tech University in Lubbock, Texas, design specifications for a "safe room" are included with the 25-page illustrated FEMA publication, Taking Shelter from the Storm: Building a Safe Room Inside Your House. Advance copies of the publication, which provides detailed planning and construction guidelines, including plans and cost estimates, were released at the National Tornado Forum. Taking Shelter from the Storm draws on 25 years of field research by researchers at Texas Tech's Wind Engineering Research Center, including studies of the performance of buildings following dozens of tornadoes throughout the United States and laboratory testing on the performance of building materials and systems when impacted by airborne debris. The safe room project is part of an ongoing FEMA initiative to encourage people to take measures to protect themselves and their property before disasters occur. With the dramatic increase in the number of deadly tornadoes this year, FEMA has accelerated the development of effective strategies that federal agencies, states, communities and individuals can pursue to protect people and reduce damages from these severe storms. The in-home "safe room" project was initiated following numerous requests by state and local emergency management officials and by persons whose homes were either destroyed or significantly damaged by tornadoes and hurricanes for guidance on how to incorporate a safe room into the reconstruction of storm-damaged homes. Whether an individual family should consider building a "safe room" in their house depends on a number of factors, including: location in high-risk area; how quickly safe shelter can be reached during extreme winds; level of safety desired; and the cost of a building a shelter, Witt said. Taking Shelter from the Storm will help homeowners decide how best to protect themselves and their families. The section on understanding the hazards defines and illustrates the categories of damage caused by tornadoes and hurricanes, and provides a risk assessment worksheet for the homeowner using wind zone charts and maps. It also details emergency planning and assembling an emergency supply kit. The planning section outlines the basis of shelter design including size, retrofitting in existing houses, foundation types and location within the house. In addition, construction plans, materials, and construction cost estimates are detailed for a variety of situations. The National Tornado Forum, which is being held in Washington, D.C., Aug. 18 -19, is focusing on increasing the safety of residential structures, including manufactured housing, and improving tornado-warning systems. The Forum is bringing together officials from FEMA, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Also participating in the Forum are representatives of state agencies in tornado-prone states; wind engineering researchers; and representatives of the homebuilding and manufactured housing industries. The National Forum follows-up a regional tornado forum convened by FEMA in Atlanta, Ga., last April. Taking Shelter from the Storm: Building a Safe Room Inside Your House, FEMA Publication 320 (booklet and construction plans), will available through FEMA Publications (1800- 480 2520) in October 1998. The publication also will be available on the FEMA website (www.fema.gov) soon thereafter. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:34:14 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Wien's Law A quick question: What is the value of the constant in Wien's Law? I have seen a lot of variance in the number. Thanks ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 13:46:46 EDT From: Daryl Bargiband Subject: NCDC summaries In a message dated 98-08-18 01:56:35 EDT, you write: << I used to get these summaries via emai, but somehow they ceased. Does anyone know where I can obtain these via the WWW. If im correct, they are provided by the NWS. Bill >> As the supervisor of a contract weather station, I get the monthly summaries. NCDC sent me a letter, stating in part: "On-line serial publications can be accessed from the NCDC WW home page at http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/productaccm.htm. The software required to access these files is Adobe Acrobat reader " The Local Climatological Data Report also has an address for orders: "orders@ncdc.noaa.gov" Hope this helps! -Daryl R. Bargiband Birmingham AL ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 15:13:07 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: TV MET POSITION KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA. The market leader in aggressive severe weather coverage has an immediate full time opening for a weekend meteorologist with additional morning meteorologist duties three days a week. Meteorologist must have significant knowledge of Doppler radar and be able to pass an oral exam on Doppler radar interpretation and a show us your forecasting ability. AMS and NWA seal preferred. Would consider applicant currently applying for AMS seal. Knowledge of Baron VHDD-250kw Doppler radar, Kavouras i7, and windows-based forecasting and analysis programs a major plus. Overnight your tape and resume to: Dave Busiek, KCCI-TV, 888 9th, Des Moines, IA. Thanks, John McLaughlin Chief Meteorologist ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 17:27:40 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Environment Canada hiring meteorologists For your interest... EC is now advertising for meteorologists for its Prairie and Northern Region. More details are available at the following Web address. http://www.psc-cfp.gc.ca/recruit/p003847e.htm +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | | Manager, Prairie Aviation and Arctic Weather Centre | | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca | +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1998 to 18 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4669 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-23361>; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 13:10:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA58308; Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:04:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199808200504.AAA58308@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 00:00:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1998 to 19 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abb4158433ccb1feb02b4b322e4fc217 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 512 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS SID Changes 2. AWOS Sites Not Yet on FOS (Update) 3. Wien's Law (4) 4. Satellite Meteorology (2) 5. FSU Gopher now a webserver 6. best satellite view of td2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 00:54:36 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: ASOS SID Changes The following ASOS SIDs changed on 8/13. 3KM to AAO - Wichita/Jabara Arpt, KS 6R0 to ASD - Slidell, LA L39 to RNM - Ramona, CA U11 to RXE - Rexburg, ID On 10/8, the following ASOS SIDs are *scheduled* to change. Note not all sites are commissioned yet. 07S to DEW - Deer Park, WA 0Y7 to LWD - Lamoni, IA 1S4 to SPB - Scappoose, OR 22G to LPR - Lorain/Elyria, OH 29J to UZA - Rock Hill, SC 2I8 to VTA - Newark, OH 3R5 to BAZ - New Braunfels, TX 3SM to GEZ - Shelbyville, IN 3SZ to SET - St Charles, MO 5B5 to DDH - Bennington, VT 6B1 to DAW - Rochester, NH 7G2 to SHI - Ashtabula, OH E02 to ODO - Odessa, TX F54 to GKY - Arlington, TX L32 to OKB - Oceanside, CA N52 to SJB - Somerville, NJ N97 to FIG - Clearfield, PA O00 to AAT - Alturas, CA O45 to VCB - Vacaville, CA P34 to RQE - Window Rock, AZ S22 to HRI - Hermiston, OR T02 to LVJ - Houston/Clover, TX T31 to PIL - Port Isabel, TX Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 01:02:11 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: AWOS Sites Not Yet on FOS (Update) FAA-Sponsored AWOS Sites Not Yet Available on FOS 90LA NEW ORLEANS/SUPERDOME LA AJO CORONA CA DWU ASHLAND KY EKY BESSEMER AL FCI RICHMOND/CHESTERFIELD CO VA GAI GAITHERSBURG MD GVQ BATAVIA NY HXD HILTON HEAD ISLAND SC ISM ORLANDO/KISSIMMEE FL JRB NEW YORK/WALL STREET NY LZU LAWRENCEVILLE GA MJX TOMS RIVER NJ MKY MARCO ISLAND FL OKK KOKOMO IN PVG PORTSMOUTH VA RYY MARIETTA/COBB COUNTY GA PAII EGEGIK AK PAQH QUINHAGAK AK NON FEDERAL AWOS STATIONS NOT YET AVAILABLE FOS ("*" indicates an addition) 4A9 FORT PAYNE AL AL15 GULF SHORES AL AZC COLORADO CITY AZ CHD CHANDLER AZ E14 TUCSON/AVRA VALLEY AZ HII LAKE HAVASU CITY AZ PBY KAYENTA AZ RYN TUSCON/RYAN AZ 0O3 SAN ANDREAS CA DLO DELANO CA F70 MURRIETA/TEMECULA CA FCH FRESNO/DOWNTOWN CA HMT HEMET CA MHR SACRAMENTO/MATHER CA L35 BIG BEAR CA LHM LINCOLN CA O22 COLUMBIA CA SBD SAN BERNADINO CA FTG DENVER/FRONT RANGE CO EVY MIDDLETOWN DE 23J JACKSONVILLE/HERLONG FL LCQ LAKE CITY FL SUA STUART FL VNC VENICE FL 3J7 GREENSBORO GA 47A CANTON GA AYS WAYCROSS GA CKF CORDELE GA CZM CASTMAN-DODGE COUNTY GA DQH DOUGLAS GA EZM EASTMAN GA FZG FITZGERALD GA JZP JASPER GA LGC LA GRANGE GA OKZ SANDERSVILLE GA OPN THOMASTON GA SBO SWAINSBORO GA TBR STATESBORO GA TVI THOMASVILLE GA 12C ROCHELLE IL 1H2 EFFINGHAM IL 2I5 RANTOUL IL 3LC LINCOLN IL C75 LACON IL DKB DE KALB IL DNV DANVILLE IL FEP FREEPORT IL FOA FLORA IL GBG GALESBURG IL HSB HARRISBURG IL I88 PONTIAC IL IGQ CHICAGO/LANSING IL IKK KANKAKEE IL JOT JOLIET IL LOT ROMEOVILLE IL MQB MACOMB IL TAZ TAYLORVILLE IL VYS PERU IL ASW WARSAW IN MZZ MARION IN CBK COLBY KS 1A6 MIDDLESBORO KY 1M9 CADIZ KY 27K GEORGETOWN KY 2I0 MADISONVILLE KY 7K0 PIKEVILLE KY AAS CAMPBELLSVILLE KY CEY MURRAY KY DVK DANVILLE KY EKX ELIZABETHTOWN KY FGX FLEMINGSBURG KY GLW GLASGOW KY HVC HOPKINSVILLE KY IOB MOUNT STERLING KY K22 PRESTONBURG KY M21 GREENVILLE KY M25 MAYFIELD KY M34 GILBERTSVILLE KY K24 JAMESTOWN KY 2F8 BASTROP LA HMU HAMMOND LA IER NATCHITOCHES LA RSN * RUSTON LA CBE CUMBERLAND MD ESN EASTON MD FDK FREDERICK MD W54 WESTMINSTER MD SAW GWINN MI 54Y RUSH CITY MN MZH MOOSE LAKE MN Y33 MAPLE LAKE MN M58 MONETT MO MHL MARSHALL MO CKM CLARKSDALE MS CRX CORINTH MS HSA BAY ST LOUIS MS LUL LAUREL MS RNV CLEVELAND MS UOX OXFORD MS 1A5 FRANKLIN NC JNX SMITHFIELD NC JQF CONCORD NC RUQ SALISBURY NC TDF ROXBORO NC UKF NORTH WILKESBORO NC VUJ * ALBEMARLE NC BPP BOMAN ND BWP WAHPETON ND MLE OMAHA/MILLARD NE SVC SILVER CITY NM 4SD RENO/STEAD NV CXP CARSON CITY NV 1B1 HUDSON NY 5B2 SARATOGA SPRINGS NY N03 CORTLAND NY N17 ENDICOTT NY OIC NORWICH NY PTD POTSDAM NY AXV WAPAKONETA OH CDI CAMBRIDGE OH I19 DAYTON/JACKSON OH I78 MARYSVILLE OH PCW PORT CLINTON OH PMH PORTSMOUTH OH UNI ATHENS/ALBANY OH 0F8 * SAND SPRINGS OK ADH ADA OK HHW HUGO OK OK78 WATONGA OK OUN NORMAN OK RKR POTEAU OK WWR WOODWARD OK 2G3 CONNELLSVILLE PA 2G9 SOMERSET PA 40N COATESVILLE PA HMZ BEDFORD PA HZL HAZELTON PA N70 PERKASIE PA N79 * SHAMOKIN PA OYM ST MARY'S PA RVL REEDSVILLE PA ZER POTTSVILLE PA GGE GEORGETOWN SC GYH GREENVILLE/DONALDSON SC RBW WALTERBORO SC SPA SPARTANSBURG SC 0A9 ELIZABETHTON TN 1M5 PORTLAND TN 2A0 DAYTON TN 2M2 LAWRENCEBURG TN 6A4 MOUNTAIN CITY TN 8A3 LIVINGSTON TN BGF WINCHESTER TN DKX KNOXVILLE/DOWNTOWN TN FYE SOMERVILLE TN FYM FAYETTEVILLE TN GCY GREENEVILLE TN GKT SEVIERVILLE TN GZS PULASKI TN HZD HUNTINGDON TN JAU JACKSBORO TN JWN NASHVILLE/TUNE TN LUG LEWISBURG TN M02 DICKSON TN M04 COVINGTON TN M08 BOLIVAR TN M33 GALLATIN TN M52 LEXINGTON TN M54 LEBANON TN M91 SPRINGFIELD TN MBT MURFREESBORO TN MMI ATHENS TN MOR MORRISTOWN TN MRC COLUMBIA/MOUNT PLEASANT TN PHT PARIS TN RNC MCMINNVILLE TN SCX ONEIDA TN SNH SAVANNAH TN SRB SPARTA TN SYI SHELBYVILLE TN THA TULLAHOMA TN UCY UNION CITY TN 22XS KILLEEN/LONGHORN TX 81R SAN SABA TX BBD BRADY TX BWD BROWNWOOD TX CNW WACO/TSTC TX T65 WESLACO TX BDG BLANDING UT BMC BRIGHAM CITY UT DTA DELTA UT U42 SALT LAKE CITY/MUNI 2 UT 6V3 RICHLANDS VA I18 RAVENSWOOD WV W99 PETERSBURG WV 3I2 POINT PLEASANT WV EMM KEMMERER WY Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 07:15:32 -0400 From: "Beattie, Richard" Subject: Wien's Law I too have seen a decent amount of variance in the constant, mostly due to the number of significant digits displayed. The most widely used that I've seen is 2898 micrometers, or 0.2898 cm. Hope this helps. Rich Beattie --NE Ohio Storm Chaser----------------------- > Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 11:34:14 -0500 > From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" > Subject: Wien's Law > > A quick question: > > What is the value of the constant in Wien's Law? I have seen a lot of > variance in the number. > > Thanks > > ********************************************************************** > ******** > * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) > 942-2590 * > * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 > * > * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL > 60137 * > ********************************************************************** > ******** > > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 07:38:43 -0700 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Wien's Law Paul L. Sirvatka asked: >What is the value of the constant in Wien's Law? I have seen a lot of >variance in the number. According to the "Glossary of Meteorology," 1980 edition, page 628: "Wien's law - (Also called Wien's displacement law.) One of the radiation laws which states that the wavelength of maximum radiation intensity for a black body is inversely proportional to the absolute temperature of the radiating black body. lambda's of m = a/T, where lambda's of m is the wavelength of maximum intensity, a is a constant, and T the absolute temperature. The constant a is equal to 0.2884 cm deg when lambda's of m is expressed in centimeters and T in degrees Kelvin." According to the "Smithsonian Meteorological Tables," Sixth Revised Edition, page 411: "The wave length of maximum emittance lambda's of m for a specified temperature is given by Wien's displacement law lambda's of m times T = 0.2897 cm. degree Kelvin" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 11:58:18 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Wien's Law On Wed, 19 Aug 1998 Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV wrote: > >What is the value of the constant in Wien's Law? I have seen a lot of > >variance in the number. > > According to the "Glossary of Meteorology," 1980 edition, page 628: deletia.. > constant, and T the absolute temperature. The constant a is equal to > 0.2884 cm deg when lambda's of m is expressed in centimeters and T in > degrees Kelvin." > > According to the "Smithsonian Meteorological Tables," Sixth Revised > Edition, page 411: > > "The wave length of maximum emittance lambda's of m for a specified > temperature is given by Wien's displacement law > > lambda's of m times T = 0.2897 cm. degree Kelvin" The NIST value is 2898. In Meteorology by Danielson, Levin and Abrams it is 2890 I guess I am just wondering why the discrepency? ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 13:15:09 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Wien's Law > > degrees Kelvin." > > > > According to the "Smithsonian Meteorological Tables," Sixth Revised > > Edition, page 411: > > > > "The wave length of maximum emittance lambda's of m for a specified > > temperature is given by Wien's displacement law > > > > lambda's of m times T = 0.2897 cm. degree Kelvin" > > The NIST value is 2898. > > In Meteorology by Danielson, Levin and Abrams it is 2890 > > I guess I am just wondering why the discrepency? I haven't done the calculation, but I've read that it is a derived quantity that must be calculated via numerical approximation. Perhaps the assumptions and technique used in the numerical approx lead to different answers. Just a guess. As I mentioned in private email the NIST est of error doesn't suggest such a large variation, however. So, what is the solar "constant" these days? :) :) -Keith ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:32:17 -0400 From: Scott Cravens Subject: Satellite Meteorology Wondering if anyone may be able to recommend a good Satellite Meteorology book that mostly focuses on satellite interpretation, not just on the physical Satellite geometry aspects. If so, please email me directly - thanks in advance! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 19:11:18 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Satellite Meteorology Scott Cravens wrote: > > Wondering if anyone may be able to recommend a good Satellite > Meteorology book that mostly focuses on satellite interpretation, not > just on the physical Satellite geometry aspects. If so, please email > me directly - thanks in advance! > Can't go wrong with "Images in Weather Forecasting", Bader et al., 1995, Cambridge University Press. Another good book with some interpretation is "Satellite Meteorlogy - An Introduction", Kidder and Vonder Haar, 1995, Academic Press. A good compilation of "older" material can be found in "Satellite Imagery Interpretaion for Forecasters", Vol. 1-3, 1993, National Weather Association. Also, "Weather Satellites - Systems, Data, and Environmental Applications", 1990, AMS has some interpretation material in Section 7. Some good material is also evolving on the Web...see the COMET Satellite Meteorlogy page at http://www.comet.ucar.edu/class/satmet/home.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 14:41:55 -0400 From: David Baron Subject: FSU Gopher now a webserver There were some comments about the demise of the FSU gopher server in the past few weeks. I emailed the sysadmins at FSU and it turns out they have simply moved the service to their webserver. (If this is already known, sorry for the repost...) The main link is: http://www.met.fsu.edu/Data/archive/ and the Tropical Products are in: http://www.met.fsu.edu/Data/archive/weather/HURR/ and http://www.met.fsu.edu/Data/archive/weather/RECON/ David Baron --------------------------------------------------------------------- L. David Baron | Entering Freshman, Harvard dbaron@netaxs.com | < http://www.psych.upenn.edu/~baron/david/ > lbaron@fas.harvard.edu (or maybe dbaron@fas...) after September 6 Webmaster, International Weather Satellite Imagery Center, etc. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Aug 1998 18:28:15 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: best satellite view of td2 Good evening to all. I'm wanting to get the best view that I can of td-2. I am on the goes www page and can choose from hurricane sector and goes-8PR. Which I believe is Portur Rico. Which would be the best. I was thinking the picture from portur Rico since it was fairly close. Chris Sells Owner SELLS ENTERPRISES (256) 524-3616 (voice) (256) 524-3099 (fax) http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1998 to 19 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:37:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2600 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-23366>; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 13:22:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56140; Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:09:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199808210509.AAA56140@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 00:02:25 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Aug 1998 to 20 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f5c3e798c23305264cac1ae526b3fdbe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 460 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. FEMA Tornado Seminar 2. Undecodes Surface reports 3. NOAA Weather Radio's Future (3) 4. Forwarding a Question (2) 5. Wien's Law 6. Tropical Storm Bonnie Forms 7. What is a tutt? (2) 8. PHOTOS NEEDED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 05:50:50 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: FEMA Tornado Seminar For those with cable or satellite TV, a FEMA Tornado seminar is being aired on C-Span 2 now. Joseph Schaefer, SPC Director just spoke. Don Burgess is the next speaker. I don't have a C-Span 2 schedule and as a result do not know if the seminar will be repeated. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 07:45:00 -0400 From: paul_a_hodgdon__jr Subject: Undecodes Surface reports Hi All, Is there a source for undecoded surface reports. They used to be available on the gopher at UIUC gopher://wx.atmos.uiuc.edu/00/States%20and%20Provinces/ and were nicely separated by states. Another nice feature was that they were updated quite often, so that stations that reported more than once an hour would show the reports as soon as 5 minutes later! But, the gopher has not been available for weeks. Any help out there? Thanks for your help! Paul ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 08:05:42 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: NOAA Weather Radio's Future THE FUTURE OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO Joseph Golden and Don Burgess talked about the current state of the NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) network during the FEMA Tornado Emergency seminar that was broadcast on C-SPAN2 this morning. Their comments on gaps in network coverage made me think about ways to improve the system. Two methods come to mind immediately. First, the very low and low frequency spectrum and second, satellite broadcast. Low Frequency Radio Frequency (RF) (300 kHz to 3 MHz) Very Low Frequency RF (30 kHz to 300 kHz) If you listened to LF/VLF Aviation Non-Directional Beacons (NDB) in the past, you may be aware that weather information was broadcast over a few of these stations. Unfortunately, these broadcasts were eliminated as a cost reduction strategy. During the 1980's, I used these stations for data when chasing storms outside the range of the VHF NOAA Weather Radio transmitters. Vertically polarized LF/VLF RF signals produce a large ground wave "foot print". For a given power level, a LF/VLF signal will cover a larger area than an equivalent VHF (e.g. 162 MHz) signal. The Fort Worth NDB on 365 kHz (identification "FT" in Morse Code) could be heard over a 300 to 400 mile radius around the transmitter site. I could hear Oklahoma City, Galveston, Amarillo, Dodge City and Dallas simultaneously from many points in western Oklahoma, Texas and Kansas, when there was no trace of a NWR signal present on VHF. NDBs weather broadcasts used amplitude modulation (AM). As a result, spherics (lightning produced RF signals) produce significant interference. However, prior to the formation of thunderstorms, the FT LF/VLF beacon provided valuable information. Perhaps another modulation mode should be considered, such as reduced carrier single side band (SSB). In the short term, regional LF/VLF transmitters could fill in the gaps in the current NWR network. The frequency allocations already exist in the form of the NDB network. However, power levels may need to be increased to provide the desired coverage. Some communities around the country are already independently filling some of the voids in the current NWR network by using low power transmitters in the commercial AM broadcast band. Satellite NWR Broadcasts A better long term solution to move toward is direct digital broadcasts (DDB) of NWR from satellites. The commercial broadcast industry will move in this direction over the coming years. Plans should be created now to migrate the entire NWR network to DDB from satellite. Consider the cost savings possible. Digital multiplexing of DDB signals should allow the user to select the area of interest for forecasts and warnings from a menu of locations around the U.S. Direct satellite broadcasts would provide better coverage in mountainous areas also, with fewer terrain induced RF "shadows". LF/VLF transmitters could easily fill the gaps short term, while migrating to DDB via satellite is the obvious long term solution. Suppliers of car and home commercial broadcast radios should be required to include reception of this frequency range and the current VHF NWR by the FCC. Comments? Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 06:41:13 +0000 From: hmmogil Subject: Forwarding a Question The following was recently sent to me. Anyone out there that can help Pat? In advance, thanks!! Mike <><><><><><> Subject: Question on Oxygen content of air Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 19:33:05 -0500 From: Pat Crownhart To: hmmogil@weatherworks.com I'm trying to find some kind of formula to measure the amount of oxygen in the air as the Temperature, humidity, and atmospheric pressure change. I drag race with my brother and fiquring out how the are changes effect the cars fuel system could be very helpful. So the volume of air measured isn't as important as the ratio of oxygen as the air changes. I would appreciate any help you could give me because right now we just use a few rules of thumb to guess fuel system setup. Thank You Pat Crownhart <><><><><><><><> -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 301 Creek Valley Lane Rockville, MD 20850 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) or 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** The road to knowledge is ALWAYS under construction! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 09:19:31 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Forwarding a Question The percentage of O2 in the air is remarkably constant up to -- what -- 80 km? AFAIK, it is not really affected by changes in temperature, humidity, etc. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > > The following was recently sent to me. Anyone out there that can help > Pat? > > In advance, thanks!! > > Mike > > <><><><><><> > > Subject: Question on Oxygen content of air > Date: Wed, 22 Jul 1998 19:33:05 -0500 > From: Pat Crownhart > To: hmmogil@weatherworks.com > > I'm trying to find some kind of formula to measure the amount of oxygen > in the air as the Temperature, humidity, and atmospheric pressure > change. I drag race with my brother and fiquring out how the are changes > effect the cars fuel system could be very helpful. So the volume of air > measured isn't as important as the ratio of oxygen as the air changes. I > would appreciate any help you could give me because right now we just > use a few rules of thumb to guess fuel system setup. > > Thank You > > Pat Crownhart > > <><><><><><><><> > > -- > > Mike Mogil > weather educator > HOW THE WEATHERWORKS > 301 Creek Valley Lane > Rockville, MD 20850 > 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) > or > 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) > > hmmogil@weatherworks.com > http://www.weatherworks.com > > ****** ****** ****** ****** > The road to knowledge is ALWAYS under construction! > ****** ****** ****** ****** > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 10:07:14 -0500 From: "J. Christopher Clarke" Subject: Wien's Law > > "The wave length of maximum emittance lambda's of m for a specified > > temperature is given by Wien's displacement law > > > > lambda's of m times T = 0.2897 cm. degree Kelvin" > > The NIST value is 2898. > > In Meteorology by Danielson, Levin and Abrams it is 2890 > > I guess I am just wondering why the discrepency? > Wien's Law can be derived by taken the derivative of Planck's Law with respect to lambda and setting it equal to zero. Using slightly different values of the constants in Planck's Law would change your final constant in Wien's Law. According to Hess's Introduction to Theoretical Meteorology c1 = 5.362*10e-5 cal/cm-2 min-1 micron and c2 = 1.4385*10e4 micron K. Sorry I don't have a CRC to look up more recent values, but I have my Physical Meteorology student do this derivative every year, using these values and converting to MKS. Chris _____________________________________________________ J. Christopher Clarke jclarke@hurricane.net2.nlu.edu Assistant Professor Northeast Louisiana University Dept. of Geosciences _____________________________________________________ "This isn't flying. This is falling -- with style." _____________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 13:58:36 -0400 From: Joel McLaughlin Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio's Future >>> Sam Barricklow 8/20/98 9:05:42 AM >>> >THE FUTURE OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO <> >NDBs weather broadcasts used amplitude modulation (AM). As a result, >spherics (lightning produced RF signals) produce significant >interference. However, prior to the formation of thunderstorms, the FT >LF/VLF beacon provided valuable information. Perhaps another modulation >mode should be considered, such as reduced carrier single side band >(SSB). SSB has no carrier. Also, SSB is essentially the same as AM, but just half of the signal and a vestigal carrier. So, SSB would not make a difference no matter what freq you were at. Also, propagation of the SSB signal will vary with conditions. There may be times when you are only 20-30 miles from a station, and you may not be able to here it. There also may be times when you are 3000 miles away and you may here it. It depends on how the atmosphere affects the signal. >In the short term, regional LF/VLF transmitters could fill in the gaps How many places can you buy equipment to receive the LF/VLF stuff without spending a mint? > long term solution to move toward is direct digital broadcasts >(DDB) of NWR from satellites. The commercial broadcast industry will >move in this direction over the coming years. Plans should be created >now to migrate the entire NWR network to DDB from satellite. Consider >the cost savings possible. Satellite, or heck even just plain VHF Digital brodcasting may be the way to go. Digital basically runs the voice thru a A/D converter, serially transmits the bits, then the reciever runs the digital bits thru a D/A converter then puts it out to the speaker. This is a greatly simplified version of what really happens, but the advantage of transmitting the bits instead of analog voice is that you need less signal to get a top quality reproduction on the other end. You would either get a clear signal or nothing. This could effectively increae the range of NWR's signal. >Digital multiplexing of DDB signals should allow the user to select the >area of interest for forecasts and warnings from a menu of locations That could be accomplished by using SAME on a digital signal without making it complex or necessary to buy real expensive satellite receiving packages. >to include reception of this frequency range and the current VHF NWR by >the FCC. Some already have this on them. I got a bud who just presses a button, and no matter where he's at he get's NWR. >Comments? NWR is very good. I can get it in most areas of my state. There's not too many gaps. But, I am also seeing better alternatives being used by some of the local TV stations here in Columbus. WBNS Channel 10 here has NWR on it's SAP signal (Secondary Audio Program, orginally developed to have multiole languages for the same TV show except hardly noon uses it). Most Newer TV's have this and I can pick up NOAA on Both of my TV's on the SAP for channel 10. The emergency broadcast system here in Columbus is pretty good too. Sometimes the TV broadcasts the warning 2 seconds before NOAA. (that may decrease with the CRS) With greater Internet presence and use of EMWIN software on the internet, I think this may be the future of NWR and TV. You can get a lot more then you can get on NWR including satellite and NEXRAD data, with some sites giving you realtime data. All you need for that is a computer or internet device such as a Web TV box (and maybe some one can produce weather software to retrieve the EMWIN for the box) and a phone line. A computer is the way to go right now, but eventually, boxes such as the Web TV box can provide a cheap connection and be able to provide the instant notification that NWR can provide. NWR is not the only way anyone should expect to receive warnings too. The possibilities are limitless when you talk about alternatives to radio. Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:27:24 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Tropical Storm Bonnie Forms The second tropical storm of the 1998 Atlantic Season has arrived. Tropical Storm Bonnie has just been named. For track information, please see http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ Should it get within range of our ground station coverage, we will add NOAA AVHRR satellite images to this page. Happy hurricane hunting, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ -- Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 17:26:47 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio's Future Sam Barricklow wrote: > THE FUTURE OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO > > Joseph Golden and Don Burgess talked about the current state of the NOAA > Weather Radio (NWR) network during the FEMA Tornado Emergency seminar > that was broadcast on C-SPAN2 this morning. Their comments on gaps in > network coverage made me think about ways to improve the system. > > Two methods come to mind immediately. First, the very low and low > frequency spectrum and second, satellite broadcast. > > Comments? Or we could take the $50-million proposed for "GoreSat" and and rebuild the entire NWR network, including the filling all the gaps, a couple of times over. We're building one here...total cost should be about $75,000-$80,000 for redundant KW transmitters. At the higher cost that's 625 turn key systems, installed and operating. Or we can go ahead with his silly orbiting "webcam..." -- Gary Arnold CEM Coordinator Collier County Emergency Management garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet radio: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.us.noam "Once in a while I like to look out the window and smile for the satellite picture." --Steven Wright, peripheral visionary ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 20:58:17 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: What is a tutt? Evening all, While looking at a number of products yesterday and today (mainly the NCEP tropical desk discussion and the SFD from MIA) I have noticed the term "tutt" used a good bit. I am unfamiliar with it, and wonder if someone could clarify it for me! Thanks in advance, Jason Kelley Meteorologist Baron Services Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 02:41:24 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: What is a tutt? > While looking at a number of products yesterday and today (mainly the > NCEP tropical desk discussion and the SFD from MIA) I have noticed the > term "tutt" used a good bit. I am unfamiliar with it, and wonder if > someone could clarify it for me! TUTT = Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough For a techno_blurb, see http://groundhog.sprl.umich.edu/curriculum/Hurricane_Q&A/Answer23.html -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 22:48:20 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: PHOTOS NEEDED STORMTRACK MAGAZINE is in need of hard copy photographs for the June 13th event around Oklahoma City and the Spencer, SD event. Narrative responses have been excellent. Tim Marshall, 4041 Bordeaux Circle, Flower Mound, Texas 75022-7050. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Aug 1998 to 20 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626283-541>; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:07:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30596; Sat, 22 Aug 1998 00:05:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199808220505.AAA30596@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 00:01:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Aug 1998 to 21 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8d0da2046b9f3149f3f53a880b851439 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 469 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NOAA Weather Radio's Future (2) 2. Future track of Bonnie (2) 3. GOES-10 4. Decoded METARs (surface reports) 5. TBS Special 6. Two Atlantic Tropical Storms 7. KCCI MET OPENING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 09:17:04 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: NOAA Weather Radio's Future > Joel McLaughlin wrote: > > >>Perhaps another modulation mode should be considered, such as reduced > carrier single side band > > >(SSB). > > > > SSB has no carrier. Also, SSB is essentially the same as AM, but just > > half of the signal and a vestigal carrier. So, SSB would not make a > > difference no matter what freq you were at. Joel, reduced carrier SSB (single side band) or DSB (double side band) is not the same as the suppressed carrier SSB that most hams use. With reduced carrier SSB (RCSSB), some carrier is intentionally allowed to remain. The remaining carrier is intended for use with a synchronous demodulator and allows the phase locked loop within the synchronous demodulator to lock onto the carrier frequency in order to demodulate the audio properly. Many of the advantages that SSB has over full carrier AM (amplitude modulation) exist with reduced carrier SSB or DSB. All are a form of AM. The main advantages of RCSSB over conventional AM (the modulation technique used in the commercial AM broadcast band) are reduced bandwidth, an improvement in signal to noise ratio, lower transmitter power consumption, and the elimination of selective fading. (Selective fading can be a serious problem with conventional full carrier DSB AM transmissions (selective fading is due to multipath propagation (usually via the ionosphere) that results in dynamic changes of the phase relationship between the two side bands causing received audio to be unintelligible at times). Bandwidth reduction - The majority of the transmitted power is concentrated in the modulation instead of being shared with the carrier, resulting in lower average transmitter power consumption. (With full carrier AM or FM (frequency modulation) , the carrier continuously consumes full power whether modulation is present or not. With suppressed carrier SSB or DSB, power is consumed only when modulation is present. With reduced carrier SSB or DSB, minimal power is consumed by the carrier when modulation is not present. ) A synchronous demodulator also makes it easy for the average person to properly tune the receiver, as compared with trying to tune a suppressed carrier SSB signal. Suppressed carrier DSB was proposed for use by shortwave broadcasters many years ago, but never really caught on. (Broadcasters did not want to lose listeners who had conventional AM receivers and did not have or could not afford to upgrade to receivers with synchronous demodulators or product detectors.) Japanese and European short wave receiver designers eagerly included synchronous SSB AM demodulators in their designs. An added plus is that synchronous receivers improve reception of conventional "full carrier" AM broadcasts. Most of the better shortwave broadcast receivers built today include synchronous demodulators. When receiving a conventional DSB AM signal using a synchronous demodulator, you can select the sideband with the least interference from adjacent signals as well as eliminate selective fading. The point I intended to make was that LF/VLF could be a lower cost interim solution prior to a move to direct satellite broadcasts, when compared to the cost required to provide full CONUS NWR coverage by increasing the number of VHF NWR transmitters. Multiple VHF NWR transmitters would be required to cover the same area that could be covered by a single LF/VLF transmitter. And, that an efficient modulation/demodulation technique should be chosen to compensate for the increased spherics (noise) present at LF/VLF. > Also, propagation of the SSB signal will vary with conditions. There may be times when you are > only 20-30 miles from a station, and you may not be able to here it. > There also may be times when you are 3000 miles away and you may here > it. It depends on how the atmosphere affects the signal. The modulation technique does not affect propagation. Unlike VHF, at LF/VLF the lower portions of the atmosphere (the troposphere) have little affect on signal propagation. The main negative effect of the "atmosphere" at LF/VLF is signal absorption by the "D" layer of the ionosphere during daylight hours. Since skywave (skip) is typically absorbed by the "D" layer during daylight hours at LF/VLF, interference between skywave and groundwave is typically not a problem. The groundwave signal simply gets weaker as the distance increases between the transmitter and the receiver. Some skywave propagation (skip) may occur at night, but it is not nearly as prevalent as at higher frequencies. The main propagation mode at LF/VLF frequencies is groundwave. If the transmitter antenna chosen concentrates the signal at the horizon and attenuates the signal at higher elevation angles, then there should be minimal skywave, especially during daylight hours when ionospheric "D" layer absorption is at a maximum. As I alluded to before, given sufficient power and antenna gain, you should be able to receive the signal within a 150 to 300 mile radius of the transmitter site. Think about the "clear channel" AM broadcast stations at the lower end of the AM broadcast band (530 kHz to 1000 kHz) and the coverage that they provide (e.g., WBAP 820 kHz from Fort Worth, KOA 850 kHz from Denver, WLS 850 kHz from New Orleans, 890(?) kHz from Chicago, etc.) During winter months, when D layer absorption may totally disappear at night, you might be able to hear the signal 3,000 or more miles away. > > How many places can you buy equipment to receive the LF/VLF stuff > > without spending a mint? Many of the shortwave receivers that incorporate synchronous demodulators cover the LF/VLF range. However, if NOAA fielded a LF/VLF system, it wouldn't take Radio Shack and other equipment sellers very long to incorporate this capability into their Weather Radio receivers. RCSSB and synchronous receivers are mature technologies and should be relatively inexpensive as a result. (That's COTS, (non developmental, commercial off-the-shelf) in government speak.) The main disadvantage to LF/VLF is noise, both natural spherics and man made, such as power line noise. > > Satellite, or heck even just plain VHF Digital brodcasting may be the > > way to go. This could effectively increase the range of NWR's > signal. Your statements are basically accurate, but the big advantage of a few satellite based transmitters as compared to hundreds of terrestrial transmitters is the quantity of transmitters required to cover the CONUS and the resulting cost difference. It will cost more per transmitter to get the transmitters on board satellites, but over the life of the satellites, the cost "should" be considerably less than that required to field and maintain ground based transmitters. (More than one satellite will be required for redundancy.) > > >Digital multiplexing of DDB signals should allow the user to select > > the area of interest for forecasts and warnings from a menu of locations > > > > > That could be accomplished by using SAME on a digital signal without > > making it complex or necessary to buy real expensive satellite > > receiving packages. You missed the point. This isn't the SAME. A DDB signal from satellite would multiplex NWR "transmissions" from every NWSFO in the country. The DDB receiver would allow the user to select the region of interest, perhaps by use of a menu. SAME or similar technology could then be used to filter out unwanted warnings within that region, in a way that could be functionally identical to SAME today. Very large scale integrated circuits (VLSI) techniques should allow receivers of this type to be produced inexpensively, in quantity. Obviously, NWR broadcast information would be sent to a "central collection point" from each NWSFO where the digitization and multiplexing would occur. Then, the combined information would be uplinked to the satellite for broadcast to the listener. Make sense? > > Some already have this on them. I got a bud who just presses a > > button, and no matter where he's at he get's NWR. Again, you missed the point. If your friend is in Florida, he can't push a button on his NWR and receive the NWR transmission from the Cheyenne, Wyoming, Los Angeles, California or Boston, Mass. NWSFO. See above. > > NWR is very good. I can get it in most areas of my state. There's > > not too many gaps. I can pick up > > NOAA on Both of my TV's on the SAP for channel 10. You're lucky. There are still many locations in the nation that have no NWR coverage, especially in the central and western half of the country. > > > With greater Internet presence and use of EMWIN software on the > > internet, I think this may be the future of NWR and TV. You can't connect to the Internet everywhere (at least not cheaply). Internet is great, but it is not a substitute for a NWR. Thanks for the reply Joel. Sam Barricklow K5KJ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:38:07 +0000 From: "Adam B. Kanis" Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio's Future sam and all, >A better long term solution to move toward is direct digital >broadcasts (DDB) of NWR from satellites. i don't do any uhf or microwave work, so forgive me if this is a silly question, but how sensitive are these systems to interference from rain assuming the consumer receivers are not going to be using large dishes for reception? after all, some of the more important transmissions may be made in the presence of heavy rain. as you brought up, the storm noises on VLF and LF bands may also limit their utility. Q: are NWS broadcasts using any kind of repeater systems to extend their coverages? --adam, n2brt adam-kanis@uiowa.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 11:39:21 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: Future track of Bonnie >The 21/00Z runs of the AVN and NGP are in, and both are running Bonnie up >the east coast, developing explosively. The NGP, with a longer outlook, >has Bonnie striking just east of Maine, up the Bay of Fundy (where the >world's largest tides are recorded) at 144hrs. > > Let's give the environment until Saturday nite before we "doom" the East Coast. So much can happen between now and then. My interest is to see the timing and placeement of the next advancing trough thru the eastern quarter of the nation and what effect it may have on the west Atlantic ridge. --Herb Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 08:24:57 -0700 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: GOES-10 Thought this may be of interest. The end of the first paragraph says "GOES satellite images are best known to television viewers as the cloud images that are shown on weather forecasts." Didn't know you not only could make a weather forecast, but that you could show the satellite image before it even occurred! Grover Prowell, CCM Science Applications International Corporation ___________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________ Contact: Joyce Gross, 202/482-8360 email: Joyce.W.Gross@noaa.gov NEWEST GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE REACHES FINAL DESTINATION GOES-10, the country's newest geostationary weather satellite, has reached its operating location overlooking the West Coast of the United States and well out into the Pacific Ocean, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced today. GOES satellite images are best known to television viewers as the cloud images that are shown on weather forecasts. GOES-10 was launched on April 25, 1997, from Cape Canaveral Air Station, Fla. After achieving a geostationary orbit 22,300 miles above the Earth, and undergoing on-orbit testing, the satellite was placed into on-orbit storage to replace one of two geostationary operational satellites when needed. When GOES-9, launched in May 23, 1995, experienced technical problems earlier this year, NOAA decided to replace it with GOES-10, which was called out of storage on July 9, 1998. On July 21, GOES-10 began its journey from its storage spot of 105 degrees West longitude. Traveling at about one degree per day, the satellite reached its destination of 135 degrees West longitude today. "The advanced geostationary satellites provide precise and timely weather observations and atmospheric measurement data for the United States," said Gerry Dittberner, NOAA's GOES program manager. "Continuity of geostationary weather data will be virtually guaranteed by having two satellites in operation and with plans to launch another next year." The design of the GOES satellites allows their sensors to continuously stare at the Earth to monitor developing weather events. GOES-8, the first state-of-the-art geostationary environmental satellite, was launched April 13, 1994. It is currently positioned at 75 degrees West longitude, overlooking the East Coast of North and South America and well into the Atlantic Ocean. The data gathered by the GOES satellites, combined with data from Doppler radars, the automated surface observing system, and other observations systems aid forecasters in providing advance warnings of thunderstorms, flash floods, hurricanes, winter storms, and other severe weather -- which save lives and preserve property. The satellites are also equipped with instruments designed to provide real time measurements of solar activity, the charged particle environment, and the Earth's magnetic field at synchronous orbit. In addition, the satellites can relay distress signals from people, aircraft, or ships to search and rescue ground stations of the search and rescue satellite-aided tracking system. NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center administers the GOES contract and manages the design, development, and launch of the spacecraft for NOAA. ANASA, with Space Systems/Loral and ITT as the major industry contractors, is proud to be able to satisfy NOAA's needs for a robust geostationary satellite system,@ said Martin Davis, NASA GOES project manager. NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service operates the GOES series of satellites from its Suitland, Md., facility. After the satellites complete on-orbit checkout, NOAA assumes responsibility for command and control, data receipt, and product generation and distribution. More information on GOES satellites is available on the World Wide Web at: http://www.nnic.noaa.gov/SOCC/SOCC_Home.html http://osdacces.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes.html http://goes1.gsfc.nasa.gov GOES imagery is located at: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov Click onto "Satellite Resources" NOTE: All NOAA press releases, and links to other NOAA material, can be found on the Internet at http://www.noaa.gov/public-affairs. Constituents who wish to be added to our press release distribution list, or who wish to switch from fax to e-mail delivery, can send an e-mail to the individual listed above or fax to (202) 501-2953. Do not use the reply function of your e-mail program because your message does not go to the contact person. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:16:22 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Decoded METARs (surface reports) Someone yesterday asked for a source of decoded METARs (surface reports). I've found these links to be a good source, although it helps to know the 3 letter Identifier of the site you want. http://www.met.fsu.edu/weather/ (then select "metar full decoded") http://www.met.tamu.edu/personnel/students/weather/weather_interface.html http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/curcond.html http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/ccus.html hope this helps out -- James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 14:50:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: TBS Special Sunday 8/23 7pm ET National Geographic Explorer TORNADO HUNTERS Every year 800 tornadoes are reported in the United States, east of the rocky Mountains in an area known as "Tornado Alley." While most people run the other way, an elite group of individuals run towards them. In the chasing community, the main objective is to get as close as possible to safely photograph a tornado. Explorer follows 6 storm chasers this summer as they race through the west in search of the next big tornado. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 18:33:27 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Future track of Bonnie In article , XZA@AXZAwinAZXternet.com (Moki%^Schnjoder) writes: |> In article <1998082111392100.HAA12379@ladder01.news.aol.com>, |> herb0412@aol.com (Herb0412) wrote: |> |> >>The 21/00Z runs of the AVN and NGP are in, and both are running Bonnie up |> >>the east coast, developing explosively. The NGP, with a longer outlook, |> >>has Bonnie striking just east of Maine, up the Bay of Fundy (where the |> >>world's largest tides are recorded) at 144hrs. |> > |> >Let's give the environment until Saturday nite before we "doom" the East Coast. |> > So much can happen between now and then. My interest is to see the timing and |> >placeement of the next advancing trough thru the eastern quarter of the nation |> >and what effect it may have on the west Atlantic ridge. --Herb |> |> |> Big (widespread coverage) hurricanes under steam are notoriously |> stubborn. Hugo and Gilbert are two examples of storms expected to turn |> which did not (to detriment in one case, and great relief in the other). |> The 21/12Z NGP is mostly in (missing the last few frames). It has |> Bonnie closer to the North Carolina coast than the 00Z run. I expect it to |> get closer still, as the storm is *still* (at 2pm EST) still below 20N |> above Puerto Rico, and will probably miss the Bahamas by a narrower margin |> than the forecast runs are showing, i.e. track more WNW than NW. |> |> |> BTW, anyone know why their is so much reluctance (this year) to declare |> a swirl in the Atlantic a TD seemingly "on time"? It took them quite a |> while to declare Bonnie's origin storm a TD, and the follow-up Cape Verde |> system behind it, IMO, is already a TD and has been one for a day now (it |> certainly looks tougher than that pathetic thing south of Hawaii they |> called a TD, and as hefty as TS Alex). |> I suppose I should add the caveat "Past performance does not guarantee future results" like a financial planner, but the trend in the path so far is definitely to the south of the forecast path. So if one likes to forecast by the trend in the forecast, things look stormier for the southeast coast. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | Can a meteorologist be http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 18:09:48 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Two Atlantic Tropical Storms There are now two tropical storms: Bonnie and Charley (why not Clyde?). Bonnie may become a hurricane soon. I've placed track maps and some NOAA AVHRR images on the Atlantic Hurricane web page at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ Happy hurricane hunting, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ -- Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1998 17:13:50 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: KCCI MET OPENING KCCI-TV, Des Moines, has two FULL TIME meteorologist openings. KCCI is the #1 central Iowa station with the best Baron radar equipment, Kavouras i7, and host of analysis computers. AMS and/or NWA seal helpful. Must be able to demonstrate your knowledge of Doppler radar and forecasting. If you are ready to work for the station committed to wall-to-wall severe weather coverage, send your tape and resume to Dave Busiek, KCCI-TV, 888 9th St. Des Moines, IA 50309. No calls please. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Aug 1998 to 21 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:38:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1587 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626812-27533>; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 13:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA37868; Sun, 23 Aug 1998 00:05:37 -0500 Message-Id: <199808230505.AAA37868@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 00:01:22 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1998 to 22 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea4e2b64c02b90445959ff1b6c93ef56 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 253 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Future Track of Bonnie 2. Interpreting Recon Vortex Messages (3) 3. AWIPS failing? 4. GFDL 5. Hurricane Links 6. The Future Track of Bonnie 7. Source Of Hurricane Info... 8. 1999 Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 08:39:45 -0400 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Future Track of Bonnie My biggest concern regarding the model forecasts of Bonnie is her continuing rapid forward speed....if she does not slow down as expected, the upper level ridge will not have moved out of the way, thus bringing Bonnie smack into the SE CONUS coast, possibly even as far south as Florida. Kevin Heyboer KD4UYR Pinellas County Florida Skywarn Coordinator ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:20:34 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Interpreting Recon Vortex Messages Can anyone provide an explanation or point me to a URL that explains the various paragraphs of the NHC recon vortex message? Many thanks in advance! Tom "Watching Bonnie intently" Madigan Newport News, Virginia "Let the games begin!" ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:46:52 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Re: Interpreting Recon Vortex Messages On Sat, 22 Aug 1998, Tom Madigan wrote: > Can anyone provide an explanation or point me to a URL that explains the > various paragraphs of the NHC recon vortex message? > > Many thanks in advance! > > Tom "Watching Bonnie intently" Madigan > Newport News, Virginia > > "Let the games begin!" > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ********************************************************************** An explanation of the "Vortex Data Message/RECON Report" may be found at the following URL: http://www.met.fsu.edu/Classes/Common/recon.html ********************************************************************** Kennard (Chip) Kasper ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:54:31 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: AWIPS failing? >From the Toledo Blade 8/22/98: AIRPORT MANAGER FAULTS NEW WEATHER COMPUTER Evansville, IN: An airport manager who has tried to get the National Weather Service to reopen its Evansville bureau said a new, state-of-the-art computer at the weather service's office in Paducah, Ky., has failed to forecast at least two storms here. The $3.48 million computer, called the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System, became operational last month. It issues weather forecasts and storm warnings for 58 counties in southeasterm Missouri, southern Illinois, southwestern Indiana, and western Kentucky. --- Now if he wants to rant and rave about them not having an 88D that's one thing, and I can buy some of his arguments. But now saying that the office in Paducah can't make forecasts other than for Paducah seems to be going over the edge... And according to this article -- there really is no need for the human intervention since this computer develops the forecasts and issues warnings ;> Rob ---------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale N8GSK http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 10:09:50 -0400 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Interpreting Recon Vortex Messages Tom Madigan wrote: > Can anyone provide an explanation or point me to a URL that explains the > various paragraphs of the NHC recon vortex message? > > Many thanks in advance! > Try the University of Michigan at http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/hurricane/recon.txt (Also watching 'Bonnie' but a bit less apprehensively at the moment! Good luck further up the coast!) -- Gary Arnold CEM Coordinator Collier County Emergency Management garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet radio: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.us.noam "Once in a while I like to look out the window and smile for the satellite picture." --Steven Wright, peripheral visionary ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 09:54:01 -0400 From: Howard Altschule Subject: GFDL Hi y'all, Thank god for the tropics or the weather biz here in the NE would be real BORING. Anyway, in light of all the action of the tropics, I was hoping that someone out there might have some guidance as to where I might find the GFDL model on the 'net. Not sure if it is an in house NHC model or what, but I would like to take a look at it if it's on the web. Thanks for you help. Howie -- Howie Altschule Meteorologist, WNYT-TV NBC Affiliate - Albany, NY Http://www.wnyt.com "weather" ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 10:23:47 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Hurricane Links http://www.pulse.net/storm/maritime.htm Sam ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:27:17 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: The Future Track of Bonnie Herb, I agree totally with your assessment. It is too early to tell what Bonnie is going to do to the East Coast (if it does anything at all). Right now forecasters are hoping for the storm to steer northward in the next 24 to 36 hours, but even they don't know what is going to happen. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 14:13:50 EDT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Source Of Hurricane Info... For another source of information about strengthening Hurricane Bonnie, visit my page at: http://maine.edu/~rlight51/index.html There are quite a few links and also my own tropical weather forecasts. Rob Lightbown Crown Weather Services ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 13:20:05 -0600 From: Paul Vincent Craven Subject: 1999 Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference The 3rd Annual 1999 Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference Sponsored by: Central Iowa National Weather Association Mark your calendars! The conference starts March 26 at 1:30 p.m. and runs until Sunday March 28 at noon. The last two years we have had great speakers, and next year should be great too. This conference is geared towards anyone with an interest in weather. Spotters, forecasters, emergency managers, storm chasers…everyone is encouraged to attend! If you have a presentation on a weather event you would like to publish, send us an e-mail. If you have storm video or pictures to show, Friday evening is chaser night. Show off your chasing success! The conference will be held at a different place this year: The University Park Holiday Inn. There is a free shuttle from the Des Moines International Airport so it will not be necessary to rent a car. There are plenty of fine eating establishments within walking distance of the hotel. There are also a few fast food places for those people on a budget. The University Park Holiday Inn has a large atrium area so you can easily mingle with the hundreds of other weather-minded people at the conference. Plus it has a waterfall and lush greenery! Rooms at this four star hotel are $68 and can hold up to four people. They come furnished with coffee makers and even dataports. For more information about the logistics of the meeting, mail me (Paul Vincent Craven) at paul@cravenfamily.com. If you wish to present or suggest a presentation topic, please e-mail John McLaughlin at JohnMc49@ecity.net. The 1st Annual Midwest Storm Chasers Picnic Sponsored by: Central Iowa National Weather Association The Central Iowa National Weather Association invites you to our Midwest Storm Chaser's picnic. It will be held September 12, 10:00 am to 6:00 p.m. at Living History Farms Conference building in Urbandale, IA (just east of the I-80/35 Hickman Road intersection next to Comfort Suites). Living History Farms alone is a neat attraction. Chasers and weather enthusiasts who take weather photos and video for fun, science and TV productions are encouraged to show their stuff from this year or any year. Come visit on your way up to the AMS Severe Local Storms Conference in Minneapolis. Please contact Paul our NWA secretary with your RSVP below if attending. (Although if you forget, please come anyway.) Cost is $3.00. Feel free to bring your favorite food also. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1998 to 22 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 24 21:39:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1665 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627156-14821>; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 13:18:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29092; Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:15:50 -0500 Message-Id: <199808240515.AAA29092@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:00:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Aug 1998 to 23 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7df1cbb52f015e9bb8dbfd9ec7363337 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 516 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Australian Severe Weather 2. YA'LL READY FOR THIS !? 3. Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly 4. Link list for international weather 5. National Meteorological Library? 6. HURRICANE BONNIE possibly to enter GULF OF MEXICO 7. GOES-8 imagery of Tropical Storm Charley 8. New Web Page : Interactive Tropical Surface Reports Map : Synoptic, METAR, Buoy Stations in Caribbean/Gulf 9. LAT/LON Info needed 10. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1998 to 22 Aug 1998 11. Two Atlantic Tropical Storms 12. NOAA Weather Radio's Future +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 15:32:46 +1000 From: Jimmy Deguara Subject: Australian Severe Weather Since April, Australia has had a rapid change from El Nino to La Nina with above average rainfall which have brought floods to New South Wales and also Victoria earlier in the year. The following are links to some interesting and significant events. http://www.bom.gov.au/info/thunder/index.shtml http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/storm_news/issue13/docs/iss 13-03.htm http://thunder.simplenet.com/diary/w98.htm http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/news9808.html#6 (takes a little while to load but you can read as it does) http://www.ozemail.com.au/~wbc/ With the second link, make sure that it ends with .htm if it gets cut off One of the highlights is the flash flood event at Wollongong south of Sydney. ---------------------------------------------------------- Australian Severe Weather http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Aug 1998 22:25:34 -0500 From: Damon Scott Hynes Subject: Re: YA'LL READY FOR THIS !? What do y'all think about a Savannah / Tybee Island landfall? Also, when was the last one to hit Savannah? -- *** The Marny Stanier Appreciation Society Damonhynes@sprintmail.com , Midlands Chapter President "When it didn't whistle for the station, I knew we were in trouble." ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 10:46:05 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Take a look at the sea surface temperature anomaly image from FNMOC at this URL. http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/otis/otis_glbl_sstanomaly.gif Also, I've updated my Maritime Weather Page again at: http://www.pulse.net/storm/maritime.htm#Maritime Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:01:02 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Link list for international weather For those interested in tropical or international weather, take a look at this extensive list: http://www.aaa.com.au/matilda/weather/ Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 11:05:42 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: National Meteorological Library? Is there anything in the US similar to this? http://www.bom.gov.au/library/ Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 12:45:24 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: HURRICANE BONNIE possibly to enter GULF OF MEXICO HI ALL Just heard on wx channel that SOME models are NOW saying that hurricane BONNIE could enter the GULF of MEXICO they did not say when and did not say which models SO we still just playing the waiting game but wanted to give all a HEADS UP that this storm is not to be ignored status as of 11 am sunday (today) 115 mph winds and nearly stationary at approx 24N 71 west don -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 08 AUG 98 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My Weekly column http://www.datasync.com/skywarn JOIN THE SKYWARN WEBRING http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 21:35:23 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: GOES-8 imagery of Tropical Storm Charley While we wait for Bonnie... Tropical Storm Charley moved inland across southern Texas, producing heavy rain and flooding on 22 August 1998. Heaviest rains were beneath the cold cloud tops of the central dense overcast (CDO) region of the circulation, but heavy rainfall also resulted from warm-topped convection within a feeder band which developed north of the CDO. GOES-8 IR and visible imagery are available on the CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980822.html -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 22:22:56 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: New Web Page : Interactive Tropical Surface Reports Map : Synoptic, METAR, Buoy Stations in Caribbean/Gulf Keep an eye on Surface Conditions in the Tropics with the new addition to the CASI Tropical Season 1998 Website: Tropical Surface Observations Map http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/surface/ This interactive map links to Current Conditions and/or Forecasts for each METAR, Synoptic, or Buoy station in the Caribbean or Gulf. There are more there than you might think! See the reports of wind and wave conditions that are often mentioned by the NHC and TWC. One version for Netscape4 users employs Layers/DynamicHTML to overlay my Surface Locations map on top of the Ohio-State Tropical Surface Plot. I think it will be useful for the current and upcoming storms. It struck me earlier this year that there were few maps of the Tropics displaying all the stations, much less current conditions, and none that had them all. And so my project began. It's not even done yet - there is much to do including adding radar circles, possibly links to webcams, and running the whole thing through a script which can output framed documents incorporating 2 or 3 sites for redundancy. I plan on eventually doing something similar for the US, Canada, Hawaii, Guam areas. Although I have done a good bit of research on the project there is a chance that some of the stations might be labeled wrong or pointing to the wrong observations - often databases I consulted disagreed on the number or location of stations. In fact I am looking for a place on the web where I can obtain Synoptic data interactively by station (decoded preferred by undecoded acceptable), that I could use with this map as an addition or alternative to the Weather Underground links since they only have the latest condition. Enjoy! Central Atlantic Storm Investigators Tropical Season 1998 http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 18:45:55 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: LAT/LON Info needed Does anyone know where (on the WEB) that I can get longitude/latitude locations for US cities IE: type in the city and the site returns the lat/lon values. Thanks! BILL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 20:44:03 -0500 From: Richard Lewelling Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1998 to 22 Aug 1998 Does anyone know if The National Hurricane Center is feeding information over C-Band like they have done in years past. If they are where are they. Any help would be greatly appreciated. Richard Lewelling WZEP Radio De Funiak Springs,FL rtlewelling@webtv.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:10:04 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Two Atlantic Tropical Storms "Steven M. Babin" wrote: > There are now two tropical storms: Bonnie and Charley (why not Clyde?). Anyone remember late 1995? Typhoon Kent made landfall on Vietnam, while at the same time Typhoon Lois was just off Luzon Island, Philippines. The possibilities would have been interesting had Kent reached supertyphoon strength. On a different note, STORM TRACK's homepage has moved to www.storm-track.com. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:36:40 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: NOAA Weather Radio's Future On Thu, 20 Aug 1998, Joel McLaughlin wrote: > >>> Sam Barricklow 8/20/98 9:05:42 AM >>> > >THE FUTURE OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO > <> > >NDBs weather broadcasts used amplitude modulation (AM). As a result, > >spherics (lightning produced RF signals) produce significant > >interference. However, prior to the formation of thunderstorms, the FT > >LF/VLF beacon provided valuable information. Perhaps another modulation > >mode should be considered, such as reduced carrier single side band > >(SSB). > > SSB has no carrier. Also, SSB is essentially the same as AM, but just > half of the signal and a vestigal carrier. So, SSB would not make a > difference no matter what freq you were at. Also, propagation of the > SSB signal will vary with conditions. There may be times when you are > only 20-30 miles from a station, and you may not be able to here it. > There also may be times when you are 3000 miles away and you may here > it. It depends on how the atmosphere affects the signal. (wow, a wx-talk thread where my "radio habit" will pay off ;) A few minor corrections: 1) SSB does supress the carrier, but it is important to note this. (There is such a thing as "DSB" which is reduced-carrier AM.) 2) In the case of propogation signals, this varies not only with the atmospheric conditions but also with the band you're working in. In the longwave bands, you really don't have that much in the way of atmospheric conditions that will affect propogation, distancewise; most of it travels via groundwave, and you don't get stuff like F-layer skip or sporadic-E skip like you do on shortwave (and, to a lesser extent, AM bands as well). As a minor sidenote to this--this is, partly, why longwave tends to be used for stuff like time-and-frequency-standards stations (like WWVB at 60KHz) and such things as atmospheric beacons; these signals tend to be solid as rocks and can be received well in a roughly 150 to 1500 mile radius (depending on how powerful the signal is, at that). Longwave DX from Europe (where there *is* a broadcast longwave band) is considerably rare at least as far inland as Louisville, KY or so, and the only real places you'd have major trouble with bleedover into other services are *maybe* in the Pacific and areas close to other ITU regions outside ITU Region 2 (which includes the Americas). As a minor, probably-not-terribly-related note--when you start going into ELF stuff (like below 20 KHz or so) you start picking up REALLY weird sferics like off of car tires, "whistlers" from distant lightning, power lines, etc. Especially as far as folks listening to auroras and "whistlers", there is a minor cottage hobby in the longwave community that enjoys listening to this "natural radio". :) > >In the short term, regional LF/VLF transmitters could fill in the gaps > > How many places can you buy equipment to receive the LF/VLF stuff > without spending a mint? Actually, if one *builds* it, pretty damn cheap and at Tech America. :) (There are both kits and plans that have been distributed by a number of means, both in ham-radio magazines and on the Internet, on how to build "Part 15" QRP transceivers for the 1750m longwave band (160-190 KHz). One transceiver is described in some detail, including schematics, in the 1996 edition of the _ARRL Handbook_.) At least for the "Part 15" kit, I can describe what it covers and the power it uses to point out what one could expect, and rough cost of a receiver. The radio can be bought as a kit for $95 (or, if you just have the schematics and can etch your own boards, you can probably make it cheaper by buying parts from Radio Shack and Mouser). These transceivers put out 1 watt (as I noted, these are QRP rigs--low power--because they are "Part 15" experimental class transmitters that are low enough power that they don't require a license) and the beacons can be picked up, using Morse code transmissions, for 1-200 miles (depending on band conditions and antenna quality). SSB would of course require more power (CW, you can get out darn near anywhere with just a watt or two even on shortwave--there's a whole subset of the ham hobby dedicated to just that) and if one went lower one might not be so susceptible to band conditions. But this does give an idea of what can be expected with a *minimal* setup on longwave. SSB requires not that much more in the means of circuitry to pick up (even most CW rigs come with a BFO), and if one ditched the transmitter parts it'd be cheaper. I'll also note on two more things on this: 1) If you're not going for *way* lowfer (say, below 150 KHz) there are a lot of inexpensive shortwave receivers that could pick that up. I've seen shortwave rigs that cover 160-190 KHz at the least for less than $150. 2) If one is going for lowfer, one will probably need to design a dedicated receiver. These can be built halfway cheaply, though (I've seen kits for WWVB receivers for less than $100, with all the parts and circuit boards and everything). To give a ROUGH idea of what one would cover, WWVB itself puts out around ~5000W (they adjusted power recently, so I really do need to double-check) and can be heard over most of the US. > > long term solution to move toward is direct digital broadcasts > >(DDB) of NWR from satellites. The commercial broadcast industry will > >move in this direction over the coming years. Plans should be created > >now to migrate the entire NWR network to DDB from satellite. Consider > >the cost savings possible. > > Satellite, or heck even just plain VHF Digital brodcasting may be the > way to go. Digital basically runs the voice thru a A/D converter, > serially transmits the bits, then the reciever runs the digital bits > thru a D/A converter then puts it out to the speaker. This is a greatly > simplified version of what really happens, but the advantage of > transmitting the bits instead of analog voice is that you need less > signal to get a top quality reproduction on the other end. You would > either get a clear signal or nothing. This could effectively increae > the range of NWR's signal. This, I'll agree with. We should use some sort of digital signal if at all possible. (CW, actually, is a type of digital signal and it will get through when *nothing* else will. You just send the signal with yer key and you decode it with yer brain. ;) This is part of why the old navigation beacons used CW, and WWVB uses timing between second ticks and other digital cues to send clock calibration info (leap seconds, UTC/UT1 difference, DST info) to WWVB receivers. In fact, offhand, this would be my main concern with a SSB signal on longwave bands (is there really enough bandwidth for it?). The main problems with satellite--ANY satellite--are fourfold: 1) What happens when the satellite repeater croaks? (Yes, it can happen. Ask all those folks with digital pagers whose pages went missing for a few days because a satellite went to the Spirit In The Sky. :) And yes, how communication satellites basically work is they have a dedicated repeater in them, just like a ham radio repeater [in fact, some satellites *are* ham radio repeaters--the OSCAR satellites].) 2) Satellites generally have to be received on line-of-sight. (Anything that has a high enough frequency to *not* get bounced off of what the scientists used to call [in days of yore] the Heaviside layer is going to, by default, be limited to the sky and the horizon. This is good for satellites; this is bad if you're trying to pick up a station on VHF that is beyond your line of sight, like a distant NOAA Weather Radio station.) This can be anywhere from slightly troublesome (if you're trying to align a satellite antenna and it's a "big dish" and you know roughly where the satellite is and you have a tool for measuring signal strength) to downright near-impossible-or-at-the-least-requiring-a- computer-with-lotsa-horsepower (try tracking a satellite in a car, with one of those teeny little DSS satellite antennas or [worse yet] no dish at all, whilst the vehicle is clipping merrily along at 80mph on the freeway...). 3) Satellites generally require specialised antennas of some sort. These can range from specialised yagis (in the case of OSCAR satellites) to DSS satellite dishes to 10-foot "big dishes" to that 1000-foot-wide monstrosity in Puerto Rico they used for the one James Bond movie. :) There are three problems associated with these--firstly, antennas of *any* kind are not always an option (many areas have "neighbourhood covenants" that ban *any* kind of external antenna; whilst these are technically illegal, one usually has to fight them in court and get the relevant FCC rulings and the precedents from the ARRL to fight them with); secondly, most satellite antennas are not exactly smallish (even DSS antennas are risky to use in the "up" position on some vehicles); thirdly, satellite antennas tend not to work very well when there are things like mountains and trees blocking the antenna's "view" of the satellite. 4) Compared to a NOAA weather radio or even a cheapie shortwave radio that covers the longwave band, satellite setups are *expensive*. I have not seen the setup, ham radio or otherwise, that costs less than $600 yet (save for Primestar's, and that's because you merely lease their equipment just like you'd do from the cable company). For many folks who would *need* that kind of coverage, they would simply be unable to afford it. And yes, this counts even if you put it on an SCPC carrier or on a DSS channel (have you *seen* the prices for SCPC carrier equipment? On the *CHEAP* side, they run $250-300...) Perversely, one possibly-underserved area could be helped, especially if you tied it in with some sort of GPS system--specifically, RV's. There are a stonking lot of them anymore that have those DSS dishes (if not the *big* dishes) so that the folks can watch ESPN on the road. ;) (Yes, I have seen both firsthand. I was just to the NASCAR race in Bristol. :) > >Digital multiplexing of DDB signals should allow the user to select the > >area of interest for forecasts and warnings from a menu of locations > > That could be accomplished by using SAME on a digital signal without > making it complex or necessary to buy real expensive satellite receiving > packages. Erm, a lot of the cost of satellite equipment is a) the dish and b) the special stuff you have to put in them to simply *receive* a satellite signal (which is usually at several *gigahertz*). Most hams who mess with satellite either mess with the VHF satellites on the 2-meter band (because you can build stuff halfway cheaply for this) or they have Money. :) When you start messing with stuff in the tens-of-gigahertz range, it rapidly starts becoming a different ballgame because you have to essentially make sure your components you built the thing with don't make so much noise as to make it impossible to receive the signal itself. :) *IF* you put the theoretical NOAA Weather Relay Satellite [tm] on a new frequency in the NOAA Weather Radio allocations--which isn't too far from the 2-meter band, so the same stuff should work with some kinks--you might be able to do this without too much trouble (and you could use SAME, as a lot of hams do use RTTY and even packet on satellites). If you ued longwave, you might have to modify the SAME specs a bit (depending on whether you wanted to just gear towards straight text output, in which case you could use FSK, or just stick with AFSK and SSB transmission) but SAME should work rather well. Only real problem would be worrying about lightning sferics, but seeing as it transmits the headers and footers three times that should take care of it. > >to include reception of this frequency range and the current VHF NWR by > >the FCC. > > Some already have this on them. I got a bud who just presses a button, > and no matter where he's at he get's NWR. I do so on my scanner, too. ;) I've seen CB radios that do this. Of course, I also have to know to turn it on, too, and be in an area that is not a "radio hole". (One radio hole that should probably concern me a wee bit is the one at Pigeon Forge, TN; for quite some time, one could not pick up NOAA Weather Radio at all there, though one could pick it up in Sevierville and in Gatlinburg; the signal was blocked by mountains in the area. Fortunately, they fixed it this summer; it's just worrisome that they should have a hole at all in an area that is that much of a tourist trap. :) > >Comments? Well, my two pence: 1) I'm not so sure that any system to supplant or upgrade NOAA Weather Radio is going to be that much cheaper than, say, adding some low power repeaters to the existing network. 2) The major trick is going to be getting folks to actually *listen and take appropriate action* when they hear a warning. There are folks who--to put it none too bluntly--seem to think "Tornado Warning" means "Barbecue" ;) or who don't turn on their radios even when bad weather is hitting. (SAME should take care of *some* of this, but not all; the only real way to fix it, methinks, is to require it in all radios and require it in both HDTV-equipped TV's and the HDTV converter boxes that will be sold when the stations all convert to HDTV anyways and "medium definition" TV gives up the ghost.) 3) On getting the government to pay for this, all I have to say is: a) Rotsa ruck. b) I don't think this will change even if Bonnie goes cat-5 and eats the entire East Coast of the United States, because pols are generally cheap b*st*rds unless they think they can get some extra money and/or "fringe benefits". 4) Everyone keeps talking about EMWIN. I'm still waiting for Louisville to get their EMWIN transmitter, and frankly I may be waiting a month of Sundays unless some kind ham in Louisville or one of the ham groups here gets a) Money, b) interest in satellites, and c) interest in the 2 meter band simultaneously. I don't have Money to do it; most of the ham clubs here are on 2 meters and above; I don't know of that many folks here into satellite. :P (Yes, if there are any hams in the Louisville area that might have pull with BARS and/or the NWSFO here--consider this a gentle beg. :) -moo ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Aug 1998 to 23 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 25 14:13:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2364 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626773-22675>; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:18:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA22598; Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:05:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199808250505.AAA22598@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 00:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1998 to 24 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85791d84f931c8cafc12f6cd9eba9f56 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 385 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. LAT/LON Info needed (3) 2. Call for Papers: ICB99 & ICUC99 3. Weather Extremes page 4. Tropical Storm Danielle forms 5. New JAVA software for the WX200 6. Hurricane Bonnie (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 00:59:11 +0000 From: Bill Esposito Subject: Re: LAT/LON Info needed Bill Try http://www.astro.com/atlas/atlquest-eng.html On Sun, 23 Aug 1998 18:45:55 EDT, William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST wrote: >Does anyone know where (on the WEB) that I can get longitude/latitude >locations for US cities IE: type in the city and the site returns the lat/lon >values. > >Thanks! >BILL > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------------------ Bill Esposito bespo@cereal.mv.com The Cereal Port BBS http/ftp/telnet cereal.mv.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 07:27:16 PDT From: Joe Furr Subject: Re: LAT/LON Info needed >Date: Sun, 23 Aug 1998 18:45:55 EDT >From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST >Subject: LAT/LON Info needed > >Does anyone know where (on the WEB) that I can get longitude/latitude >locations for US cities IE: type in the city and the site returns the lat/lon >values. > >Thanks! >BILL > >------------------------------ Try the USGS database. You can search for any landmark on a USGS topographic map and you will get the lat/lon, elevation, etc. The URL is: http://mapping.usgs.gov/www/gnis/gnisform.html Hope this helps. Joe Furr Webmaster, Tornadoes and Tornado Research http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Lab/2430/ ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:38:41 -0400 From: John Arnfield Subject: Call for Papers: ICB99 & ICUC99 ********************************************************************** FIRST CALL FOR PAPERS ********************************************************************** "Biometeorology and Urban Climatology at the Turn of the Millennium" 15th International Congress of Biometeorology and the International Conference on Urban Climatology 8-12 November 1999, Sydney, Australia ********************************************************************** The 15th International Congress of Biometeorology (ICB99) and the International Conference on Urban Climatology (ICUC99) will be held on Monday 8 through Friday 12 November 1999, at the Wesley Conference Centre in Sydney, Australia. Both ICB and ICUC are well established as the premier international scientific meetings for their respective disciplines. ICB-ICUC99 will be the first time that they have been held together. ICB99 encourages papers and posters on all subjects dealing with the interactions between the atmosphere and the biosphere. ICB99 scientific themes are likely to include: * human and animal biometeorology * climate change and climate variability * impacts of the biosphere on local climate * phenology * agricultural and forest meteorology * weather and air quality * bioelectricity and biomagnetism * indoor climates, air quality and thermal comfort * meteorology and pathogens * thermal physiology and adaptation processes * climate and health; morbidity and mortality * aircraft climates (including radiation effects) * climate, recreation and tourism * biometeorological information for the media * atmospheric impacts on forest and agricultural pests * long-range transport and dispersal of fungi, pollens, and insects ICUC 99 encourages papers and posters on any subject dealing with the urban atmosphere and hydrosphere. ICUC 99 welcomes all approaches: theory, observation (direct measurement, remote sensing), modelling (scale and numerical), impact assessment (human, societal and ecological) and applications in urban design and urban environmental management. Work may relate to any scale from individual surfaces and single buildings to those of whole cities, megalopolitan regions and their global implications. Scientific themes are likely to include: * tropical city climates (TRUCE) * winter cities * street and highway meteorology * urban heat islands * radiation exchanges in polluted atmospheres * satellite and other remote sensing of city climates * radiation, energy and water budgets of cities * urban turbulence and diffusion, roughness and wind profile * urban dispersion and air quality * urban effects on mesoscale and synoptic weather systems * urban hydrological effects on surface moisture, evaporation, humidity, clouds and precipitation * active and passive methods to control urban climates * wind engineering and urban structures, wind tunnel and water flume models * building climate; energy use, bioclimatic design * urban heat stress * weather hazards and cities * weather forecasting for urban areas * climate change, climate variability and urban design * urban bias, city growth and global change These ICB99 and ICUC99 themes are provided to illustrate the scope of the joint conference. They are not meant to be prescriptive and any papers in the general areas of biometeorology and/or urban climatology are welcome. In recognition of the considerable overlap between biometeorology and urban climatology, joint ICB-ICUC sessions are also planned. Submissions appropriate for joint ICB-ICUC sessions are especially encouraged on the effects of weather and climate on human comfort and health in cities, on the role of cities in regional and global change, and on the use of vegetation to ameliorate urban climates. Titles and abstracts (under 300 words) should be submitted by one of the following modes (in order of preference): 1. Use the On-line Abstract Submission Form linked to the conference web site at http://www.es.mq.edu.au/ICB-99/ 2. E-mail to ICBICUC@tourhosts.com.au 3. Post 3.5 inch PC disk containing MS Word 6 or ASCII text to: ICB-ICUC99 Secretariat GPO Box 128 Sydney NSW 2001 Australia 4. Facsimile to +61-2-9262-3135 All submissions must include complete mailing address along with e-mail address, plus telephone and fax numbers if available. Abstracts can't be processed unless they are accompanied by a Presenters Deposit of AUD$65 which will be refunded when the full registration is received (Early-bird = AUD$620). Critical Dates - Deadline for receipt of abstracts and presenters deposits from authors: 8 March 1999 - Authors notified of abstract acceptance: 1 May 1999 - Deadline for receipt of papers from authors: 8 August 1999 - Accommodation deadline: 9 August 1999 - Early-bird registration finishes: 9 August 1999 The Conference Organising Committee will provide instructions on the preparation of conference papers to authors of accepted abstracts. Conference papers will be included in the Conference Proceedings, which will be published with an ISBN. A full set of proceedings will be included with the Conference registration fee. Authors are requested to indicate whether their paper is intended for ICB, ICUC or joint ICB-ICUC sessions; and whether their paper will be prepared for oral presentation or as a poster. For registration and hotel information, contact the Conference Secretariat at ICBICUC@tourhosts.com.au or visit the conference web site: http://www.es.mq.edu.au/ICB-99/ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ A. John Arnfield * http://www.geography.ohio-state.edu/faculty/arnfield Dept of Geography, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210-1361, USA email: John.Arnfield@osu.edu * Tel: +1 614 292 7954 * Fax: +1 614 292 6213 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 12:45:44 -0400 From: Wayne Winston Subject: LAT/LON Info needed At 12:00 AM 8/24/98 -0500, you wrote: >From: William Hipkins >Subject: LAT/LON Info needed > >Does anyone know where (on the WEB) that I can get longitude/latitude >locations for US cities IE: type in the city and the site returns the lat/lon >values. > For the United States, you can't beat http://www-nmd.usgs.gov/www/gnis/gnisform.html This has all population centers down to the smallest hamlet, and many other physical/political features located, as well. Regards -- Wayne Wayne G. Winston NOAA/NESDIS Meteorologist Postal Address: Fax: 1 301-457-5620 E/SP3, Room 3320 FB-4 Tel: 1 301-457-5681 x125 NOAA/NESDIS 5200 Auth Road Suitland MD 20746-4304 USA Visit the NOAASIS web site, URL: http://140.90.207.25:8080/noaasis.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 11:48:05 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Weather Extremes page In preparing some coursework (for a Meteorology 100 class I will be teaching at SF State Univ this fall), I have put together a table of Worldwide, United States, California and San Francisco extremes. It is posted at: http://ggweather.com/sf/extremes.html I would appreciate any feedback, corrections or updated data. Thanks. -- Regards, jan <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:27:09 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Tropical Storm Danielle forms Tropical Storm Danielle has now formed in the tropical Atlantic. For a track map, please see http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ We also have several NOAA satellite AVHRR images of Bonnie on the page. One model suggests Bonnie will recurve to the northeast before hitting the coast. One model says it will cross northern Florida and enter the Gulf. A great quote from Pasch: "OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE IS...SHALL I SAY...DIVERGENT" Hmmm...... Who said this season is boring? "Be very careful what you wish for." Happy hurricane hunting, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 17:54:23 +0000 From: Bill Esposito Subject: New JAVA software for the WX200 Hi Folks, I just bought a WX200 and lo and behold, no software available for my OS. which is OS/2, and the Win3.1 program which will run under OS/2 just grabs too much resources. So.... For starters I wrote a simple JAVA program which reads the data from the WX200 and creates an html page of that data. This program will work under OS/2 and should work with W95 and Linux if you also download the appropriate serial driver (JSP011.ZIP). I'm new to this weather stuff although I've always found it interesting (hence why I bought the WX200) but have alot to learn about what the software should do for you...If you have any comments/features you'ld like to see in a GUI version of this program, email me. You can see the output of the program, which creates a new html page about every 15 seconds, at http://cereal.mv.com/weather ------------------------------------------ Bill Esposito bespo@cereal.mv.com The Cereal Port BBS http/ftp/telnet cereal.mv.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:02:56 -0400 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Hurricane Bonnie Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on Bonnie. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:46:22 -0400 From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" Subject: Re: Hurricane Bonnie Go to www.storm98.com I found a list on there yesterday that seemed to be accurate although it is a little difficult to read. Someone else might even know of a better one. Good luck! J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com KF4IXA / Collier County Skywarn Collier County Florida www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jim Munley Jr. > Sent: Monday, August 24, 1998 9:03 PM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Hurricane Bonnie > > > Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on > Bonnie. > > Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1998 to 24 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Aug 26 14:42:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4065 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627311-1954>; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 13:12:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA54974; Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:10:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199808260510.AAA54974@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 00:01:42 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1998 to 25 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fdb810d6d9288a7f7e8268487a174a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 14 messages totalling 450 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Bonnie Forecast 2. Numerical Model Links 3. Hurricane Bonnie (2) 4. WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1998 to 24 Aug 1998 (2) 5. Advisory Coordinates 6. College of DuPage Tropical Weather pages 7. Bonnie news 8. Byron Illinois Nuke Impacted by Severe Storms 9. Thanks 10. AM DX Stations for Hurricane Bonnie 11. Interactive Map of Eastern NC Surface Observations 12. bonnie forecasts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 23:16:19 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Bonnie Forecast 7:00pm 8/24/98 Bonnie has crawled on a path just slightly N of NW over the 24 hours prior to this posting. This path is expected to continue with her strength averaging out about the same. This is due to two countering forces: the upwelling of cooler waters due to her recent almost-stationary path has canceled out the effects of the very warm Atlantic waters which might have normally strengthened her. If her forward speed picks up, she 'may' intensify again slightly. She remains in an area of relatively weak steering currents, and this will keep her longer in the more southern latitudes; resulting in less of a chance for her to be swiftly kicked out to the NE. A weak trough moving through the mid-Atlantic Monday evening will also pull her slightly northward. On Tuesday, the entire coast from NJ to Fl will see increasing wave heights, and some minor beach erosion may also kick in. By late Tuesday, she will still be off the coast, with her overall effects on the coastline gradually increasing. So where is Bonnie heading? Well, the models are absolutley of no help. Some models have done a complete turnaround from prior runs, and the range of outcomes run anywhere from a landfall between FL and NC; or New England; or skirting the Outer Banks and heading out to sea. The Monday evening water vapor loop seems to indicate the ridge to her north slightly wrapping Bonnie to the northwest. Bonnie could create her own environment and determine her own course if steering currents remain weak. Realistically, Bonnie should continue on her NW to NNW course for the next 24 hours. Bests chances for a landfall --if any-- at posting would appear to be NC. The NWS has prudently issued watches for the entire US SE coast, in the event she does maintain her generally NW course. An approaching trough may kick her N or NE by late week, so if she continues to crawl or become stationary again, there is even a chance Bonnie would never make landfall. By mid-Tuesday afternoon, there should be a much clearer picture as to Bonnie's intentions. Therefore, interests along the coast-- especially the Outer Banks, eastern VA/MD and northbound to SE New England and the Canadian maritimes -- should keep up on the latest official NHC forecasts, as Bonnie's future beyond the short-range is extremely uncertain. Areas south of NC should monitor Bonnie's movements for any possible change to a more westerly direction (still thought to be less likely). --Herb Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:33:53 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Numerical Model Links While visiting the Brownsville NWSFO web site this morning, I ran across what may be the most comprehensive list of numerical model data sources on the web. The URL is: http://atmos.umd.edu/~carroll/models.html Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 05:49:02 -0500 From: Susan Wagener Subject: Re: Hurricane Bonnie The following page has Storm Position and Wind/Pressure Data at the bottom of the page which you can click on for the history of Bonnie (coordinates etc...) back to when she was a tropical depression. http://hurricane.terrapin.com/ATL-02A/index.html Susan Wagener Bloomington, IN J. Eric Gissendaner wrote: > Go to www.storm98.com I found a list on there yesterday that seemed to be > accurate although it is a little difficult to read. Someone else might even > know of a better one. Good luck! > > J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com > KF4IXA / Collier County Skywarn > Collier County Florida > www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jim Munley Jr. > > Sent: Monday, August 24, 1998 9:03 PM > > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > > Subject: Hurricane Bonnie > > > > > > Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on > > Bonnie. > > > > Jim Munley Jr. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 07:58:52 -0500 From: "Vincent T. Wood" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1998 to 24 Aug 1998 Jim, Try National Hurricane Center at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Vincent Wood ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vincent T. Wood National Severe Storms Laboratory E-MAIL: wood@nssl.noaa.gov NOAA/ERL FAX: (405) 366-0472 1313 Halley Circle PH: (405) 366-0402 Norman, OK 73069 TDD: (405) 366-0466 USA WWW: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~wood ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:02:56 -0400 > From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> > Subject: Hurricane Bonnie > > Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on > Bonnie. > > Jim Munley Jr. > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:46:22 -0400 > From: "J. Eric Gissendaner" > Subject: Re: Hurricane Bonnie > > Go to www.storm98.com I found a list on there yesterday that seemed to be > accurate although it is a little difficult to read. Someone else might even > know of a better one. Good luck! > > J. Eric Gissendaner jericg@peganet.com > KF4IXA / Collier County Skywarn > Collier County Florida > www.collierem.org/skywarn.htm > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Jim Munley Jr. > > Sent: Monday, August 24, 1998 9:03 PM > > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > > Subject: Hurricane Bonnie > > > > > > Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on > > Bonnie. > > > > Jim Munley Jr. > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1998 to 24 Aug 1998 > ************************************************** > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 11:37:41 -0400 From: Chip Kasper Subject: Re: Hurricane Bonnie On Mon, 24 Aug 1998, Jim Munley Jr. wrote: > Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on > Bonnie. > > Jim Munley Jr. > ******************************************************* Purdue University has a good site: http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu/hurricane/atlantic/1998/index.html ******************************************************** Kennard (Chip) Kasper ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 09:42:19 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: Advisory Coordinates Jim Another location to get coordiates which are a little easier to read than those at Storm98 is the FSU Tropical Site. http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropical.html Click on the name of the storm and you get all the satellite, radar, forecast track and coordinates all at once. Pretty nice. Steve vortex2@brevard.net ----------------------------- Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 21:02:56 -0400 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Hurricane Bonnie Does anyone know of a site that has coordinates of past advisories on Bonnie. Jim Munley Jr. ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:30:59 -0400 From: Joel McLaughlin Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1998 to 24 Aug 1998 I was going to get that and post it! Thanks for doing it for me. It really amazed me that noone gave THE source for the coordinates. They are the only source as far as I am concerned. Everyone else gets there data from them! :) Joel McLaughlin N8VQJ >>> "Vincent T. Wood" 8/25/98 8:58:52 AM >>> Jim, Try National Hurricane Center at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Vincent Wood ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 13:28:57 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: College of DuPage Tropical Weather pages Hey everybody! Like every other weather-related website, we here at College of DuPage are working on our tropical weather pages. I want to draw your attention to two pages: http://kamala.cod.edu/tropic/ with TPC products - outlooks, discussions, and storm-specific products and http://kamala.cod.edu/tropwarn/ This second page is kinda cool. It's a listing of Hurricane Local Statements as they come out of the different offices. It's the analog of the severe weather warnings page we already have on our site. It's an easy way to see what the different offices are saying about the storm. It's kinda rough right now, but it works. The expire time on the tropical warnings page is set pretty high - several days at least, so you can see older warnings, which can be interesting. Anyway, have fun, be careful. Dana COD nexlab webmaster -- +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 18:17:54 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Bonnie news On the STORM TRACK web site (www.storm-track.com), Tim Marshall is posting daily updates on Hurricane Bonnie, including news bits about Jim Leonard. Be sure to stop by... ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, Oklahoma P.O. Box 450211, Garland TX 75045 71611.2267@compuserve.com www.weathergraphics.com (888) 388-0070 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 18:23:18 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Byron Illinois Nuke Impacted by Severe Storms For the second time this year a nuclear power plant has been impacted by severe weather. In this case, severe thunderstorms moving at over 55 mph damaged the warning siren network of the Byron power plant in Illinois. The NRC report follows, > |FACILITY: BYRON REGION: 3 |NOTIFICATION DATE: 08/24/98 | > |UNIT: [1] [2] [ ] STATE: IL |NOTIFICATION TIME: 16:30 [ET]| > |RX TYPE: [1] W-4-LP,[2] W-4-LP |EVENT DATE: 08/24/98 | > +------------------------------------------------+EVENT TIME: 14:55[CDT]| > |NRC NOTIFIED BY: AL CHRISTIANSON |LAST UPDATE DATE: 08/24/98 | > |HQ OPS OFFICER: STEVE SANDIN +-----------------------------+ > +------------------------------------------------+ NOTIFICATIONS | > |EMERGENCY CLASS: NOT APPLICABLE +-----------------------------+ > |10 CFR SECTION: |PATRICK HILAND RDO | > |AESS 50.72(b)(1)(v) EMERGENCY SIREN INOP | | > | | | > | | | > | | | > | | | > +-----+----------+-------+--------+--------------+--+--------+-------------- ---+ > |UNIT |SCRAM CODE|RX CRIT|INIT PWR| INIT RX MODE |CURR PWR| CURR RX MODE | > +-----+----------+-------+--------+-----------------+--------+-------------- ---+ > | 1 | N Y 100 POWER OPERATION | 100 POWER OPERATION | > | 2 | N Y 100 POWER OPERATION | 100 POWER OPERATION | > | | | | > +-----+---------------------------------------------+----------------------- ---+ > EVENT TEXT > +--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---+ > | THE STATION EXPERIENCED A LOSS OF > 25% OFFSITE SIRENS DUE TO SEVERE | > | WEATHER. | > | | > | "AT 1455CDT BYRON STATION WAS NOTIFIED BY ITS CONTRACTOR THAT 42 OFFSITE | > | SIRENS [OF THE 93 TOTAL] ARE INOPERABLE AS A RESULT OF SEVERE WEATHER IN | > | THE AREA. THIS CONSTITUTES A LOSS OF GREATER THAN 25% AND, THUS, A LOSS OF | > | THE PUBLIC PROMPT NOTIFICATION SYSTEM. NO ESTIMATED TIME OF RECOVERY IS | > | AVAILABLE." | > | | > | THE LICENSEE WILL INFORM THE NRC RESIDENT INSPECTOR. | > +--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---+ ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 19:41:46 -0400 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Thanks I would like to thank everyone who responded to my request. It was very helpful. Thnaks. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 19:09:39 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: AM DX Stations for Hurricane Bonnie Commercial broadcasters in and near a hurricane landfall can provide compelling "real time" coverage before during and after a event. Even listeners far removed from the event can monitor events as they unfold. Here are some "clear channel" AM stations one may wish to try as Hurricane Bonnie approaches the mainland tonight and tommorrow. Most any AM radio receiver can capture these stations when propogation is favorable. - 680 WPTF Raleigh, NC - 750 WSB Atlanta, Georgia - 1140 WRVA Richmond, Virginia - 1170 WWVA Wheeling, West Virginia Our prayers to those who may be impacted by this storm. SE WI has endured two 100 mph severe weather events and a major flooding episode this year. I'll learn to deal with our tornadoes, thunderstorms, flooding and winters, before I ever wish to endure a hurricane. ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 01:38:50 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Interactive Map of Eastern NC Surface Observations http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/surface/carolinacoast/ Just threw that together in an hour for Bonnie. Not perfect but updates will probably have to wait until after landfall... More Bonnie Info: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/2/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Aug 1998 22:41:19 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: bonnie forecasts When Bonnie was wallowing around north of the Bahamas yesterday and the models forecast everything from heading to the Gulf to heading straight NE, I noticed an elongation to the north in her cloud pattern. Thru the years it has seemed that this has been a reliable direction indicator and today's motion confirms that as Florida and Georgia are in the clear and the outer banks are threatened. Does anybody know how reliable this elongation-indicator is? Are there any stats? I know that weather isn't this simple, but still... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1998 to 25 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Aug 27 13:42:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4151 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627663-13464>; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 13:09:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20808; Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:07:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199808270507.AAA20808@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 00:02:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Aug 1998 to 26 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44174335738b3bc4717a2d559c79be8f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 411 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Incredible Outflow (2) 2. Nexrad question (2) 3. Hurricane rotation 4. Weather and the Web 5. Turn That Darn Nuke Off! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 05:47:42 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Incredible Outflow >From SPC: TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 858993459 MPH...AND ^^^^^^^^^ DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. Now...that's one helluva outflow!! I understand that Jim Leonard is in the area doing his hurricane chasing thing. Careful, Jim! Thunderstorm winds like that are likely to knock you right on your keyster!!! Tom Madigan Newport News "Staring Down The Barrel" Virginia ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:09:34 -0400 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Incredible Outflow On Wed, 26 Aug 1998, Tom Madigan wrote: > >From SPC: > > TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 858993459 MPH...AND > ^^^^^^^^^ > DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. > > > Now...that's one helluva outflow!! I understand that Jim Leonard is in > the area doing his hurricane chasing thing. Careful, Jim! Thunderstorm > winds like that are likely to knock you right on your keyster!!! Keyster, heck--it'd knock him into another dimension (maybe a strange and new dimension where the Earth there always has lots of weather and the storm chasers never have to worry about Supercell Deprivation Syndrome :). I can honestly say I've never heard of winds faster than the speed of *light*, anyways. :) (Yes, if you took that windspeed seriously, it'd be about Warp 7.something. :) C, or the speed of light, is 186,282 mi/s or 11,176,920 mph; the "wind speed" was listed at 858,993,457 mph. :) -moo ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 15:14:12 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Nexrad question nybody know the status of the Shallotte, NC 88-d (LTX)? I stopped getting data from it shortly before noon CDT...is it physical damage, or just a power or comms failure? (maybe installing build ten? ) Jason Kelley Meteorologist Baron Services ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:34:19 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Nexrad question Keep an eye on NOUS6x messages, called the "Free-Text Message." There you will usually find reasons for radar sites being down: FTMLTX FREE TEXT MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1235 PM EDT WED AUG 26 1998 08/26/98 1635 Z: KLTX RDA OUT FOR MAINTENANCE FROM: 261635 TO: UFN ADJACENT WSR-88DS: KMHX, KRAX, KCAE, KCLX REASON: WATER PUMP HAS FAILED ON GENERATOR AND COMMERICAL POWER HAS BEEN LOST. WILL MAINTAIN SHORT TERM WARNING RESPONSIBILITY AT THIS TIME. RAN ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 16:45:18 -0500 From: Brad Savage Subject: Hurricane rotation In describing how hurricanes form and behave, a meteorologist on Chicago's WMAQ-TV has just reported that hurricanes spin because of the rotation of the Earth. He then put his foot in his mouth, adding "the same force that sends water spiraling down the drain." In fact, the "force" to which he was referring, the Coriolis effect, is too weak to affect the rotation of such a small-scale phenomenon as water in a sink. When will trained professionals stop perpetuating this myth? Brad ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 18:15:54 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather and the Web Here's an interesting tidbit that appeared in SHOPTALK. ..Chris.. As Hurricane Bonnie nears the East Coast of the United States, The Weather Channel's weather.com Web Site reported its busiest day ever Monday. The site logged 7.8 million page views, more than 50 percent greater than its previous daily record of 5 million views back in April of this year. Site traffic logs showed steady demand throughout the day. Todd Walrath, vice president of online services for The Weather Channel, said that if access patterns thus far hold up, Monday's 7.8 million page view record may fall. Boosted by the hurricane-related hits, weather.com is now projecting between 90 million and 95 million page views for August, compared to 82 million clicks in June and 86 million in July. (Electronic Media Daily Fax) Chris' note... Now someone will do a study that suggests the additional heat generated from all those computers and network boxes is causing a global temperature increase --making the hurricanes people are seeking information on even more intense. ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:19:16 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Turn That Darn Nuke Off! Yet another nuclear plant impacted by severe weather. I'm three for three this year in regards to this topic. In all deference to Tom and Doris Grazulis, I may have to publish "Significant Shutdowns" if this keeps up! :-O This info was obtained at, http://www.nrc.gov/NRR/DAILY/der.htm +----------------------------------+ +-----------------------+ |POWER REACTOR | |EVENT NUMBER: 34679 | +----------------------------------+ +-----------------------+ +------------------------------------------------+-----------------------------+ |FACILITY: BRUNSWICK REGION: 2 |NOTIFICATION DATE: 08/25/98 | |UNIT: [1] [2] [ ] STATE: NC |NOTIFICATION TIME: 06:12 [ET]| |RX TYPE: [1] GE-4,[2] GE-4 |EVENT DATE: 08/25/98 | +------------------------------------------------+EVENT TIME: 05:20[EDT]| |NRC NOTIFIED BY: REINSBURROW |LAST UPDATE DATE: 08/26/98 | |HQ OPS OFFICER: CHAUNCEY GOULD +-----------------------------+ +------------------------------------------------+ NOTIFICATIONS | |EMERGENCY CLASS: UNUSUAL EVENT +-----------------------------+ |10 CFR SECTION: |LEN WERT RDO | |AAEC 50.72(a)(1)(i) EMERGENCY DECLARED |JOSE CALVO EO | |APRE 50.72(b)(2)(vi) OFFSITE NOTIFICATION |DEPUY FEMA | |AEXT 50.72(b)(1)(iii) EXTERNAL THREAT | | |AESF 50.72(b)(2)(ii) ESF ACTUATION | | | | | +-----+----------+-------+--------+--------------+--+--------+-----------------+ |UNIT |SCRAM CODE|RX CRIT|INIT PWR| INIT RX MODE |CURR PWR| CURR RX MODE | +-----+----------+-------+--------+-----------------+--------+-----------------+ | 1 | N Y 100 POWER OPERATION | 100 POWER OPERATION | | 2 | N Y 100 POWER OPERATION | 100 POWER OPERATION | | | | | +-----+---------------------------------------------+--------------------------+ EVENT TEXT +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | THE LICENSEE DECLARED AN UNUSUAL EVENT DUE TO A HURRICANE WARNING BEING | | ISSUED. | | | | THE LICENSEE MADE OFFSITE NOTIFICATIONS TO THE NORTH CAROLINA, BRUNSWICK | | COUNTY AND NEW HANOVER COUNTY WARNING POINTS THAT THE LICENSEE ISSUED A | | HURRICANE WARNING. PREPARATION FOR THE ARRIVAL OF HURRICANE BONNIE ARE | | UNDERWAY AT THE SITE. SITE EMERGENCY FACILITIES HAVE NOT BEEN ACTIVATED. | | | | THE RESIDENT INSPECTOR WAS NOTIFIED. | | | | * * * UPDATE 1256EDT ON 8/25/98 FROM M. FITZPATRICK TO S. SANDIN * * * | | | | THE LICENSEE COMMENCED A REACTOR SHUTDOWN FOR BOTH UNIT 1 AND UNIT 2 AT | | 1221EDT SO AS TO ACHIEVE COLD SHUTDOWN CONDITIONS PRIOR TO HURRICANE FORCE | | WINDS REACHING THE SITE. LICENSEE PLANS TO AUGMENT STAFF AT BOTH THE TSC | | AND EOF AT 2300EDT. THE REGION 2 IRC WILL ENTER MONITORING AT 2000EDT. THE | | LICENSEE INFORMED THE RESIDENT INSPECTOR. NOTIFIED R2DO(WERT) AND | | EO(STOLZ). | | | | * * * UPDATE 1500EDT ON 8/25/98 COMMISSIONER'S ASSISTANTS BRIEFING * * * | | | | A COMMISSIONER'S ASSISTANTS BRIEFING WAS CONDUCTED BY R2 REGIONAL | | ADMINISTRATOR (REYES). | | | | * * * UPDATE 1650EDT ON 8/25/98 FROM M. FITZPATRICK TO S. SANDIN * * * | | | | UNITS 1 AND 2 ARE CURRENTLY AT 24% AND 37% POWER, RESPECTIVELY. THE | | LICENSEE ANTICIPATES BOTH UNITS WILL BE OFFLINE IN ABOUT 1 HOUR AND 30 | | MINUTES. NOTIFIED R2DO (WERT), EO (STOLZ) AND IRD (CONGEL). | | | | * * * UPDATE 2030EDT ON 8/25/98 FROM REGION 2 (BOB HAAG) TO S. SANDIN * * * | | | | THE REGION II RA(REYES) PLACED THE AGENCY IN MONITORING PHASE OF NORMAL | | MODE AT 2000EDT. NOTIFIED CHAIRMAN JACKSON'S OFFICE (VIRGILIO), EDO'S | | STAFF REGION 2 (TSCHILTZ) AND RCT (HIMES). | | | | * * * UPDATE 2055EDT ON 8/25/98 FROM McCLENDIS TO S. SANDIN * * * | | | | UNIT 1 WAS SHUTDOWN AT 1752EDT AND COOLING DOWN. UNIT 2 MANUALLY SCRAMMED | | IN THE PAST FEW MINUTES AND IS IN HOT SHUTDOWN. BOTH UNITS SHOULD REACH | | COLD SHUTDOWN AT 0100EDT (UNIT 1) AND 0230EDT (UNIT 2) ON 8/26/98. NOTIFIED | | R2IRC (VIAS), RCT (HIMES) AND EO (THOMAS). | | | | * * * UPDATE 2129EDT ON 8/25/98 FROM D. JESTER TO S. SANDIN * * * | | | | VARIOUS EXPECTED ESF ACTUATIONS OCCURRED ON BOTH UNITS DURING SHUTDOWN DUE | | TO MANUAL SCRAM INSERTION AT A HIGHER THAN NORMAL POWER LEVEL. | | | | "ON AUGUST 25, 1998 AT 1752EDT PRIMARY CONTAINMENT GROUPS 2, 6 AND 8 | | ISOLATIONS WERE RECEIVED FOLLOWING A MANUAL REACTOR SCRAM. THE REACTOR | | SCRAM WAS INSERTED ON UNIT 1 AS PART OF THE HURRICANE BONNIE ARRIVAL | | PREPARATIONS. A SCRAM AUTOMATICALLY RESETS THE REACTOR WATER LEVEL SET | | POINT TO 170 INCHES. REACTOR WATER LEVEL LOWERED TO 161 INCHES. THIS IS | | BELOW THE REACTOR WATER LEVEL LOW LEVEL ONE SETPOINT OF 166 INCHES. THIS IS | | A NORMAL LEVEL TRANSIENT FOLLOWING A REACTOR SCRAM AND WAS ANTICIPATED BY | | THE OPERATING CREW. ALL REQUIRED ISOLATIONS OCCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE | | REACTOR WATER LEVEL LOW LEVEL ONE INITIATION SIGNAL. REACTOR WATER LEVEL | | IMMEDIATELY SWELLED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL ONE SETPOINT. GROUP 2 ISOLATION | | VALVES INCLUDE DRYWELL EQUIPMENT AND FLOOR DRAINS, TRAVERSING INCORE PROBE, | | RESIDUAL HEAT REMOVAL (RHR) DISCHARGE ISOLATION TO RADWASTE AND RHR PROCESS | | SAMPLING VALVES. GROUP 6 ISOLATION VALVES INCLUDE CONTAINMENT ATMOSPHERE | | CONTROL SYSTEM AND POST ACCIDENT VALVES. GROUP 8 ISOLATION VALVES INCLUDE | | RHR SYSTEM SHUTDOWN COOLING ISOLATION VALVES [THESE VALVES WERE CLOSED | | PRIOR TO THE ISOLATION SIGNAL]. AT 2049EDT PRIMARY CONTAINMENT GROUPS 2, 6 | | AND 8 WERE RECEIVED ON UNIT 2 FOLLOWING A MANUAL REACTOR SCRAM AS PART OF | | THE HURRICANE ARRIVAL PREPARATIONS. THE ACTIONS WERE IDENTICAL TO WHAT WAS | | EXPERIENCED ON UNIT 1. POWER ON UNIT 2 WAS 22% PRIOR TO THE SCRAM. | | | | "[THE] INITIAL SAFETY SIGNIFICANCE [IS] MINIMAL [IN THAT] ALL SYSTEMS | | RESPONDED AS DESIGNED FROM THE REACTOR WATER LEVEL LOW LEVEL ONE INITIATION | | SIGNAL. | | | | "[SINCE THE] ISOLATIONS OCCURRED AS DESIGNED, NO CORRECTIVE ACTIONS [ARE] | | REQUIRED. THE REACTORS WILL REMAIN SHUTDOWN UNTIL AFTER HURRICANE BONNIE | | PASSES." | | | | DURING A NORMAL REACTOR SHUTDOWN FOR AN OUTAGE REACTOR POWER IS REDUCED TO | | ABOUT 15% PRIOR TO INSERTING A SCRAM. ALL ISOLATIONS HAVE BEEN RESET. THE | | LICENSEE INFORMED THE NRC RESIDENT INSPECTOR. NOTIFIED R2IRC(HAAG). | | | | * * * UPDATE 2350EDT ON 8/25/98 FROM GREGG LUDLAM TO FANGIE JONES * * * | | | | AS OF 2340EDT, THE TECHNICAL SUPPORT CENTER (TSC) HAS TAKEN OVER | | COMMUNICATIONS WITH THE NRC. THE TSC, OPERATIONS SUPPORT CENTER (OSC), AND | | THE EMERGENCY OFFSITE FACILITY (EOF) ARE FULLY MANNED AND WILL REMAIN SO | | UNTIL THE EVENT IS OVER. NOTIFIED R2IRC (HAAG). | | | | * * * UPDATE 0350 8/26/98 FROM MILLER TAKEN BY STRANSKY * * * | | | | UNIT 1 REACHED COLD SHUTDOWN AT 0132; UNIT 2 AT 0335. NOTIFIED R2IRC | | (MORRISSEY). | +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Aug 1998 to 26 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Aug 28 15:12:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2412 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-26175>; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 13:22:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62756; Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:07:08 -0500 Message-Id: <199808280507.AAA62756@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 00:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Aug 1998 to 27 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf62c532d9a65b847e900cb1f8a75da8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 17 messages totalling 697 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New NHC Bulletins 2. Submit your storm reports with StormForm, back online 3. Hurricane Video Teachers Guide 4. Danielle... 5. Bonnie's winds? 6. Turn That Darn Nuke Off! 7. European Satellite IMages 8. Ref: Hurricane rotation (2) 9. CYOA Identity? 10. Complete Danielle Page-Fast Load 11. TGP - Boris Konon 12. Wind Pressure 13. FW: Mesonet Funding Announcenment 14. WHXX Hurricane Guidance 15. Rain gauges anyone? 16. WeatherWatch JOURNAL Web site +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 01:03:04 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New NHC Bulletins Anyone notice these new tropical guidance bulletins that showed up on FOS yesterday? Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations WHXX01 KWBC 260117 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR HURRICANE DANIELLE (AL0498) ON 980826 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... 980826 0000 980826 1200 980826 2400 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON XTRP 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.6W 20.1N 55.8W CLIP 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.3W 20.2N 54.6W BAMD 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.1W 20.2N 54.4W BAMM 17.5N 47.5W 18.7N 51.1W 20.1N 54.6W BAMS 17.5N 47.5W 19.0N 51.7W 20.6N 55.7W A90E 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.5W 20.2N 55.2W LBAR 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.1W 19.6N 54.8W SHIP 75KTS 80KTS 85KTS SHFR 75KTS 82KTS 85KTS ...36 HRS... ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... 980827 1200 980827 2400 980828 2400 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON XTRP 21.3N 60.0W 22.6N 64.2W 25.2N 72.8W CLIP 21.5N 57.4W 22.9N 59.7W 25.5N 62.9W BAMD 21.3N 57.3W 22.3N 59.9W 23.2N 64.8W BAMM 21.5N 57.9W 23.1N 60.8W 26.2N 66.1W BAMS 22.2N 59.5W 24.2N 62.8W 28.1N 68.4W A90E 21.5N 58.7W 22.8N 62.1W 25.6N 68.7W LBAR 20.2N 58.6W 20.9N 62.1W 23.3N 67.8W SHIP 90KTS 95KTS 105KTS SHFR 86KTS 87KTS 89KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LAT0 = 17.5N LON0 = 47.5W DIR0 = 290DEG SPD0 = 20KT LATM12 = 16.2N LONM12 = 43.4W DIRM12 = 295DEG SPDM12 = 19KT LATM24 = 14.8N LONM24 = 39.8W WND0 = 75KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 65KT CENPRS = 979MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM WHXX04 KWBC 260001 ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP HURRICANE MODEL..GFDL MMM...FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE BONNIE 02L INITIAL TIME 18Z AUG 25 FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 30.0 75.6 6 31.1 76.1 335./11.9 12 32.3 76.7 337./13.2 18 33.4 76.9 347./10.7 24 34.2 76.6 18./ 8.7 30 35.5 75.5 43./15.3 36 36.9 73.7 51./20.0 42 38.6 71.2 55./27.0 48 40.4 67.8 62./31.2 54 42.2 64.2 65./32.5 60 43.9 60.6 65./31.4 66 45.6 57.1 64./29.8 72 47.5 53.7 60./30.4 78 49.1 51.4 56./21.7 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 11:11:32 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Submit your storm reports with StormForm, back online Hi folks, the CASI StormForm is running again. It had some problems during the last several days that were caused by my frenetic attempts to get the Tropical Surface Observations and Coastal Carolina Surface Observations online quickly. (www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical) If you would like to submit reports of rain,winds,etc. from Hurricane Bonnie (or any other weather event) to be included on our Recent Weather Events Page (www.weatherwatchers.org/recentwx.html) please do so at: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/stormform/ "Take my Bonnie back out to sea.." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 07:07:08 +0000 From: hmmogil Subject: Hurricane Video Teachers Guide Since Bonnie has been in the news for several days, I thought this would be a good time to announce availability of an educational video program on hurricanes. If there are any teachers on WX-TALK (or any of you weather folks know of any teachers), please note. The program is entitled A HURRICANE THROUGH THE EYES OF CHILDREN. The 42 minute video which shows 5th graders from south Florida investigating Hurricane Andrew is accompanied by a multi-disciplinary teachers guide (120 pages plus), hurricane tracking charts, and satellite and radar prints. The program is geared for 4th-6th grade. Price is $99.95 plus shipping ($8.00). MD residents please add 5% tax. Feel free to contact How The Weatherworks for additonal information on this and other educational products. -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 301 Creek Valley Lane Rockville, MD 20850 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) or 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** The road to knowledge is ALWAYS under construction! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:30:25 EDT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Danielle... I just want to put my two cents into what I think Danielle may do over the next 5-6 days...comments and opinions are welcome. A ridge of high pressure near Bermuda will steer Danielle west-northwest for the next 48 to 60 hours...then I think an approaching east coast trough will turn Danielle northwest by 72 hours and steer her north- northwest possibly into the northeastern South Carolina coast by Monday night. If the NOGAPS is correct and the trough is stronger then Danielle may either ride up the coast or move out-to-sea...but after what the first model runs were doing to Bonnie (out-to-sea) I don't quite buy them yet. For much more information, including my daily tropical weather forecasts...go to and bookmark my webpage The address is: http://maine.edu/~rlight51/index.html Comments and opinions are welcome... Robert Lightbown Crown Weather Services ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 09:49:41 -0500 From: STRAUSS@WCUVAX1.WCU.EDU Subject: Bonnie's winds? Although Bonnie is still being called a Hurricane, at no time have I seen any reports above about 55 mph. Also, those Weather channel guys don't look too buffeted; just a mite soggy. Can anyone verify that Bonnie really WAS still a hurricane when striking land? Any reports of sustained winds over 75 mph? Thanks, Bob Strauss ==================================================================== Bob Strauss "Duke of URL" Cataloger Hunter Library Western Carolina U. strauss@wcu.edu ==================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:51:21 EDT From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Turn That Darn Nuke Off! Of course there won't be any wires into which to feed the power anyway...so are they worried about needless operation or about the hurricane damage? I would have thought (naively?) that nuclear plants would be built to withstand hurricanes,especially in that location. But, all in all, I think it's better to be safer than sorrier. Norman > Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:19:16 -0700 > From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF > Subject: Turn That Darn Nuke Off! > > Yet another nuclear plant impacted by severe weather. > > I'm three for three this year in regards to this topic. In all deference > to Tom and Doris Grazulis, I may have to publish "Significant Shutdowns" > if this keeps up! :-O > > This info was obtained at, > > http://www.nrc.gov/NRR/DAILY/der.htm ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.tor.ec.gc.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:30:05 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: European Satellite IMages John Kambeel attempted to post this message to WX-TALK but it bounced for some reason. He's either not a subscriber or LISTSERV served him out. Any way, here's what he had to say... = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Take a look at the Weather Explorer of the Dutch Meteorological Office (KNMI). Here you'll find lots of links to sites containing (European) radar images, satellite images. It also gives an index of URLs with subjects like: education, extreme weather, live webcamera (in Europe), national meteorological institutes etcetera... http://www.knmi.nl/voorl/verken/index_e.html John Kambeel ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:19:46 -0700 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Ref: Hurricane rotation Brad Savage wrote: >In describing how hurricanes form and behave, a meteorologist on Chicago's WMAQ-TV has just reported that hurricanes spin >because of the rotation of the Earth. He then put his foot in his mouth, adding "the same force that sends water spiraling down >the drain." In fact, the "force" to which he was referring, the Coriolis effect, is too weak to affect the rotation of such a >small-scale phenomenon as water in a sink. When will trained professionals stop perpetuating this myth? Actually, the Coriolis effect does act on all scales of motion in a relative coordinate system. As pointed out in the "Glossary of Meteorology" (1980 edition, page 137), "Since the coriolis force is in effect proportional to the speed, its importance in any given atmospheric motion may be judged from the representative speed and duration of the motion." To see that the Coriolis effect does affect the rotation of water in a sink, place a floatable object in a large basin filled with water. Then let the water begin draining from the sink very slowly. After several minutes, the object will be spinning in just the way predicted by the equations of motion. Grover Prowell, CCM Science Applications International Corporation Las Vegas, NV ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 12:24:21 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Ref: Hurricane rotation > > Brad Savage wrote: > > >In describing how hurricanes form and behave, a meteorologist on Chicago's > WMAQ-TV has just reported that hurricanes spin >because of the rotation of > the Earth. He then put his foot in his mouth, adding "the same force that > sends water spiraling down >the drain." In fact, the "force" to which he > was referring, the Coriolis effect, is too weak to affect the rotation of > such a >small-scale phenomenon as water in a sink. When will trained > professionals stop perpetuating this myth? > > Actually, the Coriolis effect does act on all scales of motion in a > relative coordinate system. As pointed out in the "Glossary of > Meteorology" (1980 edition, page 137), "Since the coriolis force is in > effect proportional to the speed, its importance in any given atmospheric > motion may be judged from the representative speed and duration of the > motion." To see that the Coriolis effect does affect the rotation of water > in a sink, place a floatable object in a large basin filled with water. > Then let the water begin draining from the sink very slowly. After several > minutes, the object will be spinning in just the way predicted by the > equations of motion. > > Grover Prowell, CCM > Science Applications International Corporation > Las Vegas, NV > It's a question of scale. Does a draining bathtub enjoy the timescale necessary to allow the Coriolis force to become important? Not usually, unless you're desperately in need of Liquid Plummr or a new pipe. True, the Coriolis force does affect draining water in a bathtub. Unless your tub drains for hours however, and the water was quite still before it started draining, you won't notice it. Scott, trying to head off this thread :) -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 10:24:55 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: CYOA Identity? Anyone know the location of the METAR reporting site CYOA? Thanks in advance! Jeff Logan FNMOC - Data Dept ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 12:27:35 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Complete Danielle Page-Fast Load Hello Weather Fans Here is a link for a Hurricane Danielle (fast-load) page. http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/Danielle.html Radar links and other information will be added as Danielle nears the United States over the next few days. Suggestions are welcome...if you want something added or notice something missing please let us know. Derek Dodson NBC WPSD-TV 6 Paducah, Kentucky derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 13:05:17 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: TGP - Boris Konon Greetins Everyone If anyone knows of a site for the Tropical Guidance Products I would appreciate it if you could e-mail me the information. Earlier Boris A. Konon sent in a post concerning model predictions in text form. I am looking for a site that might have that information. The following is the information he provided: "Anyone notice these new tropical guidance bulletins that showed up on FOS yesterday? Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations WHXX01 KWBC 260117 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR HURRICANE DANIELLE (AL0498) ON 980826 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... 980826 0000 980826 1200 980826 2400 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON XTRP 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.6W 20.1N 55.8W CLIP 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.3W 20.2N 54.6W BAMD 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.1W 20.2N 54.4W BAMM 17.5N 47.5W 18.7N 51.1W 20.1N 54.6W BAMS 17.5N 47.5W 19.0N 51.7W 20.6N 55.7W A90E 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.5W 20.2N 55.2W LBAR 17.5N 47.5W 18.8N 51.1W 19.6N 54.8W SHIP 75KTS 80KTS 85KTS SHFR 75KTS 82KTS 85KTS ...36 HRS... ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... 980827 1200 980827 2400 980828 2400 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON XTRP 21.3N 60.0W 22.6N 64.2W 25.2N 72.8W CLIP 21.5N 57.4W 22.9N 59.7W 25.5N 62.9W BAMD 21.3N 57.3W 22.3N 59.9W 23.2N 64.8W BAMM 21.5N 57.9W 23.1N 60.8W 26.2N 66.1W BAMS 22.2N 59.5W 24.2N 62.8W 28.1N 68.4W A90E 21.5N 58.7W 22.8N 62.1W 25.6N 68.7W LBAR 20.2N 58.6W 20.9N 62.1W 23.3N 67.8W SHIP 90KTS 95KTS 105KTS SHFR 86KTS 87KTS 89KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LAT0 = 17.5N LON0 = 47.5W DIR0 = 290DEG SPD0 = 20KT LATM12 = 16.2N LONM12 = 43.4W DIRM12 = 295DEG SPDM12 = 19KT LATM24 = 14.8N LONM24 = 39.8W WND0 = 75KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 65KT CENPRS = 979MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM WHXX04 KWBC 260001 ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP HURRICANE MODEL..GFDL MMM...FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE BONNIE 02L INITIAL TIME 18Z AUG 25 FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 30.0 75.6 6 31.1 76.1 335./11.9 12 32.3 76.7 337./13.2 18 33.4 76.9 347./10.7 24 34.2 76.6 18./ 8.7 30 35.5 75.5 43./15.3 36 36.9 73.7 51./20.0 42 38.6 71.2 55./27.0 48 40.4 67.8 62./31.2 54 42.2 64.2 65./32.5 60 43.9 60.6 65./31.4 66 45.6 57.1 64./29.8 72 47.5 53.7 60./30.4 78 49.1 51.4 56./21.7" Thanks Ahead of Time derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Aug 1998 21:22:22 -0400 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: Wind Pressure Here's one for ya... Does anybody have a _simple_, shall we say, _rule of thumb_ way to calculate how much pressure per square inch is generated by a given wind speed? Yes, we can presume it is blowing at a 90 degree angle against a flat surface. A fairly large flat surface. I got a call this evening from a guy who builds house boats. Large houseboats that will sleep 10 to 12 people. The houseboats are then rented to people who certainly have no business piloting a large floating hunk of metal and fiberglass, yet they do. They spend a lovely weekend on a mid-sized lake in south-central Kentucky. And then comes the problem. These fine weekend boaters have an extremely hard time "parking" large hunks of metal and fiberglass. So this guy is wanting to add "thrusters" that will, once the boat is within some proximity of the dock, push the large houseboat sideways so the dock hands can grab hold. He wants to have some idea how much thrust will be necessary, and part of that is figuring out the wind loading. A fairly good approximation will do, preferably in psi, and expressed for someone who told me three times on the phone that he's only a high school gradute. (He had just finished getting the --long version-- from a college professor.) Thanks kids, Stuart Shepard Weather guru, (and sometimes Weather Elvis) WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky stuartwlex@juno.com _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 13:16:32 -0500 From: "Haynie, Bruce" Subject: FW: Mesonet Funding Announcenment I was asked to forward this message by Dr. Tim Doggett, Texas Tech Atmospheric Science Dept.: ---------------- Bruce Haynie bhaynie@ttu.edu Info. Systems Specialist a1kbh@techmail.admin.ttu.edu Texas Tech University "Don't bring me down..." -ELO > -----Original Message----- > From: Tim Doggett [SMTP:doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu] > Sent: Thursday, August 27, 1998 12:53 PM > To: R. Peterson; C. Leary; C. Chang; J. Jurica; Me; Mehta Kishor; > Doug Smith; Gary Sickler; John Nielsen-Gammon; > bgammon@ariel.met.tamu.edu; Dan White; Jean-Michel Fage; Robert K. > Hammar; George_Frederick@radian.com; Eddie McBride; Jerry Millsaps; > Duane Lavery; April MacDowell; Mark Conder; John Schroeder; Jesse > Kenyon; Gary Skwira; Steve Weinbeck; Rob Howard; Mark Berteau; Rob > Boucher; Rick Brandt; Kyle Hill; Andrew Jones; Seth Nagle; Bill > Turner; Jim Dunyak; Todd Flanagan; Loren Phillips; Andy Anderson; Don > Baker; Marty Mullen; Larry Vannozzi; Justin Weaver; Pat Vesper; Steve > Drillette; Tim Tinsley; George Mathews; Bruce Haynie; Gilbert > Sebenste; Tom Gill; John Stout; Cliff Fedler; hrkar@TTACS.TTU.EDU; > Kensey_Matt@prc.com; burgettw@kmrmail.kmr.ll.mit.edu; Scott Carpenter; > maloney@juliet.ll.mit.edu; linda_galusha@mmacmail.jccbi.gov; Jeff > Richardson; Vincent Hesketh > Subject: Mesonet Funding Announcenment > > Greetings!! > > The long awaited decision regarding funding of the West Texas Mesonet > Project has finally been made. Yesterday afternoon the Texas > Department of > Economic Development approved a $2 million grant to fund the Wind > Science > and Engineering Technology Assistance and Transfer Program. This > money > will be dedicated to develop a 28-site mesonet in the Texas High > Plains > region, promote economic benefits stemming from the use of this data > resource, and develop a variety of applications to utilize the data. > The planned mesonet will include 28 surface stations, 3 atmospheric > profilers, and data from a 200-meter tower at Reese Center. Data will > be > made available across the internet in as near real-time as possible, > and we > anticipate having the system at least partially in place by this > coming > spring. > > We hope that this is a large step toward the implementation of a > statewide > mesonet called the Texas MesoNet Project. A collaborative effort > between > Texas Tech and Texas A&M Universities is currently underway to > establish > this network. This (and possibly other) pilot projects will help to > prove > the feasibility of the statewide project, as well as demonstrate the > economic benefits that can be expected from such a system. > > I have tried to send this message out to as many people as I could > think of > who might be interested in this project. Please feel free to pass > this > information along to anyone who I might have missed. Also, I would be > glad > to field any questions about the project. > > Further information about the funding decision can be found at: > http://www.tded.state.tx.us/commerce/press/04166395.htm > > Further information about the Texas MesoNet Project can be found at: > http://www.met.tamu.edu/texnet/mesonet.html > > A west Texas Mesonet Homepage is coming soon! > (http://www.cicms.atmo.ttu) > > -Tim > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > ------ > Tim Doggett, Ph.D. > Assistant Professor > Texas Tech University's Atmospheric Science Group > e-mail: doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu > fax: (806)742-1738 > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > ------ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:57:54 -0400 From: Michael W Dross Subject: WHXX Hurricane Guidance Now that the cat is out of the bag. I will shed some light on the WHXX products. I have been trying to get the WHXX Hurricane Guidance products made available over the NWS Family Of Service circuits for two years. As I understand it, the NHC has been against disseminating this data, since some people may mis-use this model guidance. I made another request to get the WHXX products on FOS last week, since the data is available now on NOAAPORT. Thanks to the efforts of the Industrial Meteorology Group and the FOS Program Manager, the products were added early this week. Great Job! The concern has been that some folks, (Emergency Mangers, Non-Meterologist etc, ) will take action based on computer model data and disregard the Official NHC forecast. While this may occur, I think these same people will try and use the other model data (Eta, NGM, NOGAPS, etc) and make poor decisions anyway. So as a meteorologist I find this type of data invaluable and will also put it in it's proper context and that is just "Guidance". Hopefully this information will not be mis-used. If you don't understand the data, don use it. That simple. I have some technical papers on the various NHC hurricane models. I would like to make them available via PDF format, but don't have a scanner. If anyone has one I can fax them the papers. The WHXX Hurricane Data can be found at this location: http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/forecasts/mod/ Mike Dross mwdross@duke-energy.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 18:39:33 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Rain gauges anyone? When we sign up volunteer weather watchers for our TV station, we provide them with a professional rain gauge. These are the clear plastic 11" tall cylinders with a funnel cap draining into a smaller tube with .001 graduations. Gauges attach to a 4" post with included bracket. In quantity, they can be purchased for $12.50 ea. which is less than half of the $31.00 retail. If any other TV stations, spotter groups or individuals want to go in on a bulk order, please drop me a note. I will be placing an order in a few weeks. Regards John McLaughlin KCCI TV 888 9th Des Moines, IA 50309 515-247-8851 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 20:03:35 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: WeatherWatch JOURNAL Web site Internic screwed up the DNS for WeatherWatch JOURNAL. In order to visit our web site, use the following URL: http://www.jaguarsystems.com/weatherstore/ OR email us at WXWATCH@jnlk.com. Thank-you Bill Hipkins ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Aug 1998 to 27 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Aug 29 13:13:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-2071>; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 13:07:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25310; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 00:05:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199808290505.AAA25310@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 00:01:32 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1998 to 28 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2c528141e45d8cfbe8ab38b204f30f3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 424 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Bonnie Winds 2. RECON: Vortex Message 3. Bonnie winds (2) 4. Weatherpoint 5. Goodbye, for now 6. CYOA Identity? 7. Newspaper article on Bonnie Coverage 8. WX-TALK Digest - 26 Aug 1998 to 27 Aug 1998 9. Danielle Images 10. New NHC Bulletins 11. Wind Pressure 12. BONNIE-The hurricane that wasn't? 13. Hurricane Bonnie +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 07:15:21 -0400 From: "Dr. M Brooks" Subject: Re: Bonnie Winds >Although Bonnie is still being called a Hurricane, at no time >have I seen any reports above about 55 mph. Also, those Weather channel >guys don't look too buffeted; just a mite soggy. > >Can anyone verify that Bonnie really WAS still a hurricane when striking >land? Any reports of sustained winds over 75 mph? > I have to agree with you on this... I tend to believe the National Hurricane Center over-reacted a little bit and this may not have been a true category three hurricane. I haven't seen a single report over land indicating anything more than 80mph. I would however like to commend the NHC for their forecast track. That turned out pretty well. -Mark Ever stop to think, and forget to start again? **************************************************** Live Weather Images http://www.weatherimages.org **************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 08:34:06 -0400 From: Scott Cravens Subject: RECON: Vortex Message Wondering if anyone could clarify part D. of a Vortex message (See below) for me. My information says that part D. represents "Estimate of maximum surface wind observed in knots". If so, Danielle's maximum wind was 63 mph when this was taken. The NHC is reporting maximum sustained winds of 80 knots (92 mph). Thanks in advance for any help on this. > 530 > URNT12 KNHC 281201 > DETAILED VORTEX DATA MESSAGE > A. 28/1202Z > B. 22 DEG 57 MIN N > 64 DEG 24 MIN W > C. 850 MB 1336 M > D. 55 KT ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:09:07 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Bonnie winds Bob Strauss wrote: >Although Bonnie is still being called a Hurricane, at no time >have I seen any reports above about 55 mph. Also, those Weather channel >guys don't look too buffeted; just a mite soggy. > >Can anyone verify that Bonnie really WAS still a hurricane when striking >land? Any reports of sustained winds over 75 mph? > >Thanks, >Bob Strauss > >==================================================================== >Bob Strauss "Duke of URL" Cataloger >Hunter Library Western Carolina U. >strauss@wcu.edu > My understanding is that the wind speed reports were made from NOAA aircraft and, when Bonnie was close enough, Doppler radar. A text file with the NHC reported winds, position, pressure, etc., can be found at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/98/bonnie/index.html Click on Track File to get the track data in a text file. When the eye of Bonnie first crossed the Carolina coast, the maximum sustained winds were 115 mph. This does not NECESSARILY mean that the winds over land were this speed. It means that somewhere in Bonnie (e.g., the NE quadrant) those winds were present. Hope that helps, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 10:55:32 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Weatherpoint Has anyone noticed WxPoint's US Sat Loop...doesn't even SHOW (!) Bonnie. Anyone have a better URL for their US Sat loop? Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:10:41 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Goodbye, for now After 3 wonderful years at NIU, I am losing my account in the Geography department here. As a result, the Storm Chaser Homepage, SCH Canada, THE STORM MACHINE, and all it's attributes will no longer be updated at the addresses of: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada/ http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ Respectively. I will be moving these to a new machine in the late fall, and I will announce the new address on bit.listserv.wx-chase, bit.listserv.wx-talk, and sci.geo.meteorology. I thank you all for your support. The pages will work for now, so continue to use the resources until they are moved. Thanks again to one and all...and watch for these to appear on a new, faster server by this winter! Gilbert Sebenste, Webmaster, Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada/THE STORM MACHINE ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 07:29:34 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: CYOA Identity? I've received 3 replies on this request...and they've all had the same position for the site...I think that's enough to verify it! Thanks for your help! Jeff BTW...here's the stats for the site CYOA... KOALA NWT IDENTIFIER - YOA INDEX NUMBER - N/A TYPE - PWS LATITUDE - 64 42 N LONGITUDE - 110 37 W ELEVATION - 469 M ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: CYOA Identity? Author: Jeffrey Logan Date: 8/27/98 10:24 AM Anyone know the location of the METAR reporting site CYOA? Thanks in advance! Jeff Logan FNMOC - Data Dept ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 09:40:00 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Newspaper article on Bonnie Coverage There is an amusing piece in today's Providence Journal-Bulletin on 'Bonnie' coverage: http://www.projo.com/report/pjb/stories/01163931.htm Scott ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 15:38:50 GMT From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Aug 1998 to 27 Aug 1998 Mike, Regarding these new Model output products...are these here to stay or are they still subject to being pulled by NHC? For those of you who do not know the GFDL Data is being delayed by up to 10 hours by the TPC...by the way Mike..it wasn' t me who let the cat out! Dan >Date: Thu, 27 Aug 1998 14:57:54 -0400 >From: Michael W Dross >Subject: WHXX Hurricane Guidance > >Now that the cat is out of the bag. I will shed some light on the WHXX >products. > >I have been trying to get the WHXX Hurricane Guidance products made >available over the NWS Family Of Service circuits for two years. As I >understand it, the NHC has been against disseminating this data, since >some people may mis-use this model guidance. > >I made another request to get the WHXX products on FOS last week, since the >data is available now on NOAAPORT. >Thanks to the efforts of the Industrial Meteorology Group and the FOS >Program Manager, the products were added >early this week. Great Job! > >The concern has been that some folks, (Emergency Mangers, Non-Meterologist >etc, ) will take action based on computer >model data and disregard the Official NHC forecast. While this may occur, I >think these same people will try and use the >other model data (Eta, NGM, NOGAPS, etc) and make poor decisions anyway. So >as a meteorologist I find this type >of data invaluable and will also put it in it's proper context and that is >just "Guidance". Hopefully this information >will not be mis-used. If you don't understand the data, don use it. That >simple. > >I have some technical papers on the various NHC hurricane models. I would >like to make them available via PDF format, but don't have a scanner. If >anyone has one I can fax them the papers. > >The WHXX Hurricane Data can be found at this location: > >http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/forecasts/mod/ > >Mike Dross >mwdross@duke-energy.com Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT TV Huntsville, Al Message sent from Doppler 19 Forecast Center;WEST in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:55:39 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Danielle Images We are now acquiring NOAA AVHRR images of Danielle and posting them on our web site at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ (click on Danielle) In addition, I made an image of the track of Danielle overlaid on sea surface temperature. You can see the cool wake left by Bonnie. Hope you find the site of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 20:46:12 -0500 From: Rauchig Subject: Re: Bonnie winds "Steven M. Babin" said the following: >Bob Strauss wrote: >>Although Bonnie is still being called a Hurricane, at no time >>have I seen any reports above about 55 mph. Also, those Weather channel >>guys don't look too buffeted; just a mite soggy. >> >sustained winds were 115 mph. This does not NECESSARILY mean that the >winds over land were this speed. It means that somewhere in Bonnie (e.g., >the NE quadrant) those winds were present. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ As a rule the strongest winds are in the NE part of the storm, or the right front relative to movement. If you watch the satellite loops, you notice that the NE quad of the storm never really made a hit inland. That is why the damage was not as bad as everyone was expecting. Bonnie was nice in that she did not make a direct hit. Chad ÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍÍ -Rauchig "Microsoft's biggest and most dangerous contribution to the software industry may be the degree to which it has lowered user expectations." -January 1997 OS/2 Magazine U.S. Upper Air Archive: http://lonestar.texas.net/~rauchig/archive/upper ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 19:14:42 -0400 From: David Baron Subject: Re: New NHC Bulletins Boris A. Konon wrote in message 35E39708.C13D6731@wsicorp.com... >Anyone notice these new tropical guidance bulletins that showed up >on FOS yesterday? Yes, now that you mention it. They have until now been kept internal, although a few years ago, when the IWIN site ( http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/ ) started, they were available there for a few months. They come out around 0000-0100 and 1200-1300 UTC daily. If they are not available anywhere else, they now appear reliably at: http://www.met.fsu.edu/Data/archive/weather/HURR/ This means that now the output of NHC's models may give Gary Gray a bit more to add to his already lengthy discussions. (http://www2.smart.net/~gdmgeg/tropical.html - Thanks Gary!) The initial rationale for keeping them internal was that they could be interpreted poorly by the inexperienced. (e.g., people who don't realize that the first model is linear extrapolation and the second is CLIPER). The other models in the statements are the Deep, Medium, and Shallow BAM (Beta Advection Model), the LBAR, the A90E, and the GFDL (in separate statements), and the SHIFOR and SHIPS intensity prediction models. (see the info in http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutmodels.html for descriptions of the models) David Baron --------------------------------------------------------------------- L. David Baron | Entering Freshman, Harvard dbaron@netaxs.com | < http://www.psych.upenn.edu/~baron/david/ > dbaron@fas.harvard.edu after September 6 Webmaster, International Weather Satellite Imagery Center, etc. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:28:58 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Wind Pressure In answer to Stuart Shepards question: "Does anyone have a simple rule of thumb to calculate how much pressure, in pounds per square inch, is generated by a given wind speed?" Yes, here is the handy dandy formula: p = .00256 V (squared) where: p = pressure in pounds per square foot V = wind velocity in miles per hour squared. For example: A 100 mph wind produces 25.6 pounds per square foot on a surface perpendicular to the wind. So, if you are trying to hold up, say a 4 x 8 sheet of plywood, you would have to overcome 819 pounds of force. NOTE: A 200mph wind has four times NOT twice the force of a 100mph wind.! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:28:57 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: BONNIE-The hurricane that wasn't? In answer to Bob Strauss's question: "Can anyone verify that Bonnie really was a hurricane when striking land? Any reports of sustained winds over 75mph? Answer: My initial review of the wind data revealed no reports that would support Bonnie being a hurricane on land. However, there were gusts of hurricane force. Naturally, the highest wind reports were offshore at buoy locations. On a related note: The media really hyped this one up and it's getting worse with each storm. Maybe, we should send them all to "wind estimating school" where we put them in a wind tunnel and crank it up the wind. Dave H. this sounds like a funnel funny! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 00:36:58 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Hurricane Bonnie Just got these additional reports on the highest wind velocities in Hurricane Bonnie: Chesapeake Lighthouse 68knots (78mph) sustained, CATEGORY 1 Cape Henry, 70 knots (81mph) sustained, CATEGORY 1 The heights of these anemometers are unknown at this time. Also, Wilmington, NC has yet to file their summary of Bonnie. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1998 to 28 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Aug 30 06:26:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4244 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628422-4431>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 03:46:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id OAA16736; Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:45:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199808291945.OAA16736@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:40:42 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Aug 1998 to 29 Aug 1998 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a078698349e2a9b7576a14b70acefbfe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 811 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. NWS mired in controversy 2. URGENT -- HELP 3. BONNIE-The hurricane that wasn't? (3) 4. hurricane Danielle (2) 5. NWS mired in controversy (fairly lengthy reply) 6. Hurricane Bonnie +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:11:01 -0500 From: David Black Subject: NWS mired in controversy -Anger erupts over transfer of Alabama's top NWS Forecaster- The National Weather Service has become embroiled in controversy in Alabama. At issue is the abrupt transfer of Gary Petti, the well-liked Meteorologist-in-Charge of the Birmingham office which oversees service to the northern two thirds of Alabama and part of west Georgia. Petti's transfer was announced less than a day after he was quoted in a newspaper article about the controversial proposed closing of the Huntsville, Alabama, Weather Service Office. While William Proenza, Acting Director of the NWS' Southern Region, says the transfer is being made because Petti is needed in Washington, few believe him. Petti angered Alabama Congressman Bud Cramer, a Democrat who is running for re-election and who has made the proposed office closing a campaign issue. Cramer complained to Petti's bosses after the article containing Petti's comments was released August 19th. Shortly thereafter, Petti was notified that he was being given a directed transfer. Broadcasters, weather forecasters and citizens across north and central Alabama have reacted with outrage to Petti's transfer, accusing Cramer of blatant politics in using his influence to get Petti reassigned. The following commentary was released by The Weather Company, a Birmingham-based meteorological services firm. The commentary was sent to subscribers of The Weather Company's free e-forecast product which is received by thousands of residents across north and central Alabama. ======================================================================== Are politics threatening your safety? Commentary By David Black, KB4KCH The Weather Company First, I want to thank you for subscribing to our E-Forecast product, which is produced by The Weather Company. We go out of our way not to send you any "junk" mail, but I feel a strong need to share news of a troubling situation with you and to ask you to consider becoming involved. Anyone who depends on receiving severe weather warnings to help stay safe stands to be affected by an ugly and politically-motivated move orchestrated by an Alabama congressman. I am concerned about the possibility that the quality of the severe weather warning process in our state could deteriorate. Because so many people depend heavily on National Weather Service watches and warnings, this issue affects everyone. It affects you and your loved ones. Gary Petti, Meteorologist-In-Charge of the Birmingham NWS Office, is being shipped out of Alabama following comments he made about the proposed closing of the Huntsville NWS office in a newspaper article last week. Actually, Gary was given a choice: Accept a lateral transfer to Washington or be terminated, putting an abrupt end to a 23 year career of service to the federal government. The Huntsville NWS office is scheduled to close within the next year as part of a national streamlining and modernization plan. All warnings for the Tennessee Valley are now being issued from Birmingham. As those of you in the Tennessee Valley know, the Huntsville NWS office closure has become a political "hot potato," and has been a very emotional issue to some. The move to get Gary "out of the picture" is being done extremely fast. On August 27th--barely a week after the newspaper article came out--the NWS officially posted notice of an opening for Gary's job. Gary is extremely well respected and well-liked by Alabama's meteorological community. His office does an excellent job providing advance warnings, as was demonstrated during the Oak Grove tornado on April 8th, the 1994 Palm Sunday tornado and many other severe weather events. Others agree. "The bottom line is that this is pure election year politics. In my opinion Gary Petti has been the best Meteorologist In Charge (MIC) at the Birmingham NWS office and his leadership was responsible for the warning process that saved thousands of Alabamians the night of the deadly April 8th tornadoes. The Birmingham NWS office has constantly been recognized for its excellent operations and excellent warnings in times of severe weather under his leadership. The loss of Gary Petti would leave the National Weather Service understaffed and Alabama should not be forced to lose one of its most valuable weather resources." --James Spann, Meteorologist, The Weather Company "This is stupid. You're moving someone out of an office that's performing quite well. There's nothing productive that will serve the general public that's coming out of Gary's transfer. Their warning performance is extremely good and probably sets an example for other NWS offices. If you're going to mess up the hierarchy, I don't think that's a good thing." --Jerry Tracey, Meteorologist, WVTM NBC/13 "This is flagrant and just plain wrong. Moving Gary under these circumstances is a slap in the face of every Alabamian. Politics should be left out of the mix when it comes to saving lives." --John Oldshue, Meteorologist, The Weather Company The loss of Gary Petti will be detrimental for us all. His leadership has been responsible for one of the best local NWS operations in the nation. We all know the incredible job his office did during the night of April 8th. How many people owe their lives to having heard the warnings and taken cover? The fact that this man is being sent away because he offended a politician is insanity. The truth is that the Huntsville NWS operation is a waste of taxpayer money. And, yes, I would say this if I lived in Huntsville. The Birmingham office is much better equipped and staffed to handle severe weather events over all of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the Tennessee Valley. They have already proven this. Please consider contacting our Senators and Congressmen over this urgent issue. Gary Petti needs to stay at the Birmingham NWS to assure continued quality warnings! Senator Richard Shelby E-mail: Senator@shelby.senate.gov Local Voice (Birmingham): 205/731-1384 Local Voice (Tuscaloosa): 205/759-5047 Washington Voice: 202/224-5744 Local Fax (Birmingham): 205/731-1386 Local Fax (Tuscaloosa): 205/759-5067 Washington Fax: 202/224-3416 Senator Jeff Sessions E-mail: Senator@Sessions.senate.gov Local Voice (Birmingham): 205/731-5000 Washington Voice: 202/224-4124 Local Fax (Birmingham): 205/731-0221 Washington Fax: 202/224-3149 Congressman Spencer Bachus E-mail: sbachus@mail.house.gov Local Voice (Birmingham): 205/969-2296 Local Voice (Tuscaloosa): 205/333-9894 Washington Voice: 202/225-4921 Local Fax (Birmingham): 205/969-3358 Local Fax (Tuscaloosa): 205/333-9812 Washington Fax : 202/225-5587 Congressman Bob Riley E-mail: bob.riley@mail.house.gov Congressman Robert Adherholt Washington Fax: 202/225-5587 Congressman Bud Cramer 2416 Rayburn Bldg. Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: 202/225-4801 I am sorry for the long note, but thank you for taking the time to read it. I just hate seeing this man's life being torn apart and Alabama losing the best NWS Meteorologist-In-Charge in the nation, as he becomes a pawn in one person's re-election campaign. It's not right. We will all be the losers if this transfer happens. I hope you will help me in trying to keep Gary right where he is and wants to stay. Thank you. Sincerely, David Black The Weather Company ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 01:08:30 -0700 From: "J. Halls" Subject: URGENT -- HELP Please read the articles below and then help save Gary Petti's job at the National Weather Service in Birmingham by writing all of the congressmen at the end of this note. Also write Mr . Proenza (his address is at the bottom too...) , Gary Petti's boss and let him know that a field officer should stay in the field not in Washington DC, especially one that is so well liked by the Alabama public. Thanks, J. Halls>>>>>>>Alabama Storm Spotter >From the Editorial Board of The Huntsville Times Chilled in Alabama. 08/28/98 Times Opinion Column The transfer of a meteorologist who spoke to the press should be reversed. Residents of tornado-plagued North Alabama have every reason to support U.S. Rep. Bud Cramer, D-Huntsville, as he fights to assure the best storm warnings the National Weather Service can provide. But they also have reason to be troubled by the fate of a weather forecaster who angered Cramer by speaking too candidly about the hottest weather issue around. By way of background, the National Weather Service has wanted for months to close the weather office here and rely on a larger office south of Birmingham to issue tornado and winter-weather warnings for this area. The Birmingham office has access to a wide array of modern communications and radar, including the new Hytop Doppler radar near Scottsboro. There is doubt in this area that Birmingham, which monitors weather for more than half the state, is up to the job. Cramer deserves credit for turning that skepticism into action by pushing Washington to build the new Scottsboro radar and requiring a year-long test of Birminghams capabilities before the office here is closed. Enter Gary Petti, the chief forecaster for the Birmingham office and a man respected for speaking clearly and candidly. Thats what Petti thought he was doing earlier this month when he told a reporter from this newspaper that, so far, based on the few complaints received, the test is vindicating the Weather Service position that Birmingham can handle the job. Cramer hit the roof and then he grabbed the telephone. The closing decision is still up in the air, Cramer told Pettis bosses in Washington, but Petti keeps sounding like the National Weather Service is simply proceeding toward doing what it has already decided to do. Hold this loudmouth accountable, Cramer demanded. The next day, Petti was ordered to give up the job hes held in Birmingham for 10 years and report for duty in Washington. The bureaucrats deny that hes being punished and muzzled, but he is. Cramer says hes not directly responsibly for the sledgehammer-to-the-fly quality of this response. He says he merely wanted Petti to stop presenting a false picture. Well take him at his word. But Cramer must know this looks bad. Its a cruelly exaggerated response that, in weather terms, puts a cold front between the public and its employees. Thats a disservice to taxpayers who have the right to know what the experts think. Its fine to insist Petti be circumspect. If hes going against policy, reprimand him. But the decision to uproot Petti and his family from their home should be reversed. Perhaps Cramer can pick up the telephone again. >From The Birmingham News Editorial Board Hurricane Bud Cramer huffs and puffs, and meteorologist transferred News Editorial 8/28/1998 Hurricane Bud is on the loose. A puffed up U.S. Rep. Bud Cramer, (D) Huntsville, took offense when a Birmingham meteorologist had the audacity to suggest in a news story that he was "fairly comfortable" with continuing a phase-out of the Huntsville weather office. Cramer has been fighting to keep the office open, and has been criticized by his Republican challenger in the November election on the weather office issue. So Cramer huffed and puffed and complained to meteorologist Gary Petti's bosses. "I said I want this bureaucrat held account able for this," Cramer said. Petti, who has headed the Birmingham office of the National Weather Service since 1988 and was planning to retire here, all of a sudden found himself transferred to the NWS office in Washington, D.C. William Proenza, acting director of the NWS Southeastern region, said he alone made the decision to transfer Petti. Cramer also said the NWS "made that decision on its own." That's their story and they're sticking to it. Maybe Petti, who said he was "devastated" by the news, was due to be reassigned and Cramer's carping had nothing to do with it. Let's hope that was the case. Otherwise, what we've got is a petulant, petty U.S. representative throwing his weight around and getting his way. It's hard to believe, regardless of whether Cramer is able to keep the Huntsville weather office open, that voters will respond well to this sort of bluster. >From The Huntsville Times By JOHN ANDERSON and LINDA LONG Times Staff Writer 8/28/98 U.S. Commerce Secretary William Daleys visit here today came as controversy builds over the sudden transfer of the chief meteorologist of the National Weather Services Birmingham office. U.S. Rep. Bud Cramer, D-Huntsville, drew the wrath of Birmingham talk show hosts and television weathermen over veteran meteorologist Gary Pettis reassignment to Washington, D.C. Pettis boss at the Weather Service told him of the move a day after Petti angered Cramer with comments about the Huntsville office. Cramer complained to Daley and NWS director James Kelly about Pettis assertion in a Times article last week that plans appeared to be on track to close the Huntsville office. Cramer said he didnt demand that Petti be transferred but wanted him "held accountable because he was undermining efforts to keep the local office open. Birmingham residents have said the weather office there saved lives during the April 8 outbreak of tornadoes in Jefferson County by issuing timely warnings, said Dee Fine, a talk show host for WERC radio. "We have Gary Petti to thank, Fine said. I dont know why we have to lose somebody with that competence and ability because Cramer got p-----. "Talk about abuse of power. Fine said that during a couple of hours of "Cramer bashing on her Thursday morning show, several callers asked for Cramers Washington number so they could complain. "Hes lucky hes not running for re-election in this area, she said. This morning, the storm of protests on radio talk shows in Birmingham continued. James Spann, meteorologist at Alabamas ABC 33/40, also had strong words for the abrupt transfer. ''This is absolute insanity, he said. Emphasizing that he is speaking only as a private citizen, Spann said that ''we are . . . trying to get every broadcast meteorologist together in one place at one time to issue a joint message of support for Gary and to show people why there needs to be an outcry for whats happened here. ''If I understand the basic facts, said Spann, ''a congressman involved in a re-election campaign is using the weather office in Huntsville as his Alamo. Daley told reporters after touring the local weather office today that he didnt hear about the transfer until after the fact, but said it was unrelated to Cramers complaints. ''Thats not the reason for the transfer, he said. Kelly wants to bring experienced field operators into headquarters, Daley said. Daley said although he expected the timing of the transfer to be questioned, he doesnt think Pettis transfer will make other Weather Service meteorologists more reluctant to speak publicly. The Weather Service announced more than eight years ago that it was closing more than 100 smaller weather stations, including Huntsvilles, in a cost-cutting and modernization move. Bowing to pressure from Cramer and others, the Weather Service agreed to place top-of-the-line radar equipment, NEXRAD, in Jackson County, but proceeded to transfer all monitoring functions to the Birmingham office last December during a trial period. Gil Aust, Cramers Republican opponent this fall, also criticized Cramers apparent role in Pettis transfer. Aust called Cramers actions ''outrageous and compared him to President Clinton. Clinton, Aust told reporters at the Huntsville International Airport, lashed out at independent counsel Ken Starr even though hes to blame for his problems. Cramer is ''a lot like Clinton in the way hes lashed out at an innocent federal employee, he said. ''I just want to say to federal employees and retirees here that I respect them for putting this area on the map. ___________________________________________________ X. William Proenza Acting Regional Director National Weather Service Southern Region Headquarters 819 Taylor St. Fort Worth, TX 76102 E-mail: bill.proenza@noaa.gov Phone: 817/978-2651 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Sonny Callahan House of Representatives, AL 1st district 2418 Rayburn House Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-4931 Washington Fax: (202) 225-0562 AL Voice: (334) 690-2811 Email: callahan@mail.house.gov URL: http://www.house.gov/callahan Terry Everett House of Representatives, AL 2nd district 208 Cannon House Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-2901 Washington Fax: (202) 225-8913 AL Voice: (334) 277-9113 Bob Riley House of Representatives, AL 3rd district 510 Cannon House Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-3261 Washington Fax: (202) 225-5827 AL Voice: (205) 236-5655 Email: bob.riley@mail.house.gov URL: http://www.house.gov/riley/ Robert Aderholt House of Representatives, AL 4th district 1007 Longworth House Office Bldg Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-4876 Washington Fax: (202) 225-5587 AL Voice: (205) 221-2310 Email: robert.aderholt@mail.house.gov Robert Cramer House of Representatives, AL 5th district 2416 Rayburn House Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-4801 Washington Fax: (202) 225-4392 AL Voice: (205) 551-0190 Email: budmail@mail.house.gov URL: http://www.house.gov/cramer Spencer Bachus House of Representatives, AL 6th district 442 Cannon House Office Bldg Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-4921 Washington Fax: (202) 225-2082 AL Voice: (205) 969-2296 Email: spencer.bachus@mail.house.gov Earl Hilliard House of Representatives, AL 7th district 1314 Longworth House Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20515 Washington Voice: (202) 225-2665 Washington Fax: (202) 226-0772 AL Voice: (205) 328-2841 Email: callearl@mail.house.gov URL: http://www.house.gov/hilliard/ SENATORS Richard Shelby U.S. Senate (AL) 110 Hart Senate Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20510 Washington Voice: (202) 224-5744 Washington Fax: (202) 224-3416 AL Voice: (205) 731-1384 Email: senator@shelby.senate.gov URL: http://www.senate.gov/senator/shelby.html Jeff Sessions U.S. Senate (AL) B34 Dirksen Senate Office Bldg. Washington, DC 20510 Washington Voice: (202) 224-4124 Washington Fax: (202) 224-3149 AL Voice: (334) 270-4040Email: senator@sessions.senate.gov _________________________________________________________ DO YOU YAHOO!? Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:33:06 -0400 From: Robert L Krawitz Subject: Re: BONNIE-The hurricane that wasn't? Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1998 22:28:57 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> On a related note: The media really hyped this one up and it's getting worse with each storm. They haven't even stopped. Last night my wife was watching something that had a segment on Bonnie, with the usual on-location stuff, and commenting how everyone felt fortunate because there was so little serious damage (but it's still projected to cost $1E9). This makes me nervous; a lot of people there (particularly newcomers) are going to think that that's what a hurricane really is, whereas in terms of effect it was more like a minimal cat 1 storm, and even the rain wasn't nearly what it could (should?) have been. A friend of mine's in-laws just moved to that region, and they're about 100 meters from the sore. There's a row of houses closer than that. They feel quite safe because they're that "far" from the ocean. I would imagine that if even a Cat 3 hit the region just to the south solidly they'd learn otherwise. Sigh... -- Robert Krawitz http://www.tiac.net/users/rlk/ Tall Clubs International -- http://www.tall.org/ or 1-888-IM-TALL-2 Member of the League for Programming Freedom -- mail lpf@uunet.uu.net "Linux doesn't dictate how I work, I dictate how Linux works." --Eric Crampton ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:13:13 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: BONNIE-The hurricane that wasn't? On Sat, 29 Aug 1998, Robert L Krawitz wrote: > They haven't even stopped. Last night my wife was watching something > that had a segment on Bonnie, with the usual on-location stuff, and > commenting how everyone felt fortunate because there was so little > serious damage (but it's still projected to cost $1E9). > > This makes me nervous; a lot of people there (particularly newcomers) > are going to think that that's what a hurricane really is, whereas in > terms of effect it was more like a minimal cat 1 storm, and even the > rain wasn't nearly what it could (should?) have been. On that same note, the minimal cat-1 status was *on-shore*, the recon flights showed much stronger winds in the northeast quadrant of Bonnie which never really came on shore. If the heavier squalls and rain of the eastern side had come ashore, I think it would have been a very different story. One of the things that one of the TWC OCM's (Jim Cantore, I believe) was that if the storm had moved in 100 miles to the west that the barrier islands would have been hit from *both* sides. With the center skirting the shore, the winds with a more northly/westerly component would have been pushing the bays out to sea as the storm surge came in, whereas if it had been more westerly, the southly/easterly winds would have pushed in *with* the storm surge. I don't think it was so much that Bonnie was over-hyped. I think the Carolinas and Virginia dodged a bullet. > A friend of mine's in-laws just moved to that region, and they're > about 100 meters from the sore. There's a row of houses closer than > that. They feel quite safe because they're that "far" from the > ocean. I would imagine that if even a Cat 3 hit the region just to > the south solidly they'd learn otherwise. Millions of people move to California every year as well. The next major earthquake that rattles California will be a "I didn't think it would happen to us." It's almost at disturbing as the number of trailer parks and mobile home parks that have *NO* shelters or even have a plan to deal with severe storms. > Sigh... Exactly. > "Linux doesn't dictate how I work, I dictate how Linux works." > --Eric Crampton Heh :) I like that. Except for the Linux shift to glibc has made it so that Linux is dictating that you are debugger and programmer as well. --- John john@hockey.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:22:24 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: hurricane Danielle I am a little puzzled at the nhc's models and probabilities. If the models are in excellent agreement in turning this system northwestward and then northward, then why are the probabilities along the Atlantic coast increasing? Especially along the Carolina coast, where Morehead city is running at 13 percent. i thought the probabilities were based on the models themselvs? Chris Sells Owner SELLS ENTERPRISES (256) 524-3616 (voice) (256) 524-3099 (fax) http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 09:42:38 -0400 From: Robert L Krawitz Subject: Re: BONNIE-The hurricane that wasn't? Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 08:01:00 -0500 (CDT) From: John Lamb > This makes me nervous; a lot of people there (particularly newcomers) > are going to think that that's what a hurricane really is, whereas in > terms of effect it was more like a minimal cat 1 storm, and even the > rain wasn't nearly what it could (should?) have been. On that same note, the minimal cat-1 status was *on-shore*, the recon flights showed much stronger winds in the northeast quadrant of Bonnie which never really came on shore. If the heavier squalls and rain of the eastern side had come ashore, I think it would have been a very different story. That's true. In a way it's almost worse; people will think they took a solid blow from a major storm, whereas in fact it was really a glancing blow. I don't think it was so much that Bonnie was over-hyped. I think the Carolinas and Virginia dodged a bullet. True. I was thinking more of the post-storm coverage. -- Robert Krawitz http://www.tiac.net/users/rlk/ Tall Clubs International -- http://www.tall.org/ or 1-888-IM-TALL-2 Member of the League for Programming Freedom -- mail lpf@uunet.uu.net "Linux doesn't dictate how I work, I dictate how Linux works." --Eric Crampton ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:36:28 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy (fairly lengthy reply) I've chosen not to quote David Black's message because of its length; however, a "one-liner" synopsis of his posting is that Mr. Petti is being transferred because he opened his mouth and said the "wrong" thing and p*ssed off some vote-happy congressman. If I have read Mr. Black's posting incorrectly, please feel free to disregard the rest of my commentary. So what else is new?? The First Amendment of the US Constitution guarantees us, on paper, the "unabridged" right of free speech. In reality, anyone who opens his or her mouth and "offends" somebody else, especially if that "somebody else" has arbitrary power over the offender, is subject to censure. People have been transferred, fired, sued, arrested, and jailed because they chose to exercise their "right" of "free speech." Any person with a shred of common sense who accepts a position in either government service or private industry realizes that "free speech" is an illusion and that "to get along you go along" with whatever philosophy is adopted by the organization. If one chooses to make a statement that is opposed to the corporate philosophy, then that person is told to shut up or take a hike. Many times, the offender is not even given a choice -- he or she is just canned immediately and forthwith. This unwritten rule is in effect regardless of whether one is in government service or a private organization and has been in effect ever since the first Neanderthal man conked another on the head with a club for disagreeing with him. I'm not saying that this unwritten rule is right; I am saying that it's reality. I'm certain that Mr. Petti had it in the back of his mind when he made his statements and he realized that might be subject to a reaction designed to punish him. I applaud Mr. Petti for having the courage to press on and state his true beliefs regardless of the consequences. He is in a true minority, however, as most people have come to realize that to "rock the boat" is to invite personal disaster. Many thanks to all in this discussion group for allowing me to get this off my chest. Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 11:56:55 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: hurricane Danielle Chris: I'm not a degreed meteorologist or a hurricane expert, but I believe that the probabilities are increasing simply because Danielle is getting closer to the coast. Even though all of the forecast models are turning Danielle back out to sea, she is not yet obeying the forecasts and the probability to the East Coast is increasing because of her motion toward the coast. I believe that the NHC bases their probability estimates on what a system is actually doing rather on what it is forecast to do. If Danielle makes the turn out to sea, then NHC will lower the probabilities based on the new track. If you need an example of how a hurricane did not follow the models, just look at how Bonnie misbehaved. An East Coast trough was supposed to turn Bonnie back out to sea and accelerate her; however, she "disobeyed" the models, made landfall anyway, and even stopped to enjoy the scenery several times. Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia Once Upon A Time, Chris Sells wrote: > > I am a little puzzled at the nhc's models and probabilities. If the models > are in excellent agreement in turning this system northwestward and then > northward, then why are the probabilities along the Atlantic coast > increasing? Especially along the Carolina coast, where Morehead city is > running at 13 percent. i thought the probabilities were based on the > models themselvs? > > Chris Sells > Owner SELLS ENTERPRISES > (256) 524-3616 (voice) (256) 524-3099 (fax) > http://personalpages.tds.net/~ac4cs > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 14:37:09 -0500 From: Matthew Kenton Hartman Subject: Hurricane Bonnie Just a short comment on the contraversy of hurricane bonnie's wind field over the eastern seaboard. here at VU's Weather Center, analysis showed winds sustained at or around 65 knots only over the barrier islands and moreso on bouy reports. McIdas and wind profiler data showed winds sustained at or around 68 to 70 knots on the eastern islands. Another comment, like previously accounted for, the strongest winds...naturally in the NE quandrant did not affect the mainland as much as previously thought. Rauchig, we also found that on our data sets and satellite pictures. And by the way, I'm currently working on a private research project trying to collect information on the Jarrell, TX tornado. if anyone has any idea where i can find archived data on the event it would be a blessing! thanks all... _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Met. Major . `\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Aug 1998 to 29 Aug 1998 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Mon Aug 31 08:44:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4199 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627235-24246>; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 13:08:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39210; Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:07:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199808300507.AAA39210@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:00:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9b0b887944c8e91d7060365d5b3f0595 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 146 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS mired in controversy (2) 2. old post needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 12:49:53 -0700 From: "J. Halls" Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy Tom, First off Petti's statement were pretty benign and neutral....he did not say " We are closing the office and I am all for it and it will be gone tomorrow" , he did say he was "fairly comfortable" about the process proceeding and that was an answer to a baited question by a reporter....so he doesn't have spin misters like Clinton, that is why I think the meteorological community should stand up and say "Hey, we don't care who is in office and who gets their feelings hurt, just let us do the best job we can do, save lives, and not have to look over our shoulders and see which politicians butt we should be kissing today". Cramer abused his power to try to get some votes in his district and now he will feel the heat. I agree with most all of what you said and this should not be seen as a personal attack...I just think most people hope they have a manager or boss who has a spine who will stick up for them on what really is a minor issue here....hope you are not in my chain of command somewhere because I need managers who do not have that let's "go with the flow" mentality. I want managers would say hey lets take another look at this and see if maybe his tranfer is wrong and it got blown out of proportion by a politician who was grandstanding. You are right that rocking the boat makes everyone seasick, but that is NOT what is happening here. This is just a simple case were a well respected meteorologist in Alabama made a congressman mad and the congressman abused his power and got him reassigned ... probably a House Ethics Committee is needed more than Petti's re-assignment.... J. Hills>>>>>>>Alabama Storm Spotter ---Tom Madigan wrote: > > I've chosen not to quote David Black's message because of its length; > however, a "one-liner" synopsis of his posting is that Mr. Petti is > being transferred because he opened his mouth and said the "wrong" thing > and p*ssed off some vote-happy congressman. If I have read Mr. Black's > posting incorrectly, please feel free to disregard the rest of my > commentary. > > So what else is new?? The First Amendment of the US Constitution > guarantees us, on paper, the "unabridged" right of free speech. In > reality, anyone who opens his or her mouth and "offends" somebody else, > especially if that "somebody else" has arbitrary power over the > offender, is subject to censure. People have been transferred, fired, > sued, arrested, and jailed because they chose to exercise their "right" > of "free speech." > > Any person with a shred of common sense who accepts a position in either > government service or private industry realizes that "free speech" is an > illusion and that "to get along you go along" with whatever philosophy > is adopted by the organization. If one chooses to make a statement that > is opposed to the corporate philosophy, then that person is told to shut > up or take a hike. Many times, the offender is not even given a choice > -- he or she is just canned immediately and forthwith. This unwritten > rule is in effect regardless of whether one is in government service or > a private organization and has been in effect ever since the first > Neanderthal man conked another on the head with a club for disagreeing > with him. > > I'm not saying that this unwritten rule is right; I am saying that it's > reality. I'm certain that Mr. Petti had it in the back of his mind when > he made his statements and he realized that might be subject to a > reaction designed to punish him. I applaud Mr. Petti for having the > courage to press on and state his true beliefs regardless of the > consequences. He is in a true minority, however, as most people have > come to realize that to "rock the boat" is to invite personal disaster. > > Many thanks to all in this discussion group for allowing me to get this > off my chest. > > Tom Madigan > Newport News, Virginia > _________________________________________________________ DO YOU YAHOO!? Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 13:52:26 PDT From: Joe Furr Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy One of the facts of working for the federal government is that your job is controlled to a degree by politicians and because of this you have to play politics. The more visible you are to the public, the more it affects you. This is very unfortunate. I, personally support Mr. Petti and his courage for speaking up for what he believed. I have written my congressman and I hope that many others will too. Thanks for the bandwidth. Joe Furr Webmaster, Tornadoes and Tornado Research http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Lab/2430/ vigilantibus, non dormientibus, iura subveniunt Roma locuta est, causa finita est Roma Caput Mundi ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Aug 1998 17:49:01 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: old post needed i saw a post several months ago about a "hurricane surival quiz" or something to that effect, if anyone has a copy of that post could they please e-mail it to me Thanks, Glen briggs - KB0RPJ gbriggs@lyn.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1998 *********************************** From - Mon Aug 31 21:34:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4069 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626724-10109>; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 13:13:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20544; Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:09:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199808310509.AAA20544@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 00:00:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1998 to 30 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4fd45574550ec5b3b333a33dc34445e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 176 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Historical Hurricane Track Coordinates? 2. Millibar levels (2) 3. NWS mired in controversy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 07:19:36 +0000 From: hmmogil Subject: Historical Hurricane Track Coordinates? I'm looking for a web site that has historical track coordinates, central pressures, winds, etc. for Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclones. Any assistance would be greatly appreciated. THANKS!! Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 301 Creek Valley Lane Rockville, MD 20850 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) or 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** The road to knowledge is ALWAYS under construction! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 13:22:30 EDT From: Tim Trice Subject: Millibar levels Hi, I was curious as to the height levels relating to millibars. Everyone usually says with hurricanes, for example, that recon found 70kt winds at 700 millibars or something like that. What are the heights for the different levels, basically is my question. Thanks. cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 13:49:43 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: Millibar levels > > Hi, I was curious as to the height levels relating to millibars. Everyone > usually says with hurricanes, for example, that recon found 70kt winds at 700 > millibars or something like that. What are the heights for the different > levels, basically is my question. Thanks. > > cul8r > tim > Pressure (mb/hPa) Pressure Altitude (feet) --------------------------------------------------- 850 5,000 700 10,000 500 18,000 300 30,000 250 34,000 200 39,000 150 45,000 100 53,000 70 63,000 These pressure altitudes are rounded off to the nearest thousand feet. For example, 700 millibars/hectoPascals of pressure altitude is 10,000 feet in a standard atmosphere. However in the real atmosphere 700 mb of pressure only closely approximates 10,000 feet because the real atmosphere is seldom standard. To provide a common reference for temperature and pressure, the International Standard Atmosphere (ISA) was established. At sea level the standard atmosphere consists of a barometric pressure of 29.92 in. Hg or 1013.2 mb and a temperature of 15 degrees C or 59 degrees F. Since both temperature and pressure normally decrease with altitude, standard lapse rates can help you calculate the temperatures and pressures you can anticipate at various altitudes. In the lower atmosphere (below 36,000 feet) the standard pressure lapse rate for each 1,000 feet of altitude is approximately 1.00 in. Hg. Hope this helps. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 23:22:15 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy Now that the Gary Petti situation has made its way here... I first heard about this Thursday morning, and one of the first things that came to mind was a similar situation which occurred here in Tulsa, OK 2 years ago. One Arkansas congressman (plus a couple other individuals in Fort Smith) went on a compaign proclaiming that the Tulsa NWS had screwed up the night a 1/2 mile wide tornado (F-4 I believe at one point) went right through the heart of Fort Smith, AR. Nevermind that short term forecasts from the Tulsa office mentioning a tornadic thunderstorm headed specifically for Fort Smith were issued as much as 90 minutes before the tornado hit the city, and nevermind that the official tornado warning was in effect 4 minutes before the tornado first entered the city (which sits right on the western border of the county). The sirens never sounded in Fort Smith and someone had to be blamed. So this Congressman and a couple others decided it must be the NWS's fault. Initially they led people to believe the tornado had hit 10-15 minutes earlier than it actually hit. They quietly backed off on this when all the evidence suggested otherwise. The result was an attack against the Tulsa NWS that was totally unjustified and filled with inaccuracies and half-truths. Dateline NBC became involved and only made things worse with their one-sided "let's ignore the facts" portayal of events that took place that evening. No one from up above defended the Tulsa NWS performance that evening, even though all the facts were easily accessible. Instead, Don DeVore, the MIC at the Tulsa office, was basically told to resign and be assigned a new position at the OSF in Norman, OK. Surprise, surprise, but the official word was this had nothing to do with the Fort Smith event. Yeah right! We knew the truth. Gary Petti was quoted as saying the other day that morale at the Birmingham office had been "shot to hell." Experience tells me he is not exaggerating...that is precisely what it was like (and to some degree still is) at the Tulsa office. The Southern Region Director has said that it was his sole decision that Gary be transferred to Washington. I don't see how this can be? The Southern Region Director cannot ON HIS OWN transfer someone out of his region. He also says this decision had nothing to do with the recent article and Congressman Cramer's complaints...that it is just coincidence. Just like Don DeVore's tranfer was...hmmmmmm...I smell a great big rat here! These are the only 2 to have been transferred like this anytime recently, and it is just "coincidence" that they both followed a Congressman's complaints that something had to be done??? Please don't insult our intelligence by calling this a coincidence... Performance on the job means nothing once a Congressman complains...the Tulsa office had spun up into a forecast office and had risen to at or near the top in severe weather verification under Don DeVore. This meant nothing. Same thing in Birmingham...the office showed exceptional performance in the April tornado outbreak, so the reward for this is for Gary Petti to be shipped out of town! All I can say is that I hope someone will have sense enough to see the light and overturn this ill-advised decision. Unfortunately, I have seen enough to know that this will almost certainly not happen. Politics has NO business in meteorology, but some of the higher-ups in the NWS have determined that those that speak the truth but ruffle some feathers (especially Congressional ones) need to be silenced. Instead of standing up for their employees, they instead shuffle them off into the background so they will no longer "rock the boat." That's all I'm going to say...I had to say something about the matter because I am appalled at what took place both at Tulsa and now at Birmingham! And if certain people at NWS headquarters don't approve of my post to this newsgroup, on my time, in the comforts of my home, then hopefully this time they will let ME know about it instead of informing my supervisors and suggesting to them I need "retraining" like they did the last time (regarding ICWF). None of us ever quite figured out just what it was I needed retraining on. I'm not one to sit quietly and watch the NWS field offices go to hell...I will speak my mind! Not that anybody who matters will listen... Waiting for my call on Monday morning... Mark Plate ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1998 to 30 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Sep 01 13:36:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2102 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626767-16823>; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 13:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47422; Tue, 1 Sep 1998 00:07:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199809010507.AAA47422@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 00:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Aug 1998 to 31 Aug 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b42e5fd997c885e3a29cecbfce629ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 13 messages totalling 529 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS mired in controversy (3) 2. Danelle 3. CYOA Identity? 4. 980831: NWSTG outage- 5. Gary Petti situation 6. Weathermen can rule the world! 7. Earl Page 8. Ref: Hurricane rotation 9. CASI NetNews : Intellicast Adds Velocity / AccuWeather MSNBC Radars 10. Historical Hurricane Track Coordinates? 11. hurricane Danielle +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 00:25:05 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy David Black wrote: > -Anger erupts over transfer of Alabama's top NWS Forecaster- Before I make my comments: What is the Weather Company, who are its meteorologists? Is it a new company, where located and who heads it? Thanks for letting us know this. Now comments: I have great respect for Gary Petti, as he was my boss while I was at Montgomery. I did not always agree with him on everything but aside from that I respected him and I believe he showed the same for me. I do not agree that BHM can give good enough coverage for north Alabama and this has been stated before (I have published and testified on several occasions regarding coverage so I won't elaborate) but aside from that we agreed on most subjects. > Petti's transfer was announced less than a day after he was > quoted in a newspaper article about the controversial proposed > closing of the Huntsville, Alabama, Weather Service Office. > While William Proenza, Acting Director of the NWS' Southern Region, > says the transfer is being made because Petti is needed in > Washington, few believe him. Petti angered Alabama Congressman > Bud Cramer, a Democrat who is running for re-election and who > has made the proposed office closing a campaign issue. Personally I would not believe Proenza as he is a puppet mouthpiece and always has been. Lame but it is probably what he was told say by NWSH. > Cramer complained to Petti's bosses after the article > containing Petti's comments was released August 19th. > Shortly thereafter, Petti was notified that he was being > given a directed transfer. Cramer got ticked off once before about a year ago regarding this situation. He was very unhappy then as he probably is now. Congressman Cramer has had quite a few words with the NWS over HSV I believe and this is an outcropping from an ongoing disagreement about closure of the office between the NWS and the Congressman. Petti was in the middle on this trying to advocate the policy "line of speak" and he is going to be the goat here. Hopefully if enough furor is raised by us, maybe he can retain his position at BHM. > Broadcasters, weather forecasters and citizens across north > and central Alabama have reacted with outrage to Petti's > transfer, accusing Cramer of blatant politics in using his > influence to get Petti reassigned. And rightfully so. > Gary Petti, Meteorologist-In-Charge of the Birmingham NWS Office, > is being shipped out of Alabama following comments he made about > the proposed closing of the Huntsville NWS office in a newspaper > article last week. Actually, Gary was given a choice: Accept > a lateral transfer to Washington or be terminated, putting an > abrupt end to a 23 year career of service to the federal > government. I believe I might have hired me a lawyer and took Mr. Proenza on here. If he was stating NWS policy, I find it very hard to believe that they could have made a case to terminate him under these circumstances. It is true that they can transfer you laterally, but they would have to get through some sticky areas and more bad publicity if he were to challenge this. Government employees are protected from certain adverse actions believe it or not. This certainally was an adverse action. "Was he warned about his comments and performance before?" > The Huntsville NWS office is scheduled to close within the next year > as part of a national streamlining and modernization plan. All > warnings for the Tennessee Valley are now being issued from Birmingham. > As those of you in the Tennessee Valley know, the Huntsville NWS > office closure has become a political "hot potato," and has been > a very emotional issue to some. To say the least! > The move to get Gary "out of the picture" is being done extremely > fast. On August 27th--barely a week after the newspaper article > came out--the NWS officially posted notice of an opening for > Gary's job. Questionable practices by NWS. Had to come directly from the top due to pressure from Congressman's office. May have come from Commerce head or NOAA head. > Gary is extremely well respected and well-liked by Alabama's > meteorological community. I agree also. > "This is flagrant and just plain wrong. Moving Gary under these > circumstances is a slap in the face of every Alabamian. Politics > should be left out of the mix when it comes to saving lives." > --John Oldshue, Meteorologist, The Weather Company Politics should be left out as far as personnel transfers, etc goes but not entirely out because it is Congress which appropriates funds here. I believe the NWS should have stood up for Gary and took the heat instead. After all it is the NWS which is closing HSV not Gary and he is just speaking "the company line". > The fact that this man is being sent away because he offended a > politician is insanity. The truth is that the Huntsville NWS operation > is a waste of taxpayer money. And, yes, I would say this if I lived > in Huntsville. The Birmingham office is much better equipped and > staffed to handle severe weather events over all of Alabama and > northwest Florida, including the Tennessee Valley. They have > already proven this. Have they? This may be debatable. Are warnings better, more effective, are we overwarning, have forecast scores improved, is public service better? A number of questions. We may need a few years to determine if modernization is going to be all its cracked up to be. It should be better and more cost effective for the NWS, but we will see. BHM has done an excellent job within the limits of their capabilites on many occasions. There have been some instances however where they have been short (mainly due to the much larger area and the range capabilities of the WSR88D...i.e. Huntsville) If they can do a better job for an area 100 miles away (HSV area) remains to be seen. It is true that just keeping staff at HSV with no responsibilites is "A WASTE OF MONEY." > > Please consider contacting our Senators and Congressmen over this > urgent issue. Gary Petti needs to stay at the Birmingham NWS to assure > continued quality warnings! I will do so, but at the same time I will send something to NWSH as they have left Gary flying in the wind on his own. Sorry to say the least. Could you imagine Larry Mahar letting this happen to one of his better managers? I think not!!!!! Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:36:40 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy J. Halls wrote: > Tom, > > First off Petti's statement were pretty benign and neutral....he did > not say " We are closing the office and I am all for it and it will be > gone tomorrow" , he did say he was "fairly comfortable" about the > process proceeding and that was an answer to a baited question by a > reporter....so he doesn't have spin misters like Clinton, that is why > I think the meteorological community should stand up and say "Hey, we > don't care who is in office and who gets their feelings hurt, just let > us do the best job we can do, save lives, and not have to look over > our shoulders and see which politicians butt we should be kissing > today". Amen, but worse still is not having to look over our butts everytime because we are afraid that we will tick Regional headquarters off, who by the way gave a lame excuse as to why he was transferred. > > Cramer abused his power to try to get some votes in his district and > now he will feel the heat. In all due respect to Congressman Cramer, he has been an advocate for better service to the HSV area due to requests from a number of industries and citizens of north Alabama. He is the one responsible for the radar at High Top, which actually may have not been needed because of an S-band Doppler at Redstone and a C-band Doppler at the HSV NWS which could have been tied to the Redstone radar and enhanced with newer software and hardware at a nominal cost. Of course these radars would have had to be staffed and they did not fit the modernization scheme. It was the NWS that would not accept these other two radars, so instead installed a NEXRAD at a pretty hefty price. Did Cramer actually ask the NWS to transfer Gary? He says he did not according to press. I wonder! NWS seems to me should share blame for not standing by a manager who I presume has no glitches whatsoever on his record. > > I agree with most all of what you said and this should not be seen as > a personal attack...I just think most people hope they have a manager > or boss who has a spine who will stick up for them on what really is a > minor issue here....hope you are not in my chain of command somewhere > because I need managers who do not have that let's "go with the flow" > mentality. I want managers would say hey lets take another look at > this and see if maybe his tranfer is wrong and it got blown out of > proportion by a politician who was grandstanding. The NWS policy has been from day one on modernization to push the policy set forth on the subject, even to the point of stretching the limitations of NEXRAD when they knew some of it was not entirely factual. (i.e. Detect tornadoes out to 230 KM, etc.) This includes office closures when it was evident that there would be huge gaps in some areas of radar coverage. I could go on and on. Managers were instructed on how to handle these questions and others before the press. Gary Petti was doing what he was supposed to....the only difference was that he apparently was trying to give his honest opinion. He is made the goat which is not unusual to say the least. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 15:36:40 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: Danelle JGarnish wrote: > Danelle will take the turn to the north. And what do you base this on? Would you bet your house on it? If I could be so sure I could do quite well money wise! -- Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Aug 1998 20:16:32 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Re: CYOA Identity? I recently read in an Airline Coding Directory memo that the site name of CYOA has been changed from Koala to Ekati, per request of Canadian Airlines International. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:23:08 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: 980831: NWSTG outage- Things are down -- however EMWIN weather wire data continues flowing: >Due to computer upgrades at the NWSTG, data has stopped flowing since 1320 >UTC. We are unsure how long this will take. Stay tuned for additional >information.... > >Linda Miller >External Liaison Telephone: (303) 497-8646 >UCAR/Unidata Program Center Fax: (303) 497-8690 >P.O. Box 3000 E-mail: lmiller@unidata.ucar.edu >Boulder, CO 80307-3000 http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 08:36:01 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Gary Petti situation Concerning the Gary Petti situation: I worked with Gary at the Naval Reserve Air Station, New Orleans in the early 1990's when he served his monthly weekend duty. It's ashame that such an individual who is devoted to excellence and who supports this country should be treated with such contempt. Jan Curtis Alaska Climate Research Center ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 08:39:50 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy In article <3.0.32.19980829011019.00726cb8@pop3.scott.net>, David Black wrote: > -Anger erupts over transfer of Alabama's top NWS Forecaster- > > > The National Weather Service has become embroiled in controversy > in Alabama. At issue is the abrupt transfer of Gary Petti, the > well-liked Meteorologist-in-Charge of the Birmingham office which > oversees service to the northern two thirds of Alabama and part of > west Georgia. > > Petti's transfer was announced less than a day after he was > quoted in a newspaper article about the controversial proposed > closing of the Huntsville, Alabama, Weather Service Office. Does anyone know of a site where we can read what Gary Petti said, that has triggered this controversy? Or can someone post the article here? Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. The only rule in storm chasing that works all the time is that there are no rules that work all the time! ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 11:06:01 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Weathermen can rule the world! The strongest militaries in the world are no match for the awesome force of a weather balloon. Us weathermen (and women) have the people of the world just where we want them! Frank -- starting a list of demands Runaway Balloon Drifts into Russia from Norway - OSLO (Reuters) - A rogue weather balloon from Canada drifted into Russian air space from Norway today in spite of efforts by planes from three countries to shoot it down, Norwegian aviation authorities said. The balloon, as tall as a 25-story building and regarded as a hazard to air traffic, entered Russian air space about 7 a.m. over the Barents Sea just north of the Arctic island of Spitzbergen. The unmanned, 300-foot high balloon has traveled cross the North Atlantic over Iceland and Norway. It went out of control after being launched on August 24 in the western Canadian province of Saskatchewan. Commercial air traffic over the North Atlantic had to be re-routed to avoid the helium-filled balloon, which has defied attempts by jet fighters from Canada, Britain and the United States to shoot it down. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 16:06:18 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Earl Page With Danielle now leaving the picture...we turn our eyes upon Earl. The page is complete and will be updated as needed...the only products not available are a few of the tracking images. They will be added throughout the evening as they become available. The url is as follows: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/Earl.html Let me know if there are any problems or if you would like to see a product added. Enjoy Derek derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 13:34:37 -0400 From: David Baron Subject: Re: Ref: Hurricane rotation Cliff Hartle wrote in message eIH6FSO19GA.229@upnetnews05... >My sister just returned form Africa. When they crossed the equator they a >demo of the Coriolis effect. The person went 20 meters to the north with a [cut description of demonstration] >There was no perfect tub and the water wasn't still at all. Was there some >sort of slight of hand or what? Yes. The demo was fake. Exactly this type of demonstration is described on the "Bad Meteorology" page at: http://www.ems.psu.edu/~fraser/Bad/BadCoriolis.html , where it is explained in great detail. >Also if water drains clockwise in the north why do hurricanes spin counter >clock-wise? I guess this person got his demo backwards. Oops... David Baron --------------------------------------------------------------------- L. David Baron | Entering Freshman, Harvard dbaron@netaxs.com | < http://www.psych.upenn.edu/~baron/david/ > dbaron@fas.harvard.edu after September 6 Webmaster, International Weather Satellite Imagery Center, etc. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 01:12:38 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : Intellicast Adds Velocity / AccuWeather MSNBC Radars [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to CASI Members then later posted to appropriate Newsgroups.] Due to the Tropical Weather lately I haven't had much time to snoop around on the internet sites. But here are a couple of quickies: 1. Intellicast Comes Through With Velocity Images As promised, Intellicast added the Storm-Relative with Cappi Winds product to its arsenal of free weather data this afternoon. This is included for all their NEXRAD sites, which number 142 Continental US plus San Juan Puerto Rico and two Hawaii's. Intellicast's Local NEXRAD imagery is updated every 30 minutes with no delay. http://www.intellicast.com/weather/usa/nexrad 2. AccuWeather Adds MSNBC-like Radars To Personal AccuWeather In other news, AccuWeather added their new nicer "state" (44 regions of US) radars they have on MSNBC (including regional and US 24-hour precip) to their Personal AccuWeather service last week. The timing is the same for their Free service (30 min update/ 30 min. delay) but their Pay service now includes the same radars updated every 15 minutes with no delay. http://www.accuweather.com/weatherf/radarf_qx01 This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "They're not who we're looking for; they're just meteorologists- storm chasers." --Peter Watts, "Millennium" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:24:06 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Historical Hurricane Track Coordinates? Hi Wx-talkers, On Sun, 30 Aug 1998, hmmogil wrote: > > I'm looking for a web site that has historical track coordinates, > central pressures, winds, etc. for Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclones. >From the... ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html Subject: J1) Where can I get historical data of tropical cyclones? -------------------------------------------------------------------------- FREE DATA ftp hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov [140.90.176.206] Atlantic basin tropical storm and hurricane best track data, 1886-1996. Every 6 hour intensity and position information in an ASCII file including a README documentation file (tra86to96.atl and README.atl). Also, Northeast/North-central Pacific tropical storm and hurricane data (1949-1996) are also provided (tra49to96.epc and README.epc). -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "If the phone doesn't ring, you'll know that it's me. I'll be out in the eye of the storm." - Jimmy Buffett ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:40:25 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: hurricane Danielle Hi Wx-talkers, On Sat, 20 August 1998, Chris Sells wrote: > > I am a little puzzled at the nhc's models and probabilities. If the models > are in excellent agreement in turning this system northwestward and then > northward, then why are the probabilities along the Atlantic coast > increasing? Especially along the Carolina coast, where Morehead city is > running at 13 percent. i thought the probabilities were based on the > models themselvs? The probabilities are based upon the official NHC forecast positions from 12 out to 72 hours, not on any particular model. These values are arrived at from error statistics of many years of past forecasts. The probabilities were getting higher for Danielle because the forecast track was beginning to get closer to the Carolinas. However, NHC was confident enough in their forecasting of Danielle's turn to the north (and then northeast) that they did not issue any watches or warnings for the US coast. I wonder if any other hurricane has come closer to the US coast than Danielle - but veered away without affecting land - with NHC not issueing any watches for it... Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Never make a forecast that you don't have to make." --- M.B. Lawrence ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Aug 1998 to 31 Aug 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Sep 02 13:55:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2962 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-21185>; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 13:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28152; Wed, 2 Sep 1998 00:05:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199809020505.AAA28152@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Aug 1998 to 1 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 871cca7e290e49ef61dade4f79628c5a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 650 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS Controversy in Alabama 2. THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... (2) 3. Job Annc-FNMOC Data Dept 4. THE REASON TWC S***S SO BAD IS... 5. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for Sale 6. Petti URL 7. Scientists Observe Tall Chimney Cloud in Hurricane Bonnie 8. Added Earl Information 9. SCIENTISTS OBSERVE TALL CHIMNEY CLOUD IN HURRICANE BONNIE 10. Spotter traning.. 11. The Weather Company +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:27:10 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: NWS Controversy in Alabama The article from the Birmingham News can be found at: http://www.al.com/news/birmingham/1998-08-27/weather.html Regards, jan <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1998 22:46:09 -0500 From: Damon Scott Hynes Subject: Re: THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... LagMaster wrote: > > 90% of the viewers are total morons who really dont know anything about > the weather. Therefore they NEED and HAVE to keep it kindergarden like. > But still, id rater watch the damn home shopping network channel then > it becasue its so HORRIBLY presented. > > Most hated: SHERYL LEMKE arrrgh bitch die in hell!!@#&(#&$(@# > > heh > > -- > LagMaster Diving in... If you rely on TWC to disseminate the raw data, or in my case, tell me which crossroads will be within a mile of a F-5, then of course you're going to find TWC lacking. It was mentioned earlier -- watch it for the water vapor imagery, I like it for the radar loops, and then it's background until the next image/radar update. It's mildly amusing to keep an over/under on how many times Cheryl says 'termprachore', but I can't work up the emnity to use four-letter words. -- *** The Marny Stanier Appreciation Society Damonhynes@sprintmail.com , Midlands Chapter President "When it didn't whistle for the station, I knew we were in trouble." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 04:58:54 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... On Mon, 31 Aug 1998, Damon Scott Hynes wrote: > LagMaster wrote: > > > > 90% of the viewers are total morons who really dont know anything about > > the weather. Therefore they NEED and HAVE to keep it kindergarden like. > > But still, id rater watch the damn home shopping network channel then > > it becasue its so HORRIBLY presented. > > > > Most hated: SHERYL LEMKE arrrgh bitch die in hell!!@#&(#&$(@# Dunno if it was really that necessary to add that last. :) > Diving in... > If you rely on TWC to disseminate the raw data, or in my case, tell me > which crossroads will be within a mile of a F-5, then of course you're > going to find TWC lacking. > It was mentioned earlier -- watch it for the water vapor imagery, I like > it for the radar loops, and then it's background until the next > image/radar update. I take it that you must live in an area of the US that they don't incessantly/repeatedly stand in _front_ of. ;-) I've always found it quite mystifying why TWC even bothers with the maps at all when 90-percent of the time, you're looking at some type of body part covering the very...and by happenstance the ONLY...area you're most trying to see. Never fails with them. I'm sure I'm going to get a personal now from some TWC admin stating that "while its our policy that they not DO that, they tend to do what they want anyway." (Hey, don't laugh. I actually DID, already.) Which, makes me wonder...who's in charge over there? :^) Most irritating is when they call your attention to something on the screen by placing thier hand directly over it, then not removing thier hand from the screen until the image itself has blinked away. Ahh! Professionalism! ;-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 08:06:15 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Job Annc-FNMOC Data Dept There's an opening for all those who like working with met/ocean data. Highlights of the announcement are attached...the full text can be found at http://web.nps.navy.mil/~hro/98057.htm Jeff Logan FNMOC - Models/Data Dept ANNOUNCEMENT NUMBER: 98-057 POSITION: INTERDISCIPLINARY: COMPUTER SCIENTIST METEOROLOGIST OCEANOGRAPHER OPENING DATE: 31 AUG 1998 CLOSING DATE: 25 SEP 1998 PAY PLAN, SERIES AND GRADE: GS-1550-9/11/12 GS-1340-9/11/12 GS-1360-9/11/12 SALARY:GS-09 $31,897-$41,470 PER ANNUM GS-11 $38,593-$50,168 PER ANNUM GS-12 $46,254-$60-135 PER ANNUM LOCATION: FLEET NUMERICAL METEOROLOGY OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (FNMOC), MODELS AND DATA DEPARTMENT (CODE 400), OBSERVATIONAL DATA DIVISION, (CODE 420), NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL, MONTEREY 93943 AREA OF CONSIDERATION: NATION-WIDE PERMANENT CHANGE OF STATION (PCS) COSTS WILL BE AUTHORIZED WHO MAY APPLY: CURRENT CAREER/CAREER-CONDITIONAL FEDERAL EMPLOYEES. HANDICAPPED PROGRAM ELIGIBLES, VRA ELIGIBLES, 30% OR MORE DISABLED VETERANS, NAF EMPLOYEES WHO HAVE BEEN IN A PERMANENT POSITION FOR ONE YEAR OR MORE, EXECUTIVE ORDERS 12721 ELIGIBLES. THE INCUMBENT MUST BE ABLE TO OBTAIN AND MAINTAIN A SECRET CLEARANCE. DUTIES: Analyze, design, develop, maintain, and upgrade software systems at FLENUMMETOCCEN to maximize the software efficiency and usefulness. Maintain and modify as required the environmental data decoder software for processing environmental raw data. Modification in general will require programming changes to the relevant decoders, and includes system interaction redesign for decreasing processing delays prior to data assimilation. Analyze and monitor conventional observational data that has been processed by decoder software to ensure data integrity, timely data coverage, successful storage in FLENUMMETOCCEN databases, and data quality. Develop data test sets and data validation tools. Design, develop, and improve software to develop the statistics associated with data collection and data quality control (QC). Design and develop software to graphically display statistics related to data ingest, data decoding, and data QC. Design, develop, and maintain software to improve quality control of incoming data and provide information to the Quality Control Watch Team. Interact with national and international sources and distributors of data to acquire all types of useful environmental data. Maintain a working relationship with various points of contact at external data distribution sites such as the National Weather Service Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG) and Air Force Global Weather Detachment for the Automated Weather Network (AWN). Provide support to FLENUMMETOCCEN operations when data or quality control problems occur. Must be available to provide emergency support on-site, if needed, outside regular working hours. Advise and assist other command personnel in the area of data decoding and quality control software interfaces. Attend environmental data and data quality control related meetings, when necessary, acting as departmental and Command representative. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:17:44 -0400 From: Tom Madigan Subject: Re: THE REASON TWC S***S SO BAD IS... I'd really be happy if you contain your 4-letter commentary to some alt.flame.???? newsgroup where it belongs. I'd be even happier if you quietly disappear from this discussion group. We value serious, intelligent discussion here and, when we air our grievances in this public forum, we make every effort to keep our comments and the tone of our comments civilized. Why not talk to your ISP and see if he'll let you start up a newsgroup called alt.flame.weather.channel. Then, you and your friends can use all the 4-letter words you can conjure up and be left in peace. I for sure will never subscribe to that newsgroup. By the way, the correct spelling is CHERYL Lemke. To the subject at hand (and airing my grievances in a civilized manner): my pet peeve with The Weather Channel has always been the grossly inflated number of commercials as compared to "ordinary" TV networks. I've heard various and sundry reasons to explain away the proliferation of commercial messages on TWC and, because I am free to, have dismissed those explanations as horse-puckey. I firmly believe that the management of TWC decided long ago that, if you really want to watch TWC, then you'll just have to put up with all the commercials that they throw your way, so there! 'Nough said! Sure, my diastolic blood pressure skyrockets when an on-camera meteorologist stands in front of a radar depicting a screaming line of thunderstorms that are rapidly approaching SE Virginia. If I decide that it is intolerable, I can: 1) channel-surf somewhere else or 2) hit the big OFF switch, fire up this here computer and get my radar imagery off the 'net. In contrast to your unprofessionally-stated opinion, Ms. Lemke is one of my favorite OCMs. She has been with TWC since just a few years after TWC started up. My only (mild) gripe here is that I get to see her only on weekends and holidays where she can scarf up a lot of overtime (if TWC pays overtime) :)> Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia > LagMaster wrote: > > 90% of the viewers are total morons who really dont know anything about I'm curious as to where you got that statistic. > the weather. Therefore they NEED and HAVE to keep it kindergarden like. Your average TWC viewer is not a degreed meteorologist with 4+ years of physics, calculus and linear differential equations. So, yes, they have to, in a sense, "dummy down" in order to avoid losing viewers. > But still, id rater watch the damn home shopping network channel then > it becasue its so HORRIBLY presented. Watch a 24 X 7 commercial??? I don't think so. > > Most hated: SHERYL LEMKE arrrgh b***h die in hell!!@#&(#&$(@# This was 110% uncalled-for and belongs somewhere else. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:02:09 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise for Sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The secondary chase season in the fall is rapidly approaching! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing now! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:03:09 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Petti URL Many links to the Petti story at http://www.al.com/birmingham/news.html, including the comments that started it all: One of the 120 Weather Service offices nationwide being eyed for closure is at Huntsville. Petti said in a Huntsville Times story that he was "fairly comfortable" that with new NEXRAD radar located northeast of Huntsville, the Calera office could provide adequate warnings for all North Alabama. Cramer took exception, saying the Huntsville station should not be closed and adding that Petti was a "bureaucrat." Cramer then called Washington. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 13:10:18 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Scientists Observe Tall Chimney Cloud in Hurricane Bonnie David E. Steitz Headquarters, Washington, DC September 1, 1998 (Phone: 202/358-1730) Allen Kenitzer Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD (Phone: 301/286-2806) RELEASE: 98-156 SCIENTISTS OBSERVE TALL CHIMNEY CLOUD IN HURRICANE BONNIE NASA researchers have obtained compelling images from Hurricane Bonnie showing a storm cloud towering like a mountain, 59,000 feet into the sky from the eye wall. These images were obtained on Saturday, Aug. 22, 1998, by the world's first spaceborne rain radar aboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), a joint U.S.-Japanese mission. Launched last fall, the TRMM spacecraft continues to provide exciting new insight into cloud systems over tropical oceans. By comparison, the highest mountain in the world, Mt. Everest, is 29,000 feet and the average commercial jet flies at barely one-half the height of Bonnie's cloud tops. "It looks like a skyscraper in the clouds," said Dr. Christian Kummerow, TRMM Project Scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. "This is the first time that TRMM's precipitation radar has seen a structure of this type in a hurricane approaching the U.S. East coast." "Clouds this tall are rarely observed in the core of Atlantic hurricanes," said Dr. Bob Simpson, former Director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami and the National Hurricane Research Project. "This huge cloud probably happened because, at the time the data was collected, Bonnie was moving very slowly. The lack of movement kept funneling warm moist air into the upper atmosphere, thus raising the entire height of the tropopause, which is normally at around 45-52,000 feet. The tropopause marks the upper limits of Earth's densest layer of atmosphere. "The vast amount of warm, moist air being raised high into the atmosphere, and the subsequent release of latent energy as this tropical airmass condensed into rain drops, is thought to be the precursor of hurricane intensification, which was observed in Bonnie in the 24 to 48 hours after these data were collected," Simpson said. Many scientists believe that towering cloud structures, such as the one observed by TRMM, are probably a precursor to hurricane intensification. This was the situation with Hurricane Bonnie, whose central pressure dropped from 977 millibars to 957 millibars in the subsequent 24 hours. Lower air pressure is associated with higher wind speeds and overall storm strengthening. "TRMM has flown over 100 tropical cyclones since its launch in November of 1997," said Kummerow. "This enormously enhances our database of cloud structures within tropical storms during their growth and decay phases. It also greatly improves the more restricted observations we have obtained from aircraft radar and allows for the systematic study of this hurricane behavior which appears to precede their intensification." As the height of the hurricane season approaches, TRMM scientists are looking forward to the continuing analysis of Atlantic hurricanes. TRMM was launched November 27, 1997, from the Japanese Space Center, Tanegashima, Japan, and is a joint United States and Japanese mission, the first dedicated to measuring tropical and subtropical rainfall through microwave and visible infrared sensors, including the first spaceborne rain radar. The TRMM spacecraft fills an enormous void in the ability to measure world-wide precipitation because so little of the planet is covered by ground-based radars. Presently, only two percent of the area covered by TRMM is covered by ground-based radars or surface rain gauges. By studying rainfall regionally and globally, and the difference in ocean and land-based storms, TRMM is providing scientists the most detailed information to date on the processes of these powerful storms, leading to new insights on how they affect global climate patterns. The TRMM mission is part of NASA's Earth Science Enterprise, a long-term, coordinated research effort to study the total Earth system and the effects of natural and human-induced changes on the global environment. More information about the TRMM project is available at: http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov -end- * * * NASA press releases and other information are available automatically by sending an Internet electronic mail message to domo@hq.nasa.gov. In the body of the message (not the subject line) users should type the words "subscribe press-release" (no quotes). The system will reply with a confirmation via E-mail of each subscription. A second automatic message will include additional information on the service. NASA releases also are available via CompuServe using the command GO NASA. To unsubscribe from this mailing list, address an E-mail message to domo@hq.nasa.gov, leave the subject blank, and type only "unsubscribe press-release" (no quotes) in the body of the message. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 12:46:18 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Added Earl Information Greetings Everyone I have added the following products (to the Earl Page) - Current Conditions...Special Weather Statements...and Local and State Forecast Discussions for Tx, La, Ms, Al, and Fl. All links seem to be working fine at this time...the NHC model prediction page is up and running for Earl and can be found under the heading "Track Forecasts". You can find current information on Earl at the following URL: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/Earl.html Derek derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 11:47:40 PDT From: Stephen Sponsler Subject: SCIENTISTS OBSERVE TALL CHIMNEY CLOUD IN HURRICANE BONNIE Hi All, FYI...thought I'd pass this along. Steve vortex2@brevard.net > RELEASE: 98-156 > > > > SCIENTISTS OBSERVE TALL CHIMNEY CLOUD IN HURRICANE BONNIE > > > > NASA researchers have obtained compelling images from > > Hurricane Bonnie showing a storm cloud towering like a mountain, > > 59,000 feet into the sky from the eye wall. These images were > > obtained on Saturday, Aug. 22, 1998, by the world's first > > spaceborne rain radar aboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring > > Mission (TRMM), a joint U.S.-Japanese mission. Launched last > > fall, the TRMM spacecraft continues to provide exciting new > > insight into cloud systems over tropical oceans. > > > > By comparison, the highest mountain in the world, Mt. > > Everest, is 29,000 feet and the average commercial jet flies at > > barely one-half the height of Bonnie's cloud tops. > > > > "It looks like a skyscraper in the clouds," said Dr. > > Christian Kummerow, TRMM Project Scientist at NASA's Goddard Space > > Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. "This is the first time that TRMM's > > precipitation radar has seen a structure of this type in a > > hurricane approaching the U.S. East coast." > > > > "Clouds this tall are rarely observed in the core of Atlantic > > hurricanes," said Dr. Bob Simpson, former Director of the National > > Hurricane Center in Miami and the National Hurricane Research > > Project. "This huge cloud probably happened because, at the time > > the data was collected, Bonnie was moving very slowly. The lack > > of movement kept funneling warm moist air into the upper > > atmosphere, thus raising the entire height of the tropopause, > > which is normally at around 45-52,000 feet. The tropopause marks > > the upper limits of Earth's densest layer of atmosphere. > > > > "The vast amount of warm, moist air being raised high into > > the atmosphere, and the subsequent release of latent energy as > > this tropical airmass condensed into rain drops, is thought to be > > the precursor of hurricane intensification, which was observed in > > Bonnie in the 24 to 48 hours after these data were collected," > > Simpson said. > > > > Many scientists believe that towering cloud structures, such > > as the one observed by TRMM, are probably a precursor to hurricane > > intensification. This was the situation with Hurricane Bonnie, > > whose central pressure dropped from 977 millibars to 957 millibars > > in the subsequent 24 hours. Lower air pressure is associated with > > higher wind speeds and overall storm strengthening. > > > > "TRMM has flown over 100 tropical cyclones since its launch > > in November of 1997," said Kummerow. "This enormously enhances > > our database of cloud structures within tropical storms during > > their growth and decay phases. It also greatly improves the more > > restricted observations we have obtained from aircraft radar and > > allows for the systematic study of this hurricane behavior which > > appears to precede their intensification." > > > > As the height of the hurricane season approaches, TRMM > > scientists are looking forward to the continuing analysis of > > Atlantic hurricanes. > > > > TRMM was launched November 27, 1997, from the Japanese Space > > Center, Tanegashima, Japan, and is a joint United States and > > Japanese mission, the first dedicated to measuring tropical and > > subtropical rainfall through microwave and visible infrared > > sensors, including the first spaceborne rain radar. > > > > The TRMM spacecraft fills an enormous void in the ability to > > measure world-wide precipitation because so little of the planet > > is covered by ground-based radars. Presently, only two percent of > > the area covered by TRMM is covered by ground-based radars or > > surface rain gauges. By studying rainfall regionally and > > globally, and the difference in ocean and land-based storms, TRMM > > is providing scientists the most detailed information to date on > > the processes of these powerful storms, leading to new insights on > > how they affect global climate patterns. > > > > The TRMM mission is part of NASA's Earth Science Enterprise, > > a long-term, coordinated research effort to study the total Earth > > system and the effects of natural and human-induced changes on the > > global environment. > > ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 17:27:32 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: Spotter traning.. there will be a spotter traning in Trenton Missouri on SEPT 29th at 7pm at the Trenton Fire Dept. ham's can get talk in on 147.225 (+ offset) OR 146.565 (simplex) please use 146.565 if possible... also, anyone who wants to attend may e-mail me and i will give directions.. the session is open to everyone.. and i hope everyone can make it Glen Briggs ------------------------------------------------------------ = e-mail: gbriggs@lyn.net ICQ: 1133850 = = backup: wx@lyn.net AOL: kb0rpj = ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Sep 1998 21:36:26 -0500 From: David Black Subject: The Weather Company >From: Paul Pettit >Subject: Re: NWS mired in controversy > >David Black wrote: > >> -Anger erupts over transfer of Alabama's top NWS Forecaster- >Before I make my comments: >What is the Weather Company, who are its meteorologists? Is it a new >company, where located and who heads it? Thanks for letting us know >this. Paul, The Weather Company LLC is a newly formed meteorological services firm founded this summer in Birmingham, Alabama. You won't find us on the web just yet, but we are in the process of getting our site (theweathercompany.com) designed as we speak. The company was founded by James Spann (Chief Meteorologist of Alabama's ABC 33/40 in Birmingham), widely regarded as the most trusted television weather forecaster in the state. The Weather Company already offers forecast products by FAX, "e-forecast," a free forecast delivered twice daily by e-mail to 4,000 subscribers and forecast and severe weather warning services to radio broadcasters. Many additional services are in the active planning stages. Besides James Spann, other members of The Weather Company include: - Bill Hardekopf, Chief Operating Officer; - Bill Murray, President; - ABC 33/40 meteorologist John Oldshue, Vice-President; - J. B. Elliott, a retired Weather Service Specialist with 32 years experience at the NWS Birmingham WSFO (and still remembered as "the voice of Weather Radio" for his outstanding Alabama severe weather updates!); - and myself Until The Weather Company has its own web site ready, you can find out about some of its services through the television station's site as: http://www.abc3340.com.weather Hope this is helpful... David Black The Weather Company Birmingham, AL ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Aug 1998 to 1 Sep 1998 ************************************************* From - Thu Sep 03 13:37:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3306 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-27842>; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 13:24:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA52146; Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:06:37 -0500 Message-Id: <199809030506.AAA52146@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 00:01:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Sep 1998 to 2 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2e9fb9576f4ff771981f46b53ce5a7c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 321 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SKYWARN Training Tapes 2. Hurricane Earl AVHRR Images 3. UCAN 4. Correction:Job Annc-FNMOC Data Dept 5. UCAN Station ID numbers 6. PUP colors 7. Hurricane Earl Briefing Live On Internet 8. THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 05:29:50 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: SKYWARN Training Tapes SKYWARN training video tapes and other related items are available through The Storm Shop. Take a look at: http://www.thestormshop.com/index.htm Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:28:01 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Hurricane Earl AVHRR Images I've posted some NOAA satellite AVHRR images of Hurricane Earl on our website at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ Y'all click on ol' Earl. You will also see a track map overlaid on a sea surface temperature image of the Gulf of Mexico. Hope you find the page of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 10:27:56 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: UCAN Greetings: Having just returned from the annual American Association of State Climatologists meeting in Duluth, MN, I was briefed on what I consider a valuable climatological archive over the internet known as: Unified Climate Access Network, developed by the Southern Regional Climate Center: http://www.srcc.lsu.edu/ucan.net/listers.html The key to using it is that you must know that cooperative station id number. For Alaska, I've developed a listing at: http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/WXCLIMO1/AKcoop.html As far as I can determine, the data is avaiulable without restriction. Enjoy, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:38:13 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Correction:Job Annc-FNMOC Data Dept Note: I added a reference for those who are not currently federal employees. There's an opening for all those who like working with met/ocean data. Highlights of the announcement are attached...the full text can be found at http://web.nps.navy.mil/~hro/98057.htm for those who are current federal employees. Non-federal employees need to apply under the announcement available at http://web.nps.navy.mil/~hro/98de039.htm Jeff Logan FNMOC - Models/Data Dept POSITION: INTERDISCIPLINARY: COMPUTER SCIENTIST METEOROLOGIST OCEANOGRAPHER OPENING DATE: 31 AUG 1998 CLOSING DATE: 25 SEP 1998 PAY PLAN, SERIES AND GRADE: GS-1550-9/11/12 GS-1340-9/11/12 GS-1360-9/11/12 SALARY:GS-09 $31,897-$41,470 PER ANNUM GS-11 $38,593-$50,168 PER ANNUM GS-12 $46,254-$60-135 PER ANNUM LOCATION: FLEET NUMERICAL METEOROLOGY OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (FNMOC), MODELS AND DATA DEPARTMENT (CODE 400), OBSERVATIONAL DATA DIVISION, (CODE 420), NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL, MONTEREY 93943 AREA OF CONSIDERATION: NATION-WIDE PERMANENT CHANGE OF STATION (PCS) COSTS WILL BE AUTHORIZED WHO MAY APPLY: CURRENT CAREER/CAREER-CONDITIONAL FEDERAL EMPLOYEES. HANDICAPPED PROGRAM ELIGIBLES, VRA ELIGIBLES, 30% OR MORE DISABLED VETERANS, NAF EMPLOYEES WHO HAVE BEEN IN A PERMANENT POSITION FOR ONE YEAR OR MORE, EXECUTIVE ORDERS 12721 ELIGIBLES. THE INCUMBENT MUST BE ABLE TO OBTAIN AND MAINTAIN A SECRET CLEARANCE. DUTIES: Analyze, design, develop, maintain, and upgrade software systems at FLENUMMETOCCEN to maximize the software efficiency and usefulness. Maintain and modify as required the environmental data decoder software for processing environmental raw data. Modification in general will require programming changes to the relevant decoders, and includes system interaction redesign for decreasing processing delays prior to data assimilation. Analyze and monitor conventional observational data that has been processed by decoder software to ensure data integrity, timely data coverage, successful storage in FLENUMMETOCCEN databases, and data quality. Develop data test sets and data validation tools. Design, develop, and improve software to develop the statistics associated with data collection and data quality control (QC). Design and develop software to graphically display statistics related to data ingest, data decoding, and data QC. Design, develop, and maintain software to improve quality control of incoming data and provide information to the Quality Control Watch Team. Interact with national and international sources and distributors of data to acquire all types of useful environmental data. Maintain a working relationship with various points of contact at external data distribution sites such as the National Weather Service Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG) and Air Force Global Weather Detachment for the Automated Weather Network (AWN). Provide support to FLENUMMETOCCEN operations when data or quality control problems occur. Must be available to provide emergency support on-site, if needed, outside regular working hours. Advise and assist other command personnel in the area of data decoding and quality control software interfaces. Attend environmental data and data quality control related meetings, when necessary, acting as departmental and Command representative. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 11:06:48 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: UCAN Station ID numbers Hi again: Several digest members have asked where to get the station ID numbers to use with UCAN I got the id numbers from: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/coop-precip/ selecting your state of interest using the last four digits. hope this is helpful. ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 15:40:04 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: PUP colors Anyone know how I can get RGB numbers for radar levels on the PUP display (for precipitation mode)? I'm trying to come up with similar values for radar display but can't find something that works as nicely as the PUP view. Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 16:38:31 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Hurricane Earl Briefing Live On Internet -----Original Message----- From: Emergency Information Media Affairs [mailto:eipa@fema.gov] Sent: Wednesday, September 02, 1998 4:17 PM To: roboaccount@fema.gov Subject: Hurricane Earl Briefing Live On Internet FEMA Director Briefing Live On Internet Washington, September 2, 1998 -- FEMA Director James Lee Witt will brief reporters on Hurricane Earl at approximately 9:30 a.m. EDT tomorrow morning. The briefing will be carried live on BROADCAST.COM (http://www.broadcast.com) and will be archived following the event for those who miss the live broadcast. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 20:36:09 -0500 From: Matthew Kenton Hartman Subject: Re: THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... I'm writing here in response to the following message that I'm sure you all have read already. I don't know about the opinions of others' but myself, LagMaster needs to realize something about TWC. For one thing, TWC is a public tv station, which means everyone watches it. All ages of people can turn on their tv and see this. The OCMs can't go up to the chroma-key and start talking about why lifted indeces are so high for a region for example. 'Cause if they do, how the hell can a normal person know what the OCM is talking about. Not all people in this country talk in terms of "showalter indeces" or "CAPE values." LagMaster, you need to realize not everyone out there is as smart as you are with these what you may call "relatively easy to understand concepts". And another thing, there are complaints floating around about how sometimes the OCM's cover weather events and features when speaking about them. I'll have to admit they sometimes do. But, hey people think about it. If you can sit on a couch and wait for 20 more minutes, they will most likely show the map, yes the same exact one, again. Especially in the case of a severe weather event. The Weather Channel is a very important weather source and everyone 'should' realize that. They do their jobs right and we should take advantage of that. As far as commercials go, hey...TWC is a huge corporation. Sponsers are a big part in their services and if you don't like them, then don't watch them. Like it has been said before... an individual is perfectly capable of getting his/her wx info from other sources. Comments like these shouldn't even need to be posted on the list-serv, but hey i'm not one for sitting back and letting pesky individuals take shots at people that work hard at what they do. Please show courtesy and respect for the scholars. The ones with the PH.Ds...! They deserve every ounce. Thank you, I've said my peace... Lets now continue with WX-TALK~~~ ============================ LagMaster wrote: > > 90% of the viewers are total morons who really dont know anything about > the weather. Therefore they NEED and HAVE to keep it kindergarden like. > But still, id rater watch the damn home shopping network channel then > it becasue its so HORRIBLY presented. > > Most hated: SHERYL LEMKE arrrgh ***** die in ****!!@#&(#&$(@# TOTALLY UNCALLED FOR!!! > > heh > > -- > LagMaster ============================== _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant . `\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Meteorology Major * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Sep 1998 to 2 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Sep 04 14:18:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3929 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627727-29329>; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA45732; Fri, 4 Sep 1998 00:11:06 -0500 Message-Id: <199809040511.AAA45732@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 00:01:31 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Sep 1998 to 3 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3032c56bd3babe6d84797eb1be926f14 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 252 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wanted: RRWDS System? 2. August ASOS Commissionings 3. Station Information (2) 4. THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... 5. Sources for NCEP model documentation? 6. CASI NetNews : "Radar Wars" Continue : Local NEXRAD Changes by AWC and WeatherTap 7. NWS controversy: Lawmakers oppose transfer +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 05:31:17 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Meteorological Services Subject: Wanted: RRWDS System? Does anyone know of, or have a RRWDS system for sale. I know this is an old system, and you may have one in your closet and have forgotten about it. I bet some Chief Engineer put it in the junk pile and it is still there. However are looking for an old RRWDS system in working order. Any help would be appreciated. Would prefer the old Marta Systems Modem and software if you happen to have one. Please e-mail directly - not to the list. Thanks. John S. Sturtevant Science and Education Officer ------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 61 Todd Street - Suite 107 Russellville, Alabama 35654 (205) 331-2881 Voice (256)331-2863 Fax\Data (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com or metservices@getaway.net WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com or http://208.134.18.44 E-PAGE: 2059844219.pager@usamobile.com Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1998 23:38:41 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: August ASOS Commissionings The following ASOS sites were commissioned during August. 12N - Andover, NJ LFT - Lafayette, LA 1S4 - Scappoose, OR MCE - Merced, CA 8D3 - Sisseton, SD NEW - New Orleans/Lakefront, LA BAF - Westfield, MA P34 - Window Rock, AZ BED - Bedford, MA P60 - Yellowstone Lake, WY CKB - Clarksburg, WV PTK - Pontiac, MI GNV - Gainesville, FL RTN - Raton, NM GPT - Gulfport, MS TIST - St. Thomas, VI HOU - Houston/Hobby, TX Boris A. Konon WSI Corporation ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 01:50:05 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station Information Does anyone have the lat/lon/elevation/synoptic id (if any) of the following two stations that both send Metars and Tafs? MMPA - Poza Rica, Mexico UHMG - Chaybukha, Russian Federation Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:35:04 -0500 From: "Joe B. Dorn" Subject: Re: THE REASON TWC SUCKS SO BAD IS... Reference the OCMs at TWC... I also was absolute disgusted at the comments made about TWC and Cheryl Lemke by 'LagMaster'... I have my TV set to come on in the morning on TWC and often the first voice I hear is Cheryl's. I am amazed at how well they can present the weather to the general public and I am really amazed how they can talk about weather when the whole USA is a great big blank or give the tropical storm update when the oceans don't have enough moisture in the air above them to sog a cracker... I have my favorites, but overall, all of the OCM's do a very good job... During the lulls in major weather events, I would like to see educational segments put in, at a higher level than the presentations I have recorded at three in the morning for my weather class. Joe Dorn, Belton, Texas ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 08:18:47 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: Station Information MMPA - Poza Rica, Mexico 20d30mN 97d28mW 62 meters. The WMO station library doesn't include this station. The NCDC historical station library has Poza Rica assigned to 765825. For UHMG, I'm in the same position as you...a name but no location. Couldn't find it in a decent atlas either. Jeff Logan FNMOC - Models/Data Dept ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: Station Information Author: "Boris A. Konon" Date: 9/3/98 1:50 AM Does anyone have the lat/lon/elevation/synoptic id (if any) of the following two stations that both send Metars and Tafs? MMPA - Poza Rica, Mexico UHMG - Chaybukha, Russian Federation Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 10:55:13 -0500 From: BART WOLF Subject: Sources for NCEP model documentation? Hi all, I am wondering if anyone in the community is aware of a source for NCEP model documentation. While teaching synoptics, it's nice to have a reasonably updated idea of what's >in< those models we use. For example, resolution, data cutoff, an overview of physics/parameterizations, etc. While I am able to find bits and pieces of this surfing the web, I've yet to find (and my meteorology colleague here is not aware of) a relatively concise source. Thanks in advance! - Bart ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Bart J. Wolf, Ph.D. (KB9MZJ) email: bwolf@exodus.valpo.edu Assistant Professor of Meteorology phone: (219) 464-5136 Valparaiso University fax: (219) 464-5381 Department of Geography & Meteorology www: http://www.valpo.edu/geomet/ Valparaiso, IN 46383-6493 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 02:18:42 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : "Radar Wars" Continue : Local NEXRAD Changes by AWC and WeatherTap [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org).] The "Local NEXRAD Radar Wars" continue this week with both WeatherTap and AWC considering image changes. AWC has publicized their first try on their website: http://www.weatherconcepts.com/graphics/junk.gif which adds less intrusive city names and adjusts the color table to be more like their old images before the conversion to Freese-Notis. AWC is also claiming 3-8 minute updates... I was under the impression that all the NIDS products (applicable) were 10 in clear air, 6 in precip, and 5 in severe weather mode. (Someone mentioned "hurricane mode", is that 3 minutes?) WeatherTap is also trying some things, but not publicizing it on their website (sample is same as it was). They are adding city dots and names. I grabbed this one this evening: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/temp/temp.gif This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "You're caught up in the Internet, You think it's such a great asset, but you're wrong, wrong, wrong!" --Jimmy Buffett || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 22:24:24 -0500 From: David Black Subject: NWS controversy: Lawmakers oppose transfer Repubicans seek reversal of transfer of Alabama meteorologist By DAVID PACE Associated Press Writer WASHINGTON (AP) - Four Alabama Republicans asked the commerce secretary on Thursday not to transfer a National Weather Service forecaster who was ordered out of Alabama after commenting on the possible closing of the Huntsville weather office. The request on behalf of meteorologist Gary Petti of Birmingham was made by Sens. Jeff Sessions and Richard Shelby and Reps. Spencer Bachus of Birmingham and Terry Everett of Montgomery. It puts them at odds with Democratic Rep. Bud Cramer of Huntsville. Petti, who has been in charge of the weather service office in Birmingham since 1988, was ordered transferred to Washington a day after Cramer complained about Petti's comment that the closing of the Huntsville office appeared on track. Cramer, who is fighting to keep the Huntsville office open, said he wanted "this bureaucrat held accountable." The Huntsville office is one of more than 100 nationwide that the weather service announced eight years ago would be closed as part of a consolidation plan. Cramer and other north Alabama officials have fought the closure ever since. Cramer said he was upset at Petti's comment because Petti's superiors in Washington, who will make the final decision on the Huntsville office's future, have assured him the issue will remain open until after a NWS advisory board holds a public hearing in December in Huntsville. But Cramer said he never demanded Petti's transfer, and Commerce Secretary William Daley said Cramer's complaints were not the reason for the Petti transfer. During a visit to Huntsville last week, Daley said Petti was transferred because NWS director James Kelly wants to bring experienced field operators into headquarters. Petti has said he did not want the transfer, which prompted loud protests from television meteorologists in the Birmingham area, and Alabama congressional offices have been inundated with complaints. In a letter to Daley, the four Republicans did not mention Cramer. But they said the timing of Petti's transfer suggests that he was being penalized for speaking out about the possible closure of the Huntsville office. "We believe it is imperative that public servants not be intimidated when making truthful comments relative to their expertise," they wrote. The Republicans also complained that the transfer is unfair to Petti because he is nearing retirement and was given "extremely short notice to accept the transfer or leave federal service." "We do not believe the transfer is justified," the lawmakers wrote. "We believe that Mr. Petti's value to North Alabama far outweighs any contribution he might make in Washington." Petti remains in the Birmingham office, with the transfer scheduled to take place in October. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Sep 1998 to 3 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Sep 05 14:28:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1767 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-10935>; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:12:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67748; Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:08:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199809050508.AAA67748@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 00:01:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Sep 1998 to 4 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52919ea6f626ad7116b4a784a2cdc743 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 205 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. need information on calculating sunrise/set 2. Incorrect Humidity readings with WX200 3. CRS Study 4. CASI NetNews : Yahoo Adds Local NEXRAD Loops 5. Radar map names 6. Station Information 7. Looking to Buy Severe Storm Photos!!! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 08:58:28 +0000 From: Bill Esposito Subject: need information on calculating sunrise/set Hi all, Can someone point me to a resource which would provide the calculations and constants for calculating sunrise/set? I need this for the JAVA weather program I'm writing. I assume I would also need the sun's declination angle for major regions of the US so that the preper answer could be calculated from wherever you are. Thanks Bill Esposito bespo@cereal.mv.com http://cereal.mv.com/weather ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 09:02:35 +0000 From: Bill Esposito Subject: Incorrect Humidity readings with WX200 Hi All, I am experiencing my outside humidity rising as the night falls to 97% and staying there until the next day when it warms up. I am assuming (hopefully correctly) that this is due to the fact that the nightime temperatures are dropping below the dew point and causing this. Is that a correct assumption (the unit is only about 2 weeks old...and I dont want to have to snake those wires through the house again :)) and if it is, is the cure placing some sort of enclousure around the sensor? Thanks Bill Esposito bespo@cereal.mv.com http://cereal.mv.com/weather ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 13:51:22 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: CRS Study The results of the are available on the NWS EO website at http://www.nwseo.org/complet7.html I really think a lot of the complaints can be quieted with this recommendation: ====== I. CRS VOICE IMPROVEMENT The Team recommends the National Weather Service commit to use of a concatenated word/phrase voice, at least for dissemination of critical weather information such as warnings. The use of concatenated human voice especially during potentially life-threatening situations optimizes the combination of automation technology and public service, and would eliminate many problems associated with the use of the synthesized voice. The cost and effort to implement a concatenated system is not prohibitive. Discussion of this result follows in the body of this report. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 21:50:46 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : Yahoo Adds Local NEXRAD Loops [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org).] Thanks to Paul Britton for this tip: For the first time on the Internet, Yahoo Weather is offering ~50 US NEXRAD single site local radars loops for free. To see one go to http://weather.yahoo.com and type in a major city such as "New York NY". This is what I have observed this morning: These are good quality black-background 400x400 Single Site NEXRADs which contain the last 10 frames from the NEXRAD (5,6,or 10 minutes). They are updated every 5,6,or 10 minutes with a 60 minute delay. netnews@weatherwatchers.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 04:02:57 -0600 From: Robert Dvorak Subject: Radar map names Hi all! The radar maps have three-letter sites ( ABQ, for instance ) to indicate locations. I believe they may be airport codes. Is there a list of these codes and the ( usually ) associated towns? This would save trying to match county outlines in an atlas. Thanks -----Robert ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:49:16 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Station Information > UHMG - Chaybukha, Russian Federation > For UHMG, I'm in the same position as you...a name but no location. > Couldn't find it in a decent atlas either. Nuts to paper atlases! ;) Go here: http://www.mapquest.com/ Pick Interactive Atlas then put in Chaybukha and Russia. Note: I tried their "Save and Email location to this map" feature so I wouldn't have to give instructions here but it didn't work. Anyway trust me it did find it (CITY: Chaybukha RS61 RUSSIA) Unfortunately it has no detail and doesn't tell the Lat/Lon. But at least you know where to look in a paper atlas now ;) Jesse Ferrell j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators www.weatherwatchers.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 19:35:00 -0600 From: David Jacober Subject: Looking to Buy Severe Storm Photos!!! This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------3463ADEB7DB5480CC8316A0D Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sorry that some of you are receiving this under most or all of the addresses listed above, but I had to to it this way. My wife & I are just finishing up on our new house. Just a few little things left to do before we can move in. So I wanted to get a head start locating some impressive & framable photos &/or poster's of Severe Storms. In particular Lightning. Tornados are great too, but I am very interested in the lightning. Does anyone have a list photos for sale or of web sites that I can look at regarding photos that are available for sale to hang in my "Study" in the new house for my personal viewing pleasure? They don't need to be mounted or framed, as I will take care of that myself. There is one image out there that I would really like to find. It is an image of a lightning bolt striking directly adjacent a vortex, lighting up the vortex quite impressively. Does anyone know where I could this particular print? Also, keep in mind that (especially after this house) I am not rich, so please go easy on me. PLEASE E-MAIL ME YOUR RESPONSES DIRECTLY SO AS NOT TO TIE UP THE LISTSERVERS AND ANY DISINTERESTED SUBSCRIBER'S E-MAIL. My address is: DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET Thanks In Advance!!!!! David Jacober -- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado, USA DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! --------------3463ADEB7DB5480CC8316A0D Content-Type: text/x-vcard; charset=us-ascii; name="vcard.vcf" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Card for Jacober, David, Melissa & "Stormy" Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="vcard.vcf" begin: vcard fn: David, Melissa & "Stormy" Jacober n: Jacober;David, Melissa & "Stormy" email;internet: DJACOBER@prodigy.net note;quoted-printable:I'd Much Rather Play Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Meda= l. = =0D=0A= Frankly, Though, I Would Rather Play Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death= By Two Little Ol' Nun's, Than Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! x-mozilla-cpt: ;0 x-mozilla-html: TRUE version: 2.1 end: vcard --------------3463ADEB7DB5480CC8316A0D-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Sep 1998 to 4 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Sep 06 21:44:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625960-8435>; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:11:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60220; Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:08:25 -0500 Message-Id: <199809060508.AAA60220@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 00:02:27 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1998 to 5 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a08f119191cac9754c611f4a942895b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 164 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radar map names 2. CRS Study 3. Digit. Atmosphere (2) 4. CRS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 02:20:20 -0500 From: gilbert l sebenste Subject: Re: Radar map names On Fri, 4 Sep 1998, Robert Dvorak wrote: > Hi all! > The radar maps have three-letter sites ( ABQ, for instance ) to indicate > locations. I believe they may be airport codes. Is there a list of these > codes and the ( usually ) associated towns? This would save trying to > match county outlines in an atlas. > Thanks -----Robert > See: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chasdoc.html I have a copy of a list of radar stations there. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: t50gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:27:19 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Re: CRS Study Well, after reading through the report that Robert Dale posted for us, I am quite dismayed with what I read. NOAA/NWS is actually considering a second synthesized/concatenated system, in addition to CRS, to do warnings because of the intelligibility problems with CRS. Another part of the report discussed the evaluation of different systems commercially available, including Environment Canada's system. The report basically concluded that there is a problem with public acceptance of CRS, especially with most EAS broadcasters that emphatically refused to rebroadcast the "voice" through their stations. I found it quite amusing that this report claimed broad public acceptance in a couple of markets after "extensive" education...in other words...a sales pitch. In my opinion, if the system is a good one, then there is no need for a sales pitch...right? Overall, I am left with the impression that proper and thorough study was not done prior to implementation of CRS. The overriding factor in the CRS decision was the ability to allow unrestrictive text-to-speech translation. Why wasn't the voice quality taken into primary consideration above all else and studied more extensively? Well, the report seems to be putting this into proper perspective now with secondary thoughts about that decision. This type of study should have been done before a final decision was made on CRS. So, now they are acknowledging the problem. They are considering CRS for regular broadcasts and a separate system for warnings. This should really complicate things for sure. What type of problems will be created in trying to interface these two different systems to act as one? Basically, I think NOAA/NWS should admit that a mistake was made and scrap CRS altogether going with one system. I doubt this would ever happen in such a bureaucratic system. I believe that they will continue trying to cram this down everybody's throat through "extensive" public education. Alot of people still don't know the difference between a watch and a warning. 'nuff said. In case you missed Robert's post, here is the report link http://www.nwseo.org/complet7.html Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 13:22:51 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Digit. Atmosphere Greetings Everyone! I am looking for some information concerning the location of a web page that might be able to give me the Longitude and Latitude of cities within the United States. I want to add cities to my database within Digital Atmosphere...but you have to know the Longitude and Latitude of the city you wish to add. If anyone has knowledge of a URL for this information I would appreciate the help! Also...could everyone please turn their air conditioners towards the Central United States...just for the weekend! Thanks- we will appreciate any help we could get!!!!!!! Derek Dodson derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 16:24:14 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: Re: Digit. Atmosphere Try, http://www.census.gov/cgi-bin/gazetteer-tbl It's the easiest one I've found Bill Hipkins WeatherWatch Journal http://www.jaguarsystems.com/weatherstore In a message dated 9/5/98 2:23:03 PM Eastern Daylight Time, derekd@HCIS.NET writes: << I am looking for some information concerning the location of a web page that might be able to give me the Longitude and Latitude of cities within the United States. I want to add cities to my database within Digital Atmosphere...but you have to know the Longitude and Latitude of the city you wish to add. If anyone has knowledge of a URL for this information I would appreciate the help! >> ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 17:07:31 +0000 From: Greg Surplus Subject: CRS When hearing about CRS I assume this is the same system that is being called noaa-wx radio 2000 in the Baltimore/Washington area. The weather office at LWX recently began broadcasting the hourly roundup using a synthesized voice. Overall I found the voice very easy to understand. My minor gripes have been the pronunciation of what I believe to be Martinsburg (but could be Emitsburg for all I know) and the pronunciation of numbers from 13 to 19 (Thirteen sounds like thirty, fourteen sounds like forty and so on...). What I like about the automated voice is the consistency of the information chosen for the report; when hourly roundups are done manually there is some variation in the way that each forecaster/intern etc puts it out on noaa-wx weather; not everyone mentions the current dewpoint, for example. Also I have gotten used to the voice in such a way that it is actually less irritating then some of the human broadcasters (but no one at Sterling of course :-) I do agree that there is room for improvement; but I don't think this should lead to scraping the system all together. I find the progress of voice synthesis to be quite fascinating. And by putting the demands on CRS there is more pressure to research and improve the technology. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1998 to 5 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Sep 07 13:35:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1344 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-1822>; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 13:11:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA35014; Mon, 7 Sep 1998 00:07:08 -0500 Message-Id: <199809070507.AAA35014@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 00:01:35 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Sep 1998 to 6 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bdae36aeb4858422a4435a2ce39bfc37 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 137 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Test 2. Station Information - mapblast 3. CRS Study +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 09:40:07 PDT From: Ken Jackson Subject: Test Please ignore this test. Thanks...KJ ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 13:55:33 EDT From: Norman Donaldson Subject: Re: Station Information - mapblast Jesse: Hmmm...mapblast did NOT find Chaybukha for me. I doubted that it would find it, given my experience using it here in Ontario, where even moderately large towns aren't in the index! When I tried what you suggest, it returned a map of Chapayevsk instead! It gives you it's best match, not necessarily what you ask for!!!!! Free maps on the NET don't yet beat good atlases or station lists in my book....but mapblast is neat. On the bright side, if you click on the map and look hard at the returned address, you can find the approximate lat/long embedded in it. Norman > Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1998 22:49:16 GMT > From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI > Subject: Re: Station Information > > > UHMG - Chaybukha, Russian Federation > > For UHMG, I'm in the same position as you...a name but no location. > > Couldn't find it in a decent atlas either. > > Nuts to paper atlases! ;) Go here: > http://www.mapquest.com/ > > Pick Interactive Atlas then put in Chaybukha and Russia. Note: I > tried their "Save and Email location to this map" feature so I > wouldn't have to give instructions here but it didn't work. Anyway > trust me it did find it (CITY: Chaybukha RS61 RUSSIA) Unfortunately it > has no detail and doesn't tell the Lat/Lon. But at least you know > where to look in a paper atlas now ;) > > Jesse Ferrell j@weatherwatchers.org > Central Atlantic Storm Investigators www.weatherwatchers.org -- ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.tor.ec.gc.ca/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 22:16:23 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Re: CRS Study > Date: Sat, 5 Sep 1998 12:27:19 -0500 > From: Steve Miller > Subject: Re: CRS Study Much Snippage > So, now they are acknowledging the problem. They are considering CRS for > regular broadcasts and a separate system for warnings. This should > really complicate things for sure. What type of problems will be created > in trying to interface these two different systems to act as one? > Basically, I think NOAA/NWS should admit that a mistake was made and > scrap CRS altogether going with one system. I doubt this would ever > happen in such a bureaucratic system. I believe that they will continue > trying to cram this down everybody's throat through "extensive" public > education. Alot of people still don't know the difference between a > watch and a warning. > > 'nuff said. > > In case you missed Robert's post, here is the report link > http://www.nwseo.org/complet7.html CRS is ultimately supposed to reduce the time required to disseminate warnings. I know the NWS can and has done live "play by play" voice commentary of severe weather events on NOAA WX Radio. Also the text statements are immediately sent through the NOAA WX Wire and direct modem connections once the "ENTER" key is pressed. What's broken with the "old" system? I dare say that no "Mr Roboto" or prerecorded human speech scheme will ever be as responsive or adaptive as the -current- system already can be. I find it highly optimistic that every conceivable location, event and situation can be somehow prerecorded before a severe weather event. Imagine CNN, the networks or your local news station using a robotic or prerecorded voice and/or video to disseminate information vital to your immediate well being. It would never be considered, at least in the private sector. ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" severe weather home page, http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** (All opinions are my own and do not reflect those of any employer or organization I may be associated with.) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Sep 1998 to 6 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Tue Sep 08 14:41:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627222-5182>; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 13:21:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA62694; Tue, 8 Sep 1998 00:13:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199809080513.AAA62694@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 00:03:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1998 to 7 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d2851c4601e04fbd36e74c958b7ef594 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 227 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. An Aside Regarding SKYWARN Organization 2. Beta Testing Wx Software Anyone ? 3. Sunrise/Sunset 4. Join Weather Mailing List 5. Mailing List 6. Station Information - MapBlast +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 04:19:32 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: An Aside Regarding SKYWARN Organization I'm just curious to see how the various minds in here are working. How do YOU think the ladder really goes, personally? Is it #1?... +-----------------+ | GOD | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | USDOC | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | NWS | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | SKYWARN | +-----------------+ | | +------------------+--------------------+ | | | | | | +-------------+ +-------------+ +----------------+ | ARES | | RACES | | GENERAL PUBLIC | +-------------+ +-------------+ | CB, FRS, GMRS, | | LAND-LINE | +----------------+ Or is it #2?... +-----------------+ | RACES | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | GOD | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | USDOC | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | NWS | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | SKYWARN | +-----------------+ | | +------------------+--------------------+ | | | | | | +-------------+ +----------------+ +----------------+ | THOSE DUMB | | GOD ALLOWED | | GENERAL PUBLIC | | ARES PEOPLE | | TO PARTICIPATE | | CB, FRS, GMRS, | +-------------+ | IF HE'S GOOD | | LAND-LINE | +----------------+ +----------------+ Or is it #3?... +-----------------+ | ARES | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | GOD | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | USDOC | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | NWS | +-----------------+ | | +-----------------+ | SKYWARN | +-----------------+ | | +------------------+--------------------+ | | | | | | +-------------+ +----------------+ +----------------+ | THOSE DUMB | | GOD ALLOWED | | GENERAL PUBLIC | | RACES PEOPLE| | TO PARTICIPATE | | CB, FRS, GMRS, | +-------------+ | IF HE'S GOOD | | LAND-LINE | +----------------+ +----------------+ I get the feeling this answer depends wholly upon one's Voter Registration District of origination, and/or upon one's religion. Still trying to decipher that. 8-) Anyway, hope this at least brings a smile amidst the arguing. 8-) ...And yes, you MAY use this for levity at your next hometown SKYWARN meeting. I'm way ahead of you already! Matter of fact, I think this should be a real test question for either the BASIC or ADVANCED spotter training classes. :) Todd Sherman/KB4MHH Alachua County SKYWARN skywarn@afn.org / afn09444@afn.org /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:36:59 GMT From: Steve Hajducek Subject: Beta Testing Wx Software Anyone ? Wth the recent release of the SkyWarn/2001(tm) MS-Windows software in support of the Peet Bros. Ultimeter(R) family of home weather stations. We are pleased to annouce the development of a version for the Radio Shack WX-200 and compatible models made/sold by Oregon Scientific, Huger and others. We are accepting beta tester applicants at this time, ownership of a WX-200 or compatible instrument and no interest or affiliation with the development of similiar software is required. Please visit our website at http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org for additional information and the on-line beta tester application form. Sincerely, /s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 17:20:42 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Sunrise/Sunset Bill, The American Ephemeris (formerly known as the Nautical Almanac and Ephemeris) published by the US Naval Observatory probably has constants and references for the equations for sunrise/sunset. (It has been a while since I have consulted it) It is available at most libraries or from the US Govt Printing Office. Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 18:39:38 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Join Weather Mailing List Come and see the site! Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 16:36:51 -0500 From: "R. Wise" Subject: Mailing List Is there a mailing list associated with this group as my ISP provider does not carry it. Thanks R. Wise rweis@ync.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 22:43:04 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Station Information - MapBlast > Hmmm...mapblast did NOT find Chaybukha for me. I doubted that > it would find it, given my experience using it here in Ontario, > where even moderately large towns aren't in the index! That's cause you're using mapBLAST.com not mapQUEST.com as I had suggested. ;) Actually up until a few weeks ago mapBLAST.com did not have international locations, only US and Canada, so I'm glad to hear they have gone international. They both have their advantages and disadvantages... MapQUEST is no good at letting you reference their stuff remotely, while MapBLAST is... but MapBLAST is no good at finding P.O. Boxes, Route Numbers, or any recent addresses in the U.S. FYI I have found locations off by more than 30 miles on both services. Bah, beats me scraping up the money for the equivalent on CD, for the moment ;) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1998 to 7 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Sep 09 14:18:25 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627480-14540>; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 13:17:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23300; Wed, 9 Sep 1998 00:06:40 -0500 Message-Id: <199809090506.AAA23300@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 00:00:17 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Sep 1998 to 8 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 666a309900fd2b44ab957d3fd9e22b35 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 222 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. National Weather Association Newsletter 2. CWA Boundaries? 3. RealEMWIN Beta 4. TV Weather Broadcasters 5. Rain gauges for spotter groups, 6. NWA BROADCAST IN OCTOBER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 05:55:29 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newsletter The NWA Newsletter for August 1998 includes the following topics: 1. President's Message: The value of Weather Warinings. 2. Mobile Profiler System. 3. Dates to Remember -NWA annual Meeting 17-23 October. 4. NWA Training Survey. 5. What's new On-line. 6. In Memoriam (Larry Johnson and Joseph Galway). 7. GOES 10 Replaces GOES 9. 8. NWA Statement of Income and Expenses for 1997. 9. Member news. 10. Meetings of Interest. 11. Job Corner. 12. NWA Annual Meeting Details. For copies or more information contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com Also check the NWA webpage at http://www.nwas.org/membership.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 13:56:15 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: CWA Boundaries? I've seen graphical depictions of NWS County Warning Areas but am looking for the data in table / text form... Anyone have a source for it? Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:44:59 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Beta A revised RealEMWIN beta, developed for the NWS-hosted Internet EMWIN weather wire, is now available at http://norden1.com/~rdale/Scores/realemwin-bb2.exe. Previous users please un-install any older version you have. New features include automatic unzipping of hourly METARs & RCMs, new alarm features, looping images, configurable menubars, and more. Detailed instructions will be available shortly on the RealEMWIN page at http://www.skywatch.org This beta will work until 10/15/98, but chances are that the NWS will turn on the encryption before that point which will disable my software. At that time you will need to purchase Weathernode software ($80+) to use the NWS -- the future of RealEMWIN is unknown... Rob ---------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale N8GSK http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 16:51:40 PDT From: Ken Jackson Subject: TV Weather Broadcasters (Old subject, my view) I am concerned about the proliferation of the term "Meteorologist" being used behind everyone's name who recites a forecast on television. In the markets I am familiar with, several on-air weather broadcasters use the term "meteorologist" next to their name, yet are still working on getting their broadcast meteorologist "degree-by-mail" from a university thousands of miles away. (Have you seen the course work/tests for these? - not what you get at Penn State or OU.) Then they slap the National Weather Association's NWA icon next to that and, wow, that looks impressive. There are "chief meteorologists" with the degree-by-mail who cannot explain why the pressure does not change on a 500 mb chart (I kid you not). The NWA, in my opinion, is part of the blame here (although they have done some good in getting/forcing these "meteorologists" to visit local NWS and private meteorology company offices for hands-on training). The NWA gives out its seal too easily -- the poor man's AMS seal. So why the concern? Some are passing themselves off as something they are not -- an expert in weather. It seems to me to be an insult to those in televison who have degrees in meteorology/atmos sci and actually understand the science. What can be done? A more active role by NWA and AMS "seal-givers" in assuring that the seal actually means something, and not just an icon the TV station paid a few hundred bucks for. I don't want to sound like I'm harping on TV weather broadcasters. I've worked in the private, government and TV side of meteorology. There is room for improvement (and future discussion here) on all fronts! (pardon the pun) KJ ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 21:04:18 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Rain gauges for spotter groups, The surplus "professional style" 11" rain gauges I mentioned a few weeks ago have arrived, so those interested in obtaining some for your spotter groups, TV viewers, etc., please contact me as soon as possible. These appear to be decent quality and are manufactured in the U.S (Fergus Falls, MN). They come with an order form for replacement parts if you break the funnel, mounting bracket or inner cylinder, and a log to record daily rainfall amounts. Our fixed spotters have used these for two years with good results. 1 gauge is $12.50 plus $3.50 UPS to your house (no p.o. box numbers) 10 gauges are $125.00 plus $10.00 UPS. Add one dollar shipping per gauge for orders of more than 10 units. You can email me directly for additional details. Sorry for the commercial nature of this post. Regards John McLaughlin Meteorologist, Des Moines ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 22:25:13 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: NWA BROADCAST IN OCTOBER NWA BROADCASTERS WORKSHOP (DRAFT) 18 October, 1998 Oklahoma City, OK (REGISTRATION DETALS: WWW.NWAS.ORG) 8:00-8:10 Welcome to Broadcasters Joseph T. Schaefer: NWA President; Director, Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK. 8:10-8:30 Oklahoma City Weather Dan Threlkeld: Meteorologist, KFOR-TV, Oklahoma City, OK. 8:30-8:45 Status of the NWA Seal of Approval Program Brad Sussman and Sandy Thompson, NWA Seal Committee 8:45-9:00 Promoting NOAA Weather Radio in your TV market Colin Meyer: Senior Buyer, Tandy Corporation, Fort Worth, Texas. 9:00-9:20 Strengthening the Media - EMA - NWS Weather-Warning Team in Oklahoma Ken Crawford: Regents' Professor of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman Oklahoma. 9:20-9:40 Update from NWS Headquarters Alan Eustis: Director of Industrial Meteorology, NWS, Camp Springs, MD. 9:40-10:00 WSR-88D program update William Conway: National Severe Storms Lab, Norman, OK 10:00-10:30 Coffee Break with pastries 10:30-10:35 Vendor Presentation Special Session - Continuous Live Coverage, Is Your Station Ready? 10:35-10:50 Spencer, SD Tornado of 30 May 1998 Jay Trobec, Chief Meteorologist, KELO-TV, Sioux Falls, SD. 10:50-11:20 16 Hours of Non-Stop Coverage, The Nashville Tornadoes James Lewis: Weather Anchor, WSMV-TV, Nashville, TN. 11:20-11:50 The 8 April 1998 Birmingham F5 Tornado: Long Form Television Coverage and The Warning Process James Spann and Mark Prater: ABC 33/40, Birmingham, AL. 11:50-12:20 Wall-to Wall Coverage of 30 May and 29 June Supercells in Iowa John McLaughlin: KCCI Television, Des Moines, IA 12:20- 1:30 Lunch 1:30-1:35 Vendor presentation 1:35-1:55 Hurricanes & The 700 Islands Of The Bahamas: How One Nation Just Said, "Let's Deal With It" and Changed the Way Business is Being Done in The Caribbean Rene A. Mack: Senior Managing Director, BSMG Worldwide for The Islands Of The Bahamas. 1:55 – 3:30 Synoptic and Mesoscale Analysis Techniques Used at the Storm Prediction Center Robert H. Johns: Storm Prediction Center, Norman OK 3:30-3:50 Afternoon Coffee Break 3:50-3:55 Vendor presentation 3:55- 5:00 Convective Storm Structure as Visualized on Doppler Radar Leslie R. Lemon: NWA Counselor; Meteorologist, Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems, Independence, MO. 5:00-6:00 Interactive Radar Decision Making Workshop John McLaughlin; KCCI Television, Des Moines, IA and Leslie R. Lemon: NWA Counselor; Meteorologist, Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems, Independence, MO. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Sep 1998 to 8 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu Sep 10 13:19:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4129 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626989-149>; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 13:17:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67232; Thu, 10 Sep 1998 00:09:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199809100509.AAA67232@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 00:03:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Sep 1998 to 9 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f465fe717c2ac14e52951d1a21585586 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 182 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Year-to-date on seasonal hurricane forecast... 2. Help on Difax maps??? 3. NWA/MSU bashing +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:48:38 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Year-to-date on seasonal hurricane forecast... Hi Wx-talkers, Here's the compilation to date of the Atlantic hurricane season in comparison with the Gray et al forecast... GRAY RESEARCH TEAM'S ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE FORECAST FOR '98 SEASON (seasonal totals as of 9/8/98) Tropical Cyclone 12/5/97 4/7/98 6/5/98 8/6/98 1998 Parameter (1950-90 Average) Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Total --------------------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ----- Named Storms (9.3) 9 10 10 10 5 Named Storm Days (46.9) 40 50 50 50 29 Hurricanes (5.8) 5 5 6 6 3 Hurricane Days (23.7) 20 20 25 25 16 Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 2 2 2 2 1 Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 4 4 4 5 3.5 Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 50 65 70 75 44 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 90% 95% 100% 110% 59% 1998 Atlantic Hurricane Season - (as of 9/8/98) Name Dates Peak Winds NSD HD IHD HDP Alex Jul.27-Aug.2 45 kt 4.75 Bonnie Aug.19-30 100 10.00 6.00 3.50 19.8 Charley Aug.21-22 50 0.75 Danielle Aug.24-Sep.3 90 10.25 9.50 22.1 Earl Aug.31-Sep.3 85 3.00 1.00 2.1 Frances Georges Hermine Ivan Jeanne -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 NS, 3 H, 1 IH, 29 NSD, 16 HD, 3.5 IHD, 44 HDP ("*" indicates that preliminary best track intensities utilized.) Abbreviations are defined and more detail is available at: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I would warn Orlando that you're right in the way of some serious hurricanes, and I don't think I'd be waving [Gay Days] flags in God's face if I were you." - Long-range hurricane forecaster Pat Robertson - May 1998 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 09:54:35 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Help on Difax maps??? Hi Wx-talkers, Hopefully someone out there (especially DIFAX users) can help us. We have a DIFAX map printer that runs through the Alden Electronics service. There are a number of NWS maps that we use during the hurricane season for planning our field program. For some reason, for the last several months, we have not been able to obtain NHC's 12Z 200mb Atlantic analysis. It had been coming in on pin number D274, and we still have that number programmed into our Alden box. We do receive the 00Z 200mb analysis as well as NHC's companion ATOLL analysis at 00Z and 12Z. We've even programmed in D numbers up and down the scale from 274 in the hopes of finding if this map has a new D number, to no avail. Has the D number for this map changed in the last six months or so ? Is it being included in the DIFAX schedule ? We have checked with our co-workers at NHC and they say they are producing this map and sending it to NOAA HQ for inclusion in the schedule. This has been so puzzling to us, and we would very much like to start receiving these analyses again. Anyone out there receiving this product that could help us? Thanks, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "If the phone doesn't ring, you'll know that it's me. I'll be out in the eye of the storm." - Jimmy Buffett ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Sep 1998 16:12:03 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: NWA/MSU bashing Ken Jackson wrote: > > I am concerned about the proliferation of the term "Meteorologist" being > used behind everyone's name who recites a forecast on television. The AMS has established and published criteria for defining who is a meteorologist. Short of developing a "weather police," there's not much one can do about this. Even local NWS offices have refused to step in and refute the claims of students who call themselves meteorologists. I am very familiar with the so-called "degree by mail" program Mr. Jackson spoke of. The Mississippi State program (a distance learning program)has produced some tremendous TV meteorologists. I can think of two of my classmates in particular. Ed Buckner of KHTV in Little Rock who is credited with helping save many lives during the March 1997 tornado outbreak, and Mark Prater of ABC 33/40 in Birmingham who kept viewers ahead of the spring '98 killer tornadoes in Alabama. In broadcast meteorology, where you got your education is not as important as what you are doing with it, and what you are doing to continue it. I've heard some of the nation's top scientists credit Dr. Mark Binkley and the MSU program. I believe the government is even using Mississippi State for training Navy meteorologists. Recently, MSU kicked off a distance learning program where elementary and high school teachers could earn a MS in science. The result will be a better education for our young people! > > The NWA, in my opinion, is part of the blame here (although they have > done some good in getting/forcing these "meteorologists" to visit local > NWS and private meteorology company offices for hands-on training). As a member of the broadcast meteorology committee of the NWA, I should tell you that the NWA is agressively promoting operational meteorology with a strong emphasis on continuing education for broadcasters. The upcoming NWA annual meeting in October features a full day of intense workshops for broadcasters. Our last Doppler radar conference in Des Moines (April 98) drew 150 TV broadcasters (318 total attendees). Clearly, these are people serious about learning the latest science and putting it to good use. I'd invite you to attend one of these workshops and see the NWA is alive and very strong! > NWA gives out its seal too easily -- the poor man's AMS seal. The NWA seal application test, recently revised, requires applicants have knowledge in satellite, radar and synoptic meteorology. If that test is passed, a panel review of on-air work is required. This panel is made up of not only TV meteorologists, but government and university meteorologists as well. The last statistic I saw had barely more than 50% of applicants passing. Getting the NWA seal is not easy. I hold both seals (AMS-NWA) and am equally proud. > I don't want to sound like I'm harping on TV weather broadcasters. I've > worked in the private, government and TV side of meteorology. There is > room for improvement (and future discussion here) on all fronts! (pardon > the pun) There is room for improvement and organizations like the National Weather Service and Mississippi State University are leading the way in improving television broadcasters. They should be commended for their efforts. My opinions only, John McLaughlin "Chief Meteorologist" KCCI Des Moines ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Sep 1998 to 9 Sep 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Sep 11 14:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3011 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626082-29065>; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:15:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15388; Fri, 11 Sep 1998 00:10:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199809110510.AAA15388@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 00:03:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Sep 1998 to 10 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d4214f2ddf4a8ac9dc620a67221463a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 698 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tropical Storm Frances Images 2. 1998 DFW Heat Wave Stats 3. TV Weather Broadcasters (4) 4. MSU bashing 5. 850 MB Temps (2) 6. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1998 to 7 Sep 1998 7. NWS controversy/Transfer reversed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:49:53 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Tropical Storm Frances Images We now have some NOAA AVHRR images of Frances available at our website. The URL is http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ One of the images displays averaged sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico. Hope you find the page of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:24:37 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: 1998 DFW Heat Wave Stats Here are some interesting stats concerning the brutal heat wave for Dallas/Ft.Worth: Average Daily Maximum Temperatures June - 96F July - 102.4F August - 98F Average Daily Minimum Temperatures June - 74.4F July - 80.8F August - 77.4F 29 consecutive days 100F or higher from July 6 - August 3. This was the 2nd greatest on record. The average daily maximum was 103.5F for this period. 56 total days 100F or higher. This too was the 2nd greatest on record. Highest maximum temperature was 110F. The all-time record set in 1980 was 113F. The Highest Minimum Temperature was 84F. This was an all-time record. There were 29 days in July with a minimum temperature of 80 degrees or higher. This is an all time record for most 80F or greater minimum temperature for a month. There were 39 days total this year with 80F minimum temperature or higher. This is an all time record for yearly total. It has also been brutally dry as well. Some trees have nearly totally shed their leaves due to the drought in order to conserve what moisture they have left. I don't have any rainfall stats yet, but will soon. Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 10:58:08 PDT From: Ken Jackson Subject: TV Weather Broadcasters I couldn't agree more with everything that John McLaughlin, KCCI and Dr. Mark Binkley, MSU have stated. My problem is not with those outstanding meteorologists in the industry--I know several, some on a personal level, and respect their ability immensely. My problem, in particular, is with those that do NOT have degrees who are calling themselves meteorologists with NWA icons next to their names, and DO NOT UNDERSTAND the science. It demeans all of those who are true meteorologists. As I stated before, the NWA has done some good things with respect to continuing education, etc. I will say again, however, the NWA gives seals out to broadcasters who, IMHO, do not deserve it. (I am not familiar enough with the current AMS certification process, and can't comment on them.) The example I gave about the NWA-certified TV "meteorologist" who did not understand the basic principle of constant pressure charts troubles me a little. KJ ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 13:14:28 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: TV Weather Broadcasters > > I couldn't agree more with everything that John McLaughlin, KCCI and Dr. > Mark Binkley, MSU have stated. My problem is not with those outstanding > meteorologists in the industry--I know several, some on a personal > level, and respect their ability immensely. My problem, in particular, > is with those that do NOT have degrees who are calling themselves > meteorologists with NWA icons next to their names, and DO NOT UNDERSTAND > the science. It demeans all of those who are true meteorologists. > So what if they don't understand the science. That's not their job. If I understand it, the job of a television meteorologist is to relay a forecast to the public. If they are doing that, does it matter if they don't know what the iso- prefix means? I suspect if they're not relaying a good forecast, then they'll be out on the streets soon enough, unless they are very entertaining. IMO, a seal of approval should say that some organization thinks Joe Blow is doing their job well. The job is relaying weather information, 99% of which is in the form of a forecast, to the public. Minutiae such as dp/dt on a pressure surface are irrelevant for the general public. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | can a meteorologist be http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 11:30:20 PDT From: Ken Jackson Subject: Re: TV Weather Broadcasters So, if I understand your post correctly, you don't care if a TV meteorologist understands the science. What about meteorologists at SSEC, or NOAA, or at AccuWeather? Do you care if they understand the science? Regardless of that professional's forum, a meteorologist should understand meteorology. Or am I reaching here? Good discussion. KJ Ken Jackson Wrote: > My problem, in particular,is with those that do NOT have degrees > who are calling themselves meteorologists with NWA icons next to > their names, and DO NOT UNDERSTAND the science. It demeans all of > those who are true meteorologists. Scott S. Lindstrom Replied: So what if they don't understand the science. That's not their job. If I understand it, the job of a television meteorologist is to relay a forecast to the public. If they are doing that, does it matter if they don't know what the iso- prefix means? I suspect if they're not relaying a good forecast, then they'll be out on the streets soon enough, unless they are very entertaining. IMO, a seal of approval should say that some organization thinks Joe Blow is doing their job well. The job is relaying weather information, 99% of which is in the form of a forecast, to the public. Minutiae such as dp/dt on a pressure surface are irrelevant for the general public. Scott ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 13:54:01 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: TV Weather Broadcasters > Ken Jackson Wrote: > > So, if I understand your post correctly, you don't care if a TV > meteorologist understands the science. What about meteorologists at > SSEC, or NOAA, or at AccuWeather? Do you care if they understand the > science? > I don't care if they do or do not understand the science; I care if they can't do their job. I imagine that if someone didn't understand the science, they wouldn't have a (scientific) job at SSEC or at NOAA. > Regardless of that professional's forum, a meteorologist should > understand meteorology. Or am I reaching here? > The problem with the comment above is that 'meteorology' encompasses way too much. I know very little about the chemistry of acid rain, or of the ozone hole. Should a person who knows everything about, say, radiative transfer and satellite retrievals but nothing about synoptic meteorology, but who nevertheless has a degree in meteorology and for some reason is on TV because they are an excellent communicator -- should that person be able to get a seal of approval? Why not? They're doing their job, communicating the weather. What if the person knows everything about _building_ satellites. Still a great communicator, still does a good job communicating the weather. Why shouldn't they get a seal as well? If you are doing your job well, how come your (generic your) degree determines what you can call yourself, rather than what you are actually doing? Scott > Good discussion. > > KJ > > > Ken Jackson Wrote: > > > My problem, in particular,is with those that do NOT have degrees > > who are calling themselves meteorologists with NWA icons next to > > their names, and DO NOT UNDERSTAND the science. It demeans all of > > those who are true meteorologists. > > > Scott S. Lindstrom Replied: > > So what if they don't understand the science. That's not their job. > If I understand it, the job of a television meteorologist is to relay a > forecast to the public. If they are doing that, does it matter if they > don't know what the iso- prefix means? I suspect if they're not > relaying a good forecast, then they'll be out on the streets soon > enough, unless they are very entertaining. > > IMO, a seal of approval should say that some organization thinks Joe > Blow is doing their job well. The job is relaying weather information, > 99% of which is in the form of a forecast, to the public. Minutiae > such as dp/dt on a pressure surface are irrelevant for the general > public. > > Scott > > > ______________________________________________________ > Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com > ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 15:25:03 -0600 From: Eric Blake Subject: MSU bashing On the MSU bashing front: John McLaughlin wrote: >There is room for improvement and organizations like the National Weather >Service and Mississippi State University are leading the way in improving >television broadcasters. They should be commended for their efforts. I have personal experience with the Miss State program and I have a slightly different take on the situation. I think this is a case of "a little bit of knowledge is more dangerous than a lot of knowledge". After reviewing all of the materials and class requirements from the program, it simply is not adequate enough to become a well-informed meteorologist. It kind of gives an overview of meteorology, not detailed information that could help the student. I have known several people with Mississippi State certificates and they are truly the worst broadcast meteorologists I have ever seen. I could point out several examples from my hometown of New Orleans and up in Monroe, Louisiana....but I will spare the group. I think MSU is a way out for the broadcasters to learn the quick "how does weather work".. but then when they apply it to actual weather systems in the real atmosphere... scary things occur. MSU is no substitute for a degree in meteorology and anyone who believes this is very wrong IMHO. Eric ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 18:57:00 -0400 From: Jonathan Kratenstein Subject: 850 MB Temps How many degrees C do you add to the 850 Mb temp to find the surface high? If you know please let me know. I really need to know. It is bothering me! thanks a bunch! thanks, Jon Kratenstein E-mail: Weatherboy@lankon.com E-mail: jak7@ra.msstate.edu http://www.lankon.com/~weatherboy/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 20:23:20 -0400 From: "R. Mark Stading" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1998 to 7 Sep 1998 unsubscribe>There are 6 messages totalling 227 lines in this issue. >Topics of the day: > 1. An Aside Regarding SKYWARN Organization > 2. Beta Testing Wx Software Anyone ? > 3. Sunrise/Sunset > 4. Join Weather Mailing List > 5. Mailing List > 6. Station Information - MapBlast >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >---------------------------------------------------------------------- >Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 04:19:32 -0400 >From: "Todd L. Sherman" >Subject: An Aside Regarding SKYWARN Organization > I'm just curious to see how the various minds in here are working. >How do YOU think the ladder really goes, personally? > Is it #1?... > +-----------------+ > | GOD | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | USDOC | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | NWS | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | SKYWARN | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +------------------+--------------------+ > | | | > | | | > +-------------+ +-------------+ +----------------+ > | ARES | | RACES | | GENERAL PUBLIC | > +-------------+ +-------------+ | CB, FRS, GMRS, | > | LAND-LINE | > +----------------+ > Or is it #2?... > +-----------------+ > | RACES | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | GOD | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | USDOC | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | NWS | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | SKYWARN | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +------------------+--------------------+ > | | | > | | | > +-------------+ +----------------+ +----------------+ > | THOSE DUMB | | GOD ALLOWED | | GENERAL PUBLIC | > | ARES PEOPLE | | TO PARTICIPATE | | CB, FRS, GMRS, | > +-------------+ | IF HE'S GOOD | | LAND-LINE | > +----------------+ +----------------+ > Or is it #3?... > +-----------------+ > | ARES | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | GOD | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | USDOC | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | NWS | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +-----------------+ > | SKYWARN | > +-----------------+ > | > | > +------------------+--------------------+ > | | | > | | | > +-------------+ +----------------+ +----------------+ > | THOSE DUMB | | GOD ALLOWED | | GENERAL PUBLIC | > | RACES PEOPLE| | TO PARTICIPATE | | CB, FRS, GMRS, | > +-------------+ | IF HE'S GOOD | | LAND-LINE | > +----------------+ +----------------+ >I get the feeling this answer depends wholly upon one's Voter Registration >District of origination, and/or upon one's religion. Still trying to >decipher that. 8-) >Anyway, hope this at least brings a smile amidst the arguing. 8-) >...And yes, you MAY use this for levity at your next hometown SKYWARN >meeting. I'm way ahead of you already! Matter of fact, I think >this should be a real test question for either the BASIC or ADVANCED spotter >training classes. :) >Todd Sherman/KB4MHH >Alachua County SKYWARN >skywarn@afn.org / afn09444@afn.org >/-----------------------------------------------------------------\ >| Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | >| -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | >| Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | >| Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | >\-----------------------------------------------------------------/ >------------------------------ >Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 01:36:59 GMT >From: Steve Hajducek >Subject: Beta Testing Wx Software Anyone ? >Wth the recent release of the SkyWarn/2001(tm) MS-Windows >software in support of the Peet Bros. Ultimeter(R) family of home >weather stations. >We are pleased to annouce the development of a version for >the Radio Shack WX-200 and compatible models made/sold >by Oregon Scientific, Huger and others. >We are accepting beta tester applicants at this time, ownership >of a WX-200 or compatible instrument and no interest or affiliation >with the development of similiar software is required. >Please visit our website at http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org >for additional information and the on-line beta tester application >form. >Sincerely, >/s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH >------------------------------ >Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 17:20:42 -0500 >From: Thomas Rokoske >Subject: Sunrise/Sunset >Bill, > The American Ephemeris (formerly known as the Nautical Almanac >and Ephemeris) published by the US Naval Observatory probably has >constants and references for the equations for sunrise/sunset. (It has >been a while since I have consulted it) It is available at most libraries >or from the US Govt Printing Office. >Tom >___________________________________________________________________________ >Thomas L. Rokoske >Department of Physics and Astronomy >Appalachian State University >Boone, NC 28608 >rokosketl@appstate.edu >http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ >828-262-2432 >_____________________________________________________________________________ >------------------------------ >Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 18:39:38 GMT >From: Herb0412 >Subject: Join Weather Mailing List >Come and see the site! >Mid-Atlantic Weather Station >http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html >------------------------------ >Date: Sun, 6 Sep 1998 16:36:51 -0500 >From: "R. Wise" >Subject: Mailing List >Is there a mailing list associated with this group as my ISP provider >does not carry it. >Thanks >R. Wise >rweis@ync.net >------------------------------ >Date: Mon, 7 Sep 1998 22:43:04 GMT >From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI >Subject: Re: Station Information - MapBlast >> Hmmm...mapblast did NOT find Chaybukha for me. I doubted that >> it would find it, given my experience using it here in Ontario, >> where even moderately large towns aren't in the index! >That's cause you're using mapBLAST.com not mapQUEST.com as I had >suggested. ;) Actually up until a few weeks ago mapBLAST.com did not >have international locations, only US and Canada, so I'm glad to hear >they have gone international. They both have their advantages and >disadvantages... MapQUEST is no good at letting you reference their >stuff remotely, while MapBLAST is... but MapBLAST is no good at >finding P.O. Boxes, Route Numbers, or any recent addresses in the U.S. >FYI I have found locations off by more than 30 miles on both services. >Bah, beats me scraping up the money for the equivalent on CD, for the >moment ;) >------------------------------ >End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1998 to 7 Sep 1998 >************************************************ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 21:42:10 -0500 From: David Black Subject: NWS controversy/Transfer reversed Transfer rescinded; NWS' Gary Petti to stay in Alabama By David Black (Birmingham, Alabama) -- Faced with public anger over an alleged political favor, a high level U.S. government official Thursday rescinded the transfer of Alabama's top National Weather Service official to Washington. Gary Petti, Meteorologist in Charge of the Weather Service's Forecast Office in Calera, received a call Thursday afternoon from a supervisor, advising that he will remain in his current position. Petti had previously been ordered to show up for a new job in Washington October 11th or face termination. Petti said his supervisor cited heavy public response as the reason he would not be transferred. Petti's transfer followed by one day comments he made to a Huntsville newspaper August 19th about the proposed closing of the Weather Service's Hunstville Office. Petti's remarks angered north Alabama Democratic Congressman Bud Cramer, an opponent of the closure, who then complained to Petti's superiors, saying he wanted "this bureaucrat held accountable." Although Petti's bosses denied they were asked to transfer him, the quick and abrupt nature of the reassignment prompted widespread allegations of political favoritism. Public outcry over the transfer led to scores of phone calls, FAXes and e-mail messages to other Alabama Congressmen and Senators. Four Alabama Republicans--including Rep. Spencer Bachus of Birmingham--wrote a letter to Commerce Secretary William Daley, asking that Petti not be transferred. The controversy led to angry calls to radio talk shows by Alabama residents denouncing Petti's transfer and Cramer. Daley flew to Huntsville August 28th and visited the Weather Service office targeted for closing. The decision to let Petti stay at his current job was the subject of a response to the Alabama lawmakers from D. James Baker, Director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the parent agency that oversees the Weather Service. "We are pleased to hear of the high regard with which Mr. Petti and his staff are held in your state," Baker said. "I was very pleased because I feel Birmingham is my home," Petti said. "I really love the job I have here. I feel dedicated to the people of Alabama to provide the best weather services and office that we can." Petti said the past few weeks have been tough for his family, while he prepared to sell his house. "It has been an emotional rollercoaster," he said. "My family is very happy." Others praised the decision to let Petti stay and credited citizens with making the difference. "I am absolutely thrilled and delighted that Gary is staying," said James Spann, Chief Meteorologist at Alabama's ABC 33/40. "Gary is a tremendous asset to the people of Alabama. I personally want to thank our Senators and Congressmen who stepped in on his behalf." "Without the efforts of the many people who took time to contact their representatives, this would never have been turned around and we would have lost Gary," Spann said. Petti thanked the many people who spoke out on his behalf. "It is gratifying as a career federal government employee who has dedicated his life to weather services and found a very comfortable home in Alabama. It was comforting to see media people, emergency managers and the general public voice their concerns. Because of their actions, I can remain in Birmingham and Alabama." Morale among other NWS forecasters has picked up with news that they won't be losing their leader. "There are big smiles in the office now," Petti said. "The office is whole again." Petti's co-workers had been planning a farewell party. But a gathering of a different sort may still be held. "I think we will probably have a celebration," Petti said. END ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Sep 1998 22:21:40 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: Re: 850 MB Temps Well, the 850mb "dry drop" normally works when you are expecting neutral temperature advection and decent weather. Strongly advective events or when clouds and/or precipitation are predominant do not lend themselves to this high forecasting technique. Take a Skew-T and start an air parcel at the 850mb temperature in question. Drop the parcel dry adiabatically (9.8C/km) until you reach your height with respect to sea level. That is a good first estimate of the afternoon high. Eric -----Original Message----- From: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU [mailto:owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] On Behalf Of Jonathan Kratenstein Sent: Thursday, September 10, 1998 5:57 PM To: 'WX-TALK@PO.UIUC.EDU' Subject: 850 MB Temps How many degrees C do you add to the 850 Mb temp to find the surface high? If you know please let me know. I really need to know. It is bothering me! thanks a bunch! thanks, Jon Kratenstein E-mail: Weatherboy@lankon.com E-mail: jak7@ra.msstate.edu http://www.lankon.com/~weatherboy/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Sep 1998 to 10 Sep 1998 ************************************************* From - Sat Sep 12 13:23:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4341 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626137-20426>; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:09:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26678; Sat, 12 Sep 1998 00:05:38 -0500 Message-Id: <199809120505.AAA26678@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 00:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Sep 1998 to 11 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cd1032de73fc2556af55c1874748117 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 412 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Weather Broadcasters, NWA, etc.... 2. Comments on Miss. State and 850 mb temps 3. 4. 850 MB Temps 5. MSU bashing 6. Bonnie Loops Online 7. TV weatherfolk +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 05:34:58 +0000 From: hmmogil Subject: TV Weather Broadcasters, NWA, etc.... Guess it's time to add my 2.5 cents to the discussion. Yeah, I have an affiliation with NWA and MSU, but I'm going to try and be more objective that! My style..... It may be true that the MSU and NWA procedures aren't 100%, but let's face it, there is a role for the TV person, too. You can lead a horse to water, give him/her a degree or cerification, and there's no guarantee that they'll drink the water! Problem is that most of us hereat WX-TALK are dedicated professionals, semi-professionals, and people interested in weather. For the masses, they want a forecast....damn the iso-suffixes, etc... Let me share an example with you all...not weather related. My wife earned an M.A. in Elementary Science and Math Education from a fairly well-known small school here in Maryland. She took 9 credits in sci/math education out of 36 credits. She did not feel qualified to be a sci/math specialist. She could have done so, given her degree...but instead, she took it upon herself to learn more, work at it and become better. Now she is wearing that handle at her school. :-) So, what control do we as the teachers and certifiers have that people will take those extra steps themselves? Not much....unless we want to police ourselves to death. My suggestion is that we continue to work to tighten the expected outcomes for seal approval and certification, continue to make programs and opportunities available for people to continue to learn (and I believe the NWA program does require some type of CEU), and hope and pray they do it! And read my signature line below, too! Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 301 Creek Valley Lane Rockville, MD 20850-5604 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) phone/fax or 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) phone hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 10:17:15 -0600 From: Bob Weisman Subject: Comments on Miss. State and 850 mb temps On the thread of the Mississippi State University correspondance courses: There is a big push in higher education for "distance learning," mostly driven, I believe, by the desire for budget cutting (one professor can reach far more students by mail or closed-circuit TV than being live in class. The net effect for these meteorology classes taught by MSU, I believe, is totally dependent on the motivation of the student. If the student really wants to learn (as many non-traditional students do), he/she will go beyond the printed worksheets and learn as much as possible about the atmosphere and consult with local experts. On the other hand, if a student is interested in doing the minimum work for a desired goal, he/she won't learn much. >From this standpoint, I can see both the side mentioned by John McLaughlin and by Ken Jackson and Eric Blake; there are good ones and bad ones. I tend to be more to the paranoid side, especially with the one experience I've had with distance learning. A student was taking a correspondence course in meteorology from a school in western Minnesota and called me for some help. I thought she wanted to understand the material. What she wanted was the answers to the test (she had gotten many of them from a high school teacher and wanted me to supply the rest of them). Overall, the issue of training weathercasters to understand more meteorology doesn't bother me that much. John has pointed out some talented mets. who have gone through this process and I can think of several who have 4 year degrees at conventional programs and can't forecast their way out of a paper bag (for example, none of these "experts" called for Minnesota temperatures in the upper 80's and low 90's for yesterday from two days ago because MOS was generating highs in the low 80's for two days, mainly because the equations changes from the summer to the fall....forecast 850 mb temps were in the low 20's C). What does concern me is extending this process to teachers. We have many teachers take an introductory meteorology course here. The math skills are often poor and the scientific understanding is low. We also get some teachers doing post-graduate work during the summer. The ones with relatively poor math and science skills are fixated on us providing worksheets that they can use in class and they don't learn much due to their lack of preparation. There are some good distance learning programs for teachers which have students actually use real-time weather data (I was in involved in One Sky, Many Voices from the University of Michigan this spring), but again, distance learning is limited by teacher motivation and previous learning. One of my daughters, who loves science, took 9th grade earth science from a teacher who only gave worksheets and nearly quit doing science for good. If we don't do a good job with teaching teachers, where is the next generation of meteorologists going to come from? Sorry if this is a bit off the normal WX-TALK topic stream at times. On the 850 mb temperature question (see part of note above): What you're trying to approximate is the depth of the afternoon mixed boundary layer. This changes drastically with season (at least up here, bordering on the "Great White North")...on a windy late spring day we can mix from 700-750 mb down to the surface...in January, we're lucky if we get back to the 850 mb temperature at the surface. It also depends on the presence of non-radiation inversions. We won't mix as well downstream of a warm front (warmer air aloft) as we will in the strong gradient area just past a cold front. The real way to do this is to forecast the sounding for the next morning, although I haven't tried this with the ETA forecast soundings yet (my observation is that they don't hold the inversions well...from limited experience). So, I teach our students to use recent days at St. Cloud or our forecast city to find out how well we are improving over the 850 mb temperature. Like for the example of yesterday, the forecast 850 mb temperature was around 21-22 C and we've been doing 13 C over on a windy day, so that leads to a forecast in the mid 90's F (34-35 C), but, with warm advection/warm front upstream, we actually only mixed to about 880 mb, keeping us "only" to 89 F (low to middle 90's to our SW). So, I tell the students to keep track separately of different types of mixing conditions (warm advection vs. cold advection, windy vs. calm, clear vs. cloudy, etc.) and to revisit this as the amount of sunshine changes. So, the improvement over 850 mb is an evolving thing. To be more theoretically consistent, I should spend more time looking at model forecast soundings and see if they're any good. Students tend to remember the rule, but sometimes forget where it comes from (which can get them in trouble in unique conditions). Someone in the Minneapolis NWS office produced a chart of the average mb level that we will mix down from on a breezy day with no air mass change which is hanging in the weather lab. I find it very useful when applied to the 12Z sounding to get the high temperature. Enough already. Thanks for the electrons. ============================================================================= Bob Weisman, Meteorology Professor SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 6) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 MS 48 FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud State University EMAIL: scsweisman@tigger. 720 4th Avenue South stcloudstate.edu Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 (car radio on with Dad's voice on station) Shirley: How did you get on the radio? Dad: They called me up and asked me questions. Shirley (while Dad's voice is still on, changes the station) =============================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 13:46:46 -0500 From: David Arnold Subject: In regard to the MSU-related topic of late...... 1) I was quite struck by the person who, after careful review, felt the MSU materials were substandard. I bet the NWSTC people would get a kick out of this considering it is their materials that are being used. 2) I am bothered by the "implication" that MSU is somehow misleading the public in their claim to be educating meteorologists. >From the most basic definition, a "meteorologist" is a person that studies the weather. One can do this as a hobby (amatuer meteorologist) or professionally. The problem is, that there is no way to distinguish between the two when using the single word "meteorologist", unless we use the prefix "professional". If one's primary professional responsibility is to communicate weather information, they are not necessarily involved in the cultivation of a particular branch of learning, one definition of "study", but are acquiring facts through investigation, which is another. Both the AMS forecaster and broadcaster (VERY loosely defined here as not holding a B.S. in meteorology) are, from a technical standpoint, professional meteorologists. If we want to distinguish between the two, then we should come up with a different word, or perhaps qualifying prefix, because according to the AMS, the primary organization that represents professional meteorologists, one doesn't have to hold a B.S. in meteorology to be considered a "meteorologist" (Interpretive Memorandum, June 1990, Article III, Section 4(C)). Should broadcasters who have met the AMS criteria to be recognized as meteorologists be denied the right to refer to themselves as such? I wouldn't think so. And the MSU program has, on it's own, adopted a qualifying pre-fix to it's use of the term "meteorologist" in the program title. MSU's course of study is entitled the "Broadcast Meteorology Program", not the "Meteorology Program". I don't really see how this could be a "misleading" representation of what they do. David L. Arnold, Ph.D. Department of Geography Ball State University ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:12:52 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: 850 MB Temps Actually, Eric, you gave THE first guess estimate. I expended this in operations by first evaluating whether you have a moist, or mixed layer. Then you have to drop the parcel not only dry adiabatically, but moist as well and evaluating some meteorological wisdon to it. Jonathan, go one step farther. Evaluate what 1000-500 mb thickness is observed with the 850 mb temperature at thie initial time. Then, see what thickness is over your area of concern between 21 and 00Z that day, or even the next day. You can interpolate this using the NGM or ETA model, or go to the FOUS table to see what thickness is given. Then return to the initial chart to see where that partucular thickness originated. This will allow you to evealuate whether your area is affected by cold air advection or warm air advection or nuetral advection. Then, return to the 850 chart to see what the 850 temperature was at the thickness' original location then evaluate it by dropping it dry adiabatically, moist adiabatically, or mixed for that time. It will give you a good ballpark number for that day. Think about it, if you are expecting rain with a mean RH of 70%, why would you drop the parcel dry adiabatcally? ************************************************************************************************ Daniel McCarthy Mesoscale Meteorologist Norman, OK My Account...My thoughts "To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?" -Katherine Graham ************************************************************************************************* Eric A. Helgeson wrote: > Well, the 850mb "dry drop" normally works when you are expecting > neutral temperature advection and decent weather. Strongly advective > events or when clouds and/or precipitation are predominant do not lend > > themselves to this high forecasting technique. > > Take a Skew-T and start an air parcel at the 850mb temperature in > question. Drop the parcel dry adiabatically (9.8C/km) until you reach > > your height with respect to sea level. That is a good first estimate > of the afternoon high. > > Eric > > -----Original Message----- > From: owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU > [mailto:owner-wx-talk@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] On Behalf Of Jonathan > Kratenstein > Sent: Thursday, September 10, 1998 5:57 PM > To: 'WX-TALK@PO.UIUC.EDU' > Subject: 850 MB Temps > > How many degrees C do you add to the 850 Mb temp to find > the surface high? If you know please let me know. I really need > to know. It is bothering me! thanks a bunch! > > thanks, > > Jon Kratenstein > E-mail: Weatherboy@lankon.com > E-mail: jak7@ra.msstate.edu > http://www.lankon.com/~weatherboy/ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 15:14:15 -0600 From: Eric Blake Subject: Re: MSU bashing Also, I'd like to make the point that I was talking about the off-campus meteorology progam for broadcast meteorologists. I have no problems whatsoever about the on-campus efforts and I apologize for my lack of clarity. Eric On Thu, 10 Sep 1998, Eric Blake wrote: > On the MSU bashing front: > > John McLaughlin wrote: > >There is room for improvement and organizations like the National Weather > >Service and Mississippi State University are leading the way in improving > >television broadcasters. They should be commended for their efforts. > > I have personal experience with the Miss State program and I have a > slightly different take on the situation. I think this is a case of > "a little bit of knowledge is more dangerous than a lot of knowledge". > After reviewing all of the materials and class requirements from the > program, it simply is not adequate enough to become a well-informed > meteorologist. It kind of gives an overview of meteorology, not detailed > information that could help the student. I have known several people with > Mississippi State certificates and they are truly the worst broadcast > meteorologists I have ever seen. I could point out several examples from > my hometown of New Orleans and up in Monroe, Louisiana....but I will spare > the group. I think MSU is a way out for the broadcasters to learn the > quick "how does weather work".. but then when they apply it to actual > weather systems in the real atmosphere... scary things occur. MSU is no > substitute for a degree in meteorology and anyone who believes this is > very wrong IMHO. > > Eric > > > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 18:38:49 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Bonnie Loops Online I placed a pair of radar loops of Hurricane Bonnie coming onshore then churning through eastern North Carolina onto the Western Disaster Center server. They encompass over 30 hours of data. WARNING...THESE ARE VERY LARGE FILES. 1 PM to 8 PM - http://www.wdc.ndin.net/bonnie_loop1.gif (approx 1.4 MB) 8 PM to 7 PM - http://www.wdc.ndin.net/bonnie_loop2.gif (approx 3.0 MB) Enjoy <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Sep 1998 21:44:43 -0500 From: George Barnette Subject: TV weatherfolk Why should we fault a TV weatherperson for not understanding meteorology when only the naive expects the newsreader to understand what he/she reads off the teleprompter. Hell's bells, the reporters who brought the stories in often don't understand what they reported, much less the people who had it handed to them just before airtime. A TV news show is a TV show about news. Its purpose is to attract as large an audience as possible, so access to those eyes and ears can be sold to advertisers. Other times of the day, the audience is drawn with comedy, or drama, or titillation. The audience, and the right to come back tomorrow night, goes to the show which gives the largest number of people more of what they want. If what they wanted was industrial-strength meteorology, college courses on the subject would be full and the news portion of the half-hour would shrink to five minutes to make room for more detailed weather reports. The journalistic graveyard is full of people who tried to give the audience serious news. The survivors are the flash-and-dash, tickle-and-giggle crowd. Weather is no different. Stations deliver what draws an audience...a superficial report delivered by a personality. Some of those personalities are serious meteorologists, but a great many more are merely personable, or attractive, or an obligatory minority. Television has always had an immense potential to educate and inform, and almost never has fulfilled that promise. Less now than when a disheartened Newton Minow pronounced it a vast wasteland. There's an old saying about not trying to teach a pig to sing...it only frustrates you and irritates the pig. Television, even the part called the weather report, is not and is not going to be a serious source of information for thinking people. Complaining it falls short of a goal it isn't even striving for is unlikely to achieve much. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Sep 1998 to 11 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Sep 13 14:28:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626993-27874>; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 13:11:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44182; Sun, 13 Sep 1998 00:07:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199809130507.AAA44182@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 00:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1998 to 12 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 849b4452b956aae4b35e0902a47a80a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 281 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Page Address Change... 2. Unusual Structure of TS Frances (2) 3. RAIN RAIN GO AWAY (2) 4. TV Weather Broadcasters, NWA, MSU, etc.... 5. Rumblings in the Gulf! 6. WX-200 Weather Station Software Page Updated +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:21:08 GMT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Weather Page Address Change... I just wanted to post a quick note that the address of my weather and astronomy page has changed slightly. The new address is: http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/launch.html Thanks... Robert Lightbown ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 06:48:04 -0500 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Unusual Structure of TS Frances Hi WX-TALKERS, Many of you who follow tropical cyclones were aware that TS Frances had a very unusual structure for a tropical storm---there were some discussions floating about questioning whether or not it really was a TS. On another discussion list to which I belong, someone had posed a question about this system. Dr. Mark Lander, of the University of Guam, posted a very interesting reply. Mark has kindly given me his permission to share this with WX-TALK. Frances was in fact a very rare Atlantic example of a type of tropical system which is very common in most other tropical cyclone basins---a monsoon depression. Mark's letter follows: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------- Frances is a classic example of a monsoon depression. Approximately two-thirds of all TCs in the western North pacific begin this way. The definition of a monsoon depression in the Annual Tropical Cyclone Report published by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center is as follows: "A Monsoon depression is a tropical cyclonic vortex characterized by: 1) its large size, the outer-most closed isobar may have a diameter on the order of 600 nm (1000 km); 2) a loosely organized cluster of deep convective elements; 3) a low-level wind distribution which features a 100 nm (200 km) diameter light wind core which may be partially surrounded by a band of gales; and 4) a lack of distinct cloud system center. Note: most monsoon deepressions that form in the western North Pacific eventually acquire persistent central convection and accelerated core winds marking its transition into a conventional tropical cyclone." The JTWC has for years had trouble with these systems. People say they are not tropical cyclones; that they are hybrid systems of some sort; that they are not warm core; (the explanations are legion). Most of the time the effort goes into explaining why a TC warning should not be issued on such systems. Part of the problem is the Dvorak TC classification system. Largely developed from Atlantic TCs, Dvorak defines four basic patterns of, for lack of a better word, "conventionl TCs: (1) the shear pattern, (2) the curved-band pattern, (3) the CDO pattern, and (4) the eye pattern. Monsoon depressions do not fit neatly into this scheme, and are not common in the Atlantic. Thus Dvorak's techniques do not address them. Monsoon depressions, as described above, and as commonly seen in the western North Pacifc are tropical cyclones. Winds may increase to 50 kt in portions of them before persistent central convection is established. They are the systems which are the precursors to most of the typhoons in the WNP basin. Nearly all monsoon depressions in the WNP, having acheived at least 30 kt of wind in their peripheral wind field, go on to become "conventional" TCs. To call them anything other than a tropical cyclone is ludicrous. The warning message format is also part of the problem. Everyone is looking for a point-radius description of the wind field. The monsoon depression requires a point-band wind-field description. I think the Hurricance Center in Miami did a fine job in classifying Frances as a tropical storm, and then describing the unusual (for the Atlantic) structure of the system. It was even mentioned that some oil rigs were getting gusts into the 70 -80 mph range. Attempts to say this is due to the gradient between the low and some high pressure area, or any other line of reasoning to avoid callng it a tropical storm, are misleading; and a danger lurks. As soon as persistent central convection develops, one has instantly a large full-fledged "conventional" tropical storm (or even near-hurricane) and has to suddenly go to a TC warning with an embarrassingly high initial intensity. I'm glad this happened in the Atlantic so people could have a look at a case of a TC originating as a monsoon depression. They do it all the time here in the WNP, and we still have problems with the warning process here. There was once a monsoon depression out here for which a doughnut-shaped gale warning was issued in lieu of a TC warning, and I thought that it was one of the silliest forecast solutions to the problem one could have thought of. (That TC, by the way, shortly went on to become a typhoon.) Frances is indeed a very interesting TC. Its origin as a monsoon depression is somewhat unusual for the Atlantic. From the satellite imagery, it looks as if it actually is pulling monsoonal southwesterlies across central America. I hope the lessons learned from this event can be used to improve the warning process not only in the Atlantic but out in the WNP too. Mark Lander University of Guam Mangilao, Guam ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 12:55:08 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: RAIN RAIN GO AWAY HI all even though FRANCIS did not visit my location here in PASCAGOULA MS over the last 24 hours we have had over 7.5 inches of rain and today (SAT) remain under various urban, flash flood and flood warnings and watches (oh just got a special marine warning) My location is dry except for small lake in low part of back yard and the drainage city wide has been fairly good, all main streets are passable and most secondary ones are also. This is due the fact that the rain has been moderate to light most of the time and not downpours or heavy. again total for 24 hour period ending noon sat is over 7.5 and for the 48 hour period end noon sat is 9.83 inches. THE NWS is project another 2-4 inches by midnight sat when it is SUPPOSED to be all over, and we all know that story. stay dry all DON -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 05 SEP 98 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My Weekly column http://www.datasync.com/skywarn JOIN THE SKYWARN WEBRING http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 11:05:19 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: TV Weather Broadcasters, NWA, MSU, etc.... I guess it's time to weigh in on this ageless debate. The MSU issue only adds a new dimension, but the issue of what to call TV "meteorologists" has been around for at least 20 years that I know of. Here are some of my random thought and questions on the issue... - The job a television (or radio) meteorologist does is decidedly different than what I did for the NWS for 25 years. Their PRIMARY function is as a communicator of weather information. I certainly could not do what they do every night; and I don't think most of them could do what I did. - Personally, I have always favored non-degreed on-air "meteorologists" being called weathercasters. - So what's in a title? Is it all ego? Do we care what someone else calls themself? Does it devalue our real worth if someone without a degree calls himself or herself a meteorologist? Does it mislead the users of meteorological products? - Because I can put on a band-aid, diagnose a sprained ankle or give someone aspirin, can I call myself a doctor? Or if I can balance my checkbook (?), can I call myself an accountant. - At one time there was a feeble effort to come up with some sort of licensing requirements for meteorologists. Mostly, I heard the propsed criteria was the same as to be hired by the NWS as a Meteorologist (GS-1340). In most states, you need a license to cut someone's hair? Why not if your forecast weather with the potential to save lives and property? - Does the CCM program meet this goal? Should an organization such as the AMS be "licensing? To the best of most knowledge the American Medical Association does not issue licenses or certifications. Should there be some other level or title? Something like Certified Professional Meteorologst as I've always thought the use of the word "Consulting" was self-limiting - I personally think the MSU program fills a certain role, but I don't think it should be thought of as the equilavent of a 4 year on-campus degree. But, if it can provide enough background to a weathercaster to efficiently communicate meteoroolgical information, then it's providing a useful service. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 13:52:36 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: Rumblings in the Gulf! Does anyone on this list feel this swirling mass of clouds in the Gulf of Mexico will develop into any more than a tropical depression? Could it be that Texas coastline may be hit again? Richard richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org --- þ CmpQwk #UNREGþ UNREGISTERED EVALUATION COPY ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 15:14:28 EDT From: Roy Spencer Subject: Re: Unusual Structure of TS Frances I monitored Frances on a daily basis with imagery from the new AMSU temperature sounder on the NOAA-15 satellite. It indeed had a warm core, but it was unusually broad with no well defined center. Remember, a tropical cyclone has a middle and upper tropospheric warm structure that corresponds to the breadth of the surface pressure field, and if an eye exists, it is considerably warmer still. Technically speaking, I would call Frances a hurricane wannabe that couldn't get its act together. ;>) -Roy Spencer NASA/MSFC ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Sep 1998 19:52:50 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: RAIN RAIN GO AWAY >even though FRANCIS did not visit my location here in PASCAGOULA MS >over the last 24 hours we have had over 7.5 inches of rain and today >(SAT) remain under various urban, flash flood and flood warnings and >watches (oh just got a special marine warning) >total for 24 hour period ending noon sat is over 7.5 and for the 48 >hour period >end noon sat is 9.83 inches. THE NWS is project another 2-4 inches >by midnight sat when it is SUPPOSED to be all over, and we all know >that story. >stay dry all >DON Well, the grass is always greener on the other side....and obviously, your grass is very green! In central Maryland, the grass is crispy brown and we've barely seen any rain in the last 8 weeks. We could use a good tropical downpour : - ( Herb c/o Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 04:57:55 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: WX-200 Weather Station Software Page Updated I have finally had time to revamp (and update for the first time since May) the Software for the WX-200 Weather Station Page. http://www.weatherwatchers.org/wxstation/wx200/software.html Features links to software for Windows95/98,Windows 3.X, NT, Mac, OS/2, UNIX. Some will FTP to Internet, Screen Capture, Output to Text File, etc. If you own the Radio Shack WX-200 Weather Station you may want to consult this page. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "Dust will make you blind, nothing you can find; Running scared ! Tornado !" --Vovoid, "Tornado" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1998 to 12 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 14 17:58:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2629 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-20664>; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 13:15:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA47404; Mon, 14 Sep 1998 00:05:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199809140505.AAA47404@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1998 00:01:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1998 to 13 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d61b193d10bfa7f59b07b4afeb944835 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 85 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Rumblings in the Gulf 2. Announcing InterWARN Demo Release 3. demo release +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 08:35:25 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Re: Rumblings in the Gulf Richard Whitenight wrote: >Does anyone on this list feel this swirling mass of clouds in the Gulf >of Mexico will develop into any more than a tropical depression? Could >it be that Texas coastline may be hit again? > The extended global models resolve a broad low over the Southern Gulf by Tuesday and show a tropical wave entering the Gulf by Wednesday. Given how active the Gulf has been this season, forecasters at the coastal WFOs in Texas refer to systems of this type as requiring a "Bear Watch", meaning, simply, "it bears watching." Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 17:58:16 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: Announcing InterWARN Demo Release Well...it's been a long exhausting project to get this done. One rule in programming I've learned is to double or triple the time you think it'll take to complete your project. For those of you who aren't on the mailing list, InterWARN is a warning retrieval program for Windows 95/98/NT that turns your regular internet connection into a personal wire service for National Weather Service warnings, watches, statements, and advisories. The program also retrieves weather watches, outlooks, and discussion from the Storm Prediction Center, as well as all bulletins, discussions, forecasts, outlooks, etc.. from the National Hurricane Center/Tropical Prediction Center. The program itself is a standalone application that not only displays all the products in effect, but has the ability to autoprint, autosave, and sound the Emergency Activation Tone, or other sound to alert you in severe weather. There are many other features including a compiled severe weather glossary and safety tips. ****Check out more information & screen shots as well as download the latest Demo Version at www.nemas.net/software/interwarn and let me know what you think!**** We hope this will be the final demo version as the beta testers have successfully found all the bugs. Enjoy! -Evan Bookbinder stormalert@nemas.net President/Lead Developer Storm Alert Inc. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 19:33:09 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Re: demo release According to Evan Bookbinder: > Well...it's been a long exhausting project to get this done. One rule in > programming I've learned is to double or triple the time you think it'll > take to complete your project. Unfortunately, true in all cases. > We hope this will be the final demo version as the beta testers have > successfully found all the bugs. As a CS teacher I often comment that no complex program is bug-free. Is this the world's first counter-example? ;> ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1998 to 13 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Sep 16 17:11:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627698-6180>; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 13:12:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56672; Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:07:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199809160507.AAA56672@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 00:00:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1998 to 15 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22e6f7c59081f40a09d1e495fe47c688 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 165 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Trop Fcst Site (2) 2. SWIRL at 31N 73W (3) 3. WxChat 9/16 & 9/18 at 7pm 4. Tropical Weather Page...I'm Back!!... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 06:45:29 EDT From: Ed Sauer Subject: Trop Fcst Site While browsing the Tropical Weather site I came across one I had never seen before.It was "Bracknell Tropical Cyclone Guidance" and indicated a Tropical storm crossing the Gulf Of Mexico and impacting around the Louisiana delta area around the 19th of September. I beleive that it is from the UK and states that it "requires interpretation by tropical cyclone specialists".. The site location is: WTNT80.Storm GUIDANCE Might want to give it a whirl...Has anyone compared this sites forecasts with the NHC ?.. 73 de Ed.K5YYD..Texas City, Texas ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 12:51:09 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: SWIRL at 31N 73W Just a quick question -- what's up with the very pronounced low cloud swirl about 400 miles east of Jacksonville FL -- approx 31 deg north 73 deg west ?? The latest TWOAT just before NOON does not mention it at all. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 18:46:36 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: SWIRL at 31N 73W James Aman wrote: > > Just a quick question -- what's up with the very pronounced > low cloud swirl about 400 miles east of Jacksonville FL -- > approx 31 deg north 73 deg west ?? > The latest TWOAT just before NOON does not mention it at all. > Good eye, James...we were noticing this feature as well. It appears to be a low-level convectively-induced vorticity feature. GOES-8 10.7 micron longwave IR imagery shows cloud top of only temperatures of about 15 C, so there's not much vertical extent to this feature just yet. Image loops at 3-hour intervals are available at: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/images/images.html Note the cluster of convection centered around 30 N / 70 W, especially yesterday (14 Sep). Water vapor winds products available at: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/winds.html show that this low-level feature is moving toward a region of weak upper level CONvergence, which not be conducive to deepening, but the feature is moving toward a region of weak upper level (150-300 hPa) wind shear. Sea surface temperatures appear to be in the upper 20's C, http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/realtime/gesst.98258.1500.gif so it will be interesting to watch for this feature to develop some convection. I doubt it could morph into a bonafied warm-core tropical cyclone however... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 16:22:24 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: WxChat 9/16 & 9/18 at 7pm We've got something to chat about.... Wx and Hurricane Chat Wednesday, Sept 16th and 18th at 7:00pm You may log in at one of 4 URLs: http//members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html http//members.aol.com/herb0412/summary.html http//members.aol.com/herb0412/hurrican.html http://pluto.beseen.com/chat/rooms/o/10912/ Test out the new Chat Room !! Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 17:22:20 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: SWIRL at 31N 73W > Just a quick question -- what's up with the >very pronounced low cloud swirl about 400 miles east >of Jacksonville FL -- approx 31 deg north 73 deg west ?? > The latest TWOAT just before NOON does >not mention it at all. It sure shows up nicely on the WV loop at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/movies/g8wv/g8wvjava.html --Herb Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 01:30:00 GMT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Tropical Weather Page...I'm Back!!... I just wanted to let everyone know that due to personal time constraints and a family emergency, I had to change the tropical weather page to a local weather page...but since this has passed I have changed my webpage back to a tropical weather page and will be issuing forecasts for newly formed tropical depression 7 starting around 9 am Wednesday Morning. This page also contains many, many links to other information pertaining to tropical weather. Please visit and bookmark this page for future use. The address is: http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/launch.html Enjoy!! Robert Lightbown ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Sep 1998 23:36:02 GMT From: EDSAUER Subject: Re: Trop Fcst Site I saw that also..it did funny things with the address... Try this one for the same wx data.. http://ws321.uncc.edu///data/raw/WTNT/ WTNT80/WTNT80.EGRR Hope this one will work.. Ed.. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1998 to 15 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Sep 17 14:43:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627283-29110>; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 13:11:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20700; Thu, 17 Sep 1998 00:07:19 -0500 Message-Id: <199809170507.AAA20700@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 00:01:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Sep 1998 to 16 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: deee0698771856d7c20cabb3c334199e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 246 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Spencer SD Report 2. Deconding NWS messages? 3. tropical forecasts (3) 4. Desperately searching Dean Allison! 5. Tropical Storm Georges 6. Radar Images 7. WxChat 9/16 & 9/18 at 7pm 8. SWIRL at 31N 73W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:10:37 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Spencer SD Report The Spencer SD tornado assessment is online at the Office of Meteorology homepage, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om Here's an interesting recommendation: Finding 1: There were at least 10 meteorologists from other parts of the country, including NWS forecasters, "chasing" the supercell thunderstorm which eventually produced the Spencer tornado. Two of these storm chasers provided reports to NWSFO Sioux Falls, but most were unaware of how to contact the office. One who did, the WCM from NWSO Kansas City, called his own office and asked the staff to relay his report to Sioux Falls. Recommendation 1: The NWS Office of Meteorology should form a team of NWS forecasters and experienced storm chasers to recommend methods of improving coordination between NWS forecast offices and "visiting" meteorologists engaged in storm chasing. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:12:35 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Deconding NWS messages? > Anyone happen to know where the zone number-to-name stuff is on > the net? Thanks! NWS County / Zone / WFO data files are online at http://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/om/cz.htm where FIPS = "C" and Zone = "Z" According to material I've read, the Z/C differences should be ironed out in the next year or two. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:24:14 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: tropical forecasts I have an interesting question concerning the tropical weather ofrecasts. At the first of the hurricane season, I wanted to publish a tropical weather summary on this list and had asked for comments on the subject. I got some negative comments and re-considered and didn't post anything on the list. Now, i"m seeing people publishing there tropical forecast on this list and promotting there www page. Now, I realize, that this is a discussion list where discussions are carried out and that was what I was told. And I understand that. Then I ask you, how come they are being allowed to publish forecasts. is it because, they have a degree in meteorology and I do not? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 09:32:51 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: tropical forecasts > the list. Now, i"m seeing people publishing there tropical forecast on > this list and promotting there www page. Now, I realize, that this is a > discussion list where discussions are carried out and that was what I was I've seen comments in passing come up from time to time, not a daily discussion. I think repeated advertising of web sites is a little too much, especially to tell us "I used to do this, now I don't, now I do so visit again" every other week, but a note when something "extraordinary" is added is acceptable... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 08:27:32 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: tropical forecasts > > I have an interesting question concerning the tropical weather ofrecasts. > At the first of the hurricane season, I wanted to publish a tropical > weather summary on this list and had asked for comments on the subject. I > got some negative comments and re-considered and didn't post anything on > the list. Now, i"m seeing people publishing there tropical forecast on > this list and promotting there www page. Now, I realize, that this is a > discussion list where discussions are carried out and that was what I was > told. And I understand that. Then I ask you, how come they are being > allowed to publish forecasts. is it because, they have a degree in > meteorology and I do not? > I doubt that's the reason. It's more likely that they didn't ask and just did it. Since they didn't ask, no one ever told 'em not to do it. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:42:48 +0100 From: Pioneer Productions Subject: Desperately searching Dean Allison! I was hoping that you might be able to post this on your chat page and help me make contact with an old contact. I have been trying to track down Dean Allison formally of Hesston, KS, unfortunately he seems to have moved on. We have used in the past amazing footage shot by Dean of an F5 tornado over Hesston taken on March 13 1990. We really would love to include this footage once again in a new series 'Storm Force' for The Learning Channel and desperately need to track him down. I would appreciate any help anyone might be able to give me. If you do know how I can reach him please contact me or pass on my details - jennie@pionprod.demon.co.uk or T:+44 1753 650500 x226. Many thanks for your time and patience. -- Pioneer Productions ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 11:11:49 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Tropical Storm Georges Tropical Storm Georges has formed in the eastern Atlantic. We've added it to our webpage at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ If it comes within range, we will post some AVHRR images as well. Happy hurricane hunting, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 12:31:26 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: Radar Images For those of you who haven't found this weather page, point your browsers to: http://www.weatherlabs.com/ rad/us.htm If your browser or email reader doesn't recognize the above hyperlink, just point your browser to that location. In this site you locate radar images which are basically only 20-30 minutes old, which isn't too bad when you consider most of the weather sites on the Internet are at least that old or older. This particular site has better graphics, since all of the images on this site are direct gif's from their archive or directory, which you can find by pointing your browser to: http://www.weatherlabs.com/rad/ This URL address will provide you with the directory of their GIF and HTM files. It appears the US is divided by 5 major rows, labeled from A to E, with A being the farthest north and obviously E being to the south, and columns from 1 to 5, with "1" being farthest west. At least, this appears to be the case. Let me know if you have any problems with this site or my directions. Richard richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org --- þ CmpQwk #UNREGþ UNREGISTERED EVALUATION COPY ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 14:21:27 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: WxChat 9/16 & 9/18 at 7pm That's 7:00 pm Eastern time ! >We've got something to chat about.... >Wx and Hurricane Chat Wednesday, Sept 16th and 18th at 7:00pm >You may log in at one of 4 URLs: > >http//members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html >http//members.aol.com/herb0412/summary.html >http//members.aol.com/herb0412/hurrican.html >http://pluto.beseen.com/chat/rooms/o/10912/ > >Test out the new Chat Room !! >Mid-Atlantic Weather Station >http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 19:15:24 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: SWIRL at 31N 73W On 15 September, James Aman wrote: >> >> Just a quick question -- what's up with the very pronounced >> low cloud swirl about 400 miles east of Jacksonville FL -- >> approx 31 deg north 73 deg west ?? >> The latest TWOAT just before NOON does not mention it at all. >> For those of you who haven't seen it yet (it's actually still out there churning today), I have posted some GOES-8 imagery and cloud tracked winds on the CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980915.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Sep 1998 to 16 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3944 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626571-15810>; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 13:10:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12992; Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:06:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199809190506.AAA12992@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Sep 1998 to 18 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6d701f30177ef8db872b6cc4ad241e81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 49 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Model Names 2. Wx Chat Tonite 3. Info On Hrcn Georges Found Here... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:38:02 GMT From: EDSAUER Subject: Model Names I was looking over the output products of the various computer programs working on the tropical systems... Does anyone know the names of the following programs ? XTRP CLIP BAMD BAMM BAMS A90E LBAR Also...SHIP and SHFR for intensity forecasts... Thanks.. de Ed..K5YYD.. Texas City, Tx... edsauer@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 11:16:16 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Wx Chat Tonite Wx and Hurricane Chat tonite (Friday 9/18) at 7:00pm Eastern time. You may log in at one of 4 URLs: http//members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html http//members.aol.com/herb0412/summary.html http//members.aol.com/herb0412/hurrican.html http://pluto.beseen.com/chat/rooms/o/10912/ Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 18:08:34 EDT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Info On Hrcn Georges Found Here... For the latest links and my own forecasts concerning Hurricane Georges... visit and bookmark Crown Weather Services... http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ Robert Lightbown Crown Weather Services - Caribou, Maine The Tropical Weather Experts!! http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/launch.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Sep 1998 to 18 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Sep 20 16:24:44 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1056 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-22438>; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 13:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14570; Sun, 20 Sep 1998 00:06:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199809200506.AAA14570@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Sep 1998 to 19 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 91e9722eb9ed00cd490d24f6599d7594 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 238 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Georges Prediction (2) 2. NHC Model Names 3. Hurricane Georges - Links to Zoomed Satellite Imagery, Island Surface Observations 4. InterWARN Demo Update 5. Hurricane Georges Picture 6. High resolution Georges images and loops 7. New : Tropical Local Radars Interactive Map Web Site +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:07:54 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Re: Georges Prediction Mike Schne!dr wrote: > > 12Z NGP calling for recurvature decently north of the Islands. > > Don't count on it. > > Email: Replace everything before the @ with "mike1" and delete any CAPS. > +--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+ -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 05 SEP 98 DARLA (dawn) ICQ# 7341931 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in Don (weathernut) ICQ# 14664294 http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My BI-Weekly column http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Sep 1998 23:10:32 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Re: Georges Prediction WHY NOT, what have you got they dont education please site references and sources I WOULD love to be able to be that confidnet in telling the NHC/NWS to go take a flying leap don Mike Schne!dr wrote: > > 12Z NGP calling for recurvature decently north of the Islands. > > Don't count on it. > > Email: Replace everything before the @ with "mike1" and delete any CAPS. > +--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+ -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 05 SEP 98 DARLA (dawn) ICQ# 7341931 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in Don (weathernut) ICQ# 14664294 http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My BI-Weekly column http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:02:22 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: NHC Model Names Someone please correct me if I am wrong here, but the NHC as it was explained to me, will NOT release this data in a raw form for fear that it will cause panic and will be miss used and cites the Accu-WX snafu a few years ago in Texas as the primary example. A local Meteorologist for a local TV station has expanded on this in the past right here in WX-TALK. I will not repeat his comments, I am sure he will chime in if conditions warrant. I would like nothing more than to see the data released in a GRIB format and use PCGRIDDS to analyze the data. We do however have ways of getting the GFDL, it is not easy and is not consistent, but something is better than nothing. I don't really wish to get into bashing, pointing fingers or anything of the sort, however an objective discussion of this matter could be entertained and if someone from NHC can chime in it would be appreciated. Oh and if someone does chime in from NHC, keep it friendly - hint! hint! :-) John > Date: Wed, 16 Sep 1998 23:38:02 GMT > From: EDSAUER > Subject: Model Names > > I was looking over the output products of the various computer programs > working on the tropical systems... > Does anyone know the names of the following programs ? > > XTRP CLIP BAMD BAMM BAMS A90E LBAR > > Also...SHIP and SHFR for intensity forecasts... > Thanks.. de Ed..K5YYD.. Texas City, Tx... edsauer@aol.com ------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 61 Todd Street - Suite 107 Russellville, Alabama 35654 (205) 331-2881 Voice (256)331-2863 Fax\Data (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com or metservices@getaway.net WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com or http://208.134.18.44 E-PAGE: 2059844219.pager@usamobile.com Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:25:12 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Hurricane Georges - Links to Zoomed Satellite Imagery, Island Surface Observations This may be stating the obvious, but if not: The most impressive and most powerful hurricane of the year is barrelling towards the Eastern Leeward Islands this morning. It jumped from 105mph/970mb at 5am to 125mph/948mb at 11am. It is now a strong category III storm and may be category IV before its all over. Interests in the islands should batten down big time today; the islands will be under the effect of Hurricane Georges by this time tomorrow. A minimal Tropical Storm Hermine is SE of Louisiana this morning, just declared at 11am. It is heading Northeast. For more information on either of these storms, travel to: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/7/ http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/8/ for links to some very impressive Satellite shots of Georges and some radar shots of developing Hermine. And don't forget to keep an eye on Island surface observations during Georges at http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/surface/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "Beware of the women who promise blue skies; There's tornado warnings in the backs of their eyes." --Boiled In Lead || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 15:01:58 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: InterWARN Demo Update Let me start off by saying thank you for the overwhelming response! ***I have decided to replace the current version with a new 30 day trial version for a few reasons...*** 1.) With Major Hurricane Georges and Tropical Storm Hermine out there, I'd wouldn't want the 2 week demo to expire if either one was to make a major impact on the U.S. 2.) Fixed a couple of minor glitches...no bugs...but some technical things like better printing, etc.. 3.) It's going to be a few weeks before the full version is ready to be marketed, so I figured with the lack of severe weather as of late, I should let you guys get more of a chance to test InterWARN out. If you have NO idea what I'm talking about... http://www.nemas.net/software/interwarn Thanks again for all your comments, suggestions, and support. -Evan Bookbinder stormalert@nemas.net P.S. for the person who made the comment about a program NEVER being bug free...boy are you 100% right! =) ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 18:13:53 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Hurricane Georges Picture "Classic" picture of Hurricane Georges at: http://ggweather.com/georges.jpg (approx 200K) <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 19:31:04 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: High resolution Georges images and loops See: http://defiant.wrh.noaa.gov/hurr/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 03:06:59 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: New : Tropical Local Radars Interactive Map Web Site In the spirit of the CASI Tropical Surface Observations Map that I did last month, I now bring you the CASI Tropical Local Radars Interactive Map: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/radar Currently this links to the only source of Mexican Radars and to Intellicast for US Radars. In the future I plan to link to various sites providing US radars but I wanted to start with Intellicast since they are the most current for free. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "Beware of the women who promise blue skies; There's tornado warnings in the backs of their eyes." --Boiled In Lead || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Sep 1998 to 19 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 21 13:37:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1048 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626928-16014>; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:13:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA54740; Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:05:50 -0500 Message-Id: <199809210505.AAA54740@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:00:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Sep 1998 to 20 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be973f5581490f04d98be662af833698 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 243 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Georges Prediction 2. tropical forecasts (2) 3. Chaser in Chicago Area 4. latitude and longitude 5. tropical forecasts (fwd) 6. Finding distances. (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 21:34:28 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Re: Georges Prediction This i concur with and your last on on the models dont thte nhc and twc use the same models imy knowledge is vast generally but not on specifics i was a sailor for twenty years and plotted many storms and had no modeling software to work with again concur with your statement on hsipanola ripping it apart pron\bably down to about 75-80 mph Mike Schne!dr wrote: > > Georges has slid to 15N, meaning its chances of moving into the central > Caribbean are now diminished (it would have to immediately commence > tracking *due* west), meaning it cannot reach Cat-5 as it might have had > it stayed around 13N when passing 55W. It is still possible, but probably > not until Sunday morning at the earliest, and more likely not until it > tracks south of Puerto Rico (*if* it goes that way). > > The 00Z NGP is calling for a recurve north of Haiti, while the MRF > tracks the storm over PR, DR, and southern Florida (in a weakened state) > then into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. If the storm takes the latter track, > but stays just offshore north of Hispanola, it could remain a very strong > hurricane and still reach Cat-5 over the Bahamas southeast of Florida. If > it hits Hispanola, it will be ripped apart. > > Email: Replace everything before the @ with "mike1" and delete any CAPS. > +--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+ > "If a President of the United States ever lied to the American people, > he should resign." -- Bill Clinton, responding to a question about > President Nixon, while running for the US House of Representatives, 1974. > +--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+ > Jim Bell's Theorem: http://jya.com/ap.htm and http://jya.com/jdb-zola.htm -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 05 SEP 98 DARLA (dawn) ICQ# 7341931 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in Don (weathernut) ICQ# 14664294 http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My BI-Weekly column http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Sep 1998 23:13:08 -0500 From: Paul Pettit Subject: Re: tropical forecasts Scott Lindstrom wrote: > > > > I have an interesting question concerning the tropical weather ofrecasts. > > At the first of the hurricane season, I wanted to publish a tropical > > weather summary on this list and had asked for comments on the subject. I > > got some negative comments and re-considered and didn't post anything on > > the list. Now, i"m seeing people publishing there tropical forecast on > > this list and promotting there www page. Now, I realize, that this is a > > discussion list where discussions are carried out and that was what I was > > told. And I understand that. Then I ask you, how come they are being > > allowed to publish forecasts. is it because, they have a degree in > > meteorology and I do not? > > > > I doubt that's the reason. It's more likely that they didn't ask and just > did it. Since they didn't ask, no one ever told 'em not to do it. What "is going on here on this group"? Seems people are coming out of the woodwork with their predictions, positions, etc. for tropical storms. This information is available from many sources without all these posts here. Besides, we don't know the background of some of these people and posts. One frequent poster seems to be flooding the group with predictions, positions, speculation and whatever else. Paul Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.weatherconsultant.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 04:49:27 GMT From: "R. Wise" Subject: Chaser in Chicago Area I am looking either to team up or correspond with some people who are interested in storm chasing in the Chicago area. If you are interested you can contact me at: robweis@ync.net Thanks Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 00:34:38 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: tropical forecasts Paul Pettit wrote: > Besides, we don't know the background of some of these people and posts. > One frequent poster seems to be flooding the group with predictions, > positions, speculation and whatever else. Not to "flame" but the above is discussion of weather and IMHO on topic...... Especially with the fact that it is Hurricane season..... With the quality of discussions in the past, what difference does the background make........ Just my thoughts anyway... Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:24:55 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: latitude and longitude All right! its time for Georges to recurve before it hits the east coast or closer to home like the Gulf of Mexico. I have a question on latitude and longitude. How can I tell how far from a particular location a system is? For example, I have a list of latitudes and longitudes with major cities. Like say, the system is at 16.5 and 58.0 and Antiga is at 17.0 and 61.0 how far would that be and is there an easy formula to figure this out? I know what you're thinking, why doesn't he just look at a map right? Well, I'm visually impared and have to resort to other methods. Any help would be appreciated. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 19:48:20 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Re: tropical forecasts (fwd) > Paul Pettit wrote: > > > Besides, we don't know the background of some of these people and posts. > > One frequent poster seems to be flooding the group with predictions, > > positions, speculation and whatever else. > > Not to "flame" but the above is discussion of weather and IMHO on > topic...... Especially with the fact that it is Hurricane season..... > > With the quality of discussions in the past, what difference does the > background make........ Just my thoughts anyway... > > Allen Joe and Jane Sixpack do not read wx-talk. This is just among "friends" and I would I would feel free to give you all my educated-guess forecasts if many would be interested-entertained by them. But I don't have any forecasts different from the computer models or other informed guesses, so you are spared ( probably permanently ). If someone has a significantly different forecast than NHC AND has a GOOD REASON that can be shared I would find that interesting. Barry ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 20:18:25 EST From: Dennis O'Keefe Subject: Finding distances. Chris Sells asked about finding distances between two points of know latitude and longitude. It is not an easy computation. I just looked at my 1966 copy of the "American Practical Navigator." Three pages of lots of trigonometry. >From the looks of the history in that book, charts were developed to permit easy calculation of distances and directions. The Mercator projection makes it possible to follow a set course from one point to another in open seas without having to do the calculations for the shorter great-circle route. What can do the math for you is a Global Positioning System unit. Mine will calculate the distance and direction between any two points on the planet even if both are not where I am. As an experiment I did it for my house to the north pole and my house to the point on the equator south of me. Adding the two results and multiplying by 4 gave a result 1/4 mile different from the longitudinal circumference printed in an almanac. I'll wait a bit longer before calculating how far Georges is from me. -- Dennis O'Keefe New Paltz, New York ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 21:36:47 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: Finding distances. You could also try a nifty site like this: http://www.indo.com/cgi-bin/dist? It lets you determine the distance between two known points of latitude/longitide, you can also determine the distance between two cities by simply entering the city name and state or zip code, you may also enter any city and get the latitude/longitude of that particular city/town/etc as well as the elevation. Pretty useful, check it out. Matt At 8:18 PM -0500 9/20/98, Dennis O'Keefe wrote: >Chris Sells asked about finding distances between two points of know latitude >and longitude. It is not an easy computation. I just looked at my 1966 copy >of the "American Practical Navigator." Three pages of lots of trigonometry. >>From the looks of the history in that book, charts were developed to permit >easy calculation of distances and directions. The Mercator projection makes >it possible to follow a set course from one point to another in open seas >without having to do the calculations for the shorter great-circle route. > >What can do the math for you is a Global Positioning System unit. Mine will >calculate the distance and direction between any two points on the planet >even if both are not where I am. As an experiment I did it for my house to >the north pole and my house to the point on the equator south of me. Adding >the two results and multiplying by 4 gave a result 1/4 mile different from the >longitudinal circumference printed in an almanac. > >I'll wait a bit longer before calculating how far Georges is from me. > >-- Dennis O'Keefe > New Paltz, New York > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Sep 1998 to 20 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Sep 22 17:50:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2198 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626717-10305>; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 13:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44066; Tue, 22 Sep 1998 00:11:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199809220511.AAA44066@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 00:04:21 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Sep 1998 to 21 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f0ec98867b5d44e1f81dcbb686b02c81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 449 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Inquiry for sfc station plots on the WWW 2. tropical model forecasts 3. New AWOS stations 4. AWOS Sites Not Yet on FOS (Updated) 5. latitude and longitude 6. Shear Magnitude and steering 7. Mr. Roboto does Denver (2) 8. Kudos TWC! (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:21:35 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Inquiry for sfc station plots on the WWW Does anyone know where I can obtain a graphical depiction of surface station observations (preferably hourly) on the WWW? I am particularly interested in east coast or southeast US plots. There are plenty of analyzed charts out there, but I am looking for unanalyzed station plots suitable for hand analysis. Thanks! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Sep 1998 21:46:54 -0500 From: Tom Berg Subject: tropical model forecasts The Weather Watchers Online web site announces that the model data from the tropical prediction computer models for ongoing Atlantic tropical systems can be found on our site. These graphics are plots of the various model outputs as posted by the NHC. They are listed for each active system Georges http://www.hcane.com/trpdta/07.html TD # 8 http://www.hcane.com/trpdta/08.html Tom Berg - Webmaster Weather Watchers Online ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 23:56:03 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New AWOS stations The following AWOS site was recently added to DDS. 54Y - Rush City, MN Note: The site id will change to ROS on 10/8/98. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorlogical Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 00:03:11 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: AWOS Sites Not Yet on FOS (Updated) * denotes a new site. FAA-Sponsored AWOS Sites Not Yet Available on FOS 90LA NEW ORLEANS/SUPERDOME LA AJO CORONA CA DWU ASHLAND KY EKY BESSEMER AL FCI RICHMOND/CHESTERFIELD CO VA GAI GAITHERSBURG MD GVQ BATAVIA NY HXD HILTON HEAD ISLAND SC ISM ORLANDO/KISSIMMEE FL JRB NEW YORK/WALL STREET NY LZU LAWRENCEVILLE GA MJX TOMS RIVER NJ MKY MARCO ISLAND FL OKK KOKOMO IN PVG PORTSMOUTH VA RYY MARIETTA/COBB COUNTY GA PAII EGEGIK AK PAQH QUINHAGAK AK NON-FEDERAL AWOS STATIONS NOT YET AVAILABLE ON FAA604 OR FOS DDS PAAK * ATKA AK 4A9 FORT PAYNE AL AL15 GULF SHORES AL AZC COLORADO CITY AZ CHD CHANDLER AZ E14 TUCSON/AVRA VALLEY AZ HII LAKE HAVASU CITY AZ PBY KAYENTA AZ RYN TUSCON/RYAN AZ 0O3 SAN ANDREAS CA DLO DELANO CA F70 MURRIETA/TEMECULA CA FCH FRESNO/DOWNTOWN CA HMT HEMET CA MHR SACRAMENTO/MATHER CA L35 BIG BEAR CA LHM LINCOLN CA O22 COLUMBIA CA SBD SAN BERNADINO CA FTG DENVER/FRONT RANGE CO EVY MIDDLETOWN DE 23J JACKSONVILLE/HERLONG FL LCQ LAKE CITY FL SUA STUART FL VNC VENICE FL 3J7 GREENSBORO GA 47A CANTON GA AYS WAYCROSS GA CKF CORDELE GA CZM CASTMAN-DODGE COUNTY GA DQH DOUGLAS GA EZM EASTMAN GA FZG FITZGERALD GA JZP JASPER GA LGC LA GRANGE GA OKZ SANDERSVILLE GA OPN THOMASTON GA PXE * PERRY GA SBO SWAINSBORO GA TBR STATESBORO GA TVI THOMASVILLE GA 12C ROCHELLE IL 1H2 EFFINGHAM IL 2I5 RANTOUL IL 3LC LINCOLN IL C75 LACON IL DKB DE KALB IL DNV DANVILLE IL ENL * CENTRALIA IL FEP FREEPORT IL FOA FLORA IL GBG GALESBURG IL HSB HARRISBURG IL I88 PONTIAC IL IGQ CHICAGO/LANSING IL IKK KANKAKEE IL JOT JOLIET IL LOT ROMEOVILLE IL MQB MACOMB IL TAZ TAYLORVILLE IL VYS PERU IL ASW WARSAW IN JVY * JEFFERSONVILLE IN MZZ MARION IN CBK COLBY KS 1A6 MIDDLESBORO KY 1M9 CADIZ KY 27K GEORGETOWN KY 2I0 MADISONVILLE KY 7K0 PIKEVILLE KY AAS CAMPBELLSVILLE KY CEY MURRAY KY DVK DANVILLE KY EKX ELIZABETHTOWN KY FGX FLEMINGSBURG KY GLW GLASGOW KY HVC HOPKINSVILLE KY IOB MOUNT STERLING KY K22 PRESTONBURG KY M21 GREENVILLE KY M25 MAYFIELD KY M34 GILBERTSVILLE KY K24 JAMESTOWN KY 2F8 BASTROP LA HMU HAMMOND LA IER NATCHITOCHES LA RSN RUSTON LA CBE CUMBERLAND MD ESN EASTON MD FDK FREDERICK MD W54 WESTMINSTER MD SAW GWINN MI MZH MOOSE LAKE MN Y33 MAPLE LAKE MN M58 MONETT MO MHL MARSHALL MO CKM CLARKSDALE MS CRX CORINTH MS HSA BAY ST LOUIS MS LUL LAUREL MS RNV CLEVELAND MS UOX OXFORD MS 1A5 FRANKLIN NC JNX SMITHFIELD NC JQF CONCORD NC RUQ SALISBURY NC TDF ROXBORO NC UKF NORTH WILKESBORO NC VUJ ALBEMARLE NC BPP BOMAN ND BWP WAHPETON ND MLE OMAHA/MILLARD NE SVC SILVER CITY NM 4SD RENO/STEAD NV CXP CARSON CITY NV 1B1 HUDSON NY 5B2 SARATOGA SPRINGS NY N03 CORTLAND NY N17 ENDICOTT NY OIC NORWICH NY PTD POTSDAM NY AXV WAPAKONETA OH CDI CAMBRIDGE OH I19 DAYTON/JACKSON OH I78 MARYSVILLE OH PCW PORT CLINTON OH PMH PORTSMOUTH OH UNI ATHENS/ALBANY OH 0F8 SAND SPRINGS OK ADH ADA OK HHW HUGO OK OK78 WATONGA OK OUN NORMAN OK RKR POTEAU OK WWR WOODWARD OK 2G3 CONNELLSVILLE PA 2G9 SOMERSET PA 40N COATESVILLE PA HMZ BEDFORD PA HZL HAZELTON PA N70 PERKASIE PA N79 SHAMOKIN PA OYM ST MARY'S PA RVL REEDSVILLE PA ZER POTTSVILLE PA GGE GEORGETOWN SC GYH GREENVILLE/DONALDSON SC RBW WALTERBORO SC SPA SPARTANSBURG SC 0A9 ELIZABETHTON TN 1M5 PORTLAND TN 2A0 DAYTON TN 2M2 LAWRENCEBURG TN 6A4 MOUNTAIN CITY TN 8A3 LIVINGSTON TN BGF WINCHESTER TN DKX KNOXVILLE/DOWNTOWN TN FYE SOMERVILLE TN FYM FAYETTEVILLE TN GCY GREENEVILLE TN GKT SEVIERVILLE TN GZS PULASKI TN HZD HUNTINGDON TN JAU JACKSBORO TN JWN NASHVILLE/TUNE TN LUG LEWISBURG TN M02 DICKSON TN M04 COVINGTON TN M08 BOLIVAR TN M33 GALLATIN TN M52 LEXINGTON TN M54 LEBANON TN M91 SPRINGFIELD TN MBT MURFREESBORO TN MMI ATHENS TN MOR MORRISTOWN TN MRC COLUMBIA/MOUNT PLEASANT TN PHT PARIS TN RNC MCMINNVILLE TN SCX ONEIDA TN SNH SAVANNAH TN SRB SPARTA TN SYI SHELBYVILLE TN THA TULLAHOMA TN UCY UNION CITY TN 22XS KILLEEN/LONGHORN TX 81R SAN SABA TX BBD BRADY TX BWD BROWNWOOD TX CNW WACO/TSTC TX T65 WESLACO TX BDG BLANDING UT BMC BRIGHAM CITY UT DTA DELTA UT U42 SALT LAKE CITY/MUNI 2 UT 6V3 RICHLANDS VA I18 RAVENSWOOD WV W99 PETERSBURG WV 3I2 POINT PLEASANT WV EMM KEMMERER WY Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 07:28:18 PDT From: Joe Furr Subject: Re: latitude and longitude I have never done this, but when I read your question it occurred to me that easiest way to do this might would be to use the distance formula for the distance between two points on the coordinate plane. I believe that if you used one location's latitude for the x-value and the longitude for the y-value and the same for the other location you would get the distance between the two (in degrees which would be converted to mi, km, etc). This is very simple math and would probably easier and more practical than a software program. Plus it can be done anywhere. Joe Furr ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Joe Furr Webmaster, Tornadoes and Tornado Research http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Lab/2430/ >Date: Sun, 20 Sep 1998 18:24:55 -0700 >From: Chris Sells >Subject: latitude and longitude > >All right! its time for Georges to recurve before it hits the east coast >or closer to home like the Gulf of Mexico. I have a question on latitude >and longitude. How can I tell how far from a particular location a system >is? For example, I have a list of latitudes and longitudes with major >cities. Like say, the system is at 16.5 and 58.0 and Antiga is at 17.0 and >61.0 how far would that be and is there an easy formula to figure this out? > I know what you're thinking, why doesn't he just look at a map right? >Well, I'm visually impared and have to resort to other methods. Any help >would be appreciated. > >------------------------------ ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 15:05:46 -0400 From: Scott Cravens Subject: Shear Magnitude and steering Two tropical meteorology questions: 1. Could anyone explain how "Shear magnitude" affects tropical systems? For example, if a tropical system approaches an area of high shear magnitude what would (theoretically) happen? I assume that "magnitude" refers to the speed change with height and this "number" has nothing to do with directional changes. Are there certain values that will definitely "tear up" a hurricane? 2. What mb level of winds best "steers" tropical systems ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 13:47:48 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: Mr. Roboto does Denver Just a heads up on the spreading virus known as CRS - Mr. Roboto has hit Denver. Right now he's limited to the hourly conditions, but as his stamtement says, he's being eased in so that listeners can get used to his voice. Ugh, don't get me started. Someone get the feds a SoundBlaster and some software, PLEASE... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 17:05:11 -0500 From: gilbert l sebenste Subject: Re: Mr. Roboto does Denver On Mon, 21 Sep 1998, William Kucharski wrote: > Just a heads up on the spreading virus known as CRS - Mr. Roboto has hit Denver. > Right now he's limited to the hourly conditions, but as his stamtement says, > he's being eased in so that listeners can get used to his voice. Ugh, don't > get me started. Someone get the feds a SoundBlaster and some software, > PLEASE... > > William Kucharski > kucharsk@netcom.com I found out that Mr. Roboto is heading for Chicago by this spring. However, according to the person I talked to, they may only use it for warnings, and use carts the rest of the time. We'll see. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: t50gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 19:06:07 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Kudos TWC! Hats off to TWC for providing Hurricane Georges reports in Spanish. I have no doubt that it is greatly appreciated by the folks down there. Any bets that Jim Leonard is in San Juan right now? ;-) Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 20:05:17 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Kudos TWC! At 07:06 PM 9/21/98 -0500, Steve Miller wrote: >Hats off to TWC for providing Hurricane Georges reports in Spanish. I >have no doubt that it is greatly appreciated by the folks down there. >Any bets that Jim Leonard is in San Juan right now? ;-) Actually, last I heard, Jim was in Luquillo, Puerto Rico. That was yesterday. Luquillo is east of San Juan. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 21:20:00 -0400 From: Patricia A Shannon Subject: Re: Kudos TWC! >Actually, last I heard, Jim was in Luquillo, Puerto Rico. That was >yesterday. Luquillo is east of San Juan. Luquillo Is very close to Naval Station Roosevelt Roads...sure glad I'm not there now..I was stationed there during "Hugo". That was definatly a reality check Best to you all Pat ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Sep 1998 to 21 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Sep 23 13:15:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3934 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626235-7543>; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 13:13:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57596; Wed, 23 Sep 1998 00:07:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199809230507.AAA57596@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 00:00:44 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Sep 1998 to 22 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6458e3551a5f06505325993ab3ffe1c5 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 629 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New articles for InterMet 2. sfc station plots on the WWW 3. Kudos TWC! 4. Tropical Advisories 5. More Birds on Radar? (3) 6. Weather Chat: Georges 7. latitude and longitude 8. TWC Kudos! 9. Radar Rings 10. Archived Data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 03:20:16 GMT From: InterMet Subject: New articles for InterMet I am currently preparing the next few issues of InterMet (International Meteorology) and I am looking for articles written by meteorologists and meteorology students. I am mainly looking for Case Study or any topic related to operational meteorology. It is FREE to read and publish in InterMet and there is no publicity in the magazine. You may have a look at some previous issues at: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ Thank you, Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 08:34:28 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Re: sfc station plots on the WWW > Date: Mon, 21 Sep 1998 02:21:35 -0400 > From: Richard Thacker > Subject: Inquiry for sfc station plots on the WWW > > Does anyone know where I can obtain a graphical depiction > of surface station observations (preferably hourly) on the WWW? > > I am particularly interested in east coast or southeast US > plots. There are plenty of analyzed charts out there, but I am > looking for unanalyzed station plots suitable for hand analysis. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = reply = = = = = = = = = = = = = Here's one place to look at: http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/data/charts/ and then choose the first option on the left, "HPC Charts". After that, it'll take a bit of digging around, but you should be able to find both North American surface maps, and zoomed in sectors over Mid-Atlantic and Southeast states. The only analysis that is on these maps is the isobars. Another place is from Ohio State. Check out these pages: http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/gifs/SURFACE/sec/00LATEST.gif http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/plots.html These maps don't have any analysis on them at all, just the raw data. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 15:41:42 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Kudos TWC! > Hats off to TWC for providing Hurricane Georges reports > in Spanish. > This winter, I'm hoping to see winter storm warnings for Wisconsin in a thick German accent (with a crawl across the bottom of the screen in Norwegian)... -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 19:48:11 -0400 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Tropical Advisories Does anyone if there is a file of all the advisories of a storm can be down loaded. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:35:45 -0400 From: Jon Porter Subject: More Birds on Radar? This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_000C_01BDE668.935BDBE0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Is this more birds on radar (like last month) in these circular returns on the radar from last night over PA, NY, and NC?? 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Wx Chat tonite AND tomorrow 7:00pm EDT. Log in at either of 2 URLs: http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html http://pluto.beseen.com/chat/rooms/o/10912/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:11:54 -0500 From: "Karl W. Schulze" Subject: Re: More Birds on Radar? Could be.......but it is very rare to catch roosting birds returning in the evening since the atmospheric temperature profiles usually don't allow radar beams to be bent towards the surface very much (thereby allowing this low-level phenomenon to be detected). And those rings have a pretty good radius (distance from the radar), so the radar beam would have to be really bent down to catch birds flying less than a thousand feet AGL 50 nm away from the radar! I'd like to guess that this could be caused by birds migrating. In order to get those rings, they must all be flying in a shallow layer of the atmosphere. The only way to say whether it is roosting birds vs. migrating birds is to look at the velocity data (Is there convergence towards the center of the ring? Is the radar velocity display at odds with the observed upper-level winds?). By the way, you'll probably get barked at for sending a .gif over this newsgroup. The best way to catch our attention to something is to post the image on a website and then tell us the URL. Karl ******************************************************* * Karl W. Schulze             HAM Radio Call:  KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail:  kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu                * *                Disclaimer:  SUE ME!                 * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:59:45 -0500 From: "Karl W. Schulze" Subject: Re: More Birds on Radar? At 08:28 PM 9/22/98 -0500, John Lamb wrote: > >If anything, I'd say what he posted was simply an inversion. Those are >*quite* large to be bird migrations IMHO. Actually, those rings are *tiny* compared to what is typically seen in cases of nocturnal bird migrations! On the lowest few tilts, the entire PPI out to 100-150 nm can be saturated with bird echo. I have never actually seen nocturnal bird migrations appear as rings - but they could exist if the birds were flying in a shallow layer (where winds, temperature, etc. are optimum for flight compared to levels immediately above and below it). Not having the velocity data handy, this is only a guess. The ring could be produced by *any* group of targets concentrated in a layer of the atmosphere (chaff, ash, insects, etc.), but seeing the rings pretty much all over New England and since Mt. Prospect in Illinois hasn't turned into a volcano :-) makes me think of birds......the velocity data would prove me right or wrong. Karl ******************************************************* * Karl W. Schulze             HAM Radio Call:  KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail:  kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu                * *                Disclaimer:  SUE ME!                 * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 21:15:50 -0500 From: Brad Savage Subject: Re: latitude and longitude Calculating distance on a coordinate plane is as simple as using the old-fashioned distance formula. However, calculating distance on a spheroid like Earth is not quite as easy. That formula consists of trigonometric functions and yields the Great Circle distance, so named because it is a route that, if drawn completely around the Earth, would slice the planet into two equal halves and would trace the shortest distance between any two points. For an extremely accurate Java-based distance calculator that you can download with a browser and save on your computer for use at any time, go to the following location: http://www.best.com/~williams/gccalc.html The formula itself, taken from the same site, is as follows: The great circle distance d between two points with coordinates {lat1,lon1} and {lat2,lon2} is given by: d=acos(sin(lat1)*sin(lat2)+cos(lat1)*cos(lat2)*cos(lon1-lon2)) A mathematically equivalent formula, which is less subject to rounding error for short distances is: d=2*asin(sqrt((sin((lat1-lat2)/2))^2 + cos(lat1)*cos(lat2)*(sin((lon1-lon2)/2))^2)) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 20:23:11 -0600 From: Jack Ganse Subject: Re: TWC Kudos! Another "kudos" to TWC: No Bill or Monica... *** *** Jack Ganse *** Web Home: http://home.earthlink.net/~jganse *** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 00:04:15 -0400 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: Radar Rings The radar rings in the recent post look suspiciously like a low-tech way of dealing with late night radar "blooming". It's the "cookie cutter" approach, which blocks all near echoes to the radar, where the "bloom" is greatest under normal conditions. Except lately atmospheric conditions have been SO favorable for bending radar beams, that the cookie cutter circle isn't big enough. Just a guess. I'll let a radar guru explain what _makes_ radar bloom in the evenings. ss _____________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com Or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Sep 1998 23:13:02 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Archived Data I am trying to find a good online source of archived data that includes *observed* data such as soundings, surface plots, profilers, and hopefully parameters such as theta-e, CAPE, LI, SREH, upper air analysis, etc. (the more detailed the better). I have tried the HUB-CAPS archive and the Climatic Data Center and either the data is not there or only pertains to model forecast output. Specifically, I am looking for data on June 13/14, 1998 in Oklahoma/southern plains. I would prefer an on-line source, but if anybody knows of other sources, that would be great too. I would be most grateful. In fact, I might even give you a weekend pass to the Supercell Deprivation Treatment Centers of the Southern Plains (when we have vacancies again). :-b~ Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Sep 1998 to 22 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Sep 24 13:25:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-26527>; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 13:20:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA24064; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:12:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199809240512.AAA24064@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 00:03:43 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Sep 1998 to 23 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c3766ed49f5fe31e32f89a7e5d92b551 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 103 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radar rings (2) 2. new web ring 3. WEATHER BOOK CLEARENCE 4. crs reading hurricane Georges advisories +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 11:04:43 -0400 From: "Leslie R. Lemon" Subject: Radar rings Radar rings: I could not view the ring image. However, radar centered circles are either layers of some form such as an inversion or bright band, or precip aloft over the radar, or are created by the NIDS service and/or clutter removal. Birds do not migrate in circular patterns. Roosting birds will form rings as they leave their roosts. Bats will also develop rings as they leave their roosts. Birds in the morning at sun rise and bats in the evening near sun set. Les ************************ Leslie R. Lemon Chief Meteorologist Weather and ATC Programs Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems Phone: 816-373-9990 E-Mail: lrlemon@compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 12:26:08 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: new web ring hi interested in joining a new web ring? Skywarn and Canwarn Spotter Training Schedules and Training Materials http://www.n9npp.com/skycan.htm matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 14:30:45 -0500 From: "Karl W. Schulze" Subject: Re: Radar rings At 11:04 AM 9/23/98 -0400, Les Lemon wrote: >Radar rings: > >I could not view the ring image. However, radar centered circles are >either layers of some form such as an inversion or bright band, or precip >aloft over the radar, or are created by the NIDS service and/or clutter >removal. Birds do not migrate in circular patterns. Roosting birds will >form rings as they leave their roosts. Bats will also develop rings as >they leave their roosts. Birds in the morning at sun rise and bats in the >evening near sun set. Since the image was from a regional composite, I'd have to say that it is a NIDS clutter removal issue. When the birds are flying here in SE Texas, I often times don't see the same thing on regional composites from vendors. If there isn't precipitation (surface stations reporting no rain or clouds), they remove the "clutter" from the product. So, it could very well be a case of the filter not extending far enough to remove the birdies at far ranges. 'Tis the season for nocturnal bird migrations..... Karl ******************************************************* * Karl W. Schulze             HAM Radio Call:  KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail:  kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu                * *                Disclaimer:  SUE ME!                 * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 19:51:17 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: WEATHER BOOK CLEARENCE WeatherWatch has ended its sales department and is selling all books (some small equipment) at half price. All must go! For a list of books, cost and availability, email WXWATCH@jnlk.com with PRICE LIST in the subject. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Sep 1998 23:51:15 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: crs reading hurricane Georges advisories Well, CRS in Birmingham AL is reading the hurricane advisories on hurricane Georges. And he's doing quite nicely. It's real neat. We're getting the advisories as soon as they're issued. I'm all for a good quality boradcast, but I would like to see this thing read warnings and the warnings would be out much much faster. Come on folks, give the nws and CRS some slack. I use the same speech card in my computer that it does. Yes, I'm totally blind and like dectalk. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Sep 1998 to 23 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Sep 25 13:18:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2957 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-19059>; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 13:11:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56738; Fri, 25 Sep 1998 00:07:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199809250507.AAA56738@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 00:02:07 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Sep 1998 to 24 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cd3f53723bd023a5ce16187a010bac59 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 374 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radar Rings 2. crs reading hurricane Georges advisories 3. 1999 AMS Annual Meeting 4. How To Convince People To Evacuate?? 5. South Florida Wx-Page 6. kudos NWS/SJU, TWC, and the Peurto Rico phone company 7. [Fwd: Hurricane Georges Update] 8. New: CASI South/West Florida Interactive Surface/Buoy Observations Map +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 01:20:48 -0500 From: Skip Voros Subject: Radar Rings For those of you who have access to Kavouras publications, check their "On the Front" newsletter, Winter 1997-98, Volume 7, No.3. That issue features a 6 page article, including 17 PPI images related to birds and other biological targets seen on weather service radars. Skip Voros, Exec. Dir. Milwaukee Area SKYWARN Assoc., Inc. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 01:25:21 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: crs reading hurricane Georges advisories >Well, CRS in Birmingham AL is reading the hurricane advisories on hurricane >Georges. And he's doing quite nicely. It's real neat. We're getting the >advisories as soon as they're issued. I'm all for a good quality >boradcast, but I would like to see this thing read warnings and the >warnings would be out much much faster. Come on folks, give the nws and >CRS some slack. I use the same speech card in my computer that it does. >Yes, I'm totally blind and like dectalk. Then you should also know there are now a LOT of better sounding systems out there that are a lot cheaper as well. For example, Macintalk for the Mac and a variety of Sound Blaster solutions for the PC. FWIW, I've talked to some hearing impaired folks and they can barely decipher what CRS has to say... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 12:57:29 -0700 From: Todd Glickman Subject: 1999 AMS Annual Meeting The 79th Annual Meeting of the AMS will be held 10-15 January 1999 in Dallas, TX. The theme of the Annual Meeting is, "Climate and Global Change: Focus on the Americas." The program will consist of the following conferences and symposia: Climate and Societal Issues Symposium 23rd Conference on Tropical Meteorology & Tropical Cyclones 15th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Hydrology and Oceanography 14th Conference on Hydrology 13th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence 11th Conference on Applied Climatology 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies 8th Symposium on Education 8th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology 5th Conference on Polar Meteorology & Oceanography 3rd Symposium Integrated Observing Systems 2nd Hayes Symposium on Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability Symposium on Atmospheric Chemistry Issues in North America The following short courses will be offered on Sunday, 10 January: Geographic Information Systems in Hydrology and Hydrometeorology Selected Applied Climate Topics Weather and Climate Visualization Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program as a Resource for Meteorological Investigations National Weather Service Data Sources, Formats & Use Satellite Precipitation Topics Further information, as well as general information on housing, transportation, exhibit programs, and registration is available on the AMS Web site at URL: http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS/meet/meet_79page.html ========================== Todd Glickman Assistant Executive Director American Meteorological Society 45 Beacon Street Boston, MA 02108 Tel: 617-227-2426 x237 Fax: 617-742-8718 mailto:glickman@ametsoc.org http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 21:54:17 GMT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: How To Convince People To Evacuate?? I have a question about the residents in the Florida Keys that do not want to evacuate, because they would rather ride out the storm. From what I have heard, 50% of the residents in the Keys are staying. My question is is there any way as either a weather forecaster or emergency management official to convince people to leave, or are we going to have a high casuality rate someday because people do not want to evacuate and a hurricane intensifies unexpectedly. To receive the latest tropical weather information, and information about Georges. Go to and bookmark Crown Weather Services at the following address: http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ Any thoughts or opinions on reluctance to evacuations are welcome. Rob Lightbown Crown Weather Services The Tropical Weather Experts!! http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 19:01:55 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: South Florida Wx-Page Here is a link for The South Florida George Page Will be good through at least 72 hours...or until the storm passes http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/george.html Have fun derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 20:29:37 -0500 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: kudos NWS/SJU, TWC, and the Peurto Rico phone company Although I am a bit biased here, Kudos to the NWS/SJU for keeping the San Juan WSR-88D up and running as hurricane Georges moved across the Island. Also a tip of the hat goes to the Peurto Rico phone company for keeping the phones up and running throughout most of hurricane Georges, and to the TWC for excelllent TC coverage. With TWC giving excellent reports every half an hour, the SJU radar staying up and running throughout, and with reliable phone service, I was able to keep my relatives, who live in Peurto Rico, informed of the movement and intensity of hurricane Georges as it moved across the Island. Once the second part of the eyewall went over my relatives house, the phones finally went dead. The last thing I heard from them was that the roof of the house next door just blew off. Fortunately, I just heard yesterday that they are OK, but the Island is a humongous mess. It will be weeks before power returns as the whole Island was effected by the storm. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 21:51:40 -0500 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: [Fwd: Hurricane Georges Update] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------D063041187B38339BE53532E Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit -- WEB PAGE UPDATED 05 SEP 98 DARLA (dawn) ICQ# 7341931 http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/Valley/6430 personal page other pages we are involved in Don (weathernut) ICQ# 14664294 http://hattiesburg.net/columns/index.shtml My BI-Weekly column http://www.qsl.net/kb5zvw Navy mars MS area page --------------D063041187B38339BE53532E Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: by osh5 for darnold (with Cubic Circle's cucipop (v1.21 1997/08/10) Thu Sep 24 21:40:51 1998) X-From_: eipa@fema.gov Thu Sep 24 21:21:04 1998 Return-Path: eipa@fema.gov Received: from server201.fema.gov (server201.fema.gov [166.112.200.142]) by mail.ametro.net (8.8.8/AMC) with ESMTP id VAA11883; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 21:21:02 -0500 Received: from localhost (eipa@localhost) by server201.fema.gov (8.9.0/8.9.0) with SMTP id JAA04744; Thu, 24 Sep 1998 09:32:59 -0400 (EDT) Date: Thu, 24 Sep 1998 09:32:58 -0400 (EDT) From: Emergency Information Media Affairs To: roboaccount@fema.gov Subject: Hurricane Georges Update Message-ID: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII Hurricane Georges Thursday Morning Update Washington September 24, 1998 8:30 a.m. EDT-The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports Hurricane Georges was about 400 miles southeast of Key West, Fla. at 5:00 a.m. this morning. National Hurricane Center: The maximum sustained winds are 75 mph with higher gusts. Georges continues moving west-northwest with a forward speed of 12 mph. The current projected track puts the center of the hurricane over or near the Florida Keys late tonight or early tomorrow morning, September 25. Georges is on the northern coast of Cuba and is expected to enter warm waters offshore that will allow the storm to begin strengthening. Within the next 36 hours, NHC forecasters expect maximum sustained winds to increase to 97 mph. Hurricane force winds currently extend outward up to 35 miles from the storm's center. Tropical storm force winds extend out 155 miles. NHC has hurricane warnings in effect from Deerfield Beach on Florida's east coast around to Bonita Beach on the west coast. Hurricane watches are in effect from Deerfield Beach north to Stuart and Bonita Beach north to Longboat Key. Florida State Operations: Local officials ordered a mandatory evacuation for the entire Florida Keys. C-130 aircraft from the North Carolina National Guard evacuated nearly 100 hospital patients from facilities in Key West and Marathon. Fifty special needs residents were evacuated via school buses. Roads into the Keys are closed. Operations at the Key West and Marathon Airports will cease later this morning. State officials have notified all counties along Interstates 95, 75, 4 and the Turnpike to prepare for heavy evacuee traffic from southern Florida. Northbound highway tolls have been lifted to assist in evacuation traffic flow. The state's Rapid Impact Assessment Teams have been advised to prepare for possible deployment to south Florida. The state's National Guard has been placed on alert. Schools are closed today in Monroe, Dade (including Miami), Broward, St. Lucie, Lee, Collier, Charlotte, Sarasota, Glades, and Hendry counties. County shelters placed on alert include Broward (12), martin (6), Okeechobee (10), and St. Lucie (6). Federal Preparations for Florida: FEMA's Region Four Advance Emergency Response Team is scheduled to arrive in Tallahassee this morning. They will initially stage their operations out of the state's Emergency Operations Center. FEMA's Region Four Operations Center in Atlanta is at full alert and operating 24 hours/day. The Headquarters Emergency Support Team in Washington is operating at Level I (highest level) 24 hours.day. FEMA is identifying staffing for Preliminary Damage Assessment Teams for Florida in event state officials request FEMA assistance with PDAs. Jackson Naval Air Station has been identified as the primary mobilization site for disaster response and recovery operations. FEMA has scheduled their Initial Response Resource package and its associated personnel to arrive at the Jacksonville Naval Air Station today. FEMA's Mobile Emergency Response technicians and equipment from Thomasville, Ga. are on alert and prepared to deploy. An Urban Search and Rescue Incident Support Team has been deployed to Florida. The Urban Search and Rescue Task Forces in Virginia, Tennessee and Maryland are on alert. The US Forest Service has staged two Incident Management Teams at Dobbins Air Force Base, Ga. These teams will provide disaster logistics management support in Florida if needed. The US Public Health Service has placed four Disaster Medical Assistance Teams (DMATs) in Florida on alert for possible deployment. DMATs from Indiana, Ohio, and New Mexico are also on alert. The American Red Cross has 447 Florida shelters on alert. They also have 100 Emergency Response Vehicles on alert for possible deployment. Puerto Rico: FEMA has extended the period for direct 100 percent emergency federal funding through September 25. The funding was initially authorized for the first 72 hours of the emergency. Puerto Rican officials report four confirmed deaths, that are not directly attributed to the hurricane. The American Red Cross reports they deployed 97 workers to the island yesterday. Another 100 workers are preparing to leave for Puerto Rico today. As of yesterday, September 23, there were more than 29,000 people staying in 416 shelters. FEMA staff and Puerto Rican officials are working to establish a Disaster Field Office. Utility company officials expected to have power fully restored to the San Juan metropolitan area yesterday. Estimates are that 90 percent of the urban areas will have power by this weekend. Once power is on in San Juan, two major water treatment plants will be operational. All airports are open. American and Delta airlines have resumed service. Public transportation is 85 percent operational. The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) has begun debris removal operations. Road debris is not as significant a problem as initially reported. USACE is also providing tanker truck for water deliveries. The Corps is also bringing in bottled water and ice. The first shipment will arrive today. Puerto Rican officials are setting up distribution centers for water and other critical supplies. U.S. Virgin Islands: FEMA and USVI officials have completed Preliminary Damage Assessments (PDAs) on St. Thomas. PDAs are still underway on St. Croix and St. Johns. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... FEMA is also co-sponsor of Storm98: http://www.storm98.com ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio --------------D063041187B38339BE53532E-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 03:23:48 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: New: CASI South/West Florida Interactive Surface/Buoy Observations Map All I had time to do tonight was surface obs for the southern and western halves of Florida but should be interesting as Georges nears the Keys. http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/surface/florida/ NWS Surface and Buoy observations. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "You're caught up in the Internet, You think it's such a great asset, but you're wrong, wrong, wrong!" --Jimmy Buffett || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Sep 1998 to 24 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Sep 26 16:48:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1603 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627370-11121>; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 13:19:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA59760; Sat, 26 Sep 1998 00:13:53 -0500 Message-Id: <199809260513.AAA59760@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 00:08:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1998 to 25 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b7f4af59a0be6b960e94e2a4699a565c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 236 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Number of Atlantic Storms (2) 2. Updated Georges Page 3. Wind speed 4. Hurricanes, Tornadoes and Nukes...Oh My! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 08:48:54 -0500 From: Muller Bruce Capt TACC/XOW Subject: Number of Atlantic Storms Does anyone know if the four named storms in the Atlantic is anything near a record? How about the probability that they could all be hurricanes? Does seem a bit much. For that matter, how often does the Azores or Portugal get a hurricane? Thanks in advance for any replies...... Bruce D. Muller, Capt, USAF TACC/XOW Staff Weather Officer DSN 576-8181 email: Bruce.Muller@scott.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 09:51:08 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Number of Atlantic Storms > It's not all that unusual. In fact, the last time there was a hurricane Georges, Hurricanes Frances and Earl, and TS Danielle were all existing at once. (1980) I suspect anything beyond 5 at a time is very unusual, since the WMO headers are from 1-5. Scott > Does anyone know if the four named storms in the Atlantic is anything near a > record? How about the probability that they could all be hurricanes? Does > seem a bit much. For that matter, how often does the Azores or Portugal get > a hurricane? Thanks in advance for any replies...... > > Bruce D. Muller, Capt, USAF > TACC/XOW Staff Weather Officer > DSN 576-8181 > email: Bruce.Muller@scott.af.mil > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 12:11:28 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Updated Georges Page Morning Everyone As Key West gets pounded by hurricane Georges the NHC has issued Hurricane Watches for portions of the Gulf Coasts. I have added links for current conditions...special weather statements...radars...and some additional cams. These new links are for Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and some Florida. Intellicast has been overloaded over the past 6 hours...I may locate some new radars to add later (if this overload continues). The URL for the Georges page is as follows: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/george.html Thank you for the compliments on the page being simple and easy to navigate...and fast loading. If you would like some link added please email me and I will add it. Thanks derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 14:22:22 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Wind speed Does anyone know how affected wind speed measurements are on buoys if there is heavy rain and surf? Sand Key buoy had past winds during the hurricane of 54.5 kts down to 29.1 and 11.7 kts in the following hours then back up to 40.8 kts. I do not think the eye would have been responsible for the low reading for at least over an hour would it? Paul ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Sep 1998 16:58:25 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Hurricanes, Tornadoes and Nukes...Oh My! (What do you do when a hurricane approaches your Nuclear Power Plant? Read on....) > +----------------------------------+ +-----------------------+ > |POWER REACTOR | |EVENT NUMBER: 34828 | > +----------------------------------+ +-----------------------+ > +------------------------------------------------+-----------------------------+ > |FACILITY: TURKEY POINT REGION: 2 |NOTIFICATION DATE: 09/24/98 | > |UNIT: [3] [4] [ ] STATE: FL |NOTIFICATION TIME: 05:26 [ET]| > |RX TYPE: [3] W-3-LP,[4] W-3-LP |EVENT DATE: 09/24/98 | > +------------------------------------------------+EVENT TIME: 05:06[EDT]| > |NRC NOTIFIED BY: FRED PARKS |LAST UPDATE DATE: 09/24/98 | > |HQ OPS OFFICER: LEIGH TROCINE +-----------------------------+ > +------------------------------------------------+ NOTIFICATIONS | > |EMERGENCY CLASS: UNUSUAL EVENT +-----------------------------+ > |10 CFR SECTION: |JOHN ZEILER RDO | > |AAEC 50.72(a)(1)(i) EMERGENCY DECLARED |CECIL THOMAS, NRR EO | > |AEXT 50.72(b)(1)(iii) EXTERNAL THREAT |FRANK CONGEL, AEOD IRD | > |ADEV 50.72(b)(1)(i)(B) DEVIATION FROM T SPEC |RALPH HERSKO FEMA | > |DDDD 73.71 UNSPECIFIED PARAGRAPH | | > | | | > +-----+----------+-------+--------+--------------+--+--------+-----------------+ > |UNIT |SCRAM CODE|RX CRIT|INIT PWR| INIT RX MODE |CURR PWR| CURR RX MODE | > +-----+----------+-------+--------+-----------------+--------+-----------------+ > | 3 | N N 0 COLD SHUTDOWN | 0 COLD SHUTDOWN | > | 4 | N Y 100 POWER OPERATION | 100 POWER OPERATION | > | | | | > +-----+---------------------------------------------+--------------------------+ > > EVENT TEXT > +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ > | DECLARATION OF AN UNUSUAL EVENT DUE TO ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE WARNING BY | > | THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER | > | | > | THE FOLLOWING TEXT IS A PORTION OF A FACSIMILE RECEIVED FROM THE LICENSEE: | > | | > | "TURKEY POINT UNITS 3 AND 4 HAVE DECLARED AN UNUSUAL EVENT DUE TO A | > | HURRICANE WARNING BEING ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER [LOCATED] | > | IN MIAMI, FLORIDA. UNIT 3 SHUT DOWN ON MONDAY, SEPT. 21, FOR A REFUELING | > | OUTAGE AND IS CURRENTLY IN MODE 5. OUTAGE WORK HAS BEEN STOPPED, AND | > | PREPARATIONS ARE UNDERWAY FOR THE POTENTIAL ARRIVAL OF HURRICANE GEORGES. | > | UNIT 4 IS IN MODE 1 AS THE SITE CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE TRACK OF THE | > | STORM. SITE EMERGENCY FACILITIES HAVE NOT YET BEEN ACTIVATED; HOWEVER, | > | PLANS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED FOR THE MANNING OF THESE FACILITIES. | > | NOTIFICATION TO THE STATE OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN COMPLETED." | > | | > | THE LICENSEE STATED THAT THE SITE WAS NOTIFIED OF THE ISSUANCE OF THE | > | HURRICANE WARNING AT APPROXIMATELY 0505, AND THE UNUSUAL EVENT WAS DECLARED | > | AT 0506. | > | | > | THE LICENSE NOTIFIED APPLICABLE STATE AND LOCAL AGENCIES AND PLANS TO | > | NOTIFY THE NRC RESIDENT INSPECTOR. | > | | > | HOO NOTE: FOR CATEGORY 1 OR 2 HURRICANES; THE LICENSEE'S PROCEDURES | > | REQUIRE UNITS OPERATING IN MODES 1, 2, OR 3 TO BE PLACED IN | > | MODE 3 (HOT STANDBY) WITHIN 2 HOURS OF THE PROJECTED ONSET OF | > | SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS (75 mph) AT THE SITE. FOR | > | CATEGORY 3, 4, AND 5 HURRICANES, THE LICENSEE'S PROCEDURES | > | REQUIRE UNITS OPERATING IN MODES 1, 2, OR 3 TO BE PLACED IN | > | MODE 4 (HOT SHUTDOWN) WITHIN 2 HOURS OF THE PROJECTED ONSET OF | > | SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AT THE SITE. HURRICANE GEORGES | > | IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY 1 STORM WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 mph | > | AND PEAK GUSTS OF 90 mph. AT THIS TIME, THIS HURRICANE IS | > | EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN, BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME GREATER | > | THAN A CATEGORY 2 STORM PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF SUSTAINED | > | HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSITE. | > | | > | * * * UPDATE AT 1400 ON 09/24/98 BY JOLLIFFE * * * | > | | > | A COMMISSIONERS' ASSISTANTS BRIEFING WAS CONDUCTED AT 1400 ON 09/24/98 TO | > | DISCUSS ISSUES RELATING TO HURRICANE GEORGES. THE FOLLOWING INDIVIDUALS | > | WERE NOTIFIED OF THE BRIEFING (* OFFICE DID NOT PARTICIPATE): AEOD (*FRANK | > | CONGEL), AEOD IRD (STUART RUBIN AND THOMAS MCKENNA), CHAIRMAN JACKSON (MARK | > | MILLER), COMMISSIONER DIAZ (ROGER DAVIS AND PAT CASTLEMAN), COMMISSIONER | > | McGAFFIGAN (JIM BEALL), EDO (SCOTT BARBER), DEDE (*JOCELYN MITCHELL), NRR | > | EO (JOHN STOLZ), NRR PROJECTS (FRED HEBDON AND *KAHTAN JABBOUR), NMSS EO | > | (FRED COMBS), R2DO (*JOHN ZEILER), REGION 2 (LEN WERT, et.al.), PAO | > | (WILLIAM BEECHER), CAO (LINDA PORTNER), SECY (ANDREW BATES), SP (ROSETTA | > | VIRGILIO), AND IP (RON HAUBER). | > | | > | * * * UPDATE AT 2043 ON 09/24/98 FROM D. HENRY TAKEN BY STRANSKY * * * | > | | > | THE LICENSEE IS CURRENTLY REDUCING UNIT 4 REACTOR POWER TO 50% IN | > | ANTICIPATION OF THE HURRICANE. | > | | > | THE NRC RESIDENT INSPECTOR HAS BEEN INFORMED BY THE LICENSEE. THE NRC | > | OPERATIONS OFFICER NOTIFIED THE REGION 2 INCIDENT RESPONSE CENTER (R2IRC) | > | (HUFHAM). | > | | > | * * * UPDATE AT 2228 ON 09/24/98 FROM D. HENRY TAKEN BY STRANSKY * * * | > | | > | THE LICENSEE RELAYED THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT: | > | | > | "AS SQUALL LINES PASS THROUGH THE AREA, PERIODIC TORNADO WARNINGS ARE | > | ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR VARIOUS SECTIONS OF MIAMI/DADE | > | COUNTY." | > | | > | * * * UPDATE AT 2250 ON 09/24/98 FROM CRAIG MOWRY TAKEN BY STRANSKY * * * | > | | > | DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF HURRICANE GEORGES AND THE RESULTANT POTENTIAL FOR | > | LIGHTNING STRIKES AND TORNADOS, SAFEGUARDS MEASURES PURSUANT TO 10CFR73.55, | > | REQUIRING A PROTECTED AREA PERIMETER INTRUSION DETECTION SYSTEM, WILL BE | > | SUSPENDED UNDER THE PROVISIONS OF 10CFR50.54(x). SPECIFICALLY, AS SQUALLS | > | PASS THROUGH THE AREA, COMPENSATORY POSTS FOR ONE OR MORE FAILED PORTIONS | > | OF THE PERIMETER INTRUSION DETECTION SYSTEM MAY BE TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED. | > | AS SOON AS WEATHER PERMITS, FAILED PORTIONS WILL BE RESTORED OR POSTS | > | REESTABLISHED. EACH INDIVIDUAL POST WILL BE LOGGED AS IT IS POSTED, | > | REMOVED, OR REPOSTED. REMAINING PORTIONS OF THE PERIMETER WILL BE | > | MONITORED BY CAMERA TO THE EXTENT POSSIBLE. THIS SUSPENSION IS REPORTED IN | > | ACCORDANCE WITH 10 CFR PART 73, APPENDIX G.1(c). | > | | > | THE LICENSEE HAS INFORMED THE NRC RESIDENT INSPECTOR. THE NRC OPERATIONS | > | OFFICER NOTIFIED THE R2IRC (HUFHAM) AND R2DO/IAT (BELISLE). | > +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ > ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1998 to 25 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 28 03:14:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4445 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626454-24158>; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 13:13:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB63642; Sun, 27 Sep 1998 00:10:45 -0500 Message-Id: <199809270510.AAB63642@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 00:03:26 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Sep 1998 to 26 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c62e6521235917a3a37f8dbfeeb7eedb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 168 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hermine? (4) 2. Real-Audio URLS Gulf Coast 3. Number of Atlantic Storms (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:05:56 EDT From: Brad Riley Subject: Hermine? I heard a rumor that a new TS has arrived. Its name was Hermine. I wanted to know if this is true. If so please write back. Brad ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 09:45:58 -0400 From: Joel McLaughlin Subject: Re: Hermine? Yup. A while back. Hermine hit the same area as frances and exited on the east coast a while back. Hermine hasn't been around for a while now. Right now, the atlantic is pretty hot with 4 active hurricanes. Hermine has long since gone extratropical. Joel N8VQJ >>> Brad Riley 9/26/98 9:05:56 AM >>> I heard a rumor that a new TS has arrived. Its name was Hermine. I wanted to know if this is true. If so please write back. Brad +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 10:30:19 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Real-Audio URLS Gulf Coast Hello Everyone The Georges page is doing well with hits...I am looking for some Real-Audio Stations along the Gulf Coast. If anyone knows of some good stations let me know so I can add them to the page. The Georges Page Is Located At: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/george.html Thank You Derek derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:58:25 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: Hermine? >Yup. A while back. Hermine hit the same area as frances and exited on the >east > coast a while back. Hermine hasn't been around for a while now. Right now, >the > atlantic is pretty hot with 4 active hurricanes. Hermine has long since >gone > extratropical. > >Joel >N8VQJ > >>>> Brad Riley 9/26/98 9:05:56 AM >>> >I heard a rumor that a new TS has arrived. Its name was Hermine. I wanted >to >know if this is true. If so please write back. > Another thought was that the remnants of Hermine may have moved through the SE US to become a small swirl off the Outer Banks earlier this week. And that smaller swirl may have moved eastward to eventually become what is now Karl. --Herb Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 14:59:12 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: Hermine? > heard a rumor that a new TS has arrived. Its name was Hermine. I wanted to >know if this is true. If so please write back. Another thought was that the remnants of Hermine may have moved through the SE US to become a small swirl off the Outer Banks earlier this week. And that smaller swirl may have moved eastward to eventually become what is now Karl. --Her Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 19:42:12 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Number of Atlantic Storms I think that there were five at one time in 1995 and 1971. However, now that they are all hurricanes, it is the first time since 1893 that we have had four hurricanes in existence at the same time. Usually the storm becomes extratropical before it reaches the Azores or Portugal. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:36:54 -0400 From: Jim Leonard Subject: Re: Number of Atlantic Storms Greg Machos wrote: > > I think that there were five at one time in 1995 and 1971. However, now that > they are all hurricanes, it is the first time since 1893 that we have had four > hurricanes in existence at the same time. Usually the storm becomes > extratropical before it reaches the Azores or Portugal. > > Greg Machos > http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html 1961 was very close to having four hurricanes at the same time. On September 11, Betsy,Carla,Debbie were hurricanes and Esther was a tropical storm just below hurricane status and intensifying on that date. -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Sep 1998 20:54:32 -0500 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Re: Number of Atlantic Storms > I think that there were five at one time in 1995 and 1971. However, now that > they are all hurricanes, it is the first time since 1893 that we have had four > hurricanes in existence at the same time. Usually the storm becomes > extratropical before it reaches the Azores or Portugal. > > Greg Machos > http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html There were four simultaneous named storms active in 1995, but not five: Humberto, Iris, Karen, Luis---from around 28 Aug into the first day or two of Sept. TS Jerry had already dissipated before Karen and Luis were named. In Sept of 1971 there was an instance of 4 named storms (Edith, Fern, Ginger, Heidi) and another TD which later became Hurricane Irene, but Fern and Hedi were out of the picture before Irene was named. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Sep 1998 to 26 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 28 13:22:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4012 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625983-24780>; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 13:20:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40854; Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:08:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199809280508.AAA40854@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:05:13 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Sep 1998 to 27 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d133bd11fd1c4162b62e990f8f6b536 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Frequencies and Information 2. warning and watch notifcations 3. InterWARN Demo Update +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 07:08:52 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Hurricane Frequencies and Information Go to the following pages for lists of real radio frequencies to monitor during hurricanes: http://members.ecom.net/~snyder/index.htm http://raven.cybercomm.net/~slapshot/hurr.html http://www.primenet.com/~rfwatts/uteworld/uteworld.html http://www.primenet.com/~rfwatts/uteworld/hurrlist.txt and to the following pages for Atlantic hurricane tracks, maps and info: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/98/georges/index.html http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html http://www.pulse.net/storm/maritime.htm Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 22:00:29 -0400 From: Steve Lowenthal Subject: warning and watch notifcations Can anyone assist me on obtaining details on getting onto notifcations for watches and warniings in the NE USA area. thank you STEVE L NYC FIRE DEPT 216 North Fulton Av Fleetwood ,NY 10552 9/.1998 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 00:45:18 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: InterWARN Demo Update Hey there once again. I have uploaded what I hope to be the final demo version before the major release. Of course that probably won't happen, but what's wrong with wishful thinking. It includes two minor changes and one major bug fix. Things are running smoothly and I hope we can be ready with the final version 1.0 by Oct. 15th. Here is a list of the fixes: 1.)The major fix managed to land the bug that caused about 1% of the users to receive a run-time error 13 type mismatch when downloading the warnings. (The select few included my own grandfather which wasn't the way to start off). It had to do something with a registry setting for two of the timers. 2.)I temporarily changed the watch box graphic image. I have no idea what happened but the one I'd been using is having fits of sorts and plastering the watch box number about 50 times over the continental US (maybe that's the lottery number) 3.)The last fix I made was a server change on the tropical products that really seemed to speed things up a bit. I ran the new version during our severe weather event today in PA (nothing here as usual, except I captured some nice distant lightning bolts on film) and it worked flawlessly. I know have a stack of 60 pages of warnings, damage reports, etc.. from practically every county but mine. It seemed the EAS tone and printer were going off every 3 minutes. Ah well..it's almost lake effect season! Anyways, enough rambling :) You can download the latest version (I think I called it 0.9.6b on the page) at http://www.nemas.net/software/interwarn. For those of you who missed the last posting, the demo now gives you one full month to keep an eye on Georges! Thanks for your continued interest and kind words, Evan Bookbinder StormAlert, Inc. stormalert@nemas.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Sep 1998 to 27 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Sep 29 13:22:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1410 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627010-17643>; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 13:12:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA43288; Tue, 29 Sep 1998 00:07:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199809290507.AAA43288@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 00:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Sep 1998 to 28 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 545f5cd126a0374835baef1359180771 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 11 messages totalling 370 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. How To Convince People To Evacuate?? 2. warning and watch notifcations 3. Questions on min temp forecasts and cloud videos 4. National Weather Association Newsletter Topics 5. InterWARN Bug 6. National EMWIN Conference Scheduled 7. Georges Correction 8. georges (2) 9. InterRAD Georges Images! 10. InterWARN back on track +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 06:19:12 -0400 From: Ed Waldron Subject: Re: How To Convince People To Evacuate?? > I have a question about the residents in the Florida Keys that do not > want to evacuate, because they would rather ride out the storm. From > what I have heard, 50% of the residents in the Keys are staying. My > question is is there any way as either a weather forecaster or > emergency management official to convince people to leave, or are we > going to have a high casuality rate someday because people do not want > to evacuate and a hurricane intensifies unexpectedly. > > To receive the latest tropical weather information, and information > about Georges. Go to and bookmark Crown Weather Services at the > following address: > http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ > > Any thoughts or opinions on reluctance to evacuations are welcome. > > Rob Lightbown > Crown Weather Services > The Tropical Weather Experts!! > http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ > Here in "sunny" Naples, FL, we had some people who were blissfully unaware of any impending problem as late as Thursday evening! Regardless of how much video footage you show; or how many experienced people talk to them, there will always be a few who have never been through a major hurricane and will be unable to conceive the damage such a storm can do. Hurricanes are nature's way of transferring excess energy from one part of the planet to another. It begins to appear that they may also be one mechanism for culling the shallow end of the gene pool. You can put out the information. The people with enough intelligence to cross the street unescorted will act appropriately. Reconcile yourself to the fact that there *are* those who are terminally clueless. I was a 13-year-old kid when Donna came through Ft. Myers. I have "bravely" run away from every hurricane since. Hopefully, this near miss will be enough to convince a few other hard heads that this is the preferred plan. Ed Waldron Naples, FL personal homepage http://members.xoom.com/edwaldron/ *** Any resemblance between these rantings and the opinions of any rational being are purely coincidental. *** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 08:20:37 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Re: warning and watch notifcations Steve, Try the following URLs for watches and warnings: http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/graphicsversion/main.html http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/index.htm http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/ http://hometown.aol.com/vortex100/index.htm http://www.pulse.net/storm/watches.htm#Outlooks http://www.pulse.net/storm/wxlinks.htm Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 09:34:05 -0500 From: Pam Knox Subject: Questions on min temp forecasts and cloud videos Hi! I have two unrelated questions that just both happened to come up at the same time. The first question is in regard to forecasting minimum temperatures. I dimly recall a rule of thumb used on some occasions that you can use the dewpoint temperature as the minimum, but don't remember when it is appropriate. On other occasions, like in Valparaiso last night, the dewpoint creeps down all night and you end up with much lower dewpoints the next morning, with very wet grass. When is using the dewpoint as the forecast minimum appropriate, and when is it not? My husband and I are thinking that it is probably seasonally dependent, with some dependence on the value of the dewpoint, but also dependent on the length of the night. Any help would be appreciated. The second question is in regard to finding time lapse video of warm front and cold front passages, with an eye to seeing the different cloud types as they typically appear. We have never seen good video of this. Any clues to where I might be able to find some? I am always interested in good video of atmospheric phenomena--the mirage scene in Koyanisqatsi is super! Thanks for your help. ----------------------------------------- Pam Knox Email: Pam.Knox@valpo.edu Valparaiso University ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:30:07 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newsletter Topics Following are the topics include in the September issue of the NWA newsletter: 1. President's Message (Previews of the preliminary agenda) 2. Dates to Remember 3. NWA Officers and Officers candidates sought for 1999. 4. Preliminary agenda for the 1998 NWA annual meeting, Saturday October 18 through Friday, October 23rd ( see webpage at http://www.nwas.org/membership.html) 5. NWA Annual meeting Holte and Travel Information. For copies or more information contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com Also check the NWA webpage at http://www.nwas.org/membership.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:55:57 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: InterWARN Bug This is what happens when you beta test software from other people. A friend of mine last night sent me a copy of his program to test, which is running on the newly marketed VB6 (which I now have to pick up this afternoon). Unfortunately, two of the files he sent me weren't compatible with the version I compiled for you last night (as I found this morning with a nice "Unexpected Error" message). HOPEFULLY, this problem will be remedied tonight with the latest software compiler. From what I've heard the files are actually smaller...however you will all have to download the entire package (not just the .exe) to upgrade. The new version I've heard is very user friendly and compatible between win95 and win98 systems, so hopefully that'll take care of it. Update to come later. Thanks for your patience, Evan ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 11:14:48 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: National EMWIN Conference Scheduled The 1st ever EMWIN Users Workshop will be held in Houston, Texas on Friday, December 4th and Saturday, December 5th. The Workshop will be held at the Harris County Appraisal District (HCAD) offices, and will be co-sponsored by HCAD and the National Weather Service Southern Region. We anticipate a session geared to broadcasters on December 4th, and a session geared to general users on December 5th. We will have a specific agenda in a few weeks...but here are some of the planned sessions: History of EMWIN Software Use/ Demos Q+ACY-A with software vendors including Xenocode's Weathernode 4.0 (others are welcome - let us know if you're interested) Emergency Management Use of the System EMWIN Reception Methods - Radio / Satellite Tests of delivery of EMWIN data on the Internet Rebroadcasting / Insertion of Local Data There will be vendor displays as well. There will be no charge for the Workshop, but those willing to participate must register by November 25th. Attendance will be limited to around 100 and will be on a first-come, first-served basis. To register provide the information requested below and return this message to: chris.grant@AEA-noaa.gov or call Chris at 405-366-6581 x 141. 1.Name(s) 2. E-Mail address where we can contact you for updates (required) 3. Phone Number: (required) 4. Mailing Address (required) 5. Total Number in group and names: 6. Do you have any suggestions for sessions you would like to see? Hotel accommodations are available nearby (Highway 290 and Loop 610 area). A list of nearby hotels will be posted here in the next few days. We hope you will consider attending. James K. Purpura Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma purpura+AEA-soo.ounnws.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 16:46:39 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: Georges Correction >>Question for weather pros. I am directly in the center of Louisiana. >>Could Georges do damage this far upstate? >> Earlier I hastily stated: >You'll see tropical storm force winds. Definitely heavy rain. Now-- -> I'd like to change that answer. I should've looked at a map of LA before responding. I don't know where you are precisely, but if you use Alexandria as a point for Central LA (even tho it's a bit to the south of center), I'd say you're probably gonna feel like it's a typical summer day...chance of a T-storm, ptly cloudy, breezy...maybe a gust here and there. A lot of the answer to your question depends on Georges' speed (slowing down) and how far north and west he goes inland (some models say he stops; others say he begins heading to the N and E a little). So, depending on where you are precisely in central LA, you may never get the hurricane rains. --Herb ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 14:24:39 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: georges >Question for weather pros. I am directly in the center of Louisiana. >Could Georges do damage this far upstate? > You'll see tropical storm force winds. Definitely heavy rain. --Herb Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 13:23:30 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: georges I'm not convinced central LA will see heavy rains. It looks like it's just barely backing into New Orleans now -- and New Orleans is a far cry from the center of the state. Scott, wondering how an L-shaped state can have a center, anyway :) -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? > > >Question for weather pros. I am directly in the center of Louisiana. > >Could Georges do damage this far upstate? > > > > You'll see tropical storm force winds. Definitely heavy rain. --Herb > Mid-Atlantic Weather Station > http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 23:01:29 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: InterRAD Georges Images! Some spectacular images were caught on radar yesterday (Monday) when hurricane Georges made its way onto the coast of Mississippi and Alabama. Images include a very nice meso on the Eglin, Florida radar site. These images and more can be found at the following URL: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/InterRAD.html For those interested in knowing more about InterRAD. Storm Cell Data with Audible and Visible Alarms. Full Weather Center (including surface maps, upper air plots, satellite loops, severe weather warnings, etc.) Integrated Web Browser with links to weather watch, warning, forecast info from the National Weather Service. Mesocyclone Detection, Probability of Severe Hail, Tornado Vortex Signature. Easily customizable to your location (zip code setup), Direct printing capabilities Have fun with the images! Derek derekd@hcis.net http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/regional.html Ohio Valley Weather Information: ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 00:55:56 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: InterWARN back on track OK...$87 poorer, I upgraded to the latest compiler today. I sincerely apologize to the many of you who downloaded a error-filled version last night. The replacement is a much smaller (2.9 megs from 4.1) version that contains just 3 files! I suggest unisntalling any previous versions to get rid of any unneeded files. SO far myself and the beta testers all give it a go. Therefore, I announce the release of the new and improved and hopefully WORKING InterWARN demo which can be found at: http://www.nemas.net/software/interwarn Hopefully, problems will be few and far between! (BTW, server 2 seems to be working smoothly) Take care, Evan Storm Alert Inc. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Sep 1998 to 28 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Sep 30 14:17:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3276 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626564-17078>; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:12:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA48802; Wed, 30 Sep 1998 00:06:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199809300506.AAA48802@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 00:02:27 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Sep 1998 to 29 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 13d8d4b470131eb24e5c1aa618fef584 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 9 messages totalling 291 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Getting people to evacuate (2) 2. Max number of landfalls for a hurricane? (2) 3. How To Convince People To Evacuate?? 4. US Wind profiler report format 5. convincing to evacuate 6. Barton Kansas Tornadoes 7. WX-TALK Digest - 7 Sep 1998 to 8 Sep 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 07:32:13 -0400 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Re: Getting people to evacuate You think the Keys were bad...here in the Pinellas County, Florida....(St. Pete/Clearwater area)....200,000 people were ordered to evacuate from the barrier islands and mobile homes....about 2000 showed up in shelters, so either: 1. Most people made other arrangements far in advance of the storm like we have been telling them to do for years (not likely) -or- 2. Most people ignored the warnings completely or convinced themselves the storm would remain far enough at sea that it would not hurt them. Unfortunately, the people in #2 ended up being right in the end....so now we have a bunch of "I told you so" types running around. All you can do is document who remains behind so you can notify the next of kin.....some people do pay attention when you remind them that fire, police, and EMS personnel cannot respond in hurricane force winds or over flooded bridges. Kevin Heyboer KD4UYR Pinellas SKYWARN Coordinator and sometimes Sheriff's Detective (or, was it the other way around)? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 08:26:46 -0500 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Re: Getting people to evacuate At 07:32 AM 9/29/98 -0400, you wrote: >You think the Keys were bad...here in the Pinellas County, Florida....(St. >Pete/Clearwater area)....200,000 people were ordered to evacuate from the >barrier islands and mobile homes....about 2000 showed up in shelters, so >either: >snip< I wonder if cancellation of all life and property insurance for people who do not evacuate would be an incentive? Probably not. Too many people feel that nature's fury is just like a movie. Some movie!! Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:53:53 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Max number of landfalls for a hurricane? Georges has now hit the US twice, in the Keys and in MS. (Three times if you want to include PR). One could envisage it drifting to the Atlantic off of Georgia, reinvigorating, and then hitting Hatteras or New England. Which prompts the question: What's the maximum number of times a tropical system has made landfall in the US? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | can a meteorologist be http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 11:04:35 -0500 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Re: Max number of landfalls for a hurricane? > Georges has now hit the US twice, in the Keys and in MS. (Three times if > you want to include PR). One could envisage it drifting to the Atlantic > off of Georgia, reinvigorating, and then hitting Hatteras or New England. > > Which prompts the question: What's the maximum number of times a tropical > system has made landfall in the US? > > Scott > -- > Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer can be disbarred, > scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | can a meteorologist be > http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? Without checking back, I'd say a good guess would be Hurricane Donna of 1960, which hit the Fla Keys, then SW Fla, later North Carolina, and finally New England----4 landfalls (counting the Keys as a landfall). ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:23:05 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: How To Convince People To Evacuate?? Rob wrote: > I have a question about the residents in the Florida Keys that do not > want to evacuate, because they would rather ride out the storm. From > what I have heard, 50% of the residents in the Keys are staying. My > question is is there any way as either a weather forecaster or > emergency management official to convince people to leave, or are we > going to have a high casuality rate someday because people do not want > to evacuate and a hurricane intensifies unexpectedly. > > Ed filled in: >Here in "sunny" Naples, FL, we had some people who were >blissfully unaware of any impending problem as late as Thursday >evening! > >Regardless of how much video footage you show; or how many >experienced people talk to them, there will always be a few who >have never been through a major hurricane and will be unable to >conceive the damage such a storm can do. > <-8 Ed's joke about gene pool snipped 8-> Living in "Very Sunny" California this is what we see on TV as a hurricanes hits the Gulf Coast: On-the-spot reporters in rain slickers and microphone in hand braving the wind and rain to provide live feed. Must not be very dangerous if TWC keeps their reporters outside. If the reporter can stand outside at the beach, or on the levee, during the worst of the storm, why evacuate? What a wimp I am: I bring in my patio chairs when I expect only a heavy dew. Frank -- how did I ever become a Meteorologist after growing up in San Diego? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 09:27:04 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: US Wind profiler report format WX Data gurus... I'm investigating the status of the availability of data from the US wind profiler network. Previously, we received data from a few of the stations in the usual TEMP (TTAA, TTBB...TTDD) format. Over the past few months, this data source dried up. According to sources on the internet...the information is available from Unidata. Does anyone who is processing this information know the format of the data (ie...Pibal/Raob/Other format)? It might be helpful to know the format of this data before I quiz the GTS gateway folks about receiving it. Thanks! Jeff Logan FNMOC - Models/Data Dept ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 17:26:47 -0400 From: "John F. Glaveskas" Subject: convincing to evacuate Won't be able to convince to many people to evacuate while reporters are out there sticking the necks out waiting for objects to hit them. I know they want there ratings but there comes a time for TV to have common sense. JG ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 20:38:07 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Barton Kansas Tornadoes Hi everyone I have a number of images available that I saved from the Kansas severe weather outbreak tonight. The Barton County Tornado Signature Images are available - Golfball size hail was also reported with the storm. I have the following information: Dodge City Radar B.V. Animation from 7 pm till 8 pm Central Daylight Time Wichita Radar B.V. Animation from 7 pm till 8 pm Central Daylight Time (Showing 3.25" hail - 67 DBZ and a Meso) 743 p.m. - 749 - 755 - 801 - 813 - 824 - Velocity Images Available From Wichita 7:44 p.m. - 750 - 756 - 802 - 825 Animations Dodge City BR Animation from 702 pm - 757 pm Wichita Kansas 732 pm - 825 pm If anyone has any use for these images or would like one please let me know and I will email it to you. I did not want to put them up on my web page for download...but I would gladly send some out if someone has a need for them. (there may be a few more available...just ask) Thanks derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:06:41 -0400 From: gsellers Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Sep 1998 to 8 Sep 1998 > Topics of the day: > > > 3. RealEMWIN Beta > > > ------------------------------ > > > Date: Tue, 8 Sep 1998 18:44:59 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: RealEMWIN Beta > > A revised RealEMWIN beta, developed for the NWS-hosted Internet EMWIN > weather wire, is now available at > http://norden1.com/~rdale/Scores/realemwin-bb2.exe. Previous users please > un-install any older version you have. > > New features include automatic unzipping of hourly METARs & RCMs, new alarm > features, looping images, configurable menubars, and more. Detailed > instructions will be available shortly on the RealEMWIN page at > http://www.skywatch.org > > This beta will work until 10/15/98, but chances are that the NWS will turn > on the encryption before that point which will disable my software. At that > time you will need to purchase Weathernode software ($80+) to use the NWS -- > the future of RealEMWIN is unknown... <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<:>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Hi Rob..Just curious, why is the NWS "encrypting" their information? I would think that they would want to be able to disseminate their information as widely as possible, irregardless of anyone using commercially or "freely" available software programs! Especially via their sposored website! Was this "encryption" already planned, or something that "just sprang up?" Tnx..Greg <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<:>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> > > > Rob > ---------------------------------------------- > Robert P Dale N8GSK > http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org > > ------------------------------ > > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Sep 1998 to 8 Sep 1998 > ************************************************ -- *********************************************************************** 73 de Greg, WB4HRR/Charlotte Area SKYWARN {CASN} EC and Piedmont Emergency Training Net {PETN} Net Manager Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website! @: WWW.CLTSKYWARN.ORG The CASN and the PETN utilize the 145.35 WA4AOS rptr and appreciate the continued support! *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Sep 1998 to 29 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Oct 01 22:21:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3057 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627364-5819>; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 13:07:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA64270; Thu, 1 Oct 1998 00:04:42 -0500 Message-Id: <199810010504.AAA64270@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 00:00:40 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Sep 1998 to 30 Sep 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 25eb0261f822c68f1545c83af1a1b900 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 10 messages totalling 359 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. EMWIN Internet feed 2. Getting people to evacuate (2) 3. convincing to evacuate 4. WARNING! Individual ripping off Internet concessions. 5. 1100 AM SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK = last one for chicago 6. Winter Weather Links? Georges Images 7. QUESTION 8. Repost of National EMWIN Conference Announcement 9. wind +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:19:36 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: EMWIN Internet feed > Hi Rob..Just curious, why is > the NWS "encrypting" their information? I would think that they > would want to be able to disseminate their information as widely as possible, > irregardless of anyone using commercially or "freely" available software NWS is not encrypting it but Xenocode, the developers and hosts of the Internet push feed. Not the best in getting information out freely to as many people as possible but certainly within their rights... In any case I've modified RealEMWIN. At the present state it acts as a plug-in to Weathernode, where you run Weathernode and use the Internet push or Internet pull or GOES or radio broadcast and then run my software to do the data processing -- i.e. display bulleins / graphics, print, alarm, etc. Development of a "standalone" RealEMWIN is in the works. For more information and a beta copy of the plugin, visit my webpage at http://www.skywatch.org and there you also have the option of joining the RealEMWIN emailing list... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:02:30 -0400 From: Ed Waldron Subject: Re: Getting people to evacuate > At 07:32 AM 9/29/98 -0400, you wrote: > >You think the Keys were bad...here in the Pinellas County, Florida....(St. > >Pete/Clearwater area)....200,000 people were ordered to evacuate from the > >barrier islands and mobile homes....about 2000 showed up in shelters, so > >either: > >snip< > I wonder if cancellation of all life and property insurance for people who > do not evacuate would be an incentive? Probably not. Too many people feel > that nature's fury is just like a movie. Some movie!! > About all we can really do is hope that the hard-heads who stayed put are now watching the film coming out of the keys, MS, LA and AL. *Maybe* it will be enough to make them take the next one seriously. > > Peter Bowers To Reply: click on > Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html Ed Waldron Naples, FL personal homepage http://members.xoom.com/edwaldron/ *** Any resemblance between these rantings and the opinions of any rational being are purely coincidental. *** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:02:30 -0400 From: Ed Waldron Subject: Re: convincing to evacuate Reporters are obviously selected from the shallow end of the gene pool. Management considers them expendable. Kind of makes you wonder. > Won't be able to convince to many people to evacuate while reporters are > out there > sticking the necks out waiting for objects to hit them. I know they want > there ratings > but there comes a time for TV to have common sense. > > JG > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html Ed Waldron Naples, FL personal homepage http://members.xoom.com/edwaldron/ *** Any resemblance between these rantings and the opinions of any rational being are purely coincidental. *** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 08:25:34 -0500 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Re: Getting people to evacuate At 09:02 AM 9/30/98 -0400, Ed Waldron wrote: >> At 07:32 AM 9/29/98 -0400, you wrote: >> >You think the Keys were bad...here in the Pinellas County, Florida....(St. >> >Pete/Clearwater area)....200,000 people were ordered to evacuate from the >> >barrier islands and mobile homes....about 2000 showed up in shelters, so >> >either: >> >snip< >> I wonder if cancellation of all life and property insurance for people who >> do not evacuate would be an incentive? Probably not. Too many people feel >> that nature's fury is just like a movie. Some movie!! >> >About all we can really do is hope that the hard-heads who stayed >put are now watching the film coming out of the keys, MS, LA and >AL. *Maybe* it will be enough to make them take the next one >seriously. >> >> Peter Bowers Further to my previous post, In Ontario, if you drive on a closed highway due to winter or other conditions and you have an accident, you are not covered by your insurance company. I can't say if anything like that is in effect at US insurance Companies but I think it would be a bit of incentive to evacuate. Oh, just a point, people still drive on closed roads up here because they "know better." Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net Huronia Grey-Bruce weather page http://www.freeyellow.com/members/omw-rail/HuroniaGBwx.html On IRC Toronto Undernet #OnWxWatch and #OnWxTalk ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 09:40:56 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: WARNING! Individual ripping off Internet concessions. WARNING! The following individual has ripped off the NSEA and other storm-related concessions: Anthony Maddox, 217 Colleen Dr., Las Vegas, NV 89107 Do not accept any type of money-related orders from this individual, and spread the word! greg stumpf, NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:55:47 -0500 From: N9NPP Subject: 1100 AM SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK = last one for chicago WWUS35 KCHI 301554 SPSCHI ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032>033-039-INZ001>002-010>011- 019-011100- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1054 AM CDT WED SEP 30 1998 FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...HOWEVER NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THIS IS THE LAST ROUTINE ISSUANCE OF THE 1100 AM SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THIS SEASON. THE DAILY 1100 AM SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL RESUME MARCH 1 1999. SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED FOR MODERATE OR HIGH RISKS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM OCTOBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28. THE DAILY HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED FOR ALL WEATHER HAZARDS THAT EFFECT NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA YEAR-ROUND AT 600 AM. BROWNING NNNN =============== matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 11:59:32 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: Winter Weather Links? Georges Images Hello Everyone I am looking for web-pages that have information on winter storm watches/warnings...snowfall reports...and so on. If anyone knows of any good Winter Weather URLs please send them my way. Also if anyone is in need of any Georges images...sat or radar...I have a huge file of them. Request a date and time and I will check and see if I have something that I can send to you. Thank You derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:42:09 -0400 From: "CARL F. OJALA" Subject: QUESTION Just wondering if anyone out there can tell me a little about gravity waves. Would it be conceivable for one to cause a plane crash (small 4-6 passenger, for example). Also, is it possible to tell if gravity waves are occurring - maybe by cloud types or cloud movement, for example. Or is there a way to see them on radar or satellite images.... I would appreciate anything on this. Thanks. Carl Ojala - Eastern Michigan University ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 13:25:16 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Repost of National EMWIN Conference Announcement This message is being reposted to correct errors in e-mail addresses for pre-registration: From: "James K. Purpura" To: "Tommy R. Thornton" , , "EMWIN Users" , "Charlie Byars" , "John Peabody" , "Putnam Ervin Reiter" , "David R. Underwood" , "Bill Wyatt" , , , "Gary M. Metcalf" , , , , , , Cc: , Subject: EMWIN Users Workshop Date: Sun, 27 Sep 1998 20:42:23 -0400 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.2106.4 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.2106.4 X-Info: NT computer X-Mailedby: NT SMTP by Internet Shopper Ltd (ntmail@net-shopper.co.uk) Reply-To: emwin-users@xenocode.com The first ever EMWIN Users Workshop will be held in Houston, Texas on Friday, December 4th and Saturday, December 5th. The Workshop will be held at the Harris County Appraisal District (HCAD) offices, and will be co-sponsored by HCAD, the Harris County Office of Emergency Management, and the National Weather Service Southern Region. We anticipate a session geared to broadcasters on December 4th, and a session geared to general users on December 5th. We will have a specific agenda in a few weeks...but here are some of the planned sessions: History of EMWIN Software Use/ Demos Q+ACY-A with software vendors including Xenocode's Weathernode 4.0 (others are welcome - let us know if you're interested) Emergency Management Use of the System EMWIN Reception Methods - Radio / Satellite Tests of delivery of EMWIN data on the Internet Rebroadcasting / Insertion of Local Data There will be vendor displays as well. There will be no charge for the Workshop, but those willing to participate must register by November 25th. Attendance will be limited to around 100 and will be on a first-come, first-served basis. To register provide the information requested below and return this message to: chris.grant@noaa.gov or call Chris at 405-366-6581 x 141. 1.Name(s) 2. E-Mail address where we can contact you for updates (required) 3. Phone Number: (required) 4. Mailing Address (required) 5. Total Number in group and names: 6. Do you have any suggestions for sessions you would like to see? Hotel accommodations are available nearby (Highway 290 and Loop 610 area). A list of nearby hotels will be posted here in the next few days. We hope you will consider attending. James K. Purpura Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Forecast Office Norman, Oklahoma purpura@soo.ounnws.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 16:21:51 -0400 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: wind My 3-year old daughter asked me a question over the weekend which I thought I knew the answer to, but upon further review I'm not so sure. Therefore, I'm putting this to the group for debate. The question was: "Does the wind make noise?" Typically when we "hear" the wind, what we are really hearing is the noise generated when the air moves through, over and/or around an object (trees, flags, vents, shutters, window, etc.), causing the object to move and produce sound, right? But is there any noise caused by virtue of the air movement only? Independent of any interaction with an object at the surface? One of the reporters during Georges talked about how the wind made a rumbling sound that was mistaken for thunder because it was so loud. Am interested to see where this goes. Out of the mouths of babes..... Steve Maneikis maneikiss@nima.mil ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Sep 1998 to 30 Sep 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Oct 02 15:36:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3941 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-2418>; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 13:10:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26848; Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:07:18 -0500 Message-Id: <199810020507.AAA26848@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 00:01:43 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Sep 1998 to 1 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 951225756f79e69f150fccb9f5fae3af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 75 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. CO2 and Climate Web Site +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 00:02:32 -0700 From: WDAY Weather Subject: CO2 and Climate Web Site Because many of my colleagues in the field of broadcast meteorology read this post, I feel compelled to spread the news of an excellent new web site devoted to a better understanding of global warming issues. (If you wish to skip my own diatribe, feel free to link directly to the site below.) The greenhouse debate has become so politicized and emotionally charged and has been reported so disjointedly the national media that the average person cannot possibly make sense out of the information they are getting. When it comes to the global warming debate, most people out there fall into one of three categories: 1.) they believe the world is quickly burning up because of greenhouse "pollution." 2.) they believe greenhouse warming is a political scheme dreamed up by liberal Democrats. 3.) they don't give a crap. What the people of the first group fail to realize is that a lot of the more popular beliefs of the global warming movement (such as the idea that the world is becoming more stormy) are without credible scientific evidence. Most people are not even aware that the world temperature record upon which so much of the concern is based is likely corrupted by the urban heat island effect. Likewise, the people of the second group usually fail to realize that is is possible to be unconvinced of greenhouse warming without having been bought out by the world's "greedy" industrial empire. Those in the third group are unaware that the increase of CO2 is important because of the fact that concern over it has and will increasingly play a big role in public policy. To this end, a group of talented and well-respected climatologists have gathered their knowledge and resources and have developed the following web site: http://www.co2science.org/ I would personally like to see more television meteorologists working to slow down the bandwagon with sensible, scientific facts and reasonings about what the increase in CO2, methane, and other greenhouse gasses have actually done and might actually do to our atmosphere and our climate. So much of what is reported in the national media and too many statements made by several prominent politicians (including the Vice-President) are, while well-intended, really more innuendo than science. Even the glorified reports by the Intragovernmantal Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are riddled with outlandish statements. For example, the often used statement that "most scientists agree that global warming is occurring and only disagree as to the extent," is based on a wide variety of scientists, most of whom specialize in regions of science other that climatology. I would never ask a climatologist about a toothache and, likewise, we shouldn't depend on dentists to tell us about our climate. News reporters, who often use general statements like, "experts say," have largely missed this one. Check out the site. It is updated twice a month and as the site grows, it will prove an invaluable resource to those of us who want to help the public make sense out of an important scientific and political topic. John Wheeler wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND http://www.wday.com WDAY-TV WDAY-AM THE FORUM -48` TO 114` Since 1922... The Oldest Call Letters in the Northwest WDAY-TV Weather Staff: 301 South 8th Street John Wheeler Box 2466 Daryl Ritchison Fargo, ND 58103 Kip Hines ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Sep 1998 to 1 Oct 1998 ************************************************* From - Sat Oct 03 16:02:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2247 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-21860>; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 13:06:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17828; Sat, 3 Oct 1998 00:04:40 -0500 Message-Id: <199810030504.AAA17828@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Oct 1998 to 2 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b0db7de3806b83f54c638b985d24bce6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 7 messages totalling 204 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tropical cyclone rainfall patterns 2. RealEMWIN 3. Last 11AM Chicago Sevee Weather Outlook 4. EMWIN going Fee Based???? (2) 5. Tropical Summary 6. E-mail Addresses +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 08:58:27 -0400 From: Michael Brennan Subject: Tropical cyclone rainfall patterns Has anyone done any research or read any recent journal articles on the topic of tropical cyclone rainfall patterns in the Southeast US? I would appreciate a heads up! Thanks, Mike Brennan - NCSU Meteorology ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 09:29:15 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN RealEMWIN has been updated to work in conjunction with Xenocode's Weathernode v4 software! RealEMWIN allows you to view / alarm / print / etc. EMWIN bulletins as downloaded by Weathernode from GOES or radio or FTP or Internet push... More information as well as a download of beta1 is available at http://www.skywatch.org/products.htm To subscribe to the RealEMWIN mailing list, send "subscribe emwin" to "majordomo@skywatch.org" Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:40:09 -0500 From: Robert Hajek Subject: Re: Last 11AM Chicago Sevee Weather Outlook Matt N9NPP sent a copy of the Chicago Product September 30th announcing this change for the season. A full comment was sent on the SKYWARN listserver, but an abbreviated comment follows: - - - - Although this seems to be a repeat of history, it is not identical. Back in the late 80s/early 90s there was a decision at WSFO CHI to eliminate all the SWOs unless there was a moderate or high risk of severe storms. I was told by one party there that they looked stupid putting out a statement that no severe storms were expected when the weather was nice. And that was the situation in August 1990 on the 28th when the late morning AC escalated to a Moderate Risk (or High-don't recall for sure without looking into the archives) and because it was not a regular process, there was no Chicago SWO issued and since there was none it could only be assumed that there was no real risk. Tell the people in Plainfield IL about that. BUT--- The situation today is NOT identical. First, the Hazardous Weather Outlook is still to be produced early morning and will no doubt include information about severe weather as well as other significant winter weather information. - - - - AND the source severe weather info from SPC is now available on the NOAA Weather Wire (NWWS) as well as EMWIN. Bob Hajek W9QBH Illinois SEC Asst Director Melrose Park ES/PS ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 16:03:51 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: EMWIN going Fee Based???? Once again a new e-mail is being circulated by some folks one would think are creditable that plans are being layed to make EMWIN a fee based service similar to FOS and so on. The mandate being that there be a cost-recovery system for the EMWIN system that the Gov't is not in the business of being a free weather provider. Furthermore. Congressional folks are saying that why do we need EMWIN when we have THE Weather Channel (sound familiar?) Looks like the battle lines are being drawn - my thinking is that a little "Education" would go a long way in making clear what "EMWIN" is! It is clear that it is not widely understood as it should be. In fact our own EMA here in our own county never heard of it - until I told them about it. May I encourage you to educate your community on what EMWIN is to hold down the noise level and what seems to be some cost-recovery plans that a few un-educated folks are trying to create. This of course is my opinions - based on the information I have gotten via e-mail and phone calls - including calls from aides at several congressional offices inquiring about weather information and how the commercial sector gets it and uses it. There is also the notion that EMWIN is the same thing as FOS - one could not be more incorrect. There is also the mis-information that EMWIN is used to distribute NIDS data this is not correct either and then last but not least that EMWIN is NOAAPORT - boy are they incorrect!!! Lets set these folks straight - EDUCATE! EDUCATE!!! get the word out as to the differences here. I even had one person say why do we need EMWIN, FOS, NOAAPORT, NIDS, TWC since we have local TV weather - boy was that a three hour conversation there! There are differences between all this stuff - technically speaking - but as Ben Franklin said - some folks are weatherwise - most otherwise! The public perception is I can get weather from my local Radio and TV whey spend my tax dollars doing all this other stuff and further most of the public does not know that this "other stuff" even exists nor do they want to know! It rocks their boat - their mere existence - and disrupts their live's to be spoon fed that we "Weather Weenies" do all this weather stuff. Looks like the Met community has alot of educating to do!!! I encourgae your feedback and disccussion of this subject - a dialogue looks like a very good idea at this point with all the myths out there! John S. Sturtevant Science and Education Officer -- ------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 61 Todd Street - Suite 107 Russellville, Alabama 35654 (205) 331-2881 Voice (256)331-2863 Fax\Data (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com or metservices@getaway.net WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com or http://208.134.18.44 E-PAGE: 2059844219.pager@usamobile.com Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 08:47:42 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: EMWIN going Fee Based???? Looks like a little WX-Talk lag ;> This is most likely a misinterpretation of the FOS internet feed being offered which involves cost recovery. No word on any EMWIN charges... Rob > Once again a new e-mail is being circulated by some folks > one would think are creditable that plans are being layed > to make EMWIN a fee based service similar to FOS and so on. > The mandate being that there be a cost-recovery system > for the EMWIN system that the Gov't is not in the business > of being a free weather provider. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 Oct 1998 12:50:12 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Tropical Summary ABNT30 KNHC 011515 COR TWSAT MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT THU OCT 01 1998 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE ATLANTIC TROPICAL BASIN WAS VERY ACTIVE DURING SEPTEMBER... IN A REMARKABLE SPAN OF 35 DAYS...STARTING ON THE 19TH OF AUGUST AND ENDING THE 23RD OF SEPTEMBER...10 NAMED TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED AND FOUR OF THEM MADE LANDFALL IN THE UNITED STATES. IN ADDITION... JEANNE AND KARL AFFECTED THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND BERMUDA... RESPECTIVELY...WHILE THREE OTHERS PASSED NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES. IN FACT...ON THE 25TH OF THE MONTH THERE WERE FOUR HURRICANES... GEORGES... IVAN...JEANNE...AND KARL IN PROGRESS AT THE SAME TIME. THIS IS THE FIRST TIME SUCH AN EVENT OCCURRED THIS CENTURY. [...] ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 Oct 1998 12:13:39 -0400 From: Jim Munley <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: E-mail Addresses Members, I have been having major problems the last several months with the network and among other things. This has resulted in some data lose such as e-mail adresses. I want to rebuild the address book. It anyone wants to receive monthly reports and other e-mail, please send me your e-mail address. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Oct 1998 to 2 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Oct 04 22:06:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2720 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626143-4103>; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 13:10:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29772; Sun, 4 Oct 1998 00:04:18 -0500 Message-Id: <199810040504.AAA29772@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 00:00:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Oct 1998 to 3 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 238d685585e92beb0b172080d6cf9147 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 86 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Gravity Waves 2. question from an aspiring climatologist 3. Hurricane Georges a Cat-4????? 4. MIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:03:34 -0400 From: "CARL F. OJALA" Subject: Gravity Waves Several days ago I sent a question about gravity waves to this group. Had only one response (thank you, Sir). Thought I'd try it again to see if I might get another response or two. A couple of us here are "arguing" about this, and more input would help.... If anyone has thoughts on whether gravity waves might cause a small plane (2-6 passengers, for ex) to crash, I'd really like to hear them. Seems to me that they would not, but others here think otherwise. Thanks a lot. Carl ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:32:03 +0000 From: Lisa Claire Subject: question from an aspiring climatologist hi. I have a cloud question...Today the sky was overcast and i noticed a dark line going across the sky through these clouds. it was almost like it was dividing the clouds, it was wierd. is there a name for this or was it just a weird cloud thing? thanx. Lisa Claire Wieser "don't sweat petty things and don't pet sweaty things" ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 18:51:34 -0600 From: The White Rat Subject: Hurricane Georges a Cat-4????? Please settle an argument for me! My brother-in-law, who prides himself on his scientific wisdom and logical thinking, said that at some point during the life-cycle of Hurricane Georges, it reached the Category of "4" Safir-Simpson Scale. I told him I thought he was incorrect. Who's correct??? If it was ever a Cat. 4, when & where did it occur? If not, please list your credentials so that I can forward your posting to him, as proof, and hopefully rub his nose in it! Thanks in advance! David -- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Jacober-Pueblo, Colorado, USA DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 10:34:30 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: MIA Does anybody know what happened to Ohio's SFD for http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FPUS03.KILN and http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FPUS03.KCLE Last update I could find was on Oct 1 at http://www-atm.ucdavis.edu/~wxauto/fos/fpus/FPUS03.KILN http://www-atm.ucdavis.edu/~wxauto/fos/fpus/FPUS03.KCLE Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Oct 1998 to 3 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Oct 05 13:34:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3416 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-28314>; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 13:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39492; Mon, 5 Oct 1998 00:06:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199810050506.AAA39492@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 00:02:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1998 to 4 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b7b339ac3a49381ecd4fcdb55f9958e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 284 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Thanks... 2. FOS Product Header Changes 3. 4. MIA 5. Gavity Waves 6. Hurricane Georges 7. CASI NetNews: Lightning Maps / Accu Movies / TWC Magnets / WXU Redesign 8. 70mph winds in trenton +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 23:03:19 -0600 From: The White Rat Subject: Thanks... Thanks to all of you who responded so promptly to my question. Of course nobody likes to be wrong, but I would rather be wrong & corrected than wrong & ignorant of the truth! Thanks again to everyone who took the time to answer!!!!!! No other replies are necessary. David -- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Jacober-Pueblo, Colorado, USA DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 01:18:55 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: FOS Product Header Changes For those of you who who noticed items such as NWS Forecast Discussions, Flash Flood Watches, and others were gone from most of the servers, the reason was the implentation of the 3rd part of the of the Phase 2 Product Identifier Changes. Information can be found at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/chg_show.pl?fn=CID98-3.TXT Hopefully, servers like OSU and others will update their servers shortly. If you know the headers, UCAL-Davis, and UNC-Charlotte already have updated their databases. Unforunately, the final change which involves the warnings, etc...is schedueled for Nomvember and may cause havoc for a few days. Because of this I have recoded InterWARN and use a .ini file which will contain all the FOS headers and make further changes as simple as changing this text file. (I should have a new demo up shortly with all headers updated through today). BTW, any changes to any of the product headers can be found at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/notices/notices.shtml in the future. Good luck, Evan Bookbinder ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 00:25:50 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: It appears that on 1 Oct that many of the WMO bulletin names changed for a variety of NWS products put out by local offices. This is playing havoc with many of the gophers (incl. OSU's) and other interfaces such as the one at Texas A&M that are still looking for the old bulletins. >Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 10:34:30 -0700 >From: A Lieberman >Subject: MIA > >Does anybody know what happened to Ohio's SFD for > >http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FPUS03.KILN > >and > >http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FPUS03.KCLE > >Last update I could find was on Oct 1 at >http://www-atm.ucdavis.edu/~wxauto/fos/fpus/FPUS03.KILN >http://www-atm.ucdavis.edu/~wxauto/fos/fpus/FPUS03.KCLE > >Allen --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner "Arrogance and stupidity, all in the same package.....how efficient of you!" - Ambassador Londo Mollari, Babylon 5 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 09:02:16 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: MIA > Does anybody know what happened to Ohio's SFD for > > http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FPUS03.KILN > > and Looks like OSU didn't catch the header changes, your best bet would be to remind them that all State Forecast Discussions, Extended Forecasts, many marine products and more changed WMO headers on the 1st. I don't know if they read WX-Talk or not so your best bet is to email the webmaster. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:08:24 -0500 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: Gavity Waves >Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:03:34 -0400 >From: "CARL F. OJALA" >Subject: Gravity Waves > >Several days ago I sent a question about gravity waves to this group. >Had only one response (thank you, Sir). Thought I'd try it again to >see if I might get another response or two. A couple of us here are >"arguing" about this, and more input would help.... >If anyone has thoughts on whether gravity waves might cause a small >plane (2-6 passengers, for ex) to crash, I'd really like to hear >them. Seems to me that they would not, but others here think >otherwise. >Thanks a lot. Carl Carl... A lot depends upon the nature of the gravity waves. If they are forced in the stable layer AHEAD of the initiating front or density current (outflow boundary), probably not. If, on the other hand, they are internally trapped above the density current (front) they often produce Kelvin-Helmoltz instabilities which are breaking waves (Think Banzi Pipeline!!). I've documented a case where the gravity waves were forced by a density current (thunderstorm outflow) which became internally trapped and produced "breaking waves". A crop duster attempting to traverse the breaking waves (length-wise) experienced uncontrolled roll moments which caused his aircraft to become inverted at around 150' off the ground. Fortunately, this pilot was VERY experienced and was able to correct without crashing. This incident occurred in clear air thought the WSR-88D at KDDC clearly showed the characteristic "washboard" pattern typical of this phenomena. Dr. Koch at NC State has done some really good work documenting these things. I'd also point you to my paper which appeared in the post-prints of the 1st 88D users conference volume and in the AMS 6th conference on Aviation Weather Systems as well as Fritz Kruse's work on an undular bore/Gravity wave which appears in the preprints of the AMS 27th Conference on Radar Meteorology. You'll also find a recent note by Peter Hobbs, John Locatelli, Mark Stoelinga and myslef in the BAMS (July?) on undular bores which may help to explain the different types which occur. Finally, for some very good explanations and visual models to aid in understanding these things, Dr. John Simpson's book, "Sea Breezes and Local Winds" (Cambridge University Press) is highly recommended. Let me know if I can be of further assistance. Cheers!! Jim *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 20:22:49 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Hurricane Georges Hurricane Georges was a Category Four when it was well out into the Atlantic before striking the Lesser Antilles. If I go back, and check my log, I find that it had sustained winds of 150 mph at 11:00 AM EDT on September 20, 1998. The winds then went down to 135 mph once the Hurricane Hunter aircraft went into the storm, but it still was a Category Four Hurricane. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 02:04:18 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews: Lightning Maps / Accu Movies / TWC Magnets / WXU Redesign [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will not accept advertisements, only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to CASI Members then later posted to appropriate Newsgroups.] 1. Lightning Maps On Net Sept. 10 1998 - For those of you who enjoyed the AccuWeather Lightning detection maps that Gopost.com used to have, there is another source for them now. Gopost.com is still dead but theweatherstation.com has both the US and SE maps in full resolution updated every hour: http://www.theweatherstation.com/accuweather/ltus4p.gif http://www.theweatherstation.com/accuweather/ltse4p.gif 2. AccuWeather adds Quicktime weather movies Sept. 20 1998 - AccuWeather has added to their Free site (they added this to their pay site a couple months ago) quicktime weather movies which they call Animotions. They include a Surface Weather Map, Temperature Band Map, and Satellite/Radar Flythrough. The surface map is similar to CNN's (http://cnn.com/WEATHER/NAmerica/us.reg/mov.forecast.html) since both use the AccuWeather Ultra workstation. 3. TWC Adds "Weather Magnets" Sept. 20 1998 - The Weather Channel counters The Weather Underground by offering "weather magnets," which are similar to "weather stickers" offered by TWU. Both are advertisements for the respective companies which also display current conditions for sites. The Weather Channel's city list at this time is much shorter than the Weather Underground's which includes every Zipcode and many international locations. http://autocobrand.weather.com/autocobrand/autointro.html 4. Weather Underground Redesign? Late September 1998 - Looking at this URL: http://autobrand.wunderground.com shows a "different" Weather Underground page design, probably something they will be implementing soon on their main site at http://www.wunderground.com/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "Dust will make you blind, nothing you can find; Running scared ! Tornado !" --Vovoid, "Tornado" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 21:53:43 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: 70mph winds in trenton before i start let me tell you this was one of the the worse winds / flooding that i have seen in my 10 years of storm spotting at arround 7:30pm weather service issued a servere thunder storm warning for grundy county.. at 7:44pm the winds switched from the east to the south, and gusted to at least 70mph during the peak gust visb was about 500ft and the power poles i could see were swaying in either direction about 4 to 5 feet, (i thought for sure the one with the street light would go down, but it never did) then the the rain kicked in.. the winds kept gusting to 65mph with zero visb.. (at one point the wind and rains were so strong i noted that i could not see my rain gauge post wich is about 10ft from my back door.. the scarest part happend when the winds gusted to the strongest point.. at about 7:48pm winds gusted to arround 70mph again.. at wich point i could hear the wind roaring along the roof of our house.. and i could hear, and see the windows on the southside of the house shakeing.. shortly after the winds began to die down.. and the rain began to let up.. however, 25 miles south me the rain kept comeing.. and we had reports of cars floating in the high school parking lot at chillicothe.. wich i have never heard that as i write this MANY roads in northern missouri are closed.. and the rain and lighting keeps pounding us Glen Briggs ------------------------------------------------------------ = e-mail: gbriggs@lyn.net ICQ: 1133850 = = backup: wx@lyn.net AOL: kb0rpj = = Ham Radio Station: KB0RPJ = ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1998 to 4 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3831 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-9468>; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 13:05:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA37728; Tue, 6 Oct 1998 00:03:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199810060503.AAA37728@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 00:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Oct 1998 to 5 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 183926b961ba9117c7c4076275452068 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 11 messages totalling 388 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. MIA Found! 2. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Marchandise for Sale! 3. New Canadian Raob station? (3) 4. Missing SFD and AFD prooducts 5. All Noaa Wx Radio URLS 6. Don't cross that line! 7. Dallas Nexrad 8. Category 4 Georges 9. Missing SFD and AFD Products +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 12:11:15 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: MIA Found! Special thanx to Mike Brennan-NC State Meteorology for finding the MIA. Ohio SFD can be found at http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FXUS71.KCLE http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wxascii/forecasts/FXUS61.KILN Links from my weather page http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ohioweat.html has been updated accordingly... Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:44:52 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Marchandise for Sale! Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The fall chase season is here! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing now! Close out special: long sleeve tees, $2 off (subject to availability). Other specials available: XXL polos ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 07:55:38 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: New Canadian Raob station? Looks like there is a new upper air site in Canada. It has been reporting under the WMO identifier 71942 at 00z, 06z and 18Z in both TEMP (Raob) and PIBAL formats starting last Friday (10/3). Looking at our data stats...I note a handful of UA sites located in the Yukon Territory and the western part of NWT that regularly report at the off times of 06/18z. It is the usual standard for North American UA sites to take obs at 00/12z. For anyone who might be in the know I have a few questions... What is that lat/lon/elevation of 71942? Is 71942 and the other Canadian sites that report UA at 06/18z profilers or some kind of new data network? Many thanks! Jeff Logan FNMOC - Models/Data Dept ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:16:02 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: New Canadian Raob station? These stations are all part of the MAGS project (Mackenzie Area GEWEX Study).... part of GEWEX. Here is a summary of the upper air soundings. Mackenzie GEWEX Study Enhanced Sounding Program - FALL CAMPAIGN SUMMARY Sept 23- Oct 11, 1998 4 soundings per day [ 12Z 18Z 00Z 06Z ] Stn Elev. WMO ID Latitude Longitude (m ASL) Stn.No. LOCATION NAME YXY 6043 N 13504 W 703 71964 Whitehorse (u/a), YT YYE 5850 12236 378 71945 Ft. Nelson (u/a), BC YSM 6001 11156 204 71934 Ft. Smith (u/a), NWT YVQ 6517 12645 95 71043 Norman Wells (u/a), NWT YEV 6819 13332 103 71957 Inuvik (u/a), NWT XSI 614537 1211412 169. 2 71942 Fort Simpson u/a, NWT YAK 5931 13940 9 703610 Yakutat u/a, Alaska, USA There are additional data sources during this experiment. Anyone interested in more info on MAGS... please contact... Bob Kochtubajda at bob.kochtubajda@ec.gc.ca ..steve >---------- >From: Jeffrey Logan[SMTP:loganj@FNOC.NAVY.MIL] >Sent: October 5, 1998 9:55 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: New Canadian Raob station? > >Looks like there is a new upper air site in Canada. It has been reporting >under >the WMO identifier 71942 at 00z, 06z and 18Z in both TEMP (Raob) and PIBAL >formats starting last Friday (10/3). > >Looking at our data stats...I note a handful of UA sites located in the Yukon >Territory and the western part of NWT that regularly report at the off times >of >06/18z. It is the usual standard for North American UA sites to take obs at >00/12z. > > >For anyone who might be in the know I have a few questions... > >What is that lat/lon/elevation of 71942? >Is 71942 and the other Canadian sites that report UA at 06/18z profilers or >some >kind of new data network? > > > >Many thanks! > >Jeff Logan >FNMOC - Models/Data Dept > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 09:22:29 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: New Canadian Raob station? Also try... http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/GEWEX/MAGS.html >---------- >From: Jeffrey Logan[SMTP:loganj@FNOC.NAVY.MIL] >Sent: October 5, 1998 9:55 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: New Canadian Raob station? > >Looks like there is a new upper air site in Canada. It has been reporting >under >the WMO identifier 71942 at 00z, 06z and 18Z in both TEMP (Raob) and PIBAL >formats starting last Friday (10/3). > >Looking at our data stats...I note a handful of UA sites located in the Yukon >Territory and the western part of NWT that regularly report at the off times >of >06/18z. It is the usual standard for North American UA sites to take obs at >00/12z. > > >For anyone who might be in the know I have a few questions... > >What is that lat/lon/elevation of 71942? > >Is 71942 and the other Canadian sites that report UA at 06/18z profilers or >some >kind of new data network? > > > >Many thanks! > >Jeff Logan >FNMOC - Models/Data Dept > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:29:28 -0500 From: Robert Hajek Subject: Re: Missing SFD and AFD prooducts As noted by others this is in response to a general change of headers Oct 1, there still seems to be some confusion. On Friday I sent Jim Doherty a note that suggested that either the updating of the information necessary to provide the products to IWIN and EMWIN was in their queue of work, or maybe it was overlooked --- and today those products are again appearing with the new WMO headers in the IWIN state Forecast Discussion locations. Regarding Ohio State, I had to change a bunch of bookmarks. Two basic changes took place. The SFD products are now under FXUS7n, where "n" is the same geographic distribution as the zones and state forecasts. The AFDs are not under FXUS6n. However, the WMO header source has changed in a number of instances. Wisconsin is now KMKX instead of KMKE, Illinois KLOT instead of KCHI, Iowa KDMX instead of KDSM etc -- the new station designators for the future WFO facilities. In a few instances they remain the same like KIND KABQ and KCLE. However, with regard to Ohio, on the Ohio State Web SIte I could not find the Cleveland product, although the AFDILN is under the FXUS61. Cleveland is on IWIN now as a FXUS71 KCLE. If you have not already figured this out, maybe this will be timely to some. Bob Hajek W9QBH ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 11:03:20 -0500 From: Derek Dodson Subject: All Noaa Wx Radio URLS I have a listing of about 9 or so NWS Real Audio Sites on my old web page The URL is: http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/main.html The only I have not added is the P.R. site Have fun derekd@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 10:40:01 -0700 From: Glenn Ballard Subject: Don't cross that line! What side of the line were you on? :) I'm guessing it was caused by a jet contrail above a thin overcast ceiling. The shadow from the contrail was projected onto the overcast deck, which you could see from below due to the thinness of the cloud layer. Was the cloud deck a thin overcast layer? I've seen a similar phenomenon over the central valley of California on a clear day in the summer. There was a dark line cutting through the blue sky. Talk about weird! It looked like the sky was being cut open. My only explanation was that the shadow from a contrail was projected on the haze in the atmosphere. Glenn Ballard Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 11:32:03 +0000 From: Lisa Claire Subject: question from an aspiring climatologist hi. I have a cloud question...Today the sky was overcast and i noticed a dark line going across the sky through these clouds. it was almost like it was dividing the clouds, it was wierd. is there a name for this or was it just a weird cloud thing? thanx. Lisa Claire Wieser "don't sweat petty things and don't pet sweaty things" ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:08:26 EDT From: Tim Trice Subject: Dallas Nexrad Hi, I turned on The Weather Channel to catch Jim Cantore talking about a radar image centered on Dallas. The animation showed a dark green line about 50 miles long running southwest to northeast, on it's way to sweep across the Dallas-Fort Worth area. The thunderstorms behind the line were moving toward the northeast, but the line I'm discussing was moving southeast. My question is: Why was this line of heavy rain moving southeast when the thunderstorms it was associated with was moving northeast? I'm keeping TWC on in hopes someone will explain it again but I doubt they will. Can someone, if you understand what I'm asking, explain it to me? I've uploaded the Dallas Nexrad image to the internet so you can see what I'm talking about. The line is circled in black in the center of the image. Thanks in advance for any help you can give! cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 16:32:55 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Category 4 Georges Hurricane Georges became a Category 4 when its winds exceeded 131 mph. This occurred first on September 19 (2100 UTC report). It remained a Category 4 until September 20 (2100 UTC report) when its winds dropped below that level. For a track map with symbols that indicate this level, please see http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ Click on Georges for the Georges page. There are two track maps: one covering the North Atlantic basin and the other the coastal US and Gulf of Mexico. You will also find a text file with winds, lat/lon, etc., and several NOAA satellite images of the storm illustrating its development. Hope you find the site of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1998 15:33:44 -0500 From: Robert Hajek Subject: Re: Missing SFD and AFD Products Just happened on an error in earlier comments: Two basic changes took place. The SFD products are now under FXUS7n, where "n" is the same geographic distribution as the zones and state forecasts. The AFDs are NOW under FXUS6n. Bob Hajek ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Oct 1998 to 5 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Oct 11 22:20:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3966 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-14059>; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 13:08:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA63810; Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:07:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199810070507.AAA63810@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 00:01:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Oct 1998 to 6 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cd22dccb048fa0a331ad61531230446 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 167 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Dallas Nexrad 2. Texas Rangers letter 3. Dallas NEXRAD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 09:11:21 -0400 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: Re: Dallas Nexrad Glad someone else picked up on this! Keen observation. The "thin line" that was moving SE through the Dallas Metro area is what we call an outflow boundary or gust front caused by rain cooled air rushing down from a thunderstorm and spreading outwards. If you look at observations from Mineral Wells through the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex you'll see that it was partly sunny with a breezy southerly wind. Temperatures were in the 90s in most locations with dewpoints in the 70s. Then BAM that line comes through...without even a shower or thunderstorm (still partly sunny in most places) the wind shifted into the N/NW with gusts between 35 and 50 mph...and the temps instantly dropped into the 70s. Quite a few people I was chatting with online yesterday noticed this sudden wind squall and rapid temperature drop. So there's the gust front...which is a very shallow phenomenon...usually confined to the lowest layers of the atmosphere and propogates outward from the thunderstorms. Now question two...ok...so then why were all the thunderstorms behind it moving towards the northeast and not the southeast? Without getting too complicated on thunderstorm motion, thunderstorms like those yesterday we're very deep. I didn't go check...but probably on the order of 30 to 40 thousand feet tall. So obviously the wind that moves them won't be near the surface like that of the gust front. Rather, it was a strong southwesterly jet stream located at the mid levels of the atmosphere. This wind (if you will) was well above that of the gust front and hence why the thunderstorms and the gust front moved in two different directions. I hope this explains it without getting too into detail because with the backbuilding and training of those thunderstorms, it's no wonder there was extensive flooding across eastern TX and around Dallas late yesterday. -Evan Bookbinder ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 19:47:53 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Texas Rangers letter A must read... John McLaughlin >5 October 1998 > >The Texas Rangers Baseball Club >1000 Ballpark Way >Arlington, TX 76011 > >Dear Sir or Madam: > > I work as a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Fort >Worth. I was at the playoff game between the Yankees and the Rangers on >Friday, October 2 and was listening to the broadcast of the game on KRLD >radio. At about 7:50 p.m. the broadcast was interrupted by notification of >a tornado warning for Tarrant County. I called my office and spoke with a >forecaster who told me that a potentially tornadic storm was located >southwest of Azle, was moving toward The Ballpark in Arlington, and would >arrive within the hour. I got up and found a security guard and asked him >if he had heard anything about this warning. He told me he had not and >recommended that I notify Guest Relations. I went to the Guest Relations >office near the Home Plate entrance and found a representative at about >8:00 p.m. I identified myself as an off-duty NWS employee, presented my >government ID card, and asked to speak with someone about the immediate >threat to the teams and personnel. The representative took my ID card and >told me that someone would be out to speak to me soon. After five minutes >of waiting, I peeked into the window at the Guest Relations office and saw >that my ID was sitting on a desk in front of a gentleman who apparently was >more concerned with his dinner than the threat to the teams and fans. >After a few more minutes, I asked another representative (he did not >identify himself) for my ID back so I could get my wife and baby daughter >to shelter. The representative then proceeded to yell at me, telling me >that they did not need my help and that the Rangers had an evacuation plan >in place. I left and took my family to relative shelter in a breezeway. > > The rude and unprofessional behavior shown by your representative >Friday evening is not the purpose of this letter. At 9:08 p.m. the storm >struck the Ballpark with winds estimated in excess 50 mph and frequent >lightning. Numerous nearby cloud-to-ground lightning flashes, some within >a half mile, struck near the Ballpark during the height of the storm. >my point of relative safety in the breezeway between sections 330 and 331, >I could see many fans in their seats during the storm. Furthermore, there >were many security and groundskeeping personnel exposed on the field during >the storm. At no time did I witness Ballpark security or personnel >directing people to safe shelter nor did I hear any announcement by the >Rangers urging people to seek shelter from the storm before it struck. Yet >the announcers in the NBC broadcast of the playoff game explicitly stated >that a tornado warning was in effect for Tarrant County before the game was >suspended. > > Lightning is second only to flash floods in the number of >weather-related casualties each year, with an average of 87 killed and >between 300 and 500 injured annually. The lightning threat is a very real >one to outdoor events. A dozen or so people were injured by a lightning >strike at a jazz concert at RFK stadium in Washington, DC this past summer, >while one high school football player was killed and about 20 were injured >during a practice in Forney, Texas in 1996. > > I find it very distressing that the Rangers organization did not act >to protect fans or personnel from the lightning threat prior to the storm. >Similar instances of no action in the face of an immediate threat to >personnel and fans occurred during home games on May 8 and July 4 of this >year. Lightning has struck players and fans in attendance at outdoor >sporting events in the past, and unless a lightning safety plan is enacted >by the Rangers organization, it is a matter of time until fans, personnel, >or players at The Ballpark in Arlington suffer a similar fate. >Fortunately, by enacting simple safety rules, the lightning threat to >spectators and personnel can be reduced. The lightning threat is a very >real one, and it is one that the Rangers organization should consider >seriously. > > Please find enclosed some recent papers on lightning statistics and >safety in outdoor activities. If you like, I will be happy to meet with >you to discuss ways to mitigate the lightning threat to players, personnel, >and fans. > >Sincerely, > > > >Brian Curran > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 22:32:32 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Re: Dallas NEXRAD Tim, That was quite an interesting day here in NTX Monday. A significant severe weather event was forecast, but never quite materialized. However, I was watching it very closely all day long, especially on radar. The dark green line moving SE that you made reference to was the actual cold front making its way SE...which was based at the surface. The cooler air which is more dense than the warmer air ahead of it, created a very sharp contrast line that the radar was able to detect quite easily. I believe that there was also some light rain that developed along the front as well. As for the thunderstorms, the winds from about 1,000 feet on up were out of the SW blowing NE therefore steering the storms NE as a result. It is interesting to note that almost all of the storms developed to the north of the front as the warmer, moist air was forced over the shallow, cooler air at the surface thereby creating lift. You can think of the front as a "wedge". I tracked the front all morning long just looking at radar. It was very well defined. Also, this was very evident on satellite photos as well...pretty nice pics. In addition, NEXRAD is excellent for picking up other surface boundaries as well such as drylines and outflow boundaries as well as bugs, birds, smoke, etc. Hope this helps! :-) Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://:home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm "Am I a meteorologist? No, but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express®" > Tim Trice Wrote > > Hi, > I turned on The Weather Channel to catch Jim Cantore talking about a radar > image centered on Dallas. The animation showed a dark green line about 50 > miles long running southwest to northeast, on it's way to sweep across the > Dallas-Fort Worth area. The thunderstorms behind the line were moving toward > the northeast, but the line I'm discussing was moving southeast. My question > is: Why was this line of heavy rain moving southeast when the thunderstorms > it was associated with was moving northeast? I'm keeping TWC on in hopes > someone will explain it again but I doubt they will. Can someone, if you > understand what I'm asking, explain it to me? I've uploaded the > Dallas Nexrad image > to the internet so you can see what I'm talking about. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Oct 1998 to 6 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Oct 11 22:21:31 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1238 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626992-16793>; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 13:09:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB13742; Thu, 8 Oct 1998 00:08:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199810080508.AAB13742@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 00:02:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1998 to 7 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dbd5e4715af98c854bef24e0aacb19a5 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 219 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Texas Rangers letter (4) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 07:15:19 -0600 From: The White Rat Subject: Re: Texas Rangers letter Some people's ignorance and feeling of power & control as was displayed by the "rent-a-cop" at the ballpark amaze the hell out of me! Nice try anyway Brian! I guess it'll take an tragedy there before somebody gives a hooey! I'd have done the same thing you did! David John McLaughlin wrote: > A must read... > John McLaughlin > > >5 October 1998 > > > >The Texas Rangers Baseball Club > >1000 Ballpark Way > >Arlington, TX 76011 > > > >Dear Sir or Madam: > > > > I work as a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Fort > >Worth. I was at the playoff game between the Yankees and the Rangers on > >Friday, October 2 and was listening to the broadcast of the game on KRLD > >radio. At about 7:50 p.m. the broadcast was interrupted by notification > of > >a tornado warning for Tarrant County. I called my office and spoke with a > >forecaster who told me that a potentially tornadic storm was located > >southwest of Azle, was moving toward The Ballpark in Arlington, and would > >arrive within the hour. I got up and found a security guard and asked him > >if he had heard anything about this warning. He told me he had not and > >recommended that I notify Guest Relations. I went to the Guest Relations > >office near the Home Plate entrance and found a representative at about > >8:00 p.m. I identified myself as an off-duty NWS employee, presented my > >government ID card, and asked to speak with someone about the immediate > >threat to the teams and personnel. The representative took my ID card and > >told me that someone would be out to speak to me soon. After five minutes > >of waiting, I peeked into the window at the Guest Relations office and saw > >that my ID was sitting on a desk in front of a gentleman who apparently > was > >more concerned with his dinner than the threat to the teams and fans. > >After a few more minutes, I asked another representative (he did not > >identify himself) for my ID back so I could get my wife and baby daughter > >to shelter. The representative then proceeded to yell at me, telling me > >that they did not need my help and that the Rangers had an evacuation plan > >in place. I left and took my family to relative shelter in a breezeway. > > > > The rude and unprofessional behavior shown by your representative > >Friday evening is not the purpose of this letter. At 9:08 p.m. the storm > >struck the Ballpark with winds estimated in excess 50 mph and frequent > >lightning. Numerous nearby cloud-to-ground lightning flashes, some within > >a half mile, struck near the Ballpark during the height of the storm. > From > >my point of relative safety in the breezeway between sections 330 and 331, > >I could see many fans in their seats during the storm. Furthermore, there > >were many security and groundskeeping personnel exposed on the field > during > >the storm. At no time did I witness Ballpark security or personnel > >directing people to safe shelter nor did I hear any announcement by the > >Rangers urging people to seek shelter from the storm before it struck. > Yet > >the announcers in the NBC broadcast of the playoff game explicitly stated > >that a tornado warning was in effect for Tarrant County before the game > was > >suspended. > > > > Lightning is second only to flash floods in the number of > >weather-related casualties each year, with an average of 87 killed and > >between 300 and 500 injured annually. The lightning threat is a very real > >one to outdoor events. A dozen or so people were injured by a lightning > >strike at a jazz concert at RFK stadium in Washington, DC this past > summer, > >while one high school football player was killed and about 20 were injured > >during a practice in Forney, Texas in 1996. > > > > I find it very distressing that the Rangers organization did not act > >to protect fans or personnel from the lightning threat prior to the storm. > >Similar instances of no action in the face of an immediate threat to > >personnel and fans occurred during home games on May 8 and July 4 of this > >year. Lightning has struck players and fans in attendance at outdoor > >sporting events in the past, and unless a lightning safety plan is enacted > >by the Rangers organization, it is a matter of time until fans, personnel, > >or players at The Ballpark in Arlington suffer a similar fate. > >Fortunately, by enacting simple safety rules, the lightning threat to > >spectators and personnel can be reduced. The lightning threat is a very > >real one, and it is one that the Rangers organization should consider > >seriously. > > > > Please find enclosed some recent papers on lightning statistics and > >safety in outdoor activities. If you like, I will be happy to meet with > >you to discuss ways to mitigate the lightning threat to players, > personnel, > >and fans. > > > >Sincerely, > > > > > > > >Brian Curran > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- David The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 09:52:46 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Texas Rangers letter John McLaughlin posted a letter said to be written by Brian Curran saying.... [deletia] >...a forecaster who told me that a potentially tornadic storm was located >southwest of Azle, was moving toward The Ballpark in Arlington, and would >arrive within the hour. [deletia] >At no time did I witness Ballpark security or personnel directing people >to safe shelter nor did I hear any announcement by the Rangers urging >people to seek shelter from the storm before it struck. [deletia] >Yet the announcers in the NBC broadcast of the playoff game explicitly >stated that a tornado warning was in effect for Tarrant County before the >game was suspended. A few comments. Was the game ultimately suspended due to the alleged approaching tornado or was it a typical baseball "rain delay"? Is a suspended game done in the interest of safety (as was the case with the football game in KC last week) or because people don't like to get wet? The decision to cancel an outdoor event like a baseball game, rock concert, or parade due to weather is always a tough one. True, if a tornado *had* crossed the ball park there may have been serious casualties. The problem though is that the perceived (and actual) uncertainty of the event (tornado) apparently did not outweigh the importance of the playoffs, the revenues from MLB and TV sponsors, and the inconvenience/potential panic and evacuation may have caused. I personally have little faith in radar-based warnings --especially warnings issued with extremely long lead times. Perhaps the ballpark's *apparent* lack of action is symptomatic of a larger issue plaguing the NWS --too many warnings being issued? While I have no doubt that the decision *not* to evacuate was largely a monetary one, the issue of weather or not to take action (whether it's an evacuation or a local official's decision to sound the sirens) is a lot more complicated than simply receiving an NWS warning and taking it on blind faith. These are my opinions and comments are always welcome. ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 11:08:31 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Texas Rangers letter > A few comments. Was the game ultimately suspended due to the alleged > approaching tornado or was it a typical baseball "rain delay"? The tornado warning had expired (with no confirmations as I recollect) prior to the cell impacting the stadium. However a Severe Thunderstorm Warning was in effect when it hit Arlington. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 Oct 1998 10:24:12 -0600 From: Paul Vincent Craven Subject: Re: Texas Rangers letter > may have caused. I personally have little faith in radar-based warnings > --especially warnings issued with extremely long lead times. Perhaps the Personally, I'm the opposite. After so many times of having a great view of a storm, and listening to local police or some other govt report a tornado that you know couldn't possibly exist, I'll go for a radar warning any day. Ground-truth reports depend entirely upon the people that make them. Most of the spotters here are very good, but the bad ones generate most of the 'tornado' reports. You just have to know who is making the report. Paul Vincent Craven, AA0PE paul@cravenfamily.com http://www.cravenfamily.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1998 to 7 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1972 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626365-26105>; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 13:09:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12078; Fri, 9 Oct 1998 00:06:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199810090506.AAA12078@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 9 Oct 1998 00:02:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Oct 1998 to 8 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b72c5f1aaf082800035a40ab566b8cfa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 119 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1998 to 7 Oct 1998 (2) 2. Subject: Re: Texas Rangers letter 3. Texas Rangers letter...more +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 05:09:42 -0500 From: markww Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1998 to 7 Oct 1998 About the Lightning at the Ball park in Dallas. Well now you know what a safety Person feels like when he makes recommendations to a company to improve safety, or the fireman that tries to help people in housekeeping efforts when they made home and business inspections. They will not do a damn thing till people get killed and then maybe not them Mark ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:31:49 EDT From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: Subject: Re: Texas Rangers letter The Texas Ranger's Letter was well written. Perhaps they need a Weather Eagle(R) 200 which places live weather alerts on two way radio systems automatically. Disney put this on their trunked radio system in Orlando after the tornadoes struck Kissimee in the middle of the night in February 1998. It has worked like a champ and they have closed rides (such as the aerial tram) when hail and lightning was reported coming their way. The alerts go live from the NWS to the Weather Eagle(R) to Disney's two way radio system to Disney employee's handitalkies in the park for 90 seconds starting with each NWS alert tone. Beeps are placed on the high priority channel. A talkgroup is set up for weather alert. Those hearing the beeps (if they care) can switch to the talk group and either hear the alert live, or by DTMF (touch tone) access, live weather or last digitally recorded warning with date and time stamp from their radios in the field. The same system can be set up with conventional two way either by putting the beeps on one channel and the alert on a lower priority channel, or the alerts on the main channel as the Weather Eagle(R) goes silent when someone keys up the transmitter. In the summer of 1997 a concert for Ohio University was stopped and 3000 people sent home when severe thunderstorm warnings were heard on a Weather Eagle(R) 200 through the city's two way radio system by the public works folk who told event organizers. Tornado warnings were issued during the evacuation and the only people hurt was when lighting bounced off a car in the parking lot. Much better than 3000 stampeding as the storm struck. So, the NWS/NWR system does work for events who choose to listen for about the cost of 1/2 of one walkie talkie! I call these the "happy nonevents" that do not make headlines. Despite the fact that the event security did not take the threat seriously, the Dallas/Ft Worth NWS Office put out a great number of warnings. The following is a comment from a Weather Eagle(R) user in Dallas that night: It was going off almost continuously (re-updating what they had just announced) during most of the early evening until we went home last night. When they said straight line 90-mph winds were headed our way with 1" diameter hail and that 137 flights had been either delayed or scratched at DFW, we took off for home. I really rely on the Thunder Eagle, especially at this time of the year when the stuff starts roaring in off the Rockies and you can literally see the "blue" Norther's line from my office windows. Millon de gracias. So, don't despair....the system actually works for those who are interested. Keep up the great work. Dan Gropper Thunder Eagle, Inc. dgropper@thnueagle.com www.thuneagle.com 1-888-877-8022 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 07:34:06 EDT From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1998 to 7 Oct 1998 Correction of my email address: Dan Gropper Thunder Eagle, Inc. dgropper@thuneagle.com www.thuneagle.com 1-888-877-8022 Thanks Dan ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 Oct 1998 20:45:12 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: Texas Rangers letter...more Actually, the main issue I see in that situation at the Ballpark In Arlington as well as how I read Brian's letter, is more of an issue with the lightning more than anything else. The tornado warning issue can be debated. The lightning danger was very high. I was chasing these storms and they were powerful lightning producers. Lightning kills more people than tornadoes. Yes, money played a role in not calling the game. Perhaps that will change when folks get struck by lightning and file a multi-million dollar lawsuit for gross negligence. 'nuff said. Steve Miller Texas Tailchaser http://home1.gte.net/txt/stormpage.htm (btw....outstanding job by NWS-FTW on the October 2 outbreak) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Oct 1998 to 8 Oct 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Oct 11 22:22:38 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3109 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627151-22728>; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 13:07:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA48980; Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:06:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199810110506.AAA48980@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 11 Oct 1998 00:02:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Oct 1998 to 10 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c873142cd9312b9700bc62c153c9085c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 26 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. URL and E-mail change! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 10 Oct 1998 10:54:09 -0500 From: Mike Umscheid Subject: URL and E-mail change! I have recently made an ISP change and thus my website URL and e-mail have changed. Please note the new URL of my homepage, "Kansas Wall Cloud", is at http://www.kc.net/~mscheid/wallcloud.htm and my new e-mail address is at mscheid@kc.net Please make these changes to your bookmarks, links, and address books if you have my old ISP links at sound.net!! I will be cancelling my account for sound.net next week. Thanks! =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Mike Umscheid <> 'Meso300' on IRC #weather mscheid@kc.net <> www.kc.net/~mscheid/wallcloud.htm 'One Who Chases Storms' ~\_/~ Overland Park, KS =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Oct 1998 to 10 Oct 1998 ************************************************* From - Tue Oct 13 13:22:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626578-11328>; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 13:11:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA66258; Tue, 13 Oct 1998 00:08:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199810130508.AAA66258@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 00:01:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Oct 1998 to 12 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4e9a69cd518e5bb60282db2324fd7ab1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 133 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-***** Data Outage Last Friday 2. WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1998 to 4 Oct 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 09:54:18 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: WX-***** Data Outage Last Friday I was on vacation last Friday when the batteries on the UPS for our Sun computer died. Power glitches caused by the signals SIU transmits over the power grid on campus to control the clocks and street lights trigged the UPS (which had no batteries) and this caused the Sun to yo yo --ultimately trashing the hard disk where the weather products are captured. Saturday, while at my second job at the TV station I noticed the WX system was dead and, fortunately, I was able to fix the problem remotely. I appreciate the e-mail from people (mainly tropical wx subscribers) reporting the problem. Being that I was gone Friday and that usually don't check my e-mail over the weekend, I didn't see the "trouble reports" until this morning. If you notice a problem, however, it's still best to write me as maintaining the WX-***** lists is not an "official" part of my job description and I may not be aware of the problems. A reminder to all data users. SIU and the University of Illinois provide this free weather service on a "no guarantees", as-is, basis. We cannot be help responsible for failed research projects, no data for TV weather casts, and sunk cruise ships in the Atlantic. I've also noticed some duplications of SPC products on the WX-STORM list. I've switched my feed to look for these profucts on the Domestic Data Service (as opposed to Public Products Service) to see if this helps any. ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 13:49:19 -0600 From: Linda Miller Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1998 to 4 Oct 1998 Hi, In response to the discussion on Gravity Waves, you might want to check out Case 12 of the COMET case study data on the WWW. This case is available at: http://www.joss.ucar.edu/cometCases/ This case spans the tornadic outbreak on Palm Sunday (27 March 1994) in Alabama. Gravity waves were triggered with deep convection that developed in northeastern Texas. The waves modulated mesolows that developed along a cold front and acted to force the severe convection in Alabama. It was developed in collaboration with Dr. Steve Koch. Linda Linda Miller External Liaison Telephone: (303) 497-8646 UCAR/Unidata Program Center Fax: (303) 497-8690 P.O. Box 3000 E-mail: lmiller@unidata.ucar.edu Boulder, CO 80307-3000 http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ On Mon, 5 Oct 1998, Automatic digest processor wrote: > ------------------------------ > > Date: Sun, 4 Oct 1998 11:08:24 -0500 > From: Jim Johnson > Subject: Re: Gavity Waves > > >Date: Sat, 3 Oct 1998 08:03:34 -0400 > >From: "CARL F. OJALA" > >Subject: Gravity Waves > > > >Several days ago I sent a question about gravity waves to this group. > >Had only one response (thank you, Sir). Thought I'd try it again to > >see if I might get another response or two. A couple of us here are > >"arguing" about this, and more input would help.... > >If anyone has thoughts on whether gravity waves might cause a small > >plane (2-6 passengers, for ex) to crash, I'd really like to hear > >them. Seems to me that they would not, but others here think > >otherwise. > >Thanks a lot. Carl > > Carl... > A lot depends upon the nature of the gravity waves. If they are forced > in the stable layer AHEAD of the initiating front or density current (outflow > boundary), probably not. If, on the other hand, they are internally trapped > above the density current (front) they often produce Kelvin-Helmoltz > instabilities which are breaking waves (Think Banzi Pipeline!!). > > I've documented a case where the gravity waves were forced by a density > current (thunderstorm outflow) which became internally trapped and produced > "breaking waves". A crop duster attempting to traverse the breaking waves > (length-wise) experienced uncontrolled roll moments which caused his aircraft > to become inverted at around 150' off the ground. Fortunately, this pilot > was VERY experienced and was able to correct without crashing. This incident > occurred in clear air thought the WSR-88D at KDDC clearly showed the > characteristic "washboard" pattern typical of this phenomena. > > Dr. Koch at NC State has done some really good work documenting these things. > I'd also point you to my paper which appeared in the post-prints of the > 1st 88D users conference volume and in the AMS 6th conference on Aviation > Weather Systems as well as Fritz Kruse's work on an undular bore/Gravity wave > which appears in the preprints of the AMS 27th Conference on Radar > Meteorology. > You'll also find a recent note by Peter Hobbs, John Locatelli, Mark Stoelinga > and myslef in the BAMS (July?) on undular bores which may help to explain the > different types which occur. Finally, for some very good explanations and > visual models to aid in understanding these things, Dr. John Simpson's book, > "Sea Breezes and Local Winds" (Cambridge University Press) is highly > recommended. > > Let me know if I can be of further assistance. > > Cheers!! > Jim > *************************************************************** > *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* > *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* > *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* > *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* > *************************************************************** > * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * > * - Axel Hammond - * > *************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Oct 1998 to 12 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Oct 14 16:01:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627001-23183>; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 13:06:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39632; Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:04:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199810140504.AAA39632@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 00:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Oct 1998 to 13 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 57905f8e92a84ca7d8350c2eb58f6b3b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 50 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Domo Arigato: TX 2. Local TV stations... (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 10:33:55 -0500 From: Chris & Lori Bovitz Subject: Domo Arigato: TX I just wanted to let everyone know (if someone hasn't beaten me to it) that Mr. Roboto, I mean, CRS, is now broadcasting from Fort Worth/Dallas WFO. It's used for the station ID every 15 minutes ... for now. Chris ************************************ * Chris & Lori Bovitz * * mailto:gophers@airmail.net * * http://www.why.net/users/tornado * ************************************ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 22:16:24 -0500 From: Phil Brammer Subject: Local TV stations... You know what I really love? It's when the local TV stations go on air, and say they are the best, with the most accurate weather forecasting in the area, then more often than not, if I look closely during a news broadcast, I can see the Weather Channel on in the background. Hmm.... I love it! Sometimes, the Weather Channel monitor will even show its face during a weather broadcast!! Phil ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:37:57 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Local TV stations... > You know what I really love? It's when the local TV stations go on air, > and say they are the best, with the most accurate weather forecasting in > the area, then more often than not, if I look closely during a news > broadcast, I can see the Weather Channel on in the background. Hmm.... I I almost always keep TWC on one of the monitors -- no easier way to get a glimpse of what's going on nationally. I don't see how you relate this to forecast accuracy however? Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Oct 1998 to 13 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Oct 15 13:27:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-16747>; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 13:09:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30334; Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:06:00 -0500 Message-Id: <199810150506.AAA30334@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 00:02:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Oct 1998 to 14 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 959908b2bf856729bb7443989aa3d526 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 34 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 12 Oct 1998 to 13 Oct 1998 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 14 Oct 1998 18:42:08 -0500 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Oct 1998 to 13 Oct 1998 >> You know what I really love? It's when the local TV stations go on air, >> and say they are the best, with the most accurate weather forecasting in >> the area, then more often than not, if I look closely during a news >> broadcast, I can see the Weather Channel on in the background. Hmm.... I To which Rob Dale responds... > >I almost always keep TWC on one of the monitors -- no easier way to get a >glimpse of what's going on nationally. I don't see how you relate this to >forecast accuracy however? > No offence, Rob. But when the T.V. folks start posting their monthly, seasonal and annual verification numbers for all to see, I'll get excited about their accuracy. Not that a number of them are NOT accurate, just that talk is cheap. Show me the "puddin'"! Cheers!! *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Oct 1998 to 14 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Oct 16 14:07:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4667 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626719-17768>; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:17:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA41082; Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:10:23 -0500 Message-Id: <199810160510.AAA41082@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 00:02:18 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Oct 1998 to 15 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 44963286117e8f687d0d337fe8e9f6c7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV accuracy (2) 2. Interest in reviews of our weather site. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 07:21:35 -0500 From: Dennis P Todey Subject: Re: TV accuracy There is also the issue of fake accuracy. A TV station in Des Moines, IA gives forecast maps for specific times over the coming 24-hr period. They must be taking model output or something and giving a map of where rain will be for instance at 2:32 AM. They portray this as exactly how it will be at that time. Dennis Todey ___________________________________________________________ Dennis Todey Mail: 3010 Agronomy Ag-Meteorology/Climatology Off.: 3403 Agronomy Iowa State University W: 294-7847 H: 733-6123 dptodey@iastate.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 08:07:56 -0600 From: Wayne Moore Subject: Interest in reviews of our weather site. I hope this blatant attempt to drive traffic to our site will be forgiven, since our service is free and our interest in feedback is great. Thank you one and all. http://www.WeatherWindow.com Wayne Moore WITI Corporation moore@witicorpdotcom (replace "dot" with . in address to reply) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 Oct 1998 10:37:57 -0600 From: John & Karen Eylander Subject: Re: TV accuracy The real question I feel necessary to ask is, what ever happened to using the models as guidelines to making forecasts? Whatever happened to using multiple models and weighing the model differences and biases with current goings on? Have people become so lazy that instead taking the time to genuinely create their own forecast, and thusly create their own graphical interpretation of what they think is going to happen, they instead use some model graphics and try to pass them off as realistic? I am highly against such actions. A local station in the town which I currently reside also uses a model for the on air graphics. The current on air personality is essentially using the model to produce all the show's graphics, with the time stamp in the upper corner. Personally, I can't stand to watch even objectively (especially because the model they are using for precip and cloud forecasts is pretty poor). Just my $.02 worth BJ ********************************************************** John Eylander Valparaiso University Alumni Graduate Meteorology Student South Dakota School of Mines and Technology Rapid City, SD 57701 Jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu ********************************************************** -----Original Message----- From: Dennis P Todey [SMTP:dptodey@IASTATE.EDU] Sent: Thursday, October 15, 1998 6:22 AM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Re: TV accuracy There is also the issue of fake accuracy. A TV station in Des Moines, IA gives forecast maps for specific times over the coming 24-hr period. They must be taking model output or something and giving a map of where rain will be for instance at 2:32 AM. They portray this as exactly how it will be at that time. Dennis Todey ___________________________________________________________ Dennis Todey Mail: 3010 Agronomy Ag-Meteorology/Climatology Off.: 3403 Agronomy Iowa State University W: 294-7847 H: 733-6123 dptodey@iastate.edu +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Oct 1998 to 15 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Oct 17 15:06:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2728 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626961-20597>; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 13:08:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB24752; Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:04:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199810170504.AAB24752@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 00:01:25 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Oct 1998 to 16 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b9e49f63a3b3bb02d825f0cfdd62f6f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 139 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RealEMWIN Plugin V1 2. Is there a purpose here? 3. WWW Course Satellite Meteorology FSU 4. Great New Jet Stream Graphic +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:50:39 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Plugin V1 Version 1 of the RealEMWIN Plugin for Weathernode(TM Xenocode) is now available at http://www.skywatch.org The RealEMWIN Plugin uses Weathernode to ingest EMWIN text and graphics files over the Internet, via GOES satellite or radio rebroadcasts. RealEMWIN acts as the display / alarm / etc. component. Further information is available on the web page. This is a 14-day free trial version, after which is becomes the shareware version with a two-hour timeout and a maximum of three alarms. Registration: $22.95 Also beta 1 of the RealEMWIN Standalone is ready. This will allow you to ingest data directly from the satellite or radio without having to have Weathernode installed. A final version should be ready within the next few weeks. To subscribe to the RealEMWIN mailing list, send "subscribe emwin" to "majordomo@skywatch.org" Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:26:19 -0500 From: David Arnold Subject: Is there a purpose here? I understand how much fun it can be to bash television weathercasters, especially since some present very easy targets. Keep in mind however, that those who read WX-TALK are the ones that generally do the better jobs, and their reward for representing meteorologists rather well in the public eye is to be subjected to constant "us" versus "them" discussions of their worthlessness. While I fully support our right to free speach, and see criticisms as healthy if done from a constructive perspective, I am having a difficult time understanding the purpose of contiually bashing weathercasters as a group, and it does little to promote the cooperation between the "real" meteorologists and "broadcasters" that I hear so much about at the conferences. If most weathercasters are that bad, then how about we all work together to improve the situation rather than inflame it? This means keeping the lines of communication open; and bashing, as opposed to contructive criticism, only serves to tie these lines in knots. David L. Arnold, Ph.D. Ball State University ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:52:56 -0400 From: Kevin Kloesel Subject: WWW Course Satellite Meteorology FSU ANNOUNCING! A WWW-based Satellite Imagery Interpretation Course Developed by Florida EXPLORES! - FSU Meteorology http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/IMAGE-IN/image-in.html The Fall 1998 IMAGE-IN modules will explore all facets of the US Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellite Program. Each week you will be introduced to key elements of the POES Program. Week 1 will feature the motivation and history of the POES program and discuss some of the sensors and capabilities of these space-borne Earth observing platforms. Week 2 will highlight how these satellites are launched and placed into their proper orbits. Once launched, a network of data gathering stations tune their ears to space to receive the volumes of information provided by POES systems. Week 3 will review how we receive 'pictures' from space! Once we have the imagery, how do we use them to further our understanding of the Earth-Atmosphere system? Weeks 4 and 5 will provide an awareness of the types of imagery available and how to interpret them. Week 6 will delve into advanced multi-sensor techniques and the current state of the art of these amazing systems! Each daily module will take approximately one hour to complete. As a courtesy we will leave each daily lesson up throughout the course. If you fall behind, you can catch up as your schedule permits. If you wish to participate, please register! THERE IS NO COST FOR THIS COURSE! In service or certification credit will be issued to K-12 teachers where appropriate. Of course, if you have any questions, please feel free to contact me: kloesel@met.fsu.edu FALL 98 IMAGE-IN BEGINS MONDAY NOVEMBER 2 1998! Dr. Kevin Kloesel FSU Meteorology ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:19:00 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Great New Jet Stream Graphic Dave Dempsey (SFSU Meteorology) has done it again!! He's created a variation of his wonderful jet stream analysis map. In the new variation, the jet stream analysis is similar to the original one but is superimposed on a spliced GOES-West and GOES-East infrared satellite image. This is designed to help show the relationship between midlatitude cyclones and jet stream features. The new image is 640x512 pixels and is typically around 125 KB. The URL for the latest image for North America is: http://virga.sfsu.edu/gif/jetsat_00.gif The URL of the menu for all of our jet stream maps (including one for the entire Northern Hemisphere) is: http://virga.sfsu.edu/crws/jetstream.html <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Jan Null, CCM Certified Consulting Meteorologist Golden Gate Weather Services Phone: (510) 657-2246 Email: jnull@ggweather.com Webpage: http://ggweather.com "Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Oct 1998 to 16 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Oct 18 19:57:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1158 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-18320>; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 13:06:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA43672; Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:04:24 -0500 Message-Id: <199810180504.AAA43672@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:00:55 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Oct 1998 to 17 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ba647250691fb29210212b243d57c9f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 102 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Is NOAA Weather Radio Meant to Fail? [at least partially serious post] 2. Is there a purpose here? 3. "Tug-o-war" of Oceans? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 01:33:40 -0400 From: Allan Rosenberg Subject: Is NOAA Weather Radio Meant to Fail? [at least partially serious post] NOAA Weather Radio has its problems, one thoughtful review of which--by the ubiquitous "Dr. Do"--at http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell/NWR_rant.html makes especially amusing reading. And the uniform criticisim of the electronic voice element of the Console Replacement System has grown, well, monotonous in its uniformity. Before trying to fix the system, though, I recommend standing back and asking "Is NOAA Weather Radio *meant* to fail?" To answer affirmatively would be mere speculation on my part, but here are some admittedly one-sided facts to consider: 1) General Thunderstorms has made customer service the number one priority at NWS. But neither he, nor anyone else at a high-level policy making position, has defined who those customers are. Are they the American people? If so, it isn't helping many customers, because virtually nobody listens to it. But, if the customers are media outlets, then NOAA Weather Radio poses--to the extent might ever develop a large following--poses a real competitive threat. Imagine if NOAA Weather Radio occupied a place on the normal AM radio spectrum, or even had its own cable channel. Regular folks might turn from their commercial broadcasts to listen to the NWS directly when severe weather threatened. Heaven forfend! Advertising revenues would be lost! Some interesting thoughts about who is the customer in this customer-driven organization and other views that do not necessarily agree with those of NWS management (or me) can be found at http://www.nwseo.org/survey.html. 2) NOAA has adopted as its pitchman 1950's cartoon nobody "Mark Trail." Don't believe me? Take a look for yourself at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr/images/mtrail.jpg. It might have played in Mayberry 20 years ago, but this black and white throwback with the buzzcut doesn't exactly scream "modernization" to me. Mark Trail is something my dog does, not someone you'd trust with your life. 3) CRS is a bad implementation of technology. Decent speech synthesis is possible, yet NOAA Weather Radio is starting to sound like Stephen Hawking amped through a single-transister radio. Why invest in something you cannot hear clearly? 4) NOAA Weather Radio 2000? The name itself implies only a short term commitment. More appropriate, I think, would have been "NOAA Weather Radio 2001." Hello, Dave.... Are you still there, Dave? Anyway, this is all speculation... but I don't think you'd have to look too hard to find constituencies who would shed no tears when the entier NOAA Weather Radio program is terminated as a failure a few years down the road. The real puzzle is why the NWS needs this silly outreach program and the new robotic voice at all--as every bureaucrat knows, if the program ain't fixed, why break it? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 17 Oct 1998 14:45:19 EDT From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Is there a purpose here? David, I fully agree with your observation. I see a lot of bad blood here in this particular mailing list, and it makes me feel apathetic about getting truly involved with it. Let's all work together, and get along. This is a place to share knowledge, and help each other. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 00:56:16 EDT From: Tim Trice Subject: "Tug-o-war" of Oceans? I'm sure this theory has been brought up many times before myself and will be brought long after me. It's difficult to notice the increase in activity in the NE Pac lately. Before August 15th, the Atlantic had only one storm, Alex. The NE Pac had eight named storms, plus a depression. Between August 15th and October 1st, the Atlantic had 10 named storms, while the NE Pac had only four storms. Now, after October 1st, the Atlantic has had one named storm (perhaps the last) while the NEP has rolled off three more storms and two depressions. I remember reading somewhere that in El Nino, the NEP will have usual or above normal activity while the Atlantic has below normal activity. However, La Nina is the opposite. Remember in 1995 when we had 19 storms here and in the NEP they had only 11 storms. Well, there's talk that La Nina is in effect, increasing our activity (12 named storms, one shy of 1996) but shouldn't it decrease the NEP's activity, going by "statistics"? I know that word cannot be used in tropical meteorology due to the fact that it doesn't mean anything but why the "tug-o-war" between the oceans? Can anyone explain it? Thanks in advance. cul8r tim ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Oct 1998 to 17 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Oct 19 13:25:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2300 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627044-27950>; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 13:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29316; Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:04:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199810190504.AAA29316@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 00:00:45 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Oct 1998 to 18 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b3bac42ec9781baeb99ae21a24532bd6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 296 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWR, CRS and a CRS RISK... 2. great jet stream graphics 3. NOAA Wx Radio Audience (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 05:35:39 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: NWR, CRS and a CRS RISK... In message <01bdf98f$b248d8c0$a4e1d3c6@arosenbe.ix.netcom.com>, you said: >2) NOAA has adopted as its pitchman 1950's cartoon nobody "Mark Trail." >Don't believe me? Take a look for yourself at >http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr/images/mtrail.jpg. It might have played in >Mayberry 20 years ago, but this black and white throwback with the buzzcut >doesn't exactly scream "modernization" to me. Mark Trail is something my >dog does, not someone you'd trust with your life. Given what I know about NWS and things like CRS, a better and more representative pitchman would, of course, have been Dilbert. >3) CRS is a bad implementation of technology. Decent speech synthesis is >possible, yet NOAA Weather Radio is starting to sound like Stephen Hawking >amped through a single-transister radio. Why invest in something you >cannot hear clearly? Have some fun, if you have access to a Mac, and download Plaintalk from Apple. (It comes with MacOS 8.5). MUCH better than CRS, and it's FREE. The WORST case scenario would be to wire an iMac into the new consoles, and that's about 1/5 the cost of the DecTalk boards used for CRS... >The real puzzle is why the NWS needs this silly outreach program >and the new robotic voice at all--as every bureaucrat knows, if the >program ain't fixed, why break it? The reasons are this: * Outreach - this is so that if anyone remembers AlGore's speeches regarding the fact we MUST improve NWR - that's it. It makes NWS look like they're DOING something, and likewise it reflects positively on Gore, no matter how lame the effort. * CRS - WSFOs complain they're understaffed, they don't have the manpower to do what they do AND man NWR. Government solution? CRS, and probably the deletion of one MORE headcount per WSFO because, after all, no one needs to man NWR anymore. BTW, here's a new CRS RISK (for those of you who read comp.risks) - I now know of at least three different days of warnings that went out without SAME data from various WSFOs because of some problem with CRS. Problem with procedure? I don't know, but I find it suspicious that the problem happened at these different WSFOs the first time they had a severe wx event after installing CRS... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 09:30:23 -0400 From: Joe Witte Subject: great jet stream graphics Joe Witte National Broadcasting Company, Inc. New York On Sat, 17 Oct 1998, Automatic digest processor wrote: > There are 4 messages totalling 139 lines in this issue. > > Topics of the day: > > 1. RealEMWIN Plugin V1 > 2. Is there a purpose here? > 3. WWW Course Satellite Meteorology FSU > 4. Great New Jet Stream Graphic > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:50:39 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: RealEMWIN Plugin V1 > > Version 1 of the RealEMWIN Plugin for Weathernode(TM Xenocode) is now > available at http://www.skywatch.org > > The RealEMWIN Plugin uses Weathernode to ingest EMWIN text and graphics > files over the Internet, via GOES satellite or radio rebroadcasts. RealEMWIN > acts as the display / alarm / etc. component. Further information is > available on the web page. > > This is a 14-day free trial version, after which is becomes the shareware > version with a two-hour timeout and a maximum of three alarms. Registration: > $22.95 > > Also beta 1 of the RealEMWIN Standalone is ready. This will allow you to > ingest data directly from the satellite or radio without having to have > Weathernode installed. A final version should be ready within the next few > weeks. > > To subscribe to the RealEMWIN mailing list, send "subscribe emwin" to > "majordomo@skywatch.org" > > Rob > > ----------------------------------------------- > Robert P Dale == N8GSK == > http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 08:26:19 -0500 > From: David Arnold > Subject: Is there a purpose here? > > I understand how much fun it can be to bash television weathercasters, > especially since some present very easy targets. Keep in mind however, > that those who read WX-TALK are the ones that generally do the better > jobs, and their reward for representing meteorologists rather well in > the public eye is to be subjected to constant "us" versus "them" > discussions of their worthlessness. While I fully support our right to > free speach, and see criticisms as healthy if done from a constructive > perspective, I am having a difficult time understanding the purpose of > contiually bashing weathercasters as a group, and it does little to > promote the cooperation between the "real" meteorologists and > "broadcasters" that I hear so much about at the conferences. > > If most weathercasters are that bad, then how about we all work > together to improve the situation rather than inflame it? This means > keeping the lines of communication open; and bashing, as opposed to > contructive criticism, only serves to tie these lines in knots. > > > David L. Arnold, Ph.D. > Ball State University > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 13:52:56 -0400 > From: Kevin Kloesel > Subject: WWW Course Satellite Meteorology FSU > > ANNOUNCING! > > A WWW-based Satellite Imagery Interpretation Course > Developed by Florida EXPLORES! - FSU Meteorology > > http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/IMAGE-IN/image-in.html > > The Fall 1998 IMAGE-IN modules will explore all facets of > the US Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellite Program. Each week you > will be introduced to key elements of the POES Program. Week 1 will > feature the motivation and history of the POES program and discuss some > of the sensors and capabilities of these space-borne Earth observing > platforms. Week 2 will highlight how these satellites are launched and > placed into their proper orbits. Once launched, a network of data > gathering stations tune their ears to space to receive the volumes of > information provided by POES systems. Week 3 will review how we receive > 'pictures' from space! Once we have the imagery, how do we use them to > further our understanding of the Earth-Atmosphere system? Weeks 4 and 5 > will provide an awareness of the types of imagery available and how to > interpret them. Week 6 will delve into advanced multi-sensor techniques > and the current state of the art of these amazing systems! > > Each daily module will take approximately one hour to complete. As a > courtesy we will leave each daily lesson up throughout the course. If > you fall behind, you can catch up as your schedule permits. > > If you wish to participate, please register! THERE IS NO COST FOR THIS > COURSE! > In service or certification credit will be issued to K-12 teachers where > appropriate. > > Of course, if you have any questions, please feel free to contact me: > kloesel@met.fsu.edu > > FALL 98 IMAGE-IN BEGINS MONDAY NOVEMBER 2 1998! > > Dr. Kevin Kloesel > FSU Meteorology > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Fri, 16 Oct 1998 20:19:00 -0700 > From: Jan Null > Subject: Great New Jet Stream Graphic > > Dave Dempsey (SFSU Meteorology) has done it again!! He's created a > variation of his wonderful jet stream analysis map. In the new > variation, the jet stream analysis is similar to the original one but is > superimposed on a spliced GOES-West and GOES-East infrared satellite > image. This is designed to help show the relationship between > midlatitude cyclones and jet stream features. > > The new image is 640x512 pixels and is typically around 125 KB. > > The URL for the latest image for North America is: > http://virga.sfsu.edu/gif/jetsat_00.gif > > The URL of the menu for all of our jet stream maps (including one for > the entire Northern Hemisphere) is: > http://virga.sfsu.edu/crws/jetstream.html > > <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> > > Jan Null, CCM > Certified Consulting Meteorologist > Golden Gate Weather Services > Phone: (510) 657-2246 > Email: jnull@ggweather.com > Webpage: http://ggweather.com > > "Timing has a lot to do with the > outcome of a rain dance" ~ Anon. > <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Oct 1998 to 16 Oct 1998 > ************************************************** > Because e-mail can be altered electronically, the integrity of this communication cannot be guaranteed. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 21:59:12 -0400 From: Wx Talk List Subject: NOAA Wx Radio Audience > 1) General Thunderstorms has made customer service the number one > priority at NWS. But neither he, nor anyone else at a high-level policy > making position, has defined who those customers are. Are they the > American people? If so, it isn't helping many customers, because > virtually nobody listens to it. But, if the customers are media outlets, > then NOAA Weather Radio poses--to the extent might ever develop a large > following--poses a real competitive threat. Imagine if NOAA Weather Radio > occupied a place on the normal AM radio spectrum, or even had its own > cable channel. Regular folks might turn from their commercial broadcasts > to listen to the NWS directly when severe weather threatened. Heaven > forfend! Advertising revenues would be lost! I think that this is an excellent point. When something is developed, either the audience is already there and you are filling a void, or else you have to develop an audience for your product. I think that there is value in WX radio, but unless radio manufacturers want to put a wx-radio channel into existing AM/FM radios, they're not going to even know about it. Then there is the thing that private industry did that NOAA couldn't do with their budget: The Weather Channel. If you use my mother (interested in wx, but not really into it like this group) as an example, she *might* listen to wx radio if she had one that received it. However, given the computer generated voice and watching the Wx channel, she'll go with the TV each time. Perhaps the value of WX radio is small enough now that it could really be shut down. My disclaimer, though, is that I'm in a rather urban area with really good power supply, a computer (obviously!), and other sources of WX info in addition to a radio that gets NOAA. -tom ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:38:27 -0500 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: Re: NOAA Wx Radio Audience >I think that there is value in WX radio, but unless radio >manufacturers want to put a wx-radio channel into existing >AM/FM radios, they're not going to even know about it. > great point, but the fact is, the weather radio use is growing by leaps and bounds, but it will never be on commerical am/fm units, cause of one thing, the loss to the makers of the nwr's recivers so don't look for it to happen anytime soon Glen Briggs ------------------------------------------------------------ = e-mail: gbriggs@lyn.net ICQ: 1133850 = = backup: wx@lyn.net AOL: kb0rpj = = Ham Radio Station: KB0RPJ = ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Oct 1998 to 18 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Oct 20 13:38:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1029 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627476-4439>; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 13:11:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA57016; Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:06:19 -0500 Message-Id: <199810200506.AAA57016@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 00:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Oct 1998 to 19 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c56137e42bc047b0a1c21b11068f9712 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 188 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New Jetstream Maps 2. NOAA Wx Radio Audience (2) 3. obs via e'mail 4. Interest in reviews of our weather site. 5. RealEMWIN Beta2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 18 Oct 1998 22:49:11 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: New Jetstream Maps Not sure if it was this NG or another-- Pls repost msg about two new jetstream URLs, or send the URLs to me. Thanx. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 10:09:43 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: NOAA Wx Radio Audience You guys need to remember that there are people who DON'T KNOW how to set the clock on their VTR. They bought the FM radio to listen to music.. Consumer electronics manufacturer's hate to add functions to a given box because they have to spend resources to help people learn how to use it and the buyer might not buy an AM/FM stereo with WX because the price will be higher and the box will be more complicated to use. A separate WX radio is not without advantages...one built into an entertainment box may not be able to alert because entertainment interruptions might be considered a "bad" thing... ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 11:39:31 -0500 From: Randy Halverson Subject: Re: NOAA Wx Radio Audience Our John Deere 9600 Combine has a weather radio built into the AM/FM. It doesn't have an alert on it though. We bought the combine used so I don't know if it was optional or if all of them come with it now. I think it is something that should be added to all car and tractor stereos and wouldn't think it would add that much in the price. Randy At 09:59 PM 10/18/98 -0400, you wrote: >> 1) General Thunderstorms has made customer service the number one >> priority at NWS. But neither he, nor anyone else at a high-level policy >> making position, has defined who those customers are. Are they the >> American people? If so, it isn't helping many customers, because >> virtually nobody listens to it. But, if the customers are media outlets, >> then NOAA Weather Radio poses--to the extent might ever develop a large >> following--poses a real competitive threat. Imagine if NOAA Weather Radio >> occupied a place on the normal AM radio spectrum, or even had its own >> cable channel. Regular folks might turn from their commercial broadcasts >> to listen to the NWS directly when severe weather threatened. Heaven >> forfend! Advertising revenues would be lost! > >I think that this is an excellent point. When something is >developed, either the audience is already there and you are >filling a void, or else you have to develop an audience for >your product. > >I think that there is value in WX radio, but unless radio >manufacturers want to put a wx-radio channel into existing >AM/FM radios, they're not going to even know about it. > >Then there is the thing that private industry did that NOAA >couldn't do with their budget: The Weather Channel. If you >use my mother (interested in wx, but not really into it like >this group) as an example, she *might* listen to wx radio if >she had one that received it. However, given the computer >generated voice and watching the Wx channel, she'll go with >the TV each time. > >Perhaps the value of WX radio is small enough now that it >could really be shut down. My disclaimer, though, is that >I'm in a rather urban area with really good power supply, >a computer (obviously!), and other sources of WX info >in addition to a radio that gets NOAA. > >-tom > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:37:48 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: obs via e'mail To whom it may concern, Hi, this is Matt Hartman... I am a sophomore Met. Student here at Valparaiso University and I was wondering if anyone knew if you can get Metar obs or possibly TTAA/TTBB/PPBB obs via e'mail?? If so, please let me know asap. Either that, or if anyone knows of a quick & easy way to receive these sorts of observations...? Thanks in advance, Matt.H _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant . `\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Meteorology Major * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 22:55:43 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Interest in reviews of our weather site. >I hope this blatant attempt to drive traffic to our site will be forgiven, > since our service is free and our interest in feedback is great. > http://www.WeatherWindow.com No offense but if your forecast comes true, the windmill you show in the icons should be flaming and flying across the screen ;) Philipsburg,PA Monday 10/19/1998 3:00 pm EDT Sunny Temp: 60°F Feels: 129°F Rain: 5% Wind: W 316mph This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "They're not who we're looking for; they're just meteorologists- storm chasers." --Peter Watts, "Millennium" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 22:01:34 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Beta2 Beta2 of the standalone RealEMWIN software is now available for download at http://www.skywatch.org/prod02.htm -- where you'll also find v1.0 of the RealEMWIN plugin for use in conjunction with Weathernode V4 (TM Xenocode.) New features - 1) Multiple email addresses for automatically sending bulletins 2) Option to filter out Pacific Island / other foreign data 3) Searching of the SAHOURLY file for current weather observations 4) Quick-links to products accessed often 5) Improved image looping ...and more! Please check it out if you have a GOES or Radio EMWIN feed, Internet access to be added later. More information available by sending "subscribe emwin" to "majordomo@skywatch.org" Rob ---------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale N8GSK Meteorologist http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Oct 1998 to 19 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Oct 21 14:06:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-13750>; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA53238; Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:05:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199810210505.AAA53238@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 00:01:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Oct 1998 to 20 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 160408fdeff65a2bd448183b1e435610 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 301 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NOAA Wx Radio Audience and Darwin 2. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) 3. (upper air) obs via e'mail 4. AMRC image of Ronne Ice Shelf iceberg 5. OBITUARY: Al Morrison, WSFO Chicago 6. Interest in reviews of our weather site. 7. NOAA Wx Radio Audience +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 06:34:35 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Re: NOAA Wx Radio Audience and Darwin The bottom line is that on average, people who have AND listen to NOAA Weather Radios (NWR) during severe weather events will benefit. Those who chose not to may be eliminated from the gene pool, leaving behind those who listened and responded appropriately. (This is commonly referred to as the "Darwin Effect".) You can't force people to listen and take action, but the technology should be inexpensive and widely available. It should be required by federal law that NWR alert receivers be built in to all vehicle radios and other commercial broadcast receivers (at a cost of maybe $20 out of $15,000 to $30,000 for a new car, it's cheap!). BUT, the owner should have the ability to disable the alert function if they so chose. (The random forces of natural selection will determine the wisdom of their actions.) I don't see the point in continuing the unending discussion that bases the value of NWR on whether every single person listens and responds appropriately to NWR warnings. The truth is, some do and some don't. One of the basic responsibilities of government is the protection and well being of its citizens (i.e., providing for the "common defense" and "general welfare"). NWR is a primary example of the government fulfilling its constitutional obligation. It is up to each individual to take full advantage of the service. Maybe we could switch back to another trite topic, such as fraud, waste and abuse. Perhaps Mr. Roboto falls into one of these categories or maybe it is just a prime example of the Peter Principle in action. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 09:57:51 -0500 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) For those of you who have web servers which have "added" data such as ECMWF day 0-1 and day 7 forecasts, and other international goodies, check this out. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NOUS40 KWBC 201324 FOS/NOAAPORT NOTICE NO. 1358 OCTOBER 20... 1998 ATTENTION FAMILY OF SERVICES SUBSCRIBERS NOAAPORT USERS SUBJECT ADDITIONAL DATA AND PRODUCTS ON FOS AND NOAAPORT SPECIAL NOTE EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 30... 1998... ADDITIONAL DATA AND PRODUCTS WERE ADDED TO FOS AND NOAAPORT. IN ORDER TO ASSURE THE CONTINUED EXCHANGE OF WEATHER INFORMATION BETWEEN NATIONS FOS/NOAAPORT DATA DISTRIBUTORS NEED TO BE COGNIZANT OF THE FOLLOWING AND MAKE SURE THAT YOUR CUSTOMERS ARE AWARE OF THESE CONDITIONS - THE NWS ADHERES TO WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION RESOLUTION 40 ON THE POLICY AND PRACTICE FOR THE EXCHANGE OF METEOROLOGICAL AND RELATED DATA AND PRODUCTS IN ALL MATTERS RELATED TO FOREIGN METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION. AS PARTY TO RESOLUTION 40 COUNTRIES ARE ALLOWED TO IDENTIFY CERTAIN ADDITIONAL DATA AND PRODUCTS THAT MAY NOT BE RE-EXPORTED FOR COMMERCIAL USE. ADDITIONAL DATA AND PRODUCTS PLACED ON SERVICES ACCESSIBLE BY THE INTERNET WITHOUT CONTROL VIOLATE THE CONDITIONS ON EXPORTATION. - A LIST OF ALL PRODUCTS IDENTIFIED AS ADDITIONAL DATA AND PRODUCTS BY THE COUNTRY OF ORIGIN IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS INTERNET HTTP //WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/ADDATA.SHTML -THE ISSUANCE OF OPERATIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION IN OTHER COUNTRIES IS THE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE INDIVIDUAL COUNTRY AND SHOULD BE RESPECTED. -IN DOING BUSINESS IN OTHER COUNTRIES IT IS IMPORTANT TO AVOID CONFLICTS WITH FOREIGN LAWS AND REGULATIONS AND TO GIVE DUE CONSIDERATION TO REASONABLE COMMERCIAL PRACTICES IN DECIDING UPON THE REINTRODUCTION OF WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION TO THE ORIGINATING COUNTRY. - GOOD RELATIONS WITH OTHER COUNTRIES WILL BE FOSTERED AND ENHANCED BY PROVIDING ATTRIBUTION TO THE NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE COUNTRY OF ORIGIN AS THE SOURCE OF THE WEATHER DATA AND PRODUCTS USED. END NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:05:02 -0400 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: Re: (upper air) obs via e'mail On Tue, 20 Oct 1998, Automatic digest processor wrote: > ------------------------------ > Date: Mon, 19 Oct 1998 16:37:48 -0500 > From: Matt Hartman > Subject: obs via e'mail > > To whom it may concern, > > Hi, this is Matt Hartman... I am a sophomore Met. Student here at > Valparaiso University and I was wondering if anyone knew if you can get > Metar obs or possibly TTAA/TTBB/PPBB obs via e'mail?? If so, please let > me know asap. Either that, or if anyone knows of a quick & easy way to > receive these sorts of observations...? > > Thanks in advance, > Matt.H The Comprehensive Upper-air Demonstrations, Observations, and Systems (CUDOS) WWW site probably has what you are looking for (but can't provide the email solution you seek). We have recently re-organized our information and are working to provide easier access to base maps, some statically, and some dynamically-created. Access to plotted, tabulated, and coded data of all types is accessible there. Input is welcome on the CUDOS WWW site, as well, at http://www.met.fsu.edu/CUDOS/ Paul Ruscher / Florida State University / Meteorology ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 12:51:15 +22304908 From: Matthew Lazzara Subject: AMRC image of Ronne Ice Shelf iceberg The Antarctic Meteorology Research Center is pleased to present a 1-km resolution NOAA-12 IR image of the Ronne Ice Shelf iceberg on its web site: http://uwamrc.ssec.wisc.edu/amrchome.html The image is available in the AMRC Photo Gallery, located on our archived data web page: http://uwamrc.ssec.wisc.edu/amrc/archive.html Regards, Matt ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Matt Whittaker Space Science and Engineering Center Associate Research Specialist University of Wisconsin -- Madison AWS / AMRC Data Distribution front242@ice.ssec.wisc.edu \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Matthew Lazzara - Meteorologist - Antarctic Meteorology Research Center Space Science and Engineering Center E-mail: mattl@ssec.wisc.edu University of Wisconsin-Madison Phone: (608) 262-0436 1225 West Dayton Street, Madison, WI 53706 Fax: (608) 263-6738 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 17:00:44 -0500 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: OBITUARY: Al Morrison, WSFO Chicago I hate sending these out. This crossed the weather wire this afternoon. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ZCZC CHIPNSCHI TTAA00 KCHI 201943 Allan Morrison, 57, highly respected Lead Forecaster at NWSFO Chicago since 1980 passed away very unexpectedly Monday evening, October 19, 1998. Al was born and raised in Cincinnati, Iowa. He started college at Iowa University majoring in math then transferred to St. Louis University to study his main interest..Meteorology. Al was a Student Trainee at the Weather Bureau Des Moines office during the Summer of 1963 and graduated with his meteorology degree in 1964. Al did a stint in the U S Army involved in computer-topographic Survey work in Ethiopia. He entered the Weather Bureau at Midway Airport in 1965 and was a Forecaster at the Chicago Forecast Office until transferring to the Milwaukee office in 1969. Al was a Lead Forecaster and Principal Assistant in Milwaukee before moving back to the Chicago Forecast Office. Al was a vibrant individual intensely involved in his family, sports, and work. Al was exceptional..beloved and respected by all. He was an oustanding forecaster and loved "spreading the gospel" of forecasting to anyone who would listen. Al took great pride in his life's work and was a great "teacher"..taking time to discuss the intricacies and joys of the profession with young aspiring meteorologists and new employees. Al's favorite time of the forecast year was fast-approaching. He was the "expert" on winter Storm and snow forecasting for the Chicago Office. Certain people are irreplaceable. Al was one. Paul Dailey Meteorologist in Charge NNNN ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 16:09:17 -0600 From: Wayne Moore Subject: Re: Interest in reviews of our weather site. >>I hope this blatant attempt to drive traffic to our site will be forgiven, >> since our service is free and our interest in feedback is great. >> http://www.WeatherWindow.com >No offense but if your forecast comes true, the windmill you show in >the icons should be flaming and flying across the screen ;) >- Jesse Ferrell In deed! We are working to properly threshold the data we display for various paramters, but obviously we need to continue this work. Since we generate forecast data from multiple sources of data, missing or bad data from any one source will *rarely* cause some interesting errors like this. We have been helped by your detection of this case, however, and appreciate your alerting us to it. By the way, today we enabled persistent alarming for any U.S. location! This means you can set an alarm once for any location and be notified by email if rain, snow, and temperature changes above or below normal are forecast, or if a particular temperature, whether high or low, is forecast to be exceeded. If you are using a digital wireless device, receive these warnings directly on your wireless device. We will also be sending along National Weather Service severe weather watches and warnings for a user's vicinity using the same feature. Our other alarms are also still available--to notify you if the weather is going to affect your travel or other weather-sensitive planning. Thanks again for the useful feedback. Wayne Moore moore@witicorpdotcom (replace dot with . to reply) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 Oct 1998 18:53:14 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: NOAA Wx Radio Audience In message <3.0.5.32.19981019113931.0092d7a0@pop.wcenet.com>, Randy Halverson writes: >Our John Deere 9600 Combine has a weather radio built into the AM/FM. It >doesn't have an alert on it though. We bought the combine used so I don't >know if it was optional or if all of them come with it now. I think it is >something that should be added to all car and tractor stereos and wouldn't >think it would add that much in the price. While it isn't alert, WX band is present on the factory radios in the Subaru Outback Limited and the Subaru SUS Limited. Unfortunately, I know of no aftermarket manufacturers selling car stereos with WX band capability... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Oct 1998 to 20 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Oct 22 13:10:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4194 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-23064>; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:07:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23550; Thu, 22 Oct 1998 00:04:38 -0500 Message-Id: <199810220504.AAA23550@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1998 to 21 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 56162c9758a40e2b91ff2a3b6219402e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 492 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Darwinian NWR 2. NOAA Wx Radio Audience and Darwin 3. After Market Weather Radios 4. After Market Weather Radios/scanners (2) 5. Program for National EMWIN Conference, Dec. 4-5 6. Book Liquidation 7. RCMs on the net? (3) 8. UNCC model data = gone? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 02:31:02 -0500 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: Darwinian NWR At 12:01 AM 10/21/98 -0500, Sam Barricklow wrote: >I don't see the point in continuing the unending discussion that bases >the value of NWR on whether every single person listens and responds >appropriately to NWR warnings. The truth is, some do and some don't. > >One of the basic responsibilities of government is the protection and >well being of its citizens (i.e., providing for the "common defense" and >"general welfare"). NWR is a primary example of the government >fulfilling its constitutional obligation. It is up to each individual >to take full advantage of the service. I'm basically in agreement with Sam here. The problem is the coverage of NWR. Here in west Kansas it is absolutely sinful how unavailable NWR is to the public. Transmitters are few and far between. Before we can burden the individual with such responsibility, we must make certain that ALL indiviuals have access to an NWR transmission. The public seems to be aware of NWR. So much so that they often buy radios from their local radio store and then contact NWS offices to get the local frequencies only to discover that they are not within range of a transmitter!! This is a diabolical evil perpetrated by the denizens of urban areas! The attitude seems to be that rural areas have less population and life there is thus less important. Before you can make a statement like "It is up to each individual to take full advantage of the service..." you must be certain that each individual has the availability of the service to begin with! That's anything but true in sparcely populated areas of the country! Would that the government fulfilled its consitutional obligation for EVERYONE! Not just those who live in substantial urban areas! Sam...thanks for th insightful comments!! Cheers!! *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 10:40:35 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: NOAA Wx Radio Audience and Darwin Is it a good policy to make everyone have to have a wx radio in a car? That's how we got to having $25,000 "basic" cars - nothing's optional any more (no "stripped" cars available..) Better to tell people about the benefits and have them demand the feature. if a wx radio was mandatory in a car, how did you plan to handle the tests when the car is nominally turned off? are there safety considerations to having the alarm go off dramatically? override the entertainment? what if a cell radiophone's in use? thought -- what certification problems would a radio maker have to go through to get an AM/FM/WX car radio accepted by the FCC or other agency? and would that open up a can of worms with respect to the minimum performance specs on a radio design that's probably years old? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:01:56 -0400 From: Larry Krudwig Subject: After Market Weather Radios There are a couple. The Schnieder Trucking Company put an AM/FM/weather band in all their over the road units. Model I don't remember. Close to 10,000 units, however. Another trucker for, I believe, LNC Trucking said his company put a Panasonic Hyperscan AM/FM/Weather band in all of their 6,000+ trucks. The weather band is a feature on close to 75% of all the new models of CBs. In last years Radio Shack catelog, there was an AM/FM Clock radio with the weather band that was the same price as the weather radio alone and no more expense than those units without the weather band. It is in the current catelog as a model 12-1610 for $49.99. So they are available and ususally for little or nothing over the basic cost of the unit without the feature. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 13:24:28 -0500 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Re: After Market Weather Radios/scanners I notice that in the new Canadian Radio Shack catalogue that WX Alert functions have been removed from the scanners. Personally, I always felt that the Alert functions should over-ride the scanner function rather than having to decommission the scanning functions. I imagine that this probably was part of the reason that the Alert function was discontinued. Has anyone ever come up with a scanner that does over-ride regular scanning with Wx Radio Alerts? Wx Radio Alerts do not have a strong enough signal at my location to trip the Alert tones unless I use my scanner antenna mounted on a 40' tower. Using a splitter drops the signal strength on both my scanner and Wx radio. Any ideas? Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net Huronia Grey-Bruce weather page http://www.freeyellow.com/members/omw-rail/HuroniaGBwx.html On IRC Toronto Undernet #OnWxWatch and #OnWxTalk ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 15:07:51 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: After Market Weather Radios/scanners > Has anyone ever come up with a scanner that does over-ride regular scanning > with Wx Radio Alerts? Wx Radio Alerts do not have a strong enough signal The problem with that is you would have to have two receivers in one... The first to do the scanning, the second would have to be devoted to listening to NWR waiting for the tone. Probably not cost-effective... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 14:30:25 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Program for National EMWIN Conference, Dec. 4-5 The first EMWIN-Users Conference will be held in Houston, Texas, on Friday, December 4th and Saturday, December 5th. There is no fee for the conference, but all attendees must register. For registration information and updates to the agenda, see the Xencode Internet Web Site at http://www.weathernode.com/emwincon.asp or call Chris Grant with the NWS at 405-366-6583, extension 141. To register by e-mail, address your message to chris.grant@noaa.gov. Conference Sponsors: National Weather Service Southern Region, Harris County Office of Emergency Management, and Harris County Appraisal District. Location: Harris County Appraisal District (HCAD) Training Facility, 10th Floor, 2800 North Loop West, Houston, TX 77092. Conveniently located on Houston's near Northwest side near the intersection of Loop 610 and US 290. To reach both the conference site and conference hotel, take the T.C. Jester exit off Loop 610. Conference Hotel: Sheraton Brookhollow Hotel, 3000 North Loop West, Houston, TX 77092. The hotel has blocked 100 rooms for Thursday night, December 3, and Friday night, December 4, at a special rate of $55.00 single occupancy or $75.00 double occupancy. To receive these rates, reservations must be made direct to the hotel on or before Thursday, November 19, 1998. Mention the "EMWIN Conference" when calling 1-800-688-3000. All reservations are required to include a deposit equal to one night's stay plus tax and be received by November 19. Personal or company check, money order, or valid credit card and expiration date are acceptable. The deposit will be credited to the individual folio and is non-refundable 48 hours prior to arrival. Vendors interested in arranging hospitalitiy rooms at the hotel should contact Marcus Vann Milburn, Sales Manager, Airport Shuttle Service: Available from Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH).. $17.00 each direction. Roundtrip ticket is $32.00. AGENDA The HCAD training facility has complete audio-visual support available. Presenters who plan to use computers in the course of their presentation will have the ability to project the image on five screens. Computer image projection will also be available for the WeatherNode 4.0 software orientation sessions. Ed Covington from Zephyrus is going to bring a low powered VHF transmitter and retransmit the 9600 baud datastream for the benefit of vendors and presenters who need it to activate their equipment. Friday, December 4 9 a.m. - Registration, HCAD Training Facility. Exhibits open and refreshments. 10 a.m. - Welcome/Introductions/Administrative Jim White, Emergency Management Coordinator, Harris County, Texas; Gary Woodall, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Southern Region; Jim Robinson, Chief Appraiser/Administrator, Harris County Appraisal District, Texas. 10:15 a.m. - EMWIN Overview: Past, Present and Future: Jim Doherty, National Weather Service Headquarters 10:45 a.m. - Considerations for Setting Up a Local Broadcast Facility Panelists: Jim Robinson, HCAD; Ron Hill, Oklahoma State Emergency Management Agency; Larry Jentry, Texas Division of Emergency Management. Moderator: Gary Woodall, WCM, NWS Southern Region. 12:00 - Lunch (On Your Own). Special buffet rate available at the Sheraton Brookhollow Hotel. 1:30 p.m. - Use of Local Data Products in the Broadcast Stream Panelists: Jack Belich, St. Petersburg Times, St. Petersburg, FL; Frank Gutierrez, Harris County OEM, Houston; Tom Nichols, Emergency Communications Auxiliary of the Mid-South, Memphis, TN. Moderator, Jim Purpura, WCM, National Weather Service, Norman, OK. 2:30 p.m. - Technical Considerations for Local Data Insertion & System Networking Panelists: Mike Fleifel, Network Operations Manager, HCAD, Houston, TX; Ken Brown, National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Andrew Dorn, St. Petersburg Times, St. Petersburg, FL. Moderator: Gene Hafele, WCM, National Weather Service, Houston, TX. 3:30 p.m. - Break and refreshments. 4:00 p.m. - Open Forum (Moderated by Jim Doherty) 5:00 p.m. - Adjourn First Day's Conference 5:30 p.m. - Board buses for (optional) tour of Houston TransStar, Houston and Harris County's state-of-the art emergency operations and traffic control center. Concurrent training sessions in use of WeatherNode 4.0 to be from 1:30-2:30 and 3:00-4:00 in Brookhollow Central II Training Room. Conducted by Xenocode. Similar concurrent sessions on Saturday from 8:30-9:30 and 10:00-11:00) Saturday, December 5 8 a.m. - Registration, HCAD Training Facility. Exhibits open and refreshments. 8:30 a.m. - The EMWIN Product Suite Presenter: Jim Doherty, National Weather Service Moderator: Gary Woodall, WCM, NWS Southern Region. 9:30 a.m. - Use of WeatherNode Plug-Ins & Add-Ons Panelists: Jerry Johnson, Xenocode; Jim Purpura, NWS Moderator: Gary Woodall, NWS Southern Region 10:30 a.m. - Break 10:45 a.m. - Methods of EMWIN Dissemination Panelists: Jim Doherty, NWS; Jerry Johnson, Xenocode Moderator: Gene Hafele, NWS Houston-Galveston 11:30 a.m. - Vendor Comments Commentators: All EMWIN-related vendors present at conference. Moderator: Gene Hafele, NWS Houston-Galveston 12:30 p.m. - Open Forum Commentators: All presenters from both days will respond to audience questions. 1:00 p.m. - Adjourn Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:23:32 EDT From: William Hipkins SET WX-TALK NODIGEST Subject: Book Liquidation WeatherWatch Inc still has books left over from our clearance sale. For an updated list, email wxwatchmag@aol.com all books 50% or more off retail price. WeatherWatch INC ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 20:31:22 -0700 From: Matt Rosier Subject: RCMs on the net? Does anybody happen to know of a site on the internet that has NEXRAD RCMs? I know that there's a site that has RCMs for midwest radar sites, however I'm looking for LWX/DIX/CCX RCMs. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks! Matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 19:05:20 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: RCMs on the net? Matt, See: http://adds.awc-kc.noaa.gov/ for plotted RCMs (under the radar section) Kevin Matt Rosier wrote: > > Does anybody happen to know of a site on the internet that has NEXRAD RCMs? > I know that there's a site that has RCMs for midwest radar sites, however > I'm looking for LWX/DIX/CCX RCMs. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks! > > Matt > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:52:59 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: UNCC model data = gone? I notice that the model data on UNCC's weather server has disappeared. Anyone know what's up? Matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:59:34 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: RCMs on the net? For pure RCM code, try: ftp://info.abrfc.noaa.gov/RCMS/ Tim Vasquez Norman, Oklahoma http://www.weathergraphics.com/ At 08:31 PM 10/21/98 -0700, you wrote: >Does anybody happen to know of a site on the internet that has NEXRAD RCMs? >I know that there's a site that has RCMs for midwest radar sites, however >I'm looking for LWX/DIX/CCX RCMs. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks! > >Matt ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1998 to 21 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Oct 23 13:54:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4097 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-6318>; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 13:09:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB14522; Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:07:37 -0500 Message-Id: <199810230507.AAB14522@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:02:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1998 to 22 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e3321001da55f16bec6fac90246f7dc1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 272 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1998 to 21 Oct 1998 2. Scanners and NWR (2) 3. Weather Radio Alarmable Scanners (2) 4. Weather Underground. 5. Book Liquidation +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 01:05:52 -0500 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1998 to 21 Oct 1998 Tim Vasquez wrote: >Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:59:34 -0500 >From: Tim Vasquez >Subject: Re: RCMs on the net? > >For pure RCM code, try: > > ftp://info.abrfc.noaa.gov/RCMS/ > >Tim Vasquez >Norman, Oklahoma >http://www.weathergraphics.com/ The ABRFC sight has a number of RCM's available. You'll also find the GDRCM software available for download from the NWS Dodge City Home page under the emergency managers and skywarn sections. This software written by Larry Henson allows decoding plotting and even looping of the RCM data on a radar like screen. http://www.dodgecity.net/nws/ Cheers!! *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 06:51:33 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Scanners and NWR Bearcat/Uniden sells a little scanner intended for mobile operation that allows normal scanning while the unit silently monitors NWR for the alert tone. See: http://www.pulse.net/storm/bct12.htm for more information on this scanner. From the operation of the scanner, it appears that it has one, maybe two receivers. One receiver is shared between "normal" scanning and NWR (it switches back and forth between the two functions) and it seems that a second receiver may be devoted to "offline" monitoring for highway patrol "extender" transmitters. I'm not sure, but from observing the operation of the unit, it appears that this is likely. With the advent of large scale integration, the addition of a second dedicated receiver circuitry inside a typical radio is no longer cost or size prohibitive. The addition of a second receiver circuit may initially increase cost during recovery of non-recurring engineering (design) cost, but in mass production, the difference should be insignificant. Now when the marketing boys get ahold of it, the price may be artificially inflated because of the additional value they expect the public to perceive, but that's not because of the manufacturing cost or the cost of parts. In the long run, competition tends to deflate artificially high costs of new technology. Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 10:19:03 -0400 From: Larry Krudwig Subject: Weather Radio Alarmable Scanners This is a followup to a comment made in a previous WXTALK about the subject. There was a model of scanner made by the Regency Electronics Corp of Indianapolis, IN that could act as a normal scanner but be switched to the weather radio channel in case of a warning with the alarm tone. Scanners look for the presence of a carrier to lock on a channel. Since the weather radio is a continuous carrier, they configured channel 15 of the scanner as THE WEATHER CHANNEL. The scanner would ignore the presence of carrier on that channel. However, it would electronically check channel 15 every 1-2 seconds for the warning alarm tone. If it detected it, the unit would drop the other channels and switch immediately to the weather. This company was bought out in the late 1970s or early '80s and eventually lost its identity and the product line. This company was also the first to build and market a consumer priced, crystal controled, truely tone demuting, weather radio receiver. The problem with the scanner product, however, which was introduced in the late '70s, was, like most scanners at the time, rather expensive for the average homeowner. There were less than 100 weather radio stations on the air at the time and the service not well known by the public so the demand was rather low. The added cost for the alerting function only added a few bucks to the cost of a similar scanner without. So, the technology to do as suggested has been around for a long time and the cost not really a factor in its availability. Hope that clears up the issue. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:33:51 -0600 From: The White Rat Subject: Re: Weather Radio Alarmable Scanners Ironically I just found a Uniden model scanner that has a weather alert feature just like the NOAA weather radios. I believe this one works a bit differently though. I don't think it scans the NOAA channel, but rather it has a separate channel that always monitors the NOAA freq. as does the weather radio and then it sends out a tone just like our weather radios do, for you to deactivate and listen to. The only minor incovenience I see is that the weather alert is not programmable like the new NOAA radios are. So if your local NOAA station covers a large area, you may get other Counties' warnings throughout the day or night when you may be sleeping. If anyone is interested, I found this Uniden Model at a local K-Mart here in Pueblo. Just my two cents. -- David The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! Larry Krudwig wrote: > This is a followup to a comment made in a previous WXTALK about the > subject. There was a model of scanner made by the Regency Electronics > Corp of Indianapolis, IN that could act as a normal scanner but be > switched to the weather radio channel in case of a warning with the > alarm tone. Scanners look for the presence of a carrier to lock on a > channel. Since the weather radio is a continuous carrier, they > configured channel 15 of the scanner as THE WEATHER CHANNEL. The > scanner would ignore the presence of carrier on that channel. > However, it would electronically check channel 15 every 1-2 seconds > for the warning alarm tone. If it detected it, the unit would drop > the other channels and switch immediately to the weather. > > This company was bought out in the late 1970s or early '80s and > eventually lost its identity and the product line. This company was > also the first to build and market a consumer priced, crystal > controled, truely tone demuting, weather radio receiver. The problem > with the scanner product, however, which was introduced in the late > '70s, was, like most scanners at the time, rather expensive for the > average homeowner. There were less than 100 weather radio stations on > the air at the time and the service not well known by the public so > the demand was rather low. The added cost for the alerting function > only added a few bucks to the cost of a similar scanner without. So, > the technology to do as suggested has been around for a long time and > the cost not really a factor in its availability. > > Hope that clears up the issue. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:36:46 -0600 From: The White Rat Subject: Re: Scanners and NWR The Uniden model I found at the local K-Mart was a desktop model. Perhaps it can be adapted for mobile use. I believe it retail for approx. $119.00. -- David The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! Sam Barricklow wrote: > Bearcat/Uniden sells a little scanner intended for mobile operation that > allows normal scanning while the unit silently monitors NWR for the > alert tone. See: > > http://www.pulse.net/storm/bct12.htm > > for more information on this scanner. From the operation of the > scanner, it appears that it has one, maybe two receivers. One receiver > is shared between "normal" scanning and NWR (it switches back and forth > between the two functions) and it seems that a second receiver may be > devoted to "offline" monitoring for highway patrol "extender" > transmitters. I'm not sure, but from observing the operation of the > unit, it appears that this is likely. > > With the advent of large scale integration, the addition of a second > dedicated receiver circuitry inside a typical radio is no longer cost or > size prohibitive. The addition of a second receiver circuit may > initially increase cost during recovery of non-recurring engineering > (design) cost, but in mass production, the difference should be > insignificant. > > Now when the marketing boys get ahold of it, the price may be > artificially inflated because of the additional value they expect the > public to perceive, but that's not because of the manufacturing cost or > the cost of parts. In the long run, competition tends to deflate > artificially high costs of new technology. > > Sam Barricklow > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:03:08 -0500 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Weather Underground. Has anyone noticed the following things seemed to have changed at the Weather Underground telnet service? It is no longer on port 3000, it is just using the default telnet port. Also, all the severe weather statements, flood statements, etc have no data. Even if there are issued warnings, there is no data. Any ideas on what happened? - Mark weather@bcpl.net ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Weather Station (410) 569-8215 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304)- ---------------------------- Bel Air, Maryland ------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:10:46 -0500 From: Darrin Hansing Subject: Re: Book Liquidation Please send a list of remaining available books. Thanks Darrin Hansing Darrin Hansing Email: Darrin.Hansing@valpo.edu Valparaiso University ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1998 to 22 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Oct 24 15:28:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1198 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626711-8407>; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 13:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA63996; Sat, 24 Oct 1998 00:13:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199810240513.AAA63996@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 00:04:44 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Oct 1998 to 23 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fdd63cfbf8b18a6f30bc7c7677cc46d1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 659 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Repost of National EMWIN Conference Announcement 2. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1998 to 22 Oct 1998 3. my bad... 4. Hosting offer for chasers 5. CC vs BCC -- and -- Mailing Lists and Newsgroups (Oh MY!) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 09:56:30 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Repost of National EMWIN Conference Announcement The following is reposted due to errors in the original message earlier this week: FIRST NATIONAL EMWIN CONFERENCE TO BE IN HOUSTON The first EMWIN-Users Conference will be held in Houston on Friday, December 4 and Saturday, December 5, 1998. There is no fee for the conference, but all attendees must register. For registration information and updates to the agenda, see the Xencode Internet Web Site at http://www.weathernode.com/emwincon.asp or call Chris Grant with the NWS at 405-366-6583, extension 141, or EMWIN Houston at 713-957-7498. To register by e-mail, address your message to chris.grant@noaa.gov. Conference Sponsors: National Weather Service Southern Region, Harris County Office of Emergency Management, and Harris County Appraisal District. Co-sponsored by the Texas Department of Public Safety, Division of Emergency Management. Location: Harris County Appraisal District (HCAD) Training Facility, 10th Floor, 2800 North Loop West, Houston, TX 77092. Conveniently located on Houston's near Northwest side near the intersection of Loop 610 and US 290. To reach both the conference site and conference hotel, take the T.C. Jester exit off Loop 610. Conference Hotel: Sheraton Brookhollow Hotel, 3000 North Loop West, Houston, TX 77092. The hotel has blocked 100 rooms for Thursday night, December 3, and Friday night, December 4, at a special rate of $55.00 single occupancy or $75.00 double occupancy. To receive these rates, reservations must be made direct to the hotel on or before Thursday, November 19, 1998. Mention the "EMWIN Conference" when calling 1-800-688-3000. All reservations are required to include a deposit equal to one night's stay plus tax and be received by November 19. Personal or company check, money order, or valid credit card and expiration date are acceptable. The deposit will be credited to the individual folio and is non-refundable 48 hours prior to arrival. Airport Shuttle Service: Available from Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH).. $17.00 each direction. Roundtrip ticket is $32.00. AGENDA The HCAD training facility has complete audio-visual support available. Presenters who plan to use computers in the course of their presentation will have the ability to project the image on five screens. Computer image projection will also be available for the WeatherNode 4.0 software orientation sessions. Ed Covington from Zephyrus is going to bring a low powered VHF transmitter and retransmit the 9600 baud datastream for the benefit of vendors and presenters who need it to activate their equipment. Friday, December 4 9 a.m. - Registration, HCAD Training Facility. Exhibits open and refreshments. 10 a.m. - Welcome/Introductions/Administrative Jim White, Emergency Management Coordinator, Harris County, Texas; Gary Woodall, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Southern Region; Jim Robinson, Coordinator for EMWIN Houston. 10:15 a.m. - EMWIN Overview: Past, Present and Future: Jim Doherty, National Weather Service Headquarters. 10:45 a.m. - Considerations for Setting Up a Local Broadcast Facility Panelists: Jim Robinson, HCAD; Ron Hill, Oklahoma State Emergency Management Agency; Larry Jentry, Texas Division of Emergency Management. Moderator: Gary Woodall, WCM, NWS Southern Region. 12:00 - Lunch (On Your Own). Special buffet rate available at the Sheraton Brookhollow Hotel. 1:30 p.m. - Use of Local Data Products in the Broadcast Stream Panelists: Jack Belich, St. Petersburg Times, St. Petersburg, FL; Frank Gutierrez, Harris County OEM, Houston; Tom Nichols, Emergency Communications Auxiliary of the Mid-South, Memphis, TN. Moderator, Jim Purpura, WCM, National Weather Service, Norman, OK. 2:30 p.m. - Technical Considerations for Local Data Insertion & System Networking. Panelists: Mike Fleifel, Network Operations Manager, HCAD, Houston, TX; Ken Brown, National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Andrew Dorn, St. Petersburg Times, St. Petersburg, FL. Moderator: Gene Hafele, WCM, National Weather Service, Houston, TX. 3:30 p.m. - Break and refreshments. 4:00 p.m. - Open Forum (Moderated by Jim Doherty) 5:00 p.m. - Adjourn First Day's Conference 5:30 p.m. - Board buses for (optional) tour of Houston TransStar, Houston and Harris County's state-of-the art emergency operations and traffic control center. Concurrent training sessions in use of WeatherNode 4.0 to be from 1:30-2:30 and 3:00-4:00 in Brookhollow Central II Training Room. Conducted by Xenocode. Similar concurrent sessions on Saturday from 8:30-9:30 and 10:00-11:00) Saturday, December 5 8 a.m. - Registration, HCAD Training Facility. Exhibits open and refreshments. 8:30 a.m. - The EMWIN Product Suite Presenter: Jim Doherty, National Weather Service Headquarters. Moderator: Gary Woodall, WCM, NWS Southern Region. 9:30 a.m. - Use of WeatherNode Plug-Ins & Add-Ons Panelists: Jerry Johnson, Xenocode; Jim Purpura, NWS, Norman, OK. Moderator: Gary Woodall, NWS Southern Region. 10:30 a.m. - Break 10:45 a.m. - Methods of EMWIN Dissemination Panelists: Jim Doherty, NWS; Jerry Johnson, Xenocode. Moderator: Gene Hafele, NWS Houston-Galveston. 11:30 a.m. - Vendor Comments Commentators: All EMWIN-related vendors present at conference. Moderator: Gene Hafele, NWS Houston-Galveston. 12:30 p.m. - Open Forum Commentators: All presenters from both days will respond to audience questions. 1:00 p.m. - Adjourn - - - - - - - - - - - Jim Robinson, EMWIN Houston, TX Jim Purpura, WCM, NWS Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 14:33:00 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1998 to 22 Oct 1998 On Fri, 23 Oct 1998 00:02:00 -0500 Automatic digest processor wrote: > There are 7 messages totalling 272 lines in this issue. > > Topics of the day: > > 1. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1998 to 21 Oct 1998 > 2. Scanners and NWR (2) > 3. Weather Radio Alarmable Scanners (2) > 4. Weather Underground. > 5. Book Liquidation > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 01:05:52 -0500 > From: Jim Johnson > Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1998 to 21 Oct 1998 > > Tim Vasquez wrote: > >Date: Wed, 21 Oct 1998 21:59:34 -0500 > >From: Tim Vasquez > >Subject: Re: RCMs on the net? > > > >For pure RCM code, try: > > > > ftp://info.abrfc.noaa.gov/RCMS/ > > > >Tim Vasquez > >Norman, Oklahoma > >http://www.weathergraphics.com/ > > The ABRFC sight has a number of RCM's available. You'll also find > the GDRCM software available for download from the NWS Dodge City > Home page under the emergency managers and skywarn sections. This > software written by Larry Henson allows decoding plotting and even > looping of the RCM data on a radar like screen. > > http://www.dodgecity.net/nws/ > > Cheers!! > > *************************************************************** > *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* > *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* > *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* > *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* > *************************************************************** > * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * > * - Axel Hammond - * > *************************************************************** > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 06:51:33 -0500 > From: Sam Barricklow > Subject: Scanners and NWR > > Bearcat/Uniden sells a little scanner intended for mobile operation that > allows normal scanning while the unit silently monitors NWR for the > alert tone. See: > > http://www.pulse.net/storm/bct12.htm > > for more information on this scanner. From the operation of the > scanner, it appears that it has one, maybe two receivers. One receiver > is shared between "normal" scanning and NWR (it switches back and forth > between the two functions) and it seems that a second receiver may be > devoted to "offline" monitoring for highway patrol "extender" > transmitters. I'm not sure, but from observing the operation of the > unit, it appears that this is likely. > > With the advent of large scale integration, the addition of a second > dedicated receiver circuitry inside a typical radio is no longer cost or > size prohibitive. The addition of a second receiver circuit may > initially increase cost during recovery of non-recurring engineering > (design) cost, but in mass production, the difference should be > insignificant. > > Now when the marketing boys get ahold of it, the price may be > artificially inflated because of the additional value they expect the > public to perceive, but that's not because of the manufacturing cost or > the cost of parts. In the long run, competition tends to deflate > artificially high costs of new technology. > > Sam Barricklow > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 10:19:03 -0400 > From: Larry Krudwig > Subject: Weather Radio Alarmable Scanners > > This is a followup to a comment made in a previous WXTALK about the > subject. There was a model of scanner made by the Regency Electronics > Corp of Indianapolis, IN that could act as a normal scanner but be > switched to the weather radio channel in case of a warning with the > alarm tone. Scanners look for the presence of a carrier to lock on a > channel. Since the weather radio is a continuous carrier, they > configured channel 15 of the scanner as THE WEATHER CHANNEL. The > scanner would ignore the presence of carrier on that channel. > However, it would electronically check channel 15 every 1-2 seconds > for the warning alarm tone. If it detected it, the unit would drop > the other channels and switch immediately to the weather. > > This company was bought out in the late 1970s or early '80s and > eventually lost its identity and the product line. This company was > also the first to build and market a consumer priced, crystal > controled, truely tone demuting, weather radio receiver. The problem > with the scanner product, however, which was introduced in the late > '70s, was, like most scanners at the time, rather expensive for the > average homeowner. There were less than 100 weather radio stations on > the air at the time and the service not well known by the public so > the demand was rather low. The added cost for the alerting function > only added a few bucks to the cost of a similar scanner without. So, > the technology to do as suggested has been around for a long time and > the cost not really a factor in its availability. > > Hope that clears up the issue. > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:33:51 -0600 > From: The White Rat > Subject: Re: Weather Radio Alarmable Scanners > > Ironically I just found a Uniden model scanner that has a weather alert > feature just like the NOAA weather radios. I believe this one works a bit > differently though. I don't think it scans the NOAA channel, but rather it has > a separate channel that always monitors the NOAA freq. as does the weather > radio and then it sends out a tone just like our weather radios do, for you to > deactivate and listen to. The only minor incovenience I see is that the > weather alert is not programmable like the new NOAA radios are. So if your > local NOAA station covers a large area, you may get other Counties' warnings > throughout the day or night when you may be sleeping. > > If anyone is interested, I found this Uniden Model at a local K-Mart here > in Pueblo. > > Just my two cents. > > -- > David > > The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" > Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. > > DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET > > "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. > Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two > Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! > > > > > > Larry Krudwig wrote: > > > This is a followup to a comment made in a previous WXTALK about the > > subject. There was a model of scanner made by the Regency Electronics > > Corp of Indianapolis, IN that could act as a normal scanner but be > > switched to the weather radio channel in case of a warning with the > > alarm tone. Scanners look for the presence of a carrier to lock on a > > channel. Since the weather radio is a continuous carrier, they > > configured channel 15 of the scanner as THE WEATHER CHANNEL. The > > scanner would ignore the presence of carrier on that channel. > > However, it would electronically check channel 15 every 1-2 seconds > > for the warning alarm tone. If it detected it, the unit would drop > > the other channels and switch immediately to the weather. > > > > This company was bought out in the late 1970s or early '80s and > > eventually lost its identity and the product line. This company was > > also the first to build and market a consumer priced, crystal > > controled, truely tone demuting, weather radio receiver. The problem > > with the scanner product, however, which was introduced in the late > > '70s, was, like most scanners at the time, rather expensive for the > > average homeowner. There were less than 100 weather radio stations on > > the air at the time and the service not well known by the public so > > the demand was rather low. The added cost for the alerting function > > only added a few bucks to the cost of a similar scanner without. So, > > the technology to do as suggested has been around for a long time and > > the cost not really a factor in its availability. > > > > Hope that clears up the issue. > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 13:36:46 -0600 > From: The White Rat > Subject: Re: Scanners and NWR > > The Uniden model I found at the local K-Mart was a desktop model. > Perhaps it can be adapted for mobile use. I believe it retail for approx. > $119.00. > > -- > David > > The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" > Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. > > DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET > > "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. > Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two > Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! > > > Sam Barricklow wrote: > > > Bearcat/Uniden sells a little scanner intended for mobile operation that > > allows normal scanning while the unit silently monitors NWR for the > > alert tone. See: > > > > http://www.pulse.net/storm/bct12.htm > > > > for more information on this scanner. From the operation of the > > scanner, it appears that it has one, maybe two receivers. One receiver > > is shared between "normal" scanning and NWR (it switches back and forth > > between the two functions) and it seems that a second receiver may be > > devoted to "offline" monitoring for highway patrol "extender" > > transmitters. I'm not sure, but from observing the operation of the > > unit, it appears that this is likely. > > > > With the advent of large scale integration, the addition of a second > > dedicated receiver circuitry inside a typical radio is no longer cost or > > size prohibitive. The addition of a second receiver circuit may > > initially increase cost during recovery of non-recurring engineering > > (design) cost, but in mass production, the difference should be > > insignificant. > > > > Now when the marketing boys get ahold of it, the price may be > > artificially inflated because of the additional value they expect the > > public to perceive, but that's not because of the manufacturing cost or > > the cost of parts. In the long run, competition tends to deflate > > artificially high costs of new technology. > > > > Sam Barricklow > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------- > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:03:08 -0500 > From: Mark Hofmann > Subject: Weather Underground. > > Has anyone noticed the following things seemed to have changed at the Weather > Underground telnet service? It is no longer on port 3000, it is just using the > default telnet port. > > Also, all the severe weather statements, flood statements, etc have no data. > Even if there are issued warnings, there is no data. Any ideas on what > happened? > > - Mark > weather@bcpl.net Mark, I do believe they switched servers... I have had the same results in the past, but I have recently found the current server that Weather Underground is using... telnet to: madlab.sprl.umich.edu it should work... ~Matt.Hartman _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant . `\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Meteorology Major * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== > > > ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- > - Weather Station (410) 569-8215 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304)- > ---------------------------- Bel Air, Maryland ------------------------------ > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 22 Oct 1998 21:10:46 -0500 > From: Darrin Hansing > Subject: Re: Book Liquidation > > Please send a list of remaining available books. Thanks > Darrin Hansing > > Darrin Hansing > Email: Darrin.Hansing@valpo.edu > Valparaiso University > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1998 to 22 Oct 1998 > ************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 16:16:26 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: my bad... I just wanted to write to you all to say I'm sorry for my screw up. I think I hit a wrong button... :) I'll see to it that it never happens again. sorry if this has caused any type of inconvenience for you all Matt.H _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant . `\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Meteorology Major * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:39:54 -0600 From: Ralph Forsythe Subject: Hosting offer for chasers This is a cross-post of what I put as a reply in WX-CHASE. Let me know if you're interested... >Not to sound like a lackey for Tim Marshall (though I do subscribe), don't >forget to send those chase reports for October into Storm Track in addtion to >posting them on the web and be sure to include your chase strategy, any maps you >may have made, etc. > >It's great to see the photos, but its even better to see your chase maps and >read your thinking in detail in ST... Great idea! Just to let you all know, if any of you need server space to put that stuff up, I will provide it to the chase community free of charge. My server (Unix O/S) is located on a dedicated frame relay (T-1) and drive space is not an issue. You can administer the pages using FrontPage or just code them in HTML. I'm also willing to scan in pics/maps/whatever, however please realize that since that takes time for me to do, it may take a little while for me to get around to it. (I do have a day job, after all...) If you want/need space for a chase site, just drop me an email and I'll set up a directory for you to use and give you the necessary info. Also, (a blatant and totally self-serving attempt to make you all go there) check out my weather site at http://weather.centerone.com. Mainly I recommend the frames version for the time being (more stuff to look at), and welcome any feedback you can give on it. Thanks! - Ralph Forsythe, KC0CSO ralph@centerone.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 22:22:31 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: CC vs BCC -- and -- Mailing Lists and Newsgroups (Oh MY!) Apologies to everyone for the "off-topic-ness" of this, and for the bandwidth. But, I thought you all might like to know about it... In the below message, I would like for you (Mr. Bose) and you (Mr. Jackson) and everyone else in the list to notice just how LONG all these CC e-mail addresses are when placed together in a CC list like this (referring to message after my tagline). [Waits a few for everyone to come back] ...Did it bug yuh having to scroll through all that? Now, let's move on to Lesson #1 here -- CC vs BCC: Always use *BCC* if you MUST send lots of people e-mail. Why? Because all the reciever at the end sees is HIS or HER e-mail address, while all the rest remain hidden, and they don't have to page down twenty pages of e-mail addresses before getting to the final two-line message. (I was kind and put multiple addresses per one line. But as my own reader puts them out, its one e-mail address per line. So, TRIPLE or QUADRUPLE the number of page flips for me before finally getting to the all-important message at the end.) Apparently not many people know the difference between CC and BCC. I just educated some of them. Lesson #2 -- Don't copy addresses anyway: You shouldn't have to manually swipe a mailing list's list of users, or one-by-one copy each and every individual e-mail address found floating in a particular newsgroup, and then duplicate them into a CC list in order to request those people to "view" your weather site. (There's a much simpler solution which does the same thing with much less typing: Ref Lesson #3, below.) Lesson #3 -- Just "subscribe"; its easier: If you're trying to talk to people in a related list or newsgroup, why not use the list or the newsgroup then, eh? Accomplishes the exact same thing -- WITHOUT the long list of e-mail addresses. And its simple to use, too! All you have to do is "subscribe." As well, messages like the below then don't cause other people to COPY your method (like Mr. Jackson did), thus doubling the irritation to others. Lastly, there's one thing that makes me wonder and which may possibly make me and others upset: Are you arbitrarily just putting people permanently into your own personal "mailing list" that you intend to use from now on into the unknown future? ... without first asking these individuals if they even WANT to be on this list? or even first TELLING these people that they ARE on your list? If so, please don't do that. Thanks, Todd (Apologies to Chris on the bandwidth and for being off topic this time. But, I thought it important to nip it, and to alert others in here of it.) /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 16:12:41 -0700 (PDT) From: Justyn Jackson To: ZHAPPNIN@aol.com, candersn@iastate.edu, richard.beattie@bailey.com, paul@cravenfamily.com, rickdavis@hotmail.com, jfarley@siue.edu, w9kid@ibwh.com, afrederc@iastate.edu, gfritz@psci.net, soybean@voyager.net, weatherman@axom.com, kiesling@scc.net, tkitts@tir.com, Astrosfan1@aol.com, k5kj@pulse.net, mbiddle@ou.edu, scott10@flash.net, tblair@communitynetworks.net, blanch@ncar.ucar.edu, blaser@kwtv.com, psca@iglobal.net, XxBoz777xX@aol.com, kbrewster@ou.edu, strmchsr@midwest.net, BBKN@aol.com, s9d3521@drms.dla.mil, aprwx@aprweather.com, derecho@mailexcite.com, ef0gls1@corn.cso.nui.edu, brooks@nssl.noaa.gov, kbbrown@ou.edu, visha@worldnet.att.net, erc@pobox.com, Ouchfixer@aol.com, conway@nsslsun.nssl.uoknor.edu, ccrosbie@rossby.metr.ou.edu, ebcurrna@flash.net, dave@stormguy.com, curtis@vvm.com, mdennis@skywarn.net, cdoswell@telepath.com, ceads@pulse.net, storms@pair.com, tornado@wildstar.net, mengel@rossby.metr.ou.edu, rjpro@earthlink.net, ralph@centerone.com, jackie@hcis.net, robweis@ync.net, tornados@wi.net, jbish@home.com, crowthe@ix.netcom.com, tornadotreeguy@hotmail.com, editor@mail.weathervine.com, jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com, narjs@ci.greensboro.nc.us, nick@stormfury.com, jason@doctormail.com, afn09444@afn.org, powell@scsn.net, chs2939@iamerica.net, larry1@vnet.net, jeff@sunshinemarket.com, j@weatherwatchers.org, CNIKKI340@aol.com, billhark@geocities.com, SkyDiary@aol.com, storm@toolcity.net, morganti@ix.netcom.com, stormkid@flash.net, sabbatt@concentric.net, andey@earthlink.net, montever@sfsu.edu, ozone@primenet.com, 73551.2512@compuserve.com, mridge@micron.net, changcl@cadvision.com, lauraduchesne@hotmail.com, pjkerrin@sympatico.ca, kerry@yucc.yorku.ca, patrick.mccarthy@ec.ge.ca, shaunmc@telusplanet.net, davepatrick@ontarioweather.com, dsills@numbus.yorku.ca, mbath@penman.es.mq.edu.au, jimmyd@ozemail.com.au, dlesi@geocities.com, paulmos@tpgi.com.au, michaelt@ozemail.com.au, davidsh@mail.geocities.com, storm.chaser@technologist.com Subject: Re: wx site [..."please visit my site" requests by Mr. Bose and Mr. Jackson removed for brevity] ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Oct 1998 to 23 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Oct 25 13:31:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1532 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-27945>; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 13:07:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA71442; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:05:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199810250505.AAA71442@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 00:01:58 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Oct 1998 to 24 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c82a4ec5b53fb114314db2ae1b4e5306 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 98 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Twister II update (2) 2. Lightning data 3. Update to National EMWIN Conference Agenda 4. Images and loops of Hurricane Mitch +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 09:47:02 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Twister II update >From http://www.corona.bc.ca/films/details/twister2.html -- October 20, 1998... Somebody who wants some credit says: "Just when you thought it was safe to come out of the root cellar, another tornado movie is starting to swirl. Warner Bros. has hired Darren Lemke to write a sequel to Twister, the 1996 hit that earned almost $500 million around the world. Variety says neither Helen Hunt nor Bill Paxton, the stars of the original, or Jan De Bont, the director, are onboard yet but sources say the sequel is being written with Hunt and Paxton in mind. The Twister 2 script will be based on a story by Michael Crichton, who co-wrote the original film." [Originally appeared in Variety; reported by 'givemesomecreditforonce...' Sure thing, buddy.] ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 08:27:03 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Lightning data Dan Reese wrote: > > Anyone in these weather groups know where there's a > lightning map or data page online? Thanx. Hi Dan, Go to http://www.theweatherstation.com/accuweather/ltus4p.gif http://www.theweatherstation.com/accuweather/ltse4p.gif Hope this helps. Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 12:37:50 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Update to National EMWIN Conference Agenda The recently announced agenda for the National EMWIN Conference in Houston on Dec. 4 & 5, 1998, is being updated to include a presentation by Tim Vasquez regarding use of the Digital Atmosphere product in conjunction with the EMWIN datastream. A revision will be posted here by early next week. In the meantime, those interested in attending may register by e-mail to chris.grant@noaa.gov. Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 11:56:21 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Images and loops of Hurricane Mitch See: http://defiant.wrh.noaa.gov/hurr for the latest images and loops of Hurricane Mitch. Kevin ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 Oct 1998 16:03:56 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Twister II update Okay, now everybody got your "NO EL-NINO STORY LINES!" picket signs with them? Great. Let's head to Michael's house and set up a small picket line. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Oct 1998 to 24 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Oct 26 13:23:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4935 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627007-8125>; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:07:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA66910; Sun, 25 Oct 1998 23:05:39 -0600 Message-Id: <199810260505.XAA66910@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 00:01:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Oct 1998 to 25 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49b0827db28265bd3c2cfbe11c1baeb0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 97 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Mitch...Wow. 2. Hurricane Mitch Images 3. Hurricane Mitch +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 01:25:40 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Mitch...Wow. Do yuh-all realize that that thing went from 60mph winds last night to 120 mph this afternoon! Holy COW, man! Is it on steroids or something? :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 18:31:29 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Hurricane Mitch Images We now have some NOAA AVHRR images of Hurricane Mitch on our web site. There also are tracking maps and a text file with winds, pressure, etc. Please go to: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ Hope you find the images of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 18:56:02 -0600 From: Matt Hartman Subject: Hurricane Mitch A short comment on Mitch... I was just wondering if anyone, besides myself, noticed the "awesome" strengthening of Mitch over the past 24 hours. I was quite awe-struck by the deepening of the system from last nite. I went to bed pondering a 972mb hurricane only to turn to the Purdue Tropical Page early this evening to find a 924mb, 150mph cat 4...!! Does anyone think Mitch will be able to hold this strength over the next few days when the High over the gulf coast migrates east possibly pulling the system northward...? I'm trying to believe Mitch is maxing out the present time and will start to decrease in intensity over the next 48 hrs. But, as I turn to the weather channel and see the loop it appears to be on a westward track now...due the High over the gulf. The eta model is showing east-northeastward movement of the high on the 48 hr forecast. Maybe this will pull it northwestward. Hopefully, the people of the Yucatan Peninsula, rather than of Nicaragua and Honduras, is watching this thing... No matter what, this is a very dangerous storm and where-ever it may go, expect the worse. Matt.H _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant . `\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Meteorology Major * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Oct 1998 to 25 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Oct 27 13:14:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3212 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627250-22424>; Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:06:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id XAA56358; Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:03:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199810270503.XAA56358@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 00:01:04 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Oct 1998 to 26 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4b1d47009cf58f6c00a5d4f679a66742 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 364 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. lightning strikes players at soccer match 2. Spotters & Poisonous Plants 3. Hurricane Mitch (2) 4. Blue Rain 5. NSSL/SPC Merchandise - Special SALE prices!!! 6. WHXX troubles? 7. 180mph Mitch = Historical? Table and Discussion 8. Swan Island & Hurricane Janet 9. Swan Island: In the Eye of the Storm 10. mitch 11. GOES-8 imagery of Hurricane Mitch 12. progs_Hurricane Mitch 13. 1999 3rd Annual Central Iowa National Weather Association Conference +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 25 Oct 1998 22:34:25 -0800 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: lightning strikes players at soccer match http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/africa/newsid_201000/201159.stm Ken Tarvin San Diego, CA ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 02:16:08 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Spotters & Poisonous Plants Lets see. How should I start this? How bout... While spotting our clear blue skies of late for signs of severe storms (you never know)... ...Nah. Aw hell. How bout just plain honesty. Yah. That'll work... While roaming the back end of the yard behind my trailer scouting areas with fields of view in varying directions for use when storms approach in the distance, wherein a small creek flows back in there, I inadvertantly brushed my right arm upon a small bush with long, thick, stiff green leaves. A day later, on the spot on my arm where the leaves brushed me, red areas appeared. These red areas on my arm now have small "pimples" today. Did I do it? TELL me that I didn't. Did I just touch poison ivy or some other poisonous plant? And if I did, do I HAVE to tell my spotting partners what I did as punishment for being stupid? or can I keep it to myself and just take some OTHER form of punishment? 8-) And how come nobody put any warnings about this in the spotter training manuals? 8^) Oy! I think I was *12* when last this happened to me! How embarrassing! Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 08:04:45 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Hurricane Mitch > > Does anyone think Mitch will be able to hold this strength over the next > few days when the High over the gulf coast migrates east possibly pulling > the system northward...? I'm trying to believe Mitch is maxing out the > present time and will start to decrease in intensity over the next 48 hrs. I would be surprised if Mitch was in steady-state for the next couple of days. The ocean/atmosphere is not, so why should Mitch be? Scott, realizing he really should look at the historical archive to see if big storms actually do become steady state, but deciding not to, at his peril. -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:22:00 EST From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Hurricane Mitch Hurricane Mitch had some explosive development. Its central pressure went down approximately 49 millibars in a span of 20 hours. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 09:06:12 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Blue Rain *** Fires caused blue rain in Argentina BUENOS AIRES, Argentina (Reuters) - Blue rain that astonished residents of a northern Argentine town in September was caused by ash from forest fires, government scientists said Saturday. Ash from huge fires to the north in Bolivia and Brazil blew over Argentina and mixed with the rain, giving it a bluish tint, scientists from the Corrientes province health ministry said, according to the state-run Telam news agency. Baffled locals from the town of Perugorria collected samples of the strange rain when it fell Sept. 2, and handed it over to the government for analysis. A health ministry lab found ash in the rain water that it linked to the forest fires after studying meteorological records. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 11:02:03 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise - Special SALE prices!!! Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! NOTE: We are currently reducing our stocks to re-establish funds for the NSEA's employees holiday functions and for a re-stock of merchandise prior to the holiday season. We will frequently be updating the selection below based on our latest inventories. If a particular color or size is not available, please check back with the Web pag again by about Thanksgiving for information about the entire selection. Please do not order anything that is currently not in stock, but you can send us an inquiry. **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** Because of this, all NSSL teeshirts and golf shirts are on SALE for considerable discounts! See the Web page for details and prices. **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** The fall chase season is here! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing now! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 13:44:58 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: WHXX troubles? The last few bulletins I've noticed don't have any intensity forecasts in them (i.e. future intensity always zero.) Is that intentional or has something gone wrong with the intensity models? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 23:54:40 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: 180mph Mitch = Historical? Table and Discussion http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/13/mitch.html Discussion/Table of Strongest Hurricanes ever. Let me know if I'm missing anything. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "They're not who we're looking for; they're just meteorologists- storm chasers." --Peter Watts, "Millennium" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 19:43:34 -0600 From: Gary Padgett Subject: Swan Island & Hurricane Janet > > ...EYE OF CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MITCH MOVING OVER SWAN ISLAND... > This isn't the first time this century that tiny Swan Island has been struck head-on by a Cat. 5 hurricane. Around noon on 27 Sep 1955 the eye of Hurricane Janet moved directly over the island. For those of you who have access to Dunn and Millers' classic book _Atlantic Hurricane_, the first chapter includes an eyewitness account of Janet's passage over the island. The lowest pressure reported in the Best Track file for Janet was 914 mb at 27/0600Z. Except for 938 mb given at 27/1200Z, no more pressure readings were given before the hurricane made land near Chetumal, Mexico around 28/0600Z. Dunn and Miller report that the anemometer at the airport terminal building in Chetumal registered 175 mph before it collapsed. Eyewitnesses reported the wind continued to increase and was estimated to have reached 200 mph. The authors don't report the time averaging period for the reading, but I gather that it is a sustained wind of some sort and not a gust. According to an atlas, Chetumal lies on the west shore of a large bay which is separated from the Caribbean by a peninsula, and looks like it (Chetumal) is at least 30 nm away from the open Caribbean, maybe more. So all this suggests to me that, even though we have no way of proving it, Janet was quite likely a hurricane in the class of Allen, Camille, and now Mitch (maybe not quite a Gilbert). ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:10:21 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Swan Island: In the Eye of the Storm At 8pm on 10/26/98 the NHC stated: "...EYE OF CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MITCH MOVING OVER SWAN ISLAND..." Info on Swan Island, help me out if you know more http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1998/13/swan.html Jesse Ferrell | CASI | www.weatherwatchers.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:39:15 -0600 From: * Subject: mitch When looking at a possible track, you need to look at the mid and upper levels more. Strong mid-level ridging should keep this out of the western gulf. Mexico and central amercia are the most likely options. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 02:56:41 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: GOES-8 imagery of Hurricane Mitch GOES Enthusiasts, GOES-8 visible, IR and water vapor imagery of Hurricane Mitch has been added to our CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/981026.html Beauty of a storm, eh? -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:48:20 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: progs_Hurricane Mitch Again, something has caught my eye on this "little" system called Mitch... The more I look at the sat. loops I see jogs to the north. I think the influence of the High's movement to the northeast has began to pull the track northwestward toward the Yucatan. My forecast for Mitch to slow up, like he has proven today, and take a more northerly track is holding up. From looking at recent IR loops I see that the track is taking it over the Yucatan and into the Bay of Campeche. Maybe the people of the Gulf states should start looking at this system more seriously as a threat. The weakening that everyone is progging or so it seems, may and most likely will happen, but if it emerges into Campeche, it may regenerate into another cat 4 stage. Assuming that Mitch downgrades to a less than cat. 4 hurricane. We'll just have to see where it goes... The latest probability graphic from NHC: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT13/AL1398P.GIF has Mitch taking this northwestward movement that I had previously forecasted. If Mitch enters the gulf with its current intensity or with a cat 4 or less strength--with intensification, we may have a serious situation sitting in our hands. ------ Matt.H _________________ \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\, ---- \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Matt Hartman \\\\\\\\\|////////// 437 Brandt Hall `\\\\\\\\|//////// Valparaiso, IN 46383 ---- `\\\\\\\|////// Phone: 219-464-5907 `\\\\\\\\\\\\ EIS Student Consultant . `\\\\\\\\\\\ Sophomore Meteorology Major * . *`\\\\|//// ` . * . * //////// * . . ' . ---- *//////// . * * ` . * ` . . * . \\\\\\\\ . ` ' * . * . .`\\|/// * . * . ` . ` . =============================================================== E'MAIL: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu WEBPAGE: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 20:57:15 -0600 From: Paul Vincent Craven Subject: 1999 3rd Annual Central Iowa National Weather Association Conference Attention weather fanatics! For those of you interested in the 1999 3rd Annual Central Iowa National Weather Association Conference, an on-line registration form is available! Well, the form is on-line, not the registration. You still have to print out the form and send it in. http://www.cravenfamily.com/conference_flyer.html This conference has been wildly successful at appealing to not only meterologists, but emergency managers and spotters too. Students still get a discounted price. Last year we had over 300 people attend from all over the U.S. attend. This year we had to get a bigger hotel! There is a huge atrium (with a waterfall) for socializing with collegues, and a wide selection of restraunts within walking distance. The conference starts Friday March 26 1999 at 1:30 p.m. and ends Sunday, March 28 at Noon. It is located at The University Park Holiday Inn, West Des Moines, IA. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Oct 1998 to 26 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Oct 28 15:11:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1333 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-17703>; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 14:16:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA67110; Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:13:46 -0600 Message-Id: <199810280613.AAA67110@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 00:05:17 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Oct 1998 to 27 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 340f5a5d435fec565a180c71c7630b72 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 525 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane plotting chart (2) 2. GOES8 Failure... 3. Full Disc Goes-10 (2) 4. GOES10 Yucutan Image (3) 5. hurricane mitch track 6. Mitch's Forecast 7. GOES-8 Data 8. GOES8 Update... 9. Fw: Latest Update RE GOES-8 10. FINAL AGENDA FOR THE DEC. 4-5 NATIONAL EMWIN CONFERENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 06:18:53 -0600 From: Chris & Lori Bovitz Subject: Hurricane plotting chart Hi. Could anyone out there tell me where I can get a good quality laminated hurricane plotting chart for the Atlantic basin? This map should be about 3 ft long by 2 ft wide, and include TX and much of eastern Mexico, the whole Caribbean Sea, and at least (the northern) half of Central America. I've already checked TWC's (too small) and Wind & Weather's (doesn't go far enough west). Thanks for your help! Chris ************************************ * Chris & Lori Bovitz * * mailto:gophers@airmail.net * * http://www.why.net/users/tornado * ************************************ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:27:34 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Hurricane plotting chart Chris & Lori Bovitz wrote: > > Hi. > > Could anyone out there tell me where I can get a good quality laminated > hurricane plotting chart for the Atlantic basin? This map should be about > 3 ft long by 2 ft wide, and include TX and much of eastern Mexico, the > whole Caribbean Sea, and at least (the northern) half of Central America. > > I've already checked TWC's (too small) and Wind & Weather's (doesn't go far > enough west). > We have a cleaned up version of the NOAA chart on our website for downloading (gets rid of all the ghostly bleed through print) at http://www.collierem.org/tr_chart.htm. Once downloaded and printed, any Kinko's etc. should be able to make it larger, smaller and laminate it. It covers the area from 45-105W and 8-48N. Only change from the original NOAA chart is that we added Naples, FL (hometown) to the peninsula. For those in the W. Caribbean this morning...good luck! Out thoughts and prayers are with you! ______________________________________________________________ Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net (Alt: gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net) EM page: "http://www.collierem.org/" Mine : "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" -/- Drew's law of highway biology: "The first bug to hit a clean windshield lands directly in front of your eyes." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 08:45:14 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GOES8 Failure... Subject: SATOPS Morning Report - October 27, 1998 SOCC MORNING REPORT October 27, 1998 GOES-8 was commanded into safe hold mode at approximately 4 AM EST on Tuesday, October 27, in response to a large attitude disturbance. Preliminary engineering analysis indicates that an anomaly condition in the controlling earth sensor or the attitude control electronics is responsible for the loss of attitude control. Telemetry data is currently being gathered for a NASA/NOAA anomaly meeting at 10 AM this morning. GOES-8 imagery and sounding data will not be available until further notice. GOES-10 will be placed into a full disk imaging mode beginning at approximately 8 AM this morning to cover for the GOES-8 outage. Pending the recommendations from the 10 AM meeting, the first available recovery time for GOES-8 will be 6 PM EST this evening. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 11:22:32 -0500 From: Jim Leonard Subject: Full Disc Goes-10 Does anyone have the URL for updated goes-10 full disc? CIRA site has July image. Thanks in advance.. -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 11:32:38 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Full Disc Goes-10 http://www.goes.noaa.gov Rob > > Does anyone have the URL for updated goes-10 full disc? CIRA site has July image. > Thanks in advance.. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 11:39:01 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GOES10 Yucutan Image http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goesf/autogvar/goes9/yucatan/color/latest.color.jpg The eye is just coming in to view -- it's the only closeup I can find from G10. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 11:04:15 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: Re: GOES10 Yucutan Image On Tue, 27 Oct 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goesf/autogvar/goes9/yucatan/color/latest.color.jpg > > The eye is just coming in to view -- it's the only closeup I can find from > G10. See: http://defiant.wrh.noaa.gov/hurr/ GREAT stuff! From GOES-10. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 13:50:26 -0600 From: * Subject: hurricane mitch track Regarding Matt's predicted movement of Mitch. Don't concentrate on the surface high pressure. While that naturally would influence the track, the 700 mb ridge is more of a guide. The storm will have to stall for several days before it could turn north or northeast. Also, the storm has not yet "stalled". Therefore, based on the surface high and mid-level ridge, persistence is the best bet. The storm will likely die over central america/mexico or reemerge in the Pacific. David Bernard ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 16:29:15 EST From: Tim Trice Subject: Mitch's Forecast I've uploaded some tracking charts to my index site on AOL. They are charts I downloaded from AccuWeather (http://www.accuweather.com). What I've done to them is plotted each of the forecast/advisories from the NHC. I've also plotted the coordinates for that respective time frame on the same chart. This is to graphically represent the forecast errors with this storm. Intensity errors are not shown. Here's how it looks: Symbols in red: These symbols show the current intensity of the storm as of that advisory, as well as the plotted forecast from the NHC at 12hrs, 24hrs, 36hrs, 48hrs, and 72hrs. The colors are: Yellow-Category One Light Green-Category Two Dark Pink-Category Three Blue-Category Four Maroon-Category Five A tropical storm intensity is shown by the classic symbol, depression status is a red "L", and an extratropical storm is a red "E". Symbols in black: These symbols show only the position of the storm relating to the forecast of that advisory. They show the hours of 12, 24, 36, 48 and 72. The colors are: Light Blue-Location at 12 hours Dark Pink-Location at 24 hours Blue-Location at 36 hours Red-Location at 48 hours Black-Location at 72 hours A tropical storm intensity is shown by the classic symbol, depression is a black "L", and an extratropical storm is a black "E". The first few forecasts may be a bit confusing due to the loop Mitch did in the formation stage. I've tried to make it easy to understand but this has been a task in itself. If you have any questions, feel free to e-mail me. I plan on putting up all of the forecasts up, but for now there aren't too many. I will try to update them about once per day. This is only meant to show the errors in the forecasts for each of the levels (hours) and is not meant in any way to predict where the storm will make landfall. The web site is at (http://members.aol.com/metwiz1/). Again, if you have any questions, feel free to e-mail me. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 15:38:40 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: GOES-8 Data does anyone know what happened to the goes-8 data this morning?? I went to SSEC to check out the latest IR on the Carribbean and i got Goes-10 images! I assumed that communication with the satellite was lost, but I just wanted to know if anyone knows what exactly happened...?? Thanks in advance Matt.H "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while." --Kin Hubbard ____________ Matt Hartman 437 Brandt Hall Valparaiso, IN 46383 Phone: 219-464-5907 EIS Student Consultant 3rd Semester--Sophomore Meteorology Major =============================================================== Mailto: Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu URL: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 =============================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 18:18:23 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GOES8 Update... Should be online yet this evening although satellite imagery may bounce around for a day: Subject: GOES-8 status GOES-8 remains in safe hold mode following the large attitude disturbance at 0240 AM EST. GOES-10 is providing full disk coverage at this time including half hourly imaging of Hurricane Mitch in the Caribbean. An anomaly telcon at 3 PM with NOAA, NASA, and SS/L engineers did not result in a final determination of this morning's anomaly. All parties did concur to proceed with our plan to attempt a recovery of GOES-8 tonight at approximately 6 PM EST. We will receive earth sensor telemetry as we approach 6 PM spacecraft local time. We will perform several benign tests while still in safe hold mode, of the earth sensor and attitude control system performance. If and only if we conclude from the results of these tests that the on board computer and the earth sensor are working properly, we will proceed to command GOES-8 back to normal on-orbit mode at approximately 6 PM EST with the redundant earth sensor in control. If we see any anomalous performance of either system, we will remain in safe-hold mode through the night and reconvene in the morning. If we successfully return to on-orbit mode this evening, we anticipate a return to full disk imaging and sounding operations no earlier than 8 PM EST. Image navigation performance will be severely degraded for 24 following the recovery. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 21:58:43 -0500 From: Paul Robertson Subject: Fw: Latest Update RE GOES-8 ---------- > From: Paul Robertson > To: Wx Talk Listserver ; Xenocode EMWIN Listserver ; EMWIN Listserver > Subject: Latest Update RE GOES-8 > Date: Tuesday, October 27, 1998 9:53 PM > > Below is the latest update from NOAA.................... > > Paul Robertson > > GOES-8 OPERATIONS RESUME UPDATE 4 > > =================================== > > At 0740 UTC, 27 October, the GOES-8 spacecraft was placed in safe mode due > to a large attitude disturbance. SOCC then placed GOES-10 in Full Disk > Imaging mode. > > An anomaly meeting was conducted today at 1500 UTC which included > engineering > representation from NOAA, NASA and Space Systems/Loral. A second anomaly > meeting was held at 2000 UTC to get an update on this investigation. > > After a series of tests on the Earth sensor and attitude control, GOES-8 > was commanded back to normal on-orbit mode at approximately 2300 UTC > with the redundant Earth sensor in control. > > Full disk imaging and sounding operations resumed at 0145 > UTC, 28 October. Image navigation performance will be severely degraded > for 24 hours following the recovery. GOES-10 will continue in Full Disk > Imaging mode until GOES-8 operations appear stable. > > Posted to the NOAASIS 0225 UTC 28 October > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 21:07:33 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: FINAL AGENDA FOR THE DEC. 4-5 NATIONAL EMWIN CONFERENCE HERE IS THE FINAL AGENDA FOR THE NATIONAL EMWIN CONFERNCE: The first EMWIN-Users Conference will be held in Houston on Friday, December 4 and Saturday, December 5, 1998. There is no fee for the conference, but all attendees must register. For registration information and updates to the agenda, see the Xencode Internet Web Site at http://www.weathernode.com/emwincon.asp or call Chris Grant with the NWS at 405-366-6583, extension 141, or EMWIN Houston at 713-957-7498. To register by e-mail, address your message to chris.grant@noaa.gov. Conference Sponsors: National Weather Service Southern Region, Harris County Office of Emergency Management, and Harris County Appraisal District. Co-sponsored by the Texas Department of Public Safety, Division of Emergency Management. Location: Harris County Appraisal District (HCAD) Training Facility, 10th Floor, 2800 North Loop West, Houston, TX 77092. Conveniently located on Houston's near Northwest side near the intersection of Loop 610 and US 290. To reach both the conference site and conference hotel, take the T.C. Jester exit off Loop 610. Conference Hotel: Sheraton Brookhollow Hotel, 3000 North Loop West, Houston, TX 77092. The hotel has blocked 100 rooms for Thursday night, December 3, and Friday night, December 4, at a special rate of $55.00 single occupancy or $75.00 double occupancy. To receive these rates, reservations must be made direct to the hotel on or before Thursday, November 19, 1998. Mention the "EMWIN Conference" when calling 1-800-688-3000. All reservations are required to include a deposit equal to one night's stay plus tax and be received by November 19. Personal or company check, money order, or valid credit card and expiration date are acceptable. The deposit will be credited to the individual folio and is non-refundable 48 hours prior to arrival. Airport Shuttle Service: Available from Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH).. $17.00 each direction. Roundtrip ticket is $32.00. AGENDA The HCAD training facility has complete audio-visual support available. Presenters who plan to use computers in the course of their presentation will have the ability to project the image on five screens. Computer image projection will also be available for the WeatherNode 4.0 software orientation sessions. Ed Covington from Zephyrus is going to bring a low powered VHF transmitter and retransmit the 9600 baud datastream for the benefit of vendors and presenters who need it to activate their equipment. Friday, December 4 9 a.m. - Registration, HCAD Training Facility. Exhibits open and refreshments. 10 a.m. - Welcome/Introductions/Administrative Jim White, Emergency Management Coordinator, Harris County, Texas; Gary Woodall, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS Southern Region; Jim Robinson, Coordinator for EMWIN Houston. 10:15 a.m. - EMWIN Overview: Past, Present and Future: Jim Doherty, National Weather Service Headquarters. 10:45 a.m. - Considerations for Setting Up a Local Broadcast Facility Panelists: Jim Robinson, HCAD; Ron Hill, Oklahoma State Emergency Management Agency; Larry Jentry, Texas Division of Emergency Management. Moderator: Gary Woodall, WCM, NWS Southern Region. 12:00 - Lunch (On Your Own). Special buffet rate available at the Sheraton Brookhollow Hotel. 1:30 p.m. - Use of Local Data Products in the Broadcast Stream Panelists: Jack Belich, St. Petersburg Times, St. Petersburg, FL; Frank Gutierrez, Harris County OEM, Houston; Tom Nichols, Emergency Communications Auxiliary of the Mid-South, Memphis, TN. Moderator, Jim Purpura, WCM, National Weather Service, Norman, OK. 2:30 p.m. - Technical Considerations for Local Data Insertion & System Networking. Panelists: Mike Fleifel, Network Operations Manager, HCAD, Houston, TX; Ken Brown, National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Andrew Dorn, St. Petersburg Times, St. Petersburg, FL. Moderator: Gene Hafele, WCM, National Weather Service, Houston, TX. 3:30 p.m. - Break and refreshments. 4:00 p.m. - Open Forum (Moderated by Jim Doherty) 5:00 p.m. - Adjourn First Day's Conference 5:30 p.m. - Board buses for (optional) tour of Houston TransStar, Houston and Harris County's state-of-the art emergency operations and traffic control center. Concurrent training sessions in use of WeatherNode 4.0 to be from 1:30-2:30 and 3:00-4:00 in Brookhollow Central II Training Room. Conducted by Xenocode. Similar concurrent sessions on Saturday from 8:30-9:30 and 10:00-11:00) Saturday, December 5 8 a.m. - Registration, HCAD Training Facility. Exhibits open and refreshments. 8:30 a.m. - The EMWIN Product Suite Presenter: Jim Doherty, National Weather Service Headquarters. Moderator: Gary Woodall, WCM, NWS Southern Region. 9:00 a.m. - Use of Digital Atmosphere with EMWIN Presenter: Tim Vasquez Moderator: Gary Woodall, NWS Southern Region. 9:30 a.m. - Use of WeatherNode Plug-Ins & Other Software Packages Panelists: Jerry Johnson, Xenocode; Jim Purpura, NWS, Norman, OK Moderator: Gary Woodall, NWS Southern Region. 10:30 a.m. - Break 10:45 a.m. - Methods of EMWIN Dissemination Panelists: Jim Doherty, NWS; Jerry Johnson, Xenocode. Moderator: Gene Hafele, NWS Houston-Galveston. 11:30 a.m. - Vendor Comments Commentators: All EMWIN-related vendors present at conference. Moderator: Gene Hafele, NWS Houston-Galveston. 12:30 p.m. - Open Forum Commentators: All presenters from both days will respond to audience questions. 1:00 p.m. - Adjourn Jim Robinson, EMWIN Houston, TX Jim Purpura, NWS, Norman, OK Conference Chairpersons ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 Oct 1998 20:24:54 -0700 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: GOES10 Yucutan Image GOES-8 is back on the defiant site...but don't trust the navigation too much unless you can make out landmasses to match the maps (which at night, in the IR, with all the clouds is tough). The first image (at 02:45Z) looks like it has the maps too far north (i.e., putting eye of Mitch too close to land). sebenste gilbert l wrote: > > On Tue, 27 Oct 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > > http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goesf/autogvar/goes9/yucatan/color/latest.color.jpg > > > > The eye is just coming in to view -- it's the only closeup I can find from > > G10. > > See: > > http://defiant.wrh.noaa.gov/hurr/ > > GREAT stuff! From GOES-10. > > Gilbert > > ******************************************************************************* > Gilbert Sebenste ******** > Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** > Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** > Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** > URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** > SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * > THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * > Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * > ******************************************************************************* > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Oct 1998 to 27 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Oct 29 14:19:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-11729>; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 14:06:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17344; Thu, 29 Oct 1998 00:03:51 -0600 Message-Id: <199810290603.AAA17344@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 00:00:54 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Oct 1998 to 28 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cde243989311f7a68e6bd019b20fea49 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 143 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Mitch Sat Image 2. 981028: NOAA Monitors GOES 8, Uses GOES 10 (fwd) 3. Mitch 4. GOES notes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 05:15:16 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Mitch Sat Image This image of Mitch from Purdue is a good one: http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/satellite/sat_flt1.gif Sam Barricklow http://www.thestormshop.com/ http://www.pulse.net/storm/maritime.htm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 09:10:12 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: 981028: NOAA Monitors GOES 8, Uses GOES 10 (fwd) Press Release on GOES 8 & 10 ============================ NOAA's GOES-10 Monitors Hurricane Mitch as Engineers Troubleshoot GOES-8 Spacecraft The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's GOES-10 weather satellite will take over the functions of its companion GOES-8, of monitoring the movements of Hurricane Mitch, an extremely dangerous storm in the western Caribbean, as NOAA engineers tonight begin recovery operations on a malfunction with the GOES-8 satellite, the Commerce Department agency announced. The satellite data will continue to flow without a break to meteorologists at NOAA's Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, in Miami, Fla., who are providing warnings about Hurricane Mitch. Fortunately, because of the location of Hurricane Mitch, we have a good view of the storm using GOES-10,@ said Gerald Dittberner, NOAA's GOES program manager. "The National Weather Service does not see any impact to operations for Hurricane Mitch due to this anomaly at this time, and we do not foresee a break in GOES data or hurricane images," said National Hurricane Center Director Jerry Jarrell. On Tuesday, October 27 at approximately 3 a.m. EST, satellite controllers at NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service's Satellite Operations Control Center in Suitland, Md., commanded the GOES-8 into a neutral status, called a "safe hold," when the satellite experienced a problem with its ability to point towards Earth. Preliminary engineering analysis indicates an anomaly with either the satellite's earth sensor or the attitude and orbit control electronics may be responsible. GOES-8 is located east of Miami along the equator at 75 degrees west. Imagery and atmospheric data from this satellite are not available while GOES-8 is in a safe hold. At approximately 7 a.m. EST on October 27, GOES-10 was commanded to cover for the GOES-8 outage. GOES-10 is positioned over the Pacific Ocean (135 degrees West). In this mode, customers in the Western part of the country will continue to receive their GOES images. Both eastern and western users will now receive data and images once every 30, rather than 15, minutes. The Tropical Prediction Center is monitoring the western Atlantic and Caribbean using a combination of GOES-10 and the European satellite Meteosat-7. While this area can be safely monitored, detail is lost due to distortion. NOAA's GOES satellites have produced an excellent set of real-time weather data for weather forecasters and researchers. It is the same imagery seen daily on TV weather forecasts. NOAA's National Weather Service combines the satellite date with data from Doppler radars and automated surface observing systems to improve weather forecasts and numerical models. Better warnings of thunderstorms, winter storms, flash floods, hurricanes, and other severe weather help to save lives, preserve property, and benefit commercial interests. NOAA's NESDIS funds and operates the GOES series of satellites. NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center manages the design, development, and launch of the GOES spacecraft for NOAA. The GOES satellites are built under contract through NASA by Space Systems/Loral of Palo Alto, Calif. NOTE: All NOAA press releases, and links to other NOAA material, can be found on the Internet at http://www.noaa.gov/public-affairs. Constituents who wish to be added to our press release distribution list, or who wish to switch from fax to e-mail delivery, can send an e-mail to the individual listed above or fax to (202) 501-2953. Do not use the reply function of your e-mail program because your message does not go to the contact person. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 14:04:05 -0600 From: J Finch Subject: Mitch Just noticed this blurb on S. LA forecast discussion from Lake Charles, LA. "WATCHING MITCH VERY CAREFULLY...AS MITCH IS FCST TO BE LOCATED IN THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GOMEX IN 5 DAYS PER NHC CONFERENCE CALL." I could really lose my sense of humor if this happens. -- Habitat for Horses - Help us save the horses! Go to: http://www.eyegive.com/html/ssi.cfm?CID=3507&MID=27440 Donate the easy way - surf over to eyegive.com, they'll donate money to us every time you visit their site! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1998 16:28:58 -0500 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: GOES notes Thought I'd pass this along. It's from DTN Kavouras operations. (The TV Weather Computer people.) ==== SUBJECT: GOES UPDATE GOES-EAST RESUMED NORMAL OPERATIONS LAST NIGHT AT 0300Z. THE DIAGNOSIS WAS THAT AN ELECTOS-STATIC DISCHARGE OF UNKNOWN ORIGIN DISRUPTED THE SPACECRAFT'S ATTITUDE AND NAVIGATION SYSTEM, CAUSING THE SATELLITE TO SHUT ITSELF DOWN. THERE APPEARS TO BE NO PERMANENT DAMAGE, AND THE SATELLITE IS OPERATING NORMALLY. ==== Stuart Shepard Weather Guru WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Oct 1998 to 28 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Oct 30 16:24:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4657 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626964-18570>; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 14:08:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA98362; Fri, 30 Oct 1998 00:04:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199810300604.AAA98362@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Oct 1998 to 29 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 67656926123ee3cd877a929a35c7da24 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 174 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Central Iowa NWA Call for Papers 2. UNCC model data = gone? 3. Blue Rain 4. new AMSU web site (2) 5. looking to start a forecasting company +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 00:32:34 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Central Iowa NWA Call for Papers CALL FOR PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS Central Iowa NWA Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference Version 3.0 26-28 March 1999 University Park Holiday Inn West Des Moines, IA Registration details at www.ecity.net/~iowanwa/ We are accepting abstracts for presentations for our next conference. Topics related to all aspects of severe weather and operational use of Doppler radar are encouraged. Special emphasis is being placed on the implementation of Build 10 Nexrad Algorithms and their implication to NWS and Media Forecasters. We are also seeking success stories on the use of EMWIN and other cooperative efforts involving media, emergency management and the NWS. One paragraph descriptions of your talk should be sent directly to John McLaughlin at or by regular mail to: John McLaughlin KCCI TV 888 9th Des Moines, IA 50309 515-247-8888 Please give this posting widest distribution though your local homepages, cc mail, etc. Regards JM ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 13:45:08 -0500 From: Michael W Dross Subject: Re: UNCC model data = gone? I have restored the WXP forecast model graphics to the UNCC web server. I have been having problems with the linux kernel crashing the computer that generates the images. I have implemented the latest kernel which seems to be stable. Assuming this kernel remains stable there shouldn't be any additional problems with the graphics. Here is the URL for those interested. http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/wxp Mike Dross Matt Rosier on 10/21/98 09:52:59 PM Please respond to Matt Rosier To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK cc: (bcc: Michael W Dross/Cust/DukePower) Subject: UNCC model data = gone? I notice that the model data on UNCC's weather server has disappeared. Anyone know what's up? Matt +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 22:36:45 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Blue Rain GOES Enthusiasts, GOES-8 experimental smoke and fire products from 02 Sep 1998 help to explain an occurrence of "blue rain" over northeastern Argentina...these images have been added to the CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/980902_smoke.html Thanks to Frank Gouveia for forwarding this message to the WX-TALK list: > > *** Fires caused blue rain in Argentina > > BUENOS AIRES, Argentina (Reuters) - Blue rain that astonished > residents of a northern Argentine town in September was caused > by ash from forest fires, government scientists said Saturday. > Ash from huge fires to the north in Bolivia and Brazil blew over > Argentina and mixed with the rain, giving it a bluish tint, > scientists from the Corrientes province health ministry said, > according to the state-run Telam news agency. Baffled locals > from the town of Perugorria collected samples of the strange > rain when it fell Sept. 2, and handed it over to the government > for analysis. A health ministry lab found ash in the rain water > that it linked to the forest fires after studying meteorological > records. -- Scott Bachmeier | CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 20:53:56 EST From: Roy Spencer Subject: new AMSU web site The new NOAA-K temperature sounder, called the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU), is providing deep-layer temperature information for 11 layers from the lower troposphere to the upper stratosphere (2.5 mb), along with four surface channels that are sensitive to humidity and clouds over the ocean. We have just implemented a new web site with near-real time global imagery from AMSU. Also included are expanded color scale presentations for the tropics, where a few of the channels can be used to monitor the warm cores of hurricanes (we are currently working on a diagnostic method for measuring maximum sustained winds from the AMSU). The page is new, and so any suggestions would be welcome. Roy Spencer NASA/MSFC/GHCC ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 21:01:54 EST From: Roy Spencer Subject: Re: new AMSU web site ...aaaaand...the AMSU web site address is http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/amsu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Oct 1998 23:50:52 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: looking to start a forecasting company Wx-Talkers, I am thinking about starting a weather forecasting company in Sandusky, Ohio, my hometown. I am writing to Wx-Talk to get advice from others, especially private meteorologists, about the equipment (computers, sources of meteorological data, advice about starting a business) they have and any other advice that a person starting his own forecasting business could use. Thank you very much. Shawn Trueman B.S., Ohio University M.S., The Ohio State University ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Oct 1998 to 29 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Oct 31 14:30:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2983 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627835-8300>; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 14:07:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA115352; Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:07:06 -0600 Message-Id: <199810310607.AAA115352@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Oct 1998 to 30 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e570413e41a8f2f384141d31c0645ba8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 231 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Broadcast Met Needs Help (4) 2. Fwd: New Canadian Upper Air Stations +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:20:06 -0500 From: David Walker Subject: Broadcast Met Needs Help The last thing we do before the end of our 11 PM newscast is a weather re-cap. It usually consists of our "Good Morning Forecast" and our "7-Day Forecast". When we are short of time I drop the "Good AM" and spent 10 to 15 seconds on the "7-Day". This has been the procedure for 2 years until last night. The sweeps or ratings started Thursday, October 29th and our News Director was in the control room barking out orders. She said kill the 7-Day and run the Good AM only. I disobeyed and ran the 7-Day instead. She was HOT, but I said we would talk about it. I need help building more arguments to let the 7-Day prevail. 1.) 10 to 15 seconds is plenty of time to discuss the 7-day forecast. Don't tell me there is not enough time! 2.) The "Good Morning Forecast" was: Partly Sunny, Patchy Frost 32-36. While the 7-Day Forecast had estimated Highs/Lows, uncluttered text information and visually appearing weather icons. The 7-Day tells the viewers SO MUCH more! 3.) The reason for the 7-Day is that it always has the upcoming weekend in it. If the weekend weather is SO important, why not show it? ... Help I need more reasons! Any ideas you Broadcasters, Civil Servants, Students and weather enthusiasts etc. P.S.: I believe that the News Director is mis-applying questionable surveys from consultants at ASI Entertainment. They say, "the tonight and tomorrow forecasts are still THE most important items in a newscast". I onced asked about the statistical signifance of their "study" and only received blank stares. Dave Walker, Chief Meteorologist for FOX8/ABC23 WWCP/WATM Johnstown, Altoona, State College, PA BS: Univ. of Wisc 1975 Meteorology MS: Florida State Univ. 1978 Meteorology PhD: Univ. of Virginia 1994 Environmental Sciences ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:32:15 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Broadcast Met Needs Help On Fri, 30 Oct 1998, David Walker wrote: > I need help building more arguments to let the 7-Day prevail. > > 1.) 10 to 15 seconds is plenty of time to discuss the > 7-day forecast. Don't tell me there is not enough time! An alternate: 1.) Yes'm. Yes'm. Uh-huh, Mam. You duh boss, Mam. > 2.) The "Good Morning Forecast" was: Partly Sunny, > Patchy Frost 32-36. While the 7-Day Forecast > had estimated Highs/Lows, uncluttered text > information and visually appearing weather icons. > The 7-Day tells the viewers SO MUCH more! Alternate: 2.) Yes'm. You duh boss, Mam. I am truly sorry, Mam. [on your knees now] > 3.) The reason for the 7-Day is that it always has > the upcoming weekend in it. If the weekend > weather is SO important, why not show it? Alternate: 3.) Yes'm. Yes'm. You duh boss, Mam. Can I still keep my job now? Or am I fired, Mam? [kissing her feet] 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 08:25:07 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Broadcast Met Needs Help > The sweeps or ratings started Thursday, October 29th > and our News Director was in the control room barking > out orders. She said kill the 7-Day and run the Good > AM only. I disobeyed and ran the 7-Day instead. > She was HOT, but I said we would talk about it. That's the first time I've _ever_ heard anyone defend a 7-Day forecast... I find that by far the most useless(?) part of a news show on stations that carry it. Four - five days is about the most we should see. Verification (if performed) of the 6 & 7 day outlook is probably horrible and therefore I feel a dis-service to viewers. So I side with the ND ;> Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 08:46:29 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Broadcast Met Needs Help David Walker wrote: > > The last thing we do before the end of our 11 PM > newscast is a weather re-cap. It usually consists > of our "Good Morning Forecast" and our "7-Day > Forecast". When we are short of time I drop the > "Good AM" and spent 10 to 15 seconds on the "7-Day". > This has been the procedure for 2 years until last > night. > > The sweeps or ratings started Thursday, October 29th > and our News Director was in the control room barking > out orders. She said kill the 7-Day and run the Good > AM only. I disobeyed and ran the 7-Day instead. > She was HOT, but I said we would talk about it. > > I need help building more arguments to let the 7-Day prevail. > > 1.) 10 to 15 seconds is plenty of time to discuss the > 7-day forecast. Don't tell me there is not enough time! > > 2.) The "Good Morning Forecast" was: Partly Sunny, > Patchy Frost 32-36. While the 7-Day Forecast > had estimated Highs/Lows, uncluttered text > information and visually appearing weather icons. > The 7-Day tells the viewers SO MUCH more! > > 3.) The reason for the 7-Day is that it always has > the upcoming weekend in it. If the weekend > weather is SO important, why not show it? > > ... Help I need more reasons! Any ideas you Broadcasters, > Civil Servants, Students and weather enthusiasts etc. > > P.S.: I believe that the News Director is mis-applying > questionable surveys from consultants at ASI > Entertainment. They say, "the tonight and > tomorrow forecasts are still THE most important > items in a newscast". I onced asked about the > statistical significance of their "study" and only > received blank stares. Can't really help you with your argument Dave...but you have eloquently stated the big reason I got out of the business 10 years ago. It's probably one you can't win. They're paying serious coin to the consultants ("Those who can, do; those who can't, teach; those who can't teach, consult.") whose sole mission in life is to make change (hard to justify accepting the serious coin and then say, "Everything is perfect, you really didn't need us!"). The News Director (been there) loses to the GM if she tries to overrule the consultant because the GM is signing the (owner's) checks, and the owner won't understand why the GM is spending the money if the News Director won't make the talent do what the consultant says. After all, it's become a business where you don't run the local F4 tornado warning that comes in at 28 after the hour, because it would mean killing the kicker story about the newborn chameleon at the zoo, even if the storm is clearly visible on the SuperDuperDoppler23000 they just installed because the previous consultant recommended it. Of course, you indicate above the consultants are NOT from ASI NEWS...but ASI Entertainment which says a lot! Good luck...I can empathize... ______________________________________________________________ Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net (Alt: gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net) EM page: "http://www.collierem.org/" Mine : "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" -/- Drew's law of highway biology: "The first bug to hit a clean windshield lands directly in front of your eyes." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 07:42:08 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Fwd: New Canadian Upper Air Stations Wx-Talkers: Identity and location of a couple of new Canadian upper air sites. WMO 71126/71908 are actively reporting as of the current date. Jeff Logan FNMOC - Data/Models Dept ____________________Forward Header_____________________ Subject: New Canadian Upper Air Stations Date: 10/30/98 8:53 AM ---------------------------------- Forwarded ---------------------------------- Date: 10/30/98 8:14AM Subject: New Canadian Upper Air Stations ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 71126 ZED STONY PLAIN TEST, ALTA 5333N11406W 766 71146 WLZ CANDLE LAKE, SASK 5344N10516W 503 71908 ZXS PRINCE GEORGE UA B.C. 5354N12248W 601 Lat/lon are in deg/min and elevation in meters. 71126 is used for equipment testing and staff training. 71146 is used for scientific experiments like BOREAS. 71908 replaces 71896. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Oct 1998 to 30 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 02 01:29:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3564 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627086-25424>; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 14:06:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA75500; Sun, 1 Nov 1998 00:05:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199811010605.AAA75500@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 00:00:11 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Oct 1998 to 31 Oct 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4493ed007099be2ccffd04377a4ee8f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 40 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Broadcast Met needs Help +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 31 Oct 1998 01:50:54 -0600 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: Broadcast Met needs Help At 12:00 AM 10/31/1998 -0600, you wrote: >Date: Fri, 30 Oct 1998 01:20:06 -0500 >From: David Walker >Subject: Broadcast Met Needs Help >I need help building more arguments to let the 7-Day prevail. Dave... In my experience the whole thing hinges upon the market. In my area (strong agricultural economy) the 3 to 7 day forecast is likely the most important part of the forecast (they'd take 30 to 90 day forecasts if we had any skill!!). If, however, you're in an urban market, it seems unlikely that more than a few would like detailed weather info more than 48 hours down the road (those few probably being construction folks and others who need to make longer range weather choices). Me? I'd check who pays the bills first. If your audience is largely agricultural, advise your management to talk to a local commodities broker for the impact of longer term forecasts. Otherwise, I'd cow-tow to the beast. Cheers!! Jim *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Oct 1998 to 31 Oct 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 02 15:28:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2233 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626596-6979>; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:11:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40000; Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:11:24 -0600 Message-Id: <199811020611.AAA40000@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 00:03:21 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Oct 1998 to 1 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f8214f17ddc97805fccde61f680c49ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 180 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lightning Images 2. Broadcast: tomorrow or this week 3. 7 Day vs Good AM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 16:00:58 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Lightning Images Gene Rhoden recently updated his lightning images. Take a look at: http://www.why.net/users/grhoden/lightnin.htm Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/litelink.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 20:18:20 -0600 From: Brian Motta Subject: Broadcast: tomorrow or this week David- In my not so humble opinion, you made two mistakes. 1) You blew off your boss. If I were you, I would apologize and come up with as much of a compromise excuse as possible (ie. you weren't ready to do that, you were "stressing tomorrow...even though you used the full 7-day...whatever")---but apologize only once. You should value your news director's opinion and decide on clear lines of responsibility when you are not on the air. In other situations, this can greatly affect your credibility and capability to make things happen within the news organization. 2) Your news director was right. One of the key points in TV news is that people rarely remember tomorrow's events and weather...let alone the rest of the week. I think it's a big mistake to do 7-day forecasts routinely...especially when 50/50 skill is involved in the the forecast. Some markets demand it but it usually ends up being harmful to the met's credibility because they have no skill in extended period forecasts and are either interpretating vague long-range model output or more often following large scale guidance "outlooks". If you have a high school student track your tomorrow forecast and your 4-day, you'll see a huge difference. I've also seen studies that say that 94% of your viewers do not care beyond day 3...but that 1 percent will remember your bust beyond day 3 if you are wrong (people tracking vacations, birthdays, weddings etc.). These also make great stories for social gatherings...I hear them every year at gatherings. I usually don't have to ask the question, but if I do everyone has a story and is more than willing to tell it. Did you get tommorrow's forecast correct ?? If you're forecasting frost, was there any fog ?? Was it heavy frost (scrapable) or just a windshield-washer event ?? If you were wrong, that might be another way you could squirm out of not showing the tomorrow graphic....but that only works once! Alternatively, you could be honest and say you screwed up and it won't happen again (preferable). Good Luck, Brian ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 1 Nov 1998 23:59:26 -0500 From: David Walker Subject: 7 Day vs Good AM Sorry for the long post. To reduce bandwidth I have or will respond to individual postings separately. I battle the News Director about once a week. She is the best ND I've ever worked with. She from the Tulsa market so is very weather sensitive. I've argued effectively with the General Manager and have won many of the battles. We argue on friendly terms. I don't threaten to quit and they don't threaten to fire. I suspence those siding with the News Director would come over to my side if it were a battle between a "3-day forecast" and the "Good AM". Updated list of reasons against the News Director. 1.) 10 to 15 seconds is plenty of time to discuss the 7-day forecast. There is lots of time for it. 2.) The "Good Morning Forecast" was: Partly Sunny, Patchy Frost 32-36. While the 7-Day Forecast had estimated Highs/Lows, uncluttered text information and visually appearing weather icons. The 7-Day tells the viewers SO MUCH more! 3.) The reason for the 7-Day is that it always has the upcoming weekend in it. If the weekend weather is SO important, why not show it? 4.) Isn't the "tomorrow forecast" included in the 7 day? Personally I want to know more than just tomorrow. 5.) Planning outdoor activities for the weekend is important. By not showing the 7-Day, you end up ticking people off. 6.) The "Good Morning" forecast is a recap, the 7-day is value added information! Shifting gears. Don't throw baby out with the bath water. "Limit of deterministic predictability?" BAMS 79, No. 10, October 1998 "Medium-range forecasts have shown significant improvement in the last two decades. Large-scale events like the East Coast blizzards or 1993 and 1996 are now often frecast days in advance of the first flake of snow, allowing emergency managers the opportunity to make plans to mitigate potential life threatening situations that might develop. Three-day forecasts of major low pressure systems that determine the general evolution of the weather are more skillful today than 36-hour forecasts were 15 years ago. In the late 1970s, day 5 forecasts of precipitation were no more accurate than climatology. Since then, skill of day 5 forecasts has more than doubled, with predictions of major cyclones now being as skillful as day 3 forecasts were a decade ago. Temperature forecasts have also improved and now show considerable skill on day 3, with the skill decreasing with time until generally only marginal skill remains by day 7. However, there is reason to believe skillful day 7 forecasts will be possible in the future given steady improvements in computer models, observational approaches, and forecast strategies." Personal Experience? About a third of all my 7 day forecasts are "useful". Many times significant events such as a hard freeze, a major snow, a severe weather outbreak, a drought, a heat wave or an arctic outbreak have been successfully forecasted 7 days in advance. I have worked each autumn with the peanut farmers in Southeast Virginia since 1992. They have received 7 day warnings of the first hard freeze in 2 of the last 7 years. 6 day warnings of the first hard freeze in 4 of the last 7 years. 5 day warnings of the first hard freeze in 5 of the last 7 years. They keep coming back each year. Newspapers in 1992 said the forecasts saved growers 4 million dollars. (Check out: Plant Disease, 81-2, 1997) R**2 predicting Minimum temperatures Day 1 .77/ Day 2 .66/ Day 3 .62/ Day 4 .56 Day 5 .40/ Day 6 .28/ Day 7 .17) R**2 bad at Day 7 but still contain some "useful" information. (Check out: W & F 10(3) 545-563, 1995) Compare AC values of R40 MRF model with T80 MRF model...Medium-range forecasting continues to get better. Thanks for all the input. WX-Talk has been a little quite any way. Dave Walker, Chief Meteorologist for FOX8/ABC23 WWCP/WATM Johnstown, Altoona, State College, PA BS: Univ. of Wisc 1975 Meteorology MS: Florida State Univ. 1978 Meteorology PhD: Univ. of Virginia 1994 Environmental Sciences ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Oct 1998 to 1 Nov 1998 ************************************************* From - Tue Nov 03 15:24:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2156 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626953-4228>; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 14:11:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA60106; Tue, 3 Nov 1998 00:05:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199811030605.AAA60106@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 00:01:20 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Nov 1998 to 2 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 169300b31518346946bf5377578dee8b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 161 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 31 Oct 1998 to 1 Nov 1998 2. Shuttle launch from GOES-8 3. accu weather (5) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 09:38:14 EST From: Alessandro Montagna Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Oct 1998 to 1 Nov 1998 ''unsub wx'' me please ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 08:34:53 +22304808 From: Matthew Lazzara Subject: Shuttle launch from GOES-8 To view a java animation of STS-95 shuttle launch (John Glenn's) from the GOES-8 satellite (visible channel) go to: http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/ (Select the John Glenn Shuttle Launch as viewed from GOES-8) or directly: http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/shuttle/jglenn.html Enjoy! Matthew ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Matthew Lazzara Meteorologist Space Science and Engineering Center E-mail: mattl@ssec.wisc.edu University of Wisconsin-Madison Phone: (608) 262-0436 1225 West Dayton Street, Madison, WI 53706 Fax: (608) 263-6738 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:40:02 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: accu weather HI> I am dave and I am new to this list. Does anyone out there know how competitive it is to get into Accu Weather? How hard is it? Do a lot of people apply there? Dave ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 14:39:00 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: accu weather > > HI> I am dave and I am new to this list. > > Does anyone out there know how competitive it is to get into Accu Weather? > How hard is it? Do a lot of people apply there? > If you mean how hard is it to get a job there, I imagine that depends on how much forecasting experience you have. If you have forecasted for a lot of places, and been successful, and can express yourself coherently, I would imagine you'd have a better chance than all the other Joes out there (where Joe is gender neutral and can mean a woman as well) who are applying. I imagine that yes, a lot of people do apply there. Frankly, I can't imagine why _anyone_ would want to live in such a backward conservative hicktown like State College, but that's just me :) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 22:43:55 GMT From: "Kevin W. Thomas" Subject: Re: accu weather In article <199811022039.OAA128142.04101@ssec.wisc.edu>, Scott Lindstrom wrote: >> >> HI> I am dave and I am new to this list. >> >> Does anyone out there know how competitive it is to get into Accu Weather? >> How hard is it? Do a lot of people apply there? >> > >If you mean how hard is it to get a job there, I imagine that depends on >how much forecasting experience you have. If you have forecasted for a >lot of places, and been successful, and can express yourself coherently, >I would imagine you'd have a better chance than all the other Joes out >there (where Joe is gender neutral and can mean a woman as well) who are >applying. I imagine that yes, a lot of people do apply there. > >Frankly, I can't imagine why _anyone_ would want to live in such a backward >conservative hicktown like State College, but that's just me :) > >Scott >-- >Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, >scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist >http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? Scott... Shame on you! State College (ok, technically University Park) has one of the finest schools of meteorology in the US. They also have some of the best ice cream that you can get. Kevin W. Thomas Sun System Administrator & Meteorologist National Severe Storms Laboratory Norman, Oklahoma Email: kwthomas@wizard.nssl.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 00:52:36 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: accu weather >> Frankly, I can't imagine why _anyone_ would want to live >> in such a backward conservative hicktown like State College, >> but that's just me :) >> > Shame on you! State College (ok, technically University Park) > has one of the finest schools of meteorology in the US. They > also have some of the best ice cream that you can get. > I can't fathom how the ice cream in State College can *possibly* compare to that made by Babcock here at the UW-Madison... -Scott, jonesin' to try that there 150th anniversary ice cream flavour -- Scott Bachmeier CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Nov 1998 21:35:44 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: accu weather I have had my share of backward hick towns. I am from Hagerstown, MD. That is near West Virginia. Well, if I do not have to leave Pennsylvania, I will be happy. My resume goes out to Accu Weather tomorrow. Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Nov 1998 to 2 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Nov 04 14:44:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2851 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627194-14422>; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 14:09:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16818; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 00:07:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199811040607.AAA16818@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 00:03:08 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Nov 1998 to 3 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 12fa6ef473df71e539ce70e273e463d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 308 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. accu weather 2. Accu-WX 3. Weather Warnings for Deaf/Hard-of-hearing...an update 4. accu-wx 5. Ronne Ice Shelf iceberg 6. thank you all +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 07:33:21 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: accu weather > > >> Frankly, I can't imagine why _anyone_ would want to live > >> in such a backward conservative hicktown like State College, > >> but that's just me :) > >> > > Shame on you! State College (ok, technically University Park) > > has one of the finest schools of meteorology in the US. They > > also have some of the best ice cream that you can get. > > > > I can't fathom how the ice cream in State College can *possibly* > compare to that made by Babcock here at the UW-Madison... > > -Scott, jonesin' to try that there 150th anniversary ice cream > flavour > Everyone _thinks_ the best ice cream in Centre County is at the Creamery on campus when it's really at Meyer Dairy on N. Atherton Street. Satisfied Customer Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:52:33 +0000 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: Accu-WX These are my personal opinions and do not reflect the opinions of the company I work for or any other entity except me: I have a question - why would anyone - period want to apply to Accu-whatever? That is just my opinion! I Really do think there are much better places to work. Some places I personally would shy away from right now are Accu-Weather, DTN-Kavouras and The Weather Channel. I can't say much for the others - however I have heard so may horror stories about the first two places above by folks that have worked there or are trying to get out of there over the past two years. This is not to say these are bad places either, they all have their pros and cons. These companies are in growth spurts but In my opinion they have forgotten who made them what they are - their very talented employees! I guess what I'm trying to say is make sure you join an organization that will respect you for who you are, your skills and talents and pay you fairly for your time and effort. Roger Brugge's job mail-list and the AMS Employment Annoucements, and NWA Employment Annoucements have many exciting jobs outside of these two enities - how about taking a look at them? Would I ever go to work for The Weather Channel, Accu-Weather or DTN-Kavouras - the answer is yes - but the circumstances would have to be right and the internal environment would have to be one of challenge, teamwork and excitement - not a bunch of complaining, bitching, and leap frog - showmanship! The one thing though that Accu-Weather does have going for it is staying power and growth - however customer service and personally are still very lacking in my opinion - not something I would personally wish to associate myself with at this time. Again just an opinion - these are probably very nice places to work if you fit their mold and mind set? However the ice cream thing - sounds like a benefit I would like to look into - that is not in my current contract here! :-) John S. Sturtevant Science and Education Officer ------------------------------------------------------------- Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 61 Todd Street - Suite 107 Russellville, Alabama 35654 (256) 331-2881 Voice (256)331-2863 Fax\Data (256) 984-4219 Digital Pager E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com or metservices@getaway.net WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com or http://209.215.153.44 E-PAGE: 2569844219@epage.arch.com Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 09:49:09 -0600 From: Bob Weisman Subject: Weather Warnings for Deaf/Hard-of-hearing...an update To: Wx-talkers It has been about 5 months since I put out my first post on the issue of getting severe weather information to the Deaf/Hard-of-Hearing (D/HH) community in Minnesota. I thought, since there have been ups and downs, it was about time to do an update. Warning alert system: I have been testing the SAME weather radio for this application. I have yet to see it work with a flasher system (the parts are on order right now to do so). Advantages: Programmable by county. LCD Display Light display showing watch/warning. Can be taken to shelter through use of battery. Radio Shack has adapter system to be connected to flasher. Disadvantages: Full text of warning cannot be displayed. D/HH person will not know when warning will expire nor if warning is valid for his/her part of county. Response of flasher: will flasher continue for watch? Does it change for warning? D/HH will tune it out if flashers blink for 6 hours? Is it compatible with entire array of equipment in typical D/HH household? (mobile unit with display lights for phone, doorbell, etc.) All technology questions are relevant since Radio Shack is NOT the primary source of equipment for D/HH household. No coverage when person is outside the home. The only other form of technology which appears promising is a pager (provided free to D/HH in Joliet, IL....a paid system exists in Rice County, MN). A D/HH person can feel the vibration of a pager, plus it provides text warnings, presumably through the EMWIN system. However, the Joliet system is the only one I've heard about where the service is provided free of charge (note that sirens and media warnings are provided free to the hearing public). In Joliet, it appears that a county emergency management official took it upon himself to get involved to get this program off the ground. TV weather information: For the past 3 months, I have been lobbying Twin Cities TV meteorologists to adapt their delivery of closed captioning to allow the information to get to the D/HH. I naively thought that all TV meteorologists would quickly jump on-board when they heard that this information would not get out. So far, I've received initial sympathy, but roadblocks when it comes to moving the severe weather crawl ("...can't they just turn off the closed-captioning..." typical response). Also, the general issue of closed-captioning routine weather broadcasts so that the D/HH can get some general anticipation of when dangerous weather approaches has been met with stonewalling ("..we can't do anything that costs money..."). TV weather broadcasts are not included in the captioning because they are "ad-lib." However, much more could be done (many sports events, live news specials are "open-captioned," which means that the captioning is done live). In fact, some local news broadcasts only CC the TelePrompTer script, meaning that taped reports only show in CC the opening line, the last line, and the time of the tape, making the entire news broadcast useless to D/HH people, except when the anchor is reading in the studio. Since all TV's manufactured since 1993 have CC option (most use CC number 1), check out what is done and what could be done. It's pathetic! Why is this so important? In my poll of D/HH community, 2/3 say they rely on local television as their primary source of weather information. The second-ranked source is newspapers! The D/HH is extremely sensitive to access issues and this is number one. Many Minnesota D/HH advocates are now thinking legislation and/or lawsuits under the Americans with Disabilities Act or trying to block licensure through the FCC. If TV stations, at least those in Minnesota, don't wake up soon, they're going to have major legal bills. Weather awareness training: Finally, I am trying to design a weather awareness mini-course and travel throughout Minnesota in February and March, knowing the limited weather information received by D/HH and how best to use it. I plan, at this time, to incorporate the following elements (on a daily basis) 1. Morning weather overview (Internet weather source, especially NWS, SPC, what fronts typically mean on local TV if you can't hear the description) 2. Checking progress on severe weather (SPC or NWS updates through Internet, sky signs of large wind shear, capped boundary layer, etc.) 3. "Alert mode" (using The Weather Channel local update - radar loops, sky signs to note if severe weather is possible) 4. "Warning mode" - safety rules - getting to shelter My guess is that this will take a couple of hours. I'm staying away from Internet sources for items 2 and 3, assuming that severe weather may be close enough to cause power surges. My goal is to try and get various radar signatures off TWC on videotape. I'm not sure I'll have Internet access for these talks. I also intend to use the NWS spotter training slides. Anyone who has any suggestions or any materials which would be helpful, please let me know. As an aside, I've really asked for it in this case. Getting in between the broadcast community and the D/HH community means getting yelled at (or signed with high emotion) from both sides! But, I push on, feeling that there aren't too many people with meteorological training who are lobbying for weather info access for the D/HH community. Sorry to run on forever. Thanks for your patience. ============================================================================= Bob Weisman, Meteorology Professor SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 6 1/2) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 (V) MS 48 (800) 627-3529 (TTY via Saint Cloud State University Minnesota Relay Service) 720 4th Avenue South FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 EMAIL: scsweisman@tigger. stcloudstate.edu Woman answering door during Halloween: So what are you dressed up as? Shirley (wearing bride's costume): I'm getting married. Woman: Are you looking for your groom? Shirley (pauses for a moment): No. I don't have that. I'm Jewish. =============================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 15:56:36 +0000 From: LET'S GO ISLANDERS Subject: Re: accu-wx As far as how hard it is to get into AccuWeather, if you are a smart, hardworking, and well spoken person, then it is not very hard to do. AccuWeather is a growing company, and always searching for good forecasters to add to the team. As far as John's comments, to each his own. There are many people, as with pretty much any place, who have left on bad terms with the company. There are also many people who stay and are very happy. No, in the provate sector the money is not great, but if you love the weather and the challenge of forecasting the weather, then these private companies, such as AccuWeather, are the places to be. Keep in mind that you do not hear from the people who are happy, only the dissatisfied ones make the noise. I would say that if you are interested, send in a resume and find out for yourself what it will be like. You have nothing to lose! Marshall Moss AccuWeather meteorologist/Morning Manager of Forecasting Operations www.Accuwx.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 13:02:17 +22304808 From: Matthew Lazzara Subject: Ronne Ice Shelf iceberg The Antarctic Meteorology Research Center is excited to offer continuing coverage of the Ronne Ice Shelf iceberg. The latest available image, a 1-km resolution NOAA-12 IR image from 0829 UTC today, November 3rd, shows the berg as it continues to break up, with a particularly large slice beginning to head away from shore. Related images are made available on the Web on our new AMRC Photo Gallery web page: http://uwamrc.ssec.wisc.edu/amrc/amrcgallery.html Regards, Matt ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Matt Whittaker Space Science and Engineering Center Associate Research Specialist University of Wisconsin -- Madison AWS / AMRC Data Distribution front242@ice.ssec.wisc.edu \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Matthew Lazzara - Meteorologist - Antarctic Meteorology Research Center Space Science and Engineering Center E-mail: mattl@ssec.wisc.edu University of Wisconsin-Madison Phone: (608) 262-0436 1225 West Dayton Street, Madison, WI 53706 Fax: (608) 263-6738 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Nov 1998 16:33:38 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: thank you all Thank you all for your input on State College and Accu Weather. I got a good mix of negatives and positives. I am still going to go for it though. I have this remarkable ability to be able to adjust to almost anything. I lived near Philadelphia my whole life, and suddenly moved to Hagerstown, MD. That was an adjustment! But I did it. Then I adjusted to college life remarkably well. Working at Accu Weather would be good for me because I will not be too far from my girlfriend, who is finishing college. Then we can prepare for marriage !!!!!! So I just want to know that I have something lined up and that I don't have to leave this great state I live in. This is not to say I will work at AWX for the rest of my life, but at least it is a start. I tried various NWS offices around me, but they are all fully staffed and happy without me. I also was denied the ability to apply for a job at Camp Springs, MD. The closing date was Nov 9, and I graduate in December. Well, I guess I am done telling you all kinds of personal information, but hey, this is how you get to know people! God bless Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Nov 1998 to 3 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Thu Nov 05 14:35:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4246 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627516-11021>; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 14:11:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40094; Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:09:54 -0600 Message-Id: <199811050609.AAA40094@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:03:16 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1998 to 4 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b5866ee8cd4feb10c0d35facebd339de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 130 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Accu-wx 2. Calling all people with weather pages. (2) 3. Weather Channel special reports sometimes border on the ridiculous. 4. Oh no -- neutral tilt! 5. rain in Texas +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 09:32:32 -0500 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: Accu-wx I'll put my two cents on this topic and then be done with it. I don't know specifics about Accu-wx, but my own personal experience with them several years ago during the application/interviewing process wasn't good and my grad school faculty highly recommended staying away from there, including one who was a Penn St. grad. I ended up at a private forecasting company in Kansas, and what I heard from my co-workers (which included some former Accu-wx employees) wasn't complimentary. However, to be fair, there aren't a lot of compliments for the private companies in general. From my experience working/job hunting, my associations with co-workers, friends, faculty, etc., most private companies present 3 problems for potential employees: long hours, low pay and high turnover. My job was supposed to be 45 hours/week (5 9-hour days), I doubt that I worked that schedule 10 percent of the time in my nearly 3 years there. 10-11-hour days, 6 days/week were common because of the workload and continual understaffing. I've heard similar comments elsewhere. Low pay is in the eye of the beholder, but I know people who needed 2nd jobs to make ends meet. Shortly before I left a friend of mine who started almost the same time as me made a list of all the people who had come and gone during our almost 3 years. 50 people in 33 months, from every department including management. To stop that kind of turnover and secure employees, private companies are having employees sign contracts committing them for some length of time (2-3 years), and if you leave during that period you can't work for competiting companies for the remainder of the contract length and may have to repay all or part of your training expenses and any other costs they feel they didn't get an adequate return on. My contract was for only 15 months, but they have gotten longer since. It would be worth having a lawyer review any employment contract before you sign so you are aware of the small print and details, don't be pressured. Your decision might have quite an impact on your career down the road. As much as I would like to get back in the weather game (and I have to some extent), I just can't find a situation that's good enough to uproot my family and move, so I continue to look and wait. Good luck in your search and I hope you find the right situation. Steve Maneikis ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:47:15 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Re: Calling all people with weather pages.
Hey fellow weather weenies, I whould like to get your weather page linked from my page. Please send your url to me at hrobins@campus.peachnetcw.net
also my homepage is at http://giant.net/~hrobins.
Thanks
Howard Robinson
****************************************************************************
Howard Robinson AKA Hurricane
Georgia College & State University
CPO #2530
Milledgeville,ga 31061
Phone:912-454-0555
http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832
http://giant.net/~hrobins
email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net
hrobins@giant.net
howrob@rage.gac.peachnet.edu
huricane97@hotmail.com
hurricane@partlycloudy.com
ICQ#1987186
If God had been a college student, He would not have made the world in seven
days. He would have procrastinated for six and then pulled an all-nighter. :)
****************************************************************************

------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 16:14:41 -0500 From: George Sambataro Subject: Weather Channel special reports sometimes border on the ridiculous. Is it just me or do some other folks think that the Weather Channel's decision to send a "crew" to Sanibel Island to cover the arrival of Tropical "Storm" Mitch is just a little crazy. The system looks more like a winter type low pressure system as opposed to anything tropical. At last report on the WX Channel the winds on the coast appear to be gusting to 10 MPH :-) with a light rain falling. George ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 16:21:39 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: Calling all people with weather pages. Hurricane? YOu are on this list? The Edge (from #CU) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 21:35:20 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Oh no -- neutral tilt! Another quack remedy for SDS (storm deprivation syndrome). Neutral Tilt! http://www.weathergraphics.com/neutral/ Tim Vasquez ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 00:47:43 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: rain in Texas SOmeone please help me....why is it raining in Texas? Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1998 to 4 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Nov 06 14:28:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3652 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627102-10180>; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 14:06:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA98320; Fri, 6 Nov 1998 00:05:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199811060605.AAA98320@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 00:00:44 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Nov 1998 to 5 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b76815d56219dfc7622c0c411b216961 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 119 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. MAWS Mailing List 2. WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1998 to 4 Nov 1998 (2) 3. Calling for Weather webpages take 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:12:41 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: MAWS Mailing List Today's Mid-Atlantic Weather Station (MAWS) Mailing List members will be receiving news on the upcoming Leonids shower; plus, some stats on the deadliest hurricanes. To join the list, click on the link. You are never required to supply personal data, and you may drop off the list at any time. Recent past mailing list messages have included information from a Cancun resident during Mitch... and now, reports in Mitch's aftermath. Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 16:15:01 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1998 to 4 Nov 1998 Hi Howard, My personal weather site is located at: ****************************************************** http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670/ ****************************************************** thanks for the link! Matt __________________________________________________________ > Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 13:47:15 -0500 > From: Howard Robinson > Subject: Re: Calling all people with weather pages. > > Hey fellow weather weenies, I whould like to get your weather page > linked from my page. Please send your url to me at > hrobins@campus.peachnetcw.net also my homepage is at > http://giant.net/~hrobins. > > Thanks > Howard Robinson > > "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while." --Kin Hubbard ______________________________________________________________ |Matt Hartman Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu | |437 Brandt Hall Sophomore Meteorology Major | |Valparaiso, IN 46383 EIS Student Consultant | |Phone: 219-464-5907 | |**************************************************************| |http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 | |______________________________________________________________| ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1998 22:54:25 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Calling for Weather webpages take 2
Yall, sorry I gave the wrong email out. Sorry about that!
The correct email is hrobins@peachnet.campuscw.net
or hrobins@giant.net.


Howard
****************************************************************************
Howard Robinson AKA Hurricane
Georgia College & State University
CPO #2530
Milledgeville,ga 31061
Phone:912-454-0555
http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832
http://giant.net/~hrobins
email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net
hrobins@giant.net
howrob@rage.gac.peachnet.edu
huricane97@hotmail.com
hurricane@partlycloudy.com
ICQ#1987186
If God had been a college student, He would not have made the world in seven
days. He would have procrastinated for six and then pulled an all-nighter. :)
****************************************************************************

------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 00:11:35 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1998 to 4 Nov 1998 I have a weather site.... http://members.tripod.com/~edge777/weather.html it also includes a link to a page I created for weather forecasters to use, with links to models (eta, ngm, avn, mrf, ecmwf, and nogaps) and radar, satellite, discussions, skew t log p plots, etc. Enjoy. Comments welcome. Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Nov 1998 to 5 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Nov 07 14:20:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4694 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628412-21894>; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 14:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA79858; Sat, 7 Nov 1998 00:09:16 -0600 Message-Id: <199811070609.AAA79858@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 00:01:22 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1998 to 6 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 503bae052004c23aaf32e7b5a277f145 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 48 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Looking for derecho radar (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:03:16 -0600 From: Pam Knox Subject: Looking for derecho radar Hello, all! I am looking for a good (or even mediocre) radar loop of a derecho event. Can anyone point me in the right direction? I remember the July 7 1991 derecho that went through Madison WI--great radar picture, but of course we didn't think to tape it then. Another derecho would do nicely, too. Thanks for your help! ----------------------------------------- Pam Knox Email: Pam.Knox@valpo.edu Valparaiso University ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:33:37 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Looking for derecho radar Pam Knox wrote: > > Hello, all! I am looking for a good (or even mediocre) > radar loop of a derecho event. > Pam, Try the Grand Rapids MI NWS office...they did a case study of the 31 May 1998 derecho event at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grr/forum/derecho98.html I think someone here @SSEC has some 88D data from that event as well...I'll look into that for you. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1998 to 6 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Nov 08 16:15:00 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1406 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626930-18144>; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 14:03:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA40056; Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:03:34 -0600 Message-Id: <199811080603.AAA40056@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 00:00:36 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Nov 1998 to 7 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c081328eb2d9a971a7550279bdb19d48 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 172 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1998 to 6 Nov 1998 2. GMT Time? (2) 3. q-vector analysis (2) 4. TAMU Meteorology Website +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 00:31:17 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1998 to 6 Nov 1998 JUNE 29 from DMX and DVN radars. John McLaughlin KCCI -----Original Message----- From: Automatic digest processor To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Date: Saturday, November 07, 1998 12:17 AM Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1998 to 6 Nov 1998 >There are 2 messages totalling 48 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. Looking for derecho radar (2) > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 13:03:16 -0600 >From: Pam Knox >Subject: Looking for derecho radar > >Hello, all! I am looking for a good (or even mediocre) >radar loop of a derecho event. Can anyone point me in the >right direction? I remember the July 7 1991 derecho that >went through Madison WI--great radar picture, but of course >we didn't think to tape it then. Another derecho would do >nicely, too. > >Thanks for your help! > >----------------------------------------- >Pam Knox >Email: Pam.Knox@valpo.edu >Valparaiso University > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1998 19:33:37 +0000 >From: Scott Bachmeier >Subject: Re: Looking for derecho radar > >Pam Knox wrote: >> >> Hello, all! I am looking for a good (or even mediocre) >> radar loop of a derecho event. >> > >Pam, > >Try the Grand Rapids MI NWS office...they did a case study >of the 31 May 1998 derecho event at > > http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grr/forum/derecho98.html > >I think someone here @SSEC has some 88D data from that >event as well...I'll look into that for you. > >-Scott > >-- >Scott Bachmeier CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison >mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1998 to 6 Nov 1998 >************************************************ > > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:21:43 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: GMT Time? Can someone explain to me the time difference in GMT and say, CST (Central Standard Time) where I live? So, if it's 1200HRS CST, what is the GMT hour? Richard richard.whitenight@chrysalis.com --- þ CmpQwk #UNREGþ UNREGISTERED EVALUATION COPY ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 03:26:12 -0600 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: GMT Time? On Sat, 7 Nov 1998, Richard Whitenight wrote: > Can someone explain to me the time difference in GMT and say, CST > (Central Standard Time) where I live? So, if it's 1200HRS CST, what is > the GMT hour? GMT - 6:00 == CST GMT - 5:00 == CDT i.e. 12GMT == 6am CST or 7am CDT ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 15:59:51 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: q-vector analysis Anyone happen to know where I can find q-vector fields on the net? Either observed fields or fields from the models. TAMU has a model page that have q-vector analysis from the Eta and NGM, however the TAMU weather pages have been down for a few weeks now. Thanks for the help. Matt "There is no greater joy in life than waiting for a nor'easter to ever so slowly come together" ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 17:24:16 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: q-vector analysis I would also be interested in Q vector maps. TAMU has been down, and I like their Weather Interface....anyone know why they are down? Edge ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1998 22:15:45 -0600 From: "Karl W. Schulze" Subject: TAMU Meteorology Website The Texas A&M Meteorology website is (as a few have noted) down. There was a security boo-boo (that is a precise technical term) that took place a few weeks back. Until they get a better security watchdog for the website, the page will be closed to all off-campus users. I think things should be back running within the next week or so (however, I've got nothing to do with it......I'm just passing along things I've heard......see my disclaimer below if you have any complaints about my psychic abilities.....) Karl ******************************************************* * Karl W. Schulze             HAM Radio Call:  KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail:  kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu                * *                Disclaimer:  SUE ME!                 * ******************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Nov 1998 to 7 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Nov 09 14:17:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1424 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629822-2411>; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 14:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA36574; Mon, 9 Nov 1998 00:06:47 -0600 Message-Id: <199811090606.AAA36574@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 00:02:16 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Nov 1998 to 8 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f98fccedcd9598f4aa3be6594872495e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 42 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RealEMWIN Beta3 (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 17:06:55 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Beta3 Beta3 is now ready for download... http://www.skywatch.org/realemwin.html Changes: - Weathernode plugin built into the software (set from the config screen) - Reworked the file configuration / directories for "non-standard" setups - Added a .wav file to audio alarm (turn off with "File" / "Mute" - Purge performed automatically at startup and every hour - "Save As" implemented with standard Windows save screen - Manual emailing improved - Quick now displays the bulletin if you have a full file name, i.e. SWRCLEOH will pull up the latest hourly weather roundup, while SWR will list the hourly weather roundups - If you click on the image display icon you can have multiple windows open - Looping reads up to 10 images - Data quality 'meter' obtainable from the "file" menu - Right click the "weathervane" icon in the system tray for the last 5 bulletins - Lots of other internal stuff An updated user's guide should be ready in a day or so... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Nov 1998 18:52:15 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: RealEMWIN Beta3 What exactly is this software and what is it for? Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Nov 1998 to 8 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Tue Nov 10 14:20:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4210 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630289-21610>; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:07:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA56566; Tue, 10 Nov 1998 00:07:00 -0600 Message-Id: <199811100607.AAA56566@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 00:02:39 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Nov 1998 to 9 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 896b5c0c7e751b9be6bd5c2708d75968 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 351 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New Position at TWC 2. Satellite Images Needed (2) 3. TV Met Job Available 4. spc? (3) 5. Upcoming header changes... 6. SFD? (2) 7. Wyoming met tries new system +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 10:40:24 -0500 From: Stu Ostro Subject: New Position at TWC THE WEATHER CHANNEL® has an immediate opening for the position of Winter Weather Specialist. RESPONSIBILITIES include serving as a winter weather expert on TWC video network and other distribution platforms; working with Meteorology, On-Camera Meteorology, Production/Programming, New Media, Radio, and other operational TWC Departments; teaching, coaching, and providing feedback to TWC staff; speaking engagements; availability for interviews by other media; liaison with weather community (research, NWS, emergency mgmt., etc.). Individual will be expected to stay abreast of latest scientific developments; doing their own research and publishing is encouraged as time allows. SKILL REQUIREMENTS include: authority on winter storms; highly knowledgeable about mesoscale meteorology, hemispheric-scale dynamics, radar, satellite, and the latest scientific theories; exceptional communication skills including strong on-camera presence and ability to explain complex weather situations! to TWC viewers in an easy-to-understand manner (prior on-camera experience preferred); strong interpersonal and leadership skills including the ability to work very well in a team environment with minimal supervision; ability to teach and train; proficiency in use of computers. QUALIFICATIONS: Renowned in field; degree in atmospheric or related science (Ph.D. preferred). Extensive experience in operational forecasting (of snow and other winter weather phenomena) and research; teaching experience a plus. If interested, please send letter and curriculum vitae by no later than November 20, 1998 to Keith Westerlage, On-Camera Meteorology Manager, The Weather Channel®, 300 Interstate North Parkway, Atlanta, GA 30339. Serious candidates only please. EOE. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 10:06:00 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Satellite Images Needed I received the following request for satellite images. If anyone has the info this person is seeking would you kindly e-mail them directly. at . Thanks. ..Chris.. Sir, I am a student a the Center for Atmospheric and oceanic Sciences Indian Institute of Scieces. Today I went to your wonderfull page http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. I wanted to know if Images of systems ( cyclones etc ) are available with you over the Indian region. Thanking you for your kind attention Sincerely Manik Bali Manik Bali C.A.O.S INDIAN INSTITUE OF SCIENCE BANGLORE-560012 Ph-3092737 ,3092505 *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 10:08:06 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available I received the following... From: slewis@cmc.net (Scott Lewis) Our AM meteorologist is taking a job in the 17th market! That means we need someone to work the morning show (6-7am) do a few updates, then report science and technology stories! It's a great gig, with LOTS of diversity, PLENTY of opportunity for learning, and it's FUN! We're the ABC affiliate in beautiful Southern Oregon. We're using WSI's Weather Producer with ShowFX. This challenging forecast area includes coastal weather, inland valleys, the Cascade range and more! Interested in joining our team? Send us your stuff! Scott Lewis Chief Meteorologist KDRV-TV Medford, Oregon 541-779-7999 *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:50:33 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Satellite Images Needed > I am a student a the Center for Atmospheric and oceanic > Sciences Indian Institute of Scieces. Today I went to your > wonderfull page http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. I wanted to know > if Images of systems ( cyclones etc ) are available with you > over the Indian region. > > Manik Bali > C.A.O.S > INDIAN INSTITUE OF SCIENCE > Interesting -- someone from India (who operates their own geostationary satellite INSAT, yet doesn't share imagery from said bird with the rest of the world) asking if we have images over the Indian region. Well, we do...kind of... http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/indian/winds/winds.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier CIMSS / SSEC / University of Wisconsin - Madison mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 14:41:57 -0600 From: glen Subject: spc? PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY MO 500 AM CDT MONDAY 9 NOVEMBER 1998 if the public swo is issued from spc, why does it use a nwsfo kansas city header? ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 15:27:32 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: spc? --------------1D326488B6DA8A523B85D13A Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit glen wrote: > PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY MO > 500 AM CDT MONDAY 9 NOVEMBER 1998 > > if the public swo is issued from spc, why does it use a nwsfo kansas city > header? > We brought down half of the AFOS unit we had as SELS in Kansas City. We were not able to create a NEW header, i.e. OUNPWOMKC because of the great limitations on AFOS. Thus, we are using the NAW (National Aviation Weather) AFOS and just put it into the MKC network. Confused? Yeah, so were we! Unfortunately, (or fortunately, which ever you want to look at it), AFOS has become a dinosaur, and hopefully AWIPS will allow us better capabilities. ************************************************************************************************ Daniel McCarthy Mesoscale Meteorologist Norman, OK My Account...My thoughts "To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?" -Katherine Graham ************************************************************************************************* --------------1D326488B6DA8A523B85D13A Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit  

glen wrote:

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY MO
500 AM CDT MONDAY 9 NOVEMBER 1998

if the public swo is issued from spc, why does it use a nwsfo kansas city
header?
 

We brought down half of the AFOS unit we had as SELS in Kansas City.  We were not able to create a NEW header, i.e. OUNPWOMKC because of the great limitations on AFOS.  Thus, we are using the NAW (National Aviation Weather) AFOS and just put it into the MKC network.  Confused?  Yeah, so were we!  Unfortunately, (or fortunately, which ever you want to look at it), AFOS has become a dinosaur, and hopefully AWIPS will allow us better capabilities.

************************************************************************************************
Daniel McCarthy
Mesoscale Meteorologist
Norman, OK

My Account...My thoughts

"To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?"
                                                                              -Katherine Graham
*************************************************************************************************
  --------------1D326488B6DA8A523B85D13A-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:30:41 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Upcoming header changes... Looks like some major rewrites for users who decode weather bulletins on WMO headers... Note the following: SAW WW 6i PRELIM NOTICE OF WATCH & CANCELLATION MSG AVIATION) SEL WW 6i SEVERE LOCAL STORM WATCH AND WATCH CANCELLATION MSG SEV WW 6i SELS WATCH POINT INFORMATION MESSAGE SLS WW 6i SEVERE LOCAL STORM WATCH AND AREAL OUTLINE WCN WW 6i WEATHER WATCH CLEARANCE NOTIFICATION(replaced WCM) By my reading that's saying products now sent under: WWUS40 WWUS9 WWUS32 will all be sent under the WWUS61/62/63/64/65 header depending on your region, as well as the addition of the SEV and WCN products under the extact same headers. Similar case for LSR (Storm Reports) and SVS (Severe Weather Statements) -- those will be WWUS5x. Implementation is scheduled for next month, so it might be a good idea to start storing / parsing products using the AWIPS/AFOS header line... Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 16:35:06 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: spc? And for future confusion... The product ID of SPC will change from KMKC to KWNS! COMMS-ID MESSAGE XR-7 Updated November 9, 1998 Center Identifiers List - NWS Communications Identifier Implementation Plan Center/National Identifiers KMWI - USDA National Computer Center (NCC), Kansas City, MO [fire weather] KNEC - National Earthquake Center, Golden, CO KNHC - Tropical Prediction Center, Miami, FL KNKA - FAA Weather Message Switching Center Replacement (WMSCR) Atlanta, GA/ Salt Lake City, UT KNWC - USN Fleet Numerical Meteorological and Oceanographic Center (FNMOC), Monterrey, CA KWAL - Wallops Island Earth Station, Wallops Island, VA KWBC - NWS Telecommunication Gateway/RTH Washington, DC KWNA - Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO KWNC - Climate Prediction Center, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD KWNH - Hydro-met Prediction Center, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD KWNJ - Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX KWNM - Marine Prediction Center, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD KWNO - NCEP Central Operations, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD KWNP - Space Environment Center, Boulder, CO KWNS - Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK PAWU - Alaskan Aviation Weather Unit, AK PTWC - Pacific Joint Typhoon Warning Center The identifiers below are awaiting final approval from FAA. KNCF - AWIPS/NOAAPort Network Control Facility (could use KWNF) KNES - NESDIS, National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service KWOH - NWS Office of Hydrology / HADS System NCEP Model Identifiers The following CCCCs are non-site specific. They are related solely to centrally produced NCEP generated products. Formerly, all NCEP products were issued under the CCCC of KWBC; in order to better differentiate the diverse suite of products produced by NCEP, all centrally produced NCEP GRIB and BUFR products CCCC headers will follow the convention of KWBx where x represents D-Q. KWBC - AVN/AVIATION FORECAST RUNS OF GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL KWBD - ETA/EARLY ETA MODEL KWBE - ETA/MESOSCALE ETA MODEL KWBF - NGM/NESTED GRIDDED MODEL KWBG - RUC/RAPID UPDATE CYCLE KWBH - MRF/MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST OF THE GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL KWBI - SST/SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS KWBJ - WAV/VARIOUS WIND/WAVE MODELS KWBK - ENS/GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECASTS KWBL - ENS/REGIONAL ENSEMBLE FORECASTS The identifiers KWBM thru KWBQ are reserved for future use. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 22:31:47 -0600 From: Christopher Beau Dodson Subject: SFD? Hello Everyone Can someone tell me when the State and Local Forecast Discussions might be up and running again. I have been using the Ohio State server and the UCDavis one...neither is updating as of Monday evening. The Ohio State information is from Sunday morning. I know they changed the headers about a month or two ago...but I have been getting them since then. Any idea what the problem might be? Thanks for the information beau@hcis.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 00:17:40 -0500 From: Lu Subject: Wyoming met tries new system http://www.msnbc.com/news/213015.asp ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 00:29:17 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: SFD? They changed the forecast headers. You can get them from my weather forecasting page (http://members.tripod.com/~edge777/wxframes.html) or WeatherNet's page. Look at the source code if you need to. Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Nov 1998 to 9 Nov 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Nov 11 14:45:36 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4168 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629614-27449>; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 14:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA115154; Wed, 11 Nov 1998 00:04:57 -0600 Message-Id: <199811110604.AAA115154@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 00:01:36 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1998 to 10 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5fa56cd447ac19717f20f2011bba7e6f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 347 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Zipcode and NWS Forecast Zones 2. SFD? 3. SFD? (and EMWIN) 4. Kavouras technical difficulties 5. SAME wx-radio probs. 6. Pressure Readings 7. And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:42:13 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Zipcode and NWS Forecast Zones Zipcodes are rather finescaled for this. Most databases use by NWS use state, county, and FIPS codes for state & county. If you really have to have city/zip, you may be able to find a zip-county table elsewhere, like at the census bureau or post office, or a ZIP-FIPS table from Census or GSA/NIST. Or, you can use the post office's zip-to-long/lat tables to deterimine which WFA/CFA polygon each zip code is in (yech). Many series of government weather stations are listed by everything else but not zipcodes at: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/stationlocator.html I found a file, probably originally named b_a_er.xls, that listed the FIPS codes, counties, zone#'s, of the counties in the CFW/WFA's of the East Region WFO's. I can't reconstruct where I found it. But that doens't do zip code either. http://Isl715.nws.noaa.gov/mapdata/newcat/ the Modernization Map Catalog contains files crossreferencing Public Zones, Marine Zones, County Warning Areas, Counties, States, and Mapinfo outlines for various GIS. However, the Zones directory doesn't allow directory browsing, so you need to know the filenames... eg, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/shapemap/zones/er/me.htm ftp://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/shapemap/zones/er/me/ for the state of Maine The BNA files are the ASCII CSV-type files, with one line of FIPScode (as used on SAME WR's) and county name and then N lines of Long/Lat pairs defining the outline. The BNA files are in ftp://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/zones/ and ftp://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/cwa/ma-cwa.bna with one or more files per state. Some of the public weather sites do let you type in city name or zip, but what you're linking may affect whether they appreciate the link. -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:29:59 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: SFD? > Can someone tell me when the State and Local Forecast Discussions might > be up and running again. I > have been using the Ohio State server and the UCDavis one...neither is > updating as of Monday evening. > > The Ohio State information is from Sunday morning. > > I know they changed the headers about a month or two ago...but I have > been getting them since then. > > Any idea what the problem might be? A problem with the web servers ;> SFD / AFD products are flowing across EMWIN just fine, and other web servers I use. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:30:51 -0600 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: SFD? (and EMWIN) On Tue, 10 Nov 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > A problem with the web servers ;> SFD / AFD products are flowing across > EMWIN just fine, and other web servers I use. Actually it appeared that OSU lost their data feed. Products started updating last night around 9pm. Also, related to EMWIN, the NWS released a piece of beta-software for EMWIN that ran on Windows 3.xx. Does anyone have a copy of it or know where I can find a copy of it? I'm trying to find a decent way of importing data other than Netscape/Lynx for UNIX. There are no "end-user" type products out there like Weather Graphics or DA for Linux/UNIX. WeatherGraphics teeters along in the DOS Emulator for Linux but it doesn't work well and the graphics often corrupt the display. I remember the EMWIN beta ran well in the M$-Windows emulator. *Shrug* I'll quit my whining :) Watching the rain and lightning in Minneapolis Waiting for the snow and the wind John ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 09:40:15 -0600 From: Muller Bruce Capt TACC/XOW Subject: Kavouras technical difficulties Where I work, we own a Kavouras Triton I7 weather graphics computer, and we've been experiencing technical difficulties as of late. Most simply its likely a power supply problem since when we try to turn the machine on, only the ventilation fans come on; no computer lights or hard drive activity, etc. It did this once before about a month ago, but then mysteriously came back to life until last week when it died again (same thing--fan only comes on). So my question to the field (Kavouras owners/operaters) is, has anyone else had similar difficulty with this system? We are faced with shipping the machine back to them for their expensive service for what's probably just a loose wire we can't see. We've owned the machine less than a year and apparently it has only a three month warranty. Kavouras has offered to send us a replacement packing box for shipment back to them for over $100, since we no longer have the original packing materials. Any suggestions? Would a local computer maintenance business be able to work on this, or is the equipment so proprietary that only Kavouras knows how to maintain it? I've had a few calls to their customer/field service and haven't been very pleased with their responses so far and the fact that such an expensive machine has such a short warranty. If anyone (TV station mets?) has had similar experiences, with this or other Kavouras system, let me know. Thanks! Bruce D. Muller, Capt, USAF TACC/XOW Staff Weather Officer DSN 576-8181/Comm 618-256-8181 email: Bruce.Muller@scott.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 10:48:43 -0500 From: Scott Cravens Subject: SAME wx-radio probs. Wx-talkers: Me and a friend of mine have programmed in our respective county codes (just one) and neither of us are receiving the Wed. test. Anyone know of probs. with these radio's? -- Scott -> Network Administrator -> Dept. of Ag & Resource Economics (CALS) -> 5-6095 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:26:26 -0600 From: Christopher Beau Dodson Subject: Pressure Readings Hello everyone An exciting morning here in Illinois with a nice November squall line moving through. Wind gusted to over 60 mph at my location...Metropolis, Illinois. A number of trees down and branches. The pressure readings coming out of Minnesota are simply amazing. You will want to check there out. MINNESOTA STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP.. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1100 AM CST TUE NOV 10 1998 MNZ060>063-068>070-101800- ...TWIN CITIES METRO... TWIN CITIES CLOUDY 40 37 89 SE14 28.58F TC 4 ST PAUL CLOUDY 42 32 67 SE16G23 28.60F TC 6 SOUTH ST PAUL CLOUDY 37 37 100 S9G17 28.58F TC 3 CRYSTAL LGT RAIN 41 39 93 SE12 28.58F TC 5 EDEN PRAIRIE CLOUDY 41 38 89 SE12 28.57F TC 5 LAKEVILLE CLOUDY 41 39 93 SE18G26 28.57F FOG ...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... MANKATO CLOUDY 37 34 89 S6 28.56F TC 3 NEW ULM CLOUDY 43 43 100 NW7 28.56F FOG TC 6 FARIBAULT CLOUDY 37 36 96 SE14 28.56F TC 3 ST JAMES LGT SNOW 36 30 79 W33G44 28.59R TC 2 OWATONNA CLOUDY 37 37 100 SE9 28.50F TC 3 FAIRMONT CLOUDY 36 34 92 NW29G44 28.62R TC 2 ALBERT LEA LGT SNOW 34 34 100 CALM 28.43F TC 1 $$ Should be a wild night on the Lakes tonight! Winter Storm season has arrived! Beau ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:20:17 -0500 From: Tony Cristaldi Subject: And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... I stumbled across this article from the 9/4 on-line version of Forbes at: http://www.forbes.com/tool/html/98/sep/0904/feat.htm Some "interesting" comments and claims made by Joel Myers in the second half of the article...plus a few outright untruths. (Has the Accu-wx pay scale has changed or JM is assuming all NWS mets stay at GS-5 throughout their careers?) Also...JM makes a remark that one may construe as "disparaging" about the quality of NWS meteorologists. Where is Paul "And now the REST of the story..." Harvey when you need him? :-( Tony Cristaldi NWSO Melbourne FL -------------------------------------- Digital Clear Skies By Adam L. Penenberg On the Internet content may be king, but for most web sites it doesn't even pay the server bills--unless the content happens to involve sex, stocks, sports. And--surprise!--weather. The number one name in on and offline weather forecasting is a private company called AccuWeather, located in State College, Pa. and founded 36 years ago by Dr. Joel Myers, a meteorologist and former Pennsylvania State University professor. Along with providing weather data to some 15,000 media outlets--network news organizations like CNN, radio stations, newspapers, and 1,000 web sites, including The Wall Street Journal, Washington Post and Snap!--AccuWeather maintains an active and, according to the company, profitable web presence. Making money from a genre of information that is available nearly everywhere for free, or extremely low cost, would appear, on the face of it, to be a tough sell. How to convince the web-surfing public to pony up for a five-day forecast when everyone from the daily newspaper to Bob the Nightly News Weatherman to cable television's Weather Channel is giving it away? Weather is the kind of content that works well on the web. It needs to be constantly updated and distributed in a targeted manner. It is "collapsible" data that can be viewed from a macro level--satellite photos of the eastern seaboard-- down to micro levels of what will happen in the viewer's neighborhood. The weather also invites interaction. Users want to personalize it and make it their own. How often has a viewer in New York watching TV's Weather Channel had to wade through piles of commercial and weather prognostications for the Ozarks and Mexico before finding out whether that storm off the Atlantic Coast will force his nephew's bar mitzvah indoors? The web provides a precise path to circumvent the chaff. Plus, in this age of El Nino, there is always a need (read: demand) for reliable weather information--for those waiting for flood waters to recede, those intent on taking the family yacht out for a spin, and those who want to find out whether the surf's up. Weather is the kind of content that works well on the web. There are a few different facets to AccuWeather's Internet strategy. First, there are a number of weather packages. For as little as $25 a month, even the smallest mom-and-pop web site can receive the day's forecast for 100 cities; $50 a month can get you a five-day forecast for your city. There are pricier alternatives, as well, depending on which features you sign up for, including packages with snazzy graphics and maps bundled with customized weather data, depending on your site's needs. But AccuWeather's Internet presence isn't merely as an information provider to web sites. The company also maintains its own site that is, in part, advertiser supported, in addition to offering subscriptions for different premium services. Web surfers, at no charge, can access real-time weather forecasts, receive E-mail updates, graphics and weather information for more than 55,000 cities. A subscription price of $39.95 a year ($4.95 a month) will get you customized weather services, up-to-date Doppler Radar, and access to the Aviation Center: weather information for pilots. The site boasts 300,000 unique visitors a month, most of whom, the company reports, pay a subscription price. But it isn't just AccuWeather's ubiquity on the web, and in TV, print and radio, that is the reason the company has been fast becoming the number one brand name in weather forecasting. It is the fact that it is more accurate than the National Weather Service. Why? Think private sector. Myers claims that since he can pay his 93 staff meteorologists more than the National Weather Service can, and that AccuWeather can measure weather at some 43,000 sites across the U.S., while The National Weather Service relies on less accurate computer models, AccuWeather's forecasts are, well, more accurate. "We have beaten the National Weather Service in accuracy 127 out of 128 months," Myers says. "We can localize forecasts to the Bronx or Wall Street; the National Weather Service can't. And when you get out to Iowa, a national weather service forecast may cover 50 miles, but within those 50 miles, weather can vary dramatically. I hire the best forecasters, while the weather service hires based on civil servant test scores." In fact, last weekend, while most weather forecasters predicted that Hurricane Bonnie would batter the East Coast, AccuWeather's forecasts were more restrained - and ultimately more accurate. (see "Hurricanes and the web") While the NWS Hurricane Center was predicting 60-knot winds anywhere within 65 nautical miles of Nantucket, AccuWeather was calmly predicting nothing above 20 knots. AccuWeather was right. And if weather doesn't turn your wheels, you can always access AccuWeather's horoscopes on its site. No word yet on whether they are more accurate than competing horoscopes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "'El Nino' is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:56:59 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... Are you saying that there is nothing good about AccuWeather? Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1998 to 10 Nov 1998 ************************************************* From - Thu Nov 12 14:25:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1261 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626594-15250>; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 14:08:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA65158; Thu, 12 Nov 1998 00:07:09 -0600 Message-Id: <199811120607.AAA65158@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 00:03:05 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Nov 1998 to 11 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d71211905da428958e391e1828444590 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 598 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1998 to 10 Nov 1998 2. Accu-Weather Article 3. And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... 4. Subsidizing High Risk! 5. RUC data (2) 6. Two or One vortex? 7. Satellite Images Needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 00:12:34 -0600 From: Mark Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1998 to 10 Nov 1998 On Wed, 11 Nov 1998, Automatic digest processor wrote: > There are 8 messages totalling 347 lines in this issue. > > Topics of the day: > > 1. Zipcode and NWS Forecast Zones > 2. SFD? > 3. SFD? (and EMWIN) > 4. Kavouras technical difficulties > 5. SAME wx-radio probs. > 6. Pressure Readings > 7. And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... (2) > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Mon, 9 Nov 1998 17:42:13 GMT > From: Bill Ricker > Subject: Re: Zipcode and NWS Forecast Zones > > Zipcodes are rather finescaled for this. Most databases use by NWS use > state, county, and FIPS codes for state & county. If you really have > to have city/zip, you may be able to find a zip-county table elsewhere, > like at the census bureau or post office, or a ZIP-FIPS table from > Census or GSA/NIST. Or, you can use the post office's zip-to-long/lat > tables to deterimine which WFA/CFA polygon each zip code is in (yech). > > Many series of government weather stations are listed by everything > else but not zipcodes at: > http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/stationlocator.html > > I found a file, probably originally named b_a_er.xls, that listed > the FIPS codes, counties, zone#'s, of the counties in the CFW/WFA's > of the East Region WFO's. I can't reconstruct where I found it. > But that doens't do zip code either. > > http://Isl715.nws.noaa.gov/mapdata/newcat/ > the Modernization Map Catalog contains files crossreferencing Public > Zones, Marine Zones, County Warning Areas, Counties, States, and > Mapinfo outlines for various GIS. However, the Zones directory > doesn't allow directory browsing, so you need to know the > filenames... eg, > http://www.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/shapemap/zones/er/me.htm > ftp://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/shapemap/zones/er/me/ > for the state of Maine > The BNA files are the ASCII CSV-type files, with one line of FIPScode > (as used on SAME WR's) and county name and then N lines of Long/Lat > pairs defining the outline. > The BNA files are in ftp://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/zones/ > and ftp://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/modernize/cwa/ma-cwa.bna > with one or more files per state. > > Some of the public weather sites do let you type in city name or > zip, but what you're linking may affect whether they appreciate the > link. > > > -- > Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs > http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:29:59 -0500 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: Re: SFD? > > > Can someone tell me when the State and Local Forecast Discussions might > > be up and running again. I > > have been using the Ohio State server and the UCDavis one...neither is > > updating as of Monday evening. > > > > The Ohio State information is from Sunday morning. > > > > I know they changed the headers about a month or two ago...but I have > > been getting them since then. > > > > Any idea what the problem might be? > > A problem with the web servers ;> SFD / AFD products are flowing across > EMWIN just fine, and other web servers I use. > > Rob > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 07:30:51 -0600 > From: John Lamb > Subject: Re: SFD? (and EMWIN) > > On Tue, 10 Nov 1998, Robert P Dale wrote: > > > A problem with the web servers ;> SFD / AFD products are flowing across > > EMWIN just fine, and other web servers I use. > > Actually it appeared that OSU lost their data feed. Products started > updating last night around 9pm. > > Also, related to EMWIN, the NWS released a piece of beta-software for > EMWIN that ran on Windows 3.xx. Does anyone have a copy of it or know > where I can find a copy of it? > > I'm trying to find a decent way of importing data other than Netscape/Lynx > for UNIX. There are no "end-user" type products out there like Weather > Graphics or DA for Linux/UNIX. WeatherGraphics teeters along in the DOS > Emulator for Linux but it doesn't work well and the graphics often corrupt > the display. I remember the EMWIN beta ran well in the M$-Windows > emulator. > > *Shrug* I'll quit my whining :) > > Watching the rain and lightning in Minneapolis > Waiting for the snow and the wind > > John > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 09:40:15 -0600 > From: Muller Bruce Capt TACC/XOW > Subject: Kavouras technical difficulties > > Where I work, we own a Kavouras Triton I7 weather graphics computer, and > we've been experiencing technical difficulties as of late. Most simply its > likely a power supply problem since when we try to turn the machine on, only > the ventilation fans come on; no computer lights or hard drive activity, > etc. It did this once before about a month ago, but then mysteriously came > back to life until last week when it died again (same thing--fan only comes > on). So my question to the field (Kavouras owners/operaters) is, has anyone > else had similar difficulty with this system? We are faced with shipping > the machine back to them for their expensive service for what's probably > just a loose wire we can't see. We've owned the machine less than a year > and apparently it has only a three month warranty. Kavouras has offered to > send us a replacement packing box for shipment back to them for over $100, > since we no longer have the original packing materials. Any suggestions? > Would a local computer maintenance business be able to work on this, or is > the equipment so proprietary that only Kavouras knows how to maintain it? > I've had a few calls to their customer/field service and haven't been very > pleased with their responses so far and the fact that such an expensive > machine has such a short warranty. If anyone (TV station mets?) has had > similar experiences, with this or other Kavouras system, let me know. > Thanks! > > Bruce D. Muller, Capt, USAF > TACC/XOW Staff Weather Officer > DSN 576-8181/Comm 618-256-8181 > email: Bruce.Muller@scott.af.mil > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 10:48:43 -0500 > From: Scott Cravens > Subject: SAME wx-radio probs. > > Wx-talkers: > > Me and a friend of mine have programmed in our respective county > codes (just one) and neither of us are receiving the Wed. test. > Anyone know of probs. with these radio's? > > > -- Scott > > -> Network Administrator > -> Dept. of Ag & Resource Economics (CALS) > -> 5-6095 > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 11:26:26 -0600 > From: Christopher Beau Dodson > Subject: Pressure Readings > > Hello everyone > > An exciting morning here in Illinois with a nice November squall line > moving through. Wind gusted to over 60 mph at my location...Metropolis, > Illinois. A number of trees down and branches. > > The pressure readings coming out of Minnesota are simply amazing. You > will want to check there out. > > MINNESOTA STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP.. > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN > 1100 AM CST TUE NOV 10 1998 > > MNZ060>063-068>070-101800- > ...TWIN CITIES METRO... > > TWIN CITIES CLOUDY 40 37 89 SE14 28.58F TC 4 > ST PAUL CLOUDY 42 32 67 SE16G23 28.60F TC 6 > SOUTH ST PAUL CLOUDY 37 37 100 S9G17 28.58F TC 3 > CRYSTAL LGT RAIN 41 39 93 SE12 28.58F TC 5 > EDEN PRAIRIE CLOUDY 41 38 89 SE12 28.57F TC 5 > LAKEVILLE CLOUDY 41 39 93 SE18G26 28.57F FOG > > ...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... > MANKATO CLOUDY 37 34 89 S6 28.56F TC 3 > NEW ULM CLOUDY 43 43 100 NW7 28.56F FOG TC 6 > FARIBAULT CLOUDY 37 36 96 SE14 28.56F TC 3 > ST JAMES LGT SNOW 36 30 79 W33G44 28.59R TC 2 > OWATONNA CLOUDY 37 37 100 SE9 28.50F TC 3 > FAIRMONT CLOUDY 36 34 92 NW29G44 28.62R TC 2 > ALBERT LEA LGT SNOW 34 34 100 CALM 28.43F TC 1 > $$ > > > Should be a wild night on the Lakes tonight! > > Winter Storm season has arrived! > > Beau > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 06:20:17 -0500 > From: Tony Cristaldi > Subject: And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... > > I stumbled across this article from the 9/4 on-line version > of Forbes at: > > http://www.forbes.com/tool/html/98/sep/0904/feat.htm > > Some "interesting" comments and claims made by Joel Myers > in the second half of the article...plus a few outright untruths. > (Has the Accu-wx pay scale has changed or JM is assuming all > NWS mets stay at GS-5 throughout their careers?) > > Also...JM makes a remark that one may construe as "disparaging" > about the quality of NWS meteorologists. > > Where is Paul "And now the REST of the story..." Harvey > when you need him? :-( > > Tony Cristaldi > NWSO Melbourne FL > -------------------------------------- > > Digital Clear Skies > > By Adam L. Penenberg > > On the Internet content may be king, but for most web sites it > doesn't even pay the server bills--unless the content happens > to involve sex, stocks, sports. And--surprise!--weather. > > The number one name in on and offline weather forecasting is a > private company called AccuWeather, located in State College, Pa. > and founded 36 years ago by Dr. Joel Myers, a meteorologist and > former Pennsylvania State University professor. Along with > providing weather data to some 15,000 media outlets--network news > organizations like CNN, radio stations, newspapers, and 1,000 > web sites, including The Wall Street Journal, Washington Post > and Snap!--AccuWeather maintains an active and, according to the > company, profitable web presence. > > Making money from a genre of information that is available nearly > everywhere for free, or extremely low cost, would appear, on the > face of it, to be a tough sell. How to convince the web-surfing > public to pony up for a five-day forecast when everyone from the > daily newspaper to Bob the Nightly News Weatherman to cable > television's Weather Channel is giving it away? > > Weather is the kind of content that works well on the web. > It needs to be constantly updated and distributed in a > targeted manner. It is "collapsible" data that can be viewed > from a macro level--satellite photos of the eastern seaboard-- > down to micro levels of what will happen in the viewer's > neighborhood. The weather also invites interaction. Users want > to personalize it and make it their own. How often has a viewer > in New York watching TV's Weather Channel had to wade through > piles of commercial and weather prognostications for the Ozarks > and Mexico before finding out whether that storm off the > Atlantic Coast will force his nephew's bar mitzvah indoors? > The web provides a precise path to circumvent the chaff. > > Plus, in this age of El Nino, there is always a need (read: demand) > for reliable weather information--for those waiting for flood > waters to recede, those intent on taking the family yacht out for a > spin, and those who want to find out whether the surf's up. > > > Weather is the kind of content that works well on the web. > > There are a few different facets to AccuWeather's Internet strategy. > First, there are a number of weather packages. For as little as > $25 a month, even the smallest mom-and-pop web site can > receive the day's forecast for 100 cities; $50 a month can get you a > five-day forecast for your city. There are pricier alternatives, as > well, depending on which features you sign up for, including > packages with snazzy graphics and maps bundled with > customized weather data, depending on your site's needs. > > But AccuWeather's Internet presence isn't merely as an > information provider to web sites. The company also maintains its > own site that is, in part, advertiser supported, in addition to > offering subscriptions for different premium services. Web surfers, > at no charge, can access real-time weather forecasts, receive E-mail > updates, graphics and weather information for more than 55,000 > cities. > > A subscription price of $39.95 a year ($4.95 a month) will get you > customized weather services, up-to-date Doppler Radar, and > access to the Aviation Center: weather information for pilots. The > site boasts 300,000 unique visitors a month, most of whom, the > company reports, pay a subscription price. > > But it isn't just AccuWeather's ubiquity on the web, and in TV, > print and radio, that is the reason the company has been fast > becoming the number one brand name in weather forecasting. It is > the fact that it is more accurate than the National Weather Service. > > Why? Think private sector. > > Myers claims that since he can pay his 93 staff meteorologists > more than the National Weather Service can, and that AccuWeather > can measure weather at some 43,000 sites across the U.S., while The > National Weather Service relies on less accurate computer models, > AccuWeather's forecasts are, well, > more accurate. > > "We have beaten the National Weather Service in accuracy 127 > out of 128 months," Myers says. "We can localize forecasts to the > Bronx or Wall Street; the National Weather Service can't. And when > you get out to Iowa, a national weather service forecast may > cover 50 miles, but within those 50 miles, weather can vary > dramatically. I hire the best forecasters, while the weather > service hires based on civil servant test scores." > > In fact, last weekend, while most weather forecasters predicted that > Hurricane Bonnie would batter the East Coast, AccuWeather's > forecasts were more restrained - and ultimately more accurate. > (see "Hurricanes and the web") While the NWS Hurricane Center > was predicting 60-knot winds anywhere within 65 nautical > miles of Nantucket, AccuWeather was calmly predicting nothing > above 20 knots. > > AccuWeather was right. > > And if weather doesn't turn your wheels, you can always access > AccuWeather's horoscopes on its site. No word yet on whether they > are more accurate than competing horoscopes. > > -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > > "'El Nino' is a Spanish name, meaning literally, "The Little Neen." > It refers to a seasonal warming of the Pacific Ocean, which is > critical to Earth's fragile ecosystem because it contains more than > 80 percent of our dwindling supply of anchovies." ...Dave Barry > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1998 23:56:59 -0500 > From: Dave Hiatt > Subject: Re: And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... > > Are you saying that there is nothing good about AccuWeather? > > Dave > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1998 to 10 Nov 1998 > ************************************************* > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 05:52:19 +0000 From: "H. Michael Mogil" Subject: Accu-Weather Article It was a very interesting article in Forbes about Joel Myers and Accu-Weather. Thanks for posting it, Tony Cristaldi (NWSO Melbourne FL). Although any of us (including Joel Myers) can say anything to a writer or reporter we want, there's nothing that requires them to believe us. Fact-finding and double-checking information is the key to good reporting. Alas, it would appear that this writer didn't do that.....obviously hell-bent on a pre-chosen article and outcome. On the other hand, carefully chosen words, can cover a multitude of sins. Take the following paragraph, for example. "Myers claims that since he can pay his 93 staff meteorologists more than the National Weather Service can, and that AccuWeather can measure weather at some 43,000 sites across the U.S., while The National Weather Service relies on less accurate computer models, AccuWeather's forecasts are, well, more accurate." There's nothing that says Accu-Weather DOES pay their staff more...only that they CAN. As for measuring data at 43,000 sites...well...that's a stretch. I can't believe Accu-Weather is supporting an observation net that large itself. The verification paragraph is especially interesting because it never defines how the verification was accomplished and in what category(ies) the NWS was beaten. There are lots of statistics. I would think the way this was prepared that a win in any statistic might well have counted as a "win" overall. As for Bonnie, well, we all have our successes and failures. Obviously the slant on the article was to play sucesses. I suspect the writer, with his pre-chosen agenda, wasn't about to show that NWS could be better in another case. Overall, it was a good piece for private meteorology and meteorology on the web. Just that some "facts" probably got stretched a bit. -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 301 Creek Valley Lane Rockville, MD 20850-5604 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) phone/fax or 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) phone hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 08:32:26 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel Myers... > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of Dave Hiatt > Sent: Tuesday, November 10, 1998 11:57 PM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Re: And now, some words from Accu-Weather President Joel > Myers... > > > Are you saying that there is nothing good about AccuWeather? > > Dave I don't think Tony said anything resembling the above... He posted an article with many half-truths and lies, interpret that however you'd like ;> Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 10:51:00 -0500 From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: Subsidizing High Risk! Wx-talkers: The following article may be of interest to the group: van der Vink, G., et al., "Why the United States is becoming more vulnerable to natural disasters", EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, Volume 79, No. 44, 3 Nov 98. The authors examine trends in frequency and severity of floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, etc. They also research trends in deaths and property destruction from these phenomena. One of their conclusions is given here: "The long-term economic impact of low-probability, high-cost events such as earthquakes and hurricanes is not being incorporated into the planning and development of our societal infrastructure. Economic incentives for responsible land use have been stifled by legislated insurance rates and federal aid programs that effectively subsidize development in hazard-prone areas. And while there will always be great political pressure to provide economic relief after a disaster, there has been little political interest in requiring predisaster mitigation." The article is a quick, yet informative, read. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:29:07 -0500 From: Scott Cravens Subject: RUC data Wx-Talk: Can anyone explain where/how the RUC model gets it's upper air data for times other than when the balloons are launched? Thanks in advance! -- Scott -> Network Administrator -> Dept. of Ag & Resource Economics (CALS) -> 5-6095 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 13:39:41 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: RUC data > Can anyone explain where/how the RUC model gets it's upper air > data for times other than when the balloons are launched? Thanks > in advance! The RUC easily has the most documentation available on the net! Check http://maps.fsl.noaa.gov Quick answer: - VAD - ACARS - GOES - Tropical dropsondes - BL Profilers - RASS Temperatures As a matter of fact they now have an "observation count" page so you can tell exactly how many of each platform made it into the model run... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 16:01:37 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Two or One vortex? > There's no reason that this should have been reported as two events. > This vortex (may have been associated with a supercell or not, that > is irrelevant) went from one spot to another. Although the surface > type at the bottom of the vortex changed (from water to dirt), this > does not mean the vortex is any different in a physical aspect. Unfortunately until the AMS Glossary is updated I can't see the terminology being used correctly, hopefully addressing this issue... I've heard that a new edition is close to being published -- any idea what the definitions will be? "What is a Tornado" at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~doswell/a_tornado/atornado.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 23:36:43 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Satellite Images Needed > I wanted to know if Images of systems ( cyclones > etc ) are available with you over the Indian region. CC:'ing WX-TALK for those interested: For archives: http://www.meto.gov.uk/sec2/sec2cyclone/tcim.html For archives and current storms: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/tc_home This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Nov 1998 to 11 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Nov 13 14:12:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4469 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-3072>; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:06:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA63564; Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:03:51 -0600 Message-Id: <199811130603.AAA63564@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 00:01:15 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1998 to 12 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f1c3590208c1bd6b36dcaf71df1e5323 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 78 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 43,000 data points 2. Forbes Article about Accuweather 3. leonids??? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 10:34:59 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: 43,000 data points First Mr. Myers talks about his 43,000 observation points -- now I see this in an article on Great Lakes weather: --- When the Edmund Fitzgerald sank, National Weather Service meteorologists were able to monitor conditions at only two spots on the largest of the Great Lakes. Today, antennas on buoys and islands relay data including wind and wave direction, wind speeds, barometric pressures, air and water temperatures and wave heights at thousands of Lake Superior locations to satellites, then to weather service computers. --- Thousands of locations? Seems a little high, as I would imaging there are less than a dozen... Anyways it is an interesting article, available at http://www.ohio.com/bj/news/ohio/docs/004580.htm as well as one on November "Witches"? at http://www.ohio.com/bj/news/ohio/docs/019799.htm Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:11:25 EST From: Bryan Ruby Subject: Forbes Article about Accuweather > "We have beaten the National Weather Service in accuracy 127 > out of 128 months," Myers says. "We can localize forecasts to the > Bronx or Wall Street; the National Weather Service can't. And when > you get out to Iowa, a national weather service forecast may > cover 50 miles, but within those 50 miles, weather can vary > dramatically. I hire the best forecasters, while the weather > service hires based on civil servant test scores. Two things bothered me about the above paragraph: 1) Accuracy? I'd like to know what verification scheme was used to make the claim that Accuweather was more accurate than the NWS 127 months out of 128. To me that seems like a very bold statement and I am left to wonder what math was used to support such a claim. 2) Civil Service Test Scores? Unless the NWS has changed hiring practices in the last 10 years...civil service tests are not part of the hiring practice. Pretty much a degree, experience, good grades, and the ability to weather through a stack of forms (SF-171 and/or equivalent) are part of the review process. Plus, has anyone seen the latest course requirements you need to be hired by the NWS?...it's leaning more and more towards the need of graduate courses all the time. From my own observation, those who could not get a job with the NWS or the media first...applied to Accuweather. Hmm...too bad the NWS and T.V. stations didn't know that the people they turned down were "the best forecasters" and Myers was lucky enough to have the best applicants ever applied. No offense meant to AccuWeather employees...I just have a heck of time believing the claims Myers makes in the article. -Bryan ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:27:04 -0700 From: JD Smith Subject: leonids??? Open Question... hello all... I would like to know where the best possible location will be here in North America, for observing the Leonid Meteor Storm, and the times. Is anyone aware of sites that are layman friendly? Thank You, jdSmith Weston County, Wyoming ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1998 to 12 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Nov 14 14:16:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3177 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627432-25282>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 14:09:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA29244; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 00:07:09 -0600 Message-Id: <199811140607.AAA29244@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 00:01:47 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Nov 1998 to 13 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d5b4ab7e511ed1155158e644e02d517 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 16 messages totalling 486 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1998 to 12 Nov 1998 2. leonids??? (4) 3. announcement request 4. Tornado Statistics? 5. texas a and m (2) 6. KU BAND EMWIN CHANGES 7. out of service asos stations.. 8. LEONID METEOR STORM 9. Troll: Those who can NWS Those who can't TV/Private Sector (2) 10. GOES and Leonids 11. leonids +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 09:22:50 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1998 to 12 Nov 1998 JD, To my knowlegde the best sites are where there are clear and dark skies (away from lights). Bring a lounge chair, lay back and enjoy. Tom __________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ > Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:27:04 -0700 > From: JD Smith > Subject: leonids??? > > Open Question... hello all... I would like to know where the best > possible location will be here in North America, for observing the > Leonid Meteor Storm, and the times. Is anyone aware of sites that are > layman friendly? > Thank You, > jdSmith > Weston County, Wyoming > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1998 to 12 Nov 1998 > ************************************************** > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 10:01:13 -0500 From: "Mark H. Mantz" Subject: Re: leonids??? Jd, Just thought you might want to check it out The Leonid Meteor Home Page: http://www.go2net.org/brew/cont1.html The Shower begins November 14 and ends November 20. The 1998 maximum occurs early evening on Nov. 17; the 1999 maximum occurs about midnight on the 17th.. First reported by Chinese astronomerts in 902, the annual Leonid meteor storms, found in front of the constellation Leo, intensify every 33 years. The showers will be visible this year across the Western Pacific. BIGGEST Threat! Yes Damage to the Satellites Yes it might happen again, Note that the GOES Satellites will be turned away during the height of this meteor storm. At 07:27 PM 11/12/98 , you wrote: >Open Question... hello all... I would like to know where the best >possible location will be here in North America, for observing the >Leonid Meteor Storm, and the times. Is anyone aware of sites that are >layman friendly? >Thank You, >jdSmith >Weston County, Wyoming ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 09:35:22 -0600 From: "Dr. Paul J. Croft" Subject: announcement request ...please distribute/publish/announce as appropriate...thank you...pjc... ------------------------------------------------------------------ Press Release from the JSU Meteorology Program - The Excitement of Meteorology! for Young Scholars ------------------------------------------------------------------ The National Science Foundation (NSF) funded program The Excitement of Meteorology! has successfully brought the atmospheric and related sciences to the metro-Jackson high school community since 1996 and will soon take it across the country through the World Wide Web. The Excitement of Meteorology! for Young Scholars was a part of the NSFs Young Scholar Program. The program was administered by the JSU Meteorology Program in the Department of Physics, Atmospheric Sciences, and General Science. Support for the program was provided by the National Science Foundation and the Mississippi Science Partnership program Office. The program provided an opportunity to learn, study, and research the weather as a means of exploring math and science and careers. Through instructional sessions, laboratories, field trips, and peer contact students were exposed to the concepts of atmospheric motion, the development of storms, and the practical application of meteorology. The program was intended to help students make their own career decisions and to foster their interest in the sciences and meteorology. The program helped to develop basic science skills, make students aware of the interdisciplinary nature of meteorology, provide students with the opportunity to see and hear the meteorologist as a researcher, teacher, and communicator, provide the necessary information and incentive for students to choose a career in meteorology or the sciences, make students aware of the various employment opportunities in the field, and show the moral and ethical responsibilities and importance of atmospheric science to society. The program was successful in increasing and improving science and weather knowledge and skills while preparing students for potential careers in the sciences. Some results of the program are now available through the Jackson State Meteorology Program's website (http://santa.jsums.edu/) and allow educators, and students, across the country an opportunity to use weather as a means of learning, teaching, and doing science and math. The web link to Young Scholars in Meteorology provides information about the program, its design and approach to education, suggestions for using weather in the classroom, and links to other resources. For more information, please contact one of the following: Meteorology Program (Dr. Paul Croft, 1-601-968-7012), the Department of Physics, Atmospheric Sciences, and General Science (Dr. Kunal Ghosh, 1-601-968-7012), and research, education, and training programs of Mississippi Science Partnership (1-601-968-2969). ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 10:54:14 -0500 From: Bill Jones Subject: Re: leonids??? > Just thought you might want to check it out The Leonid Meteor Home Page: > http://www.go2net.org/brew/cont1.html > > The Shower begins November 14 and ends November 20. > The 1998 maximum occurs early evening on Nov. 17; > the 1999 maximum occurs about midnight on the 17th.. While this might be maximums for the earth as a whole (I'm not sure), this is not when the best viewing is supposed to be. From what I have read, the best time is early in the morning, like 3-4 AM. Ie when the earth is having it's maximum exposure, the USA is not positioned to face the storm. Here are a few more sites discussing how to view the shower. http://www.skypub.com/sights/meteors/3showers.html http://www.skypub.com/sights/meteors/leonids/98preview.html http://www.kalmbach.com/astro/SkyEvents/Current/SkyEvents.html +----------------------------------------------+ | Bill Jones, N3JLQ,Sweden, Maine Zone 4 1/2 | | wejones@megalink.net | | http://www.megalink.net/~wejones | +----------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 10:22:56 -0600 From: Christopher Beau Dodson Subject: Tornado Statistics? I am looking for information on the number of tornadoes thus far this year in the following states: Kansas Oklahoma Texas and the number of tornadoes in those three states during the years 1995 - 1996 - and 1997 The number of tornadoes so far this year is more than 1200...I am wondering how many of those tornadoes actually occurred in those three states. It seems like the number of tornadoes this year is high but the number in those three states is actually well below normal. I would appreciate your help on these questions. Thanks Beau ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 14:55:52 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: leonids??? On Fri, 13 Nov 1998, Mark H. Mantz wrote: > BIGGEST Threat! Yes Damage to the Satellites Yes it might happen again, > Note that the GOES Satellites will be turned away during the height of this > meteor storm. Uh, that's a little bit hyped. Even the Services issued a statement acknowledging that the threat was a tad overstated. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 15:04:53 EST From: Norman Donaldson Subject: leonids??? > > Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:27:04 -0700 > From: JD Smith > Subject: leonids??? > > Open Question... hello all... I would like to know where the best > possible location will be here in North America, for observing the > Leonid Meteor Storm, and the times. Is anyone aware of sites that are > layman friendly? > Thank You, > jdSmith > Weston County, Wyoming > Yes, ha ha...me all are interested in METEORology. Or are you looking for a north america wide 5 day weather forecast? Try http://medicine.wustl.edu/~kronkg/ for a page about the leonids. Sounds like a move to Asia is in order, which probably implies that western North America is least bad? (I found this by typing +leonid +meteor +1998 into a randomly selected search engine.) Norman ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 15:43:04 -0600 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: texas a and m is texas a and m down? i've not been able to log onto there met page due to "file not found" errors Glen Briggs ------------------------------------------------------------ = e-mail: gbriggs@lyn.net ICQ: 1133850 = = backup: wx@lyn.net AOL: kb0rpj = = Ham Radio Station: KB0RPJ = ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 17:41:55 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: texas a and m Yes it is down because of security. Some joker had to do something dumb, so as to ruin it for the rest of us who really like the site. Dave ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 16:46:53 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: KU BAND EMWIN CHANGES NEW KU SATELLITE FOR EMWIN When Galaxy 4 failed, the emwin KU data signal was moved to SBS-6 at 74 degrees in order to get it back on the air immediately. On November 23, the emwin signal will be put on Telstar 5 located at 97 degrees. T5 is within 2 degrees of the old G4 position, so you can use your dish aiming direction for G4 as a starting point. The T5 ku frequency is 12.185 gHz and the downconverted L band frequency is 1435MHz. Dip switch tune settings (inside next to the tuner module) for a Zephyrus 209 receiver are: Switches 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 9 ON. All other switches OFF. The SBS-6 signals will be turned off NO LATER than January 15th, MAYBE SOONER. A satellite location program is included in the downloadable utilities at the Zephyrus web site, http://www.big-z.com. This change does not affect the emwin broadcast on GOES-8 and GOES-10. Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 16:53:20 -0600 From: "Glen Briggs (wx)" Subject: out of service asos stations.. can anyone tell me if KP35 has been taken offline, it hasn't reported the weather for 6 to 7 days now Glen Briggs ------------------------------------------------------------ = e-mail: gbriggs@lyn.net ICQ: 1133850 = = backup: wx@lyn.net AOL: kb0rpj = = Ham Radio Station: KB0RPJ = ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 20:50:29 -0500 From: Terri Bennett Subject: LEONID METEOR STORM In response to the question about Leonid Meteor sites...see http://www.skyandtelescope.com/sights/meteor/ Terri Bennett WCNC-TV ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 03:47:13 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: Troll: Those who can NWS Those who can't TV/Private Sector Bryan wrote: > From my own observation, those who could not get a job > with the NWS or the media first...applied to Accuweather. Hmm...too bad the > NWS and T.V. stations didn't know that the people they turned down were "the > best forecasters" and Myers was lucky enough to have the best applicants ever > applied. I don't know if this was a "troll" or not but if so I guess I have taken the bait. ("D'ohh!"): I know a lot of people that would take exception to this belief that "those who can go to the NWS; those who can't go to the Private Sector." I think this attitude comes from people who are already snug in their jobs and don't realize that the majority of meteorology graduates during the last few years have been unable to find work. I and many of my cohorts certainly wanted to go with the NWS when we graduated - but we weren't "interviewed and turned down" due to lack of qualifications - you couldn't have paid the NWS to take you for the last several years up until recently - they had a hiring freeze, or the equivalent. I believe I could count on one hand the number of available GS-5/7 jobs as forecasters since 1995, and with hundreds of meteorologists coming out of the university woodwork since then, they have to go somewhere, and that's probably why the TV Stations and Private Sector have seen an increase in applications. Also, not every meteorologist desires to be "on TV"; you can't get "turned down" for a job you don't apply for. As far as the new requirements, you are correct. DiffEq is now required, I am told by my former professor. So although I took three high level math courses when I got my degree, I'll be hiking back to school for more. Jesse Ferrell j@weatherwatchers.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:49:01 -0500 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: GOES and Leonids Called this up at: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/SSD/ML/specialbull.html Thought it was timely... Subject: Scheduled GOES-8 Outage - Issued 11/04/98 A few inquiries have been received concerning the scheduled GOES-8 outage due to the Leonid activity on November 17, 1998. Spacecraft engineers have determined that the Leonid storm will peak at approximately 19:30 UTC on November 17, 1998. To minimize the imager mirror area presented towards the storm, they recommended changing the pointing of the mirror for 200 minutes (17:50 UTC to 21:10 UTC). This shutdown period will cover 95% of the storm's peak activity period. The sounder mirror, as configured, is expected to only be exposed for approximately 20 minutes to the peak activity. The sounder will not be shut down. The GOES-10 spacecraft will not be facing the storm, and therefor will remain in normal operations. Full disk data from GOES-10 will be provided for coverage during the GOES-8 outage. Steve Arnett NOAA/NESDIS/SSD Satellite Analysis Branch steve.arnett@noaa.gov ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1998 22:18:36 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: leonids Hi Jd, They are puting the Leonid Meteor Shower as more of a meteor storm this time around, but the only real good place to view them is East Asia. You may be able to see a portion of the meteor storm in the far Western parts of the US, but don't expect much. -Matt ____________________________________________________ >Date: Thu, 12 Nov 1998 17:27:04 -0700 >From: JD Smith >Subject: leonids??? >Open Question... hello all... I would like to know where the best >possible location will be here in North America, for observing the >Leonid Meteor Storm, and the times. Is anyone aware of sites that are >layman friendly? >Thank You, >jdSmith >Weston County, Wyoming ______________________________________________________ "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while." --Kin Hubbard ______________________________________________________________ |Matt Hartman Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu | |437 Brandt Hall Sophomore Meteorology Major | |Valparaiso, IN 46383 EIS Student Consultant | |Phone: 219-464-5907 | |**************************************************************| |http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 | |______________________________________________________________| ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Nov 1998 00:26:17 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: Troll: Those who can NWS Those who can't TV/Private Sector I did not mean to start this nasty AccuWeather argument. There seems to be a bitter debate going on now dealing with AccuWeather versus NWS, and about the claims of AccuWeather. It was not my goal to get us all against eachother. Anyway, they called me and I have a telephone interview with them on Wednesday morning. I really hope it goes well because I don't want to leave Pennsylvania, and it will bea good way to get my foot in the door and get some real forecasting experience. Dave ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Nov 1998 to 13 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Nov 15 14:56:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2138 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626549-1127>; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 14:03:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26146; Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:03:29 -0600 Message-Id: <199811150603.AAA26146@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:00:43 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Nov 1998 to 14 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ea2a533ab42abf80fafa4a78ef9f0bc3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 11 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. STORMTRACK MAGAZINE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 00:07:09 -0500 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: STORMTRACK MAGAZINE The Sept.-Oct. issue of STORMTRACK MAGAZINE has been mailed. This expanded issue (26 pages) features the killer tornado at Spencer, SD on May 30th. Also, the OCTOBERFEST 1998 Tornado Chase Video is now available. See our web site for more details - http://www.storm-track.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Nov 1998 to 14 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 16 15:05:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627605-1659>; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 14:06:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA107966; Mon, 16 Nov 1998 00:03:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199811160603.AAA107966@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 00:00:04 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Nov 1998 to 15 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 59bbe21354ad73a4a51bb414061f6895 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 339 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Searching for weather textbook 2. Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea (2) 3. NWS data problems... 4. satellite and radar loops on Web (3) 5. Updated Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones FAQ 6. leonids 7. for fun! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 09:24:23 EST From: Glenn Bergman Subject: Searching for weather textbook Hello All, I am looking for a book that helps with interpreting upper level charts. I know how to read station models and isotachs, contours, etc but am looking for any kind of material that would help me to look at the 250, 500 mb charts, thickness,vorticity etc and help me make general statements on the state of the atmoshere. I am an airline pilot as my occupation and have various books on the subjectbut am looking more toward theory. Any help will be appreciated. Please respond via e-mail directly to me. Thank you, Glenn Bergman ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 16:52:42 +0100 From: CB Subject: Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea As a hobby meteorologist, I download the daily satellite images from Meteosat 7 and 5 because I am especially interested in the systems in the Indian Ocean. I wonder if anyone could shed some light by way of an explanation of a seemingly tight circulatory system which formed off the west coast of India in the Arabian Sea about a week ago, moved gradually westwards, and is now heading down the coast of Somalia, loosing its circulatory characteristics as it does so. I've seen no mention of it on any of the tropical cyclone sites, and wondered if it is indeed a tropical cyclone of small dimensions. I would appreciate any information. With thanks in anticipation. Craig Braithwaite Chur, Switzerland ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 11:02:11 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: NWS data problems... For those of you who noticed that some surface and upper air data has been missing over the last several months and is getting worse, here's an update... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* FOS/NOAAPORT NOTICE NO. 1383 NOVEMBER 13 1998 ATTENTION FAMILY OF SERVICES SUBSCRIBERS NOAAPORT USERS THE U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TELECOMMUNICATION GATEWAY CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE PROCESSING PROBLEMS WITH ITS BULLETIN BUILDING AND DATA FORM CONVERSION SOFTWARE. AS A RESULT USERS HAVE EXPERIENCED DELAYS AND NON-RECEIPT ESPECIALLY OF COLLECTIVES OF UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AVIATION FORECASTS AND SYNTHETIC SYNOPTIC REPORTS THAT ARE CREATED IN THE GATEWAY. THE SWITCHING SYSTEMS IN THE GATEWAY DO NOT APPEAR TO BE AFFECTED. ALL PRODUCTS WHICH ARE SIMPLY SWITCHED CONTINUE TO MAKE A TIMELY AND RELIABLE TRANSIT THROUGH THE GATEWAY. THE PROBLEMS STEMMING FROM IMPROPER MEMORY ALLOCATION WITHIN THE COMPUTER OPERATING SYSTEM WERE FIRST NOTICED IN LATE SUMMER HAVE BECOME MORE FREQUENT DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS AND WERE PARTICULARLY SEVERE EARLY THIS WEEK. WE ARE ATTACKING THESE PROBLEMS ON THREE FRONTS SEARCHING FOR SOFTWARE CODING ERRORS ATTEMPTING TO TRAP THE SOFTWARE FAILURES FOR ANALYSIS AND MANUALLY EXAMINING PRODUCTS FOR MISSING DATA. EVERY AVAILABLE SOFTWARE PERSON HAS BEEN ASSIGNED TO EITHER THE SEARCH TASK OR TO THE FAILURE ANALYSIS TASK. THE CODE SEARCH COVERS HUNDREDS OF INTERACTING MODULES AND HAS REQUIRED DAY AFTER DAY OF PAINSTAKING DETAIL WORK BUT HAS NOT YET SUCCESSFULLY IDENTIFIED THE PROBLEM. SIMILARLY THE TRAPPING TASK HAS NOT YET BEEN SUCCESSFUL IN CATCHING THE CULPRIT MODULE IN THE ACT. THUS FAR THE TRAPPING TASK HAS ONLY SUCCEEDED IN IDENTIFYING THE LACK OF PRODUCTS WELL AFTER THE PROBLEM HAS OCCURRED. ON THURSDAY NOVEMBER 12 WE IMPLEMENTED INTENSIVE NEW MANUAL PROCEDURES WHERE AS MANY CREATED PRODUCTS AS POSSIBLE ARE VISUALLY EXAMINED AS SOON AS THEY ARE SCHEDULED TO BE CREATED SO THAT THE COMPUTER OPERATORS CAN TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO RERUN THE MODULES TO BUILD THE PRODUCTS. WE ARE CONFIDENT THAT OUR SOFTWARE TASKS WILL EVENTUALLY BE SUCCESSFUL IN IDENTIFYING AND REPAIRING THE ROOT CAUSE OF THE PROBLEM. UNTIL THEN THE MANUAL EXAMINATION OF PRODUCTS APPEARS TO HAVE GREATLY REDUCED THE OCCURRENCE OF MISSING PRODUCTS AND SPARSELY POPULATED PRODUCTS AND THEIR IMPACT ON YOU OUR USERS. MUCH OF THE DATA TRANSMITTED ON COMMUNICATION CIRCUITS IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON GATEWAY FILE SERVERS ACCESSIBLE OVER NETWORKS. PLEASE CONTACT OUR DATA MANAGEMENT STAFF FOR ACCESS INSTRUCTIONS. WE WILL KEEP YOU INFORMED OF OUR PROGRESS. WILLIAM E. BROCKMAN DEPUTY CHIEF SYSTEMS OPERATIONS CENTER THIS MESSAGE IS ALSO POSTED ON THE NWS SYSTEMS OPERATIONS CENTER CHANGE NOTICES WEB PAGE. THE URL IS LISTED BELOW. NOTE THE URL SHOULD BE TYPED IN ALL LOWER CASE. HTTP TO WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/NOTICES/NOTICES.SHTML IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS PLEASE CONTACT ONE OF THE DATA MANAGERS LISTED BELOW. FRED BRANSKI SENIOR DATA MANAGER PHONE 301-713-0864 EXTENSION 146 EMAIL FRED.BRANSKI/AT SYMBOL/NOAA.GOV EMAIL ADDRESS SHOULD BE ALL LOWER CASE TONI ELLIS DATA MANAGER PHONE 301-713-0864 EXTENSION 143 EMAIL TONI.ELLIS/AT SYMBOL/NOAA.GOV EMAIL ADDRESS SHOULD BE ALL LOWER CASE LLOYD IRVIN CHIEF NETWORK MONITORING AND ANALYSIS BRANCH SYSTEMS OPERATIONS CENTER RTH WASHINGTON SENDS END NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 13:24:20 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea Coult the reason for its movement have something to do with the monsoon circulation and the somali jet? There is a jet which moves, in winter, air from continental India, to the southwest, and then south along the east coast of Somalia in the low levels. I don't know, that is my first reaction. We sttudied that monsoon circulation in tropical classes. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 15:42:13 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: satellite and radar loops on Web Does anyone know of Web sites that have satellite and Doppler Radar loops? Thank you. --Shawn Trueman Sandusky, OH ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 15:54:03 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: satellite and radar loops on Web First of all, my web site has some... http://members.tripod.com/~edge777/wxframes.html Intellicast.com has doppler radar loops. Dave ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 19:33:21 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones FAQ Wx-talk folks, An update of the... ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* is available at... http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html *********************** New for this month..... ....................... What is the chance that Miami (or New Orleans, San Juan, etc.) will be hit by a tropical storm or hurricane during the whole season? (Topic G12) What is the chance that Miami (or New Orleans, San Juan, etc.) will be hit by a tropical storm or hurricane during each month of the season? (Topic G13) What is the average number of tropical storms and hurricanes to affect Miami (or New Orleans, San Juan, etc.) during the whole season? (Topic G14) What is the peak number of tropical storms and hurricanes to affect Miami (or New Orleans, San Juan, etc.) during the whole season? (Topic G15) Should I tape my windows when a hurricane threatens? (Topic C6) How does the damage that hurricanes cause increase as a function of wind speed? (Topic D5 - Update) Why are the strongest winds in a hurricane typically on the right side of the storm? (Topic D6 - Update) What books have been written about tropical cyclones? (Topic J3 - Updated to include _Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society_ and _North Carolina's Hurricane History_) What is the 20th century hurricane record for each U.S. coastal state and county? (Topic G11 - Updated) Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I myself have experienced only one real disaster, Hurricane Andrew, and it was considerably different from the disaster movies that I've seen. For one thing, in the movies, there's always some kind of romance interest; whereas after Hurricane Andrew, nobody in the affected area was able to take a shower for approximately two months. Everybody smelled like a cologne named Eau de Dead Goat. The most romantic thing people did during that time was refuel each other's generators." --- Dave Barry, 1997 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 22:27:52 EST From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: leonids In reference to the pessimistic talk about the possibility of seeing a meteor storm in the US, my brother is something of an expert on meteors ( was on CBS Evening News Thursday night for a few seconds on the subject, though this doesn't prove his expertness ) and he feels that the error in our knowledge about when we will transect the densest part of the Leonid stream is sufficient to preclude ANY forecast of who will be able to see the best part, so the US could get a good view if we are very lucky. A dark sky is important since the Leonids are small and fast, compared to some other showers, but even with some light pollution this COULD be one of the best shows ever. Check it out in the DARK hours before sunrise Tuesday morning ( not the last hour before sunrise as it will be getting light ). Barry Sperling ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 23:24:20 -0800 From: "Ken W. Ziegenbein" Subject: Re: satellite and radar loops on Web I have many links to satellite, radar and forecast sites as well as a Meteorologist Page (containing model outputs - ETA, NGM, etc) on my page. Some of the radar and satellite data is looped from various sources. http://www.trainweather.com Ken ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 15 Nov 1998 23:30:30 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: for fun! Hi all, Listen, I observed something tonite that might interest us fellow storm chasers. I'm not sure how many of you all noticed that Twister was on NBC tonite, but as I was flipping thru the channels this evening I did. As I was watching it, I started to think about something. You know, I think the "Bill" and "Jo" characters came up with an interesting concept. I think the tornado chaser community could benefit from the apparent debris repellent that they used...! Maybe if one of us actually decided to punch the core of an F5 we could just spray some of this stuff on us and say "Hey, look mom, no scratches...!" Okay, it may be a silly idea, but I found it quite humorous. I hate it when you laugh at your own jokes. Reply if you think we could come up with some kind of concoction (sp?). Of course, we won't need this repellent for some time, but it's something to think about...! :) :) ~Matt "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while." --Kin Hubbard ______________________________________________________________ |Matt Hartman Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu | |437 Brandt Hall Sophomore Meteorology Major | |Valparaiso, IN 46383 EIS Student Consultant | |Phone: 219-464-5907 | |**************************************************************| |http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 | |______________________________________________________________| ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Nov 1998 to 15 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Nov 17 14:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2063 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627914-25336>; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 14:09:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13528; Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:09:11 -0600 Message-Id: <199811170609.AAA13528@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:04:25 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Nov 1998 to 16 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c7aedccee2513fb8158567b3f8f9cfe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 99 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. leonids 2. NWS co-operative education students needed! 3. Accu wx-phone 4. Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 09:54:10 -0600 From: Emmett Redd Subject: Re: leonids While I was out doing chores this morning (approximately 5:30 to 6:00 local time) I saw 5 meteors. At least 2 of them was while I was driving the car and looking toward the horizon and not toward Leo. That seems to intimate the show will be pretty good. Emmett Redd, Ph.D. Associate Professor err557f@mail.smsu.edu Department of Technology err557f@vma.smsu.edu Southwest Missouri State University (417)836-5221 901 S NATIONAL (417)836-5121 SPRINGFIELD, MO 65804 USA FAX (417)836-8556 -----Original Message----- From: Barry L. Sperling [SMTP:bsperlin@PEN.K12.VA.US] Sent: Sunday, November 15, 1998 9:28 PM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: leonids In reference to the pessimistic talk about the possibility of seeing a meteor storm in the US, my brother is something of an expert on meteors ( was on CBS Evening News Thursday night for a few seconds on the subject, though this doesn't prove his expertness ) and he feels that the error in our knowledge about when we will transect the densest part of the Leonid stream is sufficient to preclude ANY forecast of who will be able to see the best part, so the US could get a good view if we are very lucky. A dark sky is important since the Leonids are small and fast, compared to some other showers, but even with some light pollution this COULD be one of the best shows ever. Check it out in the DARK hours before sunrise Tuesday morning ( not the last hour before sunrise as it will be getting light ). Barry Sperling +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 13:44:26 -0500 From: Stephan Smith Subject: NWS co-operative education students needed! The Techniques Development Lab of the National Weather Service in Silver Spring, Maryland has 3 vacancies for co-operative education (co-op) students. These full-time positions (open to both graduate and undergraduate students) will start in January - February 1999. We are currently looking for students with good computer programming skills in C, C++, and Fortran. Experience with Unix is highly desirable. Interest in tropical and extratropical storm surge modeling as well as computer forecast preparation tools is a plus. This is an excellent opportunity for those wishing to pursue a career with the NWS or in meteorology in general. For more info check out www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/ or contact Dr. Stephan Smith at 301-713-1774 x180 Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 16:45:37 -0500 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: Accu wx-phone Just a note from personal experience. My Accu-Wx phone interview was one of the most bizarre things I ever went through in applying for a job. Maybe they have changed their practices since then, maybe it was just my interviewer, but I had some very strange questions asked of me (some neither job nor personal questions), so be ready for anything. Good luck. steve maneikis ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 20:47:33 EST From: Roy Spencer Subject: Re: Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea Sorry, but the Somali jet flows from the southwest to the northeast. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Nov 1998 23:10:19 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea YO man, the Somali jet changes direction from summer to winter. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Nov 1998 to 16 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Nov 18 14:08:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1092 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627851-13911>; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 14:05:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27010; Wed, 18 Nov 1998 00:04:16 -0600 Message-Id: <199811180604.AAA27010@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 00:00:56 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Nov 1998 to 17 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 82975fe02111c3295702294d06507aaf X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 121 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Leonid Report 2. leonids 3. Weather Books 4. Satellite Loops that Updates 5. Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:17:13 EST From: "Keith N. Thews" Subject: Leonid Report According to a local TV station in Northern Indiana, a local observer (astronomical) in Edwardsburg, MI. reported that the Leonids were a "meteor sprinkle" this morning, in spite of some cloud cover. (WSBT TV-Art Klinger-=PHM Planaterium). NBC reports that the western USA has farired a lot better. Keith Thews kthews@juno.com -Also for Amsat-bb: What is the status on RS-18 (Sputnik 41) and the MIR? ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 07:57:47 -0600 From: Emmett Redd Subject: Re: leonids I think mainly toward the east, but the statistics are poor. This morning, my 9 year old son counted 58--about 20 from inside the house. He started watching at about 4:45 local time. Emmett Redd, Ph.D. Associate Professor err557f@mail.smsu.edu Department of Technology err557f@vma.smsu.edu Southwest Missouri State University (417)836-5221 901 S NATIONAL (417)836-5121 SPRINGFIELD, MO 65804 USA FAX (417)836-8556 -----Original Message----- From: Chris Novy [SMTP:cnovy@som.siu.edu] Sent: Monday, November 16, 1998 1:01 PM To: Emmett Redd Subject: Re: leonids At 09:54 AM 11/16/98 -0600, you wrote: >While I was out doing chores this morning (approximately 5:30 to 6:00 local >time) I saw 5 meteors. At least 2 of them was while I was driving the car >and looking toward the horizon and not toward Leo. That seems to intimate >the show will be pretty good. Was there a particular direction that had the most activity? ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 16:32:21 +0100 From: CB Subject: Weather Books Is anyone aware of any new (1997/8) books published on tropical meteorology, hurricanes/cyclones or thunderstorms? I'd appreciate any titles with relevant info. Thanks, CB ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 09:42:59 -0800 From: Jim Raudy Subject: Satellite Loops that Updates This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------79BD4D81115FC796B4B33809 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Does anyone know of a satellite loop available on the Web that automatically updates? I've checked pretty thoroughly but no luckso far. Thanks. --------------79BD4D81115FC796B4B33809 Content-Type: text/x-vcard; charset=us-ascii; name="vcard.vcf" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Card for Jim Raudy Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="vcard.vcf" begin: vcard fn: Jim Raudy n: Raudy;Jim org: California Air Resources Board - Meteorology Section email;internet: jraudy@arb.ca.gov title: Meteorologist x-mozilla-cpt: ;0 x-mozilla-html: FALSE version: 2.1 end: vcard --------------79BD4D81115FC796B4B33809-- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 20:58:33 EST From: Roy Spencer Subject: Re: Circulatory system in the Arabian Sea I was under the impression that the southwestern monsoon in the summertime was called the "Somali Jet", while the winter reversal was just caused the northerly monsoon. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Nov 1998 to 17 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Nov 19 17:34:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4919 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628104-17500>; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 14:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26350; Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:05:53 -0600 Message-Id: <199811190605.AAA26350@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Nov 1998 to 18 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0612635a714636edede7a1d1b6ac53c8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 107 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Quick question (2) 2. TRANSFER OF PRIMARY POES MISSION TO NOAA-15 3. Weather Signals +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 11:02:36 -0500 From: George Sambataro Subject: Quick question I have an electronic barometer that allows me to register pressure readings into a PC. I was considering writing a routine that would "factor out" the diurnal variability in pressure and then present it on a time-pressure graph. I found the following on the net. >Measurements of surface pressure reveal a daily rhythm underlying any longer-term (synoptic) variation. There is a diurnal tide of the >atmosphere. In other words, a wave of atmospheric pressure moves across the earth, westward with the speed of the Sun. The highest value >occurs at about 5am local time (1). The amplitude depends on latitude, being 1.16 hPa at the equator, and elsewhere proportional to the cube >of the cosine of the latitude angle. So it is only 0.17 hPa at 45°, for instance. The cause was explained by Bernhard Haurwitz in 1956; it is >essentially due to the warming of the upper atmosphere by the Sun. The diurnal sea level pressure variation is entirely hydrostatic, i.e. it is the >result of temperature variations aloft. There is also a semi-diurnal rhythm. > >(1) Platzman, G.W. 1996. The S-1 chronicle; a tribute to Bernhard Haurwitz. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 1569-77. My questions are.. What is hPA and how does it equate to mb of mercury? The cube of the cosine of 45 degs is .353 (I think) .. how does the "author" get 0.17hPa at 45 degs ? I am interested in 34 degrees latitude. Is the daily pattern a sine wave or linear? Any help on this is appreciated. George Thanks, George ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 13:30:28 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: Quick question A hPA (hectopascal) is the same as a millibar. So use the same formula you use to change millibars to inches of mercury. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:45:45 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: TRANSFER OF PRIMARY POES MISSION TO NOAA-15 The following information has been provided by SOCC. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Effective December 1, 1998, NOAA-15 will replace NOAA-12 as one of two primary operational Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellites (POES) maintained by the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) . NOAA-12 will become a secondary or back-up satellite. The second primary operational POES is NOAA-14. In the back-up mode, NOAA -12 will continue to transmit AVHRR data (HRPT and APT) and support search and rescue operations. Recorded LAC and GAC data will be canceled. Steve Arnett Satellite Analysis Branch NOAA/NESDIS/SSD steve.arnett@noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Nov 1998 23:33:17 -0600 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Weather Signals About 1890, trains carried weather signals between Owen Sound and Toronto. These signals displayed to the farmers and others trackside what the forcast for the next day (or longer) was to be. Has any one seen any info as to what these signals were like or what the different symbols (or whatever) were? Thanks in advance for any info!! Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Nov 1998 to 18 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Nov 20 14:20:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626782-9798>; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 14:04:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18916; Fri, 20 Nov 1998 00:03:15 -0600 Message-Id: <199811200603.AAA18916@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 00:00:03 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Nov 1998 to 19 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 52b59f138cc43cf752bb33072a925692 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 207 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. JUNE 13th CALL FOR ARTICLES 2. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale (new items too!) 3. TAF reader available? 4. OBITUARY: Ted Fujita, 1920-1998 (2) 5. WSI's Weather for Windows +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 15:43:51 -0500 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: JUNE 13th CALL FOR ARTICLES The NOV-DEC 1998 issue of STORMTRACK MAGAZINE will feature the June 13th tornado outbreak in central Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Please send in your chase accounts and photographs by December 31st to Tim Marshall, 4041 Bordeaux Circle, Flower Mound, Texas 75022. If there are enough articles, this can be an expanded issue like the last one on the Spencer, SD tornado. The October 4th outbreak will be covered in the JAN-FEB 1999 issue. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 14:49:39 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale (new items too!) Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** ANNOUNCEMENT! Teeshirts with the new NSSL logo are now available! Also, sweatshirts are back in stock for the fall/winter season, and they also have the new NSSL logo. Teeshirts with the old NSSL logo will remain on discounted prices while supplies last (they will not be restocked). NSSL and SPC polo shirts and NSSL hats also remain on discount while supplies last. **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** We are currently reducing our stocks to re-establish funds for the NSEA's employees holiday functions and for a re-stock of merchandise prior to the holiday season. We will frequently be updating the selection below based on our latest inventories. Please do not order anything that is currently not in stock. The Holiday Season is here! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing now! IMPORTANT: Any orders made and payment received prior to December 1, 1998 will have the highest priority to be sent before the holidays, provided items are in stock. ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 14:56:06 -0600 From: Muller Bruce Capt TACC/XOW Subject: TAF reader available? I was just curious if anyone out there has developed some type of computer code that reads in the text forecasts (TAFs) generated at airfields (any US or overseas ICAO's) line by line and breaks then down into a database type format such that for each hour of the TAF the individual elements of the TAF are identified (i.e. for example below ceiling height at 03Z=11000 feet, visibility at 23Z=unrestriced (> 7 miles), etc.)? We're looking for a way to automatically ingest raw text TAFs and output values into database format such that certain types of criteria can be readily identified (i.e. times of forecast ceilings less than 200 feet, etc.). I realize TAFs are complicated by the appearance of differing text items like FM(time), BECMG, or TEMPO, for example but there should still be a method to reliably read them in and decode them. If anybody has written such a program and is willing to share it or their thoughts on the subject, let me know at my email address below. Thanks in advance! KBLV 191818 30010KT 9999 FEW120 SCT250 QNH3005INS BECMG 2223 30007KT 9999 SCT120 OVC250 QNH3008INS BECMG 0203 33007KT 9999 SCT070 BKN110 OVC200 QNH3014INS BECMG 0607 33009KT 9999 BKN070 OVC110 620802 QNH3015INS TEMPO 0814 4800 -RA BR BKN050 OVC070 610802 BECMG 1415 31010KT 9999 FEW070 SCT120 BKN200 T13/19 T02/11 510005 QNH3012INS Bruce D. Muller, Capt, USAF TACC/XOW Staff Weather Officer Scott AFB, IL DSN 576-8181/Comm 618-256-8181 email: Bruce.Muller@scott.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 15:56:37 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: OBITUARY: Ted Fujita, 1920-1998 I have just learned that pioneering tornado researcher Dr. Theodore "Ted" Fujita, whose most noted public work was the well-known "Fujita Scale" for measuring the intensity of tornadoes by the damage they caused to structures, died peacefully in his sleep last night at the age of 78 after a long illness. He was doing research up until his death. He is survived by his wife and one son. More details as I get them. Sigh. Thanks, Ted. You will be greatly missed. (Thanks/credit, Tom Skilling, WGN-TV for the heads up and info) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 17:20:56 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: WSI's Weather for Windows Wx-Talkers, Does anyone have the Weather for Windows software by Weather Systems International (WSI)? Can you give a brief description of it and also its cost? --Shawn Trueman Sandusky, Ohio ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1998 19:50:00 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: OBITUARY: Ted Fujita, 1920-1998 sebenste gilbert l wrote: > > I have just learned that pioneering tornado researcher Dr. Theodore "Ted" > Fujita, whose most noted public work was the well-known "Fujita Scale" > for measuring the intensity of tornadoes by the damage they caused to > structures, died peacefully in his sleep last night at the age of 78 > after a long illness. He was doing research up until his death. He is > survived by his wife and one son. More details as I get them. Sigh. > Thanks, Ted. You will be greatly missed. > > (Thanks/credit, Tom Skilling, WGN-TV for the heads up and info) Thanks for passing this along Gil. I only heard 'Dr. Ted' once, at the Florida Governor's Hurricane Conference a year or so after 'Andrew' struck here. His enthusiasm for his work was infectious, and his presentation was fantastic. It's amazing how many people left the room with an understanding of tornados and eyewall vortices they never thought they'd have. He truly will be missed...I was looking forward to hearing him again someday. Maybe in Oz... -- Gary Arnold CEM Coordinator Collier County Emergency Management garnold@naples.net gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net Packet radio: wb2wpa@wb2wpa.#nap.fl.us.noam "I went to a bookstore and asked the saleswoman, 'Where's the self-help section?' She said if she told me, it would defeat the purpose." --Steven Wright, peripheral visionary ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Nov 1998 to 19 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Nov 21 20:17:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1863 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629039-20076>; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 14:05:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04646; Sat, 21 Nov 1998 00:03:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199811210603.AAA04646@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 00:00:17 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Nov 1998 to 20 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f97a8f730501d1bbfa6fbbe6c87a6a42 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 104 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Dr. Ted Fujita (2) 2. "Chases of 98" Video +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 08:04:48 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Dr. Ted Fujita It's with great sadness that I read Gilbert's announcement about Dr. Fujita. I recommend to all to read Dr. Fujita's obituary in today's Chicago Tribune written by Tom Skilling. I had the privilege to hear Dr. Fujita talk a few times, and an honor to meet him in 1994 when I invited him to speak to the Kansas City Chapter of the AMS. He was a brilliant and courageous pioneer in the field of tornado studies as well as the study of mesoscale meteorology. His ideas were not immediately accepted, but through perseverance proven to be the forefront of the science. His Fujita scale will be used for a long time, at least until someone develops something better. But to find his will and integrity will be hard shoes to fill. I find it coincidental that in this year when we have celebrated the 50th anniversary of tornado forecasting that we have lost the likes of Colonel Miller, Joe Galway, and now Dr. Ted Fujita. -- ************************************************************************************************ Daniel McCarthy Mesoscale Meteorologist Norman, OK My Account...My thoughts "To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?" -Katherine Graham ************************************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 09:29:07 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Dr. Ted Fujita > It's with great sadness that I read Gilbert's announcement about Dr. > Fujita. I recommend to all to read Dr. Fujita's obituary in today's > Chicago Tribune written by Tom Skilling. ...available at http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/obituaries/article/0,1051,SAV-9811200058, 00.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Nov 1998 15:51:52 -0600 From: Mike Umscheid Subject: "Chases of 98" Video Finally, I've completed my highlights tape for this season, a little bit later than I expected (thanks to the 10/16 tornado), but it's finally done. Hopefully this will relieve a little SDS tension... The tape includes chases from the following dates: (A 3 1/2 page video guide is included with the video) 3/29/98-- Northwest IA (Electricity! Daylight bust, unfortunately) 5/11/98-- Southern NEB (mini-supercell fest with an awesome meso south of Aurora) 6/7/98-- Eastern NM (two huge supercells! One with a wall cloud almost on the ground, the other with monster hail production) 6/23/98-- Northeast NEB (Columbus tube tornado and HP meso structure) 10/16/98-- Ellis County, KS (20 minutes of tornado footage from tornadogenesis through several different formation stages. Also, WSR-88D images from NWS-DDC with meteorologists Larry Ruthi, Fritz Kruse, and Bryan McAvoy) Not much has been said about the tornadic supercell of October 16th. It was the only storm of its kind on this day in western Kansas, and I was fortunate enough to be the only chaser on the storm (that I know of.. anyone who is silent please speak up!). This tornado caused F2 and low end F3 damage as it raged through several homes in Yocemento. The almost complete cycle of this tornado has only been seen by my two regular chase partners and meteorologists at NWS-Dodge City. Get your copy before Christmas! My "Chases of 98" highlights is available by trade or sale. Cost is $17 ($15 + $2 shipping). Please send your order before the beginning of DEC to insure you get it before x-mas. Send check/money order [payable to Mike Umscheid] to: Mike Umscheid, 11513 King, Overland Park, KS 66210. Webpage: www.kc.net/~mscheid/chase98/chases98.htm *Chasers interested in a tape trade, please e-mail me at mscheid@kc.net Regards, Mike Umscheid =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Mike Umscheid <> 'Meso300' on IRC #weather mscheid@kc.net <> www.kc.net/~mscheid/wallcloud.htm 'One Who Chases Storms' ~\_/~ Overland Park, KS =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Nov 1998 to 20 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Nov 22 15:12:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1577 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627482-14827>; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 14:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA44274; Sun, 22 Nov 1998 00:04:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199811220604.AAA44274@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 00:00:22 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Nov 1998 to 21 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5a1e6b9ab7f0dce7861dfde36b45a7af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 15 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. AFOS Product List +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 21 Nov 1998 14:24:05 -0500 From: Paul Robertson Subject: AFOS Product List I am trying to find a listing of the AFOS graphics products according to their number (i.e gph90e etc. etc.) and what the product might b Can anyone direct me to where I might find this information? Thanks in advance for the help Paul Robertson (VE3HFQ) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Nov 1998 to 21 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 23 14:08:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2094 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-22532>; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 14:06:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20090; Mon, 23 Nov 1998 00:04:26 -0600 Message-Id: <199811230604.AAA20090@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 00:01:15 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Nov 1998 to 22 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0749358c4cbc2fbc54089cbdb5e1ac57 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 52 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Winds 2. WSI's Weather for Windows +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 22 Nov 1998 20:25:52 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Hurricane Winds >From ShopTalk: Geoscientists say the most devastating hurricane season in a decade has left them with them some revolutionary new insight into how winds work - information that will lead to stronger, and safer, homes. You can get the special report, FREE, on Wednesday, November 25, just in time to wrap up the hurricane season. Inside Science TV News tells you how, for the first time ever, geoscientists successfully place wind measuring devices into the path of a landfalling hurricane - and what this rare, ground level wind-speed data will be used for. The Inside Science TV News special report "Weathering Ferocious Winds" includes video of researchers driving the new equipment into Hurricane Georges as well as interviews with scientists from NOAA, Texas Tech, and Idaho Engineering National Laboratory. Weathering Ferocious Winds: SATELLITE COORDINATES WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 25, 1998: 2:30-2:45PM & 2:45 - 3:00PM ET KU, SBS6, 74 degrees West, Transponder 3 Horizontal, 11774.0 Mhz, Audio 6.2 and 6.8 For technical information on the satellite feed contact WIT at (703) 750-0010. For story information, tape requests or scripts, please call Karin Heineman at (301) 209- 3090 or mail: kheinema@aip.org On November 25, 1998, transcripts will be available at http://www.aip.org/inside_science/ Inside Science is a not-for-profit news service and serves no commercial interests. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 00:20:03 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: WSI's Weather for Windows > Does anyone have the Weather for Windows software by Weather Systems > International (WSI)? Can you give a brief description of it and also its > cost? Good luck, I asked for a trial of it and more information from the folks at the wsicorp website a year ago and never heard back. The URL (which doesn't really help with your questions) is http://www.wsicorp.com/wsicorp/product/systems/wxwind.htm This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "Dust will make you blind, nothing you can find; Running scared ! Tornado !" --Vovoid, "Tornado" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Nov 1998 to 22 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Nov 24 14:14:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4179 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629192-25653>; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 14:05:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21796; Tue, 24 Nov 1998 00:03:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199811240603.AAA21796@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 00:00:42 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Nov 1998 to 23 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0346a20103d34fd1f0cc5bd6e49741db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 38 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Update on EMWIN Signal on Telstar 5 2. EMWIN Conference Registration Now Closed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 18:14:36 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Update on EMWIN Signal on Telstar 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - The turn-on of the EMWIN signal on Telstar 5 has been delayed till NEXT Monday, November 30. Please pass this on and post where applicable. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Jim Robinson EMWIN Houston ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Nov 1998 20:28:07 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: EMWIN Conference Registration Now Closed Thanks to all who are well on the way to making our upcoming EMWIN User Workshop at Houston a great success! We now have 122 registrants...and are near overflow capacity. We are no longer able to take EMWIN registrations. If the Workshop is successful, hopefully the NWS can sponsor others across the country. Thanks for your support! Jim Purpura WCM, NWS Norman purpura@soo.ounnws.noaa.gov ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Nov 1998 to 23 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Nov 25 22:48:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3881 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-406>; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:08:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13948; Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:06:14 -0600 Message-Id: <199811250606.AAA13948@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 00:00:08 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1998 to 24 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9e3442c57ae3eaba6ff5512c65c58dde Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 8 messages totalling 248 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Build 10: What does it mean? (2) 2. mr. roboto 3. Emwin - Goes8 4. (The long awaited) InterWARN Update 5. Returned mail: Hodamage 6. CASI NetNews : Free Real-Time Lightning Maps / Interstate Wx / TWC Brazil / More 7. CASI NetNews : Free Real-Time Lightning Maps - URL Correction +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 09:03:32 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: Build 10: What does it mean? Wx-talkers, The "Build 10" software is being loaded onto the National Weather Service radar display systems known as PUPs all over the country now. What new products and services, if any, will NIDS subscribers see, and what will NWS folks see? I know there is a new Tornado Vortex Signature algorithm which has a much more sensitive detection of said feature... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:22:53 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Build 10: What does it mean? Check the OSF Training Branch Build 10 page... http://www.osf.noaa.gov/otb/Build10/nexrad.htm They have an excellent PDF manual, as well as presentations available in Corel, Powerpoint and Online format. Looks like the new TVS output would be the primary change for NIDS users, i.e. instead of Y/N for Meso and TVS, one category only with TVS, Elevated TVS, meso (w/type) or N. However I've heard some NWS offices are not going to permit some of the new attributes to be released to NIDS users due to fear of misuse :< Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org > -----Original Message----- > From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk > [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of sebenste gilbert l > Sent: Tuesday, November 24, 1998 10:04 AM > To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > Subject: Build 10: What does it mean? > > > Wx-talkers, > > The "Build 10" software is being loaded onto the National Weather Service > radar display systems known as PUPs all over the country now. What new > products and services, if any, will NIDS subscribers see, and what will > NWS folks see? I know there is a new Tornado Vortex Signature algorithm > which has a much more sensitive detection of said feature... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:37:38 -0500 From: "Maneikis, Stephen" Subject: mr. roboto Mr. Roboto is now in St. Louis! I have a question though. Is the voice/software the same everywhere? I ask this only because it seems that when I heard the voice in a couple of other places this summer, it seemed like it was better in Cleveland than Indy, and in my memory banks, both were better than what I'm hearing in St. Louis now. Can the voice be altered some from site-to-site? Just wondering. Steve Maneikis ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 11:01:43 -0800 From: Bill Thomas Subject: Emwin - Goes8 In response to the posting concerning the Emwin signal on Telstar-8: What happened to GOES-8 (isn't that the one located to the SE)? I lost the signal a couple weeks ago. I thought I saw information concerning the meteor shower, and that it had been shut down until it passed. However, I still don't have a signal. I am capable of picking up and processing the 9600 baud signal: which satellite (from Dallas) would be the best to use? Thanks, and you can direct comments directly to me if you want. Bill bthomas@cyberramp.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 13:24:08 -0500 From: Evan Bookbinder Subject: (The long awaited) InterWARN Update For those of you who thought I'd dropped off the planet, no that's not that case. However, a long series of mid term exams did get the best of me (not grade wise thankfully). Anyways, I've made a few changes to the format of the program to help eliminate some problems and improve size and speed. I am releasing a new beta version that will be good for two weeks of use before the release planned for about December 4. **YOU CAN EVEN TEST THE TROPICAL PRODUCTS!!! For those interested, Tropical Storm Nicole has formed in the far eastern Atlantic*** Anyways, the reason I had put the final release on hold was for the expected release of NWS header changes for all warnings, watches, and statements. This change is planned for December 8. Unfortunately, these changes more often than not are delayed significantly and I will release the program after a company meeting in Chicago tomorrow (which is why I'm rushing this email off). Changes to the new beta include: 1.) Eliminating the time zone/daylight savings time entry. A new code allows access to the Windows system registry which maintains this information. 2.) Placing the internet options section in the "Users" section to cut down the number of tabs in the program 3.) Fixed the summary to properly handle the new segmented warning style that replaces the old style of Non-Precip warnings, Winter Weather Messages, and Special Weather Statements (if you don't know what I'm talking about, don't worry about it) 4.) The program now comes with a tiny configuration file that contains the FOS headers of all the products from each office. It is strongly recommended that you do not touch this file and when the new header changes take place, an update version of this small file will be sent to all users rather than having to download an entire new version.This also cuts down significantly on the processing time of the program. Plans for the final release include the additional ability to click on a particular warning in the summary and retrieve that particular product (this is particularly useful when there are 20 or 30 warnings in effect and you don't want to scroll down a long list of products) Also, I am also working on fixing a bug that seems to be limited to less than 1% of the users. The error says "Run-time error 13 Type Mismatch". If anyone has encountered it, please let me know and give me all the details on what happened to produce it. I think I am very close to finding the cause, which is something quite simple. Thanks for reading this poorly written attempt at an informative email. I will hopefully have a new Beta up shortly. Take care and have a fat-filled Thanksgiving (unless you're a vegetarian). -Evan http://www.nemas.net/software/interwarn stormalert@nemas.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 18:49:35 EST From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Returned mail: Hodamage > I am somewhat out of the loop -- ( ok, to tell the truth, I am > not in ANY loop ) -- and have not heard of any damage to any > satellite due to the Leonids. Is the story that they were a > non-event? > Barry Sperling ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:06:45 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : Free Real-Time Lightning Maps / Interstate Wx / TWC Brazil / More [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org). Send your reports of recent changes or additions to the websites of *major* weather providers to netnews@weatherwatchers.org for consideration. We will accept only significant updates to major websites which affect the Internet community. This message is sent out first to CASI Members then later posted to appropriate Newsgroups.] 1. "It's a miracle!" Free Real-Time Lightning Maps on the Web! Finally a company has broken the "cone of silence" regarding Real-Time Lightning Data on the Web. And that company is... the company that owns the data. Global Atmospherics runs the National Lightning Detection Network, which distributes that data to everyone who has lightning data (that isn't from their own detectors). Normally this data costs thousands of dollars per hour, but Global Atmospheric's website now features low resolution US, US Regions, and Major Cites maps with "last 15 minutes of strikes" lightning data or animation overlay. There is a small signup process to receive the data but it is FREE. For now; they reserve the right to charge for it in the future. So, get it while the getting is good, folks. http://www.glatmos.com/et/et.html 2. This week AccuWeather introduced a Travel section of their Personal AccuWeather service which includes 5-day forecasts for each station along any of about 50 U.S. Major Interstates, just in time for your Thanksgiving plans. If you're paying for the service you'll get Current Conditions for the sites as well. http://www.accuweather.com/weatherf/travel_qx01 3. Last week Intellicast introduced new SkiCast imagery to their website - including US and regional county-outlined maps of forecast Snow, Sun, 24-hour Temp Change, and also a unique Winter Storm Tracker (like a hurricane tracker). http://www.intellicast.com/skicast/ 4. TWC introduced Weather Channel/Brasil recently, a Brazilian Version of their Weather Channel site offering a number of weathermaps and specific forecasts for Brazil. http://tempo.weather.com/ Additionally this week, a press release indicates that TWC has partnered with Digital City, an online portal site which supports a number of major cities with local news and weather http://www.digitalcity.com/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 01:45:50 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: CASI NetNews : Free Real-Time Lightning Maps - URL Correction Way for them to change the URL since yesterday, here's the new one: http://www.glatmos.com/et/ jf ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1998 to 24 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Nov 26 14:32:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2838 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627352-22815>; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 14:09:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15740; Thu, 26 Nov 1998 00:08:02 -0600 Message-Id: <199811260608.AAA15740@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 00:03:01 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Nov 1998 to 25 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 19fe6b07fb12c8b9a04ebfba3161650d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 708 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Fujita family address 2. National Weather Association Newsletter Topics 3. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for the holidays 4. AWOS Sites (fwd) 5. WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1998 to 24 Nov 1998 6. Tornadoes on H(DTV) (2) 7. Mr. Roboto hits Chicago/Rockford/South Bend, IN 8. DTV and DTornadoes 9. "Chicago Week In Review" TV special... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 09:41:58 -0500 From: Doris Grazulis Subject: Fujita family address We lost email capability on and off over the past week, but I don't think that anyone has yet posted the Fujita home address. If they have, forgive the duplication, and the delay as well. It is: Mrs Ted Fujita and family 5727 South Maryland Chicago, IL 60637 We, too, posted a page on Dr. Fujita, with a photo of him on the anniversary of his first eyewitnessing of a tornado. He studied them and theorized and even flew over supercells for many years before he actually SAW one, so it was quite a day when he saw one for real. You can find the page at . Doris ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Tornado Project of Environmental Films visit us at: email us at: tornproj@plainfield.bypass.com call us at: (802) 748-2505 fax us at: (802) 748-2543 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:47:31 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newsletter Topics Following are the topics include in the October issue of the NWA newsletter: 1. President's Message (Exploring and developing ways of increasing the information content of forecasts) 2. Member News 3. Aviation Meteorology News 4. Mesoscale Modeling on a Personal Computer 5. In Memoriam; Colonel Robert C. Miller 6. Local Chapter News 7. Announcing the NWA Meteorological Satellite Applications Award 8. Meetings of Interest ( EMWINS Users Workshop, Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop, and Central Iowa Chapter Severe Storms and Doppler radar Conference) 9. Job Corner ( 10 companies or organizations seeking employees) For copies or more information contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com Also check the NWA webpage at http://www.nwas.org/membership.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:01:59 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for the holidays All, Today is your last chance to guarantee NSEA merchandise for holiday gift giving. Place orders today and send payment asap (to arrive on Monday Nov 30), and you will be guaranteed shipment by mid-December (provided items are in stock). Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSEA ===================================================================== Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** ANNOUNCEMENT! Teeshirts with the new NSSL logo are now available! Also, sweatshirts are back in stock for the fall/winter season, and they also have the new NSSL logo. Teeshirts with the old NSSL logo will remain on discounted prices while supplies last (they will not be restocked). NSSL and SPC polo shirts and NSSL hats also remain on discount while supplies last. **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** We are currently reducing our stocks to re-establish funds for the NSEA's employees holiday functions and for a re-stock of merchandise prior to the holiday season. We will frequently be updating the selection below based on our latest inventories. If a particular color or size is not available, please check back with the Web pag again by about Thanksgiving for information about the entire selection. Please do not order anything that is currently not in stock, but you can send us an inquiry. The Holiday Season is here! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing now! IMPORTANT: Any orders made and payment received prior to December 1, 1998 will have the highest priority to be sent before the holidays, provided items are in stock. ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 11:17:50 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: AWOS Sites (fwd) Boris Konon from WSI Operations tried to send this to wx-talk and it wouldn't fly. I'm passing it along. ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 04:09:41 -0500 From: Konon Boris To: "Gilbert Sebenste (E-mail)" Subject: AWOS Sites > Gilbert...here is an updated list of AWOS sites that are > not yet available. > I have tried twice to post this to wx-talk, and it > appears to go, but it > never shows up in the daily auto emailing file that a > lot of people > subscribe to. I think it is a problem with my system > here. Could you > post on wx-talk the list below for me? Thanks. > > Boris > > > > > AWOS Sites Not Yet on FOS (Updated) > > * indicates an addition. > > FAA-Sponsored AWOS Sites Not Yet Available on FOS > > 90LA NEW ORLEANS/SUPERDOME LA > AJO CORONA CA > DWU ASHLAND KY > EKY BESSEMER AL > FCI RICHMOND/CHESTERFIELD CO VA > GAI GAITHERSBURG MD > GVQ BATAVIA NY > HXD HILTON HEAD ISLAND SC > ISM ORLANDO/KISSIMMEE FL > JRB NEW YORK/WALL STREET NY > LZU LAWRENCEVILLE GA > MJX TOMS RIVER NJ > MKY MARCO ISLAND FL > OKK KOKOMO IN > PVG PORTSMOUTH VA > RYY MARIETTA/COBB COUNTY GA > PAII EGEGIK AK > PAQH QUINHAGAK AK > > > NON-FEDERAL AWOS STATIONS NOT YET AVAILABLE ON FAA604 OR > FOS DDS > > PAAK ATKA AK * > 4A9 FORT PAYNE AL > AL15 GULF SHORES AL > AZC COLORADO CITY AZ > CHD CHANDLER AZ > E14 TUCSON/AVRA VALLEY AZ > HII LAKE HAVASU CITY AZ > PBY KAYENTA AZ > RYN TUSCON/RYAN AZ > TYL TAYLOR AZ * > 0O3 SAN ANDREAS CA > DLO DELANO CA > F70 MURRIETA/TEMECULA CA > FCH FRESNO/DOWNTOWN CA > HMT HEMET CA > MHR SACRAMENTO/MATHER CA > L35 BIG BEAR CA > LHM LINCOLN CA > O22 COLUMBIA CA > SBD SAN BERNADINO CA > FTG DENVER/FRONT RANGE CO > CT41 FAIRFIELD CT * > EVY MIDDLETOWN DE > 23J JACKSONVILLE/HERLONG FL > LCQ LAKE CITY FL > SUA STUART FL > VNC VENICE FL > X31 CRYSTAL RIVER FL * > 3J7 GREENSBORO GA > 47A CANTON GA > 9A1 COVINGTON GA * > ACJ AMERICUS GA * > AYS WAYCROSS GA > CKF CORDELE GA > CTJ CARROLLTON GA * > CXU CAMILLA GA * > CZM CASTMAN-DODGE COUNTY GA > DBN DUBLIN GA * > DQH DOUGLAS GA > EZM EASTMAN GA > FZG FITZGERALD GA > HQU THOMSON GA * > JZP JASPER GA > LGC LA GRANGE GA > OKZ SANDERSVILLE GA > OPN THOMASTON GA > SBO SWAINSBORO GA > TBR STATESBORO GA > TMA TIFTON GA * > TVI THOMASVILLE GA > VDI VIDALIA GA * > AOC ARCO ID * > 12C ROCHELLE IL > 1H2 EFFINGHAM IL > 2I5 RANTOUL IL > 3LC LINCOLN IL > C09 MORRIS IL * > C75 LACON IL > DKB DE KALB IL > DNV DANVILLE IL > ENL CENTRALIA IL > FEP FREEPORT IL > FOA FLORA IL > FWC FAIRFIELD IL * > GBG GALESBURG IL > HSB HARRISBURG IL > I88 PONTIAC IL > IGQ CHICAGO/LANSING IL > IJX JACKSONVILLE IL > IKK KANKAKEE IL > JOT JOLIET IL > LOT ROMEOVILLE IL > MQB MACOMB IL > OLY OLNEY-NOBLE IL * > SAR SPARTA IL * > TAZ TAYLORVILLE IL > VYS PERU IL > ASW WARSAW IN > JVY JEFFERSONVILLE IN > MZZ MARION IN > CBK COLBY KS > 1A6 MIDDLESBORO KY > 1M9 CADIZ KY > 27K GEORGETOWN KY > 2I0 MADISONVILLE KY > 7K0 PIKEVILLE KY > AAS CAMPBELLSVILLE KY > CEY MURRAY KY > DVK DANVILLE KY > EKX ELIZABETHTOWN KY > FGX FLEMINGSBURG KY > GLW GLASGOW KY > HVC HOPKINSVILLE KY > IOB MOUNT STERLING KY > K20 HAZARD KY * > K22 PRESTONBURG KY > K24 JAMESTOWN KY > M21 GREENVILLE KY > M25 MAYFIELD KY > M34 GILBERTSVILLE KY > 2F8 BASTROP LA > BXA BOGALUSA LA * > HMU HAMMOND LA > IER NATCHITOCHES LA > OPL OPELOUSAS LA * > RSN RUSTON LA > EPM EASTPORT ME * > CBE CUMBERLAND MD > ESN EASTON MD > FDK FREDERICK MD > W54 WESTMINSTER MD > SAW GWINN MI D44 WASKISH MN * > MGG MAPLE LAKE MN > MZH MOOSE LAKE MN > M58 MONETT MO > MHL MARSHALL MO > CKM CLARKSDALE MS > CRX CORINTH MS > HSA BAY ST LOUIS MS > LUL LAUREL MS > RNV CLEVELAND MS > UOX OXFORD MS > 1A5 FRANKLIN NC > JNX SMITHFIELD NC > JQF CONCORD NC > MRN MORGANTON NC * > OCW WASHINGTON NC * > RUQ SALISBURY NC > TDF ROXBORO NC > UKF NORTH WILKESBORO NC > VUJ ALBEMARLE NC > W95 OCRACOKE NC * > BPP BOMAN ND > BWP WAHPETON ND > MLE OMAHA/MILLARD NE > SVC SILVER CITY NM > 4SD RENO/STEAD NV > CXP CARSON CITY NV > MEV MINDEN NV * > 1B1 HUDSON NY > 5B2 SARATOGA SPRINGS NY > N03 CORTLAND NY > N17 ENDICOTT NY > OIC NORWICH NY > PTD POTSDAM NY > 4I3 MOUNT VERNON OH * > AXV WAPAKONETA OH > CDI CAMBRIDGE OH > I19 DAYTON/JACKSON OH > I78 MARYSVILLE OH > PCW PORT CLINTON OH > PMH PORTSMOUTH OH > UNI ATHENS/ALBANY OH > 0F8 SAND SPRINGS OK > ADH ADA OK > HHW HUGO OK > OK78 WATONGA OK > OUN NORMAN OK > RKR POTEAU OK > WWR WOODWARD OK > 2G3 CONNELLSVILLE PA > 2G9 SOMERSET PA > 40N COATESVILLE PA > 79PN DANVILLE PA * > HMZ BEDFORD PA > HZL HAZELTON PA > N70 PERKASIE PA > N79 SHAMOKIN PA > OYM ST MARY'S PA > RVL REEDSVILLE PA > ZER POTTSVILLE PA > GGE GEORGETOWN SC > GYH GREENVILLE/DONALDSON SC > RBW WALTERBORO SC > SPA SPARTANSBURG SC > UDG DARLINGTON SC * > 0A9 ELIZABETHTON TN > 1M5 PORTLAND TN > 2A0 DAYTON TN > 2M2 LAWRENCEBURG TN > 6A4 MOUNTAIN CITY TN > 8A3 LIVINGSTON TN > BGF WINCHESTER TN > DKX KNOXVILLE/DOWNTOWN TN > FYE SOMERVILLE TN > FYM FAYETTEVILLE TN > GCY GREENEVILLE TN > GKT SEVIERVILLE TN > GZS PULASKI TN > HZD HUNTINGDON TN > JAU JACKSBORO TN > JWN NASHVILLE/TUNE TN > LUG LEWISBURG TN > M02 DICKSON TN > M04 COVINGTON TN > M08 BOLIVAR TN > M33 GALLATIN TN > M52 LEXINGTON TN > M54 LEBANON TN > M91 SPRINGFIELD TN > MBT MURFREESBORO TN > MMI ATHENS TN > MOR MORRISTOWN TN > MRC COLUMBIA/MOUNT PLEASANT TN > PHT PARIS TN > RNC MCMINNVILLE TN > SCX ONEIDA TN > SNH SAVANNAH TN > SRB SPARTA TN > SYI SHELBYVILLE TN > SZY SELMER TN * > THA TULLAHOMA TN > UCY UNION CITY TN > 22XS KILLEEN/LONGHORN TX > 49T DALLAS/CBD VERTIPORT TX * > 81R SAN SABA TX > BBD BRADY TX > BWD BROWNWOOD TX > CNW WACO/TSTC TX > T65 WESLACO TX > BDG BLANDING UT > BMC BRIGHAM CITY UT > DTA DELTA UT > U42 SALT LAKE CITY/MUNI 2 UT > 6V3 RICHLANDS VA > PDC PRAIRIE DU CHIEN WI * > I18 RAVENSWOOD WV > W99 PETERSBURG WV > 3I2 POINT PLEASANT WV > EMM KEMMERER WY > > Boris A. Konon > WSI Meteorological Operations --------------End forwarded message------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:16:08 -0500 From: Chris Taylor Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1998 to 24 Nov 1998 At 12:00 AM 11/25/98 +1800, you wrote: >Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:37:38 -0500 >From: "Maneikis, Stephen" >Subject: mr. roboto > >Mr. Roboto is now in St. Louis! > >I have a question though. Is the voice/software the same everywhere? I >ask this only because it seems that when I heard the voice in a couple >of other places this summer, it seemed like it was better in Cleveland >than Indy, and in my memory banks, both were better than what I'm >hearing in St. Louis now. Can the voice be altered some from >site-to-site? Just wondering. > >Steve Maneikis Hi Steve: The software is the same everywhere, but how you set up the software can make a difference in the voice. Talking speed and tone can be adjusted, and of course, it must be told how to say properly say the names of some cities and towns. Also, the connection between the forecast office and the transmitter will also greatly affect the quality. I first heard Roboto in Kansas City, and thought it sounded bad too... The people at CLE have worked a lot on the software to get it sounding as good as it does. I have yet to hear a better rendition of it. That's not to say I like it though... ;-). Hope everybody has a Happy Thanksgiving!! Chris Taylor *************************************************************************** Chris Taylor Email: chtaylor@ix.netcom.com Coordinator, NW Ohio Skywarn WWW page:http://www2.netcom.com/~chtaylor/ Asst. EC, Lucas Co. - Skywarn Packet: N8WGB@W8HHF.#tol.oh.usa.na NWOhio Skywarn Net page: http://wcnet.org/~n8xsf/Skywarn.html *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 14:28:31 EST From: "Keith N. Thews" Subject: Tornadoes on H(DTV) Dear Skywarn and Weather Talk: A long time ago, I read a March 1969 Popular Mechanics magazine article which talked about receiving a tornado on channel 2 (with a white screen). My question is, with the new required DTV coming up, what channel on h(DTV) will be the best to use to get the equalivant of the 'white screen' caused by a electromagnetic pulse inside the tornado. Sincerely, Keith Thews kthews@juno.com ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 13:29:30 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: Mr. Roboto hits Chicago/Rockford/South Bend, IN On Wed, 25 Nov 1998, Chris Taylor wrote: > At 12:00 AM 11/25/98 +1800, you wrote: > > >Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:37:38 -0500 > >From: "Maneikis, Stephen" > >Subject: mr. roboto > > > >Mr. Roboto is now in St. Louis! > > > >I have a question though. Is the voice/software the same everywhere? I > > Hi Steve: > > The software is the same everywhere, but how you set up the software can > make a difference in the voice. Talking speed and tone can be adjusted, and > of course, it must be told how to say properly say the names of some cities > and towns. Also, the connection between the forecast office and the > transmitter will also greatly affect the quality. Ditto. Chicago needs to work on it more, but that will come with time. Dubuque sounds like "Duhbooq" and Lafayette (Indiana) sounds like layFAYit. But I'm sure that will get corrected sooner rather than later. > Hope everybody has a Happy Thanksgiving!! Double ditto! SHould be nice weather for most of you too. Have a good one! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ****** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Work phone: 815-753-5492 *** ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 15:27:09 -0500 From: Paula Bailey Subject: Re: Tornadoes on H(DTV) On Wed, 25 Nov 1998, Keith N. Thews wrote: > Dear Skywarn and Weather Talk: > A long time ago, I read a March 1969 Popular Mechanics magazine > article which talked about receiving a tornado on channel 2 (with a white > screen). > My question is, with the new required DTV coming up, what channel on > h(DTV) will be the best to use to get the equalivant of the 'white > screen' caused by a electromagnetic pulse inside the tornado. Odds are, you probably won't be able to with the new HDTVs. Two separate reasons there: 1) From most of the proposals I've read on it, HDTV will be largely in the present UHF band. There is talk of abandoning at least the low end of the present VHF-Lo band (channels 2 to 6) and possibly the VHF-Hi band too. (I prolly need to read up on the latest FCC proposal for bands and all...) UHF doesn't suffer from sferics so much as VHF does. 2) Basically, unless you have the digital decoder, you're not going to see much of anything--and it won't decode unless you've got a signal to decode. (For an example, there's a reason why "minidish" systems only use channels; you can't tune between channels like you can with a "big dish" system. In essence, minidishes use digital streaming; it is not too different from how one watches an MPEG movie or a RealVideo stream.) If memory serves, HDTV will actually be using MPEG-2; I would guess you'd just get a black screen if you couldn't get signal. (Has anyone with digital satellite dishes ever had the signal cut out, and if so, what happens on your box then? I don't have a minidish so I'm not certain what happens...) My advice would be as follows: a) Either keep one of the older (non-HDTV) boxes about and keep it to channel 4 or 5 (whichever isn't being used in your area) to listen for tornado sferics, or get a radio that can tune TV-LO band and listen for the sferics (yes, you CAN hear them, and sometimes pretty badly even on AM radios); b) If the TV-LO band ends up going to ham radio (this is one of the things being discussed) get a Technician ham radio license and listen just above the six-meter band for sferics; c) Don't worry too darn much about listening for tornado sferics to find a tornado, and rely more on listening to Skywarn and/or local media. (No offense, but from personal experience with tornados and tornado sferics, you are not going to hear the sferics unless the tornado is two or three miles away. Even in Kentucky, where we have lots of hills and trees, you will usually see the tornado at or about the same time; I'd dare say this is probably not the safest way in the world to set up a tornado detector. :) It is fun to listen for them, though, in the safety of one's basement. :) Offhand--and my personal curiosity on this--have any chasers who are also hams noticed tornadic sferics on the 6-meter band when a tornado is close-ish? (I know you can see tornados 2-3 miles away in the plains, and the 6-meter band is JUST below channel 2 on lowTV. :) This should give a good guesstimate on just what the range would be to pick up tornado sferics...) -pb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 16:46:11 -0500 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: DTV and DTornadoes Couple of friendly corrections on DTV and tornadoes The actual DTV channel assignments will be (after everything is done) 2 - 52. (That's after NTSC is shutdown sometime after 2006) BUT, channel 2 on a DTV will still not let you "see" a tornado since if a DTV is not picking up a carrier from a broadcast source, it will show nothing on the screen. (Nothing as in a blue or black slate, "not" nothing as in a snowy screen.) (Egad, I'm starting to sound like Clinton...) ;-) Also, you don't need an amateur license if you are only "listening" to ham radio. You could set a scanner to a preferred frequency and listen mindlessly to the hiss. But you'd be better served to listen to spotter reports and wether radio. BUT, in the end, you shouldn't be doing ANY of this unless you also happen to be in a basement or storm shelter! :-) But this is a question that will undoubtedly come up in casual conversation for all of us, so I thought I'd clear it up a little. Stuart Shepard Weather Guru WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Nov 1998 22:51:20 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: "Chicago Week In Review" TV special... Wx-talkers, For those of you fortunate enough to live in the Chicago area or get WTTW-TV channel 11 via satellite, Chicago's PBS station will have a special "Chicago Week In Review" show with 4 meteorologists/TV weatherpeople, including Tom Skilling, which will air this Saturday evening at 6PM central time. No doubt the late Dr. Fujita will be one of the main topics. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Nov 1998 to 25 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Nov 27 14:30:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1821 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-9726>; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 14:05:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA18026; Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:04:32 -0600 Message-Id: <199811270604.AAA18026@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 00:01:32 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Nov 1998 to 26 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c32f6086ddca52fe889f03c1a921e7ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 85 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. HDTV 2. what do you think? 3. ASOS LINKS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 02:04:01 -0700 From: Ralph Forsythe Subject: HDTV > dish" system. In essence, minidishes use digital streaming; it is not > too different from how one watches an MPEG movie or a RealVideo > stream.) If memory serves, HDTV will actually be using MPEG-2; I would > guess you'd just get a black screen if you couldn't get signal. (Has > anyone with digital satellite dishes ever had the signal cut out, and Last I heard they were still all trying to agree on a common standard for transmission, this coming from a guy in the industry. I think there were 4 or 5 different standards being tossed around, with some actually being used already. Without direct FCC control, this may take a while to suss out. Also, what you see depends on the box you have when the signal cuts; some boxes will give a black screen, while others may display messages or what not when their logic senses a signal loss. Either way, you won't be watching much! :) - Ralph Forsythe ---------------------------------------------------------------- http://ralph.centerone.com KC0CSO ralph@contact-paging.com Contact Paging Engineering Support Services / Colorado Systems ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Nov 1998 14:18:32 PST From: Judith hersy Subject: what do you think? Hello, Some months ago my boyfriend and I started with an online opportunity to earn some extra money. We did that after reading an e-mail like this one. First of all we want to emphasise that we do not want to inconvenience anyone by sending this e-mail. We only want to tell you that this program worked very well for us and brought us financial freedom. If you are interested to read more please go to our homepage: http://members.tripod.com/~Brigit_C36/index.html Regards, Bri. ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Nov 1998 05:04:26 +0000 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: ASOS LINKS Hello, Since many on this list use my state-specific weather pages I would like present the following. I have received numerous requests for the addition of the individual ASOS output into each respective state web page. My dilemma is which output to use. Below are two URLS that contain the ASOS outputs in question. The first (NOAA) contains decoded hourly obs. It is easy to read but does not list ASOS specials nor does it allow you to go out past 24 hours. The second URL (PSU) is raw output containing all hourly obs and specials with easy access to obs over the past 30 days. However, not everyone may know how to decode them. http://tgsv7.nws.noaa.gov/weather/current/KBOS.html http://www.ugems.psu.edu/wea/bin/ReturnObs.cgi?stn=TOR&number=12 Please email your opinion as it's not effective to link all the ASOS sites if the majority of users don't like the output. pietrych@mrd3.nssl.ucar.edu --Al Pietrycha http://mrd3.nssl.ucar.edu/~pietrych/www/ I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ************************************************ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Nov 1998 to 26 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Nov 29 21:52:42 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-4126>; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 14:06:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17896; Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:05:03 -0600 Message-Id: <199811290605.AAA17896@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:01:06 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Nov 1998 to 28 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d35c2d17a82b3a7814b771a5ff3a01be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 18 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. STORMTRACK CD-ROM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 00:20:23 -0500 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: STORMTRACK CD-ROM The complete STORMTRACK CD-ROM COLLECTION is now available just in time for Christmas. The CD-ROM covers all 121 issues of the magazine from 1977 (when Dave Hoadley founded it) through 1997. There are 1200 articles, 1000 photographs (mostly in color now), 300 chase cases, and 110 funnel funnies. Contains easy to follow instructions to load onto your web browser. The cost is $60 plus $5 shipping in the U.S. and Canada. Add $10 for overseas orders. Remit to Tim Marshall, 4041 Bordeaux Circle, Flower Mound, TX 75022-7050 before December 15th in order to receive this before Christmas. Please note the hard copy 20 year set of the magazine (which sells for $165) will no longer be available after March 1, 1999. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Nov 1998 to 28 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 30 16:55:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3830 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626970-9031>; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 14:07:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA20674; Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:07:46 -0600 Message-Id: <199811300607.AAA20674@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 00:04:15 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Nov 1998 to 29 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4ecc478e47861ce70ba97c82db954c57 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 67 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RealEMWIN 2. New issue of InterMet +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 21:42:56 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN Beta7 (hopefully the final!) of RealEMWIN is now ready for pickup... RealEMWIN is software that connects to a real-time GOES/radio feed of EMWIN weather wire data. More information on the EMWIN feed itself, as well as other receiving options, is available at -- http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/index.htm RealEMWIN does NOT need any additional EMWIN software, such as Weathernode (TM Xenocode) installed, although it can work in as a plugin for WXNode. Full documentation is available in a PDF file linked from the RealEMWIN homepage at http://www.skywatch.org/realemwin.html !!!NEW PAGER SUPPORT!!! RealEMWIN now works in conjunction with CPager95 to send real-time weather information to your alphanumberic pager! Download and install CPager from http://www.pager95.com -- and registration only costs $10. For now RealEMWIN only supports one user, but additional users (and groups) will be added shortly. To subscribe to the RealEMWIN mailing list, send "subscribe emwin" to "majordomo@skywatch.org" Recent changes: - Multiple hourly METARs reported - Added alarm support - Alpha-paging - Improved image looping - Much much more! Rob ---------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale N8GSK Meteorologist http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Nov 1998 23:08:23 -0500 From: InterMet Subject: New issue of InterMet The November issue of InterMet is now Online: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet A new section has been added called MetWorld. It has 4 full disk images from 4 different satellites with a special colored enhancement: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/metworld/index.htm Do not forget to send your articles, Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Nov 1998 to 29 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Dec 01 14:38:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3458 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-11324>; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 14:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA04546; Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:13:10 -0600 Message-Id: <199812010613.AAA04546@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:07:42 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Nov 1998 to 30 Nov 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 22c796953137c79f8dd2ce9f7fc31c19 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 593 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 1998 Hurricane Season in Review 2. 1998 a deadly hurricane season 3. Satellite Images of Nicole 4. 3-8 Minute NIDS NEXRADs? (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 02:34:37 -0500 From: Jim Leonard Subject: Re: 1998 Hurricane Season in Review Jim Leonard wrote: > > Now that we are comming to the end of the 1998 hurricane season its time > summarize some of this years highlights. > The 1998 hurricane season produced fourteen named storms which ten > became hurricanes and three became major hurricanes. This was well above > the average season of 10-6-2. 1998 was also the most deadly hurricane > season since 1780, 218 years ago. > 1998 was the first season since 1893 in which there were four hurricanes > in progress at the same time, that occured on September 25. > The most notable hurricanes of the season were "Georges" and "Mitch". > Hurricane Georges was a classic Cape Verde September storm. The seedling > which developed into Georges moved off the west coast of Africa on > September 14th and intensified steadly as it approached the Leeward > islands on September 19th. On September 20th the hurricane weakened > somewhat and moved across the northern Leeward islands as a category 2 > hurricane. On September 21st as the hurricane approached the island of > Puerto Rico it began to intensify at a fairly rapid rate. The late > afternoon of the 21st Georges was once again a major cat-3 hurricane at > the same time it was making landfall on the eastern shores of Puerto > Rico. The upper air pattern was becomming very favorable for the > hurricane so much so it only weakened slightly despite the fact it > traversed 5,000 foot mountains. As soon as the storm emerged into the > Mona Passage it rapidly intensified then struck the Dominican Republic > as a strong cat-3 hurricane. One interesting observation that I noticed > is while moving over Puerto Rico the track of the hurricane was > westnorthwest as it hit the eastern half of Puerto Rico then jogged > southwest to the southern shore of the island and then resumed a > straight west track after that. This jog is what I think saved south > Florida from a devastating blow from a large and intense cat-4 > hurricane. The original track would have taken the center off the north > coast or just along the coast of Hispanola keeping the center away from > the 10,000 foot moutains. At the time it was moving over Hispanola the > upper air pattern was as favorable as it can get and this pattern is the > reason the storm was able to maintain itself despite it going over this > rugged tarrain. Georges continued its landlover track across the island > of Cuba. As was the day before the upper air pattern continued excellent > with perfect outflow at all quadrants. As the hurricane slowly pulled > away from the central coast of Cuba on the afternoon of September 24th > the convection began to organize. The next day Georges moved over the > lower Keys as a loosely organized cat-2 hurricane. Georges brought winds > of over 100mph to all of the Keys from Grassy Key to Dry Tortugas with > areas from Big Pine Key to Sugerloaf Key the worst hit with wind gusts > in excess of 125mph. The hurricane only intensified slightly after > leaving the Florida Keys but became better organized. The next two days > Georges moved slowly at first it looked like it would be a direct hit on > New Orleans but as the hours went by the storm gradually curved more to > the north and crossed the coast of Mississippi near Biloxi. The big > story was the 30+ inches of rain it produced in the western Florida > panhandle. The highest winds along the coast were a little over 100mph > just to the east of where the eye crossed the coast. A report of a gust > of 172mph was NOT accurate. This was a measurement by what is known as a > hot wire anemometer which are used at military bases but when heavy rain > occurs they go hey wire as in the case of Typhoon "Paka" Guam 236mph > last year. > Hurricane "Mitch" became the first Cat-5 hurricane since hurricane > "Gilbert" in 1988 in the same region of the western Caribbean. Hurricane > Mitch reached an intensity of 180mph with a central pressure of 905mb. > Hurricane Mitch developed from a tropical wave which moved off the west > coast of Africa around mid-October but showed no signs of development > until October 21st when a small low pressure system developed on the > tropical Wave near the coast of Columbia. The low developed into a > tropical storm quite rapidly for the first 24 hours then showed signs of > weakening for about 18 to 24 hours. Beginning in the early hours of > October 24th Mitch began to intensify at a steady rate to Cat-5 status > by the 26th. On October 26 and 27 The Cat-5 hurricane meandered just off > northeast coast of Honduras. The next three days Mitch moved very > slowly west then abruptly turned south toward the coast of Honduras and > moved so slow that hurricane conditions continued on the offshore > islands for over 24 hours. During this time the hurricane had weakened > down to 115mph much weakened from the 180mph 48 hours earlier. On > October 29 the weakening storm continued to move more and more inland in > a southerly direction and this is when the real disaster began. For the > next four days the weakening storm dumped nonstop torrential tropical > rains over Honduras and Nicaragua which claimed at least 12000 lives as > of the latest reports. On November 2 a reborn tropical storm Mitch be > redeveloped in the Bay of Campeche and began a northeast track toward > the lower west coast of Florida. During this period Mitch was more of a > subtropical system then a purely tropical storm as the deep convection > and strongest winds were well to the east of the low center. As the > system approached the lower west coast of Florida a supercell blew up > over the Florida straits and spawned a F-2 tornado over Key Largo after > dark on November 4th. I went down to check the damage the following day > and it appeared to me that the size and track of the damage swath the > tornado was probably similar to the Treasure island Florida tornado of > October 3 1992 which appears in Tom Grazulis significant tornadoes. > update 1992-1995. > There will be a lot of speculation on the 1999 hurricane season as Bill > Gray will on December 4th will give his first of several forcasts. Im > sure he will be going for another above normal season next year. First > of all is NO El-Nino, QBO winds will be more favorable than even this > year, above normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic. My > opinion is you will rarely see any Atlantic hurricane season produce > more than fourteen named storms. If 1999 is to be more active than 1998 > it will most likely be more intense Cat-3-4-5 storms. 1998 had seven > named storms strike the US mainland which three were hurricanes is much > above average. I would doubt if there will be as many landfalls in 1999 > as were in 1998 but just one like Andrew or Mitch hitting the US next > year would be much more devastating than the three hurricanes and four > tropical storms that struck this year. In the last four years since 1995 > even with the slow season of 1997 there has been more tropical storms > and hurricanes than any other four consecutive seasons on record. So it > really looks like we are returning to a period of increased hurricane > frequency. The 1995,1996 and 1998 seasons have not only produced much > more of the Cape Verde type hurricanes also there has been a return of > the classic western Caribbean October hurricanes as there has been three > such storms Roxanne 1995, Lily 1996 and Mitch 1998 which were all major > hurricanes. With the increased number of Cape Verde and western > Caribbean hurricanes the state of Florida should see an increase in the > number of hits in the years to come. > > -- > Jim Leonard > http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html > jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 08:58:05 -0500 From: gsellers Subject: 1998 a deadly hurricane season This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------B0640DC86038D1D2E37AAE1B Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Good Morning! Here's an interesting article I found while reading the USATODAY on-line and though this group would be interested in reading it too. It looks like Dr. Gray is already predicting a more active Hurricane season in 1999! I guess we all will have to wait to find out. I hope everyone on this list had a great Tnxgiving. <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<:>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> http://www.usatoday.com/news/ndssun01.htm -- *********************************************************************** 73 de Greg, WB4HRR/Charlotte NC Area SKYWARN EC and Piedmont Emergency Training Net Manager Visit the Charlotte Area SKYWARN Interactive Website! @: WWW.CLTSKYWARN.ORG Visit the Piedmont Emergency Training Net Website! @: WWW.MEMBERS.TRIPOD.COM/~KDJ/PETN.HTML The CASN and the PETN utilize the 145.35 WA4AOS rptr and appreciate the continued support! GO CAROLINA PANTHERS! *********************************************************************** --------------B0640DC86038D1D2E37AAE1B Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii; name="ndssun01.htm" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="ndssun01.htm" Content-Base: "http://www.usatoday.com/news/ndssun01. htm" 1998 a deadly hurricane season
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11/30/98- Updated 12:00 AM ET
 The Nation's Homepage

1998 a deadly hurricane season

MIAMI - This year's Atlantic hurricane season won't soon be forgotten: an onslaught of storms left a staggering trail of death and destruction across Central America and the Caribbean.

Seven of the named storms - including the season's monsters, Georges and Mitch - affected the continental United States and caused millions in damage.

The season, which started June 1, winds up on Monday after racking up the deadliest toll in more than 200 years.

And more of the same is possible next year, said William Gray and his pioneering team of hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University in Boulder, Colo.

''We are going to see the return of some of these type of storms,'' Gray said. ''People have to face up to it. The insurance industry has a major problem.''

Gray, who underestimated this season's activity, said the last four years have been the most active ever for hurricanes in the Atlantic basin. He expects another active hurricane season in 1999.

With the gradual fading of the latest cycle of the El Nino phenomenon, which tends to suppress Atlantic hurricanes, 1998 saw nine hurricanes and five tropical storms. In September, there were four hurricanes at once - Georges, Ivan, Jeanne, and Karl - for the first time since 1893.

The Pacific hurricane season, which also ends Monday, was about average with 13 named storms and nine hurricanes. Howard was the strongest with 150 mph sustained winds. Only Isis reached land, and then only after weakening to tropical storm force.

The Atlantic season's last gasp was Tropical Storm Nicole, which formed last week and stayed out at sea.

But it was really Mitch that provided the season's climax.

After forming south of Jamaica on Oct. 22, Mitch erupted into a Category 5 storm with sustained winds blowing at 180 mph and gusts estimated at more than 200 mph. Mitch tied Camille in 1969 as the the fourth strongest Atlantic hurricane this century.

Then it stalled over Honduras and Nicaragua with torrents of rain. Its death toll from floods, storm surge and mudslides will probably never be known but is estimated at more than 10,000.

''We have a fear in the community about illnesses from the dead - there are still so many,'' Cristobal Gradis, 38, a community leader in the hard-hit village of Tololar, Honduras, said earlier this month.

''There's some they wanted to burn, but they didn't burn well. They are stacked on top of the ground. The number is uncountable.''

The death toll from Mitch exceeds the number killed by Hurricane Fifi, which hit Honduras in 1974, making Mitch the third-deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record.

The deadliest single storm was in 1780, killing at least 20,000 people on Martinique. A 1900 storm killed 8,000 to 12,000 at Galveston, Texas.

Mitch proved difficult for forecasters, even though they were equipped this season with a new satellite, a new hurricane-hunter airplane and other high-tech tools.

As the storm headed over the rugged mountains of Central America where they couldn't fly their airplane, they had to rely mostly on ground-level data to measure the storm's intensity.

''It was a very challenging forecast for us,'' said Miles Lawrence, a specialist with the National Hurricane Center. ''It pointed out some of our limitations. We have a good justification for beefing up observations in Central America.''

Mitch even overshadowed Georges, which formed Sept. 15 and grew into a Category 4 storm with 150 mph wind. Georges rampaged across the islands of the northern Caribbean, the Florida Keys and the Mississippi Delta, causing about $1 billion in damage and nearly 500 deaths in Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Damage in the U.S. and Puerto Rico is estimated at $3-4 billion.

Bonnie grazed North Carolina and Virginia in late August and caused up to $2 billion in damage. Tropical Storm Charley struck Texas on Aug. 21-22, dumping 18 inches of rain on Del Rio, Texas, and killing at least 23 people in Texas and Mexico.

Hurricane Earl hit the Florida Panhandle on Labor Day; a week later, Frances flooded 300 miles of the Gulf Coast from Texas to Louisiana.

The vulnerable Florida Keys got hit twice. Georges damaged an estimated 700 homes on its way into Mississippi. After Mitch weakened to a tropical storm, it spawned tornadoes that turned a Key Largo trailer park inside out.

Many Keys residents had never been through a hurricane before and decided to tough it out, a decision many regretted.

''We weren't prepared for it all,'' said Jerry Wright, whose got a tree through his bedroom window during Mitch. ''We thought we were going to meet our makers.''

By The Associated Press

Copyright 1998 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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©COPYRIGHT 1998 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Co. Inc.

--------------B0640DC86038D1D2E37AAE1B-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 16:18:01 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Satellite Images of Nicole Although it is near the edge of our ground station coverage area, I was able to obtain some NOAA AVHRR images of Hurricane Nicole. I processed and posted them at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/ Click on Nicole. You will also find a track map and a text file with lat/lon, winds and pressure. Hope you find the site of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (240)-228-6704 Washington | | Office phone: (443)-778-6704 Baltimore | | WWW home page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Space Department | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | 11100 Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | "...they ran their heads very hard against wrong ideas, and | | persisted in trying to fit the circumstances to the ideas, | | instead of trying to extract ideas from circumstances." | \ -- Charles Dickens, in Great Expectations / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 00:44:16 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: 3-8 Minute NIDS NEXRADs? I sent a question to the support people at WeatherConcepts, who claim on the front page of their website www.weatherconcepts.com to have "3-8 minutes updates on all local NEXRAD radar images." The question was how they could make that claim. About a month has passed and I have still not received an answer. Although I know more rapid updates of "local radars" is possible, I am to understand that it is not when under the constraints of the NIDS contrack from UNISYS, which my sources say WeatherConcepts is under. Can any of you radar nuts or people involved with NIDS here explain how this is possible? I was under the impression that UNISYS NIDS products were distributed with update frequencies of 5 (Severe Mode), 6 (Precip Mode), and 10 (Clear Air Mode) minutes. If they are indeed able to provide more rapid updates than the competition this would be a clear advantage. Then again, if they cannot, I would think they would not want to mislead people. Thanks in advance for helping me clear this up. This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "They're not who we're looking for; they're just meteorologists- storm chasers." --Peter Watts, "Millennium" || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 18:59:19 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Re: 3-8 Minute NIDS NEXRADs? Jesse Ferrell - CASI wrote: > I sent a question to the support people at WeatherConcepts, who claim > on the front page of their website www.weatherconcepts.com to have > "3-8 minutes updates on all local NEXRAD radar images." The question > was how they could make that claim. About a month has passed and I > have still not received an answer. Although I know more rapid updates > of "local radars" is possible, I am to understand that it is not when > under the constraints of the NIDS contrack from UNISYS, which my > sources say WeatherConcepts is under. Can any of you radar nuts or > people involved with NIDS here explain how this is possible? I was > under the impression that UNISYS NIDS products were distributed with > update frequencies of 5 (Severe Mode), 6 (Precip Mode), and 10 (Clear > Air Mode) minutes. If they are indeed able to provide more rapid > updates than the competition this would be a clear advantage. Then > again, if they cannot, I would think they would not want to mislead > people. > > Thanks in advance for helping me clear this up. I too would be interested in what they mean by this...my company is a Unisys redistributer. The update cycle is not dependent on the NIDS structure, but the actual radar mode the 88D is in at the time. There is a proposal in some of the NWS research groups for a 3 minute "rapid update" severe weather mode, but the last I heard it was killed because it is too hard on the hardware, and it certainly isn't operational at this time. I would be interested in finding out just exactly what they are updating. The lowest possible update time (even at the PUP) is 5 min. All distributers of NEXRAD data are under the NIDS contract, so they all have the same data rates and base product availability. All statements are my own, and not those of my employer or any other entity. Jason Kelley ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 30 Nov 1998 20:07:08 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: 3-8 Minute NIDS NEXRADs? > I sent a question to the support people at WeatherConcepts, who claim > on the front page of their website www.weatherconcepts.com to have > "3-8 minutes updates on all local NEXRAD radar images." The question > was how they could make that claim. About a month has passed and I It's a false claim -- they've been notified many times and have yet to change their website. Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Nov 1998 to 30 Nov 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Dec 02 16:47:21 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1105 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627463-24375>; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 14:23:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA12156; Wed, 2 Dec 1998 00:04:06 -0600 Message-Id: <199812020604.AAA12156@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 00:00:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Nov 1998 to 1 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9cb583bf7dbf7300b9236f4b95ab5d96 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 158 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 3-8 Minute NIDS NEXRADs? 2. Cloud Video (2) 3. WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1998 to 24 Nov 1998 4. AccuWeather horoscope? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 13:25:47 GMT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: 3-8 Minute NIDS NEXRADs? In article <36633F67.BD1B7714.10659@baronservices.com>, Jason Kelley wrote: > >I too would be interested in what they mean by this...my company is a >Unisys redistributer. The update cycle is not dependent on the NIDS >structure, but the actual radar mode the 88D is in at the time. There is >a proposal in some of the NWS research groups for a 3 minute "rapid >update" severe weather mode, but the last I heard it was killed because it >is too hard on the hardware, and it certainly isn't operational at this >time. NSSL has been working with the OSF to test a possible new Volume Coverage Pattern that emulates the scanning speed of VCP 11 with the elevation angle selection of VCP 21, providing a 3.5 minute update rate. Implementation of this new VCP has yet to be approved. NSSL's study included the affect of the new VCP on the various radar algorithms contained within the 88D system. Howver, at this point in time, all this company can do is claim that rapidly- updating volume coverage patterns are *possible in the future*. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 11:31:08 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Cloud Video Hello! I just got a request (via a tortuous path) for stock video of clouds. I think the requestor will be willing to pay for a quality product. I'm not sure of the range of cloud types they are looking for, but I don't think they're talking about storm-chase video. Boring, I know. Does anyone here know of a supplier for stock cloud video? Frank gouveia2@llnl.gov ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Dec 1998 18:18:04 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Cloud Video Frank Gouveia wrote... >Hello! > >I just got a request (via a tortuous path) for stock video of clouds. I >think the requestor will be willing to pay for a quality product. I'm not >sure of the range of cloud types they are looking for, but I don't think >they're talking about storm-chase video. Boring, I know. > >Does anyone here know of a supplier for stock cloud video? Try Prairie Pictures, run by Martin Lisius... http://www.prairiepictures.com ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 01:37:24 GMT From: "Kevin W. Thomas" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1998 to 24 Nov 1998 In article <199811251918.NAA19385.21504@dfw-ix14.ix.netcom.com>, Chris Taylor wrote: >At 12:00 AM 11/25/98 +1800, you wrote: > >>Date: Tue, 24 Nov 1998 10:37:38 -0500 >>From: "Maneikis, Stephen" >>Subject: mr. roboto >> >>Mr. Roboto is now in St. Louis! >> >>I have a question though. Is the voice/software the same everywhere? I >>ask this only because it seems that when I heard the voice in a couple >>of other places this summer, it seemed like it was better in Cleveland >>than Indy, and in my memory banks, both were better than what I'm >>hearing in St. Louis now. Can the voice be altered some from >>site-to-site? Just wondering. >> >>Steve Maneikis > >Hi Steve: > >The software is the same everywhere, but how you set up the software can >make a difference in the voice. Talking speed and tone can be adjusted, and >of course, it must be told how to say properly say the names of some cities >and towns. Also, the connection between the forecast office and the >transmitter will also greatly affect the quality. > >I first heard Roboto in Kansas City, and thought it sounded bad too... The >people at CLE have worked a lot on the software to get it sounding as good >as it does. I have yet to hear a better rendition of it. That's not to say >I like it though... ;-). > >Hope everybody has a Happy Thanksgiving!! > >Chris Taylor I heard Mr. Roboto in Cleveland over Thanksgiving. It likes to report marine wind speeds in "nuts" (not "knots"). I still don't know what the last line of the marine forecast is. I notice that all zone forecasts are read by a human. Climo reports were iniitially Mr. Roboto, but became human by the end of the weekend. Kevin W. Thomas Sun System Administrator & Meteorologist National Severe Storms Laboratory Norman, Oklahoma Email: kwthomas@wizard.nssl.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 03:27:19 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: Re: AccuWeather horoscope? > Group: bit.listserv.wx-talk > My ISP changed our personalized homepage, adding sections like 'trivia' > and 'horoscopes'. I noticed the tag line of the horoscope section: > "Copyright, AccuWeather Inc., 1998 ". Hmmm. Do we have astrology > confused with meteor-ology? No, it's true, they do a number of news and entertainment services as well as weather. Check this out: http://accunet.accuweather.com/wx/accunet/nonwx/index.htm This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "And here a twister comes... here comes the twister." --Talking Heads || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Nov 1998 to 1 Dec 1998 ************************************************* From - Thu Dec 03 21:29:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628043-9206>; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:06:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA23814; Thu, 3 Dec 1998 00:05:32 -0600 Message-Id: <199812030605.AAA23814@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 00:00:17 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Dec 1998 to 2 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9bdae6782751737a373f3e4d263d1c8d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 142 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Fujita family address 2. FW: Stock images of storms & clouds 3. NSSL/SPC Merchandise - Holiday announcement +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 08:44:29 +0000 From: "H. Michael Mogil" Subject: Fujita family address I know the Fujita family address was posted at WX_TALK the other day, but I seem to have deleted the message it was in. Could someone resend, please? I'd like to send a sympathy card. Much thanks. Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 301 Creek Valley Lane Rockville, MD 20850-5604 301-WX0-WEB4 (301-990-9324) phone/fax or 301-527-9DEW (301-527-9339) phone hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 09:20:44 -0500 From: James Aman Subject: FW: Stock images of storms & clouds Got this from our graphics guy here at AWS: > > [there is] a photoshop plug-in called 4 seasons that generates > clouds, skyscapes, sunsets, etc. It's really cool. It's by a > company called RAYflect. I thought you might want to chime > in with this in the wx-talk forum. ... Retail price is 129.95. > > James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Dec 1998 09:27:02 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise - Holiday announcement All, Provided items are still in stock, orders may still be placed in time for the Holidays. We will update the inventory on our Web page as frequently as possible (do not order anything not in stock). Remember, we cannot guarantee any order until payment is received. The absolute deadline for any holiday order will be Dec 11 (payment must be recieved before that date). Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSEA ===================================================================== Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** ANNOUNCEMENT! Teeshirts with the new NSSL logo are now available! Also, sweatshirts are back in stock for the fall/winter season, and they also have the new NSSL logo. Teeshirts with the old NSSL logo will remain on discounted prices while supplies last (they will not be restocked). NSSL and SPC polo shirts and NSSL hats also remain on discount while supplies last. **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** **** We are currently reducing our stocks to re-establish funds for the NSEA's employees holiday functions and for a re-stock of merchandise prior to the holiday season. We will frequently be updating the selection below based on our latest inventories. If a particular color or size is not available, please check back with the Web pag again by about Thanksgiving for information about the entire selection. Please do not order anything that is currently not in stock, but you can send us an inquiry. The Holiday Season is here! Get your NSSL and SPC clothing now! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Dec 1998 to 2 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Dec 04 14:21:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3442 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627103-2837>; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:04:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA11650; Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:03:20 -0600 Message-Id: <199812040603.AAA11650@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 00:00:24 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1998 to 3 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 041bb39b02803b7b38172b868e14a5b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 7 messages totalling 250 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. CLE roboto 2. My Jacked-up Server... 3. RealEMWIN v1.0 Released! 4. desktop weather (2) 5. Taylor Instruments 6. TV WX Degree +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:44:58 -0500 From: Chris Taylor Subject: CLE roboto Chris Taylor Wrote: >>I fIirst heard Roboto in Kansas City, and thought it sounded bad too... The >>people at CLE have worked a lot on the software to get it sounding as good >>as it does. I have yet to hear a better rendition of it. That's not to say >>I like it though... ;-). Kevin W. Thomas wrote: >I heard Mr. Roboto in Cleveland over Thanksgiving. It likes to report >marine wind speeds in "nuts" (not "knots"). I still don't know what the >last line of the marine forecast is. But I like "nuts" around Thanksgiving! The last line refers to the fact that "the forecast is valid at the end of the fetch", which means the forecast waves will be at the end of distance over the water which the wind blows... For Lake Erie, a West wind forecast from Maumee Bay(West end) to Ripley, NY(east end), the "end of the fetch" would be at Ripley, where the highest waves would be. That's where the forecast would be valid. Of course, at the west end, the waves would be smaller, but you must forecast for the worst conditions in the forecast area... Most bait and tackle shops on the Western Basin of Lake Erie have this definition posted for the local anglers, and the commercial people understand it as well. >I notice that all zone forecasts are read by a human. Climo reports were >iniitially Mr. Roboto, but became human by the end of the weekend. I learned last night that the zone forecasts will change to Roboto after the first of the year... And, yes, the climo reports do vary. It seems to depend on how Roboto is doing. If it doesn't do well with some reports, they do a human rendition. Isn't this how it's supposed to be done? Or maybe should be done? I still have to say, from what I have heard of Mr. Roboto, CLE is doing as good job. My initial impressions in Kansas City were not good(1 1/2 yrs ago....maybe it's better now...). I have heard it in many other areas in a Mi., In. and Oh., and, IMHO, CLE still sound the best. Again, however, it's not to say that I, or my 72 year old mother, like it... In fact, my mother has unplugged the NWS radio because she said she "doesn't want to listen to a machine"... I'm still working on that one!! ;-) 73 Chris Taylor Happy Holidays to All !! *************************************************************************** Chris Taylor Email: chtaylor@ix.netcom.com Coordinator, NW Ohio Skywarn WWW page:http://www2.netcom.com/~chtaylor/ Asst. EC, Lucas Co. - Skywarn Packet: N8WGB@W8HHF.#tol.oh.usa.na NWOhio Skywarn Net page: http://wcnet.org/~n8xsf/Skywarn.html *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 00:36:22 -0700 From: The White Rat Subject: My Jacked-up Server... Hello All! My server has been jacked up for the last 24 hours, so if I haven't answered anyone or any question sent to me please resend! Thanks, -- David The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 10:08:43 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: RealEMWIN v1.0 Released! RealEMWIN v1.0 is now ready for download at http://www.skywatch.org RealEMWIN is software that connects to a real-time GOES/radio feed of EMWIN weather wire data. More information on the EMWIN feed itself, as well as other receiving options, is available at -- http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/index.htm RealEMWIN does NOT need any additional EMWIN software, such as Weathernode (TM Xenocode) installed, although it can work in as a plugin for WXNode. RealEMWIN also works in conjunction with CPager95 to send real-time weather information to your alphanumberic pager! Download and install CPager from http://www.pager95.com -- registration only costs $10. ======== The shareware version comes with a 14-day free trial with all features available. After the expiration, it reverts to shareware with the following restrictions: - Maximum of two alarm settings - Timeout after 3 hours of operation (although you can restart the software) The registration fee is only $42.95! But for users who mention receiving this message on the RealEMWIN mailing list it will be reduced to $30. To subscribe to the RealEMWIN mailing list, send "subscribe emwin" to majordomo@skywatch.org" Rob ----------------------------------------------- Robert P Dale == N8GSK == http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 09:56:01 -0600 From: Matt Hartman Subject: desktop weather Hi all, I was wondering if there is anyone who could help me out with something here. I've been looking around for about a week now for types of software (downloadable) that the public can access that can get forecasts and current weather conditions real-time from the internet. I found a software program called Wetsock and I did download it, but I seem to be having a few problems with the program. It won't list any type of current weather conditions. I know that sometimes these programs require you to be online at same time in order to download the data as needed, but the thing is, I'm running on Network connection, so it should be fine. It's my thinking that Wetsock should have the data. All I get is the forecasts. The "present weather conditions" line simply says "not available." If there is anyone familiar with the Wetsock Program, it would be greatly appreciated if you could tell me if there is something I need to do, or whatever... Or if anyone knows of a similar program that has similar capabilities, let me know. Thanks in advance, Matt ps: Also, I noticed the weather underground telnet now asks for a login on address: 'madlab.sprl.umich.edu'. Does anyone know if they have released the Login to the public or if they have switched addresses on us again? Thanks... "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while." --Kin Hubbard ______________________________________________________________ |Matt Hartman Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu | |437 Brandt Hall Sophomore Meteorology Major | |Valparaiso, IN 46383 EIS Student Consultant | |Phone: 219-464-5907 | |**************************************************************| |http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 | |______________________________________________________________| ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:22:33 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: desktop weather At 09:56 AM 12/3/98 -0600, Matt Hartman wrote: >I was wondering if there is anyone who could help me out with something >here. I've been looking around for about a week now for types of software >(downloadable) that the public can access that can get forecasts and >current weather conditions real-time from the internet. I found a Download Digital Atmosphere, from http://www.weathergraphics.com/ . This program is a de-facto standard when it comes to making surface and upper air charts under Windows. Through its Internet dropdown menu, you can access current data sets from different servers (it will go and fetch the data), and then this information can be plotted graphically by the program on weather maps. It can also graphically display warnings, as well as retrieve Internet-based maps by category. It has a lot of other functions that would be too much to list here. Tim Vasquez ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 17:05:12 -0500 From: David Longley Subject: Taylor Instruments A former teacher of mine has emailed me concerning an old barometer he has. Apparently the "cans" on this particular Taylor Instruments aneroid barometer have busted open. He can't find an address or phone number to contact Taylor and I'm writing to find out if anyone out there has had any recent correspondence with the company. He was also wondering if there was a quick fix to the broken instrument aside from buying a new one. Any suggestions or help anyone could provide would be greatly appreciated. On a side note, here in Syracuse, as well as other locations across the Eastern US, have set a record for the latest first measureable snow of the season. The old record was December 1, 1966. By the looks of the new MRF it looks as though we may establish the new record well into December. :( Dave Longley Meteorologist, WIXT NewsChannel 9, Syracuse, NY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:31:13 -0500 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: TV WX Degree Hello WX Talkers, Does anyone know if Iowa State does (or ever did) offer a degree in "Television Weather"? Thanks Stuart Shepard Weather Guru WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1998 to 3 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Sat Dec 05 16:51:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626276-1542>; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 14:06:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA27098; Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:04:09 -0600 Message-Id: <199812050604.AAA27098@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 00:00:11 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Dec 1998 to 4 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f235ae51058d83589889b3ec9e16dde7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 506 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1998 to 3 Dec 1998 2. TV WX Degree 3. Taylor Instruments 4. Severe Weather Conference For Undergraduates 5. COD Severe Weather Conference 1998 Video!!! 6. 1999 Hurricane season outlook. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 09:46:54 -0500 From: Jeff Levine Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1998 to 3 Dec 1998 Automatic digest processor wrote: > > There are 7 messages totalling 250 lines in this issue. > > Topics of the day: > > 1. CLE roboto > 2. My Jacked-up Server... > 3. RealEMWIN v1.0 Released! > 4. desktop weather (2) > 5. Taylor Instruments > 6. TV WX Degree > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 01:44:58 -0500 > From: Chris Taylor > Subject: CLE roboto > > Chris Taylor Wrote: > >>I fIirst heard Roboto in Kansas City, and thought it sounded bad too... The > >>people at CLE have worked a lot on the software to get it sounding as good > >>as it does. I have yet to hear a better rendition of it. That's not to say > >>I like it though... ;-). > > Kevin W. Thomas wrote: > >I heard Mr. Roboto in Cleveland over Thanksgiving. It likes to report > >marine wind speeds in "nuts" (not "knots"). I still don't know what the > >last line of the marine forecast is. > > But I like "nuts" around Thanksgiving! > > The last line refers to the fact that "the forecast is valid at the end of > the fetch", which means the forecast waves will be at the end of distance > over the water which the wind blows... For Lake Erie, a West wind forecast > from Maumee Bay(West end) to Ripley, NY(east end), the "end of the fetch" > would be at Ripley, where the highest waves would be. That's where the > forecast would be valid. Of course, at the west end, the waves would be > smaller, but you must forecast for the worst conditions in the forecast > area... Most bait and tackle shops on the Western Basin of Lake Erie have > this definition posted for the local anglers, and the commercial people > understand it as well. > > >I notice that all zone forecasts are read by a human. Climo reports were > >iniitially Mr. Roboto, but became human by the end of the weekend. > > I learned last night that the zone forecasts will change to Roboto after > the first of the year... And, yes, the climo reports do vary. It seems to > depend on how Roboto is doing. If it doesn't do well with some reports, > they do a human rendition. Isn't this how it's supposed to be done? Or > maybe should be done? > > I still have to say, from what I have heard of Mr. Roboto, CLE is doing as > good job. My initial impressions in Kansas City were not good(1 1/2 yrs > ago....maybe it's better now...). I have heard it in many other areas in a > Mi., In. and Oh., and, IMHO, CLE still sound the best. Again, however, > it's not to say that I, or my 72 year old mother, like it... In fact, my > mother has unplugged the NWS radio because she said she "doesn't want to > listen to a machine"... I'm still working on that one!! ;-) > > 73 > > Chris Taylor > Happy Holidays to All !! > > *************************************************************************** > Chris Taylor Email: chtaylor@ix.netcom.com > Coordinator, NW Ohio Skywarn WWW page:http://www2.netcom.com/~chtaylor/ > Asst. EC, Lucas Co. - Skywarn Packet: N8WGB@W8HHF.#tol.oh.usa.na > NWOhio Skywarn Net page: http://wcnet.org/~n8xsf/Skywarn.html > *************************************************************************** > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 00:36:22 -0700 > From: The White Rat > Subject: My Jacked-up Server... > > Hello All! > > My server has been jacked up for the last 24 hours, so if I > haven't answered anyone or any question sent to me please resend! > > Thanks, > > -- > David > > The Jacober's- David, Melissa & "Stormy" > Pueblo, Colorado, U.S.A. > > DJACOBER@PRODIGY.NET > > "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold > Medal. > Better yet, I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Get Beaten Half To Death By Two > > Ol' Nun's Than To Get Caught Wearing Figure Skates! > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 10:08:43 -0500 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: RealEMWIN v1.0 Released! > > RealEMWIN v1.0 is now ready for download at http://www.skywatch.org > > RealEMWIN is software that connects to a real-time GOES/radio feed of EMWIN > weather wire data. More information on the EMWIN feed itself, as well as > other receiving options, is available at -- > http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/index.htm > > RealEMWIN does NOT need any additional EMWIN software, such as Weathernode > (TM Xenocode) installed, although it can work in as a plugin for WXNode. > > RealEMWIN also works in conjunction with CPager95 to send real-time weather > information to your alphanumberic pager! Download and install CPager from > http://www.pager95.com -- registration only costs $10. > > ======== > The shareware version comes with a 14-day free trial with all features > available. After the expiration, it reverts to shareware with the following > restrictions: > > - Maximum of two alarm settings > - Timeout after 3 hours of operation (although you can restart the > software) > > The registration fee is only $42.95! But for users who mention receiving > this message on the RealEMWIN mailing list it will be reduced to $30. > > To subscribe to the RealEMWIN mailing list, send "subscribe emwin" to > majordomo@skywatch.org" > > Rob > ----------------------------------------------- > Robert P Dale == N8GSK == > http://www.skywatch.org rdale@skywatch.org > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 09:56:01 -0600 > From: Matt Hartman > Subject: desktop weather > > Hi all, > > I was wondering if there is anyone who could help me out with something > here. I've been looking around for about a week now for types of software > (downloadable) that the public can access that can get forecasts and > current weather conditions real-time from the internet. I found a > software program called Wetsock and I did download it, but I seem to be > having a few problems with the program. It won't list any type of current > weather conditions. I know that sometimes these programs require you to > be online at same time in order to download the data as needed, but the > thing is, I'm running on Network connection, so it should be fine. It's > my thinking that Wetsock should have the data. All I get is the > forecasts. The "present weather conditions" line simply says "not > available." > > If there is anyone familiar with the Wetsock Program, it would be greatly > appreciated if you could tell me if there is something I need to do, or > whatever... Or if anyone knows of a similar program that has similar > capabilities, let me know. > > Thanks in advance, > Matt > > ps: Also, I noticed the weather underground telnet now asks for a login > on address: 'madlab.sprl.umich.edu'. Does anyone know if they have > released the Login to the public or if they have switched addresses on us > again? Thanks... > > "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a > conversation if it didn't change once in a while." > --Kin Hubbard > ______________________________________________________________ > |Matt Hartman Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu | > |437 Brandt Hall Sophomore Meteorology Major | > |Valparaiso, IN 46383 EIS Student Consultant | > |Phone: 219-464-5907 | > |**************************************************************| > |http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 | > |______________________________________________________________| > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 14:22:33 -0600 > From: Tim Vasquez > Subject: Re: desktop weather > > At 09:56 AM 12/3/98 -0600, Matt Hartman wrote: > >I was wondering if there is anyone who could help me out with something > >here. I've been looking around for about a week now for types of software > >(downloadable) that the public can access that can get forecasts and > >current weather conditions real-time from the internet. I found a > > Download Digital Atmosphere, from http://www.weathergraphics.com/ . > This program is a de-facto standard when it comes to making surface > and upper air charts under Windows. Through its Internet dropdown > menu, you can access current data sets from different servers (it will > go and fetch the data), and then this information can be plotted graphically > by the program on weather maps. It can also graphically display > warnings, as well as retrieve Internet-based maps by category. It has > a lot of other functions that would be too much to list here. > > Tim Vasquez > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 17:05:12 -0500 > From: David Longley > Subject: Taylor Instruments > > A former teacher of mine has emailed me concerning an old barometer > he has. Apparently the "cans" on this particular Taylor Instruments > aneroid barometer have busted open. He can't find an address or phone > number to contact Taylor and I'm writing to find out if anyone out there > > has had any recent correspondence with the company. He was also > wondering if there was a quick fix to the broken instrument aside from > buying a new one. Any suggestions or help anyone could provide would be > > greatly appreciated. > > On a side note, here in Syracuse, as well as other locations across > the Eastern US, have set a record for the latest first measureable snow > of the season. The old record was December 1, 1966. By the looks of > the new MRF it looks as though we may establish the new record well into > > December. :( > > Dave Longley > Meteorologist, WIXT NewsChannel 9, Syracuse, NY > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:31:13 -0500 > From: Stuart Shepard > Subject: TV WX Degree > > Hello WX Talkers, > > Does anyone know if Iowa State does (or ever did) > offer a degree in "Television Weather"? > > Thanks > > Stuart Shepard > Weather Guru > WLEX-TV > Lexington, Ky > ___________________________________________________________________ > You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. > Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html > or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1998 to 3 Dec 1998 > ************************************************ Taylor Instrument is now listed in the Rochester New York phone book as ABB Instrumentation Inc. Their address is: 1175 John West Henrietta, New York 14586 (716) 292-6050 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 09:44:20 -0600 From: Dennis P Todey Subject: Re: TV WX Degree Iowa State does not and never has offered a degree in TV weather. People majored in meteorology. Or if they could not survive the rigors of it they went to journalism. They had a number of ways of getting TV experience here, particularly prior to 1991 when the university owned the central Iowa ABC affiliate. A large number of people have worked there. The state board of regents forced the University into a fire sale of the station against great opposition. But they still have several internship, etc. opportunities to augment their meteorology degree. Dennis Todey >>>>>>>>> Date: Thu, 3 Dec 1998 18:31:13 -0500 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: TV WX Degree Hello WX Talkers, Does anyone know if Iowa State does (or ever did) offer a degree in "Television Weather"? Thanks Stuart Shepard Weather Guru WLEX-TV Lexington, Ky ___________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________ Dennis Todey Mail: 3010 Agronomy Ag-Meteorology/Climatology Off.: 3403 Agronomy Iowa State University W: 294-7847 H: 733-6123 dptodey@iastate.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 08:45:31 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Taylor Instruments Dave was wonderin' about a barometer from Taylor Instruments: > A former teacher of mine has emailed me concerning an old barometer >he has. Apparently the "cans" on this particular Taylor Instruments >aneroid barometer have busted open. He can't find an address or phone >number to contact Taylor and I'm writing to find out if anyone out there >has had any recent correspondence with the company. He was also >wondering if there was a quick fix to the broken instrument aside from >buying a new one. Any suggestions or help anyone could provide would be >greatly appreciated. ============================================ Taylor Precision Products L.P. Alt FKA - Taylor Environmental Instruments, Inc. FKA - Taylor Instruments, Inc. PMW - Ohio Thermometer Co. Address Taylor Precision Products L.P. 2311 West 22nd St., Suite 103 Oak Brook, IL 60523 Tel 630-954-1250 Fax: 630-954-1275 ============================= Dave also mentioned a record for latest first snow: > On a side note, here in Syracuse, as well as other locations across >the Eastern US, have set a record for the latest first measureable snow >of the season. The old record was December 1, 1966. By the looks of >the new MRF it looks as though we may establish the new record well into Here in Livermore, California we're also working on a similar record. It's been 1,500 years since our last measurable snow. 8-) Frank /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Risk Sciences Group Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-metdat.llnl.gov/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 14:51:14 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Severe Weather Conference For Undergraduates Before everyone goes into holiday mode in the next few weeks I want to announce that College of DuPage will be sponsoring the second annual Severe Weather Conference for Undergraduates! Because of great success last year, we have decided to do another and incorporating some lessons learned from last year. The conference will be held Thursday, April 8 through Saturday April 10 at the College of DuPage campus in Glen Ellyn, Illinois (about 25 miles west of Chicago). Student rates will be a maximum of $70 for students (slightly more for non-students) and will include break refreshments, two lunches and a dinner banquet. Local hotels have offered some rate discounts for attendees of the conference. Changes to this year's program include more hands-on activities, more time to interact with other students and workshop presenters, and a Thursday night video and slides program featuring attendees' experiences in storm chasing. We will also provide on-line material for attendees to peruse ahead of time, helping provide prerequisite information to help everyone receive the maximum benefit form the conference. Some teachers may want to take advantage of some of the material in courses they will be offering in forecasting or mesoscale meteorology. This will be a great chance to come together and learn from some experts in severe storms and mesoscale meteorology. This year's speakers will include a top researchers and operational meteorologists from around the country who will share cutting edge information about severe weather forecasting, research and observation. A tentative list has already been assembled and will be announced as soon as confirmation can be made. More information will be given to you including registration information early next year. Mark it on your calendar! Paul L. Sirvatka Professor of Meteorology ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 15:43:41 -0600 From: sebenste gilbert l Subject: COD Severe Weather Conference 1998 Video!!! Everyone, Obviously you just saw the announcement for Paul Sirvatka for the 1999 College of DuPage Severe Weather Conference, but I have just produced their 1998 conference for video! It was amazing, with Ron Pryzbylinski from the Weather Service Forecast Office in St. Louis, MO; Greg Stumpf and Chuck Doswell from the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL); Roger Edwards and Rich Thompson from the Storm Prediction Center; Al Moller from the Weather Service Forecast office in Dallas/Fort Worth, TX; and finally, the conference wrapped up with the keynote speaker being Erik Rasmussen from NSSL talking about findings (so far) from project VORTEX. Thanks to the College of DuPage for their help in the production equipment and personnel to produce the video and make copies, as well as all the speakers who are letting this go out to all who want to learn more about severe storms and severe weather forecasting. Paul Sirvatka and Eric Nelson will be the contact people at the College of DuPage for ordering copies of the videos. They will be approximately $10, shipping and handling included(!!!), so that everyone who wants to advance their understanding of storms by some of the world's greatest severe weather meteorologists can now do so at a reasonable price. This video is geared for the junior level in college, but EVERYONE who considers him/herself to be a storm chaser should get this hands down. The more people who order, the less it will cost because the more copies we make, the cheaper each one will go for. COD isn't making a profit; they are selling these at cost, and I donated my video equipment, time and effort to produce this video for free to them so that as many severe weather junkies as possible could afford to get it. Knowledge of how to read and/or analyze a sounding and basic weather data (such as surface weather maps with station plots), and...well, I'll just say at least basic understanding of NGM DiFAX analyses, forecast maps and such are assumed. If you are a chaser, in a met school on your way to getting your degree, YOU GOTTA GET THIS! Just ask some of the people who were there this year (can't wait until the one next year)! For exact pricing/how to get the video, etc., please contact Paul Sirvatka (sirvatka@weather.cod.edu) or his lab assistant, Eric Nelson (enelson@weather.cod.edu) and they will tell you what the exact cost is, where to send the money, if your preferred method of payment is OK, etc. Want to see what the topics are, to make sure you can handle it? See: http://weather.cod.edu/svr-conf/confrvw.html Due to technical difficulties (job changes and so forth) I didn't have time this summer to produce this, but in October and November, I finally did, and I took the time to do it right. I hope you all enjoy it! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: ef0gls1@corn.cso.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Dec 1998 18:08:17 -0500 From: Jim Leonard Subject: 1999 Hurricane season outlook. Today William Gray has released his 1999 Hurricane season forecast for the Atlantic basin. http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/1999/fcst99/ -- Jim Leonard http://pw1.netcom.com/~jmlcat-5/index.html jmlcat-5@ix.netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Dec 1998 to 4 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Sun Dec 06 14:18:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4617 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626725-22685>; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 14:05:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA19784; Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:03:49 -0600 Message-Id: <199812060603.AAA19784@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Dec 1998 to 5 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b34d6177e23494e374e9349b9e2338c4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 77 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. METAR Help (2) 2. desktop weather +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 05:29:56 -0600 From: John Lamb Subject: METAR Help I saw this in the 5AM METAR for Minneapolis/St. Paul Int'l. KMSP 051055Z 15005KT M1/4SM R30L/5000VP6000FT FG FEW003 SCT006 OVC110 11/11 A2965 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1 SLP043 SFC VIS 1/8 T01060106= I understand it all except for the 5000V *P* 6000FT. I know it's 5000' variable to something. Greater than 6000' is my assumption. Thanks for the help. Back to lurking... John ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 08:36:29 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: METAR Help >KMSP 051055Z 15005KT M1/4SM R30L/5000VP6000FT FG FEW003 SCT006 > OVC110 11/11 A2965 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1 SLP043 SFC VIS 1/8 > T01060106= > >I understand it all except for the 5000V *P* 6000FT. John, R30L/5000VP6000FT is a runway visual range entry. It is: runway = 30L visibility = 5000ft varying to over 6000ft The "V" is varying and the "P" is greater than. The other possibility is "M" which is less than. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Dec 1998 10:54:26 -0600 From: N9NPP Subject: Re: desktop weather i use winweather 3.0 from http://www.igsnet.com/index.html it updates as fast as every 5 minutes. matt/n9npp Matt Hartman wrote: > Hi all, > > I was wondering if there is anyone who could help me out with something > here. I've been looking around for about a week now for types of software > (downloadable) that the public can access that can get forecasts and > current weather conditions real-time from the internet. I found a > software program called Wetsock and I did download it, but I seem to be ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Dec 1998 to 5 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Mon Dec 07 16:04:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626987-3880>; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 14:07:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16416; Mon, 7 Dec 1998 00:03:56 -0600 Message-Id: <199812070603.AAA16416@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 00:00:15 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Dec 1998 to 6 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b912978d61bf44aa8234bdc53b783093 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 132 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Taylor Instruments 2. Dr. Ted Fujita 3. request for rescources +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 08:03:06 -0600 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Re: Taylor Instruments RE: Taylor Instruments BY: David Longley þ> On a side note, here in Syracuse, as well as other locations across þ> the Eastern US, have set a record for the latest first measureable snow þ> of the season. The old record was December 1, 1966. By the looks of þ> the new MRF it looks as though we may establish the new record well into Feels like spring to me over here in the eastern US. I live in Maryland, where it has been in the 70s for the past several days now. It is going into the UPPER 70s today! That is just about 30 degrees above normal for this time of year. More normal temps expected after Tuesday of this week. For us to get any snow, we need MUCH colder temps. We aren't even close yet. - Mark weather@bcpl.net ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Weather Station (410) 569-8215 * WWIVnet@8304 FILEnet@282 Fido(1:261/1304)- ---------------------------- Bel Air, Maryland ------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 09:58:36 -0500 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Dr. Ted Fujita An upcoming issue of STORMTRACK MAGAZINE will feature the life of Dr. Ted Fujita. I would like to hear from anyone especially those of you who met or worked with him. I have several photographs of him but could use more. Please submit your comments or photos to me. Also, please let me know if anyone has the email addresses for Brian Smith, Greg Forbes, Duane Steigler, or Roger Wakimoto. Thanks. Tim Marshall, email: 105566.1564@Compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:40:34 -0500 From: amykathryn Subject: request for rescources This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------5FD493F5EF5 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit My name is Amy Kelley. I am a graduate student at Syracuse University, working on my Master's in Library Science. I am currently compiling an Infoguide for one of my classes. My topic is weather education for K-12. The purpose of the guide is to provide a comprehensive resource for anyone involved in weather education. The final product will be posted on the askERIC (Educational Resources Information Center) Web site. Although I have found many sources already, I would appreciate any suggestions that people on this list might like to make. I could especially use leads on listservs, newsgroups, videos, and magazines geared for kids (any age) Thanks in advance for any help. Amy Kelley amykathryn@earthlink.net Information Studies Distance Learning Program Syracuse University --------------5FD493F5EF5 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii; name="ithome" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="ithome" Content-Base: "http://ericir.syr.edu/ithome" ERIC Clearinghouse on Information & Technology (ERIC/IT)

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--------------5FD493F5EF5-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Dec 1998 to 6 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Tue Dec 08 14:18:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1178 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627634-8556>; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 14:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA21882; Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:07:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199812080607.AAA21882@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 00:00:37 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Dec 1998 to 7 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c2dc2a5a0f852091813afd3dfe29a9a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 498 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Request for resources 2. Resources for K-12 on Weather 3. Dr. Gray et al. '99 Hurricane Season Prognostication 4. Dr. Gray et al. Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Verification 5. GOES-8 imagery of Popocatepetl volcano eruption 6. Digital Atmosphere... (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 03:12:28 -0600 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: Request for resources At 12:00 AM 12/7/1998 -0600, Amy Kelley wrote: >Date: Sun, 6 Dec 1998 12:40:34 -0500 >From: amykathryn >Subject: request for rescources > >My name is Amy Kelley. I am a graduate student at Syracuse University, >working on my Master's in Library Science. I am currently compiling an >Infoguide for one of my classes. My topic is weather education for K-12. >The purpose of the guide is to provide a comprehensive resource for >anyone involved in weather education. Here, I assume you mean at the K-12 level. It gets a lot more complex at the University level... > The final product will be posted >on the askERIC (Educational Resources Information Center) Web site. >Although I have found many sources already, I would appreciate any >suggestions that people on this list might like to make. I could >especially use leads on listservs, newsgroups, videos, and magazines >geared for kids (any age) > >Thanks in advance for any help. > >Amy Kelley amykathryn@earthlink.net >Information Studies Distance Learning Program >Syracuse University Amy... I strongly suggest you contact the American Meteorological Society at: They have a strong program in support of weather education for K-12 and would probably be very happy to give you all the assistance you'd like. There are literally volumes of published research on this topic! If you have already contacted the AMS, I rest my case. Cheers! And good luck with this most worthy project! Please let me know when you have posted the final work to the web page. I would be interested in linking to it. Jim *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 08:45:22 -0500 From: James Aman Subject: Resources for K-12 on Weather Amy: There are many, many fine programs out there that utilize weather as a teacher tool for all sorts of K-12 curriculum. Some of the big ones are the AMS Project DataStreme, the BlueSkies program out of UMich, the GLOBE program that's run I believe by NASA. Here are some good URL's to check for resources: http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/edu.html http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/educate.htm And last (but hopefully not least) the company that I work for sells school weather stations that come with complete curriculum guides. We have an installed base now approaching 3000 units nationwide, with over 700 of these sites reporting LIVE weather data on the Internet. Check out the page listed in my signature below. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:41:51 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Dr. Gray et al. '99 Hurricane Season Prognostication Hi Weather-talkers, COLORADO STATE HURRICANE FORECAST TEAM PREDICTS ACTIVE 1999 SEASON WITH NEARLY DOUBLE THE CHANCE OF A MAJOR HURRICANE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST [ NOTE: Full version with figures at: ] [ http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html ] FORT COLLINS--The Colorado State University hurricane forecast team led by William Gray, a nationally recognized expert on tropical storms, is calling for a 1999 season as active as the one that just ended. During the June 1-Nov. 30, 1999, season, Gray and his colleagues are predicting that 14 named storms, nine hurricanes and four intense hurricanes will form in the Atlantic Basin. In addition, the forecast suggests the U.S. Atlantic coast has nearly twice the chance of being hit by a major hurricane with winds of 111 mph or above compared with long-term averages, while the Gulf Coast faces a 168 percent greater probability of landfall by a major hurricane. The probability of a Caribbean Basin major storm landfall is similar to that of the U.S. East Coast. (A more detailed description of these landfall probabilities for the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf coasts for 1999 will be listed on the Web at the site given above on Dec. 10.) "We expect a season nearly as active as this year's (1998)," Gray said. "Of particular importance is our prediction that four intense hurricanes will form. Major hurricanes, on a statistical basis, cause the majority of hurricane-spawned destruction. "We feel the 1999 season will be comparable to the one just past and not too much weaker than the 1995 and 1996 seasons, both of which were very busy," Gray said. "Climatic evidence strongly suggests that we are embarking on a new era of enhanced major hurricane activity." The 1999 season also should produce more low-latitude storms, between 10 and 23 degrees north, that will affect the Caribbean. In active seasons such as the one that Gray's team is projecting, there is a higher occurrence of low-latitude major hurricanes. The predicted 14 tropical storms, nine hurricanes and four intense hurricanes compare to 14, 10 and three that occurred in 1998. Long-term statistical averages yield 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.2 intense hurricanes annually. The four-year period from 1995-98 was the most active four consecutive years of hurricane activity on record, Gray said, yielding 53 named storms, 33 hurricanes and 15 major hurricanes. Gray and his associates believe this signals the beginning of a "new era" of more major hurricane activity and more intense-storm landfalls along the East Coast and in the Caribbean Basin. The periods 1900-25 and 1970-94 were relatively quiescent in terms of major hurricane activity, Gray said, while seasons from the early 1930s through the late 1960s generally were more active and more intense storms lashed the Atlantic coast. He attributes this to a phenomenon called the Atlantic Ocean thermohaline circulation system, or Atlantic conveyor belt, which moves waters northward from the vicinity of the Caribbean to an area east of Greenland. There, the current sinks to deep levels, moves southward and flows into the South Atlantic Ocean and beyond. Warm water and high salinity in the conveyor belt strengthen it, producing more active hurricane seasons and more major landfalling storms (Saffir-Simpson category 3-5 storms with winds of 111 mph or above) along the eastern seaboard, Gray said. "This ocean circulation, a northbound current that sinks and then moves southbound, tends to go through multi-decadal changes," Gray said. "We believe the Atlantic conveyor belt became stronger between 1994 and 1995, as we interpret the data. "This in turn has led to a number of Atlantic Ocean and global oceanic circulation changes that have brought on more major storms during the past four years. The pattern is very similar to what was occurring in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s." Gray pointed out that while the predicted 1999 season would be nearly twice as active as the long-term average in terms of major hurricanes, projected intense storm activity is even higher than this when compared with the relatively quiet quarter-century beginning in 1970. The actual number of "weaker" storms - named storms and those in Saffir-Simpson categories 1 and 2, with winds up to 110 mph - aren't likely to increase dramatically, Gray said, but the number of intense storms is expected to rise because a stronger Atlantic conveyor belt is now in place. "Our concern is that, because of the population buildup along the U.S. East Coast, property damage could be severe, since Saffir-Simpson category 3, 4 and 5 storms comprise only about one-quarter of all landfalling named storms but cause more than 80 percent of all property damage," Gray said. "People should take precautions, buy hurricane insurance and, of course, listen to emergency management instructions. This country's warning system is good enough to prevent loss of life if residents of affected areas take those warnings seriously and follow instructions." Gray and co-authors Chris Landsea, Paul Mielke, Kenneth Berry and other project colleagues use a variety of climatic factors in their forecasts. Those positive indications dominating the 1999 season appear to be stratospheric winds, continuing warm North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and persistent La Nina conditions. * The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation consists of winds high in the atmosphere over the earth's equatorial regions that reverse themselves approximately every two years. When these stratospheric winds blow from the west, as they are projected to do for 1999, an enhancing effect on hurricane activity, especially major hurricanes, occurs. * Conditions are favorable for a continuation of cold-water conditions known as La Nina in the western equatorial Pacific, a situation likely to promote an active hurricane season in 1999. * The strongest pattern in three decades of relatively high North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and increased salinity suggests that the changes observed beginning in 1995 signal a continuance of a strong Atlantic conveyor belt circulation, bringing with it the chance for more intense hurricanes along the Atlantic coast. There is a chance this enhanced period could continue for two or more decades, Gray believes. Other factors and their expected effects are a ridge of barometric high pressure called the Azores High, which now is neutral; warmer Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that will enhance 1999 hurricane activity; two measures of west African rainfall which are neutral; and mid-latitude over-ocean wind patterns, which combine to suggest an enhanced effect on Atlantic hurricanes in the coming year. GRAY RESEARCH TEAM HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 1999 SEASON Initial December Forecast Named Storms (9.3)* 14 Named Storm Days (46.9) 65 Hurricanes (5.8) 9 Hurricane Days (23.7) 40 Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 4 Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 10 Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 130 Maximum Potential Destruction (61.7) 130 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 160 * Number in ( ) represents average year totals based on 1950-1990 data . ** Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind- and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category on the Saffir-Simpson scale. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Any meteorologist not familiar with oil, should first catch a shark, try-out its liver, bottle a portion of the oil in a phial, well cork, then hang in a shady place -- and THROW AWAY HIS INSTRUMENTS AND WEATHER CHARTS. Clear oil indicates fine weather, -- when thick, bad weather -- when solid, look out for a hurricane, a hundred and twenty mile breeze that would suck a well out of the ground." --- E.H.T., The Royal Gazette of Bermuda, October 10, 1932 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 13:40:57 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Dr. Gray et al. Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Verification Hi Weather-talkers, 1998 HURRICANE SEASON PROBABLY A TASTE OF SEASONS TO COME; NEAR-AVERAGE PREDICTIONS FELL SHORT OF ACTUAL STORM ACTIVITY [ NOTE: Full version with figures at: ] [ http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html ] [ This version altered on December 6th, 1998 to include ] [ information on Hurricane Nicole. ] FORT COLLINS--If the theory of Colorado State University hurricane forecaster William Gray and his associates is correct, the 14 Atlantic Basin storms that occurred this year are just a harbinger of hurricane seasons to come in the next few decades. Gray believes certain climate phenomena indicate a return to conditions prevalent from the early 1930s to the late 1960s, when hurricane seasons had more intense or major storms along the U.S. East Coast. The 25 years between 1970-94 were relatively quiet, records show, but the upsurge in numbers and intensity since 1995 is likely to continue. A professor of atmospheric sciences who has been issuing his forecasts for 15 years, Gray and his colleagues underestimated the number of storms for this season. However, beginning with the December 1997 forecast, the updated forecast continually increased the number of storms and overall hurricane activity. "We forecast a slightly-above-average year for 1998 based on climate data that has proven accurate in the past," Gray said. "Easterly stratospheric winds, west African rainfall and the remnants of last year's El Nino all led us to think this season would be only slightly above average." Current climate signals indicate that 1999 also will be very active. The initial 1999 forecast will be issued Dec. 4 with updates in early April, early June and early August of 1999. This season was the most destructive on record in terms of loss of life and property damage in the Caribbean basin because of hurricanes Georges and Mitch, according to Gray. In addition, an unusual number of storms - three hurricanes and four tropical storms - made landfall along the U.S. coastline. Only 1916, with nine, and 1985, with eight, had more named storms impacting the United States, he said. "We were lucky because none of these seven named storms was of major hurricane intensity," Gray said, although hurricanes Bonnie and Georges approached major-storm status. Despite greatly reduced hurricane activity in 1997 due to the strongest El Nino on record, the years 1995-98 have been the most active four-year period of hurricane activity since the advent of accurate records in the mid-1940s. The four consecutive years have spawned 53 named storms, 33 hurricanes and 15 major hurricanes. Gray believes this stems in part from a phenomenon called the Atlantic Ocean thermohaline circulation, which moves Atlantic waters northward from the vicinity of the Caribbean to an area east of Greenland. There, the current sinks to deep levels, moves southward and flows into the South Atlantic Ocean and beyond. Warm water in the conveyor belt - perhaps one degree Fahrenheit above the average North Atlantic sea surface temperature of about 45 Fahrenheit in the regions west of the British Isles - is associated with more intense hurricanes and more major (Saffir-Simpson category 3-5 storms with winds of 111 mph or above) landfalling storms along the eastern seaboard, Gray said. Cool water and low salinity tend to dampen this ocean circulation and hurricane activity. Despite the team's belief that hurricane activity is increasing, team members called for numbers only slightly above average this year. The 1998 season predicted 10 named storms, six hurricanes and two intense hurricanes in their third and final update issued in August. The actual season total was 14 named storms (Nicole was a late-season Eastern Atlantic anomaly), nine hurricanes and three intense hurricanes. Long-term statistical averages yield 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.2 intense hurricanes annually. "We didn't anticipate such an active season," Gray said. "Given the variables we had and prior historical records, there is no way we could have predicted such an active hurricane season. "Hurricane Mitch, which wrecked such devastation on Central America, was the strongest late-season storm on record," he said. Gray and research team members Chris Landsea, Paul Mielke and Kenneth Berry rely primarily on the following factors to issue their forecasts: the strength or weakness of El Nino; the direction of equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000-75,000 feet; rainfall in the West African Sahel region; temperature and pressure readings in West Africa; Caribbean Sea-level pressure readings; Atlantic sea-surface temperature readings; tropospheric winds at 40,000 feet; and pressure readings in the northeast Atlantic. Gray said three key signals led the team to expect a much less active season in 1998 than what actually took place, including: * Easterly winds from the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, a stratospheric, equatorial wind pattern that shifts direction every 26 to 30 months. Easterly winds tend to inhibit tropical storm formation. * A very dry season in the Sahel region of West Africa in both 1997 and through July 1998. Dry conditions historically are linked with relatively few tropical storms. * Residual El Nino effects in the eastern equatorial Pacific through July. Westerly winds from El Nino tend to shear the tops off tropical depressions and prevent them from becoming full-fledged storms. "Our research shows that while we improve on climatology most of the time, 10 to 20 percent or so of our forecasts will fail," Gray said. "The 1998 forecast fell short because global circulation variables that had good predictive value in prior years just didn't work this time. "Next year we'll be calling for above-average hurricane activity, and we believe this is a reflection of the new hurricane era we entered in 1995. We expect this trend to continue for the next few decades." HURRICANE FORECASTS--1998 SEASON ACTUAL 8/98 6/98 4/98 12/97 1. Named Storms (9.3)* 14 10 10 10 9 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 84 50 50 50 40 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 10 6 6 6 5 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 49 25 25 20 20 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 3 2 2 2 2 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 9 5 4 4 3 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6)** 145 75 70 65 50 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 173% 110% 100% 95% 90% * Number in ( ) represents average year totals based on 1950-1990. ** Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind- and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category on the Saffir-Simpson scale. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "The time is probably not far distant when all the great Tropical Storms of each Hurricane season will be treated as they occur, and when seamen, FOREWARNED of their danger, may be saved from some at least of the many dangers of their hazardous profession constantly exposes them to." --- The Royal Gazette of Bermuda, August 1843 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 19:30:55 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: GOES-8 imagery of Popocatepetl volcano eruption GOES Enthusiasts, The Popocatepetl volcano southeast of Mexico City began erupting again last week, including an event on Friday 04 December. GOES-8 visible, shortwave IR, and "split window" IR imagery are available on the CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/981204.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier University of Wisconsin - Madison | SSEC | CIMSS mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 22:02:44 -0500 From: Matt Hartman Subject: Digital Atmosphere... Hey all, Your probably all sick of me asking about these weather software programs, but one more question... I downloaded Digital Atmosphere from www.weatherimages.com and I got the program up and running, and I can bring up all images from the web, but there are alot of functions that will simply not work. Everytime I go to plot station obs I get the list of available times I can choose from, but it says I have no available times to choose from. I get the same thing with model output along with several other data sets. I don't know if I have something screwed up or if I'm not doing it right. I've tried retrieving data and plotting it thru importing the file, but that won't work either. I'm not sure what is wrong. Please, if anyone is prolific with the uses of Digital Atmosphere, I would honored to hear your imput on some of my problems. thanks in advance! Hartman "Don't knock the weather, nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while." --Kin Hubbard ______________________________________________________________ |Matt Hartman Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu | |437 Brandt Hall Sophomore Meteorology Major | |Valparaiso, IN 46383 EIS Student Consultant | |Phone: 219-464-5907 | |**************************************************************| |http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad/5670 | |______________________________________________________________| ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Dec 1998 22:24:01 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: Digital Atmosphere... At 10:02 PM 12/7/98 -0500, Matt.Hartman@valpo.edu wrote: >but one more question... I downloaded Digital Atmosphere from >www.weatherimages.com and I got the program up and running, and I can >bring up all images from the web, but there are alot of functions that >will simply not work. Everytime I go to plot station obs I get the list Hi Matt, The problem you're seeing with Digital Atmosphere actually has a pretty simple cure -- you just need a set of raw data. The easiest way to do that is to go into your program, click on Internet, then click Retrieve Data, and make sure "Surface Metar (from NWS)" is the only item checked. Then click the Retrieve Data button. When that's done, click on File, then Import Directory. This will give you a set of new data to play around with. You can plot it, contour it, and so on. Model output can be done the same way by choosing NGM or ETA Model Output in the list and importing again. Just make sure to change the "Active Level" on the Status Panel to NGM or ETA right before you plot or contour. The whole procedure is a little strange at first, but quite simple once you've got the hang of it. Digital Atmosphere's official page (at http://www.weathergraphics.com/ ) has an updated Internet panel patch that will give you even more data resources to use. Tim Vasquez Norman, OK ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Dec 1998 to 7 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Wed Dec 09 14:14:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2071 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626884-17320>; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 14:03:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25912; Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:03:30 -0600 Message-Id: <199812090603.AAA25912@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Dec 1998 00:00:10 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Dec 1998 to 8 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3844780d4b50ba1d6705a6089f4b00c1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 67 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Training Tapes 2. request for rescources 3. The Weather Notebook +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 04:44:40 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Training Tapes SKYWARN Spotter Training Tapes are available through The Storm Shop. Go to: http://www.thestormshop.com/ We also offer storm chase adventure tapes, books and photos. Happy Holidays! Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 07:43:03 -0600 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: request for rescources Amy Kelley wrote: >My name is Amy Kelley. I am a graduate student at Syracuse University, >working on my Master's in Library Science. I am currently compiling an >Infoguide for one of my classes. My topic is weather education for K-12. >The purpose of the guide is to provide a comprehensive resource for >anyone involved in weather education. The final product will be posted >on the askERIC (Educational Resources Information Center) Web site. >Although I have found many sources already, I would appreciate any >suggestions that people on this list might like to make. I could >especially use leads on listservs, newsgroups, videos, and magazines >geared for kids (any age) Try , which is the EARTHSTORM K-12 educational outreach program of the Oklahoma Climatological Survey. Gayland Kitch KC5MMU Emergency Management & Communications The City of Moore, Oklahoma gkitch@ci.moore.ok.us ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 18:05:28 -0600 From: John Oldshue Subject: The Weather Notebook The Weather Company has introduced The Weather Notebook. The Weather Notebook is a historical database of past significant weather events. It includes a history of major tornadoes, blizzards, hurricanes, and everything and anything else related to weather. It is available free via daily e-mail. You can subscribe by visiting this page http://theweathercompany.com/subscribeme.html Sincerely, John Oldshue Vice-President The Weather Company ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Dec 1998 to 8 Dec 1998 ************************************************ From - Fri Dec 11 16:35:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627016-10553>; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 14:06:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26410; Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:05:45 -0600 Message-Id: <199812110605.AAA26410@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 00:01:27 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Dec 1998 to 10 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8abd908c76707d60c59aa2869e07fd69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 154 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ADMINISTRIVIA: END OF YEAR REMINDER 2. four furricanes at once (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 10:53:15 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: END OF YEAR REMINDER Many of you will be leaving (or at least leaving the net) for the upcoming holidays. I want to wish everyone a happy and safe time. I also want to remind you to unsubscribe from the lists if you won't be reading your mail. You can always visit the FTP archives to catch up on any hot debates when you return. Some of you have encountered problems trying to subscribe/unsubscribe or change options in the past because your e-mail address didn't exactly match the one you had when your originally subscribed. Instead of waiting until the last second to unsubscribe or set NOMAIL, please consider submitting your changes at least one day before you leave. That way, if there *are* problems, you still have time to e-mail me and I can help. As always, if mail starts bouncing back to me I'll try to send a message informing you of the problem. If my test message bounces, however, I'll delete all your subscriptions without notice (as the notices would bounce back to me too). The WX-ATLAN list is automatically programmed to send out renewal notices on 12/31. People should have two weeks to respond but LISTSERV has, in the past, sent out notices telling people they have been dropped instead of notices asking them to renew. If this problem still exists it's out of my hands. If you accidentally get dropped feel free to resubscribe. If you need my help just e-mail me. To unsubscribe from a group send e-mail to listserv@po.uiuc.edu with: unsub for example... unsub wx-talk unsub wx-chase unsub wx-storm To unsubscribe from everything, use the command: unsub * To resubscribe send e-mail the command is: sub YourFirstName YourLastName To stay subscribed but to temporarily stop receiving mail, send e-mail to listserv@po.uiuc.edu with: set nomail For example: set wx-talk nomail To set NOMAIL for everything, use the command: set * nomail When you return, send e-mail to listserv@po.uiuc.edu with: set mail (for lists with individual mailings) or set digest (for lists that support single, digested, modes) Most LISTSERV commands require confirmation. For example, if you attempt to unsubscribe LISTSERV will send you a message asking you to confirm your request. In that message there will be a six digit code (like 1A2B3C) in the subject line. To confirm the request, send a new piece of e-mail to listserv@po.uiuc.edu with: ok For example: ok 1A2B3C You should receive a message from LISTSERV saying your original request (unsubscribe or whatever) has been processed. If you encounter any problems or have any questions please e-mail me. ..Chris.. :-) *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 21:05:49 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: four furricanes at once Wx-Talkers, I read the 1998 Hurricane Season in Review article in the November 29-30 Wx-Talk. It said that on September 25 of this year, there were four hurricanes (Georges, Ivan, Jeanne, and Karl) in the Atlantic Ocean, which is the first time that this has occurred since 1893. My question is, how do meteorologists know for certain that there were four hurricanes existing simultaneously in 1893? Did the reports come from ships? How accurate were the anemometers? It would seem that this 1893 report should be viewed with skepticism. --Shawn Trueman Sandusky, Ohio ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:54:33 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: four furricanes at once You mean...YOU have hyper pussycats, TOO?!! :-) (Sorry. I couldn't resist the opportunity on that typo, there. 8-) ) I have two furricanes, myself: Muffin and Raisen. Raisen likes to make sure that all my paperwork worked on on the previous day look like they've absolutely, positively been through a vortex overnight. 8-O she usually does this when I'm sleeping. I dream of noises somewhat akin to walls being ripped off of homes in a vortex, and wake up suddenly realizing that that was no vortex; but my CAT - slowly, surely, piece by piece, ripping my paperwork apart. ;-) I usually wake up with tidbits of paper strewned all about my floor. For this reason, unless i DON'T want someone to see what I'm working on, I do not leave my paperwork lying about for her to have at. On the other hand, she makes a good shredder. I know I don't have to waste money on buying one. :) (Maybe I should get into that as a business or something. Anyone have paperwork they need shredded? I use an ecologically sound, non-ecology-harming method, here. With no chloro-flourocarbons used at all in the process. DOESN'T EVEN USE BATTERIES! Although, it does occasionally need a replenishment of `9-Lives' now and then.) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Chicken* -- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | | * This means while you're chasing, I'm driving the other way. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Dec 1998 to 10 Dec 1998 ************************************************* From - Sat Dec 12 14:42:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1642 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627699-13565>; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 14:05:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26592; Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:04:28 -0600 Message-Id: <199812120604.AAA26592@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 00:00:11 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Dec 1998 to 11 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e6648525c724d95018e9de2308c79bb1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 7 messages totalling 266 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Four Hurricanes At Once 2. Mars Climate Orbiter 3. WX-TALK Digest - 8 Dec 1998 to 10 Dec 1998 4. four furricanes at once (2) 5. Starving for snow? 6. Changes In Air Force Weather +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:50:42 EST From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Four Hurricanes At Once That is a very interesting question. I mean we didn't have the satellite technology that we do today to detect these storms. As a matter of fact, most of the technology used for weather was created since 1893. So, that fact may not be accurate. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 10:06:00 -0500 From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: Mars Climate Orbiter Wx-talkers: The Mars Climate Orbiter may be of interest to the group.... MEDIA RELATIONS OFFICE JET PROPULSION LABORATORY CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION PASADENA, CALIF. 91109. TELEPHONE (818) 354-5011 http://www.jpl.nasa.gov MARS CLIMATE ORBITER LAUNCH STATUS December 10, 1998 NASA's Mars Climate Orbiter, to be launched atop a Delta II rocket, has been cleared for launch on Friday, December 11. The software controlling the spacecraft's electrical system, which caused a one-day launch delay, has been reviewed and a recommended change is being made today. The launch opportunities on Friday open at 1:45:51 p.m. and 2:52:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (EST). The launch weather officer predicts a 30-percent chance of not meeting the launch weather criteria on Friday. There is the possibility of an isolated shower in the vicinity and some concern over clouds in the area or in the Delta's flight path at the time of launch. NASA Television coverage of the launch will begin at 12:30 p.m. EST and will be shared with coverage of international space station mission activities. However, audio coverage of the Mars Climate Orbiter launch will be available continuously on the following phone numbers: (407) 867-1260, (407) 867-7135, (407) 867-4003 and (407) 867-4920. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Raytheon ITSS Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 11:26:54 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Dec 1998 to 10 Dec 1998 > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 21:05:49 -0500 > From: Shawn Trueman > Subject: four furricanes at once > > Wx-Talkers, > > I read the 1998 Hurricane Season in Review article in the November 29-30 > Wx-Talk. It said that on September 25 of this year, there were four > hurricanes (Georges, Ivan, Jeanne, and Karl) in the Atlantic Ocean, which > is the first time that this has occurred since 1893. My question is, how > do meteorologists know for certain that there were four hurricanes existing > simultaneously in 1893? Did the reports come from ships? How accurate > were the anemometers? It would seem that this 1893 report should be viewed > with skepticism. > > > --Shawn Trueman > Sandusky, Ohio > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 10 Dec 1998 23:54:33 -0500 > From: "Todd L. Sherman" > Subject: Re: four furricanes at once > > You mean...YOU have hyper pussycats, TOO?!! :-) > > (Sorry. I couldn't resist the opportunity on that typo, there. 8-) ) > > I have two furricanes, myself: Muffin and Raisen. Raisen likes to make > sure that all my paperwork worked on on the previous day look like they've > absolutely, positively been through a vortex overnight. 8-O she usually > does this when I'm sleeping. I dream of noises somewhat akin to walls being > ripped off of homes in a vortex, and wake up suddenly realizing that that > was no vortex; but my CAT - slowly, surely, piece by piece, ripping my > paperwork apart. ;-) I usually wake up with tidbits of paper strewned all > about my floor. For this reason, unless i DON'T want someone to see what > I'm working on, I do not leave my paperwork lying about for her to have at. > On the other hand, she makes a good shredder. I know I don't have to waste > money on buying one. :) (Maybe I should get into that as a business or > something. Anyone have paperwork they need shredded? I use an ecologically > sound, non-ecology-harming method, here. With no chloro-flourocarbons used > at all in the process. DOESN'T EVEN USE BATTERIES! Although, it does > occasionally need a replenishment of `9-Lives' now and then.) > > Todd > > /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ > | Todd Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Chicken* -- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | > | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | > | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | > | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | > | * This means while you're chasing, I'm driving the other way. | > \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > > ------------------------------ As Todd humorously pointed out, that should be "hurricanes" in the subject line. Maybe my typing skills should be viewed with skepticism, too. --Shawn Trueman ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 09:32:33 -0700 From: Bob Henson Subject: Re: four furricanes at once Shawn Trueman wrote: > ...which is the first time that this has occurred since 1893. My question is, how > do meteorologists know for certain that there were four hurricanes existing > simultaneously in 1893? I don't know for sure, but my guess is that the records begin in 1893. This is another example of the perils of the common practice of stating an all-time record in terms of the period of record, e.g., "Today was the hottest December 11 in Springfield since 1902" when people don't realize that the records began in 1902, and thus it may have been many years earlier when it was last hotter on Dec. 11. One solution to this it to insert the following when apropos: "Today was the hottest December 11 in Springfield since records began in 1902." PS: Would a severe furricane be considered a Cat. 5? :-) --Bob Henson UCAR Communications Univ. Corp. for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 11:44:45 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Starving for snow? While most of the country has forgotten what the white stuff looks like... not the same in Texas ;> SXUS99 KMAF 111640 RERMAF RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX 1037 AM CST FRI DEC 11 1998 ...RECORD 24-HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL REPORTED AT MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. THE 1030 AM CST SNOWFALL REPORT AT THE MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WAS 8 INCHES. THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 6.8 INCHES RECORDED JANUARY 23-24 1974 AND BREAKS THE RECORD /7 INCHES/ TOTAL SNOWFALL FROM ONE SINGLE EVENT. THIS ALSO TIES THE 10TH HEAVIEST ANNUAL SNOWFALL WHICH WAS RECORDED IN 1991. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ANNUAL RECORD IS 13.9 INCHES SET IN THE WINTER OF 1946-1947. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 12:33:37 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: four furricanes at once On Fri, 11 Dec 1998, Bob Henson wrote: > PS: Would a severe furricane be considered a Cat. 5? :-) > > --Bob Henson ...A "Cat"-5? That's what they'd call "The Big Hairy Furrball." But I guess it depends mostly upon the Felix-ity and Couch-Shear factors found in the daily Sounding (Caterwalling) or in the DAY1 Catvective Outlook. (Aw, gawd. Somebody help me, man!) Actually, a "severe furricane" is what occurs when I step up behind my cat without her being aware of me. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH, Storm Evader - E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 20:16:12 -0600 From: Tim Bondy Subject: Changes In Air Force Weather Hi: I was curious to know if anyone knew about the upcoming changes in the way Air Force Weather does business? We are going to a regionalized system. The major hubs will or already are: Shaw AFB in SC, Scott AFB in IL, Barksdale AFB in LA, Davis Monthan AFB in AZ. In effect we will be issuing TAF's from these regional offices while leave a significant number of forecasters in each individual base weather station. In addition to TAF's the hubs will have the responsibility of producing hazard charts. Does anyone have any question or comments on how they think this new system will work? Weatherman ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Dec 1998 to 11 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 14 09:57:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626909-10321>; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 14:05:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA16876; Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:04:17 -0600 Message-Id: <199812130604.AAA16876@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 00:00:52 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Dec 1998 to 12 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 037f697dc7de37d1ca1bae26cb541868 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 222 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Snow 2. Changes In Air Force Weather 3. four furricanes at once 4. 60 new lightning images just added 5. four 1893 hurricanes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 03:45:45 -0500 From: Richard Naden Subject: Snow Date: Fri, 11 Dec 1998 11:44:45 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Starving for snow? While most of the country has forgotten what the white stuff looks like... not the same in Texas ;> SXUS99 KMAF 111640 RERMAF RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX 1037 AM CST FRI DEC 11 1998 ...RECORD 24-HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL REPORTED AT MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. THE 1030 AM CST SNOWFALL REPORT AT THE MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WAS 8 INCHES. THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 6.8 INCHES RECORDED JANUARY 23-24 1974 AND BREAKS THE RECORD /7 INCHES/ TOTAL SNOWFALL FROM ONE SINGLE EVENT. THIS ALSO TIES THE 10TH HEAVIEST ANNUAL SNOWFALL WHICH WAS RECORDED IN 1991. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ANNUAL RECORD IS 13.9 INCHES SET IN THE WINTER OF 1946-1947. ------------------------------ Yep, believe it! It has snowed more here this past mrng than in both Chicago and Minneapolis combined for this fall/winter so far. Still can't believe it! The locals here weren't prepared for it either, having barely any plows and salt for the roadways since the normal snowfall for the entire winter season is a mere 4.5-5.0"!! Midland was basically shut down yesterday, with record snows throughout the entire area. After all of the heat this past summer, and a much above average fall temperauture wise, no one was really thinking about a major snow around here. Just shows what mother nature is capable of, even at this low latitude! Should be a short-lived snow cover though, with temps. expected to be back into the 60s by Monday. Rich Naden NWSO MAF ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 12:49:25 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: Changes In Air Force Weather At 08:16 PM 12/11/98 -0600, Tim Bondy wrote: >In effect we will be issuing TAF's from these regional offices while leave a >significant number of forecasters in each individual base weather station. >In addition to TAF's the hubs will have the responsibility of producing >hazard charts. > >Does anyone have any question or comments on how they think this new >system will work? As a former AF forecaster (having been aware of these plans when I was still in), I've always felt these were changes driven by the perpetual need for management to "change the system". A forecaster 500 miles away cannot look at the subtle changes in the sky, note the appearance of nighttime dew on windshields, see signs that fog is starting to break up, and dozens of little things that contribute to the accuracy of a TAF. Furthermore (although I don't know if anything has changed), there appeared to have been no commitment to systematically gathering local forecast rules & quirks at each airfield that are essential to building a good TAF, nor was there any commitment to putting exceptionally skilled forecasters in charge of the regionalized TAFs to compensate for the distance. This is a significant issue since the Air Force flight system places heavy emphasis on the accuracy of TAFs, and forecast errors have the potential to create thousands (even millions) of dollars in losses due to flight diversions and delays. Notwithstanding this, while I was in I felt a lot of high-level decisions were made in the interest of politics, economy, or expediency rather than sound meteorology. A few of my peeves included: * The disappearance of graphical wind traces with the phase-out of the RO-362 wind recorder in the mid-1990s. I am certain that no forecasters were polled about this issue before the decision was made. * The primitive vector-mapping algorithms used on the AWDS computer system. Why must a forecaster at Nellis be forced to view all their charts tilted 45 degrees to the right? Who allowed AWDS to be developed this way? * The accelerated rate of PCS's, allowing no time to develop any on-station expertise. * 1970's-era training in the 1990s (not counting 88D training). I felt bad that even as late as 1996 a lot of my fellow forecasters had no idea what isentropic lift or CAPE was, nor even understood a hodograph! The new CDC's are a step in the right direction, though they have been diluted by the addition of a lot of other subjects. The CDCs and a lot of the formal training could clearly benefit from input by experienced NWS forecasters. Tim Vasquez Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 21:33:18 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: four furricanes at once Hi Wx-talkers, On Sat, 12 Dec 1998, Bob Henson wrote: > Shawn Trueman wrote: > > > ...which is the first time that this has occurred since 1893. My question is, how > > do meteorologists know for certain that there were four hurricanes existing > > simultaneously in 1893? > > I don't know for sure, but my guess is that the records begin in 1893. No, a collection of tracks are available back to 1871 and a digital database of hurricane intensity/positions for every six hours currently goes back to 1886. The records do show that 4 hurricanes existed on the same day of August 19th, 1893. But take these records with a big grain of salt: they are based primarily upon unlucky ships encountering hurricanes and estimating the winds via the Beafort Scale. I think that the best way to describe what happened this year is that four hurricanes were observed at the same time for the first time since accurate records begain in the mid-1940s. (I would not be surprised if years before the mid-1940s but in this century also had four at once, but no one was there to observe them.) > PS: Would a severe furricane be considered a Cat. 5? :-) Yes, on the "Garfield-Felix Furricane Scale"... :-) Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Scientists consider seasonal hurricane forecasting to be, at best, a GRAY area." Ed Rappaport U.S. National Hurricane Center ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 19:37:29 -0700 From: Nick Wantland Subject: 60 new lightning images just added Hi all, Last summer was an odd monsoon season for us. Our daily storms developed, but they often dispersed without producing any photographically desirable bolts. It seems as though we set up on several dozen storms that should have been awesome, only to go home having photographed a great sunset. While it is not uncommon for our storms to propagate and dissipate rapidly, this summers weather was definitely a change from past seasons. Many of our historically productive tracks yielded very few images. The smoke from Mexico was also a small factor in location selection. We had a three week period that was moderately smokey, although I have been told that we had nothing to complain about here in Tucson. The season was not a total bust, of course, and I have just posted 60 new photos to our site. Most of them are from this summer. You can find us at: http://strikingimages.com I am scanning another 120 to be posted soon. We have also added our new screen savers to the site. I look forward to your comments. And remember: flash.........bang, good - FLASHBANG, bad! Nick Wantland ******************************************* Marketing Director * * Striking Images * Proof that we don't know when to come * * in out of the storm. * * * * http://www.strikingimages.com * * (520) 743-9964 * * * ******************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Dec 1998 22:47:53 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: four 1893 hurricanes For those interested, Purdue University's WXP site (wxp.atms.purdue.edu) has an archive of tropical cyclones of the Atlantic and Pacific. Go to the "Hurricane" link in the miscellaneous section of the home page. According to this archive, there were four tropical cyclones of hurricane strength in the Atlantic on August 19, 1893. See the web site for the dates of the individual cyclones. --Shawn Trueman ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Dec 1998 to 12 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 14 16:41:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2777 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625949-24576>; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:06:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA15910; Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:06:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199812140606.AAA15910@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 00:00:09 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1998 to 13 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39e4c6406f2b35235f9037e147d8da4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 154 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Air Force Weather changes 2. World Weather (3) 3. Satellite tracking w/ wx satellite view option +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 09:12:57 -0600 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Re: Air Force Weather changes At 12:00 AM 12/13/1998 -0600, Tim V. wrote: >As a former AF forecaster (having been aware of these plans when I was >still in), >I've always felt these were changes driven by the perpetual need for >management >to "change the system". Nail hit squarely on the head. As a former forecaster for the USAF Air Weather Service I can attest to what Tim says. There seems to be a never ending cycle of centralized forecasting...then decentralized forecasting. This is true not only in the Air Weather Service, but also in the National Weather Service and Lord knows how many other industries. From the 1960's through the 1970s I went through a cycle of centralization of forecast responsibilities with the Air Weather Service. After that I went to work for the National Weather Service just in time to be involved in the MAR which is, essentially, a decentralization of forecast responsibility by the NWS. The whole pattern, I submit, is driven by the bean counters. When money gets tight, we centralize, believing that a few can do the work of many. This proves to be a mistake and we then decentralize in order to improve the final product. Lord, how myopic our vision is!! Cheers!! *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 12:15:06 -0500 From: Jim Burgan Subject: World Weather First off, let me say that I am not a meteorologist, nor was my formal education centered in weather/climatology. My interest in weather began when I was young and my family and I got caught in the Palm Sunday (April 12, 1965) outbreak. I was 13 at the time and my family and I watched in terror from the car as a small town (Russiaville Indiana) got obliterated as we drive up US31 on this evening. I liken myself to the guys in those "weather fans" commercials on the WX Channel. The Weather Channel is the most-watched channel on my TV. I've subscribed to this NG since it's inception and have always appreciated the vast knowledge from it's participants. I've learned as much from this NG as I have from most of the books I've read. Ok.. now that I've buttered you up, here's my question... I've wondered this for a long time; Let's assume that the earth's axis was square with the sun, that there was no tilt, therefore the sun would be over the equator year-round. Therefore we wouldn't have a change in seasons, the struggles of nature to balance temperature and moisture wouldn't exist as it does today. That is as far as I can take this scenario. My question is, could the earth support life and what would the weather be like. I know this is a vague question but I would really appreciate some opinions as I have wondered about this often. If you think this is a stupid question... no flames please... after all, I buttered you people up for 32 paragraphs. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 14:40:43 -0400 From: John MacArthur Subject: Re: World Weather >I've wondered this for a long time; Let's assume that the earth's axis was >square with the sun, that there was no tilt, therefore the sun would be over >the equator year-round. Therefore we wouldn't have a change in seasons, the >struggles of nature to balance temperature and moisture wouldn't exist as it >does today. That is as far as I can take this scenario. My question is, >could the earth support life and what would the weather be like. That would be a good question to ask a meteorology major for his final exam, but a couple of things jump to mind. In other words, this is not meant to be anything like a complete answer. The generally accepted reason for the ending of the last ice age is the increasing amount of summer sunlight reaching the northern latitudes as the orbital elements slowly changed - among them, the increasing tilt of the axis. When the tilt was lower than it is now, we had an ice age (Of course this is not the *only* reason but it was a major portion). The tilt really only gets down to something like 22 degrees and that, plus other minor changes, is enough to put ice caps on the earth. So, if you had zero tilt, I would expect that we would have a permanent ice cap over the polar portion of the northern hemisphere - perhaps down to the central US. The amount of sunlight reaching the tropics would not change much, since it is nearly vertical there all the time, even now. In other words, the tropical weather would not change drastically; perhaps it would be a bit cooler because of the ice caps being so close. So my guess would be that life could easily survive, but the diversity would be considerably reduced. John MacArthur Marlboro, VT 05344 jmac@sover.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 15:11:04 -0600 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Satellite tracking w/ wx satellite view option I found a real time satellite tracking link that had as an option the capability of having the satellite tracks being super-imposed on a wx satellite image background. The problem I have is I lost all by bookmarks. Does anyone have any leadsa as to what the URL is for the page I am looking for? Thanks in advance for any leads!! Peter Bowers To Reply: click on Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:pbeservx@osicom.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 15:33:52 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: World Weather At 02:40 PM 12/13/98 -0400, John MacArthur wrote: >The amount of sunlight reaching the tropics would not change much, since it >is nearly vertical there all the time, even now. In other words, the >tropical weather would not change drastically; perhaps it would be a bit >cooler because of the ice caps being so close. I just wanted to nit pick a little. this is just my opinion. If the ice cap came down that far south, then the tropics wouldn't be colder, but they would be warmer. The total sunlight tha treaches the earth would be the same as with a tilted axes thus to balance your soposed colder poles the tropics would have to be warmer. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1998 to 13 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Dec 15 14:28:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-6307>; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 14:03:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA17294; Tue, 15 Dec 1998 00:03:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199812150603.AAA17294@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 00:00:13 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1998 to 14 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cde3a27e66755e5bf78620a5bc2bcf49 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 148 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1998 to 13 Dec 1998 (2) 2. World Weather 3. Greenland METAR Locations (2) 4. 1st Cold Outbreak? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:13:17 -0500 From: "Marc C. Levine" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1998 to 13 Dec 1998 Actually there would be slight seasons caused by the distance to the sun. They would be reversed compared to what they are now since we are actually closest to the sun in January. I'm sure there would be life but it would have evolved differently. So much of life on this planet has evolved to handle the seasons and that would not be a factor. But if you want a "master exam like thought question" how about a tilt of 90 degrees. Where at times each hemisphere would be in total darkness or total light where the region of what should be the strongest gradient (the equator) would also be the area of weakest and even changing coriolis (to obtain balance where coriolis is weak winds need to be stronger). Life on that alternate universe would have to be a lot hardier than it is now. Under zero tilt ..... a woosie world, 90 degree tilt.....tough world . Date: Sun, 13 Dec 1998 12:15:06 -0500 From: Jim Burgan Subject: World Weather >I've wondered this for a long time; Let's assume that the earth's axis was >square with the sun, that there was no tilt, therefore the sun would be over >the equator year-round. Therefore we wouldn't have a change in seasons, the >struggles of nature to balance temperature and moisture wouldn't exist as it >does today. That is as far as I can take this scenario. My question is, >could the earth support life and what would the weather be like. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 06:37:14 -0400 From: John MacArthur Subject: Re: World Weather >If the ice cap came down that far south, then the tropics wouldn't be >colder, but they would be warmer. The total sunlight tha treaches the earth >would be the same as with a tilted axes thus to balance your soposed colder >poles the tropics would have to be warmer. Except that the albedo would be quite a bit higher with all that snowy surface, and more sunlight would be reflected back to space. I'm not sure, off hand, what the net result would be. John MacArthur Marlboro, VT 05344 jmac@sover.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 13:52:15 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1998 to 13 Dec 1998 How about if I recommend to you all the book "What if the Moon Didn't Exist." Search for it on Amazon.com or Barnes and Noble. I forget the author. It contains chapters each dealing with situations like this...one is if the moon did not exist, one is if the moon collided with earth, if the earth was tilted like Uranus, what if the Sun had more mass. What if a black hole passed near the earth, etc. It is really neat. It has a liberal, evolutionist slant though, and I don't like that, being a creationist. The idea of evolution is interesting, at best. Dave ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 15:57:48 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Greenland METAR Locations Howdy! There are two sites in Greenland (BGAA and BGSS) that began reporting METARs this fall and from what I've gathered two additional sites may report soon (BGUQ and BGMA). Except for one web site where it listed the ICAO and names of the stations, I am unable to ascertain any other information on these sites. Anyone have the lat/lon/elev details for these sites? BGAA - Aasiaat, GL BGSS - Sisimiut, GL BGUQ - Qaarsut, GL BGMA - Maniitsoq, GL Thanks! Jeff Logan FNMOC - Models/Data Dept ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 22:30:04 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: Greenland METAR Locations At 03:57 PM 12/14/98 -0800, Jeffrey Logan wrote: >Except for one web site where it listed the ICAO and names of the stations, I am >unable to ascertain any other information on these sites. Anyone have the >lat/lon/elev details for these sites? Hi Jeffrey -- here is the data, extracted from the surface tables of the next Digital Atmosphere version. BGUQ ... .....-. 7044N 05242W 0020 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Uummanaq/Qaarsut BGSS ... .....-. 6657N 05344W 0050 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Sisimiut BGMA ... .....-. 6525N 05256W 0015 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Maniitsoq BGAA ... .....-. 6843N 05247W 0040 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Aasiaat Lat/lon in degrees and minutes; elevation follows in meters, then GMT offset. As you indicated, only two of these stations (BGSS and BGAA) are open. The rest will open next summer. The field elevations are estimated . . . Boris Konon is one of the gurus on station data and if he's following this thread he might have the exact values somewhere. As a last resort, you can contact Jeppesen-Sanderson in Denver.. they're probably the only ones that have the scoop. Tim Vasquez Weather Graphics Technologies Norman, OK http://www.weathergraphics.com/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 20:37:29 -0900 From: J Curtis Subject: 1st Cold Outbreak? Greetings from Fairbanks, Alaska: Sunday night and now Monday night, the coldest temperatures for the season have hit Fairbanks (approaching -30F). Seems like a large high pressure area will be forming over central Canada during the next few days. Until this week, Alaska has been under the influence of a relatively strong southwesterly flow. The pattern has finally broke? Regards, Jan Curtis http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1998 to 14 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Dec 16 14:59:50 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1822 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627752-21308>; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 14:06:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA25628; Wed, 16 Dec 1998 00:06:52 -0600 Message-Id: <199812160606.AAA25628@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 00:02:39 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Dec 1998 to 15 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3dee58a3831f68a3d717cf964ff83797 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 450 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SPC changes convective outlook issuance times! 2. 1st Cold Outbreak? (2) 3. ADMINISTRIVIA: DATA FEED PROBLEMS 4. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1998 to 14 Dec 1998 5. Greenland METAR Locations 6. Canadian Weather Watchers needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 10:01:16 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: SPC changes convective outlook issuance times! NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION MESSAGE 98-29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 1000 AM EST TUE DEC 15 1998 TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT: CHANGES TO CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK ISSUANCE TIMES...EFFECTIVE 0000 UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME /UTC/ FEBRURAY 15 1999 /600 PM CST FEB 14 1999/ EFFECTIVE 0000 UTC FEBRUARY 15 1999 /600 PM CST FEB 14 1999/...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER /SPC/ WILL REVISE THE ISSUANCE TIMES OF CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKS. THIS ADJUSTMENT WILL IMPROVE THE QUALITY OF THE OUTLOOKS BY ACCOUNTING FOR THE AVAILABILITY OF OBSERVATIONS AND NUMERICAL MODEL DATA. THE NEW TIMES WERE BASED ON TWO PRIMARY CONSIDERATIONS: 1) THE OPTIMAL ISSUANCE TIMES TO ENSURE OUTLOOKS ARE OF THE HIGHEST QUALITY... AND 2) TIMES THAT ARE ACCEPTABLE TO NWS FIELD OFFICES. THE FOLLOWING TABLE GIVES THE NEW TIMES. DAY 1 OUTLOOK PRODUCTS /AFOS ID MKCSWODY1 - WMO HEADING ACUS1 KMKC/ NEW TIME CURRENT TIME INITIAL 0600 UTC 0600 UTC UPDATE 1 1300 UTC 1100 UTC /EXPERIMENTAL/ UPDATE 2 BY 1630 UTC 1500 UTC UPDATE 3 BY 2000 UTC 1930 UTC UPDATE 4 0100 UTC 0200 UTC DAY 2 OUTLOOK PRODUCTS /AFOS ID MKCSWODY2 - WMO HEADING ACUS2 KMKC/ NEW TIME CURRENT TIME INITIAL 0830 UTC /STANDARD TIME/ 0800 UTC 0730 UTC /DAYLIGHT TIME/ UPDATE 1 1730 UTC 1800 UTC EXPLANATION... 0600 UTC INITIAL DAY 1 - NO CHANGE. THE PRODUCT WILL STILL BE ISSUED AT 0600 UTC. 1300 UTC DAY 1 UPDATE - BECAUSE OF THE FAVORABLE RESPONSE TO THIS /START OF BUSINESS/ OUTLOOK FROM THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COMMUNITY...WE ARE CONVERTING THIS FROM AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT TO AN OFFICIAL PRODUCT. HOWEVER...FOR IT TO CONTAIN MORE THAN COSMETIC CHANGES TO THE INITIAL OUTLOOK...IT MUST BE SCHEDULED AFTER THE 1200 UTC RAWINSONDE DATA IS AVAILABLE. BY MOVING THE OUTLOOK TO 1300 UTC...THE SPC FORECASTER WILL BE ABLE TO INCORPORATE THE 1200 UTC RAWINSONDE DATA... INCREASING THE QUALITY OF THE OUTLOOK. NOT ONLY WILL IT STILL BE AVAILABLE CLOSE TO THE START OF BUSINESS... BUT ALSO IT WILL PROVIDE A NEW FORECAST FOR USE IN THE MORNING FORECAST PACKAGES OF NWS OFFICES IN THE EASTERN U.S. 1630 UTC DAY 1 UPDATE - THE 1630 UTC DAY 1 OUTLOOK SHOULD BE MORE ACCURATE AND PROVIDE HIGHER RESOLUTION THAN THE CURRENT 1500 UTC PRODUCT...SINCE THE SPC FORECASTER PREPARING THE OUTLOOK WILL BE ABLE TO EXAMINE THE 1200 UTC ETA MODEL BEFORE ISSUING THE PRODUCT. FORECASTERS IN THE EASTERN TIME ZONE WILL BE ABLE TO USE THE 1630 UTC DAY 1 OUTLOOK WITH CONFIDENCE FOR THEIR AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. 2000 UTC DAY 1 UPDATE/ 1730 UTC DAY 2 UPDATE - THE 1730 UTC DAY 2 OUTLOOK AND 2000 UTC DAY 1 OUTLOOK TIMES WERE DETERMINED BY A NEED FOR FORECASTERS IN BOTH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL U.S. TO HAVE A DAY 1 OUTLOOK FOR THEIR AFTERNOON FORECASTS...AND FOR THE SPC FORECASTER TO HAVE A REASONABLE AMOUNT OF TIME BETWEEN THE AFTERNOON DAY 2 AND DAY 1 UPDATES. PRESENTLY...THERE IS ONLY 90 MINUTES BETWEEN THEM. THIS SEVERELY LIMITS THE FORECASTER/S ABILITY TO EXAMINE DIAGNOSTIC AND SHORT TERM PROGNOSTIC DATA FOR THE DAY 1 UPDATE. BY ISSUING THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK 30 MINUTES EARLIER AND DELAYING THE DAY 1 BY 30 MINUTES...THE SPC FORECASTER WILL HAVE 2.5 HOURS TO PREPARE THE UPDATED DAY 1 OUTLOOK. IF THE DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS AVAILABLE BY 2000 UTC...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN U.S. FORECASTERS WILL BE ABLE TO USE IT FOR THEIR AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. TO ENSURE SUCH TIMELINESS...A MESOSCALE DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED WELL BEFORE 2000 UTC IF THERE ARE SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK /1630 UTC/...SUCH AS AN UPGRADE TO A HIGHER RISK CATEGORY. THIS WILL PROVIDE LOCAL OFFICES ADDITIONAL TIME TO EVALUATE THE FORECAST SCENARIO FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 0100 UTC DAY 1 UPDATE - THIS OUTLOOK WILL BE MOVED UP 1 HOUR TO PROVIDE GUIDANCE FOR THE EASTERN U.S. OFFICES EVENING FORECAST PACKAGE. INITIAL DAY 2 - ISSUANCE TIME WILL BE CHANGED TO 230 AM CENTRAL STANDARD/DAYLIGHT TIME /0730 UTC DURING DAYLIGHT TIME AND 0830 UTC DURING STANDARD TIME/. THIS SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT WILL ALLOW THE SPC LEAD FORECASTER TO COME IN AT MIDNIGHT DURING STANDARD TIME...INSTEAD OF 11 PM. THIS WOULD BE CONSISTENT WITH THE SCHEDULES OF THE OTHER SPC FORECASTERS AND WILL ALLOW FOR MORE COMPREHENSIVE SPC SHIFT CHANGE BRIEFINGS. QUESTIONS...COMMENTS...OR SUGGESTIONS MAY BE FORWARDED TO WILLIAM O. ALEXANDER JOSEPH SCHAEFER OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY STORM PREDICTION CENTER 301-713-0090 EXT 115 JOSEPH.SCHAEFER/AT SYMBOL/NOAA.GOV WILLIAM.ALEXANDER/AT SYMBOL/NOAA.GOV ...../USE LOWER CASE FOR E-MAIL/...... END Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: gilbert@niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 11:31:29 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: 1st Cold Outbreak? I think so...because arctic air is forecast to enter the US this week. Dave ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 10:46:39 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: DATA FEED PROBLEMS We're doing some testing with the new NOAAPORT feed. I just discovered a problem with a configuration file that was preventing my system from processing the data. We need to conduct these tests in order to prepare for cut-over later this month. Sorry it had to come at a time when there are all kinds of hurricanes floating around. This temporary outage affects WX-TROPL, WX-STORM, WX-ATLAN, WX-TOR, and WX-LSR. ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 10:03:06 -0800 From: Mike Cetinich Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1998 to 14 Dec 1998 ------ =_NextPart_000_01BE2812.1D2F15E0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Tim, I checked the ARINC 424 tape and the 4 airports listed are not available = on the tape yet, not sure when they will begin making it. I assume that = everyone knows about the 3 airports that report TAF and METAR's from = Greenland, being BGSF - Sondre Stronfjord, 67.01N 50.69W, 165 ft elev, 9200 ft runway BGBW - Narsarsauq, 61.16N 45.42W, 112 ft elev, 6000 ft runway BGTL - Thule AB, 76.53N 68.70W, 251 ft elev, 10,000 ft runway Regards, Mike Cetinich Manager, Weather Services Jeppesen DataPlan Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 22:30:04 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: Greenland METAR Locations At 03:57 PM 12/14/98 -0800, Jeffrey Logan wrote: >Except for one web site where it listed the ICAO and names of the = stations, I am >unable to ascertain any other information on these sites. Anyone have = the >lat/lon/elev details for these sites? Hi Jeffrey -- here is the data, extracted from the surface tables of the next Digital Atmosphere version. BGUQ ... .....-. 7044N 05242W 0020 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Uummanaq/Qaarsut BGSS ... .....-. 6657N 05344W 0050 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Sisimiut BGMA ... .....-. 6525N 05256W 0015 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Maniitsoq BGAA ... .....-. 6843N 05247W 0040 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Aasiaat Lat/lon in degrees and minutes; elevation follows in meters, then GMT = offset. As you indicated, only two of these stations (BGSS and BGAA) are open. The rest will open next summer. The field elevations are estimated . . = . Boris Konon is one of the gurus on station data and if he's following = this thread he might have the exact values somewhere. As a last resort, you can contact Jeppesen-Sanderson in Denver.. they're probably the only ones that have the scoop. 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WMO ICAO Name Lat Lon Elev (m) 042500 BGGH GODTHAAB\NUUK GL 6410N 05145W 0070 043410 BGCO CONSTABLE POINT GL 7045N 02239W 0010 042210 BGJN JAKOBSHAVN LUFTHAVN GL 6914N 05104W 0031 043610 BGKK KULUSUK LUFTHAVN GL 6535N 03709W 0037 Interestingly, the WMO indicates another Greenland station (WMO 04234) as reporting METARs as well as profiler data but I've never seen any data from this site. Jeff ____________________Reply Separator____________________ Subject: RE: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1998 to 14 Dec 1998 Author: Mike Cetinich Date: 12/15/98 10:03 AM Tim, I checked the ARINC 424 tape and the 4 airports listed are not available on the tape yet, not sure when they will begin making it. I assume that everyone knows about the 3 airports that report TAF and METAR's from Greenland, being BGSF - Sondre Stronfjord, 67.01N 50.69W, 165 ft elev, 9200 ft runway BGBW - Narsarsauq, 61.16N 45.42W, 112 ft elev, 6000 ft runway BGTL - Thule AB, 76.53N 68.70W, 251 ft elev, 10,000 ft runway Regards, Mike Cetinich Manager, Weather Services Jeppesen DataPlan Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 22:30:04 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: Greenland METAR Locations At 03:57 PM 12/14/98 -0800, Jeffrey Logan wrote: >Except for one web site where it listed the ICAO and names of the stations, I am >unable to ascertain any other information on these sites. Anyone have the >lat/lon/elev details for these sites? Hi Jeffrey -- here is the data, extracted from the surface tables of the next Digital Atmosphere version. BGUQ ... .....-. 7044N 05242W 0020 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Uummanaq/Qaarsut BGSS ... .....-. 6657N 05344W 0050 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Sisimiut BGMA ... .....-. 6525N 05256W 0015 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Maniitsoq BGAA ... .....-. 6843N 05247W 0040 +3 eWG$T ..... GRL Aasiaat Lat/lon in degrees and minutes; elevation follows in meters, then GMT offset. As you indicated, only two of these stations (BGSS and BGAA) are open. The rest will open next summer. The field elevations are estimated . . ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 15:07:46 -0500 From: Kerry-Ann Lecky Subject: Canadian Weather Watchers needed The Weather Network - Canada's premier weather channel - is looking for volunteers to join our -Weather Watchers- program. The Weather Network has been on the airwaves for the past ten years providing Canadians with informative, dynamic and award winning weather broadcasts. Our mission statement - and number one priority is to inform Canadians of active or severe weather conditions twenty-four hours a day, seven days a week, coast to coast, to millions of viewers across Canada! As a registered -Weather Watcher- your responsibility would be to alert us of active or severe weather in your area for our broadcast purposes. If you are interested in becoming a Weather Watcher for us, we would like to hear from you! Please write or e-mail us at: twn@on.pelmorex.com The Weather Network Weather Watchers Audience Relations Department 1 Robert Speck Parkway, Suite 1600, Mississauga, Ontario L4Z 4B3 Canada ___________ --------- K------L ___ E----E __ /o o\ R--C ---' O \ R-K \|/ \ Y | .| . \\_ * ____. .\ . ________________________________.\\/.\/. .\\\|/ Kerry-Ann Lecky Meteorologist The Weather Network: http://www.theweathernetwork.com E-Mail: klecky@on.pelmorex.com Personal HomePage/WX-Page: http://www.yucc.yorku.ca/~kerry * \//..\//. .\\/.\///_________________________________________\|/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 20:40:43 -0600 From: Rauchig Subject: Re: 1st Cold Outbreak? Dave Hiatt said the following: >I think so...because arctic air is forecast to enter the US this week. > This brings up a question I have had for sometime. What is the meteorological definition of a arctic airmass? What is the meteorological definition of a continental polar airmass? >From the little information I have been able to gather it is rare to have a true arctic airmass move down into CONUS. What is called a arctic airmass by weathercasters, the press, etc is really a continental polar airmass. A point in the right direction will be very helpful, and I would be very gratefull. :) BTW, I have been watching the build up of this recent cold airmass in AK for a few days now with Nome breaking a record low temp a couple a days ago. Thanks, Chad -Rauchig -- _______________________________________________________________________________ "Microsoft's biggest and most dangerous contribution to the software industry may be the degree to which it has lowered user expectations." -January 1997 OS/2 Magazine Upper Air Sounding Archive: http://lonestar.texas.net/~rauchig/archive/upper Weather Satellite Footprint: http://lonestar.texas.net/~rauchig/wxsat.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Dec 1998 to 15 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Dec 17 22:48:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627958-1316>; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:06:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28574; Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:07:07 -0600 Message-Id: <199812170607.AAA28574@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 00:03:03 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Dec 1998 to 16 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7845abee9b9d39887fb122495b6dbe6c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 359 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. David Letterman 2nite 2. FW: GOES-L ARRIVES AT KENNEDY (2) 3. making a forecast (2) 4. CASI NetNews : International Wx Maps, North Pole Weather, Alien/UFO Weather, ABCNews.com +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 07:58:52 -0500 From: Howard Altschule Subject: David Letterman 2nite The local TV guide says that a storm chaser, Marc Weinberg (?), will be a guest on the late show with David Letterman tonight (Wednesday). FYI -- Howie Altschule Meteorologist, WNYT-TV NBC Affiliate - Albany, NY Http://www.wnyt.com "weather" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:24:28 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FW: GOES-L ARRIVES AT KENNEDY NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION KENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FLORIDA NEWS RELEASE George H. Diller Kennedy Space Center Dec. 16, 1998 407/867-2468 Cynthia M. O'Carroll Goddard Space Flight Center 301/614-5563 Pat Viets NOAA/NESDIS 301/457-5005 KSC Release No. 167-98 GOES-L WEATHER SATELLITE ARRIVES AT KSC FOR FINAL TESTING The GOES-L weather satellite, to be launched aboard an Atlas II rocket in late March or early April, arrived today by C-5 air cargo plane at the Skid Strip on Cape Canaveral Air Station from the manufacturing plant in Palo Alto, CA. GOES-L is the fourth spacecraft to be launched in the new advanced series of geostationary weather satellites for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The spacecraft is a three-axis inertially stabilized weather satellite which has the dual capability of providing pictures while performing atmospheric sounding at the same time. Once in orbit the spacecraft is to be designated GOES-11 and will complete check-out before the start of the 1999 hurricane season. The satellite is being transported today to Astrotech in Titusville where final testing of the imaging system, instrumentation, communications and power systems will be performed. These tests will take approximately two months to complete. Then the spacecraft will be fueled with propellant for the attitude control system, encapsulated in the Atlas nose fairing and prepared for transport to Launch Complex 36 on Cape Canaveral Air Station. -2- The Lockheed Martin Atlas II rocket and its Centaur upper stage are scheduled to arrive at Cape Canaveral on Feb 9. The booster erection activities at Launch Pad 36-A will begin on Feb. 15 with the erection of the Atlas stage. The Centaur will follow on Feb. 17. A countdown "wet dress" rehearsal in which the vehicle is fully fueled is anticipated to occur one month later on March 16. Once this is complete the satellite will be transported from Astrotech to the launch pad for mating to the Atlas II rocket, currently planned on March 18. The launch of AC-137/GOES-L is targeted for March 31. The GOES-L satellite is built for NASA and NOAA by Space Systems/LORAL of Palo Alto, CA. NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, MD., is responsible for the procurement of the GOES satellites for NOAA including final testing in Florida and the initial on-orbit checkout. NOAA is responsible for satellite operation, data distribution and management of the program. As a government civil launch, Kennedy Space Center is responsible for the launch services management which includes NASA oversight of the launch vehicle processing activities, integration of the GOES-L spacecraft with the Atlas II and management of the government role in the launch countdown activities. Lockheed Martin of Denver, CO., is under contract to KSC to provide the launch services. # # # ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:33:00 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: FW: GOES-L ARRIVES AT KENNEDY Robert P Dale wrote... NASA/NOAA needs to head to Circuit City buy a cheap camcorder and stuff it into that satellite before launch. It would cost them about $500 to beam decent live Earth images back to web pages for school kids to view --leaving $19,000,500.00 of Gore's proposed Triana satellite money for more useful purposes. ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 20:38:20 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: making a forecast Wx-Talkers, I would like to start a discussion about making a weather forecast, in particular the steps in doing so. As a few of you know, I am in the beginning stages of starting my own forecasting company in my hometown. In preparation, I have been forecasting on occasion during the past two months for my part of north-central Ohio. It would be good to get responses from other forecasters, both professional and non-professional, about the steps they use. One of the things I want to discuss is the importance of analyzing the current weather situation. How much of the forecasting time should be spent doing this versus looking at the forecast models? Since I have not forecast for too many years, I usually am nervous once I finish my analysis and look at the forecast models. I am venturing beyond what *is" happening, and looking into the future. Since forecast models seldom are 100% accurate, it is unnerving to trust them sometimes. Do other forecasters feel this way? Obviously, I don't feel as nervous when the weather in Ohio is calm. When I forecast, I first look at a satellite loop. Then I look at a surface analysis. I don't do a hand analysis, but instead look at the various WXP maps on the Ohio State server (surface pressure analysis and wind vectors, streamlines, wind speed, temperature advection, 3-hr pressure change, and convergence). After this, I look at surface stations near Sandusky (Toledo, Cleveland, Mansfield, Detroit, Ft. Wayne) to get their observations. The dew point is especially helpful on a calm night to determine low temperature and fog possibility. After the surface analysis, I look at the upper air charts. I always look at 500 mb, 700 mb, and 850 mb for locations of lows, troughs, highs, and ridges. I note their location with respect to Ohio. I note where the contours and isotherms intersect for areas of warm or cold advection. Next, I look at upper-air stations in the vicinity: DTX (Detroit), ILN (Wilmington, OH), PIT (Pittsburgh), GRB (Green Bay), and ILX (Lincoln, IL). I look at the wind direction and the dew-point depression (5 or less meaning a moist atmosphere at that level). If frozen precipitation threatens, I look at the 850-mb temperature and the 1000-500 mb thickness. Since now is not the usual time of year for thunderstorms, I do not analyze the skew-T's in detail. After my analysis, I look at the forecast models. Most of the time, I look at the Eta, NGM, Aviation, and sometimes the MRF on the Purdue University site. I have looked at the models on UCAR's site and on Ohio State's site, but feel most comfortable at Purdue's site. When looking at the forecast models, I see if the model initialized well (if the 0-hr run matches the recent surface and upper-air charts). Then I look at the sea level pressure/precipitation chart, 850-mb chart (to estimate surface temperatures, 500-mb chart (for areas of vorticity), and 850-500 mb relative humidity chart (for cloudiness). I do this through 48 hours. I would appreciate if others could talk about the steps that they use when forecasting and maybe critique my steps. Thank you. --Shawn Trueman Sandusky, Ohio ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 21:10:12 -0600 From: Daniel McCarthy Subject: Re: making a forecast I'm going to try to cover some of the questions Shawn posted recently on how to forecast: Shawn Trueman wrote: > Wx-Talkers, > > I would like to start a discussion about making a weather forecast, in > particular the steps in doing so. deleted text..... > One of the things I want to discuss is the importance of analyzing the > current weather situation. How much of the forecasting time should be > spent doing this versus looking at the forecast models? Since I have not > forecast for too many years, I usually am nervous once I finish my analysis > and look at the forecast models. I am venturing beyond what *is" > happening, and looking into the future. Since forecast models seldom are > 100% accurate, it is unnerving to trust them sometimes. Do other > forecasters feel this way? Obviously, I don't feel as nervous when the > weather in Ohio is calm. I think you spend as much time as possible to get a picture of the current conditions for the area you are forecasting. You can not possibly evaluate the models effectively until you know where you are starting from, i.e. the current conditions. In fact it may also be helpful to look at where weather patterns were 12 hours ago to get a continuity. > When I forecast, I first look at a satellite loop. Then I look at a > surface analysis. I don't do a hand analysis, but instead look at the > various WXP maps on the Ohio State server (surface pressure analysis and > wind vectors, streamlines, wind speed, temperature advection, 3-hr pressure > change, and convergence). After this, I look at surface stations near > Sandusky (Toledo, Cleveland, Mansfield, Detroit, Ft. Wayne) to get their > observations. The dew point is especially helpful on a calm night to > determine low temperature and fog possibility. Looking at satellite loops is good. Radar is good. Doing a hand analysis of the surface is good. But, it is very important to perform hand analysis of the upper air. Performing hand analysis of the 850-, 700-, 500- and 250-mb levels is essential in order to evaluate the state of the atmosphere. I don not think that one can get all he/she can by just looking at the analysis of these levels on various servers. You MUST be able to "get down and dirty" with the data to be sure you catch any feature embedded within the flow or possibly a station who's data does not exactly fit. This will come with time the more you perform this scheme. But, it is also important because maybe this bad station gets into the data, or a station is missing, thus effecting the model analysis in some way. Upper air analysis doesn't end with drawing lines on a map. You MUST also look at the various soundings to compliment your analysis. Once you have these tasks done, you are able to critique the model data in order to develop a view on which model or combination of models best suit your conceptual model of what will happen. If there is time, a composite analysis of the surface and upper air features is always helpful. > After the surface analysis, I look at the upper air charts. I always look > at 500 mb, 700 mb, and 850 mb for locations of lows, troughs, highs, and > ridges. You may also note height rises and falls at these levels to get a feel on where the systems will deepen, fill, and/or move during the next 12 hours. > I note their location with respect to Ohio. I note where the > contours and isotherms intersect for areas of warm or cold advection. > Next, I look at upper-air stations in the vicinity: DTX (Detroit), ILN > (Wilmington, OH), PIT (Pittsburgh), GRB (Green Bay), and ILX (Lincoln, IL). > I look at the wind direction and the dew-point depression (5 or less > meaning a moist atmosphere at that level). If frozen precipitation > threatens, I look at the 850-mb temperature and the 1000-500 mb thickness. > Since now is not the usual time of year for thunderstorms, I do not analyze > the skew-T's in detail. > > After my analysis, I look at the forecast models. Most of the time, I look > at the Eta, NGM, Aviation, and sometimes the MRF on the Purdue University > site. I have looked at the models on UCAR's site and on Ohio State's site, > but feel most comfortable at Purdue's site. When looking at the forecast > models, I see if the model initialized well (if the 0-hr run matches the > recent surface and upper-air charts). Then I look at the sea level > pressure/precipitation chart, 850-mb chart (to estimate surface > temperatures, 500-mb chart (for areas of vorticity), and 850-500 mb > relative humidity chart (for cloudiness). I do this through 48 hours. > > I would appreciate if others could talk about the steps that they use when > forecasting and maybe critique my steps. I think you are off to a good beginning. But, I would get an idea, a conceptual model, of what YOU think will happen based on your surface and RAOB analysis. Then, look at the various models. I have never been one for the so-called perfect prog. Doesn't exist. Only when there is high pressure right over the area, for example, would I totally bank on MOS. So, challenge the models. And, as you gain more experience and compare your view with the local forecasts, you'll find yourself becoming more confident and occasionally venturing out on that proverbial limb. One more important hint: do not ever stop reading and educating yourself on the science. Always read conference papers from the AMS and NWA, journal articles, and yes, even text books. Even review from time to time your fundamentals in physical, dynamic, and synoptic meteorology. A good foundation always leads to a solid structure. Good luck from a fellow Buckeye born and raised in Cleveland, Ohio and slightly seasoned in Columbus...... ************************************************************************************************ Daniel McCarthy Mesoscale Meteorologist Norman, OK My Account...My thoughts "To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?" -Katherine Graham ************************************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 03:20:23 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : International Wx Maps, North Pole Weather, Alien/UFO Weather, ABCNews.com [NetNews: Recent news about additions and enhancements to Major Weather-Related Internet Sites, brought to you by CASI, the Central Atlantic Storm Investigators (www.weatherwatchers.org).] 1. AccuWeather Adds International Weather Maps AccuWeather has added over 30 Temperature Band Maps (Today/Tonight/Tomorrow) and over 40 Hi/Lo/Weather Icon Maps (Today/Tomorrow) for various International countries/continents to their Free Personal AccuWeather Service at http://www.accuweather.com/weatherf/world3day_index_qx01 2. Gimmick Mania! >From the "promotional gimmick" areas this week we have A.) Christmas/North Pole Weather AccuWeather - Conditions/Forecasts for "North Pole" (Resolute NT Canada) http://www.accuweather.com/weatherf/santa_qx01 The Weather Channel - Conditions at "North Pole" (Barrow, AK) http://www.weather.com/seasonal/holidays/index.html B.) Alien/UFO Weather AccuWeather X-Forecast - Forecast for Area 51 (Nellis AFB, NV) and Roswell NM Radar http://www.accuweather.com/weatherf/ufo_qx01 3. Weather Channel Partners With ABCNews ABCNews.com ended their online agreement with AccuWeather this week, switching to The Weather Channel. ABCNews.com is now part of "Go.Com" which is an Infoseek/Disney partership. TWC is providing ABCNews with a co-branded area on TWC's site. http://www.weather.com/cobrand/abcnews/ This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Dec 1998 to 16 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Dec 18 15:27:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4836 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627070-1976>; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 14:08:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA26574; Fri, 18 Dec 1998 00:08:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199812180608.AAA26574@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 00:04:03 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Dec 1998 to 17 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 49e1258a4dfd63807a8434d8f8780a2d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 352 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New AWOS Stations 2. ...no subject... (2) 3. Christmas Snow Map (2) 4. Christmas Snow 5. Winter outbreak 6. Snow?? 7. High Pressure over Alaska 8. Severe Weather Specialist 9. Cold Outbreak 10. 19981217: Unidata Demo System down +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 08:25:12 -0500 From: Konon Boris Subject: New AWOS Stations Two new AWOS sites were recently added to DDS. KMGG - Maple Lake, MN PAII - Egegik, AK Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:33:12 CST From: Jim LaDue Subject: ...no subject... >Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1998 16:33:00 -0600 >From: Chris Novy >Subject: Re: FW: GOES-L ARRIVES AT KENNEDY >Robert P Dale wrote... >NASA/NOAA needs to head to Circuit City buy a cheap camcorder and stuff >it into that satellite before launch. It would cost them about $500 to >beam decent live Earth images back to web pages for school kids to view >--leaving $19,000,500.00 of Gore's proposed Triana satellite money for >more useful purposes. ..Chris.. Several years ago there was a proposal to include a CCD type camera aboard several communications satellites. The camera would image the US every few minutes at about 4km resolution in visible and thermal IR. Never did know what happened to that proposal. If we could get that resolution down to 1km for both channels, we would have a great continuous rapid scan imager to compliment the present GOES-E and W. At present, we do not have the funding to operate a third GOES satellite for continuous rapid update scanning. But, as you say, a CCD camera plus some ground-receiving equipment could piggyback a comms satellite for quite a bit less. regards, Jim James G. LaDue, Operational Support Facility 3200 Marshall Ave., Suite 202, Norman, OK 73072 (405)-366-6560 ext 4281 Fax (405)-366-6557 Internet jladue@osf.noaa.gov (fast) [or] james.g.ladue@noaa.gov (slow) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:41:08 -0600 From: Paul Vincent Craven Subject: Re: ...no subject... Somehow I doubt that a typical camcorder could be duct-taped to a satellite and have it survive the harsh conditions of space. The radiation, vacuum, and debris would keep any camcorder from functioning very long at all. You get what you pay for. > update scanning. But, as you say, a CCD camera plus some > ground-receiving > equipment could piggyback a comms satellite for quite a bit less. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:08:17 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Christmas Snow Map All, Last year I remember a map showing the probability or prediction of snow on Christmas. Does anyone remember that site? Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:27:37 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: Christmas Snow All, Last year I remember a web site with a map giving the predicted snowfall on Christmas. Does anyone know of a site for this year ? Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 16:48:01 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Christmas Snow Map Thomas Rokoske wrote: > > Last year I remember a map showing the probability or prediction > of snow on Christmas. Does anyone remember that site? Try The Weather Channel at http://www.weather.com/seasonal/holidays/white_xmas.html -Scott, wondering why the grass is still green in southern Wisconsin -- Scott Bachmeier University of Wisconsin - Madison | SSEC | CIMSS mailto:scottb@planck.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 12:36:46 -0500 From: Gary Arnold Subject: Re: Winter outbreak For all of those who have graciously turned on fans, waved, cold weather danced, or otherwise attempted to direct cool air toward us here in south Florida, thank you! Your efforts are truly appreciated. It's a welcome break! However: 41 degrees in Naples this morning...that's plenty...let's not overdo it...none of the white stuff please! Do not close the door, simply close it JUST a bit! And please don't tell the Vice President it's warmer in the upper midwest than in Florida. You know the kind of trouble THAT could cause! ;-) Happy holidays and a great (Y2K)-1 to all from (it sure seems like) frozen Naples! ______________________________________________________________ Gary Arnold, CEM Collier County Emergency Management E-mail: garnold@naples.net (Alt: gary.arnold@worldnet.att.net) EM page: "http://www.collierem.org/" Mine : "http://www.collierem.org/garnold.htm" -/- Drew's law of highway biology: "The first bug to hit a clean windshield lands directly in front of your eyes." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 14:48:48 -0500 From: Scott Cravens Subject: Snow?? ============= VERY interresting: ============= PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 440 PM EST TUE DEC 15 1998 SOME FOLKS IN THE INDUSTRIAL SECTION OF THE KANAWHA VALLEY SAW THEIR FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON NEAR DAWN TUESDAY. YET...THE SNOW WAS NOT FROM MOTHER NATURE ALONE. A DUSTING OF FINE SNOW FROM SMALL FLAKES WAS SPOTTED NEAR NITRO AND IN THE SOUTH CHARLESTON AREA. THE AREA AROUND JEFFERSON ROAD IN SOUTH CHARLESTON MAY HAVE BEEN THE MOST AFFECTED. SALT WAS EVEN SPREAD OUT BY ROAD CREWS. A FEW FLAKES WERE EVEN SEEN AT YEAGER AIRPORT JUST BEFORE 7 AM. THIS SNOW WAS NOT CAUSED BY ANY ORGANIZED WEATHER SYSTEM. IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN INTERACTION BETWEEN MAN'S POLLUTION AND NATURE'S LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. IT WAS A LONG CLEAR AND CALM DECEMBER NIGHT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY REACHED 100 PERCENT BY 9 O'CLOCK MONDAY EVENING. THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE KEPT DROPPING OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT ABOVE THE GROUND. A STEEP TEMPERATURE INVERSION FORMED. BY DAWN...THE TEMPERATURE WAS SOME 20 DEGREES COLDER AT THE GROUND...COMPARED TO 3000 FEET ABOVE THE GROUND. THIS STRONG INVERSION TRAPPED THE AIR NEAR THE GROUND. THE HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY...COMBINED WITH OUR INDUSTRIAL URBAN ACTIVITIES BETWEEN WINFIELD AND CHARLESTON...PRODUCED THE FINE SNOW FLAKES. SATELLITE IMAGERY NOTED THE LOW CLOUDS TO BE MUCH MORE EXTENSIVE FROM PUTNAM COUNTY INTO WESTERN KANAWHA COUNTY...COMPARED TO OTHER RIVER VALLEYS. THESE SMALL FLAKES WERE NOT SEEN AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUTHDALE. SO...THE OFFICIAL RECORDS FOR CHARLESTON STILL SHOW NO SNOW YET...FOR THE 98-99 SEASON. ->>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> -> Scott Cravens -> -> Computing Resource Unit, Ag & Resource Economics -> North Carolina State University -> Phone: (919)515-6095 Fax: (919)515-6268 ->>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:32:31 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: High Pressure over Alaska Greetings from Fairbanks. Burr. Check out these pressures at 11AM A.S.T. on 17 Dec: INTERIOR PARC Arctic Village No Report -36 MM Calm 31.46 -36 10 PABI Delta Junction No Report -35 MM SE6 31.45 -45 10 PAIN Denali Park No Report -35 MM Calm 31.33 -35 10 PAEG Eagle No Report MM MM Calm MM MM 10 PAEI Eielson AFB IceCrystals/Fog -29 MM N1 31.31 -29 4 PFYU Fort Yukon No Report -38 MM Calm 31.37 -38 10 PAFA Fairbanks Fog -33 MM E3 31.34 -33 10 PAFB Ft. Wainwright Not Available PAGA Galena MostlyCldy -24 61 N8 31.07 -43 15 PAHV Healy Not Available PAHS Huslia No Report -17 100 E5 31.04 -19 10 PAKV Kaltag Cloudy -10 67 Calm 31.03 -10 10 PAMH Lake Minchumina No Report -29 MM W3 31.17 -29 10 PAMC McGrath Cloudy -27 MM Calm 31.05 -27 10 PANN Nenana No Report MM MM E12 MM MM 10 PAOR Northway No Report -36 MM Calm 31.43 -36 7 The high pressure is forecasted to move away from Alaska by the weekend. Thus the reason why colder temperatures have failed to develop. Strong south flow over western Alaska is expected to warm things up here (except for the wind chill). Regards, Jan ************************************************************************ Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu Homepage: Home of the Northern Lights (Jan Curtis) http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/Curtis/curtis.html (links) http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/Curtis/aurora/aurora.html (pictures) ************************************************************************ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 15:52:41 -0500 From: Stu Ostro Subject: Severe Weather Specialist THE WEATHER CHANNEL® has an opening for the position of Severe Weather Specialist. RESPONSIBILITIES include serving as a severe convection expert on TWC video network and other distribution platforms; working with Meteorology, On-Camera Meteorology, Production/Programming, New Media, Radio, and other operational TWC Departments; teaching, coaching, and providing feedback to TWC staff; speaking engagements; participation in interviews by other media; liaison with severe weather community (research, SPC, NWS, emergency mgmt., etc.). Individual will be expected to stay abreast of latest scientific developments; doing their own research and publishing is encouraged as time allows. SKILL REQUIREMENTS include: authority on severe convection; highly knowledgeable about mesoscale meteorology, radar, satellite, and the latest scientific theories; exceptional communication skills including strong on-camera presence and ability to explain complex weather situations to TWC viewers in ! an easy-to-understand manner (prior on-camera experience preferred); strong interpersonal and leadership skills including the ability to work very well in a team environment with minimal supervision; ability to teach and train; proficiency in use of computers. QUALIFICATIONS: Renowned in field; degree in atmospheric or related science (Ph.D. preferred). Extensive experience in research and operational forecasting; teaching experience a plus. If interested, please send letter and curriculum vitae by no later than January 6, 1999 to Keith Westerlage, On-Camera Meteorology Manager, The Weather Channel®, 300 Interstate North Parkway, Atlanta, GA 30339. Serious candidates only please. EOE. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 15:36:08 -0600 From: "Stewart, Jeffrey P." Subject: Cold Outbreak Been tracking this cold outbreak since noting first signs of its development 14 Dec (on the 144hr MRF charts). I am curious about the precursors for development of a significant Arctic outbreak, especially since it has been so warm through Nov and Dec. Looks like what we have in this case is 1)500 mb s/w moving across AK followed by strong NVA (14&15 Dec), 2)change in 500 mb flow featuring ridge extending from Pacific thru W AK to Arctic Ocean allowing cold air to migrate into Canada/US. Your statement about colder temperatures failing to develop: do you mean the arctic highs seem to not be remaining over AK long enough to get really cold before moving out or dissipating? Would welcome your insight/discussion since you live there... >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Jan Curtis wrote: Check out these pressures at 11AM A.S.T. on 17 Dec: INTERIOR PARC Arctic Village No Report -36 MM Calm 31.46 -36 10 PABI Delta Junction No Report -35 MM SE6 31.45 -45 10 <> The high pressure is forecasted to move away from Alaska by the weekend. Thus the reason why colder temperatures have failed to develop. Strong south flow over western Alaska is expected to warm things up here (except for the wind chill). Regards, Jan >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 17:03:19 -0700 From: Don Murray Subject: 19981217: Unidata Demo System down The Unidata McIDAS Demonstration system (mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu) is down and out for the count. There is no estimated uptime at this point (probably not until after the new year). If you have been using this site to get GOES-E/W composites or image/topo composites, please use another site. Sorry for the inconvenience. Don ************************************************************* Don Murray UCAR Unidata Program dmurray@unidata.ucar.edu P.O. Box 3000 (303) 497-8628 Boulder, CO 80307 ************************************************************* Unidata WWW Server http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ McIDAS Demonstration Machine http://mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu/ ************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Dec 1998 to 17 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Dec 19 14:52:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-3864>; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 14:11:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA28702; Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:04:12 -0600 Message-Id: <199812190604.AAA28702@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 00:01:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Dec 1998 to 18 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5b4ff2ea6c1762966154baad13bab2a5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 147 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ...no subject...GOES camcorder 2. Ridge and long term forecast 3. my weather sites. 4. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 09:32:07 EST From: Norman Donaldson Subject: ...no subject...GOES camcorder Apart from the camcorder not surviving launch and the nasty space environment (radiation, hot/cold, rather dry, etc), I thought almost all the satellites are spin stabilized. The school kids might get a bit dizzy watching this kind of TV!!! Actually this is as much a question as a statement...wouldn't such a camcorder need massive image correction? I know the new GOES are spun and scanned differently from the older ones but I can't remember the details. What about commercial satellites? I agree that Triana is a huge waste of US money. Norman > Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 09:33:12 CST > From: Jim LaDue > Subject: ...no subject... > > >NASA/NOAA needs to head to Circuit City buy a cheap camcorder and stuff > >it into that satellite before launch. It would cost them about $500 to > >beam decent live Earth images back to web pages for school kids to view > >--leaving $19,000,500.00 of Gore's proposed Triana satellite money for > >more useful purposes. ..Chris.. > > Several years ago there was a proposal to include a CCD type camera > aboard several communications satellites. The camera would image the US > every few minutes at about 4km resolution in visible and thermal IR. Never > did know what happened to that proposal. If we could get that resolution > down to 1km for both channels, we would have a great continuous rapid > scan imager to compliment the present GOES-E and W. At present, we do > not have the funding to operate a third GOES satellite for continuous rapid > update scanning. But, as you say, a CCD camera plus some ground-receiving > equipment could piggyback a comms satellite for quite a bit less. ------CONTACT INFO-------------------------------------------------- Norman Donaldson, King Weather Radar Cloud Physics Research Division, ARMP, Atmospheric Environment Service 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. M3H 5T4 Phone: (905)833-3905 ext 240 Fax: (905)833-0398 E-Mail: norman.donaldson@ec.gc.ca WWW (Radar/profiler) Outside version: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king WWW (Radar/profiler) E.C. Users only: http://kong.tor.ec.gc.ca/ Profilers on WWW: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king/radar/prof-urls.html -------------------------------------------------------------------- ANY IDEA EXPRESSED HERE IS NOT THE POSITION OF THE GOV'T OF CANADA NOR THAT OF ARMP. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 10:32:33 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Ridge and long term forecast Check out http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/maproom/ENS/spag_f096_nh.html if you want to see a killer ridge in the Eastern Pacific! Then check out http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/maproom/ENS/spag_f216_nh.html if you think you can do a nine day forecast with any confidence in this regime!! It is one of the most varied 9 day forecast I have ever seen. Just some holiday spaghetti for you all! Paul ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 13:13:10 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: my weather sites. If you guys want to check out a couple cool weather pages...I don't think I told you all about them yet. My weather page... http://members.tripod.com/edge777/weather.html my forecaster's page...a collection of links and everything a meteorologist needs to do a forecast, all on one convenient website... http://members.tripod.com/edge777/wxframes.html Please enjoy, and comments/suggestions are welcome. Dave PS Paul, sorry you got this twice. I goofed with my email program. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 22:26:44 -0500 From: Stuart Shepard Subject: Thought you'd find this interesting... They're wanting to use "distributed" processing to look for ET. http://www.discovery.com/indep/newsfeatures/setiathome/setiathome.html Every day, every hour, the world's most sensitive ear is listening for ET's call. This particular search for extraterrestrial intelligence -- using Arecibo's radio observatory in Puerto Rico -- is serendipitous, skirting from star to star like a hitchhiker with no destination. Every time an Arecibo investigator positions the dish, a SETI receiver riding piggyback quickly scans 168 million channels of radio waves for possible ET chatter. If ET speaks with a loud, continuous and steady tone, scientists behind Project Serendip are poised to win the galactic sweepstakes of the millennium. Where would you look for alien life in space? Click here to try a search. But what if ET stutters? What if ET sings? What if ET whispers? Perhaps you might catch the signal. That's the hope of radio astronomers and computer scientists at the University of California, Berkeley. In an attempt to cast a finer and broader net into the infinite stream of cosmic radio waves, they want to tap your computer. Don't be looking for men in black to pull up in your driveway and wrestle away your PC. The SETI@home folks only ask that you stop flying toasters during your computer idle time and run their screen-saver program instead. It would help analyze a small portion of the 69,120 gigabits of data collected daily at the Arecibo Observatory. ___________________________________________________________________ You don't need to buy Internet access to use free Internet e-mail. Get completely free e-mail from Juno at http://www.juno.com/getjuno.html or call Juno at (800) 654-JUNO [654-5866] ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Dec 1998 to 18 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Sun Dec 20 19:16:22 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4154 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626950-29233>; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 14:14:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA06648; Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:04:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199812200604.AAA06648@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Dec 1998 00:01:36 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Dec 1998 to 19 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d30f1df9aed3b3ab35fc54da82d1bb0c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8005 There is one message totalling 18 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 1999 TESSA National Meeting-Speakers Announced +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 19 Dec 1998 14:16:12 -0500 From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: 1999 TESSA National Meeting-Speakers Announced Veteran storm chasers Dr. Charles Doswell, Gene Moore and Alan Moller have accepted invitations to speak at the 1999 TESSA National Meeting (6th Annual) on Saturday, April 17 in Plano, Texas. This represents a reunion of three senior storm chasers. All three have contributed greatly to the science of storm chasing and severe weather forecasting techniques and education. They are among the most respected in the "storm" industry. Details are available on the Internet on the TESSA News page at www.tessa.org, including a map to the site. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Dec 1998 to 19 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Dec 22 15:25:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1441 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627106-13347>; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 14:13:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAB22170; Tue, 22 Dec 1998 00:05:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199812220605.AAB22170@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 00:01:22 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Dec 1998 to 21 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf454ca00224560eaed820baa123275b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 5 messages totalling 162 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New AWOS Sites 2. GOES camcorder 3. holy temperature contrasts, Batman (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 15 Dec 1998 08:47:58 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: New AWOS Sites Two new AWOS sites were recently added to FOS DDS. KMGG - Maple Lake, MN PAII - Egegik, AK Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 07:59:56 -0500 From: Stephan Smith Subject: Re: GOES camcorder >Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1998 09:32:07 EST >From: Norman Donaldson >Subject: ...no subject...GOES camcorder >Apart from the camcorder not surviving launch and the nasty >space environment (radiation, hot/cold, rather dry, etc), I >thought almost all the satellites are spin stabilized. The >school kids might get a bit dizzy watching this kind of TV!!! >Actually this is as much a question as a statement...wouldn't >such a camcorder need massive image correction? I know the new >GOES are spun >and scanned differently from the older ones but I can't remember >the details. The current series of GOES is 3-axis stabilized NOT spin stabilized, i.e. GOES stares it doesn't spin. Steve Smith NWS Techniques Development Lab ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 09:16:23 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: holy temperature contrasts, Batman 14Z temperature: 61 at San Angelo TX and 70 at Longview TX, versus 8 at Amarillo TX, and 19 at Childress, TX. Zounds! Tim Vasquez Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 11:26:57 -0600 From: Daniel McCarthy Subject: Re: holy temperature contrasts, Batman --------------6951CFB4A921EFEF64149A11 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Tim Vasquez wrote: > 14Z temperature: 61 at San Angelo TX and 70 at Longview TX, versus > 8 at Amarillo TX, and 19 at Childress, TX. > > Zounds! In Fact, here in Norman, we are slip sliding our way around town. The fastest speed obtainable this morning was 22 mph!Very icy conditions abound! Does anyone miss the 106o temperatures we had all summer? ME! -- ************************************************************************************************ Daniel McCarthy Mesoscale Meteorologist Norman, OK My Account...My thoughts "To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?" -Katherine Graham ************************************************************************************************* --------------6951CFB4A921EFEF64149A11 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit  

Tim Vasquez wrote:

14Z temperature:  61 at San Angelo TX and 70 at Longview TX, versus
8 at Amarillo TX, and 19 at Childress, TX.

Zounds!

In Fact, here in Norman, we are slip sliding our way around town.  The fastest speed obtainable this morning was 22 mph!Very icy conditions abound!

Does anyone miss the 106o temperatures we had all summer?    ME!

--
************************************************************************************************

Daniel McCarthy
Mesoscale Meteorologist
Norman, OK

My Account...My thoughts

"To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be
more fun?"

-Katherine Graham
*************************************************************************************************
  --------------6951CFB4A921EFEF64149A11-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1998 13:40:06 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: holy temperature contrasts, Batman At 11:26 AM 12/21/98 -0600, Daniel McCarthy wrote: > In Fact, here in Norman, we are slip sliding our way around town. The fastest > speed obtainable this morning was 22 mph! Very icy conditions abound! The far northeast side of Norman was like a skating rink when I was running errands at 11 am, but by noon most of the streets were sanded. I'm having lots of fun tracking the progress of this front. The last time I saw such sharp contrasts was on 1/20/85. Unfortunately I have not been looking at any SFDs, but judging by the seesawing forecasts through the Southern Plains I would wager a guess that model overdependence is once again rearing its ugly head. A few years ago in one of the journals I remember reading an excellent paper on the characteristics of cold waves in the central U.S, but I've been unable to track it down in my personal library. I'd be grateful if anyone can offer any clues when/where this appeared. Tim Vasquez Norman, OK ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Dec 1998 to 21 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Dec 23 14:24:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3686 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628350-24584>; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 14:18:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA14766; Wed, 23 Dec 1998 00:06:30 -0600 Message-Id: <199812230606.AAA14766@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 00:01:52 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1998 to 22 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 89c60968601d2297c0f7bbeba41cf177 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 346 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Warning Sirens 2. Devil wind 3. model over-dependence (3) 4. holy temperature contrasts, Batman (2) 5. White Christmas maps (fwd) 6. Happy Holidays! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 10:19:16 -0600 From: Jared Guyer Subject: Warning Sirens I am writing on behalf of the city of Valparaiso, Indiana. They city is currently installing severe weather sirens that will be ready for activation in a couple of months. The educational committee is organizing and planning the most effective means for educating and informing the public about the sirens. We have already planned several newspaper articles and cable advertisements. I am writing to see if any other cities around the country have recently had a similar situation and would be able to send us pamphlets/info that were given to their public, or has any advice/changes that you would have done differently in your situation. Thank you very much for your help. Please directly e-mail vusit@exodus.valpo.edu or mail to: Jared Guyer Department of Geography/Meteorology Mueller Hall Valparaiso, IN 46383 Thank you, Jared Guyer Valparaiso Early Warning Planning Committee and Director of VUSIT ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 11:30:36 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Devil wind Wx-Talkers, My aunt from Orange County, California, is visiting Ohio. She said that about two weeks ago there was a very strong wind that blew in southern California called the Devil wind. It is apparently a different wind than the Santa Ana, because it is cool rather than hot. It is a dry wind like the Santa Ana, though. Does anyone have any more information about the Devil wind? --Shawn Trueman Sandusky, Ohio ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 10:51:04 -0600 From: Jim Johnson Subject: model over-dependence Tim Vasquez wrote in response to Dan McCarthy... >I'm having lots of fun tracking the progress of this front. The last time I >saw such sharp contrasts was on 1/20/85. Unfortunately I have not been >looking at any SFDs, but judging by the seesawing forecasts through >the Southern Plains I would wager a guess that model overdependence >is once again rearing its ugly head. Amen! Sadly I watched a number of AFD's discuss how the models were going to be too warm (ie...they recognized the problem), and then watched the same forecasters undercut FWC guidance numbers by a lousy 5 degrees F!!! I guess venturing very far from MOS is kind of like pre-Columbus explorers being afraid of falling off the edge of the world (Here be Ye Dragons!). If I had my way, all new forecasters would be forced to work for a minimum of a year without the MOS numbers. Maybe that would give them the confidence to deviate greatly from the numbers when such deviation is warranted. > >A few years ago in one of the journals I remember reading an excellent >paper on the characteristics of cold waves in the central U.S, but I've >been unable to track it down in my personal library. I'd be grateful if >anyone can offer any clues when/where this appeared. Tim... I, too, recall this. Central U.S. cold fronts have always been one of my favorite things because of the screwy things they do kinematically. I've got a bunch of stuff on this somewhere. When I get some time I'll get you a bibliography, off line. Often overlooked in a case like this are the densities of the two airmasses and the effect of the downslope. Both of of these factors (viscous fluid flow and densimetric velocity) are most decidedly non-hydrostatic and will NOT be replicated by our hydrostatic models of the atmosphere. Cheers!! And... Happy Holidays to all on the list... *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 12:06:32 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: model over-dependence > > Tim Vasquez wrote in response to Dan McCarthy... > > >I'm having lots of fun tracking the progress of this front. The last time I > >saw such sharp contrasts was on 1/20/85. Unfortunately I have not been > >looking at any SFDs, but judging by the seesawing forecasts through > >the Southern Plains I would wager a guess that model overdependence > >is once again rearing its ugly head. > > Amen! Sadly I watched a number of AFD's discuss how the models were going > to be too warm (ie...they recognized the problem), and then watched the same > forecasters undercut FWC guidance numbers by a lousy 5 degrees F!!! I guess > venturing very far from MOS is kind of like pre-Columbus explorers being > afraid of falling off the edge of the world (Here be Ye Dragons!). If I had > my way, all new forecasters would be forced to work for a minimum of a year > without the MOS numbers. Maybe that would give them the confidence to > deviate greatly from the numbers when such deviation is warranted. > It seems to me that as long as the ability of a forecaster is tied to how well he or she does relative to MOS, then MOS is going to be used as something more than the guidance its supposed to be. Why? Management is using it as a evaluation tool which it was not designed to be, that's why. To determine the skill of a forecaster is difficult; an easy way but an incomplete way, is to compare them to MOS. So perhaps some overburdened managers choose this easy way out. FWIW, MOS is too warm of late here in srn WI (at least judging from the forecasts from last night and the actual low). The forecasts I saw/ heard all went below zero. The actual low was 1. Amazing things happen with Arctic airmasses with no snowcover :) Now, if MOS is not used as a benchmark for NWS forecasters -- I seem to recall that it is -- disregard this post :)) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | If a lawyer is disbarred, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | is a meteorologist http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | disgusted? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 14:30:06 GMT From: Herb0412 Subject: Re: holy temperature contrasts, Batman > >Tim Vasquez wrote: > >> 14Z temperature: 61 at San Angelo TX and 70 at Longview TX, versus >> 8 at Amarillo TX, and 19 at Childress, TX. >> At one point on Monday afternoon I recall it was 8 at Amarillo and 78 in Houston --Herb Mid-Atlantic Weather Station http://members.aol.com/herb0412/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 13:29:12 -0600 From: Tim Vasquez Subject: Re: model over-dependence At 10:51 AM 12/22/98 -0600, Jim Johnson wrote: >I, too, recall this. Central U.S. cold fronts have always been one of my >favorite things because of the screwy things they do kinematically. I've got >a bunch of stuff on this somewhere. When I get some time I'll get you a >bibliography, off line. I think Chip Kasper hit the nail square on the head with this article: Colle, B. and C.F. Mass, 1995: The Structure and Evolution of Cold Surges East of the Rocky Mountains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2577-2610. Thanks Chip! Speaking about temperature contrasts, it was interesting to see the 50-degree difference between the 22 deg min at Las Vegas, NV and the -28 deg min at Milford, UT. That's just a 200 mile drive up Interstate 15! When I used to work at the Tonopah Test Range in Nevada I remember it was very common for Ely, just 3 mountain ranges away and at the same elevation, get minus 20 readings while we basked in the 20s. Tim Vasquez Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 14:33:36 -0600 From: Daniel McCarthy Subject: Re: holy temperature contrasts, Batman Tim Vasquez wrote: > At 11:26 AM 12/21/98 -0600, Daniel McCarthy wrote: > > In Fact, here in Norman, we are slip sliding our way around town. The fastest > > speed obtainable this morning was 22 mph! Very icy conditions abound! > > The far northeast side of Norman was like a skating rink when I was > running errands at 11 am, but by noon most of the streets were sanded. > > I'm having lots of fun tracking the progress of this front. The last time I > saw such sharp contrasts was on 1/20/85. Unfortunately I have not been > looking at any SFDs, but judging by the seesawing forecasts through > the Southern Plains I would wager a guess that model overdependence > is once again rearing its ugly head. > > A few years ago in one of the journals I remember reading an excellent > paper on the characteristics of cold waves in the central U.S, but I've > been unable to track it down in my personal library. I'd be grateful if > anyone can offer any clues when/where this appeared. In fact, we were talking in the office last night HOW WELL the MRF did on the timing and strength of this 1045 mb high. It tried to tell all of us the cold air pool over Alaska was and when it was arriving. Therefore, I think many of us over challenged the model solutions when it tried to tell us of this cold air outbreak. I got a kick on how it was tabbed right away and Arctic outbreak. We never really had any continental polar air originate from Canada. The air mass looked like it was over Alaska/northwest Canada and the upper air pattern ridged into that area. Back in 1977 and 1984 the upper air pattern actually floowd over the Arctic region. I think THIS is the key for tapping (and naming) an arctic air mass. ************************************************************************************************ Daniel McCarthy Mesoscale Meteorologist Norman, OK My Account...My thoughts "To love what you do and feel that it matters - how could anything be more fun?" -Katherine Graham ************************************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 16:59:09 -0500 From: Thomas Rokoske Subject: White Christmas maps (fwd) An item received from Greg Thompson that may be of interest. Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.phys.appstate.edu/ 828-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 11:13:28 -0700 (MST) From: Greg Thompson To: rokosketl@conrad.appstate.edu, scottb@PLANCK.SSEC.WISC.EDU Subject: White Christmas maps >From WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU > > Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 11:08:17 -0500 > From: Thomas Rokoske > Subject: Christmas Snow Map > > All, > Last year I remember a map showing the probability or prediction of snow > on Christmas. Does anyone remember that site? > Tom > ------------------------------ > > Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 16:48:01 +0000 > From: Scott Bachmeier > Subject: Re: Christmas Snow Map > > Try The Weather Channel at > > http://www.weather.com/seasonal/holidays/white_xmas.html > > -Scott, wondering why the grass is still green in southern Wisconsin Tom and Scott, A co-worker and I put together some maps that might be of better use to you than the Weather Channel's White Xmas maps. Please visit the URL: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/~gthompsn/xmas.html These maps are created from data obtained from NCDC for 1960-1990 and unfortunately, they are mostly the larger cities so there are reasonable gaps in the plots. Nonetheless, we think it's more useful to have actual numbers over some period rather than a broad-brushed contour of 25-50%. Enjoy and please forward this message to WX-TALK for me since I am no longer a subscriber. -- +--------------------------------------------------------------+ | Greg Thompson http://www.rap.ucar.edu/~gthompsn | | Research Applications Program | | (303) 497-2805 National Center for Atmospheric Research | | (fax) -8401 P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 | +--------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 18:21:21 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Happy Holidays! Wishing all my cyber friends the best of holiday greetings from the (finally!) Frozen Tundra of Southeast Wisconsin. Have a Blessed Christmas and a Very Happy New Year! ***************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee, Wisconsin USA Certified Atmospheric Guardian and Former Wiener Dog Owner Member - Milwaukee Area Skywarn Association (MASA), SE Wisconsin Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES), Milwaukee Repeater Club (MRC), Illinois Multi-County Warning System - Advanced Severe Weather Spotter KB9KEF-10 Jefferson County WI APRS Wide/Relay/Trace Sysop. Severe Weather Skywarn Ops. at "SFTS!" http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew KJV 16:.2.3 ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1998 to 22 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Thu Dec 24 14:59:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3447 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-22542>; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 14:21:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA13806; Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:06:17 -0600 Message-Id: <199812240606.AAA13806@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Dec 1998 to 23 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c9f3021e878c6830bce5579328afbd6c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 11 messages totalling 653 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. It is COLD (2) 2. White Christmas Study 3. White Christmas maps 4. Valparaiso Weather Radio Campaign 5. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1998 to 22 Dec 1998 (2) 6. Mobile Polar High (MPH) 7. Iowa Conference Update/Presentations needed!!! 8. Ho!!! Ho!!! Ho!!! & All That Stuff! 9. CASI NetNews : Tap Adds Lightning, New Local NEXRAD Products / White Xmas +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 04:27:20 -0600 From: MARK WIDERSTROM Subject: Re: It is COLD --------------556D89D036B72152A53E7245 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Wonder where all the folks are that say global warming is taking over todat when the temps are in the minus degree marks. What a bunch of hooey, always saying we are destroying the weather, looks like it to me the weather has its grip on us now :) Happy christmas weather Friends. Mark N5UOA --------------556D89D036B72152A53E7245 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Wonder where all the  folks are that say global warming is taking over todat when the temps are in the minus  degree marks. What a bunch of hooey, always saying we are destroying the weather, looks like it to me the weather has its grip on us  now  :)  Happy christmas weather  Friends.

Mark  N5UOA --------------556D89D036B72152A53E7245-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 08:33:00 EST From: Dennis O'Keefe Subject: White Christmas Study A requested post to the group from a fellow member of the North Jersey Weather Observers. -- ----------------------------Original message---------------------------- Forwarded from WX-TALK newsgroup: ...Here are some maps that might be of better use to you than the Weather Channel's White Xmas maps. Please visit the URL: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/~gthompsn/xmas.html These maps are created from data obtained from NCDC for 1960-1990 and unfortunately, they are mostly the larger cities so there are reasonable gaps in the plots. Nonetheless, we think it's more useful to have actual numbers over some period rather than a broad-brushed contour of 25-50%. Enjoy and please forward this message to WX-TALK for me since I am no longer a subscriber. H David Dabour AT&T Solutions Information Technology Services dabour@ems.att.com (908) 542-6120 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:15:30 -0500 From: rheim@NCDC.NOAA.GOV Subject: Re: White Christmas maps The following information may be of interest to those wanting snow probability statistics. The National Climatic Data Center recently released a 3-disk U.S. Snow Climatology CD-ROM containing daily and monthly snowfall and snow depth statistics for approximately 5500 stations in the Cooperative station network. The statistics include mean, median, quartiles, extremes, frequencies, return periods, and the number of years with non-missing data. Among these statistics are the probability of having snow cover (snow depth) beyond several threshold values for each day of the year, including December 25. Also, the probability of having snowfall beyond several threshold values for each day of the year, including December 25. The CD-ROM contains just tables of, and files of, the statistics, it doesn't contain any maps, but maps could be made from the data in the files. For additional information, contact the Climate Services Division of NCDC by mail at National Climatic Data Center Climate Services Division Federal Building 151 Patton Avenue, Room 120 Asheville, NC 28801-5001 or by phone at 828-271-4800, ask for the CSB meteorologists, not me! ;) or by email at orders@ncdc.noaa.gov or go to the NCDC web page at http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov Richard Heim Climate Perspectives Branch Global Climate Lab National Climatic Data Center >Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 16:59:09 -0500 >From: Thomas Rokoske >Subject: White Christmas maps (fwd) > >An item received from Greg Thompson that may be of interest. >Tom > >__________________________________________________________________________ _ >Thomas L. Rokoske >Department of Physics and Astronomy >>> stuff deleted for bandwidth <<< >Tom and Scott, > >A co-worker and I put together some maps that might be of better use to you >than the Weather Channel's White Xmas maps. Please visit the URL: > http://www.rap.ucar.edu/~gthompsn/xmas.html >These maps are created from data obtained from NCDC for 1960-1990 and >unfortunately, they are mostly the larger cities so there are reasonable >gaps in the plots. Nonetheless, we think it's more useful to have actual >numbers over some period rather than a broad-brushed contour of 25-50%. >Enjoy and please forward this message to WX-TALK for me since I am no >longer a subscriber. > >-- >+--------------------------------------------------------------+ >| Greg Thompson http://www.rap.ucar.edu/~gthompsn | >| Research Applications Program | >| (303) 497-2805 National Center for Atmospheric Research | >| (fax) -8401 P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 | >+--------------------------------------------------------------+ > >------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 09:49:38 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Valparaiso Weather Radio Campaign Vincent T. Wood attempted to post the following but it was rejected due to a slight mismatch in his e-mail address. I've corrected his problem (I think) and am forwarding his original message. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = From: "Vincent T. Wood" Jared, The hearing impaired residents in Valparaiso and other cities who might be at a loss for receiving warnings about thunderstorms and other weather dangers are getting help through an emergency pager program. I suggest that the city provides free pagers to residents who submit medical proof of hearing loss, such as doctor's notes. Vibrating pages transmit warnings from the National Weather Service. A code indicates the type of weather emergency in effect. They have been doing very well in other cities such as Joliet, Illinois. The cities require that hearing-impaired residents be trained on usage and sign an agreement to take care of the pagers. Warning sirens do not work for hearing-impaired residents because of their hearing loss. Thank you for being involved in the warning planning committee. Hearing- impaired residents will appreciate your assistance in getting the emergency pager program out in Valparaiso. Vincent "Bim" Wood Deaf Meteorologist ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vincent T. Wood National Severe Storms Laboratory E-MAIL: wood@nssl.noaa.gov NOAA/ERL FAX: (405) 366-0472 1313 Halley Circle PH: (405) 366-0402 Norman, OK 73069-8480 TDD: (405) 366-0466 USA WWW: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~wood ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 08:51:15 -0800 From: Mike Cetinich Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1998 to 22 Dec 1998 ------ =_NextPart_000_01BE2E51.66B4B4A0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ----------------------------- Date: Tue, 22 Dec 1998 11:30:36 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Devil wind Wx-Talkers, My aunt from Orange County, California, is visiting Ohio. She said that about two weeks ago there was a very strong wind that blew in southern California called the Devil wind. It is apparently a different wind = than the Santa Ana, because it is cool rather than hot. It is a dry wind = like the Santa Ana, though. Does anyone have any more information about the Devil wind? --Shawn Trueman Sandusky, Ohio Shawn, There may be different names for downslope winds in all regions of the = world, but the phenomenon and meteorological conditions that cause them = are pretty much the same. Having grown up in California and a = meteorologist here for the past 16 years, the condition your aunt spoke about was a very pure Santa Ana = episode, where about a 16mb SLP gradient existed between Tonopah (TPH) = Nevada and Los Angeles (LAX) which is appx 120 nm, and there was upper = level support for the event, where even the 500 mb flow was = northeasterly due to an upper level low near the Arizona/California = border. The northeasterly downslope winds in Southern Cal may be called = different names (Sundowner in Santa Barbara), but the synoptic pattern = that causes them is always similar. The temperature of the event is = dictated by the temperature of the source region air, the air certainly = warms adiabatically as it moves down the mountains, but if the source = air starts at a low temperature (as was the case in this event) then the = final temp at Santa Ana will be cooler. When the source air mass is in = the 60's in Southern Nevada and Southeast California, then the temps at = the California coast will be in the 80's, source air in the 40's, only = 60's at the beach. There was a milder event last week when the source = air mass was warmer, and some spots were in the mid 80's in So Cal. The = winds were named "Santa Ana's" because the topography of So Cal is such = that the gap between the San Gabriel and San Bernardino Mountains causes = a funneling effect such that Santa Ana is usually the recipient of the = strongest winds. 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Dorn" Subject: Re: It is COLD This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_001C_01BE2E68.CA738F40 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit One of them is setting in Belton Texas, having enjoyed way above normal temperatures until two days ago when we received our first significant cold weather of the season way late. many of the plants on our 300 acres were still in bloom, and some were beginning to put out new growth. I well remember the 100 degree plus summer just past that started in May and lasted until September. Joe Dorn, Belton, Texas (60 miles north of Austin), W5VEX -----Original Message----- From: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On Behalf Of MARK WIDERSTROM Sent: Wednesday, December 23, 1998 4:27 AM To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Re: It is COLD Wonder where all the folks are that say global warming is taking over todat when the temps are in the minus degree marks. What a bunch of hooey, always saying we are destroying the weather, looks like it to me the weather has its grip on us now :) Happy christmas weather Friends. Mark N5UOA ------=_NextPart_000_001C_01BE2E68.CA738F40 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

One of=20 them is setting in Belton Texas, having enjoyed way above normal = temperatures=20 until two days ago when we received our first significant cold weather = of the=20 season way late. many of the plants on our 300 acres were still in = bloom, and=20 some were beginning to put out new growth.
 
I well=20 remember the 100 degree plus summer just past that started in May and = lasted=20 until September.
 
Joe=20 Dorn, Belton, Texas (60 miles north of Austin), = W5VEX
-----Original Message-----
From: WX-TALK General = weather=20 discussions and talk [mailto:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU]On = Behalf=20 Of MARK WIDERSTROM
Sent: Wednesday, December 23, 1998 = 4:27=20 AM
To: Multiple recipients of list = WX-TALK
Subject: Re:=20 It is COLD

Wonder where all = the =20 folks are that say global warming is taking over todat when the = temps are in=20 the minus  degree marks. What a bunch of hooey, always saying = we are=20 destroying the weather, looks like it to me the weather has its grip = on=20 us  now  :)  Happy christmas weather =20 Friends.=20

Mark  N5UOA =

------=_NextPart_000_001C_01BE2E68.CA738F40-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 08:49:49 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Mobile Polar High (MPH) Fairbanks Greetings: I received the following request for information which I'm not knowledgeable of, so if anyone knows anything about MPH and is interested in replying directly to the originator below, feel free to do so: Thanks, Jan Curtis ******************************************************************* Subject: Information request (URGENT) Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 08:44:38 -0800 From: Bertrand Labasse Dear sir, Tim Shy, from the department of atmospheric sciences (Urbana Campaign - Illinois) has suggested us to contact you. We are scientific journalists from Science Presse news service preparing a story on the concept of Mobile Polar High (MPH), as developed by Pr Marcel Leroux in his recent book : Dynamic analysis of weather and climats, published by Wiley-Praxis (and in LEROUX M., 1993. The Mobile Polar High : a new concept explaining presents mechanisms of meridional airmass and energy exchanges and glogal propagation of paleoclimatic changes. Global and Planetary Change, 7, 69-82. reviewed in : Quaternary Science reviews, 13, 395-402). Trying to evaluate how this concept of MPH is percieved by various experts, we would really like to know your opinion on this topic. Here are some questions we try to clarify : Is the concept scientificaly relevant ? Does it offer a good explanation of some observed phenomenon ? How far is it compatible with mainstream meteorological models ? What are his strengths or the weaknesses ? Does it (or will it) have an influence in weather predictions in the USA or elsewhere ? Any commentary from you (long or short) would be of great help. Please tell us if you would accept to be namely quoted or if you prefer to stay anonymous. We would be very gratefull if you could answer as quickly as possible (within days), as this story has been ordered to us by a french national magazine with a very short deadline. We wish you a merry christmas and a happy new year. Yours sincerely, Vincent Foechterlé Bertrand Labasse Science writer Science editor _____________________________ ___________________________________ | | ____ _____ __ | | A.G.R.A.P / SCIENCES PRESSE | / __| _\ \/ /Groupe d'etudes sur| | | | | | __\ /la Vulgarisation | |Agence de presse scientifique| \____|____\_/et l'Information | |technologique et medicale | http://www.univ-lyon1.fr/spr/GEV | | -----------------------------------| | http://www.univ-lyon1.fr/spr/SCIENCES.PRESSE | |-----------------------------------------------------------------| |c/o AGRAP - 32, rue Thomassin BP2070 - 69226 Lyon Cedex 02 FRANCE| | Tel 33 478929893 Fax 33 478421798/SciencesPresse@univ-lyon1.fr | |_________________________________________________________________| !Sciences Presse is the main french news service specialized in ! !science and technology. It releases some 500 pages of scientific ! !writing every year, and publishes two magazines.Through the GeV, ! !a study group on the communication of complex informations, it ! !is also concerned with the teaching and improvement of advanced ! !writing and information methodology, ! ------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 14:44:22 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Iowa Conference Update/Presentations needed!!! The 3rd Annual Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference Sponsored by the Central Iowa NWA Chapter Friday March 26, 1999 at 1:30 p.m. until Sunday, March 28 at Noon The University Park Holiday Inn in West Des Moines, Iowa Hotel Reservations: 515-223-1800 Building on the success of last two years, the Central Iowa Chapter of the National Weather Association is having another top-notch weather conference. Who should attend? Forecasters, emergency management personnel, media, students, and anyone who is a weather enthusiast. This is a broad-based conference dealing with all sides of the severe weather issue. We'll also have workshops by first-class guest speakers and presentations by regional severe weather experts. Les Lemon will provide a 1 1/2 hour workshop on radar and satellite "Remote Sensing" applications to severe weather. We're also working to bring in experts on tornadogenesis and heavy rain forecasting. Presentations will focus on utilizing doppler radar, forecasting, spotter/chaser operations, and recent severe weather events. Friday night will be chaser night, bring video and pictures of your latest chase! Call for Papers: We still have plenty of presentation slots open for people like YOU. Last year was an active severe weather season in the upper Midwest. Attendees would like to hear what YOU learned from the experience, whether it be the scientific side of severe weather detection, or coordination between media, spotters, emergency managers and the NWS. Abstracts can be sent to John McLaughlin at johnmc49@ecity.net The University Park Holiday Inn has a shuttle to and from the Des Moines Airport, no need to rent a car. This hotel has a huge atrium in which you can socialize with weather colleagues. There is an excellent restaurant in the hotel, and many other restaurants within walking distance. (Even a McDonald's for those on a budget or in a hurry.) Registration on and after Jan 1st is $85. Students: $50 Vendors: $250 Sorry, we cannot accept credit cards. Write To: Central Iowa NWA P.O. Box 7512 Urbandale, IA 50322 This is a great opportunity for a short, focused severe weather knowledge-sharing event. It is YOUR attendance and presentations which make it great! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 15:51:05 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1998 to 22 Dec 1998 Intense Radar Training Session to be offered in Des Moines: In conjunction with internationally respected radar meteorologist, Les Lemon, a 16 hour Doppler radar course will be offered in Des Moines 6-7 March, 1999. The course wil cover operational and interpretation aspects of radar, including both Nexrad and C-band (TV) Doppler systems. Special emphasis is also placed on convective storm structure as viewed by Doppler radar. Completion of the course results in a certificate. Class fee is $300 and is limited. For additional details, email Johnmc49@ecity.net. Thanks John McLaughlin KCCI DSM ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 15:26:10 -0700 From: The Rink Rat Subject: Ho!!! Ho!!! Ho!!! & All That Stuff! I just wanted to wish all of the Weather Enthusiasts on this list, a safe and most joyful Christmas, Kwanza, etc. All the best in the coming year. I hope Santa brings you all what you wish for! Peace! -- David Jacober- Pueblo, Colorado I'd Rather Play Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal. Actually, I'd Rather Play Hockey & Be Beaten Half To Death By Two Old Nun's, Than To Be Caught Wearin' Figure Skates! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Dec 1998 23:44:09 GMT From: Jesse Ferrell - CASI Subject: CASI NetNews : Tap Adds Lightning, New Local NEXRAD Products / White Xmas Just a quickie NetNews for Radar/Severe Weather Fans: In moves sure to stun its competitors in the world of Pay Radar/Lightning Services on the Internet, WeatherTap (www.weathertap.com) today began offering additional products including 3 local NEXRAD products (Echo Tops, Storm Total Precipitation, and Base Velocity) in addition to their Base Reflectivity and BR Loops for all US NEXRAD sites. They also have added a Radar Users Tutorial and a huge 2700x2000 pixel US Radar Composite with counties overlaid. And, becoming the first company that is not the source of the data to offer it, they are offering Real-Time Lightning Maps with Pos/Neg Strokes and Age, for the US and 6 regions. The lightning maps can also be combined with a US Satellite. All this is in combination with other weather and satellite maps that they offer (details at their site). WeatherTap's service is $5.35-$5.95 per month. Happy Holidays! If I can get through PHL to GSO tomorrow morning anyway... ;) The following maps are online indicating the climatological and actual chance for a White Xmas: http://www.weather.com/seasonal/holidays/white_xmas.html http://www.accuweather.com/iwxpage/santapaw/graphic2.htm http://www.rap.ucar.edu/~gthompsn/xmas.html This newspost is spam-protected by setting FROM: to a fake email. ================================================================= Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136832 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Dec 1998 to 23 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Fri Dec 25 19:02:53 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626946-24569>; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 14:15:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38068; Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:06:26 -0600 Message-Id: <199812250606.AAA38068@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:02:09 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Dec 1998 to 24 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5bc5a44cc2a4f86db749bdf401925e36 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 50 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NOAAPORT Products 2. Plotting Program +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 09:35:21 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NOAAPORT Products Since LDM and most web sites use the NOAAPORT feed, I was curious about the FPUS97 product. It seems many forecast products (SFD, ZFP, etc.) come out first as FPUS97 and then a few minutes later as the correct header. FPUS97 KCLE 241422 SFDCLE STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 923 AM EST THU DEC 24 1998 FXUS71 KCLE 241423 SFDCLE STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 923 AM EST THU DEC 24 1998 Same product but the FPUS97 came a minute prior to FXUS71 which is the correct header. I haven't noticed any pattern or problems, just wondered why the strange header and why it comes earlier than the "real" product? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 20:43:16 -0700 From: John & Karen Eylander Subject: Plotting Program Hey all, I am looking for a good program to plot soundings. I downloaded sharp the other day, but the instructions indicate my computer is a bit to advanced to run sharp (Need an EGA or VGA screen). Is there a newer version of Sharp that will run on a SVGA screen, or is there another program available that will do the same thing. I need to plot CLASS sounding data, print it up in a nice format, and need to be able to play with the data a bit (smoothing, etc). If anyone has any ideas, I would appreciate your input. Thanks in advance. BTW, I am running Win98. John Eylander ********************************************************** John Eylander Valparaiso University Alumni Graduate Meteorology Student South Dakota School of Mines and Technology Rapid City, SD 57701 Jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu ********************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Dec 1998 to 24 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 28 17:11:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4601 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-1346>; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 14:18:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA39784; Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:10:10 -0600 Message-Id: <199812280610.AAA39784@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 00:03:11 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Dec 1998 to 27 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ce7b5883adcb1eabbfc5bbe0cbcb82ea Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 32 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. think about this!! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 27 Dec 1998 08:21:42 PST From: tina shatter Subject: think about this!! Hello, Some months ago my boyfriend and I started with an online opportunity to earn some extra money. We did that after reading an e-mail like this one. We want to tell you that this legal home business worked very well for us and brought us financial freedom. If you are interested to read more please go to our homepage: http://www.geocities.com/Eureka/Boardroom/6970/ Regards, Joan. Jessy_lit@excite.com (If this email reached you in error please reply and you will be removed from the list) ______________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Dec 1998 to 27 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Tue Dec 29 14:36:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1460 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-17917>; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 14:13:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA37802; Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:04:59 -0600 Message-Id: <199812290604.AAA37802@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 00:01:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Dec 1998 to 28 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0c2a640ab0a34ed85da97dc73064c3a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 339 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RAOB Plottin program 2. think about this!! (2) 3. Warm surge??? (2) 4. Remaining ASOS To Be Commissioned +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 09:31:44 -0500 From: James Aman Subject: Re: RAOB Plottin program > > I am looking for a good program to plot soundings > Take a look at the June 1998 issue of the NWA National Weather Digest. Page 2 features a full page add for just such a program, from a company called "Environmental Research Services" in Matamoras, PA. phone: 717-491-4689 Also check out their web page at: http://www.raob.com (I have never used their program, so I don't have any other info to offer, but their web page sure makes it look nice). James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Broadcast Support Systems Management 301-258-8390 ext 108 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 10:39:04 -0700 From: Ralph Forsythe Subject: Re: think about this!! AHHH! I thought the WX-talk and WX-chase lists were the one safe haven I had from SPAM email... Guess not! Well, at least the porn sites haven't started posting in here yet. :) - Ralph Forsythe ralph@contact-paging.com At 12:03 AM 12/28/98 -0600, someone wrote: >Some months ago my boyfriend and I started with an online opportunity >to earn some extra money. We did that after reading an e-mail like >this one. We want to tell you that this legal home business worked >very well for us and brought us financial freedom. >If you are interested to read more please go to our homepage: ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 14:21:36 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: think about this!! On Mon, 28 Dec 1998, Ralph Forsythe wrote: > AHHH! I thought the WX-talk and WX-chase lists were the one safe haven I > had from SPAM email... Guess not! Well, at least the porn sites haven't > started posting in here yet. :) Hey, we had Chuck Doswell pose on The Gilbert Z..uhhh, Negative Tilt last year. Since then, we haven't seen many spammers. I mean, how can anyone top THAT? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: gilbert@niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 22:03:00 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Warm surge??? Hello everyone, There was a localized area of very mild air out ahead of the arctic cold front that was only a few counties wide, if that. It was accompanied by some gusty winds, but no precipitation. Temperatures rose into the lower 50's, while surrounding areas were in the 30's. What in the world could have caused that? This was not a synoptic scale feature, and it was borderline misoscale! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: gilbert@niu.edu (My opinions only!) ****** Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** Work phone: 815-753-5492 *** ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 22:39:25 -0500 From: Konon Boris Subject: Remaining ASOS To Be Commissioned 6R6 NWS Dryden TX 7R1 NWS Venice LA CQT NWS Los Angeles/Civic Center CA CUT NWS Custer SD GDP NWS Pine Springs TX MKK NWS Molokai HI MWT NWS Mena AR P58 NWS Port Hope MI PGSN NWS Saipan CM PGUM NWS Agana GU PJON NWS Johnston Island JT ABY FAA Albany GA ACV FAA Arcata/Eureka CA AEX FAA Alexandria LA AGC FAA Pittsburgh PA AKR FAA Akron OH ALI FAA Alice TX AMG FAA Alma GA AOO FAA Altoona PA APF FAA Naples FL ART FAA Watertown NY AUG FAA Augusta ME AUW FAA Wausau WI BCE FAA Bryce Canyon UT BKE FAA Baker OR BLF FAA Bluefield WV BLH FAA Blythe CA BTM FAA Butte MT BTT FAA Bettles AK BYI FAA Burley ID CCR FAA Concord CA CDR FAA Chadron NE CDV FAA Cordova AK CDW FAA Caldwell NJ CEC FAA Crescent City CA CMA FAA Camarillo CA CMX FAA Hancock MI CNM FAA Carlsbad NM COT FAA Cotulla TX CRE FAA North Myrtle Beach SC CSV FAA Crossville TN CXY FAA Harrisburg PA DAG FAA Daggett CA DAN FAA Danville VA DEC FAA Decatur IL DET FAA Detroit MI DHN FAA Dothan AL DHT FAA Dalhart TX DIK FAA Dickinson ND DLS FAA The Dalles OR DMN FAA Deming NM DUG FAA Douglas AZ DUJ FAA Du Bois PA EAU FAA Eau Claire WI EED FAA Needles CA ELD FAA El Dorado AR ENA FAA Kenai AK EPH FAA Ephrata WA FDY FAA Findlay OH FLO FAA Florence SC FNB FAA Falls City NE FPR FAA Fort Pierce FL FRG FAA Farmingdale NY GFL FAA Glens Falls NY GKN FAA Gulkana AK GLH FAA Greenville MS GMU FAA Greenville SC GON FAA Groton/New London CT GUP FAA Gallup NM HHR FAA Hawthorne CA HKS FAA Jackson/Hawkins MS HOT FAA Hot Springs AR HPN FAA White Plains NY HQM FAA Hoquiam WA HRO FAA Harrison AR HUL FAA Houlton ME HVN FAA New Haven CT HWO FAA Hollywood FL IML FAA Imperial NE INK FAA Wink TX IPL FAA Imperial CA ISP FAA Islip NY JMS FAA Jamestown ND JST FAA Johnstown PA JXN FAA Jackson MI LAR FAA Laramie WY LFT FAA Lafayette LA LNR FAA Lone Rock WI LNS FAA Lancaster PA LOL FAA Lovelock NV LOU FAA Louisville KY LSE FAA La Crosse WI LVM FAA Livingston MT LVS FAA Las Vegas NM LWT FAA Lewistown ID MCB FAA McComb MS MCW FAA Mason City IA MDT FAA Harrisburg PA MEM FAA Memphis TN MGW FAA Morgantown WV MHE FAA Mitchell SD MIE FAA Muncie IN MIV FAA Millville NJ MLB FAA Melbourne FL MLS FAA Miles City MT MOT FAA Minot ND MRB FAA Martinsburg WV MSS FAA Massena NY MWL FAA Mineral Wells TX MYF FAA San Diego CA MYV FAA Marysville CA OAK FAA Oakland CA ODX FAA Ord NE ORT FAA Northway AK OTM FAA Ottumwa IA PBF FAA Pine Bluff AR PHF FAA Newport News VA PIR FAA Pierre SD PKB FAA Parkersburg WV PLN FAA Pellston MI POU FAA Poughkeepsie NY PRB FAA Paso Robles CA PRC FAA Prescott AZ PSX FAA Palacios TX RDG FAA Reading PA RDM FAA Redmond OR RKS FAA Rock Springs WY RWF FAA Redwood Falls MN RWI FAA Rocky Mount NC RWL FAA Rawlins WY SBY FAA Salisbury MD SCC FAA Deadhorse AK SDL FAA Scottsdale AZ SFB FAA Orlando FL SIY FAA Montague CA SMF FAA Sacramento CA SMO FAA Santa Monica CA SNA FAA Santa Ana CA SRQ FAA Sarasota/Bradenton FL SSI FAA Brunswick GA STX FAA St. Croix VI TAD FAA Trinidad CO TAL FAA Tanana AK TCC FAA Tucumcari NM TCL FAA Tuscaloosa AL TIW FAA Tacoma WA TPH FAA Tonopah NV TVL FAA South Lake Tahoe CA UCA FAA Utica NY UGN FAA Chicago/Waukegan IL UIN FAA Quincy IL VGT FAA North Las Vegas NV VLD FAA Valdosta GA VRB FAA Vero Beach FL WJF FAA Lancaster CA WRL FAA Worland WY YIP FAA Detroit MI ZZV FAA Zanesville OH AKH EXP Gastonia NC AVX EXP Avalon CA BVO EXP Bartlesville OK CEU EXP Clemson SC CKV EXP Clarksville TN DAW EXP Rochester NH DEQ EXP De Queen AR DSV EXP Dansville NY DYL EXP Doylestown PA EAT EXP Wenatchee WA EKO EXP Elko NV ELZ EXP Wellsville NY EQY EXP Monroe NC EVW EXP Evanston WY FIG EXP Clearfield PA FWN EXP Sussex NJ GRD EXP Greenwood SC HBG EXP Hattiesburg MS HIB EXP Hibbing MN HWV EXP Shirley NY IAG EXP Niagara Falls NY IGX EXP Chapel Hill NC MMK EXP Meriden CT MPO EXP Mt. Pocono PA MRH EXP Beaufort NC OKB EXP Oceanside CA OLS EXP Nogales AZ OVS EXP Boscobel WI OXB EXP Ocean City MD PNC EXP Ponca City OK PSF EXP Pittsfield MA PTW EXP Pottstown PA RUE EXP Russellville AR SJB EXP Somerville NJ SJN EXP St. Johns AZ TOI EXP Troy AL TOR EXP Torrington WY TRM EXP Palm Springs CA UZA EXP Rock Hill SC VPC EXP Cartersville GA VTA EXP Newark OH WST EXP Westerly RI Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 22:53:47 -0500 From: Gilbert Sebenste Subject: Re: Warm surge??? On Mon, 28 Dec 1998, I hit the send button by accident and left part of a sentence out. Here is how it should have read: > Hello everyone, > > There was a localized area of very mild air well out ahead of the arctic > cold front moving across the northern plains that was only a few > counties wide, if that. This warm bubble was moving across > northern IL today. It was accompanied by some gusty winds, but no > precipitation. > > Temperatures rose into the lower 50's, while surrounding areas were in the > 30's. What in the world could have caused that? This was not a synoptic > scale feature, and it was borderline misoscale! > > Gilbert > > ******************************************************************************* > Gilbert Sebenste ******** > Internet: gilbert@niu.edu (My opinions only!) ****** > Staff Meteorologist, Northern Illinois University **** > Work phone: 815-753-5492 *** > ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Dec 1998 to 28 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Wed Dec 30 16:32:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4164 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-3112>; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 14:31:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA38644; Wed, 30 Dec 1998 00:11:44 -0600 Message-Id: <199812300611.AAA38644@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 00:02:53 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Dec 1998 to 29 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 74275fccfb77801e42b3221a4a7edf27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 10 messages totalling 263 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Ohio ZFP (2) 2. Topics in the November 1998 National Weather Association Newsletter 3. Low Power FM 4. think about this!! 5. snowstorm 6. Warmth ahead of a front 7. SPAM : think about this!! 8. MRF Meteograms?? (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 28 Dec 1998 17:16:10 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Ohio ZFP Ever since Cleveland has come out with FPUS51 KCLE 282027 ZFPPA NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA ZONE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 327 PM EST MON DEC 28 1998 PAZ001>003-290800- CRAWFORD-ERIE LAKESHORE-S. ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...MEADVILLE it now wipes out the rest of the counties (North Central and Northern counties.) The above was taken from http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/oh/zone.html Does anyone know what gives? I miss my Morrow / Marion counties forecast! If I am lucky, I can get it from http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/fcst/mansfield.txt but only if the 2 counties fall within the "range" of Mansfield (Richland county). Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 08:34:46 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Ohio ZFP > Ever since Cleveland has come out with > > FPUS51 KCLE 282027 > ZFPPA > > NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA ZONE FORECAST > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH > 327 PM EST MON DEC 28 1998 > > PAZ001>003-290800- > CRAWFORD-ERIE LAKESHORE-S. ERIE- > INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...MEADVILLE > > it now wipes out the rest of the counties (North Central and Northern > counties.) The above was taken from > http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/oh/zone.html > > Does anyone know what gives? I miss my Morrow / Marion counties > forecast! Sounds like the location you're using is saving files based on the FPUS51 instead of ZFPPA. This problem will only get worse with time as multiple products are sent under the same WMO header. The easiest way to get it is through Charleston WV's NWS page which saves based on the ZFPOH/ZFPPA header. Links are on the homepage on Cleveland at http://www.csuohio.edu/nws Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 08:55:02 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: Topics in the November 1998 National Weather Association Newsletter Following are topics covered in the November 1998 Newsletter of the NWA: 1. President's Message (The role of the human in Weather Forecasting) 2. Annual Dues and Elections 3. Member News 4. Sol Hirsch NWA Education Fund Awards for 1998 5. Joint Typhoon Warning Center Moves to Hawaii 6. E-Mail letter tothe Editor 7. NWA Annual Awards Presented 8. NWA Special Award Renamed -The Larry R. Johnson Award 9. Aviation Meteorology News 10. NOAA Ship Ronald H. Brown Gets New Doppler Radar 11. OSF Helps Forecasters Improve Their Warning Decision Making 12. Local Chapter News 13. Meetings of Interest ( Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop; Third Annual Central Iowa NWA Chapter Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference; and 21st Annual National Hurricane Conference) 14. Job Corner( jobs listed for 5 companies/organizations) 15. NWA Publications For copies or more information please contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email: natweaasoc@aol.com Also check the NWA webpage at http://www.nwas.org/membership.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 08:51:46 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Low Power FM Low power FM could provide interesting opportunties for relaying NWR to communities not covered currently. Take a look at: http://www.concentric.net/~radiotv/ It might also provide some interesting alternatives to the mega-broadcast monopolies who currently dominate the airwaves and control the music and news we are force fed. Sorry about the cross post, but this seemed appropriate to Chase, Talk and SKYWARN. Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 18:24:40 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: think about this!! On Mon, 28 Dec 1998, Ralph Forsythe wrote: > Well, at least the porn sites haven't > started posting in here yet. :) ------- Ugh....don't give people any ideas. E ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 18:41:42 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: snowstorm so what do you all think of a possible snowstorm for Pennsylvania on the weekend? E ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 17:48:11 -0600 From: Jim Johnson Subject: Warmth ahead of a front At 12:01 AM 12/29/1998 -0600, you wrote: >There was a localized area of very mild air out ahead of the arctic cold >front that was only a few counties wide, if that. It was accompanied by >some gusty winds, but no precipitation. > >Temperatures rose into the lower 50's, while surrounding areas were in the >30's. What in the world could have caused that? This was not a synoptic >scale feature, and it was borderline misoscale! > >Gilbert Gilbert... For years I've heard this called compression warming. We often see it in the western high plains with a south or southeast moving cold front. There always seems to be a warm trof ahead of the front...often with the main surface wind shift at the warm trof and not at the front itself. It seems plausible that if the front, acting as a density current ( only in the case of a STRONG cold front, like this one), can achieve a "near wall" condition in the fluid, there will be some warming due to compression of the air just ahead of the front. Want something else interesting? I documented a couple of these things going through a wind profiler in a rather fine temporal scale. The northerly wind shift of the cold air surge occurs aloft about coincident with the surface warm trof wind shift...often many kilometers ahead of the surface position of the front!! I call it a cold air "overhang" and the vertical wind shear (directional and speed) in the first few thousand feet off the ground is incredible! Now...imagine this happening in the early spring where the air just ahead of the elevated frontal head (overhang), in the region of strongest subcloud layer shear is extremely bouyant.....Hhmmm... Food for thought... Cheers!! *************************************************************** *Jim Johnson BMW Nut* *Dodge City, KS Meteorologist* *home = jimj@dodgecity.net Home Brewer* *work = jim.johnson@noaa.gov Bluegrass freak* *************************************************************** * "You don't talk much when you've been 'Pig bit'." * * - Axel Hammond - * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 19:30:24 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: SPAM : think about this!! Ralph Forsythe wrote... >AHHH! I thought the WX-talk and WX-chase lists were the one safe haven I >had from SPAM email... Guess not! Well, at least the porn sites haven't >started posting in here yet. :) After seeing the spam I immediately deleted this user and sent no explanation. Unfortunately there's no way I can prevent this kind of situation. The offending user legitimately subscribed to WX-TALK --allowing her (if it's even a she) to post. As listowner, however, I won't tolerate unsolicited e-mails unless they at least have some remote connection to weather. Let's all hope this was an isolated incidence. ..Chris.. *================================================================== Chris Hayes Novy Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. School of Medicine Phone: (618) 453-8431 (work) Lindegren Hall Rm. 104C Carbondale, IL 62901-6503 FAX: (618) 453-5861 *================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 21:05:40 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: MRF Meteograms?? I was wondering if there are any sites that would provide MRF Meteograms for Caribou, Maine (CAR). Thanks Rob Lightbown Crown Weather Services - Caribou, Maine http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1998 21:45:04 -0500 From: Dave Hiatt Subject: Re: MRF Meteograms?? My weather forecast site has meteograms by MRF, but not for Caribou ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Dec 1998 to 29 Dec 1998 ************************************************** From - Sat Jan 02 10:30:40 1999 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1204 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627533-9959>; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 14:15:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id AAA30696; Thu, 31 Dec 1998 00:06:57 -0600 Message-Id: <199812310606.AAA30696@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1998 00:01:06 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Dec 1998 to 30 Dec 1998 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b8e8b61348d77b3b55bec6a55bd0460f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 128 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. MRF Meteograms?? 2. Warm belt ahead of a front 3. Help needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 07:56:04 -0500 From: "Glenn D. Rolph" Subject: Re: MRF Meteograms?? On our site (READY) you can produce meteograms for any location you choose for the Eta, AVN, MRF and RUC. Try it at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html Glenn Rolph On Tue, 29 Dec 1998, Robert Lightbown wrote: > I was wondering if there are any sites that would provide MRF Meteograms > for Caribou, > Maine (CAR). > > Thanks > > Rob Lightbown > Crown Weather Services - Caribou, Maine > http://www.ainop.com/users/rlightbown/ > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > -***************************************************************** Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is the lightning that does all the work - Mark Twain __________________________________________________________ / Glenn D. Rolph _________ /| / Meteorologist __( ______) / | / NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (__) / | / R/E/AR, 1315 East West Highway (_) / | / Silver Spring, MD 20910 (_) / | /grolph@arlrisc.arlhq.noaadotgov _(____) / | / (replace "dot" above with ".") (_) / | /__________________________________________(_)____________/ / | (_) | / | Real-time Environmental Applications (_) | / | and Display sYstem (_) | / | http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html (_) | / | For access to interactive trajectories, || | / | dispersion, and other related weather || | / | products. ||===== | / |_________________________________________||_[]_|________|/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 15:47:49 CST From: Jim LaDue Subject: Warm belt ahead of a front Jim Johnson wrote: >For years I've heard this called compression warming. We often see it >in the western high plains with a south or southeast moving cold front. >There always seems to be a warm trof ahead of the front...often with the >main surface wind shift at the warm trof and not at the front itself. It >seems >plausible that if the front, acting as a density current ( only in the >case of a STRONG cold front, like this one), can achieve a "near wall" >condition in the fluid, there will be some warming due to compression >of the air just ahead of the front. Be careful since for a parcel to warm by compression, the pressure must rise. This is all courtesy of the ideal gas law (PV=nRT). But since the warm air is colocated with pressure troughs ahead of these fronts, the warming cannot be due to any kind of pressure rise. Maybe there's a dynamically induced pressure rise right at the front. For those who might not be aware, dynamic pressure changes occur with rapid + or - accelerations of air. Dynamic pressure effects are significant in mesocyclones, tornadoes, microbursts and right at strong cold fronts where high velocity air is slamming into still air. But this kind of pressure rise doesn't explain a three county wide hot thermal ridge. And there's a pressure trough anyway. This kind of thermal ridge will have to be explained by advection, subsidence, mixing of warm and cold air, or diabatic effects of which solar heating is about it with Gilbert's front. >Want something else interesting? I documented a couple of these things >going through a wind profiler in a rather fine temporal scale. The northerly >wind shift of the cold air surge occurs aloft about coincident with the >surface warm trof wind shift...often many kilometers ahead of the surface >position of the front!! I call it a cold air "overhang" and the vertical >wind shear (directional and speed) in the first few thousand feet off the >ground is incredible! >From what you say, the pressure trof axis is right where cold air starts spreading overhead. Hydrostatically, the surface pressure should start to rise under the cold air spreading aloft. More on dynamic pressure rises: It would show up just as the strong front passed. Often the pressure spikes right at frontal passage would be associated partly due to dynamic pressure effects. The drop in temp might be tempered a hair by the rising pressure but it probably wouldn't be noticeable. Gilbert, how did the temp and pressure trace compare? regards, Jim James G. LaDue, Operational Support Facility 3200 Marshall Ave., Suite 202, Norman, OK 73072 (405)-366-6560 ext 4281 Fax (405)-366-6557 Internet jladue@osf.noaa.gov (fast) [or] james.g.ladue@noaa.gov (slow) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Dec 1998 20:02:49 -0000 From: Nigel Evans Subject: Help needed I've bought a Weather Satellite aerial (crossed dipole with reflector), installed and run wxsat, monitored for 2 days, got zip. Nigel ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Dec 1998 to 30 Dec 1998 **************************************************